Full text of National Economic Trends : April 1970
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
nftnonflL Economic PREPARED MONTH E N D IN G : BY March 31, 1970 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK t r e iid s OF ST. LOUIS R ELEASED: April 22, 1970 Total spending rose at a reduced 3.5 per cent rate from the fourth quarter of 1969 to the first quarter of 1970 (pages 8 and 9), but price increases accounted for the entire gain. Real product de clined for the second consecutive quarter (pages 8 and 9), falling at a 1 per cent annual rate from the third quarter to the first quarter. Final sales (total spending other than for inventory accumulation) rose at a 5.5 per cent rate over the last two quarters (pages 10 and 11), compared with a 7.2 per cent increase in the previous year. Final sales adjusted for price increases rose at a 0.9 per cent rate from the third to the first quarter, compared with a 2.1 per cent in crease in the previous year. Much of the recent slowdown in economic activity has occurred in consumer durable purchases, housing, inventory accumulation and govern ment spending. Consumer spending other than for durable goods remained relatively strong in the most recent two-quarter period, rising at an 8.7 per cent rate, compared with a 7.9 per cent increase in the previous year. Spending on consumer durables did not rise from the third to the first quarter in dollar values and declined in real terms. Automobile sales were particularly sluggish over the period. Nonresidential fixed investment (which includes spending on producers' durable equipment and structures) rose at a 6.4 per cent rate from the third to the first quar ter, while spending on residential structures declined at an 8.1 per cent rate. Government spending rose at a reduced 1.7 per cent rate over the most recent two-quarter period, compared with a 7.2 per cent increase in the previous year. A decline in the change in business inventories during the last two quarters of $7.8 billion, compared with an increase of $25.5 billion in final sales over the same period, indicates the significant contribution of the inventory factor to the overall economic slowdown. Industrial production rose slightly in March (pages 4 and 5), but was down at a 4 per cent annual rate from August. Payroll employment rose at a 1.3 per cent rate from August to March (pages 2 and 3), after increasing 3.5 per cent in the previous year. Personal income increased at a 5.7 per cent rate from August to March (pages 6 and 7), compared with an 8.8 per cent rise in the previous year. Prices rose at a 5 per cent rate from the fourth quarter of 1969 to the first quarter of 1970 (page 15), little changed from the 5.1 per cent increase in the previous year. Wholesale prices of industrial commodities increased at a 4.6 per cent rate from August to March (pages 13 and 14), compared with a 3.6 per cent rise in the previous year. 2 TOTAt C IVILIA N IN IT IA L TERM INAL EMPLO YM ENT THOUSANDS M ON TH OF M ONT H 8- 6R 0 -6 R 10-68 11-68 17-68 1 -69 2-60 3-60 4 -69 5-69 7-69 6 -69 8-69 9 -69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1-70 PERSONS 2 -70 1 .4 7 6 .0 6 5 10- 6 * 1 . *» 1.2 7 6 .1 4 3 11-68 2 .2 2 .7 17-68 2 .R 3.* 4 .3 4 .5 1-60 3 .5 4. 1 5 .0 5 .5 6 .4 7-69 4- 1 4 .7 5 .5 6 .0 6 .8 7 .1 9 -6 R 7 6 .4 0 0 4 . 1 « 6 ftl 76 7 7 .0 8 1 7 7 .5 2 4 7 7 .6 5 0 3-69 3 .8 4 .? 4 .8 5 .0 5.1 4 .5 7 .0 4 -69 3 .2 3 .5 3 .8 3 .8 3 .6 2 .7 0.5 -O .o 5-69 2 .4 7 .5 2 .7 7 .4 2 .0 0 .9 - 1 .0 - 2 .5 - 4 .1 6-69 2 .8 7 .9 3 .9 3 .0 7 .8 7.1 0 .8 0 .5 1.7 fe.a.1 7-69 2. « 3 .0 ■* .1 1 .0 7 .8 2 .7 1 .1 1. 1 1 .8 4 .8 7 7 . 5 B9 7 7 .3 7 1 . __ 7 7 .7 4 1 1 .0 7 7 .9 3 1 R- 6 0 2 .R 3 .0 1 .7 1 .1 2 .9 2 .4 1 .6 1.5 2 .2 4 .3 3 .1 O -f e q 2.7 2 .8 7 .0 7 . R 2 .6 7 .7 1 .5 1 .4 1.9 3 *.4 . 2 .4 78 • 142 3 .3 7 8 .1 9 4 0 .8 .. 7 8 .4 4 5 10-69 ?. R 2 .9 3 .0 2 .9 7 .8 2 .4 1 .8 1. 8 2 .2 3 .5 2 .7 7 .7 2 .3 3 .9 1 1-69 7-7 7 . R 2 .9 7 .8 2 .6 2 .1 1 .7 1 .7 2.1 1.1 2 .4 2 .3 2 .0 2 .6 1.3 17-69 7 .7 2 .8 2 .9 7 .8 7 .7 2 .1 1 .9 1 .9 2 .2 1. ’ 2 _ « 6 . _ _ . 2 a.5 _ ____2 . 