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September 1995 REVIEW U.S. Department of Labor In this issue: Earnings mobility Intermittent labor force Security brokers and dealers Unemployment insurance benefits https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Bureau of Labor Statistics U.S. Department of Labor Robert B. Reich, Secretary Bureau of Labor Statistics Katharine G. Abraham, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Regional Offices and Commissioners Bureau o f Labor Statistics o f the U.S. Department o f Labor. Communications on editorial matters R egion 1 should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Washington, DC 20212. Phone (202) 606-5900. Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Subscription price per year— $25 domestic; $31.25 foreign. Single copy— $7 domestic; $8.75 foreign. Anthony J. 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Gaddie Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Room 221 Federal Building 525 Griffin Street Dallas, TX 75202-5028 Phone: (214) 767-6970 Fax: (214) 767-3720 September cover: Cover design by Keith Tapscott https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis R egion VII R eg ion V III Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming R egion IX R egion X American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington Gunnar Engen 1100 Main St. Suite 600 K ansas City, MO 64105-2112 Phone: (816) 426-2481 Fax: (816) 426-6537 Sam M. Hirabayashi 71 Stevenson Street P.O. Box 3766 S an Francisco, CA 94119-3766 Phone: (415) 744-6600 Fax: (415) 744-7138 September 1995 Volume 118, Number 9 Articles Editor-in-Chief Deborah P. Klein Executive Editor Richard M. Devens, Jr. Managing Editor Anna Huffman Hill Editors Brian I. Baker Leslie Brown Joyner Mary K. Rieg Stephen Singer Editorial Assistant Earnings mobility in the United States, 1967-91 Earnings are less stable for the young, blacks, and less educated workers than for older, white, and more educated workers Maury Gittleman and Mary Joyce 3 Effects of intermittent labor force attachment on women's earnings Women who leave the labor force lose seniority, are less likely to receive on-the-job training, and their job skills may depreciate Joyce P. Jacobsen and Laurence M. Levin 14 Employment trends in the security brokers and dealers industry Over the 1984-93 period, the industry's professional jobs almost doubled; clerical job growth was weak, due to technological advances Brett Illyse Graff 20 Trends in unemployment insurance benefits The share of the unemployed receiving unemployment benefits has declined slowly since the 1940's, and remains low Daniel P. McMurrer and Amy B. Chasanov 30 Ernestine Patterson Leary Production Manager Dennis L. Rucker Production Assistants Catherine D. Bowman Phyllis L. Lott Edith W. Peters Catherine A. Stewart Contributors Michael H. Cimini Constance B. DiCesare Charles A. Muhl Polly A. Phipps https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Departments Labor month in review Technical notes Industrial relations Workplace performance Book reviews Current labor statistics 2 40 45 49 51 55 Labor month in review The September Review Where most studies of earnings distri bution compare snapshots of the labor force as it is divided into earnings classes at particular points in time, Maury Gittleman and Mary Joyce of the BLS Division of Special Studies exam ine the transitions among classes dur ing the interval between points in time. One positive finding is that workers in the bottom quintile of earnings are slightly more likely to move out of that class than are those in the top fifth. On a more somber note, they warn that their results “do not suggest that mobility patterns have changed in such a way as to offset the recent rise in earnings in equality.” Joyce P. Jacobsen, professor of eco nomics at Wesleyan, and Laurence M. Levin, research associate at Corner stone Research, calculate the cost of tak ing an intermission in one’s career in terms of the difference in wages be tween women who work continuously and those who have one or more gaps in their work history. According to their calculations, the wage ratio in the first month of their study was 1.33. This in dicates that women who had not left the labor force were earning about a third again as much as those who had at least one break. This disparity persisted at very close to that level throughout the 32 months of data analyzed. Even after accounting for differences in other in dividual characteristics, they find that the difference diminishes, but never dis appears. The 9 years ending in 1993 saw ma jor economic, technological, and regu latory changes in the way business was done in the securities brokers and deal ers industry. Brett Illyse Graff, an economist in the BLS Division of Occu pational and Administrative Statistics, uses the extremely detailed information available from the Occupational Em ployment Statistics (OES) survey to trace the impact of those changes on the staff ing patterns of the industry. Today’s in dustry has a far greater share of its workers in professional and sales jobs 2 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and far fewer in clerical or managerial positions. Daniel P. McMurrer and Amy B. Chasanov draw on their experience as policy analysts at the Advisory Council on Unemployment Compensation to analyze recent developments in unem ployment insurance programs and their impact on the ability of the system to carry out its wage replacement and sta bilization functions. Harley Frazis, Michelle Harrison Ports, and Jay Stewart contribute a tech nical note on the impact of question changes prior to the 1994 CPS redesign on that survey’s measures of educational attainment. Markley Roberts of the a f l CIO reviews Trade Union Growth and Decline: An International Study (by Walter Galensen). Michael H. Cimini and Charles A. Muhl summarize devel opments in industrial relations and Polly A. Phipps analyzes recent find ings on workplace performance. Wage flexibility varies widely In the June 1995 issue of Labour Eco nomics, Geraint Johnes and Thomas Hyclak derive measures of real wage flexibility for each of the 48 contiguous States in “The determinants of real wage flexibility.” These measures are based on three-stage least squares esti mates of the coefficient on unemploy ment in State-specific, expectationsaugmented Phillips curves. According to Johnes and Hyclack, the five States with the most flexible wages were North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Utah, and Maryland. The five States with the most rigid wages were New Mexico, Connecticut, Delaware, New Jersey, and New York. Netsurfing? On Labor Day, the Bureau hit the Internet with a new and im proved World Wide Web site. The BLS Home Page URL is http ://stats.b ls.g o v / blshome.html. For on-line help contact: labstat.helpdesk @bls.gov September 1995 Shiskin Award to IRS statistician The Washington Statistical Society and the National Association of Business Economists awarded the 1995 Julius Shiskin Award to Fritz Scheuren, former Director of the Statistics of In come Division of the Internal Revenue Service. The award committee cited Dr. Scheuren’s contributions to the con struction of microeconomic data files, the statistical use of administrative data for economic research, and providing complex data on the American tax sys tem to other government agencies and to researchers around the world. Dr. Martin Fleming, chair of the Julius Shiskin Award Committee, de clared “We can be proud that the United States produces what is without ques tion the finest database of its kind in the world, thanks being due in large part to Fritz’s dedication, talents, and abilities.” The award is named in honor of the ninth U.S. Commissioner of Labor Sta tistics. It is designed to honor original and important contributions to the de velopment of economic statistics or in the use of economic statistics in inter preting the economy. Reader survey ‘95 The October issue will carry our tearout reader survey. Your responses last year were extremely useful, and we hope to hear from even more of you this time. When you pick up your Review next month, please take a few minutes to fill out and return the short questionnaire. The October Review The October Review compares compen sation in the United States and 29 coun tries or areas, discusses employment in Japan, examines new measures of un employment that take advantage of data collected in the redesigned CPS, de scribes the new BLS quarterly produc tivity measures, reports on productivity in retail stores, and takes a look at em ployer-sponsored health benefits. Earnings Mobility Earnings mobility in the United States, 1967-91 The young, the less educated, and blacks have more instability in their earnings than do those who are older, more educated, or white Maury Gittleman and Mary Joyce Maury Gittleman and Mary Joyce are econo mists in the Office of Publications and Spe cial Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n recent years, the gap between high earn ers and low earners in the United States has widened. Information about this phenom enon is generally reported in relation to a par ticular point in time. The Census Bureau, for example, reports on the percentage of families whose income is below the poverty line during a particular year and releases annual data on the share of household income by quintile. While such statistics reveal important insights into how individuals are faring economically, they paint an incomplete picture. To gain a fuller appreciation of the impact of poverty, one must understand not only trends in poverty rates, but also the extent to which a fam ily that is in poverty in a given year will remain there in a particular specified period that follows. In a similar way, those concerned about equity will want to know not only whether the share of income going to the top fifth of the income distri bution is growing or declining, but also whether there are patterns in the degree to which house holds move in and out of a given portion of the income distribution. To move from the static view of the economy inherent in most economic data on the income distribution to a more dynamic perspective, it is necessary to have information on the mobility of individuals, families, and households over time— that is, the extent to which these economic units change positions in the income distribution over a given period. What proportion of families in poverty this year will escape poverty next year? Are those in the middle class now likely to be there 5 years from now? Do the rich in one year tend to be the rich in the next, or do individuals from other income classes move into the top tiers? A study of I mobility can provide insights relevant to an swering important questions such as these. In addition, the degree of earnings mobility is im portant not only for developing a more com prehensive view of the workings of the economy, but also in such areas as designing pension schemes or income-contingent student loan programs, where benefits or repayment respon sibilities depend on a person’s earnings over his or her working life and not during a particular year. Further, mobility patterns contribute to an understanding of labor markets, as certain patterns will be consistent with some labor market theories but not with others.1 This article addresses two important questions concerning earnings mobility in the United States. First, how do patterns of earnings mobil ity differ by sex, age, race, and education? While many recent studies examine trends in earnings across demographic groups,2 much less atten tion has been devoted to the extent to which those of a given group are able to maintain or improve their relative economic status from one year to the next. And, second, how have mobil ity patterns changed over time? A vast literature has developed that seeks to document and ex plain the large increase in earnings inequality in the United States,3 but little is known about whether—as the earnings distribution became more pulled apart—it got harder or easier for individuals to work their way up the economic ladder. Trends in mobility have implications both for the causes of the rise in earnings in equality and for the extent to which inequities in earnings in a given year even out over time. A number of important findings emerge from this study. First, important differences appear Monthly Labor Review September 1995 3 Earnings Mobility across demographic groups in regard to their mobility within the overall earnings distribution: women are more likely to remain in the bottom quintile and less likely to remain in the top quintile of the overall earnings distribution than are men; and blacks are more likely than whites to slip out of the top quintile and to remain in the bottom quintile of the overall distribution. Second, differences also appear in relative mobility within various earnings distributions for groups defined by their demographic characteristics: the young, the less educated, and blacks have more instability in their earnings than those who are older, more highly educated, or white. Third, short-term mobility levels have not undergone major changes over the time span 1967-91. Measuring mobility Before mobility can be measured, a number of methodologi cal issues must be addressed. First is the choice of the unit of analysis—that is, whether it is to be families or individu als.4 Because this article examines the way in which the labor market distributes rewards and how the process changes over time, the focus is on individuals. For the same reason, earnings are emphasized rather than income, as the latter may include income from property, government pro grams, and other sources outside of the labor market. If the goal were to assess changes in the distribution of economic well-being, the family would probably be the appropriate choice, because one’s welfare is determined not only by one’s own income, but also by the income of other household mem bers.5 In addition, in that instance, it would be advisable to include as broad a measure of a family’s economic resources as possible, not just its labor-market earnings. The article focuses on two different concepts of earnings mobility. The first is concerned with the positions and move ments of various demographic groups within the earnings dis tribution of the entire population. Measures of this type of mobility seek to provide answers to questions such as the fol lowing: What proportion of the blacks that are in the top quintile (top fifth) of the overall earnings distribution in a given year maintain that position over time? Or, what proportion of white males in the bottom quintile in a particular year will have moved to a higher quintile the following year? Such a concept of mobility highlights differences in various demo graphic groups’ ability to change or maintain their relative positions within the overall earnings distribution. The second type of mobility examines relative earnings movements within subdistributions defined by demographic characteristics. For example, it is well known that those with less education will have lower earnings, on average, than the more educated. But focusing, say, on high school drop outs, do the better off within this group tend to be the same year after year, or is there a substantial reshuffling of eco 4 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 nomic positions? And how does this “churning” in the earn ings distribution for high school dropouts compare with that for other groups? Issues in interpreting findings. A number of important is sues must be kept in mind in interpreting the results to be pre sented. Suppose one of the findings is that individuals experi enced substantial changes in their relative positions within the overall earnings distribution or within that of a subpopulation. This can be thought of as evidence of either a high degree of short-term earnings mobility or a high level of short-term earn ings instability, depending on one’s perspective. To most ears, “earnings mobility” sounds like something to be favored on equity grounds, as it connotes the opportunity to change one’s relative economic position. The term “earnings instability,” on the other hand, suggests a negative flip side to this, hinting at potential difficulties involved in attempting to maintain one’s economic status. Thus, the normative aspects of the findings are a matter of interpretation, open to debate about whether the glass is “half empty” or “half full.” It is also important to keep in mind the distinction be tween earnings mobility and earnings growth. The measures presented in this article of earnings mobility over a given period are concerned solely with the degree to which indi viduals shift relative positions within the earnings distribu tion, not with absolute growth in real earnings levels over time.6 Thus, by definition, mobility implies that one person’s upward movement within the earnings distribution is ac companied by another person’s downward shift. Data The analysis to be presented uses March-March matched files from the Annual Demographic Files of the Current Population Survey (CPS)7 from 1968 to 1992. The CPS is designed so that potentially half of the individuals surveyed in a given March will also be present in the sample in the following March.8 By linking surveys, one can follow an individual for 2 years and see how his or her position in the earnings distribution changes over that period. While earnings mobility is best studied over as long a time span as possible, there are several important advantages to using the sequence of 2-year panels made avail able by linking CPS data. First, the CPS is a nationally repre sentative data set, so one can follow all age groups over time.9 Second, the samples obtainable from the matched cps's are generally larger than those from the longitudinal data sets, al lowing more precise estimates of mobility for various subpopu lations than is possible using smaller panel data sets. Third, 2year panels can be constructed to cover a lengthy period— nearly 25 years. Construction o f samples. From the 25 March CPS'S from 1968 to 1992, it was possible to construct 20 matched samples.10 Each of these was divided into the following four main subsamples, using annual wage and salary income as the measure of economic status in a given year: men with positive wage and salary income in both years; men working full time, year round (at least 50 weeks’ work, usually working at least 35 hours per week) in both years; women with positive earnings in both years; and women working full time, year round in both years.11 For all samples, the following criteria had to be met for both years: age between 25 and 59 years; not selfemployed; and not in the top percentile of the earnings distribution of the appropriate subsample. The trimming of the top 1 percent of earners is done both because some of the measures of mobility used in this article are sensitive to outliers and because it is desirable to eliminate from the sample those for whom data on earnings have been censored or “top coded.” For the latter individuals, it is known that their earnings are above a certain threshold, but it is not known by how much.12 To be included in the group of those with positive wage and salary income in a given 2-year sample (either men or women; referred to later as the positive samples), annual earnings merely had to be nonzero in both years. To be included in the group of those working full time, year round in both years of the sample (again, either men or women; referred to later as the full-time, year-round samples), which implicitly controls for differences across individuals in hours worked, annual earnings had to exceed 1,750 (50 weeks times 35 hours) times one-half the applicable minimum nonfarm hourly wage rate in both years. Results are presented for both samples because they repre sent different aspects of mobility. For the full-time, year-round samples, the movement within the distributions is due mainly to relative changes in the rate of pay, while in the positive samples, changes in hours worked also play a role. In part because not all changes in hours worked are voluntary, it is important to assess mobility for both samples. In addition to these four subsamples, the following samples, divided along three demographic dimensions, were used: age—intervals of 25-29,30-39,40-49, and 50-59 years; years of schooling completed—fewer than 12 years, 12 years, 13-15 years, and 16 or more years; and race—white and black.13 Mobility patterns, 1967-91 Mobility within the overall earnings distribution. To measure both kinds of mobility defined earlier, appropriate yardsticks are required.14 For the first type of mobility—movement in the overall earnings distribution—consider a device known as a transition matrix. If the overall earnings distribution is divided into quintiles in year t - 1 and year t, a 5 x 5 matrix can be calculated wherein each cell (i, j) shows the proportion of those in quintile i in year t - 1 that are in quintile j in year t. Table 1 presents a hypothetical example of such a matrix. The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis matrix shows that, of those who are in the second quintile in year 1, 0.3, or 30 percent, will fall to the bottom quintile in year 2. The percentages in each row must sum to 1, because all of the individuals who were in a given quintile in year 1 must be in some quintile in year 2. By similar reasoning, the columns must sum to 1 as well. While every cell is of potential interest, for purposes of discussing movements within the overall distribution, consider cells (1,1) and (5, 5)—that is, the percentage of those who start off in the bottom quintile of the overall earnings distribution and remain there, and the same measure for the top quintile. ow do demographic groups differ in terms of their po sitions and movements within the overall earnings dis tribution? To answer this question, let us examine the pat terns of the two sexes and then, separately by sex, of the 10 demographic groups defined by age, years of schooling, and race. The first two columns of table 2 report the percentage of each demographic group that was in the first (bottom) and in the fifth (top) quintile of the overall earnings distri bution during 1990, and the second two columns show the percentage of these that remained in those quintiles during 1991. The percentages are given for the positive and the full time, year-round samples. While the results shown are for 1990-91 only, the basic patterns hold for any pair of years during the 1967-91 period. Although differences in mean earnings between men and women have been declining,15 striking differences remain at the extremes of the distribution, with women being much more likely than men to be in the bottom quintile and much less likely to be in the top quintile. In fact, about the same percentage of women were in the bottom quintile (30 per cent) as men were in the top quintile (31 percent) of the earnings distribution for the positive sample during 1990. As regards each of the sexes, blacks were much more likely to be in the lowest quintile, and much less likely to be in the highest quintile, than whites were. White men were the least likely to be at the bottom and the most likely to be at the top, whereas the tendency for black women was just the opposite. Mobility patterns within the overall distribution also dif fer by sex and race. In general, the lower a group’s average earnings, the lower is the likelihood that individuals from H Table 1. Hypothetical transition matrix Quintile in year t Quintile in year r - i 1 2 3 4 5 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 1 2 3 0.4 .3 .2 .1 .0 0.2 .3 .2 .1 .2 0.2 .2 .3 .2 .1 Monthly Labor Review 4 5 0.1 .1 .2 .4 .2 0.1 .1 .1 .2 .5 September 1995 5 Earnings Mobility IU m iX h Sex and race differences in mobility within the overall earnings distribution in 1990-91, using matched c p s data Percent in quintile— Sex and race Positive sample Percent that stay in quintile— 1 5 1 5 Full sample.............................. 20 20 66 74 Sex: M e n ............................. Women............................. 10 30 31 8 51 72 77 63 Race: White m en......................... Black m en ............................ White wom en........................ Black women......................... 8 23 29 31 33 17 9 6 48 57 72 73 78 59 65 44 Full sample............................. 20 20 68 74 Sex: M e n .................................. Women.................................. 12 30 30 8 58 73 76 64 Race:...................................... White m en........................... Black m en ........................ White women....................... Black wom en........................ 10 26 29 38 31 17 9 5 56 65 73 73 77 54 66 42 Full-time, yearround sample that group will stay in the highest quintile, and the greater is the likelihood that they will stay in the bottom quintile. For example, women are more likely to stay at the bottom than men: some 72 percent of women who were in the bottom quintile of the earnings distribution of the positive sample in 1990 stayed there in 1991, compared with only 51 percent of men. By contrast, 77 percent of men at the top in 1990 re mained there in 1991, compared with only 63 percent of women. Low-earning women appear to be stuck at the bot tom, even when the labor supply is controlled for by restrict ing the sample to those who work full time, year round in both years, which suggests that persistently low hours of work are not the sole source of these women’s lack of up ward mobility. It may be that women in the bottom quintiles are more likely to work in occupations that consistently pay low wages and have limited promotion potential. A caveat must be mentioned before continuing with the findings: even within quintiles, groups will have different earnings distributions. For example, among those in the bot tom quintile, men are closer than women, on average, to the boundary between the first and second quintiles. Thus, even if men and women have the same increase in earnings from one year to the next, men will be more likely than women to move out of the bottom quintile, boosting the meas-ure of mobility presented for men. Experimentation with other 6 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 measures, however, suggests that the results would be quali tatively similar even if these intraquintile differences were taken into account when measuring mobility. The ability to maintain one’s position at the top of the overall earnings distribution appears to be more elusive for blacks than for whites—even for black men relative to white women. About 65 percent of white women who were in the top quintile in 1990 were there in 1991, compared with 59 percent of black men and 44 percent of black women. Simi lar racial differences in the ability to maintain the top eco nomic, status were also found by Bradley R. Schiller, Greg Duncan and Saul Hoffman, and Linda Datcher-Loury.16 Datcher-Loury found that high-earning black men and highearning white men differ in their distribution across occupa tions, which may contribute to their differences in earnings mobility. High-earning white men were more likely to work in managerial or professional occupations, in which earn ings are more stable, whereas high-earning black men were more likely to be employed in sales and clerical jobs, in which earnings tend to fluctuate more. Significant differences across races in movements out of the bottom quintile exist only for men, with 52 percent of white men leaving the bot tom quintile, compared with 43 percent of black men. These general patterns hold for both earnings samples. able 3 reports differences in mobility within the overall earnings distributions across age and education groups. Not surprisingly, younger, less educated workers are more likely than older, more educated workers to be in the bottom quintile, and less likely to be in the top quintile, of both earnings distri butions. The percentage of each age group that remains in the bottom quintile decreases with age, except for the oldest group, whose percentage is higher than that of the youngest group. Similarly, the percentage of each age group that remains in the top quintile increases with age, also except for the oldest group, whose percentage is lower than that of the youngest group. These patterns are consistent with the human capital view of the pattern of earnings over the life cycle, which suggests that as a worker ages, earnings rise rapidly at first, then flatten out, and ultimately begin to fall.17 The percentage of each education group that stays in the bottom quintile decreases consistently with years of school ing, and the percentage that stays in the top quintile increases consistently with years of schooling, indicating that it is easier for more educated workers to move out of the bottom and to remain at the top than it is for workers with less edu cation. These mobility patterns are similar for men and women within both earnings distributions. The education mobility patterns are not surprising if one believes that edu cation represents a perm anent improvement in an in dividual’s human capital and thus earnings capacity. In that case, the highly educated workers would be more likely to T Table 3. Age and education differences in mobility within the overall earnings distribution in 1990-91, using m atched CPS data Full-time, year-round sample Positive sample Sex, age, and education Percent that stay in quintile— Percent in quintile— 1 5 1 5 Percent that stay in quintile— Percent in quintile— 1 5 1 5 Men Age, years: 25-29 .......................... 30-39 .......................... 40-49 .......................... 50-59 .......................... 18 10 6 9 14 28 41 40 53 49 46 57 74 79 79 71 22 13 8 9 12 27 38 38 58 61 50 64 71 77 79 69 Education, years: Fewer than 1 2 ............. 1 2 ................................ 13-15 .......................... 16 or m o re.................. 23 11 7 5 10 20 34 56 64 47 50 37 50 67 75 86 31 14 8 5 8 19 30 52 65 59 51 49 61 62 75 83 Age, years: 25-29 .......................... 30-39 .......................... 40-49 .......................... 50-59 .......................... 32 30 28 31 6 8 10 8 73 73 69 74 55 63 66 64 34 31 24 36 5 7 11 7 74 72 74 75 46 66 66 63 Education, years: Fewer than 1 2 ............. 1 2 ................................. 13-15 .......................... 16 or more.................. 55 36 25 15 2 3 7 20 81 71 71 63 10 54 59 69 67 40 25 10 1 4 6 19 85 75 66 57 33 55 58 68 Women have the necessary skills to reach the top quintile and re main there. If a less educated worker, on the other hand, reaches the top quintile, then it is more likely to be due to a favorable transitory shock that will dissipate with time. Levels o f mobility within various subdistributions. With re gard to the second type of mobility examined in this article— movement within the earnings distribution of a particular de mographic group—transition matrices are also calculated, ex cept that in this case an individual is assigned to a quintile for a pair of years in terms of his or her position in the earnings distribution for a given demographic group, not for the entire population. In addition to the proportions that remain in the top and bottom quintiles, two further measures are calculated. The first reflects the percentage of people that stay in the same quintile for both years or, in other words, stay on the diagonal of the transition matrix. To calculate this measure, it is neces sary to add up the percentages in the diagonal and then divide by 5 (because each of the percentages is calculated with a base that represents one-fifth of the population). If there is perfect immobility—that is, if every individual stays in the same quintile—then the measure will equal 1.0, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis because all the diagonal elements will be 1.0 (and all the other elements 0.0). If, on the other hand, there is perfect mobility— that is, if an individual’s position in the beginning year has no impact on his or her position in the ending year—then the measure will equal 0.2, because all the diagonal elements— and, in fact, all elements—will equal 0.2. Making the relevant calculations for the transition matrix in table 1 results in a value of 0.38 ([0.4 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.4 + 0.5J/5) for this measure of mobility. An additional measure calculates the percentage of indi viduals who either stay in the same quintile or move into an adjacent one—in other words, those who stay on or near the diagonal of the transition matrix. Under perfect immobility, this measure will also be 1.0, as everyone stays on the diag onal. With perfect mobility, it will be 0.52 because there are 13 elements on or adjacent to the diagonal, each of which would equal 0.2 ([13 x 0.2]/5 = 0.52). As applied to table 1, the measure equals 0.68.18 The final measure for assessing the extent of mobility within a given distribution is the correlation coefficient, which gives a guide to the extent to which individuals main tain their positions within the earnings distribution. The Monthly Labor Review September 1995 7 Earnings Mobility measure ranges from -1.0 to 1.0, with 1.0 indicating perfect immobility, 0.0 perfect mobility, and negative values (not observed in the calculations carried out) some reversal of positions. In this section, mobility patterns are examined for 1967-91, and both the levels and trends in various relative immobility indexes are documented. As noted earlier, what is of interest is mobility within the earnings distributions defined by the four main subsamples and mobility within various distributions for particular demographic groups. Table 4 reports average im mobility measures for the 1967-91 period for the four main subsamples. As expected, the measures are slightly higher for the full-time, year-round samples than for the positive earn ings samples, because, for the former, fluctuations in hours of work are largely eliminated. ow do mobility indexes differ across sex, age, education, . and racial groups? Table 5 gives the 1990-91 immobil ity indexes for both the positive earnings and full-time, yearround samples. The 1990-91 immobility measures for the posi tive earnings sample are slightly higher for women than for men, with differences in mobility being more pronounced at the extremes of the earnings distributions. The table shows that 62 percent of men remain in the bottom quintile of their earnings distribution, compared with 70 percent of women. Similarly, the proportion of men who stay at the top of their distribution is 5 percentage points lower than the correspond ing proportion of women. However, among full-time, yearround workers, the differences in mobility between the sexes are smaller. Table 5 also suggests that short-term immobility is typically lower among young workers, both male and female. This find ing is in accord with that of Donald Parsons, who compares the National Longitudinal Survey cohorts of young men and older men.19 Given the wider range of ages covered in the c p s , the current study is able to examine more closely the relation ship between short-term mobility and age. Table 5 indicates that short-term earnings immobility initially increases with age and then levels off. In other words, those in their twenties have higher mobility rates than other workers, but there is little H Table 4. difference across other age groups, except within the positive earnings sample, where workers in their fifties have signifi cantly higher mobility rates than do workers in their forties. This difference in regard to older workers does not exist in the full-time, year-round sample, which implicitly controls for variations in hours, and thus may be the result of a change in the degree of labor force attachment as workers approach re tirement age. The difference in mobility rates for the young is greater for the positive earnings sample than for the full-time, year-round sample, indicating that the high mobility rates for the young are also partly the result of greater fluctuations in hours. In addition, greater job mobility among the young prob ably is an important contributor.20 The findings presented in this article differ from the strictly positive relationship found between 1-year earnings correlation coefficients and age in the United Kingdom, but are broadly consistent with recent find ings in regard to Sweden.21 Table 5 also shows a positive relationship between educa tion and earnings stability or immobility. Within the men’s positive earnings sample, the 1990-91 correlation coefficient was 12 percent higher for college graduates than for high school dropouts. Short-term earnings mobility or instability levels were highest for those who did not complete high school, particularly high school dropouts in the positive earn ings sample. In both the positive earnings and full-time, year-round samples, college graduates had significantly lower earnings instability than those in the other education groups. Parsons also found a positive relationship between schooling and 1-year earnings correlation coefficients for the National Longitudinal Survey cohort of older men, but not for that of young men, among whom he found mobility lev els to be highest for college graduates.22 This suggests that the relationship between education and mobility might dif fer across age groups. Perhaps the most striking difference in short-term mobil ity levels recorded in table 5 occurs between blacks and whites. Over the 1990-91 period, the correlation coeffi cient for black men was 16 percent lower than for their white counterparts. These racial differences—particularly with re gard to men—persist across both earnings samples, indi- Average immobility measures, by earnings sample, 1967-91 Correlation coefficient Sample Percent that stay on diagonal Percent that stay on or near diagonal Percent that stay in first quintile Percent that stay in fifth quintile Men: Positive sample..................... Full-time, year-round sample 0 .7 6 .77 57 59 88 89 65 69 71 72 Women: Positive sample..................... Full-time, year- round sample .77 .78 58 59 89 89 64 67 72 74 8 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 p iiiiiM H Immobility measures by demographic group in 1990-91, using matched Sex, age, education, and race Correlation coefficient Percent that stay on diagonal cps positive earnings sample Percent that stay on or near diagonal Percent that stay in first quintile Percent that stay in fifth quintile Men Full sample................................................................. Age, years: 25-29 ....................................................................... 30-39 ....................................................................... 40-49 ....................................................................... 50-59 ....................................................................... 0.77 59 88 62 70 .73 .77 .75 .74 53 59 59 57 85 89 88 87 62 64 64 65 70 74 70 72 Education, years: Fewer than 1 2 .......................................................... 1 2 .............................................................................. 13-15 ....................................................................... 16 or more................................................................ .66 .70 .72 .74 53 54 57 61 83 85 87 88 58 60 69 68 69 67 69 72 Race: W hite...................................................................... Black...................................................................... .77 .65 59 51 88 83 65 55 74 70 .78 60 89 70 75 .76 .79 .80 .76 59 61 59 59 89 88 89 88 70 71 68 66 72 74 76 72 .66 .74 .75 .75 53 57 58 58 85 87 86 88 61 68 72 67 62 71 69 68 .75 .75 61 52 89 86 68 66 73 67 Women Full sample................................................................. Age, years: 2 5 -2 9 ....................................................................... 30-39 ....................................................................... 40-49 ....................................................................... 50-59 ....................................................................... Education, years: Fewer than 1 2 ............................................................ 1 2 .............................................................................. 13-15 ....................................................................... 16 or more................................................................ Race: W hite...................................................................... Black...................................................................... eating that the differences are largely due to blacks’ greater instability in pay rates, rather than greater fluctuations in hours worked. Evidence of a higher degree of earnings mo bility or instability among blacks was also found by Duncan, who used hourly earnings of males from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics.23 The differences across races in short term earnings mobility appear larger for men than for women. This is consistent with the fact that the earnings differential between blacks and whites is much smaller for women than for men.24 Trends This section examines the trends in three measures of earn ings immobility over the 1967-91 period: the percentage of individuals that stay on the diagonal in the transition ma trix, the proportion that stay at or near the diagonal, and the correlation coefficient. The trends in earnings mobility are particularly interesting in light of the increase in cross-sec tional earnings inequality observed during the 1980’s, because https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis these trends affect patterns in long-run inequality. To give a simple example, suppose an economy has just two people. In 1994, person A earns $100,000 and person B earns nothing. Clearly, a good deal of inequality is present in this economy, and from an equity standpoint, it may be a matter of concern. But suppose now that in 1995, the fortunes of A and B are reversed, so that A earns nothing and B earns $100,000. Then, when earnings are summed up over the 2-year span, both indi viduals have earned $100,000, so no inequality is present. Thus, in this example, mobility is such that, even though there is a great deal of inequality in 1 year, over a longer span the distribution of earnings is exactly equal. Certainly, in the U.S. economy, the degree of mobility is not high enough so that an individual’s position in the earn ings distribution in any year is not relevant to his or her position as earnings are summed up over a lifetime. Even so, there is enough mobility that the degree of inequality over longer spans is less than that over 1 year. For example, Lee A. Lillard estimated that inequality in a single year was 50 percent greater than over a lifetime.25 Monthly Labor Review September 1995 9 Earnings Mobility Chart!. One-year correlation coefficients and immobility indexes, 1968-70, 1973-75, 1977-84, and 1986-91 Positive sample, men Positive sample, women 1 Index 1 Index 2 Index 1 cc Index 2 cc -m0.9 0.9 y 0.8 ^ 0.8 ' / . “ " V - ” • 0.7 0.7 0.6 m MA dfoA-M M «/ I ■■■ 1968 I ■■■ 1972 I ■■■ 1976 I ■■■ 1980 I ■■■ 1984 I . 1988 __1__1__1__1__1 __1 __I l l ' l l 0.4 —I— 1— 1— 1__1__1__1__1__1__1__1__1 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 Full-time, year-round sample, men Full-time, year-round sample, women 0 .9 0.9 0.8 JKf^ % M Va " 0 .8 w^\ Is usJ \ % ^Ê 0 .7 0.7 0.6 — 0.5 0.5 - 0.4 0.6 - - W t »1 0 .6 - f \ \ v /« ••* * » * 0 .5 0.4 1 1968 10 . . . 1 . . 1972 . 1 . . 1976 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . 1 1980 . . . 1 . 1984 September . . 1 1988 1995 , 0 .4 — 1— 1— 1— 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ 1___ I 1968 1972 1976 1980 1 1984 1 1 I 1 1988 1 1 1 The preceding example of a two-person economy demon strates how, with annual inequality staying constant, move ment in the earnings distribution can still work to reduce inequality when earnings are summed over a longer period. Just as mobility may help allay concerns about a degree of inequality in one particular year, it can also help alleviate worries about a rise in annual inequality. If annual inequal ity rises, as it did in the 1980’s in the United States, then this will automatically translate into higher inequality over a longer period if there is no change in the extent to which individuals exchange positions in the earnings distribution. If the degree of mobility increases, however, it will reduce the extent to which increases in annual inequality are trans lated into increases in long-run inequality. On the other hand, a reduction in mobility would reinforce the inequal ity-increasing effects of rises in annual inequality.26 hat is the pattern for recent trends in earnings mobil ity? Chart 1 graphs the trends in 1-year correlation coefficients and two transition matrix measures for the men’s and women’s positive earnings and full-time, year-round samples for the period 1967-91. As mentioned earlier, four pairs of years are missing from the time series. The missing pairs make it difficult to distinguish much of a trend over the early portion of the series. After this, however, short-term immobility indexes appear to follow a stable trend. For the men’s positive earnings sample, immobility, as measured by the correlation coefficient, declined from 0.78 in 1977 to 0.71 in 1982 and increased moderately thereafter. This U-shaped pattern applies as well to the men’s full-time, year-round sample. For the women’s positive earnings and full-time, year-round samples, 1-year correlation coefficients began to decline sometime in the early 1970’s and rose gradually after 1978. Note, however, that the fluctuations in the correlation coefficient graphed in chart 1 take place over a fairly limited range. On the whole, then, the findings suggest that mobility patterns have not been that different in the 1980’s from what they were in the 1970’s. What are the implications of these findings for the extent to which increased annual inequality is being translated into increases in long-run inequality? Clearly, additional research is needed here, but the results presented in this article do not suggest that mobility patterns have changed in such a way as to offset the recent rise in earnings inequality. More speculatively, these same results can also be used to W shed additional light on the causes of the recent rise in earn ings inequality. While a detailed review of the literature on in equality is beyond the scope of the article, one view holds that a key factor behind the rise in earnings inequality is that the de mand for skilled workers has increased, leading to a widening of the earnings gap between those who are skilled and those who are not.27 Given that such a shift in favor of the skilled would be likely to persist over time, this has an important impli cation for patterns of mobility: if the distance in earnings across skill levels has widened, it becomes more difficult for individu als to pass each other on the earnings ladder, implying that mo bility will decline over time. It is also possible that the increase in inequality in a given year has been caused by increased randomness in the economy. As Robert Moffitt and Peter Gottschalk maintain, the amount of turbulence in the economy may have increased because of grow ing international competition, a reduction in regulations, the waning influence of labor unions, and a variety of other fac tors.28 This increased influence of transitory factors would im ply that mobility would increase, as it is more likely that, with regard to the economic ladder, someone who has the good for tune of benefiting from the increased turbulence will surpass someone who has not. Because we do not see strong trends in mobility—either a rise or a fall— the results suggest that both the permanent factors associated with a rise in returns to skill and the transitory factors associated with growing turbulence in the economy may be important in the recent rise in earnings inequality. T h i s a r t i c l e h a s u n c o v e r e d several interesting differences in short-term earnings mobility across demographic groups. First, men have higher short-term earnings mobility levels than women do. Second, workers in their twenties have high levels of earnings mobility or instability relative to their older counterparts. Aside from this, however, mobility levels do not show any clear pattern with age. Third, higher education levels generally mean higher 1-year correlations—in other words, more stability—in short-term earnings. Fourth, black men have more instability in their earnings than their white counterparts have, and this racial difference in mobility levels is present, but less pronounced, for women. Last, mobility measures followed a general U-shaped pattern during the 1967-91 period, although the magnitude of the shifts that occurred indicates that short term mobility in the 1980’s was not profoundly different from that in the 1970’s. □ Footnotes 1For a more detailed discussion o f the importance o f data on mobility, see A. B. Atkinson, F. Bourguignon, and C. Morrisson, “Earnings Mobility,” Eu ropean Econom ic Review, vol. 32 (1988), pp. 619-32. 2 See Lawrence F. Katz and Kevin M. Murphy, “Changes in Relative Wages, 1963-87: Supply and Demand Factors,” Q uarterly Journal o f Econom ics, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 1992, pp. 35-78, for a recent study o f changes in the pattern o f pay by age (experience), education, and sex; and Francine D. Blau and Andrea H. Beller, “Black-White Earnings over the 1970s and 1980s: Gender Differences in Trends,” R eview o f E conom ics an d S tatistics, May 1992, pp. 276-86, for an examination of earnings differentials by race. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 11 Earnings Mobility 3 For a survey o f this literature, see Frank Levy and Richard J. Mumane, “U.S. Earnings Levels and Earnings Inequality: A Review of Recent Trends and Proposed Explanations,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic L ite r a tu r e , September 1992, pp. 1333-81. 4 See Lynn Karoly, “The Trend in Inequality among Families, Individuals, and Workers in the United States: A Twenty-Five Year Perspective,” in Sheldon Danziger and Peter Gottschalk, eds., U n even T id es: R isin g I n e q u a lity in A m e r ic a (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 1993), for an illuminating dis cussion o f similar issues in studies of earnings inequality. 5 For two recent studies of mobility based on family income, see Thomas L. Hungerford, “U.S. Income Mobility in the Seventies and Eighties,” Review o f In c o m e a n d W ealth, December 1993, pp. 403-17; and Isabel V. Sawhill and Mark Condon, “Is U.S. Income Inequality Really Growing?” P o lic y B ite s, The Urban Institute, June 1992, pp. 1-4. 6 O f course, the two may be connected, as the pace of economic growth may have implications for earnings mobility. 7 The cps is a monthly survey of approximately 60,000 households con ducted by the Bureau o f the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The March survey contains a special supplement that asks about income earned in the year prior to the interview. 8 See the appendix for more information on matching cps ’s over time, in cluding a discussion o f biases that may arise in using the matched cps ’s for analysis. 9In lieu o f the cps , the Panel Study of Income Dynamics might have been used; however, while the “split-offs” from the original members enable this survey to maintain representation across all groups, the impact of attrition on the representativeness o f the sample is an issue of concern. 10See the appendix for further information. 11 As an alternative to selecting those who are full-time, year-round workers as a way to control for differences in hours worked, calculations were done with samples for which the measure o f economic status was the hourly wage. These results, which were broadly similar to the findings in this article, were not reported for two reasons: the data necessary to calculate hourly wages from the March cps— weeks worked in the previous year and usual hours worked per week— are available only beginning with the 1976 cps ; and there is likely to be substantial measurement error in calculating hourly wages by dividing annual wage and salary income by number of weeks worked multiplied by usual number o f hours worked per week, making the results less reliable. O ’Neill and Solomon Polachek, “Why the Gender Gap in Wages Narrowed in the 1980s,” Journal o f L abor E conom ics, January 1993, pp. 205-28. 16 See Bradley R. Schiller, “Relative Earnings Mobility in the U.S.,” A m eri can Econom ic R eview , December 1977, pp. 926^11; Greg Duncan and Saul 14 See A. B. Atkinson, F. Bourguignon, and C. Morrisson, E m p ir ic a l S tu d ie s o f E a rn in g s M o b ility (Chur, Switzerland, Harwood Publishers, 1992), for Hoffman, “Dynamics of Wage Change,” in Martha Hill, Daniel Hill, and James N. Morgan, eds., Five Thousand Am erican Families— Patterns o f Economic Progress, vol. IX (Ann Arbor, mi, Institute for Social Research, 1981); and Linda Datcher-Loury, “Racial Differences in the Stability of High Earnings among Young Men,” Journal o f L abor Econom ics, July 1986, pp. 301-17. 17 See Jacob Mincer, Schooling, Experience an d Earnings (New York, Columbia University Press, 1974), for an elaboration o f this view. 18 Note that no summary measures were used to assess mobility within the overall distribution, as such measures are potentially misleading. By defini tion, in assessing mobility within a demographic group, 20 percent of the popu lation will be in each quintile. This is not the case when one examines the mobility o f a demographic group within the overall earnings distribution, be cause a group is not likely to be evenly spread across the overall distribution. As a result, in calculating summary measures, differences across demographic groups in the degree o f movement in and out of quintiles will get confounded with differences across these groups in their initial distribution over the quintiles. 19 See Donald Parsons, “The Autocorrelation o f Earnings, Human Wealth Inequality and Income Contingent Loans,” Q uarterly Journal o f Econom ics, November 1978, pp. 551-69. The National Longitudinal Survey cohort of young men is a nationally representative group of 5,225 men aged 14 to 24 years in 1966 who were surveyed periodically beginning that year. The cohort of older men, with whom interviews also began in 1966, is a nationally repre sentative group of men aged 45 to 59 years in 1966. 20 See Jacob Mincer and Boyan Jovanovic, “Labor Mobility and Wages,” in Sherwin Rosen, ed., Studies in L abor M arkets (Chicago, University o f Chi cago Press, 1981), for a discussion o f variation in job mobility by age. 21 See Atkinson, Bourguignon, and Morrisson, Em pirical Studies o f E arn ings M obility; and Björn Gustaffson, “The Degree and Pattem of Income Im mobility in Sweden,” R eview o f Income and Wealth, March 1994, pp. 67-86. 22Parsons, “Earnings, Inequality and Loans.” 23 See Greg Duncan, “An Empirical Model of Wage Growth,” in Greg Duncan and James Morgan, eds., F ive Thousand Am erican F am ilies — P a t terns o f E conom ic P rogress, vol. VII (Ann Arbor, mi , Institute for Social Re search, 1979). 24 See Blau and Beller, “Black-White Earnings.” 25 See Lee A. Lillard, “Inequality: Earnings Versus Human Wealth,” A m eri can E conom ic R eview , March 1977, pp. 42-53. 26 For a more detailed discussion o f the connections between mobility and inequality in the context of the recent rise in earnings dispersion in the United States, see Paul R. Krugman, The A m erican P rospect, Fall 1992, pp. 19-31. 27 For a detailed elaboration o f this view, see Chinhui Juhn, Kevin M. Murphy, and Brooks Pierce, “Wage Inequality and the Rise in Returns to Skill,” Journal o f P olitica l E conom y, June 1993, pp. 410-42. a fuller discussion o f ways to measure mobility. 15 For a discussion o f this trend and potential explanations of it, see June 28Robert Moffitt and Peter Gottschalk, “Trends in the Covariance Structure of Earnings in the U.S.: 1969-87,” mimeograph, Boston College, March 1993. 12While the 99th percentile was used as a cutoff, the bunching o f incomes, in some cases at the top codes, caused those that were trimmed to constitute a somewhat larger portion o f the distribution for some years. See Karoly, “In equality among Families, Individuals, and Workers,” for a discussion of alter native treatments o f the top code and their impact on measures of inequality. 13Results are not reported separately for the racial group defined as “other,” because o f its small size and heterogeneity. APPENDIX: Construction and evaluation of matched samples from the The data used in this article are from March-March matched files from the Annual Demographic Files of the Current Population Survey ( cps). At the time o f the analysis, the cps was available for the period 1968-92, containing earn ings data for the year prior to the interview. While that implies the existence of 24 adjacent-year pairs o f records (1968-69 through 1991-92), changes in household identifiers across adjacent years make it impossible to perform matches for 1 9 7 1 -7 2 ,1 9 7 2 -7 3 ,1 9 7 6 -7 7 , and 1985-86. Thus, we were able to construct matched files for 20 pairs o f years between 1968 and 1992. Under the sample design of the cps, half of any March sample can be matched 12 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 cps with the March sample o f an adjacent year. A household will be in the sample for 4 months, out for 8 months, and then back in for an additional 4. Thus, households that are in their first through fourth months in the sample in March of year t will be in their fifth through eighth months in the sample in year t + 1. In practice, it is not possible to match fully half of the sample, given that indi viduals leave it for various reasons. The match rates used in this article result from a fairly conservative algorithm and tend to fall in the range of 60 percent to 70 percent of individuals who are eligible to be matched. This attrition rate raises the concern as to whether matched samples can be considered rep- resentative. Franco Peracchi and Finis Welch recently subjected matched March samples to a rigorous testing and concluded that, while the matched and unmatched populations are different in important dimensions, “no major biases appear in the estim ates o f transitions between labor force states after controlling for sex, age and labor force status at the time o f the first survey.”1W hile the research focus o f the current article is differ ent from theirs, Peracchi and W elch’s results provide som e support for using matched cps data in analyzing labor force dynamics. One caveat they mention is that attrition rates are highest among the very young. Similar conclusions were reached in an earlier analysis by Francis W. Horvath.2 Accordingly, to m inim ize attrition problems in the present research, very young workers were omitted from the samples and analyses were performed https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis separately by age group. One of the sensitivity tests that was carried out involved the calculation of inequality statistics for various samples from the matched data. The results indicated that both the levels and trends obtained are comparable to those calculated from the full March CPS. Footnotes to the appendix 1 See Franco Peracchi and Finis Welch, "How Representative Are Matched Cross-Sections: Evidence from the Current Population Survey," unpublished manuscript, October 1992. 2 See Francis W. Horvath, "Tracking Individual Earnings Mobility with the Current Population Survey," M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , May 1980, pp. 43-46. Where are you publishing your research? The Monthly Labor Review will consider for publication studies of the labor force, labor-m anagem ent relations, business conditions, industry productivity, compensation, occupational safety and health, demographic trends, and other economic developments. Papers should be factual and analytical, not polemical in tone. Potential articles should be submitted to: Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, DC 20212-0001. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 13 Labor Force Attachment M Effects of intermittent labor force attachment on women’s earnings Women who leave the labor market fo r family reasons often return to wages lower than those o f women who did not; they lose seniority; are less likely to receive on-the-job training, their job skills may depreciate, and employers may believe they will again take a leave Joyce P. Jacobsen and Laurence M. Levin Joyce P. Jacobsen is a professor of economics at Wesleyan University; Laurence M. Levin is an associate at Cornerstone Research, Menlo Park, CA. 14 omen who interrupt their careers and leave the labor market for family re sponsibilities often return to find that their wages lag behind those of women at com parable stages in their careers who did not leave the labor force. Many reasons account for this lag. First, women who leave the labor force and later re enter do not build up seniority, which, by itself, often leads to higher wages. Second, women who return to the labor force are less likely to receive on-the-job training to increase their productiv ity and thereby raise their pay. Third, when women are not in the work force, their job skills may depreciate. Finally, employers may view gaps in work history as a signal that women who leave may do so again. Some employers would therefore hire them for less important, lowerpaying jobs to limit the impact of a future deci sion to leave. But calculating the cost of intermittent labor force attachment is difficult. Typically, these costs are measured in terms of earnings paths; women who leave the labor force have lower earnings paths than those of women who remain. This article calculates the cost of taking a break from work in terms of the wage differ ence between women who work continuously and women who take one or more leaves. We attempt to control for observable and unob servable heterogeneity to uncover temporary and lasting effects a gap in labor force attach ment can have on wages. W Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 Previous research Most researchers would agree that earnings will be less for workers who take a break from work than for those who work continuously. But re searchers are generally less likely to agree on the magnitude of this effect. Those who do not leave the work force tend to be younger and bet ter educated than those who do. Therefore, us ing the group that has worked continuously as the standard for what would have been earned had a worker not taken a break would over-esti mate foregone earnings. In addition, cross-sectional estimates may be biased by cohort effects that obscure the wage changes a woman may experience when she re enters the labor market. Nevertheless, studies that run earnings regressions to correct for observable differences and that include some measurement of effects of gaps in labor force participation reveal that gaps affect earnings.1 In qualifying these re sults, researchers have focused on different aspects of the effects of intermittency. One hypothesis is that earnings will rebound soon after women re enter the work force.2 However, L.S. Stratton sug gests that the rebound effect after re-entry doesn’t occur.3 She hypothesizes that women returning to the work force who find their wages lower than they had expected are quite likely to leave again. Thus, Stratton concludes, over time only the rela tively high-earning women who have had a break in labor force participation will be left in the work force. This article tests for the rebound effect by re- striding the sample of women with labor force breaks to those women who display continuous labor force attachment for an extended period after a break. By limiting the sample to this subgroup of women, one source of unobservable het erogeneity is eliminated. Furthermore, by holding the sample constant and examining wages at several points in time, we can closely study the effects of increasing time fol lowing a work gap. Our results differ from those of J. Mincer and H. Ofek, and Stratton. We find that when women re-enter the labor market, their earnings are much lower than those of a com parable group of women who did not leave the labor market. Over time, that difference diminishes (due to the rebound effect), but never disappears, even after as long as 20 years. The data The data used in this study are from the 1984 panel of the Survey of Income and Program Participation.« Each indi vidual in the data set was placed in 1 of 4 rotation groups that were interviewed in successive months, and was inter viewed eight times at 4-month intervals. Participants were asked in each interview about their labor force participation in the previous 4 months. This technique produced data for 32 consecutive months for each individual, with a sample period covering June 1983 to April 1986. In addition, the survey contains detailed work histories of individuals before they entered the sample. These work histories are used to identify gaps that occurred before the sample period began. How the sample was selected. Only women aged 30 to 64 at the start of the sample are included. The lower age limit allows women sufficient time to have had at least one work interruption. Second, only women who work relatively con tinuously during the 32 months of the sample are included. To be included in the sample, a woman must report earnings in the 1st, 6th, 12th, 18th, 24th, and 32nd months of the sample.6 Thus, women are included only if their gaps in the sample period were shorter than 6 months. In this study, we are not interested in modeling earnings effects from short leaves, such as maternity leaves; we are trying to include the majority of women, such as teachers, who have seasonally intermittent work schedules. To be included among the sample of women with labor force breaks, a woman must have taken at least one break from work of 6 months or longer between the year she received her last educational degree6 and the beginning of the survey.7 This includes women who worked before taking a break, and women who had an initial gap be tween the year of their last degree and the year in which they started working.» https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The unadjusted geometric mean wage ratio of those who left the work force and those who did not is 1.33 at the start of the sample and falls to 1.30 after 32 months.^ (See table 1.) Women who did not leave the work force are signifi cantly younger and have more education on average than PaU&Us U S a m p le m e a n s for w o m e n w h o r e m a in e d in th e la b o r fo rc e (n o g a p s ) a n d w o m e n w h o left th e la b o r fo rc e (1 or m o r e g a p s ) in th e first m o n th o f th e s a m p le Item Women who remained Women who left in the work force the work force (no gaps) (1 or more gaps) Number of people.................. Wage (T = 1)......................... (T = 1 8 )...................... (T=32)....................... Log wage (T=1)................... (T=18).................. (T=32).................. 696 8.83 9.72 9.76 2.07 2.16 2.17 . 1,730 6.61 7.23 7.49 1.78 1.87 1.91 Years of education................. Percent without high.......... school diploma.................. Percent with high school diploma.................. Percent with some college.. Percent with college degree.............................. Percent with graduate work ................................. 19 6 Age distribution..................... Percent part-time................ Total years worked.............. 39 12 17 45 24 17 38 21 10 2 17 3 Occupational group: Percent professional/ executive........................... Percent service occupations....................... Percent craft occupations... Percent pink collar/blue collar ................................. Residence in South................ Residence outside Metropolitan Statistical Areas.................. 14 12 6 21 33 27 47 19 15 7 50 59 20 16 24 25 Race/ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic)........... Black (non-Hispanic)........... Hispanic............................... Other..................................... 81 13 3 3 82 11 3 4 Marital status: Married.................................. Widowed.............................. Divorced............................... Never married...................... 58 3 21 18 70 5 21 4 Number of children ever born: N o n e..................................... 1 ............................................ 2 ............................................ 3 or m o re............................. 39 18 24 19 9 14 33 44 - 6 5 14 24 33 18 Years since last gap (at T=1): 0 to 1 year............................ 2 years................................. 3 to 5 years.......................... 6 to 10 years........................ 11 to 20 years...................... More than 20 years............. NOTE: - - Dash indicates data are not applicable. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 15 Labor Force Attachment those who did leave. Total work experience is the same for the two groups, which reflects the higher age and lower edu cational attainment of the women who left the work force. These women are much more likely to be working part-time and are more heavily represented in the service occupations and the lesser-skilled occupations, both blue-collar and “pink-collar” (such as administrative support occupations, medical technicians, and machine operators). omen who leave the work force are more likely to be married and to have children than are their counter parts who remain in the work force. For the women who leave work, the average length of time since their last gap was 13 years.10 This last gap lasted an average of 7.5 years, although the median, at 4.5 years, was shorter. Of the women who answered the question, “What was the reason for the last gap?,” 85 percent responded that this leave from the labor force was for family reasons. Other possible reasons included poor health and inability to find a job; leaving work to attend school is not counted as a gap. The unadjusted data show an average annual rate of wage growth of 3.9 percent for women who don’t leave the labor force and 4.7 percent for women who have left the labor force. However, over the last 14 months of the sample, the annual rate of wage growth is 0.6 percent for women who haven’t left work, compared with 3.1 percent for those who have. The observed differences between the two groups in education and occupational distribution, and in marital status and number of children, are significant, and lead to our use of multiple regression analysis below. We do not attempt to address the issue of whether women plan their human capital investments in anticipation of future gaps, nor do we attempt to differentiate between people who did or did not intend to leave the labor force. However, anticipation of leaving the labor force can lead to lower earnings over a woman’s worklife if she invests in less human capital, or in human capital that yields lower returns, but depreciates at a slower rate during periods when a woman has left the work force.11 These investment effects on earnings are not measured here. One argument that could be made is that women who leave the labor force earn less money to begin with than do their counterparts who remain at work. According to this argu ment, their lower wage upon reentry does not indicate a sig nificant loss relative to their earning power before exiting employment. To address that question, we looked at the sub set of this group (25 percent of women who leave the labor force) who reported the wage they were receiving at the time they began their last separation from work. This subsample is slightly younger than women in ge neral who have left work (43 instead of 45 on average); the length of time they have been out of work is skewed toward W 16 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 shorter lengths (54 percent have been working 5 or fewer years since ending their last period away from work; 13 and their wage in the first month of the sample is lower ($5.93 instead of $6.61).13 We expressed their previous wage in 1984 dollars to correct for the rate of price change, as mea sured by the Consumer Price Index. Because the c p i generally increased by less than the rate of growth of nominal wages, we are biasing against a finding that would support our work, which is that wages depreciate significantly during a gap. Yet we find that the wage earned by sample members before beginning their last gap had a mean of $7.76, which is more than 30 percent higher than their wage in the first month of the s i p p sample. This implies that because the majority of women who left the work force had been working for several years when they entered the survey, their wage upon reentry to employment was even lower. This is a substantially different result than was found in the work of Corcoran and Stratton, who also use U.S. data, but from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and the Na tional Longitudinal Survey of Young Women. Their studies find little depreciation when comparing the wage before leav ing work with the wage earned upon returning to work. Our data are telling a different story about wage changes due to gaps in work. Empirical results The next step in our analysis was to estimate regressions whose dependent variable was the natural logarithm of the hourly wage. A regression equation will show the direct ef fects on wages of gaps occurring at different times in the past, and will allow for calculation of wage ratios that con trol for differences in age, education, work experience, and other factors between those who have left the work force and those who remained at work. (See table 2.) The regression equation is estimated at three different points in the sample: the 1st, 18th, and 32nd month of the sample period.14 The independent variables are divided into two types. The first includes variables that control for individual characteristics including age, geographic location, occupation class, and human capital. The second type of variables is a set of dummy variables for number of years since a worker ended her last absence from the labor force, measured from the beginning of the survey; for any observation, the values of these dummy vari ables are the same in all three equations. For example, a woman who concluded a work gap in the year before the survey began will be assigned the dummy variable for a 1year absence for all 3 years; as a result, for her the coeffi cient on the dummy will stand for the effect of one year since the absence ended in the first equation, two years since the Table 2. Regressions on log wage, at three points during the sample period Item Time since gap (at T=1): 0 to 1 year........................................ 2 years............................................. 