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ational Manpower and Training Needs Revised 1974 Bulletin 1824 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Bureau of Labor Statistics 1974 Occupational Manpower and Training Needs Revised 1974 Bulletin 1824 Information for Vocational Counseling and Planning for Occupational Training U. S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Peter J. Brennan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Julius Shiskin, Commissioner 1974 ☆ U .S . GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1974 0 - 5 8 3 -6 6 8 (29) For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402, GPO Bookstores, or BLS Regional Offices listed on inside back cover. Price $1.80. Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. Preface This bulletin presents both general and detailed information on the relationship between occupational manpower requirements and training needs. It is a revision and updating of BLS Bulletin 1701 of the same title. This bulletin was prepared as part of the Bureau of Labor Statistics program for preparing and disseminating projections of the economy to 1985 and information on the manpower implications of these projections. Other Bureau publications presenting information on 1985 projections include the Occupational Outlook Handbook, Bulletin 1785; The U.S. Economy in 1985, Bulletin 1809; and The Structure o f the U.S. Economy in 1980 and 1985, Bulletin 1831 (in process). Information needed to plan education and training programs and for vocational guidance includes projections of occupational requirements and information on occupational training. Chapter 1 of this bulletin discusses how occupational projections and training data can be used for planning and counseling. Chapter 2 presents an overview of occupational projections, and Chapter 3 provides information from a variety of sources on the status of occupational training. Chapter 4 gives detailed information on how workers in specific occupations obtain training, along with projections of requirements for each of these occupations and statistics on training programs to the extent that they are available. This bulletin was prepared in the Division of Manpower and Occupational Outlook of the Bureau of Labor Statistics under the general direction of Neal H. Rosenthal. Gerard C. Smith supervised the preparation of the bulletin. Harold Blitz, Elizabeth Bullivant, Stephen Ginther, Linda Jarett, Katherine Naughton, H. James Neary, Joan Slowitsky, and Darrel P. Wash contributed to the collection, preparation, and analysis of the data. m Contents Chapter 1. Chapter 2. Chapter 3. Chapter 4. Page Using occupational projections and training data for planning and counseling .................................. 1 Data on projections......................................................................................................................... 1 Data on training ............................................................................................................................. 3 Illustrations of ways information may be u s e d ....................... ' ................................................... 4 Occupational p ro je c tio n s.......................................................................................................................... 7 Factors affecting occupational employment ............................................................................... 7 Changing occupational structure .............................................................................. 7 Growth trends in major g r o u p s ...................... 10 Net occupational o p e n in g s ....................................... 13 The status of occupational tr a in in g .............................................................................................................15 Vocational e d u c a tio n ..........................................................................................................................15 Apprenticeship p ro g ra m s................................................................................................................... 17 Employer training ............................................................................................................................. 18 Armed Forces training ...................................................................................................................... 19 Federal manpower p ro g r a m s ............................................................................................................ 20 Home study courses ......................................................................................................................... 21 Community and junior colleges.........................................................................................................22 College and university tr a i n i n g ......................................................................................................... 23 Relating training to occupational n e e d s .......................................................................................................25 The outlook for college graduates......................................................................................................25 Industrial production and related occupations............................. 28 Foundry occupations................................................................................................................28 Machining o cc u p atio n s............................................................................................................ 28 Printing (graphic arts) o cc u p atio n s.........................................................................................29 Other industrial production and related o ccu p atio n s........................................................... 30 Office o c c u p a tio n s.............................................................................................................................33 Clerical occupations ................................................................................................................33 Computer and related o cc u p atio n s.........................................................................................36 Banking o cc u p a tio n s................................................................................................................36 Insurance occupations ............................................................................................................ 37 Administrative and related occupations ............................................................................... 37 Service occupations.............................................................................................................................38 Cleaning and related occupations............................................................................................ 38 ' Food service occupations......................................................................................................... 39 Personal service o c c u p a tio n s.................................................................................................. 40 Private household service occupations ..................................................................................40 Protective and related service o c c u p a tio n s ........................................................................... 41 Other service occupations ......................................................................................................42 Education and related o cc u p atio n s................... 42 Teaching occupations ............................................................................................................ 42 Library occupations ................................................................................................................43 Sales o ccupations................................................................................................................................44 Construction occupations ............................................................................................................... 46 Occupations in transportation activities ........................................................................................ 49 Air transportation occupations...............................................................................................49 Merchant marine occupations ............................................................................................... 51 Railroad occupations............................................................................................................... 51 Driving occupations ............................................................................................................... 52 Contents— Continued Page 54 Scientific and technical occupations .......................................... Conservation occupations ............................................................................. 54 Engineers . . . . .......................................................................................................................54 Environmental s c ie n tis ts ..........................................................................................................55 Life science o c c u p a tio n s..........................................................................................................55 Mathematics occupations..........................................................................................................57 Physical scientists ................................................................................................................... 57 Technician occupations ......................................................................................................... 5g Mechanics and re p airm en ................................................................................................................... 60 Telephone craft o c c u p a tio n s...................................................................................................60 Other mechanics and repairmen ............................................................................................ 60 Health o cc u p atio n s.............................................................................................................................64 Dental occupations................................................................................................................... 64 Medical p ra ctitio n ers................................................................................................................65 Medical technician, technologist, and assistant occupations .............................................. 67 Nursing occupations ................................................................................................................68 Therapy and rehabilitation occupations ...............................................................................69 Other health occupations......................................................................................................... 70 Social scien tists................................................................................................................................... 71 Social service occupations .......................................... 72 Counseling occupations .........................................................................................................72 Clergymen ................................................................................................................................73 Other social service occupations ............................................................................................73 Art, design, and communications-related occupations ................................................................74 Design occupations ................................................................................................................74 Communications-related o c c u p a tio n s.................................................................... . . . 76 Charts: 1. 2. Through the mid-1980’s employment growth will vary widely among occupations ........................ 8 Employment is expected to continue to shift toward white-collar o c c u p a tio n s .................................. 9 1. 2. Average job outlook information for the United States and Georgia, 1973-80 ................................ 6 Average annual rates of employment change, by major occupational group, 1960-72 and projected for 1972-85 ........................................................................................................................ 10 Employment Dy major occupational group, 1960,1972, and projected for 1980 and 1985 . . . 11 Projected requirements and job openings for major occupational groups, 1972-85 .................... 14 Examples of curriculums offering training for specific o c c u p a tio n s................................................ 16 Enrollments in vocational education, by level, fiscal year 1972 ............................ ........................ 16 Enrollments in vocational education, by program, fiscal year 1972 ............................ .... 17 Training status of registered apprentices in all trades, 1960-72 ........................................................ 18 Projected supply of college graduates, 1972-85 26 Projected requirements for college graduates, 1972-85 26 Average annual number of earned degrees, 1962-72 and projected for selected periods, 1972-85 . 26 Tables: 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. Appendixes: A. Methods and assumptions for projections of manpower requirem ents................................................. 77 B. Detailed occupational p ro je c tio n s .............................................................................................................79 C. Detailed training s ta tis tic s .......................................................................................................................... 8g D. State employment security a g e n c ie s........................................................................................................108 Chapter 1. Using Occupational Projections and Training Data for Planning and Counseling Planning occupational training programs and counseling young persons to help them make good career decisions are difficult yet extremely important tasks. There is a bewildering array of occupations in the United States economy; more than 13,000 are defined by the Dictionary o f Occupational Titles published by the U.S. Department of Labor. These thousands of occupations range from simple jobs that can be learned in just a few hours or days to occupations that require several years of specialized preparation. Occupational projections and training data are key elements in both vocational counseling and planning education and training programs. Although many indi viduals make wise career choices based on substantial information, others receive little or no guidance and fall into jobs by chance. Some are successful, but others are not because of misinformation or lack of information. In turn, individuals planning training and education pro grams often do not have sufficient occupational informa tion to plan wisely. As a result, vocational schools may prepare graduates who cannot find jobs in their field of study while shortages exist for workers in other fields. Projections of manpower needs serve many other purposes as well. In major legislation on training and education, Congress has explicitly indicated that training programs financed by the government should be based on assessments of future manpower needs. In addition, projections may be used to alert government and other interested parties to potential imbalances in manpower supply and demand; to help choose between alternative policies; to assist in administering specific government programs; to provide information necessary for develop ing other types of projections; and to encourage an informed and responsible public concern for manpower problems, l Information in this bulletin serves all of these purposes. Other Bureau publications, however, focus on some uses more sharply. For example, the Occupational Outlook Handbook, which draws on the same body of research, focuses on providing information for use in vocational guidance. Data in this bulletin reflect the national situation. However, most educational and training planning is done To meet the needs of planners and counselors, this bulletin brings together information on future man- I These specific uses of manpower projections are discussed in fuller detail in Manpower Projections: An Appraisal and a Plan o f Action (U.S. Department of Labor, Manpower Administra tion, August 1967) pp. 22-25. ^Bulletin 1606, Vol. I (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1969). This 4-volume publication and its supplements present national manpower information and methods of using this information to develop State and local area manpower projections. locally. Methods used to convert BLS national man power projections to local needs are presented in Tomorrow's Manpower Needs.I2 Training data and their analysis may be more complete at the local level than at the national level because of the greater availability of such data locally from private schools, community colleges, public training programs, and individual firms. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), in cooperation with the Manpower Administration (MA) and the individual State employment security agencies, is con ducting two programs designed to develop occupational employment projections for State and local areas for use in manpower and educational planning. The primary program, the National-State Industry-Occupational Matrix System, is designed to provide all States and the District of Columbia with a data base that is consistent in concept and format with national data used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Methodological techniques and technical assistance on the use of this data base will be provided to States to develop State and local area projections. The data base consists of an industryoccupational matrix and death and retirement rates. This system will allow for the development of projections for about 400 occupations and 200 industries covering the entire economy. Since the projections based on the National-State Industry-Occupational Matrix System will not be avail able in time for fiscal year 1975 manpower planning, BLS, MA, and the State employment security agencies are conducting the Interim Area Manpower Occupation al Projections Project. This project will provide employ ment projections to 1980 for each State and Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) having a population of more than 250,000. Information on the progress in individual States can be obtained from the State agencies listed in appendix D of this bulletin or from the regional offices of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data on projections power requirements for 240 occupations. These 240 occupations are projected to comprise about 70 million workers in 1985 and account for approximately twothirds of all workers expected to be in the civilian labor force at that time. These occupations are most often those for which considerable training is often required or desirable. For example, the projections account for almost all professional and technical workers and sales workers, 90 percent of craft workers, and 70 percent of clerical workers. The underlying assumptions as well as methods of developing the 1985 occupational projections are detail ed in appendix A of this publication. Some assumptions are quantitative, for example, the unemployment rate, the level of the Armed Forces, fertility rates, population levels, and labor force participation rates. Other assump tions are of a qualitative nature, such as those concern ing the international political climate; the institutional framework of the American economy; economic, social, technological, and scientific trends; and fiscal and monetary policies of government. The projections also assume that major problems such as the energy shortage will be solved and therefore will have only a marginal effect on long-term growth. It also should be noted that the projections contained in this bulletin were completed prior to the oil embargo and resulting petroleum shortage. A major element in these projections was the use of estimates from the Department of Interior which assumed that the increas ing shortfall of domestic energy supply relative to demand through 1985 would be met largely by substan tial increases in imports of crude oil and petroleum products. In light of the embargo and the need to minimize U.S. dependence on imports, various programs along the lines of “Project Independence” are now under active consideration. Such programs to increase U.S. self-sufficiency in meeting domestic energy requirements obviously would have a substantial impact on con sumers, government, and business demand for a whole variety of goods and services. Such changes would, in turn, affect relative growth of industry output, employ ment, and occupational requirements. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has, therefore, started a major research effort to develop comprehensive sets of alternative projections to those published in this bulletin, which would explore the demand, output, and manpower implications of various strategies for reducing energy demand, expanding domestic energy supply, and mini mizing reliance on energy imports. The results of this work will be made available as soon as the study is completed. Data on projections are summarized in tabular form in appendix B. The table includes data on 1972 estimates of employment, projected 1985 requirements, the percent change from 1972 to 1985, and average annual openings in the period 1972-85 resulting from growth of the occupation and from replacement needs for workers who leave the labor force. Where applicable, each occupation is identified by a vocational education code and/or a code used in the Higher Education General Infonnation Survey (HEGIS code). In the discussion of training needs and openings for each occupation in chapter 4, the same data in appendix B are presented for each occupation. The accuracy o f projections. In using occupational projections for planning and counseling, many questions arise. One frequently asked is how accurately these projections anticipate future trends. Many unforeseen changes may occur as individuals adapt to occupations for which they have not been trained when supplydemand conditions indicate such action, and employers adapt their capital and manpower utilization patterns to avoid problems that stem from shortages of workers in certain occupations. The ability of workers and employers to adapt to changing patterns of occupational manpower require ments is, however, not sufficient reason to ignore the importance of manpower information for either plan ning or vocational counseling. The market for workers, despite many successful adjustments to changing require ments, does not work perfectly. During past periods, health officials have complained of shortages of physi cians and nurses; consumers have called for more and better trained automobile mechanics and repairmen; and industry has at times needed more scientists and engineers than were available, while at other times more than sufficient numbers were available. In the early 1970’s the market for elementary and secondary school teachers shifted from the shortage conditions of the 1960’s to a surplus. Perhaps forethought and better planning could have avoided many individual hardships and proven to be more productive for the Nation. Because of the variety of assumptions and judgments that underlie virtually all occupational projections, it is not possible to have assurance that a particular set of projections will turn out to be an accurate prediction of the future. One cannot predict, for example, the actual effect that the fuel shortages in evidence in early 1974 will have on long-term manpower needs for specific occupations such as gasoline service station attendants, airplane pilots, truckdrivers, and geologists. Nevertheless, the BLS has developed projections for use in guidance and planning within the context of certain assumptions including those concerning energy resources. Users of occupational projections must always be aware of these underlying assumptions. The accuracy and detail required of projections vary depending on the specific purpose for which they are to be used. For example, projections that are to be used for vocational counseling may require a degree of accuracy far less precise than those to be used for specific planning of training programs. Evaluations of BLS projections have tended to show that they have been reasonably accurate in the majority of cases. One evaluation of BLS occupational projections presented before the Interstate Conference on Labor Statistics in 19633 drew the following conclusions: For 108 occupations for which employment statistics were available (1950 and 1960), 75 of the projections made were considered accurate. In 24 cases the actual employ ment change was substantially different from the projec tions but still in the right direction, that is, when above-average growth was projected, actual growth was rapid. In only 9 cases did actual employment move in the opposite direction from the projections. In two other cases the occupation declined or failed to grow when no growth or a decline was predicted. Another evaluation came to similar conclusions.4 According to the study, “the projections appear to have turned out reasonably well; not only were trends almost always in the right direction, but the projected growth rates were generally close to the mark.” The study pointed out, however, that the record is imperfect and identified some misses. For example, the projections understated GNP and overstated population. These somewhat faulty assumptions affected occupational projections only slightly; for major occupational groups the projections were in the correct direction and, in most cases, varied little in rate of change from current estimates of employment. An assessment of detailed occupations was not included in the analysis. Current efforts to evaluate BLS projections again indicate that, for the great majority of occupations, the projections are correct in their expectations of the direction of change." Occupations incorrectly projected almost always were either those for which employment data were sketchy or those for which the employment trend changed' direction. Because changes in direction are frequently caused by changes in consumer prefer ences, such as the popularity of longer hair for men, which resulted in a decline in employment of barbers, anticipating such shifts in employment trends is obvious3Harold Goldstein, An Evaluation o f Experience in LongTerm Projections o f Employment by Occupation, presented before the 21st Interstate Conference on Labor Statistics, San Francisco, June 27, 1963. 4 Sol Swerdloff, “How Good Were Manpower Projections for the 1960’s?” Monthly Labor Review, November 1969, pp. 17-22. ly difficult. To reduce the probability for error inherent in making the assumptions on which the projections are based, BLS revises its projections approximately every 2 years. Only the most recent projections should be used for planning and counseling. Since the projections being evaluated were made, more detailed occupational employment data have be come available with the addition of new occupations to the census and the inception of new government and private surveys. These efforts should improve the accu racy of future projections. An important point to be gained from the evaluations is that the projections tend to be conservatively biased. This means that the expected rate of increase for growing occupations is more often understated than overstated, and job opportunities will more often be better than expected rather than worse. The above findings point out that projections, even if imperfect, can be very valuable in both planning for training programs and in counseling activities because they indicate areas where the expansion or contraction of training activities are most likely to be useful. Users should keep in mind, however, that the projections in this report are stated categorically—that is, x occupation will grow by y percent between 1972 and 1985; annual average job openings are expected to equal z. These statements are an attempt to present the Bureau’s projections in a form most useful to planners and counselors. They represent the Bureau’s best judgment, but are dependent on the realization of the assumptions on which the projections are based. Data on training Estimates of future manpower requirements consti tute only part of the data needed to evaluate the adequacy of education and training programs. Informa tion also is needed on training. By comparing the approximate number of newly trained workers needed annually and the present output of the various training programs, training efforts can be appraised and expand ed or contracted. Vocational counselors can also use these data to assess the outlook for occupations. Knowledge of the different ways people can train for occupations, however, does not provide the information needed for supply-demand analysis or for assessment of the adequacy of vocational education and training programs. Data are needed on the number of individuals completing each type of training, the proportion of those completing training who enter the occupation, and the value employers place on the skill-level of workers who enter through each route. For each of the occupations for which projections are presented, an attempt was made to compile statistics on training. During this research, the Bureau has found that gaps in training statistics are the most severe restriction on the analysis of occupational supply. Not only are there significant gaps in data but there are many problems involving data comparability. For example, the level of training for a specific occupation may differ among sources of training: some training may be lengthy and theoretical, whereas other training may be short and emphasize practical skills. Some training prepares stu dents for the most basic of entry levels, while other programs are designed so that a person can enter the labor force at the professional level. Information on the status of occupational training and an assessment of data availability for a variety of training sources are presented in chapter 3. Appendix C summarizes in tabular form all available statistics on occupations for which information + on projections is presented in appendix B. Included are data for junior colleges, MDTA programs, the Job Corps, vocational education (both secondary and post secon dary), apprenticeships, college bachelor’s, master’s, and Ph.D. programs, and first professional degrees. Illustrations of ways information may be used This section illustrates ways that data on occupation al projections and training statistics may be used in vocational guidance and planning education and training programs. The illustrations are organized under two headings: 1. Statistical analysis 2. Relating occupational projections to training data. To use the data properly, one needs a clear under standing of what the specific projections represent. Estimates of demand or requirements in 1985 represent the number of workers who will be required to produce the amount of goods and services implied in the Bureau’s model of the economy for that year. Estimates of annual openings represent estimates of jobs that will open because of growth in the occupation and to replace workers who die, retire, or leave the labor force for other reasons. Workers who transfer from one occupa tion to another are not included in the estimates of job openings in this bulletin because of the lack of informa tion upon which to base such estimates. Supply estimates, where they are presented, represent the numbers of workers who may enter a particular occupation if past trends of entry to the occupation were to continue. These estimates are developed inde pendently of the demand estimates. Thus, supply and demand in this bulletin are not discussed in the usual economic sense in which wages play a major role in equating supply and demand. Rather, the projections are developed so that planning officials can evaluate what current trends in supply imply for future supply-demand conditions and if needed action can be taken to avert shortage or surplus situations. Statistical analysis. Ranking occupations by size of occupation, job openings, growth rates, or other mea sures can be a useful device for some planning purposes. A planner concerned with developing curricula for vocational education programs, for example, may be concerned with finding occupations that are expected to have many job opportunities. A ranking of occupations by estimated annual job openings is a useful statistical tool for this purpose. Extending the rankings to cover additional factors such as size of employment and projected growth rates in specific occupations provides information that can be compared to total employment or expected average growth rates for all workers. An advantage of working with ranked data is that they can be presented in graphic form that can be readily understood by those who are not statistically inclined. An analyst or counselor also may want to rearrange the data in Appendix table B to a form better suited to his specific purposes. If, for example, an analyst is specifically interested in apprenticable occupations, he or she may note that these occupations fall in the construction crafts, mechanics and repairmen, and in dustrial production groups. Similarly, jobs can be group ed to indicate those for which college or university, junior college, or other types of training are required or helpful. Appendix table B provides vocational education and higher education codes along with occupational titles to aid individuals in selecting occupations with the desired specifications. Relating occupational projections to training data. The data on projected annual job openings for specific occupations can be used in conjunction with available training data to provide information for planning and counseling. Analysis of the data, however, should be tailored for the specific occupation under consideration. Conclusions drawn from the data depend on factors such as training paths, sources of occupational entry, and the necessity for specific kinds of training. For example, the analysis and conclusions derived for an occupation for which 4 years of specialized college training are generally required and preferred, but in which entrants came from a variety of other sources, will be much different than that for an occupation in which formal vocational training is recommended but not required. For occupa tions that do not require formal training, still other conclusions will be appropriate. National occupational projections and training data have been used in a variety of ways for planning and counseling purposes. The following illustrates how data have been used (1) to compare national occupational requirements with national data on degrees conferred by State colleges and universities, (2) to develop manpower inputs to a State university planning and budgeting system, and (3) to develop county-level projections for guidance and planning. Many other uses of national manpower data have been developed for subnational levels. Many of these utilize State and local area data developed by State employment security agencies. The list in appendix D presents addresses of State research and statistical agencies that may have developed occupa tional projections, supply and demand studies, and methods of analysis. Occupational data from the 1971 edition of Occupa tional Manpower and Training Needs, BLS Bulletin 1701, were related to data on degrees conferred in different instructional categories by State colleges and universities in 1968-69.5 The analysis concluded that the fields of greatest emphasis in State colleges and universities are generally in occupational areas of lowest growth potential in the decade of the 1970’s. The data indicated, for example, that three broad fields—humani ties, education, and fine arts—accounted for nearly half of the degrees conferred by State colleges and univer sities while growth in occupational areas associated with these fields was projected to be below the median for all occupations used in the analysis. Conversely, in the areas of city planning, engineering, and health a small propor tion of bachelor’s degrees (4.3 percent) were conferred by State colleges and universities while occupational projections indicated growth rates above the median. The analysis also pointed to fields such as social science, architecture, and business and commerce where high supply and demand indicate prospective balances, and other fields such as forestry, home economics, library science, and trades and industry curriculums where low supply and low demand also indicate balanced situ ations. A study by the University of Georgia6, presents an integration of occupational requirements data for the State and the Nation. The report relates the projected output of graduates by field to projected manpower 5Frank Farner, Analysis o f Employment Trends in Relation to the Degree Production o f State Colleges and Universities (Washington, D.C.: American Association of State Colleges and Universities, October 1971.) 6Manpower Requirements R eport to 1980: Jobs for Univer sity o f Georgia Graduates in Georgia and the Nation (Athens, Ga., University of Georgia, Office of Program Planning and Analysis, January 1973). requirements in related fields for both the State and the Nation. The information was used for planning specific instructional programs at the University of Georgia. The study used 64 occupations for which a college degree is required or helpful. The selections were based on information published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Occupational Outlook Quarterly article, “Toward Matching Personal and Job Characteristics.” 7 These 64 occupational titles and data were compared with similar occupational data for the State of Georgia and provided a basis for national and State comparisons. The data are classified to show relationships in national and State occupational projections and university gradu ate projections. Table 1, reproduced from the Georgia study, shows, for example, that opportunities for ac countants and statisticians are good or very good in both the United States as a whole and in Georgia. On the other hand, the outlook for teachers is considered difficult in the Nation as a whole, but fair in Georgia. Other tabulations in the study show such relationships as Georgia occupational openings as a percent of national openings, the outlook for occupations in Georgia and the Nation, and estimated jobs per graduate in Georgia and the Nation. Tabulations of the data are considered by the authors to be useful for university program planning and budgeting, for counseling students, and for planning at the department and school level. In Ventura County, California, a great deal of work has been done on a Manpower Projection Model Sys tem8 to develop projections of manpower needs by occupation for the county. The system developed methodology and practical linkages to national and State manpower projections prepared by BLS and the State employment service. By using local (Ventura County Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area) employment data and occupational ratios and methods from the National Industry-Occupational Matrix developed by BLS, local projections were developed. The results of the Ventura County project produced a first approximation of what the SMSA can anticipate if it follows national trends in industries and occupations. The authors of this system consider these projections to be precise enough to indicate a net increase or decrease in occupational requirements. They do not consider them to be precise as to the specific numbers shown. The major uses of the projections developed for 'lOccupational Outlook Quarterly, Volume 15, Number 4, 1972, pp. 11-21. 8This description is based on an article by John Van Zant and William H. Lawson, “Early Warning Signals for Program Plan ning,” American Vocational Journal, September 1972. A more complete description of the Ventura County system is contained in the article. □ i< i— co □ O o o > cc 111 > Q O O O DC < Systems analysts Public relations workers Rehabilitation counselors Dietitians Personnel and em ploym ent workers Managers and purchasing agents Veterinarians Pharmacists Park and recreation workers Home economists Foresters Psychologists Agricultural engineers Lawyers Manufacturers' salesmen Landscape architects Marketing and research workers Chemists2 Reporters and writers Physicists2 Mathematicians Economists Geologists2 Life scientists Liberal arts majors Secondary school teachers School counselors Kindergarten and elem entary school teachers Workers in music and art College teachers3 Speech pathologists and audiologists NO D IR E C T D A T A D IF F IC U L T F A IR Bank officers Librarians Social workers Insurance and real estate agents1 Accountants Statisticians LLI z D D CJ LL LL GOOD A ND V E R Y GOOD G E O R G IA Noncollege graduates are also eligible, making the ratings inflated. S O U R C E : Manpower Requirements Report to 1980: Jobs for University o f Georgia Graduates in Georgia and the Nation “^Ratings in some occupations in the natural sciences may be low because bachelor's graduates are included. o Does not include master's level college teachers. (Athens, Ga., University of Georgia, O ffice of Program Planning and Analysis, 1973). Ventura County are to provide an early warning system of projected trends in industries and occupations and to provide specific industry and occupational inputs for planning training programs and for vocational counseling. Chapter 2. Occupational Projections This chapter presents projections of occupational requirements through the mid-1980’s based on the Bureau’s extensive studies on economic growth, tech nological change, and industrial and occupational trends. For information on the assumptions underlying these projections, see appendix A. For more detailed informa tion on projections of occupational requirements, see chapter 4 and appendix B. More detail on the economic and industry projections underlying the occupational projections is presented in The U.S. Economy in 1985, Bulletin 1809 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1974), and in the forthcoming Bureau publication, The Structure o f the U.S. Economy in 1980 and 1985, Bulletin 1831. Factors affecting occupational employment Many factors will cause changes in employment levels of major occupational groups and specific occupations over the 1972-85 period, but one of the greatest influences will be the variation in growth rates among industries. Rapid growth in an industry would logically create a favorable situation for rapid growth of those occupations that are heavily concentrated in that indus try. Similarly, slow growth of an industry would be likely to cause slow employment growth for the occupa tions which are concentrated in it. Another factor that also strongly affects occupational employment is the changing occupational structure within an industry. Such changes can result from a variety of causes. Technological innovations that cause ^changes in machines or procedures used in production processes have a major effect. As a result of techno logical changes, individual occupations may expand or contract and often new occupations emerge. For ex ample, the computer resulted in the emergence and rapid growth of the occupations of programmers, systems analysts, and computer operators, but contributed to the decline in relative importance of payroll and inventory clerks and a variety of other clerical occupations. Changes in business operations, such as a shift to self-service in stores, also alter the occupational structure of industries. Supply-demand conditions in one occupa tion can affect the demand for another. For example, jobs have been restructured in hospitals and nurse aides substituted for registered nurses during periods when registered nurses have been in short supply. Changing occupational structure Interaction of the various factors affecting occupa tional growth will greatly change the occupational mix of the U.S. economy between 1972 and 1985. Never theless, most long-term trends among the major cate gories of workers—white-collar, blue-collar, service, and farm workers—are projected to continue. On the basis of the underlying assumptions discussed in appendix A, total employment is expected to increase by about 24 percent between 1972 and 1985, from 81.7 million to 101.5 million.9 An increase of about 37 percent is expected for white-collar jobs and only 15 percent for blue-collar occupations. (See chart 1.) In 1985, white-collar workers are projected to number 53.7 million, up from 39.1 million in 1972, and to account for more than half (52.9 percent) of total employment. (See chart 2.) Blue-collar workers are expected to rise from 28.6 million in 1972 to 32.8 million in 1985; in 1985, they are projected to account for about one-third (32.3 percent) of the total work force, down from 35 percent in 1972. Service worker employment is expected to expand at about the same rate as total employment, rising from 11.0 million in 1972 to 13.4 million in 1985, and to account for about 13 percent of all workers. Farm workers are projected to decline from 3.1 million to 1.6 million over the 1972-85 period.10 Slowdown in growth. The annual rate of employment 9Statistics on employment in this chapter are based on the concept used in the Current Population Survey in which each individual is counted once in his major occupation. The data for total employment here, therefore, differ from a count of jobs as presented in The U. S. Economy in 1985, BLS Bulletin 1809, and in the article by Ronald E. Kutscher in “The United States Economy in 1985,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1973. Since one worker may hold more than one job, the job count in these publications is greater than that presented here. Additional differences between the totals occur because the job count is based primarily on data from a survey of establishments collected by State agencies in a cooperative program with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the count of individuals is based on a survey of households conducted by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reasons that cause the employment count to differ between these two surveys are indicated in “Comparing Employment Estimates from House hold and Payroll Series,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-20. Through the m id-1980's em ploym ent grow th w ill vary w idely among occupations Projected percent change, 1972-85 All Workers White-collar workers Professional and technical workers Managers and administrators Sales workers Clerical workers Blue-collar workers Craft and kindred workers Operatives 1 Nonfarm laborers Service workers Private household workers t. a as iifi IffilfiBiall Other service workers Farm workers 50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 0 10 20 Includes the 1970 Census classifications "operatives except transport" and "transport equipment operatives.' 30 Employment is expected to continue to shift toward white-collar occupations. Percent 100 90 80 White-collar workers 70 60 50 Service workers 40 30 20 Blue-collar workers 10 Farm workers 1960 1972 1980 1985 Table 2. Average annual rates of employment change, by major occupational group, 1960-72 and projected for 1972-85 [Percent] Projected Occupational group 19 60-7 2 19 72-8 5 19 72-8 0 1 9 80-8 5 .............................. 1.8 1.7 2 .0 1.2 W hite-collar w o rk e rs ............. Professional and technical workers Managers and adm in istrators ......................... Salesworkers .................... Clerical w o r k e r s ............... Blue-collar w o rk e rs ............... C raft and kindred workers ......................... Operatives ......................... N onfarm la b o re rs ............. Service workers .................... Private household workers ......................... O th er service workers . . . Farm w d rk e rs ......................... 2.7 2 .5 3 .0 1.7 3.9 3.1 3.5 2 .5 .7 2 .0 3 .4 1.5 2 .0 1.5 2 .5 1.1 2 .8 2.1 2.9 1.3 .8 .5 1.9 .7 1.8 1.5 1.0 2 .3 1.4 1.0 .4 1.6 1.6 1.6 .7 1.9 1.2 .5 0 1.0 -2 .6 3.4 -4 .5 -2 .4 2 .0 -5 .0 -1 .7 2 .4 -5 .4 -3 .4 1.4 -4 .4 To tal N O T E : A ll data reflect the occupational classification into major groups used in the 1970 census. "Operatives, except transport" and "transport equipm ent operatives" were combined into one group, "operatives." growth will not be constant over the 1972-85 period. A rather sharp slowdown in the rate of growth is expected during the latter half of the period. The slowing stems from the effect of the growth of the population 16 years of age and over from which the labor force is drawn. For some time, the birth rate and the actual number of births have fallen from the peak period of the late 1950’s and early 1960’s. This slowdown in births and the birth rate will have the effect of reducing the number of annual new entrants to the labor force in the late 1970’s. This slowdown can be easily seen by comparing the change in the rate of growth of the major occupational groups in the 1972-80 period and the 1980-85 period. (See table 2.) Between 1972 and 1980 total employment is projected to grow at an annual rate of 2.0 percent. This rate of growth is expected to drop to 1.2 percent a year over the 1980-85 period. A similar trend is seen for all the major groups, with markedly different rates of growth in the two periods for salesworkers, managers and administrators, and operatives. These workers are concentrated in industries that would be heavily affected by a slowdown of the economy. However, the effect of this slowdown is expected to be much less pronounced on job openings than on total employment. Job openings arise mainly from the need to replace workers who die and retire rather than from growth of total employment. Thus, despite the slow down in the annual rate of growth in total employment from 2.0 percent to 1.2 percent, total openings are projected to be greater over the 1980-85 period than in 1972-80. The primary reason is that as occupations grow larger a greater number of persons die and retire each year who must be replaced just to keep employment at the same level. (See section on job openings later in this chapter for additional information.) Growth trends in major groups Professional and technical workers. Employment growth for professional and technical workers is expected to continue To be faster than for all other major occupa tional groups. The projected growth from 11.5 million in 1972 to 17.0 million in 1985 is more than one and one-half times the annual rate of increase projected for all occupations combined. (See table 2.) However, the projected 1972-85 rate of growth is slower than that between 1960 and 1972. A major factor is the expected slowdown in the growth of elementary and secondary school teachers and engineers (who accounted for over one-fourth of all professional workers in 1972) over the 1972-85 period. Growth in the teaching occupations is projected to slow as the rate of increase in the number of pupils will be much lower in the future period. Engineers, a group which grew rapidly in the 1960’s largely as a result of expansion of space exploratory work and an increase in research and development activities, will experience a reduced rate of growth largely because such activities are not expected to rise as sharply as in the past. The annual rate of growth for professional and technical workers is expected to be slower between 1980 and 1985 (2.5 percent) than from 1972 to 1980 (3.5 percent) as the slowdown in the rate of growth of the economy also has its effect on this fast-growing group of workers. At 17.0 million in 1985, employment in this group is projected to represent 16.8 percent of total employment, up from 14.0 percent in 1972. (See table 3.) The growth in demand for goods and services, resulting from population growth and rising business and personal incomes, will continue to be a major reason underlying the growth of these highly trained workers. As the population continues to concentrate in metro politan areas, requirements are expected to increase for professional and technical workers to work in fields such as environmental protection, urban renewal, and mass transportation. Requirements for professional workers also should increase along with the continuing growth of research in the natural and social sciences, although the rate of growth in these activities as a whole is likely to slow from the very rapid pace experienced during the Table 3. Employment by major occupational group, 1 9 6 0 ,1 9 7 2 , and projected for 1980 and 1985 [Numbers in thousands] I9 6 0 1 1972 1980 1985 Occupational group N um ber Percent Num ber Percent N um ber Percent N um ber Percent T o t a l ................................................................. 6 5 ,7 7 8 10 0.0 8 1 ,7 0 3 10 0.0 9 5 ,8 0 0 10 0 .0 1 0 1 ,5 0 0 10 0.0 W hite-collar w o rk e rs ............................................. Professional and technical w o rk e rs ............................................................ Managers and a d m in istrato rs......................... Salesworkers ..................................................... Clerical workers ................................................ Blue-collar w o rk e rs ................................................ C raft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives2 .......................................................... N onfarm la b o r e r s ............................................. Service w o rk e rs ....................................................... Private household w o r k e r s ............................ O ther service w o r k e r s ...................................... Farm w o r k e r s ................................... ..................... 28,351 43.1 3 9 ,0 9 2 4 7 .8 4 9 ,3 0 0 5 1 .5 5 3 ,7 0 0 5 2 .9 7 ,2 3 6 7 ,3 6 7 4 ,2 1 0 9 ,5 3 8 2 3 ,8 7 7 8 ,7 4 8 1 1 ,3 8 0 3 ,7 4 9 8 ,3 5 4 1,9 6 5 6 ,3 8 7 5 ,1 9 6 11.0 11.2 6.4 14.5 3 6 .3 13.3 17.3 5.7 12.7 3.0 9.7 7.9 1 1 ,459 8 ,0 3 2 5 ,3 5 4 14 ,247 . 2 8 ,5 7 6 10 ,8 1 0 13 ,5 4 9 4,2 1 7 1 0 ,9 6 6 1,4 37 * 9 ,5 2 9 3,0 6 9 14.0 9.8 6 .6 17.4 3 5 .0 13.2 16.6 5.2 13.4 1.8 11.6 * 3.8 15 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,1 0 0 6 ,3 0 0 17 ,9 0 0 3 1 ,8 0 0 1 2 ,3 0 0 1 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 1 2 ,7 0 0 1 ,3 0 0 1 1 ,4 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 15.7 10.5 6 .6 18.7 33.1 12.8 15 .6 4 .7 13.3 1.3 12.0 2.1 17 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,5 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 1 9 ,7 0 0 3 2 ,8 0 0 1 3 ,0 0 0 15 ,3 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 13 ,4 0 0 1,1 00 1 2 ,3 0 0 1,6 00 16.8 10.3 6.4 19.4 3 2 .3 12.8 15.1 4 .4 13.2 1.1 12.1 1.6 1 Data fo r 1960 were adjusted to reflect th e occupational classification in th e 1 9 70 census to m ake them comparable to th e 1972 and projected 1 9 8 0 and 1 9 8 5 data. N O T E : Detail may not add to totals because of rounding. 