1 2 .8 2 .3 3 .2 3 .4 2 .9 2 .9 2 .8 3 .3 3 .1 4^0 4 .7 1 .9 2 .6 7.1 2 .0 1 .7 1 .9 1 .4 1 .5 0 .6 - 1 .1 --- 2 m.8_____ 2 m A . .......2 . 3 2 .1 7 .4 7.1 2 .7 1 .9 0 .5 4-5 7-69 8-69 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1 -70 2-70 1-70 2 .R 2 .9 1.0 1 .0 ? .* 2 .5 2 .1 2 .2 7-70 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .5 2 .4 2 .1 1^7 1 .6 1 -7 0 7-6 2 .7 2 .7 ? - 7 ? -S 2 .1 1 .9 1 . 9 ____ 10-68 11-68 1-69 2-69 8-63 9- 6 R 17-68 1-69 4-69 . 5- 6 Q IN ITIAL 6 -69 7 8 .5 2 1 7 8 f 717 PAYROLL TE RM TNA t 7 8 .8 7 7 F*®LOYMFNT A NNUAL RATES IN IT IA L OF RESERVE B A NK OF MO NT H O -^q 10-68 9-6 R 1 .9 T C 3 .0 4 .2 3 .4 4 .2 4 .2 11 1 - 6 8 1L2 - 6 8 1-69 2-60 3 -60 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1-70 6 8 .1 9 5 6 8 .6 6 4 3 .5 4 .0 4 .0 3 .8 1-69 '♦ .0 4 .5 4 .6 4 .8 6 8 .8 7 5 5 .8 6 9 .1 9 9 2 —6 9 4 .2 4 .6 4 .7 4 .9 5 .5 *%. 1 3-69 4 .1 4 .5 4 .6 4 .6 4 .9 4 .5 3 .9 4-69 3. R 4. " 4 .0 4 .0 4 .0 3 .5 2 .6 5 -69 3 .R 4 .0 4 .n 4 .0 4 -ft l.A 1.1 6-69 3 .9 4. 1 4 .1 4. 1 4 .7 1 .9 1 .6 7-69 1 .5 3. 6 3.6 1 .5 3 .4 3.1 7 .6 R—6 9 1 .5 3-7 1.6 3 .6 1 .6 1 .7 7 .9 6 9 .4 8 7 6 9 .7 1 0 4 Q . 7 ft4 1 .4 1 .9 1 .4 ft.O il 7 7 0 t 100 4 .5 5 .0 2 .1 2 .7 7 .0 - 0 .9 7 .7 1.1 2 .8 1 .7 7 0 .7 4 7 4 .4 f l . Sftft 7 3. 1 3 .2 3.1 3 .0 .2 . 9 7 .6 7 .2 7 .0 2 .1 1 .6 0 .5 1.7 - 1 .9 10-69 3 .2 3 .3 3 .3 3 .2 3 .1 7 .8 7 .5 2 .3 2 .5 2 .2 1.5 7 .3 1 .3 4 .5 11-69 3 .0 3.1 3 .0 7 .9 7 .8 7 .5 7 .7 7 .0 2.1 1.8 1.1 1.7 ft.8 7.1 17-69 2 .3 2 .0 2 .8 2 .7 7 .6 7 .1 7.1 1 .9 1 .9 1 .6 1.1 1 .5 0 .8 1 .7 0 .7 0.8 1-70 2. R 2 .9 2 .8 2 .7 2 .6 2 .3 2.1 1 .9 2 .0 1 .7 1.3 1.6 1.1 l.§ 0 .9 1 .6 7 .4 7 —7 0 2 .8 2 .9 2 .8 2 .7 2 .6 7 .4 2 .7 7 .0 7.1 1 .9 1 .5 1 .8 1 .4 7 .1 1 .4 7 .0 7.7 i.ft ■*-70 2 .7 2 .8 7 .7 2 .6 7 .5 2 .1 7.1 1 .9 1.9 1 .8 1 .4 1 m1 _ _ 1 .1 1 .8 1 .1 1 .7 7 .0 r.a ft.7 9- 6 R 1 0 - 6 8 11-68 12-68 l r 69 2-69 3 -69 4-69 5-69 8-69 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1-70 7-70 IN ITIA L P - PERSONS 2-70 6 8 .4 2 7 12-68 R -6R LO UIS THOUSANDS OF 8 —6 8 9 -69 ST. ' CHANGE M O N TH 11- 6 R 7 9 f 112 MONTH P R E P A R E D BY F E D E R A L A P R 11 11. 1970 COMPOUN DED 7 9 ,0 4 1 6 -69 7 -69 7 0 .1 9 0 7 0 .6 5 1 -ft. 1 7 ft.4 1 « 70 f 679 7 0 t 818 70. 990» 71 . 0 1 1 » MONTH PR ELIM INARY P*E*A*eO BY FEOERAL RCSERVf BANK OF S T . L O U IS _ 3 Em ploym ent Ratio S c a l e Ratio S c a l e Source: U.S. D e p artm e n to f Labor Percentages are annual rates of change (or periods indicated. Latest d a ta plotted: March preliminary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION TTm raW Ö E B ANNUAL RATÉS OP CHANGÉ TFÖMTMAL MONTH "TT-A'ÏÏ.. 9 - M " t ü=wr T ï - W I N I t i AL M Ö N T H 1957-59 ____________________________________________________________________________ 1 2 - AS.. T - T T ..■ T = C T " 3 - A V 4 - A 9 H = C T ” A - « 9 7 - C T ■ | - W " 9 - ATT 1Ö- A9 T 1 - A 9 n - w - " T - T T T ....7 - 7 0 ....... 165.9 A. O 4.4 2.9 1A6.3 lA7:i l i— A•f /. Y rrrr 12- 6R A. 7 6.9 9 . ft 6.6 “5. 9 168 . 7 16 9 . 1 6.9 4.7 2.9 T - W A •I S. ? .....7. Ö" 5. A !L 1 773“ ■... T - A ‘<r A. A A. 7 7.5 6.6 A. A Ô. 4 9.6 A. 1 ATI 6.A “ *77" 5.4 A.3 5.8 ¿.1 A. Ö A. Ö 6. 5 — 57T 5.5 A . S! 5« é 3.** 6 .r 6.7 A.t A.o A.7 6. 3 6. t 6.1 6. 1 6.6 Î-A9 ' 6-69 “5 7 T " 7- ft TT 9-69 nr-69 'ir-s'9""' t 2-69 •si 1 a 1- 7Ó ~ -f Q 6.5 TTr74 171.7 3.7 IT27T " ' 57 '5.. ' 7 . 2 é.7 $.7 6.9 7.5 6.4 173.7 174.6 5 .A 5. 5 578" ' 5 7 T ......^ TV" .... 573“ ÿ.ô 4.1 4.6 4.2 T . r -2.Ö 114.3 4.9 4.8 5.0 4.4 4.1 4.3 3.$ 2.9 3.1 2.$ 0.5 -¿.4 173.9 4. 1 4 . ft 4.1 3. 5 3.1 3 . 2 _ "?77“ 1.7 1.6 0.8 -t.ô -3.4 *5.n 2 . ft 2.8 3.1 1. V I ' -0".T" - 1 . 3 ?.î >.*5 ..... t .5~ 1.8 1.4 1.3 2.2 ""T'.T" I.Ö ô.ô Ô. 7 -0.2 -0.5 -3*1 -5*4 -1.4 -3.0 -4.7 -5.4 17 3. 1 -ë.3 -11.2 -6.3 -6.7 -2.1 -4.1 171.4 1 7 1. 1 1.9 1.4 1.2 o. ê Ò.7 -^.8 -1.2 -2.0 -3.4 -5.0 -5.6 -6.2 -6.5 1 #T l •A " 170 d.A r i . 4 "-7T77“ - I . Ö -1.3 - 2 .1 —3 . 3 -4'.7 -5.1 -5. A *4» 6 ' -1 7 7 ” ■ - 4 . 5 .. - 2 . è 1.6 1. 1 Ò. 7 0.6 Ò. 1 -Ò.7 -1.0 -1.6 -¿.7 -3.8 -4.0 -4.2 -4.0 -2.1 -2.1 10 -6 8 1 1 - 6 8 1 2 - 6 8 1-69 2-69 3-69 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1 . 