The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
MONTHLY R-EVIEW Of Industrial and Financial Conditions in the New England District By Frederic H. Curtiss, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent FEDERAL VOL. XVI RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON, MASS., DECEMBER 1, 1932 BOSTON NO. 12 THE SITUATION During October a recession from September of of these three months, however, the volume was slightly more than seasonal character occurred in greater than in any month during the period from the level of general industrial activity in New January through July, and in October production England, although an index of electric power con- was about 23 per cent greater than in the corresumed for industrial purposes in this district, sponding month of 1931. During the first 10 compiled by the Electrical World, rose between months of 1932 total boot and shoe production in September and October, and carloadings of merch- this district was in practically the same volume as andise and miscellaneous freight were in larger vol- during the similar period last year. In Octo her, as ume during October. Most lines of activity, how- compared with September, an increase of more ever, either did not in- ,--------- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - . than four per cent was LIFE INSURANCE SALES-NEW ENGLAND recorded in the number crease as much as usual between September and NEw PAID-,oR ORDINARY iNsuRANCE of wage-earners em75 JAN. FEB MAR APR MAY JUN. JuL . AuG. sEP. ocT Nov. DEc. ployed in manufacturOctober, or actually decreased moderately. >-------+-------+-- - -- - - - ---< ing establishments in 10 The volume (square Massachusetts, and aglQ 55 > - - - - -~ - - + -- - - - - - + - - - - - - - - - - - < gregate payrolls in manfeet) of residential building con tracts ~ 60> - - - + - + - -- - + - - ~- - - - - - + - - - - - - - - _ , _ _ , ufacturing establishawarded in this district, c::. ments increased 2.6 per ~ 55 which during Septem.,, t--,>---.--- - - + - - - -_ . , . . _ - - - - - - - - - ---+-.,.__, cent, although average her had risen to 25.4 per 3 501--".......,=:;;,,,,--=--,.t-- - - - - +~--'t----tl---,----=--t------J weekly earnings per percent of the 1923-24-25 ~ son employed declined ~ 45> - - - - - - + -~ - - - - + - - - - - = - ~~ + - - - - - - - i slightly. Registrations average month, fell off to 22.9 per cent in Octot--+ ---f'-----,;;;,,,...-~ j of new automobiles in 40 New England during her, and the volume of 35 commercial and industhe first 10 months of • 1 b "ld" Although the amount of new ordinary life insurance written in New tna Ul ing con tracts England during 1932 was less tha n in either of the two preceding years, 1932 were 43 •5 per cent a warded remained prac- the seasonal decline betwe{930~~d~ 93~~ September was less tha n fewer than in the correticall y unchanged at Source of data-Life Insurance Sales Research Bureau. sponding period last 15.2 per cent of the 1923-24-25 average. Cotton year, while in October a decrease of 45. 7 per cent consumption in New England mills increased in occurred from October, 1931. The amount of new October from the preceding month, but by less ordinary life insurance written in this district durthan the usual seasonal amount, while consump- ing October was 21.1 per cent less than in that tion of raw wool, which usually increases between month last year. The number of commercial September and October, declined noticeably. failures in New England, as reported by R. G. Wool consumption in this district, however, was Dun & Co., for the first 10 months of the current considerably greater during August and September year increased by 27.6 per cent over the similar than in any other months of the current year. period last year, but total liabilities were 12.4 per Boot and shoe production in New England, when cent less this year. Sales of reporting retail esallowances for seasonal changes had been made, tablishments in this district were about 21 per reached a peak for the year in August, and declined cent less in October than in the corresponding slightly in September and also in October; in each month of 1931. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ~~~---+-~-~---+--~~--~-~~ 2 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON December 1, MONEY AND BANKING Contrary to the usual seasonal upward trend was largely seasonal in character, and not excesat this time of year, money rates on November 23 sive when compared with previous years. in the Boston money market were either unThe movement in time deposits during recent changed or easier, as compared with the past months has been rather erratic. From a high several weeks. The asking rate on bankers' prime volume of over $219,000,000 reached on Septem90-day acceptances, unchanged at one-half of ber 28, time deposits, with rather wide fluctuaone per cent, remained at the lowest level since an tions, declined on November 2 to $202,000,000, American acceptance market was first established and remained substantially unchanged during in 1914. A small but increasing volume of the following two weeks. On November 2 net brokers' prime commercial paper was being sold demand deposits reached a peak of nearly $590,on November 23 at 1¼ per cent, thus creating a 000,000, the highest volume recorded for the new all-time low rate for this class of paper. In year to date, and one week later than the peak October the lowest rate was 1¼ per cent, and the reached for total deposits as a whole; a decline of downward tendency toward the 1¼ per cent rate $17,000,000 occurred between November 2 and began to gain momentum during the past fort- November 19. While the decrease in total denight. The average yield on the November 23 posits this year agrees rather closely with the issue of United States Treasury bills was 0.17 per average decline during this period for the past cent. This is slightly higher than the record low four years, the decrease of $17,000,000 this year yield of 0.14 per cent on Octo her 19, but lower than in net demand deposits is approximately $5,000,for any of the three issues sold between October 19 000 less than the average reduction for the and November 23. This November 23 offering corresponding period of the past four years. During September the decline in loans and replaced Treasury bills dated August 24, whose average yield at time of issue was 0.42 per cent. discounts ceased in the Boston banks, but the Between June 8 and October 26 total deposits upturn was only a seasonal interruption in the in the Boston member banks increased over process of loan liquidation, and in October the $82,000,000; by November 16 a continuous and decline was resumed. Between September 21 fairly rapid decline had reduced this expansion by and November 16 total loans and discounts consome $27,000,000, bringing the volume of total tracted $40,000,000. Commercial loans during deposits to $793,000,000, approximately the level this period declined $27,000,000 and collateral of late September. This contraction, however, loans $13,000,000. Within the past month there FEDERAL RESERVE FLUCTUATION OF BANK PRINCIPAL OF BOSTON ITEMS ·····•••... //' \/NOTES IN CIRCULATION •••.... -----·-- : '.::--,,:.:~.:::.::~ .:::;;;~~~:,,_... •• ...•• The monthly averages of loans to member banks by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston declined each month between December, 1931, and October, 1932, while holdings of Government securities more than doubled between March and August. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1932 3 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON has been relatively little change in the volume of customers' loans -secured by stocks and bonds, the decline being largely confined to contraction in loans to brokers. Despite the decline of $47,000,000 in collateral loans ·o n November 16 as compared with a year ago, the proportion of this class of loans to total loans and discounts rose from 36 per cent to 40 per cent; on the other hand, the decline of $95,000,000 in commercial loans during the year maintained the proportion of total loans and discounts substantially unchanged at 51 per cent. Thus, although the declines in the actual volume of these classes of loans were large, the proportionate composition of the total remained little changed during the year. Total holdings of all classes of stocks and bonds by Boston member banks reached a peak of over $333,000,000 on November 2; during the following week the volume declined $12,000,000, but this reduction was partially offset by an increase of almost $4,000,000 during the week of November 16. Most of these fluctuations occurred in holdings of United States Government obligations; holdings of other stocks and bonds declined slowly but steadily throughout the period by about $5,000,000. Total deposits in the weekly reporting member banks outside of Boston reached a volume of over $504,000,000 on November 2. During the week ended November 16 demand deposits showed