3 to 5 years...................................... 6 to 10 years.................................... 11 to 20 years................................. More than 20 years........................ Total years worked.......................... Hours and weeks less than 35 (1=yes)....................................... South (1=yes).................................... Rural (1=yes)..................................... A ge.................................................... A ge2 1,000 ................................. Education level (no high school diploma is omitted class): High school diploma....................... Some college.................................. Bachelor’s degree........................... Graduate work................................ Occupation (pink collar/blue collar omitted class):.................... Professional................................... Service ................................. C raft.......................................... Intercept...................................... Log wage (dependent variable m ean)....................................... Adjusted R2 ................................... n o te : T=1 T=18 T=32 -0.33 (7.51) -.2 7 (5.58) -.2 0 (6.28) -.1 2 (4.73) -.1 0 (4.08) -.0 7 (2.11) .003 (2.67) -0.29 (6.85) -.2 7 (5.99) -.1 4 (4.76) -.10 (4.23) -.0 7 (3.17) -.08 (2.77) .004 (3.64) -0.20 (4.61) -.2 4 (5.13) -.1 6 (5.30) -.0 7 (2.64) -.06 (2.61) -.05 (1-76) .003 (2.89) -.1 3 (6.28) -.0 7 (2.90) -.1 5 (7.91) .02 (2.06) -.24 (2.24) -.15 (7.67) -.0 7 (3.49) -.1 5 (8.15) .01 (1.24) -.16 (1.60) -.15 (7.17) -.0 8 (3.45) -.1 6 (8.59) .01 (1.43) -.18 (1.74) .13 (5.11) .27 (9.28) .32 (8.62) .41 (10.35) .11 (4.59) .25 (8.81) .32 (8.95) .44 (11.70) .10 (4.20) .25 (8.70) .30 (8.29) .43 (11.19) .20 (8.54) -.2 5 (10.16) .14 (2.85) 1.39 (6.69) .21 (9.57) -.2 9 (12.37) .10 (2.25) 1.67 (7.91) .17 (7.79) -.28 (11.25) .06 (1.21) 1.63 (7.21) 1.86 .35 1.96 .40 1.98 .36 Coefficients significant at the .05 level, t-statistics in parenthesis. absence in the second equation and three years since the ab sence in the third. Measuring the dummy variables this way allows us to examine if the wages of the same group of women change as the amount of time lengthens over the duration of the survey since the end of their last period out of the labor force. A lasting negative effect and a gradual rebound effect re sulted from the period out of the labor force. (See table 2). The coefficients on the dummy variables that control for the num ber of years since the last period out of the work force clearly show that the large initial negative effect of the work gap de creases as the gap recedes into the past. In addition, examining https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the 3-year pattern of the dummy coefficients provides strong evidence that the decline in the negative effect of a gap is not due solely to women with low wages leaving the labor market. For every period out of the labor force, the value of the dummy coefficient is largest in the first period and smallest in the last, implying that for any particular length of time out of the labor force, 2-1/2 years of continuous labor force attachment will, on average, diminish the difference in wages between those who have left the work force and those who remained. For example, in the initial period, women whose gaps ended less than 1 year ago had wages that were 33 percent lower than those of women who did not leave the labor force. By the third year (when they would have re turned to the work force more than 3 years ago) these women’s wages were only 20 percent lower than those of women who remained in the labor force. This coefficient is the same as the coefficient on the dummy variable that women whose last gap was between 3 years and 5 years ago received in the regression for the first period. The results reported above held, regardless of changes to the equations described below.15 Initially, different equations were used for those who left and those who remained in the labor force. The two groups were combined and an F-test 16 of whether the two groups could be pooled was conducted; the test did not reject the hypothesis that the two groups could be pooled. Therefore, only the pooled results are shown. Alternative specifications included three possibilities: • including a variable for the total length of the last period out of work, or including a set of variables for length of this period interacted with the dummies modeling time since the end of this period; • marital status, either as a dummy variable for whether or not the woman was currently married, or as a dummy variable for whether or not the woman had ever been mar ried; • either a dummy variable noting whether the woman had ever had children, or a continuous variable for the num ber of children ever born. These alternative specifications did not substantively change the results, although the above variables had a very small (but statistically significant) negative effect. However, the dummy variable that indicated currently married was sta tistically insignificant. Another alternative specification included a set of vari ables using a dummy indicating whether the length of time out of the labor force was more than 4 years (the median gap length), which was interacted with the dummies modeling elapsed time since the gap. This set of additional variables did not pass an F-test for significance of their inclusion. A variable indicating whether the person had numerous peri ods out of the labor force was not significant; neither was a Monthly Labor Review September 1995 17 Labor Force Attachment quadratic term in experience, nor a variable indicating whether the employee generally worked full-time or parttime throughout her worklife.17 Including local labor market features, such as monthly unemployment rates by State, also was not significant.18 Fi nally, including a dummy signifying nonwhite or Hispanic status was not significant, and a pooling test for whites and nonwhites did not reject the hypothesis that the two groups could be pooled. lthough there is strong evidence for a partial rebound effect, the wages of women who have taken a leave from the labor market never catch up to the wages of women who never left. Even women whose labor force gap occurred more than 20 years ago still earn between 5 percent and 7 percent less than women who never left the labor force and have com parable levels of experience; in the last year, however, this dif ference is significant only at the 10-percent significance level. One possible interpretation is that even after many years, employers view work gaps as a signal that the individual is not as dedicated a worker as a woman who did not leave the work force. This view may be reflected in reduced promotion possi bilities, different job assignments, and other actions by em ployers that reduce wages. To illustrate the cost of taking an employment gap for a particular case, assume a woman with the following character istics: graduates college at age 21, immediately begins full time work (40 hours a week, 50 weeks a year) in a pink-collar occupation, lives in a city outside the South. She leaves work when she is 25 years old for 7 years and re-enters full-time work in 1984 at age 32. We assume a real interest rate equal to the rate of real wage growth and use the growth rates calcu lated from the regression for time t= l. In this case, the present (1984) value of the difference between her earnings for the 20 years after she re-enters and what they would have been had she remained constantly employed is $52,000. Part of this is caused by her fewer years of experience; part is due to her decision to leave the labor force. This amount is equal to 15 percent of her prospective earnings had she worked constantly, or approximately 3 years of wages—a considerable difference. Thus, the cost of taking a 7-year gap is 10 years of earnings. Unadjusted geometric mean wage ratios and adjusted geometric mean wage ratios that are calculated using the regressions reported are listed in the following tabulation. The adjusted geometric mean wage that is calculated using the regressions illustrates how much of a wage differential remains between the groups of women who did not leave the work force and those who did, even after controlling for A differences in mean values between the two groups: Unadjusted t = l .......................................... t= 1 8 ........................................ t= 3 2 ........................................ 1.33 1.34 1.30 Adjusted 1.14 1.12 1.10 The first column displays the unadjusted ratios of wages of women who did not leave the work force to those who did at the three points in time of the sample. The second column holds differences in mean values for age, education, total years expe rience, and so on, constant for the two groups. It is calculated by taking the antilog of the negative of the summation of each gap dummy coefficient multiplied by the proportion of the women who left work experiencing the length of the gap in labor force participation. This has the effect of reducing the wage differential at each point in time, but does not eradicate it, indicating that a work gap is important in explaining differ ences in earnings between the two groups. Additionally, the pattern of a rebound effect is demon strated more clearly by holding constant other factors affect ing the wage. After 32 months, the adjusted ratio has dropped from 1.14 to 1.10, indicating that women who remained at work still receive a wage 10 percent higher than their coun terparts who left the labor force. I n s u m , optimists and pessimists can take some solace from our results. On the optimistic side, wages that drop because of a break from the work force rise over time. On the pessimistic side, however, the negative effects of a break in earnings are quite persistent; they remain discernible even 20 years after the last break has ended. In addition, the effect of a gap on a woman’s lifetime earn ings is significantly larger than just her foregone wages during the time away from work. This last finding has significant im plications for the way in which compensation between hus band and wife is calculated in divorce proceedings. One obvious extension of this work is to discuss the malefemale wage ratio and the contribution that gaps in work make toward explaining the gender pay gap. Another extension is to develop a model that simultaneously predicts who will take a leave from work with what womens wages will be in various life situations. This will allow our analysis to be extended to all women rather than just the specific subset we analyze in this article. The narrower focus of this article, however, has allowed for discussion of the rebound effect, and has provided a clearer idea of how sustained gaps in employment can influence female earnings. □ Footnotes ACKNOWLEDGMENT : The data used in this paper were made available by the Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research. The data for Survey o f Income and Program Participation, 1984 panel, were collected by 18 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 the U.S. Bureau of the Census. Neither the collectors of the original data nor the Consortium bears any responsibility for the analyses or interpretations pre sented here. Financial support from the Rhodes College Department of Economics and Business and Santa Clara University, and comments on an earlier version of this paper from Jean Kimmel, John Pencavel, Leslie Stratton, and participants o f sessions at the 1991 Southern Economic Association, 1992 American Eco nomic Association, and 1992 International Economics Association conferences are all gratefully acknowledged. 1 M.B. Stewart and C.A. Greenhalgh, “Work History Patterns and the Occupational Attainment of Women,” E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, September 1984, pp. 493-519, using British data; M.E. Corcoran, “Work Experience, Labor Force Withdrawals, and Women’s Wages: Empirical Results Using the 1976 Panel o f Income Dynamics” in C.B. Lloyd, E.S. Andrews, and C.L. Gilroy, eds., W om en in th e L a b o r M a r k e t (New York, Columbia University Press), 1977, using U.S. data. 2 Jacob Mincer and Haim Ofek, “Interrupted Work Careers: Depreciation and Restoration o f Human Capital,” J o u r n a l o f H u m an R e s o u r c e s , Winter 1982, pp. 3-24. 3 "The Effect Interruptions in Work Experience Have on Wages," S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, April 1995, pp. 955-70. Stratton acknowledges that the direction o f causality can go both ways— from low wages to labor force expe rience or from planned experience to low wages. 4 Later panels o f the sipp do not contain equally detailed data concerningwork gaps. The extracted data and the programs used to create and analyze the data set are available upon request from the researchers. 5 This corresponds to data from the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5 th, 6th, and 8th waves of the panel. 6 Seven percent o f the women counted as those who did not leave the work force reported a gap, but continued their formal education during that period. 7 Gaps shorter than 6 months are not coded in the data, so the minimum gap length was determined by data availability. 8 O f the women who are counted as those who left the labor force, 15.8 percent did not report a gap since beginning work; for these people, the exist ence and timing o f a gap since completing their formal education was calcu lated in one or both o f two ways: by determining if subtracting the total number o f years they reported working continuously left time unaccounted for between then and when they finished school; or by determining if the year that they first reported having a job was more than 1 year after they reported finishing school. Exclusion of these women does not substantially change the numbers reported in tables 1 and 2. 9 The reported normal hourly wage rate is used when available; when not reported, a measure of average hourly earnings was constructed to proxy for the wage rate. This measure was constructed as monthly earnings divided by monthly hours worked. This measure was used for 42 percent of the sample in the 1st month, 45 percent in the 18th month, and 43 percent in the 32nd month. 10 Only 7 percent of the women who left work reported more than one gap of 6 months or longer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Unlike Stratton, our focus in this article is not on a woman’s earnings upon reentry relative to what she made before leaving the work force, but rather on her earnings relative to what she would be making had she been working continuously. We are unable to address the first issue because we do not have observations that would apply to more than a small percentage of the women of each woman’s wage before she left the work force. However, these are different questions, and the rebound effect can be measured in either case (although rela tive to a different base) over the period of work following work force reentry. 12 This skewing toward shorter lengths is caused by the availability o f the data on previous wage. Women were not asked in the sipp what their wage was before their last gap; they were asked what their wage was on their previous job. Women who have been working for longer periods since their last period out of the work force have had more opportunity to switch jobs. As the sipp also contained data on years in which the previous job had ended and how much time had elapsed before the current job began, we could determine which reportings o f previous wage corresponded to a wage earned before a period out of the work force. 13 O f these women reporting their previous wage, 58 percent reported their hourly wage, 17 percent their weekly wage, 15 percent their monthly wage, and 10 percent their annual wage. All wages were translated into hourly wage rates using the additional reported variable of usual hours worked per week on previous jobs; for monthly and yearly wages, the hours variable was multiplied by 4.3 or 50 to estimate total monthly and total yearly hours. 14 This corresponds to data from the first, fifth, and eighth waves o f the sipp panel. 15 All of these alternative regressions are available from the authors upon request. The sample size is reduced to 1,823 women, 523 o f whom worked continuously, upon inclusion of information about the presence of children. 16 This test, often referred to as the Chow test, consists of estimating the regression equation for the two groups separately and then together, and calcu lating the statistic: F = (R R S S - U R S S )/( k + 11 URSSKn + n 1 - 2 k -2) 2 where R R S S = the sum of the residual sum o f squares from the separate equa tions, U R S S = the residual sum of squares from the pooled equation, k = the number o f independent variables n, and n2 = number of observations the two groups respectively. Then the statistic has an F distribution with degrees of freedom (k + 1), {n { + n2 - 2 k - 2). If it is not sufficiently greater than zero, then the hypothesis that the equation structure and the two groups are not different cannot be rejected. 17 Seventeen percent o f women who left work and 9 percent o f women who worked continuously reported they generally worked part-time. 18 Thanks to Jean Kimmel for providing these data. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 19 Security Brokers and Dealers Employment trends in the security brokers and dealers industry Employment o f wage and salary workers in this industry grew by 28 percent between 1984 and 1993; professional jobs almost doubled , while weak job growth fo r clerical workers reflected productivity gains from technological advances Brett Illyse Graff A Brett lllyse Graff is an economist in the Office of Em ployment and Un employment Sta tistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 20 s global markets have expanded and com puterized trading has increased, tasks per formed by workers in many occupations in the security brokers and dealers industry have been transformed. The most recent data collected on occupational staffing patterns in the industry reflect the component firms’ adaptation to conse quences of the 1987 market crash and to decades of electronic advances. The industry has re sponded to these changes by increasing employ ment in highly technical professional occupations such as computer scientists and statistical finan cial analysts, and by streamlining managerial and internal analysis jobs. The increase in the profes sional share of the industry’s employment has largely offset a decrease in the managerial share. This article examines the changes in occupational employment within the security brokers and deal ers industry through some of the steepest bull and bear markets of the post-World War II period. Industry profile The security brokers and dealers industry (sic 621)1 includes bond dealers and brokers, mutual fund agents, security traders, securities underwrit ers, oil and gas lease brokers, and tax certificate Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 dealers. In May 1993, it employed 349,880 work ers. (See table 1.) The industry is a component of securities and commodities brokers, dealers, ex changes, and services (sic 62). Brokers in this industry act as agents in secu rity transactions for individual and institutional clients. Dealers buy and sell securities for their firm’s own account and risk.2 Investment bank ers, also included in this industry, are primarily engaged in the initial public offering of securi ties. They underwrite and distribute shares, while generally continuing to act as market makers in those issues. Broker-dealers are required to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SE C ), a Federal agency that governs several self-regulated organizations (S R O ’s ) . They also must obtain membership in the National Association of Secu rities Dealers (N A S D ). A broker-dealer distribut ing new issues underwritten by NASD members, or distributing shares of investment companies sponsored by N A SD members,3 must become a member of the NASD. Firms trading on the Nasdaq market (the overthe-counter market) as either strictly order-entry firms (trading as brokers or dealers) or market makers (dealers that hold an inventory of Nasdaq listed securities) must meet NASD requirements. Nasdaq is an electronic trading network. The Nasdaq Workstation n pro vides a centralized quotation service, as well as automated ex ecutions, trade reporting, and trade negotiation.4 Traders us ing the Nasdaq system can link to the major exchanges through the Computer Assisted Execution System Intermarket Trading System ( c a e s / i t s ). If a firm is brokering or dealing stocks listed on an exchange, it is often a member of that exchange. To become a market maker in an exchange listed security, a firm must apply to the exchange. Unlike the case for Nasdaq, each security trading on an exchange can only have one market maker. By using a cor respondent firm to clear and execute its trades, a firm can trade on an exchange without being a member. Chart 1 shows the trading volume within the major world securities markets. It displays the significance of both the New York Stock Exchange ( n y s e ) and Nasdaq. The high number of members and the consequential trading volume on the n y s e cause the resulting data from this organization to be used as a proxy for the operations of the entire industry. Industry employment Inflation during the late 1970’s caused many companies to begin to trade at undervalued prices, and by the early 1980’s, lower interest rates helped to make purchasing securities lu crative. In August 1982, the market began a 5-year ascent. Table 1. Industry employment for March of that year totaled 219,620.5 By 1984, brokerage firm profits were down from the previ ous year, but stock prices continued to rise. The Quarterly Dow Jones Industrial Average ( d j i a ) had increased by 26.3 percent,6 and total industry employment in May of that year had risen by 24 percent (to 273,330) from the 1982 level. By 1987, stock prices in relation to their underlying value, as measured by earnings potential, had become inflated.7 The Quarterly d j i a was up 113.5 percent from its 1984 level. As of May of 1987, industry employment had increased by 25.6 percent (273,330 to 343,170) from the 1984 level. By October, several factors, including a weakening U.S. dollar, expectations of rising inflation and interest rates, and wid ening yield spreads between stocks and bonds, sent investors on a selling spree. The market crashed and the Quarterly d j ia fell 657.45 points between the third and fourth quarters (September 30 to December 31). Pretax profits of firms in the industry were down $4,379 billion8 from the previous year.9 Even so, employment rose to 358,475 in December,10 but decreased by 0.9 percent by the end of the first quarter of 1988.“ By the end of that year, total trading volume was down on the American Stock Exchange (AM EX), NYSE, and Nasdaq. The crash resulted in extreme cost cutting in the industry. In 1989, bonuses were down, on average, approximately 20 percent. Some firms sought to conserve cash by giving stock to their employees.12 By May of 1990, employment had Occupational employment within security brokers and dealers, selected years, 1984-93 1984 Occupation Employ ment 1987 Percent distri bution Employ ment 1993 1990 Percent distri bution Employ ment Percent distri bution Employ ment Percent distri bution Total industry............................................................... 273,330 100.00 343,170 100.00 325,230 100.00 349,880 100.0 Managerial occupations.................................................... Financial managers......................................................... General managers and top executives (brokerage managers)................................................ 21,450 3,890 7.81 1.42 33,170 8,420 9.63 2.45 31,050 10,480 9.51 3.22 25,360 9,290 7.25 2.66 8,360 3.05 15,470 4.50 12,080 3.71 11,020 3.15 Professional occupations................................................ Accountants and auditors.............................................. All other financial specialists.......................................... Systems analysts............................................................ Computer programmers................................................. Operations and systems analysts, except computer... Financial analysts, statistical.......................................... Economists, including market researchers................... 27,720 4,230 1,720 2,180 3,440 260 3,700 1,940 10.01 1.54 .62 .79 1.25 .09 1.35 .70 44,490 4,960 6,120 2,930 5,680 1,490 5,300 1,840 12.81 1.44 1.78 .85 1.65 .43 1.54 .53 47,290 5,570 13,560 4,090 4,900 1,110 5,330 1,570 14.50 1.71 4.16 1.25 1.50 .34 1.63 .48 54,380 4,950 17,000 3,080 5,040 350 6,380 2,040 15.50 1.41 4.86 .88 1.44 .10 1.82 .58 Sales and related occupations......................................... First-line supervisors...................................................... Sales agents—securities, commodities, and financial services.................................................. 105,530 5,500 38.60 2.01 119,470 5,020 34.78 1.46 123,430 7,680 37.90 2.36 138,010 4,410 39.40 1.26 89,100 32.60 103,210 30.07 103,770 31.90 122,500 35.01 Clerical and administrative support workers................... First-line supervisors....................................................... Brokerage clerks............................................................ Secretaries...................................................................... Data-entry keyers............................................................ 116,930 4,800 37,660 26,700 3,440 42.60 1.75 13.77 9.76 1.25 142,200 11,640 40,410 31,660 4,070 41.26 3.39 11.77 9.22 1.18 119,930 9,210 35,390 29,070 2,810 36.70 2.83 10.88 8.93 .86 129,140 10,700 44,230 26,040 2,030 36.90 3.06 12.64 7.44 .58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 21 Security Brokers and Dealers Chart 1, Dollar volume of equity trading in major world markets, 1994 Stock exchange $500 $1,000 $1,500 Value (in billions of U.S. dollars) $2,000 $2,500 b y ^ r m ^ io n nal Association of Securltles Dealers, Inc., 1995 N a sd a q Fact Book & C om p a n y Directory (Washington, naso, 1995). $3,000 Reprinted Chart 2. Average weekly wages in security brokers and dealers and in total private industry, selected years, ---------- 1984-1993 Wages Wages $2,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$2,000 □ Security brokers and dealers $1,800 ■ Total private industry - $1,600 $1,400 $ 1,200 $ 1,000 - $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 1984 22 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1987 September 1995 1990 1993 decreased by 5.2 percent from the 1987 level, and totaled 325,230. That year, firms in the industry posted a loss of $162 million before taxes. Between the second and third quarters (June 29 to September 28) of 1990, the Quarterly d j ia plummeted again, dropping 428.21 points. It moved up 181.18 points the following quarter and a total of 535.17 points over the following year. In 1991, the market began a dramatic recovery, which led to spectacular performances in almost every product category. Lower short-term interest rates caused investors to favor stocks and bonds over low-yielding bank instruments.13 The pretax profits of firms surpassed those of 1986. Industry employment, however, continued to fall until February of 1992. Later that year, the average daily trading volume on the Nasdaq doubled, while n y s e trading volume increased 69 percent.14 Employment began to inch back up. Trading volume alone was enough to move up the market, but the cost cutting resulting from the 1987 crash and the privatization of state-owned enterprises worldwide also contributed to the prosperity. Mutual fund sales set successive records in 1991, 1992, and 1993.15 Pretax profits for industry establishments in 1993 reached a record $8,600 billion.16 By May of that year, the industry’s employment had increased 7.6 percent from 1990, totaling 349,880. The following tabulation shows the employment for the industry stratified by size (number of employees) of the unit: E m p lo y m e n t s iz e P e r c e n t d is tr ib u tio n 1 to 19 workers............................ 20 to 49 workers.......................... 50 to 99 workers.......................... 100 to 249 workers..................... 250 workers or m o re.................. 14.5 15,2 13.2 13.4 41.8 Fifty-eight percent of the employment in the security bro kers and dealers industry was fairly evenly distributed among the first four size groups. The remaining 42 percent was in the units with at least 250 workers. The analysis that follows shows that employment size is a key factor in determining a unit’s staffing pattern. Industry payrolls The security brokers and dealers industry had the highest payroll per employee of any industry in 1993.17 The average weekly wage in this industry was $1,853, some 371 percent of the economy-wide private sector average of $499. (In 1990, the industry was the second highest paying, with an average of $1,242 per week. The services allied with securities in dustry (sic 628) had the highest pay in 1990 and the second highest in 1993.) The high pay levels and their percent in crease between 1990 and 1993 reflect how well the industry has recovered from the downturn of the late 1980’s. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Employment in the security brokers and dealers industry is concentrated in relatively few States. Eight States (New York, California, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Florida, Illi nois, Texas, and Pennsylvania) accounted for 71 percent of the total industry employment in 1993. Chart 3 shows each State’s employment as a percentage of national employment for the industry and for the United States as a whole. While New York had only 7 percent of total U.S. private industry wage and salary employment, it had almost 33 percent of all employment in the security brokers and dealers industry. California recorded the second highest share of industry em ployment with 9 percent of the national employment. This was, however, a smaller share than the 11 percent California had of total employment in all industries. Occupational employment The data used for the analysis of occupational staffing pat terns in the security brokers and dealers industry are from the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey.18 The OES survey is a Federal-State cooperative survey of establish ments that produces estimates of current occupational em ployment by industry. The survey follows a 3-year cycle. In the first year, manufacturing industries, hospitals, and agri cultural services are covered, followed by mining, construc tion, finance, and services industries in the second year. Trade, transportation, communications, public utilities, and education industries as well as State and local government are surveyed in the third year. The survey is based on a prob ability sample and is stratified by industry, geographic area, and size (number of employees) of the unit. The OES occupational classification system divides work ers into seven major groups: managerial and administrative occupations; professional, paraprofessional, and technical occupations; sales and related occupations; clerical and ad ministrative support occupations; service occupations; agri culture, forestry, fishing, and related occupations; and pro duction, construction, operating, maintenance, and material handling occupations. The 1993 OES survey shows that almost 99 percent of em ployment in the securities industry was concentrated in four of the major occupational groups: managerial, professional, sales, and clerical. The data and analysis that follow relate to these groups. The 3-year cycle for the security industry resulted in data collected for 1984, 1987, 1990, and 1993. Table 2 shows the resulting occupational estimates. May was the reference month in each case. Thus, the 1987 data from the OES survey reflect a period 6 months before the October 1987 stock market crash. The end of the discussion for each occupational group addresses the occupational distribution of workers by the employment size of the establishment. The occupational es- Monthly Labor Review September 1995 23 Security Brokers and Dealers timates for employment by size of the establishment are shown in table 1. ers, w h o m ust also be registered with the NASD, are discussed under sales and related occupations.) By the end of the 5-year bull market that began in 1982,21 firms had greatly increased their employment of managers. Managerial workers In 1984, the reported employment for this occupational group This group includes top and middle managers, administrators, totaled 21,450. (See table 1.) By May of 1987 (approximately and executives. They are responsible for policymaking, plan 6 months before the October crash), the number of managers ning, staffing, and directing the activities of the establishment. had grown by 55 percent, reaching its highest level at 33,170. The two managerial occupations with the greatest employment Their share of industry employment rose from 7.8 percent to in the industry in 1993 were financial managers and general 9.6 percent over the 3-year period. managers. Financial managers plan and direct financial ac Although financial managers and general managers ex tivities, including the investment strategies of the organization. perienced the largest percentage increases within this period The general managers and top executives, who include broker (approximately 116 percent and 85 percent, respectively), age managers, have diverse responsibilities that are not con notable percentage gains also occurred for managers direct fined to a single functional area such as finance or marketing. ing other operations. The numbers of marketing, advertis Many managers in this industry are designated by the ing, and public relations managers and personnel, training, NASD as registered principals. They are defined as persons and labor relations managers each grew by approximately 79 engaged in the management of a member’s investment bank-, percent. ing or securities business. Their duties may include supervi After the crash in 1987, firms began to reduce the number sion and training. Registered principals are sole proprietors,19 of managerial positions in order to streamline operations. At officers, partners, managers of offices of supervisory juris the outset, employment reductions were mainly of support diction, and directors of corporations.20 Holders of these po staff, but in the first quarter of 1990, the industry reported its sitions must pass the appropriate n a s d exam. (Sales manag worst profits in years and further cutbacks were inevitable.22 ________ Chart 3. Share of U.S. security brokers and dealers employment and share of total private wage and salary employment, eight States, 1993 Percent 35 Percent ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 35 □ Percent of security brokers and dealers employment Percent of private industry employment 30 30 25 25 - 20 20 15 15 10 New York 24 California Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis J New Jersey September e EIE Massachusetts 1995 Florida Illinois Texas Pennsylvania - 10 - 5 By May of that year, the number of managers had declined by slightly over 6 percent from the 1987 total. Decreases oc curred mainly among purchasing managers, whose number declined by 42 percent, and general managers and top execu tives, for whom employment dropped by 22 percent. Firms in the industry further trimmed their managerial ranks from 1990 to 1993, even though, in the first half of 1993, net income for broker-dealers (doing public business, as opposed to specialist firms that deal only with institu tions)23 topped that for all of 1992. The industry showed a managerial decline of 18 percent, and a decrease in manage rial concentration to 7.3 percent from the 9.5 percent reported in 1990. This drop, together with only a modest gain in in dustry employment (325,230 to 349,880) over the same pe riod, resulted in a decrease in the employment level of man agers, from 31,050 to 25,360. During this period, the employment levels of almost all managerial occupations in the industry fell. The two largest, financial and general managers, together accounted for 2,250 of the 5,690-worker decrease for all managers. Other func tional managers such as mathematical managers,24 who de creased in number from 1,350 in 1990 to 450 in 1993, expe rienced much more severe relative effects of the downsizing process. The number of marketing, advertising, and public relations managers declined from 1,440 to 930, while em ployment of personnel, training, and labor relations manag ers decreased from 700 to 490. Employment by size o f establishment, 1993. Managers’ share of employment within a firm varied by the size of the unit reporting, with the highest percentage in the smallest employment size group. Within security brokers and dealers, units with fewer than 20 employees had 13 percent of workers in the managerial ranks. (See table 1.) General managers made up 6.6 percent and financial managers comprised 6.1 percent of employment in these units. The units with wage and salary employment between 20 and 49, between 50 and 99, and between 100 and 249 reported 6.4, 4.6, and 6.8 percent, respectively, of their workers as managers. Units with more than 250 employees reported 7.3 percent of workers as managers. These large units had a high percentage of “specialized m anagers,” such as personnel managers, marketing managers, or administrative services managers. Professional and technical workers Professional, paraprofessional, and technical workers within the security brokers and dealers industry are involved in analysis, trading, research, and advising. Substantial postsecondary edu cation or on-the-job training usually is required for occupations in this group. Persons in occupations concerned with the trad ing of securities must be registered with the NASD. In 1993, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis security brokers, dealers, and flotation companies employed 54,380 professional workers, accounting for 15.5 percent of industry employment. (See table 2.) ost cutting measures within the industry over the study period have included consolidations and intercompany mergers of back office operations. The brokering and deal ing of securities requires specially trained professional work ers for functions such as the handling of computations, analy sis, daily statements, regulatory reports, and settling and clearing trades. Smaller units have often determined that it is not cost-effective to have each of these specialized functions performed by a professional on their payroll. Another cost factor in the industry is that the operations require constant implementation of more advanced technology. Many of the smaller brokers and dealers use the greater capacity of larger firms. Through a formal agreement, some times called “outsourcing,” a smaller firm clears trades through a larger firm. By outsourcing, a small firm can fo cus solely on investing, while competing at the same level of technology as larger firms. Some of the establishments with excess back office capacity have found providing this service profitable enough to create affiliates dedicated purely to do ing so. Clearing trades through other firms is not the only factor that allows some units to conduct business with very few or no professional workers. The bulk of computation, research, and trading done within each firm is generally performed at one central location. Other units may be front offices, em ploying mostly registered representatives who deal directly with clients. Due to the aforementioned factors, only a small percent age of establishments reported employing professionals, as they are defined for this study. The 1993 employment level for financial analysts was 6,380, yet only 10 percent25 of units reported employment for this occupation. An estimated 4,950 accountants and auditors employed within the securities bro kers and dealers industry were reported by 12 percent of the units. Workers in computer science occupations totaled 9,850 within security brokers and dealers. Of these, systems ana lysts and computer programmers were reported by 7 and 8 percent of firms, respectively. Credit analysts, budget ana lysts, management analysts, and systems researchers each were reported by approximately 2 percent of establishments in the industry. C Employment trends, 1984-93. The overall industry demand for this occupational group is illustrated by increases in its em ployment level over the 1984-93 period. The amount of growth, however, was largely a function of the profitability of firms. Post-crash cost cutting and vital restructuring proved some oc cupations to be more indispensable than others. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 25 Security Brokers and Dealers Employment of professionals expanded rapidly from 1984 to 1987. The total number increased by 60 percent, from 27,720 to 44,490. These workers accounted for 24 percent of the over all industry employment expansion during this period. Professional occupations with rising employment levels for the 1984-87 period were mainly concerned with financial and operational analysis. Employment of statistical financial ana lysts grew by 1,600 to total 5,300, and that of operations and systems research analysts moved up by 1,230, to 1,490. The number of accountants and auditors grew by 730 during this time. Although the increase for accountants was not as great as those for the aforementioned occupations, total occupational employment for accountants was high in 1987, at 4,960 or 1.4 percent of industry employment. While there were large in creases in the number of workers in professional occupations in the 1984-87 period, the detailed professional occupations did not all fare well in less prosperous markets. Shortly after October of 1987, firms began cost cutting, which included an employment reduction. Previously, total industry employment had increased in almost every quarter. Between 1987 and 1990, however, the total employment level declined by slightly more than 5 percent, although the num ber of professional workers grew by 6 percent to total 47,290. The occupational share for these workers grew by approxi mately 2 percentage points, such that professional workers accounted for 14.5 percent of industry employment in 1990. Restructuring did, however, trim employment of most ana lytical positions. The residual occupational group of manage ment support workers26 took the largest hit, dropping from 6,640 Table 2. Percent distribution of workers by detailed occupation and establishment size class, security brokers and dealers, 1993 1-19 workers Occupation 20-49 workers 50-99 workers 100-249 workers 250 workers or more Managerial occupations.................................................. Financial managers..................................................... General managers (brokerage managers)................ 13.04 6.14 6.55 6.40 1.86 4.15 4.62 1.2 2.13 6.76 1.59 3.19 7.27 2.31 1.70 Professional occupations................................................ Accountants and auditors.......................................... All other financial specialists....................................... Systems analysts, electronic data processing.......... Computer programmers.............................................. Financial analysts, statistical....................................... Economists, including market researchers................ Public relations specialists.......................................... 3.75 .85 .55 .17 .11 1.10 .14 .02 5.07 .51 .86 .15 .21 1.83 .06 — 6.00 .59 1.54 .28 .10 2.23 .24 — 8.59 .87 1.01 .42 .69 1.32 .36 .07 27.91 2.53 8.70 2.03 3.24 1.72 1.06 .11 Sales and related workers.............................................. First-line supervisors................................................... Sales agents—security, commodity, and financial services............................................... 46.33 1.80 54.15 1.03 60.16 1.73 50.34 1.73 18.72 .74 42.9 50.84 55.64 43.12 14.63 Clerical and administrative support workers.................. First-line supervisors................................................... Brokerage clerks.......................................................... Secretaries................................................................... 36.09 3.53 17.64 6.17 34.34 2.29 11.46 11.51 29.07 1.12 10.36 7.34 34.01 2.10 11.60 5.89 44.27 3.85 14.48 6.95 N ote : Dash indicates no data, or data not available. 26 workers to 2,210, for a 67-percent decrease. Employment of management analysts declined by 300 to total 410. The num ber of operations and systems analysts, except computer, dropped by 380 to 1,110 in 1990, and that of economists de clined by 270, to 1,570 workers. The employment of statistical financial analysts, however, barely changed (a 30-worker in crease); this group numbered 5,330 in the latter year. By May of 1993, the market had recovered and firms reconfigured staffing patterns accordingly. In the first half of the year, the industry saw an increase in mergers and acqui sitions, as well as highly profitable Initial Public Offerings.27 With increasing momentum, firms picked up employment of statistical financial analysts, raising the level by 1,050 work ers to total 6,380. Also, the employment level for economists rose to 2,040, surpassing its 1987 level. Professional workers dealing with internal operations de clined in employment between 1987 and 1990. The group of accountants and auditors, which had grown by 12 percent from 1987 to 1990, declined almost an equal percent (11) between 1990 and 1993. The employment level for manage ment analysts, which had fallen over the 1987-90 period, changed little. The number of operations and systems ana lysts, except computer, dropped to a mere 350 workers, a 68percent decline over 3 years. The most dramatic employment change throughout the four survey rounds examined is the increase for “all other financial specialists.” This occupation is a residual within the oes structure. Firms report employment in this category for financial occupations not individually specified. This Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 financial specialists” (that is, traders, including those as signed to exchange floors) each made up around 1 percent of industry employment. In contrast, units that employed at least 250 workers had 27.9 percent of their workers in the professional group. These units also employed the financerelated occupations in greater percentages. In addition, the larger units reported the majority of the employment of com puter related workers, economists, labor relations specialists, and lawyers within the industry. The fact that employment for these occupations in the smaller firms is low is partly due to the concentration of such jobs in centralized departments in multi-location firms, as well as to outsourcing. Sales and related workers residual occupation includes traders.28 The occupation to taled 1,720 workers in 1984 and had increased, by 256 per cent, to 6,120 in 1987. It more than doubled to 13,560 in 1990, and then rose another 25 percent, to 17,000, in 1993. Because this residual occupation is composed of various fi nancial specialists, it is difficult to link its increase to any specific factors. The number of computer scientists and related workers within security brokers and dealers increased more than 63 percent from 1984 to 1993. Within this occupational group, the employment level of systems analysts was at its highest in 1990, with 4,090 workers. That level had declined to 3,080 by 1993. Total growth for this occupation during all four survey rounds amounted to 41 percent. For computer pro grammers, the overall increase between 1984 and 1993 was 47 percent. Their employment totaled 3,440 in 1984, peaked at 5,680 in 1987, and then declined slightly to 5,040 in 1993. Employment by size o f establishment, 1993. Size of estab lishment data from 1993 show that the percentage of profes sional workers in security brokers and dealers increases with unit employment. In establishments with fewer than 20 em ployees, 3.8 percent of workers were professionals. (See table 2.) Occupations related to finance, including financial ana lysts, accountants and auditors, and the residual “all other https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Any employee of a firm who participates in the business of investment banking or securities transactions, including ac count solicitation, must be recognized by the NASD as a reg istered representative.29 To qualify, an employee must first be sponsored by a member firm. The association performs an investigation of the applicant for involvement in any vio lation of Federal or State laws, or n a s d or exchange rules. Applicants must pass the exam appropriate for the securities brokered, and can then engage in the solicitation of instru ments for which they are qualified. Supervisors of these workers are considered principals, and must pass the NASD exam that pertains to the securities solicited by themselves and their workers. In the security brokers and dealers indus try, the oes occupation “sales agents—securities, commodi ties, and financial services” is made up largely of brokers. Brokers are generally paid on a commission basis. Each firm formulates a grid, with payments determined by both the price and number of shares traded. Every trade produces a commission, of which a percentage is identified as broker earnings. The Securities Industry Association reported in 1994, however, that a “growing number of firms are chang ing compensation practices, paying brokers by portfolio per formance, assets managed, or other alternatives.”30 The employment level for these sales agents or brokers did not decline through any of the survey rounds. In fact, their number increased dramatically between 1984 and 1987, from 89,100 to 103,210. (See table 2.) Between 1987 and 1990, however, the level barely changed. This was contrary to the experience of the overall industry, which lost 5 percent of its employment in the aftermath of the 1987 crash. By 1993, the employment of “sales agents—securities, commodities, and financial services” reached 122,500, an 18percent rise from 1990. Although stock prices plummeted again towards the end of 1990, the following year brought low interest rates and favorable investing conditions. By 1993, average daily trading volume on the majority of ex changes had increased substantially. Because the number of Monthly Labor Review September 1995 27 Security Brokers and Dealers trades is a key determinant of commissions, the favorable market conditions brought greater earnings potential for bro kers. While the percentage fluctuations in employment for sales agents (mostly brokers) in the industry tended to correspond with overall market performance over the study period, the trend of their earnings (commissions) was an even better match. (See chart 4.) Between 1984 and 1987, the employment level of these workers rose by 15.8 percent. Over the same period, com missions increased from $7.095 billion to $12.67 billion, an increase of 78 percent. Between 1987 and 1990, when employ ment grew by only 0.5 percent, broker commissions declined. By 1990, commissions had fallen about 13 percent from the 1989 level, which in turn was down 20 percent from 1988.31 The total drop in commissions for the 1987-90 period was 30 percent ($12.674 billion to $8.878 billion). By 1993, both the employment and commissions of the. industry’s brokers had surpassed pre-crash levels. Occupa tional employment was up 18 percent over the 1990 level, totaling 122,150. Commissions had risen to $13.707 billion, a 54.4-percent increase from the previous survey round. From 1984 to 1993, the movement of broker commissions as a percent of total revenues was inverse to that of broker em ployment as a percent of industry employment. (See chart 4.) Highs and lows for this period occurred in 1987, when com missions accounted for 24.93 percent of total revenues and in 1990, when they accounted for 16.43 percent. In contrast to the commission ratio, broker employment comprised its highest percentage in 1993, and its lowest in 1987, when the occupa tion accounted for 30.1 percent of industry employment. comparison of data for 1984 with those for 1993 reveals that the decline of com m issions as a per cent of total revenues was almost equal to the increase of brokers as a percent of industry employment. In 1984, com missions amounted to 22.73 percent of total revenues and brokers accounted for 32.6 percent of industry employment. By 1993, commissions accounted for 19.21 percent of total industry revenues, and brokers, 35.01 percent of total indus try employment. From 1984 to 1987, the employment level of sales super visors moved inversely to that of the workers they supervised. The level decreased between 1984 and 1987, from 5,500 to 5,020, but then grew dramatically through 1990, to total 7,684. By 1993, the number of sales supervisors had fallen to 4,410. This fluctuation may be due to the interchanging of supervisory and front-line sales jobs. A Employment by size o f establishment 1993. Employment staffing patterns show that units with fewer than 20 employ ees had 46.3 percent of their workers in sales. (See table 2.) The 60.2 percent of sales workers in establishments employ 28 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 ing 50 to 99 workers was the highest concentration of such workers in any establishment-size group. In units employing 20 to 49 workers and 100 to 249 workers, sales occupations accounted for 54.2 and 50.3 percent of total employment, re spectively. In contrast, the largest firms, with 250 or more employees, had only 18.7 percent of their workers in sales. Large establishments provide in-house or outsourced back office operations, and trading and research departments. Because these activities require large numbers of professional and clerical staff, the sales worker share of total firm employ ment is lower. Clerical workers Advances in equipment, including computers, have increased the productivity of the industry’s clerical workers. Previously, brokers were required to pass a ticket for each order to a wire operator, who keyed the order into a processing system that sent it to an exchange. Now, some order entry systems allow brokers to input trades as they are requested, directly from their desks. The process takes about 1 minute as opposed to 10 minutes under the old system. The efficiency of the cur rent system is such that market transactions often can be com pleted before a security experiences any movement in price. Electronic trading systems transmit orders directly to a re ceiving unit. Both advances eliminate paper tickets, and thus the need for clerks to handle them. Electronic systems allowed management to trim the em ployment of clerical workers to 36.9 percent of the total in 1993, down from 42.6 percent in 1984. (See table 2.) In 1984, there were 116,930 clerical workers employed by secu rity brokers and dealers. By 1987, employment in the indus try as a whole had grown by almost 22 percent, and the num ber of clerical workers had risen by almost 28 percent, to 142,200. Between 1987 and 1990, however, industry em ployment declined by about 5 percent, while the number of clerical workers fell by more than 19 percent, to 119,930. By 1993, when total industry employment had risen by more than 8 percent from its 1990 level, there were 129,140 clerical workers, also an increase of 8 percent. The clerical occupation that experienced the sharpest de cline in share of industry employment between 1984 and 1993 was secretaries, whose numbers fell from 9.8 percent to 7.4 percent of the total. Furthermore, while 73 percent of firms reported employing secretaries in the 1987 survey, only 57 percent reported such employment in 1993. While secretar ies still are one of the most numerically significant clerical occupations, more firms are able to provide their customers services without having someone designated to perform tra ditional secretarial duties. In some units, these duties have been assigned to other workers such as receptionists and in formation clerks, whose numbers increased from 2,360 to 4,460 over the 1987-93 period. While there has been a decline in numbers of clerical work ers as technological advances are further implemented, clerical jobs are not disappearing as quickly as the paperwork. Many firms are altering the tasks performed by these workers so that the difference between their work and that of other occupational groups is less clearly defined. In addition, many clerical work ers are being assigned to trading desks, where they are being retrained for work of a more professional nature.32 Employment by size o f establishment, 1993. In 1993, cleri cal workers were most abundant in offices with more than 250 workers. Their 44.3-percent share of employment (table 2) is attributable to the back office operations located in these establishments. In addition to brokerage, accounting and auditing, and general office clerks, large establishments also employed greater percentages of statistical and adjustment clerks. Units with fewer than 20 workers employed the sec ond greatest percentage of clerical workers (36.1 percent). Included were large numbers of brokerage clerks, secretar ies, and general office clerks. T he se c u r ity br o k er s a n d d e a l er s industry witnessed a major overhaul in the way that business was conducted over the 9-year period ending in 1993. The technological changes introduced affected both the staffing patterns of firms and the tasks performed by workers in various occupations. The re sult is an industry that today encompasses greater shares of professional and sales occupations, and relatively fewer mana gerial and clerical occupations, than in the past. □ Footnotes 1 S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l (U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1987). b y th e ra tio o f fu ll- t im e to p a r t-tim e w o rk ers as w e ll a s th e n u m b er o f in d iv id u a ls in h ig h -p a y in g and lo w -p a y in g o cc u p a tio n s. 2 Na s d a q I n v e s to r S e r ie s , The NASDAQ I n v e s to r G lo s s a r y (The National Association o f Securities Dealers, Inc. ( n a s d ) , December 1992), p . 6 . 18 H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s, B u lle tin 2 4 1 4 (B u reau o f L ab or S ta tistics, 1 9 9 2 ), pp. 2 9 - 3 1 . 3 An explanation o f the September 1994. n a sd registration and examination requirements, 4 The n a s d a q Stock Market, Inc., “The future o f intelligent trading here...” (The n a s d a q Stock Market, Inc., 1994). is 5 Bureau o f Labor Statistics es-202 program, unpublished data. 6 The “Quarterly Dow Jones Industrial Stock Averages” in this passage are the closing average for the month stated. Fluctuations were calculated using the two time frames stated, not a compilation o f all quarters in-between. See B a r r o n ’s N a tio n a l B u sin e ss a n d F in a n c ia l W eekly, various issues, 1993. 7 S ta n d a r d a n d P o o r s In d u s try S u rv e ys, Apr. 13, 1989, p. 1-43. 8 n y s e firms’ income statement. Source: Securities Industry DataBank. 9 The pretax profit data in this section is from the statement. n y se firms’ income 10 Bureau o f Labor Statistics es-202 program, unpublished data. 11 Ibid. 12S ta n d a r d a n d P o o r s In d u s try S u rv e ys, July 12, 1990, p. 1—40. 13 S ta n d a r d a n d P o o r s I n d u s try S u rv e y s , Nov. 3, 1994, p. B-55. 14 Ibid 15 Ibid. 16n y s e firms’ income statement. Source: Securities Industry DataBank. 17 b l s 1993 Employment and Wages Annual Averages. The reference to any industry is at the 3-digit sic level. The weekly wage number is derived by dividing the total annual pay o f employees covered by unemployment insurance programs by annual average employment. A further division by 52 yields average weekly wages per employee. Average wages are affected https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 S o le proprietors are n o t in clu d ed in the em p lo y m e n t data fo r th is article. 20 A n ex p la n a tio n o f the S ep tem b er 1 9 9 4 . n a sd reg istra tio n and ex a m in a tio n requ irem en ts, 21 S ta n d a r d a n d P o o r s I n d u s try S u rv e y s , Apr. 3 , 1 9 8 9 , p. 1 -4 3 . 22 S ta n d a rd a n d P o o r s In d u s try S u rv e y s , Ju ly 12, 1 9 9 0 , p. 1 -4 0 . 23 S ta n d a rd a n d P o o r s I n d u s try S u rv e y s , N o v . 18, 1 9 9 3 . 24 T h e actual o e s title fo r th is o cc u p a tio n is “en g in ee rin g , m ath em a tica l, and natural s c ie n c e s m a n a g ers.” G iv e n the se r v ic e s p ro v id ed b y this industry, it is a ssu m ed that the reported e m p lo y m e n t is fo r the m a th em a tica l m an agers. 25 T h e p ercen t o f firm s reportin g e a c h o cc u p a tio n is p ro d u c ed w ith the o e s estim a tes. D u e to sp a c e lim ita tio n s, th is n u m b er is n o t s h o w n in th e ta b les in this article. 26 T h e o e s o c c u p a tio n stru ctu re in c lu d e s “a ll o th er” o c c u p a tio n s that a llo w r e s p o n d e n ts to re p o r t e m p lo y m e n t fo r w o r k e r s n o t c o v e r e d w ith in th e d e fin itio n fo r a n y o f th e s p e c if ie d d e ta ile d o c c u p a tio n s . In o rd er to o b ta in in fo rm a tio n o n th e co n te n t o f th e s e “a ll o th er” o r re sid u a l o c c u p a tio n s , the o e s p ro g ra m is cu rren tly im p le m e n tin g a p la n to d is a g g r e g a te resid u a l o c c u p a tio n s o n th e su r v e y fo rm s. 27 S ta n d a rd a n d P o o r s I n d u s try S u rv e y s , N o v . 18, 1 9 9 3 , p. B -6 4 . 28 Traders, lik e p rin cip a ls and brok ers, m u st b e reg istered w ith the 29 A n ex p la n a tio n o f the S ep tem b er 1994. n a sd n a sd . reg istra tio n and ex a m in a tio n requ irem en ts, 30 S ecu rities Industry A ss o c ia tio n , M e d ia R e le a se N o . 5 1 6 , A u g . 8, 1 9 9 4 . 31 S ta n d a r d a n d P o o r s I n d u s try S u rv e y s , D e c . 5 , 1 9 9 1 , p. 1 -4 2 . 32 W all S tr e e t a n d T ech n o lo g y, v o l. 11, n o. 13, pp. 5 5 - 5 8 . Monthly Labor Review September 1995 29 Trends in unemployment insurance benefits The share o f the unemployed receiving unemployment insurance declined slowly, but consistently, starting in the 1940’s, dropped dramatically during the 1980-84 period, and remains low Daniel P. McMurrer and Amy B. Chasanov he Federal-State unemployment insur ance (Ul) system, created in 1935, was designed to provide temporary wage re placement for unemployed workers who have demonstrated a strong attachment to the labor force and to assist in stabilizing the national economy during cyclical economic downturns. The nature of the system assigns different re sponsibilities to the Federal and State govern ments. Although broad Federal laws ensure con sistency in areas where uniformity is considered essential, States determine most of the details of program operations and administration. As a re sult, many features of the system vary greatly among States. T Insurance programs Daniel P. McMurrer and Amy B. Chasanov are policy analysts at the Advisory Council on Unemployment Compensation. 30 Two separate, but interrelated, programs cur rently provide income support to qualified un employed workers: the permanent, regular, State ui programs and the Federal-State Extended Benefits program. In addition, during every re cession since 1958, emergency supplemental Ul benefit programs have been enacted by Congress on an ad hoc basis. The characteristics of the three components of the Ul system are discussed in more detail below. Regular State unemployment insurance. Regu lar State Ul programs generally provide up to 26 weeks of benefits to qualified unemployed Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 workers. The eligibility of an unemployed worker is determined by State laws regarding monetary factors (such as recent earnings his tory) and nonmonetary factors (such as the rea son for separation from employment and cur rent availability for work). The duration and amount of benefits for eligible individuals are based primarily on an individual’s recent earn ings history. State taxes on employers1finance most benefits paid by the program.2Tax rates vary among em ployers in the same State and are based partially upon the level of past Ul claims that were made by an employer’s former employees. Federal taxes imposed by the Federal Unemployment Tax Act pay for the administration of State Ul programs and the Federal share of the Extended Benefits program. The total amount paid by the regular program is cyclical with the level increasing as the number of unemployed increase during peri ods of economic downturn. In 1993, more than $22 billion was paid in regular benefits. Federal-State Extended Benefits. The FederalState Extended Benefits program provides up to 13 additional weeks of benefits to individuals who have exhausted their regular ui benefits. Half of the cost of extended benefits is financed by the Federal government and half is paid by the State distributing the benefits. Extended Benefit amounts are the same level as the State’s regular benefits. Extended Benefits are available only when a measure— usually, the Insured Unemployment Rate—of State unem ployment rises above a particular level. Most States currently use the insured unemployment rate as the only “trigger” for the program. Because this rate is determined by the number of regular Ul claimants in a State, eligibility for extended benefits in most States is affected directly by States’ Ul eligi bility laws. As a result, a decline in the percentage of the unemployed who receive regular ui benefits has contributed directly to a drop in the number of States in which Extended Benefits are available. Emergency benefit programs. The Emergency Unemploy ment Compensation program is a temporary benefits pro gram that the Congress enacted in November 1991 and ex tended on several occasions. The Congress allowed the pro gram to expire in February 1994. This emergency compen sation program was similar in many ways to several previ ous emergency programs, which the Congress enacted dur ing recessions. For example, the Federal Supplemental Ben efits program paid benefits between 1975 and 1978, and the Federal Supplemental Compensation program paid benefits between 1982 and 1985. The number of additional weeks of benefits that were available in the Emergency Unemployment Compensation program depended on three factors: when the claimant first applied for these benefits, a State’s unemployment rate, and the national unemployment rate. Claimants for Emergency Unemployment Compensation were required to meet their State’s eligibility criteria, in addition to Federal require ments recompensation while it operated. Because the Federal Government finances all the costs of emergency unemployment benefits, but only 50 percent of Extended Benefits costs, States took advantage of the option to provide Emergency Unemployment Compensation. Fol lowing the most recent recession, the Emergency Unemploy ment Compensation program nearly replaced the Extended Benefits program entirely (payments of extended benefits since 1991 have been less than $400 million). In total, the Emergency Unemployment Compensation program cost more than $26 billion; a significant proportion was financed out of general government revenues. The unemployed Characteristics of the unemployed differ slightly in compari son with the civilian labor force. (See table 1.) In particular, younger individuals, men, and blacks are disproportionately represented among the unemployed. Individuals who seek ui benefits tend to be older than unemployed workers in gen eral; men also are disproportionately represented. The percentage of Ul claimants who have exhausted their regular benefits during recessions has increased in most re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cessions since 1970. Similarly, the average duration of un employment spells has increased, as has the percentage of individuals who have been unemployed for particularly long periods. The number of job losers on layoff has increased, while the percentage of the unemployed who are new en trants to the labor force has decreased. Trends in regular State ui programs The regular Ul system can be examined, using several mea sures: the percent of the labor force that is covered under the ui program; standards regarding eligibility for ui benefits among the unemployed; the amount of ui benefits received; the duration of the benefits; and the percentage of the cov ered population that receives ui benefits. Coverage. The percentage of the work force covered by the (workers whose employers pay ui taxes on their wages) has increased. (See chart 1.) The most recent signifi cant increases in coverage were legislated in the 1970’s, when several groups, including State and local government em ployees, many household workers, and employees of small businesses, were covered for the first time. Now, ui coverage is nearly universal, extending to more than 90 percent of ci vilian employment in the United States. This includes nearly all wage and salaried workers, representing 106 million em ployees. The only major groups that currently remain uncov ered are workers on farms defined as “small,” and the selfemployed. ui system Eligibility. Eligibility criteria for ui benefits vary among States. However, three general principles apply in all States: individuals must earn a certain minimum amount in a par ticular period to be eligible; eligible individuals must be avail1 Characteristics of the labor force and recipients of unemployment insurance, 1993 [In percent] C h a ra c te ris tic s C iv ilia n la b o r fo rc e To tal u n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t in s u ra n c e c la im a n ts Age: 16 to 3 4 .......................... 35 to 5 4 .......................... 55 and o v er................... 43 45 12 58 34 8 42 46 12 Gender: Men................................ Women .......................... 54 46 56 44 60 40 Race: W hite............................. Black.............................. O th er............................. 85 11 4 75 21 4 N ote : _ _ - Dash indicates data are not available. S ource: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (1994) and unemployment Insurance data. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 31 Unemployment Benefits able and able to work, and, accord ing to requirements of most States, must actively seek work; and eligible individuals must have lost their jobs due to no fault of their own. This lat ter requirement tends to exclude most employees who quit their jobs and in dividuals who have been fired for cause. A lthough many State policy changes have restricted eligibility, in dividual wages have simultaneously increased as a result of inflation, al lowing more individuals to reach the minimum earnings threshold. Esti mates suggest that these two trends have nearly canceled out one another, with eligibility remaining fairly con stant at approximately 43 percent of the unemployed.3 C h a rt 1. Percent Work force with unemployment insurance coverage, as a percent of the work force, 1947-93 Percent Level o f benefits. State formulas based on previous recent earnings determine the weekly benefit amount 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1993 for eligible individuals. Each State has minimum and maximum levels SOURCES: Council of Economic Advisers (1994) and Bureau of Labor Statistics(1994) of weekly benefits. For individuals not eligible for the maximum amount, weekly benefits in most States are ap proximately 50 percent of some measure of his or her previ economic downturns by automatically injecting more money ous weekly earnings. The average amount received by work into the economy during periods of high unemployment. The insured unemployment rate is the primary method that acti ers in 1993 was approximately $180 per week.4 vates the Extended Benefits program during recessions. Be Duration o f benefits. In most States, the potential duration cause the decline in the percentage of recipients is reflected in of ui benefits also is based on an individual’s recent earn the insured unemployment rate, the decline also has had the ings.5 Maximum duration is uniform among States; all but effect of weakening the countercyclical effectiveness of the Ex two provided a maximum of 26 weeks of benefits in 1993.6In tended Benefits component of the UI system. The two declines have likely been caused by a combina general, the average potential duration of benefits has in creased gradually, as has the average duration of unemploy tion of factors that tend to have similar effects on the UI sys tem. The long-term decline is probably a partial result of ment spells. (See chart 2.) broad shifts in labor market demographics, with industrial shifts such as the decline in manufacturing, and increases in Trends in receipt of ui benefits ui coverage. To the extent that the percentage of the unem Two trends have become apparent in the ui benefits program. ployed who receive UI benefits has decreased over the long The percentage of the unemployed who receive UI benefits term, the UI program no longer responds to the needs of a (referred to as “recipiency”) has declined slowly, but consis growing portion of the unemployed population. Several researchers have identified the causes of the re tently, since the 1940’s; and the percentage of recipients has dropped dramatically between 1980 and 1984 and has re cent, more short-term decline in recipiency nationwide. Four mained at a low rate throughout the 1980’s and early 1990’s. factors have been identified as the primary causes, although These declines are of considerable concern. They threaten to the results have not been wholly consistent and research undermine the two primary functions of the UI system: partial ers have had substantial difficulty in separating the effects replacement of wages for unemployed workers, and countering fully. 32 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 First, policy changes were made on the Federal and State levels that appear to have reduced the percent of the unem ployed who receive benefits. Second, an increasing percent age of the unemployed live in States in which the percent of the unemployed who receive benefits is consistently below the national average. Third, the unionized percentage of the work force, in which rates of ui claims have historically been high, has declined. Fourth, the percentage of the work force employed in the manufacturing sector, in which rates of UI claims also have been high, has declined. Who receives benefits? Two primary statistics that generally measure recipiency are the ratio of the insured unemployment rate to the total unem ployment rate,7 and the ratio of UI claimants to the total num ber of unemployed.8The two ratios are highly correlated. (See chart 3.) The ratio of the insured unemployment rate to the total unemployment rate is more difficult to interpret than the ratio of UI claimants to the total number of unemployed because of various mathematical complications related to the definitions of the populations that are counted. This can re sult in a measure that is above 100 percent. Still, the ratio of insured unemployment rate to the total unemployment rate C h a rt 2. ratio is widely reported, and the insured unemployment rate is particularly important because it represents the primary trigger for the Federal-State Extended Benefits program. Both ratios are based on a measure of the number of UI claimants, which is collected weekly by States. The total num ber of claimants, however, includes some individuals who do not receive UI benefits but are counted among the insured un employed for a particular week. Three primary groups of indi viduals fall into this category: individuals who are on a 1-week waiting period before they begin to receive benefits; claimants who ultimately are denied benefits for nonmonetary reasons; and claimants who are disqualified from collecting benefits in a particular week for reasons that include the requirements that recipients be able and available for work and that claim ants who are working do not exceed a particular level of in come in a week. Including these groups has tended to inflate the measure of UI recipiency by 10 to 15 percent per year. Trends and implications Both recipiency measures have shown a long-term decline and a more short-term decline. (See chart 3.) The measures also vary considerably across States: in 1993, the ratio of claimants to total unemployed ranged from 15 percent in Duration, in weeks, of unemployment spells and maximum potential duration, in weeks, of unemployment insurance benefits, 1950-93 Number of weeks Number of weeks 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 NOTE: The 1979 figure for duration of benefits was interpolated and substituted for erroneous data. SOURCES: Council of Economic Advisers (1994) and U.S. Department of Labor (1994). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 33 Unemployment Benefits South Dakota to 64 percent in Alaska. (See table 2.) An addi tional measure, the ratio of ui claimants to total job losers, also has demonstrated long-term and short-term declines. (See chart 4.) In an analysis of the characteristics of unemployed indi viduals who were not receiving benefits, the Congressional Research Service found that they were typically young, did not head families, and were not the primary source of income in their families. Generally, they have lower-than-average in comes before and after unemployment. However, only 42 per cent of those who were employed full-time for 1 year before the start of their unemployment spell received benefits.9 total unemployment rate and the ratio of ui claimants to the total number of unemployed declined sharply in the early 1980’s. By 1984, the number of unemployed collecting ui as a percentage of total unemployment had dropped to 28.5 per cent, the lowest recorded percentage since 1947, when such data were first collected. The ratio has increased slightly since 1984, but has remained lower than its historical average. The period of the early 1980’s was the first during which the ratio of ui claimants to the total number of unemployed did not increase significantly as the unemployment rate peaked. (See chart 5.) This represents a fundamental shift from the dy namic trends that had marked the ui program since its incep tion.10 Gary Burtless and Daniel Saks noted that the strong Long-term trends. In the long term, the ratio of insured un and stable statistical relationship between the number of ui employment rate to total unemployment rate has dropped claimants and number of job losers ended in the early 1980’s.11 approximately 60 percent since 1947, and the ratio of ui The declines in recipiency are potentially significant for claimants to the total number of unemployed has declined several reasons. First, they threaten to undermine the capac approximately 40 percent over the same period. These trends ity of the ui system to provide partial wage replacement for suggest that the UI program has been serving an ever-decreas unemployed workers and to counter economic downturns by ing percentage of the unemployed, with periodic increases dur automatically pumping more money into the economy dur ing recessions. This was largely the result of recessionary in ing periods of high unemployment. The effectiveness of the creases in the percentage of the unemployed who are job losers. system in performing these two roles is a direct function of the percentage of the unemployed whom the program serves. Short-term trends. In addition to the long-term decline in Furthermore, the decline of the insured unemployment rate recipiency, the ratio of the insured unemployment rate to the relative to total unemployment has weakened the countercyclical effectiveness of the ui system: the insured Chart 3. unem ploym ent rate is the prim ary Measure of recipients in regular State UI programs, 1947-93 mechanism to activate the Extended Benefits program during recessions. Thus, the decline in the insured unem ployment rate has resulted in a signifi cant reduction in the number of States in which extended benefits are available. The long-term decline Research suggests that the long-term de cline is primarily a result of changes in the demographic composition of the la bor force and that the decline in one mea sure (the ratio of the insured unemploy ment rate to the total unemployment rate) is partially the result of increases in ui coverage. SOURCES: Council of Economic Advisers (1994) and U.S. Department of Labor (1994). 34 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 Broad demographic changes. A pri mary cause of the decline in the ratio of ui claimants to the total number of un employed before 1980 was the chang ing demographic composition of the jobless, according to B urtless and S aks.12 Throughout the 1960’s and 1970’s, as many women and young workers from the baby-boom generation entered the labor force, they also made up a higher percentage of the unem ployed. As a result, men of prime working age, who are the most likely to receive Ul benefits, declined considerably as a percentage of the unemployed. Burtless and Saks found that such demographic changes explain a large percentage of the decline in the ratio of Ul claimants to the total number of unemployed before 1980. While the impact of demographic changes described by Burtless and Saks declined after 1980, other demographic changes have continued or even accelerated in the 1980’s and 1990’s. Perhaps the most significant change is the con tinuing increase in the number of two-earner families. Al though empirical research has not addressed this issue, the increase in two-earner households has most likely reduced the need among some workers to apply for ui benefits when they become unemployed. Thus, it is possible that various broad demographic changes continue to have a negative im pact on the rate of ui recipiency. Increases in U l coverage. Newly covered employees in the 1970’s were probably less likely to apply for ui compensation than previously covered groups.13 As a result, the insured un employment rate (the number of ui claimants as a percentage of jobs covered by Ul), declined because of the increased coverage of the system. Burtless and Saks suggest that the insured unem ployment rate may have declined by between 0.5 and 0.8 per centage points because coverage was extended twice in the 1970’s.14 Such a decline would account for a large percentage of the decline in the ratio of the insured unemployment rate to the total unemployment rate in this period, although it would not be expected to have the same effect on the ratio of ui claim ants to the total number of unemployed. Decline in manufacturing. Burtless and Saks also identified the shift of workers from manufacturing and other industries with high recipiency rates as a primary cause of the long term decline in the number of recipients. They report that estimating with precision the magnitude of this effect is diffi cult. The decline in manufacturing also has been identified as a significant cause of the decline during the 1980’s.15 The short-term decline Research examining the decline in ui recipiency that occurred in the early 1980’s continues to be inconsistent. The variability of the results is an indication of the difficulty researchers have had quantifying the impact of the four factors identified earlier: changes in Federal and State policy, population shifts, declin ing unionization rates and the decline in manufacturing. A com bination of some or all of these factors probably contributed significantly to the short-term decline. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Policy changes. During the 1980’s, several changes in Fed eral and State law appear to have contributed to the drop in the percentage of the unemployed who received unemploy ment benefits. Overall, the Federal General Accounting Of fice found that policies designed to improve the solvency of State trust funds reduced the recipiency among unemployed individuals.16 Most significantly, numerous State laws were changed to restrict eligibility and reduce benefit levels, partly in response to Federal policies that encouraged States to adopt more restrictive legislation for regular State unemployment programs. Several Federal laws, most notably the decision to tax ui benefits, also directly reduced the value of unemploy ment benefit levels. Federal policies. During the 1980’s, Federal regulations gov erning State Ul trust funds were changed significantly. Be ginning in 1982, States were required to repay with interest Federal loans to their trust funds. Previously, the loans were interest-free and repayment requirements were unclear. States with loans also were required to adopt other specific mea sures to ensure solvency. Overall, these changes provided incentives to States to avoid the need for future loans by reducing the scope of State programs. In addition, States were given other direct incen tives, linked to Federal Extended Benefits funds, to tighten ui eligibility requirements and to reduce ui benefits. Taken as a whole, State policy reflected these changes in Federal policy. Federal laws also were changed in ways that directly affected the recipiency rate. In 1979, ui benefits for the first time were partially taxed, and in 1986, all unemployment benefits became subject to taxation. States also were required to reduce or eliminate ui payments to unemployed workers who received pensions or Social Security payments. Walter Corson and Walter Nicholson found that, overall, between 11 percent and 23 percent of the total decline can be attrib uted directly to various Federal policy changes. Specifically, between 11 percent and 16 percent of the decline is due to partial taxation of benefits and up to 7 percent is the result of less generous Extended Benefits programs.17 State policies. The GAO reported that, between 1981 and 1987,44 States adopted tighter monetary eligibility standards or stricter disqualification provisions for their regular ui pro grams. Many of these State changes probably were the result of Federal incentives to tighten eligibility, although deter mining the precise impact that changes in Federal legisla tion alone had on the policy decisions of States is impossible. Some research has found that these and other changes in State policy account for a significant percentage of the decline in recipiency. Corson and Nicholson found that between 21 percent and 55 percent of the decline in the number of recipients is attribMonthly Labor Review September 1995 35 Unemployment Benefits utable to State policy changes. Specifically, the decline is due to: • 9 to 11 percent to increases in denial rates for disquali fying income; • 3 to 11 percent to increases in the minimum earnings required to qualify for ui; • 2 to 11 percent to increases in the denial rate for mis conduct; • up to 13 percent to changes in voluntary separation stan dards; • 5 percent to reductions in maximum duration of ben efits; • 2 to 4 percent to changes in wage replacement rates.18 Corson and Nicholson also found that the ratio of ui claim ants to the total number of unemployed would have increased between 1 percent and 13 percent as the result of reductions in work test denials, partially canceling the effects of the other factors.19 Burtless and Saks also concluded that State legislative and administrative changes are the primary cause of the decline in rates of change in the number of recipients, but they did not present estimates of the magnitude of the effects of these changes.20 Marc Baldwin and Richard McHugh suggested that State policy changes account for 54 percent of the 1979-90 decline in recipiency.21 An updated work by Baldwin, however, found sharp reductions in the apparent effects of State policy changes.22 Baldwin and McHugh attributed the decline to: • 21 p ercent to in crea ses in the m in im u m earnings re quired to qualify for UI; • 16 percent to increases in the earnings required to qualify for the maximum benefit; • 8 percent to increases in the number of States with dis qualification periods for job quitters; • 7 percent to increases in the number of States with dis qualification periods for refusal of suitable work; • 1 percent to increases in the number of States withrightto-work laws.23 But Rebecca Blank and David Card found little evidence that State policy changes had any impact on recipiency. They found that individual eligibility for ui benefits appeared to decline slightly as the result of tighter State eligibility stan dards, although these effects were offset by increasing wage levels.24 Population shifts. An increasing share of U.S. unemploy ment is in Southern and Mountain states, where the ratio of UI claimants to the total number of unemployed has consis tently been lower than the national average. As the percent age of national unemployment in these States increases, the 36 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 national ratio of ui claimants to the total number of unem ployed would be expected to fall accordingly. This is a long term demographic trend, occurring throughout the last three decades and continuing into the present. Blank and Card found that these regional shifts in population accounted for approximately 50 percent of the decline in the national ratio of UI claimants to the total number of unemployed between 1977 and 1987.25 Wayne Vroman asserted that 25 percent is a more appropriate figure,26 and Corson and Nicholson at tributed 16 percent of the variation to geographic population shifts.27 However, these analyses do not explain the underlying variations in ratio of UI claimants to the total number of un employed across States that have caused the national rate to be affected by interstate migrations. Much of this variation can likely be attributed to differences in State policy, although the exact extent to which this is the case has not yet been determined. Decline in unionization. Between 1979 and 1988, the per centage of unionized employees decreased 25 percent.28 Be cause unions have traditionally represented a powerful source Table 2. Percent of total unemployed who are unemploy ment insurance claimants, by State 1993 State Percent Alaska.......................... Hawaii.......................... Vermont....................... District of Columbia..... Connecticut................. Washington.................. Oregon......................... Idaho............................ Pennsylvania............... Wisconsin.................... Rhode Island............... Montana....................... New Jersey................. Arkansas..................... Massachusetts............ Iowa............................. Nebraska..................... California...................... New York..................... Tennessee ................... Puerto Rico.................. Delaware..................... Nevada ........................ Illinois........................... Kansas......................... Minnesota.................... 63.6 53.1 53.1 45.3 45.0 44.4 43.3 40.5 39.9 39.8 39.7 38.9 38.7 37.6 36.5 36.4 35.8 34.6 34.5 33.7 33.0 32.1 32.0 31.8 31.8 31.6 State Florida................... North Dakota......... Michigan................ Missouri................. Colorado................ Wyoming............... Arizona.................. Mississippi............. Kentucky............... Maryland............... North Carolina....... Utah....................... Maine..................... South Carolina...... Ohio....................... West Virginia......... Alabama................ Louisiana............... Texas..................... Georgia................. Oklahoma.............. New Mexico........... Indiana................... New Hampshire.... Virginia................... South Dakota........ N ote : Data for the Virgin Islands are not available. S ource: U.S. Department of Labor (1994). Percent 30.1 30.0 29.8 29.4 28.5 28.5 28.3 27.7 27.5 27.5 27.2 27.0 26.2 25.4 24.9 23.5 22.5 21.8 21.4 21.3 21.1 20.7 20.6 20.3 17.0 15.3 Chart 4. Proportion of job losers who are Ul claimants, 1970-93 Percent Percent - 100 - 90 - 80 40 - 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 NOTE: Shaded regions denote recession from peak to trough. SOURCE: Council of Economic Advisers (1994). Chart 5. Recipiency rate for regular State unemployment insurance programs and total unemployment rate, in percent, 1950-93 Ratio of Ul claimants to total unemployment Total unemployment rate 35 30 NOTE: Shaded regions denote recession from peak to trough. SOURCES: Council of Economic Advisers (1994) and U.S. Department of Labor (1994). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 37 Unemployment Benefits of information regarding available benefits for unemployed workers, the decline in union membership could have exac erbated problems related to distributing information among the unemployed. In addition, unions have often helped mem bers file Ul claims by guiding them through the U l system. Finally, many union members are eligible only for supple mental unemployment benefits paid by their union if they apply for regular ui. Blank and Card attributed 25 percent of the decline in recipiency to the decline in unionization.29 Baldwin and McHugh assigned 29 percent of the drop in recipiency to the decline in unionization.30 Vroman also points to the potential importance of the unions’ information role by noting that the most important reason for nonapplication for Ul benefits by unemployed individuals is their belief that they are ineligible for ui.31 Inability to understand eligibility conditions may cause eligible workers to fail to apply. Decline in the manufacturing sector. As noted above, Burtless and Saks suggested that industrial shifts contributed to the long-term decline in recipiency. This trend continued in the 1980’s as manufacturing as a percentage of total em ployment fell by 22 percent between 1979 and 1990. This factor also has been identified as a significant cause of the short-term decline. Corson and Nicholson found that between 4 percent and 18 percent of the decrease in the ui claims ratio can be attributed to the decline in the manufacturing sector.32 Baldwin and McHugh attributed 16 percent of the total de cline in the ratio of U l claimants to the total number of unem ployed to this factor.33 In addition, Corson and Nicholson noted that an unem ployed worker who had been employed in manufacturing is 25 percent more likely to collect ui than a similar worker from another industry. These findings are partially called into ques tion, however, in analyses by Corson and Anu Rangarajan,34 and Baldwin.35 They found that a decline in manufacturing employment leads to an increase in the insured unemploy ment rate. Overall, it should be noted that because unions traditionally have been composed disproportionately of work ers in the manufacturing sector, the decline in manufacturing is closely linked to the decline in unionization. As a result, the effects of the factors may be difficult to separate. I n s u m , the percentage of the unemployed who receive Un employment Insurance benefits has declined steadily, with a particularly sharp decline in the early 1980’s. This suggests that the relevance of the system to the needs of today’s work force has been eroded. A number of factors have contributed to this erosion, including Federal and State policy changes, broad demographic changes, and the decline in the manufac turing sector and in unionization. The resulting decline in recipiency has jeopardized the program’s capacity to carry out its two primary functions: wage replacement for involun tarily unemployed individuals and the countercyclical stabi lization of the economy. □ Footnotes 1 Employees also pay ui taxes in Alaska, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In some o f the four States, payment by employees depends on the status o f the ui trust fund. 2 State and local governments and many nonprofit organizations do not pay ui taxes. They reimburse the ui system directly for benefits paid to their former employees. 3 Rebecca M. Blank and David E. Card, “Recent Trends in Insured and Un insured Unemployment: Is There an Explanation?” Q u a r te r ly J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ics, November, 1991. Marc Baldwin and Richard McHugh, “Unprepared for Recession: the Ero sion o f State Unemployment Insurance Coverage Fostered by Public Policy in the 1980s,” Economic Policy Institute Briefing Paper, February 1992, also find results that are consistent with this conclusion. 4 Data produced by U.S. Department of Labor, Unemployment Insurance Service, Division of Actuarial Services. 5 In nine States, all eligible claimants have uniform potential durations. 6 Massachusetts and Washington allow benefits for up to 30 weeks. 7 The insured unemployment rate is defined as the number of regular ui ben efit claimants divided by the average number of employees covered by ui over 4 o f the last 6 completed calendar quarters. The total unemployment rate is de fined as the number o f all active unemployed job seekers divided by the total civilian labor force. 8 The specific measure of recipiency used by researchers in examining this question has varied. Walter Corson and Walter Nicholson, A n E x a m in a tio n o f D e c lin in g u i C la im s D u r in g th e 1 9 8 0 s, Unemployment Insurance Occasional Paper 88-3 (U.S. Department of Labor, 1988) examined both ratios, but fo cused upon the ratio o f ui claimants to the total number of unemployed, which they call the ui claims ratio. 38 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 Blank and Card, in “Recent Trends,” also examined this measure, which they call the fraction o f insured unemployment. Wayne Vroman, Th e D e c lin e in U n e m p lo y m e n t I n su ra n ce C la im s A c tiv ity in th e 1 9 8 0 s, Unemployment Insurance Occasional Paper 91-2, (U.S. Depart ment of Labor, 1991) also focused on the ratio ofui claimants to the total num ber of unemployed. Baldwin and McHugh, “Unprepared for Recession,” also examine the ratio of ui claimants to the total number of unemployed, but include Extended Benefits recipients in addition to regular State ui recipients. 9 “The Uncompensated Unemployed: An Analysis o f Unemployed Workers Who Do Not Receive Unemployment Compensation,” Congressional Research Service, 1990. 10 The ratio of the insured unemployment rate to the total unemployment rate and the ratio o f ui claimants to the total number of unemployed can be statisti cally predicted quite accurately for the years up to 1980 by knowing two vari ables: the year, which reflects the long-term decline of the system, and the unem ployment rate, because the ratio tends to increase significantly during periods o f high unemployment. Since 1980, however, the recipiency ratios no longer have the same statistical relationship to these two variables. 11 Gary Burtless and Daniel Saks, “The Decline in Insured Unemployment During the 1980s,” Unpublished Brookings Institution Report to the Depart ment of Labor, March 1984, p. 42. 12 Burtless and Saks, “The Decline in Insured Unemployment During the 1980s,” p. 20. 13 This particularly was likely to be true for State and local government em ployees because they experienced low levels of unemployment in the early 1980’s. 14 Burtless and Saks, “The Decline in Insured Unemployment,” p. 17. 15 Ib id ., p. 19-20. 16 U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n ce: P r o g r a m ’s A b ility to M e e t O b je c tiv e s J e o p a r d iz e d (Washington, d c , U.S. General Accounting Office, 1993), pp. 30-37. 17 Corson and Nicholson, A n E x a m in a tio n o f D e c lin in g u i C la im s , pp. 119-20. 18 Any apparent discrepancy in totals is due to rounding. 19 Corson and Nicholson, A n E x a m in a tio n o f D e c lin in g u i C la im s , pp. 119-20. 20 Burtless and Saks “The Decline in Insured Unemployment,” 1984, pp. 54-80. 21 To facilitate greater comparability between the findings of Baldwin and McHugh, “Unprepared for Recession,” and those of other studies, Baldwin and McHugh’s findings have been reformulated in the text. In particular, they report that State policy changes account for 97.4 percent of the total net change in ratio o f ui claimants to the total number o f unemployed, rather than 54 percent re ported in the text. Overall, they find three primary factors that contributed to the decline in the ratio o f ui claimants to the total number of unemployed and other factors that partially offset the decrease. As a result, when only the three factors that decrease the ratio are combined, they are larger than the net decline. Each o f the factors independently appears to be a large percentage of the net decrease. To determine the relative impact o f each factor, the percentage of the overall negative impact upon the ratio of ui claimants to the total number of unem ployed that is attributable to each o f those factors that decreases in the ratio of ui claimants to the total number o f unemployed must be calculated. These calcu lations indicate that State policy changes account for 54 percent of the decrease in the ratio o f ui claimants to the total number of unemployed, declining union ization for 29 percent, and decreases in the manufacturing sector for 16 percent. The remaining 1 percent is attributable to the lagged unemployment level. 22 The research literature has not yet reconciled the variations in the results found by Marc Baldwin, “Benefit Recipiency Rates Under the Federal/State Unemployment Insurance Program: Explaining and Reversing Decline,” Un https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p u b lish e d P h .D . d is s., M a ssa ch u setts Institu te o f T ec h n o lo g y , 1 9 9 3 ),and by B a ld w in and M c H u g h , “U np repared fo r R e c e s s io n ,” 1 9 9 2 , p. 18. 23 A n y apparent d iscre p a n cy in to ta ls is d u e to ro u n din g. 24 B lan k and Card, “R ecen t Trends in Insured and U ninsu red U n em p lo y m en t,” p. 1166. 25 Ib id ., p. 1 177. 26 V rom an, Th e D e c lin e in U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n ce, p. 13. 27 B u rtless d is m is se d reg io n a l sh ifts as a p o ss ib le ex p la n a tio n . H o w ev er, later stu d ies h a v e ap peared to co n fir m th e m erit o f th is factor. “W h y is Insured U n em p lo y m e n t S o L o w ? ” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity (W ash in gton , B ro o k in g s In stitu tion , 1 9 8 3 ), pp. 2 2 5 - 4 9 . dc, 28 M ich a el A . C urm e, et al. “U n io n M em b ersh ip and C ontract C o v era g e in the U n ited S ta tes, 1 9 8 3 - 1 9 8 8 ,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R e v ie w , O cto b er 1 9 9 0 , pp. 5 - 3 4 , and E d w ard C . K o k k ele n b er g and D o n n a R. S o c k e ll, “U n io n M em b ersh ip in th e U n ited S tates, 1 9 7 3 - 1 9 8 1 ,” I n d u s tria l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R e v ie w , Ju ly 1 9 8 5 , pp. 4 9 7 - 5 4 2 . 29 B lan k and Card, “R ecen t Trends in Insured and U ninsu red U n em p lo y m en t,” p. 1179. 30 B a ld w in and M c H u g h , “U np repared fo r R e c e s s io n ,” p. 18. 31 V rom an, The D e c lin e in U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n ce, p. 2 5 . 32 C o rso n and N ic h o ls o n , A n E x a m in a tio n o f D e c lin in g u i C la im s, pp. 1 1 9 -2 0 . 33 B a ld w in and M c H u g h , “U np repared fo r R e c e s s io n ,” p. 18. 34 W alter C o rso n and A n u R angarajan, “E x ten d ed u i B e n e fit T rig g ers,” (P rin ceto n , n j , M a th em a tica P o lic y R esea rch , 1 9 9 3 , em p h a size that this resu lt is u n e x p e cted , and s u g g e st that it sh o u ld b e v ie w e d w ith ca u tio n . 35 B a ld w in , “ B e n e fit R e c ip ie n c y R a tes,” p. 2 0 1 . Monthly Labor Review September 1995 39 Comparing measures of educational attainment in the CPS Harley Frazis, Michelle Harrison Ports, and Jay Stewart ducational attainment is an im portant demographic variable about which information is col lected in household surveys such as the Current Population Survey ( c p s ). How ever, survey measures of education, like measures of other population character istics, are imperfect. Educational at tainment can be an ambiguous concept. At the elementary and high school lev els of education, it is relatively clear what is meant by a grade or year of schooling. But the distinction is less clear at postsecondary levels: a “year” may represent the amount of time spent in schooling, or it may represent a cer tain amount of progress toward a de gree. College degrees and high school di plom as are key elem ents in m ost people’s perceptions of educational at tainment, but until 1992, the attainment of a degree was not explicitly part of the education measure used in the c p s . In January of that year, the cps intro duced a new education item consisting of a single question: “What is the high est level of school. . . has completed or the highest degree . . . has received?”1 The old item (prior to January 1992) asked respondents two questions: (1) “What is the highest grade or year of regular school . . . has ever attended?” and (2) “Did . . . complete the grade?” While the old item did not explic itly ask about the attainment of a de- E Harley Frazis and Jay Stewart are econo mists in the Office of Employment Research and Program Development, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Michelle Harrison Ports is an economist formerly in the Division of Data Development, Bureau of Labor Sta tistics. 40 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis gree, the interview er’s instructions made it clear that certain levels of edu cation carried the connotation of a de gree. For example, people who passed a high school equivalency test or who completed high school in the Armed Forces were supposed to be coded as having completed the 12th grade, re gardless of the highest grade they actu ally completed. Similarly, for college, c p s interviewers were instructed that “school years are determined by the number of credits required for complet ing . . . a degree.”2However, interview ers were not instructed to probe for high school diplomas and college degrees, which means that these credentials were probably not picked up in many cases when respondents took less than 4 years to finish high school or college. Before the new item was introduced, it was field tested by the Census Bu reau in February 1990. All respondents were asked the three questions ,consti tuting the new and the old items. To minimize the number of people who relied on their response to the old item, the new item was placed at the end of the survey, while the old item was asked at the beginning of the survey, as usual. These data present a unique opportunity to examine the information elicited by each question. This article compares the responses on the two education items in order to shed light on how successfully educational at tainment is measured by each item. A finding which emerges is that the old item led to more consistent measurement of precollege-level educational attainment, probably due to the distinction made be tween attending and completing a grade. However, use of the old item leads to a substantial number of errors in attribut ing degrees to individuals. The basic tool used in investigating this issue is the examination of conflict ing responses. Two different levels of conflicting responses are distinguished: inconsistent responses and classification errors. A pair of responses to the new and old items is inconsistent if it is im September 1995 possible for both responses to be cor rect; a classification error occurs if the answer to the old item is not consistent with the degree-based intent of the old item. As an example of the latter, con sider a person who responded to the old item that she completed ninth grade, but also responded to the new item that she has a general equivalency diploma ( g e d ). This response pattern conflicts with the degree-based intent of the old question, even though the responses are consistent as the term is defined above. Note that the classification scheme is hierarchical: all inconsistent re sponses are classification errors, but not all classification errors are inconsistent responses. Throughout the article, the term conflicting responses is used when it is not necessary to distinguish between inconsistent responses and classification errors. When responses are consistent, the intent of the old question (to make the completion of certain grades equivalent to specific degrees) is used as a crite rion for determining whether a pair of responses is a classification error. For example, if the responses to the old and new items were “ 12th grade, com pleted” and “ 12th grade, no diploma,” this would be a classification error. A ssociate’s degrees are treated as equivalent to 2 years of college, so that cases with associate’s degrees but fewer than 14 years of school completed are classification errors. Similarly, because 4 years of college are supposed to be equivalent to a bachelor’s degree, cases with bachelor’s degrees and fewer than 16 years of school completed are clas sification errors, as are those with associate’s degrees or “some college, no degree” and 16 or more years of school. At the postgraduate level, things be come som ewhat more am biguous. Those with fewer than 17 years of school completed and possessed of master’s degrees, as well as those with fewer than 18 years completed and hold ing professional or doctoral degrees, are also classification errors.3 I Rates of inconsistent responses a n d classification errors in responses to th e e d u c a tio n item s, b y response to o ld item [Percent] Years of school completed Inconsistent responses Classification errors Total.......................................................... 6.1 9.6 Elementary: 0 ................................................................ 1 ................................................................ 2 ................................................................ 3 ................................................................ 4 ................................................................ 5 ................................................................. 6 ................................................................ 7 ................................................................. 8 ................................................................. 6.3 16.2 6.1 3.9 12.1 3.5 3.3 2.9 8.0 6.3 17.7 12.4 3.9 12.3 3.7 4.6 3.6 9.5 . High school: 1 ................................................................ 2 ................................................................. 3 ................................................................ 4 ................................................................ 17.8 14.9 4.5 7.2 19.4 17.1 12.0 10.2 6.3 4.2 2.6 .9 .2 .2 10.4 4.2 7.7 9.5 7.3 1.6 College: 1 ................................................................ 2 ................................................................ 3 ................................................................ 4 ................................................................ 5 ................................................................... 6 or more....................................................... | R a te s o f in c o n s is t e n t r e s p o n s e s a n d c la s s if ic a t io n e r ro rs in r e s p o n s e s t o t h e e d u c a t i o n ite m s , b y r e s p o n s e t o n e w it e m [Percent] H igh est g r a d e c o m p le te d or d e g r e e r e c e iv e d T o tal.................................................................. In con sistent resp onses C las sific atio n errors 6.1 9.6 No school............................................................ Nursery school...................................................... Kindergarten............................................... 5.1 5.1 — - First through fourth grade.................................. Fifth through eighth grade..................................... Ninth grade....................................................... Tenth grade.............................................................. Eleventh grad e........................................................ Twelfth grade, no diploma...................................... Twelfth grade, with diploma or graduate equivalency degree............................. 6.2 3.9 13.0 14.6 18.0 6.5 4.8 6.8 Some college, no degree....................................... Associate's degree: Occupational........................................................ Academic............................................................ Bachelor's degree.............................................. Master's degree............................................ Professional degree............................................ Doctoral degree................................................ 6.8 9.3 8.7 2.3 1.7 .5 10.3 .6 26.9 18.4 3.0 5.2 13.2 1.8 No t e : Dashes indicate fewer than 10 observations. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ _ 6.2 3.9 13.0 14.6 18.0 62.9 Conflicts by edu catio n Tables 1 and 2 indicate that conflicting responses are more common at some edu cation levels than others. In particular, inconsistent responses occur primarily at grade levels that are at the low or high end of the new categories. For example, inconsistency rates are higher than aver age for people with 1, 4, and 8 years of education. Inconsistency rates also are higher than average for people with 9 and 10 years of education. In all these cases, the discrepancy arises because, when an swering the new question, many people did not make the distinction between the highest grade they attended and the high est grade they completed. Most of the conflicting responses for people who have completed 9 to 12 years of schooling are due to a particu lar response pattern. In that pattern, the person responded to the old question that he or she attended, but did not com plete, for instance, 10th grade. When asked the new question, the person re sponded “10th grade.” This is not con sistent because the new question asks for the highest grade completed. Such a response pattern accounts for 2.1 per cent of all responses, which is more than one-third of all inconsistent responses. Why are the high school years confus ing? The inconsistent response pattern just described has two possible expla nations: (1) Individuals may have re membered their response to the old question and simply repeated that re sponse. For example, an individual who responded that he attended, but did not complete, ninth grade may again have responded, unthinkingly, “ninth grade” to the new question. (2) Respondents may not be very careful in making the “attended-completed” distinction unless they are specifically asked questions that would lead them to do so. Using the February 1990 data alone, one cannot determine which of these hypotheses is correct. To do this re quires data sets that contain responses Monthly Labor Review September 1995 41 Technical Note to the two education items from two January 1992 matched data contradicts 3.0 percent in the January-February different interviews. In that case, the hypothesis (1), but supports hypothesis matched data. respondent is not likely to have remem (2). The “attended-completed” incon bered the response to the first question sistency occurs more frequently in the C orrespondence betw een years o f matched data. If hypothesis (1) were schooling and highest degree attained. in answering the second question. To shed light on which of the two correct, then one would expect that the A major reason for changing the edu hypotheses is correct, data from De “attended-com pleted” inconsistency cation item was that it is difficult to cember 1991 were matched with data would occur less frequently in the infer whether a person holds a degree from January 1992.4 The matched data matched data because the answer to the from the number of years of schooling set, like the data of February 1990, con new item could not have been affected the person has. The new item represents tains both the new and old education by the answer to the old item. It ap a significant improvement in that it is items (the old item from December pears that having answered the old item now possible to identify six types of 1991, the new item from January 1992). helped respondents answer the new college degree (two types of associate’s As noted earlier, the key difference be item in the February 1990 data. degree, in addition to the bachelor’s, tween the two is that the questions were Matched January 1990-February 1990 master’s, professional, and doctoral de not asked during the same interview in data, which contain two independent grees), as well as high school diplomas. the matched data set. If the inconsis measures using the old item, also sup A b ls news release explains the ration tencies noted above appear in the port hypothesis (2): respondents do ale for the change:6 matched sample, then, clearly, the re make a careful distinction between The years-of-school-completed concept had been used to measure spondents did not hear the word “com completing a grade'and merely attend educational attainment in the Current pleted” in the new item. The absence ing a grade when specifically asked Population Survey since 1948 and, of these inconsistencies in the matched questions that would lead them to do until recently, was considered ad data would indicate that the response so. For people with 9 to 11 years of equate for this purpose. Persons who to the old question affected the response schooling, error rates5were between 9.3 reported that they had attended high school for 4 years, for example, could percent and 11.9 percent in the Febru to the new question. reasonably be considered high school Evidence from the December 1991- ary 1990 data, but only 2.5 percent to Correspondence between number of years of schooling and highest degree held Ì high school and college graduates Percent of p e o p le with— Age, years Total........................................................... 16 1 9 .............................................................. 20 24 .............................................................. 25 29 .............................................................. 30 34 .............................................................. 35 39 .............................................................. 4 0 -4 4 .............................................................. 45-49 .............................................................. 50 54 .............................................................. 55 59 .............................................................. 60-64 .............................................................. 65-69 .............................................................. 70 74 .............................................................. 75 and older.................................................... 12 years of schooling w ho h ave a high school dip lom a, but no c o lle g e 16 years of schooling w ho h a v e a bachelor's d e g re e , but no postgraduate d e g re e 12 or m ore years of schooling w ho h a v e a high school d ip lo m a 85.1 90.2 97.9 94.4 97.1 97.9 98.0 98.3 98.4 98.5 98.4 97.8 97.3 97.5 97.2 97.1 95.9 91.2 93.6 94.4 94.9 95.1 94.9 94.5 94.8 95.5 95.2 93.4 93.8 62.3 80.9 85.2 86.5 86.1 85.9 86.7 88.3 88.2 89.1 89.5 88.1 85.7 N ote: Dashes indicate category is not applicable. 42 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 — 90.8 91.9 91.3 90.4 89.6 87.6 88.6 89.9 91.3 89.9 88.3 88.2 16 or m ore years of schooling w ho h a v e a b a c h e lo r’s d e g re e graduates; those with 4 or more years of college could be considered col lege graduates. Prior to 1970, the number of years of schooling did, in deed, correspond quite well with the attainment of certain degrees (in the manner noted above). Several stud ies conducted by the Bureau of the Census over the last several years, however, indicated that this relation ship had weakened. That is, many people who said they had a particu lar number of years of schooling had* not in fact received the degree typi cally associated with that level of schooling. Much of the increased discrepancy be tween administrative and survey esti mates of the stock of college graduates can be attributed to increases in the num ber of people who have attended college. However, it is less clear that there is an increased discrepancy in terms of percent ages. For example, administrative data from the decade 1940-50 underestimate the 1950 stock of those with 16 or more years of education by 419 thousand, which is 7.2 percent of the total of 5.8 million; 1970-80 administrative data un derestimate the 1980 stock by 1,659,000, which is 7.0 percent of the total of 23.5 million.7 Although the old item attempted to identify the degrees earned to the full est extent possible, it had no way of dealing with people who completed 12 or 16 years of schooling but did not have high school diplomas or bachelor’s de grees. Table 3 examines the correspond ence between the number of years of education a person has and the degree conferred on that person for both high school and college graduates, and whether the relationship has weakened over time. The findings support the no tion that it is difficult to infer whether a person holds a degree from the number of years of schooling the person has, but the extent of misclassification depends on the way in which the degree catego ries are defined. However, the Febru ary 1990 data do not support the con tention that the relationship between the two variables has weakened over time. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis When the Census Bureau and the Bu reau of Labor Statistics tabulate statis tics by educational attainment, it is gen erally assumed that people who have completed exactly 12 years of school ing have a high school diploma and no college, and that people who have com pleted exactly 16 years of schooling have a bachelor’s degree and no gradu ate education. The first two columns of the table show the extent to which this assumption is accurate: only 85.1 percent of people with exactly 12 years of schooling have a high school diploma (and no college), which means that nearly 15 percent of these people are misclassified. This suggests that the number of years of schooling is not a good way of identifying people who stop their education with a high school diploma. The correspondence for people with exactly 16 years of school ing is somewhat better, but still quite imperfect: only 90.2 percent have a bachelor’s degree (and no graduate edu cation). It is worth noting that the number of years of schooling refers to completed years. Hence, people who completed less than a year of college or less than Table 4. a year of graduate school are counted as having exactly 12 and 16 years of school ing, respectively. The correspondence between these two classifications im proves when the definition excludes people who attended, but did not com plete, the next grade. For people with 12 years of schooling, the correspondence increases to 91.6 percent; for people with 16 years of schooling, it increases only slightly, to 90.7 percent. While people with 13 or more years of school are virtually certain to have a high school diploma, many with more than 16 years of school do not have a bachelor’s degree. Nearly 98 percent of people with 12 or more years of schooling have a high school diploma, while 94.4 percent of people with 16 or more years of schooling have a bachelor’s degree. One can infer whether the relationship between the number of years of school ing and holding either a high school diploma or a bachelor’s degree has changed over time by looking at these percentages for different cohorts. If the correspondence has been deteriorating over time, then it should be greater for older cohorts. From table 3, however, Rates of inconsistent responses and classification errors in responses to education items, by type of respondent and month-in-sample [Percent] C a teg o ry Total................................................ Inconsistent responses Classification errors 6.1 9.6 Type of respondent: Self.,........................................ Proxy............................................. Self and proxy.............................. 5.6 6.6 6.2 9.3 10.0 9.2 Month-in-sample: 11....................................... 2 ................................................... 3 ...................................................... 4 .............................................. 51............................... 6 ................................................. 7 .................................................. 8 ................................................... 4.1 6.0 6.5 6.7 5.0 7.0 6.5 7.1 6.9 9.6 9.8 10.5 8.1 10.5 10.2 11.0* 11nterviews in these months are more likely to be in person. The vast majority of interviews during months-in-sample 2-4 and 6-8 are conducted over the telephone. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 43 Technical Note this does not appear to be true. For people with 12 or more years of school ing, the correspondence is fairly con stant across cohorts. For people with exactly 12 years of schooling, the cor respondence is low for 16- to 19- and 20- to 24-year-olds. Between the ages of 25 and 50 years, the correspondence is relatively constant at 85 percent to 86 percent. There is a slight increase, to about 88 percent, at age 50. For people with 16 years and 16 or more years of schooling, there is not much difference by cohort. Other survey issues As noted previously, responses to the new item at the time of the test may have been affected by the response to the old item; that is, the order of the questions in the survey may have af fected the outcome. Two other aspects of the survey instrument that could af fect consistency rates also were exam ined: whether the response was self-re ported or by proxy and the individual’s month-in-sample.8 (See table 4.) As expected, self-respondents are less likely than proxies to give conflict ing responses, but the difference is not large. When the respondent type is self and proxy (that is, both provided infor mation), the percentage of classification errors is very close to that of self-re- spondents, while the percentage of in consistent responses is between that for self- and proxy respondents. With regard to rotation group, in coming rotations (months-in-sample 1 and 5) give fewer conflicting responses. The most likely explanation is that in terviews in these months are conducted in person. Interviews in the other 6 months are conducted predominantly by telephone. This is an important distinc tion because, in responding to questions posed in the new item, respondents are shown flashcards with the possible re sponses when the interview is in per son, whereas if the interview is by tele phone, the possible responses are read only if the respondent is unsure. I n t h i s a r t i c l e , data collected in Feb ruary 1990 were used to examine con flicting responses in reporting educa tional attainment in the c p s in order to shed light on how well educational at tainment is measured by the old and new questions. Results of the study show that consistency rates vary by edu cation level. Some of the variation is due to respondents failing to make the distinction between having completed a grade and merely attending school during that grade. It appears that pre senting the old education item before the new one (as was done in February 1990) helps respondents make the dis tinction more readily. On the other hand, much of the inconsistency in re sponses is due to the old question not picking up information about the de grees the respondents have or have not earned. Other aspects of the survey in strument also have an effect on the rate of conflicting responses: face-to-face interviews produce fewer conflicting responses than do telephone interviews, and proxy respondents are slightly more likely than self-respondents to give con flicting responses. The current education item in the c p s represents a completely different way to measure educational attainment than the old item did. The current measure provides detailed information about educational credentials that was unob tainable under the old measure, al though some precision has been lost at both the college and lower levels. In c p s surveys starting in January 1996, the Census Bureau and the Bu reau of Labor Statistics plan to expand the level of detail available in the col lege range and to distinguish between regular high school diplomas and g e d ’ s . The 1996 item will ask the current ques tion first. Then, depending on the an swer, follow-up questions may gather more detail on the respondent’s educa tional attainment. This should further improve the measurement of education in the c p s . □ Footnotes___________________ 1The new item is discussed in Robert Kominski and Paul M. Siegel, “Measuring education in the Current Population Survey,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , September 1993, pp. 34-38. 2c p s I n te rv ie w e r s M a n u a l (Bureau of the Cen sus, February 1987). 3 Note that the absence of a category designat ing some graduate school, but no graduate degree, precludes those with more than 16 years of school completed and holding a bachelor’s degree from having their responses classified as inconsistent. 4 The 4-8^1 rotation scheme in the c p s makes it possible to match individuals in consecutive months. A household is interviewed each month for 4 consecutive months, is out o f the survey for 8 months, and then is back in the survey for 4 months. Households are identified by th eir m o n th -in -sa m p le, which ranges from 1 to 8. In any given month, it is 44 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis responses that fit this pattern, resulting in an in consistency rate o f 11.9 percent. In the JanuaryFebruary matched data, the analogous population is those who responded that they attended 11th 5 In the February 1990 data, an observation was grade both times that the old item was asked. Of considered an error if respondents did not make these people, 2.8 percent gave different answers the “attended-completed” distinction. To illus to the “attended-completed” questions. trate, consider people who reported having at 6 E d u c a tio n a l A tta in m e n t o f A m e ric a n W orkers: tended 11th grade when asked the old item and S o m e N e w D a ta , u s d l 93-238 (Bureau o f Labor responded “ 11th grade” to the new item. The Statistics, Jul. 16, 1993). responses are consistent if (1) the person re possible to match the responses o f individuals whose month-in-sample is 2 through 4 or 6 through 8 with their responses in the previous month. sponded “ 11th grade” and “did not complete” to the old item and “ 10th grade” to the new item; or (2) the person responded “11th grade” and “com pleted” to the old item and “11th grade” to the new item. O f all the pairs of responses, 2,663 fit (1) and 2,117 fit (2). A pair o f responses is in consistent if the person responded “ 11th grade” and “did not complete” to the old item and “11th grade” to the new item. There were 647 pairs of September 1995 7The numbers are taken from R. Kominski and R M. Siegel, “Measuring Educational Attainment in the 1990 Census,” paper presented at the annual meeting o f the American Sociological Association, August 1987. The 1960 and 1970 discrepancies are lower. 8 See footnote 4 for an explanation of m o n th -in sa m p le . Strike averted at a t &t Negotiators for the American Tele phone & Telegraph Co. (AT&T) and its two major unions— the Communica tions Workers of America (CWA) and the International Brotherhood of Electri cal Workers (IBEW)—averted a threat ened strike when they reached tentative agreement on new 3-year master con tracts covering some 110,000 workers nationwide. Terms of the pacts, which are similar to those negotiated by the unions with n y n e x last year, are ex pected to serve as a framework for set tlements at the regional Bell telephone companies currently negotiating new agreem ents w ith the unions. (See Monthly Labor Review, January 1995, page 35.) The major sticking points in the at &t negotiations were the level of wages, health care premiums for retir ees, and union access to AT&T subsid iaries for organizing purposes. According to cw a president Morton Bahr, “We made substantial improve ment in the areas of wages, health care, pension benefits, employment security and training, and education for our mem bers. We also protected the health care of our retirees, both ensuring that they won’t have out-of-pocket costs for pre miums and also improving coverage.” The contracts provide wage in creases of 3.6 percent immediately, 3.5 percent in the second year, and 3.4 per cent in the third year. Terms also call for an immediate $1,000 ratification bonus and $800 lump-sum payments in 1996, 1997, and 1998, which will be converted into at &t stock with a share price equal to AT&T’s average stock price during the week of August 28, 1995. At the expiration of the prior con tract, average wage rates ranged from $435 per week for account representa tives to $807 per week for equipment installers. "Industrial Relations" is prepared by Michael H. Cimini and Charles J. Muhl of the Division of Developments in LaborManagement Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on informa tion from secondary source. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The accords improve health benefits for active workers, particularly those enrolled in managed care plans, and protect retirees from having to contrib ute to health insurance premium s. Managed care plan participants will have 100-percent coverage for all ser vices, including in-hospital services and surgery, and will have newly added coverage for routine physicals, certain preventive care treatments, hospices, and air ambulance services. The de ductibles for in-network services will be replaced by a flat $10 copayment for doctors’ office visits, and maximum annual out-of-pocket expenses will be cut from $ 1,000 to $750. The settlement also introduces improvements in the prescription drug plan, mental health and drug abuse program, hospice care, and dental plan. Employees going out-of-network for health care will incur greater costs, in cluding annual deductibles of $200 per person and $400 per family, annual maximum out-of-pocket expenses of $2,500 per person and $5,000 per fam ily, and a $ 150 employee copayment for an in-hospital stay. Retirees will be covered under the same managed care networks, with ben efits and copayments identical to those of active employees. Workers who re tired before March 1, 1990, will con tinue to receive medical benefits fully paid by the company. Those retiring after March 1, 1990, will continue to receive medical benefits without out-ofpocket costs for insurance premiums during the term of the agreement only, because of increased caps on AT&T’s contributions towards premiums in 1995 and 1996 and the planned estab lishment of a retiree Medical Spending Account in 1997. The settlem ent includes several other changes in benefits. It increases pension benefits for active employees by 12 percent over the term of the agree ment, and boosts minimum pension benefits for current retirees to $400 per month. The pact obligates at &t to con tribute $67 million over the term to build employees’ skills. It improves the savings and security and stock purchase plans. Other changes in benefits amend dependents’ group life insurance to pro vide separate coverage for spouses and children and increase coverage at lower rates; continue the employee assistance program; increase the maximum reim bursement for adoption expenses to $3,000 less taxes; and provide up to $7.5 million for projects to serve em ployees’ family needs. In the job and union security areas, the parties agreed to language giv ing union members access to jobs in AT&T units that are not unionized and strengthening the concept of “union values” to help nonunion work ers to organize. They adopted a list of “do’s” and “don’ts” for future organiz ing campaigns at a t &t units, and agreed to a process for organizing cam paigns at two affiliates, at &t Transtech and Universal Card Services. The par ties also agreed to create a joint com mittee to annually review issues of in clusion or exclusion of certain at &t af filiates for organizing purposes, the ap plicability of card checks and the company’s pledge of neutrality in the unions’ organizing efforts, and the use of joint participation models established by other bargaining partners. The settlement expands employees’ rights under the at &t Transfer System plan (ATS), which originally was de signed to provide regular full-time and part-time employees with a vehicle to request new career opportunities and to provide “surplus” employees with an increased opportunity to continue employment with the company. New contract language gives surplused and laid-off workers simultaneous access to job openings at AT&T and all its affiliates, except McCaw Cellular. It also gives these employees immediate access to job opportunities when plants are closed, instead of placing them in a “force freeze” as was done in the past. The Workplace of the Future (w po f ) program, which was designed to facili tate greater union participation in hu man resource and business planning, is continued. The program will be the fo cal point for addressing problems deal ing with technological change, subcon- Monthly Labor Review September 1995 45 Industrial Relations trading, and outsourcing through Busi ness Unit Council meetings and local negotiations. Rule changes featured in utility pacts Members of Local 223 of the Utility Workers Union narrowly ratified a new 4-year labor contract covering some 2,700 power plant workers, cable splic ers, substation operators, and other pro duction and maintenance employees at Detroit Edison facilities in southeast ern Michigan. The low approval rate reportedly reflected rank-and-file dis satisfaction over rule changes that give the utility more operational flexibility, including language making employees exercise their seniority rights on a multiplant basis, rather than on a plant wide basis as stipulated under the pre vious contract. The pact provides wage increases of 2.5 percent in the first and third years of the contract, and lump-sum pay ments in the second and fourth years equal to 2.5 percent of an employee’s gross salary earned in the preceding 12 months. At the expiration of the prior agreement, the average hourly base rate reportedly was about $21.65. The settlement introduces several changes in benefits. The formula used to calculate normal pensions is en hanced to provide annual benefits equal to 1.5 percent (was 1.4 percent) of the average of the highest 5 years’ earnings multiplied by the number of years of credited service for each of the first 30 years of service and 1.4 percent of the average of the highest 5 years’ earnings multiplied by the number of years of credited service over 30. The penalty (reduction in pension benefits) for early retirement decreases in June 1997, from 8 to 3 percent for employees retiring at age 59, from 16 to 11 percent for those retiring at age 58, from 24 to 19 per cent for those retiring at age 57, from 32 to 26 percent for those retiring at age 56, and from 40 to 35 percent for those retiring at age 55. The supplemen tary early retirement allowance, which is paid to employees who retire before 46 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reaching age 62, is increased to yield a minimum monthly benefit, when com bined with regular retirement benefit total payments, of $1,250 in the first year of the contract, $1,500 in the sec ond year, $1,550 in the third year, and $1,750 in the fourth year. The minimum age requirement to qualify for such ben efits—which are paid until the retiree reaches age 62—drops from 56 to 55. Other changes, all effective in 1996, increase maximum annual orthodontic benefits from $850 to $1,250 and am bulance service benefits from $300 to $400; change the employee copayment for prescription drugs from 20 percent of cost to $25 per prescription; and eliminate the employee copayment for health insurance premiums when the employee is on long-term disability. In another development, the Illinois Power Company and four separate lo cals of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) have agreed to separate but essentially identical 4year contracts providing early retire ment incentives and more flexible work rules in response to the company’s plan to restructure its operations. The agree ment covers some 2,600 production, maintenance, office, and technical em ployees working throughout Illinois— part of the Decatur-based gas and elec tric utility’s total work force of 4,400. When the prior contract expired in June 1994, the parties agreed to a 9month extension that included a 3-per cent “premium payment” on June 30, 1994, while Illinois Power developed its restructuring plan. Under the final plan, several hundred unionized posi tions will be eliminated after a number of functions, including billing and cus tomer service, are centralized at the company’s headquarters. Thus, as part of the current settle ment, the parties negotiated early retire ment incentives and improvements in severance benefits intended to cushion the effects of staff reductions. Under changes to the early retirement pro gram, employees will be credited with an additional 5 years of age when cal culating pension eligibility, enabling an employee aged 57 or older to retire September 1995 without penalty. Severance language is improved to provide 3 weeks of pay for each year of credited service, with a minimum payment of 8 weeks and a maximum of 52 weeks. Employees ac cepting severance payments lose their recall rights. Work rule changes improve Illinois Power’s flexibility when responding to power outages and other emergency re pairs, as well as conducting normal op erations at its power plants and con struction sites. The pact also includes modifications to overtime policy and emergency repair procedures to give the utility more flexibility in redirecting its work force. The settlement rolls in the 3-percent premium payment negotiated as part of the 9-month contract extension and provides wage increases of 3.5 percent in the second year of the contract and 3 percent in both the third and fourth years. In addition, employees may re ceive annual bonuses of up to 6 percent of earnings paid in the preceding 12 months if established corporate goals are met. The contract also allows employees to take vacation in single- or half-day increments; and precludes a strike or lockout during the next round of nego tiations and requires interest arbitration in the event of a bargaining impasse. New pact at Kelly-Springfield Some 1,400 production and mainte nance workers at Kelly-Springfield Tire Co. in Freeport, i l , will be working under a new 3-year labor contract ne gotiated by Local 745 of the United Rubber Workers. Terms of the pact de viate somewhat from those agreed to last year by the Rubber Workers and Goodyear Tire and Rubber Co., KellySpringfield’s parent company. (See M onthly Labor Review, September 1994, pp. 60-61.) Unlike its Goodyear counterpart, Local 745 agreed to lan guage allowing management to add continuous operations on the weekends (two 12-hour shifts a day) and to start new hires at rates that are below nor- mal base rates but that reach normal base rates over a specified period. In the first year of the contract, work on week ends will be on a voluntary basis; there after, the company will have the right to assign workers to weekend shifts. The Kelly pact calls for a wage freeze during the term of the contract, moder ated by quarterly cost-of-living adjust ments equal to 1 cent an hour for each 0.26-point change in the Consumer Price Index for Wage Earners and Cleri cal Workers, with 18 cents per worker being diverted each year to help fund the company’s performance recognition plan. That plan establishes a target bo nus of $1,000 per year for each em ployee, with half coming from the com pany and half from the c o l a diversion. Each employee will receive a minimum of $500 and a maximum of $1,500, with the actual amount based in equal pro portions on the financial performance of Goodyear and Kelly-Springfield. Last year, the plan payout averaged $1,375 per employee. Other terms guarantee that the com pany will make a capital investment of about $17 million for radial light truck tire production; and continue the com pany-provided medical plan, pension benefits, accident and sickness cover age, supplemental workers’ compensa tion benefits, and the vision and dental care plans at current levels. Farmer Jack/A&p pact The Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea Company and Local 876 of the United Food and Commercial Workers reached agreement on a 3-year contract cover ing some 6,500 clerks at 88 Farmer Jack and a & p grocery stores in the Detroit, Mi, metropolitan area. According to a prepared statement, the accord provides “job security for employees and contin ued growth for the company in Michi gan.” The two chains, subsidiaries of New Jersey-based Great Atlantic, nego tiated a single contract covering all unionized employees for the first time, thus giving workers the opportunity to move freely among stores in both chains. With the settlement in hand, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Great Atlantic announced that 15 stores originally scheduled to be closed will remain open. In addition, the company pledged to open 15 new stores in the metro area over the next 2 years. The pact provides wage increases for top-rated employees of 25 cents per hour on August 6, 1995, 30 cents per hour on January 1, 1996, and 35 cents per hour on January 1, 1997. At the expira tion of the prior contract, the top hourly rate was $11.82 for employees hired be fore 1988 and $9.82 for employees hired thereafter. A number of work rule changes were included in the accord. The ratio of full time to part-time positions was reduced from 50/50 to 30/70. In return for giv ing Great Atlantic, this added flexibil ity, the union received a guarantee from the company that at least 2,000 full time positions will remain in the bar gaining unit during the term of the agreement. When eligibility for depen dent health care is determined, parttime workers will now be credited for hours worked on Sundays and holidays, which previously had not been included in the computation. Employees must average at least 34 hours of work per week to be eligible for dependent health care. Other terms provide employees hired after 1985 with 1 additional week of vacation and 5 additional national holi days; and maintain the current levels of pension and health care benefits. Hawaiian hotels settle The Hawaii Hotel Council and Local 5 of the Hotel Employees and Restaurant Employees settled on a 5-year master contract that provides wage increases and benefits improvements for some 5,000 employees. The Council bar gained for seven hotels—the Hyatt Re gency Waikiki, the Sheraton Princess Kaiulani, the Sheraton Moana Surf Rider, the Sheraton Royal Hawaiian, the Sheraton Waikiki, the Hilton Hawaiian Village, and the Ilikai Hotel. The pact calls for wage increases of around 4 percent in the first year of the contract, and around 3 percent each in the second and third years, with the ex act amount dependent on an employee’s job classification. The settlement also includes a reopener covering wages and health and welfare funding in 1998, and a 6-month postponement for imple menting “most of the money items” at the Ilikai because of its financial diffi culties. Under the prior agreement, wage rates averaged $12.45 per hour and ranged between $10 and $18 per hour. Besides maintaining health care ben efits at their current levels without ad ditional employee premium sharing, the contract calls for several benefit im provements. Pension benefits are in creased by approximately $1 per month per year of credited service in the sec ond and third contract years, to $24 per month in 1997, and to $25 per month in 1998. Bereavement leave is broad ened to cover special religious ceremo nies for deceased family members. Em ployees with at least 1 year of service are eligible for up to 3 months of un paid leave to care for newborn or adopted newborn children—which may be extended for an additional 3 months by mutual agreement. Other changes streamline grievance and arbitration procedures, strengthen contract language protecting employees from employer subcontracting of work, and create a procedure for alerting the union of workers’ compensation claims that the hotels have denied. The pact also includes changes in language deal ing with sick leave, vacations, and job descriptions. The parties’ previous agreement ex pired on March 1, 1995, but bargaining continued without resolution on a num ber of noneconomic issues, including workload, scheduling, and short-shift premiums. These issues will be submit ted to a labor-management committee for possible recommendations and mid term inclusion in the contract. Monfort accord Monfort, Inc. and Local 540 of the United Food and Commercial Workers signed a 3-year agreement covering Monthly Labor Review September 1995 47 Industrial Relations some 1,800 workers at the company’s beef slaughtering and fabrication plant in Dumas, TX. The contract provides wage increases, job upgrades, and im proved pension benefits. The pact in cludes hourly wage increases of 20 cents in the first year of the contract and 15 cents in the second and third years. To stem a high turnover rate at the plant, some 900 to 1,000 workers in the bargaining unit also will receive job up grades resulting in wage increases ranging from 20 to 70 cents per hour, with the amount depending on the em ployee’s job classification. In addition, the accord stretches out the wage pro gression for maintenance workers, re sulting in a $3.05 per hour difference (was $2) between the base rate and the top rate. At the expiration of the prior agreement, the hourly base wage rate was $8.55 in the processing department and $8.85 in the slaughter and mainte nance departments. Other terms increase the company contribution to the 401 (k) savings plan from $60 a year to two-thirds of an employee’s investment, which is lim ited to 6 percent of annual gross wages; implement new methods of monitoring work time in the slaughter division; and 48 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis add 100-percent reimbursement for doctor’s office visits and medical treat ment for pregnancy, contingent on the patient visiting a doctor at least once a month during pregnancy, and continue 80-percent reimbursement for all other doctor’s office visits. Supreme Court rules on affirmative action In Adarand Constructors, Inc. v. Pena, the Supreme Court examined the Fed eral Government’s authority to imple ment affirmative action programs. In its decision, the Court held that “federal racial classifications, like those of a State, must serve a compelling govern ment interest, and must be narrowly tai lored to further that interest.” The court added, “(A)ny person, of whatever race, has the right to demand that any gov ernmental actor subject to the Constitu tion justify any racial classification sub jecting that person to unequal treatment under the strictest judicial scrutiny.” The petitioner, Adarand Construc tors, Inc., is a Colorado-based construc tion company specializing in guard rail work. In 1989, Adarand, a nonminority owned firm, bid as a subcontractor for September 1995 the guard rail portion of a construction contract that had been awarded to Moun tain Gravel & Construction Company by the Central Lands Highway Division, currently part of the Department of Transportation. Even though Adarand submitted the lowest bid, it lost the con tract to Gonzales Construction Com pany, a minority owned firm. Mountain Gravel accepted Gonzales’ bid instead of Adarand’s because under Federal law it would receive additional funds for us ing a minority owned (“disadvantaged”) company as a subcontractor. Without the extra payment, Mountain Gravel said it would have selected Adarand for the work. Adarand sued, claiming that the presumption behind giving preference to all minorities—that they are “socially and economically disadvantaged” by definition—discriminates on the basis of race, thus violating the Fifth Amend ment, which gives each individual equal protection under the law. The District Court found for the re spondents, as did the Court of Appeals. After review, the Supreme Court va cated the Court of Appeal’s decision and remanded the case to the lower courts for further consideration “con sistent with its opinion.” □ Workplace Perfomance Workplace practices, company performance, and unionization Two major questions are addressed in a study by William N. Cooke in the July 1994 Industrial and Labor Relations Review: do employee-participation pro grams and group-based pay incentives have an effect on company performance and, if so, does the effect vary across union and nonunion companies? According to Cooke, employee-par ticipation programs are based on the as sumption that front-line workers have more complete information about work processes and are better able to orga nize tasks and identify obstacles to high performance than managers. Groupbased pay incentives, such as profit and gain sharing, are based on the assump tion that by linking earnings to perfor mance, employees will adjust their ef fort to optimize income. Employees also have an incentive to work coopera tively, as bonuses based on profit or other performance measures are tied to work force effort. Cooke suggests that a combination of employee-participation programs and group-based pay incentives could exceed the gains of either one alone. Employees would have little reason to share performance-increasing knowl edge with management without finan cial incentives. Conversely, employees with little participation in workplace decisions cannot respond effectively to such incentives. How might unionization affect em ployee-participation program s and group-based pay incentives? Cooke pro vides hypotheses that unions establish a more direct and open channel for a collective voice, which may insure that employee-participation programs are shaped with greater employee input. This, along with the longer term em ployment relationship and narrower pay differentials in union settings, may in- "Workplace Performance" is prepared by Polly A. Phipps of the Office of Publica tions and Special Studies, Bureau of La bor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis crease commitment to employee partici pation. Alternatively, existing contract language, insistence on voluntary par ticipation and confrontational negotia tions may work against employee par ticipation programs in union settings. Cooke’s survey of Michigan manu facturing companies provides fairly strong evidence that both employeeparticipation program s and groupbased pay incentives increase company performance, defined as value added net of labor cost per employee. He also finds strong differences by union/nonunion status, some contrary to expecta tions. Analyzing various combinations of work teams, group-based pay incen tives, and union status, Cooke finds that unionized companies with work teams and no group pay incentives achieve the highest level of performance—35 per cent higher than comparable nonunion companies with no teams or group pay. Four other combinations attain a level of performance 18-21 percent higher: union and nonunion companies with both group incentives and work teams, and union and nonunion companies with group incentives and no work teams. Finally, unionized companies without work teams or group incentives achieve a 13 percent higher level of per formance compared to nonunion com panies without teams or groups incen tives, or nonunion companies with work teams, but no group incentives. Based on his findings, Cooke suggests that unionized companies may have an environment which taps employee-par ticipation programs most effectively, and nonunion companies are more ef fective in tapping the incentive effects of group-based pay. Work organization and training Paul Osterman, reporting in the April 1995 Industrial Relations, tackles the question of whether firms that utilize high-performance workplace practices provide more training to their employ ees than other firms. Osterman first provides an interesting discussion of the debate on skill, performance, and training, beginning with deskilling theories in the 1970's and 1980's, through the current literature that sug gests that technology can be used in dif ferent ways and with different impacts on skill. The focus now is directed to ward the pace of upskilling and the cir cumstances under which it occurs. The link between skill and training is criti cal for high-performance work, because increased training is usually necessary to reap any productivity gains. Osterman surveyed 875 establish ments to assess the relationship be tween skill, training, and high-perfor mance workplace systems. His survey focuses on an establishment’s “core” employees, defined as the largest group of nonsupervisory, nonmanagement workers at the location. He finds a strong trend in upskilling for professional/technical employees, and a less pronounced, but upward trend in com plex work for blue-collar workers. For professional/technical workers, the change in skill is due to increased com puter usage, while for blue-collar work ers, the change is behavioral, such as increased interpersonal and cognitive skills. Osterman uses off-the-job training as his measure of training because more comprehensive concepts of training are difficult to measure, due to limited es tablishment records and because much training is on-the-job and informal. He finds that professional/technical core employees are more likely to receive off-the-job training than are blue-col lar employees. Blue-collar employees at larger establishments fare better in re ceiving off-the-job training; the size ef fect does not hold for professional/tech nical employees. Osterman also asks about the use of five workplace practices in relation to core employees: self-directed work teams, job rotation, employee problem solving groups, statistical process con trol, and total quality management. Us ing a multivariate regression model, he finds that the use of these high-perfor mance systems is associated with in creased training effort. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 49 Workplace Performance In conclusion, Osterman points out that while work organization appears to drive training, it could be the case that establishments engaging in more training find it easier to adopt high-per formance systems. His data provide evi dence for the former hypothesis, as sur vey respondents indicate that some years after introducing new work sys tems, training efforts plateau, although he notes the necessity of longitudinal data to answer this question. Assessing employee involvement programs John L. Cotton provides a comprehen sive guide to the vast literature on em ployee involvement in his 1993 book, Employee Involvement: Methods fo r Improving Performance and Work Atti tudes. Cotton begins with the history of employee involvement and a review of theories and models. He then turns to specific techniques designed to achieve employee involvement, including qual ity of work life programs, quality circles, gainsharing plans, representative par ticipation, job enrichment, work teams and employee ownership. In chapters on each form of employee involvement, Cotton proves a concrete example of a firm using the technique in his descrip tion. He then reviews and summarizes research findings and discusses imple mentation issues, integrating scientific findings and applied advice. In one of the final chapters, Cotton categorizes employee-involvement tech niques into those with strong (self-di rected work teams, gainsharing), inter mediate (quality of work life, job en richment, employee ownership), and weak (quality circles, representative participation) effects, based on his re view. Successful techniques have four major features: involvement is directed on everyday work, employees have a degree of control to make decisions, im provements can be initiated by employ ees, and more successful techniques re quire major changes in an employee’s work life. Cotton points out that while 50 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis outcomes differed across various tech niques, recommended processes for in volvement did not. These processes include: management commitment, employee training, and management education. Computer integration and enterprises Computer integration of the different functions of an enterprise has been pro gressing for the last 40 years, accord ing to Eric Alsene, writing in the 1994 International Labour Review. The first concept of computerized integration in the 1950's and 1960's involved a “total system” to electronically integrate all activities, including design, production, management, marketing and finance. Since then, a number of different con cepts, including programs feeding off a central data base, modular systems, and “islands” of computerization linking administrative units of enterprises, have emerged. However, most studies on computer ized integration speculate on what should or might happen—“virtual cor porations,” “extended enterprises,” “new corporate cultures,”—rather than collecting and analyzing data. Alsene, in contrast, conducts case studies of two up-and-running systems in order to as sess the actual effects of computerized integration in enterprises. His cases in cludes a hospital dietary system that links two departments and an inte grated maintenance-management sys tem linking three administrative units of a industrial headquarters and plant. Alsene analyzes the before and after content and organization of work, op erational management style and control systems, staffing, hierarchies and orga nizational culture through observation and interviews. His results in the hospital setting suggest an upgrading of the work of dietitians, through the elimination of certain routine tasks, which free them to concentrate on professional duties. September 1995 However, technicians and clerks in the dietary unit experience a narrowing of their tasks and reduction in numbers. In patient-care units, head nurses take on the task of entering standardized codes into the system, a downgrading of their job, as the task was originally carried out by assistant nurses more in formally over the telephone. These lat ter two examples are contrary to the speculation that integration always leads to job enrichment. Alsene finds a different result for work content in the industrial company, where the computerized system affects the accounts payable, procurement, and maintenance supervision departments. The work of clerks in accounts payable and procurement becomes less repeti tive and monotonous. For example, the payment slips filled out in several copies are eliminated, a predicted trans formation. However, other aspects of their work becomes more standardized and less flexible, as they must follow established procedures. However, new tasks are added to their workload, and with the most tedious tasks eliminated, the changes result in clerks identifying more with the objectives of the enter prise. Alsene thus sees confirmation of some elements of predicted change due to computerized systems in both cases, including the emergence of new com puter-specialist occupations, the facili tation of the verification of orders and purchases, and reduction of office work towards more professional tasks for dietitians, and office and maintenance supervisors, at the industrial company. Alsene also asserts that the changes he considers more positive occur through integration by a common data base in the industrial company, as opposed to integration by interface, in the hospital setting. He suggests that integration by interface leads to emergence of routine tasks, while integration through a com mon data base lessens horizontal bound aries of the organizations, and produces a new form of communication between people and data. □ Book Reviews After the fall Trade Union Growth and Decline: An International Study. By Walter Galenson. Westport, c t , Praeger, 1994, 176 pp. $49.95. Why has there been a decline in union ization in most industrial nations? What has happened to unions in devel oping countries? And what is the fu ture of trade unionism? Trade Union Growth and Decline: An International Study, by Walter Galenson, professor emeritus of indus trial relations at Cornell University and a top expert in comparative interna tional labor movements, reports his research on causes of trade union growth and decline in the 1980’s. His measure of “union density” is the ratio of trade union membership to the labor force. As with other variables Galenson explores, he warns of difficulties in both parts of the ratio. In fact, for experts in comparative labor movements, Galenson’s methods will be more interesting than his results. He recognizes the dif ficulties of dealing with deficient data, but he brings subjective judgments and regression analysis to measure the im pact on union density of government policies toward unions, the quality of union services to members, employer attitudes, and public opinion. Galenson finds general decline in trade union membership as a percent of employed wage and salary workers in 13 industrial countries he examines, with the exception of Norway and Swe den. The other nations include Austra lia, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, New Zealand, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. By contrast, in 12 developing coun tries—Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Egypt, India, Kenya, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Thai land—he finds a much more mixed pic ture: Big gains in union membership as a percent of the labor force in Korea and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Taiwan after the introduction of more political democracy in 1987, some sta bility elsewhere, and “catastrophic” de clines under authoritarian governments in Chile and Kenya. Only at the extremes of pro-union or anti-union government policies is there an effect on union density, says Galen son. But the role of government “is more important to developing coun tries, where unions are fragile and tend to be pawns in political struggles.” The relative shift of employment from manufacturing to services ac counts for much of the union member ship losses in most industrial nations, Galenson writes. “But the question is why employees in the service sector have not joined unions in sufficient numbers to offset the losses in manu facturing.” After examining effects of earnings, inflation, unemployment, and female employment, Galenson finds that “the only factor that proved to be significant was unemployment in the industrial countries.” The quality of union services—rep resentation of members in bargaining and grievances, independence of gov ernment or employer domination, union financial resources, and freedom from corruption—appears to have some posi tive effect on union density in indus trial countries but not in developing countries, according to Galenson. He speculates that although union quality is important in developing countries, it is overshadowed by other factors, such as the role of government (pro-union, neutral, or anti-union) and employer hostility. Employer hostility to unions is not a major factor in the decline in union density in industrial nations, Galenson claims: “In any event, except perhaps in developing countries in which em ployers contribute to the suppression of union activity, the decline in union density, where it has taken place, can not be attributed to growing employer antipathy.” Public opinion doesn’t help Galen son explain union density. For example, he does not find useful public opinion surveys providing information in devel oping countries. However, a chapter on public opinion polls in industrial na tions presents interesting findings. “The data do not reveal any consistent rela tionship between general public atti tudes and union density,” he writes. In the final chapter, Galenson argues that “unions were the victims of their own success...The rise of the welfare state— the expansion of government programs and services—reduced the appeal of unionism by generalizing the benefits that had attracted employees in the past. When potential members be gan to weigh the costs of joining unions against the anticipated benefits, they began to stay out.” Galenson concludes that “continued reliance on traditional appeals are not likely to serve the cause of trade union ism well.” Participation in enterprise decisionmaking is a growing issue for workers: “Unions that do not press for participatory schemes are denying themselves a potent organizing wea pon.” He sees skilled workers, service workers, and women as good targets for union organizing efforts. But he notes that unions in developing countries have a long way to go before the tradi tional union focus on wages and hours loses its appeal. Galenson’s report is far richer in detail than outlined here. I think he wrongly ignores the mobility of capital that helps employers avoid unions and underestimates anti-union employer behavior in the United States. Never theless, his findings merit the attention of anyone interested in the future of unions in the United States and other nations. —Markley Roberts Economic Research Department Monthly Labor Review A F L -C IO September 1995 51 Book Reviews Publications received Economic and social statistics Abowd, John M ., Francis Kramarz, and Antoine Moreau, P r o d u c t Q u a lity a n d W o rk er Q u a lity . Cambridge, ma , Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 227 pp. (Working Paper 5077.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling-outside the United States. Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, M on th ly B u lletin o f S ta tistic s, and S u p p lem en t, March 1995. Jerusalem, Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, 128 and 248 pp., respectively. U.S. Department of Health and Human Ser vices, In co m e o f th e A g e d C h a rtb o o k , 1992. Washington, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Social Se curity Administration, Office of Research and Statistics, 1994, 23 pp. Stock No. 017-070-00464-4. $2. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop ssop, Washington, DC 20402-9328. Economic growth and development Bloom, David E. and Ajay S. Mahal, D o e s the aids E p id em ic R e a lly T hreaten E c o n o m ic G ro w th ? Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 35 pp. (Working Paper 5148.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and han dling outside the United States. Ehrenberg, Ronald G ., Paul J. Pieper, and Rachel A. Willis, W ould R edu cin g Ten ure P ro b a b ilitie s In crease F acu lty S a la ries? Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,28 pp. (Working Paper 5150.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Mincer, Jacob, In vestm en t In U.S. E d u c a tion a n d Training. Cambridge, ma, Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1994,57 pp. (Working Paper 4844.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Health and safety Leigh, J. Paul, C a u ses o f D ea th in the W ork p la c e . Westport, ct, Quorum Books, 1995, 328 pp. $59.95. U .S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, O c c u p a tio n a l I n ju rie s a n d I lln e s s e s : C ou n ts, R ates, a n d C h a ra cte ristic s, 1992. Wash ington, 1995, Bulletin 2455, 265 pp. Stock No. 029001-03143-2. $6. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop ssop, Washington 20402-9328. In tra sch o o l V ariation in C la ss S ize: P a t tern s a n d Im plication s. Cambridge, ma , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,34 pp. (Working Paper 5144.) $5, per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. 52 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D ir e c to r y o f T exas M a n u fa c tu re rs, 1 9 9 5 : Vol. 1, A lp h a b e tic a l a n d G e o g ra p h ic a l S ectio n s. Vol. II, P ro d u c t S ectio n a n d Index. Austin, University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business, 1995, 509 and 710 pp., respectively. $130. Gansler, Jacques S., D e fen se C o n v e rsio n : Cambridge, ma , The 277 pp. $25. mit Press, 1995, Niskanen, William A ., Jr. B u rea u cra cy a n d P u b lic E con om ics. Brookfield, vt, Ed ward Elgar Publishing, Ltd., 1994, 298 pp. $67.95. Lowitt, Richard, ed., P o litic s in th e P o s t w a r A m eric a n West. Norman, ok, Uni versity of Oklahoma Press, 1995,400 pp. $19.95, paper. C r a f t J u r is d ic tio n A g r e e m e n ts , 1 9 9 5 E dition. Washington, 1995, 221 pp. $45, paper. Available from BNA Books, Edison, nj. of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,20 pp. (Working Paper 5105.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Altonji, Joseph G. and Thomas A. Dunn, Boozer, Michael and Cecilia Rouse, Industiy and government organization Bureau of National Affairs, C o n s tru c tio n B a rg a in in g L e g isla tio n on S trik e s a n d W ages. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1995, 48 pp. (Working Paper 5072.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Press, 1994, 192 pp. $39.95. Labor and economic history ies on R eform a n d P o stco m m u n ist T ran sition. Cambridge, ma , The MIT Press, The E ffects o f S ch o o l a n d F a m ily C h a r a c te r is tic s on th e R etu rn to E du cation . U n ion s a n d the S ta te in P en in su la r M a la ysia . New York, Oxford University Industrial relations Komai, Janos, H ig h w a y a n d B yw a ys: S tu d Education Jomo, K. S. and Patricia Todd, T ra d e T ransform in g the A rs e n a l o f D em ocra cy. Cramton, Peter C ., Morley Gunderson, Jo seph S. Tracy, The E ffect o f C o lle c tiv e 1995, 264 pp. $29.95. New York, Oxford Uni versity Press, 1995, 231 pp. $39.95. b a l E conom y. Gruenberg, Gladys W., A r b itr a tio n 1 9 9 4 : C o n tr o v e rsy a n d C on tin u ity. (Proceed ings of the Forty-Seventh Annual Meet ing, National Association of Arbitrators.) Washington, Bureau of National Affairs Inc., 1994, 396 pp. $40. Available from BNA Books, Edison, nj. May, Dawn, A b o r ig in a l L a b o u r a n d th e C a ttle In dustry: Q u een sla n d fro m W hite S e ttle m e n t to th e P resen t. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1994, 242 pp. $59.95. Miller, Sally M. and Daniel A. Comford, A m eric a n L a b o r in the E ra o f W orld W ar II. Westport, ct , Praeger Publishers, 1995, 240 pp. $59.95, cloth; $18.95, paper. Wellman, David, T h e U n io n M a k e s U s S tro n g : R a d ic a l U n io n ism on th e San F ra n cisco W aterfront. New York, Cam bridge University Press, 1995, 364 pp. $59.95. Hauck, Vern E ., ed., A r b itr a tin g S e x u a l H a ra ssm e n t C ases. Washington, Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., 1995, 511 pp. $95, paper. Cohen, Malcolm S., L a b o r S h o rta g es: A s Jacoby, Sanford M ., ed., The W o rkers o f A m e r ic a A p p r o a c h e s th e T w e n ty -F irst C e n tu r y . Ann Arbor, University of N a tio n s: In d u stria l R e la tio n s in a G lo - September 1995 Labor force Michigan Press, 1995, 183 pp. $37.50. Davis, Steven J. and John Haltiwanger, M e a su r in g G r o s s W o rk er a n d J o b F lo w s. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1995, 50 pp. (Working Paper 5133.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Dulude, Louise, S en io rity a n d E m p lo ym en t E q u ity F o r Women. Kingston, Ontario, Queen’s University, Industrial Relations Center, irc Press, 1995, 154 pp. Hagan, John and Fiona Kay, G e n d e r in P r a c tic e : A S tu d y o f L a w y e r s ’ L iv e s . New York, Oxford University Press, 1995,235 pp. $35. A n a ly sis w ith an A p p lic a tio n to the D e m a n d f o r Fish. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 43 pp. (Technical Working Paper, 178.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Brown, Kenneth H. and Shane M . Greenstein, H o w M u ch B e tte r Is Bigger, F a s te r a n d C h e a p e r ? B u y e r B e n e fits From In n ovation in M ain fram e C o m p u t e rs in the 1980s. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 78 pp. (Working Paper 5138.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and han dling outside the United States. Diewert, W. Erwin, A x io m a tic a n d E c o Huws, Ursula, ed., A ctio n P ro g ra m m es F o r the P ro tectio n o f H om ew o rk ers: Ten C a se S tu d ies F rom A ro u n d the W orld. Geneva, International Labor Office, 1995,142 pp. $16, paper. Available from ilo Publica tions Center, Albany, ny . Republic of China, M o n th ly B u lle tin o f M a n p o w e r S ta tistics, T aiw an A rea, F e b ru a ry 1995. Taiwan, Republic of China, Office of Directorate-General of Budget, 111 pp. W orkforce P o lic ie s : S ta te A c tiv ity a n d In novation s. Washington, National Asso ciation of State Budget Officers, 1995, 132 pp. $25, paper. Management and organization theory Aubrey, Robert and Paul M. Cohen, W ork ing W isd o m : T im e le ss S k ills a n d Van g u a rd S tra te g ie s f o r L ea rn in g O rg a n iza tions. San Francisco, Jossey-Bass Pub lishers, 1955, 192 pp. $25. Hitchcock, Darcy E. and Marsha L. Willard, W hy T eam s C an F a il A n d W h at to D o A b o u t It: E s s e n tia l T o o ls f o r A n y o n e Im plem en tin g S e lf-D ire cted W ork Team s. Burr Ridge, il, Irwin Professional Pub lishing, 1995, 30 pp. $30. Lewin, David and Daniel J. B. Mitchell, H um an R eso u rce M an agem en t: An E c o n o m ic A pp ro a ch . 2 d ed., Cincinnati, oh, South-Western College Publishing, 1995, 760 pp. Prices and living conditions Angrist, Joshua D., Kathryn Graddy, Guido W. Imbens, N o n - P a r a m e tr ic D e m a n d https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n om ic A p p ro a c h e s to E lem e n ta ry P ric e In dexes, Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 60 pp. (Working Paper 5104.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. __________ P ric e a n d Volume M easu res in the S ystem o f N a tio n a l A ccou n ts, Cambridge, ma , National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1995, 63 pp. (Working Pa per 5103.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for post age and handling outside the United States. Productivity and technological change Wages and compensation Dickens, William T., D o L a b o r R en ts J u s t if y S t r a t e g i c T r a d e a n d I n d u s t r i a l P o lic y ? Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,44 pp. (Working Paper 5137.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. DiNardo, John, Nicole M. Fortin, Thomas Lemieux, L a b o r M a rk e t In stitu tio n s a n d the D istrib u tio n o f W ages, 1 9 7 3 -1 9 9 2 : A S e m ip a ra m e tric A p p ro a ch . Cambridge, National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1995, 62 pp. (Working Pa per 5093.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for post age and handling outside the United States. ma, Mumane, Richard J., John B. Willett, and Frank Levy, The G ro w in g Im p o rta n ce o f C o g n itiv e S kills in W age D eterm in a tio n . Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1995, 46 pp. (Working Paper 5076.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Neal, Derek A. and William R. Johnson, The R o le o f P r e -M a r k e t F a c to r s in B la ck W hite W age D ifferen ces. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 49 pp. (Working Paper 5124.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Helpman, Elhanan and Manuel Trajtenberg, A T im e To S o w a n d a T im e to R e a p : G row th B a se d on G e n e ra l P u rp o se Tech nologies. Cambridge, ma, National Bu reau of Economic Research, Inc., 1994, 43 pp. (Working Paper 4854.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Henderson, Rebecca, Adam B. Jaffe, Manuel Trajtenberg, U n iversities a s a Sou rce o f C o m m e r c ia l T e c h n o lo g y : A D e t a il e d A n a ly sis o f U n iversity P a ten tin g, 1 9 6 5 1988. Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 39 pp. (Working Paper 5068.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, P ro d u c tiv Neumark, David and William Wascher, The E ffects o f M in im u m W ages on T een age E m p lo y m en t a n d E n rollm en t: E v id e n c e F rom M a tc h e d c p s S u rveys. Cambridge, National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1995, 49 pp. (Working Pa per 5092.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for post age and handling outside the United States. ma , Welfare programs and social insurance Brechling, Frank and Louise Laurence, P e r m a n en t J o b L o ss a n d the U.S. S ystem o f F in a n c in g U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n c e . Kalamazoo, mi, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1995, 111 pp. ity M ea su res f o r S e le c te d In d u stries a n d G o vern m en t S ervices. Washington, Bul Burton, John F., Jr. and Timothy P. Schmidle, letin 2461, Stock No. 029-001-03211-1. $10. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop SSOP, Washing ton, D C 20402-9328. Horsham, pa, lrp Publications, 1995,552 pp. $58.90, plus $4.50, shipping and han dling, paper. 1 9 9 5 W o rk ers’ C om p en sa tio n Y ear B ook. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 53 Book Reviews Card, David and Brian P. McCall, Is W ork e r s ’ C o m p en sa tio n C o v erin g U n in su red M e d i c a l C o s t s ? E v id e n c e f r o m th e ‘M o n d a y E ffect. ’ Cambridge, ma , Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,45 pp. (Working Paper 5058.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Hoynes, Hilary Williamson, D o e s W elfare P la y A n y R o le in F em ale H ea d sh ip D e c isio n s? Cambridge, ma , National Bu reau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 48 pp. (Working Paper 5149.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Rosen, Sherwin, P u b lic E m ploym en t, Taxes a n d the W elfare S ta te in S w ed en . Cam bridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995, 59 pp. (Working Paper 5003.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Thomason, Terry and Richard P. Chaykowski, eds., R esea rch in C anadian W o r k e r s ’ C o m p e n s a t i o n . Kingston, Ontario, Queen’s University, Industrial Relations Center, IRC Press, 1995, 224 pp. $40. Ruhm, Christopher J. and Jackqueline L. Teague, P a re n ta l L ea v e P o lic ie s In E u rope a n d N orth A m erica . Cambridge, ma, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1995,33 pp. (Working Paper 5065.) $5 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Turner, John and Noriyasu Watanabe, Pri vate P en sio n P o lic ie s in In d u stria lize d C o u n tr ie s : A C o m p a r a tiv e A n a ly s is . Kalamazoo, Ml, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1995, 170 pp. $14, paper. U.S. Railroad Retirement Board, N in eteen th Schmitt, Ray, ed. The Future o f P en sio n s in the U n ited States. Philadelphia, Univer sity of Pennsylvania Press, Pension Re search Council, the Wharton School, 1993, 317 pp., $39. A c tu a r ia l V alu ation o f th e A s s e ts a n d L ia b ilitie s U n d e r th e R a ilr o a d R e tir e m en t A c ts a s o f D e c e m b e r 3 1 ,1 9 9 2 , with Technical Supplement. Chicago, il, U.S. Railroad Retirement Board, Bureau of the Actuary, 1994, 99 pp. □ LABSTAT Available via World Wide Web l a b s t a t , the Bureau of Labor Statistics public database, provides current and his torical data for many b l s surveys as well as numerous news releases. l a b s t a t Public Access has introduced a new production Internet service over the World Wide Web. b l s and regional offices programs are described using hypertext pages. Access to l a b s t a t data and news releases is provided by a link to the b l s gopher server. The URL is: http://stats.bls.gov/blshome.html If you have questions or comments regarding the LABSTAT system on the Internet, address e-mail to: labstat.helpdesk @bls.gov 54 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 Current Labor Statistics Notes on Labor Statistics................. 56 Comparative indicators 1. Labor market indicators............................................................. 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity............................ 3. Alternative measures of wages and compensation changes........................................................... 66 67 67 Labor force data 4. Employment status of the population, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 5. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 6. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 8. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 9. Unemployment rates by sex and age, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 10. Unemployment rates by States, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 11. Employment of workers by States, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 12. Employment of workers by industry, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 13. Average weekly hours by industry, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 14. Average hourly earnings by industry, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 15. Average hourly earnings by industry.................................... 16. A verage w eek ly earnings by in d u str y ..................................... 17. Diffusion indexes of employment change, seasonally adjusted................................................................. 18. Annual data: Employment status of the population........ 19. Annual data: Employment levels by industry..................... 20. Annual data: Average hours and earnings levels by industry.......................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27. Average specified compensation and wage rate changes, bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more........................................................... 28. Specified changes in cost of compensation in private industry settlements covering 5,000 workers or more........................................................................ 29. Specified compensation and wage adjustments, State and local government bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more......................................... 30. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more............ 87 88 89 89 68 69 70 70 71 71 72 72 73 75 75 76 77 78 78 79 79 Labor compensation and collective bargaining data 21. Employment Cost Index, compensation, by occupation and industry group..................................... 22. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group..................................... 23. Employment Cost Index, benefits, private industry workers, by occupation and industry group................... 24. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size ..................... 25. Participants in employer-provided benefit plans............. 26. Specified compensation and wage rate changes from contract settlements, and effective wage rate changes, agreements covering 1,000 workers or more....................................................................... Labor compensation and collective bargaining data—Continued Price data 31. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity and service groups.................. 90 32. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and local data, all items................................................................ 93 33. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, all items and major groups..................................................................... 94 34. Producer Price Indexes by stage of processing.................. 95 35. Producer Price Indexes for the net output of major industry groups..................................................... .................. 96 36. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes by stage of processing............................................................. 96 37. U.S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification................................................................ 97 38. U.S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification................................................................ 98 39. U.S. export price indexes by end-use category.................. 99 40. U.S. import price indexes by end-use category.................. 99 41. U.S.international price indexes for selected categories of services............................................................ 100 Productivity data 42. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, data seasonally adjusted......................... 43. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity........................ 44. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices.............................................................. 45. Annual indexes of output per hour for selected industries.................................................................................... 100 101 101 102 International comparisons data 80 82 83 84 85 86 46. Unemployment rates in nine countries, data seasonally adjusted........................................................ 104 47. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, 10 countries.............................. 105 48. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, 12 countries............................................................................... 106 Injury and Illness data 49. Annual data: Occupational injury and illness incidence rates.......................................................................... 107 Monthly Labor Review September 1995 55 Notes on Current Labor Statistics This section of the R e view presents the prin cipal statistical series collected and calcu lated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: series on labor force; employment; unem ployment; labor compensation; collective bargaining settlements; consumer, producer, and international prices; productivity; inter national comparisons; and injury and illness statistics. In the notes that follow, the data in each group of tables are briefly described; key definitions are given; notes on the data are set forth; and sources of additional in formation are cited. General notes The following notes apply to several tables in this section: Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect on the data of such factors as cli matic conditions, industry production sched ules, opening and closing of schools, holi day buying periods, and vacation practices, which might prevent short-term evaluation of the statistical series. Tables containing data that have been adjusted are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” (All other data are not seasonally adjusted.) Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experi ence. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect sea sonally adjusted data for several preceding years. Seasonally adjusted data appear in tables 1-14, 16-17, 42, and 46. Seasonally ad justed labor force data for 1994 in tables 1 and 4-9 were revised in the February 1995 issue of the R eview . Seasonally adjusted es tablishment survey data shown in tables 1214 and 16-17 were revised in the July 1995 R e v ie w and reflect the experience through March 1995. A brief explanation of the sea sonal adjustment methodology appears in “Notes on the data.” Revisions in the productivity data in table 42 are usually introduced in the Sep tember issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter are published for nu merous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted in dexes are not published for the U .S. aver age All-Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data— such as the “real” earnings shown in table 14— are adjusted to eliminate the ef fect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current-dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appro 56 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis priate component of the index, then multi plying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1982 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1982 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The $2 (or any other resulting values) are described as “ real,” “constant,” or “ 1982” dollars. Sources of information Data that supplement the tables in this sec tion are published by the Bureau in a vari ety of sources. Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sec tions of these Notes describing each set of data. For detailed descriptions of each data series, see bls H a n dbook o f M eth o d s, Bul letin 2414. Users also may wish to consult M a jo r P ro g ra m s o f the B u reau o f L a b o r S ta tistic s, Report 871. News releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule ap pearing on the back cover of this issue. More information about labor force, em ployment, and unemployment data and the household and establishment surveys under lying the data are available in the Bureau’s monthly publication, E m p lo y m e n t a n d E arn in gs. Historical unadjusted data from the household survey are published in L a b o r F orce S ta tistic s D e r iv e d F rom the C u r ren t P o p u la tio n S u rvey, BLS Bulletin 2307. Historical seasonally adjusted data are available from the Bureau upon request. Historically comparable unadjusted and sea sonally adjusted data from the establishment survey are published in E m ploym en t, H ours, a n d E arn ings, U n ited S ta tes, a BLS annual bulletin. Additional information on labor force data for sub-States are provided in the BLS annual report, G e o g r a p h ic P r o file o f More detailed data on consumer and pro ducer prices are published in the monthly periodicals, The cpi D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P ro d u c e r P r ic e In dexes. For an overview of the cpi reflecting 1982-84 expenditure pat terns, see The C o n su m er P ric e Index: 1 9 8 7 R evisio n , BLS Report 736. Additional data on international prices appear in monthly news releases. For a listing of available industry pro ductivity indexes and their components, see P r o d u c tiv ity M e a su re s f o r S e le c te d In d u s trie s a n d G o vern m en t S ervices, BLS Bulle tin 2440. For additional information on interna tional comparisons data, see In te rn a tio n a l C o m p a riso n s o f U n em ploym en t, BLS Bulle tin 1979. Detailed data on the occupational injury and illness series are published in O c cu p a tio n a l In ju rie s a n d Illn e sse s in th e U n ited S tates, b y Industry, a BLS annual bulletin. Finally, the M on th ly L a b o r R e view car ries analytical articles on annual and longer term developments in labor force, employ ment, and unemployment; employee com pensation and collective bargaining; prices; productivity; international comparisons; and injury and illness data. Symbols n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified, n.e.s. = not elsewhere specified. p = preliminary. To increase the time liness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on repre sentative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data, but may also reflect other ad justments. E m p lo ym en t a n d U n em ploym ent. More detailed information on employee compensation and collective bargaining settlements is published in the monthly pe riodical, C o m p en sa tio n a n d W orking C o n ditio n s. For a comprehensive discussion of the Employment Cost Index, see E m p lo y m en t C o st In dexes a n d L evels, 1 9 7 5 -9 3 , BLS Bulletin 2447. The most recent data from the Employee Benefits Survey appear in the following Bureau of Labor Statistics bulle tins: E m p lo yee B en efits in M ediu m a n d L arge F irm s; E m p lo yee B en efits in S m all P riv a te E sta b lish m en ts; a n d E m p lo y e e B e n e fits in S ta te a n d L o c a l G o v e r n m e n ts. Historical data on the collective bargaining settlements series appear in the March issue of C o m p e n sa tio n a n d W orking C on dition s. September 1995 Comparative Indicators (Tables 1-3) Comparative indicators tables provide an overview and comparison of major bls sta tistical series. Consequently, although many of the included series are available monthly, all measures in these comparative tables are presented quarterly and annually. Labor market indicators include em ployment measures from two major surveys and information on rates of change in com pensation provided by the Employment Cost Index (ECl) program. The labor force partici pation rate, the employment-to-population ratio, and unemployment rates for major demographic groups based on the Current Population (“household”) Survey are pre sented, while measures of employment and average weekly hours by major industry sec tor are given using nonfarm payroll data. The Employment Cost Index (compensation), by major sector and by bargaining status, is chosen from a variety of bls compensation and wage measures because it provides a comprehensive measure of employer costs for hiring labor, not just outlays for wages, and it is not affected by employment shifts among occupations and industries. Data on changes in com pensation, prices, and productivity are presented in table 2. Measures of rates of change of com pensation and wages from the Employment Cost Index program are provided for all civilian nonfarm workers (excluding Federal and household workers) and for all private nonfarm workers. Measures of changes in consumer prices for all urban consumers; producer prices by stage of processing; over all prices by stage of processing; and overall export and import price indexes are given. Measures of productivity (output per hour of all persons) are provided for major sectors. A lternative measures of wage and compensation rates of change, which re flect the overall trend in labor costs, are summarized in table 3. Differences in con cepts and scope, related to the specific purposes of the series, contribute to the variation in changes among the individual measures. Notes on the data Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these notes describing each set of data. Employment and Unemployment Data (Tables 1; 4-20) Household survey data Description of the series E mployment data in this section are ob tained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample con sists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Definitions tio is employment as a percent of the civil Employed persons include (1) all those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vaca tion, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary ill ness and had looked for jobs within the pre ceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff are also counted among the unemployed. The unem ployment rate represents the number unem ployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the ci vilian noninstitutional population. Persons not in the labor force are those not classi fied as employed or unemployed. This group includes discouraged workers, defined as persons who want and are available for a job and who have looked for work sometime in the the past 12 months (or since the end of their last job if they held one within the past 12 months), but are not currently look ing, because they believe there are no jobs available or there are none for which they would qualify. The civilian nonin stitutional population comprises all per sons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sani tariums, or homes for the aged, infirm , or needy. The civilian labor force participa tion rate is the proportion of the civilian nonin-stitutional population that is in the la bor force. The employment-population ra- Revisions to household data Data relating to 1994 and subsequent years are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years because of the introduction of a major redesign of the survey questionnaire and collection methodology, and the introduction of 1990 census-based population controls, adjusted for the estimated undercount. An explanation of the changes and their ef fect on labor force data appears in the February 1994 issue of E m p lo ym en t a n d E a rn in g s, a monthly publication of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seasonally adjusted data for 1994 were revised at the end of 1994. Addi tional information on the revisions ap pears in the January 1995 issue of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E arn ings. ian noninstitutional population. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a de cennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the intercensal years. These adjustments affect the compa rability of historical data. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appears in the Explana tory Notes of E m p lo ym en t a n d E arn ings. Labor force data in tables 1 and 4-9 are seasonally adjusted. Since January 1980, national labor force data have been season ally adjusted with a procedure called X - ll arim a which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X11 method previously used by BLS. A de tailed description of the procedure appears in the X - l l arima S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M ethod, by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada, Catalogue No. 12-564E, January 1983). At the end of each calendar year, season ally adjusted data for the previous 5 years usually are revised, and projected seasonal adjustment factors are calculated for use during the January-June period. Because of the changes introduced into the CPS in Janu ary 1994, only seasonally adjusted data for 1994 were revised at the end of 1994. In July, new seasonal adjustment factors, which incorporate the experience through June, are produced for the July-December period, but no revisions are made in the his torical data. F or additional information on national household survey data, contact the Division of Labor Force Statistics: (202) 606-6378. Establishment survey data Description of the series E mployment , hours , a nd earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a voluntary ba sis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies by about 390,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. Industries are classified in accordance with the 1987 S ta n d a rd In d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n (SIC) M anual. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An establishment is not necessar ily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for ex ample, or warehouse.) Self-employed per sons and others not on a regular civilian pay roll are outside the scope of the survey Monthly Labor Review September 1995 57 Current Labor Statistics because they are excluded from establish ment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Definitions An establishm ent is an economic unit which produces goods or services (such as a factory or store) at a single location and is engaged in one type of economic activity. Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period in cluding the 12th day of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establishment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include working supervisors and nonsupervisory workers closely associated with pro duction operations. Those workers men tioned in tables 11-16 include production workers in manufacturing and mining; con struction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in the following indus tries: transportation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insur ance, and real estate; and services. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but exclud ing irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings ad justed to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Work ers (CPI-W). Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory work ers for which pay was received, and are dif ferent from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the portion of average weekly hours which was in excess of regular hours and for which overtime pre miums were paid. The Diffusion Index represents the per cent of industries in which employment was rising over the indicated period, plus onehalf of the industries with unchanged em ployment; 50 percent indicates an equal bal ance between industries with increasing and decreasing employment. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 1-, 3-, and 6-month spans are seasonally adjusted, while those for the 12-month span are unadjusted. Data are centered within the span. Table 17 pro vides an index on private nonfarm employ ment based on 356 industries, and a manu facturing index based on 139 industries. These indexes are useful for measuring the 58 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dispersion of economic gains or losses and are also economic indicators. Notes on the data Establishment survey data are annually ad justed to comprehensive counts of employ ment (called “benchmarks”). The latest ad justment, which incorporated March 1994 benchmarks, was made with the release of May 1995 data, published in the July 1995 issue of the R eview . Coincident with the benchmark adjustment, seasonally adjusted data were revised to reflect the experience through March 1995. Comparable revisions in State data (table 11) occurred with the publication of January 1995 data. Unad justed data from April 1994 forward and seasonally adjusted data from January 1991 forward are subject to revision in future benchmarks. The bls also uses the X -l 1 arima meth odology to seasonally adjust establishment survey data. Beginning in June 1989, pro jected seasonal adjustment factors are cal culated and published twice a year. The change makes the procedure used for the establishment survey data more parallel to that used in adjusting the household survey data. Revisions of data, usually for the most recent 5-year period, are made once a year coincident with the benchmark revisions. In the establishment survey, estimates for the most recent 2 months are based on in complete returns and are published as pre liminary in the tables (12-17 in the R eview ). When all returns have been received, the es timates are revised and published as “final” (prior to any benchmark revisions) in the third month of their appearance. Thus, De cember data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. For the same reasons, quarterly establish ment data (table 1) are preliminary for the first 2 months of publication and final in the third month. Thus, fourth-quarter data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. A comprehensive discussion of the dif ferences between household and establish ment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “ Comparing employment esti mates from household and payroll surveys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e view , December 1969, pp. 9-20. F or additional information on estab lishment survey data, contact the Division of Monthly Industry Employment Statistics: (202) 606-6555. lation Survey (CPS) and the Local Area Un employment Statistics (LAUS) program, which is conducted in cooperation with State employment security agencies. Monthly estimates of the labor force, employment, and unemployment for States and sub-State areas are a key indicator of local economic conditions, and form the ba sis for determining the eligibility of an area for benefits under Federal economic assis tance programs such as the Job Training Partnership Act. Seasonally adjusted unem ployment rates are presented in table 10. Insofar as possible, the concepts and defini tions underlying these data are those used in the national estimates obtained from the CPS. Notes on the data Data refer to State of residence. Monthly data for 11 States— California, Florida, Illi nois, Massachusetts, Michigan, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsyl vania, and Texas— are obtained directly from the CPS because the size of the sample is large enough to meet bls standards of reliability. Data for the remaining 39 States and the District of Columbia are derived using standardized procedures established by b l s . Once a year, estimates for the 11 States are revised to new population con trols, usually with publication of January estimates. For the remaining States and the District of Columbia, data are benchmarked to annual average CPS levels. Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with those for 1993 as a result of the redesign of the CPS and other methodological changes. See “ Re visions in State and Area Estimates Effec tive January 1994,” E m p lo ym en t a n d E a rn ings, March 1994. F or additional information on data in this series, call (202) 606-6392 (table 10) or (202) 606-6589 (table 11). Compensation and Wage Data (Tables 1-3; 21-30) C ompensation and wage data are gathered by the Bureau from business establishments, State and local governments, labor unions, collective bargaining agreements on file with the Bureau, and secondary sources. Employment Cost Index Unemployment data by State Description of the series Description of the series The Employment Cost Index (ECI) is a quarterly measure of the rate of change in compensation per hour worked and includes wages, salaries, and employer costs of em- Data presented in this section are obtained from two major sources— the Current Popu- September 1995 ployee benefits. It uses a fixed market basket of labor— similar in concept to the Consumer Price Index’s fixed market bas ket of goods and services— to measure change over time in employer costs of em ploying labor. Statistical series on total compensation costs, on wages and salaries, and on benefit costs are available for private nonfarm work ers excluding proprietors, the self-employed, and household workers. The total compen sation costs and wages and salaries series are also available for State and local gov ernment workers and for the civilian non farm economy, which consists of private industry and State and local government workers combined. Federal workers are excluded. The Employment Cost Index probability sample consists of about 4,400 private non farm establishments providing about 23,000 occupational observations and 1,000 State and local government establishments pro viding 6,000 occupational observations se lected to represent total employment in each sector. On average, each reporting unit pro vides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data are collected each quarter for the pay period in cluding the 12th day of March, June, Sep tember, and December. Beginning with June 1986 data, fixed employment weights from the 1980 Census of Population are used each quarter to calculate the civilian and private indexes and the index for State and local govern ments. (Prior to June 1986, the employment weights are from the 1970 Census of Pop ulation.) These fixed weights, also used to derive all of the industry and occupation series indexes, ensure that changes in these indexes reflect only changes in compensa tion, not employment shifts among indus tries or occupations with different levels of wages and compensation. For the bargain ing status, region, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan area series, however, employ ment data by industry and occupation are not available from the census. Instead, the 1980 employment weights are reallocated within these series each quarter based on the current sample. Therefore, these indexes are not strictly comparable to those for the aggregate, industry, and occupation series. Definitions Total compensation costs include wages, salaries, and the employer’s costs for em ployee benefits. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, including produc tion bonuses, incentive earnings, commis sions, and cost-of-living adjustments. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Benefits include the cost to employers for paid leave, supplemental pay (includ ing nonproduction bonuses), insurance, re tirement and savings plans, and legally re quired benefits (such as Social Security, workers’ compensation, and unemployment insurance). Excluded from wages and salaries and employee benefits are such items as pay ment-in-kind, free room and board, and tips. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index for changes in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm economy was published beginning in 1975. Changes in total compensation cost— wages and salaries and benefits combined— were published beginning in 1980. The series of changes in wages and salaries and for total compensation in the State and local govern ment sector and in the civilian nonfarm economy (excluding Federal employees) were published beginning in 1981. Histori cal indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quar terly rates of change are presented in the March issue of the BLS periodical, C o m p en sa tio n a n d W orking C ondition s. F or a d d it io n a l inform ation on the Employment Cost Index, contact the Divi sion of Employment Cost Trends: (202) 606-6199. Employee Benefits Survey Description of the series Employee benefits data are obtained from the Employee Benefits Survey, an annual survey of the incidence and provisions of selected benefits provided by employers. The survey collects data from a sample of approximately 6,000 private sector and State and local government establishments. The data are presented as a percentage of em ployees who participate in a certain benefit, or as an average benefit provision (for example, the average number of paid holi days provided to employees per year). Se lected data from the survey are presented in table 25. The survey covers paid leave benefits such as lunch and rest periods, holidays and vacations, and personal, funeral, jury duty, military, parental, and sick leave; sickness and accident, long-term disability, and life insurance; medical, dental, and vision care plans; defined benefit and defined contribu tion plans; flexible benefits plans; reimburse ment accounts; and unpaid parental leave. Also, data are tabulated on the inci dence of several other benefits, such as severance pay, child-care assistance, well ness programs, and employee assistance programs. Definitions Employer-provided benefits are benefits that are financed either wholly or partly by the employer. They may be sponsored by a union or other third party, as long as there is some employer financing. However, some benefits that are fully paid for by the em ployee also are included. For example, long term care insurance and postretirement life insurance paid entirely by the employee are included because the guarantee of insurabil ity and availability at group premium rates are considered a benefit. Participants are workers who are cov ered by a benefit, whether or not they use that benefit. If the benefit plan is financed wholly by employers and requires employ ees to complete a minimum length of ser vice for eligibility, the workers are consid ered participants whether or not they have met the requirement. If workers are required to contribute towards the cost of a plan, they are considered participants only if they elect the plan and agree to make the required contributions. Defined benefit pension plans use pre determined formulas to calculate a retire ment benefit, and obligate the employer to provide those benefits. Benefits are gener ally based on salary, years of service, or both. Defined contribution plans generally specify the level of employer and employee contributions to a plan, but not the formula for determining eventual benefits. Instead, individual accounts are set up for partici pants, and benefits are based on amounts credited to these accounts. Tax-deferred savings plans are a type of defined contribution plan that allow par ticipants to contribute a portion of their sal ary to an employer-sponsored plan and de fer income taxes until withdrawal. Flexible benefit plans allow employees to choose among several benefits, such as life insurance, medical care, and vacation days, and among several levels of care within a given benefit. Notes on the data Surveys of employees in medium and large establishments conducted over the 1979-86 period included establishments that em ployed at least 50, 100, or 250 workers, de pending on the industry (most service industries were excluded). The survey con ducted in 1987 covered only State and local governments with 50 or more employees. The surveys conducted in 1988 and 1989 included medium and large establishments with 100 workers or more in private industries. All surveys conducted over the 1979-89 period Monthly Labor Review September 1995 59 Current Labor Statistics excluded establishments in Alaska and Ha waii, as well as part-time employees. Beginning in 1990, surveys of State and local governments and small establishments are conducted in even-numbered years and surveys of medium and large establishments are conducted in odd-numbered years. The small establishment survey includes all pri vate nonfarm establishments with fewer than 100 workers, while the State and local gov ernment survey includes all governments, regardless of the number of workers. All three surveys include full- and part-time workers, and workers in all 50 States and the District of Columbia. F or additional information on the Em ployee Benefits Survey, contact the Division of Occupational Pay and Employee Benefit Levels: (202) 606-6222. Collective bargaining settlements Description of the series Collective bargaining settlements data pro vide statistical measures o f negotiated changes (increases, decreases, and zero change) in wage rates alone and in compen sation (wages and benefits), quarterly for private nonagricultural industries and semi annually for State and local governments. Wage rate changes cover collective bargain ing settlements negotiated in the reference period involving 1,000 or more workers, and compensation changes cover settlements reached in the reference period involving 5,000 or more workers. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are calculated using information obtained from bargaining agree ments on file with the Bureau, parties to the agreements, and secondary sources, such as newspaper accounts. The wage and compensation rate changes are the percent difference between the aver age rate per work hour just prior to the start of a new agreement and the average rate per work hour that would exist at the end of the first 365 days of the new agreement (firstyear measure) or at its expiration date (overthe-life measure). These data exclude lump sum payments. The compensation cost change is the per cent difference between the average cost of compensation per work hour, including the hourly cost of lump-sum payments made dur ing the term of the expiring agreement, just prior to the start of a new agreement and the average cost of compensation per work hour under the settlement. The timing of the changes in compensation rates is reflected in the compensation cost series, but not in compensation rate series. 60 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Data on changes in settlements exclude potential changes under cost-of-living adjust ment clauses. Averages reflect the change under each settlement weighted by the num ber of workers covered. Estimates of changes are based on the assumption that conditions existing at the time of the settlement (for example, composition of the labor force or methods of funding pensions) will remain constant over the term of the agreement. Wage rate changes under all major agreements (those covering 1,000 or more workers) measure all wage increases, de creases, and zero changes occurring in the reference period, regardless of the settle ment date. Included are changes from settle ments reached in the calendar year, changes deferred from settlements negotiated in ear lier years, and changes under cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) clauses. The change in the wage rate for each agreement is the per cent difference between the average wage rate just prior to the start of the reference period and the average wage rate at the end of the reference period. The change for each agreement is weighted by the number of workers covered to determine the average change under all agreements. Definitions Wage rate is the average straight-time hourly wage rate plus shift premiums. Compensation rates include the wage rate, premium pay (for example, for over time and holidays); paid leave; life, health, and sickness and accident insurance; pen sion and other retirement plans; severance pay; and legally required benefits. Compensation costs include the items covered by compensation rates plus speci fied lump-sum payments, the cost of contractually required training programs that are not a cost of doing business, and the ad ditional costs of changes in legally required insurance known at the time of settlement to be mandated during the contract term. Cash paym ents include wages and lump-sum payments. Contingent pay provisions are clauses which could provide compensation changes beyond those specified in the settlement. COLA c la u se s and lum p-sum p ro v isio n s that call for a paym ent on ly if a c o m pany’s profits exceed a specific amount are exam ples. Notes on the data Comparisons of major collective bargaining settlements for State and local government with those for private industry should note differences in occupational mix, bargaining practices, and settlement characteristics. September 1995 Professional and white-collar employees, for example, make up a much larger propor tion of the workers covered by government than by private industry settlements. Lump sum payments and cola clauses, on the other hand, are rare in government but com mon in private industry settlements. Also, State and local government bargaining fre quently excludes items such as pension ben efits and holidays, that are prescribed by law, while these items are typical bargain ing issues in private industry. F or additional information on collec tive bargaining settlements, contact the Di vision of Developments in Labor-Manage ment Relations: (202) 606-6276 (private industry data) or (202) 606-6280 (State and local government data). Work stoppages Description of the series Data on work stoppages measure the num ber and duration of major strikes or lock outs (involving 1,000 workers or more) oc curring during the month (or year), the num ber of workers involved, and the amount of time lost because of stoppage. Data are largely from newspaper ac counts and cover only establishments di rectly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect of stoppages on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material short ages or lack of service. Definitions The number of strikes and lockouts involving 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Workers involved: The number of workers directly involved in the stoppage. Number of days idle: The aggregate number of workdays lost by workers in volved in the stoppages. N um ber o f stoppages: Days of idleness as a percent of esti mated working time: Aggregate work days lost as a percent of the aggregate num ber of standard workdays in the period mul tiplied by total employment in the period. Notes on the data This series is not comparable with the one terminated in 1981 that covered strikes in volving six workers or more. F or additional information on work stoppages data, contact the D ivision o f De- velopments in Labor-Management Rela tions: (202) 606-6288. Price Data (Tables 2; 31-41) are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and pri mary markets in the United States. Price in dexes are given in relation to a base pe riod— 1982 = 100 for many Producer Price Indexes, 1982-84 = 100 for many Consumer Price Indexes (unless otherwise noted), and 1990 = 100 for International Price Indexes. P rice data Consumer Price Indexes Description of the series The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a mea sure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market bas ket of goods and services. The CPI is calcu lated monthly for two population groups, one consisting only of urban households whose primary source of income is derived from the employment of wage earners and clerical workers, and the other consisting of all ur ban households. The wage earner index (CPIw) is a continuation of the historic index that was introduced well over a half-century ago for use in wage negotiations. As new uses were developed for the CPI in recent years, the need for a broader and more representa tive index became apparent. The all-urban consumer index (CPI-U), introduced in 1978, is representative of the 1982-84 buying hab its of about 80 percent of the noninstitutional population of the United States at that time, compared with 32 percent represented in the CPi-w. In addition to wage earners and cleri cal workers, the cpi-U covers professional, managerial, and technical workers, the selfemployed, short-term workers, the unem ployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, cloth ing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items are kept essentially unchanged be tween major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Data collected from more than 19,000 retail establishments and 57,000 housing units in 85 urban areas across the country are used to develop the “U.S. city average.” Separate estimates for 15 major urban cen https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ters are presented in table 32. The areas listed are as indicated in footnote 1 to the table. The area indexes measure only the average change in prices for each area since the base period, and do not indicate differ ences in the level of prices among cities. Notes on the data In January 1983, the Bureau changed the way in which homeownership costs are measured for the CPI-U. A rental equivalence method replaced the asset-price approach to homeownership costs for that series. In January 1985, the same change was made in the CPI-W. The central purpose of the change was to separate shelter costs from the investment component of home-ownership so that the index would reflect only the cost of shelter services provided by owneroccupied homes. An updated cpi-U and cpiw were introduced with release of the Janu ary 1987 data. F or additional information on con sumer prices, contact the Division of Con sumer Prices and Price Indexes: (202) 606-7000. Producer Price Indexes Description of the series (PPi) measure av erage changes in prices received by domes tic producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes currently contains about 3,200 commodities and about 80,000 quotations per month, selected to represent the move ment of prices of all commodities produced in the manufacturing; agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; and gas and electricity and public utilities sectors. The stage-ofprocessing structure of ppi organizes prod ucts by class of buyer and degree of fabrica tion (that is, finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude materials). The traditional commodity structure of ppi organizes prod ucts by similarity of end use or material composition. The industry and product structure of ppi organizes data in accordance with the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) and the product code extension of the S ic developed by the U .S. Bureau of the Census. To the extent possible, prices used in cal culating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States from the production or central marketing point. Price data are gen erally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are obtained di rectly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices gener Producer Price Indexes ally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. Since January 1992, price changes for the various commodities have been averaged together with implicit quantity weights rep resenting their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1987. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability-of-product groupings, and a number of special compos ite groups. All Producer Price Index data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. F or a dd itio nal information on pro ducer prices, contact the Division of Indus trial Prices and Price Indexes: (202) 606-7705. International Price Indexes Description of the series The International Price Program produces monthly and quarterly export and import price indexes for nonmilitary goods traded between the United States and the rest of the world. The export price index provides a measure of price change for all products sold by U .S. residents to foreign buyers. (“ Residents” is defined as in the national income accounts; it includes corporations, businesses, and individuals, but does not re quire the organizations to be U.S. owned nor the individuals to have U .S. citizenship.) The import price index provides a measure of price change for goods purchased from other countries by U.S. residents. The product universe for both the import and export indexes includes raw materials, agricultural products, semifinished manu factures, and finished manufactures, includ ing both capital and consumer goods. Price data for these items are collected primarily by mail questionnaire. In nearly all cases, the data are collected directly from the ex porter or importer, although in a few cases, prices are obtained from other sources. To the extent possible, the data gathered refer to prices at the U.S. border for exports and at either the foreign border or the U.S. border for imports. For nearly all products, the prices refer to transactions completed during the first week of the month. Survey respondents are asked to indicate all dis counts, allowances, and rebates applicable to the reported prices, so that the price used in the calculation of the indexes is the ac tual price for which the product was bought or sold. In addition to general indexes of prices for U .S. exports and imports, indexes are also published for detailed product catego ries of exports and imports. These catego- Monthly Labor Review September 1995 61 Current Labor Statistics ries are defined according to the five digit level of detail for the Bureau of Eco nomic Analysis End-use Classification (SITC), and the four-digit level of detail for the Harmonized System. Aggregate import indexes by country or region of origin are also available. bls publishes indexes for selected cat egories o f internationally traded services, calculated on an international basis and on a balance-of-payments basis. Notes on the data The export and import price indexes are weighted indexes of the Laspeyres type. Price relatives are assigned equal impor tance within each harmonized group and are then aggregated to the higher level. The val ues assigned to each weight category are based on trade value figures compiled by the Bureau of the Census. The trade weights currently used to compute both indexes re late to 1990. Because a price index depends on the same items being priced from period to pe riod, it is necessary to recognize when a product’s specifications or terms of transac tion have been modified. For this reason, the Bureau’s questionnaire requests detailed de scriptions of the physical and functional characteristics of the products being priced, as well as information on the number of units bought or sold, discounts, credit terms, packaging, class of buyer or seller, and so forth. When there are changes in either the specifications or terms of transaction of a product, the dollar value of each change is deleted from the total price change to ob tain the “pure” change. Once this value is determined, a linking procedure is employed which allows for the continued repricing of the item. For the export price indexes, the pre ferred pricing basis is f.a.s. (free alongside ship) U.S. port of exportation. When firms report export prices f.o.b. (free on board), production point information is collected which enables the Bureau to calculate a ship ment cost to the port of exportation. An at tempt is made to collect two prices for im ports. The first is the import price f.o.b. at the foreign port of exportation, which is con sistent with the basis for valuation of imports in the national accounts. The second is the import price c.i.f.(costs, insurance, and freight) at the U .S . port of importation, which also includes the other costs associ ated with bringing the product to the U.S. border. It does not, however, include duty charges. For a given product, only one price basis series is used in the construction of an index. F or additional information on inter national prices, contact the Division of In ternational Prices: (202) 606-7155. 62 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Productivity Data (Tables 2; 42-45) Business sector and major sectors Description of the series The productivity measures relate real physi cal output to real input. As sùch, they en compass a family of measures which include single-factor input measures, such as output per unit of labor input (output per hour) or output per unit of capital input, as well as measures of multifactor productivity (output per unit of combined labor and capital in puts). The Bureau indexes show the change in output relative to changes in the various inputs. The measures cover the business, nonfarm business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Corresponding indexes of hourly com pensation, unit labor costs, unit nonlabor payments, and prices are also provided. Definitions Output per hour of all persons (labor pro ductivity) is the value of goods and services in constant prices produced per hour of la bor input. Output per unit of capital ser vices (capital productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant dollars pro duced per unit of capital services input. Multifactor productivity is the value of goods and services in constant prices pro duced per combined unit of labor and capi tal inputs. Changes in this measure reflect changes in a number of factors which affect the production process, such as changes in technology, shifts in the composition of the labor force, changes in capacity utilization, research and development, skill and effort of the work force, management, and so forth. Changes in the output per hour measures re flect the impact of these factors as well as the substitution of capital for labor. Compensation per hour is the wages and salaries of employees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and pri vate benefit plans, and the wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the selfemployed (except for nonfinancial corpora tions in which there are no self-employed)— the sum divided by hours at work. Real compensation per hour is compensation per hour deflated by the change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor costs are the labor compen sation costs expended in the production of a unit of output and are derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, September 1995 interest, and indirect taxes per unit of out put. They are computed by subtracting com pensation of all persons from current-dollar value of output and dividing by output. Unit nonlabor costs contain all the compo nents of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital con sumption adjustments per unit of output. Hours of all persons are the total hours at work of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Capital services are the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock of physical assets— equipment, structures, land, and inventories— weighted by rental prices for each type of asset. Combined units of labor and capital inputs are derived by combining changes in labor and capital input with weights which represent each component’s share of total output. The indexes for capital services and combined units of labor and capital are based on changing weights which are aver ages of the shares in the current and preced ing year (the Tornquist index-number formula). Notes on the data The output measure for the business sector is equal to constant-dollar gross national product, but excludes the rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, the rest-ofworld sector, the output of nonprofit insti tutions, the output of paid employees of pri vate households, general government, and the statistical discrepancy. Output of the nonfarm business sector is equal to busi ness sector output less farming. The mea sures are derived from data supplied by the U .S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federal Re serve Board. Quarterly manufacturing out put indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of man ufacturing output (gross product originat ing) from the Bureau of Economic Analy sis. Compensation and hours data are de veloped from data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The productivity and associated cost measures in tables 42—45 describe the rela tionship between output in real terms and the labor time and capital services involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per unit of input. Although these measures relate output to hours and capital services, they do not mea sure the contributions of labor, capital, or any other specific factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of many influences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level of output; utiliza tion of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of production; managerial skill; and the characteristics and efforts of the work force. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this pro ductivity series, contact the Division of Pro ductivity Research: (202) 606-5606. all persons (including self-employed) are constructed. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this se ries, contact the Division of Industry Pro ductivity Studies: (202) 606-5618. Industry productivity measures Labor force and unemployment Description of the series Description of the series The b l s industry productivity data supple ment the measures for the business economy and major sectors with annual measures of labor productivity for selected industries at the three- and four-digit levels of the Stan dard Industrial Classification system. The industry measures differ in methodology and data sources from the productivity mea sures for the major sectors because the in dustry measures are developed indepen dently of the National Income and Product Accounts framework used for the major sec tor measures. Tables 46 and 47 present comparative mea sures of the labor force, employment, and unemployment— approximating U .S. con cepts— for the United States, Canada, Aus tralia, Japan, and several European coun tries. The unemployment statistics (and, to a lesser extent, employment statistics) pub lished by other industrial countries are not, in most cases, comparable to U .S. unem ployment statistics. Therefore, the Bureau adjusts the figures for selected countries, where necessary, for all known major defi nitional differences. Although precise com parability may not be achieved, these ad justed figures provide a better basis for in ternational comparisons than the figures regularly published by each country. Definitions Output per employee hour is derived by dividing an index of industry output by an index of aggregate hours of all employees. Output indexes are based on quantifiable units of products or services, or both, com bined with value-shared weights. Whenever possible, physical quantities are used as the unit of measurement for output. If quantity data are not available for a given industry, data on the constant-dollar value of produc tion are used. The labor input series consist of the hours of all employees (production and nonproduction workers), the hours of all persons (paid employees, partners, propri etors, and unpaid family workers), or the number of employees, depending upon the industry. Notes on the data The industry measures are compiled from data produced by the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics, the Departments of Commerce, Inte rior, and Agriculture, the Federal Reserve Board, regulatory agencies, trade associa tions, and other sources. For most industries, the productivity indexes refer to the output per hour of all employees. For some transportation indus tries, only indexes of output per employee are prepared. For some trade and service industries, indexes of output per hour of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Comparisons (Tables 46^18) Definitions For the principal U.S. definitions of the la bor force, employment, and unemploy ment, see the Notes section dn Employment and Unemployment Data: Household survey data. Notes on the data The adjusted statistics have been adapted to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country, rather than to the U.S. stan dard of 16 years of age and older. There fore, the adjusted statistics relate to the population age 16 and older in France, Swe den, and from 1973 onward in the United Kingdom; 15 and older in Canada, Austra lia, Japan, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and prior to 1973, the United Kingdom; and 14 and older in Italy prior to 1993. The in stitutional population is included in the de nominator of the labor force participation rates and employment-population ratios for Japan and Germany; it is excluded for the United States and the other countries. In the U.S. labor force survey, persons on layoff who are awaiting recall to their jobs are classified as unemployed. European and Japanese layoff practices are quite dif ferent in nature from those in the United States; therefore, strict application of the U.S. definition has not been made on this point. For further information, see M on th ly L a b o r R eview , December 1981, pp. 8-11. The figures for one or more recent years for France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom are calculated us ing adjustment factors based on labor force surveys for earlier years and are considered preliminary. The recent-year measures for these countries, therefore, are subject to revision whenever data from more current labor force surveys become available. There are breaks in the data series for the United States (1994), Italy (1986, 1991, 1993), and Sweden (1987, 1993). For the United States, the break in series reflects a number of changes in the labor force survey beginning with data for January 1994. Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with those for earlier years. See the Notes sec tion on Employment and Unemployment Data of this R eview . For Italy, the 1986 break in series reflects more accurate enumeration of the number of people reported as seeking work in the last 30 days. The impact was to increase the Italian unemployment rates approximating U.S. concepts by about 1 percentage point. In 1991, the survey sample was modified to obtain more reliable estimates by sex and age. The impact was to raise the adjusted Italian unemployment rate by approximately 0.3 percentage point. In 1993, the survey methodology was revised and the definition of unemployment was changed to include only those who were actively looking for a job within the 30 days preceding the survey and who were available for work. In addi tion, the lower age limit for the labor force was raised from 14 to 15 years. (Prior to these changes, b l s adjusted Italy’s pub lished unemployment rate downward by ex cluding from the unemployed persons who had not actively sought work in the past 30 days.) The break in the series also reflects the incorporation of the 1991 population census results. The impact of these changes was to raise Italy’s adjusted unemployment rate by approximately 1.1 percentage points. These changes did not affect employment significantly, except in 1993. Estimates by the Italian Statistical Office indicate that employment declined by about 3 percent in 1993, rather than the 4.5 percent indicated by the data shown in table 47. This differ ence is attributable mainly to the incorpora tion of the 1991 population census bench marks in the 1993 data. Data for earlier years have not yet been adjusted to incorpo rate the 1991 census results. Sweden introduced a new questionnaire in 1987. Questions regarding current avail ability were added and the period of active Monthly Labor Review September 1995 63 Current Labor Statistics workseeking was reduced from 60 days to 4 weeks. These changes result in lowering Sweden’s unemployment rate by 0.5 percent age point. In 1993, the measurement period for the labor force survey was changed to represent all 52 weeks of the year, rather than one week each month, and a new ad justment for population totals was intro duced. The impact was to raise the unem ployment rate by approximately 0.5 percent age point. The data for 1993 onward are not seasonally adjusted because the previous seasonal adjustment pattern is not applicable following the 1993 break in series. Preliminary estimates by the Swedish Statistics Bureau indicate that employment linked for the 1993 break in series declined by about 5-1/2 percent in 1993, rather than the nearly 7 percent indicated by the data shown in table 47. F or additional information on this se ries, contact the Division of Foreign Labor Statistics: (202) 606-5654. Manufacturing productivity and labor costs Description of the series Table 48 presents comparative measures of manufacturing labor productivity, hourly compensation costs, and unit labor costs for the United States, Canada, Japan, and nine European countries. These measures are limited to trend comparisons— that is, in tercountry series of changes over time— rather than level comparisons because reli able international comparisons of the levels of manufacturing output are unavailable. The hours and compensation measures re fer to all employed persons, including selfempoyed persons and unpaid family work ers, in the United States and Canada and to all employees (wage and salary earners) in the other countries. Definitions Output, in general, refers to value added in manufacturing (gross product originating) in constant prices from the national accounts of each country. However, output for Japan prior to 1970 and the Netherlands from 1969 to 1977 are indexes of industrial production. The national accounts measures for the United Kingdom are essentially identical to its indexes of industrial production. While methods of deriving national accounts mea sures differ substantially from country to country, the use of different procedures does not, in itself, connote lack of comparabil ity— rather, it reflects differences among countries in the availability and reliability of underlying data series. 64 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Hours refer to hours worked in all coun tries. The measures are developed from sta tistics of manufacturing employment and average hours. The series used for France (from 1970 forward), Norway, and Swe den are official series published with the national accounts. Where official total hours series are not available. The measures are developed by the Bureau using employ ment figures published with the national ac counts, or other comprehensive employment series, and estimates of annual hours worked. Compensation (labor cost) includes all payments in cash or kind made directly to employees plus employer expenditures for legally required insurance programs and contractual and private benefit plans. In ad dition, for some countries, compensation is increased to account for other significant taxes on payrolls or employment (or reduced to reflect subsidies), even if they are not for the direct benefit of workers, because such taxes are regarded as labor costs. However, compensation does not include all items of labor costs. The costs of recruitment, em ployee training, and plant facilities and ser vices— such as cafeterias and medical clin ics— are not covered because data are not available for most countries. The compen sation measures are from the national ac counts, except those for Belgium, which are developed by the Bureau using statistics on employment, average hours, and hourly compensation. Self-employed workers are included in the U.S. and Canadian compen sation figures by assuming that their hourly compensation is equal to the average for wage and salary employees. Notes on the data In general, the measures relate to total manufacturing as defined by the Interna tional Standard Industrial Classification. However, the measures for France. Italy (be ginning 1970), and the United Kingdom (be ginning 1971) refer to mining and manufac turing less energy-related products; the mea sures for Denmark include mining and exclude manufacturing handicrafts from 1960 to 1966; and the measures for the Netherlands exclude petroleum refining and include coal mining from 1969 to 1976. The figures for one or more recent years are generally based on current indicators of manufacturing output (such as industrial production indexes), employment, average hours, and hourly compensation and are con sidered preliminary until the national ac counts and other statistics used for the long term measures becomes available. F or additional information on this se ries, contact the Division of Foreign Labor Statistics: (202) 606-5654. September 1995 Occupational Injury and Illness Data (Table 49) Description of the series The Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses is designed to collect data on injuries and illnesses based on records which employers in the following industries maintain under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970: agriculture, forestry, and fishing; oil and gas extraction; construction; manufacturing; transportation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. Ex cluded from the survey are self-employed in dividuals, farmers with fewer than 11 em ployees, employers regulated by other Fed eral safety and health laws, and Federal, State, and local government agencies. Because the survey is a Federal-State co operative program and the data must meet the needs of participating State agencies, an independent sample is selected for each State. The sample is selected to represent all private industries in the States and terri tories. The sample size for the survey is de pendent upon (1) the characteristics for which estimates are needed; (2) the indus tries for which estimates are desired; (3) the characteristics of the population being sampled; (4) the target reliability of the es timates; and (5) the survey design employed. While there are many characteristics upon which the sample design could be based, the total recorded case incidence rate is used because it is one of the most important char acteristics and the least variable; therefore, it requires the smallest sample size. The survey is based on stratified random sampling with a Neyman allocation and a ratio estimator. The characteristics used to stratify the establishments are the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code and size of employment. Definitions Recordable occupational injuries and ill nesses are: (1) occupational deaths, regard less of the time between injury and death, or the length of the illness; or (2) nonfatal occupational illnesses; or (3) nonfatal occu pational injuries which involve one or more of the following: loss of consciousness, re striction of work or motion, transfer to an other job, or medical treatment (other than first aid). Occupational injury is any injury, such as a cut, fracture, sprain, amputation, and so forth, which results from a work accident or from exposure involving a single incident in the work environment. Occupational illness is an abnormal condition or disorder, other than one result ing from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to environmental factors associ ated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or disease which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, ingestion, or direct contact. Lost workday cases are cases which in volve days away from work, or days of re stricted work activity, or both. Lost w orkday cases in volvin g re stricted work activity are those cases which result in restricted work activity only. Lost workdays away from work are the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which the employee would have worked but could not because of occupational injury or illness. Lost workdays—restricted work activ ity are the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which, because of injury or illness: (1) the employee was assigned to another job on a temporary basis; (2) the employee worked at a permanent job less than full time; or (3) the employee worked at a permanently assigned job but could not perform all du ties normally connected with it. The number of days away from work or days of restricted work activity does not in clude the day of injury or onset of illness or https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis any days on which the employee would not have worked even though able to work. Incidence rates represent the number of injuries and/or illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers. Notes on the data Estimates are made for industries and em ployment-size classes and for severity clas sification: fatalities, lost workday cases, and nonfatal cases without lost workdays. Lost workday cases are separated into those in which the employee would have worked but could not and those in which work activity was restricted. Estimates of the number of cases and the number of days lost are made for both categories. Most of the estimates are in the form of incidence rates, defined as the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time employees. For this purpose, 200,000 employee hours represent 100 em ployee years (2,000 hours per employee). Full detail of the available measures is pre sented in the annual bulletin, O ccu p a tio n a l In ju ries a n d Illn esses in the U n ited States, b y Industry. Comparable data for individual States are available from the bls Office of Safety, Health, and Working Conditions. Mining and railroad data are furnished to BLS by the Mine Safety and Health Ad ministration and the Federal Railroad Ad ministration. Data from these organizations are included in bls and State publications. Federal employees experience is compiled and published by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration. Data on State and local government employees are collected by about half of the States and territories; these data are not compiled nationally. The Supplementary Data System pro vides detailed information describing vari ous factors associated with work-related in juries and illnesses. These data are obtained from information reported by employers to State workers’ compensation agencies. The Work Injury Report program examines se lected types of accidents through an em ployee survey which focuses on the circum stances surrounding the injury. These data are available from the bls Office of Safety, Health, and Working Conditions. The definitions of occupational injuries and illnesses and lost workdays are from R e co rd k ee p in g R equ irem en ts u n d er the O c c u p a tio n a l S a fety a n d H ealth A c t o f 1970. F or additional information on occupa tional injuries and illnesses, contact the Di vision of Safety and Health Statistics: (202) 606-6166. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 65 Current Labor Statistics: Comparative Indicators 1. Labor m arket indicators 1993 Selected indicators 1993 1994 1995 1994 III IV I II III IV I II E m p lo y m e n t d a ta 1 Employment status of the civilian noninstitutionalized population (household survey):2 Labor force participation ra te .................................................. Employment-population ra tio ..................................................... Unemployment rate ......................................................... Men ............................................................ 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and o v e r.................................................................... Women ...................................................................... 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and o v e r.................................................................... 66.2 61.6 6.8 7.1 14.3 5.8 6.5 12.2 5.4 66.6 62.5 6.1 6.2 13.2 4.8 6.0 11.6 4.9 66.1 61.7 6.7 7.1 14.2 5.8 6.4 11.7 5.3 66.2 61.9 6.5 6.7 13.5 5.5 6.3 11.6 5.3 66.7 62.3 6.6 6.7 14.1 5.2 6.4 12.1 5.3 66.5 62.4 6.2 6.2 13.3 4.8 6.2 11.9 5.0 66.5 62.5 6.0 6.0 13.1 4.7 5.9 11.6 4.8 66.6 62.9 5.6 5.6 12.2 4.4 5.6 11.0 4.5 66.9 63.2 5.5 5.5 11.9 4.2 5.6 11.2 4.4 66.6 62.8 5.7 5.7 12.0 4.4 5.7 11.5 4.5 Total .......................................................... ......................... Private sector ................................................................................. Goods-producing............................................................................ Manufacturing .............................................................................. Service-producing .......................................................................... 110,730 91,889 23,352 18,075 87,378 114,034 94,917 23,913 18,303 90,121 111,021 92,143 23,345 18,049 87,676 111,816 92,877 23,481 18,096 88,335 112,655 93,656 23,646 18,181 89,008 112,995 93,990 23,534 18,020 89,461 114,481 95,314 23,978 18,333 90,503 1-15,329 96,099 24,162 18,436 91,167 116,078 96,841 24,329 18,517 91,749 116,352 97,094 24,265 18,461 92,087 Average hours: Private se cto r.................................................................... Manufacturing ........................................................................... Overtime................................................................. 34.5 41.4 4.1 34.7 42.0 4.7 34.5 41.5 4.1 34.5 41.7 4.4 34.6 41.7 4.5 34.7 42.1 4.7 34.7 42.0 4.7 34.7 42.1 4.8 34.7 42.1 4.8 34.4 41.5 4.4 Percent change in the ECI, compensation: All workers (excluding farm, household, and Federal workers) ...... Private industry workers .................................................... Goods-producing3 ..................................................................... Service-producing3 ................................................................. State and local government workers.......................................... 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.6 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.9 3.0 1.0 .9 .7 1.0 1.5 .6 .6 .6 .7 .4 .9 1.0 1.0 .9 .6 .7 .8 1.0 .7 .4 1.0 .8 .7 .9 1.5 .4 .4 .3 .4 .5 .8 .8 .8 .9 .6 .6 .7 .5 .8 .4 Workers by bargaining status (private industry): Union........................................................................................... Nonunion ........................................................................ 4.3 3.5 2.7 3.1 .8 .9 .8 .6 .8 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .8 .3 .4 .7 .9 .6 .7 Employment, nonfarm (payroll data), in thousands:2 E m p lo y m e n t C o s t In d e x 1 Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and prior years. For additional information, see the box note under “ Employment and Unemployment Data” in the notes to this section. 66 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 2 Quarterly data seasonally adjusted, 3 Goods-producing industries include mining, construction, and manufacturing. Serviceproducing industries include all other private sector industries. 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in com pensation, prices, and productivity 1993 1995 1994 1993 Selected measures 1994 III IV I II III IV . I II C o m p e n s a tio n d a t a : 1, 2 Employment Cost Index-compensation (wages, salaries, benefits): 3.5 3.6 3.0 3.1 1.0 .9 0.6 .6 0.9 1.0 0.7 .8 1.0 .8 0.4 .4 0.8 .8 0.6 .7 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.8 1.0 1.0 .6 .6 .6 .7 .7 .8 1.0 .8 .5 .5 .7 .8 .7 .7 2.7 2.7 .5 .5 1.0 .5 .9 .2 1.1 .7 .2 -.2 1.8 1.0 .1 1.7 1.6 2.0 4.4 -.5 -1.4 -1.5 -.5 .1 -3.1 .2 -.2 1.7 -.7 .0 .6 .6 .8 .7 3.1 .6 .6 .4 1.2 -.9 .0 .2 -.5 1.6 -3.4 .5 .3 1.2 .8 .8 .7 .6 .8 2.4 1.8 .9 1.0 .3 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.3 2.8 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.9 3.2 5.0 4.2 3.9 1.8 1.7 2.0 -1.4 -1.4 -.8 3.2 2.7 1.6 4.3 4.3 3.4 2.1 2.5 1.7 3.0 3.0 - Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries P rice d a ta :1 Consumer Price Index (All urban consumers): All item s...... Producer Price Index: P ro d u c tiv ity data:3 Output per hour of all persons: I 1 Annual changes are December-to-December change. Quarterly changes are calculated using the last month of each quarter. Compensation and price data are not seasonally adjusted and the price data are not compounded. 2 Excludes Federal and private household workers. 3 Annual rates of change are computed by comparing annual averages. 3. dexes. The data are seasonally adjusted. 4 Output per hour of all employees. - Data not available. Alternative m easures o f w age and com pensation changes Four quarters ended- Quarterly average I III II I II I IV 1995 1994 1995 1994 Components IV III II I h Average hourly compensation:1 All persons, business sector.................................................................. All persons, nonfarm business sector................................................... 5.1 4.9 0.9 1.4 3.1 2.7 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.2 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.6 Employment Cost Index-compensation: Civilian nonfarm 2 .................................................................................. Private nonfarm .................................................................................. U nion................................................................................................ Nonunion........................................................................................... State and local governments.............................................................. .9 1.0 .8 1.0 .6 .7 .8 .9 .8 .4 1.0 .8 .7 .8 1.5 .4 .4 .3 .4 .5 .8 .8 .7 .9 .6 .6 .7 .6 .7 .4 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.6 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.3 2.9 3.1 .6 .7 .7 .7 .6 .7 .8 .9 .8 .2 1.0 .8 .9 .8 1.7 .5 .5 .4 .5 .5 .7 .8 .6 .8 .7 .7 .7 .7 .8 .2 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.6 3.0 3.2 .4 .1 .3 .8 .2 .6 .1 .9 .1 .7 .1 .6 .2 .3 .1 .3 .1 .2 .8 .2 .5 .1 2.9 .9 1.8 .2 2.7 .9 1.7 .2 2.9 .8 1.9 .2 2.7 .6 1.9 .2 2.6 .5 1.9 .3 2.6 .5 1.8 .3 Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries: Civilian nonfarm2 ................................................................................... Private nonfarm .................................................................................. Nonunion........................................................................................... State and local governments............................................................... Total effective wage adjustments3 ............................................................... From current settlements...................................................................... From prior settlements .......................................................................... From cost-of-living provision................................................................. (4) (4) Negotiated wage adjustments from settlements:3 First-year adjustments ........................................................................... Annual rate over life of contract........................................................... 3.0 2.4 2.0 2.4 1.0 1.9 2.2 2.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.3 1.8 2.3 1.8 2.2 Negotiated wage and benefit adjustments from settlements:5 First-year adjustment............................................................................. Annual rate over life of contract............................................ ■.............. 3.0 2.6 3.4 2.9 (4) 1.4 1.5 2.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 3.0 2.3 3.1 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.3 1.2 1.7 1 Seasonally adjusted. 2 Excludes Federal and household workers. 3 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 1,000 workers or more. The most recent data are preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Data round to zero. 5 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 5,000 workers or more. The most recent data are preliminary. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 67 Current Labor Statistics: 4. Labor Force Data Em ploym ent status o f the population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1994 1995 Employment status 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 193,550 128,040 66.2 119,306 196,814 131,056 66.6 123,060 196,859 130,774 66.4 122,781 197,043 131,086 66.5 123,197 197,248 131,291 66.6 123,644 197,430 131,646 66.7 124,141 197,607 131,718 66.7 124,403 197,765 131,725 66.6 124,570 61.6 8,734 6.8 65,509 62.5 7,996 6.1 65,758 62.4 7,993 6.1 66,085 62.5 7,889 6.0 65,957 62.7 7,647 5.8 65,957 62.9 7,505 5.7 65,784 63.0 7,315 5.6 65,889 85,907 66,069 76.9 61,865 87,151 66,921 76.8 63,294 87,123 66,747 76.6 63,076 87,248 66,817 76.6 63,271 87,321 66,909 76.6 63,517 87,439 67,177 76.8 63,820 72.0 2,263 59,602 4,204 6.4 72.6 2,351 60,943 3,627 5.4 72.4 2,314 60,762 3,671 5.5 72.5 2,377 60,894 3,546 5.3 72.7 2,293 61,224 3,392 5.1 94,388 55,146 58.4 51,912 95,467 56,655 59.3 53,606 95,469 56,536 59.2 53,541 95,544 56,747 59.4 53,722 55.0 599 51,313 3,234 5.9 56.2 809 52,796 3,049 5.4 56.1 790 52,751 2,995 5.3 13,255 6,826 51.5 5,530 14,196 7,481 52.7 6,161 41.7 212 5,317 1,296 19.0 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 197,753 132,136 66.8 124,639 197,886 132,308 66.9 125,125 198,007 132,511 66.9 125,274 198,148 132,737 67.0 125,072 198,286 131,811 66.5 124,319 198,453 131,869 66.4 124,485 198,615 132,519 66.7 124,959 63.0 7,155 5.4 66,040 63.0 7,498 5.7 65,617 63.2 7,183 5.4 65,578 63.3 7,237 5.5 65,496 63.1 7,665 5.8 65,412 62.7 7,492 5.7 66,476 62.7 7,384 5.6 66,583 62.9 7,559 5.7 66,096 87,529 67,345 76.9 64,051 87,617 67,450 77.0 64,281 87,528 67,539 77.2 64,133 87,572 67,552 77.1 64,478 87,622 67,643 77.2 64,465 87,664 67,563 77.1 64,224 87,691 67,250 76.7 63,841 87,750 67,232 76.6 63,994 87,818 67,258 76.6 64,066 73.0 2,329 61,491 3,357 5.0 73.2 2,377 61,674 3,294 4.9 73.4 2,410 61,871 3,169 4.7 73.3 2,390 61,743 3,406 5.0 73.6 2,512 61,965 3,074 4.6 73.6 2,519 61,946 3,178 4.7 73.3 2,384 61,840 3,339 4.9 72.8 2,242 61,599 3,410 5.1 72.9 2,344 61,649 3,238 4.8 73.0 2,327 61,739 3,192 4.7 95,658 57,031 59.6 54,044 95,729 56,951 59.5 54,090 95,821 56,984 59.5 54,129 95,873 56,725 59.2 54,037 95,961 56,951 59.3 54,134 96,020 57,096 59.5 54,334 96,037 57,042 59.4 54,242 96,099 57,360 59.7 54,403 96,141 56,819 59.1 54,097 96,204 56,773 59.0 53,915 96,265 57,471 59.7 54,519 56.2 815 52,907 3,025 5.3 56.5 847 53,197 2,987 5.2 56.5 863 53,227 2,861 5.0 56.5 850 53,279 2,855 5.0 56.4 882 53,155 2,688 4.7 56.4 877 53,257 2,817 4.9 56.6 898 53,436 2,763 4.8 56.5 913 53,329 2,800 4.9 56.6 925 53,477 2,957 5.2 56.3 828 53,268 2,722 4.8 56.0 791 53,124 2,857 5.0 56.6 787 53,732 2,952 5.1 14,267 7,491 52.5 6,164 14,251 7,522 52.8 6,204 14,269 7,351 51.5 6,083 14,261 7,518 52.7 6,231 14,257 7,389 51.8 6,223 14,274 7,550 52.9 6,252 14,263 7,646 53.6 6,372 14,294 7,660 53.6 6,313 14,348 7,826 54.5 6,567 14,385 7,814 54.3 6,446 14,454 7,742 53.6 6,381 14,498 7,864 54.2 6,576 14,531 7,790 53.6 6,375 43.4 249 5,912 1,320 17.6 43.2 229 5,935 1,327 17.7 43.5 244 5,960 1,318 17.5 42.6 271 5,812 1,268 17.2 43.7 302 5,929 1,287 17.1 43.6 273 5,950 1,166 15.8 43.8 240 6,012 1,298 17.2 44.7 308 6,064 1,274 16.7 44.2 245 6,068 1,347 17.6 45,8 266 6,300 1,260 16.1 44.8 285 6,160 1,369 17.5 44.1 287 6,094 1,360 17.6 45.4 316 6,261 1,288 16.4 43.9 295 6,080 1,415 18.2 163,921 109,359 66.7 102,812 165,555 111,082 67.1 105,190 165,576 110,911 67.0 105,006 165,696 165,832 111,186 •111,381 67.1 67.2 105,401 105,740 165,954 111,555 67.2 106,010 166,072 111,637 67.2 106,242 166,175 111,715 67.2 106,352 166,361 111,876 67.2 106,366 166,444 111,830 67.2 106,604 166,521 111,999 67.3 106,698 166,613 112,153 67.3 106,500 166,708 111,568 66.9 105,935 166,822 111,541 66.9 106,145 166,931 112,197 67.2 106,770 62.7 6,547 6.0 63.5 5,892 5.3 63.4 5,905 5.3 63.6 5,785 5.2 63.8 5,641 5.1 63.9 5,545 5.0 64.0 5,395 4.8 64.0 5,363 4.8 63.9 5,510 4.9 64.0 5,226 4.7 64.1 5,301 4.7 63.9 5,653 5.0 63.5 5,633 5.0 63.6 5,396 4.8 64.0 5,427 4.8 22,329 13,943 62.4 12,146 22,879 14,502 63.4 12,835 22,883 14,380 62.8 12,767 22,917 14,429 63.0 12,795 22,955 14,477 63.1 12,927 22,990 14,649 63.7 13,022 23,023 14,578 63.3 13,054 23,052 14,541 63.1 13,119 23,089 14,697 63.7 13,192 23,117 14,868 64.3 13,362 23,142 14,818 64.0 13,370 23,169 14,938 64.5 13,337 23,192 14,803 63.8 13,336 23,221 14,707 63.3 13,142 23,249 14,656 63.0 13,033 54.4 1,796 12.9 56.1 1,666 11.5 55.8 1,613 11.2 55.8 1,634 11.3 56.3 1,550 10.7 56.6 1,627 11.1 56.7 1,524 10.5 56.9 1,422 9.8 57.1 1,505 10.2 57.8 1,505 10.1 57.8 1,448 9.8 57.6 1,601 10.7 57.5 1,467 9.9 56.6 1,565 10.6 56.1 1,623 11.1 TO TAL Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Not in labor force ........................ M en, 20 y e a rs an d o v e r Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force........................ Participation rate .................. Employed................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te.............. W o m e n , 20 y e a rs ond o v e r Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. B o th s ex es, 16 to 19 ye a rs Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 ................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. W h ite Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. Black Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. See footnotes at end of table. 68 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 4. Continued— Em ploym ent status of the population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1995 1994 Annual average Employment status 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 15,753 10,377 65.9 9,272 18,117 11,975 66.1 10,788 18,143 11,956 65.9 10,760 18,193 12,002 66.0 10,786 18,244 11,997 65.8 10,806 18,291 12,222 66.8 11,074 18,339 12,324 67.2 11,236 18,385 12,224 66.5 11,105 18,368 12,036 65.5 10,811 18,413 12,017 65.3 10,943 18,458 12,001 65.0 10,903 18,509 12,131 65.5 11,058 18,554 12,111 65.3 10,895 18,604 12,229 65.7 11,131 18,653 12,323 66.1 11,235 58.9 1,104 10.6 59.5 1,187 9.9 59.3 1,196 10.0 59.3 1,216 10.1 59.2 1,191 9.9 60.5 1,148 9.4 61.3 1,088 8.8 60.4 1,119 9.2 58.9 1,224 10.2 59.4 1,073 8.9 59.1 1,098 9.1 59.7 1,073 8.8 58.7 1,216 10.0 59.8 1,098 9.0 60.2 1,088 8.8 Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Data” in the notes to this section. Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “ other races” groups are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. 1 The population figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. NOTE: Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under “ Employment and Unemployment 5. Selected em ploym ent indicators, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 1994 Annual average 1995 Selected categories Dec. 123,644 66,682 56,962 41,557 124,141 67,059 57,082 41,511 124,403 67,244 57,159 41,530 124,570 67,483 57,087 41,608 124,639 67,386 57,252 41,601 125,125 67,709 57,416 42,190 125,274 67,811 57,462 42,132 125,072 67,588 57,484 42,086 124,319 67,110 57,208 41,874 124,485 67,390 57,095 41,956 124,959 67,383 57,576 42,137 31,593 6,974 31,905 7,029 31,764 7,098 31,775 7,141 31,723 7,074 31,705 7,199 31,893 7,067 32,135 7,071 32,108 7,152 32,022 7,175 31,918 7,201 32,309 7,081 1,669 1,619 50 1,728 1,654 50 1,712 1,630 63 1,764 1,652 43 1,767 1,677 48 1,738 1,714 49 1,866 1,663 35 1,970 1,684 27 1,987 1,674 57 1,884 1,649 70 1,747 1,560 55 1,848 1,593 46 1,832 1,551 45 110,517 18,293 92,224 966 91,258 9,003 131 110,345 18,281 92,064 940 91,124 8,962 140 110,576 18,225 92,351 881 91,470 9,021 131 111,100 18,306 92,794 903 91,891 8,989 134 111,686 18,201 93,485 935 92,550 8,878 131 111,770 18,357 93,413 999 92,414 8,915 120 111,960 18,340 93,620 1,023 92,597 8,959 121 111,987 18,295 93,692 1,075 92,617 9,039 95 112,461 18,504 93,957 1,075 92,882 8,904 118 112,649 18,685 93,964 1,039 92,925 8,865 129 112,578 18,646 93,932 988 92,945 8,848 110 112,111 18,493 93,619 913 92,705 8,763 125 112,160 18,387 93,773 866 92,907 8,765 106 112,331 18,358 93,973 887 93,086 9,098 103 6,348 4,625 4,467 4,348 4,333 4,411 4,411 4,422 4,693 4,460 4,530 4,469 4,476 4,442 4,402 3,140 2,908 2,432 1,871 2,431 1,698 2,396 1,618 2,404 1,697 2,394 1,791 2,394 1,736 2,384 1,734 2,504 1,777 2,372 1,739 2,333 1,902 2,517 1,686 2,502 1,720 2,304 1,785 2,497 1,672 15,062 17,638 17,922 17,955 17,609 17,644 17,756 17,576 17,940 18,041 17,627 18,121 17,666 17,745 18,299 6,106 4,414 4,273 4,173 4,154 4,226 4,246 4,254 4,430 4,187 4,347 4,171 4,289 4,185 4,234 2,977 2,832 2,311 1,824 2,318 1,661 2,272 1,583 2,290 1,646 2,257 1,756 2,282 1,689 2,272 1,690 2,359 1,737 2,216 1,687 2,226 1,854 2,328 1,624 2,364 1,698 2,158 1,747 2,305 1,613 14,637 17,007 17,308 17,314 16,982 16,992 17,101 16,917 17,307 17,381 16,991 17,232 17,034 17,056 17,660 July Aug. 119,306 64,700 54,606 40,869 123,060 66,450 56,610 41,414 122,781 66,226 56,555 41,281 123,197 66,458 56,739 41,487 30,512 6,764 31,536 7,053 31,462 7,016 1,637 1,332 105 1,715 1,645 49 107,011 18,504 88,507 1,105 87,402 9,003 218 Jan. Feb. Mar. May June Nov. 1994 Sept. Apr. Oct. 1993 July C H A R A C T E R IS T IC Employed, 16 years and o ver...... M e n .......................................... Women .................................... Married men, spouse present .. Married women, spouse present.................................... Women who maintain families . CLASS OF W ORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary w orkers....... Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family w orkers............. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary w orkers....... Government .......................... Private industries................... Private households............. O th e r................................... Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family workers............. PE R S O N S A T W O R K P A R T T IM E 1 All industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work or business conditions................................ Could only find part-time work Part time for noneconomic reasons ..................................... Nonagricultural industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work or business conditions................................ Could only find part-time work Part time for noneconomic reasons ..................................... 1 Excludes persons “ with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. NOTE: Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under “ Employment and Unemployment Data” in the notes to this section. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 69 Current Labor Statistics: 6. Labor Force Data Selected unem ploym ent indicators, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (Unemployment rates) Annual average 1994 1995 Selected categories 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Total, all workers..................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years................................ Men, 20 years and o v e r..................................... Women, 20 years and over................................ 6.8 19.0 6.4 5.9 6.1 17.6 5.4 5.4 6.1 17.7 5.5 5.3 6.0 17.5 5.3 5.3 5.8 17.2 5.1 5.2 5.7 17.1 5.0 5.0 5.6 15.8 4.9 5.0 5.4 17.2 4.7 4.7 5.7 16.7 5.0 4.9 5.4 17.6 4.6 4.8 5.5 16.1 4.7 4.9 5.8 17.5 4.9 5.2 5.7 17.6 5.1 4.8 5.6 16.4 4.8 5.0 5.7 18.2 4.7 5.1 White, to ta l......................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 ye ars................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and over............................. 6.0 16.2 17.6 14.6 5.6 5.1 5.3 15.1 16.3 13.8 4.8 4.6 5.3 14.7 16.1 13.1 4.8 4.7 5.2 14.6 15.4 13.7 4.6 4.6 5.1 14.8 16.2 13.3 4.4 4.6 5.0 14.4 15.2 13.5 4.4 4.4 4.8 13.5 14.3 12.6 4.3 4.3 4.8 14.7 16.0 13.2 4.2 4.1 4.9 14.1 15.0 13.1 4.4 4.3 4.7 14.7 16.1 13.1 4.0 4.1 4.7 13.6 14.7 12.4 4.2 4.2 5.0 14.6 15.3 13.8 4.4 4.5 5.0 14.8 15.2 14.3 4.6 4.3 4.8 13.1 14.5 11.6 4.3 4.4 4.8 14.8 14.6 15.0 4.1 4.4 Black, total ......................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 years ................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and o ver............................. 12.9 38.9 40.1 37.5 12.1 10.6 11.5 35.2 37.6 32.6 10.3 9.8 11.2 37.3 41.4 32.7 10.4 8.8 11.3 36.1 39.9 31.9 10.2 9.4 10.7 32.1 30.8 33.4 9.8 9.0 11.1 37.5 35.9 39.1 9.5 9.2 10.5 33.0 32.0 34.1 9.2 8.9 9.8 34.6 34.3 35.0 8.3 8.3 10.2 35.5 34.0 37.1 9.2 8.5 10.1 35.7 38.7 32.4 7.9 9.0 9.8 31.2 31.7 30.7 7.8 9.1 10.7 35.6 35.4 35.8 8.9 9.3 9.9 35.1 40.0 30.5 8.8 7.8 10.6 37.8 38.7 36.8 9.0 8.7 11.1 39.0 41.6 36.3 9.1 9.4 Hispanic origin, to ta l........................................... 10.6 9.9 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.4 8.8 9.2 10.2 8.9 9.1 8.8 10.0 9.0 8.8 Married men, spouse present............................ Married women, spouse present....................... Women who maintain families........................... Full-time w orkers................................................ Part-time workers ............................................... 4.4 4.6 9.5 7.4 7.4 3.7 4.1 8.9 6.8 7.1 3.6 4.0 7.9 6.1 5.9 3.5 4.1 8.8 6.1 6.0 3.4 4.0 8.9 6.0 6.2 3.3 4.0 8.9 5.8 5.8 3.2 3.9 8.7 5.8 5.6 3.2 3.7 8.8 5.6 5.4 3.4 3.7 8.9 5.3 5.9 3.0 3.6 8.1 5.5 6.2 3.2 3.9 7.6 5.3 6.0 3.4 4.2 9.0 5.4 5.8 3.4 3.8 8.4 5.6 6.1 3.4 4.1 8.5 5.5 6.3 7.0 7.3 14.3 7.2 7.1 7.3 5.1 7.8 6.3 5.4 11.8 5.6 5.2 6.0 4.8 7.4 6.3 6.0 11.1 5.6 5.5 5.8 5.1 7.5 6.1 5.0 10.7 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.8 7.4 6.0 5.1 10.7 5.3 5.3 5.4 4.5 7.0 5.9 4.7 10.7 5.1 4.8 5.6 4.4 7.2 5.9 4.5 10.7 5.1 4.3 6.0 4.6 7.0 5.6 3.9 10.9 4.9 4.6 5.4 4.2 6.7 5.7 5.1 11.7 4.7 4.2 5.4 4.7 6.6 5.5 5.2 10.5 4.4 3.9 5.0 4.5 6.4 5.5 6.1 10.8 4.5 4.2 4.9 4.5 6.2 5.9 4.3 11.8 4.8 4.4 5.4 4.6 6.8 6.0 4.9 12.6 5.5 5.3 6.0 4.0 6.7 5.7 4.4 10.6 5.2 4.2 6.6 4.5 6.2 5.9 3.4 10.9 5.2 4.8 5.8 4.7 6.6 4.1 6.5 3.3 11.6 3.6 6.1 3.4 11.3 3.7 5.9 3.4 12.1 3.7 5.7 3.6 11.1 4.3 5.5 3.2 11.1 3.4 5.3 3.2 10.3 3.6 5.4 2.7 10.4 2.9 5.2 3.1 11.1 2.9 5.2 3.2 10.7 3.5 5.2 2.8 9.1 3.3 5.3 2.7 10.5 3.4 5.6 3.1 11.3 3.7 5.5 2.8 12.5 3.3 5.5 3.2 11.9 3.5 5.8 2.8 9.7 C H A R A C T E R IS T IC 3 .4 “ 3.9 8.0 5.6 6.3 IN D U S TR Y Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers .... Mining.................................................................. Construction ....................................................... Manufacturing .................................................... Durable goods.................................................. Nondurable goods ........................................... Transportation and public utilities ...................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ................................. Finance,insurance, and real e state......................................................... Services.............................................................. Government workers ............................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers .................... NOTE: Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under “ Employment and Unemployment Data” in the notes to this section. 7. Duration o f unem ploym ent, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1995 Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks .. 5 to 14 weeks ........ 15 weeks and o ve r.. 15 to 26 weeks .... 27 weeks and over Mean duration, in weeks ... Median duration, in weeks 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 3,160 2,522 3,052 1,274 1,778 2,728 2,408 2,860 1,237 1,623 2,768 2,365 2,823 1,234 1,589 2,655 2,572 2,773 1,198 1,575 2,675 2,294 2,768 1,213 1,555 2,434 2,256 2,934 1,344 1,590 2,599 2,163 2,661 1,187 1,474 2,587 2,149 2,456 1,088 1,368 2,937 2,386 1,033 1,353 2,600 2,165 2,298 1,090 1,207 2,523 2,319 2,266 920 1,347 2,629 2,430 2,505 1,115 1,390 2,598 2,304 2,585 1,282 1,303 2,742 2,348 2,299 1,096 1,203 2,600 2,621 2,319 1,023 1,297 18.1 8.4 18.8 9.2 19.0 9.2 18.9 9.2 18.8 9.5 19.3 18.2 9.1 17.8 8.7 16.7 7.9 16.9 7.8 17.5 7.9 17.7 8.5 16.9 9.0 15.6 7.5 16.5 9.1 NOTE: In the three tables above, data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under 70 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 10.1 2,122 “ Employment and Unemployment Data” in the notes to this section. 8. Unem ployed persons by reason fo r unem ploym ent, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1994 1995 Reason for unemployment 1993 Job lo se rs'............................................................... On temporary layo ff.............................................. Not on temporary layoff ....................................... Job leavers.............................................................. Reentrants ............................................................... New entrants........................................................... 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Mar. Apr. May 4,769 1,104 3,664 946 2,145 874 3,815 977 2,838 791 2,786 604 3,863 1,031 2,832 770 2,766 594 3,706 1,012 2,694 786 2,758 621 3,574 824 2,750 874 2,620 600 3,513 848 2,665 755 2,626 614 3,495 881 2,614 710 2,575 578 3,442 930 2,512 704 2,525 555 3,658 1,061 2,598 694 2,488 597 Feb. 3,339 1,025 2,314 773 2,474 582 3,352 1,032 2,320 811 2,430 604 3,532 1,145 2,387 817 2,779 637 3,614 958 2,657 870 2,458 522 3,423 1,066 2,357 834 2,526 540 3,615 1,184 2,431 832 2,593 571 54.6 12.6 42.0 10.8 24.6 10.0 47.7 12.2 35.5 9.9 34.8 7.6 48.3 12.9 35.4 9.6 34.6 7.4 47.1 12.9 34.2 10.0 35.0 7.9 46.6 10.7 35.9 11.4 34.2 7.8 46.8 11.3 35.5 10.1 35.0 8.2 47.5 12.0 35.5 9.6 35.0 7.9 47.6 12.9 34.8 9.7 34.9 7.7 49.2 14.3 34.9 9.3 33.4 8.0 46.6 14.3 32.3 10.8 34.5 8.1 46.6 14.3 32.2 11.3 33.8 8.4 45.5 14.7 30.7 10.5 35.8 8.2 48.4 12.8 35.6 11.7 32.9 7.0 46.7 14.6 32.2 11.4 34.5 7.4 47.5 15.6 31.9 10.9 34.1 7.5 3.7 .7 1.7 .7 2.9 .6 2.1 .5 3.0 .6 2.1 .5 2.8 .6 2.1 .5 2.7 .7 2.0 .5 2.7 .6 2.0 .5 2.7 .5 2.0 .4 2.6 .5 1.9 .4 2.8 .5 1.9 .5 2.5 .6 1.9 .4 2.5 .6 1.8 .5 2.7 .6 2.1 .5 2.7 .7 1.9 .4 2.6 .6 1.9 .4 2.7 .6 2.0 .4 June July P E R C E N T O F U N E M P LO Y E D Job losers' ............................................................ On temporary layoff ........................................... Not on temporary layoff...................................... Job leavers............................................................ Reentrants............................................................. New entrants ........................................................ PERCENT OF C IV IL IA N LA B O R FO RC E Job losers' ............................................................... Job leavers .............................................................. Reentrants ............................................................... New entrants........................................................... 1 Includes persons who completed temporary jobs. 9. Unem ploym ent rates by sex and age, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (Civilian workers) Sex and age An nual average 1993 1994 1994 July Aug. Sept. 1995 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Total, 16 years and o v e r.................... 16 to 24 years................................................................................ 16 to 19 years............................................................................. 16 to 17 years .......................................................................... 18 to 19 years .......................................................................... 20 to 24 years............................................................................ 25 years and over.......................................................................... 25 to 54 years .......................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................. 6.8 13.3 19.0 21.3 17.5 10.5 5.6 5.8 4.3 6.1 12.5 17.6 19.9 16.0 9.7 4.8 5.0 4.1 6.1 12.5 17.7 20.3 15.7 9.7 4.8 4.9 4.2 6.0 12.6 17.5 19.9 15.6 9.9 4.7 4.8 4.2 5.8 12.1 17.2 18.8 16.0 9.4 4.6 4.8 3.8 5.7 11.8 17.1 17.8 16.8 9.0 4.5 4.7 3.9 5.6 11.4 15.8 17.2 14.7 9.1 4.5 4.5 3.9 5.4 11.6 17.2 18.1 16.6 8.6 4.3 4.4 3.5 5.7 11.4 16.7 20.0 14.2 8.5 4.5 4.6 3.9 5.4 11.7 17.6 20.7 15.3 8.5 4.2 4.3 3.4 5.5 11.6 16.1 20.0 13.0 9.1 4.2 4.3 3.5 5.8 11.8 17.5 20.6 15.7 8.7 4.6 4.7 3.8 5.7 11.8 17.6 21.5 14.7 8.6 4.5 4.6 3.8 5.6 11.7 16.4 18.5 15.2 9.0 4.4 4.5 3.8 5.7 12.5 18.2 21.4 15.4 9.3 4.3 4.5 3.9 Men, 16 years and o ver.............................................................. 16 to 24 years ............................. 16 to 19 years.................................. 16 to 17 years..................................................................... 18 to 19 years..................................................................... 20 to 24 years.............................. 25 years and o v e r.................................................................... 25 to 54 years..................................................................... 55 years and over......................... 7.1 14.3 20.4 22.8 18.8 11.3 5.8 5.9 4.7 6.2 13.2 19.0 21.0 17.6 10.2 4.8 4.9 4.3 6.3 13.4 19.4 20.9 18.0 10.3 4.9 4.9 4.5 6.1 13.3 18.8 20.7 17.1 10.5 4.7 4.8 4.2 5.8 12.6 18.5 19.4 17.5 9.5 4.5 4.6 3.9 5.7 12.4 18.1 18.2 18.1 9.4 4.5 4.6 4.1 5.5 11.8 16.5 16.5 16.5 9.5 4.4 4.4 4.0 5.5 12.2 18.5 18.8 18.2 9.0 4.3 4.3 3.5 5.7 12.0 17.4 20.9 14.5 9.1 4.5 4.6 4.0 5.4 12.1 19.4 22.6 16.7 8.2 4.0 4.2 3.6 5.4 11.7 17.0 20.2 14.6 8.9 4.1 4.2 3.7 5.7 11.8 17.8 21.7 16.1 8.6 4.5 4.5 4.3 5.8 12.3 18.4 22.6 15.2 8.9 4.6 4.7 4.0 5.5 12.0 17.4 18.4 17.4 9.0 4.3 4.3 3.9 5.5 12.5 18.7 21.9 15.9 9.0 4.2 4.3 3.9 Women, 16 years and o ve r................. 16 to 24 years................................ 16 to 19 years ......................... 16 to 17 years ................................................................... 18 to 19 years ................................................................... 20 to 24 ye ars.......................... 25 years and over................................................................... 25 to 54 years .......... ......................................................... 55 years and o v e r..................... 6.5 12.2 17.4 19.6 16.0 9.6 5.4 5.6 3.8 6.0 11.6 16.2 18.7 14.3 9.2 4.9 5.0 3.9 5.9 11.5 15.9 19.7 13.1 9.1 4.8 5.0 3, 6.0 11.7 16.1 19.0 14.0 9.3 4.8 4.9 4.1 5.8 11.6 15.9 18.2 14.2 9.3 4.7 5.0 3.6 5.7 11.2 16.0 17.4 15.4 8.6 4.6 4.8 3.7 5.6 10.9 15.0 17.9 12.8 8.7 4.6 4.7 3.8 5.4 10.9 15.8 17.4 14.9 8.1 4.3 4.4 3.4 5.6 10.7 15.9 19.1 13.9 7.8 4.6 4.6 3.7 5.5 11.2 15.6 18.7 13.7 8.7 4.3 4.5 3.2 5.5 11.5 15.2 19.8 11.3 9.4 4.3 4.4 3.4 5.9 11.9 17.2 19.4 15.2 8.8 4.7 5.0 3.3 5.5 11.4 16.7 20.4 14.0 8.2 4.4 4.6 3.6 5.7 11.3 15.2 18.6 12.8 9.0 4.5 4.7 3.7 5.9 12.6 17.6 21.0 14.9 9.7 4.6 4.6 3.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 71 Current Labor Statistics: 10. Labor Force Data Unem ploym ent rates by State, seasonally adjusted June 1994 May 1995 June 1995p California................................................... 6.0 7.7 66 5.5 8.5 5.9 6.4 5.6 4.1 8.5 6.2 6.7 5.1 4.1 7.6 Florida....................................................... 4.3 55 49 84 6.3 3.9 5.1 43 86 5.1 4.2 5.1 4.2 8.7 5.3 5.2 6.1 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.5 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.1 4.8 3.7 5.3 5.4 8.1 7.2 3.3 4.7 5.0 7.1 6.3 3.4 4.4 4.9 7.0 6.0 5.1 60 5.6 4.0 6.6 4.7 5.0 5.0 5.7 3.9 6.0 5.1 5.1 5.6 6.2 3.8 6.0 4.8 State Georgia..................................................... Idaho......................................................... Indiana...................................................... low' Mississippi................................................. June 1994 May 1995 June 1995p Montana................................................... Nebraska.................................................. Nevada .................................................... New Hampshire ...................................... 4.9 2.9 6.1 4.6 5.5 2.6 6.0 3.8 5.5 2.5 5.7 3.6 New Jersey.............................................. New Mexico............................................. New Y o rk ................................................. North Carolina......................................... 7.0 6.1 7.0 3.9 3.9 6.5 5.7 6.3 4.3 3.3 6.6 5.6 5.9 4.4 3.1 O h io ......................................................... Oklahoma ................................................ Oregon .................................................... Pennsylvania ........................................... Rhode Island........................................... 5.6 5.9 5.4 6.0 7.1 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.7 6.4 4.8 4.7 5.2 6.2 6.8 South Carolina ........................................ South Dakota .......................................... Tennessee ............................................... Texas ....................................................... U tah......................................................... 6.3 3.2 4.9 6.6 3.7 4.9 2.3 4.6 6.0 3.7 4.7 2.3 4.9 6.3 3.5 Vermont ................................................... Virginia ..................................................... Washington.............................................. West Virginia ........................................... Wisconsin................................................. 4.7 4.9 6.5 8.9 4.6 3.9 4.5 6.1 7.7 3.9 4.0 4.4 6.2 7.6 3.3 Wyoming .................................................. 5.3 4.8 4.7 State p = preliminary 11. Em ploym ent o f w orkers on nonfarm payrolls by State, seasonally adjusted (In thousands) June 1994 State 1 n a .... IS Maryland ...................................................... Minnesota.................................................... Mississippi.................................................... NOTE: 72 May 1995 June 1995p 1,756.2 259.4 1 667 9 1,031.6 12,143.8 1,771.5 262.0 1,753.3 T070.1 12,242.0 1,776.0 261.6 1,754.8 1,070.8 12,256.4 1 750 3 1,544.8 354.9 658 9 5,785.0 1,791.6 1,544.3 359.7 645.2 5,986.0 1,790.3 1,546.7 357.3 642.5 6,002.1 3,256.6 536.7 462.5 5 474 7 2J07.4 3,383.9 534.3 473.9 5,531.7 2756.1 3,396.3 533.6 476.0 5,534.9 2,750.0 1 322 2 1,166.0 1 597 0 1 713 8 530.7 1,349.4 l'l9 6 .4 1,632.7 1 793.9 541.4 1,355.1 1,202.4 1,636.2 1,797.1 542.4 2,148.0 2 895 7 4^137.4 2,315.7 1,058.4 2,465.8 2,159.9 2,948.3 4,258.6 2,362.1 1,055.5 2,540.8 2,162.1 2,953.8 4,241.5 2,369.1 1,052.4 2,542.4 May 1995 Montana....................................................... Nebraska..................................................... Nevada ....................................................... New Hampshire.......................................... 338.6 793.8 734.5 522.1 350.6 808.6 773.8 532.2 349.3 812.6 777.3 529.9 New Jersey................................................. New Mexico ................................................ New Y ork..................................................... North Carolina ............................................ North Dakota .............................................. 3,556.9 655.8 7,809.7 3,359.0 294.0 3,605.0 684.7 7,832.9 3,434.3 301.7 3,603.4 688.1 7,848.3 3,433.6 301.7 Ohio ............................................................ Oklahoma.................................................... Oregon........................................................ Pennsylvania............................................... Rhode Island ....,.......................................... 5,077.1 1,277.3 1,359.9 5,197.1 435.1 5,171.9 1,299.6 1,415.1 5,203.5 432.5 5,169.8 1,302.8 1,419.6 5,204.7 432.7 South Carolina............................................ South Dakota.............................................. Tennessee .................................................. Texas .......................................................... Utah ............................................................ 1,608.2 332.4 2,421.5 7,727.9 858.8 1,626.1 341.4 2,487.9 7,985.9 902.5 1,632.8 343.3 2,486.4 8,015.8 907.5 Vermont...................................................... Virginia........................................................ Washington ................................................. West Virginia............................................... Wisconsin.................................................... 264.2 3,001.7 2,300.9 672.9 2,478.1 267.7 3,073.4 2,361.7 687.0 2,537.8 267.4 3,080.1 2,368.2 687.5 2,541.8 Wyoming..................................................... 216.1 218.8 217.9 Some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere because of the continual updating of the database. Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 June 1995p June 1994 State 12. Em ploym ent o f w orkers on nonfarm payrolls by industry, m onthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Annual average 1994 1995 Industry 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. T O T A L .............................................. P R IV A T E S E C T O R ......................... 110,730 91,889 114,034 94,917 114,171 95,061 114,510 95,327 114,762 95,555 114,935 95,740 115,427 96,152 115,624 96,405 115,810 96,588 116,123 96,882 116,302 97,054 116,310 97,049 G O O D S -P R O D U C IN G ....................... M in in g 1 .................................................. 23,352 610 50 350 23,913 600 49 336 23,922 596 49 332 23,981 597 49 333 24,030 598 49 336 24,081 595 49 331 24,175 592 49 328 24,230 592 50 326 24,293 590 50 325 24,324 588 51 323 24,370 589 51 323 24,331 583 51 319 24,228 582 51 320 24,235 582 52 320 102 103 103 103 103 104 104 104 105 105 106 105 104 104 104 4,668 1,120 5,010 1,201 5,029 1,199 5,038 1,206 5,077 1,214 5,088 1,222 5,144 1,234 5,166 1,241 5,201 1,250 5,213 1,250 5,256 1,258 5,242 1,255 5,190 1,237 5,231 1,242 5,231 1,236 713 2,836 736 3,073 743 3,087 738 3,094 740 3,123 734 3,132 740 3,170 739 3,186 742 3,209 740 3,223 747 3,251 743 3,244 730 3,223 737 3,252 742 3,253 18,075 12,341 18,303 12,615 18,297 12,610 18,346 12,658 18,355 12,671 18,398 12,709 18,439 12,759 18,472 12,785 18,502 12,813 18,523 12,833 18,525 12,832 18,506 12,818 18,456 12,772 18,422 12,736 18,337 12,653 10,221 6,849 10,431 7,092 10,422 7,088 10,465 7,128 10,481 7,145 10,513 7,175 10,550 7,218 10,574 7,239 10,596 7,259 10,622 7,288 10,633 7,297 10,632 7,296 10,611 7,271 10,594 7,251 10,556 7,218 709 487 517 683 752 502 533 699 755 504 533 700 757 504 534 699 758 504 535 704 761 505 537 708 766 507 539 712 766 507 540 715 767 508 542 716 766 509 545 718 767 509 547 718 761 506 546 719 757 501 542 718 753 497 544 716 750 494 540 712 240 1,339 239 1,387 240 1,390 238 1,396 239 1,397 239 1,405 240 1,412 240 1,421 239 1,428 240 1,435 240 1,439 240 1,442 241 1,439 241 1,432 240 1,431 1,931 363 1,985 351 1,983 352 1,992 350 1,995 348 1,999 345 2,006 344 2,010 342 2,017 341 2,025 340 2,029 336 2,036 337 2,034 336 2,040 337 2,039 336 1,526 1,571 1,570 1,581 1,586 1,589 1,595 1,603 1,608 1,613 1,614 1,616 1,620 1,620 1,625 528 1,756 837 542 896 544 1,749 899 480 863 545 1,736 893 475 859 549 1,751 908 473 859 552 1,753 913 469 857 554 1,761 921 467 854 556 1,764 924 465 854 560 1,764 926 462 853 563 1,764 932 459 850 565 1,766 934 457 849 569 1,767 937 455 847 571 1,766 938 455 846 574 1,761 936 452 846 577 1,754 934 449 845 583 1,734 927 442 842 Metal mining .............................. Oil and gas extraction ............... Nonmetallic minerals, except fu e ls .......................................... C o n s tru c tio n ...................................... General building contractors...... Heavy construction, except building..................................... Special trades contractors........ M a n u fa c tu r in g .................................... Production workers .................. D u ra b le g o o d s .................................. Production workers .................. Lumber and wood products....... Furniture and fixtures.................. Stone, clay, and glass products .. Primary metal industries............. Blast furnaces and basic steel products.................................... Fabricated metal products......... Industrial machinery and equipment.................................. Computer and office equipment Electronic and other electrical equipment .................. Electronic components and accessories........................ Transportation equipment.......... Motor vehicles and equipment... Aircraft and p arts...................... Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries.................................... May Junep 116,248 116,498 97,005* 97,229 Ju ly 116,553 97,286 24,146 578 52 316 378 390 392 392 392 394 395 395 396 396 396 394 393 393 389 7,854 5,492 7,872 5,523 7,875 5,522 7,881 5,530 7,874 5,526 7,885 5,534 7,889 5,541 7,898 5,546 7,906 5,554 7,901 5,545 7,892 5,535 7,874 5,522 7,845 5,501 7,828 5,485 7,781 5,435 1,680 44 675 1,680 42 673 1,681 42 673 1,679 42 674 1,677 41 671 1,677 41 674 1,683 41 674 1,684 41 673 1,690 40 672 1,689 40 671 1,690 39 670 1,687 40 669 1,687 39 664 1,694 40 659 1,686 39 651 989 692 1,517 1,081 152 969 691 1,542 1,061 149 969 692 1,544 1,060 148 972 691 1,547 1,057 150 971 689 1,547 1,056 149 970 692 1,550 1,055 149 963 692 1,551 1,054 149 960 692 1,556 1,054 150 957 693 1,557 1,055 147 951 692 1,561 1,054 148 946 691 1,561 1,053 148 940 692 1,557 1,051 146 931 690 1,555 1,048 145 920 689 1,561 1,044 145 909 688 1,555 1,039 144 909 117 952 114 953 113 956 113 960 113 965 112 970 112 975 113 982 113 983 112 982 112 981 111 976 110 968 108 963 107 87,378 90,121 90,249 90,529 90,732 90,854 91,252 91,394 91,517 91,799 91,932 91,979 92,020 92,263 92,407 5,829 3,615 248 6,006 3,775 241 6,022 3,794 240 6,045 3,810 237 6,048 3,813 240 6,061 3,821 240 6,092 3,846 242 6,121 3,870 241 6,129 3,886 241 6,156 3,900 242 6,175 3,914 242 6,184 3,919 242 6,177 3,910 240 6,189 3,918 238 6,197 3,930 238 379 1,698 168 740 18 363 410 1,797 169 748 18 392 415 1,813 171 744 17 394 425 1,819 168 746 18 397 418 1,824 168 746 18 399 417 1,828 167 748 18 403 421 1,843 165 750 18 407 425 1,857 164 754 18 411 428 1,864 166 754 17 416 431 1,871 165 756 17 418 433 1,877 164 760 17 421 437 1,879 164 759 17 421 439 1,872 161 758 17 423 441 1,877 159 762 17 424 449 1,881 158 763 16 425 2,214 1,269 2,231 1,305 2,228 1,305 2,235 1,314 2,235 1,314 2,240 1,320 2,246 1,325 2,251 1,331 2,243 1,327 2,256 1,343 2,261 1,351 2,265 1,355 2,267 1,359 2,271 1,365 2,267 1,364 944 927 923 921 921 920 921 920 916 913 910 910 908 906 903 W h o le s a le t r a d e ................................ 5,981 6,140 6,138 6,163 6,181 6,195 6,210 6,229 6,251 6,275 6,287 6,300 6,298 6,317 6,334 R e tail t r a d e .......................................... 19,773 20,437 20,459 20,497 20,565 20,580 Building materials and garden supplies..................................... General merchandise stores....... Department stores ..................... Food stores.................................. 20,703 20,759 20,760 20,794 20,760 20,762 20,747 20,798 20,852 779 2,488 2,140 3,224 828 2,545 2,212 3,289 833 2,542 2,211 3,292 835 2,551 2,219 3,297 838 2,555 2,225 3,296 840 2,563 2,232 3,298 844 2,598 2,268 3,308 846 2,585 2,256 3,320 851 2,562 2,236 3,325 851 2,545 2,223 3,328 849 2,530 2,207 3,332 852 2,539 2,218 3,345 849 2,532 2,213 3,343 849 2,532 2,216 3,353 846 2,530 2,214 3,361 N o n d u ra b le g o o d s ............................ Production workers.................... Food and kindred products........ Tobacco products....................... Textile mill products.................... Apparel and other textile products .................................... Paper and allied products.......... Printing and publishing ............... Chemicals and allied products .... Petroleum and coal products ..... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products....................... Leather and leather products..... S E R V IC E -P R O D U C IN G ..................... T ra n s p o rta tio n an d public u t ilitie s .................................................. Transportation.............................. Railroad transportation............... Local and interurban passenger transit......................................... Trucking and warehousing......... Water transportation................... Transportation by a ir................... Pipelines, except natural gas...... Transportation services.............. Communications and public utilities......................................... Communications......................... Electric, gas, and sanitary services..................................... See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 73 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 12. Continued— Em ploym ent o f w orkers on nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 1995 1994 Annual average Industry Sept. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. 2,014 908 1,144 2,123 964 1,134 2,122 967 1,134 2,135 971 1,132 2,145 975 1,135 2,154 979 1,136 2,165 984 1,130 2,173 989 1,126 2,182 993 1,122 2,191 996 1,118 2,202 998 1,110 2,205 1,000 1,103 2,205 1,000 1,095 2,206 998 1,096 2,206 999 1,091 828 6,821 890 7,069 893 7,076 899 7,084 906 7,103 915 7,086 926 7,134 927 7,182 933 7,188 936 7,221 943 7,191 945 7,170 944 7,169 947 7,208 947 7,253 2,476 2,560 2,567 2,564 2,587 2,588 2,598 2,600 2,597 2,604 2,603 2,603 2,610 2,607 2,618 6,757 3,238 2,089 1,497 324 455 6,933 3,323 2,075 1,492 308 499 6,947 3,332 2,076 1,492 308 502 6,948 3,329 2,074 1,492 305 499 6,942 3,324 2,072 1,492 303 494 6,935 3,320 2,072 1,496 300 490 6,937 3,319 2,071 1,498 296 485 6,931 3,317 2,070 1,498 295 481 6,927 3,312 2,067 1,497 293 478 6,929 3,312 2,066 1,497 291 475 6,938 3,313 2,066 1,499 289 475 6,924 3,305 2,063 1,494 288 473 6,925 3,307 2,060 1,492 285 476 6,934 3,307 2,057 1,491 284 479 6,941 3,310 2,055 1,492 283 484 472 518 522 524 525 525 528 530 530 532 532 528 528 528 527 223 2,197 1,529 231 2,237 1,551 232 2,238 1,551 232 2,238 1,549 233 2,236 1,546 233 2,236 1,544 235 2,236 1,542 236 2,232 1,537 237 2,233 1,535 239 2,233 1,534 240 2,238 1,536 241 2,239 1,536 243 2,237 1,534 243 2,240 1,535 244 2,240 1,536 668 1,322 686 1,373 687 1,377 689 1,381 690 1,382 692 1,379 694 1,382 695 1,382 698 1,382 699 1,384 702 1,387 703 1,380 703 1,381 705 1,387 704 1,391 30,197 519 31,488 565 31,573 567 31,693 571 31,789 574 31,888 5/8 32,035 584 32,135 588 32,228 575 32,404 580 32,524 584 32,548 589 32,630 " 32,756 582 577 32,816 588 1,596 1,137 5,735 823 1,906 1,669 1,618 1,139 6,239 855 2,254 2,002 1,625 1,135 6,274 858 2,281 2,026 1,620 1,139 6,314 860 2,296 2,040 1,617 1,139 6,358 861 2,321 2,061 1,612 1,140 6,392 861 2,337 2,077 1,605 1,140 6,457 869 2,373 2,107 1,612 1,138 6,487 870 2,386 2,118 1,614 1,148 6,513 868 2,408 2,138 1,614 1,160 6,555 870 2,427 2,152 1,616 1,158 6,570 871 2,399 2,138 1,611 1,152 6,538 866 2,368 2,097 1,615 1,146 6,567 866 2,371 2,096 1,625 1,144 6,593 869 2,377 2,099 1,626 1,143 6,612 871 2,381 2,102 893 950 949 958 967 974 984 991 994 1,006 1,017 1,026 1,039 1,046 1,051 925 349 412 971 334 471 971 333 470 979 334 481 984 334 491 989 335 505 995 337 519 1,000 338 529 1,006 340 545 1,010 342 566 1,014 344 577 1,016 342 580 1,016 341 596 1,021 340 593 1,028 340 601 1,258 1,344 1,361 1,365 1,354 1,364 1,371 1,375 1,380 1,398 1,434 1,462 1,471 1,509 1,521 9,121 9,141 9,168 9,197 9,211 9,223 9,250 9,265 Finance , insurance , a nd real Security and commodity Holding and other Insurance agents, brokers Hotels and other Computer and data Auto repair services, Amusement and recreation 8,756 9,001 9,011 9,037 9,055 9,074 9,096 1,506 1,541 1,541 1,549 1,548 1,553 1,557 1,562 1,563 1,570 1,576 1,578 1,580 1,585 1,586 1,667 3,790 588 930 1,854 2,233 512 620 1,672 3,792 591 931 1,843 2,244 514 623 1,676 3,796 596 932 1,864 2,254 517 626 1,679 3,802 599 933 1,863 2,264 519 629 1,682 3,810 597 932 1,866 2,265 519 631 1,683 3,810 600 930 1,875 2,275 522 634 1,688 3,810 605 928 1,886 2,266 522 635 1,693 3,812 608 928 1,877 2,253 526 635 Offices and clinics of Nursing and personal Home health care services........ 1,585 3,779 469 924 1,711 2,070 473 567 1,649 3,774 555 927 1,822 2,181 502 602 1,654 3,772 560 925 1,826 2,191 506 603 1,657 3,776 566 927 1,831 2,205 518 606 1,659 3,779 572 928 1,840 2,211 509 610 1,661 3,781 575 928 1,843 2,216 510 613 1,663 3,785 579 930 1,851 2,226 512 617 76 2,035 79 2,059 79 2,058 80 2,060 79 2,065 79 2,066 80 2,066 80 2,062 80 2,062 81 2,060 81 2,059 81 2,057 81 2,060 82 2,060 83 2,065 2,521 2,567 2,575 2,578 2,589 2,595 2,606 2,616 2,634 2,648 2,658 2,674 2,685 2,705 2,714 757 775 778 780 785 785 787 790 793 795 795 799 799 800 803 688 716 716 719 725 731 737 742 752 762 773 785 790 808 808 18,841 2,915 2,128 4,488 1,834 19,118 2,870 2,053 4,562 1,875 19,110 2,864 2,045 4,572 1,882 19,183 2,861 2,041 4,594 1,900 19,207 2,863 2,039 4,589 1,891 19,195 2,858 2,031 4,589 1,888 19,275 2,854 2,022 4,596 1,892 19,219 2,853 2,014 4,598 1,891 19,222 2,838 2,004 4,599 1,889 19,241 2,831 1,997 4,610 1,901 19,248 2,828 1,992 4,613 1,904 19,261 2,826 1,987 4,608 1,905 19,243 2,831 1,995 4,602 1,906 19,269 2,831 1,987 4,607 1,916 19,267 2,831 1,985 4,605 1,922 2,654 11,438 6,353 2,687 11,685 6,490 2,690 11,674 6,497 2,694 11,728 6,548 2,698 11,755 6,554 2,701 11,748 6,544 2,704 11,825 6,549 2,707 11,768 6,557 2,710 11,785 6,577 2,709 11,800 6,591 2,709 11,807 6,599 2,703 11,827 6,614 2,696 11,810 6,606 2,691 11,831 6,602 2,683 11,831 6,621 5,085 5,195 5,177 5,180 5,201 5,204 5,276 5,211 5,208 5,209 5,208 5,213 5,204 5,229 5,210 Museums and botanical and Engineering and management Engineering and architectural Management and public Federal, except Postal Service .. Other State Other local 1 Includes other industries not shown separately. = preliminary NOTE: See notes on the data for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. p 74 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis JulyP 1994 Miscellaneous retail Miscellaneous repair services...... June" 1993 Automotive dealers and service Apparel and accessory stores..... Furniture and home furnishings Oct. Nov. September 1995 13. Average w eekly hours o f production or nonsupervisory w orkers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Annual average 1994 1995 Industry 1993 P R IV A T E S E C T O R .................................................... 1994 34.5 July 34.7 Aug. 34.7 Sept. 34.6 Oct. 34.7 Nov. 34.9 Dec. 34.6 Jan. 34.7 Feb. 34.8 Mar. 34.6 Apr. 34.6 34.5 34.6 40.7 40.6 40.9 40.8 44.7 44.3 44.9 44.9 41.5 4.5 41.4 4.4 41.5 4.2 41.3 4.3 42.8 5.1 40.7 39.8 43.4 44.5 45.1 42.8 42.3 4.9 40.4 38.7 42.5 43.5 45.4 42.0 42.1 4.6 40.3 39.2 42.4 43.8 44.1 42.1 42.3 4.5 40.6 39.4 42.9 43.8 43.7 42.2 41.9 4.6 40.1 39.0 43.0 42.8 42.6 41.9 44.0 41.9 44.7 46.1 41.7 40.2 43.9 41.8 44.5 45.8 41.7 39.9 43.3 41.5 44.3 43.1 41.5 40.1 43.4 41.4 43.4 44.2 41.3 39.8 43.3 41.6 43.8 44.6 41.2 40.0 43.1 41.4 43.2 44.3 41.2 39.4 41.0 4.4 41.5 41.8 37.5 44.0 41.0 4.3 41.3 41.9 37.7 43.9 40.9 4.2 41.3 41.8 37.6 43.7 40.4 4.0 40.7 41.0 37.0 43.0 40.4 4.0 41.0 40.4 36.9 42.9 40.5 3.9 41.3 40.3 36.9 42.9 40.4 4.0 41.3 40.2 36.6 43.0 38.7 43.2 42.3 38.6 38.5 43.3 42.3 38.0 38.5 43.4 42.3 38.4 38.4 43.4 42.0 38.4 38.2 43.4 41.2 38.1 38.4 43.2 41.6 38.5 38.1 43.5 41.4 38.3 38.2 43.2 41.1 36.5 32.8 32.9 32.7 32.7 32.9 32.4 32.7 32.9 40.9 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.5 41.6 41.4 41.3 M IN IN G ............................................................................... 44.3 44.7 45.4 44.6 44.9 44.8 44.9 44.7 44.9 44.9 44.6 M A N U F A C T U R IN G ........................................................ 41.4 4.1 42.0 4.7 42.0 4.7 42.0 4.7 42.1 4.8 42.1 4.7 42.1 4.8 42.1 4.8 42.2 4.9 42.1 4.8 42.0 4.7 Overtime hou rs............................................. Lumber and wood products............................... Furniture and fixtures......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products........................ Primary metal industries.................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products........ Fabricated metal products................................. 42.1 42.8 4.3 5.0 40.8 r 41.2 40.1 40.4 42.7 43.4 43.7 44.7 44.1 44.9 42.1 42.9 42.7 5.0 41.2 40.5 43.5 44.6 44.8 42.7 42.9 5.0 41.2 40.5 43.4 44.7 45.1 42.9 42.9 5.1 41.0 40.7 43.6 44.9 45.3 42.9 42.9 5.0 41.3 40.7 43.5 44.9 45.5 42.9 43.0 5.1 41.1 40.6 43.5 45.0 45.6 43.0 43.0 5.1 41.2 40.4 43.5 45.0 45.6 43.0 43.0 5.3 41.2 40.8 43.6 44.8 45.7 43.2 43.0 5.2 40.9 40.5 43.3 44.8 45.4 43.1 Industrial machinery and equipment.................. Electronic and other electrical equipment........ Transportation equipment.................................. Motor vehicles and equipment....................... Instruments and related products...................... Miscellaneous manufacturing............................ 43.0 41.8 43.0 44.3 41.1 39.8 43.7 42.2 44.3 46.0 41.7 40.0 43.6 42.2 43.6 44.8 41.9 40.2 43.6 42.2 44.4 45.9 41.8 40.0 43.8 42.0 44.3 45.9 41.8 39.9 43.7 42.2 44.4 45.8 41.9 40.1 43.8 42.1 44.7 46.4 41.8 40.0 43.8 42.0 44.7 46.2 41.7 39.9 44.0 42.1 44.6 46.1 41.8 40.1 N o n d u ra b le g o o d s ...................................................... Overtime hou rs............................................. Food and kindred products ............................... Textile mill products........................................... Apparel and other textile products.................... Paper and allied products.................................. 40.6 4.0 40.7 41.4 37.2 43.6 40.9 4.3 41.3 41.6 37.5 43.9 41.1 4.3 41.6 41.7 37.6 44.2 40.9 4.2 41.3 41.6 37.6 44.1 41.0 4.3 41.4 41.6 37.6 43.9 41.0 4.3 41.3 41.8 37.7 44.0 41.0 4.3 41.5 41.5 37.6 43.9 41.1 4.3 41.5 41.6 37.7 44.0 Printing and publishing...................................... Chemicals and allied products.......................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.... Leather and leather products............................ 38.3 43.1 41.8 38.6 38.6 43.2 42.2 38.6 38.6 43.3 42.3 38.0 38.6 43.2 42.2 38.6 38.6 43.2 42.3 38.6 38.7 43.4 42.3 39.0 38.6 43.4 42.3 38.7 32.8 33.0 32.7 D u ra b le g o o d s ............................................................... 34.6 34.2 G O O D S -P R O D U C IN G ..................................................... Overtime h ou rs............................................. June P JulyP May S E R V IC E -P R O D U C IN G ................................................. 32.7 32.8 32.8 32.7 T R A N S P O R T A T IO N A N D P U B LIC U T IL IT IE S ... 39.6 39.9 39.9 39.7 40.0 40.0 39.8 39.6 39.8 39.7 39.5 39.8 39.1 39.3 39.7 W H O LE S A LE T R A D E .................................................. 38.2 38.4 38.3 38.2 38.4 38.6 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.2 38.3 37.9 38.2 38.4 R E T A IL T R A D E ............................................................... 28.8 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 29.2 28.9 28.9 29.0 28.8 28.8 29.1 28.7 28.9 28.9 = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark adjustment. p 14. Average hourly earnings o f production or nonsupervisory w orkers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry seasonally adjusted 71 An nual average 1994 1995 Industry 1993 P R IV A T E SE C TO R (In c u rre n t d o lla r s ) ................. G o o d s -p r o d u c in g ............................. 12.37 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May JuneP JulyP 12.71 12.83 12.83 12.84 12.89 12.91 12.94 12.94 13.01 13.11 14.72 12.06 11.42 12.06 11.42 15.04 14.84 12.17 11.52 15.08 14.81 12.18 11.53 15.08 14.74 12.21 11.56 15.12 14.88 12.24 11.60 15.15 14.90 12.25 11.61 15.17 14.95 12.28 11.72 15.18 14.99 12.28 11.67 15.29 15.10 12.31 11.71 15.42 15.09 12.42 11.81 10.30 13.62 10.57 13.86 10.57 13.84 11.74 7.29 11.35 10.78 12.05 7.49 11.83 11.05 12.06 7.39 7.41 S e rv ic e -p ro d u c in g ...................................... Transportation and public utilities............. Wholesale trade ............. Retail trade........................... Finance, insurance, and real estate .......... Services........................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Aug. 12.72 14.60 14.38 11.74 11.18 = preliminary July $10.83 $11.13 $11.13 $11.14 $11.18 $11.25 $11.24 $11.27 $11.29 $11.32 $11.34 $11.40 $11.37 $11.42 $11.49 Mining............................. Construction ........................ Manufacturing........................ Excluding overtime............................. P R IV A T E S E C TO R (In co n s ta n t (1 9 8 2 ) do llars ) 1994 14.82 12.12 14.90 12.14 13.87 13.88 10.68 14.02 10.71 14.01 10.74 14.03 10.76 14.00 10.79 14.05 10.87 14.15 10.83 14.13 10.87 14.18 10.94 14.22 11.82 11.81 11.90 12.15 7.56 11.99 11.17 12.20 7.60 12.01 11.21 12.23 7.59 12.06 11.26 12.24 7.60 12.09 11.28 12.27 7.61 12.16 11.30 12.41 7.63 12.28 11.39 12.31 7.65 12.19 11.34 12.37 7.67 12.32 11.37 12.45 7.72 12.44 11.43 7.39 7.37 7.38 7.40 7.40 7.39 7.39 7.38 7.40 7.36 7.39 7.42 - NOTE: See “ Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 75 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 15. Average hourly earnings o f production or nonsupervisory w orkers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry Annual average 1995 1994 Industry 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June" July? P R IV A T E S E C T O R .......................................................... $10.83 $11.13 $11.05 $11.05 $11.22 $11.28 $11.27 $11.28 $11.36 $11.36 $11.36 $11.41 $11.38 $11.36 $11.41 M IN IN G ................................................................................. 14.60 14.89 14.73 14.69 14.92 14.91 14.97 15.09 15.25 15.26 15.24 15.31 15.21 15.24 15.30 14.83 14.67 14.82 14.84 14.88 14.96 14.99 15.09 12.26 12.23 12.24 12.25 12.29 12.28 12.30 12.40 12.83 9.94 9.66 12.23 14.43 17.09 12.03 12.83 9.95 9.67 12.25 14.41 17.03 12.05 12.80 9.98 9.75 12.43 14.72 17.50 12.03 12.83 10.01 9.71 12.31 14.50 17.23 12.07 12.85 10.10 9.79 12.35 14.61 17.38 12.05 12.92 10.20 9.88 12.44 14.65 17.27 12.15 C O N S T R U C T IO N .............................................................. 14.38 14.72 14.75 14.79 14.97 15.05 14.87 M A N U F A C T U R IN G .......................................................... 11.74 12.06 12.04 12.01 12.14 12.10 12.17 Lumber and wood products................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products......................... Primary metal industries ...................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... Fabricated metal products .................................. 12.33 9.61 9.27 11.85 13.99 16.36 11.69 12.67 9.84 9.55 12.13 14.33 16.85 11.93 12.62 9.87 9.54 12.17 14.40 16.93 11.86 12.62 9.87 9.56 12.19 14.34 16.95 11.87 12.76 9.95 9.69 12.27 14.40 17.05 11.99 12.70 9.96 9.70 12.22 14.37 17.08 11.92 12.77 9.93 9.67 12.21 14.44 17.13 12.03 12.87 9.97 9.76 12.21 14.53 17.16 12.09 12.81 9.95 9.67 12.19 14.54 17.30 12.04 Industrial machinery and equipment ................... Electronic and other electrical equipment ......... Transportation equipment.................................... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments and related products...................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.............................. 12.73 11.24 15.80 16.10 12.23 9.39 12.99 11.50 16.48 16.98 12.47 9.66 12.94 11.56 16.41 16.89 12.46 9.61 12.92 11.52 16.44 16.92 12.48 9.63 13.04 11.57 16.71 17.27 12.55 9.71 13.03 11.51 16.52 16.98 12.54 9.72 13.11 11.54 16.62 17.11 12.55 9.79 13.19 11.59 16.83 17.37 12.63 9.90 13.15 11.59 16.60 17.12 12.54 9.98 13.15 11.53 16.71 17.26 12.63 9.94 13.15 11.54 16.66 17.23 12.63 9.90 13.05 11.51 16.48 17.03 12.69 9.95 13.15 11.55 16.57 17.13 12.66 9.98 13.15 11.59 16.62 17.17 12.68 9.95 13.21 11.67 16.81 17.47 12.78 10.04 10.98 Food and kindred products................................. 10.45 Tobacco products................................................ 16.89 Textile mill products............................................ 8.88 Apparel and other textile products...................... 7.09 Paper and allied products................................... 13.42 11.25 10.66 19.10 9.13 7.34 13.77 11.28 10.68 20.60 9.12 7.31 13.83 11.20 10.59 18.91 9.12 7.36 13.80 11.31 10.64 18.89 9.20 7.44 13.96 11.30 10.65 18.71 9.19 7.43 13.89 11.35 10.81 19.46 9.26 7.45 13.92 11.42 10.85 18.64 9.31 7.47 13.98 11.44 10.85 18.71 9.35 7.53 14.01 11.43 10.83 19.67 9.31 7.48 14.02 11.45 10.87 20.44 9.30 7.51 14.03 11.58 10.93 20.12 9.36 7.61 14.27 11.52 10.91 21.05 9.35 7.56 14.17 11.55 10.92 21.75 9.39 7.60 14.14 11.69 10.93 22.08 9.39 7.60 14.43 Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products............................ Petroleum and coal products.............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products..... Leather and leather products............................. 11.93 14.82 18.53 10.57 7.63 12.13 15.14 19.07 10.70 7.98 12.12 15.16 18.94 10.75 7.98 12.12 15.08 18.76 10.65 7.97 12.26 15.27 19.32 10.65 7.99 12.23 15.30 19.29 10.66 8.03 12.20 15.29 19.25 10.69 8.05 12.26 15.42 19.32 10.79 8.06 12.24 15.40 19.19 10.82 8.13 12.24 15.42 19.55 10.76 8.14 12.26 15.43 19.38 10.80 8.13 12.21 15.72 19.57 10.77 8.32 12.22 15.53 19.18 10.86 8.19 12.25 15.52 19.15 10.90 8.13 12.37 15.72 19.39 11.02 8.04 T R A N S P O R T A T IO N A N D P U B LIC U T IL IT IE S ..... 13.62 13.86 13.81 13.84 13.91 14.01 14.07 14.04 14.08 14.04 14.06 14.14 14.07 14.08 14.19 12.32 12.43 D u ra ble g o o d s ................................................................. N o n d u ra b le g o o d s ......................................................... W H O LE S A LE T R A D E ..................................................... 11.74 12.05 12.04 12.00 12.09 12.20 12.15 12.21 12.30 12.28 12.25 12.45 12.32 R E T A IL T R A D E ................................................................ 7.29 7.49 7.46 7.44 7.54 7.57 7.57 7.59 7.64 7.63 7.63 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.67 12.24 12.21 12.33 11.34 11.24 11.27 F IN A N C E , IN S U R A N C E , A N D R E A L E S T A T E ..... 11.35 11.83 11.72 11.73 11.85 12.02 11.98 12.05 12.17 12.19 12.21 12.32 S E R V IC E S .......................................................................... 10.78 11.05 10.90 10.90 11.11 11.20 11.22 11.29 11.39 11.38 11.36 11.40 = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. p 76 Nov. Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 16. A verage w eekly earnings o f production or nonsupervisory w orkers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry Annual average 1994 1995 Industry 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June*1 July" P R IV A T E S E C TO R Current dollars................................................... $373.64 $386.21 $386.75 $386.75 $390.46 $394.80 $389.94 $392.54 $390.78 $388.51 $389.65 $391.36 $390.33 $393.06 $398.21 Seasonally adjusted....................................... 386.21 385.44 387.95 392.63 388.90 391.07 392.89 391.67 392.36 394.44 388.85 393.99 397.55 Constant (1982) dollars .................................... 254.87 256.96 256.98 255.79 257.56 260.25 256.54 258.42 256.25 253.93 253.84 253.96 252.80 254.08 M IN IN G ................................................................................. 646.78 665.58 661.38 661.05 677.37 673.93 679.64 680.56 683.20 677.54 670.56 678.23 673.80 684.28 680.85 C O N S T R U C T IO N .............................................................. 553.63 572.61 587.05 588.64 598.80 595.98 572.50 573.92 553.06 546.86 565.40 559.49 574.46 593.60 603.60 Current dollars.................................................... Constant (1982) dollars..................................... 486.04 331.54 506.52 337.01 500.86 332.80 504.42 333.61 514.74 339.54 511.83 337.40 517.23 340.28 525.95 346.25 513.66 336.83 510.41 333.60 510.83 332.79 496.52 322.21 508.39 329.27 511.68 330.76 505.92 - D u ra b le g o o d s ................................................................. Lumber and wood products................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products......................... Primary metal industries...................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... Fabricated metal products .................................. 519.09 392.09 371.73 506.00 611.36 721.48 492.15 542.28 405.41 385.82 526.44 640.55 756.57 511.80 532.56 404.67 383.51 533.05 639.36 766.93 498.12 538.87 410.59 389.09 536.36 636.70 764.45 508.04 549.96 412.93 399.23 542.33 648.00 780.89 517.97 547.37 414.34 399.64 540.12 642.34 772.02 514.94 552.94 409.12 396.47 533.58 652.69 779.42 523.31 563.71 414.75 406.02 528.69 662.57 787.64 531.96 549.55 404.97 392.60 515.64 652.85 787.15 518.92 546.56 397.60 383.50 512.44 643.58 769.05 513.68 546.56 401.98 381.00 520.63 639.80 761.24 512.13 524.80 400.20 367.58 525.79 637.38 794.50 484.81 541.43 406.41 375.78 529.33 636.55 759.84 508.15 544.84 412.08 385.73 537.23 642.84 764.72 510.92 533.60 406.98 381.37 538.65 624.09 744.34 499.37 Industrial machinery and equipment................... Electronic and other electrical equipment ......... Transportation equipment.................................... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments and related products...................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.............................. 547.39 469.83 679.40 713.23 502.65 373.72 567.66 485.30 730.06 781.08 520.00 386.40 557.71 479.74 697.43 729.65 515.84 379.60 556.85 483.84 725.00 771.55 517.92 384.24 569.85 488.25 748.61 801.33 524.59 389.37 569.41 486.87 735.14 779.38 524.17 394.63 575.53 491.60 747.90 797.33 528.36 398.45 590.91 499.53 767.45 818.13 538.04 399.96 581.23 489.10 735.38 780.67 525.43 397.20 578.60 478.50 741.92 792.23 524.15 395.61 577.29 478.91 741.37 790.86 526.67 395.01 545.49 462.70 693.81 730.59 513.95 387.06 570.71 477.02 724.11 769.14 521.59 395.21 569.40 482.14 731.28 774.37 523.68 397.01 562.75 474.97 706.02 744.22 520.15 388.55 N o n d u ra b le g o o d s ......................................................... 445.79 425.32 631.69 367.63 263.75 585.11 460.13 440.26 750.63 379.81 275.25 604.50 460.22 444.29 782.80 375.74 272.66 607.14 460.32 442.66 746.95 382.13 278.21 605.82 468.23 450.07 778.27 387.32 281.23 619.82 466.69 445.17 783.95 385.98 282.34 615.33 471.03 456.18 776.45 387.07 283.10 615.26 476.21 457.87 767.97 391.02 284.61 626.30 465.61 445.94 731.56 388.03 280.12 616.44 462.92 438.62 759.26 383.57 279.00 607.07 463.73 441.32 778.76 383.16 280.12 604.69 458.57 435.01 774.62 373.46 270.92 603.62 464.26 444.04 844.11 378.68 279.72 606.48 467.78 449.90 904.80 383.11 282.72 606.61 468.77 451.41 867.74 372.78 275.88 616.16 M A N U F A C T U R IN G Food and kindred products................................. Tobacco products................................................ Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products...................... Paper and allied products................................... Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products............................ Petroleum and coal products.............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products............................................... Leather and leather products ............................. 456.92 638.74 819.03 468.22 654.05 846.71 464.20 653.40 829.57 469.04 646.93 816.06 479.37 658.14 894.52 475.75 664.02 869.98 477.02 668.17 854.70 481.82 678.48 853.94 466.34 666.82 840.52 466.34 666.14 868.02 470.78 668.12 841.09 460.32 680.68 859.12 464.36 670.90 828.58 463.05 675.12 836.86 468.82 675.96 851.22 441.83 294.52 451.54 308.03 447.20 302.44 448.37 307.64 450.50 310.81 450.92 314.78 455.39 313.95 463.97 314.34 456.60 307.31 451.92 309.32 451.44 309.75 434.03 308.67 451.78 315.32 453.44 314.63 445.21 292.66 T R A N S P O R T A T IO N A N D PU B LIC U T IL IT IE S ........................................................................... 539.35 553.01 556.54 556.37 557.79 563.20 559.99 555.98 554.75 551.77 549.75 559.94 551.54 556.16 569.02 W H O L E S A L E T R A D E ..................................................... 448.47 462.72 462.34 459.60 464.26 472.14 466.56 470.09 469.86 467.87 465.50 476.84 469.39 471.86 478.56 R E T A IL T R A D E ................................................................ 209.95 216.46 222.31 220.97 218.66 220.29 217.26 222.39 215.45 214.40 215.93 221.09 219.56 223.38 227.80 F IN A N C E , IN S U R A N C E , A N D R E A L E S TA T E .............................................................................. 406.33 423.51 418.40 416.42 420.68 435.12 425.29 430.19 441.77 435.18 433.46 447.22 433.30 434.68 448.81 S E R V IC E S ........................................................................... 350.35 359.13 356.43 356.43 359.96 366.24 362.41 365.80 369.04 367.57 365.79 370.50 364.01 365.30 370.78 - Data not available. p = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 77 Current Labor Statistics: 17. Labor Force Data Diffusion indexes o f em ploym ent change, seasonally adjusted (In percent) Jan. Time span and year Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Oct. Sept. Nov. Dec. Private nonfarm payrolls, 356 industries Over 1-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 57.6 60.0 60.3 61.5 63.3 61.7 51.4 65.9 57.6 58.3 62.4 51.3 61.4 58.0 46.2 55.1 63.8 54.6 57.7 60.5 48.6 56.3 61.5 - 61.4 60.7 “ 59.7 61.1 - 61.1 65.3 - 60.7 61.1 - Over 3-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 64.0 68.8 66.4 61.2 70.9 64.9 61.8 69.8 57.9 58.8 67.1 49.3 61.4 66.0 50.0 61.8 66.0 47.2 59.3 68.4 “ 61.8 68.3 “ 62.6 67.8 “ 66.7 67.3 - 65.7 68.1 - 63.6 67.4 - Over 6-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 63.2 71.2 65.9 63.8 70.2 58.8 62.8 70.5 55.8 64.2 69.5 51.7 60.8 69.8 “ 63.9 69.1 “ 64.5 70.5 - 64.7 70.9 66.2 69.0 - 67.3 69.0' “ 70.8 67.4 - 70.8 67.0 Over 12-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 64.9 68.4 62.4 63.9 70.8 - 64.0 71.9 - 65.4 70.2 - 67.0 69.5 * 67.6 69.7 - 67.6 70.4 - 67.0 70.8 - 70.2 70.4 - 69.4 70.2 - 68.8 66.0 - 69.4 64.9 “ Manufacturing payrolls, 139 industries Over 1-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 52.2 59.4 56.8 57.9 61.2 54.7 52.9 59.4 49.6 4.1.2 56.5 44.2 51.4 55.0 36.7 46.0 59.0 41.0 50.7 54.0 35.3 48.6 56.5 “ 56.1 53.2 " 54.7 59.4 “ 56.5 59.0 - 54.3 57.6 Over 3-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 60.8 65.1 61.5 60.4 66.5 56.1 57.2 64.4 47.1 46.4 59.0 35.6 46.4 58.6 32.0 50.7 58.3 25.2 49.6 61.5 54.3 59.0 “ 53.2 61.5 “ 60.1 60.4 56.1 64.0 57.6 62.2 Over 6-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 57.6 61.9 57.2 56.5 62.9 47.1 56.1 64.4 39.6 55.0 61.5 29.1 49.3 60.8 52.2 59.0 55.4 62.2 “ - - 57.9 62.6 - 56.8 61.5 - 57.6 64.0 - 65.1 61.5 - 62.9 61.5 - Over 12-month span: 1993 ..................................................................... 1994 ..................................................................... 1995 ..................................................................... 56.8 58.3 45.7 57.9 59.7 - 55.8 61.9 - 58.6 61.5 - 57.2 61.5 * 57.6 61.5 “ 58.6 61.9 - 59.0 63.3 - 61.2 61.5 - 60.4 59.7 - 60.1 56.5 * 59.4 49.6 - - Data not available. NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment increasing plus one-half of the industries with unchanged employment, where 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing 18. “ employment. Data for the 2 most recent months shown in each span are preliminary. See the “ Definitions” in this section. See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision, Annual data: Em ploym ent status o f the population (Numbers in thousands) 1986 Employment status Civilian noninstitutional population........................ Civilian labor force............................................... Labor force participation ra te ................................................................... 78 1987 1988 1989 186,393 123,869 189,765 125,303 1992 1993 1994 191,576 126,982 193,550 128,040 196,814 131,056 182,753 119,865 184,613 121,669 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 66.4 66.0 66.3 66.2 66.6 117,914 62.7 3,186 114,728 116,877 61.6 3,233 113,644 117,598 61.4 3,207 114,391 119,306 61.6 3,074 116,232 123,060 62.5 3,409 119,651 6,874 5.5 63,262 8,426 6.7 64,462 9,384 7.4 64,593 8,734 6.8 65,509 7,996 6.1 65,758 Employed....................................................... Employment-population ra tio ....................... Agriculture................................................ Nonagricultural industries........................ 109,597 60.7 3,163 106,434 112,440 61.5 3,208 109,232 114,968 62.3 3,169 111,800 Unemployed .................................................. Unemployment ra te .................................... Not in labor fo rc e ................................................ 8,237 7.0 62,752 7,425 6.2 62,888 6,701 5.5 62,944 6,528 5.3 62,523 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 188,049 124,787 1991 180,587 117,834 117,342 63.0 3,199 114,142 Monthly Labor Review 1990 September 1995 20. Annual data: Average hours and earnings o f production or nonsupervisory w orkers on nonfarm payrolls, by industry Industry 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 34.8 8.76 304.85 34.8 8.98 312.50 34.7 9.28 322.02 34.6 9.66 334.24 34.5 10.01 345.35 34.3 10.32 353.98 34.4 10.57 363.61 34.5 10.83 373.64 34.7 11.13 386.21 42.2 12.46 525.81 42.4 12.54 531.70 42.3 12.80 541.44 43.0 13.26 570.18 44.1 13.68 603.29 44.4 14.19 630.04 43.9 14.54 638.31 44.3 14.60 646.78 44.7 14.89 665.58 37.4 12.48 466.75 37.8 12.71 480.44 37.9 13.08 495.73 37.9 13.54 513.17 38.2 13.77 526.01 38.1 14.00 533.40 38.0 14.15 537.70 38.5 14.38 553.63 38.9 14.72 572.61 40.7 9.73 396.01 41.0 9.91 406.31 41.1 10.19 418.81 41.0 10.48 429.68 40.8 10.83 441.86 40.7 11.18 455.03 41.0 11.46 469.86 41.4 11.74 486.04 42.0 12.06 506.52 39.2 11.70 458.64 39.2 12.03 471.58 38.8 12.26 475.69 38.9 12.60 490.14 38.9 12.97 504.53 38.7 13.22 511.61 38.9 13.45 523.21 39.6 13.62 539.35 39.9 13.86 553.01 38.3 9.34 357.72 38.1 9.59 365.38 38.1 9.98 380.24 38.0 10.39 394.82 38.1 10.79 411.10 38.1 11.15 424.82 38.2 11.39 435.10 38.2 11.74 448.47 38.4 12.05 462.72 29.2 6.03 176.08 29.2 6.12 178.70 29.1 6.31 183.62 28.9 6.53 188.72 28.8 6.75 194.40 28.6 6.94 198.48 28.8 7.12 205.06 28.8 7.29 209.95 28.9 7.49 216.46 36.4 8.36 304.30 36.3 8.73 316.90 35.9 9.06 325.25 35.8 9.53 341.17 35.8 9.97 356.93 35.7 10.39 370.92 35.8 10.82 387.36 35.8 11.35 406.33 35.8 11.83 423.51 32.5 8.18 265.85 32.5 8.49 275.93 32.6 8.88 289.49 32.6 9.38 305.79 32.5 9.83 319.48 32.4 10.23 331.45 32.5 10.54 342.55 32.5 10.78 350.35 32.5 11.05 359.13 P riv a te s e c to r. Average weekly hours........................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)..................................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .................................... Mining: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... C o n stru ctio n : Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... M anufacturin g: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... T ra n s p o rta tio n a n d pub lic utilities: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... W h o le s a le tra de: Average weekly h ou rs...................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)............................. . Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... R e tail tra de: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... Finance , Insurance , an d real e state: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... S ervices: Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... 19. Annual data: Em ploym ent levels by industry (In thousands) Industry 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Total employment.................................................................... Private sector......................................................................... Goods-producing................................................................. Mining............................................................................. Construction .................................................................. Manufacturing................................................................. 99,344 82,651 24,533 777 4,810 18,947 101,958 84,948 24,674 717 4,958 18,999 105,210 87,824 25,125 713 5,098 19,314 107,895 90,117 25,254 692 5,171 19,391 109,419 91,115 24,905 709 5,120 19,076 108,256 89,854 23,745 689 4,650 18,406 108,604 89,959 23,231 635 4,492 18,104 110,730 91,889 23,352 610 4,668 18,075 114,034 94,917 23,913 600 5,010 18,303 Service-producing................................................................ Transportation and public utilities................................... Wholesale tra d e .............................................................. Retail trade ..................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real e sta te ............................... Services........................................................................... 74,811 5,247 5,761 17,880 6,273 22,957 77,284 5,362 5,848 18,422 6,533 24,110 80,086 5,514 6,030 19,023 6,630 25,504 82,642 5,625 6,187 19,475 6,668 26,907 84,514 5,793 6,173 19,601 6,709 27,934 84,511 5,762 6,081 19,284 6,646 28,336 85,373 5,721 5,997 19,356 6,602 29,052 87,378 5,829 5,981 19,773 6,757 30,197 90,121 6,006 6,140 20,437 6,933 31,488 Government................................................................... Federal...................................................................... State.......................................................................... L o ca l........................ ................................................ 16,693 2,899 3,893 9,901 17,010 2,943 3,967 10,100 17,386 2,971 4,076 10,339 17,779 2,988 4,182 10,609 18,304 3,085 4,305 10,914 18,402 2,966 4,355 11,081 18,645 2,969 4,408 11,267 18,841 2,915 4,488 11,438 19,118 2,870 4,562 11,685 NOTE: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis See "Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 79 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 21. Em ploym ent Cost Index, com pensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) 1993 1994 1995 Percent change Senes June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 Civilian w o r k e r s 2 ................................................................................... 118.3 119.5 120.2 121.3 122.1 123.3 123.8 124.8 125.6 0.6 2.9 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ........................................................... Professional specialty and technical................................ Executive, administrative, and managerial....................... Administrative support, including clerical ........................ Blue-collar workers.............................................................. Service occupations............................................................ 118.6 120.6 117.5 119.3 117.8 118.7 119.9 122.0 118.6 120.4 118.8 119.9 120.6 122.5 119.4 121.3 119.4 120.5 121.8 123.7 120.6 122.6 120.4 121.6 122.6 124.2 121.6 123.5 121.3 122.1 123.9 125.7 122.9 124.6 122.4 123.5 124.4 126.2 123.6 125.2 122.7 124.3 125.5 127.0 125.2 126.5 123.6 125.0 126.3 127.5 125.7 127.3 124.5 125.8 .6 .4 .4 .6 .7 .6 3.0 2.7 3.4 3.1 2.6 3.0 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing.................................................................. Manufacturing..................................................................... Service-producing................................................................. Services.............................................................................. Health services................................................................ Hospitals....................................................................... Educational services....................................................... Public administration 3 ....................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................................. 119.1 119.7 118.0 120.6 123.2 122.6 120.2 118.0 117.9 120.0 120.6 119.3 122.2 124.4 123.9 122.6 119.3 119.2 120.6 121.3 120.0 122.9 125.4 125.0 122.9 120.0 119.8 121.9 122.5 121.0 123.8 126.1 125.9 123.2 121.5 120.9 123.0 123.5 121.7 124.2 126.6 126.4 123.6 122.2 121.7 123.9 124.4 123.1 125.8 127.8 127.5 126.0 123.7 123.0 124.4 125.1 123.6 126.4 128.5 128.4 126.4 124.2 123.4 125.3 126.2 124.6 127.2 129.4 128.8 126.9 125.4 124.4 126.0 126.9 125.5 127.8 130.2 129.7 127.4 126.1 125.2 .6 .6 .7 .5 .6 .7 .4 .6 .6 2.4 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 3.1 3.2 2.9 118.0 118.5 119.1 119.5 119.8 120.2 121.0 121.4 122.0 122.3 123.0 123.4 123.5 123.9 124.5 125.0 125.4 125.7 .7 .6 2.8 2.8 P riv a te in d u s try w o r k e r s ................................................................ Excluding sales occupations............................................ Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers......................................................... Excluding sales occupations........................................ Professional specialty and technical occupations......... Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations Sales occupations........................................................... Administrative support occupations, including clerical........................................................................... 118.3 119.2 121.3 117.2 113.8 119.4 120.2 122.2 118.1 115.6 120.2 121.0 122.9 118.9 116.5 121.5 122.4 124.6 120.3 117.2 122.5 123.3 125.3 121.3 118.8 123.5 124.4 126.3 122.6 119.2 124.1 125.1 126.8 123.3 119.6 125.3 126.3 127.7 124.9 120.2 126.2 127.0 128.4 125.4 122.4 .7 .6 .5 .4 1.8 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.4 3.0 119.2 120.3 121.2 122.5 123.5 124.5 125.1 126.5 127.3 .6 3.1 Blue-collar workers........................................................... Precision production, craft, and repair occupations....... Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors........... Transportation and material moving occupations.......... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers .... 117.7 117.6 119.0 115.2 117.6 118.7 118.7 120.0 115.9 118.4 119.3 118.9 120.8 117.0 119.1 120.3 120.2 121.3 118.5 120.2 121.2 121.2 122.2 119.1 121.4 122.3 122.5 122.9 120.3 122.7 122.6 122.5 123.4 120.6 122.9 123.5 123.4 124.2 121.8 124.1 124.4 124.4 124.8 122.4 125.3 .7 .8 .5 .5 1.0 2.6 2.6 2.1 2.8 3.2 Service occupations......................................................... 118.0 118.9 119.5 120.6 121.0 121.8 122.9 123.4 124.0 .5 2.5 Production and nonsupervisory occupations4 .................. 117.9 119.0 119.7 120.7 121.6 122.6 123.1 124.1 125.0 .7 2.8 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing................................................................ Excluding sales occupations..................................... White-collar occupations.............................................. Excluding sales occupations..................................... Blue-collar occupations................................................ Service occupations..................................................... Construction..................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... White-collar occupations............................................. Excluding sales occupations.................................... Blue-collar occupations............................................... Service occupations ................................................... Durables.......................................................................... Nondurables.................................................................... 119.1 118.8 119.6 119.0 118.7 120.6 116.0 119.7 119.7 118.8 119.6 120.7 120.0 119.0 119.9 119.6 120.5 119.7 119.6 121.5 116.8 120.6 120.5 119.5 120.5 121.7 121.0 119.7 120.6 120.1 121.1 119.9 120.2 122.4 116.5 121.3 121.3 119.9 121.3 122.7 121.9 120.3 121.8 121.4 123.0 121.9 121.1 123.5 118.6 122.5 122.7 121.3 122.3 123.8 122.9 121.7 123.0 122.5 124.3 123.2 122.2 123.8 120.2 123.5 123.9 122.5 123.2 124.1 123.8 122.8 123.9 123.5 125.1 124.1 123.1 126.5 121.4 124.4 124.9 123.6 124.0 127.0 125.1 123.2 124.3 124.0 125.9 125.0 123.4 126.3 120.8 125.1 126.0 124.9 124.5 127.0 125.8 123.8 125.3 124.9 127.2 126.2 124.1 127.3 121.1 126.2 127.4 126.1 125.3 128.0 127.0 124.7 125.9 125.6 127.6 126.7 124.9 127.9 122.0 126.9 128.0 126.6 126.0 128.6 127.7 125.4 .5 .6 .3 .4 .6 .5 .7 .6 .5 .4 .6 .5 .6 .6 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.2 3.3 1.5 2.8 3.3 3.3 2.3 3.6 3.2 2.1 Service-producing .............................................................. Excluding sales occupations..................................... White-collar occupations................................................ Excluding sales occupations ...................................... Blue-collar occupations.................................................. Service occupations...................................................... Transportation and public utilities.................................... Transportation.................................................................. Public utilities.................................................................. Communications........................................................... Electric, gas, and sanitary services ............................. Wholesale and retail tra d e ............................................... Excluding sales occupations...................................... Wholesale tra d e ............................................................. Excluding sales occupations.................................... Retail tra d e .................................................................... Food stores................................................................ General merchandise stores..................................... 117.3 118.3 117.8 119.3 115.5 117.7 116.0 114.1 118.3 117.5 119.4 115.9 116.2 116.4 116.8 115.6 117.2 114.7 118.5 119.3 119.0 120.4 116.6 118.6 116.8 114.8 119.2 118.5 120.2 116.4 117.0 116.6 117.6 116.2 117.1 115.5 119.3 120.2 119.8 121.4 117.2 119.1 117.5 115.7 119.9 119.2 120.8 117.1 118.0 117.8 118.7 116.8 118.3 116.3 120.4 121.4 121.0 122.7 118.4 120.2 119.2 117.1 121.7 121.0 122.7 117.6 118.6 117.9 119.3 117.5 119.6 115.3 121.2 122.1 121.9 123.4 119.1 120.7 119.8 117.7 122.6 122.1 123.2 119.4 119.8 119.7 120.3 119.2 120.6 118.0 122.3 123.3 122.9 124.6 120.6 121.3 121.4 119.7 123.6 122.9 124.4 120.5 120.9 120.6 121.3 120.4 120.3 118.7 122.8 123.8 123.4 125.1 120.7 122.5 122.1 120.3 124.4 124.0 124.8 120.6 120.9 121.5 122.0 120.1 120.0 119.3 123.9 125.0 124.6 126.4 122.1 123.0 124.0 122.3 126.1 126.3 125.9 121.7 122.4 123.2 124.4 120.9 120.8 120.1 124.9 125.8 125.6 127.1 123.1 123.6 124.7 123.0 126.8 126.6 127.0 122.8 123.1 124.8 125.1 121.8 120.7 120.7 .8 .6 .8 .6 .8 .5 .6 .6 .6 .2 .9 .9 .6 1.3 .6 .7 -.1 .5 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 2.4 4.1 4.5 3.4 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.8 4.3 4.0 2.2 .1 2.3 See footnotes at end of table. 80 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 21. Continued— Em ploym ent Cost Index, com pensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Percent change 1995 1994 1993 Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 Finance, insurance, and real estate................................. Excluding sales occupations....................................... Banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies............................................................ Insurance ....................................................................... Services............................................................................ Business services.......................................................... Health services .............................................................. Hospitals ..................................................................... Educational services ...................................................... Colleges and universities............................................ 113.1 116.4 115.7 117.5 116.4 118.2 117.7 119.7 117.7 120.3 118.5 121.5 118.9 121.8 120.2 123.7 121.8 124.6 1.3 .7 3.5 3.6 116.0 116.1 120.9 117.4 124.0 123.4 120.6 121.5 116.9 117.4 122.3 118.1 125.0 124.5 123.8 125.0 117.8 119.7 123.1 118.6 126.0 125.6 124.1 125.3 118.7 119.9 124.4 121.3 126.7 126.7 124.5 125.7 119.4 120.5 124.9 122.1 127.1 127.1 125.4 126.0 120.8 121.5 125.9 122.4 127.9 127.7 128.2 128.5 120.5 122.3 126.6 123.0 128.7 128.6 128.4 128.8 123.5 123.5 127.5 124.5 129.7 128.9 128.8 129.3 124.1 124.6 128.2 125.3 130.3 129.7 130.3 131.3 .5 .9 .5 .6 .5 .6 1.2 1.5 3.9 3.4 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.0 3.9 4.2 Nonmanufacturing............................................................ White-collar occupations............................................. Excluding sales occupations........... ......................... Blue-collar occupations............................................... Service occupations.................................................... 117.2 117.9 119.4 115.6 117.7 118.4 119.0 120.4 116.6 118.6 119.0 119.9 121.4 117.1 119.1 120.3 121.1 122.8 118.2 120.2 121.2 122.1 123.6 119.1 120.7 122.3 123.1 124.7 120.5 121.3 122.6 123.5 125.1 120.5 122.4 123.7 124.7 126.4 121.5 123.0 124.6 125.6 127.1 122.5 123.5 .7 .7 .6 .8 .4 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.3 S ta te an d local g o v e rn m e n t w o r k e r s ...................................... 119.6 121.4 121.9 122.6 123.1 125.0 125.6 126.4 126.9 .4 3.1 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers......................................................... Professional specialty and technical............................. Executive, administrative, and managerial.................... Administrative support, including clerical....................... Blue-collar workers........................................................... 119.6 119.7 119.2 119.6 118.7 121.5 121.7 121.0 121.0 120.5 121.9 122.0 121.6 121.6 121.4 122.6 122.5 122.8 122.7 122.3 122.9 122.7 123.4 123.3 122.7 124.9 125.0 124.7 124.9 124.2 125.5 125.5 125.3 125.6 124.7 126.2 126.0 126.9 126.3 125.4 126.6 126.3 127.4 126.9 126.3 .3 .2 .4 .5 .7 3.0 2.9 3.2 2.9 2.9 Workers, by industry division: Services............................................................................ Services excluding schools5 .......................................... Health services............................................................ Hospitals.................................................................... Educational services.................................................... Schools..................................................................... Elementary and secondary .................................... Colleges and universities....................................... Public administration3 ....................................................... 120.2 120.0 120.7 120.4 120.1 120.3 120.8 118.5 118.0 122.2 121.4 122.2 122.0 122.3 122.5 123.0 120.8 119.3 122.6 121.9 123.1 123.3 122.7 122.9 123.6 120.7 120.0 123.1 122.8 124.2 123.7 122.9 123.2 123.7 121.5 121.5 123.4 123.3 125.2 124.5 123.1 123.4 123.8 122.0 122.2 125.6 124.9 127.2 127.0 125.5 125.9 126.3 124.5 123.7 126.1 125.6 127.7 127.7 126.0 126.3 126.5 125.5 124.2 126.7 126.4 128.4 128.4 126.5 126.8 127.1 126.0 125.4 127.1 127.7 129.8 129.9 126.8 127.1 127.4 126.1 126.1 .3 1.0 1.1 1.2 .2 .2 .2 .1 .6 3.0 3.6 3.7 4.3 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.2 1 Cost (cents per hour worked) measured in the Employment Cost Index consists of wages, salaries, and employer cost of employee benefits. 2 Consist of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Consist of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 4 This series has the same industry and occupational coverage as the Hourly Earnings Index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 5 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 81 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 22. Em ploym ent Cost Index, w ages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) 1993 1994 1995 Percent change Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 C ivilian w o rk e rs 1 ................................................................................... 115.2 116.4 117.1 117.8 118.6 119.8 120.4 121.3 122.2 0.7 3.0 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar w orkers........................................................... Professional specialty and technical................................ Executive, administrative, and managerial....................... Administrative support, including clerical ........................ Blue-collar workers.............................................................. Sendee occupations............................................................ 116.0 118.0 115.5 116.1 113.4 115.2 117.4 119.5 116.5 117.1 114.4 116.1 118.1 120.0 117.3 118.0 115.0 116.6 118.8 120.7 118.1 118.9 115.8 117.5 119.7 121.3 119.0 119.8 116.7 118.1 120.8 122.8 120.2 120.9 117.8 119.4 121.5 123.5 120.8 121.6 118.2 120.4 122.4 124.2 122.2 122.8 119.2 121.2 123.1 124.7 122.8 123.4 120.3 121.8 .6 .4 .5 .5 .9 .5 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.1 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing................................................................... Manufacturing..................................................................... Service-producing................................................................. Services............................................................................ Health services.............................................................. H ospitals..................................................................... Educational services ...................................................... Public administration 2 ...................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 114.6 115.5 115.5 117.8 120.3 119.5 118.0 114.9 115.1 115.4 116.3 116.8 119.5 121.4 120.7 120.4 115.9 116.4 116.2 117.3 117.5 120.0 122.2 121.7 120.7 116.6 117.0 117.0 118.0 118.2 120.9 122.8 122.4 121.0 117.9 117.7 118.0 119.0 118.9 121.3 123.4 123.0 121.3 118.5 118.5 119.0 120.0 120.2 122.8 124.4 124.0 123.8 119.9 119.7 119.6 120.8 120.7 123.5 125.4 124.9 124.3 120.6 120.2 120.5 121.9 121.7 124.4 126.1 125.5 125.0 121.9 121.1 121.4 122.9 122.5 124.8 126.6 126.0 125.1 122.3 121.9 .7 .8 .7 .3 .4 .4 .1 .3 .7 2.9 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.4 3.1 3.2 2.9 114.6 115.0 115.7 115.9 116.4 116.6 117.2 117.5 118.1 118.3 119.1 119.4 119.7 120.0 120.6 121.0 121.5 121.8 .7 .7 2.9 3.0 115.5 116.4 117.9 116.7 117.4 118.9 117.5 118.2 119.5 118.3 119.0 120.4 119.3 119.9 121.3 120.2 121.0 122.2 120.8 121.7 123.0 121.7 122.8 123.7 122.7 123.4 124.4 .8 .5 .6 2.8 2.9 2.6 115.3 111.6 116.2 113.8 117.0 114.7 117.8 114.8 118.8 116.2 120.0 116.5 120.5 116.7 121.9 116.9 122.5 119.3 .5 2.1 3.1 2.7 116.1 117.1 118.0 119.0 119.9 120.9 121.6 122.9 123.5 .5 3.0 Blue-collar w orkers........................................................ Precision production, craft, and repair occupations............................................................... Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors........ Transportation and material moving occupations....... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers...................................................................... 113.2 114.1 114.8 115.6 116.5 117.5 118.0 119.0 120.1 .9 3.1 113.2 113.8 111.2 114.2 114.7 111.7 114.7 115.6 112.6 115.5 116.2 113.5 116.5 117.2 114.0 117.8 118.0 115.2 117.9 118.8 115.6 118.8 119.6 117.0 119.9 120.9 117.8 .9 1.1 .7 2.9 3.2 3.3 114.3 114.9 115.7 116.6 117.3 117.9 118.9 120.1 121.2 .9 3.3 Service occupations....................................................... 114.1 114.9 115.3 116.3 116.8 117.6 118.8 119.4 120.0 .5 2.7 Production and nonsupervisory occupations3 ............... 114.2 115.3 115.9 116.6 117.5 118.5 119.1 119.9 121.0 .9 3.0 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing............................................................. Excluding sales occupations..................................... White-collar occupations.............................................. Excluding sales occupations..................................... Blue-collar occupations................................................ Service occupations..................................................... 114.5 114.2 116.4 115.6 113.4 114.4 115.3 114.9 117.3 116.4 114.1 115.7 116.1 115.6 118.2 116.8 114.9 116.9 116.9 116.4 119.1 117.7 115.6 116.4 118.0 117.4 120.3 118.8 116.6 117.7 118.9 118.4 121.1 119.8 117.5 120.1 119.6 119.1 122.0 120.8 118.1 119.7 120.4 119.9 123.0 121.8 118.8 120.6 121.4 120.9 123.8 122.5 119.9 121.9 .8 .8 .7 .6 .9 1.1 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.8 3.6 Construction ................................................................... 110.4 111.3 111.1 112.2 113.6 114.6 114.7 114.8 115.7 .8 1.8 Manufacturing................................................................. White-collar occupations.......................................... Excluding sales occupations.................................. Blue-collar occupations............................................ Service occupations.................................................. Durables...................................................................... Nondurables................................................................. 115.5 116.9 115.9 114.5 114.5 115.1 116.3 116.3 117.7 116.7 115.2 116.0 115.9 116.9 117.3 118.8 117.2 116.2 117.3 117.2 117.5 118.0 119.5 118.0 116.9 116.8 117.8 118.3 119.0 120.6 119.1 117.8 118.2 118.7 119.5 120.0 121.7 120.2 118.7 120.6 119.8 120.3 120.8 122.7 121.4 119.5 120.6 120.8 120.8 121.9 123.9 122.4 120.4 121.5 121.9 121.9 122.9 124.7 123.2 121.6 122.8 122.9 122.9 .8 .6 .7 1.0 1.1 .8 .8 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.9 3.5 2.8 Service-producing............................................................ Excluding sales occupations..................................... White-collar occupations.............................................. Excluding sales occupations................................... Blue-collar occupations................................................ Service occupations..................................................... 114.7 115.6 115.2 116.8 112.9 114.1 115.9 116.6 116.5 117.8 114.1 114.9 116.6 117.4 117.3 118.7 114.6 115.2 117.3 118.3 118.0 119.6 115.5 116.3 118.2 119.0 118.9 120.4 116.2 116.7 119.2 120.2 119.9 121.5 117.5 117.3 119.7 120.7 120.4 122.1 117.6 118.7 120.7 121.8 121.3 123.2 119.2 119.3 121.6 122.5 122.3 123.8 120.3 119.8 .7 .6 .8 .5 .9 .4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.5 2.7 Transportation and public utilities............................... Transportation............................................................ Public utilities.............................................................. Communications...................................................... Electric, gas, and sanitary services........................ 114.0 112.0 116.4 115.6 117.4 114.7 112.6 117.2 116.5 118.2 115.4 113.4 117.9 117.1 118.8 116.4 114.2 119.1 118.4 119.9 117.2 114.8 120.1 119.5 120.9 118.9 116.7 121.4 121.0 121.9 119.6 117.5 122.3 122.1 122.4 121.2 119.0 123.9 124.3 123.4 122.0 119.8 124.5 124.6 124.4 .7 .7 .5 .2 .8 4.1 4.4 3.7 4.3 2.9 P riv a te in d u s try w o r k e r s ............................................................. Excluding sales occupations......................................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers...................................................... Excluding sales occupations..................................... Professional specialty and technical occupations...... Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations................................................................ Sales occupations....................................................... Administrative support occupations, including clerical........................................................................ See footnotes at end of table. 82 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 22. Continued— Em ploym ent Cost Index, w ages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) Percent change 1995 1994 1993 Series June Sept. Mar. Dec. Sept. June Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 Wholesale and retail trade.......................................... Excluding sales occupations......... ........................ Wholesale tra d e ....................................................... Excluding sales occupations................................ Retail trade................................................................ Food stores............................................................ General merchandise stores.................................. 114.2 114.4 115.1 115.5 113.8 115.4 113.4 114.7 115.2 115.1 116.3 114.5 114.9 114.5 115.4 116.1 116.4 117.5 115.0 115.9 115.0 115.5 116.5 116.2 117.8 115.2 117.0 114.0 117.4 117.8 118.3 118.8 117.0 117.8 116.4 118.3 118.7 118.9 119.6 118.0 117.4 116.5 118.4 118.8 119.9 120.2 117.8 117.3 117.5 119.4 120.2 120.9 122.2 118.7 117.8 117.9 120.6 120.9 122.7 122.9 119.6 117.6 118.6 1.0 .6 1.5 .6 .8 -.2 .6 2.7 2.6 3.7 3.5 2.2 -.2 1.9 Finance, insurance, and real estate........................... Excluding sales occupations................................ Banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies....................................................... Insurance.................................................................. 109.3 113.1 112.3 114.0 112.9 114.6 113.7 115.5 113.2 116.0 113.8 117.2 114.2 117.4 115.0 119.3 117.0 120.2 1.7 .8 3.4 3.6 112.9 112.9 113.7 113.9 114.5 116.6 114.7 116.0 115.0 116.8 116.5 117.7 116.2 118.6 119.2 119.8 119.7 120.8 .4 .8 4.1 3.4 Services....................................................................... Business services...................................................... Health services.......................................................... Hospitals.................................................................. Educational services.................................................. Colleges and universities........................................ 117.6 114.6 120.7 119.9 117.4 117.7 118.9 115.3 121.7 121.0 120.7 121.3 119.6 115.7 122.6 122.0 120.9 121.6 120.8 118.8 123.1 122.8 121.2 122.0 121.3 119.4 123.5 123.3 122.2 122.2 122.2 119.9 124.3 123.9 124.9 124.5 123.0 120.4 125.4 124.8 125.1 124.9 123.9 122.1 126.2 125.4 125.6 125.5 124.4 122.9 126.7 125.9 125.9 125.9 .4 .7 .4 .4 .2 .3 2.6 2.9 2.6 2.1 3.0 3.0 Nonmanufacturing.......................................................... White-collar occupations............................................. Excluding sales occupations........... ......................... Blue-collar occupations............................................... Service occupations.................................................... 114.2 115.2 116.6 111.9 114.1 115.4 116.4 117.6 113.0 114.8 116.0 117.2 118,5 113.4 115.1 116.8 117.9 119.4 114.2 116.3 117.7 118.9 120.2 115.1 116.7 118.7 119.7 121.3 116.4 117.3 119.1 120.2 121.8 116.4 118.6 120.0 121.1 122.9 117.5 119.2 120.9 122.1 123.5 118.5 119.8 .8 .8 .5 .9 .5 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 2.7 S ta te a n d local g o v e rn m e n t w o r k e r s .................................... 117.4 119.3 119.7 120.4 120.7 122.8 123.4 124.3 124.6 .2 3.2 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers...................................................... Professional specialty and technical.......................... Executive, administrative, and managerial.................. Administrative support, including clerical.................... Blue-collar workers........................................................ 117.6 118.2 116.6 115.9 116.5 119.6 120.4 118.2 117.2 118.4 119.9 120.7 118.8 117.8 119.0 120.6 121.1 119.8 118.9 119.7 120.9 121.3 120.3 119.4 120.1 122.9 123.6 121.6 120.9 121.8 123.6 124.2 122.4 121.7 122.5 124.4 124.8 124.1 122.5 123.1 124.6 125.0 124.3 122.9 123.8 .2 .2 .2 .3 .6 3.1 3.1 3.3 2.9 3.1 Workers, by industry division: Services ......................................................................... Services excluding schools4 ....................................... Health services......................................................... Hospitals................................................................. Educational services.................................................... Schools..................................................................... Elementary and secondary .................................... Colleges and universities....................................... Public administration 2 .................................................... 118.2 118.7 118.8 118.2 118.1 118.0 118.8 115.6 114.9 120.3 120.1 120.4 119.9 120.3 120.3 121.1 117.8 115.9 120.6 120.4 121.0 120.7 120.6 120.7 121.6 117.7 116.6 121.1 121.3 121.9 121.2 120.9 121.0 121.7 118.6 117.9 121.3 121.9 122.9 122.0 121.1 121.2 121.8 119.2 118.5 123.6 123.2 124.7 124.2 123.6 123.8 124.5 121.5 119.9 124.2 124.0 125.3 125.1 124.2 124.3 124.9 122.5 120.6 124.9 125.0 126.0 125.8 124.8 125.0 125.5 123.2 121.9 125.1 125.5 126.6 126.3 124.9 125.1 125.8 122.9 122.3 .2 .4 .5 .4 .1 .1 .2 -.2 .3 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.2 1 Consists of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 2 Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 23. 3 This series has the same industry and occupational coverage as the Hourly Earnings Index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 4 Includes, for example, library, social and health services. Em ploym ent Cost Index, benefits, private industry w orkers by occupation and industry group (June 1989 = 100) 1993 1994 1995 Percent change Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 P riv a te In d u s try w o r k e r s .................................................................. 126.7 127.7 128.3 130.7 131.7 132.8 133.0 134.5 135.1 0.4 2.6 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ........................................................... Blue-collar workers.............................................................. 125.9 127.3 126.8 128.4 127.6 128.9 130.5 130.5 131.6 131.5 132.8 132.7 133.3 132.5 135.2 133.3 136.0 133.6 .6 .2 3.3 1.6 Workers, by industry group: Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 129.0 124.6 128.6 125.5 130.0 125.7 129.7 126.5 130.3 126.7 130.0 127.4 132.7 128.9 132.0 129.9 133.9 129.7 133.0 130.8 134.8 131.2 133.9 132.2 134.8 131.5 134.3 132.3 135.9 133.2 135.4 133.9 135.9 134.1 135.2 134.7 .0 .7 -.1 .6 1.5 3.4 1.7 3.0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 83 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 24. Em ploym ent Cost Index, private nonfarm w orkers, by bargaining status, region, and area size (June 1989=100) 1993 1994 1995 Percent change Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1995 C O M P E N S A TIO N W o rk e rs , b y barga ining s ta tu s 1 Union ..................................................................................... Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 119.1 120.0 117.7 121.1 117.4 120.0 121.0 118.6 121.9 118.5 120.9 121.9 119.6 123.0 119.3 121.9 122.5 121.0 123.6 120.5 123.0 123.8 121.8 124.8 121.5 123.8 124.4 122.9 125.3 122.6 124.2 124.7 123.6 125.8 123.0 125.1 125.2 124.8 126.3 124.0 125.8 125.9 125.6 126.6 125.0 0.6 .6 .6 .2 .8 2.3 1.7 3.1 1.4 2.9 Nonunion................................................................................ Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 117.7 118.6 117.2 119.0 117.2 118.8 119.4 118.4 120.0 118.3 119.5 119.9 119.2 120.6 119.0 120.7 121.5 120.3 122.0 120.2 121.7 122.6 121.1 122.9 121.1 122.7 123.6 122.2 124.0 122.2 123.2 124.1 122.7 124.8 122.5 124.3 125.2 123.8 126.1 123.6 125.2 125.9 124.8 126.9 124.5 .7 .6 .8 .6 .7 2.9 2.7 3.1 3.3 2.8 119.1 117.0 119.3 116.4 120.2 118.1 120.1 117.8 120.7 118.8 121.2 118.1 121.6 120.0 122.8 119.4 122.8 120.8 123.6 120.5 124.0 121.8 124.6 121.3 124.3 122.5 125.0 121.7 125.6 123.7 125.8 122.6 126.6 124.3 126.9 123.4 .8 .5 .9 .7 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.4 118.1 117.8 119.1 118.7 119.8 119.7 120.9 121.3 121.9 122.5 122.9 123.2 123.4 123.5 124.5 124.8 125.4 125.3 .7 .4 2.9 2.3 Union ..................................................................................... Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 113.9 113.0 115.1 113.9 113.9 114.8 113.8 116.0 114.6 114.9 115.7 114.8 116.8 115.9 115.5 116.5 115.4 118.0 116.6 116.4 117.6 116.7 118.7 117.8 117.3 118.6 117.5 120.1 118.5 118.6 119.1 117.9 120.6 119.2 119.0 119.8 118.4 121.6 119.8 119.9 120.6 119.3 122.3 120.5 120.6 .7 .8 .6 .6 .7 2.6 2.2 3.0 2.3 2.8 Nonunion................................................................................ Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 114.8 115.2 114.6 116.1 114.3 115.9 116.0 115.9 117.0 115.5 116.6 116.7 116.6 117.9 116.1 117.4 117.6 117.2 118.6 116.9 118.3 118.6 118.1 119.5 117.8 119.2 119.5 119.0 120.5 118.7 119.8 120.3 119.5 121.5 119.1 120.8 121.3 120.5 122.7 120.0 121.8 122.2 121.5 123.8 121.0 .8 .7 .8 .9 .8 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.6 2.7 115.7 114.3 114.6 113.7 116.8 115.3 115.2 115.3 117.3 116.0 116.5 115.7 117.8 116.6 117.5 116.6 118.8 117.4 118.3 117.9 120.0 118.5 119.5 118.1 120.2 119.1 120.1 119.0 121.3 120.0 120.9 119.9 122.1 120.8 122.2 120.9 .7 .7 1.1 .8 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.5 114.7 114.4 115.8 115.0 116.5 115.8 117.2 117.0 118.1 118.1 119.1 118.6 119.7 119.0 120.6 120.5 121.6 121.3 .8 .7 3.0 2.7 W o rk e rs , by re g io n 1 Northeast................................................................................ South ..................................................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central).......................................... W est....................................................................................... W o rk e rs , b y a re a size 1 Metropolitan areas................................................................. Other areas............................................................................ W A G E S A N D S A L A R IE S W o rk e rs , b y barga ining sta tu s 1 W o rk e rs , b y reg io n 1 Northeast................................................................................ South ..................................................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central).......................................... W est....................................................................................... W o rk e rs , b y a re a s iz e 1 Metropolitan areas................................................................. Other areas............................................................................ 1 The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see the 84 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w Technical Employment Cost Index,” May 1982. Note, "Estimation procedures for the 25. Percent o f full-tim e em ployees participating in em ployer-provided benefit plans, 1980-91 Small private establish ments2 Medium and large private establishments' Item Time-off plans Participants with: Paid lunch time ............................................... Average minutes per day.............................. Paid rest tim e .................................................. Average minutes per day.............................. Paid funeral leave........................................... Average days per occurrence...................... Paid holidays ................................................... Average days per year................................. Paid personal leave......................................... Average days per year................................. Paid vacations................................................. Paid sick leave................................................ Unpaid maternity leave ................................... Unpaid paternity leave .................................... Insurance plans Participants in medical care plans..................... Participants with coverage for Home health c a re ......................................... Extended care facilities................................ Mental health care........................................ Alcohol abuse treatment............................... Drug abuse treatment .................................. Participants with employee contribution required for: Self coverage ............................................... Average monthly contribution ................... Family coverage............................................ Average monthly contribution5 ................... Participants in life insurance plans.................... Participants with: Accidental death and dismemberment insurance.................................... ............. Survivor income benefits.............................. Retiree protection available.......................... Participants in long-term disability insurance plans............................................................. Participants in sickness and accident insurance plans................................... .......................... Retirement plans Participants in defined benefit pension plans*.... Participants with: Early retirement available ............................. Ad hoc pension increase in last 5 years...... Terminal earnings formula....................... Benefit coordinated with Social Security...... Participants in defined contribution plans.......... Participants in plans with tax-deferred savings arrangements ............................................... Other benefits Employees eligible for: Flexible benefits plans ................................... Reimbursement accounts............................... 1983 1980 1981 1982 75 99 10.1 20 100 62 10 75 99 10.2 23 99 65 9 25 76 25 " 99 10.0 24 3.8 99 67 _ - - _ - 97 97 96 10 - 11 25 74 25 99 9.8 25 3.7 100 67 1985 1988 1986 1989 1991 1990 1990 1987 10 27 72 26 88 3.2 98 10.1 26 3.7 99 67 10 27 72 26 88 3.2 99 10.0 25 3.7 100 70 11 29 72 26 85 3.2 96 9.4 24 3.3 98 69 10 26 71 26 84 3.3 97 9.2 22 3.1 97 68 8 30 67 26 80 3.3 92 10.2 21 3.3 96 67 8 37 48 27 47 2.9 84 9.5 11 2.8 88 47 4 17 34 58 29 56 3.7 81 10.9 38 2.7 72 97 11 36 56 29 63 3.7 74 13.6 39 2.9 67 95 ” “ ~ 33 16 37 18 37 26 17 8 57 30 51 33 97 96 95 90 92 66 70 99 70 66 76 79 98 80 74 75 80 97 97 96 9 26 73 26 99 9.8 23 3.6 99 67 83 69 93 93 58 98 - 60 99 - 62 99 50 37 81 80 98 97 96 79 83 98 97 94 76 78 98 87 86 82 79 99 99 98 26 46 - 27 49 - 44 47 51 43 36 36 27 33 - $10.13 $11.93 $12.05 $12.80 $19.29 $25.31 $26.60 64 66 69 63 58 56 54 51 - $32.51 $35.93 $38.33 $41.40 $60.07 $72.10 $96.97 42 $25.13 67 $109.34 35 $15.74 71 $71.89 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 92 94 94 64 85 88 69 72 64 72 64 72 66 74 64 73 13 62 72 10 59 76 8 49 71 7 42 71 6 44 78 1 19 67 1 55 67 1 45 40 41 43 45 47 48 48 42 45 40 19 31 27 54 50 51 49 51 52 49 46 43 45 26 14 21 84 84 84 82 82 80 76 63 63 59 20 93 90 55 98 7 56 54 48 54 95 7 58 49 31 92 90 33 100 18 9 89 88 16 100 8 9 97 - - 55 98 53 45 - 56 98 50 43 - - - ~ “ 58 97 52 45 - “ 37 58 99 53 43 64 97 51 54 55 - “ ' From 1979 to 1986, data were collected in private sector establishments with a minimum employment varying from 50 to 250 employees, depending upon industry. In addition, coverage in service industries was limited. Begin ning in 1988, data were collected in all private sector establishments employing 100 workers or more in all industries. 2 Includes private sector establishments with fewer than 100 workers. 3 In 1987, coverage excluded local governments employing fewer than 50 workers. In 1990, coverage included all State and local governments. 4 Data exclude college teachers. 5 Data for 1983 refer to the average monthly employee contribution for dependent coverage, excluding the employee. Beginning in 1984, data refer https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1984 State and local governments3 46 62 99 61 52 63 97 47 54 56 - . 56 67 99 68 61 38 $25.53 65 $117.59 67 97 41 57 61 7 53 64 98 35 57 62 7 60 59 98 26 55 62 45 62 97 22 64 63 48 26 33 36 41 44 17 28 45 2 5 5 12 9 23 10 36 1 8 5 31 “ to the average monthly employee contribution for family coverage, which includes the employee. 6 Prior to 1985, data on participation in defined benefit pension plans included a small percentage of workers participating in money purchase pension plans. Beginning in 1985, these workers were classified as participating in defined contribution plans. 7 Includes employees who participated in Payroll-based Employee Stock Ownership Plans. Beginning in 1987, these plans were no longer available. NOTE: Dash indicates data were not collected in this year. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 85 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 26. Specified com pensation and w age rate changes from contract settlem ents, and w age rate changes under all agreem ents, private industry collective bargaining agreem ents covering 1,000 w orkers or m ore (In percent) Annual average Quarterly average Measure 1993 1993 1994 1995 1994 III IV I II III IV I IP R a te c h a n g es u n d er s ettlem en ts: S p e c ifie d to ta l compensation changes, settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: First year of contract...................................... Annual average over life of contract................... 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.4 1.0 1.4 3.8 2.5 3.0 2.6 3.4 2.9 0.0 1.4 1.5 2.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 Specified wage changes, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: First year of contract........................................... Annual average over life of contract.............. 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.1 1.7 2.8 2.0 3.0 2.4 2.0 2.4 1.0 1.9 2.2 2.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 3.0 2.7 .8 .7 .4 .8 .9 .6 3 .9 1.9 .2 .6 1.9 .2 .1 .6 .0 .5 .2 (2) .1 .3 i2) .2 .6 (2) .1 .7 .1 2 .3 .1 1 .2 .0 W a g e ra te c h a n g es u n d e r all a g ree m e nts : Average wage change 1......................................... Source: Current settlements............................... Prior settlements................................... COLA provisions............................................. 1 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. 2 More than zero but less than 0.05 percent. 86 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 p = preliminary. 8 2 .5 .1 27. Specified com pensation and w age rate changes from contract settlem ents, and w age rate changes under all agreem ents, private industry collective bargaining agreem ents covering 1,000 w orkers or m ore during 4-quarter periods (In percent) _________________ _______ Average for four quarters ending- IP I IV III II I IV III 1995 1994 1993 Measure R a te c h a n g e s u n d e r settlem en ts: Specified total compensation changes, settlements covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract........................................................................... Annual average over life of contract.................................................. 2.1 2.4 3.0 2.4 3.0 2.3 3.1 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.3 1.2 1.7 Specified wage changes, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: All industries: First year of contract........................................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ....................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b o th ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ Annual average over life of contract................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ....................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b oth ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ 2.0 2.5 1.8 2.3 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.1 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.4 2.5 1.9 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.0 2.5 1.8 2.5 2.2 3.0 1.9 2.8 1.5 2.1 1.5 2.4 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.9 2.0 2.7 1.6 2.2 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.7 1.8 2.5 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 1.8 2.5 1.6 2.2 1.5 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.3 Manufacturing: First year of contract........................................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ....................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b oth ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ Annual average over life of contract................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ....................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b o th ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 3.1 2.1 1.9 2.5 1.8 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.7 2.9 1.5 1.3 2.1 1.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 1.9 2.4 2.6 1.3 1.0 1.9 1.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 1.9 2.7 2.6 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.4 2.3 2.6 3.0 1.9 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.0 1.8 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.6 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.3 Nonmanufacturing: First year of contract....................................... ................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ........................................................ Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b oth ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ Annual average over life of contract................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses ....................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses................................................... Contracts with either lump sums, COLA, or b oth ......................... Contracts with neither lump sums nor COLA................................ 1.7 2.5 1.6 2.3 1.5 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.4 1.8 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.8 2.0 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.0 2.9 1.9 2.9 1.3 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.8 1.4 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.6 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.3 1.6 2.2 1.5 2.3 1.4 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.3 Construction: First year of contract........................................................................ Annual average over life of contract................................................ 2.0 2.4 2.1 2.6 2.4 2.7 1.7 2.5 1.8 2.6 1.8 2.5 1.5 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.6 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 .9 1.7 .2 .8 1.9 .2 .6 1.9 .2 .5 1.9 .3 .5 1.8 .3 W a g e ra te ch a n g e s u n d e r all a g ree m e n ts : Average wage change2 ......................................................................... Source: Current settlements............................................................................. Prior settlements............................................................. .................... COLA provisions.................................................................................. .6 1.8 .3 .9 1.9 .2 .9 1.8 .2 1.9 (1) (1) 1.7 2.2 2.0 0 (1) 1.7 2.3 1.7 (') (1) 1.5 1.8 2.2 0 0 1.9 2.3 1 Data do not meet publication standards. 2 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 87 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 28. Specified changes in the cost o f com pensation and com ponents annualized o ver the life o f the contract in private industry collective bargaining settlem ents covering 5,000 w orkers or m ore, by quarter, and during 4-quarter periods (In percent) 1993 Measure III 1994 IV I II 1995 III IV I II 1.2 1.5 1.5 .6 1.1 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 Quarterly average All industries: Compensation................................................................ Cash payments................................................................ W ages......................................................................................... Benefits.............................................................................. 0.9 .8 .7 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.4 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.4 2.7 0.8 .9 .9 .5 Average for four quarters All industries: Compensation...................................................................... Cash payments........................................................................ W ages.................................................................................... Benefits.................................................................... With contingent pay provisions: Compensation................................................................ Cash payments................................................................... W ages....................................................................... Benefits....................................................................... Without contingent pay provisions: Compensation............................................................ Cash payments.................................................................. W ages............................................................................ Benefits................................................................................. 88 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.3 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.3 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.4 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.1 .8 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.6 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.7 3.0 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.8 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.6 1.3 1.1 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 .8 Manufacturing: Compensation................................................................................... Cash payments................................................................... W ages................................................................................ Benefits................................................................... 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.2 .8 1.1 1.6 1.1 .7 .9 1.5 1.3 .9 1.1 1.9 1.5 1.0 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 Nonmanufacturing: Compensation................................................................. Cash payments............................................................................ W ages.............................................................................................. Benefits...................................................................................... 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.6 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.1 .8 Goods-producing: Compensation.................................................................. Cash payments...................................................................... W ages............................................................................................. Benefits................................................................................... 1.6 1.4 1.5 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 Service-producing: Compensation................................................................................. Cash payments........................................................... W ages..................................................................... Benefits................................................................................ 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.5 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.5 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.6 2.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.7 .8 1.0 1.0 .4 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 29. Specified com pensation and w age rate changes from contract settlem ents, and w age rate changes under all agreem ents, State and local governm ent collective bargaining agreem ents covering 1,000 w orkers o r m ore (in percent)___________________ Annual average Measure 1992 1993 1994 0.6 1.9 0.9 1.8 2.8 3.1 1.1 2.1 1.1 2.1 2.7 3.0 1.9 2.8 3.3 .8 1.1 (4) 1.6 1.1 <4) 1.4 1.9 (4) Changes under settlements: Total compensation ' changes,2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: Wage changes, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: Wage changes under all agreements: Source: ' Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers’ cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Changes are the net result of increases, decreases, and zero change in compensation or wages. 3 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. * Less than 0.05 percent. 30. W ork stoppages involving 1,000 w orkers or more 1993 1994 Number of stoppages: Days idle: Percent of estimated working time1 .......................................... Sept. Aug. July JuneP MayP Apr.P 45 45 4 9 5 11 7 14 4 9 1 6 0 4 1 4 1 4 4 7 2 1 2 3 18.2 322.2 14.3 58.6 32.0 8.0 2.6 .0 37.7 3.0 17.6 32.0 14.0 2.0 18.4 322.2 33.1 88.2 59.4 32.7 26.8 17.2 52.9 18.2 32.8 56.9 28.2 13.0 3,981.0 5,020.5 436.1 678.5 638.5 505.9 420.8 342.2 368.5 306.8 367.8 529.7 336.2 262.0 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .02 .01 1 Agricultural and government employees are included in the total employed and total working time: private household, forestry, and fishery employees are excluded. An explanation of the measurement of idleness as a percentage of the total time https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Feb.P Jan.p Dec. Nov. Oct. Mar.P 35 36 Workers involved: Beginning in period (in In effect during period (in 1995 1994 Annual totals Measure worked is found in “ Total economy' measure of strike idleness,” view, October 1968, pp. 54-56. p = preliminary. Monthly Labor Review M o n th ly L a b o r R e September 1995 89 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 31. Consum er Price Indexes fo r All Urban Consum ers and fo r Urban W age Earners and Clerical W orkers: U.S. city average, by expenditure categ ory and com m odity o r service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual Series 1994 1995 * July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 148.2 444.0 148.4 444.4 149.0 446.4 149.4 447.5 149.5 448.0 149.7 448.6 149.7 448.4 150.3 450.3 150.9 452.0 151.4 453.5 151.9 455.0 152.2 455.8 152.5 456.7 152.5 457.0 141.6 140.9 140.1 156.6 135.5 129.4 159.0 130.5 133.4 130.0 114.6 143.7 143.2 149.6 144.9 144.3 144.1 163.0 137.2 131.7 165.0 135.6 135.2 133.5 123.2 147.5 145.7 151.5 144.8 144.2 144.0 163.9 136.7 131.8 164.4 135.7 135.2 135.1 122.8 147.6 145.6 151.6 145.3 144.8 144.7 164.7 137.1 131.8 162.8 138.9 135.1 134.1 131.3 148.4 145.9 151.3 145.6 145.0 145.0 164.8 137.3 131.3 163.2 139.4 135.4 134.2 132.1 148.8 146.2 151.4 145.6 145.0 144.8 164.6 136.8 131.5 162.9 139.5 135.6 135.0 132.7 148.5 146.4 151.6 145.9 145.3 145.1 163.7 136.9 131.7 165.7 139.0 134.5 134.3 132.4 148.1 146.8 151.9 147.2 146.8 147.3 164.2 136.4 131.6 180.3 138.8 134.5 134.2 131.7 148.1 147.1 151.8 147.9 147.5 148.2 164.6 137.3 132.7 180.4 140.3 135.5 136.4 133.3 149.4 147.4 152.0 147.8 147.4 147.9 165.8 137.6 132.1 177.1 140.6 135.8 136.8 133.7 149.7 147.6 152.4 147.9 147.4 147.6 165.3 138.4 132.2 174.0 140.7 136.4 136.8 132.9 150.5 148.1 153.1 148.9 148.4 149.2 166.9 137.7 132.1 183.1 140.9 136.7 137.2 132.9 150.6 148.3 153.6 148.7 148.3 148.7 166.6 137.3 132.8 181.0 140.8 137.3 137.1 131.7 151.3 148.6 153.9 148.4 147.9 148.1 167.5 137.1 132.2 177.5 140.6 137.3 136.4 131.5 151.2 148.8 154.0 148.6 148.1 148.2 168.2 137.3 132.9 176.7 140.7 138.1 138.0 130.8 151.4 149.1 153.8 Housing...................................................................................... S helter.............................................................................. Renters’ costs (12/82=100)................................................... Rent, residential..................................................................... Other renters’ c o s ts ............................................................... Homeowners’ costs (12/82=100)........................................... Owners’ equivalent rent (1 2/8 2=1 0 0 ).................................. Household insurance (12/82—100)...................................... Maintenance and repairs.......................................................... Maintenance and repair services.......................................... Maintenance and repair commodities.................................... Fuel and other utilities................................................................. Fuels ......................................................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ............................................... Gas (piped) and electricity..................................................... Other utilities and public services............................................ Household furnishings and operations....................................... Housefurnishings...................................................................... Housekeeping supplies............................................................. Housekeeping services............................................................. 141.2 155.7 165.0 150.3 190.3 160.2 160.5 146.9 130.6 135.0 124.6 121.3 111.2 90.3 118.5 147.0 119.3 109.5 130.7 135.8 144.8 160.5 169.4 154.0 196.3 165.5 165.8 152.3 130.8 134.5 125.8 122.8 111.7 88.8 119.2 150.2 121.0 111.0 132.3 138.5 145.4 160.8 171.0 153.9 203.2 165.3 165.5 153.2 131.3 135.4 125.9 124.3 114.1 87.1 122.3 150.4 121.5 111.8 132.2 138.6 145.9 161.7 172.1 154.5 205.9 166.1 166.4 154.0 131.2 135.4 125.6 124.3 114.0 86.8 122.2 150.6 121.4 111.5 132.2 138.9 145.8 161.6 169.4 155.0 193.5 167.1 167.3 154.3 131.6 135.8 126.0 124.2 113.8 86.8 122.1 150.3 121.4 111.2 132.6 139.3 145.7 162.0 169.8 155.2 194.0 167.5 167.8 154.5 130.8 135.9 123.8 122.4 110.8 87.0 118.5 150.4 121.4 110.9 133.7 139.4 145.5 162.1 168.9 155.6 189.2 167.9 168.2 155.0 131.2 136.4 124.3 121.8 109.9 87.7 117.3 150.5 121.1 110.8 132.6 139.1 145.4 161.8 168.2 155.7 186.2 167.8 168.1 155.4 132.7 137.0 126.8 122.0 110.1 88.4 117.4 150.6 120.8 110.3 132.9 139.1 146.4 162.9 170.7 156.1 195.0 168.4 168.7 155.9 133.1 137.3 127.5 122.9 110.7 89.4 118.0 152.1 121.8 110.5 133.8 142.4 147.0 163.8 172.9 156.4 202.9 168.9 169.1 156.1 133.8 137.9 128.2 122.6 110.4 89.6 117.6 151.8 122.4 111.1 134.6 142.8 147.4 164.5 174.6 156.7 208.7 169.2 169.5 157.1 134.2 138.8 128.2 122.3 109.8 89.0 117.1 151.9 122.6 111.2 135.7 142.9 147.4 164.7 174.1 157.0 206.0 169.6 169.9 157.2 134.2 139.0 127.6 122.1 109.3 88.4 116.6 152.2 122.6 111.2 135.9 142.9 147.6 164.8 173.7 157.2 203.4 170.0 170.3 157.4 134.6 139.4 128.1 122.5 109.8 88.3 117.2 152.3 122.7 111.0 136.4 143.3 148.5 165.5 174.7 157.5 206.6 170.6 170.9 158.1 135.0 139.4 129.0 125.0 113.8 87.9 121.9 152.7 122.5 110.7 136.4 143.1 149.2 166.4 176.7 157.9 213.5 171.2 171.4 158.3 135.1 139.8 128.7 125.1 113.7 87.1 121.9 153.0 123.0 111.1 137.4 143.6 Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Apparel commodities................................................................... Men’s and boys’ apparel.......................................................... Women’s and girls’ apparel..................................................... Infants’ and toddlers’ apparel................................................... Footwear................................................................................... Other apparel commodities...................................................... Apparel services.......................................................................... 133.7 131.0 127.5 132.6 127.1 125.9 145.6 151.7 133.4 130.4 126.4 130.9 128.1 126.0 149.5 155.4 130.9 127.6 124.9 125.7 129.2 125.0 150.6 155.7 131.1 127.8 125.7 125.5 128.6 124.5 152.4 155.9 134.2 131.2 128.4 131.1 129.5 125.1 152.3 156.3 135.2 132.3 128.9 133.4 128.6 125.5 151.4 156.4 134.2 131.1 129.2 130.5 131.2 125.7 150.8 156.3 130.5 127.2 125.3 125.7 131.3 123.6 146.5 156.4 129.4 126.0 124.0 123.0 129.0 124.0 150.1 157.0 131.1 127.7 125.6 125.9 126.8 124.8 150.4 157.3 134.4 131.3 127.2 131.5 127.1 125.9 155.0 157.6 134.8 131.7 127.0 132.2 127.1 127.2 154.4 157.7 133.4 130.2 127.9 129.6 123.6 126.6 150.3 157.7 130.5 127.1 125.5 124.4 121.6 124.6 153.6 156.9 128.3 124.8 123.4 121.1 123.0 123.3 151.8 157.2 Transportation ................................................................................ Private transportation.................................................................. New vehicles............................................................................. New cars................................................................................. Used c a rs .................................................................................. Motor fuel .................................................................................. Gasoline................................................................................. Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation..................................................... Other private transportation commodities............................. Other private transportation services.................................... Public transportation................................................................... 130.4 127.5 132.7 131.5 133.9 98.0 97.7 145.9 156.8 103.4 169.1 167.0 134.3 131.4 137.6 136.0 141.7 98.5 98.2 150.2 162.1 103.5 175.8 172.0 134.6 131.8 137.4 135.8 142.6 100.5 100.4 150.0 161.5 103.3 175.1 171.4 135.9 133.0 137.3 135.6 144.0 104.1 104.1 150.7 162.0 103.3 175.7 173.2 135.9 133.1 137.5 135.7 145.4 103.7 103.6 151.2 162.1 103.2 175.8 171.7 136.1 133.6 138.4 136.6 147.7 101.8 101.7 151.7 164.1 103.1 178.4 168.4 137.1 134.8 139.4 137.7 150.1 102.7 102.6 151.8 166.2 104.0 180.7 167.2 137.1 134.9 140.1 138.5 151.5 100.4 100.2 151.9 167.6 104.3 182.4 165.6 137.3 134.9 140.6 139.0 152.4 98.7 98.4 152.0 168.8 104.2 184.0 168.4 137.5 135.0 140.7 139.1 153.3 98.0 97.7 152.5 169.4 104.6 184.6 169.9 138.0 135.2 140.7 139.0 154.8 97.5 97.2 152.7 170.2 104.6 185.6 174.5 139.1 136.2 141.1 139.3 156.7 99.5 99.3 153.2 170.9 104.5 186.5 176.7 140.3 137.5 141.1 139.3 157.7 104.2 104.2 153.8 170.5 104.7 185.9 176.7 141.1 137.9 141.0 139.1 158.3 106.1 106.3 153.6 169.9 104.6 185.2 182.5 140.1 136.9 140.3 138.3 157.5 103.6 103.7 154.0 169.6 104.8 184.8 181.8 Medical c a re .............................................................................. Medical care commodities.......................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Professional services................................................................ Hospital and related services................................................... 201.4 195.0 202.9 184.7 231.9 211.0 200.7 213.4 192.5 245.6 211.5 201.3 213.8 193.0 246.1 212.2 201.7 214.7 193.5 247.3 212.8 201.7 215.4 194.0 248.1 214.0 202.2 216.8 195.1 249.8 214.7 202.7 217.5 195.5 250.6 215.3 202.9 218.2 196.0 251.3 216.6 203.1 219.8 197.2 253.2 217.9 203.5 221.3 198.5 254.7 218.4 203.7 221.8 199.1 254.7 218.9 203.6 222.4 199.5 255.3 219.3 203.4 223.0 200.2 255.6 219.8 203.8 223.5 200.8 255.9 220.8 204.4 224.6 201.6 257.6 Entertainment................................................................................. Entertainment commodities........................................................ Entertainment services................................................................ 145.8 133.4 160.8 150.1 136.1 166.8 150.2 136.5 166.7 150.2 136.5 166.6 150.7 137.0 167.1 151.0 136.9 167.7 151.6 137.3 168.6 151.2 136.8 168.3 152.1 137.5 169.4 152.5 137.4 170.2 152.6 137.3 170.7 153.3 138.1 171.3 153.6 138.1 171.8 153.2 138.1 171.2 153.6 138.5 171.4 Other goods and services ............................................................. Tobacco products....................................................................... Personal care............................................................................... Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services............................................................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies...................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................... 192.9 228.4 141.5 139.0 144.0 210.7 197.6 211.9 198.5 220.0 144.6 141.5 147.9 223.2 205.5 224.8 198.0 221.3 145.0 141.9 148.3 221.6 205.1 223.0 199.4 221.7 145.0 141.9 148.3 223.9 205.8 225.5 201.4 220.8 145.1 141.8 148.7 228.0 208.4 229.7 201.9 221.3 145.3 142.0 148.7 228.8 207.7 230.6 202.3 221.4 145.7 142.3 149.2 229.2 207.7 231.1 202.4 222.0 145.8 142.6 149.2 229.2 207.4 231.1 203.0 222.2 145.7 142.2 149.4 230.2 211.9 231.8 204.1 222.7 146.2 142.6 150.1 232.0 212.5 233.6 204.0 222.5 146.0 142.2 150.2 232.0 212.6 233.6 204.3 223.0 146.3 142.2 150.7 232.1 212.7 233.8 204.9 225.3 146.6 142.9 150.6 232.3 212.2 234.0 205.3 226.4 146.7 142.8 151.0 232.5 212.7 234.2 205.7 226.2 146.9 142.7 151.4 233.3 212.9 235.1 1993 1994 144.5 432.7 Food and beverages..................................................................... Food............................................................................................. Food at hom e ........................................................................... Cereals and bakery products................................................. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs................................................ Dairy products........................................................................ Fruits and vegetables............................................................. Other foods at home.............................................................. Sugar and sweets................................................................ Fats and o ils ........................................................................ Nonalcoholic beverages...................................................... Other prepared foods.......................................................... Food away from home ............................................................ Alcoholic beverages.................................................................... C O N S U M E R PR IC E IN D E X FO R A L L U R B A N C O NS UM ER S: All ite m s.................................................................................... All items (1967-100) ..................................................................... S ee footnotes at end of table. 90 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 31. Continued— Consum er Price Indexes fo r All Urban Consum ers and fo r Urban W age Earners and Clerical W orkers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and com m odity or service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Series 1995 1994 Annual average July Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 149.4 134.8 145.6 128.1 130.3 131.2 132.8 125.1 149.5 134.9 145.6 128.3 130.2 132.3 132.2 125.7 149.7 135.2 145.9 128.6 130.1 131.1 132.5 126.5 149.7 135.1 147.2 127.6 128.1 127.2 131.5 126.9 150.3 135.1 147.9 127.4 127.5 126.0 131.2 127.2 150.9 135.4 147.8 127.9 128.1 127.7 131.3 127.6 151.4 135.9 147.9 128.6 129.2 131.3 131.1 127.7 151.9 136.6 148.9 129.2 129.9 131.7 132.0 128.1 152.2 136.9 148.7 129.7 130.8 130.2 134.2 128.1 152.5 136.6 148.4 129.4 130.4 127.1 135.1 128.0 152.5 136.2 148.6 128.5 129.1 124.8 134.3 127.8 164.2 168.2 138.0 168.9 214.7 185.8 164.4 168.2 137.9 168.8 215.4 187.8 164.6 168.6 136.3 169.5 216.8 188.5 164.7 168.6 135.8 170.5 217.5 189.0 164.7 168.3 135.9 171.1 218.2 188.9 165.9 169.4 137.2 172.6 219.8 189.7 166.7 170.4 137.0 173.4 221.3 190.9 167.3 171.2 136.9 175.0 221.8 191.1 167.5 171.3 136.7 176.1 222.4 191.4 167.7 171.5 137.1 175.9 223.0 191.7 168.6 172.2 139.5 176.8 223.5 191.5 169.2 173.2 139.7 176.5 224.6 192.1 149.1 144.9 149.8 144.8 127.8 129.4 132.4 136.6 171.0 158.7 106.8 154.0 156.4 136.8 99.2 167.7 149.8 145.5 150.4 145.5 128.4 130.4 133’.7 137.4 171.7 159.4 108.5 154.6 157.0 136.8 102.4 168.5 150.2 146.0 150.6 145.8 129.0 131.4 133.7 138.1 172.2 159.6 108.2 155.0 157.5 137.7 102.0 168.8 150.4 146.1 150.7 145.9 129.3 131.4 133.2 138.1 172.2 159.7 105.8 155.5 158.0 138.3 100.4 169.3 150.6 146.3 150.9 146.1 129.5 131.2 133.5 138.2 172.4 159.8 105.7 155.7 158.2 138.4 101.2 169.6 150.2 146.3 150.8 146.0 128.5 129.5 132.6 137.8 172.7 159.7 104.7 155.7 157.9 137.6 99.2 169.6 150.8 146.8 151.5 146.6 128.3 128.9 132.4 137.8 174.0 160.9 104.2 156.5 158.7 137.7 97.9 170.8 151.5 147.2 152.1 147.1 128.8 129.5 132.5 138.1 174.7 161.6 103.7 157.2 159.6 138.4 97.2 171.7 152.1 147.7 152.7 147.6 129.5 130.5 132.4 138.7 175.1 162.2 103.2 157.8 160.4 139.4 96.7 172.4 152.5 148.3 153.2 148.1 130.1 131.3 133.3 139.6 175.5 162.4 103.9 158.3 160.7 139.7 98.4 172.7 152.9 148.6 153.4 148.4 130.6. 132.1 135.2 139.9 175.8 162.6 106.3 158.3 160.8 139.6 102.6 172.9 153.3 148.8 153.7 148.7 130.4 131.7 136.0 139.6 176.9 163.5 109.3 158.3 160.9 138.9 104.3 173.4 153.4 148.6 153.7 148.7 129.5 130.5 135.3 139.0 177.3 164.1 108.1 158.5 161.1 138.3 101.9 174.1 67.5 22.5 67.4 22.5 67.1 22.4 66.9 22.3 66.9 22.3 66.8 22.3 66.8 22.3 66.5 22.2 66.3 22.1 66.0 22.0 65.8 22.0 65.7 21.9 65.6 21.9 65.6 21.9 142.1 423.1 145.6 433.8 145.8 434.3 146.5 436.4 146.9 437.5 147.0 437.8 147.3 438.6 147.2 438.6 147.8 440.2 148.3 441.7 148.7 443.0 149.3 444.6 149.6 445.6 149.9 446.5 149.9 446.5 141.2 140.5 139.6 156.3 135.4 129.1 158.2 130.4 133.1 129.9 115.1 143.5 143.1 149.3 144.4 143.9 143.4 162.7 137.0 131.5 164.2 135.3 135.2 133.5 122.9 147.2 145.5 151.0 144.4 143.8 143.4 163.6 136.4 131.6 163.8 135.4 135.1 135.1 122.4 147.4 145.5 151.1 144.9 144.4 144.1 164.4 136.9 131.6 162.3 138.3 135.1 134.0 130.2 148.1 145.8 150.7 145.1 144.6 144.4 164.6 137.2 131.0 162.6 138.8 135.4 134.2 130.9 148.5 146.1 150.9 145.1 144.6 144.1 164.3 136.6 131.2 162.0 139.0 135.7 135.0 131.5 148.2 146.3 151.1 145.3 144.8 144.3 163.5 136.7 131.4 164.5 138.5 134.5 134.1 131.1 147.8 146.7 151.3 146.6 146.2 146.3 163.9 136.0 131.4 178.8 138.3 134.4 134.1 130.6 148.0 147.0 151.4 147.2 146.9 147.2 164.3 137.1 132.4 178.8 139.7 135.5 136.3 132.2 149.1 147.3 151.6 147.3 146.9 147.1 165.6 137.4 131.8 175.8 140.2 135.8 136.7 132.9 149.5 147.5 152.0 147.3 146.8 146.8 165.1 138.1 131.9 172.7 140.3 136.4 136.7 132.2 150.2 147.9 152.7 148.3 147.9 148.2 166.7 137.3 131.8 182.1 140.4 136.6 137.1 132.1 150.3 148.2 153.2 148.1 147.7 147.8 166.3 136.9 132.5 179.8 140.4 137.3 136.9 131.0 151.0 148.5 153.4 147.8 147.4 147.2 167.3 136.6 131.9 176.7 140.2 137.3 136.3 130.7 151.0 148.7 153.4 148.0 147.6 147.4 167.9 137.0 132.5 176.1 140.3 138.0 137.9 130.0 151.1 149.0 153.1 138.5 151.6 144.7 150.0 190.2 146.1 146.3 134.4 130.9 138.6 120.7 121.1 110.7 90.2 118.0 147.7 118.0 108.3 131.1 137.4 142.0 156.2 148.5 153.7 196.6 150.9 151.1 139.7 130.8 138.1 121.1 122.5 111.1 88.7 118.7 150.8 119.7 109.6 132.5 140.6 142.5 156.4 149.5 153.6 204.2 150.7 150.9 140.5 131.4 139.1 121.1 124.0 113.6 87.0 121.7 150.9 120.1 110.3 132.5 140.6 143.0 157.2 150.3 154.2 206.7 151.5 151.7 141.4 131.3 139.1 120.9 124.0 113.5 86.6 121.6 151.1 120.0 110.1 132.5 140.9 143.0 157.4 148.9 154.7 194.1 152.3 152.6 141.7 131.8 139.4 121.6 123.9 113.3 86.7 121.5 150.9 120.0 109.8 132.9 141.5 142.8 157.7 149.2 154.9 194.4 152.8 153.0 141.9 131.0 139.5 120.0 122.0 110.2 86.9 117.8 150.9 120.1 109.5 133.9 141.7 142.7 157.9 148.8 155.4 189.6 153.1 153.3 142.4 131.4 140.0 120.2 121.5 109.3 87.6 116.7 150.9 119.E 109.5 133.0 141.4 142.7 157.7 148.5 155.4 187.2 153.1 153.3 142.9 132.4 140.3 121.9 121.6 109.5 88.3 116.8 151.1 119.7 109.1 133.3 141.5 143.5 158.6 149.9 155.7 195.3 153.6 153.8 143.2 132.8 140.5 122.5 122.5 110.1 89.3 117.4 152.4 120.5 109.2 134.1 145.6 144.0 159.3 151.3 156.1 202.9 154.0 154.2 143.4 133.2 140.8 123.0 122.2 109.7 89.5 116.9 152.2 121.2 109.9 134.8 146.0 144.3 159.9 152.3 156.4 208.5 154.3 154.5 144.2 133.7 141.7 123.1 121.9 109.1 88.9 116.3 152.3 121.4 109.9 135.9 146.1 144.4 160.1 152.1 156.7 205.8 154.7 154.9 144.5 133.7 141.9 122.9 121.6 108.4 88.3 115.6 152.7 121.4 109.9 136.2 145.9 144.6 160.3 152.0 156.9 203.8 155.1 155.3 144.6 134.1 142.3 123.2 122.0 109.1 88.2 116.3 152.8 121.5 109.8 136.6 146.2 145.5 160.9 152.6 157.2 206.2 155.6 155.8 145.2 134.4 142.4 123.8 124.6 113.1 87.8 121.1 153.2 121.3 109.5 136.7 146.1 146.1 161.7 153.9 157.5 213.7 156.1 156.3 145.4 134.7 142.9 124.0 124.6 113.1 87.0 121.2 153.4 121.8 109.9 137.6 146.6 July Aug. 148.2 133.8 144.9 126.9 128.4 130.4 130.3 124.8 148.4 133.7 144.8 126.8 128.1 127.6 131.3 125.1 149.0 134.3 145.3 127.5 129.2 127.8 132.8 125.1 157.9 162.0 134.2 162.9 202.9 177.0 163.1 167.0 136.3 168.6 213.4 185.4 163.4 167.3 137.9 168.1 213.8 184.7 Special indexes: All items less fo o d ...................................................................... All items less shelter................................................................... All items less homeowners’ costs (12/82—100)........................ All items less medical ca re ......................................................... Commodities less fo o d ................................................................ Nondurables less food ........................ ....................................... Nondurables less food and apparel ........................................... Nondurables................................................................................. Services less rent o f shelter (12/82=100)............................... Services less medical ca re ......................................................... Energy.......................................................................... ............... All items less energy................................................................... All items less food and energy................................................... Commodities less food and energy............................................ Energy commodities................................................................... Services less energy.................................................................... 145.1 141.4 146.0 141.2 126.3 129.3 130.7 135.1 164.8 153.6 104.2 150.0 152.2 135.2 97.3 161.9 149.0 144.8 149.5 144.7 127.9 129.7 131.6 136.8 170.7 158.4 104.6 154.1 156.5 137.1 97.6 167.6 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982-84—$1.00........................................................................... 1967 -$ 1.00 ................................................................................. 69.2 23.1 1993 1994 Food and beverages.................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages....................................... Nondurables less food and beverages .................................... Apparel commodities.............................................................. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .................. Durables.................................................................................... 144.5 131.5 141.6 125.3 128.1 131.0 129.6 121.3 Rent of shelter (12/8 2=1 0 0 )...................................................... Household services less rent o f shelter (12/82=100)............. Transportation services............................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Other services............................................................................. Sept. June C O N S U M E R P R IC E IN D E X FO R U R B A N W A G E E A R N E R S A N D C L E R IC A L W O R KE RS: All items (1967-100) ...................................................................... Food and beverages ..................................................................... Food at hom e ........................................................................... Cereals and bakery products................................................. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs................................................ Dairy products........................................................................ Fruits and vegetables............................................................. Other foods at home.............................................................. Sugar and sweets................................................................ Fats and o ils ........................................................................ Nonalcoholic beverages...................................................... Other prepared foods.......................................................... Food away from home ............................................................. Alcoholic beverages.................................................................... Housing .......................................................................................... Shelter ......................................................................................... Renters’ costs (12/84 = 100)................................................... Rent, residential..................................................................... Other renters’ costs ............................................................... Homeowners' costs (12/84 = 100)........................................... Owners’ equivalent rent (12/84 = 1 00).................................. Household insurance (12/84 = 100)...................................... Maintenance and repairs.......................................................... Maintenance and repair services .......................................... Maintenance and repair commodities.................................... Fuel and other utilities................................................................ Fuels ........................................................................................ Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s .............................................. Gas (piped) and electricity.................................................... Other utilities and public services........................................... Housekeeping services............................................................ See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 91 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 31. Continued— Consum er Price Indexes fo r Ail Urban Consum ers and fo r Urban W age Earners and Clerical W orkers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and com m odity or service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual average Series 1994 1995 1993 1994 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Apparel and upkeep.............................................. Apparel commodities.................................................. Men’s and boys’ apparel................................................ Women’s and girls’ apparel............................ Infants’ and toddlers’ apparel....................... Footwear..................................................... Other apparel commodities........................................... Apparel services.................................................. 132.4 129.Î 126.Î 130.^ 128.9 126.5 145.4 151.2 132.2 129.4 125.8 129.2 129.3 126.9 148.7 154.9 129.8 126.7 124.6 124.2 130.8 125.8 148.3 155.1 130.2 127.2 125.3 124.5 129.9 125.3 151.5 155.4 133.1 130.2 127.8 129.4 131.1 126.0 151.3 155.9 133.9 131.1 128.1 131.7 130.3 126.3 149.9 156.0 133.0 130.1 128.4 129.1 133.2 126.1 149.1 155.8 129.3 126.1 124.5 124.0 132.9 124.2 144.1 155.9 128.3 125.0 123.5 121.2 130.3 124.4 149.1 156.5 130.0 126.8 125.2 124.3 127.0 125.3 149.7 156.8 133.2 130.3 126.7 129.8 127.4 126.8 154.6 157.1 133.6 130.7 126.5 130.6 127.7 127.9 153.5 157.2 132.1 129.1 127.8 128.1 123.9 127.4 146.9 157.1 129.6 126.4 125.6 123.2 122.4 125.5 151.5 156.5 127.4 124.0 123.1 120.0 123.5 124.2 149.3 156.8 Transportation ..................................................... Private transportation.............................................. New vehicles............................................... New ca rs............................................ Used c a rs ............................................................ Motor fuel ........................................................... Gasoline.......................................................... Maintenance and repair.............................................. Other private transportation........................................ Other private transportation commodities............................. Other private transportation services.................................... Public transportation....................................................... 129.4 127.4 133.3 131.2 134.6 97.9 97.6 146.5 152.9 102.8 165.0 163.0 133.4 131.4 138.3 135.7 142.4 98.4 98.2 150.9 157.9 102.8 171.5 167.7 133.9 132.0 138.3 135.6 143.3 100.5 100.4 150.8 157.5 102.6 171.0 167.1 135.2 133.3 138.2 135.3 144.7 104.2 104.3 151.4 157.8 102.6 171.5 168.7 135.3 133.5 138.4 135.4 146.1 103.7 103.7 151.9 158.0 102.4 171.8 167.6 135.6 133.9 139.2 136.3 148.4 101.7 101.5 152.4 160.0 102.4 174.3 164.8 136.7 135.1 140.1 137.3 150.8 102.6 102.5 152.5 162.0 103.2 176.6 163.8 136.7 135.2 140.9 138.1 152.1 100.2 100.0 152.6 163.4 103.5 178.4 162.5 136.9 135.2 141.2 138.6 153.0 98.5 98.3 152.7 164.7 103.4 180.0 164.8 137.1 135.4 141.4 138.7 154.0 97.8 97.5 153.3 165.4 103.8 180.9 166.5 137.6 135.7 141.5 138.7 155.5 97.3 97.0 153.5 166.3 103.8 181.9 170.1 138.7 136.8 141.9 139.0 157.4 99.5 99.3 154.0 166.9 103.7 182.8 172.3 140.1 138.3 141.9 138.9 158.4 104.2 104.3 154.6 166.5 103.9 182.2 172.5 140.8 138.7 141.8 138.7 159.1 106.2 106.4 154.5 166.0 103.8 181.6 177.2 139.8 137.7 141.3 138.1 158.4 103.5 103.6 154.9 165.6 104.0 181.1 176.6 Medical c a re ................................................................ Medical care commodities ................................. Medical care services........................................... Professional services ............................................... Hospital and related services ............................... 200.9 193.2 202.7 185.2 229.2 210.4 198.6 213.0 193.4 242.7 210.8 199.0 213.4 193.9 243.2 211.5 199.5 214.2 194.4 244.4 212.0 199.3 214.9 194.9 245.2 213.4 199.9 216.4 196.0 246.9 214.0 200.6 217.1 196.5 247.7 214.6 200.8 217.7 196.9 248.5 215.9 200.9 219.3 198.1 250.5 217.3 201.3 220.9 199.4 252.1 217.7 201.5 221.4 200.0 252.2 218.2 201.3 222.0 200.5 252.8 218.7 201.0 222.6 201.2 253.1 219.2 201.5 223.2 201.9 253.4 220.2 202.2 224.3 202.7 255.0 Entertainment........................................................... Entertainment commodities ................................ Entertainment services............................................... 144.1 132.9 160.5 148.2 135.5 166.7 148.4 136.0 166.5 148.3 135.9 166.5 148.6 136.0 167.0 149.0 136.2 167.5 149.6 136.6 168.5 149.2 136.1 168.3 150.1 136.8 169.2 150.4 136.8 170.1 150.6 136.7 170.6 151.3 137.5 171.2 151.5 137.5 171.8 151.2 137.4 171.2 151.5 137.7 171.4 Other goods and services ...................................... Tobacco products...................................................... Personal care..................................................... Toilet goods and personal care appliances....................... Personal care services.............................................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies................................. Personal and educational services.......................................... 192.2 228.3 141.6 139.6 143.9 206.9 199.2 207.8 196.4 220.1 144.8 142.2 147.9 219.2 207.1 220.4 196.3 221.4 145.1 142.5 148.2 217.9 206.9 219.0 197.5 222.1 145.2 142.6 148.2 220.2 207.5 221.5 198.9 221.1 145.4 142.6 148.6 223.6 209.8 225.0 199.4 221.6 145.5 142.8 148.6 224.4 208.8 225.9 199.8 221.7 145.9 143.1 149.1 224.9 208.8 226.5 200.0 222.2 146.1 143.5 149.2 224.9 208.5 226.5 200.5 222.4 146.0 143.1 149.5 226.0 213.4 227.2 201.5 222.9 146.4 143.4 150.1 227.5 213.4 228.9 201.4 222.6 146.1 142.9 150.2 227.7 213.6 229.0 201.7 223.1 146.5 143.1 150.7 227.8 213.7 229.2 202.5 225.4 146.8 143.7 150.6 228.0 213.2 229.5 203.0 226.5 146.8 143.5 150.9 228.4 213.6 229.8 203.3 226.3 146.9 143.3 151.3 229.2 213.8 230.6 All item s........................................................ Commodities................................................ Food and beverages................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages...................................... Nondurables less food and beverages ................. Apparel commodities.................................... Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel ............ Durables........................................................ 142.1 131.2 141.2 125.0 127.7 129.8 129.7 120.1 145.6 133.4 144.4 126.6 127.9 129.4 130.1 123.8 145.8 133.4 144.4 126.7 127.8 126.7 131.2 124.2 146.5 134.1 144.9 127.5 129.1 127.2 133.0 124.3 146.9 134.6 145.1 128.1 129.9 130.2 132.8 124.4 147.0 134.7 145.1 128.2 129.7 131.1 132.0 125.1 147.3 135.0 145.3 128.6 129.7 130.1 132.4 126.0 147.2 134.8 146.6 127.6 127.7 126.1 131.3 126.5 147.8 134.9 147.2 127.4 127.0 125.0 130.9 126.8 148.3 135.3 147.3 127.9 127.6 126.8 130.8 127.2 148.7 135.7 147.3 128.6 128.5 130.3 130.6 127.5 149.3 136.5 148.3 129.3 129.4 130.7 131.7 128.0 149.6 136.9 148.1 130.0 130.5 129.1 134.2 128.1 149.9 136.7 147.8 129.9 130.3 126.4 135.2 128.1 149.9 136.2 148.0 128.9 128.9 124.0 134.2 127.9 Services............................................................ Rent of shelter (12/8 4=1 0 0 )............................... Household services less rent of shelter (12/84=100)....... Transportation services................................ Medical care services........................................ Other services .............................................. 155.5 145.8 123.5 160.0 202.7 174.1 160.6 150.3 125.4 165.7 213.0 182.4 160.9 150.5 126.8 165.2 213.4 181.8 161.6 151.3 126.9 165.9 214.2 182.9 161.9 151.4 126.9 166.0 214.9 184.7 162.1 151.8 125.2 167.2 216.4 185.3 162.3 151.9 124.7 168.4 217.1 185.9 162.4 151.7 124.9 169.2 217.7 185.9 163.4 152.5 126.1 170.6 219.3 186.6 164.1 153.3 125.8 171.5 220.9 187.7 164.6 153.8 125.6 172.8 221.4 188.0 164.8 154.0 125.4 173.8 222.0 188.3 165.1 154.2 125.9 173.6 222.6 188.6 166.0 154.8 128.2 174.0 223.2 188.5 166.5 155.5 128.3 173.7 224.3 189.0 Special indexes: All items less food ............................................ All items less shelter ...................................... All items less homeowners’ costs (12/84=100)............ All items less medical care................................... Commodities less fo o d ............................... Nondurables less food ............................... Nondurables less food and apparel .............. Nondurables........................................... Services less rent of shelter (12/8 4=1 0 0 )................... Services less medical c a re .......................... Energy...................................................... All items less energy ............................ All items less food and energy .................................... Commodities less food and energy..................... Energy commodities ..................................... Services less energy....................................... 142.3 139.7 133.9 139.2 125.9 128.9 130.7 134.7 147.0 151.4 103.6 147.5 149.3 134.3 97.5 159.7 145.9 143.0 137.0 142.6 127.6 129.2 131.2 136.4 152.1 156.1 104.1 151.5 153.5 136.2 97.8 165.3 146.1 143.1 137.3 142.7 127.7 129.1 132.2 136.4 152.5 156.4 106.3 151.4 153.4 135.9 99.6 165.3 146.8 143.8 137.9 143.4 128.4 130.3 133.7 137.3 153.0 157.1 108.2 151.9 153.9 136.1 102.9 166.0 147.2 144.2 138.1 143.8 128.9 131.1 133.6 137.8 153.5 157.3 107.8 152.4 154.4 136.9 102.4 166.4 147.4 144.3 138.2 143.8 129.1 130.9 133.0 137.7 153.4 157.4 105.3 152.9 155.0 137.5 100.6 167.0 147.7 144.6 138.4 144.1 129.4 130.8 133.3 137.8 153.7 157.6 105.3 153.2 155.3 137.7 101.5 167.4 147.4 144.6 138.4 144.0 128.5 129.0 132.4 137.4 154.0 157.6 104.2 153.3 155.1 137.1 99.4 167.5 147.9 145.0 139.0 144.6 128.3 128.4 132.0 137.4 155.2 158.6 103.6 154.0 155.8 137.1 98.0 168.5 148.5 145.5 139.4 145.0 128.8 129.0 132.0 137.7 155.8 159.3 103.1 154.6 156.6 137.9 97.3 169.3 149.0 145.9 139.9 145.5 129.5 129.9 131.9 138.2 156.1 159.7 102.5 155.2 157.3 138.8 96.8 169.9 149.5 146.5 140.4 146.0 130.2 130.7 132.9 139.1 156.4 160.0 103.3 155.7 157.7 139.3 98.7 170.3 149.9 146.9 140.7 146.3 130.9 131.8 135.1 139.6 156.7 160.2 106.0 155.7 157.8 139.1 103.1 170.5 150.3 147.1 141.0 146.6 130.8 131.6 136.0 139 4 157.7 161.1 109.0 155.7 157.9 138.6 104.8 170.9 150.3 146.8 140.9 146.6 129.9 130 3 135.1 138 8 157 9 161.5 107.6 155.8 158 0 138.1 102.3 171.5 70.4 23.6 68.7 23.1 68.6 23.0 68.3 22.9 68.1 22.9 68.0 22.8 67.9 22.8 67.9 22.8 67.7 22.7 67.4 22.6 67.2 22.6 67.0 22.5 66.8 22.4 66.7 22.4 66.7 22.4 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982-84=$1.00.................................... 1967 = $1.00...................................... 92 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 32. Consum er Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all items (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Urban Wage Earners All Urban Consumers Area1 Pricing schedule2 Size A - More than 1 200 000 ............................. Size B - 360,000 to 1 200 000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 360 000 ................................ Size D - Nonmetropolitan (less Size A - More than 1 200 000 ......................... Size B - 450,000 to 1 200 000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 450 000 ................................ Size D - Nonmetropolitan (less Size A - More than 1 250 000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 330 000 ................................ Size classes: A (1 2 /8 6 -1 0 0 ).................... B .................................... c ......................... D ...................................... Apr. May June July July Mar. Apr. May June July M 148.0 148.4 151.4 151.9 152.2 152.5 152.5 145.4 145.8 148.7 149.3 149.6 149.9 149.9 M 154.8 155.2 158.0 158.3 158.5 158.9 159.2 152.3 152.7 155.5 155.8 156.1 156.4 156.6 M 155.4 155.7 158.7 159.0 159.2 159.6 159.8 151.9 152.2 155.1 155.4 155.7 156.1 156.1 156.5 157.5 151.4 152.3 153.9 154.2 154.3 154.5 155.3 M 153.5 154.3 155.9 156.3 156.4 M M 153.2 144.0 152.9 144.3 156.6 147.3 157.0 148.1 157.1 148.3 157.2 148.7 157.8 148.8 154.6 140.9 154.4 141.3 158.1 144.2 158.6 145.0 158.8 145.2 158.9 145.6 159.2 145.5 M 145.1 145.4 148.5 149.0 149.0 149.5 149.5 141.4 141.6 144.7 145.3 145.2 145.7 145.6 144.1 M 143.0 143.6 146.1 146.9 147.3 147.7 148.0 139.5 140.1 142.6 143.4 143.9 144.2 M 144.7 145.0 148.3 149.5 150.0 149.9 149.6 142.2 142.6 145.6 146.9 147.5 147.4 147.1 M M 139.8 144.7 140.2 145.0 142.7 148.0 143.9 148.4 144.6 148.8 145.4 149.1 146.0 149.2 138.4 143.2 138.9 143.6 141.0 146.5 142.2 147.0 142.9 147.4 143.7 147.8 144.2 147.8 M 145.3 145.3 148.0 148.3 148.7 148.8 148.8 143.4 143.6 146.1 146.4 147.1 147.2 147.2 146.9 147.4 147.4 147.8 147.9 M 146.6 147.1 150.4 150.9 150.8 151.3 151.5 143.2 143.7 M 143.5 143.8 146.6 147.3 147.6 148.5 148.4 143.3 143.7 146.5 147.3 147.8 148.6 148.5 M M 142.5 148.9 142.7 149.5 146.6 152.8 147.1 153.2 148.0 153.5 147.8 153.6 148.1 153.5 142.7 146.1 142.9 146.7 146.7 149.8 147.3 150.3 148.2 150.6 148.1 150.7 148.3 150.5 M 150.4 150.9 153.6 154.0 154.2 154.1 154.0 146.0 146.5 149.1 149.6 149.7 149.8 149.5 M 148.6 150.0 155.2 155.9 156.4 156.6 156.7 146.4 147.7 152.2 152.8 153.8 153.8 153.7 M M M M 134.3 147.5 146.4 143.4 134.6 148.1 146.8 143.8 137.2 151.1 150.2 147.1 137.5 151.6 151.0 147.7 137.7 151.8 151.4 148.5 137.9 152.1 151.8 148.9 137.9 152.6 151.8 149.1 133.3 145.0 145.6 142.8 133.6 145.5 146.1 143.2 136.2 148.5 149.3 146.3 136.6 148.9 150.2 147.0 136.8 149.1 150.7 147.9 137.0 149.4 151.1 148.2 136.9 149.7 150.9 148.4 M 148.1 148.3 152.6 153.1 153.0 153.5 153.6 143.6 143.7 147.8 148.3 148.2 148.5 148.7 M 151.3 151.7 154.6 154.7 155.1 154.8 154.5 146.1 146.5 149.3 149.5 149.8 149.7 149.3 161.4 157.8 161.8 157.8 162.2 158.4 162.3 158.9 154.2 154.2 154.4 154.9 157.1 157.5 157.5 157.4 158.0 157.4 158.4 158.1 158.3 158.5 151.5 151.3 151.7 151.5 145.7 146.6 148.9 149.4 149.0 149.6 149.3 151.5 157.8 148.1 148.3 145.6 156.1 _ 149.1 156.9 139.7 146.6 143.9 152.4 _ 149.4 156.5 139.9 146.8 144.2 152.3 - 150.5 156.6 140.3 146.5 145.2 153.5 - 144.5 143.6 137.6 142.6 M M 157.8 154.6 158.2 155.3 160.9 158.0 M 148.1 148.9 151.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 nallas-Ft Worth, T X .............. Mar. June S e le c te d local areas Chicago, IL-Northwestern IN ... Los Angeles-Long July June R e gio n an d a re a s ize3 Size A - More than 1 200 000 ............................. Size B - 500,000 to 1 200 000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 500 000 ................................ 1995 1994 1995 1994 2 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 141.4 144.8 137.4 144.0 148.2 153.9 143.7 143.4 141.9 151.8 150.3 158.4 147.3 148.7 144.5 155.1 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 145.0 148.1 138.0 148.9 150.4 157.7 147.4 148.6 144.6 154.7 — - - - 144.4 148.3 139.9 149.2 - 140.6 140.2 137.0 137.8 147.3 152.9 136.3 141.4 141.4 149.4 - - - 144.4 143.7 139.5 143.0 - J __________ 1 Area definitions are those established by the Office of Manage ment and Budget in 1983, except for Boston-Lawrence-Salem, MA-NH, Area (excludes Monroe County); and Milwaukee, Wl, Area (includes only the Milwaukee MSA). Definitions do not include revisions made since 1983. Excludes farms and the military. 2 Foods, fuels, and several other items priced every month in all areas; most other goods and services priced as indicated:. M - Every month. 1 - January, March, May, July, September, and November. 2 - February, April, June, August, October, and December. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Regions are defined as the four Census regions. - Data not available. NOTE: Local area CPI indexes are byproducts of the national CPI program. Because each local index is a small subset of the national in dex, it has a smaller sample size and is, therefore, subject to substan tially more sampling and other measurement error than the national in dex. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the na tional index, although their long-term trends are quite similar. Therefore, the Bureau of Labor Statistics strongly urges users to consider adopting the national average CPI for use in escalator clauses. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 93 Current Labor Statistics: 33. Price Data Annual data: Consum er Price Index, U.S. city average, all item s and m ajor groups (1982-84=100) Series 94 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 109.6 1.9 113.6 3.6 118.3 4.1 124.0 4.8 130.7 5.4 136.2 4.2 140.3 3.0 144.5 3.0 148.2 2.6 109.1 3.3 113.5 4.0 118.2 4.1 124.9 5.7 132.1 5.8 136.8 3.6 138.7 1.4 141.6 2.1 144.9 2.3 110.9 3.0 114.2 3.0 118.5 3.8 123.0 3.8 128.5 4.5 133.6 4.0 137.5 2.9 141.2 2.7 144.8 2.5 105.9 .9 110.6 4.4 115.4 4.3 118.6 2.8 124.1 4.6 128.7 3.7 131.9 2.5 133.7 1.4 133.4 -.2 102.3 -3.9 105.4 3.0 108.7 3.1 114.1 5.0 120.5 5.6 123.8 2.7 126.5 2.2 130.4 3.1 134.3 3.0 122.0 7.5 130.1 6.6 138.6 6.5 149.3 7.7 162.8 9.0 177.0 8.7 190.1 7.4 201.4 5.9 211.0 4.8 Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All items: Index............................................................... Percent change.............................................. Food and beverages: Index.................................................................... Percent change............................................................. Housing: Index.................................................... Percent change..................................................... Apparel and upkeep: Index................................................................. Percent change.............................................................. Transportation: Index.......................................................... Percent change............................................ Medical care: Index............................................................. Percent change...................................................... Entertainment: Index.................................................................... Percent change............................................................ Other goods and services: Index................................................................... Percent change....................................................... 111.6 3.4 115.3 3.3 120.3 4.3 126.5 5.2 132.4 4.7 138.4 4.5 142.3 2.8 145.8 2.5 150.1 2.9 121.4 6.0 128.5 5.8 137.0 6.6 147.7 7.8 159.0 7.7 171.6 7.9 183.3 6.8 192.9 5.2 198.5 2.9 Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: All items: Index................................................................ Percent change.............................................................. 108.6 1.6 •112.5 3.6 117.0 4.0 122.6 4.8 129.0 5.2 134.3 4.1 138.2 2.9 142.1 2.8 145.6 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 2.5 34. Producer Price Indexes, by stage o f processing (1982=100) 1995 1994 Annual average G ro uping 1993 1994 Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Finished consumer goods ........................ Finished consumer foods....................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods ...................................................... Nondurable goods less food ............... Durable g o o d s..................................... Capital equipment..................................... 124.7 125.7 125.7 125.5 126.8 126.8 126.5 126.6 126.6 125.6 126.3 126.3 125.8 126.1 126.1 126.1 126.9 126.9 126.2 128.6 128.6 126.6 127.9 127.9 126.9 128.4 128.4 127.1 128.7 128.7 127.6 128.5 128.5 128.0 127.9 127.9 128.2 127.4 127.4 128.3 128.5 128.5 121.7 117.6 128.0 78.0 121.6 116.2 130.9 77.0 123.4 118.7 131.0 81.4 122.2 117.8 129.2 79.6 122.0 116.3 132.1 77.1 122.3 116.7 132.1 77.7 121.8 115.9 132.2 75.9 122.4 116.7 132.6 76.6 122.6 116.9 132.7 76.6 122.9 117.3 132.4 76.8 123.8 118.7 132.4 78.8 124.7 120.0 132.4 80.4 125.2 120.8 132.3 81.5 124.8 120.2 132.1 80.0 In te rm e d ia te m aterials, sup plies, and c o m p o n e n ts .......................................................... 116.2 118.5 119.5 120.1 120.0 120.9 121.1 122.5 123.4 124.0 124.7 125.3 125.9 126.0 Materials and components for manufacturing .......................................... Materials for food manufacturing........... Materials for nondurable manufacturing . Materials for durable manufacturing...... Components for manufacturing.............. 118.9 115.6 115.5 119.1 123.0 122.1 118.5 119.2 125.2 124.3 122.5 117.8 119.7 126.0 124.3 123.7 118.5 122.3 127.4 124.5 124.5 116.8 124.3 128.5 124.6 125.5 118.0 125.4 130.6 124.8 126.2 117.5 126.7 131.8 124.9 128.1 117.8 129.7 134.6 125.7 129.3 118.4 132.1 136.1 126.0 129.9 119.0 133.2 136.6 126.1 130.6 117.1 135.7 136.8 126.2 130.8 116.5 136.5 136.5 126.3 131.0 117.2 137.4 136.1 126.3 131.5 119.3 137.8 136.4 126.5 Materials and components for construction.............................................. Processed fuels and lubricants................. Containers.................................................. Supplies...................................................... 84.6 123.8 135.8 125.0 83.0 127.1 137.1 127.0 87.3 127.3 137.2 126.9 86.5 128.3 136.4 127.2 83.0 129.2 137.8 127.5 83.4 130.2 137.8 127.9 82.2 130.9 138.1 128.4 82.2 132.6 138.7 129.5 82.4 133.8 139.0 130.0 82.6 134.4 139.2 130.6 83.9 135.2 139.4 131.2 85.6 135.5 139.7 131.3 87.7 135.7 139.8 131.8 86.3 136.1 140.0 132.5 102.4 108.4 76.7 101.8 106.5 72.1 101.9 101.8 75.6 99.7 101.3 71.3 98.2 98.9 70.2 99.1 100.4 69.3 100.5 101.6 69.9 101.5 102.2 69.8 102.6 104.1 69.6 102.3 103.2 69.1 103.9 101.9 72.9 103.5 99.5 74.1 103.4 102.2 71.6 101.9 104.7 67.7 124.4 78.0 132.9 133.5 135.8 125.1 77.0 134.2 134.2 137.1 126.4 81.4 134.2 134.1 137.2 125.3 79.6 133.6 133.6 136.4 125.6 77.1 134.5 134.4 137.8 125.8 77.7 134.7 134.7 137.8 125.5 75.9 135.4 135.5 138.1 126.2 76.6 135.7 135.6 138.7 126.4 76.6 136.0 136.0 139.0 126.6 76.8 136.2 136.3 139.2 127.3 78.8 136.3 136.3 139.4 128.0 80.4 136.3 136.3 139.7 128.4 81.5 136.3 136.2 139.8 128.1 80.0 136.7 136.7 140.0 Finished g o o d s .................................................... C ru d e m a te ria ls fo r fu rth e r p ro ce ssin g ... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs ....................... Crude nonfood materials......................... Sept. S p ecia l groupings: Finished goods, excluding fo o d s.............. Finished energy goods.............................. Finished goods less energy...................... Finished consumer goods less energy..... Finished goods less food and energy...... Finished consumer goods less food and energy ............................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy............................................... Intermediate materials less foods and fe e d s ........................................................ Intermediate foods and fe e d s................... Intermediate energy goods....................... Intermediate goods less energy ............... Intermediate materials less foods and energy...................................................... Crude energy materials............................. Crude materials less energy...................... Crude nonfood materials less energy....... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 138.5 139.0 139.0 138.2 139.6 139.7 140.0 140.5 140.8 141.1 141.3 141.7 141.8 142.0 146.1 144.4 144.4 144.6 144.7 144.8 145.2 145.9 146.4 147.1 147.4 148.2 148.5 149.0 116.4 112.7 84.6 123.2 118.7 114.8 83.0 126.3 119.8 113.6 87.3 126.5 120.4 113.9 86.5 127.5 120.4 112.2 83.0 128.2 121.3 112.1 83.4 129.1 121.6 111.5 82.2 129.7 123.0 111.8 82.2 131.4 124.0 111.8 82.4 132.5 124.5 112.6 82.6 133.1 125.4 111.7 83.9 133.8 126.0 110.7 85.6 134.0 126.6 111.6 87.7 134.3 126.7 113.5 86.3 134.8 123.8 127.1 127.3 128.3 129.2 130.2 130.9 132.6 133.8 134.4 135.2 135.5 135.7 136.1 76.7 116.3 140.2 72.1 119.3 156.2 75.6 116.4 157.9 71.3 116.4 159.2 70.2 114.6 159.3 69.3 117.0 164.1 69.9 119.1 168.4 69.8 121.0 174.1 69.6 123.2 177.0 69.1 123.1 179.1 72.9 122.6 180.7 74.1 120.6 179.8 71.6 122.7 180.4 67.7 123.6 176.7 Monthly Labor Review September 1995 95 Current Labor Statistics: 35. Price Data Producer price indexes fo r the net output o f m ajor industry groups (December 1984=100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual 1993 Printing, publishing, and allied industries................................................... Chemicals and allied products.................... Petroleum refining and related products.... Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products Leather and leather products ..................... Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products .. Primary metal industries............................. Fabricated metal products, except machinery and transportation equipment................................................. Machinery, except electrical........................ Electrical and electronic machinery, equipment, and supplies.......................... Transportation equipment........................... Measuring and controlling instruments; photographic, medical, optical goods; watches, clocks........................................ Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (1 2 /8 5 -1 0 0 )............................................ 1994 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 72.1 101.9 88.4 68.7 71.2 102.3 91.3 66.9 70.7 103.7 93.7 65.7 73.5 105.0 94.4 69.4 May June July 76.4 69.7 93.3 76.2 73.3 81.4 93.2 71.1 75.0 84.4 92.7 73.3 72.4 87.6 94.3 69.2 71.0 88.3 95.0 67.1 70.5 91.1 94.9 66.2 14 118.8 120.5 120.4 120.5 120.7 120.8 120.9 122.4 123.3 123.6 20 21 22 119.1 118.7 218.0 113.6 120.7 120.1 187.8 113.6 121.5 120.1 187.7 113.8 121.1 119.9 187.9 113.8 121.5 119.6 187.6 113.9 121.9 119.6 188.1 114.2 121.7 119.4 187.9 114.3 122.6 120.2 188.1 114.7 123.1 120.8 188.7 115.5 123.4 121.1 190.6 115.7 23 119.2 119.7 119.7 119.7 119.8 119.7 119.8 120.0 120.3 120.6 120.6 24 25 26 148.3 125.4 120.2 154.4 129.7 123.7 153.3 130.1 123.3 154.1 130.3 125.5 153.9 130.5 128.2 155.9 130.9 130.4 155.5 131.0 132.8 155.7 131.5 136.0 155.0 132.0 139.1 155.5 132.1 141.4 155.0 132.5 143.7 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 145.6 127.2 77.6 115.4 129.0 115.4 111.4 149.7 130.0 74.8 117.1 130.6 119.6 117.0 149.6 130.3 82.5 117.0 130.6 120.4 117.5 150.3 132.0 79.5 117.9 131.3 120.7 118.7 150.8 133.6 76.2 118.8 131.7 121.1 119.7 151.7 134.4 77.8 119.5 132.1 121.4 121.7 152.4 136.1 73.5 120.1 132.5 121.6 122.9 154.7 138.4 74.3 121.3 133.3 122.4 126.6 155.6 140.6 74.6 121.8 133.7 123.1 128.2 156.4 141.4 75.3 122.5 133.8 123.8 129.1 157.0 143.3 80.6 123.1 134.1 124.6 129.4 157.4 145.0 84.4 123.2 134.4 124.8 129.1 34 118.2 120.3 120.6 120.8 121.2 121.6 121.8 122.6 123.6 124.1 124.6 124.7 124.9 125.1 35 116.8 117.5 117.6 117.7 117.7 117.7 117.8 118.3 118.6 118.7 119.0 119.0 119.3 119.3 36 37 112.0 126.3 112.7 130.1 112.7 130.1 112.6 128.2 112.6 131.5 112.6 131.2 112.7 131.6 113.1 132.2 113.3 132.2 113.1 132.0 113.1 132.0 113.4 131.8 113.2 131.9 113.2 131.7 38 120.8 122.1 122.2 122.0 122.3 122.6 122.6 122.9 123.4 123.4 123.7 123.6 124.1 124.6 39 121.5 123.3 123.5 123.6 123.6 123.8 124.0 125.0 125.3 125.4 125.5 125.6 125.8 126.1 42 43 44 45 46 119.8 99.7 105.6 96.6 101.9 119.8 100.0 108.5 102.6 102.2 119.8 100.1 109.0 102.9 102.3 119.8 100.3 108.5 103.0 102.7 119.8 102.9 108.3 103.7 102.7 119.8 101.4 108.1 106.5 102.9 119.8 101.6 107.9 107.0 103.1 132.1 102.6 108.1 110.9 104.2 132.1 102.8 109.6 110.9 104.4 132.1 102.6 110.1 110.9 104.6 132.1 101.9 110.1 110.9 104.5 132.1 102.2 113.6 110.9 104.4 132.1 102.6 114.2 110.7 104.7 132.3 103.5 115.6 110.7 T o ta l m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s tr ie s ...................... Food and kindred products........................ Tobacco manufactures............................... Textile mill products.................................... Apparel and other finished products made from fabrics and similar materials.................................................... Lumber and wood products, except furniture..................................................... Furniture and fixtures.................................. Paper and allied products.......................... 1995 10 12 13 T o ta l m ining In d u s tr ie s ...................................... Metal mining................................................ Coal mining (12/85=100).......................... Oil and gas extraction (1 2/8 5=1 0 0 )......... Mining and quarrying of nonmetallic minerals, except fu e ls .............................. 1994 * SIC In d u stry 72.0 94.2 92.0 68.6 74.3 99.1 92.1 71.2 72.6 99.4 91.0 69.1 70.0 103.4 91.0 65.2 123.1 123.1 123.3 123.7 124.0 120.2 190.8 116.0 124.5 120.2 195.3 116.6 124.5 120.4 195.3 116.5 124.4 121.4 195.1 116.7 120.5 120.4 120.5 154.6 132.9 145.6 153.1 133.4 148.2 154.1 133.4 149.6 157.9 144.2 83.1 124.1 134.2 124.5 128.9 159.4 144.7 78.6 124.2 134.2 124.5 128.7 S e rv ic e industries: Motor freight transportation and warehousing (06/93=100) ............ U.S. Postal Service (06/8 9=1 0 0 ).............. Water transportation (12/9 2=1 0 0 )............ Transportation by air (12/92=100) ........... Pipelines, except natural gas (12/86=100) - Data not available. 96 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 36. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes, by stage o f processing (1982 = 100) Index 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 103.2 107.3 63.0 110.6 105.4 109.5 61.8 113.3 108.0 112.6 59.8 117.0 113.6 118.7 65.7 122.1 119.2 124.4 75.0 126.6 121.7 124.1 78.1 131.1 123.2 123.3 77.8 134.2 124.7 125.7 78.0 135.8 125.5 126.8 77.0 137.1 99.1 102.2 72.6 104.9 101.5 105.3 73.0 107.8 107.1 113.2 70.9 115.2 112.0 118.1 76.1 120.2 114.5 118.7 85.5 120.9 114.4 118.1 85.1 121.4 114.7 117.9 84.3 122.0 116.2 118.9 84.6 123.8 118.5 122.1 83.0 127.1 87.7 93.2 71.8 103.1 93.7 96.2 75.0 115.7 96.0 106.1 67.7 133.0 103.1 111.2 75.9 137.9 108.9 113.1 85.9 136.3 101.2 105.5 80.4 128.2 100.4 105.1 78.8 128.4 102.4 108.4 76.7 140.2 101.8 106.5 72.1 156.2 Finished goods: T o ta l.................................................................... Foods ............................................................... Energy.............................................................. O the r................................................................ In te rm e d ia te m aterials, supplies, and com p o n en ts: T o ta l.................................................................... Foods ............................................................... Energy.............................................................. O the r................................................................ C ru d e m a terials fo r fu rth e r processing: T o ta l.................................................................... Foods ............................................................... Energy.............................................................. O the r................................................................ 37. U.S. expo rt price indexes by Standard International T rade Classification (1990=100, unless otherwise indicated) C a te g o ry Fo o d an d live a n im a ls ................................................................................................. Meat and meat preparations..................................................................... Cereals and cereal preparations............................................................... Vegetables, fruit, and nuts, prepared fresh or d ry .................................... C ru d e m a terials, inedible , e x c e p t f u e l s .............................................................. Hides, skins, and furskins, ra w .................................................................. Oilseeds and oleaginous fru its .................................................................. Crude rubber (including synthetic and reclaimed) .................................... Cork and w o o d .......................................................................................... Pulp and waste paper................................................................................ Textile fibers and their waste ................................................................... Crude fertilizers and crude minerals......................................................... Metalliferous ores and metal s cra p .......................................................... SITC Rev. 3 1995 1994 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 0 01 04 05 102.6 105.9 93.7 117.5 102.4 107.7 96.1 109.6 103.9 108.8 99.6 106.6 105.2 112.4 100.8 109.2 106.7 109.0 103.9 113.3 105.7 109.3 102.8 109.9 106.6 108.7 104.6 109.2 108.2 112.4 103.1 116.8 111.3 113.5 106.8 122.5 112.4 113.0 110.2 122.2 113.7 115.0 113.9 117.2 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 109.4 101.0 96.0 100.8 149.9 110.5 102.1 95.8 98.7 108.9 103.9 96.2 99.3 149.1 105.0 101.8 96.2 100.2 108.9 107.2 87.4 102.0 149.0 108.6 100.2 95.4 104.3 112.7 109.9 89.5 104.5 151.0 118.5 103.8 96.4 108.9 116.8 110.4 91.9 104.7 151.5 126.8 110.5 96.4 116.5 120.4 111.2 91.9 109.6 154.6 135.5 116.2 97.5 119.9 124.3 110.7 92.0 115.4 157.9 145.9 122.7 97.2 124.4 127.4 109.6 93.7 115.9 157.3 156.0 132.5 98.4 124.9 131.0 108.6 96.3 120.7 159.5 168.3 130.7 98.2 130.2 131.1 107.3 95.0 119.0 158.2 167.0 131.4 99.3 134.1 131.9 103.5 96.7 117.7 157.0 172.8 133.9 98.2 133.5 Coal, coke, and briquettes........................................................................ Petroleum, petroleum products, and related materials................................................................................................ 3 32 91.0 93.1 87.6 93.3 87.5 93.6 88.2 93.9 89.3 94.1 89.3 94.0 89.4 94.7 88.9 94.7 90.8 96.4 92.6 96.5 93.2 97.7 33 87.0 81.1 80.6 81.1 82.8 82.8 82.4 81.9 83.9 86.9 87.2 A n im al an d v e g e ta b le oils, fa ts , an d w a x e s ..................................................... 4 109.0 116.2 118.1 119.1 132.1 134.7 124.2 122.0 116.1 113.9 114.8 C h em ica ls an d re la te d pro d u cts , n.e.s................................................................. 5 54 55 57 58 59 101.5 107.9 109.4 113.8 100.2 108.9 103.8 107.9 109.7 121.5 101.4 109.0 106.6 107.6 109.5 129.5 104.6 109.2 108.1 107.5 109.7 132.5 104.2 109.7 109.2 107.5 109.4 134.0 104.8 110.9 112.4 107.5 109.7 137.0 105.7 113.1 113.8 107.7 110.1 138.6 106.0 114.7 115.4 108.3 110.4 141.9 106.5 113.3 116.7 108.3 110.7 144.6 108.4 114.7 117.4 108.4 110.5 143.9 109.4 114.9 116.7 109.5 110.2 141.4 109.6 115.1 6 62 106.1 109.3 106.6 110.2 108.0 110.7 109.3 110.3 110.9 110.5 112.1 111.6 113.1 112.6 113.9 115.8 115.1 114.7 116.3 116.0 115.8 116.3 64 66 68 100.3 107.4 97.6 101.8 107.6 98.7 105.9 107.6 102.5 108.2 107.4 107.1 111.0 108.6 111.4 115.6 108.6 113.8 117.1 108.5 116.1 118.5 109.3 115.2 123.8 109.3 115.4 128.1 109.1 115.8 127.4 109.2 113.5 7 71 72 103.8 113.5 109.3 103.7 113.7 109.9 103.7 113.6 109.9 103.8 114.5 109.9 103.7 114.6 109.9 104.0 115.1 110.6 104.1 115.3 111.1 104.2 114.5 111.6 104.5 114.9 112.1 104.5 115.0 112.2 104.7 114.9 112.6 74 75 110.3 78.8 110.5 78.8 110.5 78.5 110.5 78.4 110.5 78.1 111.2 77.6 111.8 77.2 111.8 76.9 111.9 77.1 112.0 76.7 111.2 76.5 76 77 78 107.3 103.1 106.5 106.8 101.8 106.6 106.7 101.9 107.2 106.7 101.7 107.2 106.4 101.5 107.3 107.1 101.8 107.4 107.1 101.5 107.7 106.4 102.2 107.8 106.0 102.9 107.8 106.2 102.9 107.9 106.7 104.0 108.0 87 111.9 112.5 112.2 113.1 112.6 113.5 113.4 113.2 113.4 113.2 113.9 M ine ra l fuels, lubrica nts , and re la te d p r o d u c ts .............................................. Medicinal and pharmaceutical products.................................................... Essential oils; polishing and cleaning preparations.................................. Plastics in primary forms (12/92—100) .................................................... Plastics in nonprimary forms (12/92—100).............................................. Chemical materials and products, n.e.s.................................... ................ M an u fa c tu re d g o o d s c lassified c h ie fly by m a te r ia ls .......................................................................................................................... Rubber manufactures, n.e.s........................................................................ Paper, paperboard, and articles of paper, pulp, and paperboard........................................................................................ Nonmetallic mineral manufactures, n.e.s................................................... Nonferrous m etals..................................................................................... M a ch in ery and tra n s p o rt e q u ip m e n t.......................................................... ......... Power generating machinery and equipment........................................... Machinery specialized for particular industries......................................... General industrial machines and parts, n.e.s., and machine parts................................................................................... Computer equipment and office machines............................................... Telecommunications and sound recording and reproducing apparatus and equipment....... ........................................... Electrical machinery and equipment......................................................... Road vehicles............................................................................................ P ro fe s s io n a l, s cien tific, and co n tro llin g in s tru m e n ts an d a p p a r a tu s ................................................................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 97 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 38. U.S. im port price indexes by Standard International T rade Classification (1990=100, unless otherwise indicated) C a te g o ry 1994 1995 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 0 01 118.8 91.9 120.6 91.0 118.4 90.9 118.7 91.7 120.1 90.3 116.9 89.7 120.6 88.6 115.9 86.6 117.8 85.1 116.4 85.2 03 04 05 06 123.5 100.5 100.1 96.8 126.1 102.5 99.4 97.1 126.5 101.9 100.6 96.7 127.9 101.9 112.6 97.2 125.7 101.6 120.3 98.3 125.6 101.5 110.0 98.8 127.7 102.2 114.4 98.1 127.2 91.6 104.1 99.6 126.3 96.3 111.6 98.4 126.1 101.4 110.6 103.9 07 202.2 212.0 194.5 172.3 172.2 168.6 183.7 176.6 178.3 167.4 1 11 113.4 113.5 113.6 113.6 113.7 113.8 113.5 113.6 114.0 114.2 113.4 113.6 114.4 114.5 115.0 114.7 114.6 114.7 114.9 114.8 2 23 24 25 27 28 29 108.5 121.0 155.4 80.1 82.3 92.3 118.3 110.4 134.0 151.3 86.4 86.0 92.8 117.4 113.9 135.7 157.2 90.0 86.1 94.3 126.6 114.6 143.8 149.6 90.7 86.6 97.2 139.2 118.9 159.8 152.7 97.4 87.9 98.6 142.8 121.6 164.8 150.0 97.4 87.9 101.1 166.3 121.3 165.6 143.3 104.7 90.2 106.6 140.1 123.1 168.6 141.1 108.1 92.4 105.8 155.5 122.2 166.3 139.2 109.5 97.8 105.6 146.5 123.1 156.8 131.0 116.0 100.4 106.3 160.8 M ineral fuels, lubricants, an d re la te d p r o d u c ts .............................................. 3 73.5 73.9 76.9 75.3 76.0 77.8 79.1 82.5 85.4 82.7 Petroleum, petroleum products, and related materials................................................................................................ Gas, natural and manufactured.............................................................. Electrical energy..................................................................................... 33 34 35 72.6 Ô7.4 88.8 73.1 86.0 86.2 76.1 87.5 83.3 74.5 88.3 83.5 75.4 84.8 82.3 77.5 81.7 79.9 79.0 79.5 78.0 82.6 77.9 77.4 85.6 79.1 81.1 82.7 79.9 78.8 A nim al and v e g e ta b le oils, fats , and w a x e s ..................................................... 4 140.0 141.6 144.1 155.0 152.2 145.4 152.4 154.4 157.6 159.0 C h e m ic a ls and re la te d produ cts , n .e .s ................................................................. 5 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 105.7 102.7 102.5 119.7 110.5 102.1 101.6 102.8 105.2 106.6 105.6 102.9 120.2 111.8 105.0 101.4 102.1 103.1 107.8 106.8 103.2 121.4 112.7 107.0 102.1 105.8 103.4 108.8 107.6 102.9 120.5 113.4 107.2 102.9 107.1 103.7 109.1 108.5 102.4 120.2 114.5 108.2 107.3 110.0 102.6 110.1 109.4 103.3 120.7 115.3 109.7 107.3 112.8 103.4 110.8 113.1 106.4 121.6 116.8 112.0 106.8 115.5 103.8 111.3 112.0 110.9 124.7 120.1 113.1 109.0 116.5 105.0 112.5 113.2 109.0 129.1 124.1 112.8 110.3 117.4 105.6 112.3 114.3 108.6 128.0 123.4 111.0 109.8 117.9 106.8 6 62 103.0 101.5 103.9 102.5 105.4 102.6 106.4 102.3 107.4 102.4 108.8 102.1 109.1 102.8 110.8 103.7 112.1 105.1 111.7 105.0 64 66 68 69 99.4 109.8 91.0 106.0 99.2 109.6 95.6 106.2 101.3 109.9 99.1 107.0 105.2 110.5 103.1 106.4 108.6 110.4 105.6 106.3 109.9 110.7 110.8 107.0 114.4 110.8 105.9 108.4 119.5 111.3 106.4 110.0 125.2 111.2 106.5 110.8 125.1 111.4 103.8 110.8 7 72 107.4 111.5 108.1 112.0 108.2 112.8 108.0 112.5 107.9 112.3 108.2 113.2 108.5 114.0 109.5 116.0 110.1 117.1 110.1 117.2 74 75 110.3 86.0 110.9 85.7 111.6 84.5 111.6 84.8 112.1 84.7 112.8 84.6 113.0 84.0 115.8 84.2 116.5 84.2 116.7 84.0 76 77 78 97.5 106.6 113.5 97.6 106.9 115.0 97.7 106.7 115.3 97.7 106.5 115.1 97.4 106.4 115.0 97.6 106.6 115.3 97.6 106.9 115.8 98.4 107.6 116.3 98.9 109.0 116.8 98.7 108.8 116.9 85 101.0 101.0 101.3 101.1 100.7 101.0 101.1 101.4 101.5 101.9 88 110.8 111.1 110.8 110.6 109.9 110.7 111.0 113.4 115.5 115.5 Fo o d a nd live a n im a ls .................................................................................................. Meat and meat preparations................................................................... Fish and crustaceans, mollusks, and other aquatic invertebrates............................................................................ Cereals and cereal preparations ............................................................ Vegetables and fruit, prepared fresh or dried ....................................... Sugars, sugar preparations, and honey.................................................. Coffee, tea, cocoa, spices, and manufactures thereof .................................................................................................. B e v e ra g e s and to b a c c o ............................................................................................. Beverages................................................................................................ C ru d e m aterials, inedible, e x c e p t f u e l s .............................................................. Crude rubber (including synthetic and reclaimed).................................. Cork and wood ....................................................................................... Pulp and waste paper............................................................................. Crude fertilizers....................................................................................... Metalliferous ores and metal scrap........................................................ Crude animal and vegetable materials, n.e.s.......................................... Inorganic chemicals................................................................................. Dyeing, tanning, and coloring materials ................................................. Medicinal and pharmaceutical products................................................. Essential oils; polishing and cleaning preparations............................... Fertilizers ................................................................................................. Plastics in primary forms (12/92=100).................................................. Plastics in nonprimary forms (12/92-100) ........................................... Chemical materials and products, n.e.s................................................... M an u fa c tu re d g o o d s c lassified c h ie fly by m aterial ..................................... Rubber manufactures, n.e.s..................................................................... Paper, paperboard, and articles of paper pulp, paper, or paperboard ........................................................................... Nonmetallic mineral manufactures, n.e.s................................................. Nonferrous m etals................................................................................... Manufactures of metals, n.e.s.................................................................. M a c h in e ry and tra n s p o rt e q u ip m en t ................................................................. Machinery specialized for particular industries...................................... General industrial machinery and equipment, n.e.s., and machine p arts................................................................................ Computer equipment and office machines ............................................ Telecommunications and sound recording and reproducing apparatus and equipment................................................ Electrical machinery and equipment....................................................... Road vehicles ......................................................................................... Footwear.................................................................................................... Photographic apparatus, equipment, and supplies, and optical goods, n.e.s........................................................................ 98 SITC Rev.3 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 39. U.S. export price indexes by end-use category (1990 = 100 unless otherwise indicated) 1994 1995 C a te g o ry Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June A L L C O M M O D IT IE S ........................................................................................ 103.8 104.4 105.1 105.8 106.7 107.3 107.9 108.9 109.2 109.4 Foods, feeds, and beverages ....................................................... Agricultural foods, feeds, and beverages ................................... Nonagricultural (fish, beverages) food products.................................................................................... 101.3 100.3 101.5 100.1 102.9 101.5 104.7 103.4 103.8 102.5 104.5 102.8 106.0 103.9 108.7 106.8 109.5 107.8 111.1 109.5 107.9 112.1 112.8 113.0 113.5 117.1 122.1 123.1 122.6 122.5 Industrial supplies and materials.................................................... 104.3 106.0 107.9 109.9 112.5 114.1 115.3 117.1 117.9 117.7 Agricultural industrial supplies and materials ............................................................................ 107.1 107.7 109.7 114.4 117.7 118.7 121.8 120.7 120.3 120.7 Fuels and lubricants ................................................................... Nonagricultural supplies and materials, excluding fuel and building materials....................................... Selected building materials......................................................... 90.3 90.0 90.6 91.4 91.5 91.6 91.0 92.9 94.2 94.8 102.6 147.2 104.9 147.3 107.1 148.6 109.2 149.7 112.2 151.4 114.2 153.3 115.6 153.4 117.9 153.5 119.0 151.1 118.6 150.7 Capital goods.................................................................................. Electric and electrical generating equipment................................................................................. Nonelectrical machinery.............................................................. 103.7 103.6 103.7 103.6 103.9 104.0 104.3 104.7 104.7 104.9 106.6 100.8 106.7 100.6 106.8 100.8 106.4 100.6 106.9 100.9 107.0 100.9 107.2 101.0 108.1 101.5 107.8 101.5 108.1 101.8 Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines...................................... 106.7 107.2 107.2 107.3 107.4 107.7 107.4 107.4 107.4 107.6 Consumer goods, excluding automotive....................................... Nondurables, manufactured........................................................ Durables, manufactured .............................................................. Nonmanufactured consumer goods............................................ 108.1 110.1 106.3 98.4 108.2 110.1 106.5 99.3 108.3 110.2 106.6 98.9 108.2 110.0 106.3 100.7 108.3 110.3 106.3 - 108.8 110.9 106.9 - 109.1 111.3 106.9 99.9 109.3 111.8 106.8 .0 109.5 111.9 107.3 .0 109.5 111.9 107.2 99.4 Agricultural commodities................................................................ Nonagricultural commodities ......................................................... 101.7 104.2 101.6 104.9 103.2 105.5 105.7 106.0 105.6 107.0 106.1 107.7 107.6 108.1 109.7 109.0 110.3 109.2 111.8 109.3 - Data not available. 40. U.S. im port price indexes by end-use category (1990 = 100) 1994 1995 C a te g o ry Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June A L L C O M M O D IT IE S ........................................................................................ 102.8 103.5 104.2 104.1 104.4 105.1 105.7 106.7 107.7 107.3 Foods, feeds, and beverages ....................................................... Agricultural foods, feeds, and beverages ................................... Nonagricultural (fish, beverages) food products.................................................................................... 120.0 118.5 121.8 120.2 120.1 117.7 120.2 117.6 121.1 119.4 118.7 116.2 121.9 119.9 118.8 115.7 120.2 117.9 119.2 116.6 123.5 125.3 125.7 126.7 125.1 125.0 126.7 126.5 125.7 125.5 Industrial supplies and materials................................................... 90.6 91.5 93.8 93.7 94.8 96.6 97.7 99.9 101.7 100.2 Fuels and lubricants ...................................................................... Petroleum and petroleum products ............................................ 74.5 72.2 74.8 72.8 77.7 75.8 76.1 74.2 77.0 75.1 78.7 77.1 80.3 78.6 83.7 82.1 86.6 85.0 83.9 82.1 Paper and paper base stocks....................................................... Materials assiciated with nondurable supplies and materials ............................................................................ Selected building materials............................................................ Unfinished metals associated with durable goods....................... Nonmetals associated with durable goods ................................... 93.0 94.7 96.8 100.1 104.7 107.2 112.3 117.1 121.3 123.3 106.4 128.6 95.3 98.0 107.5 126.5 98.1 100.4 109.4 129.8 100.1 100.5 110.3 125.7 102.5 100.7 111.5 125.7 103.8 100.8 112.7 125.2 107.5 101.2 113.3 123.1 106.1 103.0 113.7 122.4 107.1 104.1 114.2 121.9 106.9 106.4 114.3 117.9 105.2 107.0 Capital goods................................................................................. Electric and electrical generating equipment ............................. Nonelectrical machinery.............................................................. Transportation equipment, excluding motor vehicles and spacecraft (12/92 — 100) .................................. Automotive vehicles, parts and engines....................................... 104.8 107.4 103.7 105.1 107.7 103.9 105.0 108.3 103.7 104.9 108.1 103.6 104.7 107.9 103.4 105.1 109.2 103.7 105.2 109.6 103.8 106.2 111.0 104.8 107.1 112.3 105.7 107.1 112.2 105.7 105.2 111.6 105.7 112.9 105.8 113.2 105.3 113.0 - - - - - - 112.9 113.2 113.6 114.3 114.9 115.0 Consumer goods, excluding automotives...................................... Nondurables, manufactured........................................................ Durables, manufactured .............................................................. Nonmanufactured consumer goods............................................ 106.0 106.0 105.6 110.3 106.2 106.2 105.6 110.6 106.4 106.5 105.6 112.0 106.4 106.4 105.6 113.4 106.3 106.1 105.6 114.0 106.8 106.4 106.0 117.2 106.9 107.0 106.2 112.1 107.2 107.0 106.6 114.2 107.7 107.6 107.2 112.8 107.9 107.9 107.3 112.5 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 99 Current Labor Statistics: 41. Price and Productivity Data U.S. international price indexes fo r selected categories of services (1990=100 unless otherwise indicated)) 1993 1994 1995 C a te g o ry June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Mar. Dec. June Air freight (inbound) .............................................................. Air freight (outbound)............................................................ 106.4 96.6 106.6 95.6 106.1 96.4 105.9 96.5 108.1 96.2 108.6 96.2 110.4 97.3 115.3 98.4 118.0 98.2 Air passenger fares (U.S. carriers) ...................................... Air passenger fares (foreign carriers)................................... Ocean liner freight (inbound)................................................ 117.2 115.7 103.5 119.0 117.0 103.3 111.4 107.2 102.1 113.1 108.1 103.4 119.7 114.6 106.3 121.4 118.1 106.2 113.8 110.0 106.6 116.1 113.8 108.5 128.6 125.2 106.6 42. Indexes o f productivity, hourly com pensation, and unit costs, quarterly data seasonally adjusted (1982 = 100) Quarterly Indexes Item 1992 IV 1993 I II 1994 III IV I II 1995 III IV I II Business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor costs ..................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ 116.8 157.7 107.1 135.1 150.2 140.1 116.2 158.7 107.0 136.6 149.5 140.8 116.3 159.9 107.0 137.5 149.6 141.4 117.0 160.6 107.0 137.3 150.5 141.6 118.4 161.3 106.6 136.2 154.0 142.1 118.9 163.3 107.4 137.3 153.4 142.6 118.5 163.6 106.9 138.1 155.6 143.8 119.5 164.9 106.8 138.0 157.8 144.5 120.7 166.4 107.2 137.8 159.0 144.8 121.3 167.9 107.3 138.4 159.3 145.3 122.2 169.5 107.4 138.7 159.8 145.6 115.0 156.4 106.2 136.1 152.1 141.2 114.3 157.2 105.9 137.4 151.5 142.0 114.5 158.1 105.8 138.1 151.8 142.5 115.3 158.7 105.7 137.7 153.6 142.8 116.5 159.3 105.3 136.8 156.3 143.1 117.0 161.2 106.0 137.8 155.5 143.5 116.6 161.8 105.7 138.8 158.3 145.1 117.3 162.9 105.5 138.8 160.9 145.9 118.6 164.4 105.9 138.7 161.8 146.1 119.3 166.1 106.2 139.2 162.1 146.6 120.2 167.6 106.2 139.4 162.6 146.9 120.6 153.1 104.0 123.8 127.0 115.7 191.2 129.9 127.9 119.9 153.9 103.7 125.0 128.3 116.8 183.7 129.4 128.7 121.2 154.4 103.3 124.1 127.3 115.8 199.4 131.5 128.7 122.2 154.8 103.1 123.6 126.7 115.8 202.5 132.1 128.5 123.4 155.0 102.5 122.6 125.7 114.8 220.9 134.8 128.7 124.0 156.5 102.9 123.5 126.2 116.6 218.2 135.7 129.4 123.8 156.8 102.4 123.4 126.7 115.2 228.7 136.6 129.9 124.3 157.9 102.3 124.0 127.1 116.2 228.8 137.4 130.5 125.3 159.1 102.5 123.8 127.0 115.9 230.3 137.4 130.4 125.8 160.5 102.6 124.2 127.5 116.0 224.0 136.3 130.4 129.1 150.7 102.3 116.8 130.8 149.9 101.0 114.6 131.3 151.7 101.5 115.5 132.1 152.5 101.6 115.4 133.6 153.3 101.4 114.7 135.4 154.3 101.4 113.9 136.8 153.6 100.3 112.2 138.0 154.5 100.0 111.9 139.3 155.9 100.4 112.0 140.5 157.7 100.8 112.3 N o n fa rm business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor costs .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ N o n fin an cial co rp o ra tio n s: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Total unit co sts..................................................... Unit labor costs .................................................. Unit nonlabor co sts............................................ Unit profits............................................................. Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ - - M anufacturin g: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per h our........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor costs .................................................... - Data not available. 100 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 141.2 157.9 100.1 111.8 43. Annual indexes o f m ultifactor productivity and related m easures, selected years (1987=100) Item 1960 1973 1970 1980 1987 1986 1988 1989 1990 1992 1991 1993 P riv a te business: Productivity: Output per hour of all persons.......................... Output per unit of capital services..................... Multifactor productivity....................................... O utput................................................................... Inputs: Labor in p u t......................................................... Capital services .................................................. Combined units of labor and capital inp u t........ Capital per hour of all persons............................. 53.5 116.0 70.5 37.8 74.8 115.1 87.2 57.4 83.0 120.1 95.3 67.9 89.1 105.8 96.0 79.9 99.6 99.7 99.8 96.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 101.4 100.5 104.3 101.0 101.3 100.3 107.0 101.9 99.8 100.0 107.9 102.9 96.8 99.0 106.5 105.9 97.9 100.5 109.3 106.6 98.8 101.1 112.5 66.7 32.6 53.6 46.1 74.2 49.8 65.8 65.0 78.7 56.6 71.3 69.1 86.8 75.5 83.2 84.2 96.8 97.0 96.8 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 104.2 102.9 103.8 99.6 107.2 105.6 106.7 99.7 107.8 108.2 107.9 102.1 106.5 110.0 107.5 106.3 107.5 111.6 108.8 108.1 110.1 113.8 111.3 107.9 57.7 122.6 74.9 37.4 77.3 120.5 89.9 57.4 85.6 125.3 98.1 68.3 90.6 108.2 97.7 80.2 99.8 100.0 100.0 96.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 101.3 100.5 104.5 100.7 100.9 99.9 107.1 101.3 99.1 99.4 107.8 102.5 96.0 98.5 106.4 105.1 96.8 99.6 108.9 105.9 97.8 100.3 112.4 61.4 30.5 49.9 47.0 72.0 47.7 63.9 64.1 76.9 54.5 69.6 68.3 85.7 74.2 82.1 83.8 96.6 96.7 96.7 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 104.4 103.2 104.0 99.6 107.6 106.1 107.1 99.9 108.3 108.8 108.5 102.3 106.8 110.8 108.0 106.7 108.0 112.6 109.3 108.7 110.9 115.0 112.1 108.2 P rivate n o n fa rm business: Productivity: Output per hour of all persons.......................... Output per unit of capital services..................... Multifactor productivity....................................... O utput................................................................... Inputs: Labor input ......................................................... Capital services .................................................. Combined units of labor and capital in p u t........ Capital per hour of all persons............................. NOTE: Productivity and output in this table have not been revised for consistency with the December 1991 comprehensive revisions to the 44. National Income and Product Accounts, Annual indexes o f productivity, hourly com pensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years (1982 = 100) Item 1960 1970 1973 1983 1985 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 65.6 21.1 68.8 32.2 33.6 32.6 87.0 36.7 91.3 42.2 42.7 42.4 95.1 45.1 98.1 47.5 52.1 49.0 102.3 103.8 100.6 101.5 107.5 103.4 106.3 113.2 101.5 106.5 120.8 111.2 109.6 123.1 104.6 112.3 125.5 116.6 110.7 128.5 104.8 116.0 130.6 120.8 109.9 133.0 103.5 121.0 136.6 126.1 110.7 140.6 103.8 127.1 139.8 131.2 112.1 147.4 104.4 131.5 144.9 135.9 115.5 154.9 106.6 134.2 148.3 138.8 117.0 160.1 106.9 136.9 150.9 141.5 119.4 164.5 107.1 137.8 156.4 143.9 69.9 22.2 72.4 31.8 33.3 32.3 88.5 37.0 92.0 41.8 43.0 42.2 96.4 45.4 98.7 47.1 49.6 47.9 102.5 104.0 100.8 101.5 109.2 104.0 105.6 112.8 101.1 106.8 121.6 111.6 108.6 122.5 104.1 112.8 126.6 117.2 109.6 127.7 104.2 116.5 131.8 121.4 108.6 132.0 102.7 121.5 137.1 126.5 109.1 139.2 102.8 127.6 140.6 131.8 110.7 146.2 103.6 132.1 146.5 136.7 113.7 153.7 105.7 135.2 149.7 139.9 115.2 158.3 105.7 137.5 153.4 142.6 117.4 162.6 105.9 138.5 159.2 145.2 75.3 23.6 77.0 29.5 31.4 24.8 75.1 34.2 32.3 90.3 38.4 95.4 40.5 42.5 35.5 69.5 41.9 42.3 95.0 46.6 101.2 46.5 49.0 40.2 87.9 49.2 49.1 103.8 103.4 100.2 99.5 99.6 99.3 135.9 106.2 101.8 106.5 112.0 100.4 103.7 105.2 100.1 168.1 112.9 107.7 111.2 120.9 102.7 107.0 108.8 102.5 172.1 115.6 111.0 113.3 125.9 102.7 109.8 111.1 106.4 183.5 120.9 114.3 111.5 130.2 101.3 115.7 116.8 112.9 168.5 123.3 119.0 112.7 137.1 101.3 120.1 121.7 116.3 167.5 125.9 123.1 115.0 143.8 101.9 123.7 125.0 120.5 164.7 128.8 126.3 118.5 150.4 103.5 124.4 126.9 118.0 177.2 129.1 127.7 121.8 154.6 103.3 123.8 127.0 115.8 201.9 132.0 128.6 124.4 157.7 102.7 123.7 126.7 116.0 226.5 136.8 130.0 102.2 102.7 99.5 100.5 113.5 103.8 106.7 111.3 99.8 104.2 120.1 108.2 116.6 118.4 100.6 101.6 134.5 109.8 119.2 123.1 100.4 103.2 147.4 114.3 119.9 127.9 99.5 106.7 153.3 118.4 122.1 134.7 99.5 110.4 153.7 121.2 124.9 141.9 100.5 113.7 157.0 124.5 127.5 147.9 101.7 116.0 157.0 126.3 132.0 152.0 101.5 115.1 160.8 126.5 137.4 154.5 100.6 112.5 Business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per h our........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor c o s ts .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ N o n fa rm business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per h our........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor c o s ts .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ N o n fin an cial co rp o ra tio n s: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Total unit co sts..................................................... Unit labor costs .................................................. Unit nonlabor co sts............................................ Unit profits............................................................. Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ M anufacturin g: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor c o s ts .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ - - - - - - - - - “ - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 101 Current Labor Statistics: 45. Productivity Data Annual indexes o f output per hour fo r selected industries (1987 = 100) Industry SIC 1979 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Iron mining, usable ore ..................................... Copper mining, recoverable metal.................... Coal mining....................................................... Crude petroleum and natural g a s ..................... Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels................... 101 102 12 131 14 51.7 42.4 68.9 173.5 86.5 51.8 48.5 54.5 110.3 92.6 76.6 93.6 85.1 83.0 95.1 79.6 109.7 92.4 90.3 95.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.7 109.8 110.6 101.0 102.2 99.5 107.8 116.5 98.1 101.9 90.0 104.5 118.5 97.0 108.3 87.0 102.9 122.1 98.1 103.6 Meatpacking plants........................................... Sausages and other prepared meats............... Poultry dressing and processing....................... Cheese, natural and processed....................... Fluid m ilk........................................................... Canned fruits and vegetables.......................... Frozen fruits and vegetables............................ Flour and other grain mill products.................. Cereal breakfast foods..................................... Rice milling ....................................................... Wet corn milling ................................................ 2011 2013 2015 2022 2026 2033 2037 2041 2043 2044 2046 65.1 67.2 58.0 56.6 49.5 66.0 80.1 68.5 65.6 59.3 24.1 75.0 92.8 81.7 79.8 62.7 74.0 86.6 80.5 74.2 69.3 47.1 98.3 97.8 100.5 94.7 88.3 93.0 97.0 95.8 97.1 68.6 74.6 98.7 98.6 95.6 101.1 94.0 98.4 104.9 95.9 98.6 72.7 97.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.5 105.6 95.9 106.4 103.9 100.2 95.1 102.0 98.6 83.8 96.6 92.2 99.8 101.2 104.3 106.7 92.5 98.9 101.6 96.0 98.6 103.0 92.9 93.6 107.7 101.1 108.0 96.2 92.3 107.0 102.0 106.9 104.7 ■ 94.9 90.8 114.2 98.9 110.7 103.4 98.7 107.4 105.3 101.1 100.1 Prepared feeds for animals and fo w ls............. Bakery products ................................................ Raw and refined cane sugar............................ Beet sugar ........................................................ Malt beverages.................................................. Bottled and canned soft drinks........................ Fresh or frozen fish and seafood..................... Cigarettes, chewing and smoking tobacco....... 2047,48 2051,52 2061,62 2063 2082 2086 2092 211,3 51.6 82.3 76.7 75.9 43.3 49.2 93.2 79.4 66.5 83.8 96.4 78.3 63.8 64.4 93.8 90.3 96.9 95.6 96.6 73.4 73.7 85.2 88.0 93.5 95.2 100.1 96.9 80.8 85.1 91.4 91.2 95.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.2 93.8 97.5 95.3 99.1 109.9 99.2 106.8 103.1 93.2 97.4 87.9 102.0 119.3 92.9 107.3 106.6 96.2 100.9 91.1 110.9 126.7 87.1 112.9 107.2 92.9 101.3 93.4 110.1 135.1 84.8 119.2 Cotton and synthetic broadwoven fabrics....... Hosiery .............................................................. Yarn spinning m ills............................................ Men’s and boys’ suits and coats...................... 221,2 2251,52 2281 231 58.1 63.2 55.9 75.6 • 75.6 93.3 68.3 95.9 93.4 100.9 89.6 106.3 99.0 102.5 93.2 103.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.3 107.0 98.6 102.5 104.5 109.3 108.4 ' 106.0 103.6 106.7 101.9 98.8 115.2 111.3 106.3 91.3 Sawmills and planing mills, general ................. Hardwood dimension and flooring.................... Millwork ............................................................. Wood kitchen cabinets..................................... Hardwood veneer and plywood ........................ Softwood veneer and plywood ......................... Wood containers............................................... Wood household furniture ................................ Upholstered household furniture....................... Metal household furniture................................. Mattresses and bedsprings .............................. Wood office furniture........................................ Office furniture, except w o o d ........................... Pulp, paper, and paperboard m ills.................... Corrugated and solid fiber boxes ..................... Folding paperboard boxes................................ Paper and plastic bags .................................... 2421 2426 2431 2434 2435 2436 244 2511,17 2512 2514 2515 2521 2522 261,2,3 2653 2657 2673,74 68.3 84.0 104.2 80.5 80.2 67.7 91.2 71.9 75.6 71.6 82.5 70.6 67.1 70.3 86.4 90.7 73.3 83.0 95.4 89.1 79.6 65.6 72.9 90.4 82.8 72.5 86.2 117.0 76.7 77.3 87.2 90.7 94.1 93.5 95.1 97.4 87.1 84.5 88.3 99.6 93.3 98.6 98.8 77.2 99.4 96.9 87.6 99.6 90.0 99.7 102.3 98.8 102.2 85.2 83.2 90.4 98.7 100.2 100.6 101.7 83.1 96.2 100.6 93.3 102.8 88.5 101.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 97.4 98.3 97.8 98.3 100.3 103.4 101.0 99.8 100.6 99.2 94.8 96.0 102.9 99.6 99.6 97.4 101.0 96.5 97.7 91.0 97.4 102.0 108.9 100.1 101.0 100.0 105.0 94.2 99.0 103.2 97.7 101.1 93.6 101.5 95.4 97.9 93.7 90.2 107.3 112.0 98.8 98.5 103.9 105.7 95.8 95.7 102.1 100.3 99.4 91.4 105.0 98.2 95.8 92.6 90.7 113.0 114.2 100.2 103.4 107.3 110.3 99.1 93.0 101.5 100.0 102.8 88.6 Alkalies and chlorine........................................ Inorganic pigments ........................................... Industrial inorganic chemicals, not elsewhere classified........................................ Synthetic fibers.................................................. Soaps and detergents...................................... Cosmetics and other toiletries ......................... Paints and allied products ................................ Industrial organic chemicals, not elsewhere classified........................................ Nitrogenous fertilizers....................................... Phosphatic fertilizers ........................................ Fertilizers, mixing o n ly ...................................... Agricultural chemicals, not elsewhere classified....................................... 2812 2816 38.4 72.6 50.8 67.8 70.8 84.4 97.7 88.6 100.0 100.0 100.9 101.2 92.6 107.3 90.7 102.5 84.0 96.3 2819 pt. 2823,24 2841 2844 285 90.6 38.4 89.1 88.6 63.2 91.5 70.9 91.0 93.6 79.8 87.3 79.3 91.5 90.3 96.9 88.6 90.8 92.3 96.6 98.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 96.8 102.7 103.4 105.0 103.0 104.3 103.5 110.7 101.6 106.6 106.8 98.3 132.1 100.8 111.4 99.0 97.1 131.7 103.4 111.2 2869 2873 2874 2875 73.1 65.4 62.4 90.5 93.0 72.7 68.3 110.9 87.8 100.7 84.2 100.8 92.3 90.5 79.6 95.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 110.7 101.7 93.4 103.4 109.9 105.4 85.6 110.8 99.5 108.9 104.5 108.7 93.2 110.1 114.5 109.3 2879 - 74.3 83.6 92.9 93.2 100.0 108.4 108.9 106.2 102.8 Petroleum refining............................................. Tires and inner tubes ....................................... Rubber and plastics hose and belting............. Miscellaneous plastic products, not elsewhere classified....................................... Footwear........................................................... Glass containers ............................................... Cement, hydraulic ............................................. Clay construction products............................... Clay refractories................................................ Concrete products ............................................ Ready-mixed concrete ..................................... 291 301 3052 84.0 56.0 79.3 82.6 63.9 80.6 84.7 89.3 100.5 94.9 92.6 102.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.3 104.6 107.3 109.6 107.2 96.3 109.1 108.3 100.9 106.7 109.5 93.0 308 314 3221 324 3251,53,59 3255 3271,72 3273 72.8 89.9 75.2 71.3 78.5 80.1 92.5 99.1 74.3 94.5 83.8 68.7 79.0 93.9 91.3 96.2 88.2 99.9 93.4 91.8 94.2 94.9 99.5 93.7 88.9 101.7 98.5 97.1 95.5 100.8 104.4 96.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.4 102.4 101.1 103.3 103.9 101.3 102.3 100.3 97.5 101.4 104.8 110.1 96.7 97.3 105.2 101.0 100.4 93.0 112.5 112.5 100.5 102.2 104.6 99.7 100.9 93.3 114.9 108.3 95.1 96.2 105.9 96.1 Steel .................................................................. Gray and ductile iron foundries........................ Steel foundries .................................................. Primary copper.................................................. Primary aluminum............................ .s............... Copper rolling and drawing .............................. Aluminum rolling and drawing.......................... 331 3321 3324,25 3331 3334 3351 3353,54,55 64.2 91.3 105.8 32.8 73.6 77.5 79.0 65.9 92.4 104.5 41.1 74.7 82.0 84.3 85.8 96.9 99.5 73.8 97.6 86.2 85.7 89.7 99.3 104.9 88.7 102.7 92.3 95.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 113.4 106.8 95.3 103.7 102.2 100.0 96.9 108.5 104.1 96.6 96.8 104.6 94.1 91.2 110.5 104.1 95.9 86.3 106.3 93.9 92.4 108.1 99.3 93.2 84.7 110.3 96.9 92.0 See footnotes at end of table. 102 1973 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 45. Continued— Annual indexes o f output per hour fo r selected industries (1987 = 100) Industry Metal cans ........................................................ Hand and edge tools, not elsewhere classified......................................................... Heating equipment, except electric .................. Fabricated structural m etal............................... Metal doors, sash, and trim .............................. Bolts, nuts, rivets, and washers....................... Automotive stampings...................................... Metal stampings, not elsewhere classified......................................................... SIC 1973 1979 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 3411 59.2 75.2 99.2 95.9 100.0 107.4 109.0 119.1 126.0 3423 3433 3441 3442 3452 3465 108.6 78.0 98.1 90.5 75.8 74.9 111.6 86.2 86.0 92.6 78.9 81.4 98.8 91.9 98.6 104.8 88.8 94.5 97.1 96.2 98.8 102.0 91.0 95.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 112.7 98.9 102.4 97.0 104.5 102.1 103.2 94.7 101.5 93.8 104.7 96.4 111.2 96.8 97.0 93.7 100.8 95.0 115.4 98.3 94.7 96.2 104.2 3469 96.8 100.2 88.6 93.9 100.0 99.6 98.3 95.1 96.3 Valves and pipe fittings.................................... Fabricated pipe and fittings.............................. Internal combustion engines, not elsewhere classified....................................... Farm machinery and equipment....................... Lawn and garden equipment............................ Construction machinery..................................... Mining machinery.............................................. Oil and gas field machinery.............................. 3491,92,94 3498 93.6 140.8 95.7 116.0 94.4 120.0 93.9 121.4 100.0 100.0 101.3 99.2 101.0 101.7 101.9 106.5 101.2 113.3 3519 3523 3524 3531 3532 3533 83.1 108.6 70.0 87.9 102.2 105.9 86.4 112.6 83.3 91.5 89.3 100.6 92.0 101.6 82.4 92.2 93.7 92.3 98.5 95.7 93.2 99.1 95.1 95.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.1 112.5 97.2 107.2 102.2 99.3 110.9 123.1 91.9 109.7 107.3 104.6 105.0 130.6 93.4 108.9 99.0 107.4 98.9 123.6 94.5 98.2 90.7 109.2 Metal-cutting machine tools ............................. Metal-forming machine to o ls ............................ Machine tool accessories................................. Pumps and pumping equipment ....................... Ball and roller bearings.................................... Air and gas compressors.................................. Refrigeration and heating equipment............... Carburetors, pistons, rings, and valves............ 3541 3542 3545 3561,94 3562 3563 3585 3592 101.4 112.5 105.9 84.0 108.0 87.6 100.3 102.9 100.9 98.5 100.6 91.4 110.2 86.1 98.8 82.0 89.9 93.1 92.3 91.9 91.6 92.2 98.1 98.9 92.0 93.7 95.0 92.7 94.1 96.0 95.8 95.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 96.1 113.8 99.3 105.8 102.4 104.1 103.5 108.8 101.2 109.9 104.6 101.5 98.2 106.1 105.7 117.1 103.1 100.6 107.4 103.5 92.1 109.2 104.6 110.9 100.2 91.9 109.2 102.7 88.3 111.8 102.6 110.7 Transformers, except electronic ...................... Switchgear and switchboard apparatus........... Motors and generators..................................... Household cooking equipment......................... Household refrigerators and freezers .............. Household laundry equipment.......................... Household appliances, not elsewhere classified......................................................... Electric lam ps.................................................... Lighting fixtures and equipment....................... Household audio and video equipment........... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Aircraft............................................................... Instruments to measure electricity.................... Photographic equipment and supplies............. 3612 3613 3621 3631 3632 3633 100.2 88.2 89.0 61.8 70.1 72.3 109.8 87.5 89.7 79.1 86.8 84.7 97.0 95.1 94.9 90.3 104.1 93.8 99.3 95.9 96.8 104.6 101.2 97.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.9 109.5 103.3 116.4 103.1 106.6 103.9 106.6 103.8 99.4 106.9 100.8 107.8 107.8 102.4 100.1 107.4 104.8 111.4 105.7 106.4 106.2 112.3 111.4 3639 3641 3645,46,47,48 3651 371 3721 3825 386 63.7 61.3 84.1 22.3 68.7 79.2 63.7 58.9 76.1 76.1 86.2 39.1 77.7 98.6 70.8 79.0 86.3 94.2 96.7 96.3 95.3 94.2 95.4 86.1 89.1 91.5 103.0 106.9 95.1 93.5 90.4 94.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.0 101.1 98.3 107.3 103.2 104.8 106.6 106.8 98.4 86.2 97.2 122.3 103.3 108.2 109.6 115.7 91.9 91.4 96.5 128.4 102.5 109.8 108.2 111.7 81.1 97.0 94.7 142.0 96.9 126.7 111.5 115.6 Railroad transportation, revenue traffic............ Bus carriers, class 1 ......................................... Trucking, except local ...................................... Air transportation .............................................. Petroleum pipelines .......................................... Telephone communications.............................. Electric utilities .................................................. Gas utilities....................................................... Scrap and waste materials............................... 4011 411,13,14 pts. 4213 4512,13,22 pts. 4612,13 481 491,493 pt. 492,493 pt. 5093 49.3 116.8 69.5 54.3 93.2 46.2 88.4 145.5 - 54.0 108.3 83.9 75.5 96.9 68.7 95.3 141.4 81.1 79.8 96.1 93.8 92.0 99.9 92.6 93.0 111.9 93.4 86.1 95.6 96.8 93.8 102.0 98.1 95.2 102.1 97.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 109.3 107.9 105.2 99.5 104.8 107.8 104.9 105.5 94.3 115.4 104.6 109.4 95.1 103.2 113.4 107.7 103.6 87.8 122.6 128.1 92.2 102.5 115.1 110.0 95.0 92.2 92.5 99.1 121.8 113.3 94.2 93.1 - - Hardware stores................................................ Department stores............................................ Variety stores .................................................... Grocery stores................................................... Retail bakeries................................................... New and used car dealers ............................... Auto and home supply stores.......................... Gasoline service stations.................................. Men's and boys’ clothing stores....................... Women’s clothing stores .................................. Family clothing stores ...................................... Shoe stores ...................................................... Furniture and homefurnishings stores.............. Household appliance stores............................. Radio, television, and computer stores.............................................................. 525 531 533 541 546 551 553 554 561 562 565 566 571 572 83.3 60.8 148.9 109.1 125.6 85.1 71.1 59.5 77.6 58.9 76.2 81.3 83.9 59.8 97.5 74.0 123.3 106.8 112.3 86.3 80.1 73.7 82.3 72.8 75.4 90.9 91.0 72.9 95.6 92.6 129.2 105.7 87.6 99.8 94.5 93.5 98.3 99.8 103.1 97.6 94.8 94.9 101.6 97.4 106.7 103.8 93.6 101.6 94.3 101.8 100.7 107.0 103.3 105.5 101.2 106.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 108.7 99.4 97.3 98.6 94.2 102.7 106.5 102.4 102.6 99.4 101.3 102.7 99.5 101.1 115.4 97.4 113.7 95.8 87.3 103.8 108.9 104.0 102.3 102.9 103.2 107.3 102.6 108.7 110.5 94.8 132.1 94.8 84.8 107.1 114.2 101.0 101.6 106.7 101.5 106.3 104.3 111.2 102.5 99.2 130.2 94.0 90.0 105.6 114.6 102.0 102.0 110.1 102.3 105.5 104.2 117.4 573 45.6 53.0 89.3 94.1 100.0 122.2 122.0 131.4 146.2 Eating and drinking places ............................... Drug and proprietary stores.............................. Liquor stores..................................................... Commercial banks ............................................ Hotels and motels............................................. Laundry, cleaning, and garment services........ Beauty shops.................................................... Automotive repair shops................................... 581 591 592 602 701 721 723 753 110.3 92.2 95.0 81.2 102.4 110.8 85.9 109.3 106.6 101.8 90.2 84.1 109.7 109.9 89.4 105.0 96.2 102.5 101.9 94.3 101.2 103.3 96.1 99.4 99.3 101.6 93.8 96.2 98.9 100.8 96.9 96.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 102.0 99.9 103.4 95.8 97.1 93.3 105.6 101.9 102.8 104.7 102.2 91.4 98.6 96.0 107.8 103.1 104.1 110.6 108.6 90.6 99.0 91.3 106.3 104.5 105.5 112.3 112.3 91.3 96.6 87.6 99.9 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 103 Current Labor Statistics: International Comparisons Data 46. Unem ploym ent rates, approxim ating U.S. concepts, in nine countries, quarterly data seasonally adjusted Annual average 1994 1993 1995 Country 1993 1994 I II III IV II I United States' ...................................... Canada ................................................. Australia............................................... Japan .................................................... 6.8 11.2 10.9 2.5 6.1 10.4 9.7 2.9 6.5 11.2 10.8 2.8 6.6 11.0 10.4 2.8 6.2 10.6 10.0 2.9 6.0 10.2 9.5 3.0 5.6 9.8 9.1 2.9 5.5 9.7 8.9 2.9 France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Italy2 ..................................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ................................... 11.9 5.8 10.3 9.3 10.5 12.7 6.5 11.4 9.6 9.6 12.3 6.2 11.0 9.8 10.1 12.7 6.4 11.0 9.8 9.9 12.7 6.5 11.6 9.7 9.7 12.7 6.5 11.1 9.7 9.5 12.6 6.5 11.8 9.3 9.0 12.5 6.5 12.2 9.3 8.7 1 Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under "Employment and Unemployment Data” in the notes to this section. 2 Quarterly rates are for the first month of the quarter. Break in series beginning in 1993. - Data not available. 104 IV Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 5.7 9.5 8.4 3.2 _ - 12.2 9.4 - NOTE: Quarterly figures for France, Germany, and the United Kingdom are calculated by applying annual adjust ment factors to current published data and therefore should be viewed as less precise indicators of unemployment under U.S. concepts than the annual figures. See “ Notes on the data" for information on breaks in series. 47. Annual data: Em ploym ent status of the w orking-age population, approxim ating U.S. concepts, 10 countries (Numbers in thousands) Employment status and country 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 115,461 13,123 7,300 58,820 23,620 28,020 21,800 6,250 4,418 27,210 117,834 13,378 7,588 59,410 23,760 28,240 22,290 6,380 4,443 27,380 119,865 13,631 7,758 60,050 23,890 28,390 22,350 6,500 4,437 27,720 121,669 13,900 7,974 60,860 23,980 28,610 22,660 6,530 4,494 28,150 123,869 14,151 8,228 61,920 24,170 28,840 22,530 6,640 4,552 28,420 124,787 14,329 8,444 63,050 24,300 29,410 22,670 6,770 4,597 28,540 125,303 14,408 8,490 64,280 24,490 29,760 22,940 6,870 4,591 28,450 126,982 14,482 8,562 65,040 24,600 30,040 22,910 6,970 4,520 28,400 128,040 14,663 8,619 65,470 24,710 29,960 22,570 7,070 4,443 28,310 131,056 14,832 8,776 65,780 24,970 29,840 22,450 64.8 65.8 61.6 62.3 56.9 54.7 47.2 55.5 66.9 62.1 65.3 66.3 62.8 62.1 56.9 54.9 47.8 56.0 67.0 62.1 65.6 66.7 63.0 61.9 56.7 55.0 47.6 56.3 66.4 62.5 65.9 67.2 63.3 61.9 56.4 55.1 47.4 56.1 66.9 63.2 66.5 67.5 64.0 62.2 56.1 55.2 47.3 56.5 67.3 63.6 66.4 67.3 64.6 62.6 55.6 55.0 47.2 56.8 67.0 63.7 66.0 66.7 64.1 63.2 55.6 55.4 48.6 57.5 66.6 63.3 66.3 65.9 63.9 63.4 55.9 55.1 48.5 57.9 65.3 62.9 66.2 65.5 63.6 63.3 55.7 54.5 48.3 58.6 64.2 62.8 66.6 65.3 63.9 63.1 56.0 107,150 11,742 6,697 57,260 21,150 26,010 20,490 5,650 4,293 24,150 109,597 12,095 6,974 57,740 21,240 26,380 20,610 5,740 4,326 24,300 112,440 12,422 7,129 58,320 21,320 26,590 20,590 5,850 4,340 24,860 114,968 12,819 7,398 59,310 21,520 26,800 20,870 5,920 4,410 25,730 117,342 13,086 7,720 60,500 21,850 27,200 20,770 6,070 4,480 26,350 117,914 13,165 7,859 61,710 22,100 27,950 21,080 6,260 4,513 26,550 116,877 12,916 7,676 62,920 22,140 28,480 21,360 6,380 4,447 25,930 117,598 12,842 7,637 63,620 22,010 28,660 21,230 6,470 4,265 25,520 119,306 13,015 7,680 63,810 21,780 28,220 20,240 6,450 4,028 25,340 123,060 13,292 7,921 63,860 21,810 27,900 19,890 60.1 58.9 56.5 60.6 51.0 50.7 44.4 50.1 65.0 55.1 60.7 59.9 57.7 60.4 50.8 51.3 44.2 50.3 65.2 55.1 61.5 60.8 57.9 60.1 50.6 51.5 43.8 50.7 65.0 56.1 62.3 62.0 58.7 60.4 50.6 51.6 43.7 50.8 65.7 57.8 63.0 62.4 60.1 60.8 50.7 52.0 43.6 51.7 66.2 59.0 62.7 61.9 60.1 61.3 50.5 52.2 43.9 52.5 65.8 59.2 61.6 59.8 57.9 61.8 50.3 53.0 45.3 53.4 64.5 57.7 61.4 58.4 57.0 62.0 50.0 52.6 44.9 53.8 61.7 56.5 61.6 58.2 56.6 61.7 49.1 51.3 43.3 53.4 58.2 56.2 62.5 58.5 57.7 61.3 48.9 8,312 1,381 603 1,560 2,470 2,010 1,310 600 125 3,060 8,237 1,283 613 1,670 2,520 1,860 1,680 640 117 3,080 7,425 1,208 629 1,730 2,570 1,800 1,760 650 97 2,860 6,701 1,082 576 1,550 2,460 1,810 1,790 610 84 2,420 6,528 1,065 508 1,420 2,320 1,640 1,760 570 72 2,070 6,874 1,164 585 1,340 2,200 1,460 1,590 510 84 1,990 8,426 1,492 814 1,360 2,350 1,280 1,580 490 144 2,520 9,384 1,640 925 1,420 2,590 1,380 1,680 500 255 2,880 8,734 1,649 939 1,660 2,930 1,740 2,330 620 415 2,970 7.2 10.5 8.3 2.6 10.5 7.2 6.0 9.6 2.8 11.2 7.0 9.6 8.1 2.8 10.6 6.6 7.5 10.0 2.6 11.2 6.2 8.9 8.1 2.9 10.8 6.3 7.9 10.0 2.2 10.3 5.5 7.8 7.2 2.5 10.3 6.3 7.9 9.3 1.9 8.6 5.3 7.5 6.2 2.3 9.6 5.7 7.8 8.6 1.6 7.3 5.5 8.1 6.9 2.1 9.1 5.0 7.0 7.5 1.8 7.0 6.7 10.4 9.6 2.1 9.6 4.3 6.9 7.1 3.1 8.9 7.4 11.3 10.8 2.2 10.5 4.6 7.3 7.2 5.6 10.1 6.8 11.2 10.9 2.5 11.9 5.8 10.3 8.8 9.3 10.5 C ivilian la b o r fo rc e United States' ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... - 4,418 28,310 P a rticip a tio n ra te 2 United States' ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... - 48.0 _ 63.6 62.7 E m ployed United States’ ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... - 3,992 25,590 E m p lo y m e n t-p o p u la tio n ra tio 3 United States' ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... - 42.5 - 57.4 56.7 U n e m p lo y e d United States' ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 7,996 1,541 856 1,920 3,160 1,940 2,560 _ 426 2,720 U n e m p lo y m e n t ra te United States’ ......................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 1 Data for 1994 are not directly comparable with data for 1993 and earlier years. For additional information, see the box note under “ Employment and Unemployment Data" in the notes to this section. 2 Labor force as a percent of the working-age population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.1 10.4 9.7 2.9 12.7 6.5 11.4 _ 9.6 9.6 3 Employment as a percent of the working-age population. - Data not available. NOTE: See "Notes on the data” for information on breaks in series for Italy and Sweden. Monthly Labor Review September 1995 105 Current Labor Statistics: 48. International Comparisons Data Annual indexes o f manufacturing productivity and related measures, 12 countries (1982=100) Item and country 1960 1970 1973 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 O u tp u t p er hou r 51.6 18.5 24.1 32.4 29.6 37.1 29.1 26.5 46.4 36.1 50.3 76.9 50.3 44.0 57.2 58.6 66.4 54.6 52.9 73.0 69.0 72.1 91.9 64.4 57.4 72.7 69.4 77.9 65.2 67.3 85.4 81.2 86.2 103.5 116.3 107.9 117.5 104.3 103.9 109.0 115.7 115.0 112.2 111.9 112.4 106.7 119.8 114.9 119.6 105.0 107.9 113.4 122.3 118.7 115.8 113.6 116.4 109.5 117.9 113.0 121.4 98.9 109.7 114.2 123.7 120.1 114.7 115.4 120.6 116.6 119.0 122.4 123.8 98.4 111.6 112.7 127.2 120.7 120.4 117.6 126.9 119.2 119.5 129.6 128.9 102.1 119.3 116.7 130.0 124.4 119.5 119.3 133.5 119.9 120.0 138.7 134.5 105.6 125.4 120.5 134.0 128.5 125.3 123.1 138.4 122.1 122.0 149.1 134.1 105.5 127.6 125.6 139.3 130.1 129.3 125.0 140.1 124.9 122.9 156.9 137.0 105.5 128.0 130.1 143.8 131.4 130.3 126.1 145.3 127.5 128.0 156.8 142.2 107.7 130.9 128.0 150.8 132.2 132.5 132.8 152.4 131.6 130.9 157.3 146.4 113.9 132.3 130.0 159.2 133.8 135.3 141.5 159.7 44.1 15.1 37.6 45.4 35.1 51.0 28.0 42.7 56.0 51.8 82.9 78.5 55.1 70.4 75.7 72.7 87.0 58.4 80.3 88.4 91.1 110.5 100.0 71.8 86.3 88.5 87.0 96.4 70.7 91.2 101.3 98.7 121.9 111.3 120.2 113.2 109.9 111.7 98.7 104.6 105.4 107.9 105.0 113.6 105.9 114.0 127.0 121.2 111.8 115.3 99.1 108.4 108.9 111.1 108.8 115.7 108.9 115.2 127.9 117.9 111.9 115.3 99.1 110.1 111.5 113.8 108.8 117.1 110.3 123.5 134.1 126.5 112.3 110.6 98.9 108.1 116.3 115.4 110.8 120.0 115.5 130.0 140.9 138.2 118.0 112.3 104.6 111.5 125.0 119.7 105.5 123.7 123.6 131.2 142.1 149.3 125.0 113.6 110.3 115.4 129.7 125.2 103.8 125.1 123.1 130.6 136.8 160.6 126.5 112.4 112.4 121.7 132.3 129.3 104.5 124.3 128.9 128.2 127.5 170.8 125.9 111.1 110.6 126.2 132.1 129.9 102.3 117.4 121.9 130.1 128.3 167.7 125.8 112.5 109.8 123.3 132.4 129.0 104.2 113.3 121.1 135.4 134.7 160.7 120.5 113.2 106.3 113.8 129.6 125.8 105.9 115.1 122.8 94.1 85.5 81.7 156.2 140.0 118.5 137.2 96.2 160.9 120.9 143.7 164.9 106.5 102.1 109.6 159.9 132.3 123.9 131.1 107.0 152.0 121.1 132.0 153.3 112.6 108.8 111.5 150.3 121.8 125.3 123.7 108.3 135.6 118.7 121.6 141.4 107.6 103.3 104.9 93.6 107.1 95.0 96.0 91.1 93.8 93.5 101.5 94.2 106.8 106.0 105.5 93.5 109.8 91.8 95.6 89.0 93.6 94.0 101.9 93.5 105.2 108.5 104.3 92.2 116.6 90.3 96.4 90.1 94.8 94.8 101.5 91.5 106.0 112.7 103.4 90.7 112.4 88.6 95.9 91.4 95.6 92.0 102.0 91.0 109.0 117.9 106.7 91.5 110.0 87.7 95.6 96.1 96.2 88.3 103.6 92.6 109.4 118.4 107.6 93.0 107.6 88.0 95.7 96.8 97.4 82.9 101.6 93.3 107.0 112.2 107.7 94.3 106.6 88.1 96.9 95.0 99.4 80.9 99.4 92.0 102.6 103.7 108.8 91.9 105.3 86.4 97.0 91.8 98.9 78.5 93.1 83.9 102.0 100.3 106.9 88.4 104.4 83.8 96.3 87.8 97.6 78.6 85.4 79.5 102.9 102.9 102.2 82.3 99.4 80.3 87.6 81.4 94.0 78.3 81.4 76.9 United States......................................................................................... Canada .................................................................................................. Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................. France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... 16.4 6.6 9.1 7.7 7.6 13.5 3.9 8.9 9.9 9.3 7.1 28.7 25.0 23.2 22.3 18.5 34.5 11.6 27.8 24.6 24.4 14.7 35.9 40.7 35.5 34.5 26.2 48.2 17.7 43.4 35.3 34.3 22.6 106.0 111.1 105.8 114.8 113.0 119.6 110.0 134.3 106.6 120.9 119.6 114.6 111.3 116.8 110.1 122.0 120.6 129.6 116.3 150.9 111.5 132.2 131.8 125.1 115.8 121.3 115.8 127.0 123.1 135.1 121.2 157.1 115.4 145.0 142.4 135.4 118.4 125.0 118.6 130.0 134.6 140.0 126.9 166.0 118.8 165.6 151.9 149.8 123.1 130.5 120.6 132.7 139.4 145.4 131.8 172.5 119.5 175.7 161.8 159.4 127.9 135.4 128.2 139.7 147.3 153.2 138.2 189.5 120.1 183.4 179.0 174.7 134.7 143.0 138.3 147.5 156.5 161.3 147.9 210.8 123.3 193.7 197.5 180.6 141.9 151.7 146.2 156.8 162.2 168.3 157.8 233.1 129.2 202.8 215.1 199.4 147.9 158.1 153.0 164.9 167.2 174.1 165.6 249.7 136.6 208.4 225.0 219.7 152.8 159.0 157.1 171.2 171.4 179.8 177.8 266.1 140.5 210.4 221.6 236.1 U n it la b o r costs: National currency basis United States......................................................................................... Canada .................................................................................................. Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................. France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... 31.9 35.5 38.0 23.8 25.7 36.4 13.5 33.4 21.3 25.8 14.2 37.3 49.7 52.6 39.0 31.5 51.9 21.3 52.7 33.7 35.4 20.4 39.1 63.2 61.8 47.4 37.7 61.9 27.1 64.5 41.4 42.2 26.3 102.4 95.5 98.1 97.7 108.3 115.2 101.0 116.1 92.7 107.8 106.9 101.9 104.2 97.6 95.8 102.0 114.9 120.2 102.6 123.4 93.9 114.2 116.1 107.5 105.8 102.9 102.4 104.7 124.5 123.2 106.2 127.1 96.1 126.4 123.4 112.3 101.6 105.0 96.8 105.0 136.8 125.5 112.6 130.5 98.4 137.5 129.1 118.0 103.2 109.2 93.1 103.0 136.5 121.8 113.0 132.6 96.0 147.1 135.6 119.4 106.7 112.8 92.4 103.8 139.5 122.2 114.6 141.4 93.5 146.3 145.4 126.2 110.4 117.2 92.7 110.0 148.3 126.4 117.8 151.3 94.7 149.8 158.0 128.9 113.7 123.4 93.2 114.4 153.8 131.5 121.3 162.1 98.3 155.6 170.6 137.2 116.0 123.5 97.5 115.9 155.1 133.0 129.4 165.6 103.3 157.3 169.5 144.2 116.1 121.4 99.9 117.0 150.5 135.9 136.8 167.2 105.1 155.5 156.6 147.8 U n it lab o r costs: U.S. dollar basis United States......................................................................................... Canada .................................................................................................. Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................. France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... 40.6 24.6 34.9 28.8 34.4 21.2 29.5 23.7 19.3 31.4 22.8 44.1 34.6 48.5 43.4 37.5 34.6 46.0 38.9 30.4 42.8 28.0 48.2 58.1 72.8 65.7 55.9 56.8 63.1 62.0 46.5 60.9 36.8 102.4 91.0 102.9 77.5 87.3 86.7 86.2 89.5 77.2 85.3 81.2 77.9 104.2 88.2 100.1 78.7 90.4 88.0 84.7 87.5 75.6 85.8 84.8 79.8 105.8 91.4 151.5 107.3 128.3 117.0 118.8 115.4 104.8 110.3 108.8 94.3 101.6 97.8 166.8 128.7 166.7 137.3 152.1 136.3 129.8 131.7 127.8 110.7 103.2 109.5 180.9 128.1 169.0 134.5 156.1 137.9 129.8 145.5 138.8 121.6 106.7 117.6 166.7 120.6 159.0 126.0 148.0 139.5 117.7 136.6 141.5 118.3 110.4 124.0 159.3 150.7 200.0 152.7 176.9 170.9 138.9 154.7 167.6 131.6 113.7 132.9 172.5 153.2 200.4 153.2 177.3 176.8 140.3 154.8 177.1 138.7 116.0 126.2 191.6 165.1 214.4 165.3 201.2 182.0 157.0 163.4 182.8 145.7 116.1 116.2 223.9 154.8 193.6 157.8 200.8 143.8 151.0 141.5 126.3 127.0 United States......................................................................................... Canada .................................................................................................. Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................ France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... O utp ut United States......................................................................................... Canada .................................................................................................. Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................. France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... T o ta l hou rs United States......................................................................................... Canada........................... ....................................................................... Japan ..................................................................................................... Belgium.................................................................................................. Denmark................................................................................................. France ................................................................................................... Germany................................................................................................. Italy ........................................................................................................ Netherlands............................................................................................ Norway .................................................................................................. Sweden.................................................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................................................... C o m p e n s a tio n p e r hour - Data not available. 106 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 49. Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry,1 United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers3 Industry and type of case2 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989’ 1990 1991 1992 19934 P R IV A T E S E C T O R 5 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 7.9 3.6 64.9 7.9 3.6 65.8 8.3 3.8 69.9 8.6 4.0 76.1 8.6 4.0 78.7 8.8 4.1 84.0 8.4 3.9 86.5 8.9 3.9 93.8 8.5 3.8 - 11.4 5.7 91.3 11.2 5.6 93.6 11.2 5.7 94.1 10.9 5.6 101.8 10.9 5.7 100.9 11.6 5.9 112.2 10.8 5.4 108.3 11.6 5.4 126.9 11.2 5.0 - 8.4 4.8 145.3 7.4 4.1 125.9 8.5 4.9 144.0 8.8 5.1 152.1 8.5 4.8 137.2 8.3 5.0 119.5 7.4 4.5 129.6 7.3 4.1 204.7 6.8 3.9 - 15.2 6.8 128.9 15.2 6.9 134.5 14.7 6.8 135.8 14.6 6.8 142.2 14.3 6.8 143.3 14.2 6.7 147.9 13.0 6.1 148.1 13.1 5.8 161.9 12.2 5.5 15.2 6.8 120.4 14.9 6.6 122.7 14.2 6.5 134.0 14.0 6.4 132.2 13.9 6.5 137.3 13.4 6.4 137.6 12.0 5.5 132.0 12.2 5.4 142.7 11.5 5.1 14.5 6.3 127.3 14.7 6.3 132.9 14.5 6.4 139.1 15.1 7.0 162.3 13.8 6.5 147.1 13.8 6.3 144.6 12.8 6.0 160.1 12.1 5.4 165.8 11.1 5.1 15.4 7.0 133.3 15.6 7.2 140.4 15.0 7.1 135.7 14.7 7.0 141.1 14.6 6.9 144.9 14.7 6.9 153.1 13.5 6.3 151.3 13.8 6.1 168.3 12.8 5.8 - Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 10.4 4.6 80.2 10.6 4.7 85.2 11.9 5.3 95.5 13.1 5.7 107.4 13.1 5.8 113.0 13.2 5.8 120.7 12.7 5.6 121.5 12.5 5.4 124.6 12.1 5.3 - Durable goods: . Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... 10.9 4.7 82.0 11.0 4.8 87.1 12.5 5.4 96.8 14.2 5.9 111.1 14.1 6.0 116.5 14.2 6.0 123.3 13.6 5.7 122.9 13.4 5.5 126.7 13.1 5.4 - 18.5 9.3 171.4 18.9 9.7 177.2 18.9 9.6 176.5 19.5 10.0 189.1 18.4 9.4 177.5 18.1 8.8 172.5 16.8 8.3 172.0 16.3 7.6 165.8 15.9 7.6 15.0 6.3 100.4 15.2 6.3 103.0 15.4 6.7 103.6 16.6 7.3 115.7 _ _ 15.9 7.2 14.8 6.6 128.4 14.6 6.5 13.9 6.7 127.8 13.6 6.5 126.0 14.9 7.1 135.8 16.0 7.5 141.0 15.5 7.4 149.8 15.4 7.3 160.5 14.8 6.8 156.0 13.6 6.1 152.2 13.8 6.3 12.6 5.7 113.8 13.6 6.1 '125.5 17.0 7.4 145.8 19.4 8.2 161.3 18.7 8.1 168.3 19.0 8.1 180.2 17.7 7.4 169.1 17.5 7.1 175.5 17.0 7.3 16.3 6.9 110.1 16.0 6.8 115.5 17.0 7.2 121.9 18.8 8.0 138.8 18.5 7.9 147.6 18.7 7.9 155.7 17.4 7.1 146.6 16.8 6.6 144.0 16.2 6.7 - 10.8 4.2 69.3 10.7 4.2 72.0 11.3 4.4 72.7 12.1 4.7 82.8 12.1 4.8 86.8 12.0 4.7 88.9 11.2 4.4 86.6 11.1 4.2 87.7 11.1 4.2 6.4 2.7 45.7 6.4 2.7 49.8 7.2 3.1 55.9 8.0 3.3 64.6 9.1 3.9 77.5 9.1 3.8 79.4 8.6 3.7 83.0 8.4 3.6 81.2 8.3 3.5 9.0 3.9 71.6 9.6 4.1 79.1 13.5 5.7 105.7 17.7 6.6 134.2 17.7 6.8 138.6 17.8 6.9 153.7 18.3 7.0 166.1 18.7 7.1 186.6 18.5 7.1 5.2 2.2 37.9 5.3 2.3 42.2 5.8 2.4 43.9 6.1 2.6 51.5 5.6 2.5 55.4 5.9 2.7 57.8 6.0 2.7 64.4 5.9 2.7 65.3 5.6 2.5 9.7 4.2 73.2 10.2 4.3 70.9 10.7 4.6 81.5 11.3 5.1 91.0 11.1 5.1 97.6 11.3 5.1 113.1 11.3 5.1 104.0 10.7 5.0 108.2 10.0 4.6 - 9.6 10.0 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.5 11.3 10.7 A g riculture, fo re s try , an d fish in g 5 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ M ining Total cases............................................................................................... Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... C o n stru ctio n Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ General building contractors: Total cases.................................................................................. . . Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Heavy construction, except building: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses................................................................................... Lost workdays............................................................................................ Special trade contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ . . . M an u factu rin g Lumber and wood products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Furniture and fixtures: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays........................................................................................ Stone, clay, and glass products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Primary metal industries: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays....................................................................................... Fabricated metal products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays............................................................................ Industrial machinery and equipment: Total cases................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Electronic and other electrical equipment: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Transportation equipment: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Instruments and related products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Miscellaneous manufacturing industries: Total cases............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Nondurable goods: Total cases............................................................................................. 16.1 7.2 16.9 7.8 _ . . . . . . . _ See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review September 1995 107 Current Labor Statistics: Injury and Illness Data 49. Continued— Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry,1 United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers3 Industry and type of case2 1985 Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Food and kindred products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Tobacco products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Textile mill products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Apparel and other textile products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Paper and allied products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Printing and publishing: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ................................................................................ Lost workdays......................................................................................... Chemicals and allied products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Petroleum and coal products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... Leather and leather products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................... Lost workdays......................................................................................... 1986 1987 1988 19891 1990 1991 1992 19934 4.4 77.6 4.6 82.3 5.1 93.5 5.4 101.7 5.5 107.8 5.6 116.9 5.5 119.7 5.3 121.8 5.0 - 16.7 8.1 138.0 16.5 8.0 137.8 17.7 8.6 153.7 18.5 9.2 169.7 18.5 9.3 174.7 20.0 9.9 202.6 19.5 9.9 207.2 18.8 9.5 211.9 17.6 8.9 7.3 3.0 51.7 6.7 2.5 45.6 8.6 2.5 46.4 9.3 2.9 53.0 8.7 3.4 64.2 7.7 3.2 62.3 6.4 2.8 52.0 6.0 2.4 42.9 5.8 2.3 - 7.5 3.0 57.4 7.8 3.1 59.3 9.0 3.6 65.9 9.6 4.0 78.8 10.3 4.2 81.4 9.6 4.0 85.1 10.0 4.4 88.3 9.9 4.2 87.1 9.7 4.1 6.7 2.6 44.1 6.7 2.7 49.4 7.4 3.1 59.5 8.1 3.5 68.2 8.6 3.8 80.5 8.8 3.9 92.1 9.2 4.2 99.9 9.5 4.0 104.6 9.0 3.8 10.2 4.7 94.6 10.5 4.7 99.5 12.8 5.8 122.3 13.1 5.9 124.3 12.7 5.8 132.9 12.1 5.5 124.8 11.2 5.0 122.7 11.0 5.0 125.9 9.9 4.6 - 6.3 2.9 49.2 6.5 2.9 50.8 6.7 3.1 55.1 6.6 3.2 59.8 6.9 3.3 63.8 6.9 3.3 69.8 6.7 3.2 74.5 7.3 3.2 74.8 6.9 3.1 5.1 2.3 38.8 6.3 2.7 49.4 7.0 3.1 58.8 7.0 3.3 59.0 7.0 3.2 63.4 6.5 3.1 61.6 6.4 3.1 62.4 6.0 2.8 64.2 5.9 2.7 5.1 2.4 49.9 7.1 3.2 67.5 7.3 3.1 65.9 7.0 3.2 68.4 6.6 3.3 68.1 6.6 3.1 77.3 6.2 2.9 68.2 5.9 2.8 71.2 5.2 2.5 13.4 6.3 107.4 14.0 6.6 118.2 15.9 7.6 130.8 16.3 8.1 142.9 16.2 8.0 147.2 16.2 7.8 151.3 15.1 7.2 150.9 14.5 6.8 153.3 13.9 6.5 - 10.3 4.6 88.3 10.5 4.8 83.4 12.4 5.8 114.5 11.4 5.6 128.2 13.6 6.5 130.4 12.1 5.9 152.3 12.5 5.9 140.8 12.1 5.4 128.5 12.1 5.5 - 8.6 5.0 107.1 8.2 4.8 102.1 8.4 4.9 108.1 8.9 5.1 118.6 9.2 5.3 121.5 9.6 5.5 134.1 9.3 5.4 140.0 9.1 5.1 144.0 9.5 5.4 - 7.4 3.2 50.7 7.7 3.3 54.0 7.7 3.4 56.1 7.8 3.5 60.9 8.0 3.6 63.5 7.9 3.5 65.6 7.6 3.4 72.0 8.4 3.5 80.1 8.1 3.4 - 7.2 3.5 59.8 7.2 3.6 62.5 7.4 3.7 64.0 7.6 3.8 69.2 7.7 4.0 71.9 7.4 3.7 71.5 7.2 3.7 79.2 7.6 3.6 82.4 7.8 3.7 - 7.5 3.1 47.0 7.8 3.2 50.5 7.8 3.3 52.9 7.9 3.4 57.6 8.1 3.4 60.0 8.1 3.4 63.2 7.7 3.3 69.1 8.7 3.4 79.2 8.2 3.3 - 2.0 .9 15.4 2.0 .9 17.1 2.0 .9 14.3 2.0 .9 17.2 2.0 .9 17.6 2.4 1.1 27.3 2.4 1.1 24.1 2.9 1.2 32.9 2.9 1.2 - 5.4 2.6 45.4 5.3 2.5 43.0 5.5 2.7 45.8 5.4 2.6 47.7 5.5 2.7 51.2 6.0 2.8 56.4 6.2 2.8 60.0 7.1 3.0 68.6 6.7 2.8 ■ - - - - - - T ra n s p o rta tio n an d public utilities Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays .......................................................................................... W h o le s a le and retail tra d e Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Wholesale trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Retail trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Finance, insurance , and real e s ta te Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ S e rv ic e s Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 1 Data for 1989 and subsequent years are based on the S ta n d a rd 1987 Edition. For this reason, they are not strictly comparable with data for the years 1985-88, which were based on the S ta n d a rd In d u s tria l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l, 1972 Edition, 1977 Supplement. 2 Beginning with the 1992 survey, the annual survey measures only nonfatal injuries and illnesses, while past surveys covered both fatal and nonfatal incidents. To better address fatalities, a basic element of workplace safety, BLS implemented the Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries. 3 The incidence rates represent the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers and were calculated as: (N/EH) X 200,000, where: In d u s tria l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l, 108 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September 1995 N = number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays. EH = total hours worked by all employees during the calendar year. 200,000 = base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year). 4 Beginning with the 1993 survey, lost workday estimates will not be generated. As of 1992, BLS began generating percent distributions and the median number of days away from work by industry and for groups of workers sustaining similar work disabilities. 5 Excludes farms with fewer than 11 employees since 1976. - Data not available. 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