0 .... 177" «-69 .. -5.4 9-68 Ò. 1 -6.1 170. 2 tA4.4<> 0.0 2.9 1 7 0 . 2P 1 O "4-69 ....5- A T l7b.t IM a* 1 - 0 io - IOÔ INITIAL MONTH P - PR F LI NT N AP y PREPARED w i t BY F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF ST. L O U I S u t ô-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ratio Scale Industrial Production Ratio Scale Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. Latest data plotted: M a rch prelim inary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 R E TA IL SALES "OMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE “ TERMINAL MONTH ....T - W MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I N I T I A L MONTH B-6H Jl-M I Z - 6R 7-69 1- 6 9 3 -6 9 4-69 0 -6 9 5-69 7 -6 9 8 -6 9 9^69" l b - 6 9 "TT-"ft!9" 1 2 - 6 9 i-ro Z8* 725 9-6»! -7 .2 ï fl—68 U. i 11“ hö 1 — l . *> i-èw m - I.y " 2k . 8 it.9 0. 9 3 1. ^ 4. h 6 .w 5.3 £.9 4 .4 **.l 3 .t *■-69 .^,6 *>-»^ ^.t ^ “ 69 i !.** "*lU-69 I ....77T~ 1 .4 " 1. f ♦.3 3 . 4 ..... 2.0" 1. f 4.1 ?.9 2.7 3.4 £.3 ^.6 1.9 ...... l'T* ¿.6 2 .4 2 8 ,9 *5 29 ,2 57 1Ï.3 -1 .5 -1 4 .4 6. 0 ib .i 6.* ¿8 ,8 8 1 t c 2 9 ,4 0 9 ;3 8.0 4.5 1.8 11 .0 -Ö .9 6 .5 1.5 I.? 7.0 -0 .8 ■■""3.8 0.9 — 1.4 2 .2 —4 . ^ 2 9 , 3Ö6 29,3 71 -0 .6 -T B .T ^ ,0 9 0 0.6 3.9 -0 .6 -0 .5 -Ö .5 " i i ; I ' 3.7 1. 6 0.0 Z. 6 - 1.2 -1 .3 -1 .5 .... 4 . 9 3. 1 1.9 4.4 1 .4 1 .*» îï. 9 2. I 1.0 3. 1 0 .4 0. 7 4 . t ..... 2 . 3 ' -3 .5 ” £. 6 r . 1* 5. f 15."9' Z9,ZS 9 0.6 O.H 4.0 1.7 .4 . 4 " -5 .9 2.7 ¿ 9 , 62Ö ? 9 ,4 U 7.5 O .l 0.2 0.^5 ...ff. T z.2 -4 .0 "-7 71 “ 0.7 0 .9 " i":?' i#S 3. è -u . r ..7.TT" 6«3 *.1 2.3 4 .0 ? •2 2.5 2 . 9 .... 5 . T 4.1 5.7 3.3 6.5 ll.Z 16 .z 1- 6 9 2-6 9 3-69 4-69 5-69 9 - 6 9 10—69 1 1 -6 9 1 2 - 6 9 1-70 Z.3 Z. I 1 .7 j.C '2 .T d •^ i 2.M 2.H 4.1 3.3 7- 6 3 »-6 8 9 - 6 « 1 0 -6 8 11 -6 8 12 -6 8 29 ,3 4 6 ^ .5 1. 2 .... 2'. 9 3.Z ¿* i " 1-MJ 2 - ?H 1.2 ?.. f 1 T.'*" “ """4."1 ..... 3 ."3" ..... 4.2 2.2 12 -69 ¿ 8 ,4 6 3 *.3 1• * 1*6 *4#2 - I Z . l V * ...... 471" ■... 1 . 9 ■*— v- &<* 2B •Ö55 28,771" 4.^ 8.4 ~377" '-■»V iu ./ Z#^ *« r 7»R 28,Z86 i '• + 0.6 17-69 - -1 6 .9 6-69 7-69 8 -6 9 2 9 ,4 19 29,570P .... 2 9 ,^ 4Z P I N I T I A L MONTH P - PRgt IMfNAQY__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ . PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ I p H|i ,|6>...W f p ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PERSONAL INCOME ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL RAT ES OP CHANGC------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------B I LL IO N S OF T ERMI NAL--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I N I T I AL MONT H--------------------------------------------------------------------------------:-------------------------------------------- DOLLARS-------MONTH ANNUAL RATES ■■9=*'g"lü-M n - & T T T - * R 7 -6 9 4 -6 4 T = * T " ”3 -6 9 4 - S 9 “ " T = R 9 “ 5 = 5 9 T ’ ... r=* v “ 8 T - T 9 i q - 6 y T T - 1 >9 " 1 7 - 6 9 1 -7 0 2- W “ 9 -^ 8 701.1 9 .0 9 . 1 .... 9 ./? 1 l-S H f YÖ6 .2 9 .4 M l.!> 7.9 1 7 1 6 .0 t-4 9 >.t t .3 6 . 2 4 .6 Z -*> 9 8.0 7. 7 7.Z 6 .8 « * .0 8. 7 8 .6 8 .5 8 .3 8 .5 tO.4 4 -6 9 8. 6 8.^ 8.4 8 .2 8 .3 9 .6 9 .8 7 .8 5 —6^ « • •» 8. 4 8.3 8.2 8.2 9.Z 9.2 + 8.5 8.é 9.4 8. 5 8.6 9.3 6-A9 7 —6 Q 8. 7 8.7 8. 6 7 1 8 .7 7^*. 9 T T Ö .T 1 1 .«» 9.4 .9 8.7 ..7 Î 5 . 3 .. .... 7 . 9 “T 4 Ö . 0 9.1 10.4 9.1 9.6 8.9 751.4 8-6^ 8.«* 8.8 8. 8 8.7 8.8 4-.T ' 9.è 9.^ \ 6 Z2 P-A9 8.5 8. 5 8.4 8.4 8.4 8. 9 8.9 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.1 t.t S .2 10-69 8.1 8.^ 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.4 8.4 7 . 5“ t . t .2 6 •T ^.0 " 11 -<59 **.l 8.i 8.d 7. 9 7.9 4.2 ' 12-S 5 7.9 7 .9 7.8 7. 6 7 .6 7.9 1-T 0 7.8 7.A 7.Y 7.5 7.5 7-Tf) Ÿ .7 7.7 7.^ 7 .5 3-T0 7.7 7.4 8- 6 8 9.Ô 746.1 ” T5 7 75” 763.7 9 7.9 V .7 7.6 7.6 1 .1 6.6 5 .4 t.8 7.3. 7.3 7.2 6.7 6.2 5.3 5.3 5.5 4.8 7.8 7. 6 ' ' 7 7 7 ... "7 . ? 7.1 6.6 6.2 5.* 5.5 5 • !! 5.3 "V. 4 7 .7 7.5 ..." " T I T 1" 7 .1 Y .6 ¿ . i 6 .^ 5.6 ......