a small increase, while both commercial and collateral loans continued the downward trend of recent weeks. On November 16 this year collateral loans comprised about 35 per cent of all loans and discounts, as compared with 38 per cent last year; the proportion of commercial loans, on the other hand, was 38 per cent, as MONEY RATES AND BOND against 40 per cent a year ago. In contrast to the situation in Boston member banks, investment holdings of United States Government obligations rose, while other security investments remained relatively unchanged. The volume of total bills and securities held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston remained substantially unchanged between October 26 and November 16. On the other hand, total cash reserves reached a recent high point early in November, since which time the decline has been fairly marked, amounting in two weeks to $14,000,000. During the same period total deposits fell $10,000,000, paralleling the decline in deposits in the member banks. The steadily declining trend in the volume of Federal reserve notes of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, which has been in progress since early in July might indicate a rather rapid reduction in the volume of currency in circulation in this district. The trend of Federal reserve notes alone, however, is not conclusive in this respect. It is complicated by the rather wide changes taking place from time to time in the volume of other currency in circulation, as well as the changes occurring in the volume of national bank notes in circulation. The volume of gold and gold certificates in circulation, like Federal reserve note circulation, has been showing a steadily declining trend in recent months; on the other hand, the volume of national bank notes in circulation has been expanding, as a result of the provisions of the Federal Home Loa.n Bank Bill, making available additional United States Government obligations as security for national bank notes. New England as a whole, however, has taken much less advantage of this new circulation privilege than has been the case in the rest of the United States. COLLATERAL PRICES REPORTING 1929 1930 1931 LOANS MEMBER BANKS 1932 (l) ~ ~ - ~- - r -- - - - -~ ~ 8~ 0 z V> ~ - - - -- - ~ ~ -- ~ - -- ---1 7 ~ 0 0 ... r r 0 ·····•·,· 6 § ~ a:: ~ 3l.---!---l'.~ ~ ~ , _ . j ~ - -~ - - - - - - 1 5 J: 4 In November prime commercial paper rates, 4-6 months' maturity. in the New York market, dropped to levels even lower than the unusually low rates which prevailed during the summer of 1931. Source of data-Federal Rcsevre Bank of N ew York. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Collateral loans of New England reporting member banks declined during the first seven months of 1932 at about the same rate as those for the entire country, but have declined only slightly since July. 4 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON December 1, NEW ENGLAND INDUSTRIAL CONDITIONS Electric Power:- Industrial activity in New 1929, the seasonally adjusted index of merchanEngland continued to show approximately the dise, l.c.l., and miscellaneous carloadings for over same rate of change during October as that which 40 months did not record more than seven monthly prevailed during the preceding three months. increases, approximately one monthly increase The index of electric power consumed for indus- every six months. In the current year, during the trial purposes by representative establishments in six months from February through July,a constant eight branches of manufacturing activity, com- decline was recorded, carrying the index down to a piled by the Electrical World, indicated, after new low; the past three months, August, Septemseasonal adjustment, a rise of more than five per ber, and October, however, were months during cent in October. In the past four months an in- which increases occurred, the first time since the crease has taken place in the index of electric beginning of the downward trend during which power consumed for industrial purposes amount- any consecutive increases have been recorded. ing to more than 25 per cent, a monthly rate of Building :-The total value of new construcincrease of approximately six per cent. This tion contracts awarded in this district during percentage of increase per month is about one per October was 9.1 per cent less than the value of cent larger than the rate of improvement evident the September awards. This decrease in October in the several