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«■ M M M 'o m m lN cw U enev Vol. 3 No. 101 Sees End of Recession by Mid-Year f » April 7,1975 Des Moines, Iowa Economist Harvey N. Daniels of the F irst N ational Bank o f Minneapolis has forecast the end of the recession in mid-year, with m odest e c o nom ic grow th in the second half of 1975. For the year as a w hole, how ever, M r. Daniels sees a 4.3 per cent deH. N. DANIELS cline in real Gross National Product, double the 'rate of 1974. He defines real GNP as the sum of consumer expendi tures, investment, net exports and government purchases, discounted by a “ price deflator” to reflect the effect of inflation. Asserting that the flow of economic news in the near future will be discouraging on balance, Mr. Daniels said, however, that forces now are at work which can lead to recovery. He cited among them lower interest rates, moder ating inflation, savings inflow into thrift institutions, modest upturn in auto p rod u ction , end o f inventory accum ulation and strengthening of the common stock and bond markets. A basic assumption in his mid-year recovery forecast is the expectation of $25 billion tax relief in 1975, (announced right after his forecast was released), followed by $26 billion of added tax and spending stimuli in 1976. “ There is so wide a gap between the current depressed level of output and the economy’s potential to produce that substantial expan sion can occur before inflationary pressures reappear,” Mr. Daniels commented. He cautioned, how ever, that “ if strong stimuli are repeatedly applied over coming years, the gap will close late in the decade.” Excessive stimuli, he warned, could cause failure of the U.S. economic system. Highlights of his forecast in clude: Consumer prices -- rate of increase 7.1 per cent of the fourth quarter of 1974 to the fourth quarter of 1975. That compares with the peak annual rate of 15.6 per cent reached last August and September. Umemployment -- up to 9 per cent during 1975, and persisting for some time after economic recovery commences. Consumer income -- annual growth rates of 12.8 and 20.8 per cent for the second and third quarters of 1975, stimulated by the 1974 tax rebate. Housing - sales of single family homes have improved in recent weeks. Continued improvement will absorb excessive inventory and encourage added construction. Business capital investment — plant and equipment spending up 3 per cent of 1975, a much smaller increase than the 12 per cent in 1974. Corporate profits -- decline of 36 per cent from the $157 billion peak to the $100 billion level during the second and third quarters before modest improvement becomes evi dent. Prime rate -- expected to bottom out at around the 6 per cent level sometime in the next several months. Financial Institutions Act Fate Is Still in Doubt Although President Ford terms the Financial Institutions A ct (legislation resulting from the Hunt Commission Study) a priority measure needed to “ speed the n a tion ’ s return to econ om ic health,” his view is not shared by Congressional leaders and the savings and loan industry. Admin istration sources look for passage of FINANCIAL ACT. . . . (Turn to page 5, please) When you choose a city correspondent, do what over half of the banks in Iowa do — bank at MNB. John Mangold Senior Vice President Merchants National Bank 1:1 222 Second Ave. S.E. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Cedar Rapids, Iowa 52401 A ‘BANKS OF IOWA BANK 2 named electronic banking officer. Mr. Lund is coordinator of many of the electron ic system s being developed by the bank. Ä S T NATIONAL BANK Gary Stavanaon, Vice Präsident Doug VanMaetaran, Correspondent Rep. Improve your bottom line with our Correspondent Services from First National where your customers are our concern, too. logether; w e have a lot to share Comptroller Seeks Comment On Travel Agency Ruling The Comptroller of the Currency sent to the Federal Register on March 28 a proposed revised interpretive ruling on the subject of national banks providing travel services. The p rop osed interpretation states that national banks are without power to operate full-scale travel agencies but may, in the C om p troller’ s opinion, continue certain travel related activities