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PETROLEUM PRODUCT SHORTAGES HEARINGS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING AND URBAN AFFAIRS UNITED STATES SENATE NINETY-THIRD FIRST CONGRESS SESSION ON T H E I M P A C T OF P E T R O L E U M P R O D U C T SHORTAGES ON T H E N A T I O N A L ECONOMY M A Y 7, 8, 9, 10, A N D 11, 1973 P r i n t e d f o r t h e use of the C o m m i t t e e on B a n k i n g , H o u s i n g and Urban Affairs U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 96-183 0 WASHINGTON : 1973 COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING A N D U R B A N AFFAIRS JOHN SPARKMAN, Alabama, Chairman JOHN TOWER, Texas W I L L I A M PROXMIRE, Wisconsin HARRISON A. WILLIAMS, JR., New Jersey WALLACE F. BENNETT, Utah EDWARD W. BROOKE, Massachusetts THOMAS J. McINTYRE, New Hampshire BOB PACKWOOD, Oregon ALAN CRANSTON, California B I L L BROCK, Tennessee ADLAI E. STEVENSON I I I , Illinois ROBERT TAFT, JR., Ohio J. BENNETT JOHNSTON, JR., Louisiana LOWELL P. WEICKER, JR., Connecticut W I L L I A M D. HATHAWAY, Maine JOSEPH R. BIDEN, JR., Delaware DUDLEY L. O'NEAL, Jr., Staff Director and General Counsel M I C H A E L E . B U R N S , Minority Counsel T. J. ODEN, Assistant Counsel (II) CONTENTS L I S T OF WITNESSES MONDAY, MAY 7 Page Weldon V . Barton, assistant legislative director, N a t i o n a l Farmers U n i o n . Paul Ignatius, president, A i r Transport Association E d w a r d V . K i l e y , vice president, research and technical services, American T r u c k i n g Association, I n c James R . Smith, president, American Waterways Operators, I n c B e r n a r d Goldstein, president, A l t e r Co., Davenport, I o w a Fred D u n i k o s k i , vice president, transportation, N a t i o n a l Association of M o t o r Bus Owners Carl V . L y o n , general solicitor, Association of American Railroads James E. T e r r y , Emergency Diesel Fuel Task Force, American T r a n s i t Association TUESDAY, M A Y 6, 10 6, 20 6, 66 6, 92 6, 92 109 119 130 8 F r e d C. Allvine, associate professor of m a r k e t i n g ; accompanied b y Fred A . Tarpley, Jr., professor of economics, College of I n d u s t r i a l Management, Georgia I n s t i t u t e of Technology 144 R o y R . Mason, president. Romaco, Inc., Alabama; accompanied b y Lewis G. Odom, counsel 166 Frederick L i c h t m a n , president, Society of Independent Gasoline Marketers of America, and R . J. Peterson, Independent Gasoline Marketers Council 166, 176 H e r b e r t A. Sostek, Independent Fuel T e r m i n a l Operators Association, accompanied b y Nicholas Cirillo, vice president, Cerillo Brothers T e r m i n a l Corp., N e w Y o r k 190 Gregg P o t v i n , accompanied b y W i l l i a m R . Deutsch, N a t i o n a l Oil Jobbers Council 190 J. R . Parrish, N a t i o n a l Self-Service Gasoline Association and U Gas U m , Inc 190,212 W. D . Baker, N a t i o n a l Self-Service Gasoline Association 220 WEDNESDAY, MAY 9 L . G . R a w l , senior vice president, E x x o n Co., U.S. A R o b e r t V . Sellers, chairman of the board, Cities Service Co 227, A n n o n M . Card, senior vice president, Texaco, accompanied b y James P i p k i n , executive vice president 227, G. J. Morrison, vice president, marketing, Phillips Petroleum Co Thomas M . Hennessy, president, G e t t y Oil Co., Eastern Operations, Inc__ F r a n k N . I k a r d , president, American Petroleum I n s t i t u t e • THURSDAY, M A Y 260 279 279 294 10 W i l l i a m E. Simon, D e p u t y Secretary of the Treasury, Chairman, President's Oil Policy Committee D a r r e l l M . T r e n t , A c t i n g Director, Office of Emergency Preparedness, accompanied b y D a v i d R . Oliver, Office of Oil and Gas, Department of the I n t e r i o r , and W i l l i a m A. Johnson, Senior Energy Adviser, Treasury Department 316, Jerry S. Cohen and Charles L . Binsted, N a t i o n a l Congress of Petroleum Retailers, accompanied b y J o h n Hemmerick, executive director * E d w i n Jason D r y e r , Independent Refiners Association of America, accompanied b y J. H . Pittinger, A P C O Oil Corp., Fred S. Victor, N a t i o n a l Cooperative Refinery Association, a n d O. L . Garretson, Plateau, Inc__ (Hi) 227 249 316 351 371 381 IV FRIDAY, M A Y 11 Stephen A. Wakefield, Assistant Secretary of the I n t e r i o r for Energy and Minerals, accompanied b y D u k e Ligon, Director, Office of O i l and Gas___ J o h n T . D u n l o p , Director, Cost of L i v i n g Council, accompanied b y Charles R . Owen A l a n S. W a r d , Director, Bureau of Competition, Federal T r a d e Commission, accompanied b y R o b e r t E. Liedquist, Assistant D i r e c t o r , Bureau of Competition, Michael L . Glassman, Chief, D i v i s i o n of Economic Evidence, Bureau of Economics, W a r r e n Greenberg, economist, Bureau of Economics, and H e n r y M . Banta, counsel, B u r e a u of C o m p e t i t i o n , Federal T r a d e Commission ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND 413 433 DATA American Petroleum I n s t i t u t e , letter t o Senator M c l n t y r e containing i n f o r m a t i o n o n U.S. refining capacity 1962 and 1972 American Public Power Association, m e m o r a n d u m f r o m Alex R a d i n , general manager " A m e r i c a n T r u c k i n g a n d the Energy Crisis," r e p r i n t of paper s u b m i t t e d f o r the record Cities Service O i l Co.: L e t t e r t o W i l l i a m Simon, D e p u t y Secretary of the Treasury N o t i f i c a t i o n of branded d i s t r i b u t o r agreement t e r m i n a t i o n Easton, M a r y l a n d , U t i l i t i e s Commission, letter and a d d i t i o n a l i n f o r m a t i o n f r o m W i l l i a m H . Corkran, Jr., general manager " E n e r g y i n the T r a n s p o r t a t i o n Sector," paper b y W i l l i a m E . Mooz E x x o n C o r p . , statement f o r the record Federal Trade Commission, letter t o Senator Proxmire f r o m M i c h a e l L . Glassman, Chief, D i v i s i o n of Economic Evidence H i g h l a n d Petroleum Inc., brief review of price increases a n d p r o d u c t cutbacks experienced i n recent months House C o m m i t t e e on Ways a n d Means, j o i n t statement of Congressmen M i l l s a n d Schneebeli regarding the effective dates of proposals dealing w i t h t a x shelters Independent F u e l T e r m i n a l Operations Association, list of members Independent Refiners Association of A m e r i c a — I m m e d i a t e recommendations on new i m p o r t p r o g r a m I n t e r i o r D e p a r t m e n t , Office of O i l and gas, statement of Gene P. M o r r e l l , Director Justice D e p a r t m e n t , letter t o Treasury f r o m Bruce B . Wilson, A c t i n g Assistant A t t o r n e y General A n t i t r u s t D i v i s i o n League of Nebraska Municipalities, resolution of the U t i l i t i e s Section N a t i o n a l Farmers U n i o n , 1973 convention resolution on fuel shortage N o r t h r o p O i l Co., letter regarding reductions of a l l o t m e n t " N o t e s a n d Opinions," article b y M a r v i n R e i d Office of Emergency Preparedness, offer of A c t i n g D i r e c t o r D a r r e l l M . T r e n t t o w a r d governors of the 50 States P a c k w o o d , Bob. U.S. Senator f r o m the State of Oregon, prepared statementPetroleum I n d u s t r y Research Foundation, Inc., r e p r i n t of s t u d y made a t the request of t h e Independent O i l Men's Association of N e w E n g l a n d Stevenson, A d l a i E., I l l , U.S. Senator f r o m the State of I l l i n o i s , prepared statement Texas Farmers U n i o n , resolutions adopted b y b o a r d of directors T i a r a O i l Co., statement of K e n n e t h A. Gaskin, president T o t a l U.S. stocks: D i s t i l l a t e fuel oil Kerosine-type j e t fuel M o t o r gasoline T o w e r , J o h n , U.S. Senator f r o m the State of Texas, prepared statement_ Treasury D e p a r t m e n t , W i l l i a m E . Simon, D e p u t y Secretary: Answers t o questions of Senator Tower Letters t o : Senator M c l n t y r e Senator R o t h U.S. airline i n d u s t r y , forecast of t u r b i n e fuel demand W a t e r w a y Operations Conference, letter f r o m James T . Glenn, general counsel W h i t e House: Executive Order 11712 L e t t e r received f r o m Senator M c l n t y r e Presidential message o n energy Page 395 308 500 81 259 208 503 494 245 449 224 330 204 387 310 350 502 14 208 218 357 315 506 4 106 489 301 302 300 3 329 339 339 29 493 455 144 464 V CHARTS P a g e A n n u a l energy consumed b y all transport modes i n the U n i t e d States A p p r o x i m a t e average energy intensiveness of various freight modes Average weekly prices for m a j o r a n d p r i v a t e b r a n d gasoline i n selected cities D i s t i l l a t e fuel o i l stocks, t o t a l U n i t e d States 301, Energy use b y sector M o t o r gasoline stocks, t o t a l U n i t e d States 300, Percent of refinery y i e l d t h r o u g h o u t the free w o r l d Transport energy use a n d m o d a l shares (1970) T u r b i n e fuel forecast 499 498 159 370 496 369 239 495 63 TABLES American Petroleum I n s t i t u t e , s u m m a r y of survey of u t i l i z a t i o n of operable refinery capacity i n the U n i t e d States d u r i n g week ended M a r c h 30, 1973 C a r r y i n g capacities and fuel use for t y p i c a l present and proposed vehicle combinations Federal energy R . & D . f u n d i n g Fee schedule F i r s t quarter net profits for m a j o r o i l companies (1973) Gasoline—94 octane regular Gasoline supply and demand, P A D I - I V , 1973 Increase i n product costs f r o m January 1 to M a y 1, 1973 International import summary N e w E n g l a n d gasoline sales, 1969 : N e w refineries or expansions scheduled i n the U n i t e d States b y P A D — m i l l i o n barrels day of crude distillation No. 2 fuel o i l demand—supply projections, 1973-74 P A D I gasoline supplies — P A D I - I V — g a s o l i n e supply and demand 1972-75 Percentage savings t r u c k t r i p s and diesel fuel consumed Petroleum refining capacity a n d actual crude runs Tons transported b y l e n g t h of haul b y all modes of transportation, 1967__ Tons transported b y size of shipment b y all modes of transportation, 1967 __ U Gas U m Inc., p r o f i t a n d loss statement for fiscal year 1973 U.S. airline i n d u s t r y t u r b i n e fuel forecast U.S. o i l imports, c u r r e n t — B y source of origin U.S. revenues i n millions of dollars as a result of new o i l i m p o r t program 1971 U.S. consumption of petroleum fuel a n d power 299 90 476 458 220 199 508 218 475 507 313 205 506 510 91 312 89 88 218 35 475 475 87 PETROLEUM PRODUCT SHORTAGES MONDAY, MAY 7, 1973 U.S. SENATE, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS, Washington, D.C. The committee met at 10:05 a.m., pursuant t o call, i n room 5302, New Senate Office B u i l d i n g , Senator Thomas J . M c l n t y r e presiding. Senator MOINTYRE. The committee w i l l come to order. The Senate Banking, Housing and U r b a n A f f a i r s Committee begins a series of hearings today on the impact o f petroleum product shortages on the national economy. D u r i n g this committee's consideration o f the extension o f the Economic Stabilization A c t , i t became increasingly apparent t h a t serious supply problems were developing t h a t would cause a significant adverse impact on many sections o f the N a t i o n and on the economy i n general. Because gasoline shortages w i t h a r i p p l i n g effect were expected this summer, causing a t i g h t supply situation w i t h other o i l products such as home heating oil, diesel oil, and j e t fuel, I offered an amendment d u r i n g this committee's consideration o f the extension of the Economic Stabilization A c t t h a t was included i n the b i l l signed by the President on A p r i l 30. This legislation provides the President w i t h authority to act duri n g period of petroleum product shortages t o (1) establish an allocation procedure among the various sections o f the country which clearly sets standards and criteria f o r priorities o f use; and ( 2 ) implement a p r o g r a m that w i l l assure t h a t sufficient supplies o f petroleum products are made available to a l l segments of the petroleum industry i n a manner designed to prevent anticompetitive effects f r o m developing w i t h i n the petroleum industry itself. I fear t h a t i f the President does not take steps immediately t o implement the authority granted to h i m i n the Economic Stabilizat i o n A c t this country w i l l experience a severe curtailment o f necessary petroleum supplies this year and a substantial segment o f the petroleum industry comprised exclusively o f small businessmen w i l l be destroyed. Because o f the urgency o f this matter, I have w r i t t e n t o the President this m o r n i n g u r g i n g that just such action be taken. I find i t impossible t o understand w h y there should be any hesitancy t o move quickly t o implement a rational allocation procedure a t the present time. The law does not—and I repeat—does not require (1) a detailed r a t i o n i n g system such as was i n effect d u r i n g W o r l d W a r I I , nor (1) 2 does i t ; (2) require an abridgement of existing contractual rights between suppliers and their customers; nor does iit: (3) establish a precedent f o r the nationalization of Federal operation o f the petroleum industry. What, i t does, however, is give the President clear a u t h o r i t y to take steps to assure that all sections of the N a t i o n are supplied w i t h these essential products on a p r i o r i t y of use basis and also makes i t clear that the Federal Government has the authori t y t o exercise its responsibility to maintain a meaningful level of competition w i t h i n the o i l industry, so v i t a l to the consumer. The independent producing, refining, and m a r k e t i n g segment of this i m p o r t a n t industry is comprised almost exclusively o f small businessmen. T h e i r role is essential, both to competition w i t h i n the industry and to the consumers of petroleum products. I n m y j u d g ment, clear and positive steps must be taken to assure this independent segment of the petroleum industry a f a i r o p p o r t u n i t y to continue to exist and compete. T i m e is of the essence, and, i f actions are not taken s w i f t l y irreparable damage w i l l occur. The seriousness of this situation cannot be underestimated. The petroleum industry has f o r years been the recipient of a seemingly unending series o f special-interest treatment and legislation, always supported on the basis that the industry must be given special.treatment because o f its importance to the well being of our country. W h a t other single industry has been granted the same preferential treatment ? None that I know of. Congress has given the oil industry tax benefits covering d r i l l i n g costs, foreign taxes paid, depletion allowances, and numerous other benefits—'including, f o r the last 14 years, a mandatory o i l i m p o r t quota system whose stated purpose was t o make certain that what is happening today would not happen. These hearings represent, i n my opinion, repudiation of the argument t h a t what is good f o r the o i l industry is good f o r the American people. B i l l i o n s o f dollars of lost tax revenues and a continuing series of special preferential actions have only brought us to the crisis we face today—an i n a b i l i t y to meet our own crude o i l demands domestically; an i n a b i l i t y to domestically refine our own petroleum needs; and an ever g r o w i n g reliance on foreign rather than domestic sources to meet our needs. The failures are apparent. W h a t we need is a thorough examination o f our past actions and the development of a new way to look at this problem. Energy w i l l undoubtedly be one of the country's most serious problems f o r the next several decades. The President's recent energy message was a recognition o f this fact. W h i l e offering a p a r t i a l new approach i n some areas to our energy needs, the p a r t of the President's message dealing w i t h o i l s t i l l clung to the old wornout approaches. W h i l e he d i d recognize the total failure of the quota system, something t h a t a number of us have been saying f o r years, the President, i n his message, again took the same old approach of offering the petroleum industry more incentives, more t a x credits, more subsidies, and less regulation, i n r e t u r n f o r s u p p l y i n g this N a t i o n w i t h fuel. 3 I t h i n k the time has came when we should take a different l o o k : less subsidies, less tax favoritism, and more regulation. I n order to assure the public health, safety, and convenience, and prevent u n f a i r competition and eventual monopolization; State and Federal governments have f o u n d i t necessary to regulate a number o f industries. The energy problems that we are now faced w i t h m i g h t well require similar action f o r the petroleum industry. I n my opinion, what happens this year and the manner i n which these petroleum product shortages are handled w i l l be the decisive factor as to the proper course to f o l l o w . This committee's responsibility, as is the responsibility of every other congressional committee, is to assure t h a t the intent expressed i n legislation is implemented by the executive branch. The intent of the allocation section of the Economic Stabilization A c t , i n my opinion, is clear. The language of the section and the legislative history provides that the authority contained i n this allocation provision only becomes operational when petroleum shortages occur. The purpose of these hearings is to determine whether the circumstances have developed w a r r a n t i n g action by the President. The committee has invited a varieiy of witnesses, .all of whom I am sure w i l l take v a r y i n g positions concerning whether the President should implement and exercise the authority granted to h i m to allocate petroleum products. W e w i l l be f a i r , we w i l l be open. A l l sides w i l l have their say. B u t as I see i t , the shortage is so severe, the impact on the small businessman and consumer so harsh, and the intent of Congress so clear, that the burden of proof is on these who w o u l d not have the Federal Government act to meet this crisis. Before we hear testimony f r o m the gentlemen here today, let me say t h a t Senator Tower and Senator Stevenson had planned to be present and have statements which we w i l l insert i n the record at this point. [The statements f o l l o w : ] S T A T E M E N T OF J O H N TOWER, U.S. SENATOR F R O M THE S T A T E OF TEXAS Today we commence five days of public hearings f o r the purpose of focusing attention on a problem of m a j o r concern to a l l Americans—the c r i t i c a l shortage of domestic fuels. I n recent weeks and months the press and media have given increasing coverage to w h a t has come to be called " t h e energy crisis." T h i s crisis—and a few question t h a t the situation has reached crisis proportions—is no longer merely a hypothetical possibility. I t is real. I t is today. It manifests itself i n a most poignant manner—through the c r i t i c a l shortage of gasoline and related products. T h i s committee w i l l benefit d u r i n g the week f r o m testimony to be presented by v a r i e d segments of our society touched to various extents by the f u e l shortage: the transporter, the producer, the large volume user, the jobber, the major, the consumer, and the Federal government. The size of the witness list underscores the seriousness and scope of the problem which confronts us. H o p e f u l l y , the statements w i l l provide us w i t h the requisite i n f o r m a t i o n to go f o r w a r d i n encouraging a d m i n i s t r a t i v e and indeed legislative relief, should the proper avenue be made clear. The direct effects of the shortage i n petroleum products are indeed being felt by the small businessmen as w e l l as by the larger companies. A week or so ago, the gasoline jobbers i n my state met i n Dallas to seek answers to the c r i t i c a l problems confronting them at the moment. M a n y are faced w i t h the prospect of closing their businesses i n the immediate f u t u r e absent some relief. Not only w o u l d the urban consumer be incon- 4 venienced by the closing of such a large number of gasoline stations, b u t of p a r t i c u l a r concern to me, the f a r m e r , who often relies on the jobber to provide h i m w i t h the gasoline f o r the operation of his f a r m vehicles, w o u l d be unable to secure the requisite fuel, thus f o r c i n g a shut-down of his a g r i c u l t u r a l operations. The end-result of such an eventuality is p a i n f u l l y obvious. Likewise the m a j o r companies are faced w i t h acute problems, engendered by shortage, and indeed aggravated by the complex and o f t times u n w o r k a b l e p r i c i n g strictures which have been b u i l t i n t o our economy i n recent months. Testimony f r o m the Cost of L i v i n g Council, the Treasury, a n d other official sources t h i s week should add clarification t o this special problem and hopefully provide some guidance and relief. M r . Chairman, T am gravely concerned about the effect the f u e l shortages w i l l have upon the general health of our economy. W e must face the increasing likelihood t h a t the n a t i o n w i l l simply not be able to meet i t s f u e l needs. I n such a case serious consideration must be given to the allocation question: Who w i l l get the supplies t h a t are available? W h a t of the f a r m e r , the airlines, the city police and fire departments, the municipal public t r a n s p o r t a t i o n systems? W h a t of the average citizen, the consumer, who utilizes his automobile each day f o r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n to w o r k , or f o r pleasure? The ramifications of the energy crisis are clear. They are being f e l t now by each of us. Thus answers must be found to many questions, such a s : H o w d i d the shortages develop? W h a t can be done to prevent f u t u r e and more serious shortages? W h a t w o u l d be the effect of phasing out the quota system? W h a t effect would the shortage have on the economy ? W h a t can be done today to correct the current imbalance between supply and demand? I do not pretend to have the answers. The questions, though brief, are complex and defy easy answer. I a m pleased t h a t the Congress, t h i s committee, and the general public are awakening to the f a c t t h a t the n a t i o n faces increasingly more f r i g h t e n i n g energy problems i n the years ahead. I t is unf o r t u n a t e t h a t so p a i n f u l an occurrence as t h i s severe f u e l shortage must evolve i n order f o r the " a w a k e n i n g " to transpire. I h a i l these hearings as representing an i m p o r t a n t step i n the awakening process. I t r u s t my optimism is not mislaid. S T A T E M E N T OF A D L A I E . STEVENSON I I I , U . S . ILLINOIS SENATOR F R O M THE STATE OF M r . Chairman, I welcome these hearings. They w i l l give the B a n k i n g Committee, and i n t u r n the Senate and the n a t i o n as a whole, a chance to study today's petroleum shortage. A n d f r o m these hearings we may be able to propose some solutions. I had a chance d u r i n g the recent Easter recess to meet w i t h independent petroleum refiners, marketers, and retailers i n I l l i n o i s , a n d I can assure you t h a t f o r them the "energy crisis" is a l l too real. M a n y of these independents are being forced out of ousiness by the cut-off of t h e i r supplies by m a j o r o i l companies. The Penn-Guin O i l Company, a branded independent d i s t r i b u t i n g Citgo Products i n Chicago, has been a f a m i l y business f o r more t h a n 60 years and has been associated w i t h Cities Service since 1930. I t has been t o l d by Cities Service t h a t its contract w i l l be t e r m i n a t e d as of M a y 31. T h e owner of PennG u i n believes t h i s w i l l effectively put his company out of business. The Cropsey Independent O i l Company of Cropsey, I l l i n o i s , has been a f a m i l y business f o r 18 years. Now i t s independent supplier, H i c k s O i l and Hicksgas of Roberts, I l l i n o i s , w h i c h also receives its product f r o m Cities Service, has been cut off—and i n t i m e this independent may be forced out of business. The Concord O i l Company operates 12 independent gas stations i n the Chicago area. Concord's suppliers have been T r i a n g l e Refining, Conoco, a n d Clark. T r i a n g l e closed i t s Chicago t e r m i n a l on A p r i l 15, and Conoco has p u t Concord on allocation. Concord may soon have to close a l l 12 of i t s stations. These are but a few examples There are many other independent companies i n I l l i n o i s w h i c h are i n s i m i l a r straits, and the number of stations runs i n t o the thousands. 5 Yet the m a j o r o i l companies, who are c u t t i n g off the* independents, seem to have their shortage tanks f u l l i n the Chicago area. A n d many of the m a j o r s are reporting record first quarter sales and profits. T h i s t h r e a t to the independents cannot be ignored. The biggest loser i f the independents are forced out of business w i l l be the consumer. The independents "keep the majors honest" i n their p r i c i n g practices. They provide the p r i m a r y source of competition i n an industry t h a t sorely needs competition. The N i x o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n has ignored the threat. T w o weeks ago an admini s t r a t i o n spokesman was reported to have said there is no present or prospect i v e gasoline shortage of any m a j o r proportion, and t h a t " j u s t a f e w independents" and " a few m a r g i n a l gas stations" may be forced out of business. Gasoline would be available, i t was said, down the road at the next station. The " n e x t station," of course, w i l l be owned by a m a j o r o i l company, and the cost w i l l be many cents more per gallon w i t h the e x t r a profits going to the big companies. The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , through the Justice Department, should be conducting a m a j o r investigation of the practices of the m a j o r o i l companies. M y talks w i t h the independents and the evidence they presented to me strongly suggest the need to determine whether the m a j o r o i l companies are v i o l a t i n g the a n t i t r u s t laws. The actions of the majors are c u r t a i l i n g competition. Gasoline is not being made available to the independents, and yet the majors are opening up t h e i r own discount stations. Independent refiners are not selling to independent marketers because the majors can promise the refiners a cont i n u i n g source of crude o i l i f the refiners i n t u r n give the majors first call <m their refined products. Many refineries are not being operated to their f u l l capacity, and i t is uncertain whether this is solely the result of an overall shortage of crude oil or whether certain m a j o r refineries are deliberately being operated at less t h a n m a x i m u m capacity. Despite such evidence, I see l i t t l e to suggest t h a t any investigation is contemplated by the Justice Department. W i t h the i m m i n e n t prospect of price increases t h a t may raise the cost of gasoline to 50 cents a gallon at the pump, there can be few higher p r i o r i t i e s i n the a n t i t r u s t field. Such an investigation m i g h t take some time, however, and action is needed now to preserve competition i n the oil industry. Last week Congress passed— and the President signed—the Economic Stabilization A c t Amendments of 1973. Section 2 of t h a t A c t gives the President the a u t h o r i t y to systematically allocate supplies of petroleum products " i n order to meet the essential needs of various sections of the Nation and to prevent anticompetitive effects resulting f r o m shortages" of petroleum products. I might note t h a t the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n opposed t h a t section of the Economic Stabilization Act. I t d i d n ' t w a n t the a u t h o r i t y . A n d yet j u s t three days a f t e r the b i l l was enacted the A c t i n g Director of the Office of Emergency Preparedness, D a r r e l l T r e n t — w h o w i l l be t e s t i f y i n g later i n these hearings—was saying t h a t indeed there may be shortages of gasoline this summer i n certain parts of the country, and the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n m i g h t have to allocate supplies among various sectors of the nation. B u t there seems to be no w o r d about saving the independents now. M r . T r e n t seems to i m p l y t h a t later this summer— a f t e r most of the independents are out of business—the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n m i g h t have to allocate some of Standard of New Jersey's gasoline to Standard of Indiana, and maybe vice versa to even things out. T i m e and again, the President and his advisers have acted to favor big o i l and h a r m small o i l and the consumer. A Presidential task force on the oil i m p o r t quota system recommended i n 1970 t h a t the quota system be scrapped. Senator Kennedy and I , along w i t h over 30 of our colleagues, urged a temporary suspension of the quotas i n Senate J o i n t Resolution 23 introduced i n J a n u a r y of this year—and I recommended a similar action i n letters to the President and the Secretary of the I n t e r i o r last year. B u t u n t i l a few weeks ago the President f a i l e d to heed any of these recommendatkms and took only the most incremental steps i n regard to the quota system. H e now says he realizes that the mandatory program was " o f v i r t u a l l y no benefit any longer." I n his energy message, the President gave us a new "license fee" system. B u t i t is d o u b t f u l t h a t this change w i l l benefit the independents at all, and i n other sections of his energy message M r . Nixoin proposes other actions t h a t promise more of the same—millions of dollars i n t a x breaks to the m a j o r oil companies and billions more i n costs t o the consumers of energy. Section 2 of the Stabilization Act Amendments gives the President the specific a u t h o r i t y to help independents and consumers. Today, the m a j o r oil 6 companies c o n t r o l abotat 95 percent o f t h e r e f i n i n g o f o i l used i n the c o u n t r y . They eonibrol 68 percent o f t h e r e t a i l gasoline outlets. I f t h e m a j o r s a r e alowed by t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n t o use t h e present f u e l shortage f o r t h e i r o w n purposes a n d allocate p e t r o l e u m products according t o t h e i r o w n f o r m u l a s a n d p r i o r i t i e s , they w i l l surely push t h a t 68 percent m u c h h i g h e r a n d c o u l d end u p monopolizing every phase o f the o i l p r o d u c t i o n a n d d i s t r i b u t i o n system. These hearings, then, t a k e o n c e r t a i n aspects o f a n " o v e r s i g h t " h e a r i n g . T h e problem was already grave w h e n less t h a n t w o m o n t h s ago t h i s C o m m i t tee reported the Economic S t a b i l i z a t i o n A c t to the floor w i t h the Section 2 alloc a t i o n provision. L a s t week t h a t A c t . w i t h the p r o v i s i o n irotact, was enacted i n t o l a w . J u s t before the b i l l was passed i n the Senate I urged t h e President to use the a l l o c a t i o n section t o save the independents, a n d on F r i d a y I j o i n e d Senator H a r t a n d 33 other Senators i n sending a l e t t e r t o t h e President t o the same effect. L a t e r t h i s week, A d m i n i s t r a t i o n spokesmen are scheduled to t e s t i f y i n these hearings, b u t as o f today there i s no h i n t t h a t the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l use the a u t h o r i t y given i t t o preserve c o m p e t i t i o n i n t h e o i l i n d u s t r y . Should t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n f a i l t o act q u i c k l y , t h i s C o m m i t t e e a n d t h e Congress as a whole should act by passing m a n d a t o r y legislation. Senator H u m p h r e y has offered the vehicle f o r us t o use i f necessary—S. J . Res. 98, w h i c h i s before t h i s Committee i n these hearings a n d o f w h i c h I a m a cosponsor. T h e o i l companies are f o n d o f t e l l i n g us t h a t " t h e N a t i o n t h a t r u n s on o i l can't a f f o r d t o r u n short." I w o u l d only add t h a t t h e N a t i o n t h a t r u n s s h o r t of independent o i l companies may n o t be able t o a f f o r d t h e gasoline i t needs. A c t i o n m u s t be t a k e n n o w t o preserve the independents and protect t h e consumer. Senator MCINTYRE. T h i s m o r n i n g we w i l l proceed i n our testimony w i t h a series of t w o panels. T h e first p a n e l — I a m happy t o welcome these gentlemen t o the table here—Mr. Weldon Barton, assistant legislative director, N a t i o n a l Farmers U n i o n , M r . P a u l Ignatius, president, A i r Transport Association, M r . E d K i l e y , vice president, research and (technical services, American T r u c k i n g Association, Inc., and M r . James E . S m i t h , president o f the American Waterways Operators, Inc. I w a n t t o welcome you a l l here this morning. W e are anxious t o hear w h a t you have t o say, y o u r findings out i n the country. W e need y o u r testimony very badly i n the overall picture. I t h i n k i t has been arranged t h a t each o f you w i l l testify i n d i v i d u a l l y f o r somet h i n g i n the v i c i n i t y o f 10 minutes and a t the conclusion o f t h a t , we w i l l have a few simple questions to p u t t o y o u : M a i n l y we w a n t t o get y o u r story and the story of other people who w i l l be t e s t i f y i n g a f t e r you. M r . BARTON. STATEMENT OF WELDON V. BARTON, ASSISTANT LEGISLATIVE DIRECTOR, NATIONAL FARMERS UNION; PAUL IGNATIUS, PRESIDENT, AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION; EDWARD V. KILEY, VICE PRESIDENT, RESEARCH AND TECHNICAL SERVICES, AMERICAN TRUCKING ASSOCIATION, INC., JAMES R. SMITH, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN WATERWAYS OPERATORS, INC., ACCOMPANIED BY BERNARD GOLDSTEIN, PRESIDENT, ALTER CO., DAVENPORT, IOWA M r . BARTON. M r . Chairman, I have f o u r pages here w h i c h I w o u l d l i k e t o read; i f I skip a few sentences as I go along, I w o u l d request t h a t i t a l l be p r i n t e d i n the record. 7 Senator MCINTYRE. Y o u r statement w i l l be included i n its entirety i n the record (see p. 10). Y o u may proceed as you feel you desire. Now, M r . Barton, proceed. M r . BARTON. T h a n k you veiy much. I a m W e l d o n V . Barton, assistant legislative director o f National Farmers Union. M y organization represents some 250,000 f a r m families i n the Midwest and other a g r i c u l t u r a l areas of the U n i t e d States. Farmers are major consumers of diesel, gasoline, and other fuels f o r production, d r y i n g o f crops, and related uses. Farmers have already suffered detrimental effects o f fuel shortages; i n the Midwest and C o r n B e l t they were unable to get adequate fuel to d r y crops last winter. Pressures on f u e l suppliers are increased this crop year. Some 50 m i l l i o n acres of additional cropland has been opened t o production i n 1973 as compared to previous years f o r the purpose of increasing g r a i n and meat supplies. Furthermore, land preparation was hampered last f a l l by unfavorable weather, and flooding t h i s s p r i n g continues to delay p l o w i n g and seeding o f crops. More fuel, therefore, w i l l be required w i t h i n a short timespan f o r preparation and planti n g and i f large crops materialize more fuel w i l l be required f o r harvest, including d r y i n g and transport this f a l l . A s soon as I accepted your i n v i t a t i o n f r o m Senator M c I n t y r e to testify today, I requested i n f o r m a t i o n on the fuel situation f r o m Farmers U n i o n Central Exchange, Inc. Central Exchange, a cooperative w i t h home offices i n St. Paul, Minn., supplies fuel oils and other production items to local cooperatives i n a 10-State area. Essentially this 10-State area comprises the upper Midwest and the States i n the Pacific Northwest. Some 350,000 f a r m families patronize the local cooperatives affiliated w i t h Central Exchange— there are 1,100 local cooperatives affiliated w i t h Central Exchange, and these farmers are directly affected by any change i n supply and distribution o f Central Exchange as the supplier of these cooperatives. O n December 15, 1972, Farmers U n i o n Central Exchange found i t necessary to place a l l local cooperatives i n the 10-State region on an allocation system f o r fuel oils. The allocation has r u n f r o m as low as 80 percent of previous purchases to a h i g h of 108 percent dependi n g upon the product and seasonal demand, depending upon the product and the available supplies. L e t me say as f a r as gasoline is concerned, f o r the month of M a y , the local cooperatives are on an allocation system of 90 percent. T h a t is, they are allowed 90 percent of the amount of gasoline that they got i n M a y o f last year, and t h a t allocation has been projected also to a p p l y to June. M r . Robert A . Ovens, manager of petroleum m a r k e t i n g at Central Exchange, i n f o r m e d me i n a letter of A p r i l 30, 1973, t h a t the allocat i o n system must be continued " f o r an indefinite period." L e t me say, M r . Chairman, as f a r as I know all o f the other agricultural cooperatives are, by now, on s i m i l a r /types of allocation systems. T h i s w o u l d include M i d l a n d , Agwiay, F a r m l a n d Industries 8 and other cooperatives t h a t supply gasoline and other fuel products to farmers. The co-ops combined have 11 refineries t h a t have about 2 percent of the t o t a l refinery capacity i n the Nation. So, they are h i g h l y dependent f o r fuels upon outside sources. The vast m a j o r i t y o f the gasoline and other products must come f r o m the m a j o r o i l companies and f r o m independents, outside of the cooperatives. Bob Ovens' l e t t e r o f A p r i l 30 enumerated some o f the causes of fuel shortages a t Central Exchange as follows: 1. The extremely heavy demand on fuel oils d u r i n g the w i n t e r months f o r example: No. 2 burner o i l sales increased 28.66 percent f o r the months of October, November, December, 1972, over the same three months of 1971; a l l burner and diesel fuels combined increased 25.21 percent comparing the same three months periods, 1972 versus 1971. T h i s increase was considerably above both our projections, t h a t is Central Exchange's projections—and the industry's on a nationwide basis d r a i n i n g f u t u r e supplies. Towards the end of November we determined t h a t the decision to allocate, although reprehensible, could not be delayed any longer. 2. Suppliers t h a t C E N E X relied on to supplement refinery volumes placed s t r i c t controls on contractual arrangements. As contracts expired C E N E X was notified t h a t either renewals would be on lesser volumes or contracts w o u l d not be renewed. T h i s of course reduced the available gallons f o r d i s t r i b u t i o n to the p a t r o n consumer. I m i g h t add t h a t despite C E N E X Supply and D i s t r i b u t i o n Department's efforts to secure a d d i t i o n a l supplies f r o m many various sources, beginning as f a r back as February 1972 and on a continuing basis up u n t i l now, these efforts have been fruitless. 3. N a t i o n a l Cooperative Refinery Association^ Refinery at McPherson, Kansas—and this is a refinery operated by Central Exchange i n cooperation w i t h several other cooperatives—has been experiencing problems f o r some t i m e i n securing necessary crude o i l on a consistent continuing basis to r u n at or near capacity. T h i s refinery r a n below capacity most of the w i n t e r and spring months. D u r i n g March, the McPherson refinery which has <a capacity o f 52,000 barrels per day, ran at 42,000-43,000 barrels a day, about 83 percent o f capacity or 17 percent below capacity. Our Laurel, Montana Refinery has been more f o r t u n a t e due to a v a i l a b i l i t y of crude oil f r o m both domestic fields and Canada. However, this could change also due to unsettled i m p o r t conditions and i n t e r n a l problems Canada is f a c i n g as regards petroleum products. M r . Ovens t o l d me yesterday on the telephone t h a t Canada is gett i n g extremely nervous about e x p o r t i n g oil. T h e L a u r e l Refinery of Central Exchange gets about 45 percent of its crude f r o m Canada. I f t h i s source is cut off, they w i l l be i n very tough shape at t h a t refinery. T h i s is the end of the Ovens letter. L e t me say, before I leave Bob Ovens' letter and discussion of Central Exchange, they tell me t h a t t h i s 'allocation system of Central Exchange is w o r k i n g very well. I t has been i n effect f o r some 4y 2 months, and i t could be something t h a t you m i g h t want to look at more closely as experience f o r a possible nationwide allocation system. Farmers are deeply concerned t h a t they w i l l face fuel shortages at harvest t h i s f a l l , i f not before. Farmers U n i o n takes the position t h a t 9 fuels f o r f a r m use must receive a h i g h p r i o r i t y among alternative uses i n the event o f more pressing shortages. O u r membership, meeti n g i n a n n u a l convention i n Omaha, Nebr., M a r c h 12-14, 1973, called f o r increased o i l i m p o r t a t i o n . T h e y passed t h i s resolution on p r i o r i t y o f usage: A specific quota of crude oil imported i n t o the U n i t e d States must be allocated by federal l a w to a g r i c u l t u r a l cooperatives and independent oil refineries. W h i l e F a r m e r s U n i o n ' s most direct concern is t h a t fuels are available to farmers at reasonable prices, we f u l l y recognize t h a t t h e fuels problem is one t h a t must be faced by a l l consumers i n a concerted fashion. F a r m e r s U n i o n is an active member of the energy policy task force o f t h e Consumer Federation o f America, and we strongly adhere t o the f o l l o w i n g — a m o n g other—recommendations of the task force f o r c o m i n g to g r i p s w i t h t h e Nation's energy problem. I am r u n n i n g beyond m y time. I t h i n k I w i l l s k i p over those specifics at t h i s time, except t h a t I w a n t t o emphasize t h a t the proposal to develop t h e wellhead prices f o r b o t h flowing gas a n d new gas should be rejected by Congress. A v a i l a b l e data suggests t h a t under controlled prices, there has not been o n l y the o p p o r t u n i t y b u t the actual realization of satisfactory returns f o r those i n the gasp r o d u c i n g business. T h e same monopolistic features o f the gas indust r y w h i c h gave rise t o the passage o f the N a t u r a l Gas A c t i n 1938 s t i l l obtain and, i n periods o f shortage, there is even greater reason to r e t a i n control over the rates at w h i c h t h i s energy is sold. T h e President's message on energy, w h i l e i t called u p o n consumers to pay more f o r energy and to make sacrifices i n u t i l i z a t i o n , included v i r t u a l l y no measures t o loosen the m a j o r o i l companies, p r i v a t e cont r o l over fuels a n d t o force more responsibility by t h e majors to consumers t o consumers and to independent and cooperative refiners and marketers. A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e Congress we t h i n k must move i n to fill t h i s leadership vacuum. Congress must insist t h a t a m u l t i b i l l i o n d o l l a r Government-funded research and development p r o g r a m on new f u e l sources is launched w i t h o u t f u r t h e r delay, a n d t h a t the research and development effort emphasize non-fossil fuels. A l s o , Congress must move w i t h o u t delay to force the m a j o r o i l companies t o make crude o i l available to independent a n d cooperat i v e refiners and marketers t h r o u g h o u t the m i d d l e area o f the U n i t e d States. A c c o r d i n g t o t h e best i n f o r m a t i o n available, there is c u r r e n t l y enough excess capacity i n independent and c ^operative refineries to prevent the occurrence of f u e l shortages this r o a r , and the independent markets must not be forced out i f price competition is to he maintained i n the petroleum i n d u s t r y . Regardless of whether there is a coordinated conspiracy among the majors to force o u t independents, this, i n fact is occurring. Consumers can o n l y suffer increasingly tenuous supplies a n d h i g h e r prices i f the movement t o w a r d increased concentration i n the petroleum i n d u s t r y is allowed to continue unabated. M r . C h a i r m a n , t h a t concludes m y statement. I w i l l be pleased to respond t o any questions t h a t y o u may have. [ T h e f u l l statement o f M r . B a r t o n f o l l o w s : ] 10 A I National Farmers Union 1 J Mr. Chairman, Statement o f Weldon V. B a r t o n Assistant Legislative Director N a t i o n a l Farmers Union Members of the Committeej I am W e l d o n V . B a r t o n , A s s i s t a n t L e g i s l a t i v e N a t i o n a l Farmers Union. My o r g a n i z a t i o n r e p r e s e n t s f a r m f a m i l i e s i n t h e Midwest and o t h e r a g r i c u l t u r a l United States. Director of some 2 5 0 , 0 0 0 areas of the Farmers are major consumers o f d i e s e l , g a s o l i n e , and o t h e r f u e l s f o r p r o d u c t i o n , d r y i n g o f c r o p s , and r e l a t e d u s e s . Farmers have already s u f f e r e d d e t r i m e n t a l e f f e c t s of f u e l shortages; in t h e Midwest and Corn B e l t , t h e y were u n a b l e t o g e t adequate fuel to dry crops l a s t w i n t e r . P r e s s u r e s on f u e l s u p p l i e s a r e i n c r e a s e d t h i s c r o p y e a r . Some 5 0 m i l l i o n a c r e s o f a d d i t i o n a l c r o p l a n d h a s b e e n o p e n e d t o p r o d u c t i o n i n 1973 as compared t o p r e v i o u s y e a r s , f o r t h e p u r p o s e o f i n c r e a s i n g g r a i n and meat s u p p l i e s . Furthermore, land prep a r a t i o n was hampered l a s t f a l l b y u n f a v o r a b l e w e a t h e r , and f l o o d i n g t h i s s p r i n g c o n t i n u e s t o d e l a y p l o w i n g and s e e d i n g o f crops. More f u e l , t h e r e f o r e , w i l l be r e q u i r e d w i t h i n a s h o r t t i m e span f o r p r e p a r a t i o n and p l a n t i n g , and i f l a r g e c r o p s m a t e r i a l i z e more f u e l w i l l be r e q u i r e d f o r h a r v e s t (including d r y i n g ) and t r a n s p o r t t h i s fall. As soon as I a c c e p t e d t h e i n v i t a t i o n f r o m S e n a t o r M c l n t y r e t o t e s t i f y t o d a y , I r e q u e s t e d i n f o r m a t i o n on t h e f u e l situation from Farmers Union C e n t r a l Exchange, I n c . C e n t r a l Exchange, a c o o p e r a t i v e w i t h home o f f i c e s i n S t . P a u l , M i n n e s o t a , supplies f u e l o i l s and o t h e r p r o d u c t i o n i t e m s t o l o c a l c o o p e r a t i v e s i n a 10-state area. Some 3 5 0 , 0 0 0 f a r m f a m i l i e s p a t r o n i z e t h e l o c a l c o o p e r a t i v e s a f f i l i a t e d w i t h C e n t r a l E x c h a n g e , and t h e s e f a r m e r s a r e d i r e c t l y a f f e c t e d b y any change i n s u p p l y and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f C e n t r a l Exchange as t h e s u p p l i e r o f t h e s e c o o p e r a t i v e s . On D e c e m b e r 1 5 , 1 9 7 2 , F a r m e r s U n i o n C e n t r a l E x c h a n g e found i t necessary t o place a l l l o c a l cooperatives i n the 10s t a t e r e g i o n on an a l l o c a t i o n system f o r f u e l o i l s . The a l l o c a t i o n h a s r u n f r o m a s l o w a s 80% o f p r e v i o u s p u r c h a s e s t o a h i g h o f 108% d e p e n d i n g u p o n t h e p r o d u c t a n d s e a s o n a l d e m a n d . Mr. R o b e r t A . Ovens, Manager o f P e t r o l e u m M a r k e t i n g a t C e n t r a l E x c h a n g e , i n f o r m e d me i n a l e t t e r o f A p r i l 3 0 , 1 9 7 3 , t h a t t h e a l l o c a t i o n system must be c o n t i n u e d " f o r an i n d e f i n i t e period", 11 * fuel 1. O v e n s 1 l e t t e r o f A p r i l 3 0 e n u m e r a t e d some o f s h o r t a g e s a t C e n t r a l Exchange as f o l l o w s : "The e x t r e m e l y heavy demand on fuel oils the during causes the of winter months, f o r example: No. 2 burner o i l sales increased 28.66% f o r t h e months o f O c t o b e r , November, December 1 9 7 2 , o v e r t h e same t h r e e m o n t h s o f 1 9 7 1 ; a l l b u r n e r and d i e s e l f u e l s combined i n c r e a s e d 25.21% comparing t h e same t h r e e m o n t h p e r i o d s , 1 9 7 2 v e r s u s 1 9 7 1 . " T h i s i n c r e a s e was c o n s i d e r a b l y above b o t h o u r p r o j e c t i o n s and t h e i n d u s t r y ' s on a n a t i o n w i d e b a s i s d r a i n i n g future supplies. " T o w a r d s t h e e n d o f N o v e m b e r we d e t e r m i n e d t h a t t h e d e c i s i o n t o a l l o c a t e , althoiflgh r e p r e h e n s i b l e , c o u l d be d e l a y e d any l o n g e r . 2. "Suppliers that CENEX r e l i e d on t o supplement not refinery volumes p l a c e d s t r i c t c o n t r o l s on c o n t r a c t u r a l arrangements. A s c o n t r a c t s e x p i r e d CENEX w a s n o t i f i e d that e i t h e r r e n e w a l s w o u l d be on l e s s e r volumes o r c o n t r a c t s would n o t be renewed. "This of course reduced the a v a i l a b l e t r i b u t i o n t o the p a t r o n consumer. gallons for dis- " I m i g h t a d d t h a t d e s p i t e CENEX S u p p l y a n d D i s t r i b u t i o n Department's e f f o r t s to secure a d d i t i o n a l supplies from many v a r i o u s s o u r c e s , b e g i n n i n g as f a r b a c k a s F e b r u a r y 1972 and on a c o n t i n u i n g b a s i s up u n t i l now, t h e s e e f f o r t s have been f r u i t l e s s . 3. "National Cooperative Refinery Association's Refinery at M c P h e r s o n , K a n s a s h a s b e e n e x p e r i e n c i n g p r o b l e m s f o r some t i m e i n s e c u r i n g n e c e s s a r y c r u d e o i l on a c o n s i s t e n t , c o n t i n u i n g b a s i s t o run a t or near c a p a c i t y . This ref i n e r y r a n b e l o w c a p a c i t y most o f t h e w i n t e r and s p r i n g months. "Our L a u r e l , Montana R e f i n e r y h a s b e e n more f o r t u n a t e due to a v a i l a b i l i t y of crude o i l from both domestic f i e l d s and Canada. However, t h i s c o u l d change a l s o due t o u n s e t t l e d i m p o r t c o n d i t i o n s and i n t e r n a l p r o b l e m s Canada i s f a c i n g as r e g a r d s p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s . " 12 Farmers are deeply concerned t h a t they w i l l face f u e l * shortages at harvest t h i s f a l l , i f not before. Farmers Union t a k e s t h e p o s i t i o n t h a t f u e l s f o r f a r m use must r e c e i v e a h i g h p r i o r i t y among a l t e r n a t i v e u s e s i n t h e e v e n t o f m o r e p r e s s i n g shortages. Our membership, m e e t i n g i n A n n u a l C o n v e n t i o n i n Omaha, N e b r a s k a , M a r c h 1 2 - 1 4 , 1 9 7 3 , c a l l e d f o r i n c r e a s e d oil importation. Concerning p r i o r i t y of usage, the Convention resolved: "A s p e c i f i c q u o t a o f c r u d e o i l i m p o r t e d i n t o t h e agricultural U n i t e d S t a t e s must be a l l o c a t e d by f e d e r a l l a w t o c o o p e r a t i v e s and i n d e p e n d e n t o i l refineries". While Farmers U n i o n ' s most d i r e c t concern i s t h a t fuels a r e a v a i l a b l e t o f a r m e r s a t r e a s o n a b l e p r i c e s , we f u l l y recognize t h a t t h e f u e l s p r o b l e m i s one t h a t must be f a c e d by a l l consumers in a concerted fashion. F a r m e r s U n i o n i s a n a c t i v e member o f t h e E n e r g y P o l i c y Task F o r c e o f Consumer F e d e r a t i o n o f A m e r i c a , a n d we s t r o n g l y a d h e r e t o t h e f o l l o w i n g ( a m o n g o t h e r ) recommendat i o n s of the Task Force f o r coming t o g r i p s w i t h the N a t i o n ' s energy problem: 1. V a s t l y increased government expenditures f o r energy r e s e a r c h and d e v e l o p m e n t p r o g r a m s a r e e s s e n t i a l , t o g e t h e r w i t h an o v e r a l l g o v e r n m e n t a l assignment o f p r i o r i t i e s and a l l o c a t i o n o f such f u n d s ; 2. A more v i g o r o u s e f f o r t must be u n d e r t a k e n i n e n f o r c i n g a n t i t r u s t p r i n c i p l e s w i t h r e s p e c t t o ownership and c o n t r o l over basic a l t e r n a t i v e energy s u p p l i e s ; 3. T i g h t e r c o n t r o l s are r e q u i r e d over the development and e x p l o i t a t i o n o f p u b l i c l y owned f u e l r e s e r v e s — f o r example, m o d i f i c a t i o n o f p r o c e d u r e s and t e r m s by w h i c h p r i v a t e companies a r e p e r m i t t e d t o f i n d and market petroleum deposits from p u b l i c lands, both o n s h o r e and o f f s h o r e , must be a d o p t e d , and s a t i s f a c t o r y p r o c e d u r e s f o r h a n d l i n g g e o t h e r m a l energy and p u b l i c lands are e s s e n t i a l ; 4. Congress should take the i n i t i a t i v e toward the format i o n o f a government-owned c o r p o r a t i o n t o engage i n f i n d i n g and d e v e l o p i n g p e t r o l e u m d e p o s i t s and o t h e r f u e l s on p u b l i c l y h e l d l a n d s ; 5. The p r o p o s a l t o d e c o n t r o l t h e w e l l h e a d p r i c e s for b o t h f l o w i n g g a s a n d new g a s s h o u l d b e r e j e c t e d b y controlled Congress. A v a i l a b l e data suggests t h a t under p r i c e s , t h e r e has been not o n l y the o p p o r t u n i t y , but the actual r e a l i z a t i o n of satisfactory returns for 13 those i n the gas-producing business. T h e same m o n o p o l i s t i c f e a t u r e s o f t h e gas i n d u s t r y which gave r i s e t o t h e p a s s a g e o f t h e N a t u r a l Gas A c t i n 1938 s t i l l o b t a i n and, i n p e r i o d s o f s h o r t a g e , t h e r e i s even greater reason to r e t a i n c o n t r o l over the rates at which t h i s energy i s sold. The P r e s i d e n t ' s message on e n e r g y , w h i l e i t c a l l e d upon c o n s u m e r s t o p a y m o r e f o r e n e r g y I n d t o make s a c r i f i c e s in u t i l i z a t i o n , i n c l u d e d v i r t u a l l y no m e a s u r e s t o l o o s e n t h e m a j o r o i l c o m p a n i e s ' p r i v a t e c o n t r o l o v e r f u e l s and t o f o r c e more r e s p o n s i b i l i t y by t h e m a j o r s t o consumers and t o i n d e p e n d e n t and c o o p e r a t i v e r e f i n e r s and m a r k e t e r s . A c c o r d i n g l y , the Congress m u s t move i n t o f i l l t h i s l e a d e r s h i p v a c u u m . I n a d d i t i o n t o r e t e n t i o n o f c o n t r o l s o f n a t u r a l gas p r i c e s at the wellhead, establishment of a TVA-type government-owned c o r p o r a t i o n t o s e r v e as a " y a r d s t i c k " i n p r o d u c t i o n and m a r k e t i n g o f f u e l s , and o t h e r s t e p s n o t e d above, Congress s h o u l d : 1. Insist that a multi-billion dollar government-funded r e s e a r c h a n d d e v e l o p m e n t p r o g r a m o n new f u e l s o u r c e s i s l a u n c h e d w i t h o u t f u r t h e r d e l a y , and t h a t t h e r e s e a r c h and d e v e l o p m e n t e f f o r t emphasize n o n - f o s s i l f u e l s . At F a r m e r s U n i o n ' s March 1973 C o n v e n t i o n , o u r m e m b e r s h i p adopted the f o l l o w i n g r e s o l u t i o n : "We s u p p o r t r e s e a r c h t o d e t e r m i n e new and a d e q u a t e s o u r c e s o f p o w e r w h i c h could replace f o s s i l fuels". 2. F o r c e t h e m a j o r o i l c o m p a n i e s t o make c r u d e o i l availa b l e t o i n d e p e n d e n t and c o o p e r a t i v e r e f i n e r s and m a r k e t e r s throughout the middle area of the United States. According to the best information available, there is currently enough e x c e s s c a p a c i t y i n i n d e p e n d e n t and c o o p e r a t i v e r e f i n e r i e s to prevent the occurance of f u e l shortages t h i s y e a r , and t h e i n d e p e n d e n t m a r k e t e r s must n o t be f o r c e d o u t i f p r i c e c o m p e t i t i o n i s t o be m a i n t a i n e d i n the petroleum industry. Regardless of whether there i s a c o o r d i n a t e d c o n s p i r a c y among t h e m a j o r s t o f o r c e out independents, t h i s , in fact, is occurring. Consumers can o n l y s u f f e r i n c r e a s i n g l y t e n u o u s s u p p l i e s and h i g h e r p r i c e s i f t h e movement t o w a r d i n c r e a s e d c o n c e n t r a t i o n i n the petroleum industry i s allowed to continue unabated. 14 Attachment F a r m e r s U n i o n 1973 C o n v e n t i o n on F u e l S h o r t a g e Resolution "To r e l i e v e t h e f u e l s h o r t a g e c r i s i s and t o c o n s e r v e o u r o i l r e s o u r c e s , we u r g e a n i n c r e a s e i n o i l admitted i n t o the United States under o i l import quota. A specific quota o f crude o i l imported i n t o the U n i t e d S t a t e s must be a l l o c a t e d b y f e d e r a l l a w t o a g r i c u l t u r a l c o o p e r a t i v e s and independent o i l refineries. tions "We s u p p o r t l i b e r a l i z a t i o n o f o i l by s t a t e r e g u l a t o r y agencies. State "We u r g e i n c r e a s e s of Alaska. in oil "We s u p p o r t r e s e a r c h t o s o u r c e s o f power w h i c h c o u l d supplies production from regula- sources in d e t e r m i n e new a n d a d e q u a t e replace fossil fuels." the 15 Senator MCINTYRE. Just one quick question: Where do you people get most of y o u r crude o i l ? M r . BARTON. A s I mentioned t o you, Central Exchange operates t w o refineries, one at Laurel, Mont, and the other at McPherson, Kans. A s I indicated, approximately 45 percent of the crude f o r t h a t Laurel, M o n t , refinery, comes f r o m Canada. Some, a smaller amount of the o i l f o r the McPherson refinery also comes f r o m Canada. I am not sure about the percentage. F o r the remainder o f the crude oil, there is no direct i m p o r t a t i o n ; the cooperative refineries are dependent upon the independents or major o i l companies t o supply crude o i l to them. O f course, as I mentioned before, Central Exchange does not refine a l l o f the gasoline t h a t Central Exchange makes available to the local cooperatives. I t refines about 85 percent. I n other words, about 15 percent of the gasoline must be purchased f r o m the major o i l companies by Central Exchange and then made available t o the local cooperatives. T h i s figure is higher f o r some o f the other a g r i c u l t u r a l cooperatives. There is a particular difficulty at t h i s point o f t r a d i n g tickets and getting crude f r o m the majors. A s you know, is t h a t these refineries i n the Midwest w i l l t o the majors—take o i l f r o m the majors t h a t is i n 'that v i c i n i t y i n exchange f o r i m p o r t tickets, and then the majors w i l l i m p o r t replacement oil. A p p a r e n t l y , the majors are contending t h a t now w i t h the new fee systems t h a t i t is less profitable f o r them t o i m p o r t a n d replace o i l t h a t they w o u l d t u r n over t o refineries i n the Midwest and they are therefore t i g h t e n i n g down very strongly on t r a d i n g of tickets. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you. M r . P a u l B . I g n a t i u s of the A i r Transport Association of America. M r . IGNATIUS. T h a n k you, M r . Chairman. I, too, have a prepared statement which we have furnished t o -the committee. I propose to read almost a l l o f i t and by paraphrasing certain sections, I t h i n k I can give m y statement i n the t i m e t h a t you allotted. Senator MCINTYRE. Y o u r entire statement w i l l be included i n the record. Y o u may proceed t o testify i n any way you see fit, bearing i n m i n d any time constraints t h a t we have. M r . IGNATIUS. T h a n k you, M r . Chairman. L e t me say a t the outset t h a t I believe the recently-enacted amendment t o the Economic Stabilization A c t which recommends the establishments of a priorities and allocations p r o g r a m is a n import a n t achievement. I a m m i n d f u l , of course, t h a t this much needed amendment was enacted at the instigation of t h i s committee. Hoj»efully, i t w i l l not be necessary t o p u t into effect a priorities and allocations program f o r fuel. B u t certainly i t is wise and prudent t o have made provisions f o r such a program should circumstances require t h i s t y p e o f control. I was pleased to learn t h a t development o f such a p l a n already has begun, and I hope t h a t this contingency p l a n n i n g is pursued on a p r i o r i t y basis. I a m certain t h a t these hearings w h i c h are being held by the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and U r b a n A f f airs w i l l cont r i b u t e much useful i n f o r m a t i o n that w i l l help t o insure t h a t the 16 priorities and allocations contingency p l a n is equitable a n d effective. T h i s hearing comes a t a most opportune time. W e are g r a t e f u l t h a t the committee has moved p r o m p t l y t o assure t h a t v i t a l functions, i n c l u d i n g transportation w i l l have adequate f u e l supplies i n the event t h a t c r i t i c a l supply problems develop. L e t me t u r n now specifically t o a i r transportation and how the f u e l situation looks to us i n the a i r l i n e industry. F i r s t , a w o r d on the scope o f the air transportation. T h e commercial airlines are the predominant common-carrier o f people i n intercity service. A b o u t 75 percent o f the passenger miles of domestic intercity travel aboard common carriers—planes, buses and trains— are by air. I n overseas travel, airlines account f o r more t h a n 90 percent. More t h a n 200 m i l l i o n passengers w i l l be carried by the scheduled airlines o f the U n i t e d States i n 1973 and t h a t service w i l l grow significantly i n the years immediately ahead. I n t h e i r landings a n d takeoffs there a t more t h a n 525 airports serving citizens i n thousands o f cities large and small, the airlines are p r o v i d i n g scheduled passenger, f r e i g h t , and m a i l service t h r o u g h some 13,800 flights a day, operating around the clock. W e estimate t h a t i n 1973 the scheduled airlines w i l l carry about 1.4 b i l l i o n letters and more t h a n 200 m i l l i o n packages. T o get these tasks done, the airlines employ about 300,000 men and women a n d count heavily on the w o r k of scores o f thousands of other employees whose jobs are dependent on scheduled a i r l i n e operations. I present these capsule statistics t o indicate t h a t a i r transportation is a v i t a l and pervasive system, essential t o the f u n c t i o n i n g and wellbeing o f the U.S. economy t h r o u g h the safe, r a p i d , and reliable movement i n a dynamic society o f people and goods. L e t me t u r n n o w t o w h a t our fuel needs are. Obviously substantial quantities o f petroleum fuel are necessary to operate this national air transport system. Transportation as a whole i n the U n i t e d States consumes about 25 percent o f available energy and roughly 53 percent of the t o t a l domestic use o f petroleum. T h i s comes to 2.9 b i l l i o n barrels of petroleum products whose use is broken down by transport a t i o n modes f o r c i v i l i a n purposes as f o l l o w s : F i r s t , o n highway, the automobile takes 55 percent o f the transportation fuel, other h i g h w a y uses amount t o 29 percent, f o r a t o t a l of 84 percent highway. T h e airlines take 9 percent, waterborne transportation 4 percent and the railroads about 3 percent. T h e scheduled airlines consumed 242 b i l l i o n barrels o r 10.2 b i l l i o n gallons i n 1971, the last year f o r w h i c h f u l l year precise data is currently available. T h i s fuel cost the airlines $1.2 b i l l i o n , the highest element of cost except f o r labor i n the airline operations. Since t h e commercial airline fleet has converted almost entirely to jet-powered a i r c r a f t the fuel we use is j e t fuel, a middle distillate a k i n t o kerosene. I t is i m p o r t a n t to note t h a t the airlines and indeed almost a l l o f the transportation industry is dependent on petroleum—there is no 17 alternative energy source. T h i s p o i n t needs t o be kept i n m i n d as longer range plans f o r dealing w i t h the energy problem are considered, and new action programs are implemented. A greater use of coal energy, f o r example, on the p a r t o f the electric u t i l i t y industry could free up great quantities o f petroleum energy f o r use by transportation. Those are our needs. L e t me t u r n now t o availability of fuel. The airlines have not as yet encountered any widespread fuel supply problems which we have not been able -to handle by p r o m p t management action, b u t we have had some serious w a r n i n g signals and we must anticipate more trouble ahead. I n the early p a r t o f this year, several airlines were faced w i t h local shortages, p a r t i c u l a r l y i n the eastern p a r t o f the U n i t e d States. These problems were met p r i n c i p a l l y by f e r r y i n g fuel f r o m one location t o another, at an additional cost t o the airlines and some inconvenience t o our passengers. W e were determined t o maintain service f o r our passengers and shippers and we were able t o avoid h a v i n g to cancel flights. O u r best i n f o r m a t i o n is that we can expect similar problems throughout the summer and later. W e are t o l d by Government and o i l industry officials t h a t our supply situation w i l l be t i g h t , b u t that we should expect local o r spot shortages rather t h a n any general runout. I see no reason f o r believing t h a t the problem w i l l not continue f o r a period o f t i m e and can only hope t h a t t h a t w i l l not become worse. « Accordingly, i t is most important, as I have said, t h a t responsible Government officials develop contingency plans f o r dealing w i t h the fuel problems should the need arise. W e must have assurance that our v i t a l needs w i l l be met u n t i l the longer r u n solutions to the energy problems have taken effect. Thus, our immediate outlook is f o r spot o r occasional shortages. F o r example, a refinery shutdown resulting f r o m equipment malfunction could cause a tempory problem of some magnitude. The Government and the airlines must be prepared t o meet these problems p r o m p t l y . I suggest t h a t several steps w o u l d be h e l p f u l , i n c l u d i n g the following: (1) A n early w a r n i n g system, f u e l advisories, i f you w i l l , t h a t w i l l let us know when and where trouble can be expected. T h i s may give us time t o take remedial action i n something less t h a n a crisis atmosphere. (2) Release o f in-bond aviation fuel f o r domestic consumption to meet spot shortages. Such fuel is located at 27 airports and is normally available f o r use i n international flights. The A i r Transport. Association has asked the responsible Government officials i f this fuel could be released f r o m bond t o meet spot domestic needs hopef u l l y on a basis of predelegated authority, so t h a t decision time can be reduced t o a minimum. W e are pleased t h a t our suggestion is being reviewed. (3) W o r l d w i d e availability of distillate fuels, i n c l u d i n g jet fuels, is we are told, somewhat more favorable t h a n the availability of 18 gasoline. W e understand t h a t there may even foe some surplus o f distillate fuels as a result o f European refinery production. I f so, we hope t h a t under t h e new policies affecting imports o f petroleum, the o i l companies w i l l be able t o take advantage o f the situation to assure t h a t our needs are going t o be met. W h i l e I have, of course, concentrated o n f u e l f o r a i r c r a f t operations, i t is i m p o r t a n t to note t h a t the air transport i n d u s t r y also requires large quantities of gasoline f o r ground vehicles t h a t service f l i g h t operations and these needs must also be taken i n t o account i n the contingency plans the Government is developing. L e t me now t u r n briefly, M r . Chairman, t o conservation measures. F o r a l o n g t i m e the airlines have practiced f u e l conservation measures, not only to save f u e l b u t also t o reduce costs. F o r example, they make w i d e use o f simulators f o r t h e t r a i n i n g o f aircrews t h a t w o u l d otherwise require actual flights. The f u e l savings resulting f r o m t h i s practice amounted t o 30 m i l l i o n gallons i n 1971. F u e l sayings resulting f r o m operational practices are also being achieved. I am pleased t o report t h a t the A i r T r a n s p o r t Association's operations committee, consisting of top executives f r o m the operations side o f the industry, are s t u d y i n g ways to increase present fuel-saving measures and to i d e n t i f y new fuel-saving opportunities. These measures include s h u t t i n g off one o r more engines d u r i n g t a x i i n g operations, reduction of i d l i n g t i m e on the ground and reduct i o n o f cruise speed w i t h consequent f u e l savings. O f course, measures o f t h i s k i n d must always be evaluated i n terms o f "Safety and other operational requirements. » T h e C A B , recognizing the need t o conserve fuel, has recently authorized discussions t h a t w o u l d p e r m i t the continuance o f capacity reductions on certain transcontinental flights. The C A B chairman has called 'attention t o the possibility o f additional f u e l savings t h a t w o u l d result f r o m capacity reductions on routes other t h a n the toramscoinitinentail routes i n question. The airlines have not as yeft had t i m e t o respond t o these suggestions f r o m t h e C A B . Some airlines view capacity reductions o f this t y p e w i t h concern because they feel such reductions could affect t h e overall operational and competit i v e f r a m e w o r k o f o u r a i r transportation system. T h i s is a challenging problem f o r w h i c h there are no easy answers, b u t I am certain t h a t a l l views w i l l foe given consideration i n any actions the C A B may consider t a k i n g as related to fuel conservation. I should also note t h a t the C A B has asked the airlines to propose plans f o r meeting any f u e l shortages t h a t may develop a t any o f the 22 m a j o r a i r p o r t hub city airports throughout the U n i t e d States. L e t me t u r n now t o fuel costs. I have already indicated t h a t f u e l costs represent the largest category o f costs except f o r labor i n airline operations. Accordingly, we are hopeful t h a t j e t f u e l costs w i l l not rise significantly. T o give you some sense of the order of magnitude here, a 1 cent-a gallon increase i n o u r f u e l w o u l d cost the industry as a whole $100 m i l l i o n a year. One cent is $100 m i l l i o n . T o p u t $100 m i l l i o n i n context, t h e entire i n d u s t r y i n 1972 made a p r o f i t o f only $225 m i l l i o n . So, we are t a l k i n g about a very sizable cost category here t h a t w o u l d be very sensit i v e t o cost increases. 19 Some recently concluded fuel contracts reported by several airlines give us some basis f o r concern and apprehension. Some o f these cost increases undoubtedly reflect the higher costs t h a t the o i l companies must pay f o r crude. W e are hopeful, however, t h a t the o i l companies w i l l make every reasonable effort not only to assure a v a i l a b i l i t y of jet fuel b u t also to h o l d the line on price. I n this connection, I was pleased t o see i n a recent news article t h a t one of the major o i l companies had reduced the price of one of its products, heavy fuel oil. W h i l e i t may be unrealistic to expect t h a t the price o f jet fuel w i l l be reduced, we nevertheless hope t h a t i t w i l l not increase significantly. A s a regulated industry, i t is not possible f o r the airlines to obtain immediate relief f o r cost increases. Moreover, a significant cost increase ultimately reflected i n higher a i r fares would have a widespread effect on i n d i v i d u a l passengers and shippers and overall l i v i n g cost, i n view o f the pervasive nature of our national a i r transportation system. H a v i n g said this, I w a n t also t o point out t h a t the petroleum industry has always recognized the v i t a l role of the airlines and has done much t h r o u g h research and development, as well as t h r o u g h supply and distribution, t o help the airlines to do the job. W e have had our differences, t o be sure, b u t these have been resolved w i t h rare exception, i n an equitable manner. I , f o r one, hope this relationship w i l l continue. L e t me conclude, M r . Chairman, by expressing once again m y appreciation f o r the interest t h i s committee is showing i n the fuel problem and by quickly summarizing my remarks. 1. W e expect spot fuel shortages i n the coming months and greater difficulties as time goes by u n t i l long r u n steps t o remedy the situat i o n have had t i m e t o take effect. Accordingly, we believe the Government should develop contingency plans to assure that transportation and other v i t a l needs w i l l be met. I n addition, arrangements should be made to deal p r o m p t l y w i t h spot shortages, i n c l u d i n g consideration of the several suggestions I have made today. Secondly, transportation f o r the foreseeable f u t u r e must depend upon petroleum as its energy source. I f industries t h a t have available alternative energy sources can use less petroleum, the transportation sector w i l l be benefited. T h i r d l y , transportation, like all segments o f the economy must seek and practice opportunities to conserve scarce fuel. The airlines are already doing t h i s and hope t o extend the fuel savings they are already making. F o u r t h , the energy problem confronts all o f us—the Congress, the executive agencies, industry and the American public. A l l o f us must do our p a r t to insure t h a t our needs are met w i t h the least possible dislocation t o economic activity, environmental objectives, and our balance of payments needs. The scheduled airline industry is prepared to iassist the effort u n t i l such t i m e as our energy problems are surmounted. T h i s completes m y statement, M r . Chairman. L i k e the former witness, I w i l l be pleased t o answer questions later on. [ T h e statement o f M r . Ignatius f o l l o w s : ] 20 Statement o f P a u l R. I g n a t i u s P r e s i d e n t , A i r T r a n s p o r t A s s o c i a t i o n o f America b e f o r e t h e Senate Committee on B a n k i n g , Housing and Urban A f f a i r s May 7 , 1973 My name i s Paul R. I g n a t i u s . I am P r e s i d e n t o f t h e A i r Transport A s s o c i a t i o n , which represents v i r t u a l l y a l l of the scheduled, a i r l i n e s of the United certificated States. I a p p r e c i a t e t h i s o p p o r t u n i t y t o appear b e f o r e you t o p r e s e n t our p r e l i m i n a r y v i e w s on t h e f u e l p r o b l e m , how i t a f f e c t s t h e a i r l i n e s , and what a d d i t i o n a l s t e p s t h e a i r l i n e s and t h e government m i g h t t a k e t o meet challenge. this I n p r e p a r i n g t h i s t e s t i m o n y , I have been guided by the l e t t e r from t h e Committee d a t e d A p r i l 25, 1973 w h i c h o u t l i n e d t h e q u e s t i o n s t h e Committee intended to pursue i n t h i s hearing. Before p r o c e e d i n g f u r t h e r , I want t o say t h a t I b e l i e v e t h a t the r e c e n t l y enacted amendment t o t h e Economic S t a b i l i z a t i o n A c t w h i c h a u t h o r i z e s tr t h e e s t a b l i s h m e n t o f a p r i o r i t i e s and a l l o c a t i o n s program i s an i m p o r t a n t achievement. I am m i n d f u l , o f c o u r s e , t h a t t h i s much needed amendment was enacted a t t h e i n s t i g a t i o n o f t h i s Committee. H o p e f u l l y , i t w i l l n o t be n e c e s s a r y t o p u t i n t o e f f e c t a p r i o r i t i e s a l l o c a t i o n s program f o r f u e l . But c e r t a i n l y I t and i s w i s e and p r u d e n t t o have made p r o v i s i o n s f o r such a program s h o u l d c i r c u m s t a n c e s r e q u i r e t h i s t y p e o f control. I was p l e a s e d t o l e a r n t h a t development o f such a p l a n a l r e a d y has begun, and I hope t h a t t h i s c o n t i n g e n c y p l a n n i n g i s pursued on a p r i o r i t y I am c e r t a i n t h a t t h e s e h e a r i n g s w h i c h a r e b e i n g h e l d by t h e Senate Committee on B a n k i n g , Housing and Urban A f f a i r s w i l l c o n t r i b u t e much basis. 21 u s e f u l i n f o r m a t i o n t h a t w i l l h e l p t o i n s u r e t h a t t h e p r i o r i t i e s and a l l o c a t i o n s c o n t i n g e n c y p l a n i s e q u i t a b l e and e f f e c t i v e . T h i s h e a r i n g comes a t a most o p p o r t u n e t i m e . We a r e t h a t t h e Committee has moved p r o m p t l y t o assure t h a t v i t a l grateful functions, i n c l u d i n g t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , w i l l have adequate f u e l s u p p l i e s i n t h e event that c r i t i c a l s u p p l y problems d e v e l o p . L e t me t u r n now s p e c i f i c a l l y t o a i r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and how t h e f u e l s i t u a t i o n l o o k s t o us i n t h e a i r l i n e industry. SCOPE OF AIR TRANSPORTATION The commercial a i r l i n e s a r e t h e predominant common-carrier people i n i n t e r c i t y s e r v i c e . of About 75 per c e n t o f t h e passenger m i l e s o f domestic i n t e r c i t y t r a v e l aboard common c a r r i e r s — p l a n e s , buses and t r a i n s — by a i r . I n overseas t r a v e l , a i r l i n e s account f o r more t h a n 90 per More t h a n 200 m i l l i o n passengers w i l l be c a r r i e d by t h e are cent. scheduled a i r l i n e s o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s i n 1973, and t h a t s e r v i c e w i l l grow significantly i n t h e y e a r s i m m e d i a t e l y ahead. I n t h e i r l a n d i n g s and t a k e o f f s a t more t h a n 525 a i r p o r t s serving c i t i z e n s i n thousands o f c i t i e s , l a r g e and s m a l l , t h e a i r l i n e s a r e p r o v i d i n g scheduled p a s s e n g e r , f r e i g h t , and m a i l s e r v i c e t h r o u g h some 1 3 , 8 0 0 a d a y , o p e r a t i n g around t h e c l o c k . flights We e s t i m a t e t h a t i n 1973 t h e scheduled a i r l i n e s w i l l c a r r y about 1 . 4 b i l l i o n l e t t e r s and more t h a n 200 m i l l i o n packages. To get t h e s e t a s k s done, t h e a i r l i n e s employ about 300,000 men and women and count h e a v i l y on t h e work o f s c o r e s o f thousands o f o t h e r employees whose j o b s a r e dependent on scheduled a i r l i n e operations. 22 I present these capsule s t a t i s t i c s to i n d i c a t e t h a t a i r transportation i s a v i t a l and p e r v a s i v e system, e s s e n t i a l t o t h e f u n c t i o n i n g and w e l l b e i n g o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s economy t h r o u g h t h e s a f e , r a p i d and r e l i a b l e movement i n a dynamic s o c i e t y o f p e o p l e and goods. FUEL NEEDS S u b s t a n t i a l q u a n t i t i e s of petroleum f u e l are necessary t o t h i s n a t i o n a l a i r t r a n s p o r t system. operate T r a n s p o r t a t i o n as a whole i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s consumes about 25 per c e n t o f a v a i l a b l e e n e r g y , and r o u g h l y 53 p e r c e n t o f t h e t o t a l domestic use o f p e t r o l e u m . T h i s comes t o 2 . 9 b a r r e l s o f p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s , whose use i s b r o k e n down by billion transportation modes f o r c i v i l i a n purposes as f o l l o w s : Highway Automobile Other 55% 29% T o t a l Highway 84% Airlines Water Railroad 9% 4% 3% The scheduled a i r l i n e s consumed 242 m i l l i o n b a r r e l s gallons) (10.2 billion i n 1971, t h e l a s t y e a r f o r w h i c h f u l l year p r e c i s e d a t a i s available. This f u e l cost the a i r l i n e s $1.2 b i l l i o n , c o s t except f o r l a b o r i n t h e a i r l i n e currently t h e h i g h e s t element o f operations. Since t h e commercial a i r l i n e f l e e t has c o n v e r t e d a l m o s t e n t i r e l y j e t powered a i r c r a f t the f u e l we use i s j e t f u e l , a m i d d l e d i s t i l l a t e to kerosene. to akin 23 It i s i m p o r t a n t t o n o t e t h a t t h e a i r l i n e s and indeed a l m o s t a l l of t h e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n d u s t r y i s dependent on p e t r o l e u m — t h e r e i s no a l t e r n a t i v e energy s o u r c e . T h i s p o i n t needs t o be k e p t i n mind as l o n g e r range p l a n s f o r d e a l i n g w i t h t h e energy p r o b l e m a r e c o n s i d e r e d , and new a c t i o n programs a r e implemented. A g r e a t e r use o f c o a l e n e r g y , f o r example, on t h e p a r t o f t h e e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y i n d u s t r y c o u l d f r e e up g r e a t o f p e t r o l e u m energy f o r use by quantities transportation. FUEL AVAILABILITY The a i r l i n e s have n o t as y e t e n c o u n t e r e d any w i d e s p r e a d f u e l s u p p l y problems w h i c h we have n o t been a b l e t o h a n d l e by prompt management a c t i o n , b u t we have had some s e r i o u s w a r n i n g s i g n a l s and we must a n t i c i p a t e more t r o u b l e ahead. I n t h e e a r l y p a r t o f trhis y e a r , s e v e r a l a i r l i n e s were f a c e d w i t h shortages, p a r t i c u l a r l y i n the eastern p a r t of the United States. local These problems were met p r i n c i p a l l y by f e r r y i n g f u e l f r o m one l o c a t i o n t o a n o t h e r , a t an a d d i t i o n a l c o s t t o t h e a i r l i n e s and some i n c o n v e n i e n c e t o our p a s s e n g e r s . We were d e t e r m i n e d t o m a i n t a i n s e r v i c e f o r our passengers and s h i p p e r s , and we were able to avoid having t o cancel flights. Our b e s t i n f o r m a t i o n i s t h a t we can expect s i m i l a r problems t h e summer and l a t e r . We a r e t o l d by government and o i l i n d u s t r y throughout officials t h a t our s u p p l y s i t u a t i o n w i l l be t i g h t , b u t t h a t we s h o u l d e x p e c t l o c a l o r s p o t s h o r t a g e s r a t h e r t h a n any g e n e r a l r u n - o u t . I see no r e a s o n f o r believing t h a t t h e p r o b l e m w i l l n o t c o n t i n u e f o r a p e r i o d o f t i m e and can o n l y hope t h a t i t w i l l n o t become w o r s e . 24 Accordingly, i t i s most i m p o r t a n t , as I have s a i d , t h a t responsible government o f f i c i a l s d e v e l o p c o n t i n g e n c y p l a n s f o r d e a l i n g w i t h t h e p r o b l e m s h o u l d t h e need a r i s e . fuel We must have assurance t h a t o u r v i t a l needs w i l l be met u n t i l t h e l o n g e r - r u n s o l u t i o n s t o t h e energy p r o b l e m have t a k e n effect. Thus, our immediate o u t l o o k i s f o r s p o t o r o c c a s i o n a l s h o r t a g e s . example, a r e f i n e r y shut-down r e s u l t i n g f r o m equipment m a l f u n c t i o n cause a temporary p r o b l e m o f some m a g n i t u d e . For could The government and t h e airlines must be p r e p a r e d t o meet t h e s e problems p r p m p t l y . I suggest t h a t s e v e r a l s t e p s w o u l d be h e l p f u l , (1) i n c l u d i n g the An e a r l y w a r n i n g system — f u e l a d v i s o r i e s , if you w i l l — w i l l l e t us know when and where t r o u b l e can be e x p e c t e d . that T h i s may g i v e us t i m e t o t a k e r e m e d i a l a c t i o n i n something l e s s t h a n a c r i s i s (2) following: atmosphere. Release o f i n - b o n d a v i a t i o n f u e l f o r domestic c o n s u m p t i o n t o meet spot shortages. Such f u e l i s l o c a t e d a t 27 a i r p o r t s and i s n o r m a l l y f o r use i n i n t e r n a t i o n a l f l i g h t s . r e s p o n s i b l e government o f f i c i a l s i f available The A i r T r a n s p o r t A s s o c i a t i o n has asked t h e t h i s f u e l c o u l d be r e l e a s e d f r o m bond t o meet s p o t d o m e s t i c needs, h o p e f u l l y on a b a s i s o f p r e - d e l e g a t e d a u t h o r i t y , t h a t d e c i s i o n t i m e can be reduced t o a minimum. so We a r e p l e a s e d t h a t o u r s u g g e s - t i o n i s being reviewed. (3) The w o r l d - w i d e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s , including j e t i s , we a r e t o l d , somewhat more f a v o r a b l e t h a n t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f fuels, gasoline. We u n d e r s t a n d t h a t t h e r e may even be some s u r p l u s o f d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s as a r e s u l t o f European r e f i n e r y p r o d u c t i o n . If s o , we hope t h a t under t h e new p o l i c i e s a f f e c t i n g imports of petroleum, t h e o i l companies w i l l be a b l e t a k e advantage o f t h e s i t u a t i o n t o a s s u r e t h a t o u r needs w i l l be m e t . to 25 W h i l e I h a v e , o f c o u r s e , c o n c e n t r a t e d on f u e l f o r a i r c r a f t it operations, i s important to note t h a t the a i r transport i n d u s t r y also requires q u a n t i t i e s o f g a s o l i n e f o r ground v e h i c l e s t h a t s e r v i c e f l i g h t operations. These needs must a l s o be t a k e n i n t o account i n t h e c o n t i n g e n c y p l a n s government i s large the developing. CONSERVATION MEASURES For a l o n g t i m e t h e a i r l i n e s have p r a c t i c e d f u e l c o n s e r v a t i o n measures, n o t o n l y t o save f u e l , b u t a l s o t o reduce c o s t s . For example, t h e y make w i d e use o f s i m u l a t o r s f o r t h e t r a i n i n g o f a i r crews t h a t would o t h e r w i s e r e q u i r e actual f l i g h t s . The f u e l s a v i n g s r e s u l t i n g f r o m t h i s p r a c t i c e amounted t o 30 m i l l i o n g a l l o n s i n 1971. Fuel savings r e s u l t i n g from o p e r a t i o n a l p r a c t i c e s are also being achieved. I am p l e a s e d t o r e p o r t t h a t t h e A i r T r a n s p o r t Association's O p e r a t i o n s Committee, c o n s i s t i n g o f t o p e x e c u t i v e s f r o m t h e o p e r a t i o n s side o f t h e i n d u s t r y , a r e s t u d y i n g ways t o i n c r e a s e p r e s e n t f u e l - s a v i n g measures and t o i d e n t i f y new f u e l - s a v i n g o p p o r t u n i t i e s . These measures i n c l u d e shutting o f f one o r more e n g i n e s d u r i n g t a x i i n g o p e r a t i o n s , r e d u c t i o n o f i d l i n g t i m e on t h e g r o u n d , and r e d u c t i o n o f c r u i s e speed w i t h consequent f u e l s a v i n g s . c o u r s e , measures o f t h i s k i n d must always be e v a l u a t e d i n terms o f and o t h e r o p e r a t i o n a l Of safety requirements. The C i v i l A e r o n a u t i c s B o a r d , r e c o g n i z i n g t h e n e e d t o conserve fuel, has r e c e n t l y a u t h o r i z e d d i s c u s s i o n s t h a t would p e r m i t t h e c o n t i n u a n c e o f c a p a c i t y r e d u c t i o n s on c e r t a i n t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s . The CAB c h a i r m a n has c a l l e d a t t e n t i o n t o t h e p o s s i b i l i t y o f a d d i t i o n a l f u e l s a v i n g s would r e s u l t f r o m c a p a c i t y r e d u c t i o n s on r o u t e s o t h e r t h a n t h e t a l routes i n question. that transcontinen- The a i r l i n e s have n o t as y e t had t i m e t o respond 26 t o these s u g g e s t i o n s f r o m t h e CAB. Some a i r l i n e s v i e w c a p a c i t y reductions o f t h i s t y p e w i t h c o n c e r n because t h e y f e e l such r e d u c t i o n s c o u l d a f f e c t t h e o v e r a l l o p e r a t i o n a l and c o m p e t i t i v e framework o f our a i r system. transportation T h i s i s a c h a l l e n g i n g p r o b l e m f o r w h i c h t h e r e a r e no easy a n s w e r s , b u t I am c e r t a i n t h a t a l l v i e w s w i l l be g i v e n c a r e f u l c o n s i d e r a t i o n i n any a c t i o n s t h e C i v i l A e r o n a u t i c s Board may c o n s i d e r t a k i n g as r e l a t e d t o fuel conservation. I s h o u l d a l s o n o t e t h a t t h e C i v i l A e r o n a u t i c s Board has asked t h e a i r l i n e s t o propose p l a n s f o r m e e t i n g any f u e l s h o r t a g e s t h a t may d e v e l o p a t any o f t h e 22 m a j o r a i r p o r t hub c i t y a i r p o r t s t h r o u g h o u t t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . FUEL COSTS I have a l r e a d y i n d i c a t e d t h a t f u e l c o s t s r e p r e s e n t t h e l a r g e s t category o f c o s t s except f o r l a b o r i n a i r l i n e o p e r a t i o n s . A c c o r d i n g l y , we a r e h o p e f u l t h a t j e t f u e l costs w i l l not r i s e s i g n i f i c a n t l y . Some r e c e n t l y concluded f u e l c o n t r a c t s r e p o r t e d by s e v e r a l a i r l i n e s g i v e us some b a s i s f o r concern and a p p r e h e n s i o n . Some o f t h e s e c o s t i n c r e a s e s u n d o u b t e d l y r e f l e c t t h e o i l companies must pay f o r c r u d e . the higher costs that We a r e h o p e f u l , however, t h a t t h e oil companies w i l l make e v e r y r e a s o n a b l e e f f o r t n o t o n l y t o a s s u r e a v a i l a b i l i t y jet f u e l b u t a l s o t o h o l d t h e l i n e on p r i c e . I n t h i s connection, of I was p l e a s e d t o see i n a r e c e n t news a r t i c l e t h a t one o f t h e m a j o r o i l companies had reduced t h e p r i c e o f one o f i t s p r o d u c t s , heavy f u e l o i l . W h i l e i t may be u n r e a l i s t i c t o e x p e c t t h a t t h e p r i c e o f j e t f u e l w i l l be r e d u c e d , we n e v e r t h e l e s s hope t h a t i t w i l l not increase s i g n i f i c a n t l y . As a r e g u l a t e d i n d u s t r y , i t p o s s i b l e f o r t h e a i r l i n e s t o o b t a i n immediate r e l i e f is f o r cost increases. not More- 27 over, a s i g n i f i c a n t cost increase u l t i m a t e l y r e f l e c t e d i n higher a i r fares would have a w i d e s p r e a d e f f e c t on i n d i v i d u a l passengers and s h i p p e r s and o v e r a l l l i v i n g c o s t s , i n view of the pervasive nature of our n a t i o n a l transportation air system. Having s a i d t h i s , I want a l s o t o p o i n t o u t t h a t t h e p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y has always r e c o g n i z e d t h e v i t a l r o l e o f t h e a i r l i n e s and has done much t h r o u g h r e s e a r c h and development, as w e l l as t h r o u g h s u p p l y and d i s t r i b u t i o n , t h e a i r l i n e s t o do t h e j o b . We have had our d i f f e r e n c e s , to help t o be s u r e , b u t t h e s e have been r e s o l v e d , w i t h r a r e e x c e p t i o n , i n an e q u i t a b l e manner. l o o k f o r w a r d t o a c o n t i n u a t i o n o f t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p , and t o w o r k i n g I together, w i t h a s s i s t a n c e f r o m t h e government, as n e c e s s a r y , t o a s s u r e adequate f u e l s u p p l i e s a t f a i r and r e a s o n a b l e prices. CONCLUSION L e t me c o n c l u d e , M r . Chairman, by e x p r e s s i n g once a g a i n my a p p r e c i a t i o n f o r the i n t e r s t t h i s Committee i s showing i n t h e f u e l p r o b l e m and by q u i c k l y summarizing my r e m a r k s . F i r s t , we expect s p o t f u e l s h o r t a g e s i n t h e coming months and g r e a t e r d i f f i c u l t i e s as t i m e goes by u n t i l l o n g r u n s t e p s t o remedy t h e have had t i m e t o t a k e e f f e c t . situation A c c o r d i n g l y , we b e l i e v e t h e government s h o u l d develop c o n t i n g e n c y p l a n s t o assure t h a t t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and o t h e r v i t a l needs w i l l be met. I n a d d i t i o n , arrangements s h o u l d be made t o d e a l p r o m p t l y w i t h s p o t s h o r t a g e s , i n c l u d i n g c o n s i d e r a t i o n o f t h e s e v e r a l s u g g e s t i o n s I have made today. S e c o n d l y , t r a n s p o r t a t i o n f o r t h e f o r e s e e a b l e f u t u r e must depend upon p e t r o l e u m as i t s energy s o u r c e . If i n d u s t r i e s t h a t have a v a i l a b l e alternative energy sources can use l e s s p e t r o l e u m , t h e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s e c t o r w i l l be 96-183 O - 73 - 3 28 benefitted. Thirdly, transportation, l i k e a l l segments o f t h e economy must seek and p r a c t i c e o p p o r t u n i t i e s t o conserve s c a r c e f u e l . The a i r l i n e s a r e a l r e a d y d o i n g t h i s and hope t o e x t e n d t h e f u e l s a v i n g s t h e y a r e a l r e a d y m a k i n g . F o u r t h , f u e l i s a m a j o r element i n our c o s t s t r u c t u r e and we a r e a n x i o u s to avoid s i g n i f i c a n t cost Finally, increases. t h e energy p r o b l e m c o n f r o n t s a l l o f us — t h e Congress, E x e c u t i v e a g e n c i e s , i n d u s t r y , and t h e American p u b l i c . A l l o f us must do o u r p a r t t o i n s u r e t h a t o u r needs a r e met w i t h t h e l e a s t p o s s i b l e t o economic a c t i v i t y , needs. the dislocation e n v i r o n m e n t a l o b j e c t i v e s , and our b a l a n c e o f payments The scheduled a i r l i n e i n d u s t r y i s p r e p a r e d t o a s s i s t t h e e f f o r t such t i m e as our energy problems a r e surmounted. I w i l l now be p l e a s e d t o address any q u e s t i o n s t h a t you may w i s h t o d i r e c t t o my a t t e n t i o n . until 29 UNITED STATES A I R L I N E INDUSTRY FORECAST OF TURBINE FUEL DEMAND 1972 - Prepared Fuels Transport By The Committee of Air 1981 the Association May 1972 of America 30 TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE NO. FOREWORD 5 SUMMARY 7 PARTICIPATING AIRLINES 8 EXPLANATIONS 9 TABLES TABLES I ANNUAL VOLUME BY PAD DISTRICT WITH ANNUAL TOTAL U . S . VOLUME FOR 1971-1976 and 1981 10-13 TABLE I I ANNUAL VOLUME BY U . S . AIRPORTS I N PAD DISTRICTS FOR 1971-1976 14-33 TABLE I I I ANNUAL VOLUME BY INDIVIDUAL STATES FOR 1971-1976 34-37 U . S . DEMAND FOR YEARS 1 9 7 1 - 1 9 8 1 38 PAD 39 CHARTS CHART I CHART II CHART I I I MAP DEMAND FOR YEARS 1971-1976 U . S . DEMAND FORECAST CURRENT VS. PRIOR YEARS 40 PETROLEUM ADMINISTRATION FOR DEFENSE (PAD) DISTRICTS 41 31 FOREWORD The A i r T r a n s p o r t A s s o c i a t i o n o f America member a i r l i n e s have made a major e f f o r t t o assemble h e r e i n a c o n s o l i d a t e d r e c o r d o f t u r b i n e f u e l used i n 1971 and f o r e c a s t f o r consumption through 1981. This record represents scheduled commercial a i r c r a f t o p e r a t i o n s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s by domestic and f o r e i g n a i r l i n e s . Although 100% coverage was not p o s s i b l e , t h e d a t a t h a t f o l l o w s a d e q u a t e l y r e p r e s e n t s p r o j e c t e d r e q u i r e m e n t s by major a i r p o r t s , P e t r o leum A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (PAD) D i s t r i c t s and fey t h e i n d i v i d u a l f i f t y states. T h i s p u b l i c a t i o n i s t h e f i f t h i n a s e r i e s o f annual forecasts. I t i s prepared for the information of s u p p l i e r s , t r a n s p o r t e r s , s e r v i c e companies and o t h e r agencies concerned w i t h p l a n n i n g f o r a i r l i n e t u r b i n e f u e l r e q u i r e m e n t s . Because of t h e l a r g e volume of f u e l used, maximum e f f i c i e n c y and economy i n t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and s e r v i c i n g i s r e q u i r e d . F u e l equipment m a n u f a c t u r e r s and s e r v i c i n g companies i n p a r t i c u l a r may f i n d t h i s p u b l i c a t i o n u s e f u l f o r p l a n n i n g t h e p r o d u c t i o n o f equipment and s e r v i c e programs. Bonded f u e l i s i d e n t i f i e d s e p a r a t e l y and bondable f u e l i s a l s o shown t o r e f l e c t t h a t p o r t i o n o f t h e t o t a l demand e l i g i b l e f o r w i t h d r a w a l under U. S. Customs bonded c o n t r o l f o r use in international operations. This information w i l l a s s i s t s u p p l i e r s i n i d e n t i f y i n g those a i r p o r t s where a v a i l a b i l i t y o f bonded f u e l i s e s s e n t i a l . 32 SUMMARY T h i s f o r e c a s t p r o j e c t s t u r b i n e f u e l consumption a t a l l a i r p o r t s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s h a v i n g an annual volume of 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 g a l l o n s or more, as p r o j e c t e d by t h e c e r t i f i cated a i r c a r r i e r s p a r t i c i p a t i n g . The a c t u a l o r p r o j e c t e d f u e l consumption o f n o n - p a r t i c i p a t i n g a i r c a r r i e r s or o t h e r users of a v i a t i o n f u e l i s not i n c l u d e d i n t h i s f o r e c a s t . The t o p a i r p o r t s i n terms o f t o t a l t u r b i n e f u e l r e p o r t e d t o be consumed i n 1971 a r e l i s t e d below i n descending order. Data expressed i s i n thousand g a l l o n s : # JFK LAX ORD SFO MIA HNL ATL DAL LGA BOS SEA DEN PHL EWR (Kennedy-New York) (Los Angeles) (Chicago O'Hare) (San F r a n c i s c o ) (Miami I n t e r n a t i o n a l ) (Honolulu) * (Atlanta) ( D a l l a s Love F i e l d ) (La Guardia-New York) (Boston Logan) (Seattle) (Denver) (Philadelphia) (Newark) STL (St. IAH DTW MSP DCA PIT CLE (Houston I n t e r n a t i o n a l ) (Detroit) ( M i n n e a p o l i s - S t . Paul) (Washington, D . C . - N a t i o n a l ) (Pittsburg) (Cleveland) Louis) Domestic Bonded Total 396 ,575 758 ,238 729 ,102 489 ,832 321 ,753 186 , 3 9 1 330 ,405 303 ,876 262 ,325 197 ,888 195 , 5 0 0 226 ,505 139 ,473 147 ,543 165 ,409 142 , 9 9 1 145 ,794 143 , 1 6 0 139 ,282 104 ,155 109 ,362 551 ,018 131 ,267 94 ,217 104 ,662 109 ,515 208 ,855 7 ,216 18 ,776 9 ,203 71 , 7 5 2 68 ,254 947,583 889,505 823,319 594,494 431,268 395,246 337,621 • 322,652 271,528 269,640 263,754 226,505 172,393 165,910 165,409 155,201 154,272 151,919 139,282 113,073 109,362 - 32 , 9 2 0 18 ,367 - 12 ,210 8 ,478 8 ,759 - 8 ,918 - These p r o j e c t i o n s made i n t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r 1972 show t h e c u r r e n t consumption downtrend as compared t o p r e v i o u s y e a r s 1 estimates. Also, these i n d i v i d u a l a i r p o r t f o r e c a s t s a r e n o t r e a d i l y a v a i l a b l e elsewhere and by b e i n g updated a n n u a l l y t h i s r e p o r t o f f e r s e s s e n t i a l d a t a f o r longrange p l a n n i n g t o f u r t h e r assure d e l i v e r y of adequate volume a t minimum c o s t . 33 PARTICIPATING CARRIERS L i s t e d below a r e t h e ATA A i r C a r r i e r s and o t h e r coopera t i n g A i r C a r r i e r s who have s u p p l i e d t h e f o r e c a s t s used to prepare t h i s consolidated r e p o r t . A i r Canada A i r France A i r West Allegheny A i r l i n e s , I n c . Alaska A i r l i n e s , I n c . Aloha A i r l i n e s , I n c . American A i r l i n e s , I n c . B r i t i s h Overseas Airways Corp. Braniff International Canadian P a c i f i c A i r l i n e s L t d . Continental Air Lines, Inc. Delta Air Lines, Inc. Eastern A i r l i n e s , I n c . El Al I s r a e l A i r l i n e s Ltd. Flying Tiger Line, Inc. Frontier Airlines, Inc. Hawaiian A i r l i n e s Japan A i r Lines Co. L t d . KLM - Royal Dutch A i r l i n e s L u f t h a n s a - German A i r l i n e s National Airlines, Inc. Northeast A i r l i n e s , Inc. North Central A i r l i n e s Northwest A i r l i n e s , I n c . Ozark A i r L i n e s , I n c . P a c i f i c Western A i r l i n e s Pan American World A i r w a y s , I n c . P a c i f i c Southwest A i r l i n e s Piedmont A i r l i n e s , I n c . Qantas Airways L t d . Reeve A l e u t i a n A i r w a y s , I n c . Sabena B e l g i a n World A i r L i n e s Scandinavian A i r l i n e System Southern Airways, I n c . Texas I n t e r n a t i o n a l A i r l i n e s » I n o . Trans World A i r l i n e s , I n c . United Air Lines, Ino. Wein C o n s o l i d a t e d A i r l i n e s Western A i r L i n e s , I n c . 34 EXPLANATIONS Data Source - A i r Transport A s s o c i a t i o n Fuel Committee q u e s t i o n n a i r e completed by t h e D o m e s t i c / I n t e r n a t i o n a l and F o r e i g n / I n t e r n a t i o n a l A i r l i n e s c o l l e c t e d and t a b u l a t e d f o r t h e Committee by A e r o n a u t i c a l Radio, Inc. Methodology - Long r a n g e s c h e d u l e p l a n s d e t e r m i n e t h e f l e e t s i z e s a n d t h e i r make u p . The p l a n ned u t i l i z a t i o n o f a i r c r a f t t o meet t h e s e schedules, together w i t h i n d i v i d u a l airc r a f t type consumption r a t e s , produce the projections which are consolidated i n the a t t a c h e d t a b l e s and c h a r t s . DEFINITIONS Domestic Turbine Fuel - Turbine Fuel produced i n r e f i n e r i e s located w i t h i n the borders of the f i f t y states. Bonded T u r b i n e Bondable Fuel Fuel produced outside the f i f t y states and h e l d " i n b o n d " . I t i s used o n l y on i n t e r n a t i o n a l f l i g h t s i n accordance w i t h U.S. Treasu r y Department R e g u l a t i o n s and i s n o t s u b j e c t t o r e s t r i c t i o n s o f the U.S. O i l Import Program. T u r b i n e F u e l - The t o t a l amount o f f u e l u s e d on i n t e r n a t i o n a l f l i g h t s , a l l o f w h i c h i s now p u r c h a s e d o r when a v a i l a b l e c o u l d be p u r c h a s e d from " i n bond" supplies. PAD D i s t r i c t s - Petroleum A d m i n i s t r a t i o n f o r Defense d i s t r i c t s , as d e f i n e d b y t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s D e p a r t m e n t o f I n t e r i o r , Bureau of Mines. AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III {Data is axprassad in thousand 9*Hons) 1971 ACTUAL CONSUMPTION 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST PAD DISTRICT DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED OOMeSTIC BONDABLE TOTAL PAO DISTRICT I 2,676,854 899,341 864,329 2,862,143 1,000,444 960,622 2 * 986,887 1,017,544 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT II 1,887,138 126,090 111,454 2,064,956 143,914 115,979 2,174,144 121,406 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT II 716,093 57,702 49,443 744,347 62,848 54,422 770,950 64,830 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT IV 299,095 10,773 321,690 11,037 2,600 340,583 11,940 2,071,136 654,168 621,087 2,256,448 696,658 671,944 2,377,679 633,917 U.S. 7,650,316 1,748,074 1,646,313 8,249,584 1,914,901 1,805,567 8,650,243 1,849,637 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT V TOTAL FOR Tl IE AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is i x p r n s t d in thousand gallons) 1974 FORECAST 1975 FORECAST 1976 FORECAST 1981 FORECAST PAD DISTRICT DOMESTIC BONDABLE TOTAL PAD DISTRICT I 3#130* 976 1*070*999 3*300*749 1*139*486 3*455*737 1*212*346 4*201*440 1*606*996 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT II 2*261,997 126*912 2*405*100 142*010 2*533*343 133*250 3*266*010 179*963 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT II 604*924 71*263 870* 395 72*414 941*970 78*583 1*196*542 100*624 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT IV 355*448 12*070 372*233 12*532 384*519 13*051 462*339 14*162 2*486*130 676*263 2*624*373 729*331 2*769*914 819*460 3*374*726 715*808 U.S. 9*041*475 1*957,527 9*572*850 2*095*773 10*085*483 2*256*710 12*501*057 2*617*553 TOTAL PAD DISTRICT V TOTAL FOR Tl IE DOMESTIC BONDABLE DOMESTIC BONDABLE DOMESTIC BONDABLE AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is axprassad in thousand gallons) 1971 ACTUAL CONSUMPTION 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST PAD DISTRICT DOMESTIC TOTAL TOTAL BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE U.S. 7*6 50*316 1*748*074 1*6 4 6 * 3 1 3 8 * 2 4 9 * 584 1*914*901 1*805* 567 8*650*243 1*849*637 FOR E 11»N FLAG 9*851 442*570 424* 749 12*069 515*032 495*032 15*543 526*385 FOR Tl IE BONDABLE 00 •<r AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is expressed in thousand gallons) 1974 FORECAST 1975 FORECAST 1976 FORECAST 1981 FORECAST PAD D I S T R I C T DOMESTIC TOTAL TOTAL FOR TH : BONDABLE U.S. 9,041,475 1,957,527 F O R E I G I 1 FLAG 20*966 561,307 « DOMESTIC 9,572*850 BONDABLE DOMESTIC 2*095,773 10,085,483 638,338 BONDABLE 2 , 2 56* 710 738,112 DOMESTIC 12,501*057 BONDABLE 2,617,553 607,191 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is expressed in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT I 1971 CONSUMPTION S T AIRPORT ALLENTOWN AUGUSTA AL 3ANY ATLANTA WILKES-BARRE BALTIMORE HARTFORD BINGHAMPTON BOSTON BUFFALO COLUMBIA CHARLESTON CHARLOTTE CHARLESTON COLUMBUS OAYTONA BCH OC NATL ARPT CORNING ERIE NEW BERN NEWARK FAYETTE V I L L E FT LAUOERDLE GREENSBORO SPTNBG/GRNVL OULLES I N T E R WILMINGTON WINSTON-SALM 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC E PA GA NY GA PA MO CT NY MA NY SC SC NC WV GA FL OC NY PA NC NJ NC FL NC s.c VA NC NC ABE AGS ALB ATL A VP BAL BOL BGM BOS BUF CAE CHS CLT CRW CSG OAB OCA ELM ERI EWN EWR FAY FLL GSO GSP I AO ILM INT 1*149 2,942 10,429 333» 450 652 51,853 27*601 688 197,888 28,449 6,155 6,789 3b, 781 3,573 3,631 1,374 139,282 I ,206 504 598 147,543 1,838 39,691 8,546 1,137 92,061 4,360 4,876 BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC 4,208 2 , 9t>5 7,216 7,216 16,443 579 16,443 579 72,152 3,720 71,752 3,320 1,000 20,600 18,367 2,692 2,692 34,122 29,059 1 1,000 340,900 736 77,278 29,708 20 208,351 .37,066 6,246 7,416 39,452 3, 869 3,895 1,444 145,877 244 1,341 600 160,257 2,000 40,915 9,258 1,042 105,633 4,400 5,000 ! 12,000 !2,M2 17,993 670 17,993 670 87,266 4,282 82,266 3,403 2,800 22,725 19,385 2,255 2,255 47,292 46,792 . 1,293 3 , 160 11,400 356,502 736 80,515 30,870 20 218,988 37,328 6,617 8,177 43,119 4 , 119 4,230 1,546 154,174 2,440 1,542 1,625 166,345 2,250 42,122 9,702 1*048 111,630 4,500 5,125 BONDABLE 14*000 18,607 670 76,829 4*426 4,244 23,915 2*300 48,980 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA T A B L E |, 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST PAD DISTRICT I (Data is expressed in thousand gallons) 1974 FORECAST S T AIRPORT 1975 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC E BONDABLE DOMESTIC 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC ALLENTOWN PA ABE 4 , 7 8 0 4 , 8 3 0 AUGUSTA GA AGS 3,419 3 , 7 6 9 4 , 0 4 6 ALBANY NY AL-B 11,920 1 1 , 9 2 0 1 2 , 4 2 0 BONDABLE 4 , 9 3 0 ATLANTA GA ATI 1 4 , 5 0 0 4 0 2 , 9 2 4 15,000 4 2 6 , 3 5 3 WILKES-BARRE PA AVP 736 BALTIMORE HARTFQRO TTO B A L 8 4 , 2 6 0 1 9 , 2 2 0 9 2 , 1 2 0 1 9 , 8 3 8 9 5 , 4 9 1 2 0 , 5 5 5 CT B3L 3 1 , 7 6 0 770 3 5 , 2 7 1 970 3 8 , 8 8 0 1 , 0 2 0 3 LUGHA'IPTQN NY BGN 20 375,763 1 6 , 0 0 0 786 786 20 20 BOSTON MA 7 8 , 6 3 9 2 4 3 , 1 9 2 9 5 , 9 8 7 2 5 4 , 5 1 4 1 0 2 , 6 8 3 NY SC ADS BUF CAE 2 3 0 , 5 5 9 BUFFALO COLUMBIA 38,944 4 , 4 7 1 3 9 , 5 4 4 4 , 6 7 1 4 1 , 0 9 6 4 , 8 2 0 6 , 9 4 9 7 , 4 9 9 7 , 8 8 0 CHARLESTON sc CHS 8,887 9 , 6 4 3 1 0 , 3 1 9 CHARLOTTE NC CLT 4 4 , 9 8 9 4 7 , 9 1 4 5 1 , 7 0 8 CHARLESTON WV CRW 4 , 1 2 9 4, 139 4, 144 C2LUMBUS GA CSG 4 , 6 2 1 5, 102 5, 574 1 , 6 5 0 OAYTONA BCH DC ARPT 1,753 FL DAB 1,548 oc OCA 159,336 C3RNING NY ELFL 2,440 2 , 4 4 0 2 , 4 4 0 ERIE NEW BERN PA NC ERI EWN 1,542 1 , 6 1 9 1 , 6 1 9 1,625 1,625 NATL NEWARK NJ EWR 173,411 FAYETTEVILLE FT LAU3ERDLE NC FAY 2 , 5 0 0 FL FLL 4 4 , 1 1 0 GREENSBORO NC GSO 10,088 SPTN3G/GRNVL SC GSP 1,164 DULLES VA IAD 113,075 INTER WILMINGTON WINSTON-SALM NC NC ILM INT 4 , 7 5 0 5r25Q 4 , 6 4 4 2 7 , 2 5 0 1 6 5 , 4 3 0 1 8 5 , 6 2 8 4 , 6 4 4 4 6 , 1 2 1 2 , 4 0 0 2 9 , 2 9 0 4 8 , 7 1 7 2 , 5 0 0 1 0 , 9 1 5 1 , 2 6 6 1 , 2 6 5 1 1 9 , 8 5 4 1 9 4 , 0 7 4 2 , 5 0 0 1 0 , 6 1 0 5 1 , 1 6 3 4 , 6 4 4 1,625 2 8 , 4 6 0 2 , 5 0 0 2 , 4 0 0 1 7 2 , 3 5 7 5 3 , 7 9 3 1 2 5 , 3 5 3 4 , 7 5 0 4 , 7 5 0 ?f 259 5 , 2 5 0 6 2 , 1 6 9 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is expressed in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT I s 1971 CONSUMPTION T AIRPORT KINSTQN JACKSONVILLE J F K 1 N T L APT NY L A G U A R D I A LYNCH3URG MACON ORLANDQ/MCO M I DDL ETON MIAMI MELBOURNE NORFOLK ORLANDO PALM B E A C H PANAMA C I T Y PHIL/CAMDEN PITTSBURGH PENSACOLA PROVIDENCE PORTLAND DURHAM RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCHESTER SAVANNAH SARASOTA SYRACUSE TALLAHASSEE TAMPA 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC E NC FL NY NY VA GA FL PA FL FL VA FL FL FL PA PA FL RI ME NC VA VA NY GA FL NY FL FL ISO JAX JFK L GA LYH MCN MCO MDT MIA MLB ORF ORL PB I PFN PHL PIT PNS PVD PWM RDU RIC ROA ROC SAV SRQ SYR TLH TP A 976 31,938 395,575 262,325 661 1,076 23,794 1,233 321,753 2,330 20,289 4 , 843 8,995 668 139,473 104,155 7,674 1,735 523 13,729 4,324 10,028 13,948 3,235 2,705 18,207 804 89,269 BONDABLE BONDED 568,870 16,503 551,018 9,203 109,515 109,515 32,920 9,318 32,920 8,918 3,691 3,327 DOMESTIC 1,000 39,094 462,787 209,529 675 1*097 21,638 1,545 351,379 2,200 26,208 6,693 9 , 100 737 152,616 124,739 8, 500 4,204 540 14,142 5,500 10,040 17,234 3,296 2,700 19,541 908 100,389 BONDABLE BONDED 626,677 15,800 606,677 11,000 115,333 115,333 31,941 8, 800 30,241 8,000 4,610 4,610 DOMESTIC 1, 125 40,727 481,124 216,678 700 1, 153 22,509 1,560 362,179 2,500 27,318 6,900 9,465 618 160,462 129,597 9,700 4,580 555 14,413 5,800 10,300 17,862 3,478 '3/200 21,050 919 105,229 BONDABLE 644,326 16,500 116,726 J 2,25U 8,936 4,635 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT I AIRPORT (Data is axprassad in thousand fallons) \ 1974 FORECAST CODE E KINSTON JACKSONVILLE JFK I N T L APT NY L A G U A R D I A LTNLHdUKb MACON 3RLAN03/MC0 M I DOLE TON MIAMI NC FL NY NY VA GA FL PA FL MELBOURNE FL NORFOLK ORLANDO PALM BEACH PANAMA C I T Y PHIL/CAMDEN PITTSBURGH PENSACOLA PROVIDENCE PORTLAND DURHAM RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCHESTER SAVANNAH VA FL FL FL PA PA FL Rl ME NC VA VA NY SARASOTA GA PL SYRACUSE TALLAHASSEE TAMPA NY FL FL ISO J AX JFK LGA LYH MCN MCO MOT MIA ML 3 ORF ORL PBI PFN PHL PIT PNS PVO PWM ROU RIC ROA ROC SAV SftQ SYR TLH TP A DOMESTIC 1,250 42*469 508,152 227*206 750 1*239 24*046 1*571 377,850 2*550 2 8* 378 7*300 9*911 903 169*185 135*371 10*700 4*700 575 14*767 5*950 10*300 18*411 3*749 3*400 21*543 1*031 110*601 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE 680*267 17*000 DOMESTIC 1*250 44*575 528*010 237*528 BONDABLE 719*162 17*500 750 121*257 35*188 9* 150 5*080 1*353 25*728 1*585 394*002 2*750 28*968 7*500 10*465 1*006 181*196 144*010 11*200 4*830 590 15*131 6*150 10*300 19*297 4*137 21*893 1*044 119*044 126*652 35*929 9*150 1976 FORECAST DOMESTIC 1 250 46 543 548 330 249 089 750 1 455 27 157 1 600 411 467 2 800 30 478 7 900 11 0 6 1 1 106 188 727 151 622 12 0 0 0 4 870 610 BONDABLE 764*494 18*200 132*139 37*772 10*450 15 537 6 10 19 4 4 23 1 5*330 125 250 300 997 463 000 060 058 663 5*610 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is expressed in thousand |alions) PAD DISTRICT I 1971 CONSUMPTION AIRPORT JTICA EGLIN AFB OTHER IN,PAD TOTAL IN \ DOMESTIC NY FL PAD 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE JCA VPS BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC 1,571 4,269 2,080 4,730 2,392 5,200 I 4,173 6,181 6,271 I 2,676,854 899,341 864,329 2,862,143 1,000,444 960,622 2,986,887 BONDABLE 1,017,544 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAO DISTRICT I (Data is expressed in thousand gallons) s 1974 FORECAST T AIRPORT DOMESTIC JTICA EGLIN AFB OTHER IN TOTAL IN UCA VPS NY FL PAD PAO 1975 FORECAST 1976 FORECAST CODE BONDABLE 6 , A3 i I 3,130,976 BONDABLE 3,300,749 BONDABLE 6,525 6,430 1,070,999 DOMESTIC 2,392 6 , 897 2,392 6,270 2,392 5,700 I DOMESTIC 1,139,466 3,455,737 1,212,346 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III <D) PAD DISTRICT II s 1971 CONSUMPTION T AIRPORT WATERLOO A / P BISMARCK NASHVILLE AKRON/CANTON CHATTANOOGA CEDAR R A P I D S C L E V E L AND COLUMBUS CINCINNATI DAYTON DULUTH DES M O I N E S D E T R O I T , MET EVANSVILLE FARGO SIOUX FALLS FORT WAYNE GRAND FORKS G R E E N BAY GRAND R A P I D S WICHITA INDIANAPOLIS JOPLIN LEXINGTON LINCOLN SAGINAW M I D CONT I N T MIDWAY A I R P T MEMPHIS 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC E IA ND TN OH TN IA OH OH KY OH MN IA MI IN ND SD IN ND WI MI KS IN MO KY NB Ml MO IL TN ALO BIS BNA CAK CHA CID CLE CMH CVG DAY DLH DSM DTW EVV FAR FSD FWA GFK GRB GRR ICT IND JLN LEX LNK MBS MC I MOW MEM 879 1 ,435 21,878 1,597 2,098 721 109,362 29,122 59,298 23,775 973 8,093 145,794 2,169 5,125 2,525 1,420 1 ,627 b,785 1,083 15,335 37,559 1,129 1,789 1,518 1,271 8,985 24,474 62,123 BONDABLE BONDED 3,185 8,485 8,478 DOMESTIC 879 1,435 23,402 2,155 2,002 1,341 134,826 29,462 63,639 25,832 900 8, 753 171,466 2,195 7 , 162 2,509 1, 105 1,618 7,048 1,067 16,646 41,638 1, 129 2,180 1,670 1,294 14,000 23,456 65,295 BONDABLE BONDED 3,535 13,294 13,294 DOMESTIC 879 1,507 23,676 2,225 2,137 1,371 141,523 31,154 67,154 27,218 945 8,543 184,368 2,308 7,877 2,580 1,134 1,622 7,048 1,117 18,001 45,480 1, 129 2,335 1,746 1,334 124,521 24,386 69,949 BONDABLE 700 1,580 14,750 — — . 2,000 900 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (D PAD DISTRICT I I s T AIRPORT WATERLOO A / P BISMARCK NASHVILLE AKRON/CANTON CHATTANOOGA CEDAR R A P I O S CLEVELAND COLUMBUS CINCINNATI OAYTON OULUTH DES M O I N E S DETROIT* MET EVANSVILL E FARGO SIOUX FALLS F O R T WAYNE GRAND F O R K S G R E E N BAY GRAND R A P I D S WICHITA INDIANAPOLIS JOPLIN LEXINGTON LINCOLN SAGINAW M I D CONT I N T MIDWAY A I R P T MFMPHFS * t a " •«l»'assod 1974 FORECAST CODE E LA ND TN OH TN IA OH OH KY OH MN IA MI IN ND SD IN NO WI MI KS IN MO ALD BIS BNA CAK CHA CIO CLE CMH CVG DAY DLH DSM DTW EVV FAR FSO FWA GFK G^B GRR ICT INO JLN KY L E X N? LNK MI MBS MO M C I I L MOW JUL HFH DOMESTIC 879 1*597 2 5,918 2*325 2*311 1*371 14 7 * 9 7 6 32*597 70,614 2 8,433 990 8,523 194,418 2*498 8,664 2,580 1,181 1,642 7,100 1,252 18,953 47,185 1*129 2*474 1,791 1*334 129*057 25*421 74*732 thousand gallons) 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE 700 1,658 17*583 500 2*150 900 DOMESTIC 879 1*709 31,362 2*625 2*555 1*371 161*773 34*798 75,213 30*385 1*000 8,503 205*027 2*741 9*529 2*611 1*321 1*648 7*200 1*117 20* 113 49* 578 1*129 2*702 1*846 1*334 136*926 27*682 80*047 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE 700 1*738 24*166 700 2*300 900 DOMESTIC 879 1*845 32*134 2*625 2*740 i * i t i 170*287 36* 836 81*484 31* 824 1*200 8*973 215*960 2*945 10*480 2*644 1*374 1*654 7*300 1*217 21*312 52*164 1*129 2*860 1*914 1*534 143*181 29*066 86*648 BONDABLE 700 1*823 11*200 700 2*400 900 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is ixprimd in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT II \ AIRPORT 1971 CONSUMPTION CODE DOMESTIC E KANSAS C I T Y MO MKC WI MKE MILWAUKEE IA ML I DAVENPORT NO MOT 1 1 NOT MADISDN WI MSN MN MSP ST PAUL OK OKC OKLAHOMA CTY NB OMA OMAHA I L ORD OHARE F I E L D PEORIA A / P IL P I A KY PUK PADUCAH RAPID C I T Y SO RAP I N SBN SOUTH 3ENO KY SOF LOUISVILLE SAIINA KS SLN ST L O U I S MO STL SIOUX C I T Y IA SUX OH TOL TOLEDO TN T R I TRI-CITIES OK TUL TULSA TRANERSE C I T Y MI TVC TN TYS KNOXVILLE YNGS/WRN/SHN OH YNG A 89,562 4 5 , 3 89 1,975 572 3,570 143,160 16,123 19.819 729,102 2,558 811 2,134 1 , 142 27,883 582 165,409 3,500 2,449 1.543 31,899 761 11,674 556 OTHER IN PAO I 5,023 TOTAL IN PAO I 1,887,138 BONDABLE 1972 FORECAST BONDED 1,900 8,863 8,759 100,957 94,217 2,700 DOMESTIC 92,784 48,845 1,975 540 4,230 156,317 17,881 19,279 800,908 2,558 811 2,215 1,719 30,792 585 171,081 3 , 512 2,623 1 » 700 28,123 798 13,770 575 BONDABLE 1973 FORECAST BONDED 1 1 1 , 4 5 4 Jj 2,064,956 BONDABLE 1,900 12,284 12,284 107,201 87,401 5,700 3,000 5,231 126,090 DOMESTIC 51,053 1,975 541 4,507 167,697 19,084 19,959 823,601 2,558 811 2,306 1,769 34,672 614 180,945 3,512 2,710 l.QOO 28,480 798 13,504 575 2,306 95,370 3,200 600 5,306 143,914 115,979 2,174,144 121,406 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT II AIRPORT (Data It ixprtind in thousand gallons) s T 1974 FORECAST CODE E MILWAUKEE DAVENPORT MINOT MADISON WI IA NO WI 5T PAUL m OKLAHOMA CTY OMAHA OHARE F I E L D PEORIA A / P PADUCAH RAPID CITY SOUTH BEND LOUISVILLE SALINA ST L O U I S SIOUX C I T Y TOLEDO TRI-CITIES TULSA TRANERSE C I T Y KNOXVILLE YNGS/WRN/SHN OK NB IL IL KY SO IN KY KS MO IA OH TN OK MI TN OH MKE ML I MOT MSN HSP OKC OMA ORD PIA PUK RAP SBN SDF SLN STL SUX TOL TRI TUL TVC TYS YNG DOMESTIC 54*798 1*975 543 4*952 177*731 19*905 20*279 844*148 2*558 811 2*358 1*769 36*595 A51 189*385 3*512 2*860 2*100 29*316 800 13*923 575 OTHER IN PAO I 5*508 TOTAL IN PAD I 2*261*997 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE 2*284 97*137 3*400 600 DOMESTIC 58*593 1*975 552 5*360 192*333 21*057 24*578 888*682 2*558 811 2*432 1*969 39,292 697 199*034 3*512 3,010 2*150 29*922 800 14*500 765 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE 2,309 104*997 3*600 600 2*405,100 62*768 1*975 565 5*836 206*758 21*856 25*071 932,766 2,558 811 2*550 1,969 42*171 750 205,142 3*512 3,310 2*205 32,228 800 15,488 765 BONDABLE 2,309 106*918 3*900 1*800 600 5,909 5*794 126*912 DOMESTIC 142,010 2,533,343 133,250 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is axprassad in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT III 1971 CONSUMPTION S T A AIRPORT 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC E BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC AL3UQUERQUE NM ABO 3 2 , 7 7 9 3 4 , 2 0 4 AMARILLO TX AMA 5 , 1 6 1 4 , 8 3 5 AUSTIN TX AUS 2 , 2 6 6 1 , 7 6 5 1 , 9 0 8 BIRMINGHAM AL BHM 1 5 , 3 1 8 1 5 , 7 3 2 1 6 , 5 3 2 BEAUMONT TX BPT 705 900 900 BATON ROUGE LA BTR 1 , 6 1 0 1 , 6 4 1 1 , 7 3 3 CORPS CHRSTI TX CRP 1 , 6 8 8 TX DAL 3 0 3 , 8 7 6 DALLAS LV F1 3 6 , 2 2 4 4 , 8 4 8 660 1 , 5 4 0 1 9 , 6 8 1 1 8 , 7 7 6 3 1 8 , 8 7 7 1 9 , 5 1 8 1 8 , 6 9 2 3 2 5 , 8 7 4 2 3 . 6 5 5 839 EL PASO ALEXANDRIA TX ELP 2 6 , 2 0 2 2 3 , 7 1 7 LA ESF 309 819 FARMINGTON NM FMN 1 , 0 3 8 1 , 0 4 0 1 , 0 9 2 FORT AR FSM 2 , 0 0 5 1 , 9 6 0 2 , 0 3 6 MS SMITH I GSW 2 , 0 AO 2 , 0 0 0 2 , 0 0 0 HOB 550 550 600 HARLINGEN TX HRL 600 600 650 HUNTS V IL L E AL HSV 5 , 3 2 9 6 , 0 6 0 6 , 8 0 0 FT WORTH LEA CTY A/P TX HOUSTON I AH I , , 0 9 6 1 4 2 , 9 9 1 1 2 , 2 1 0 1 2 , 2 1 0 206 1 5 0 , 9 7 7 1 7 , 4 4 5 1 7 , 4 4 5 1 5 5 , 9 5 3 JACKSON MS JAN 8 , 0 1 0 8 , 2 2 7 8 , 9 1 6 LUBBOCK TX LBB 2 , 6 8 4 2, 2 , 9 4 7 LA LCH 570 580 580 AR LIT 5 , 6 5 0 5 , 5 0 3 6 , 1 9 8 LAKE CHARLES LITTLE ROCK 1 9 , 7 5 8 1 , 3 2 7 GPT TX NM GULFPORT BONDABLE 854 1 8 , 3 9 9 MIDLAND TX MAF 8 , 2 8 9 7 , 3 6 5 7 , 8 3 1 EDINBURG TX MFE 2 , 0 1 7 2 , 3 5 0 2 , 7 0 0 MONTGOMERY AL MGM 4 , 1 5 6 4 , 2 7 4 4 , 9 6 3 MONROE LA ML U 823 880 MOBILE AL MOB 1 , 3 8 8 NEW ORLEANS LA MS Y 9 0 , 3 8 7 16,537 1 6 , 5 3 7 9 6 , 5 0 8 1 6 , 6 8 5 1 6 , 6 8 5 1 0 0 , 3 6 2 1 7 , 4 1 0 SAN ANTONIO TX SAT 3 3 , 5 6 4 9 , 2 7 4 1 , 9 2 0 3 3 , 8 1 3 9 , 2 0 0 1 , 6 0 0 3 8 , 0 6 7 9 , 2 6 3 1, 954 1 , 4 7 5 420 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT I I I AIRPORT ALSUSUPROU? A* A 3 I L L O AUSTIN BIRMINGHAM BEAUMONT yA I UN KUUUk C0*PS CHRSTI DALLAS L V FD EL PASO ALEXANDRIA FARMINSTON FORT S M I T H GULFPORT FT W0RT.H LEA CTY A / P HARLIN6EN HUNTSVILL E HOUSTON JACKSON LUBBOCK LAKE CHARLES L I T T L E ROCK MIDLAND EDINBURG MONTGOMERY MONROE MOBILE MEW ORLEANS SAN A N T O N I O IData « sxprcsaad in thousand aallons) \ \ 1974 FORECAST ASQ A1A AUS BHM BPT BIK CRP DAL ELP ESF FMN FSM GPT GSW HOB TX HRL AL HSV TX I AH MS JAN TX LBS LA LCH AR L I T TX MAF TX MFE AL MGM LA MLU AL MOB LA MS Y T * SAT MM TX TX AL TX LA TX TX TX LA MM AR MS TX NM 1975 FORECAST 1976 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC ft,763 4 , 884 2,287 18,041 800 1,868 710 334,433 24,772 920 1,158 2,157 1,460 2,000 600 650 7,425 165,887 9,672 3,321 500 6,774 8,724 2,700 5,421 1,042 1,536 106,710 36,609 BONDABLE 3 19,862 1,400 21,923 18,878 9,220 DOMESTIC 40,668 5 , 185 2,299 19,023 850 2,062 750 363,636 28,587 1,023 1,239 2,307 1,606 2,000 625 730 9,448 179,401 10,671 3,425 500 7,184 8,961 3,000 5,943 1,146 1,700 114,250 37*770 BONDABLE 20,662 1,400 20,370 20,356 DOMESTIC 42,540 6 , 104 2, 501 20,364 900 2,225 750 399,807 31,729 1,074 1,340 2,490 1,767 2,000 650 730 9,993 189,254 11,526 4,572 560 6,325 r ,926 3*500 6,541 1*254 1,773 120*745 41.442 BONDABLE 21,324 1,400 24,214 21*387 10f25ft AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is axpressad in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT III 1971 CONSUMPTION S T A T E AIRPORT SHREVPPORT W I C H I T A FLLS LA TX OTHER IN PAO TOTAL IN PAO 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC SHV SPS BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC ID,093 soa 10,044 457 10,173 459 III 1,689 1,649 1,694 III 716,093 57,702 49,443 744,347 62,846 54,422 770,950 BONDABLE 64,630 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT III (Data is axprassad in thousand gallons) S AIRPORT T A CODE T E 1974 FORECAST DOMESTIC 10,909 414 5HREVEP0RT WICHITA FLLS LA TX 3THER III 1,777 III 804,924 TOTAL IN IN PAO PAO SHV SPS 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE 12,020 414 870,395 BONDABLE 12,931 534 1,970 71,283 DOMESTIC 2,103 72,414 941,970 78,583 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is expressed in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT IV 1971 CONSUMPTION S T A CODE T E AIRPORT BILLINGS 30ISE COLORADO SPG CASPER DENVER GRAND JCT GREAT F A L L S HELENA IDAHO F A L L S SALT LAKE CY NT ID CO WY CO CO fIT IT ID UT 81L BO I COS CPR DEN GJT GTF HLN IDA SLC DOMESTIC 12,957 5,042 3,456 2,741 22b,505 579 3,930 538 500 43,837 OTHER IN PAD IV 2,010 TOTAL IN PAD IV 299,095 BONDABLE 7,829 1,619 1,325 1972 FORECAST BONDED DOMESTIC 14,279 5,226 3,407 2,785 245,566 603 4,050 590 522 42,419 BONDABLE 1973 FORECAST BONDED 321,690 BONDABLE 1 5 , 5 6 8 5 , 5 5 5 2 , 8 9 2 3 , 0 1 1 8 , 0 3 5 2 , 6 0 0 2 6 0 , 5 4 6 8 , 6 6 9 634 1 , 6 5 1 4 , 4 1 5 1 , 3 5 1 4 4 , 3 4 3 1 , 7 9 9 6 4 9 570 2,243 10,773 DOMESTIC 1 , 4 7 2 2 , 4 0 0 1 1 , 0 3 7 2 , 6 0 0 3 4 0 , 5 8 3 1 1 , 9 4 0 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III { PAD DISTRICT I V AIRPORT 3ILLINGS 30ISE C 3 L 0 R A D 0 SPG CASPER )ENVER GRAND J C T GREAT FAILS HELENA I 0 A H 0 FALLS S A L T L A K E CY \ - 1974 FORECAST T CODE E t.Honi> 1975 FORECAST 1976 FORECAST a *1T 10 CO WY CO CO MT 1T 10 UT 31L BO I COS CPR DEN GJT GTF HLN IDA SLC DOMESTIC 16,956 5*913 4,072 3,049 271,265 671 4,492 712 585 45,167 OTHER IN PAD IV 2,533 TOTAL IN PAD I\ 355,445 °mtm " BONDABLE 5,799 1,799 1,472 DOMESTIC 18,578 6,482 4,091 3,183 281,922 716 4,706 752 614 48,462 BONDABLE 9,141 1,565 1,526 2,697 12,070 372,233 DOMESTIC 20,355 7,056 4,379 3,325 259,434 770 4,935 559 644 4 9 , 536 BONDABLE 9,536 1,933 1,552 2,590 12,532 354,519 13,051 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is i x p r M M d in thousand fallons) PAD DISTRICT V AIRPORT ANCHORAGE ANNETTE ISLD \ 1971 CONSUMPTION \ AK AK DOMESTIC ANC ANN 2 1 , 6 6 2 BONDABLE 9 4 , 2 3 1 BETHEL AK BET 500 CA BUR 3 , 2 2 9 WA EPH 821 821 FAIRBANKS AK FAI 3 , 8 1 8 9 , 3 0 7 FRESNO CA FAT 714 WA GEG 1 3 , 0 3 4 HONOLULU HA HA HNL I TO 1 8 6 , 3 9 1 HILO JUNEAU AK JNU LAS VEGAS INTL ARPT 2 3 , 1 1 8 BONDABLE 1 0 5 , 5 3 7 1973 FORECAST BONDED 1 0 5 , 5 3 5 977 EPHRATA LA 9 4 , 2 2 9 DOMESTIC 870 BURBANK SPOKANE 1972 FORECAST BONDED 9 , 3 0 7 1 1 , 4 0 0 1 1 , 4 0 0 2 0 0 , 9 1 7 4 , 9 5 6 2 1 2 , 8 1 8 2 1 2 , 8 1 8 2 2 2 , 7 7 9 2 0 , 1 4 5 2 2 , 0 7 2 1 9 , 9 3 0 2 , 9 8 5 3 , 1 0 0 3 * 3 3 8 NV LAS 8 4 , 2 8 3 188 CA LAX 7 5 8 , 2 3 8 1 4 6 , 9 5 9 WA 1 3 1 , 2 6 7 9 4 , 8 9 9 191 8 1 4 , 2 2 9 1 5 7 , 4 1 2 1 4 7 , 2 5 6 1 0 0 , 3 0 9 208 1 7 3 , 0 2 5 FLWH 9 , 0 3 0 1 2 , 0 6 9 KOOIAK AK NHB 618 OAK 519 8 , 4 9 6 574 CA 9 , 4 8 6 9 * 9 3 5 KAHULUI HA OGG 2 , 0 0 0 2 , 3 0 0 2 * 4 0 0 NOME ONTARIO AK OME 600 700 CA ONT 1 , 9 3 0 1 , 7 8 5 LAKE 15*543 750 2 , 0 0 8 POX 6 5 , 9 0 3 475 7 0 , 5 7 7 484 PHOENIX AZ PHX 7 1 , 9 3 2 762 8 4 , 2 0 3 777 KENNEWICK WA PSC 1 , 3 9 3 RENO NV RNO 7 , 2 2 1 CA SAN 9 3 , 3 7 5 PORTLAND SAN DIEGO OR 1 0 , 2 5 5 1 0 1 , 2 1 5 7 2 , 7 0 6 52 8 9 4 , 1 8 3 846 1 , 6 7 3 1 , 5 3 3 677 1 9 4 , 7 5 7 8 4 2 , 6 1 6 OAKLAND MOSES 1 1 * 9 0 0 16*232 1 5 , 0 0 8 2 0 8 , 8 5 5 1 1 3 * 2 4 1 1 , 0 1 6 993 2 1 5 , 6 9 1 2 4 , 4 2 5 1 , 0 6 0 2 , 5 9 4 509 4 , 6 2 4 BONDABLE 575 550 2, DOMESTIC 1 0 , 4 0 3 1 0 7 , 2 7 7 690 752 SEATTLE/TCNA WA SEA 1 9 5 , 5 0 0 7 1 , 9 3 0 6 8 , 2 5 4 2 1 4 , 8 4 7 8 4 , 4 0 3 8 0 , 9 6 0 2 3 0 * 7 4 0 3 3 , 6 5 2 SAN FRANCSCO CA SFO 108,614 1 0 4 , 6 6 2 5 3 2 , 7 1 7 1 1 8 , 4 4 6 1 0 9 , 4 7 5 5 5 5 * 6 9 7 1 0 0 , 5 0 8 SAN JOSE CA SJC 4 8 9 , 8 3 2 8 , 8 0 9 SACRAMENTO CA SFLF 4 , 0 3 9 5 , 2 8 7 5 , 3 7 7 TUCSON AZ TUS 9 , 3 7 2 1 0 , 4 6 1 1 2 , 1 2 8 1 0 , 3 3 1 1 0 , 8 6 8 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT V (Data is axprassad in thousand yallons) 1974 FORECAST S T AIRPORT DOMESTIC E BONDABLE ANCHORAGE AK ANC 2 5 , 0 8 0 ANNETTE AK ANN 1,110 ISLO 1975 FORECAST 1978 FORECAST CODE T 1 2 2 , 8 7 2 DOMESTIC 2 6 , 1 5 3 1, BONDABLE 1 3 7 , 3 0 7 125 DOMESTIC BETHEL AK BET 600 625 650 CA BUR 2 , 6 6 4 2 , 7 3 4 2 , 8 0 9 EPHRATA WA EPH AK F*A I 5 , 3 5 0 5 , 6 5 0 FRESNO CA FAT 1,039 1 , 1 3 2 SPOKANE WA GEG 1 7 , 5 5 4 2 0 , 0 7 3 H^L 2 3 7 , 9 7 2 HONOLULU HA HILO HA I TO JUNEAU AK JNU LAS LA VEGAS INTL MOSES ARPT LAKE 2 0 8 , 3 5 0 2 4 5 , 7 0 6 2 3 , 6 4 3 3 0 , 2 9 6 3 , 4 2 « 3 , 5 8 4 NV LAS 1 0 4 , 4 3 5 CA LAX 87 WA MWH 5 , 4 7 5 1 3 , 1 0 0 6 , 0 7 0 1, 1 3 , 8 0 0 145 2 1 , 4 9 8 2 2 6 , 9 4 8 2 5 9 , 2 9 3 2 6 2 , 1 9 4 3 0 , 5 6 4 3 , 7 5 2 208 1 0 9 , 6 9 5 215 1 1 6 , 9 0 2 1 8 7 , 5 7 3 9 2 4 , 1 5 8 1 9 7 , 4 0 8 9 7 2 , 7 8 0 222 * 2 0 7 , 8 3 9 2 0 , 9 8 8 AK NHB 638 658 694 OAKLAND CA OAK 9 , 9 6 5 1 3 , 9 5 4 1 4 , 8 4 9 KAHULUI HA OGG 2 , 5 0 0 2 , 6 3 0 K00IAK 1 6 1 , 6 7 1 1 , 2 9 0 BUR3ANK W A I'-J B A N K S BONDABLE 2 7 , 5 3 7 2 , 7 5 0 NOME AK OME 800 875 1 , 0 0 0 ONTARIO CA ONT 2 , 0 2 8 2 , 0 8 3 2 * 1 4 2 PORTLANO OR POX 7 5 , 3 4 4 528 8 2 , 5 7 8 547 8 7 , 1 3 0 567 PHOENIX A2 PHX 9 7 , 8 1 9 846 1 0 3 , 2 9 3 877 1 0 7 , 3 0 5 9 0 9 PSC 1,813 KCNNCWICK RENO SAN 0 1 EGO SEATTLC/TCMA WA 1 , 9 5 3 2 , 0 9 3 NV RNO 1 0 , 5 0 3 CA SAN 1 1 2 , 3 5 8 752 1 2 2 , 5 9 9 7 7 9 1 3 0 , 3 1 0 807 WA 2 4 4 , 8 3 5 3 4 , 0 5 2 2 6 0 , 5 4 5 3 5 , 6 8 9 2 7 4 , 5 0 5 3 7 , 3 3 1 5 7 4 , 4 2 5 1 0 4 , 0 8 2 6 1 3 , 0 9 5 1 1 1 , 4 6 1 6 5 2 , 5 3 8 1 2 8 , 1 4 0 1 1 , 3 6 9 1 1 , 5 3 6 SAN FRANCSCO CA SEA SFO SAN JOSE CA SJC 1 1 , 2 4 7 6 , 3 0 8 6 , 4 1 4 1 3 , 7 9 7 1 4 , 0 7 3 SACRAMENTO CA SMF 5 , 4 6 2 TUCSON A 7 TIIS 1 2 , 8 2 7 1 1 , 2 6 8 1 1 , 3 0 5 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Date is expressed in thousand gallons) PAD DISTRICT V 1972 FORECAST 1971 CONSUMPTION T AIRPORT A T E DOMESTIC BONDABLE BONDED OTHER IN PAD V 4,795 4,513 4,500 TOTAL IN PAD V 2,071,136 654,168 621,087 1973 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC 5, 112 2,256,448 BONDABLE BONDED DOMESTIC BONDABLE 4,500 4,500 5,543 4,500 696,658 671,944 2,377,679 633,917 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III PAD DISTRICT V (Data is axpr»*M<l in thovsaiMl flattens) \ AIRPORT 1974 FORECAST CODE DOMESTIC 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC BONDABLE OTHER IN PAD V 6,026 4,500 6,467 5,000 6,960 6,000 TOTAL IN PAO V 2,468,130 676,263 2,624,373 729,331 2,769,914 619,460 - AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE I I I (Data is expressed in thousand fallens) 1971 ACTUAL CONSUMPTION STATE DOMESTIC AK AL AR AZ CA CO CT DC DE FL GA HA IA ID IL IN KS KY LA flA MD nt MI MN MO MS MT 3i 26 8 81 1, 370 230 28 139 537 341 208 16 6 756 42 16 90 104 197 81 665 423 157 574 438 796 106 282 35 317 416 736 155 074 817 338 231 043 542 943 883 BONDABLE 108,051 762 256,250 7,829 579 1,000 1972 FORECAST BONDED DOMESTIC 108*049 235*929 579 115* 898 7,216 215,691 115* 534 7,216 208*855 100,957 94*217 16,537 72*152 16*443 16,537 71,752 16,443 8*485 8*863 4*600 8,478 8,759 981 149 144 265 9 18 873 183 924 428 236 1*619 1I 34* 447 27*741 7*968 94*961 1,480*685 249* 816 30*637 145*877 40 590*736 352*179 2 2 5 , 519 17*447 6*353 827*605 46*705 17* 544 97*734 110*722 208* 407 77*278 1*005 175*800 157*254 279*825 9*767 19*720 BONDABLE 1973 FORECAST BONDED 121*437 121*435 777 276*548 8*035 670 2*800 256*731 2*600 670 122*198 12*000 212*818 122*198 12*000 212*818 107*201 87*401 16*685 87*266 17*993 16*685 82*266 17*993 13*294 12*284 7*600 13*294 12*284 3*000 1*651 DOMESTIC i 36*624 30*051 8*716 106*638 1*539*722 264*324 31*799 154*174 40 613*331 368*551 245*359 17*267 6*784 851*228 50*739 18*944 105*285 114*841 219*046 80*515 1*62$ 188*812 168*679 307*434 10*599 21*491 BONDABLE 129*641 846 274,285 8*669 670 4*244 123*861 14*000 194*757 95*370 17*410 76*829 18*607 14*750 2*306 5*200 1*799 en CO A I R TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF A M E R I C A 1972 U. S. A I R L I N E I N D U S T R Y T U R B I N E FUEL FORECAST TABLE I I I (Data m expressed in thousand gallons) STATE 1974 FORECAST DOMESTIC AK 37*972 AL AR 32*732 9*439 AZ FL GA HA 111*006 1*597*22ft 2 7 6 * 27ft 32*669 159*336 40 642*445 366*641 264*590 IA 10 IL 17*247 7*207 672*610 IN 52*661 19*953 110*657 122*149 CA CQ CT DC OE KS KY ' LA MA Mrt 230*616 64*260 ME Ml MM 1*050 199*064 176*762 MO 320*422 11*517 23*076 MS ,. -ill-, 1975 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC 139*672 39*721 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE DOMESTIC 155*407 126*737 14*500 208*350 117*466 1*700*107 287*014 36*230 165*430 40 675*588 417*318 278*902 877 309*648 9*141 970 4*644 181*471 121*806 1*797*279 294*893 39* 809 172*357 40 708*465 441*927 292*932 17*697 8*541 965*073 58*500 22*465 127*689 139*059 909 336*786 9*536 1*020 4*644 95*967 19*836 254* 584 95*491 1*095 102*663 20*555 220* 206* 350* 13* 27* 134*382 15*000 226*948 500 17*227 7*856 919*605 55*657 18*878 78*639 19*220 21*183 118*381 131*233 243*254 92*120 17*583 2*284 5*550 1*070 209*739 193*375 337*958 24*166 2*309 5*900 1*799 12*702 25*004 1*665 97*137 BONDABLE 39*046 11*301 36*455 9*975 646 292*407 6*799 770 4*644 42*160 104*997 700 20*356 982 000 336 755 150 140*249 16*000 262*194 106*916 700 21*367 11*200 2*309 6*300 1*933 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is axprassad in thousand gallonsl 1971 ACTUAL CONSUMPTION 1972 FORECAST 1973 FORECAST STATE DOMESTIC N8 NC NH NJ N* NV NY OH OK OR PA RI SC SO TN TX UT VA VT WA WI WV WY TOTAL 3THER TOTAL U.S. 21,751 72,120 175 147,543 34,367 91,504 734,755 166,901 46,024 66,541 247,617 1,735 14,393 4,906 99,326 533,671 40,901 127,763 119 220,183 55,796 3,671 3,088 8,870 7,650,316 BONDABLE BONDED 20,600 18,367 188 589,093 3,185 563,541 475 42,238 41,838 32,906 41,165 1,325 34,122 29,059 72,751 68,254 1,748,074 1,646,313 DOMESTIC 21,374 76,317 160 160,257 35,794 105,154 761,402 195,513 46,005 71,280 285,764 4,204 15,039 4,940 1 0 6 , 179 552,855 42,489 148,701 125 243,902 60,158 3,995 3 , 312 10,673 8,249,584 BONDABLE BONDED 22,725 19,385 191 646,759 3,535 621,077 464 40,741 38,241 46,163 1,351 47,292 37,737 46,792 64,403 60,960 1,914,901 1,805,567 DOMESTIC 22,152 62,364 165 166,345 37,916 110,712 792,144 205,445 47,565 73,476 295,769 4,560 16,217 5,104 111,176 569,302 44,419 156,404 126 264,673 62,643 4,250 3,565 11,671 8,650,243 BONDABLE 23,915 206 665,252 1,580 52 8 41,186 2,200 4 7,42 C 1,47? 