1960’s. The demand for professional workers to develop and utilize computer resources also is expected to grow rapidly in the 1972-85 period. Managers and administrators. Employment of managers and administrators is projected to reach 10.5 million in 1985, up from 8.0 million in 1972. This represents a much higher average annual rate of growth than during the 1960-72 period. As a result, this group’s share of total employment will increase from 9.8 percent in 1972 to 10.3 percent in 1985. However, a large part of the future growth reflects a catchup because little change in employment was experienced in these occupations be tween 1968 and 1972 although total employment increased. Between 1980 and 1985, however, the annual rate of growth (0.8 percent) is projected to slow considerably from the 1972-80 period (2.8 percent). This largely reflects the slowdown in the rate of growth of trade during that period. About two-fifths of all managers are employed in trade. Changes in business size and organization have result ed in differing trends for salaried and self-employed managers. Requirements for salaried managers are ex pected to continue to grow rapidly as industry and government increasingly depend on trained management specialists. Technological development will contribute further to employment growth of these occupations. For example, an increasing number of technically trained managers will be needed to administer research and development programs and to make decisions on the 2 Includes the 1 9 7 0 census classifications "operatives, except transport" and "transport equipm ent operatives." installation and use of automated machinery and auto matic data processing systems. The number of selfemployed managers (proprietors) is projected to con tinue to decline as the trend toward larger firms continues to restrict growth of the total number of firms. The expansion of quick service grocery stores, self-service laundries and drycleaning shops, and ham burger and frozen custard drive-ins, however, is expected to slow the rate of decline. Salesworkers. The anticipated expansion of trade is expected to increase the need for salesworkers. How ever, changing techniques in merchandising are expected to hold down some of the increase. Employment is projected to rise from 5.4 million in 1972 to 6.5 million in 1985, slower than the rate of increase expected in total employment. As a result, the share of total employment attributed to salesworkers is projected to decrease slightly from 6.6 percent in 1972 to 6.4 percent in 1985. The projected rate of growth is slower than that experienced by this group over the 1960-72 period. This is caused by the projected slower rate of growth of trade which employs over two-thirds of all salesworkers. The annual rate of growth of salesworkers is expected to be slower between 1980-85 than between 1972-80, also following the trend in employment in trade. As stores remain open longer and expand into suburban areas, an increase in demand is expected for retail salesworkers who account for about half of all workers in this major group. However, changes in sales practices such as increased use of self-service, checkout counters, and vending machines are expected to slow the increase. Clerical workers. Employment in clerical jobs is expect ed to grow faster than total employment, rising to 19.7 million in 1985, up from 14.2 million in 1972. As a result, clerical jobs will become a larger share of total employment, growing from 17.4 percent in 1972 to 19.4 percent in 1985. Among the major occupational groups, only professional workers are expected to have a faster growth rate. Nevertheless, this rate of growth is slower than that experienced from 1960 to 1972. The annual rate of growth is projected to be slower in the 1980-85 period (1.9 percent) than from 1972 to 1980 (2.9 percent) largely because of a projected slowdown in the rate of growth of trade and manufacturing which, combined, employed about one-third of all clerical workers in 1972. However, the projected decline in the growth rate from the earlier to the later time period is expected to be less for clerical workers than for most major groups. Clerical workers, the largest major occupational group in 1972, will be greatly affected by technology changes. Developments in computers, office equipment, and communication devices are expected to retard the growth of employment for some clerical occupations and increase the employment for others. For example, the use of electronic computers and bookkeeping machines to process routine and repetitive work is expected to reduce the use of clerks in jobs such as filing, payroll, inventory control, and customer billing. On the other hand, the number of clerical workers needed to prepare material for computers is projected to increase greatly. Many types of clerical workers, however, are unlikely to be affected significantly by new technology. For example, secretaries, stenographers and typists, recep tionists, and others who must meet the public should not be greatly affected. The increased use of secretaries, stenographers and typists, and receptionists in industries that employ large numbers of them, such as miscel laneous business services and legal services, is projected to account for 2.5 million growth between 1972-85 or about half of the total growth in the clerical group over this period. Craft and kindred workers. Employment in the highly skilled craft occupations is expected to rise from 10.8 million in 1972 to 13.0 million in 1985, a slower rate of growth than over the 1960-72 period. Rising more slowly than total employment between 1972 and 1985, the share of total employment made up of craft occupations is expected to decline over the period, from 13.2 percent to 12.8 percent. A large part of this decline stems from the unusually large increase in construction craft workers and mechanics from 1971 to 1972, a rise from 12.9 to 13.2 percent of total employment. This produced a very high level of employment in 1972 and a projected increase from that year which is lower than the long-term trend. The rising demand for these workers is expected to stem from the growth of the two major industry groups that employ large numbers of craft workers— manufacturing and construction. The growth of con struction has a major effect on the growth in craft occupations because one-half the employees in this industry are in this group. Growth in requirements for construction craft workers is projected to account for about one-third of the total growth in the major group. Construction will increase as more businesses, plants, shopping centers, and utility plants are required. Manu facturing industries, in which about 1 in 5 is a craft worker, employ about the same number of craft workers as construction. Manufacturing employment will in crease to provide more goods to an increasing popula tion. Operatives. Operative occupations account for more workers than any blue-collar group. Employment of operatives is closely tied to industrial production because of the concentration of these workers in industrial processing. Through the mid-1980’s more sophisticated technological advances are expected to greatly slow employment growth in these occupations. Employment of operatives is projected to rise from 13.5 million in 1972 to 15.3 million in 1985, a much slower rate of increase than that expected for total employ ment. Consequently, the proportion of operatives relative to total employment is expected to slide downward from 16.6 percent in 1972 to 15.6 percent in 1980 and 15.1 percent in 1985. Between 1980 and 1985, employment of operatives is expected to grow very slowly, at 0.5 percent a year, about one-third the rate of growth expected over the 1972-80 period. This reflects the expected slowing of the manufacturing industry growth rate over the same period. Three of every 5 semiskilled workers in 1972 were employed as operatives in manufacturing industries. Large numbers were assemblers or inspectors, and many worked as operators of material moving equipment such as powered forklift trucks. Among the operatives employed outside of factories, drivers of trucks, buses, and taxicabs made up the largest group. Nonfarm laborers. Employment requirements for laborers are expected to increase slowly between 1972 and 1985 despite the employment rise anticipated in manufacturing and construction, the two industries which, combined, employ two-fifths of all laborers. This reflects a change from the 1960-72 period when employ ment of laborers increased by nearly 1 percent a year. The share of total employment for these workers is expected to decline from 5.2 percent to 4.4 percent between 1972 and 1985. Increases in demand for laborers are expected to be offset roughly by rising output per worker resulting from the continuing substitution of machinery for manual labor. For example, power-driven equipment such as forklift trucks, derricks, cranes, hoists, and conveyor belts will take over more of the handling of materials in factories, at freight terminals, and in warehouses. Other power-driven machines will do excavating, ditch digging, and similar work. In addition, integrated systems for processing and handling materials and equipment will be installed in an increasing number of plants. Service workers. A growing population, expanding business activity, increasing leisure time, and rising levels of disposable personal income are the major factors underlying increased needs for service workers. This occupational group encompasses a wide variety of jobs and a wide range of skill requirements. It includes such diverse jobs as FBI agent, police officer, beauty operator, and janitor. Employment of service workers is projected to rise from 11.0 million in 1972 to 13.4 million in 1985, a somewhat slower rate of growth than that projected for total employment. Employment of private household workers, however, who make up a large part of this major group, is projected to decline from 1.4 million to 1.1 million over this period. Service workers other than private household workers are expected to show a faster rate of growth than total employment. The projected 1972-85 rate of growth of service workers including private household workers is slower than that experienced over the 1960-72 period. How ever, growth between 1960 and 1972 was greatly affected by the very rapid growth during the 1969-72 period. The projected 1972-80 growth rate is near that experienced over the 1960-69 period. Between 1980 and 1985, the growth rate is expected to be slower than in the 1972-80 period because of the projected slowdown of the rate of growth in the service industries, which employ about two-thirds of these workers. Farm workers. Farm workers, who make up nearly 90 percent of all workers in agriculture, are expected to decline by nearly one-half, from 3.1 million in 1972 to 1.6 million in 1985. This represents a somewhat faster rate of decline than in the 1960-72 period. Their share of total employment also is expected to fall between 1972-85 from 3.8 percent to 1.6 percent. The annual rate of decline is expected to be slower between 1980 and 1985 (—4.4 percent) than from 1972 and 1980 (—5.4 percent). Declining needs for farm workers will continue to be related to rising productivity on farms. Improved machinery, fertilizers, seeds, and feed will permit farmers to increase output with fewer employees. For example, improved mechanical harvesters for vegetables and fruits will decrease the need for seasonal or other hired labor. Developments in packing, inspection, and sorting systems for fruits, vegetables, and other farm products also will reduce employment requirements. Net occupational openings Projections of growth of occupations provide only a part of the estimate of future manpower requirements. Of greater importance is the demand for new workers created by replacement needs. Over the 1972-85 period about twice as many openings will result from replace ments as from growth. Total openings arising from occupational growth and replacement needs will be about 61.2 million between 1972 and 1985, or an average of about 4.7 millions jobs to be filled annually through the period. Replacement needs will total 41.4 million, accounting for 2 of every 3 job openings; growth needs will total 19.8 million. (See table 4.) Replacement needs will be a more significant source of job openings than job growth in each of the major occupational groups. Replacement needs are likely to exceed the average in those occupations that (a) employ many women, because large numbers leave the labor force each year to assume family responsibilities, and (b) have a large proportion of older workers who have relatively few years of working life remaining. However, in some occupations, growth requirements are likely to exceed those for replacement. Many job openings also are created because of occupational shifts. For example, when a technician is upgraded to an engineer, a technician job opening is created. Of course, this shift also adds to the supply of engineers. Data for estimating transfer losses and gains generally are not available. Estimates of job openings in this bulletin, therefore, do not include transfers except for some professions for which data are available. Such cases are specifically noted. Some headway is being made in developing data on occupational mobility from the 1970 Decennial Census but time constraints have not allowed that data to be analyzed for use in this bulletin. The data on job openings presented for individual occupations in this bulletin are in terms of average annual openings rather than for the 1972-85 period as a Table 4. Projected requirements and job openings for major occupational groups, 1972-85 [Numbers in thousands] 1972 em ploy ment Projected 1985 requirements T o t a l .......................................................................................... 8 1 ,7 0 3 1 0 1 ,5 0 0 W hite-collar w o r k e r s ...................................................................... Professional and technical w o r k e r s ...................................... Managers and ad m in is tra to rs .................................................. Salesworkers .............................................................................. Clerical workers ......................................................................... Blue-collar w o r k e r s ......................................................................... C raft and kindred workers ..................................................... O p e ra tiv e s ..................................................................................... N onfarm laborers ...................................................................... Service w o rk e rs ................................................................................ Private household workers ..................................................... O th er service w o r k e r s ............................................................... Farm w o r k e r s ................................................................................... 3 9 ,0 9 2 1 1 ,459 8 ,0 3 2 5 ,3 5 4 14 ,247 2 8 ,5 7 6 1 0 ,810 13 ,549 4 ,2 1 7 1 0 ,9 6 6 1,4 37 9 ,5 2 9 3 ,0 6 9 5 3 ,7 0 0 1 7 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,5 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 1 9 ,7 0 0 3 2 ,8 0 0 13 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,3 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 1 3 ,4 0 0 1,1 00 12 ,3 0 0 1,6 00 Occupational group Percent change Openings, 1972-8 5 Total G row th Replacement 24 .2 6 1 ,2 0 0 1 9 ,800 4 1 ,4 0 0 37 .3 4 8 .8 30.1 2 1 .3 38 .2 14.7 20 .2 13.1 5.9 2 2 .2 - 2 6 .1 2 9 .0 - 4 7 .1 3 8 ,8 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0 5 ,9 0 0 3 ,8 0 0 1 7 ,000 1 3 ,800 5 ,3 0 0 7 ,2 0 0 1,3 00 8 ,5 0 0 700 7 ,8 0 0 100 1 4 ,6 0 0 5 ,6 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 1,1 00 5 ,4 0 0 4 ,2 0 0 2 ,2 0 0 1,8 00 200 2 ,4 0 0 -4 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 -1 ,4 0 0 2 4 ,2 0 0 6 ,4 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 1 1 ,600 9 ,6 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 1,0 00 6 ,1 0 0 1,1 00 5 ,0 0 0 1,5 00 N O T E : Detail may not add to totals because of rounding. whole, for ease of comparison with training data. The average openings data were developed by dividing projected openings for the entire 1972-85 period by 13. As indicated earlier, a slowdown in the rate of growth from the 1972-80 period to the 1980-85 period can be expected, but little effect will be felt on average openings because of the great weight of replacement needs on total job openings. Chapter 3. The Status Of Occupational Training Each year occupational training is needed by millions of young people who must bridge the gap between school and work, persons whose skills have become obsolete because of new technology, and the dis advantaged who need to qualify for entry level jobs and progress up the occupational skill ladder. As was shown in the preceding chapter, the Nation increasingly is shifting from blue-collar to white-collar jobs—jobs that require higher levels of education and skill acquired through formal training. Furthermore, an increasingly large proportion of blue-collar workers will be craft workers who require more training than other blue-collar workers. As these shifts continue into the future, the need for specialized training will apply to more jobs than ever before. In addition, the goals of occupational training are being broadened to include more than specific training for a job; training should facilitate workers’ adaptation to the constantly changing demands of their jobs or the labor market. This chapter discusses available training for occupa tions. It covers: Vocational education Apprenticeship programs Employer training Armed Forces training Federal manpower programs Home study courses Junior colleges or community colleges College and university training The discussions of occupational training cover topics such as the nature of training programs, available data on training, uses of data for supply-demand analysis, and problems associated with using the data. Specific train ing needed to enter each of 240 detailed occupations is duscussed. in chapter 4 along with related statistics and data on manpower requirements. Appendix C presents statistics on training for each detailed occupation. In addition to the information on training presented in this report, a recent BLS study111 provides an in-depth discussion of ways to analyze training statistics and other data on occupational supply for vocational guidance and education planning purposes. That study also presents a detailed bibliography of data sources. 1 *Occupational Supply: Concepts and Sources o f Data for Manpower Analysis, Bulletin 1816 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1974). Vocational education The origin of vocational education in public schools in the United States can be traced to the Smith-Hughes Act of 1917, whose influence can be seen throughout the many vocational education acts and amendments in later years. Legislation on vocational education such as the George-Barden Act (1941) and the Vocational Education Act of 1963 and its 1968 amendments not only provided for expanded educational coverage and expenditures, but made changes in the emphasis of vocational education. For example, the George-Barden Act called for expanded occupational training and increased expenditures for vocational education; the Vocational Education Act of 1963 provided for research and construction for the first time; and the 1968 amendments added new programs and money, while changing the philosophical emphasis of vocational education to focus on services offered to meet the needs of individuals rather than specific occupational areas. The 1968 amendments stated that “persons of all ages in all communities of the State .. . will have ready access to vocational training which is high quality, which is realistic in the light of actual or anticipated opportuni ties for gainful employment, and which is suited to their needs, interests, and abilities to benefit from such training.” 12 Thus, the Vocational Education Act of 1963 and its 1968 amendments not only provided for increased enrollments and expenditures but improved the quality and expanded the scope of vocational programs. Types o f training available. In its beginnings vocational education emphasized agricultural and trade and indus trial education which evolved over time to include courses in many occupational areas or programs such as distributive occupations, health, home economics, and office occupations. Consumer and homemaking training is another area of training, but the relation between training and an occupation is not as specific in this field as in the other fields of training. Special programs providing training for the disadvantaged and handi capped also were included. Vocational education is specialized and emphasizes 12Public Law 91-576, 90th Cong., H.R. 18366, October 16, 1968 Amendments to the Vocational Education Act of 1963, p. 829. on-the-job training. Specific curriculums are offered that are designed to prepare workers for specific occupations. Table 5. Table 5 shows some examples of instructional courses and occupations. Examples of curriculums offering training for specific occupations V ocational technical program Instructional course Occupation A gricultural mechanics Ornam ental horticulture Forests Farm equipm ent mechanic Tree surgeon Fire warden D is trib u tio n ....................................................... Floristry Food services Recreation and tourism Floral designer Food checker Recreation director H e a l t h ................................................................. Dental assisting Medical lab assisting Occupational therapy Dental assistant Medical lab assistant Occupational therapy aide H om e e c o n o m ic s ............................................. Care and guidance of children Home furnishing, equipm ent, and services Clothing management, production, and services Child care attendant Slipcover cutter Peripheral equipm ent operator Secretaries Q u ality control clerk High-speed printer operator Legal secretary Claim examiner T e c h n ic a l............................................................ Commercial p ilo t training Food processing technology Petroleum technology Commercial airplane pilot Laboratory tester Cable driller Trades and in d u s tr y ........................................ Body and fender repair A irfram e repair Product design Shop estimator Assembly mechanic Package designer A griculture O ffice ....................................................... ................................................................. Enrollments. Vocational education grew rapidly after the passage of the Vocational Education Act of 1963; further growth was spurred by the amendments of 1968. In fiscal year (FY) 1972, 11.6 million persons were enrolled in federally aided vocational-technical educa tion programs (table 6), an increase of 10 percent over the 10.5 million enrolled in FY 1971, and more than double the number enrolled in 1965.13 In FY 1972 vocational education increased on all levels. Persons enrolled in secondary programs increased by 740,000 to 7.1 million, or more than 11 percent from 1971 to 1972; postsecondary programs rose by 163.000 to 1.3 million, or more than 14 percent; and adult programs rose by 207,000 to 3.1 million or over 7 percent. Of the approximately 11.6 million enrolled in 1972, 1.6 million disadvantaged persons and more than 200.000 handicapped persons received special services to help them succeed in vocational education. Among the eight major categories of vocational education cur^D ata on enrollments generally refer only to federally funded programs. Because of changes in definitions and report ing requirements, data are not strictly comparable from year to year. Comparisons should be considered approximate. Wardrobe attendant riculums, the consumer and homemaking program had the largest enrollment, 3.2 million, with the office program and the trade and industry program following with 2.4 million each. (See table 7.) Home economics and health enrollments increased by the largest per centages, by 42 and 25 percent, respectively, from 1971. Specific instructional programs with the largest enrollments in 1972 were: typing and related skills (628,414), agricultural production (564,155), steno graphy, secretarial, and related skills (550,686), filing and office machines (398,226), accounting and com puting (351,861), metalworking occupations (291,661), au to mechanics (228,364), general merchandise Table 6. Enrollments in vocational education, by level, fiscal year 1972 Level To tal Num ber Percent distribution .............................. 1 1 ,6 0 2 ,1 4 4 10 0.0 Secondary .............................. Postsecondary ....................... A d u l t ........................................ 7 ,2 3 1 ,6 4 8 1 ,3 0 4 ,0 9 2 3 ,0 6 6 ,4 0 4 6 2 .3 11.2 2 6 .4 S O U R C E : United States D epartm ent of Health, Education, and Welfare, O ffice of Education. Table 7. Enrollments in vocational education, by program, fiscal year 1972 Program T o tal ................................. A g ric u ltu re .............................. D is trib u tio n ............................ Health ...................................... Hom e economics (gainful) . O ff ic e ........................................ T e c h n ic a l................................ Trades and in d u s tr y ............ Consumer and homemaking Other programs .................... Num ber Percent distribution 1 1 1 ,6 0 2 ,1 4 4 10 0.0 8 9 6 ,4 6 0 6 4 0 ,4 2 3 3 3 6 ,6 5 2 2 7 9 ,9 6 6 2 ,3 5 1 ,8 7 8 3 3 7 ,0 6 9 2 ,3 9 7 ,9 6 8 3 ,1 6 5 ,7 3 2 2 1 ,3 0 4 ,6 1 9 7.7 5.5 2.9 2.4 2 0 .3 2.9 20 .7 2 7 .3 1 0 .3 Unduplicated. in c lu d e s prevocational, prepostsecondary, remedial, and other not elsewhere classified. Some overlapping w ith other + programs. S O U R C E : D epartm ent of Health, Education, and Welfare, U.S. O ffice of Education. (204,681), firefighter training (159,307), business data processing systems (156,748), agricultural mechanics (128,000), and drafting occupations (126,750). Completions and placements. Of the 930,000 persons who had completed vocational education programs in FY 1972, approximately 548,000 were available for placement—297,000 at the secondary level, 139,000 at the postsecondary level, and 111,000 at the adult level. Of the 258,000 who reported their status as not available for placement, 71 percent continued school full time. About 124,000 or 13 percent of persons who completed a program did not report or their status was unknown.14 Of the graduates of secondary, postsecondary, and adult programs available for placement in 1972, about 76 percent obtained employment in the field for which they were trained or in a related field, while 16 percent were employed in other fields and 8 percent were unemployed. schools (1,174); hospitals (1,016); and business/commercial schools (962). Private vocational schools vary in enrollment from under 50 to over 2,000 students. Types of programs and courses offered vary. Some business schools, for example, offer courses in shorthand, typing, steno graphy, and fundamentals of accounting, while others may offer only one curriculum. Trade schools may offer programs in auto mechanics, barbering, locksmithing, radio-TV broadcasting, and truckdriving. The programs in other schools vary from commercial art and aircraft mechanics to paramedical occupations and fashion design. Information on the number of enrollments by program and the number of graduates of private vocational schools is not available at present.15 Apprenticeship programs Formal apprenticeship training regulates the teaching of specified skills and related knowledge on the job and in the classroom. Most training authorities recommend formal apprenticeship training as the best way to acquire all-round proficiency in a skilled craft. Apprenticeship training provides the apprentice with a thorough knowledge of his trade and enables him to perform most tasks completely. Most studies indicate the apprentice ship programs train the most highly skilled workers and a sig n ifican t proportion of future foremen and supervisors.16 Private vocational schools. Private vocational schools prepare students for employment in many occupational areas; in 1971, 6,135 of these schools and institutes were accredited in the United States. The largest number of accredited schools were cosmetology schools (1,477); flight schools (1,342), vocational, technical, and trade Most apprentices are trained in programs in which employers and local trade unions participate in a joint apprenticeship committee. Such committees interview applicants, review the trainee’s progress, and determine when an apprenticeship has been completed satis factorily. Most apprenticeship programs are registered with Federal or State apprenticeship agencies, but sponsors are not required to do so. No estimate is available of the number of apprentices in programs that are not registered. The Department of Labor’s Bureau of Apprentice ship and Training (BAT) registers but does not finance apprenticeship programs. BAT provides technical assistance and support to State apprenticeship agencies and to employers and unions in establishing and main taining apprenticeship programs. In addition, BAT maintains records of new registrations, completions, and cancellations of apprenticeship for each apprenticeable 14Summary Data Vocational Education, Fiscal Year 1972, U.S. Office of Education. Completion and placement data cannot be compared with enrollment data because California, Colorado, Hawaii, Indiana, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, American Samoa, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands did not report completions and placements. 15Information will be available in late 1974 from The Adult and Vocational Education Survey Branch, Office of Education, ^.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. ^ U .S . Department of Labor, Bureau of Apprenticeship and Training, Career Patterns o f Former Apprentices, Bulletin No. T-147, March 1959. (See page 4 and chart 2 and table 3.) trade by State.17 Of the 264,000 registered apprentices at the end of 1972, 61 percent were in construction trades, 11 percent in metalworking, 5 percent in printing, and the remaining 23 percent in a mis cellaneous trades category. Table 8 records apprenticeship registration actions from 1960 to 1972. Since the mid-1960’s, apprentice ship registrations have increased significantly. A general interest in training more skilled craftsmen to meet future manpower requirements has become a common goal for employers, unions, and government manpower officials. Apprenticeship cancellations (see table 8) represent a loss of potentially highly trained workers. This loss is not as serious as it appears, however, since many apprentice dropouts eventually become skilled journey men through less formal means. Many apprentices drop their apprenticeship because of the opportunity to work at the journeyman level.18 Apprenticeship cancellations increase when jobs are plentiful because trainees have the opportunity to earn journeyman wages. On the other ^Annual copies of Apprentice Registration Actions, by Region and State, can be obtained from Division of Reporting Operations, Manpower Administration, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20210. In addition, the annual Manpower Report o f the President, U.S. Department of Labor, contains a tabulation on the training status of registered apprentices. ^A pprentice Dropouts in the Construction Industry (U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Apprenticeship and Training, December 1960), pp. 6-9. hand, apprentices remain in training longer and are more likely to complete their apprenticeship when jobs are not quite so plentiful. Employer training Employer training provides the opportunity to learn many occupations on either a formal or informal basis, with skill acquisition usually taking place on the job. In both skilled and semiskilled occupations, there are at least three on-the-job training paths—apprenticeship, formal on-the-job instruction, and learning by doing. Apprenticeship programs, discussed in the preceding section, represent formal employer training with skill acquisition acquired through on-the-job training in conjunction with related classroom instruction. Formal on-the-job instruction takes place in the shop and may range from fairly programmed instruction by designated instructors to casual instruction from foremen and fellow employees. The distinction between on-the-job training programs and “learning by doing” is often difficult to make. In most instances, training takes place informally within the work environment. Most workers, according to a study on occupational training conducted in 1963 by the Department of Labor, had “just picked up” their current skills informally on the job.19 Because of the Formal Occupational Training o f A dult M anpow er/A utom ation Research Report No. Department of Labor, December 1964). Workers, 2 (U.S. Table 8. Training status of registered apprentices in all trades, 1960-72 Apprentice actions during year Year In training at beginning of year New registra tions and rein statements Completions Cancellations1 In training at the end of year 19 60 1961 1962 1963 1964 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 172,161 1 6 1 ,1 2 8 1 5 5 ,6 4 9 15 8,88 7 1 6 3 ,3 1 8 5 4 ,1 0 0 4 9 ,4 8 2 5 5 ,5 9 0 5 7 ,2 0 4 5 9 ,9 6 0 3 1 ,7 2 7 2 8 ,5 4 7 2 5 ,9 1 8 2 6 ,0 2 9 2 5 ,7 4 4 3 3 ,4 0 6 2 6 ,4 1 4 2 6 ,4 3 4 2 6 ,7 4 4 27,001 1 6 1 ,1 2 8 1 5 5 ,6 4 9 1 5 8 ,8 8 7 16 3 ,3 1 8 1 7 0 ,5 3 3 19 65 1966 1967 1 9 68 1969 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 1 7 0 ,5 3 3 1 8 3 ,9 5 5 207,511 2 2 0 7 ,5 1 7 2 3 7 ,9 9 6 6 8 ,5 0 7 85,031 9 7 ,8 9 6 11 1,01 2 1 2 3 ,1 6 3 2 4 ,9 1 7 26,511 3 7 ,2 9 9 3 7 ,2 8 7 3 9 ,6 4 6 3 0 ,1 6 8 3 4 ,9 6 4 4 7 ,9 5 7 4 3 ,2 4 6 47,561 1 8 3 ,9 5 5 207,511 220,151 2 3 7 ,9 9 6 2 7 3 ,9 5 2 1970 1971 1972 ............... ............... ............... 2 2 6 9 ,6 2 6 2 278,431 2 2 4 7 ,8 4 0 10 8,77 9 7 8 ,5 3 5 10 3,52 7 4 5 ,1 0 2 42,071 5 3 ,0 5 9 5 3 ,6 1 0 40,891 5 6 ,7 5 0 2 7 9 ,6 9 3 2 7 4 ,0 0 4 2 6 4 ,1 2 2 ^Includes voluntary quits, layoffs, discharges, out-of-State transfers, upgrading w ith in certain trades, and suspensions or interruptions fo r m ilita ry service. 2 The difference fro m the number in training at the end of the previous system. year reflects changes or revisions in the reporting SOURCE: U.S. D epartm ent Apprenticeship and Training. of Labor, Bureau of informal nature of most employer training, it is difficult to define and measure on-the-job training. For example, many American workers become highly skilled by observing fellow workers, practicing in spare moments such as lunch hours, coffee breaks, or other periods, and by simply asking questions of experienced workers. Since a large portion if not most of the occupational training for manual jobs occurs in private industry, the lack of data on training in the private sector hinders proper manpower analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, with the support of the Manpower Administration, conducted a pilot survey in 1971 and 1972 to test the feasibility of collecting data on enrollments and completions of occupational training in selected industries, and to determine the best method of collecting such data. The results were generally positive and the Bureau has underway a nationwide, full-scale survey of occupational training in selected metalworking industries. Armed Forces training The Armed Forces represents one of the Nation’s largest sources of trained manpower. The military training programs can be classified in one of six categories: recruit training, specialized training, officer training, officer acquisition training, professional training, and flight training. In numbers as well as influence on occupational skills, specialized training is the most important. Specialized training includes courses that provide the serviceman with the skills needed to perform specific jobs in technical areas such as radio communication and jet engine repair as well as administrative and service-related specialties such as clerical work and military police duty. The impact of specialized training is most clearly reflected by the occupational distribution of the Armed Forces.20 The number of enlisted personnel in each of nine major occupational groups as of December 31, 1972, is shown below: Infantry, gun crews, and seamanship specialists . . . . 2 3 6 ,8 7 7 Electronic equipment repairmen .....................................2 0 0 ,4 9 5 Communications and intelligence specialists..... 1 3 6 ,7 6 0 Medical and dental specialists ........................................ 8 6 ,4 7 2 Other technical and allied specialists ............................ 3 6 ,5 7 3 Administrative specialists and c le rk s ......................360,701 Electrical and mechanical equipm ent repairmen . . . . 4 1 4 ,6 4 8 C raftsm en ...................................................................... 9 9 ,0 8 9 Service and supply h a n d le rs .................................... 2 2 5 ,3 6 0 Total ........................................................................... 1 ,7 9 6 ,9 7 5 20 ^Detailed statistics providing estimates for each of the 67 specific occupational subgroups are presented in appendix table C-6. The preceding tabulation shows that the skills of enlisted servicemen are heavily concentrated in fields that demand mechanical or technical skills. Thus, the military is a major potential source of trained civilian workers in these fields. It is difficult to determine from the Armed Forces listings the transferability of military to civilian skills. For example, the Air Force occupation Navigation/Bombing Trainer and Flight Simulator Specialist appears to have no relation to a civilian occupation. However, studies indicate that the skills necessary for this service occupation are highly related to those needed by electronics technicians. In an effort to “translate” military job titles, the Department of De fense, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manpower and Reserve Affairs, has compiled the Mili tary-Civilian Job Comparability Manual. The manual consists of two major sections. The first lists individual military job specialties with separate divisions for each service branch and relates them to civilian occupations that are either “highly” and “substantially” related. A second section, essentially the inverse of the first, presents civilian job categories and follows with all related military specialties. Although intended as a guide for employers and vocational counselors in job place ment for the veteran, the manual can serve as a useful tool for manpower analysis. Project Transition. A training and counseling program throughout the Armed Forces, Project Transition prepares service personnel who have between 1 and 6 months left in the service for employment in civilian life. From January 1968 to February 1972, 1.3 million persons received counseling under this program. For those without adequate training in civilian job areas, occupational training is offered in well over a hundred technical and skilled areas; about 223,000 persons received such skill training as of February 1972. Only limited information is available on the success of service personnel in gaining immediate postservice employment in the specialties for which they were trained. According to Department of Defense estimates, job placements range from 50 to 70 percent. There is no single listing of all training courses offered under Project Transition; courses offered are dependent on factors such as the facilities of the individual training base and the business activities of participating firms in private industry. Statistics on the number of persons trained by occupational area can be obtained only through the local training bases in the Transition program. Local manpower planners may be able to obtain these data by contacting Project Transition offices at military bases within the geographic scope of their research. Federal manpower programs The Federal Government has sponsored manpower training programs on a formal basis since the enactment of the Manpower Development and Training (MDTA) Act in 1962 and the Economic Opportunity Act (EOA) in 1964. Starting in fiscal year 1975, most Federal manpower training funds will be distributed to State and local governments under the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) of 1973. Three programs, the Job Corps, Migrant Labor, and Work Incentive (WIN), will continue as Federal rather than State and local programs. Under CETA, about 500 jurisdictions (cities, counties, or States) of 100,000 population or more will receive funds directly, according to their needs as reflected in their population size, unemployment, and poverty levels. The State and local areas will determine how the money should be spent: whether on institutional training, on-the-job training, work experience, or direct placement into transitional public service jobs. Organizations planning training programs must negotiate with their local jurisdictions, called “prime sponsors,” for inclusion in local plans for funding. Data will be available from records which must be maintained by local jurisdictions on how many persons are enrolled in various training programs. There will be no advance information, at least on the Federal level, on how many persons will be trained for specific occupa tions. Training data presented in this report are based on the Federal categorical programs: MDTA on-the-job training, MDTA institutional training, Neighborhood Youth Corps, and Public Service Careers Program. Other programs covered include JOBS, WIN, Job Corps, and Migrant Labor. MDTA on-the-job training (OJT), which includes the Jobs Optional Program (JOP), is designed to equip workers with entrance-level skills and is carried out on the job site by the employer. These programs also provide remedial training for the underemployed and those subject to job displacement under the JOBS-NAB effort. In 1973, 127,000 persons were enrolled in MDTA on-the-job training programs. Detailed data are not available on the exact occupations for which persons were trained, but it is estimated that about two-thirds were involved in processing, machine trades, bench work, and structural work. In OJT and JOP combined, out of 59,600 ending training, there were 31,200 who completed the training program (about 63 percent). In fiscal year 1973, about 95,000 persons were enrolled in MDTA institutional training programs; nearly 40,000 completed training. The number completing training for each specific field is shown in appendix C. There were about 9,100 trainees enrolled in industrial production and related occupations, 6,300 in office occupations, 2,500 in service occupations, 1,800 in construction occupations, over 7,600 in mechanic and repairman occupations, and over 2,600 in medical occupations. About four-fifths of persons completing institutional training in FY 1973 found jobs in the field for which they were trained. The Neighborhood Youth Corps (NYC) of EOA was not designed primarily to train workers, but to help young persons from low income families stay in school, return to school, or increase employment possibilities. NYC provides work experience and, in some cases, related training. In 1973 more than 625,000 persons were enrolled in the Neighborhood Youth Corps: 165,300 in the in-school program, 74,700 in the out-of-school program, and 388,400 in the nine-week summer program. Detailed information on fields of training is not available. The Public Service Careers program (PSC) of EOA was designed to develop entry-level jobs in government service agencies for disadvantaged workers and to help upgrade government employees who are in dead-end, low-paid positions. In general, under this program a government agency hires and trains persons on the job, while PSC funds pay the extra costs of training and supportive services, such as child care and transportation. The theory behind PSC was that lowering personal and institutional barriers can enable disadvantaged persons to perform satisfactorily in useful public service jobs. As with the JOBS program, which also operates under the “hire now, train later” concept, this program is not as attractive to agencies in periods when a sufficient supply of qualified labor is already available. In fiscal year 1973, 47,200 persons participated in the public service careers program, a decrease from 58,301 in 1972. Most were employed in professional, technical, management, clerical, sales, and service occupations. There are not sufficient data to determine entry rates to specific occupations. Limited data have shown that PSC enrollees have turnover rates similar to those for regular employees. PSC placements as a percent of terminations2 1 was about 73 percent. ^Terminations include successful completions, dropouts, and early voluntary withdrawals. Job Opportunities in the Business Sector (JOBS) program. Under the sponsorship of the National Alliance of Businessmen (NAB), trainees in this program are hired as on-the-job trainees, then given counseling, remedial and basic education, and other supportive services for permanent jobs and opportunities for advancement. The Department of Labor defrays expenses for training and supportive services. The National Alliance of Businessmen, formed as a private, nonprofit corporation to stimulate private firms to hire and train disadvantaged persons, provides the job and training opportunities in the private business sector among its members and nonmembers, with or without Federal funds. The program was built on the premise that immediate placement in jobs at regular wages, followed by training and supportive services, provides superior motivation for disadvantaged persons. In 1973, 51,500 persons were hired under JOBS contracts with the Department of Labor, bringing the total enrollment since the inception of the program to 364,500. According to a General Accounting Office study, the retention rate for the program through June 1970 was 47 percent.22 It is difficult to interpret this information, however, because there is no way to separate terminees who completed training from those who did not. About 14 percent of those in JOBS programs were in clerical and sales occupations; 60 percent were in processing, machine trades, bench work, and structural work. Work Incentive (WIN) program. This program stresses economic independence for all employable persons age 16 and over in families receiving Aid to Families with Dependent Children. Originally a voluntary program , in July 1972 WIN became WIN II and is now mandatory for all AFDC recipients except those officially exempted by amendments to the Social Security Act. Unlike the earlier program, WIN II places less emphasis on training and seeks to refer welfare recipients directly to jobs. Where training is required, it is to take place at the job site wherever possible. The individuals who register for WIN are counseled by the local welfare agency about typical job tasks and aided in making an occupational choice. At this point they may be referred to an unsubsidized job, a work experience program (OJT in private industry or a subsidized job in public or private nonprofit agency), or a formal skill training program. About 356,000 persons were served in FY 1973 and 148,200 placed in jobs. 2^U.S. General Accounting Office, Report to the Congress by the Comptroller General of the United States. Evaluation Results and Administration o f the Job Opportunities in the Business Sector (JOBS) Program in Five Cities, B -l63922, (Dept, of Labor, March 24, 1971), p. 13. Limited data indicate that most WIN II participants are placed in clerical and service jobs. Specific data that can be used for occupational supply and demand analysis are not available. Job Corps. The Job Corps trains high school dropouts between 16 and 21 years of age who have records of low educational achievement, have been out of work for at least 3 months, or can benefit from full-time residential assistance. The program provides young persons with basic educational and vocational skill training. The Job Corps is different from other Federal manpower programs in that centers provide residential living and serve their enrollees 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Centers vary in size from 150 to 2,400 corps members, may be urban or rural, and may serve men or women. For the year ending June 30, 1973, 66,100 corps members were served in 65 centers in 35 States and Puerto Rico. Training is provided in various fields, including clerical-sales, service, forestry, farming, food service, auto and machine repairs, construction trades, electrical appliance repair, industrial production, and health occupations. It is extremely difficult to use Jobs Corps data to determine entrants to occupations because much Job Corps training is remedial education in basic reading and mathematical skills and not related to specific occupations. In 1973, almost 14,000 Job Corps members were placed in jobs; of these about 5,000 were placed in the field for which they were trained. The number of persons trained in specific fields is shown in appendix C. Migrant labor. Until new guidelines are issued under CETA, little current information is available concerning the migrant labor program. However, in general, the program assists migrants by providing institutional training, work experience, on-the-job training, family services, and specialized relocation assistance. Home study courses In 1972, more than 5 million persons were enrolled in home study (correspondence) courses. Home study courses vary in length, intended academic level, and degree of specialization, and include academic instruction, vocational training, and personal enrichment programs. These courses are primarily useful for persons already employed, in the Armed Forces, living in rural areas, or for people who cannot leave home for institutional training. Home study schools are accredited by the National Home Study Council. In 1970 over 1.8 million students were enrolled by home study private schools; almost 2.2 million through the Federal Government and the military services; over 300,000 by religious schools; and almost 70,000 in home study courses related to business and industrial training. 23 It is impossible to use information about home study to determine the number of entrants to specific occupations. There are neither detailed surveys on home-study occupational training, nor followup studies on entry rates for persons trained. Not all students complete the courses they begin and some of the training is a part of employer training programs. Thus, even if statistical information on completions were available, the data would not represent new entrants to an occupation. Community and junior colleges A variety of educational functions are served by community colleges. For some students they provide the first 2 years of academic training leading to a bachelor’s degree. These colleges also offer adult education courses, many of which are geared to vocational preparation or improvement, and they offer career education programs designed to prepare students for entry into specific occupations. Junior colleges have a large number of programs designed to prepare students for employment immediately after graduation. Although the typical program lasts 2 or more years, a number of courses require only 1 year for completion. Types of career education are: business and commerce technologies; data p ro cessin g technologies, including computer maintenance as well as operation and programming; health services and paramedical technologies; mechanical and engineering technologies; natural science technologies; and public-service-related technologies such as law enforcement. In both number of institutions and enrollments, community or junior colleges have experienced very rapid growth during the 1960’s. According to data provided by the American Association of Community and Junior Colleges, the number of schools in operation grew by about 60 percent from 1960 to 1970. Enrollments in these institutions grew much faster, reaching well over 3 1/2 times the 1960 level. The Office of Education compiles data each year on associate degrees and other awards below the baccalaureate through the Higher Education General Information Survey (HEGIS). These data represent all ^Information based on data supplied by the National Home Study Council, Washington, D.C. such awards granted, including 2- and 3-year degree programs offered by 4-year colleges. The proportion of degrees awarded by 2-year colleges generally has been over 80 percent of the total. Between July 1, 1970, and June 30, 1971, the time frame of the most recent survey for which data are available, 307,880 associate degrees and other awards below the baccalaureate were granted in the United States. Approximately half were in curriculums designed to provide occupational competence at the technical or semiprofessional level. The data provided by the Office of Education are in some cases segregated by relatively broad curriculum areas. For example, according to the latest survey, 5,017 awards were granted in “General data processing technologies.” In the absence of detailed descriptions of the curriculum content leading to these awards, their treatment as potential supply in more narrowly defined occupations such as computer operator, peripheral equipment operator, or programmer has some weaknesses. However, in most instances, meaningful estimates of the supply-demand situation for occupations can be made by grouping the more narrow occupations to construct comparatively broad ranges of career specialties. The junior college degrees are related to specific occupations and are presented in appendix C. The classification structure used by the Office of Education in collecting data on degrees awarded by curriculum has undergone some changes since the 1965-66 survey. The most significant is the new HEGIS taxonomy24 that increases the number of curriculums identified separately. The new classification interrupts the precise accumulation of historical data on associate degrees and other formal awards below the baccalaureate. In fact, there are only three years of data on awards below the baccalaureate which are comparable. These are for the periods 1967-68, 1968-69, and 1969-70. However, appendix table C-l presents, where possible, awards by curriculum from the current survey (1970-71) with data from the previous three years. Projections of degrees awarded below the baccalaureate are not available and are a critical missing element in supply-demand analysis of specific occupational fields. Statistics are also unavailable on the projected composition of State and local junior college enrollments by curriculum or full or part-time status. However, several State administrators of junior college ^ F o r a manual describing the new taxonomy and its relationship to the original, consult A Taxonomy o f Instructional Programs in Higher Education, OE-500064-70 (U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Office of Education, 1970). systems have compiled historical data on these and other topics. For example, past experience in Illinois suggests that future junior college enrollments in that State may include greater proportions of students in career-oriented curriculums as well as increases in part-time enrollment and adult education. Local manpower planners can contact State junior college administrators for such information to aid in assessing future State educational needs. College and university training College training covers a wide range of subjects—the social sciences, humanities, education, physical sciences, mathematics, medicine, engineering, the arts, biological science, and business. The general length of training is 4 years for most degree programs, but professional training may require another 4 years or more. In 1972, there were 1,716, 4-year institutions of higher learning. According to the Office of Education, 456 were public and 1,260 were private institutions. Since 1965 about 130 new 4-year institutions were established, an increase of 10.2 percent. During this period Federal funds have more than doubled, from over $2 billion in 1965 to $4.8 billion in 1972. Enrollments in colleges and universities have in creased every year for the last 27 years. In 1972, 6,473,000 persons were enrolled in degree credit pro grams in 4-year institutions, an increase of 1,788,000 (38.2 percent) over the 4,685,000 enrollments in 1965. The enrollment figure represent the number of people who attend college but not those who earn degrees. In 1972, 941,000 persons earned bachelor’s degrees, 50.200 earned first professional degrees, 251,000 earned master’s degrees, and 34,400 earned doctorates. The number of earned degrees rose substantially from 1965 to 1972. Bachelor’s degree recipients increased 81 percent from 520,300 in 1965 to 941,000 in 1972. First professional degree recipients increased by almost twothirds (63 percent) from 30,800 in 1965 to 50,200 in 1972. The number of master’s degrees awarded grew by 110,900 or 79 percent from 140,500 to 251,400 in 1972. Doctorates almost doubled (89 percent), from 18.200 to 34,400. The statistics on enrollments and earned degrees are comparable and consistent over time. Earned degree statistics by curriculum are presented in appendix C. Followup studies. Followup data consist of occupational entry rates for individuals who have completed various types of college training. Entry rates are calculated as the percentage of persons with a specific undergraduate degree who entered an occupation related to the degree.25 The question of sex is significant in analyzing followup data, for entry rates usually differ widely between men and women. Entry rates to occupations related to the specific training are generally less than 100 percent and vary widely from occupation to occupation. Professional occupations such as dentists, podiatrists, veterinarians, and physicians have rates close to 100 percent. On the other hand, mathematicians, life scientists, and the social science professions have entry rates under 40 percent. Many people do not enter the occupation corresponding to their undergraduate major. Entry rates under 100 percent are accounted for in this manner. Most occupations do not require such specific training. For example, some occupations require some knowledge in an area, but not a specialty. Bank officers and credit officials have no specific training, but in general have some business training. Persons who majored in the social sciences have made a wide variety of career choices. Many go into law, business, teaching, or public administration. In some areas such as engineering where a large majority of the undergraduates enter the occupa tion, possible alternatives still are common. For exam ple, an engineer with a law degree may become a patent attorney or one with an MBA may go into administra tion or sales for an engineering firm. Followup data are available from a variety of sources. However, few cover the whole Nation or are available on a recurring basis. State or area education and manpower agencies, individual schools, and private organizations such as the College Placement Council and the Bureau of Social Science Research are the largest publishers of followup study material. A good example of a followup study is a survey conducted by the College Placement Council entitled Career Plans o f College Graduates o f 1965 and 1970. In this study, eight broad undergraduate majors were used: business, engineering, physical science, biological sci ences, social sciences, humanities, education, and prepro fessional, along with 17 broad occupational categories. Some significant findings as far as career choices were: (1) business, teaching, the medical and law professions, and engineering were the most popular career choices of men graduates, accounting for over 50 percent; (2)teaching was the choice of almost 50 percent ^ F o r example: Robert Calvert, Jr., “Liberal Arts Graduates-What Do They Have to Report?” Journal o f College Placement February-March 1969, and Five Years A fter the College Degree, 5 vol. (Bureau of Social Science Research, 1965-67). of the women; (3) a large proportion of graduates with business, engineering, education, and preprofessional majors chose the single career occupation directly related to their field of study. Another followup study26 shows that people who obtain a Ph.D. do not always enter the occupational area for which they are trained. The next tabulation shows that 10 percent of all Ph.D. recipients accept employment in areas other than their specialty and that these entry rates vary by specialty. ^6Summary Report 1971: Doctorate Recipients from U.S. Universities (National Research Council, April 1972). Specialty Percent entering other fields A ll Ph.D. re c ip ie n ts ....................................................... 9.8 Arts and humanities .......................................................... Educators .............................................................................. Agricultural scientists ....................................................... C h e m is ts ................................................................................ Social sciences...................................................................... Psychologists......................................................................... Engineers................................................................................ M a th e m a tic ia n s .................................................................... Bioscientists ......................................................................... Medical scientists................................................................. Physicists and astronomers ............................................. Earth scientists .................................................................... 