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National Economic Trends
May 1987
The general rate of price increase accelerated recently. Assessing the extent of this rise depends on the periods com­
pared because of the influence of volatile energy and food prices over the past 16 months. As the table below indicates,
the pace of increase of producer and consumer prices for several different periods varies widely. These periods illustrate
the effects of the oil price decline in early 1986 and the smaller oil price rise in early 1987.
Price increases generally slowed in 1986, especially in the first four months, but have accelerated sharply since then.
Excluding fuel and food, producer prices appear to have accelerated in early 1986, while consumer prices show no ac­
celeration until early 1987. The implicit price deflator is relatively less affected by food and energy but its movements
show the same general pattern as consumer prices: the rate of price increase fell from a 3.6 percent rate in the fourth
quarter of 1985 to 2.1 percent in 1986, then rose to a 4.2 percent rate in the first quarter of 1987. The extent of the recent
acceleration depends on the periods compared and on whether one examines the overall indexes or those that exclude
the direct effects of food and energy.

Annual Rates of Change of Prices

Producer prices, finished goods
Producer prices, fuel related
products and power
Producer prices, food
Producer prices, excluding
food and energy
Consumer prices,
Consumer prices,
Consumer prices,
Consumer prices,
and energy

all items
energy
food
excluding food

12/ 86- 4/87

4/ 86- 12/86

12/ 85- 4/86

8/ 85- 12/85

5.1%

1.6%

-9.4%

3.4%

30.4
- 0 .8

-1 3 .0
6.9

-5 7 .1
- 4 .5

5.8
8.1

2.4

2.5

3.0

1.7

6.0
18.6
2.8

2.7
- 7 .9
5.8

- 1 .8
-3 9 .0
0.0

4.0
- 5 .0
5.3

5.3

3.5

4.3

4.3

NOTE: All rates are computed from seasonally adjusted data except for the energy measures.

—John A. Tatom

THK
F K D K R V l.

A RHSHKM
BANK of
Æ p ST. Ij()1'IS
^

views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve system.



_______ TOTAL C I V IL I A N EMPLOYMENT____
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES O f CHANCE
TERMINAL
I N I T I A L MONTH
THOUSAKJS
MONTH________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________O f PERSO NS
3-87
11-86
9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85
12-86
1-87
2-87
4-86
9-86 10—86
2-86
3-86
5-86
6—86
7-86
8-8 6
1-86
107*792

10-85

2 .1

11-85

2 .1

2 .1

12-05

2 .0

2 .0

107*978
1 .9

108*149
108.892

1-86

3 .6

4 .1

5 .2

2-86

2 .1

2 .1

2 .2

2 .3

- 3 .6

3-86

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

2 .5

- 0 .5

2 .8

4-86

2 .2

2 .2

2 .2

2 .3

0 .3

2 .3

1 .8

8 .6

106* 557
108*807
108*969
109*165

5-86

2 .2

2 .2

2 .2

2 .3

0 .8

2 .3

2 .0

2 .2

6-86

2 .5

2 .5

2 .6

2 .7

1 .6

2 .9

3 .0

3 .6

5 .0

7-86

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

2 .8

1 .8

3 .0

3 .0

3 .4

4 .0

3 .0

109*613
109*887

8-86

2 .5

2 .5

2 .6

2 .7

1 .9

2 .8

2 .8

3 .1

3 .3

2 .5

2 .0

9-86

2 .2

2 .2

2 .2

2 .3

1 .5

2 .3

2 .2

2 .3

2 .3

1 .4

0 .5

110*067
- 0 .9

169*987
r r 6 ,t 4 *

10-86

2 .2

2 .2

2 .2

2 .3

1 .6

2 .3

2 .2

2 .3

2 .3

1 .6

I . 1

0 .7

2 .3

11-86

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

1 .7

2 .3

2 .2

2 .3

2 .3

1 .8

1 .5

1 .3

2 .5

2 .6

12-86

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

t.Y

2 .3

2 .2

¿ . r

2 .3

1 .9

i.6

1 .6

2 .4

2 .4

¿ .i

2 .5

2 .4

2 .5

2 .5

2 .2

2 .1

2 .1

2 .8

3 .0

3 .2

4 .1

110*432
IT 0 .4 3 7
111*011

1-87

2 .4

2 .4

2 .4

2 .4

1 .9

2-87

2 .5

2 .5

2 .5

2 .6

2 .1

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

2 .7

2 .4

2 .3

2 .4

3 .1

3 .3

3 .5

4 .1

4 .1

3-87

2 .3

2 .3

2 .3

2 .4

1 .9

2 .4

2 .4

2 .4

2 .4

2 .1

2 .0

2 .0

2 .5

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

1 .9

- 0 .2

4-87

2 .5

2 .5

2 .5

2 .5

2 .2

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

2 .4

2 .4

2 .4

2 .9

3 .0

3 .1

3 .3

3 .0

2 .5

10-85 -LL tA ? 12-95

1-56

2-flfr

10-86 11-86 12-86

1-87

2-87

9-85

8 -86

5-86
IN IT IA L

111* 382
111 * 368
5 .1

111* 635

7 ..

MONTH

____________________________________________________ e * € P A * e O EV f E D E R A l R E S E R V E
MAY 8* 1987

&AN* O f S T . L O Q IS

____________PAYROLL EMPLOYWENT________________________________________________________________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CHANCE
TERMINAL

IN IT IA L

MONTH

THOUSANDS

MONTH______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Of PERSONS
9—85 10-85

11-85 12-85

2-86

11-85

3 .3

2 .9

12-85

3 .2

3 .0

3 .0

1-86

3 .6

3 .6

3 .9

2-86

3 .2

3 .1

3 .1

3 .2

1 .6

3-86

2 .8

2 .6

2 .5

2 .3

l.l

0 .7

2 .7

2 .7

2 .0

2 .2

2 .4

4-86

5-86

6-86

7—86

8-86

9-86

10-86 11-86 12-86

1-87

2-87

3-87

98*666
98*910
4 .8

99*296
99*429
<W*4§4
3 .7

9 9 * t8 3
*9 *9 1 8

2 .5

1 .9

2 .0

2 .6

1 .6

2 .1

1 .9

1 .3

1 .3

1 .5

0 .4

- 0 .9

2 .3

2 .2

2 .1

1 .6

1 .6

1 .9

1 .3

1*1

3 .2

1 .7

5-86
6-86
7-86

3-86

98*428

10-85

3 .7

4-86

-

1-86

8-86

2 .4

2 .3

2 .2

2 .1

1 .7

9-86

2 .5

2 .4

2 .3

2 .2

1 .9

10-86

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

2 .3

2 .1

11-86

2 .6

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

2 .1

2 .4

2 .2

2 .5

2 .3

12-86
2 .6

99*843
100*105
100*283

1 .9

1 .5

1 .5

2 .7

2 .2

2 .2

1 .9

1 .9

2 .9

2 .8

3 .4

2 .1

2 .3

2 .1

2 *2

3 .0

2 .9

3 .3

2 .2

2 .4

2 .2

2 .3

3 .0

2 .9

3 .2

3 .1

2 .9

2 .5

2 .3

2 .4

3 .0

2 .9

3 .1

3 .1

3 .0

37r

¿ .4

2 .6

2 .*

2 .6

3 .1

3 .1

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3 .4

100*460
3 .2

166*624
161*046
161*322

1-87

2 .7

2-87

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

2 .6

2 .5

2 *6

3 .0

3 .0

3 .2

3 .1

3 .1

3 .1

3 .2

¿.T

3-87

2 .6

2 .6

¿.5

2 .5

2 .3

2 .4

2 .5

2 .4

2 .5

2 .9

2 .9

3 .0

2 .9

2 .8

2 .8

¿.1

2 .3

1 .8

4-87

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .6

2 .4

2 .5

2 .6

2 .5

2 .6

3 .0

3 .0

3 .1

3 .0

3 .0

3 .0

3 .0

¿ .T ~

2 .8

3. 8

9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

6-86

7-86

8-86

2-87

3-87

IN IT IA L

3 .T

9-86 10-86 11-86 U - 8 6

101*626

1-87

101*854
102*0090
102*3250

MONTH

P- P R E L IM IN A R Y




PREPARED PY fE O E R A t
MAY 8 t 1 9 8 7

2

R E S E R V E BANK O f ST » L O U IS




EMPLOYMENT
RATI O

SCALE

M I L L I ONS

OF

RATI O
PERSONS

MILLIONS

SEASONALLY AD JUSTED

OF

SCALE

PERSONS
125

I 20
1 15
1 10

105

100

95

90

85

80

75
1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

SOURCE: U.S.DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
BEGINNIN6 JANUARY 1986. TOTAL EMPLOYMENT DATA INCORPORATE NEW PROCEDURES FOR ESTIMATING
MEASURES OF IMMIGRATION AND EMIGRATION INCREASING TOTAL EMPLOYMENT BY ABOUT 0.3%.
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

UNEMPLOYMENT
SEASONALLY

P E R C E NT

RATE

ADJUSTED

P E R C E NT
12.0

11

.

11.0

10.

10. 0

9.

9.0

8.

8.0

7.

7.0

6.

6.0

5.

5.0

4.

4.0
1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

SOURCE: U .S . DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
PERCENT OF C IV IL IA N LABOR FORCE
LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

m M S llM F R

PR TC F

TN O FX FOR A L L Lift RAM C O N S U M E R S . S E A S O N A L L Y
COMPOUNDED AN NUAL R A T E S OF CH AN GE

TERMINAL
MONTH

IN IT IA L
9-85

10-85

11-85

12-85

2-86

1-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

A D JU S T E D

MONTH
6-86

7-86

8-86

9-86

10-86

11-86

12-86

1-87

3-87

2-87

3 2 4 .9

10-85

4 .5

11-85

5 .5

6 .5

12-85

4 .9

5 .1

3 .7

3 2 6 .6
3 2 7 .6
3 2 8 .7

1-86

4 .7

4 .8

3 .9

4 .1

2-86

3.1

2 .7

1 .5

0 .4

- 3 .2

3-86

1 .7

1 .2

- 0 .1

-1 .3

- 3 .9

4-86

1 .0

0 .4

- 0 .7

- 1 .8

- 3 .7

- 4 .0

- 3 .3

5-86

1.3

0 .8

- 0 .1

- 0 .9

- 2 .1

- 1 .7

- 0 .2

3 .0

6-86

1 .7

1 .3

0 .6

C .l

- 0 .7

0 .0

1 .6

4 .1

327. è
3 2 6 .5

- 4 .7

3 2 5 .4
3 2 6 .4
5 .3

3 27 .8
3 2 7 .9

T—86

1 .6

1 .2

0 .6

0 .2

- 0 .5

0 .1

1.3

2 .9

2 .8

0 .4

e-86

1 .6

I .3

0 .7

0 .4

- 0 .2

0 .4

1 .4

2 .6

2 .5

l.l

0 .7

2 .8

2 .8

3 2 8 .4

1 .8

3 2 9 .4

9-86

1.8

1 .5

1 .0

0 .3

0 .8

1 .8

2 .0

2 .8

3 .7

10-86

1.8

1 .6

1.1

0 .9

0 .5

1 .0

1 .8

2 .7

2 .7

2 .0

2 .6

3 .0

2 .2

11-86

1 .9

1 .7

1 .3

1.1

0 .8

1 .2

2 .0

2 .8

2 .7

2 .2

2 .7

3 .0

2 .6

12-86

1 .9

1 .7

1 .4

1 .2

0 .9

1 .3

2 .0

2 .7

2 .6

2 .2

2 .6

2 .8

3 3 0 .0
3 3 0 .8

2 .9
2 .6

2 .2

3 31 .4
3 3 3 .6

2 .3

2 .1

1 .8

1 .7

1 .5

1 .9

2 .6

3 .3

3 .3

3 .1

3 .5

3 .8

3 .9

4 .4

5# 2

8 .3

2 .5

2 .3

2 .1

1 .9

1 .8

2 .2

2 .8

3 .5

3 .5

3 .3

3 .7

4 .1

4 .1

4 .6

5 .2

6 .7

5 .2

3-67

2 .6

2 .5

2 .2

2 .1

2 .0

2 .4

3 .0

3 .6

3 .7

3 .5

3 .9

4 .2

4 .3

4 .7

5*2

6 .2

5 .1

5 .1

4-87

2 .7

2 .7

2 .4

2 .3

2 .2

2 .6

3 .2

3*8

3 .8

3 .7

4 .1

4 .4

4 .5

4 .8

5 .2

6 .0

5 .3

5 .3

.i- a s

10-05

ii- a s

12-85

4-86

5-8 6

6-86

T-86

10-86 11-86

12-86

_L-86_. 2-86.