such as making travel loans, selling travelers’ checks, foreign currency, letters of credit, transportation tickets and providing free travel information. Activities deemed to be pro hibited would include travel promo tion, soliciting travel business from the public at large and organizing or planning individual or group trips. Comments on the interpretation are requested to be submitted to be received by May 1, 1975. Iowa News AM ES: The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago has approved the formation of a one-bank holding company, K-Three Enterprises, Inc. The company’s only bank is University Bank and Trust Com pany of which Dean Knudson is president. CLINTON: Myron Weil, president o f F irst N ational Bank, has announced the appointment of Rudolph D . B ianchi as vice president and accounting officer and Mary Ruth Thornton as director of public relations. E A R LH A M : The Earlham Savings Bank will hold a grand opening in its new full service banking facility April 12 from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. FAIRFIELD: An application by the Iowa State Bank and Trust Company here to acquire the Farmers Savings Bank of Packwood has been denied by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. LUANA: Larry A. Riveland has joined the Luana Savings Bank. He is a graduate of the University of Iowa, Iowa City. MT. PLEASANT: Funeral services were held recently for John P. Budde, 86, president and chairman of the Henry County Savings Bank. Mr. Budde had been in banking since 1910. PARKERSBURG: Norman Gerdes has joined the Parkersburg State Bank as vice president. He form erly was associated w ith Maquoketa State Bank. Nebraska News OM AHA: Paul D. Kadavy, man ager of the personal trust depart ment of the United States National Bank, has been promoted to vice president. He joined the bank in 1969. Norman P. Lund has been Were in our new home at Seventh and Walnut. Stop in and visit us soon. B ern ie K e rs e y https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Iowa-Des Moines national Bank banco MEMBER FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION O M A H A : W illiam H . R iley, director of banking, has issued a n ^ ^ * ^ order of approval to the First Westroads Bank, Inc., to establish *** a detached auxiliary teller facility in the vicinity of 108th and West Dodge Road. OM AHA: John L. Bilby, Jr., has been appointed to the advisory board of Douglas County Bank & Trust Co. He is vice president of the John L. Bilby Construction Company. Minnesota News Hearings will be held by the Minnesota House April 10 on HF929, the Consumer Banking Facilities (EFTS) sponsored by the Minnesota Bankers Association. The Senate version of the bill is SF1000. The M BA supports the bill. Hearings were held April 3 on SF639, a regional branch banking bill which would authorize banks to open branches anywhere in their economic development region. This bill em bodies re c o m m e n d a tio n s ^ ^ from an independent study source ^ for the M BA. The M BA is not taking a position for or against the -4 bill. There were two amendments proposed: 1. Prohibit branching by merger, consolidation or purchase of an existing bank if the combined deposits would exceed 20% of deposits in the region or state. 2. Prohibit branching of any kind in a community of 2,000 population or less if one bank is already there. MINNEAPOLIS: The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has announced its denial of S E R V IC E WITH NO SM ILE. All our computer knows how to do is work. Quickly. Efficiently. But no smile. Bill Rickert and Ken Young are the ones who smile. Especially when they’re showing somebody how our straightfaced computer works. Call Bill or Ken today. 1-800-772-2015 National Bank of Waterloo > V y * i * y * y >• 00 CJl p b o o m CJl CJl CJl 00 CJl o CJl CO CJ) CJl b o b o b o b o b o _» _» -» b bo b o CD 3 O CD 3 o CD 3 O CD 3 b O CD 3 b o CD 3 CO CO </> CO CO CO CO CJl o o on NO b o b o b o on o 00 NO b O CD 3 b O CD 3 NO 00 CO CO CT> NO Q u a n t it y O a> ---* 00 o CD 3 CO NO 00 b o o 40,000 8924 St. Charles Road 9229 Natural Bridge St. Louis, MO NO o b o o 2 0 ,0 0 0 BANK & TRUST CO. ° 3. 