4 8,98 C 33,652 1,849,637 AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1972 U. S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY TURBINE FUEL FORECAST TABLE III (Data is expressed in thousand gallons) 1974 FORECAST 1975 FORECAST STATE DOMESTIC NB NC NH NJ Nfl NV NY OH OK OR PA RI SC SO TN TX UT VA VT MA WI WV WY TOTAL OTHER TOTAL U.S. 22,545 55,824 190 173,411 40,521 114,93d 632,678 214,606 49,222 76,181 313,764 4,700 17,410 5,156 116,994 569,066 45,249 159,125 130 285,715 66,899 4,265 3,636 12»577 9,041,475 BONDABLE 27,250 208 701,738 1,656 526 44,336 2,200 52,405 1,472 51,163 34,052 1,957,52711 DOMESTIC 26,931 89,635 200 165,626 42* 532 121,064 664,694 233,396 50,960 63,462 334,605 4,630 16,617 5,264 130,624 637,973 48,550 166,710 135 263,136 71,202 4,275 3,609 13,578 9,572,850 1976 FORECAST BONDABLE 28,460 215 741,333 1,738 547 45,079 2,200 52,056 1,526 53,793 35,669 2,395,773 DOMESTIC 27,534 94,140 205 194,074 44,530 128,436 406,694 245,667 54,069 86,101 349,663 4,670 19,675 5,416 139,225 694,?$4 49,930 173,628 140 298* 701 75* 953 4,280 4,005 14,697 10,065,463 BONDABLE 222 787,514 1,823 1,600 56/ 46,222 2,200 57,196 1,562 62,169 37,331 2*256,710 Consolidated U.S. Domestic/international & Foreign International TURBINE FUEL (actual) (forecast) Consolidated U.S. Domestic/International & Foreign International TURBINE FUEL DEMAND FORECAST—U.S.A. PAD I PAD II PAD III PAD IV PAD V Consolidated U.S. Domestic/International & Foreign International TURBINE FUEL FORECAST T R E N D - B i l l i o n s Of G a l l o n s CURRENT VS. U.S.A. PRIOR Y E A R S 66 Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you. I now call o n M r . E d K i l e y , vice president o f the Research a n d Technical Services o f tihe American T r u c k i n g Associations. STATEMENT OF EDWARD V. KILEY, VICE PRESIDENT, RESEARCH AND TECHNICAL SERVICES, AMERICAN TRUCKING ASSOCIATIONS M r . KILEY. T h a n k you, M r . Chairman. M y name is E d w a r d V . K i l e y . I a m vice president o f tlhe A m e r i c a n T r u c k i n g Associations a n d the Research and Technical Services, which is a national federation representing a l l types o f motor carriers, private and f o r hire. W e have submitted f o r t h e record a more complete statement wihicih I w o u l d l i k e now t o summarize briefly i n consideration o f tihe committee's time (see p. 69). T h e seriousness of t h e energy crisis or f u e l shortage as i t affects o u r industry began t o become apparent t o w a r d the end o f last year. O u r carriers t r a d i t i o n a l l y operate on yearly contracts w i t h f u e l suppliers a n d i n anticipation o f increased traffic f o r t h i s year and we were generally seeking supplies as much as 20 percent above the previous year's need. Suddenly a n d surprisingly, we were being t o l d , first i n one region and then i n a l l , t h a t new contracts could n o t be entered into on the old basis. Some would not be renewed at a l l — others o n only a m o n t h l y basis w i t h no assurance of galionage. I n other cases new contracts could be considered b u t at 20 percent or more below t h e previous year's volume, t h i s meant 40 percent less t h a n w h a t we* t h o u g h t we needed f o r the coming year. W e f o u n d the situation was p r e v a i l i n g t h r o u g h o u t t h e entire transportation industry. A c t i n g then i n unison, the transportation industries, under t h e coordinating efforts o f the Transportation Association o f America, met this past January w i t h B r i g . Gen. George A . Lincoln, the then Director o f Emergency Preparedness. H e understood the problem b u t explained t h a t under the l a w existi n g at tihat t i m e no a u t h o r i t y existed f o r the determination o f any p r i o r i t y needs except i n cases o f actual national defense needs. W e discussed the causes of the problem. These, we believe, have now become common knowledge. H e asked f o r recommendations as to solutions, which he said he w o u l d relay t o the W h i t e House. T h e day f o l l o w i n g tihe meeting the transport industries submitted to General L i n c o l n tihe f o l l o w i n g specific suggestions: 1. T a k e necessary g o v e r n m e n t a c t i o n t o p e r m i t tihe use of 3 percent s u l f u r content f u e l s by electric u t i l i t i e s a n d o t h e r consumer i n d u s t r i e s . T o f r e e lvetroleum f o r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n . 2. E s t a b l i s h a p r i o r i t y system of a l l o c a t i o n s w h i c h w i l l i n s u r e t h a t f u e l s i n s h o r t supply w i l l be a v a i l a b l e f o r t h e n a t i o n ' s m o s t c r i t i c a l needs. 67 3. Survey a v a i l a b i l i t y of government supplies of c r i t i c a l l y short fuels and, where possible, make them available immediately f o r p r i o r i t y use. Recommendation No. 2 was obviously the most c r i t i c a l and we are pleased t o see t h a t Congress has taken action i n t h i s direction by insertion i n t h e Economic Stabilization A c t o f 1973, a n amendment g i v i n g the President a u t h o r i t y t o allocate petroleum products. W e indicated i n our letter to Senator Jackson i n support of S. 1570, Emergency Fuels and Energy Allocation A c t of 1973, t h a t provisions i n his b i l l m i g h t provide a more direct approach. W e t h i n k this now is a moot question. W e believe the amendment i n the act is a sound one, and we were pleased to hear this m o r n i n g that you are petitioning the President to act. The t r u c k i n g industry is aware t h a t there are potential p i t f a l l s i n the authority t o set priorities and (to allocate fuels and energy among the various consumers. However, i t is our view t h a t i n l i g h t o f the shortages and dislocations already experienced by our industry and forecasts o f increased f u e l shortages f o r t h i s summer and winter, the lack o f authority i n t h i s area would pose an even greater danger to the entire U.S. economy t o transportation i n general and to the t r u c k i n g industry specifically. The situation today continues t o be completely f r u s t r a t i n g and uncertain. Reports f r o m our carriers indicate t h a t many new contracts, where they can be negotiated, contain 30-day cancellation clauses and price escalation provisions. M a n y carriers unable t o secure contracts, are being supplied on a month-to-month basis; and some are h a v i n g t o buy fuel on a spot market basis or pick i t up on the road. No matter where carriers are obtaining fuel, the price is increasing sharply, anywhere f r o m 20 t o 50 percent. Needless t o say, however, our m a i n concern is assurance o f necessary gallonage and the uncert a i n t y as t o diesel f u e l ami-lability f o r the coming f a l l and winter. Keeping i n m i n d t h a t our regulated carriers have a public requirement t o p e r f o r m the service and unless we can get the fuel we can not meet this requirement. Despite the easing of the fuel situation f o l l o w i n g the end o f w i n t e r the problem continues i n a l l areas o f the country f o r our industry and f o r a l l carriers. Understandably, the degree o f seriousness differs because o f the m a r k e t i n g structure of petroleum products. W e are not experts i n petroleum production or m a r k e t i n g b u t I can assure you t h a t the present situation is educating us i n a h u r r y . O u r carriers are seriously concerned about the months ahead, part i c u l a r l y i n the f a l l o f the year when the demand f o r t r u c k service reaches i t s peak. 68 W e see ahead a very definite threat ifco necessary transportation services unless adequate f u e l supplies can be assured i n the months ahead. I n our industry, we are d o i n g a l l we can t o maximize our f u e l usage .today. O u r carriers are r e p o r t i n g tightened intercity and local p i c k u p and delivery schedules, d i e b u r n i n g i n some instances of less t h a n ideal fuel, adjustments o f f u e l pumps t o m i n i m u m specifications, reduction i n engine w a r m u p t i m e a n d many others. K e e p i n g i n m i n d tihe diesel f u e l use o f today's t r u c k is more refined and more sophisticated t h a n years ago because o f the requirements f o r a i r p o l l u t i o n control. W e cannot just b u r n anything. Because of the difference i n the engine today, there i s a n undesirable tradeoff i n terms of increased maintenance expense and decreased engine life. I n conclusion, M r . Chairman, we w o u l d l i k e t o comment briefly on the allegations o r assertions by some t h a t we could conserve f u e l i n transportation by some s h i f t i n g of traffic f r o m t r u c k t o r a i l — either directly o r by greater use o f piggyback. T o a great extent, as indicated i n our prepared statement such shifts, although possible i n a few cases, h o l d no promise o f any meaningful saving. I n fact, i n the case o f piggyback there could actually be a greater use o f f u e l because o f piggyback t r u c k t e r m i n a l service not now necessary t h r o u g h direct t r u c k services. A l l forms o f transportation are needed t o p e r f o r m the Nation's necessary transport services. They a l l need the f u e l to c a r r y on this service. T h e total requirements f o r f r e i g h t transport service are not great i n terms o f the t o t a l end use o f petroleum f o r a l l energy requirements—'but t h i s requirement i n transportation, i f cut back, could have disastrous effects o n the economy. W e hope the committee a n d the Congress w i l l n o t be misled b y meaningless comparisons o f transport efficiencies, comparisons w h i c h can o n l y confuse and possibly stand i n the way of rational solutions t o the overall problem. W e sincerely hope t h a t there w i l l be an active response t o your request t h a t action be taken t o establish these priorities. W e cannot overestimate the extent to w h i c h the situation exists i n our industry today. W e w a n t o f course f o r y o u t o know t h a t we pledge our industry's cooperation i n the support o f a l l r a t i o n a l measures to insure t h a t transportation has the f u e l i t needs. T h a n k you. I f I could, I w o u l d l i k e t o submit also f o r the record a publication that we have released recently called " A m e r i c a n T r u c k i n g and the Energy Crisis." I w o u l d l i k e t o have t h a t made p a r t of the record. [ M r . K i i e y ' s complete statement and the publication referred t o follow:] 69 S T A T E M E N T OF EDWARD V. KILEY VICE PRESIDENT A M E R I C A N T R U C K I N G ASSOCIATIONS, INC. BEFORE C O M M I T T E E ON B A N K I N G , HOUSING AND U R B A N A F F A I R S U N I T E D STATES SENATE M A Y 7, 1973 70 M r . C h a i r man, and m e m b e r s of the C o m m i t t e e , m y name is Edward V. Kiley. I a m V i c e P r e s i d e n t , R e s e a r c h and Technical Services of the A m e r i c a n Trucking Associations. The organization is a federation with affiliated associations in e v e r y state and the D i s t r i c t of Columbia, plus 13 conferences. In the aggregate* we represent e v e r y type and class of t r u c k operation in the country, both f o r - h i r e and p r i v a t e . We appreciate this opportunity to appear before your C o m m i t t e e and discuss the Nation's fuel c r i s i s as it affects transportation in general and the trucking industry in p a r t i c u l a r . The situation in our industry, and in a l l of transportation, has been serious for s e v e r a l months and we a r e seriously concerned about the future, p a r t i c u l a r l y this summer and w i n t e r . T o w a r d the end of last year we began to receive calls f r o m many of our c a r r i e r s who were having difficulty in obtaining the diesel fuel necessary for t h e i r operations. The situation became c r i t i c a l f i r s t in the m i d - w e s t , then spread to the south and southwest, then to the northeast and f i n a l l y to the west coast - - s o that it has now become nationwide. Our c a r r i e r s receive their fuel supply p r i m a r i l y through contractual arrangements with suppliers on a y e a r l y basis. expired this past January or F e b r u a r y . Many of these contracts Our c a r r i e r s , in anticipation of increased service demands for the coming y e a r , w e r e indicating fuel needs in the general a r e a of 20% above last y e a r . This need is r e f l e c t i v e of an expanding economy with increased consumer purchasing. industries anticipate such increases. A l l transportation 71 In response to this indication of increased needs our c a r r i e r s w e r e told, and a r e being told today, that not only w i l l these additional r e q u i r e ments not be met but that there w i l l be difficulty in providing as much as was contracted for in the previous year - - i n some cases as much as 20% less. This would mean as much as 40% below actual requirements to c a r r y on transportation s e r v i c e . In some areas our c a r r i e r s were told not only that no assurance can be made as to available fuel supplies but that because of the uncertainty of the situation no new contracts w i l l be negotiated for the future. In these instances it became a hand-to-mouth operation on a catch-as-catch-can basis. L a s t December a m a j o r motor c a r r i e r routinely requested bids for its 1973 diesel fuel needs f r o m 12 m a j o r oil companies. A l l , including its current supplier, refused to bid. In the m i d - w e s t a motor c a r r i e r was informed in late January that it had used its allotment of diesel fuel on a contract that runs through this September and could receive no more fuel until June 1. Many s m a l l c a r r i e r s in the northeast, most without supply contract protection, w e r e told in e a r l y January that no more fuel was available at any price. A l l of these motor c a r r i e r s were abruptly initiated to the energy c r i s i s , or m o r e specifically the fuel oil shortage. F u e l allocations based upon past purchase history, often as low as 75% of that figure; refusal to renew supply contracts; and a maddening scramble to obtain alternate sources of fuel when p r i m a r y sources fall short of needs - - a l l of these are symptoms of the fuel shortage as it affects the trucking industry. 72 C a r r i e r s w e r e r e s o r t i n g to ail possible sources of fuel. In many cases diesel was available only at higher prices - - i n some cases at p r i c e s equal or exceeding that paid for gasoline. This is a unique situation as diesel fuel has always been m a r k e t e d at a price below gasoline - - one of the s e v e r a l factors making it a m o r e efficient fuel for l a r g e r t r u c k s . I t became increasingly obvious that unless a solution w e r e found and fuel became available there would be f i r s t , a severe slowdown, and eventually a curtailment and ultimate breakdown of essential and r e q u i r e d transportation services. F e e l i n g that some action at some authoritative l e v e l of Government was necessary to prevent the c r i s i s f r o m worsening, the various t r a n s portation modes met in Washington, D. C. e a r l y in January to discuss the general situation and determine courses of action. I t was the consensus that there was a c r i t i c a l p r o b l e m facing a l l f o r m s of transportation - - freight and passenger. It was further decided that the seriousness of the situation should be brought to the i m m e d i a t e attention of the appropriate Government agency - - a t that t i m e the Office of E m e r g e n c y Preparedness. Under the auspices of the Transportation Association of A m e r i c a and through the cooperative effort of the National Defense T r a n s p o r t a t i o n Association a meeting was arranged with B r i g . General George A . L i n c o l n , the then D i r e c t o r of the Office of E m e r g e n c y P r e p a r e d n e s s . was held in General Lincoln's office on January 18. The meeting Each f o r m of t r a n s - portation, r a i l , motor c a r r i e r , a i r , water c a r r i e r s , i n t e r c i t y bus t r a n s portation and local t r a n s i t , was represented. 73 We submitted to General Lincoln a short s u m m a r y statement of the problem with a detailed r e v i e w of how it affected each f o r m of t r a n s p o r t . We believe we had a highly informative meeting with General Lincoln although the results were understandably inconclusive. The most immediate action, the lifting of the import quotas on crude oil was discussed but the feeling of those present was that this would have no immediate effect on the situation in transportation, although in the long run it might be another story. A l l of the factors that a l l agreed led to the current situation were d i s cussed in considerable detail. In s u m m a r y these w e r e : 1. Increased consumption of petroleum for industrial and c o m m e r c i a l purposes (including electric power generation) because of environmental considerations. 2. Unusually l a r g e demand for oil for home heating purposes due to e x t r e m e l y cold weather in certain parts of the country. 3. Increased consumption of gasoline due to anti-pollution devices on newer model automobiles. 4. Existence of i m p o r t quotas which curtailed availability of foreign sources of petroleum. Underlying the basic shortage of petroleum is the marketing structure under which the p r i o r i t i e s are determined by price of the final product and where the greatest m a r g i n of r e t u r n may be. P r e s e n t l y this is in the area of gasoline - - which General Lincoln indicated was aggravated under the existing price ceiling which froze the price of gasoline at higher levels relative to the price situation for distillate fuels. It was the consensus that a l l possible steps should be taken to augment the supply of crude petroleum but in the meantime some type of 74 p r i o r i t i e s should be set for the end use of p e t r o l e u m products. I n the absence of such p r i o r i t i e s it was obvious that necessary transportation services were not going to be p e r f o r m e d . General Lincoln asked that the transportation modes, in unison, present h i m with a set of recommendations to alleviate the i m m e d i a t e situation. In line with this request the following recommendations w e r e submitted on behalf of a l l the transportation industries: 1. T a k e necessary government action to p e r m i t the use of 3% sulfur content fuels by e l e c t r i c utilities and other consumer industries. We understand that this action would make available millions of b a r r e l s per year of distillate fuel. 2. Establish a p r i o r i t y system of allocations which w i l l ensure that fuels in short supply w i l l be available for the nation's most c r i t i c a l needs. 3. Survey availability of government supplies of c r i t i c a l l y short fuels and, where possible, make them available i m m e d i a t e l y for p r i o r i t y use. We went on to recommend that a l l agencies of the F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t , dealing with energy resources and consumer industries, be coordinated in the development of a national fuel energy policy. General Lincoln r e t i r e d at the end of January as D i r e c t o r of O E P . T h e Acting D i r e c t o r , D a r r e l l T r e n t , in testimony before the Senate I n t e r i o r and Insular A f f a i r s Committee on F e b r u a r y 1, indicated that s e v e r a l f e d e r a l agencies w e r e formulating a fuel shortage contingency plan which would include the following steps: 1. Voluntary conservation of fuel by a l l sectors of the economy; 75 2. V o l u n t a r y reconversion of e l e c t r i c a l power plants f r o m petroleum to coal; 3. A system of p r i o r i t i e s and allocations mandating which finished petroleum product the r e f i n e r s would emphasize and how the product would be allocated among the various sectors of the economy. Under this plan the S e c r e t a r y of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n and his Office of E m e r g e n c y Transportation, in conjunction with the r e g u l a t o r y agencies, would be authorized to distribute the transportation sector's allocation. 4. Mandatory rationing of a l l petroleum products. The Economic Stabilization Act Amendment of 1973, which extends and amends the act passed in 1970, contains language which would grant authority to the President for the "establishment of p r i o r i t i e s of use and for systematic allocation of supplies of petroleum products, including crude oil in order to meet the essential needs of various sections of the Nation and to prevent anti-competitive effects resulting f r o m shortages of such products. " On A p r i l 13, Senator Jackson introduced legislation, S. 1570, titled the " E m e r g e n c y Fuels and Energy Allocation Act of 1 9 7 3 . " T h i s b i l l would authorize the President to "allocate energy and fuels when he determines and declares that e x t r a o r d i n a r y shortages or dislocations in the distribution of energy and fuels exist or are imminent and that the public health, safety or welfare is thereby jeopardized. " This authority, according to Senator Jackson, could be exercised either on a national or regional basis. The fuel allocation authority contained in the Economic Stabilization Act of 1973 is a step in the right direction, but it is the opinion of the trucking industry that S. 1570, " E m e r g e n c y Fuels and Energy Allocation Act of 1973, " is preferable both in t e r m s of its detailed definition of the P r e s i d e n t i a l authority 96-183 O - 73 - 6 76 to be granted and in t e r m s of the opportunity to r e c e i v e testimony on this delicate and important subject. The trucking industry is aware that there are potential pitfalls in the authority to set p r i o r i t i e s and to allocate fuels and energy among the various competing consumers. H o w e v e r , it is our view that in light of the shortages and dislocations a l r e a d y experienced by our industry and f o r e casts of increased fuel shortages for this s u m m e r and w i n t e r , the lack of authority in this a r e a poses an even g r e a t e r danger to the entire United States economy, to transportation in general and to the trucking industry specifically. The situation today can be c h a r a c t e r i z e d as f r u s t r a t i n g and uncertain. Reports reaching A T A indicate that some c a r r i e r s are receiving new contracts, usually containing 30-day cancellation clauses and price escalation clauses; some c a r r i e r s unable to secure contracts a r e being supplied on a m o n t h - t o month basis; and some are having to buy fuel on a spot m a r k e t basis or on the road. No m a t t e r where c a r r i e r s are obtaining fuel, the price is increasing sharply, anywhere f r o m 20-50%. Needless to say, however, the m a i n concern is assurance of gallonage and uncertainty as to diesel fuel availability next winter. F r o m listening to administration witnesses before the Senate I n t e r i o r and Insular A f f a i r s Committee M a y 1 and f r o m the dialogue between a d m i n i s t r a t i o n and industry participants at the U. S. Chamber of C o m m e r c e conference on the President's energy message, fuel availability this winter 77 apparently depends on the import of diesel fuel and heating oil. The message conveyed was that with the impending gasoline shortage this summer the r e f i n e r i e s w i l l have to concentrate on gasoline w e l l into the n o r m a l winter distillate fuel inventory building period. T h e r e f o r e , the imports w i l l be heavily depended upon to build this inventory. Focusing d i r e c t l y on the trucking industry's use of petroleum, the A T A Research Department estimates that for 1973 we w i l l consume 8. 2 billion gallons of diesel fuel - - private and f o r - h i r e trucking, intercity and local. This amounts to some 17% of the total number 2 fuel oil consumed nationwide. In t e r m s of gasoline, (excluding pick-ups and panels) we project a use of some 10. 9 m i l l i o n gallons this y e a r , or some 11% of the total gasoline demand. However, in t e r m s of total domestic consumption of petroleum for a l l purposes, truck use of diesel fuel is c u r r e n t l y about 3. 3% of total usage. When this usage is combined with that of other forms of transportation we find that the total is not v e r y great in t e r m s of total petroleum usage for a l l purposes - - however, this difference, although not great, when compared with the total is e x t r e m e l y c r i t i c a l in t e r m s of the Nation's necessary t r a n s portation services. This need must be recognized in the formulation of government policies on p r i o r i t y recognition. Just like e v e r y other industry, the trucking industry is constantly practicing conservation measures and looking for new operating efficiencies. Events such as the recent fuel shortages and fuel dislocations necessitate, of course, renewed efforts to conserve operational inputs, especially diesel fuel and gasoline. 78 Since late December reports reaching A T A t e l l of tightened i n t e r c i t y and local pickup and d e l i v e r y schedules, the burning in some instances of less than ideal fuel, adjustments to fuel pumps to m i n i m u m specifications, reduction in engine w a r m - u p t i m e and many others. I t should be pointed out that these measures do save some fuel but do involve some unpalatible trade offs in t e r m s of increased maintenance expenses and decreased s e r v i c e . In conclusion, M r . C h a i r m a n , we would like to comment on an idea that has surfaced regarding possible savings in diesel fuel by t r a n s f e r r i n g some freight f r o m t r u c k to r a i l piggyback. basis for any such conclusions. T h e r e is no factual T o the c o n t r a r y , there is sound reason to conclude that any such shift, should it occur, could worsen the situation. F i r s t of a l l , the only a r e a that could be affected is in the consumption of diesel fuel in the i n t e r c i t y movement of t r u c k t r a f f i c . As indicated, diesel powered trucks are consuming approximately 3. 3% of the total domestic production of petroleum fuel and power. The remaining consumption of p e t r o l e u m power in transportation is for gasoline for passenger cars and gasoline powered t r u c k s , r a i l r o a d s , water c a r r i e r s , buses and a i r t r a n s portation. The question of fuel saving through t r a n s f e r of t r a f f i c to r a i l , t h e r e f o r e , revolves e n t i r e l y around the 3. 3% use of diesel by the heavy duty t r u c k operations. The actual amount that might be involved, however, is much s m a l l e r than 3 . 3 % for the following reasons: 1. A significant portion of the 3. 3% consumption is by trucks that in no way operate competitively with any other f o r m of transportation. These are heavy duty construction vehicles, dump t r u c k s , heavy hauling operations, etc. In s u m m a r y , completely non-competitive, non-transfer able operations. 79 2. An equally significant portion of the 3. 3% consumption is by trucks that a r e engaged in freight transportation of special commodities or in short haul operations that are not t r a n s ferable to r a i l under any reasonable circumstances. 3. The remaining portion of the 3. 3% which would contain any t r a n s f e r a b l e t r a f f i c s t i l l contains large portions of t r u c k t r a f f i c that actually presents a fuel saving through the highway move as this t r a f f i c goes d i r e c t l y f r o m origin to destination with no significant movement through heavily congested urban a r e a s . It i s , t h e r e f o r e , a truck movement of the most efficient type f r o m a fuel use standpoint. I f this t r a f f i c moved by piggyback it would, of necessity, involve origin and destination movements in the congested urban areas (to and f r o m r a i l assembly and breakup points). This is the most inefficient type of truck movement f r o m a fuel standpoint. Equally inapplicable to the fuel situation as it applies to t r a n s portation, and also contributing nothing to the solution, is the reference being made by some as to r a i l vs. truck efficiency by saying that a "ton of freight shipped by t r u c k takes n e a r l y six times the energy shipped by rail. " The actual r a t i o may or may not be six to one - - but whatever it is it is completely i r r e l e v a n t in the fuel situation. The idea that large amounts of intercity freight traffic could be shifted f r o m trucks to r a i l s overlooks the basic economic facts about intercity truck and r a i l service. Although there a r e , of course, areas of t r u c k - r a i l competition, the facts are that for the amount of t r a f f i c that could in any way effect fuel use the two kinds of service are distinctly different and are not r e a d i l y substitutable one for the other. 80 Both the r a i l r o a d s and the trucking industry- need an adequate supply of fuel to p e r f o r m their services - - and both services in t h e i r e n t i r e t y are needed by our economy. T o talk of savings by shifting t r a f f i c only confuses the issue and diverts us f r o m the r e a l solutions we need. In s u m m a r y , the present use of fuel in heavy duty t r u c k operations is s m a l l in t e r m s of total petroleum fuel and power consumption. However, the transportation service performed through utilization of this r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l percentage of total needs is enormous. The service is so g r e a t , ^ and so v i t a l , that even a minor reduction in necessary diesel fuel w i l l have serious effects on the Nation's freight transportation s e r v i c e s . We a r e , t h e r e f o r e , v i t a l l y concerned about the fuel shortages which affect the United States economy as a whole, transportation in general and trucking specifically and, as an industry, support a l l r a t i o n a l suggestions for solving this problem. 81 1 m< fiatn Trncking and 82 Foreword In this period of great concern for our ecology, many well-meaning suggestions have been advanced as to how national resources devoted to transportation can be better utilized. Among these has been the suggestion that intercity freight be shifted from trucks to railroads. This study has been prepared in an effort to put this proposal into proper perspective, and to point out some of the pitfalls involved in attempting its implementation. The report was prepared by Richard A. Staley, assistant to the director of this department, with the advice and counsel of John L. Reith, assistant director of the department, and E.V. Kiley, vice president, research and technical services. Allan C. Flott Director April, 1973 83 AMERICAN TRUCKING, iD THE ENERGY CRISIS The present shortages of petroleum fuels, and forecasts of a National shortage of energy for the next several years, have brought many suggestions for energy conservation. A number of these suggestions have been directed at the transportation industry in general, and the trucking industry in particular. One suggestion that has received a good deal of attention has been that freight be shifted from trucks to rails in order to conserve energy. It is this suggestion to which this report is directed. The idea that trucks are a major contributor to the energy crisis, and that shifting freight from trucks to rails could conserve appreciable amounts of energy, is based upon misunderstandings about truck operations and of the role trucks play in America's transportation system today. In the first place trucks, particularly intercity trucks —which are the ones at which most of the suggestions for savings in fuel are directed —are not a major contributor to the energy crisis. Secondly, opportunities for saving fuel through the shifting of freight from trucks to rail are limited and would, for the the most part, entail a serious downgrading of transportation service. The reduction in the quality of transportation service that would be required to save fuel could increase consumption in other areas of the economy. From the sumed by our largest single 27 quadrillion cent. (l) standpoint of total energy conNation, petroleum fuels were the source in 1968 accounting for British Thermal Units or 40 per- More than half of the petroleum fuels (53.7 percent) in that year were used to produce transportation of people and goods.. The basic source of petroleum fuels, crude oil, yields several different fuel types. The more important, from the standpoint of transportation, are gasoline and diesel fuel. Almost all gasoline is used in transportation, primarily in highway, transportation, whereas diesel fuel—which is a distillate similar to home heating oil — is used for many purposes. (1) U.S. D e p a r t m e n t o f I n t e r i o r , B u r e a u o f M i n e s . In 1971 domestic consumption of petroleum for fuel and power amounted to 207,005.4 million gallons. Trucks, of all kinds, used 27,390.2 million gallons, or 13.2% of the total. Included in the 13.2% is truck use of diesel fuel, which amounted to 6,859.0 millions of gallons or 3.3% of total domestic consumption of petroleum for all purposes. (See Table I). Since diesel fuel is the principal source of energy used by intercity trucks, and since diesel fuel used in local trucks would probably offset the amount of gasoline used in intercity trucks, the balance of this discussion will be confined to diesel fuel consumption and to intercity freight movements. Based upon the assumptions outlined above, it appears that approximately 3.3 percent of total petroleum fuels are consumed by intercity trucks. These are the only trucks from which freight could be diverted to rails. The idea that large amounts of intercity freight traffic could be shifted from trucks to rails overlooks several basic facts about intercity truck and rail service. The first, and most important, fact is that for the most part the two kinds of service are distinctly different and are not readily substitutable one for the other. Reference to the freight commodity statistics for railroads shows that they are primarily long haul carriers of bulk commodities, while motor carriers handle smaller shipments and manufactured commodities primarily. In 1969, the latest year for which comparable data have been published, rails originated 126 million tons of metallic ores, 383 million tons of coal and 171 million tons of nonmetallic minerals (stone, sand and gravel, fertilizers, etc.). The three commodities accounted for nearly $2 billion in rail revenues for 1969. Motor carriers, in the small shipments area which they dominate, handled 94 million tons of less truckload traffic in 1969, receiving more than $4V4 billion for this service. The negligible competition between modes in these areas is clear from the contrasting figures for these commodities. Rails handled only 800 thousand tons of small shipments to go with a revenue of 84 $35 million, compared to the $4V4 billion by motor carriers. For the three bulk commodities cited, motor carriers handled only 9 million tons with revenues of $32 million compared to the $2 billion for railroads. The freight commodity statistics reveal that both modes carry substantial amounts of manufactured commodities. In regard to these commodities, a recent study by Alexander Lyle Morton, Competition in the Intercity Freight Market, U.S. Department of Transportation, Office of Systems Analysis and Information, provides a great deal of information on competition between the modes. Mr. Morton analyzed a 1967 freight bill study compiled by the Middle Atlantic Conference from participating motor carriers. He compared the traffic of these motor carriers with the manufactures and miscellaneous traffic of the railroads as determined from the 1965 Way Bill Sample of the Interstate Commerce Commission. Based on the characteristics of this traffic by commodity classification, Mr. Morton then analyzed the total manufactures and miscellaneous shipments in the 1967 Census of Transportation. The major finding of his study is that only 40% of this traffic is truly competitive as between railroads and motor carriers. And this level is attainable only if it is assumed that shipment size can be readily altered without additional cost to the shipper and consignee for some portion of the less-than-truck-load traffic. The percentage of competitive traffic falls to only 25% if shipment size is not readily alterable. Mr. Morton summarized this finding in the following language: " _ T h e Census of Transportation divides all shipments of manufactures among 85 shipper classes. All shipments within each class are classified into one of thirteen mileage blocks and into one of thirty weight-mileage blocks. Using the criterion that any block of traffic in which both rails and motor carriers show significant participation is 'competitive', it is found that roughly forty percent of the 1.4 billion tons of manufactures produced in 1967 can be considered competitive between motor carrier and rail. This fraction is raised to sixty percent if shipment sizes are thought to be readily alterable or are determined by the mode that shipper and consignee agree upon. On the other hand, the fraction of competitive tonnage is on the order of only twenty-five percent if shipment sizes are thought to be determined quite independently of the mode chosen and are not readily alterable without additional costs to the shipper and consignee. " — Using the more stringent criterion of competitiveness that shipment weights are relatively fixed and independent of the choice of mode, about 340 million tons of manufactures are judged to be competitive. Only seven shipper classes among the 85 account for nearly half of this total. They are: grain mill products and sugar, miscellaneous food preparations, pulp and paper, concrete, gypsum and plaster, steel works and rolling mill products, motor vehicles and parts, and hydraulic cement, cut stone, and stone products." The basis for Mr. Morton's conclusions can be readily seen in two of the appendix tables showing the distribution of manufactured commodities in the Census of Transportation, in terms of length of haul and size of shipment. Table II showing the distribution by size of shipment found in the 1967 Census of Trans- portation, for example, indicates that private and for-hire motor carriers handle more than 85% of all tons transported in shipments under 30,000 pounds in weight. From these data and his own study, Mr. Morton concluded that rails were not competitive for traffic weighing less than 10,000 pounds. 85 Mr. Morton also concluded that shipments of more than 60,000 pounds, or 30 tons, were relatively immune from motor carrier competition because of the size of shipment. Thus, the area of competition between railroads and motor carriers is limited to shipments weighing between 10,000 and 60,000 pounds. According to the 1967 Census of Transportation, there were approximately 407 million tons of traffic in these weight categories, of which 72 million tons moved by rail and 335 million tons moved by private and for-hire motor carriers. This represents approximately 25% of the total manufactures and miscellaneious commodities studied in the Census of Transportation. It may be argued that some larger portion of intercity truck traffic may be shifted to rail piggyback service which will result in energy savings. There is no factual basis for any such conclusion. To the contrary, there is sound reason to conclude that any such shift, should it occur, could worsen the situation. First of all, the only area that could be affected is in thecomsumption of diesel fuel in the intercity movement of truck traffic. As Table I shows, diesel powered trucks are consuming approximately 3.3% of the total domestic production of petroleum fuel and power. The remaining consumption of petroleum power in transportation is for gasoline for passenger cars and gasoline powered trucks, railroads, water carriers, buses and air transportation. The question of fuel saving through transfer of traffic to rail piggyback, therefore, revolves entirely around the 3.3% use of diesel by the heavy duty truck operations. The actual amount that might be involved, however, is much smaller than 3.3% for the following reasons: 1. A significant portion of the 3.3% consumption is by trucks that in no way operate competitively with any other form of transportation. These are heavy duty construction vehicles, dump trucks, heavy hauling operations, etc. In summary, competely non-competitive, non-transferable operations. 2. An equally significant portion of the 3.3% consumption is by trucks that are engaged in freight transportation of special commodities or in short haul operations that are not transferable to rail under any reasonable circumstances. 3. The remaining portion of the 3.3% which would contain any transferable traffic still contains large portions of truck traffic that actually presents a fuel saving through the highway move as this traffic goes directly from origin to destination with no significant movement through heavily congested urban areas. It is, therefore, a truck movement of the most efficient type from a fuel use standpoint. If this traffic moved by piggyback it would, of necessity, involve origin and destination movements in the congested urban areas (to and from rail assembly and breakup points). This is the most inefficient type of truck movement from a fuel standpoint. In summary, the present use of fuel in heavy duty truck operations is extremely small in terms of total petroleum fuel and power consumption. However, the transportation service performed through utilization of this relatively small percentage of total needs is enormous. The service is so great, and so vital, that even a small reduction in necessary diesel fuel could have serious effects on the nation's freight transportation services. The portions of this small amount that could conceivably be affected by any transfer of intercity traffic from highway to piggyback would be insignificant in terms of the energy problem. 86 IMMEDIATE ENERGY SAVINGS POSSIBLE A more practical and feasible method of increasing energy efficiency in transportation is currently and immediately available if the trucking industry would be permitted to utilize more modern equipment. Present Federal and State size and weight restrictions have inhibited the use of vehicles which could save as much as 31 percent in fuel consumed to provide a given volume of transportation service. Modem vehicle combinations, operating under tested and approved gross and axle limits, can transport more freight per load. Put another way, fewer vehicles are needed to handle a given freight volume. More modem vehicle dimensions discussed below have already been endorsed by the American Association of State Highway Officials and by the Federal Highway Administration. Such equipment is now being operated off of the Interstate Highway System in more than a half dozen states. In the case of the recommended twin trailer combinations (a tractor drawing two short trailers at an overall length of 65 feet), these are now operating in 29 states. The mechanics of fuel conservation through the use of more modern equipment may be seen in Table IV. Freight handled by the motor carrier industry may be divided into two basic types. Heavy or dense freight produces a maximum legal load without physically filling a vehicle, while light and bulky freight will fill a vehicle long before optimum weight is achieved. The "break even" (load and volume) point is now about 18 to 20 pounds per cubic foot. Freight lighter than this will fill a standard 40-feet semitrailer without yielding maximum legal weights. However, the use of twin trailers permits additional cubic capacity sufficient to overcome this. The normal 65-foot long twin trailer combination may be loaded to full physical and weight limits at a freight density of 12 to 13 pounds per cubic foot —which is the average density of general freight (mixed freight) as presently tendered to the motor carriers. Adoption of more nlodem weight standards, developed by Federal and State highway officials, which include gross weight control that develops gross weights according to numbers of axles and axle spacing will provide more efficient motor carriage of both dense and light commodities. The increased efficiency, measured in terms of fuel saved, has been computed and shown in Table IV in terms of fuel and equipment required to transport one million tons of freight one mile. To carry one million tons of dense freight in a current standard semitrailer combination (40 foot trailer) requires 42,544 trips, and will consume 10,125 gallons of diesel fuel per mile. If the freight is light and bulky, the requirement increases to 64,041 trips and 13,128 gallons of diesel. If, however, the light and bulky freight is carried on current-type 65-foot long twin trailers, the requirement drops to 44,853 vehicle trips and a consumption of 10,316 gallons. Thus, substituting twin trailers for conventional tractor semitrailers for the transportation of light commodities will save 30 percent in terms of vehicle trips and 21.4 percent in fuel. Moving to the more modern limits described above, the savings can be even greater. The proposed 65-foot twin trailer can handle one million tons of freight in 35,518 vehicles using 9,057 gallons of diesel fuel. This represents a 44.5 percent savings in equipment and a 31 percent reduction in fuel—when compared to transporting this same freight in a present-weight tractor semitrailer combination. Other comparisons show savings for carrying dense freight which range up to 16.5 percent fewer trips and 10.6 percent less fuel consumed. Even where present 65-foot long twin trailers are in use, the proposed higher size and weight limits (for the same unit) will result in savings of up to 20.8 percent in number of trips and 12.2 percent in reduced fuel consumption. In summary, a modest updating of vehicle size and weight laws could significantly reduce the diesel fuel requirements of the trucking industry. TABLE I 1971 U. S. Consumption of Petroleum Fuel and Power (millions of gallons) U.S. Total (D Used in Transportation (1) Used by Motor Vehicles (2) Used by Motor Vehicles on Highways (2) Used by Trucks on Highways(5) Percent of Total Used by Trucks (5) Liquified gases 11,151.0 1,369.2 (3) (3) (3) (3) Jet f u e l s 15,149.4 15,149.4 -0- -0- -0- -0- Gasoline 9 2 , 5 8 4 . 8 (4) 9 2 , 5 8 4 . 8 (4) 9 3 , 5 3 3 . 5 (4) 9 0 , 0 4 9 . 2 (4) 20,531.2 22.0% 8 , 0 1 7 . 7 (3) 7 , 5 9 5 . 8 (3) Distillate fuels (including diesel) Kerosene Residual fuels 41,281.8 3,759.0 34,288.8 12,398.4 -04,704.0 6 , 8 5 9 . 0 (3) 16.6% -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- Still gas 6,564.6 -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- Petroleum coke 2,226.0 -0- -0- -0- -0- -0- 126,205.8 101,551.2 97,654.0 27,390.2 13.2% 207,005.4 (1) 1 9 7 1 preliminary, U.S. Bureau of Mines (2) 1 9 7 1 Federal H i g h w a y A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , " M F " t a b l e s e r i e s (3) M i n o r a m o u n t of l i q u i f i e d g a s e s used in m o t o r v e h i c l e s is i n c l u d e d w i t h d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s (4) T h e h i g h e r t o t a l in c o l u m n 3 t h a n t h e r e p o r t e d U.S. t o t a l i n c o l u m n 1 m a y b e c a u s e d by d i f f e r e n t a c c o u n t i n g m e t h o d s ( m e a s u r i n g c o n s u m p t i o n at d i f f e r e n t p o i n t s ) , o r by f u e l i n s t o r a g e o r i n t r a n s i t . (5) E s t i m a t e s m a d e by ATA D e p a r t m e n t of R e s e a r c h , b a s e d o n d a t a p u b l i s h e d a s M F t a b l e s b y t h e H i g h w a y A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , D e p a r t m e n t of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n . Federal 00 Table II Tons Transported By Size of Shipment By All Modes of Transportation — 1 9 6 7 "> (In 1,000 Tons) Shipments Rail % of Total For-Hire Motor Carriers % of Total Private Motor Carriers Total Private & ForHire % of Total % of Total Other Modes (2) % of Total Total All Modes (lbs.) Under 50 25 2.4 404 39.4 133 13.0 537 52,4 464 45.2 1,026 50-99 41 3.2 806 63.6 240 18.9 1,046 82.5 181 14.3 1,268 (66) (2.9) (1,210) (52.7) (373) (16.3) (1,583) (69.0) (645) (28.1) (2,294) 100-199 84 2.9 2,051 71.4 570 19.8 2,621 91.2 169 5.9 2,874 200-499 211 2.7 5,770 74.7 1,487 19.2 7,257 93.9 260 3.4 7,723 (Under 100) 500-999 (Under 1,000) 263 2.9 (626) (2.9) 6,713 (15,744) 74.0 1,856 20.5 (71.7) (4,281) (19.4) (20,025) (91.1) 64,663 87.8 1,083 1.5 73,730 85.4 1,165 1.0 120,764 (86.8) (3,557) (1.6) (216,454) 7,984 10.7 45,199 61.4 19,464 26.4 10,000-29,999 16,372 13.6 57,966 48.0 45,261 37.4 (Under 30,000) (24,982) (11.5) (118,909) (54.9) (69,006) (31.9) 1,000-9,999 8,569 103,227 (187,915) 94.5 232 (1,309) 2.6 9,064 (6.0) (21,960) 3 0 , 0 0 0 & Over 377,946 55.2 184,240 26.9 85,924 12.5 270,164 39.4 36,736 5.4 684,846 Totals 402,928 44.7 303,149 33.6 154,930 17.2 458,079 50.8 40,293 4.5 901,300 ( 1 ) C e n s u s of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ; C o m m o d i t y T r a n s p o r t a t i o n S u r v e y — S h i p p e r G r o u p P r o d u c t s ) h a s b g p n o m i t t e d b e c u a s e i t is m o v e d in b u l k q u a n t i t i e s p r e d o m i n a n t l y . 9 (Petroleum (2) Other modes include: air, water, parcel post, railway express, f r e i g h t forwarders, riers, etc. M o v e m e n t s by p i p e l i n e w e r e n o t i n c l u d e d i n t h e s u r v e y . motor and express Coal car- Source-. B u r e a u o f T h e Census; 1 9 6 7 C e n s u s o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n , C o m m o d i t y T r a n s p o r t a t i o n S u r v e y — S h i p per G r o u p s . TABLE III Tons Transported By Length of Haul By All Modes of Transportation — 1 9 6 7 <1) (in 1000 tons) % of Total Total Private & For Hire % of Total Other Modes (2) % of Total Total All Modes 37.8 105,117 77.1 5,839 4.3 136,329 139,731 Rail % of Total For Hire Motor Carriers 25,373 18.6 53,529 39.3 51,588 50-99 38,367 27.5 55,775 39.9 41,452 29.7 97,227 69.6 4,137 2.9 100-199 64,811 37.1 66,566 38.1 39,203 22.5 105,769 60.6 4,029 2.3 174,609 200-299 61,649 48.5 44,008 34.6 16,204 12.7 60,212 47.3 5,325 4.2 127,186 300-399 40,372 49.4 29,510 7,009 8.6 36,519 44.7 4.848 5.9 81,739 400-499 34,761 59.8 17,041 29.3 4,245 7.3 21,286 36.6 2,070 3.6 58,117 500-599 26,754 61.4 12,730 29.2 3,291 7.6 16,021 36.8 783 1.8 43,558 600-799 43,016 62.5 19,696 28.6 3,413 5.0 23,109 33.6 2,662 3.9 68,787 800-999 27,795 64.8 9,917 23.1 1,665 3.9 11.582 3,542 8.2 42,919 1,000-1,199 14,824 64.5 4,668 20.3 1,011 4.4 5,679 24.7 2,482 10.8 22,985 1,200-1,499 13,347 70.3 3,478 18.3 474 2.5 3,952 20.8 1,686 8.9 18,985 1,500-1,999 23,187 81.0 3,352 11.7 473 1.7 3,825 13.4 1,628 5.6 2,000 & over 16,970 72.3 2,465 10.5 284 1.2 2,749 11.7 3,743 16.0 23,462 431,226 44.6 322,735 33.4 170,312 17.6 493,047 51.0 42,774 4.4 967,047 Length of Haul (miles) Under 50 TOTALS % of Total Private Motor Carriers 36.1 27.0 (1) C e n s u s of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ; C o m m o d i t y T r a n s p o r t a t i o n S u r v e y — S h i p p e r G r o u p 9 ( P e t r o l e u m a n d C o a l P r o d u c t s ) has b e e n o m i t t e d b e c a u s e it is m o v e d in b u l k q u a n t i t i e s p r e d o m i n a n t l y . (2) O t h e r modes include: a i r , w a t e r , p a r c e l p o s t , r a i l w a y express, f r e i g h t f o r w a r d e r s , m o t o r e x p r e s s c a r r i e r s , e t c . M o v e m e n t s by p i p e l i n e w e r e n o t i n c l u d e d in t h e s u r v e y . SOURCE: B u r e a u of t h e C e n s u s ; 1 9 6 7 C e n s u s of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ; C o m m o d i t y T r a n s p o r t a t i o n S u r v e y — S h i p p e r Groups. 28,640 Table II CARRYING CAPACITIES AND FUEL USE FOR TYPICAL PRESENT AND PROPOSED VEHICLE COMBINATIONS Present Federal Limits 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer (40 ft. semitrailer) Light & Dense Bulky Freight Freight 65-Foot Twin Trailer Proposed Modernized Limits * 55- Foot 55-Foot Tractor SemiTractor Semitrailer (40 ft. trailer (45 ft. 65-Foot semitrailer) semitrailer) Twin Trailer Gross Combination Weight (lbs.) 73,280 57,500 73,280 75,500 78,000 85,000 Number of Loads Required to Carry 1 million tons of freight 42,544 64,041 44,853 40,626 39,231 35,518 Fuel Consumption Rate —Gallons of Diesel Fuel per mile 0.238 0.205 0.230 0.243 0.246 0.255 10,125 gallons 13,128 gallons 10,316 gallons 9,872 gallons 9,561 gallons 9,057 gallons DIESEL FUEL REQUIRED TO CARRY ONE MILLION TONS ONE MILE * CO Based on "Table B" page 137, Maximum Desirable Dimensions and Weights of Vehicles Operated on the Federal Aid Systems, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, 1964. Notes —Gross weights based on typical present and proposed vehicle configurations used in intercity service. Number of trucks (or loads) required to move one million tons of freight computed by dividing maximum payload (in tons) into 1,000,000. Fuel Consumption rate obtained from Cummins Engine Company's vehicle simulator computer based on a typical intercity trip (473 miles) at average road speeds (52 mph + ,-) utilizing comparable current equipment. O 91 Table V PERCENTAGE SAVINGS TRUCK TRIPS AND DIESEL FUEL CONSUMED Number of Truck Trips Diesel Fuel Consumed 30.0% savings 21.4% savings 44.5% savings 31.8% savings 4.5% savings 2.5% savings 7.8% savings 5.6% savings Substitute Proposed 65-Foot Twin Trailer for Present 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer 16.5% savings 10.6% savings Substitute Proposed 65-Foot t w i n Trailer for Present 65-Foot Twin Trailer 20.8% savings 12.2. savings Present Federal Limits Light & Bulky Freight Substitute 65-Foot Twin Trailer for 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer Proposed Modernized Limits Light & Bulky Freight Substitute Proposed 65 Foot Twin Trailer For Present 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer Dense Freight Substitute Proposed 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer For Present 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer Substitute Proposed 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer — With 45-Foot Trailer — For Present 55-Foot Tractor Semitrailer NOTES —See Table IV for 96-183 O - 73 - 7 sources and coverage. 92 Senator MCINTYRE. W h e n you speak o f the t r u c k i n g industry i n its entirety, w h a t percentage o f your f u e l is diesel ? M r . KILEY. I n the case o f the intercity t r u c k i n g practically a l l i s diesel today. I w o u l d say 95 percent is diesel today. There is a small amount, a very l i m i t e d amount o f gasoline used i n i n t e r c i t y t r u c k i n g , b u t i t has practically Senator MCINTYRE. A l l the trucks I have seen r u n n i n g around, 95 percent. M r . KILEY. I n t e r c i t y , the large combinations t h a t y o u w i l l see on the highway. I am n o t t a l k i n g about pickup and delivery trucks t h a t you w i l l see—straight trucks, m a k i n g local pickup a n d delivery service. Hake U n i t e d Parcel Service w h i c h is the largest motor carrier, they have local trucks which are van trucks. They are gasoline powered. T h e y also operate, however, intercity t r u c k trailers. These are diesel powered. W h e n I am speaking o f intercity trucks, I am t a l k i n g now o f 95 percent diesel power. Senator MCINTYRE. W e w i l l hear f r o m the last member o f this p a r t i c u l a r panel, M r . James R. S m i t h . STATEMENT OF JAMES R. SMITH, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN WATERWAYS OPERATORS, INC., ACCOMPANIED BY BERNARD GOLDSTEIN, PRESIDENT, ALTER CO., DAVENPORT, IOWA M r . SMITH. M r . Chairman, first o f all, may I congratulate the committee and you, as Chairman, f o r c a l l i n g t h i s hearing t o get the i n p u t f r o m the i n d u s t r y t h a t is m o v i n g the commodities o f America's commerce. There is no question i n m y m i n d b u t there is a very c r i t i c a l f u e l situation i n the U n i t e d States. I w o u l d l i k e t o address myself t o the water carrier side o f this problem. I d i d not know when t h i s hearing was called t h e exact f o r m a t you intended t o use, M r . Chairman. So I have asked t o come w i t h me today a m a n who is directly involved i n the problem. H e w i l l be available t o answer questions a f t e r I finish m y statement. M a y I present M r . B e r n a r d Goldstein o f the A l t e r Co. o f Davenport, Iowa. Senator MCINTYRE. W h y don'T you b r i n g h i m up ? M r . SMITH. W i t h y o u r permission, I w o u l d l i k e t o do that. I represent the American Waterways Operators, Inc., the national association o f the barge and t o w i n g industry i n t h e U n i t e d States. I am g o i n g t o paraphrase m y remarks, M r . Chairman, but I w o u l d l i k e to have m y statement p u t i n as i f the whole t h i n g had been read. Senator MCINTYRE. I t w i l l be. 93 M r . SMITH. T h e t w o o r ithree key points I would l i k e to make are as f o l l o w s : A s a n i m p o r t a n t segment o f this Nation's transportation system, we are deeply concerned over the present and g r o w i n g shortages o f the f u e l necessary t o propel this industry. T o determine the breadth o f the problem on our inland and coastal waters and t o t r y t o get a handle o n the expected impact, A W O has created an ad hoc committee consisting o f both members and nonmembers. W h a t I am presenting today is a distillation o f our committee's "first c u t " at the problem. I n order t o appreciate the importance o f sufficient f u e l to keep the nation's waterborne traffic moving, let me mention t h a t i n 1972 the barge and t o w i n g industry moved about 600 m i l l i o n tons of cargo over some 26,000 miles o f inland waterways f o r a total o f 210 b i l l i o n ton-miles; roughly 16 percent o f the Nation's t o t a l transportation of commodities. The water transportation industry is singularly well-equipped f o r the movement o f b u l k commodities because i t provides the most efficient method o f using fuel f o r the movement o f heavy, b u l k commodities more ton-miles per gallon by water than any other method. O f the varied commodities m o v i n g over the waterways, I would like t o call attention t o 2 o r 3 t h a t are extremely crucial. P o i n t No. 1. Something not well known is t h a t nearly 58 percent o f a l l the products m o v i n g by water consist of energy f o r ultimate use by others. Coal, lignite, crude and refined petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, and heating o i l are the m a j o r components of this 58 percent. There is small wonder then t h a t the t o w i n g industry is so concerned over the diesel fuel needed to move this energy f o r others. A n i n i t i a l staff study o f the breadth o f the problem, accomplished p r i m a r i l y by telephone contracts w i t h members i n various parts of the Nation, indicates an ever-increasing difficulty i n securing sufficient quantities o f f u e l ; present and impending r a t i o n i n g by f u e l suppliers, increased prices i n most areas; extensive searching and very costly retransportation, sometimes f r o m very distant points, i n order t o secure f u e l t o keep the towboats m o v i n g ; occasional tieups of equipment f o r lack of fuel. T h u s f a r i n 1973, the impact o f the diesel fuel shortage has been spotty, however, on a geographical basis except i n Mid-Continent America, p r i m a r i l y on the Mississippi River system f r o m about Memphis upstream and p a r t i c u l a r l y i n the Midwest f r o m St. Louis upstream, which is very heavily dependent on barge traffic f o r the importation o f f u e l o i l and b u l k commodities and f o r the export of the g r a i n f r o m the products of the f a r m . 94 Some tows t r a v e l i n g n o r t h f r o m the G u l f Coast have been stranded i n the St. L o u i s area because they were unable t o purchase f u e l there either t o continue upstream o r make a r e t u r n t r i p home. I n t h a t area f u e l suppliers serving t h e t o w i n g industry are finding i t increasingly difficult t o secure sufficient fuel f o r t h e i r customers. W e find t h i s trend c o n t i n u i n g t o increase i n other parts o f t h e U n i t e d States. B u t the fact t h a t the industry i n the midcontinent area o f t h e U n i t e d States has not substantially curtailed operations yet because o f the fuel shortage is because r i g h t now they are opera t i n g at t h e less t h a n 50 percent o f t h e i r capacity because o f the prolonged floods on the Mississippi River and its t r i b u t a r y streams. I f there is a diesel f u e l shortage now, w a i t u n t i l June. Because o f the floods and slowly-receding waters a n d the almost t o t a l l y saturated situation i n the midcontinent farmlands, the farmers are not yet i n t h e fields. Because o f t h e highwater, the outdoor construction industry i s nearly motionless. W h e n the floods recede, when the farmlands d r y o u t and the farmers' tractors are r u n n i n g 24 hours a day, and when the construction industry, i n c l u d i n g the h i g h w a y construction i n d u s t r y , begins t o repair and reconstruct a f t e r the most disastrous flood i n t h i s Nation's history, and when the barge i n d u s t r y is expected t o make up on delayed shipments—play catch football so t o speak—the fuel problems o f today w i l l be magnified many times over a n d I t h i n k what we are t a l k i n g about today w i l l pale i n t o insignificance. T h e serious consequences t o the Nation's economy i f water-borne commerce is curtailed cannot be overemphasized. I said 58 percent of the t o t a l tonnage t h a t our industry hauls is transportation o f energy f o r use by others. O f t h i s t o t a l tonnage lapproximately 20 percent is coal to be used as a boiler fuel f o r the electric u t i l i t y industry. T h e t o w i n g indust r y ' s i n a b i l i t y t o move sufficient coal would, of course, increase demands f o r distilled petroleum products b y those utilities equipped t o b u r n o i l and able to find i t . Since petroleum and coal are m a j o r commodities, the r i p p l e effect w i l l c u r t a i l highway and r a i l traffic and electric power and a host o f consumer production facilities. There w i l l be other effects upon the Nation's economy; f o r example, the effect o f curtailment o f the movement o f waterborne agricult u r a l products and chemicals. I needn't r e m i n d t h i s committee o f the balance-of-payments problems w h i c h t h i s N a t i o n faces. 95 A g r i c u l t u r e Secretary B u t z said recently t h a t a g r i c u l t u r a l products are one o f the most notable commodities i n w o r l d trade w h i c h the U n i t e d States can sell o n a competitive basis. A b o u t 80 percent o f the wheat, corn, soybeans, and other b u l k grains a r r i v i n g a t the P o r t o f New Orleans f o r export a r r i v e by water—about 20 m i l l i o n tons. T o t a l agricultural products m o v i n g on the water ways i n 1971 was more t h a n 30 m i l l i o n tons. I f there is insufficient movement o f these cargoes, America's farmers are going to suffer and the Nation's international trade posture w i l l continue to suffer. Curtailment, as just a sidelight, o f water transportation service w i l l also slow d o w n the much needed movement o f fertilizer f o r 1973 crops. Other representatives o f the f a r m industry w i l l doubtless emphasize these points. W h a t I wish t o do is to h i g h l i g h t the significant role which waterway transportation plays i n t h i s movement of agricultural commodities. Waterborne commerce basically consists o f the b u l k raw materials o f industry. Chemicals are i n t h a t category. T h e effect of a reduction i n the movement o f raw chemical materials is too complex f o r easy analysis. B u t industrial p r o d u c t i v i t y a n d economic stability i n both basic and finished product m a n u f a c t u r i n g would be f e l t throughout the Nation's economy. M r . Chairman, I have attempted i n very general terms to indicate the present status a n d the expected status and impact of the critical shortages o f fuel to move the products carried o n the nation's waterways. I t would be an understatement f o r me t o say t h a t the barge and t o w i n g industry expects a difficult situation i n the months ahead. I t is going t o be real tough. The companies are going t o do their level best not t o go broke, not to have tieups. H o w they w i l l accomplish that, I do not t h i n k anybody yet knows. M y purpose has been to dramatize the need f o r this Nation to recognize the unique role w h i c h water transportation plays i n transporti n g o f energy f o r use by others, i n t r a n s p o r t i n g agricultural products f r o m the farms o f t h i s N a t i o n and the heavy raw materials of industry. T h e only t h i n g we i n the waterways industry can hope f o r i n the solution o f an admittedly very difficult problem is t h a t the fuel to propel t h e waterborn transportation industry w i l l be treated f a i r l y and equitably along w i t h the other methods o f transportation. T h a t is a l l o f m y prepared statement, M r . Chairman. [ T h e f u l l statement o f M r . S m i t h f o l l o w s : ] 96 Statement of James R . S m i t h , P r e s i d e n t , The American Waterways O p e r a t o r s , Inc. Before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban A f f a i r s On t h e F u e l Shortage May 7 , 1973 * Mr. Chairman and members of t h e Committee: My name i s James R . Smith. Waterways O p e r a t o r s , Inc. I am p r e s i d e n t o f The American On b e h a l f o f AWO may I express our a p p r e c i a t i o n f o r t h i s o p p o r t u n i t y t o present the f o l l o w i n g testi- mony : The American Waterways O p e r a t o r s , a s s o c i a t i o n o f o p e r a t o r s o f towboats, Inc. is a national tugboats and barges trade providing t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s e r v i c e s , s h i p b e r t h i n g and harbor work on the n a v i g a b l e w a t e r s of t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . Members o p e r a t e v e s s e l s on t h e i n l a n d waterways and over c o a s t a l and seagoing r o u t e s on a l l waterways o f the n a t i o n . I n a d d i t i o n t o such c a r r i e r s , AWO's mem- bers i n c l u d e s h i p y a r d s , w a t e r t e r m i n a l s , p o r t a u t h o r i t i e s , and marine s e r v i c e companies. As an important segment of t h i s N a t i o n ' s t r a n s p o r t a t i o n system, t h e w a t e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n d u s t r y i s deeply concerned over and growing shortages o f t h e d i e s e l f u e l needed t o p r o p e l industry. present this To determine t h e b r e a d t h o f t h e d i e s e l f u e l problem on t h e i n l a n d and c o a s t a l waterways and t o determine t h e impact o f 97 present and expected f u e l s h o r t a g e s , AWO has c r e a t e d an ad hoc comm i t t e e c o n s i s t i n g of both members and nonmembers. My testimony today i s a d i s t i l l a t i o n of t h i s committee's " f i r s t c u t " a t the problem. I n o r d e r t o a p p r e c i a t e the importance of s u f f i c i e n t f u e l keep t h e N a t i o n ' s waterborne commerce moving, l e t me b r i e f l y c a t e t h e s i z e and makeup of t h i s i n d u s t r y . to indi- I n 1972 t h e barge and towing i n d u s t r y moved n e a r l y 600 m i l l i o n tons of cargo over some 2 6 , 0 0 0 m i l e s of i n l a n d waterways f o r a grand t o t a l o f more than 210 b i l l i o n t o n - m i l e s . T h i s r e p r e s e n t s about 16 percent of t h e N a t i o n ' s t o t a l t r a n s p o r t a t i o n of commodities. This industry util- i z e s 4 , 2 3 0 towboats and tugs and 1 9 , 6 2 4 barges of a l l k i n d s t o move b u l k commodities e s s e n t i a l t o t h e N a t i o n ' s economy. Additionally, t h e r e i s a t w o - y e a r backlog, of orders i n shipyards which b u i l d barge and towing v e s s e l s . There a r e a t l e a s t 40 high-powered tow- boats under c o n s t r u c t i o n and scheduled f o r o p e r a t i o n t h i s p l u s u n t o l d numbers of year barges. As you know, the water t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n d u s t r y i s singularly w e l l equipped f o r t h e movement o f bulk commodities and p r o v i d e s t h e most e f f i c i e n t use o f f u e l of any of the modes of transportation. The i n d u s t r y ' s modern equipment t r a n s p o r t s more t o n - m i l e s per g a l l o n of f u e l consumed t h a n any o t h e r mode. These commodities include chemicals, a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t s , raw m a t e r i a l s of i n d u s t r y , petroleum, and a host of coal, others. When we speak o f the v a r i e d commodities moving over the w a t e r ways i t i s i m p o r t a n t t o note t h a t n e a r l y 58 percent of a l l the 98 products moving by w a t e r c o n s i s t s of some form o f energy f o r use by others. Coal, l i g n i t e , crude and r e f i n e d p e t r o l e u m products such as g a s o l i n e , d i e s e l f u e l , and h e a t i n g o i l a r e t h e p r i n c i p a l com- ponents of t h i s 58 p e r c e n t . Small wonder then t h a t t h e towing i n d u s t r y i s so concerned over d i e s e l f u e l needed t o move t h i s for energy others. An i n i t i a l s t a f f study of t h e b r e a d t h of t h e problem, accom- p l i s h e d p r i m a r i l y by t e l e p h o n e c o n t a c t s w i t h members i n v a r i o u s parts of the United States, i n d i c a t e s an ever i n c r e a s i n g difficulty i n s e c u r i n g s u f f i c i e n t q u a n t i t i e s of f u e l ; p r e s e n t and impending r a t i o n i n g by f u e l s u p p l i e r s ; i n c r e a s e d p r i c e s i n most a r e a s ; exten- s i v e s e a r c h i n g and c o s t l y r e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n of e s s e n t i a l f u e l from d i s t a n t p o i n t s ? as w e l l as o c c a s i o n a l t i e u p s of equipment f o r of f u e l . Thus f a r lack i n 1973 t h e impact o f d i e s e l f u e l s h o r t a g e s has been s p o t t y on a g e o g r a p h i c a l basis except i n m i d - c o n t i n e n t America, p r i m a r i l y on t h e M i s s i s s i p p i R i v e r System from about Memphis u p s t r e a m . The s i t u a t i o n i s most s e r i o u s i n t h e Midwest from S t . L o u i s an a r e a h e a v i l y dependent on barge t r a f f i c f o r north, i m p o r t a t i o n of o i l and b u l k commodities f o r m a n u f a c t u r i n g and f o r t h e e x p o r t grain. fuel of Some tows t r a v e l i n g n o r t h from t h e G u l f Coast have been s t r a n d e d i n t h e S t . L o u i s a r e a because t h e y were unable t o purchase f u e l t h e r e e i t h e r t o c o n t i n u e upstream o r make a r e t u r n t r i p . t h a t a r e a f u e l s u p p l i e r s s e r v i c i n g t h e towing i n d u s t r y a r e it increasingly d i f f i c u l t t o secure s u f f i c i e n t f u e l f o r In finding their customers. The f a c t , however, t h a t t h e i n d u s t r y i n t h a t a r e a has not s t a n t i a l l y c u r t a i l e d o p e r a t i o n s because of f u e l i s because t h e sub- 99 i n d u s t r y i s now o p e r a t i n g a t l e s s than 50 percent c a p a c i t y because o f the prolonged f l o o d s on t h e M i s s i s s i p p i and i t s t r i b u t a r y streams. I f t h e r e i s a d i e s e l f u e l c r i s i s now, w a i t u n t i l June. Because of the f l o o d s and s l o w l y r e c e d i n g w a t e r s , farmers a r e not y e t i n t h e f i e l d s . Because of h i g h water the o u t - door c o n s t r u c t i o n i n d u s t r y i s n e a r l y m o t i o n l e s s . r e c e d e ; when t h e f a r m e r s * the construction industry, industry, mid-continent When the f l o o d s t r a c t o r s a r e r u n n i n g 24 hours a day; when i n c l u d i n g the highway c o n s t r u c t i o n begins t o r e p a i r and r e c o n s t r u c t a f t e r t h e most d e v a s t a t i n g flood i n the Nation's h i s t o r y , and when t h e barge i n d u s t r y w i l l be expected t o c a t c h up on t h e movement of d e l a y e d shipments, problems of today w i l l be m a g n i f i e d many times fuel over. The s e r i o u s consequences t o the N a t i o n ' s economy i f waterborne commerce i s c u r t a i l e d by l a c k of f u e l cannot be overemphasized. I have i n d i c a t e d , 58 percent of the t o t a l tonnage our i n d u s t r y moves i s energy f o r o t h e r s . Of t h i s t o t a l tonnage a p p r o x i m a t e l y 20 percent i s c o a l to be used as b o i l e r f u e l f o r the e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y industry. C u r t a i l m e n t s of c o a l movements w i l l cause s e r i o u s r e p e r c u s s i o n s the e l e c t r i c i n d u s t r y and w i l l i n c r e a s e demands f o r d i s t i l l e d leum products by those u t i l i t i e s equipped t o burn o i l and a b l e find As in petroto it. Since p e t r o l e u m and c o a l a r e major i n l a n d waterborne commodi- ties, if they cannot move, t h e " r i p p l e e f f e c t " w i l l c u r t a i l and r a i l t r a f f i c , highway e l e c t r i c power and a host of consumer p r o d u c t i o n industries. There are a few a d d i t i o n a l e f f e c t s upon the N a t i o n ' s economy that I should l i k e t o c a l l t o the Committee's a t t e n t i o n . These a r e 100 t h e e f f e c t s o f c u r t a i l m e n t of t h e movement o f waterborne t u r a l products and c h e m i c a l s . agricul- I need not remind t h i s Committee o f t h e balance o f payments problems which t h i s N a t i o n f a c e s . Agri- c u l t u r e S e c r e t a r y Butz has r e c e n t l y s a i d t h a t a g r i c u l t u r a l produce i s one o f t h e most n o t a b l e commodities o f w o r l d t r a d e which t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s can s e l l on a c o m p e t i t i v e b a s i s . A p p r o x i m a t e l y 80 p e r c e n t of the wheat, c o r n , soybeans and o t h e r b u l k g r a i n s arriving a t t h e P o r t of New O r l e a n s f o r e x p o r t a r r i v e t h e r e by w a t e r . Last y e a r t h e t h r o u g h - p u t o f b u l k g r a i n s a t t h e P o r t of New O r l e a n s approximated 20 m i l l i o n t o n s . T o t a l a g r i c u l t u r a l product moving on t h e i n l a n d waterways approaches 30 m i l l i o n tons a n n u a l l y . insufficient If there f u e l t o move these c a r g o e s , t h e N a t i o n ' s f a r m e r s and the N a t i o n ' s i n t e r n a t i o n a l trade posture w i l l suffer. Curtailment of water t r a n s p o r t a t i o n service w i l l t h e much-needed movement o f f e r t i l i z e r t h e i r 1973 c r o p s . a l s o slow down t o midwestern f a r m e r s for Although I am s u r e t h a t r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s o f o r g a n i z a t i o n s and s h i p p e r s w i l l emphasize t h i s p o i n t , farm I wish t o h i g h l i g h t t h e s i g n i f i c a n t r o l e which waterborne t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n t h e movement of a g r i c u l t u r a l A significant category. commodities. p o r t i o n o f w a t e r b o r n e commerce c o n s i s t s o f b u l k raw m a t e r i a l s of i n d u s t r y . I n d u s t r i a l chemicals a r e i n the that The e f f e c t of a r e d u c t i o n i n t h e movement o f raw c h e m i c a l m a t e r i a l s i s t o o complex f o r easy a n a l y s i s . jobs, plays Suffice i t i n d u s t r i a l p r o d u c t i v i t y and economic s t a b i l i t y and f i n i s h e d product m a n u f a c t u r i n g would be f e l t N a t i o n ' s economy. t o say, that i n both b a s i c throughout the is 101 Since 1952 r e c o r d s kept by my o f f i c e i n d i c a t e t h a t nearly 9 , 0 0 0 major p r o d u c t i o n i n d u s t r i e s have l o c a t e d on t h e N a t i o n ' s n a v i g a b l e w a t e r , p r i m a r i l y t o t a k e advantage of l o w - c o s t transportation (average cost t h r e e m i l l s per Mr. Chairman, barge ton-mile). I have attempted t o address i n g e n e r a l terms the present s t a t u s and t h e expected s t a t u s and impact of critical shortages of f u e l t o move those e s s e n t i a l commodities c a r r i e d on our N a t i o n ' s waterways. It i s an understatement f o r me t o say t h a t the barge and towing i n d u s t r y expects a v e r y d i f f i c u l t situa- t i o n i n t h e months ahead. the My purpose has been t o d r a m a t i z e need f o r t h i s N a t i o n t o r e c o g n i z e the unique r o l e which w a t e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n p l a y s i n t h e t r a n s p o r t i n g o f energy t o be used by others, a g r i c u l t u r a l products and the heavy raw m a t e r i a l s o f i n d u s t r y so t h a t i n the s o l u t i o n of an a d m i t t e d l y v e r y difficult problem t h e f u e l t o p r o p e l the waterborne t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i s t r e a t e d f a i r l y and e q u i t a b l y . industry 102 M r . SMITH. M r . Chairman, may I present M r . Bernard Goldstein. H e may have a w o r d o r t w o w h i c h he w o u l d l i k e t o offer v o l u n t a r i l y , o r i f y o u wish, we can w a i t and he can answer any questions w h i c h y o u care t o propound. Senator MCINTYRE. I w o u l d be happy to hear f r o m you, M r . Goldstein, i f you w a n t t o a d d something t o what M r . S m i t h has said. M r . GOLDSTEIN. I thought, i n order to b r i n g i t i n t o perspective, we could say o u r problems d o not exist later on t h i s summer b u t they exist r i g h t now. W e operate six towboats on the Mississippi R i v e r anjd we have been g e t t i n g o u r fuel at Davenport, I o w a ; St. Louis, M o . ; and Cairo, 111. W e need about 450,000 gallons a month. Standard O i l at Davenport, I o w a , announced t h a t they w i l l no longer sell f u e l o i l t o towboats. O u r dealer at St. Louis says he can only give us 190,000 gallons a month. O u r dealer a t Cairo, 111. has shut us off almost entirely. W e have a situation r i g h t now where we are getting less t h a n 50 percent o f t h e fuel we w i l l need. A s soon as the locks open up again on the Mississippi River, we are g o i n g t o have t o operate i n order t o get t h a t -grain m o v i n g t o the g u l f . W i t h o u t fuel o i l , we cannot do i t , and the g r a i n bins i n I o w a are already filled. I f we cannot move the g r a i n d o w n t o New Orleans f o r export, they are going t o r o t i n the fields t h i s f a l l and our balance o f payments is going to r o t r i g h t w i t h them. Senator MCINTYRE. IS y o u r dealer just allocating to y o u w h a t he is allocating across the board t o other customers o r is he deciding t h a t tugboats are not i m p o r t a n t ? M r . GOLDSTEIN. The one i n St. Louis got the cut 50 percent f r o m his suppliers, Shell and C l a r k . Standard O i l a t Davenport j u s t announced no more fuel o i l f o r towboats. T h e y have got t o take care o f somebody else. T h e same t h i n g is true f o r the M o b i l O i l dealer d o w n at Cairo, 111. H e has been cut back 75 percent a t Cairo, 111. So they are not getting i t and they cannot deliver i t to us. W e are not a b i g company. W e are a small company. W e do n o t have influence w i t h the b i g o i l companies. Therefore, we have t o do w h a t we can. W e do not k n o w where to t u r n . Senator MCINTYRE. HOW small are you ? M r . GOLDSTEIN. W e represent about 5 percent of the barge g r a i n t h a t moves to New Orleans. There is more than $3 b i l l i o n w o r t h o f g r a i n m o v i n g t o New Orleans f r o m I o w a , Minnesota, Wisconsin, I l l i n o i s , and Missouri, and we move about 5 percent of that. I t h i n k we are representative. B u t we p i c k up f r o m a l l the g r a i n terminals along the Mississippi River i n eastern I o w a and western Illinois. Some are b i g companies, some are small companies, some are coops. W e come back then w i t h fertilizer, F l o r i d a fertilizer f o r the I o w a fertilizer people and we also come back up w i t h coal f o r the powerplants i n o u r area i n I o w a and western Wisconsin. Senator MCINTYRE. W h y is i t i m p o r t a n t t h a t we move t h a t g r a i n ? M r . GOLDSTEIN. I f we do not move the g r a i n w h a t are we g o i n g t o 103 do w i t h it? W e may as w e l i t e l l the farmer to forget about p l a n t i n g i t i f we cannot move i t t o the customers. Senator MCINTYRE. DO you have a n y t h i n g else you want t o add? M r . GOLDSTEIN. One more t h i n g . W e w i l l move more ton-miles per gallon o f fuel o i l t h a n any other method o f transportation because of the efficiency o f water transportation. Senator MCINTYRE. I want t o explain t o you, the reason f o r the panel, o f course, is i n the interest o f time, and we ihave given you an ample opportunity t o state the case f o r your particular industry, which is p a r t o f the record, which is what we are really p u m p i n g f o r here t h i s morning. B u t I w o u l d l i k e t o ask generalized questions o f the f o u r o f you. One is, what difficulty o r w h o do you go to o r who w o u l d you get i n touch With f o r representative government i n this problem, as you see i t today, as existing i n your industry ? A r e you h a v i n g any difficulty f i n d i n g out who i n industry i s the man t o see? W e w i l l start w i t h the airlines here, M r . Ignatius. M r . IGNATIUS. I t h i n k one of the problems as many people have noted, M r . Chairman, is there are a l o t o f people i n the executive branch of the government who are concerned one way o r the other w i t h the energy problem. There seems to have been some changes made recently to c l a r i f y i t and desirably so. I n our case, i n connection, f o r example, w i t h the release o f in-bond fuel f o r domestic use, I directed m y letter to M r . Charles Simon o f the Treasury Department, who seems t o be the one most directly concerned w i t h this. I would say finally t h a t I t h i n k i t would be very h e l p f u l to a l l of us i f f u r t h e r clarifications of executive department responsibility could be made and we could be i n f o r m e d of i t . Senator MCINTYRE. W h e n you are i n a t i g h t situation, which I t h i n k a l l o f us are one way or the other and we have said t h a t we are i n and expect t o continue t o be, i t helps an a w f u l l o t i f you can go t o a single p o i n t t o get the problem understood and resolved. So, I t h i n k any f u r t h e r clarification o r fixing o f responsibility, more i m p o r t a n t l y i n f o r m i n g people where they ought t o go, would be helpful. M r . Barton, before you answer t h a t question, w o u l d you agree generally w i t h w h a t M r . S m i t h had t o say about agriculture and t h e movement o f grains, and when the flood waters recede there are going to be problems d o w n there—you just heard h i m say you t h i n k you have problems today, w a i t u n t i l June. Do you agree w i t h him? M r . BARTON. Yes; I agree generally w i t h him. I d i d not emphasize as much as he d i d the transportation aspect o f the problem—the problems of transporting fertilizer, seed, etc. This is a real problem, and one t h a t is being postponed to a large extent, as he pointed out, by the floods t h a t have kept farmers out o f the fields. They are getting into the fields now, and this w i l l be a g r o w i n g problem. A g a i n , I d i d not emphasize the problem o f m o v i n g g r a i n and agricultural products off the f a r m a t harvest time. W e have had tremendous problems generally, not just w i t h barges but w i t h railroads, adequate cars on railroads and so on, to move grain d u r i n g the past year. 104 W e made the b i g g r a i n sale t o the Soviet U n i o n last year o f some 420 m i l l i o n bushels o f wheat. A great deal o f t h a t is s t i l l t o be moved. W e are placing greater reliance t o balance our payments on agricultural exports. W e have net a g r i c u l t u r a l exports now o f several billions o f dollars and we are increasingly p l a n t i n g f o r export. Furthermore, i f we are going to meet the food needs i n t h i s country t h i s year—and t o do t h i s the A g r i c u l t u r e Department has opened u p some 50 m i l l i o n additional acres o f l a n d to production this year t o increase production o f livestock and feed grains going i n t o livestock —the fuel needs of farmers w i l l be increased substantially. I f this additional 50 m i l l i o n acres is planted, i t w o u l d be about a 16-percent increase i n land open t o field production. W e have had about 300 m i l l i o n acres o f cropland. T h i s w o u l d increase i t t o about 350 m i l l i o n acres. N o w , on the specific question t h a t you asked, I t h i n k farmers tend t o go t h r o u g h the Department of A g r i c u l t u r e a n d to approach other departments and agencies o f the Government o n f u e l problems t h r o u g h the A g r i c u l t u r e Department. T h i s is not the case, o f course, w i t h Central Exchange and the larger cooperatives. I n t h a t regard, I would simply add, consistent w i t h w h a t M r . I g n a t i u s has said, I t h i n k there w o u l d be some real benefit i n clarif y i n g where you go and just who is h a n d l i n g w h a t i n the Government. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . K i l e y , are members o f y o u r association experiencing any difficulty i n finding just who i n the Federal Government t o see about f u e l supplies ? M r . KILEY. YOU have p u t your finger on the whole p r o b l e m : W e do not know where t o go. W h e n we first went i n t o this situation last year, we went t o the only agency we knew. They s i m p l y sympathized but they have no authority. Today we are being asked to keep the Cost of L i v i n g Council informed about t h e prices. T h i s is not our problem. There is no place to go t o see t o i t t h a t we get the fuel we need. T h i s is -the very problem of the authorities i n our laws today. T h i s is the question we are g e t t i n g f r o m our carriers every d a y : W h a t are we going t o do? W e cannot force the petroleum i n d u s t r y to supply us, they are unregulated industry, but we have regulated carriers, The Interstate Commerce Commission is the one t h a t w o u l d make us p e r f o r m the service that we have to perform. I suppose t h a t they are the ones to whom we would complain when we cannot get the fuel t o carry out the necessary service. B u t where do they go? No, sir, this is the No. 1 problem, as we see i t . There is a problem, there is not going t o be enough fuel f o r transportation service b u t where do you go t o get action on it? I t h i n k this is the problem t h a t we are faced w i t h . Senator MCINTYRE. M r . S m i t h ? M r . SMITH. M r . Chairman, when you p u t t h a t question a l i t t l e while ago, I started t h i n k i n g about where to go f o r information. Just to list a few, the Office o f Emergency Preparedness which is now being broken u p ; there are several agencies o f the Department o f Transportation involved i n energy and f u e l ; there are a number o f 105 different agencies o f the Department o f the I n t e r i o r t h a t are involved; the Treasury is involved; Federal Power Commission i s involved. C A B is involved relating to the airline i n d u s t r y ; O M B is involved; the Domestic Council is involved; Secretary B u t z and his new N a t u r a l Resources Council, as counselor t o the President, i s involved. I f you should ask me where to go t o get answers, I w o u l d have to confess t h a t I t h i n k the administration and the W h i t e House has a problem o f getting a handle on where citizens go t o get answers and who makes decisions. I t is a very fragmented situation i n this Nation o f ours today. I t h i n k the problem is serious enough t h a t t h a t fragmentation ought to be resolved. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . K i l e y , some time ago St. Johnsbury Trucki n g outfit up i n New E n g l a n d , w h i c h does a lot of m o v i n g of f r e i g h t and stuff around the New E n g l a n d area where I come f r o m , indicated they were on the spot as t o where upcoming supplies of diesel o i l or fuel or whatever they wanted were coming f r o m . I understand f r o m the staff t h a t has been i n touch w i t h them t h a t they are l i v i n g on sort of a month-to-month basis. B u t i f we projected into the f u t u r e something of what M r . S m i t h is t a l k i n g about, what are you people i n t r u c k i n g going to do ? H o w are you going to operate i f you cannot get 40 percent o f the fuel t h a t you normally have? M r . KILEY. There is going to have to be a curtailment o f service. F o r example, I suppose we would have to petition the I C C t h a t the regulated carrier be temporarily relieved of the requirement not give f o r regular service. I n other words, not schedule d a i l y service t o some areas, because we cannot, send out a half-loaded truck. W e m i g h t ask f o r the r i g h t to discontinue serving some points every day, serve them once or twice a week. I t m i g h t even come down to the horrible situation of embargoing certain types o f traffic. W e have not faced t h a t yet but we could. B u t we w i l l have to go t o the I C C because our carriers who are under regulation have certificates which say you must serve these points, you must carry these commodities. B u t t h a t is a very real problem. F o r example, pickup and delivery service would have to be consolidated. I t would make an a w f u l l o t of people unhappy, but this is what we would have to do i f we do not get enough fuel. I f you cut back 40 percent of the fuel, you are going to cut back 40 percent o f the service. I t is as simple as that. Senator MCINTYRE. I t h i n k , when you go back to your office, t h a t you had better get your plans going. M r . KILEY. W e move the great m a j o r i t y , practically all o f the petroleum i n transportation i n the short h a u l — I am t a l k i n g now about gasoline—for example moves by highway t a n k truck. Y o u would t h i n k that they could get i t i f nobody else can. B u t they cannot get i t i n some areas. I n many parts o f the country our tank t r u c k carriers, because they cannot get adequate supplies o f diesel, are unable to make gasoline deliveries. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . Barton, you inferred that your exchange had two refineries and t h a t something like 55 or 6 0 — i do not know, 106 you d i d not give me a figure on how much domestic crude you were depending upon. One o f y o u r plants is 45 o r 55 percent Canadian. W h e n y o u go t o y o u r domestic producer today, he is beginning, y o u indicated, to show a lack of interest i n you because of the fact t h a t the fees are no longer as valuable as the tickets were a year o r t w o ago, the tickets t h a t y o u r people could give h i m . M r . BARTON. Yes, I indicated t h a t i t is increasingly difficult f o r Central Exchange, f o r example, to trade tickets, so t o speak, w i t h a m a j o r o i l company t h a t is i m p o r t i n g oil, so t h a t the m a j o r — l e t us say i t is G u l f O i l C o . — w i l l supply o i l t h a t is available i n the m i d western area t o Central Exchange and, i n t u r n G u l f w i l l i m p o r t a comparable amount o f o i l f r o m the M i d d l e East o r wherever they are g e t t i n g the oil. T h e idea, as I understand i t , is the majors are saying w i t h the fee system t h a t has been introduced under the new regulations, i t is less profitable f o r them t o i m p o r t o i l and replace t h e i r domestic o i l t h a t o r d i n a r i l y would be made available t h r o u g h the tickets t o our people i n the Midwest. The general problem is t h a t the Midwestern and Central p a r t o f the U n i t e d States is on the end of the d i s t r i b u t i o n system. W h e n supplies tighten, i t is increasingly difficult t o get ample o i l i n this area o f the country. [ T h e f o l l o w i n g material was inserted:] RESOLUTIONS ADOPTED B Y . T E X A S F A R M E R S U N I O N WACO, TEX., APRIL 2 8 , 1 9 7 3 B O A R D OF DIRECTORS, F U E L SHORTAGE Whereas, considerable controversy is n o w e x i s t i n g i n the n a t i o n , w i t h housewives concerned w i t h the " h i g h " price of some f a r m commodities a t the r e t a i l level; Whereas, r e t a i l f o d prices reflect m a n y cost f a c t o r s t h r o u g h o u t the f o o d processing chain, i n c l u d i n g the rise a n d f a l l of f a r m c o m m o d i t y supplies a t the f a r m g a t e ; Whereas, the h e a l t h a n d well-being of our n a t i o n depends upon a steady, dependable supply of f a r m goods; Whereas, the supply of f a r m commodities is being threatened by reputed shortages of diesel, gasoline, a n d other f a r m fuels necessary f o r p l a n t i n g , c u l t i v a t i o n , a n d h a r v e s t i n g of the nation's c r o p s ; Whereas, a serious f u e l shortage could b r i n g " e x o r b i t a n t l y " h i g h e r prices a t t h e r e t a i l food store level, therefore be i t Resolved by the full Board of Texas Farmers Union, T h a t Congress should set aside gasoline, diesel, a n d other f u e l usage p r i o r i t i e s w i t h a g r i c u l t u r e as h a v i n g top p r i o r i t y ; Be i t f u r t h e r Resolved, Congress should use i t s a u t h o r i t y a n d pursuasive powers to see t h a t a ceiling is placed on f a r m fuel prices a t a level n o t to exceed prices on the date t h a t ceilings were imposed on beef prices. I N D E P E N D E N T F U E L DISTRIBUTORS Whereas, the n a t i o n is faced w i t h a n i m p e n d i n g energy c r i s i s ; Whereas, t h i s alleged crisis is being used as j u s t i f i c a t i o n t o r a t i o n a n d sometimes refuse to deliver fuels to independent wholesalers a n d jobbers supplying agricultural areas; Whereas, t h e loss of these f a r m f u e l r e t a i l outlets w i l l seriously i m p a i r tihe adequate d i s t r i b u t i o n of f a r m fuels needed to produce the food a n d fiber necessary f o r the nation. T h e r e f o r e be i t Resolved by the Texas Farmers Union Board of Directors, T h a t Congress i s u r g e d t o i n i t i a t e a n i n q u i r y i n t o the practice by m a j o r o i l companies o f 107 d i s c r i m i n a t i o n o f independents a n d jobbers i n f u e l deliveries a n d s c h e d u l i n g ; Be i t f u r t h e r Resolved, T h a t the Texas R a i l r o a d Commission investigate t h i s m a t t e r w i t h the purpose o f g u a r a n t e e i n g equal t r e a t m e n t f o r f u e l d i s t r i b u t o r s i n r u r a l a r e a s ; Be i t f u r t h e r Resolved, T h a t t h e B o a r d recognize a n d endorse the efforts o f t h e associat i o n o f jobbers i n t h e i r efforts t o g a i n f a i r t r e a t m e n t i n f u e l deliveries a n d cooperate w i t h t h e m i n t h e i r efforts t o supply a g r i c u l t u r a l producers needed f a r m fuels. Senator MCINTYRE. O f the f o u r members o f the panel who are here, who deal w i t h obtaining the contracts, you indicated, M r . Ignatius, t h a t i n the contract field you were not h a v i n g any trouble although there were certain signs on the horizon t h a t you d i d not like too much as you explained t o us about t h a t cost o f 1 cent f o r an increase i n jet fuel. B u t you are not experiencing any difficulty i n procuring contracts f o r the delivery o f jet fuel on time, is t h a t r i g h t ? M r . IGNATIUS. NO, t h a t is not what I meant to convey. W e have had some problems. They consist o f t w o l a n d s : F i r s t , last January we had problems getting delivery under existi n g contracts—this is, what the contracts called for. T h a t tended t o be localized and we surmounted i t by p r o m p t action. W e are experiencing difficulties i n the negotiation of new contracts to replace existing contracts as they expire. F o r example, one o f the contractual methods t h a t the airlines employ is a requirements contract w i t h the supplier t o meet our needs. W e have had some problems i n negotiating requirements contracts of this k i n d . Secondly, we are encountering cost increases t h a t give some bases f o r believing t h a t we w i l l be h a v i n g some significant increases i n the cost o f our jet fuel. So, we have got both w a r n i n g signals and actual experience i n renewal o f o l d contracts that give us pause, both w i t h respect t o sufficiency o f the fuel we need, availability o f the fuel we need, as well as the price, what i t is going to cost us. Senator MCINTYRE. Gentlemen, I do not want to be g u i l t y of leadi n g you i n any respect b u t I am going to ask one more question. I am g o i n g t o t r y t o ,phrase i t this way. I n your opinion, should not the President begin immediately t o use the authority under the Economic Stabilization A c t to set up these plans f o r fuel allocation ? W h a t is y o u r feeling on that? M r . Smith, do you understand the question ? M r . SMITH. Y e s , s i r . I suspect that some of the members of the American Waterways Operators would say the President should. T h e question has never been put to the organization and I am i n no position to enunciate the policy of A M O . I t has never gone to our board. I would suggest, however, that when and i f i t becomes unmistakeably clear t h a t the free market system w i l l not operate t o keep our industry mobile and i n operation t h a t our B o a r d w i l l address that problem very specifically and may come up w i t h a policy declaration which would agree w i t h some of the others here today. I am not w i l l i n g , nor able to say that I t h i n k we should—at this moment. I f we find a pattern i n t h i s — i t is t h a t there is no pattern. 9 6 - 1 8 3 O - 73 - 8 108 There are spot shortages. There are many. They are c r i t i c a l i n some areas of the Nation. I n the other areas they are not so bad. There is contract problems. B u t t h a t , too, is very spotty. V e r y f r a n k l y , I have not detected the k i n d o f a pattern t h a t w o u l d make me say, even personally, t h a t this is the moment t h a t the President should act. M r . GOLDSTEIN. I w o u l d like to answer on behalf o f our company. I believe the President should act immediately—this afternoon. M r . KILEY. Immediately. H e should act immediately. M r . BARTON. W e w o u l d certainly agree w i t h t h a t , M r . Chairman. T h e President should have already acted, among other reasons, because we are losing the independent outlets. Congressmen Les A s p i n , I believe just d u g u p i n f o r m a t i o n yesterday t h a t several hundred gas outlets, independent retailers, have already been cut off. M r . IGNATIUS. M r . Chairman, I believe t h a t the administration should act immediately, and I understand has begun t o develop a contingency plan f o r the allocation o f fuels and the establishment of <a priorities system. I t h i n k t h a t is necessary today. Secondly, based on the i n f o r m a t i o n I have, I do not believe t h a t i t w o u l d be necessary a t this point i n t i m e to p u t an overall p r i o r i t y and allocation system into effect, b u t I believe plans f o r d o i n g i t should be prepared as a matter of urgency. M r . IGNATIUS. The administration spokesmen have said t h a t they expect the imbalance between supply and demand over the coming summer t o be on the order o f 3 or 4 percent and on a more optimistic projection possibly to come out even. I f t h i s is true, w h a t we have, then, w i l l be d i s t r i b u t i o n problems and spot shortages. A n d I t h i n k i t is extremely i m p o r t a n t t h a t the administration look at each o f the transportation modes as w e l l as other industries o r service o f a v i t a l type t h a t require petroleum products and make plans at once t o relieve spot shortages as they develop. One specific remedy i n our case is the release o f in-bond f u e l f o r domestic purposes. T h a t would remedy an immediate problem. I t i s l i k e b o r r o w i n g a cup o f sugar f r o m the neighbor u n t i l you can go t o the market. I n time, we may have a problem t h a t requires more t h a n p r o m p t relief o f spot shortages, and i n t h a t connection i t seems t o me we have got to have an overall allocations and priorities plan, and t h a t p l a n I am t o l d is under development and I believe should proceed as a matter o f urgency. Senator MCINTYRE. Gentlemen, unless there is some one here who feels he has something else to add at this time, I want t o t h a n k a l l of you f o r coming here t h i s m o r n i n g and g i v i n g us the benefit o f y o u r feelings and experiences t h a t you are h a v i n g w i t h this g r o w i n g situation w i t h the fuel industry and the fuel supply i n the country. T h a n k you. W e w i l l now move to our second panel. W e call as our next panel M r . F r e d Dunikoski, vice president o f Transportation, Greyhound Corp., National Association o f M o t o r Bus Owners, M r . C a r l V . L y o n , general solicitor o f the Association o f American Railroads and M r . James E . T e r r y , Emergency Diesel Fuel Task Force o f the American T r a n s i t Association. 109 STATEMENT OF FRED DUNIKOSKI, VICE PRESIDENT, TRANSPORTATION, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MOTOR BUS OWNERS, CARL V. LYON, GENERAL SOLICITOR, ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS, AND JAMES E. TERRY, EMERGENCY DIESEL FUEL TASK FORCE OF THE AMERICAN TRANSIT ASSOCIATION Senator MCINTYRE. I am glad to welcome you a l l here this m o r n i n g and we w i l l proceed i n the fashion t h a t we already have, t r y i n g t o h o l d your statement i n the v i c i n i t y o f 10 minutes. Then at the conclusion of the three witnesses, we w i l l have a few questions f o r you. W e are mainly concerned i n t r y i n g t o b u i l d a record as you people are experiencing i t today w i t h this problem. W e call on M r . F r e d Dunikoski o f Greyhound, representing both Greyhound and the National Association o f M o t o r Bus Owners, t o start off the proceedings. M r . DUNIKOSKI. I f I may be permitted, a t m y l e f t I have M r . A r t h u r Mitchell, who is vice president of purchasing f o r the Greyhound Corp. H e is not to give testimony unless i t is a question that is asked o f me t h a t I do not have the technical i n f o r m a t i o n and he is merely here to assist the committee should they want some additional answers I am not able to provide. Senator MCINTYRE. W e are glad to welcome h i m here. M r . MITCHELL. T h a n k y o u . M r . DUNIKOSKI. I do have a statement which I would like t o introduce into the record i n its entirety. I n addition to that, I w o u l d l i k e t o summarize i n some areas or expand some o f the comments I make. Also, i f there is a n y t h i n g t h a t I do not have available i n answer to the committee's questions, I would be most happy to provide to the committee at a later date this information. Sir, I am Frederick Dunikoski. I am vice president of transportat i o n f o r Greyhound Lines, Inc., the worlds largest intercity bus company. I very much appreciate this o p p o r t u n i t y t o appear before the committee on behalf o f both Greyhound and the National Association o f M o t o r Bus Owners t o discuss the bus industry's concern about the energy crisis. F i r s t of all, let me t r y to position the intercity bus industry i n this country. F o r hundreds o f thousands o f Americans, the bus is the only means o f transportation, public transportation available. Most smaller and r u r a l communities do not have either commercial airports or passenger t r a i n stations. B u t Greyhound and approximately 1,000 other intercity bus companies serve almost every village and hamlet i n this country. D u r i n g 1972, the bus industry carried 387 m i l l i o n passengers over 267,000 miles o f routes. The industry operated 1.8 b i l l i o n bus miles, transporting passengers a total o f 25.6 b i l l i o n passenger miles. I recite these statistics to give an impression of the importance of the bus industry to the transportation of Americans. B u t transportation is essential not only f o r the movement of people, but also f o r the transportation o f packages—small packages— throughout the Nation. 110 F o r example* the bus industry each day transports v i t a l blood plasma, drugs and medications to hospitals and doctors i n locations where no other f o r m of public transportation is available t o handle this service. Small business i n many of these communities rely on us t o t a l l y and completely f o r f u r n i s h i n g them w i t h service, parts, replacement parts and inventories—by bus, t h a t they could not get t h r o u g h any other f o r m of transportation. I n addition to that, i n relation to the importance of conserving energy, I w o u l d like to make a few remarks about the efficiency of intercity buses i n the utilization of energy as compared to other forms of transportation before I provide you w i t h more specific detail regarding Greyhound's experiencing i n obtaining f u e l supplies. A publication " E n e r g y Intensiveness of Passenger and F r e i g h t Transport Modes: 1950-1970" published A p r i l 1973, by E r i c H i r s t , a study sponsored by the National Science Foundation, buses were f o u n d to be the most energy-efficient mode f o r intercity passenger travel. Energy requirements f o r the f o u r most common traffic modes were f o u n d to be as f o l l o w s : Buses obtain 85 passenger miles per gallon of fuel, w h i l e railroads get 48 passenger miles, automobiles 40, and j e t a i r c r a f t only 16. The report also indicates that pollutant emissions f r o m intercity buses, on an average per-passenger-mile basis, are about 45 percent less than emissions f r o m diesel-powered intercity passenger trains. I cite these figures so that the committee can recognize the i m p o r t ance of an adequate supply of fuel f o r the i n t e r c i t y bus i n d u s t r y i n terms of keeping the v i t a l American public transportation system w o r k i n g at peak efficiency. I have read much about the present energy crisis, b u t I do not feel qualified to discuss the causes o r solutions to this serious national problem. I can only relate the experience of Greyhound and other bus companies i n terms of our a b i l i t y to obtain the needed supply of diesel fuel to keep our buses r o l l i n g as expected by the American public. A g a i n , to f u r n i s h some perspective, let me i n f o r m you t h a t Greyhound used nearly 80 m i l l i o n gallons of diesel fuel i n 1972. W e purchase fuel i n more than 100 locations f r o m over 10 suppliers, mostly national companies. Let me also say t h a t this only represents Greyhound's transportation activities and does not include any of the requirements of other parts of the diversified Greyhound Corp. B e g i n n i n g early this year, there have been shortages and resulting r a t i o n i n g by our suppliers that have already had an effect on Greyhound's operations and represent a serious potential threat to the Nation's transportation system. I n January of this year I repeat, we were rationed i n the supply of fuel. E a r l y i n January, two of our suppliers, American O i l and Ill Texaco, a r b i t r a r i l y began to ration our fuel supplies. I n the case of American, we were allotted 80 percent and Texaco allowed us 75 percent. W e know o f other bus companies who had contracts w i t h o i l companies t h a t expired d u r i n g the year and t h e i r suppliers refused to renew contracts and other suppliers would not even submit bids. I n one case I am personally f a m i l i a r w i t h , a carrier whose contract expired this year, none o f the major companies would come f o r t h w i t h a bid. They were required to go to a local refinery, and their fuel costs were increased over 50 percent i n t h e i r new contract as opposed to the contract that expired. I relate this to you because this is what is prevailing today i n the bus industry. W h i l e T do not specifically relate t o costs here today i n m y statement, I do want to point out that the costs are increasing tremendously and the people who are going to suffer w i l l be the people who are- using our bus, and i n many instances these are people who do not have automobiles or cannot drive, either because of their age or because of their health or some other reason. These are the people who are going to suffer w i t h these increased costs, whereas I have not made costs a p r i m a r y issue i n my statement. A s I point out to you, in January they started r a t i o n i n g our supply. A l l this was happening while there was no r a t i o n i n g whatever of gasoline f o r pleasure purposes. A l t h o u g h esentially public carrier transportation was having difficulty i n obtaining needed fuel, you could easily find a gas station that would fill your car without restriction. Senator MCINTYRE. Were gas stations closing around you? M r . DUNIKOSKI. I n some areas; most o f them independents, sir. Actually, gasoline sales were being encouraged w i t h giveaways, a t the same time Senator MCINTYRE. W h a t do you mean by giveaways? M r . DUNIKOSKI. Giveaways o f items when you were purchasing gas—glasses, t r a d i n g stamps and other forms o f g i f t s to encourage sales of gasoline. Senator MCINTYRE. W h o was doing this ? M r . DUNIKOSKI. M a n y major suppliers. They are doing i t today. R i g h t today you can go down to many of your major suppliers, they are encouraging the sales o f gasoline through giveaways, through use o f t r a d i n g stamps as an incentive t o purchase gasoline—even today, when everybody at the panel preceding me and I assume people f o l l o w i n g me w i l l recite difficulties i n obtaining fuel. A s a result of this rationing, we experienced shortages at Chicago, Washington, D.C., and New Y o r k . 112 Fortunately, we were able to obtain the ne-cessary f u e l f r o m other sources, but we are well aware t h a t the day may be approaching when there w i l l be no other sources t o t u r n to when our regular contractual supplier reduces our allotment. More recently, we have been notified by some suppliers t h a t we w i l l be placed on an allotment based on a percentage of fuel each month corresponding t o one-twelfth of our average annual use i n 1971. N o t only does this reduce the t o t a l amount of diesel f u e l t h a t w i l l be made available to Greyhound but i t does not take into account the fact that our fuel needs are significantly greater i n the summer months than d u r i n g much of the rest of the year. W e have no capaci t y to store large quantities of fuel d u r i n g the w i n t e r months to have i t available d u r i n g the summer. W h a t is at issue here is the fact that the o i l companies are t a k i n g the responsibility of determining whether public carrier service w i l l be available to cities and towns throughout the U n i t e d States. Today bus companies have a responsibility to provide service as regulated by the I C C and various State commissions. T h r o u g h these agencies the public is assured of dependable, low-cost transportation. The o i l campanics, through their r a t i o n i n g of fuel, adopted an attitude that they, not Government regulatory agencies, w i l l determine whether and where service w i l l be provided. They have, i n fact, established themselves as the regulatory body t h a t determines who gets the fuel and how much they w i l l supply. There is no question t h a t i f the fuel companies reduce or terminate the bus industry's fuel supply, a reduction or termination of bus service w i l l follow. This is a very real and positive threat that we believe requires immediate action. The intercity bus industry believes t h a t Government and not the o i l companies should continue t o determine w h a t the level of public carrier service should be or whether there should be any at all. W e strongly support legislation—and we strongly support the position taken by you i n your letter to the P r e s e n t today—to enable the Government to set the priorities f o r the available supply of f u e l rather than leaving such essential public decisions to the o i l companies. W e believe f i r m l y that the energy crisis has a potential f o r causing great disruption of the American way of l i f e and we urgently hope this committee and the Congress w i l l accept the responsibility o f determining the most essential priorities i n p r o v i d i n g public transp o r t a t i o n t h r o u g h the judicious alocation o f the available fuel supply. I appreciate the o p p o r t u n i t y to make this presentation, and I h o l d myself available f o r any questions. [ F u l l statement of M r . D u n i k o s k i f o l l o w s : ] 113 TESTIMONY OF F R E D E R I C K DUNIKOSKI V I C E P R E S I D E N T , G R E Y H O U N D LINES, INC. I a m F r e d e r i c k Dunikoski, Vice President of Transportation for Greyhound L i n e s , Inc. , the world's largest intercity bus company. I v e r y much appreciate this opportunity to appear before the Committee on behalf of both Greyhound and the National Association of Motor Bus Owners to discuss the bus industry's concern about the energy c r i s i s . F i r s t of a l l , l e t me try to position the intercity bus industry in this country. F o r hundreds of thousands of A m e r i c a n s , the bus is the only means of public transportation available. Most s m a l l e r and r u r a l communities do not have either c o m m e r c i a l airports or passenger t r a i n stations. But Greyhound and approximately 1 , 0 0 0 other intercity bus companies serve almost every village and hamlet in this country. During 1972, the bus industry c a r r i e d 387 m i l l i o n passengers over 267, 000 m i l e s of routes. » The industry operated 1. 8 billion bus m i l e s , transporting passengers a total of 25. 6 billion passenger m i l e s . I recite these statistics to give you an impression of the importance of the bus industry to the transportation of A m e r i c a n s . Bus transportation is essential not only for the movement of people, but also for the transportation of packages throughout the nation. 114 F o r example, the bus industry each day transports v i t a l blood plasma, drugs, and medications to hospitals and doctors in locations where no other f o r m of public transportation is available to handle this s e r v i c e . In relation to the importance of conserving energy, I would l i k e to make a few r e m a r k s about the efficiency of i n t e r c i t y buses in the utilization of energy as compared to other forms of transportation before I provide you with m o r e specific detail regarding Greyhound's experiences in obtaining fuel supplies. In "Energy Intensiveness of Passenger and F r e i g h t T r a n s p o r t Modes: 1950-1970", published A p r i l 1973, by E r i c H i r s t , a study sponsored by the National Science Foundation, buses w e r e found to be the most e n e r g y - e f f i c i e n t mode for i n t e r c i t y passenger t r a v e l . Energy requirements for the four most common t r a f f i c modes were found to be as follows: Buses obtain 85 passenger m i l e s per gallon of fuel, while r a i l r o a d s get 48 passenger m i l e s , automobiles 40, and j e t a i r c r a f t only 16. The report also indicates that pollutant emissions f r o m intercity buses, on an average p e r - p a s s e n g e r - m i l e basis, a r e about 45 percent less than emissions f r o m d i e s e l - p o w e r e d intercity passenger t r a i n s . 115 I c i t e t h e s e f i g u r e s so t h a t the C o m m i t t e e c a n r e c o g n i / . c the i m p o r t a n c e o f a n a d e q u a t e s u p p l y o f f u e l f o r the i n t e r c i t y b u s i n d u s t r y i n t e r m s o f k e e p i n g the v i t a l A m e r i c a n p u b l i c t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s y s t e m w o r k i n g at peak e f f i c i e n c y . I h a v e r e a d m u c h a b o u t the p r e s e n t e n e r g y c r i s i s , I do n o t f e e l q u a l i f i e d t o d i s c u s s the c a u s e s o r s o l u t i o n s to t h i s but serious national problem. I c a n o n l y r e l a t e the e x p e r i e n c e o f G r e y h o u n d a n d o t h e r b u s c o m p a n i e s i n t e r m s o f o u r a b i l i t y to o b t a i n the n e e d e d s u p p l y o f d i e s e l f u e l to k e e p o u r b u s e s r o l l i n g as e x p e c t e d b y the A m e r i c a n p u b l i c . Again, to f u r n i s h s o m e p e r s p e c t i v e , l e t m e i n f o r m y o u t h a t G r e y h o u n d u s e d n e a r l y 80 m i l l i o n g a l l o n s o f d i e s e l f u e l i n 1972. p u r c h a s e f u e l i n m o r e t h a n 100 l o c a t i o n s f r o m o v e r 10 s u p p l i e r s , national companies. L e t m e also say that this only r e p r e s e n t s t r a n s p o r t a t i o n a c t i v i t i e s and does n o t i n c l u d e any of the We mostly Greyhound's requirements of o t h e r p a r t s of the d i v e r s i f i e d G r e y h o u n d C o r p o r a t i o n . Beginning e a r l y this year, there have been shortages and r e s u l t i n g r a t i o n i n g by o u r s u p p l i e r s that have a l r e a d y had an e f f e c t on G r e y h o u n d ' s o p e r a t i o n s a n d r e p r e s e n t a s e r i o u s p o t e n t i a l t h r e a t to the nation's transportation system. 116 E a r l y in January, two of our suppliers, A m e r i c a n O i l and Texaco, a r b i t r a r i l y began to ration our fuel supplies. In the case of A m e r i c a n , we were alloted 80 p e r - c e n t and Texaco allowed us 75 p e r - c e n t . We know of other bus companies who had contracts with oil companies that expired during the year and their suppliers refused to renew contracts and other suppliers would not even submit bids. A l l this was happening, of course, while there was no rationing whatever of gasoline for pleasure purposes. Although essential public c a r r i e r transportation was having difficulty in obtaining needed fuel, you could easily find a gas station that would f i l l your automobile without r e s t r i c t i o n . As a result of this rationing, we experienced shortages at Chicago, Washington, D. C. and New Y o r k . Fortunately, we were able to obtain the necessary fuel f r o m other sources, but we a r e well aware that the day may be approaching when there w i l l be no other sources to turn to when our regular contractual supplier reduces our allotment. M o r e recently, we have been notified by some suppliers that we w i l l be placed on an allotment based on a percentage of fuel each month corresponding to one-twelfth of our average annual use in 1971 . 117 Not only does this reduce the total amount of diesel fuel that w i l l be made available to Greyhound, but it does not take into account the fact that our fuel needs a r e significantly greater in the summer months than during much of the rest of the y e a r . We have i. no capacity to store l a r g e quantities of fuel during the winter months to have it available during the s u m m e r . What is at issue here is the fact that the oil companies a r e taking the responsibility of determining whether public c a r r i e r service w i l l be available to cities and towns throughout the United States. Today, bus companies have a responsibility to provide service as regulated by the Interstate C o m m e r c e Commission and various state commissions. Through these agencies, the public is assured of dependable, low-cost transportation. The oil companies, through their rationing of fuel, have adopted an attitude that they, not government regulatory agencies, w i l l determine whether and where service w i l l be provided. They have, in fact, established themselves as the regulatory body that determines who gets the fuel and how much they w i l l supply. There is no question that if the fuel companies reduce or terminate the bus industry's fuel supply, a reduction or t e r m i n a t i o n of bus service w i l l follow. 