UJ
1
»
<*

1-87
2-87

,a - 8 6 _ 9-86

3 3 5 .0
3 36 .4
5 .5

lr JL T ._ 2 - 0 _

3 37 .9

3-87

IN IT IA L MONTH

_________________________________________________ _____________________ PREPA REO BY FEOERAL R E S E R V E
MAY 22* 1987

BANK OF S T . L O U IS

PRODUCER P R IC E IN D EX « F IN IS H E D COOPS - SEA SO N A LLY A D JU ST ED *__________________________________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANCE
TERMINAL
HflNTU

IN IT IA L
9-85

10-85 11-85

12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

MONTH
6-86

1967 *
7-86

8-86

9-86

10-86 11-86

12-86

1-87

2-87

100

3-87
2 9 3 .9

O
I

9 .4

2 9 5 .6

11-85

8 .3

7 .2

12-85

7 .5

6 .5

5 .8

1-86

4 .4

2 .7

0 .6

- 4 .4

2 9 7 .0
2 9 5 .9
2 9 1 .5

2-86

- 0 .2

- 2 .4

- 5 .4

- 1 0 .6

- 1 6 .5

3-86

- 1 .9

- 4 .0

—6 . 6 - 1 0 .5

- 1 3 .4

- 1 0 .2

4-86

- 2 .5

- 4 .4

- 6 .5

- 1 1 .0

- 8 .1

- 6 .1

5-86

- 1 .5

- 3 .0

- 4 .5

- 6 .5

- 7 .0

- 3 .7

- 0 .2

6 .0

6-86

- 1 .0

- 2 .3

- 3 .6

- 5 .1

- 5 .2

- 2 .1

0 .7

4 .2

- 9 .4

2 8 8 .9
2 8 7 .4
2 8 8 .8
2 .5

ì

8 9 .\

2 87 . 1

7-86

- 1 .8

- 3 .0

- 4 .2

- 5 .6

- 5 .8

- 3 .5

- 1 .8

- 0 .3

- 3 .3

- 8 .8

8-86

- 1 .3

- 2 .3

- 3 .3

- 4 .4

- 4 .4

- 2 .2

- 0 .5

0 .9

- 0 .7

- 2 .3

4 .7

9-86

- 0 .9

- 1 .8

- 2 .6

- 3 .5

- 3 .4

- 1 .4

0 .1

1 .4

0 .3

- 0 .4

4 .0

3 .4

2 8 9 .1
290 .1

- 2 .0

- 2 .8

- 2 .6

- 0 .7

0 .7

1 .9

l.l

0 .7

4 .1

3 .8

- 1 .2

- 1 .8

- 2 .5

- 2 .3

- 0 .6

0 .7

1 .7

1 .0

0 .7

3 .2

2 .7

0 .4

- 1 .0

- 1 .6

- 2 .2

- 2 .0

- 0 .5

0 .7

1 .6

1 .0

0 .7

2 .7

2 .2

0 .6

0 .8

2 .2

3 .1

5 .5

10-86

- 0 .5

- 1 .3

11-86

- 0 .4

12-86

- 0 .4

1-87

0 .0

2-87
3-87
4-87

0 .8

.

2 8 8 .3

- 0 .6

- l.l

0 .0

—0 .5

- 1 .0

0 .3

- 0 .2

- 0 .6

0 .3

- 0 .1

- 1 .6

1 .5

1 .4

3 .2

l.l

1 .9

1 .4

1 .3

2 .8

2 .5

1 .9

2 .4

3 .1

0 .6

1 .5

2 .2

1 .8

1 .8

3 .2

2 .9

2 .6

3 .1

3 .9

S .t

3 .8

3 .7

3 .6

4 .3

5 .1

5 .0

7-86

8-86

1 .2

- 1 .5

- 1 .2

0 .1

- 1 .0

- 0 .8

0 .5
1 .1

*-85. 1 0 r8 5 .-11-85 12-85

1-86

2-86

- i

2 .0

2 .7

2 .5

2 .5

-86

A.-86

5-86

6-86

____________________________________ ________________________________________________I N I T I A L
♦DATA FOR FOUR MONTHS AGO R E V IS E D TO R E F L E C T LATE R EPO R T IN G




2 9 1 .7

2 .0

0 .1

- 0 .2

¿ 4 0 .4

2 .9

- 1 .4

- 0 .4

2 9 0 .2

9-86

6

l l r M

2 9 1 .9
2 9 3 .2
7 .2

\~ -2 1

8 .9

2 9 5 .3

3-87

MONTH

PREPARED BY FED ERAL RESERV E
MAY 15* 1 9 8 7

4

BANK OF S T . L O U IS




RATI O

PR I CE S

SCALE

1967-100

CONSUMER P R IC E INDEX
C M - U DATA B EG IN N IN G

OATA PLO T TED .

IN D IC A TED .

A P R IL
PR EPA RED

PRODUCER
1967-100

BY FED ERAL

PRICES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

PERC EN T AG ES ARE ANKVAL R ATES OF CHANGE FOR PE R IO O S
L A TEST

BATA PLO T TED .

SCALE

1967-100

IS FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS ( C P l - U ) .
1083 INCORPORATE A RENTAL EQ U IVA LEN C E MEASURE FOR HOMEOWNERSHIP CO STS.

PERC ENTAG ES ARE ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE FOR P E R IO O S
LATEST

RATI O

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RESERVE

BANK OF ST .

L O U IS

r a tio

s c a le

1967-100

IN D IC A T E D .

A P R IL
PR EPA RED BY FED ERAL R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

5

L O U IS

PRODUCER P R I C E

IN D E X . F IN I S H E D CONSUMER FOODS - S E A S O N A L L Y A D JU S T E D *
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T E S OF CHANCE

00
I
O'

©

W'
CD
1

TERMINAL
I N I T I A L MONTH
I 967 * 100
MONTH_______________________________________________________________________________________ ______ ____________________________________________________________________________ ___________
1-87
3-8 7
2-87
11-85 12-85
8-86
7-86
9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86
4-86
5-86
3-86
6-86
1-86
2-86
1 8.5

11-85

17.1

1 5 .7

12-85

1 5.0

1 3 .3

11.1

1-86

8 .4

5 .3

0 .4

- 9 .2

2-86

3 .3

- 0 .2

- 5 .0

- 1 2 .2

3-86

3 .1

0 .3

- 3 .3

- 7 .6

- 6 .8

2 .2

>0
00
1

2 7 0 .2

10-95

3 .4

I .1

- 1 .6

- 4 .5

- 2 .9

3 .8

5 .5

5-86

5 .2

3 .4

1 .5

- 0 .3

2 .0

8 .4

1 1 .6

18.1

6-86

4 .8

3 .2

1 .5

0 .0

1 .9

6 .7

8 .2

9 .6

CO
1
r*

8-86

2 7 3 .5
¿ 7 5 .9
2 7 3 .1
¿ 7 0 .6

- 1 5 .1

2 7 0 .5
2 7 1 .7
275.3"
2 7 5 .9

1 .8

6 .0

4 .7

3 .4

2 .3

4 .4

8 .7

1 0 .4

1 2.1

9 .3

17 3

7 .0

5 .9

4 .9

4 .2

6 .2

1 0 .2

1 1 .9

1 3 .6

1 2.1

17 7

T 7 4 .S
1 8.1

2 8 3 .5
¿ 8 3 .3

9-86

6 .3

5 .3

4 .3

3 .6

5 .3

8 .6

9 .7

1 0 .6

8 .7

11 2

8 .2

—0 . 8

10-86

6 .7

5 .8

5 .0

4 .4

6 .0

9 .0

1 0 .0

1 0 .7

9 .3

11 3

9 .3

5 .2

1 1 .6

11-86

6 .1

5 .1

4 .3

3 .7

5 .1

7 .6

8 .3

8 .7

7 .2

8 4

6 .2

2 .6

4 .3

- 2 .5

12-86

5 .3

4 .4

3 .5

2 .9

4 .1

6 .3

6 .7

6 .9

5 .3

6 0

3 .8

0 .5

1 .0

- 3 .9

2 8 5 .9
"2 85 .3"

1-87

3 .5

2 .6

1 .7

1 .0

1 .9

3 .6

3 .8

3 .6

1 .9

1 9

- 0 .4

- 3 .8

- 4 .5

- 9 .3

2-87

3 .0

2 .1

1 .2

0 .6

1 .3

2 .9

2 .9

2 .7

l.i

1 0

- 1 .2

—4 . 0

- 4 .7

- 8 .4 - 1 0 .2

3-87

3 .2

2 .3

1 .5

0 .9

1 .7

3 .1

3 .2

3 .0

1 .6

I

5

- 0 .3

- 2 .6

- ¿.4

- 5 .6

4-87

3 .9

3 .2

2 .5

2 .0

2 .8

4 .2

4 .3

4 .2

3 .1

3 2

1 .7

—0 .2

- 0 .1

- 1 .9

9-85 10-85

11-85

12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

6 -86

7-86

8-86

♦OATA FOR FOUR MONTHS A60 R E V IS E D

¿ 8 4 .0

- 5 .3

2 7 9 .6

- 1 2 .5 - 1 9 .2

2 7 7 .r

- 1 2 .6

- 5 .5

- 6 .4

- ¿.7

d .r

6 .2

- 1 .8

- 0 .8

6 .?

l2 .4

f4 .1

9—86 10—86 11-86

12-86

1-87

2-87

3-87

2 79 .1
"

2 8 3 .2

MONTH

IN IT IA L
TO R EF L EC T LATE R E P 0 R T IN 6

PREPA RED BY F6P€RA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS
MAY 15* 1907

PRODUCER P R IC E

IN D E X . F IN IS H E D COOPS* EX C LU P IN C FOODS - SEASON ALLY A D JU ST ED *
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE

2 9 9 .5

2

11-85

8

5 .3

12-85

1

4 .5

3 0 0 .8
3 0 1 .7

3 .7

3 0 1 .0

1-86

1

2 .0

0 .4

-2

7

2-86

“ 1 3

- 3 .1

- 5 .7

-10

I

3-86

“ 3 5

- 5 .4

- 7 .9

- tl

4 - 1 5 .4

- 1 4 .0

I
0»

10-85

-4 4

- 6 .0

- 8 .2

-10 9 - 1 3 .5

- 1 1 .7

2 9 6 .4

- 1 6 .9

2 9 2 .7
"¿ 4 6 .i

- 9 .4

5-86
6-86

•
1

'O

0
1

•
1
eg

TERMINAL
I N I T I A L MONTH
1967 » 100
-MQHIH_______________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9- 85 10-85 11—85 12- 85
4-86
12-86
1-87
1-86
2-86
3-86
6-86
7-86
8-86
9-86 10-86
5-86

2 6 0 .4

2 .5
-2 9

- 4 .0

- 5 .2

7-86

-4 4

- 5 .5

8-86

”3 9

- 4 .9

9-86

“ 3 2

- 4 .0

- 4 .9

- 1 .6

2 .5

¿ 4 1 .4

2 .5

-6 6

- 7 .4

- 6 .8

-8 2

- 9 .0

- 5 .6

- 4 .3

- 7 .6 - 1 6 .

