The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
MONTHLY REVIEW Of Industrial and Financial Conditions in the New England District By Frederic H. Curtiss, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent FEDERAL VOL. X RESERVE BANK BOSTON, MASS., JUNE 1, 1928 OF BOSTON NO. 6 THE SITUATION During the first quarter of 1928 industrial con- month since August, 1926. Production of fine ditions in New England we1e improving, and the cotton goods in April was about 50 per cent of the Index of New England Business Activity increased volume produced in April last year, but the strike from 100.0 in January to 103.1 in February, and in New Bedford affects this situation. The advanced further in March to 104.8. This rate average daily consumption of raw wool by New of activity was not sustained, however, and the England mills in April was less than in any month Index in April receded materially to 99.3. Busi- since August, 1926. Boot and shoe production ness activity in New England during recent weeks, was curtailed as usual in April, although in this therefore, as measured district the decrease was by this index, has been by considerably more BUSINESS ACTIVITY NEW ENGLAND AND UNITED STATES slightly less than during than the usual seasonal the average month of reduction. The rate of NEW ENGLAND 110 1923-24-25. The level operations during of indus.t rial activity in March, however, was !>.. ~ 90 unusually high, so that, April was nearly 3½ § 80 1----t--,i-------t - - - ; - - + - - - + - - - + - - + - - - - + - - - - + - - - - ; despite the decline from per cent less than that "> 10 1 - - - - -1--,1-- - - - + - - - - + - - - - + - - - + - - + - - - + - - - - - < of the corresponding March to April, the ·": month a year ago, level of activity during -~ 1:g ~ ~ ~ ~ - ~ - ~ -~ ~ - ~- ~ - - - - , ~ whereas during J anurecent weeks has been I I O >---->---------<--+· approximately the same ary, February and as a year ago. A March there was greater 80 f--~ f------J-d-- - + - - - + - - - + - - - +--+---+-~ activity this year thaii smaller number of ~ 10 >--- -f----,....C..,- - - - + - - - - + - - - - + - - - + - - + - - - - + - - - - - < workers was employed during the first quarter of 1927. The level of by Massachusetts facDuring the first three months of 1928 the index of New England busitories during April than wholesale commodity ness activity was higher than in the corresponding months a year a~o, but in April this condition was reversed, and there was a substantial in March. Declines in prices increased berecession in the index in April as compared with March. tween March 15 and employment from a April 15 from 96.0 to 97.4 per cent of the 1926 year ago have been reported in textile machinery average,' and the larger price advances were in and cotton goods factories, and in foundries and the farm products, foods, hides, and leather machine shops, while, silk, jewelry, and rubber products groups. Consumption of raw cotton by footwear manufacturers report improvement in New England mills during April fell off materially employment. April construction in New Engfrom that of the previous three months' average. land was larger than in any previous April, and In fact, the amount of cotton consumed in New for the four months ending April 30, new buildEngland during April was less than in any month ing in this district exceeded the same period a since July, 1926. The consumption of cotton by year ago by about 16 per cent. Sales of New all mills in the United States was about 15 per England department stores in April compared cent less in April than during the corresponding unfavorably with those of April a year ago, a month a year ago, and was less than in any decline of 11.8 per cent having been reporteq . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ~ 2 June 1, MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON MONEY AND BANKING Money rates in the New York market strengthened considerably during the three weeks ending May 19. Quotations for brokers' prime commercial paper, four to six months' maturity, advanced from 4½ per cent to 4½-4¾ per cent during this period, while time money secured by mixed collateral rose one-quarter of one per cent to 5¼ per cent, and the rate on bankers' acceptances, 90-day bills, increased from 3½ to 3½-4 per cent. The weekly average rate on call money during the weeks ending May 5, 12, and 19 was 5.25, 5.67, and 5.67, respectively. During the week ending May 21 a year ago the prevailing rates were: commercial paper, 4-4¼ per cent, time money, 4¾ per cent, bankers' acceptances, 3% per cent, and call money, 4.16 per cent. The level of money rates at the middle of May was distinctly higher than that of the corresponding period a year ago. On May 25 the rediscount rate of nine Federal reserve banks was 4½ per cent, and of three banks was four per cent. The rediscoun t rates of the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia, New