indices of industrial activity and followed two months during which moderate inproduction. Such indices as electric power pro- creases were recorded. In no instance during the duction, carloadings, residential building, com- current year has there been a monthly increase mercial and industrial building, and consumption over the corresponding month in 1931. The of raw cotton and wool in the aggregate gained value of new contracts awarded during the first 10 about five per cent a month from May through months of 1932 on the whole have amounted to September. In October, however, slight declines only about 40 per cent of the value of construction were recorded in each of these indices, with the undertaken in the same period last year. During exception of carloadings. On the whole there has October the only increase among the principal been a fairly close correlation in both the direction classes of construction occurred in the public and the magnitude of the movement of the ad- works and utilities, the group which is dominated justed indices of electric power consumed for by new highway •awards. The seasonally adindustrial purposes and the various production justed indices for the volume of new residential indices in this district during recent months. and commercial and industrial building in October Carloadings :- The index of merchandise 1. c. 1. declined, the residential index losing about all and miscellaneous carloadings, adjusted to season- the gain noted in September, during which al variations,increased in October. The downward month only a fractional decrease was recorded. trend in the volume of carloadings has been one of Reports covering the first half of November the most persistent movements in the depression. indicated no improvement in the daily average of Starting from the peak recorded in February, new construction contracts awarded, either in the COMPARISON OF CHECK 10 MOS. 1932 COMPARED WITH SAME PERIOD 1931 PAYMENTS CARLOADINGS OCTOBER 1932 COMPARED WITH OCTOBER 1931 BOSTON I 1930 IN NEW ENGLAND 1931 1932 I BANGOR BROCTON rALL 401---- - - --+-- - - - -- + - -- RIVER - -- --f HARTrORD ~ HOLYOKE ~ LOWELL I I LYNN ~ NEW BEDrORD I NEW I I I I I I I I ~ HAVEN I I SPRINGrlELD I WATERBURY I . _l__ WORCESTER - -40% -30% - 20% -I Q;G Only one city (Boston ) showed a decline of less than 20 per cent in volume of check p ay ment s during October in comparison with the corresponding month a year ago. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis zot-,-,-~=-----:.==-- - t - - - - - --1~ -- - ~-----J ~ I PORTLAND PROVIDENCE I ~ "' MANCHESTER 0'--'-.1...L-l-.1....-'----'--....L...L.-1....J.---L-.....l-1....J.....L....l-'-L-J....J'----'--.........__._.._..,__,_............... . . . L . . . L ~ ~ With the exception of the Labor Day week, the curves representing t otal and merchandise, l.c.l. , and miscellaneous carloadings have shown a fairly steady upward tendency since the middle of July. S ource of data-American Railway Association. 1932 total or in any of the three principal classes. Employment:-The total number of wageearners employed in 1113 representative manufacturing establishments covered by reports of the Massachusetts Department of Labor and Industries was 166,786 for the week ending near October 15, an increase of 6519 employees, or 4.1 per cent, compared with the number employed in the same establishments during the corresponding week in September. The amount of the combined weekly payroll for all manufacturing establishments reporting showed an increase in October of 2.6 per cent over the September amount. The average weekly earnings per person employed were $17 .57 in Octo her compared with $17.83 for September. October was the third successive month in which increases in employment and wage payments have been reported since July of this year, the month which marked the lowest point of the industrial depression. The increases in the number employed in all manufacturing industries combined were as follows: August over July, 12.3 per cent; September over August, 9.8 per cent; October over September, 4.1 per cent. Since July the total increase in employment was 28.3 per cent. The increases in the amount of payroll for the three months were as follows: August over July, 13. 7 per cent; September over August, 13.2 per cent; October over September, 2.6 per cent. Since July the total increase in the amount of the payrolls was 32.2 per cent, which exceeded somewhat the increase of 28.3 per cent in the number employed, indicating that not only were large numbers added to the working force, but also that many of those employed were working a greater number of hours per week in October than in July. These increases may be considered as a further step in CONSUMPTION OF RAW COTTON DAILY AVERAGES-NEW 6000 5 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON JAN. FEB. MAR APR. MA"I" JUN. COTTON AND RAW the recovery from the low point of the depression in July, rather than seasonal, because, on reference to the records for seven prior years, 1925-1931, it was found that the averages of the percentage changes in October, compared with September, were a decrease of less than one-half of one per cent in employment and a decrease of 1.5 per cent in the amount of the payrolls. The number of wage-earners employed in the 48 Massachusetts cotton goods establishments reporting showed an increase of 4. 7 per cent, and the payroll showed an increase of 4.8 per cent. In the 51 woolen and worsted goods mills the increase in employment was one-half of one per cent, with a decrease of six-tenths of one per cent in the payroll. In the 10 dyeing and finishing plants employment decreased two-tenths of one per cent, and the payroll declined 2.8 per cent. The 98 reporting boot and shoe establishments showed an increase of four per cent in employment and a decrease of one per cent in the payroll. Conditions in this industry were varied, with the establishments in Brockton showing the greatest improvement. Returns from 29 electrical machinery and radio apparatus concerns showed an increase of 9.5 per cent in employment and a decrease in the payroll of 1.1 per cent. The gain in employment was almost wholly due to improvement in radio apparatus manufacturing. The regular monthly report of the Commissioner of Labor for Rhode Island, covering 219 manufacturing establishments and 33 building and construction concerns, showed that the 219 manufacturing establishments had 52,684 persons employed at the end of October, compared with 53,803 at the end of September and 47,540 at the end of August. The number was 2.1 per cent smaller than at the end of September, but was WOOL SHOE ENGLAND JUL . AUG. SEP. PRODUCTION NEW OCT. NOV. DEC. 1926 I 1927 1928 ENGLAND 1929 1930 1931 1932 ~ .,,! CONSUMPTION 14 i\ 10 ;,.,,, ,. 12 " 0) Ii 7lI A r·1 II I ~ :, I• !\ ,LL.-.... \ :-. i\ /"\ I ~. i i !\ \ I \/ T'~'1I\' \} _l_ ! l~' ~ i ,: lI / \V: ~ 7 -- \ ~I \ l I,.., \ \ I ii t i \ v \ \ l /'"i I :t [\: \ \ V ~ . --· ACTUAL NUMBER - 1 2 MOS. MO\! AVE. 0 Although continuing the rapid rise since July, the consumption of raw cotton in October increased only moderately, while the consumption of raw wool showed a definite falling off from the high point of the year recorded in September. Source of data- U.S. Department of Commerce. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In October, for the third consecutive month, shoe production in New England showed an improvement over the same month of last year. Although production declined seasonally in October, it was the largest for that month since 1929. Source of data- U. S. Department of Commerce. 6 December 1, MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON 10.8 per cent greater than at the end of August. When compared with the same periods of 1931 and 1930, these establishments had 4. 7 per cent fewer persons employed than in 1931 and 17.9 per cent fewer than in 1930. A smaller number of workers was employed in the metal trades, cottons, silks, woolen and worsteds groups, while increased numbers were employed in textile finishing, rubber, and miscellaneous groups; an increase of less than one-ten th of one per cent was reported in the jewelry group. The 120 textile plants of all kinds reported 35,690 workers employed at the end of October, compared with 37,107 at the end of September, a decrease of 3.8 per cent. While the increases in New England employment and payrolls in the past three months have been largely seasonal in nature, some decrease has taken place in the percentage of deficiency in comparison with the corresponding months of last year. Employment at the end of October was only 10.0 per cent below October, 1931, compared with 30.2 per cent less in July; similarly, the October payrolls were 22.3 per cent less than in October, 1931, compared with a 42.2 per cent shrinkage in July from the same month last year. Boots and Shoes:-The total number of pairs of shoes produced in this district during October was 11,225,000 pairs, a decrease of 8.4 per cent