- 6 .0

-7 I

- 7 .7

-6. 1

- 4 .5

- 3 .2

- 5 .0

-8.

0 .4

- 4 .9

-5 8

- 6 .2

- 4 .6

- 2 .9

- 1 .6

- 2 .6

—4 .

2 .7

2 8 7 .r

2 8 8 .4

5 .1

¿ * * .r

10-86

-2 9

- 3 .6

- 4 .3

-5

1

- 5 .4

- 3 .8

- 2 .3

- 1 .0

- 1 .7

-2 •

2 .4

3 .4

1 .7

11-86

-2 5

- 3 .1

- 3 .8

-4 5

- 4 .6

-3. 2

- 1 .7

—0 . 6

- l.l

-1.

2 .3

3 .0

1*9

2 .1

12-86

-2 2

- 2 .8

- 3 .3

-3 9

- 4 .0

- 2 .6

- 1 .3

- 0 .2

- 0 .6

2 .4

2 .8

2 .1

2 .3

2 .5

"284.4

1-87

-1

I

- 1 .6

- 2 .1

-2 5

- 2 .5

- l.l

0 .3

1 .5

1 .3

1.

4 .5

5 .3

5 .4

6 .7

9 .0

1 6 .0

-0 9

- 1 .3

- 1 .8

-2

I

- 2 .1

- 0 .7

0 .6

1 .6

1 .5

1.

4 .3

4 .9

4 .9

5 .7

6 .9

9 .2

3-87

-0 6

- 1 .0

- 1 .3

-1

7

- 1 .6

- 0 .3

0 .9

1 .9

1 .9

1.

4 .4

4 .9

4 .9

5 .6

b Z T

4-87

-0 3

- 0 .6

- 0 .9

-I

2

- l.l

0 .1

1 .3

2 .2

2 .2

2.

4 .5

5 .1

5 .0

5 .6

6 .3

12- B5

1-06

2-86

3-86

4-8 6

5-86

6-8

7—86

8-86

9-86

10-86

11-86

1 1 - J5

♦DATA FOR FOUR MONTHS A60 R E V IS E O




IN IT IA L
TQ R E F L E C T LATE R EPO R T IN G

'

"¿4 3 .5
2 .9

"

3 .4 "

5 .0

7 .3

4 .6

5 .4

5 .8

12-86

1-87

2-87

3-87

T .8

"244.2
7 4 5 .* "
"2 46 .8"

MONTH

PREPA REP BY FEPER A L RESERVE
MAY 15* 1 9 8 7

6

’

2 8 4 .3

2-87

9-85

'

¿ 5 7 .2

BANK OF S T . L O U IS

'

INDUSTRIAL
RATI O

PRODUCTION
RATI O

SCALE

I 977-100

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

SCALE

1 97 7-1 00

SEASONALLY A D JUSTED

1984

1985

1986

1987

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

__________ IN D U ST R IA L PRODUCTION_______
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERM INA L
I N I T I A L MONTH
1977 * 100
MONTH_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9-85
10-85

10-85

1 1-85

12-85

1-86

2-66

3-86

—6 . 6

4-86

5-86

6-86

7-86

8- 86

9-86

10-86

11-86

12-86

1-87

2-87

3-8 7

123.6

1 1 —8 5

2.4

12.3

12-85

4.2

1C. 1

8.0

1-86

4.7

8.7

6.9

2-86

1.9

4.2

1.6

-1.4

-3.2

3-86

- I . 1

0.0

-2.9

-6.2

-11.7

-15.1

4 —8 6

O.o

1.8

-0.2

-2.1

-4.7

-2.8

11.2

5—8 6

—0 . 1

0.9

-1. 0

-2.7

-4.7

-3.5

2.9

-4.7

6-86

-0.1

0. 7

-0.8

-2.2

-3.8

-2.6

2.0

-2.4

0.0

0.1

-1.0

-2.0

-0.8

3.2

0.6

3.4

-1.5

-0.3

2.9

124.8
125.6
5.9

126.2
125.3
12 3 . 6
124.7
124.2
124.2

7-86

0.6

8-36

0.7

1.5

0.3

-0 . 6

1.0

2.9

4.4

1.9

9-86

0.5

I. 1

0.1

-0.7

-1.5

-0.5

2.1

0.4

1.7

2.3

0.0

10-86

0.7

1.4

0.4

-0.3

-0.9

0.0

2.4

1.0

2.1

2.7

1.3

3.9

i 1-86

1.2

1.8

1.0

0.3

-0.2

0.7

2.9

1.8

2.9

3.5

2.7

5.4

6.9

12-86

1.5

2.1

1.4

0.9

0.4

1.3

3.4

2.4

3.5

4. 1

3.5

5.9

6.9

6.9

1-87

1.3

1.9

1.2

0.7

0.2

1.0

2.8

1.9

2.8

3.2

2.6

3.9

3.9

2.4

-1.9

2-87

1.6

2.1

1.5

I .0

0.7

1.4

3.1

2.3

3.1

3.5

3.0

4.3

4.4

3.5

1.9

3-87

1.3

1.8

1.2

o.fl

0.4

l. l

2.6

1 .8

2.5

2.8

2.3

3.1

2.9

1.9

0.3

1.4

-2.8

4 —8 7

1.0

1.5

0.8

0.4

0. 1

0.7

2.0

1.3

1.8

2.0

1.5

1.9

1.6

0.6

-0.9

—0 . 6

-3.7

-4.6

9-ÛS

îû-as.

lL-as.

L2-ÛS

2-âù

. 3-86

4-Ô6

.- 5- Q6

6-36

7-ôfr

9-36.

10-86

11-86

12-86

1-97

2-41.

3-97

1.4

1-86

124.9

7.0
125.1

124.9

8 —8 6

.

125.3
126.0
126.7
126.5
5.8

127.1
1 2 6 . 8P
1 2 6 . 3P

.

------------------------------------------------------------------- 1NI U A L MONTH_____________________________________________________________________________________
■£■- PRFI [ H i N A R Y __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P R E PA R E D PV F E O E R A L R ESERV E




MAY

7

15*

1987

&AN* QF S T . L O U IS

PERSONAL
RATI O

SCALE

TRILLIONS

INCOME
RATI O

MONTHLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES

OF

DOL L ARS

TRILLIONS

SEASON ALLY AD JUSTED

OF

SCALE

DOL L A R S
4.0
3.8
3.6

3

3.4

3.

3.2

3

3.0

2.

2. 8

2.

2. 6

2 .

2.4

2.

2.2

2.

2. 0

1

I .8

.

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

SOURCEt U .S . DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED. APRIL PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

______________________________________________________________________________ PERSONAL INCOME___________________________________________________________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CHANGE

_______________________________________________________________________________________________ BILLIONS Of
TERMINAL
I N I T I A L HONTH
DOLLARS
MONTH________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES
1-87
2-07
3-0 7
7-86
8-86
9-06 10-06 11-86 12-06
2-06
3-06
4-56
5-06
6-06
1-86
9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85
10-85

9 .1

3 *3 5 8 .3
3 * 3 7 2 .3

11-85

7.1

5 .1

12-85

1 0.5

1 1.2

17.5

1-86

7 .7

7 .2

8 .3

- 0 .2

2-86

7 .5

7 .0

7 .7

3. t

6 .5

^ *4 1 0 .0
3 *4 1 7 .4
3 *4 3 5 .3
3 *4 4 5 .1

3-86

6 .8

6 .3

6 .6

3 .2

5 .0

3 .5

4-86

8 .0

7 .8

8 .3

6 .2

8 .4

9 .3

1 5.5

5-86

6 .7

6 .4

6 .6

4 .5

5 .7

5 .5

6 .5

- 1 .9

6-66

6 .0

5 .6

5 .6

3 .0

4 .6

4 .1

4 .3

- 0 .8

0 .2

7-86

5 .7

5 .3

5 .3

3 .7

4 .3

3 .9

4 .0

0 .5

1 .6

1 .0

1 .9

8-86

5 .4

9-86

5 .2

10-06

5 .1

5 .0

3 .7

3 .7

3 * 4 8 6 .6

5 .0

3 .5

4 .1

4 .9

4 .6

3 .5

4 .0

3 .7

3 .7

1 .5

4 .7

4 .7

3 .5

3 .9

3 .6

3 .6

1 .6

3 *4 0 1 .3
3 *4 8 1 .9
3 *4 9 0 .0

3 .1

3 * 4 9 7 .9

2 .8

2 .5

2 .3

3 .0

3 .0

3 .5

2 .5

3 .1

3 .1

3 .5

3 .4

2 .4

2 .9

2 .8

2 .9

2 .7

3 *5 0 7 .9
i * 5 1 7 .0
1 .9

3 * 5 2 3 .3

11-06

4 .9

4 .5

4 .5

3 .4

3 .7

3 .4

3 .4

1 .0

12-86

5 .0

4 .7

4 .7

3 .6

4 .0

3 .0

3 .8

2 .4

3 .0

3 .5

3 .6

3 .9

4 .0

4 .3

6 .8

1-87

4 .9

4 .6

4# 6

3 .7

4 .0

3 .0

3 .8

2 .6

3 .1

3 .6

3 .6

3 .9

4 .0

4 .1

5 .3

3 .7

2-87

5 .6

5 .3

5 .4

4 .5

4 .9

4 .8

4 .9

3 .9

4 .6

5 .1

5 .4

5 .9

6 .4

7 .1

9 .0

10.1

1 6 .8

3 * 5 4 2 .7
3 *5 5 3 .5
3 * 5 9 9 .7

3-87

5 .4

5 .1

5 .1

4 .4

4 .7

4 .6

4 .7

3 .7

4 .3

b

•8

5 .0

5 .3

5 .6

6 .1

7 .2

7 .3

9 .1

2 .0

4-87

5 .3

5 .1

5 .1

4 .3

4 .6

4 .5

4 .6

3 .7

4 .2

4 .6

4 .6

5 .1

5 .4

5 .7

6 .5

6 .4

7 .3

2 .8

3 .6

10-85 11-85

12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4 -8*

5-86

6-86

7-86

8-86

9-96

11-66 12-06

1-87

2-87

3-8 7

9-85

IN IT IA L

' 3 * iW .é
3 * 4 1 4 .3 p

MONTH

P- P R E L IM IN A R Y__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ______ _______________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________P R E P A R E D B Y FE D E R A L R E S E R V E
NAY 2 6* 1 9 0 7




8

BANK OF S T . L O U IS

RETAIL
RATI O

SALES

SCALE

BILLIONS

OF

1979

RATI O
DOL L A R S

1980

SEASON ALLY

1981

1982

BILLIONS

A D JUSTED

1983

1984

1985

OF

1986

SCALE

DOL L A R S

1987

SOURCE: U .S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED: MARCH, APRIL ADVANCE ESTIMATE
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

R E T A IL S A L E S
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE
IN IT IA L