Ç ' . T T IT •S. 8 7.4 7.6 7: t ' Y.l 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.3 5.7 ^.8 6.0 6.0 9-68 10-68 11-68 12-68 1-69 3-69 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 2-69 4. 8 ■” t ." 767.6 :t 770.6 6 .2 ” t ; 5 ” 774.5 ... T7ifr;5^....... ¿ .4 6.4 6.4 6.5 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1-70 2-70 7 8 2 . 6P I N I T I A L MONTH P - PREIfMI NARY ' t60.7 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS m il i*> t o ---------------------- 7 Retail Sales Rafie Scale Ratio Scale Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. lerivstdeta plottodt February preliminary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Personal Income 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Source: U.S. Deportment of Commerce Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. Latest data plotted: March preliminary Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 GROSS NATI ONAL PRODUCT I N CURRENT DOLLARS ” ■ "CHMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE INITIAL INAL QUARTER 1 —66 3—66 4-66 1-6 2 -6 r r 3-6 f 4-6 r 2 - 6 8 ... •§—6to 1—60 4 —6 u l-6y 7 - 6 V ” ■3= 5 9 — 4—69 691. I 710.0 Tft.4~_ 11.4 l 1.4 10.H TT74 r t v .o 2-66 I T T. T IÒ.2 0.6 7.8 3-66 0.4 9.4 8.7 7.4 743. 3 _ 7.0 0.2 0. t 8.5 7.6 7.5 8.1 l-At 8.1 7.0 7.2 6.1 5.6 4.0 1. 8 7.7 7.4 6.8 5 . 0 ... 5.4 4.0 3.3 4.0 3—6? 7.8 7.6 7.1 6.4 6. 1 5.9 S.2 6. 9" 8.0 4-67 7.8 7.7 7.2 6.6 6.4 “ 6T3‘ 5.0 7.3 8.5 8.1 1-68 8.0 7.9 2-68 8.3 “ 572” _ 7VT 774 .2 78 3 . 5 HOu. 4 816.1 9.7 7.0 6.0 6.0 6.7 7.0 8.0 ¥.0' 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.6 f. 5 8.6 0.6 0.8 in. t 11 . / 835.3 .................. 3-68 "T;!- 8.2 8. ft.. 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.6 8.6 0.4 0. 5 ift.o 10 . 1 " 8.5' 4-68 8.3 8. 2 7.0 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.6 8.5 0.1 0. 1 9.4 0.2 8.0 7.6 1-69 8.2 ft. 1 7.9 7. 6 7.6 7.6 7.6 s •^ 8.8 8.8 0.0 8.8 ^. 8 7. 5 2- 60 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.6 ... T 7 & " 7.6 8. ¿T ~8V6 8.6 8.7 8. 5" 7.7 T 74 7.4 7.3 77 ? 7.6 7. 6 7.6 7.6 8.2 ~5T6" '8. 5" 8.6 8.4 y. 8 7.6 7.6 7. 6 8.0 “3 - 6 0 ..... 8.2 ... 8 7 T ' T557T ................7 ru •.7 4—6 6 _ ' 1-66 B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES 0.4 1-65" " .... 4-6*5 4-6*> c c 1 4-6*> 2- 65 QUARTER 4-69 7.9 f •& r. 6 p-Ç- f. 5 f.4 /. 3 .... 775 "'”5 7 r . 8.0 1- 70 7.7 7.6 7.4 T.l 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.6 2-65 3-65 4-65 1-66 2-66 3-66 4-66 1-67 2-67 3- 67 INITIAL 1h ; u ' ì 775.... '"7". 2' 4- 67 1-68 »! >a. f 876.4 7T92. 5 9 UB. / .' 7 7 5 .... -974V8 ...... . " 942T8 ” f. 1 6.9 6. ' 6.4 6.0 4 . Ö ............ 6.6 6. 3 6.0 5. 7 5.2 3.8 3.5 2- 68 3-68 4-68 1-69 2-60 3-60 4-69 952 . 2 " ... .... 960.4P QUARTE* P - PRELI MI NARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . APK1L 161 IV fU ___ .... L OUI S GROSS NATI ONAL PRODUCT IN CONSTANT 1058 DOLLARS CDM^auNDEfr An n u a l KATES O’* CHANGE INITIAL TERMI NAL QUARTER 2-65 " 1 - S 5 .. 4-65 3-65 4 - 6 1) 1- 6 6 ¿ —66 3—66 4-66 1- 6 r 2-6 f QUARTFR 3-6 f ..... .. 4 - 6 ! ” T = 6H (if—ÖÖ 4- 6w 4-68 T75” ." " ' I T T ' t.o *.9 3.7 ■*—66 6. 5 6.1 5.0 3.4 4 —66 6.2 5. a 4 . 9 ... "779" 4.0 1 —57 5.2 4. 7 3.7 2.7 2.3 1.9 -1.0 8. 1 64V. I ' ............ ... ~ 6 5 3 TO.............. 3.2 660.2 668. 1 666.5 ?- 67 4.8 4.3 3.5 2.6 2.4 2.1 Ö.7 3—6 7 4. 8 4.4 3.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2 . d .... 3'."5 4.^ 4-67 4.6 4.2 *5•6 3.0 2.0 2.8 2.3 3.4 3.9 3.3 1-68 4. ? 4.4 3.0 T.T 3.3 3.3 3.0 4. 4.6 4.6 5.9 2-68 •>.0 ■ *77. 4 . 7 ...... T."8" 3.8 3.0 3. t 4. t *.3 !>. 5 6.6 r. 3-6« 4.9 4. 6 4.2 3.8 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.0 5. 1 5.8 5.7 3 •6 2.4 ft 670.5 ’" 5 7 8 . 0 “ 4 ............... 4.0 ............ 4. 8 4. 5 4 . 1 ......3 . 8 3.8 3.8 3.7 4.4 4.7 4.8 5.1 4.9 3.6 3.2 1-69 4.6 4.4 4.Ö 3.7 377" 3.6 "477" 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.3 3.3 2 . 9 ...... 2 . 6 3.7 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.0 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.0 2.6 Z.3 2.0 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.0 3.6 2.8 2.5 77T 2.1 1.6 ì.£ T ;t j 4-69 4.