3 —* 7,500 00 5,000 2,500 en o o CD > Q. O a _ m £ r+ “ Q) m biggest time-saving and money-saving bargains you can find today. SAVING TIME AND MONEY Wells You probably have seen or heard advertisements telling about the convenience of having a checking account at the bank. But have you ever stopped to think what that "convenience” means to your own family? Or, what it could mean to you—if you don't already have a checking account, or (possibly more important) if you have one but aren't using it to full advantage in paying bills. Nobody has ever seriously questioned that writing a check and putting it in the mail is the easy way to pay a bill. But a time-and-cost study made three years ago—before all the 1973-74 inflationary price rises and gasoline problems—even made us at the bank sit up and take notice. The results clearly show that a family checking account at our bank is one of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The study involved a mid-income couple living in a city of about 125,000 population—giving you an idea of how their "downtown" traffic situation and bill-paying chore compare with your own. For one typical month, this couple assumed they did not have a checking account. Instead of writing checks and letting the postman deliver them around the city, they paid all bills in person. They tried to do it ef ficiently by taking care of as many bills with one trip as possible without incurring penalties for late pay ment. Time and automobile mileage used in paying bills were carefully recorded. After 12 trips, driving 83.8 miles in stop-and-go traffic, and spending 4 hours and 35 minutes paying bills, the study concluded, "This couple had a better appreciation for their checking account and postmen." Paying bills by check and mail would save them more than 1,000 miles of city driving, 49 hours and $230.40 a year—on the basis of charging 15.5 cents a mile and arbitrarily valuing the couple's time at only $2 an hour. You may save more or less by using your checking account to full advantage—depending on mileage costs and value of your time. We are pleased when we can help people save or make money—in fact, it's our job. That goes for all your banking needs. ORDER FORM Please accept our order for______________ MoneyWise II per month. Begin with the release for_______________ Print with bank logo and bank officer using: Dblue; Dsand; or D ivory paper. copies of (month). DW e want to save $35 (masthead make ready) — by paying 6 months in advance. □ We prefer to pay monthly. Authorized by_______________________________ __ (name & title) Bank name____________________ ______________ _ Address_______________________________________ _ City, State, Zip_____________ ____________________ I understand that this order is for six printing months and that it renews on a like basis unless modified or cancelled 15 days before each extension. SPECIAL INSTRUCTIO NS Masthead Copy — send letterheads, condition statements or slicks. Black and white copy is best. We will re turn proposed bank masthead for approval. Officer's Photo — send black and white glossy. Print name and title on back with soft pencil. Camera Ready Copy for Inside Spread — observe margin requirements (no bleeds) and ship to arrive by the first of the month preceding release date. Set-up charge—additional $35. If materials arrive late, we reserve the right to "skip-month". The BankVertising Co., 1300 Hagan, Champaign, IL 61820 Fletcher E. Wells, Vice President and Cashier phone 217/356-1339 The mini newsletter attached is an actual sample of MoneyWise II. EXC ITIN G ! NEW! MoneyWise II keeps pace with today. Rides piggyback with monthly statements—making the most of your postage dollar. j r Created by The BankVertising Company, a newsletter house with over 16 years ex perience and presently serving more than 700 banks nationwide. ^ S e llin g , reselling, and cross-selling the whole bank and its people. ^F eatu rin g the bank logo and a bank officer (“ free“ rotation every six months with advance payment). ^ A lte rn a tive ly, may be printed with your camera ready material on the inside spread for a set-up fee. Printed on your choice of blue, ivory or sand paper. The rate schedule on back shows how inexpensive this monthly advertising program really is! Note: Priority for MoneyWise II must be pro cessed on a FIFO basis—so make your reservation, now. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org t h e a n k e r t is in g Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis B V company Thoughts To Live B y taylor BY DON LONG A GOLD MINE IN YOUR HEAD A British neurophysicist recently estimated it would take $3 billion to build an electronic computer that could match the human brain. Just think, y o u ’re carrying around a couple pounds o f gray matter worth $3 billion. Why not use it more? The more you use your brain, the better it works. The main reason that we fail to get good ideas is just a lack o f use. Our minds get rusty and dull. Louis Pasteur made some o f his greatest discoveries after he had a stroke that des troyed half his brain. Professor William James said, “ Compared with what we ought to be, w e’re only half awake. We’re making use o f only a small part o f our mental resources.” George Bernard Shaw wrote, “ Few people think more than two or three times a year. I have an international reputation by thinking once or twice a week.” Here are some ideas from the experts on using that gold mine between your ears. Write down some o f your specific goals in life. When y o u ’ve listed them, read them over often—think! Take notes. Jot down your ideas before they escape. Share your ideas and dreams. They may stir another person to think. Your mind is a valuable asset, better than a computer. But y o u ’ve got to use it! C o p yrig h t 1975, T H E B A N K V E R T I S I N G C O M P A N Y , 1300 Hagan, Cham paign, IL 6182 0 PROSPECTS FOR RECOVERY: Although the econom y still is slipping and uncertainties make forecasters jittery, better times are in sight. What’s ahead looks like this—a bottom ing out o f the slump this summer—then a leveling o ff, followed by a long, slow grind upward continuing into 1976. This is based on the assumption that auto sales and housing starts will perk up by mid year. Here are some good signs: (1) Wholesale prices—especially fo o d —are down a little and retail price-rise has slowed, (2) Interest rates are declining. (3) Tax refunds and rebates along with higher unemployment insurance benefits and an increase in social security checks are imminent. At the same time, burdensome business in ventories are being sold down. Before long factories are expected to be turning out more goods for restocking store shelves. TAXES ARE TOO H IGH -That is the real reason behind pressure for a tax cut—and why Congress is so willing to go along. Federal, state and local tax collectors now take more than a third o f every dollar o f income gen erated in this country—37 cents o f every $ 1 —w ith the federal government getting $2.49 for every $1.21 that goes to state and local collectors. The tax take is nearly nine times what it was in 1944—up from $48 bil lion to $423 billion. The average person works about 3 hours every day to meet his or her tax bill—more time than required to buy food , clothing and housing. CONSUMER-BUSINESS TRENDS-Census bureau reports show that the average U.S. household dropped to 2.97 persons in 1974. This reflects the decline in birth rate plus an increase in single-occupancy households. . . . Retail store credit is getting tighter and some firms offer incentives for cash. 5 > * C A L L ON T H E “P ER FO R M A N C E TEA M ” wv where comm on transactions are handled uncommonly well. FIRST NATIONAL LINCOLN 13th & M Street • Lincoln, Nebraska 68501 • Member, F.D.I.C. the application of Gamble-Skogmo, Inc., for exemption from the Bank Holding Company A ct’s restric tions relating to nonbanking activities and acquisitions. Don Rainer, Agricultural Representative . . . 