TERM INAL
MONTH
«»-85

10-85

11-85

12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

M IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS

MONTH

6-86

7-86

8-86

9-86

10-86 11-86

12-86

1-87

2-87

3--87
115*711

10-85

- 2 9 .2

11-95

- 1 2 .8

7 .5

12-85

- 5 .6

9 .0

1 0.5

1-86

- 1 .7

9 .6

1 0 .7

io .e

2-86

- 3 .0

5 .0

4 .1

1 .0

- 7 .8

116*412
I i t * 389
1 18 t 393
117*590

3-86

- 3 .1

3 .2

2 .2

- 0 .4

- 5 .6

- 3 .3

4-86

- 1 *0

4 .7

4 .1

2 .6

0 .0

4 .1

1 2 .2

5-86

0 .7

5 .9

5 .6

4 .6

3 .1

7 .1

1 2 .7

1 3 .2

6-86

0 .7

5 .2

4 .9

3 .9

2 .6

5 .4

8 .5

6 .7

0 .7

7-86

1 .5

5 .6

5 .4

4 .6

3 .7

6 .1

8 .6

7 .5

4 .7

9 .0

8-86

2 .8

6 .7

6 .6

6 .2

5 .5

7 .9

1 0.3

9 .9

8 .8

1 3 .1

1 7 .3

9-06

8 .3

1 2 .5

13.1

1 3 .3

1 3 .7

17.1

2 0 .9

2 2 .8

2 5 .3

3 4 .8

4 9 .9

9 1 .5

10-86

2 .3

5 .5

5 .4

4 .9

4 .2

5 .8

7 .2

6 .4

5 .1

6 .2

5 .3

- 0 .2

- 4 8 .0

n-86

1 .9

4 .8

4 .5

4 .0

3 .3

4 .7

5 .7

4 .8

3 .5

4 .1

2 .9

- 1 .6

- 2 9 .4

12-86

5 .7

8 .8

8 .8

8 .7

8 .5

1 0 .3

1 1 .9

1 1 .9

1 1 .7

1 3 .7

1 4 .7

1 4 .0

- 4 .1

3 0 .2

77*1

1-87

- 0 .3

2 .0

1 .6

0 .9

0 .2

0 .9

1 .4

0 .2

- 1 .3

- 1 .6

- 3 .2

- 6 .9

- 2 2 .2

- 1 1 .1

- 1 4 .3

2-87

3 .1

5 .5

5 .4

5 .0

4 .6

5 .7

6 .5

6 .0

5 .2

5 .8

5 .4

3 .5

- 8 .5

5 .4

8*8 - 1 4 .7

3-87

3 .4

5 .7

5 .6

5 .3

4 .9

6 .0

6 .8

6 .3

5 .7

6 .2

5 .9

4 .3

- 5 .7

6 .2

9 .0

- 7 .3

3 8 .7

9 .5

4-87

3 .3

5 .5

5 .4

5 .1

4 .7

5 .7

6 .4

5 .9

5 .3

5 .7

5 .4

4 .0

- 4 .7

5 .4

7 .5

- 5 .1

2 5 .0

5 .4

1 .5

10 —85 11-85

12-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

5-86

6-86

7-86

8-86

11-86 12-06

1-07

2-07

3 -07

9-85

1 18*387
119*613
119*679

IN IT IA L

120*541
122* L56
128*952
122*121
121*678

- 4 .3

9-06_ 10-86

127*613
- 5 8 .6

118*579
7 5 .7

124*280
125 *2 25 P
125 * 384 E

M0N7H

P- PftFI î Ml MARY
E- ESTIM A TED




prepared

MAY 13*

9

by

1987

FEDERAL. R ESE R V E

BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

HfMlftt Y COMPENSAT IO N . B U S IN E S S SECTOR
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
fMläftTPß

IN IT IA L
2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

QUARTER

1977*100

4-84

3-84

1-85

2-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86
1 5 6 .6

3-82

7 .5

4-82

5 .9

4 .4

1 5 8 .3
1 5 9 .9

1-83

5 .3

4 .3

4 .1

2-83

4 .6

3 .7

3 .3

2 .5

3-83

4 .0

3 .1

2 .7

2 .0

1 .5

4-83

4 .2

3 .6

3 .3

3 .1

3 .4

5 .3

1-04

4 .4

3 .9

3 .8

3 .8

4 .2

5 .5

5 .7

2-84

4 .2

3 .8

3 .7

3 .6

3 .9

4 .6

4 .3

2 .9

1 6 0 .9
1 61 .5
16 3 .6
1 6 5 .9
167.1
1 69 .0

3-84

4 .3

3 .9

3 .8

3 .8

4 .0

4 .6

4 .4

3 .8

4 .6

4-04

4 .?

3 .9

3 .8

3 .8

4 .0

4 .5

4 .3

3 .8

4 .2

3 .8

1-85

4 .2

3 .9

3 .8

3 .8

4 .0

4 .4

4 .2

3 .9

4 .2

3 .9

U Ó .6
1 7 2 .3

4 .0

1 7 4 .5

2-85

4 .3

4 .0

4 .0

4 .0

4 .1

4 .5

4 .4

4 .1

4 .4

4 .4

4 .6

5 .2

3-85

4 .3

4 .0

4 .0

4 .0

4 .2

4 .5

4 .4

4 .2

4 .4

4 .4

4 .6

4 .8

4 .4

4 .3

4 .0

4 .0

4 .0

4 .1

4 .4

4 .3

4 .1

4 .3

4 .2

4 .3

4 .4

4 .1

4-85

3-85

1 7 6 .4
3 .7

1 7 8 .0
179 .1

1-86

4 .1

3 .9

3 .9

3 .9

4 .0

4 .2

4 .1

3 .9

4 .0

3 .9

4 .0

3 .9

3 .5

3 .1

2-86

4 .1

3 .8

3 .8

3 .8

3 .9

4 .1

4 .0

3 .8

3 .9

3 .8

3 .8

3 .7

3 .4

3 .0

2 .7

2 .9

3-86

4 .0

3 .8

3 .7

3 .7

3 .8

4 .0

3 .9

3 .7

3 .8

3 .7

3 .7

3 .6

3 .3

3 .0

2 .8

2 .9

2 .9

4-86

3 .9

3 .7

3 .6

3 .6

3 .7

3 .9

3 .7

3 .5

3 .6

3 .5

3 .5

3 .4

3 .1

2 .8

2 .6

2 .6

2 .5

2 .Ó

1-87

3 .7

3 .5

3 .4

3 .4

3 .5

3 .6

3 .5

3 .3

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

2 .7

2 .4

2 .2

2 .1

1 .8

i.i

0 .4

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

IN IT IA L

2 .5

1 80 .4
1 81 .7
1 8 2 .6
1 8 2 .8 P

QUARTER

P- P R E L IM IN A R Y ____________________________ _____________ ______________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ PREPAR ED BY FE D E R A L

HAY 4 t

R ESERVE

PAN*. OF

ST.

L O U IS

1987

OUTPUT PFR HOUR QF ALL P ER S O N S . B U S IN E S S SECTOR
COHPOUNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE
TERMINAL
I N I T I A L QUARTER
1977»100
Q1IA£T FR_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________
4-86
2-86
3-86
3-85
1-86
2-85
4-85
4-84
1-85
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-82
1-83
2-83
2-82
3-82
1 00 .3

3-82

0 .4

4-82

1 .6

2 .8

1-83

2 .3

3 .2

3 .6

2-83

3 .3

4 .3

5 .0

6 .4

3-83

2 .2

2 .7

2 .6

2 .2

- 1 .9

4-83

2 .4

2 .8

2 .8

2 .5

0 .6

3 .1

1-84

2 .7

3 .0

3 .1

2 .9

1 .8

3 .7

4 .3

2-84

2 .7

3 .0

3 .0

2 .9

2 .0

3 .4

3 .5
2 .2

101 .0
1 0 1 .9
1 0 5 .5
1 0 3 .0
1 0 3 .8
1 (H .9
1 0 5 .6

2 .7

3-84

2 .3

2 .6

2 .5

2 .3

1 .5

l.l

- 0 .4

■r
1
00
-r

1 0 5 .5

2 .4

2 .1

2 .3

2 .2

2 .0

1 .3

1 .9

1 .6

0 .8

- 0 .2

0 .0

1-85

2 .0

2 .1

2 .0

1 .8

1 .2

1 .7

1 .5

0 .8

0 .1

0 .4

0 .8

l.l

1 .7

,

1 05 .5
1 0 5 .7
2 .7

2 .0

2 .2

2 .1

1 .9

1 .4

1 .9

1 .7

l.l

3-85

2 .1

2 .3

2 .2

2 .1

1 .6

2 .1

1 .9

1 .5

1 .3

1 .7

2 .3

3 .1

4-85

1 .7

1 .8

1 .8

1 .6

1 .1

1 .5

1 .2

0 .8

0 .5

0 .7

0 .9

0 .9

1 .1

0 .9

1 .8

2-86
3-86

1 .7

1 .3

1 .6

1 .5

1 .8

1 .6

1 .2

1 .5

1 .4

l.l

1 .6

1 .5

1 .1

1 .4

1 .2

0 .9

1 .9

1 .9

1 .7

1 .8

1 .6

1 .7

4-86

1 .4

1 .5

1 .4

1 .3

0 .9

1 .1

1 .0

0 .7

1-87

1 .4

1 .5

1 .4

1 .3

0 .9

l.l

1 .0

0 .7

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4—83

lò t .ì

3 .4

1 0 6 .4

- 3 .3
0 .0

3 .4

1 0 7 .3

l.l

1 .4

1 .5

l.l

0 .8

1 .0

1 .2

1 .3

0 .9

0 .1

1 .9

0 .7

0 .8

1 .0

1 .0

0 .7

0 .0

l.l

0 .5

0 .5

0 .6

0 .6

0 .3

- 0 .4

0 .4

- 0 .6

- l.l

- 1 .9

0 .5

0 .6

0 .7

0 .7

0 .4

-0. 1

0 .6

- 0 .1

- 0 .2

- 0 .2

1 .5

1-85 _2 -85

3—85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-8 6

.5 - M
IN IT IA L

1 0 7 .4

0 .4
o
o

1-86

t 0 6 .4

o
«
o

2-85

0 .8

1 0 7 .3

—0 . 4

106 .8
1 0 7 .2P

QVAR7ÇR

P - —E R E L I HINARY_____________ _ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ __ __________________________________________________________
___________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ PR E PA R E O B Y F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . LO U TS
NAY 4 , 1 9 8 7




10

P R O D U C T IV IT Y ,
RATI O SCALE
1977-100

1979

COMPENSATIO N,

AND LABOR COSTS
RATI O

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985
SOURCE t U . S .

PERC EN T AG ES ARE ANNUAL RA TES OF CHANCE FOR PE R IO D S
LA T E ST

DATA P L O T T tD .

1986

SCALE
1977-100

1987

DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

I NO IC A T E D .

1ST OUARTER P R E L IM IN A R Y
PREPA RED I Y

FED ERAL

RESERVE

BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

_____________________ U N IT LABOR CO STS. B U S IN E S S SECTOR___________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES 1OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L

TERMINAL
HHIAft T Ffl
2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

1977*100

OUARTER

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-8 5

4-85

1-86

7 .2

4-02

4 .3

1 .5

1-83

2 .9

0 .8

0 .0

2-83

1 .3

- 0 .6

- 1 .7

4-86

1 5 6 .8

i* A . é
1 5 5 .5

- 3 .3

1 5 6 .8

3-83

1 .7

0 .4

0 .0

0 .0

3 .4

4-03

1 .8

0 .8

0 .6

0 .8

2 .8

2 .3

1-04

1 .7

0 .9

0 .7

0 .9

2 .3

1 .8

1 .3

2-84

1 .6

0 .8

0 .6

0 .8

1 .8

1 .3

0 .8

0 .3

3-84

1 .9

1 .3

1 .2

1 .4

2 .4

2 .2

2 .1

2 .5

4 .9

4-84

2 .1

1 .5

1 .6

1 .8

2 .6

2 .5

2 .5

3 .0

4 .3

3 .8

I 57 . 7
1 58 .2

iS è .i
U Ô .2
1 6 1 .7
1 63 .1

1-85

2*2

1 .7

1 .8

2 .0

2 .8

2 .7

2 .7

3 .1

4 .1

3 .7

3 .5

2-85

2 .2

1 .8

1 .8

2 .0

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .9

3 .6

3 .2

2 .9

2 .2

3-85

2 .1

1 .7

1 .7

1 .9

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

2 .6

3 .1

2 .6

2 .2

1 .6

1 .0

4-85

2 .5

2 .1

2 .2

2 .4

3 .0

2 .9

3 .0

3 .2

3 .8

3 .5

3 .5

3 .4

4 .1

7 .2

1-86

2 .3

1 .9

2 .0

2 .1

2 .6

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

3 .1

2.8

2 .6

2 .4

2 .4

3 .2

- 0 .7

2 .8

2 .6

2 .4

2 .4

2 .9

0 .8

2 .4

2 .3

3-86

1 5 6 .2

3-82

2-86

2 -86

2 .0

2 .0

2 .1

2 .6

2 .5

2 .6

2 .7

3 .0

164 .0
164 .

{6773
1 6 7 .0
1 6 8 .0
169.

3-86

2 .3

2 .0

2 .1

2 .2

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .7

3 .0

2 .8

2 .7

2 .5

2 .6

3 .0

1 .6

2 .8

3 .1

4-86

2 .4

2 .2

2 .2

2 .3

2 .8

2 .7

2 .7

2 .9

3 .1

2 .9

2 .8

2 .7

2 .8

3 .2

2 .2

3 .2

3.4

4 .1 "

1-87

2 .2

2 .0

2 .0

2 .1

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

2 .5

2 .7

2 .5

2 .4

2 .2

2 .2

2 .4

1 .5

2 .0

i.*

1 .3

—i . 4

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-03

4-83

1-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4 -«5

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

IN IT IA L

1 7Ó .4 P

iQ UARTER

P R E P A R E D BY FED ER A L
MAY 4» 1987

11

RESERVE

Ì

1 71 . 0

P- PR F I IMTNARY




K

BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

CROSS

TERM INAL
Q4IAR T F R
2-82
3-82
4-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

N A T IQHAL

^ROQUCT

1H CURR ENT

Dffl I AW*_______________________________________________________

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE
__________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF
I N I T I A L QUARTER
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES
4-04
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-04
2-84
3-04
1-85
1-86
4-03
4-85
2-05
3-85
3 ,1 7 9 .4

2 .5

3 *2 1 2 .5

4 .2

3 .4

3 ,2 6 5 .8

1-83

4*5

5 .5

6 .8

2-83

6 .6

8 .0

9 .9

1 3 .0

3-83

7.1

8 .3

9 .7

1 1 .2

9 .4

3 ,3 6 7 .4
3 ,4 4 3 .9

4-83

8 .0

9 .1

1 0.4

1 1 .6

1 0 .9

12.4

1-84

9 .0

10.1

1 1.3

1 2 .4

1 2 .2

13.6

1 4.9

2-84

8 .9

9*8

1 0 .7

1 1 .5

1 1 .2

lt.0

11.5

8 .2

3-84

8 .5

9 .3

10.1

1 0 .6

1 0 .1

1 0.3

9 .7

7 .1

6.1

4-84

8 .2

8 .8

9 .4

9 .8

9 .3

9 .2

8 .5

6 .4

5 .5

3 ,6 7 0 .9
3 ,7 4 3 .8

3,7<tt.7
3 ,8 4 5 .6

4 .9

3 ,9 0 9 .3

1-85

8.1

8 .6

9 .1

9 .4

8 .9

8 .8

8.1

6 .5

5 .9

5 .9

6 .8

2-85

7 .9

8 .4

8 .8

9 .0

8 .5

9 .4

7 .7

6 .4

5 .9

5 .8

6 .3

5 .8

3-85

7 .8

8 .2

8 .6

8 .8

8 .3

8 .2

7 .6

6 .4

6* I

6 .1

6 .5

6 .3

6 .8

4-85

7 .6

8 .0

8 .4

8 .5

8 .1

7 .9

7 .4

6 .3

6 .0

6 .0

6 ♦3

6 .1

6 .3

5 .8

1-86

7 .5

7 .9

8 .2

8 .3

7 .9

7 .7

7.2

6 .3

6 .1

6 .0

6 .3

6 .1

6 .2

6 .0

6 .2

7 .9

7 .4

7 .3

6 .8

5 .9

5 .6

5 .5

5 .6

5 .4

5 .3

4 .8

4 .3

2 .6

7 .7

7 .4

7 .2

6 .7

5 .9

5 .7

5 .6

5 .7

5 .6

5 .5

5 .2

5 .0

4 .5

6 .4

3 ,9 6 5 .0

4 ,0 3 0.5
4 ,ó é ? .7
4 ,1 4 9 .2
4 ,1 7 5 .6

2-86

7 .2

7 .5

7 .8

3-86

7 .2

7 .5

7 .7

4-86

6 .9

7 .1

7 .3

7 .3

6 .9

6 .8

6 .3

5 .5

5 .3

5 .2

5 .2

5 .Ó

4 .9

4 • ?>

4 .2

3 .5

4. ó

1.7

1-87

7 .0

7 .2

7 .4

7 .4

7 .1

6 .9

6 .5

5 .8

5 .6

5 .5

5 .6

5 .5

5 .4

5 .2

5 .1

4 .8

5 .6

5 .1

8 .7

4-fl2

1-83

3-03

4-93

1-94

2-94

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

2 = A l

.

?~94 _ 4 - 8 4 _ 1-95

IN IT IA L

4 ,2 4 0 .7
4 ,2 5 8 .7
4 ,3 4 8 .4

QUARTER

PREPA RED BY FEO ERAL
MAY 2 2 , 1987

R ESER V E

BANK OF ST«

L O U IS

_______________________________________________________________SRQSS NA T IONAL PRODUCT I N 1792 DOLLARS______ ______________________________________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
_________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF
TERMINAL
I N I T I A L QUARTER
DOLLARS
CHJARTFR_____________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-86
3-8 5 4-85
1-85
2-85
3-83
4-83
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-83
2-83
3 ,1 5 4 .5

3-82

- 3 .2

4-82

- 1 .3

0 .6
2 .0

3 .5

2 .5

4 .4

6 .4

9 .3

4 .8

6 .3

7 .7

1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-04

4 .7

3 ,1 5 9 .3
3 ,1 8 6 .6
3 ,2 5 8 .3

5 .3

6 .5

7 .5

6 .7

7 .3

6 .0

7 .2

0 .1

7 .7

0 .5

2-84

4 .7

5 .9

6 .8

7 .5

7 .0

3-84

4 .5

5 .4

6 .2

6 .6

6 .1

4-04

4 .2

5 .0

5 .6

5 .9

5 .3

4 .1

4 .8

5 .3

5 .5

2-85

4 .6

5 .0

3-85

4 .5

4-85

4 .3

1-86

1-85

2-86
3-86
4-86

3 .5
3 .4

1-87

2-02

3 ,3 0 6 .4

6 .0

7 .4

3 ,3 6 5 .1
9 .0

3 ,4 4 4 .7

7 .4

3 ,4 8 7 .1

5 .0

3 ,5 0 7 .4

5 .7

3 .7

2 .3

5 .1

4 .6

2 .9

1 .9

1 .5

5 .0

4 .8

4 .3

3 .0

2 .3

2 .3

3 .1

5 .1

4 .6

4 .4

4 .0

2 .8

2 .3

2 .3

2 .7

4 .9

5 .0

4 .6

4 .4

4 .0

3 .1

2 .7

2 .7

3 .2

3 .2

4 .1

4 .7

4 .0

4 .3

4 .1

3 .0

2 .9

2 .6

2 .6

2 .9

2 .8

3 .1

2 .1

4 .3

4*6

4 .7

4 .3

4 .1

3 .0

3 .0

2 .7

2 .8

3 .1

3 .1

3 .3

2 .9

3 .8

4 .1

4 .3

4 .4

4 .0

3 .0

3 .4

2 .7

2 .5

2 .5

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .1

2 .2

0 .6

4 .0

4 .2

4 .3

3 .9

3 .7

3 .4

2 .7

2 .5

2 .5

2 .7

2 .6

2 .7

2 .3

2 .4

1 .7

3 , $ ¿ 0 .4
3 ,5 4 7 .0
3 ,5 6 7 .6

2 .3

3 ,6 0 3 .8
3 ,6 2 2 .3
3 ,6 5 5 .9
3 ,6 6 1 .4
2 .8

3 ,6 0 6 .4
3 ,6 9 6 .1

3 .8

4 .0

4 .0

3 .7

3 .2

2 .6

2 .4

2 .4

2 .5

2 .4

2 .4

"T .d "

¿ .ir

IT 5

1 .*

l.l

3 .8

4 .0

4 .1

3 .7

3 .3

2 .7

2 .5

2 .6

2 .7

2 .6

2 .7

2 .4

¿ .y

?.¿

¿.7

2 .7

4 .4

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86




3-83

IN IT IA L

3 ,7 3 5 .9

QUARTER

P R E P A R E D B Y F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS
MAY ¿ J , 1 4 1 7 --------------------------------------------------------------------

12

GROSS N A T I O N A L PRODUCT
RATIO

SCALE

1979

QUAR T E R L Y T OT AL S AT ANNUAL R A T E S

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984
SOURCEt

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIO D S
LATEST DATA PLOTTED«




1985
U .S .

RATIO

1986

SCALE

1987

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

INDICATED.

1ST OUARTER
PREPARED BY FEDERAL R ESER V E BANK OF S T .

13

LO U IS

GENERAL
RATI O

PRICE

INDEX*

SCALE

RATI O

1982-100

1979

SCALE

1 98 2-100

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

«A3 USED IN NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS

1985

1986

1987

SOURCE. U .S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED.

1ST OUARTER
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

IM P L IC IT P R IC E DEFLATOR FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
___________ COHPOUNOEP ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE_____________
TERM INAL_________________________________________________________________________I N I T I A L QUARTER______________________________ ________________________________________ 1982 *
QUART ER
3-86
4-86
1-86
2-86
3-85
4-85
1-83
3-83
4-83
2-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
2-83
3-84
1-84
2-82
3-82
4-8?

100

100 .8

3-82

5 .0

4-82

4 .7

3 .6

1-83

4 .2

3 .4

3 .2

2-83

3 .9

3 .3

3 .2

1 01 .7
1 02 .5
1 03 .3

3 .2

1 04 .2

3-03

3 .8

3 .4

3 .3

3. 3

3 .5

4-83

4 .0

3 .6

3 .6

3 .8

4 .1

4 .7

1-84

4 .1

3 .8

3 .8

4 .0

4 .3

4 .7

4 .6

2-84

3 .9

3 .7

3 .7

3 .8

4 .0

4 .1

3 .8

1 05 .4
1 06 .6
1 07 .4

3 .0

1 08 .3

3-84

3 .Q

3 .7

3 .7

3 .7

3 .9

3 .9

3 .7

3 .2

3 .4

4-84

3 .8

3 .6

3 .6

3 .7

3 .8

3 .0

3 .6

3 .3

3 .4

3 .4

1-85

3 .0

3 .6

3 .6

3 .7

3 .8

3 .8

3 .6

3 .4

3 .5

3 .5

3 .7

2-85

3 .8

3 .6

3 .6

3 .6

3 .7

3 .7

3 .6

3 .4

3.4

3 .5

3 .5

3 .3

3-85

3 .7

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

3 .6

3 .6

3 .4

3 .2

3.3

3 .2

3 .2

2 .9

2 .5

4-85

3 .7

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

3 .6

3 .6

3 .5

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .6

1-86

3 .6

3 .4

3 .4

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

3 .3

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

2 .9

3. 1

2 .5

1 09 .2
1 1 0.2
1 1 1 .1
1 11 .8
1 12 .8
113 .5

2-86

3 .*

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .2

3 .0

3 .0

3 .0

2 .9

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

2 .1

1 .8

3-86

3 .5

3 .3

3 .3

3 .3

3 .4

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3.1

3 .0

3 .0

2 .9

2 .8

2 .9

2 .6

2 .7

1 14 .0
I 15.0

3 .6

115 .2

4-86

3 .3

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3. 2

3.1

3 .0

2 .9

2 .8

2 .8

2 .7

2*6

2 .4

2 .4

2 .1

2 .0

2 .1

0 .7

1-87

3 .4

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

3 .0

2 .9

2 .9

2 .8

2 .7

2 .7

2 .5

2 .6

2 .8

2 .4

4 .2

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

i- 0 5

4-Ô5

l- S è

2-Ö6

3-86

4-86




2 -8 >

PREPARED BY FED ER AL R E S E R V t
HAY 22 * 1 9 8 7

14

B A F * OF S T .

116 .4

LIHJ1ST

P E R S ONAL CONSUMP T IO N E X P E N D IT U R ES IN CURRENT DO LLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L
2-82
3-82

8 .5

4-82

9« 4

3-8?

4- 82

1-83

2-83

3-S3

4-83

1-84

2-84

B I L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS

QUARTER

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86
2 * 0 6 5 .6
2 ,1 1 7 .0

1 0 .3

2 * 1 4 ¿ .6

1-83

8 .2

8 .0

5 7

2-83

9*3

9 .6

9 3

1 3 .0

3-83

9 .3

9 .5

9 3

1 1 .1

2 * 2 1 3 .0
9 .3

2 * 2 ¿2 .0
2 ,3 1 5 .8

9 .7

4-83

9 .4

9 .6

9 4

1 0 .6

9 *5

1-84

9 .3

9 .4

9 2

1 0.1

9 .2

9 .1

8 .6

2-84

9 .3

9 .4

9 2

9 .9

9 .2

9 .1

8 .8

9 .1

3-84

8 .8

8 .8

8 6

9 .1

8 .3

8 .1

7 .5

7 .0

5 .0

4-84

8 .6

8 .6

8 4

8 .8

8. 1

7 .9

7 .4

7 .0

6 .0

7 .0

1-85

8 .5

8 .5

8 3

8 .6

8 .0

7 .8

7 .4

7 .1

6 .4

7 .1

7 .2

2-85

8 .4

8 .4

8 2

8 .4

7 .9

7 .7

7 .4

7 .1

6 .6

7 .2

7 .3

7 .3

3-85

8 .4

8 .3

8 ?

8 .4

7 .9

7 .7

7 .5

7 .3

6 .9

7*4

7 .6

7 .7

8 .2

4-85

8 .2

8 .2

8 0

8 .2

7 .8

7 .6

7 .3

7 .2

6 .8

7 .2

7 .3

7 .3

7 .3

6 .4

6 .7

6 .6

6#*

5 .5

4 .6

2 * i¿ i.d
2 * 4 U .l
2 ,4 4 5 .6
2 * 4 0 7 .2
2 * $ ÍO . 9
2 * 5 7 ¿ .0
2 ,6 2 7 .1
2 ,6 6 7 .9
2 ,6 9 7 .9

1-86

8 .0

7 .9

7

7 .9

7 .5

7 .3

7 .0

6 .8

6 .5

6 .8

2-96

7 .8

7 .7

6

7 .7

7 .3

7.1

6 .8

6 .6

6 .3

6 .5

6 .5

6 .3

6 .1

5 .4

4 .9

5 .2

3-86

7 .9

7 .9

7

7 .9

7 .5

7 .4

7 .1

7 .0

6 .8

7 .0

7 .0

7 .0

6 .9

6 .6

6 .6

7 .7

1 0 .3

4-86

7 .7

7 .6

4

7 .6

7 .2

7 .0

6 .8

6 .6

6 .4

6 .5

6 .5

6 .4

6 .2

5 .8

5 .7

6 .1

6 .6

3 .0

1-87

7 .5

7 .4

3

7¿ 3

7 .0

6 .8

6 .6

6 .4

6 .2

6 .3

6 .3

6 .1

6 .0

5 .6

5 .4

5 .7

5 .8

3 .7

4 .4

2-02

3-82

4.-83 _ L - 9 4

2-94

3-04

4-04

1-0?

_J_-05

4-0?

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

4-192 —L-01.

2-03 _ 1 t S3

IN IT IA L

2 ,7 3 2 .0
2 * 7 9 9 .8
2 *8 2 0 .4
2 ,8 5 0 .7

QUARTER

PR E P A R E O BY FEO ERA L
NAY 2 2 * 1987

PERSONAL

R ESER V E

BANK. OF S T * L O U IS

CONSUMPTION EXPE N D IT U R ES IN 1982 DOLLARS
COMPOUNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
B ILLIO N S

IN IT IA L
3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

«0
1

2 -8 ?

4-83

'

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

OF

DOLLARS

QUARTER
1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-8 6
2 ,0 5 1 .8

3-82

2 .1

4-82

3 .7

5 .3

2 ,0 7 8 .7

1-83

3 .5

4 .2

3 .0

2 ,0 9 4 .2

2-83

4 .6

5 .4

5 .5

8 .0

3-83

4 .8

5 .4

5 .4

6 .7

5 .3

4-83

4 .9

5 .4

5 .4

6 .3

5 .4

5 .5

2 ,1 3 5 .1
2 ,1 6 3 .0
2 ,1 9 1 .9

1-84

4 .8

5 .2

5 .2

5 .7

4 .9

4 .8

4 .1

2-84

4 .9

5 .3

5 .3

5 .8

5 .2

5 .2

5 .0

6 .0

2 ,2 1 3 .8

3-84

4 .5

4 .8

4 .7

5 .0

4 .4

4 .2

3 .8

3 .6

2 ,2 4 6 .3
2 ,2 * 5 . 5

1 .3

¿ * ¿ 7 1 .7

4-84

4 .4

4 .6

4 .5

4 .8

4 .2

4 .0

3 .6

3 .5

2 .3

3 .3

1-85

4 .3

4 .5

4 .4

4 .6

4 .1

3 .9

3 .6

3 .5

2 .7

3 .5

3 .7

2-85

4 .2

4 .4

4 .3

4 .5

4 .1

3 .9

3 .6

3 .5

2 .9

3 .5

3 .6

3 .5

2 ,5 1 1 .9

3-85

4 .3

4 .5

4 .4

4 .6

4 .2

4 .1

3 .9

3 .8

3 .4

3 .9

4 .1

4 .4

5 .3

4-85

4 .1

4 .3

4 .2

4 .3

3 .9

3 .8

3 .6

3 .5

3 .1

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

1 .7

1-86

4 .1

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

3 .9

3 .6

3 .6

3 .5

3 .2

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

3 .5

2 .6

3 .6

2-86

4 .2

4 .4

4 .3

4 .4

4 .1 '

4 .0

3 .8

3 .8

3 .5

3 .9

4 .0

4 .0

4 .2

3 .8

4 .9

6 .2

3-86

4 .4

4 .5

4 .5

4 .6

4 .3

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

3 .9

4 .2

4 .4

4 .5

4 .7

4 .5

4-86

4 .1

4 .2

4 .1

4 .2

4 .0

3 .9

3 .7

3 .7

3 .5

3 .7

3 .8

3 .8

3 .é

1-87

3 .8

3 .9

3 .8

3 .9

3 .6

3 .5

3 .3

3 .3

3 .0

3 .2

3 .2

3 .1

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85




IN IT IA L

T ,T O .ó '
2 ,5 5 1 .7 "
2 ,5 7 2 .7 "
2 ,4 0 0 .4

5 .5

6 .4

6 .7

4 .0

4 .1

3 .1

-Ö .4

¿,4 4 ô .ô "

3 .1

2 .7

3 .0

2 .8

1 .7

-ó”. 7

- 1 .1

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4 -8 6

2 ,4 4 5 .0
2 ,4 3 8 .9

QUARTER

PREPAREO BY FED ER AL
MAY 2 2 * 1 9 8 7

15

RESERVE

BANK OF ST*

L O U IS

-

COHPOIJNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L

t e r m in a l

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

ÛUARTFR
2-82

3-8 2

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

- 1 2 .7

4-82

- 2 3 .3

- 3 2 .7

1-83

- 11 .1

- 1 0 .3

2-83

2 .9

8 .7

3-8 3

8 .8

1 4 .9

1-86

4-85

2-86

3-86

4-86

*2 0 .5

1 9 .6
38. 1

5 9 .5

3 7 .4

4 7 .2

4 8 1 .3

*1 4 .7

3 5 .9

579. 6

4-83

15.4

2 2 .0

4 1 .6

4 9 .8

45. 1

5 4 .9

1-84

? 1•7

2 8 .6

46*4

5 4 .0

5 2 .2

6 1 .0

6 7 .4

? - 8^

1 8 .6

2 3 .8

3 7. 1

4 0 .9

3 6 .6

3 6 .8

2 8 .6

- 1 .2

3 2 .5

3 4 .8

3 0 .3

2 9 .0

2 1 .3

3 .3

6 5 9 .5

¿5 7 .5
6 7 0 .3

8 .0

3-84

1 7 .3

2 1 .8

4-84

1 4 .8

1 8 .4

2 7 .0

2 8 .2

2 3 .6

2 1 .2

1 4 .0

0 .3

l.l

- 5 .4

1-85

1 2 .7

1 5 .7

2 2 .8

2 3 .2

1 8 .8

16.2

9 .7

- 1 .3

- 1 .4

- 5 .8

- 6 .2

2-8 5

1 2 .6

2 1 .5

2 1 .8

1 7 .7

1 5.3

9 .8

0 .9

1 .5

- 0 .6

1.8

1 0 .5

0 .0

- 1 .9

- 0 .7

2 .1

- 5 .7

3-85

3-85

4 5 2 .2

3-8 ?

1 5 .2

18 .8

1 8 .7

1 4 .9

1 2.5

1 2 .8

1 7.8

1 7 .6

1 4.1

1 3 .7

1 8 .4

1 8 .3

1 5.1

1 1 .0

1 3 .3

4-85

1 0.8

1-86

1 1 .7

661 .1
6 5 0 .6
6 67 .1
657 .4

7 .4

- 0 .2

1 1 .9

7 .5

0 .9

1 .2

- 0 .1

1 .3

3 .9

0 .7

7 .6

1 3 .2

9 .3

3 .6

4 .3

3 .7

5 .7

8 .9

8 .3

16.1

2 5 .3

1 .9

2 .2

1 .4

2 .6

4 .5

3 .0

6 .1

5 .4

- 1 1 .3

6 6 9 .5
7 0 8 .3
6 8 7 .3

2-86

10.1

1 1 .8

1 5 .9

1 5 .7

1 2 .6

1 0 .7

7 .0

3-86

9 .0

1 0 .6

1 4 .3

1 3 .9

1 1 .0

9 .1

5 .7

1 .0

1 .2

0 .4

1 .3

2 .6

1 .0

2 .8

1 .3

- 9 .0

- 6 .5

4-86

8 .1

9 .4

1 2 .8

1 2 .4

9 .6

7 .8

4 .6

0 .2

0 .3

- 0 .5

0 .2

l.l

- 0 .4

Ò .J

- Ô .4

—8 .4

—6 .9

—7 .3

1 1 .3

9 .7

6 .8

2 .9

3 .3

2 .8

3 .7

5 .1

4 .3

6 .1

5 .8

1 .4

6 .0

1 2 .9

3 7 .5

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

1-87

9 .4

1 0 .8

14.1

1 3 .8

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

IN IT IA L

663 . 2

R ESE R V E

BANK OF S T . L O U IS

INVESTMENT I N 1? S 2 DQLLAftS

COMPOUNDED A W U A L RATES OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L

TERM INA L

B IL L IO N S Of
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

ÛUARTFR

2-92

3-82

4-92

1-83

?- 8 3

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

7 18 .1

QUARTER

PREPA RED BY FED ERA L
MAY 22* 1987

GUQSS P E IVATE M 1 E S T IC

6 7 5 .8

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86
4 4 8 .6

2-83

4 0 8 .8

- 2 3 .5

- 3 1 .0

- 1 1 .4

- 9 .4

19.1

4 .1

1 1 .5

4 1 .9

427.1
4 8 6 .9

6 8 .9

5 2 4 .8

3-83

9 .7

1 7 .0

3 9 .5

5 1 .0

3 5 .0

4-83

1 5 .1

2 2 .3

4 1 .2

4 9 .4

4 0 .5

1-84

2 0 .6

2 8 .0

4 4 .8

5 2 .0

4 6 .8

5 3.1

6 0.1

2-84

1 7 .9

2 3 .6

3 6 .2

3 9 .9

3 3 .4

3 2 .9

2 6 .7

0 .2

577.2

4 6 .3

6 * 9 .3
6 4 9 .7

2 1 .2

3 1 .4

3 3 .5

2 7 .4

2 5 .6

1 9.3

3 .0

5 .8

1 7 .9

2 6.1

2 7 .1

2 1 .2

1 8.7

1 2.6

0 .1

0 .1

- 5 .4

1-85

1 2 .0

1 5.1

2 1 .9

2 2 .2

1 6 .7

1 3 .9

8 .4

- 1 .7

- 2 .4

- 6 .2

2-85

1 1 .9

1 4 .8

2 0 .8

2 1 .0

1 6 .0

1 3 .6

8 .9

0 .8

0 .9

- 0 .7

1 .8

1 1 .4

00
o»

10.3

1 2 .8

1 8 .0

1 7 .8

1 3 .2

1 0.8

6 .4

- 0 .6

- 0 .7

- 2 .3

- 1 .2

1 .8

- 7 .0

1 0 .0

1 2 .3

1 6 .9

1 6 .7

1 2 .5

1 0 .2

6 .4

0 .3

0 .4

- 0 .7

0 .5

3 .1

- 0 .7

6 .0

1

iti
i

16.5
14.1

OD

¿58 . 9

3-84
4-84

6 4 9 .9
6 3 8 .2

- 7 .0

655 .6
6 4 3 .8
6 5 3 .2

1-86

1 0 .7

1 2 .8

17.2

1 7 .0

1 3 .2

1 1.2

7 .8

2 .6

3 .0

2 .5

4 .2

7 .2

5 .8

1 2 .9

2-86

9 .2

1 1 .1

1 4 .9

1 4 .6

1 0 .9

9 .0

5 .8

1 .0

l.l

0 .5

1 .5

3 .3

1 .4

4 .4

3-86

8 .1

9 .8

1 3 .2

1 2 .8

9 .4

7 .5

4 .5

0 .1

0 .1

- 0 .6

0 .1

1 .4

- 0 .5

1 .2

- 0 .4

4-86

6 .8

8 .3

1 1 .4

1 0 .9

7 .6

5 .7

2 .9

- l.l

- 1 .3

- 2 .0

- 1 .6

- 0 .8

- 2 .7

- 1 .8

- 3 .7

1-87

8 .2

9 .6

1 2 .7

1 2 .3

9 .3

7 .6

5 .1

1 .5

1.6

1.2

2 .0

3 .1

2 .0

3 .6

3 .1

2-82... 3-32

4-82

1-83

2-23

3-83

-L-94

2-04




1-95

IN IT IA L

2-15. ?-95

6 8 4 .0

2 0 .2

6 6 4 .7

3 .6 - 1 0 .8
- 9 .3

6 5 1 .3

- 7 .8

6 2 9 .0

-10.6 - 1 0 .5 - 1 3 .0
- 0 .7

1-86

2 .9

8 .7

3 5 .7

3-86

4-86

6 7 8 .9

QUARTER

PREPARED BY FED ERAL RESERVE
MAY 22t 1 9 8 7

16

BANK QF S T . L O U IS .

GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND S ERV I C ES I N CURRENT DOLLARS
COMPOUWOED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
T ER H IN A L

IN IT IA L

QUARTER

OHARTFR

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-8 3

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

3-85

2-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES
4-86
6 47 .1

3-32

1 4 .4

4-82

1 5 .3

1 6 .2

1-83

9 .1

6 .6

- 2 .2

2-83

7 .9

5 .8

1 .0

4 .3

3-83

7 .0

5 .2

1 .8

3 .8

3 .3

4-83

5 .3

3 .6

0 .6

1 .6

0 .3

1-84

6 .0

4 .7

2 .5

3 .8

3 .6

3 .7

1 0 .5

2-84

8 .3

7 .4

6 .0

7 .7

0 .6

1 0.4

1 7 .6

2 5 .2

3-84

8 .0

7 .?

6 .0

7 .4

8 .0

9 .3

1 3 .6

1 5 .1

5 .9

4-84

8 .3

7 .6

6 .6

7 .9

8 .5

9 .6

1 2 .9

1 3 .7

8 .4

6 7 1 .8
668. 1
6 7 5 .2
6 8 0 .7
6 76 .1

- 2 .7

6 9 3 .2
7 3 3 .5
743. 8
7 6 3 .4

1 1 .0

777. 3

1-85

8 .?

7 .6

6 .7

7 .9

8 .4

9 .3

1 1 .8

12.1

8 .1

9 .2

7 .5

2-85

8 .5

8 .0

7 .2

8 .3

8 .0

9 .6

1 1 .8

1 2 .0

9 .0

1 0 .0

9 .5

1 1 .4

3-85

9 .1

8 .6

8 .0

9 .1

9 .6

1 0 .4

1 2 .4

1 2 .7

1 0 .4

1 1.5

1 1 .7

1 3 .9

1 6 .3

4-85

9 .4

9 .0

8 .4

9 .4

9 .9

1 0 .7

12» 5

1 2 .8

1 0 .6

1 1 .9

1 2.1

1 3 .7

1 4 .7

1 3 .1

1-86

8 .1

7 .6

7 .0

7 .8

8 .1

8 .6

9 .9

9 .9

7 .8

8 .2

7 .6

7 .6

6 .3

l.t

- 8 .5

2-86

8 .3

7 .9

7 .3

8 .1

8 .4

8 .9

10.1

1 0.1

8 .3

8 .7

8 .3

8 .5

7 .7

5 .0

1 .2

7 9 9 .0
8 2 9 .7
8 5 5 .6
8 36. 7
860.Ô

1 2 .0

8 7 4 .0

7 .8

7 .3

8 .0

8 .3

8 .7

9 .8

9 .7

8 .1

8 .4

8 .0

8 .1

7 .4

5 .3

2 .9

9 .1

6 .3

8 .0

7 .7

7 .1

7 .8

8 .0

8 .4

9 .4

9 .3

7 .8

8 .0

t.t

r .r~

t .r

5 .5

3 .5

7 .8

5 .8

5 .3

1-87

7 .7

7 .4

6 .9

7 .5

7 .7

8 .0

8 .9

8 .7

7 .4

7 .5

7 .1

7 .1

6 .5

4 .7

3 .3

6 .5

4 .8

4 .0

2 .8

2 -8 ?

3-82

4-821

1 —9 3

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

IN IT IA L

00
1

8 .2

00
1
<*>

3-86
4-86

8 8 5 .3
891 .4

QUARTER

P R E P A R E D BY FED ER A L R E S E R V E
HAY 22* 1907

BANK OF S T . L O U IS

1

to

________________________________________________________ GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND S E R V IC E S IN 1962 P P tL A R S __________________________________________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
___________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF
T ER H IN A L
I N I T I A L QUARTER
DOLLARS
QUARTER_________________________________________ __________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES
3-06
4-06
2
-86
1-06
4-85
3 —03
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-03
1-84
2-82
3-82
4-82
2-83
3-84
1-83
4-04
6 4 2 .5

3-82

8 .4

4-82

9 .9

1 1 .4

1-83

4 .2

2 .1

—6 .4

6 6 0 .1
¿4 4 . T
6 5 0 .9

2-83

3 .4

1 .7

- 2 .8

l.l

3-03

3 .0

1 .7

- 1 .3

1 .4

1 .7

4-83

1 .3

0 .0

- 2 .7

- 1 .4

- 2 .7

- 6 .0

6 5 3 .6

............... ¿4 2 .2 “
6 5 0 .2

1-84

1 .0

0 .8

- 1 .2

0 .?

- 0 .1

- 1 .0

5 .1

2-04

3 .8

3 .1

1 .8

3 .6

4 .2

5 .0

1 1 .5

1 8 .4

3-84

3 .5

3 .0

1 .0

3 .2

3 .7

4 .2

0 .1

9 .7

1 .7

4-84

3 .8

3 .3

2 .4

3 .7

4 .1

4 .6

7 .7

8 .6

4 .0

6 .3

¿7 0 .2
¿ 8 1 .0
6 9 1 .5

¿4 5 .3

1-85

3 .7

3 .2

2 .3

3 .5

3 .8

4 .2

6 .6

6 .9

3 .4

4 .2

2 .2

2-05

4 .0

3 .6

2 .9

3 .9

4 .3

4 .7

6 .7

7 .1

4 .4

5 .4

4 .9

7 .7

3-05

4 .7

4 .4

3 .0

4 .9

5 .3

5 .0

7 .7

8 .2

6 .3

7 .5

7 .8

1 0 .0

1 3 .9

4-05

5 .1

4 .8

4 .3

5 .4

5 .0

6 .3

0 .0

8 .5

6 .9

0 .0

0 .4

1 0 .5

1 1 .9

1 0 .0

1-06

3 .8

3 .5

2 .9

3 .8

4 .0

4 .2

5 .6

5 .6

3 .9

4 .3

3 .9

4 .3

3 .2

- 1 .0

- 1 2 .3

4 .5

4 .7

4 .6

5 .0

4 .0

5 .4

4 .0

1 .9

- 1 .9

9 .t
7 .1

2-86

4 .2

3 .9

3 .4

4 .2

6 .0

6 .1

7 0 8 .3

■

_ 749.4

3-86

4 .2

4 .0

3 .5

4 .2

4 .5

4 .7

5 .0

5 .9

4 .6

5 .0

4 .0

5 .2

4 .7

2 .5

0 .2

4-06

4 .6

4 .3

3 .9

4 .6

4 .9

5 .1

6 .2

6 .3

5 .2

5 .6

5 .5

5 .9

5 .7

4 .1

2 .f

1-07

3 .9

3 .7

3 .2

3 .9

4 .0

4 .2

5 .1

5 .1

4 .0

4 .2

4 .0

4 .2

3 .7

2 .1

Ô .4"

_ J- 9 4

3-04

4-04 J L - 9 *

2-8?

_2r&2

-

3-12

_

4-02




1-13 -2-93 .3.-93 _ i - 9 ?

IN IT IA L

.

3-05

"“ 75t .0 ”

4—05

7 2 5 .2

742.2
' 75Ó.4

4 .5

749.3

7 .4

10.5

4 .Ï

2 .3

1 .3

- 7 .1

1-06

2-06

3-86

4 -8 6

755.2

QUARTER

PREPARED BY FED ER AL
Ha y 2 2 * 1 4 0 7

17

R E S E R V E BANK O F S T . L O U IS

d is p o s a b l e

per so n a l

in c o m e

in

curren t

d o llars

_______ COMPOUNOEP ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE__________
IN IT IA L

TERM INAL
QUARTER
2-82
3-82

6 .7

4-82

6*9

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

B IL L IO N S Of
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86
2 .2 7 8 .6

7 .1

2 *3 1 8 .1
2 *3 4 5 .7

1-83

6 .2

6 .0

4 .8

2-83

6 .0

6 .9

6 .8

8 .7

3-83

7*1

7 .2

7 .3

8 .5

8 .2

4-83

8*3

0 .7

9. 1

1 0 .5

1 1 .4

1 4 .6

1-84

9*1

9 .6

1 0 .0

I 1 .4

1 2 .3

1 4 .4

14.1

2-84

8 .6

8 .9

9 .2

1 0 .1

1 0 .5

1 1.2

9 .6

5 .2

3-84

8 .5

8 .7

9 .0

9 .7

9 .8

1 0.3

8 .8

6 .3
6 .0

6 .4

5 .4

2 *3 9 5 .4
2 * 4 4 3 .2
2 * 5 2 7 .9
2 *6 1 2 .7
2 *6 4 6 .3
7.4

2 *6 9 3 .8

8 .5

9 .0

9 .1

9 .3

7 .8

7 .9

8 .0

8 .4

8 .3

8 .3

7 .1

5 .5

5 .5

4 .6

3 .8

8 .2

8 .4

8 .5

8 .9

8 .9

9 .0

8.1

7 .0

7 .4

7 .4

8 .4

1 3 .2

3-85

7 .5

7 .5

7 .6

7 .8

7 .7

7. 7

6 .7

5 .5

5 .6

5 .1

5 .0

5 .6

IT
<r

2 *7 2 9 .6

8 .4

8 .0

7 .4

7 .5

7 .5

7 .8

7 .7

7 .6

6 .8

5 .8

5 .9

5 .6

5 .6

6 .2

2 .8

7. 3

7 .5

7 .5

7 .5

7 .8

7 .7

7 .6

6 .9

6 . 0

6 .1

5 .9

6 .0

6 .5

4 .4

7 .4

7 .5

2-86

7 .4

7 .4

7 .4

7 .6

7 .5

7 .5

6 .8

6 .0

6.1

5 .9

6 .0

6 .4

4 .8

7 .0

6 .8

6 .0

3-86

6 .9

6 .9

6 .9

7 .1

6 .9

6 .8

6 .2

5 .4

5 .4

5 .2

5 .1

5 .4

3 .9

5 .2

4 .5

3.1

4-86

6 . 6

6 . 6

6 .6

6 .7

6 .6

6 .4

5 .8

5 .1

5 .0

4 .8

4 .7

4 .8

3 .5

4 .5

3 .8

2 .6

1 .0

1 .8

1-87

6 .7

6 .7

6 .7

6 . 8

6 .7

6 .6

6 .0

5 .3

5 .3

5 .1

5 .1

5 .3

4 .2

5. 1

4 .7

4 .0

3 .4

5 .0

8 .3

2-82

3-82

4-82

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

4-84

8 .2

1-85
2-85

1

1 - 8 6

1-83

2 *7 5 5 .4
2 *8 4 2 .3
2 *8 3 2 .0

- 1 .4

Î-Ô 5

2 * 8 8 2 .2
2 *9 3 5 .1
2 *9 7 8 .5
2 * 9 7 9 .9

0 . 2

2 *9 9 3 .0
3 *05 3.1

INITIAL QUARTE R

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T ^ IT JU IS
NAY 2 2 ,

1987

D IS P O S A B L E PERSONAL INCOME IN 1983 DOLLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE_______
IN IT IA L

TERM INAL
QUARTER
2-82
3-82

0 .4

4-82

1 .3

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

3-84

4-84

1-85

2-85

3-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86
2 * 2 6 3 .4
2 *2 7 6 .1

2 .3

2 *2 8 8 .4

1-83

1 .6

2 .2

2 .2

2-83

2 .2

2 .8

3. 1

4 .0

3-83

2 .6

3 .2

3 .5

4 .1

4-83

3 .8

4 .5

5. 1

6. 1

7 .2

1 0 .2

1-84

4 .6

5 .3

6 .0

6 .9

7 .9

9 .8

9 .4

2-84

4 .3

4 .9

5 .3

6 .0

6 .5

7 .2

5 .7

2 .2

3-84

4 .2

4 .7

5. 1

5 .6

5 .9

6 .3

5 .0

2 .9

3 .6

4-84

4 .0

4 .4

4 .7

5 .0

5 .2

5 .4

4 .2

2 .5

2 .7

1 .8

1-85

3 .7

4 .0

4 .2

4 .4

4 .5

4 .5

3 .4

2 .0

1 .9

l.l

0 .4

2-85

4.1

4 .4

4 .7

4 .9

5 .1

5 .2

4 .4

3 .4

3 .7

3 .7

4 .7

9 .1

3-85

3 .5

3 .7

3 .8

4 .0

4 .0

4 .0

3.1

2 .1

2.1

1 .7

1 .7

2 .3

- 4 .0

3 .4

3 .6

3 .7

3 .9

3 .9

3 .8

3 .0

2 .2

2 .2

1 .9

1 .9

2 .4

- 0 .8

2 .6

4-85

4-85

2 *3 1 1 .1
2 *3 3 5 .4

4 .3

2 *3 9 2 .7
2 ,4 4 6 .9
2 *4 6 0 .3
2 * 4 8 1 .9
2 *4 9 3 .1
2 * 4 9 5 .7
2 *5 5 0 .8
2 *5 2 4 .7
2 ,5 4 0 .7

1-86

3 .6

3 .8

3 .9

4 .1

4 .1

4 .1

3 .4

2 .7

2 .0

2 .6

2 .8

3 .4

1 .6

4 .5

6 .5

2-86

3 .8

4 .0

4 .2

4 .3

4 .3

4 .4

3 .8

3 .2

3 .3

3 .3

3 .5

4 .1

2 .9

5 .4

6 .8

3 .8

3 .8

3 .7

3.1

2 .5

2 .6

2 .5

2 .6

3 .6

4-86

3.1

3 .3

3 .3

3 .4

3 .4

3 .3

2 .7

2 .2

2 .2

1-87

3 .1

3 .2

3 .3

3 .4

3 .3

3 .2

2 .7

2 .2

2 .2

2-82

3-82

4-82

1-83

2-03

3-83

4-83

1-84

2-84

3-64




2 .9

1 .7

3 .2

3 .4

1 .9

2 * 6 0 5 .5
2 *5 9 5 .4

o
rg

3*4

2 * 6 2 5 .7
- 3 .0

O
rg

3-86

3 .7

2 * 5 8 1 .2
7.1

2 .3

1.2

2 .2

2 .2

0 .7

- 2 .3

- 1 .5

2 .1

2 .1

2 .3

1 .4

2 .3

2 .2

1 .2

- 0 .7

0 .5

2 .6

4-04

1-85

2-85

3-85

4-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

4-86

IN IT IA L

2 * 6 1 2 .0

QUARTER

P ftÈPA Rgfr"B Y £ ¿O ÉR A L
NAY 22* 1987

18

R É*g *V ¿

feA NX. OP S T r T O U T T

CD

1
O'

CORPORATE P R O F IT S A FTER T A X E S*
j ^HPQ UHDED ANMJAL RATES OF CHANGE_______________________________________________________________________
B IL L IO N S Of
TERMINAL __________________________________________________________________ I NI TIAL QVART5R_______ __________________________ _________________________ ____________QQLLARS
ANNUAL R A T ES
QUARTER
»- 8 6
2-86
3-86
2-82
3-ft?
»-8 5
2-83
3-83
»-83 _L-8 »
2-8»
2-85
»-82
1-83
3-8»
»-8»
1-85
3-85
.

.

1*1

1 0 7 .3

*-8?

-5 .Q

10». 3

1-93

»*5

2-92

- 1 0 .7

1 1 0 .6

6 .2

2 6 .»

2» . T

» 7 .3

7 1 .7

3 1 .»

» 9 .5

6 2 .5

? 6 .1

3 7.5

» 1 .»

2 8 .3

7 .0

2 3 .0

3 1 .2

3 2 .»

2 1 .»

7 .8

8 .6

2» . 1

1 » .»

3 .6

2 .0

! » •7

5 .8

- 3 .7

- 7 .0

- 1 » .0

- 2 2 .6

1 3 .»

1 1 .6

3 .9

- 3 .9

- 6 .5

- 1 1 .0

—I » . 2

8 .8

6 .7

- 0 .3

- 7 .2

- 9 .8

- 1 3 .9 - 1 6 .9 - 1 3 .9 - 2 2 .1

2-83

.1 8 .3

3-83

2 » .7

»-83

2 1 .6

1-9»

1 0.6

2-8»

1 6 .3

1 8 .7

2 » .»

3-8»

11 .2

1 2 .5

1 6.3

»-8 »

9 .5

1 0 .»

1-85

6. 1

6 .6

1 2 6 .6
i» l.0

5 3 .9

I »3 •»
l» 6 .»
1 » » .8

- » .3

1 35 .8
13 » . 1

- » .9

1 26 .0
126 .7

2-85

5 .8

6 .2

8.1

6 .2

0 .0

- 5 .9

- 7 .9

- 1 0 .9

- 1 2 .5

- 8 .8

- 1 0 .7

2 .2

3-85

7 .0

7 .5

9 .»

7 .8

2 .»

- 2 .7

- » .0

- 6 .0

- 6 .3

- 1 .8

- 0 .7

1 2.1

2 2 .9

»-8 5

7 .9

9 .»

10 .2

8 .8

3 .9

- 0 .5

- 1 .»

- 2 .8

- 2 .5

2 .1

» .0

I» .»

2 1 .1

1-86

»? 7

» .9

6 .2

» .7

0. 1

- » .1

- 5 .3

- 6 .9

- 7 .3

- » .»

- » .3

0 .7

0 .2

- 9 .5

- 3 1 .3

2-86

» *7

5*0

6*2

» .8

0 .6

- 3 .2

- » .2

- 5 .5

- 5 .7

- 3 .0

- 2 .7

1 .8

1 .7

- » .6

—1» . 6

6 .1

7 .3

6 .1

2 .2

- 1 .2

- 1 .9

- 2 .9

- 2 .8

0 .0

0 .8

5 .2

5 .8

1 .9

- 3 .3

1» . 7

2 3 .9

1 3 3 .»
1 3 9 .»

1 9 .2

1 26 .9
1 28 .8

5 .8

»-8 6

6 .9

7 .3

8 .5

7 .»

3 .9

0 .6

0 .3

- 0 .5

- 0 .1

2 .8

3 .8

8 .1

9 .2

6 .6

3 .7

1 8 .9

2 5 .9

2 7 .8

1-87

5 .3

5 .5

6 .6

5 .»

2 .0

- 0 .9

- 1 .5

- 2 .3

- 2 .1

0 .2

0 .8

» .1

» .»

1 .6

- 1 .6

7 .6

8 .2

1 .0

- 2 0 .1

2-82

3-82

»-82

1-83

2-83

3-83

»-83

1-8»

2 -8»

3-8»

»-8»

1-85

2-85

3-85

»-85

1-86

2-86

3-86

»-86

1

fn

vO
CD

1 3 5 .9

6 .1

in it ia l

1 » 4 .5

q uarter

» NATIONAL INC OWE B A S IS __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
P- P R E L IM IN A R Y
P R E P A R E D BY fE D E R A L
MAY 22 * 1987

RESERVE

BANK OF S T .

HISTORICAL SOURCES OF
NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS DATA
Estimates for the series in the regular quarterly presentation
of NIPA tables for 1983-85 are published in the July 1986 Survey of
Current Business* Estimates for NIPA series for 1929-82 are
published in The National Income and Product Accounts of the United
States, 1929-82; Statistical Tables*
For further information and prices, write to the National
Income and Wealth Division (BE-54), Bureau of Economic Analysis,
U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C. 20230.




19

1 3 6 .6P

I N V E N T O R I E S COMPARED W I T H MONTHLY SALES
MANUFACTURING

AND

TRADE

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

SOURCE:
" B E G I N N I N G . IN

1982,

INVENTORY DATA REFLECT CHAN6ES

U.S.DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

IN ESTIMATION PROCEDURES.

SHADED AREAS REPRESENT PERIODS OF B U S IN E S S R EC E S SIO N S .
LATEST DATA PLOTTEDt




MARCH PRELIMIN ARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

20

LOUIS