Full text of National Economic Trends : May 1987
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National Economic Trends May 1987 The general rate of price increase accelerated recently. Assessing the extent of this rise depends on the periods com pared because of the influence of volatile energy and food prices over the past 16 months. As the table below indicates, the pace of increase of producer and consumer prices for several different periods varies widely. These periods illustrate the effects of the oil price decline in early 1986 and the smaller oil price rise in early 1987. Price increases generally slowed in 1986, especially in the first four months, but have accelerated sharply since then. Excluding fuel and food, producer prices appear to have accelerated in early 1986, while consumer prices show no ac celeration until early 1987. The implicit price deflator is relatively less affected by food and energy but its movements show the same general pattern as consumer prices: the rate of price increase fell from a 3.6 percent rate in the fourth quarter of 1985 to 2.1 percent in 1986, then rose to a 4.2 percent rate in the first quarter of 1987. The extent of the recent acceleration depends on the periods compared and on whether one examines the overall indexes or those that exclude the direct effects of food and energy. Annual Rates of Change of Prices Producer prices, finished goods Producer prices, fuel related products and power Producer prices, food Producer prices, excluding food and energy Consumer prices, Consumer prices, Consumer prices, Consumer prices, and energy all items energy food excluding food 12/ 86- 4/87 4/ 86- 12/86 12/ 85- 4/86 8/ 85- 12/85 5.1% 1.6% -9.4% 3.4% 30.4 - 0 .8 -1 3 .0 6.9 -5 7 .1 - 4 .5 5.8 8.1 2.4 2.5 3.0 1.7 6.0 18.6 2.8 2.7 - 7 .9 5.8 - 1 .8 -3 9 .0 0.0 4.0 - 5 .0 5.3 5.3 3.5 4.3 4.3 NOTE: All rates are computed from seasonally adjusted data except for the energy measures. —John A. Tatom THK F K D K R V l. A RHSHKM BANK of Æ p ST. Ij()1'IS ^ views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve system. _______ TOTAL C I V IL I A N EMPLOYMENT____ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES O f CHANCE TERMINAL I N I T I A L MONTH THOUSAKJS MONTH________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________O f PERSO NS 3-87 11-86 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 12-86 1-87 2-87 4-86 9-86 10—86 2-86 3-86 5-86 6—86 7-86 8-8 6 1-86 107*792 10-85 2 .1 11-85 2 .1 2 .1 12-05 2 .0 2 .0 107*978 1 .9 108*149 108.892 1-86 3 .6 4 .1 5 .2 2-86 2 .1 2 .1 2 .2 2 .3 - 3 .6 3-86 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .5 - 0 .5 2 .8 4-86 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .3 0 .3 2 .3 1 .8 8 .6 106* 557 108*807 108*969 109*165 5-86 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .3 0 .8 2 .3 2 .0 2 .2 6-86 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .7 1 .6 2 .9 3 .0 3 .6 5 .0 7-86 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 2 .8 1 .8 3 .0 3 .0 3 .4 4 .0 3 .0 109*613 109*887 8-86 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .7 1 .9 2 .8 2 .8 3 .1 3 .3 2 .5 2 .0 9-86 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .3 1 .5 2 .3 2 .2 2 .3 2 .3 1 .4 0 .5 110*067 - 0 .9 169*987 r r 6 ,t 4 * 10-86 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .3 1 .6 2 .3 2 .2 2 .3 2 .3 1 .6 I . 1 0 .7 2 .3 11-86 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 1 .7 2 .3 2 .2 2 .3 2 .3 1 .8 1 .5 1 .3 2 .5 2 .6 12-86 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 t.Y 2 .3 2 .2 ¿ . r 2 .3 1 .9 i.6 1 .6 2 .4 2 .4 ¿ .i 2 .5 2 .4 2 .5 2 .5 2 .2 2 .1 2 .1 2 .8 3 .0 3 .2 4 .1 110*432 IT 0 .4 3 7 111*011 1-87 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 1 .9 2-87 2 .5 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .1 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 2 .7 2 .4 2 .3 2 .4 3 .1 3 .3 3 .5 4 .1 4 .1 3-87 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .4 1 .9 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 2 .1 2 .0 2 .0 2 .5 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 1 .9 - 0 .2 4-87 2 .5 2 .5 2 .5 2 .5 2 .2 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 2 .9 3 .0 3 .1 3 .3 3 .0 2 .5 10-85 -LL tA ? 12-95 1-56 2-flfr 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 9-85 8 -86 5-86 IN IT IA L 111* 382 111 * 368 5 .1 111* 635 7 .. MONTH ____________________________________________________ e * € P A * e O EV f E D E R A l R E S E R V E MAY 8* 1987 &AN* O f S T . L O Q IS ____________PAYROLL EMPLOYWENT________________________________________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CHANCE TERMINAL IN IT IA L MONTH THOUSANDS MONTH______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Of PERSONS 9—85 10-85 11-85 12-85 2-86 11-85 3 .3 2 .9 12-85 3 .2 3 .0 3 .0 1-86 3 .6 3 .6 3 .9 2-86 3 .2 3 .1 3 .1 3 .2 1 .6 3-86 2 .8 2 .6 2 .5 2 .3 l.l 0 .7 2 .7 2 .7 2 .0 2 .2 2 .4 4-86 5-86 6-86 7—86 8-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 3-87 98*666 98*910 4 .8 99*296 99*429 <W*4§4 3 .7 9 9 * t8 3 *9 *9 1 8 2 .5 1 .9 2 .0 2 .6 1 .6 2 .1 1 .9 1 .3 1 .3 1 .5 0 .4 - 0 .9 2 .3 2 .2 2 .1 1 .6 1 .6 1 .9 1 .3 1*1 3 .2 1 .7 5-86 6-86 7-86 3-86 98*428 10-85 3 .7 4-86 - 1-86 8-86 2 .4 2 .3 2 .2 2 .1 1 .7 9-86 2 .5 2 .4 2 .3 2 .2 1 .9 10-86 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2 .3 2 .1 11-86 2 .6 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2 .1 2 .4 2 .2 2 .5 2 .3 12-86 2 .6 99*843 100*105 100*283 1 .9 1 .5 1 .5 2 .7 2 .2 2 .2 1 .9 1 .9 2 .9 2 .8 3 .4 2 .1 2 .3 2 .1 2 *2 3 .0 2 .9 3 .3 2 .2 2 .4 2 .2 2 .3 3 .0 2 .9 3 .2 3 .1 2 .9 2 .5 2 .3 2 .4 3 .0 2 .9 3 .1 3 .1 3 .0 37r ¿ .4 2 .6 2 .* 2 .6 3 .1 3 .1 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .4 100*460 3 .2 166*624 161*046 161*322 1-87 2 .7 2-87 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2 .6 2 .5 2 *6 3 .0 3 .0 3 .2 3 .1 3 .1 3 .1 3 .2 ¿.T 3-87 2 .6 2 .6 ¿.5 2 .5 2 .3 2 .4 2 .5 2 .4 2 .5 2 .9 2 .9 3 .0 2 .9 2 .8 2 .8 ¿.1 2 .3 1 .8 4-87 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .6 2 .4 2 .5 2 .6 2 .5 2 .6 3 .0 3 .0 3 .1 3 .0 3 .0 3 .0 3 .0 ¿ .T ~ 2 .8 3. 8 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 6-86 7-86 8-86 2-87 3-87 IN IT IA L 3 .T 9-86 10-86 11-86 U - 8 6 101*626 1-87 101*854 102*0090 102*3250 MONTH P- P R E L IM IN A R Y PREPARED PY fE O E R A t MAY 8 t 1 9 8 7 2 R E S E R V E BANK O f ST » L O U IS EMPLOYMENT RATI O SCALE M I L L I ONS OF RATI O PERSONS MILLIONS SEASONALLY AD JUSTED OF SCALE PERSONS 125 I 20 1 15 1 10 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 SOURCE: U.S.DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BEGINNIN6 JANUARY 1986. TOTAL EMPLOYMENT DATA INCORPORATE NEW PROCEDURES FOR ESTIMATING MEASURES OF IMMIGRATION AND EMIGRATION INCREASING TOTAL EMPLOYMENT BY ABOUT 0.3%. PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED. LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL PRELIMINARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS UNEMPLOYMENT SEASONALLY P E R C E NT RATE ADJUSTED P E R C E NT 12.0 11 . 11.0 10. 10. 0 9. 9.0 8. 8.0 7. 7.0 6. 6.0 5. 5.0 4. 4.0 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 SOURCE: U .S . DEPARTMENT OF LABOR PERCENT OF C IV IL IA N LABOR FORCE LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS 3 m M S llM F R PR TC F TN O FX FOR A L L Lift RAM C O N S U M E R S . S E A S O N A L L Y COMPOUNDED AN NUAL R A T E S OF CH AN GE TERMINAL MONTH IN IT IA L 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 2-86 1-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 A D JU S T E D MONTH 6-86 7-86 8-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 3-87 2-87 3 2 4 .9 10-85 4 .5 11-85 5 .5 6 .5 12-85 4 .9 5 .1 3 .7 3 2 6 .6 3 2 7 .6 3 2 8 .7 1-86 4 .7 4 .8 3 .9 4 .1 2-86 3.1 2 .7 1 .5 0 .4 - 3 .2 3-86 1 .7 1 .2 - 0 .1 -1 .3 - 3 .9 4-86 1 .0 0 .4 - 0 .7 - 1 .8 - 3 .7 - 4 .0 - 3 .3 5-86 1.3 0 .8 - 0 .1 - 0 .9 - 2 .1 - 1 .7 - 0 .2 3 .0 6-86 1 .7 1 .3 0 .6 C .l - 0 .7 0 .0 1 .6 4 .1 327. è 3 2 6 .5 - 4 .7 3 2 5 .4 3 2 6 .4 5 .3 3 27 .8 3 2 7 .9 T—86 1 .6 1 .2 0 .6 0 .2 - 0 .5 0 .1 1.3 2 .9 2 .8 0 .4 e-86 1 .6 I .3 0 .7 0 .4 - 0 .2 0 .4 1 .4 2 .6 2 .5 l.l 0 .7 2 .8 2 .8 3 2 8 .4 1 .8 3 2 9 .4 9-86 1.8 1 .5 1 .0 0 .3 0 .8 1 .8 2 .0 2 .8 3 .7 10-86 1.8 1 .6 1.1 0 .9 0 .5 1 .0 1 .8 2 .7 2 .7 2 .0 2 .6 3 .0 2 .2 11-86 1 .9 1 .7 1 .3 1.1 0 .8 1 .2 2 .0 2 .8 2 .7 2 .2 2 .7 3 .0 2 .6 12-86 1 .9 1 .7 1 .4 1 .2 0 .9 1 .3 2 .0 2 .7 2 .6 2 .2 2 .6 2 .8 3 3 0 .0 3 3 0 .8 2 .9 2 .6 2 .2 3 31 .4 3 3 3 .6 2 .3 2 .1 1 .8 1 .7 1 .5 1 .9 2 .6 3 .3 3 .3 3 .1 3 .5 3 .8 3 .9 4 .4 5# 2 8 .3 2 .5 2 .3 2 .1 1 .9 1 .8 2 .2 2 .8 3 .5 3 .5 3 .3 3 .7 4 .1 4 .1 4 .6 5 .2 6 .7 5 .2 3-67 2 .6 2 .5 2 .2 2 .1 2 .0 2 .4 3 .0 3 .6 3 .7 3 .5 3 .9 4 .2 4 .3 4 .7 5*2 6 .2 5 .1 5 .1 4-87 2 .7 2 .7 2 .4 2 .3 2 .2 2 .6 3 .2 3*8 3 .8 3 .7 4 .1 4 .4 4 .5 4 .8 5 .2 6 .0 5 .3 5 .3 .i- a s 10-05 ii- a s 12-85 4-86 5-8 6 6-86 T-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 _L-86_. 2-86. UJ 1 » <* 1-87 2-87 ,a - 8 6 _ 9-86 3 3 5 .0 3 36 .4 5 .5 lr JL T ._ 2 - 0 _ 3 37 .9 3-87 IN IT IA L MONTH _________________________________________________ _____________________ PREPA REO BY FEOERAL R E S E R V E MAY 22* 1987 BANK OF S T . L O U IS PRODUCER P R IC E IN D EX « F IN IS H E D COOPS - SEA SO N A LLY A D JU ST ED *__________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANCE TERMINAL HflNTU IN IT IA L 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 MONTH 6-86 1967 * 7-86 8-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 100 3-87 2 9 3 .9 O I 9 .4 2 9 5 .6 11-85 8 .3 7 .2 12-85 7 .5 6 .5 5 .8 1-86 4 .4 2 .7 0 .6 - 4 .4 2 9 7 .0 2 9 5 .9 2 9 1 .5 2-86 - 0 .2 - 2 .4 - 5 .4 - 1 0 .6 - 1 6 .5 3-86 - 1 .9 - 4 .0 —6 . 6 - 1 0 .5 - 1 3 .4 - 1 0 .2 4-86 - 2 .5 - 4 .4 - 6 .5 - 1 1 .0 - 8 .1 - 6 .1 5-86 - 1 .5 - 3 .0 - 4 .5 - 6 .5 - 7 .0 - 3 .7 - 0 .2 6 .0 6-86 - 1 .0 - 2 .3 - 3 .6 - 5 .1 - 5 .2 - 2 .1 0 .7 4 .2 - 9 .4 2 8 8 .9 2 8 7 .4 2 8 8 .8 2 .5 ì 8 9 .\ 2 87 . 1 7-86 - 1 .8 - 3 .0 - 4 .2 - 5 .6 - 5 .8 - 3 .5 - 1 .8 - 0 .3 - 3 .3 - 8 .8 8-86 - 1 .3 - 2 .3 - 3 .3 - 4 .4 - 4 .4 - 2 .2 - 0 .5 0 .9 - 0 .7 - 2 .3 4 .7 9-86 - 0 .9 - 1 .8 - 2 .6 - 3 .5 - 3 .4 - 1 .4 0 .1 1 .4 0 .3 - 0 .4 4 .0 3 .4 2 8 9 .1 290 .1 - 2 .0 - 2 .8 - 2 .6 - 0 .7 0 .7 1 .9 l.l 0 .7 4 .1 3 .8 - 1 .2 - 1 .8 - 2 .5 - 2 .3 - 0 .6 0 .7 1 .7 1 .0 0 .7 3 .2 2 .7 0 .4 - 1 .0 - 1 .6 - 2 .2 - 2 .0 - 0 .5 0 .7 1 .6 1 .0 0 .7 2 .7 2 .2 0 .6 0 .8 2 .2 3 .1 5 .5 10-86 - 0 .5 - 1 .3 11-86 - 0 .4 12-86 - 0 .4 1-87 0 .0 2-87 3-87 4-87 0 .8 . 2 8 8 .3 - 0 .6 - l.l 0 .0 —0 .5 - 1 .0 0 .3 - 0 .2 - 0 .6 0 .3 - 0 .1 - 1 .6 1 .5 1 .4 3 .2 l.l 1 .9 1 .4 1 .3 2 .8 2 .5 1 .9 2 .4 3 .1 0 .6 1 .5 2 .2 1 .8 1 .8 3 .2 2 .9 2 .6 3 .1 3 .9 S .t 3 .8 3 .7 3 .6 4 .3 5 .1 5 .0 7-86 8-86 1 .2 - 1 .5 - 1 .2 0 .1 - 1 .0 - 0 .8 0 .5 1 .1 *-85. 1 0 r8 5 .-11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 - i 2 .0 2 .7 2 .5 2 .5 -86 A.-86 5-86 6-86 ____________________________________ ________________________________________________I N I T I A L ♦DATA FOR FOUR MONTHS AGO R E V IS E D TO R E F L E C T LATE R EPO R T IN G 2 9 1 .7 2 .0 0 .1 - 0 .2 ¿ 4 0 .4 2 .9 - 1 .4 - 0 .4 2 9 0 .2 9-86 6 l l r M 2 9 1 .9 2 9 3 .2 7 .2 \~ -2 1 8 .9 2 9 5 .3 3-87 MONTH PREPARED BY FED ERAL RESERV E MAY 15* 1 9 8 7 4 BANK OF S T . L O U IS RATI O PR I CE S SCALE 1967-100 CONSUMER P R IC E INDEX C M - U DATA B EG IN N IN G OATA PLO T TED . IN D IC A TED . A P R IL PR EPA RED PRODUCER 1967-100 BY FED ERAL PRICES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED PERC EN T AG ES ARE ANKVAL R ATES OF CHANGE FOR PE R IO O S L A TEST BATA PLO T TED . SCALE 1967-100 IS FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS ( C P l - U ) . 1083 INCORPORATE A RENTAL EQ U IVA LEN C E MEASURE FOR HOMEOWNERSHIP CO STS. PERC ENTAG ES ARE ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE FOR P E R IO O S LATEST RATI O SEASONALLY ADJUSTED RESERVE BANK OF ST . L O U IS r a tio s c a le 1967-100 IN D IC A T E D . A P R IL PR EPA RED BY FED ERAL R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . 5 L O U IS PRODUCER P R I C E IN D E X . F IN I S H E D CONSUMER FOODS - S E A S O N A L L Y A D JU S T E D * COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T E S OF CHANCE 00 I O' © W' CD 1 TERMINAL I N I T I A L MONTH I 967 * 100 MONTH_______________________________________________________________________________________ ______ ____________________________________________________________________________ ___________ 1-87 3-8 7 2-87 11-85 12-85 8-86 7-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 4-86 5-86 3-86 6-86 1-86 2-86 1 8.5 11-85 17.1 1 5 .7 12-85 1 5.0 1 3 .3 11.1 1-86 8 .4 5 .3 0 .4 - 9 .2 2-86 3 .3 - 0 .2 - 5 .0 - 1 2 .2 3-86 3 .1 0 .3 - 3 .3 - 7 .6 - 6 .8 2 .2 >0 00 1 2 7 0 .2 10-95 3 .4 I .1 - 1 .6 - 4 .5 - 2 .9 3 .8 5 .5 5-86 5 .2 3 .4 1 .5 - 0 .3 2 .0 8 .4 1 1 .6 18.1 6-86 4 .8 3 .2 1 .5 0 .0 1 .9 6 .7 8 .2 9 .6 CO 1 r* 8-86 2 7 3 .5 ¿ 7 5 .9 2 7 3 .1 ¿ 7 0 .6 - 1 5 .1 2 7 0 .5 2 7 1 .7 275.3" 2 7 5 .9 1 .8 6 .0 4 .7 3 .4 2 .3 4 .4 8 .7 1 0 .4 1 2.1 9 .3 17 3 7 .0 5 .9 4 .9 4 .2 6 .2 1 0 .2 1 1 .9 1 3 .6 1 2.1 17 7 T 7 4 .S 1 8.1 2 8 3 .5 ¿ 8 3 .3 9-86 6 .3 5 .3 4 .3 3 .6 5 .3 8 .6 9 .7 1 0 .6 8 .7 11 2 8 .2 —0 . 8 10-86 6 .7 5 .8 5 .0 4 .4 6 .0 9 .0 1 0 .0 1 0 .7 9 .3 11 3 9 .3 5 .2 1 1 .6 11-86 6 .1 5 .1 4 .3 3 .7 5 .1 7 .6 8 .3 8 .7 7 .2 8 4 6 .2 2 .6 4 .3 - 2 .5 12-86 5 .3 4 .4 3 .5 2 .9 4 .1 6 .3 6 .7 6 .9 5 .3 6 0 3 .8 0 .5 1 .0 - 3 .9 2 8 5 .9 "2 85 .3" 1-87 3 .5 2 .6 1 .7 1 .0 1 .9 3 .6 3 .8 3 .6 1 .9 1 9 - 0 .4 - 3 .8 - 4 .5 - 9 .3 2-87 3 .0 2 .1 1 .2 0 .6 1 .3 2 .9 2 .9 2 .7 l.i 1 0 - 1 .2 —4 . 0 - 4 .7 - 8 .4 - 1 0 .2 3-87 3 .2 2 .3 1 .5 0 .9 1 .7 3 .1 3 .2 3 .0 1 .6 I 5 - 0 .3 - 2 .6 - ¿.4 - 5 .6 4-87 3 .9 3 .2 2 .5 2 .0 2 .8 4 .2 4 .3 4 .2 3 .1 3 2 1 .7 —0 .2 - 0 .1 - 1 .9 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 6 -86 7-86 8-86 ♦OATA FOR FOUR MONTHS A60 R E V IS E D ¿ 8 4 .0 - 5 .3 2 7 9 .6 - 1 2 .5 - 1 9 .2 2 7 7 .r - 1 2 .6 - 5 .5 - 6 .4 - ¿.7 d .r 6 .2 - 1 .8 - 0 .8 6 .? l2 .4 f4 .1 9—86 10—86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 3-87 2 79 .1 " 2 8 3 .2 MONTH IN IT IA L TO R EF L EC T LATE R E P 0 R T IN 6 PREPA RED BY F6P€RA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS MAY 15* 1907 PRODUCER P R IC E IN D E X . F IN IS H E D COOPS* EX C LU P IN C FOODS - SEASON ALLY A D JU ST ED * COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE 2 9 9 .5 2 11-85 8 5 .3 12-85 1 4 .5 3 0 0 .8 3 0 1 .7 3 .7 3 0 1 .0 1-86 1 2 .0 0 .4 -2 7 2-86 “ 1 3 - 3 .1 - 5 .7 -10 I 3-86 “ 3 5 - 5 .4 - 7 .9 - tl 4 - 1 5 .4 - 1 4 .0 I 0» 10-85 -4 4 - 6 .0 - 8 .2 -10 9 - 1 3 .5 - 1 1 .7 2 9 6 .4 - 1 6 .9 2 9 2 .7 "¿ 4 6 .i - 9 .4 5-86 6-86 • 1 'O 0 1 • 1 eg TERMINAL I N I T I A L MONTH 1967 » 100 -MQHIH_______________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9- 85 10-85 11—85 12- 85 4-86 12-86 1-87 1-86 2-86 3-86 6-86 7-86 8-86 9-86 10-86 5-86 2 6 0 .4 2 .5 -2 9 - 4 .0 - 5 .2 7-86 -4 4 - 5 .5 8-86 ”3 9 - 4 .9 9-86 “ 3 2 - 4 .0 - 4 .9 - 1 .6 2 .5 ¿ 4 1 .4 2 .5 -6 6 - 7 .4 - 6 .8 -8 2 - 9 .0 - 5 .6 - 4 .3 - 7 .6 - 1 6 . - 6 .0 -7 I - 7 .7 -6. 1 - 4 .5 - 3 .2 - 5 .0 -8. 0 .4 - 4 .9 -5 8 - 6 .2 - 4 .6 - 2 .9 - 1 .6 - 2 .6 —4 . 2 .7 2 8 7 .r 2 8 8 .4 5 .1 ¿ * * .r 10-86 -2 9 - 3 .6 - 4 .3 -5 1 - 5 .4 - 3 .8 - 2 .3 - 1 .0 - 1 .7 -2 • 2 .4 3 .4 1 .7 11-86 -2 5 - 3 .1 - 3 .8 -4 5 - 4 .6 -3. 2 - 1 .7 —0 . 6 - l.l -1. 2 .3 3 .0 1*9 2 .1 12-86 -2 2 - 2 .8 - 3 .3 -3 9 - 4 .0 - 2 .6 - 1 .3 - 0 .2 - 0 .6 2 .4 2 .8 2 .1 2 .3 2 .5 "284.4 1-87 -1 I - 1 .6 - 2 .1 -2 5 - 2 .5 - l.l 0 .3 1 .5 1 .3 1. 4 .5 5 .3 5 .4 6 .7 9 .0 1 6 .0 -0 9 - 1 .3 - 1 .8 -2 I - 2 .1 - 0 .7 0 .6 1 .6 1 .5 1. 4 .3 4 .9 4 .9 5 .7 6 .9 9 .2 3-87 -0 6 - 1 .0 - 1 .3 -1 7 - 1 .6 - 0 .3 0 .9 1 .9 1 .9 1. 4 .4 4 .9 4 .9 5 .6 b Z T 4-87 -0 3 - 0 .6 - 0 .9 -I 2 - l.l 0 .1 1 .3 2 .2 2 .2 2. 4 .5 5 .1 5 .0 5 .6 6 .3 12- B5 1-06 2-86 3-86 4-8 6 5-86 6-8 7—86 8-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 1 1 - J5 ♦DATA FOR FOUR MONTHS A60 R E V IS E O IN IT IA L TQ R E F L E C T LATE R EPO R T IN G ' "¿4 3 .5 2 .9 " 3 .4 " 5 .0 7 .3 4 .6 5 .4 5 .8 12-86 1-87 2-87 3-87 T .8 "244.2 7 4 5 .* " "2 46 .8" MONTH PREPA REP BY FEPER A L RESERVE MAY 15* 1 9 8 7 6 ’ 2 8 4 .3 2-87 9-85 ' ¿ 5 7 .2 BANK OF S T . L O U IS ' INDUSTRIAL RATI O PRODUCTION RATI O SCALE I 977-100 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 SCALE 1 97 7-1 00 SEASONALLY A D JUSTED 1984 1985 1986 1987 PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED. LATEST DATA PLOTTED: APRIL PRELIMINARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS __________ IN D U ST R IA L PRODUCTION_______ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE TERM INA L I N I T I A L MONTH 1977 * 100 MONTH_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9-85 10-85 10-85 1 1-85 12-85 1-86 2-66 3-86 —6 . 6 4-86 5-86 6-86 7-86 8- 86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 3-8 7 123.6 1 1 —8 5 2.4 12.3 12-85 4.2 1C. 1 8.0 1-86 4.7 8.7 6.9 2-86 1.9 4.2 1.6 -1.4 -3.2 3-86 - I . 1 0.0 -2.9 -6.2 -11.7 -15.1 4 —8 6 O.o 1.8 -0.2 -2.1 -4.7 -2.8 11.2 5—8 6 —0 . 1 0.9 -1. 0 -2.7 -4.7 -3.5 2.9 -4.7 6-86 -0.1 0. 7 -0.8 -2.2 -3.8 -2.6 2.0 -2.4 0.0 0.1 -1.0 -2.0 -0.8 3.2 0.6 3.4 -1.5 -0.3 2.9 124.8 125.6 5.9 126.2 125.3 12 3 . 6 124.7 124.2 124.2 7-86 0.6 8-36 0.7 1.5 0.3 -0 . 6 1.0 2.9 4.4 1.9 9-86 0.5 I. 1 0.1 -0.7 -1.5 -0.5 2.1 0.4 1.7 2.3 0.0 10-86 0.7 1.4 0.4 -0.3 -0.9 0.0 2.4 1.0 2.1 2.7 1.3 3.9 i 1-86 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.3 -0.2 0.7 2.9 1.8 2.9 3.5 2.7 5.4 6.9 12-86 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 1.3 3.4 2.4 3.5 4. 1 3.5 5.9 6.9 6.9 1-87 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.0 2.8 1.9 2.8 3.2 2.6 3.9 3.9 2.4 -1.9 2-87 1.6 2.1 1.5 I .0 0.7 1.4 3.1 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.0 4.3 4.4 3.5 1.9 3-87 1.3 1.8 1.2 o.fl 0.4 l. l 2.6 1 .8 2.5 2.8 2.3 3.1 2.9 1.9 0.3 1.4 -2.8 4 —8 7 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 0. 1 0.7 2.0 1.3 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.6 0.6 -0.9 —0 . 6 -3.7 -4.6 9-ÛS îû-as. lL-as. L2-ÛS 2-âù . 3-86 4-Ô6 .- 5- Q6 6-36 7-ôfr 9-36. 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-97 2-41. 3-97 1.4 1-86 124.9 7.0 125.1 124.9 8 —8 6 . 125.3 126.0 126.7 126.5 5.8 127.1 1 2 6 . 8P 1 2 6 . 3P . ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1NI U A L MONTH_____________________________________________________________________________________ ■£■- PRFI [ H i N A R Y __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ -- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P R E PA R E D PV F E O E R A L R ESERV E MAY 7 15* 1987 &AN* QF S T . L O U IS PERSONAL RATI O SCALE TRILLIONS INCOME RATI O MONTHLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES OF DOL L ARS TRILLIONS SEASON ALLY AD JUSTED OF SCALE DOL L A R S 4.0 3.8 3.6 3 3.4 3. 3.2 3 3.0 2. 2. 8 2. 2. 6 2 . 2.4 2. 2.2 2. 2. 0 1 I .8 . 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 SOURCEt U .S . DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED. LATEST DATA PLOTTED. APRIL PRELIMINARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS ______________________________________________________________________________ PERSONAL INCOME___________________________________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CHANGE _______________________________________________________________________________________________ BILLIONS Of TERMINAL I N I T I A L HONTH DOLLARS MONTH________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES 1-87 2-07 3-0 7 7-86 8-86 9-06 10-06 11-86 12-06 2-06 3-06 4-56 5-06 6-06 1-86 9-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 10-85 9 .1 3 *3 5 8 .3 3 * 3 7 2 .3 11-85 7.1 5 .1 12-85 1 0.5 1 1.2 17.5 1-86 7 .7 7 .2 8 .3 - 0 .2 2-86 7 .5 7 .0 7 .7 3. t 6 .5 ^ *4 1 0 .0 3 *4 1 7 .4 3 *4 3 5 .3 3 *4 4 5 .1 3-86 6 .8 6 .3 6 .6 3 .2 5 .0 3 .5 4-86 8 .0 7 .8 8 .3 6 .2 8 .4 9 .3 1 5.5 5-86 6 .7 6 .4 6 .6 4 .5 5 .7 5 .5 6 .5 - 1 .9 6-66 6 .0 5 .6 5 .6 3 .0 4 .6 4 .1 4 .3 - 0 .8 0 .2 7-86 5 .7 5 .3 5 .3 3 .7 4 .3 3 .9 4 .0 0 .5 1 .6 1 .0 1 .9 8-86 5 .4 9-86 5 .2 10-06 5 .1 5 .0 3 .7 3 .7 3 * 4 8 6 .6 5 .0 3 .5 4 .1 4 .9 4 .6 3 .5 4 .0 3 .7 3 .7 1 .5 4 .7 4 .7 3 .5 3 .9 3 .6 3 .6 1 .6 3 *4 0 1 .3 3 *4 8 1 .9 3 *4 9 0 .0 3 .1 3 * 4 9 7 .9 2 .8 2 .5 2 .3 3 .0 3 .0 3 .5 2 .5 3 .1 3 .1 3 .5 3 .4 2 .4 2 .9 2 .8 2 .9 2 .7 3 *5 0 7 .9 i * 5 1 7 .0 1 .9 3 * 5 2 3 .3 11-06 4 .9 4 .5 4 .5 3 .4 3 .7 3 .4 3 .4 1 .0 12-86 5 .0 4 .7 4 .7 3 .6 4 .0 3 .0 3 .8 2 .4 3 .0 3 .5 3 .6 3 .9 4 .0 4 .3 6 .8 1-87 4 .9 4 .6 4# 6 3 .7 4 .0 3 .0 3 .8 2 .6 3 .1 3 .6 3 .6 3 .9 4 .0 4 .1 5 .3 3 .7 2-87 5 .6 5 .3 5 .4 4 .5 4 .9 4 .8 4 .9 3 .9 4 .6 5 .1 5 .4 5 .9 6 .4 7 .1 9 .0 10.1 1 6 .8 3 * 5 4 2 .7 3 *5 5 3 .5 3 * 5 9 9 .7 3-87 5 .4 5 .1 5 .1 4 .4 4 .7 4 .6 4 .7 3 .7 4 .3 b •8 5 .0 5 .3 5 .6 6 .1 7 .2 7 .3 9 .1 2 .0 4-87 5 .3 5 .1 5 .1 4 .3 4 .6 4 .5 4 .6 3 .7 4 .2 4 .6 4 .6 5 .1 5 .4 5 .7 6 .5 6 .4 7 .3 2 .8 3 .6 10-85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4 -8* 5-86 6-86 7-86 8-86 9-96 11-66 12-06 1-87 2-87 3-8 7 9-85 IN IT IA L ' 3 * iW .é 3 * 4 1 4 .3 p MONTH P- P R E L IM IN A R Y__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ______ _______________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________P R E P A R E D B Y FE D E R A L R E S E R V E NAY 2 6* 1 9 0 7 8 BANK OF S T . L O U IS RETAIL RATI O SALES SCALE BILLIONS OF 1979 RATI O DOL L A R S 1980 SEASON ALLY 1981 1982 BILLIONS A D JUSTED 1983 1984 1985 OF 1986 SCALE DOL L A R S 1987 SOURCE: U .S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED. LATEST DATA PLOTTED: MARCH, APRIL ADVANCE ESTIMATE PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS R E T A IL S A L E S COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE IN IT IA L TERM INAL MONTH «»-85 10-85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 M IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS MONTH 6-86 7-86 8-86 9-86 10-86 11-86 12-86 1-87 2-87 3--87 115*711 10-85 - 2 9 .2 11-95 - 1 2 .8 7 .5 12-85 - 5 .6 9 .0 1 0.5 1-86 - 1 .7 9 .6 1 0 .7 io .e 2-86 - 3 .0 5 .0 4 .1 1 .0 - 7 .8 116*412 I i t * 389 1 18 t 393 117*590 3-86 - 3 .1 3 .2 2 .2 - 0 .4 - 5 .6 - 3 .3 4-86 - 1 *0 4 .7 4 .1 2 .6 0 .0 4 .1 1 2 .2 5-86 0 .7 5 .9 5 .6 4 .6 3 .1 7 .1 1 2 .7 1 3 .2 6-86 0 .7 5 .2 4 .9 3 .9 2 .6 5 .4 8 .5 6 .7 0 .7 7-86 1 .5 5 .6 5 .4 4 .6 3 .7 6 .1 8 .6 7 .5 4 .7 9 .0 8-86 2 .8 6 .7 6 .6 6 .2 5 .5 7 .9 1 0.3 9 .9 8 .8 1 3 .1 1 7 .3 9-06 8 .3 1 2 .5 13.1 1 3 .3 1 3 .7 17.1 2 0 .9 2 2 .8 2 5 .3 3 4 .8 4 9 .9 9 1 .5 10-86 2 .3 5 .5 5 .4 4 .9 4 .2 5 .8 7 .2 6 .4 5 .1 6 .2 5 .3 - 0 .2 - 4 8 .0 n-86 1 .9 4 .8 4 .5 4 .0 3 .3 4 .7 5 .7 4 .8 3 .5 4 .1 2 .9 - 1 .6 - 2 9 .4 12-86 5 .7 8 .8 8 .8 8 .7 8 .5 1 0 .3 1 1 .9 1 1 .9 1 1 .7 1 3 .7 1 4 .7 1 4 .0 - 4 .1 3 0 .2 77*1 1-87 - 0 .3 2 .0 1 .6 0 .9 0 .2 0 .9 1 .4 0 .2 - 1 .3 - 1 .6 - 3 .2 - 6 .9 - 2 2 .2 - 1 1 .1 - 1 4 .3 2-87 3 .1 5 .5 5 .4 5 .0 4 .6 5 .7 6 .5 6 .0 5 .2 5 .8 5 .4 3 .5 - 8 .5 5 .4 8*8 - 1 4 .7 3-87 3 .4 5 .7 5 .6 5 .3 4 .9 6 .0 6 .8 6 .3 5 .7 6 .2 5 .9 4 .3 - 5 .7 6 .2 9 .0 - 7 .3 3 8 .7 9 .5 4-87 3 .3 5 .5 5 .4 5 .1 4 .7 5 .7 6 .4 5 .9 5 .3 5 .7 5 .4 4 .0 - 4 .7 5 .4 7 .5 - 5 .1 2 5 .0 5 .4 1 .5 10 —85 11-85 12-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 5-86 6-86 7-86 8-86 11-86 12-06 1-07 2-07 3 -07 9-85 1 18*387 119*613 119*679 IN IT IA L 120*541 122* L56 128*952 122*121 121*678 - 4 .3 9-06_ 10-86 127*613 - 5 8 .6 118*579 7 5 .7 124*280 125 *2 25 P 125 * 384 E M0N7H P- PftFI î Ml MARY E- ESTIM A TED prepared MAY 13* 9 by 1987 FEDERAL. R ESE R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS HfMlftt Y COMPENSAT IO N . B U S IN E S S SECTOR COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE TERMINAL fMläftTPß IN IT IA L 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 QUARTER 1977*100 4-84 3-84 1-85 2-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 1 5 6 .6 3-82 7 .5 4-82 5 .9 4 .4 1 5 8 .3 1 5 9 .9 1-83 5 .3 4 .3 4 .1 2-83 4 .6 3 .7 3 .3 2 .5 3-83 4 .0 3 .1 2 .7 2 .0 1 .5 4-83 4 .2 3 .6 3 .3 3 .1 3 .4 5 .3 1-04 4 .4 3 .9 3 .8 3 .8 4 .2 5 .5 5 .7 2-84 4 .2 3 .8 3 .7 3 .6 3 .9 4 .6 4 .3 2 .9 1 6 0 .9 1 61 .5 16 3 .6 1 6 5 .9 167.1 1 69 .0 3-84 4 .3 3 .9 3 .8 3 .8 4 .0 4 .6 4 .4 3 .8 4 .6 4-04 4 .? 3 .9 3 .8 3 .8 4 .0 4 .5 4 .3 3 .8 4 .2 3 .8 1-85 4 .2 3 .9 3 .8 3 .8 4 .0 4 .4 4 .2 3 .9 4 .2 3 .9 U Ó .6 1 7 2 .3 4 .0 1 7 4 .5 2-85 4 .3 4 .0 4 .0 4 .0 4 .1 4 .5 4 .4 4 .1 4 .4 4 .4 4 .6 5 .2 3-85 4 .3 4 .0 4 .0 4 .0 4 .2 4 .5 4 .4 4 .2 4 .4 4 .4 4 .6 4 .8 4 .4 4 .3 4 .0 4 .0 4 .0 4 .1 4 .4 4 .3 4 .1 4 .3 4 .2 4 .3 4 .4 4 .1 4-85 3-85 1 7 6 .4 3 .7 1 7 8 .0 179 .1 1-86 4 .1 3 .9 3 .9 3 .9 4 .0 4 .2 4 .1 3 .9 4 .0 3 .9 4 .0 3 .9 3 .5 3 .1 2-86 4 .1 3 .8 3 .8 3 .8 3 .9 4 .1 4 .0 3 .8 3 .9 3 .8 3 .8 3 .7 3 .4 3 .0 2 .7 2 .9 3-86 4 .0 3 .8 3 .7 3 .7 3 .8 4 .0 3 .9 3 .7 3 .8 3 .7 3 .7 3 .6 3 .3 3 .0 2 .8 2 .9 2 .9 4-86 3 .9 3 .7 3 .6 3 .6 3 .7 3 .9 3 .7 3 .5 3 .6 3 .5 3 .5 3 .4 3 .1 2 .8 2 .6 2 .6 2 .5 2 .Ó 1-87 3 .7 3 .5 3 .4 3 .4 3 .5 3 .6 3 .5 3 .3 3 .3 3 .2 3 .1 3 .0 2 .7 2 .4 2 .2 2 .1 1 .8 i.i 0 .4 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 IN IT IA L 2 .5 1 80 .4 1 81 .7 1 8 2 .6 1 8 2 .8 P QUARTER P- P R E L IM IN A R Y ____________________________ _____________ ______________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ PREPAR ED BY FE D E R A L HAY 4 t R ESERVE PAN*. OF ST. L O U IS 1987 OUTPUT PFR HOUR QF ALL P ER S O N S . B U S IN E S S SECTOR COHPOUNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE TERMINAL I N I T I A L QUARTER 1977»100 Q1IA£T FR_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________ 4-86 2-86 3-86 3-85 1-86 2-85 4-85 4-84 1-85 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-82 1-83 2-83 2-82 3-82 1 00 .3 3-82 0 .4 4-82 1 .6 2 .8 1-83 2 .3 3 .2 3 .6 2-83 3 .3 4 .3 5 .0 6 .4 3-83 2 .2 2 .7 2 .6 2 .2 - 1 .9 4-83 2 .4 2 .8 2 .8 2 .5 0 .6 3 .1 1-84 2 .7 3 .0 3 .1 2 .9 1 .8 3 .7 4 .3 2-84 2 .7 3 .0 3 .0 2 .9 2 .0 3 .4 3 .5 2 .2 101 .0 1 0 1 .9 1 0 5 .5 1 0 3 .0 1 0 3 .8 1 (H .9 1 0 5 .6 2 .7 3-84 2 .3 2 .6 2 .5 2 .3 1 .5 l.l - 0 .4 ■r 1 00 -r 1 0 5 .5 2 .4 2 .1 2 .3 2 .2 2 .0 1 .3 1 .9 1 .6 0 .8 - 0 .2 0 .0 1-85 2 .0 2 .1 2 .0 1 .8 1 .2 1 .7 1 .5 0 .8 0 .1 0 .4 0 .8 l.l 1 .7 , 1 05 .5 1 0 5 .7 2 .7 2 .0 2 .2 2 .1 1 .9 1 .4 1 .9 1 .7 l.l 3-85 2 .1 2 .3 2 .2 2 .1 1 .6 2 .1 1 .9 1 .5 1 .3 1 .7 2 .3 3 .1 4-85 1 .7 1 .8 1 .8 1 .6 1 .1 1 .5 1 .2 0 .8 0 .5 0 .7 0 .9 0 .9 1 .1 0 .9 1 .8 2-86 3-86 1 .7 1 .3 1 .6 1 .5 1 .8 1 .6 1 .2 1 .5 1 .4 l.l 1 .6 1 .5 1 .1 1 .4 1 .2 0 .9 1 .9 1 .9 1 .7 1 .8 1 .6 1 .7 4-86 1 .4 1 .5 1 .4 1 .3 0 .9 1 .1 1 .0 0 .7 1-87 1 .4 1 .5 1 .4 1 .3 0 .9 l.l 1 .0 0 .7 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4—83 lò t .ì 3 .4 1 0 6 .4 - 3 .3 0 .0 3 .4 1 0 7 .3 l.l 1 .4 1 .5 l.l 0 .8 1 .0 1 .2 1 .3 0 .9 0 .1 1 .9 0 .7 0 .8 1 .0 1 .0 0 .7 0 .0 l.l 0 .5 0 .5 0 .6 0 .6 0 .3 - 0 .4 0 .4 - 0 .6 - l.l - 1 .9 0 .5 0 .6 0 .7 0 .7 0 .4 -0. 1 0 .6 - 0 .1 - 0 .2 - 0 .2 1 .5 1-85 _2 -85 3—85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-8 6 .5 - M IN IT IA L 1 0 7 .4 0 .4 o o 1-86 t 0 6 .4 o « o 2-85 0 .8 1 0 7 .3 —0 . 4 106 .8 1 0 7 .2P QVAR7ÇR P - —E R E L I HINARY_____________ _ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ __ __________________________________________________________ ___________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ PR E PA R E O B Y F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . LO U TS NAY 4 , 1 9 8 7 10 P R O D U C T IV IT Y , RATI O SCALE 1977-100 1979 COMPENSATIO N, AND LABOR COSTS RATI O SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 SOURCE t U . S . PERC EN T AG ES ARE ANNUAL RA TES OF CHANCE FOR PE R IO D S LA T E ST DATA P L O T T tD . 