from the preceding month. The October output was 23.5 per cent greater than that for the corresponding month of 1931. The relatively good volume of production during the past three months (August through October) has brought the total output for 1932 to date to within 500,000 pairs of the production recorded in the first 10 months of 1931, a decrease of less than 0.03 per cent. It will be recalled that for the entire year MEN'S FURNISHINGS til 350 1923 1924 1925 1926 •- · MONTHLY INDEX -12 MOS. MOV. AVE. 325 ~ ~ 300 1927 1928 HOSIERY SALES BOSTON DEPARTMENT STORES MONTHLY INDEX AND 12 MONTHS MOVING 1929, 1930 1931 19~2 ~ 12 AND DEPARTMENT MONTHS MOVING STORES AVERAGE ~ 1,,. 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 -+-- - + - - + - - - - + - - + - - - + - - + - - - - t - - - l 25011 - - - - + - - - f - - - + -- , ! - - ---+- 225,f - - - + - - + - - - + - ~~ i ~ i , ~ , 7s+- - - l l - - - i l ' - - f l -- --ll-- -li---4-----t- - - - i ----¾----il----!1--!l----t- --l ;i! ~2001 1----1----+--+---i-!-----il--~!------➔ ,----i -tt--~---....., 200"----1-1---il---H--~-!-------i!----4---..;+-~4-----,J-----i 75n,..- - - U - - - ! 1- -,::: l-,.__. ,:--1-- - L l - - -'4 ----H n --;+---!-+----t 15, :: I ::~~~~i~J \AJ\NVJ\!V:,\r https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis INDEX 1924 o., 275,f---+- ~ 250 i 3:-' 1923 "'~ ~ "> 2251 - - - . ; / - - - l l - --: l----+l-----;+--H- - SALES-BOSTON MONTHLY AVERAGE I... 2751----1----¼---¼----il---+--+----+---!t---tt-----, ·'":' 1931 shoe production in this district amounted to 111,500,000 pairs, the fourth largest annual total since 1922. The normal peak in shoe production occurs in September, but this year the volume of the August output was so large that, after seasonal adjustment, a decrease was recorded in the index of shoe production for September, and a similar decline was noted in the adjusted index for October. Compared with the declines during the same months in the two preceding years, shoe production this year is well sustained. Textiles: -New England textile act1v1ty, which has been principally responsible for the improvement in the general industrial situation during the past three or four months, was not equal to seasonal expectations during October. The volume of raw cotton consumed in .October amounted to 72,521 bales, which, after seasonal allowances had been made, was 1.6 per cent below the September total. In actual percentage the October index reported a gain of almost 16 per cent over the corresponding month a year ago. The change in the volume of raw wool consumption during October, as compared with the preceding month, was more pronounced than that in raw cotton. While the actual number of bales of cotton consumed in October was greater than in September, the poundage, grease equivalent, of raw wool consumed during October declined about 4,000,000 pounds to a total of 23,420,000 pounds, grease equivalent. This decline, after seasonal allowances had been made, reduced the index of raw wool consumption for October more than 24 per cent from the September index. The October index of wool consumption showed a rate of consumption more than 10 per cent greater than that obtaining during the same month in 1931. ::,. 1so,f-----if-- -~ I 25 ~ ~ u ~ 100 i - H--r,..- !l -4-- - l - l - - * il _ __, --H---i+--i-+----:-+--H--LL-H ! L._ - .-\ -++--+t-----, 1 j ' tJ: ~ 1 A i i ~ ' : ' : i I\ f \! •,,,! \, ,i N\.. J.:....+-rr\ f : 1: ~ I \{ -i I ,/i ~:, _;i ':i i:\ J i \ i ,! V if V V V ' VV 1./ / 1/ ,, : l :;i ~ -l+1'- /\ ! 75 ' ! : A ~: / I 1 r\ ~ I J " V s , O l - - ' - + - - - + - - + - - - + ---+----+---+---+-----+----+I 2 5 , t - - - - - + - - - f - - - + - -+ - - - + - - ·· · MONTHLY 112 M?S. INDEX Mor AVE. J_____j I 1932 7 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON RETAIL TRADE The volume of sales in reporting department stores in ew England was 22 per cent lower during October than in the corresponding month of 1931, and 33 per cent smaller than in October, 1930. The stores also reported a decrease of 22 per cent in sales for the first 10 months of 1932 compared. with 1931 and of 30 per cent compared with 1930. Relatively large declines from October, 1931, occurred in stores in each of the six New England states, ranging from 16 per cent in Maine to 29 per cent in New Hampshire. Stores in Providence and New Haven collected their regular accounts outstanding at the first of October at a less favorable rate this year than in October of the three preceding years. The Boston stores reported a higher rate of collections than in October, 1929, 1930, and 1931, and in the entire group the percentage of regular accounts collected during October this year was larger than in the same month in 1930 and 1931, although smaller than in October, 1929. The men's clothing and the silk and muslin underwear departments showed the smallest decrease in sales, amounting to 13 per cent, in comparison with October last year, while the most marked reductions from the corresponding month a year ago continued to be recorded in the cotton dress goods and jewelry departments, with declines of 27 and 29 per cent. Connecticut Department Stores .. .... . . . . Maine Department Stores ........ . . . ... . Massachusetts Department Stores .. . . New Hampshire Department Stores ..... . Rhode Island Depa.rtment Stores .. ... ... . Vermont Department Stores .... . . . . . ... . Boston Department Stores ....... . . . ... . New Haven Department Stores ....... . . . Providence Department Stores ...... . ... . . . ew England Department Stores . ..... . . SALES CONDITIONS 1931 = 100 Month of October 1929 1930 1931 1932 111 103 100 73 116 84 108 100 111 100 123 78 111 100 120 71 121 82 110 100 112 105 100 74 77 126 114 100 99 100 70 105 121 82 110 100 122 111 100 78 January through October 1929 1930 1931 1932 106 104 100 79 110 106 100 80 113 109 100 78 115 110 100 72 124 112 100 81 114 108 100 76 112 109 100 78 79 109 105 100 122 111 100 81 113 109 100 78 CREDIT CONDITIO S Percentage of Regular Accounts Outstanding at the First of October Collected during October 1930 1929 44.2% 39.1% Boston Department Stores ...... .. .. . . .. .. . ... . ... . ......... . 52.7 New Haven Department Stores .... .. . . .. ... ... . . . .. .... . . . . . . 53.8 48.8 52.9 Providence Department Stores ..... . . . . . . . ......... . ... . ... . . . 46.1 43.5 New England Department Stores .. . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1931 43.6% 49.9 46.0 44.3 1932 45.7% 47.8 42.1 44 .7 SALES BY DEPARTMENTS-NEW ENGLAND DEPARTMENT STORES 1931 =100 January through October Month of October 1929 1930 1931 1932 1932 1930 1931 1929 146 128 100 71 135 100 77 170 Silk and Velvet Dress Goods ... . . .. .... . 116 93 100 74 94 100 75 122 Woolen Dress Goods ...... . ... . ..... . . . 132 100 66 143 137 100 73 166 Cotton Dress Goods ... ... . . .... . .. . . . . . 108 100 74 125 100 71 *Jewelry ............. . . . . . . . . . ... . ... . 73 126 114 100 87 163 139 100 Men's Clothing ....... .. . . .... . . . ..... . 118 114 100 78 138 78 125 100 Men's Furnishings .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 121 112 100 76 78 127 100 132 Boys' Wear ....... . .................. . *Women's, Misses' and Juniors' Ready-to74 100 109 111 100 76 Wear .................. . ........... . *Women's, Misses' and Juniors' Ac81 100 108 81 115 100 cessories ....... . ... . . . ..... ... .. .. . . 77 110 100 115 141 83 118 100 Millinery ................ . ..... .. .. .. . 74 100 99 91 74 119 100 123 Women's and Children's Gloves ..... . . . . . 83 100 104 108 84 110 100 114 Corsets and Brassieres ............. . . .. . 82 100 114 120 78 119 100 127 Women's and Children's Hosiery ...... . . . 77 100 115 131 128 100 78 144 Knit Underwear, including Glove Silk ... . 84 100 102 87 108 106 100 113 Silk and Muslin Underwear ............ . 82 100 110 113 81 114 100 117 Women's and Children's Shoes .... . . . . . . . 78 100 110 116 96 100 80 106 Furniture .................... .. .. . ... . * Due to a change in the reporting service, identical figures for 1929 are not available for these departments. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 MONTHLY REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Dec. 1, 1932 SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES PRODUCTION STATES INDUSTRIAL UNITED 1927 14 1928 1929 1931 1930 1932 l.j ~ 130 A. ~ 12~ -~ 110 § I'~ 1=~ - / \ 1~ \ 9' ~ "A. a~ I,. u~ \.. 7 \r - :~ ~ so FACTORY EMPLOYMENT UNIT£0 STATES 1927 II 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 ~ ' -~ 9 § 80 ~ I,. 