Ö 3.8 3.5 T. 2 3.1 3.1 3. 0 i.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 4.0 ¿.4 1-70 1.7 3.5 3.2 2.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.0 3.0 2.8 Z. 8 2.4 177 1.3 2-65 3-65 4-65 1-66 2-66 3-66 4-66 1-67 2-67 3-67 4-67 1-68 2- 68 3-68 ......... r r .T -0.4 0 . 9 ■' ‘ U 7 5 0.0 -1.0 -1.6 1-69 2-69 3-69 4-69 4-68 ’ 718.5 " 7r? 12 Ì . I - 776.7 7 ^ 0 . 6 ---------72*7.8------/ ¿ 6. 9H QUARTER P - PRELI MI NARY .....- '71?. 8 ” 4. 2 .... .......7 0 5 . 8 " --------- 4.1 INITIAL 683.5 " 693 . 3 4-68 4. 5 ...... S 2 7 . S - ........ 636.6 t.3 .....4 . 3 4— ' .......... 9.4 1- 6 6 2-69 3-69 8.2 8.8 2—66 3-69 1-69 B I L L I O N S OF TTOLLARS ANNUAL RATES PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . L OUI S AFw i L l b , m y u --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 Demand and Production Ratio Seal« Trillions of Dollars Quarterly Totals at Annual Rates Seasonally Adjusted U .G N P in current dollars. 12GNP in 1958 dollars. Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. Ratio Seal« Trillions of Dollars Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Latest data plotted: Istquarter prelim inary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10 FI NAL SALES I N CURRENT DOLLARS COHPHONDEO 1 a n n o t i : W 1 T R UF CHANGE TERMINAL QUAPTPP BI L L IO N S OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES 4-é V " I N I T I A L QUARTER ¿-65 3—63 4-6 V I —ft® z-6o ¿- Of» ob 1- 6 r.. Z - 6 f 3-a r 4-6 r ÿ—b i t - o v ” 7-69 3— 6a 3-69 9.5 éi2 . 1 4—65 io . 3 II. 1 l-o o IM.4 10. V ....... 7 0 0 .3 U ). o 66 9 .0 8.9 '.8 5.1 3-6 6 9. ? 9.1 «.4 ...771 9.6 4 -ft 6 >1. ? b«o 7 .? 6 .1 0*6 1-6 7 8.2 8.0 7 .3 6.5 t.o 5.8 ■7.9 Z-67 8.2 8.0 7 .5 6.8 7.3 6.5 8 .0 8.1 J^ - o If "T.Ü f • ÎJ F.3' " 6.8 771'.. 6. ! ) 7.5 f. 1 6.^ 4-6 Ÿ 7.9 7. 7 6.9 7.2 6.7 7.4 7.3 6.9 7.3 1-6« 8.5 8.4 8.1 7 .7 8. 1 7.9 8 .7 8.9 9.2 IÔ .6 14.1 ?-&« 9.4 8 •^ 8.b "7": 7 8.0 7.8 8.5 8.6 8.8 9.6 10.7 "7.5 W4i«ii 3-68 9.Ö 9 .7 id .5 to•71 10.0 •49 .2 “T .3 7Ü7« 1 7 4 4 .Ö " 3.7 750 . è 7 4 S .2 7 Ì0.Z 8. ^ 8 •^ A .z 7.9 8 .3 8.1 8 .7 8.9 4-68 8 . -J 8. 2 8.0 ' '7 . 8 8 .0 7.9 8.4 8.5 8.5 i-oM 8. «► 4. 3 H. 1 f .9 8. 2 8.0 8. 5 8.6 8.6 8. 2 8. 0 7.8 8.1 7.9 8 .4 8.4 3-6 9 8.Z 8« 1 7.9 7. 7 7.9 7.8 8. Z 8.? 4 -0 9 » .o (J /. 8 '. b r .8 r.6 8. 0 1 —7 c* 7.9 7.8 7.6 T .5 7.6 7.5 2 - 65 3- 6 5 4- 6 5 1- 66 2- 66 3- 6 6 2- 6 9 1^2.4 9 04 *1 8 . 9 ......9 . 3 1 * 3 .4 7 .8 8.Ö 119. n 9.4 8.2 8 .S — 7#7 *9.4 8.5 8. 7 9.0 8.0 8. 1 8.3 7.2 8.? 0.4 8.6 7.7 7.8 " “ 7.2 7 .6 6.7 8. rJ ^.9 " 18.1 8. Z 7. 4 r.4 6.9 7. l ^•3 ..... 5 . 9 5 : b ........ ............... " w ; * 7 .8 7.8 7.7 7.9 7.9 7 .2 7 .1 6.7 6.8 6. 1 5. 8 5.5 5.6 4- 6 6 1- 6 7 2- 6 7 3-67 4-67 1- 68 2- 68 3-68 4-68 1- 6 9 2- 6 9 3-69 4-69 6.0 7. 5 912.0 ..................— 6.3 f e r i v i ”— .......... ♦ i i .0 ......... 9S7 . 5P I N I T I A L OUARTF» P - PRELIMINARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUI S A M i l 16» IV f ö FI NAL SALES IN CONSTANT 1958 DOLLARS COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES 1DF CHANGE ■*-6 * 4-é$" ' 1 -66 2-44 8. 1 4 - 65 8.5 9.0 1- 66 Ô.I A. l ... T . 3 2- 66 6.2 5.6 4.0 0.« 3- 66 6.2 5.7 4.7 3.4 6. 1 4—66 5. 2 4. 6 3. ^ 2. 3 3. 1 1- 67 5.2 4.7 3. 9 3. 1 2-67 5. 3 4.9 4. 2 3.6 3- 67 4.9 4.5 3.9 3.3 4-67 4.7 4.3 3.7 1- 68 5. 2 4.9 2- 64 5.0 4.7 5.0 1 3- 6 6 4- 6 6 1-47 2 - 6" 3-67 4-67 T-4A Z-68 3-68 4-68 1- 64 2- 64 3-6 9 4 - 69 6 1 4 .0 3- 65 9* 00 ¿-65 jj BI L L I ONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL RATES I N I T I A L QUARTER TFRMINAL QUARTFP 4 2 7 .3 8.4 639.6 4 4 9 .1 Ô .2 649.* 3.9 2. 8 6 ^8 .0 4.3 3.8 5. 6 5.8 3.4 3. 3 4.4 3.4 2.0 3.2 3.6 3. 2 3.9 3.4 2. 2 2.5 4.4 4. 1 4. 6 4. 3 5. 2 5. 1 4.0 6.4 10. 5 4.3 4.0 4.4 4.t 4 . 8 ......4": 7“ 4.4 5.Z 6 .6 2.9 4.8 4.4 4. 1 4.5 4.3 4.9 4.6 5.3 6« 1 4.2 "57T 3 .5 5. 3 4.8 467.4 4to.7 6 7 4 .8 "4 9 1 . 8 6^6. É 7 0 6 .3 4-6« 4.« 4.5 4.2 3.9 4.2 4.0 4.5 4.4 4. 1 4.5 5. 1 3.3 1- 60 4.A 4.5 4.2 4. 0 4 .’ 4 .1 4.5 4.4 4.2 4 .4 5. 0 3.7 3.9 2- 69 4.6 4.4 4.0 3. 8 4. 1 3.9 4.2 4. 1 3.9 4.2 4 . 5 ....f . 3 3.4 2.7 3.3 z.o 3- 6 9 4. 3 4. 1 3. 8 3. 