1986 SCALE 1977-100 1987 DEPARTMENT OF LABOR I NO IC A T E D . 1ST OUARTER P R E L IM IN A R Y PREPA RED I Y FED ERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . L O U IS _____________________ U N IT LABOR CO STS. B U S IN E S S SECTOR___________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES 1OF CHANGE IN IT IA L TERMINAL HHIAft T Ffl 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 1977*100 OUARTER 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-8 5 4-85 1-86 7 .2 4-02 4 .3 1 .5 1-83 2 .9 0 .8 0 .0 2-83 1 .3 - 0 .6 - 1 .7 4-86 1 5 6 .8 i* A . é 1 5 5 .5 - 3 .3 1 5 6 .8 3-83 1 .7 0 .4 0 .0 0 .0 3 .4 4-03 1 .8 0 .8 0 .6 0 .8 2 .8 2 .3 1-04 1 .7 0 .9 0 .7 0 .9 2 .3 1 .8 1 .3 2-84 1 .6 0 .8 0 .6 0 .8 1 .8 1 .3 0 .8 0 .3 3-84 1 .9 1 .3 1 .2 1 .4 2 .4 2 .2 2 .1 2 .5 4 .9 4-84 2 .1 1 .5 1 .6 1 .8 2 .6 2 .5 2 .5 3 .0 4 .3 3 .8 I 57 . 7 1 58 .2 iS è .i U Ô .2 1 6 1 .7 1 63 .1 1-85 2*2 1 .7 1 .8 2 .0 2 .8 2 .7 2 .7 3 .1 4 .1 3 .7 3 .5 2-85 2 .2 1 .8 1 .8 2 .0 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .9 3 .6 3 .2 2 .9 2 .2 3-85 2 .1 1 .7 1 .7 1 .9 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2 .6 3 .1 2 .6 2 .2 1 .6 1 .0 4-85 2 .5 2 .1 2 .2 2 .4 3 .0 2 .9 3 .0 3 .2 3 .8 3 .5 3 .5 3 .4 4 .1 7 .2 1-86 2 .3 1 .9 2 .0 2 .1 2 .6 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 3 .1 2.8 2 .6 2 .4 2 .4 3 .2 - 0 .7 2 .8 2 .6 2 .4 2 .4 2 .9 0 .8 2 .4 2 .3 3-86 1 5 6 .2 3-82 2-86 2 -86 2 .0 2 .0 2 .1 2 .6 2 .5 2 .6 2 .7 3 .0 164 .0 164 . {6773 1 6 7 .0 1 6 8 .0 169. 3-86 2 .3 2 .0 2 .1 2 .2 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .7 3 .0 2 .8 2 .7 2 .5 2 .6 3 .0 1 .6 2 .8 3 .1 4-86 2 .4 2 .2 2 .2 2 .3 2 .8 2 .7 2 .7 2 .9 3 .1 2 .9 2 .8 2 .7 2 .8 3 .2 2 .2 3 .2 3.4 4 .1 " 1-87 2 .2 2 .0 2 .0 2 .1 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2 .5 2 .7 2 .5 2 .4 2 .2 2 .2 2 .4 1 .5 2 .0 i.* 1 .3 —i . 4 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-03 4-83 1-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4 -«5 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 IN IT IA L 1 7Ó .4 P iQ UARTER P R E P A R E D BY FED ER A L MAY 4» 1987 11 RESERVE Ì 1 71 . 0 P- PR F I IMTNARY K BANK OF S T . L O U IS CROSS TERM INAL Q4IAR T F R 2-82 3-82 4-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 N A T IQHAL ^ROQUCT 1H CURR ENT Dffl I AW*_______________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE __________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF I N I T I A L QUARTER DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES 4-04 2-86 3-86 4-86 1-04 2-84 3-04 1-85 1-86 4-03 4-85 2-05 3-85 3 ,1 7 9 .4 2 .5 3 *2 1 2 .5 4 .2 3 .4 3 ,2 6 5 .8 1-83 4*5 5 .5 6 .8 2-83 6 .6 8 .0 9 .9 1 3 .0 3-83 7.1 8 .3 9 .7 1 1 .2 9 .4 3 ,3 6 7 .4 3 ,4 4 3 .9 4-83 8 .0 9 .1 1 0.4 1 1 .6 1 0 .9 12.4 1-84 9 .0 10.1 1 1.3 1 2 .4 1 2 .2 13.6 1 4.9 2-84 8 .9 9*8 1 0 .7 1 1 .5 1 1 .2 lt.0 11.5 8 .2 3-84 8 .5 9 .3 10.1 1 0 .6 1 0 .1 1 0.3 9 .7 7 .1 6.1 4-84 8 .2 8 .8 9 .4 9 .8 9 .3 9 .2 8 .5 6 .4 5 .5 3 ,6 7 0 .9 3 ,7 4 3 .8 3,7<tt.7 3 ,8 4 5 .6 4 .9 3 ,9 0 9 .3 1-85 8.1 8 .6 9 .1 9 .4 8 .9 8 .8 8.1 6 .5 5 .9 5 .9 6 .8 2-85 7 .9 8 .4 8 .8 9 .0 8 .5 9 .4 7 .7 6 .4 5 .9 5 .8 6 .3 5 .8 3-85 7 .8 8 .2 8 .6 8 .8 8 .3 8 .2 7 .6 6 .4 6* I 6 .1 6 .5 6 .3 6 .8 4-85 7 .6 8 .0 8 .4 8 .5 8 .1 7 .9 7 .4 6 .3 6 .0 6 .0 6 ♦3 6 .1 6 .3 5 .8 1-86 7 .5 7 .9 8 .2 8 .3 7 .9 7 .7 7.2 6 .3 6 .1 6 .0 6 .3 6 .1 6 .2 6 .0 6 .2 7 .9 7 .4 7 .3 6 .8 5 .9 5 .6 5 .5 5 .6 5 .4 5 .3 4 .8 4 .3 2 .6 7 .7 7 .4 7 .2 6 .7 5 .9 5 .7 5 .6 5 .7 5 .6 5 .5 5 .2 5 .0 4 .5 6 .4 3 ,9 6 5 .0 4 ,0 3 0.5 4 ,ó é ? .7 4 ,1 4 9 .2 4 ,1 7 5 .6 2-86 7 .2 7 .5 7 .8 3-86 7 .2 7 .5 7 .7 4-86 6 .9 7 .1 7 .3 7 .3 6 .9 6 .8 6 .3 5 .5 5 .3 5 .2 5 .2 5 .Ó 4 .9 4 • ?> 4 .2 3 .5 4. ó 1.7 1-87 7 .0 7 .2 7 .4 7 .4 7 .1 6 .9 6 .5 5 .8 5 .6 5 .5 5 .6 5 .5 5 .4 5 .2 5 .1 4 .8 5 .6 5 .1 8 .7 4-fl2 1-83 3-03 4-93 1-94 2-94 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 2 = A l . ?~94 _ 4 - 8 4 _ 1-95 IN IT IA L 4 ,2 4 0 .7 4 ,2 5 8 .7 4 ,3 4 8 .4 QUARTER PREPA RED BY FEO ERAL MAY 2 2 , 1987 R ESER V E BANK OF ST« L O U IS _______________________________________________________________SRQSS NA T IONAL PRODUCT I N 1792 DOLLARS______ ______________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF TERMINAL I N I T I A L QUARTER DOLLARS CHJARTFR_____________________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES 2-86 3-86 4-86 1-86 3-8 5 4-85 1-85 2-85 3-83 4-83 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-83 2-83 3 ,1 5 4 .5 3-82 - 3 .2 4-82 - 1 .3 0 .6 2 .0 3 .5 2 .5 4 .4 6 .4 9 .3 4 .8 6 .3 7 .7 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-04 4 .7 3 ,1 5 9 .3 3 ,1 8 6 .6 3 ,2 5 8 .3 5 .3 6 .5 7 .5 6 .7 7 .3 6 .0 7 .2 0 .1 7 .7 0 .5 2-84 4 .7 5 .9 6 .8 7 .5 7 .0 3-84 4 .5 5 .4 6 .2 6 .6 6 .1 4-04 4 .2 5 .0 5 .6 5 .9 5 .3 4 .1 4 .8 5 .3 5 .5 2-85 4 .6 5 .0 3-85 4 .5 4-85 4 .3 1-86 1-85 2-86 3-86 4-86 3 .5 3 .4 1-87 2-02 3 ,3 0 6 .4 6 .0 7 .4 3 ,3 6 5 .1 9 .0 3 ,4 4 4 .7 7 .4 3 ,4 8 7 .1 5 .0 3 ,5 0 7 .4 5 .7 3 .7 2 .3 5 .1 4 .6 2 .9 1 .9 1 .5 5 .0 4 .8 4 .3 3 .0 2 .3 2 .3 3 .1 5 .1 4 .6 4 .4 4 .0 2 .8 2 .3 2 .3 2 .7 4 .9 5 .0 4 .6 4 .4 4 .0 3 .1 2 .7 2 .7 3 .2 3 .2 4 .1 4 .7 4 .0 4 .3 4 .1 3 .0 2 .9 2 .6 2 .6 2 .9 2 .8 3 .1 2 .1 4 .3 4*6 4 .7 4 .3 4 .1 3 .0 3 .0 2 .7 2 .8 3 .1 3 .1 3 .3 2 .9 3 .8 4 .1 4 .3 4 .4 4 .0 3 .0 3 .4 2 .7 2 .5 2 .5 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .1 2 .2 0 .6 4 .0 4 .2 4 .3 3 .9 3 .7 3 .4 2 .7 2 .5 2 .5 2 .7 2 .6 2 .7 2 .3 2 .4 1 .7 3 , $ ¿ 0 .4 3 ,5 4 7 .0 3 ,5 6 7 .6 2 .3 3 ,6 0 3 .8 3 ,6 2 2 .3 3 ,6 5 5 .9 3 ,6 6 1 .4 2 .8 3 ,6 0 6 .4 3 ,6 9 6 .1 3 .8 4 .0 4 .0 3 .7 3 .2 2 .6 2 .4 2 .4 2 .5 2 .4 2 .4 "T .d " ¿ .ir IT 5 1 .* l.l 3 .8 4 .0 4 .1 3 .7 3 .3 2 .7 2 .5 2 .6 2 .7 2 .6 2 .7 2 .4 ¿ .y ?.¿ ¿.7 2 .7 4 .4 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 3-83 IN IT IA L 3 ,7 3 5 .9 QUARTER P R E P A R E D B Y F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS MAY ¿ J , 1 4 1 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 GROSS N A T I O N A L PRODUCT RATIO SCALE 1979 QUAR T E R L Y T OT AL S AT ANNUAL R A T E S 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 SOURCEt PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIO D S LATEST DATA PLOTTED« 1985 U .S . RATIO 1986 SCALE 1987 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE INDICATED. 1ST OUARTER PREPARED BY FEDERAL R ESER V E BANK OF S T . 13 LO U IS GENERAL RATI O PRICE INDEX* SCALE RATI O 1982-100 1979 SCALE 1 98 2-100 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 «A3 USED IN NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS 1985 1986 1987 SOURCE. U .S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED. LATEST DATA PLOTTED. 1ST OUARTER PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS IM P L IC IT P R IC E DEFLATOR FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT ___________ COHPOUNOEP ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE_____________ TERM INAL_________________________________________________________________________I N I T I A L QUARTER______________________________ ________________________________________ 1982 * QUART ER 3-86 4-86 1-86 2-86 3-85 4-85 1-83 3-83 4-83 2-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 2-83 3-84 1-84 2-82 3-82 4-8? 100 100 .8 3-82 5 .0 4-82 4 .7 3 .6 1-83 4 .2 3 .4 3 .2 2-83 3 .9 3 .3 3 .2 1 01 .7 1 02 .5 1 03 .3 3 .2 1 04 .2 3-03 3 .8 3 .4 3 .3 3. 3 3 .5 4-83 4 .0 3 .6 3 .6 3 .8 4 .1 4 .7 1-84 4 .1 3 .8 3 .8 4 .0 4 .3 4 .7 4 .6 2-84 3 .9 3 .7 3 .7 3 .8 4 .0 4 .1 3 .8 1 05 .4 1 06 .6 1 07 .4 3 .0 1 08 .3 3-84 3 .Q 3 .7 3 .7 3 .7 3 .9 3 .9 3 .7 3 .2 3 .4 4-84 3 .8 3 .6 3 .6 3 .7 3 .8 3 .0 3 .6 3 .3 3 .4 3 .4 1-85 3 .0 3 .6 3 .6 3 .7 3 .8 3 .8 3 .6 3 .4 3 .5 3 .5 3 .7 2-85 3 .8 3 .6 3 .6 3 .6 3 .7 3 .7 3 .6 3 .4 3.4 3 .5 3 .5 3 .3 3-85 3 .7 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 3 .6 3 .6 3 .4 3 .2 3.3 3 .2 3 .2 2 .9 2 .5 4-85 3 .7 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 3 .6 3 .6 3 .5 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .2 3 .1 3 .6 1-86 3 .6 3 .4 3 .4 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 3 .3 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .1 3 .0 2 .9 3. 1 2 .5 1 09 .2 1 1 0.2 1 1 1 .1 1 11 .8 1 12 .8 113 .5 2-86 3 .* 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .2 3 .0 3 .0 3 .0 2 .9 2 .7 2 .6 2 .6 2 .1 1 .8 3-86 3 .5 3 .3 3 .3 3 .3 3 .4 3 .3 3 .2 3 .1 3.1 3 .0 3 .0 2 .9 2 .8 2 .9 2 .6 2 .7 1 14 .0 I 15.0 3 .6 115 .2 4-86 3 .3 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3. 2 3.1 3 .0 2 .9 2 .8 2 .8 2 .7 2*6 2 .4 2 .4 2 .1 2 .0 2 .1 0 .7 1-87 3 .4 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .1 3 .0 3 .0 2 .9 2 .9 2 .8 2 .7 2 .7 2 .5 2 .6 2 .8 2 .4 4 .2 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 i- 0 5 4-Ô5 l- S è 2-Ö6 3-86 4-86 2 -8 > PREPARED BY FED ER AL R E S E R V t HAY 22 * 1 9 8 7 14 B A F * OF S T . 116 .4 LIHJ1ST P E R S ONAL CONSUMP T IO N E X P E N D IT U R ES IN CURRENT DO LLARS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE IN IT IA L 2-82 3-82 8 .5 4-82 9« 4 3-8? 4- 82 1-83 2-83 3-S3 4-83 1-84 2-84 B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS QUARTER 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 2 * 0 6 5 .6 2 ,1 1 7 .0 1 0 .3 2 * 1 4 ¿ .6 1-83 8 .2 8 .0 5 7 2-83 9*3 9 .6 9 3 1 3 .0 3-83 9 .3 9 .5 9 3 1 1 .1 2 * 2 1 3 .0 9 .3 2 * 2 ¿2 .0 2 ,3 1 5 .8 9 .7 4-83 9 .4 9 .6 9 4 1 0 .6 9 *5 1-84 9 .3 9 .4 9 2 1 0.1 9 .2 9 .1 8 .6 2-84 9 .3 9 .4 9 2 9 .9 9 .2 9 .1 8 .8 9 .1 3-84 8 .8 8 .8 8 6 9 .1 8 .3 8 .1 7 .5 7 .0 5 .0 4-84 8 .6 8 .6 8 4 8 .8 8. 1 7 .9 7 .4 7 .0 6 .0 7 .0 1-85 8 .5 8 .5 8 3 8 .6 8 .0 7 .8 7 .4 7 .1 6 .4 7 .1 7 .2 2-85 8 .4 8 .4 8 2 8 .4 7 .9 7 .7 7 .4 7 .1 6 .6 7 .2 7 .3 7 .3 3-85 8 .4 8 .3 8 ? 8 .4 7 .9 7 .7 7 .5 7 .3 6 .9 7*4 7 .6 7 .7 8 .2 4-85 8 .2 8 .2 8 0 8 .2 7 .8 7 .6 7 .3 7 .2 6 .8 7 .2 7 .3 7 .3 7 .3 6 .4 6 .7 6 .6 6#* 5 .5 4 .6 2 * i¿ i.d 2 * 4 U .l 2 ,4 4 5 .6 2 * 4 0 7 .2 2 * $ ÍO . 9 2 * 5 7 ¿ .0 2 ,6 2 7 .1 2 ,6 6 7 .9 2 ,6 9 7 .9 1-86 8 .0 7 .9 7 7 .9 7 .5 7 .3 7 .0 6 .8 6 .5 6 .8 2-96 7 .8 7 .7 6 7 .7 7 .3 7.1 6 .8 6 .6 6 .3 6 .5 6 .5 6 .3 6 .1 5 .4 4 .9 5 .2 3-86 7 .9 7 .9 7 7 .9 7 .5 7 .4 7 .1 7 .0 6 .8 7 .0 7 .0 7 .0 6 .9 6 .6 6 .6 7 .7 1 0 .3 4-86 7 .7 7 .6 4 7 .6 7 .2 7 .0 6 .8 6 .6 6 .4 6 .5 6 .5 6 .4 6 .2 5 .8 5 .7 6 .1 6 .6 3 .0 1-87 7 .5 7 .4 3 7¿ 3 7 .0 6 .8 6 .6 6 .4 6 .2 6 .3 6 .3 6 .1 6 .0 5 .6 5 .4 5 .7 5 .8 3 .7 4 .4 2-02 3-82 4.-83 _ L - 9 4 2-94 3-04 4-04 1-0? _J_-05 4-0? 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 4-192 —L-01. 2-03 _ 1 t S3 IN IT IA L 2 ,7 3 2 .0 2 * 7 9 9 .8 2 *8 2 0 .4 2 ,8 5 0 .7 QUARTER PR E P A R E O BY FEO ERA L NAY 2 2 * 1987 PERSONAL R ESER V E BANK. OF S T * L O U IS CONSUMPTION EXPE N D IT U R ES IN 1982 DOLLARS COMPOUNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE B ILLIO N S IN IT IA L 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 «0 1 2 -8 ? 4-83 ' 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 OF DOLLARS QUARTER 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-8 6 2 ,0 5 1 .8 3-82 2 .1 4-82 3 .7 5 .3 2 ,0 7 8 .7 1-83 3 .5 4 .2 3 .0 2 ,0 9 4 .2 2-83 4 .6 5 .4 5 .5 8 .0 3-83 4 .8 5 .4 5 .4 6 .7 5 .3 4-83 4 .9 5 .4 5 .4 6 .3 5 .4 5 .5 2 ,1 3 5 .1 2 ,1 6 3 .0 2 ,1 9 1 .9 1-84 4 .8 5 .2 5 .2 5 .7 4 .9 4 .8 4 .1 2-84 4 .9 5 .3 5 .3 5 .8 5 .2 5 .2 5 .0 6 .0 2 ,2 1 3 .8 3-84 4 .5 4 .8 4 .7 5 .0 4 .4 4 .2 3 .8 3 .6 2 ,2 4 6 .3 2 ,2 * 5 . 5 1 .3 ¿ * ¿ 7 1 .7 4-84 4 .4 4 .6 4 .5 4 .8 4 .2 4 .0 3 .6 3 .5 2 .3 3 .3 1-85 4 .3 4 .5 4 .4 4 .6 4 .1 3 .9 3 .6 3 .5 2 .7 3 .5 3 .7 2-85 4 .2 4 .4 4 .3 4 .5 4 .1 3 .9 3 .6 3 .5 2 .9 3 .5 3 .6 3 .5 2 ,5 1 1 .9 3-85 4 .3 4 .5 4 .4 4 .6 4 .2 4 .1 3 .9 3 .8 3 .4 3 .9 4 .1 4 .4 5 .3 4-85 4 .1 4 .3 4 .2 4 .3 3 .9 3 .8 3 .6 3 .5 3 .1 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 1 .7 1-86 4 .1 4 .2 4 .2 4 .2 3 .9 3 .6 3 .6 3 .5 3 .2 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 3 .5 2 .6 3 .6 2-86 4 .2 4 .4 4 .3 4 .4 4 .1 ' 4 .0 3 .8 3 .8 3 .5 3 .9 4 .0 4 .0 4 .2 3 .8 4 .9 6 .2 3-86 4 .4 4 .5 4 .5 4 .6 4 .3 4 .2 4 .1 4 .1 3 .9 4 .2 4 .4 4 .5 4 .7 4 .5 4-86 4 .1 4 .2 4 .1 4 .2 4 .0 3 .9 3 .7 3 .7 3 .5 3 .7 3 .8 3 .8 3 .é 1-87 3 .8 3 .9 3 .8 3 .9 3 .6 3 .5 3 .3 3 .3 3 .0 3 .2 3 .2 3 .1 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 IN IT IA L T ,T O .ó ' 2 ,5 5 1 .7 " 2 ,5 7 2 .7 " 2 ,4 0 0 .4 5 .5 6 .4 6 .7 4 .0 4 .1 3 .1 -Ö .4 ¿,4 4 ô .ô " 3 .1 2 .7 3 .0 2 .8 1 .7 -ó”. 7 - 1 .1 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4 -8 6 2 ,4 4 5 .0 2 ,4 3 8 .9 QUARTER PREPAREO BY FED ER AL MAY 2 2 * 1 9 8 7 15 RESERVE BANK OF ST* L O U IS - COHPOIJNOEO ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE IN IT IA L t e r m in a l B IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES QUARTER ÛUARTFR 2-82 3-8 2 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 - 1 2 .7 4-82 - 2 3 .3 - 3 2 .7 1-83 - 11 .1 - 1 0 .3 2-83 2 .9 8 .7 3-8 3 8 .8 1 4 .9 1-86 4-85 2-86 3-86 4-86 *2 0 .5 1 9 .6 38. 1 5 9 .5 3 7 .4 4 7 .2 4 8 1 .3 *1 4 .7 3 5 .9 579. 6 4-83 15.4 2 2 .0 4 1 .6 4 9 .8 45. 1 5 4 .9 1-84 ? 1•7 2 8 .6 46*4 5 4 .0 5 2 .2 6 1 .0 6 7 .4 ? - 8^ 1 8 .6 2 3 .8 3 7. 1 4 0 .9 3 6 .6 3 6 .8 2 8 .6 - 1 .2 3 2 .5 3 4 .8 3 0 .3 2 9 .0 2 1 .3 3 .3 6 5 9 .5 ¿5 7 .5 6 7 0 .3 8 .0 3-84 1 7 .3 2 1 .8 4-84 1 4 .8 1 8 .4 2 7 .0 2 8 .2 2 3 .6 2 1 .2 1 4 .0 0 .3 l.l - 5 .4 1-85 1 2 .7 1 5 .7 2 2 .8 2 3 .2 1 8 .8 16.2 9 .7 - 1 .3 - 1 .4 - 5 .8 - 6 .2 2-8 5 1 2 .6 2 1 .5 2 1 .8 1 7 .7 1 5.3 9 .8 0 .9 1 .5 - 0 .6 1.8 1 0 .5 0 .0 - 1 .9 - 0 .7 2 .1 - 5 .7 3-85 3-85 4 5 2 .2 3-8 ? 1 5 .2 18 .8 1 8 .7 1 4 .9 1 2.5 1 2 .8 1 7.8 1 7 .6 1 4.1 1 3 .7 1 8 .4 1 8 .3 1 5.1 1 1 .0 1 3 .3 4-85 1 0.8 1-86 1 1 .7 661 .1 6 5 0 .6 6 67 .1 657 .4 7 .4 - 0 .2 1 1 .9 7 .5 0 .9 1 .2 - 0 .1 1 .3 3 .9 0 .7 7 .6 1 3 .2 9 .3 3 .6 4 .3 3 .7 5 .7 8 .9 8 .3 16.1 2 5 .3 1 .9 2 .2 1 .4 2 .6 4 .5 3 .0 6 .1 5 .4 - 1 1 .3 6 6 9 .5 7 0 8 .3 6 8 7 .3 2-86 10.1 1 1 .8 1 5 .9 1 5 .7 1 2 .6 1 0 .7 7 .0 3-86 9 .0 1 0 .6 1 4 .3 1 3 .9 1 1 .0 9 .1 5 .7 1 .0 1 .2 0 .4 1 .3 2 .6 1 .0 2 .8 1 .3 - 9 .0 - 6 .5 4-86 8 .1 9 .4 1 2 .8 1 2 .4 9 .6 7 .8 4 .6 0 .2 0 .3 - 0 .5 0 .2 l.l - 0 .4 Ò .J - Ô .4 —8 .4 —6 .9 —7 .3 1 1 .3 9 .7 6 .8 2 .9 3 .3 2 .8 3 .7 5 .1 4 .3 6 .1 5 .8 1 .4 6 .0 1 2 .9 3 7 .5 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 1-87 9 .4 1 0 .8 14.1 1 3 .8 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 IN IT IA L 663 . 2 R ESE R V E BANK OF S T . L O U IS INVESTMENT I N 1? S 2 DQLLAftS COMPOUNDED A W U A L RATES OF CHANGE IN IT IA L TERM INA L B IL L IO N S Of DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES QUARTER ÛUARTFR 2-92 3-82 4-92 1-83 ?- 8 3 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 7 18 .1 QUARTER PREPA RED BY FED ERA L MAY 22* 1987 GUQSS P E IVATE M 1 E S T IC 6 7 5 .8 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 4 4 8 .6 2-83 4 0 8 .8 - 2 3 .5 - 3 1 .0 - 1 1 .4 - 9 .4 19.1 4 .1 1 1 .5 4 1 .9 427.1 4 8 6 .9 6 8 .9 5 2 4 .8 3-83 9 .7 1 7 .0 3 9 .5 5 1 .0 3 5 .0 4-83 1 5 .1 2 2 .3 4 1 .2 4 9 .4 4 0 .5 1-84 2 0 .6 2 8 .0 4 4 .8 5 2 .0 4 6 .8 5 3.1 6 0.1 2-84 1 7 .9 2 3 .6 3 6 .2 3 9 .9 3 3 .4 3 2 .9 2 6 .7 0 .2 577.2 4 6 .3 6 * 9 .3 6 4 9 .7 2 1 .2 3 1 .4 3 3 .5 2 7 .4 2 5 .6 1 9.3 3 .0 5 .8 1 7 .9 2 6.1 2 7 .1 2 1 .2 1 8.7 1 2.6 0 .1 0 .1 - 5 .4 1-85 1 2 .0 1 5.1 2 1 .9 2 2 .2 1 6 .7 1 3 .9 8 .4 - 1 .7 - 2 .4 - 6 .2 2-85 1 1 .9 1 4 .8 2 0 .8 2 1 .0 1 6 .0 1 3 .6 8 .9 0 .8 0 .9 - 0 .7 1 .8 1 1 .4 00 o» 10.3 1 2 .8 1 8 .0 1 7 .8 1 3 .2 1 0.8 6 .4 - 0 .6 - 0 .7 - 2 .3 - 1 .2 1 .8 - 7 .0 1 0 .0 1 2 .3 1 6 .9 1 6 .7 1 2 .5 1 0 .2 6 .4 0 .3 0 .4 - 0 .7 0 .5 3 .1 - 0 .7 6 .0 1 iti i 16.5 14.1 OD ¿58 . 9 3-84 4-84 6 4 9 .9 6 3 8 .2 - 7 .0 655 .6 6 4 3 .8 6 5 3 .2 1-86 1 0 .7 1 2 .8 17.2 1 7 .0 1 3 .2 1 1.2 7 .8 2 .6 3 .0 2 .5 4 .2 7 .2 5 .8 1 2 .9 2-86 9 .2 1 1 .1 1 4 .9 1 4 .6 1 0 .9 9 .0 5 .8 1 .0 l.l 0 .5 1 .5 3 .3 1 .4 4 .4 3-86 8 .1 9 .8 1 3 .2 1 2 .8 9 .4 7 .5 4 .5 0 .1 0 .1 - 0 .6 0 .1 1 .4 - 0 .5 1 .2 - 0 .4 4-86 6 .8 8 .3 1 1 .4 1 0 .9 7 .6 5 .7 2 .9 - l.l - 1 .3 - 2 .0 - 1 .6 - 0 .8 - 2 .7 - 1 .8 - 3 .7 1-87 8 .2 9 .6 1 2 .7 1 2 .3 9 .3 7 .6 5 .1 1 .5 1.6 1.2 2 .0 3 .1 2 .0 3 .6 3 .1 2-82... 3-32 4-82 1-83 2-23 3-83 -L-94 2-04 1-95 IN IT IA L 2-15. ?-95 6 8 4 .0 2 0 .2 6 6 4 .7 3 .6 - 1 0 .8 - 9 .3 6 5 1 .3 - 7 .8 6 2 9 .0 -10.6 - 1 0 .5 - 1 3 .0 - 0 .7 1-86 2 .9 8 .7 3 5 .7 3-86 4-86 6 7 8 .9 QUARTER PREPARED BY FED ERAL RESERVE MAY 22t 1 9 8 7 16 BANK QF S T . L O U IS . GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND S ERV I C ES I N CURRENT DOLLARS COMPOUWOED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE T ER H IN A L IN IT IA L QUARTER OHARTFR 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-8 3 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 3-85 2-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 B IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES 4-86 6 47 .1 3-32 1 4 .4 4-82 1 5 .3 1 6 .2 1-83 9 .1 6 .6 - 2 .2 2-83 7 .9 5 .8 1 .0 4 .3 3-83 7 .0 5 .2 1 .8 3 .8 3 .3 4-83 5 .3 3 .6 0 .6 1 .6 0 .3 1-84 6 .0 4 .7 2 .5 3 .8 3 .6 3 .7 1 0 .5 2-84 8 .3 7 .4 6 .0 7 .7 0 .6 1 0.4 1 7 .6 2 5 .2 3-84 8 .0 7 .? 6 .0 7 .4 8 .0 9 .3 1 3 .6 1 5 .1 5 .9 4-84 8 .3 7 .6 6 .6 7 .9 8 .5 9 .6 1 2 .9 1 3 .7 8 .4 6 7 1 .8 668. 1 6 7 5 .2 6 8 0 .7 6 76 .1 - 2 .7 6 9 3 .2 7 3 3 .5 743. 8 7 6 3 .4 1 1 .0 777. 3 1-85 8 .? 7 .6 6 .7 7 .9 8 .4 9 .3 1 1 .8 12.1 8 .1 9 .2 7 .5 2-85 8 .5 8 .0 7 .2 8 .3 8 .0 9 .6 1 1 .8 1 2 .0 9 .0 1 0 .0 9 .5 1 1 .4 3-85 9 .1 8 .6 8 .0 9 .1 9 .6 1 0 .4 1 2 .4 1 2 .7 1 0 .4 1 1.5 1 1 .7 1 3 .9 1 6 .3 4-85 9 .4 9 .0 8 .4 9 .4 9 .9 1 0 .7 12» 5 1 2 .8 1 0 .6 1 1 .9 1 2.1 1 3 .7 1 4 .7 1 3 .1 1-86 8 .1 7 .6 7 .0 7 .8 8 .1 8 .6 9 .9 9 .9 7 .8 8 .2 7 .6 7 .6 6 .3 l.t - 8 .5 2-86 8 .3 7 .9 7 .3 8 .1 8 .4 8 .9 10.1 1 0.1 8 .3 8 .7 8 .3 8 .5 7 .7 5 .0 1 .2 7 9 9 .0 8 2 9 .7 8 5 5 .6 8 36. 7 860.Ô 1 2 .0 8 7 4 .0 7 .8 7 .3 8 .0 8 .3 8 .7 9 .8 9 .7 8 .1 8 .4 8 .0 8 .1 7 .4 5 .3 2 .9 9 .1 6 .3 8 .0 7 .7 7 .1 7 .8 8 .0 8 .4 9 .4 9 .3 7 .8 8 .0 t.t r .r~ t .r 5 .5 3 .5 7 .8 5 .8 5 .3 1-87 7 .7 7 .4 6 .9 7 .5 7 .7 8 .0 8 .9 8 .7 7 .4 7 .5 7 .1 7 .1 6 .5 4 .7 3 .3 6 .5 4 .8 4 .0 2 .8 2 -8 ? 3-82 4-821 1 —9 3 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 IN IT IA L 00 1 8 .2 00 1 <*> 3-86 4-86 8 8 5 .3 891 .4 QUARTER P R E P A R E D BY FED ER A L R E S E R V E HAY 22* 1907 BANK OF S T . L O U IS 1 to ________________________________________________________ GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND S E R V IC E S IN 1962 P P tL A R S __________________________________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE ___________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ B IL L IO N S OF T ER H IN A L I N I T I A L QUARTER DOLLARS QUARTER_________________________________________ __________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________________ ANNUAL RATES 3-06 4-06 2 -86 1-06 4-85 3 —03 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-03 1-84 2-82 3-82 4-82 2-83 3-84 1-83 4-04 6 4 2 .5 3-82 8 .4 4-82 9 .9 1 1 .4 1-83 4 .2 2 .1 —6 .4 6 6 0 .1 ¿4 4 . T 6 5 0 .9 2-83 3 .4 1 .7 - 2 .8 l.l 3-03 3 .0 1 .7 - 1 .3 1 .4 1 .7 4-83 1 .3 0 .0 - 2 .7 - 1 .4 - 2 .7 - 6 .0 6 5 3 .6 ............... ¿4 2 .2 “ 6 5 0 .2 1-84 1 .0 0 .8 - 1 .2 0 .? - 0 .1 - 1 .0 5 .1 2-04 3 .8 3 .1 1 .8 3 .6 4 .2 5 .0 1 1 .5 1 8 .4 3-84 3 .5 3 .0 1 .0 3 .2 3 .7 4 .2 0 .1 9 .7 1 .7 4-84 3 .8 3 .3 2 .4 3 .7 4 .1 4 .6 7 .7 8 .6 4 .0 6 .3 ¿7 0 .2 ¿ 8 1 .0 6 9 1 .5 ¿4 5 .3 1-85 3 .7 3 .2 2 .3 3 .5 3 .8 4 .2 6 .6 6 .9 3 .4 4 .2 2 .2 2-05 4 .0 3 .6 2 .9 3 .9 4 .3 4 .7 6 .7 7 .1 4 .4 5 .4 4 .9 7 .7 3-05 4 .7 4 .4 3 .0 4 .9 5 .3 5 .0 7 .7 8 .2 6 .3 7 .5 7 .8 1 0 .0 1 3 .9 4-05 5 .1 4 .8 4 .3 5 .4 5 .0 6 .3 0 .0 8 .5 6 .9 0 .0 0 .4 1 0 .5 1 1 .9 1 0 .0 1-06 3 .8 3 .5 2 .9 3 .8 4 .0 4 .2 5 .6 5 .6 3 .9 4 .3 3 .9 4 .3 3 .2 - 1 .0 - 1 2 .3 4 .5 4 .7 4 .6 5 .0 4 .0 5 .4 4 .0 1 .9 - 1 .9 9 .t 7 .1 2-86 4 .2 3 .9 3 .4 4 .2 6 .0 6 .1 7 0 8 .3 ■ _ 749.4 3-86 4 .2 4 .0 3 .5 4 .2 4 .5 4 .7 5 .0 5 .9 4 .6 5 .0 4 .0 5 .2 4 .7 2 .5 0 .2 4-06 4 .6 4 .3 3 .9 4 .6 4 .9 5 .1 6 .2 6 .3 5 .2 5 .6 5 .5 5 .9 5 .7 4 .1 2 .f 1-07 3 .9 3 .7 3 .2 3 .9 4 .0 4 .2 5 .1 5 .1 4 .0 4 .2 4 .0 4 .2 3 .7 2 .1 Ô .4" _ J- 9 4 3-04 4-04 J L - 9 * 2-8? _2r&2 - 3-12 _ 4-02 1-13 -2-93 .3.-93 _ i - 9 ? IN IT IA L . 3-05 "“ 75t .0 ” 4—05 7 2 5 .2 742.2 ' 75Ó.4 4 .5 749.3 7 .4 10.5 4 .Ï 2 .3 1 .3 - 7 .1 1-06 2-06 3-86 4 -8 6 755.2 QUARTER PREPARED BY FED ER AL Ha y 2 2 * 1 4 0 7 17 R E S E R V E BANK O F S T . L O U IS d is p o s a b l e per so n a l in c o m e in curren t d o llars _______ COMPOUNOEP ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE__________ IN IT IA L TERM INAL QUARTER 2-82 3-82 6 .7 4-82 6*9 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 B IL L IO N S Of DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES QUARTER 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 2 .2 7 8 .6 7 .1 2 *3 1 8 .1 2 *3 4 5 .7 1-83 6 .2 6 .0 4 .8 2-83 6 .0 6 .9 6 .8 8 .7 3-83 7*1 7 .2 7 .3 8 .5 8 .2 4-83 8*3 0 .7 9. 1 1 0 .5 1 1 .4 1 4 .6 1-84 9*1 9 .6 1 0 .0 I 1 .4 1 2 .3 1 4 .4 14.1 2-84 8 .6 8 .9 9 .2 1 0 .1 1 0 .5 1 1.2 9 .6 5 .2 3-84 8 .5 8 .7 9 .0 9 .7 9 .8 1 0.3 8 .8 6 .3 6 .0 6 .4 5 .4 2 *3 9 5 .4 2 * 4 4 3 .2 2 * 5 2 7 .9 2 *6 1 2 .7 2 *6 4 6 .3 7.4 2 *6 9 3 .8 8 .5 9 .0 9 .1 9 .3 7 .8 7 .9 8 .0 8 .4 8 .3 8 .3 7 .1 5 .5 5 .5 4 .6 3 .8 8 .2 8 .4 8 .5 8 .9 8 .9 9 .0 8.1 7 .0 7 .4 7 .4 8 .4 1 3 .2 3-85 7 .5 7 .5 7 .6 7 .8 7 .7 7. 7 6 .7 5 .5 5 .6 5 .1 5 .0 5 .6 IT <r 2 *7 2 9 .6 8 .4 8 .0 7 .4 7 .5 7 .5 7 .8 7 .7 7 .6 6 .8 5 .8 5 .9 5 .6 5 .6 6 .2 2 .8 7. 3 7 .5 7 .5 7 .5 7 .8 7 .7 7 .6 6 .9 6 . 0 6 .1 5 .9 6 .0 6 .5 4 .4 7 .4 7 .5 2-86 7 .4 7 .4 7 .4 7 .6 7 .5 7 .5 6 .8 6 .0 6.1 5 .9 6 .0 6 .4 4 .8 7 .0 6 .8 6 .0 3-86 6 .9 6 .9 6 .9 7 .1 6 .9 6 .8 6 .2 5 .4 5 .4 5 .2 5 .1 5 .4 3 .9 5 .2 4 .5 3.1 4-86 6 . 6 6 . 6 6 .6 6 .7 6 .6 6 .4 5 .8 5 .1 5 .0 4 .8 4 .7 4 .8 3 .5 4 .5 3 .8 2 .6 1 .0 1 .8 1-87 6 .7 6 .7 6 .7 6 . 8 6 .7 6 .6 6 .0 5 .3 5 .3 5 .1 5 .1 5 .3 4 .2 5. 1 4 .7 4 .0 3 .4 5 .0 8 .3 2-82 3-82 4-82 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 4-84 8 .2 1-85 2-85 1 1 - 8 6 1-83 2 *7 5 5 .4 2 *8 4 2 .3 2 *8 3 2 .0 - 1 .4 Î-Ô 5 2 * 8 8 2 .2 2 *9 3 5 .1 2 *9 7 8 .5 2 * 9 7 9 .9 0 . 2 2 *9 9 3 .0 3 *05 3.1 INITIAL QUARTE R PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T ^ IT JU IS NAY 2 2 , 1987 D IS P O S A B L E PERSONAL INCOME IN 1983 DOLLARS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE_______ IN IT IA L TERM INAL QUARTER 2-82 3-82 0 .4 4-82 1 .3 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 B IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES QUARTER 3-84 4-84 1-85 2-85 3-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 2 * 2 6 3 .4 2 *2 7 6 .1 2 .3 2 *2 8 8 .4 1-83 1 .6 2 .2 2 .2 2-83 2 .2 2 .8 3. 1 4 .0 3-83 2 .6 3 .2 3 .5 4 .1 4-83 3 .8 4 .5 5. 1 6. 1 7 .2 1 0 .2 1-84 4 .6 5 .3 6 .0 6 .9 7 .9 9 .8 9 .4 2-84 4 .3 4 .9 5 .3 6 .0 6 .5 7 .2 5 .7 2 .2 3-84 4 .2 4 .7 5. 1 5 .6 5 .9 6 .3 5 .0 2 .9 3 .6 4-84 4 .0 4 .4 4 .7 5 .0 5 .2 5 .4 4 .2 2 .5 2 .7 1 .8 1-85 3 .7 4 .0 4 .2 4 .4 4 .5 4 .5 3 .4 2 .0 1 .9 l.l 0 .4 2-85 4.1 4 .4 4 .7 4 .9 5 .1 5 .2 4 .4 3 .4 3 .7 3 .7 4 .7 9 .1 3-85 3 .5 3 .7 3 .8 4 .0 4 .0 4 .0 3.1 2 .1 2.1 1 .7 1 .7 2 .3 - 4 .0 3 .4 3 .6 3 .7 3 .9 3 .9 3 .8 3 .0 2 .2 2 .2 1 .9 1 .9 2 .4 - 0 .8 2 .6 4-85 4-85 2 *3 1 1 .1 2 *3 3 5 .4 4 .3 2 *3 9 2 .7 2 ,4 4 6 .9 2 *4 6 0 .3 2 * 4 8 1 .9 2 *4 9 3 .1 2 * 4 9 5 .7 2 *5 5 0 .8 2 *5 2 4 .7 2 ,5 4 0 .7 1-86 3 .6 3 .8 3 .9 4 .1 4 .1 4 .1 3 .4 2 .7 2 .0 2 .6 2 .8 3 .4 1 .6 4 .5 6 .5 2-86 3 .8 4 .0 4 .2 4 .3 4 .3 4 .4 3 .8 3 .2 3 .3 3 .3 3 .5 4 .1 2 .9 5 .4 6 .8 3 .8 3 .8 3 .7 3.1 2 .5 2 .6 2 .5 2 .6 3 .6 4-86 3.1 3 .3 3 .3 3 .4 3 .4 3 .3 2 .7 2 .2 2 .2 1-87 3 .1 3 .2 3 .3 3 .4 3 .3 3 .2 2 .7 2 .2 2 .2 2-82 3-82 4-82 1-83 2-03 3-83 4-83 1-84 2-84 3-64 2 .9 1 .7 3 .2 3 .4 1 .9 2 * 6 0 5 .5 2 *5 9 5 .4 o rg 3*4 2 * 6 2 5 .7 - 3 .0 O rg 3-86 3 .7 2 * 5 8 1 .2 7.1 2 .3 1.2 2 .2 2 .2 0 .7 - 2 .3 - 1 .5 2 .1 2 .1 2 .3 1 .4 2 .3 2 .2 1 .2 - 0 .7 0 .5 2 .6 4-04 1-85 2-85 3-85 4-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 4-86 IN IT IA L 2 * 6 1 2 .0 QUARTER P ftÈPA Rgfr"B Y £ ¿O ÉR A L NAY 22* 1987 18 R É*g *V ¿ feA NX. OP S T r T O U T T CD 1 O' CORPORATE P R O F IT S A FTER T A X E S* j ^HPQ UHDED ANMJAL RATES OF CHANGE_______________________________________________________________________ B IL L IO N S Of TERMINAL __________________________________________________________________ I NI TIAL QVART5R_______ __________________________ _________________________ ____________QQLLARS ANNUAL R A T ES QUARTER »- 8 6 2-86 3-86 2-82 3-ft? »-8 5 2-83 3-83 »-83 _L-8 » 2-8» 2-85 »-82 1-83 3-8» »-8» 1-85 3-85 . . 1*1 1 0 7 .3 *-8? -5 .Q 10». 3 1-93 »*5 2-92 - 1 0 .7 1 1 0 .6 6 .2 2 6 .» 2» . T » 7 .3 7 1 .7 3 1 .» » 9 .5 6 2 .5 ? 6 .1 3 7.5 » 1 .» 2 8 .3 7 .0 2 3 .0 3 1 .2 3 2 .» 2 1 .» 7 .8 8 .6 2» . 1 1 » .» 3 .6 2 .0 ! » •7 5 .8 - 3 .7 - 7 .0 - 1 » .0 - 2 2 .6 1 3 .» 1 1 .6 3 .9 - 3 .9 - 6 .5 - 1 1 .0 —I » . 2 8 .8 6 .7 - 0 .3 - 7 .2 - 9 .8 - 1 3 .9 - 1 6 .9 - 1 3 .9 - 2 2 .1 2-83 .1 8 .3 3-83 2 » .7 »-83 2 1 .6 1-9» 1 0.6 2-8» 1 6 .3 1 8 .7 2 » .» 3-8» 11 .2 1 2 .5 1 6.3 »-8 » 9 .5 1 0 .» 1-85 6. 1 6 .6 1 2 6 .6 i» l.0 5 3 .9 I »3 •» l» 6 .» 1 » » .8 - » .3 1 35 .8 13 » . 1 - » .9 1 26 .0 126 .7 2-85 5 .8 6 .2 8.1 6 .2 0 .0 - 5 .9 - 7 .9 - 1 0 .9 - 1 2 .5 - 8 .8 - 1 0 .7 2 .2 3-85 7 .0 7 .5 9 .» 7 .8 2 .» - 2 .7 - » .0 - 6 .0 - 6 .3 - 1 .8 - 0 .7 1 2.1 2 2 .9 »-8 5 7 .9 9 .» 10 .2 8 .8 3 .9 - 0 .5 - 1 .» - 2 .8 - 2 .5 2 .1 » .0 I» .» 2 1 .1 1-86 »? 7 » .9 6 .2 » .7 0. 1 - » .1 - 5 .3 - 6 .9 - 7 .3 - » .» - » .3 0 .7 0 .2 - 9 .5 - 3 1 .3 2-86 » *7 5*0 6*2 » .8 0 .6 - 3 .2 - » .2 - 5 .5 - 5 .7 - 3 .0 - 2 .7 1 .8 1 .7 - » .6 —1» . 6 6 .1 7 .3 6 .1 2 .2 - 1 .2 - 1 .9 - 2 .9 - 2 .8 0 .0 0 .8 5 .2 5 .8 1 .9 - 3 .3 1» . 7 2 3 .9 1 3 3 .» 1 3 9 .» 1 9 .2 1 26 .9 1 28 .8 5 .8 »-8 6 6 .9 7 .3 8 .5 7 .» 3 .9 0 .6 0 .3 - 0 .5 - 0 .1 2 .8 3 .8 8 .1 9 .2 6 .6 3 .7 1 8 .9 2 5 .9 2 7 .8 1-87 5 .3 5 .5 6 .6 5 .» 2 .0 - 0 .9 - 1 .5 - 2 .3 - 2 .1 0 .2 0 .8 » .1 » .» 1 .6 - 1 .6 7 .6 8 .2 1 .0 - 2 0 .1 2-82 3-82 »-82 1-83 2-83 3-83 »-83 1-8» 2 -8» 3-8» »-8» 1-85 2-85 3-85 »-85 1-86 2-86 3-86 »-86 1 fn vO CD 1 3 5 .9 6 .1 in it ia l 1 » 4 .5 q uarter » NATIONAL INC OWE B A S IS __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ P- P R E L IM IN A R Y P R E P A R E D BY fE D E R A L MAY 22 * 1987 RESERVE BANK OF S T . HISTORICAL SOURCES OF NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS DATA Estimates for the series in the regular quarterly presentation of NIPA tables for 1983-85 are published in the July 1986 Survey of Current Business* Estimates for NIPA series for 1929-82 are published in The National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-82; Statistical Tables* For further information and prices, write to the National Income and Wealth Division (BE-54), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C. 20230. 19 1 3 6 .6P I N V E N T O R I E S COMPARED W I T H MONTHLY SALES MANUFACTURING AND TRADE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: " B E G I N N I N G . IN 1982, INVENTORY DATA REFLECT CHAN6ES U.S.DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE IN ESTIMATION PROCEDURES. SHADED AREAS REPRESENT PERIODS OF B U S IN E S S R EC E S SIO N S . LATEST DATA PLOTTEDt MARCH PRELIMIN ARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. 20 LOUIS