118 This is a v e r y r e a l and positive threat that we believe requires i m m e d i a t e action. The intercity bus industry believes that government and not the oil companies should continue to determine what the l e v e l of public c a r r i e r service should be or whether there should be any at a l l . We strongly support legislation to enable the government to set the p r i o r i t i e s for the available fuel supply r a t h e r than leaving such essential public decisions to the oil companies. We believe f i r m l y that the energy c r i s i s has a potential for causing great disruption of the A m e r i c a n way of life and we urgently hope this Committee and the Congress w i l l accept the responsibility of d e t e r m i n i n g the most essential p r i o r i t i e s in providing public transportation through the judicious allocation of the available fuel supply. 119 Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you very much. We call as our next witness as a member of this panel M r . C a r l V . L v o n , general solicitor of the Association of American Railroads. Bear i n mind, M r . L y o n , any place you can help us i n paraphrasing those parts of your statement that lend themselves to i t , we w o u l d appreciate it. O n the other hand, I want you to feel perfectly free to testify i n any manner that suits you and you feel presents your case the best. STATEMENT OF CARL V. LYON, GENERAL SOLICITOR OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS M r . LYON. I am going to t r y to be very brief. I would request t h a t you include my complete statement i n the record, and I w i l l go f o r t h f r o m that point (see p. 121). M y name is C a r l V . Lyon. I am general solicitor of the Association of American Railroads. W e represent the railroads which operate 99 percent of the trackage, 98 percent of the workers and 99 percent of the revenues of all class 1 railroads i n this country and t h a t is practically all of them. Railroads are no different than the other witnesses you have heard today, M r . Chairman. W e are all i n trouble as to fuel. Each week presents a new challenge, a new problem, f o r one of our members o f where to find the oil, the diesel fuel supply, to meet his transportation needs. W e have been l i v i n g off our storage supplies, although storage supplies are now substantially depleted. W e have gone to Canada to purchase oil and transported it i n tank oars all the way across the Nation i n some cases. Railroads have purchased entire ship cargoes and shared them among railroads to make oil available i n places where railroads' storage supplies have runout. W e have r u n i n t o situations where major suppliers on whom we rely principally have t o l d us that our new contracts would be at 25 percent lower ievels than previous years and they have been u n w i l l i n g to enter into a n y t h i n g but very short term contracts f o r renewals. This is i n the face of business this year at levels 10 percent higher than last year. Where we are supplied by small jobbers, we have l>een unable i n some cases to be supplied at all and i n many cases a very sporadic supply. Now, railroads consume only about 2.5 percent of the total consumption o f petroleum fuel i n this country. So, i f one is to look f o r a way to save oil, there is no solution i n t r y i n g to save i t i n the railroad business because you could take i t a l l and you would s t i l l have a major energy and fuel oil problem. The impact of such action would be much greater than 2.5 percent, however, because of the dependency of the Nation and the Nation's economy upon r a i l transportation f o r basic kinds of transportation i n basic commodities. 120 F o r example, we move large amounts of coal to electric generating facilities. I am sure you have heard about the v i t a l transportation of g r a i n and the other agricultural commodities t h a t we transport. There have been three hearings before the Senate and House already this year about the massive demands made on r a i l transportat i o n this year w i t h respect to utilization o f our car supply. A n y loss of o i l or i n a b i l i t y t o obtain oil w i l l tie up the entire system and i t can not be tolerated. W e haul lumber, paper, chemicals, ores—all these things are basic commodities such as would have an adverse effect p y r a m i d i n g i n t o other things and resulting i n unemployment and idle factories. I have been attending many meetings on this subject, and I am convinced t h a t the supply is not going to meet demand i n the short rnn, that demand is increasing—will continue t o increase. I want to congratulate this committee and the Senate i n insisting on adding the power to allocate and set petroleum priorities i n the Economic Stabilization A c t extension. I t h i n k i t is very i m p o r t a n t that such power was added. Last w i n t e r I t h i n k i t was somewhat foolish f o r public transportat i o n and heating people to be going w i t h o u t fuel when I and m y three 90ns could go down to the gasoline station and purchase a l l the gasoline we wanted but this was precisely the case. I n answer to the question you posed to the previous panel, the President should assure himself now—today—that needs f o r public transportation, f o r heat, f o r farms, and essential uses w i l l be met. I am not sure that the total use of his power is necessary at this time but I do believe he has to make the decision now f o r adequate production of distillate so that when this winter comes, there w i l l be ample supplies of the kinds o f fuel t h a t are necessary, because you can not switch back and w o r t h at w i l l between gasoline and distillate f r o m which heating oils and diesel fuels come. Railroads can not use a n y t h i n g but diesel fuels. F o r this reason, I t h i n k they should get some preference i n these priorities. M a n y utilities and industries can convert and actually have substantial standby facilities f o r r e t u r n i n g to coal. T h i s means t h a t some coal must be used. I t h i n k that this n a t i o n has to start reevaluating and rebalancing some of its national interests and consider what its speed i n a t t a i n i n g some of its environmental goals is doing to some of its other goals. I t h i n k some of these decisions are going to have t o be reevaluated and o u r goals set i n a new l i g h t . This would mean slowing down i n reaching some of these goals, no matter how great the goals are, and we certainly agree they are great ones. M r . Chairman, we appreciate the o p p o r t u n i t y to appear here and we w i l l respond to any questions that we can. (The f u l l statement of M r . Lyons f o l l o w s : ) 121 May 7, 1973 STATEMENT OF CARL V. LYON GENERAL SOLICITOR ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON BANKING fit CURRENCY ON THE IMPACT ON THE NATION'S ECONOMY OF PREDICTED SHORTAGES OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS My name i s C a r l V . L y o n . A s s o c i a t i o n of American I am G e n e r a l S o l i c i t o r of the Railroads. The r a i l r o a d s w h i c h a r e members o f t h e AAR o p e r a t e 99 p e r c e n t of the trackage, employ 98 p e r c e n t o f t h e w o r k e r s and p r o d u c e 9 8 . 9 p e r c e n t o f t h e revenues o f a l l Class I r a i l r o a d s i n the Nation. My p u r p o s e h e r e i s t o emphasize t o t h i s Committee what i s happening i n t h e r a i l r o a d i n d u s t r y t o d a y and more p a r t i c u l a r l y what c o u l d happen if the short term aspects o f the f u e l problem are not solved or c o r r e c t e d . a l s o w i s h t o emphasize t h a t t h e i m p a c t on r a i l r o a d s e s s e n t i a l t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s e r v i c e s would r e s u l t and o t h e r p u b l i c i n an even g r e a t e r on t h e N a t i o n ' s economy and w e l f a r e t h a n on t h e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n alone. Additionally, impact services t h e e x p e r i e n c e o f t h i s p r e s e n t and i m m e d i a t e p a s t s i t u a t i o n f o r c i b l y p o i n t s up t h e v e r y s e r i o u s i m p l i c a t i o n s o f t h e t e r m energy and long- problem. W h i l e r a i l r o a d s consume a r e l a t i v e l y fuel supplies, small proportion of t h e s e r v i c e p r o v i d e d w i t h t h a t s m a l l amount o f f u e l total is a b s o l u t e l y e s s e n t i a l t o l a r g e p a r t s o f t h e N a t i o n ' s economy and t h e f a i l u r e to provide a f u l l a l l o c a t i o n of f u e l o i l an i m p a c t o f to railroads w i l l f a r g r e a t e r magnitude than the r e l a t i v e l y f u e l r a i l r o a d s u s e w o u l d seem t o have s m a l l amounts of indicate. R a i l r o a d s have been s e r i o u s l y a f f e c t e d by t h e p r e s e n t fuel / shortage. oil Beginning early i n December, t o r a i l r o a d s were s h a r p l y c u r t a i l e d . 1972, d e l i v e r i e s Some o f t h e of diesel principal fuel I 122 s u p p l i e r s have l i m i t e d t h e i r d e l i v e r i e s t o t h e r a i l r o a d s by c u t t i n g back 25 p e r c e n t f r o m t h e i r commitments. Others have l i m i t e d t h e i r t o t h e q u a n t i t i e s s u p p l i e d f o r t h e same p e r i o d l a s t y e a r . deliveries It s h o u l d be p o i n t e d o u t t h a t t h e f u e l a l l o t m e n t s based on l a s t y e a r ' s t r a f f i c be i n s u f f i c i e n t t o c a r r y t h e p r e s e n t volume o f t r a f f i c w h i c h i s would running a t t h i s t i m e 8 . 4 p e r c e n t ahead o f t h e c o r r e s p o n d i n g p e r i o d a y e a r ago. Some o t h e r s u p p l i e r s have d i s c o n t i n u e d a l l d e l i v e r i e s a t c e r t a i n p o i n t s . Initially t h e g r e a t e s t impact was f e l t i n the mid-section of the country, g e n e r a l l y between Chicago, t h e M i s s i s s i p p i R i v e r and t h e Rocky M o u n t a i n s . Some c u r t a i l m e n t s were e x p e r i e n c e d i n t h e East i n New England and i n t h e C e n t r a l South. The problem i s c o n t i n u i n g and i s p a r t i c u l a r l y a c u t e i n t h e m i d d l e s e c t i o n o f t h e c o u n t r y where t h e r a i l r o a d s a r e e x p e r i e n c i n g an e x t r e m e l y heavy t r a f f i c i n g r a i n . their As t i m e goes b y , t h e r a i l r o a d s a r e expending l i m i t e d s u p p l i e s and replacement f u e l i s not e q u a l i n g t h e r a t e o f consumption. D u r i n g t h e w i n t e r months some o f t h e roads found necessary t o reduce horsepower and speed i n o r d e r t o s t r e t c h remaining supplies. it their T h i s c r e a t e d some t e r m i n a l c o n g e s t i o n and i n t e r - f e r e d w i t h t h e normal f l o w o f empty c a r s t o l o a d i n g p o i n t s . I n o r d e r t o meet t h i s p r o b l e m , t h e r a i l r o a d s have exhausted e v e r y p o s s i b l e avenue t o h e l p t h e m s e l v e s , t o o b t a i n f u e l f r o m new s o u r c e s , and t o r e l o c a t e such r e s e r v e s as e x i s t e d e i t h e r w i t h t h e i r own t a n k c a r s o r by l e a s i n g whatever t a n k c a r s a r e a v a i l a b l e . I t has been p o s s i b l e secure some f u e l from Canada and, o f c o u r s e , necessary t o move t h e great distances. We have been w o r k i n g c l o s e l y w i t h t h e O f f i c e o f Emergency Preparedness, t h e I n t e r s t a t e Commerce Commission and t h e oil to 123 Department o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n an e f f o r t t o make a d d i t i o n a l supplies o f d i e s e l o i l a v a i l a b l e t o t h e i n d u s t r y i n t h e most c r i t i c a l areas. The r a i l r o a d s are a s i g n i f i c a n t energy. f a c t o r i n the d i s t r i b u t i o n of There i s s t i l l an i m p o r t a n t movement o f c o a l t o u t i l i t i e s and i n d u s t r i a l p l a n t s and a l a r g e movement o f l i q u e f i e d p e t r o l e u m gas f o r h e a t i n g and i n d u s t r i a l purposes. r a i l r o a d capacity w i l l F u e l shortages s u f f i c i e n t t o reduce i n t e r f e r e s e r i o u s l y w i t h t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n by r a i l r o a d s o f f u e l s and w i l l f u r t h e r compound t h e p r e s e n t energy A l o n g w i t h t h e heavy movement o f g r a i n f o r e x p o r t , demand f o r c a r s f o r a n i m a l and p o u l t r y feed g r a i n s , and b a s i c commodities g e n e r a l l y . It shortage. t h e r e i s a heavy fertilizer, lumber, i s important t h a t the capacity of t h e r a i l r o a d s t o meet t h e s e demands n o t be f u r t h e r reduced. Subcommittees o f t h e Senate A g r i c u l t u r e Committee, t h e Senate Commerce Committee, and t h e House Committee on I n t e r s t a t e and F o r e i g n Commerce have a l l h e l d h e a r i n g s d u r i n g t h e p a s t s e v e r a l weeks concerned w i t h t h e c r i t i c a l problem o f f r e i g h t c a r supply and u t i l i z a t i o n w i t h p a r t i c u l a r emphasis on t h e e x t r e m e l y heavy g r a i n movements. Repeated r e f e r e n c e s were made by t h e numerous w i t n e s s e s t h a t any f a i l u r e t o move t h e crops a l r e a d y backed up f o r movement w o u l d r e s u l t i n d i s a s t e r t o a number o f farmers and g r a i n e l e v a t o r o p e r a t o r s a l i k e . This situation s t a r t e d t o b u i l d up as a r e s u l t o f a number o f f a c t o r s i n c l u d i n g l a t e n e s s o f t h e g r a i n c r o p , t h e r e l e a s e o f Commodity C r e d i t the Corporation g r a i n f r o m s t o r a g e , and an unprecedented amount o f e x p o r t g r a i n moving t o p o r t s f o r t r a n s s h i p m e n t t o Russia. I t was made q u i t e c l e a r during t h e course o f t h e s e h e a r i n g s t h a t t h i s tremendous demand upon r a i l r o a d t r a n s p o r t a t i o n service w i l l continue during a large part of the rest 1-183 O - 73 - 9 of 124 t h e y e a r and perhaps l o n g e r . It i s c l e a r beyond any doubt t h a t a s i g n i - f i c a n t r e d u c t i o n i n r a i l r o a d s e r v i c e ( w h i c h must have a v e r y adverse e f f e c t on c a r u t i l i z a t i o n and c a r s u p p l y ) even f o r a b r i e f p e r i o d o f t i m e w i l l have an immense and perhaps t r a g i c e f f e c t n o t o n l y on f a r m e r s and e l e v a t o r o p e r a t o r s b u t a l s o on lumber p r o d u c e r s , and c o n s t r u c t i o n i n d u s t r i e s , factors, building foods and k i n d r e d p r o d u c t s , e t c . These i f p e r m i t t e d t o o c c u r , can o n l y r e s u l t i n w o r s e n i n g p r i c e problems i n t h e g e n e r a l m a r k e t . We can c o n c e i v e o f no way t h a t any s i g n i f i c a n t r e d u c t i o n s i n s e r v i c e can be made as a r e s u l t o f l a c k o f f u e l o r any o t h e r reason w i t h o u t h a v i n g a most c r i t i c a l adverse impact upon a l a r g e segment o f t h e N a t i o n ' s economy. It i s very d i f f i c u l t respect t o t h i s matter. to a r r i v e at s p e c i f i c conclusions with We have n e v e r t h e l e s s a r r i v e d a t some t e n t a t i v e ones w h i c h I s h o u l d l i k e t o d i s c u s s a t t h i s point. The r e c e n t energy p o l i c y statement o f t h e P r e s i d e n t seems g e n e r a l l y t o come t o g r i p s w i t h t h e l o n g range energy p r o b l e m s . However, we have a problem now - - t h i s y e a r and t h e n e x t two o r t h r e e y e a r s and t h e P r e s i d e n t ' s s t a t e m e n t leaves t h a t m a t t e r w i t h o u t solutions. -- significant On A p r i l 26, 1973, t h e O f f i c e o f Emergency Preparedness r e l e a s e d a survey o f F u e l and Energy Problems f o r S p r i n g and Summer 1973. I t s r e p o r t had been p r e p a r e d by t h e J o i n t Board on F u e l Supply and F u e l T r a n s p o r t c o n s i s t i n g o f r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s f r o m numerous g o v e r n m e n t a l a g e n c i e s . I n t h e summary statement i t i s said that: " r e p o r t s have been r e c e i v e d f r o m numbers o f users t h a t they are having great d i f f i c u l t y Diesel f u e l supplies obtaining diesel fuel. a r e r e p o r t e d l y b e i n g a l l o c a t e d i n almost a l l p a r t s o f t h e c o u n t r y and t o a l l c l a s s e s o f volume u s e r s . " 125 T h i s i s c e r t a i n l y an a c c u r a t e comment w i t h r e s p e c t t o conditions i n the r a i l r o a d industry. prevailing I n s h o r t we a r e e x p e r i e n c i n g the p r o b l e m today and every i n d i c a t i o n p o i n t s toward a w o r s e n i n g n e x t f a l l and winter. R a i l r o a d s had extreme d i f f i c u l t y d u r i n g t h e p a s t w i n t e r o b t a i n i n g adequate f u e l t o r u n t h e i r d i e s e l l o c o m o t i v e s and l a s t was a v e r y m i l d one. difficulty in winter Now t h a t w i n t e r i s o v e r r a i l r o a d s c o n t i n u e t o have i n o b t a i n i n g adequate s u p p l i e s . No one can p r e d i c t w i n t e r ' s weather b u t h e a t i n g o i l s come from t h e same s u p p l y o f next distillate w h i c h p r o v i d e s d i e s e l f u e l f o r r a i l r o a d l o c o m o t i v e s and r a i l r o a d s a r e u n a b l e even w i t h l o n g , w e l l e s t a b l i s h e d , c o n t i n u i n g d e a l e r today relation- s h i p s t o o b t a i n commitments f o r d e l i v e r i e s f o r t h e f u t u r e beyond a few months i n advance. A c c o r d i n g t o t h e OEP Survey " o v e r a l l , demand f o r d i s t i l l a t e f o r 1973 i s e s t i m a t e d t o be 5 . 8 p e r c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n 1972." The f a c t o r t h a t saved t h e r a i l r o a d s t h i s p a s t w i n t e r was t h e i r f u e l s u p p l i e s , now l a r g e l y d e p l e t e d . With r a i l r o a d t r a f f i c r u n n i n g almost 10 p e r c e n t h i g h e r t h a n 1972 l e v e l s i t reserve presently is virtually im- p o s s i b l e t o b u i l d up d i e s e l f u e l s u p p l i e s l o o k i n g toward w i n t e r demand. We a r e , t h e r e f o r e , v i t a l l y concerned about our i n a b i l i t y t o o b t a i n today a n y t h i n g more t h a n b a r e need c u r r e n t s u p p l y w i t h no commitment f o r The OEP r e p o r t emphasizes v o l u n t a r y c o n s e r v a t i o n . have f u l l y e x p l o r e d t h i s approach and a r e a l r e a d y engaged i n tomorrow. Railroads conservation p r a c t i c e s t h a t w i l l not a d v e r s e l y a f f e c t c a r u t i l i z a t i o n and c a r service. There i s no panacea t h e r e except t o have a s e r i o u s adverse e f f e c t upon t h e N a t i o n ' s economy g e n e r a l l y by f a i l u r e t o p r o v i d e service. 126 We are g r a t i f i e d t o note the passage by Congress, a t the i n s i s t e n c e o f t h e Senate i n i t s v e r s i o n o f the A c t t o Extend and Amend t h e Economic S t a b i l i z a t i o n Act o f 1970, g r a n t i n g t h e P r e s i d e n t the power t o e s t a b l i s h p r i o r i t i e s o f use and f o r s y s t e m a t i c a l l o c a t i o n o f s u p p l i e s o f petroleum i n c l u d i n g crude o i l . I n our judgement i t may become necessary f o r t h e P r e s i d e n t t o e x e r c i s e h i s a u t h o r i t y t o e s t a b l i s h such p r i o r i t i e s and a l l o c a t i o n s o f s u p p l i e s i f the v o l u n t a r y methods and o p e r a t i o n o f the market p l a c e f a i l s t o p r o v i d e conservation constructive and s e n s i b l e programs o f d i s t r i b u t i o n i n t h e p u b l i c i n t e r e s t . Should such p r i o r i t i e s and a l l o c a t i o n s become necessary we are convinced t h a t they must f a v o r p u b l i c transportation. Railroads, for example, should be given p r i o r i t y i n f u e l supply d i s t r i b u t i o n or a l l o c a t i o n for the f o l l o w i n g reasons: 1. The d i s t r i b u t i o n o f f u e l f o r u t i l i t i e s and i n d u s t r y - a s w e l l as home h e a t i n g i s dependent on near normal o p e r a t i o n o f t h e railroads. R a i l r o a d s are t h e p r i n c i p a l c a r r i e r s o f c o a l used i n t h e p r o d u c t i o n o f e l e c t r i c i t y and a s u b s t a n t i a l f a c t o r i n t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f LPG used f o r home h e a t i n g and commercial purposes. Any c u r t a i l m e n t o f t h i s t r a n s p o r t a t i o n w i l l s e r i o u s l y compound t h e f u e l s h o r t a g e . 2. The f u n c t i o n i n g o f many o t h e r p a r t s o f t h e n a t i o n a l economy depends on adequate p r o v i s i o n o f r a i l s e r v i c e . R a i l r o a d s p r o v i d e over 60 p e r c e n t o f the t r a n s p o r t a t i o n f o r g r a i n , c o t t o n , lumber, p a p e r , c h e m i c a l s , new a u t o m o b i l e s , household a p p l i a n c e s and canned and f r o z e n foods. Any s i g n i f i c a n t i n t e r r u p t i o n i n t h i s f l o w would cause industrial shut-downs and a r a p i d i n c r e a s e i n unemployment. 3. Volume o f e s s e n t i a l t r a f f i c moved under b o t h paragraphs 1 127 and 2 a r e such t h a t s u b s t i t u t i o n o f any o t h e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s e r v i c e virtually is impossible. 4. A l l o c a t i o n o f t h e a d d i t i o n a l amount o f d i e s e l f u e l required by t h e r a i l r o a d s would have r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l impact s i n c e i t would r e p r e s e n t l e s s t h a n one p e r c e n t o f t h e t o t a l d i s t i l l a t e s u p p l y o r t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f two t e n t h s o f one p e r c e n t o f t h e o u t p u t f r o m U. S. 5. R a i l r o a d s can o n l y use d i e s e l f u e l , and t h e y s h o u l d have p r e f e r e n c e o v e r t h o s e d i s t i l l a t e u s e r s w h i c h can t u r n t o o t h e r Many p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s and i n d u s t r i e s , v a r i e t y o f d i s t i l l a t e s and r e s i d u a l 6. refineries. fuels. f o r example, can use c o a l o r a oil. Where, as h e r e the e s t a b l i s h m e n t o f p r i o r i t i e s becomes n e c e s s a r y , t h e maximum b e n e f i t t o t h e n a t i o n ' s economy and g e n e r a l w e l f a r e can be a c h i e v e d w i t h t h e l e a s t amount o f Governmental d i r e c t i o n and g r e a t e s t b e n e f i c i a l impact by g r a n t i n g p r i o r i t y t o r a i l r o a d s whose e f f i c i e n c y i n terms o f f u e l consumption i s f a r s u p e r i o r t o t h a t o f o t h e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n modes except i n t h e l i m i t e d areas where w a t e r is transportation available. A l t h o u g h r a i l r o a d d i e s e l engines b u m about 4 b i l l i o n gallons o f f u e l o i l a n n u a l l y , t h i s volume r e p r e s e n t s o n l y 2 . 5 p e r c e n t o f t h e annual n a t i o n a l consumption o f p e t r o l e u m f u e l s . — W h i l e t h e impact on t h e N a t i o n ' s economy o f a f a i l u r e t o p r o v i d e t h a t 2 . 5 p e r c e n t would pyramid i n t o o t h e r i n d u s t r y and be c a t a s t r o p h i c i t i s c l e a r t h a t such use i n r e l a t i o n t o t o t a l consumption i s so modest t h a t any a t t e m p t t o conserve by c u t t i n g back markedly i n r a i l r o a d use would be n o n p r o d u c t i v e and shortsighted. * / Exhaust Emissions from D i e s e l Locomotives, S u b - C o u n c i l R e p o r t , N a t i o n a l I n d u s t r i a l P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l C o u n c i l , A p r i l 1973, p . 9. 128 T h e r e i s one o t h e r s h o r t t e r m a p p r o a c h t h a t c a n n o t be o v e r l o o k e d i n d e f i n i t e l y due t o t h e g r a v i t y o f t h e i m p a c t o f t h e e n e r g y s h o r t a g e . i n v o l v e s t h e r e t u r n t o u s e o f c o a l f o r some p u r p o s e s , p r i m a r i l y p r o d u c t i o n o f e n e r g y by u t i l i t i e s . of environmental considerations t o improving t h e environment I r e c o g n i z e t h e tremendous for committed B u t t h e impact on o u r N a t i o n ' s economy o f t h e d e v e l o p i n g e n e r g y c r i s i s r e c o n s i d e r a t i o n and r e b a l a n c i n g o f o u r v a r i o u s i s so s e r i o u s t h a t a i n t e r e s t s and t h e speed w i t h w h i c h we a t t e m p t t o a c h i e v e o u r e n v i r o n m e n t a l g o a l s must be in this considered light. The P r e s i d e n t ' s r e c e n t message c o n c e r n i n g e n e r g y a d d r e s s e s t h i s p r o b l e m commenting t h a t o u r c o n c e r n f o r t h e w e l f a r e " or n a t i o n a l i n t e r e s t should take i n t o account o f n a t i o n a l s e c u r i t y and economic p r o s p e r i t y , It the importance t o o u r N a t i o n and r a i l r o a d s a r e i n numerous w a y s . It also calls resources "general considerations as w e l l as o u r environment. f o r c a r r y i n g out the p r o v i s i o n s o f the Clean A i r Act i n a j u d i c i o u s manner w i t h o u t m o v i n g i n a p r e c i p i t o u s way t o w a r d m e e t i n g secondary standards o f t h a t A c t , t h e n we s h o u l d be a b l e t o use c o a l of up t o 155 m i l l i o n t o n s p e r y e a r w h i c h w o u l d o t h e r w i s e be u n u s a b l e . There are v a s t c o a l reserves a v a i l a b l e i n t h e U n i t e d I n o r d e r f o r them t o be u s e d , h o w e v e r , t h e r e must be a commitment t h e y w i l l be p e r m i t t e d t o be used o v e r r e a s o n a b l y long periods of b e f o r e the long-term c a p i t a l investment required f o r reconsideration of u t i l i t y c a n be e x p e c t e d . States. time i t s p r o d u c t i o n and steam p l a n t s t o c o a l f i r i n g i s f e a s i b l e and Likewise a s i g n i f i c a n t upturn i n production of coal t h e k i n d n e c e s s a r y t o make an i m p a c t on t h e e n e r g y p r o b l e m w o u l d a d d i t i o n a l c a p i t a l investment that f o r f r e i g h t c a r s and l o c o m o t i v e s to of require 129 transport t h e c o a l t o m a r k e t w h i c h a l s o w o u l d n o t be j u s t i f i e d some r e a s o n a b l e I long-term without commitment t o a p r o g r a m . b e l i e v e a reasonable balancing of n a t i o n a l interests a prompt r e t u r n t o use o f c o a l i n c e r t a i n c i r c u m s t a n c e s . t h i s d e c i s i o n now b e c a u s e t h e p a s s a g e o f t i m e w i l l g r e a t e r and t h e p o s s i b i l i t y requires We s h o u l d make o n l y make t h e need o f o v e r c o m i n g t h e p r o b l e m more difficult. A l o n g w i t h s u c h u s e must be a g r e a t e r commitment t o e l i m i n a t i o n o f environmental e f f e c t s of such use. The p r o b l e m i s h e r e ; way b u t s a t i s f a c t o r y it i s now. Long-term s o l u t i o n s s h o r t - t e r m and p r o m p t a n s w e r s a r e l a c k i n g . must b e f o u n d and p l a c e d i n adverse effect. are on t h e They 130 Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you, M r . Lyons. W e w i l l call on M r . James E . T e r r y , general counsel to the Clevel a n d T r a n s i t System and a member of the American T r a n s i t Association diesel fuel task force. STATEMENT OF JAMES E. TERRY, GENERAL COUNSEL, CLEVELAND TRANSIT SYSTEM M r . TERRY. M r . Chairman, thank you. F i r s t of all, I would like to indicate that M r . James J . Slowey of the New Y o r k Transit Association is the chairman of our emergency task force and I am the legal adviser. M r . Slowey was unable to be here and I am sort o f p i n c h - h i t t i n g f o r him. I hope you w i l l bear w i t h me w i t h my restrictions i n t h a t regard. I would like to al90 incorporate our prepared statement i n the record, i f you please, M r . Chairman and I w o u l d like to digress as to a few points t o indicate some of our experience i n the t r a n s i t i n d u s t r y w i t h which I am personally f a m i l i a r — w h a t occurred i n the city o f Cleveland last F r i d a y when we attempted to get a contract f o r diesel fuel and our bids were open. A t the outset, sir, I wish to indicate t h a t our task force represents the members o f the American Transit Association, c a r r y i n g both the r a i l and bus methods of transportation, over 85 percent of the individuals who use public transportation throughout the country. I want to digress a minute to indicate t h a t our statistical department has indicated to me that t h a t represents some 6.5 b i l l i o n rides annually or approximately 10 m i l l i o n rides daily. Those are rides as distinguished f r o m riders, because i t w o u l d include transfer individuals. W e are appreciative of the w o r k that has been done by your committee through Senator H a r r i s o n AVilliams and past considerations that have been given to the transit industry. The industry has adopted the fact that the Nation's cities are being strangled by the t w i n ills o f congestion and pollution and i t is indeed true t h a t we find another malady, essentially the energy crisis adding t o our problems. The energy crisis is spreading and affects the transit industry i n an increasingly severe manner. I n the past months almost all of the transit systems i n the Midwest, i n c l u d i n g the region f r o m I n d i a n a and I l l i n o i s through Colorado report serious fuel problems. I wish to point out a few of them. The transit systems i n the Southeast, i n c l u d i n g F l o r i d a , N o r t h and South Carolina as well as New E n g l a n d have also received: (1) curtailment notices, (2) refusals to b i d by any supplier of diesel fuels or, (3) drastic increases i n prices. I m i g h t add, as d i d M r . Lyons who previously testified, that some suppliers have gone to Canada to seek supplies of diesel fuel as was the instance i n the Minneapolis-St. P a u l T r a n s i t A u t h o r i t y . Senator MCINTYRE. Those transit companies managing somehow t o get around this crisis—they are s t i l l i n business, are they not? M r . TERRY. Y e s , s i r . 131 However, i f you want me to indicate—1 just was going to get to that—the experience that some of the properties have been involved in. W e were i n A t l a n t a this last, week and the Metropolitan A t l a n t a T r a n s i t A u t h o r i t y , after negotiating w i t h the G u l f O i l Co. f o r a period of some 6 months, finally were able to secure a contract at an increase of, as I recall, approximately 3 to 4 cents-per-gallon of diesel fuel. They had not indicated to them i n the past t h a t they were going to get a contract. A s a matter o f fact, they allowed t h e i r contract t o expire. They gave them an extension on a 30-day basis. The Metropolitan A t l a n t a Transit A u t h o r i t y is expanding r a p i d l y . Y o u may be f a m i l i a r w i t h the fact t h a t they had a reduction i n their fare. T h e i r ridership increased. They hope to expand their bus fleet —almost double, and i t is a situation i n which they were very sincerely apprehensive as to what their requirements w o u l d be i n the future. They received no consolation f r o m the G u l f O i l Co. at that time. I do not wish t o single out the G u l f O i l Co. but just to indicate t h a t this was the one which was i n w i v e d w i t h A t l a n t a . I m i g h t add, sir, w i t h regard to our i n d i v i d u a l situation i n Cleveland, we were t o l d by our supplier, the early p a r t o f this year that they would be able t o include our contract requirements. They d i d not give us any assurances that they would b i d i n the future. Therefore, our contract expires i n August of this year and we went out f o r bids. W e had one bidder, which was our contract supplier and i t was at a 37-percent increase i n price. W e went out f o r 5.5 m i l l i o n gallons. W h i c h was our estimated annual requirements. They made a f i r m b i d o f 5 m i l l i o n gallons, and also, I w i l l not read i t but they attached a 2-page legal disclaimer which i n effect said, w i t h o u t going into the lawyer's language, that we have a contract but we do not have a contract i f we do not want to deliver the diesel fuel to you. Essentially, i t was a 30-day contract cancellation clause. They have additional provisions i n there. I f there were variables i n v o l v i n g certain delays i n the fuel, whether they had control over i t or not, they would not be responsible and various other items which made i t virtually—made us v i r t u a l l y at their mercy i n so f a r as the obtaining of diesel fuel was concerned. O u r board has not acted on this as yet but this is the type of b i d which we are receiving. Senator MCINTYRE. I n Cleveland, t o absorb that 37-percent i n crease cost, do you go to the State or do you have a city O . K . on increasing your rates ? M r . TERRY. NO, sir, we do not. I n Cleveland, we are unique i n the transit industry. We are s t i l l operating out of the fare box. W e are not proud o f t h a t factor, but our organization was set up i n 1942 by a charter mandate of the Citizens of the C i t y of Cleveland which mandated t h a t our fares must be sufficient to cover the operation and maintenance, which includes our debt service, bonding expense, and our l abor costs. 132 I m i g h t add since T have been w i t h them i n the past 4 years, the fare has never covered our operation and maintenance. W e have operated at a deficit. O u r deficit is advancing now, very small compared to a number of others, but i t is advancing to about $5 m i l l i o n as distinguished f r o m a $30-million aamual revenue. So, we are i n a situation now whereby any a d d i t i o n a l increased cost we have to pass t h a t on to the rider by way o f increased fares which is self-defeating, sir. Senator MCINTYRE. YOU have to increase your fare. M r . TERRY. Yes. W e are mandated t o do so by our enabling legislation. These increased expenses, as I previously alluded to, can only lead to an unavoidable service cutback and fare increases t h a t experience has shown t o be self-defeating and counter-productive to the public's best interest. I m i g h t add also there was a study i n the c i t y of Cleveland w i t h regard t o the use of automobiles and the use of buses as distinguished f r o m diesel fuel and gasoline. I n this study, which was done by our research department, I j u s t want, to p o i n t out this. I t was indicated that a n expressway lane moves approximately 1,500 vehicles per-hour d u r i n g the peak hours of traffic. Assuming -that only 50 percent of these people w o u l d arrive i n the downtown area d u r i n g the m o r n i n g rush hours, i t w o u l d take an additional 26 lanes of expressway to accommodate them. T h i s indicates Cleveland experience only. These additional 26 lanes could not be b u i l t because, i n fact, we do not have the land a n d the area t o b u i l d them. A n internal combustion engine w h i c h burns gasoline releases approximately 8 times more p o l l u t i o n than a diesel engine. I t is then f o r these reasons t h a t the industry has requested that there be some establishment as you are suggesting, sir, o f allocations and priorities to the various industries relative to any diesel fuel shortages which may result. I m i g h t add, sir, t h a t the task force d i d pass a resolution last week, I w i l l not recite the whereas clauses because- they are p a r t of the record, b u t i t basically resolved that the American T r a n s i t Association be recorded as u r g i n g the President, the Congress o f the U n i t e d States and the petroleum industry i n the U n i t e d States to take appropriate action to assure mass transportation systems an adequate f u l l supply available at a reasonable cost, and f u r t h e r that the same individuals and associations be urged to alleviate the fuel crises by assuring adequate supplies of reasonably-priced fuel to the transit industry on a p r i o r i t y basis f o r the purpose of m a i n t a i n i n g and increasing the operating capabilities of pubic transportation facilities. I m i g h t add, M r . Chairman, that I appreciate the o p p o r t u n i t y to appear here and I only wish that some of our experts i n the field m i g h t be here. B u t I w i l l attempt i n whatever way I can to answer whatever questions you may have, sir. T h a n k you. [ T h e f u l l statement of M r . T e r r y f o l l o w s : ] 133 Statement of the American T r a n s i t Association before the Senate Banking, C u r r e n c y and Urban A f f a i r s C o m m i t t e e r e g a r d i n g t h e Economic S t a b i l i z a t i o n A c t Amendments of 1 9 7 3 . P r e s e n t e d by James E. T e r r y , G e n e r a l C o u n s e l t o t h e C l e v e l a n d ( O h i o ) T r a n s i t s y s t e m and member o f t h e A m e r i c a n T r a n s i t A s s o c i a t i o n D i e s e l F u e l •'Task F o r c e , M a y 7 , 1 9 7 3 . Mr. Chairman, Transit Diesel I appear I am J a m e s General S y s t e m and a member o f Fuel today Members o f E. T e r r y , Task the American T r a n s i t of the American T r a n s i t the American T r a n s i t Association, and bus modes o f u r b a n t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , Mr. Chairman, the transportation transit once again appear Affairs It Senator Harrison have been Through your over the for Banking, both rail 85% o f those country. the opportunity C u r r e n c y and A. and t h e a b l e work o f Williams, Jr. public to Urban that would, upgraded We a p p r e c i a t e New the ways throughout Jersey's and the country provided. Committee elements t h a t many o f transportation t h e U r b a n Mass T r a n s p o r t a t i o n and to a l l o w if signed public past considerations, work w i t h you to solve the by S e n a t o r into the nation's and e x t e n d e d Assistance Act passed. March an amendment o f f e r e d Senate carry is grateful the Senate Association. committee 1 9 7 0 was g e n e r a t e d last Association Committee. means o f u p g r a d i n g Just Cleveland representing throughout industry before has been t h r o u g h y o u r of to the Force. in behalf who u s e p u b l i c Counsel law, cities mass provide the passed the necessary to get moving again through transportation. and l o o k nation's Williams forward to c o n t i n u i n g mass t r a n s i t woes. to 134 I n t h e p a s t we h a v e d o c u m e n t e d being This is strangled indeed true, energy c r i s i s , T h a t we a r e a l l nation's In the but rapidly is becoming fuel Transit today is that a third that supply spreading, and i t s all the n a t i o n ' s of congestion dwindling unholy of of cities are and pollution. malady, namely the twosome. the great concern over the fuel. effects on t h e transit industry severe. transit Indiana that indicative increasingly from and systems Illinois in the mid-west through Colorado including report serious problems. systems Carolina (1) ills now we f i n d p a s t months a l m o s t the region twin has been added to here The e n e r g y c r i s i s are by t h e the f a c t in the Southeast as w e l l curtailment diesel fuels, The d w i n d l i n g or diesel a s New E n g l a n d notices, (3) fuel drastic increase That property in somewhat have also refusals supply has f o r c e d has f o r c e d to seek in South by a n y s u p p l i e r of prices. some t r a n s i t another supplies and N o r t h and received: to bid increases properties property, namely from Canada, and a t a cost. now i s w o r k i n g Mississippi An i s o l a t e d Paul, (2) Florida drastic to borrow from o t h e r s ; Minneapolis-St. including on a scheme t o b a r g e f u e l f r o m New O r l e a n s , a colorful solution up the perhaps, but impractical. example? Hardly. Fuel suppliers transit throughout industry the country contracts, or are balking bidding at bidding at drastic price on increases- 135 u p t o 53% f o r diesel The system r e p o r t i n g these Bay T r a n s p o r t a t i o n The i n c r e a s e w i l l fuel a n d 67% f o r increases Authority add $ 4 7 8 , 0 0 0 is gasoline. the Boston-based Massachusetts (MBTA). to MBTA1s o p e r a t i n g costs over a one-year period. The W a s h i n g t o n several over Metropolitan other systems, previous The M e t r o p o l i t a n negotiated The t r a n s i t Area T r a n s p o r t a t i o n Authority, reports of more t h a n an i n c r e a s e along with 30% bids. Atlanta Regional a one y e a r property o n l y one b i d d e r Transportation contract in Syracuse, out of calling for Authority a 20% New Y o r k r e p o r t s 16 s o l i c i t a t i o n s just increase. that when i t has it received advertised for bids. A single bidder responded, b u t a t a 31% i n c r e a s e over last year's prices. T h e same o i l tising companies their that are desire spending m i l l i o n s to serve preservation o f mass t r a n s i t crisis, are, at serving transit To a n i n d u s t r y further Increased self and f a r e the the n a t i o n ' s off when i t comes a t a $513 m i l l i o n deficit last costs are can only defeating, backing to adver- energy to systems. operating i nterests. and a d v o c a t e as a s o l u t i o n same t i m e that operated expenses cutbacks the the public of d o l l a r s lead increases year, unacceptable. to the unavoidable that experience and c o u n t e r p r o d u c t i v e cycle of service has shown t o to the p u b l i c ' s be best 136 Emissions from automobiles pollution in the nation's h a v e t o be t a k e n to l i m i t Clean Air if Protection are a practical air the solution industry economical and d r a s t i c the measures number of a u t o m o b i l e s Standards - are - - t o be air will entering s e t up b y t h e 67 Environ- met. and e m i t v i r t u a l l y no c a r b o n monoxide to the n a t i o n ' s p r o b l e m of afford to o f f e r a marketable, that transit service, more and more people continue to r i d e automobiles, emitting reducing more and more and u s i n g more and more o f o u r f u e l No m o r e t h a n o n e h a l f of i s u s e d by b u s e s , the petroleum shortages, 1% o f while industry than continue the total an e f f i c i e n t , cars. due to fuel to cut amount of o i l commuters and o t h e r s a f e and e c o n o m i c a l carbon transportation not the place to consume such a l a r g e we s h o u l d o f f e r in t o make r e d u c t i o n s is certainly is, supplies. energy used 55% i s u s e d b y is forced mass t r a n s i t automobiles, users can't and c o m p l e t e monoxide, Rather fuel 80% o f pollution. transit will the Agency - B u s e s , w h i c h r u n on d i e s e l If cities, of our c i t i e s mental If cause approximately back. in our marginal alternative - - highway mass t r a n s p o r t a t i on. A 25% d i v e r s i o n could reduce barrels Mr. traffic from passenger p e t r o l e u m demands cars to mass by a l m o s t o n e - h a l f transit million daily. Chairman, authority by t h e of auto the American T r a n s i t to a l l o c a t e Economic Association petroleum Stabilization products fully granted A c t Amendments of supports to the 1973. the President 137 The c o n c e p t of d e f i n i n g supplies of of priorities petroleum for products the is systematic allocation s o u n d a n d we a p p l a u d the Congress in enacting the enabling The A m e r i c a n T r a n s i t Association h a s s e t up a n e m e r g e n c y Task Force industry we c a n to a c t as a watchdog obtains request It transit crisis the f a c t basic as p a r t is industry in uncontroverted of fuel therefore of of fuel in e f f o r t s recorded fuel the Diesel Fuel transit supply, at a price on t h e m a t t e r that I are these procedures. resolved, adequate action fuel resolved, goals, fuel system and c l e a n the American Transit Industry in the available the President, at the Congress, an in transit systems, necessary environment, Association of United reasonable and is a most the the. C o n g r e s s the increases by n u m e r o u s transportation service and and s i g n i f i c a n t felt the and including of our c i t i e s of our e n v i r o n m e n t , the States to a s s u r e mass t r a n s p o r t a t i o n supply, that public the P r e s i d e n t , and the P e t r o l e u m concern, t h a t mass t r a n s p o r t a t i o n now b e i n g that increasing and c o s t of f u e l , supply shortages mass with the economies to conserve as u r g i n g appropriate Further that the record of our most v i t a l and as t h e n a t i o n ' s States of the the q u a l i t y the t h r e a t the price Be i t the diesel recognizes concerning functioning improvement ally legislation. to i n s u r e passed a r e s o l u t i o n t o many o f efficient Whereas, efforts follows: the apparent is May 2 n d , be i n c l u d e d r e a d s as Whereas, share of the afford. The Task F o r c e , Whereas, its of be United to systems take an cost and t h e Petroleum 138 Industry be u r g e d to a l l e v i a t e adequate supplies of industry on a p r i o r i t y and i n c r e a s i n g the f u e l reasonably basis the operating for priced crisis fuel the purpose capabilities of to by insuring the of transit maintaining public transportation facili ties. Mr. Chairman, l e t me c l o s e a major concern will Thank you, - we m u s t h a v e t h i s have adequate Mr. Chairman. by s t r e s s i n g fuel supplies at the word p r i o r i t y priority - which assurance a reasonable cost. that is we 139 Senator MCINTYRE. M r . D u n i k o s k i — I am not sure, M r . L y o n t h a t this question is apropos t o you, b u t you may want to take a crack at i t — a n d I w i l l ask you, Sir* T e r r y , what the rationale o f a m a j o r o i l company refusing to supply, say, Greyhound o r Cleveland T r a n s i t System—holding you down to 80 percent or back a t 60 percent or 70 percent; i n the meantime out- i n t h e i r stations out on the dotted horizon a l l over the place thev are g i v i n g away t r a d i n g stamps—is t h a t it? M r . DUNIKOSKI. Glasses, a l l types of things. Senator MCINTYRE. W h o are they protecting? M r . TERRY. I w i l l o n l y indicate t o you w h a t was t o l d to me, a n d t h i s is hearsay here today, w h i c h a lawyer sort of has t o give you admonitions on, b u t i t makes some sense. Essentially, I a m not f a m i l i a r w i t h the technicalities o f i t but i t has to do w i t h the distillate m i x of fuels. Y o u r diesel fuel is made f r o m crude o i l and, as I understand i t , is one o f the first mixes t h a t come off the stack iand then you go f u r t h e r on into refinements of kerosene, gasoline, and other petroleum products. The production costs of diesel f u e l are much less than the production costs of the items w h i c h come off at the fair end of the stack. So, the rationale essentially is this. They felt i f there were some controls on, a t o t a l product control o f 1.5 over the entire industry, they could very well make more money off the gasoline t h a n f r o m the diesel fuel. Therefore, they w o u l d w i t h h o l d the diesel fuel, refining the gasoline and an increase i n gasoline prices w o u l d not be as great i n reflecti n g t h e i r p r o f i t m a r g i n because there w o u l d be greater costs involved i n t h a t as distinguished f r o m p u l l i n g off diesel fuel a t one end o f the pipe. I do not know how v a l i d that is, sir. I a m not t o t a l l y f a m i l i a r w i t h the technicalities o f i t but w i t h the rudimentary knowledge t h a t I have and the way i n which they explained i t to me, t h a t appeared to be sensible. I am not prepared t o impeach it. T h a t is what they t o l d us. M r . DUNIKOSKI. M y observation is this, sir, they have contracts to provide diesel fuel t o the m a j o r transportation companies a t a specific price level and a specific number of gallons. B v reducing that, they can take and convert, as M r . Teirry has pointed out, t h a t crude to gasoline at a higher increase i n prices than they get f r o m .the contractual customers they have. I t r i e d to touch on earlier i n my testimony t h a t they are not even s u p p l y i n g the people who they aire under contract to supply fuel to. Here they are t a k i n g the same crude, converting i t to gasoline and m a k i n g available -to nonicontiiact purchasers, w h a t we feel are nonessential uses. I t h i n k i t is just a case o f economics. They are t r y i n g to get the most profit o u t o f the same crude. M r . LYON. O n l y t o underscore, the reason I am here is t o make certain you understand that we are very much i n the same boat and we are just as v i t a l l y concerned about this. The same t h i n g exactly has happened t o us. W e are h a v i n g trouble getting o u r contracts renewed. They are d r a w i n g the r u g out f r o m underneath us. Most meetings I have attended indicate t h a t i t i s a 96-183 O - 73 - 10 140 matter of p r i c i n g and other functions o f the market. They are able to get higher ponces and a higher m a r k u p on the gasoline t h a n the distillates. T h a t is what underlay my recommendation t h a t t h e President now must make the allocations to be sure that come w i n t e r there has been enough advance production o f distillate, because i f he has not. we w i l l be i n trouble i f distillate runs out because gasoline cannot be substitued f o r o i l t o heat or r u n diesel engines w i t h . H e has got t o make that decision pretty soon. M r . DUNIKOSKI. I just want to point out whereas many o f the people who testified here today indicated t h a t this was a problem p r i m a r i l y last January, T want you to understand and the committee to understand, t h a t i t is a problem r i g h t now today i n the bus industry. W e are experiencing shortages today at certain locations. Senator MCINTYRE. W h a t are you doing? A r e you t a k i n g some of your buses off? H o w do you get along on 80 percent when you had 100 percent last year ? M r . DUNIKOSKI. T h i s is the problem. L e t me cite you an example. Recently i n South Carolina, because o f certain m i l i t a r y movements, we utilized more buses a t a particular location where we had f u e l deliveries. W e were r u n n i n g out. We went to the fuel supplier and we could not get a f i r m commitment t h a t we would get the fuel. W e went helter-skelter out there to some independent supplier a t considerably higher rates and we are not sure t h a t the independent supplier was not getting i t f r o m a major supplier. W e cannot prove o r disprove which way or how he was getting it. These are the problems today. They are real, r i g h t today. A s other people have testified today, every day we spend hours and hours just t r y i n g to keep our buses i n operation w i t h this fuel shortage. A s M r . L y o n pointed out, I strongl y urge that the committee take whatever action is necessary to get the President to move now, sir. W e feel i t is essential t h a t action be taken now, not next f a l l o r winter. The problem is w i t h us today. Senator MCINTYRE. Essentially, the same reason t h a t you are stati n g here f o r this action of the majors, the producing companies, the one t h a t gasoline is a more profitable item w i t h and, therefore, No. 2, fuel o i l which first interested me, because that was the heating oil i n New England, that is the reason i t was given a lower p r i o r i t y . Ivet me ask you this, gentlemen, do most of these contracts you have been signing w i t h the suppliers, you know, d a t i n g back almost f r o m the beginning of the first time you saw a contract w i t h the supplier, do they have these cancellation clauses? Haven't they always protected themselves w i t h these cancellation clauses? M r . DUNIKOSKI. I cannot speak as f a r as i n the past. I can t e l l you today. F o r example, we negotiated a contract i n 1972, a 5-year contract f o r a certain number o f gallons annually a t a certain figure. They have inserted, as M r . T e r r y indicated o r i g i n a l l y , every type o f contractual language t h a t . No. 1. requires renegotiation of the prices annually, and i f you do not agr ' '' they have the r i g h t t o cancel r i g h t s i n there—or at least they have indicated i n (their contracts t h a t 141 i f they determine t h a t they want to reduce youir t o t a l supply b y "a?" percent, w h i c h they d i d 20 percent less or 25 percent less, t h a t they have the r i g h t to do this, so i n answer to your question, I can t e l l you, sir, t h a t a l l the contracts t h a t we have been involved i n negotiati n g recently, they have every type of protection that affords them— i t is strictly a one-sided contract, but i t is like having a k n i f e at your j u g u l a r vein. Y o u do not really have any choice. Senator MCINTYRE. One of the questions that we have i n m i n d w i l l very likely be answered on the last day of our testimony, on M a y 11, when we w i l l be asking D r . D u n l o p , who is the Director of the Cost of L i v i n g Council, whether the oil industry is meeting the mandatory price standards imposed bv the Cost of L i v i n g Council back i n M a r c h of 1973. So, hopefully, we w i l l be able to find t h a t out f r o m him. I suspect t h a t they have somehow or other met the limitations placed on them. M r . LYON. I w o u l d like t o make one brief comment about that. There apparently are different ways o f h a n d l i n g fuel t h r o u g h d i f ferent. kinds of m a r k e t i n g procedures between the parties that somehow or other make the price controls under the voluntary guidelines less effective. I am not exactly sure how this works. T h a t m i g h t be one avenue to explore w i t h the Cost o f L i v i n g Council Chairman, D r . Dunlop. Senator MCINTYRE. I w i l l just say f o r the record, I t h i n k , M r . L v o n , you are probably r i g h t . IT is m y understanding that the 23 largest o i l companies i n the U n i t e d States were placed under mandat o r y controls, which would allow only a 1 percent increase i n price i n 1973 w i t h o u t the approval of the Cost of L i v i n g Council. A second provision o f the mandatory price control regulations provides that crude and petroleum prices could increase to a maxim u m o f i y 2 percent i f such increases could be justified because of increased costs. W h i l e we have no documented evidence, there is a seirious question, so f a r as this committee is concerned, as to whether the industry has not already exceeded the mandatory p r i c i n g guidelines. B u t we w i l l get the answer to that f o r our record. M r . TERRY. W h i l e M r . Dunikoski was indicating the restrictive provisions i n the contract, I just put my thumb on one clause which I would like t o read t o you which indicates how they can control the supply. This is one clause which they placed i n our contract on Friday. I f , f o r any such cause, t h e supply o f diesel f u e l a v a i l a b l e t o c o n t r a c t o r f o r deliveries i n the Cleveland area i s cut off, o r so c u r t a i l e d as t o p r e v e n t cont r a c t o r f r o m f u r n i s i h i n g t h r o u g h i t s r e g u l a r methods o f d i s t r i b u t i o n , t h e f u l l q u a n t i t i e s o f diesel f u e l r e q u i r e d o f i t s customers i n s a i d area, c o n t r a c t o r s h a l l h a v e t h e r i g h t t o allocate the a v a i l a b l e q u a n t i t i e s o f such f u e l among such o f i t s r e g u l a r customers i n such manner as c o n t r a c t o r s h a l l deem f o r i t s best i n t e r e s t , a n d i n such event the t r a n s i t system o f the C i t y o f Clevel a n d s h a l l have n o c l a i m f o r any f a i l u r e o r p a r t i a l f a i l u r e o r delay o n tihe p a r t o f t h e c o n t r a c t o r i n m a k i n g deliveries o f tihe f u l l q u a n t i t i e s o f f u e l ordered by the t r a n s i t system. Senator MCINTYRE. I do not blame them f o r p u t t i n g that sort of a clause i n the contract today. F o r 8, 9,10, or 15 years, they must have been dealing w i t h some sort of escape clause i n thedir contracts, probably not as critical o r as difficult as you are enjcountering today. 142 Today they are faced w i t h the fact t h a t we do not have the r e f i n i n g capacity or the production i n t h i s country t o meet the r i s i n g demand. I suspect t h a t y o u r answer i n general, as I take the three o f y o u here and again I a m leading you a l i t t l e b i t , i t is t h a t the President should begin to use the authority contained i n the Economic Stabilization A c t t o set f o r t h plans t h a t w i l l go t o t h e f u e l allocation problem. M r . DUNIKOSKI. I w o u l d like to restate—I strongly urge t h a t he take action now. I feel i t is mandatory t h a t he take action now a n d not w a i t u n t i l later. The situation is critical. Senator MCINTYRE. A n y t h i n g .further t h a t any o f y o u w o u l d l i k e to add t o your testimony at this time ? M r . TERRY. N o t h i n g f u r t h e r , other t h a n the fact t h a t our B o a r d o f the American T r a n s i t Association has not met t o consider t h i s problem. However, they d i d authorize the appointment by the president of the association of our task force, and i t is the feeling f u r t h e r o f the chairman of the emergency task force t h a t they w i l l concur i n our resolution w h i c h addresses itself t o an affirmative response t o the question that you have just raised. Senator MCINTYRE. I n the event a n y t h i n g transpires among y o u r associations before the closing time o f our testimony, we usually set a d o s i n g time o f probably 2 weeks after we a d j o u r n or recess at the call o f the Chair, next F r i d a y — i f you want t o b r i n g something i n t o the record here, we w o u l d be glad to receive i t . M r . DUNIKOSKI. I w o u l d l i k e to make t h i s comment t o a question y o u asked of the panel t h a t was up here earlier, as t o f r o m w h o m we seek relief. I w o u l d like to state, as f a r as the bus i n d u s t r y i s concerned, we have had the same decree of problems. There are so many agencies involved, "there really is no planned g r o u p t h a t we can approach. Quite f r a n k l y , i n view of a l l the confusion, I t h i n k we have to look now t o the Department o f Transportation, so again i f there were one p a r t i c u l a r agency, we w o u l d certainly support t h a t position. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you a l l f o r coming here today to t e s t i f y t o the problems you have encountered. W e w i l l proceed d u r i n g the next 4 days to hear the ramifications o f every aspect. I am h o p e f u l we w i l l be m o v i n g i n the direction that a t least, the one you three gentlemen feel we should be. W e w i l l recess u n t i l 10 o'clock t o m o r r o w morning. [ A t 12:10 p.m. the committee recessed t o reconvene a t 10 a.m. Tuesday, M a y 8,1973.] PETROLEUM PRODUCT SHORTAGES TUESDAY, M A Y 8 , 1973 U.S. SENATE, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS, Washington, D.C. The committee was convened at 10 a.m., i n room 5302, New Senate Office B u i l d i n g , Senator John Sparkman, chairman of the committee, presiding. Present: Senators Sparkman, M c I n t y r e , and Johnston. Senator MCINTYRE. The committee w i l l come to order. W e w i l l continue our hearings this m o r n i n g on the subject of the I m p a c t o f Petroleum Product Shortages on the National Economy. L e t me insert i n the record at this point a letter I sent t o the W h i t e House, M a y 7. [ T h e letter f o l l o w s : ] U . S . SENATE, C O M M I T T E E ON B A N K I N G , H O U S I N G AND U R B A N A F F A I R S , Washington, D.C., May 7, 1978. T H E PRESIDENT, T H E W H I T E HOUSE, Washington, D.C. DEAR MR. PRESIDENT : I a m w r i t i n g y o u o n a m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e urgency t h a t concerns n o t only a s i g n i f i c a n t p o r t i o n o f t h i s c o u n t r y ' s o i l i n d u s t r y b u t also w i l l have a p r o f o u n d i m p a c t on the c i t i z e n r y a n d n a t i o n a l economy i f a c t i o n is n o t t a k e n i m m e d i a t e l y . T h e m a t t e r t h a t I a m r e f e r r i n g t o i s t h e gasoline shortage t h a t i s b e g i n n i n g t o e x h i b i t a c r i p p l i n g i m p a c t o n a n u m b e r o f sections o f the c o u n t r y ; a v a r i e t y o f i n d u s t r i e s , i n c l u d i n g t h e independent m a r k e t i n g a n d r e f i n i n g segments o f the o i l i n d u s t r y ; a n d t h e consumer. A s y o u m a y recall, i n a l e t t e r I sent t o y o u t h i s w i n t e r d u r i n g the p e r i o d thart several sections o f t h e c o u n t r y w e r e experiencing h o m e h e a t i n g 041 shortages, I w a r n e d t h a t evidence was beginning t o develop i n d i c a t i n g t h a t because o f the a p p a r e n t i n a b i l i t y o f t h e r e f i n i n g segment o f t h e o i l i n d u s t r y t o p r o v i d e sufficient supplies o f v a r i o u s p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s t h a t a gasoline shortage was l i k e l y t o occur e i t h e r i n t h e l a t e s p r i n g o r t h e e a r l y s u m m e r o f t h i s year. I n a n t i c i p a t i o n o f such shortages developing w i t h r e g a r d t o a n u m b e r o f essential p e t r o l e u m products, I offered a n amendment p r o v i d i n g y o u w i t h t h e a u t h o r i t y t o allocate p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s d u r i n g such shortage periods. A s y o u w e l l k n o w , t h i s amendment was adopted by both Houses o f Congress a n d i s contained i n t h e extension o f the Economic S t a b i l i z a t i o n A c t w h i c h y o u signed i n t o l a w A p r i l 30, 1973. I n m y opinion, i t i s a m a t t e r o f u t m o s t urgency t h a t y o u i m m e d i a t e l y t a k e steps t o i m p l e m e n t t h e a u t h o r i t y g r a n t e d t o y o u t o ( 1 ) establish a n a l l o c a t i o n procedure a m o n g the v a r i o u s sections o f the c o u n t r y w h i c h c l e a r l y sets standards a n d c r i t e r i a f o r p r i o r i t i e s o f u s e : a n d ( 2 ) i m p l e m e n t a p r o g r a m t h a t w i l l assure t h a t sufficient supplies o f p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s a r e made avaUable to a l l segments o f the p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y i n a m a n n e r designed t o prevent a n t i c o m p e t i t i v e effects f r o m developing w i t h i n t h e p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y i t s e l f . I t i s a p p a r e n t t h a t i f such a c t i o n i s n o t t a k e n i m m e d i a t e l y t h a t t h i s c o u n t r y w i l l experience a severe c u r t a i l m e n t o f necessary p e t r o l e u m supplies (143) 144 a n d t h a t a s u b s t a n t i a l segment o f the p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y comprised exclusively o f s m a l l businessmen w i l l be destroyed. Sincerely, THOMAS J . MCINTYRE. U . S . SENATOR. Senator MCINTYRE. W e call as our first witness this m o r n i n g M r . F r e d C. Allvine., associate professor o f marketing, Georgia I n s t i t u t e of Technology. W e are glad t o welcome you here this morning, professor. I am interested i n what you have to say about this problem t h a t is conf r o n t i n g the Nation at the time. W e have a copy o f your statement. STATEMENT OF FRED C. ALLVINE, ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR OF MARKETING AND FRED A. TARPLEY, JR., PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS COLLEGE OF INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT, GEORGIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY M r . ALLVINE. The statement w i l l require about 12 minutes to read. I f I just proceed r i g h t on thorough i t Senator MCINTYRE. A n y place you can summarize or skip a paragraph, we w i l l appreciate i t , because we are operating w i t h about 70 minutes today. I want you to feel i n the end you have had an opport u n i t y t o testify, but we w i l l appreciate a n y t h i n g you can do t o shorten i t . M r . ALLVINE. W i t h me is Professor Tarpley, also f r o m Georgia I n s t i t u t e o f Technology. W e hope the complete statement w i l l be p r i n t e d i n the irecord. S e n a t o r MCINTYRE. O h , y e s . M r . ALLVINE. The f u t u r e o f independent private brand m a r k e t i n g sector o f the gasoline industry is i n severe jeopardy. A l r e a d y the gasoline shortage has destroyed several competitors and our analysis indicates the situation is g r o w i n g worse. I f conditions continue as they aire, the casualties by the end o f this summer are going t o be great. Unless there is some relief f r o m the competitive squeeze t a k i n g place, i t is very likely that irreparable damage may be done t o the independent marketing segment of the gasoline industry. The c r i t i c a l situation c o n f r o n t i n g independent discount gasoline marketers is inimical t o the public interest. Such marketers have been the p r i m a r y source o f price competition and have been the leading source o f innovation i n gasoline marketing. Independent private brand marketers have f o r the last several years sold gasoline f o r 3 to 5 cents per-gallon less t h a n the prevailing price o f m a j o r brand gasoline. Accounting f o r approximately one-eighth o f the gasoline sold t h r o u g h stations, they directly saved the public an estimated $375 m i l l i o n d u r i n g 1972 and well over a h a l f a b i l l i o n dollars when the responses of major brand marketers were considered. The largest independent private brand companies operate fewer than a thousand stations. M a n y of the larger p r i v a t e branders operate only a couple hundred stations and there are hundreds o f independents each operating less than a dozen stations. The smallness i n size of the independents would be i n contrast t o the eight largest m a j o r brands i n c l u d i n g Exxon, Texaco, M o b i l , G u l f , Shell, Socal, A m e r - 145 ioan, and Arco, each having more tihan 20,000 stations i n the U n i t e d States. The large numbers o f independent private brand organizations, each pursuing their o w n best economic interest, i s what has made the discount marketer such an important competitive force i n the gasoline industry. Independent private brand marketers have g r o w n by employing the discount method o f selling gasoline on a high-volume and lowprice basis. These discount marketers operate w i t h margins o f 5-7 cents-per-gallon i n comparison t o the major brand companies that require 10-12 cents or more to sell t h e i r gasoline. A s a result of their efficiencies, the independent marketing specialists have, u n t i l recently, been able to sell gasoline at substantial savings to the public. The increasing relative efficiency of the independents' method o f marketing was exerting tremendous economic pressure on the costly major brand method o f marketing. T h i s major brand method o f marketing has been to sell relatively high-priced gasoline, on a brandadvertised basis t h r o u g h a very large number of stations, located on expensive properties w i t h elaborate facilities, using credit cards, stamps, premiums and games. A s a result o f the independents, the majors' overbuilt a n d costly style of marketing was starting to crumble. The consumer savings t h a t would have resulted f r o m the gasoline marketing revolution t h a t was i n the makings couild easily have been between $1 b i l l i o n and $2 b i l l i o n a year. The independent discount gasoline marketers, however, are no longer able to exert the much needed pressure on the dominant operators t o r e f o r m their costly methods o f marketing. Several o f those independent marketers that were forcing change up to 9 months ago have either been forced out of business, or else are now f i g h t i n g f o r survival and are t r y i n g to keep their doors open. The dramatic change of circumstances f o r independent price marketers f r o m being at the leading edge o f change a few months ago t o t h e i r current problem o f survival is a result o f the r a p i d l y surfaced petroleum supply problems. Senator MCINTYRE. Professor, I appreciate your t r y i n g to go r i g h t along. I t h i n k you are going a l i t t l e fast, even f o r yourself. Y o u must be out of breath. Y o u say t h a t several of those independent marketers were f o r c i n g changes up to 9 months ago have either been forced out of business, or else are now fighting f o r survival and t r y i n g to keep their doors open. D o you know the names of these firms? M r . ALI.VINE. W i t h my interest i n independents, I am i n contact w i t h marketers on a nationwide basis. I also receive eight industry trade journals which I religiously read. Between the calls and the conversations and speeches that I have been m a k i n g across the country, I have been i n close contact w i t h independents and their p l i g h t has been very well known to me. Senator MCINTYRE. This is nationwide ? M r . ALLVINE. I t is a nationwide phenomenon, sir. Senator MCINTYRE. V e r y well. Proceed at a l i t t l e slower pace, i f you w i l l . M r . ALLVINE. The c r i p p l i n g problem o f the independent discount gasoline marketers is securing competitive supplies o f gasoline t o 146 sell to t h e i r customers. Some refineries have taken advantage of the g r o w i n g shortage of crude oil and refined products. Crude o i l and refined products have been diverted f r o m independent refineries a n d discount marketers to direct operations of certain of the integrated o i l companies. A s this has happened independents have been compelled to increase t h e i r prices, reduce hours of operation a n d to lay off employees i n order to continue t o operate. Those t h a t were h i t earlier and harder by cutbacks i n supply have gone out of business. The public consequence of -using the supply shortage to d i v e r t products f r o m independents has been to destroy the p r i m a r y source o f price competition i n the marketplace. A s supplies have been fixed, reduced, and cut off to the independents, the m a j o r o i l companies are no longer p a r t i c u l a r l y concerned about price competition. The sudden stability of gasoline prices i n the marketplace as supplies have been diverted f r o m independents can be observed f r o m figures 1 - 6 t h a t are attached a t the back of this statement. The price charts f o r six major markets show that airound the middle o f August, 1972, that price competition suddenly halted i n a miraculous sense i n these market areas. W i t h supplies reduced and regulated to the discount marketers, the major oal companies were no longer concerned about the g r o w t h of price marketers. Control over supply and its diversion f r o m the discount marketers has proven t o be a very effective technique f o r regulating and destroying price marketing. W i t h gasoline supply delicately balanced to demand, and the discount marketers unable to grow and expand on the basis o f t h e i r relative efficiency, i t has been possible f o r the m a j o r b r a n d marketers to significantly increase their prices. F o r the 37-week period f r o m A u g u s t 13, 1972, through A p r i l 22, 1973, i n comparison t o the previous 37 weeks, the major brand prices increased by 3.5 cents per gall o n i n Los Angeles—the world's largest gasoline market—2.4 cents i n Portland, 3.9 cents i n Seattle, 2.4 cents i n Phoenix, 2.8 cents i n Boise and 2.7 cents throughout most o f Nevada. A s the figures show, since supply has been sharply reduced and prices increased to the discount marketers the past 2 to 3 months, the independents have been forced to increa.se their prices to nearer the major-brand price level. D u r i n g the last 3 months the independent price has increased i n Los Angeles, Portland, Boise, and throughout Nevada f r o m 3-6 cents per gallon. These were on top of earlier price increases o f around 2 cents per gallon by the independents. W i t h o u t supply .there is no w a y f o r the independent discount marketers to act as an effective deterrant to m a j o r brand price increases. Furthermore, as supply is reduced t o the independent, i t becomes necessary f o r h i m to increase his price to tTy to stay alive. Price increases on the order of those observed i n the six western U.S. market areas have been f a i r l y common throughout the country. So f a r this year the wholesale price o f gasoline t o m a j o r brand dealers—the dealer tank wagon price—has increased around 2.1 cents per gallon the basis of a 100-market survey as shown i n the chart below. Such increases i n the cost of gasoline to dealers really translates into retail prices of around 3 cents per gallon to the public throughout the country. 147 This general stabilization o f prices occurred i n mid-August 1972, the same time as the price increases observed i n the six western markets. A n account o f the nationwide price, increase i n mid-August 1972 f r o m the O i l D a i l y is attached to this statement. Now, i n this article an independent marketer was quoted as saying t h a t " w o r d finally has filtered to the 'wilder' marketers t h a t gasoline m i g h t no longer be available f o r volume-selling based on price cutting." A s the supply situation has g r o w n tighter, the threats o r prognosis have come true and price marketers are being squeezed, weakened, and destroyed. I n contrast to the desperation situation of the independents, several of the major o i l companies reported t h a t first-quarter earnings had increased f r o m 30 t o 50 percent w i t h profits at record levels. The serious predicament o f independents was recently underscored by K e i t h Fanshier, president of the O i l D a i l y , one of the leading industry trade papers. Fanshier, who frequently takes positions favorable to the giants o f the industry, points out i n an article, " T h e Small Businessman N o w , " the desperate situation o f the independent marketers. Excerpts f r o m his article are as follows: I w i l l just read the last one. I t w i l l make f o r a better t o t a l i n d u s t r y i n the end, to have a vigorous, healthy, s u r v i v i n g small business w i n g of the industry . . . . When the shortage is a t last overcome, the good businessman must s t i l l be i n business—not have been a tragic casualty. The industry as a whole must keep this v i t a l lesson uppermost i n mind. Fanshier is g i v i n g some very i m p o r t a n t advice, but i t is doubtful that those the message is intended to reach w i l l listen and respond. The question is sometimes asked or implied " W h y d i d the independent marketers a l l o w themselves to get into such a serious supply situation?" Stated another way, " W h y didn't the independents have the foresight to integrate backwards into refining?" The supply problem of independent marketers is to a considerable degree the long-run consequence o f vertical integration and monopoly power i n the crude oil market. Over much o f the past 25 years, crude o i l prices have been administered at artificially h i g h levels. W i t h high-priced and noncompetitive feedstocks and the prospects f o r low wholesale prices f r o m integrated competitors, l i m i t e d economic incentive has existed f o r m a k i n g investment i n independent refining. I n contrast, integrated refineries, owning large quantities of crude oil, have been i n a favored position to expand t h e i r own refining as a way to utilize their h i g h l y profitable crude oil. I t f o l l o w i n g that independent discount marketers have been forced to become more directly and indirectly independent upon the major o i l companies f o r supply. Vertical integration also led to integrated oil companies subsidizi n g their marketing operations. U n t i l recently, marketing investment, like refining, was used to cash i n crude oil profits. The subsidizing of marketing w i t h crude oil profit and cash flow led to the tremendous and costly overinvestment i n marketing t h a t exists today. Even executives o f E x x o n and other huge integrated o i l companies point 148 out t h a t there are t w o to three times more retail stations t h a n are needed to efficiently serve the public interest. The oostlv overinvestment i n marketing w o u l d not be anywhere near the problem t h a t i t is, had i t not been f o r integration and subsidization o f marketing w i t h crude o i l profits and cash flow benefits. I f m a r k e t i n g was not tied to crude oil, the investment i n m a r k e t i n g w o u l d be much less and gasoline would be sold t o the public on a more efficient basis at a lower price. I t is ironic t h a t the independent discount gasoline marketers are h a v i n g such difficulties today, f o r the major integrated o i l companies are now attempting, after 25 years of heavy subsidization, to p u t marketing and refining on a profitable basis. W i t h the m a j o r o i l companies reducing their marketing subsidies, the independents, who have existed w i t h o u t subsidies, should be enjoying a new prosperity and a deeper market penetration because of their much greater efficiency. Integrated oil companies are. now desirous of m a k i n g refining and marketing profitable since the crude o i l profit haven t h a t they have enjoyed since W o r l d W a r I I is eroding. I n t e r n a t i o n a l l y , f o r e i g n governments are increasing crude oil prices and m o v i n g to take over the oil fields now i n their respective countries. I n the U n i t e d States, most of the readily available and low-cost o i l has already been discovered and t h a t which remains t o be discovered is quite costly. Thus, the financial strategy of the integrated companies must be to put refining and marketing on a profitable basis and t o capture more of their earnings f r o m their activities. However, standing i n the way o f this strategy are the independent discount gasoline marketers and the independent refineries t h a t have operated w i t h o u t subsidies. Therefore, i f the integrated companies are to breathe significant profits back into their costly and inefficient marketing system and into their refining activities, the independents must be eliminated as an effective marketing force. The way t o stop the independent discount marketers is to reduce or cut off their supplies of finished products. S i m i l a r l y , the way to damage independent refiners is t o cut off their supplies of crude oil. This can be done by refusing to sell or by raisi n g prices t o uncompetitive levels. B o t h are occurring and the independent marketer and the independent refiner is i n p e r i l of extinction. I n conclusion, the performance of the petroleum industry could be greatly improved i f the s t r u g g l i n g independent sector of the industry were saved. This w i l l occur only i f Congress acts decisively against the predatory acts of some o f the integrated o i l companies i n c u t t i n g off supplies of refined products and crude o i l to their t r a d i t i o n a l independent customers. F o r the duration of the supply crisis, the integrated oil companies should be prohibited f r o m selling a larger percentage of their refined products and crude oil t h r o u g h controlled refining and m a r k e t i n g operations than they d i d d u r i n g the base period of the first h a l f of 1972. p r i o r to the occurrence of the severe product shortages. The remaining refined products and crude oil would then be equitably distributed and priced to t r a d i t i o n a l independent customers based upon normal supply relations d u r i n g the base period. T o the extent 149 that independent customers have already been p u t out o f business and cannot be restored, the balance o f available product w o u l d be proportionately distributed to the s u r v i v i n g independent companies. Over the long run, the competitive performance o f the petroleum industry w o u l d be greatly improved by the physical o r functional divorcement o f crude oil production f r o m other industry activities. Crude ocl has been the source o f monopolistic power. I t has been used to weaken and destroy downstream competitors, including those integrated competitors who are relatively poor i n crude oil. Physical divorcement would mean that crude oil activities would be spun off and r u n by new and independent companies. Functional divorcement would require integrated o i l companies to adopt separate operating and accounting procedures and would require their crude oil activities and their refining and marketing activities t o stand on their own respective financial feet. B o t h physical and functional divorcement would—to v a r y i n g degrees—result i n improved public performance o f the petroleum industry. One t h i n g that would happen is t h a t the excessive investment i n marketing and the high cost of selling would cease. A f t e r a period of adjustment there would be perhaps h a l f the number of stations, and the cost o f selling gasoline could easily result i n prices generally 2 cents-per-gallon less t h a n present levels. This would mean a saving of about $1% b i l l i o n a year. I n summary, the imperiled condition o f discount marketers and refineries i n the short r u n can be remedied by the proper legislation or by governmental decree. F o r the duration o f the supply crisis independent marketers and refineries should obtain their f a i r share of product based upon historical relationships w i t h their suppliers and the product should be available at competitive prices f o r the different classes of customers. The long-run solution to the problem o f u n f a i r competition w i t h independents f r o m integrated oil companies can be solved by divorcement of crude oil. W h i l e the performance of the petroleum industry would improve most w i t h physical divorcement of crude oil f r o m the remainder of the industry activity, the less severe functional divorcement—accounting, operational and financial—would do some good and would not be h a r d to implement. A t the very least the Government should seek functional divorcement t o decrease the likelihood o f the continuation o f high-iadministered crude o i l prices i n the U n i t e d States t h a t squeeze downstream competitors and t h a t distort the normal competitive processes i n the pertoleum industry. Senator MCINTYRE. A t this time I yield to the distinguished chairman of the committee. Senator Spairkman, w i t h the admonition that, the 10-minute rule is i n effect. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Senator M c l n t y r e . Let me say first I am very pleased that, you set these hearings. I t h i n k they are badly needed. I have enjoyed very much the statement that has been given to us. I was looking a t some o f these charts. I am not sure I can read them. They seem interesting anyhow, showing the variation i n price. W h e n you speak of divorcement f r o m crude oil, just- what do you mean by t h a t ? 150 M r . ALLVINE. W h a t we are suggesting is a possibility o f two approaches to divorcement. One is to sever crude o i l operations f r o m the integrated oil companies entirely, make them independent companies, different stock ownership, acting i n their own best interest relative t o the remainder of the company which w o u l d be distribution, refining and marketing. The CHAIRMAN. W o u l d this be t h r o u g h the entire industry ? M r . ALLVINE. T h a t w o u l d be t h r o u g h the entire industry. The CHAIRMAN. B o t h independent and the others? M r . ALLVINE. There would be independent crude-oil exploration and production companies and then there would be d i s t r i b u t i o n , refining and marketing companies. W h a t we would find i f tihis were done, Senator, is that crude o i l w o u l d tend to reach a f a i r e r and competitive price based upon market conditions and factors and not beset by the administration practices o f the major o i l interests i n this countiry where supply is veny l i m ited and the normal workings of the marketplace due to a variety of conditions are not allowed to take place. The CHAIRMAN. B u t do the independents have refineries, as such, o r do they rely upon purchasing f r o m the major oil companies? M r . ALLVINE. I believe that I understand y o u r question. I f y o u look at the petroleum industry, let us say somewhere i n the v i c i n i t y of 90 percent of the refiner} 7 industry is owned or otherwise controlled by the integrated companies that operate f r o m crude, pipeline, refining, pipelines, distribution, and marketing. These companies, i t is estimated, are approximately three-fourths sufficient i n their own crude oil. Nationwide, then, perhaps somewhere i n the neighborhood o f 65 to 70 percent o f the crude o i l that is produced i n t h i s country is owned by the integrated oil companies. The remainder o f the crude oil is supposedly produced by independent companies, but a f u r t h e r factor is the integrated o i l companies control the vast m a j o r i t y o f the gathering lines and the feeder lines. So, their control over crude oil is much greater than the t w o - t h i r d s that they directly own or they otherwise control. The CHAIRMAN. W h a t action would you propose be taken by the Government or what f o r m of legislation is needed f r o m the Congress? M r . ALLVINE. I am proposing that the (government seriously look at the problems of this industry, how they have gotten into them and recognize t h a t crude oil has been the t a i l wagging the dog, and that, i f one were to look at over the past 20 to 25 years where the profits of the industry have been centered, they have been i n crude o i l activities. Crude oil prices have been admiinstered at artificially h i g h levels. T h i s is the problem that needs t o be squarely dealt w i t h i f we are going to have an industry that is more responsive t o the normal processes of the market place and thereby the needs o f the consumers. The CHAIRMAN. T h a n k you. I have no f u r t h e r questions at this time. Senator MCINTYRE. Senator Johnston ? Senator JOHNSTON. The marketing practice o f the majors was set up at a time when gasoline was very p l e n t i f u l , was i t not, and set u p 151 w i t h a view t o marketing all the product they could and hasn't t h a t changed now w i t h the shortages, and can't we expect the marketing practices brought on by what hopefully is a free-market economy, can't we expect t h a t to come back into line ? M r . ALLVINE. Could you define a l i t t l e b i t more clearly your question? S e n a t o r JOHNSTON. Yes. The marketing practices of the majors, t h a t is, to get the expensive corners and t o sell at a l i t t l e higher price and to advertise broadly, that practice was created and begun and nurtured d u r i n g a period when there was an excess i n effect of gasoline, is that right? M r . ALLVINE. T h a t is one interpretation, yes. I do not t h i n k i t was a consequence of the surplus i n gasoline. The marketing excesses that are experienced have been made possible because of h i g h profits that were tucked away i n the crude-oil activities. M a r k e t i n g became a vehicle to get r i d o f the h i g h l y profitable crude oil. The marketing investments that were made would not have been made had i t not been without the connection of marketing to crude oil. There was no economic justification f o r the level o f this investment. I t d i d not stand on its own two feet. I would suggest, Senator, i f you could get into the records of integrated o i l companies f o r their returns f r o m marketing f o r the year 1971 and u n t i l August o f 1972, I would not be surprised i f you f o u n d a negative rate o f return on some of these companies or very marginal relative to their crude o i l activities. I t was not because o f excess refining capacity t h a t they overbuilt marketing, i t was because of the profits t h a t were tied back and hidden i n the crude oil activities that forced theim to use marketing to cash i n on their crude o i l profits. Senator JOHNSTON. I don't quite understand how they w o u l d cash i n on the crude o i l profits. W h y couldn't they sell t h a t on the market ? M r . ALLVINE. Senator, conditions are changing very dramatically. I f you ask that question now, they can sell every barrel o f crude a i l they want w i t h o u t t y i n g i t t o refining and marketing. I n fact, we see some companies that are small enough, that do not have the tremendous investment i n marketing, t r y i n g to get out o f marketing. Getty has been getting out o f marketing on the west coast. Signal O i l & Gas has been getting out o f marketing. SkeJly i n the West has been t r y i n g t o get out o f marketing. I know personally f r o m conversations w i t h some o f the smaller integrated o i l companies when they can sell every drop of crude today. Y o u are absolutely right, i f they can get out of marketing. B u t the fact is that many are locked i n w i t h heavy investment made i n the past which they cannot suddenly get r i d of i t and spin off to someone else. Senator JOHNSTON. We had a b i l l that we considered i n I n t e r i o r yesterday t h a t deals w i t h almost the precise situation you described there, i n addition to other things, but i t would require t h a t the base period—the base period I t h i n k ends i n June 1973, I believe, but i n any event, you have a base period of a year and i t would require the majors t o sell t o the independents the same percentage t h a t they d i d d u r i n g the base period. A s I understand i t , that suggestion on your p a r t would be only an i n t e r i m solution to deal w i t h the present prices, that f o r a long- 152 term situation you t h i n k you ought t o divorce marketing f r o m the majors, is t h a t correct ? M r . ALLVINE. Yes; i f we look at the cost structure of the i n d u s t r y and do a l i t t l e mathematics as I was doing w h i l e you were t a l k i n g . Crude o i l costs about 8, 8y 2 cents a gallon. The cost o f m a r k e t i n g gasoline is about 13 cents a gallon f o r the majors. Now, we w o u l d not have t o have tremendous increase o f prices to the public i f we could allow crude oil, let us say, to go to $5 a barrel and be sure t h a t i t was used f o r exploration and not f o r the d r i v i n g out of the independent refiners and marketing. I n part, the increase i n the price of crude o i l could be offset i n terms o f the retail price f o r gasoline. Crude o i l cost 8 cents versus 12 to 13 cents i n marketing cost. I t h i n k we could reduce those marketing costs by 2 or 3 cents i f we had more sanity i n terms of the structure of the industry. Crude o i l could move f r o m its present level, $3.80 a barrel t o $5. There w o u l d be incentive to explore i n the ground, to d i g the holes to find the oil, to help us w i t h our national security problem. I f crude oil prices are increased and subsidization continued, what we are really doing is bleeding off incentives to explore i n terms of subsidizing refining and marketing. I t h i n k we can develop a better solution t o our problems i f we let the marketplace cut back on some of the excess and costs i n terms o f moving products f r o m the refineries on out to the public. L e t crude o i l prices increase and be used f o r a legitimate purpose. I f you let crude o i l prices increase w i t h o u t downstream subscription, then you can afford to d i g deeper i n the ground to find i t . I n the process o f doing this the problem is to see that they do not use some o f those crude profits to continue to subsidize the refining and marketing and to increasing their wholesale prices to the independents and to squeeze them. I f crude profits were used f o r their purpose o f exploration and production rather than t o subsidize refining and marketing, there wouldn't be any real problem. I t h i n k you can only p r o h i b i t downstream subsidization by divorcement. W e would not have our severe energy problems today had there not been vertical integration. Senator JOHNSTON. One final question: W h a t do t r a d i n g stamps cost percentagewise—what is the m a x i m u m r e t u r n you can get on the t r a d i n g stamps? Should the Government take steps t o eliminate them? F i r s t o f all, what do they cost percentagewise? M r . ALLVINE. A b o u t 3 percent on the studies that I have done; 2^2 to 3 percent, depending on what volume you buy. Senator JOHNSTON. I f you keep them all and cash them in, what do you get i n value ? M r . ALLVINE. I would say that you get more i n terms of economic value by collecting t r a d i n g stamps than cash costs o f stamps.In m y mind, you do get good value received. Senator JOHNSTON. I n other words, i f you make a $100 purchase, you get M r . ALLVINE. W h a t I am suggesting, Senator, i f you pay $3 f o r t r a d i n g stamps, i n terms o f redemption value you w i l l redeem those stamps f o r say 20 percent more. I t h i n k there is value i n stamps. I t leads to the second aspect of your question. I wouldn't advocate a law eliminating t r a d i n g stamps, because this would interfere w i t h the 153 normal workings of the marketplace. I f we deny certain business options, then I t h i n k we are destroying the marketplace and we m i g h t as well go to total regulation and nationalization of the industry. I have not become so soured on the prospects f o r this industry that I am yet at t h a t particular point. I t h i n k t r a d i n g stamps w i l l take care of themselves i f you let the marketplace operate as i t should. A s I study the situation around the country, companies are g i v i n g up t r a d i n g stamps f r o m the h i g h levels that they had i n the later sixties. I believe that i f something is not of value to consumers, competitive processes w i l l drive out the bad. Senator JOHNSTON. T h a n k you. Senator MCINTYRE. I n the first paragraph of your conclusion, you use the term "predatory acts." M y understanding is this w o r d is associated w i t h anti-competitive activity i n violation of the Federal antitrust laws. A r e you i n f e r r i n g i n fact t h a t the industry is freely engaged i n antitrust activity designed to drive out the independents? M r . TARPLEY. I would say that there is not a conclusive case. W e do see f r o m the data that around August 15 prices going up i n six major markets. Previously, there had been a great deal of price variation and a great deal of price instability. Also i n the article which was appended to our testimony, i t was indicated that price protection was reduced or w i t h d r a w n i n several instances simultaneously or delayed f o r a short period of time. These are activities which are occurring about the same time. Y o u can have k i n d of a double theory, i f you wish. B u t i t does seem that i t is beyond coincidence that these occurred at the same time and that prices were or d i d go up i n so many markets at about the same time. The rumor was that on the first anniversary of the price freeze we m i g h t have imposition of a new freeze on gasoline prices. Prices went up, pricesupport protection was w i t h d r a w n , and price stability came to markets which had been characterized by something other than stability. Senator MCINTYRE. A t the close of your statement, Professor, I t h i n k I would like to ask what is your assessment of the extent and impact of the present gasoline shortage on the economy of the Nation—what is your assessment ? M r . ALLVINE. I t h i n k that the shortage situation, Senator, i f i t is allowed to continue its present course w i l l cost the public i n excess of $1 b i l l i o n a year by first destroying the independents and the savings that they have passed on, and second, by p e r m i t t i n g the major o i l companies to increase prices w i t h o u t the competitive pressures and realization t h a t i f they get prices too h i g h t h a t the independents t h r o u g h their efficiency w i l l take an increasing share of the marketplace. So I w o u l d look at cost as a consequence to the public of the supply shortage and how i t has worked against the independents. The cost on an annual basis to the public could be $1 b i l l i o n to $2 b i l l i o n a year. Senator MCINTYRE. I n order to establish your expertise i n this subject, can you briefly t e l l the committee what your association w i t h the oil problems have been and also then f o r the record elaborate briefly on what credentials you can present here this m o r n i n g to give us this expert testimony ? M r . ALLVINE. Since mid-vear 1968. the gasoline and petroleum industry has been my major area of research. I have studied i n depth 154 * over this period of t i m e the nature of marketing, f r o m both the m a j o r and the independent side. I n the process I have looked at competition and how i t has developed and how i t has been forwarded i n the marketplace. I prepared a book w i t h a co-author, James Patterson, f r o m I n d i a n a University which was published last year called "Competition L t d . : The M a r k e t i n g of Gasoline." Over the past 3 years I have given statements before 8 to 10 hearings such as this one. T h i s year I have given several talks to jobber and independent marketing associations. I guess I would say, Senator, t h a t I have really been l i v i n g and studying the gasoline marketing industry f r o m an academic and quasi-pragmatic point of view f o r the past 5 yeeurs. Senator MCINTYRE. Y o u r services i n this matter have f r o m time to time been compensated f o r by independent organizations, is t h a t correct? M r . ALLVINE. Yes, Senator, they have been. I w o u l d say i n response to your question, I have never had anyone t r y to change m y position or statement. W h a t I do is my work. The statement t h a t I gave today was read by no one p r i o r to my appearing i n this room. Senator MCINTYRE. Professor T a r p l e y , would you also f u r n i s h f o r the record your credentials f o r your expert testimony here today ? [ T h e complete statement and additional i n f o r m a t i o n follows.] S T A T E M E N T OF F R E D C . A L L V I N E , A S S O C I A T E PROFESSOR OF M A R K E T I N G A N D F R E D A . T A R P L E Y , J R . , COLLEGE OF I N D U S T R I A L M A N A G E M E N T , G E O R G I A I N S T I T U T E OF TECHNOLOGY M y name is F r e d C. A l l v i n e a n d I a m a n associate professor of m a r k e t i n g i n t h e College of I n d u s t r i a l Management a t Georgia I n s t i t u t e o f Technology, a n d w i t h me is F r e d A . T a r p l e y , J r . , professor of economics, a t Georgia Tech. F o r t h e p a s t several years m y research has focused o n the gasoline i n d u s t r y , a n d M r . T a r p l e y a n d I are w o r k i n g together on studies o f gasoline m a r k e t i n g . T h a n k y o u f o r t h e i n v i t a t i o n t o appear before t h i s d i s t i n g u i s h e d c o m m i t t e e t o discuss t h e serious effects o f supply shortages on c o m p e t i t i o n i n t h e gasoline industry. T h e f u t u r e o f t h e independent p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t i n g sector o f t h e gasoline i n d u s t r y is i n severe jeopaTdy. A l r e a d y t h e gasoUne s h o r t a g e has destroyed several c o m p e t i t o r s a n d o u r a n a l y s i s indicates t h e s i t u a t i o n i s g r o w i n g worse. I f c o n d i t i o n s continue as t h e y are, t h e casualties by the e n d of t h i s s u m m e r are going to be great. Unless there i s some r e l i e f f r o m t h e c o m p e t i t i v e squeeze t a k i n g place, i t is v e r y l i k e l y t h a t i r r e p a r a b l e d a m a g e m a y be done to the independent m a r k e t i n g segment o f t h e gasoline i n d u s t r y . T h e c r i t i c a l s i t u a t i o n c o n f r o n t i n g independent d i s c o u n t gasoline m a r k e t e r s is i n i m i c a l t o t h e p u b l i c interest. Such m a r k e t e r s h a v e been t h e p r i m a r y source of p r i c e c o m p e t i t i o n a n d h a v e been t h e l e a d i n g source o f i n n o v a t i o n i n gasoline m a r k e t i n g . Independent p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t e r s h a v e f o r t h e l a s t several years s o l d gasoline f o r 3-5 cents p e r g a l l o n less t h a n t h e p r e v a i l i n g p r i c e of m a j o r b r a n d gasoline. A c c o u n t i n g f o r a r o u n d y 8 t h o f t h e gasoline sold t h r o u g h stations, they d i r e c t l y saved t h e p u b l i c a n e s t i m a t e d 375 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s d u r i n g 1972 a n d w e l l over a h a l f a b i l l i o n d o l l a r s w h e n t h e responses o f m a j o r b r a n d m a r k e t e r s a r e considered. T h e l a r g e s t independent p r i v a t e b r a n d companies operate f e w e r t h a n a t h o u s a n d stations. M a n y of t h e l a r g e r p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s o p e r a t e o n l y a couple h u n d r e d s t a t i o n s a n d there a r e h u n d r e d s o f independents each o p e r a t i n g less t h a n a dozen stations. T h e smallness i n size o f t h e independents w o u l d be i n c o n t r a s t t o t h e eight largest m a j o r b r a n d s i n c l u d i n g E x x o n , Texaco, M o b i l , G u l f , Shell, Socal, A m e r i c a n a n d A r c o , each h a v i n g more t h a n 20,000 stations. T h e l a r g e n u m b e r s of independent p r i v a t e b r a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n s , each p u r s u i n g t h e i r o w n best economic i n t e r e s t , is w h a t has m a d e t h e discount m a r k e t e r such a n i m p o r t a n t c o m p e t i t i v e force i n t h e gasoline i n d u s t r y . I n d e p e n d e n t p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t e r s h a v e g r o w n by e m p l o y i n g t h e discount m e t h o d o f s e l l i n g gasoline o n a high-volume, low-cost a n d l o w - p r i c e basis. 155 These discount marketers operate w i t h margins of 5-7 cents per gallon i n comparison to the m a j o r brand companies t h a t require 10-12 cents o r more to sell t h e i r gasoline. As a result of t h e i r efficiencies, the independent m a r k e t i n g specialists have, u n t i l recenlty, been able t o sell gasoline a t substantial savings t o the pubic. The increasing relative efficiency of the independents' method of m a r k e t i n g was exerting tremendous economic pressure on the costly m a j o r b r a n d method of marketing. This m a j o r brand method o f m a r k e t i n g has been to sell relatively h i g h priced gasoline, on a brand advertised basis, t h r o u g h very large numbers of stilt ions., located on expensive properties w i t h elaborate facilities, using credit cards, stamps, premiums a n d games. As a result of the independents, the majors 1 overbuilt and costly style o f m a r k e t i n g was s t a r t i n g t o crumble. The consumer savings t h a t could have resulted f r o m the gasoline m a r k e t i n g revolution t h a t was i n the makings could easily have been between one and t w o b i l l i o n dollars a year. The independent discount gasoline marketers, however, are no longer able to exert the much needed pressure on the d o m i n a n t operators to r e f o r m t h e i r costly methods of marketing. Several o f those independent marketers t h a t were f o r c i n g change up to nine months ago have either been forced out of business, or else are now fighting f o r s u r v i v a l a n d are t r y i n g to keep their doors open. The d r a m a t i c change of circumstances f o r independent price marketers f r o m being a t the leading edge of change a f e w months ago to their current problem of s u r v i v a l is a result o f the r a p i d l y surfaced petroleum supply problems. The c r i p p l i n g problem o f the independent discount gasoline marketers is securing competitive supplies of gasoline to sell to t h e i r customers. Some refineries have taken advantage o f the g r o w i n g shortage of crude o i l and refined products. Crude oil and refined products have been diverted f r o m independent refineries and discount marketers to direct operations of certain of the integrated o i l companies. As this has happened independents have been compelled to increase t h e i r prices, reduce hours o f operation and t o lay off employees i n order to continue to operate Those t h a t were h i t earlier and harder by cutbacks i n supply have gone o u t of business. The public consequence o f using the supply shortage to d i v e r t products f r o m independents has been to destroy the p r i m a r y source of price competition i n ithe marketplace. As supplies have been fixed, reduced and cutoff to the independents, the m a j o r oil companies are no longer p a r t i c u l a r l y concerned about price competition. The sudden stability of gasoline prices i n the marketplace as supplies have been diverted f r o m independents can be observed f r o m Figures 1-6 t h a t are attached at the back of this statement. The price charts f o r six m a j o r markets (where data was available) show t h a t around the middle o f August, 1972 (week "33/72") t h a t price competition suddenly halted. W i t h supplies reduced and regulated to the discount marketers, the m a j o r o i l companies were no longer concerned about the g r o w t h of price marketers. Control over supply and its diversion f r o m the discount marketers has proven to be a very effective technique f o r regulating and destroying price marketing. W i t h gasoline supply delicately balanced to demand, and the discount marketers unable to grow and expand on the basis of t h e i r relative efficiency, i t has been possible f o r the major brand marketers t o significantly increase their prices. F o r the 37 week period f r o m August 13, 1972 through A p r i l 22, 1973, i n comparison to the previous 37 weeks, the m a j o r brand prices increased by 3.5c per gallon i n Los Angeles, 2.4c i n Portland, 3.9c i n Seattle, 2.4c i n Phoenix, 2.8c i n Boise, and 2.7c throughout most of Nevada. As the Figures show, since supply has been sharply reduced a n d prices increased to the discount marketers the past t w o to three months, the independents have been forced to increased t h e i r prices to nearer the m a j o r brand price level. D u r i n g the last three months the independent price has increased i n Los Angeles, Portland, Boise a n d Nevada f r o m 3-6 cents per gallon. These were on top of earlier price increases of around t w o cents per gallon by the independents. W i t h o u t supply there is no way f o r the independent discount marketers to act as an effective deterent to m a j o r brand price increases. Furthermore, as supply is reduced to the independent i t becomes necessary f o r h i m to increase his price to t r y to stay alive. Price increases on t h e order of those observed i n the 6 western U.S. market areas have been f a i r l y common throughout the country. So f a r this 96-183 O - 73 - 11 156 year itihe wholesale price o f gasoline t o m a j o r b r a n d dealers (the dealer t a n k wagon price) has increased around 2.1 cents per gallon on the basis of a 100 m a r k e t survey as shown below (source: The Oil Daily, A p r i l 26, 1973, p. 2 ) . Such increases i n the cost of gasoline to dealers translates i n t o r e t a i l prices of around 3 cents per gallon to the public. T h i s general s t a b i l i z a t i o n o f prices occurred i n m i d August 1972, the same time as the price increases observed i n the 6 western markets. A n account of t h e nationwide price increase i n m i d A u g u s t 1972 f r o m The Oil Daily is attached to t h i s statement. I n t h i s a r t i c l e an independent marketer was quoted as saying t h a t " w o r d finally has filtered to t h e ' w i l d e r ' marketers t h a t gasoline m i g h t no longer be available f o r volume selling based o n price-cutting." As the supply s i t u a t i o n has g r o w n t i g h t e r , the threats o r prognosis have come true, and price marketers are being squeezed, weakened a n d destroyed. T h e serious predicament o f independents was recently underscored by K e i t h Fanshier, President o f The Oil Daily, one of the leading i n d u s t r y t r a d e papers. Fanshier, who frequently takes positions favorable t o t h e giants of the i n d u s t r y , points out i n an article, " T h e S m a l l Businessman . . . N o w " , ( T h e Oil Daily, A p r i l 30, 1973) the desperate s i t u a t i o n o f t h e independent m a r keters. Excerpts f r o m his article are as f o l l o w s : . . . [ n many a case today, the small operator throughout the i n d u s t r y has f a l l e n upon d i r e a n d desperate straits, i n which the problems have h i t dose t o t h e h e a r t o f h i s substance and his operating survival. The whole i n d u s t r y is i n this supply problem together, a n d needs to the greatest degree legally possible to pool its resources a n d cooperate i n wiays never before thought possible. . . . i t i s essential t h a t the small businessman . . . come t h r o u g h t h i s experience w i t h o u t being f a t a l l y injured. I t w i l l make f o r a better t o t a l i n d u s t r y i n the end, to have a vigorous healthy, s u r v i v i n g small business w i n g of t h e i n d u s t r y . . . W h e n the shortage is at last overcome, the good businessman must s t i l l be i n business—not have been a tragic casualty. The industry as a whole must keep t h i s v i t a l lesson uppermost i n mind. Fanshier is g i v i n g some very i m p o r t a n t advice, b u t i t is d o u b t f u l t h a t those the message is intended f o r w i l l listen and respond. L O N G - R U N PROBLEM The question i s sometimes asked or i m p l i e d " W h y d i d t h e independent marketers a l l o w themselves to get i n t o such a serious supply s i t u a t i o n ? " 157 Stated another way " W h y d i d n ' t the independents have t h e foresight to integrate backwards i n t o refining?" The supply problem of independent marketers is to a considerable degree the long-run consequence of v e r t i c a l i n t e g r a t i o n and monopoly power i n the crude o i l market. Over much of the past twentyfive years, crude o i l prices have been administered a t a r t i f i c i a l l y h i g h levels. W i t h high-priced and non-competitive feedstocks a n d the prospects f o r l o w wholesale prices f r o m integrated competitors, l i m i t e d economic incentive has existed f o r m a k i n g investment i n independent refining. I n contrast, integrated refineries, owning large quantities of crude oil, have been i n a flavored position to expand t h e i r o w n refining as a way t o u t i l i z e t h e i r highly profitable crude oil. I t follows t h a t independent discount marketers have been forced to become more d i r e c t l y and indirectly dependent upon t h e m a j o r o i l companies f o r supply. Vertical i n t e g r a t i o n also led to integrated o i l companies subsidizing marketing operations. U n t i l recently, m a r k e t i n g investment, l i k e refining, was used t o cash i n crude o i l profits. The subsidizing o f m a r k e t i n g w i t h crude o i l profit and cash flow led to the tremendous a n d costly over-investment i n m a r k e t i n g t h a t exists today. Even executives of E x x o n and other huge integrated o i l companies point out t h a t there are t w o to three times more r e t a i l stations t h a n are needed to efficiently serve the public interest. The costly over-investment i n m a r k e t i n g would not be anywhere near the problem t h a t i t is, had i t not been f o r integration and subsidization of m a r k e t i n g w i t h crude o i l profits and cash flow benefits. I f m a r k e t i n g was not t i e d to crude oil, the investment i n m a r k e t i n g would be much less a n d gasoline w o u l d be sold to the public on a more efficient basis a t a lower price. I t is ironic t h a t the independent discount gasoline marketers are having such difficulties today, f o r the m a j o r integrated oil companies are now attempting', a f t e r twenty-five years of heavy subsidization, to p u t marketing and refining on a profitable basis. W i t h the m a j o r o i l companies reducing their m a r k e t i n g subsidies, the independents, who have existed w i t h o u t subsidies, should be enjoying a new prosperity and a deeper market penetration because o f t h e i r much greater efficiency. Integrated oil eomjmnies now desire to make refining and marketing profitable since the crude oil profit haven t h a t they have enjoyed since W o r l d W a r I I is eroding. I n t e r n a t i o n a l l y , foreign governments are increasing crude oil prices and moving to take over the o i l fields i n t h e i r respective countries. I n the United States, most of the readily available a n d l o w cost o i l has already been discovered and t h a t which remains to be discovered is quite costly. The enormously expensive bonus bidding system of leasing properties f o r o i l exploration has also greatly increased the cost o f exploration i n the U.S. Thus, the financial strategy o f the integrated companies must be to p u t refining and m a r k e t i n g on a profitable basis and t o capture more of their earnings f r o m these activities. However, standing i n the w a y of this strategy are the independent discount gasoline marketers and the independent refineries t h a t have operated w i t h o u t subsidies. Therefore, i f the integrated companies are to breathe significant profits back into t h e i r costly and inefficient marketi n g system a n d into t h e i r refining activities, t h e independent must be eliminated as an effective m a r k e t i n g force. The way to stop the independent discount marketers is to reduce or cut off their supplies o f finished products. S i m i l a r l y , the way t o damage independent refiners is to cut off their supplies of crude oil. T h i s can be done by refusing to sell or by raising prices to uncompetitive levels. B o t h are occurring, and the independent marketer and the independnet refiner is i n p e r i l of extinction. CONCLUSION The performance of the petroleum industry could be greatly improved i f the s t r u g g l i n g independent sector o f the i n d u s t r y were saved. T h i s w i l l occur 158 only i f Congress acts decisively against the predatory acts of some of the integrated o i l companies i n c u t t i n g off supplies of refined products and crude o i l to t h e i r t r a d i t i o n a l independent customers. F o r the d u r a t i o n of the supply crisis, the integrated o i l companies should be p r o h i b i t e d f r o m selling a larger percentage of t h e i r refined products a n d crude o i l through controlled refining and m a r k e t i n g operations t h a n t h e y d i d d u r i n g the base period of t h e first h a l f o f 1972, p r i o r t o the occurrence o f the severe product shortages. The remaining refined products a n d crude o i l w o u l d t h e n be equitably d i s t r i b u t e d and priced to t r a d i t i o n a l independent customers based upon n o r m a l supply relations d u r i n g the base period. To the extent t h a t independent customers have already been p u t out of business and cannot be restored, t h e balance o f available product w o u l d be proportionately d i s t r i b u t e d to the s u r v i v i n g independent companies. Over the long run, the competitive performance o f t h e petroleum i n d u s t r y w o u l d be greatly improved by the physical or f u n c t i o n a l divorcement of crude o i l production f r o m other i n d u s t r y activities Crude o i l has been the source of monopolistic power. I t has been used to weaken a n d destroy downstream competitors, i n c l u d i n g those integrated competitors who are relatively poor i n crude oil. Physical divorcement would mean t h a t crude o i l activities w o u l d be spun off and r u n by new and independent companies. F u n c t i o n a l divorcement w o u l d require integrated o i l companies to adopt separate operating and accounting procedures and w o u l d require t h e i r crude o i l activities and t h e i r refining and m a r k e t i n g activities to stand on t h e i r own respective financial feet. B o t h physical and f u n c t i o n a l divorcement w o u l d to v a r y i n g degrees result i n improved public performance of the petroleum industry. One t h i n g t h a t w o u l d happen is t h a t the excessive investment i n m a r k e t i n g and the h i g h cost o f selling w o u l d cease. A f t e r a period o f adjustment there w o u l d be perhaps h a l f the number of stations, and the cost o f selling gasoline could easily result i n prices generally per gallon less t h a n present levels. T h i s w o u l d mean a saving o f about a b i l l i o n and a h a l f dollars a year. I n summary, the imperiled condition of discount marketers a n d refineries i n the short-run can be remedied by the proper legislation or by governmental decree. F o r the d u r a t i o n of the supply crisis independent marketers a n d refineries should obtain t h e i r f a i r share of product based upon h i s t o r i c a l relationships w i t h t h e i r suppliers a n d the product should be available a t competitive prices f o r the different classes of customers. The long-run solution to the problem of u n f a i r competition w i t h independents f r o m integrated o i l companies can be solved by divorcement of crude oil. W h i l e the performance o f the petroleum i n d u s t r y would improve most w i t h physical divorcement of crude oil f r o m the remainder o f the i n d u s t r y a c t i v i t y , t h e less severe f u n c t i o n a l divorcement—accounting, operational and financial—would do some good a n d w o u l d n ' t be h a r d to implement. A t t h e very least the government should seek f u n c t i o n a l divorcement t o decrease the likelihood o f the c o n t i n u a t i o n of h i g h administered crude o i l prices t h a t squeeze downstream competitors a n d t h a t d i s t o r t the n o r m a l competitive processes i n the petroleum i n d u s t r y . Figure Average weekly prices f o r m a j o r and p r i v a t e from 1 9 6 9 - A p r i l 2 2 , 4 brand: 1973 gasoline i nPhoenix,Arizona Figure 4 Average weekly p r i c e s f o r major and p r i v a t e brand: g a s o l i n e i n P h o e n i x , Arizona from 1 9 6 9 - A p r i l22,1973 M a j o r - 3 7.S~t P P r I ? 7 / ififJiiiiilJiiflilfllifiifiliffiiiiiiiiifiiiiii S3SS2SSgSSS£siE5ig|§igg§g§f§§ I ? ice-f 7 2 I I I 1 I I I 1 I I 1 1 I I I I I I I I I I I S I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 1 I ; 1173 Figure 3 Figure 4 Average weekly prices f o r major and p r i v a t e brand: g a s o l i n e i n Phoenix, Arizona from 1 9 6 9 - A p r i l 2 2 , 1973 111 / / ?7Z /? 73 IIIIIIIISIIIII'IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII I1IIIIIIIIIIIIII1II1IIIIII1IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII1IIIIIII!O 3 OOO g o t O K J2 J! J2 £12 JI R S S S S S S S S S S S S ^ ^ °S Figure 4 Average weekly p r i c e s f o r major and p r i v a t e brand: g a s o l i n e from 1 9 6 9 - A p r i l 2 2 , 1973 i nPhoenix,Arizona ( Y l a j o r privaft B r av\d 8 Pricc-r ~r 1 7 7 / / ? 7 2 /?73 Figure 4 Average weekly p r i c e s f o r major and p r i v a t e brand: g a s o l i n e from 1 9 6 9 - A p r i l 2 2 , 1973 i nPhoenix,Arizona 165 M A R K E T I N G R U M O R S F L Y O N P R I C I N G CONTROLS HOUSTON.—A r u m o r t h a t Phase I I I o f the p r i c e c o n t r o l p r o g r a m w i l l be announced Tuesday, Aug. 15, swept t h e m a r k e t i n g segment o f t h e p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y a t weekend. I t f o u n d dealer t a n k w a g o n a n d r a c k prices f o r gasoline a l r e a d y on the upt u r n because o f w i d e n i n g fears of a supply crisis. D i s t i l l a t e prices also a r e c l a w i n g a t ceilings some m a r k e t e r s describe as too l o w to p e r m i t r e s t o r a t i o n of depleted stock t o t h e level needed t h i s w i n t e r . One v e r s i o n of the unconfirmed Phase I I I r u m o r was t h a t President N i x o n w i l l m a k e a n A u g 15 speech emphasizing p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s prices, especially those f o r gasoline. I t was conceded t h a t 1) t h e r u m o r m a y h a v e a r i s e n f r o m t h e f a c t A u g 13 was t h e first a n n i v e r s a r y o f t h e base p e r i o d f o r gasoline p r i c e controls, t h u s a l i k e l y t i m e f o r f u r t h e r announcements, a n d 2) i t m i g h t help r a t h e r t h a n h i n d e r the latest w a v e of reductions a n d e l i m i n a t i o n s o f t e m p o r a r y c o m p e t i t i v e a l l o w ances. A southeastern m a r k e t e r was among those m o v i n g wholesale dock, or rack, prices to levels considered ceilings. T h i s m a r k e t e r l i f t e d r e g u l a r a n d p r e m i u m gasolines a t a l l i t s F l o r i d a t e r m i n a l s a n d a t M o b i l e a n d M o n t g o m e r y , A l a , t o 13 cents a n d 15 cents a gallon, respectively, f r o m 12.5 a n d 14.5 cents. Prices a t B i r m i n g h a m a n d A n n i s t o n , A l a , w e n t u p one q u a r t e r cent t o 12.75 a n d 14.75 cents. T C A a d j u s t m e n t s by m a j o r suppliers appeared t o be t a k i n g t w o p r i n c i p a l p a t t e r n s ; t o t a l w i t h d r a w a l s as by M o b i l , Kyso, Texaco a n d P h i l l i p s ; a n d p a r t i a l reductions, generally t o 1.4 cents a gallon, w i t h 2.1 cents m a x i m u m s i n a f e w states. Moves t o w a r d f u l l n o r m a l t a n k w a g o n prices appeared t o be g a i n i n g ground, however. H u m b l e , f o r example, i n moves A u g 8 a n d 9, e l i m i n a t e d T C A ' s i n Texas, L o u i s i a n a , N e w Mexico, Nevada a n d A r i z o n a a n d imposed l i m i t s s a i d " g e n e r a l l y " not t o exceed 1.4 cents i n o t h e r areas except I n d i a n a , w h e r e t h e m a x i m u m was 2.1 cents. T h e n i t issued a n order effective A u g 10 w i t h d r a w i n g allowances i n C a l i f o r n i a , Oregon, W a s h i n g t o n a n d western I d a h o . Kyso's t o t a l w i t h d r a w a l , d a t e d A u g 11, affected i t s e n t i r e m a r k e t i n g t e r r i t o r y — G e o r g i a , A l a b a m a , K e n t u c k y , Mississippi a n d F l o r i d a . A T h u r s d a y r e p o r t Amoco h a d j o i n e d t h e " f u l l n o r m a l " g r o u p was denied by a spokesman, w h o said i t evidently based o n expansion o f the company's a d j u s t m e n t to cover i t s f u l l m a r k e t i n g t e r r i t o r y . T h i s w a s accomplished by t r i m m i n g T C A ' s t o 1.4 cents i n i t s B a l t i m o r e a n d A t l a n t a regions, serving the eastern U.S., a n d w i t h d r a w i n g t h e m completely i n Ohio. W e s t Coast supports also were e l i m i n a t e d . Independent m a r k e t e r s began f a l l i n g i n t o step w i t h t h e m a j o r s a t a n early hour. D i a m o n d Shamrock was among the first, going back t o f u l l m a x i m u m prices u n d e r i t s ceilings as of A u g 8. D e r b y a n d Checker f o l l o w e d soon a f t e r . S t r o n g independent movements t o w a r d " n o r m a l " prices were r e p o r t e d i n I n d i a n a , P e n n s y l v a n i a a n d F l o r i d a . P r i v a t e branders a n d u n b r a n d e r s f o u n d f o u r o f 12 ma j o r s s e r v i n g F l o r i d a back a t f u l l n o r m a l a n d t h e r e m a i n i n g e i g h t l i m i t i n g s u p p o r t t o 1.4 cents. Some r e s t o r a t i o n s were reported i n M i c h i g a n . A n independent m a r k e t e r said w o r d finally has filtered t o the " w i l d e r " m a r k e t e r s t h a t gasoline m i g h t no longer be r e a d i l y a v a i l a b l e f o r volume s e l l i n g based o n price-cutting. " H o w e v e r , t h e self-serves undoubtedly s t i l l w i l l be something o f a problem," he added. I n the state of Ohio, Sohio has l i f t e d r e t a i l prices f o r r e g u l a r a n d p r e m i u m gasoline t o " f u l l n o r m a l " levels of 37.9 a n d 41.9 cents a g a l l o n a n d has w i t h d r a w n supports i n t h e t r i - c o u n t y ( D e t r o i t ) area of M i c h i g a n . I n t h e outstate southern M i c h i g a n area, n e w suggested r e t a i l prices a r e 35.9 a n d 39.9 cents i n D e t r o i t a n d 36.9 cents outside. F i e l d r e p o r t s i n d i c a t e Sohio's B o r o n service s t a t i o n s i n w e s t e r n Pennsylvania w e r e a t 37.9 a n d 41.9 cents a t weekend. C i t g o e l i m i n a t e d a l l t e m p o r a r y c o m p e t i t i v e allowances i n I l l i n o i s , W i s c o n s i n a n d I n d i a n a a t t h e opening of business F r i d a y . I t h a d c u t t h e m e a r l i e r i n t h e week t o 1.4 cents a g a l l o n i n I l l i n o i s a n d W i s c o n s i n a n d t o 2.1 cents i n I n d i a n a . Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you very much, Professors A l l v i n e and Tarpley. 166 W e call as our next witness a panel of Roy Mason, president of Bomaco, Inc., accompanied by Lewis G. Odom, counsel, f r o m A l a bama; F r e d L i c h t m a n , president, Society of Independent Gasoline Marketers of America, and R. el. Peterson, Independent Gasoline Markets Council. I am g l a d t o welcome you gentlemen here t h i s morning. I f y o u w i l l come up to the witness table and take y o u r positions. I f y o u have anybody accompanying you, please introduce h i m as soon as you have a chance. I believe we have statements f r o m a l l of t h e witnesses. I do not want to impinge on y o u r opportunity to testify and state your case here, b u t we do have a t i m e problem. I am going to call you i n order, M r . Mason, M r . L i c h t m a n and M r . Peterson. A n y t h i n g you can do t o condense your statements, I w o u l d appreciate t h a t and I am sure the committee would. I n any event, your statements w i l l be included i n the record i n t h e i r entirety. STATEMENTS OF ROY MASON, PRESIDENT, ROMACO, INC., ALABAMA; ACCOMPANIED BY LEWIS G. ODOM, COUNSEL, FRED LICHTMAN, PRESIDENT, SOCIETY OF INDEPENDENT GASOLINE MARKETS OF AMERICA; AND R. J. PETERSON, INDEPENDENT GASOLINE MARKETS COUNCIL M r . MASON. I am Roy Mason, president of Romaco, Inc., M o n t gomery, A l a . W i t h me is my counsel and friend, Lewis Odom who is also f r o m Montgomery. I appreciate the o p p o r t u n i t y you are g i v i n g me to participate i n this hearing looking i n t o the crisis i n the o i l industry. I a m an independent marketer. I began m y business almost 20 years ago i n Mobile, Ala., where I operated one service station. I grew slowly, but steadily u n t i l today I now own, operate or supply over 150 independent service stations i n Alabama and the surroundi n g States t o which I distribute 100,000 barrels per m o n t h o r 4.2 m i l l i o n gallons of gasoline. I operated i n m y business as a sole proprietorship u n t i l several years ago when I incorporated as Romaco, Inc. Customarily we picked up our supply a t the pipeline terminals i n Montgomery and B i r m i n g h a m . O u r p r i m a r y source of supply f o r the last 7 years has been C r o w n Central Petroleum Co. However, over the years we have had a number o f opportunities t o leave C r o w n Central and go w i t h other suppliers. However, I recognized m y good relationship w i t h C r o w n Central and we continued w i t h them u n t i l they were forced t o terminate us as o f the 15th of A p r i l . Senator MCINTYRE. T h a t is this year? M r . MASON. Y e s , s i r . P r i o r t o t h a t time, there was a series of reductions by C r o w n Central u n t i l we were finally zeroed last month. W h e n i t became apparent t h a t the independent marketers were i n jeopardy, we began to look f o r alternative sources o f supply. T h i s 167 was about a year ago. Such additional sources t h a t we were able to obtain have cut us off and we are now v i r t u a l l y out of gasoline. I t would take f a r too much o f this committee's t i m e f o r me to catalog every effort I have made over the past year and specifically w i t h i n the last 90 days to obtain gasoline i n order t o save m y business and all those who depend on us, particularly the consumers who were able to buy gasoline at a lower price. Suffice to say, however, t h a t I have talked t o every major o i l company t h a t I could approach, every independent and many crude o i l producers. I have visited w i t h my elected representatives. I have done everything I know to do and t o no avail. I realize t h a t I am not unlike other independents b u t I t h i n k i t is i m p o r t a n t t h a t you know some of the specifics about m y experience t o understand better what confronts them and what i t w i l l take to help us all. The simple fact is t h a t unless a marketer either has a contractual standing w i t h a major o i l company o r a supply of domestic crude oil, there is no way he can get gasoline unless he can buy i t on the black market f r o m m a j o r o i l jobbers. I have i n m y hand a ticket, an i m p o r t license enabling me to i m p o r t over 300,000 barrels of finished product. I t is worthless t o me. Senator MCINTYRE. Where is it? M r . MASON. H e r e . Senator MCINTYRE. W e have talked about those tickets f o r the last 5 years. I have never seen one. M r . MASON. T h i s is a copy. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you. M r . MASON. I n the first place, I do not know one t h i n g about the i m p o r t market and I must rely on others to t e l l me. I am t o l d t h a t gasoline landed i n east coast ports is 21 t o 22 cents a gallon. A f t e r adding the tax o f 12 t o 13 cents plus freight, there is no way we can effectively market this gasoline. Now, unless we can obtain crude oil which w i l l give us something to exchange f o r gasoline, there is l i t t l e t h a t we can do. Therefore, I went about the business o f t r y i n g t o buy some crude oil. I located one source which could make available t o me 10,000 barrels a day at a premium price. T h a t crude o i l is currently being sold, although not under contract, t o a m a j o r o i l company. I n a n effort to w o r k out an exchange of this crude o i l to gasoline, we quickly learned t h a t no one was w i l l i n g t o make an exchange i n v o l v i n g crude o i l t h a t would ultimately be taken away f r o m this major o i l company. T o p u t i t b l u n t l y , at the present t i m e the m a j o r oil companies are v i r t u a l l y i n control of this industry. W i t h l i t t l e exception they cont r o l production, refining and marketing. Unless the independent marketer who does not have a contract w i t h a m a j o r o i l company, can get his hands on some crude oil which is not l i k e l y going t o a major o i l company or, unless the Government can obtain some gaso-. line and distribute i t t o the independents, then the consumer is no longer t o have the option o f b u y i n g his gasoline f r o m an independent marketer. 168 H e is going t o get a f u l l service station, w i t h a l l tihe t r i m m i n g s and expenses whether he wants i t o r not. I m i g h t add t h a t many o f these t r i m m i n g s are being offered by enterprising independents w i t h out the additional charges. I have suggested t w o ways i n w h i c h we may be helped. L e t me discuss the first one—crude oil. A t the present t i m e the U n i t e d States is receiving o r is entitled t o receive approximately 54,000 barrels o f crude o i l as a r o y a l t y on outer continental shelf production. T h i s would produce 40 m i l l i o n gallons of gasoline per month. W e call t h i s royalty oil. A t the moment t h e Secretary o f the I n t e r i o r is authorized t o allocate t h i s royalty o i l t o small business refiners. Unless the small independent markets have some contractual relationship w i t h a refiner, t h i s is o f no help to the marketer. I k n o w of no reason w h y this o i l should be reserved to help t h e refiner and not the marketer. The regulations provide t h a t the small refiner may exchange this crude o i l f o r other o i l t o be used i n his refinery. There is no reason w h y marketers should not be made eligible to purchase royalty o i l so long as they are going t o exchange i t f o r finished products t o be sold by them. Consequently, I suggest t h a t the Secretary of the I n t e r i o r take immediate action t o enable small business marketers t o purchase r o y a l t y o i l upon a showing o f agreement t o exchange the o i l f o r gasoline. There is another source o f crude o i l t h a t could be used to provide gasoline for the independent marketers, that is, foreign crude. I t happens t h a t most of the independent refiners upon w h o m a great m a j o r i t y o f the independent marketers rely f o r t h e i r supply are unable because of the makeup of their refinery t o process foreign crude oil. Most crude o i l has a h i g h content o f sulphur and is commonly k n o w n as sour crude. Most domestic crude has a l o w content o f sulphur and is k n o w n as sweet crude oil. Independent refiners use domestic or sweet crude w h i l e the refiners who can use the sour crude are owned by the major o i l companies. Therefore, licenses t o i m p o r t foreign crude are meaningless to the independent refinery unless they can exchange this crude o i l f o r sweet crude which they can process i n t h e i r refineries. I n the past, such exchanges were made routinely and the independent refiners were able to get by w i t h the exchanged crude o i l w h i c h they could refine now i n t h e i r plants. However, at t h i s t i m e the major o i l companies refuse t o exchange and consequently, -the independents are operating at f a r below t h e i r capacity. Some leverage can be brought by the Government—and should be — t o encourage the majors to exchange w i t h the independents so t h a t some 316,000 barrels a day o f unused refining capacity can be p u t i n operation, and the gasoline made available to the independent marketer and the consuming public. I also have another page here b u t i n the interest of time, I w i l l stop here and allow t h i s to be p u t i n the record. Senator MCINTYRE. I w i l l yield t o the Chairman, Senator Sparkman. 169 The CHAIRMAN. T h a n k you, Senator M c I n t y r e . I k n o w something about the story t h a t M r . Mason has been relating because i t has been r u n n i n g now f o r some time. Y o u said y o u were zeroed i n A p r i l , r i g h t ? M r . MASON. Y e s . The CHAIRMAN. Does that mean cut off completely ? M r . MASON. C u t o f f c o m p l e t e l y . The CHAIRMAN. W h a t happened t o your stations? M r . MASON. I a m closing them at the rate o f about 50 a week. W e closed 58 service stations yesterday p r i o r t o leaving Montgomery, Alabama t o come t o Washington. The CHAIRMAN. I happen to know, Senator M c I n t y r e , t h a t he has made a tremendous effort throughout the country t o get a supply of gasoline. I n fact, I have talked w i t h a number o f the major companies myself. H e has been unable to get supplies. W h y is t h a t some practical method cannot be worked out whereby t h i s crude o i l t h a t you are licensed t o buy—by the way, the ticket t h a t you had, is t h a t f o r foreign crude or domestic crude? M r . MASON. T h a t is not f o r crude oil. They w i l l not issue to me a license f o r crude o i l because I am not a refiner. T h a t is a ticket to i m p o r t finished product. The CHAIRMAN. TO i m p o r t the finished product? M r . MASON. Gasoline. T h e CHAIRMAN. I m p o r t i t f r o m where? M r . MASON. E v e n i f i t were crude oil, I could not do anything w i t h it. I could not get the processor t o refine the 10,000 barrels a day I could buy. The CHAIRMAN. AS a matter o f fact, they d i d have a system, d i d they not, of issuing tickets f o r crude o i l ? M r . MASON. NO, sir. I do not t h i n k they have a system f o r issuing crude o i l tickets to a marketer. I t h i n k that is reserved f o r a refiner. The CHAIRMAN. Sometime back I talked w i t h M r . Simon on this subject. M r . MASON. Yes, sir, but t h a t was i n reference t o t h i s T h e CHAIRMAN. I was t h i n k i n g he t o l d me t h a t the proclamation t h a t he was d r a f t i n g f o r the President t o sign and p r o v i d e — I thought i t was tickets f o r foreign crude which you i n t u r n could take f o r domestic crude. M r . MASON. T h a t d i d not materialize as f a r as we were concerned. As f a r as I am concerned, at any rate, i t d i d not materialize. M r . ODOM. Senator, what he may have had reference t o was a license f o r refiners t o i m p o r t crude, but the difficulty is, as M r . Mason has pointed out i n his statement, the independent refiners who have the excess capacity i n their refining facilities are unable to use foreign crude because o f its h i g h s u l f u r content. So, consequently, the only way they can use t h a t foreign crude is t o exchange i t w i t h someone who has domestic crude o i l t h a t they can p u t into their plant. Now, the major o i l companies pretty well control the domestic crude oil. So, unless they w i l l exchange t h a t domestic crude o i l f o r the foreign crude oil, these tickets even f o r crude o i l are just worthless. 170 T h e CHAIRMAN. I t h i n k t h a t is i n l i n e w i t h w h a t I understood i t t o be. I may say, Senator M c I n t y r e , as you know, M r . Odom was f o r 7 years the staff director o f this committee. Senator MCINTYRE. I never recognized h i m w i t h his glasses on. T h e CHAIRMAN. W h e n you reach a certain stage, y o u take on an appearance o f anonymity. M r . ODOM. I t is m y long hair, Senator. T h e CHAIRMAN. YOU know, too, t h a t he was staff director o f the S m a l l Business Committee. Senator MCINTYRE. I worked w i t h h i m and h a d a h i g h regard f o r M r . Odom. I expect h i m t o be back as a Congressman some day. T h e CHAIRMAN. H e was m y administrative assistant f o r several years. Senator MCINTYRE. A n d t h a t is enough t o recommend h i m there. T h e CHAIRMAN. DO you have any practical suggestions as to how we could do something to help this situation. M r . MASON. TO help me, some emergency situation is g o i n g t o have t o be developed w i t h i n the next few days. I a m out o f business. The CHAIRMAN. I know. B u t what, and how? M r . MASON. I f I could be made available this crude o i l t h a t the Government owns, this royalty crude t h a t they are receiving f r o m the m a j o r o i l companies f o r h a v i n g d r i l l e d i n the shelf out there— as I understand i t now, the major o i l companies are g i v i n g the Government money and they are refining this oil and using i t themselves. B u t t h i s is 54,000 barrels a day w h i c h on a 66 percent r e t u r n on crude oil-gasoline after i t is refined could produce 40 m i l l i o n gallons a month f o r d i s t r i b u t i o n t o independents. T h e CHAIRMAN. YOU are t a l k i n g about o i l d r i l l i n g on the Continental Shelf? M r . MASON. Y e s . The CHAIRMAN. Done by the Government or under contract w i t h the companies f r o m the Government? M r . MASON. B y major o i l companies under contracts w i t h the Federal Government. T h e CHAIRMAN. A n d the Federal Government has the r i g h t t o let them pay t h a t i n cash o r i n royalty oil, is t h a t r i g h t ? M r . MASON. Y e s , s i r . T h e CHAIRMAN. Y o u r suggestion is t h a t the Government take i t i n royalty o i l and make i t available t o whom ? M r . MASON. TO m e . T h e CHAIRMAN. IS M r . MASON. I w i l l t h a t gasoline or is t h a t crude o i l ? take the crude o i l and get i t refined. I have a refinery t h a t w i l l take the crude o i l and refine i t a n d give me back the gasoline. The CHAIRMAN. W h a t is t o prevent the Government f r o m d o i n g it? W h o does that, the Department o f the I n t e r i o r ? M r . MASON. T h e Department o f the I n t e r i o r . T h e CHAIRMAN. IS there any reason w h y they should not be able to do t h a t on a reasonable basis? M r . MASON. NO, sir, I see no reason at all. T h e CHAIRMAN. M r . Chairman, t h a t m i g h t be a suggestion. 171 Senator MCINTYRE. V e r y definitely. M r . Simon w i l l be here Thursday and we w i l l ask h i m i n detail as t o w h y he cannot do that. A r e you unique, are you just one t h a t i t zeroed ? M r . MASON. NO, I am not unique. There are others t h a t have been cut completely out. Senator MCINTYRE. A r e there any others i n Alabama ? The CHAIRMAN. I t h i n k he had Alabama wrapped up. M r . MASON. There are some i n Alabama, some o f the people who were supplied along w i t h me by C r o w n Central when they had t o zero everybody out. The CHAIRMAN. B y the way, what happened t o C r o w n Central, were they zeroed, too ? M r . MASON. O n crude o i l they were. The m a j o r o i l companies cut them off on the back side, cut the crude o i l off. C r o w n Central is an independent refiner. They do not o w n much crude oil. They had depended f o r years on b u y i n g t h e i r crude o i l f r o m m a j o r o i l producers. The CHAIRMAN. W h a t are they doing now? M r . MASON. They are doing the best they can, Senator, just k i n d of c r i p p l i n g along. Really and t r u l y , I do not lmow what they are doing. I t h i n k they are doing just the best they can. Senator MCINTYRE. Senator Johnston. Senator JOHNSTON. YOU mean Crown Central, a refiner, when we are i n as much need and have as b i g a shortage as we do having refining capacity, they cannot get crude? M r . MASON. NO, sir, t h a t is r i g h t . M r . ODOM. T h e reason f o r t h a t is they can only refine domestic crude oil, the sweet crude. Senator JOHNSTON. Can't they convert? M r . ODOM. I n the past when they got these tickets f o r crude oil, they could exchange i t w i t h the majors, and the majors would i m p o r t the foreign crude and refine i t i n t h e i r refineries, where they could use i t and the domestic crude would go to the independent refineries, such as C r o w n Central. B u t the majors w i l l not exchange i t any more. They say we can use all the domestic crude o i l we have got and we do not have any to exchange w i t h you. So, we can i m p o r t the crude oil, but the refiners are not geared u p t o use i t . Senator JOHNSTON. I t is economically nonfeasible f o r h i m to convert t o sour crude? M r . MASON. W e are t a l k i n g about a year or 2 years to do this, and the reason—I m i g h t interject is this, the reason t h a t the majors are a l i t t l e b i t u n w i l l i n g t o exchange those tickets and take foreign crude and relieve the sour crude is the fact t h a t there is a difference i n the price. The domestic price is lower than the foreign price. Senator JOHNSTON. D i d I understand you to say t h a t unless you have a contract or a supply o f domestic crude, t h a t there is no way f o r you to get the gasoline ? M r . MASON. There is not any way whatsoever t o get gasoline a t this time. 96-183 O - 73 - 12 172 Senator JOHNSTON. Does t h a t apply t o a l l the other independents as well ? M r . MASON. I am not sure I understand all t h e ramifications of a l l the other independents, b u t I w i l l speak f o r a good m a j o r i t y o f the independents i n the areas where I operate. They are i n the same shape; yes, sir. Senator JOHNSTON. A l l those w h o have contracts, those contracts w i l l expire I a m sure f a i r l y soon. M r . MASON. They usually r u n on a yearly basis. One o f the b i g things is everybody I have talked t o majors and independents alike, and everything t h a t has a supply o f gasoline has the same story, they say we w i l l not take on any new customers. Senator JOHNSTON. Those t h a t they have already got, those who are on a yearly contract and those contracts are g o i n g to expire i n December, w i l l they renew those contracts w i t h those individuals? M r . MASON. I have no knowledge o f whether they w i l l o r not. Senator JOHNSTON. YOU say there is no way to sell i m p o r t e d gas because y o u w o u l d have t o pay 21 cents f o r i t at the p o r t o f embarkation, is t h a t r i g h t ? M r . MASON. Y e s . Senator JOHNSTON. Y o u can get refined products, you can i m p o r t it? M r . MASON. I have not been able to get any. I have got a ticket t o i m p o r t i t , b u t I have not been able t o f i n d any t h a t was f o r sale f o r me. Senator JOHNSTON. Y o u cannot find any refined product t o buy ? M r . MASON. NO, sir. N o t imported product. There is some gasoline being sold, imported gasoline being sold i n the New Y o r k H a r b o r f o r 24 and 25 cents. T h i s was reported t o me. I d i d n o t see the sales slip, but this was reported to me. Senator JOHNSTON. W h o is r e p o r t i n g that? M r . MASON. I do n o t know. T h i s i n f o r m a t i o n came t o me f r o m a broker whom I contacted at Houston, Tex. Senator JOHNSTON. HOW much w o u l d i t cost you t o buy gasoline f r o m a refiner? M r . MASON. A b o u t 14.5 cents. Senator JOHNSTON. AS opposed t o 21 t o 24 cents i f you bought i t f r o m a broker i n New Y o r k ? M r . MASON. Y e s , s i r . I t h i n k you w o u l d liken this t o a hurricane, h i t t i n g the G u l f coast and a r u n being made on the available grocers i n the area. The grocer could charge any price he w o u l d want because o f the f r a n t i c situation t h a t he would be i n at t h a t time. I w o u l d liken this situation t o t h a t as an analogy o f how t h i s looks. Senator JOHNSTON. T h a n k you very much. Senator MCINTYRE. I had never realized—is i t true t h a t most o f the independent refiners are not as sophisticated as the t y p e I saw out i n Bellingham, Wash, several weeks ago, Arco's p l a n t out there? They were h a n d l i n g s u l f u r content o f 5 percent at the time. M r . ODOM. I do not pretend t o be an expert on i t . Some of these gentlemen t h a t f o l l o w M r . Mason may be. M y i n f o r m a t i o n f r o m dis- 173 cussing t h i s w i t h one o f the m a j o r independent refiners' is t h a t most of the independents are simply not geared up to handle crude o i l w i t h a h i g h content o f sulfur. T h a t is just a general statement, b u t I t h i n k i t is a f a i r and accurate statement. Senator MCINTYRE. I would just l i k e t o give the committee a l i t t l e idea of the type o f contract clause t h a t is currently being issued— this happens t o be an example, i t is n o t meant t o i n any way downgrade Texaco—and I w i l l just read the first line o f t h i s clause and I w i l l insert the balance i n the record. T h i s is the type o f contract being signed today : I n t h e event seller's c a p a c i t y to p e r f o r m as to a l l o r some of i t s customers, i n c l u d i n g buyer, as to a l l o r any of the products covered by t h i s agreement, becomes i m p r a c t i c a b l e i n seller's sole j u d g m e n t f o r a n y reason whatsoever, seller s h a l l be relieved of i t s o b l i g a t i o n to p e r f o r m here-under a n d s h a l l n o t be l i a b l e f o r damage or o t h e r w i s e obligated t o buyer by reason o f any delay or non-delivery i n w h o l e or i n p a r t . The rest we w i l l p u t i n the record. [The information follows:] I n t h e event Seller's capacity to p e r f o r m as to a l l o r some of i t s customers, i n c l u d i n g B u y e r , as to a l l o r any of the products covered by t h i s agreement, becomes i m p r a c t i c a b l e , i n S e l l e r s sole j u d g m e n t , f o r any reason whatsoever, Seller s h a l l n o t be relieved of i t s o b l i g a t i o n t o p e r f o r m hereunder a n d s h a l l n o t be l i a b l e f o r damages or o t h e r w i s e obligated t o B u y e r by reason of any delay or non-delivery i n w h o l e or i n p a r t . Seller s h a l l seasonably n o t i f y B u y e r i n w r i t i n g o f i t s l a c k of capacity to p e r f o r m by m a i l addressed t o B u y e r . I n such n o t i fication Seller s h a l l advise B u y e r the quantities, i f a n y , Seller w i l l be able t o supply B u y e r i n the foreseeable f u t u r e . B u y e r s h a l l be obligated t o purchase such reduced q u a n t i t i e s w h e r e Seller has advised B u y e r t h a t such reduced q u a n t i t i e s are a v a i l a b l e unless B u y e r w i t h i n a reasonable t i m e notifies Seller t h a t i t desires t o t e r m i n a t e t h i s agreement i n w h i c h event such agreement s h a l l thereupon t e r m i n a t e . N o t h i n g h e r e i n s h a l l be construed to e x t e n d t h e c o n t r a c t I>eriod beyond the t e r m p r o v i d e d f o r i n t h i s agreement o r t o relieve e i t h e r p a r t y of i t s o b l i g a t i o n to pay, when due, any amounts w h i c h have accrued hereunder or p u r s u a n t hereto. Senator JOHNSTON. I have one question. H o w would you distribute this 40 m i l l i o n barrels of gasoline a month i f we made i t available to the independents? B y b i d o r what? M r . MASON. B y history, the history, the way i t has been handled i n the past, the history o f the market. M r . ODOM. Senator, let me respond t o that. I n other words, each marketer, w i l l have developed over a period o f t i m e a history of how much he has been m a r k e t i n g and t h a t would establish h i m w i t h i n the i n d u s t r y at some percentage. Then he could make application f o r the royalty o i l upon a showing t h a t he had an exchange agreement f o r gasoline based on the history. H e would have to show just exactly how much gasoline he had marketed over the past 3, 5, o r 7 years, whatever was decided upon by the administrative agency. H e w o u l d make application t o purchase the royalty oil. Senator JOHNSTON. A t w h a t price? M r . ODOM. I suppose i t would be the price set by the Secretary o f the I n t e r i o r , which is established by the market. They have a daily price. W e have i n f o r m a t i o n we could p u t i n the record that shows the daily price t h a t the majors pay the Government f o r this royalty 174 oil. So, the Government then could take the r o y a l t y o i l i n k i n d and then sell i t f o r the price they w o u l d otherwise get f o r i t . Senator JOHNSTON. HOW d o they establish t h a t d a i l y price? M r . ODOM. I do not know, sir. I j u s t do not know. Senator JOHNSTON. T h a n k you. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a t is a good question t o ask M r . Simon. M r . Mason, one last question. O n A p r i l 15 you were operating 150 independent stations i n the State of Alabama ? M r . MASON. NO, sir. I had d w i n d l e d away because we h a d been p u t o n allocation over a period o f time. W e were cut off by C r o w n Central i n Montgomery, A l a . because they had an exchange w i t h a m a j o r o i l company who had cut them off. They were cut off and they consequently had t o cut me off because i t was on an exchange where they were t a k i n g crude i n one place and selling me gas i n another place. Senator MCINTYRE. HOW many outlets do you have operating today? M r . MASON. They are all r u n n i n g out o f gas but I w o u l d 9ay about 45. Senator MCINTYRE. None w i t h any gasoline? M r . MASON. They have some gasoline i n t h e i r stores. [ T h e complete statement of M r . Mason f o l l o w s : ] STATEMENT OF R O Y MASON, PRESIDENT, ROMACO, INC., MONTGOMERY, ALA. I a m R o y Mason, President o f Romaco, Inc., M o n t g o m e r y , A l a b a m a . W i t h m e is m y counsel a n d f r i e n d L e w i s Odom, w h o i s also f r o m M o n t g o m e r y . I appreciate the o p p o r t u n i t y y o u are g i v i n g m e to p a r t i c i p a t e i n t h i s h e a r i n g l o o k i n g i n t o the crisis i n the o i l i n d u s t r y . I a m a n independent m a r k e t e r . I l>egan m y business a l m o s t 20 years ago i n Mobile, A l a b a m a , where I operated one service s t a t i o n . I g r e w s l o w l y , b u t s t e a d i l y u n t i l today w h e n I n o w own. operate o r supply over 150 independent s t a t i o n s i n A l a b a m a a n d the s u r r o u n d i n g states. I operated m y business as a sole p r o p r i e t o r s h i p u n t i l several years ago w h e n I i n c o r p o r a t e d as Romaco, I n c . C u s t o m a r i l y , w e p i c k e d u p o u r supply a t t h e p i p e l i n e t e r m i n a l s i n M o n t gomery a n d B i r m i n g h a m . O u r p r i m a r y source o f s u p p l y f o r the l a s t seven years has been C r o w n C e n t r a l P e t r o l e u m Company. H o w e v e r , over the years we have h a d a n u m b e r of o p p o r t u n i t i e s t o leave C r o w n C e n t r a l a n d t o go w i t h o t h e r suppliers. H o w e v e r , I recognized m y r e l a t i o n s h i p w i t h C r o w n C e n t r a l a n d we c o n t i n u e d w i t h t h e m u n t i l they were f o r c e d t o t e r m i n a t e u s t h e 15th o f A p r i l . P r i o r t o t h a t time, t h e r e was a series o f reductions b y C r o w n C e n t r a l u n t i l we were finally zeroed l a s t m o n t h . W h e n i t became apparent t h a t independent m a r k e t e r s w e r e i n j e o p a r d y , w e began t o look f o r a l t e r n a t i v e sources o f supply. T h i s was a b o u t a y e a r ago. Such a d d i t i o n a l sources t h a t wTe were able t o o b t a i n h a v e c u t u s off a n d w e a r e v i r t u a l l y o u t of gas. I t w o u l d t a k e f a r too m u c h o f t h i s committee's t i m e f o r me t o catalogue every e f f o r t I have made over t h e past y e a r a n d specifically w i t h i n t h e l a s t n i n e t y d a y s t o o b t a i n gasoline i n o r d e r t o save m y business a n d a l l those w h o depend upon us, p a r t i c u l a r l y t h e consumers w h o wTere able t o buy gasol i n e a t a l o w e r price. Suffice i t t o say, v however, t h a t I t a l k e d t o every m a j o r o i l company t h a t I could approach, every independent a n d m a n y c r u d e o i l producers. I h a v e v i s i t e d w i t h m y elected representatives. I h a v e done e v e r y t h i n g I k n o w t o do, t o no a v a i l . I realize t h a t I a m n o t u n l i k e o t h e r independents, b u t I t h i n k i t i s i m p o r t a n t t h a t y o u k n o w some o f the s])ecifics about m y experience t o unders t a n d b e t t e r w h a t confronts t h e m a n d w h a t i t w i l l t a k e t o help a l l o f us. T h e simple f a c t is, t h a t lnless a m a r k e t e r e i t h e r has a c o n t r a c t u a l s t a n d i n g w i t h a m a j o r o i l company, o r a supply o f domestic c r u d e oil, t h e r e i s n o w a y 175 he can get gasoline unless he can buy i t on the black market f r o m m a j o r o i l jobbers. I have i n my hand a ticket, an i m p o r t license, enabling me t o i m p o r t over 300,000 barrels of finished product. I t is worthless to me. I n the first place. I do not k n o w a n y t h i n g about the i m p o r t market and I must rely upon w h a t others t e l l me. I a m t o l d -that gasoline landed i n east coast ports is 21 to 22$ a gallon. A f t e r adding t h e t a x o f 12 to plus freight, there is no way we can market this gasoline. Unless we can obtain crude o i l which w i l l give us something to exchange f o r gasoline, there is l i t t l e we can do. Therefore, I sought abouit the business of t r y i n g to buy some crude oil. I located one source wlbich could make available to me 10,000 barrels a day a t a p r e m i u m price. Crude o i l is c u r r e n t l y being sold, although not under contract, t o a m a j o r o i l company. I n a n effort to w o r k out an exchange of this crude o i l f o r gasoline, we quickly learned t h a t no one was w i l l i n g to make an exchange i n v o l v i n g crude o i l t h a t would u l t i m a t e l y be taken away f r o m this m a j o r company. To p u t i t bluntly, at the present time, t h e m a j o r o i l companies are i n v i r t u a l control of this industry. W i t h l i t t l e exception, they control production, refining and marketing. Unless the independent marketer who does not have a contract w i t h a m a j o r oil company can get his hands on some crude oil which is not already going to a m a j o r o i l company, or unless the Government can obtain some gasoline and distribute i t to the independents, then the consumer is no longer to have the option of buying his gasoline f r o m an independent marketer. H e is going to get a " f u l l service s t a t i o n " w i t h a l l the t r i m m i n g s and expenses whether he wants i t or not. A n d I m i g h t add, t h a t many of these t r i m m i n g s are being offered by enterprising independents w i t h o u t the additional expense. I have suggested t w o wiays i n which we may be helped. L e t me discuss the first one—crude oil. A t the present time, the United States is receiving or is entitled to receive approximately 54,000 b / d of crude oil as a royalty on outer continental shelf production 40 m i l l i o n gallons of gas per month. We call this royalty oil. A t the moment, the Secretary of the I n t e r i o r i s authorized to allocate t h i s royalty o i l to small business refiners. Unless the small independent marketers has some contractual relationship w i t h such refiner, t h i s is o f no help to the marketer. I know of no reason why this oil should be reserved to help the refiner and not the marketer. The regulations provide t h a t t h e s m a l l refiner may exchange this crude oil f o r other crude o i l t o be used i n his refinery. There is no reason why marketers should not be made eligible to purchase royalty o i l so long as they are going to exchange i t f o r finished product to be sold by them. Consequently, I suggest t h a t the Secretary of t h e I n t e r i o r take immediate action t o enable s m a l l business marketers to purchase r o y a l t y o i l upon a showi n g o f an agreement to exchange the o i l f o r gasoline. There is another source of crude oil t h a t could be used to provide gasoline f o r the independent marketer, t h a t is, foreign crude. I t happens t h a t most of the independent refiners, upon whom a great m a j o r i t y of the independent marketers rely f o r t l i e i r supply, are unable because o f the make-up of t h e i r refinery to process foreign crude oil. Most foreign crude o i l has a high content of sulphur and is commonly k n o w n as sour crude. Most domest crude oil has a l o w content of s u l p h u r and is k n o w n as sweet crude oil. Independent refiners use domestic or sweet crude w h i l e the refineries t h a t can use the sour crude are owned by the majors. Therefore, licenses to i m p o r t f o r i g n crude o i l are meaningless t o the independent refiners unless they can exchange this crude oil f o r sweet crude which they can process i n their refineries. I n the past, such exchanges were made routinely a n d the independent refiners were able to get by exchange crude o i l which they could refine i n t h e i r own plants. However, a t t h i s time, the m a j o r o i l comi)anies refuse to exchange and, consequently, the independents are operating a t f a r below capacity. Some leverage can be brought by the government—and ought to—to encourage the majors to exchange w i t h the independents so t h a t the some 310,000 b / d of t h e i r unused refining capacity can be p u t i n operation, and the gasoline made available to t h e independent marketer and the consuming public. Now I w o u l d l i k e to t u r n to another alternative available to the Government, t h a t is, the allocation of resources. Under the Economic Stabilization Act, I understand t h a t the President is authorized to allocate petroleum products. Therefore, I would hope t h a t the President would take immediate action to provide some k i n d of pooling through the Government sources so t h a t gasoline 176 w o u l d be a v a i l a b l e t o t h e independent m a r k e t e r . T h e r e a r e a n u m b e r o f ways, of course, t h a t t h i s c o u l d be accomplished. T h e S m a l l Business A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , or some Government agency, could establish a pool b y purchase a n d supply eligible marketers t h r o u g h e x i s t i n g pipelines. I n a d d i t i o n , we, a n d other marketers. I a m sure, i n o u r s i t u a t i o n , need some assistance i n u t i l i z i n g i m p o r t licenses. Someone, w h e t h e r on the o i l a n d gas b o a r d or, perhaps, the S m a l l Business A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , s h o u l d be assigned t h e responsibility o f w o r k i n g w i t h s m a l l m a r k e t e r s such as m y s e l f i n a r r a n g i n g a w a y , i f there i s one, by w h i c h we can u t i l i z e o u r i m p o r t licenses i n o r d e r t o stay i n business a n d to continue t o offer a l o w e r price. W e believe t h a t we h a v e g r e a t l y influenced the p u r c h a s i n g practices o f t h e consuming public i n A l a b a m a a n d our s u r r o u n d i n g area, a n d w e t h i n k t h i s has been good. W e have pushed t h e self-service stations w h i c h enable t h e automobile o w n e r to w a i t on h i m s e l f i f he w a n t s to. B y d o i n g so, a n d by i n t r o d u c i n g as efficient a n operations as possible, we have been able t o sell gasoline t o t h e consumer a t a considerable savings. O u r m a j o r o i l company competitors h a v e f e l t t h i s competition, a n d they have moved t o meet i t by i n t r o d u c i n g selfservice f a c i l i t i e s o f t h e i r own. H ^ v e v e r , we can h a n d l e the c o m p e t i t i o n as we come to i t a n d w e believe we w i l l be sufficiently i n n o v a t i v e a n d flexible i n o u r decision m a k i n g to continue a prosperous business. H o w e v e r , we can n o t do so i f our source o f supply i s suddenly t a k e n a w a y f r o m us. T h i s i s t h r o u g h n o f a u l t o f ours. I t i s a f a i l u r e o f the d i s t r i b u t i o n system o f t h e i n d u s t r y i t s e l f a n d one t h a t only Government can handle. W e appreciate y o u r interest i n our behalf a n d we w i s h t o t h a n k y o u a g a i n f o r the o p p o r t u n i t y o f appearing before you. Senator MCINTYRE. W e w i l l move on now to M r . F r e d L i c h t m a n , president o f the Society o f Independent Gasoline Marketers o f America. STATEMENT OF FREDERICK LICHTMAN, PRESIDENT, SOCIETY OF INDEPENDENT GASOLINE MARKETERS OF AMERICA M r . LICHTMAN. I w i l l eliminate the introduction i n the interest of time and just tell you that S I G M A is a trade association representing 210 private brand marketing companies which operate approximately 20,000 service stations i n the U n i t e d States. S I G M A member companies are small businesses but they employ thousands o f people, pay substantial State and Federal taxes on their sales, and, p r i o r t o recent outbacks i n available supply, marketed i n excess o f 18 b i l l i o n gallons of gasoline per year. I n recent weeks you have read i n the press and undoubtedly heard f r o m your private brand gasoline marketer constituents t h a t individual companies i n several States are suddenly threatened w i t h bankruptcy o r substantial economic loss because they have been denied access t o their historic share of available supply by the private brand segment of the industry. Available data indicates the situation is g r o w i n g more serious w i t h each passing day and statistics v a l i d today are obsolete tomorrow. I t is a tangible fact that independent gasoline retailers have been forced to close t h e i r stations or operate on substantially reduced schedules of service to the consuming public. I f relief is not obtained soon, a substantial number o f private brand gasoline marketers w i l l be forced out of business, thereby reducing the only competitive force i n gasoline marketing. W e hope t h a t this committee, after development of the facts, as you propose to do i n these hearings, w i l l lend its support to immediate legislative and executive branch action to achieve, i n the short term, 177 the result necessary to preserve the independent private brand segment of the industry. A way must be f o u n d immediately to f a i r l y spread the burden of the present shortage between the integrated major brand companies and the independent private brand segment. The present situation where the majors take all they have or a l l they need and cut off supplies to independents cannot be tolerated. I t is not the public interest or i n the interest of the i n d i v i d u a l consumer. T i m e does not p e r m i t consideration of all of the problems currently threatening the private brand gasoline marketer, but we would like to take this opportunity to present to you, i n abbreviated f o r m , our views on what should and must be done. (1) T o deal w i t h the immediate supply problem refineries should be obligated to allocate to independent private brand marketers of gasoline that percentage of their production t h a t was sold to the independent private brand segment d u r i n g a most recent normal market period. I n this connection Senator Saxbe has introduced S. 1599. S I G M A f u l l y supports the objectives of S. 1599 and w i l l have some suggestions at the appropriate time on its improvement. S I G M A strongly urges t h a t this b i l l be assigned f o r early hearings and action by Congress. (2) W h i l e there are some elements of encouragement i n the President's recently announced new energy program and modification of the oil i m p o r t control program, those benefits, i f any, to the independent private brand segment w i l l be available only i n the longer term. None of the o i l i m p o r t control program modifications recently announced w i l l provide meaningful early assistance to the private brand marketing segment unless there are f u r t h e r amendments. I n this connection i t is essential that independent gasoline marketers be given the sole authority to i m p o r t finished petroleum products and the i m p o r t program should be modified accordingly. I n order to insure t h a t independent marketers who do not have access to imported products have access to supply, i t is also necessary that the i m p o r t program be modified to provide f o r mandatory exchange of i m p o r t licenses granted to midcontinent independent refiners. (3) W h i l e we f u l l y support the administration's efforts to control inflationary trends w i t h i n our escalating economy, we nevertheless feel t h a t the Cost, of L i v i n g Council must permit the major oil company refiners, now operating under special price constraints, to reflect cost increases incurred i n the production of finished product. The economic stabilization program must not be permitted to become a disincentive f o r sales by major refineries to the independent marketi n g segment of the industry. (4) W e indorse f u l l y and applaud the voluntary fuel conservation prograirt outlined by Secretary of the I n t e r i o r M o r t o n i n his testimony before the Senate I n t e r i o r and Insular A f f a i r s Committee on M a y 1. Unquestionably part of the solution of the gasoline supply problem lies i n the easing of the total demand picture which can be achieved t h r o u g h considerate and intelligent use of available resources. S I G M A members w i l l cooperate f u l l y i n the implementation of these suggestions. W h i l e the above suggestions relate to the short-term aspects of the problem we face, there are some actions which we recommend and 178 support w h i c h should be considered now and which w i l l provide protection to the independent segment of the petroleum industry i n f u ture years. (1) W e strongly favor, f o r example, reasonable incentives f o r the construction of needed new refinery capacity, b u t we believe t h a t the p r o g r a m should not be structured so as to apply exclusively to the major integrated oil companies. Independent refiners to whom the independent m a r k e t i n g segment has historically looked f o r a p o r t i o n of its product requirements, should also have the chance to expand capacity. T o enable independent refiners to obtain long-term financing f o r refinery construct i o n and operation the i m p o r t allocation f o r new refineries should be increased f r o m 75 to 100 percent and the t e r m of such i m p o r t s extended f r o m 5 to 10 years. T h i s is the only way p a r t i c i p a t i o n b y independent refiners w i l l become a reality, and i t is only i n the expansion of the independent refining segment of the industry that we find reasonable assurance f o r the oontinued v i a b i l i t y o f the independent private brand gasoline marketer. (2) W e believe the Federal Government should take a more affirmative position to assist the early acquisition and environmental clearance of new refinery f a c i l i t y sites. The already long leadtimes inherent i n refinery construction are becoming unbearable i n the face o f the present supply-demand picture and w i t h o u t Federal leadership a reduction of those delays does not appeal* likely. (3) S I G M A strongly supports an early start of construction of a pipeline f r o m the Alaskan N o r t h Slope supply sources. The necessary decisions as to route and other implementing actions should be taken w i t h a m i n i m u m of delay. (4) W e support the recommendations i n the President's recent energy message on the expansion of research and development activities i n the area of fossil fuels and agree t h a t public utilities should be encouraged to utilize coal as an energy source. Federal f u n d i n g support f o r research necessary to achieve increased fossil fuel utilizat i o n is w o r t h y of congressional support. Y o u w i l l learn more i n the course of these hearings t h a n we presently know about the reasons f o r the present supply shortage, its legitimacy and whether i t is being used as an anticompetitive device by major petroleum interests to eliminate the independent private brand retailer f r o m the marketplace. O n the basis of what is happening to our members, the circumstances surrounding termination of historic supply relationships, the continual expansion of secondary brand activity by m a j o r o i l companies—these and a host of other circumstances make us very suspicious t h a t an unreasonable share of the economic burden of shortage is borne by our segment of the industry. A s small businessmen, S I G M A members are relatively defenseless i n the face of this threat and can only look to the authority of Government to provide protection f r o m competitive extinction. W e urge t h a t this committee f u l l y support early implementation of those measures suggested as potentially responsive to our immediate problems, as well as those addressed to the longer term to which we aspire to survive. A g a i n I express m y appreciation f o r the o p p o r t u n i t y to express the views of our members. Senator MCINTYRE. W e w i l l call now on M r . R. J . Peterson. 179 STATEMENT OF R. J. PETERSON, INDEPENDENT MARKETERS COTTNCIL GASOLINE M r . PETERSON. M r . Chairman and members of the committee. I am chairman of the board of M a r t i n O i l Service, Inc., i n Chicago, 111. I am also a f o u n d i n g member of the Independent Gasoline Marketers Council. M y brief statement here today is submitted on behalf of that council. I would like to interject here that my statement is also made on the assumption that you gentlemen have been reading the newspapers, as all of us have, and that you are indeed aware t h a t there is an acute shortage of gasoline, particuliarlv as f a r as the independent marketer is concerned. W i l l i a m E . Simon, the chairman of the O i l Policy Committee, has stated that this administration is reluctant to inject governmental regulations and controls into private industry or to take any steps t h a t would discourage private initiatives. Other spokesmen f o r this administration h a w similarly affirmed theiir f a i t h i n free enterprise. Indeed, Secretary Shulitz has long been recognized as an advocate of the social benefits of competition and the social perils of Government interference. W i t h regard to the energy crisis, and national oil policy, the general view seems to prevail i n this administration that, i f the Government would just back off, the shortages and deficiencies w i l l gradually disappear. The new oil i m p o r t control system is a case i n point. The new system allows anyone to i m p o r t anything so long as he is w i l l i n g to pay a fee, and i t allows certain participants, mainly refiners, to i m p o r t l i m i t e d amounts w i t h o u t any fee. This system has been put forw a r d on the theory that it w i l l increase flexibility i n the short-term and assure long-term freedom of action in the private sector. The idea is not to impede the great American oil industry, but rather to rely upon its responsiveness to the needs of the Nation. I n a nutshell, the new policy says, let us push up the prices of crude o i l and finished products so that increased output w i l l be stimulated. Then, i n 4 to 7 years, when adequate supplies have been restored competition w i l l protect the consumer. Against these observations, let me raise a douibt. H o w can you push prices up to stimulate a free enterprise reaction when the conditions of free enterprise are indeed lacking? I t is all well and good f o r the policymakers to proclaim their devotion to free enterprise. I include myself among such devotees. B u t , the underlying, structural, economic conditions of free enterprise do not. exifct i n the o i l industry and the reaction to freedom may be to monopolize markets rather than to increase output. Control rather than competition may be the consequence of the new policy. The fundamental fact t h a t must be understood is the fact of vertical integration. I specifically refer to those instances i n which a single business house enjoys the tax advantages of percentage depletion and foreign tax credits and enjoys the economic power of raw materials control t h r o u g h the ownership of crude reserves and gathering and shipping pipelines. 180 Vertical integration of that type distinguishes the o i l i n d u s t r y f r o m a i l other major industries, i n degree i f not i n kind. Such vertical integration is the source of economic power i n the o i l industry. I t is also the source of the private law t h a t now suddenly governs the gasoline and fuel o i l markets. I t must be understood f o r what i t is, i f governmental authority is to be exercised i n the public interest. Because of vertical integration, whenever the Government seeks to avoid i n t e r f e r i n g w i t h the o i l industry, i t is not thereby automatically preserving free enterprise and private initiative. Instead such avoidance is more likely to allow the dictates of private interest to prevail over the public good. Hence, private rulemaking rather t h a n public l a w now governs the marketplace. The forms of private rulemaking are obvious. Most of the f u l l y integrated oil companies, w i t h refining facilities and adequate supplies of crude oil, have adopted internal programs of allocation. W i t h regard t o both crude and finished oils, they refuse t o deal w i t h some, they curtail their dealings w i t h others and they accommodate t h e i r own as f u l l y as possible. Such rulemaking and preferential dealings are, i n effect, p r i v a t e laws. They have the collective impact of a statute on the marketplace. Consequently, at the present time, gasoline is flowing at near 1972 levels t h r o u g h integrated distribution channels. T o the contrary, gasoline is flowing t h r o u g h nonintegrated, independent m a r k e t i n g channels at the rate of about one-quarter to one-half of the 1972 levels. The independent gasoline marketer is bearing a disproportionate share of the shortage. Hence the independent gasoline marketer does not now exist as an effective competitor. Indeed, its continued existence may be measured i n months, unless the trends i n effect are redirected. We must realize t h a t there is no reason i n free enterprise theory f o r a f u l l y integrated refiner to voluntarily share his products w i t h an independent marketer who is also his competitor at retail. Hence, the only power on earth that w i l l redirect the flow of gasoline into independent marketing channels is the power of Government. Past policies of the U n i t e d States have so strongly favored and encouraged the complete downstream integration of major companies i n the oil industry, starting f r o m the fountainhead of crude o i l ownership and pipeline ownership, that, at a time when there are shortages of supply and deficiencies of p r o d u c t i v i t y , w i t h h o l d i n g governmental controls upon supply, distribution and price is, i n reality, the abandonment of the public interest i n favor of the private interest. Instead of leaving the field i n the name of free enterprise, the Government should rather enter the field i n the name of free enterprise. The Government should say p l a i n l y and clearly f o r all to hear: The independent, private-brand, price-discount marketers of gasoline and the independent refiners who must purchase f o r cash most of t h e i r feedstocks, constitute a national asset. Collectively, they are the true competitors in the marketplace. W i t h o u t them, the consumi n g public would be at the mercy of monopolistic forces i n the o i l industry. 181 Senator MCINTYRE. T h e consuming public, I am a p a r t of the consuming public. I always thought that Texaco competed w i t h A r c o and t h a t Arco competed w i t h E x x o n . W h y do we have t o have these i n d i v i d u a l p r i v a t e b r a n d s — I have never gone near them. I always believed they were i n f e r i o r gasoline. M r . PETERSON. D i d y o u believe that? Senator MCINTYRE. I am asking you. M r . PETERSON. I f you believed i t , you are subject t o the o n l y k i n d o f competition t h a t they practice, and t h a t is the practice o f national advertising, image advertising, credit card promotion, large expensive corner locations, a n d the belief t h a t because they are the biggest t h a t they must be the best. T h a t is not necessarily true. Senator MCINTYRE. D o n ' t they compete w i t h one another? M r . PETERSON. O n t h a t basis they do—on the basis of credit cards, o n the basis o f location. B u t w i t h o u t the independent factor, the m a j o r o i l company levels o f m a r k e t i n g w i l l f o l l o w the suggested retail price generally speaking o f the market leader i n any given area. M r . ODOM. L e t me respond t o t h a t , because t h a t is a very legitimate question. A s a consumer, i n m y t o w n o f Montgomery, Ala., the m a r k e t i n g price there is very, very vigorous between the independent marketers, the p r i v a t e b r a n d marketers and the m a j o r companies. People d r i v i n g p i c k u p trucks and people d r i v i n g Cadillacs drive up t o convenient stores and serve themselves gasoline f r o m the tanks at t h e convenience store at a savings t o themselves. B y t h e i r o w n experience they k n o w t h a t the gasoline they are g e t t i n g either f r o m t h a t convenience store o r f r o m some other p r i v a t e b r a n d marketer d o w n the street is o f the same grade and the same quality as the gasoline they are b u y i n g f r o m a m a j o r o i l company. The only t h i n g is they may not be g e t t i n g a l l the service or at least they t h i n k they may n o t be g e t t i n g a l l the service t h a t they get f r o m the m a j o r o i l company. B u t they go i n t o t h a t place t o buy the gasoline. They k n o w t h a t the product t h a t they are b u y i n g is just as good as t h a t convenience store or at t h a t p r i v a t e b r a n d outlet as i t is at the m a j o r o i l company. So they shop where they can get the best price. I t is competition f o r price and w h a t the p r i v a t e b r a n d dealer has done is t o force the m a j o r companies—in m y town, I have seen when the independents, the privates go down, when they post a cent lower o r 2 cents lower, t h a t is w h a t the majors have to do. They have to come down, too. T h e y w i l l m a i n t a i n a gap, b u t t h a t d o w n w a r d pressure f o r price has kept the major's p r i c e honest. Senator MCINTYRE. W h a t are those things I^have heard about gasoline wars? M r . PETERSON. I suppose t h a t is price competition, Senator. Senator MCINTYRE. W e had better get back to M r . Peterson. T h e CHAIRMAN. L e t me i n t e r r u p t there and say I used t o buy a t an independent station. I t was quite handy to me. One day I talked to the area manager o f one of t h e m a j o r o i l companies. I asked h i m about t h a t gasoline, w h a t his appraisal of i t was. H e said, " I t is good 182 gasoline." I n fact, he said, " I t is the same gasoline t h a t we sell, just under another name, t h a t is all." I have often t h o u g h t of t h a t , coming f r o m a representative o f one o f the m a j o r o i l companies w i t h reference t o an independent o i l station. I have always had a great deal o f respect f o r independents. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I interrupted you, M r . Peterson. W i l l you now proceed. M r . PETERSON. T h a t is perfectly a l l r i g h t . T o me i t seems the Government should a d m i t t h e obvious. The structure o f the o i l i n d u s t r y generates monopolistic forces. B y almost any standard, the market performance o f the o i l industry has been an abject failure. T o prove the point, I urge y o u t o ask the r i g h t questions: Can i t be said t h a t t h e market performance o f t h i s great i n d u s t r y should be praised because i t has achieved the present-day shortages? I t i s not the fundamental task o f a great industry t o meet the effective demands of its marketplace? I f responsiveness t o demand has really characterized the i n d u s t r y , w o u l d we be here today ? I s the competitive s p i r i t dead, o r should we a d m i t t h a t , i n t h e o i l industry, i t has been under severe restraint f o r many years because o f crude o i l production controls, o i l i m p o r t controls, t a x policies and anti-trust inaction ? H i s t o r i c a l l y , economic behavior i n .the o i l i n d u s t r y has been so greatly influenced by governmental decrees, especially i n areas o f production, imports, taxes and anti-trust, t h a t the Government i s f o o l i n g itself i f i t t h i n k s t h a t other forms o f control i n the public interest should be abandoned o r w i t h h e l d i n order t o restore o r achieve t h e benefits o f private enterprise. A l l t h a t is really achieved is a freer hand f o r monopolistic forces. T h e problem o f today is the problem o f o u t p u t and competition. Certainly f o r the past 15 years, the determination o f o u t p u t , i n quantitative terms, has been made by a series o f administrative decisions. I t has not been determined by free market interactions. There has been no free market i n crude o i l and no free market i n petroleum products. G r o w t h i n demand has n o t spurred g r o w t h i n domestic productive capacity, either o f crude o i l o r o f finished products. A n y t i m e d u r i n g the past few years, i t has not been difficult t o predict the r i s i n g demands f o r gasoline, No. 2 fuel oil, and residual fuel oil. Yet, i t has not been possible f o r new money, new talent, o r new initiatives t o be effectively responsive, p a r t i c u l a r l y when the nexus o f crude o i l ownership and refinery ownership have made i t v i r t u a l l y impossible f o r a newcomer t o enter the industry a t any one functional levelifwithout some f o r m o f preference o r forbearance by m a j o r oil. Because o f these conditions, induced by past policies, new policies are necessary. B u t , the new policies must be -positive a n d must, i n fact, interfere w i t h the n a t u r a l motives and predictable behavior of the crude, strong multinational, f u l l y integrated o i l company. The rationale o f avoiding interference w i t h private initiatives is not relevant t o the objectives o f increased o u t p u t and preserving com- 183 petition. Those social objectives w i l l not automatically f o l l o w f r o m governmental abstinence. Therefore, i n the name of free enterprise, the Government must intervene—may I say t o you very candidly, I never thought the day would come when I would say t h i s but because o f Government interference i n the /past, I t h i n k t h a t now i t is incumbent upon the Government t o continue. I shall n o t read any more of m y statement beyond that. Senator MCINTYRE. W e w i l l include the balance of your statements i n the record. [Complete statements of M r . L i c h t m a n and M r . Peterson f o l l o w : ] STATEMENT OF FREDERICK LICHTMAN, PRESIDENT, SOCIETY G A S O L I N E M A R K E T E R S OF A M E R I C A OF INDEPENDENT M r . Chairman and members of the committee, I a m Frederick Lichtman, President of Tulsa O i l Corporation, Detroit, Michigan, appearing before you today i n my capacity as President of the Society of Independent Gasoline Marketers of America ( S I G M A ) and representing the 210 member companies of t h a t association. On behalf o f the independent p r i v a t e b r a n d gasoline marketers we appreciate this opportunity to present our views i n t h i s f o r u m on the current petroleum product shortage and i t s grave economic and anticompetitive consequences to our members. S I G M A is a national trade association representing 210 p r i v a t e brand gasoline m a r k e t i n g companies w h i c h operate 20,000 service stations distributed through most of the states of the Union. S I G M A member companies are, i n the main, small businesses, b u t they employ thousands of people, pay substantial state and federal taxes on their sales and, p r i o r to recent cutbacks i n available supply, marketed i n excess of 18,000,000,000 gallons of gasoline per annum. I n recent weeks you have read i n the press and undoubtedly heard f r o m your private brand gasoline marketer constituents t h a t i n d i v i d u a l companies i n several states are suddenly threatened w i t h bankruptcy o r substantial economic loss because they have been denied access to their historic share of available supply by the private brand segment of the i n d u s t r y . Available data indicates the situation is g r o w i n g more serious w i t h each passing day and statistics v a l i d today are obsolete tomorrow. I t is a tangible fact t h a t independent gasoline retailers have been forced to close t h e i r stations or operate on substantially reduced schedules of service to the consuming public. I f relief is not obtained soon, a substantial number of p r i v a t e brand gasoline marketers w i l l be forced out of business, thereby reducing the only competitive force i n gasoline marketing. We are encouraged to hope t h a t this committee, a f t e r development of the facts, as you propose to do i n these hearings, Will lend i t s support to immediate legislative and executive branch action to achieve, i n the short term, the result necessary to preserve the independent p r i v a t e brand segment of the industry. A way must be found immediately to f a i r l y spread the burden of the present shortage between the integrated m a j o r brand companies and the indejtendent p r i v a t e brand segment of the industry. The present situation where t h e majors take a l l they have or a l l they need and cut off supplies to independents cannot be tolerated. I t is not i n the public interest or i n t h e interest of the i n d i v i d u a l consumer. Time does not p e r m i t consideration of a l l of the problems c u r r e n t l y threatening the p r i v a t e brand gasoline marketer, but we would l i k e to take this opportunity to present to you, i n abbreviated form, our views on w h a t should and must be done. (1) To deal w i t h the immediate supply problem refineries should be obligated t o allocate to independent private brand marketers of gasoline t h a t percentage o f t h e i r production t h a t was sold to tihe independent private brand segment d u r i n g a most recent normal market period. I n this connection Senator Saxbe has introduced S. 1599, which has been referred to Commerce Committee, but has not yet been assigned f o r hearings. S I G M A f u l l y supports the objectives of S. 1599, w i l l have some suggestions f o r the Commerce Com- 184 mittee a t the appropriate t i m e on i t s improvement. S I G M A strongly urges that this b i l l be assigned f o r early hearings and action by the Congress. (2) W h i l e there are some elements of encouragement i n the President's recently announced new energy program and modification o f t h e O i l I m p o r t Control Program, those benefits, i f any, to the independent p r i v a t e b r a n d segment w i l l be available only i n the longer term. None o f t h e O i l I m p o r t Control P r o g r a m modifications recently announced w i l l provide m e a n i n g f u l early assistance to the p r i v a t e brand m a r k e t i n g segment unless there are f u r t h e r amendments t o t h a t program. I n this connection lit is essential t h a t independent gasoline marketers be given the sole a u t h o r i t y to i m p o r t finished petroleum products and the i m p o r t program should be modified accordingly. I n order t o insure t h a t independent marketers who do not have access to i m p o r t e d products have access to supply, i t is also necessary t h a t the i m p o r t p r o g r a m be modified to provide f o r mandatory exchange of i m p o r t licenses granted to midcontinent independent refiners. (3) W h i l e we f u l l y support the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s efforts to control inflat i o n a r y trends w i t h i n our escalating economy, we nevertheless feel t h a t the Cost of L i v i n g Council must p e r m i t the m a j o r oil company refiners, now operating under special price contraints, to reflect cost increases i n c u r r e d i n the production o f finished product. The Economic Stabilization p r o g r a m must not be p e r m i t t e d to become a disincentive f o r sales by ma.ior refineries to the independent m a r k e t i n g segment of the industry. (4) W e endorse f u l l y and applaud the v o l u n t a r y f u e l conservation p r o g r a m outlined by Secretary of the I n t e r i o r M o r t o n i n his testimony before the Senate I n t e r i o r and I n s u l a r A f f a i r s Committee on May 1st. Unquestionably p a r t of the solution of the gasoline supply problem lies i n an easing of the t o t a l demand picture which can be achieved through considerate a n d i n t e l l i g e n t use of available resources. S I G M A members w i l l cooperate f u l l y i n the implementation of those suggestions. W h i l e the above suggestions relate to the short-term aspects o f the problem we face, there are some actions which we recommend a n d support w h i c h should be considered now and which w i l l provide protection to the independent segment of the petroleum i n d u s t r y i n f u t u r e years. (1) W e strongly favor, f o r example, reasonable incentives f o r the construction of needed new refinery capacity, but we believe t h a t the p r o g r a m should not be structured so as to apply exclusively to the m a j o r integrated o i l companies. Independent refiners, to whom t h e Independent m a r k e t i n g segment has historically looked f o r a p o r t i o n of i t s product requirements, should also have the chance to expand capacity. T o enable independent refiners to obtain long-term financing f o r refinery construction a n d operation the i m p o r t allocation f o r new refineries should be increased f r o m 75 t o 100 percent and the t e r m of such imports extended f r o m five to ten years. T h i s is the only way p a r t i c i p a t i o n by independent refiners w i l l become a r e a l i t y , a n d i t is only i n the expansion of the independent refining segment of the i n d u s t r y t h a t we find reasonable assurance f o r the continued v i a b i l i t y of the independent p r i v a t e brand gasoline marketer. (2) We believe the federal government should take a more affirmative position to assist the early acquisition and environmental clearance of new refinery f a c i l i t y sates. The already long lead times inherent i n refinery construction are becoming unbearable i n the face of the present supply-demand p i c t u r e and w i t h o u t federal leadership a reduction of those delays does n o t appear likely. (3) S I G M A strongly supports a n early s t a r t o f construction of a pipeline f r o m t h e Alaskan N o r t h Slope supply sources. The necessary decisions as t o route and other implementing actions should be taken w i t h a m i n i m u m of delay. (4) We support the recommendations i n the President's recent energy message on the expansion of research and development activities i n the area of fossil fuels and agree t h a t public u t i l i t i e s should be encouraged to u t i l i z e coal as a n energy source. Federal f u n d i n g support f o r research necessary to achieve increased fossil f u e l u t i l i z a t i o n is w o r t h y of Congressional support. Y o u w i l l learn more i n the course of these hearings t h a n we presently k n o w about the reasons f o r the present, supply shortage, its legitimacy and whether i t is being used as an anticompetitive device by m a j o r petroleum interests to eliminate the independent p r i v a t e b r a n d retailer f r o m the market- 185 place. On the basis of w h a t is happening to our members, the circumstances surrounding t e r m i n a t i o n of historic supply relationships, the continual expansion o f secondary brand a c t i v i t y by m a j o r o i l companies—'these and a host o f other circumstances make us very suspicious t h a t a n unreasonable share of the economic burden of shortage is borne by our segment of the industry. As small businessmen, S I G M A members are relatively defenseless i n the face of this t h r e a t and can only look to the a u t h o r i t y o f government to provide protection f r o m competitive extinction. We urge t h a t t h i s committee f u l l y support early implementation o f those measures suggested as potentially responsive to our immediate problems, as well as those addressed to the longer term to which we aspire to survive. Again, may I express my appreciation f o r the opportunity to express the views of our members. S T A T E M E N T OF R . J. PETERSON, CHAIRMAN INC. OF T H E BOARD, M A R T I N OIL SERVICE, M r . Chairman a n d members of the committee, my name is R. J. Peterson. I am Chairman o f the B o a r d of M a r t i n O i l Service, Inc., i n Chicago, Illinois. I a m also a founding member of the Independent Gasoline Marketers Council. My brief statement today is submitted on behalf of t h a t Council. W i l l i a m E. Simon, t h e Chairman of the O i l Policy Committee, has stated t h a t this A d m i n i s t r a t i o n is reluctant to inject governmental regulations and controls into private industry or to take any steps t h a t w o u l d discourage p r i v a t e initiatives. Other spokesmen f o r this A d m i n i s t r a t i o n have s i m i l a r l y affirmed t h e i r f a i t h i n free enterprise. Indeed, Secretary Shultz has long been recognized as a n advocate of the social benefits of competition and the social perils of government interference. W i t h regard to the energy crisis, and national o i l policy, the general view seems to prevail i n t h i s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n t h a t , i f the government w o u l d j u s t back off, the shortages and deficiencies w i l l gradually disappear. The new oil i m p o r t control system is a case i n point. The new system allows anyone to i m p o r t a n y t h i n g so long as he is w i l l i n g to pay a fee, and i t allows certain participants, mainly refiners, to i m p o r t l i m i t e d amounts w i t h o u t any fee. T h i s system has been put f o r w a r d on the theory t h a t i t w i l l increase flexibility i n the short-term and assure long-term freedom of action i n the p r i v a t e sector. The idea is not to impede the great American o i l industry, but rather to rely upon i t s responsiveness to the needs of the nation. I n a nutshell, the new policy says, let us push up the prices of crude o i l and finished products so t h a t increased output w i l l be stimulated. Then, i n f o u r t o seven years, when adequate supplies have been restored, competition w i l l protect the consumer. Against these observations, let me raise a doubt. H o w can you push prices up to stimulate a free enterprise reaction when the conditions of free enterprise are lacking? I t is a l l w e l l and good f o r the policymakers to proclaim t h e i r devotion to free enterprise. I include myself among such devotees. B u t , the underlying, structural, economic conditions of free enterprise do not exist i n the o i l industry and the reaction to freedom may be t o monopolize markets rather than to increase output. Control r a t h e r than competition may be the consequence of the new policy. The fundamental fact t h a t must be understood is the f a c t of vertical integration. I specifically refer to those instances i n which a single business house enjoys the t a x advantages of percentage depletion and foreign t a x credits, and enjoys the economic power of r a w materials control through the ownership of crude reserves and gathering and shipping pipelines. V e r t i c a l i n t e g r a t i o n of t h a t type distinguishes the oil i n d u s t r y f r o m a l l other m a j o r industries, i n degree i f not i n kind. Such v e r t i c a l integration is the source of economic power i n the oil industry. I t is also the source of the p r i v a t e l a w t h a t now suddenly governs the gasoline and fuel o i l markets. I t must be understood f o r w h a t i t is, i f governmental a u t h o r i t y is to be exercised i n t h e public interest. Because of vertical integration, whenever the government seeks to avoid i n t e r f e r i n g w i t h the o i l industry, i t is not thereby automatically preserving free enterprise and p r i v a t e i n i t i a t i v e . Instead, such avoidance is more l i k e l y 186 to a l l o w the dictates o f p r i v a t e interest t o p r e v a i l over t h e public good. Hence, private rule-making r a t h e r t h a n public lawT now governs the marketplace. The forms of p r i v a t e rule-making are obvious. Most of the f u l l y integrated o i l companies, w i t h refining facilities and adequate supplies of crude oil, have adopted i n t e r n a l programs of allocation. W i t h regard t o both crude a n d finished oils, they refuse to deal w i t h some, they c u r t a i l t h e i r dealings w i t h others, a n d they accommodate t h e i r o w n as f u l l y as possible. . Such rule-making a n d p r e f e r e n t i a l dealings are, i n effect, p r i v a t e laws. They have the collective impact of a statute on the marketplace. Consequently, a t the present time, gasoline is flowing at near 1972 levels t h r o u g h integrated d i s t r i b u t i o n channels. To the contrary, gasoline is flowing t h r o u g h non-integrated, independent m a r k e t i n g channels at the rate o f abouit % to % of the 1972 levels. The independent gasoline marketer is bearing a disproportionate share of the shortage. Hence, the independent gasoline marketer does n o t now exist as an effective competitor. Indeed, i t s continued existence may be measured i n months, unless the trends i n effect are redirected. W e must realize t h a t there is no reason i n free enterprise theory f o r a f u l l y integrated refiner to v o l u n t a r i l y share his products w i t h a n independent m a r k e t e r who is also his competitor a t retail. Hence, the only power on e a r t h t h a t w i l l redirect the flow of gasoline into independent m a r k e t i n g channels is the power of government. Past policies o f the U n i t e d States have so strongly favored and encouraged the complete downstream i n t e g r a t i o n of m a j o r companies i n the o i l i n d u s t r y , s t a r t i n g f r o m the fountainhead of crude o i l ownership a n d pipeline ownership, t h a t , now, a t a t i m e when there are shortages of supply and deficiencies of p r o d u c t i v i t y , w i t h h o l d i n g governmental controls upon supply, d i s t r i b u t i o n and price is, i n reality, the abandonment of the public interest i n f a v o r of the p r i v a t e interest. I n s t e a d of leaving t h e field i n the name of free enterprise, the government should enter the field i n the name of free enterprise. The government should say p l a i n l y and clearly f o r a l l t o h e a r : The independent, private-brand, price-discount marketers of gasoline, and the independent refiners who must purchase f o r cash most of t h e i r feed-stocks, constitute a n a t i o n a l asset. Collectively, they are the t r u e competitors i n the marketplace. W i t h o u t them, the consuming public w o u l d be at the mercy of monopolistic forces i n the o i l industry. The government should a d m i t the obvious: The structure of the o i l i n d u s t r y generates monopolistic forces. B y almost any standard, the m a r k e t performance of the o i l i n d u s t r y lias been an abject failure. To prove the point, I urge you to ask the right questions: Can i t be said t h a t the market performance of this great i n d u s t r y should be praised because i t has achieved the present day shortages? I s i t not the fundamental task of a great i n d u s t r y to meet the effective demands of its marketplace? I f responsiveness to demand has really characterized the i n d u s t r y , w o u l d we be here today ? I s t h e competitive s p i r i t dead, or should we a d m i t that, i n t h e o i l i n d u s t r y , i t has been under severe restraint f o r many years because of crude o i l production controls, o i l i m p o r t controls, t a x policies, a n d a n t i t r u s t inaction? H i s t o r i c a l y , economic behavior i n the oil i n d u s t r y has been so greatly influenced by governmental decrees, especially i n areas of production, imports, taxes, and a n t i t r u s t , t h a t the government is fooling i t s e l f i f i t t h i n k s t h a t other forms of control i n the public interest should be abandoned or w i t h h e l d i n order to restore or achieve the benefits of p r i v a t e enterprise. A l l t h a t is really achieved is a freer hand f o r monopolistic forces. The problem of today is the problem o f output and competition. C e r t a i n l y , f o r the past 15 years, the determination of output, i n q u a n i t a t i v e terms, has been made by a series of a d m i n i s t r a t i v e decisions. I t has not been determined by free m a r k e t interactions. There has been no free m a r k e t i n crude o i l a n d no free m a r k e t i n petroleum products. G r o w t h i n demand has not spurred g r o w t h i n domestic productive capacity, either of crude o i l o r o f finished products. A n y t i m e d u r i n g the past few years, i t has not been difficult to predict the r i s i n g demands f o r gasoline, No. 2 f u e l oil, and residual f u e l oil. Yet, i t has not been possible f o r new money, new talent, or new i n i t i a t i v e s to be effec- 187 tively responsive. The restraining influences of vertical integration, p a r t i c u l a r l y f r o m the nexus betwen crude ownership and refinery ownership, have made i t v i r t u a l l y impossible f o r a newcomer to enter the industry at any one f u n c t i o n a l level w i t h o u t some f o r m o f preference or forabearance by m a j o r oil. Because of these conditions, induced by past policies, new policies a r e necessary. B u t , the new policies must be positive and must, i n fact, interfere w i t h the n a t u r a l motives and predictable behavior o f the crude-strong, m u l t i national, f u l l y integrated oil company. The rationale o f avoiding interference w i t h p r i v a t e i n i t i a t i v e s is not relevant to the objectives o f increased output and preserving competition. Those social objectives w i l l not automatically f o l l o w f r o m governmental abstinence. Therefore, i n the name o f free enterprise, the government must intervene. ( M a y I say to you, very candidly, I never thought the day would come when I would say this.) H a v i n g pointed to the p e r i l o f extinction facing the independent marketer and the independent refiner, let me conclude by m a k i n g sure we know who we are t a l k i n g about. I am not a lawyer, however, I w i l l t r y t o define my terras. The independent marketer i n the o i l i n d u s t r y i s one who buys petroleum products f r o m a refiner, a t e r m i n a l operator, broker, o r jobber, f o r resale at wholesale o r retail. H e does not own or control any refining capacity, nor is he owned or controlled by anyone w i t h refining capacity. The independent refiner is i n a n analogous position i n relation t o t h e crude o i l producer. A refiner is generally regarded as independent i f he does not own crude reserves and crude production sufficient t o sustain the b u l k of his refining and marketing. Thus, i n summary, the independent marketer i s t o be distinguished f r o m the integrated marketer by v i r t u e o f refilling capacity, and the independent refiner is t o be distinguished f r o m the integrated refiner by v i r t u e o f crude ownership, including foreign crude. The opposite of a n independent i s a n integrated company. A n integrated gasoline marketer is one who is owned or controlled by, o r under common control w i t h , one who has gasoline m a n u f a c t u r i n g facilities and substantial crude production. A given marketer may become integrated o r become independent i f his ownership and control relationships change. F o r example, a marketer may become integrated by changes i n stock ownership, financial indebtedness, a lease relationship, or an operating contract o r other arrangement w i t h a supplier w h i c h calls f o r a p a r t i c u l a r b r a n d name and provides f o r price protection or some other f o r m of economic support. Tn contrast, a n independent gasoline marketer is a person ( 1 ) who owns his own service stations or leases them f r o m someone other t h a n his supplier, and ( 2 ) who conducts h i s p r i n c i p a l m a r k e t i n g activities under a p r i v a t e brand name not identified w i t h nor used by his supplier, and ( 3 ) who does not have a contractual o r other relationship w i t h a supplier whereby t h e marketer is granted price protection, temporary allowances, o r any other economic benefits. As a final word, I submit the f o l l o w i n g : I f we are t o increase output and preserve competition, we must not a l l o w the p r i v a t e rules o f v e r t i c a l l y integrated o i l companies t o govern the marketplace and determine the f u t u r e structure of the o i l i n d u s t r y . The voice of the independent must also be heard. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I yield now to the Senator f r o m Alabama. The CITATRMAX. I want to ask just one question both of M r . L i c h t man and M r . Peterson. "What do you t h i n k of the suggestion made a few minutes ago about the use of royalty oil offshore ? M r . L I O I I T M A X . This is one of the remedies t h a t S I G M A has considered. I t is not- going to solve the problem. I t w i l l help to alleviate i t i n some areas. W e agree that i t is a good idea. T h a t the r o y a l t y oil should be allocated by the government t o independent refiners so that the final finished product can find its way to the independent marketer. B u t you are not t a l k i n g about much oil, Senator, when you t a l k about the r o y a l t y o i l ; 40 m i l l i o n gallons o f finished product is not going to solve the problem of this industry. dg-ISH—73— 188 The C H A I R M A N . I t w i l l not solve i t but i t is better than nothing, isn't it? M r . L I C H T M A N . T h a t is r i g h t . I t is better t h a n nothing. I am not knocking it. T h e C H A I R M A N . W h a t is y o u thought, M r . Peterson, do you agree w i t h what M r . L i c h t m a n has just said ? M r . PETERSON. L e t me respond as I feel about i t rather t h a n agree w i t h what he has said. The C H A I R M A N . Briefly, because Senator M c I n t y r e is pushed f o r time. M r . PETERSON. I understand he is. M y response t o t h a t is I t h i n k i t w i l l not i n the long t e r m be an effective way to do it. I have t r i e d i t as an individual. I t has many problems. I believe there is a simple way to do i t , and that is to recognize that historically the independent had a percentage of the market and that the Government intervened and required that not just historic sales be recognized The C H A I R M A N . I n other words, you w o u l d recommend allocations? M r . PETERSON. Allocations at the refinery level on a percentage basis ? The C H A I R M A N . Yes, sir. T h a n k you. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Senator Johnston. Senator JOHNSTON. I believe M r . L i c h t m a n said we ought to get along w i t h the Alaskan pipeline. W h i c h route ? M r . L I C H T M A N . H a d you been reading the statement along w i t h me, Senator, you would see t h a t we skirted t h a t issue. W e are marketers; we are not environmentalists, we are not engineers or planners. W e are interested i n getting the product down here. Senator JOHNSTON. Y O U are staying out of the whole environmental question, and you do not have any recommendations t o relax the environmental rules? M r . PETERSON. T o the extent t h a t the environmental question impedes the progress o f the establishment o f the route, I t h i n k that somewhere along the line there has got to be some compromise made. I t h i n k , basically, we are all environmentalists, we all l i k e the trees and the flora and the fauna. Senator JOHNSTON. A r e you i n f a v o r of the emission control standards ? ^ M r . PETERSON. The emission control standards when the automotive industry and when the petroleum industry can meet them w i t h i n a reasonable time, yes. The t h i n g t h a t bothers us now, while the auto i n d u s t r y has been given a year's delay, the petroleum industry is s t i l l required to sell unleaded products s t a r t i n g next J u l y 1974 and that opens up a whole new can of worms. The independent does not have now, and has no assurance t h a t he w i l l ever have, access to the unleaded product w h i c h is required under the E P A regulation. Senator JOHNSTON. The point is you do not have any real position on the relaxation o f the environmental rules? Whether they be i n coal burning, emission controls, power p l a n t sighting or the Alaskan pipeline, you do not have any position except that you do not w a n t i t to impede the progress ? M r . PETERSON. No, I do not t h i n k i t is f a i r to say we do not have a position. B y the same token, being marketers and not being in- 189 volved i n the vast expenditures of money t h a t must be made, i t m a y be somewhat presumptuous 011 our p a r t as marketers t o either t e l l those w h o are m a k i n g the b i g investments o r those w h o are concerned w i t h the environmental aspects or those w h o govern where we t h i n k t h a t line o u g h t t o be, how fast i t ought t o be b u i l t and i n w h a t manner i t should be b u i l t . There is a l i m i t t o the influence t h a t we t h i n k we m i g h t or should have. So, on t h a t ground, I must beg the question. Senator JOHNSTON. T h a n k you. Senator M C I N T Y R E . T h a n k you. M r . L I C H T M A N . Y O U say 20,000 service stations. C o u l d y o u give the committee any idea o f how m a n y o f those stations t o y o u r k n o w l e d g e — b a l l p a r k figures I am t a l k i n g about—are closed today ? C o u l d y o u give us some understanding o f the significance o f t h i s crisis y o u are up against? M r / L I C H T M A N . I do not have the actual figure i n numbers but we can submit i t because our office is d a i l y t a l l y i n g these things. Senator MCINTYRE. Can y o u give me a b a l l p a r k figure? M r . L I C I I T M A N . I w o u l d say at present t h a t 25 t o 30 percent m i g h t be a f a i r figure. Senator MCINTYRE. There are a number of quest ions that I am g o i n g to submit to b o t h M r . Peterson and to you, M r . L i c h t m a n , and to M r . Mason and M r . Odom. B u t we w i l l do i t f o r the record i n view o f the time. T h e i m p o r t a n t t h i n g is to give y o u a chance to state y o u r case and how y o u feel about i t . W e w o u l d like to pursue a l o t of questions b u t the day is m o v i n g a o ln g fast, and we w i l l submit them. M r . ODOM. Senator M c I n t y r e , can I t h r o w out one t h o u g h t f o r the record w h i c h y o u m i g h t use wlie-n the Government witnesses are here ? One o f the alternative suggestions t h a t has been made involves t r y i n g to make i t possible t o i m p o r t crude o i l so t h a t i t w i l l have an effect and an i m p a c t upon the excess capacity o f the refineries t h a t we have i n t h i s country today, t h a t is, refinery t h a t can o n l y use domestic crude. I t has been suggested t o the Government t h a t some k i n d o f incentive or some k i n d o f p r o g r a m be devised w h i c h w o u l d encourage the m a j o r oil companies to exchange t h e i r domestic crude w i t h the independent refiners f o r the independent refiners' license to i m p o r t f o r e i g n crude, t h a t is to say to the majors i n actual exchange so t h a t these independents can refine domestic crude, there w i l l be some common incentive. I w o u l d hope t h a t the committee w o u l d ask M r . S i m o n o r some of those i n a u t h o r i t y w h a t t h e i r a t t i t u d e t o w a r d such a p r o g r a m w o u l d be. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . Odom, we are g o i n g to have M r . S i m o n over here, and the day he is here, we w i l l have p l e n t y o f chance, we w i l l have an h o u r o r so, I believe, t o inquire. I f y o u w a n t t o get together w i t h the staff of this committee, so we understand t h o r o u g h l y what y o u are d r i v i n g at, we w o u l d be h a p p y to p u t t h a t to him." M r . ODOM. T h a n k y o u very much. Senator." Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k y o u very much f o r y o u r testimony. W e n o w call as our next witnesses, a panel o f five i n d i v i d u a l s , H e r b e r t A . Sostek, representing the Independent F u e l T e r m i n a l 190 O p e r a t o r s Association, W i l l i a m I t . Deutsch, N a t i o n a l O i l Jobbers C o u n c i l , also G r e g g P o t v i n , N a t i o n a l O i l Jobbers Council, D o u g B a k e r , N a t i o n a l Self Service Gasoline Association, and J . R . P a r rish, N a t i o n a l Self Service Gasoline Association. Gentlemen, i f y o u w i l l take y o u r seats a t the witness table. I am h a p p y t o welcome y o u here today. I am g o i n g t o ask y o u t o summ a r i z e y o u r statements i n 5 to 7y 2 minutes. W e w i l l , o f course, accept a l l y o u r statements i n t h e i r entirety. I f y o u can do t h a t , i t w i l l g i v e us k chance t o ask a f e w questions before we recess u n t i l t o m o r r o w . W e w i l l start off w i t h M r . Sostek. "STATEMENTS OF ^TERMINAL NICHOLAS TERMINAL :BY HERBERT CIRILLO, CORP., W I L L I A M R. NEW HIGHLAND NATIONAL UM, SELF SOSTEK, INDEPENDENT ASSOCIATION, VICE GREGG NATIONAL OF CIRILLO POTVIN, OIL PETROLEUM, INC., GASOLINE AND J. BY BROS. ACCOMPANIED JOBBERS SELF SERVICE GASOLINE SERVICE FUEL ACCOMPANIED PRESIDENT YORK; DETJTCH, W . D. B A K E R , N A T I O N A L AND A. OPERATORS COUNCIL; ASSOCIATION, R. ASSOCIATION PARRISH, AND U GAS INC. M r . SOSTEK. T h a n k you, M r . C h a i r m a n and members of the committee. M y name is H e r b e r t A . Sostek. I am the executive vice president o f the Gibbs O i l Co. o f Revere, Mass., an independent deepwater t e r m i n a l serving the New E n g l a n d area. W i t h me is S i r . Nicholas C i r i l l o , vice president o f C i r i l l o Bros. T e r m i n a l Corp., a n independent deepwater t e r m i n a l s e r v i n g t h e N e w Y o r k and L o n g I s l a n d areas. B e f o r e b e g i n n i n g m y f o r m a l statement, M r . C h a i r m a n , I should l i k e to commend you, the members o f t h i s committee, and the Senators, Congressmen, and Governors f r o m New E n g l a n d a n d t h e Northeast f o r y o u r persistent f i g h t on behalf o f independent m a r keters and consumers o f No. 2 f u e l o i l and gasoline. I t continues t o be a difficult, h a r d effort, b u t we have made some progress. Substant i a l changes i n o i l i m p o r t policies have been made i n recent years a n d recognition is being given t o the competitive and s u p p l y problems o f independent marketers and deepwater t e r m i n a l operators along t h e east coast. W e are deeply g r a t e f u l f o r y o u r leadership, f o r the series o f factfinding hearings and inquiries i n t o the problems conducted b y t h i s committee, and f o r the c o n t i n u i n g s u p p o r t o f t h e p u b l i c officials o f t h e Northeastern States. I am appearing today on behalf of the Independent F u e l T e r m i n a l Operators Association whose 15 members operate o i l t e r m i n a l s a l o n g the east coast f r o m M a i n e t o F l o r i d a . A list o f members is included w i t h m y statement's attachment A . O u r members o w n or control terminals capable of receiving oceang o i n g t a n k e r s ; none is affiliated w i t h a m a j o r o i l company. A l l are qualified t o p a r t i c i p a t e i n the No. 2 f u e l o i l i m p o r t p r o g r a m establ i s h e d under section 2 ( a ) ( 1 ) o f Presidential P r o c l a m a t i o n 3279, as 191 amended, and section 30 of the O i l I m p o r t Regulation, under w h i c h 50,000 b / d of home heating o i l is presently being i m p o r t e d i n t o D i s t r i c t I — t h e east coast. T h e members of our association are independent marketers of No. 2 fuel oil, No. 6 f u e l oil, and gasoline a n d other petroleum products. O u r testimony before you i n 1971 contained a detailed analysis of deepwater t e r m i n a l operations and the h i s t o r y of our p a r t o f the o i l business, and the record compiled b y this committee at t h a t time, "Cost and Adequacy of F u e l O i l , " is a most complete and persuasive document. W e should like, therefore, to l i m i t our testimony t h i s m o r n i n g t o three specific topics: 1. T h e gasoline s u p p l y situation and its i m p a c t on independent, marketers. 2. T h e No. 2 f u e l oil, home heating oil, supply situation and i t s impact on independent marketers. 3. The new o i l i m p o r t program. I. GASOLINE The urgency and impact of the gasoline shortage have been w e l l k n o w n to those of us i n the independent gasoline business f o r a number of months. W e are, therefore, pleased t h a t these hearings are being held f o r they can p l a y an i m p o r t a n t role i n b r i n g i n g all the facts to the attention of the public and the executive branch o f the Federal Government. M r . C h a i r m a n , y o u and other Members of Congress, have been w a r n i n g f o r nearly 6 months about the threat of a gasoline shortage. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , once again these warnings have n o t been heeded; once again the Federal Government has chosen to listen to the assurances of others t h a t the supply problems w o u l d be localized a n d temporary. W e can state our position b r i e f l y ; I am sure i t w i l l be supported by other witnesses. T h e gasoline shortage w i l l be worse t h a n anticipated : i t w i l l be widespread and l o n g lasting. A n d unless p r o m p t action is taken by the Congress and the executive branch, a m a j o r result o f t h a t shortage w i l l be the destruction of a large p o r t i o n o f the independent gasoline business. A s independents, our chief fear is that, unless Federal policies a c h a n g e d , thousands of independent gasoline stations w i l l be permanently closed, tens of thousands of persons w i l l lose t h e i r jobs and hundreds of m i l l i o n s of dollars of investments w i l l be w i p e d out. T h e short-term impact on our country w i l l be equally serious, f o r i t w i l l moan greater concentration of economic power i n the hands of fewer and fewer companies and potentiail destruction of t h e compel .itive operators who have b r o u g h t good sendee and l o w e r prices to consumers. I n the interest of time, M r . Chairman, I w i l l skip over some o f the background i n f o r m a t i o n w h i c h I set f o r t h here and go i n t o some p o r t i o n of i t that I t h i n k is meaningful. A s an example of w h y we have some of these problems, we have developed a statistic w h i c h is very, v e r y interesting. I n New E n g l a n d , sir. i n the years 1971 and 1972. the average g r o w t h i n consumption 192 d u r i n g the first 3 m o n t h s was a p p r o x i m a t e l y 4.5 percent on gasoline. F o r the first 3 months o f t h i s year i t is r u n n i n g at 8.8 percent, n e a r l y a 100-percent increase i n a t i m e o f shortage. Some o f the other t h i n g s we were g o i n g t o say have been stated b y other people. I shall t h e r e f o r e get t o o u r recommendations, w h i c h we t h i n k w o u l d be h e l p f u l . I w o u l d f i r s t l i k e t o go i n t o m y statement-, w h i c h needs some corr e c t i n g . Prices change r a t h e r d r a m a t i c a l l y i n our i n d u s t r y a n d t h e r e have been changes since t h i s was prepared. W h e r e we have reference t o f o r e i g n gasoline versus domestic gasoline, the domestic l a n d e d p r i c e , Boston, assuming its a v a i l a b i l i t y — a n d I can assure y o u i t is not. a v a i l a b l e — w o u l d be 181/. cents, m a k i n g t h e delivered cost t o a s t a t i o n 3 0 % cents; the average independent posted p r i c e i n o u r area o f 35.9 cents, g i v i n g a m a r g i n o f a p p r o x i m a t e l y 5.15 w h i c h is less t h a n an acceptable m a r g i n f o r r e t u r n on investment. T h e f o r e i g n p r i c e w o u l d stay the same except t h a t the posted p r i c e w o u l d go u p t o 35.9 and t h a t w o u l d show a loss o f one t e n t h o f 1 cent. H o w e v e r , I am advised as o f last n i g h t — T have n o t been back t o m y office— t h a t the latest q u o t a t i o n f o r f o r e i g n gasoline delivered t o t h e U n i t e d States is b e g i n n i n g to approach 25 cents a g a l l o n w h i c h w o u l d have a substantial i m p a c t on this. O u r recommendations are as f o l l o w s : F i r s t , a s t r o n g allocation and r a t i o n i n g statute s h o u l d be enacted w h i c h w o u l d r e q u i r e — a n d I emphasize " r e q u i r e " — t h e F e d e r a l Gove r n m e n t i n times o f short s u p p l y o f any p r o d u c t , t o allocate deliveries and sales. Such allocations should be designed t o enualize the i m p a c t o f s u p p l y gaps and shortages t h r o u g h o u t the U . S . gasoline d i s t r i b u t i o n system. N o one segment, level or g r o u p o f companies should be allowed to p r o f i t at the expense o f others. A s an aside. I believe t h a t t h a t c o u l d very w e l l h e l p M r . M a s o n , the gentleman f r o m A l a b a m a , w h o just got t h r o u g h t e s t i f v i n g . Second, a f o r u m s h o u l d be created and standards established b y statute so t h a t i n d i v i d u a l companies c o u l d b r i n g f o r m a l c o m p l a i n t s a n d secure r e m e d i a l action against all refiner-suppliers f o r u n f a i r t r a d e and m a r k e t i n g practices. W e s u p p o r t proposals t o p r o v i d e remedies and a f o r u m before the Federal T r a d e Commission and t o establish standards based on h i s t o r i c a l s u p p l y and price relationships. W h a t we are seeking is s i m i l a r t o w h a t was done i n t h e case o f a s e p e r i o d and restoration o f price c o n t r o l s — t h e establishment o f a b s u p p l y a n d price relationships f o r gasoline, h e a t i n g o i l . a n d other p r o d u c t s u n t i l t h e crisis is passed. T h e r e are those w h o feel the G o v e r n m e n t s h o u l d not i n t e r v e n e ; o u r response is t h a t G o v e r n m e n t p o l i c i e s — i n p a r t i c u l a r the o i l i m p o r t p r o g r a m p r o c l a i m e d i n 1959— have so d i s t o r t e d the p e t r o l e u m m a r k e t t h a t the independent is at a severe disadvantage. T h e r e are some suggestions T have developed t h a t do not ar>pear i n the statement w h i c h I t h i n k m a y be h e l p f u l , a n d I w o u l d l i k e t o insert t h e m n o w because recommendations t o h e l p solve the crisis are w h a t everyone is l o o k i n g f o r . One o f t h e t h i n g s t h a t could conceivably h e l p w o u l d be t o remove t h e freeze on the 23 m a j o r o i l companies, t o a l l o w t h e i r gasoline p u m p prices to increase. 193 I recognize t h a t t h i s is i n f l a t i o n a r y . B u t , i n order f o r the independent t o exist, he is g o i n g t o have t o move his p u m p prices u p or he w i l l be w i p e d out, I do n o t believe the m a j o r o i l companies should c a p t u r e a l l o f t h i s increased price. I t is m y ^ suggestion t h a t some p r o g r a m could be developed between t h e m a j o r o i l companies a n d perhaps the F e d e r a l Government f o r j o i n t ventures t o s u p p o r t these I I . & D . p r o g r a m s t h a t have been t a l k e d about—coal, gas a n d shale and t h i n g s o f t h a t nature. I t could be audited b y the Government, the G AO^ s i m i l a r t o the w a y Defense contracts are h a n d l e d on R . & D . B u t I t h i n k t h e v e r y s u r v i v a l o f independents is involved. T h e y must, be able t o post a h i g h e r price at t h e p u m p because they are p a y i n g so m u c h more f o r gasoline. I t h m k Government could give, assistance t o get crude t o the independent refiners w i t h the agreement t h a t the independents get first option. M o r e s u p p o r t f o r construction o f domestic refineries p a r t i c u l a r l y i n those areas where t h e y do n o t exist. Accelerated Government and i n d u s t r y effort f o r R . & D . p r o grams. Some r e l a x a t i o n o f e n v i r o n m e n t a l laws t o prevent waste. F o r example, cars w i t h emission c o n t r o l systems are c u r r e n t l y u s i n g a p p r o x i m a t e l y 25 percent more gasoline t h a n cars w i t h o u t them. No. 2 f u e l is b e i n g d i v e r t e d f r o m the home h e a t i n g m a r k e t a n d blended w i t h N o . 6 o i l to get the s u l f u r emissions down. M o r e arid expanded offshore e x p l o r a t i o n f o r crude o i l and n a t u r a l gas w i t h , of course, e n v i r o n m e n t a l protection. A concentrated education p r o g r a m . A l l of these t h i n g s we believe w i l l go a l o n g w a y t o w a r d s h e l p i n g alleviate the crisis. AVe w o u l d l i k e to make one final comment on a m a t t e r of great importance to us. T h e new more flexible a u t h o r i t y g i v e n t o the O i l I m p o r t A p p e a l s B o a r d is great a n d i t can help. T h e i m p o r t licenses f o r gasoline, w h i c h y o u saw a copy o f earlier t o d a y , w i l l have some value to the independents w h o receive them, b u t based on the price y o u have to p a y f o r the p r o d u c t , y o u can see t h a t is g o i n g t o be v e r y difficult to make most effective use o f the awards. T h e process, however, is subject to abuse and must be c a r e f u l l y administered and regulated. W e f e a r t h a t m a j o r o i l companies a n d others w h o are not qualified m a y subvert the system b y g o i n g to the recipients of allocations and o f f e r i n g t o b u y r a t h e r t h a n exchange those 0 1 A B licenses. T h e y m i g h t give t h e m some n o m i n a l value and t h e n t u r n a r o u n d a n d use i t to b r i n g the p r o d u c t in. T h i s , i n f a c t , is w h a t is h e l p i n g to create this i n f l a t e d m a r k e t f o r i m p o r t e d gasoline. M r . C h a i r m a n , o u r specific recommendations are n a t u r a l l y designed to help our segment o f the i n d u s t r y , b u t I t h i n k t h i s committee should recognize t h a t we are fighting f o r s u r v i v a l and o u r s u r v i v a l is of great i m p o r t a n c e to the p u b l i c . I t h i n k , i n the interest o f t i m e , I w i l l n o w t u r n t h i s over to M r . C i r i l l o , w h o w i l l t a l k about the N o . 2 F u e l o i l p o r t i o n o f it. M r . CTRTLLO. AS y o u w i l l recall, M r . C h a i r m a n , y o u and others began warning about the danger of the N o . 2 f u e l ' o i l crisis more t h a n a year ago. 194 The administration refused to act at that time, accepting the assurance of the major oil companies. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , those assurances were wrong. Despite the emergency decontrol program ordered i n January, i t was the unseasonably w a r m weather, not the decontrol, t h a t saved the millions of homeowners f r o m going cold. W e cannot count on similar luck this year. Even more i m p o r t a n t , decisions must not, as was done last year^be delayed. W e view J u l y 1 as the final date on which efficient p l a n n i n g can take place. I n considering the action which must be taken, the committee must be aware t h a t independent marketers o f No. 2 f u e l o i l are i n the same situation as independent marketers of gasoline. The supply crisis f o r f u e l oil marketers is, o f course, not so apparent to the public as i n the case of gasoline, b u t i t is perhaps more severe. F o r example, east coast independent deepwater t e r m i n a l operators are currently facing a massive supply gap. W e are simply unable t o buy any significant quantities o f No. 2 fuel oil f r o m domestic sources. W e are being cut back continuously by a l l our domestic refining suppliers. O u r t o t a l demand f o r the coming year w i l l be nearly 280,000 barrels a day. O f this amount only 85,000 barrels has been provided under firm commitments f r o m domestic refiners. I n other words, we are f a c i n g a supply gap of more than 190,000 barrels a day. A n analysis o f this gap can be f o u n d i n attachment B o f this statement. W h e n you consider that our independent deepwater terminals provide 25 percent o f the delivery capacity and d i s t r i b u t i o n system along the east coast, you can realize the impact t h a t this shortage w i l l have on the homeowners. Domestic suppliers arc already t i g h t . The A P I statistics show t h a t distillate stocks are higher t h a n a year ago but we do not believe t h a t stocks can be b u i l t up to safe levels this summer because o f the extraordinary demands f o r the production of gasoline. The summer of 1973 w i l l be a repeat of the summer of 1972. Gasoline w i l l be produced at the expense of heating oil. I n brief, we face the repeat o f a dreary cycle o f shortage begets shortage. Some supplies o f No. 2 fuel are available f r o m foreign sources and some additional access t o those supplies has been provided under the new oil i m p o r t program. B u t foreign distillate Senator M C I N T Y R E . DO we s t i l l have a Western Hemisphere restrict i o n on i t ? M r . C I R I L L O . NO; thanks to your efforts t h a t was l i f t e d , but foreign distillate is already selling a t prices t h a t are well above domestic and continuing t o escalate, as more and more buyers—American buyers, that is—enter into the foreign market. Included among these buyers are most of the major oil companies and large utilities. The majors and the utilities obviously view the new i m p o r t licenses fee of 15 cents per barrel as no barrier, f o r they are out into the market scouring i t f o r any and all heating o i l that they can find and are offering astronomical prices f o r t h a t product. 195 As an example, tihe largest u t i l i t y i n Florida t o l d a House Committee 2 weeks ago that it was sending representatives to the A r a b countries to buy fuel oil directly; they are seeking 33 m i l l i o n barrels per year. I t should be noted that this purchase, by one u t i l i t y alone, is equivalent to one-third of the total New England annual consumption of No. 2 fuel oil. I n brief, unless the government and the Congress act and act soon, what lies ahead f o r the Northeastern States is a short f a l l i n domestic No. 2 fuel oil supplies, increasing reliance on h i g h priced foreign oil, physical shortages i n many areas, and as i n the case of gasoline, the eventual destruction of the independent fuel oil segment. One of the members of our own association has already been removed f r o m the ranks of the independents. Less than a week after the announcement of the new oil import program, the U n i o n O i l Co. of Boston was bought out by a refiner, the Coastal States Gas Producing Co. of Corpus Christi, Tex. As this committee is well aware, heating oil is a v i t a l fuel. I f there is a physical shortage of gasoline, it w i l l mean some inconvenience to some drivers and loss of money to some businesses. However, a physical shortage of heating oil poses a direct threat to the health and safety of millions of families, particularly i n the Northeastern States. Senator JOHNSTON. I s No. 2 fuel oil the same as diesel oil? M r . CIRILLO. Yes, it is. Given this background of potential shortage and destruction of the independents Senator M C I N T Y R E . Bemember my admonition now, where you can say i t i n your own words, fine and dandy. I hate to put you under such constraints but the staff thought the day was 24 hours long. M r . C I R I L L O . I w i l l just give you our recommendations f o r action. First, the Federal G o v e n rm e n t must recognize and act by J u l y 1. This should be a target date. Second, the oil policy committee should act to increase, on J u l y 1, the import allocations of Xo. 2 fuel oil f r o m 50,000 barrels a day to a minimum of 150,000 barrels a day. T h i r d , the O i l I m p o r t Appeals Board must act quickly on pendingNo. 2 oil applications. Fourth, the O i l Policy Committee should take immediate steps to discourage the use and importation of No. 2 fuel oil f r o m abroad by utilities. F i f t h , the Federal Government should continue its efforts to encourage the States to relax sulfur content standards and make them more uniform. Sixth, we recommend enactment by the Congress of allocation or rationing legislation and enactment of legislation to provide relief before the Federal Trade Commission. We should remember that those who criticized the oil import program f o r so long, including the Chairman of this committee and many of his colleagues did so because i t was not doing what i t was intended to do. The only t h i n g it succeeded i n doing—14 years ago—was that we have fewer independents now than we have ever had; our ranks have 196 been decimated and all as a result of the mandatory oil i m p o r t program. W e should l i k e to state first that the new o i l policy procedure and administrative structure appears to be a more efficient and more responsive one, and t h a t the gentlemen who are i n charge at this t i m e certainly are doing a lot of listening, which is to us, extremely important.. W e do not believe that massive changes i n the new p r o g r a m are needed or are desirable. W e agree that stability is required. A business that is as closely regulated as oil must be able to plan and act w i t h some assurance t h a t government regulations and policies w i l l remain reasonably stable. B u t , as we have indicated, when a crisis occurs—and the threat to independent marketers is a crisis—certain changes must be made to prevent serious consequences. There are five problem areas i n this new program that we see. W e are p a r t i c u l a r l y concerned about what happens i f , bv the time the fees have escalated to their h i g h point h i 1975, enough additional domestic refining capacity has not been built. W h a t do we do then ? A n o t h e r concern is whether the fees are any deterrent at all to the i m p o r t a t i o n by the major oil companies and utilities of finished products. W e do not t h i n k so. O u r discussion i n the preceding statement leads to what we believe is the most grievous flaw i n the new system, p a r t i c u l a r l y f r o m the point of view of independent petroleum marketers : The fact that major oil companies and utilities are permitted to i m p o r t finished products. W e have stated to the O i l Policy Committee on numerous occasions and are stating here today that, given current l i m i t e d availability of f o r e i g n supply, to allow the majors and utilities to i m p o r t at all, even on a fee-paid basis, throws them i n direct competition w i t h the smaller independent. W e urge that this aspect of the program be reviewed and reversed. W e agree that certain incentives should be made f o r construction of new storage capacity. W e have covered the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d before, so I w i l l go to section 30 i n which we are tremendously interested. We are pleased that the Western Hemisphere purchase l i m i t a t i o n has been suspended by the chairman of the O i l Policy Committee. T h i s action w i l l help us immeasurably. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , as we have indicated, the allocation of 50,000 barrels a day is woefully inadequate. O u r supply gap is tremendous. I t is well over 190,000 barrels at this point. Some allocations may be available f r o m the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d b u t what is really needed and what w i l l be most effective is a decision to increase the regular program to at least the level of 150,000 barrels a day. W e were i n f o r m e d when the new No. 2 fuel o i l program was being p u t together that i t was going to be based on 1972 and 1973 i m p o r t rates; and this was so done and accomplished on crude oil and residual fuel. Yet when i t came to section 30. f o r some unknown reason, i t was cut back to the pre-crisis levels. 197 I n conclusion, M r . Chairman, I should like to take this opport u n i t y of t h a n k i n g you now and the members of the committee f o r your continuing efforts on our behalf. [The f u l l statement of M r . Sostek f o l l o w s : ] S T A T E M E N T OF H E R B E R T A . S O S T E K O N B E I I A L F OF T H E I N D E P E N D E N T F U E L N A L OPERATORS A S S O C I A T I O N TERMI- M r . Chairman, T l i a n k you very much f o r the privilege o f appearing before you today. My name is H e r b e r t A. Sostek; I am Executive Vice President of •the Gibbs O i l Co. of Revere, Massachusetts, a n independent deepwater t e r m i n a l serving the New England area. I am also a member of the Independent Fuel T e r m i n a l Operators Association. W i t h me is M r . Nicholas Cirillo, Vice President of C i r i l l o Bros. T e r m i n a l Corp., an independent deepwater t e r m i n a l serving the New York and Long Island areas. Before beginning my f o r m a l statement, M r . Chairman, I should l i k e t o commend you, the members of this Committee, and the Senators, Congressmen and Governors f r o m New England and the Northeast f o r your persistent fight on behalf of independent marketers and consumers of No. 2 f u e l o i l and gasoline. I t continues to be a difficult, h a r d effort, but we have made some progress. Substantial changes i n oil i m p o r t policies have been made i n recent years and recognition is being given to the competitive and supply problems of independent marketers and deepwater t e r m i n a l operators along the East Coast. We are deeply g r a t e f u l f o r your leadership, f o r the series of fact-finding hearings and inquiries into the problem conducted by this Committee, and f o r the continuing support of the public officials of the Northeastern states. I am appearing today on behalf of the Independent Fuel T e r m i n a l Operators Association, whose 15 members operate oil terminals along the East Coast f r o m Maine to F l o r i d a . A list of members is included w r ith my statement (Attachment A ) . Our members own or control terminals capable of receiving ocean-going t a n k e r s ; none is affiliated w i t h a m a j o r oil company. A l l are qualified to participate i n the No. 2 fuel oil program established under Section 2 ( a ) (1) of Presidential Proclamation 3270, as amended, and Section 30 of the Oil I m p o r t Regulation, under which 50,000 b / d of home heating Oil is presently being imported into D i s t r i c t I (the East Coast). The members of our association are independent marketers of No. 2 fuel oil, No. 6 fuel oil, gasoline and other petroleum products. Our testimony before you i n 1971 contained a detailed analysis of deepwater t e r m i n a l operations and the history of our p a r t of the o i l business, and the record compiled by this Committee at t h a t time, "Cost and Adequacy of F u e l Oil." is a most complete and persuasive document. We should like, therefore, to l i m i t our testimony this morning to three specific topics: 1) The gasoline supply situation and its impact on independent marketers. 2) The No. 2 fuel oil (home heating oil) supply situation and its impact on independent marketers. 3) The new O i l I m p o r t Program. 1. GASOLINE The urgency and impact of the gasoline shortage have been well k n o w n to those of us i n the independent gasoline business f o r a number of months. W e are, therefore, pleased t h a t these hearings are being held, f o r they can play an i m p o r t a n t role i n b r i n g i n g a l l the facts to the attention of the public and the Executive Branch of the Federal Government. Mr. Chairman, you and other members of Congress, have been w a r n i n g f o r nearly six months about the threat of a gasoline shortage. Unfortunately once again these warnings have not been heeded: once again the Federal Government, has chosen to listen to the assurance of others t h a t the supply problems would be localized and temporary. We can state our position b r i e f l y ; I am sure i t w i l l be supported by other witnesses. The gasoline shortage w i l l be worse than anticipated: i t w i l l be 198 L and long-lasting; and unless prompt action is taken by Congress ana rne Executive Branch, a m a j o r result of t h a t shortage w i l l be the destruction of a large portion of the independent gasoline business. As independents, our chief fear is that, unless Federal policies are changed, thousands of independent gasoline stations w i l l be permanently closed, tens of thousands of persons w i l l lose their jobs and hundred of m i l l i o n s of dollars •of investments w i l l be wiped out. The short t e r m impact on us w i l l be disastrous and the long term impact on our country w i l l be equally serious, f o r i t w i l l mean greater concentration of economic power i n the hands of fewer and fewer companies and potential destruction of the competitive operators who have brought good service and lower prices to consumers. W e are not sure why the gasoline crisis has h i t so suddenly, nor who is responsible, but there are certain c o n t r i b u t i n g factors w h i c h can be readily identified: • Refiners and the Federal Government have been slow to acknowledge the crisis. • Gasoline demand is increasing s h a r p l y ; i n New E n g l a n d is i t 8.8% above last y e a r ; i n 1071 and 1972 the g r o w t h rate was an average of 4.5%. • Domestic refining capacity has not ben expanding; U.S. refineries have not been operating at f u l l capacity. • Accelerated distillate production over the past w i n t e r delayed the build-up o f gasoline stocks to adequate levels. • Federal price controls have discouraged production of some petroleum products. • Federal and state anti-polution controls have accelerated the consumption of petroleum products such as No. 2 f u e l and gasoline. Coal has been phased o u t of many regions as an i n d u s t r i a l and u t i l i t y f u e l because i t cannot meet a i r quality emission levels leaving low sulphur No. 6 f u e l and No. 2 f u e l as the only alternative fuels. Moreover exhaust control systems have led to more gasoline consumption per miles d r i v e n i n newer model cars. • The shortage of n a t u r a l gas—and the i n t e r r u p t i n g of i t s supply t o indust r i a l and u t i l i t y customers—has f u r t h e r exacerbated the No. 2 a n d No. 6 f u e l supply situation because these t w o fuels are the only a l t e r n a t i v e fuels t o take up the slack. • F i n a l l y , both environmental and economic restraints have led to a f a r slower g r o w t h i n nuclear electric generating capacity t h a n expected. T h i s has forced oil—specifically No. 2 and No. 6 f u e l — t o c a r r y a larger share of energy requirements than expected. • I n short, o i l has become the " s w i n g " fuel and now is c a r r y i n g by f a r the highest share of total energy g r o w t h each year nationwide. F a i l u r e to recognize these trends earlier has p u t an enormous s t r a i n on the oil i n d u s t r y ' s a b i l i t y to meet its new role. There seems to be general agreement on these p o i n t s ; but, u n t i l recently, l i t t l e awareness of the grave impact of a l l these factors on independent marketers of gasoline. These marketers are being cut-off by refiners—on a massive, and I repeat, massive scale. I n nearly every region of the country stations are closed, customers being rationed and successful and astute small businessmen facing ruin. The refiners are not only c u t t i n g back on d i r e c t sales to independents, I)ut are depriving independents of a l t e r n a t i v e sources of supply by buying up most available domestic and foreign gasoline o u t p u t and t a k i n g over the output of U.S. independent refineries t h r o u g h f o r m a l a n d i n f o r m a l crude o i l processing arrangements. T h i s l a t t e r development— processing arrangements—is w e l l k n o w n to the Chairman of the Committee, who has been pressing the Department of Justice f o r a n investigation and action. The foreign market offers l i t t l e hope. Some gasoline is available, but not nearly enough to meet the supply gaps facing independents; and w h a t is available is very expensive, due to the h i g h demand f r o m many A m e r i c a n buyers, including, as I have indicated, the m a j o r o i l companies. T h e f o l l o w i n g chart w i l l i l l u s t r a t e the impact of the foreign gasoline* price structure on an American independent m a r k e t e r : 199 GASOLINE—94 OCTANE REGULAR [In cents per gallon Domestic Foreign 16.0 11.5 .25 .75 23.5 11.5 .25 .75 Delivered cost to independent station Average independent posted price 28.5 34.9 36.0 34.9 Margin 16.4 -1.1 Landed price, Boston Massachusetts and Federal taxes.. Terminal charges. Average transportation to station i This provides only a marginally acceptable return on investment. Supplies are t i g h t everywhere, a n d unless something is done q u i c k l y , i n a m a t t e r of a f e w months, the s t r u c t u r e of the U.S. gasoline m a r k e t c o u l d w e l l be a l t e r e d — p e r m a n e n t l y a n d r a d i c a l l y . Some say t h a t n o t h i n g can be done a n d the " f r e e m a r k e t forces" should be a l l o w e d to operate. B u t t h e m a r k e t is n o t free. A n d c u r r e n t F e d e r a l Government policies i n c l u d i n g the n e w O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m t e n d to f a v o r t h e l a r g e r companies. Thus, w h a t is m o s t needed is p r o m p t i n t e r v e n t i o n by t h e Government to prevent e l i m i n a t i o n of the independents; i n a d d i t i o n there m u s t be some change i n o i l i m p o r t policies. T h e Government i n t e r v e n t i o n should have a simple, basic g o a l : to assure t h a t the shortage is shared equitably. A c t i o n by Congress should, we believe, be t a k e n on t w o f r o n t s : F i r s t , a s t r o n g a l l o c a t i o n a n d r a t i o n i n g s t a t u t e should be enacted w h i c h w o u l d r e q u i r e — a n d I emphasize r e q u i r e — t h e F e d e r a l Government, i n times of short supply of any p r o d u c t , to allocate deliveries a n d sales. Such allocations should be designed to equalize the i m p a c t of supply gaps a n d shortages t h r o u g h o u t the U.S. gasoline d i s t r i b u t i o n system. No one segment, level o r group of companies should be a l l o w e d to p r o f i t a t the expense of others. S e c o n d , a f o r u m should be created a n d standards established by s t a t u t e so t h a t i n d i v i d u a l companies could b r i n g f o r m a l complaints a n d secure r e m e d i a l action against a l l refiner-suppliers f o r u n f a i r t r a d e a n d m a r k e t i n g practices. W e support proposals to p r o v i d e remedies a n d a f o r u m before the F e d e r a l T r a d e Commission a n d to establish standards based on h i s t o r i c a l supply a n d p r i c e relationships. W e realize t h a t i t w i l l be d i f f i c u l t f o r the Federal Government to establish a n d a d m i n i s t e r a n a l l o c a t i o n system, b u t i t c e r t a i n l y w o u l d be less complicated t h a n the Phase I or Phase I I wage-price c o n t r o l mechanism. The crisis o f s u r v i v a l f o r the independents is no less severe t h a n t h e crisis of i n f l a t i o n f o r the consumer. I n short, a n a l l o c a t i o n system t o deal w i t h the petroleumsupply crisis can w o r k i f the Federal Government r e a l l y w a n t s i t to w o r k . W h a t we are seeking is s i m i l a r t o w h a t was done i n the case o f p r i c e c o n t r o l s — t h e establishment of a base p e r i o d a n d r e s t o r a t i o n of supply a n d price r e l a t i o n s h i p s f o r gasoline, h e a t i n g oil, and o t h e r p r o d u c t s u n t i l t h e crisis is passed. T h e r e are those w h o feel the Government should n o t i n t e r v e n e ; our response is t h a t Government p o l i c i e s — i n p a r t i c u l a r the O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m p r o c l a i m e d i n 1959—have so d i s t o r t e d the p e t r o l e u m m a r k e t t h a t t h e independent is a t a severe disadvantage. Because F e d e r a l policies have cont r i b u t e d to the crisis, t h e Government bears a heavy r e s p o n s i b i l i t y to help. T h e basic t r u t h , as I have i n d i c a t e d above, is t h a t w7e are n o t o p e r a t i n g i n a free m a r k e t system w h e n i t comes to oil. There is no such t h i n g as a f r e e m a r k e t , a n d the F e d e r a l Government should recognize this. W e should l i k e t o m a k e a f u r t h e r comment w T ith reference to o i l i m p o r t policies on gasoline. T h e new, m o r e flexible, a u t h o r i t y g i v e n to the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d can help. T h e i m p o r t licenses f o r gasoline w i l l have some value to independents w h o receive them. B u t the process is subject to abuse 200 a n d must be carefully administered and regulated. W e fear t h a t the m a j o r o i l companies and others who are not qualified may subvert the system by going to recipients of allocation and offering to buy, r a t h e r t h a n exchange, O I A B licenses: they w o u l d buy them, f o r perhaps 25 cents—half t h e i r value, accumulate a large volume of tickets f r o m a large number of independents and use those tickets to i m p o r t gasoline into t h e i r o w n supply system. I n brief, the O I A B can be a useful instrument i f i t is effectively and efficiently r u n and there is continual checking on the end use of allocations granted. We should l i k e to offer f u r t h e r comments on the new O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m l a t e r i n our statement. M r . Chairman, our specific recommendations are n a t u r a l l y designed to help our segment of the industry. B u t I t h i n k this Committee should recognize we are fighting f o r s u r v i v a l and t h a t our s u r v i v a l is of great importance to the public. F o r i f we f a i l , i f the independent is squeezed out of the market, i t is the consumer who w i l l be h u r t . The consumer—your constituents—have a direct stake i n this fight. W e are i n business to make a profit. B u t we have done t h a t by offering the consumer a lower cost alternative product of equal quality. T h a t ' s w h y we have g r o w n i n market share. P r i v a t e b r a n d retailers now account f o r over .22% of t o t a l r e t a i l gasoline sales. I f you figure t h a t our average sales price has been some 3(; per gallon under the m a j o r brand station t h a t adds up to some $700 m i l l i o n annually i n consumer savings. I n short, we have h a d a competitive impact f a r greater t h a n our size and financial strength m i g h t indicate. 2. NO. 2 F U E L O I L Under the leadership of the Chairman, t h i s Committee has over the past f e w years made a complete, thorough record on the subject of No. 2 f u e l o i l supply and the impact of shortages on independent marketers and consumers. Y o u r interest and your hearings first began i n 1968. Since t h a t date you have warned of f u e l o i l shortages and asked f o r changes i n o i l i m p o r t policies. U n f o r t u n a t e l y these warnings have not been heeded u n t i l i t was too late. Because of your deep knowledge and extensive consideration of the home heating oil problem, we w i l l not comment on i t at great length today. H o w ever, we w o u l d l i k e to provide our assessment of c u r r e n t supply problems, projections about next w i n t e r , and some recommendations f o r action. Our projections about next w i n t e r can be simply stated: Demand w i l l be higher, domestic supplies w i l l be tighter and the chances of physical shortages greater t h a n last year. The prospects are g r i m , indeed; a n d the g r a v i t y of the s i t u a t i o n must be faced now and actions taken w i t h i n the n e x t several months. As you w i l l recall, M r . Chairman, you and others began w a r n i n g about the danger of a No. 2 f u e l oil crisis more t h a n a year ago. T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n refused to act, accepting the assurances of the m a j o r o i l companies: unf o r t u n a t e l y , those assurances were wrong. Despite the emergency decontrol program ordered i n January, i t was the unseasonably w a r m weather—not decontrol—that saved millions of homeowners f r o m going cold. We cannot count on s i m i l a r luck next year. Even more i m p o r t a n t , decisions must not. as was done last year, be delayed. W e v i e w J u l y 1 as the final date on which efficient planning can take place. I n considering the actions which must be taken, the Committee m u s t be a w a r e t h a t independent marketers of No. 2 f u e l o i l are i n the same s i t u a t i o n as independent marketers of gasoline. The supply crisis f o r f u e l o i l marketers is, of course, not so apparent to the public as i n the case of gasoline, but i t is perhaps more severe. F o r example. East Coast independent deepwater t e r m i n a l operators are c u r r e n t l y f a c i n g a massive supply gap. W e are simply unable to buy any significant supplies of No. 2 f u e l o i l f r o m domestic sources: we are being cut back or cut out by almost every one of our domestic refinersuppliers. Our t o t a l demand f o r the coming year w i l l be 250-260,000 b / d . Of t h i s amount, only 65,000 bbls has been provided under firm commitments f r o m domestic refiners. I n other words, we are now facing a supply gap of more than 190,000 b / d . A n analysis of this gap, prepared l a s t m o n t h a t the request of the Office of O i l and Gas, is included as A t t a c h m e n t B of t h i s statement. 201 W h e n y o u consider t h a t our independent deepwater t e r m i n a l s p r o v i d e 25% of the delivery capacity a n d d i s t r i b u t i o n system along the E a s t Coast, y o u can realize Ihe i m p a c t t h a t t h i s shortage w i l l have o n the homeowner. Domestic supplies a r e a l r e a d y very t i g h t . T h e A P I s t a t i s t i c shows t h a t d i s t i l l a t e stocks are h i g h e r t h a n a year ago, b u t we do n o t believe t h a t stocks can be b u i l t up t o safe levels t h i s summer because of t h e e x t r a o r d i n a r y demands f o r p r o d u c t i o n of gasoline. T h e summer of 1973 w i l l be a repeat of the summer of 1972—gasoline w i l l be produced a t the expense of h e a t i n g oil. I n b r i e f , we face a repeat of the d r e a r y cycle of shortage. Some supplies of No. 2 f u e l are a v a i l a b l e f r o m f o r e i g n sources, a n d some a d d i t i o n a l access to those supplies has been p r o v i d e d under t h e n e w O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m . B u t f o r e i g n d i s t i l l a t e is a l r e a d y selling a t prices t h a t are w e l l above domestic a n d c o n t i n u i n g t o escalate, as m o r e a n d more A m e r i c a n buyers enter the f o r e i g n m a r k e t . I n c l u d e d among these buyers a r e m o s t of the m a j o r o i l companies a n d the l a r g e u t i l i t i e s . T h e m a j o r s a n d the u t i l i t i e s obviously v i e w the new i m p o r t license fee of 15 cents per b a r r e l as no b a r r i e r , f o r they a r e scouring the m a r k e t f o r a l l the h e a t i n g o i l they can find. F o r example, the largest u t i l i t y i n F l o r i d a t o l d a House C o m m i t t e e t w o wTeeks ago t h a t i t was sending representatives to the A r a b countries to buy f u e l o i l d i r e c t l y ; they are seeking 33 m i l l i o n bbls per year. I t should be noted t h a t t h i s purchase, by one u t i l i t y alone, is equivalent to 1 / 3 of N e w E n g l a n d ' s t o t a l a n n u a l consumption of No. 2 f u e l oil. I n b r i e f , unless the Government a n d the Congress act a n d act soon, w h a t lies ahead f o r the N o r t h e a s t e r n states is a s h o r t f a l l i n domestic No. 2 f u e l o i l supplies, increasing reliance on h i g h p r i c e d f o r e i g n oil, p h y s i c a l shortages i n many areas, a n d as i n t h e case of gasoline, the e v e n t u a l d e s t r u c t i o n of the independent f u e l o i l m a r k e t e r . One of the members of o u r o w n Associat i o n has already been removed f r o m t h e r a n k s of the independents. Less t h a n a week a f t e r the announcement of t h e n e w O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m , the U n i o n O i l Company of Boston was bought out by a refiner, the Coastal States Gas P r o d u c i n g Company of Corpus C h r i s t i , Texas. As t h i s Committee is w e l l aware, h e a t i n g o i l is a v i t a l fuel. I f there is a p h y s i c a l shortage of gasoline w i l l mean some inconvenience to some d r i v e r s ; a physical shortage of h e a t i n g o i l poses a d i r e c t t h r e a t to the h e a l t h a n d safety of m i l l i o n s of f a m i l i e s , p a r t i c u l a r l y i n the N o r t h e a s t e r n states a n d N e w E n g l a n d , where dependence on h e a t i n g o i l is the highest. Given t h i s b a c k g r o u n d of p o t e n t i a l shortage a n d d e s t r u c t i o n of the independents, w e should l i k e t o offer six recommendations f o r a c t i o n : F i r s t , the F e d e r a l Government must, u n l i k e l a s t year, recognize the danger a n d act before mid-year, t h a t is by J u l y 1. S e c o n d , the O i l P o l i c y Committee should act t o increase, on J u l y 1, t h e No. 2 f u e l oil i m p o r t allocations f o r independent deepwater t e r m i n a l operators f r o m t h e c u r r e n t level of 50,000 b / d to a m i n i m u m of 150,000 b / d . A s t h i s Committee knows, we were deeply disappointed by t h e l a s t m i n u t e r e j e c t i o n of recommendations to increase the level t o a t least 100,000 b / d . T h i s was a severe blow, p a r t i c u l a r l y i n v i e w of the s t r o n g evidence of shortage w e presented to the O i l P o l i c y Committee. T h i r d , , the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d m u s t act q u i c k l y on pending applications f o r No. 2 f u e l o i l i m p o r t s w h i c h meet t h e c r i t e r i a established by t h e B o a r d . H o w e v e r , we s h o u l d a d d t h a t , w 7 hile we welcome t h e o p p o r t u n i t y to seek r e l i e f f r o m t h e B o a r d , w e do n o t believe i t offers a n effective, long-range w a y of d o i n g business; i t is v e r y d i f f i c u l t to r u n a business on expectation of a year-by-year a l l o c a t i o n . F o u r t h , t h e O i l P o l i c y C o m m i t t e e should t a k e i m m e d i a t e steps t o discourage the use a n d i m p o r t a t i o n of No. 2 f u e l o i l f r o m a b r o a d by u t i l i t i e s . Massive purchases of No. 2 f u e l o i l i n t h e w o r l d m a r k e t by these companies is a sure p r e s c r i p t i o n f o r h i g h prices a n d shortage i n the home h e a t i n g sector of the m a r k e t . N o t only t h a t , t h e use of No. 2 f u e l by u t i l i t i e s is e x t r e m e l y w a s t e f u l . A home heated e l e c t r i c a l l y ( w h e n the electric p o w e r is generated by b u r n i n g No. 2 f u e l i n gas t u r b i n e generators) consumes 2y 2 t i m e s as m u c h No. 2 f u e l t o heat as a home d i r e c t l y w i t h a n o i l b u r n e r . T h i s n a t i o n can no longer a f f o r d the l u x u r y of t h a t k i n d of waste of a c r i t i c a l l y short resource. Given these f a c t s a n d t h e c u r r e n t energy crisis, w e s i m p l y cannot unders t a n d w h y c o n t i n u e d p r o m o t i o n of electric h e a t i n g is p e r m i t t e d . 202 Fifth, the Federal Government should continue its efforts t o encourage the states to relax s u l f u r content standards so t h a t the increasing amounts of No. 6 f u e l o i l can be burned i n place of No. 2 f u e l o i l and so t h a t there can be a substantial reduction i n the use of No. 2 f u e l o i l as a blend. Sixth, as indicated i n above, we recommend enactment by t h e Congress of allocation or r a t i o n i n g legislation and enactment of legislation to provide relief before the Federal T r a d e Commission. I n brief, i t is essential t h a t supply and price relationships w h i c h existed d u r i n g p r i o r years and m a i n t a i n e d u n t i l the c u r r e n t supply crisis f o r No. 2 f u e l o i l has passed. 3. T H E O I L IMPORT PROGRAM Before concluding, M r . Chairman, w e should l i k e to offer our comments and reactions to t h e new O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m which was announced by the President on A p r i l 18. As you know, the new P r o g r a m is embodied i n extensive amendments to Presidential Proclamation 3279 and O i l I m p o r t Regulation I. W e support the basic objectives of the Program. W e have long urged thatdomestic refining and storage capacity be increased and have supported efforts to reduce long-term reliance on foreign sources of crude o i l a n d petroleum products. B u t we are concerned t h a t the economic theories on w h i c h t h e new p r o g r a m is based simply do not apply to the petroleum market. W e fear t h a t , as i n the case of the o r i g i n a l O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m promulgated i n 1959, the objectives w i l l not be achieved and, i n fact, the actual results w i l l be the opposite of w h a t was intended. W e should remember t h a t those who have criticized the O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m f o r so long, i n c l u d i n g the C h a i r m a n of this Committee and many of his colleagues, d i d so because i t was not doing w h a t is was intended to do. A f t e r 14 years of a program designed to encourage domestic production and export a t i o n a n d reduce reliance on foreign imports, we find domestic production declining, domestic reserves at an all-time low, and reliance on f o r e i g n sources increasing w i t h every year. Our chief problem w i t h the new P r o g r a m is t h a t i t appears to be based on the classic l a w s of supply and demand, and attempts to use a fee or t a r i f f - t y p e mechanism to translate the forces of supply and demand i n t o c e r t a i n results. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , as we have pointed out, the r e a l i t y is t h a t the forces of supply and demand simply do not apply to a n integrated intern a t i o n a l o i l company w h i c h operates production, refining, and m a r k e t i n g facilities on both sides of the t a r i f f or fee b a r r i e r . These integrated companies make business decisions on a much different basis f r o m others i n the petroleum business, t h e i r costs are different and t h e i r i n t e r n a l price structures are different. Therefore, the simple fact is t h a t the impact of fees on integrated o i l companies and t h e i r corporate decisions is much different t h a n the impact on a l l other o i l companies. We can attest to t h i s f a c t on the basis of many years of experience as petroleum marketers both here and abroad. I t is essential to understand the difference i n the economics of the independent and the i n t e r n a t i o n a l m a j o r s i n the w o r l d market. Quite simply our cost is determined by w h a t we pay f o r product and f r e i g h t to l a n d a cargo of o i l a t our terminal. T h e i n t e r n a t i o n a l m a j o r has a f a r different set of costs. To begin w i t h , the i n t e r n a t i o n a l m a j o r s own or control most of the world's crude o i l production outside of the Soviet Union. They also o w n or control a substantial share of refining capacity around the globe. W h e n t h i e r U.S. affiliate buys gasoline or No. 2 fuel f r o m a foreign affiliate, i t ' s cost is more often t h a n not simply a n interaffiliate transfer price t h a t need bear no special relationship to the arms-length market price we must pay. The m a j o r is interested i n o p t i m i z i n g i t s profit f r o m a n integrated w o r l d wide operation. I don't blame them. I j u s t w a n t this Committee to understand the disproportionate power and leverage the m u l t i - n a t i o n a l integrated m a j o r has vis-a-vis the independent U.S. marketer. Even i n dealing w i t h a foreign p r i v a t e independent refiner the internat i o n a l m a j o r has a great advantage. The m a j o r can tie crude supply to product off-take, i f an independent refiner has a surplus of any product, the m a j o r can t a k e i t and dispose of i t i n a t h i r d m a r k e t t h r o u g h its own affiliates i n order t o secure a product i n t i g h t supply. T h i s explains why, when we and 203 a m a j o r a r e competing f o r a l i m i t e d v o l u m e of p r o d u c t p r o d u c e d by a n independent f o r e i g n refiner, i t is the m a j o r who i n v a r i a b l y gets the product. Thus, we f e a r t h a t t h e new O i l I m p o r t P r o g r a m m a y never achieve t h e excellent objectives set f o r t h i n t h e President's E n e r g y Message a n d the statements of the C h a i r m a n of t h e O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e i n s u p p o r t of t h a t Message. E v e n worse, f r o m o u r p o i n t of v i e w , t h e s h o r t - t e r m implem e n t a t i o n procedures—the p h a s i n g u p of fees a n d p h a s i n g d o w n o f fee-free i m p o r t s — w i l r e s u l t i n t h e d e s t r u c t i o n o f t h e independent segment of the m a r k e t , m o r e c o n c e n t r a t i o n of p o w e r i n the i n t e g r a t e d companies a n d g r e a t h a r m t o the A m e r i c a n consumer. T o be more specific, we should l i k e t o present a l i s t of p r o b l e m areas on w h i c h we hope t h i s C o m m i t t e e a n d the O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e can review* a n d a c t upon. W e should l i k e t o state first t h a t t h e n e w policy procedure a n d a d m i n i s t r a t i v e s t i n c t u r e appears to be a more efficient a n d m o r e responsive one, a n d w e are most encouraged. D e p u t y Secretary Simon's decision t o appoint r e g i o n a l committees of independent m a r k e t e r s was a c o n s t r u c t i v e one, a n d the i m p r o v e d c o m m u n i c a t i o n a n d exchange of ideas t h a t w i l l r e s u l t f r o m h i s a c t i o n can be h e i p f u l . T h e a t t i t u d e s a n d accessibility of M r . S i m o n ; his deputy M r . W i l l i a m J o h n s o n : A s s i s t a n t Secretary of t h e I n t e r i o r Stephen W a k e f i e l d : t h e D i r e c t o r of t h e Office of O i l a n d Gas, M r . D u k e L i g o n ; a n d the President's C o n s u l t a n t on E n e r g y , M r . Charles D i B o n a h a v e been equally encouraging. W e sense a r e a l change i n approach a n d a c o m m i t m e n t to m a k e t h e new p r o g r a m w o r k . O u r suggestions are, therefore, offered i n a s p i r i t of cooperation a n d t h e hope t h a t we can continue to w o r k w i t h the O i l Policy Committee, the D e p a r t m e n t of I n t e r i o r a n d the W h i t e House Special Committee on Energy in seeking effective solutions. W e do n o t believe t h a t massive changes i n the new P r o g r a m a r e needed n o r d e s i r a b l e ; w e agree t h a t s t a b i l i t y is required. A business t h a t is as closely regulated as o i l m u s t be able to p l a n a n d act w i t h some assurance t h a t Government r e g u l a t i o n s a n d policies w i l l r e m a i n reasonably stable. B u t , as we have indicated, w h e n a crisis occurs—and the t h r e a t to independent m a r k e t e r s is a c r i s i s — c e r t a i n change's m u s t be made, to p r e v e n t serious consequences. O u r five p r o b l e m areas are as f o l l o w s : 1. T h e i m p a c t of t h e F e e s W e a r e p a r t i c u l a r l y concerned a b o u t w h a t happens i f , by the t i m e the fees have escalated to t h e i r h i g h p o i n t i n 1975, enough a d d i t i o n a l domestic r e f i n i n g capacity has n o t been b u i l t . "What then? Should the escalation be delayed? Perhaps those w h o have t h e greatest d i f f i c u l t y i n finding p r o d u c t f r o m domestic sources, such as independents, should receive a d d i t i o n a l allocations on a l o w e r fee or fee-free basis. A n o t h e r concern is w h e t h e r t h e fees a r e any d e t e r r e n t a t a l l t o the i m p o r t a t i o n by the m a j o r o i l companies a n d u t i l i t i e s of finished products. F r a n k l y , w e do n o t t h i n k so. T h e m a j o r s ' costs are m u c h d i f f e r e n t ; they can i m p o r t v a s t volumes of gasoline, h e a t i n g o i l a n d r e s i d u a l oil, pass the cost of t h e i r fee t h r o u g h t h e i r systems a n d suffer no adverse effects. I n the case of u t i l i t i e s , they can s i m p l y pass the cost of fees on t o the consumers under t h e i r r a t e ocalation clauses. 2. I m p o r t s of F i n i s h e d P r o d u c t s by M a j o r s O u r discussion i n the preceding p a r a g r a p h leads to w h a t wTe believe the most grievous flaw i n the new system, p a r t i c u l a r l y f r o m the p o i n t of viewT of independent p e t r o l e u m m a r k e t e r s : the f a c t t h a t m a j o r o i l companies a n d u t i l i t i e s a r e p e r m i t t e d t o i m p o r t finished products. W e have stated to t h e O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e on numerous occasions a n d are s t a t i n g here t o d a y t h a t , g i v e n c u r r e n t l i m i t e d a v a i l a b i l i t y of f o r e i g n supply, to a l l o w the m a j o r s a n d u t i l ities to i m p o r t a t a l l , even on a fee p a i d basis, t h r o w s t h e m i n d i r e c t competit i o n w i t h the s m a l l e r i n d e p e n d e n t ; i t is clear, based on o u r o w n experience, w h o w i l l w i n t h i s competition. W e urge t h a t t h i s aspect of the p r o g r a m be reviewed a n d reversed. A n absol u t e p r o h i b i t i o n o n i m p o r t a t i o n by m a j o r s a n d u t i l i t i e s w i l l n o t prevent a h i g h level of i m p o r t s of products. I n f a c t a l l t h a t i s a v a i l a b l e can be i m p o r t e d by independents. B u t such a p r o h i b i t i o n w i l l p r e v e n t t h e continued e x p o r t of 06-183—73 14 204 r e f i n i n g capacity ( w h i c h results w h e n those w i t h domestic r e f i n i n g capacity t h a t can be expanded decide to i m p o r t p r o d u c t s ) ; such a p r o h i b i t i o n w i l l a l l o w the independents to s u r v i v e a n d g r o w as a c o m p e t i t i v e f o r c e i n the m a r k e t p l a c e . o. S t o r a g e C a p a c i t y W e agree w i t h the O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e t h a t t h e license fee p r o g r a m can p r o v i d e incentives f o r c o n s t r u c t i o n of a d d i t i o n a l domestic storage c a p a c i t y . W e hope t h a t a n effective i n c e n t i v e system c a n be developed a n d w i l l be pleased to w o r k w i t h t h e O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e i n any w a y possible. T h e Oil Import Appeals Board A s i n d i c a t e d above, we feel t h a t the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d can help, b u t s h o u l d n o t be v i e w e d as the complete a n s w e r f o r independents. I n f a c t , i f t h e m a j o r s a n d u t i l i t i e s are able t o corner t h e f o r e i g n m a r k e t i n gasoline a n d heati n g oil, the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d licenses w i l l be o f l i t t l e use. E v e n i f some f o r e i g n supplies are available, t h e heavy demand m a y c o n t i n u e t o d r i v e f o r e i g n prices beyond the reach of A m e r i c a n independents. F u r t h e r , we a r e concerned t h a t t h e procedures of t h e B o a r d w i l l be s u b v e r t e d by t h e m a j o r o i l companies, p a r t i c u l a r l y i n t h e case of gasoline. A s we h a v e p o i n t e d out, t h e r e is a g r e a t i n c e n t i v e f o r the m a j o r s t o buy gasoline t i c k e t s or w o r k o u t p h a n t o m exchanges to secure such tickets. T h i s m u s t n o t be a l l o w e d t o happen. Procedures m u s t be established t o assure t h a t independents w h o receive allocations a c t u a l l y i m p o r t t h e o i l f o r d i s t r i b u t i o n i n t h e i r o w n d i s t r i b u t i o n systems or exchange such t i c k e t s on a b a r r e l - f o r - b a r r e l basis t o receive p r o d u c t f o r use i n t h e i r o w n systems. W e see t h i s as a p r o b l e m p r i n c i p a l l y of enforcement a n d supervision, a n d we w i l l be g l a d to cooperate w i t h the Office of O l i a n d Gas a n d the B o a r d i n developing effective s u r v e i l l a n c e procedures. 5. S e c t i o n 30 W e are pleased t h a t the W e s t e r n H e m i s p h e r e purchase l i m i t a t i o n has been suspended by t h e C h a i r m a n of t h e O i l P o l i c y Committee. T h i s a c t i o n w i l l h e l p i m m e a s u r a b l y i n a s s u r i n g t h e most effective use of t h e i m p o r t a l l o c a t i o n s received u n d e r t h i s Section. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , as w e have indicated, t h e a l l o c a t i o n level o f 50,000 b / d is w o e f u l l y inadequate. O u r supply gap, t h e gap between o u r d e m a n d a n d domestic supplies—is v e r y severe. W e w i l l need t o i m p o r t s u b s t a n t i a l a d d i t i o n a l a m o u n t s of No. 2 f u e l o i i over the c o m i n g year. Some allocations m a y be a v a i l a b l e f r o m the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d , b u t w h a t is r e a l l y needed a n d w h a t w i l l be most effective is a decision to increase t h e r e g u l a r p r o g r a m t o a l e v e l of a t least 150,000 b / d . I n a d d i t i o n , c o n s i d e r a t i o n w i l l h a v e t o be given, w i t h i n t h e n e x t year, t o t h e question of w h e t h e r , g i v e n t h e shortage of domestic p r o d u c t , t h e No. 2 F u e l O i l P r o g r a m should be reduced i n accordance w i t h t h e schedule established by Section 11 P r o c l a m a t i o n 3279, as amended. I n conclusion, M r . C h a i r m a n , I s h o u l d l i k e t o t h a n k y o u a n d t h e members of t h e C o m m i t t e e f o r y o u r c o n t i n u i n g efforts on b e h a l f of the m a r k e t e r s a n d consumers of h e a t i n g o i l a n d gasoline. W e a r e g r a t e f u l f o r t h e o p p o r t u n i t y of a p p e a r i n g before y o u t o d a y a n d w i l l be pleased t o respond t o a n y questions t h a t y o u m a y have. T h a n k you. Attachment A MEMBERS—INDEPENDENT FUEL T :RMINAL Belcher O i l Co., M i a m i , F l a . B u r n s B r o t h e r s P r e f e r r e d , Inc., B r o o k l y n , N.Y. C i r i l l o B r o t h e r s T e r m i n a l , Inc., B r o n x , N.Y. C o l o n i a l O i l I n d u s t r i e s , Inc., Savannah, Ga. D e e p w a t e r O i l T e r m i n a l , Quincy, Mass. Gibbs O i l Co., Revere, Mass. M e n n a n O i l Co., N e w Y o r k , N . Y . N o r t h e a s t P e t r o l e u m Corp., Chelsea, Mass. OPERATORS ASSOCIATION N o r t h v i l l e I n d u s t r i e s , Corp., M e l v i l l e , N.Y. Patchogue O i l T e r m i n a l Corp., B r o o k lyn, N.Y. Ross T e r m i n a l Corp., Bayonne, N.J. Seaboard Enterprises, Inc., Boston, Mass. C. H . Sprague & Son Co., Boston, Mass. Webber T a n k s , Inc., B u c k s p o r t , M a i n e . W y a t t , Inc., N e w H a v e n , Conn. 205 Attachment B No. 2 Fuel Oil Demand—Supply Projections 1 1973-74 Bnrreh per day T o t a l demand, independent deepwater t e r m i n a l operators, d i s t r i c t 1 2 M a y 1, 1972 t o A p r . 30 ; 1973 260, 000 T o t a l demand, independent deepwater t e r m i n a l operators, d i s t r i c t I M a y 1, 1973 t o A p r . 30, 1974 (assuming a 7 percent increase i n d e m a n d a n d t h a t independents m a i n t a i n — b u t do n o t increase—their share of the east coast m a r k e t ) 278, 000 Supplies available f r o m domestic refineries (based on c u r r e n t i n f o r m a t i o n f r o m suppliers; however, this p r o j e c t i o n m a y prove o p t i m i s t i c ) _ _ 85, 000 S u p p l y gap, d i s t r i c t I , 1973-74 193, 000 1 Sec also projections on p. 16 of p e t i t i o n of Independent F u e l T e r m i n a l Operators Association to O i l Policy C o m m i t t e e , June 5, 1972; a n d projections s u p p l i e d b y association to committee, N o v . 30, 1972, a n d Mar. 15, 1973. 3 Includes a l l independents w h o q u a l i f y under section 30 of oil i m p o r t regulation. Senator MCINTYRE. Thank you very much. W e call as our next witness M r . W i l l i a m B . Deutsch of the National O i l Jobbers Council. M r . GREGG POTVIN. Senator, I w i l l be g i v i n g the statement f o r him. M r . Deutsch is here as a resource witness. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . Potvin. M r . POTVIN. Y e s , sir. M r . Chairman, I shall, i f I may, take about 1 minute on the w r i t t e n p a r t and then give you some specifics to back i t up. A n increasing number of oil jobbers today f i n d themselves placed i n a position t h a t suggests they w i l l not be able to survive economically f o r any prolonged period of time. Some suppliers are meeting their contractual commitments. A number are w i t h d r a w i n g f r o m States or even entire regions o f the country. M a n y are also c u t t i n g off i n d i v i d u a l jobbers. A s you know, an amendment t h a t is frequently referred to as the Eagleton amendment or sometimes the M c I n t y r e amendment is now law. W e suggest t h a t you give M r . Simon, by w h o m we are impressed, a chance to use those powers before enacting f u r t h e r legislation. I would simply like to j o i n the independent terminal operators i n saying f o r God's sake, do not let them repeat the f o l l y of last year, w a i t i n g u n t i l the first snow falls before we w o r r y about fuel oil. The gasoline shortage is all too apt to spawn a fuel shortage next winter. W h i l e M r . Simon is up here, we are most hopeful t h a t you w i l l lay to rest this question of whether there is a hemispheric restriction or not. I t is s t i l l i n the proclamation. H e reputedly has w r i t t e n a memorandum, but i t is scarcely a subject that you w o u l d want unresolved. W e are not able t o q u a n t i f y the hardships being encountered by oil jobbers throughout the Nation. W e do know t h a t they are extremely serious, t h a t they exist nationally i n the truest sense of the w o r d and they are increasing r a p i d l y . Currently, we are i n the process of receiving returns to a questionnaire circulated several weeks ago which should allow us to give you a rather precise profile of our members' supply difficulties. 206 W e w o u l d ask permission, M r . Chairman, t h a t we be allowed t o submit this as soon as the returns are received and tabulated—hopef u l l y — f o r inclusion i n y o u r record b u t at any rate f o r such use as may appear appropriate i n your judgment. W e w o u l d l i k e t o j o i n our voice i n saying t h a t the Cost of L i v i n g Council s i m p l y must allow the price o f petroleum products t o increase t o an extent Which w i l l reestablish the relationship o f domest i c prices to w o r l d prices. A t the present time, there have been discriminatory price increases placed on jobbers w h i l e dealers' t a n k wagon price remained unchanged. T h a t is just a polite w a y o f saying they have decreased our margins and we cannot survi ve. N o w , as a very specific example, I w o u l d l i k e to give you some examples of what has happened. There are not many metropolitan gasoline jobbers l e f t . The capital burdens are just too extreme. B u t we more or less own the markets t h a t are small-town and r u r a l . They tend t o be jobber supplied. I f they are not to be supplied by jobbers, majors w i l l take a terrible financial bath i f they t r y t o go i n and do i t themselves. A n example, a l i t t l e town, A l l e g o n i n Michigan, a jobber named D o r a n Wedge was cut off cold. H e t r i e d to peddle his customers to other sources o f supply. H e has not been able to place a single one of them. L e t me t e l l you who they include: T h e local ambulance service, the hospital, the police department, the fire department, and v i r t u a l l y every farmer f o r miles around—none o f them have gasoline today. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Where is this? M r . POTVIN. Allegon, M i c h . I t is a gentleman by the name o f D o r a n Wedge. A n o t h e r example is a jobber i n Y a k i m a , Wash., volume o f 16 m i l l i o n gallons a year was cut off by his supplier. H e supplied v i r t u a l l y every hop grower, every apple grower i n t h a t very f r u i t f u l valley. T h e y are not able to f i n d a new source o f supply. T h i s is what is happening, M r . Chairman, and I do hope you take particular pains t o look at the problems o f the farmer, because next f a l l , next f a l l , when they have just a few short weeks to harvest the f r u i t s of an entire year's* w o r k , i f t h a t f u e l is not there, I do not know w h a t they w i l l do, and i f t h e i r goods are not on the shelves and ready f o r consumption, I do not know what the rest o f us w i l l do. One of the things t h a t upsets us is t h a t a number of suppliers are aggressively seeking new customers f o r themselves and d i v e r t i n g t h a t product away f r o m t h e small businessman, the dealers, the jobbers, the private branders. I t is disquieting, Senator, to have y o u r supplier call you five times i n 3 weeks and say " M a y we send our real estate men to see y o u r station?" T h a t is the sort o f t h i n g t h a t is happening. I n too many instances our m a j o r suppliers have placed pressure on jobbers and said, do not go t o the meeting w i t h your Senator. One m i d western Senator Senator M C I N T Y R E . D O not go to what? 207 M r . POTVIN. D o not go to tell your representatives i n the Congress what your problems are, stay away f r o m them. They have encouraged them t o come i n and legislate against needed legislation. These are not too subtle pressure tactics and I t h i n k i t is time t h a t someone blew the whistle on them. Another example, you market ably and well f o r the mutual profit of yourself and your supplier f o r a number of years, and yet get i n this case 6 weeks' notice that they are not going to supply you any more. Senator M C I N T Y R E . W h o gave you 6 weeks notice? M r . POTVIN. I would like to submit f o r the record this particular cutoff letter which is f r o m Citgo. but there have been hundreds arid hundreds and hundreds o f them f r o m a great many o f the major suppliers. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I do not understand what you mean when you say that some of these m a j o r s — I do not know the majors—but you said they are looking f o r new customers. M r . POTVIN. They are looking f o r new commercial accounts first. Secondly, new properties where they w i l l market t h r o u g h their own service stations. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Let me see i f I understand. Suppose I am b u y i n g f r o m Diamond Oil. I am getting m y gasoline or whatever i t is f r o m Diamond O i l Co. Diamond calls up and says, " I am sorry, we have been shut off. I cannot provide you any more." I get a telephone call f r o m one of the major suppliers. " C a n we enlist your account? Can we now serve you?" I s t h a t what you are t a l k i n g about ? M r . POTVIN. T h a t i s what I mean. Here is one f o r m i t takes. Humble is opening A l e r t stations. Citgo is opening Research stations, M o b i l is opening Sello stations. These use the same sort o f pattern that the S I G M A marketers have used, low cost and low service and investment. They are d i v e r t i n g that product f r o m the Nation's small businessmen to their direct distribution. We do not feel i t is r i g h t . A g a i n f a r too l i t t l e notice is being given. I f there is a shortage, we concede there must be allocations, Senator, but just as our suppliers must have that r i g h t , so must small business marketers. Here is what happens. I again have an exhibit t h a t happens to be a Texaco example f o r the record. They w i l l phone on the 26th or 27th o f the month and they say you have been on allotment since the first and by the way, you have 2 gallons left. W h a t about the next customer t h a t you were going to serve t h a t now is not going to get any ? T h i s lack of notice deprives the small business marketer of m a k i n g some reasonable allocation between the needs of his customers. Suppliers should certainly be required t o give 30 t o 60 days' notice about placing our guys on allocation so t h a t we, i n t u r n , can act f a i r l y w i t h the consuming public. W h a t does i t do t o the consumer? I tell you now t h a t lack o f adequate notice means t h a t some consumers get very, very short s h r i f t and really u n f a i r treatment because we have no choice. T h a t is true of heating o i l as well as gasoline. Senator M C I N T Y R E . The exhibits w i l l be accepted w i t h o u t objection. 208 [The information follows:] C I T I E S SERVICE O I L CO., H i n s d a l e , III., A p r i l 17, 1913. Re B r a n d e d D i s t r i b u t o r Agreement T e r m i n a t i o n . M r . HARVEY JOHNSON, P E N N - G U I N O I L CO. Chicago, III. DEAR MR. JOHNSON : I n r e p l y to y o u r l e t t e r d a t e d A p r i l 3, 1973 a n d c o n f i r m i n g m y conversation of A p r i l 16. 1973, y o u r B r a n d e d D i s t r i b u t o r A g r e e m e n t w i t h o u r company dated by l e t t e r of F e b r u a r y 9, 1973 stands t e r m i n a t e d M a y 31, 1973. Y o u s h o u l d consider t h i s o u r n o t i f i c a t i o n t h a t i n accordance w i t h t h e t e r m s of t h e lease agreements m e n t i o n e d below, s a i d lease agreements s h a l l also s t a n d t e r m i n a t e d M a y 31, 1973: Lease Agreements Lease t o T e n a n t dated September 28, 1972 a n d a l l r e l a t e d documents—No. 1 2 031-211, 7169 N. M i l w a u k e e , Niles, I l l i n o i s . Lease Termination Provision Paragraph Two. Y o u a r e f u r t h e r advised t h a t f o l l o w i n g said t e r m i n a t i o n date, y o u r company should: a. Cease a n d discontinue any f u r t h e r use of o u r company's C I T G O b r a n d s a n d t r a d e n a m e i n connection w i t h y o u r sale, storage a n d d e l i v e r y of petroleum products; b. D i s c o n t i n u e any f u r t h e r use of o u r company's i d e n t i f i c a t i o n , tradem a r k s a n d b r a n d names, a n d r e t u r n a l l signs, poles, or o t h e r i d e n t i f i c a t i o n i t e m s f u r n i s h e d or leased to y o u by C I T G O i m m e d i a t e l y ; c. R e t u r n a l l C I T G O C r e d i t C a r d i m p r i n t e r s , equipment a n d m a t e r i a l s t o c u r company a n d n o t accept C I T G O C r e d i t Cards or invoices f r o m customers or dealers i n c i d e n t t o y o u r sale or resale of p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s w i t h o u t the p r i o r w r i t t e n consent of C I T G O . A r r a n g e m e n t s f o r t h e r e t u r n of C I T G O loaned equipment w i l l be c o o r d i n a t e d t h r o u g h y o u r sales representative a n d field engineer. I f t h e r e a r e any questions concerning t h e above, please advise. V e r y t r u l y yours, C. T . PABIAN, A r e a Sales Manager. N O R T H R U P O I L CO. Chillicothe, III. I received a c a l l today, 4-24-73, f r o m T o m N o r t h r u p a n d he said t h a t he was i n t r o u b l e w i t h Texaco. H e s a i d t h a t t h e y i n f o r m e d h i m t h a t he h a d 5.500 gallons u n t i l t h e end of the m o n t h a n d he r e a l l y needs t h i s m u c h d a i l y . T h e y s a i d he w a s on a l l o t m e n t a n d t h a t is a l l . H e sent a t e l e g r a m t o Texaco. I t h a d t o go to N e w Y o r k f o r approval. H e asked f o r 100,000 gallons f o r f a r m sales. T h e y t o l d h i m t h a t others h a d n o t been approved. H e is a l l o c a t i n g h i s f a r m accounts t o 100 gallons p e r d e l i v e r y . T h e y t e l l h i m they can get a l l they need f r o m S t a n d a r d Oil. N o r t h r u p O i l has been i n business m a n y years s e r v i c i n g f a r m s , home h e a t i n g , a n d service stations. T h e y are n o w faced w i t h loss of t h e i r business. M r . POTVIN. W e hope you w i l l look at pipelines and the question of whether they are being used i n a monopolistic sort o f way. I k n o w t h a t your very able staff knows a great deal about processing agreements, and I hope your committee w i l l get into t h a t area before you complete your studies. One p o i n t everyone has been d u c k i n g — I do not t h i n k you can have a successful hearing unless i t is l a i d squarely on y o u r podium. So, I am going to do i t . I t goes l i k e this. F i r s t , we have talked about the diversion of products f r o m the small business column to the direct marketing column by the large majors. 209 I t h i n k on t h a t question, a l l small business marketers really are united. W e do not t h i n k i t is r i g h t . W i t h i n the independent ranks, though and you are independent whether you are a branded jobber or whether you use your own name on the sign even i f there are some differences. A l o t o f people buy on contract, branded and unbranded. F o r many, many years they have p a i d really a tremendous premium. Just a year or a year and a h a l f ago there were many witnesses i n before one o f your sister committees, p o i n t i n g this out, and t h a t the premium charged f o r branded gas was so excessive, so unreal, so artificial, that i t prevented the sort of price competition that Professor A l l v i n e so eloquently espoused a few minutes ago. The private brander on contract also p a i d a premium, less so but s t i l l a premium. Others because excess gasoline and a t much lower prices k n o w i n g i t was excess. Now, you just have a very difficult exercise i n ethics and business m o r a l i t y t r y i n g to decide what are the relative rights o f the parties. I f I buy excess gasoline at a much lower price k n o w i n g i t is excess, what k i n d of a historic track record does t h a t give me a r i g h t to— the same bundle o f rights t h a t a contract buyer t h a t was paying a premium, y o u m i g h t liken i t to an insurance premium because one of the things he was b u y i n g was continuity o f supply ? When, f o r the first time, i t has become important, there are those who say even though you paid f o r continuity—now you cannot have it. So, I do t h i n k y o u have got to make those distinctions. T h i s is a question t h a t you must deal w i t h and not gloss over. T h a n k you very much. Senator MCINTYRE. The b i g oil companies I take i t or the majors, they are pretty well represented, and I am sure t h a t their arguments on t h a t basis w i l l be heard. B u t I am delighted to have you mention them. I said at the beginning we want f a i r and open hearings. L e t me move on here quickly to M r . Deutseh. M r . DEUTSCII. I b r i n g to you the facts of what is happening i n I l l i n o i s and the U p p e r Midwest. The gasoline situation is daily getting worse out there. Y o u r State governments are beginning to scream now because, when they go out asking f o r contracts f o r t h e i r gasoline allotments f o r the coming year, they are quickly t o l d t h a t nobody w i l l b i d and no bids come in. I noticed yesterday as I was coming down on the plane, the State of Missouri was getting worried on how they were going t o fuel their police cars—-unless they went into service stations w h i c h means they would have to appropriate more money. I n I l l i n o i s we are going t o lose about a h a l f - b i l l i o n gallons b y June 1 o f the market. The jobber market is a l i t t l e over 2 b i l l i o n gallons. T h a t means one-quarter o f the market is going to be gone out of a 5-billion market. T h i s was the figures f r o m last year. W h a t I have done is to put together the companies t h a t have either already l e f t I l l i n o i s , that are planning to leave, or the ones t h a t are going to be gone by June 1. There are three segments i n there because some have announced, like G u l f t h a t they w i l l not leave u n t i l the end o f the year. 210 A l r e a d y we have lost T r i a n g l e Refineries, C l a r k O i l , and sections of Cities Service and Sun O i l . So we are a h a l f - b i l l i o n short i n I l l i n o i s r i g h t now when the first of June hits. F r o m there on, i t is going to be rough because r i g h t now they are t r y i n g t o allot enough product to the farmers. The only t h i n g t h a t has been saving them out there, l i k e the w a r m weather saved the w i n t e r on the heating oil, the heavy rains t h a t we have been h a v i n g out there have kept the farmers f r o m g e t t i n g i n t o the fields. Last week they got into the fields f o r 5 days before the weekend of r a i n started i n again. R i g h t quickly we began t o get calls f r o m farmers. The States have a hotline w h i c h the farmers call i n on. They, i n t u r n , call us. I can tell you t h a t hotline was h o t o n F r i d a y and Saturday. I n fact, they kept i t open on Saturday. These farmers are h a v i n g a h a r d time getting product to do t h e i r s p r i n g p l o w i n g , the p l a n t i n g of crops. I n fact, w i t h the lateness of the season, a l o t of them are overlooking the p l o w i n g and they are doing what is called c u t t i n g and planting, because they do not have the time to do w h a t they should do. N o t only i n I l l i n o i s but the entire upper Midwest. [ T h e complete statement of National O i l Jobbers Council f o l l o w s : ] STATEMENT OF "ROBERT SCHRIMPF, CHAIRMAN, GASOLINE COMMITTEE, NATIONAL O I L JOBBERS C O U N C I L M r . Chairman. I would l i k e to commend you and your colleagues f o r h o l d i n g t h i s much needed hearing. I am appearing here today on behalf of the 13,000 small businessmen f r o m the 48 continental states who sell approximately 25% of the nation's automotive gasoline and 75% of its f u e l o i l requirements. As you know, the extreme shortage of supply of gasoline, diesel f u e l and number 2 heating oil being currently encountered by small business d i s t r i b u t o r s constitutes an increasingly serious problem t h a t i n many instances is already at the s u r v i v a l level. A t the present time, an increasing number of oil jobbers find themselves placed i n a position t h a t suggests they w i l l not be able to survive economically f o r any prolonged period of time. A number of suppliers are w i t h d r a w i n g f r o m states or even entire regions of the country. Many suppliers are also c u t t i n g off i n d i v i d u a l jobbers. T h i s is being done on a basis quite independent f r o m whether they have been efficient marketers or not, frequently the c r i t e r i o n p r i m a r i l y relied upon appears to be the net r e t u r n rendered to the supplier. A smaller jobber is p a r t i c u l a r l y vulnerable to this sort of treatment. Needless to say, the small t o w n or f a r m customers t h a t he serves w i l l have no a l t e r n a t i v e source of supply i f he is cut off. I n an aggregate sense, this may w e l l have a most serious impact upon the nation's a g r i c u l t u r a l sector. M a n y branded jobbers are also being placed on severe allocations which makes i t impossible f o r Ihem to serve the needs of t h e i r customers. Unbranded small business marketers are also undergoing considerable difficulty i n obtaining an adequate source of supply. To survive, the nation's small business marketers of petroleum products must have an adequate and continuing source of supply ot a price w h i c h allows them to be f u l l y competitive. Denied either of these, i t is clear t h a t thousands of them w i l l perish. The net result of t h i s w i l l be a fantastic added increment of economic concentration. Recently, Congress has enacted into l a w a provision f o r the allocation of petroleum products to prevent undue hardship to any region of the country and also to prevent anticompetitive effects r e s u l t i n g f r o m c u r r e n t shortages of petroleum products. Since t h a t time, there has been an increasing p r o l i f e r a tion of new legislative proposals directed towards a solution of current petro- 211 leum d i s t r i b u t i v e problems. I t seems to us t h a t M r . W i l l i a m Simon, C h a i r m a n of the O i l Policy Committee, has proven both his sincerity and his a b i l i t y . I t seems to us t h a t i t would be shortsighted, i n the extreme, not to give M r . Simon and his newly granted powers under the so-called Eagleton Amendment a f u l l chance a t effecting workable solutions before any f u r t h e r legislation is considered. I t is our thought t h a t there is good reason to suppose t h a t negotiations between M r . Simon and his very able staff and the nation's integrated refiners may w e l l result i n a v o l u n t a r y solution which would best serve the public. I n the i n t e r i m , there is, of course, a number of i n d i v i d u a l cases i n which suppliers have used indefensible tactics. I n advocating t h a t no f u r t h e r legislation be enacted u n t i l i t is determined whether the so-called Eagleton Amendment holds the u l t i m a t e answer to present difficulties, let me emphasize t h a t we do feel t h a t i t is of p r i m e importance t h a t the Congress continue its investigations and m a i n t a i n its present intense level of interest i n this problem. I t may w e l l be t h a t difficulties i n the near f u t u r e w i l l dictate a speedy response on the p a r t of the Congress i f the public interest is to be preserved and protected i n this v i t a l area. The only exception constituting a present need f o r additional legislation m i g h t be, M r . Chairman, t h a t as Senator Jackson's B i l l suggests i t does not appear t h a t the present state of the l a w allows the use of the Eagleton Amendment powers on behalf of the public health, safety and w e l l being. I t may well be t h a t this is an a d d i t i o n which is presently needed to f u r t h e r protect such v i t a l needs such as hospitals, police departments, fire departments, etc. W h i l e we are a l l currently absorbed i n the gasoline shortage, let i t not be forgotten f o r one moment t h a t a l l of the products processed f r o m a barrel of crude oil w i l l inextricably be interrelated. Let us, by a l l means, insure t h a t we do not repeat the f o l l y of last w i n t e r and w a i t u n t i l the first snow has f a l l e n before w o r r y i n g about an adequate supply of heating oil. As you know, M r . Chairman, much of the genesis of our current shortage of gasoline may be a t t r i b u t e d to the nation's refineries having to churn out f u e l o i l long a f t e r the gasoline build-up customarily would have commenced. B y the same token—a realistic appraisal indicates t h a t one must fear t h a t the need to supply sufficient gasoline through the summer and early f a l l months may add greatly to the supply difficulties f o r the heating sector of the i n d u s t r y next winter. M r . Chairman, one of the salient points i n v i e w i n g the oncoming heating season is the d i r e necessity of converting much of the i n d u s t r y and the vast m a j o r i t y of the nation's electrical u t i l i t i e s f r o m heating o i l to coal. There is, i n being, technology which renders i t economically feasible w i t h o u t undue h a r m to a i r quality to consume coal f o r i n d u s t r i a l and u t i l i t y purposes. Make no mistake about i t — t h e alternative is the consumption of hundreds of millions of barrels of desperately needed number 2 heating o i l to f u e l the so-called gas turbine generators f o r electrical utilities. Sadly, this is a most inefficient use of a scarce resource. T h a t p o r t i o n of the electrical energy so produced which is consumed f o r space heating produces only a f r a c t i o n a l number of B T U s which would be produced by applying the same amount of heating o i l directly to residential heating consumption. W e are hopeful, too, M r . Chairman, t h a t the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l see fit to remove the Western Hemispheric restriction which has done so much to impede the orderly procurement of heating oil supplies as w e l l as gasoline supplies i n the wiorld market. M r . Chairman, the N a t i o n a l O i l Jobbers Council represents both branded and unbranded marketers. We are hopeful t h a t both may be accorded equitable treatment by their suppliers. However, i t must be noted t h a t contract buyers— both branded and unbranded—for decades now have been p a y i n g a much higher price t h a n those who have bought excess gasoline i n the so-called "spot" market. Spot buyers were b u y i n g excess gasoline at a most advantageous price w i t h the f u l l knowledge t h a t should there be no excess, there would be no spot market. I t seems to us t h a t you have a most difficult exercise i n ethics and business m o r a l i t y to determine the degree to which i t is m o r a l l y defensible to invade the subsisting contract of a small businessman who has p a i d a distinct premium f o r its continuing existence i n order 10 supply those who currently find that shortages have dried up previously existing supplies and thereby the spot market. F u r t h e r , both the Congress and the A d m i n i s t r a t i o n are confronted w i t h substantial constitutional questions as to the degree to which subsisting con- 212 tracts can be abrogated o r abridged w i t h o u t the declaration o f a n a t i o n a l emergency. I t is most difficult f o r us today t o q u a n t i f y the hardships being encountered by oil jobbers throughout the nation. W e do k n o w t h a t they are extremely serious, t h a t they exist n a t i o n a l l y i n the truest sense of the wtord and t h a t they are increasing rapidly. Currently, we are i n the process o f receiving returns to a questionnaire circulated several weeks ago which should a l l o w us t o give you a r a t h e r precise profile of our members' supply difficulties. W e w o u l d ask permission, M r . Chairman, t h a t we be allowed t o submit this as soon as the returns are received and tabulated—hopefully, f o r inclusion i n y o u r record, but a t any rate, f o r such use as may appear appropriate i n y o u r judgment. A f u r t h e r point t h a t requires extensive study and action by the Congress is the enlarging of the supply of crude by approving a pipeline route f r o m the n o r t h e r n slope o f Alaska. Many feel t h a t the so-called alternate route t h r o u g h the McKenzie Valley i n Canada is preferable to the western route. A t any rate, however, i t i s clear t h a t undue delay is indefensible. W e also w i s h t o urge upon y c u the g r a n t i n g of such incentives to the refining sector o f the i n d u s t r y as may be necessary to achieve increased exploration, production and refining capacity. T h i s includes such specifics as the encouragement of offshore d r i l l i n g w i t h adequate environmental safeguards and the establishment o f superports. I t is also imperative t h a t the Cost of L i v i n g Council a l l o w the price o f petroleum products t o increase t o a degree w h i c h w i l l reestablish the relationship of domestic prices t o the w o r l d price. A t a m i n i m u m , i t is clear t h a t a t the earliest possible time w o r l d prices must be allowed t o be averaged w i t h the domestic prices. Otherwise, different sets o f consumers w i l l be confronted w i t h substantially different prices f o r the same commodity. Recently, a number o f suppliers have imposed d i s c r i m i n a t o r y price increases upon jobbers w h i l e leaving t h e i r own r e t a i l prices unchanged. T o impose a price increase a t the wholesale level w h i l e leaving the price t o retailers unchanged is actually an erosion o f the wholesalers' margin. Suppliers should n o t be allowed to single out one class of customer f r o m a commodity classification to increase t h e i r net realization of profit. I f they are going t o raise the price of gasoline or any other commodity, they should certainly be required t o do i t across the board. M r . Chairman, wre would l i k e t o t h a n k you and your colleagues f o r t h i s opportunity t o appear before you a t the t i m e when the s u r v i v a l o f so many thousands o f small businessmen i n the petroleum i n d u s t r y i s i n the balance. W e appreciate your interest, your concern and your courage i n p u r s u i n g these difficult issues. W e shall be happy t o respond t o any questions w h i c h you may have. Senator MCTXTYRE. W e call on M r . D o u g Baker of the N a t i o n a l Self-Service Gasoline Association. M r . Baker, we welcome y o u here, and M r . J i m Parrish. D o both have statements y o u w i s h to make? STATEMENT O FJAMES R. PARRISH, MANAGER, TJ G A S PRESIDENT UM, A N D GENERAL INC. M r . PARRISH. M y name i s J . R.—Jim—Parrish. I am president and general manager o f U Gas U M , I n c . w i t h headquarters located i n Denver, Colo. W e have eight self-serve gasoline stations located i n the States o f Nebraska and W y o m i n g . I am here on behalf o f myself and t h e N a t i o n a l Self Serve Gasol i n e Association w h i c h has approximately 200 members w h o o w n and control approximately 9,000 self-service gas stations i n the U n i t e d States. I am g o i n g t o deviate considerably f r o m m y statement i n the interest of time and e x p l a i n t h a t one of the reasons I and some o f the members o f our g r o u p t h o u g h t t h a t I should t e s t i f y is t h a t I a m probably the littlest operator t h a t w i l l offer any testimony here as f a r as the size o f business is concerned. C e r t a i n l y , I am not i n the category w i t h M r . L i c h t m a n o r the gentleman f r o m Alabama, although o u r ^problems are the same. 213 I w o u l d l i k e to e x p l a i n t h a t i n m y o w n situation t w o o f m y stations i n Eastern Nebraska w i l l p r o b a b l y be closed before I r e t u r n f r o m these hearings f o r lack of product. I have made a t t e m p t s t o secure supply f o r those stations. One o f t h e m j u s t opened f o r business less t h a n 6 months ago, o n October 20. I have a $91,000 mortgage indebtedness on i t , a n d because o f m y testimony here, i f i t gets t o m y banker back i n Nebraska, I a m sure he is g o i n g t o be c a l l i n g some loans on me. T h a t is a r i s k t h a t I h a d to take. A d d i t i o n a l l y , on the 20th o f this month, I w i l l probably lose m y assured s u p p l y f o r t w o Western W y o m i n g stations. I have no idea where I w i l l get a s u p p l y f o r those. I f I close those, I w i l l be d o w n t o 50 percent i n operation. U n f o r tunately, w i t h the c h a i n of 8 stations, m y cash flow w i l l n o t allow me to pay the mortgages on the rest of them. M y w i f e t h o u g h t perhaps I was nuts t o spend $5, $6, $7, or $800 to come d o w n here k n o w i n g I was probably g o i n g broke. I said, hell, I d i d n o t have any choice. Senator MCTXTYRE. P u t i t on one o f Arco's credit cards. M r . PARRISH. I m i g h t do that. I t should be pointed out f o r the record, I d i d t h i s at l e n g t h i n m y prepared testimony w h i c h has been submitted, t h a t thousands o f both large and small operators l i k e myself have never purchased our gasoline requirements on a contract. W e have, i n fact, as M r . P o t v i n p o i n t e d out, bought on w h a t is referred t o i n the statement as " r a c k " pricing. B u t I w o u l d l i k e to p o i n t out, we were a darned i m p o r t a n t piece of business t o those refiners f o r t h i s reason: T h e y were able, t h r o u g h the purchase of people l i k e S I G M A and the gentlemen a t t h i s table, to r u n t h e i r refineries at a greater degree o f capacity because o f the product we purchased f r o m them. T h e y w o u l d n o t have g i v e n i t to us i f they h a d been able to sell i t t h r o u g h t h e i r o w n branded outlets. T h e o l d law o f the incremental barrel on profits c e r t a i n l y applied there. A d d i t i o n a l l y , we d i d buy at a somewhat less price t h a n some o f the branded t y p e customers of t h e i r own. B u t , I used to be m a r k e t i n g v c ie president o f an independent r e f i n i n g company and i n t h i s part i c u l a r company we made more money on the imbranded o r rack buyers. F o r w h a t reasons ? O u r rack -buyers h a d t o f u r n i s h t h e i r o w n transportation. T h e y delivered p r o d u c t to t h e i r o w n stations whereas branded people have a f r e i g h t allowance. Rack buyers get no price protection, there is no advertising expense, no credit card expense. The supplier does not help pay f o r t h e investment i n station facilities o f rack buyers n o r spend huge a d v e r t i s i n g expenditures as is done f o r branded stations. A d d t h a t a l l together and there is significant savings. W e have i n f a c t p e r f o r m e d a very significant f u n c t i o n f o r the people who today are c u t t i n g us off. I do not t h i n k I need to elaborate any f u r t h e r on the importance o f the independent or p r i v a t e brander to the refiner-supplier. I w o u l d like to point out our importance t o the consumer. 214 I opened one o f m y eight stations 2 years ago, a t an expense o f about $75,000 i n Rawlins, Wyo., a t o w n o f about 7,000^ people. T h e p r i n c i p a l p a y r o l l there comes f r o m the State penitentiary and the U n i o n Pacific Railroad. W h e n I opened there was very l i t t l e independent competition, only a couple o f other independents. I opened at the independent's p r e v a i l i n g retail price which at t h a t t i m e was 7 cents per gallon underneath a l l the major stations i n town. T h e m a j o r stations really 'had the b u l k o f the business. I was tickled t o death to give our customers a 7-cents-a-gallon less b u y i n g price f o r at t h a t time, and f o r the first 12 months I was i n business, I s t i l l made 11 cents a gallon. A s k any independent m a n i n this room i f he could not get wealthy on an i l - c e n t m a r g i n . I was s t i l l saving tihe consumer 7 cents a gallon. T h i s shows the impact i n some areas t h a t we have h a d on the consumer's pocketbook. I mentioned that i n a l l probability I w i l l be out of business very soon. I doubt t h a t any suggested corrective actions t h a t have been offered o r t h a t we w i l l offer is i n t i m e f o r me. T h a t is too bad b u t t h a t i s m y problem. Maybe I can help some other l i t t l e guy. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I S i t not true f r o m the day you first started to t h i n k about going into this self-serve business, y o u were dealing w i t h the suppliers' excess and t h a t you were always on the outer r i m o f the perimeter, you w o u l d be the first guy shut off i f there was somet h i n g to happen to the suppliers ? I n other words, y o u were never a grade-A risk f o r me as an investor? M r . PARRISH. I have been i n the gasoline business since the day I graduated f r o m college, some 20 years ago, and some o f i t was the s u p p l y i n g end of the business. I have also been a trade association executive f o r the branded independent oil jobbers. Perhaps I should have been able to forecast a supply shortage b u t not even the m a j o r o i l companies were able to forecast t h i s shortage a few months ago. They were continuing and are today f o r t h a t matter c o n t i n u i n g to b u i l d branded stations. I f e l t there was no risk. A s recently as last November, I had people calling—knocking on m y door t o sell me products. N o w , I cannot understand i n this computer age t h a t we cannot forecast—certainly t h a t tihe b i g b i l l i o n dollar companies cannot forecast a l i t t l e more accurately t h a n 6 months and k n o w t h a t we are i n a supply problem. T h i s over-supply or excess situation has existed f o r the 20 years I have been i n business and there was no reason to suspect t h a t i t was ever going t o be any different. I w o u l d i n v i t e the gentleman f r o m S I G M A as well as the other private branders to back me up on that. M y banker certainly d i d not t h i n k i t was a risk. A n d i f I h a d thought i t was, I assure you m y name would not be personally on those promissory notes. I wish they were not r i g h t now. I w i l l w i n d this up shortly. I have been so alarmed i n the last 60 davs about the fact t h a t I would probably i n fact go b a n k r u p t t h a t I thought maybe one course of action was to go back to all the refiners f r o m whom I t r i e d to buy 215 product and offer them fire-sale prices to lease or buy my complete chain of stations. I have a file i n my brief case w i t h letters f r o m 13 different refining companies t u r n i n g me down. I f e l t i f I could possibly pay m y mortgages and get out whole, I would prefer doing that, obviously. I d i d not get -a single offer. I d i d have one that took the time to charter an airplane and go around and look at some of them w i t h me 2 weeks ago. I would like to make a point o f disagreement w i t h M r . P o t v i n i n his statement. The premium price t h a t the branded jobber d i d pay over what we " R a c k " buyers have been historically p a y i n g over the years was not just f o r continuity of supply. A s I pointed out before, u n t i l the last few months, there was no reason t o even remotely suspect that we would not have a continuing supply. B u t there were other reasons, obvious reasons f o r the branded jobbers t o pay more. The brand acceptance. You, yourself, Senator M c I n t y r e , indicated earlier you thought we sold lesser quality products. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Cut rate. M r . PARRISII. Y O U bet, we are the bad guys i n the black hats. Senator M C I N T Y R E . A S far as I was concerned, you were. M r . PARRISII. Y O U are not unique. Also, f o r the credit cards. A b i g bundle of business is brought t o retail stations by the fact t h a t people carry credit cards. I take the bank cards, B a n k America Card—Master Charge, and so on. A n d certainly there must be some advantage to the tremendous millions and millions o f dollars t h a t the majors have i n the past, and f o r reasons I cannot understand, are continuing to spend on advertising. The answer they give us when they cut us off is we have got a supply shortage, but they are s t i l l advertising i n the media f o r new business. O u r recommendations f o r corrective actions have a l l been mentioned here briefly, and M r . Baker has a couple of statements about his business which apply to these hearings. I appreciate my chance to come back here and t a l k to you f r o m a l i t t l e operator's standpoint. A n y t h i n g t h a t can be done w i l l have to be done a w f u l l y fast. I t can only be done on the executive level t o be i n time to help me. T h a n k you very much. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Y o u r f u l l statement w i l l be put i n the record i n its entirety. [ T h e statement of M r . P a r r i s h f o l l o w s : ] S T A T E M E N T OF J A M E S R. P A R R I S H , P R E S I D E N T A N D G E N E R A L M A N A G E R , U G A S UM, INC. Appearing a t this hearing on behalf o f my company and the N a t i o n a l Self Service Gasoline Association whose 200 members own and operate approximately 9,000 self service gasoline stations i n 40 States. Definition of p r i v a t e brand m a r k e t e r : 1. Owns or controls by long t e r m lease—one or more gasoline stations. 2. Utilizes his own brand or trade m a r k — n o t the b r a n d o f a refiner-supplier. 3. Purchases gasoline a n d / o r diesel f u e l on the open market, either directly f r o m a refiner or petroleum broker. 4. Product i s delivered t o stations by own transport trucks o r commercial carrier. 2X6 5. A v e r a g e s t a t i o n i n v e s t m e n t w o u l d range f r o m a l o w of $10,000 f o r a s m a l l t w o (2) p u m p self serve o u t l e t u p to $250,000 f o r some of t l i e l a r g e self serve or f u l l service t y p e stations. 6. O u r company's average s t a t i o n cost is a p p r o x i m a t e l y $85,000. 1. HISTORY OF PRIVATE BRAND GASOLINE MARKETERS T h e y h a v e g r o w n i n the l a s t 25 years f r o m a n i n f i n i t e s i m a l m a r k e t p o s i t i o n t o a p o s i t i o n today where they sell as m u c h as 4 0 % o f the t o t a l i n some geographic markets. They have performed two very important marketing functions: A . I m p o r t a n c e t o t h e R e f i n i n g S e g m e n t of t h e I n d u s t r y 1. T h e o i l companies ( b o t h m a j o r s a n d independents) w e r e able t o operate t h e i r refineries a t a greater percentage of capacity by s e l l i n g to p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s w h e n they w e r e unable t o m a r k e t t h e i r e n t i r e p r o d u c t i o n t h r o u g h t h e i r o w n b r a n d e d stations. T h i s of course p r o v i d e d a g r e a t e r r e t u r n on stock holders investments. 2. Sales to p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s have been q u i t e p r o f i t a b l e f o r t h e refiners f o r o t h e r reasons, i.e. A . N o investment i n the p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s m a r k e t i n g outlets. B . N o b r a n d a d v e r t i s i n g expense. C. N o p r i c e w a r allowances or discounts. D . No c r e d i t c a r d expense. E. N o expensive lessee-dealer o p e r a t o r changes. H i s t o r i c a l l y , gasoline dealers h a v e h a d one of the w o r s t m o r t a l i t y rates of a l l independent businessmen i n the U n i t e d S t a t e s — u p w a r d s t o 3 0 % p e r year. F . No d e l i v e r y expenses. B. Importance to the Consumer 1. P r o v i d e d q u a l i t y p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s a t reduced p r i c e s — t h i s w a s made possible b y : A . O r i g i n a t i n g t h e p r a c t i c e of by-passing b u l k storage p l a n t s a n d m a k i n g l a r g e t a n k car or t r a n s p o r t t r u c k deliveries d i r e c t l y f r o m t h e r e f i n e r y or pipe l i n e t e r m i n a l s to the r e t a i l stations. B. O r i g i n a t i n g t h e concept of m u l t i - p u m p stations w i t h l a r g e d r i v e s w h i c h made f o r g r e a t e r s t a t i o n v o l u m e by speed of service. C. O r i g i n a t e d the self service gasoline concept w h i c h enabled the p r i v a t e b r a n d e r to l o w e r M s l a b o r expense a n d pass the savings on t o t h e customer. N o t only d i d the p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t e r o r i g i n a t e t h e idea o f self service, b u t f o u g h t t h e b a t t l e s w i t h the c i t y , c o u n t y a n d state regul a t o r y agencies i n a n e f f o r t t o get t h e self service concept legalized. T o d a y t h e r e are only s i x states w h i c h p r o h i b i t self service gas stations. T h i s w a s done w i t h no help f r o m the b r a n d e d refiners a n d m a n y t i m e s considerable opposition. D . A n d probably most i m p o r t a n t o f a l l , t h e p r i v a t e b r a n d e r p r o v i d e d a n aggressive degree of c o m p e t i t i o n i n t h e m a r k e t place w h i c h h a d here-tof o r e never existed. 2. CURRENT PROBLEMS A . Gasoline a n d diesel supply s i t u a t i o n s f o r p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t e r s i s c r i t i c a l a n d g e t t i n g worse d a i l y . 1. D u r i n g t h e last 30 days, h u n d r e d s of p r i v a t e b r a n d s t a t i o n s have been closed due to t h e u n a v a i l a b i l i t y of p r o d u c t . 2. I n c r e a s i n g numbers of o t h e r p r i v a t e b r a n d s t a t i o n s are f o r c e d t o reduce s t a t i o n o p e r a t i n g h o u r s a n d i n some cases a r e o n l y open f o r business 2 o r 3 days per week. 3. M a n y p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s have h a d t h e i r supplies completely s h u t off by t h e i r refiner-suppliers. 4. M o s t h a v e h a d t h e i r supplies d r a s t i c a l l y c u t or allocated. 5. T h i s is i n spite of the f a c t t h a t m a n y of these same refiners c o n t i n u e t o a d v e r t i s e i n t h e t r a d e j o u r n a l s t h a t t h e y h a v e p r o d u c t f o r sale t o t h e p r i v a t e b r a n d or independent m a r k e t e r . ( Y o u h a v e been f u r n i s h e d sample copies of t h e i r recent a d v e r t i s e m e n t s ) . M a n y of these refiners c o n t i n u e t o c o n s t r u c t o r purchase new branded stations, several h a v e d i s c o n t i n u e d use of t h e i r o w n b r a n d i d e n t i f i c a t i o n a t some of t h e i r stations a n d have u t i l i z e d i n s t e a d som£ u n k n o w n b r a n d t r a d e m a r k such as B l u e Goose, J a c k Pot, Sello, A l e r t etc.— 217 t h e n c u t t h e r e t a i l p r i c e i n a n e f f o r t t o increase volume. S t i l l others are m a k i n g s i g n i f i c a n t investments i n c a r w a s h i n g equipment so they can offer a f r e e wTash w i t h gasoline purchases. I t ' s r e a l l y h a r d to comprehend. B. T h e b u y i n g prices of the p r i v a t e branders a r e s k y - r o c k e t i n g w h i l e a t t h e same t i m e t h e phase three r e t a i l prices of the top 23 m a j o r o i l companies have us i n a vice t h a t is squeezing the economic l i f e f r o m us. 1. Y o u w i l l note f r o m the w r i t t e n m a t e r i a l t h a t I have f u r n i s h e d y o u t h a t m y o w n company has h a d p r o d u c t cost increases f o r gasoline a n d diesel f u e l r a n g i n g f r o m 21.5% to 59.2% d u r i n g t h e p e r i o d J a n u a r y 1, 1973 t o M a y 1, 1973. Couple t h i s w i t h t h e f a c t t h a t f o r l a s t year m y company's t o t a l gross p r o f i t was only 21.1% of sales ( d o c u m e n t a r y v e r i f i c a t i o n of t h i s has also been f u r n i s h e d to y o u g e n t l e m e n ) . Phase T h r e e is a r e a l disaster f o r u s ! ! M o s t p r i v a t e b r a n d companies a r e experiencing a s i m i l a r squeeze. C. H o w serious is t h i s o v e r a l l s i t u a t i o n t o m y company U Gas U M ? T w o of o u r e i g h t stations w i l l be closed as soon as the present p r o d u c t is depleted f r o m the storage tanks, p r o b a b l y before I r e t u r n f r o m these hearings. Exhaust i v e efforts have been made t o find a n o t h e r supplier b u t to no a v a i l . One of these was j u s t opened f o r business o n October 20, 1972 a n d has a .$91,000 m o r t g a g e indebtedness against i t . T w o more of o u r stations i n western W y o m i n g only have a n assured supply u n t i l the 20th of t h i s month. These also a r e q u i t e h e a v i l y encumbered w i t h mortgages a n d efforts to o b t a i n a back-up supply have been f u t i l e . 3. SUGGESTED SOLUTIONS : SUPPLY A N D PRICE A . E i t h e r by a d m i n i s t r a t i v e a c t i o n ( p r e f e r a b l e due to the essence of t i m e ) or by l e g i s l a t i v e a c t i o n there should be i n s t i t u t e d a p l a n p a t t e r n e d a f t e r t h e " s m a l l business set aside" p r o g r a m used f o r years by the f e d e r a l government to see t h a t s m a l l independent refiners are g i v e n a chance t o o b t a i n a p o r t i o n of the government's p e t r o l e u m purchases. 1. A l l refiners should be r e q u i r e d t o offer a specific percentage of t h e i r refinery p r o d u c t i o n of gasoline a n d diesel f u e l f o r sale to p r i v a t e b r a n d m a r k e t e r s based upon the percentage of purchases made by p r i v a t e branders to the t o t a l gasoline a n d diesel sales made by a l l refiners i n the U n i t e d States d u r i n g a base period such as t h e m o n t h of J u l y , 1972. 2. T h i s " s m a l l business set aside" or " p r i v a t e brander set aside" as I s h a l l c a l l i t , should be sold a t the s a m e x>rice t h a t each i n d i v i d u a l refiner sells to i t s branded jobber or wholesale accounts. B y so doing, the refiner w i l l i n f a c t be m a k i n g a greater p r o f i t on the gallons sold to t h e p r i v a t e brander since there w i l l be no a d v e r t i s i n g , c r e d i t card, p r i c e protection, delivery expenses, or s i m i l a r expenses involved. B. Phase T h r e e of the wage-juice controls should be abolished so t h a t the p r i v a t e b r a n d e r a n d b r a n d e d independent jobber f o r t h a t m a t t e r , can recover these a s t r o n o m i c a l p r o d u c t p r i c e increases by a d j u s t i n g the r e t a i l p r i c e accordingly. T h i s cannot presently be done w h e n t h e 23 largest o i l companies i n t h e U.S. ( w h o are o u r c o m p e t i t o r s ) a r e f o r b i d d e n to raise t h e i r selling prices by more t h a n l 1 /^ percent. C. F i n a l l y , controls or r e s t r i c t i o n s m u s t be i m p l e m e n t e d w h i c h w i l l prevent t h e l a r g e refiner companies w i t h a l l economic advantages of v e r t i c a l i n t e g r a t i o n a n d special t a x breaks f r o m c o n t i n u i n g on t h e i r push t o w a r d d i r e c t operated, p r i v a t e b r a n d stations of t h e i r o w n w h i c h can p r i c e the p r i v a t e branders a n d independents out of business. 4. CONCLUSION A N D S U M M A R Y Gentlemen, s m a l l independent business men have been the backbone of t h i s g r e a t c o u n t r y . Unless our corrective recommendations ( o r others v e r y closely a k i n to t h e m ) a r e i m p l e m e n t e d i m m e d i a t e l y , v e r y f e w of t h e J i m P a r r i s h ' s or U Gas U M ' s w i l l be a r o u n d w i t h i n the n e x t 60 days to p r o v i d e the comp e t i t i o n so v i t a l f o r the gasoline c o n s u m e r s ! ! Categorically, i t goes against m y g r a i n as wTell as those f o r w h o m I ' m speaking t o ask f o r government i n t e r f e r e n c e or r e g u l a t i o n i n o u r business. W e have no other choice! O u r f u t u r e existence is i n t h e government's hands. I n closing I w i s h t o advise t h a t any a n d a l l of t h e people i n o u r association are more t h a n w i l l i n g a n d w o u l d welcome the o p p o r t u n i t y t o assist i n w o r k i n g out the mechanics of the recommended solutions I have o u t l i n e d above. Please c a l l on us. 218 U Gas Urn Inc. profit and loss s t a t e m e n t f o r fiscal y e a r A p r . 1 , 1912 M a r . 31, 1973 through Percent of sales T o t a l sales Cost Cost Cost Cost Cost of of of of of 100 gasoline motor oil cigarettes miscellaneous merchandise diesel fuel 74. . 1. . 2. T o t a l cost of p r o d u c t s sold 25 41 77 44 02 78. 89 Gross p r o f i t O p e r a t i n g expenses 21. 10 16. 14 N e t p r o f i t before income taxes 4. 97 INCREASE IN PRODUCT COSTS FROM JAN. 1, 1973 TO MAY 1, 1973 [Costs per gallon are excluding freight and taxesl Station location Gasoline cost Jan. 1,1973 Gasoline cost May 1,1973 Percent of increase Sidney, Nebr„_. North Platte, Nebr. Kearney, Nebr Hampton, Nebr Cheyenne, Wyo. Laramie, Wyo Rawlins, Wyo $0.13930 .14000 . 13899 .13855 .13750 . 12500 . 12500 $0.16926 .17250 .19701 .18805 .16750 .16650 .16650 21.5 23.2 41.7 35.4 21.8 33.2 33.2 Diesel cost Jan. 1,1973 Diesel cost May 1,1973 Percent of increase $0.10813 .10813 $0.13500 .17213 26.8 59.2 North Platte, Nebr. Hampton, Nebr. APRIL DEAR MR. JIM PAIIRISH, U GAS U M INC., A l l of our Supplying 19, 1973. Oil Com- panies have changed, or w i l l soon be c h a n g i n g t h e i r c r e d i t policy. P r e v i o u s l y , they gave us 1 % T e n D a y T e r m s . T h e i r n e w policy is N E T ; Receipt of I n voice. E f f e c t i v e M a y 1, 1973, we w i l l also change o u r t e r m s t o N E T ; Receipt of Invoice. Sincerely, NORMAN KELLER, C l a y t o n P e t e r s e n O i l Co. NOTES A N D OPINIONS B y M a r v i n Reid, M i d c o n t i n e n t E d i t o r S U P P L I E R S , JOBBERS A N D DEALERS A R E P A S S I N G O N L A T E S T P R I C E HIKES Several companies have n o w r a i s e d j o b b e r prices w i t h o u t c o r r e s p o n d i n g dealer t a n k w a g o n increases. Some e f f o r t , m e a n w h i l e , is being made by j o b b e r s to pass h i k e s along to dealers w i t h t h e l a t t e r sometimes encouraged t o post h i g h e r p u m p prices. T h e line-up of those h a v i n g m a d e j o b b e r - p r i c e increases by l a s t week included, according to field reports, such m a j o r s as M o b i l , A r c o , C o n t i n e n t a l , a n d Shell. T w o independent suppliers, A m e r i c a n P e t r o f i n a a n d D i a m o n d Shamrock, w e r e r e p o r t e d l y a t t e m p t i n g increases of 0.55$ gal. I n Corpus C h r i s t i , Tex., M o b i l j o b b e r T . A . H a r r e l l J r . increased tankwagom prices t o h i s dealers by 1.7$ gal. H i s b u y i n g p r i c e h a d been increased 3.5^ e a r l i e r by M o b i l . H e encouraged h i s dealers to post 2$ h i g h e r prices, a t 35.9$ gal. A f t e r t w o weeks, h i s v o l u m e w a s off 10% w i t h some s t a t i o n s d o w n 219 as much as 35%. Normally, his A p r i l volume increases over March instead of declining. T w o volume losses, said IJarrell, l e f t h i m on the short end on profits despite the price increases to his dealers. l l a r r e l l could get some relief, however, f r o m considerable strength t h a t now exists i n the Corpus C h r i s t i market. E x x o n has moved up to 33.9tf, full-service, or over where its stations were when Mobil increased its prices. Also, Shell stations i n Corpus C h r i s t i last week were posting 34.90. up f o l l o w i n g a 0.f>e increase i n jobber prices. Other majors were posting at 29.9<^, long considered normal i n Texas, while independents were solid at 29.90Conoco lias increased its jobber price i n Texas gal. to 14.G50. One jobber affected by the increase reports re-rail strength i n his m a r k e t has offset the hike, w i t h his actual m a r g i n now r u n n i n g about 3.50 gal. compared to around 30 gal. over the past t w o years. COST OF L I V I N G COUNCIL RESTRICTIONS SQUEEZE SOME There were reports t h a t other companies m i g h t wish to increase jobber prices but are caught i n a squeeze by the Cost of L i v i n g Council's restrictions on 23 companies. One of these, according to field reports, is Phillips. Some jobbers say t h a t w i t h this company moving up to 90% of its volume through jobbers, i t can't raise jobber prices only as Mobil and others have done w i t h o u t exceeding price increase restrictions. There was a report, however, t h a t P h i l l i p s as well as others are moving to get out f r o m under certain unbranded contracts as they expire. Some Phillips jobbers who buy both branded and unbranded f r o m the company may find they can get only branded product down the road. Some such unbranded contracts are reported to be set as low as 12.750, compared to branded jobber price of 13.G5C. By switching volume to a branded basis. P h i l l i p s can increase its profits w i t h o u t m a k i n g an actual price increase, jobbers explain. F i e l d sources reports, meanwhile, t h a t some suppliers and National O i l Jobbers Council are p u t t i n g pressure on Cost of L i v i n g Council to relax restrictions so tankwagon prices can be increased. One report indicates t h a t CLC may not have been aware t h a t prices to classes of customers, such as jobbers, m i g h t be increased as compared to across-the-board action. A source says that some w i t h this agency now understand there is a problem. ''Whether they do a n y t h i n g about i t or not is another matter,'' lie says. There was some a n t i c i p a t i o n d u r i n g the week t h a t others m i g h t follow Sun Oil's eastern dealer tankwagon increases, depending on what position they are i n under CLC rules and any possible relaxing of those rules. FIIiST-QUARTER PROFITS HIT RECORD LEVELS J OUTLOOK KRIGIITKST YET Record-breaking first-quarter profit levels are being reported by the m a j o r i t y of the nation's oil companies. Not only that, many anticipate continuation of the booming operations throughout the rest of the year. I f this happens, 1973 w i l l probably be the biggest and best year i n petroleum's history. A t l a n t i c Richfield. Shell, Sohio, Exxon, Marathon, Total, Ashland, Getty and Sun a l l reported profit increases of 40% or better i n the first quarter. So d i d American Pet.roUna, Signal and Occidental. Interspaced w i t h the good news, however, were warnings t h a t the supply situation could be very t i g h t this summer and next winter. Perhaps Sohio's Charles Spahr phrased i t best w i t h the comment t h a t " a l l signs point to at least; five to six difficult years w i t h g r o w i n g dependency on foreign supply sources." I t w i l l take years, he said, to find and develop new U.S. oil reserves and to b u i l d the additional transportation and refining facilities t h a t are needed. F i r m e r product prices and increased volumes were cited i n most reports as the prime reasons f o r the spiraling profit levels. I n t e r n a t i o n a l companies said overseas volumes and prices f o r oil and chemical products also contributed materially to the splendid first-quarter showings. Moist oil-company executives expressed hope t h a t the President's recent energy message would help relieve the energy crunch t h a t is besetting the U.S. Union Petroleum Corp. of Revere, Mass.. a family-owned corporation and one of New England's biggest independent wholesaler-retailer of o i l products, 06-18.*?—73 15 220 has been purchased f o r cash by Coastal States Gas Corp., Houston. Tex. Sellers are Paul D. Kaneb, 30-year-old president and his brother, Richard, treasurer. Coastal States is a m a j o r producer and transporter of n a t u r a l gas. W h i l e principals wouldn't disclose volume, competitors p u t i t a t more t h a n 250-million gal. a year. Sales are about $75-milllion a year. Involved i n the sale are Union T a n k e r Corp. (barges), U n i o n W e s t e r n Trade Corp. (western hemisphere oil purchases), Union O i l T r a d i n g and S h a p i n g L t d . of Bermuda ( i n t e r n a t i o n a l oil t r a d i n g and shipping) ; Glendale M o r t o n Petroleum Corp. ( r e t a i l f u e l o i l i n Greater Boston area, and i n New H a m p s h i r e ) and Glen Petroleum Corp. ( r e t a i l f u e l o i l i n southeastern Massachusetts). The acquisition of U n i o n Petroleum by Coastal States Gas has a number of other Boston-area independent wholesalers w o r r y i n g . " W e a l l bought f r o m Coastal States," said one of them, " a n d they've cut a l l of us back." Sun O i l has come up w i t h a newT w r i n k l e i n allocation systems. Instead of using last year's gasoline figures, as most companies have been doing, Sun is looking at each d i s t r i b u t o r , estimating w h a t he should or could be doing now, then allocating h i m 90% of t h a t total. The allocation system went i n t o effect last week triggered, a spokesman said, by r a w m a t e r i a l shortages. I t ' l l apply " t h r o u g h o u t the company and i t s subsidiaries through a l l channels, i n c l u d i n g dealers, d i s t r i b u t o r s and commercial customers." E x x o n was about ready last week to open its s i x t h f u l l y self-service station i n the Dallas-Fort W o r t h area and Sello Petroleum, M o b i l Oil's self-service subsidiary, has opened a "grass-roots" u n i t i n Dallas. E x x o n began i t s self-service b u i l d i n g program i n Dallas i n l a t e 1972. F i v e of i t s six units were b u i l t f r o m the g r o u n d up. The company also has a number of conventional units i n the t w o cities w i t h split islands offering selfservice. FIRST-QUARTER NET PROFITS FOR MAJOR OIL COMPANIES (1973) American Petrofina. Signal.. Occidental Atlantic Richfield. Marathon Shell Ohio Standard Total Petroleum Exxon Ashland Getty Crown Central Amerada Hess California Standard Pennzoil. Phillips Indiana Standard Gulf Cities Service Texaco Tenneco.. Continental Mobil Skelly Murphy - - — Percent chanj?e 1972-73 Net profits (millions) +105 +98 +33 +52 +49.6 +49 +48.3 +45.5 +43.1 +41 +40.9 +40 +34.4 +25 +24 +23.9 +22 +21 +18.7 +17.4 +14.3 +14.4 +11.5 +10.1 +2.5 -1.6 -47.2 $4.7 16.2 8.9 50.3 24.1 80.2 17.5 3.1 508.0 15.9 33.0 49.0 .303 36.7 152.8 19.6 43.4 121.1 165.0 34.4 264.0 53.4 47.5 155.8 9.9 1.9 .889 S T A T E M E N T O F W . D. B A K E R , P R E S I D E N T , H I G H L A N D PETROLEUM, INC. M r . B A K E R . M r . Chairman, I am W . D . Baker. I am president of H i g h l a n d Petroleum, Inc., and also a, member o f the board of directors of the National Self-Serve Gasoline Association. 221 M y experience goes back to 1941 when I came out o f h i g h school, w o r k i n g f o r a P h i l l i p s 66 d i s t r i b u t o r . I have been i n gasoline most of my adult life. I n 1964 I became engaged i n m a r k e t i n g t h r o u g h Self-Serve. M y pumps were installed at a convenience f o o d store. I t was the second o f t h i s t y p e i n the State of Colorado or i n the N a t i o n as f a r as I know. One t h i n g I w a n t t o p o i n t out t h a t makes me wonder considerably about really w h a t is happening, is the f a c t t h a t quite a large number of the m a j o r s are g o i n g to secondary brands. These are locations t h a t i n some cases they have b u i l t f r o m the g r o u n d u p and quite expensive on large pieces of real estate. Others are stations t h a t are h a v i n g t h e i r m a j o r b r a n d shields removed and p u t t i n g u p w i t h signs such, as some of these y o u may see around the country, Swan, B l u e Goose, B u y R i g h t , W a y L o , A l e r t , and other names o f t h a t nature. I n some areas as a direct result o f the refiner's r e t a i l i n g sales increasing, the nonrefiner supply is being reduced. Senator M C I N T Y R E . D O you mean t h a t the majors h a v i n g , say, a m a j o r b r a n d now has a secondary b r a n d called S w a n and i t is supp l i e d f r o m one of the majors? M r . BAKER. Yes. A great many of the majors are now p r a c t i c i n g t h i s t h r o u g h o u t the U n i t e d States. Senator M C I N T Y R E . W o u l d Swan be a self-serve station ? M r . B A K E R . M i g h t be. C e r t a i n l y , I k n o w w i t h P h i l l i p s Petroleum Co. t h i s is practiced w i d e l y t h r o u g h o u t t h e U n i t e d States and especially i n the western p a r t o f the country. P r i m a r i l y , self serve i n t h e western p a r t o f the U n i t e d States— they m a r k e t now generally at prices below the nonrefiner, p r i m a r i l y , because we cannot get supply to keep our stations open. Senator M C I N T Y R E . W h o owns A l e r t ? M r . B A K E R . Exxon. Senator M C I N T Y R E . T h a t is the largest ? M r . B A K E R . I believe so—in the w o r l d . I w a n t to p o i n t o u t w h a t our m a r k e t i n g s u p p l y is a n d has been. W e m a r k e t i n seven different States. W e have gone t o a 56 percent reduction i n Oklahoma, 75 percent i n Colorado, to a 100 percent cutoff i n I d a h o , 48 percent i n South D a k o t a , 50 percent i n Nebraska and 75 percent i n Ohio, and K e n t u c k y . I got w o r d the other n i g h t t h a t we probably do not have any i n O h i o and K e n t u c k y now. I n some cases, the independent refiner t h a t has possibly one or t w o refineries—in some cases more—is also p r a c t i c i n g the acquisition o f n great number of stations at one time, and I feel at the expense of the nonrefiner, a n d I a m speaking p a r t i c u l a r l y of a refiner i n the Rocky M o u n t a i n area t h a t recently made notice t h r o u g h the news media t h a t they purchased 45 stations very recently i n A r i z o n a . T h a t refiner w h i c h I have been b u y i n g f r o m f o r nearly 2 years has now reduced m y supply to less t h a n 25 percent o f w h a t I was b u y i n g f r o m h i m . I am w o n d e r i n g where, really, d i d some o f m y supply go to. 222 The prices have escalated astronomically. I n some cases our p r i c i n g i n Oklahoma has gone up 51 percent. I n Colorado, i t went up 8 percent; i n Idaho, 19 percent; South Dakota, 48 percent. I t h i n k there are t w o things i n addition to w h a t some of these people have suggested as solutions, such as allocation. A l l o c a t i o n i n m y opinion is the only way t h a t the independent nonrefiner t h a t is very competitive i n the industry is going to be saved—by an immediate allocation program. Otherwise he is going to be down the d r a i n as well as most of our stations and I have been a l i f e t i m e t r y i n g to create a company that now has 40 stations. W e are all i n the same boat. W e are going to be flushed down the d r a i n w i t h no attention f r o m the Government t o help our p l i g h t . Senator M C I N T Y R E . Y O U seem to intimate that some part of this shortage is—what I call—contrived. D o you t h i n k h is so? M r . B A K E R . I t h i n k i t is quite likely, to p u t i t m i l d l y . Senator M C I N T Y R E . Probably ? M r . B A K E R . Y e s , sir. W h e n a refiner can buy 45 stations, c u t t i n g back his supply to people such as me and many other nonrefiners, i n the immediate area of his refinery—buy stations at 45—at a t i m e — I t h i n k this bears investigation. Senator M C I N T Y R E . D O YOU want to name names here so we w i l l know what you are t a l k i n g about ? W h o bought 45 o i l stations ? M r . B A K E R . H u s k y O i l Co. They are an independent refiner w i t h f o u r refineries i n the western part of the country and one i n Canada. W e have been b u y i n g f o r over close to 2 years f r o m another sizable independent but recently, i n the last 2 or 3 years, i t was purchased by a national meat packing company. T h i s refiner—one of t h e i r own representatives t o l d me that they were aggressively pursuing purchasing real estate and erecting brand new stations—very expensive. I said " W e l l , i t is nice to know. I hope m y product makes you a p r o f i t . " Because t h a t is exactly what they are doing. Thev reduced me to one-third of what we had been b u y i n g f r o m them f o r a long period of time. Senator M C I N T Y R E . None of you fellows who were i n this business ever f e l t you were out on a l i m b to begin w i t h ? M r . B A K E R . N O . Senator M C I N T Y R E . One of the first things I learned f r o m this t h i n g — I do not understand how t o t h i s day—is how these terminal operators can compete w i t h the majors when i t is the majors t h a t supply them w i t h the product t h a t they compete w i t h . M r . P O T V T N . There have been some changes. Texaco i n Chicago, they are c u t t i n g off a l o t of our people. They are b u y i n g up very quietly 40 stations t h a t the Sun O i l Co. is abandoning since they ha ve pulled out of that t e r r i t o r y . Y o u see, i t was indeed a buyer's market a few years ago as w i t nessed by the fact t h a t they sold gas i n such a s t a r t l i n g number of ways, r a n g i n g f r o m the branded all the way down t h r o u g h sheer access to a broker. 223 Today i t is the seller's market. T h a t is the message. They can sell every gallon they make a couple of times. So, what they are doing, they are p u t t i n g i t where the computer tells them they make the most money. There have been at least five companies to move out of the State o f I l l i n o i s . Y o u cannot criticize Company No. 1. I t is a free enterprise system. W h e n you get down to that bottom line, you have got a h a l f b i l l i o n gallons w i t h d r a w n . A t this point, sir, there is a public interest. Certainly, the legislation you have just passed, that has some countervailing force. There must be something done to see that the U p p e r Midwest, the Rocky M o u n t a i n pocket does get the fuel t h a t they must have f o r their v i t a l needs. Senator M C I N T Y R E . M r . Baker, are you all through? M r . B A K E R . Just two points. A s f a r as remedies to give considerat i o n to, along w i t h the allocating program t h a t we would like to see p u t into effect. The nonrefining marketer only should be allowed to purchase the imported refined motor fuels. A t this time they are not of much value as f a r as the i m p o r t tickets are concerned, but possibly conditions may change. Secondly, a greater p o r t i o n of the crude f r o m the Government leases be allocated t o the independent refiners as some of these other people have suggested and t h a t is a l l I have to t e l l you. [ T h e complete statement of M r . Baker f o l l o w s : ] Statement of W. D. Baker, President. Highland Petroleum, Inc. M r . Chairman, members of the committee, I am W. D. Baker, President of H i g h l a n d Petroleum, Inc. and a member of the B o a r d of Directors of the National Self-Service Gasoline Association. I sincerely appreciate this opportunity to appear before this committee. My experience i n the marketing of gasoline dates back to 1941 when I worked for a Phillips 66 D i s t r i b u t o r i n S. W . Missouri, I n 1064. a f t e r being out of the gasoline business f o r a f e w years, I became a private brand marketer near Denver, Colorado. I made arrangements w i t h a small grocery company to let me i n s t a l l three pumps i n f r o n t of their store. The pumps were controlled by a home b u i l t control system t h a t gave a read-out of each gasoline sale to the exact cent. T h i s was the second such i n s t a l l a t i o n i n the Denver Area or i n the United States as f a r as I know. The name we tagged on this installation was U FiU'em. The i n d u s t r y is now seeing this type of an i n s t a l l a t i o n or variations of such throughout most of the United States. I n the last two or three years we have seen many refiners becoming engaged in this type of marketing, using the remote control idea w i t h one cashier to operate the station. Many major oil companies are t a k i n g down their m a j o r brand shields and p u t t i n g up secondary brands and removing their dealers or distributors f r o m stations. A f t e r this, they are able to go to direct selling w 7 ith a salaried cashier and sell at the same price as the non-refiner's station. T h i s places the refiner at a much greater economic advantage t h a n the l i t t l e private brander. Some of the trade names the m a j o r oil companies are coming up w i t h a r e : Swan, Blue Goose, B u y Rite, W a y Lo, Red Dot, A l e r t etc. I want to point out t h a t our cut back i n available gasoline supply has been the f o l l o w i n g : 56% i n Oklahoma; 75% i n Colorado; 100% i n I d a h o ; 47.0% i n South D a k o t a : 50% i n Nebraska; 75% i n Ohio and Kentucky. While the cost, has gone u p : 51% i n Oklahoma; 7.7% i n Colorado: 19% in I d a h o ; 47.9% i n South D a k o t a ; 80% i n Nebraska; 8.8% i n Ohio and Kentucky. I t is interesting to note t h a t while H u s k y O i l Company w i t h f o u r refineries i n the United States has drastically cut back gasoline t h a t they had been m a k i n g available to non-refining marketers (75% i n our case) while j u s t recently they announced to the news media t h a t they purchased 45 stations f r o m a non-refiner i n Arizona. 224 Gentlemen I w o u l d l i k e to say t h a t generally speaking n o n - r e f i n i n g m a r k e t e r s do not w i s h m o r e government i n t e r v e n t i o n , b u t i t is v e r y evident t h a t t h e r e is no other choice i f the non-refiner is to continue to be a c o m p e t i t o r i n the m o t o r f u e l m a r k e t place. I w a n t to p o i n t out t h a t I have personally offered crude o i l t h a t we have a v a i l a b l e to several refiners t h a t a r e n o t r u n n i n g a t f u l l c a p a c i t y i n hopes of securing a processing agreement i n w h i c h i n t u r n w o u l d a l l o w t h e m to sell us some p o r t i o n of the refined p r o d u c t secured f r o m t h i s p r o d u c t . W e h a v e been advised f r o m t w o d i f f e r e n t independent refiners t h a t they w o u l d be a f r a i d of r e t a l i a t i o n f r o m m a j o r refiners t h a t w T ould be v e r y d e t r i m e n t a l t o t h e i r crude b u y i n g p r o g r a m a n d gasoline exchange agreements w i t h such m a j o r refiners. Gentlemen I w a n t to offer t h e f o l l o w i n g as possible solutions t o t h e p r o b l e m t h a t non-refining m a r k e t e r s face today : 1. T h e non-refining m a r k e t e r only be a l l o w e d to purchase i m p o r t e d refined m o t o r fuels. 2. A g r e a t e r p o r t i o n of crude f r o m government leases be a l l o c a t e d t o indep e n d a n t refiners. 3. A n i m m e d i a t e a l l o c a t i o n p r o g r a m be i n s t i t u t e d t o p r o v i d e t h e nonrefiners per year w i t h an a m o u n t equal t o 12% of t h e m o t o r f u e l the m a j o r refiners m a n u f a c t u r e d i n J972. Gentlemen I t h a n k y o u f o r the t i m e a l l o t e d to iny statement. Highland Petroleum, Inc., Englewood, Hon. Thomas Colo. McIntyre, Senate Banking Committee, Senate Office Building, Washington, B.C. D e a r S e n a t o r M c I n t y r e , The f o l l o w i n g is a b r i e f r e v i e w showing, by geographical region a n d supplier, the p r i c e increases a n d p r o d u c t cutbacks experienced by H i g h l a n d P e t r o l e u m I n c . i n the recent months. A l t h o u g h the figures s h o w n here affect only one company, t h i s t r e n d is by no means l i m i t e d to the company, geographical areas or suppliers shown, b u t reflect w h a t is happening n a t i o n w i d e to the independent m a r k e t e r . N o t e : M a n y independent m a r k e t e r s h a v e suffered h i g h e r p r i c e increases a n d cutbacks t h a n shown here. I f a c t i o n is n o t t a k e n n o w on a l l o c a t i n g refined p r o d u c t s t o t h e p r i v a t e b r a n d e d n o n - r e f i n e r s , most p r i v a t e b r a n d e r s w i l l suffer b a n k r u p t c y a n d t h e consumer w i l l suffer g r e a t l y increased prices w i t h t h e loss of t h e c o m p e t i t i v e p r i v a t e branders. Sincerely, Doug Baker, south Price dakota supplier, increase 4 t h q u a r t e r , 1972: Regular Premium 1st q u a r t e r , 1973: Regular Premium T o t a l increase: Regular Premium _ Percent 9.1 9.7 36. 2 34.8 48.0 47.9 President. okc C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e (percent) A p r i l 1, 1973, no p r o d u c t available. 225 m t . home, i d a h o s u p p l i e r , t r i m b l e Price increase 1072: Regular Premium C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e gasoline Percent 7. 5 M a y 4, 1973, no p r o d u c t available. G. 4 1st m i a r t e r , 1973: Regular Premium Toti'.l increase: Regular Premium 13.1 11. 4 21. 0 18.4 c i n c i n n a t i area supplier, t r i a n g l e Price oil increase 1972: Regular Premium 1st q u a r t e r , 1973 : Regular Premium T o i a l increase: Regular Premium refiners C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e Percent T 2 0 J a n u a r y 19<3 ___ A p r i l 1973 I— Percent .19.3 50. 0 ' 5 8 T o t a l cut f r o m December 1972 to ii 8 A p r i l 1973 59. 9 8. <S (J. 8 H u s k y O i l Co., D e n v e r , Colo., A p r i l 23, 1913. H i g h l a n d Petroleum, Inc. 39?.:) S . K a l a m a t h S t r e e t E a g l e wood, Colo. Gentlemen: O u r forecasts f o r a n indefinite p e r i o d i n the f u t u r e i n d i c a t e a steady d e t e r i o r a t i o n of our available supplies of gasoline. W e are, therefore, required to reduce deliveries to y o u r account by 50% of budget p r o j e c t i o n f o r the m o n t h of M a y , 1973. l i a s e d on t h i s f o r m u l a , the m a x i m u m q u a n t i t y of gasoline t h a t we shall be able to make a v a i l a b l e to y o u f o r the m o n t h of M a y , 1973, by o r i g i n p o i n t , is as f o l l o w s : t e r m i n a l , Denver. Gallons, 17,500. Y o u r cooperation i n observing t h i s l i m i t a t i o n is requested. A n y f a i l u r e to abide by these r e s t r i c t i o n s may result i n c u t t i n g off a l l supplies to y o u r account. Very t r u l y yours. J o h n A. M e r c e r , M a n a g e r , P r i v a t e B r a n d Sales. c i n c i n n a t i a r e a s u p p l i e r , c11a m p l a i n p e t r o l e u m co. Price increase October 1972 t o M a r c h 1973: Regular Premium C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e Percent Percent 20.0 8. 0 Jii u n a r y 1973 8. 0 M a y 1, 1973, no p r o d u c t available. denver area supplier. h u s k y Price increase 1972: Regular Premium 1st q u a r t e r , 1973: Regular Premium T o t a l increase: Regular Premium oil C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e Percent 3. 0 M a r c h 1973 3. 6 A p r i l 1973 M a y 1973 4. 0 T o t a l cut f r o m 5. 0 1973 to A p r i l 1973 7. 7 9.1 Percent 48.5 12.5 37. 5 February 75. 8 226 oklahoma Price supplier, increase 4 t h q u a r t e r , 1972: Regular Premium 1st q u a r t e r , 1973: Regular Premium T o t a l increase: Regular Premium nampa, Pricc increase ^ 19*2: Regular Premium 1st q u a r t e r , 1973: Regular Premium T o t a l increase: Regular Premium okc C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e Percent 8 . 7 J a n u a r y 1972 9. 4 Percent 54.7 40. 0 37. 9 52. 2 50. 9 idaho, supplier, trimble oil C u t b a c k by r e f i n e r i n a v a i l a b l e g a s o l i n e (percent) Percent 4. 0 M a y 4, 1973, no p r o d u c t a v a i l a b l e . 3. 4 12.4 6. 6 16.9 14. 5 M r . S O S T E K . There are two things than can be done: No. 1, the allocation amendment which the chairman got i n t o the Economic Stabilization A c t should be mandatory. T h a t is No. 1. No. 2, the K e n n e d y - H a r t b i l l pertaining to equitable allocation should be passed as quickly as possible. T h a t would step things up p r e t t y quickly. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I have got to close this t h i n g down. M r . P A R R I S H . I submitted w i t h my w r i t t e n statement a copy of one of the trade papers which was published the first quarter of 1973, " P r o f i t s of the M a j o r Refining Companies/' and, when I see i t — I am not sure I brought a round t r i p phu»e ticket—it is ** l i t t l e tough when you pick out, f o r example, Exxon, the granddaddy of them all, up 41.3 percent. I t is a difficult t h i n g to comprehend. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Once in a while, I look at the financial sheet, 1 notice that Mobil or something had a bad year—$540 m i l l i o n were their profits. Y o u t a l k to the M o b i l stockholders, they like that. I would like to thank you gentlemen f o r coming here and t e l l i n g what is going on as you see it. H o p e f u l l y these hearings w i l l culminate i n at least getting the impact of the seriousness of this situation. I n A p r i l , getting i t home so there w i l l be some saving action, I hope, we w i l l have to listen to what the majors say. They w i l l be i n tomorrow. Then hopefully, someone has intimated h e r e — I t h i n k i t was you—that a l l of a sudden, hopefully, the Government people are t a l k i n g a l i t t l e differently. I t always used to bother me when I asked to see the man i n charge of oil, t h a t he was accompanied by t w o fellows who came out o f Louisiana and Texas who grew up i n the o i l field. I was also h o p i n g i t was somebody f r o m New E n g l a n d . The other day i t was a man f r o m New E n g l a n d and he was no more help than the one out of Louisiana or Texas. W e w i l l recess u n t i l 10 a.m. tomorrow. [ A t 12:40 p.m. the committee recessed u n t i l 10 a.m., Wednesday, M a y 9,1973.] PETROLEUM PRODUCT SHORTAGES W E D N E S D A Y , MAY 9, 1973 U . S . C O M M I T T E E OX B A N K I N G , H O U S I N G AND S E N A T E , U R B A X AFFAIRS, Washington, D.C. The committee was convened at 10 a.m., i n room 5302, New Senate Office B u i l d i n g , Senator Thomas J. M c I n t y r e , presiding. Present: Senators M c I n t y r e , Johnston, Tower, Bennett, and Brooke. Senator M C I N T Y R E . The committee w i l l come to order. Today we enter into our t h i r d day o f hearings on the subject of the impact of petroleum product shortages on the national economy. Unless there is some objection, gentlemen, I would l i k e very much to call as a panel the f o l l o w i n g witnesses: M r . L . G. R a w l , senior vice president, E x x o n Company, U.S.A., M r . Robert V . Sellers the chairman of the board o f Cities Service Co. (C-itgo), and M r . A n n o n M . Card, senior vice president o f Texaco. I f all o f you would come to the witness table at the same time, this w i l l help us a great deal on our overall time element. Now, we w i l l allow each of you to testify i n any manner t h a t you wish. W e w i l l call on M r . Rawl, M r . Sellers, and M r . Card. STATEMENT CO., OF U.S.A.; CITIES L. G. ROBERT SERVICE RAWL, V. CO. PRESIDENT, TEXACO; PRESIDENT, TEXACO SENIOR SELLERS, (CITGO); AND VICE PRESIDENT, CHAIRMAN ANNON JAMES M. OF CARD, PIPKIN, THE EXXON BOARD, SENIOR VICE EXECUTIVE VICE M r . P I P K I N . M r . Chairman, may I address m y remarks t o you. M y name is P i p k i n o f Texaco. M r . Card is here and is prepared t o testify. I want i t understood t h a t he gives his testimony i n relation to Texaco and please do not expect h i m to comment on answers given by other companies about matters i n v o l v i n g their companies. I t is certainly not an industry presentation—anything representing the industry that M r . Card w i l l be t e s t i f y i n g to. Senator M C I X T Y R E . We understand. I t is perfectly acceptable t o us. I want to welcome you all here and t e l l you t h a t we do appreciate your coming here. W e realize i t is a very difficult time f o r you, w i t h conditions changing day by day. W e do need to get on the record as you see this picture. So I am going to ask first M r . Rawl—we have your statement. I t w i l l be p u t i n the record i n its entirety. Y o u can read i t i n its entirety i f you wish, or you can paraphrase a paragraph o r so. W e would appreciate that. (227) 228 I want' you t o have f u l l o p p o r t u n i t y t o present your testimony i n your best possible l i g h t . Go r i g h t ahead, M r . Ra.wl. M r . R A W L . T h a n k you, M r . Chairman. Obviously, I must be i n the same position as the Texaco witness. I am sure you understand, sir. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Yes, sir M r . R A W L . I am L . G. Rawl, senior vice president of E x x o n Co., U . S . A . W e are all aware t h a t the energy situation today i n the U n i t e d States is very serious. Therefore, I w i l l not d w e l l on emphasizing the importance of the subject. Rather I intend to respond to the six questions which you addressed i n announcing these hearings. I have taken the liberty of placing some of the questions i n a different, sequence to facilitate presentation. F i r s t , however, I would l i k e to discuss some background. T o understand the supply situation f o r gasoline or any petroleum product i t is necessary to consider the overall U.S. energy situation and its impact on all petroleum products. T o t a l petroleum product demand i n the region east of the Rocky Mountains, where E x x o n U.S.A.'s p r i n c i p a l operations exist, has g r o w n f o r the last 18 months at an annualized rate o f about 7 percent, which equates to an increase of nearly 1 m i l l i o n barrels per day each year. T h i s compares to a g r o w t h rate of about 5 percent each year f r o m 1965 through 1971. The accelerated increase is the result of a number of factors, i n c l u d i n g : (1) the installation of auto emission control devices which have significantly reduced engine efficiency and thereby increased gasoline consumption; (2) an increasing shortage of natural gas; (3) air emission controls which have restricted the use of coal, and (4) rlelavs in the startup of nuclear generating capacitv. T h " last three factors, plus restrictions on the use of regular s u l f u r fuel o i l — i n other words, h i g h s u l f u r fuel oil—have caused a substantial increase i n demand f o r low s u l f u r fuel o i l and distillate fuels by industrial and u t i l i t y consumers. Since 1969, domestic refining capacity serving the country east of the Rockies has grown at only 350 M b b l / d each year, or less t h a n h a l f the rate at which product demand has been g r o w i n g over the same period. B u t even as recently as 1971. U.S. refineries had significant spare capacity, as much 500 M b b l / d per day. W i t h i n the past- year, however, t o t a l demand caught u p w i t h and passed total refining capacity. The result is a g r o w i n g d i s p a r i t y between U.S. product requirements and the capacity of U.S. refineries to make product. There are a number of reasons f o r the relatively slow pace of refinery growth. Uncertainties over the f u t u r e structure of i m p o r t controls coupled w i t h the variable manner i n which the p r e v a i l i n g imports program was administered tended to i n h i b i t investment i n refineries. Uncertainty about f u t u r e environmental regulations made i t difficult to project f u t u r e product quality requirements and demands and f u t u r e refinery emissions standards. A s a result, some investment decisions on new facilities were deferred. Sites f o r new refineries became increasingly difficult t o obtain. One east coast State has prohibited refinery construction by its coastal zone by l a w and similar legislation is pending i n other States. Investment costs f o r 229 r e f i n i n g facilities increased substantially because o f the a d d i t i o n a l equipment required t o make products meeting extremely stringent environmental standards and t o control refinery emissions to comply w i t h established environmental regulations. T o d a y t h i s g r o w i n g s h o r t f a l l i n r e f i n i n g capacity is aggravated by the very t i g h t situation i n crude o i l supply. F o r over a year, U.S. crude p r o d u c t i o n has been operating at f u l l capacity and domestic p r o d u c t i o n rates have begun to decline. I h a d a p a r a g r a p h i n here w i t h regard to N o r t h Slope and Calif o r n i a crude and obviously these crudes are seriously needed. Therefore y o u are f a m i l i a r w i t h the problems we have i n g e t t i n g t h e m to the markets. Because of these developments there is today a significant and g r o w i n g gap btween domestic crude oil p r o d u c t i o n and the volume o f crude required to fill U.S. refineries. T h i s gap can be closed o n l y by i m p o r t i n g f o r e i g n crude. T e n years ago the t o t a l free w o r l d h a d 30 percent spare crude o i l p r o d u c i n g capacity. T o d a y w o r l d demand f o r o i l is more t h a n twice w h a t i t was i n t h e early 1960's and spare p r o d u c i n g capacity i n the free w o r l d has dropped to about 2 percent, or r o u g h l y 1 M b b l / d . A s a result, o n l y l i m i t e d volumes of f o r e i g n crude are available. Concurrent w i t h the disappearance of w o r l d w i d e spare p r o d u c i n g capacity, f o r e i g n crude prices have risen r a p i d l y and c u r r e n t l y f o r e i g n crude delivered i n this country is h i g h e r cost t h a n domestic crude. I n a l l likelihood, f o r e i g n crude w i l l continue t o be at least as expensive i n the U n i t e d States as domestic crude. A n d most outlooks indicate that w o r l d w i d e crude supplies w i l l remain very t i g h t f o r the foreseeable future. F u r t h e r com pi i eating: this prospect is the fact that the l i m i t e d spare f o r e i g n supplies available are p r e d o m i n a n t l y relat i v e l y h i g h s u l f u r crudes. T h e next p a r a g r a p h discusses the problems as to r u n n i n g h i g h s u l f u r crude i n t h e domestic refineries. I w i l l proceed to discuss quest i o n No. 1. The causes behind the gasoline shortage—committee question 1. A s I have explained, t h e N a t i o n is i n a situation where domestic r e f i n i n g capacity is insufficient to meet product demand. T h i s situation w i l l be f u r t h e r aggravated i n the months ahead i f the r e f i n i n g capacity t h a t does exist is not f u l l y used. T o maximize t h e use of available r e f i n i n g capacity, i m p o r t s of l o w - s u l f u r crude are needed t o compensate then f o r the s h o r t f a l l crude U.S. production. B u t the great p a r t of the crude o i l t h a t is available outside the U n i t e d States has a h i g h s u l f u r content. F u r t h e r c o m p l i c a t i n g t h e s i t u a t i o n on the supply side is the fact t h a t gasoline inventories east o f t h e Rockies are lower t h a n thev were a year ago. T h i s is t h e case i n spite of the f a c t t h a t p r o d u c t i o n o f gasoline, as well as distillates was h i g h e r this past w i n t e r t h a n i t was i n the w i n t e r of 1971-72. A s t h i s i n v e n t o r y s i t u a t i o n suggests, demand f o r m o t o r gasoline is g r o w i n g r a p i d l y . I n t h e first quarter o f t h i s year, gasoline consumption east o f the Rockies was about 6 percent h i g h e r than i t was i n the same p e r i o d a year ago. T w o factors t h a t are clearly cont r i b u t i n g to t h i s increase i n demand are the general u p t u r n i n the 230 economy and the relatively h i g h consumption of new cars due to the emissions control devices t h a t I mentioned earlier. Furthermore, as I understand i t now, new car sales were up i n the first quarter 20 percent or so. U n d e r these circumstances i t is clear t h a t substantial imports of finished gasoline and heating o i l w i l l be required t o meet U.S. demands. T h i s year, at least, there is some capacity i n overseas refineries to manufacture products f o r shipment to the U n i t e d States. B u t i t needs t o be recognized t h a t the supplies which appear to be available f r o m overseas refineries are less reliable t h a n domestic supplies. The logistical system required t o i m p o r t f o r e i g n products and crudes is l o n g i n terms o f distance and complex i n terms of coordination. T h e availability o f supplies is subject t o unexpected change. T h i s can happen as a result not only of unforeseen increases i n foreign demand b u t also unilateral actions on the p a r t o f foreign governments. I n addition, petroleum products made abroad do not always meet U.S. environmental specifications; f o r example, most offshore heating o i l is higher i n s u l f u r content t h a n U.S. heating oil. F u r t h e r m o r e the octane of available foreign gasoline on the average is lower t h a n the required f o r satisfactory performance i n U.S. automobiles. F o r example, foreign heating o i l probably averages out about a h a l f percent s u l f u r w i t h the requirement i n the Northeast being a m a x i m u m of two-tenths percent. Foreign refineries are designed to produce relatively large fields o f distillates and fuel o i l as compared to gasoline. I t h i n k I can skip the next paragraph. I t talks about the balance barrel, the problem when you secure supplies on a foreign circuit, you also have t o make arrangements t o dispose of the rest of the barrel which is a significant problem t o the system. F i n a l l y , w i t h phase I I I price controls i n effect i n the U n i t e d States the fact t h a t the prices of foreign products have increased and now are generally higher t h a n U.S. prices w i l l be a complicating factor. Now, I would like t o t u r n to committee question No. 5 w h i c h is closely related to the first. A n d i t concerns the impact of gasoline shortages on other petroleum products. There are t w o significant variables t h a t make i t extremely difficult to assess how the t o t a l production capacity of domestic refineries w i l l be distributed among i n d i v i d u a l products. The first of these I have already discussed, this is the overall availa b i l i t y of foreign crude and products. The second variable is the a b i l i t y of the U.S. refiner to change the amount of any particular product made w i t h i n the t o t a l slate. F o r example, gasoline yields generally can be varied up to 5 percent o f the t o t a l crude processed. As more gasoline is made, usually less distillates are made and vice versa. T h i s flexibility varies f r o m one refinery t o another and f r o m one company to another. I n theory, this m a n u f a c t u r i n g flexibility is employed, i n conjunct i o n w i t h the management of inventories, to meet current demands 231 while at the same time preparing to satisfy the requirements of coming months. B u t i n practice, a refiner may find himself obliged to use up so much of his flexibility i n h a n d l i n g an immediate problem of unexpected h i g h demand i n one product t h a t he adversely affects his ability to meet requirements f o r another product some months later. These variables w i l l , i n good measure, determine the impact that gasoline shortages w i l l have on other products this year and on home heating o i l supplies next winter. E x x o n U S A ' s domestic refining operations represent only 8 percent of the U.S. o i l industry. I cannot predict w i t h any real confidence what other companies w i l l be able to do about imports or how conditions w i l l dictate they use their refining flexibility. A s a result, there is really no way I can assess w i t h much accuracy the impact of the gasoline situation on other products on an industrywide basis. I can, however, outline m y own company's outlook. O u r current assessments indicate -that E x x o n U S A ' s supplies of gasoline, heating oil, and other distillates this year w i l l enable our company t o provide volumes of these products to each group of customers equal to 1972 sales plus some -allowance f o r g r o w t h in 1978. B u t i t should be understood t h a t this supply outlook f o r E x x o n U S A depends entirely on the company continuing to be able to operate its refining facilities at as close t o capacity as possible—which i t is currently doing—and h a v i n g here the access to imports which it currently projects. Obviously, unanticipated shutdowns of major refinery units, interruptions or reductions i n availability o f either domestic or foreign crude, problems i n access to overseas products, or other unforeseen operating difficulties could adversely affect our supply capability. The generally t i g h t supply situation in the U.S. petroleum industry is imposing abnormal demands on E x x o n U S A . F o r example, some customers are requesting additional supplies to offset supplies unavailable to them f r o m other t r a d i t i o n a l sources. I n addition, many consumers are seeking replacement fuels f o r curtailed natural gas. U n d e r these circumstances of overall t i g h t supply, we believe our p r i m a r y obligation is to serve our existing customers. W e w i l l distribute the specific supplies we have available to each group of customers i n basically the same proportion as we have i n the recent past. Customers i n each group w i l l be treated f a i r l y . As we now see our situation, i t is unlikely t h a t we w i l l have the capability to supply potential new customers. I would like now to address committee questions 4 and 6 which are related. So I w i l l discuss them together. "What steps can be taken to avoid such shortages i n the future and the effect of the recently announced phaseout of the quota system. The President's energy message provides an encouraging sign that the need f o r governmental action has been recognized. Changes that have been made i n the imports program should do much to encourage the construction of new refinery capacity i n the U n i t e d States. O f course, environmental considerations w i l l have an effect on the implementation of plans f o r additional capacity. 232 These are not only emission types o f regulations, but certainly the siting problem is s t i l l a very serious one. The new p r o g r a m also permits access to the product imports needed to supplement domestic supplies but, as I have suggested earlier, this, i n itself, probably w i l l not be sufficient so long as foreign products f a i l to meet the U.S. environmental a n d performance standards. E n v i r o n m e n t a l actions d u r i n g the past 4 or 5 years have b a d a great impact on the Nation's system of energy supply. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , this cause and effect has gone largely unrecognized. U n t i l recently, the country's energy system has managed t o absorb the additional increased demand t h a t has resulted, b u t i t can do so no longer. Today all the flexibility we have enjoyed i n past years is gone f r o m our fuels supply system and i f the U n i t e d States continues f o r the next 4 years ns it has f o r tho past 4, the effect conM be extremely serious. I n its concern f o r the condition of the environment, many i n the N a t i o n have overlooked the ways i n w h i c h environmental actions have affected energy s u p p l y ; now, the coin must be turned and more attention must be given to p r o v i d i n g a better balance between the two. I should emphasize t h a t my company clearly recognizes the need f o r the N a t i o n to set goals f o r environmental improvement. A s i n d i viduals and as a company we are supportive of the view that protection o f the natural environment is desirable. W e endeavor to conduct all our operations accordingly. W e have made and w i l l continue to make the investments required 'to meet environmental standards. W e have modified our operating procedures and 'practices to t h a t end and w i l l continue to do so. B u t the p o i n t I wish t o make is t h a t i t seems t o us t h a t the time has come when the country needs t o take a second look at its timetable f o r environmental improvement. W e do not suggest t h a t environmental goals be abandoned. W h a t we do suggest is t h a t the energy supply situation is sufficiently severe t h a t consideration should be given to t a k i n g more time to reach ultimate air quality goals. T h i s w o u l d n o t mean r e t u r n i n g to the air-emission levels experienced i n the late sixties; i t w o u l d simply mean t h a t the N a t i o n would not go quite so f a r quite so fast. W e would suggest t h a t as the N a t i o n reexamines the need f o r a more balanced look at enengy and the environment, certain specific areas should be examined t o see i f temporary relaxations are not i n fact warranted. E x x o n U.S.A.'s recommendations concerning l o n g t e r m solutions to the energy problems of the N a t i o n were reviewed recently by Randall Meyer, president of E x x o n Co., U.S.A. i n testimony before the Senate Committee on the I n t e r i o r and Insular Affairs. I have filed a copy o f this testimony f o r the record. N o w . I would like to t u r n to question 2 of the committee—the effect gasoline shortages w i l l have on the Nation. I t h i n k i t is self evident t h a t the effect of gasoline shortages w i l l depend on their magnitude. M i n o r shortages, i f they occur, w i l l obviously result i n inconvenience t o motorists. B u t , i t is generally 233 recognized t h a t there is significant discretionary components i n motor gasoline demand. W e would expect that even some modest reduction i n discretionary consumption could be sufficient to relieve minor shortages. Each motorist can probably afford to drive fewer miles w i t h o u t materially i m p a i r i n g the quality of his life. B y the same token, each of us can make a contribution to the reduction i n gasoline demand by using his automobile more efficiently when we do drive. A number of o i l companies already are recommending conservation of gasoline t o the m o t o r i n g public. I n this same vein, we f u l l y support the emphasis given energy conservation and wise use of energy by the President i n his recent energy message to the Congress. H o w great the magnitude of gasoline shortages actually w i l l be w i l l depend on at least f o u r factors. F i r s t , the actual level of U.S. consumers' demand f o r gasoline i n the months ahead. I n good measure, this w i l l depend on how the d r i v i n g public of the U n i t e d States perceives the situation and, as individuals, decide to adjust their d r i v i n g habits. Second, the ways i n which the many i n d i v i d u a l o i l companies manage their operations. T h i r d , actions by the Federal Government on price controls and by Federal, State and local governments concerning environmental standards. F o u r t h , potential actions by foreign governments and the actual supply availability situation i n the foreign countries to which the U n i t e d States must t u r n f o r increasing volumes of crude o i l and petroleum products. B u t , when we i n E x x o n U.S.A. take all these considerations into account, we conclude t h a t such shortages as occur this summer probably w i l l be scattered, temporary and relatively minor. B u t , individuals and businesses which are directly affected may well feel that they are encountering serious problems. I f major shortages occur, major actions t o cope w i t h the situation w i l l be required. Against this possibility, contingency plans should be developed by Government. B u t such plans need to be carefully thought out and implemented only i n the event o f major gasoline supply problems. The effect on the economy of the dislocations that could result f r o m an ill-considered government allocation program could well be more severe than the effect o f the shortages themselves. To complete my testimony, I would like to comment on committee question Xo. which relates to the impact of shortages and competii ion. A s I said earlier, E x x o n U.S.A. has publicly stated its commitment to provide the motor gasoline, heating o i l and other distillate fuels we have available to each group of customer i n basically the same proportions as we have i n the recent past. A s I indicated, we believe our first obligation is t o serve our existi n g customers i n whatever group they f a l l . I n the broad context of the question the committee had asked, we believe this is a responsible approach. 234 The petroleum i n d u s t r y is extremely competitive. There are many participants, both w i t h i n the U.S. industry and, now w i t h i n the foreign petroleum industry, who are involved i n s u p p l y i n g the U n i t e d States w i t h petroleum products. Few other major industries i n the w o r l d have as diverse or as large a number of competitors. There are great numbers of h i g h l y active and h i g h l y competitive companies i n each phase of the petroleum industry—producing, refining, transportation and marketing. One i m p o r t a n t factor w h i c h w i l l tend t o ensure t h a t competition w i l l remain healthy w i t h i n the U.S. o i l industry is t h a t many competitors w i l l take the view t h a t the period of t i g h t supply w i l l not continue indefinitely. W i t h this i n m i n d , they w i l l recognize t h a t the value of their business i n the long r u n w i l l depend on retaining the goodwill of their customers. W e w o u l d expect they w i l l conduct t h e i r business accordingly. M r . Chairman, thank you f o r this o p p o r t u n i t y to present these views. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you, M r . Rawl. W e w i l l go r i g h t ahead to M r . Sellers. [ T h e complete statement of M r . R a w l f o l l o w s : ] Statement of L . G. R a w l , Senior Vice President, Exxon sion of E x x o n Corp.) Co., U . S . A . (A Divi- introduction M r . C h a i r m a n , I a m L . G. R a w l , Senior V i c e President of E x x o n Company, U.S.A. W e are a l l a w a r e t h a t the energy s i t u a t i o n today i n the U n i t e d States is v e r y serious. Therefore, I w i l l n o t d w e l l on e m p h a s i z i n g the i m p o r t a n c e of t h e subject. R a t h e r I i n t e n d to respond to the s i x questions w h i c h y o u addressed i n a n n o u n c i n g these hearings. I have t a k e n t h e l i b e r t y of p l a c i n g some of the questions i n a d i f f e r e n t sequence to f a c i l i t a t e presentation. F i r s t , however, I w o u l d l i k e t o discuss some background. T o u n d e r s t a n d t h e supply s i t u a t i o n f o r gasoline or any p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t i t is necessary t o consider the o v e r a l l U.S. energy s i t u a t i o n a n d i t s i m p a c t on a l l p e t r o l e u m products. T o t a l p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t demand i n ithe r e g i o n east o f t h e R o c k y Mountains, w h e r e E x x o n U S A ' s p r i n c i p a l operations exist, has g r o w n f o r t h e l a s t 18 m o n t h s a t a n annualized r a t e of a b o u t 7 % , w h i c h equates to a n increase of n e a r l y a m i l l i o n b a r r e l s per day each year. T h i s compares t o a g r o w t h r a t e of about 5 % each year f r o m 1965 t h r o u g h 1971. T h e accelerated increase is the r e s u l t of a n u m b e r of factors, i n c l u d i n g (1) t h e i n s t a l l a t i o n of a u t o emission c o n t r o l devices w h i c h have s i g n i f i c a n t l y reduced engine efficiency a n d t h e r e b y increased gasoline consumption, (2) a n i n c r e a s i n g shortage of n a t u r a l gas, (3) a i r emission controls w h i c h h a v e r e s t r i c t e d t h e use o f coal, a n d (4) delays i n the s t a r t - u p of nuclear g e n e r a t i n g capacity. T h e l a s t t h r e e f a c t o r s , p l u s r e s t r i c t i o n s on t h e use of r e g u l a r s u l f u r f u e l oil, h a v e caused a s u b s t a n t i a l increase i n demand f o r l o w s u l f u r f u e l o i l a n d d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s by i n d u s t r i a l a n d u t i l i t y consumers. Since 19G9, domestic r e f i n i n g capacity s e r v i n g the c o u n t r y east, of t h e Rockies has g r o w n a t only 350 M B / D each year, or less t h a n h a l f t h e r a t e a t w h i c h p r o d u c t demand has been g r o w i n g over t h e same period. B u t even as recently as 1971, U.S. refineries h a d s i g n i f i c a n t spare c a p a c i t y — a s m u c h as 500 M B / D per day. W i t h i n the past year, however, t o t a l demand c a u g h t u p w i t h a n d passed t o t a l r e f i n i n g capacity. T h e r e s u l t is a g r o w i n g d i s p a r i t y between U.S. p r o d u c t r e q u i r e m e n t s a n d t h e c a p a c i t y o f U.S. refineries t o m a k e p r o d u c t . T h e r e are a n u m b e r of reasons f o r t h e r e l a t i v e l y slow pace of r e f i n e r y g r o w t h . U n c e r t a i n t i e s over t h e f u t u r e s t r u c t u r e o f i m p o r t c o n t r o l s coupled w i t h the variable manner i n which the prevailing imports program was a d m i n i s t e r e d tended to i n h i b i t i n v e s t m e n t i n refineries. U n c e r t a i n t y a b o u t f u t u r e e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e g u l a t i o n s made i t d i f f i c u l t t o p r o j e c t f u t u r e p r o d u c t q u a l i t y requirements a n d f u t u r e refinery emissions standards. A s a r e s u l t , 235 some investment decisions on new f a c i l i t i e s were deferred. Sites f o r n e w refineries became increasingly d i f f i c u l t to o b t a i n . One E a s t Coast s t a t e has p r o h i b i t e d refinery c o n s t r u c t i o n i n i t s coastal zone by l a w , a n d s i m i l a r legislat i o n is p e n d i n g i n other states. I n v e s t m e n t costs f o r r e f i n i n g f a c i l i t i e s increased s u b s t a n t i a l l y because o f t h e a d d i t i o n a l equipment r e q u i r e d t o m a k e p r o d u c t s meeting e x t r e m e l y s t r i n g e n t e n v i r o n m e n t a l standards a n d t o c o n t r o l refinery emissions t o comply w i t h established e n v i r o n m e n t a l regulations. T o d a y t h i s g r o w i n g s h o r t f a l l i n r e f i n i n g capacity i s a g g r a v a t e d by t h e very t i g h t s i t u a t i o n i n crude o i l supply. F o r over a year, U.S. crude prod u c t i o n has been o p e r a t i n g a t f u l l capacity a n d domestic p r o d u c t i o n rates have begun t o decline. A s t h i s is t a k i n g place, one o f t h e largest o i l fields on t h e N o r t h A m e r i c a n c o n t i n e n t i s locked up o n A l a s k a ' s N o r t h Slope w a i t i n g f o r the Congress a n d the courts to clear t h e w a y f o r c o n s t r u c t i o n of 'the T r a n s - A l a s k a n Pipeline. W h a t i s a t stake, of course, is a t least 2 M M B / D of crude o i l supply. O i l development has also been constrained i n offshore C a l i f o r n i a w h e r e m a j o r discoveries r e m a i n undeveloped i n t h e Santa B a r b a r a Channel. Because of these developments there is t o d a y a s i g n i f i c a n t a n d g r o w i n g gap between domestic c r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n a n d the v o l u m e o f c r u d e r e q u i r e d to fill U.S. refineries. T h i s gap can be closed o n l y by i m p o r t i n g f o r e i g n crude. T e n years ago t h e f r e e w o r l d h a d 3 0 % spare c r u d e o i l p r o d u c i n g capacity. T o d a y w o r l d d e m a n d f o r o i l is more t h a n t w i c e w h a t i t was i n t h e e a r l y 1960's a n d spare p r o d u c i n g capacity i n the free w o r l d has dropped t o a b o u t 2%. A s a result, o n l y l i m i t e d volumes of f o r e i g n c r u d e a r e available. C o n c u r r e n t w i t h the disappearance of w o r l d w i d e spare p r o d u c i n g capacity, i n t h i s c o u n t r y is h i g h e r cost t h a n domestic crude. I n a l l l i k e l i h o o d , f o r e i g n crude prices have r i s e n r a p i d l y a n d c u r r e n t l y f o r e i g n c r u d e delivered crude w i l l continue to be a t least as expensive i n t h e U.S. as domestic crude. A n d most outlooks i n d i c a t e t h a t w o r l d w i d e c r u d e supplies w i l l r e m a i n v e r y t i g h t f o r the foreseeable f u t u r e . F u r t h e r c o m p l i c a t i n g t h i s prospect is the f a c t t h a t the l i m i t e d spare f o r e i g n supplies a v a i l a b l e a r e p r e d o m i n a n t l y r e l a t i v e l y h i g h s u l f u r crudes. M a n y people assume t h a t a l l crude o i l is the same a n d t h a t refineries can produce any crude oil. B u t the f a c t is t h a t c r u d e o i l characteristics v a r y w i d e l y a n d each refinery is designed t o process specific types o f crude w i t h i n a c e r t a i n range. A l a r g e p o r t i o n o f U.S. r e f i n i n g capacity was b u i l t to use domestic crudes, w h i c h are m a i n l y l o w s u l f u r . Therefore, these refineries have o n l y l i m i t e d capacity to process h i g h s u l f u r crudes. T h e m e t a l l u r g y of much of t h e i r equipment is inadequate to w i t h s t a n d t h e corrosion caused by h i g h s u l f u r crudes. I n a d d i t i o n , a low7 s u l f u r refinery c a n n o t produce products f r o m h i g h s u l f u r crude t h a t meet U.S. e n v i r o n m e n t a l requirements. F i n a l l y , i n many cases refineries are l i m i t e d i n t h e i r a b i l i t y to process h i g h s u l f u r crude because they themselves w o u l d generate emissions i n excess of a i r q u a l i t y standards. W i t h t h i s background, I w o u l d l i k e to t u r n t o the Committee's questions. The Causes Behind the Gasoline Shortage (Committee Question 1 ) As I have explained, the naition is i n a s i t u a t i o n w h e r e domestic r e f i n i n g (capacity is insufficient ito meet p r o d u c t demand. T h i s s i t u a t i o n w i l l be f u r t h e r a g g r a v a t e d i n t h e m o n t h s ahead i f the r e f i n i n g capacity t h a t does exist is not f u l l y used. T o m a x i m i z e the use of a v a i l a b l e refinery capacity, i m p o r t s of l o w s u l f u r c r u d e a r e needed t o compensate f o r t h e s h o r t f a l l i n U.S. crude production. B u t t h e g r e a t p a r t of the c r u d e o i l t h a t is a v a i l a b l e outside the U.S. has a h i g h s u l f u r content. F u r t h e r c o m p l i c a t i n g t h e s i t u a t i o n on the supply side i s the f a c t t h a t gasoline i n v e n t o r i e s east of the Rockies are lowTer t h a n t h e y were a year ago. T h i s is t h e case i n spite of the f a c t t h a t p r o d u c t i o n o f gasoline (37 M M B ) — a s w e l l as d i s t i l l a t e s (53 M M B ) — w a s h i g h e r t h i s past w i n t e r t h a n it; was i n the w i n t e r of 1971-72. A s t h i s i n v e n t o r y s i t u a t i o n suggests, d e m a n d f o r m o t o r gasoline i s g r o w i n g r a p i d l y . I n the first q u a r t e r of t h i s year, gasoline consumption east of the Rockies was about 6 % h i g h e r t h a n i t was i n the same p e r i o d a year ago. T w o f a c t o r s t h a t a r e c l e a r l y c o n t r i b u t i n g t o t h i s increase i n d e m a n d are the general u p t u r n i n the economy a n d t h e r e l a t i v e l y h i g h consumption of new cars due to t h e emissions c o n t r o l devices t h a t I mentioned earlier. 96-183 O - 73 - 16 236 U n d e r these circumstances, i t is clear t h a t s u b s t a n t i a l i m p o r t s o f finished gasoline a n d h e a t i n g o i l w i l l be r e q u i r e d t o meet U.S. demands. T h i s year, a t least, there is some capacity i n overseas refineries t o m a n u f a c t u r e p r o d u c t s f o r s h i p m e n t t o the U.S. B u t i t needs to be recognized t h a t the supplies w h i c h appear t o be a v a i l able f r o m overseas refineries a r e less r e l i a b l e t h a n domestic supplies. T h e l o g i s t i c a l system r e q u i r e d t o i m p o r t f o r e i g n p r o d u c t s — a n d c r u d e s — i s l o n g i n t e r m s of distance a n d complex i n t e r m s of c o o r d i n a t i o n . T h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f supplies is subject to unexpected change. T h i s c a n happen as a r e s u l t n o t o n l y of unforeseen increases i n f o r e i g n d e m a n d b u t also u n i l a t e r a l actions on t h e p a r t of f o r e i g n governments. I n a d d i t i o n , petroleum products m a d e a b r o a d d o n o t a l w a y s meet U.S. e n v i r o n m e n t a l specifications; f o r example, most o f f s h o r e h e a t i n g o i l i s h i g h e r i n s u l f u r content t h a n U.S. h e a t i n g o i l . F u r t h e r m o r e , the octane o f a v a i l a b l e f o r e i g n gasoline o n t h e average is l o w e r t h a n t h a t r e q u i r e d f o r s a t i s f a c t o r y p e r f o r m a n c e i n U.S. automobiles. F o r e i g n refineries a r e designed to produce r e l a t i v e l y l a r g e y i e l d s o f dist i l l a t e s a n d f u e l o i l as c o m p a r e d t o gasoline. ( W e s t e r n E u r o p e a n r e f i n e r y gasoline y i e l d is 13.5% o f c r u d e r u n versus U.S. gasoline d e m a n d o f 40.6% of p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s ) . 1 T h i s s i t u a t i o n poses c e r t a i n problems i n i t s e l f . B e f o r e a f o r e i g n refiner w i l l process a d d i t i o n a l c r u d e o i l t o m a n u f a c t u r e gasoline f o r shipment to t h e U.S., he w i l l r e q u i r e some assurance t h a t he also w i l l have a m a r k e t f o r the h i g h e r s u l f u r d i s t i l l a t e s a n d h i g h s u l f u r f u e l o i l t h a t he m u s t m a k e along w i t h t h a t gasoline. Since overseas requirements f o r these p r o d u c t s a r e satisfied o u t of t h e base level o f overseas refinery p r o d u c t i o n , the U.S. w i l l need t o p r o v i d e a n o u t l e t f o r t h e m . B u t e n v i r o n m e n t a l considerations m a y m a k e i t d i f f i c u l t i f n o t impossible t o m a r k e t these t w o p r o d u c t s i n t h i s c o u n t r y a n d , i n t h i s w a y , l i m i t t h e i m p o r t a t i o n o f f o r e i g n gasoline. F i n a l l y , w i t h Phase I I I p r i c e c o n t r o l s i n effect i n the U.S., t h e f a c t t h a t t h e prices of f o r e i g n p r o d u c t s h a v e increased a n d n o w are g e n e r a l l y h i g h e r t h a n U.S. prices w i l l be a c o m p l i c a t i n g f a c t o r . N o w I w o u l d l i k e t o t u r n to C o m m i t t e e Question 5 w h i c h is closely r e l a t e d t o the first. T h e I m p a c t of G a s o l i n e S h o r t a g e s o n O t h e r P e t r o l e u m P r o d u c t s (Committee Question 5 ) There are t w o significant variables t h a t make i t extremely difficult to assess h o w the t o t a l p r o d u c t i o n capacity o f domestic refineries w i l l be dist r i b u t e d a m o n g i n d i v i d u a l products. T h e first of these I have a l r e a d y discussed—this is the o v e r a l l a v a i l a b i l i t y of forelign crude a n d products. T h e second v a r i a b l e is ithe a b i l i t y o f t h e U.S. refiner t o change t h e a m o u n t of any p a r t i c u l a r p r o d u c t made w i t h i n the t o t a l p r o d u c t slate. F o r example, gasoline yields generally can be v a r i e d u p t o 5 % o f t h e t o t a l crude processed. A s more gasoline is made, u s u a l l y less d i s t i l l a t e s a r e m a d e a n d vice versa. T h e flexibility v a r i e s f r o m one refinery t o a n o t h e r a n d f r o m one company to another. I n t h e o r y , t h i s m a n u f a c t u r i n g flexibility is employed, i n c o n j u n c t i o n w i t h t h e management of inventories, t o meet c u r r e n t demands w h i l e a t the same t i m e p r e p a r i n g t o s a t i s f y t h e r e q u i r e m e n t s o f c o m i n g months. B u t i n p r a c t i c e a refiner m a y find h i m s e l f o b l i g e d t o use u p so much of his flexibility i n h a n d l i n g a n i m m e d i a t e p r o b l e m of unexpectedly h i g h d e m a n d i n one p r o d u c t t h a t he adversely affects h i s a b i l i t y t o meet requirements f o r a n o t h e r p r o d u c t some m o n t h s l a t e r . These v a r i a b l e s w i l l i n good measure d e t e r m i n e t h e i m p a c t t h a t gasoline shortages w i l l have o n o t h e r p r o d u c t s t h i s year a n d o n home h e a t i n g o i l supplies n e x t w i n t e r . E x x o n U S A ' s domestic r e f i n i n g operations represent o n l y 8 % of t h e U.S. o i l i n d u s t r y . I cannot p r e d i c t w i t h a n y r e a l confidence w h a t o t h e r companies w i l l be able t o do abouit i m p o r t s o r h o w c o n d i t i o n s w i l l d i c t a t e t h e y use t h e i r r e f i n i n g flexibility. A s a r e s u l t , t h e r e is r e a l l y n o w a y I can assess w i t h m u c h accuracy t h e i m p a c t o f t h e gasoline s i t u a t i o n on o t h e r p r o d u c t s on a n i n d u s t r y - w i d e basis. I can, however, o u t l i n e m y o w n company's o u t look. 1 See attached typical yield information. 237 O u r c u r r e n t assessments i n d i c a t e t h a t E x x o n U S A ' s supplies of gasoline, heaiting oil, a n d o t h e r d i s t i l l a t e s t h i s year w i l l enable o u r company t o p r o v i d e volumes of these products t o each g r o u p of customers e q u a l to 1972 sales p l u s some allowances f o r g r o w t h i n 1973. B u t i t should be understood t h a t t h i s supply outlook f o r E x x o n USA depends e n t i r e l y on t h e company c o n t i n u i n g to be able t o operate i t s r e f i n i n g f a c i l i t i e s a t as close t o capacity as possible— w h i c h i t is c u r r e n t l y d o i n g — a n d h a v i n g t h e access to i m p o r t s w h i c h i t curr e n t l y projects. Obviously, u n a n t i c i p a t e d shutdowns of m a j o r refinery u n i t s , i n t e r r u p t i o n s o r reductions i n a v a i l a b i l i t y of e i t h e r domestic o r f o r e i g n crude, problems i n access to overseas products, o r o t h e r unforeseen o p e r a t i n g difficulties could adversely affect o u r supply c a p a b i l i t y . T h e generally t i g h t supply s i t u a t i o n i n the U.S. p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y is imposing a b n o r m a l demands on E x x o n U S A . F o r example, some customers are requesting a d d i t i o n a l supplies t o offset supplies u n a v a i l a b l e to t h e m f r o m other t r a d i t i o n a l sources. I n a d d i t i o n , m a n y consumers are seeking replacement f u e l s f o r c u r t a i l e d n a t u r a l gas. U n d e r these circumstances of o v e r a l l t i g h t supply, w e believe o u r p r i m a r y o b l i g a t i o n is t o serve our e x i s t i n g customers. W e w i l l d i s t r i b u t e the supplies we h a v e a v a i l a b l e t o each group o f customers i n basically the same p r o p o r t i o n as we have i n the recent past. Customers i n each group w i l l be t r e a t e d f a i r l y . A s w e n o w see o u r s i t u a t i o n , i t is u n l i k e l y t h a t we w i l l have t h e c a p a b i l i t y t o supply p o t e n t i a l new customers. I w o u l d n o w l i k e to address Committee Questions 4 a n d 6. W h a t Steps C a n B e T a k e n to Avoid, Such Shortages i n the F u t u r e ( C o m m i t t e e Q u e s t i o n 4 ) a n d T h e E f f e c t of t h e R e c e n t l y A n n o u n c e d P h a s e O u t of t h e Quota System (Committee Question 6 ) T h e President's E n e r g y Message provides a n encouraging s i g n t h a t t h e need f o r g o v e r n m e n t a l a c t i o n has been recognized. Changes t h a t h a v e been made i n the i m p o r t s p r o g r a m s h o u l d do m u c h to encourage t h e c o n s t r u c t i o n of new refinery capacity i n the U.S. Of course, e n v i r o n m e n t a l considerations w i l l have a n effect on the i m p l e m e n t a t i o n of plans f o r a d d i t i o n a l capacity. T h e new p r o g r a m also p e r m i t s access to the p r o d u c t i m p o r t s needed t o supplement domestic supplies, but, as I have suggested e a r l i e r , t h i s i n i t s e l f probably w o n ' t be sufficient so long as f o r e i g n products f a i l t o meet U.S. e n v i r o n m e n t a l a n d p e r f o r m a n c e standards. E n v i r o n m e n t a l actions d u r i n g the past f o u r t o five years h a v e h a d a great i m p a c t on the n a t i o n ' s system of energy supply. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , t h i s causeand-effect has gone l a r g e l y unrecognized. U n t i l recently, t h e c o u n t r y ' s energy system has managed t o absorb t h e a d d i t i o n a l increased d e m a n d t h a t has resulted, b u t i t can do so no longer. T o d a y a l l the flexibility we have enjoyed i n past years is gone f r o m our fuels supply system a n d i f t h e U.S. continues f o r the n e x t f o u r years as i t has f o r the past f o u r , the effect could be extremely serious. I n i t s concern f o r the c o n d i t i o n o f t h e environment, m a n y i n the n a t i o n h a v e overlooked t h e w a y s i n w h i c h e n v i r o n m e n t a l actions have affected energy s u p p l y ; now, the coin must be t u r n e d a n d m o r e a t t e n t i o n m u s t be g i v e n to p r o v i d i n g a better balance between t h e two. 2 I should emphasize t h a t m y company clearly recognizes t h e need f o r the n a t i o n t o set goals f o r e n v i r o n m e n t a l improvement. A s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d as a company we are s u p p o r t i v e of the v i e w t h a t p r o t e c t i o n o f t h e n a t u r a l e n v i r o n m e n t is desirable. W e endeavor to conduct a l l o u r operations accordi n g l y . W e have made a n d w i l l continue t o make investments r e q u i r e d t o meet e n v i r o n m e n t a l standards. W e have modified our o p e r a t i n g procedures a n d practices to t h a t e n d a n d w i l l continue t o do so. B u t the p o i n t I w i s h to m a k e is t h a t i t seems to us t h a t t h e t i m e has come when t h e c o u n t r y needs to t a k e a second look a t i t s t i m e t a b l e f o r environm e n t a l i m p r o v e m e n t . W e do not suggest t h a t e n v i r o n m e n t a l goals be abandoned. W h a t we do suggest is t h a t the energy supply s i t u a t i o n is sufficiently severe t h a t c o n s i d e r a t i o n should be g i v e n to t a k i n g more t i m e t o reach u l t i m a t e a i r q u a l i t y goals. T h i s w o u l d n o t mean r e t u r n i n g to t h e a i r emission levels experienced i n the l a t e 1960's; i t w o u l d s i m p l y mean t h a t the n a t i o n w o u l d n o t go q u i t e so f a r q u i t e so fast. 2 Address by M. A. Wright before the Commerce Associates ^Banquet, University of Southern California, May 7, 1973 (copy attached). 238 W e w o u l d suggest t h a t as t h e n a t i o n reexamines t h e need f o r a m o r e balanced look a t energy a n d t h e e n v i r o n m e n t , c e r t a i n specific areas s h o u l d be e x a m i n e d t o see i f t e m p o r a r y r e l a x a t i o n s a r e n o t i n f a c t w a r r a n t e d . These m i g h t i n c l u d e : F i r s t , refinery SO* emissions c o u l d t e m p o r a r i l y be relaxed. T h i s w o u l d enable a n u m b e r o f refineries to s u b s t i t u t e some h i g h s u l f u r c r u d e f o r l o w s u l f u r crude. T h i s , i n t u r n , w o u l d free some l o w >sulfur c r u d e f o r use by refineries t h a t have spare capacity a n d c a n process o n l y l o w s u l f u r c r u d e due t o f a c i l i t y l i m i t a t i o n s . T h i s step w o u l d h e l p assure t h a t i n d u s t r y r e f i n i n g capacity w o u l d be u t i l i z e d t o t h e m a x i m u m . Second, heavy f u e l o i l s u l f u r specifications c o u l d be t e m p o r a r i l y r e l a x e d somewhat. T h i s could r e s u l t i n t h e s u b s t i t u t i o n o f h i g h s u l f u r c r u d e f o r l o w s u l f u r crude w h i c h is being processed i n some C a r i b b e a n refineries t o m a k e 0.3% S f u e l oil. I t could also p e r m i t processing some a d d i t i o n a l h i g h s u l f u r c r u d e i n c u r r e n t l y s p a r e C a r r i b e a n capacity. These t w o steps w o u l d f a c i l i t a t e the p r o d u c t i o n of a d d i t i o n a l l o w s u l f u r d i s t i l l a t e a n d heavy f u e l o i l , as w e l l as f r e e i n g l o w s u l f u r crude, a t least some of w h i c h w o u l d l i k e l y come t o U.S. refineries. T h i r d , s t a n d a r d s f o r SOa emissions f r o m u t i l i t y p l a n t s c o u l d be t e m p o r a r i l y r e l a x e d t o p e r m i t the use of coal i n place of f u e l o i l . A v a r i a t i o n on t h i s proposal w o u l d be to a l l o w coal b u r n i n g except i n c e r t a i n m e t r o p o l i t a n areas. F o u r t h , h e a t i n g o i l s u l f u r specifications c o u l d be t e m p o r a r i l y r e l a x e d t o a l l o w 0.5% S content E u r o p e a n p r o d u c t to be used. E u r o p e a n r e f i n i n g capacity is n o t designed to produce h e a t i n g o i l w i t h s u l f u r c o n t e n t o f 0.2% as i s c u r r e n t l y r e q u i r e d i n most areas of t h e N o r t h e a s t . I n s o f a r as a u t o emissions a r e concerned, r e a l progress a l r e a d y has been made. R e g u l a t i o n s r e q u i r i n g lead-free gasoline w i l l necessitate g r e a t e r cons u m p t i o n of crude o i l to m a n u f a c t u r e gasoline of q u a l i t y e q u i v a l e n t t o t h a t of t h e leaded p r o d u c t . Because of this, i t is a p p r o p r i a t e t h a t t h e t i m i n g of t h e i m p l e m e n t a t i o n r e g u l a t i o n s to r e q u i r e lead-free gasoline be reconsidered. E x x o n ' s U S A ' s recommendations concerning l o n g - t e r m s o l u t i o n s t o t h e energy problems of the n a t i o n w e r e r e v i e w e d recently by R a n d a l l M e y e r , P r e s i d e n t of E x x o n Company, U.S.A., i n t e s t i m o n y b e f o r e t h e Senate C o m m i t t e e on t h e I n t e r i o r a n d I n s u l a r A f f a i r s . 3 A copy of t h a t t e s t i m o n y has been filed f o r t h e record. N o w , I w o u l d l i k e to t u r n t o C o m m i t t e e Question 2. The Effect t h e Gasoline Shortages Will H a v e o n t h e Nation (Committee Question 2 ) I t h i n k i t is self evident t h a t t h e effect of gasoline shortages w i l l depend on t h e i r magnitude. M i n o r shortages, i f they occur, w i l l o b v i o u s l y r e s u l t i n inconvenience to motorists. B u t , i t is generally recognized t h a t t h e r e i s a s i g n i f i c a n t d i s c r e t i o n a r y component i n m o t o r gasoline demand. W e w o u l d expect t h a t even some modest r e d u c t i o n i n d i s c r e t i o n a r y c o n s u m p t i o n c o u l d be suffic i e n t t o relieve m i n o r shortages. E a c h m o t o r i s t c a n p r o b a b l y a f f o r d t o d r i v e fewer miles w i t h o u t materially i m p a i r i n g the quality of his life. B y the same token, each of us can m a k e a c o n t r i b u t i o n t o r e d u c t i o n i n gasoline d e m a n d by u s i n g h i s a u t o m o b i l e m o r e efficiently w h e n w e do d r i v e . A n u m b e r of o i l companies a l r e a d y a r e recommending conservation o f gasoline t o t h e m o t o r i n g public. I n t h i s same vein, w e f u l l y support t h e emphasis g i v e n energy conservaiton a n d wise use o f energy by t h e P r e s i d e n t i n h i s recent energy message t o t h e Congress. H o w great the m a g n i t u d e of gasoline shortages a c t u a l l y w i l l be w i l l depend o n a t least f o u r factors. F i r s t , the a c t u a l l e v e l o f U.S. consumers' d e m a n d f o r gasoline i n t h e m o n t h s ahead. I n good measure, t h i s w i l l depend on howT t h e d r i v i n g p u b l i c of t h e U.S. perceives t h e s i t u a t i o n and, as i n d i v i d u a l s , decide t o a d j u s t t h e i r d r i v i n g habits. Second, t h e w a y s i n w h i c h t h e m a n y i n d i v i d u a l o i l companies manage t h e i r operations. T h i r d , actions by t h e f e d e r a l g o v e r n m e n t on p r i c e controls a n d by f e d e r a l , s t a t e a n d l o c a l governments concerning e n v i r o n m e n t a l standards. F o u r t h , p o t e n t i a l a c t i o n s by 3 Statement of RandfBl Meyer before the Senate Committee on I n t e r i o r and I n s u l a r A f f a i r s , F e b r u a r y 22, 1973 (copy a t t a c h e d ) . PERCENT OF REFINERY YIELD THROUGHOUT THE FREE WORLD 0.1 0.4 13.4 K S M 0.8 11.0 1.5 2.7 5.6 49.3 29.2 119.5 122.9 1218 2.0 6.9 40.0 33.4 146.2 120.6 28.3 12 16.2 315 1.0 1 03 199 116.0 ll.l U.S. NORTH AMERICA SOUTH CENTRAL AMERICA AMERICA CARIBBEAN 4,422,428 1,051,049 1,409,191 WESTERN EUROPE MIOOLE EAST ASIATIC AREA FREE WORLD 4,714,333 880,531 2,269,224 15,004,724 THOUSAND BARRELS AVIATION GASOLINE | DISTILLATE FUEL MOTOR GASOLINE j g g j g f l KEROSINE | RESIDUAL FUEL Bill • FIGURE I. SOURCE: U. S . Department o f t h e Bureau o f Mines LUBRICANTS Totol Free World Crude Oil Input-Output, 1971 Interior, | JET FUEL • OTHER PRODUCT S&tv f o r e i g n governments a n d t h e a c t u a l supply a v a i l a b i l i t y s i t u a t i o n i n t h e f o r e i g n countries to w h i c h t h e U.S. m u s t t u r n f o r i n c r e a s i n g volumes o f c r u d e o i l a n d p e t r o l e u m products. B u t , w h e n we i n E x x o n U S A t a k e a l l these considerations i n t o account, w e conclude t h a t such shortages as o c c u r t h i s s u m m e r p r o b a b l y w i l l be scattered, ibemj>orary a n d r e l a t i v e l y m i n o r . B u t , i n d i v i d u a l s a n d businesses w h i c h a r e d i r e c t l y affected m a y w e l l f e e l t h a t t h e y a r e e n c o u n t e r i n g serious problems. I f m a j o r shortages occur, m a j o r actions t o cope w i t h t h e s i t u a t i o n c o u l d w e l l be required. A g a i n s t t h i s p o s s i b i l i t y , contingency plans should be developed by government. B u t such plans need t o be c a r e f u l l y t h o u g h t o u t a n d i m p l e m e n t e d o n l y i n the event o f m a j o r gasoline supply problems. T h e effect on t h e economy of t h e dislocations t h a t c o u l d r e s u l t f r o m a n ill-considered g o v e r n m e n t a l l o c a t i o n p r o g r a m could w e l l be m o r e severe t h a n t h e effect o f t h e shortages themselves. T o complete m y t e s t i m o n y , I w o u l d l i k e t o comment on C o m m i t t e e Quest i o n 3. T h e I m p a c t of S h o r t a g e s on C o m p e t i t i o n ( C o m m i t t e e Q u e s t i o n 3 ) A s I s a i d e a r l i e r , E x x o n U S A has p u b l i c l y s t a t e d iits c o m m i t m e n t t o p r o v i d e t h e m o t o r gasoline, h e a t i n g o i l a n d o t h e r d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s we h a v e a v a i l a b l e to each g r o u p of customer i n basically t h e same p r o p o r t i o n s as we h a v e i n t h e recent past. A s I indicated, we l>elieve o u r first o b l i g a t i o n is t o serve o u r e x i s t i n g customers i n w h a t e v e r g r o u p they f a l l . I n t h e b r o a d c o n t e x t o f t h e question t h e C o m m i t t e e has asked, w e believe t h i s i s a responsible approach. T h e p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y is e x t r e m e l y c o m p e t i t i v e . T h e r e a r e m a n y p a r t i c i p a n t s , b o t h w i t h i n the U.S. i n d u s t r y and, n o w w i t h i n t h e f o r e i g n p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y , w h o a r e i n v o l v e d i n s u p p l y i n g t h e U.S. w i t h p e t r o l e u m products. F e w other m a j o r i n d u s t r i e s i n the w o r l d have as d i v e r s e o r as l a r g e a n u m b e r of competitors. T h e r e are great n u m b e r s o f h i g h l y a c t i v e a n d h i g h l y c o m p e t i t i v e companies i n each phase of t h e petro-lum i n d u s t r y — p r o d u c i n g , refining, t r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d m a r k e t i n g . One i m p o r t a n t f a c t o r w h i c h w i l l t e n d to ensure t h a t c o m p e t i t i o n w i l l r e m a i n h e a l t h y w i t h i n t h e U.S. o i l i n d u s t r y is t h a t m a n y competitors w i l l take the v i e w t h a t t h e p e r i o d of t i g h t supply w i l l n o t continue i n d e f i n i t e l y . W i t h t h i s i n m i n d , t h e y w i l l recognize t h a t t h e v a l u e of t h e i r business i n the l o n g r u n w i l l depend o n r e t a i n i n g t h e good w i l l o f t h e i r customers. W e w o u l d expect they w i l l conduct t h e i r business accordingly. M r . C h a i r m a n , t h a n k y o u f o r t h i s o p p o r t u n i t y t o present o u r views. A n A d d r e s s B y M . A . W r i g h t , C h a i r m a n A n d C h i e f E x e c u t i v e , E x x o n Co., U.S.A., a t t h e C o m m e r c e A s s o c i a t e s B a n q u e t , U n i v e r s i t y o f Southern C a l i f o r n i a , L o s A n g e l e s , C a l i f . , M a y 7, 1 9 7 3 I a m g r a t e f u l f o r t h e o p p o r t u n i t y to appear before t h i s d i s t i n g u i s h e d gathering. M y subject t h i s evening is energy, a n d I h a v e these objectives i n mind: F i r s t , 1 w a n t to t r y t o convince y o u t h a t t h e energy s i t u a t i o n i n t h e U n i t e d States i s v e r y serious—even m o r e serious t h a n m a n y o f y o u m a y believe. Second, I w a n t to impress upon y o u t h e t r e m e n d o u s — b u t l a r g e l y unrecognized—•impact t h a t e n v i r o n m e n t a l l a w s a n d r e g u l a t i o n s have h a d on energy supply i n t h e l a s t f e w years. T h i r d , I feel y o u should k n o w t h a t i f t h e n a t i o n i s t o a v o i d some r e a l l y serious shortages o f gasoline i n the s u m m e r t i m e a n d d i s t i l l a t e f u e l s such as h e a t i n g o i l i n t h e w i n t e r , there m u s t be a reevaluaition of t h e t i m e t a b l e f o r a c h i e v i n g c e r t a i n e n v i r o n m e n t a l goals. These a r e t h e h a r d , u n v a r n i s h e d f a c t s as we see t h e m i n E x x o n U S A . T h e y represent o u r v i e w of the g r a v i t y of t h e s i t u a t i o n a n d o f t h e need f o r i m m e d i a t e , f o r t h r i g h t action. F o r a p p r o x i m a t e l y t h e last f o u r years, m y associates a n d I i n E x x o n U S A have been p r e d i c t i n g the p o s s i b i l i t y t h a t the n a t i o n c o u l d encounter serious energy problems. W e have done t h i s i n t e s t i m o n y before committees o f Congress, i n meetings w i t h f e d e r a l d e p a r t m e n t s , a n d i n p u b l i c speeches. W e cannot c l a i m t o have p r e d i c t e d the w i n t e r of 1 9 7 2 - 7 3 as t h e e x a c t date energy sliortages w o u l d surface, b u t w e d i d define t h e e m e r g i n g s i t u a t i o n as one 241 t h a t — i f not corrected—would soon cause problems. A l t h o u g h we said t h a t t i m e was r u n n i n g out, we ourselves d i d n o t f u l l y realize how f a s t the situation was changing. Nor d i d we, u n t i l quite recently, f u l l y comprehend the impact the environmental movement was having on national energy supply. Suddenly, t i m e has r u n o u t on America. The abundance of energy we have enjoyed f o r so long has l e f t us. Before discussing w h a t we believe must be done to avoid the immediate prospect of energy shortages, p a r t i c u l a r l y of gasoline a n d d i s t i l l a t e fuels, permit me t o take a few moments to review how and w h y t h i s situation has developed. Our basic energy problem today is t h a t the nation's need f o r energy is o u t r u n n i n g the development o f domestic energy supplies. Consumption of energy doubled between 195 and 1970, and is expected to nearly double again by 1985. F o r a t least the next decade, energy consumption is expected to grow at about t h e same rate as the Gross N a t i o n a l Product, or slightly more than f o u r percent per year. Several of the fuels which h a d been counted on to help meet rising demand are, f o r a variety of reasons, not available i n sufficient quantity. For example, n a t u r a l gas, a clean-burning f u e l much i n demand i n view of today's s t r i c t environmental regulations, is i n short supply and i t is not anticipated t h a t f u t u r e supply w i l l be able to meet potential demand. Since the m i d 1950's, gas prices have been held to unrealistically low levels under regulation by the Federal Power Commission. T h i s has had the double-edged effect of a r t i f i c i a l l y s t i m u l a t i n g demand and discouraging investments i n e x p l o r a t i o n f o r new resources. However, the p r i n c i p a l factor which has led to the energy problems we face today and w i l l face f o r the next few years is the tremendous impact ot environmental l a w s and regulations on energy supply. D u r i n g the past four to five years, a national desire f o r a cleaner n a t u r a l environment has crystallized and has become a goal. A n d i n t y p i c a l American fashion, once this goal was recognized we have insisted on v i r t u a l l y instant results. Numerous federal, state, and municipal laws and regulations were placed on the books practically overnight. These actions have had a measurable effect and i n many respects the U.S. is on the way t o w a r d the environmental quality i t wants. B u t at the same time the environmental movement has had significant negative effects on domestic f u e l supply and has i n fact overstressed the a b i l i t y of our energy system to respond. Let me give you some examples showing how this has happened. Coal is not p l a y i n g the role i t had been expected to play i n the energy market. Much of the nation's current production is high i n s u l f u r content and therefore cannot meet the environmental standards set by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency under the provisions of the Clean A i r A c t of 1970. P r i o r to the Clean A i r Act, i t had been expected t h a t use of coal w o u l d grow a t about 4.4 percent i>er year at least through 1973. Instead, coal consumption has grown at only 1.3 percent per year d u r i n g this period. Since demand f o r energy was not reduced, some other f u e l had t o do the job t h a t coal had been expected to do. The result has been a large and unexpected increase i n demand f o r petroleum. Nuclear power has also suffered f r o m environmental restrictions. Persistent delays have been experienced i n finding suitable sites f o r nuclear plants and i n obtaining the numerous permits needed f o r construction and operation. One public u t i l i t y company reports t h a t not one construction or operating p e r m i t was issued i n the U.S. between early 1971 and mid-1972. The Federal Power Commission has pointed out t h a t o f 56 nuclear plants scheduled to begin operation i n the period f r o m 1972 to 1975, 50 are behind schedule. As Prasident N i x o n noted i n his recent energy message to Congress : " I t is discouraging to know t h a t nuclear f a c i l i t i e s capable of generating 27,000 megawatts of electric power which were expected to be operational by 1972 were not completed. To replace t h a t generating capacity we would have to use the equivalent of one-third of the n a t u r a l gas the country used f o r generating electricity i n 1972 " The delayed e n t r y of nuclear power into the energy m a r k e t has, therefore, increased the demand f o r petroleum. S i m i l a r l y , the drive t o clean up the i n t e r n a l combustion engine has increased the need f o r oil. Emission regulations f o r automobiles are already having an effect on gasoline consumption. On a national scale, the effect of E P A emission standards alone is expected to increase demand f o r gasoline by 242 about 12 percent by 1976. I w a n t to emphasize t h a t t h i s increase w i l l be over and above t h e n o r m a l g r o w t h i n gasoline demand and w i l l require an a d d i t i o n a l 900,000 barrels per day of petroleum. Yet w h i l e environmental constraints on coal a n d nuclear power increase the demand f o r petroleum, at the same t i m e the environmental movement has h a d a severe effect on efforts to develop new sources of domestic o i l a n d gas. As you know, one of the largest oilfields o n t h e N o r t h A m e r i c a n cont i n e n t has remained locked up on Alaska's N o r t h Slope f o r more t h a n three years because environmental groups blocked t h e construction of the trans Alaskan pipeline. Even i f Congress acts t o free the wTay f o r construction, i t now appears t h a t 1977 is the earliest possible date t h a t product i o n could move f r o m the N o r t h Slope. O r i g i n a l l y , we had anticipated a 1972 s t a r t u p f o r the A l a s k a n Pipeline. W e had estimated t h a t N o r t h Slope crude production w o u l d increase to 1.4 m i l l i o n barrels per day by 1975 w i t h this volume coming t o the West Coast, thus reducing substantially the dependence of C a l i f o r n i a and i t s neighboring states on imported o i l f r o m abroad. The i n i t i a l N o r t h Slope forecasts also projected substantial amounts of n a t u r a l gas moving to the lower 48 states by t h e mid-1970's. I n the absence qf A l a s k a n gas, some 600,000 barrels per day of a d d i t i o n a l foreign o i l i m ports w 7 ill be needed. O i l development has been constrained also i n offshore C a l i f o r n i a . I n 1968, the oil i n d u s t r y spent some $600 m i l l i o n f o r leases i n the Santa B a r b a r a Channel. However, the oil s p i l l near Santa B a r b a r a i n 1969 proved to be a benchmark i n the environmental movement. A l t h o u g h m a j o r discoveries have been made i n the Channel since t h a t time, state and federal d r i l l i n g morat o r i u m s and the application of the N a t i o n a l E n v i r o n m e n t a l Policy A c t have prevented realization of the production t h a t was forecast f r o m offshore California. B y constraining the use of coal and delaying the development o f nuclear power, environmental actions have caused a sudden, sharp increase i n demand f o r l i q u i d petroleum. More and more, o i l has become the f u e l t h a t is called upon to balance national energy requirements by m a k i n g up shortages i n other forms of energy. B u t since environmental concerns have also blocked the development of significant sources of domestic petroleum i n Alaska, Calif o r n i a , and elsewrhere, there is simply not enough domestic o i l to do t h e tasks expected of i t . U n t i l recently, the U n i t e d States enjoyed a surplus of crude o i l producing capacity and a surplus o f refining capacity. B u t today U.S. crude o i l production, which has been r u n n i n g at capacity f o r a f u l l year, is declining. U.S. refineries are also operating at near capacity. T o make up the significant gap t h a t exists between domestic production and demand, we can t u r n only to foreign imports. Moreover, this need f o r i m p o r t s w i l l increase a n d i f present trends continue, the n a t i o n may have to i m p o r t up to 65 percent of its o i l by 1985. I n the months and years j u s t ahead, the U.S. has no a l t e r n a t i v e b u t to rely increasingly on imported oil. B u t the f a c t is t h a t supplies o f crude o i l are extremely t i g h t not only i n the U.S. but worldwide. T h i s is n o t w i d e l y k n o w n outside the petroleum indusrty. Apparently many U.S. citizens s t i l l hold the belief t h a t the U.S. Simply can go out and get a l l the foreign o i l i t wants at any time, and a t a very cheap price. T h i s is not true. Because of the disappearance of w o r l d w i d e spare producing capacity, f o r e i g n crude prices have risen r a p i d l y and foreign crude now costs more t o use i n U.S. refineries t h a n price-controlled domestic crude. I n a l l likelihood, foreign crude w i l l continue t o be as expensive or more so f o r a U.S. refiner t h a n domestic crude. A n d our outlook indicates t h a t w o r l d w i d e crude supplies w i l l r e m a i n t i g h t f o r the foreseeable future. F u r t h e r complicating this prospect is the p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t most of the g r o w t h i n foreign supply w i l l be predominantly " s o u r " crudes. A n explanation of this t e r m is i n order. Many may assume t h a t refineries can process any crude oil, b u t i n f a c t each one is designed to process specific types of oil. One o f the p r i m a r y characteristics of crude oil is its s u l f u r content. H i g h - s u l f u r crude is k n o w n as " s o u r " crude, w h i l e low-sulfur crude—highly desirable due to U.S. env i r o n m e n t a l regulations—is k n o w as "swTeet" crude. A large p o r t i o n o f U.S. refining capacity was b u i l t to use domestic crudes, which are m a i n l y sweet. These refineries cannot process high-sulfur " s o u r " crudes f o r several reasons. 243 One 'reason is based on m e t a l l u r g y ; the corrosive high-sulfur crudes w i l l l i t e r a l l y chew holes i n units and p i p i n g b u i l t to handle sweet crudes. Another reason is e n v i r o n m e n t a l ; a sweet-crude refinery cannot produce products f r o m sour crude w i t h a s u l f u r content low enough to meet U.S. environmental requirements. Nor can i t meet restrictions on refinery emissions using sour crudes. Consequently, sweet crude supply is especially t i g h t , both i n the U.S. and worldwide. I t s a v a i l a b i l i t y f r o m foreign countries w i l l become increasingly c r i t i c a l and its price can be expected to rise substantially. The shortage of sweet crude w i l l probably make i t impossible to maximize the u t i l i z a t i o n of U.S. refining capacity this year a n d d u r i n g the next few years. T h i s means t h a t substantial imports of finished gasoline and heating o i l w i l l be required to meet U.S. demands. This year, at least, there is spare capacity i n overseas refineries which can be used to manufacture stocks f o r shipment to the U.S. B u t petroleum products made abroad do not always meet U.S. performance requirements and, as a rule, do not f u l l y satisfy U.S. environmental specifications. I n addition, the m i x of products manufactured f r o m foreign crudes i n overseas refineries is usually different f r o m the m i x required i n this country. F i n a l y , such foreign products as are available now are already higher-priced t h a n s i m i l a r U.S. materials. We expect this to be the case f o r a d d i t i o n a l volumes as well. T h a t is how we stand at this point i n time, w i t h demand exceeding domestic production and w i t h environmental requirements accelerating our dependence on foreign oil. Our studies indicate t h a t the need f o r approximately 25 percent of the foreign oil which was imported i n 1972 could be traced directly to environmental restrictions. A n d we estimate t h a t by 1975, some 40 percent of the o i l we w i l l have to i m p o r t w i l l be needed due to environmental laws, regulations, and other actions which have had the effect of reducing our available domestic supplies of energy. D u r i n g the past f o u r to five years, then, environmental actions have had a great impact on the nation's system of energy supply. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , this cause-and-effect has gone largely unrecognized, as I have mentioned. U n t i l recently, the energy system has managed to w i t h s t a n d the stress; but i t can do so no longer. Today a l l the flexibility we have enjoyed i n past years is gone f r o m our fuels supply system and i f we continue f o r the next f o u r years as we have f o r the past four, the effect could be extremely serious. I n i t s concern f o r the condition of the environment, the n a t i o n has overlooked the ways i n which environmental actions have affected energy s u p p l y ; now, the coin must be t u r n e d and more attention must be given to p r o v i d i n g a better balance l>etween the two. California, which has "led the way i n many respects i n establishing environmental improvement as a national goal, must help i n this reevaluation process. L i k e the n a t i o n as a whole, California's demand f o r energy is expected t o double by 1985, and petroleum must f u r n i s h at least three-fourths of this energy. C a l i f o r n i a is using up its existing o i l and gas reserves a t a much faster rate t h a n new reserves are l)eing added. The state's n a t u r a l gas situation is already becoming c r i t i c a l and a shortage w i l l be felt severely by i n d u s t r i a l users by 1975. F r o m the standpoint of oil, C a l i f o r n i a today supplies about, two-thirds of its needs f r o m indigenous sources and gets the rest f r o m Alaska and f r o m foreign imports. B u t i f present trends continue, by 1985 this situation would be reversed. I n 1985, C a l i f o r n i a could f u r n i s h only about one-third of its oil needs f r o m sources w i t h i n the state and f r o m the other "lower 48" states. The remaining two-thirds w o u l d have to come f r o m outside the state. Much of this, i t is hoped, w o u l d come f r o m Alaska's N o r t h Slope. B u t i f the trans Alaska pipeline is not buiilt, more t h a n h a l f of California's o i l i n 1985 w o u l d have to come f r o m foreign sources, the major source l>eing the nations of the Eastern Hemisphere. Despite the fact t h a t i t is an oil-deficient state, C a l i f o r n i a has shut down offshore d r i l l i n g i n state waters and i n most of the state's coastal zone. The passage of Proposition 20 i n late 1972 could result, f o r example, i n extensive delays or prohibitions of any k i n d of development i n the <x>astal zone, including a l l energy operations. W i t h both California and the n a t i o n i n a n uncertain condition of energy supply, we must t u r n to the question of w h a t can be done about it. One t h i n g is c l e a r : there is need f o r a reevaluation of the timetable f o r environmental improvement. 244 I t can be safely stated t h a t near-term petroleum supplies f r o m a l l soilrces w i l l not be adequate w i t h n o r m a l demand g r o w t h trends a n d the present r i g i d environmental standards timetable. Ait least i n the 1974-76 t i m e f r a m e , one of t w o things must happen. E i t h e r U.S. petroleum demand w i l l have to be restrained a r t i f i c i a l l y , or certain environmental q u a l i t y restrictions w i l l have to be relaxed temporarily. W e simply w i l l not be able to have both ample supplies of petroleum products and current a i r q u a l i t y regulations. I w a n t to emphasize t h a t the temporary measures I a m suggesting to m o d i f y environmental standards are not intended ito change the nation's goals f o r environmental improvement. Our environmental goals need not be abandoned ; we need only to relax the restrictions to a l l o w more t i m e f o r reaching the u l t i m a t e a i r quality goals. T h i s w o u l d not mean r e t u r n i n g to the a i r mission levels experienced i n the late 1960's * i t w o u l d simply mean t h a t the n a t i o n w o u l d not go quite so f a r quite so fast. The measures I have i n m i n d would include temporary r e l a x a t i o n o f c e r t a i n refinery emissions l i m i t a t i o n s and s u l f u r content specifications i n fuels. These changes would allow use o f higher s u l f u r content crudes i n the refineries which are capable o f r u n n i n g them, and t h e i m p o r t a t i o n o f c e r t a i n overseas products wtflch do not meet present U.S. environmental requirements. Tempor a r y variances i n ambienit a i r standards to p e r m i t greater use of coal also are essential. These relaxations would be of d r a m a t i c help i n b r i n g i n g petroleum supply and demand more i n t o balance i n the short term. They w o u l d buy the n a t i o n t i m e to get i t s energy affairs i n t o better order f o r the long term. More thought and effort must be given also to conserving energy a n d using i t wisely. W e support wholeheartedly the emphasis o n this need given i n the President's recent energy message to Congress A t present only 50 percent of a l l energy consumed is converted into useful w o r k ; the r e m a i n i n g h a l f is lost i n t h e f o r m of waste heat .We must accept the technological challenge to find new methods f o r recovering at least a p o r t i o n o f our wasted energy f o r useful applications. I n the short term, v o l u n t a r y consumer efforts to reduce overheating, overcooling and overlighting w i l l be ways i n which we can a l l conserve energy. Longer-term, energy can be conserved by more organized approaches t o large energy-consuming sectors of the economy such as transportation. New means of mass transportation, including mass t r a n s i t , may be needed to supplement our existing systems. The petroleum i n d u s t r y has Jong been k n o w n f o r its commitment to h i g h w a y s as a p r i m a r y means of transportation, and an excellent h i g h w a y system should continue t o be a m a j o r national goal. B u t my company supports t h e view t h a t the tame has come f o r changes at both the federal and state levels i n transportation funding. Specifically, we support the creation of transp o r t a t i o n t r u s t funds raither t h a n the existing h i g h w a y t r u s t funds, w i t h monies f r o m these funds being used f o r the t r a v e l systems—including mass t r a n s i t — t h a t state o r local governments choose to i n s t a l l as best meeting t h e i r needs. We believe t h i s policy would lead eventually t o w a r d a more efficient use of energy and a better t r a n s p o r t a t i o n balance. A more measured timetable f o r environmental improvement and more c a r e f u l and wise use of energy w i l l help the n a t i o n through i t s precarious short-term energy situation f o r t h e next f e w years. However, i n the long t e r m the nat i o n simply cannot a f f o r d t o rely excessively on imported oil, w i t h i t s n a t i o n a l security and balance of t r a d e drawbacks. I n the long run, there is no substitute for the development o f the nation's domestic resource base. T h e n a t i o n needs the trans Alaskan pipeline. I t needs the o i l i n the Santa B a r b a r a Channel. I t needs accelerated federal lease sales t o f a c i l i t a t e development of o i l and gas f r o m the country's prospective offshore regions—the A t l a n t i c Coast, the G u l f of Mexico, the C a l i f o r n i a Coast, and the offshore areas of Alaska. I t needs new refineries and nuclear power plants. I t needs deepwater o i l unloading facilities. I t needs development of a synthetic fuels i n d u s t r y to capitalize on its vast deposits o f coal and o i l shale. To f u l f i l l these needs, the n a t i o n must get a firmer g r i p on i t s energy planning. The a v a i l a b i l i t y of adequate supplies of long-term energy w i l l depend, among other things, upon the timely development of public a n d p r i v a t e lands. Yet i n recent years, i n areas such as Alaska, Delaware, F l o r i d a , and California, the energy industries have been f r u s t r a t e d repeatedly by environmental concerns i n efforts to find and develop domestic energy sources and to con- 245 struct f a c i l i t i s f o r the transportation or processing of energy. Our n a t i o n must find a way to resolve these energy-environmental conflicts i n a more satisfactory, more expeditious, and less expensive manner. U n t i l now the a t t i t u d e of some states seems to have been oriented t o w a r d stopping g r o w t h r a t h e r t h a n regulating i t to achieve balanced objectives. T h i s has been done i n the name of the environment. B u t the way to protect the environment is not to stop everything a r b i t r a r i l y , but to provide the r i g h t set of ground rules to a l l o w f o r "compatible g r o w t h " rather t h a n "no g r o w t h . " T h e nation, and the i n d i v i d u a l states, should consiider seriously the adoption o f systems f o r land use planning and management oriented t o w a r d t w o compatible goals: encouraging disciplined growth, including energy development activities, and protecting environmental quality. I f we f a i l to do so, a n d continue the present confrontation methods, overemphasis on environmental objectives w i l l w o r k at cross purposes w i t h energy needs and the nation may indeed find itself i n an energy crisis. The t i m e has come f o r the n a t i o n to face its energy problems squarely. A national determination is needed to make energy sufficiently as much a national goal as environmental protection or f u l l employment. We face a long, h a r d struggle where energy is concerned. A n d we have r u n out of time f o r debate and delay. We are going to have to move, a n d move fast, on energy. STATEMENT OF RANDALL MEYER, PRESIDENT, E X X O N Co., U . S . A . E X X O N CORP.) ( A D I V I S I O N OF I. INTRODUCTION M r . Chairman, I am R a n d a l l Meyer, President of E x x o n Company, U.S.A. I am pleased to appear before t h i s Committee at its request and present our Company's ideas on the current energy situation. We, l i k e you, are very concerned about our nation's energy supply outlook. You have asked us to discuss the nature and causes of t h e current f u e l problems and have asked f o r our comments on several key issues. I n order to be responsive to your request, I feel t h a t I need to address the t o t a l energy situation. Current problems are a result of a combination of factors affecting a l l energy industries. The fuel shortages which have occurred i n some locations t h i s w i n t e r are a manifestation of deeper seated problems which need to be widely recognized i n order t h a t solutions can be developed. I I . BACKGROUND I n October, 1971, M r . M. A. W r i g h t , Chairman of E x x o n Company, U.S.A., i n addressing this Committee at the outset of its study under Senate Resolution 45, indicated t h a t a consideration of the importance of the role of energy i n 'the achievement o f national goals leads to the conclusion t h a t , " t h e national energy policy should be to provide the U n i t e d States w i t h an adequate supply of energy f o r both present and longer term needs a t a reasonable balance between cost, dependability, and protection of the e n v i r o n m e n t . " 1 The availa b i l i t y of dependable and secure energy supplies is fundamental to the nation's economic, political, and m i l i t a r y security. 2 Ideally, this w o u l d i m p l y p r i m a r y reliance on domestic energy resources. For many years the domestic energy industries have provided American consumers w i t h adequate supplies of reasonable priced fuels. P r i v a t e i n d u s t r y has demonstrated its a b i l i t y to accomplish this task i n an efficient manner, given the proper business climate i n which to operate. However, over the past few years, the country has not been developing its resources at as fast a rate as i t s requirements f o r energy are growing. As a result, the nation's dependence on foreign sources of energy is now increasing very rapidly. Delayed development of domestic resources has been caused by trends i n the economic and p o l i t i c a l climate set i n motion many years ago and substantially aggravated d u r i n g the last t w o to three years. 1 Statement on Energy and National Goals, M. A. W r i g h t , Senate Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, October 21. 1971. 2 U.S. Energy Outlook, A Summary Report of the National Petroleum Council. December, 1972. 246 The cause f o r the delays can best be understood by r e v i e w i n g f o u r prerequisites necessary f o r p r i v a t e i n d u s t r y to develop the nation's energy resources i n a timely manner. F i r s t , the resource potential must exist. As reported by the N a t i o n a l Petroleum Council i n i t s recently published study of t h e U.S. energy outlook, i t is generally agreed among scientific and technical experts i n the energy fields t h a t the U n i t e d States has a n adequate energy resource base. Second, industry must have access to the resources. Since much o f t h e nation's energy potential, including offshore o i l and gas reserves, u r a n i u m , coal, and oil shale deposits, is located i n the federal domain, the government plays a key role i n this area. Past practices f o r leasing offshore o i l and gas acreage have not allowed the development of domestic reserves a t the pace needed. T h i r d , industry must have a reasonable expectation of economic reward f r o m i t s investments i n energy resource development. I n the case o f o i l a n d gas, the economic climate f o r investments has deteriorated steadily f o r the past decade. The roots of today's n a t u r a l gas shortages can be traced as f a r back as the P h i l l i p s Case i n 1954, when the Supreme Court r u l e d t h a t wellhead prices of gas were subject to federal control. The regulation of gas prices a t unrealisticaly low levels has had the double-edged effect of a r t i ficially s t i m u l a t i n g demand and discouraging investments f o r newT reserves. The threat o f e l i m i n a t i o n of the O i l I m p o r t s Control P r o g r a m has served to prevent domestic crude prices f r o m increasing as r a p i d l y as needed. The T a x R e f o r m A c t of 1969 f u r t h e r reduced the inventives f o r o i l a n d gas exploration and development. F o u r t h , the achievement of environmental goals must be balanced against the need to achieve energy and economic goals. The protection of the environment is not only desirable but v i t a l f o r society's health a n d well-being. However, over the past t w o to three years environmental causes have been pressed to the extreme i n some instances w i t h o u t proper regard f o r costbenefit relationships. The N a t i o n a l E n v i r o n m e n t a l Policy A c t has been used as a vehicle to delay the development of sorely needed energy supplies and facilities. Of the f o u r prerequisites necessary f o r timely development of resources, only the first, an adequate resource base, has been present over the past decade. The basic problem has been the lack of a coordinated, coherent approach t o dealing w i t h energy-related matters. I n the absence of clearly established long-term energy objectives and goals, short-term problems have been dealt w i t h by a fragmented, ad hoc approach by a l l elements of society—industry* the government, and the public. T h i s has produced a climate of such uncert a i n t y t h a t the p r i v a t e energy industries have been contrained f r o m m a k i n g the needed investments i n energy resources and f a c i l i t i e s i n spite of the •availability of an adequate energy resource base. iii. c u r r e n t energy situation I w o u l d now l i k e to t u r n to today's energy situation, w r hich is the predictable o u t g r o w t h of the conditions I have been describing. T o t a l energy demand is closely related over the long t e r m to economic a c t i v i t y and can be, and i n fact, has been predicted w i t h a reasonable degree of accuracy. However, the uncertain economic and p o l i t i c a l climate has made i t extremely difficult to i d e n t i f y the role of i n d i v i d u a l fuels t o meet this demand. I n the last t w o years, we have lost supply flexibility i n our energy system as a result of reduced a v a i l a b i l i t y of n a t u r a l gas and the effect of environmental regulations on the use of coal. The g r o w t h i n nuclear powTer plants has been w e l l behind both government and i n d u s t r y forecasts. These factors have a l l been reflected lin recent sharp increases i n demand f o r l i q u i d petroleum products so t h a t oil has become more and more the swing fuel, or the f u e l t h a t is called upon to balance national energy requirements. To i l l u s t r a t e , when n a t u r a l gas supplies f e l l short o f meeting the needs of i n d u s t r i a l consumers, many of these consumers turned to either heating o i l or low s u l f u r heavy fuel oil as t h e i r alternate fuel supply. F u r t h e r a g g r a v a t i n g the d i s t i l l a t e fuel situation has been the f a c t t h a t many heavy f u e l o i l suppliers have found i t necessary to u t i l i z e distillates t o blend w i t h heavy o i l i n order to meet required s u l f u r specifications. The net result of these factors has been t h a t t h e g r o w t h r a t e f o r both d i s t i l l a t e and heavy f u e l oil demand i n the past t w o years has doubled over 247 the g r o w t h experienced d u r i n g t h e p r e v i o u s decade. T h e u n c e r t a i n t i e s I have described, together w i t h f a c i l i t i e s s i t i n g problems, h a v e delayed t h e expansion of domestic r e f i n i n g capacity r e q u i r e d to supply t h e a d d i t i o n a l products. M r . C h a i r m a n , I have gone i n t o t h i s m u c h d e t a i l a b o u t the past because I believe i t is essential background f o r a proper u n d e r s t a n d i n g of the immedi a t e s i t u a t i o n a n d f o r seeking i m p r o v e m e n t i n the p e r i o d ahead. Y o u r C o m m i t t e e is t o d a y p a r t i c u l a r l y i n t e r e s t e d i n the s h o r t - t e r m s i t u a t i o n , specificaly as i t affects h e a t i n g oil. E x x o n , U.S.A. has most recently spoken to i t s o w n s i t u a t i o n i n the t e s t i m o n y of M r . L . G. R a w l , a Senior Vice P r e s i d e n t of o u r Company, before the Cost o f L i v i n g Council, a n d I w o u l d l i k e t o s u b m i t a copy of his statement f o r the record. I c a n s u m m a r i z e our s i t u a t i o n v e r y b r i e f l y . W e have met, a n d expect t o c o n t i n u e meeting t h r o u g h the w i n t e r , o u r c o n t r a c t u a l c o m m i t m e n t s t o o u r customers i n spite of the f a c t t h a t we have h a d to take some uneconomic steps t o d o so. T o meet our demand, E x x o n , U.S.A. has produced 30 percent more d i s t i l l a t e d u r i n g the period November t h r o u g h J a n u a r y t h a n d u r i n g t h e comparable p e r i o d last year. H o w e v e r , I w i s h to emphasize t h a t o u r supply system has been extended to the l i m i t i n order to accomplish this, a n d I suspect t h i s is generally t r u e i n the i n d u s t r y . W e k n o w , f o r example, t h a t i n d u s t r y has produced 12 percent more d i s t i l l a t e so f a r t h i s w i n t e r t h a n l a s t year. F u r t h e r m o r e , we cannot believe i n d u s t r y w o u l d be i m p o r t i n g t h e volumes of h i g h cost f o r e i g n supplies of h e a t i n g o i l w h i c h i t has i f there w e r e adequate domestic r e f i n i n g capacity available. I t seems u n l i k e l y t h a t i n d u s t r y can p r o v i d e supplies t o meet a s i m i l a r g r o w t h i n demand n e x t year. W r hile l i t t l e c a n be done about n e x t year, t h e r e is a n u r g e n t need to p r o v i d e t h e economic a n d r e g u l a t o r y c l i m a t e r e q u i r e d t o encourage long range expansion of domestic refining facilities. IV. LONG-TERM SOLUTIONS I w o u l d l i k e to t u r n n o w to a discussion of the l o n g - t e r m solutions t o the nation's energy problems because we l>elieve t h a t any actions t a k e n to solve short-range problems should be consistent w i t h long-range objectives. I n o r d e r to develop l a s t i n g solutions, i t is essential t h a t a well-defined n a t i o n a l energy policy be adopted w i t h specific policies a n d p r o g r a m s designed to achieve long-range objectives. M u c h w o r k has been done t o define the key elements w h i c h should comprise a n a t i o n a l energy policy. T h e N a t i o n a l P e t r o l e u m C o u n c i l recently completed one o f the most e x h a u s t i v e studies ever conducted on the n a t i o n ' s energy s i t u a t i o n . The r e p o r t d o c u m e n t i n g t h i s study 3 stresses the need f o r a f a v o r a b l e economic c l i m a t e a n d sound n a t i o n a l policies i f the p o t e n t i a l f o r increasing domestic supplies is to be realized. T h e report also contains a comprehensive l i s t of recommendations f o r a U n i t e d States energy policy. O u r Company p a r t i c i p a t e d i n t h i s s t u d y , a n d w e f u l l y endorse the policies proposed i n the report. I believe i t is w o r t h w h i l e to comment here o n some of t h e m a j o r policy issues w h i c h have a d i r e c t b e a r i n g on the l o n g - t e r m solutions t o t h e problems w e are discussing today. E c o n o m i c a n d P o l i t i c a l F a c t o r s — A n economic a n d p o l i t i c a l f r a m e w o r k w h i c h is conducive to domestic energy development is a n obvious prerequisite t o meeting the nation's goals. A first consideration i n t h i s r e g a r d is t h e maintenance of a competitive, p r i v a t e enterprise system w h i c h is the best w a y to assure s a t i s f a c t i o n of t h e nation's needs i n t h e m o s t efficient w a y possible. I n d u s t r y has proven i t has the a b i l i t y , given a reasonable o p p o r t u n i t y , to provide the supplies needed. T h e i m p o r t a n c e of p r i c e to o u r economic system c a n n o t be overemphasized. Recent concern w i t h i n f l a t i o n has led to more r i g i d c o n r t o l o f prices. C o n t r o l of i n f l a t i o n is i m p o r t a n t to the economic well-being o f o u r n a t i o n a n d should be g i v e n a h i g h p r i o r i t y . H o w e v e r , we m u s t find w a y s t o p r o v i d e sufficient incentives to develop the increasingly h i g h e r cost domestic energy resources w h i l e c o n t r o l l i n g i n f l a t i o n , f o r both a r e essential goals. Prices have a s u b s t a n t i a l effect on both long-term supply a n d demand a n d are a n a t u r a l r e g u l a t o r to assure t h e most, efficient a l l o c a t i o n of available resources i n the economy. U n d u e r e g u l a t i o n or interference w i t h prices w i l l lead to u n w a n t e d results a n d prevent a t t a i n m e n t of l o n g - t e r m goals. The i m p a c t of a r t i f i c i a l l y l o w prices f o r n a t u r a l gas on both d e m a n d a n d supply 3 "U.S. Energy December, 1972. Outlook, A Summary Report of the National Petroleum Council". 248 is a clear-cut example. Prices f o r n a t u r a l gas s h o u l d be deregulated, o r a t least a l l o w e d to increase t o m a r k e t - c l e a r i n g levels. C r u d e a n d p r o d u c t prices h a v e also been depressed a n d should be a l l o w e d to rise w i t h increasing costs. T h e T a x R e f o r m A c t of 1969 f u r t h e r c o n t r i b u t e d t o i n d u s t r y ' s a l r e a d y r i s i n g costs. U n d e r p r o v i s i o n s o f t h i s A c t , i n d u s t r y ' s t a x b u r d e n w a s increased m o r e t h a n ,$500 m i l l i o n a n n u a l l y . A s a r e s u l t of these economic factors, rates of r e t u r n on n e w i n v e s t m e n t h a v e n o t been sufficient to sustain levels of a c t i v i t y necessary to develop energy reserves as r a p i d l y as needed. T e s t i m o n y presented to t h i s C o m m i t t e e by D r . T . D . B a r r o w of o u r C o m p a n y 4 a n d studies by the D e p a r t m e n t of I n t e r i o r 5 have s h o w n t h a t the r a t e of r e t u r n realized by i n d u s t r y i n recent years on e x p l o r a t o r y o i l a n d gas investments has been i n t h e 3 t o 7 percent range. Such r e t u r n s are not adequate i n c e n t i v e t o a t t r a c t the i n v e s t m e n t s needed f o r the h i g h risk business of e x p l o r i n g f o r new reserves. Security of Supply—The a v a i l a b i l i t y of dependable a n d secure energy supplies is f u n d a m e n t a l to our n a t i o n a l a n d economic s e c u r i t y . Development of s t r o n g domestic energy i n d u s t r i e s should be encouraged t o a v o i d excessive dependence on f o r e i g n supplies. T h e r a p i d g r o w t h i n dependence on offshore o i l i m p o r t s , w h i c h a r e expected to be a b o u t $5 m i l l i o n barrels per day t h i s year a n d continue g r o w i n g over t h e n e x t several years, should be a m a t t e r of n a t i o n a l concern a n d s h o u l d p r o m p t i m m e d i a t e actions t o encourage development of domestic supplies. T h e O i l I m p o r t s C o n t r o l P r o g r a m has been a n i m p o r t a n t p a r t of U.S. energy policies i n the past a n d should be retained, w i t h the o v e r a l l level set as needed to fill the gap between domestic p r o d u c t i o n a n d demand. I n o r d e r t o p r o v i d e some flexibility i n t h e event of a n i n t e r r u p t i o n i n offshore p e t r o l e u m supplies, the n a t i o n should develop contingency plans w h i c h account f o r the p r o b a b i l i t y of supply i n t e r r u p t i o n s . T h e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of the O i l I m p o r t s P r o g r a m has resulted i n t h e e x p o r t i n g of r e f i n i n g capacity, thereby r e d u c i n g t h e o v e r a l l s e c u r i t y of U.S. p e t r o l e u m supplies. U n c e r t a i n t y caused by past a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of t h e p r o g r a m , coupled w i t h refinery s i t i n g problems, have been among t h e m a j o r f a c t o r s causing delays i n i n d u s t r y ' s c o n s t r u c t i o n of domestic r e f i n i n g capacity. I t i s i m p o r t a n t , t h a t t h i s u n c e r t a i n t y be resolved i n such a m a n n e r t h a t t h e r e w i l l be i n c e n t i v e f o r i n d u s t r y to proceed r a p i d l y w i t h c o n s t r u c t i o n o f a d d i t i o n a l capacity. T o o u r knowledge, no new refineries a r e c u r r e n t l y u n d e r c o n s t r u c t i o n despite t h e need f o r a d d i t i o n a l capacity. R e s o u r c e A v a i l a b i l i t y a n d D e v e l o p m e n t — M u c h of t h e n a t i o n ' s energy resource p o t e n t i a l is located i n the f e d e r a l domain. P o t e n t i a l l y p r o d u c t i v e f e d e r a l acreage should be made a v a i l a b l e t o i n d u s t r y f o r e x p l o r a t i o n a n d development a t a r a t e consistent w i t h needs. Past offerings h a v e n o t been adequate i n size or frequency. W e are encouraged by the recent accelerated frequency of sales, b u t t h e acreage offered needs t o be s u b s t a n t i a l l y increased. L o c a l a n d n a t i o n a l policies w i t h respect to access t o l a n d a n d w a t e r space should be designed to encourage development of energy7 reesrves consistent w i t h the concept of compatible m u l t i p l e use of t h e area. M r . J o h n L . L o f t i s recently testified before t h i s C o m m i t t e e on 'the E x x o n Company's s u p p o r t of l e g i s l a t i o n to encourage a disciplined, m o r e balanced approach t o land-use p l a n n i n g a n d management.® E n v i r o n m e n t a l P r o t e c t i o n — T h e operations of i n d u s t r y a n d governments a n d t h e behavior of i n d i v i d u a l citizens should be such t h a t t h e e n v i r o n m e n t is p r o p e r l y protected. E n v i r o n m e n t a l considerations s h o u l d p l a y a n i n t e g r a l role of the U.S. energy f u t u r e , b u t harassment a n d d e l a y i n g tactics by those t h a t do not objectively consider the r e s p o n s i b i l i t y of b o t h p o i n t s of v i e w are t o be avoided. Some balance between the need to protect the e n v i r o n m e n t a n d the need to develop o u r energy resources should be reached. D e l a y s associated w i t h e n v i r o n m e n t a l considerations have been l e n g t h y i n m a n y instances a n d a r e h a v i n g a significant i m p a c t on i n d u s t r y ' s a b i l i t y to develop sources of r a w m a t e r i a l s a n d f a c i l i t i e s i n a t i m e l y a n d efficient manner. 4 Statement with reference to Senate Resolution 45, Thomas D. Barrow, Senate Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, April 11, 1972. 5 The Role of Petroleum and Natural Gas from the Outer Continental Shelf in the National Supply of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Technical Bulletin 5, Dept. of Interior. May. 1970. 6 Statement on the L a n d Use Policy and Planning Assistance Act of 1973 (S. 268). John L. Loftis, Jr., Senate Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, February 7, 1973. 249 R e s e a r c h a?id D e v e l o p m e n t — T h e i m p o r t a n c e of energy research a n d development is unquestioned. Technology f o r t h e e a r l y development of coal gas a n d l i q u i d synthetics is very i m p o r t a n t as these supplies are badly needed. P r i v a t e a n d government research a n d development of new f o r m s of energy should be pursued a t levels commensurate w i t h the p o t e n t i a l f o r success. P r o f i t m o t i v a t e d p r i v a t e research should be encouraged by government policies w h i c h create a f a v o r a b l e e n v i r o n m e n t f o r c o m m e r c i a l development of the f r u i t s of t h i s research. GovernmentHsponsored research should be l i m i t e d t o those areas w7here a clear p u b l i c need exists a n d where t h e r e is insufficient c o m m e r c i a l i n c e n t i v e to m o t i v a t e p r i v a t e research. Efficiency of Energy Utilization—Energy policies should encourage i m p r o v e d efficiency i n a l l aspects of the development a n d u t i l i z a t i o n o f energy resources. T h e energy i n d u s t r i e s a n d government should exercise p o s i t i v e leadership i n i n v i t i n g a l l A m e r i c a n users of energy to conserve these v a l u a b l e domestic resources t h r o u g h wise use, a p p l i c a t i o n of m o r e advanced technology, a n d elimi n a t i o n of waste. Efficient use can best be p r o m o t e d by a l l o w i n g energy prices to operate as the n a t u r a l allocator of resources. A r b i t r a r y reductions i n the use of energy w o u l d n o t only be d e t r i m e n t a l t o t h e n a t i o n ' s economy, b u t w o u l d also impede efforts to i m p r o v e b o t h t h e e n v i r o n m e n t a n d t h e q u a l i t y of l i f e . v. CONCLUSION I n conclusion, i t is i m p e r a t i v e t h a t a firm n a t i o n a l resolve t o deal w i t h o u r energy problems be adopted a n d embraced by a l l segments of society— the public, government, a n d i n d u s t r y — i f lasting, long-term solutions a r e t o J>e achieved. T h i s resolve m u s t be t r a n s l a t e d i n t o comprehensive n a t i o n a l energy policies w i t h clearly defined long-range objectives. Such policies w i l l p r o v i d e a basis f o r better c o o r d i n a t i o n of energy r e l a t e d m a t t e r s w i t h i n the government. T h i s Committee is m a k i n g a v a l u a b l e c o n t r i b u t i o n to a n unders t a n d i n g of policies needed by p u r s u i n g i t s studies u n d e r Senate Resolut i o n 45. I f t h e n a t i o n adopts a firm resolve to develop i t s domestic energy resources, we are confident the energy i n d u s t r i e s w i l l respond. H o w e v e r , a considerable p e r i o d of t i m e w i l l be r e q u i r e d t o develop l a r g e volumes o f addit i o n a l supplies or s u b s t a n t i a l l y m o d i f y m a n u f a c t u r i n g a n d d i s t r i b u t i o n f a cilities. I believe i t is recognized t h a t over the n e x t t w o t o t h r e e years, there is a reasonable p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t t h e nation's energy s i t u a t i o n w i l l become even more d i f f i c u l t t h a n i t has been t h i s w i n t e r . Therefore, as I have a t t e m p t e d to stress, we believe i t is most i m p o r t a n t t h a t any p r o g r a m s designed to meet short t e r m needs be f u l l y compatible w i t h the nation's l o n g t e r m goals. T h a n k you, M r . C h a i r m a n , f o r t h i s o p p o r t u n i t y t o present our views. STATEMENT OF ROBERT V. SELLERS, CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD, CITIES SERVICE CO., NEW YORK CITY Mr. S E L L E R S . Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The prepared statement has been submitted for the record. Senator' M C I N T Y R E . I t will be accepted and it will be printed in its entirety. Mr. S E L L E R S . I would like to read in full a few segments of i t and paraphrase the balance. My name is Kobert V. Sellers. I am chairman of the board of Cities Service Co., New York City. Cities Service Co. is a small oil company engaged in all phases of the petroleum industry in the United States. We also explore for oil and gas in other areas of the world and produce oil in Canada and Columbia. The company's net production of crude oil in the United States is approximately 126,000 barrels per day or about i y 2 percent of total domestic production, or about 2 percent of domestic refinery runs. 250 Our sales of petroleum products are about 380,0000 barrels daily, or about 2.5 percent of product sales in the United States. Our sales of products are almost exclusively to independent businessmen who, in turn, serve the ultimate consumer. A small percentage of the total volume of petroleum products sold by Cities Service moves directly to the ultimate consumer through our facilities and sales. The balance moves down through independent businessmen. Since the main emphasis today is on gasoline, I would like to point out that only 7 percent of the gasoline we sold last year moved directly to the ultimate consumer; 30 percent was sold to independent businessmen who, in turn, resold under their own brands; about 40 percent was sold to independent businessmen who operate as "distributors," using the Cities Service brand name, the remainder or about 23 percent moved directly to independent retailers who operate service stations flying the CITCO flag. The causes behind the gasoline shortage are cited in the statement. I w i l l summarize them here in three groups. A group of circumstances which have led to a very high demand for gasoline at the current time, these are mainly the very strong U.S. economic activities at this point in time; as well, the increasing use of automobiles and the increasing use of gasoline per automobile. Secondly, limitations on abilities of refiners to expand i n recent years. Economics primarily, environmental, siting, and crude supply restrictions secondarily have limited the expansion of the U.S. refining capacity for the past several years, resulting in a serious shortage at the moment. Thirdly, the lack of flexibility in utilization of available crude oil and refined products because of environmental restrictions which are being applied to them at a rate faster than the U.S. and world oil economy can adjust to them. W i t h respect to question 2, the extent of the effect the shortage w i l l have on the Nation. This summer in total, the gasoline shortage will be of the nuisance variety rather than a serious problem. I t will have a serious impact in local situations where the flexibility of the distribution system is not sufficient to meet a local problem. Without definitive action by the government to remove the impediments to expansion of petroleum supplies, the situation could become extremely serious in the following summer and could be a castrophe for the U.S. economy in the years following. The impact that the shortages will have on competition within the petroleum industry: The petroleum industry has been and is one of the most highly competitive industries in the U.S. economy. I believe i t will continue to be so. For approximately 50 years, the industry has existed in a climate of ample supply. When shortages did occur, they were normally caused by some external factor which was relatively short lived and clearly visible. The competition was primarily for markets and secondarily for supply. We are now in a situation where the petroleum world has turned around. The competition is for supply and markets are more plentiful than products to serve them. 251 I make no pretense to being wise enough to anticipate what the ultimate effect of this change will be, nor even whether the current situation will, in fact, be that long-lived. Intelligent policies by the U.S. Government can lead to restoration of a situation of adequate refining capacity. The question then w i l l become whether sufficient crude oil will be available to operate that capacity. There is no certainty that it will be available nor that it will be at a price we can afford. Again intelligent actions of the U.S. Government encouraging exploration for and development of domestic reserves can help. One of the principal concerns of this committee is the adequacy of supply for so-called "independent marketers. There has been a great deal in the press recently about the closing of some independent service stations. There has been very little in the press about the fact that many more branded stations are being closed than independents. These closings reflect the competition in the market-place and they are merely accelerated by the current supply situation. From a great many standpoints, particularly distribution efficiency and land-use economics, I am convinced that the Nation will be well served by reductions in marketing overcapacity and inefficiencies. I would like to mention here that in the case of the Cities Service Co. in 1963 our products were marketed under our brand at 14,000 stations in the United States and into eastern Canada. A t the end of last year they were being marketed through 8,700 stations. As I will comment more in a moment, that number has been planned to decrease. I f the current shortage situation does not end with a substantial strong independent marketing segment, then my judgment of the flexibility and capability of the independent petroleum marketer is wrong. The next question is what steps can and should be taken to prevent such shortages and their recurrence? Most of the steps necessary to encourage the development of resources and facilities to overcome the current energy shortage in the United States were covered in the President's rcommendations in his Energy message. The import program is sufficiently flexible and provides sufficient incentive for actions by the domestic industry to correct the current imbalances over a period of time. What is called for is a sustaining program over a period of many years. Programs to encourage conservation in the use of energy are appropriate. I t is my belief that the U.S. economy and society will not stand for, nor should they suffer from, the need to make substantial reductions in energy use to solve the energy shortage. The Government must embrace wholeheartedly policies which will permit and encourage: —Development of domestic resources—oil, gas, coal, and nuclear energy; —Development of facilities for processing and transporting fuels. This includes resolving the siting problems, resolving the jurisdictional problems over deep water unloading ports, and so on. 96-183 O - 73 - 17 252 —Adequate economic incentive for the industry to undertake the necessary expenditures; and — A sufficiently flexible import program to allow interaction with the world petroleum market in order to balance domestic supply. The next question: Impact that gasoline shortages w i l l have on other products for the remainder of this year and on home heating oil supplies next winter. The current efforts by domestic refiners to produce more gasoline will result in severe short-falls in kerosene, jet fuel, and distillates. This shortage will reach through the next heating season. During the next 10 months, airlines and the Federal Government w i l l have difficulty in obtaining sufficient jet. fuel. We must import very large quantities of distillates this coming summer and fall, i f we are to avoid severe shortages during the winter. Our economists anticipate the need for imported distillates to be in the neighborhood of 400,000 barrels per day for the balance of 1973 and the first quarter of 1974. There is no assurance that this quantity of distillates will be available to the United States. However, domestic refiners must continue to maximize yields of gasoline while obtaining as much of the heavier products as possible from overseas. The last point, the effect of the recently announced replacement of the quota system with a tariff license fee program on this year's supply of petroleum products. The removal of volumetric limitations on imports of crude oil and products has given the U.S. industry freedom to reach throughout the world for supply to meet the domestic demand. Current economics in the industry prohibit the use of these foreign sources. Crude and product prices in foreign markets are currently above those in the United States. Consequently, U. S. suppliers are unwilling to commit for the volumes of either gasoline or distillates which are needed because they face a potential exorbitant loss in handling such material. Although the current price controls on the petroleum industry allow a bit of flexibility in product prices, that flexibility does not approach the level required to absorb the high cost that is currently involved in the purchase of material from foreign refineries. As far as the current situation is concerned, the tariff license fee programs an improvement over the quota system, since it allows for the importation of whatever volume of material is needed in the U.S. market. W i t h restrictions resulting from the uncertainties of current price controls and industry economics, the material w i l l not be imported and the United States w i l l run short. I would like to comment briefly on our particular company's situation sice some actions that we started 1 or 2 years ago before the current supply situation was foreseen certainly by us, and I think by very many others, have a distinct impact on our relationship with some of our customers and also some of the people from whom we purchase crude and products. Two years ago, we 'began a series of actions to improve our marketing performance. The key elements behind this were: 1. Our need to concentrate sales of our products in geographical areas which we could supply economically; 253 2. Our need to provide for movement of our petroleum products from refinery to ultimate consumer in the most efficient manner possible; and 3. Our need* to reduce the amount of capital which we had committed to marketing operations. As a result of this study the decision was reached a year ago to close our East Chicago, Ind., refinery. This decision was based on the long-term outlook for the refinery. Substantial expenditures would have been required to allow the refinery to -meet impending product quality and pollution control standards. Having made these expenditures, we would have faced even larger expenditures to modernize the refinery within a few years. This combination of expenditures could not be justified economically. The closing of this refinery and the completion of incremental additions to our refinery capacity at Lake Charles, La., were projected to result in a decrease in available product of 6 million barrels of gasoline and 2 million barrels of distillate fuels annually. Thus for 2 years we have had underway a series of steps designed to improve our efficiency. These steps included the elimination of sales volume to a number of independent businessmen, some of whom were marketing under their own brand names, but most of them were selling under the Citco brand. I n the same period, we turned a large number of operations which we had conducted, directly over to independent businessmen. We also took on new distributor accounts in areas which we can serve economically from our existing transportation network. The customers who needed to find a new supplier early in this period had little difficulty in obtaining supply. W i t h the more recent product shortages, difficulty at that point has been encountered. Our actions in these cases will be discussed in a moment. During the past 5 months our production of gasoline has been below the volume we had anticipated by about 2 million barrels. Of this about 55 percent was due to extra production of distillates during the winter and the balance because of upsets in refinery operations or inability to transport sufficient crude oil to the refinery. W i t h all customers wanting larger volumes, we have been forced to allocate products to our customers. Our current supply problem is aggravated by the fact that some of our customers, both branded and unbranded marketers, whose contracts have expired, have been unable to find a new supply. I n some instances, we have been able to continue supplying some product to these customers so that they can stay in business until they locate a new source of supply. We expect to be able to supply 100-percent of last year's gasoline volume this summer but our ability to accomplish this assumes full production from our Lake Charles refinery. I f the proposals made in the President's energy message to allow and encourage refinery construction in the United States, are embraced i n firm policies and if the economics of the petroleum business are permitted to provide economic incentive to refinery construction, Cities Service will expand its domestic refining capacity. Such ex- 254 pensions are essential to improvement in the U.S. petroleum supply picture. We are working with a number of independent marketers in an attempt to aid them in obtaining additional supply. A letter to the Honorable William Simon, Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, describing these activities is attached, now to our statement and w i l l be i n the record. I n summary, a definitive national energy statement was absolutely essential before major headway could be made toward solving the U.S. energy shortage. What is called for now is the embracing by the entire U.S. Government of the principles put forward in the President's message and the assurance to the petroleum economy of tihe United States that i t is wanted, that its products are wanted and that it will be allowed to produce the products that the Nation needs. Thank you. [The complete statement of Mr. Sellers follows:] S T A T E M E N T OF R O B E R T V . S E L L E R S , C H A I R M A N OF T H E B O A R D , C I T I E S S E R V I C E Co. INTRODUCTION M y name is Robert V. Sellers. I am C h a i r m a n of the B o a r d of Cities Service Company, New Y o r k City. Cities Service Company is a small o i l company engaged i n a l l phases of the petroleum i n d u s t r y i n the U i n t e d States. W e also explore f o r o i l and gas i n other areas of the w o r l d and produce o i l i n Canada and Colombia. The Company's net production of crude o i l i n the U n i t e d States is approximately 126,000 barrels per day, or about IV2 percent of t o t a l domestic production. Our refinery runs are c u r r e n t l y approximately 240,000 barrels per day, or about 2 percent of domestic refinery runs. Our sales of petoleum products are about 3S0,000 barrels daily, or about 2 V i percent of product sales i n the U n i t e d States. Our sales of products are almost exclusively to independent businesmen who. i n t u r n , serve the u l t i m a t e consumer. A small percentage of the t o t a l volume of petroleum products sold by Cities Service moves directly to the u l t i m a t e consumer t h r o u g h our f a c i l i t i e s and sales. The balance moves through independent businessmen. Since the m a i n emphasis today is on gasoline, I would l i k e to point out t h a t only about 7 I>ercent of the gasoline we sold last year moved d i r e c t l y to the u l t i m a t e consumer; about 30 percent was sold t o independent businessmen who, i n t u r n , resold under their owTn b r a n d s ; about 40 percent was sold t o independent businessmen who operate as " d i s t r i b u t o r s " using the Cities Service b r a n d n a m e ; the remainder, or about 23 percent, moved d i r e c t l y to independent retailers who operate service stations flying the C I T G O flag. I n the letter i n v i t i n g me to present testimony before this Committee, six items were mentioned t h a t wrere of specific interest to the Committee. M y statement w i l l cover those six items. The views expressed w i t h respect to those items are my viewTs and those of my associates i n Cities Service. W e have no basis to speak f o r anyone else. F o l l o w i n g my general comments on the s i x items, I w i l l describe briefly Cities Service's position i n the c u r r e n t petroleum supply situation. 1. The causes behind this gasoline shortage The U n i t e d States is c u r r e n t l y faced w i t h a shortage of a l l petroleum fuels. Since this is the beginning of the h i g h gasoline consuming season, a t t e n t i o n is presently focused on gasoline supply. How r ever, i t is a serious mistake t o overlook the fact t h a t l i q u i d fuels o f acceptable q u a l i t y i n every product classification are i n short supply. The causes f o r these shortages are numerous, complex and interacting. These can be classed i n t o three categories : F i r s t , there are a number of factors which have led to substantial increases i n demand. These include the c u r r e n t very h i g h level of economic a c t i v i t y i n the U n i t e d States w h i c h has created h i g h demand i n every sector of energy use; increased consumption of gasoline per vehicle arising f r o m more energy- 255 requiring accessories and decreased efficiency of engines designed to reduce p o l l u t i o n ; an unusually r a p i d expansion of the U n i t e d States automobile population, which is related to the high level o f economic a c t i v i t y . I t is w o r t h p o i n t i n g out here t h a t i n the last f o u r years gasoline required per mile, w i t h the same a u x i l i a r y equipment, has increased 17 percent f o r the average automobile on the road. T h i s results f r o m a combination of size of car and engine, addition of p o l l u t i o n control devices, and less efficient engine design to accommodate these control devices. New cars are being added at record rates, w i t h new car registrations going over 10 m i l l i o n units i n 1971 and 1972 and projected at over 11 m i l l i o n i n 1973. Retirements of old cars have not increased significantly. Second, a number of factors have combined to result i n l i m i t e d additions to new product supply. Much has been w r i t t e n about the lack of refinery construction i n the U n i t e d States. F o r several years, the economics of the petroleum business have not justified new refinery construction i n this country. Anyone who could j u s t i f y construction or was w i l l i n g t o gamble on better economics later was discouraged or prohibited by uncertainty over f u t u r e product specifications, by i n a b i l i t y to obtain sites where refineries could be built, by i n a b i l i t y to get permision to b u i l d new transportation facilities, and by uncertainty over a v a i l a b i l i t y of r a w materials f o r refineries. Currently, the most serious hindrance on obtaining a d d i t i o n a l supply is domestic price regulation which serves to isolate the U.S. petroleum economy f r o m t h a t of the rest of the w o r l d at the precise p o i n t i n time when we have become more dependent t h a n ever before on a v a i l a b i l i t y of supply f r o m foreign crude oil production and foreign refining capacity. Short t e r m the problem is complicated by the shortage of sweet crude oil, i.e., low-sulfur crude oil, worldwide. N o t only i n the U n i t e d States, but i n many other countries, the desire f o r lower levels of a i r p o l l u t i o n has led to increasing demand f o r sweet crude. There simpy is not enough available i n the w o r l d to supply t h a t demand. As of today refinery facilities are not i n existence to process adequate volumes of sour crude w h i l e meeting current a i r quality standards. As a result, w i t h a severe shortage of gasoline and an impending f u r t h e r shortage of distillate fuels, some refineries i n the U.S., including our own, are operating at less than potential capacity because of unavaila b i l i t y of sufficient sweet crude. The construction of a d d i t i o n a l facilities to enable refineries to utilize sour crude and meet current a i r q u a l i t y and product standards w i l l take several years. Other factors have entered to l i m i t supply. Most U.S. refineries have used n a t u r a l gas as t h e i r principal fuel, f o r exactly the same reason t h a t so many electric u t i l i t i e s have used i t — i t has been cheap and clean. W i t h n a t u r a l gas usage being restricted, refineries have been forced to b u r n their own l i q u i d fuels, resulting i n a decrease i n product output. T h i s phenomenon w i l l be an increasingly significant factor over the next few years. Furthermore, the requirement to manufacture unleaded gasoline w i l l reduce the amount of gasoline which can be made f r o m a barrel of crude. T h i r d , several factors have caused unusual demand to be t h r o w n on l i q u i d fuels and other factors have l i m i t e d the a b i l i t y to use available fuels. The short-fall of n a t u r a l gas had a significant impact on the l i q u i d f u e l picture last year f o r the first time. The increased curtailment of n a t u r a l gas resulted i n increased demand by u t i l i t y and i n d u s t r i a l customers f o r oil—low-sulfur oil. L o w - s u l f u r f u e l was made by blending available high-sulfur materials w i t h low-sulfur, lighter fuels. These l i g h t e r fuels, i n t u r n , reduce the amount of fuel available f o r home heating, d r y i n g crops, r u n n i n g j e t planes or diesel buses, and m a k i n g gasoline. The l i m i t a t i o n s on s u l f u r i n f u e l oils, incluidng refinery fuel, restricted the a b i l i t y of U.S. refineries to u t i l i z e the crude t h a t was available i n the world—mostly high-sulfur material. A t the s t a r t of this d r i v i n g season, domestic gasoline inventories were at an exceptionally low level. T h i s was p r i m a r i l y because of the s h i f t of refinery operations to higher t h a n n o r m a l yield of distillates d u r i n g the past winter. Cold weather early i n the season, coupled w i t h substitution of distillates f o r n a t u r a l gas and use of distillates f o r blending w i t h high-sulfur fuels resulted in a high degree of a l a r m concerning adequacy of d i s t i l l a t e supplies. Fortunately, w a r m e r weather and increased f u e l oil imports later i n the w i n t e r ameliorated the problem. A t the end of the heating season, d i s t i l l a t e inventories were adequate but not excessive. H a d the first quarter of this year been as cold as the last quarter of last year, we would have been i n a much more serious d i s t i l l a t e situation t h a n we actually experienced. 296 I n summary, the causes of the c u r r e n t gasoline shortage a r e : 1. H i g h demand f o r gasoline created by the health of the U.S. economy and the decreasing efficiency of new automobiles. 2. L i m i t a t i o n s on the a b i l i t y of refiners to expand i n recent years. 3. Lack of flexibility i n u t i l i z a t i o n of available crude o i l and products. 2. The extent of the effect the shortage will have on the nation T h i s summer our economists estimate t h a t the U n i t e d States w i l l be s h o r t by approximately 250,000 barrels per day of gasoline. T h i s i s approximately 4 percent of the n o r m a l usage d u r i n g the d r i v i n g season. T h i s level of shortage is better categorized as a nuisance t h a n a n y t h i n g else. There w i l l be some inhibitions on the use of gasoline. There w i l l be some isolated instances of product shortage which may be severe to a p a r t i c u l a r area. W i t h the l o w level of inventories t h a t presently e x i s t the nation's supply system simply does not have the flexibility to offset such shortages. Unless significant actions are taken i n the United States, the situation w i l l become much more serious. There are severe l i m i t a t i o n s on how r a p i d l y refinery capacity i n t h e U n i t e d States can be expanded. There are l i m i t e d quantities of gasoline available f r o m refineries i n the rest of the world. The t y p i c a l foreign refinery is designed f o r producing fuel oil and can only produce a small volume of gasoline. W i t h o u t definitive action by government which w o u l d lead to constructive actions by industry, the shortage next year could represent a very serious problem f o r the U n i t e d States economy. W e must get started p r o m p t l y unless our shortage is to be much more severe i n the summer of 1974. 3. The impact shortages will have on competition within the oil industry The petroleum industry has been and is one of the most h i g h l y competitive industries i n the U n i t e d States economy. I believe i t w i l l continue t o be so. F o r approximately 50 years, the i n d u s t r y has existed i n a climate of ample supply. When shortages d i d occur, they were n o r m a l l y caused by some e x t e r n a l factor w h i c h was relatively short-lived. The competition was p r i m a r i l y f o r markets a n d secondarily f o r supply. We are nowT i n a s i t u a t i o n where the petroleum w o r l d has turned around. The competition is f o r supply and markets are more p l e n t i f u l t h a n products to serve them. I make no pretense to being wise enough to anticipate w h a t the u l t i m a t e effect of t h i s change w i l l be, nor even whether the current situation w i l l , i n fact, be t h a t longlived. I n t e l l i g e n t policies by the U n i t e d States Government can lead to restoration of a s i t u a t i o n of adequate refining capacity. The question then w i l l become whether sufficient crude o i l w i l l be available to operate t h a t capacity. There is no certainty t h a t i t w i l l be available nor t h a t i t w i l l be at a price we can afford. Again, intelligent actions of the U n i t e d States Government encouraging exploration f o r and development of domestic reserves can help. One of the p r i n c i p a l concerns of this Committee is the adequacy of supply f o r "independent marketers.'* There has been a great deal i n the press recently about the closing of some independent service stations. There has been very l i t t l e i n the press about the f a c t t h a t many more branded stations are being closed. These closings reflect the competition i n the marketplace and they are merely accelerated by the current supply situation. F r o m many standpoints, p a r t i c u l a r l y d i s t r i b u t i o n efficiency and l a n d use economics, I am convinced t h a t the n a t i o n w i l l be w e l l served by reductions i n m a r k e t i n g overcapacity and inefficiencies. I f the current short situation does not end w i t h a substantial strong independent m a r k e t i n g segment, then my j u d g m e n t of the flexibility and capability of the independent petroleum marketer is wrong. What steps can and should be taken to prevent such shortages and their reoccurrence Most of the steps necessary to encourage development of resources and f a c i l i t i e s to overcome the current energy shortage i n the U n i t e d States were covered i n the President's recommendations i n his Energy Message. The i m p o r t p r o g r a m which the President announced is sufficiently flexible and provides sufficient incentive f o r actions by the domestic i n d u s t r y to correct the current imbalances over a period of time. However, i t is physically impossible to correct these imbalances i n a short period of time. W h a t is called f o r is a sustaining p r o g r a m over a period of many years. 257 Programs to encourage conservation i n the use of energy are appropriate. I t is my belief t h a t the United States economy and society w i l l not stand f o r , nor should they suffer from, the need to make substantial reductions i n energy use to solve the energy shortage. The Government must embrace wholeheartedly policies which w i l l p e r m i t and encourage— Development of domsetic resources—oil, gas, coal and nuclear energy; Development of facilities f o r processing and transporting f u e l s ; Adequate economic incentive f o r industry to undertake the necessary expenditures; and A sufficiently flexible i m p o r t program to allow interaction w i t h the w o r l d petroleum market i n order to balance domestic supply. 6. The impact that gasoline shortages will have on other products for the remainder of this year and on home heating oil supplies next winter The current efforts by domestic refiners to produce more gasoline w i l l result i n severe short-falls i n kerosene, j e t f u e l and distillates. T h i s shortage w i l l reach through the n e x t heating season. D u r i n g the next ten months, airlines and t h e Federal Government w i l l have difficulty i n obtaining sufficient j e t fuel. We must i m p o r t very large quantities of distillates this coming summer and fall, i f we are to avoid severe shortages d u r i n g the winter. W e anticipate t h a t the need f o r imported distillates w i l l be i n the neighborhood of 400,000 barrels per day f o r the balance of 1973 a n d the first quater of 1974. There is no assurance t h a t this q u a n t i t y of distillates w i l l be available to the U n i t e d States. However, domestic refiners must continue to maximize yields of gasoline w h i l e obtaining as much of t h e heavier products as possible f r o m overseas. (i. The effect the 7-ecently announced replacement of the quota system with a tariff license fee program will have on this year's supply of petroleum products The removal of volumetric l i m i t a t i o n s on imports o f crude o i l and products nas given the U n i t e d States industry freedom to reach throughout the w o r l d f o r supply to meet the domestic demand. Current economics i n the i n d u s t r y p r o h i b i t the use of these foreign sources. Crude and product prices i n foreign markets are currently above those i n the United States. Consequently, United States suppliers are u n w i l l i n g to commit f o r the volumes of either gasoline or distillates which a r e needed because they face a potential exorbitant loss i n handling such material. Although the current price controls on the petroleum i n d u s t r y allow a b i t of flexibility i n product prices, t h a t flexibility does not approach the level required to absorb the high cost t h a t is currently involved i n the purchase of m a t e r i a l f r o m foreign refineries. As f a r as the current situation is concerned, the t a r i f f license fee program is an improvement over the quota system, since i t allows f o r the i m p o r t a t i o n of whatever volume of m a t e r i a l is needed i n the U n i t e d States market. W i t h restrictions resulting f r o m the uncertainties of current price controls and industry economics, the m a t e r i a l w i l l not be imported and the U n i t e d States w i l l r u n short. CITIES SERVICE C O M P A N Y ' S POSITION T w o years ago, Cities Service Company began a series o f actions to improve its m a r k e t i n g performance. They key elements behind this program w e r e : 1. Our need to concentrate sales of our products i n geographical areas which we could supply economically : 2. Our need t o provide f o r movement of our petroleum products f r o m refinery to u l t i m a t e consumer i n the most efficient manner possible; and 3. Our need t o reduce the amount of capital which we had committed to m a r k e t i n g operations. A t the same time we began an intensive study of our refining operations. A result of this study was the decision reached a year ago to close our East Chicago, Indiana, refinery. T h i s decision was based on the long-term outlook f o r the refinery. Substantial expenditures would have been required to allow the refinery to meet impending product quality and pollution control standards. H a v i n g made these expenditures, we would have faced even larger expenditures to modernize the refinery w i t h i n a few years. These expenditures could not be justified economically. 258 The closing of t h i s refinery a n d the completion of incremental a d d i t i o n s to our refinery capacity at L a k e Charles, Louisiana, were projected to result i n a decrease i n available product of 6,000,000 barrels of gasoline and 2,000,000 barrels o f distillate fuels annually. F o r t w o years we have had underway a series o f steps designed t o improve the efficiency of our m a r k e t i n g operations. These steps included the e l i m i n a t i o n of sales to a number of independent businessmen, some of w h o m wtere m a r k e t i n g under their own brand names, but most o f whom were selling under the C I T G O brand. I n t h e same period, we turned a large number of operations which we h a d conducted d i r e c t l y over to independent businessmen. W e also took on new d i s t r i b u t o r accounts i n areas w i l i c h wTe can serve economically f r o m o u r existi n g t r a n s p o r t a t i o n network. The customers who needed to find a new supplier early i n this period h a d l i t t l e difficulty i n obtaining supply. W i t h the more recent product shortages, difficulty has been encountered. Our actions i n these cases w i l l be discussed i n a moment. D u r i n g the past five months, our production o f gasoline has been below the volume we had anticipated by about 2,000,000 barrels. Of t h i s about 55 percent was due to extra production of distillates d u r i n g the w i n t e r a n d the balance because of upsets i n refinery operation or i n a b i l i t y to t r a n s p o r t sufficient crude o i l to the refinery. W i t h a l l customers w a n t i n g larger volumes, we have been forced t o allocate products t o our customers. Our current supply problem is aggravated by the f a c t t h a t some of our customers, both branded and unbranded marketers, wThose contracts have expired, have been unable to find a new supply. I n some instances, we have been able t o continue supplying some product to these customers so t h a t they can stay i n business u n t i l they locate a new source of supply. W e expect to be able to supply .100 percent of last year's gasoline volume this summer, but our a b i l i t y to accomplish t h i s assumes f u l l production f r o m our L a k e Charles refinery. I f the proposals made i n the President's Energy Message to a l l o w a n d encourage refinery construction i n the U n i t e d States are embraced i n firm policies and i f the economics of the petroleum business a r e permitted t o provide economic incentive to refinery construction, Cities Service w i l l expand i t s domestic refining capacity. Such expansions are essential t o improvement i n the U.S. petroleum supply picture. W e are w o r k i n g w i t h a number o f independent marketers i n a n a t t e m p t to a i d them i n obtaining a d d i t i o n a l supply. A letter t o The Honorable W i l l i a m Simon, Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, describing these activities is attached. SUMMARY A definitive n a t i o n a l energy statement was absolutely essential before m a j o r headway could be made tow r ard solving the U n i t e d States energy shortage. The President's new i m p o r t program and his other actions and recommendations to Congress represent positive steps t o w a r d a l l o w i n g resolution of the country's energy problems and e l i m i n a t i o n of f u t u r e refined product shortages. Most of the significant elements of the President's program w i l l require action by the Congress. Even the establishment by executive order of the new i m p o r t program a n d the plans f o r accelerated leasing of government lands could be f r u s t r a t e d by legal challenges or t h r o u g h f u t u r e executive actions. I t is imperative t h a t Congress expeditiously endorse the objectives outlined i n the President's program. Legislation aimed t o w a r d p r o v i d i n g a basis f o r a d j u d i cating controversies regarding s i t i n g o f plants, terminals, and deep water p o r t f a c i l i t i e s should receive the highest of priorities. Uncertainties about f u t u r e gasoline a n d other product specifications, which are the result of s t i l l evolving standards f o r environmental protection, must be resolved. A f u r t h e r deterrent to new investment has been the o i l i n d u s t r y ' s i n a b i l i t y to obtain prices f o r refined products which provided a n adequate r e t u r n on investment. Price controls have aggravated t h i s situation. The decisions required to b u i l d or expand refinery capacity are dependent upon h a v i n g a reasonable expectation t h a t the investment w i l l prove economically viable i n the future. A new refinery involves an investment of several hundred m i l l i o n dollars and i t is b u i l t to operate f o r t w e n t y or more years. Most of the President's proposals were directed t o w a r d long-term solutions 259 to the energy shortage. The new i m p o r t program should a i d the a b i l i t y to obtain foreign supplementary supplies and help transcend the difficult period we are in. I n a d d i t i o n to the i m p o r t program, we believe t h a t there are some other steps which can be taken over t h e short-term t o help the immediate situation. F i r s t , d u r i n g this period when imports of finished products must be utilized, domestic refineries should concentrate p r i m a r i l y on gasoline production. Since foreign refineries are designed f o r high yields of distillates and heavy f u e l oils, the possibilities Jor f u l f i l l i n g shortages of these products f r o m foreign sources is relatively much greater than i n the case of gasoline. I n order to assure t h a t the required volumes o f foreign product w i l l be imported into the .S. market, price control regulations must make i t clear t h a t the importer can recover his cost a n d earn a reasonable profit. I n addition, we strongly recommend t h a t variances be permitted under controls covering the sulfur content of f u e l oils and reasonable short-term relief be allowed on a i r and water standards. T h i s would a l l o w both domestic and foreign refineries to substantially increase the amount of products available f o r United States energy markets. We urge f u r t h e r t h a t the upcoming regulations f o r supplying unleaded gasoline be deferred i n line w i t h the delayed i n t r o d u c t i o n of the catalytic muffler recently suggested by the EPA. As a f u r t h e r aid, consideration should be given to increasing government purchases of m i l i t a r y j e t fuel f r o m foreign source points, on a short-term basis, to minimize this d r a i n on domestic motor gasoline and d i s t i l l a t e supplies. We also believe t h a t the energy conservation suggestions made by Secret a r y M o r t o n were w e l l directed and we urge t h a t t h i s message be given broader exposure emphasizing the benefits f r o m efficient usage of automobiles; f r o m m a x i m u m u t i l i z a t i o n of mass t r a n s i t ; and f r o m a modest adjustment to current t h i n k i n g regarding heating and air-conditioning standards. C I T I E S S E R V I C E CO., New York, N.Y., May 7, 1973. Hon. WILLIAM SIMON, Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, Washington, D.G. DEAR SIR : F o r the record I would l i k e to i n f o r m you o f steps Cities Service has and is t a k i n g to assist independent private brand marketers, who are our customers, w i t h t h e i r efforts to obtain adequate supplies of gasoline. Last week we offered our customers i n this category our services i n assembling cargo quantities, a r r a n g i n g f o r transportation, providing t e r m i n a l facilities, and a r r a n g i n g necessary exchanges. T h i s w i l l provide to them t h e logistics to allowT f o r purchase of imported product using their o w n i m p o r t licenses or any p a r t of our recent i m p o r t allocation t h a t they may need. As you know, th-3 948,000 barrel allocation recently granted to Cities Service by the O I A B required us to deliver a l l of t h i s product to independent private brand marketers. I n our judgment, this requirement makes i t impossible f o r us to use this allocation w i t h o u t d i s c r i m i n a t i n g against our independent C I T G O brand customers. We are presently, and have been consistently, t r e a t i n g both groups of customers i n exactly t h e same way d u r i n g this period when we are forced to allocate products at a lower level t h a n n o r m a l sales requirements. D u r i n g this period of supply shortage, Cities Service is offering the use of its d i s t r i b u t i o n facilities as outlined above at no profit t o the Company. We w i l l only require f o r our services actual transportation and t e r m i n a t i n g charges which we would customarily charge to another refiner or d i s t r i b u t o r . W e intend to make this offer available also to independent p r i v a t e brand marketers i n the Midwest wiio are not necessarily our customers, but who can purchase i n cargo quantities. H o p e f u l l y this w i l l provide access f o r some supplies i n the Midwest where there is apparently an acute need f o r both resellers and agric u l t u r a l use. You should k n o w t h a t i n the past we have been a Significant supplier to independent p r i v a t e brand marketers. I believe i t w i l l be of interest to you t h a t our most recent sales projection indicates t h a t f o r the calendar year of 1973 approximately 30% of our total gasoline sales w i l l be made to this class of customer. 260 I s i m p l y w a n t e d y o u to k n o w t h a t we are a w a r e o f t h e supply p r o b l e m f a c i n g m a r k e t e r s i n t h i s category a n d t h a t we a r e d o i n g w h a t we can t o be of assistance to them. Sincerely yours, R. V. SELLERS. Senator M C I N T Y R E . We will call on Mr. Card, senior vice president of Texaco. STATEMENT OF ANNON M. CARD, SENIOR V[CE PRESIDENT, TEXACO, ACCOMPANIED BY JAMES PIPKIN, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT Mr. CARD. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. My name is Annon M. Card. I am a senior vice president of Texaco, Inc. I am pleased to have this opportunity to present to this subcommittee Texaco's views concerning the shortage of gasoline and other petroleum product supplies. I presented testimony on the gasoline shortage last week to the Joint Economic Committee. I will expand on that testimony today providing information on other petroleum products as well as gasoline. I w i l l also present Texaco's views as to what can be done to help overcome the present situation on both a short and long-term basis. The present shortage of petroleum product supplies in this country has been caused by factors rooted in the total energy supply dilemma we are experiencing today. The obvious cause of this shortage is unprecedented demand and restricted supply. I n Texaco's view, restrictions on free market action, both in the past and present, have increased supply problems at a time when U.S. crude oil production has leveled off and is now declining. The evolution of this present shortage situation is traced as follows : The imposition of price controls of natural gas was a major reason for our developing energy shortage. Environmental restrictions on crude oil exploration became another step in this evolution process. A i r quality standards, another environmental restriction, have severely limited the use of coal and heavy fuel oil as a source of industrial energy. Industrial users turned to cheap supplies of natural gas, depleting the availability of that resource. Then with regard to tax policies, congressional action in 1969 reduced incentives for exploration of crude oil in this country. Tightening supplies of natural gas, caused by the increased demand for this cheap source of clean burning energy, forced industry to turn to low sulfur middle distillate fuel oil to help meet their air quality standards. The unprecedented demand caused by that move to distillates was felt on an industry basis this past winter as shortage in distillate fuel oil supplies forced supply limitations in many areas. Past import control policies restricting crude oil imports became untenable as U.S. production of crude oil was leveling off. U.S. refineries were not able to run at rated capacity. 261 When increases in refining capacity were planned despite the uncertainty of crude oil supplies, environmental restrictions again prevented this needed action. The middle distillate supply problems during last winter's heating season have contributed to the gasoline shortage today as domestic refiners concentrated their efforts on middle distillate production which includes home heating oils and diesel fuels, with f u l l knowledge of governmental authorities. This move to maximize distillate production necessarily reduced our ability to build up gasoline inventories for the peak motoring season this summer. Finally, petroleum demand has increased steadily and substantially on a worldwide scale. This has resulted in a tight worldwide supply for crude oil and products. I t has driven up the worldwide price of petroleum energy as a whole. Yet, despite this economic fact, price controls here in the United States have held down the price of petroleum products such as gasoline and distillate fuels, making it difficult to bid successfully in the free world market on a sound economic basis. The long-term evolution of energy supply restrictions and demand increases has created a very definite energy supply problem today. The problem of gasoline supply is upon us now and will remain through the peak motoring season. Continuing problems of distillate fuel supply are forecasted for this winter's peak heating season. Texaco has taken every reasonable action to provide additional gasoline supplies. Our refineries are operating at available capacity for gasoline and have been doing so since early spring. Yet gasoline inventories were not built up sufficiently because of the necessity to maximize distillate production. I t is expected that Texaco's supply of gasoline in 1973 will be about the same as we had in 1972. With an anticipated increase of 5 percent or more expected in gasoline demand through the rest of the year, it may not be possible to supply all the gasoline that the customer may desire when he wants it. As I reported to the Joint Economic Committee last week, we do not believe this tight supply situation, which is industrywide, can be overcome completely during the peak driving season. I t is expected that various companies in various locations will experience gasoline runouts during this summer season. We anticipate, however, that such runouts will be primarily local in character and of relatively short duration. Based on the assumption that we will be able to switch over to maximum middle distillate production in early fall again this year and import supplementary offshore supplies, Texaco anticipates that it will have approximately the same amount of middle distillate this coming heating oil season as i t had during the past winter. Regarding both gasoline and middle distillates, Texaco will endeavor to distribute its available supplies to our various customers on a basis as fair and equitable as possible, with due regard to contractual commitments, and in the light of all the circumstances that may exist at that time. Historically, most of the gasoline and middle distillate fuel consumed in this country has been produced domestically. W i t h today's supply/demand situation, there is a growing dependence on imports. 262 The removal of import controls by the President last month w i l l assist i n supplying more gasoline and more distillate fuel i f prices are adequate to encourage sucih importation. We are faced with the fact, however, that motor gasoline meeting specification for American made cars is presently available in only limited quantities from foreign sources. W i t h regard to these possible imports of gasoline, i t is important to note that the east coast delivered price is higher than most companies can recover under price control. Additionally, middle distillate fuels are in great demand in Europe. As I noted earlier, we cannot isolate the U.S. market today as has been done i n the past since petroleum energy is i n great demand worldwide. As long as the price of distillate fuel is controlled in the United States, i t will be increasingly difficult to obtain available supplies from abroad where price levels for distillates are higher in today's market. To attract necessary imports of gasoline and distillate fuel supplies, the industry must be permitted to recover the additional costs of imported products. I t is an economic fact of life that prices must be adequate to justify the many costly actions required to help alleviate the present gasoline shortage and foreseeable distillate shortage. Under the present system of price control, present pricing of these products is not adequate. Relaxation of environmental standards relating to various fuels and specifications that have resulted in reduced production of gasoline and unprecedented demand for No. 2 oil, would assist in overcoming the shortage situation. Texaco is not advocating the elimination of air quality controls that are necessary to the public health. Rather, we are simply restating a position taken repeatedly before governmental authorities on all levels that proper timing is necessary to bring about the changes required for environmental protection in order to prevent waste of our domestic energy supplies. For example, the removal of lead from gasoline substantially reduces the volume of gasoline produced from a given quantity of crude oil and moreover produces a lower octane gasoline that gives the motorist fewer miles per gallon. Further, we have seen how environmental restrictions have crippled our Nation's coal industry for lack of demand and reduced our natural gas supplies because of unrealistic pricing. Now we are feeling the pinch in our middle distillate and gasoline supplies. A national gasoline conservation program and more efficient use of available supply would assist in overcoming the current problem. Such a program, which could be implemented this summer, might include car pools, tuneup programs, reduced highway speed, staggered working hours, and increased use of mass transit. A conservation program would also benefit the middle distillate situation. A program aimed at conserving the use of electricity and heat in public offices, industries, and private homes would do much to help suppliers meet the demands this coming heating season. 263 The era of cheap and plentiful supplies of energy is over and all of us must realize that the next 5 years and perhaps longer must be an era of energy conservation. We must seek a total commitment on the part of all Americans to conserve energy and to use available supplies efficiently. Texaco plans to emphasize in its advertising the necessity for conservation programs and the need to make our available supplies of energy perform more efficiently and without waste. I n the long term, new refining capacity in the United States must be developed in order to provide for additional supplies of petroleum products. Because of the inadequacies of the former oil import program, environmental restrictions, and difficulty in earning a reasonable rate of return, there are no new refineries under construction in the United States at this time. Although several refinery expansions have been announced since the President's message, substantial additional capacity is a necessity. Yet, to build a new refinery normally will take at least as much as 3 years after plans are completed and siting approval is granted. The construction of new U.S. refining capacity will also serve to improve our Nation's ability to provide low sulfur residual oil which would be produced in new balanced refinery operations. Up to now, the petroleum industry has been importing residual fuel oils because domestic refineries have been producing only minimal quantities of this product. I n Texaco's case, we have been importing our low sulfur residual oils from the Caribbean where Texaco has recently completed a desulfurizer unit to extract sulfur from high sulfur crudes. A long-term solution will also depend heavily on pricing policies that allow prices to be established in a free market and at adequate levels for U.S. petroleum companies both to buy gasoline and middle distillate products in the highly competitive world market, and to provide the incentive for building new refining capacity in the United States. Price controls on petroleum products have done much to create the present shortage situation, and these controls should be relaxed. Adequate prices are necessary to encourage additional supplies of crude oil and products, and to generate sufficient capital resources to finance a larger portion of the expenditures required to maximize our energy supply. Texaco welcomed the President's long-awaited message to Congress calling for a national energy policy. This policy does not offer the complete solution for our short-term energy needs. Rather, it is a strategy to develop needed energy resources as quickly as possible to insure that the present tightening of energy supplies is checked and that adquate supplies are available in the future. The President also called for an investigation of the cost effectiveness of the air quality standards imposed by the Clean A i r Act. I t has been estimated that substantial quantities of gasoline could be saved by very modest changes in the targets for air quality imposed by this act. 264 Availability of middle distillate fuels for the 1973-74 heating season could be similarly improved by a relaxation of sulfur content restrictions. Such a relaxation as experienced in portions of this country this past winter has shown no noticeable degradation of air quality. Texaco believes the problems in energy supply we are facing today can be solved. But a new climate of cooperation between government and energy suppliers must be molded to make the best use of our industry's proven enterprising spirit. For instance, while the President's actions have recognized the need for additional refining capacity, the evolving national energy policy must also recognize the need for prompt action to facilitate the location of new refining capacity in this country. The approval of proper sites has been slowed down by a variety of overlapping Government regulations. Coordination of Federal, State and local authorities responsible for the various types of permits and licenses involved must be achieved to enable the construction of new projects. I n summary, on behalf of Texaco, I submit that a petroleum product shortage exists in the United States today. Continuous unprecedented growth in demand makes i t extremely difficult to forecast the extent of these petroleum product shortages. Generally speaking, however, availability of supplies for both gasoline and middle distillates appears to be at approximately the same levels as last year, therefore creating a lag behind demand growth. The extent and duration of this shortage will depend directly upon the increase in demand and actions taken to correct factors responsible for the shortage. The short-term solutions are relaxation of price restraints, easing of environmental regulations and the introduction of conservation measures. The long-term solution involves prompt and favorable action on the principal points in the President's energy message. I t is quite clear that a shortage of petroleum energy exists in the United States today. A t best, the situation will remain acute because of the long leadtime involved for increasing these supplies. Immediate and positive action on the part of Federal, State and local governments is necessary. This immediate action, together with f u l l cooperation on the part of Government and industry will enable this Nation to take the first step toward regaining energy self sufficiency. This is the end of my prepared statement, sir. [The complete statement of Mr. Card follows:] STATEMENT or ANNON M. CARD, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT, TEXACO INC. M y name is A n n o n M. Card. I am a senior vice president of Texaco Inc. i n charge of strategic planning. I have been w i t h Texaco f o r more t h a n t w e n t y five years, p r i m a r i l y i n m a r k e t i n g a n d p l a n n i n g assignments both i n the U n i t e d States a n d abroad. I am pleased to have this opportunity to present to t h i s subcommittee Texaco's views concerning t h e shortage o f gasoline and other petroleum product supplies. W e w i s h to keep the public a n d governmental a u t h o r i t i e s up to date on this increasingly complex shortage situation. As you may know, I presented testimony on the gasoline shortage last week to the J o i n t Economic Committee. I w i l l expand on t h a t testimony today p r o v i d i n g i n f o r m a t i o n on other petroleum products as w e l l as gasoline. I w i l l also present Texaco's views as to w h a t can be done to help overcome the present situation on both a short and long-term basis. 265 C A U S E S OF T H E S H O R T A G E I N ENERGY SUPPLIES T h e present shortage of p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t supplies i n t h i s c o u n t r y has l>een caused by f a c t o r s rooted i n t h e t o t a l energy supply d i l e m m a w e a r e experiencing today. T h e obvious cause of t h i s shortage i s unprecedented d e m a n d a n d r e s t r i c t e d supply. I n Texaco's view, r e s t r i c t i o n s on f r e e m a r k e t action, b o t h i n the past a n d present, h a v e increased supply problems a t a t i m e w h e n U.S. crude o i l p r o d u c t i o n has levelled off a n d i s n o w declining. T h e e v o l u t i o n of t h i s present shortage s i t u a t i o n is t r a c e d as f o l l o w s : T h e i m p o s i t i o n of p r i c e c o n t r o l s of n a t u r a l gas wTas a m a j o r reason f o r our developing energy shortage. These controls have k e p t -the p r i c e of n a t u r a l gas a t a n u n r e a l i s t i c a l l y l o w level f o r some 15 years w h i l e cost of e x p l o r a t i o n a n d development has increased sharply. T h e r e was no incentive f o r t h e development of new7 n a t u r a l gas reserves. E n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r i c t i o n s on crude o i l e x p l o r a t i o n became a n o t h e r step i n this e v o l u t i o n process. E x p l o r a t i o n i n p o t e n t i a l l y p r o d u c t i v e areas of the U.S. have been l i m i t e d by such r e s t r i c t i o n , thereby a d d i n g t o the decline of U.S. crude o i l production. A i r q u a l i t y s t a n d a r d s , another e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r i c t i o n , have severely l i m i t e d the use of coal a n d heavy f u e l o i l as a source of i n d u s t r i a l energy. I n d u s t r i a l users t u r n e d to cheap supplies of n a t u r a l gas, r e d u c i n g the a v a i l a b i l i t y of t i l l s resource. W i t h r e g a r d to t a x p o l i c i e s , congressional action i n 1969 reduced incentives f o r e x p l o r a t i o n of crude o i l i n t h i s c o u n t r y . The increased taxes p a i d by the petroleum i n d u s t r y since t h a t t i m e have served to h a m p e r t h e a b i l i t y of the i n d u s t r y to generate adequate c a p i t a l resources f o r the necessary investment needed t o cope w i t h supply difficulties. T i g h t e n i n g s u p p l i e s of n a t u r a l g a s . caused by the increased demand f o r t h i s cheap source of clean-burning energy, forced i n d u s t r y t o t u r n t o l o w s u l f u r m i d d l e d i s t i l l a t e f u e l o i l to help meet t h e i r a i r q u a l i t y s t a n d a r d s . T h e unprecedented demand caused by t h a t move to d i s t i l l a t e s was f e l t on a n i n d u s t r y basis t h i s past w i n t e r as shortage i n d i s t i l l a t e f u e l o i l supplies forced supply l i m i t a tions i n m a n y areas. Past i m p o r t c o n t r o l p o l i c i e s r e s t r i c t i n g c r u d e o i l i m p o r t s became untenable as U.S. p r o d u c t i o n of crude o i l was l e v e l l i n g off. U.S. refineries were not able to r u n a t r a t e d capacity. N e w r e f i n i n g capacity c o n s t r u c t i o n was h a l t e d f o r the most p a r t by t h i s i m p o r t s i t u a t i o n because of the u n c e r t a i n long range a v a i l a b i l i t y of c r u d e o i l stocks. W h e n increases i n r e f i n i n g capacity were planned despite the u n c e r t a i n t y of crude o i l supplies, e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r i c t i o n s a g a i n prevented t h i s needed action. F o r example, plans f o r t w o m a j o r newT refineries f o r the n o r t h e r n A t l a n t i c coast area of t h i s c o u n t r y , one i n N e w E n g l a n d a n d one i n t h e M i d d l e A t l a n t i c States, w e r e shelved as a result o f these e n v i r o n m e n t a l restrictions. The m i d d l e d i s t i l l a t e supply problems d u r i n g last w i n t e r ' s h e a t i n g season have c o n t r i b u t e d to the gasoline shortage today as domestic refiners concent r a t e d t h e i r efforts on m i d d l e d i s t i l l a t e p r o d u c t i o n , wirich includes home h e a t i n g oils a n d diesel fuels, w i t h f u l l knowiedge of g o v e r n m e n t a l a u t h o r i t i e s . T h i s move to m a x i m i z e d i s t i l l a t e p r o d u c t i o n necessarily reduced o u r a b i l i t y to b u i l d u p gasoline i n v e n t o r i e s f o r the peak m o t o r i n g season t h i s summer. F i n a l l y , p e t r o l e u m demand has increased steadily a n d s u b s t a n t i a l l y on a w o r l d w i d e scale. T h i s has resulted i n a t i g h t w o r l d w i d e supply f o r c r u d e o i l a n d products. I t has d r i v e n up the w o r l d w i d e price of p e t r o l e u m energy as a whole. Yet, despite t h i s economic f a c t , price controls here i n the U n i t e d States have h e l d d o w n the p r i c e of p e t r o l e u m products such as gasoline a n d d i s t i l l a t e fuels, m a k i n g i t d i f f i c u l t to b i d successfully i n t h e f r e e w T orld m a r k e t on a sound economic basis. PROBLEMS W I T H E N E R G Y S U P P L Y T O D A Y T h e long-term e v o l u t i o n of energy supply r e s t r i c t i o n s a n d d e m a n d increases has created a v e r y definite energy supply problem today. T h e p r o b l e m of gasoline supply is upon us n o w , a n d w i l l r e m a i n t h r o u g h t h e peak m o t o r i n g season. C o n t i n u i n g problems of d i s t i l l a t e f u e l supply a r e forecasted f o r t h i s w i n t e r ' s peak h e a t i n g season. Texaco has taken every reasonable a c t i o n to p r o v i d e a d d i t i o n a l gasoline supplies. O u r refineries are o p e r a t i n g a t a v a i l a b l e capacity f o r gasoline, a n d have been d o i n g so since e a r l y spring. Yet, gasoline inventories were not b u i l t 266 up sufficiently because of the necessity to maximize d i s t i l l a t e production. I t is expected t h a t Texaco's supply of gasoline i n 1973 w i l l be about the same as we h a d i n 1972. W i t h an anticipated increase o f five percent expected i n gasoline demand through the rest of the year, i t may not be possible to supply a l l the gasoline t h a t the customer may desire when he wants it. As I reported to the J o i n t Economic Committee last week, we do not believe this t i g h t supply situation, which is industry-wide, can be overcome completely d u r i n g the peak d r i v i n g season. I t is exi>ected t h a t various companies i n various locations w i l l experience gasoline " r u n - o u t s " d u r i n g the summer season. W e anticipate, however, t h a t such "run-outs" w i l l be p r i m a r i l y local i n character and o f relatively short duration. H i s t o r i c a l l y , middle distillates and gasoline production have been maximized alternately on a seasonal basis. Such seasonable adjustments have amounted to as much as 3 % JIS refineries alternately b u i l t up inventories of middle d i s t i l lates and gasoline i n a n t i c i p a t i o n of peak seasonal demand. The need f o r inventory buildup is easily seen i n demand patterns of certain areas of the country where as much as 80% o f annual middle d i s t i l l a t e f u e l requirement has been d u r i n g the w i n t e r months. The increased use of d i s t i l l a t e f u e l by i n d u s t r y and public u t i l i t i e s d u r i n g the past t w o years, however, has created a greater demand f o r this product d u r i n g off-season periods. Based on the assumption t h a t we w i l l be able to switch over to m a x i m u m middle d i s t i l l a t e production i n early f a l l again this year and i m p o r t supplementary offshore supplies, Texaco anticipates t h a t i t w i l l have approximately the same amount o f middle d i s t i l l a t e this comling heating o i l season as i t h a d d u r i n g the past w i n t e r . Regarding both gasoline and middle distillates, Texaco w i l l endeavor to d i s t r i b u t e i t s available supplies to our various customers on a basis as f a i r and equitable as possible, w i t h due regard t o contractual commitments, and i n the l i g h t of a l l the circumstances t h a t may exist a t t h a t time. SHORT-TERM IMPROVEMENT H i s t o r i c a l l y , most of the gasoline and middle d i s t i l l a t e f u e l consumed i n t h i s country has been produced domestically. W i t h today's supply-demand situation, there is a g r o w i n g dependence on imports. The removal of i m p o r t controls by the President last month w i l l assist i n supplying more gasoline and more d i s t i l l a t e fuel i f prices are adequate to encourage such importation. W e are faced w i t h t h e fact, however, t ^ a t motor gasoline meeting specificat i o n f o r American made cars is presently available i n only l i m i t e d quantities f r o m foreign sources. W i t h regard to these possible imports of gasoline, i t is i m p o r t a n t t o note t h a t t h e east coast delivered price is higher t h a n most companies can recover under price control. A d d i t i o n a l l y , middle d i s t i l l a t e fuels are i n great demand i n Europe, As I noted earlier, we cannot isolate the U.S. m a r k e t today as has been done i n t h e past since petroleum energy is i n great demand worldwide. As long as the price of d i s t i l l a t e f u e l is controlled in the U n i t e d States, i t w i l l be increasingly difficult to o b t a i n available supplies f r o m abroad where price levels f o r distillates are higher i n today's market. To a t t r a c t necessary imports of gasoline and d i s t i l l a t e f u e l supplies, the i n d u s t r y must be permitted to recover the a d d i t i o n a l costs of i m p o r t e d products. I t is a n economic fact of l i f e t h a t prices must be adequate to j u s t i f y the many costly actions required to help alleviate the present gasoline shortage and foreseeable distillate shortage. Under the present system o f price control, present p r i c i n g of these products is not adequate. R e l a x a t i o n of environmental standards r e l a t i n g to various fuels and specifications t h a t have resulted i n reduced production o f gasoline and unprecedented demand f o r No. 2 o i l would assist i n overcoming the shortage situation. Texaco is not advocating the e l i m i n a t i o n o f a i r q u a l i t y controls t h a t are necessary to the public health. Rather, we are simply restating a position taken repeatedly before governmental authorities on a l l levels t h a t proper t i m i n g is necessary to b r i n g about the changes required f o r environmental protection i n order to prevent waste of our domestic energy supplies. F o r example, the removal of lead f r o m gasoline substantially reduces the volume of gasoline produced f r o m a given q u a n t i t y of crude oil, and moreover produces a lower octane gasoline t h a t gives the m o t o r i s t fewer miles per gallon. 267 F u r t h e r , we have seen how environmental restrictions have crippled our ."Nation's coal industry f o r lack of demand, and reduced our n a t u r a l gas supplies because of unrealistic pricing. Now we are feeling the pinch i n o u r middle d i s t i l l a t e and gasoline supplies. A national gasoline conservation program and more efficient use of available supply would assist i n overcoming the current problem. Such a program, w h i c h could be implemented this summer, m i g h t include car pools, tune-up programs, reduced highway speed, staggered w o r k i n g hours, and increased use of mass .transit. A conservation program would also benefit the middle distillate situation. A program aimed at conserving the use of electricity and heat i n public offices, industries and p r i v a t e homes would do much to help suppliers meet demands t h i s corning heating season. The era of cheap and p l e n t i f u l supplies of energy is over, and a l l of us must realize t h a t the next live years- and perhaps longer, must be an era of energy conservation. We must seek a t o t a l commitment on the p a r t of a l l Americans to conserve energy and to use available supplies efficiently. Texaco plans to emphasize i n its advertising the necessity f o r conservation programs and the need to make our available supplies of energy perform more efficienlty and w i t h o u t waste. LONG-TERM SOLUTIONS I n the long term, new refining capacity i n the U.S. must be developed i n order to provide f o r a d d i t i o n a l supplies of petroleum products. Because of the inadequacies of the former oil i m p o r t program, environmental restrictions, and difficulty i n earning a reasonable rate of return, there are no new refineries under construction i n the United States at this time. Although several refinery expansions have been announced since the President's message, substantial additional capacity is a necessity. Yet, to b u i l d a new refinery normally w i l l take at least as much as three years a f t e r plans are completed and siting approval is granted. The construction of new U.S. refining capacity w i l l also serve to improve our Nation's a b i l i t y to provide low s u l f u r residual oil w h i c h would be produced i n new balanced refinery operations. Up to now, the petroleum industry has been imx>orting residual f u e l oils because domestic refineries have been producing only m i n i m a l quantities of this product. I n Texaco's case, we have been i m p o r t i n g our lowT s u l f u r residual oils f r o m the Caribbean where Texaco has recently completed a desulfurizer u n i t to extract s u l f u r f r o m high s u l f u r crudes. A long-term solution w i l l also depend heavily on p r i c i n g policies t h a t a l l o w prices to be established i n a free market and at adequate levels f o r U.S. petroleum companies both to buy gasoline and middle d i s t i l l a t e products i n the highly competitive w o r l d market, and to provide the incentive f o r b u i l d i n g new refining capacity i n the United States. Price controls on petroleum products have done much t o create the present shortage situation, and these controls should be relaxed. Adequate prices are necessary to encourage additional •supplies of crude oil and products, and to generate sufficient capital resources to finance a larger p o r t i o n of the expenditures required to maximize our energy supply. A N A T I O N A L ENERGY POLICY Texaco welcomed the President's long-awaited message to Congress calling f o r a N a t i o n a l Energy Policy. This policy does not offer the complete solution f o r our short-term energy needs. Bather, i t is a strategy to develop needed energy resources as quickly as possible to insure t h a t the present tightening of energy supplies is checked and t h a t adequate supplies are available i n the future. The President also called f o r an investigation of the cost effectiveness of the a i r quality standards imposed by the clear a i r act. I t has been estimated t h a t substantial quantities of gasoline could be saved by very modest changes i n the targets f o r a i r quality imposed by this act. A v a i l a b i l i t y of middle distillate fuels f o r the 1973-1974 heating season could be s i m i l a r l y improved by a r e l a x a t i o n of s u l f u r content restrictions. Such a relaxation as experienced i n portions of this country this past w i n t e r has showTn no noticeable degradation of a i r quality. 96-183—73 18 268 COOPERATIVE C L I M A T E NEEDED Texaco believes the problems i n energy supply we are f a c i n g today can be solved. B u t a n e w climate f o cooperation between government and. energy suppliers must be molded to make t h e best use of our i n d u s t r y ' s p r o v e n enterprising s p i r i t F o r instance, w h i l e the President's actions have recognized the need f o r a d d i t i o n a l r e f i n i n g capacity, the evolving n a t i o n a l energy policy m u s t also recognize t h e need f o r p r o m p t action t o f a c i l i t a t e t h e l o c a t i o n of new r e f i n i n g capacity i n t h i s country. T h e a p p r o v a l of proper sites has been slowed d o w n by a v a r i e t y of o v e r l a p p i n g government regulations. C o o r d i n a t i o n of F e d e r a l , State a n d local a u t h o r i t i e s responsible f o r the v a r i o u s types of p e r m i t s a n d licenses i n v o l v e d m u s t be achieved to enable the construction of new projects. SUMMARY I n s u m m a r y , on behalf of Texaco, I submit t h a t a p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t shortage exists i n the U n i t e d States today. Continuous unprecedented g r o w t h i n demand makes i t extremely d i f f i c u l t to forecast t h e extent of these p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t shortages. Generally speaking, however, a v a i l a b i l i t y of supplies f o r both gasoline a n d m i d d l e d i s t i l l a t e s appears t o be a t a p p r o x i m a t e l y the same levels as last year, therefore c r e a t i n g a l a g behind demand g r o w t h . T h e e x t e n t a n d d u r a t i o n of t h i s shortage w i l l depend d i r e c t l y upon the increase i n demand a n d actions t a k e n t o correct f a c t o r s responsible f o r the shortage. T h e s h o r t - t e r m solutions are r e l a x a t i o n of price restraints, easing of e n v i r o n m e n t a l regulations, and the i n t r o d u t c i o n of conservation measures. T h e longt e r m solution involves p r o m p t a n d f a v o r a b l e congressional a c t i o n on the p r i n c i p a l points i n t h e President's energy message. I t is q u i t e clear t h a t a shortage of petroleum energy exists i n the U n i t e d States today. A t best, t h e s i t u a t i o n w i l l r e m a i n acute because of t h e l o n g lead t i m e i n v o l v e d f o r increasing these supplies. I m m e d i a t e a n d p o s i t i v e a c t i o n on the p a r t of Federal, State, a n d local governments is necessary. T h i s i m m e d i ate action, together w i t h f u l l cooperation on the p a r t of government a n d i n d u s t r y , w i l l enable t h i s n a t i o n to t a k e the first step t o w a r d r e g a i n i n g energy self-sufficiency. T h i s is indeed a m a t t e r i n v o l v i n g t h e n a t i o n a l security of t h e U n i t e d States. Senator M C I N T Y R E . This is one thing that really bugs me. I have had a lot of hearings and have had representatives like yourself who are very knowledgeable i n the oil industry and all of its ramifications and I have to agree, as I am sure Senator Proxmire agrees, that the environment and the increasing number of automobiles and travel have all contributed to this shortage and the demand. But many, many, many times your representatives and even some of you have been here, we have asked this question, and you have repeatedly underestimated the demand that was coming up in the following year. Now, perhaps as you just said, Mr. Card, the petroleum shortage exists, continued and unprecedented growth and demand makes i t extremely difficult. Would you not confess that time and time again you gentlemen and others like you in the oil industry have failed to make an intelligent estimate or even a close estimate of what the demand w7as going to be in the upcoming year? Mr. S E L L E R S . I would like to respond to that, Mr. Chairman. For approximately 47 years, those errors were on the other side, and wre anticipated greater demand than in fact, existed. We expanded production, refining and distribution capacity beyond what in fact was called for by the next year's expansion in demand. We consistently had excessive capacity. The only things 269 that have changed in the last 2 or 3 years have been these: First, the economics of the industry in the past 2 or 3 years. This is from Forbes' magazine of January, as they categorize the energy group, which is predominantly oil companies, a total of 28 oil companies. I n the then latest 12 months figures available to them, and that was the 12 months ended September 30, 1972, this group of companies had an average rate of return on capital of 6.5 per cent. Now, according to the Wall Street Journal yesterday morning, Government bonds are selling at 6.57 per cent yield. I n the past 3 years, we have not had the economic capability or incentive to provide those additional facilities. Second, in the past 12 to 18 months, but especially last winter, we have seen demands thrown on liquid fuels, which we did not anticipate and these were thrown on by a combination of gas delivery ability caught short sooner than we had anticipated, therefore, utilities and industrial users switching to liquid fuel when they could not get gas and by the environmental requirements of moving liquid fuels in substitution for coal and then moving low sulfur materials in substitution for high sulfur materials, throwing a totally unanticipated load on the distillate fuel segment. Mr. R A W L . I will pick up and expand briefly on this. I will not talk of the supply situation. I think Mr. Sellers did a fine job of that. W i t h regard to the question of the environmental controls, as you gentlemen know, these principally up to now, have teen brought about by individual States. As you know, Senator, up in your part of the country for a number of years now starting probably in New Jersey, New York—several years ago, we got into increasingly more restrictive sulfur emission controls on heavy fuel oil and distillates. Certainly these individual State controls have pretty well put coal out of the utility business up in that part of the country and have, as Mr. Sellers suggested, greatly increased the need other fuels which has fallen into the area of low-sulfur fuel oil and distillate fuels, which in turn impacts on the other types of things: Diesel, heating oil, things of that nature. That has been a very serious thing. I would say i t is going to be extremely difficult for us to make an intelligent estimate or a guess as to what demand is going to be as long as we have 50 separate entities developing on their own within certain broad guidelines put out by the Clean A i r Act and other things by the Federal Government—it is very difficult to assess the impact on the industry. I n terms of motor gasoline, I think we are dependent in that regard on the efficiency of the engines developed by Detroit in response to their problems in terms of clean engines and so forth. I will have to agree with you, we have not done a very good job maybe but I would like to make the point that it should be recognized that it is extremely difficult to do such a job when you have i t developing from all points of the compass. Senator M C T N T T K E . A S a layman contending with the oil industry, I have been irritated by your underestimation of demand and then this holding to the mandatory quota system with the consequence always somebody has to crv " W o l f " in New England or in the Midwest about shortages that finally hit us last winter. 270 I n all the things you want to blame, you never take i t upon yourself to say "mea culpa" a little bit, because I think you are involved in a lot of the mistakes that we are now contending with. After all, you gentlemen are tops in the industry, so I just wanted to tell you how I felt about your continual underestimating of the demand and the result was that we i n New England and the Middle West had to take a deepth breath and hope for a warm January, which thank God, we got this year. Mr. Card, I want to congratulate you, too. I t would be very nice to see Texaco's advertising start to talk about the conservation of energy that I have been guilty, along with other people, of abusing. I think i t would be great instead of all this promotion of "Buy More." I do not know what you fellows do when you are marketing, but I am sure you get a better price i f you buy more than i f you buy less. 1 am going to stop there, because I want to: Senator Proxmire. Senator P R O X M I R E . I want to thank you very much for an enlightening presentation. I t has been most helpful to get your viewpoints. Would you spell out for me, Mr. Sellers, the effect, as you understand it, of phase I I I as i t has been presently promulgated on the availability of gasoline this summer? As I understand it, there is a limit on the overall increase in prices. You can make increases i n individual product prices. What does this mean, as you see it, on the likelihood of a rise in gasoline prices? To what extent will the limitation in that rise contribute to the shortage and necessitate some kind of rationing of the product either by you or by the Government ? Mr. S E L L E R S . Senator, I am sure you are aware that the specific rules have not yet been promulgated by Cost of Living Council. So, our assessment of the impact at the moment—I will speak first to our own situation and then give you my judgment of how it applies to some others in the industry. We have understood that the basic rules for calculation w i l l be similar to those used in phase 2. This is the type of calculation that we have been using and operating under. As you indicate, it gives freedom as far as increases on individual products but places an overall ceiling on us. This ceiling within practical limitations as far as we are concerned puts a maximum limit on sales prices of gasoline—I w i l l use a single example, in approximate numbers—in the order of 16 cents a gallon on our sales out of a terminal in Now York Harbor, this works back through our overall average products but this is approximately where we come out. To buy gasoline and import i t today w i l l cost us in the area of 22 to 25 cents a gallon, and we will not get a quality of product that we would ordinarily be willing to sell. Senator P R O X M I R E . What is this translated in terms of cost to the consumer at the pump ? Mr. S E L L E R S . The pump price of gasoline in that area is now in the range o f — I am talking of regular gasoline—in the range of 35 to 39 cents a gallon. 271 So, on imported material, i f the terminal cost of one is 16 cents and the other is 22 cents, you are talking of 6 cents a gallon or roughly 15 percent difference. Senator P R O X M I R E . S O you would expect 6 cent a gallon or a 1 5 percent increase as possible, recognizing of course that you cannot project these things precisely. As you say, you have not gotten the regulations promulgated. Sir. S E L L E R S . As I mentioned, we are working with a number of private brand or independent marketers who have imported quotas to bring gasoline in without the security fee but do not have the facilities to physically handle imported material, trying to get them into a position where we will physically handle the material and deliver it through our terminals and then deliver back to them at the points where they need it. Now, if they are faced with the position of having to pay 22 cents a gallon and they are in a position of having to raise their pump price while we and others are not able to raise prices to our brand of dealers, our brand of dealers are going to sell gasoline until they run out and the end marketers that we are serving with our domestic product are going to sell gasoline until they run out, and the independent marketer who imports his is going to be left until everybody else runs out. His price is going to be too far above that. One fallacy in the current handling of the gasoline imports, i f we and others like us bring in, I will say, 4 percent of our product and pay 22 cents a gallon for i t and average that price in, overall price increase is going to be a half cent a gallon rather than 6 cents a gallon on this one particular volume. Senator P R O X M I R E . SO, you see a range of up as much as perhaps 6 cents a gallon this summer. I would like to ask Mr. Card, and Mr. Card, I may surprise you and maybe disappoint you when I say that I agree with a great deal of what you said. I find a lot of wisdom in it and a lot of good sense. I disagree with some of it. When you look at this kind of a situation, here, the only answer really is higher price. That is the way our system works, i f we have a shortage of supply in relationship to demand, the price goes up. I t is a free system. We adjust to it. We talk about telling people to get in the car pools and not to drive as much. You can exhort them in your advertising as much as you want. They will not pay any attention to it. I f you increase the price of gasoline, they will respond in a hurry. They will conserve energy i f you charge enough for it. That is the way a free economic system works to the best of my judgment. No matter how you ration this, i t is not going to work, especially when the shortage is not short term; the shortage, as you testified, will be worse in 1974 than in 1973 and worse in 1975 than in 1974. So, it is ridiculous to adopt a short-term rationing system. I t would be fine i f we knew we were going to have an abundance of supply or at least a correction of the situation in a few months or in a year or so. We do not have it. So, I think the argument is very powerful, I might say almost devastating, that the price is the answer. There are a couple of problems, of course, in price, very serious political problems and social problems. One is, i f you let the price go up—'and going up 6 cents does not bother me, but I have heard a lot more than that. I have read stories it might be 50 cents a gallon, 75 cents a gallon, a dollar a gallon—very high in Europe, and i t could be higher. This is discrimination against people with low incomes and people who rely on their car to get to work. This is discrimination against the people with low incomes generally. But on the other hand, you have an enrichment of oil companies. Now, the specific you gave—I have not had a chance to check i t out, you may be right—I don't know i f you gave it, but one of you gentlemen suggested 6y2 percent return on invested capital in the industry and you compared it with bonds and that is disgracefully low. You cannot have an operation at 6.5 percent return for very long. Certainly i f the price were allowed to go up now, I am sure your return would be enormously increased. So, you see the political problem. I t looks like a reverse Robin Hood situation. Then there is one other complicating factor. Whether we like i t or not, I think the environments are going to win, and they should win, and that is because we just have to find a way of stopping this pollution of our environment, and the extent to which we project this demand for gasoline and more automobile traffic and more affluent living on our part is going to pollute our environment more and more. Of course, higher prices would help there, too. I t would mean that there would be less pollution because people would not drive as much and they would conserve in all kinds of ways. Can you help me on how we get an appropriate political and social solution to this problem? The economics are so clear and convincing, where the social effect is preverse and maybe unjust. What would you suggest? Would you let the free market take over, or would you suggest that you have to do this a little more drastically? Mr. C A R D . I would be glad to comment on that, sir. I mentioned three basic points for the short-term solution. You have touched on a couple of them. I w i l l take the one you mentioned first, that is dealing with the environmental restrictions. We are not in disagreement with the need to improve the environment. We are suggesting that we make some modest relaxations in the restrictions and in the timetable called upon and this w i l l do considerable to make available additional supplies practically immediately, both of gasoline and of middle distillates and these are the two critical parts, the heating oil and gasoline. Senator P R O X M I R E . I am going to reject that. Maybe I am wrong in doing it. I t is a gut feeling. I do not want to degrade the environment any more. I feel very strongly about that. So, give me the answer on the assumption I cannot back up your s u r e s t i o n on the environmental matter. Mr. C A R D . I do not agree, I think there are some practical steps that have been proven that can be taken—were taken this past winter that did help. The next point has to do with the price control. Yes, I think free market action is the answer to this. And I think this is very essential 273 that the industry be permitted to have adequate prices in order to justify these actions that they would have to take to make more supplies available. Then the third one has to do with conservation and I do think there is a way—in the short term—that conservation can make available more supplies. We can use better what we have and therefore slow down the demand. I think that those three points Senator P R O X M I R E . I do not want to impose on the other committee members but how could conservation work, absent a sharp increase in price ? Mr. C A R D . Conservation will not make available more supply; it will make the supplies we have go further. This is the point. For example, the statistics are well documented on what speeds on the highways result in as far as consumption of gasoline. We know that. The other means, the car pools. Now, this is something that could come about, some emphasis on car pools, the conservation measures that I outlined. These measures of conservation are very practical. Senator P R O X M I R E . I think they are practical i f you make them effective by letting the price go up. But absent that, I think exortation is unlikely to have much effect. Mr. C A R D . Free market action and adequate prices would certainly be a step in the right direction. Senator P R O X M I R E . Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I n talking about the prices here, let us let the record show that U.S. Oil Week of A p r i l 30, 1973, states percent of gain over net income, the first quarter of last year, Exxon, up 43 percent and in the first quarter of last year their profits were $508 million. Citco, up 17.4 percent. I do not mind your profits. Mr. R A W L . Those are relative figures, Senator. A low first quarter, 1972 Senator M C I N T Y R E . Lot me ask you a few questions right down the line. I want to limit myself to ten minutes. Each of you—what is your position with regard to whether the President should immediately implement the authority granted to him in the Economic Stabilization Act to allocate petroleum products? Some of you, your statements are directed to that. Mr. S E L L E R S . I would hope that the shortage this summer will not be sufficient to necessitate overall rationing. I think i t wTill get into an impossible situation. I believe that local shortages that may occur should be dealth with by the lowest governmental level that is in a position to do so. This may often be the State, There may be some circumstances in which the Federal Government would have to step into the act. I hope that the situation this year will not be that serious. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I do not think I meant to infer rationing as such. I am talking about allocation. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Y O U do not understand the distinction? 274 I was just checking with my staff to see i f they were the same thing. He said, no; allocation would mean to be sure that hospitals or vital industries receive an adequate amount of oil as opposed to, for instance, the luxury driver. Mr. SELLERS. That might be allocation to the hospital, but to the guy you took it away from, it would be rationing. Senator M O T N T Y R F . The next one. Mr. C A R D . Responding to your question, sir, we do not believe that any type of mandatory controlled program or rationing is called for. We do believe that doing the three things I mentioned, emphasis on conservation, relaxation of price controls, and relaxation of the environmental restrictions and timetables would do much to help overcome the current shortages that exist. Then as far as dealing with available supplies, we would hope that the suppliers could be encouraged to supply in proportion to the 1972 requirements. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. R A W ] . Mr. R A W L . Yes, sir. as I mentioned in my statement, we feel about the same way, that the situation will not call for rationing in terms of setting priorities for essential human needs. We would feel that the Government should go ahead and get something in place and get it understood in case it were necessary. We have taken the position publicly that we w i l l distribute our products to our existing customers on the basis of recent participation in each one of these customer groups and product lines, and fairly among those customers. So, we are saying i t is obvious that there ought to be contingency plans in place. There probably ought to be hearings on them so everyone understands exactly how they work. I t is an extremely complex situation. I f mishandled, i t could result in worse problems, we think than we might have otherwise. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Going to Mr. Sellers, then Mr. Card and Mr. Rawl, is my understanding correct that your impression is that the new tariff situation implemented on May 1 will not have any appreciable effect on petroleum product shortages over the next few years and particularly with regard to gasoline and home heating oil? Mr. SELLERS. I f given the freedom for the material that is available from foreign sources to be brought in without any physical restrictions, the missing link now is the ability of the marketplace to adjust to support the prices that are now called for in foreign markets. Mr. C A R D . I think that the degree that i t will help w i l l depend on the relaxation of price controls, because i t is a fact that prices are higher in Europe and we w i l l have to depend upon supplemental supplies from Europe for both heating oil and gasoline. These prices are substantially higher than can be recovered in the United States. This was experienced in heating oil during the past heating season and i t will be experienced this coming heating season, which w i l l retard the flow of those products to the United States. So the degree that this will help, this new important program, w i l l depend to a great extent, of course, upon the availability which is 275 limited also of the products in the first place. They are limited from availability standpoint. But a further limitation, i n my judgment, will be because of price controls in the United States. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. Rawl. Mr. RAWL. I certainly would agree that pricing flexibility would help a great deal. Obviously, after 2 to 3 years when significant expansions can be accomplished in this country in refinery capacity that it will help a great deal. I n the short term it will probably help modestly the volumetric control, i f we can determine how to work this in the economy. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. Sellers, in your statement to the committee, you come down pretty hard on this problem that we were dealing with yesterday where we were talking—independent people were coming in and saying they were being cut oil. I n the summation, I heard this before, you say that probably if we do lose some of these independents, these little guys, we are going to have a better marketing system as a result. Mr. S E L L E R S . What I said was not that if we lost some of the independents. What I said was that there has been much comment over a period of many years by many parties that there were too many service stations without distinction as to whether they are private brands or major company brands. My statement was that this is the area where the inefficient service stations can be eliminated and help every aspect of the Nation, and more major brand stations will be eliminated, in my judgment, than private brand stations. Senator MCINTYRE. Yes, sir. You conclude after discussing the question of the impact of shortages on competition, in your next to the last paragraph by saying "From many standpoints, particularly distribution efficiency and land-use economics, I am convinced the Nation w i l l be well served by reductions in marketing overcapacity and inefficiencies." So, in some respects this could be considered kind of a shakedown, and some of the weaker of those in the competitive field are going to drop by the wayside and the result will be a better marketing situation, is that right ? M r . SELLERS. Y e s , s i r . Senator M C I N T Y R E . I am groin CR to take this up here. I do not know how to answer questions like this that are occurring all across the country. Here is a letter from my own State dated May 7. I t is a pretty sad story now. I do not knowT whether they are poor distributors or poor marketers or what. But they have been in business 39 years, the largest independent jobber in New Hampshire, and they are done. They are done—37 retail service stations. They started out with Phillips Petroleum and I think they are going to have a few words to say he-fore we close here today. This letter simply says to this Senator, I do not know what has happened but I cannot get any more oil and I am bankrupt. I t may be as you say, it mav be that this is a <?ood one that just got caught. But it is prettv hard for those of us who represent those people. Senator Taft, 276 Senator T A F T . Thank you very much. There is an article in the morning paper this morning that the administration is preparing to put in emergency fuel allocation plan into effect very shortly. The plan is apparently expected to be a voluntary one, setting out guidelines for allocation to meet vital needs. I would like to have your opinion as to whether you think a voluntary plan of that kind will work. Mr. R A W L . Senator, I will be glad to talk to that point. I just read the same article myself. I have not had time to think about it. Now, I guess I would have to know more details than we know right now about it to comment very intelligently about it. However, I do see a problem here when he talks about I guess essential needs and a voluntary program. I think i t would be very difficult for any company, large or small, to set its own priorities as to what are critical needs in the case of short supply, as to whether we are talking about a farmer in the Midwest or a farmer on the east coast, you know the kinds of problems you get into, and I think that regulatory agencies or governments really have to make those kinds of decisions. I do not like the idea of a mandatory program but also I see the problem with the voluntary program in that we have, for example, in the short-supply situation contract obligations to existing customers. I f this voluntary guideline would say you should take on some new customers, it would give me severe risk and difficulty from the legal standpoint to arbitrarily, let us say, abrogate some contracts with existing customers. This is the kind of a problem Senator T A F T . What percentage of your output is on a contract basis to existing customers ? Mr. R A W L . The way we are looking at i t right now, is our total output—because of the tight supply situation—has to go to the existing customers. Senator T A F T . 1 0 0 percent? Mr. R A W L . 1 0 0 percent. Even though some of them mav not have a written document that says we owe i t to him, we feel that obligation as a company and have set such a policy. Senator T A F T . H O W many do you have written documents with? Mr. R A W L . Sir, I really do not have that number in mind. I t is a difficult problem. I n terms of distillates, i t would probably be most of our customers. I n terms of gasoline, contracts with service station are different kinds of contracts, but they are contracts. So, a very small percentage would not be covered by some contract, very small. Senator T A F T . Probably from both the legal and the practical point of view, i f voluntary guidelines are set up and they are truly voluntary, you are going to have both legal and economic factors working against your complying with those guidelines i f they require taking on of new customers or if they require allocation to customers on some past basis, and there has been some change by contractor practice recently in your distribution? M r . RAWL. Yes, sir. 277 I can see the complication. I f this were a voluntary program that I should treat my existing customers and past customers on a proportionate basis, i f that is what i t says, I w i l l not have any problem with that. I f it tells me to put product into some situation where we have not been supplying, then all of a sudden I run into the kind of problem you live referred to and what that does to the existing customers. We have to see the guidelines, I guess but I can see some complications in a voluntary program. Mr. R A W L . I am not sure of that, either, depending on what that said, too. Senator T A F T . I t would give you a legal outlet, you would have the possibility of defense, Mr. R A W L . Legally i t would help, yes. Whether or not it was properly conceived and thought out and whether or not it would cause more problems than it solved, I guess we would have to see what the program was before we could comment on that. Senator T A F T . D O you other gentlemen have anything to comment on that? M r . CARD. Y e s . I see great danger in any mandatory control progrm. I think it, in fact, could result in a lessening of supply. As far as the comment on a voluntary program Senator T A F T . Why would i t lessen supply? I could see how Mi*. CARD. I t would depend on how it was administered, but the regulations and the experience that we have had, the industry has had with mandatory regulation—take natural gas as an example— we know what has happened, sir, and in the time frame we are talking about here, I would certainly say this, that, i f the program envisioned does deal with providing customers served in 1972 on some basis, proportionate to the 1973 avails—it seems, as I mentioned earlier that suppliers should be encouraged voluntarily to supply on a proportionate basis 1972 customers in relation to their 1973 avails —if this is what is meant, it seems to me at this stage i t would be much more practical and certainly all that would be called for under today's circumstances. I think, if that is the interpretation, it would be much better to consider that instead of any kind of mandatory control program. Senator T A F T . I notice a statement in your testimony, Mr. Card, with regard to the removal of lead from gasoline cutting down the supply. Could you elaborate on that? Is the lead already in the gasoline or are you talking about present refining processes? Mr. C A R D . Yes, sir, I would be glad to comment on it. As you know, by July 1, 1974, all the service stations in the United States averaging 200,000 gallons or more for the year must have one grade of no-lead gasoline, and 60 percent of all stations, regardless of volume, are required to have one grade of no-lead gasoline. This is in fact forcing another grade of gasoline into the industry, into the country. I t does tie up additional inventories and supplies. Now, that is from the standpoint of supply. Whereas we have seen a year's delay as far as automobile fanufacturers are concerned, there has been 278 nothing yet to delay the implementation of this legislation on the petroleum industry. This is the kind of relaxation that we have been talking about. We think this certainly is called for, a relaxation on this. The other thing, though, is a technical matter. I t is simply the requirements in refining procedures and the technology that does require more crude oil, more running of material to make the same number of gallons when you have no lead gasoline. Another step further Senator T A F T . Y O U add lead to gasoline, do you not? Mr. C A R D . That is a very small amount as far as the lead is concerned, as to the total volume. Senator T A F T . But there is not any basic lead in crude oil, is there ? Mr. C A R D . Y O U have to add the lead in the manufacturing process, this is correct. Senator T A F T . H O W does that reduce the volume, i f you put i t in Mr. C A R D . I t has to do with your total octane pool. We are getting into a technical discussion here. I will be glad to get the amount per gallon or per barrel, and this has been documented. Then the other part of this has to do with the miles per gallon that this new gasoline will give in the new automobile. Senator T A F T . I understand. That is something else again. But you are talking about volume of gasoline produced i n your statement ? Mr. C A R D . This is right. I do not have the complete technical outline of this but I can get this and furnish it and would be happy to do so. Mr. S E L L E R S . Senator, I might add one specific example of this. I n going to unleaded gasoline, the way that we i n our refinery will meet the octane requirement from the present operations over to an unleaded gasoline operation is to remove from the gasoline pool approximately 10,000 barrels a day of material which is low octane. We are able to use it in gasoline now because we use the lead to bring the octane level up. I n cutting out lead, we back out approximately 10.000 barrc-ls a day of material which in turn would go into some other petroleum product, either petrochemical feed stock or jet fuel. Senator T A F T . I get you. Thank you very much. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. Rawl, why have you refiners been allowed to import finished products—isn't this in effect an encouragement to build overseas refineries? On top of that, in September of 1971 you appeared before the subcommittee on Small Business that I chaired at that time and you strongly testified against, any program to allocate the importation into this country of any finished product. Here you are enjoying it, and we were trying to get it for the independent terminal operators in New England. Here you are on the other side. Why should you be allowed to import finished products. Mr. R A W L . T O satisfy the market. We are not enjoying it. You know the finished products, gasoline, for example, is 53 cents a barrel currently. W i t h the fee it goes up to 279 63 cents a barrel. Distillates will increase in the fee up to same level and so will heavy fuel. We are not enjoying this. These fees, however, under the new program are such that they will clearly switch the economic from building refineries offshore to expanding refineries on shore i f sites become available or certain!v. i f you have room to expand refineries. You will recall that at the hearing you had 2 years ago, 1971, as I recall, September, we were talking about the heating season 1971-72. My comments then were that it was our opinion that the industry clearly had sufficient domestic refining capacity to produce sufficient heating oil to supply the market during that heating season, which it did. Along those lines, however, I also cautioned at the time that importation of products without any other changes in the import program—and there have been other changes—would result in just, as we put it. exporting further refining capacity expansions. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I want to thank you gentlemen for coming here today. I appreciate your coming, realizing it was difficult for you at this particular stage in the industry. We call as our next witnesses Mr. G. J. Morrison, vice president of marketing, Phillips Petroleum Co., and Mr. Thomas M. Ilennessy, president of the Getty Oil Co., Eastern Operations, Inc. W i l l you please come to the witness table, gentlemen. We will proceed with Mr. G. J. Morrison followed bv Mr. Ilennessy. We have your statement and they will be included in full in the record. Anywhere that you can condense your statement, that will be fine but I want you to feel that you have a full opportunity to testify and state your case. STATEMENT OF G. J. MORRISON, VICE PRESIDENT, MARKETING, PHILLIPS PETROLEUM CO., AND THOMAS M. HENNESSY, PRESIDENT, GETTY OIL CO., EASTERN OPERATIONS, INC. Mr. M O R R I S O N . Mr. Chairman, my name is G. J. Morrison, vice president, marketing. Phillips Petroleum Co. Getting into the text of my statement: What are the causes behind this gasoline shortage? The gasoline shortage was caused by four prime factors: Insufficient refining capacity in the United States. For the past several years new refining capacity has lagged well below the increase in demand for finished petroleum products. Not a single major refinery is under construction at present. The prime reason for the failure of refining capacity to keep pace with demand is the low rate of return on employed capital in the refining, distribution and marketing segments of the petroleum business and the high costs of building new capacity. The rate of return for our company for these functions combined was only .17 percent in 1971 and 1.9 percent in 1972 on capital employed of approximately $1 billion. Another reason for lack of new refining capacity has been difficulty of securing permits to build refineries because of environmental problems. 280 A shortage of crude oil supplies, particularly the light common low-sulphur crude needed by most U.S. refineries to produce maximum gasoline y ields. Here, again, the unacceptable rate of return on investment has held crude oil exploration to levels well below that required to find new supplies to meet our domestic requirements. Increased gasoline demands due to more automobiles being on the road than ever before in our history and being driven more miles. Also, the less efficient engines in the last-model cars which require more fuel to travel the same number of miles as the older model cars. A part of this inefficiency is created by the antipollution devices with which these cars are equipped. Automotive motor fuel usage increased 6 percent in 1972 over 1971 and this rate of increase is continuing. The Bureau of Mines predicted that May, 1973 consumption would be up 6 percent from May, 1972. Increased demand for light distillate fuels. The shortage of natural gas in our country has caused many industrial consumers to switch from gas to distillate fuels. Environmental regulations which prohibit the use of coal and high sulphur residual fuels in many areas of our country have also caused a switch to the lighter heating oils. Along with these added demands, extremely cold weather in much of the United States from October to December 1972 caused requirements for heating oils to exceed industry expectations. Therefore, in order for the petroleum industry to supply the heating oil requirements of home, hospitals, schools, and other regular users of this product last winter, the industry had to produce a greater volume of distillates than in previous years. To produce this additional product it was necessary to reduce gasoline production by a like amount. As a result we were unable to build gasoline stocks to levels required to meet the heavy summer gasoline demand. 2. The extent of the effect of the shortage will have on the Nation ? Short-term, we must realize that the first effect is a reduction in consumption, either voluntary or otherwise. We can easily reach the position where consumer rationing might be necessary. A shortage of fuels for the transportation industry would have far-reaching effects on other industries, the products and commodities of which rely on transportation. Our defense system could be seriously -imparled. Last but not least, a shortage of petroleum products could have a devastating effect on agriculture resulting in food shortages, higher food prices, and because less food would be exported, a more unsatisfactory balance of payments position. Long term. By 1975 we w i l l be 1.5 million barrels per day short of crude processing capacity or the equivalent of 10 new 150,000 barrels per day refineries. This is a shortage of approximately 12 to 15 percent. Further, we w i l l need to construct 5 new 150.000 barrels per day refineries each year for the years 1976 through 1985 to keep pace with the demand. We w i l l necessarily have to import much greater amounts of petroleum and this w i l l have a serious effect on our balance of payment position. The present cost of imported petroleum is $4 billion annually, this could esoailate to $30 billion by 1985. 281 Senator M C I N T Y R E . I am going to have to interrupt you at this point in order that I may go to the floor to east a vote. [Recess.] Senator M C I N T Y R E . The committee will come to order. Mr. Morrison, I am sorry for the interruption. Mr. M O R R I S O N . Thank you. I will start with question 8: What impact will the shortage have on competition within the industry ? We believe that ail segments of the industry are going to continue their intensive competition. There will be less emphasis on promotions such as trading stamps, games and giveaways, but competition will increase as the dealers with reduced amounts of gasoline to sell must compensate by increasing their income from their other sales of tires, batteries, accessories and services. We believe competition to secure the best dealers and obtain a viable share of the market w i l l continue at an increased pace because we, and no doubt all of our competitors, do not intend to surrender our customers and market position. •Competition to discover domestic and foreign production and the search for foreign supplies of crude and refined products will be at an increased rate provided the return on capital employed will justify the enormous expenditures. Permit me to supplement my written statement at this point with a comment. The press lias referred to a letter to the President, President Nixon from a group of Senators, urging him to start allocating petroleum products to keep independents from going out of business. The letter was quoted as saying "Independent stations represent a significant amount of competition in this industry." I hope that this well-organized and vocal group of large chain marketers does not cause us to disregard the interest of the many more and much smaller independent businessmen who are the individual dealers, consignees and jobbers, selling Phillips and other major brand products. I trust- that no one is asking the President to allocate petroleum products to the so-called .independent marketer or chain operator of nonmajor brand outlets at the expense of the small independent business handling major products. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I do not know if we have time for you to instruct me on how this oil industry is set up. I do not think we have. What you are saying is, there are people that see—let's take a. brand that I used to have, a friend who always bought it. He would go out of gas i f he could not find Cool Motor, predecessor to Cities Service. Do you mean that there are dealers who are independent, they own their own stations, they are not beholden to the company for some sort of a 100 percent financing or leasing, they arc independent in every sense of the word except they buy in your case Phillips Petroleum Gasoline? S I R . M O R R T S O N . He could be a dealer leasing a station from us, he could be a dealer leasing a station from another individual, or he could be a dealer who owns his own station and buying a branded product, from us or some other major company. 282 He has an investment in that service station. I f he owns it, he has a substantial investment. I f he owns the inventory and the equipment in there, then his investment could be $10 to $20,000. But there are a number of independent branded dealers throughout the country as well as independent branded jobbers. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Y O U are calling my attention to the fact that these independents exist in these various forms oveir and above the independents that the letter is concerned with, which talks about the 20 to 25 percent. The only real competitive factor in the marketplace, as we understand it, as I understand it, is the independents out there that are not beholden to any particular company such as Phillips or Atlantic or whatever they were or are. Mr. M O R R I S O N . I am of the opinion that when you have any one in the marketplace competing for market penetration, that you have competition, competitive factors, whether i t be private brand or whether i t be branded, if he is an individual business man. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I cannot compete with you on that. Somebody has told me that the big companies just do not really compete one with the other, they just sort of get along mutually. I can understand what you mean, there is an independent that we should not overlook. M r . MORRISON. Y e s . Senator M C I N T Y R E . A l l right. Go on. Mr. M O R R I S O N . Question 4 . What steps can and should be taken to prevent such shortages and their recurrence? Governmental rules and regulations should be designed to encourage rather than discourage added investment in exploration and production of crude oil and other raw materials as well as new refinery construction. A rate of return on this invested capital must be sufficient to generate risk capital in amounts necessary to encourage these endeavors. The competitive free enterprise system, which fundamentally allocates resources in the marketplace, should be relied upon to provide the energy requirements of the nation. I n a free market, the forces of supply and demand insure that the price of energy reflects its true value, Market forces, then, will direct our limited energy supplies into their moet efficient use, thereby eliminating wasteful consumption. And with all forms of energy competing for a share of the market, the consumer will be best assured of adequate supplies at a reasonable price. The Nation's environmental goads should be properly balanced with its energy needs. Many environmental actions taken bv government and private organizations have limited the current availability of energy and restricted efforts to provide for further needs. Some moves have actually led to a waste of both energy and capital resources. Speed up the actions of the courts and Congress when cases of national concern such as the Alaskan pipeline, offshore unloading facilities, and off short exploration and drilling are challenged. Research efforts on alternate sources of energy and mass transportation are long-term necessities but decisions regarding these efforts should be made soon. 283 The price control program as presently structured has a potential for aggravating shortages of petroleum products. The function of price in improving the b a l a n c e between supply and demand is thus restricted i f not nullified by mandatory price controls on the large producing and refining concerns. 5. What impact will gasoline shortages have on other products for the remainder of this year and on home heating oils next winter? Because of the unprecedented motor fuel demand in 1972. the industry went into the winter season with distillate stocks lower than normal. I n order to have optimum gasoline supply for the summer motor fuel season, it will be necessary to produce maximum gasoline at the refineries which will mean entering the winter season with lower than desired distill late stacks. 6. What effect will the recently announced replacement of the quota system have on this year's supply of petroleum products? Crude Oil: The temporary elimination of tariff duty should encourage full utilization of import allocations this year. The new system will not eliminate the problems of supplying Midcontinent refiners. Gasoline: The 0.5 cent per barrel reduction in fee versus the former duty is insufficient incentive for companies without fee-free allocations to significantly increase gasoline imports. The limited supplies of gasoline available for import will lay in at costs considerably above domestic prices. I n addition, very little of the foreign gasoline will meet our specifications. Without the flexibility to recover these higher costs through price increases, the incentive for traditional suppliers to import will be limited. Heating Oil: Although foreign heating oil is usually more available than gasoline, it also commands a considerably higher price than domestic oil. Pie re again, ability to recover increased costs would determine the degree to which projected shortages are satisfied next winter. The new initial security fee of 15 cents per barrel is 4.5 cents above the former duty and thus provides no incentive to import. Propane: The elimination of duty or fee and the Western Hemisphere restriction should encourage propane imports. The problems of overseas availability, limited receiving facilities, and high cost remain, however. These higher costs must be offset by increased selling prices. Economic stabilization regulations administered by the Cost of Living Council discourage the use of imported petroleum products to satisfy the domestic shortage. Furthermore, it may be almost impossible to make a foreign purchase if it requires a long wait to secure an approved price adjustment from the COLC. Such adjustments should be automatic—not negotiated individually with price control authorities. Mr. Chairman, that completes my statement. [The f u l l statement of Mr. Morrison follows:] S T A T E M E N T OF G . J . M O R R I S O N , V I C E P R E S I D E N T , M A R K E T I N G OF P H I L L I P S LEUM Co. PETRO- 1.0 W h a t are the causes behind this gasoline shortage? 1.1 The gasoliine shortage was caused by f o u r prime factors. 1.1.1 Insufficient refining capacity i n the U n i t e d States. F o r the past several years new refining capacity has lagged well below the increase i n demand 9G-1S3—73 19 284 f o r finished petroleum products. N o t a single m a j o r refinery is under construct i o n at present. The prime reason f o r the f a i l u r e of refining capacity to keep pace w i t h demand is the low rate of r e t u r n 011 employed capital i n the refining, distribut i o n and m a r k e t i n g segments of the petroleum business, and t h e h i g h costs of b u i l d i n g new capacity. The rate of r e t u r n f o r our company f o r these functions combined was only 0.17% i n 1971 and 1.9% i n 1972 on capital employed ot approximately one b i l l i o n dollars. Another reason for lack of new refining capacity has been difficulty of securi n g permits to b u i l d refineries because of environmental problems. According to published reports, several oil companies i n the past few years have attempted to secure permits f o r new refining construction at several different locations i n this country. These plans were apparently abandoned when the companies were unable to secure such permits. 1.1.2 A shortage of crude o i l supplies, p a r t i c u l a r l y the l i g h t common l o w sulphur crude needed by most U.S. refineries to produce m a x i m u m gasoliine yields. Here, again, the unacceptable rate of r e t u r n on investment has held crude oil exploration to levels w e l l below t h a t required to find new supplies to meet our domestic requirements. Several i n l a n d refineries t h a t are unable to receive foreign crude oils are operating at less t h a n capacity due to t h e i r i n a b i l i t y to secure adequate domestic crude oil. 1.1.3 Increased gasoline demands due to more automobiles being on the r o a d t h a n ever before i n our history, and being d r i v e n more miles. Also, the less efficient engines i n the late model cars w h i c h require more f u e l to t r a v e l the same number of miles as the older model cars. A p a r t of this inefficiency is created by the a n t i p o l l u t i o n devices w i t h which these cars are equipped. Automotive motor f u e l usage increased 6% i n 1972 over 1971 and t h i s rate o f increase is continuing. The B u r e a u of Mines predicted t h a t May 1973 consumpt i o n w o u l d be up 6 % f r o m May, 1972. 1.1.4 Increased demand f o r l i g h t d i s t i l l a t e fuels. The shortage of n a t u r a l gas i n our country has caused many i n d u s t r i a l consumers to switch f r o m gas to d i s t i l l a t e fuels. E n v i r o n m e n t a l regulations w h i c h p r o h i b i t the use of coal and high sulphur residual fuels i n many areas of our country have also caused a switch to the l i g h t e r heating oils. Along w i t h these added demands, extremely cold weather i n much of the U.S. f r o m October to December 1972 caused requirements f o r h e a t i n g oils to exceed i n d u s t r y expectations. Therefore, i n order f o r the petroleum i n d u s t r y to supply the heating oil requirements of home, hospitals, schools a n d other regular users of this product last w i n t e r , the i n d u s t r y h a d to produce a greater volume of distillates t h a n i n previous years. T o produce this a d d i t i o n a l product i t was necessary to reduce gasoline production by a l i k e amount. As a result wTe were unable to b u i l d gasoline stocks to levels required to meet the heavy summer gasoline demand. 2.0 The extent of the effect the shortage w i l l have on the nation? 2.1 Short T e r m — W e must realize t h a t the first effect is a reduction i n consumption—either v o l u n t a r y or otherwise. We can easily reach the position where consumer r a t i o n i n g m i g h t be necessary. A shortage of fuels f o r the t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n d u s t r y would have f a r reaching effects on other industries, the products and commodities o f wThich rely on transportation. Our defense system could be seriously impaired. L a s t but not least, a shortage of petroleum products could have a devastating effect on agriculture resulting i n food shortages, higher food prices, and because less food would be exported, a more unsatisfactory balance of payments position. 2.2 Long T e r m — B y 1975 we w i l l be 1.5 m i l l i o n barrels per day short of crude processing capacity or the equivalent of 10 new 150,000 barrels per day refineries. T h i s is a shortage of approximately 12 to 15%. F u r t h e r , we w i l l need to construct 5 new 150,000 barrels per day refineries each year f o r the years 3976 through 1985 to keep pace w T ith the demand. N a t i o n a l Petroleum Council forecasts the i n d u s t r y w i l l require approximately ,$174 b i l l i o n i n investment capital f o r domestic and foreign expenditures to provide us w i t h the oil and gas requirements to 1985. We w i l l necessarily have to i m p o r t much greater amounts of petroleum and this w i l l have a serious effect on our balance of payment position. The present; cost of imported petroleum is $4 b i l l i o n annually, t h i s could escalate to $30 b i l l i o n by 1985. 285 3.0 W h a t impact w i l l the shortage have on competition w i t h i n the i n d u s t r y ? 3.1 We believe t h a t a l l segments of the i n d u s t r y are going to continue t h e i r intensive competition. There w i l l be less emphasis on promotions such as trading stamps, games and giveaways, but competition w i l l increase as the dealers w i t h reduced amounts of gasoline to sell must compensate by increasing t h e i r income f r o m their other sales of tires, batteries, accessories and services. W e believe competition to secure the best dealers and obtain a viable share of the m a r k e t w i l l continue at an increased pace because we, and no doubt a l l of our competitors, do not intend to surrender our customers and m a r k e t position. Competition to discover domestic and foreign production and the search f o r foreign supplies of crude and refined products w i l l be a t an increased rate provided the r e t u r n on capital employed w i l l j u s t i f y the enormous expenditures. 4.0 What, steps can and should be taken to prevent such shortages and their recurrence? 4.1 Governmental rules and regulations should be designed to encourage r a i h e r than discourage added investment i n exploration and production of crude oil and other r a w materials as well as new refinery construction. A rate of r e t u r n on this invested capital must l>e sufficient to generate risk capital i n amounts necessary to encourage these endeavors. I n p a r t i c u l a r , federal regulations of well head price of n a t u r a l gas going to interstate markets must be removed. Federal regulation of these prices is the prime cause not only of the present n a t u r a l gas shortages, but of other shortages, because i t distorted prices of a l l energy fields. Congress now has before i t a proposal which would provide a t a x credit of 7 C / C f o r unsuccessful domestic exploratory o i l and gas wells and a 12 r / c tax credit f o r successful wells. Passage of this proposal would f u r t h e r encourage domestic oil and gas development. 4.2 The competitive free enterprise system, which fundamentally allocates resources i n the marketplace, should be relied upon to provide the energy requirements of the nation. I n a free market, the forces of supply and demand -ensure t h a t the price of energy reflects its true value. M a r k e t forces, then, w i l l direct our l i m i t e d energy supplies i n t o their most efficient use, thereby eliminating w a s t e f u l consumption. A n d w i t h a l l forms of energy competing f o r a share of the market, the consumer w i l l be best assured of adequate supplies at a reasonable price. 4.3 The nation's environmental goals should be properly balanced w i t h its energy needs. Many environmental actions taken by government and private organizations have l i m i t e d the current a v a i l a b i l i t y of energy and restricted efforts to provide f o r f u r l her needs. Some moves have actually led to a waste of both energy and capital resources. Examples a r e : the h a l t i n g of the TransAlaskan pipeline and consequently the postponement or loss of substantial .supplies of oil when we were beginning to really need t h e m ; a near h a l t to f u r t h e r Alaskan search for new petroleum reserves; a slowdown i n offshore oil and gas lease sales and the blocking of exploration i n the A t l a n t i c Ocean (potentially our greatest f u t u r e petroleum source) ; the foreclosure of new refinery and t e r m i n a l sites on the East Coast needed to accommodate necessary imports, the combination of technology and environmental problems t h a t has disrupted the nuclear power program. 4.4 Speed up the actions of the courts and Congress when cases of national concern such as the Alaskan pipeline, offshore unloading facilities, and offshore exploration and d r i l l i n g are challenged. 4.5 Research efforts on alternate sources of energy and mass transportation are long term necessities, but dceisions regarding these efforts should be made soon. 4.6 The price control program as presently structured has a potential f o r aggravating shortages of petroleum products. The f u n c t i o n of price i n improvi n g the balance between supply and demand is restricted i f not nullified by mandatory price controls on the large producing and refining concerns. I have already mentioned the exceedingly l o w rate of r e t u r n on capital employed i n this segment of our business. Though adequate prices are necessary to correct this condition, we are l i m i t e d to 1.5% price increases on petroleum products. W e may not realize additional increases to cover accumulated cost increases w h i c h we were unable to recover through price increases d u r i n g Phase I I , but can react only to so-called "new cost increases", that is, cost increases since March (>. 1073. These UTI recovered accrued costs (amounting to almost 3c/c i n our case) were completely wiped out. Other industries are not so restricted. We believe that relaxation of these controls w i l l avoid f u r t h e r aggravation of existing shortages. 286 5.0 W h a t i m p a c t w i l gasoline shortages h a v e on other products f o r t h e r e m a i n d e r of t h i s year a n d on home h e a t i n g oils n e x t w i n t e r ? 5.1 Because of the unprecedented m o t o r f u e l demand f o r 1972, the i n d u s t r y w e n t i n t o t h e w i n t e r season w i t h d i s t i l l a t e stocks l o w e r t h a n n o r m a l . I n order to have o p t i m u m gasoline supply f o r t h e summer m o t o r f u e l season, i t w i l l b e necessary to produce m a x i m u m gasoline a t the refineries w h i c h w i l l mean e n t e r i n g the w i n t e r season w i t h lower t h a n desired d i s t i l l a t e stocks. 6.0 W h a t effect w i l l the recently announced replacement of t h e quota system have on t h i s year's supply of petroleum products? 6.1 Crude O i l — T h e t e m p o r a r y e l i m i n a t i o n of t a r i f f d u t y should encourage f u l l u t i l i z a t i o n of i m p o r t allocations t h i s year. T h e new system w i l l n o t e l i m i n a t e the problems of s u p p l y i n g M i d c o n t i n e n t refiners. 6.2 Gasoline—The 0.5tf per barrel reduction i n fee versus the f o r m e r d u t y is insufficient incentive f o r companies w i t h o u t fee-free allocations to signific a n t l y increase gasoline imports. T h e l i m i t e d supplies of gasoline a v a i l a b l e f o r i m p o r t w i l l lay i n a t costs considerably above domestic prices. I n a d d i t i o n , v e r y l i t t l e of the f o r e i g n gasoline w i l l meet our specifications. W i t h o u t t h e flexibility t o recover these h i g h e r costs t h r o u g h price increases, t h e incentive f o r t r a d i t i o n a l suppliers to i m p o r t w i l l be l i m i t e d . 6.3 H e a t i n g O i l — A l t h o u g h f o r e i g n h e a t i n g oil is usually more a v a i l a b l e t h a n gasoline, i t also commands a considerably h i g h e r price t h a n domestic oil. H e r e again, a b i l i t y to recover increased costs w o u l d determine t h e degree to w h i c h projected shortages are satisfied next w i n t e r . T h e new i n i t i a l security fee of per b a r r e l is 4.5$ above the f o r m e r d u t y a n d thus provides no i n c e n t i v e to import. 6.4 Propane—The e l i m i n a t i o n of d u t y or fee and the W e s t e r n H e m i s p h e r e r e s t r i c t i o n should encourage propane imports. The problems of overseas a v a i l a b i l i t y , l i m i t e d receiving f a c i l i t i e s , and h i g h cost remain, however. These h i g h e r costs must be offset by increased selling prices. 6.5 Economic s t a b i l i z a t i o n regulations as a d m i n i s t e r e d by t h e Cost of l i v i n g Council discourage the use of i m p o r t e d p e t r o l e u m products t o s a t i s i y the domestic shortage. T h e h i g h e r cost of i m p o r t e d p r o d u c t m u s t be recovered by h i g h e r prices on the p a r t i c u l a r i m p o r t e d volume. T h i s presents a n impossible s i t u a t i o n to the s e l l e r : H e is selling his domestically produced p r o d u c t a t a l o w e r price. W h i c h of h i s customers w i l l bear the much h i g h e r cost of the i m p o r t e d volume? The solution is to p e r m i t t h e f i r m to a d j u s t t h e price on a l l sales of the product, both domestic and imported, by a small amount, an a m o u n t sufficient t o recover the h i g h e r cost of t h e i m p o r t e d m a t e r i a l a n d the u s u a l percentage m a r k u p . F u r t h e r m o r e , i t m a y be almost impossible to m a k e a f o r e i g n purchase i f i t requires a long w a i t to secure an approved price a d j u s t ment f r o m the COLC. Such adjustments should be a u t o m a t i c — n o t negotiated i n d i v i d u a l l y w i t h price c o n t r o l a u t h o r i t i e s . Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. Ilennessy, president of Getty Oil Co.— En stern Operations. M r . IIENNESSY. Y e s , sir. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Your full statement will be included in the record. Mr. I T E N N E S S Y . I am Thomas Ilennessy, president of Getty Oil Co. —Eastern Operations, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Getty Oil Co. I speak only for my company. We are an eastern regional refiner and marketer of gasoline and related petroleum products for Getty Oil. We have a single refinery in Delaware City, Del., and market gasoline through some 2.500 retail outlets in 11 northeastern States from Maine to Maryland. We sell limited quantities of home-heating fuel and other middle distillates in the same States. 1. The causes of the gasoline shortage. For Getty Oil—Eastern, there is a shortage because of (a) Operational failures in two key units at our refinery; (b) The success of our premium-grade-only marketing program and increased demand for Getty premium gasoline; and (c) the- 287 increase in demand for gasoline caused by the newly installed antipollution devices on late model automobiles and the increasing numbers of vehicles on the road. Our first two stated reasons may be different- from those experienced by other companies. I n what we hope is a temporary measure, Getty Oil—Eastern—last- month started allocating gasoline to all of its customers which include distributors, dealers and farm and commercial accounts. They were reduced to 92 percent of their purchases based on their first-quarter 1973 volumes. Municipalities which render emergency services were not affected. 2. The effect of the gasoline shortage on the Nation. Reduction of gasoline available to the motoring public, of course, means less business, less travel, reduced acquisitions of real estate and less advertising. There will be an adverse impact on hotels, resorts and recreational business with diminished travel. 3. Effect on competition in the oil industry. There will continue to be intense competition. However, there will be a change on where i t takes place. Instead of in the retail market place, it will be competition throughout the industry to obtain supplies of refined products. Because of phase I I I , a retailer cannot buy from his supplier at a market dictated price but must pay the frozen price. This distorts and changes the market forces. A t such time in the future as refining capacity catches up witlj demand, we can expect a return to keen competition at the retail level. 4. What steps can and should be taken to prevent gasoline shortages and their recurrence? A. Gasoline should be allowed to seek its own competitive price level, free of artificial restraints, so that supply will be induced to meet demand by providing incentive to build new refineries. The Federal Power Commission finally recognized the same problem on natural gas and for the same reasons is permitting price increases. B. A reasonable price for gasoline will encourage the building of refineries. C. Some mutual understaTiding and compromise must be made with the environmentalists. The Alaska pipeline, super-ports, offshore drilling and methods to utilize high-sulfur oils, which have value, have been held up. So, also have nuclear powerplants been greatly delayed. They would have eased greatly the demand for fuel oils and natural gas. While environmental considerations are of paramount importance so also are the personal and industrial needs of our people. 5. The impact that gasoline shortages will have on other products for the remainder of this year and on home heating supplies next winter. For Getty Oil—Eastern, there wil be no significant impact. We will make and sell about the ^ame quantity of home-heating fuel as last year. Our refinery is running at full capacity. 6. The effect the replacement of the quota system with a tariff license fee program will have on this year's supply of petroleum products. Our Delaware refinery is designed and equipped to handle sour— high-sulfur—foreign crude oils, that is the bulk, of our crude slate 288 for this year. Therefore, there w i l l be no immediate effect on Getty Oil—Eastern. Also, we do not expect much foreign gasoline will be available. We do think Mr. Nixon's new program which will permit added fuel oil to be brought in for use as fuel oil will lessen next winter's fuel shortage. I n the longrun, however, we w i l l be forced to depend on foreign source crude oils unless there are continuing inducements to search for new domestic sources offshore on our Continental Shelf as well as onshore in Alaska and the other States. We believe a central Government office to handle all aspects of the energy program would be in our mutual best interest. Thank you, that is my complete statement. [The full statement of Mr. Hennessy follows:] STATEMENT OF T H O M A S M. I-IENNESSY, PRESIDENT OPERATIONS) OF G E T T Y OIL Co. (EASTERN INC. I am Thomas M. Hennessy, President of Getty Oil Company (Eastern Operations), Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Getty O i l Company. I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this Committee and to express Getty Eastern's views on the impact of possible shortages of gasoline and other petroleum products on the nation's economy. A t the outset I want to emphasize the l i m i t e d scope of Getty Eastern's operations and the consequent l i m i t e d scope of my comments. The Committee has received the views of several integrated oil companies which have operations not only i n a l l phases of the petroleum business i n the United States and abroad, but i n other forms of energy also. They and others have given the Committee a wide range of suggestions for coping w i t h what is not merely a shortage of gasoline, but on a broader scale an energy crisis. Getty Eastern, 011 the other hand, is essentially a regional refiner and marketer of gasoline and related petroleum products. We have a single refinery, located i n Delaware City, Delaware, and w7e market gasoline, p r i m a r i l y p r e m i u m grade, through some 2,500 service stations and other outlets i n only eleven Northeastern States, f r o m Maine to Maryland. We also market through Dist r i b u t o r s a limited quantity of home heating oil and other middle distillates i n the same States. By reason of the l i m i t e d scope of our operations, I w i l l not presume to advance proposals f o r solving a l l of the problems t h a t m i g h t be thought to have contributed to the energy crisis generally or to the shortage of gasoline i n particular. Nevertheless, I am hopeful that our views w i l l be helpful to the Committee. Senator Mclntyre's i n v i t a t i o n to appear before the Committee outlined six issues i n which the Committee was interested and to which our testimony should be directed. I w i l l comment briefly on each of these, i n the order listed i n Senator Mclntyre's letter. 1. T H E CAUSES OF T H E G A S O L I N E SHORTAGE I am f r a n k to admit that I do not know the magnitude of w h a t currently appears to be a real shortage of gasoline, and I do not know generally who is affected by i t or to what extent. I do know that Getty Eastern is short o f gasoline to such an extent t h a t wTe cannot meet the demand of our existing customers and have therefore been compelled to l i m i t our customers to 92 of their purchases during the first three months of 1973. Our customers are dealers who resell at retail to the motoring public: distributors who sell to dealers and consumers, and f a r m and commercial accounts such as municipalities, truck fleets, etc. Over 99% of our gasoline is sold under the Getty brand name or trademark. There are two broad, interdependent causes of this shortage. F i r s t , demand f o r gasoline has increased substantially by approximately 6% i n 1972 over 1971 and by approximately 6% i n the first four months of 1973 over the comparable period of 1972. This increase i n demand itself has diverse causes. The number of cars owned and used by Americans has increased dramatically. There are more than 86 m i l l i o n cars i n use today, and some 12 m i l l i o n cars 289 fire expected to be purchased i n 1973 alone. This is significant i n terms o f demand f o r gasoline, f o r because of the addition of exhaust emission control devices to newer model cars, new cars use considerably more gasoline t h a n older cars. Despite this increased consumption, compared to other products listed on the Government's consumer price index, gasoline has not increased i n price at nearly the same rate. W h i l e the consumer price index rose 25% f r o m 1967 to 1972, the price of gasoline at the pump rose only 13%. Getty Eastern has not increased its gasoline T a n k Wagon prices since about November, 1970. Gasoline is s t i l l a great buy, especially compared to steak, and a Sunday afternoon drive is s t i l l a relatively inexpensive f o r m of recreation f o r the average American f a m i l y compared w i t h many other forms of recreation, the costs of which have kept pace w i t h the general i n f l a t i o n a r y trends o f the past several years. On top of these general demand pressures, Getty Eastern's own demand f o r gasoline has risen dramatically i n the past three years because of our successf u l program of m a r k e t i n g only premium gasoline w h i c h is sold at a price less t h a n the premium gasoline of our competitors. W h i l e demand f o r gasoline was increasing, however, the capacity to meet t h a t demand was not keeping pace. I n the East, f o r example, there has not been a new refinery constructed since Getty Eastern's refinery came on stream i n 1957, a fact a t t r i b u t a b l e not only to local resistance to refineries but to uncertainties engendered by the Mandatory O i l I m p o r t Program. I n addition, some older refineries have closed, p a r t l y because of difficulties i n obtaining secure sources of domestic, sweet crude oil, while others have deferred possible expansions f o r the same reason. A t the same time, a n a t u r a l gas shortage, w h i c h is now recognized to exist by even the Federal Power Commission, led various u t i l i t i e s and i n d u s t r i a l users to switch f r o m this a r t i f i c i a l l y cheap source of energy, gas, to f u e l oil. T h i s switch, plus the switch of s t i l l other i n d u s t r i a l users and u t i l i t i e s f r o m higher s u l f u r coal to f u e l oil because of environmental considerations, has placed s t i l l another s t r a i n on refineries which were already producing f u e l oil and gasoline a t near capacity. The supply base simply has not been able to keep pace w i t h increased demand. I n Getty Eastern's case, the immediate cause of our gasoline shortage is easy to pinpoint. On February 29, 1972 we suffered a serious fire at our Delaware City Refinery, as a result of which the refinery's fluid coker u n i t , was out of operation u n t i l August 9, 1972. The coker provides feed stock f o r the catalytic cracker and this is p a r t i c u l a r l y i m p o r t a n t i n our manufacture of gasoline. Our gasoline production was seriously restricted at a time when our demand was increasing. I n order to make up the deficit, we both purchased and borrowed gasoline f r o m others. We are s t i l l p a y i n g back some of the gasoline we borrowed w i t h the result t h a t we are not yet able to devote the f u l l gasoline production of our refinery to the supply of our customers even though the coker has been back i n service f o r several months. I n February, 1973 we suffered a breakdown i n the catalytic cracking u n i t of our refinery, w i t h the result t h a t i t too was out of service f o r several weeks. I should add t h a t we are not alone i n refinery troubles. The A p r i l 2. 1973 issue of " T h e O i l and Gas J o u r n a l " referred to the f a c t t h a t i n March E x x o n had to shut down a large cat cracker, several months before its t u r n a r o u n d was due, and mentioned a lire and explosion which reduced throughput i n a crude u n i t at a Texaco refinery. These accidents are s t i l l another cause of the gasoline shortage. Faced w i t h a shortage of gasoline to supply our existing customers, wTe have endeavored to find supplies elsewhere. B u t the shortage we face is faced brothers p a r t l y f o r the reasons outlined earlier. Cargoes of gasoline on the U n i t e d States Gulf Coast are not available at a l l and foreign gasoline, i f available, does not meet our specifications. Gasoline costs, including duty, 24c tc 26$ per gallon currently f r o m European refineries. Moreover, because European refineries have a gasoline yield of only approximately 14%, compared w i t h an average gasoline yield of approximately 43% f o r United States refineries, and 60% at our Delaware Refinery, there obviously is not much opportunity f o r European refineries to increase their product i o n f o r the U n i t e d States market. F u r t h e r , the demand f o r gasoline i n Europe is itself increasing. We cannot expect diversion of vast quantities of gasoline f r o m Europe because either the supply and demand forces of the market place w i l l drive the price to such a point t h a t i t would be more economic to use such gasoline i n Europe, or governmental intervention can be expected to prevent 290 European consumers f r o m suffering shortages w h i l e European refined gasoline i s diverted to the United States markets. I n any event, i t is uneconomic f o r Getty Eastern to purchase gasoline a t the prices at which i t is now quoted f o r European cargoes. Domestic gasoline is n o t available f o r purchase. As Getty Eastern is subject to the price l i m i t a t i o n s imposed by the Price Commission i n its Phase I I I p r o g r a m r e l a t i n g to the petroleum industry, i f we should purchase foreign gasoline at c u r r e n t l y quoted prices, we w o u l d be compelled to sell i t f o r substantially less t h a n w h a t we h a d p a i d f o r it. W h e n we finally realized the magnitude of our gasoline shortage and realized t h a t we could not remedy i t by outside purchases, we were compelled to instit u t e a p r o g r a m of allocating gasoline among our various customers, t r e a t i n g t h e m u n i f o r m l y except to the extent required to accommodate those whose purchases were on a seasonal basis to such an extent t h a t application of the base period chosen would have been inappropriate, and those, such as municipalities, who must have gasoline f o r essential public services. 2. T H E EFFECT OF T H E G A S O L I N E SHORTAGE O X T I I E NATION I f the shortage of gasoline persists, we foresee many consequences. Consumpt i o n w i l l have to be curtailed. T h i s curtailment could have serious side effects. Petroleum companies, including Getty Eastern, m i g h t need fewer employees f o r the marketing, refining and transporting of gasoline, f o r the acquisition of real estate f o r service station sites, f o r advertising, and f o r other purposes w h i c h are related to efforts to increase the consumption of gasoline. W e have already drastically curtailed our advertising expenditures. A substantial curt a i l m e n t of consumption of gasoline by American families could have an adverse impact on hotels and motels, restaurants and recreational oriented businesses. I n those areas h a v i n g l i m i t e d mass transportation facilities, a c u r t a i l m e n t of consumption of gasoline could impede the a b i l i t y of some persons to t r a v e l to t h e i r places of work, w i t h a consequent adverse effect on economic productivity. I f consumption must be curtailed then the immediate question becomes, who is to decide on the criteria f o r curtailment? I n our view, there is only one answer. I t must be the free force of the m a r k e t place t h a t determines who w i l l purchase gasoline and how much and at w h a t price. Adherence to this principle has kept Americans supplied w i t h adequate sources of gasoline f o r decades, a n d I am convinced t h a t such adherence can continue to insure ample supply i n the future. I f so, then i n the long r u n the consequence of the gasoline shortage should be t h a t more refining capacity w i l l be b u i l t and supplies w i l l increase. 3. EFFECT O N C O M P E T I T I O N I N T H E O I L I N D U S T R Y , I a m sure there is apprehension among some of the member^ of the Committee t h a t a gasoline shortage w i l l lead to less competition. I do not believe t h a t to be a real danger. Rather, w h a t has happened and should continue to happen is a change of the emphasis on competition. Thus, as we now have our customers on allocation, Getty Eastern is not s t r i v i n g to induce new customers to purchase Getty Eastern gasoline, we are not actively looking f o r new service station sites, and we have curtailed our advertising. F r a n k l y , I am hopeful about supplies f o r the future, so I do not expect this condition to persist indefinitely. On the other hand, there is now keen competition among suppliers of gasol i n e f o r any extra supplies t h a t m i g h t become available. I n periods of oversupply, the competitive emphasis is on finding new customers or r e t a i n i n g old ones. I n periods of short supply i t is on securing sources of supply. These are different forms of competition, but they are the n a t u r a l consequence of the free enterprise system and the m a r k e t place. N o r do I believe t h a t competition among resellers, such as service station operators, w i l l be adversely affected by this shortage. We are i n f o r m e d t h a t some service station operators have curtailed hours of operation a n d / o r raised prices at the pump. Even i f these are the consequences of the shortage, I believe again t h a t they are merely a change of emphasis f r o m competing less on sales to motorists, to more f o r supplies f r o m refiners and other suppliers of gasoline. This, again, should be one of the direct consequences of the free enterprise system dictated by the market place. 291 U n f o r t u n a t e l y , because of the Phase I I I P r o g r a m r e l a t i n g t o t h e 23 sellers of gasoline, i n c l u d i n g Getty Eastern, t h i s l a s t phase of c o m p e t i t i o n s u b s t i t u t i o n is distorted. A service s t a t i o n operator w h o m i g h t w T ant t o purchase gasoline a t a h i g h e r p r i c e f r o m a seller a n d m a r k e t i t a t a l o w e r p r i c e t h a n h i s competitors, absorbing some of t h e increase by a r e d u c t i o n of h i s m a r g i n of p r o f i t i n exchange f o r the h i g h e r volume, m a y w e l l n o t be able to do so because u n d e r Phase I I I he cannot pay h i s supplier w h a t t h e m a r k e t w T ould dictate. I t is t h i s d i s t o r t i o n of m a r k e t forces t h a t leads me t o P o i n t 4. 4. W H A T STEPS C A N A N D S H O U L D BE T A K E N TO P R E V E N T G A S O L I N E SHORTAGES AND T H E H I REOCCURRENCE? As suggested i n m y response to issues 2 a n d 3, I a m convinced t h a t gasoline m u s t be a l l o w e d to find i t s competitive p r i c e level f r e e of a r t i f i c i a l r e s t r a i n t s such as imposed by the P r i c e Commission. Given other i n f l a t i o n a r y pressures,, t h i s may seem a d i s t a s t e f u l choice. B u t i t is n o w generally recognized t h a t i t was the F e d e r a l P o w e r Commission's efforts to keep t h e price a r t i f i c i a l l y l o w t h a t led to the acute shortage of n a t u r a l gas we face i n t h e U n i t e d States today. T h e economic forces t h a t determine w h e t h e r gasoline suppiles w i l l be adeq u a t e i n the f u t u r e are h a r d l y different. I f t h e price of gasoline is kept a r t i f i c i a l l y low, there w i l l be no incentive to b u i l d new r e f i n i n g capacity or t o expand e x i s t i n g refineries. I t is to securing t h i s c o m p e t i t i v e f r e e d o m t h a t we should address our a t t e n t i o n . O f course, the whole s o l u t i o n is n o t t h a t simple. E v e n g i v e n economic incentives, there are s t u m b l i n g blocks. W e l l - m e a n i n g l o c a l citizens a n d environm e n t a l i s t s m a y w e l l oppose n e w refineries or pipelines, such as the A l a s k a pipeline or superports w h i c h w o u l d f a c i l i t a t e crude o i l deliveries. A t t h e same t i m e as they delay c o n s t r u c t i o n of those f a c i l i t i e s v i t a l t o increasing supplies of gasoline a n d f u e l oil. some of the same people p r o m o t e exhaust emission controls f o r cars w h i c h i n t u r n cause cars to use even m o r e gasoline. Others have p o i n t e d to the need f o r a i d i n these areas, a n d I only a d d our voice to theirs. E n v i r o n m e n t a l improvements a n d controls a r e laudable, b u t t h e r e m u s t be some compromise i f w e a r e t o a v o i d serious gasoline, f u e l a n d other shortages. 5. T H E I M P A C T T H A T G A S O L I N E SHORTAGES W I L L H A V E O N O T H E R PRODUCTS FOR T H E R E M A I N D E R OF T H I S Y E A R A N D O N H O M E H E A T I N G S U P P L I E S N E X T W I N T E R Getty Eastern's gasoline shortage w i l l have no s i g n i f i c a n t effect on a n y o t h e r p r o d u c t produced a n d / o r m a r k e t e d by G e t t y E a s t e r n , p a r t i c u l a r l y h o m e h e a t i n g oil. W h i l e wTe sell only l i m i t e d q u a n t i t i e s of home h e a t i n g oil, we expect to have about the same q u a n t i t y f o r sale n e x t w i n t e r as w e d i d t h i s p a s t w i n t e r . I n t h a t regard, o u r refinery is n o w o p e r a t i n g a t i t s m a x i m u m p r a c t i c a l capacity, a n d is o p t i m i z e d to m a n u f a c t u r e gasoline. E v e n w i t h changes i n o u r crude slate we could not increase o u r gasoline yields s i g n i f i c a n t l y . President N i x o n ' s n e w i m p o r t p r o g r a m p e r m i t s the i m p o r t a t i o n of s u b s t a n t i a l q u a n t i t i e s of f u e l o i l f o r resale only as f u e l o i l i n D i s t r i c t I ( t h e N o r t h e a s t e r n U n i t e d States) commencing A p r i l 1, 1973. T h i s measure should t e n d t o h e l p the supply of h e a t i n g o i l t h i s coming w i n t e r . 6. T I I E EFFRCT T N E R E P L A C E M E N T OF T H E QUOTA S Y S T E M W I T H A T A R I F F L I C E N S E FEE PROGRAM W I L L H A V E O X T H I S Y E A R ' S S U P P L Y OF P E T R O L E U M PRODUCTS So f a r as Getty E a s t e r n is concerned, the change i n the i m p o r t p r o g r a m has not affected our plans. As the D e l a w a r e refinery was especially equipped to h a n d l e l o w cost sour ( h i g h s u l f u r ) f o r e i g n c r u d e oils, u n l i k e m a n y domestic refineries w h i c h m u s t have greater q u a n t i t i e s of sweet ( l o w s u l f u r ) crude oils, we h a d a l r e a d y p r o g r a m m e d the refinery f o r s u b s t a n t i a l f o r e i g n crude f o r 1973. A s i n d i c a t e d i n m y comments on the cause of t h e shortage of gasoline, I do not believe t h a t t h i s new p r o g r a m w i l l cause s u b s t a n t i a l a d d i t i o n a l i m p o r t s of f o r e i g n gasoline, either f o r Getty E a s t e r n or f o r t h e rest of the i n d u s t r y . I n closing I w o u l d l i k e to stress a final p o i n t . W h i l e t h i s Committee is looki n g a t the gasoline shortage a n d i t s causes and cures, another Committee of the Senate is considering other aspects of the energy crisis, i n c l u d i n g the shortage of f u e l oil. W e do n o t believe i t f r u i t f u l t o f r a g m e n t t h e study of the f o r m s of energy supplied by the p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y . T h e shortage of gasoline is 292 related to the shortage of n a t u r a l gas and f u e l oil and to the s w i t c h f r o m coal to f u e l oil, and the causes and cures of any one energy source can only be understood and implemented as p a r t of a more comprehensive plan. W e believe t h a t President N i x o n ' s recently announced energy policy recognized the i n t e r r e l a t i o n of these m a t t e r s and wTe urge t h i s Committee to do so also. Thank you for your thoughtful attention. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Thank you, Mr. Hennessy. I would like to ask Mr. Morrison, in discussing the new tariff system, you state this w i l l not eliminate the problems of supply midcontinent suppliers. Can you elaborate on this and can you give the committee your •suggestions ? Mr. MORRISON. I think there are two problems involved here. The inability of the refineries to handle the sour crude and the logistics problem of getting imported crude into the Midwest. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Mr. Morrison, i t is my understanding your company has, .and is presently withdrawing your market operations from various sections of the country, particularly from New England; I know you are familiar with this. This has caused tremendous economic hardship and supply dislocation in that area. Of particular concern to me is the Phillips jobber in New Hampshire, the Aranco Oil Co., who supplies 37 stations in my State, selling over 13 million gallons of gas a year. Are you familiar with the particular situation at all? Mr. MORRISON. Yes, Mr. Chairman. I do not believe it is appropriate for me to discuss that particular situation. My counsel is here and has a court order covering the litigation. As you know, that is in litigation at present. I f you would like to have it for the record, it could be made available. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Is there the litigation against you. M r . MORRISON. Y e s , s i r . Senator M C I N T Y R E . A l l I have i n the letter is they suffered a crushing defeat in the New Hampshire Federal Court. That must be the case you are referring to. They do not tell me who the defendant is. They are now appealing that. Mr. MORRISON. Thank you, sir. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I do not want to get into it. This is one of the questions that you fellows are sloughing off. You may be right but I don't think so. Mr. MORRISON. Let me comment on the withdrawal. We made an announcement on June 10, 1972, to withdraw from 10 Eastern States, except a small portion of east central Pennsylvania. A t the time we made that decision, we had no knowledge of the gasoline shortage, now, that we are confronted with. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I say to you the same thing I said to the three former gentlemen. There have been a lot of factors that brought this shortage about, but one of the factors has been stupidity on the part of the oil companies in not knowing how to estimate the demand that was occurring in this country. ^ I know you do not want to take any of that blame. Go ahead and cite all the things that caused it. Mr. MORRISON. I am sure we are to blame to some degree. As has been stated by gentlemen before me, over the years we have overestimated and we have had more refining capacity than needed. There are certain things that took place last fall that we, in the 293 industry, were not able to anticipate, that being the tremendous upsurge in the use or consumption of motor fuel and the early extreme cold winter that we had. starting in late September through December, plus the fact in the first quarter of 1978 it appears that the motor fuel consumption is going to be up something in excess of (> percent over what it was in 1972, so these are things that we. in the marketing end of the business, have no control over or we as a company in making our projections, did not have control over. I do not think we can control the weather. We projected our needs, based on a normal winter season. Senator M C I N T Y R E . When did you make vour announcement, in 1972? Mr. M O R R I S O N . I believe we made that announcement. Senator, on June If), 1972. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I have figures here for total U.S. stocks, motor gasoline, thousands of barrels, year 1971, 1972, and 1973. And I do note that the figure starts to decline in March 1972 where it goes from 242,804, to 240,744 and it starts declining until we have the figure for April, 27, 1973, down to 205,000. So it was a v e r y opportune situation. Your case is in litigation, but it is this sort of a letter from a constituent who says look, these fellows came in and sold me a big bill of goods a number of y e a r s ago, you are a good company, we are going to give you a hundred percent financing, they took the bait and they ran with it—they have 37 stations, they are the biggest independent in this State of New Hampshire—the largest jobber, and now on May 31, the contract expires and they are down to what the Alabama fellow said yesterday, to zero oil. I t may be right as Mr. Sellers said, that this shakedown is a good idea, to get rid of some of these weak members in the marketing field, but it is pretty hard on them. I assure yon of that. I guess you realize that. Now a question for Mr. Hennessy. On page 10 of your statement you urge the congressional committees not fragment the review of various forms of energy supplied bv the oil industry. Probably, because your company does not produce large quantities of heating oil, you may not be aware of this, but this committee, one of its subcommittees, lias held fuel oil hearings annually for the last 5 years, and other witnesses who appeared here earlier could tell you this, sir. I would like to make it clear that this committee is concerned during these hearings with the allocation amendment to the Economic Stabilization Act which is clearly within our jurisdiction. I do note, too, that Mr. Sellers also said on page 10 of his statement : Our c u r r e n t supply problem is aggravated by the f a c t t h a t some of our customers both branded and unbranded marketers, whosse contracts have expired have been unable to find a new supply. Tn some instances we have been able to continue to supply some product to these customers so t h a t they can stay i n business u n t i l they locate a new source of supply. That is what Oiteo had to say about the problem that T think you are contending there with respect to Aranco Oil in New Hampshire. 294 Senator Tower, do you have any questions? Senator T O W E R . No questions of this witness. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Has your company, Phillips Petroleum, attempted to or constructed a new refinery in the United States in the. last 5 years ? Mr. M O R R I S O N . NO, we have not. Senator M C I N T Y R E . H O W about Getty ? M r . HENNESSY. NO, sir. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I t is all because of environmental prohibitions? Mr. H E N N E S S Y . N O , sir, our return on investment last year was 2 percent. I cannot get interested. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Your return on investment was 2 percent? Mr. H E N N E S S Y . Yes, sir, it was largely caused by operational problems at our Delaware plant. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Getty is getting out of marketing? Mr. H E N N E S S Y . Not to my knowledge. Senator M C I N T Y R E . That is what they told me yesterday. I have got one bad tin ear. Thank you very much, gentlemen, for being here. I appreciate your coming, particularly at a very difficult time for you, because of the changing situation out there. Thank you. We call as our next witness Mr. Frank N. Ikard, president of the American Petroleum Institute. Senator T O W E R . Mr. Chairman, I wouild like to welcome Frank Ikard to this committee. He is a fellow Texan of mine. As a matter of fact, he was my Congressman for 10 years and is from my hometown. He was a Democratic Congressman, I might add. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Wonderful, at least he had good sense there. Senator T O W E R . Since that time we have elected a Republic Congressman from that district. I n any case, Frank Ikard is a man who knows his subject extremely well and I think is one of the statesmen of the Petroleum Industry and I think that the committee will have much to learn from his testimony here today. I just wanted to express that word of welcome to him. STATEMENT OF FRANK IKARD, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE Mr. I K A R D . Thank you very much, Senator Tower. Mr. Chairman, I will, as you have indicated, paraphrase or summarize my remarks and file my whole statement for the record, i f I may. Senator M C I N T Y R E . I do appreciate your being here today. We realize i t came at a very difficult time for you. Anything you can do in the interest of time to condense your statement, we would appreciate. Mr. I K A R D . I would be very happy to just submit myself for questioning. Senator M C I N T Y R E . That is agreed. [Mr. Ikard's full statement follows:] 295 S T A T E M E N T OF F R A N K N . I K A R D , P R E S I D E N T , A M E R I C A N P E T R O L E U M INSTITUTE M y name is F r a n k N. I k a r d , and I am president of the American Petroleum Institute. The I n s t i t u t e is a n a t i o n a l trade association representing a l l branches of the petroleum i n d u s t r y , i n c l u d i n g refiners and marketers of gasoline a n d other petroleum products. I appreciate the opportunity to address some of the aspects of t h i s most i m p o r t a n t question being considered by t h i s Committee. Before doing so, I would like to explain t h a t I can speak only to those matters w h i c h come w i t h i n the scope of the I n s t i t u t e ' s program. I am not i n a position to discuss any matters having to do w i t h the competitive relationships among i n d i v i d u a l companies, nor w i t h the plans and decisions made by the companies relating t o t h e i r products. L e t me begin by touching briefly on some of the causes behind the t i g h t gasoline supply situation. Consumer demand f o r motor gasoline was at an all-time peak in 1972. And t h e g r o w t h i n demand i n 1972—some 6.3 per cent over 1971—was the highest annual increase since 1955. The Office of Emergency Preparedness estimates t h a t the rate of increase i n 1973 w i l l again be w e l l above five per cent. D a t a available f o r the first t w o months of 1973 indicate t h a t actual demand has exceeded the OEP estimate. One reason f o r the sharp increase i n demand f o r motor gasoline has been the exceptionally brisk sale of new cars. F o r the first quarter of 1973, f o r example, U.S. automobile manufacturers produced nearly 20 per cent more cars t h a n they d i d over the same period a year earlier. A second reason is t h a t many of the newer models are getting fewer miles per gallon than the older cars they are replacing. General George Lincoln, shortly before he r e t i r e d as director of the Office of Emergency Preparedness, stated t h a t auto emission standards f o r new-model automobiles "probably cost us 300.0(H) barrels a day now, w i t h the consequent impact on an already t i g h t refinery situation, and may cost us twTo m i l l i o n b / d by 1980." A t h i r d reason is the public's stepped-up demand f o r a i r conditioning (69 per cent), automatic transmission (90 per cent), and other power-equipment options (such as brakes, windows, seats) on their new cars. Use of such options also lowers the miles-per-gallon ratio. The f o u r t h and final reason is t h a t more Americans are seeking away-fromhome vacations. As a result, i n recent years the sale of t r a v e l trailers, pleasure boats and snowmobiles has risen substantially—as has other gasoline-consuming vehicles and equipment. On the supply side, the need f o r refineries to produce m a x i m u m volumes of distillate fuels ( t h a t is, heating oil and diesel fuel) throughout this past w i n t e r also had a significant impact on gasoline stocks. A d m i t t e d l y , refiners have some—though l i m i t e d — f l e x i b i l i t y to adjust t h e i r operations and thereby to v a r y the percentage yield of products such as gasoline and home heating fuels. I t is obvious, however, t h a t increasing the yield of one product can only be done by an offsetting decrease i n the yields of other products f r o m a barrel of crude oil. As a result, stocks of motor gasoline f o r the week ending A p r i l 27, 1972 were some 21 m i l l i o n barrels below the level of the comparable week of 1972—or down about ten per cent. This situation has occurred even though motor gasoline production by U.S. refineries d u r i n g t h a t period increased by some 36 m i l l i o n barrels above the output f o r the same period i n 1972—an all-time record f o r the first f o u r months of any year. Domestic refiners are under great pressure to sustain t h e i r production of gasoline at the m a x i m u m level possible. One of the basic problems, however, is t h a t there is j u s t not sufficient refining capacity here i n the United States to meet the t o t a l needs of the American public f o r petroleum products. I ' l l have more t o say about this problem a l i t t l e later. I am also attaching t o my statement, data on domestic refining capacity and on stocks of gasoline, distiilates, and j e t fuels f o r every week since the beginning of 1971. 301 T h e p r o b l e m of energy supplies goes w e l l beyond o i l a n d o i l products. S h o r t ages of one energy source place a n increased b u r d e n on o t h e r sources. T h i s became p a i n f u l l y evident t h i s past w i n t e r , w h e n n a t u r a l gas s h o r t f a l l s i n some p a r t s of the c o u n t r y caused a s h a r p increase i n d e m a n d f o r d i s t i l l a t e f u e l oils. O i l , i n effect, has become w h a t m i g h t be called " t h e s w i n g f u e l . " Coat has been r u l e d out of some m a r k e t s because of e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r i c t i o n s . N u c l e a r p o w e r p l a n t s are n o t coming on s t r e a m as q u i c k l y as a n t i c i p a t e d o r hoped, p a r t l y because of e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r a i n t s . M a n y l a r g e users o f energy have t h e r e f o r e s w u n g over to oil. N o w h e r e is t h i s s w i n g better i l l u s t r a t e d t h a n i n t h e use of d i s t i l l a t e s b y t h e electric u t i l i t y m a r k e t . B e t w e e n 1967 a n d 1972, demand f o r d i s t i l l a t e s by u t i l i ties increased d r a m a t i c a l l y . I n 1967, d i s t i l l a t e c o n s u m p t i o n b y u t i l i t i e s wTas a t a n i n s i g n i f i c a n t level of 8,000 b a r r e l s a day. B y 1970, i t h a d increased t o 68 t h o u s a n d b a r r e l s a day, a n d i n 1971, t o 97 t h o u s a n d b a r r e l s a day. I n 1972, t h e increase w a s t o a v e r y s i g n i f i c a n t 186 t h o u s a n d b a r r e l s a d a y — w r h i c h i s a p p r o x i m a t e l y 80 per cent of t o t a l d i s t i l l a t e use by a l l o f A m e r i c a ' s r a i l r o a d s each day. C l e a r l y , d i v e r s i o n of d i s t i l l a t e f u e l to generate e l e c t r i c i t y — a n a c t i o n m a d e necessary by t h e i n a b i l i t y of u t i l i t i e s t o use coal a n d heavier oils, or to o b t a i n n a t u r a l gas f o r peak s h a v i n g periods—is a n inefficient a n d uneconomical use of t h i s fuel. D i s t i l l a t e s should l o g i c a l l y be used t o heat homes, s m a l l office b u i l d i n g s a n d schools, a n d t o r u n diesel engines i n f a r m e q u i p m e n t a n d o t h e r vehicles. Refinery emphasis on p r o d u c t i o n of d i s t i l l a t e fuels, a n d c o n s u m p t i o n o f these f u e l s by electric u t i l i t i e s a n d o t h e r l a r g e f u e l users, h a v e t h u s h a d a decided i m p a c t on b o t h m o t o r gasoline a n d diesel f u e l supplies. A r e t h e r e answers t o t h i s a n d other energy supply problems? W e believe so. T h e a n s w e r s — b o t h i n the n e a r - t e r m a n d over t h e n e x t decade or s o — w i l l n o t b e easy t o come by, b u t they do exist. F i r s t , some possible n e a r - t e r m answers. O n e : m a k e m a x i m u m use of the flexibility p r o v i d e d i n t h e Clean A i r A c t f o r a c h i e v i n g p r i m a r y a i r q u a l i t y standards. U n d e r t h e A c t , the E P A A d m i n i s t r a t o r m a y g r a n t a t w o - y e a r extension t o a state i f he determines t h a t " t h e necessary technology or o t h e r a l t e r n a t i v e s are n o t a v a i l a b l e or w i l l not be a v a i l a b l e soon enough t o p e r m i t compliance." T o some extent, the c u r r e n t energy p r o b l e m has been a g g r a v a t e d by r e g u l a t i o n s t h a t p r o h i b i t t h e use of h i g h e r - s u l p h u r f u e l s — such as coal a n d h i g h - s u l p h u r r e s i d u a l oil. T h e E n v i r o n m e n t a l P r o t e c t i o n Agency announced o n M a y 7 t h a t average s u l f u r oxides concentrations i n 32 A m e r i c a n cities h a d decreased by about 5 0 per cent betv/een 1964 a n d 1971. O f course, there have been f u r t h e r r e d u c t i o n s since 1971. I n v i e w of t h i s s u b s t a n t i a l progress, i t m a y w e l l be t h a t some r e l a x a t i o n of the t i m e t a b l e f o r a c h i e v i n g m u c h l o w e r concentrations is j u s t i f i e d i f i t can help ease t h e c u r r e n t energy s i t u a t i o n . T w o : accelerate the g r a n t i n g of p e r m i t s to nuclear p o w e r p l a n t s t o c o m p l e t e t h e i r f a c i l i t i e s or to begin on-stream operations. I a m c e r t a i n l y no e x p e r t o n nuclear p o w e r f a c i l i t i e s , b u t i t is m y u n d e r s t a n d i n g t h a t nuclear p o w e r has also suffered to some e x t e n t f r o m e n v i r o n m e n t a l restrictions. A c c o r d i n g to one p u b l i c u t i l i t y company, no n u c l e a r c o n s t r u c t i o n or o p e r a t i n g p e r m i t s w e r e issued i n t h e U n i t e d States between e a r l y 1971 a n d t h e m i d d l e o f 1972. I f a l l o f t h e nuclear u n i t s experiencing any k i n d of delay wTere i n operation, the i n crease i n t o t a l electric p o w e r g e n e r a t i n g capacity w o u l d be significant. I t is obvious t h a t increased a v a i l a b i l i t y a n d use of energy f r o m coal a n d n u c l e a r p o w e r w o u l d s u b s t a n t i a l l y relieve t h e unprecedented pressure o n p e t r o l e u m demand. T h r e e : energy conservation. W e m u s t a l l place g r e a t e r emphasis on seeking more efficient a n d w i s e use o f energy. T h e I n s t i t u t e a n d i t s member companies endorse a n d s u p p o r t p r o g r a m s t o encourage everyone t o conscientiously look f o r w a y s to use energy m o r e c a r e f u l l y — i n t h e home, i n t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , i n b u s i ness a n d i n d u s t r y , i n a g r i c u l t u r e , a n d i n government. 297 Specifically w i t h r e g a r d to gasoline, several o i l companies, i n recent p u b l i c messages, have e s t i m a t e d t h a t m o t o r i s t s w o u l d use 11 per cent less gasoline by r e d u c i n g h i g h w a y top speeds f r o m 60 to 50 miles per hour. Gasoline savings could also be achieved by keeping car engines p r o p e r l y tuned, by u s i n g carpools where possible, a n d by a v o i d i n g unnecessary car t r i p s . E n e r g y savings c a n be achieved i n m a n y other w a y s as w e l l . T h e A m e r i c a n P e t r o l e u m I n s t i t u t e a n d i n d i v i d u a l o i l companies are, t h r o u g h w r i t t e n a n d broadcast messages, seeking to a l e r t consumers t o t h e i m p o r t a n c e of energy efficiency a n d to w a y s i n w h i c h they can save on energy consumption. Significant energy savings can also be obtained by i n d u s t r y t h r o u g h t h e development of technology to more efficiently convert f u e l i n t o e l e c t r i c i t y , a n d t h r o u g h t i g h t e r controls on c u r r e n t p l a n t practices. These a n d other efforts by a l l segments of the p u b l i c can help slow t h e g r o w t h i n energy demand, and they should be v i g o r o u s l y pursued. These efforts, however, cannot alone bridge the e v e r - w i d e n i n g gap between consumer requirements a n d available supplies. X o r can they be looked upon as a s u b s t i t u t e f o r actions designed to e x p a n d e x p l o r a t i o n , p r o d u c t i o n , a n d dist r i b u t i o n t o consumers of a l l energy sources. L e t me n o w t u r n t o some longer-term steps t h a t m u s t be t a k e n n o w t o m a k e new a n d expanded energy resources a v a i l a b l e to the nation's consumers. O n e : deregulate the field price of n a t u r a l gas. T h e p e t r o l e u m i n d u s t r y is convinced t h a t l e g i s l a t i o n d e r e g u l a t i n g n a t u r a l gas field prices i s the best means of s t i m u l a t i n g a d d i t i o n a l supplies of t h i s e n v i r o n m e n t a l l y desirable f u e l , a n d encouraging the use of gas f o r i t s most a p p r o p r i a t e purposes. T w o : t a k e p r o m p t a c t i o n to b r i n g the estimated 10 b i l l i o n b a r r e l s of crude o i l a l r e a d y discovered i n Prudhoe B a y to U.S. consumers. T h i s w o u l d also encourage the f u r t h e r search on A l a s k a ' s N o r t h Slope to determine w h e t h e r o r not other large o i l a n d gas fields m a y exist there. A d m i t t e d l y , N o r t h Slope o i l w i l l n o t be a v a i l a b l e to consumers u n t i l perhaps 1977, a t the earliest, even i f permission t o b u i l d the t r a n s - A l a s k a pipeline were g r a n t e d tomorrow'. B u t , every m o n t h t h a t passes w i t h o u t a c t i o n increases the gap between f u t u r e domestic supply a n d demand, a n d f u r t h e r delays m a k i n g these much-needed reserves of o i l a v a i l a b l e to consumers. T h r e e : schedule more f r e q u e n t a n d l a r g e r lease sales on t h e U.S. Outer C o n t i n e n t a l Shelf, consistent w i t h sound e n v i r o n m e n t a l considerations. T h e OCS offers the greatest p o t e n t i a l source f o r new7 domestic o i l a n d gas supplies. A n d development of t h i s source could go a l o n g wTay t o w a r d h o l d i n g down, i n the f u t u r e , the n a t i o n ' s g r o w i n g dependence on f o r e i g n sources f o r o i l a n d gas. Q u i t e obviously, i m p o r t s w i l l have t o be increased s u b s t a n t i a l l y over t h e n e x t decade, i f the n e a r - t e r m energy requirements of the A m e r i c a n people are to be met. B u t w^e m u s t not a l l o w dependence on f o r e i g n sources to become overdependence—with adverse consequences to the nation's economic, m i l i t a r y a n d consumer security. F o u r : develop deepwater p o r t s t o accommodate the increased level of i m p o r t s a n d t h e v e r y large c a r r i e r s c o m i n g i n t o ocean service t h r o u g h o u t t h e w o r l d . These l a r g e r vessels—and m a n y of t h e m are i n the 250,000 d w t . class—are designed t o reduce the p e r - b a r r e l t r a n s p o r t a t i o n cost of oil. A n d they offer, as w e l l , the o p p o r t u n i t y to lessen the chance of an accidental oil spill, by r e d u c i n g the n u m b e r of t r i p s by t a n k e r s i n a n d out of h e a v i l y t r a v e l l e d harbors, where the chance of such a n accident is greater. A t present, however, no i>ort f a c i l i t i e s i n the U n i t e d States can accommodate these very l a r g e carriers. Several p o r t s on the West Coast are capable of receiving vessels u p t o 150,000 d w t . B u t o n l y t w o p o r t s on the E a s t Coast can handle t a n k e r s u p to 80,000 dwt.. and only a f e w p o r t s on the G u l f Coast can accommodate t a n k e r s up to 70,000 d w t . Comp a r e d to 70,000 d w t . tankers, use of 250,000 d w t . c a r r i e r s w o u l d reduce t h e number of ship calls by 75 per cent. F i v e : encourage expansion of domestic r e f i n i n g capacity to m a n u f a c t u r e the increased volumes of gasoline a n d other products f r o m b o t h f o r e i g n a n d do- 298 m e s t i e crude oil. B y 1985, consumer r e q u i r e m e n t s f o r o i l p r o d u c t s w i l l , i t i s estimated, reach some 25 m i l l i o n b a r r e l s a day, compared t o the a p p r o x i m a t e l y 17 m i l l i o n b a r r e l s per day expected to be consumed t h i s year. T h e r e are, i n t h e U n i t e d States today, about 250 refineries, w i t h a t o t a l capacity of j u s t over 13 m i l l i o n b a r r e l s d a i l y . These refineries are o p e r a t i n g a t t h e h i g h e s t l e v e l possible u n d e r c u r r e n t c i r c u m s t a n c e s ; m a n y of t h e m a r e o p e r a t i n g w e l l above t h e i r r a t e d capacity. S u b s t a n t i a l a d d i t i o n a l r e f i n i n g capacity is t h e r e f o r e r e q u i r e d here i n t h e U n i t e d States. W e w i l l need, by 1985, t h e e q u i v a l e n t of some 55 n e w refineries, each w i t h an average capacity of 150,000 b a r r e l s a day. Some of t h i s increased capacity m a y be a t t a i n e d by e x p a n d i n g e x i s t i n g refineries, and such expansion is, to some degree, c u r r e n t l y t a k i n g place. B u t t h e o v e r r i d i n g need is f o r n e w refineries. Yet, none i s c u r r e n t l y u n d e r construct i o n i n t h e U n i t e d States. F o u r m a j o r problems are i n h i b i t i n g the c o n s t r u c t i o n of new U.S. refineries. O n e : s i t i n g of these f a c i l i t i e s , w h i c h has been complicated by e n v i r o n m e n t a l opposition. One East Coast state, D e l a w a r e , has banned r e f i n e r y c o n s t r u c t i o n a n d o t h e r heavy i n d u s t r i a l i n s t a l l a t i o n s a l o n g i t s coastline on e n v i r o n m e n t a l grounds, a n d several other states are considering s i m i l a r action. Y e t , i d e a l l y a n d p r a c t i c a l l y , too, refineries s h o u l d be located near areas of l a r g e d e m a n d a n d close t o p o r t f a c i l i t i e s . T w o : the sources a n d k i n d s o f c r u d e o i l t o be r u n i n refineries. M a n y people m a y assume t h a t refineries can process any c r u d e oil. I n f a c t , each refinery i s designed t o process specific types of oil. A refinery designed t o operate on " s w e e t " ( t h a t is, r e l a t i v e l y l o w - s u l f u r ) c r u d e o i l cannot process t h e " s o u r " ( t h a t is, h i g h e r - s u l f u r ) crude o i l w h i c h is f o u n d i n c e r t a i n fields a r o u n d t h e -world. T h e corrosive h i g h - s u l f u r crudes could n o t be processed i n a r e f i n e r y designed t o h a n d l e " s w e e t " crude w i t h o u t d a m a g i n g the u n i t s a n d p i p i n g i n t h a t refinery. A company p l a n n i n g a newT r e f i n e r y t h e r e f o r e needs t o know T w i t h c e r t a i n t y t h e exact I r i n d of o i l i t w i l l be processing. A n d i t m u s t k n o w t h a t such o i l w i l l be a v a i l a b l e i n sufficient q u a n t i t i e s . U n f o r t u n a t e l y , sweet crude supply i s presently t i g h t , w o r l d w i d e . A n d even i f a sweet-crude r e f i n e r y c o u l d overcome the mechanical problems of processing " s o u r " crude, such a r e f i n e r y — b y u s i n g sour c r u d e — c o u l d n o t meet e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s t r i c t i o n s on r e f i n e r y emissions. T h r e e : p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t specifications. T h i s especially affects r e f i n e r y outp u t of gasoline. T h e r e f i n e r today does not k n o w w i t h c e r t a i n t y j u s t w h a t q u a n t i t i e s of d i f f e r e n t types of gasoline w i l l be r e q u i r e d f o r 1975 a n d 1976 'cars. P a r t of t h a t u n c e r t a i n t y has t o do w i t h the i n t e r i m a n d l o n g e r - t e r m steps t h a t w i l l have t o be t a k e n by the a u t o m o t i v e i n d u s t r y t o meet f e d e r a l s t a n d a r d s . F o u r : t h e economics of refinery construction. A large, new refinery can cost over $200 m i l l i o n . T o construct a l l of the needed n e w domestic refineries over t h e n e x t dozen years w i l l r e q u i r e a n i n v e s t m e n t of some $11 b i l l i o n . Obviously, p r o b l e m s i n v o l v i n g t h e s i t i n g of refineries, sources a n d k i n d s o f c r u d e o i l available, a n d u n c e r t a i n t i e s as t o p r o d u c t specifications have a n e g a t i v e i n fluence on o i l company decisions r e g a r d i n g the c o n s t r u c t i o n of n e w grassroots refineries. T h e r e is t h u s an u r g e n t need to resolve these p r o b l e m s a n d uncert a i n t i e s , as w e l l as t o p e r m i t t h e recovery o f r e f i n e r y c o n s t r u c t i o n costs i n t h e marketplace. I f r e f i n e r y expansion is n o t p e r m i t t e d a n d encouraged i n t h i s c o u n t r y n e w refineries w i l l have t o be b u i l t a b r o a d — w i t h a consequent loss o f A m e r i c a n j o b s a n d a f u r t h e r d r a i n on t h e n a t i o n ' s balance of payments. 299 S u m m a r y of A m e r i c a n P e t r o l e u m I n s t i t u t e s u r v e y of u t i l i z a t i o n a f o p e r a b l e r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t y i n t h e U . S . d u r i n g w e e k ended, M a r . 3 0 , 1 9 7 3 [Barrels of 42 gallons] Daily average Operable refinery c a p a c i t y r e p o r t e d t o A P I as of Dec. 31, 1972 13, 556, 312 Operable rofinerv c a p a c i t y r e p o r t e d b y respondents t o s u r v e y questionnaire 1 1 12,904,013 Percent of t o t a l operable capacity 95.^2 Crude runs r e p o r t e d 12, 036, 558 Crude runs versus operable c a p a c i t y —867, 455 Percent u t i l i z a t i o n of operable c a p a c i t y 93. 3 Operable capacity of companies whose crude runs exceeded c a p a c i t y . 5, 982, 957 Crude runs r e p o r t e d 6, 345, 350 Crude runs i n excess of operable capacity + 3 6 2 , 393 Percent u t i l i z a t i o n of operable capacity 106. 1 Operable capacity of companies whose crude runs were belowcapacity 6, 921, 056 Crude runs r e p o r t e d 5, 691, 208 Crude r u n s below operable capacity — 1, 229, 848 P c r c c n t u t i l i z a t i o n of operable capacity 82. 2 Reasons for r u n n i n g below c a p a c i t y : (a) S h u t d o w n f o r t u r n a r o u n d , mechanical repairs, explosion a n d fire (b) L a c k of crude o i l (c) L a c k of sweet crude o i l (d) Crude u n i t m e t a l l u r g y (e) Necessity of r u n n i n g grades of crude heavier t h a n n o r m a l l y used.: (f) Processing oils other t h a n crude (g) D o w n s t r e a m c a p a c i t y l i m i t a t i o n s (h) E n v i r o n m e n t a l constraints on refinery operations (i) A s p h a l t p l a n t s h u t d o w n for seasonal reasons (j) R e p o r t e d c a p a c i t y overstated (k) U n a v a i l a b i l i t y of other r a w materials (V* Other reasons: (1) F l o o d conditions (2) Crude receipt l i m i t e d p e n d i n g c o n s t r u c t i o n of new wharf now awaiting U.S. Government approval (3) Weather delayed t a n k e r (4) Other miscellaneous reasons Total 531, 710 238, 685 139, 847 0 11,168 92, 524 58, 610 15, 000 57, 747 15, 000 1, 491 4,300 41, 279 6, 800 15, 687 68, 066 Grand Total 1, 229, 848 Source: A m e r i c a n P e t r o l e u m I n s t i t u t e , D i v i s i o n of Statistics a n d Economics, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . , A p r i l 10, 1973. 90-183—73 20 300 TOTAL U.S. STOCKS—MOTOR GASOLINE [Thousands of barrels] API end of week Week ended Jan. 5,1973... Jan. 12,1973.. Jan. 19,1973.. Jan. 26,1973... Feb. 2,1973... Feb.9,1973... Feb. 16,1973.. Feb. 23,1973.. Mar. 2,1973... Mar. 9,1973... Mar. 16,1973.. Mar. 23,1973.. Mar. 30,1973.. Apr. 6,1973... Apr. 13,1973.. Apr. 20,1973._ Apr. 27,1973.. May 4,1973... May 11,1973.. May 18,1973.. May 25,1973.. June 1,1973... June 8,1973... June 15,1973.. June 22,1973.. June 29,1973.. July 6,1973... July 13,1973.. July 20,1973.. July 27,1973.. Aug. 3,1973... Aug. 10,1973.. Aug. 17,1973.. Aug. 24,1973.. Aug. 31,1973.. Sept. 7,1973.. Sept. 14,1973. Sept. 21,1973. Sept. 28,1973. Oct. 5,1973... Oct. 12,1973.. Oct. 19,1973.. Oct. 26,1973.. Nov. 2,1973... Nov. 9,1973... Nov. 16,1973.. Ilov. 23,1973.. Nov. 30,1973.. Dec. 7,1973... Dec. 14,1973.. Dec. 21,1973.. Dec. 28,1973.. Bureau of mines end of month 1971 1972 1973 217,414 222,447 225,824 229,459 230,430 233,188 235,975 238,840 239,988 242,233 243,822 243,095 245,764 243,891 240,102 237,032 234,928 227,888 225, 590 224, 527 220,469 221,719 218,493 217,086 214,132 211,370 213,239 210,600 207,764 205,612 208, 367 204,937 204,097 203,985 204, 376 203,951 206,018 205,865 206,440 206,854 208,376 205,690 208,975 208,062 207,380 204,369 207,245 209,898 210,029 213,816 215,664 221,868 225,472 227,765 229,547 235,800 235,176 237,701 237,043 239,118 242,304 240,744 240,324 236,831 237,636 234,416 232,133 227,381 225,818 221, 571 221,442 222,440 216,473 216,051 214,156 210,027 209,631 207,554 207,220 205,627 203,657 201,371 200,662 201,220 199,714 201,058 197,674 198,943 199,609 199,662 202,246 202, 360 204,624 203,121 204,892 205,324 207,237 205,752 209,428 209,453 209,120 209, 536 208, 836 210, 764 213,849 215,186 217,852 219,675 219,052 219,499 216,825 221, 373 216,672 217,042 215,298 215,851 212, 383 209,467 208,929 204, 373 205,099 1971 1972 1£73 231,836 239,633 221, £23 245,015 249,927 245,351 236, 831 230, 087 225,153 221,439 214,736 209,423 200,143 202, 864 200, 710 204,069 192,706 207,696 199,690 208,332 207,776 208,751 208,930 219,125 212,770 301 TOTAL U.S. STOCKS-DISTILLATE FUEL OIL [Thousands of barrels) API end of week Week ended Jan. 5, 1973 Jan. 12,1973 Jan. 19,1973 Jan. 26,1973 Feb. 2,1973 Feb. 9,1973. Feb. 16,1973 Feb. 23,1973 Mar. 2 , 1 9 7 3 . . . . Mar. 9,1973 Mar. 16,1973 Mar. 23,1973 Mar. 30,1973 Apr. 6,1973 Apr. 13,1973 Apr. 20,1973 Apr. 27,1973 May 4 , 1 9 7 3 . May 11,1973 May 18,1973 May 25,1973 June 1,1973. June 8,1973. June 15,1973. June 22,1973 June 29,1973 July 6,1973 July 13,1973 July 20,1973. July 27,1973 Aug. 3,1973 Aug. 10,1973_ Aug. 17,1973 Aug. 24, 1973 Aug. 31, 1973 Sept. 7 , 1 9 7 3 . Sept. 14,1973. Sept. 21,1973 Sept. 28,1973 Oct. 5,1973 Oct. 12,1973 Oct. 19,1973. Oct. 26,1973 Nov. 2,1973 Nov. 9,1973 Nov. 16,1973 Nov. 23,1973 Nov. 30,1973 Dec. 7 , 1 9 7 3 . Dec. 14,1973 Dec. 2 1 , 1 9 7 3 . . Dec. 28,1973 Bureau of mines end of month 1971 1972 1973 192,242 179,798 169,838 161,868 151,262 142,459 134, 305 129,149 126,209 121,836 118,991 115,983 112, 543 112,069 112,224 114,478 115,718 116,196 117,163 120,426 122,700 132,242 143,397 136,823 142,445 149,434 155,706 162,301 167,380 173,821 178,556 186,183 191 014 197,073 201,014 203,603 209,681 213,385 213,102 215,861 218,505 220,061 222,777 226,644 224, 896 222,139 223.395 217,406 208,829 202,214 196,400 193, 553 190, 534 179.378 170, 731 162,843 156,854 147,246 134,066 128,917 120,446 114,079 107,857 107,078 104,799 101,615 100,661 99,948 98,712 100,201 102,928 103,140 106,375 110,393 115,213 119.379 122,854 129,335 136,550 141,338 143,454 150,530 154,920 161,398 165,441 171,197 173,097 179,267 183, 523 188, 566 191,316 192,913 197,096 197,608 197,750 196, 502 194, 519 192,628 188,391 186,877 177,334 171,403 165,206 159,168 154,398 149, 541 142,538 136, 991 131,949 128,340 125,234 118,868 116,144 113,707 114,585 113,691 110,628 108,264 108,554 108,472 110,497 _ 1971 1972 1973 158,677 160,027 130,958 128.635 122,154 112,812 101,728 113.636 103,558 125,758 112,892 145,744 128,739 172,328 155,557 196,934 174,674 210,095 190,250 222,926 195, 530 214,738 190, 584 190,584 154,284 302 TOTAL U.S. STOCKS—KEROSINE-TYPE JET FUEL [Thousands of barrels] API end of week Week ended Jan. 5,1973 Jan. 12,1973 Jan. 19,1973 Jan. 2 6 , 1 9 7 3 . Feb. 2 , 1 9 7 3 Feb. 9 , 1 9 7 3 Feb. 16,1973 Feb. 2 3 , 1 9 7 3 . Mar. 2 , 1 9 7 3 . Mar. 9 , 1 9 7 3 Mar. 16,1973 Mar. 23,1973 Mar. 30,1973 Apr. 6 , 1 9 7 3 Apr. 1 3 , 1 9 7 3 . Apr. 20,1973 Apr. 27,1973 May 4 , 1 9 7 3 . May 1 1 , 1 9 7 3 . May 18,1973 May 25,1973 June 1 , 1 9 7 3 . June 8 , 1 9 7 3 June 1 5 , 1 9 7 3 . June 22,1973 June 29, 1973.. July 6 , 1 9 7 3 July 13,1973 July 20,1973 Jvi\y 27,1973 Aug. 3, 1973. Aug. 10,1973 Aug. 1 7 , 1 9 7 3 . . . . Aug. 24,1973 Aug. 31,1973 cept. 7 , 1 9 7 3 . . . Sept. 14,1973 Sept. 21, 1 9 7 3 . . . . Sept. 2 8 , 1 9 7 3 Oct. 5 , 1 9 7 3 . . . Oct. 1 2 , 1 9 7 3 . . . . Oct. 1 9 , 1 9 7 3 . . . Oct. 26,1973 Nov. 2 , 1 9 7 3 Nov. 9 , 1 9 7 3 Nov. 16,1973 Nov. 23,1973 Nov. 3 0 , 1 9 7 3 . Dec. 7 , 1 9 7 3 Dec. 14,1973 Dec. 21, 1973. Dec. 28,1973 Bureau of Mines end of month 1971 1972 1973 21,344 20,969 20,972 19,950 20,007 19,313 20,134 19,653 20,660 20,556 20,493 19,630 20,100 20,124 20,623 20,579 21,319 22,168 22,031 21,683 21,359 22,282 22,054 22,251 22,257 22,334 22,542 22,033 21,305 21,399 22,198 21,682 21,539 21,872 21,880 22,118 23,307 22,155 22,327 21,367 21,414 22,053 21,930 20,904 21,758 22,952 21,708 22,598 21,758 22,463 22,189 21,790 21,580 20,800 20,720 20,259 19,195 19,137 19,054 19,060 19,197 19,944 19,563 19,748 19,681 19,634 19,709 20,113 20,178 20,271 20,980 21,636 22,603 22,100 21,585 22,399 23,048 22,552 23,506 23,765 24,185 24,218 24,467 24,385 24,967 24,131 24,079 24,829 24,052 24,671 23,997 23,944 23,825 23,174 22,896 22,855 21,666 21,162 21,548 20,950 21,191 20,272 19,557 20,001 19,876 20,305 19,560 20,042 19,327 20,208 20,283 20,018 19,692 19,961 20,788 20,964 20,794 21,668 23,322 22,238 21,696 1971 1972 1973 20,680 19,199 18,861 19,992 18,891 20,214 20,181 20,658 21,097 21,822 22,792 21,819 22,467 21,645 23,585 21,015 25,132 21,437 24,448 20,364 22,700 20,934 21,003 20,747 19,346 Senator M C I N T Y R E . Could you supply the committee with a list of all oil companies that have attempted to construct new refineries in this country within the last 5 years and were denied this because of environmental opposition ? Mr. I K A R D . We will attempt to get such a list for you, Senator. I suspect that it would be difficult to assure you that Ave can get everyone. But I know of several, offhand, that we can furnish. We will certainly try to do that to the best of our ability (see p. 308). Senator M C I N T Y R E . What would be your overall position with regard to whether the President should immediately implement the authority granted to him in the Economic Stabilization Act to allocate petroleum products? Mr. I K A R D . I n the first place, we have no position on i t as an organization. 303 I would feel that it would be well not to impose those at this time. However. I would agree that consideration and study and possibly hearings should be held to determine what might be a reasonable program if it became necessary to implement one. Senator M C I N T Y R E . What is your overall impression of the industry today under this sudden switch where suddenly we do not have enough oil domestically—what is your overall impression as to what is going to happen in the marketing field? What is going to happen to these independents, these fellows that were in here yesterday, testifying? This is a self-serve station, one that does not promote service to a great extent but tries to come in with a price on gasoline that is 4, 5. 8 or 6 cents under the brand names in that town or in that area. What is going to happen to these people ? Mr. I K A R D . Senator, as I am sure you understand, in my position, I am under all kinds of restraints and inhibitions about commenting on marketing and practices as between companies. I do think this is a whole new area we are moving into. Short supply—that is new to the industry, it is now new to the Government, it is new to all the American citizens. I think one of the very important things that we all have to understand is we are in a period of short supply and it will not be shortrange. I t is going to be long. There are going to be dislocations. I n fact, it would be just impossible for me to comment about some of these relationships between companies and jobbers and things. I n the first place, I do not have the information, and in the second place, the Department of Justice would not like my commenting on it. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Does the American Petroleum Institute have as its members independents who might be buying excess gasoline? Mr. I K A R D . Yes, sir. We have in our organization every element in the industry. Senator M C I X T Y R E . Not everybody in the oil marketing business is a member of your institute? Mr. I K A R D . N O ; I did not say that. I say we have every element represented. Some are in and some are out. We do have members in every segment of the industry. Senator M C I N T Y R E . What is your overall impression about this new tariff system which has been implemented on May 1 ? Do you believe it will have any appreciable effect on petroleum product shortages over the next few years, and particularly what is your feeling on the question of gasoline in that regard and home heating oil ? Mr. I K A R D . I think it will have a salutary effect. There are many other things that are related to it, though, and the fact, as has already been indicated, the inability of some of the refineries to run sour crude is a very basic and important problem. The logistics of moving whatever imports that are available into some of these areas is important. I think it is a move that will be helpful. But there are many other facets of this problem rather than just the import side of it. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Y O U have indicated, of course, that we are in for some trouble during the interim and the immediate future. £ 304 Could you briefly tell the committee here what your recommendations are on the broad spectrum, the far-reaching spectrum, 10 years down the pipeline? Are we going to get after that shale? The year I got here, I had heard the distinguished Senator Paul Douglas hist talking about the oil up there in the Rockies and the shale. We do not seem to have any of that. Are we going to get there now—are you fellows going to stop us? Mr. I K A R D . We are anxious to get there, Senator, as an industry, and I think we will get there. This is a matter of developing technology. I t is the same kind of technological development that held up the development of the breeder reactor. We have not yet developed the technology that is economically feasible to get this oil out of this shale. There are environmental problems. There is no question that all these synthetics will come onstream within the next—I would hesitate to name a year—but within the near future, as we measure time, 10 or 15 years. Senator M C I X T Y R E . D O you think we have been spending enough as a nation from the research and development angle to develop this shale question of whether oil is up there that can be marketed or not? Do you think we have expended over the last years—I got here in 1962, I started hearing good shale in 1963. Have we as a nation spent enough money to find out the answer to unlock that oil up there in the shale of the rockies ? Mr. I K A R D . Probably within the climates that existed there have been sufficient sums of money. They are not sufficient now until you get results. So, now the situation has changed so much that we certainly should accelerate our research in all these synthetics, including shale. Just as an individual, and I am not a scientist, I think the area of gasification of coal is a lot nearer within our reach or working with some of our coal supplies—this is the evaluation of a layman, Senator. Let me make that clear, I am not a scientist—I think this is much more feasible for immediate relief than going after the shale. Senator T O W E R . I f you would yield to me. Mr. Chairman. I have seen the briefing given by the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy oil the energy crisis, and the indicationt here is even i f we realized the f u l l potential of the production from shale, we would still be able to meet only a very small percentage of our projected requirements. I n other words, that would not be one of our major contributors to the resolution of that problem. Is that not right ? Mr. I K A R D . Yes. I assume this is implied in what you say, that we are going to need in this country all the energy sources we can develop—synthetic petroleum, coal, atomic, all of them, i f we have the kind of growth' now that we have had in the past, we are going to need every source we can get and we should develop all of them. Senator M C I X T Y R E . I don't suppose you know offhand, but you probably can find out and furnish it for the record, I would like to know what has been expended in the nature of research, evaluation, and development of the shale problem in the past 10 years. Mr. I K A R D . Y O U are speaking of what the industry has spent or the Government ? Senator M C I X T Y R E . Can you get the whole figure for us? Mr. I K A R D . I think we can get the whole figure. 305 Senator M C I N T Y R E . I f you can get the whole figure, that would be good. If you can't Ave will get the rest (see p. 308). Senator M C I N T Y R E . The reason I say that, one of the places I spend a lot of time, I call it down in the cellar, we closed the doors and get the television boys out of there and we talk about research, development, testing, and evaluation of the military. We spend money there and goodness knows, I am all for it. I think this year the request is something in the vicinity of $8,500 million for research and development, testing and evaluation in all of the various weapons of defense. I t would be nice to know i f we start putting a little zip into this shale whether we could bring it out of the Rockies and maybe the consumer would be the wTinner. Senator T O W E R . Would the chairman yield at that point? Senator M C I N T Y R E . Yes. Senator T O W E R . The thing is there is so much in the way of research dollars as far as energy is concerned, I think you have to address yourselves to priorities. The full potential yield from shale would now only meet a very, very small percentage of our total energy requirement. So, if you think in terms of the research dollar, I think you would have to think in terms of priorities. I do not know where those priorities are. They may be in solar energy, nuclear what have you. Shale is a potential producer of energy and comes down the list in terms of total contribution to the energy problem. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Are you talking about or taking into account what we face, a higher price? Senator T O W E R . There is no question we are going to face a higher price. Senator M C I N T Y R E . W i t h the higher prices, doesn't the shale become much more to be sought after? Senator T O W E R . The higher the price, the more likely you are able to get at these expensive fuels. Mr. I K A R D . The most effective thing wTe could do is to open up the offshore for development and construct the Alaskan Pipeline. These are two things that would bring us some immediate relief on this supply side—the development of our marine resources and the development of the Alaskan resources. Senator M C I N T Y R E . H O W long have you had this job as the top man in the American Petroleum Institute? Mr. I K A R D . About 10 years. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Have you been a strong proponent of an energy policy for this country? M r . IKARD. Yes, sir. Senator M C I N T Y R E . Why hasn't your voice been heard on this? Mr*. I K A R D . I t has been heard in every forum in which we thought we could express it, Senator. We have been continually talking about it. I t is important to emphasize that energy policy is something that means different things to different people. I opposed an energy policy when it had to do with the allocation or in-use controls which I now oppose. As to the orderly and proper development of our national energy resources, i f that is a policy and I think it is, we have been for that a long time. 306 The organization I have been w i t h has been f o r it. W e have made speeches—we have appeared before congressional committees. I w o u l d say the record showed this view point long before I was associated w i t h them. Senator MCINTYRE. YOU were born down i n Texas ? M r . IKARD. Y e s . Senator MCINTYRE. YOU knew what oil was f r o m the day you were probably hopping around on the grass there. M r . IKARD. Y e s . I grew up i n one of the great oil parts of this country, n o r t h Texas, where i t has been a very productive area since the very early days of this century. Senator MCINTYRE. I was born up i n Xew England. W e do not know what o i l is up there, unless we can f i n d i t off the A t l a n t i c coast some place. I suppose that we have all been to blame f o r this. I heard about an energy policy when I got here i n 1963 or 1964, under the Democrats and nothing happened. M r . IKARD. T h a t is r i g h t . Senator MCINTYRE. The President's speech at least indicates a n awareness, but i t is not a l l as embracing as we w o u l d l i k e to see i t , like t o have i t , but we are doing so many things w r o n g — b u i l d i n g buildings you cannot open the windows. M r . IKARD. T h a t is r i g h t . I agree w i t h that. I t h i n k back to your o r i g i n a l question here today, I t h i n k a l l o f us are to blame f o r this. I do not t h i n k we i n the industry have been w i t h o u t some f a u l t i n our projections, as you have indicated. B u t I also t h i n k the Government has been very much remiss i n some of the projections they have made. I must say they were some of the projections I participated i n personally and I though the}' were r i g h t at the time, much as we a l l do. When you project, p a r t i c u l a r l y economic questions out over a period of years, m y observation and experience has been t h a t i t is a very difficult t h i n g to do. The O E P just a few months ago projected demand f o r their first quarter of this year and they are way off. They said i t w i l l be around 5 percent. I t is going to be much higher than that. W e a l l have t h a t problem. I agree w i t h you, i t is a f r u s t r a t i n g t h i n g when we t r y t o look ahead and see what our requirements are going to be 12 o r 14 months f r o m now. Senator MCINTYRE. A g a i n I cannot argue w i t h you. One o f the things I have learned is the Government has to rely on the industry. General L i n c o l n was r i g h t here i n this room i n September of 1972 and there was no shortages i n sight. M r . IKARD. S e p t e m b e r o f 1972 ? Senator MCINTYRE. Yes. T h i s is 1973, is i t not? M r . IKAKD. There was a great deal of t a l k about shortages at that time. Senator MCINTYRE. I suspect you agree w i t h the distinguished gentleman I heard over at the L i b r a r y o f Congress here i n this seminar we had 2 or 3 weeks ago f r o m the F o r d Foundation. I do not agree w i t h him. H e says there is no v i l l a i n , no v i l l a i n i n the energy crisis. I have got my villain. M r . IKARD. I would hesitate to say there is a v i l l a i n . I t h i n k many people have made projections that are not correct. Due to many fac- 307 tors that were absolutely impossible t o project. F o r instance, i f I m i g h t just comment on one. I t h i n k atomic energy fails to move into the market i n the way that all of us thought i t would 10 years ago, and that has been one of the real contributing factors to this. There are many other factors that have come along that have not been able to be b u i l t into projections. Senator MCIXTYRE. I do not pretend to know what happened t o atomic energy and nuclear power but I do know t h a t the environmentalists j u m p up and down because they are sure the place is going to blow up. I do not have the answer t o w h y i t is not going t o blow up. I t h i n k A E C joins the parade of the people who have helped us to get into this morass. Senator Tower. Senator TOWER. M r . Chairman, I would like to note at the outset that probably what we should be doing is not looking f o r a scapegoat buy t r y i n g to arrive at some solutions t o a very pressing problem. I t h i n k probably the g u i l t can be equally spread around among several sources. I would like to ask M r . I k a r d i f he does not concur w i t h the statement made by the President i n his energy message, that we are going to have to make some tradeoffs w i t h the environmental standards i f we are to arrive at a solution to this problem? M r . IKARD. NO questions about it. One very dramatic figure is the use of distillate i n the generation of electricity. I n a 5-year period i t has gone f r o m 8,000 barrels a day to 105,000 barrels a day. This increase represents about 80 percent of the distillates t h a t are used by all the railroad engines i n this country or about 41 percent of all the diesel trucks, and this is purely on account o f environment requirements. I t is really very wasteful to use distillate at t h a t — i n that way. I t ought to go into home heating, i t ought to go into transportation, or into these areas where is is tailored to be. B u t i t is not. Senator TOWER. Could not the same t h i n g be said of natural gas ? M r . IKARD. Y e s . W e all have great concern about the distillates at the moment i n transportation and i n the f a r m machinery and a l l that. I t is certainly very efficient i n the natural gas situation. T h i s does not mean that there w i l l be any violation of the principles of the environmental acts that have been passed. I t does not mean that there w i l l be any jeopardy t o health. I t simply means largely that the secondary standards w i l l be probably delayed a matter of a year or two, u n t i l they can get in, u n t i l technology can pick up and catch up and you can get the practical side of construction of some of these plants that can extract s u l f u r and do the other things that are necessary to make these energy sources available. Senator TOWER. SO, i n effect, we are just going to have to confront the environmentalists directly and insist that economic g r o w t h and the energy needs of the country may, i n some instances have to take procedence over certain environmental standards that we would like to have but are not absolutely necessary f o r human survival? Mr. IKARD. Y e s . 308 Senator TOWER. W h a t is our refining capacity now compared to 10 years ago ? M r . IKARD. I really cannot give you that comparison. Senator TOWER. There has not been an increase to keep pace w i t h the increased demand ? M r . IKARD. R i g h t . I can f u r n i s h the exact numbers. Senator TOWER. That would be interesting to have. [ M r . I k a r d subsequently submitted the f o l l o w i n g material f o r the record:] American Petroleum Washington, Institute, B.C., May 21, 1973. The Hon. Thomas J. M c I n t y r e , U.S. Sen,ate, Senate Committee on BankingHousing Washington, D.C. and Urban Affairs, D e a r S e n a t o r M c I n t y r e : W h e n I testified before your Committee on M a y 9, y o u requested t h a t I p r o v i d e some a d d i t i o n a l i n f o r m a t i o n on several m a t t e r s related to the energy s i t u a t i o n . I n the ease o f t w o questions—one related t o trends i n r e f i n i n g capacity and the other t o expenditures f o r research and development o n o i l s h a l e — I a m enclosing separate statements w h i c h address these topics. A n o t h e r question related to the i m p a c t of e n v i r o n m e n t a l opposition upon n e w refinery construction. As I i n d i c a t e d i n m y f o r m a l statement, there have been a n u m b e r o f reasons f o r the slow pace o f new7 refinery construction. These included, i n a d d i t i o n t o e n v i r o n m e n t a l opposition, the l a c k o f assurance t h a t the heavy cost of new p l a n t s could be recovered i n t h e m a r k e t p l a c e a n d uncert a i n t i e s over f u t u r e product specifications a n d government i m p o r t policies. I n a paper e n t i t l e d " T r e n d s i n Capacity a n d U t i l i z a t i o n , " issued by t h e Office of O i l a n d Gas o f t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f I n t e r i o r i n December 1972, ten refinery proposals w i t h u n c e r t a i n completion dates were listed. I t was noted t h a t some of them were "blocked by or h a v i n g difficulties w i t h e n v i r o n m e n t a l i s t s actions." (See T a b l e I I o f attached excerpt f r o m OOG S t u d y ) . T h i s subject i s d i f f i c u l t because companies frequently do not make p u b l i c t h e i r plans f o r such projects, p a r t i c u l a r l y w h e n they have n o t received permission t o proceed w i t h them. I t i s q u i t e possible t h a t other projects t h a n those l i s t e d i n the OOG paper have either been abandoned or not proposed a t a l l because o f e n v i r o n m e n t a l opposit i o n encountered a t some stage. W e are unable, however, t o document any such cases a t t h i s time. A s y o u have undoubtedly noted, t h e r e have been reports i n t h e press i n t h e past week o r so w h i c h indicate t h a t a n u m b e r o f companies are f o r m u l a t i n g plans t o a d d to t h e i r refinery capacity. I f w e o b t a i n a d d i t i o n a l i n f o r m a t i o n r e g a r d i n g y o u r question, w e w i l l be pleased t o share i t w i t h you. D u r i n g our colloquy we discussed t h e extent to w h i c h the A m e r i c a n P e t r o l e u m I n s t i t u t e has advocated the development o f coordinated and cohesive n a t i o n a l energy policies. I asked my staff t o search t h r o u g h o u r files f o r the l a s t f o u r or five years. Since November 1969, spokesmen f o r the I n s t i t u t e have testified i n f a v o r o f such policies before Congressional Committees on 11 separate occasions. On 36 other occasions, I n s t i t u t e representatives have spoken before public groups i n f a v o r o f t h i s position. Six recent publications released by our o r g a n i z a t i o n have also called f o r coordinated n a t i o n a l energy policies. I appreciated h a v i n g the o p p o r t u n i t y t o present my views to y o u r Committee. I f e i t h e r I o r any member o f m y s t a f f can be o f f u r t h e r assistance t o you, I hope y o u w i l l feel free to c a l l upon us. Sincerely, Frank N. Ikard. 309 U.S. R e f i n i n g C a p a c i t y 1962 a n d 1972 D u r i n g the past ten years a gap has widened between U.S. refinery capacity and domestic demand f o r refined products. Refinery capacity has increased only 83.1% w h i l e demand has grown by 57.3%. Environmental opposition to proposed refinery sites, lack of assurance t h a t heavy capital investment costs could be recovered i n the marketplace, and uncertainties over f u t u r e product specifications and government i m p o r t policies have tended to discourage new plant construction. A t present, some refineries are experiencing difficulty i n operating at peak capacity because of a lack of low-sulfur crude oil. Government policies should take account of the need to develop adequate domestic sweet crude supplies. Year Operable refinery capacity (barrels per day) Domestic demand (barrels per day) Refinery capacity as a percentage of domestic demand 10.012.734 13,324,734 10,400,079 16, 354,134 96.3 81.5 1962... 1972 NOTE.—Refinery capacities are the average of beginning and end of year capacities, including operating and operableshutdown capacity. Shutdown capacity which is not operable without extensive repair is not included. All figures are in barrels (42 gallons) per day. Source: U.S. Bureau of Mines; American Petroleum Institute. Oil Shale Research and Delelopment O i l shale research and development have been underway both i n this country and abroad f o r more t h a n a century. A Scottish firm produced oil f r o m oil shale as long ago as the 1860's. The problems associated w i t h oil ishale development, coupled w i t h the abundance of cheap energy sources, retarded indepth research efforts u n t i l a f t e r the end of the Second W o r l d W a r . Accelerated R & D efforts were begun i n the 1960's. T h e Oil Shale Corporation (TOSCO) was formed i n 1960 by oil companies f o r the purpose of bringing oil shale research to the p i l o t p l a n t stage. F o u r years later, TOSCO joined w i t h the Standard O i l Company (Ohio) and the Cleveland Cliffs I r o n Company to f o r m a consortium know7n as The Colony Group. The t w o Ohio firms w i t h d r e w f r o m active p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n 1966-67 and TOSCO operated alone u n t i l 1969 when the A t l a n t i c Richfield Company entered the Colony Group as manager of the Colony Semi-works P l a n t at Parachute Creek, Colorado. Besides the TOSCO and Colony Group efforts, the U.S. Government t h r o u g h the Bureau of Mines, has pursued an active research program. T o t a l estimated industry investintent i n oil shale research and development since the end of W o r l d W a r I I ranges f r o m $75 m i l l i o n to $100 million. Government investment d u r i n g t h a t same period is estimated at $20 to $40 million. A t present, i n d u s t r y is spending around $6 to $7 m i l l i o n a year on oil shale development, and the Bureau of Mines about $2*/t> m i l l i o n a year. Oil shale development has been slow f o r three m a j o r reasons : (1) I t s development does not yet appear attractive i n economic terms. The N a t i o n a l Petroleum Council estimates t h a t the price of a barrel of shale o i l would be $4 to $5. H i g h e r crude o i l prices are l i k e l y to stimulate increased research and development efforts. (2) O i l shale technology faces several environmental problems which must be resolved. The process of oil shale extraction requires the processing of t w o tons of rock f o r each barrel of oil produced using present methods, creating a huge shale disposal problem. (3) The Federal Government has maintained an inconsistent position regardi n g leasing of federal lands f o r oil shale development. W h i l e the official govern- 310 ment policy is to encourage development of new energy technology, i t has been slow to offer federal l a n d leases f o r oil shale development because of unresolved environmental questions. [ F r o m the U.S. Department of the I n t e r i o r , Office of Oil and Gas—Washington, D . C . ] T r e n d s i n C a p a c i t y a n d U t i l i z a t i o n , D e c e m b e r 1972 As the Nation's p r i n c i p a l conservation agency, the Department of the I n t e r i o r has basic responsibilities f o r wTater, fish, w i l d l i f e , mineral, land, park, and recreational resources. I n d i a n and T e r r i t o r i a l affairs are other m a j o r concerns of America's " D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l Resources." The Department works to assure the wisest choice i n managing a l l our resources so each w i l l make its f u l l c o n t r i b u t i o n to a better United States—now and i n the f u t u r e . foreword There has been a v i r t u a l stagnation i n the g r o w t h of U n i t e d States petroleum refinery capacity i n relation to the country's demand f o r petroleum products. Concurrently there has been a r a p i d g r o w t h i n offshore refineries designed to produce selected petroleum products f o r the U n i t e d States market. T h i s report h i g h l i g h t s the extent to w h i c h i m p o r t a n t w o r l d refining exporting centers are p a r t i c i p a t i n g i n t h i s geographical s h i f t , both c u r r e n t l y and i n the near f u t u r e . November 1972. G e n e P. Director, Morrell, Office of Oil and Gas. introduction I n August 1971, t h i s office issued a report entitled " U n i t e d States Petroleum Refinery Capacity and U t i l i z a t i o n . " P a r t of our objective w i t h t h i s w r i t i n g is to refine and update some of the more i m p o r t a n t i n f o r m a t i o n included i n t h a t report. I n this case the u p d a t i n g has been l i m i t e d t o the overall summary by d i s t r i c t s of crude capacity and crude runs w i t h projections t h r o u g h 1975 based on know r n projects f o r increased refining capacity. As a complement to this, past performances and trends are presented f o r those w o r l d refining centers w i t h the capacity to export petroleum products to other countries and i n p a r t i c u l a r to the U n i t e d States. I n dealing w i t h certain of the exporting centers w h i c h are composed of several countries, all countries i n the area were included i n the balances f o r the sake of completeness even though some may have no prospects t o become an exporter. I n this manner the t r u e net exportable capacity of the area can be determined a f t e r allowance f o r the area's own consumption. Consumption consists of local demand, internat i o n a l bunkers and refinery f u e l and loss. F o r this reason, some small countries w i t h large refining operations show oil requirements w h i c h otherwise m i g h t have been considered out of line. Some comment is also made on factors w T hich may affect trends i n cert a i n of these exporting centers. u.s. r e f i n i n g c a p a c i t y trends The outlook f o r expansion i n the U n i t e d States petroleum refining i n d u s t r y has not undergone any significant change over the past year or so. There is s t i l l a lack of any firm significant projects i n prospect f r o m 1973 onward. The last large project is the new M o b i l refinery a t Joliet, I l l i n o i s and this is expected to be onstream t o w a r d year-end or i n early 1973. Capacities and crude runs are summarized i n Table I f o r the past several years. Capacities f r o m 1972 t h r o u g h 1975 were obtained by adding k n o w n planned newT capacity (Table I I ) to current capacity. No allowance has been 311 made f o r shutdowns or retirements, or minor debottlenecking. Table I shows the rates of refinery operation required to maintained product i m p o r t s at t h e i r 1971 level. I n Table I I I , crude runs are shown on various bases i n c l u d i n g potent i a l runs as l i m i t e d by equipment and required runs f o r three different levels of product imports. A l t h o u g h capacity of downstream equipment is important, i t controls the pattern of the product yields obtained. However, regardless of changes i n downstream equipment, crude runs roughly equate to the product volumes obtained and therefore is the moist i m p o r t a n t measure of the overall a b i l i t y to produce petroleum products. Examinations of data r e l a t i n g to processing intensity i n the United States and i n w T orld refining exporting centers reveals some interesting comparisons. Percent capacity based on crude capacity United States! Bahamas/Caribbean Middle East Cat cracking Cat Ref Hydrogen processes Alkylation Therm ref Therm processing Hydrocracking 35.0 7.0 3.0 8.9 5.1 3.6 37.3 17.2 9.1 6.3 .8 .4 0.3 2.9 (2) 11.7 15.3 1.9 6.4 0 1.8 » U.S. data from Oil and Gas Journal, Mar. 27,1972. * Included in thermal processes. The differences reflect the well-known p a t t e r n over the past years wherein United States refiners have concentrated on destruction of residual and maximizing h i g h octane gasoline production. The refinery exporting centers produce large volumes of f u e l o i l i n simpler units. More detail is available i n Table I V . Based on the rate of increase i n product imports i n the past ten years, i t is evident t h a t about 1,720,000 barrels per day of refining capacity has been "exported" to foreign locations over t h a t period. Aside f r o m the adverse effects this contributes to the U n i t e d States balance of payments, t h i s t r e n d has eliminated employment opportunity i n the U n i t e d States not only i n refining itself but i n allied and supporting industries as well. D u r i n g the past decade the average number of employees required i n refineries averaged about 14 men per thousand bbls per day processed. T h i s works out to be equivalent to 24,000 jobs eliminated as a result of the "exportation" of capacity. G u l f Canada recently made a survey w h i c h revealed t h a t each refinery job creates 3.5 jobs i n closely allied service and m a n u f a c t u r i n g sectors. I n their opinion t h i s same factor applies to the U n i t e d States. T h i s alone is equal to 84,000 jobs or a t o t a l of 108.000 jobs. Considering the average U.S. household has 3.2 persons, some 346,000 persons are affected. S t i l l f u r t h e r t h i s does not take i n t o account the employment i n other service areas i n housing, food, entertainment, education, roads, c i v i l needs and other "downstream" activities. A n average refinery project requires about two to t w o and one-half years to complete, f r o m the day the contract is let to start-up. I t includes some appreciable time f o r office w r ork before ground is broken on the project site. A l l of this must be preceded by a feasibility study by the refining company, location of an acceptable site, clearance f r o m local and state authorities, environmental impact statements, approval by the refining company's board, preparation of job specifications, i n v i t a t i o n s f o r bids, study by the constructing companies and preparation of t h e i r bids and finally the oil company's study of bids p t i o r to contract award. These steps take several months p r i o r to the t w o to t w o and one-half year period mentioned above. I n summary, the i m p l i c a t i o n is t h a t nothing significant i n terms of new capacity could be realized before 1976. Statements have been made by responsible persons i n the i n d u s t r y t h a t a concerted effort w o u l d have to begin immediately by a l l of the companies to restore refining capacity to its proper position by 1980. TABLE I.—PETROLEUM REFINING CAPACITY AND ACTUAL CRUDE RUNS [In thousands of barrels per calendar dayl Year Capacity 1 Runs 2 Capacity 1 Runs 2 Capacity! 1955.. 1956.. 1957.. 1958.. 1959.. 1,286 1,351 1,423 1,484 1,546 1,163 1,231 1,296 1,199 1,215 2,316 2,436 2,532 2,643 2,727 2,136 2,284 2,279 2,318 2,424 3,038 3,189 3,265 3.346 3,447 I960.. 1961.. 1962.. 1963.. 1964.. 1965.. 1966.. 1967.. 1968.. 1969.. 1,537 1,558 1,543 1,493 1,464 1,420 1,400 1,416 1,452 1,477 1,220 1,223 1,214 1,246 1,216 1,200 1,259 1,267 1,307 1,309 2, 766 2,784 2,809 2,847 2,870 2,896 2,951 3,049 3,161 3,220 2,422 2,433 2,463 2,541 2,578 2,645 2,790 2,849 2,967 3,013 3,464 3,520 3, 584 3,671 3,805 3,864 3,906 4,228 4,581 4, 737 1970.. 1971.. 1972.. 1973.. 1974.. 1975.. 1,487 1,515 1,541 1,553 1,553 1,553 1,290 1,330 3,360 3,482 3,478 3,560 3,642 3,642 3,154 3,230 5,027 5,345 5,481 5,499 5,517 5,517 Runs' " Capacity 1 Total United States District V District IV District I District II District I Runs 2 Capacity 1 Runs 2 Capacity 1 Runs 2 Percent 2,863 3,051 2,922 2, 779 2,925 289 296 304 321 330 255 269 273 266 291 1,297 1,325 1,352 1,403 1,448 1,063 1,124 1,149 1,080 1,139 8,226 8,597 8,876 9,257 9,498 7,480 7,959 7,919 7,642 7,994 90.9 92.6 89.2 82.6 84.2 989 3,026 3,178 3,325 3,419 3,506 3,665 3,903 4,129 4,264 330 345 360 375 385 386 386 394 413 422 286 284 304 307 320 330 338 344 367 385 1,488 1,515 1,519 1,555 1,589 1,600 1,649 1,707 1,770 1,875 1,170 1,219 1,252 1,268 1,299 1,362 1,392 1,452 1,571 1,658 9,585 9,722 9,815 9,941 10,113 10,166 10,292 10,794 11,377 11,731 8,067 8,184 8,410 8,687 8,807 9,043 9,444 9,815 10,312 10,629 84.2 84.2 85.7 87.4 87.1 89.0 91.8 90.9 90.6 90.6 4,357 4,492 424 424 425 428 428 428 393 405 1,974 2,081 2,179 2,208 2,208 2,215 1,676 1,742 12,272 12,847 13,104 13,248 13,348 13,355 10,870 11,199 11,989 12,779 13,570 14,360 88.6 87.2 91.5 96.5 +100.0 +100.0 1 Capacity of operating refineries—average of January 1 in given year and January 1 in following year—U.S. Bureau of Mines 1972 and later obtained by adding known projects, a U.S. Bureau of Mines crude runs in year indicated. Projections 1972 and later represent volumes needed to be run to hold product imports to current levels. Demand based on interior Alyeska Study with minor updating revisions for the year 1975. Source: Hydrocarbon Processing, Oil & Gas Journal and miscellaneous sources. OJ i—* to 313 TABLE II.—NEW REFINERIES OR EXPANSIONS SCHEDULED IN THE UNITED STATES BY PAD DISTRICTS—MILLION BARRELS, DAY OF CRUDE DISTILLATION Company/Location 1972: Witco Chemical Corp. (Bradford, Pa.)... Mobil (Paulsboro, N.J.) Quaker State (Hancock Co., W. Va.) (new) Ashland Oil Co. (St. Paul, Minn.). Total Leonard (Alma, Mich.) Alabama Refining Co. (Mobile, Ala.) Murphy Oil Corp. (Meraux, La.). Southland Oil (Lumberton, Miss.) Sage Creek Refinery (Cowley, Wyo.).. Refinery Corp. (Commerce City, Colo.) Chevron Asphalt (Portland, Oreg.) Hawaiian Independent Refinery (Barbers Point, Oahu)( new) Mobil (Ferndale, Wash.) San Joaquin Oil Co. (Oildale, Calif.) Douglas Oil Co. (Santa Maria, Calif.) Total 1973: Mobil (Joliet, 111.1) (new) 1974: None 1975: Energy Co. (North Pole, Alaska) Projects which are uncertain or have unknown completion dates:2 Supermarine (Hoboken) Shell (Delaware) Occidental (Machiasport) Atlantic Refining Association (Norfolk) Fuels Desulfurization (Maine). Guardian Oil Refining Co Northeast Petroleum (Tiverton, R.l.) Georgia Florida Oil & Refining (Brunswick, Ga.). Crown Central Petroleum (Baltimore) Dillingham (Barber's Point, Oahu). Total , I II III IV V Total 7. 5 6.9 10.0 10. 0 5.0 4.0 31.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 24.4 15.0 164.0 36.0 5.0 35.0 8.1 6.0 2.0 57.1 137.5 164.0 15.0 15.0 50.0 50.0 1,120.0 100.0 150.0 300.0 30.0 130.0 125. 0 65.0 70.0 100.0 1,070.0 1 Expected to be on stream about Jan. 1,1973. 2 These include some projects blocked by or having difficulties with environmentalist actions. Others have been included because they are still in the early planning stages. Senator TOWERS. I l a s i v t a great cleal of the problem been i n siting the refineries? M r . IKARD. Yes, we estimate that there needs to be between now and 1985, 55 new refineries of at least 150,000 barrel capacity and at t h present time there is not one refinery being constructed in the U n i t e d States, and there has not been since one was completed roughly 6 or 8 months ago i n the Midwest. Senator TOWER. YOU spoke of long term incentives, and I t h i n k that while we want to take whatever measures we can to meet our short term needs, i n the final analysis, we have got to pay attention to our projected needs over the next decade or the next 25 years and t h i n k i n terms of long term incentives. Those are long lead time items. I f we started the Alaskan pipeline now, i t would be 3 years m i n i m a l before we could realize any benefit f r o m that. The same is true of any k i n d of incentive programs we could engage i n w i t h the possible exception of deregulating the price of natural gas at the wellhead. T h a t would probably generate a more immediate result than any other incentive program, would i t not? M r . IKARD. Y e s , s i r . Senator Tower. Y o u mentioned deregulation of gas at the wellhead. I would like to ask you about some of these other incentives, such as has been suggested by the administration and some of us who have introduced legislation on the subject. The extension of the tax investment credit to new explorations and new secondary recovery. 314 M r . IKARD. I t h i n k i t w o u l d be a very h e l p f u l t h i n g i n accelerating exploratory efforts and t h a t is what we should be doing. Senator TOWER. A n d we should certainly, as the President recommended, retain our present incentives such as intangible d r i l l i n g costs and depletion allowances. M r . IKARD. Y e s . Senator TOWER. T h a n k you very much, M r . I k a r d . Senator MCINTYRE. YOU are knowledgeable on the o i l industry. D o you t h i n k the incentives t h a t are i n the President's energy p r o g r a m are going to be sufficient to help us i n New E n g l a n d ? M r . IKARD. Yes, sir, they w i l l develop new sources of supply and I t h i n k t h a t w i l l be h e l p f u l t o New E n g l a n d and every p a r t o f the country. Senator MCINTYRE. I t h i n k that New E n g l a n d needs a refinery, about 250,000 barrels a day. M r . IKARD. I t h i n k t h a t is probably true. Senator MCINTYRE. A r e the incentives i n the President's program, as you know them, sufficient to get us off the ground i n New E n g l a n d ? M r . IKARD. I cannot speak f o r any company but m y guess is there w i l l be refinery capacity developed i n New England. Senator MCINTYRE. I wTent out t o Bellingham, Wash, on Puget Sound, the Canadian border, to see Arco's clean refinery, i n c l u d i n g technology about 10 years ago. I s i t possible f o r me to say i n New E n g l a n d that this is a clean refinery, t h a t this is ecologically satisfactory ? M r . IKARD. I would t h i n k t h a t any modern refinery—any refinery b u i l t today w7ould meet a l l the environmental requirements and there would be no problem f r o m the environmental standpoint. Senator MCINTYRE. The b u r n i n g of s u l f u r and so f o r t h ? M r . IKARD. Y e s . Senator MCINTYRE. T h a n k you very much, M r . I k a r d . W e w i l l recess our hearings u n t i l 10 tomorrow morning. [ A t 12:50 p.m. the hearings wTere recessed u n t i l 10 a.m., M a y 10, 1973.] PETROLEUM PRODUCT SHORTAGES THURSDAY, M A Y 10, 1973 U.S. SENATE, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING AND URBAN AFFAIRS, Washington, B.C. The committee was convened at 10 a.m., i n room 530*2, New Senate Office B u i l d i n g , Senator Thomas J. M c I n t y r e , presiding. Present: Senators M c I n t y r e , Johnston, Tower, Bennett, and Brooke. Senator MCINTYRE. The committee w i l l come to order. Senator TOWER. W o u l d you yield, M r . Chairman? S e n a t o r MCINTYRE. Y e s . Senator TOWTER. I had prepared some remarks at the beginning of the hearings and I w7as not able to be here. I ask unanimous consent that they be put i n the record. Senator MCINTYRE. W i t h o u t objection, t h a t w 7 ill be done (see p. 3). Also we have a statement t h a t Senator Packwood requested we put i n the record of today's hearing. [ T h e statement f o l l o w s : ] S t a t e m e n t o f B o b P a c k w o o d , U.S. S e n a t o r f r o m t h e S t a t e o f Oregon M r . C h a i r m a n . I should l i k e to take t h i s o p p o r t u n i t y t o e x t e n d m y regrets t o the Senator f r o m N e w H a m p s h i r e f o r n o t h a v i n g been able t o a t t e n d e a r l i e r sessions of these hearings i n t o the problems associated w i t h petroleum p r o d u c t shortages. I have h a d a n o p p o r t u n i t y t o r e v i e w t h e t e s t i m o n y t h a t has been presented t o date a n d w o u l d l i k e to commend the Senator f r o m N e w H a m p s h i r e f o r h i s leadership i n b r i n g i n g t h i s e n t i r e m a t t e r t o t h e a t t e n t i o n o f t h e Committee. T h e i n f o r m a t i o n w e have received a n d w 7 ill c o n t i n u e t o receive i n the f o r m of statements a n d supplementary evidence f o r the record w T ill p r o v e t o be immensely v a l u a b l e as t h e Senate a n d the Congress seek t o come to g r i p s w T ith the problems t h i s n a t i o n i s f a c i n g today a n d w i l l face w i t h increasing severity i n the f u t u r e as o u r demand f o r energy grows. Senator MCINTYRE. W e begin today our f o u r t h day of hearings on the impact of petroleum product shortages oil the national economy. On Monday we heard f r o m what I would term the large users. They were able to testify as to the railroads and the waterways and the aviation and the truckers, the air people. On the second day, on Tuesday we heard f r o m those small businessmen and users who are feeli n g the bite of the shortage. Then yesterday we had the pleasure of hearing f r o m the large companies, the majors, and today I am happy to welcome people representing the Government of the U n i t e d States. W e have here this m o r n i n g as our first witness the Honorable W i l l i a m E . Simon, who is the Deputy Secretary of the Treasury and Chairman of the President's O i l Committee. Also at the table w i t h (315) 96-183—73 21 316 h i m at the same time is M r . D a r r e l l M . Trent, Director of the Office of Emergency Preparedness. I am glad to welcome you here, M r . Secretary, and M r . T r e n t . A t this time, before proceeding, I hope you w i l l introduce to the committee those members who are at the table w i t h you f o r the record. Let me say that we have your f u l l statement. I t w i l l be included i n the record i n its entirely. A n y time, d u r i n g the process of reading it, t h a t you can digest i t or make a l i t t l e b i t shorter, we w i l l appreciate that. I am delighted to welcome you here. STATEMENT OF WILLIAM E. SIMON, DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY, AND CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT'S OIL POLICY COMMISSION AND DARRELL M. TRENT, ACTING DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, ACCOMPANIED BY DAVID R. OLIVER, FROM THE OFFICE OF OIL AND GAS, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, AND WILLIAM A. JOHNSON, SENIOR ENERGY ADVISER, TREASURY DEPARTMENT M r . SIMON. I am delighted to appear before you today. W i t h me is D a r r e l l M . Trent, A c t i n g Director of the Office of Emergency Preparedness ; Dave Oliver f r o m the Office of O i l and Gas, Department of the I n t e r i o r , and B i l l Johnson, Senior Energy Adviser, Treasury Department. I want to discuss the possible shortages of gasoline and other petroleum products. As such, I would like to focus on the f o l l o w i n g : (1) The causes behind these shortages; (2) The effect of these shortages; (3) The impact that gasoline shortages w i l l have on other products f o r the remainder of this year and on home heating o i l supplies next w i n t e r ; (4) The effect of the new mandatory o i l i m p o r t p r o g r a m ; and (5) W h a t steps are being taken to prevent such shortages and their reoccurrence. The first t h i n g to understand is t h a t the demand f o r energy has been increasing continually while our supply has not. W i t h 6 percent of the world's population, we are consuming one-third of the world's energy. Furthermore, the demand f o r energy i n this country is growi n g at an annual rate of about 4 percent and by 1990, our energy needs w i l l be double that of 1970. F u r t h e r , demand f o r gasoline i n the U n i t e d States has been growi n g faster i n the past several years t h a n at any other time i n recent histoiy. Since 1968, gasoline demand has risen at an annual rate of about 5 percent. D u r i n g the past 2 years the rate of increase has been about 6 percent per year. P a r t of this rise i n demand can be explained by g r o w t h i n the population, g r o w t h i n the economy, and the increasi n g number of cars on the road. B u t demand has also risen significantly because of the many powerusing devices added to cars. These include automatic transmissions, air-conditioning, various safety features and the changes made i n automobiles since 1970 i n compliance w i t h E P A regulations issued under the mandate of the Clean A i r A c t . Producers' compliance w i t h 317 these regulations has led to substantially reduced engine efficiency. As more vehicles come on the road equipped w i t h safety emission control, and physical comfort devices, average mileage per gallon w i l l decrease f u r t h e r . A n automobile that once got 14 miles per gallon, now gets 8 or 9 miles, and i t may get only 6 or 7 miles per gallon i f present trends continue. Because new automobiles are not getting the gasoline mileage obtained by their counterparts 5 and 10 years ago. and because we are d r i v i n g more, gasoline consumption has risen. W e are using 300,000 barrels per day more of gasoline this year that we d i d last year. W h i l e gasoline demand has been g r o w i n g at about 6 percent per year, the volume of crude oil processed by refiners has risen only 3 percent per year. W e are now extremely short of refinery capacity and, at the time of the President's energy message, which announced the new oil-import program, no new refineries were under construction. Furthermore, expansion of existing refineries had ceased. G r o w t h i n the capacity of the industry had come to an end because the industry found that it was more profitable to invest abroad than i n the U n i t e d States. One reason f o r this is that environmental restrictions have made i t increasingly difficult to find acceptable sites f o r new refineries i n this ocuntry. Because of resistance to refinery siting, i t may take 3 years to obtain site approvals today, i n addition to the 3 years required f o r construction. Yet, modern refineries can be designed so that they do not significantly pollute the environment. I n this regard, I would mention a recent t r i p which you. Chairman M c I n t y r e , made to inspect a new refinery i n the State of Washington. I understand that you were impressed by the cleanliness of this refinery and have urged your fellow Senators f r o m New E n g l a n d to support such a refinery i n their area. Senator MCINTYRE. One of the things that has bothered me, I asked the question yesterday, I believe, of M r . I k a r d , we saw what was known as a clean refinery, the Arco Clean Refinery, but i n the brochure they said they were u t i l i z i n g technology that was 10 years old. W h a t I want to ask you is, is that the sort of refinery that we could promote or we could be t r y i n g to get underway i n New E n g l a n d that would answer many of the questions that the ecologists raise or have they got other questions? Does this satisfy them at all? M r . S o i o x . I t h i n k there is a fundamental misunderstanding about a refinery. They conjure i n their minds the smoke pouring out of the stacks and the t r a d i t i o n a l way i t does i n the industrial areas of this country. As you saw firsthand, i t just is not that way any longer. W e would hope that that would answer their questions. Whether i t w i l l or not, sir only time w i l l tell. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a t is certainly true, because you recall we accused the A r c o people of having nothing happening at the refinery that day and they t o l d us they put t h r o u g h something like 85,000 barrels w i t h a 5 percent sulfur content crude. M r . SIMON. T h i s is p a r t of the education process t h a t must take place to prove to them that this is indeed a clean refinery and what a clean refinery is. T h a t was a major step i n that direction. I was delighted that you took that t r i p . 318 Senator MCINTYRE. I t was a good t r i p . I t was a l i t t l e too fast. M r . SIMON. O n e d a y ; y e s , s i r . Another reason why the industry lias located new refineries abroad is that U.S. oil import restrictions, i n the past, created uncertainty as to whether new domestic refineries could obtain sufficient imported supplies of crude oil. As long as the Government set improper quotas on a year-to-year and, i n some cases on a month-tomonth basis, no company was assured of the stability of supply necessary to encourage domestic refinery construction. This impediment ended on A p r i l 18 when we terminated volumetric quotas on oil imports. F i n a l l y , the tax and other economic benefits available to refiners i n the Caribbean and i n Canada have been more lucrative than similar provisions available i n the U n i t e d States. F o r all these reasons, U.S. refinery construction has been standing still while U.S. demand f o r refinery products has been growing. T o meet the growing demand f o r gasoline, refiners have been changing their mix of products to increase their yield of gasoline. The average yield of gasoline per barrel of crude oil rose f r o m 43.8 i n 1968 to 46.9 percent i n 1972. This means, of course, that the yield of other products, such as fuel oil, has been reduced. I t is also a short-term expedient at best. Whatever the product m i x , i t w i l l be necessary to increase substantially our overall imports or refinery products to avert both a gasoline shortage this summer and a fuel oil shortage next winter. Our growing lack of refinery products was driven home to the public late i n 1972 w i t h shortages of distillates and other heating fuels i n various parts of the country. Kefineries had to increase their percentage of distillate production and, correspondingly, reduce gasoline production. As a result, we are now coming into the summer season w i t h low gasoline stocks. As of A p r i l 20, we had only 240 m i l l i o n barrels of gasoline i n storage. This is down 12 percent f r o m last y e a r , while demand is up 6 percent. Furthermore, domestic production, even today, is not keeping pace consistently w i t h demand. W e are using an average, 47 m i l l i o n barrels of gasoline weekly and producing only 43 m i l l i o n barrels. F o r this reason^ we are faced w i t h the prospect of serious limitations on gasoline supply. A n important aspect of the supply problem is the distribution system i n this country. Some areas of the country are close to pipelines and refineries. Some areas are served by the retail outlets of the major oil companies. These areas w i l l not feel a shortage as much as otner areas which are relatively distant f r o m pipelines and not well served by the major oil companies. Recognizing the serious nature of the gasoline and fuel o i l shortage, and that there are regional differences i n the intensity of the problem, we have established regional subcommittees of the O i l Policy Committee, of which I am chairman. These groups consist of representatives of the independent segment of the industry serving particular areas of the country. I n addition, we have contacted the Governor's office of each State and explained to them the need to reach some compatibility between our energy needs and State environmetal requirements. 319 A s a result, representatives of the Governor's offices are attending these subcommittee meetings, and we are able to i d e n t i f y regional problems and hopefully deal expeditiously w i t h them. W o r k i n g i n this way, we arc able to maintain flexibility i n the administration of the new oil i m p o r t program and to be responsive to the special problems of particular areas of the country. We are greatly concerned about the independent companies. The independent segment of the o i l industry—the indpendent refiners and the independent marketers—are faced w i t h related but distinct problems. The refiners face crude o i l shortages; the marketers, gasoline shortages. To understand howr these problems developed, i t is important to realize that u n t i l the early seventies, we had surplus crude oil production capacity i n the U n i t e d States. This enabled independent refiners to buy crude o i l and b u i l d refineries to supply, among others, independent jobbers, marketers, and other wholesale customers. There was also a surplus of gasoline and other products being produced by the major oil companies. Independent marketers took advantage of this surplus and opened thousands of gasoline stations to sell gasoline purchased i n the spot market. B y efficient servicing of consumers, these marketers were able to sell gasoline for a few cents a gallon less than the major oil companies. I believe that these independents had a healthy influence 011 the petroleum industry by g i v i n g consumers a greater choice between price and service. They made it possible for consumers to buy gasoline at lower prices. The gasoline shortage has h i t these independents hardest. I n the first place, independent refineries can no longer get adequate supplies of crude oil. They used to obtain domestic crude oil by exchanging their i m p o r t licenses w i t h the major oil companies. The major companies used the i m p o r t licenses to i m p o r t cheaper foreign crude f o r their own use, while p r o v i d i n g the independent refiners w i t h domestic crude oil. I n addition, the so-called sliding scale method of allocating import licenses under the old system gave smaller refineries more than proportionate share of the licenses. A l l this has changed d u r i n g the last 2 years. Quoted prices of foreign crude oil are now equal to or higher than prices of American crude sold i n the same markets. There is a worldwide shortage of low-sulfur or sweet crude. A s a result, major oil companies have had no economic incentive to trade their domestic sweet crude production f o r imported crude obtained by means of independents' i m p o r t tickets. F u r t h e r , because of local air quality standards, companies are compelled to use low-sulfur crude even though their plants are designed f o r refining high-sulfur crude. The result is that the independent refineries cannot get the crude oil they need and are operating at less than f u l l capacity. Independent gasoline marketers are also i n a difficult position. The wholesale market f o r gasoline is d r y i n g up. Many of the independents find it impossible to purchase gasoline wholesale. Hundreds of independent gasoline stations across the country are closing down. Those that can obtain gasoline abroad, find i t available only at much higher prices. This hurts them competitively, since their m a i n selling point w i t h the public is that they can underprice the major o i l companies. 320 The problems of the independent segment of the industry were given considerable attention i n designing the new o i l i m p o r t program. Indeed, had i t not been f o r the independents, the changes i n the program m i g h t have been announced much sooner than they were. O u r basic objective was to balance the need to preserve the independent segment of the petroleum industry w i t h the desire to create a vigorous domestic industry t h r o u g h incentives f o r construction of new refineries i n the U n i t e d States and f o r exploration f o r new reserves of crude oil. W e also wanted to eliminate the many exceptions b u i l t into the oil i m p o r t program and to assure a reasonable stability of prices. Perhaps the major benefit of the new program is the f l e x i b i l i t y t h a t i t provides to importers. Marketers w i l l be able to shop f o r supplies of oil anywhere i n the world. They w i l l no longer be dependent ent i r e l y on their t r a d i t i o n a l sources of supply. Moreover, t h r o u g h the availability of free-exempt licenses issued by the O i l I m p o r t Appeals Board, independent marketers should have access to products at lower cost than their major competitors f o r the remainder of this decade. T h i s should provide the time required by the independent marketers to make the changes necessary to protect their market position. Another benefit of the new program is the incentive i t creates f o r additional output. The independent marketers have depended f o r their economic well-being on the excess refinery capacity of the major o i l companies. Excess definery capacity no longer exists, largely because we, as a Nation, have discouraged refinery expansion and construction. The greatest hope f o r the independent marketers, i n the longrun, w i l l be the incentives provided both independent and major refiners to produce additional supplies of crude o i l and products. This, i n the end, is the only real solution to the problems the independent marketers now face. L e t me discuss at greater length some of the steps we have taken to protect the independents. I n the past, the O i l I m p o r t Appeals B o a r d — O I A B — w o u l d not distribute import licenses i n cases of hardships u n t i l September. They had a small " k i t t y " t h a t they would allocate after all the hardship reports came in, and there was an obvious lag and i n our opinion they were closing the barn door after the horses were let out. W e change dthat i n January o f this year and they went ahead and they issued their entire year's supply i n January of this year, recogn i z i n g that this was not going to be enough we got a Presidential proclamation which gave the O i l I m p o r t Appeals Board the a b i l i t y to pass out an unlimited supply to fee-exempt tickets to the independent segment of this market. T h a t does not mean that the majors can not also go to the O I A B and request a hardship, because we can define hardship not only f r o m the industry but also f r o m the people i n this country. B u t , unless the major o i l company, who has used up his i m p o r t tickets, which I am t o l d lots of them are i n the process of using up, has cleared the market of the i m p o r t ticket of the independent and enabled h i m to continue to function as viably as possible d u r i n g this period of shortage, then they w i l l be denied their request by the O i l I m p o r t Appeals Board. 321 Outstanding i m p o r t licenses w i l l be honored license fee. Since the independents hold a large share of those licenses because of the slidi n g scale and past O I A B allocations, this provides some value t o their tickets where none existed previously. The independents w i l l be able t o i m p o r t o i l at lower cost than the majors. A s a result, the majors should now have greater incentive t o trade w i t h the independents. T o provide greater value t o the independents' tickets, we have suspended existing tariffs. H a d we not done this, the independents' ticket value would have been lower. I do not know how much lower i t can get than zero, but i t would have been lower. The O i l I m p o r t Appeals Board has been given specific responsibility f o r helping the independent refiners and marketers by issuing fee-exempt tickets. The Government has begun t o allocate its " r o y a l t y o i l " t o independent refineries i n need. Under the term o f relatively recent lease sales, the Government can collect some of its royalties in cash or i n a share of the oil produced on lease lands. I n choosing the latter course, i t is, i n effect, d i v e r t i n g crude oil f r o m the major to the independent refineries. Senator MCINTYRE. IS that being done ? M r . SIMON. Yes, sir. I t is. T o date, my testimony says 60.000 barrels, and they are moving this royalty oil, rechanneling it, I should say. We are researching all the various contracts that are out now on royalty oil, we hope to have upwards of 200,000 barrels a day redistributed to the independent, segment o f the country that deals w i t h the needy areas. Senator MCINTYRE. T h a t was one o f the suggestions on Monday last. I am happy to see that that is being done. T h a t was one o f the questions I wanted to ask. I realize that is not going to be the b i g answer but at least i t is a help. M r . SIMON. M r . Chairman, as f a r as the b i g answer is concerned, we are h i t t i n g a lot of singles. We do not have a homerun ball. This power that everybody talks about, g i v i n g me to ration or allocate, the only power that I could have to solve this problem, that would solve it, would be i f I had the ability to create a barrel o f oil or create a barrel of gasoline. Senator MCINTYRE. YOU gather all the singles i n you can. M r . SIMON. That is what we are t r y i n g to do. A l l o f these actions are probably not sufficient t o assure distribution o f adequate supplies o f refinery products t o independent marketers and, especially, adequate supplies of crude oil to independent refiners. I t is f o r this reason that the Government has decided to utilize the authority given i t under the recently-enacted Economic Stabilization Act to allocate both crude oil and products to independents, municipalities and other purchasers who have been cut off f r o m their traditional sources of supply. The O i l Policy Committee has been given general responsibility f o r d r a f t i n g an allocation p r o g r a m ; the Office of O i l and Gas i n the Department o f the I n t e r i o r , responsibility f o r administering the program. The program adopted by the administration relies on voluntary compliance w i t h guidelines, set by the Government, calling 322 f o r the supply of no less than the p r o p o r t i o n of 1971 and 1972 sales to independents and other customers at prices not to exceed posted and rack prices charged by refiners, marketers, distributors and jobbers. O u r purpose is to apportion as evenly as possible, any curtailment i n consumption that w i l l result f r o m gasoline and distillate shortages. P r i o r i t y w i l l be given to meeting the needs of f a r m i n g , other essential industries and State and local governments. A descript i o n of the allocation p l a n is attached to m y statement as exhibit A (see p. 346). The program w i l l apply to a l l segments of the industry. The o i l companies' adherence to these guidelnes w i l l be monitored and, i f voluntary compliance fails, more stringent measures w i l l be taken by the administration. W e hope and I believe t h a t this w i l l be unnecessary. Our p r e l i m i n a r y soundings suggest that the companies are aware of the problems created by curtailments and are w i l l i n g to continue to provide a f a i r share of petroleum products to their established customers. I have talked to three major companies who basically have programs like this already i n effect. Perhaps the most c r i t i c a l problem, however, is the supply of sweet crude o i l to independent refiners. There is, at present, a general shortage of low-sulfur crude oil brought on, i n part, by the requirements of several Eastern States and municipalities that refiners use sweet crude o i l to meet air quality standards, even though these refineries are designed to take sour or h i g h - s u l f u r crude oil. This has diverted sweet crude to the east coast refineries of major oil companies and way f r o m i n l a n d independent refineries, many of whom are unable to handle high-sulfur crude oil. A t the same time, the major o i l companies have had l i t t l e incentive to exchange crude oil because the price of domestic o i l is now equal to or lower than the landed price of foreign oil. Under Cost of L i v i n g Council rules, the majors cannot charge the replacement value—so i t is no surprise that the majors have been reluctant to swap U n i t e d States f o r foreign crude oil. The administration is t r y i n g to r e c t i f y these problems. W e are w o r k i n g w i t h the Cost of L i v i n g Council to find a compatibility between maintaining stable prices and p r o v i d i n g adequate compensat i o n to the major oil companies that do exchange domesticallyproduced o i l f o r imported oil. These measures should help to b r i n g about a more equitable dist r i b u t i o n of crude oil and products i n the short run. W h a t about the long run? W h a t is being done to solve the basic gasoline and distillate shortages that have created the d i s t r i b u t i o n problems w i t h which we are now concerned? W e have established a license-fee program f o r crude o i l and product imports. This program removes all volumetric quotas on imports and allows free i m p o r t a t i o n of crude and product subject to a fee of 21 cents and 63 cents a barrel, or one h a l f and one and oneh a l f cents per gallon, respectively, after %y2 years. T h i s is a longrun system which is designed to spur the construction of refineries i n the U n i t e d States. I t does this by removing obstacles to acquiring an assured supply of crude oil and by i n s t i t u t i n g a price differential between crude and products sufficient to guarantee an adequate profit f r o m domestic refining. I am happy to report that, 323 since the President's energy message on A p r i l 18, a number of companies including Shell, Ashland, the Pittston Corp., and Standard O i l of California have announced that they now plan to build or expand refineries i n the United States as long as sites are available. We intend to help them i n this siting problem. Others have indicated to us that they are seriously considering building refineries here but have not yet made their plans public. I n addition, several independent marketers have stated their intention to develop their own U.S. refinery capability, a necessary step i f the independent marketers are to become a full}' viable entity i n the industry. I n each case, however, the decision to build a new refinery is contingent upon a satisfactory solution to the "siting problem," the seemingly chronic inability of the industry to obtain approval to build new refineries i n many parts of the country. Senator MCINTYRE. DO .you feel that that is a chronic inability. I have been sort of suspecting that t h e y — I know they have been turned down i n several areas. I know some States have moved to bar them. M r . SIMON. We have laws i n several States. Senator MCINTYRE. I wonder i f this has not been sort of a shadow, that the oil industry itself has been p u t t i n g out, not really, not a substantial thing. Do you know that they have been time and time again abandoning plans for refineries? M r . SIMON. I know companies and i f given some time I could get you the definitive facts on this. They have purchased land. They have paid substantial prices for options on land and they continue to pay these option fees, but just one obstacle after another conies up oil the environment issue. Yes, I do. Senator JOHNSON. W o u l d the chairman yield? S e n a t o r MCINTYRE. Yes. Senator JOHNSTON. I t h i n k that Pittston Refinery that you just referred to is having some difficulties, are they not, not only the United States but the Canadians as well ? M r . STMON. I was not aware of the Canadian problem. Senator JOHNSTON. Isn't i t r i g h t close to Canada there and the Canadians are saying i t is going to r u i n their fishing? M r . SIMON. Oh, I have been t r y i n g to focus on the American problem. Senator TOWER. They arc confronted w i t h lawsuits i n some instances, are they not'( M r . SIMON. Yes, sir, most of them are lawsuits. Just the ones that we know of since tie A p r i l 18 e n e r g y message are upward o f a million and a half barrels a day of production. 1 am 80 percent positive the others I talk to would surely add at least that much. We have got the desire here. Now, we have to help them i n every way we can to get the siting, the proper places, and educate the public that a refinery is not what i t was 25 years ago or even 10 years ago. We are also taking actions to solve the domestic crude oil shortage by a proposal we are making t o the Congress f o r an exploratory d r i l l i n g investment credit. This gives a 7 percent tax credit for new d r i l l i n g , plus a supplementary credit o f 5 percent f o r successful 324 wells. We are confident that this program, i f enacted by the Congress, w i l l stimulate crude o i l production and have a significant impact on gasoline and fuel oil supplies. Energy conservation can play an important role i n stretching gasoline supplies and thus reducing the shortage. T o this end, we w i l l need the cooperation of the Government, indust r y and the public. F o r example, the public is being encouraged to minimize its use of automobiles this summer. A c c o r d i n g to the Automobile Manufacturers Association, about 56 percent of the cars on the road contain only the driver. T h i s underutilization of cars can be reduced i n many cases, especially i n metrop o l i t a n areas. Carpools and public transportation should be substituted. where possible, f o r single-occupant cars. Use of smaller cars, w i t h better gasoline mileage performance is another measure the public m i g h t take to conserve gasoline. A d d i t i o n a l measures include reducing the use of the automobile air conditioner, keeping tires properly inflated, c u t t i n g off motors wrhen stalled i n traffic, and avoiding excessive speeds on the highway. I am attaching as exhibit B a list of conservation measures t h a t can be taken to help reduce the demand f o r petroleum products. I am sure you gentlemen could t r i p l e that list w i t h ease. Some have expressed concern that the price of gasoline w i l l rise to astronomical levels. T h i s concern is unfounded. There has been a substantial rise i n foreign crude o i l prices i n the last 3 years and we w i l l probably experience additional price increases i n the future. B u t crude o i l accounts f o r only a small fraction of the costs of producing gasoline. F o r instance, i f the crude o i l price were doubled, this w o u l d increase the price of gasoline by only 8 cents a gallon. One of the largest components of the price of gasoline is represented by Federal and State taxes. I break the components dowrn i n that paragraph. I t is interesting to note that i n England, the retail price of regular gas is 64.5 cents a gallon. Basically i n Europe a l l the prices are much higher because 75 percent of i t is i n taxes and not i n the stream of producing, refining, and distribution. Gasoline and other prices w i l l probably increase over time. T h i s would provide benefits to the N a t i o n : I t w i l l help to save some independent gasoline dealers and refiners who are otherwise going to go out of business. I t w i l l encourage Americans to conserve on gasoline. I t would also help to provide the economic incentives needed to speed up the construction and expansion of badly needed domestic refinery capacity. A major effort is being made now, and f o r the rest of the summer, to produce more gasoline. T h i s w i l l have the eifect of reducing the yield of fuel oil below that which was being produced a fewr months ago. The question is whether, as a result, we w i l l have adequate stocks of fuel oil f o r next winter. I n January, the President removed all restrictions on the importation of No. 2 fuel oil. P a r t l y f o r this reason, stocks of distillate f u e l oil are now higher t h a n at this time last year. I m p o r t s of f u e l o i l continue at h i g h levels. We are now i m p o r t i n g over 200,000 barrels per day. This, combined w i t h domestic production, gives us a t o t a l 325 projected supply that is adequate to meet our needs this summer and, b a r r i n g extremely cold weather, to make i t through next winter. I n addition to this, we are confident that the recent changes i n the oil i m p o r t program w i l l help us to attain needed levels of imports of fuel oil. M a j o r o i l companies can now b r i n g i n any amount of fuel oil they wish by p a y i n g a license fee of 15 cents a barrel. The independents can, effectivclv, b r i n g i n fuel o i l without paving any fee at all. F u r t h e r , I believe there is adequate refinery capacity overseas to produce the fuel o i l required by the U n i t d Stats, p a r t i c u l a r l y i f U.S. refineries maximize their yields of gasoline. I n conclusion, let me say that I am basically opposed, as I am sure are most of the members of this committee, to the needless injection of Government regulation and control into any industry, particularly where there is every evidence of intense and healthy competition. I do not want to take any step which would discourage private initiative. I believe the new oil i m p o r t program provides the proper incentives f o r such initiative. O f course, I realize t h a t the new program has not solved all of the problems. We d i d not expect that i t would or could because there is just no way that any program can create a barrel of oil. I n the longrun, however, I feel this program w i l l help create a vigorous domestic petroleum industry. A t the same time, i n the shortrun, I t h i n k we are i n a situation i n which we need to make decisions on priorities. We cannot afford to let crops go implanted or unharvested f o r lack of diesel fuel f o r our tractors. We cannot let our v i t a l industries close down. We cannot endanger public health or safety. A n d , finally, we should not let the independent segment of the oil industry, which provides competition i n the marketplace, be forced to shut down. A l l of us here would be delighted to respond to any questions that you have. Senator MCIXTYRE. Let me say, M r . Secretary, that is a good, allinclusive statement, I t h i n k . I t looks to me like you gentlemen have been doing your homework, looking f o r all those singles you are t r y i n g to find. I would like to ask a few questions. I)o you have any f i r m estimate or any good estimate of when you t h i n k this voluntary program w i l l become effective, M r . Secretary? M r . SIMOX. W e w i l l publish this today. Y o u w i l l have testimony tomorrow f r o m M r . L i g o n , who is the head of the Office of O i l and Gas i n the I n t e r i o r Department who w i l l be i n charge of the implementation of this program. H e is prepared to send out the telegrams and wires to the various segments of the industry w i t h our government guidelines. Senator MCIXTYRE. W h y do you t h i n k a voluntary program w i l l be effective? Shouldn't the program also contain some mandatory enforcement features to insure that the oil industry w i l l comply? M r . SIMOX. I t h i n k the economic stabilization program gives the mandatory flavor to this. I f the voluntary program does not work, then more stringent measures could be taken. I would not like to move to the stringent measures r i g h t at the outset because you know the distortions that creates i n the industry. I t h i n k we can get the 326 job done w i t h this policy that we have here. T h a t does not mean we are going to solve a l l our problems, because i t does not solve the supp l y problem. I do not want to be moving shortages f r o m one area of the country to the other. I do want to i d e n t i f y p r i o r i t y areas. Food is certainly a very important t h i n g and our farmers need their distillate. Senator MCINTYRE. I n order to quiz you pretty thoroughly 011 this question, i t would have been h e l p f u l i f we could have gotten this statement a l i t t l e earlier than 5 minutes before this hearing started. I understand there were some changes and some last-minute decisions. M r . SIMON. Not only that, I was only put i n charge on Saturday, and I made one of my few t r i p s last weekend. I came back Sunday to work on this. I t looks very simple, just three pages, but I want to tell you the agonies that went into d r a w i n g up this. Senator MCINTYRE. M r . Secretary, what about the average citizen who needs gas f o r his car, w i l l he be able to get a sufficient supply this summer i n your opinion? M r . SIMON. There are going to be spot shortages i n the country as I explained. O u r inventories of gasoline are presently 12 percent below a year ago. Twelve percent is about 1 m i l l i o n barrels of gasoline, w h i c h is approximately 3 days' supply. I f the American people w i l l respond to just some simple conservat i o n measures over the next few months as refineries are producing the gasoline that is so desperately needed, I believe most Americans w i l l be able to get the gasoline t h a t they need. I am not suggsting a drive f r o m the east coast to the west coast. T h i s w i l l not alleviate the problems we have due to the d i s t r i b u t i o n systems i n some areas of the Midwest and the Southeast. Senator MCINTYRE. I t is obvious you do not, but do you feel t h a t detailed rationing w i l l be necessary ? M r . SIMON. I d o n o t . Senator MCINTYRE. A l l of the evidence that we have had so f a r indicates that we have got this immediate problem t h a t you have been dealing w i t h and that is this summer, what you have said about Xo. 2 o i l was hopeful, but I have heard that song before, you know. I w o r r y about that. E i g h t now, what do you t h i n k of the summer of 1974? M r . SIMON. L e t me address the first question you asked on the dist i l l a t e f o r next winter. O u r present inventories are 12 percent above a year ago. I have to w a i t one more month, because our inventories r i g h t now on distillate are 110 m i l l i o n barrels versus 113 i n 1971. Then there was a b i g j u m p i n 1971 which brought i t up to 125 million. W e feel that imports and production f o r this next m o n t h are going to b r i n g i t close to that figure, and 1971 is the year t h a t we must use i n our compasion because 1971 we got through going i n w i t h 125 m i l l i o n at this time of the year. So, I am optimistic on next winter. A s f a r as next summer is concerned, I really could not answer that. I t wTould be guesswork on my part, M r . Chairman. Senator MCINTYRE. W h a t is the order of allocation ? 327 Y o u have talked about the farmer. M r . SIMON. W e d i d not attempt to i d e n t i f y an order—if I could have thought of a better way than 1 through 8, I would leave i t off completely. I t h i n k all of these priorities are important and we are asking the refiners and the major integrated companies as well as the marketers to focus their attention on these areas of p r i o r i t y f o r our country. Senator MCINTYRE. SO they are a l l of equal p r i o r i t y ? M r . SIMON. I would say certainly—very definitely, because you arc going to find that farmers i n some areas do not have a problem but State and local governments do i n that area. Senator MCINTYRE. I notice you are going to recommend some f u r ther benefits to the industry to get them going on more exploration and all that. But I also notice—and, thank goodness you are t a l k i n g about the independent, that business businessman that we have heard so much from—is this going to represent any saving to h i m ? L e t us take the case of Arango Oil. T h i s is up i n New Hampshire. Under P h i l l i p s as a supplier, 37 stations were put i n over a number o f years and this became one o f his b i g independents—you know, the small type o f station. Suddenly P h i l l i p s Petroleum is cutting h i m off at the end of this month. H e has desperately w i t h i n the last 2 or 3 months been t r y i n g to find another supplier. B u t there have been no takers. I s there any help i n this allocation f o r this fellowT, or is he caught? H e has already been to court and has gotten nowhere. M r . SIMON. W e have established a base period and that base period is the last quarter of 1971 and the first 9 months of 1972. Where the barrel of crude starts i n our economy, whether i t is imported or refined, i t must go t h r o u g h the same channels and honor the contracts that were in existence at that time on a percentage basis, o f course, not on a volume basis because of the supply problem today. Senator MCINTYRE. I n effect, he is given a lease on life. M r . SIMON. Not to the extent that he was, but a percentage of the extent that he was; yes, sir. Also we deal w i t h the spot market i n this, because we had so many independents that were i n the spot market entirely and depended f o r their supplies on this economic m a r g i n of the industry. People who were dealing i n the spot market w i l l be p u t t i n g the same percentage into that market w h i c h they d i d i n the base period. Senator MCINTYRE. IS this allocation t a k i n g place today, going into effect today ? M r . SIMON. The Office of O i l and Gas w i l l be sending the wires out today. This, as I say, is voluntary. I would expect the news o f this w i l l travel very quickly. Senator MCINTYRE. Senator Tower? Senator TOWER. M r . Secretary, on page 4 o f your testimony you note t h a t the tax and other economic benefits available to refiners i n the Caribbean and i n Canada have been more lucrative than similar provisions available i n the U n i t e d States. Can you tell me a l i t t l e something about those provisions that make i t more attractive to b u i l d refineries i n those areas? 328 M r . SIMON. W e l l , what w7e have done to offset this, of course, is Senator TOWER. The investment credit ? M r . SIMON. NO. W e are g r a n t i n g 75 percent of the t h r o u g h - p u t of a new or expanded refinery license fee tickets f o r 5 years. T h i s is what we believe, and the companies have t o l d us, has precipitated decisions to b u i l d here i n this country. I t h i n k probably the major reason that we have been exporting our refinery capacity is the s i t i n g problem and the delays and the expense involved, as I explained before. There are also tax considerations where, i n the Caribbean you pay lower taxes f o r a period of time or just lower taxes, period. Some have expressed to us that that is offset by h a v i n g t o have maybe more laborers i n their refinery than the people who w o u l d w o r k here i n this country on a productive-type basis. Senator TOWER. The administration's new tax proposals includes a provision t o prevent the offset o f intangible d r i l l i n g cost against income f r o m other sources. The explicit purpose of this provision is to prevent passive investors f r o m investing i n these types of enterprises purely f o r tax purposes. These investors have been the basic source of d r i l l i n g funds i n the past and the result of c u r t a i l n g this investment wTould seem to be the f u r t h e r aggravating of the domestic f u e l shortage. W h a t is the Administration's program f o r s t i m u l a t i n g investment i n exploration as an alternative to the present method ? M r . SIMON. I have not had an o p p o r t u n i t y to t a l k to that many independent producers since we announced the p r o g r a m but I have talked to several. I do not believe that this has destroyed the incentive f o r investors who seek a h i g h rate of r e t u r n i f indeed they are f o r t u nate enough to h i t on an exploratory well. I n 1971 and 1972, 83 percent o f a l l well d r i l l e d i n the U n i t e d States were d r y holes. Therefore, an investor would i n those years be able to w r i t e off the whole investment. I f you p u t a $100,000 i n a well and i t was d r y , w h i c h the chances are 5 to 1 that they are, he would write i t off. I f he hits i t is more a postponement of the total intangible d r i l l i n g than a negation of it. I t is postponing i t u n t i l the income comes in. H e s t i l l gets t h a t intangible d r i l l i n g credit but i t is applied f o r equity reasons, as Secret a r y Schultz explained at great length, f o r equity reasons against the oil income. Senator TOWER. I get reports f r o m m y State t h a t the effect of the A p r i l 30 cutoff date f o r allowable use of the intangible d r i l l i n g cost offset against other sources o f income is that no one can raise any f u r t h e r money f r o m passive investors, and d r i l l i n g i n Texas is, i n effect, coming to a halt. W o u l d the Treasury be w i l l i n g to consider moving the effective date of their proposal f o r w a r d to a later time u n t i l Congress has studied these proposals ? I t is h a v i n g a very deadening effect on o i l and gas exploration w i t h the A p r i l 30 date i n the proposal. M r . SIMON. I would like to assess t h a t situation and t a l k w i t h the Secretary, Senator. Senator TOWER. YOU may supply the answer f o r the record, i f you would. 329 M r . SIMON. Y e s , s i r . Senator TOWER. I note that you have made reference to the investment credit, but w i l l this really b r i n g t o bear on the exploration process these private funds f o r smaller d r i l l i n g and exploration companies ? I can see the investment credit helping the large company which can raise funds i n the capital market, but what about the independent segment of the industry ? M r . SIMON. I definitely believe i t w i l l . I met w i t h an independent producer yesterday. H e t o l d me that the investment credit was the biggest incentive he had seen. H e has been i n the oil business all his life, and i n your State, Senator Tower. Also he pointed out another area that would be good as f a r as our energy problem today is concerned. T h a t is wells that m i g h t have been capped. They w i l l now go after w i t h that extra 5 percent f o r a successful well. They w i l l be producing more o i l and gas as a result of this 5 percent because they w i l l be going to secondary recoveries. Senator TOWER. I was not asking you about secondary recovery. Does your proposal cover new secondary recovery i n the investment credit ? M r . SIMON. T h i s is only f o r exploration 2 miles away f r o m an existi n g well. Senator TOWER. W h y couldn't i t apply also to secondary recovery to make t h a t more profitable ? M r . SIMON. W e l l , that was discussed and not taken into consideration i n the final analysis. Senator TOWER. W o u l d you oppose such a proposal ? M r . SIMON. I would be glad to respond to that i n the same manner as your other question, because that is a fundamental policy decision. Senator TOWER. W o u l d you supply that for the record ? M r . SIMON. Y e s , s i r , I will. [The i n f o r m a t i o n f o l l o w s : ] Questions o n T a xL a w Changes A f f e c t i n g O i lD r i l l i n g Simon b y Senator Tower t o William E. 1. It is my understanding that many independent drillers in Texas have suspended their operations because of the proposal by the President to dismantle the intangible drilling allowance. and, particularly, the fact that the suspension would be retroactive to April SO. Would it not make sense to change the suspension to a later date, notably the date at which the tax reform legislation, if passed, is enacted? 2. Does the 7% tax credit on drilling, with the additional recovery? successf ul wells, not apply to secondary 5% tax credit for Response t o Q u e s t i o n A b o u t W h e t h e r E x p l o r a t o r y D r i l l i n g Credit Applies t o "Secondary Recovery" Investment I t i s i m p o r t a n t t o d i s t i n g u i s h between a "second e f f o r t " and "secondary recovery." The a d d i t i o n a l 5 percent credit f o r a successful w e l l is a n e x t r a incentive f o r d r i l l e r s t o u n d e r t a k e a "second e f f o r t " t o make a w e l l productive, whether t h r o u g h a d d i t i o n a l d r i l l i n g or other techniques. T h i s i s consistent w i t h the purpose of the credit, w T hich is t o promote t h e discovery of a d d i t i o n a l reserves. "Secondary recovery" is a t e r m w i t h v a r i e d meanings. One generally accepted definition i s the use o f techniques, such as t h e i n j e c t i o n of l i q u i d s or gases i n t o the o i l reservoir, i n order to move the o i l w i t h i n the reservoir to the producing i n t e r v a l f r o m w T hich the o i l is being pumped. These techniques can be used early 330 i n the l i f e of the w e l l to m a i n t a i n pressure i n the reservoir and thus to enhance the rate of production. B u t such pressure maintenance is usually distinguished f r o m t r u e secondary recovery, which involves the application of secondary recovery techniques at the t i m e when a w e l l is approaching, or has reached, the end of production under regular production methods. The proposed d r i l l i n g credit is l i m i t e d to exploratory wells and w o u l d n o t apply to secondary recovery operations on an existing well. We have l i m i t e d the credit to exploratory wells because the most urgent long-term need is to encourage the discovery of new domestic o i l and gas reserves and because e x i s t i n g tax incentives and sources of financing are already adequate f o r the less r i s k y production w e l l t h a t simply extends production f r o m a k n o w n reservoir. Seconda r y recovery operations, w h i l e not entirely r i s k free, are more analogous to production w e l l d r i l l i n g t h a n to exploratory w e l l d r i l l i n g . Moreover, difficult a d m i n i s t r a t i v e problems m i g h t arise i n distinguishing pressure maintenance f r o m secondary recovery efforts. We would thus oppose extension of the credit to secondary recovery operations. Response t o Question Respecting Effective Date of Tax Shelter Proposal As presented on A p r i l 30 to the House Ways and Means Committee, the Treasury Department's t a x shelter proposal f o r l i m i t i n g to some extent the deduction of certain expenses, including intangible d r i l l i n g costs, provided t h a t i t w o u l d be effective w i t h respect to transactions entered i n t o a f t e r A p r i l 30, 1973. Our purpose i n proposing t h a t effective date, of course, was to prevent investors f r o m rushing i n t o transactions before the proposal w o u l d become effective. Such hastily made investments are often uneconomical. Moreover, we were concerned t h a t i f the volume of such investments were substantial, they m i g h t effectively undermine the purpose of the proposal. Nonetheless, the proposed effective date was the cause of considerable concern and uncertainty among investors i n the affected sectors of the economy. On June 1, 1073, Representatives M i l l s and Schneebeli announced t h a t , i n general, they d i d not expect any legislation dealing w i t h t a x shelters to apply to the period p r i o r to the announcement by the House Committee on W a y s and Means of i t s decision on such legislation. Subsequently, the T r e a s u r y stated t h a t i t supported t h a t announcement. These announcements are attached f o r insertion i n the record. D e p a r t m e n t o f t i i e T r e a s u r y N e w s R e l e a s e , J u n e 4, 1073 The T r e a s u r y Department today issued the f o l l o w i n g statement: Treasury is pleased w i t h the statement issued June i , 1973. by W i b u r D. M i l l s , C h a i r m a n of the House Ways and Means Committee, and the Committee's ranking m i n o r i t y member, H e r m a n T. Schneebeli, i n d i c a t i n g t h e i r expectation t h a t the Committee w i l l report a b i l l on t a x shelters this year. The Treasury Department had proposed an A p r i l 30 effective date i n i t s o r i g i n a l t a x proposal f o r certain l i m i t a t i o n s on a r t i f i c i a l accounting losses. However, M r . M i l l s and M r . Schneebeli indicate their expectation t h a t the effective date f o r any new provisions would not apply before the date of announcement of the Committee decisions, and w o u l d not affect deductions occurring i n 1973, subject to possible exceptions i f there should be abnormal transactions. T h a t general approach to effective dates w o u l d be acceptable to the Treasury. The Treasury proposal w i t h respect to a r t i f i c i a l accounting losses is accordingly amended to conform to the approach outlined by M r . M i l l s and M r . Schneebeli and to delete the reference to an A p r i l 30, 1973 effective date. J o i n t S t a t e m e n t of Congressman W i l b u r D. M i l l s , C h a i r m a n , and Cong r e s s m a n H e r m a n T. Schneebeli, R a n k i n g M i n o r i t y M e m b e r o f t h e Committee on W a y s and Means, Regarding t h e Effective Dates of Proposals Dealing W i t h Tax Shelters The Honorable W i l b u r D. M i l l s , Congressman f r o m the 2nd D i s t r i c t of A r kansas, and The Honorable H e r m a n T. Schneebeli, Congressman f r o m the 17th 331 D i s t r i c t of P e n n s y l v a n i a , C h a i r m a n and R a n k i n g M i n o r i t y Member, respectively, of the C o m m i t t e e on W a y s a n d Meaiis, U.S. House o f Representatives, t o d a y issued the f o l o w i n g j o i n t s t a t e m e n t : W e have been i n f o r m e d t h a t the ffective dates proposed by t h e T r e a s u r y f o r t h e i r proposals d e a l i n g w i t h the problem o f t a x shelters have been a m a t t e r of concern t o the i n d u s t r i e s involved. W e t h o u g h t t h a t to some e x t e n t we m i g h t be able to c l a r i f y the s i t u a t i o n . T h e W a y s a n d Means Commitee is considering a v a r i e t y o f proposals d e a l i n g w i t h t h e p r o b l e m of t a x shelters, i n c l u d i n g the proposals presented by the Treasu r y D e p a r t m e n t . W e expect t h a t a b i l l w i l l be reported on t h i s subject t h i s year. Because t h e r e are a n u m b e r of a l t e r n a t i v e w a y s of d e a l i n g w T ith these problems, however, a n y effective date provisions w i l l have to be w o r k e d o u t i n connection w i t h the specific provisions reflecting t h e Commitee's decisions i n these areas. Based upon the past practices of t h e W a y s a n d Means Committee, we w o u l d expect t h a t t h e effective dates f o r t h e new provisions generally w o u l d not apply before t h e date o f t h e announcement o f the C o m m i t t e e decisions a n d i n a n y event ( i n the absence o f year-end a b n o r m a l t r a n s a c t i o n s ) probably not i n the case o f deductions o c c u r r i n g i n 1073. H o w e v e r , i f there should be an u n u s u a l l y large volume of t r a n s a c t i o n s i n t h e p e r i o d i m m e d i a t e l y ahead, i t m i g h t be necess a r y f o r t h e Commitee t o a p p l y the new provisions t o some e x t e n t d u r i n g t h i s period. Senator TOWTER. I t seems to me t h a t is a good source of additional energy. There should be some incentive to go back and recover some of this crude that heretofore has not been economical to recover. T h a n k you, M r . Chairman. Senator MCINTYRE. Senator Johnston. Senator JOHNSTON. The tax credit t h a t is outlined here, does that apply to foreign d r i l l i n g as well as to domestic d r i l l i n g ? M r . SIMON. NO, s i r . Senator JOHNSTON. T h a t is only f o r domestic d r i l l i n g ? M r . SIMON. Y e s , s i r . Senator JOHNSTON. M r . Secretary, the I n t e r i o r Committee passed out a fuels allocation b i l l today, and i t may, as I understand i t , be tagged on to some b i l l this m o r n i n g or this afternoon f o r considerat i o n by the Senate today. Now the chief difference that I can ascertain on an economic basis between that b i l l and the voluntary program that you are t a l k i n g about, i n addition to the fact that one is voluntary and one is mandatory, is the fact that under your program you make the refiner, the distributor, and so on, sell to his customers as they existed d u r i n g the base period, the same percentage t h a t he sold to them, whereas under the program passed out this morning, i t would require each dist r i b u t o r to sell to independents i n general the same percentage and would give h i m some leeway i n choosing which ones to sell to. Do you understand the difference? M r . SIMON. I t h i n k so. W h a t we are attempting to do is not only i d e n t i f y classes of trade w h i c h are your independent segment, but also your classes o f customers. Because i n just dealing w i t h t