20 .2 19.0 15.7 13.6 11.9 9 .9 8 .5 7 .9 7.5 7 .5 7.1 3 .6 Chapter 4. Relating Training to Occupational Needs This chapter presents information on ways workers qualify for jobs in each of 240 occupations. Each discussion of occupational training requirements is followed by statistics on 1972 employment, 1985 requirements, the projected rate of growth from 1972 to 1985, projected. annual openings for growth and replacement, and the most recent data on the number of persons completing training. The data on training are for the following time periods: Junior college graduates — academic year 1970-71 Federal manpower programs (MDTA, etc.) —fiscal year 1973 Vocational education completions — fiscal year 1971 Apprenticeship completions — calendar year 1972 College graduates — academic year 1970-71 and projected 1972-85 annual average A dash means that no statistics on training are available. These statistics on occupational requirements and training are also presented in tabular form in appendixes C and D. The detailed information on occupations is preceded by a discussion of the overall outlook for college graduates for the 1972-85 period and some of the major implications of this outlook. For specific occupations that require at least a bachelor’s degree, a brief supply-demand analysis is presented when possible. For other occupations an analysis of this type is presented if data are complete or if such an analysis is meaningful. Supply-demand analyses are not presented for occupations such as waiters and waitresses. For this kind of occupation, training is generally given on the job and entry to the occupation is relatively easy. Nevertheless, statistics on annual job openings are valuable to develop special programs for occupations that require little formal training. The Outlook for College Graduates In the past two decades, the rise in the educational level of the labor force was paralleled by rising educa tional requirements of jobs. This was reflected in a more rapid growth of the major occupational groups with the highest educational attainment. The major apparent gaps were a shortfall of college graduates trained to work in engineering, scientific, teaching, and medical professions from the late 1950’s to the mid-1960’s. Looking to the future, the question arises as to whether the increasing educational attainment of the population will continue to match the increase in the number of jobs offering satisfactory employment for those with higher educa tional qualifications. An analysis of existing trends in the supply of and demand for college graduates may throw some light on the question. U.S. colleges and universities—principal suppliers of the country’s most highly trained manpower—are projected by the U.S. Office of Education to continue turning out record numbers of graduates through the mid-1980’s. Twice as many college degrees will be earned from 1972 through 1985 as were earned during the preceding 13 years from 1959 through 1972. The Office of Education has projected that a total of 20.1 million degrees will be awarded over the 1972-85 period:27 Degree T o t a l ................................. B a c h e lo r's ................................. M a s te r's ...................................... Doctor's ................................... First professional, including law, medicine, dentistry, etc. . Degrees awarded Percent increase (millions) 1972-85 20.1 14.6 4.0 .6 46 44 41 66 .9 85 Not all degree recipients, however, can be considered part of the effective new supply of college-educated workers. Most master’s and doctorate degree recipients are employed before receiving their advanced degrees and are already considered part of the existing supply of college-educated workers. Other degree recipients, especially at the bachelor’s level, delay entry into the labor force to continue their education, enter the Armed Forces, or become full-time housewives. Relying on past patterns of entry into the labor force, ^These projections are based on a continuation of the pattern of enrollments in college by the college-age population. See Projections o f Educational Statistics to 1980-81, OE 72-99, for additional details on the basic assumptions used by the Office of Education, U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare in developing projections of earned degrees. Table 9. Projected supply of college graduates, 1972-85 (In thousands] 1 9 72-8 5 19 72-8 0 1980-8 5 T o t a l ................................... 1 5 ,3 0 0 8 ,8 5 0 6 ,4 5 0 New college g r a d u a te s ............. Bachelor's degree re c ip ie n ts ............................ Master's degree re c ip ie n ts ............................ Doctor's degree re c ip ie n ts ............................ First professional degree re c ip ie n ts ............................ M ilitary se p a ra tio n s .................. O ther ............................................. 1 3 ,1 7 0 7 ,5 4 0 5 ,6 3 0 11 ,2 0 0 6 ,4 0 5 4 ,7 9 5 1,2 0 0 700 500 20 10 10 750 1,2 2 0 910 425 750 560 325 470 350 Source [ In thousands] Type of requirem ent To tal ................................... it is estimated that 13.2 million persons will enter the civilian labor force between 1972 and 1985 upon receiving their degrees; 11.2 million at the bachelor’s level, 1.2 million at the master’s, approximately 20,000 at the doctorate level, and 750,000 recipients of first professional degrees. (See table 9.) In addition, the supply of new graduates between 1972 and 1985 will be augmented by more than 2.1 million persons with college-level training who will n o t. enter the labor force directly from college. These expected additions will consist of over 900,000 immigrants and delayed entrants and reentrants to the labor force—primarily women who delayed seeking a job or who were working in earlier years but who withdrew from the labor force-and more than 1.2 million perons entering the civilian labor force after separation from the military services. Thus, the new supply of college-educated manpower expected to enter the labor force from 1972 to 1985 will total 15.3 million. Nearly one-quarter of all job openings between 1972 and 1985 are expected to require persons who have completed four years or more of college. In comparison, during the preceding 13 years between 1959 and 1972 about 18 percent of all job openings were filled by college graduates. Job opportunities for college-educated workers stem from three sources: growth in employment in occupations currently requiring a college degree for entry; the need to replace workers in such occupations who die, retire, or leave the labor force for other reasons; and educational upgrading, the trend toward liiring college graduates for jobs once performed by workers with less education. An analysis of growth, replacement, and rising entry requirements indicates that 14.5 million new college graduates will be needed between 1972 and 1985; 7.7 million to take care of occupational growth and rising entry requirements, and 6.8 million for replacements. (See table 10.) Thus, the available supply, 15.3 million, Table 10. Projected requirements for college graduates, 1972-85 Grow th ........................................ Replacement ............................ 1 9 72-8 5 . 1 9 72-8 0 1 9 8 0 -8 5 1 4 ,5 0 0 8 ,8 0 0 5 ,7 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 6 ,8 0 0 3 ,8 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 will be about 800,000 above projected job requirements. This prospective situation will affect workers across the entire occupational spectrum. A greater oversupply of college graduates is expected over the 1980-85 period than over the 1972-80 period. The projected “gap” is roughly 100,000 for 1972-80, or 12,500 a year on the average, and 700,000 for 1980-85, or 140,000 a year. The widening of the gap arises from the expected slowdown in the rate of growth of the economy in the later period and not from an accelerated increase in the number of degree recipients. In fact, the rise in the number of degree recipients will slow over 1980-85. The average number of degrees granted annually over 1972-80 is expected to total about 1,441,000, almost 70 percent or 585,000 higher than the previous 10 years’ average of 856,000 annually. (See table 11.) But over the 1980-85 period, degrees granted will average 1,718,000, only 277,000 more or 19 percent higher than over 1972-80. However, it is expected that job openings over 1980-85 will be rising at an even slower rate. Annual job openings will increase an average of only 4 percent, a rise of barely 50,000 over the average of 1.1 million job openings annually over the 1972-80 period. The amount of educational upgrading is determined by a number of factors—some related to the changing nature or content of existing jobs and some related to noneconomic factors. College graduates will be demanded in some jobs traditionally held by less educated workers due to the increasingly complex skills required for those jobs. Rising entry requirements may simply reflect the Table 11. Average annual number of earned degrees, 1962-72 and projected for selected periods, 1972-85 Projected Degree 1 9 62-7 2 1 9 72-8 5 1 9 72-8 0 1 9 8 0 -8 5 T o t a l .................. 8 5 5 ,9 0 0 1 ,5 4 7 ,7 0 0 1 ,4 4 1 ,1 0 0 1 ,7 1 8 ,3 0 0 B ach elo r's.................. 6 3 3 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 2 2 ,4 0 0 1 ,0 4 3 ,5 0 0 1 ,2 4 8 ,6 0 0 3 3 3 ,8 0 0 3 0 4 ,2 0 0 2 8 5 ,7 0 0 Master's .................... 1 6 6 ,5 0 0 5 5 ,0 0 0 4 8 ,6 0 0 4 4 ,7 0 0 2 2 ,8 0 0 D o c to r 's .................... 8 0 ,9 0 0 7 2 ,4 0 0 6 7 ,2 0 0 First professional . . 3 3 ,6 0 0 N O T E : Detail may not add to totals because of rounding. greater number of college graduates available for employment as well as a general tendency to hire the person who has the highest educational qualifications, especially for white-collar jobs. In the past, employers might have preferred to hire college graduates for various jobs but were not able to compete for them. If substantial numbers of college graduates were unsuccessful in finding a job in the career of their choice, they would be available to fill upgraded jobs. Increased employment of college graduates outside of the professions may also reflect a lack of ability or motivation for professional work on the part of some graduates. It may also reflect sexual and racial discrimination as well as a host of other factors. College graduates are expected to continue to have a competitive advantage over those with less education. Despite the projected surplus of college graduates for the 1980-85 period, it is unlikely that college graduates will experience significant levels of unemployment. Rather, they are likely to obtain jobs previously held by individuals with less than 4 years of college. In general, graduates have reacted to changes in the job situation in the past by taking the best available job and there is no reason to assume that this will change. Problems for college graduates will more likely be employment below the level of skill for which they were trained, resulting in job dissatisfaction and high occupational mobility rather than unemployment. The apparent abundance of college graduates as a whole in the 1972-85 period does not imply that all supply-demand imbalances in the professions will be eliminated. Much depends on the number of students who prepare for each professional field. This will depend not only on the choices students make but also on the capacity of schools of medicine, engineering, and other fields where the number of students that can be accommodated is relatively inflexible over the short run. It is difficult to predict the number of job opportunities in a given field in relation to the number of individuals who will choose careers in the field, but it is useful to trace what would happen if recent trends in the number of students who elect to study and enter each field continued through the mid-1980’s. Based on past experience, it is likely that there will be wide variation among occupations in the relation between supply and demand. In the following section of this chapter a supply-demand analysis is presented for specific occupations where the data allow. For specific occupations, prospective imbalances may be intensified unnecessarily if short-run job situations are allowed to outweigh the long-range employment outlook in making educational and career decisions. In engineering, for example, freshman enrollments dropped 11 percent between 1970 and 1971, according to data from the Engineers Joint Council. Yet, manpower requirements are expected to rise substantially in engineering over the 1970-80 decade as a whole, implying a repetition of the 1960’s scarcity of personnel in the profession unless the downtrend in enrollments is quickly ended. By contrast, indications are that the softened demand for Ph.D.’s which characterized the employment situation in the last few years may not improve as the decade progresses. Projections of the National Science Foundation suggest that the oversupply of Ph.D.’s in the sciences and engineering could range between 15,000 and 60,000 by 1980.^8 Other studies29 have indicated that the country may produce more Ph.D.’s in all fields than will be required. As with college graduates in general, a greater number of Ph.D.’s than available jobs traditionally requiring the degree may mean underemployment or more job shifting. The result in either case is likely to be job dissatisfaction, however, rather than unemployment. However, this does not mean employment problems will not exist. There is some evidence that employers in private industry may not want to employ scientists and engineers with Ph.D.’s in jobs not requiring that level of education.30 They may not want to hire workers who will be dissatisfied and leave their jobs or who require too high a salary compared to less highly trained workers who can perform the same job. The availability of more college-trained workers is expected to have an adverse effect on many of the less educated. It is likely to mean that, in the future, workers with less than a college education will have less chance of advancing to professional positions, as many could do in the past, particularly in professions such as engineering and accounting. They may also have less opportunity for promotion to higher level positions in sales, managerial, and some clerical and service occupations. This is essentially a problem of credentials. College graduates, however, will not be in a more favorable position in all occupations. In the crafts, workers in greatest demand will be those who have vocational training rather than a college education; as in the past, persons with college degrees will make little inroads in the crafts. Similarly, employers seeking operatives and laborers will be reluctant to hire college 281969 and 1980 Science and Engineering Doctorate Supply and Utilization, NSF 71-20 (Washington, National Science Foundation, 1971). 2^See, for example, Deal Wolfle and Charles V. Kidd, ‘The Future Market for Ph.D.’s,” Science, August 17, 1971, pp. 784-93, and Allan M. Cartter, ‘‘Scientific Manpower for 1970-85,” Science, April 9, 1971, pp. 132-40. Ph.D. Scientists and Engineers in Private Industry, 1968-80, Bulletin 1648 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1970). graduates except for some part-time or temporary jobs because of the obvious potential for job dissatisfaction. Moreover, in another broad occupational area closely related to professional work—paraprofessional and technical work—college graduates are likely to face stiffer competition. Community and junior colleges and other post secondary schools have proven they can train workers for many occupations in this category through 2-year programs or less, and the number of students completing these career educational programs is expected to increase even more rapidly than the number of college graduates. Another condition which may arise is that young people in high school will become aware of the plight of new college graduates who are not able to enter the field of their choice and therefore change their aspirations for a college education. Because current society esteems a college degree and recognizes the benefits of a college education for aspects of life other than work, such changed aspirations are not anticipated in great numbers. The complexity of the problem suggests the need for growing emphasis on vocational guidance to provide young people with the background needed to make a satisfactory choice for education and career. Industrial Production and Related Occupations Foundry occupations Patternmakers. A 5-year apprenticeship is the best way to learn the patternmaking trade. Trade school courses in patternmaking may be credited toward completion of the apprenticeship. A high school education is generally required. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h .................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 9 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,300 1.5 450 25 425 Available training data: Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 275 Molders. Hand molders usually learn their trade through a 4-year apprentice program. Some less skilled hand molders acquire skills on the job. Apprenticeship training is also preferred for some kinds of machine molding. An eighth grade education is required for apprentices, but many employers require additional education. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 5 6 ,0 0 0 5 7 ,0 0 0 1.5 1,1 00 100 1,0 00 Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 3 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,3 0 0 1.5 475 25 450 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ................................ Machining occupations All-round machinists. A 4-year apprenticeship program is the usual way to learn the trade, but some companies have training programs for single-purpose machinists that require less than 4 years. Many machinists, however, learn on the job. A typical 4-year apprenticeship includes 8,000 hours of shop training and 570 hours of classroom training. A high school or vocational school education that includes courses in mathematics, physics, and machine shop is desirable. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 3 2 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 24 .8 1 3 ,1 0 0 6 ,1 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Available training data ....................................................... M DTA: Coremakers. A 4-year apprenticeship is the recommended training for coremakers. Apprentices must have at least an eighth grade education, but some employers require graduation from high school. For less skilled coremaking jobs, inexperienced workers may be hired and trained on the job or other foundry workers may be upgraded. O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ................................... . 215 78 3 ,6 9 5 Instrument makers (mechanical). Most instrument makers learn their trade through apprenticeships. Others advance from the ranks of machinists or skilled machine tool operators. A typical 4-year apprenticeship consists of about 8,000 hours of shop training and 576 hours of classroom instruction. Employers generally prefer that apprentices have a high school education, including courses in algebra, geometry, science, and machine shop work. Tool and die makers. Skills can be acquired through formal 4-or 5-year apprenticeships or on the job. Most employers prefer apprentices who have a high school or trade school education. Many metal machine workers, after years of experience, take classroom training to become tool and die makers. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 2 0 .0 200 100 100 Available training data: Available training data: MDTA: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... 1 7 2 ,0 0 0 1 8 3 ,0 0 0 6 .4 4 ,2 0 0 800 3 ,4 0 0 20 Machine tool operators. Most semiskilled operators learn their trade on the job in a few months, but to become a skilled operator often requires 1Vi to 2 years of experience. Although there are no special educational requirements, courses in mathematics and blueprint reading are helpful. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ............................ 5 4 6 ,0 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 2 2 .9 2 5 ,6 0 0 G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 9 ,6 0 0 1 6 ,0 0 0 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 94 183 3,8 2 5 Printing (graphic arts) occupations Bookbinders and related workers. A 4- or 5-year apprenticeship that combines on-the-job training with related classroom instruction generally is required to qualify as a skilled bookbinder. Apprenticeship applicants usually must have a high school education. The less skilled bindery workers learn the trade through informal on-the-job training that may last from several months to 2 years. Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 840 1,8 33 137 Setup men (machine tools). Setup men usually must qualify as all-round machinists. They must have thorough training in the operation of one or more kinds of machine tools and be able to select the sequence of operations so that metal parts will be made according to specifications. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 3 ,0 0 0 5 9 ,0 0 0 37 .2 2 ,2 0 0 1,200 1,000 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 400 143 Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 2 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 17.3 550 450 100 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 27 231 Composing room occupations. Most compositors learn their trade through apprenticeships that generally require 6 years of progressively advanced training supplemented by classroom instruction or correspond ence courses. Some learn on the job by working as helpers for several years; others combine trade school and helper experience. Applicants for apprenticeships usually must be high school graduates. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 170,UUU 16 6,00 0 —2.3 4 ,3 0 0 —3 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ......................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 34 844 Electrotypers and stereotypers. These workers usually learn their trades through 5-to-6 year apprenticeships that include training on the job and classes in related technical subjects. Apprenticeship applicants usually must have a high school education. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 7 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 —14.8 100 — 100 200 Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 4 2 ,0 0 0 * 1 8 3 ,0 0 0 2 8 .6 6 ,1 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 2 ,9 0 0 ....................................................... Lithographic occupations. A 4- or 5-year apprenticeship usually is required to become a well-rounded litho graphic craftsman. Apprenticeship programs may emphasize a specific craft, such as platemaker or pressman, although an attempt is made to make the apprentice familiar with all lithographic operations. Apprenticeship applicants generally must be high school graduates. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 8 1 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 4 8 .4 5 ,1 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 54 518 Photoengravers. Most photoengravers learn their skills through a 5-year apprenticeship that includes at least 800 hours of classroom instruction. Apprenticeship applicants usually must have a high school education, preferably with courses in chemistry and physics. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 6 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,0 0 0 —9.2 200 — 100 300 Available training data: MDTA: In stitutio nal c o m p le tio n s ............... Printing pressmen and assistants. The most common way of learning the pressman’s trade is through apprentice ship that combines on-the-job training and related classroom or correspondence school work. The apprenticeship period in commercial printing shops is 2 years for press assistants and 4 to 5 years for pressmen. Some workers learn their skills on the job by working as helpers or press assistants or through a combination of work experience and training in vocational or technical schools. High school education generally is required; courses in physics and chemistry are recommended. 30 Available training data: M DTA: OJT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 9 14 204 635 Other industrial production and related occupations Assemblers. Training varies according to the level of skill required. Most inexperienced people can be trained in a few days or weeks, but some training lasts much longer. Although a high school diploma is usually not required, many employers prefer high school graduates or workers who have vocational school courses such as blueprint reading, especially for the more highly skilled jobs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 ,0 1 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 7.2 4 0 ,5 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job C o r p s ........................................................................... 39 6 150 986 Automobile painters. Most automobile painters start as helpers and acquire their skills informally by working for 3 to 4 years with experienced painters. A small number learn through a 3-year apprenticeship. Applicants who have a high school education are preferred. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................ 2 5 ,0 0 0 Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 9 ,0 0 0 16.1 800 300 500 jobs are high school graduates who have learned their skills on the job. Although fewer than one-tenth of all foremen are college graduates, a growing number of employers are hiring foreman trainees with college backgrounds. Available training data: MDTA: OJT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 1 30 Blacksmiths. Most beginners train on the job as helpers in blacksmith shops. Others enter through formal apprenticeship programs which generally last 3 or 4 years. Em ploym ent, 1972 ...................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ....................................................................... . . . R e p la c e m e n ts ................................... Available training data ....................................................... 10,000 9 .4 0 0 —6 .4 350 —50 '4 0 0 — Boilermaking occupations. Many boilermakers acquire skills on the job, but most training authorities agree that a 4-year apprenticeship is the best way to learn this trade. Layout men and fitup men generally learn their trades on the job by working as helpers for 2 or more years. Employers prefer high school graduates. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................ Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 3 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 18.6 1,300 50 0 800 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 58 504 Electroplaters. Most electroplaters learn the trade on the job. A small percentage of electroplaters train through a 3- or 4-year apprenticeship program and a few take a 1or 2-year electroplating course in a junior college, technical institute, or vocational high school. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 ,0 0 0 21.6 5 8 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,0 0 0 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 434 1,176 Forge shop occupations. Most workers learn their trades on the job. Some forge shops offer apprentice training programs for skilled jobs, such as die sinker and heat treater. High school graduates are preferred, especially for the more skilled jobs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ............................ Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... Available training data ......................... ............................. 6 3 ,0 0 0 6 6 ,0 0 0 4.1 1,300 200 1,1 00 — Furniture upholsterers. The most common way to learn this trade is to complete on-the-job training in an upholstery shop. Other ways of acquiring training are by working for furniture manufacturers in jobs closely related to upholstering, or through vocational or high school courses. A few people acquire the necessary skills through formal apprenticeship programs that last from 3 to 4 years. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 12.6 1,4 00 300 1,100 Available training data: E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 17 ,000 2 1 ,0 0 0 24 .0 900 300 600 — Foremen. Most workers who are promoted to foreman M DTA: OJT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 15 144 142 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 2,481 256 Inspectors. Inspectors are generally trained on the job. Training may last from a few hours to several months depending on the skill level. Requirements for the job vary. Some employers hire applicants who do not have a high school diploma but who have qualifying aptitudes or related experience. Other employers prefer experienced production workers. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 2 5 ,0 0 0 9 4 0 ,0 0 0 29 .7 4 4 ,7 0 0 1 6 ,600 2 8 ,1 0 0 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary.............................................................. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 3 8 ,0 0 0 5 2 ,0 0 0 3 6 .4 2 ,7 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 1,7 00 Available training data: 401 264 Millwrights. These workers generally acquire their skills on the job or through 4-year apprenticeship programs that combine shop training with classroom instruction. Many companies require that apprentice applicants be high school graduates. High school courses in science, mathematics, mechanical drawing, and machine shop are useful to the prospective millwright. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... Photographic laboratory workers. Most darkroom tech nicians learn their trade by 3 to 4 years of on-the-job training; some helpers become specialists in a particular activity, which usually requires less training time. A high school education is preferred and college courses are helpful for those interested in supervisory or managerial jobs. On-the-job training for workers in semiskilled photographic laboratory occupations may range from a few weeks to several months. 8 3 ,0 0 0 10 3 ,0 0 0 2 4 .3 3 ,3 0 0 1,600 1,700 Available training data: MDTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ............................ 14 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 1,370 1,216 577 Power truck operators. Most workers can be trained on the job to operate a power truck in a few days. It may take several weeks, however, to learn the physical layout and operation of a plant and the most efficient way of handling the materials to be moved. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 7 0 ,0 0 0 22.2 9 ,1 0 0 5 ,1 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 MDTA: OJT e n ro llm e n ts ......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 58 8 1,080 Motion picture projectionists. Most motion picture theaters in urban areas are unionized and young people who aspire to work as projectionists in these theaters must complete a union apprenticeship program. In a nonunion theater, a trainee may start as an usher or helper and learn the trade by working with an experienced projectionist. A high school education is preferred by employers. Em ploym ent, 1972 ...................... Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... Available training data 16 ,000 19 ,000 15.3 1,0 00 200 800 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 19 Production painters. New workers usually learn the job by watching and helping experienced workers. Training may vary from a few days to several months. A high school diploma is generally not required. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 19 7 ,0 0 0 9 .4 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ............... 5 Stationary engineers. Many stationary engineers start as helpers or craftsmen in other trades and acquire their skills informally on the job. Most training authorities, however, recommend a 3- to 4-year apprenticeship as the best way to learn this trade. High school or trade school graduates with courses in mathematics, mechanical drawing, machine shop practices, physics, and chemistry are preferred. Some States and cities require stationary engineers to be licensed. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 17 8,00 0 17 8,00 0 0.0 4 ,6 0 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... 9 3 ,0 0 0 8 8 ,0 0 0 —5.0 2 ,1 0 0 —4 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 Available training data: Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 ,0 0 0 5 4 .0 1,200 800 400 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 509 37 V ocational education completions: P ostsecondary............................................................... 234 22 Stationary firemen. Most learn their skills by working as helpers in boiler rooms. Some large cities and a few States require stationary firemen to be licensed. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... intelligence. A 2-year program leading to an associate degree in wastewater technology is an excellent way to bypass much of the on-the-job training and advance more rapidly. 70 55 Waste water treatment plant operators (sewage plant operators). Trainees usually start as helpers and learn their skills on the job. Some States require, and employers generally prefer, high school graduates. Some positions, especially in larger cities and towns, are covered by civil service regulations and applicants may be required to pass examinations on elementary mathematics, mechanical aptitude, and general Welders and flame cutters. Generally, it takes several years of training to become a skilled manual arc or gas welder, and somewhat longer to become a combination welder. Some of the less skilled jobs, however, can be learned after a few months of on-the-job training. Flamecutters usually can learn their work in a few weeks. For entry to manual welding jobs, most employers prefer applicants who have high school or vocational school training in welding methods. Before being assigned to work where the strength of the weld is a highly critical factor, welders may be required to pass a qualifying examination. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 5 4 ,0 0 0 7 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 9 .0 2 7 ,2 0 0 16 ,700 10 ,500 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 349 6 ,4 4 2 1,916 Office Occupations Clerical occupations Bookkeeping workers. For bookkeeping jobs, most employers prefer high school graduates who have taken business arithmetic and bookkeeping courses. Some prefer applicants who have completed business courses at a junior college or business school. The ability to type and operate various office machines also is preferred. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................ .. 1 ,5 8 4 ,0 0 0 Projected 1985 requirements ............................................ 1 ,9 0 0 ,0 0 0 Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 19.5 1 1 8 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 9 4 ,0 0 0 M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ......................................................... Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 160 63 24 Cashiers. For cashier jobs, employers prefer people who have completed high school. Courses in business arithmetic, bookkeeping, typing, and other business subjects are good preparation. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 9 9 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 6 0 ,0 0 0 36.1 9 6 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 6 8 ,0 0 0 Available training data: 8 Office machine operators. Graduation from high school or business school is the usual requirement for office machine operator jobs. Courses in typing and business arithmetic are helpful. The amount of on-the-job training required varies by type of machine used. E m ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 19 5 ,0 0 0 2 3 0 ,0 0 0 17.9 1 3 ,700 2 ,7 0 0 1 1 ,000 Available training data: MDTA: OJT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 15 -1 0 9 56 5 Postal clerks. These workers must be at least 18 and pass an examination that tests reading accuracy, the ability to O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... 37 follow oral instructions, vocabulary, and simple Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 97 Applicants must also pass a physical Job Corps c o m p le tio n s ........................................................... 113 arithmetic. examination and may be asked to show that they can lift and handle mail sacks weighing up to 70 pounds. File clerks. Employers prefer high school graduates for beginning file clerk jobs. Many seek applicants who can Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... 2 8 6 ,0 0 0 type and have some knowledge of office practices. M DTA: E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 2 7 2 ,0 0 0 3 1 8 ,0 0 0 16.7 2 2 ,8 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 1 9 ,300 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 37 820 277 Hotel front office clerks. Although education beyond high school generally is not required for these jobs, hotel employers are attaching greater importance to college training in selecting applicants who may later advance to managerial positions. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 9 ,0 0 0 6 9 ,0 0 0 41 .2 4 ,8 0 0 1,6 00 3 ,2 0 0 Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 3 1 2 ,0 0 0 8 .8 10 ,500 1,9 00 8 ,6 0 0 — Receptionists. Formal educational requirements rarely are specified beyond a high school diploma. Nevertheless, many receptionists have some college training. Business courses, such as elementary bookkeeping and business practices, are valuable for applicants seeking beginning positions. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 4 3 6 ,0 0 0 6 5 0 ,0 0 0 5 0 .0 5 5 ,1 0 0 16 ,800 3 8 ,3 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 19 37 Shipping and receiving clerks. High school graduates are preferred for beginning jobs in shipping and receiving departments. Business arithmetic, typing, and other high school business subjects are helpful, as is the ability to write legibly. Post-high school training is important for advancement to warehouse manager or other responsible jobs. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h .............................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 5 1 ,0 0 0 4 9 0 ,0 0 0 9.1 13 ,800 3 ,2 0 0 10,600 applicants who have additional training at a college or private business school. Generally employers have minimum standards of typing and stenographic speed and accuracy that must be met before an employee is hired. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 ,0 7 4 ,0 0 0 4 ,9 5 0 ,0 0 0 6 0 .8 4 1 1 ,0 0 0 14 4 ,0 0 0 2 8 6 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Available training'data: M DTA: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... 23 Statistical clerks. Most employers prefer statistical clerks who are high school graduates. Those who have had courses in business arithmetic, bookkeeping, and typing are considered well prepared for this type of work. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 2 9 9 ,0 0 0 3 7 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 .8 2 3 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 17 ,000 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 30 5 1,720 146 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Bachelor's degrees in secretarial s tu d ie s ................................. Junior college graduates in secretarial te ch n o lo g ies........................... 10 7,36 8 2 4 ,3 2 8 1,323 16 ,5 3 4 ....................................................... Stock clerks. Although there are no specific educational requirements for stock clerks, employers prefer high school graduates. Many look for reading and writing skills, a basic knowledge of mathematics, and typing and filing abilities. Some stock clerks must meet bonding standards. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 1 1 ,0 0 0 7 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 6 .2 3 4 ,8 0 0 1 8 ,200 16 ,600 Typists. Most employers require applicants to have a high school diploma and to meet certain standards of typing speed and accuracy. Good spelling, punctuation, and grammar are essential. Most typists learn their skills by attending day or evening classes in public or private schools. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 ,0 2 1 ,0 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 38 .7 1 1 5 ,7 0 0 3 0 ,4 0 0 8 5 ,3 0 0 Available training data: Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 52 2 ,0 7 6 21 0 Stenographers and secretaries. Graduation from high school is essential for practically all secretarial and stenographic positions. Many employers prefer MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 151 1,252 1,2 58 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 10 5 ,0 9 8 8 ,8 9 9 Computer and related occupations Electronic computer operating personnel. In filling these jobs, employers usually require at least a high school education. For console operator positions, some college training may be preferred. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 . . ......................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 8 0 ,0 0 0 5 3 1 ,0 0 0 10.6 2 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 represent degrees earned in systems analysis. Also qualified for systems analysis jobs are many persons with college training in data processing, programming, and computer and information sciences. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Ph.D.'s ................................................................................ Available training data: 1 0 3 ,0 0 0 1 8 5 ,0 0 0 79 .6 8 ,3 0 0 6 ,3 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 * 88 88 6 MDTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 6 ,1 6 5 158 Programmers. Those programmers hired for scientific, engineering, or related work usually must have a bachelor’s degree with a major in the physical sciences, mathematics, engineering, or computer science. Some jobs require a graduate degree. For business pro gramming, experience often is more important than a college degree, although college courses in data processing, accounting, and business administration are helpful. Data presented below represent degrees earned in programming. Also qualified for programming jobs are many persons with college training in data processing and computer and information sciences. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 8 6 ,0 0 0 2 9 0 ,0 0 0 5 5 .9 1 3 ,000 8 ,0 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ............................................... 32 5 2 ,1 4 9 M DTA: In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 3 Systems analysts. Although there is no single acceptable way of preparing for work as a systems analyst, most employers prefer applicants who have college training and experience in computer programming. Many employers seek candidates who have a bachelor’s degree in mathematics, science, engineering, or business; others stress a graduate degree. Systems analyst trainees can learn to use data processing equipment on the job or through special courses offered by colleges and computer manufacturers. Data presented below Banking occupations Bank clerks. High school graduation is adequate preparation for beginning clerical jobs in banks. For most jo*bs, courses in bookkeeping, typing, business arithmetic, and office machine operation are desirable. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 7 3 ,0 0 0 6 6 5 ,0 0 0 4 0 .4 4 3 ,2 0 0 14 ,7 0 0 2 8 ,5 0 0 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 5 Bank officers. These positions may be filled by management trainees or by promoting experienced clerical workers. A business administration major in finance or a liberal arts curriculum including accounting, economics, commercial law, and statistics is excellent preparation for trainee positions. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 1 9 ,0 0 0 3 0 8 ,0 0 0 4 0 .4 1 3 ,600 6 ,8 0 0 6 ,8 0 0 Available training data: Degrees in banking and finance: Bachelor's degrees....................................................... Master's degrees .......................................................... Ph.D.'s ........................................................................... 5 ,9 9 2 1,781 23 Tellers. Banks prefer high school graduates with experience in related clerical work when filling teller positions. Applicants also must meet bonding standards. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 4 8 ,0 0 0 3 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 .4 2 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 1 7 ,300 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 13 15 Insurance occupations Actuaries. New entrants need a bachelor’s degree with a major in mathematics, statistics, economics, or business administration and a thorough foundation in calculus, probability, and statistics to become an actuary. After entering a beginning actuarial position, they are required to pass a series of examinations which usually take between 5 and 10 years. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements . ...................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 ,5 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 6 2 .0 500 300 200 Available training data: See Statisticians p. 5 7 , fo r combined data. Claims adjusters. A college degree is increasingly required for beginning jobs as claim adjusters. For college graduates, no specific field of study is recommended. Many companies will hire those without college training, particularly if they have specialized experience. For example, a person experienced in automobile repair may qualify as an auto adjuster. A person with a business or accounting background may specialize in losses from business interruption or damage to merchandise. Those with college training in engineering or law will find their education helpful in adjusting bodily injury claims. Most States require adjusters to be licensed. Applicants usually must complete an approved course in insurance or pass a written examination, be at least 20 years of age, and file a surety bond. Completion of independent study courses usually is very helpful in advancement to upper level jobs. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 12 8,00 0 15 2,00 0 19.0 5,8 0 0 1,900 3 ,9 0 0 Claim examiners. College graduates are preferred for beginning claim examiner jobs. Although courses in insurance, economics, or other business subjects are helpful, a major in almost any college field is adequate preparation. Some firms hire high school graduates if they have related clerical experience or some college work. All beginners receive on-the-job training under the direction of an experienced claim manager. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 3 1 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,5 0 0 —7.8 600 —2 0 0 800 — Underwriters. Most insurance companies prefer college graduates for beginning underwriting jobs. Applicants with degrees in business administration or liberal arts are preferred, but a major in almost any field provides an adequate educational background. In some companies, experienced underwriting clerks may be trained as underwriters. Completion of independent study courses often is required for advancement to senior underwriting positions. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements . . . . : ............................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G row th ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ......................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 6 1 ,0 0 0 7 1 ,0 0 0 16.6 2 ,5 0 0 800 1,7 00 — Administrative and related occupations Accountants. Although junior college, business school, or correspondence course training is acceptable for some accounting jobs, most large public accounting and business firms require the bachelor’s degree with a major in accounting or a related, field and sometimes a master’s degree in accounting. All States require “certified public accountants” to be certified by the State board of accountancy. In nearly all States at least 2 years of public accounting experience is necessary before CPA certification can be issued. About half of the States do not require CPA candidates to be college graduates. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 1 4 ,0 0 0 9 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 1 .0 4 1 ,9 0 0 17,000 2 4 ,9 0 0 Junior college g ra d u a te s ............................................... Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Ph.D .'s ................................................................................ 5,301 2 2 ,0 9 9 1,097 61 City managers. A bachelor’s degree, preferably with a major in political science or public administration, is the minimum educational background needed to become a city manager. A master’s degree in public or municipal administration is preferred. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h .......................................... R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 2 ,5 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 5 4 .0 150 100 50 — Credit officials. A college degree is becoming increasingly important for beginning jobs as credit officials. Many employers seek persons who have majored in business administration, economics, or accounting, while others may hire graduates holding liberal arts degrees. Some employers promote high school graduates to credit official positions if they have experience in credit collection or in processing credit information. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ Replacements .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 1 4 ,0 0 0 1 6 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 .9 7,5 0 0 3 ,6 0 0 3 ,9 0 0 E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ........................................ *........... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 1 6 0 ,0 0 0 4 1 .2 7 ,5 0 0 3 ,6 0 0 3 ,9 0 0 Available training data: Junior college g r a d u a te s ................................................ Bachelor's degrees in hotel and restaurant management ................................... Master's degrees in hotel and restaurant management ................................... 916 616 18 Lawyers. Admission to the bar is a prerequisite for the practice of law in all States. To qualify for the bar examination, most States require 4 years of college followed by 3 years of law school. Four years of part-time study usually is required to complete a night school curriculum. Based on past relationships between law school graduates, numbers taking and passing bar examinations, and numbers actually entering the occupation, an average of 18,695 law school graduates would be needed annually over the 1972-85 period to meet projected requirements of 16,500. The number who received bachelor’s or first professional degrees in 1972 was somewhat higher than projected annual needs over the 1972-85 period. If this trend in the number of graduates continues, those seeking to enter the legal profession will outnumber the available jobs. — Hotel managers and assistants. Although experience generally is the most important consideration in selecting managers, employers are increasingly emphasizing a college education. Many prefer applicants who have completed a 4-year college curriculum in hotel and restaurant administration. Some large hotel organizations have special management trainee programs for both college graduates and persons promoted from within. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ........................ 3 0 3 ,0 0 0 3 8 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 .8 16 ,5 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,500 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ First professional d e g re e s ............................................. Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 54 5 17,421 955 20 Service Occupations Cleaning and related occupations Building custodians. There are no formal educational requirements for most custodial jobs and custodians usually acquire their skills on the job. However, entry workers should be able to do simple arithmetic and follow written instructions. High school courses may help the worker perform the many handyman tasks that are required. E m ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 ,8 8 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,4 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 9 .0 13 6 ,0 0 0 4 2 ,0 0 0 9 4 ,0 0 0 Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 208 500 1,089 V ocational education: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 1,951 522 Exterminators. Most exterminators can do routine work after 2 or 3 months of on-the-job training. About 30 States require licenses. In most States, the license is only for registration, but a growing number of these States require applicants to pass a written examination. High school graduates are preferred. Em ploym ent, 1972 .................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 5 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,0 0 0 38.1 1,300 800 500 M DTA: 7 1 Hotel housekeepers and assistants. Although no specific educational requirements exist for housekeepers, most employers prefer applicants who have at least a high school diploma. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 7 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 41 .2 1,7 00 600 1,100 1,819 211 Food service occupations Bartenders. Most bartenders learn their trade on the job. Experience as a barboy, busboy, busgirl, waiter, or waitress is good training. Some private schools offer short courses in bartending. Cooks and chefs. Most cooks—particularly those who work in small eating places—acquire their skills on the job. Less frequently, they are trained as apprentices under trade union contracts or employee training programs conducted by large hotels and restaurants. Training offered by a number of schools and other institutions is an advantage for applicants seeking jobs as cooks or chefs in large restaurants and hotels. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............. Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 8 6 6 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 14.2 5 2 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,000 4 2 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: 101 1,6 0 4 2 ,1 2 6 229 Meatcutters. These workers acquire their skills either informally on the job or through apprenticeship programs. Those in apprenticeship programs generally complete 2 to 3 years of supervised on-the-job training which may be supplemented by some classroom work. Employers generally prefer high school graduates. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 8 ,0 0 0 —1.4 4 ,4 0 0 —2 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 MDTA: Vocational education completions: E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... — Available training data: Available training data: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... ....................................................... O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ......................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Available training data: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Available training data 8 ,8 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 6 ,2 0 0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 3 5 ,0 0 0 16.8 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......... ............................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 7 67 151 997 Waiters and waitresses. Although most waiters and waitresses pick up their skills on the job, some attend special training courses offered by some public and private schools and restaurant associations. Most employers prefer applicants to have had at least 2 or 3 years of high school. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... 1 ,1 2 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 0 0 ,0 0 0 Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................ G r o w t h ....................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 16.6 8 6 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,000 7 2 ,0 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 8 29 106 Barbers. All States require barbers to be licensed. To obtain a license a person must have graduated from a State-approved barber school, have completed the eighth grade, meet certain health requirements, and be at least 16 (in some States 18). Nearly all States require a beginner to take an examination for an apprentice license, and then, after 1 or 2 years of work, take a second examination for a license as a registered barber. 15 7 ,0 0 0 1 4 7 ,0 0 0 —6 .4 5 ,0 0 0 —8 0 0 5 ,8 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................. Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry .................................................................... P ostsecondary.................................................... 26 7 304 581 Bellmen and bell captains. Although no specific educational requirements exist for bellmen, graduation from high school enhances opportunities for promotion to front office clerk jobs. E m ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................ G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 16 ,0 0 0 18 ,000 13.0 600 200 400 Available training data: M DTA: In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ..................................... 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 5 .0 5 1 ,0 0 0 13 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 4 50 27 7 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... 8,631 4 ,3 1 3 Funeral directors and embalmers. All States require embalmers to be licensed. While licensing standards vary by State, an embalmer generally must be 21, have a high school diploma or its equivalent, graduate from a mortuary science school, serve an apprenticeship, and pass a State board examination. One-half of the States require a year or more of college in addition to training in mortuary science. Forty-four States require funeral directors to be licensed. Qualifications are similar to those for embalmers, but some States have special apprenticeship training and board examinations for directors. Most people obtain both licenses. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 4 5 ,0 0 0 4 5 ,0 0 0 0.0 1,3 00 0 1,3 00 — Private household service occupations Private household workers. For most household worker jobs, there are no formal educational requirements. Instead, the ability to cook, sew, wash and iron, clean house, and care for children is important. Many of the necessary skills are learned in the home; more advanced skills can be learned in home economics courses in public and private schools. 50 Cosmetologists. All States require that cosmetologists be licensed. Most States require applicants for licensing to E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... M DTA: Personal service occupations Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ Replacem ents...................................................................... be at least 16 years old and to have completed at least the 10th grade. Successful completion of a Stateapproved cosmetology course is recognized as adequate preparation for a State licensing examination; in some States, a period of apprenticeship may be substituted. Em ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................ Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................ Percent growth, 19 72-8 5 .................................................. Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 .............................. 1 ,4 3 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . —30 .8 5 1 ,0 0 0 G r o w t h .............................................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................. —3 5 ,0 0 0 8 6 ,0 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 21 17 6 applicants must have a high school education. A few cities require some college training and some hire law enforcement students as police interns. A few departments accept persons who have less than a high school education as recruits, particularly if they have worked in a field related to law enforcement. Candidates must be U.S. citizens, usually at least 21 years of age. In small communities police officers often are trained on the job; in large cities formal training that ranges from a few weeks to months is provided. Protective and related service occupations Firefighters. In most communities, qualifying examina tions are open to applicants who have a high school education. The examinations test intelligence as well as strength, stamina, and agility. Those who score the highest on these examinations have the best chances for appointment. Beginners in large fire departments generally are trained for several weeks at the city’s fire school before being assigned to local fire companies. Fire departments frequently conduct training programs and many colleges and universities offer courses related to fire prevention. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 5 ,0 0 0 57.2 1 1 ,6 0 0 8 ,8 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 Available training data: Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 55 1,032 Guards and watchmen. Although there are no specific educational requirements, most employers prefer guards and watchmen who are high school graduates. Applicants with less than a high school education usually are tested for reading and writing skills and their competence in following written and oral instructions. Skills are generally learned on the job. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 9 .3 1 9 ,300 5 ,6 0 0 1 3 ,700 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... 24 Police officers (municipal). In many police departments, Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 7 0 ,0 0 0 4 9 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 .3 14 ,300 9 ,3 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 202 1 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... J 788 7,4 78 1 Municipal and State police officers com bined. State police officers. All candidates must be citizens of the United States. In addition, most States require applicants to have a high school education or an equivalent combination of education and experience and be at least 21 years old. In all States, recruits enter a formal training program of several months. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 4 ,0 0 0 6 6 ,0 0 0 5 0 .8 2 ,3 0 0 1,700 600 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... 1 78 8 Postsecondary............................................................... 17 ,4 7 8 Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................._____________ 6 ,8 7 3 1 Municipal and State police officers com bined. Health and regulatory inspectors (government). Most health and regulatory inspectors are required to have several years of experience in a field related to the area in which they will work. Often a bachelor’s degree or several years of college with courses in applicable subjects may be substituted for some or all of the required years of experience. On-the-job training is provided in many inspector jobs where specialized knowledge is necessary. Applicants for Federal jobs are often required to take the Professional and Administra tive Career Examination (PACE). Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1972-85 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ...................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 5 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 4 8 .4 1,700 900 800 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary.............................................................. Junior college graduates ................................................ 600 557 145 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary.............................................................. Other service occupations Mail carriers. These workers must be at least 18 and pass a written examination that tests reading ability, the ability to follow oral instructions, general intelligence, and the ability to do general arithmetic. If the job involves driving, the applicant must have a driver’s license and pass a road test. Applicants must also pass a * physical examination and may be asked to show that they can lift and handle mail sacks weighing up to 70 pounds. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G row th . . .*......................................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Construction inspectors (government). Construction inspectors receive most of their training on the job. Applicants are generally required to have several years of experience as a construction contractor, supervisor, or craftworker. Federal, State, and most local governments also require a high school diploma. Many employers prefer inspectors to be graduates of an apprenticeship program or have 2 years of college courses in architecture, engineering, construction technology, and blueprint reading. Available training data E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 30 .3 1,500 50 0 1,000 600 557 2 6 3 ,0 0 0 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 14.1 7 ,9 0 0 2 ,9 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 ....................................................... Telephone operators. New operators receive on-the-job training to become familiar with equipment, records, and work activities. After about 1 to 3 weeks of instruction they are assigned to regular operator jobs. 2 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 3 2 ,0 0 0 1.5 1 6 ,000 200 15 ,8 0 0 Available training data: Job Corps completions Available training data: Education and Related Occupations Teaching occupations Kindergarten and elementary and secondary school teachers. All States require teachers in public elementary schools to be certified by the department of education in the State in which they work. Some States also require teachers in private and parochial schools to be certified. A bachelor’s degree which includes student teaching and a certain number and type of education courses is the general minimum requirement for certification. A master’s degree or equivalent is required by some States within a certain period after initial certification. Local school systems sometimes have additional requirements for employment. All secondary teachers in public schools, and in some States those in private and parochial chools, must be certified. A bachelor’s degree is the minimum educational requirement for a certificate. Twelve States require additional education, usually a fifth year of study or a master’s degree, within a certain period after beginning employment. The number and type of education courses and subject specialty courses required and the type of student teaching preferred vary among the States and school systems. To meet the projected need for about 2.8 million elementary and secondary teachers (340,000 for growth, 2.4 million for replacement, 35,000 not meeting certification requirements) between 1972 and 1985, an annual average of about 215,000 persons must enter the profession each year over the 13-year period. New degree recipients, reentrants, and delayed entrants are the primary sources of teacher supply. Nearly 14.6 million bachelor’s degrees are expected to be awarded between 1972 and 1985. In the recent past, about one-fifth of all recipients of bachelor’s degrees have met certification requirements for high school teaching and 1 out of 8 has qualified for certification as an elementary school teachej. In addition, in 1972, 40,000 people received master’s degrees and qualified for certification. However, for many reasons, not all who have certificates become teachers. Some are unable to find teaching positions in a preferred locale, others find higher salaries or better working conditions in another field. Through most of the 1960’s, about 4 out of 5 new graduates certified to teach in elementary schools actually entered the field; about 2 out of 3 who met the high school requirements taught in high school. In recent years, however, these ratios have declined to 3 out of 4 and 3 out of 5, respectively-reflecting the deterioration in the supply-demand situation for teachers. In past years, other entrants—mostly reentrants—have constituted an estimated one-third to two-fifths of all entrants to teaching. If the number of reentries each year through 1985 is governed by the number of teachers who left the field 8 years previously (since the average separation for teachers is believed to be about 8 years), about 800,000 reentering teachers would be added to supply during this period. Altogether, the number of persons seeking to enter elementary and secondary teaching, if past patterns of entry were to Total Secondary school teachers . . 2 ,2 9 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 7 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 2 3 ,0 0 0 . . 2 ,6 3 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,5 9 0 ,0 0 0 14.7 2 4 .9 o o o Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............. Projected 1985 requirements .................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 . . Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 .............................. G r o w t h ............................ R ep lace m en ts............... Kinder garten and elemen tary school teachers .. 1 4 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,6 0 0 1 1 9 ,4 0 0 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 18 1 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 1,6 00 2 3 8 ,4 0 0 Available training data. ................................... . . 2 1 0 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 . . 2.1 College and university teachers. At least a master’s degree is required for most beginning instructor positions, although a Ph.D. is generally preferred in universities. Specialization in some subject field is necessary. Advancement to assistant professor, to associate professor, and then to a full professorship requires progressive amounts of teaching experience and usually additional education. Currently, more than one-half of the faculty in universities have doctoral degrees compared with less than 10 percent of the faculty in 2-year colleges. Manpower needs for college teachers (instructors or above) of degree credit courses are expected to average about 24,000 annually between 1972 and 1985. To meet this projected demand from Ph.D. recipients only, colleges and universities would have to grant an average of 48,000 each year during the 1972-85 period in order to provide an adequate supply. (In the past, about one-half of all Ph.D. recipients entered college teaching.) The U.S. Office of Education projects that the number of doctorate degrees will average about 48,600 over this period. Thus, projected output of Ph.D.’s alone would be adequate to meet the needs for college teachers. As a result, individuals with master’s degrees may have considerable difficulty in obtaining jobs as college and university teachers. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 g r o w t h ....................................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................... Available training data 1 1n addition to 8 1 ,0 0 0 deaths and retirements a year, another 2 1 ,0 0 0 to replace those who shift to another profession each year, and 2 ,2 0 0 a year to replace substandard teachers are required. 2 In addition to deaths and retirements of 3 8 ,4 0 0 a year, another 4 7 ,0 0 0 to replace those who shift to another profession each year, and 5 0 0 a year to replace substandard teachers are required. R e p re s e n ts the number of bachelor's and master's degree recipients who were prepared to teach and w ho actually entered the profession in the fall of 1971. continue, would be nearly 4.4 million, almost three-fifths more than requirements. The preceding analysis indicates that teacher training could be curtailed sharply and manpower requirements still be met. Because of the very large number of individuals involved, educational planning for elementary and especially secondary school teachers is expected to be one of the major problems for educational planners, particularly throughout the remainder of the 1970’s. 5 2 5 ,0 0 0 6 3 0 ,0 0 0 20 .4 2 4 ,0 0 0 8 ,2 0 0 1 5 ,800 ....................................................... Library occupations Librarians. Completion of a 1-year master’s degree program in library science is usually required for professional librarians in public, academic, and special libraries. For librarians in school libraries, a bachelor’s degree in education with specialization in librarianship or audiovisual technology is the basic requirement, although a master’s degree is preferred. New graduates and reentrants are the primary sources of librarians. To meet projected needs between 1972 and 1985, the number of persons entering the profession must average 11,200 a year-a figure that is expected to be equaled by bachelor’s and master’s degree recipients, according to the U.S. Office of Education projections. As a result, the number of openings available to persons other than new graduates is likely to be sharply curtailed. E m p loym en t, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ Replacements...................................................................... 1 6 2 ,0 0 0 3 5 .0 11 ,2 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 Available training data: 1970-71 Bachelor's degrees ................................... Master's d e g re e s ........................................ Doctor's degrees........................................ 1 ,0 1 3 7,001 39 Projected 1972-85 (annual average) 1 ,4 1 9 1 0 ,2 5 9 55 Sales Occupations Automobile parts countermen. Most countermen learn their skills on the job. Up to 2 years’ working experience may be necessary before an employee is fully qualified. Employers prefer to hire high school graduates. High school or vocational school courses in auto mechanics, commercial arithmetic, salesmanship, and bookkeeping are helpful. Experience gained through gasoline service station work also is an asset to the prospective parts counterman. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... 7 2 ,0 0 0 9 5 ,0 0 0 3 2 .0 3 ,4 0 0 1,8 00 1,6 00 Available training data: 13 1 ,0 0 0 1 4 8 ,0 0 0 13.0 4 ,6 0 0 1,3 00 3 ,3 0 0 Available training data: Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 1 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 3 2 .6 900 50 0 400 S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Junior college c o m p le tio n s ........................................... 3,2 07 296 9 ,2 3 7 Gasoline service station attendants. Applicants should have a driver’s license, a general understanding of how an automobile works, and some sales ability. A high school education is usually not required except for service station management training programs conducted by oil companies. Most attendants are trained on the job. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 3 5 ,0 0 0 5 4 5 ,0 0 0 25 .2 1 5 ,4 0 0 8 .4 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ..................................................................... Postsecondary............................................... ..... ... . . Automobile service advisors. Trainees are usually selected from the employees in the employer’s organization. For example, a person may apply for a job as service advisor trainee after gaining experience as mechanic or parts counterman trainees. Service advisors are trained on the job and usually can become qualified after 1 to 2 years of experience. V ocational education completions: 9 Automobile salesworkers. Most beginning salesworkers are trained on the job, although large firms sometimes provide formal classroom training. Many employers require beginning automobile salesworkers to be at least 21 years old and high school graduates. Courses in public speaking, commercial arithmetic, business law, and salesmanship are useful. Previous sales experience or work requiring contact with the public also is helpful. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................ G r o w t h ............................................................................... R ep lace m en ts................................................................... 9 ,2 3 7 Available training data: M DTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Junior college c o m p le tio n s ........................................... MDTA: 3 ,2 0 7 296 In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 4 145 Insurance agents and brokers. Although generally not required, a college education is helpful to an insurance agent or broker. Courses in accounting, economics, business law, and insurance are helpful. Some insurance companies sponsor classes in sales and insurance principles; other training is available from local educational institutions or through correspondence courses. All agents and most brokers must be licensed in the State where they sell insurance. To receive a license, most States require candidates to pass a written examination in insurance fundamentals and State insurance laws. employers who hire real estate salesworkers. Most salesworkers have some college training and many are college graduates. Courses in real estate, psychology, economics, finance, and business are helpful. Many firms offer their own training programs for beginners and experienced workers. Courses are available at local colleges and universities. All States and the District of Columbia require real estate salesworkers and brokers to be licensed. Licensing requires the passing of a written examination. In over half the States, brokers also must have a specific amount of selling experience or equivalent education. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 8 5 ,0 0 0 4 5 0 ,0 0 0 16.7 16 ,000 5 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,000 Available training data: Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ........................ V ocational education completions: 364 132 9 ,2 3 7 Manufacturers' salesworkers. Increasingly, employers prefer college graduates for positions as manufacturers’ salesworkers, although many persons succeed with little or no post-high school training. Employer preferences for college training in a specified field vary with the nature of the product sold. Training at a college of pharmacy usually is required of drug manufacturer salesworkers; industrial salesworkers often need a scientific or technical background. Beginners usually are given specialized training before they start to work. Some companies have formal training programs, which may last from 1 to 2 years; other firms offer classroom instruction followed by additional training on the job under supervision of field managers. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 4 9 ,0 0 0 4 3 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 .4 2 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 18 ,000 4 2 3 ,0 0 0 5 4 5 ,0 0 0 2 8 .9 2 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 11 ,000 S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 71 3 4 ,2 6 5 9 ,2 3 7 Retail trade salesworkers. Although not essential, employers prefer to hire high school graduates for retail sales positions. Salesmanship, home economics, and commercial arithmetic are among the high school subjects that are useful in a sales career. Most salesworkers are trained on the job; but, part-time selling experience gained while still in school may be helpful in obtaining full-time sales employment. In larger stores, applicants may spend a few days in formal training sessions before beginning actual sales work. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 ,7 7 8 ,0 0 0 3 ,3 3 0 ,0 0 0 20 .0 19 0,00 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 15 0 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M D T A :1 In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 7 175 Available training data: 1Includes training fo r wholesale trade. V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... 828 1,031 Real estate salesworkers and brokers. A high school diploma is the minimum education preferred by Routemen. In most States, a routeman is required to have a chauffeur’s license. Most employers require routemen to be high school graduates and preferably over 25 years of age. Most companies train new workers on the job. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 4.7 3 ,7 0 0 700 3 ,0 0 0 — Securities salesworkers. A college education is in creasingly necessary for beginners seeking to enter this field. A degree in business administration, economics, finance, or liberal arts is good preparation for securities sales work; successful sales or managerial experience also is very helpful. Almost all States require persons who sell securities to be licensed. Personal bonds and written examinations are required to obtain this license. In addition, practically all salesworkers must be registered as representatives of their firm according to the regula tions of the securities exchanges through which they do business, or the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. Examinations and character investigations are required for registration. Most firms provide training for beginners, which may vary from short informal programs to combined classroom instruction and on-the-job experience lasting 6 months or more. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... 2 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 9 0 ,0 0 0 Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 28 .0 1 1 ,900 4 ,8 0 0 7 ,1 0 0 ....................................................... — Wholesale trade salesworkers. High school graduation is the usual educational requirement for a wholesale salesworker, although selling scientific or technical equipment often requires training beyond high school. In some cases, engineering degrees are necessary. A beginner usually is trained on the job in several nonselling positions before being assigned as a salesworker. Generally 2 years or longer are required before a trainee is ready for his or her own sales territory. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 6 8 8 ,0 0 0 8 6 0 ,0 0 0 25 .2 3 1 ,0 0 0 13 ,0 0 0 18,Q00 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 43,271 6 ,4 6 3 9 ,2 3 7 Construction Occupations Asbestos and insulation workers. Most asbestos workers learn their trade through a 4-year “improvership” program where they learn to use the tools of the trade and to work with insulating materials. Improvership programs are similar to apprenticeships. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 .3 1,200 800 400 Available training data: 33 282 1 "Im provership” and apprenticeship are interchangeable in reference to asbestos and insulation workers. Bricklayers. Completion of a 3-year apprenticeship program is the recommended training for bricklayers. A high school education or its equivalent is important for Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements . ....................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 2 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 .0 6 ,6 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... Apprenticeship com pletions1........................................ entry to apprenticeship programs. Training may also be obtained informally on the job. Some skills of the trade may be obtained through vocational school courses. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s apprenticeship completions numbered slightly more than one-half of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retire ments. MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship com pletions1 ...................................... 217 137 771 1,998 1 Includes stonemasons, marble-setters, and tile setters. Carpenters. A 4-year apprenticeship program, including 144 hours of classroom instruction, is recommended. Training may also be acquired on the job. A high school education or its equivalent is desirable. Some knowledge of the trade may be obtained through vocational school courses. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered about 15 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 ,0 4 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 ,0 0 0 14.8 3 7 ,0 0 0 12 ,000 2 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M D T A :* O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 1,532 44 6 2 ,2 6 6 G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 9 ,5 0 0 1 5 ,000 Available training data: M DTA: In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 223 21 Electricians (construction). A high school education is required for electrician jobs. An apprenticeship program lasting 4 years and including 144 hours of classroom instruction each year is recommended. Training may also be acquired on the job. Some skills of the trade may be acquired through vocational school courses. Most cities require electricians to pass licensing examinations. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered about 60 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements in the construction industry, but many individuals who completed electrician training went into other industries. V ocational education completions: Secondary ....................................................................... Postsecondary............................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 13,608 2 ,3 6 4 5 ,0 5 4 Cement masons. A 3-year apprenticeship program that includes classroom instruction is recommended, but a substantial number of workers learn the trade on the job. Education above the grade school level is desirable. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered about 15 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 5 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 4 6 .7 4 ,1 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 1,4 00 Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 35 .4 11 ,1 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 33 404 523 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Apprenticeship com pletions1 ...................................... 1,951 1,7 50 5,991 1 A ll electricians, including maintenance. Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 260 432 825 Construction laborers. Little formal training is required for work as a building or construction laborer. Employers generally seek young men who are at least 18 years of age and in good physical condition. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. 8 7 6 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 14.2 2 4 ,5 0 0 Elevator constructors. A high school education is required. Training is obtained through employment as an elevator constructor helper. At least 2 years of continuous job experience including 6 months’ on-thejob training at the factory of a major elevator firm is usually necessary. The helper-trainee generally attends evening classes in vocational schools. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data 17 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 47.1 1,0 00 600 400 Floor covering installers. Employers prefer that floor covering installers have a high school education. Although many workers acquire their skills through informal training, a 3- to 4-year apprenticeship program, including related classroom instruction, is recommended. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 5 ,0 0 0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 .3 3 ,2 0 0 1,9 00 1,3 00 MDTA: 30 11 256 Glaziers (construction). Although many glaziers learn the trade informally on the job, a 3-year apprenticeship is recommended. A high school diploma is required for entry into apprenticeship programs. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered nearly 50 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements in the construction industry, but some individuals who completed glazier training went into other industries. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... O JT e n ro llm e n ts ..................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 1 2 ,0 0 0 18 ,0 0 0 5 0 .0 700 50 0 200 2 276 Operating engineers. A 3-year apprenticeship program is the recommended training. A high school education is required for these programs. Training may also be obtained informally on the job by oilers (operating engineers’ assistants) and helpers to heavy equipment repairmen. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutio nal c o m p le tio n s ........................................ A pprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ M DTA: 4 3 5 ,0 0 0 5 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 .0 1 8 ,500 1 0 ,500 8 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. A pprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 388 70 1,146 1,035 Painters and paperhangers. A high school education is preferred but not essential for painter and paperhanger employment. Although a 3-year formal apprenticeship program including related classroom instruction is recommended, training may also be obtained informally, on the job. Some skills of the trade may be acquired through vocational school courses. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered less than 10 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements. Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... A pprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ................................... 8 335 Lathers. Although many lathers acquire their skills informally on the job, a 2-year apprenticeship is recommended. Employers prefer high school graduates. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered slightly more than 35 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training d a ta : 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 .3 1,100 800 300 Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 2 0 ,0 0 0 4 6 0 ,0 0 0 9 .5 1 4 ,7 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 1 1 ,6 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. A pprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 238 12 658 983 Plasterers. A 3- to 4-year apprenticeship including classroom instruction is recommended, but many learn the trade on the job by working as plasterers’ helpers or laborers. E m p loym en t, 1 9 7 2 ................................................................ Projected 1 9 8 5 requirements ........................................... 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 Percent grow th, 1972-8 5 .................................................. Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ........................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ............................................................................ 6.6 900 Sheet-metal workers. A 4-year apprenticeship program including classroom instruction is recommended for 200 7 0 0 sheet-metal workers. A high school education is required for entry to apprenticeship programs. Many workers in Available training data: this trade acquire their skill informally on the job. Skills M DTA: of the trade may also be acquired through vocational courses. O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... 17 Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 75 During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, the number of Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 24 5 apprenticeship completions was greater than openings for sheet-metal workers in the construction industry, but Plumbers and pipefitters. A 5-year apprenticeship many individuals completing sheet-metal training went including related classroom instruction is recommended into other industries. but many learn the trade informally on the job. Employers prefer high school graduates. Some skills may be acquired through vocational school courses. Some localities require workers to pass a licensing examination. Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 r e q u ire m e n ts ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual o p en ings..................................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 25 .0 1 6 ,3 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 8 ,6 0 0 E m p lo y m e n t, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutio nal c o m p le tio n s ...................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ A vailable training data: MDTA: Institutio nal c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. A pprenticeship com pletions1 ...................................... S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... 112 165 5 ,6 6 3 1,3 39 464 1 Includes sprinkler-fitters. Roofers. A 3-year apprenticeship including related classroom instruction is recommended for roofing work. Training also may be acquired informally on the job. A high school education is desirable for roofers. Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 8 0 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 37 .5 3 ,4 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 1,1 00 6 5 ,0 0 0 8 0 ,0 0 0 23.1 2 ,3 0 0 1,2 00 1,100 15 113 211 2 ,7 6 8 Structural, ornamental, and reinforcing ironworkers, riggers, and machine movers. A 3-year apprenticeship program including related classroom instruction is recommended for these jobs. A high school education is desirable. During the 1960’s and early 1970’s, apprenticeship completions numbered about 30 percent of openings resulting from growth and deaths and retirements. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requ irem ents............................................. Percent growth, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 9 5 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 6 .3 3 ,4 0 0 1,9 00 1,5 00 Available training data: Available training data: M DTA: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 5 383 O JT e n ro llm e n ts ........................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ......................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 227 209 2 ,0 9 8 Occupations in Transportation Activities Air transportation occupations Air traffic controllers. Trainees are selected through the competitive Federal Civil Service System. Applicants must have 3 years of progressively responsible work experience that demonstrates their potential and/or a college degree. Successful applicants receive both on-the-job and formal training. It usually takes 2 to 3 years of on-the-job training and experience to become a fully qualified controller. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 9 ,500 2 6 ,0 0 0 3 3 .8 800 50 0 300 — Aircraft mechanics. High school graduates are preferred. Mechanics may prepare for the trade by working as trainees, apprentices, or helpers to experienced mechanics. The larger airlines train apprentices in a carefully planned 3- or 4-year program of instruction and work experience. Other mechanics prepare for their trade by graduating from a mechanics school approved by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Most of these schools have an 18- to 24-month program. To complete inspections required by the FAA, a mechanic must be licensed by the FAA as an airframe mechanic, a powerplant mechanic, or both. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requ irem ents............................................. Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 2 3 ,0 0 0 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 5 3 .0 7 ,0 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 65 Airline dispatchers. A Federal Aviation Administration certificate is required for airline dispatcher jobs. To qualify for this certificate, an applicant (1) must spend at least a year in dispatching and work under the supervision of a certified dispatcher; or (2) complete an FAA-approved dispatcher’s course at a school or airline training center; or (3) spend 2 of the 3 previous years as an air traffic controller, dispatch clerk, assistant dispatcher, or radio operator, or in similar work in military service. Although assistant dispatchers may not need certification, 2 years of college or an equivalent amount of time working in some phase of air transportation is required. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 800 800 0 .0 20 0 20 — Flight attendants. Applicants must be high school graduates, and those who have 2 years of college, nurses’ training, or experience in dealing with the public are preferred. Most large airlines train their own flight attendants; those that do not operate schools generally send trainees to another airline’s school. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 3 9 ,0 0 0 7 6 ,0 0 0 9 2 .4 8 ,0 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 — Flight engineers. Applicants generally are required to have a commercial pilot’s license and usually a flight engineer’s license as well, although some airlines may train those who have only a pilot’s license. Applicants can qualify for a flight engineer’s license if they have had 3 years of experience in repairing or overhauling aircraft and engines or experience as a pilot or flight engineer in the Armed Forces. Completing a ground and flight instruction course approved by the Federal Aviation Administration is the most common method of qualifying for a license. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 7 ,0 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 35 .7 300 200 100 — Ground radio operators and teletypists. At least a third-class radio-telephone or radio-telegraph operator’s permit issued by the Federal Communications Commission is required. A second-class operator’s permit is preferred. A high school education, a good speaking voice, the ability to type at least 40 words a minute, and a knowledge of standard codes and symbols used in communications are important qualifications for this work. Radio operators and teletypists first serve probationary periods during which they receive on-thejob training. E m ploym ent, 1972 .......................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ........................................ .......... 5 ,7 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 —13.0 100 —100 200 — Pilots and copilots. All commercial pilots and copilots must be licensed by the Federal Aviation Administration and have a commercial pilot’s license, a rating for the class of plane they fly, and an instrument rating. Flight training in the military services or in civilian flying schools satisfies the flight experience requirements for licensing. Most airlines also require 500 to 1,000 hours of flight time. Applicants hired by a scheduled airline usually start as flight engineers, although they may begin as copilots. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 4 ,0 0 0 7 8 ,0 0 0 4 3 .8 2 ,0 0 0 1,500 500 tion for a job. While most training programs are designed to help upgrade experienced workers, the Seafarers’ International Union of North America operates a school that trains inexperienced young people in general seamanship. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 2 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 —16.7 100 —5 0 0 600 Available training data: M DTA: Available training data: Institutional c o m p le tio n s .......... 16 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 76 83 6 Traffic agents and clerks (civil aviation). Employers require a high school education and usually prefer applicants with some college training. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 5 9 ,0 0 0 11 0 ,0 0 0 88 .7 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 Railroad occupations Brakemen. Brakemen learn their skills on the job. It usually takes a year or so to thoroughly learn the job. Employers prefer applicants with a high school education. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... — Available training data Merchant marine occupations Merchant marine officers. Candidates must have at least 3 years of appropriate sea experience or be a graduate of an approved training program. Training may be obtained at either the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy, one of five State merchant marine academies, or in a trade union training program. Officer candidates also must pass a Coast Guard examination in a specific area of seaman ship. While there are no educational requirements, formal training usually is needed to pass the examination for an officer’s license. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 15 ,000 1 4 ,000 —9 .8 200 —100 300 — ....................................................... — Bridge and building workers (railroad). New employees usually work as helpers and receive their training on the job. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 0 ,500 9 ,9 0 0 —5.6 200 —50 250 — Clerks (railroad). A high school education is generally required. Railroads prefer workers who have training or some experience in working with figures. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data Merchant seamen. Although not required, previous sea experience in the Coast Guard or Navy is helpful. In addition, applicants must obtain seaman’s papers from the Coast Guard which qualify a person for considera 7 3 ,0 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 —12.5 400 —700 1,1 00 ....................................................... 8 2 ,6 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 —22 .5 2 ,7 0 0 —1,400 4 ,1 0 0 — Conductors (railroad) Qualified brakemen are promoted to conductors on a seniority basis. To qualify, a man usually must have several years’ experience as a brakeman and pass examinations covering signals, air brakes, timetables, operating rules, and related subjects. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data ....................................................... 3 8 ,0 0 0 3 3 ,0 0 0 —12.6 700 —3 0 0 1,0 00 — Locomotive engineers. Openings in engineer jobs are usually filled by training and promoting locomotive firemen according to seniority rules. Firemen qualify for promotion by proving their ability to operate locomo tives and by passing a comprehensive exam on such subjects as mechanical and electrical equipment and train orders. A few railroads train brakemen and inexperienced workers for engineer jobs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements .......................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 3 ,5 0 0 —4 .8 1 ,0 0 0 —100 1,1 0 0 Available training data ....................................................... — Locomotive firemen. Railroads prefer applicants who have a high school education. Firemen are trained on the job and in orientation sessions. After training, firemen are required to pass qualifying examinations. Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .............................. Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 4 ,9 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 —3 8 .4 —3 0 0 —5 0 0 200 — Shop trades (railroad). Apprenticeship training is a common way of entering the railroad shop trades, although many workers learn on the job and are upgraded from jobs as helpers and laborers. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 7 8 ,0 0 0 6 7 ,0 0 0 —14.2 900 —8 0 0 1,7 00 Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ......................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 1 ,2 0 0 ^ ,5 0 0 —14.9 —100 -2 0 0 10 0 — Station agents. Station agents rise from the ranks of other railroad occupations. Experienced telegraphers, telephoners, towermen and clerks may advance to jobs as agents in small stations or assistants in larger ones. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 re q u ire m e n ts ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 8 ,7 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 —2 5 .2 100 —150 250 — Telegraphers, telephoners, and towermen. New workers receive on-the-job training that covers operating rules, train orders, and station operations. Most railroads require trainees to pass examinations on train operating rules and demonstrate ability to use the equipment before they can qualify. Most railroads prefer high school graduates. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 1 ,2 0 0 7 ,5 0 0 —3 3 .2 —2 0 0 —3 0 0 100 — Track workers (railroad). Most learn their skills through on-the-job training that lasts about 2 years. Most railroads seek applicants between 21 and 45 who are able to read, write, and perform heavy work. Machine-operating jobs are assigned to qualified trackmen by seniority. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ......................... Available training data ....................................................... 5 4 ,0 0 0 4 7 ,0 0 0 —13 .0 900 —3 0 0 1,2 0 0 — — Driving occupations Signal department workers. New employees are assigned as helpers to experienced workers. After about 60 to 90 days of training they may advance to assistants, and after another 2 to 4 years qualified assistants may be promoted to signalmen and signal maintained. Railroads prefer applicants who are high school graduates. Busdrivers, intercity. Most companies prefer applicants who have a high school education. Some States require the applicant to have a chauffeur’s license. All drivers must be 21 and meet minimum health and experience qualifications established by the U.S. Department of set by the U.S. Department of Transportation. Drivers must be 21, in good physical condition, have a good driving record, and pass a road test in the type of vehicle they will drive. In addition, they must pass an examination on the Motor Carrier Safety Regulations of the U.S. Department of Transportation. In most States, drivers must have a chauffeur’s license. High school driver training courses or a program in a private driving school is good preparation. Transportation. Applicants must have 1 year’s driving experience and a good driving record. On-the-job training usually lasts for 2 to 6 weeks but can extend to 3 months. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,5 0 0 -2 .1 500 0 500 — Busdrivers, local transit. Many employers prefer applicants who have a high school education. Generally, a motor vehicle operator’s permit and 1 or 2 years of driving experience are basic requirements. Most States require a chauffeur’s license. Most companies train new workers on the job. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 6 8 ,0 0 0 7 1 ,5 0 0 5.5 1,600 300 1,300 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 7 0 ,0 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 17.6 16 ,6 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 8 ,9 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT co m p letio n s.......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 42 290 Parking attendants. Although there are no specific educational requirements for parking attendants, employers prefer high school graduates. Clerical and arithmetic skills are helpful for attendants who keep records of claim tickets, compute parking charges, and make change. Also, a valid driver’s license is required. Little or no specific training is required. 64 Local truckdrivers. Qualifications vary considerably, depending on the type of truck and nature of the business. Some employers prefer applicants with at least 2 years of high school and experience in driving a truck. All applicants must have a chauffeur’s license. Most local truck drivers are trained on the job. E m ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... ' 1 ,6 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,8 0 0 ,0 0 0 17.6 4 6 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ................................................ Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data .................................................... 3 3 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 14.0 1,6 0 0 400 1,2 0 0 — Taxi drivers. In most cities taxi drivers must have a State-issued chauffeur’s license, as well as a special operator’s license issued by the local police, safety department, or public utilities commission. Some companies teach the applicant taxicab regulations and the location of streets. Although formal education seldom is required, many companies prefer applicants who have at least an eighth grade education. M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps com pletions1 ................................................ 11 30 14 1May include over-the-road drivers. Long-distance truckdrivers. Minimum qualifications are Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ............................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data 9 2 ,0 0 0 8 5 ,0 0 0 —7.6 1,6 00 —5 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 Scientific and Technical Occupations Conservation occupations Foresters. A bachelor’s degree with a major in forestry is generally required to become a forester. Teaching and doing research generally require advanced degrees. Training in forestry consists of courses ranging from forest ecology to forest administration and, in most colleges, includes field camp experience. The number of graduates in forestry in 1971 was more than twice the number of expected annual openings in this occupation during the 1972-85 period. Competition for positions in forestry is intensified by entrants from other disciplines, forestry technicians, and forestry aides. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... ’Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 2 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 26 .0 900 500 400 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 1,826 291 92 Forestry aides and technicians. Completion of specialized 1- or 2-year postsecondary school curriculums, government-sponsored training programs, or experience in forest work such as planting trees or fighting fires will qualify technicians for beginning jobs. Postsecondary training can be obtained in technical institutes, junior or community colleges, and some universities. Specialized postsecondary courses include land surveying, tree identification, and aerial photograph interpretation. Students can gain experience in forestry by working in a forest or in a camp operated by their school. Forestry technician training is sponsored under Federal manpower programs. E m ploym ent, 19 72 . . . . ..................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................ G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 4 ,5 0 0 2 1 ,5 0 0 4 8 .3 800 500 300 Available training data: MDTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 28 77 1,087 Range managers. The field of range management generally requires a bachelor’s degree with a major in range management, range conservation, or a closely related field. Graduates who want to teach or do research generally need an advanced degree. Curriculums in range management usually include botany, animal husbandry, soils, mathematics, and other specialized courses. Many college students obtain experience through summer jobs with such Federal Government agencies as the Forest Service or Bureau of Land Management. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 ,0 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 12.5 150 50 100 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's degrees ............................................................... 136 27 15 Engineers A bachelor’s degree in engineering generally is required for most entry positions. However, workers in occupations closely related to engineering can become engineers after extensive experience plus some collegelevel training. Engineers in teaching and research posi tions should have a graduate degree. For some special ties, such as nuclear engineering, graduate school training is required. Engineers whose work affects life, health, or property, or those who offer their services to the public must be licensed in all 50 States and the District of Columbia. N ew graduates w ith engineering majors are the primary source of engineers. However, limited data on past patterns of entry into the occupation indicate large numbers enter from other sources: workers who shift occupations (including technicians who are upgraded); persons not in the labor force (including those in the Armed Forces); immigrants; and college graduates with majors in fields other than engineering.3 1 If past 31 Data on past patterns of entry are available from Two Years After the College Degree-Work and Further Study Patterns (National Science Foundation, 1963), and the Postcensal Study o f Professional and Technical Personnel, a followup study of persons who were reported in professional and technical occupations in the 1960 Census. Selected data from the study are presented in Technician Manpower: Requirements, Re sources, and Training Needs, Bulletin 1512 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1966). Data on scientists and engineers from abroad have been published by the National Science Foundation based on special tabulations prepared by the Immigration and Naturali zation Service of the Department of Justice. Also see: “Projec tions of Manpower Supply in a Specific Occupation,” by Neal H. Rosenthal, Monthly Labor Review, November 1966. patterns continue, about 27,300 engineers annually would enter the field from these sources over the 1972-85 period. Under these assumptions, about 46,000 new engineering graduates would have to enter the field annually to meet requirements. Followup studies of new college graduates indicate that about 85 percent of all new bachelor’s degree recipients in engineering eventu ally enter the profession. Therefore, about 54,000 engineering graduates would be needed annually to obtain the required number of new entrants. U.S. Office of Education projections of engineering degrees indicate that, for the 1972-85 period, the number of bachelor’s degrees in engineering each year will average about 10 percent below the 54,000 needed to meet projected requirements. Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... 1 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 Projected 1985 requirements . .. .................................... 1 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... 4 1 .5 7 3 ,5 0 0 Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ 3 4 ,0 0 0 R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 13 9 ,5 0 0 graduates, significant numbers probably will continue to enter. If past patterns of entry from other sources continue, about 700 geology graduates would enter the occupation each year. Historically, only about one-third of all graduates have entered the profession each year. Therefore, if past trends continue, an average of over 2,000 bachelor’s degree graduates in geology would be needed annually to meet projected requirements. Although projections of the U.S. Office of Education, based on past trends, show that the number of recipients of bachelor’s degrees in geology will decline below the 1971 level of almost 2,400 each year over the 1972-85 period, this number of degrees would be in balance with requirements. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: Available training data: 1970-71 Bachelor's degrees ................................... Master's d e g re e s ........................................ D octor's d e grees........................................ 1970-71 Projected 1972-85 (annual average) 5 0 ,0 4 6 1 6 ,4 4 3 3 ,6 3 8 4 8 ,6 6 9 1 6 ,815 4 ,7 5 5 1 1ncludes an estimated 2 0 ,6 0 0 replacements fo r those who transferred to other occupations. Environmental scientists Geologists. A bachelor’s degree in geology is adequate training for most entry jobs, but geologists with some training in geophysical exploration techniques face less competition for jobs. Beginning positions in research and teaching usually require a master’s degree. Those doing high level research or assuming administrative posts should have a Ph.D. New college graduates with a major in geology are the major sources of supply. However, limited data on past patterns of entry into the occupation indicate that a significant number of workers have entered geology from other sources: new college graduates not majoring in geology, immigrants, persons not in the labor force, and persons employed in other occupations.3 2 Although a variety of factors affect the number of these other entrants, including the relative availability of geology 3 2See footnote 31, p. 54. 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 3 7 .5 1,7 00 700 1 1,0 00 Bachelor's degrees ................................... Master's d e g re e s ................................ D octor's degrees........................................ 1 1ncludes an estimated 6 0 0 transfer to other occupations. 2 ,3 5 9 606 289 Projected 1972-85 (annual average) 2 ,0 2 7 742 33 7 replacements fo r those who Geophysicists. Beginning jobs in geophysical exploration require a bachelor’s degree in geophysics or a geophysical specialty, or a bachelor’s degree in a related field of science or engineering with courses in geophysics, physics, geology, mathematics, chemistry, and engineering. Geophysicists doing research or supervising exploration activities should have graduate training in geophysics or a related science. Those planning to teach in colleges or do basic research should acquire a Ph.D. degree in geophysics or a related science with advanced courses in geophysics. The projected number of openings for geophysicists, including transfers, is much greater than the projections of the annual average number of degrees to be granted in geophysics. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 8 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,000 3 8 .3 600 20 0 *4 0 0 1 Includes an estimated 2 0 0 replacements fo r those who trans fer to other occupations. Available training data: Available training data: Degrees in geophysics and seismology: Bachelor's degrees....................................................... Master's degrees .......................................................... D octor's d e g re e s .......................................................... 48 40 31 Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 228 152 52 Life science occupations Meteorologists. Beginning jobs in meteorology require bachelor’s degrees in meteorology or in a related science—usually physics, mathematics, or engineering, with courses in meteorology. For research jobs, teaching in colleges or universities, or management positions, an advanced degree is helpful. Although the demand for entrants into this occupation each year is small, the number of new graduates who want to enter also is small. Projections of the U.S. Office of Education indicate a decline in the number of bachelor’s degrees granted in meteorology during the 1972-85 period. Master’s degrees are projected to increase slightly from 1971 levels andPh.D. degrees are expected to remain approximately the same over the period. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 29 .2 200 100 100 Available training data: Projected 1972-85 (annual 1970-71 average) Degrees in atmospheric sciences and meteorology: Bachelor's degrees ....................... Master's d e g re e s ............................ Doctor's degrees............................ 249 153 61 192 189 60 Oceanographers. Professional positions in oceanography such as research and college teaching require an advanced degree, preferably the Ph.D. A bachelor’s degree in oceanography is sufficient for beginning jobs as research or laboratory assistants. The number of new job openings each year due to growth of the occupation and replacement needs is roughly equal to the number of advanced degrees granted in 1971. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................ Projected 19 85 requirements ....................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 4 ,5 0 0 6 ,3 0 0 3 3 .0 200 100 100 Life scientists. Entrants into life science occupations should have a bachelor’s degree with a major in one of the natural sciences. Graduates seeking jobs in research and college teaching are generally required to have a master’s degree. Persons in higher level college teaching, doing independent research, or administering research programs generally need a Ph.D. New graduates with a major in one of the life sciences are the primary source of supply of life scientists. However, limited data on patterns of entry into the occupation indicate that a significant number of workers have entered from other sources: immigration, reentrants to the labor force; graduates with majors other than in the life sciences; and workers who transfer from other occupations.3 3 Although a variety of factors, including the relative availability of life science gradu ates, affect the number of other entrants, significant numbers probably will continue to enter the occupation. If past patterns of entry from these sources continue, about 9,200 life science graduates would enter each year. Since less than one-third of those who receive bachelor’s degrees in the life sciences in the past actually have entered the field, an average of 32,200 bachelor’s degree graduates in the life sciences would be needed annually to meet projected requirements. In 1971, over 48,400 bachelor’s degrees were granted in the life sciences.34 U.S. Office of Education, projec tions show the average annual number of bachelor’s degrees granted increasing by almost 30 percent above 1971 levels over the 1972-85 period. Thus, the rapid expansion of training in the life sciences could be sharply curtailed and manpower requirements could still be met. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 - 8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ............................................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 2 3 5 ,0 0 0 29.1 1 4 ,6 0 0 4 ,1 0 0 1 1 0 ,5 0 0 1 1ncludes an estimated 5,400 replacements for those who transfer to other occupations. 3 3 See footnote 31, p . 54. 3 4 Includes only degrees awarded in agriculture and natural resources and biological sciences. Available training data: 1970-71 Bachelor's degrees .................. ............... Master's d e g re e s ....................... ............... Doctor's degrees....................... ............... Projected 19 7 2-8 5 (annual average) 4 8 ,4 1 5 8 ,1 8 5 4,7 31 6 2 ,7 2 2 1 0 ,5 8 2 6 ,5 5 2 Mathematics occupations Mathematicians. Beginning mathematicians need a bachelor’s degree in mathematics or an applied field such as physics or engineering with a minor in mathematics. Mathematicians doing research or working in some areas of applied mathematics need an advanced degree. Those seeking full faculty status at most colleges and universi ties should have a Ph.D. The major source of mathematicians is new college graduates with degrees in mathematics. However, limited data on patterns of entry into the occupation indicate that in the past a significant number of workers enter mathematics from other sources such as persons entering from other occupations; reentrants into the labor force; immigrants; and new college graduates not majoring in mathematics.3 s Although a variety of factors, including the availability of mathematics graduates, affect the number o f these other entrants, significant numbers probably will continue to enter the occupation. If past patterns of entry from these sources continue, about 5,300 mathematics graduates would enter each year. Fewer than one-fourth of those who receive bachelor’s degrees in mathematics actually enter the field. There fore, if past trends continue, about 23,700 bachelor’s degree graduates in mathematics would be needed annually to meet projected requirements. Projections of the U.S. Office of Education based on past trends of college studies show the average annual number of bachelor’s degrees in mathematics increasing over 32 percent above the annual number required to meet expected needs. Thus, the rapid growth of training in mathematics could be curtailed and manpower requirements could still be met. E m p loym en t, 19 72 ................................................ Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 - 8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h .................................................. . . . . .................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: Bachelor's degrees ................................... Master's d e g re e s ........................................ Doctor's d e grees........................................ 7 6 ,0 0 0 1 0 7 ,0 0 0 4 0 .8 8 ,1 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 15 ,7 0 0 1970-71 Projected 1 972-85 (annual average) 24,801 5,191 1 ,1 9 9 3 1 ,3 1 8 6 ,4 2 5 1,7 3 4 1 1ncludes an estimated 3,900 replacements for those who transfer to other occupations. 3 5 See footnote 31, p. 54. Statisticians. Beginning statisticians generally need a bachelor’s degree with a major in statistics or mathe matics to enter the occupation. For some statistical jobs, however, a bachelor’s degree in economics or another applied field and a minor in statistics is preferable. Those seeking faculty positions at colleges and universities need an advanced degree. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 3 9 .6 1,7 00 700 1,0 00 A vailable training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ............................ V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... B achelor's degrees............................................................. Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 364 132 214 495 185 Physical scientists Chemists. A bachelor’s degree with a major in chemistry is usually the minimum requirement for entry positions in analysis and testing, quality control, technical service and sales, or jobs as assistants to senior chemists in research and development laboratories. Graduate train ing is essential for many positions, particularly in research and college teaching, and is helpful for advance ment in all. types of work. Chemists with the master’s degree often qualify for applied research positions in government or private industry. Those with the Ph.D. degree generally teach or do research in a college or university. The major source of supply of chemists is from new graduates majoring in chemistry. However, limited data on past patterns of entry into the occupation indicate that a significant number o f workers have entered chemistry from other sources such as immigration; persons reentering the labor force; graduates who did not major in chemistry; and persons entering from other occupations.36 Although a variety of factors affect the number of other entrants, including the relative avail ability of chemistry graduates, significant numbers probably will continue to enter the occupation. If past patterns of entry from other sources continue, about 5,100 chemistry graduates would enter each year. Fewer 3 6 See footnote 31, p. 54. than half of those who received bachelor’s degrees in chemistry entered the field in the past. Therefore, if past trends continue, an average of more than 10,300 bachelor’s degree graduates in chemistry would be needed annually to meet projected requirements. U.S. Office of Education projections indicate that the number of bachelor’s degrees awarded in chemistry annually will average 11 percent below the number needed to meet requirements during the 1972-85 period. Therefore, although bachelor’s degrees in chemistry can decline below the 1971 level of 11,000, projections indicate they are declining too rapidly to meet require ments. E m ploym ent, 1972 Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................ Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 .................................................. Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 .............................. G r o w t h .............................................................................. Replacements ................................................................. 13 4 ,0 0 0 18 4 ,0 0 0 3 8 .0 1 0 ,500 3 ,9 0 0 16 ,6 0 0 Available training data: 1970-71 Bachelor's degrees .................. ............... Master's d e g re e s ....................... ............... Doctor's degrees....................... ............... 11 ,037 2,1 9 7 1,952 Projected 1972-85 (annual average) 9 ,2 2 2 2 ,2 9 6 1,641 1 1ncludes an estimated 3 ,7 0 0 replacements fo r those who transfer to other occupations. Food scientists. Beginning food scientists need at least a bachelor’s degree with a major in food science or one of the physical or life sciences such as chemistry and biology. Those planning to do applied research and development or college teaching should have a master’s degree, and a Ph.D. is necessary for basic research and some management jobs in industry. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percefit growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................ G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 7 ,5 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 29 .7 300 200 100 Degrees in food science and technology: 333 188 119 Physicists. New graduates with bachelor’s degrees in physics are qualified for many applied research and development (R&D) jobs in private industry or the Federal Government. A master’s degree qualifies appli Em ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 4 9 ,0 0 0 6 1 ,0 0 0 24.1 2 ,8 0 0 900 1 1,9 0 0 Available training data: 1970-71 Bachelor's degrees ................................... Master's d e g re e s ........................................ D octor's degrees........................................ 5 ,0 4 6 2 ,7 1 4 1,4 49 Projected 197 2-8 5 (annual average) 4 ,1 3 8 1,9 32 1,4 1 6 1 1ncludes an estimated 1,300 replacements fo r those who transfer to other occupations. Technician occupations Available training data: Bachelor's degrees.................................................. Master's degrees .................................................... D octor's d e g re e s .................................................... cants for many research jobs and teaching positions in colleges and universities. A doctor’s degree usually is required for full faculty status at colleges and univer sities and to administer R&D programs. College graduates with a major in physics are the major source of supply of new physicists. However, limited data on past patterns of entry into the occupa tion indicate that in the past a significant number of workers have entered physics from other sources such as immigration; college graduates with nonphysics majors; persons reentering the labor force; and persons entering from other occupations.3 7 Although a variety of factors, including the availability of physics graduates, affect the number of other entrants, significant numbers probably will continue to enter the occupation. If past patterns of entry from these sources continue, only about 1,600 physics graduates would enter each year. Fewer than half of those who receive bachelor’s degrees in physics actually enter the field. Therefore, if past trends continue, 3,400 physics graduates would be needed annually to meet projected requirements. Projections of the U.S. Office of Education based on past trends of college studies show that, although the average annual number of bachelor’s degrees in physics is declining, degrees will be 22 percent above the annual number required to meet projected needs. Broadcast technicians. Technicians must obtain a RadioTelephone First Class Operator license from the Federal Communications Commission. To obtain the license, applicants must pass a series of written tests covering such subjects as the construction and operation of transmission and receiving equipment. Courses in mathe matics, science, and electronics and special courses designed to prepare students for the FCC’s license test 3 7See footnote 31, p. 54. are good preparation. Technical school or college train ing is an advantage for those wanting to advance to supervisory positions or to more specialized jobs in large stations and in the networks. E m p loym en t, 1972 ............................................................ Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 0 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 8 .9 3 9 ,6 0 0 2 6 ,6 0 0 13 ,000 Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... 2 3 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... 2 6 ,0 0 0 Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ............................................................. 12.0 Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. 70 0M DTA: G r o w t h ........................................................................................ 200 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 500 In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ Available training data ........................................ 5 18 400 3 8 ,4 2 0 Draftsmen. Post-high school training in technical institutes, junior and community colleges, extension divisions of universities, and vocational and technical high schools generally provides adequate training for beginning draftsmen. Necessary skills may also be obtained on the job combined with part-time schooling or through 3- or 4-year apprenticeship programs. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 2 7 ,0 0 0 4 8 5 ,0 0 0 4 8 .0 1 7 ,9 0 0 12 ,2 0 0 5 ,7 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 23 146 72 17 ,3 3 4 6 ,0 0 6 453 Engineering and science technicians. Persons can qualify as engineering and science technicians through many combinations of education and work experience. Posthigh school technical training may consist of 1 to 4 years of full-time study at a technical institute, junior and community college, extension division of a college and university, or vocational-technical high school. Training also may be acquired on the job or through courses taken part time in postsecondary schools or in cor respondence schools. Some qualify through experience in technical jobs in the Armed Forces. Training for such occupations as tool designer and electronics technician is available through formal 2- to 4-year apprenticeship programs. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 ,5 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 24 .0 200 100 100 Available training data: Junior college g r a d u a te s ............................ V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Food processing technicians. Food processing tech nicians should have post-high school technical training. Formal training programs are offered in postsecondary schools such as technical institutes, junior and com munity colleges, and technical divisions of 4-year uni versities. Many 2-year schools require work experience in some phase of the industry between the first and second years. Persons also can qualify for jobs by completing on-the-job training programs, or through work experi ence and formal courses taken on a part-time basis. Dairy technicians must be licensed in most States. 693 Surveyors. Persons can become surveyors by taking post-high school courses in surveying and having exten sive on-the-job training. Programs in surveying at junior colleges, technical institutes, and vocational schools vary from 1 to 3 years. Many States require 4 to 5 years of experience in surveying and successful completion of an examination for licensing. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual op en in g s..................................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 8 ,0 0 0 8 1 ,0 0 0 4 0 .0 2 ,7 0 0 1,800 900 Available training data: Junior college g ra d u a te s ...................... 1,637 Mechanics and Repairman Telephone craft occupations Central office craft occupations. Trainee jobs are filled by employees already with the company such as telephone operators, and by workers from outside the company. While there are no formal educational require ments, a basic knowledge of electricity and electronics and/or telephone training in the Armed Forces are helpful. New workers receive classroom instruction and on-the-job training. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data ....................................................... 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 1 1 9 ,0 0 0 11.3 2 ,0 0 0 1,000 1,000 — Central office equipment installers. Applicants usually must pass aptitude tests and a physical examination, but there are no educational requirements. New workers receive on-the-job training and classroom instruction. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,6 0 0 18.6 1,2 00 500 70 0 — Linemen and cable splicers. Companies hire inexperi enced workers as trainees. While there are no formal education requirements, knowledge of the basic prin ciples of electricity and/or telephone training in the Armed Forces are helpful Applicants usually must pass aptitude and physical exams. Telephone companies have training programs that include classroom instruction and on-the-job training. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... A vailable training data ....................................................... 5 0 ,0 0 0 5 4 ,0 0 0 10.7 70 0 300 400 — Telephone servicemen. Applicants are selected from telephone company employees and inexperienced people from outside the company who have passed an aptitude test. Training includes both on-the-job and classroom instruction. There are no formal educational require ments. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 0 8 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 11.1 2 ,0 0 0 900 1 ,1 0 0 — ' Other mechanics and repairmen Air-conditioning, refrigeration, and heating mechanics. Most air-conditioning, refrigeration, and heating mechanics start as helpers and learn their skills on the job. Employers prefer on-the-job trainees to be high school graduates who have had courses in mathematics, physics, and blueprint reading. Many high schools and vocational schools offer courses to prepare students for entry jobs. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual o p en in g s..................................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 3 5 ,0 0 0 2 6 5 ,0 0 0 9 6 .3 1 3 ,1 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 11 1,1 87 230 V ocational educational completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... 4 ,4 7 5 3 ,3 8 5 Appliance servicemen. Appliance servicemen usually are hired as helpers and acquire their skills on the job. Employees prefer applicants who are high school or trade school graduates. Servicemen need up to 3 years’ experience to become fully qualified. E m ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual op en ings..................................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 7 5 ,0 0 0 3 5 .0 6 ,1 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s ................................................... 14 225 216 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 1,9 73 1,0 78 Automobile body repairmen. Generally, 3 to 4 years of on-the-job training are necessary to become fully quali fied. Most training authorities recommend the comple tion of a 3- or 4-year apprenticeship program which includes on-the-job and related classroom instruction. Although high school graduation is not required for an entry job, most employers consider this an asset. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements . . . ; ................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .............• ..................................................... 16 1,00 0 18 7 ,0 0 0 16.1 4 ,1 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 63 998 604 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... A pprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 9 ,0 3 7 2,851 30 8 Automobile mechanics. Most automobile mechanics learn the trade through 3 to 4 years of on-the-job experience. Most training authorities recommend com pletion of a 3- or 4-year apprenticeship program as the best way to learn this trade. Work experience as a gasoline service station attendant, training in the Armed Forces, and courses offered at high schools, vocational schools, or private trade schools are helpful. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 2 7 ,0 0 0 8 6 0 ,0 0 0 18.4 2 2 ,3 0 0 10 ,200 12 ,1 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 140 3 ,5 0 9 2,171 on-the-job training are necessary to become skilled in repairing both outboard and inboard gasoline motors. Employers sometimes send trainees to factory-sponsored courses for 1 or 2 weeks to learn the fundamentals of motor repair. A high school diploma is preferred but not required. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth^ 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ......................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 0 ,300 13 ,7 0 0 3 3 .3 500 300 200 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutio nal c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 1 43 Bowling-pin-machine mechanics. Mechanics leam their skills at schools maintained by bowling-machine manu facturers or on the job. To become a trainee at a factory school, candidates usually must be 16 years old and take written tests of mechanical ability and personality traits. After attending factory schools, trainees need several months of on-the-job experience. Employers prefer to hire persons who are high school graduates. Em ploym ent, 1972 ....................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ............. Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 6 ,0 0 0 6 ,6 0 0 10.8 200 100 100 — Business machine servicemen. Most business machine servicemen acquire their skills through on-the-job train ing and work experience following instruction in manu facturers’ or dealers’ training schools. Employers desire applicants who are at least high school graduates, and like to hire veterans who have had electronics training in the Armed Forces. A servicemen usually needs 1 to 3 years of practical experience and on-the-job training following a formal training program before he is con sidered fully qualified. E m ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent change, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 6 9 ,0 0 0 9 7 ,0 0 0 4 1 .2 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 900 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 4 4 ,1 3 5 8 ,5 9 7 1,269 Available training data: MDTA: Boat motor mechanics. Generally, 2 to 3 years of O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... 11 In stitutio nal c o m p le tio n s ................................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 149 98 R e p la c e m e n ts .......................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1,0 0 0 — V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary....................................................................... 529 462 Computer service technicians. Employers usually require applicants to have 1 to 2 years of post-high school training in basic electronics or electrical engineering from a computer school, a technical institute, a junior college, or a college. Electronics training in the Armed Forces is also excellent preparation for trainees. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ Replacements . . . . ......................................................... 4 5 ,0 0 0 9 3 ,0 0 0 10 7.0 4 ,1 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 400 Electric sign servicemen. Most electric sign servicemen are trained on the job; generally, 3 years of on-the-job training are required to become fully qualified. Some qualify through electricians’ apprenticeship programs that last 3 to 5 years. Employers prefer to hire high school graduates. Many cities require servicemen to obtain a license by passing a comprehensive examination in electrical theory and its application. Em ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data Available training data: Junior college c o m p le tio n s ........................................... 431 Diesel mechanics. Generally, mechanics need 3 to 4 years of on-the-job training or formal apprenticeship to become fully qualified. Employers prefer to hire high school graduates. Trade and technical school courses in diesel engine maintenance and experience in repairing gasoline engines are helpful. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... 9 2 ,0 0 0 1 2 5 ,0 0 0 3 6 .8 4 ,5 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 1,9 00 ....................................................... 8 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,7 0 0 4 6 .3 500 300 200 — Farm equipment mechanics. Most farm equipment mechanics begin as helpers and learn their skills on the job. Employers prefer high school graduates who have a farm background. Generally, at least 3 years of on-thejob training are necessary before a person can become a qualified mechanic. Some mechanics qualify by complet ing a 3- to 4-year apprenticeship program. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 7 ,0 0 0 5 2 ,0 0 0 10.6 1,4 0 0 400 1,0 00 Available training data: Available training data: MDTA: MDTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 6 176 45 Vocational education completions: S eco n d ary...................................................................... Postsecondary.............................................................. 948 1,875 Dispensing opticians and optical mechanics. Most trainees learn their skills on the job, but the preferred training method is a 3- to 4-year formal apprenticeship program. Institutional training, leading to an associate degree, is becoming more common, and some vocational schools offer a 9-month optical mechanic course. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements .......................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 6 ,0 0 0 5 2 .0 Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ 2,000 1,0 0 0 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 1 126 105 Industrial machinery repairmen. Most workers who become industrial machinery repairmen begin as helpers and acquire their skills through several years’ experience on the job. Others leam their trade through 4-year formal apprenticeship programs consisting of on-the-job training and related classroom instruction. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ......................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: M DTA: 4 3 0 ,0 0 0 8 5 0 ,0 0 0 9 8 .6 4 4 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,7 0 0 1 1 ,3 0 0 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 94 577 22 8 1,846 Instrument repairmen. Instrument repairmen may learn their trade on the job or through formal apprenticeship programs. Apprenticeships generally last 4 years and combine classroom instruction with work experience. Some train for instrument repair work in technical institutes or junior colleges. These schools offer pro grams that usually last 2 years and emphasize basic engineering courses, science, and mathematics. Armed Forces technical schools also offer training. Trainees or apprentices generally must be high school graduates. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 r e q u ire m e n ts ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 8 .5 4 ,8 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 1,800 — Jewelers. These workers generally learn the jewelry trade either by serving a 3- to 4-year formal apprenticeship or through informal on-the-job training while working for an experienced jeweler. A few trade schools offer courses in jewelry repair. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements . . . . ’ .................................. Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 ,0 0 0 19 ,0 0 0 4.0 800 100 700 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... 5 Locksmiths. About 4 years of on-the-job training are needed to qualify as a locksmith. Additional training is needed to service electronic security systems. High school graduates are preferred but not required. Some cities require locksmiths to be licensed. ticeship programs. Apprenticeships usually last 4 years and combine on-the-job training with classroom instruc tion in related technical subjects. It usually takes more than 4 years to learn the trade informally on the job. A growing number of cities and counties require elec tricians to pass a comprehensive examination and get a license. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: Apprenticeship c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Available training data ....................................................... 9 ,2 0 0 1 2 ,600 3 6 .4 500 300 200 — Maintenance electricians. A high school education usually is required for electrician jobs. The skills of the trade are learned on the job or through formal appren 1,691 Motorcycle mechanics. Trainees generally learn the trade on the job in 2 to 3 years. Employers sometimes send mechanics and experienced trainees to special training courses conducted by motorcycle manufacturers and importers. Employers prefer high school graduates and also cycling enthusiasts who have gained experience by repairing their own motorcycles. E m ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 9 ,6 0 0 1 9 ,0 0 0 9 7 .9 800 700 100 — Piano and organ servicemen. Trainees generally learn the trade on the job. It usually takes 3 to 4 years of experience to become a qualified serviceman. Electronic organ technician applicants usually need formal training in electronics available from technical schools, junior colleges, and some technical-vocational high schools. E m ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 6 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 .0 9 ,8 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,8 0 0 ....................................................... 7 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 0.0 320 0 320 — Shoe repairmen. Most shoe repairmen are hired as helpers and receive on-the-job training in large shoe repair shops. It usually takes about 2 years of experience to become fully qualified. Some shoe repairmen learn this trade in vocational schools and a few enter the occupation through apprenticeship training programs. Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ...................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1,2 00 —3 0 0 1,5 00 Available training data: M DTA: Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 5 Television and radio service technicians. Formal training in electronics—in technical, vocational, or high schools or in the military—combined with 2 to 4 years of on-the-job training is required to become a qualified technician. Those who have no previous training may be hired as helpers if they show aptitude for the work or have a hobby in electronics. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .............................................................. 1 4 4 ,0 0 0 1 7 0 ,0 0 0 18.1 4 ,4 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 Em ploym ent, 1972 ...................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 .............................. . G r o w t h ................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 13 0 ,0 0 0 16 5,00 0 2 7 .5 5 ,1 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 Available training data ....................................................... — Vending machine mechanics. Although not required, many beginning vending machine mechanics are high school graduates. High school or vocational school courses in electricity and machine repair are helpful. About 1-1/2 to 2 years of on-the-job training are needed to qualify as a skilled mechanic. On-the-job training is sometimes supplemented with manufacturer-sponsored training sessions. A commercial driver’s license and a good driving record usually are required. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... - 2 9 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 32 .5 1,5 00 800 700 Available training data: Available training data: M DTA: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 16 490 146 Truck mechanics and bus mechanics. Most truck or bus mechanics learn their skills on the job. Generally, 3 to 4 years’ experience is necessary to qualify as an all-round mechanic. A formal 4-year apprenticeship is the recom mended way to learn these trades. Typical apprentice ships consist of about 8,000 hours of shop training and 576 "hours of related classroom instruction. For entry jobs, employers usually seek high school graduates who are at least 18. High school or vocational school courses in automobile repair and mathematics are useful. For some jobs that require driving, the mechanic must have a State chauffeur’s license or meet qualifications for drivers established by the U.S. Department of Trans portation. Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 12 Watch repairmen. Many persons prepare for this trade through courses given in private watch repair schools or public vocational high schools. Some are trained informally on the job or through formal apprenticeship. Although not required, students in most watch repair schools are high school graduates. A few States require watch repairmen to pass a qualifying examination and obtain a license. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. G r o w t h ........................................................................... .. . R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 16 ,0 0 0 1 7 ,0 0 0 4 .0 700 100 600 Available training data Health Occupations Dental occupations Dentists. All States require dentists to have a license to practice. To qualify for a license, a candidate must graduate from an approved dental school and pass a State board examination. In 13 States a dentist cannot be licensed as a “specialist” without 2 or 3 years of graduate education and passing a special State examina tion. Dental colleges require from 2 to 3 years of predental college education. However, about three out of four students entering dental school have a bachelor’s or master’s degree. Dental school generally lasts 4 academic years although some schools condense this into 3 calendar years. To meet projected needs between 1972 and 1985, the average annual number of dental school graduates will have to increase by about 25 percent over current levels. Federally assisted construction of additional training facilities has helped produce an increase in dental school enrollments in recent years. U.S. Public Health Service projections indicate that, as a result of this factor, the number of graduates is expected to approach the number needed. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 - 8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 1 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 .0 5 ,3 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 Available train in g data: D .D .S . or D .M .D . degrees ............ 1972 Projected 1 9 72-85 (annual average) 13 ,9 3 0 5 ,1 3 9 1 Calendar year. Dental assistants. Most dental assistants leam their skills on the job. An increasing number, however, are trained in formal post-high school programs. Most of these programs, available in vocational and technical schools, last 1 year, and lead to a certificate or a diploma. Graduates of 2-year programs offered in junior and community colleges receive an associate degree after completing specialized training and liberal arts courses. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 1 5 ,0 0 0 1 5 5 ,0 0 0 3 5 .0 1 3 ,000 3 ,0 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Job Corps com pletions 73 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 2 ,3 2 4 3 ,3 4 3 2,191 Dental hygienists. Dental hygienists must be licensed and in all States, except Alabama, only graduates of accredited dental hygiene schools are eligible for licensing. To get a license they must pass both a written and a clinical examination. Most of the accredited school programs last 2 years and lead to a certificate or an associate degree. Some schools have 4-year bachelor’s degree programs in dental hygiene and others offer both 2-year and 4-year programs. Generally the 2-year programs are sufficient for those who want to work in a private dental office. A bachelor’s degree is usually required for research, teaching, and work in public or school health programs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ....................................... G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .......................................................................... 1 7 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 191.0 4 ,8 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............ 43 1,602 2 ,5 0 6 531 24 Medical practitioners Chiropractors. Most States regulate the practice of chiropractic and grant licenses to chiropractors who meet certain educational requirements and pass a State board examination. The type of practice permitted and the educational requirements vary considerably from one State to another. Most States require graduation from a 4-year chiropractic course following high school. About three-quarters of the States also require 2 years of college work in addition to chiropractic training. Many States also demand that chiropractors pass a basic science examination. To meet projected needs for chiropractors between 1972 and 1985, schools would have to provide an average of 1,000 graduates each year, about 60 percent above current levels. Enrollments and applications to chiropractic schools have increased dramatically in recent years, however, and if this expansion continues, supply is likely to be in line with projected requirements. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 16 ,0 0 0 19 ,5 0 0 2 0 .9 1,0 00 300 700 Available training data: D octor of Chiropractic d e g rees................................... 16 2 3 ^Academic year 19 71-7 2 graduates reported by chiropractic schools. Optometrists. All States require that optometrists be licensed. Applicants for a license must graduate from an accredited school of optometry and pass an examination given by the State in which they plan to practice. The Doctor of Optometry degree requires a minimum of 6 years of education after high school consisting of 4 years of optometry school preceded by at least 2 years of preoptometric study at an approved university, college, or junior college. In 1972, 12 optometric schools were accredited by the American Optometric Association. To meet projected annual needs for optometrists, the annual number of graduates must increase by more than two-thirds above current levels. First-year classes in optometry schools have increased in size in recent years, however, and if this expansion is maintained the need for additional graduates would be in rough balance with requirements. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 ,700 2 3 ,3 0 0 24.7 900 400 500 Available training data: D octor o f O p to m etry (O .D .) degrees .................... 531 Physicians and osteopathic physicians. A license to practice medicine is required in all States. To qualify for a license it is necessary to graduate from an approved medical school or school of osteopathy, pass a State board examination, and in many States, serve a 1-year hospital internship. Most students who enter medical school or a school of osteopathy have earned a bachelor’s degree, although many schools accept students with just 3 years of college. While some medical schools have 3-year curriculums, most medical schools and schools of osteopathy take 4 years to complete. Those who wish to become specialists must have 2 to 5 years of additional hospital training followed by 2 years of supervised practice in the specialty. If, over the 1973-85 period, the influx of foreign medical graduates continues in line with past trends (about 5,000 net additions a year), medical schools will graduate 14,000 or nearly 50 percent more physicians than in 1971 to meet projected needs. The large gap between supply and requirements is beginning to narrow as a result of recent expansions in the size of first-year medical classes. U.S. Public Health Service projections indicate that over the 1972-85 period the number of M.D. and D.O. degrees each year will closely approximate the number needed to meet requirements. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ 3 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 8 5 ,0 0 0 4 7 .2 1 9 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0 R e p la c e m e n ts .............................................................. 7 ,0 0 0 . Available training data: 1970-71 M .D . degrees........................................... D .O . d e g rees........................................... 18 ,9 7 4 3 475 Projected 1 9 72-85 (annual average) 2 1 3 ,7 4 6 1 American Medical Association. 3 U.S. Public Health Service estimates (M .D . combined). o Am erican Osteopathic Association, 1971 data. and D.O Podiatrists. All States require a license for the practice of podiatry. To qualify for a license it is necessary to graduate from an accredited 4-year program in a college of podiatric medicine and pass a State board examination. At least 2 years of college are required for admission, to any of the five colleges of podiatric medicine. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 ,3 0 0 8 ,4 0 0 15.0 400 100 300 Available training data: D octor o f Podiatric Medicine (D .P .M .) or D octor o f Podiatry (D .P .) d e g re e s .......................................................... 240 Veterinarians. A license is required to practice veterinary medicine in all States and the District of Columbia. To be licensed a candidate must earn the Doctor of Veterinary Medicine (D.V.M.), pass a State board examination, and in some States have some practical experience under supervision. Minimum requirements for the D.V.M. degree are 2 years of preveterinary college work followed by 4 years of professional study in a college of veterinary medicine. Two schools now offer the D.V.M. curriculum in 3 calendar years; however, the programs run continuously, without summer recess. To meet projected needs for veterinarians between 1972 and 1985, veterinary colleges will have to graduate an average of 1,400 students annually. Anticipated enrollments over the next 13 years indicate this number of graduates is likely to be reached. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 6 ,0 0 0 3 7 ,0 0 0 41.1 1 ,4 0 0 800 600 D octor of V eterin ary Medicine (D .V .M .) ............... 1,252 Medical technician, technologist, and assistant occupations Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ......................................................................... 13 ,000 3 ,0 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 Available training data: MDTA: Electrocardiograph (EKG) technicians. EKG technicians are generally trained on the job. Training, which may last as long as 3 months, is usually conducted by a senior EKG technician or a cardiologist. High school graduation is generally required for entry into the occupation. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................. Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n t................. 10 ,0 0 0 15 ,0 0 0 5 0 .0 900 400 500 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 8 Junior college graduates . . . ........................................................... 22 Electroencephalograph (EEG) technicians. Most EEG technicians are trained on the job by experienced EEG personnel. However, with advances in medical technology, electroencephalograph equipment has become increasingly more complex and requires technicians with more training. A few training programs lasting 6 months to 1 year are available in some colleges and medical schools. E m ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 ,5 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 57.1 400 200 200 S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 1,973 1,078 1,335 3,0 9 7 45 4 Medical record technicians and clerks. Most employers prefer to hire medical record technicians who have graduated from an accredited college or hospital-based program. These programs range from 10 months for a certificate to 2 years for an associate degree. High school graduates with basic secretarial skills can enter the medical record field as clerks. About one month of on-the-job training will prepare them for routine tasks. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ............... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h .......................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 7 ,0 0 0 11 8 ,0 0 0 152.0 1 0 ,500 5 ,5 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: 343 374 22 Medical laboratory workers. The minimum educational requirement for a beginning job as a medical technologist usually is 4 years of college including completion of a specialized training program in medical technology. Medical laboratory technicians generally have 1 year or more of post-high school training in a junior college or vocational school. Some are trained in the Armed Forces. Most medical laboratory assistants are trained on the job. In recent years, however, an increasing number have studied in 1-year training programs conducted by hospitals, junior colleges, and vocational schools. 22 17 Vocational education completions: In stitutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Junior college graduates ........................................ Available training data: Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Optometric assistants. Most optometric assistants are trained on the job. Training also can be acquired in 1-year academic courses or in 2-year courses leading to an associate degree. High school graduation or its equivalent, including knowledge of mathematics and office procedures, is preferred for both on-the-job and formal training. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 1 ,000 2 0 ,0 0 0 78 .8 1,7 00 70 0 1,000 Available training data: Junior college g ra d u a te s .............................. 81 Radiologic technologists. The requirement for entry into this field is completion of a formal training program in X-ray technology. These programs, which usually take 24 months, are offered in hospitals, medical schools, colleges, community colleges, vocational schools, and the military services. A few schools conduct 3- or 4-year programs and some award a bachelor’s degree in X-ray technology. High school graduation is required for admission to all programs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 5 ,0 0 0 8 7 ,0 0 0 5 8 .0 6 ,5 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s ................................... 86 1,1 54 1,139 48 32 10 Respiratory therapists. Although a few therapists are trained on the job, formal training is now stressed. High school graduation is required for entry to the more than 100 institutions offering educational programs in respiratory therapy. Courses last from 18 months to 4 years and include both theory and clinical work. A bachelor’s degree is awarded for completing the 4-year program. Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ............................................. 7 4 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 .0 7 5 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 5 1 ,0 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: 6 V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Junior college g r a d u a te s ................................................ Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees .............................................................. Doctor's d e g re e s .............................................................. examination. All nursing schools require a high school diploma for entry. Their programs vary in length from 2 to 5 years. Nurses completing 2-year courses earn associate degrees; those in 3-year courses earn a diploma; and bachelor’s degrees are awarded to graduates of 4and 5-year courses. Education at the master’s degree level and above is required for positions in research, consultation, teaching, and clinical specialization. 17,00U 3 0 ,0 0 0 7 7 .0 2 ,0 0 0 1,0 00 1,0 00 Associate degrees ....................................................... D ip lo m a s .......................................................... .......... Bachelor's degrees....................................................... Master's degrees .......................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................................ 1 1 4 ,4 7 4 12 2 ,3 3 4 19 ,9 1 3 1 ,5 3 0 7 237 1 Am erican Nurses Association, 1970-71 data. Licensed practical nurses. All States regulate the preparation and licensing of practical nurses. To be licensed, students must complete an approved course in practical nursing and pass a licensing examination. Educational requirements for enrollment in State-approved training programs range from completion of eighth or ninth grade to high school graduation. The required course generally lasts 1 year, and is given in junior colleges, local hospitals, health agencies, and public schools. E m ploym ent, 1 9 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 4 2 5 ,0 0 0 8 3 5 ,0 0 0 9 6 .0 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s ........................................... 2 M DTA: Vocational education completions: S eco n d ary...................................................................... Postsecondary.............................................................. Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 221 978 570 O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Institutional c o m p le tio n s ........................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 5 505 66 V ocational education completions: Nursing occupations Registered nurses. A license is required to practice professional nursing in all States. Getting a license requires graduating from a school approved by the State board of nursing and passing the State board S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... Junior college g ra d u a te s ................................................ 4 ,3 8 8 2 4 ,9 9 5 7 ,7 0 6 Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants. Although some employers prefer high school graduates, many hire nongraduates. Training is usually acquired on the job, often in combination with classroom instruction. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 9 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 6 0 ,0 0 0 5 1 .0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 6 ,0 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 MDTA: 342 1,2 53 2,471 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... 12,643 6 ,1 9 9 160.9 1,200 700 500 Available training data: V ocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... P ostsecondary............................................................... Available training data: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... In stitutio nal c o m p le tio n s ........................................ Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 19 326 Physical therapists. All States require a license to practice physical therapy. Applicants for a license must have a bachelor’s degree in physical therapy and pass a State board examination. For those with bachelor’s degrees in other fields, 12- to 16-month certificate programs and 2-year master’s degree programs are available. A graduate degree combined with clinical experience increases advancement opportunities, especially in teaching, research, and administration. Therapy and rehabilitation occupations Occupational therapists. A bachelor’s degree in occupational therapy is required to enter this profession. Some schools, however, offer programs leading to a certificate or a master’s degree in occupational therapy for students who have a bachelor’s degree in another field. After graduation and a 6- to 9-month clinical practice period, they are eligible to take the American Occupational Therapy Association examination to become registered occupational therapists (OTR). E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 ,5 0 0 1 5 ,000 100.0 1,1 00 600 500 Available training data: Junior college g ra d u a te s ........................................ Bachelor's and master's degrees................................... 243 19 3 7 1 American Medical Association estimate fo r calendar year 1972. Occupational therapy assistants. Most occupational therapy assistants are trained on-the-job in hospitals and other health care facilities. Some learn their skills in vocational, technical, and adult education programs. Other assistants graduate from 1- or 2-year junior college programs or have completed an approved military occupational therapy assistant program. Applicants for training programs must be high school graduates or the equivalent. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h .............................................................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 7 6 .3 2 ,2 0 0 1,0 0 0 1,2 0 0 Available training data: Junior college graduates ................................................ Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... 239 1,2 52 73 Physical therapist assistants and aides. Some States now license physical therapist assistants. Completion of an approved 2-year associate degree program is required for a license. Many of these States, however, also license experienced physical therapist assistants who learned their skills in vocational, technical, or adult education programs, or from on-the-job training before associate degree programs were available. Physical therapist aides qualify for their occupation through on-the-job training in hospitals and other health care facilities. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 .................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 0 ,5 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 14 1.7 2 ,0 0 0 1,1 00 900 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s ........................................... 24 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary.................................................. . . . . 128 199 Speech pathologists and audiologists. Most States prefer and some require a master’s degree or its equivalent in speech pathology or audiology for beginning jobs in public schools. A teacher’s certificate often is required also and some States demand that workers dealing with handicapped children have special training. Speech pathologists and audiologists who supervise Federal programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, need a master’s degree. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 7 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,0 0 0 26 .9 2 ,2 0 0 600 1,6 00 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 1,427 823 70 Other health occupations Dietitians. A bachelor’s degree, preferably with a major in foods and nutrition or institution management, usually available in departments of home economics, is the basic educational requirement for dietitians. To qualify for professional recognition, the American Dietetic Association recommends the completion after graduation of an approved dietetic intership, or 2 years of experience. Some new programs combine a bachelor’s degree and internship in a 4-year program. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 3 3 ,0 0 0 4 4 ,0 0 0 3 2 .0 3 ,1 0 0 800 2 ,3 0 0 — Hospital administrators. Educational requirements for •hospital administrators vary. A master’s degree in health and hospital administration is generally the minimum level of education accepted. However, some employers prefer formal training in social or behavioral sciences,industrial engineering, or business administration along with extensive experience in the health field. A few require their administrators to be physicians or registered nurses. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 7 ,000 2 6 ,6 0 0 56.4 1,6 00 700 900 Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 60 496 14 Medical record administrators. A bachelor’s degree in medical record administration is required for work in this occupation. One-year certificate programs are available, however, for those who already have a bachelor’s degree in another field which includes required courses in liberal arts and biological sciences. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 1 ,6 0 0 1 8 ,400 5 9 .0 1,4 00 500 900 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ 148 Pharmacists. A license to practice pharmacy is required in all States. To obtain a license one must graduate from an accredited pharmacy college, pass a State board examination, and usually also have a specified amount of practical experience under the supervision of a registered pharmacist. At least 5 years of study beyond high school are required to graduate from one of the 73 accredited colleges of pharmacy and receive a Bachelor of Science degree. Most of these colleges provide 3 or 4 years of professional instruction and require all entrants to have completed their prepharmacy education in an accredited junior college, college, or university. To meet annual projected needs for pharmacists between 1972 and 1985, the annual number of graduates must increase by more than two-thirds above current levels. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 13 1 ,0 0 0 1 6 3 ,0 0 0 24.5 7 ,7 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 5 ,2 0 0 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 4 ,5 4 9 194 94 Sanitarians. The minimum educational requirement for sanitarians is usually a bachelor’s degree, preferably in environmental health, although a major in any environmental, life, or physical science generally is acceptable. A graduate degree in some aspect of public health is usually required for administrative, teaching, and research jobs. Laws in 35 States provided for the registration of sanitarians in 1972; in some States, registration is mandatory. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... 1 7 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................. R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 76 .8 1,6 00 1,0 00 600 Available training data Social Scientists Anthropologists. A Ph.D. degree is necessary to become a professional anthropologist. Temporary jobs and assistantships are often available in graduate schools for college graduates working on advanced degrees in anthropology. A master’s degree, plus field experience, is sufficient for many beginning professional jobs-but promotion to top positions is generally limited to those with a Ph.D.- degree. Anthropologists in many colleges* and most universities need a Ph.D. degree to get permanent teaching jobs. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent change, 1972-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 ,6 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 6 6 .4 400 200 200 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 4 ,3 8 4 766 241 Economists. A bachelor’s degree in economics is sufficient for many beginning research jobs in government and private industry. People employed in these jobs, however, usually are not regarded as professional economists. Graduate training is very important in this field. A master’s degree generally is required to get a job as a college instructor and for more responsible research positions in government or private industry. A Ph.D. degree is required for a professorship in a high-ranking college or university and is an asset for good positions in government, business, or private research organizations. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent change, 1972-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 6 ,0 0 0 4 6 ,0 0 0 2 9 .5 1,500 70 0 800 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 15,758 1,995 721 Geographers. The educational requirement for beginning positions in geography is usually a bachelor’s degree with a major in the field. For research and teaching jobs, and for advancement, graduate training usually is required. A Ph.D. is preferred. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent change, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 ,5 0 0 9 ,2 0 0 2 2 .6 450 150 300 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 4 ,1 5 5 649 164 Historians. Graduate education usually is necessary for employment as a historian. A master’s degree is the minimum requirement for college instructors. In many colleges and universities, however, a Ph.D. degree is essential for high-level teaching, research, and administrative positions. Most historians in the Federal Government and in nonprofit organizations have Ph.D. degrees or their equivalent. Although a bachelor’s degree with a major in history is sufficient training for some beginning jobs in government, people in such jobs are not regarded as professional historians. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 2 4 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 .3 1,5 00 500 1,0 00 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 4 4 ,6 6 3 5,1 5 7 991 Political scientists. Graduate training generally is required for employment as a political scientist. A Ph.D. is required for professors at colleges and universities and is helpful for advancement in nonacademic areas. Those with a master’s degree qualify for various administrative and research jobs in government and in nonprofit research or civic organizations. Trainees in public relations, research, budget analysis, or personnel fields may have a bachelor’s degree in political science. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 1 0 ,0 0 0 12 ,2 0 0 2 2 .0 500 200 300 needed for directors of major research projects, some administrative jobs, or for consultants. Outstanding graduate students often get teaching or research assistantships which provide both financial aid and valuable experience. 2 7 ,4 8 2 2 ,3 1 8 700 E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data: Bachelor's degrees...................................................... Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... Sociologists. A master’s degree in sociology is generally the minimum requirement for employment as a sociologist. A Ph.D. is essential for becoming a professor at most colleges and universities. It also commonly is 1 5 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 53.1 1,2 00 600 600 "Available training data: Bachelor's de g rees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 3 3 ,2 6 3 1,808 57 4 Social Service Occupations G row th ......................................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Counseling occupations School counselors. Most States require school counselors to have counseling and teaching certificates. Depending on the State, graduate work and from 1 to 5 years of teaching experience usually are required for a counseling certificate. In the few States where teaching experience is not required, it is possible to major in a liberal arts undergraduate program. Most college students interested in becoming school counselors usually take the regular program of teacher education with additional courses in psychology and sociology. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1972-85 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 4 3 ,0 0 0 5 9 ,0 0 0 3 6 .9 2 ,9 0 0 1,2 00 1,7 00 — Employment counselors. State employment service offices require employment counselors to have 30 hours of graduate courses in a counseling field. One year of counseling-related experience may be substituted for 15 graduate hours. For higher level jobs and work in private and community agencies, a master’s degree in vocational counseling or in a related field such as psychology, personnel administration, or guidance education is preferred and sometimes required. All States require counselors in their public employment offices to meet State civil service requirements that include minimum education and experience standards. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. 8 ,5 0 0 14 ,0 0 0 66 .2 800 Available training data ....................................................... 400 400 — Rehabilitation counselors. The minimum educational requirement for rehabilitation counselors is a bachelor’s degree with courses in counseling, psychology, and related fields. Increasing emphasis is being placed, however, on a master’s degree in vocational counseling or rehabilitation counseling or in related subjects such as psychology, education, and social work. Work experience in fields such as vocational counseling and placement, psychology, education, and social work is an asset in being hired as a rehabilitation counselor. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 1 6 ,000 2 6 ,0 0 0 5 9 .8 1,7 00 700 1,0 00 — College career planning and placement counselors. A bachelor’s degree is generally the minimum requirement for career planning and placement work and a master’s degree is being increasingly stressed. An undergraduate major in a behavioral science such as psychology or sociology and courses in counseling, personnel administration, and related business administration subjects are preferred for entry in the field. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1972-85 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 3 ,8 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 3 2 .5 200 100 100 See Protestant ministers. Protestant ministers. Educational requirements for entry into the Protestant ministry vary greatly. Some denominations have no formal educational requirements, and others ordain people having varying amounts and types of training in Bible colleges, Bible institutes, or liberal arts colleges. Many denominations require 3 years of study in a theological school or seminary following college graduation. In general each large denomination has its own seminary or school of theology that reflects its particular doctrine, interests, and needs. E m p loym en t, 19 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .......... *....................................................... 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 3 6 0 ,0 0 0 10.9 1 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 1 0 ,3 0 0 Other social service occupations Home economists. A bachelor’s degree in home economics is usually required although some do enter the field with degrees in other subjects. A master’s or a doctor’s degree is required for college teaching, for some research and supervisory positions, and some jobs in the nutrition field. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ............ Percent change, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 1 4 0 ,0 0 0 14.0 9 ,2 0 0 1,3 00 7 ,9 0 0 Available training data: Available training d a ta:1 Bachelor's degrees............. .................. First professional degrees ............................................. Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 3 ,7 4 4 5 ,0 5 5 2 ,7 1 0 312 1 Includes all degrees granted in theology. Data on those trained fo r specific denom inations are not available. Rabbis. Requirements vary but almost all seminaries require a bachelor’s degree plus prior preparation in Jewish studies for admission. The Rabbinic course in a Jewish theological seminary generally takes 3 to 5 years. Some seminaries grant advanced academic degrees in fields such as Biblical or Talmudic studies. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 ,8 0 0 6 ,4 0 0 11.0 300 100 200 Available training data: Bachelor's d e g rees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 1 1 ,167 1,452 123 Psychologists. A master’s degree in psychology is generally required for employment as a psychologist. A Ph.D. degree, considered to be the full professional level, is needed for many entrance positions and is becoming increasingly important for advancement. Psychologists who want to enter independent practice must meet certification or licensing requirements in most States. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ...................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 5 7 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,0 0 0 5 5 .5 4 ,3 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 1,9 0 0 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 3 7 ,8 8 0 4,431 1,782 See Protestant ministers. Roman Catholic priests. Preparation for the priesthood requires 8 years or more of study beyond high school. Study may begin in the first year of high school, at the college level, or in a theological seminary after college graduation. Diocesan (secular) and religious priests attend different major seminaries, where slight variations in the training reflect the differences in the type of work expected of them as priests. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 5 8 ,5 0 0 6 3 ,0 0 0 7 .9 2 ,2 0 0 400 1,8 0 0 Recreation workers. A high school education is generally the minimum requirement for recreation leader and camp counselor jobs. However, an associate degree from a community or junior college is preferred for year-round employment. Activity specialists should have an associate or bachelor’s degree in recreation or in one of the arts. Many who concentrate in subjects such as drama, art, or dance have graduate degrees. Generally, recreation directors must have a bachelor’s degree with a major in recreation, social science, or physical education as well as part-time or seasonal experience. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-85 ................................. 5 5 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,0 0 0 6 3 .0 5 ,5 0 0 G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts ................................................................... 2 ,7 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 R e p la c e m e n ts ............................................................... 6 ,0 0 0 Available training data: Available training data: Junior college graduates ................................................ Degrees in park and recreation management: Bachelor's d e grees.................................................. Master's degrees ..................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ..................................................... 1,621 218 2 Social service aides. Graduation from high school generally is not required for social service aide jobs. Employers do not always look for the most highly skilled applicants. A person’s need for work, as well as his potential for upgrading his skills, are often considered. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1972-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 5 0 .0 10 ,000 4 ,0 0 0 1,1 46 Social workers. A bachelor’s degree, preferably in social welfare or social work, generally is the minimum educational requirement for beginning jobs in social work. A graduate degree is necessary for teaching and research positions. E m ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 1 8 5 ,0 0 0 2 7 5 ,0 0 0 4 8 .6 17 ,5 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 10 ,500 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 4 ,6 0 8 6 ,0 1 9 126 Art, Design, and Communications-Related Occupations Design occupations Architects. Architects must obtain a license to practice in every State and the District of Columbia. To qualify for a license, applicants must take a 2-day written examination. Architects must have a bachelor’s degree in architecture and three years of experience working in an architect’s office. Those with a master’s degree need two years of experience. In most States, 12 years of practical experience as an architect may be substituted for formal training. Based on past relationships between the number who graduate each year with degrees in architecture and those licensed as architects, approximately 5,500 graduates would be needed annually to meet projected requirements of 3,300 a year. In 1971, about 3,500 persons earned a bachelor’s or first professional degree in architecture. Therefore, to meet requirements over the 1972-85 period, degrees granted will have to be about 57 percent above 1971 levels. U.S. Office of Education projections show that the average number of bachelor’s degrees in architecture will be increasing, but will still be below the level required to meet projected needs. Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 3 ,4 5 9 62 5 6 Commercial artists. Artistic ability and good taste are the most important qualifications for success in commercial art. However, these qualities must be developed by specialized training in the techniques of commercial and applied art. The course of study, which may include some academic work, generally takes 2 or 3 years, and a certificate is awarded on graduation. A growing number of art schools, particularly those in or connected with universities, require 4 years or more of study and confer a bachelor’s degree. Limited training in commercial art also may be obtained through public vocational high schools and on-the-job experience but supplemental training is usually needed for advancement. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ..................................................................... R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 6 0 ,0 0 0 7 6 ,0 0 0 26 .7 3 ,4 0 0 1,2 0 0 2 ,2 0 0 Available training data: Em ploym ent, 1972 .............................................................. Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent growth, 1972-85 .................................................... 3 7 ,0 0 0 6 5 ,0 0 0 7 6 .0 Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R ep lace m en ts................................................................... 3 ,3 0 0 2 ,2 0 0 1,1 00 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .......................................................... Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 4 44 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 2,841 1,9 79 Displaymen (retail trade). Most displaymen learn their trade on the job in 2 or 3 years. Employers require high school graduates and some prefer applicants who have completed such college courses as interior decorating, fashion design, and art. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 8 5 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ........................................ Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 3 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 16 .4 2 ,0 0 0 400 1,6 0 0 degree in interior design and decoration. In most cases, 1 to 5 years of on-the-job training are also required. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1 9 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G row th . . . ......................................................................... R ep lace m en ts.................................................................... 1 8 ,000 2 3 ,0 0 0 2 9 .0 1,0 00 400 600 Available training data: Bachelor's d e grees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... 314 6 Available training data: Job Corps c o m p le tio n s .................................................. 2 Floral designers. Trainees are hired as helpers and learn on the job. Two years of work experience usually are required to become a fully qualified designer. Some designers take courses in floral arrangement in public or private schools or in junior colleges. These courses, however, are not considered a substitute for on-the-job training. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 3 ,0 0 0 4 4 .7 2 ,5 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 1,5 00 Landscape architects. A bachelor’s degree in landscape architecture that takes 4 to 5 years of study is the usual requirement for employment. About half of all States require a license which requires 6 to 8 years’ experience as a landscape architect or a degree from an accredited school plus 2 to 4 years’ experience. Em ploym ent, 19 7 2 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 12 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 0 7 6 .0 1,1 00 700 400 Available training data: Bachelor's d e g rees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... D octor's d e g re e s ...................... 505 107 1 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ....................................................... 2 Vocational education completions: S e c o n d a ry ...................................................................... Postsecondary............................................................... 766 76 Industrial designers. Persons usually enter this field by completing an industrial design curriculum in an art school, an art department of a university, or a technical college. Entrants from other fields such as engineering, architecture, and fine arts may qualify as industrial designers if they have the appropriate experience and artistic talent. Em ploym ent, 1972 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 1 0 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,0 0 0 4 0 .0 400 100 300 ....................................................... Interior designers. Interior designers usually are required to complete either a 2- or 3-year course at a recognized art school or institute specializing in interior decorating and design or a college or university program leading to a Photographers. There is no standard preparation for work in photography. Many persons work in a commercial studio for 2 or 3 years and receive on-the-job training. Others take a 4-year curriculum at a college or university leading to a bachelor’s degree with a major in photography. A few institutions offer a 2-year curriculum. Some specialized photographic work, such as scientific or engineering research, requires some technical expertise. Em ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 19 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 7 7 ,0 0 0 8 8 ,0 0 0 14.3 2 ,7 5 0 850 1,9 00 Available training data: O JT e n ro llm e n ts ............................................................... Bachelor's d e grees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... 4 477 57 Urban planners. For some jobs, a bachelor’s degree in urban planning or a related field is acceptable; for most others, however, the master’s degree in urban planning is required. Although recently the number of graduates has been rising, the current shortage of well-qualified planners is expected to continue over the next few years. Trends in the number of planning graduates should be watched carefully, however, since continued growth may create keen competition for the available jobs toward the end of the 1972-85 period. E m p loym en t, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 -8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 12 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,500 5 4 .2 800 500 300 Available training data: Bachelor's degrees............................................................ Master's degrees ............................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s ............................................................... 229 810 23 Communications-related occupations Newspaper reporters. Most large newspapers will consider only applicants with a college education in journalism or liberal arts. However, some jobs are available for talented writers without college training on rural, small-town, or suburban papers. Graduate work is becoming increasingly important. Em ploym ent, 1 9 72 ............................................................... Projected 1985 requirements ........................................... Percent change, 1 9 72-8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... 3 9 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 .0 2 ,6 0 0 900 1,7 0 0 Available training data: M DTA: O JT e n ro llm e n ts .................................................. 2 Degrees in journalism: Bachelor's degrees....................................................... Master's degrees .......................................................... Doctor's d e g re e s .......................................................... 5 ,1 1 4 853 15 Radio and television announcers. Vocational school training in announcing or college courses in broadcasting or liberal arts provide an excellent background for an announcer. Most announcers start out in small stations where they may be required to obtain Federal Communications Commission Radiotelephone First Class Operator licenses to operate transmitters; more often announcers only operate a control board for which only a third class license is needed. E m ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 - 8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 1 9 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data ....................................................... 2 1 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,5 0 0 2 1 .4 500 300 200 — Technical writers. A bachelor’s degree is generally required to begin work in technical writing. Technical writers can qualify with a degree in engineering or science and courses in writing or a degree in English or journalism and courses in scientific and technical subjects. Sometimes, experienced writers with less academic training but some knowledge of technical fields can qualify. Em ploym ent, 19 72 ............................................................... Projected 19 85 requirements ........................................... Percent grow th, 1 9 7 2 - 8 5 ..................................................... Average annual openings, 19 72-8 5 ................................. G r o w t h ................................................................................ R e p la c e m e n ts .................................................................... Available training data 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 2 9 .9 1 ,1 0 0 500 600 Appendix A. Methods and Assumptions for Projections of Manpower Requirements The Bureau of Labor Statistics has developed projections that encompass a number of interrelated components and permit a comprehensive view of tomorrow’s economy and its manpower needs. These projections cover labor force, hours of employment, output per man-hour, potential demand, gross national product or GNP, the composition of demand, output, and productivity for detailed industry groups and detailed occupations.1 The methods and assumptions used to develop the projected 1985 manpower requirements presented in this bulletin are the same as those used in other Bureau of Labor Statistics studies of future occupational needs. These are briefly summarized in the following sections. Projection methods The first step in making industry and occupational projections is to use statistics developed by the Bureau of the Census of total population in the target year, and its composition by age, sex, and color. As a second step, the Bureau of Labor Statistics develops projections of the labor force by age, sex, and color on the basis of changing labor force participation rates for each of these groups. These changes reflect a variety of factors, including changing educational standards, retirement practices, and size of families. Labor force projections are then translated into the level of gross national product (GNP) that can be produced by a fully employed labor force.2 GNP is derived by subtracting unemployment from the labor force and multiplying the result by an estimate of output per worker in the target year of the projection. Allowances must be made for average growth in productivity and expected changes in hour of work. The next step is to distribute this potential growth in real GNP among the major components of GNP: consum er expenditures, business investment, government expenditures-Federal, State, and local-and net foreign demand. After calculating and distributing potential GNP growth among its major categories, projections are summary report of the Bureau’s 1980 and 1985 projections with a more detailed statement on methodology will be published by the Bureau as The Structure o f the U.S. Economy in 1980 and 1985, Bulletin 1831 (in process). developed for each of the major demand categories, such as the amount spent by consumers for food, clothing, rent, automobiles, drugs, cosmetics, trips abroad, medical expenses, and other goods and services. For each of the major GNP demand categories, a different procedure is followed in allocating demand to the producing industry. Once estimates are developed for the product or service to be purchased, the production load is allocated not only to the various industries which make the final product but also to the intermediate and basic industries which provide raw materials, components, transportation, electric power, and other goods and services required in making final products. For this purpose, the Department of Commerce has developed an input-output table for the economy of the United States. This table shows transactions among industries; effects of such transactions can be traced among industries. Estimates of production in each industry are then translated into employment requirements by projecting changes in output per man-hour in each industry and dividing this figure into output. Changes in output per man-hour are developed through studies of productivity and technological trends in all industries. These studies provide inputs to assess such things as potential competition among products, potential employment and economic effects of new technologies and inventions, and the effect of technological change on the occupational structure of industries. As an independent check and to develop more detailed industry employment projections than allowed for by input-output tables, a regression analysis is conducted relating production and employment in various industries to the levels of final demand and other key variables. Also, detailed in-depth studies are conducted for several industries which result in projections of requirements based on a regression analysis of a variety of economic variables. Results of the regression analysis and input-output model are evaluated along with detailed industry analyses to develop final industry employment projections. Projections of industry manpower requirements are then translated into occupational requirements. This 'j A 4-percent unemployment rate was assumed in the BLS projections. calculation is made through the use of occupational composition patterns for all industries in the United S ta te s, w hich are summarized in an industry-occupational matrix. This matrix, which is divided into 120 industry sectors, shows the composition of employment according to 160 occupations.3 These patterns are applied to current employment and to projected requirements by industry to estimate current employment and future requirements by occupation. In making these projections, allowance is made for changing occupational structures based on studies of the way each industry has changed in the past and is likely to change in the future. To arrive at a total for the economy, future employment requirements for «ach occupation are aggregated across all industries. For many occupations, requirements are projected on the basis of relationships to certain independent variables rather than on proportional representation in each industry. For example, employment requirements for automobile mechanics are projected on the basis of the expected stock of motor vehicles and their maintenance requirements, and elementary school teachers on trends in pupil-teacher ratios applied to projected school attendance. Projections developed independently are meshed with other occupational data in the matrix. After estimating the requirements of each occupation, projections are prepared of the number of workers who will be needed as replacements. These separations from the labor force resulting from all cuases including occupational transfers constitute a very significant portion of total annual training needs. Tables of working life have been developed based on actuarial experience for deaths and general patterns of labor force participation of each age.4 Withdrawals from the labor force can be projected for men and women separately in each occupation for which age and sex are known. The net effects of interoccupational transfers, however, are not known in any systematic fashion and can only be estimated in projecting manpower training 3 See the Industry-Occupational Matrix, appendix C, in Occupational Employment Patterns for 1960 and 1975, Bulletin 1599 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1968). Work is underway that will allow for the matrix to be expanded to over 400 occupations and 200 industries. needs. Some work to develop such estimates, however, is currently being conducted by the BLS using data collected in the 1970 Decennial Census. Assumptions The BLS projections to 1985 presented in this bulletin are based on the following general assumptions: Fiscal and monetary and manpower training and educational programs will achieve a satisfactory balance between relatively low unemployment and relative price stability, permitting achievement of the long-term economic growth rate. The projections assume a 4 percent unemployment rate (of the civilian labor force) and a 3 percent annual increase in the implicit price deflator for gross national product. The institutional framework of the American economy will not change radically. Economic, social, technological, and scientific trends will continue, including values placed on work, education, income, and leisure. Efforts to solve major domestic problems such as those of air and water pollution, solid waste disposal, urban congestion, inadequate industrial safety, and energy shortages may consume more productive resources but will not have more than a marginal effect on long-term growth. Projected U.S. energy requirements will be roughly in line with those projected by the U.S. Department of the Interior in U.S. Energy Through the Year 2000, December 1972. This means major reliance on oil imports to close the energy supply-demand gap. During the last quarter of 1973, curtailment of oil supplies from the Mideast raised questions regarding use of imports to close the supply-demand energy gap over the next few years. It remains to be seen whether this restriction on oil imports will continue over the long run and what implications this may have for the long-term growth rate and structural changes in the economy resulting from the effort to develop domestic alternatives to oil imports. ^For detailed information see Tomorrow’s Manpower Needs, Vol. II, Bulletin 1606 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1969). Appendix B. Detailed Occupational Projections This appendix presents employment estimates, projected requirements, and annual job openings in tabular form for 240 occupations, the most complete detail published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. These data are classified into the 13 occupational clusters used to group occupations in the 1974-75 edition of the Occupational Outlook Handbook: Industrial production and related occupations, office occupations, service occupations, education and related occupations, sales occupations, construction occupations, occupations in transportation activities, scientific and technical occupations, mechanics and repairmen, health occupations, social scientists, social service occupations, and art, design, and communications related occupations. The descriptions of occupational training in chapter 4 are classified by the same 13 clusters as arc the training data in appendix C. Within each of the 13 major occupational clusters, data are subclassified into related fields; nursing, clerical workers, counseling occupations, etc. When applicable, table B-l includes the program codes for related instructional programs for both vocational and higher education (Vocational Education Codes and Higher Education General Information Survey (HEGIS) Codes). This coding helps to bridge the gap between education and manpower data. In the table, absolute figures are rounded and percentages are shown to one decimal place. Hence, totals and percentages calculated on the basis of unrounded figures do not always correspond exactly with rounded data in the table. Table B-1. Estimated 1972 employment, projected 1985 requirements, and average annual openings, by occupation, 1972-85 Occupation Vocational Estimated Percent Projected H E G IS education em ploym ent requirements change code^ code^ 1972-85 1972 1985 Annual average openings 19 72-8 5 Total E m ploym ent Replacement change needs^ Industrial production and related occupations: Foundry occupations: Patternmakers ................................. 1 7 .2 3 0 9 Molders ............................................. 17.2301 Coremakers ...................................... 17.2301 Machining occupations: A ll-round nmchinists .................... Instrum ent makers (m e c h a n ic a l)................................. Machine tool o p e ra to rs .................. Setup men (machine tools) ......................... To ol and die m a k e rs ....................... Printing o c cup ations............................ Bookbinders and related w o rk e rs ............................ Composing room occupations ................................. Electrotypers and s te re o ty p e rs ................................. Lithographic occupations ................................. Photoengravers................................. Printing pressmen and as sistants.............................. Other industrial production and related occupations: A ssem b lers................................... 19 ,0 0 0 5 6 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,3 0 0 5 7 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,3 0 0 1.5 1.5 1.5 450 1,1 00 475 25 100 25 425 1,0 00 450 17 .230 2 3 2 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 4 .8 1 3 ,1 0 0 6 ,1 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 17 .2 3 0 2 1 7 .2 3 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 5 4 6 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 .0 2 2 .9 200 2 5 ,6 0 0 100 9 ,6 0 0 100 1 6 ,0 0 0 17 .2 3 0 2 1 7 .230 7 4 3 ,0 0 0 1 7 2 ,0 0 0 5 9 ,0 0 0 1 8 3 ,0 0 0 37 .2 6 .4 2 ,2 0 0 4 ,2 0 0 1,200 800 1,0 0 0 3 ,4 0 0 1 7 .1 9 0 6 3 2 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 17.3 550 450 100 17.1901 17 0 ,0 0 0 16 6 ,0 0 0 -2 .3 4 ,3 0 0 -3 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 1 7 .1 9 0 3 7 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 -1 4 .8 100 -1 0 0 200 17 .1 9 0 2 17 .1 9 0 4 8 1 ,0 0 0 16 ,000 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,000 4 8 .4 -9 .2 5 ,1 0 0 20 0 3 ,0 0 0 -1 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 300 1 7 .1 9 0 2 142,00 0 1 8 3 ,0 0 0 2 8 .6 6 ,1 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 2 ,9 0 0 1 ,0 1 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 7.2 4 0 ,5 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 17 .1 9 0 0 5 0 09 See footnotes at end of table. 79 Occupation O th er industrial production and related occupations: — Continued A utom obile painters ...................................... Blacksmiths ................................... Boilerm aking o c c u p a tio n s .............................. Electroplaters ................................. Forem en ........................................... Forge shop o c c u p a tio n s .............................. Furniture u p h o ls te re rs .............................. In s p e c to rs ........................................ M illw rights ...................................... M otion picture p ro je c tio n is ts ............................ Photographic laborato ry workers ............................ Power truck o p e r a to r s ................................... Production painters .................... Stationary engineers ................................... Stationary firem en ....................... Waste w ater treatm ent plant operators ....................... Welders and flam ecutters ............................ O ffice Occupations: Clerical occupations.............................. Bookkeeping workers .................. Cashiers ........................................... File c le r k s ........................................ Hotel fro n t office c le r k s ........................................... O ffice machine o p e r a to r s ................................... Postal clerks ................................... Receptionists ................................. Shipping and receiving clerks ....................... Statistical clerks ............................ Stock clerks ................................... Stenographers and secretaries ................................. Typists ............................................. Com puter and related o c c u p a tio n s .. Percent Vocational Estimated Projected H E G IS education sm ploym ent requirements change code^ code^ 19 72 1985 1972-85 Total E m p loym en t Replacement change needs'^ 17.0301 1 7 .2 3 9 9 2 5 ,0 0 0 10 ,000 2 9 ,0 0 0 9 ,4 0 0 16.1 -6 .4 800 350 30 0 -5 0 500 400 1 7 .1 0 9 9 1 7 .2 3 9 9 17 .1 7 0 0 3 3 ,0 0 0 17 ,000 1 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 ,0 0 0 18.6 2 4 .0 21 .6 1,3 0 0 900 5 8 ,0 0 0 500 300 2 4 ,0 0 0 800 600 3 4 ,0 0 0 17 .239 9 6 3 ,0 0 0 6 6 ,0 0 0 4.1 1,3 0 0 200 1,1 00 1 7 .3 5 0 0 17 .2 4 0 0 17 .109 9 3 5 ,0 0 0 7 2 5 ,0 0 0 8 3 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 9 4 0 ,0 0 0 1 0 3 ,0 0 0 12.6 '2 9 .7 2 4 .3 1,4 00 4 4 ,7 0 0 3 ,3 0 0 300 16 ,6 0 0 1,600 1,1 0 0 2 8 ,1 0 0 1,7 00 1 6 ,000 19 ,0 0 0 15.3 1,0 00 200 800 3 8 ,0 0 0 5 2 ,0 0 0 3 6 .4 2 ,7 0 0 1,000 1,7 00 1 7 .1 0 0 3 0 2 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 3 7 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 7 ,0 0 0 22.2 9 .4 9 ,1 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 5 ,1 0 0 1,300 4 ,0 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 1 7 .3 2 0 0 17 .3 2 0 0 17 8 ,0 0 0 9 3 ,0 0 0 1 7 8 ,0 0 0 8 8 ,0 0 0 0.0 -5 .0 4 ,6 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 0 -4 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 16 .990 2 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 ,0 0 0 5 4 .0 1,2 00 800 400 17 .2 3 0 6 5 5 4 ,0 0 0 7 7 0 ,0 0 0 39.0 2 7 ,2 0 0 1 6 ,7 0 0 1 0 ,5 0 0 1 ,5 8 4 ,0 0 0 9 9 8 ,0 0 0 2 7 2 ,0 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 6 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 8 ,0 0 0 19.5 36.1 16.7 1 1 8 ,0 0 0 9 6 ,0 0 0 2 2 ,8 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 9 4 ,0 0 0 1 4 .0 1 0 3 1 4 .030 2 1 4 .1 1 0 0 4 9 ,0 0 0 6 9 ,0 0 0 41 .2 4 ,8 0 0 1,6 00 3 ,2 0 0 19 5 ,0 0 0 2 8 6 ,0 0 0 4 3 6 ,0 0 0 2 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 2 ,0 0 0 6 5 0 ,0 0 0 17.9 8.8 5 0 .0 13 ,7 0 0 10 ,5 0 0 5 5 ,1 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 1,9 00 1 6 ,800 11 ,0 0 0 8 ,6 0 0 3 8 ,3 0 0 4 5 1 ,0 0 0 2 9 9 ,0 0 0 5 1 1 ,0 0 0 4 9 0 ,0 0 0 3 7 5 ,0 0 0 7 5 0 ,0 0 0 9.1 25 .8 46 .2 1 3 ,8 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,8 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,2 0 0 1 0 ,6 0 0 1 7 ,0 0 0 16 ,6 0 0 3 ,0 7 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 2 1 ,0 0 0 4 ,9 5 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 0 .8 38 .7 4 1 1 ,0 0 0 1 1 5 ,7 0 0 1 4 4 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,4 0 0 2 8 6 ,0 0 0 8 5 ,3 0 0 4 8 0 ,0 0 0 5 3 1 ,0 0 0 10.6 2 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 1 8 6 ,0 0 0 2 9 0 ,0 0 0 55.9 1 3 ,000 8 ,0 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 1 0 3 ,0 0 0 1 8 5 ,0 0 0 79 .6 8 ,3 0 0 6 ,3 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 4 7 3 ,0 0 0 219^000 6 6 5 ,0 0 0 3 0 8 ,0 0 0 4 0 .4 4 0 .4 4 3 ,2 0 0 13 ,600 1 4 ,700 6 ,8 0 0 2 8 ,5 0 0 6 ,8 0 0 17 .0 9 0 0 5007 1 4 .0 0 14 .010 2 1 4 .0 1 0 4 1 4 .0 4 0 3 14 .040 6 5005 14 .0 5 0 3 14 .0 3 0 3 1 4 .0 5 0 4 1 4 .0 7 0 0 1 4 .0 9 0 0 1 4 .0 2 0 0 Electronic computer operating personnel ............... 14.0201 .02 02 .020201 P ro g ram m ers................................... 14 .0 2 0 3 Systems analysts ........................... 1 4 .0 2 0 4 Banking occupations: Bank clerks ..................................... Bank officers ................................ 04 0400 04 0400 Annual average openings 1972-85 50 05 5 0 05 5102; 5104; 5105 0704; 5103 0705 0 5 04; 50 03 6 8 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,3 0 0 Vocational Estimated Projected Percent H E G IS education em ploym ent requirements change code^ code1 1972 1985 19 72-8 5 Occupation Banking occupations: — Continued T e lle r s ........................................... Insurance o c c u p a tio n s ......................... Actuaries ................................... Claim adjusters ......................... Claim examiners ....................... U n d e r w rite r s .............................. Lawyers ...................................... Personnel w o r k e r s .................... Public relations workers ................................. Service occupations: Cleaning and related occupations: Building custodians . . . . . . . E x te rm in a to r s ............................ Hotel housekeepers and as sistan ts....................... Food service occupations .................. Bartenders ................................. Cooks and chefs .................... .. M e a tc u tte rs ................................. Waiters and w a itre s s e s ............. Personal service occupations: Barbers ........................................ Bellmen and bell c a p ta in s ................................. Cosmetologists ......................... Funeral directors and embalmers ............................ Private household w o r k e r s .................. Protective and related service occupations: Firefighters ................................. Guards and watchm en .......... Police officers ............................ State police officers ............... Health and regulatory inspectors (Governm ent) . Construction inspectors (Governm ent) .................... O ther service occupations: Mail carriers .............................. Telephone o p e r a to rs ............... Total E m p loym en t Replacement needs^ change 2 4 8 ,0 0 0 3 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 .4 2 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,7 0 0 17 ,3 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 1 2 8 ,0 0 0 3 1 ,0 0 0 6 1 ,0 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 1 5 2 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,5 0 0 7 1 ,0 0 0 6 2 .0 19.0 -7 .8 16.6 500 5 ,8 0 0 600 2 ,5 0 0 300 1,9 0 0 -2 0 0 800 200 3 ,9 0 0 800 1,7 00 0502; 5 0 02 21 02 5003 7 1 4 ,0 0 0 9 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 1 .0 4 1 ,9 0 0 1 7 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,9 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 1 1 4 ,0 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 1 6 0 ,0 0 0 5 4 .0 4 0 .9 150 7 ,5 0 0 100 3 ,6 0 0 50 3 ,9 0 0 0508; 5010 1401 0515 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 1 6 0 ,0 0 0 41 .2 7 ,5 0 0 3 ,6 0 0 3 ,9 0 0 3 0 3 ,0 0 0 2 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 8 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 .8 69 .2 16 ,500 2 0 ,8 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,200 1 0 ,5 0 0 8 ,6 0 0 0 4 .0 1 0 0 8 7 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 .6 5 ,0 0 0 1,9 00 3 ,1 0 0 17 .1 1 0 0 1 ,8 8 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,4 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,0 0 0 29 .0 38.1 1 3 6 ,0 0 0 1,3 0 0 4 2 ,0 0 0 800 9 4 ,0 0 0 500 0 9 .0 2 0 5 1 7 ,2 9 0 0 17 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 4 1 .2 1,7 00 600 1,1 0 0 17 .390 2 1 7 .2 9 0 3 1 7 .2 9 0 4 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 8 6 6 ,0 0 0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 2 4 ,0 0 0 2 3 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 0 0 ,0 0 0 16.8 14.2 -1 .4 16.6 8 ,8 0 0 5 2 ,0 0 0 4 ,4 0 0 8 6 ,0 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 4 ,0 0 0 6 ,2 0 0 4 2 ,0 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 7 2 ,0 0 0 17.2601 1 5 7 ,0 0 0 1 4 7 ,0 0 0 -6 .4 5 ,0 0 0 -8 0 0 5 ,8 0 0 0 4 .1 1 0 0 1 7 .2 6 0 2 1 6 ,000 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,000 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 13.0 35 .0 600 5 1 ,0 0 0 200 1 3 ,0 0 0 400 3 8 ,0 0 0 0 7 .0 9 0 9 4 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,4 3 7 ,0 0 0 4 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 0 .0 -3 0 .8 1,3 0 0 5 1 ,0 0 0 0 - 3 5 ,0 0 0 1,3 00 8 6 ,0 0 0 17.2801 1 7 .2 8 0 2 1 7 .2 8 0 2 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 3 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 1 5 ,0 0 0 3 2 0 ,0 0 0 4 9 0 ,0 0 0 5 7 .2 2 9 .3 3 2 .3 11 ,600 19 ,3 0 0 14 ,3 0 0 8 ,8 0 0 5 ,6 0 0 9 ,3 0 0 2 ,8 0 0 13 ,7 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 4 4 ,0 0 0 6 6 ,0 0 0 5 0 .8 2 ,3 0 0 1,7 00 600 2 5 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 4 8 .4 1,7 0 0 900 800 17 .289 9 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 .3 1,5 00 500 1,0 0 0 1 4 .0 4 0 3 14.0401 2 6 3 ,0 0 0 2 3 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 3 2 ,0 0 0 14.1 1.5 7 ,9 0 0 16 ,000 2 ,9 0 0 200 5 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,8 0 0 14 .0 1 0 5 0 4 .1 3 0 0 0512 17 03 0 4 .1 3 0 0 0 4 .1 3 0 0 0 4 .1 3 0 0 A dm inistrative and related occupations: Accountants .............................. C ity managers ............................ C redit officials ......................... H otel managers and assistants .............................. Annual average openings 19 72-8 5 0 4 .1 1 0 0 1 7 .2 8 0 2 17 .289 9 2 1 05; 2209; 5505 2105; 2209; 5505 5408 Percent Estimated Vocational Projected H E G IS n em ploym ent requirements change education code^ code^ 1972-8 5 1985 1972 Occupation Annual average openings 1972-85 Total E m ploym ent Replacement change needs'* Education and related occupations: Teaching occupations: Kindergarten and elem entary school te a c h e rs ................................. Secondary school te a c h e rs ............... College and university teachers ............................................. 0802 0803; 0804 0805 Library occupations: L ib ra ria n s ................................................ Library technical assistants ............. 1601 5504 Sales o c c u p a tio n s ........................................... 0 4 .0 0 0 0 A utom obile parts countermen 0 4 .0 3 0 0 A utom obile sa lesm en .............................. 0 4 .0 3 0 0 A u to m o b ile service ad viso rs.................. 0 4 .0 3 0 0 Gasoiline service station attendants ............................................. 0 4 .1 6 0 0 Insurance agents and b r o k e r s ............... 0 4 .1 3 0 0 Manufacturers' salesworkers.................. 0 4 .1 2 0 0 Real Estate salesworkers and brokers ........................................... 0 4 .1 7 0 0 Retail trade salesworkers ....................... 0 4 .0 8 0 0 Routem en .................................................. Securities salesw orkers............................ 0 4 .0 4 0 0 Wholesale trade saleworkers ............... Construction occupations: Asbestos and insulation workers .................................................. B ric k la y e rs .................................................. Carpenters .................................................. Cem ent masons ................................... . . Construction la b o re rs .............................. Electricians (c o n s tru c tio n ).................... Elevator co n s tru c to rs .............................. Floor covering in s ta lle rs ......................... Glaziers ....................................................... L a th e rs .......................................................... Operating engineers ................................. Painters and paperhangers .................... Plasterers .................................................... Plumbers and p ip e fitte rs ......................... Roofers ....................................................... Sheet-metal w o rk e rs ................................. S tructural, ornamental, and reinforcing ironworkers, riggers, and machine m o v e rs ............. 0 4 .0 8 0 0 1 7 .1 0 9 9 17 .100 4 17.1001 17 .1 0 9 9 17 .109 9 1 7 .1 0 0 2 1 7 .1 0 9 9 17 .109 9 17 .100 9 17 .1 0 0 6 1 7 .1 0 0 3 0 2 17 .1 0 0 5 17 .1 0 0 6 17 .100 7 1 7 .1 0 1 0 17 .230 5 1 7 .109 9 0509; 5004 0509; 0509; 5004 0512; 5004 0509; 5004 0511; 5004 0509; 5004 0400; 5004 0509; 5004 1 ,2 7 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 2 3 ,0 0 0 1 ,5 9 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 4 4 ,0 0 0 2 4 .9 2.1 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 1,6 00 8 1 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,4 0 0 5 2 5 ,0 0 0 6 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 .4 2 4 ,0 0 0 8 ,2 0 0 1 5 ,8 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 6 2 ,0 0 0 3 5 .0 1 1 ,2 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 7 2 ,0 0 0 9 5 ,0 0 0 3 2 .0 3 ,4 0 0 1,8 00 1 ,6 0 0 1 3 1 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 0 1 4 8 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 13.0 32 .6 4 ,6 0 0 900 1,3 00 500 3 ,3 0 0 400 4 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 8 5 ,0 0 0 5 4 5 ,0 0 0 4 5 0 ,0 0 0 25 .2 16.7 1 5 ,4 0 0 16 ,0 0 0 8 ,4 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,0 0 0 4 2 3 ,0 0 0 5 4 5 ,0 0 0 28 .9 2 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 11 ,0 0 0 3 4 9 ,0 0 0 4 3 4 ,0 0 0 2 5 .4 2 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,0 0 0 2 ,7 7 8 ,0 0 0 3 ,3 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 .0 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 2 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 9 0 ,0 0 0 4.7 2 8 .0 3 ,7 0 0 1 1 ,900 799 4 ,8 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 7 ,1 0 0 6 8 8 ,0 0 0 8 6 0 ,0 0 0 28 .0 3 1 ,0 0 0 1 3 ,000 1 8 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 4 5 ,0 0 0 7 5 ,0 0 0 8 7 6 ,0 0 0 2 4 0 ,0 0 0 17 ,0 0 0 7 5 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,000 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 3 5 ,0 0 0 4 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 8 0 ,0 0 0 6 5 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 2 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 ,0 0 0 11 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,0 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 5 7 0 ,0 0 0 4 6 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 8 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 .3 2 5 .0 14.8 4 6 .7 14.2 3 5 .4 47.1 3 3 .3 5 0 .0 3 3 .3 31 .0 9.5 6 .6 25 .0 37 .5 23.1 1,2 0 0 6 ,6 0 0 3 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,1 0 0 2 4 ,5 0 0 11 ,1 0 0 1,0 00 3 ,2 0 0 700 1 ,1 0 0 1 8 ,5 0 0 14 ,7 0 0 900 1 6 ,3 0 0 3 ,4 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 800 3 ,5 0 0 12 ,0 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 600 1,900 500 800 10 ,5 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 200 7 ,7 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 1,200 400 3 ,1 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,4 0 0 1 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,6 0 0 400 1 ,3 0 0 200 300 8 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,6 0 0 700 8 ,6 0 0 1,1 0 0 1 ,1 0 0 9 5 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 6 .3 3 ,4 0 0 1,900 1,5 0 0 19 ,5 0 0 1 2 3 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 .8 5 3 .0 800 7 ,0 0 0 500 5 ,0 0 0 300 2 ,0 0 0 Occupations in transportation activities: A ir transportation occupations ...................................... 1 7 .0 4 0 0 A ir traffic controllers .............................. 1 7 .0 4 0 3 A ircraft m ech an ic s.................... 17.0401 See footnotes at end o f table. Occupation A ir transportation occupations: —C ontinued A irline d isp a tch ers.............................. Flight attendants ....................... Flight engineers ......................... Ground radio operators and te le ty p is ts ................................. Pilots and copilots ................................... T raffic agents and c le rk s ................................. Percent Vocational Estimated Projected H E G IS em ploym ent requirements change education code^ code^ 1985 19 72-8 5 1972 Annual average openings 1972-85 Total E m p loym en t Replacement change needs'^ - 17 .0 4 0 3 0 4 .1 9 0 0 1 7 .0 4 0 3 800 3 9 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 800 7 6 ,0 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 0 .0 9 2 .4 35 .7 20 8 ,0 0 0 300 0 2 ,5 0 0 200 20 5 ,5 0 0 100 5 ,7 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 -1 3 .0 100 -1 0 0 200 5 4 ,0 0 0 7 8 ,0 0 0 4 3 .8 1,0 00 1,500 500 5 9 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 8 8 .7 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 15 ,0 0 0 4 2 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 <—9.8 -1 6 .7 200 100 -1 0 0 -5 0 0 300 600 7 3 ,0 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 -1 2 .5 400 -7 0 0 1,1 0 0 1 0 ,500 8 2 ,6 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,9 0 0 7 8 ,0 0 0 11 ,2 0 0 8 ,7 0 0 9 .9 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 3 3 ,9 9 9 3 3 ,5 0 0 9 ,0 0 0 6 7 ,0 0 0 9 ,5 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 -5 .6 -2 2 .5 -1 2 .6 -4 .8 -3 8 .4 -1 4 .2 -1 4 .9 -2 5 .2 200 2 ,7 0 0 700 1,0 00 -3 0 0 900 -1 0 0 100 -5 0 -1 ,4 0 0 -3 0 0 -1 0 0 -5 0 0 -8 0 0 -2 0 0 -1 5 0 250 4 ,1 0 0 1,0 0 0 1,1 00 200 1 ,7 0 0 100 250 11 ,2 0 0 5 4 ,0 0 0 7 ,5 0 0 4 7 ,0 0 0 -3 3 .2 -1 3 .0 -2 0 0 900 -3 0 0 -3 0 0 100 1,2 00 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,5 0 0 -2 .1 500 0 500 6 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 ,0 0 0 7 1 ,5 0 0 1 ,8 0 0 ,0 0 0 5 .0 17.6 1,6 00 4 6 ,0 0 0 300 2 1 ,0 0 0 1,3 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 5 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 ,0 0 0 9 2 ,0 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,9 9 9 8 5 ,0 0 0 17.6 14.0 -7 .6 16 ,6 0 0 1,6 00 1,6 00 7,7 0 0 400 -5 0 0 8 ,9 0 0 1 ,2 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 0114 2 2 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,0 0 0 2 6 .0 900 500 400 5 4 03 0117 0900 0902 0903 0 9 05 0916 0906 0908 0909 0913 0910 14 ,5 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 0 0 ,0 0 0 6 2 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,000 3 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,000 4 7 ,0 0 0 1 7 7 ,0 0 0 2 3 1 ,0 0 0 1 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 0 9 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,5 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 ,0 0 0 7 5 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,0 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,000 5 9 ,0 0 0 2 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 0 .0 0 0 4 8 .3 12.5 4 1 .5 2 2 .0 29.1 4 0 .6 4 1 .7 2 5 .4 33 .8 44.1 53 .5 33 .5 800 150 5 3 ,0 0 0 1,7 00 500 200 500 1,5 00 8 ,5 0 0 11 ,0 0 0 7 ,4 0 0 8 .9 0 0 500 50 3 4 ,0 0 0 1,0 00 300 100 300 900 4 ,6 0 0 7,8 0 0 5 ,1 0 0 5 .4 0 0 400 10 0 1 8 ,9 0 0 700 200 100 200 600 3 ,9 0 0 3 ,2 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 16.0601 M erchant marine occupations: Merchant marine o f f ic e r s ............. M erchant s e a m e n ............................ Railroad occupations: B ra k e m e n ........................................... Bridge and building workers ........................................ C le r k s .................................................. 14 .0 3 0 3 C on d u cto rs........................................ Locomotive en gineers.................... Locomotive fir e m e n ....................... Shop trades ...................................... Signal departm ent w o rk e rs .......... Station ag ents................................... 1 4 .1 9 0 0 Telegraphers, tele p h on es, and to w e r m e n ...................................... Track workers ................................. Driving occupations: In tercity busdrivers ....................... 0 4 .1 9 0 0 Local transit bu sd rivers...................................... 0 4 .1 9 0 0 Local truck d r iv e rs ......................... Long-distance truck drivers ........................................... Parking a tte n d a n ts ......................... Taxi drivers ...................................... 0 4 .1 9 0 0 Scientific and technical occupations: Conservation occupations: Foresters ................................................ Forestry aides and te c h n ic ia n s ........................................ 01 .0601 Range m a n a g e rs ................................... 0 1 .0 6 0 8 E n g in e e rs ..................................................... Aerospace ................................................ A g ric u ltu re ............................................. B io m e d ic a l............................................. Ceramic .................................................. Chemical ................................................ C i v i l ......................................................... Electrical ............................................... Industrial ................................................ M e c h a n ic a l............................................. Occupation Vocational Percent Estimated Projected H E G IS education em ploym ent requirements change code^ code^ 1972-85 1972 1985 Annual average openings 1972-85 Total E m ploym ent Replacement needs'* change Engineers:—Continued M e ta llu rg ic a l........................................... M ining ..................................................... 0914 0918 10 ,000 4 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 4 1 .7 4 .7 500 100 300 200 100 Environm ental scientists: G eologists................................................ G eo ph ysicists........................................ Meteorologists ...................................... Oceanographers . . . * ......................... 1914 19 16 1 9 13 1191 2 3 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 6 ,3 0 0 37.5 3 8 .3 29 .2 33 .0 1,1 00 600 200 200 70 0 200 100 100 400 400 100 100 Life science occupations: Life sc ien tists........................................ 0400 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 2 3 5 ,0 0 0 29.1 9 ,2 0 0 4 ,1 0 0 5 ,1 0 0 Mathematics occupations: M athematicians ................................... Statisticians ........................................... 1701 1702 7 6 ,0 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 1 0 7 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 4 0 .8 39 .6 4 ,2 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 70 0 1,8 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 Physical scientists: C h em ists.................................................. Food s c ie n tis ts ...................................... P h y s ic is ts ................................................ 1905 0113 19 02 1 3 4 ,0 0 0 7 ,5 0 0 4 9 ,0 0 0 1 8 4 ,0 0 0 ' 9 ,5 0 0 6 1 ,0 0 0 38 .0 29 .7 24.1 6 ,8 0 0 300 1,5 00 3 ,9 0 0 200 900 2 ,9 0 0 100 600 2 3 ,0 0 0 3 2 7 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 4 8 5 ,0 0 0 12.0 4 8 .0 700 1 7 ,9 0 0 200 12 ,1 0 0 500 5 ,7 0 0 7 0 7 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 5 0 ,0 0 0 48 .9 3 9 ,6 0 0 2 6 ,6 0 0 1 3 ,0 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 5 8 ,0 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 8 1 ,0 0 0 24 .0 4 0 .0 200 2 ,7 0 0 100 1,8 00 100 900 17.1501 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 1 1 9 ,0 0 0 11.3 2 ,0 0 0 1,0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 17.1501 17 .1 4 0 2 17.1501 3 0 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 1 0 8 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,6 0 0 5 4 ,0 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 18.6 10.7 11.1 1 ,2 0 0 700 2 ,0 0 0 500 300 900 700 400 1,1 00 1 3 5 ,0 0 0 2 6 5 ,0 0 0 9 6 .3 13 ,1 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 1 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 6 1 ,0 0 0 7 2 7 ,0 0 0 10 ,300 17 5 ,0 0 0 1 8 7 ,0 0 0 8 6 0 ,0 0 0 1 3 ,700 35 .0 16.1 18.4 3 3 .3 6 ,1 0 0 4 ,1 0 0 2 2 ,3 0 0 500 3 ,5 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,2 0 0 300 2 ,6 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 1 2 ,1 0 0 200 6 ,0 0 0 6 ,6 0 0 10.8 200 100 100 6 9 ,0 0 0 9 7 ,0 0 0 4 1 .2 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,1 0 0 900 4 5 ,0 0 0 9 2 ,0 0 0 9 3 ,0 0 0 1 2 5 ,0 0 0 10 7.0 3 6 .8 4 ,1 0 0 4 ,5 0 0 3 ,7 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 400 1 ,9 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 4 6 ,0 0 0 1 1 ,7 0 0 52 .0 4 6 .3 2 ,0 0 0 50 0 1,0 00 300 1 ,0 0 0 200 Technician occupations: Broadcast te c h n ic ia n s ......................... Draftsmen ............................................. 17.13 Engineering and science te c h n ic ia n s ........................................ 16.01 Food processing te c h n ic ia n s ........................................ S u rv e y o rs ............................................... 5300; 5401 ; 5407 5404 Mechanics and repairmen: Telephone craft occupations: Central office craft occupations ...................................... Central office equipm ent in s ta lle rs ............................................. Linemen and cable sp lice rs............... Telephone servicemen ....................... O ther mechanics and repairmen: A ir-conditioning, refrigera tio n , and heating m echanics........................................... 1 7 .010 0; 1 7 .3 0 0 0 Appliance servicem en......................... 17 .0 2 0 0 A utom obile body repairmen .......... 17.0201 A utom obile m ech anics....................... 17 .0 3 0 2 1 7 .2 2 0 Boat m oto r m e c h a n ic s ....................... Bowling-pin-machine m echanics........................................... 17.1401 Business machine s e rv ic e m e n ........................................ 17 .0 6 0 0 C om puter service te c h n ic ia n s ........................................ 17 .0 6 0 0 Diesel mechanics ................................. 1 7 .1 2 0 0 Dispensing opticians and optical m ech an ic s............................ 07 .060 1 Electric sign s e rv ic e m e n .................... 1 7 .1 2 0 0 5105 Vocational Estimated Projected Percent H E G IS education em ploym ent requirements change code^ code^ 1972 1985 1972-85 Occupation O ther mechanics and rep a irm en :-C o n tin u ed Farm equipm ent m e c h a n ic s ............. Industrial machinery re p a irm e n ........................................... Instrum ent re p a irm e n ......................... J e w e le rs .................................................. L o cks m ith s............................................. Maintenance electricians.................... M otorcycle mechanics ....................... Piano and organ s e rv ic e m e n ............. Shoe repairmen ................................... Television and radio service technicians ......................... Truck mechanics and bus mechanics ................................. Vending machine m echanics............ Watch repairmen ................................. 0 3 .0 3 0 0 Total E m ploym ent Replacement needs'* change 4 7 ,0 0 0 5 2 ,0 0 0 10.6 1,4 00 400 1,0 00 17 .3 4 0 2 4 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 18 ,000 9 ,2 0 0 2 6 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,6 0 0 7,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 8 5 0 ,0 0 0 1 4 0 ,0 0 0 19 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,600 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 1 9 ,0 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 9 8 .6 38 .5 4.0 36 .4 2 5 .0 9 7 .9 0 .0 - 1 2 .5 4 4 ,0 0 0 4 ,8 0 0 800 500 9 ,8 0 0 800 320 1,2 00 3 2 ,7 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 100 300 5 ,0 0 0 700 0 -3 0 0 11 ,300 1,8 00 700 200 4 ,8 0 0 100 320 1,5 00 1 7 .1 5 0 3 1 4 4 ,0 0 0 1 7 0,00 0 18.1 4 ,4 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 1 7 .2 1 0 2 13 0 ,0 0 0 2 9 ,0 0 0 1 6 ,000 1 6 5 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,0 0 0 17 ,0 0 0 27 .5 32 .5 4.0 5 ,1 0 0 1,5 00 70 0 2 ,8 0 0 800 100 2 ,3 0 0 700 600 1204 5202 5203 52 0 4 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 11 5 ,0 0 0 17,000 3 2 ,0 0 0 1 4 0,00 0 1 5 5 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 3 ,0 0 0 3 2 .0 35 .0 191.0 34 .8 5 ,3 0 0 13 ,0 0 0 4 ,8 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,6 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 900 2 ,7 0 0 1 0 ,000 2 ,3 0 0 1,1 0 0 1221 1209 16 ,000 1 8 ,700 1 9 ,500 2 3 ,3 0 0 2 0 .9 2 4 .7 1,0 0 0 900 300 400 700 500 3 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 8 5 ,0 0 0 4 7 .2 1 9 ,000 1 2 ,000 7 ,0 0 0 7 ,3 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 8 ,4 0 0 3 7 ,0 0 0 15.0 41.1 400 1,4 00 100 800 300 600 52 1 7 10 ,0 0 0 1 5 ,0 0 0 17 .100 301 17.2101 1 7 .3 1 0 0 Health occupations: Dental occupations: Dentists ......................................... Dental as sistants.......................... 07.0101 Dental hygienists ....................... 0 7 .0 1 0 2 Dental laboratory technicians . 0 7 .0 1 0 3 Medical practitioners: Chiropractors Optom etrists Physicians and physicians Annual average openings 1972-85 .............................. .............................. osteopathic .............................. 1206; 1210 1216 1218 Podiatrists ................................... Veterinarians .............................. Medical technician, technologist, and assistant occupations: E lectrocard iograph technicians ............................ 0 7 .0 9 0 2 Electroencephalograph technicians .................... .. . • 07.0901 Medical laboratory workers . . . 0 7 .0 2 0 0 .02 03 .0299 Medical record technicians and clerks ......................... O ptom etric assistants ............... 0 7 .0 6 0 3 Radiologic technologists 07 .0501 Respiratory therapists ............ 0 7 .0 9 0 3 50 .0 900 400 500 5217 5205 3 ,5 0 0 1 6 5 ,0 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 2 1 0 ,0 0 0 57.1 2 7 .3 400 1 3 ,000 200 3 ,0 0 0 200 10 ,0 0 0 5 2 13 52 12 52 07 5 2 15 4 7 ,0 0 0 11 ,000 5 5 ,0 0 0 17 ,000 1 1 8 ,0 0 0 2 0 ,0 0 0 8 7 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 15 2.0 78.8 5 8 .0 77 .0 1 0 ,500 1,7 00 6 ,5 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 70 0 2 ,5 0 0 1,000 5 ,0 0 0 1,0 00 4 ,0 0 0 1,0 00 Nursing occupations: Registered nurses 52 08 7 4 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,0 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 .0 7 5 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 5 1 ,0 0 0 5209 4 2 5 ,0 0 0 8 3 5 ,0 0 0 9 6 .0 7 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 9 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 6 0 ,0 0 0 51 .0 1 0 0,00 0 3 6 ,0 0 0 6 4 ,0 0 0 1208; 52 10 7 ,5 0 0 15 ,0 0 0 10 0.0 1,1 00 600 500 5210 6 ,0 0 0 15,500* 16 0.9 1,2 00 700 500 ...................... 07.0301 16 .0 3 0 5 0 7 .0 3 0 2 Licensed practical nurses . . . . Nurses aides, orderlies, and attendants .................... 0 7 .0 3 0 3 Therapy and rehabilitation occupations: Occupational therapists .......... Occupational therapy as sistan ts................................ 07.0401 Occupation Percent Projected Estimated Vocational H E G IS education em ploym ent requirements change code2 code1 1985 1972-85 1972 Therapy and rehabilitation occupations:—Continued Physical th e ra p is ts ....................... Physical therapist assistants and a id e s ......................... 1)7.0402 Speech pathologists and audiologists ............................ O ther health occupations: Dietitians ............................................. Hospital ad m in istrato rs.................... Medical record administrators . . . . P harm acists........................................... Sanitarians ........................................... Social service occupations: Counseling occupations ......................... School counselors................................. E m ploym ent counselors.................... Rehabilitation counselors................. College career planning and placement co u n selo rs.................... Clergymen .................................................. Protestant m in is te rs ........................... Rabbis .................................................... Roman Catholic priests .................... E m ploym ent Replacement change needs'^ 18 ,000 3 2 ,0 0 0 7 6 .3 2 ,2 0 0 1,0 00 1,2 0 0 5219 1 0 ,5 0 0 2 5 ,0 0 0 14 1.7 2 ,0 0 0 1,1 00 900 1220 2 7 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,0 0 0 26 .9 2 ,2 0 0 600 1,6 0 0 1306 1211 3 3 ,0 0 0 17 ,000 11 ,6 0 0 1 3 1 ,0 0 0 17 ,000 4 4 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,6 0 0 18 ,4 0 0 1 6 3 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 32 .0 56 .4 59 .0 24 .5 76.8 3 ,1 0 0 1,6 00 1,4 00 7 ,7 0 0 1,6 0 0 800 700 500 2 ,5 0 0 1,0 0 0 2 ,3 0 0 900 900 5 ,2 0 0 600 3 ,6 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 6 6 .4 400 200 200 3 6 ,0 0 0 7,5 0 0 2 4 ,0 0 0 10 ,000 15 ,000 4 6 ,0 0 0 9 ,2 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,2 0 0 2 3 ,0 0 0 29 .9 2 2 .6 2 5 .3 22 .0 53.1 1,5 00 450 1,500 500 1,2 00 700 150 500 200 600 800 300 1,0 00 300 600 4 3 ,0 0 0 8 ,5 0 0 16,000 5 9 ,0 0 0 14 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 36 .9 66 .2 59 .8 2 ,9 0 0 800 1,7 0 0 1,2 00 400 700 1 ,7 0 0 400 1 ,0 0 0 3 ,8 0 0 5 ,0 0 0 32 .5 200 100 100 3 2 5 ,0 0 0 5 ,8 0 0 5 8 ,5 0 0 3 6 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,4 0 0 6 3 ,0 0 0 10.9 11.0 7.9 13 ,0 0 0 300 2 ,2 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 100 400 10 ,3 0 0 200 1 ,8 0 0 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 5 7 ,0 0 0 5 5 ,0 0 0 14 0 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,0 0 0 9 0 ,0 0 0 14.0 55 .5 6 3 .0 9 ,2 0 0 4 ,3 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 1,3 00 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,7 0 0 7 .9 0 0 1,900 2 ,8 0 0 10 0 ,0 0 0 1 8 5 ,0 0 0 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 7 5 ,0 0 0 50.0 4 8 .6 1 0 ,000 1 7 ,500 4 ,0 0 0 7,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,5 0 0 0204 1101 0206 3 7 ,0 0 0 6 0 ,0 0 0 3 3 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 10 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,000 1 2 ,000 7 7 ,0 0 0 12 ,000 6 5 ,0 0 0 7 6 ,0 0 0 3 8 ,0 0 0 4 3 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,000 2 3 ,0 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 0 8 8 ,0 0 0 18 ,5 0 0 76.0 26 .7 16.4 4 4 .7 40 .0 29 .0 76 .0 14.3 54 .2 3 ,3 0 0 3 ,4 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 400 1,0 00 1,1 00 2 ,7 5 0 800 2 ,2 0 0 1,2 00 400 1,0 00 100 400 700 850 500 1,1 00 2 ,2 0 0 1,6 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 300 600 400 1,9 0 0 300 0602 3 9 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 .0 2,6 0 0 900 1 ,7 0 0 0603 2 1 ,0 0 0 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 4 ,5 0 0 2 6 ,0 0 0 2 1 .4 2 9 .9 500 1,100• 300 500 200 600 2202; 2203 2204 2206 2 2 05 2207 2208 E conom ists.................................................. G eographers................................................ H isto rian s.................................................... Political scientists...................................... Sociologists ............................................... Total 52 19 1202 1211 0922 Social scientists: A n th ro p o lo g is ts ........................................ Annual average openings 1972-85 0826 2301 Other social service occupations: Home econom ists............................ Psychologists ................................... Recreation workers ....................... 1301 2001 2103; 5506 5506 2104 Social service a id e s ......................... Social w o r k e r s ................................. A rt, design, and communicationsrelated occupations: Design occupations: A rc h ite c ts .......................................... Commercial a r tis ts ......................... Displaymen ..................................... Floral designers .............................. Industrial designers......................... Interior desig ners........................... Landscape architects .................... Photographers ................................ Urban p lan n ers................................ Communications related occupations: Newspaper repo rters...................... Radio and television announcers.................................. Technical writers ......................... 0202 1 7 .0 7 0 0 17 .0 7 0 2 0 4 .0 5 0 0 1 7 .0 7 0 3 17.0701 0203 ^Vocational education codes are from Vocational Education and Occupations (U.S. Departm ent of Health, Education and Welfare, and U.S. D epartm ent of Labor, 1969). 9 H E G IS codes are from the Higher Education General Inform ation Survey. See A Taxonom y o f Instructional Programs in H igher Education (U.S. D epartm ent of Health, Education and Welfare, 1970). q Replacement needs include openings arising from deaths, retirements, and other separations from the labor force. Does not include transfers to other occupations. N O TE: Percentages were calculated from unrounded numbers and therefore may not agree w ith rounded numbers on em ploym ent and projected requirements shown in the table. Appendix C. Detailed Training Statistics This appendix presents tabulations of all available statistics on the numbers of persons completing training for occupations for which appendix B presents projections. Table C-l presents statistics for occupations that require fewer than 4 years of college; tables C-2 and C-3 present data for occupations for which a college degree or graduate degree is required. These data are also presented in chapter 4 along with information on how workers are trained for specific occupations and projections of occupational requirements. Tables C-4 and C-5 present limited trend data for junior college graduates and apprenticeship completions. Table C-6 presents Armed Forces manpower data by occupational specialty. Data in table C-l are not strictly comparable because different programs cover differing time periods (fiscal years, calendar years, and academic years) and because the data represent program enrollments in some cases and completions in others. Data on enrollments were used as a proxy for completions even though not all enrollees in a specific program complete their training. Table C-l emphasizes the fragmentary and inconsistent nature of the data on occupational training and the need for improvement. Footnotes are used extensively to indicate data limitations. Table C-1. Known training in occupations which generally require less than a college degree for which projections of manpower requirements have been prepared M D T A training Vocational Occupation education code Junior H E G IS college code graduates 1970-71 F Y 1973 On-thejob enroll ments In stitu tional comple tions Job V ocational education Corps completions, F Y 1972 completions, Post FY Secondary secondary 1972 A ppren ticeship completions 1972 Industrial production and related occupations: Foundry occupations: Patternmakers ......................... Molders ...................................... Coremakers .............................. Machining occupations: A ll-round m achinists............... Instrum ent m a k e r s ................. Machine tool o p e ra to rs .......... Setup men (machine tools) . . T o o la n d die m a k e r s ............... 1 Printing occupations1 .................. Bookbinders and related w o rk e rs ................................... Composing room occupations Electrotypers and stereotypers ......................... Lithographic occupations . . . P hotoengravers......................... Printing pressmen and assistants................................. O ther industrial production and related occupations: A s se m b lers................................. A utom obile p a in te rs ............... Blacksmiths .............................. Boilerm aking occupations . . . E le c tro p la te rs ............................ F o re m e n ...................................... Forge shop occupations . . . . Furniture upholsterers .......... 275 1 7 .2 3 0 9 17.2301 17.2301 1 1 7 .230 2 17 .230 2 17 .230 3 1 7 .2 3 0 2 17 .230 7 1 7 .1 9 0 0 1 7 .1 9 0 6 17.1901 215 20 840 400 94 5009 17.0301 17 .2 3 9 9 1 7 .1 0 9 9 17 .239 9 1 7 .1 7 0 0 1 7 .239 9 1 7 .3 5 0 0 1,833 143 183 3 ,6 9 5 137 3 ,8 2 5 51 2 1 0 ,9 6 0 2 ,3 5 6 27 54 30 518 9 14 204 396 1 158 30 986 635 58 15 2 ,7 0 6 231 844 34 1 7 .1 9 0 3 17 .1 9 0 2 1 7 .1 9 0 4 1 7 .1 9 0 2 78 504 144 142 434 1,1 76 2 2,481 2 256 M D T A training Occupation Junior Vocational college H E G IS education code graduates code 1970-71 O th er industrial production and related occupations: — Continued M illw r ig h t s ................................. 17 .1 0 9 9 M o tio n picture projectionist *• Photographic laboratory workers3 ................................ Power truck operators .......... Production painters ............... S tationary en g in eers............... S tationary f ir e m e n .................. Waste water treatm ent plant operators .............................. Welders and flamecutters . . . 1 7 .0 9 0 0 1 7 .1 0 0 3 0 2 F Y 1973 On-thejob enroll ments 58 5007 In stitu tional comple tions Job Vocational education Corps completions, F Y 1972 com ple tions, Post FY Secondary secondary 1972 1,0 8 0 8 14 57 7 1,3 70 1,2 1 6 70 55 19 5 22 1 7 .3 2 0 0 1 7 .3 2 0 0 1 6 .9 9 0 2 1 7 .2 3 0 6 234 509 349 37 6 ,4 4 2 1,9 1 6 160 37 37 8 15 63 97 820 24 113 277 109 565 O ffice occupations: Clerical o c c u p a tio n s .................... 14 .00 Bookkeeping w o r k e r s ............. 1 4 .0 1 0 2 Cashiers ...................................... 14 .0 1 0 3 File c le rk s ................................... 14 .0 3 0 2 Hotel fro n t office clerks . . . . 1 4 ,1 1 0 0 O ffice machine operators . . . 14 ,0 1 0 4 Postal c le r k s .............................. 1 4 .0 4 0 3 Receptionists ............................ 1 4 .0 4 0 6 Shipping and receiving clerks ...................................... 14 .0 5 0 3 Statistical c le r k s ....................... 14 .0 3 0 3 Stock clerks .............................. 1 4 .0 5 0 4 Stenographers and secretaries.............................. 1 4 .0 7 0 0 T y p is t s ........................................ 1 4 .0 9 0 0 Com puter and related occupations .............................. 1 4 .0 2 0 0 Electronic com puter operating personnel .......... 1 4 .0 2 0 1 , .0 2 0 2 , .020201 P rogram m ers.............................. 1 4 .0 2 0 3 Banking occup ations.................... 5005 A dm inistrative and related occupations: A c c o u n ta n ts .............................. Hotel managers and assistants................................ 0 4 .1 1 0 0 Purchasing a g e n ts .................... 0 4 .9 9 0 0 4 8 8 ,9 1 6 10 7 ,3 6 8 1 0 5 ,0 9 8 2 4 .3 2 8 8 ,8 9 9 2 3 ,4 4 4 1 3 ,2 7 4 364 132 23 5005 5005 5 1 6 ,5 3 4 52 2 ,0 7 6 210 30 5 151 1,7 20 1,252 146 1,258 5102, 5104, 5105 0704, 5103 s 6 ,1 6 5 158 2 ,1 4 9 3 0504, 5003 27 2 5 Bank c le rk s ................................ 0 4 .0 4 0 0 T e lle rs ........................................... 14 .010 5 Insurance occupations ............... 0 4 .1 3 0 0 Claim a d ju s te rs ......................... 0 4 .1 3 0 0 Claim e x a m in e rs ....................... 0 4 .1 3 0 0 4 4 0 ,2 5 7 37 19 13 1 0512 0502, 5002 5,301 0508, 5010 7916 1 2 A ppren ticeship completions 1972 15 M D T A training Vocational Occupation education code Junior H E G IS code college graduates 1970-71 F Y 1973 On-thejob enroll ments Institu tional com ple tions Job Vocational education Corps completions, F Y 1972 completions, Post FY Secondary 1972 secondary A pp ren ticeship com ple tions 1972 Service occupations: Cleaning and related occupations: Building custodians.................. 1 7 .1 1 0 0 E x te rm in a to rs ............................ Hotel housekeepers and assistants................................. 0 9 .0 2 0 5 Food service o c c u p a tio n s .......... Bartenders ................................. Cooks and c h e f s ....................... M e a tc u tte rs ................................. Waiters and waitresses............. Personal service occupations: B a rb e rs ........................................ Bellmen and bell captains . . . C o s m eto lo g is ts......................... Funeral directors and embalmers ............................ 208 7 500 1 1 7 .2 9 0 0 522 1,8 19 211 7 ,4 8 0 1,899 1,6 04 67 29 2 ,1 2 6 151 106 7 304 581 4 26 50 50 277 8,631 4 ,3 1 3 21 17 6 55 1,032 788 7,4 7 8 6 ,8 7 3 788 7,4 78 145 600 557 600 55 7 17.2601 0 4 .1 1 0 0 17 .260 2 8 229 997 0 7 .0 9 0 9 Protective and related service occupations: F ire fig h te rs ................................. 17.2801 Guards and watchm en .......... 17 .280 2 Police officers9 ......................... 17 .280 2 State police o f f ic e r s ............... 17 .280 2 Health and regulatory inspectors (government) . . 17 .2 8 9 9 Construction inspectors (g o v e rn m e n t)....................... 17 .2 8 9 9 24 2105, 2209, 5505 2105, 2209, 5505 5408 202 Other service occupations: Mail carriers .............................. 1 4 .0 4 0 3 Telephone o p e ra to rs ............... 14.0401 Education and related occupations: Library occupations: Library technical as sistants.............................. 1,951 8 101 7 8 1 7 .2 9 0 2 17 .2 9 0 3 17 .290 4 Private household service occupations: Private household workers . . Sales occupations ................................. A u to parts c o u n te rm e n .......... A utom obile s a le s m e n ............. A utom obile service advisors................................... Gasoline service station a tte n d a n ts .............................. Insurance agents and b r o k e r s ................................... Manufacturers' salesworkers . 1,0 89 1 7 5504 5 471 0 4 .0 0 0 0 101 1 0 1 1 4 ,0 4 0 1° 2 6 ,0 7 0 9 0 4 .0 3 0 0 5004 9 ,2 3 7 3 ,2 0 7 296 0 4 .0 3 0 0 5004 9 ,2 3 7 3 ,2 0 7 296 364 132 828 1,031 4 0 4 .1 6 0 0 0 4 .1 3 0 0 0 4 .1 2 0 0 5004 0509, 5004 9 ,2 3 7 145 M D T A training V ocational Occupation education code Junior H E G IS code college graduates 1970-71 F Y 1973 O n-thejob enroll ments Institu tional comple tions Job V ocational education Corps completions, F Y 1972 com ple tions, Post FY Secondary secondary 1972 A ppren ticeship comple tions 1972 Sales occupations:—C ontinued Real estate salesworkers and b ro k e rs ............................0 4 .1 7 0 0 Retail trade salesworkers . . . 0 4 .0 8 0 0 R o u te m e n ................................. Wholesale trade salesworkers Construction occupations: Asbestos and insulation w o rk e rs ................................... B ric k la y e rs ................................. Carpenters ................................. Cem ent masons12 .................... C onstruction la b o re rs ............. Electricians (construction)1 3 . Elevator c o n s tru c to rs ............. Floor covering installers G la z ie rs ........................................ L a th e rs ........................................ Operating engineers . . . . . . . Painters and paperhangers . . . Plasterers ................................... Plumbers and p ip efitters14. . . R o o fe rs ........................................ Sheet-metal w o r k e r s ............... S tructural, ornam ental, and reinforcing-ironworkers, riggers, and machine movers .............................. 0 4 .0 8 0 0 1 7 .1 0 9 9 1 7 .1 0 0 4 17.1001 17 .1 0 9 9 1 7 .1 0 9 9 17 .100 2 1 7 .1 0 9 9 17 .1 0 9 9 17 .1 0 0 9 1 7 .1 0 0 6 1 7 .1 0 0 3 0 2 17 .100 5 1 7 .1 0 0 6 17 .1 0 0 7 1 7 .1 0 1 0 1 7 .2 3 0 5 1 7 .1 0 9 9 5004 0509, 5014 9 ,2 3 7 5004 9 ,2 3 7 7 33 217 1,5 32 260 137 446 33 223 404 30 11 713 4 ,2 6 5 43 ,271 6 ,4 6 3 175 771 2 ,2 6 6 432 1 3 ,6 0 8 2 ,3 6 4 1,951 1,7 50 21 523 8 2 388 238 17 70 112 1 ,1 4 6 658 75 165 5 15 113 211 227 209 12 282 1,998 5 ,0 5 4 825 1,3 39 464 5,991 256 335 276 1,0 35 983 24 5 5 ,6 6 3 383 2 ,7 6 8 2 ,0 9 8 Occupations in transportation: A ir transportation occupations .............................. A ir tra ffic c o n tr o lle r s ............. A ircraft m e c h a n ic s .................. A irline d is p a tc h e rs .................. Flight attendants .................... Flight engineers ....................... Ground radio operators and teletypists .................... Pilots and copilots .................. T ra ffic agents and clerks 1 7 .0 4 0 0 1 7 .0 4 0 3 17.0401 1 7 .0 4 0 3 0 4 .1 9 0 0 1 7 .0 4 0 3 3 ,8 0 0 16.0601 76 M erchant m arine occupations: Merchant m arine officers . . . M erchant seamen .................... Railroad occupations: B ra k e m e n ................................. Bridge and building workers . C le r k s ........................................... 1 4 .0 3 0 3 C o n d u c to rs ................................. Locom otive en gin eers............. Locom otive f ir e m e n ............... Shop tra d e s ................................. Signal departm ent workers . . Station a g e n ts ............................1 4 .1 9 0 0 Telegraphers, telephoners, and to w e rm e n ....................... Track w o rk e rs ............................ 2 ,7 6 7 65 16 836 M D T A training Vocational Occupation education code Junior H E G IS college code graduates 1970-71 Driving occupations: In tercity busdrivers.................. 0 4 .1 9 0 0 Local transit busdrivers.......... 0 4 .1 9 0 0 Local truck d r iv e r s .................. Long-distance truck d riv e rs ..................................... Parking attendants ................. Taxi d riv e rs ................................. 0 4 .1 9 0 0 FY 1973 On-thejob enroll ments In stitu tional comple tions 64 11 30 42 290 Job Corps com ple tions, FY 1972 Vocational education completions, F Y 1972 Secondary Post secondary A ppren ticeship com ple tions 1972 1514 S cientific and technical occupations: Conservation occupations: Forestry aides and te c h n ic ia n s ............., . 01.0601 Technician occupations: Broadcast technicians . j D ra fts m e n ......................... 17 .13 Engineering and science te c h n ic ia n s .................. 16.01 Food processing te c h n ic ia n s ............................ S u rv e y o rs ................................... 5403 5 3 0 0 , 163 8 ,4 2 0 5401, 5406, 5407 5404 5309 28 77 23 146 72 5 18 1,087 17 ,3 3 4 6 ,0 0 6 453 174 0 0 693 1,637 Mechanics and repairmen: Telephone craft occupations: Telephone craft workers Central office craft occupations ......................... Central office equipm ent in s ta lle rs ................................ Linemen and cable s p lic e rs ................................... Telephone servicem en............. Other mechanics and repairmen: Air-conditioning, refrigeration, and heating mechanics . . . Appliance s e rvicem en ............. Autom obile body repairmen .............................. Autom obile m ech an ic s.......... Boat m otor mechanics .......... Bowling-pin-machine m echanics.............................. Business machine servicemen18 ....................... Computer service te c h n ic ia n s ........................... Diesel m echanics...................... Dispensing opticians and optical m ech an ics............... Electric sign servicemen ........................... Farm equipment m echanics.............................. 17 .140 2 42 17.1501 17.1501 1 7 .140 2 17.1501 1 7 .0 1 0 0 , 17 .3 0 0 0 1 7 .0 2 0 0 17.0301 17 .0 3 0 2 17 .2 2 0 0 11 14 1,187 255 230 21 6 4 ,4 7 5 1,9 73 3,3 8 5 1,078 63 140 1 998 3,5 0 9 43 60 4 2,171 9 ,0 3 7 4 4 ,1 3 5 2,851 8 ,5 9 7 11 149 98 529 462 6 176 45 948 1,875 1 126 105 17.1401 1 7 .0 6 0 0 1 7 .0 6 0 0 17 .120 0 5105 431 07 .0601 17 .100 2 0 1 .0 3 0 0 308 1,2 69 M D T A training Vocational H E G IS education code code Occupation O ther mechanics and repairmen: — Continued Industrial machinery r e p a irm e n .............................. Instrum ent re p a irm e n ............. Jewelers and watch r e p a irm e n .............................. L o c k s m ith s ................................. Maintenance electricians M otorcycle mechanics .......... Piano and organ servicemen ............................ Shoe re p a irm e n ......................... Television and radio service technicians ............. Truck and bus mechanics . . . Vending machine m ech anics.............................. Junior college graduates 1970-71 F Y 1973 On-thejob enroll ments 94 17.100301 17.2101 Institu tional comple tions 577 Job Corps completions, FY 1972 V ocational education onm n lotinnc CV 1070 9 Secondary Post secondary A ppren ticeship completions 1972 1,8 46 228 5 17 .2 1 0 2 (,#) ( ,9 ) 1,691 1 7 .3 1 0 0 17 .340 2 5 1 7 .1 5 0 3 16 490 14 6 12 Health occupations: Dental occupations: Dental assistants....................... 07.010 1 Dental hygienists .................... 0 7 .0 1 0 2 Dental laboratory te c h n ic ia n s ............................ 0 7 .0 1 0 3 Medical technician, technolo gist, and assistant occupations: Electrocardiograph te c h n ic ia n s ............................ 0 7 .0 9 0 2 Electroencephalograph te c h n ic ia n s ............................ 07 .090 1 Medical laboratory w o rk e rs ................................... 0 7 .0 2 0 0 , .0 2 0 3 , .0 2 9 9 Medical record te c h n ic ia n s ............................ O ptom etric as sistan ts............. 0 7 .0 6 0 3 Radiologic technologists 07 .050 1 Respiratory th erap is ts............. 0 7 .0 9 0 3 Nursing occupations: Registered nurses21 ............... 07.030 1 16 .0 3 0 5 Licensed practical n u rs e s ...................................... 0 7 .0 3 0 2 Nurses aides, orderlies, and attendants .................... 0 7 .0 3 0 3 Therapy and rehabilitation occupations: Occupational therapists Occupational therapy assistants................................. 07 .040 1 Physical therapist assistants and a id e s ............. 0 7 .0 4 0 2 Medical record ad m in istrato rs....................... 5202 5302 2,191 2 ,5 0 6 5204 264 5217 2 °2 2 5217 22 52 05 1,3 35 22 5213 5212 5207 5 2 15 374 81 1,139 570 343 5208 1 4 ,408 237 5 2 09 7,7 0 8 12 08, 5210 2 ,3 2 4 43 3 ,3 4 3 1,602 120 540 17 1 ,9 7 3 1,0 78 6 2 86 221 1 ,1 5 4 978 73 14 8 5 505 66 4 ,3 8 8 2 4 ,9 9 5 342 1,2 53 2,471 1 2 ,6 4 3 6 ,1 9 9 19 326 128 199 243 5210 5219 12 02 24 145 Vocational Occupation education code Social service occupations: Social service a id e s .................. Junior H E G IS college code graduates 1970-71 5506 M D T A training F Y 1973 On-thejob enroll ments In stitu tional comple tions Job V ocational education Corps comple- completions, F Y 1972 tions, Post FY Secondary secondary 1972 A ppren ticeship comple tions 1972 1,1 46 A rt, design and com m unications — related occupations: Design occupations: Commercial a r t is t s .................. D isp laym en ................................. Floral designers......................... Industrial designers.................. In terior designers....................... P hotographers............................ 1 7 .0 7 0 0 17 .0 7 0 2 0 4 .0 5 0 0 1 7 .0 7 0 3 17.0701 Com m unications — related occupations: Newspaper re p o rte rs ............... Radio and television an n o u n c e rs ............................ 4 44 2 2 2,841 1,979 22 7 6 6 22 76 0203 4 0602 2 0603 ^Includes bookbinders, composing room occupations, lithographic occupations, pressmen, and miscellaneous printing occupations. o Includes some upholsterers other than furniture. o May include other photographic occupations. **1 1ncludes some wholesale trade salesworkers. ^Includes training in occupations such as typists, bank tellers, office machine operators, bookkeeping workers, and com puter operators. The number being trained for each occupation cannot be ascertained from the available data. 16 '^Includes ^Includes office machines training. in c lu d e s training fo r keypunch and other input technologies, com puter operators and peripheral equipm ent operators, and general data processing workers. 7 Includes restaurant management. o Includes bakers. Q May include some State police. 1®lncludes all persons who completed distributive education programs. 12 13 Includes stonemasons, marble-setters, and tile setters. All electricians, including maintenance. ^ In c lu d e s sprinkler-fitters. 1 5 May include some over-the-road drivers. an unknown num ber o f workers trained fo r skilled craft occupations and technical related occupations such as industrial draftsmen. ^ E le c tro n ic s technician. 18 ' °M a y include some com puter service technicians. 18See construction electricians. ^ Includes EKG and EEG technicians. O1 T h e t o t a l n u m b e r o f r e g is te re d nurses t r a in e d in 1971 w a s 4 7 ,0 0 0 . In addition to training sources shown, m any were trained in hospital programs and some in 4-year college programs. 22 Floral designers and salespersons. Major field o f study All fields ...................................................................................................................... Bachelor's degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (Ph.D., E d .D ., etc.) 8 3 9 ,7 3 0 2 3 0 ,5 0 9 3 2 ,1 0 7 Agriculture and natural resources .............................................................................. Agriculture, g e n e r a l..................................................................................... ............... A g r o n o m y ..................................................................................................................... Soil science ................................................................................................................... Anim al science.............................................................................................................. Dairy s c ie n c e ................................................................................................................ Poultry science ............................................................................................................ Fish, game, and w ild life management ................................................................. H o rtic u ltu re ................................................................................................................... Ornam ental horticulture .......................................................................................... Agricultural and farm m a n a g e m e n t...................................................................... Agricultural economics ............................................................................................. A gricultural b u sin ess.................................................................................................. Food science and te c h n o lo g y ................................................................................... F o re s try .......................................................................................................................... Natural resources management .............................................................................. A gricu ltu re’and forestry technologies ................................................................. Range m a n a g e m e n t.................................................................................................... O ther ............................................................................................................................... 2 ,6 7 2 1,491 823 212 2 ,4 5 5 245 80 936' 385 200 213 1,175 833 333 1,8 2 6 424 154 136 711 2 ,4 5 7 123 293 87 344 54 50 151 161 10 417 5 188 291 76 16 27 164 1 ,0 8 6 169 89 145 30 27 43 76 2 21 2 — 119 92 16 8 15 43 Architecture and environm ental design .................................................................... Environm ental design, g e n e r a l................................................................................ A rchitecture ................................................................................................................. Interior d e s ig n .............................................................................................................. Landscape architecture ............................................................................................ Urban a rc h ite c tu re ....................................................................................................... C ity , co m m un ity, and regional planning ............................................................ O ther ................................................................................................................................ 5 ,5 7 0 568 3 ,4 5 9 314 505 — 229 495 1,7 05 58 625 6 107 60 810 39 36 2 6 - Area s tu d ie s ........................................................................................................................ Asian studies, g e n e ra l................................................................................................. East Asian studies ....................................................................................................... South Asian (In dia, etc.) studies ........................................................................... Southeast Asian s tu d ie s ............................................................................................. African stu d ies.............................................................................................................. Islamic s tu d ie s .............................. ........................................................................... Russian and Slavic s tu d ie s ....................................................................................... Latin American studies ............................................................................................. Middle Eastern s tu d ie s ............................................................................................... European studies, general ........................................................................................ Eastern European stu d ies.......................................................................................... West European s tu d ie s ............................................................................................... American s tu d ie s ......................................................................................................... Pacific area stu d ies...................................................................................................... Other ................................................................................................................................ 2 ,4 9 2 162 42 26 10 13 1,007 100 87 18 136 280 4 51 20 26 1,4 6 6 1 252 — — 6 231 — 285 50 Biological sciences............................................................................................................ Biology, g e n e ra l............................................................................................................ Botany, general ............................................................................................................ Bacteriology ................................................................................................................. Plant p a th o lo g y ........................................................................................................... Plant physiology ......................................................................................................... Zoology, general ......................................................................................................... Pathology, human and a n i m a l ................................................................................ Pharmacology, human and a n im a l......................................................................... Physiology, human and animal ............................................................................. M ic ro b io lo g y ................................................................................................................ A n a t o m y ........................................................................................................................ H is to lo g y ........................................................................................................................ B io c h e m is try ................................................................................................................ B io p h y sics..................................................................................................................... Molecular biology ...................................................................................................... 3 5 ,7 4 3 2 6 ,2 9 5 546 353 15 7 5 ,3 8 0 — 1 177 1,1 22 5 568 53 66 5 ,7 2 8 2 ,6 6 5 311 74 90 28 691 65 75 148 382 112 1 251 39 6 3 ,6 4 5 536 223 42 105 37 418 68 161 245 323 149 1 517 101 32 3 1 3 23 1 144 6 8 3 8 67 — 49 148 8 2 1 4 3 — — — — 67 — Major field of study Bachelor's degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (Ph.D., E d .D ., etc.) Biological sciences—Continued Cell b io lo g y ................................................................................................................... Marine b io lo g y .............................................................................................................. Biometrics and b io s ta tis tic s ..................................................................................... E c o lo g y ........................................................................................................................... E n to m o lo g y ................................................................................................................... G en etics.......................................................................................................................... R a d io b io lo g y ................................................................................................................ N u tritio n , s c ie n tific .................................................................................................... Neurosciences .............................................................................................................. Toxicology ................................................................................................................... E m b ry o lo g y ................................................................................................................... O t h e r ................................................................................................................................ 29 52 8 96 164 46 38 22 — 701 6 45 44 21 188 88 25 103 2 9 — 259 16 12 24 17 215 128 13 42 8 5 1 206 Business and m a n a g e m e n t............................................................................................. Business and commerce, general ........................................................................... Accounting ................................................................................................................... Business statistics......................................................................................................... Banking and finance .................................................................................................. Investments and s e c u ritie s ........................................................................................ Business management and adm inistration .......................................................... Operations re s e a rc h .................................................................................................... Hotel and restaurant m a n a g e m e n t........................................................................ M arketing and purchasing ........................................................................................ Transportation and public u tilitie s ......................................................................... Real e s ta te ...................................................................................................................... In su ran ce............... ........................................................................................................ International business ............................................................................................... Secretarial studies ....................................................................................................... Personnel management ............................................................................................ Labor and industrial relations ................................................................................ Business e c o n o m ic s .................................................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ 11 5,52 7 3 0 ,1 8 7 2 2 ,0 9 9 198 5,9 2 2 183 2 8 ,0 2 8 136 616 15 ,9 8 5 66 2 420 478 220 1,323 1,205 1,1 48 2 ,1 7 9 4 ,5 3 8 2 6 ,5 4 4 8 ,6 9 3 1,097 104 1,781 47 9,571 504 18 1,3 83 63 40 18 245 296 300 24 2 2 ,1 4 2 810 190 61 7 23 2 306 50 C o m m u n ic a tio n s .............................................................................................................. Com munications, g e n e ra l.......................................................................................... J o u rn a lis m ...................................................................................................................... R ad io /telev isio n ............................................................................................................ Advertising ................................................................................................................... C om m unication m e d ia ............................................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ 10 ,802 1,7 34 5 ,1 4 4 1,899 1,1 94 478 353 1,8 56 518 853 195 94 86 110 145 93 15 5 — 32 Com puter and inform ation sciences........................................................................... C om puter and inform ation sciences, general ..................................................... In form ation sciences and systems ......................................................................... Data p ro c ess in g ............................................................................................................ Com puter p ro g ra m m in g ............................................................................................. Systems analysis ......................................................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ 2 ,3 8 8 1,6 24 177 409 32 88 58 1,588 1,131 143 171 5 88 50 128 110 11 — 6 1 8 8 ,7 1 6 12 ,867 1 7 ,0 7 0 5 ,4 2 2 134 308 91 3,051 106 935 28 208 115 97 572 6 ,3 9 8 1,5 98 21 9 212 2 274 6 114 9 18 — 4 2 40 Education ........................................................................................................................... Education, g e n e ra l....................................................................................................... Elem entary education, g e n e ra l................................................................................ Secondary education, general ................................................................................ Junior high school e d u c a tio n ................................................................................... Higher education, general ........................................................................................ Junior and com m unity college education .......................................................... Special education, general ........................................................................................ A dm inistration of special education .................................................................... Education o f the m entally re ta r d e d ...................................................................... Education o f the g i f t e d ............................................................................................. Education of the deaf ............................................................................................... Education of the culturally disadvantaged.......................................................... Education of the visually handicapped ............................................................... Speech correction ....................................................................................................... 176,571 2 ,0 2 6 9 0 ,4 3 2 3 ,5 4 9 721 6 1 2 ,3 2 0 — 2 ,6 4 0 12 239 3 78 2 ,3 5 8 25 3 3 3 6 3 25 66 37 Major field of study Education—Continued Education of the em otionally disturbed ............................................................ Remedial e d u c a tio n .................................................................................................... Special learning disabilities ..................................................................................... Education of the physically handicapped ......................... * ............................. Education of the m u ltiply h a n d icap ped............................................................... Social fo u n d a tio n s ....................................................................................................... Educational p s ych o lo g y............................................................................................ Pre-elementary education ....................................................................................... Educational statistics and research........................................................................ Educational testing, evaluation, and m easu rem ent........................................... Student personnel ...................................................................................................... Educational adm inistration ..................................................................................... Educational supervision............................................................................................. Curriculum and in s tr u c tio n ..................................................................................... Reading e d u c a tio n .....................................................* ............................................... A rt education .............................................................................................................. Music e d u c a tio n ............................................................................................................ Mathematics education ............................................................................................ Science education ....................................................................................................... Physical e d u c a tio n ................................................................. •................................... Driver and safety e d u c a tio n ..................................................................................... Health e d u c a tio n ......................................................................................................... Business, commerce, and distributive education ............................................. Industrial arts, vocational and technical e d u c a tio n ................................................................................................................... Agricultural e d u c a tio n ............................................................................................... Education o f exceptional children, not classified above ....................................................................................................... Hom e economics e d u c a tio n ..................................................................................... Nursing education ....................................................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ Bachelor's degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (P h.D ., E d .D ., etc.) 125 149 63 180 307 3 ,4 0 5 3 — 7 5 296 9 5,661 7 ,2 6 4 2,2 1 7 891 2 4 ,7 3 2 132 1,089 8 ,5 5 0 37 8 87 179 15 0 50 534 1 ,2 8 6 533 61 222 1 3 ,3 3 5 7 ,7 0 2 707 2,261 2 ,7 8 9 998 1,5 6 4 782 883 4 ,4 1 0 171 405 1,9 2 4 14 — 2 — — 129 362 9 58 30 556 957 71 458 61 53 109 49 91 283 2 51 82 7,071 1,3 98 2 ,0 9 9 447 106 43 26 6 ,4 4 9 603 1,1 95 112 802 330 2 ,2 7 2 4 28 28 219 11 ,167 5 ,4 3 9 376 1,521 232 1,667 981 1,4 52 648 31 123 58 296 231 123 18 1 8 5 55 33 342 609 32 33 2 1 Law Law, general ................................................................................................................ O ther ................................................................................................................................ 536 9 922 33 20 — L e tte rs .................................................................................................................................. English, general ........................................................................................................... Literature, E n g lis h ...................................................................................................... Com parative lite r a tu r e ............................................................................................... Classics .......................................................................................................................... L in g u is tic s ..................................................................................................................... Speech, debate, and forensic s c ie n c e ................................................................... Creative w r it in g ............................................................................................................ Teaching o f English as a foreign language ......................................................... P h ilo so p h y..................................................................................................................... Religious studies ......................................................................................................... O ther ............................................................................................................................... 7 3 ,1 2 2 5 1 ,5 6 2 4,541 428 341 250 6 ,9 7 0 154 43 5 ,7 8 5 2,361 687 1 2 ,7 1 0 7 ,5 1 0 885 245 110 352 1 ,7 1 5 185 236 598 728 146 2 ,4 1 6 1,0 08 274 96 57 150 235 6 5 394 160 31 Library science ................................................................................................................ Library science, g e n e r a l............................................................................................ Other ................................................................................................................................ 1,0 1 3 978 35 7,001 6 ,9 5 9 42 39 35 4 Home e c o n o m ic s .............................................................................................................. Hom e economics, general ........................................................................................ Hom e decoration and home e q u ip m e n t.............................................................. Clothing and t e x t i l e s ................................................................................................. Consumer economics and home management .................................................. Fam ily relations and child developm ent ............................................................ Foods and n u tr itio n .................................................................................................... Institutional management and cafeteria management ............................................................................................................ O t h e r ................................................................................................................................ 347 — Major field of study Bachelor's degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (Ph.D., E d .D ., etc.) Mathematics ..................................................................................................................... Mathematics, g e n e r a l.................................................................................................. Statistics, m athematical and th e o re tic a l.............................................................. A pplied m a th e m a tic s ................................................................................................. O ther ............................................................................................................................... M ilitary sciences .............................................................................................................. M ilitary science ( A r m y ) ............................................................................................. Naval science (Navy, Marines) ................................................................................ Aerospace science (A ir F o r c e ) ................................................................................ O ther ................................................................................................................................ 24,801 2 4 ,2 5 3 214 248 86 357 86 44 22 205 5,191 4 ,4 9 9 495 132 65 2 — 2 — 1,1 99 971 185 43 — — — Physical sciences .............................................................................................................. Physical sciences, g e n e ra l.......................................................................................... Physics, g e n e r a l............................................................................................................ Molecular physics ...................................................................................................... Nuclear p h y s ic s ............................................................................................................ Chem istry, g e n e ra l....................................................................................................... Inorganic c h e m is try .................................................................................................... Organic chemistry ...................................................................................................... Physical c h e m is try ....................................................................................................... Analytical chemistry ................................................................................................. Pharmaceutical chemistry ........................................................................................ A stronom y ................................................................................................................... Astrophysics ................................................................................................................ Atm ospheric sciences and m e te o ro lo g y ............................................................... G e o lo g y ........................................................................................................................... Geochemistry .............................................................................................................. Geophysics and s e is m o lo g y ..................................................................................... Earth sciences, g e n e ra l............................................................................................... P a le o n to lo g y ................................................................................................................ Oceanography .............................................................................................................. M e ta llu r g y ..................................................................................................................... O ther earth sciences.................................................................................................... O ther physical sciences ............................................................................................. 2 1 ,4 1 2 985 5 ,0 4 6 3 22 11,037 14 9 1 — 2 102 34 249 2 ,3 5 9 7 48 667 3 228 39 24 533 6 ,3 6 7 297 2 ,1 7 4 — 14 2 ,1 9 7 5 26 14 2 31 100 8 153 606 5 40 26 2 9 152 44 15 213 4 ,3 9 0 29 1,4 49 — 33 1,9 52 26 58 46 11 66 76 24 61 289 4 31 25 7 52 30 2 119 Psychology ........................................................................................................................ Psychology, g e n e r a l.................................................................................................... Experim ental psychology ....................................................................................... Clinical p s y c h o lo g y .................................................................................................... Psychology for co u n s e lin g ....................................................................................... Social psychology ...................................................................................................... P syc h o m etric s.............................................................................................................. Industrial psychology ............................................................................................... Developmental psychology ..................................................................................... Physiological p s y c h o lo g y .......................................................................................... O t h e r ............................................................................................................................... 3 7 ,8 8 0 3 7 ,2 1 9 44 24 21 78 — 42 8 20 424 4,431 3 ,2 2 7 60 191 499 37 7 21 24 4 361 1,782 1 ,4 4 3 72 133 20 51 2 5 13 4 39 Public affairs and services ............................................................................................ C om m unity services, g e n e r a l........................................................................... .. Public a d m in is tra tio n ................................................................................................. Parks and recreation m a n a g e m e n t........................................................................ Social w o rk and helping services ........................................................................... Law enforcem ent and c o rre c tio n s ........................................................................ International public s e rv ic e ..................................................................................... Other ............................................................................................................................... 9 ,2 2 0 233 425 1,621 4 ,6 0 8 2 ,0 4 5 88 200 8 ,2 6 0 72 1,4 06 218 6 ,0 1 9 194 63 288 178 2 36 2 126 1 1 10 E n g in e e rin g ........................................................................................................................ Engineering, g e n e ra l.................................................................................................... Aerospace, aeronautical, astronautical engineering .............................................................................................................. A gricultural engineering............................................................................................. A rchitectural en gin eering.......................................................................................... Bioengineering and biomedical e n g in e e rin g ....................................................... Chemical e n g in eerin g .................................................................................................. 5 0 ,0 4 6 2 ,8 6 4 1 6 ,4 4 3 813 3 ,6 3 8 219 2 ,4 4 3 504 27 2 68 3 ,5 7 9 717 135 31 73 1,1 0 0 217 55 3 29 406 Bachelor's M ajor field of study degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Engineering—C ontinued Petroleum en g in e e rin g ............................................................................................... Civil, construction, and transportation engineering .............................................................................................................. Electrical, electronics, comm unications engineering .............................................................................................................. Mechanical engineering ............................................................................................ Geological e n g in eerin g ............................................................................................... Geophysical engineering .......................................................................................... Industrial and management en g in eerin g .............................................................. Metallurgical en g in e e rin g .......................................................................................... Materials e n g in e e rin g ................................................................................................. Ceramic engineering................................... ................................................................ T e xtile engineering ....................................................................................... ; . . . . Mining and mineral e n g in e e rin g ............................................................................. Engineering p h y s ic s .................................................................................................... Nuclear e n g in e e rin g .................................................................................................... Engineering m echanics............................................................................................... Environm ental and sanitary engineering ............................................................ Naval architecture and m arine engineering.......................................................... Ocean e n g in e e rin g ........................................................................... ........................... Engineering te c h n o lo g ie s .......................................................................................... Other ............................................................................................................................... Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (Ph.D., E d .D ., etc.) 292 100 17 6 ,5 2 6 2 ,4 2 5 446 12 ,1 9 8 8 ,8 5 8 123 26 3,171 623 76 178 212 158 373 250 260 54 416 64 5 ,1 4 8 1,3 10 4 ,2 8 2 2 ,2 3 7 39 7 1,921 273 124 39 32 66 65 329 264 238 71 52 134 876 879 438 9 1 139 148 78 25 1 43 26 120 148 49 13 1 1 127 Fine and applied a r t s ...................................................................................................... Fine arts, g e n e r a l......................................................................................................... A r t .................................................................................................................................... A rt history and appreciation .................................................................................. Music (performing, composition, th eory) ......................................................... Music (liberal arts p r o g ra m )..................................................................................... Music history and appreciation ............................................................................. Dramatic a r t s ................................................................................................................ Dance ............................................................................................................................ Applied d e s ig n .............................................................................................................. Cinematography . ...................................................................................................... Photography ................................................................................................................ Other ............................................................................................................................... 3 0 ,3 9 4 3 ,5 9 5 1 0 ,688 1,7 09 3 ,3 1 8 2 ,6 4 8 96 3 ,6 7 5 197 2 ,0 4 8 70 477 1,7 73 6 ,6 7 5 556 1,6 90 263 1,7 13 623 99 1,0 39 78 120 26 57 411 621 28 6 46 200 86 40 122 1 2 — 90 Foreign languages ........................................................................................................... Foreign languages, g e n e r a l....................................................................................... F r e n c h .................................................................................................................. .. G e r m a n .......................................................................................................................... Italian ............................................................................................................................ Spanish .............................................................................................. .......................... Russian .......................................................................................................................... Chinese .......................................................................................................................... Japanese ....................................................................................................................... L a t i n ............................................................................................................................... Greek, classical ........................................................................................................... H e b r e w .......................................................................................................................... A r a b ic ............................................................................................................................ Indian (Asiatic) ........................................................................................................... Scandinavian languages ............................................................................................ Slavic languages (other than Russian) ................................................................. African languages (non-Semitic) ........................................................................... Other ....................................... 1 9 ,945 607 7 ,3 0 6 2,601 201 7 ,0 6 8 715 89 77 463 104 203 15 1 62 110 2 321 4 ,7 5 5 444 1,437 690 87 1 ,4 5 6 110 22 19 132 21 19 6 _ 29 88 3 192 781 122 192 144 10 168 14 8 1 5 18 4 4 3 1 32 1 54 Health professions........................................................................................................... Health professions, general ..................................................................................... Hospital and health care a d m in is tra tio n .............................................................. Nursinq ........................................ Dental specialties........................................................................................................ Medical specialties................................... Occupational therapy ...................... 2 5 ,2 2 6 230 60 12 ,1 9 9 5 11 663 5 ,7 4 9 46 496 1,5 3 0 450 12 9 51 466 12 14 7 14 43 — Bachelor's degrees requiring 4 or 5 years Major field o f study Second-level (master's) degrees Doctor's degrees (Ph.D., E d .D ., etc.) Health professions—Continued O p to m e tr y ..................................................................................................................... P h a rm a c y ........................................................................................................................ Physical therapy ............................................. ........................................................... Dental h y g ie n e .............................................................................................................. Public h e a l t h ....................................../ ........................................................................ Medical record lib ra ria n sh ip ..................................................................................... Podiatry or podiatric medicine ............................................................................. Biomedical c o m m u n ic a tio n ............................................................ * ...................... V eterinary medicine s p e c ia ltie s ................................................................. .. Speech pathology and a u d io lo g y ........................................................................... C h iro p ra c tic ................................................................................................................... Clinical social w o r k .................................................................................................... Medical laboratory technologies ........................................................................... Dental te ch n o lo g ies.................................................................................................... Radiologic te ch n o lo g ies............................................................................................. O ther ................................................................................................................................ 351 4 ,5 4 9 1,2 52 531 127 148 — 2 1,427 2 36 3,0 97 62 48 426 12 194 73 24 1,2 44 6 5 89 823 — 304 45 — 32 196 Social sciences................................................................................................................... Social sciences, general ............................................................................................. A nthropology .............................................................................................................. Archaeology ................................................................................................................. E c o n o m ic s ..................................................................................................................... History ........................................................................................................................... G e o g ra p h y ..................................................................................................................... Political science and g o v e rn m e n t........................................................................... S o c io lo g y ........................................................................................................................ C rim in o lo g y ................................................................................................................... International r e la tio n s ............................................................................................... A fro-A m erican {Black culture) stu d ies................................................................. American Indian cultural s tu d ie s ........................................................................... Mexican-Am erican cultural studies ...................................................................... Urban stu d ies................................................................................................................ Demography ................................................................................................................. O t h e r ............................................................................................................................... 1 5 5 ,3 2 6 2 1 ,5 4 3 4 ,3 8 4 72 1 5 ,758 4 4 ,6 6 3 4 ,1 5 5 2 7 ,4 8 2 3 3 ,2 6 3 659 1,212 80 2 8 371 5 1,669 16,501 2 ,3 3 0 766 29 1,9 95 5 ,1 5 7 649 2 ,3 1 8 1,8 0 8 136 783 17 1 7 236 6 263 3 ,6 5 9 50 241 8 721 991 164 700 574 15 66 — — 8 121 T h e o lo g y .................................................................................................... ........................ Theological professions, g e n e ra l............................................................................. Religious m u s ic ............................................................................................................ Religious e d u c a tio n .................................................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ 3 ,7 4 4 1,891 116 1,365 348 2 ,7 1 0 1,342 106 937 307 312 249 6 34 23 Interdisciplinary stu d ies.................................................................................................. General liberal arts and sciences.............................................................................. Biological and physical sciences.............................................................................. Hum anities and social sciences................................................................................ Engineering and other disciplines........................................................................... O ther ................................................................................................................................ 13,767 5,461 3,8 9 7 2 ,0 2 0 178 2,211 1 ,7 0 6 549 524 336 24 273 91 11 15 21 17 27 SOURCE: Departm ent of Health, Education, and W e lfa r e , O ffice of Education. 2 94 — 85 — 46 70 — 7 4 — 10 58 Field of study First professional degrees Field of study First professional degrees T o tal, all in s titu tio n s ....................... 3 7 ,9 4 6 Podiatry (Pod. D. or D.P.) or Podiatry Medicine ( D . P . M . ) .................... Dentistry (D .D .S . or D .M .D .) .................. Medicine ( M . D . ) ........................................... 3 ,7 4 5 8 ,9 1 9 V eterinary Medicine ( D . V . M . ) ............... 531 Law (L L .B . or J . D . ) ................................... Theology (B .D ., M . Div., or Rabbi) . . . 17,421 O ptom etry ( O . D ) ........................................ Osteopathy ( D . O . ) ...................................... 47 2 O t h e r ............................................................... 311 ^Includes degrees which require at least 6 years of college work fo r com pletion (including at least 2 years of preprofessional training). 240 1,252 5,0 55 S O U R C E : U.S. Departm ent of Health, Education, and Welfare, O ffice of Education, Digest o f Educational Statistics, 1972, (OE) 7 3 -1 1 1 0 3 . CM CO CO O) Trade 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 n.a. 2 ,1 1 0 2,5 6 7 405 3 ,6 6 4 264 339 n.a. 654 367 2 ,7 8 0 186 1,891 n.a. 811 n.a. 1,5 66 2 ,8 8 6 406 3 ,9 2 8 210 412 n.a. 765 228 3 ,3 7 2 300 1,9 56 n.a. 727 n.a. 1,527 2 ,9 8 6 327 3,2 7 9 202 387 n.a. 790 290 3 ,4 0 9 228 1,749 n.a. 896 n.a. 1,484 3 ,0 1 3 312 3,1 4 8 201 216 n.a. 895 33 8 2 ,9 2 4 197 1,558 n.a. 773 n.a. 1,369 2,8 82 22 2 3,8 87 266 240 n.a. 770 267 3,101 282 1,742 n.a. 732 n.a. 1,342 3,2 7 2 297 3,3 27 222 268 n.a. 969 181 3 ,0 5 0 272 1,477 n.a. 870 31 2 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,3 46 1,602 1,2 0 6 1,651 1,801 1,431 3 ,3 4 0 4 ,2 4 9 3 ,4 2 3 3 ,6 9 8 3 ,0 8 3 3,6 3 9 372 384 293 300 273 386 3 ,6 5 4 6,0 7 5 4 ,7 4 2 5,091 5 ,2 2 4 4 ,3 6 4 24 4 223 228 248 239 217 290 198 202 188 466 145 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 439 8 0 7 1,0 19 868 832 992 829 264 201 215 228 161 161 2 ,7 3 6 3,601 3 ,7 8 8 4 ,8 8 8 4 ,2 6 6 4 ,8 8 0 241 379 226 290 27 8 257 1,5 68 2 ,1 8 4 2,401 2 ,5 4 4 2 ,3 0 9 2,401 200 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,075 1,387 1,2 09 2 ,0 0 6 1,536 1,381 618 495 407 500 526 654 19671 1 9 6 9 3 1970 1971 1972 Construction trades4 : Asbestos w o rk e rs ............................................. Brick, stone, and tile workers .................... C a rp e n te rs .......................................................... Cement m a s o n s ................................................ Electricians ....................................................... G la z ie r s ............................................................... Leathers .............................................................. Operating en g in e e rs ........................................ P a in te r s ............................................................... P lasterers............................................................ P lum bers-pipefitters........................................ R o o fe r s ............................................................... Sheet-metal workers ...................................... Sprinkler f i t t e r s ................................................ Structural iron w o r k e r s ................................. Construction workers not classified above ........................................... 282 1,9 98 5 ,0 5 4 825 5,991 335 276 1,035 983 245 5 ,2 5 5 383 2 ,7 6 8 408 2 ,0 9 8 640 230 1,2 79 1,0 6 3 1,221 52 111 59 59 91 B o ile rm a k e rs ..................................................... 59 91 M a c h in is ts .......................................................... 1,4 19 1,5 70 1,011 1,330 1,309 1,339 1,6 16 260 150 131 160 150 P a tte rn m a k e rs .................................................. 44 5 195 Toolm akers, diemakers ................................. 1,8 30 1,6 90 1,339 1,367 1,489 1 ,2 9 3 1,704 294 393 290 350 398 333 558 N ot classified a b o v e ........................................ 199 2,3 6 7 326 3 ,5 9 6 1,2 39 135 2 ,1 0 8 350 2,5 0 2 902 364 504 180 405 3,5 2 7 3 ,8 2 2 3 ,2 3 4 3 ,6 9 5 444 395 290 275 4 ,1 2 5 4 ,7 4 8 3,4 82 3 ,8 2 5 8 2 2 1,032 531 446 451 552 M etalw orking trades: Printing trades: Bookbinders ..................................................... Compositors ..................................................... Lithographers .................................................. P re s s m e n .....................................................: . . N ot classified a b o v e ........................................ Miscellaneous trades:4 A ircraft m echanics........................................... A utom otive body buildersrepairmen ..................................................... A utom otive mechanics ................................. Butchers, meat c u tte rs ................................... Cabinetmakers - m illm e n .............................. Carmen ............................................................... Cooks (including bakers) ............................ Dental te c h n ic ia n s ........................................... D raftsm en, d e sig n ers...................................... Electrical workers ........................................... Electronic te c h n ic ia n s ................................... Floor c o v e re rs .................................................. Linem en, light and power ............................ Maintenance mechanics (repairmen) M illw rig h ts .......................................................... N o t classified a b o v e ........................................ 76 658 268 409 264 261 966 281 580 438 246 869 223 611 337 453 730 458 59 8 280 235 666 53 8 551 27 7 182 675 264 304 140 160 559 38 0 423 170 116 807 403 517 230 170 810 250 721 173 31 5 837 785 826 214 223 774 906 63 7 360 142 623 320 354 285 231 844 51 8 635 478 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 149 65 182 65 3 516 310 69 n;a. 39 316 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 565 194 183 532 355 226 33 n.a. 26 269 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 671 205 154 559 401 248 20 n.a. 25 197 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 552 191 117 443 350 243 42 n.a. 23 131 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 439 218 135 517 369 213 13 n.a. 18 128 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 322 251 133 334 448 207 24 n.a. 32 126 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 354 165 151 52 9 531 235 9 n.a. 13 182 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 442 27 0 218 525 631 177 77 n.a. 30 243 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 718 780 214 705 756 164 140 n.a. 59 311 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,072 331 Figures are understated because detailed data fo r Florida and Louisiana were not reported. Figures are understated because detailed data fo r Florida were not reported. Figures are understated because detailed data fo r California and Florida were not reported. 307 308 211 59 5 641 7 7 4 1,269 1,017 362 727 817 997 120 186 212 27 8 82 101 128 138 n.a. n.a. 261 229 92 65 78 145 447 538 528 453 n.a. 1,0 74 1,691 n.a. n.a. n.a. 400 37 7 n.a. n.a. 316 256 603 621 n.a. 586 1 ,2 9 3 1,682 1,2 53 1,8 46 763 615 6 9 5 1,0 80 2 ,1 4 6 3 ,3 0 4 * l t was not possible to provide a historical series fo r several trades because they were either recently listed as a separate trade (i.e., moved from a not elsewhere classified category), or were consolidated w ith one or more related occupations. n.a. = not available. S O U R C E : U.S. Departm ent o f Labor, Bureau of A ppren ticeship and Training. Academ ic year H E G IS code1 5000 5001 50 02 5003 5004 5005 5006 5007 5008 5 0 09 5010 5011 5 0 12 50 99 5100 5101 5 1 02 5103 5104 5 1 05 5199 5200 5201 5202 5203 5 2 04 5205 5206 52 07 5208 5210 5211 5 2 12 5213 5 2 14 5215 5216 52 17 52 18 5 2 19 5 2 99 5300 5301 5302 5 3 03 5304 5305 5306 5307 C un icu I u nn 19 67-6 8 1968-6 9 1969-70 1970-71 All c u rric u lu m s ..................................................................................................................... Business and commerce te c h n o lo g ie s ..................................................................................... Business and commerce technologies, g e n e r a l................................................................ Accounting technologies ...................................................................................................... Banking and finance technologies ..................................................................................... Marketing, distribution, purchasing, business, and industrial m a n a g e m e n t...................................................................................................... Secretarial technologies (includes office machines training) ................................................................................................................................ Personal service technologies (flight attendant, cosmetologist, e t c . ) ............................................................................................................ Photography technologies ................................................................................................... Com m unications and broadcasting technologies (radio/television, n e w s p a p e rs ).......................................................................................................................... Printing and lithography te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................... Hotel and restaurant management technologies .......................................................... Transportation and public u tility te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................. Applied arts, graphic arts, and fine arts technologies (includes advertising design) .......................................................................................... Other ............................................................................................................................................ 8 8 ,0 8 2 - 1 0 8 ,0 8 8 12,591 4,741 — 12 4,32 7 1 4 ,666 4 ,8 2 4 — 15 3,54 9 5 1 ,0 3 7 11,008 5,301 27 2 3 ,4 3 3 - 3,5 3 7 - 4 ,2 4 9 - 2 ,9 9 8 1,368 Data processing technologies ................................................................................................... Data processing technologies, g e n e r a l............................................................................... Keypunch operator and other input preparation te c h n o lo g ie s .......................................................................................................................... Com puter programmer te c h n o lo g ie s .................................................................................. C om puter operator and peripheral equipm ent operation ......................................... Data processing equipm ent maintenance technologies ............................................... O ther ......................................................................................................................................... 2 ,9 0 8 - 4 ,6 2 3 - 6 ,4 8 7 - 8 ,7 4 5 5 ,0 2 7 10 ,1 5 6 4 ,2 0 3 — 2 ,1 5 8 3 ,6 8 5 4 ,0 4 8 9 ,2 3 7 1 3 ,7 7 0 14 ,8 5 8 15 ,388 1 6 ,534 1,262 577 _ _ _ — — — _ _ _ — - — - — - 728 512 916 324 _ _ _ — _ — _ — _ 648 2 ,1 4 9 38 7 431 103 Health services and paramedical te chn olo gies...................................................................... Health services a s s is ta n t......................................................................................................... Dental assistant te chn olo gies................................................................................................ Dental hygiene te c h n o lo g ie s ................................................................................................ Dental laboratory technologies .......................................................................................... Medical or biological laboratory assistant te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................... A nim al laboratory assistant te c h n o lo g ie s ......................................................................... Radiologic technologies (X -ray, etc.) ............................................................................... Nursing, practical (L .P .N . or L .V .N .—less than 4-year program) .................................................................................................................. Occupational therapy te ch n o lo g ies..................................................................................... Surgical te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................................................... Optical technologies (includes ocular care, ophthalm ic, op to m etric technologies) ................................................................................................ Medical record te c h n o lo g ie s ................................................................................................ Medical assistant and medical office assistant te c h n o lo g ie s .......................................................................................................................... Inhalation therapy te ch n o lo g ies................................................................................. .. Psychiatric technologies (includes mental health aide programs) ............................................................................................................................. Electrodiagnostic technologies (includes E K G , E E G , etc.) ...................................... Institutional management technologies (rest home, etc.) ......................................... Physical therapy te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................................. Other ............................................................................................................................................ 1 6 ,9 0 3 — 1,0 1 3 1,555 299 829 — 587 2 1 ,8 7 6 — 1,3 07 1,9 56 364 772 — 570 2 6 ,7 7 8 — 1,6 6 3 2 ,2 2 9 36 2 970 — 647 3 4 ,5 1 8 258 2,191 2 ,5 0 6 264 1,335 55 1,139 4 ,3 8 0 52 7 5 ,5 6 4 154 53 6 ,1 0 2 166 133 7,7 08 243 24 4 _ — 29 — 60 — 81 374 _ _ — — — 1,2 56 570 11 — — 23 — — 634 22 176 239 81 5 Mechanical and engineering technologies ............................................................................ Mechanical and engineering technologies, general ....................................................... Aeronautical and aviation te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................ Engineering graphics (tool and machine drafting and design) .......................................................................................................................... A rchitectural drafting technologies .................................................................................. Chemical technologies (includes p la s tic s )......................................................................... A utom otive te c h n o lo g ie s ...................................................................................................... Diesel te c h n o lo g ie s ................................................................................................................. 2 2 ,6 8 6 1,4 00 2 6 ,7 3 6 1,5 28 2 8 ,9 5 9 1,6 72 3 7 ,4 3 7 2 ,5 6 0 2 ,1 7 3 _ _ _ 426 513 — - 556 — 2 ,9 1 7 1,938 589 4,041 721 See footnotes at end of table. _ — — — - — _ - Academ ic year H E G IS code1 5308 5309 5310 5311 5312 5313 5314 5315 5316 5317 5399 5400 5401 5402 5403 5404 5405 5406 5407 5408 5499 5500 5501 5502 5503 5504 5505 5506 55 07 55 08 5509 C urriculum Mechanical and engineering technologies—Continued Welding te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................................................... Civil technologies (surveying, photogram m etry, e t c . ) .................................................. Electronics and m achine technologies (television, appliance, office machine repair, etc.) ............................................................................................. Electromechanical te c h n o lo g ie s .......................................................................................... Industrial techn olo gies............................................................................................................ T e x tile technologies ............................................................................................................... Instrum entation te c h n o lo g ie s ............................. ................................................................ Mechanical techn olo gies......................................................................................................... Nuclear te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................................................... Construction and building technologies (carpentry, electric w o rk , plum bing, sheet-metal, air conditioning, heating, etc.) ....................................................................................................................... O t h e r ............................................................................................................................................ Natural science tech n o lo g ies...................................................................................................... Natural science technologies, general ............................................................................... Agriculture technologies (includes h o r t ic u lt u r e ) .......................................................... Forestry and w ild life technologies (includes fisheries) ............................................... Food services te c h n o lo g ie s ................................................................................................... H om e economics te chn olo gies............................................................................................. M arine and oceanographic te chn olo gies............................................................................ Laboratory technologies, g e n e r a l........................................................................................ Sanitation and public health inspection technologies (environmental health technologies) .............. ............................................................. O t h e r ............................................................................................................................................ Public-service-related te ch n o lo g ies.......................................................................................... Public service technologies, general .................................................................................. Bible study or religion-related occupations ................................................................... Education technologies (teacher aide and 2-year teacher training programs) ............................................................................................. Library assistant te c h n o lo g ie s ............................................................................................. Police, law enforcem ent, corrections te ch n o lo g ies....................................................... Recreation and social w ork and related te c h n o lo g ie s .......................................................................................................................... Fire control technology * ......................................................................................................... Public adm inistration and management te c h n o lo g ie s .................................................. O th er . . ...................................................................................................................................... 1 H E G IS codes are from the Higher Education General Inform ation Survey. See A Taxonom y o f Instructional Programs in Higher Education (U .S. D epartm ent of Health, Education, and Welfare, 19 70). 1967-68 1968-6 9 1969-70 1970-71 1,1 03 1,391 1,537 1,097 1,637 _ — 1,121 120 3 ,7 4 5 14 — — 1,648 564 723 — _ — 1,653 180 8 ,0 6 9 17 — — 2 ,2 8 2 596 776 — 1,7 55 207 9,391 38 — — 2 ,5 9 6 727 841 — _ _ _ - - - — _ _ 7,851 1,301 1,657 155 203 2 ,7 4 9 65 4 ,2 2 9 1,5 54 7 ,0 2 8 656 2 ,8 7 0 1,087 693 872 183 144 145 378 76 2 690 642 1 4 ,7 8 4 277 744 1,9 98 107 1,8 4 0 2 ,6 9 4 134 2,851 3 ,2 1 8 313 4 ,0 8 4 3 ,8 5 6 471 6 ,8 7 3 _ _ _ — — — — — — — — — 1,1 46 735 111 571 S O U R C E : U.S. Departm ent o f Health Education, and W elfare O ffice of Education. N O T E : Dash means data are not available or there were no programs. Group title and description o f coverage IN F A N T R Y , G U N C R EW S , A N D S E A M A N S H IP S P E C IA L IS T S ...................................................................................... 01 In fa n try —Includes light and heavy weapons in fan trym en, related weapons specialists, ground reconnaissance men, and in fan try leaders.............................................................................................................................. 02 A rm o r and A m ph ibiou s—Includes land and amphibious tank crews and leaders..................................................... 03 Com bat Engineering—Includes hasty and tem porary construction of forw ard area airfields, roads, and bridges, dem o litio n, field illu m in ation, and chemical w arfare........................................................................................ 04 A rtille ry /G u n n e ry , Rockets, and Missiles—Includes conventional fie ld , an ti-aircraft and shipboard guns and artillery , rockets, and missiles............................................................................................................................................ 05 Com bat A ir C rew —Includes enlisted pilots and navigators, flight engineers, and flight crew ordnancemen . 06 Seamanship—Includes boatswains, navigators, and similar seamanship specialists................................................... 1 E L E C T R O N IC E Q U IP M E N T R E P A IR M E N ............................................................................................................................... 10 R ad io /R ad ar— Includes fix ed and m obile radio, electronic com m unication gear, navigation and countermeasure equipm ent and surveillance, air traffic and tracking radar............................................................... 11 Fire C ontrol Electronic Systems (N on-M issile)— Includes maintenance and repair of electronic fire control and bomb navigation equipm ent, excluding missile and underwater fire control equip m ent.............................. 12 Missile Guidance, C ontrol, and C heckout—Includes electronic and electrical missile and torpedo systems and components, including guidance, co ntrol, and checkout equipm ent for both guided and ballistic missiles............................................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Sonar E q uip m en t—Includes underwater detection and fire control systems, oceanographic and mine detection equipm ent, and related antisubmarine electronic gear................................................................................... 14 Nuclear Weapons Equip m en t—Includes nuclear weapons control and test equipm ent.......................................... 15 A D P Computers— Includes all digital and analog com puters........................................................................................... 16 Teletype and Cryptographic E q uip m en t—Includes teletype and associated on-and-off line encryption devices............................................................................................................................................................................................... 19 O ther Electronic E q uip m en t— Includes electronic instruments, training devices, medical equipm ent, television, electronic photographic controls, infra-red devices, and other electronic sensing and control equipm ent......................................................................................................................................................................................... 2 C O M M U N IC A T IO N S A N D IN T E L L IG E N C E S P E C IA L IS T S .............................................................................................. 20 Radio and Radio Code—Includes the operation of radio, "continuous wave" equipm ent, radio teletype, and visual com m unication equipm ent..................................................................................................................................... 21 Sonar—Includes the operation of sonar and related detection equipm ent.................................................................. 22 Radar and A ir T raffic C o ntro l—Includes the operation of surveillance, target acquisition and tracking radars, fire distribution devices, and air tra ffic control visual and electronic navigational aides......................... 23 Signal Intelligence /E lectro nic W arfare—Includes the intercept, translation, and analysis of foreign com m unications, and electronic countermeasure equipm ent operation..................................................................... 24 M ilita ry Intelligence—Includes gathering, receipt, and analysis of intelligence data, prisoner interrogation, image in terpretation, and counterintelligence and investigational activities.............................................................. 25 C om bat Operations C o ntro l—Includes forw ard area tactical operations and intelligence, combat inform ation center and comm and post control activities................................................................................................. 3 30 M E D IC A L A N D D E N T A L S P E C IA L IS T S ................................................................................................................................... M edical Care—Includes all medical care and treatm ent, technical and related medical and dental services. . DOD code Group title and description of coverage M E D IC A L A N D D E N T A L S P E C IA L IS T S —Continued 31 Technical M edical Services— Includes pharmaceutical, laboratory, X -ray, and diagnostic test services. 32 Related Medical Services—Includes sanitation, health preservation and veterinary services, and preventive medicine services.......................................................................................................................................... ............................. . 33 D ental Care—Includes dental care and treatm ent and related technical and laboratory services........................ 4 O T H E R T E C H N IC A L A N D A L L IE D S P E C IA L I S T S ................................................................................................................ 40 Photography— Includes still, m o tio n , and television cameramen, precision photographic processing, editing, and sound synchronization......................................................................................................................................... 41 D rafting, Surveying, and M apping—Includes drafting , illustrating, photom apping, map compiling and construction, and topographic surveying and com puting................................................................................................. 42 W eather—Includes the observation, recording, reporting, and collection of weather and sea condition data and weather forecasting............................................................................................................................................................... 43 Ordnance Disposal and D iving—Includes the excavation and rendering safe of explosive ordnance, chemical and nuclear agents, underwater dem o litio n, and diving.................................................................................. 44 Scientific and Engineering Aides—Includes professional college-graduate level assistance to physical and biological scientists and engineers............................................................................................................................................ 45 Musicians— Includes m ilita ry bandsmen and special band musicians............................................................................ 49 Technical Specialists, N .E .C .—Includes physical laboratory analysts, nuclear, biological, and chemical warfare specialists, safety specialists, and m emorial activities........................................................................................ 5 A D M IN IS T R A T IV E S P E C IA L IS T S A N D C L E R K S . . . ................................................................................................................ 50 Personnel— Includes personnel adm inistration, personnel and m anpower management, recruiting and personnel testing............................................................................................................................................................................ 51 A d m in istratio n —Includes adm inistrative personnel, general clerks, not elsewhere classified............................... 52 Clerical Personnel—Includes non-technical First Sergeants and Sergeant Majors and a combined personnel management and administrative clerk in M arine Corps units.......................................................................................... 53 Data Processing— Includes E A M and A DP equipm ent operators and programmers................................................. 54 A ccounting, Finance, and Disbursing— Includes au dit, accounting and disbursing.................................................. 55- Supply and Logistics—Includes supply accounting, stock control, requisitioning, and related activities. 56 Religious, M orale, and W elfare—Includes recreation, morale, welfare, and religious activities............................ 57 Info rm ation and Education—Includes troop and public in form ation and education............................................. 58 Comm unications Center Operations— Includes receipt and distribution of messages, the operation of comm unications center equipm ent, and setting up and administering of m ajor field comm unications systems.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 6 E L E C T R IC A L A N D M E C H A N IC A L E Q U IP M E N T R E P A IR M E N . . ...................................................................................... 60 A irc ra ft—Includes aircraft powerplants, electrical systems, structural components and surfaces, and related instruments and accessories......................................................................................................................................... 61 A u to m o tiv e — Includes wheel and track vehicles and components and related construction equipm ent. 62 Wire Com m unications—Includes installation and maintenance o f telephones, switchboards, and central office and related in terior com m unications equipm ent.................................................................................................... 63 Missile, Mechanical and Electrical—Includes missile propulsion and structures, and missile mechanical, electrical, hydraulic, and pneum atic systems and components...................................................................................... 106 . . DOD code Enlisted strength Group title and description o f coverage E L E C T R IC A L A N D M E C H A N IC A L E Q U IP M E N T R E P A IR M E N —C ontinued 64 A rm am en t and M un itio ns—Includes small arms, artillery , mines, bombs, and associated mountings, and am m unition renovation............................................................................................................................................................... 3 5 ,0 2 0 65 Shipboard Propulsion—Includes m arine anjl rail main engines, boilers, and auxiliary equipm ent...................... 49,881 66 Power Generating Equip m en t—Includes nuclear power reactors and prim ary electric generating plants. 32,531 67 Precision Equip m en t—Includes optical, mechanical, and electrical instruments, office machines, and non-electronic photographic, dental, and topographic equipm ent........................*...................................................... 3 ,7 5 6 A irc ra ft Launch E quipm ent— Includes operation, m aintenance, and repair of aircraft catapult and arresting gear and related equipm ent....................................................................................................................................... 5,3 0 8 O ther Mechanical and Electrical Equip m en t— Includes materials handling reproduction, chemical warfare and other mechanical and electrical equipm ent maintenance, n.e.c............................................................................. 2 ,0 8 0 68 69 7 CRAFTSM EN ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 9 9 ,0 8 9 70 M etalw orking —Includes the machining, shaping, and form ing of m etal and fabrication of m etal parts. . . 1 6 ,3 4 0 71 C onstruction—Includes construction trades and pipeline construction and operation........................................... 17 ,1 3 6 72 U tilities—Includes plum bing, heating, air conditioning, water supply and sanitation, electric wiring, power distribu tion , and related trades................................................................................................................................................. 2 2 ,1 5 7 Construction E quipm ent O peration—Includes construction machines, power tools, cranes, quarry equipm ent, and asphalt and concrete equipm ent operators............................................................................................ 1 3 ,177 L ith og raph y—Includes the making of printing plates, composing, and the operation of offset and letter presses................................................................................................................................................................................................ 2 ,8 6 6 Industrial Gas and Fuel Production—Includes the production of liquid oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen and carbon dio xid e................................................................................................................................................................................ 1 ,4 7 9 76 Fabric, Leather and R ubber—Includes leather, rubber, and other fabric repair........................................................ 1,511 78 Firefighting and Damage C o ntro l— Includes firefighting, damage control, and rescue and survival activities. 11 ,1 6 9 79 O th er Craftsmen, N .E .C .—Includes m odelm aking, m olding, camouflage, and other crafts not elsewhere classified............................................................................................................................................................................................ 13 ,2 5 4 73 74 75 8 S E R V IC E A N D S U P P L Y H A N D L E R S ........................................................................................................................................... 2 2 5 ,3 6 0 80 F o o d Service—Includes handling, preparation, and serving of fo o d .............................................................................. 6 4 ,3 1 2 81 M o to r Transport—Includes the operation of wheel and track vehicles and railway equipm ent for general transport purposes, aerial and parachute delivery operations......................................................................................... 4 0 ,7 7 7 M aterial Receipt, Storage and Issue—Includes receipt, storage, issue, and shipm ent of both general and specialized classes of supplies, excluding am m u nition...................................................................................................... 4 0 ,0 9 4 83 M ilita ry Police—Includes protective and custodial services, m ilita ry police, and crim inal investigation. . . 66 ,121 84 Personal Service—Includes laundry, dry cleaning, and related services........................................................................ 2,4 23 85 A u x ilia ry L ab o r—Includes unskilled labor and unskilled labor supervisors................................................................ 2 ,5 0 4 86 F orw ard A rea E quipm ent S u pp ort—Includes parachute packing and repair, aerial delivery operations, and flight equipm ent fittin g and m aintenance............................................................................................................................. 9 ,1 2 9 82 SOURCE: U.S. D epartm ent o f Defense, Occupational Conversion Table, Enlisted, March 1972, Defense unpublished data. D O D 1 3 1 2 .1 —E, and Departm ent of Appendix D. State Employment Security Agencies State employment security agencies are engaged in developing occupational projections and related manpower statistics in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. The following list gives the addresses of the employment security agencies. Alabama ........................ Alaska ............................. Arizona .......................... Arkansas ........................ California ...................... Department of Industrial Relations, Montgomery 36104 Employment Security Division, Department of Labor, Juneau 99801 Department of Economic Security, Phoenix 85005 Employment Security Division, Department of Labor, Little Rock 72203 Employment Data and Research Section, Department of Labor, Human Resources Development, Sacramento 95808 Colorado ........................ Connecticut .................. Delaware ........................ District of C o lu m b ia.................. Department of Labor and Employment, Denver 80203 Employment Security Division, Connecticut Labor Departmentr Hartford 06115 Department of Labor, Wilmington 19899 Georgia .......................... H aw aii............................. Idaho ............................. Illin o is............................. Indiana .......................... Employment Security Agency, Department of Labor, Atlanta 30312 Department of Labor and Industrial Relations, Honolulu 96811 Department of Employment, Boise 83707 Division of Research and Statistics, Department of Labor, Chicago 60606 Employment Security Division, Indianapolis 46204 Iowa ........................ K an sas............................. Kentucky ...................... Louisiana ...................... Maine ............................. Employment Security Commission, Des Moines 50319 Employment Security Division, Department of Labor, Topeka 66603 Bureau of Employment Security, Department of Economic Security, Frankfort 40601 Department of Employment Security, Baton Rouge 70804 Employment Security Commission, Augusta 04330 Manpower Training and Employment Services Administration for the District of Columbia, Washington 20212 Florida .......................... Department of Commerce, Tallahassee 32304 M aryland........................ Department of Employment and Social Services, Baltimore 21201 Massachusetts ............... Division of Employment Security, Boston 02114 Michigan ........................ Employment Security Commission, Detroit 48202 Minnesota ...................... Department of Manpower Services, St. Paul 55101 M ississippi...................... Employment Security Commission, Jackson 39205 Missouri ........................ Division of Employment Security, Jefferson City 65102 Montana ........................ Employment Security Commission, Helena 59601 Nebraska ........................ Division of Employment, Department of Labor, Lincoln 68509 Nevada .......................... Employment Security Department, Carson City 89701 New H am pshire............. Department of Employment Security, Concord 03301 New Jersey .................... Division of Planning and Research, Department of Labor and Industry, Trenton 08625 New Mexico ..................Employment Security Commission, Albuquerque 87103 New York ...................... North Carolina ............. North Dakota ............... Research and Statistics Office, Division of Employment, New York State Department of Labor, Albany 12201 Division of Statistics, Department of Labor, Raleigh 27602 Employment Security Bureau, Bismark 58501 Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Oregon .......................... Pennsylvania .................. Rhode Is la n d .................. Division of Research and Statistics, Bureau of Employment Services, Columbus 43216 Employment Security Commission, Oklahoma City 73105 Employment Division, Department of Human Resources, Salem 97310 Bureau of Employment Security, Department of Labor and Industry, Harrisburg 17121 Division of Statistics and Census, Department of Labor, Providence 02908 South Carolina ............. South Dakota ............... Tennessee ...................... Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Employment Security Commission, Columbia 29202 Employment Security Department, Aberdeen 57401 Department of Employment Security, Nashville 37219 Employment Commission, Austin 78778 Department of Employment Security, Salt Lake City 84111 Vermont ........................ Virginia .......................... Washington .................... West V irginia.................. Wisconsin ...................... Department of Employment Security, Montpelier 05602 Division of Research and Statistics, Department of Labor and Industry, Richmond 23214 Employment Security Department, Olympia 98504 Department of Employment Security, Charleston 25305 Department of Industry, Labor and Human Relations, Madison 53701 W yom ing........................ Employment Security Commission, Casper 82601 BUREAU OF LABOR S T A TIS TIC S R E G IO N A L O FFICES Region V Region I 1603 JFK Federal Building Government Center Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: 223-6762 (Area Code 617) Region II 8th Floor, 300 South Wacker Drive Chicago, III. 60606 Phone: 353-1880 (Area Code 312) Region VI Suite 3400 1515 Broadway New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: 971-5405 (Area Code 212) 1100 Commerce St., Rm. 6B7 Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: 749-3516 (Area Code 214) Regions VII and VIII * Region III P.O. Box 13309 Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: 597-1154 (Area Code 215) Regions IX and X ** Region IV Suite 540 1371 Peachtree St., NE. Atlanta, Ga. 30309 Phone: 526-5418 (Area Code 404) Federal Office Building 911 Walnut St., 15th Floor Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: 374-2481 (Area Code 816) 450 Golden Gate Ave. Box 36017 San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: 556-4678 (Area Code 415) Regions VII and VIII are serviced by Kansas City Regions IX and X are serviced by San Francisco