York, and Cleveland were raised from four to 4½ per cent, effective May 17, May 18, and May 25, respectively. Total loans and investments of reporting New England member banks, which were at a new high level on April 18, had declined on May 16 by more than $32,000,000. The total loans and NEW 1924 19 2 5 ENGLAND investments of reporting member banks of the entire country, however, increased during this period by about $211,000,000. Collateral loans of reporting New England member banks declined between April 18 and May 16 by $21,511,000 (Boston, -$21,715,000; eight outside cities, +$204,000). Commercial loans were reduced by $9,483,000 (Boston, -$9,774,000; eight outside cities, +$291,000)) and holdings of security investments decreased by $1,334,000 (Boston, -$4,130,000; eight outside cities, +$2,796,000). Collateral loans of reporting member banks of the entire country increased substantially during this four-week period, by $185,000,000, and holdings of security investments increased about $36,000000, while commercial loans were reduced by about $10,000,000. Because of the predominance in the volume of transactions in Boston as compared with eight other New England cities, the condition of the New England reporting member banks is affected principally by changes in conditions in Boston banks. Between April 18 and May 16 there were increases in collateral loans, commercial loans, and holdings of security investments of reporting member banks in eight important New England cities outside of Boston, yet the combined figures of reporting member banks of New England declined not only in total loans and investments but in each of the three MEMBER 19 2 6 BANK CREDIT 19 2 7 I 9 2 8 1100 .,, ~ 1000 j 0 Q ...0 .,, 900 ~ ~ ~ 800 700 11100 ~ ~ 0 Total loans and discounts of reporting New England member banks advanced materially between the last of February and the middle of /\pril to a new hi&h point, qut between April 18 and May 16 there was a reduction, although on the latter date the level was still hi~her, with the exception of March and April, than during any previous perioq. •• https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1928 3 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON items comprising the total. During the 12 months ending May 16, the following changes occurred in the condition of the reporting New England member banks: Actual change in dollars Collateral Loans .. . ........ . ... . ........ +$100,682 Security Investments...... . ...... . ...... +69,742 Commercial Loans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . + 22,806 Total Loans and Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . + 193,230 Percentage change +25.8% +13 . 8 + 3. 1 + 11. 8 Total loans and investments of reporting member banks of the entire country increased about $2 >100,000,000 between May 18, 1927 and May 16, 1928, of which $1,224,000,000 was in collateral loans, $622,000,000 in security investments, and $255,000,000 in commercial loans, increases of 21.1, 10.3, and 2.9 per cent, respectively. The expansion of member bank credit, therefore, of both reporting member banks of the country as a whole and reporting New England member banks has been relatively similar during the past 12 months. Total deposits of reporting member banks of the Federal reserve system increased about $1,409,000,000 between May 11, 1927, and May 9, 1928, an increase of 7.2 per cent. The per cent of reserve to deposits of reporting mem her banks, which was 8.6 on May 11, 1927, was 8.6 again on May 9, 1928. Total bills and securities, or total earning assets, of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston decreased by $31,986,000 between April 18 and May 16. Loans to member banks increased during this period by $1,166,000, but acceptances purchased in the open market declined by $27,361,000, and holdings of Government securities were reduced by $5,791,000. During the two months ending May 16 there was little change in the volume of Federal reserve notes in circulation in this district. MONEY RATES AND BOND The reserve ratio of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston was 67.3 per cent on May 16, which was 11.5 per cent lower than the ratio on May 18, 1927. Total cash reserves on May 16 were about $185,000,000, and on May 18, 1927, were about $221,000,000. Between April 18 and May 16 total bills and securities of all Federal reserve banks combined increased about $104,000,000. Holdings of acceptances purchased in the open market, however, declined about $4,000,000, and holdings of Government securities were reduced by about $79,000,000. This decrease of $83,000,000,· due to the reduction in the holdings of acceptances purchased in the open market and Government securities, was more than offset by a substantial increase of $187,000,000 in loans to member banks, with the result that total bills and securities increased between April 18 and May 16 by about $104,000,000. The changes in condition of all Federal reserve banks combined between May 16, 1928, and May 18, 1927, are given m the following table: Loans to Member Banks .... Acceptance H oldings ....... Government Securities .. . ... Total Bills and Securities . . .. l,4t6 Total Cash Reserves ........ Reserve Ratio .... . ........ 2,802 69.7% Federal Reserve Notes in Circulation .............. Total Deposits ......... . ... Change +$349 + 122 7 952 + 464 3,223 79.3% - 421 9.6% 1,583 1,711 - 128 2,434 2,353 + 81 Loans to brokers by reporting New York member banks on May 16 were $4,502,000,000, and on May 18, 1927, were $2,931,000,000. In the 12 months ending May 16 this year there had been an increase of $1,571,000,000, or 53.6 percent. COMMERCIAL YIELD 1927 1928 May 18 May 16 (in millions of dollars) $ 807 $ 458 347 225 269 262 LOANS OF COMPARED BROKERS MEMBER WITH LOANS - NEW BANKS- U.S. YORK 1928 1926 AVERAGE YIELD ON _ O_ H_IG_H _ G .,R_A~ t;)E_ B_ON_D---'S-- + - - ~ - - + -5 t--_e 192 7 1928 --__._j ~ ~ .... C: c::i MONEY RATES PRIME COMMERCIAL PAPER (4-6 MONTHS OUOTCD) ~ 8,--,--.--,--.-,--,--,--,-r--.-,---,-,--.-,r-r-,--r-r-- -r--r-r-,-r-r-r~~~~m ~ 4 f -- - -- - -!-- -- - - - - - + -- ---- - - - < ::! lb 3t---- - --t-- - - - - + - - - - - - + - -- -- In March t h ere was a slight drop in the average b ond yield, and in April a slight increase, so t hat the April average b ond yield corresp onded with that of both January and February. Money rates have continued t o strengthen, and during the middle of May practically all rates were higher than those of the corresponding period a y ear ago. Digitized forofFRASER Sources data- Standard Statistics Company, Inc., and Federal Reserve https://fraser.stlouisfed.orgBank of New York. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial loans of reporting_ member banks of the entire country advanced between the first of February and the second week in April , but have since shown a slight decline. Loans to brokers of reporting New York member banks on May 16 were the highest ever recorded, and during the 12 m onths ending May 16 had increased b y $1,571, 000,000, an increase of 53.6 per cent. 4 June 1, MONTHLY RE\71EW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON NEW ENGLAND MARKETS NEW ENGLAND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDEX Per Cent of 1923-24-25 Average 1928 1927 100 . 0 99.5 103.1 97.6 March ... .. ....... ..... ........... . 104.8r 102.5 April ...................... ... .... . 99.3p 102.6 May ............................. . 102 . 3 r. revised p. preliminary Receipts of raw cotton continued considerably less than last season. fi.~b~~~y: : : ::: : ::::::::::::::::::: Hariford:-More active building, a larger volume of carloadings, and an exceptionally large volume of check payments point to active The New England Business Activity Index business and industry. Lynn:-The seasonal decline in shoe production declined five per cent between March and April, and for the first time this year it was below the resulted in a smaller number employed in April corresponding period of 1927. Declines in the than in March. Trade, however, has been imadjusted figures of carloadings, building, cotton proving. Building has been more active than a consumption, wool consumption, shoe production, year ago. New Bedford:-The sharp reduction in April and employment were responsible for the reduction in business activity. Check transactions in check payments shows the effect the textile strike April in most New England cities were larger than is having on general trade activity. Little in April, 1927. Sales of new automobiles in this influence has been felt as yet in the market for district for the first four months this year were fine cotton goods, although the trading has been nine per cent larger than in the corresponding very light. New Haven:- Department store sales declined period last year, while the total United States production of passenger cars for the same period in April, and were less than a year ago. Business is fair, and industrial output compares favorably with was 5.5 per cent ahead of last year. Boston:-With the exception of building activ- a year ago. Check payments continue to expand. Portland:-Building is active, and provides emity, business and industry were lower in April than a year ago. Retail trade has been consider- ployment for the local supply of craftsmen. ably below 1927, and carloadings, employment Business, as indicated by check transactions, is fairly active. and postal receipts have declined. Bridgeport:-Building has been active. A Providence:- There was evidently little change slight increase from March was reported in between March and April in the industrial situaemployment, and in the metal products factories tion in Providence or in neighboring cities. A the number on payrolls was larger than a year ago. slight reduction in employment in jewelry and Brockton:-Shoe shipments in April were about textile establishments was offset by increases in the same as in March, but a sharp decline the the metal trades and rubber factories. first three weeks in May was reported. EmployWorcester:-The April volume of check payment has declined seasonally. ments was below April last year, although for Fall River:-Some improvement in employment the first four months this year they have been was reported in April, partly due to more active larger than a year ago. Industry is apparently building. The coarse goods market is slow. operating less actively than in 1927. COMPARISON 4 Of" CHE.CK MOS. 11128 COMP. WITH SAME PERIOD 192 7 1926 103.8 104.1 104.3 100.2 102.0 DE.PARTMENT PAYME.NTS PROVIDENCE APRIL 19 28 COMPARED WITH APRIL 1927 STORE SALES NEW HAVEN BOSTON BANGOR . 200 BROCKTON FALL RIVER IJJ ,: ~ 150 - - - - - - · HOLYOKE HARTFORD LOWELL LYNN NEW NEW " ,: a: BEDFORD HAVEN PORTLAND PROVIDENCE --..:.~ I 00 f-- z IJJ ~ u a: ~ ,---1 :.....: 80 l{,J 1928 1928 u. 0 !2 ~ ~ N ~ "Q m 150 ~ ,: IJJ v MANCHESTER 200 1927// 1927"'/ - J1 3 YEAR AVE. 1924-1926 ,,: . . .J ··...·....-!.1' ~,.£j '\ ,~. •· VI v~ 0 '11 100 ~ N 80 '" ?!: m :n ► 3 YEAR AVE. 1924-1926 60 60 40 40 GI m SPRINGF'IELD WATERBURY In the majority of New England cities check payments in April were larger than a year ago. De~reases were reported in Fall River, Lowell, Manchester, New Bedford, and Worcester. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sales in Providence and New Haven department stores are representative of the decline in retail trade in April as compared with April a year ago that has occurred throughout the district. 1928 5 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON COMMODITY PRICES AND INDUSTRIAL CONDITIONS Wholesale Commodity Prices:-The level of wholesale commodity prices~ as measured by the "All Commodities" index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased rather sharply between March 15 and April 15 from 96.0 to 97.4 per cent of the 1926 average. Farm products, foods, hides, and leather products increased substantially over March, the first mentioned rising four per cent to 107.6 per cent of the 1926 average. Increases were also reported in the building materials and chemicals and drugs groups, while the house furnishings and miscellaneous groups declined. The commodity price decline that began in the summer of 1925 was halted about a year ago, after the "All Commodities" index had dropped over 10 per cent. Since April last year, the wholesale price level has risen four per cent, most of this increase having taken place between June 15 and October 15. Between October 15 and March 15, however, prices were irregularly declining, but since March 15 this loss has been more than recovered. The improvement from April, 1927, has been due almost entirely to strength in the prices of farm products, which in this period have risen 14 per cent, while nonagricultural commodities have increased less than two per cent. Employment:-The number of workers employed by Massachusetts factories in April declined two per cent from March. A considerable part of this decline was of a seasonal nature, although in most industries the number employed was below April, 1927. Substantial declines in employment from a year ago _have taken place in textile machinery and cotton goods factories and WHOLESALE COMMODITY in foundries and machine shops, while silk, jewelry, and rubber footwear manufacturers report considerable improvement in employment. A relatively much smaller number of workers was employed in April in establishments operating on a normal full-time schedule than in March or in April a year ago. The average weekly wage in April declined to the lowest point since July last year, and the aggregate weekly earnings were 4.2 per cent less than in March. The number of workers on the payrolls in Connecticut industrial centers was about the same as a year ago, especially in the metal concerns. Employment in selected Rhode Island establishments showed little change from March . Building:-The volume of ne·w construction in April continued the tendency to expand that has been in evidence since the first of the year. In the United States the value of new building contracts awarded in April was the largest in any month so far recorded by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, and in New England the April construction was larger than in any previous April. For the four months ending April 30, new building in this district exceeded the same period last year by approximately 16 per cent. Vermont, Connecticut, and Massachusetts reported the most active building programs, in comparison with a year ago, the first two showing large increases, while Massachusetts reported about the same volume as last year. All the major classifications of building, including residential construction, were larger than a year ago, but an increase of nearly $5)000,000 in the value of public works and utility building was responVALUE PRICES OF BUILDING' NEW 19 2 6 19 2 5 I 70 J,. MAM J J A. s 0 DJr 19 2 7 192 8 1"'1M1J1JIAI.Sior, 0 i4r1M/1M1J1Wr2-r~~ 5 60 CONTRACTS AWARDED ENGLAND I 9 2 I I9 2 2 l 9 2 3 1928 ~ 20 BASIC COMMODITY PRICE INDEX ~1601--A- - . - - - + - - - - - + - - - - - - - + - - - - - - ; ::,; VALUE "<: ~ I 50 f---V-----¥'-H,,.-- - - - - . - + - - - - - t - - - - - - - i ~ ~ 140 f---------+--___:::,'---V1~++---1----"f.......' - - - - - - - i 0 ~ ~ -~ 130 f - - - - - - + - - - - - + - - ' 1rP-- - - - + - - - - - - 1 40 t------t-:t---+-- - - t - - - - t - - '....,,....;>-!rt--'/-·H cl Q I 20 L,,,\/\,'l,/\.J___,____.__.L..J_J_JJ_L1.....LJ..__J_J,-'-'-'-'-- +so~~~~~~~~~ ....L-'--'--'---'-"-L-i....1..-'--'----'......L..L'--'-'_.L_L.'---Yl'lfl/JI" ~~~rn~~ ::; 30 l---++--+-i,-t-+-+.-H-1=~++---1 ---++---;---1 .... ~ -25 >---++•HHlf---- - t t - Although a slight reaction has taken place in the 20 Basic Commodity Price Index, it is still higher than at the first of this year. In Dun's list of prices, advances continued to exceed declines. Sotirces of data-Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Dun's Review. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Building contracts awarded during the first four months of this year established a new high record for that period. The 12 months' total. however, is still considerably below the high point reached in 1025, Source of dala-F. W. Dorlge Corporation. 6 sible for the increase in the total between March and April. Boots and Shoes:-Shoe production was curtailed as usual in April, although in this district the decrease was by considerably more than the normal seasonal reduction. As previously pointed out in this Review, however, the spring peak this year was higher than usual, and shoe factories in this district have been operating at a relatively more active rate than those in other parts of the country. The net result, notwithstanding the large decline from March to April, is a scale of operations approximately on a par with a year ago. The decline in production outside of New England, while not as large as in this district, was sufficient to reduce the level of activity to a point well below a year ago. Metals:-April operations in the iron and~steel industry continue to expand. Steel production was at a new high level, and, although pig iron production on a daily average basis was higher than in the preceding month, it was seven per cent lower than in April, 1927. Towards the end of the month orders were distinctly less than a month earlier, and the decline of 460,000 tons in the unfilled orders of the United States Steel Corporation forecast the reduction in steel operations that has taken place so far in May. The seasonal decline in the steel industry, now a month later than usual, is not expected to carry the level of operations as low as a year ago, but at the present time the automotive is the only one of the large industries that is buying in sizable quantities. Numerous small orders -have not prevented weakening in prices of both finished steel and pig iron. Consumers are buying only for immediate requirements. Machine tool orEMPLOYMENT PER 100 June 1, MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON 1924 CENT IN or 192 NUMBER MASSACHUSETTS 1919-'23 1926 or PRODUCTION OF FINE COTTON FABRICS PRICES OF RAW COTTON AND COTTON GOODS AVERAGE 192 7 ders continue to expand, and automobile production in April was slightly larger than in March or in April, 1927. Nonferrous metals, especially copper, have been stronger. Foreign demand has been large, and recently domestic consumption has improved. Textiles:-Further reductions in wool consumption, cotto'n consumption, and fine goods production were responsible for a sharp decline in the index of textile activity from 96.0 to 82.8 percent of the 1923-25 average, in spite of further improvement in silk mill operations. In comparison with general business, which also declined between March and April, the textile industries, with the exception of the silk mills, are operating on a much lower plane. Cotton consumption in April was lower than in any month since July, 1926> and, after making allowances for seasonal conditions, it declined to the level of last December. The production of fine goods in April was about SO per cent of the volume produced in April last year, due to the strike begun the middle of that month in New Bedford. Trading, however, has been unaffected. With the supply of goods large enough to meet the light demand, prices have shown practically no change. Coarse goods markets have been even slower than in the preceding months. Wool consumption for the second consecutive month was below the corresponding period of last year. Trading, however, has been more active, with prices of many grades still rising. Manufacturers have had difficulty in maintaining goods prices on a parity with the rising raw material costs. Since December the New England silk mills have been increasing their operations, and employment and mill activity are the highest on record. 19 28 220 I9 23 I924 I9 2 5 I9 2 6 I92 7 I92 8 650 WAGE-EARNERS ,J 200 ~ ~ 180 ~ 0 ~ 160 1 co 600 J I 140 -I :J: 0 C t- 120 400 ~ N !!! ...0 IA ~ z w V 100 ~I ~I 70 The seasonal improvement in employment this spring was less than usual, and the number employed m three of the leading industries in Massachusetts is now lower than a year ago. Source of data-Massachusetts Department of Labor and Industries. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 80 ~ ,, R 300 l;: 60 40 200 A sharp decline has taken place in the production of fine cotton fabrics. A considerable part of this decline had occurred before the New Bedford strike. Prices of raw cotton and cotton goods are slightly higher than at the first of the year. Sources of data-Fairchild Publications and New Bedford Fine Cotton Goods Exchange 1928 7 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON RETAIL AND WHOLESALE TRADE Sales of reporting New England department stores in April were about 12 per cent less than during April a year ago, about four per cent less than in April 1926, and six per cent less than in April, 1925. All of the six New England states showed substantial decreases, with New Hampshire stores reporting the largest decline and Maine department stores the smallest. During the first four months of 1928, only the Maine stores showed an increase as compared with a similar period of 1927, sales of all New England department stores being five per cent less for the January through April period this year than in 1927. • Connecticut Department Stores. . . . . . . . . . . Maine Department Stores .. .... .. . . . . .. .. Massachusetts Department Stores . . . . . . . . . ew Hampshire Department Stores ...... . Rhode Island Department Stores . . . . . . . . . . Vermont Department Stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Boston Department Stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Boston Women's Apparel Shops . . . . . . . . . . . New Haven Department Stores . ...... . ... Providence Department Stores . . . . . . . . . . . . New England Department Stores . ... . . . . . . New England Wholesale Grocery Concerns . New England Wholesale Shoe Concerns.. . . . SALES CONDITIONS 1927=100 Month of April 1926 1927 1928 1925 94 91 95 100 78 97 85 100 96 88 93 100 78 83 100 87 98 94 100 97 87 100 88 96 93 100 89 93 93 93 100 95 92 94 100 98 94 100 88 94 92 100 88 105 105 100 95 99 86 91 100 January through April 1925 1926 1927 1928 95 96 100 99 90 91 100 106 92 95 100 94 91 100 89 100 100 100 98 99 94 100 99 92 96 100 93 86 89 100 96 94 94 100 99 100 100 100 99 93 96 100 95 106 101 100 96 102 98 100 97 Credit conditions, as indicated by the percentage of open accounts outstanding at the first of April collected during April, compare unfavorably this year with conditions during the previous three years. Although the percentage collected during April by New England department stores declined slightly from the corresponding period a year ago, Providence department stores show an increase of better than four per cent. The Boston women's apparel shops also reported a slight gain, while the Boston department stores showed a decrease of two per cent. CREDIT CONDITIONS Percentage of Open Accounts Outstanding at the First of April Collected during April 1926 1925 Boston Department Stores . . . . . .. . ....... . ....................... . .. 52.7% 52.1 % Boston Women's Apparel Shops . .. . ..... .. ............ . ......... . ... 51.0 53.5 New Haven Department Stores ........................ .... ......... 53.8 55.8 Providence Department Stores ....... . .. . ........................... 48.2 48.2 New England Department Stores ..... . .............. . .. . ... . .. . ..... 49.0 48.9 ew England Wholesale Grocery Concerns ........... . ........ . ...... 75.4 69.4 New England Wholesale Shoe Concerns ............ . ..... ... ......... 37.3 36.6 1927 50.6% 49.2 56.0 43.3 46.9 71.1 39.4 1928 48.6% 50.7 53.8 47.6 46.5 70.0 33.3 SALES BY DEPARTMENTS-NEW ENGLAND DEPARTMENT STORES 1927=100 January through April Month of April 1928 1927 1926 1925 1928 1926 1927 1925 88 100 110 111 Silk and Velvet Dress Goods .. . ........ . .. 129 100 89 118 90 100 123 84 Woolen Dress Goods ... ... . .............. 155 111 100 160 92 100 114 127 Cotton Dress Goods ..................... 138 100 97 116 96 100 Silverwear and Jewelry .. . .......... ... ... 88 94 100 79 90 86 94 100 Men's Clothin~ ............. . . . ......... 100 99 92 100 95 88 100 100 Men's Furnishings ................... . ... 94 100 86 94 87 89 93 100 97 76 Boys' Wear .... . ...... . ... . ............. 100 94 75 90 94 100 Women's Ready-to-Wear ................. 119 98 108 100 105 90 96 100 87 100 82 86 Misses' Ready-to-Wear ... . ... . .. . ....... . 88 98 104 100 84 88 Juniors' and Girls' Ready-to-Wear .. . . . .. . . 72 100 88 80 90 100 93 100 97 Millinery ....... . ... .. .. .. ... . . . ........ 92 89 92 94 100 96 87 100 82 79 Women's and Children's Gloves ....... . . . . 85 95 100 100 100 105 91 Corsets and Brassieres . . . . . .. .. .. ........ 108 99 102 100 81 83 76 100 88 78 Women's and Children's Hosiery ... . .... . . 97 100 86 100 95 Knit Underwear, inc. Glove Silk . . ......... 88 89 85 90 100 102 100 101 105 88 Silk and Muslin Underwear ... . .. ...... . .. 107 97 100 97 100 91 90 93 90 Women's and Children's Shoes .... . ....... 100 97 100 100 95 Furniture . . ....... .. .... ... .. . .. . ... . .. . 91 90 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON June 1> 1928 SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UNITED STATES 150 19 24 19 25 1926 19 27 1928 ~ :,; "t ... i .. V' -'}I 100 ~ .... ~ \j ~~~ - r The volume of industrial production continued large during April, reflecting chiefly increased output in metal industries, while activity in industries producing food and clothing decreased. Wholesale and retail trade also declined. The general level of wholesale commodity prices increased in April, reflecting advances in farm products. There were Jarge exports of gold in April and May, member bank loans and their borrowings at. the reserve banks continued to increase, and money rates showed further advances . 50 Proditction:-Production of manufactures remained in about the same volume in April as in March, while output of minerals declined slightly, owing chiefly to a decrease in production of bituminous coal. Daily average output of iron and steel, copper, and zinc increased in April, but since the first of May there has been some curtailment in steel mill activity. Automobile production was maintained in large volume during April, and, according to preliminary reports, also during the first half of May. Textile mill activity, output of boots and shoes, and meat production showed substantial declines during April. The volume of factory employment declined slightly, reflecting chiefly decreases in the food, leather, and textile industries. Building contracts awarded in April exceeded those for ::my previous month, and awards during the first three weeks of May continued in unusua~y large volume. ~ Q. 0 WHOLESALE PRICES UNITED STATES 7 5 ' - - - - - - - ' - - - - ' - - - . . , __ _.___ FEDERAL RESERVE BANK UNITED STATES __, CREDIT ! ~ Q ~ 11.----- ~-'-----+- - +""""""'' -l------l ~ 3:::! Ill MONEY RATES NEW ·YORK 6 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 Trade:-Sales by department stores and by wholesale firms in most lines of trade declined in April, and were in smaller volume than a year ago. Average daily sales of department stores, after allowance is made for the earlier date of Easter and the usual seasonal changes, were smaller in April than in March, and were also smaller than in April a year ago. This decrease was due largely to unfavorable weather conditions. Stocks of department stores, after adjustment for seasonal changes, were in about the same volume as in March, and slightly smaller than a year ago. Freight carloadings showed an increase between the beginning of April and the middle of May, but for most classes of commodities continued smaller than a year ago. Prices:-The general level of wholesale commodity prices, as indicated by the index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased from 96 per cent of the 1926 average in March to 97.4 per cent in April. This increase reflected sharp advances in the prices o( grains, cotton, livestock, and hide and leather products. Rubber prices continued to decline, and most of the other groups of commodities showed little change. During the first three weeks of May there were decreases in the prices of grains, fl.our, sheep, and hogs, and increases in copper, zinc, and rubber. Bank CredU:-At member banks loans largely for commercial and industrial purposes, following a rapid increase during February and March, have shown little change ~ince the early part of April. Loans on securities continued to increase, and total loans and investments of reporting member banks in the middle of May were larger than at any previous time. The outward movement of gold continued in May, the decline in monetary gold stock during the four weeks ending May 23 being nearly $90,000,000. This loss of gold together with further sales of United States securities by thefreserve~ banks, was reflected in an increase of nearly $140,000,000 in member bank borrowing at the reserve banks. I - COMMERCIAL PAPER RATE RESERVE BANK REDISCOUNT ACCEPTANCE RATE RATE o~_ __.__ _......__ _..,__ __..___ __, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis There were further advances in open market money rates during May, and discount rates at the Federal Reserve Ranks of New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Atlanta, and Dallas were raised from four to 4½ per cent.