7*ry Illinois News M t. J L M, » V- A ► >s> X Bankers Trust Use our toll free WATS line: 800-362-1688 COUNTRYSIDE: A charter has been issued to the State Bank of Countryside, 6801 Joliet Road. T otal capitalization w ould be $1,250,000, consisting of $500,000 in both capital and surplus and $250,000 in reserves. Officers are John C. Wheeler, chairman; David J. Robinson, president, and Hen rietta Pokrajac, cashier. GIRARD: State Bank of Girard has received permission to establish a motor facility at 113 North Second Street here. It also has eceived permission to exercise imited trust powers. t »»- wants to build a solid correspondent banking relationship with you. BELLEVILLE: Bank of Belleville has received approval to exercise full trust powers. G LEN C A R B O N : C ottonw ood Bank and Trust Company’s appli cation for Federal deposit insurance has been approved. Capital ac counts of the bank total $1,000,000. NORTHFIELD: An application for a permit to organize The Glenbrook Bank here has been filed. Total capitalization would be $1,000,000. RIVER GROVE: A charter has been issued to the River Grove State Bank at the corner of Belmont and Thatcher. The state bank’s total capitalization will be $1,375,550, consisting of $550,220 in both capital and surplus and $275,110 in reserve. Officers are Nels E. Werner, chairman; Sal vatore A. Lombardo, president, and Donald B. Kaufman, acting cashier. ROMEOVILLE: An application for a permit to organize BolingbrookRomeoville Bank has been filed. P ’otal capitalization w ould be *$1,500,000. North Dakota News The N orth D akota Bankers https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Association will hold the 1975 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Consumer Credit Conference at Andrew’s Steak House in Rugby April 10-11. Registration begins at 4 p.m. Thursday, April 10. Some of the topics of discussion include: “ Healthy Lease Operation,” “ Your M istakes are M y P rofit--T h e Trustee in Bankruptcy’s View point,” and “ Legislative Review.” Before adjourning March 26, the North Dakota legislature passed the EFTS enabling bill sponsored by the North Dakota Bankers Association. Purpose of the bill was to permit North Dakota banks to compete with S&Ls granted powers by the FHLBB, as well as with national banks granted powers by Comptroller James E. Smith to operate unmanned teller terminals at remote locations on an unre stricted geographical basis. DICKINSON: Richard Kingsley has been named auditor at the Liberty National Bank. He former ly was a bank examiner for the BETTER TALK TO A DROVERS MAN BERNIE MILLER ED RIETZ FRED CUMMINGS 6th & Locust/ Des Moines, Iowa 50309 Federal Deposit Insurance Corpo ration. PARSHALL: Peoples State Bank has received permission to exercise limited trust powers. Colorado News LITTLETON: John T. Waltershausen has been appointed trust officer of the United Bank of Littleton, according to W. G. Johnsen, president. He began his banking career in 1963 with United Bank of Denver. SALID A: The Chaffee County Bank’s application for Federal deposit insurance has been ap proved. Capital accounts of the bank total $505,000. M aybe you should take a fresh lo o k at things. Call and ask for Gene, Ed or Jim in our Banks and Bankers Division. 712277-6517 At The M ost Experienced Agricultural Financial Center In C h icag o. PHONE (312) 927-7000 THE DROVERS N A T IO N A L B A N K O F C H IC A G O 47th and Ashland Ave. Chicago, III. 60609 Member F.D.I.C. Security National Bank 6th & Pierce Street, Sioux City, Iowa D q w ntow n • M o rn m g s id e • Lf;f;ds M em ber F D I C — „ , „ Call our Bond Department äSk FUL ING For up-to-the-m inute, a ccurate inform ation C ommerce Bank o f Kansas C ity 10th and Walnut (816) 234-2000 Member FDIC FINANCIAL ACT. . . . (Continued from page 1) a bill this year; sources on the hill are not that optimistic. The Administration-backed ver sion would now continue the present deposit rate ceilings and rate differential between S&L’s and banks for 5 lA years, then abolish them. Originally, the White House bill would have “ phased out” the differential advantage enjoyed by S&L’s over the 5V§ year period. Even this revision to continue the differential for 5 V2 years hasn’t won S&L su pport. They want it continued, while obtaining all the other features in the bill advanta geous to S&L’s and at the expense of commercial banks. These further advantages would give S&L’s third party pow erschecking accounts, NOWs, and credit card operations. Addition ally, S&L’s would have lending authority to include consumer loans, real estate loans and construction loans. Their invest ment authority w ould include investments in community welfare and development projects, com mercial paper, high grade corporate debt, and banker’s acceptance on a limited basis. N ational banks w ould have liberalized powers to make, real estate loans and