7 ~ 60 5 WHOLESALE PRICES UNITED STATES ,z~ Production and Employment:-Industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, continued in October at 66 per cent of the 1923-1925 average, as compared with a low level of 58 per cent in Ju]y. In the textile industries, which had shown a rapid expansion in August and September, there was a slight decrease in consumption of raw materials, while output of finished products increased somewhat. Shoe production, which also had increased substantially in recent months, showed a seasona] dec]ine. Operations at steel mills expanded from an average of 15 per cent of capacity in September to 19 per cent in October, contrary to seasonal tendency, and, according to trade reports, continued at about this rate through the first three weeks of ovember. Production of automobiles in October declined further to a new low level. At coal mines activity continued to increase rapidly until the midd]e of October, but since that time a reduction, largely seasonal in character, has been reported. Emplo7ment in most manufacturing industries increased between the middle o September and the middle of October, and the Board's seasonaJly adjusted index of factory employment showed an advance from 60 per cent of the 1923-1925 average to 61 per cent. At textile miJls working forces increased by considerab]y more than the usual seasonal amount, and substantial increases were also reported at steel mills, lumber mills, and car building shops. In the canning and automobile industries there were decreases in employment. Value of construction contracts awarded, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, continued at low levels during October and the first half of November. The Department of Agriculture estimate of the cotton crop, based on November 1 conditions, was 11,950,000 bales, about 525,000 bales larger than the estimate a month earlier. "'1 ~ ~ .... Volume of industrial output, after increasing considerably dming August and September, remained unchanged in October. Factory employment and payrolls reported for the uiidd]e of the month showed a further increase. During October, as in the last three weeks of September, wholesale commodity prices declined, and in the first three weeks of November the general average was at the level of early summer. 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 Distribution:-From September to October the volume of freight traffic increased by more than the usual seasonal amount; after the middle of October carloadings declined, reflecting chiefly seasonal developments. Dollar value of dE>partment store sales increased by the usual amount in October. II ~ "'1- '--" "'~ 9 ~ 8' I,. ~ ~ 7 .. - --,"'" " ~ ......_ 5 Wholesale Prices:-vYholesale commodity prices, ae measured by the monthly index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, declined from 65 per cent of the 1926 average in September to 64 per cent in October. Weekly figures show declines in the general average from early September through the first week in November, reflecting reductions in the prices of many domestic agricultural products and their manufactures, as well as the prices of steel rails, copper, coffee, rubber, and silk. In the second week of November prices of many leading commodities, including grains, hogs, cotton, silk, zinc, lead, and tin, advanced considerably, but later the prices of these commodities declined. 4(: RESERVE BANK CREDIT ANO FACTORS IN CHANGES UNITED STATES ~4~,--+--=+---t-="-"-,r=+-+--"-~ 03000:!:-=~-+c==--+="'"""'"""'?==~r==='T"'==~ ~Z&Oot-:=;;::f;:::::::::::::::+:::::~c=4=::t::::~~ci ~ 2.o oot - - - + - - - + - - t - - t - - - - i ' k >'f-L- i ~ 15001--~h,,-,=...p,.,.--=A-----t---t-l----l https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Bank Cr,dit:-Volume of reserve bank credit showed Jittle change for the four-week period ending November 16. Member bank balances at the reserve banks increased further by $75,000,000, and in the middle of November were about $475,000,000 in excess of legal reserve requirements. This growth in reserve balances reflected an increase of $60,000,000 in the stock of gold and the issue of additional national bank notes. Demand fm; currency showed little change during the four-week period. Loans and investments of reporting member banks in leading cities outside New York City and Chirago declined further between the middle of October and the middle of November, reflecting a further reduction of loans at these banks. In ew York City the investments of member banks increased by an amount larger than the decrease in loans, so that total loans and investments of these banks showed a further increase. Money rates in the open market continued at low levels during October and the first half of November. Rates on 90-day bankers' acceptances were unchanged at one-half of one per cent, and rates on prime commercial paper declined from a range of 1¾-2 per cent to a range of l½-l¾ per cent.