5 3.A 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 2.8 2 .1 "2.3 1. 1 ' G. 3 ------T : 5 ■ 2.8 1.5 7 0 9 .0 ” 371.. T . 7 Vi 7. Z 72 0 .7 7 2 1 .3 4-69 4. Z 3.9 3. 6 3.4 3. A 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.4 Z. & 2 .5 ......i : 9 ?:o 1.1 0. f l •ò 1- 70 4. 0 3.7 3.4 3. 2 3.4 3. 2 3.4 3 . 3 “ .... 3 . fi 3.1 3 .2 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.7 l.o 0.7 0.9 2 - 65 3- 65 4-65 1- 66 2-66 3-66 4-66 3-67 4-67 1-6 8 2-68 3 -6 8 4-6 8 1-69 2- 6 9 3-69 1-67 2 -6 7 TS7 T ~ .... 7 2 4 . 4F 4- 6 9 I N I T I A L 1QUARTER P - PRFLIMTNARY PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVF BANK OF ST* LOUIS iwti-igr’ iTyq---------------------- 11 Final Sales Total Spending Less Changes in Business Inventories Ratio Scale Quarterly Totals at Annual Rates Ratio Scale Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. Latest d a ta plotted: Istq u a rte r p relim inary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 CONSUMER PRICE INOEX * ___________________________________________________________________ r.nMpmiNnpn a n n iia i r a t e s o f CHANGE--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------.lE P q iM A l_____________________________________________________________________ T M IT f AL MONTH----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1 9 g ? -? 9 __?_1Q0, MHNTH 8-68 9 - 6 8 i o - a a 1 1 -6 8 1 2 - 6 S__ 1 -69 -.2 -6 9 ...3-&9.... 4-6 9 ___ 5 -69 6 -6 9 7r:M — 8 -6 9 9 - 6 9 I Q - 6 ? 11-69 12-69 l r l f l . .. .fraUL 12 2 .2 9- ^3 **. 0 1 o-<>« S.T 7. 1 11 - *R 5.0 6.0 5.0 l?-*8 4.5 5.0 4.0 ’ .0 122.9 123.4 123.7 124.1 l-f>9 4.4 4.7 4.0 ?-5 4.0 2-A9 4.5 4.8 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.9 3-69 5.3 5.6 5.4 5.4 6.3 7.5 10.1 4-69 *5.6 6.0 5.8 5.9 6.7 7.6 9.0 _ 5-49 5.4 •>. 5. «; 5.6 6. 1 6.7 7.3 5.9 3.9 6- 6 Q 5.6 5 . 9 ..... 5 . 8 5.9 6.4 6.9 7.4 6.5 5.8 . 7-69 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.9 6.3 6.7 7.1 6.3 5.8 6.8 5.8 A - AQ 5.A 5.8 5.7 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.7 6.0 5.6 6.1 5.3 4.8 Q-AQ 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.8 6. 1 6.4 6.6 6.0 5.6 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.7 10 - 6 9 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.? 6.3 5.8 5.5 5.8 5.3 5.1 5.2 4.7 1 1- A 9 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.5 5.5 5*7 5.7 6.7 12-69 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.5 6. 1 5.9 6.2 5.9 5.9 6 .2 6.3 7.1 7.6 1- 7 0 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.0 5.7 6.0 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.1 4.7 *>-70 *.7 5.0 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.0 5.8 6.0 5.8 5.8 6 .0 6 .0 6.4 6.3 5.6 6 .6 ■»-70 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.** 6.4 6.1 5.9 6.1 5.9 5.9 6 .1 6.1 6.4 6 . 3 5 . 9 6.5 6.5 8-68 0-68 10 - 68 2- 69 3-69 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 1-70 2-70 7 11 - 6 8 1 2 - 6 8 1-60 124.6 125.6 126.4 7.9 126.8 127.6 7.8 128.2 128.7 129.3 129.8 9- 69 10-69 130.5 131.3 11-69 12-69 131.8 132.5 133.2 INITIAL MONTH — NH1_S.EA SON A LL Y..A.!) J U S T£ P .. W H O L E S A L E PRICES« C O M P O U N D E D ANNUAL I N I T ? AL M O N T H O-Aft 1 0 - 6 8 9-68 4.5 io- 6 a 2.2 0 .0 11-6 8 3.4 2.8 11-6 8 12-6 8 1-69 2-69 3-69 4-69 5-40 1 9 5 7 - 5 9 » 100 6-69 7-69 8-69 9 - 6 9 lft-69 1 1 - 6 9 12-69 1— 7 0 2-70 109. .1 109. 1 5.* 1 0 9 . ,6 1 0 9 . .A 1 2 —68 3.1 7.6 3.9 2 .2 1-A9 4.5 4.5 A -0 A.2 in.^ 2-A9 4.5 4. 5 5 _A *5-A 7.* 4.4 V-A9 4.8 4.8 5.8 5.9 7. 1 5.5 A.7 4-6 9 4.4 4.4 5.2 5.1 5.8 4 t4 4.4 2 -2 5-AO 5.1 5. 1 _.... 5.9__ 5.0 A.7 5. A A.* A. | A-A 9 5,0 5,0 5,7 7-AO 4 tA 4 TA «-AO A. A 4.« 5,7 ■5 ^ 6*3 5*1 4.7 _ 4.4 «.n lift. 1 1 1 ..1 n i ' ,9 in. j 1 1 2 ..fl....... 5** 5*8 •5t «5 7.2 4.3 4*8 4 .8 4*4 5.1 2.7 1 ,,i 4:9 *-? *.7 4 T1 7 .1 11 ,1 1 1 * 1 12 r3 I 1 3-^4 ...... 1 ,, 1 Q —AO 4,2 ¿*1 **5 4 t4 4*6 4.0 3,0 3**' ■ 3*7 2 .1 I ,,4 I,•6 2*1 10 — A O 4 T2 4 r1 4 t5 4,4 4*6 4,0 3,9 3,6 3*8 2*6 2 ,,1 ? ,5 3*2 4*3 1 l-AO 4.4 4t4 4 t7 *T *T° **4 4,3 4,1 4, 3 3,4 3i,7 ■ »,i8 4t 7 f . o 7.4 1 2-69 4.4 4,4 4.7 4.6 4*8 4.3 4. 