additional author ity for community welfare and development investments. Walter Knowles Vice PresidentManager Bond Department 234-2458 Cecil Denton Vice President Government and Municipal Securities 234-2450 WANT ADS Rates 35 cents per word per insertion. Minimum: 12 words POSITION W A N T E D Experienced banker, age 40, seeks opportunity for broader responsibility and advancement. Now No. 2 man in $50MM deposit bank; responsible for installment loans, commercial and real estate loans, personnel and operations. Will relocate. Write Box ASM, c/o NORTHWESTERN BANKER, 306 15th St., Des Moines, la. 50309. POSITION A V A IL A B L E Cashier—E xcellent opportunity for someone with 3 or 4 years bank experience. Replies confidential. Con tact Chas. Ertzinger, 815/562-7071 (not 562-7171 as shown in March 24 edition). BE YOUR AREA’S LEADING AG BANK. Doane’s Farming For Profit can fill a gap in your marketing program. Send this exclusive ag newsletter to the best farmers in your area. For a free 6-month sample subscription, write: D. R. Gorr, DOANE, Dept. 702, 8900 Manchester Road, St. Louis, Mo. 63144. 8 0 0 - 362-1615 POSITION W A N T E D * 4 Young man, age 32, with extensive experience in all phases (application through closing) in mortgage lending, and in special lending. Several years with Minneapolis savings and loan as loan officer, then manager of five departments. Have BA degree in Finance from Roosevelt University, Chicago. Wish to enter commercial banking. Have references. Will relocate. Married, two children. Box SSI, c /o NORTHWESTERN BANKER, 306 15th St., Des Moines, la. 50309. ^ FOR SALE Would like to sell N.C.R. Postronic and N.C.R. Proof Machine for a Burroughs Sensimatic Posting Machine. Pleasantville State Bank, Pleasantville, Iowa. 515/848-5741. OUR SPALDING “Pin-Flite” GOLI BALLS will keep your officer call program up to par! The price of $7.13 per dozen is possible because we have the warehouse and the dough. Of course, there is a slight catch. You must order 48 dozen at a time. Are you game? Warehoused, so no samples. But you will be so-o-o-o pleased. Bankers who know buy from Bob! BOB TUCKER ASSOCIATES, BOX 1222, PT. ARTHUR, TX 77640. “ Since 1958” -<* ^ B BANK OFFICERS WANTED Ready To Sell Your Majority Bank Stock? Write or Call: J. Mason Henry, President C H A R L E S E. W ALTER S CO ., INC. P. O. Box 1313, Omaha, Nebr. 68101 Phone: (402) 553-6400 ■PP When you need ■O k a little help i F t call us on our toll free Correspondent Bank Department wats number Central National Bank & Trust Com pany EDDIE A. WOLF Jim Peters Asst. Vice President Money Market Center 234-2219 WILLIAM B. GREAVES RUSSELL G. GREGORY S. GERALD B. PLAGER WOLFE MURPHY TR U S T— Head for$20MM Oklahoma bank........ $14,000 TR U S T— Missouri bank over $10 0M M .................$18,000 C O M ’L L O A N — S20MM west Texas bank. Some trust experience helpful........................... $18,000 TR U S T— Mo. holding co. o v e r$ 2 0 M M ............... $20,000 TR U S T— Small dept, near Gulf C o a s t ................. $16,000 AGRI-LOAN — $20MM Iowa b ank......................... $15,000 IN STALLM EN T L O A N — $20MM west Kansas b a n k .................... ^....................................$15,000 AUDITOR— Mo. holding co. over$200MMM .. .$18,000 C .E .O .— $17MM Kansas s u b u rb a n ..................... $20,000 SENIOR C O M ’L L O A N — $400MM Missouri holding c o ................................................. $24,000 TR U S T— with investment exper. & J. D. degree. Large holding co., N. D a k o ta ................. $18,000 C O M ’L LO AN (2)— $100MM Kansas b an k . . .$15-20,000 Applications completely confidential. This is just a sample of some of the opportunities available in the Midwest and Southwest. "IT TAKES A BANKER TO KNOW ONE” j TOM HAGAN & ASSOCIATES Box 12346, N .K .C ., Mo. 64116 (816) 474-6874 Vol. 3 N o. 101 Northwestern Banker New sletter is published weekly by the Northwestern Banker Company, 306 Fifteenth Street, Moines, Iowa 50309. Subscriptions 25 cents per copy, $6 per year. Second class postage paid at Des Moines, Iowa. Address all Digitized forDes FRASER mail subscriptions, changes of address (Form 3579) manuscripts, mail items to above address. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis < St