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n n n o n R L E c o n o m ic

treiids

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONTH ENDING:

February 28, 1977

RELEASED:

March 30, 1977

Recently released data regarding the current state of economic
activity suggest that an undercurrent of strength is building. One
indication of such strength is provided by data on industrial production.
The February figures show a sharp rebound from January’
s weather-induced
decline. Furthermore, the data for January, along with November and
December, have been revised upward to indicate somewhat greater growth
than was first reported. In February, industrial production rose at a
substantial 12.5 percent rate, more than offsetting the 9.5 percent rate
of decline which occurred in January. Initially, industrial production
was reported to have risen, on balance, at a 3.4 percent rate from October
through January. With the revisions and the addition of February,
industrial production advanced at a considerably more rapid 6.6 percent
rate in the period from October.
Recent employment growth is also indicative of the economy's
upward momentum. After a rather sluggish 1.6 percent rate of growth in
January, total civilian employment grew at a considerable 5.6 percent rate
in February. Such growth, however, was just sufficient to offset the rise
in the number of individuals available for work, and the unemployment rate
rose slightly from 7.3 percent in January to 7.5 percent in February.
After plunging in January, February data on retail sales appear
to reaffirm the upward trend established in the second half of 1976. The
23 percent rate of rise recorded in February follows a 24 percent rate of
decline in January. In comparison, in the last six months of 1976, retail
sales growth accelerated to a 15 percent rate from the near 9 percent rate
which prevailed in the previous six months.
The renewed vigor in the pace of economic activity is cast in an
environment of continued strong inflationary pressures. For example,
consumer prices have risen 6 percent in the past twelve months, slightly
less than the 6.3 percent which occurred in the previous year (February
1975-February 1976). Wholesale prices continue to rise rapidly, also
advancing 6 percent in the past twelve months, compared to 4.7 percent in
the previous twelve months.




TOTAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT
CO MPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERM INA L
MONTH

THOUSANDS
OF PERSO NS

I N I T I A L MONTH
7-75

8-75

3 .7

fa-75

9-7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

¿- 7 6

3-76

4 -76

5-76

6—76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

85*1 14

9-75

1 .8

0 .0

10—75

1 .1

- 0 .2

—0 . 4

11-75

1 .3

0 .5

0 .7

1 .6

85*115
8 5 ,0 8 7
85*212

12-75

1 .7

1 .2

1 .6

2 .5

3 .3

1-76

3 .3

3 .2

4 .0

5 .5

7 .4

2-76

3 .3

3 .2

3 .9

5 .0

6 .0

7 .4

3 .5

3-76

3 .5

3 .5

4 .1

5 .0

5 .9

6 .7

4 .4

5 .3

4-76

3 .9

3 .9

4 .5

5 .3

6 .1

6 .8

5 .2

6 .1

6 .9

5-76

3 .9

4 .0

4 .5

5 .2

5 .8

6 .3

5 .0

5 .5

5 .6

4 .4

6-76

3 .*

3 .4

3 .6

4 .3

4 .7

5 .0

-3.7

3 .7

3 .2

1 .4

85*443
1 1 .6

86*2 26
86*471
86*845
8 7*329
87*6 40
- 1 .5

87*5 33

7-76

3 .4

3 .4

3 .6

4 .2

4 .6

4 .7

3 .6

3 .7

3 .3

2 .1

1 .0

3 .5

8-76

3 .2

3 .2

3 .5

3 .9

4 .1

4 .2

3 .2

3 .2

2 .8

1 .7

0 .9

2 .1

0 .7

9-76

3 .0

2 .9

3 .1

3 .5

3 .6

3 .7

2 .7

2 .6

2 .2

1 .3

0 .5

1 .2

0 .1

- 0 .5

10-76

2 .7

2 .6

2 .6

3 .1

3 .2

3 .2

2 .3

2 .2

1 .8

0 .9

0 .3

0 .7

- 0 .2

- 0 .7

- 0 .8

11-76

3 .0

2 .9

3 .1

3.<*

3 .5

3 .6

2 .8

2 .7

2 .4

1 .8

1 .3

1 .9

1 .5

1 .8

2 .9

6« 8

12—76

3 .0

2 .9

3 .1

3 .4

3 .5

3 .5

2 .8

2 .7

2 .5

1 .9

1 .6

2 .1

1 .8

2 .1

3 .0

4 .9

3 .0

1-77

¿.9

¿.fa

3 .0

3 .3

3 .4

3 .4

2 .7

2 .6

2 .4

1 .9

1 .6

2 .0

1 .8

2 .0

2 .6

3 .8

2 .3

1 .6

2—77

3 .0

3 .0

3 .2

3 .4

3 .5

3 .5

2 .9

2 .9

2 .7

2 .2

2 .0

2 .5

2 .3

2 .6

3 .2

4 .2

3 .4

3 .6

5 .6

7-75

6-75

11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

5-76

6—76

7-76

8-76

9-7 6

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

9-75 10-75

87*783
87*8 34
8 7*794
87*738
8 8*220
88 *441
68*558
88*962

I N I T I A L MONTH

PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE

7-75
8-75

THOUSANDS
OF PERSO NS

I N I T I A L MONTH

TERM INAL
MONTH
8-75

9 -7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

5-76

6—76

7—76

77*059

5 .4

7 7*3 44

9-75

5 .0

4 .5

10-75

4 .7

4 .3

4 .0

77*5 96

11-75

4 .0

3 .5

3 .0

2 .1

12-75

4 .1

3 .8

3 .5

3 .3

4 .4

7 7*730

1-76

4 .4

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

5 .3

6 .2

2-76

4 .3

4 .1

4 .1

4 .1

4 .7

4 .9

3 .6

78*012
7 8*4 06
78*635
78*980

3-76

4 .5

4 .3

4 .3

4 .3

4 .9

5 .1

4 .5

5 .4

4-76

4 .5

4 .4

4 .4

4 .5

5 .0

5 .1

4 .7

5 .3

5 .2

5-76

4 .1

3 .9

3 .9

3 .8

4 .1

4 .1

3 .5

3 .5

2 .6

0 .1

79*312
79*319
79*368

6—76

3 .8

3 .6

3 .5

3 .4

3 .6

3 .5

3 .0

2 .8

2 .0

0 .4

0 .7

7-76

3 .6

3 .5

3 .4

3 .3

3 .5

3 .3

2 .8

2 .7

2 .0

1 .0

1 .5

2 .2

8-76

3 .5

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .3

3 .1

2 .7

2 .5

1 .9

1 .2

1 .5

1 .9

1 .6

79*513
7 9*618

9-76

3 .6

3 .4

3 .3

3 .3

3 .4

3 .3

2 .9

2 .8

2 .4

1 .8

2 .3

2 .8

3 .1

4 .6

10-76

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

2 .9

2 .9

2 .8

2 .4

2 .3

1 .8

1 .3

1 .5

1 .7

1 .5

1 .5

- 1 .5

11-76

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

3 .1

2 .9

2 .6

2 .5

2 .1

1 .7

2 .0

2 .2

2 .3

2 .5

1 .4

4 .4

12-76

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

3 .1

3 .0

2 .7

2 .6

2 .3

2 .0

2 .2

2 .5

2 .5

2 .8

2 .1

4 .0

3 .6

1-77

3 .3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .0

3 .1

3 .0

2 .7

2 .7

2 .4

2 .1

2 .4

2 .6

2 .6

2 .9

2 .4

3 .8

3 .4

3 .3

2-77

3 .3

3 .2

3 .2

3. 1

3 .2

3 .1

2 .8

2 .8

2 .5

2 .3

2 .5

2 .8

2 .8

3 .0

2 .7

3 .8

3 .6

3 .6

3 .9

7-75

6-75

9 -7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

IN IT IA L

79*918
79*819
60*106
80*344
60 *559P

MONTH

P - PR EL1M1NARY




PREPA RED BY FED ERA L R E S E R V E BANK OF ? T t

H A R C H 4*

2

1977

8 0 .8 1 8 P




E MP L O Y ME N T
RA T IO

SCALE

RA T IO

MILLIONS OF PERSONS

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

SCALE

MIL LION S OF PERSONS

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

1974

1975

1976

1977

SOURCEt U.S.DEP AR TM EN T OF LABOR
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANOE FOR PERIODS

IN D IC A TE D .

LA TE S T DATA P LO TTE D ) FEBRUARY PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T .

LO UIS

U NE MP L OY ME N T R A T E S *
PERCENT

SEASONALLY

ADJUSTED

PERCENT
10. 0

9.0

8.0

7.0

6.0
5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975
SOURCEt U .S .

1976

1977

DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

«P E R C E N T OF C IV I L I A N LABOR FORCE IN GROUP
LA TE S T DATA PLOTTED* FEBRUARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST . LO UIS

3

1 .0

tQ fiS ü a fc& .g fillLJL ttP £ X jL SfcASQttAULY ADJUSTED
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T ES OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L

TERM INA L

1967 *

MONTH

100

M Q N Ih

7-75
8-75

b—75

9-7 5

10-75 11-75

12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4 -7 6

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-7 6

9 -7 6 10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

3 .8

1 6 2 .7
1 6 3 .4

9—75

4 .5

5 .3

10—75

5 .5

6 .4

7 .6

11-75

5 .8

6 .5

7 .2

1 6 4 .4
6 .8

1 6 5 .3
1 6 6 .1

12—75

5 .9

6 .4

6 .8

6 .4

1-76

6 .1

6 .6

6 .9

6 .7

6 .7

7 .5

2-76

5 .5

5 .7

5 .8

5 .4

4 .9

4 .4

1 .4

3-76

5 .1

5 .3

5 .3

4 .9

4 .4

3 .9

2 .2

2 .9

6 .0

1 6 7 .1
1 6 7 .3
1 6 7 .7
1 6 8 .4

4-76

5 .1

5 .3

5 .3

4 .9

4 .6

4 .2

3 .1

4 .0

5 .1

5-76

5 .4

5 .6

5 .7

5 .4

5 .1

5 .0

4 .4

5 .4

6 .6

8 .1

6-76

5 .4

5 .6

5 .6

5 .3

5 .1

D.O

4 .5

5 .3

6 .1

6 .6

5 .1

7-76

5 .4

5 .6

5 .6

5 .4

5 .2

5 .1

4 .7

5 .4

6 .0

6 .3

5 .4

5 .8

8-76

5 .5

5 .6

5 .6

5 .4

5 .3

5 .2

4 .9

5 .5

6 .0

6 .2

5 .5

5 .8

5 .8

9-76

5 .4

5 .5

5 .5

5 .3

5 .2

5 .1

4 .8

5 .3

5 .7

5 .8

5 .2

5 .3

5 .0

1 6 9 .5
1 7 0 .2
1 7 1 .0
1 7 1 .8
4 .3

1 7 2 .4

10-76

5 .3

5 .4

5 .4

5 .2

5 .1

5 .0

4 .7

5 .2

5 .5

5 .5

5 .0

5 .0

4 .8

4 .3

4 .3

11-76

5 .2

5 .3

5 .3

5 .1

5 .0

4 .9

4 .6

5 .0

5 .2

5 .2

4 .8

4 .7

4 .5

4 .0

3 .9

3 .5

12-76

5 .2

5 .3

5 .3

5 .1

5 .0

4*9

4 .6

5 .0

5 .2

5 .2

4 .8

4 .8

4 .6

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

5 .0

1-77

5 .4

5 .5

5 .5

5 .4

5 .3

5 .3

5 .1

5 .4

5 .7

5 .7

5 .4

5 .5

5 .5

5 .4

5 .7

6 .1

7 .5

1 0 .1

2-77

5 .8

5 .9

5 .9

5 .6

5 .8

5 .8

5 .6

6 .0

6 .3

6 .4

6 .2

6 .3

6 .4

6 .5

7 .0

7 .6

9 .1

1 1 .2

1 2 .3

7-75

b-75

9-75

10-75

11-75

12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4 -7 6

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

IN IT IA L

1 7 3 .0
1 7 3 .5
1 7 4 .2
1 7 5 .6
1 7 7 .3

MONTH

PREPA RED BY FED ERA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .
MARCH 1 8 , 1977

L O U IS

W HOLESALE P R IC E S - ALL CO M M O D ITIES, SEA SO N A LLY A D JU ST ED
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE
IN IT IA L

TERMINAL
MONTH
7-75

(8-75

9-75

10-75 11 -75

12-75

1-76

2- 7 6

3-76

4-7 6

1967 * 100

MONTH
5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12- 7 6

1-77
1 7 c. (J

8-75

1 0 .1

9-7 5

8 .9

7 .8

10-75

1 1 .0

:1 1 .4

1 5 .2

11-75

8 .1

7 .5

7 .3

0 .0

12-75

6 .6

5 .7

5 .1

0 .3

1 77 .1
1 7 9 .2
1 7 9 .2
1 7 V .3

0 .7

1 7 9 .8

4 .6

1 .3

2 .0

3 .4

4 .0

3 .3

0 .5

0 .7

0 .7

- 2 .0

3 .9

3 .3

1 .1

1 .3

1 .6

0 .7

3 .4

4 .7

4 .3

2 .6

3 .1

3 .7

3 .8

6 .9

1-76

6 .0

5 .3

2-76

4 .9

3-76

4 .7

4-7 6

5 .3

1 79 .5
1 8 0 .0
1 81 .5

1 0 .5

1 8 1 .8

5-76

5 *0

4 .4

4 .0

2 .5

2 .9

3 .4

3 .4

5 .2

6 .2

2 .0

6-7 6

5 .1

4 .7

4 .3

3 .0

3 .5

3 .9

4 .1

5 .6

6 .4

4 .4

6 .8

7 -76

5 .0

4 .6

4 .3

3 .1

3 .5

4 .0

4 .0

5 .3

5 .8

4 .3

5 .4

1 8 2 .6
1 8 3 .4

4 .0

8 -76

4 .4

4 .0

3 .6

2 .6

2 .8

3 .1

3 .1

3 .9

4 .0

2 .5

2 .7

0 .7

- 2 .6

9-76

4 .7

4 .3

4 .1

3 .1

3 .4

3 .7

3 .8

4 .6

4 .8

3 .7

4 .2

3 .3

3 .0

8 .9

10-76

4 .9

4 .5

4 .3

3 .4

3 .7

4 .0

4 .1

4 .9

5 .1

4 .2

4 .7

4 .2

4 .2

7 .8

6 .7

11-76

5 .0

4 .7

4 .5

3 .7

4 .0

4 .3

4 .4

5 .2

5 .4

4 .7

5 .1

4 .8

5 .0

7 .6

7 .0

7 .4

12-76

5 .2

4 .9

4 .7

4 .0

4 .3

4 .6

4 .7

5 .4

5 .7

5 .1

5 .5

5 .3

5 .6

7 .7

7 .4

7 .7

8 .0

1-77

5 .2

5 .0

4 .8

4 .1

4 .4

4 .7

4 .8

5 .5

5 .7

5 .2

5 .6

5 .4

5 .6

7 .4

7 .0

7 .1

7 .0

5 .9

2-7?

5 .6

5 .3

5 .2

4 .6

4 .9

5 .2

5 .3

6 .0

6 .2

5 .8

6 .2

6 .1

6 .4

8 .0

7 .9

8 .1

8 .4

8 .6

1 1 .4

7-75

1B-75

9-75

10-75 11L—75 12-75

1-76

2!-76

3 -76

4-76

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12- 76

1-77




IN IT IA L

183. Ü
1 8 4 .3
1 8 5 .3
1 8 6 .4
1 8 7 .6
18<J.$
1 9 0 .2

MONTH

PREPA RED BY FED ERA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

4

MARCH

10, 1 9 7 7

L O U IS




RA T IO

P R IC E S

SC A L E

RATIO

S E A S O N A L LY A D JU S TE D

1 9 6 7 -1 0 0

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE FOR PERIODS

SC A L E

1 9 6 7 -1 0 0

INDICATED.

LATEST DATA PLOTTED« FEBRUARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST . LOUIS

ra tio

s ca le

WHOLESALE P R I C E S

ra tio

scale

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PER 100$ INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED* FEBRUARY

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LO U IS

5

W H O L E S A L E P R I C E S - I N D U S T R I A L C Q M M Q P 1 T I E S . S E A S O N A L L Y APJUSTfcP
C O M P O U N D E D ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE

7-75
8-75

8-75

9-75

10-75

11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

1967 * 100

MONTH

IN IT IA L

TERM INAL
MONTH

5-76

4-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

10-76 11-76

9-76

12-76

1-77

8 *0

1 7 1 .6
1 7 2 .9

9-7 5

8 .7

9 .5

10-75

1 0 .2

1 1 .3

1 3 .2

11-75

9 .6

1 0 .2

1 0 .5

7 .8

12-75

9 .1

9 .4

9 .3

7 .4

7 .0

1 7 4 .7
17t*.8
1 7 6 .8
1 7 7 .9

1-76

8 .9

9 .0

8 .9

7 .5

7 .4

7 .7

2-76

8 .0

8 .0

7 .7

6 .3

5 .8

5 .2

2 .7

3-76

7 .6

7 .5

7 .2

6 .0

5 .6

5 .1

3 .8

1 7 8 .3
1 7 9 .0

4 .8

1 7 9 .8

4-7 6

7 .3

7 .3

6 .9

5 .9

5 .5

5 .2

4 .3

5 .2

5 .5

5-76

6 .7

6 .6

6 .2

5 .3

4 .8

4 .4

3 .6

3 .9

3 .4

1 .3

6-76

6 .7

6 .6

6 .3

5 .5

5 .1

4 .8

4 .2

4 .6

4 .5

4 .1

6 .9

7-76

6 .8

6 .7

6 .4

5 .7

5 .4

5 .2

4 .8

5 .2

5 .3

5 .2

7 .2

7 .5

1 6 0 .0
1 8 1 .0
1 82 .1
1 6 3 .1

8-76

6 .8

6 .7

6 .5

5 .8

5 .6

5 .4

5 .1

5 .5

5 .6

5 .6

7 .1

7 .2

6 .8

9 -7 6

7 .0

7 .0

6 .8

6 .2

6 .0

5 .9

5 .7

6 .1

6 .4

6 .5

7 .9

8 .2

8 .5

1 0 .3

10-76

7 .3

7 .2

7 .1

6 .6

6 .5

6 .4

6 .3

6 .7

7 .0

7 .2

8 .5

8 .9

9 .3

1 0 .6

1 0 .9

1 8 4 .6
It o . 2
1 8 7 .5

11-76

7 .4

7 .3

7 .2

6 .7

6 .7

6 .6

6 .5

6 .9

7 .2

7 .5

8 .5

8 .8

9 .2

1 0 .0

9 .8

8 .7

12-76

7 .2

7 .1

7 .0

6 .5

6 .4

6 .4

6 .3

6 .6

6 .8

7 .0

7 .8

8 .0

8 .1

8 .4

7 .8

6 .3

3 .9

1-77

7 .1

7 .1

6 .9

6 .5

6 .4

6 .4

6 .2

6 .6

6 .7

6 .9

7 .6

7 .7

7 .7

7 .9

7 .3

6 .2

4 .9

5 .9

2-77

7 .1

7 .1

7 .0

6 .6

6 .5

6 .5

6 .4

6 .7

6 .8

7 .0

7 .6

7 .7

7 .7

7 .9

7 .4

6 .6

5 .9

6 .9

7 .9

7-75

8-75

9-75

10-75 11-75

12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76 10-76 11-76

12-76

1-77

IN IT IA L

IN IT IA L
7-75

8-75

8-75

9-75

10-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

A D J.
1967 * 100

IMONTH
5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

1 5 .9

lfr e .u
1 8 8 .8

9-75

1 0 .4

5 .2

10-75

1 2 .9

1 1 .4

1 7 .8

11-75

4 .3

0 .6

- 1 .6

- 1 7 .8

0 .5

- 3 .0

- 5 .6

- 1 5 .5

12-75

11-75 12-75

1 9 0 .2

MONTH

W HOLESALE P R IC E S—FARM PRODUCTS AND PRO CESSED FOOOS AND F E E D S , SfcA S.
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R ATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH

1 86 .1
1 8 9 .0

1 9 1 .4
1 8 8 .3
lfc o .l

- 1 3 .2

1-76

- 1 .5

- 4 .7

- 7 .0

- 1 4 .0 - 1 2 .1 - 1 1 .0

1 8 * .3

2 -7 6

- 3 .7

—6 . 6

- 8 .8

- 1 4 .4 - 1 3 .3 - 1 3 . 4 - 1 5 .7

lb l.7

3-76

- 3 .4

- 5 .9

- 7 .6

- 1 2 .0 - 1 0 .4

- 9 .5

- 8 .8

- 1 .3

1 8 1 .5
1 8 5 .*

4-7 6

- 0 .2

- 2 .1

- 3 .1

—6 .2

- 3 .7

- 1 .1

2 .4

1 2 .9

5-76

0 .4

- 1 .2

- 2 .0

—4 .5

- 2 .1

0 .3

3 .3

1 0 .5

1 7 .0

6 .0

6 -7 6

0 .8

—0 . 6

- 1 .3

- 3 .4

- 1 .2

1 .0

3 .6

9 .0

1 2 .7

5 .3

4 .6

7 -76

0 .1

- 1 .3

- 1 .9

- 3 .9

- 2 .0

- 0 .3

1 .6

5 .5

7 .3

0 .9

- 1 .6

8 -76

- 2 .6

- 4 .0

- 4 .8

- 6 .8

- 5 .5

- 4 .5

- 3 .5

- 1 .3

- 1 .3

- 7 . 7 - 1 1 .9 - 1 9 .1

- 2 9 .3

9-7 6

- 2 .2

- 3 .4

- 4 .1

- 5 .9

—4 . 6

- 3 .6

- 2 .7

- 0 .7

- 0 .6

- 5 .6

- 8 .3

- 1 2 .2

- 1 4 .5

3 .4

- 1 .4

- 5 .7

- 7 .9

- 1 0 .8

- 1 1 .9

- 1 .7

- 0 .4

10-76

- 2 .5

- 3 .7

- 4 .3

- 6 .0

- 4 .8

- 3 .9

- 3 .1

- 1 .4

2 9 .1

1 8 0 .3
1 6 7 .0
1 6 5 .8

- 7 .4

1 8 0 .5
1 6 1 .u
1 80 .0

11-76

- 2 .2

- 3 .3

- 3 .9

- 5 .4

- 4 .3

- 3 .5

- 2 .7

- 1 .1

- 1 .1

- 4 .8

- 6 .4

- 8 .5

- 8 .8

- 0 .7

- 2 .6

1 .3

12-76

- 0 .7

- 1 .6

- 2 .1

- 3 .4

- 2 .2

- 1 .2

- 0 .2

1 .5

1 .8

- 1 .2

- 2 .2

- 3 .3

- 2 .4

5 .8

6 .0

1 3 .7

2 7 .6

1-77

- 0 .4

- 1 .3

- 1 .7

- 2 .9

- 1 .7

- 0 .8

0 .1

1 .7

2 .0

- 0 .6

- 1 .4

- 2 .3

-1 .4

5 .4

5 .9

1 0 .4

1 5 .2

4 .0

1 .0

2 .2

8 .7

9 .6

1 4 .3

1 9 .0

1 4 .9

2 6 .9

6 -76

7-76

8-76

9-76

10-76 11-76

12-76

1-77

2 -7 7

0 .8

0 .1

- 0 .2

- 1 .3

7-75

8-75

9-75

10-75




1 .0

2 .0

3 .6

4 .0

1 .8

1 .4

11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4-76

5-76

- 0 .0

l o u .2
lb 3 .9
1 6 * .5
1 8 6 .2

MONTH
IN IT IA L 1

PRfcPARfD BY F tD E R A L RfcSfcRVfc BANK OF S T .

MARCH

6

IO, 1 9 7 7

L O U IS

INDUSTRIAL
RAT I O

PRODUCTION
R AT I O

SCALE

1967-100

1969

SEASONALLY

1970

1 9 71

1972

1973

1974

SCAL E

1967-100

ADJUSTED

1975

1976

1977

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHAN6E FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED» FEBRUARY PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

IN D U S T R IA L PRODUCTION
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T ES O f CHANGE
TER M IN A L
I N I T I A L MONTH
1 9 6 ? * 100
MONTH______________________ ,_____________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 -7 6
7-76
1-76
2-76
3-76
5-76
6-76
9-76 10-76 11-76 12-76
1- 77
8-75
9 -7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75
8-76
7 -75
8-75

2 9 *8

9-75

2 0 .3

1 1 .5

10-75

1 3 .5

6 .1

I 1\.0

11-75

1 3 .5

8 .5

7 .1

1 3 .5

12-75

1 2 .6

8 .7

7 .8

1 1 .3

9 .1

1 2 1 .0
.

122 .1
1 22 .2
1 23 .5
1 2 4 .4

1-76

1 2 .7

9 .6

9 .1

1 2 .0

1 1 .*

1 3 .3

2-76

1 3 .2

1 0 .7

1 0 .5

t i.l

1 2 .9

1 4 .8

Ì6 .4

1 2 5 .7
- m .3

3-76

1 2 .5

1 0 .3

1 0 .1

1 2 .0

1 1 .6

1 2 .4

1 2 .0

7 .8

4-76

1 1 .4

9 .3

9 .0

1 0 .4

9 .8

1Ó.0

8 .9

5 .3

\ 2 .8

5-76

1 1 .5

9 .6

9 .4

1 0 .6

1 0 .1

1 0 .3

9 .6

7 .4

7 .2

1 1 .8

6-76

1 0 .8

9 .1

8 .8

9 .9

9 .3

9 .4

8 .6

6 .7

6 .4

8 .2

4 .7

7-76

1 0 .4

8 .8

8 .5

9 .4

8 .9

8 .8

8 .1

6 .5

6 .2

7 .4

5 .2

\ 5 .7

8-76

1 0 .0

8 .5

8 .2

9 .0

8 .5

8 .4

7 .8

6 .4

6 .1

6 .9

5 .4

5 .7

5 . f

9-76

8 .9

7 .5

7 .1

7 .7

7 .1

6 .9

6 .1

4 .8

4 .3

4 .5

2 *8

2 .2

0 .5

- 4 .5

10-76

8 .0

6 .6

6 .3

6 .7

6 .1

5 .8

¿.0

3 .7

3 .1

à .I

1 .5

Ö .7

- 0 .9 “

- 4 .0

11-76

8 .4

7 .1

6 .8

7 .2

6 .7

6 .5

5 .9

" 4 .7 "

4 .4

4 .6

3 .4

3 .2

2 .5

12-76

8 .6

7 .3

~ y .i

7 .5

7 .1

6 .9

¿.4

5 .4

5 .1

5 .4

4 .5

~ 4 .5

4 .9

i- 7 7

7 .5

6 .3

¿.0

6 .3

5 .è

5 .6

2-77

7 .7

6 .6

6 .3

6 .7

6 .2

6 .0

7-75

8-75

9 -7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

"

128 .1
1 2 8 .4

$.3%

1 2 9 .6
1 30 .1
1 3 0 .7

\

1 3 1 .3

1 .T “

4 .3 “

1 30 .8
- 3 .6

1 3 0 .A

4 .7

1 3 .7

6 .9

1 2 .6

131 .8
1 1 .5

133.C

* .9

3 .6

S .7

¿ .7

¿.4

i.F ~

l.i

¿.5

4 .7 "

0 .3

- 9 .5 '

4 .6

4 .4

4 .5

3 .7

3 .6

3 .5 “

¿.9

4 .5

6 .6

4 .3

0 .9

2-76

3-7 6

4 -7 6

5-76

6-76

8-76

9-76

IN IT IA L

7-76

10-76 11-76 12-76

X
12

1 3 1 .9P
1 3 3 .2P

1- 77

MONTH

P - P R E L IM IN A R Y




PREPA RED BY FED ERA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

WkRCH 17, 1 *7 ?

7

L O U IS

PERSONAL
RATIO

SCALE

TRILLIONS

INCOME
R AT I O

MONTHLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL R A T E S

OF

DOL LARS

TRILLIONS

SEASONALLY ADJUSTEO

SC A L E

OF DOLLARS
1 .6

1.5
1.4
1 .3
1 .2
1. 1

1 .0

0.9

0.8

0 .7

0.

0.6
1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

S O UR C Et
P ER C EN TA G E S ARE ANNUAL R A TE S
LA TE ST

DA TA P L O T T E D «

OF CHANGE FOR P E R IO D S

U .S .

1976

19 77

DEPA R TM EN T OF COMMERCE

I N O IC A T E D .

FE BR UAR Y P R E L IM IN A R Y
PREPARED BY FE O ER A L R ESER VE BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

PERSONAL INCOME
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH
7-75

BILLIONS UF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

INITIAL MONTH
8-75

9-75 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4 -7 6

5-76

6-76

7-7 6

8-76

9 -7 6 10-76 11-76 12-76

1-7 7
1 ,2 6 7 .5

8-75

15.9

9-75

12.6

9 .5

10-75

1 3.0

11.5

1 3 .7

11-75

12.0

1 0.7

1 1 .4

9 .1

12-75

11.1

9 .9

1 0 .1

8 .4

7 .6

1-76

1 1.3

10.4

1 0 .6

9 .6

9 .9

1 ,2 7 7 .1
1 ,2 9 0 .8
1 ,3 0 0 .2
1 ,3 0 8 .2
12.2

1 ,3 2 0 .8

2-76

11.1

1 0.3

1 0 .5

9 .7

9 .9

11.1

10.1

3-76

1 1.0

10.3

1 0 .4

9 .8

9 .9

10.7

1 0.0

9 .9

1 ,3 3 1 .4

4-76

10.8

10.2

1 0 .3

9 .8

9 .9

10.5

1 0.0

9 .9

1 ,3 4 1 .9
9 .9

1 ,3 5 2 .5

5-76

10.7

10.2

1 0 .2

9 .8

9 .9

10.3

9 .9

9 .8

9 .8

9 .6

6-76

10.4

9 .8

9 .9

9 .4

9 .4

9 .7

9 .3

9 .0

6 .8

8 .2

6 .8

7-76

10.3

9 .8

9 .8

9 .4

9 .4

9 .7

9 .3

9 .1

9 .0

8 .6

8 .1

8-76

9 .8

9 .3

9 .3

8 .9

8.8

9 .0

8 .5

8 .3

8 .0

7 .5

6*8

6 .8

4 .2

9-76

9 .5

9 .0

9 .0

8 .6

8 .5

8 .6

8 .2

7 .9

7 .6

7 .1

6 .5

6*4

4 .8

5 .5

10-76

9 .6

9 .2

9 .2

8 .8

8 .8

8 .9

8 .5

8 .3

8 .1

7 .8

7 .4

7 .6

7 .0

8 .4

1 1 .3

11-76

1 0.0

9 .6

9 .6

9 .3

9 .3

9 .5

9 .2

9 .1

9 .0

8 .9

8 .8

9 .2

9 .1

10.8

1 3.5

1 5.7

12-76

1 0 .4

10.0

1 0 .0

9 .8

9 .9

10.0

9 .8

9*8

9 .8

9 .8

9 .8

10.3

10.5

12.2

1 4 .5

16.1

1 6 .4

1-77

9 .8

9 .5

9 .5

9 .2

9 .2

9 .3

9 .1

9 .0

8 .9

8 .8

8 .7

9 .0

8 .9

9 .9

1 1 .0

1 0.9

8 .5

1.2

2-77

10.1

9 .8

9 .8

9 .6

9 .6

9 .7

9 .6

9 .5

9 .5

9 .4

9 .4

9 .7

9 .8

1 0 .7

11.8

1 1.9

10.7

8 .0

1 5 .2

7-75

8-75

9 -7 5 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

2-76

3 -76

4 -7 6

5 -76

6-76

7 -7 6

8 -7 6

9 -7 6 10-76 11-76 12-76

1 -7 7

1 ,3 6 2 .9
1 ,3 7 0 .4
9 .5

1 ,3 8 0 .8
1 ,3 8 5 .5
1 ,3 9 1 .7
1 ,4 0 4 .2

INITIAL MONTH

P- PRELIMINARY




'

" “
MARCH 2 1 t

8

1977

1 ,4 2 1 .4
1 ,4 3 9 .5
1 ,4 4 0 .9
1,458.0P

RETAIL
R AT IO

SALES

SC A L E

B IL L IO N S

1969

R AT IO

OF DOLLA RS

1970

S E A SO N A LL Y

1971

1972

B IL L IO N S

A D J U ST ED

1973

1974

1975

SOURCE»
P ER C EN TA G E S ARE ANNUAL R A TE S
LA TE S T

D A TA P L O T T E D »

OF CHANGE FOR P E R IO D S

JA N U A R Y ,

U .S .

SCALE

OF DOLLARS

1976

1977

DEPA R TM EN T OF COMMERCE

IN D I C A T E O .

FEBR UAR Y ADVANCE E S T IM A T E
P REPARED BY FE D E R A L

R ESERVE BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

_______________ R E T A IL S A L E S ________________
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T ES OF CHANGE
T ER M IN A L
I N I T I A L MONTH
M IL L IO N S OF
MONTH__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ DOLLARS
9-76 10-76 11-76 12-76
2-76
3-76
1-77
9 -7 5 10—75 11-75 12-75
* —7t> 5-76
6—76
7-76
8-76
7-75.
Ü-75
1-76
4 9 ,7 7 4

8-75

9 .2

9-75

2 .9

10-75

4 .8

2 .7

11-75

7 .1

6*4

1 1 .5

14 .2

12-75

1 1 .7

1 2 .3

1 7 .9

22.8

3 2 .0

4 9*6 44

- 3 .1

8.8

* 9 ,9 9 5
5 0 ,5 5 2
5 1 ,7 3 4

1-76

9 .0

9 .0

12.2

1 3 .4

1 3 .0

- 3 .2

2-76

1 1 .3

1 1 .7

1 4 .9

16.5

1 7 .2

10 .5

2 6 .2

1 5 .5

1 6 .8

1 7 .5

1 3 .0

22.2

1 8 .3

1 4 .4

1 5 .4

1 5 .6

11.8

17 .3

13.2

9 .4

5 .3

7 .6

1 1 .9

8 .9

11.5

3-76
4-76
5-76
6-76
7-76
8-76
9-76
10-76
11-76
12-76

12.2 12.6
1 1 .7
12.0

10.1
10.1 10.2 11.8 12.2
8.8 8*8 10.0 10.1
9 .7
9 .8
11.0 1 1 .3
8.1 8.0 9 .0 9 .0
8 .5

8 .4

9 .9

5 1,5 9 2

8 .4

8 .3

9 .2

9 .3

9 .2

9 .2

10.2

1 0 .3

6.8 8.6
1 0 .9
8.6 1 0 .4
8 .5
6*1 7 .4
8.8 6.8 7 .9
9 .9
8.1 9 .3

1 3 .1

1 3 .4

1 3 .3

11.8 12.0

9 .7

1 1 .9

1 3 .4

1-77

9 .4

2-77

io .i

10.1 8.6 9 .6
10.2 11.0 11.2 11.Ô 9 .6 10.6

7-75

8-75

9 .5

1 0 .3

1 0 .4

9-75 10-75 11-75 12-75

1-76

5 2 ,6 0 1

2.0
8.1
5 .3

5 3 ,3 4 4

8.2

5 3 ,6 9 6
5 2 ,8 6 8

- 5 .2 -1 7 .0

5 3 ,9 8 3

4 .9

3 .3

2 8 .5

2 .3

0 .4

10*5

- 5 .0

5 3 ,7 5 4

21.8

5 4 ,6 4 3

7 .9

* .9

5 .4

14 .1

7 .6

4 .9

2 .9

1.8

7 .2

0 .9

3 .9 -1 1 .3

5 .9

4 .2

3 .5

8.2

3 .7

6. t

7 .6

6 .3

12.2

1 1 .5

8 .3

t .3

9 .4

Ô .7

2-76

3-76

6.1
12.0
>.2
4—76

IN IT IA L

-0 .1

5 4 ,1 0 0
5 4 ,6 3 4

1 2 .5

1 0 .5

7 .2

1 0 .5

7 .0

1 7 .5

2 2 .7

1 6 .9

1 5 .0

1* . *

19.0

ü .*

4 1 .6

6 3 .&

5 7,8 9 8

1 0 .7

8 .4

lo .e

8 .7

1 4 .3

1 4 .9

11 .3 -2 4 .3

5 6 ,5 7 0 P

12.0

io a

1 2 .5

11.0

1 6 .1

1 7 .0

15.2

- 3 .4

2 3 .4

5-76

6-76

7-76

8-76

9-76 10-76 11-76 12-76

1-77

5 5 ,5 7 3

5 7 ,5 6 9 E

MONTH

P - P R E L IM IN A R Y
E - E S T IM A T E O




PREPA RED BY FEO ERA L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

MARCH 14, 1977

9

L O U IS

HOURLY COMPENSATION, PRIVATE BUSINESS SECTOR *
C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E ___________
T t K f U NAL__________________________________________________________________ I N I T I A L QUARTER_________________________________________________________________ 1967 « 100
QUARTER
1 -7 2
2-72
3 -7 2 *-7 2
1-74 2-7 * 3 -7 4
4-74
1- 7 5
2-75
3-7 5 4 -7 5
1-76
2-7 6 3 -7 6
1 -7 3
2 -7 3
3-73
4-7 3
2-72

*.2

137.8

3- 7 2

*.0

3.8

4- 7 2

5 .3

5.9

1 -7 3

7.*

8.5

2-73

7.G
7.0
7 .2

7 .7

4-73

13 9. 1
1 4 1. 8

b .O

1 4 6. 5

10.9

13.9

7.7

9.0

9 .5

5.3

7.5

8 .5

b.o

6 .1

fc>-9

8 .5

8 .7

7.0

7.8

14 8 .4
1 5 0 .9
15 4,1

8.8

1 -7 *

7.3

7.8

8 .5

b.5

7.2

7 .9

8.4

1 \
8 .0

2-7 *

7.8

8.3

t.9

9.1

b.2

b .9

9 .6

10 .0

3 -7 *

b.3

8.6

9.*

9.6

8.9

9 .7

1 0 .4

1 1 .0

*-7*

6 .5

9.0

9.6

9.8

9.2

9.8

1 0 .4

10 .8

1 1 .8

1 1 .7

1 0 .5 ^

17 0. 8

1—7 b

o.9

9.3

9 .9

1 0 .1

9.6

10.3

10 .8

11.3

1 2 .1

12 .1

11 .7

17 6. 1

. 2-75

t.7

9*2

9 .7

10*1

l^JL* .. 10*9

10*6

9,8

_ 9.0 ... 9.5

15 7. 1
1 6 1. 6
1 6 6. 6

1 2 .5

13 .c \

9,5

6^0^^

3 - 7 5 _____ iUit____t^ 2 ____2*1____ SL^2____ ii*h____SUZ___________________ 2*JB____________iU l____2^2____^
------—

^ « • __ 71V __ 7 i J __ 7t Mf_---

__ u t u __ / t v ____*

__ 7 *A_ __ V t 3 ----- L i V*----

___ 4 , 8

17 8 ,7

...................................
_______________________________

__ LMjl£_
AV T . t

v . w ___I—x- f

1-76

8 .5

8.8

9 .1

9.2

b.8

9.2

9.4

9.4

9.6

9.3

6.7

8.3

7.2

7 .6

9.0

2-76

b.*

b.6

b.9

9.0

6.6

8.9

9.1

9.1

9.3

b.9

6 .*

8 .0

7.1

7 .3

8.2

16 8.8
6.4

6.5

19 1. 8

3—7t>

8 .3

8.6

b .9

b .9

8.6

9 .0

9.0

9 .1

8.8

8,3

8.0

7 .1

7 .4

8 .0

8.1

7.0

7^5"\

4-76

8 .3

8.5

b.8

8*9

b.6

8 .8

8 .9

9.0

9 ,0

8,7

8.3

8.0

7.3

7.5

8.1

8.2

7 .5

8.0

1-7 2

2—72

3 -7 2

*-7 2

1 -7 3

2-73

3-7 3

* -73

1 -7 *

2 -7 *

3-7 *

*-7 *

1-7 5

2-75

3-75

4-75

1 -7 6

2-76

3-7 6

*-75

1 -7 6

2-76

3 -7 6

19 5 . 3
8 .* \

19 9 .3

I N I T I A L QUARTER

UUTPUT PER rlUUR OF ALL PERSONS* PRIVATE BUSINESS SECTOR *
_____________ COhPOUNOEU ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE__________________
1967 * 100

I N I T I A L QUARTER

TElsMlNAL
QUARTER
1-72

2-72

3-7 2

1 -7 3

*-7*

2 -7 3

3-73

*-73

1-7 4

2-7 *

3 -7 4

4-7 *

1-7 5

2-7 5

3-7 5

1 1 0. 4

2- 7 2

3.3

3-72

2.6

l,b

* -7 2

3 .7

3.8

11 0 .9
11 2.5

5.9

1 1 4. 1

1-7 3

*.2

* .5

5.9

5.8

2-73

2.*

2.2

2.3

0 .5

\
-4 .5

3 -7 3

1.7

1 .4

1.3

-0 .2

-3 .1

-l.b

4-73

1.5

1.2

1.1

-0 .1

-2 .0

-0 .7

r

11 2. 8
1 1 2 .3
112 . 4

0.4
/0

1-7 *

0.5

0.1

-0 .2

-1 .*

-3 .2

-2 .7

-3 .2

—6 . 6

2 -7 *

—C . l

-0 .5

-O .b

-1 .9

-3 .4

-3 .1

-3 .5

-5 .4

-l.C

-1 .9

-3 .2

-2 .9

-3 .2

-* .4

-3 ,2

\

110,5
1 0 9 .3
1 0 8 .7

3 -7 *

—0 . 3

-C .7

* -7 *

—0 . 6

-l.L

-1 .3

-2 .2

-3 .2

-3 .0

-3 .3

-4 .2

-3 .4

-2 .9

-3 .6

1-7 5

- 0 .*

—0 . 8

-1 .0

-1 .8

-2 .7

-2 .*

-2 .5

-3 .1

-2 .2

-1 .5

-1 .1

_ 2 -7 5

G .5

0 .^

b. 1

-0 .5

-1 .1

-0 .7

—0 . 6

-0 .7

0.5

1.7

3.1

«> 11
6 .6
1 2 .0

1.7

3-7 5

1.0

O .b

0.7

t.3

-0 .2

C.2

0.5

0.5

* -7 5

t .b

0.6

0.5

0.1

-0 .4

0 .0

0.2

0.2

1- 70

1.2

1.0

1 .0

0.6

0.2

0 .6

0.8

0.9

1.9

-2 ^ 2 ^ \
1 0 7 .7

1 08 .1
11 1 .2

3 ,0

*,3

7 .1

1 C .0

8.2

2.1

3.0

4.7

5 .8

2 .9

2.8

3.6

5 .2

6.1

4.2

11 3.4
11 2. 8
2 .3

6 .9 s

114.7

2 -7 6

1,3

1 .1

1 .1

0.8

0.4

0 .8

1 .0

1 .1

2.0

2,8

3,5

4.8

5.*

3 .9

2,5

4.8

2 ^ 8 \

3- 7 6

1.3

1 ,2

1 .2

0.9

0,5

0 ,9

1.2

1 .2

2.1

2,6

3 .4

4.5

5.0

3.7

2 ,6

4,2

2,8

2 .fi\

4-76

1,3

1. 2

1.2

0.9

t ,6

0 ,9

1.1

1 .2

1 .9

2.6

3.1

* .0

4.4

3.2

2 ,2

3 ,3

2.1

1.7

1-7 2

2-/2

3-7 2

*-7 2

1 -7 3

2-73

3-73

*-7 3

1-7*

2-7 *

3-7 4

*-7 4

1-7 5

2-75

3-75

4-75

1 -7 6

2-76

1 1 5. 5
116.3
0 .7 ^ \

11 6. 5

3 -7 6

I N I T I A L QUARTER
* Revised 1975- 76




P R E P A R E D BY F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B ANK OF ST. LOUIS
M A R C H 21» 1 9 7 7

10

PRODUCTIVITY, COMPENSATION, AND LABOR C OSTS*
RATIO SCALE
1 96 7-1 00

RATIO SCALE
1 96 7- 10 0

S E A S O N A L LY A D JU S TE D

SOURCE« U .S . DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
P E RCEN TABES ARE ANNUAL R A TE S OF CHAN6E FOR PEftlODS IN D IC A T E D .
X R E V I S E D FROM 1975
L A T E S T DATA P LO TTE D « 4TH QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LO U IS

U N I T LABOR OUSTS» PRIVATE: BUSINESS SECTOR *
_____COMPOUNDED ANNUAL KATES OF CHANCE__________
TERM INAL
QUAR1ER

IN IT IA L
1 -7 2

2 -7 2

3 - 7 2 . - . 4 - 7 2 ___ 1 - 7 3

2- 7 3

Z 3

.4 r J 3 - - 1 - 7 4

m .7 « i£Q

W A R T fc R

2 r7 >

3 - ? 4

„4 -7 4

j - 7 ?

2 -7 ?

? ~ 7 ?

4 - 7 ? ___ l ~ 7 f r

2 -7 6

3 ~ 7 fr

2 -7 2

1 .0 _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

3 r?2 _

1.6

2.-3

4-72

_U ü-

1-9

1 2 4. 8
12 5 * ?

126.0

l.fe
*■7____ T_mJL^ $ . 6 %
10. ¿ V
___

2-73
^-7 a

.a ^ 2 ____ ti—l _

7 .1

V.Q ____ fa­

7.3

8.8

1 3 L a 6 ..

t i.&

1 3 4 ,4

•)>.7

t>-b

1-7*

tit>ti

7 .7

b.6

10 .1

10.7

1 0 .8

1 1 .8

1 5 .4

2—74

ti<|V

8.9

9.8

11.3

12.0

12.4

13 .6

16*4

1 7 > n 1 ^ 8 %

147.9

3-7*

»7

9.6

10. 5

11 . 9

12.5

13.0

14 .1

16 .1

16.4

1 5 3 .3

*— 7*

V i. 2

10 . 1

1 1 .0

12 .2

12.8

13 .2

14.2

15 .7

15 .8

15.0

14*6 \

1—7 i

.4

10 .2

11 .0

12*1. 12 .6

13 .Q

13.7

I4 tti

14.6

13.7

12.9

f i.2

8 .8

V . 4 ___ 1 Q . 2 ___ 1 ^ 5 ____1 0 . 5 ____1 0 . 8

3-75—

7 .3

7 .8

8 .3

4 —7 Sl-

. 7 . it

4-73

¿- 1 5 —

9.1

8 .5

1 3 7. 1

8 . 3 sV—
r

\

1 4 2. 1

1 1 . 2 ____1 0 . 3

V . O _____ __________ tU _ 2 _____ 8 . 9

9 .0

v *.q____ a * J ____

sufi____ 9 .o

9 .1

8.2

8.2

8.0

8 .0

8.0

7.2

2-76

7.0

7.*

7 .7

3-76

6 .9

7.2

7 .5

7.9

7.9

7.6

7.7

7.6

4-76

6.9

7 .2

7.6

7.9

7.9

7.8

7.7

7.6

1- 7 2

2 -7 2

3-72

*-7 2

1 -7 3

2-7 3

3-7 3

*-73

8 .G

158.6
1 1 .3 \

1* 2« ?
I6 0 t l _

6 . 7 _____ __________ 2 * 1 ___ - 5 . 3
6 .2

_L& 9 *5_

4 . 0 _____ ib _fi___ - 4 . 1 ___ - 3 . 0

163 . 3

3 .3 ____ S U i

fr.e

3 .3

5 .5

2.0

3.5

2.8

4.2

1-75

2-75

5.9

4.7

3 .1

1.5

6 .9

5.8

4.6

3.3

7.0

6.0

5.0

3 .8

1-7*

2-7 *

3-7 *

4-7*

3 .3

3 .4

5.2

3.7

3 .9

5.7

4 .7

5.2

6.1

3-7 5

4-7 5

1-76

2-7 6

1 6 6 .0
167.8
7 .8 \

171.0

3-7 6

I N I T I A L QUARTER
» R e v is e d 1975-76




P REPARED BY FE D E R A L RESE R V E BANK OF ST.
M A R C H 21» 1977

11

LOUIS

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN CURRENT DOLLARS
_____COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE_______
TERMINAL
QUARTER

IN IT IA L

-1=12 ___2-72

3 -7 2

* - 7 2 ___ 1-73

2-73

.3-73

H 3 ___1-74

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

2-7 4

3 -7 4

4-7*

1-75___ 2-75___3-75

4-75___ 1-76

2-76

3-7 6

- 1 1 .Q_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3-72

-

1 * 1 5 6 ,7

9.9___ e . a

1 ,1 6 1 ,4

219*4
1. 265.» 3

J*=22--- 1 1 *J___11*1__ 13 .5 —

li

1-73____ 1 2 .3

1 2 .7

1 4 .7

15*2_

¿-7 3 ____ 11 *3

3 -73___ l l . o

1 1 .4

1 2 .3

11 .6 ____7*5

l l .o

1 1 .5

1 0.9 ___ iUA___ 9 .3

-4r73___ 11.1

11.1__ 11*6__ 11*1___ £ .6 __ 1P *6_11*2

1-74___ 10*4

1 0 .3

- I t 2 99 ,
1 » 3 1 7 ,5
1 » 3 5 5 *1

1 0 .5 ___ 9*5___ ft*5___ fi*fi___ ft*6_

■2r-74__ 1Û*J__1Q.0 1Q.2__ 2*6__ fi*4__ ft*6__ ft*±_
3 -7 4 ___ l(L*ft_
4 -7 4

1-75

9 .9

1 0 .1

.. 9 .6 ___ 8*6----- 6*8___ £ i l ----- 7*6

7 .9 ___ 6*2___ 1*5___ 7 .2

8 .7

6.4

8.5

8 .4

7.9

6.9

6.8

5.3

l >431,6

____ 9 * 5 J

2*6___ 2*4___ 2*5___ 2*S___ &*1___ 8 .2

5.4

4.5

.1 *4 4 9 ,2 .

2.1

—0 .8 \ _

1»446.2

a.a__ a_^b__ ft**__ a*i__ z*3__ z*3__ 1 * 0 __ 6*2 __ 6*3__ 5 *2 __ 4 * 7 __ 4 . 6

1 0 .4^

3 -7 5

9.5 ___ 2*4___ 2*4___ 2*1____ft*4___ ft*5___ fi*4___ 2*2___ 8.4

9.3

14.7

4—75

9 .6

Jft*2___ 2*6

1 3.3

1 4.6

^>■41.3%
10

1-76

9 .6 ___ 2*7___ 2*fi___ 2*5____ft*2___ 2*1____2ml___ fi*2___ 2*2___ 2*3___ 9 .3

13.1

14.1

1 1 .6

_2=25l_

*—76

9.5 ___ 9.2

B.6___ a*2___ 8.7

8.3

8.4

8.7

8.2

10.2

9 .5 ___ 9*0___ 2*1___ 9*1___ a*2___ 2*3___ 2*4___ 2*4__ 10.1

9.7

.2- 7 6
-3=J6

-2 * 5

1 »4 6 2 « 3

12.5__ 13.0 __ 11.0

- 2 . 7 ----- 2*6----- 2*2----- 2*4----- 2*fi----- 2*J------2*1___ &*£___ 2*2___ 2*3___ 2*3___ 2*2__ l l . f i . 12.1__ 1 0 .4

1 2 .6 "

1 »636*2

11.3

1 »675..2_

1 0 .3 -

9*2

9.6

9.6

9 .6

9.4

9.0

9.1

9.0

6*8

9,1

9.2

9.2

9.7

11.3

11,5

10.0

9,9

9,0

8,5

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

8.5\

1.745,1

3-76

INITIAL QUARTER

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN CONSTANT 1972 DOLLARS
________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE___________
B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS

INITIAL QUARTER

T ER M IN A L

QUARTER

ANNUAL RATES
1-72

2-72

2 -7 2

3 -7 2

4 -7 2 __ 1=73 _2-73_ 3-73

4 -73

1-74

2 -7 4

3 -7 4

4 -7 4

1-75__ 2-75__ 3 -7 5

4 -75

1-76

2-76

3 -7 6

1,163.0

7*2____________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1.178.0

J5..3

4—72

7 .2 ___ 6*2___ 8 .5

2-73

6 .3 ___ 5v9___ 6 .1

7 .8 ___ 2*2___ 2*J2___ 2*5-

5 .5 ___ 5 .0
4-7 3

5 .0

3-7*

■
A-74

1>231.1
1 .2 3 6 .3

—1*1____ 1 * Z
* .4

3 .*

1 .4

1 .9

2 .l\

1 , 2 4 2 .6

3 .3 ___ Z^S.___ 1*2___ 0*0__ rfl.J__ - 1 . 0 __ - 3 , 9 X j , - 2 %

1—74
-2.-74

4 .5

1 .2 2 9 .8

-4 .9 ___ Q.4

- 3 .0 — .2 .5 ___ 2 .1
2 .5

1 .9

1 .5

l.Q

—Û.6

- 0 .fi

- 1 .2 . —
3 .5 __ -3 * 1

0 .5

- 0 .9

- 1 .2

- 1 .9

-1*6----- 1*0----- 0*i»— - 0 . 4 __ - l . a __ -2 .1

- 3 .2

- 2 .8

_ 1 .2 3 Q .4 _
l» 2 2 Q .a ...
- 2 .6 \

1 ,2 1 2 .9

- 2 .9 __ -4 .1 __ =4*2__ - 4 .7 __ =6*

1*191.7

1-7%

0 .6

-0-1

- 0 .6

- 1 .5

- 2 .8

—3 .3

- 4 .1

- 5 .3

—5 .6

- 6 .5

- 8 .4

- 9 . 9N

2-75

1 .0

0 .4

- 0 .0

- 0 .8

- 1 .9

- 2 .2

- 2 .8

- 3 .5

- 3 .5

- 3 .6

- 3 .9

- 2 .4

5 .6 s

3r*75

■ 1 *2 -

-r0*7_ - 0 .8

- 1 .1

- 1 .5

- 1 .1

- 0 .8

- 0 .3

2 .0

. 8*5...

-1*2. - 0 . 9
-UA_

-*=25-

0 .2

-0.5__ rr0 .3 __ =0.4__ - 0 .6

-0 .9 __ -0 .5 __ - 0 .1

1 .1 6 1 .1
1 ,1 7 7 .1
1 ,2 0 9 .3

.6 *3 ____2 *3____3 .3

—1*2------1*6____1*1____0*4___ 0*4___ 0*3___ 0*1____0*6____1*2___ 1*8___ 3*6___ 2*3___ 7 .9

♦7%

6.2

9.2

-1*1____1*6___ 2*2___ 3*fi___ 6*8___ 2*0___ 5 .6

6 .8

1 »2 1 9 .2

1*246.3

1-76

2 .2 -

2- 7 6

2 . 4 ___ 2_*0_

1 .3___ l . a

2 .4

*-76

2.5

2 .2

2 .0

1.6

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.5

1.9

2.4

3.7

5.7

5.8

4 .7

5.0

3.7

3.3

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

—1 * A _

2 .4 ___ 2 *1.

1 .4 ___ 0*2___ Q*A___ 0 .2 -1*5




-0.6-

1 .0 ____ 1>0

1 .2 6 0 .0

4 .5

1*272.2

-3*£___ 6*3___ 6*4___ 5*2___ 5*ft___ 4*2___ 3*22

2.6 \

1,280.4

3-76

IN IT IA L QUARTER

PREPAREO BY FEOERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS
MARCH 21* 1977

12

DEMAND AND PRODUCTION
R A T I O SCALE
T R I L L I O N S OF

QUARTERLY

D OL L ARS

TOTALS AT ANNUAL

S EAS ONAL L Y A D J US TE D

RATIO SCALE
T R I L L I O N S OF D O L L A R S

RATES

1.

1.9

.8
.7

.6
.5
.4
.3
.2

1.7
1 .6

1.5
1.4

0 .

.3
.2
1.

1.1

1

1 .0

0 .

0.9

0.8

0 .

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

SOURCE« U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
(LONP IN CURRENT DOLLARS.
ILCNP IN 1972 DOLLARS.
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST OATA PLOTTED« 4TH QUARTER




PREPAREO BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

13

GENERAL
RAT I O

PRICE

INDEX*

SCALE

RATI O

1972-100

1969
«AS

USED

1970
IN NATIONAL

1971

1972

1973

INCOME ACCOUNTS

DATA PLO TTED *

1974

1975

SOURCE*

P E R C EN T A G E S ARE ANNUAL R AT ES OF CHANGE FOR P E R IO O S
LA TEST

SC A L E

1972-100

U .S .

1976

1977

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

IN D IC A T E D .

4TH QUARTER
P R EPA R ED BY FE D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

im p l ic it

p r ic e

d e fla to r

fo r

g r o ss

L O U IS

n a t io n a l pr o d u c t

__________ CflMPQUNPJEP ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE____________
IN IT IA L QUARTER

T E R M IN A L

1972

«

100

QUARTER
1-72

2-72

3-72

*-72

1-73

2-73

2-72

2 .«

2k—7 2

3 .1

3 .*

< *-7?

3-6

* .0

* .7

1—7 3

* .2

* .6

5 .3

5 .8

2-73

* .7

5 .2

5 .8

6 .*

7 .0 ^ \

3-73

*-7 3

1-7*

2 —7 4

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

9 9 .4 5

_

1 0 0 .2 9
1 0 1 .4 4
1 0 2 .8 9

\ 7 .5 %
1 0 4 .6 5
1 0 6 .5 7

3-73

5 .2

5 .7

6 .3

6 .8

7 .3

*-73

5 .8

6 .3

6 .9

7 .5

8 .1

8 .6

1-7*

6 .3

6 . ft

7 .*

7 .9

8 .*

8 .9

\,
1\
9 .6

9 .5

1 0 9 .0 5
1 1 1 .5 6

2-74

6 .9

7 .*

7 .9

8 .5

9 .0

9 .5

1 0 .2

1 0 .5

lli^ \ 1 1 .2 %

1 1 4 .6 4

3-7*

7 .*

7 .9

ft.5

9 .0

9 .6

1 0 .1

lO .f i

1 1 .1

1 1 .9

1 1 8 .0 3

* —7 *

7 .9

& .*

ft .9

9 .5

1 0 .0

1 0 .5

1 1 .1

1 1 .5

1 2 .2

1-7*4

ft.O

f l.S

V . 1

9 .6

2-75

7 .a

ft.2

ft.6

3-75

7 .7

& .1

8 .5

*-7 5

7 .7

8 .0

1 2 .5

1 2 1 .6 0

1 2 .7 s

1 ?* .5 5

1 0 .1 s

1 G .O

1 0 .5

11-0

1 1 .2

1 1 .6

1 1 .7

1 1 .4

9 .0

9 .*

9 .7

1 0 .0

1 0 .1

1 0 .2

9 .8

9 .0

7 .2

4 .5

8 .8

9 .2

9 .*

9 .6

9 .6

9 .6

9 .3

8 .5

7 .2

5 .7

7 .0

8 .*

ft.7

9 .0

9 .2

9 .3

9 .3

9 .3

ft.9

8 .2

7 .1

6 .2

7 .0

1 2 5 .9 3
1 2 8 .0 7
7 .1

\ 5 .3 %

1 3 0 .2 7
1 3 1 .2 9

1-76

7 .*

7 .7

d .O

6 .3

fa .5

8 .6

8 .7

8 .6

8 .5

8 .1

7 .4

6 .3

5 .*

5 .7

5 .1

2-76

7 .2

7 .5

7 .8

6 .Û

8 .2

8 .3

& .*

8 .3

6 .1

7 .7

7 .0

6.1

5 .*

5 .6

5 .1

4 .2

5 . 2V

3-76

7 .1

7 .3

7 .6

7 . ft

7 .9

8 .0

f t.O

7 .9

7 .7

7 .3

6 .7

5 .9

5 .2

5 .3

4 .9

4 .2

4 .8

4 .4

* —7 1,

7 .0 _

7 .3

7 .5

7 .7

7 .8

7 .8

7 .9

7 .7

7 .6

7 .2

6 .6

5 .9

5 .3

5 .4

5 .1

4 .6

5 .1

5 .1

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

*-7 3

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

1-72




1 3 2 .9 6
1 3 4 .4 0
\

1 3 6 .3 0

3-76

IN IT IA L QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS
MARCH 21 • 1977

14

P E R S O N A L C O N S U M P T I O N E X P E N D I T U R E S IN C U R R E N T D O L L A R S
1 F - k M IM A L

IN IT IA L

B I L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL R A T ES

UHARTER

QUARTER
1-72

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

*-73

1-7*

2-7*

3-7*

*-7*

1-75

2-75

3-75

11-1

3-7?

9ȧ

8-5

*-7 2

10-7

10-5

12-*

2-76

3-76

739-7
761-8
787-2

1-7*

11-5

11-7

13-3

i* - o

2-73

10-6

10-5

11-2

1L-6

7-2

3 -7 i

10-2

10-2

1 0 .6

10-0

ft.fi

8-9

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9-9

9-7

1Ü-0

9-*

7-B

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818-2
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7-5

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9-9

9-8

10-0

9-5

8-4

8-8

f i- A

10-1

2-7*

10-2

10-1

10-3

10-0

9-2

9-7

10-0

11-2

853-3
12-*

878-7
9 0 6 .8

3-7*

1 0 .5

10-5

10-7

10-5

9 .9

10-4

10-8

12-0

12-9

13-*

*-7 *

9-7

9-6

9-7

9 .4

8 .7

9 .0

9-0

9-*

9-1

7-5

1-9

1-7*

9-8

• -A

9-7

9-*

8-9

9-1

9-2

9-5

9-4

8- *

5-9

10-1

2-7%

9-9

9-8

10-0

9-7

9-2

9-5

9-6

9-9

9-9

9-3

7-9

11-1

9 1 1 .1
933-2
960-3

12-1

987-3

3-75

10-1

10-0

10-1

9-9

9-5

9-7

9-H

10-2

10-2

9-8

8-9

11-3

1 1 -9

11-7

*-7 %

10-1

lo - n

10-1

9-9

9-6

9-A

9-9

10-2

10-2

9-9

9-2

11-1

11-*

11-1

10-*

l- 7 h

10-3

10-2

10-3

10-2

9-9

10-1

10-2

10-5

10-6

10-3

9-8

11-5

11-8

11-7

11-7

9-7

10-0 10-0

4-76

1-76

7 2 * .7

2-72

2-76

4-75

1 0 -9

11-1

10-9

10-6

10-7

9-6

1 0 -7

10-8

10-5

10 -3

10-2

1 0 .3

9 .9

H .Q ^

11-1

10-9

10. 8

2 -7 *

3-7*

*-7*

1-75

2-75

3-75

9-9

10-0

10-1
10-3
10 -3
10-2 10-2 10-0

10-2

9-9

1 0 .1

1 0 .2

10-*

1 0 .5

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-7 3

*-7 3

1-74

10-1

lu -2

10-0

10-1

10-0
10-0

10-2

1(1-2

10-3

1-72

2-72

3-7 2

1 .0 * 3 -6

13-1

9 -6

9-7

1 0 -7
lft - 1

1. 0 1 2 - 0
1 *0 64 -7

8 -3

1t iiKfa-5

10 -9

8.8
10-1

1 1 .1

1 2 .9

4-75

1-76

2-7 6

3 -7 6

9-2

1 .1 2 2 .0

I N I T I A L QUARTER

P E k SONAL CONSUMPTION EXP E N D IT U R ES IN CONSTANT 1972 DO LLARS
_________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES O f CHAN6E___________________
B I L L I O N S OF
T F k M lN A L

IN IT IA L

D O LLA RS

Q UARTER

ANNUAL R A T ES

UU A RTER
1-72

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

*-7 3

1-7*

2-74

2-72

8-3

3-72

6-8

5-3

*-7 2

7 .*

6 .9

8-6

1-73

7-6

7-3

8-*

8-2

2-73

5-9

5-3

5-3

3-8

-0-5

3-73

5 .2

*-6

*-5

3-1

0-7

1-9

*-7 3

* .1

3 .*

3 .1

1 .7

- 0 .3

- 0 .2

- 2 .3

- 0 .9

- 2 .2

- 2 .1

- 1 .5

- 1 .0

0-1

-0-2

—0 . 7

-0-2

O .fc

1 .5

3-7*

*-7 *

1-75

2-75

3-75

*-75

2-76

3-76

728-1
737-5
752-8
767-7
766

765-9

1-7*

3-3

2 .6

2-2

1 .0

- 0 .6

2-9

2-3

1-9

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—0 - 6

3-7*

2-8

2-2

1 .8

0-9

-0-3

* —7 *

1-7

1-1

0 .6

—0 . 3

-1-5

-1-6

- 2 .3

- 2 .3

- 2 .4

- 3 .6

- 8 .*

1-75

1 .9

1-3

0 .9

0-1

-0-9

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3-5

2-75

2-3

1 -8

1-5

0-8

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0 .7

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3-75

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1 .6

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1-76

2-9

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1-6

1 .6

2 .0

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2 .9

3 .1

5 .6

6-1

5-8

6-7

8 .9

2-76

3 .0

2-7

2-5

2 .1

1 .6

1-8

1-8

2-2

2-7

3-0

3 .2

5 .3

5 .7

5-*

5-8

6 .4

761-8

1 .2

761 .9
7 6 * .7
7 * 8 .1
7 5 * -6
7 6 7 .5

7-0

7 7 5 .3

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7 8 3 .9
800-7
8 0 8 -6

4 .0

2-7

2-6

2 .2

1-7

1-9

1-9

2 .3

2 .6

3-1

3 .3

5-1

5-3

5-0

5-2

5 .4

3-8

3-6

3 .2

2-9

2 .8

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2 .1

2 .3

2 .3

2 .7

3 .2

3 .5

3 .7

5 .3

5 .6

5-3

5 .6

5 .8

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1-72

2-72

3-72

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1-73

2 -7 3

3-73

2-74

3-7*

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1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

2-76

3-76

3-76




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770-*

2-7*

*- 7 4 »

1-76

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1-7*

1-76

815-7
8 2 9 .7

I N I T I A L QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST*
F E B R U A R Y 18* 1 9 7 7

15

LOUIS

UROSS PRIVATE DOMESIIC INVESTMENT IN CURRENT DOLLARS
____________COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE________________
B IL L IO N S OF

■TfeKfUNAL_____________________________________________________________INITIAL QUARTER__________ _________________________________________________ D O L L A R S
QUARTER
ANNUAL RATES
1-72
2-72

19-9

3-72

16-A

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-7*

2-7*

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

13-9

191 .0

4-72

18-*

1 7 .6

1—7 3

19-?

1A - 9

?11
?11>6

2 1 .7

,4

200-5

2-73

lfi- 3

1 7 .9

IV,, 3

1 6 .2

3-73

1 5 .7

1 * .9

1

1

*-7 3

1 6 .7

1 6 .2

li».

1-74

10-7

9 .4

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6.,7

2-74

10-0

6 .6

3-74

7 .8

6 *6

4-74

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5 .5

210-6
2 1 fi -Û

1 4 .8

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1 5 .5

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-3 .1

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1-75

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- 2 .5

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2 3 1 .5

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213.3
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- 1 3 .2

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172-4

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5 6 .1

3 6 .2

7-4

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t>

3 —7 6

7-7

7 -1

4-76

6 .9

6 .2

1-72

2-72

3 - 72

2-76

4-75

184-9

5 .2

*-o

3 .1

3 .1

1 .3

6.

5-7

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3-9

3-9

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5,. a

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1.6

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1-73

2-73

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3-74

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2-74

1 9 6 .7

2 0 1 -*
2 2 9 -6

6 8 .9
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1 7 .fi

2 S .6

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1 5 .7

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3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-7 6

4 5 .5

2 9 .8

2 7 .1

3 8 .5

2 1 .6

2 9 .7

1-75

2-75

¿3 9 -2
247-0
2 42 -8

INITIAL QUARTER

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN CONSTANT 1972 DOLLARS
T E k M IN A L

IN IT IA L

B IL L IO N S O F
D O LLARS

Û 1 IA R T F R

ANNUAL

Q UARTER

1 - 7^

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

16 .a

3-72

1 ? .h

fi.» V

*-7 2

l* .ù

1 2 .•ft

14

1 3. . 4

1 **., 7

1 * . ,9

1 1 ,■4

12.

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9 ,• il

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1-75

2-75

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1-76

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0

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fa

- % .. 1

,

-7.

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- 1 *.

-10

- 1 ? ,« ?

- 1 3 a «ÿ - 1 6 -, 4

RATES

3-76

-17-

204-9

- 12.

211-8

14« » ?

194-8

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- 7 1 . i3

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2—'72

3 - 72

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1-73

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1-7*

2-7 4

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

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1-76

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2-76

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4-74

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204-6

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169-8

3-7 6

INITIAL QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEOERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST* LOUIS
FEBRUARY 16* 1977

16

GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS ANO SER VIC ES IN CURRENT DOLLARS
T f- fc M ^ l

IN IT IA L

B IL L IO N S O F
D O LLA RS
ANNUAL RA TES

GUARTER

Q UARTER
1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-7*

£ —7 2

2-7*

4-73

1-74

3-74

2-74

_4—7 4

1-75

2-75

2 —7 5

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-76
251-1

2-7?

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2-7?

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3 .1

4-7?

S .« i

6 .6

1 0 .2

1-7*

6-7

7 .9

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1 Û .6

2-7*

5-1

5-6

6 .4

4 .6

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2-72

5-4

5 .8

6 .4

*»-2

2-7

6 -5

4 —7 *

6 .5

7 .0

7 .8

7 .2

6 .1

9 .8

1 2 -2

2 5 2 .0
2 5 9 .2
265-8

2 6 5 -1
7 6 9 -2
2 7 7 .8

2 8 8 .0

1-74

7 .5

8 .1

9 .0

8 .8

8 .4

1 1 .7

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15-5

2-74

8 .2

H-9

9 - fa

9-7

9 -6

12-4

14-5

15-1

14-6

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9-0

9 .6

1 G .4

1 G .5

10-5

1 2 .9

1 4 .6

1 5 -0

14 - A

4 —7 4

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10-0

lo .a

10-9

1 0 -9

1 2 .0

1 4 .4

14-7

14-4

14-2

12-5

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10-6

lii- 7

10-7

1 2 .5

l* -5

12-5

12-1

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lii.S

10-6

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12-1

1 2 -9

12-9

12-4

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9-4

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2 G & -6

15-0

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2 7 5 -6
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9-7

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10-1

10-7

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1 Cl- 9

10-9

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12-2

12-9

12-9

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17-7

1 2 .9

1-7#,

0 -2

Q -6

lii- 1

1 i.- 1

1 0-1

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11-6

11-5

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9-7

9 -0

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8-7

6 .8

1 .0

2 —7 A

9-7

9 -6

i n .o

10-0

1 0-0

10-9

11-4

11-2

10-7

10-2

9 .5

8 .9

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7 .4

4-7

8-5

252 - a .....
2 5 4 -7
2 6 2 -0

Ï-7 6

9 -2

9 .5

9 .9

9 .9

9-9

1 0 .8

11-1

10-9

1 0 .5

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9 .4

8 .9

b .b

8 .6

7 .7

6 .0

8 .6

f l- 7

4-76

9 .1

9 .4

V .b

V .b

9 .7

1 0 .5

1 0 .8

1 0 .6

1 0 .2

9 .8

V .2

8 .7

8 .6

8 .4

7 .6

6 .2

ft.2

8 .0

7 .3

1-72

2-72

3-72

4 —7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3 -7 5

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

IN IT IA L

2 6 9 -6

2 7 6 .2

QUARTER

GOVERNMENT PURCH ASES OF GOODS AND S E R V IC E S IN CONSTANT 1972 DO LLARS
________________________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OP CHANGE___________________________
B I L L I O N S OF
DO LLARS

I N I T I A L QUARTER

T E R M IN A L

ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER
1-72

2-72

3 -7 2

4-72

1-73

2 -7 3

3 -7 3

4 -7 3

1-7»

2-74

3-7 4

4 -7 4

1-75

2-75

3 -7 5

4-75___ 1-76

2 -7 6

3 -7 6

2-72____- 1 ,4

253,2-

3-72

252 «0

~I>t>___—1*9

*- 7 2 ____ - 0 . 5

tufa

253*2-

1-23

1*1____ 2 *6 ____ 3 *2 _

2 5 5 .2

2—73____ —0 «9___—Q .ti__ —0 . 4

“ 1 .6

2 5 1 .2 -

-6 .1

3=23____ - G . 6___- ü - 4 __ -0-1___-0-7 __ - 2 . 6

2 5 1 -a

4 -73____ -ft «5___- U *3 ____ ÎLmQ__ - O . 5__ -1 - 7

0 .3

-252^-

1-74

0 ,3 ___ 0*5___ 0*2___ 0*2___ 0 .1

2-74

0 -3

Q-6____ 0 . 9

0*ti

-0*3____2*fl _____ 2 . 3

3-74.

0-5

0 .7 ____ 1 .0

0 ,9

_ k ,5 ____ L*S____2*1____ 2*2____ 1,3

2 .2

2 .9

5 .5

-3*3-

255 ,42 5 6 ,1 .

.1 *1 -

1 ,6

.25741-

1 -7 5

0 -4

0 -6

G-fa

G .7

G .4

1 .2

1 -4

1 .6

0 .7

0 -5

ù .û

0 .3

2 -7 5

0 .6

O .h

1 .0

0 .9

à j.7

1 .6

1 .6

1 .9

1 .2

1 -2

1-0

1 .7

2 -7 5

0 -9

1 -1

1 -4

1 .2

1 -1

2 .G

2 .1

2 .3

1 -8

7 .0

7 -1

2 .9

4 .2

4 —75

1 -1

1- *

1- 6

1-6

1- 4

2 -2

2 -2

2 -6

2-2

7 .4

7 .S

2-2

4 -7

1-76

G -h

0 .9

1 .1

A .G

0 .9

1 .5

2-76

0-9

1 -O

1 .2

1 .2

1. G

2-76
4-76

0 .9

1-72

5 -2

76? - 4
7 6 S -?

4-2

1 .6

1 .7

1 .3

1-2

1-2

1 .6

1 .9

1 .4

-0-4

-4-9

1 .8

1 .4

1-5

1-4

1 .7

2 .0

1 .7

0 .6

- 1 .2

2 .6

1 .9

7-7

2 .0

1 .2

0 .2

2 .8

2 .9

1 .8

1 .6

0-9

0 .0

1 .7

1-3

1-75

2-75

3 -7 5

4-75

1 .3

1 .3

1 .1

1 .7

1 .8

1 .9

1 .6

1 .6

1 .6

1-0

1 .2

1 .2

l.U

1 .6

1 .6

1 .7

1 .4

1 .4

1 .4

2-72

3-72

4-72

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74




?% 9-1

1 .7

1 .1

1-73

2 5 7 -1
3 .1

4-74

261-9

1-76

it 6 3 - 6

2-76

765-5
- 0 .3

2 6 5 .2

3 -7 6

1N1TIAL QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST- LOUIS
FEBRUARY 18. 1977

17

_

DISPOSABLE: P E R S O N A L I N C O M E I N C U R R E N T D O L L A R S
C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E _________________________________________________________________
B I L L I O N S OF
T ERM INA L________________________________________________________________________ I N I T I A L QUARTER______________________________________________________________________ DOLLARS
UUARTER
ANNUAL RATES
1-72
2-72

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

1-73

2-73

3-73

* .3

*-7 3

1-7*

2-7*

3-7*

*-7 *

1-75

2-75

3-75

*-7 5

J —7 6

2-76

3-7*

787-0

3-72

ii.2

1 0 .1

*-7 2

lO .f a

1 3 .1

1 6 .2

1-73

1 1 .à

1 3 .7

1 5 .5

1 * .V

2-73

i l . a

1 3 .2

1 * .2

1 3 .3

8 0 6 .2
8 3 7 .0
8 6 * .*
1 1 .7

8 9 0 .9

3-73

n

.4

1 2 .5

1 3 .0

1 2 .0

lO .*

9 .5

*-7 3

11 . 5

1 2 .*

1 2 . fa

1 2 .0

1 1 .1

1 0 .8

1 2 .1

1-7*

1 0 .6

11-2

1 1 .*

1 0 .5

9 .*

fa . 7

8 .3

* .6

1 1 .1

1 0 .3

a .6

6 .9

9 .2

911 . *
9 V Ï- 7
9 *A -*

4

9 .*

a .a

3-7*

1 0 .6

1 1 .1

1 1 .3

1 0 .6

9 .9

9 .5

9 .5

8 .7

1 0 .7

1 2 .3

*-7 *

1 0 .3

1 0 .7

1 0 . fa

1 0 .2

9 .5

9 .1

9 .1

8 .3

9 .6

9 .8

7 .3

1—7 5

9 .7

10-0

1 0 .0

9 .*

a .7

a-3

8 .1

7 .3

a .o

7 .5

5 .2

3 .2

2-75

1 1 .0

1 1 .*

1 1 .5

1 1 .1

1 0 .6

1 0 .5

1 0 .7

1 0 .*

1 1 .6

1 2 .2

12-2

i* - a

2 7 .6

3-75

1 Û .3

1 0 .6

1 0 .6

1 0 .1

9 .7

9 .*

9 .*

9 .1

9 .8

9 .9

9-*

1 0 .1

1 3 .7

1 .2

* —7*»

1 0 .3

1 0 .6

lu .b

1 0 .2

9 .a

9 .6

9 .6

9 .3

1 0 .0

1 0 .1

9 .7

1 0 .2

1 2 .7

5 .9

1 0 .h

1

λ

1 0 .5

1 1 .0

fa

9 * 9 .5
998-0
1 .0 1 5 .8
1 .0 2 3 - 8
1 .0 8 8 - 2
1 *091 - 5
1 .1 1 9 - 9

1-76

1 0 .3

1 0 .6

1 0 .6

lu .2

9 .

9 .6

9 .7

9 .*

1 0 .0

1 0 .1

9 .8

1 0 .3

1 2 .1

7 .3

1 0 .5

1 0 .3

2-7*

10-2

10-5

1 0 .5

10-1

9-7

9-6

9-6

9 .*

9 .« *

1 0 .0

9-*

10-0

1 1 .5

7-7

10-0

9 .6

9 .0

3-7*

1 0 .0

10-2

1 0 .2

9. a

«-5

9 -3

9 .3

V-l

9-%

9 .5

9-2

9 .5

1 0 .6

7-*

9 .0

a .5

7 .6

6 .2

9 .5

9 .2

9 .*

to .*

7-7

9 .1

a .6

8 .1

7 .6

9 .1

*-7*

1-75

2-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

4*—7 *

1 0 .0

1 0 .2

1 0 .2

V .fe

1-72

2-72

3-72

*-7 2

9 .5

1-73

9 .3

2-73

9 .3

9 .1

9 .5

3-73

4-73

1-74

3-7*

2-7*

IN IT IA L

3-75

1 t 1 4 7 .6
1 r 172-5
1 r l 9 0 .2

1 *2 1 6 .5

UUARTER

D IS P O S A B L E PERSO NAL INCOME IN CONSTANT 1972 DOLLARS
___________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T ES OF CHANGE_______________
T ER M IN A L

B I L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

I N I T I A L QUARTER

m u a r t ek

1-72
2-72

3 .6

2—#2

3 -7 2

*-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

* —73

1-74

2-7 4

3 -7 4

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

*- 7 5

1-76

2-76

3 -7 6

790-7

3-72

_ 5 .2

* .7

*-72

7 .5

9 .*

1 2 .2

8 0 3 .7
827-1

1-73

7 .8

9 .3

1 0 .6

9 .0

2 -73

7 .0

7 .a

8 .2

6 .3

3 .6

fi* b - l

3-73

6 .2

6 .8

* .8

5 .L

3 .1

H S P .7
8 58-2

*-73

5 .6

5 .9

5 .8

2 .7

2 .2

1 .8

1 -7*

3 .9

4 .0

3 .5

1 .9

0 .2

—C .9

- 2 .7

- 7 .0

8 * 2 .1

2-7*

3 .2

3 .1

2 .6

1 .1

- 0 .4

- 1 .*

- 2 .7

- 4 .9

- 2 .9

6 4 6 .7
8 *0 .6

3-74

2 .9

2 .8

2 .3

1 .0

- 0 .3

- 1 .0

- 1 .9

- 3 .1

- 1 .2

0 .5

4-7*

2 .3

2 .2

1 .7

0 .*

- 0 .8

- 1 .5

- 2 .3

- 3 .3

- 2 .0

- 1 .6

- 3 .6

1-75

1 .8

1 .7

1 .2

- l.G

- 1 .7

- 2 .4

- 3 .2

- 2 .2

- 2 .0

- 3 .3

- 2 .9

2-75

3 .3

3 .2

2 .9

1 .3

1 .0

0 .8

0 .6

2 .2

3 .5

4 .5

8 .7

2 1 .a

8 4 1 .7
8 3 4 *0
827-9
8 6 9 .7

3-75

2 .*

2 .5

2 .2

1 .3

Û .6

0 .2

- 0 .1

- 0 .3

0 .8

1 .6

1 .8

3 .7

7 .2

-5-7

*-75

2 .7

2 .7

2 .4

1 .6

1 -O

0-7

0 .5

0 .3

1 .4

2 .1

2-4

* .o

*-*

—0-5

*-9

1-76

3 .0

2 .9

2 .6

1 .9

1 .*

1 .2

1 .0

0 .9

2 .0

2 .7

3 .0

* .*

6 .3

1 .6

5 .5

6 .1

2-76

3 .1

3 .0

2 .8

2 .*

5-2

5 .*

* .7

3-76

2 .9

2 .9

2 .6

*- 7 6

2 .9

2 .9

2 .7

2 .1

1-72

2-72

3-7 2

4-72




2 .1

1 .6

1 .5

1 .4

1 .3

1 .6

1 .*

1 .3

1 .7

A.5

1 .5

1-73

2-73

3-73

6 .0

8 * 7 .5
8 8 0 .4
8 9 0 .5

2 .3

2 .9

3 .3

1 .2

2 .1

2 .7

2 .9

3 .9

5 .1

2 .0

* .1

3 .8

2 .7

0 .7

1 .4

2 .2

2 .8

3 .0

3 .9

* .9

2 .3

3 .9

3 .7

2 .9

2 .1

3 .5

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

*-7 *

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

1-76

2-76

3-76

IN IT IA L

* .5

857-1

8 9 2 .0
8 9 9 .6

QUARTER

PR E P A R E D BV F E D ERAL R E S E R V E BANK OF ST.
F E B R U A R Y 18* 1 9 7 7

18

LOUIS

CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAXES *
OF CHANGE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES 1
T ER M IUA L
QUARTER

B I L L I O N S OF
DO LLARS
ANNUAL R ATES

I N I T I A L QUARTER
1-72

2-72

3-72

*- 7 2

1-73

2-72

1 3*?

5-7?

17-7

72-3

4-7?

24-3

3 3 .6

4 *-*

1 -7 *

31-2

3 7 .a

4 6 .2

4 6 .9

2-73

24».3

2 « .a

3 2 .4

2 6 .*

3-7*

1 8 .5

1 9 .6

1 8 .9

11-2

4-73

la .a

1 9 .7

1 9 .2

13-*

4 -0

2-73

3-73

*-73

1-7*

2-74

3-7*

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-7 5

4 -7 5

1-76

2-76

3 -7 6
*2 -3
**-n

60-4
66-*
fl-7

67-9

- 3 - 3 - 1 3 .9

6 *-4

i.a

2 0 .*

68-*

1-74

2 2 .Î

2 3 .6

2 3 .a

1 9 .9

1 4 .0

1 5 .fi

3 * .3

* 9 .9

2-7*

1 7 .a

ia .4

1 7 .a

I3 .a

a .i

8 .Û

1 6 .4

1 * .*

- 1 2 .6

3 -7 4

2 0 .6

21. 5

2 1 .4

ia .3

1 4 .1

1 5 .2

2 3 .9

2 5 .0

1 * .2

4-7*

1 2 .a

12 . a

1 1 .7

a .i

3 .*

2 .6

6 .3

3 .1

- 9 .0

1-75

_ 2 .1

1 .2

- 0 .7

—* - 9

5 .«

S .3

3-fi

Û-*

75-8

- 9 . 9 - 1 2 .3 - 1 2 .0 - 1 7 .3 - 2 8 .8
- 3 .fi

- 5 .2

- 3 .9

73-3
4 9 .1

81 .0
7 0 .6

- 7 .2 - * 2 .3

54*0

—3 3 .5 - 6 5 .6 -65. ifi

- 7 . 4 - 1 6 .0 - 1 6 .8 - 3 1 .5 --25.>3

61 . 0

6 2 .8

3 -7 *

1 0 .6

1 0 .4

9-*

6 .7

a .3

2 .7

5 .0

3 .0

-3 - 3

2t ifi

7 8 .3

9 5 .2

4-7*

10-6

1Û-*

9-6

7-1

4 .0

3 .6

5 .7

4-Ô

-1-3

0-7

-6-9

>0

52-5

*7 -6

11 . 6

1-76

1 2 .0

1 1 .9

1 1 .2

fi - 9

6-2

6 .Û

a. 2

7-0

2-5

4 -9

-1-1

10., 2

47-6

42-8

22-2

- 1 .3 - 1 1 .0

7 2 .1
7 4 .1
33-8

79-7

2 -7 6

1 2 .2

1 2 .1

1 1 .5

9 .*

6 .9

6 .8

8 .9

7-8

3-9

6 .2

1 .2

11«.1

4 0 .6

35-6

20-1

2*-6

1 * -9

3-7*

1 2 .2

1 2 .1

1 1 .*

9 .6

7 .3

7 .2

9 .2

8 .2

* .7

6-9

2-5

11.. 3

3 5 .4

3 0 .5

1 8 -0

2 0 -3

1 4 .0

12-1

4 -7 6

1 2 .0

1 1 .9

1 1 .*

9 .*

7 .*

7 .3

9 .1

a .3

5 .1

7 .0

3 .2

10.*9

3 1 .2

2 6 .6

1 6 .1

1 7 .3

12 .2

1 0 .4

fi.7

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-7 5

1-76

2-76

3 -7 6

82-7
8 5 .1

8 6 . 9P

I N I T I A L QUARTER
*

NATIO NAL

INCOME B A S IS

P - P R E L IM IN A R Y
PREPAREO BY FEOERAL
MARCH 21. 1*TJ

RESERVE

BANK

OF ST.

SOURCES OF DATA
NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS DATA
Source:

1929-45:
1945-72:
1973-76:

U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic
Analysis, Washington, D.C. 20230
Annual data will be published at a later date.
Survey of Current Business, Parts I and II, January 1976.
Survey of Current Business, July 1976.

The survey is available from most district offices of
the Department of Commerce or from the Superintendent of
Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.
20402.




19

LOUIS

IN VEN TO RIE S COMPARED WITH MONTHLY S A L E S *
MANUFACTURING AND TRADE

1963

1964

1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

«RATIOS BASED ON SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA.
SHADED AREAS REPRESENT PERIODS OF BUSINESS RECESSIONS.

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

SOURCEt U.S.DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

LATEST DATA PLOTTEDt JANUARY PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

20