3 4, i 4.3 3. 5 3,,4 3,,g 4.6 5.4 5*9 4.3 T 1-70 4,7 4, 7 5,0 *5,0 5.2 4 ,8 7— 7 O A.7 4.7 5.0 4.0 5.1 ... 4 . 7 **-70 4.5 4.5 4 . ft 4. A 4.0 8-68 9-68 11-68 12-68 10-68 ll3i 16 114, ,0 ___ 114, , 7 ...... 115..t 4.8 4.6 4.9 4. 3 4,,3 4,■ 8 5.6 6.5 7,2 7,0 °*8 A. ft 4 yA A. A 4.» 4,,3 4 ,7 «.4 A 7rt A t4 4.4 7 ,A 4. A £l - A A. 4 4.4 4.1 . 4.n ..... A..4 4.0 « 4 e.A 1-69 2-69 3-69 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 9-69 10-69 11-69 12-69 1 16.. 9 1 | A rA 4 7. 2. 1 a . i 11 A.. A .. 2-70 INITIAL MONTH JÈ— NOT— S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D ______________________________________________________________ ........ . n i l ,7 1 8 -6 8 0 TERMINAL MONTH P R E P A R E D B Y F E O E R A L R E S E R V E BANK OF ST. L OUIS .......... A P R I L 22, 1 9 7 0 ALL COM MOD ITI ES * R A T E S .O F C H A N G E _____________________________________________ :_______ !_____________ PREPARED BY FEOERAL RESERVE B A N K OF ST. L O U I S 13 Prices Ratio Scale Ratio Seal* 1957- 59=100 1957- 59=100 '_______ L I _____ I_______ I___ 1___ I_____ I_J______ ' I _____ j 95 _____ 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Source: U.S. Department of Labor Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. Latest data plotted: March Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis M WHOLESALE <»RICCS - I NDUS T RI AL COMMODI TI ES * COMPOUNDED,. ANNUAl__ RAT £ S OF CHANGE_________ - I F RMINfllMONTH - - I N I T I A L -- M O N T H — -3 ^ 3 — 2 = 6J ,10 - 6 3 ,1 1 -6 3 1 2 -6 8 — L n ft3 — 2= h a — 1 -6 9 — — - 1 9 5 7 - 5 9 m 100 S .t 6 9 ____h = .L 2 ____7 - 6 9 ____f l - 6 9 9 - 69 m -6 9 ii-6 9 i? -6 9 1-7 0 ? -7 0 _.9.-6a._____ 3 . 4 ■ 109 .Z 1 0 - 6 8 _____ 4 . 5_ J J 1 9 . I _______ _i ^ a. .1 2 - 6 8 ?-69 ■?^2 3,. 6 3. 7 4.5 4. 7 4.4 5.6 7.9 4,. 6 4. 9 4.7 5-6 6-7 3,3 1 1 0 , 2 __________ 1 1 0 ^ 9 __________ 1U 4 3-69 4,. 9 5. ? 5- 1 5 - ft 6-7 4-69 4 .4 4. 6 4.4 4,9_ 5 . i __ _ 4 ^ 4 5-69 4,. 1 4. 1 3.9 4.? 4.4 6-69 3 .6 3. 7 3*4 —3*6 l „ 3*7- 7-60 3.5 3. 5 3. 3 - 3* 4 ft- 69 3 .6 3. 6 3.4 3.5 9-69 3. 6 3 . 7 - .3*5 . 3*6- . __ 1 t ? T n__________ ^,1 ... 3. a ?.9 3.6 11 2. 1 __I . L- ._ 2-.S__ .. 2* 2- l -1 1 .1 0^7 0.5 0.0 i.i ~3t 4 __ 2*7 2*2 1. 1 1*1 3.6 3.(1 7.5 1. 7 1- 9 3.1 - 2. 8- - 2. 2 2.4 ..3 * 6 - 10 - 6 9 3. 8 3. 9 3.7 3.9 3t 9 3. 5 . 3*2 . -2* 8— — 3 . 1 1 1- A O 3,9 3,9 3 - ft 3.9 4,0 3,6 ?.4 i .? 3, 9 . _ 3^3__—- 3 * 9 - 12-69 ,9 \-7A 4.n 4, 0 i.Q —4*0— 7-70 4 .n 4 ,, n 3-9 3-7n 4 o , 4« n 3. 9 8 - 68 9- 6 R 10-68 n - 4*0__ 3 * 6 - - 3^5 3*1 - 3.4 112.4 2^23.3 4.4 2.7 3*6- 4,3 3.5— 4 * 3 - „- _5*1_. "3,6 4.3 4.3 - 3*7- _ 4.Q 11 *i, 4 - A*5- *, 1 5.4 4, 3 5*0 4.3 4 .a - -4^9 A. 1 _ 3. a 3 ^ A - __ 3 . 3 3.6 3*9. . 4*5 4- 1 4- 1 3, « 3T7 ^.4 1,7 3.9 4 .4 4 .8 if , -4-.0- 4.0 .. 3*8 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.9 4*3 4*6 ... 4 .6 12-68 1- 69 2-69 3-69 4-69 5-69 6-69 7-69 8-69 11 - 6 8 TNIT!at in ,? - .4*3 - 4 * 0 - — 5*0— ^ 1 1 3 . a ------------------ - 5 * 4 - ___ 4^.6 114.2 4 ^ 3 ..... 4*8— ___ 114.6 -5.-4 - 4,5 4,6 4,9 4*^- 4.3 4*3— — 3*7 - -- 3 * 4 ? ---------- _ v i 5 * a 1 0 - 69 11- 69 12-69 4.3 1-70 l l 15. 2-70 MONTH PREPARED RY FEDERAL &ESERVF BANK OF S T . APRJ.t. J , 197 a — WHOLESALF PRI CES - FARM PRODUCTS, AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS* ....._ CnilPQUNDEO ANNUAL- RATES- OF .CHANGE........................... — ........ — IN IT IA L - T E RM I M A I. .a=.68___9 - 6 8 1Q- 6B -1.,7 1 1 - 6 8 12-. 6B___1nfcS___2^L<3l ^ 3 = L 9 .....4 - 6 a . _ 5 . T 6 9 - -¿ u z h 9 ___7.-69___E=.63___9 - 6 9 1.D- A9. 1 1 t 6 9 . . 1 ? - 6 9 ___1-.7D__ 7--IQ.. - 1 Q&.6- -IP . 10 7.4 ,5 7. -1 ,.6 10,,5 7., 0 -0 .,7 1- 6 9 4.,7 ?*-69 4. , 3 .8 - 1 Q B . 1- 5.,7 M 3,,4 9. , 7 .. ft.6 16,6 3, , 1 7,,4 6.4 9.7 7.,5 6. R ft.ft iaa.4 103*& - 3-69 4. 4. ,5 5 -6 9 R . n _____ Z - J ____i n > 9 ____ l l . n ____ L 3 * J ____ 1 7 . 7 ,9 3 i>7 6 ..6 - 5 . 9 8 , 6 - - 1 1 ,-5___L l * 7 _ 7-6.9_____ ~U9 ____ 2*3___LO*2___ 1 0 0 - -8-69_____tuJk___ 6-J)___ a,_L «v 7 .7*a 7tn I D - 6 9 _______ 5 * 2 ______4 * 3 _____ 6 . 4 _5 . 6 — _ Z - L . - 6*0- 5 . 7 --------Z * L - -110.Q 2* 2- 4-69 11-69 7 ,9 5*a„ 7 . 1 ... 4 . 1 1 3 * 5 - L U S — 4 2 * 9 _ L 10 * 7 5*0 U U I I 5 . f t 1 8 . 5 2 7 ,6 1 5 ^ 8 1 2 * 4 — 1 3 . 6 -4 7 ^ 7 J , A _ 0«^) 115*5- -------------- 114,6. ^ 4 . 6 ____ - = S U Q ~ . - 7 * 3 ____6*2 — - 6 . a — 6 .6 7 .5 0 .5 - 4 * 1 ___=¿*1___=*3*L___________ _____ - L 4 j4*1 -6*6____5 * 5 ___ 5 , 9 5*6.___ 6 . 2 0 .4 - 3 * 1 - - - 4 * 1 — - 1 * 6 ____ 0*0_________ — 14 4 . 3 . . - 7* 4--------6*5-------- Z*Q____ k*9____ 1*5____ 2*8____ 0*4____ 0*5____ 1*9____ 7 . 6 7 .-fl - 8*3- J 7*7- _ 8 * 2 - 6 , 5 ____ z*a_ 7 „6 _a*i _ _2*5____ 7 . 9 -6.4 --6*2-------- 7*4— -J*2_ ft- 68 9-68 0X5.5— — f l * 2 -------------2 * 6 ------------- 8 * 5 ------------- a * 3 --------- L Q * 3 ______ L * 8 — - 6*6 10-68 — 1-14*1- 1 5 . f l ____1 . 9 * . 9 ___ 4 H . 7 . . - 7*4— - 1 - 7 0 _____ 6*8___ -6~- 6-____ a* 0_ 1 1 0 .9 , 2.2 -6 * 9 - ?-7fi_____ 6*7-, LOUIS 19571-59 = j m MONTH _9-_6B____ L Q * i 10 —6 ft 11 - 6 8 12-68 15 ------- 4. ° 4,6 9-69 ____ - 7.0 —7*6------- X . a — 11-68 12- 68 1-69 7.» 42-69 ~A*9 7.5 a . 6— 3*5 1*9- 8*2 a.9- 5 * 4 - - * . 0 --- 4 . 7* 9 - a*5- 5 . 4 ---- 4 * 2 ---- 4 * E _ 7*3 7.8 5 ^ 5 3-69 4-69 5- 69 - IN ITIA L - 3 * 8 6-69 15 .7- — LL5*2_ -4*a--- 7*6.- X L * 5 --- 7*5 -.... _ l - l &*4 -7^7— 10*6-- 14*4— 13*7— 20* 27.-3--- 0*5-- 12*0-- L0*8-- 12-5 4*3-7-69 - -8*08-69 9-69 448*2-- -u a*i- —5*2— 9 ^ 7 ------- 8*3— -8 * 5 --------3*4--------1*0 10- 6«» 1 1 - 6 9 12- 69 1-70 111 2-70 MONTH PREPARED BY FEDFRAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . L OUI S 15 General Price Index* Ratio Seal« Ratio Scalo 1958=100 1958=100 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 *A> tiMd in National Incam« Account! Percentages are annual rates of change for periods indicated. 1968 1969 1970 Source. U.S. D e p a r t me n t of Commorco Latestdata plotted: Istquarter preliminary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis IMPLICIT I C * D E F L A T O R FOR GROSS N A T I O N A L P R O D U C T ------------------------ C O M P O U N D E D A N N U I L R A T E S O F C H A N G * ---------------------------- “ T95B « " T W T T n r n QUARTER term inal 100..... - OUARTf*» Ï —^*6 7-*^> 3” ^6 4-fcè 1- Ä T 7-67 3-67 ..i - w 1— ../ - m r " ..3 - 6 T " '""*¡-»'9.. il l.ù 1. 4 —* ^ 1• 1.* 111.5 1-1» A ■v. ^.4 i l ¿.'4 .............. 7-6A ?. 5 —46 ?. 4— t-4 7 *. *-6 1 "v -/ rr..— t : — „ 4 .Ö 5.6 5.** *.6 5. Ü 's.*» 3.4 91.* 5 .? 3 ,0 3. I 5.4 3. ^ 5.2 r:i" 5 . 5 .... \ : t T ;r. 7.4 3.> 3.1 1 .1 ' '5 .T 5.4 5.* 5.? U è .* 4 .7 11 tfc« 1 4.5 4.$ 4.1 4.1 *.4 5.5 S .* 3.5 5.4 5. & 3. S 5 .6 TTBT 4 . 1 ..■■"47T 5.9 ' 410"' 5. 5• 5.4 3.6 ;5 5.7 5 .« 4.1 5.9 4 .0 *. 3 .* 5.7 1 .^ 5. ^ •£ 5. 3 .Y 3.1 Z-6* 3. l-> n ' ■ 5;t " 5 . é “ " T :i"'" * .9 3. * .ê 4.0 3. 5 .^ 4. 1, 5 .9 3-65 3 .9 4 .0 4 .Ö 4. t ♦. l 4.1 4.1 4.1 4-6*5 1-66 2-66 ft t ll< ».4 ~ 5 .7 ' * .l IZÜ .9 12 1 .f 4".T5' 1 7 7 .9 5 . 71 5 . 11 5.9 4.1 4. 1 4.tt “ ~47T~ 4.2 .....‘4 . 5 3.8 5.9 4. 0 4.2 4: r 4.2 4.5 4.4 4 . ft 5.9 4 .0 4 .1 4.4 4.4 4.4 " 47* ' 4 .1 4.1 47T" 4.7 4.1 4. ? 4 .2 4.4 3-66 4-6 6 1-6 7 "" T T T ” 4Y6 '“ 4".8"' 12 4.2 4.9 5.1 i7T». r ■ 5.2 17 7 .3 .... 4.5 4.5 4. & 4 .8 5 .Ö 5. 2 5 . ,5 *s.4 4.5 4.5 4 .Î 4. B 4.4 ... 5 . T " 5.1 T>. 1 ... i4 i: 4.5 4.6 4 .6 4 4 .8 4 .9 5 .1 " H .i 5.1 4.9 •».I 7-6 7 3-6 ? 1-68 2-6 * 3 -6 » 1-69 2-6 0 3-6 9 4-6 9 4 .5 IN IT IA L 4-6 7 4-6 8 t " &3 Ü .3 Ì5 ^ .ÌK QUARTER o - ORPLÎMIN pv --------- 116 . 7 ?. 8 2 .4 5.$ 5. 1-6«* 5.0 5.*5 5. t-48 7-6 9 114.5 ■ T r5 .ir "5.2 5.5 4-6 * 4-6 * 113.5 5 •6 5.2 PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . L O U IS APRIL l b , 1H Ï ÏI-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ■ Inventories Compared With Monthly Sales* Manufacturing and Trade 1956 T957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ’•'Ratios based on seasonally adjusted data. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Shaded areas represent periods of business recessions as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Latest data plotted: February Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis