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M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W LLS, D e p a rtm e n t o f L ab o r B u re a u o f L ab o r S ta tis tic s S e p te m b e r 1983 In th is is s u e : H a n d a n d w ris t d is o rd e rs L ayoffs a nd p e r m a n e n t jo b loss A rb itra tin g bias g rie v a n c e s P ro d u c tiv ity in p la s tic p ro d u c ts https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The M onthly Labor R eview is published by the Bureau of Labor S tatistics of the U.S. Departm ent of Labor. C o m m unications on editorial m atters should be addressed to the Editor-in-C hief, M onthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor S tatistics, W ashington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 5 2 3 -1 3 2 7 . S ubscription price per year— $26 dom estic; $32.50 foreign. S ingle copy $5, dom estic; $6.25, foreign. 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Ferrara 1603 JF K Federal Building, G overnm ent Center, Boston, M ass. 02203 P hone: (617) 2 2 3 -6 7 6 1 C onnecticut M aine M a ssachusetts N ew H am pshire R hode Island V erm ont R egion II— N ew Y ork: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 B roadw ay, Suite 3400, N ew York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 9 4 4 -3 1 2 1 N ew Jersey N ew Y ork P uerto R ico V irgin Islands R egion III— P hiladelp hia: Alvin I. Margulis 3535 M arket S treet P.O . B ox 13309, P hiladelphia, Pa. 19101 P hone: (215) 5 9 6 -1 1 5 4 D elaw are D istrict o f C olum bia M aryland P ennsylvania V irginia W est V irginia R egion IV— A tlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 P eachtree Street, N.E., A tlanta, Ga. 30367 P hone: (404) 8 8 1 -4 4 1 8 A labam a Florida G eorgia K entucky M ississippi N orth C arolina S outh C arolina T e nnessee R egion V — C hicago: William E. Rice 9th Floor, Federal O ffice B uilding, 230 S. D earborn Street, C hicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 3 5 3 -1 8 8 0 Illinois Indiana M ichigan M innesota O hio W isconsin R egion V I— D allas: Bryan Richey S econd Floor, 555 G riffin S quare B uilding, D allas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 7 6 7 -6 9 7 1 A rkan sa s Louisiana N ew M exico O klahom a Texas September cover: D etail of “ C e s a r’s T h u m b ” (1967), a bronze s culpture by C esar, courtesy H irshhorn M useum and S cupture G arden, S m ith s o n ia n In stitution. C over design by R ichard L. M ath ew s https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis R egions VII and V III— K ansas C ity: Elliott A. Browar 911 W a ln u t Street, K ansas C ity, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 3 7 4 -2 4 8 1 VII Iowa K ansas M issouri N ebraska VIII C olorado M ontana N orth D akota S outh D akota Utah W yom ing R egions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 4 50 G olden G ate A venue, B ox 36017, S an Francisco, Calif. 94102 P hone: (415) 5 5 6 -4 6 7 8 IX A m erican S am oa A rizona C a lifornia G uam H aw aii N evada T ru st T e rritory o f the P acific Islands X A laska Idaho O regon W ashington M O N TH LY LA BO R R E VIEW S EP TEM B E R 1983 V O LU M E 106, N UM BER 9 L IB R A R Y H enry Low enstern, Editor-in-C hief R obert W. Fisher, Executive Editor OCT 1 7 1983 Robert W. B ednarzik 3 L a y o ffs a n d p e r m a n e n t jo b lo s s e s : w o r k e r s ’ tr a its , p a tte r n s Job losers w ere heavily c o n ce n tra te d am ong b lu e -co lla r w orkers d u rin g 1982; perm anent losses, as o p p o se d to layoffs, reached a high in latest recession R. C. Jensen, and others 13 M otion-related w rist disorders traced to industries, o ccupatio ns Jobs that involve repetitive m otions of the hand co n trib u te d isp ro p o rtio n a te ly to injuries and illnesses; w orkers in m anufacturing, co n stru ctio n , and a g ricu ltu re are m ost at risk Jam es D. York 17 P roductivity grow th in plastics low er than all m anufacturing During 1 9 72-81, output per hour increased at an annual 1.4 percent, slowing to a rate of less than 1 percent after 1976; new markets and im proved technology expanded output REPO RTS D avid C allahan and others 22 Inflation patterns in the initial stages of recovery G ary Johnston, Philip L. M artin 27 Em ploym ent and w ages reported by C a lifornia farm ers in 1982 DEPARTM ENTS • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 22 27 34 36 42 47 Labor m onth in review Anatom y of price chan ge Research sum m aries M ajor agreem ents expiring next m onth D evelopm ents in industrial relations Book review s C urrent labor statistics Labor Month In Review WORK DISABILITY. The U S. Census Bureau published a report on persons with work disabilities. The study, based on data for 1982 from the Current Population Survey, shows that the overall rate of work disability among persons age 16 to 64 was 8.9 percent, but the prevalence rate varied among demographic, social, and economic groups. The rate among men was somewhat higher than the rate among women. O ther factors strongly associated with the likelihood of having a work disability included age, educa tion, and race. Here are some highlights: Age. The effect of age on work disability status was relatively minor for persons under 45 but was quite pronounced for persons above that age. The prevalence rate increased from 7.1 percent for per sons 35 to 44 years of age to 12.3 percent for persons 45 to 54 years and to 24.1 percent for persons 55 to 64 years. (The study also presents data on persons age 65 to 74.) Education. The exact correlation be tween years of schooling and the likelihood of having a work disability is probably complex, but the association between the two characteristics is very strong. Among persons age 25 to 64, the work disability prevalence rate varied from 31.0 percent among persons with less than an eighth-grade education to 9.0 percent among those with a high school education and 4.6 percent among college graduates. It could be argued that the correlation between disability and low educational attainment runs in both directions. On the one hand, low levels of schooling may lead to participa tion in high-risk occupations. On the other hand, certain disabilities may make it more difficult to attend and complete school. A further hypothesis is that a common set of factors (that is, economic deprivation in childhood) may lead both to low educational attainment and to an increased likelihood of becom ing disabled. Part of the observed relationship be tween education and work disability 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis may be due to the effect of age because age is positively associated with work disability and has a negative association with education. However, the data in dicate that the relationship between education and work disability exists even when age is held constant. For example, among persons 45 to 54 years of age, the work disability rate varied from 28.2 percent among those with less than an eighth-grade education to 9.5 percent among high school graduates and 5.8 percent among college graduates. Race and Hispanic origin. Blacks were more likely than whites to have a work disability. Persons of Hispanic origin, however, were no more likely than whites and were less likely than blacks to have a work disability. That the Hispanic rate was not higher is somewhat puzzling in view of the strong negative association between years of schooling and disability status. Only about 50 percent of Hispanic persons 25 to 64 years old had completed high school, compared with about 62 percent of blacks and 79 percent of whites in the same group. These differences would lead one to expect a higher work disabil ity rate among Hispanic persons than was actually observed. Other characteristics. The prevalence of work disability varied by several other characteristics including region and residence, marital status, household relationship, poverty status, and pro gram participation status. Among the areas of the United States with relatively high prevalence rates for work disability were the central cities of the Northeast (11.3 percent) and the nonmetropolitan areas of the South (11.7 percent). Within metropolitan areas, the prevalence rate was generally higher in the central cities than in the areas outside of central cities. Relationships existed between work disability status and marital status and between work disability status and household relationship. The prevalence rate was higher among widowed, divorc ed, or separated persons than among married persons and the rate among unrelated individuals was considerably higher than the rate among family members. The data suggest that the disadvantage of having a work disability is often compounded by the lack of a family support system. Persons with a work disability were economically disadvantaged. This con clusion is supported by data showing a strong negative relationship between the level of personal income and the likelihood of having a work disability. Of the 13.1 million persons with a work disability, 3.4 million, or about 26 per cent, were in poverty. The poverty rate for persons with no work disability was only about 10 percent. Work-disabled persons made up a disproportionate share of the persons participating in some of the major assistance programs. Of the 12.1 million persons in the age universe who received food stamps in 1981, for example, approximately 23 percent were work-disabled. The work disability rate among Medicaid recip ients was about 37 percent. The Bureau of the Census study is based on a redesigned March Income Supplement to the Current Population Survey. The redesign was undertaken after test results suggested that the re porting of income could be improved by the use of a screening technique in which detailed questions about particular in come types are asked only of those per sons who have been identified as likely to have received the income type.Ques tions about disability status were added in order to identify those persons who should be asked about their receipt of disability income. Additional information and tables showing the survey results appear in the publication, Labor Force Status and Other Characteristics o f Persons With a Work Disability: 1982, Current Popula tion Reports, Special Studies, Series P-23, No. 127 (Bureau of the Census, 1983). The report is available from the G overnm ent P rin tin g O ffice, Washington, D.C. 20402 at a cost of $4.50. □ Layoffs and permanent job losses: workers’ traits and cyclical patterns Job losers were heavily concentrated among blue-collar workers in 1982; permanent losses , as opposed to layoffs, were higher during the latest recession than during any other economic downturn R o ber t W. B e d n a r z ik Layoffs are probably the most visible and, thus, the most widely recognized form of unemployment in the United States, as recessionary job cutbacks receive broad coverage in the media. It is, therefore, surprising that little empirical analysis, especially prior to the mid-seventies, was done on this group.1This stems, in part, from the fact that traditional theories of unemployment did not consider a distinction between layoffs and other types of unemployment— per manent separations, quits, and labor force entries and reen tries— to be of significant importance. This article discusses the “ uniqueness” of persons on layoff as distinguished from those who have been perma nently separated from their jobs. Data for each group are available back to 1967, when the “ reason for unemploy ment” was first identified in the Current Population Survey ( c p s ) , although they were not tabulated and published sep arately until 1976. Using these data, demographic and oc cupational and industry profiles of persons on layoff and those permanently separated are presented. Also, the cycl ical variability in the number of workers on layoff relative to the number permanently separated, together with each group’s job search and job change behavior and duration of unemployment, is examined to determine its role in shortRobert W. Bednarzik is an economist formerly with the Division of Em ployment and Unemployment Analysis. Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis run and long-run unemployment patterns. For example, data show that, compared with prior recessions, a greater pro portion of the increase in unemployment in the recent reces sion is attributable to workers who were permanently separated from their jobs. Layoffs, which were concentrated among factory workers, were also severe, but not much different from the deep 1973-75 economic downturn. On the whole, workers permanently separated were more likely than those on layoff (of whom most were recalled) to change jobs and their duration of unemployment was longer. However, there was still a substantial amount of job search among those on layoff, as many either did not expect to be recalled in the near future or thought their chances were better elsewhere. This raises questions about the c p s layoff classification. Perhaps, the term “ layoff” is some what ambiguous to respondents and may be interpreted by some to mean job termination. In the CPS, unemployment status is ascertained primarily from a series of questions that determine, for persons not working, job search activity and availability.2 For example, permanently separated workers are those who lost their last job or business (for example, they were fired, plant closed down, company moved, or there was a permanent reduction in staff), do not expect to be recalled, are actively looking for another job, and are currently available for work. Persons on layoff, however, are determined from a sep3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Layoffs and Permanent Job Losses arate set of questions and are not required to meet the job seeking test to be counted as unemployed. Respondents who did not work at all during the survey reference week are asked: “ Did you have a job (or business) from which you were temporarily absent or on layoff last week?” Those giving affirmative responses are then asked to give the reason for their absence. Anyone who reports being laid off from a regular job is regarded as unemployed. Thus, laid-off workers are those who report layoff as the reason for absence from their regular job. Although the c p s definition of layoff is quite clear, the c p s layoff questions are subject to different respondent interpretations because inherent in the classifi cation (but not specified in any question) is an expectation of recall to the job. 3 However, since a special-c p s followup survey shows that most of the workers on layoff who re ported that they did not expect to be recalled (those who may have been inappropriately classified as on layoff) were also looking for work, they would still have been counted as unemployed— permanently separated. Profile of workers who lose jobs On average, 2.1 million persons were classified as being on layoff in 1982, a little more than one-sixth of total un employment and two-sixths of all job losers. Exactly who are they, and how do they differ from the 4 million workers who were permanently separated from their jobs? Does the likelihood of being laid off versus permanently separated differ across worker groups? For example, are demographic differences maintained within individual occupational and industry groups? Age, sex, race. The age-sex composition of persons on layoff was similar to that of workers permanently separated in 1982: for every 100 laid-off workers, roughly 65 were men, 30 were women, and 5 were teenagers. (See table 1). Given that there are more men than women or teenagers in the labor force, one would expect men to predominate among persons who have lost jobs. However, the percentage of men suffering job loss was disproportionately high. Men accounted for only slightly more than half of the civilian labor force in 1982, and even less of total unemployment. Tab le 1. Job losers by sex, age, and race, 1982 annual averages Layoffs Permanent separations Percent of Percent of Characteristics Number (in Percent of unem Number (in Percent ot unem thousands) total unem ployment in thousands) total unem ployment in ployment ployment each group each group Total, 16 years and over.......... Teenagers Men. . . . Women . White. . . Black and o ther. . 2,127 111 1,394 622 100.0 5.2 65.5 29.2 22.4 5.6 27.4 17.2 4,141 348 2,571 1,222 1,795 84.4 21.8 3,154 76.2 38.3 332 15.6 13.6 987 23.8 40.5 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 100.0 8.4 62.1 29.5 43.6 17.6 50.5 33.8 Moreover, the trend over the past decade has shown a grad ual widening between the proportions of layoffs accounted for by men and by women. A greater percentage of unemployment among men than among women or teenagers was attributed to layoff. In 1982, for example, 27 percent of all unemployed men were on layoff, compared with 17 percent of women and 6 percent of teenagers. Similarly, a higher proportion of male un employment was the result of being permanently separated from a job. The main reason was that industries traditionally staffed by men tend to be more cyclically sensitive than those staffed by women. In 1982, for example, 7 of 10 workers in the sensitive goods-producing sector were men 20 years and older. A much larger share of unemployment among women can be attributed to labor force reentry, whereas for youth, it is new entry. Also, for men, duration of unemployment because of job loss was slightly longer than for women.4 By far, teenagers’ duration of unemployment was the shortest. Overall, and not surprisingly, the duration of unemployment for workers on layoff in 1982 was several weeks shorter than that for workers whose jobs were permanently terminated. (See ta ble 2.) Although black and other workers (hereafter referred to as black) are clearly overrepresented among total unem ployment, this is not the case among those on layoff. Sixteen percent of persons on layoff in 1982 were black, near their 13 percent share of the labor force. This pattern has pre vailed for more than a decade. On the other hand, blacks accounted for 24 percent of workers who were permanently separated— a figure that has worsened over time— com parable to their disproportionate share of unemployment overall. Blacks were only slightly more likely than whites to suffer a permanent job separation in 1982. Unemployment attrib utable to layoff made up a smaller share of total black job lessness (14 percent) than white (22 percent). This is partially explained by the fact that the group most prone to layoff, men age 20 and over, accounts for a smaller share of overall black joblessness than white. Duration of unemployment from layoff as well as from a permanent job separation was longer for black than white workers. (See table 2.) Industry. The commonly held perception that job loss occurs most often in goods-producing industries was indeed borne out by the data for 1982. However, this was less the case than a decade earlier. Also, there were a number of differ ences among industrial groups, particularly among factory workers, as to the percentage of their unemployment that resulted from layoff. In 1982, 51 percent of all layoffs and 28 percent of per manent job separations occurred in manufacturing indus tries; approximately two-thirds of each were in durable goods. Fifteen percent of those on layoff in 1982 were in the con struction industry, 10 percent in trade, and 7 percent in Tab le 2. Job lo sers’ duration of unem ploym ent, by sex and race, 1982 [In percent) Layoffs Duration Permanent separations Total Men Women Teenagers White Black and other J o b lo s e r s : N u m b e r ( in t h o u s a n d s ) ................................. P e r c e n t ..................................................................... 2,127 100.0 1,394 100.0 622 100.0 109 100.0 1,795 100.0 332 100.0 4,141 100.0 2,571 100.0 1,222 100.0 348 100.0 3 154 100.0 987 100.0 D u ra tio n o f u n e m p lo y m e n t: 5 to 10 w e e k s ...................................................... 11 to 14 w e e k s ................................................... 15 to 26 w e e k s ................................................... 27 w e e k s o r m o r e ........................................... 40.3 21.6 9.6 15.2 13.3 38.7 21.2 9.8 16.3 14.0 41.0 22.3 10.1 14.5 13.2 57.8 21.1 10.1 7.3 3.7 40.0 22.3 9.9 15.3 13.4 41.6 18.4 8.1 15.1 15.1 25.3 21.0 10.1 20.1 23.6 22.7 20.3 10.1 20.4 26.4 27.1 21.1 10.3 20.0 21.5 37 6 25 6 95 17.1 10.1 25 2 2S 3 19 3 10 3 9-3 22 4 20.5 27 4 M e a n d u r a tio n ( w e e k s ) ........................................ 13.6 14.2 12.4 7.4 12.5 16.9 19.7 21.2 18.7 12.6 15.3 21.2 Total Men Women Teenagers White and other 21 6 18.7 Note: The mean duration was estimated using the midpoints of the number of weeks in un employed categories: 52 weeks was the assumed midpoint for the 27 weeks or more category. services. Trade ranked a close second to manufacturing in permanent separations, followed by services, then construc tion. (See table 3.) The proportion of layoffs and permanent job separations in the manufacturing industry has declined over the past decade, while services, trade, and government all increased. However, the goods industries— specifically manufacturing and construction— were, relative to their shares of total employment, still overrepresented by layoffs in 1982, while services and trade were underrepresented. The proportion of layoffs that occurred in the public sector was about equal to its share of total employment. The layoff component of unemployment among service, trade, and government workers was still only around 10 percent each, compared with 40 percent among factory workers. Moreover, the likelihood of layoffs varied consid erably among detailed manufacturing groups, perhaps re lated to the extent of their unionization because studies have shown that employment “ adjustments through layoffs are substantially greater in unionized firms than comparable nonunionized firms.” 5 The following tabulation shows the number and percent of unemployed workers on layoff in selected manufacturing industries in 1982, and the percent of each industry’s employed wage and salary workers in labor organizations in May 1980:6 Layoffs in 1982 Percent union workers, Number (in thousands) Percent May 1980 A u to m o b ile s ..................... P rim a ry m e t a l s .............. M a c h in e ry , e x c e p t e le c t r i c a l ....................... A p p a r e l .............................. E le c tric a l e q u ip m e n t .. O th e r tra n s p o rta tio n e q u ip m e n t..................... T e x t i l e s .............................. F o o d an d k in d re d p r o d u c t s ....................... F a b ric a te d m e t a l s ......... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 136 208 6 3 .3 5 9 .9 6 1 .2 5 8 .4 286 149 193 5 3 .8 4 7 .0 4 6 .6 2 8 .7 25.1 2 6 .9 100 83 4 6 .0 4 5 .8 4 2 .2 14.9 171 190 3 8 .0 3 7 .8 3 7 .5 36.1 i Layoffs were relatively most important in automobile manufacturing (65 percent) and primary metals (60 percent), and accounted lor nearly 40 percent or more of joblessness in most manufacturing industries. These industries also had a large segment of workers in labor organizations. For ex ample, autos and primary metals ranked high in both percent of unemployment that stemmed from layoffs and percent of their wage and salary work force that were in labor unions. Union membership was actually the highest in the non manufacturing railroad industry, 82 percent in May 1980: two-thirds of this industry’s unemployment in 1982 was attributable to layoffs. Surprisingly, permanent separations among wage and sal ary workers as a percent of each group’s unemployment did not differ much across major industries. The range was from 54 percent in the construction industry to 41 percent in government, although this latter figure was much higher than in previous recessions. Occupation. As might be expected, the distribution of lay offs is more concentrated across occupations than across industries. Seventy-five percent of the workers on layoff in 1982 were blue-collar, an overwhelmingly disproportionate figure, given that blue-collar employment accounted for only 30 percent of total employment. The heaviest concentrations of blue-collar workers on layoff were among nontransport operatives and craftworkers. (See table 3,) White-collar workers’ share of unemployment stemming from layoffs was only 16 percent, half of which was clerical workers. Among workers who were permanently separated from their jobs, blue-collar workers’ share was 55 percent, and white-collar workers’, 30 percent. There has been very little change in the occupational distribution of either job-loser group over the past 10 years. Although blue-collar workers were three times as likely as white-collar workers in 1982 to suffer a job layoff, both groups were almost equally likely to be permanently sep arated from their jobs. The likelihood of job separation visa-vis layoff was higher, regardless of occupation. 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Layoffs and Permanent Job Losses Tab le 3. Job losers, by occupation and industry, 1982 Layoffs Occupation and industry Number (in thousands) Permanent separations Percent of total unemployment Percent of unemployment in each occupation or industry Number (in thousands) Percent of total unemployment Percent of unemployment in each occupation or industry Total job losers, 16 years and over....................... Occupation 2,127 100.0 22.4 4,141 100.0 43.6 White-collar workers........................................................ Professional and technical workers............................ Managers and administrators.................................... Clerical workers........................................................... Salesworkers................................................................ 332 73 41 175 42 15.6 3.4 1.9 8.2 2.0 12.0 12.7 9.9 12.6 10.8 1,181 253 214 548 166 28.5 6.1 5.2 13.2 4.0 42.7 43.7 57.4 39.6 42.8 Blue-collar w o rke rs........................................................ Craftworkers................................................................ Operatives, except transport...................................... Transport equipment operatives................................. Nonfarm laborers........................................................ 1,594 457 760 136 241 74.9 21.4 35.7 6.4 11.3 32.5 32.7 37.4 30.3 23.5 2,269 693 841 225 510 54.8 16.7 20.3 5.4 12.3 46.3 49.6 41.4 50.1 49.7 Service workers................................................................ Farmworkers..................................................................... 162 35 7.6 1.6 10.0 18.3 615 77 14.9 1.9 37.8 40.2 Industry1 Mining................................................................................ Construction..................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durables........................................................................ Nondurables................................................................ Transportation and public utilitie s................................. Wholesale and retail trade.............................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate............................... Services............................................................................. Government..................................................................... 64 315 1,089 793 296 121 222 19 151 17 3.0 14.8 51.2 37.3 13.9 5.7 10.4 0.9 7.1 3.5 41.4 30.6 39.3 44.3 30.1 30.5 10.8 6.8 9.9 9.4 69 552 1,154 722 433 186 888 126 667 324 1.7 13.3 27.S 17.4 10.5 4.5 21.4 3.0 16.1 7.8 45.0 53.5 41.7 40.4 44.0 46.7 43.0 45.6 43.8 40.5 1 Excludes agricultural wage and salary workers and self-employed and unpaid family workers. To determine if the observed differences in the likelihood of layoff among the major age-sex and racial groups were due to occupation or industry affiliation, the probability of layoff among each group in the same occupation or industry was examined. (See tables 4 and 5.) Generally, the con centration of worker groups in particular occupations and industries was crucial to the magnitude of their unemploy ment accounted for by layoffs. Among blue-collar workers in 1982, for example, the percentage of unemployment ac counted for by layoff was nearly 35 percent for both men and women. The likelihood of unemployment attributable to layoff was also similar for men and women in other occupations. In other words, when occupations are exam ined individually, the probability of layoff among men being greater than that among women essentially disappears. Sim ilarly, the layoff rate differentials by sex were much nar rower in individual industries than for men and women overall. In the finance, insurance, and real estate industry, moreover, women were more likely than men to be laid off.7 The black-white job-loss differential was, for the most part, unaffected by occupational and industry affiliation, although black workers in blue-collar occupations or in the goods sector were now noticeably more likely than white workers to suffer a permanent job separation. (See tables 4 and 5.) Cyclical variation in job losses The rapid shift in recent years within the manufacturing industry towards high technology firms and those making 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis synthetics may have exacerbated an already high risk among workers in metals-based industries to lose their jobs in a recession.8 In other words, in addition to the historical shift from goods to services, the factory shift away from metalsbased industries will make it harder for unemployed workers formerly employed in these industries to reclaim their jobs. Several factors— peak-to-trough changes, job search and job change propensity, recall rates, and duration of unem ployment— were explored in an attempt to distinguish the pattern of job losses, both in the current economic downturn and in comparison to other contractions. Specifically, this analysis examines the cyclical variability of layoffs and per manent separations and describes the effect on short- and long-run total jobless rate patterns. Changes during a recession. As one would expect, job loss accounts for a larger proportion of total unemployment dur ing recessions, when employers are trying to reduce their costs in response to a slumping economy. In two previous studies, job-loser unemployment was found to be more cycl ically sensitive than the other types of unemployment.9 However, layoffs and permanent separations were not ana lyzed separately. A 1976 study which isolated the layoff component concluded that because layoffs increased as a proportion of total job losers between the peak and trough of each recessionary cycle, it was “ the most cyclically sen sitive component of the job-loser group and also more cycl ical than any other categories of unemployed.“ 10 Chart 1 compares the pattern of layoffs and permanent separations as a percent of total unemployment over the 1968-82 period. The percentage of unemployment resulting from permanent separations averaged twice that resulting from layoffs. The gap narrowed considerably during reces sions, however. The following tabulation shows the rise in job-loser unemployment as a percent of the increase in total unemployment for selected business cycles peak to trough: Job losers Total Laid off D e c e m b e r 1 9 6 9 - N o v e m b e r 1970 . . 6 0 .0 N o v e m b e r 1 9 7 3 - M a r c h 1 9 7 5 ......... . 7 2 .6 J a n u a ry 1 9 8 0 - J u ly 1980 .................. . 8 2 .3 Ju ly 1981 - N o v e m b e r 1 9 8 2 .............. . 8 4 .5 Permanently separated 2 2 .9 3 5 .3 4 6 .3 3 1 .4 37.1 3 7 .3 3 6 .0 53.1 Layoffs as a factor in increases in joblessness during recessions have been somewhat more extensive since the mild 1969-70 contraction, the 1980 episode notwithstand ing. 11 It is common practice for employers to lay off workers at the outset of a recession before resorting to more per manent employee cutbacks, hence, the shortness of the 1980 downturn resulted in an abnormally high proportion of lay offs relative to increases in total joblessness. Thus, in de termining the long-run pattern of layoffs in recessionary periods, the 1980 episode was not considered. Among the major age-sex groups, men 20 years and over were usually most affected by layoffs: in the 1981-82 downturn, for example, more than a third of their unemployment increase was a result of layoffs. In light of seniority practices, women, whose job tenure is likely to be shorter than that for men, are laid off first. What eventually happens as recessions lengthen is that the number of layoffs among men catches, then surpasses, the number among women. Also, although joblessness increases stemming from layoffs were higher among white than black workers, the bulk of the layoffs among black workers occurred earlier in the 1981-82 reces sion. What really set the most recent recession apart from its predecessors, however, was the larger number of permanent separations. In the three downturns prior to the 1981 epi sode, the rise in unemployment as a result of permanent separations was about 37 percent. In contrast, more than half the rise in unemployment in the 1981-82 recession was a result of workers being permanently separated from their jobs. Of course, a partial explanation for this phenomenon could be that workers on layoff, after a lengthy wait for recall, perceived that their job was indeed lost and thus began the search for another one, therefore moving into the permanent separation category. Still, in total, job losers accounted for 85 percent of the increase in unemployment in the 1981-82 recession, higher than in any other recession since unemployment data by reason have been collected. Job search and job change. Although the foregoing sta tistics clearly indicate the cyclical nature of job-loser un employment, they do not provide any information about the search activity or likelihood of a job change among job losers. David Lilien noted that the speed at which job search- Tab le 4. Job losers, by o ccupation, age, sex, and race, 1982 Percent of unemployment in each occupation Percent of total unemployment Job losers Men Women Teenagers White Black and other Layoffs, t o t a l................................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 27.4 17.2 5.6 21.8 13.6 White-collar workers................................................... Professional and technical workers....................... Managers and administrators................................. Clerical w o rke rs...................................................... Salesworkers........................................................... 10.2 3.2 2.3 3.4 1.4 28.5 4.7 1.3 19.5 3.1 12.0 13.0 2.4 1.2 7.8 1.5 15.3 15.7 12.4 20.0 12.2 11.1 10.3 5.7 12.1 11.2 5.3 0.9 7.4 3.7 16.1 3.7 2.1 8.3 2.1 10.0 5.2 6.5 12.8 14.0 10.3 34.8 11.1 8.5 7.4 8.0 8.7 9.8 Blue-collar workers...................................................... Craftworkers.............................................................. Operatives, except transport................................. Transport equipment operatives............................ Nonfarm laborers................................................... 83.6 30.1 30.5 8.9 14.1 57.6 3.7 48.5 1.4 4.0 63.9 12.0 30.6 2.8 18.5 ' 75.8 23.2 35.1 6.7 10.7 71.1 12.3 39.5 4.8 14.8 33.8 33.9 39.8 31.4 26.3 35.3 28.4 37.0 29.8 27.4 15.7 16.9 21.9 13.6 10.6 34.8 34.4 40.1 32.7 25.5 23.5 21.8 28.3 19.3 18.2 Service workers........................................................... Farmworkers................................................................ 4.4 1.6 12.7 1.1 19.4 4.6 6.5 1.5 13.6 2.4 12.6 23.8 10.3 16.6 5.8 9.8 10.5 17.9 8.9 19.0 Permanent separations, to ta l......................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 50.5 33.8 17.6 38.3 40.5 White-collar workers................................................... Professional and technical workers....................... Managers and administrators................................. Clerical w o rke rs...................................................... Salesworkers........................................................... 19.7 6.3 5.5 4.7 3.5 49.7 7.9 5.6 31.3 4.8 19.2 1.4 1.1 12.3 4.3 30.5 6.4 6.0 13.3 4.7 22.2 5.2 2.6 12.9 1.7 54.5 54.0 54.9 52.1 58.5 38.2 35.0 46.4 38.4 34.9 27.1 22.7 40.0 28.1 24.2 42.6 43.1 51.6 44.5 44.2 43.1 47.2 52.0 42.5 33.3 Blue-collar workers...................................................... Craftworkers.............................................................. Operatives, except transport................................. Transport equipment operatives............................ Nonfarm laborers................................................... 67.8 24.4 19.4 8.1 15.8 29.2 2.8 23.1 0.8 2.6 48.7 8.9 16.9 2.6 20.3 55.0 18.6 19.6 5.6 11.3 54.0 10.7 22.5 5.3 15.5 50.5 50.7 46.8 52.3 54.5 35.2 42.0 34.7 31.0 35.2 38.7 40.3 39.1 40.9 37.8 44.5 48.5 39.4 47.5 47.3 53.1 56.4 47.9 62.7 56.9 Service workers........................................................... Farmworkers................................................................ 10.7 1.9 19.9 1.2 28.4 3.4 12.6 1.9 22.0 1.7 55.6 50.5 31.5 35.7 27.3 23.5 35.6 39.8 42.7 40.5 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — Men Women Teenagers White Black and other — 7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Layoffs and Permanent Job Losses T ab le 5. Job losers, by industry, age, sex, and race, 1982 Percent of total unemployment Job losers Percent of unemployment in each industry Men Women Teenagers White Black and other Layoffs, to ta l........................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 27.4 17.2 5.6 21.8 13.6 Mining................................................................................ Construction...................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durables........................................................................ Nondurables................................................................ 4.3 20.7 49.4 41.2 8.2 0.3 2.1 58.8 31.7 27.1 0.9 13.0 31.5 20.4 12.0 3.5 15.8 50.6 37.1 13.5 0.6 9.9 55.1 38.6 16.6 43.6 32.2 42.7 48.0 27.4 30.2 23.4 36.4 38.3 34.4 12.5 17.3 22.2 28.2 17.3 42.6 32.4 41.5 46.6 31.9 20.0 20.7 31.1 35.5 24.1 Transportation and public u tilities................................. Wholesale and retail trade.............................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate............................... Services............................................................................. Government...................................................................... 7.2 7.4 0.4 4.9 2.2 3.1 13.4 2.1 11.8 6.6 1.9 33.3 _ 10.2 3.7 5.8 10.7 0.9 6.7 2.9 5.4 9.0 0.9 9.6 7.2 33.9 13.4 6.0 12.3 9.9 23.2 9.8 7.9 9.3 10.5 8.1 11.0 6.1 3.3 32.3 11.5 7.1 10.7 10.5 23.0 7.7 5.2 7.8 7.6 Men Women Teenagers White Black and other Permanent separations, to ta l................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 50.5 33.8 17.6 38.3 40.5 Mining................................................................................ Construction...................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durables........................................................................ Nondurables................................................................ 2.4 19.0 28.4 19.5 8.9 0.4 2.2 29.8 15.7 14.0 0.9 10.3 17.5 8.0 9.2 2.0 14.4 27.6 17.4 10.2 0.5 9.8 28.7 17.4 11.2 44.4 54.6 45.2 41.8 54.8 57.6 49.3 36.3 37.5 35.0 37.5 44.4 39.9 35.9 42.7 43.8 52.0 39.9 35.9 42.7 67.3 61.6 48.2 47.9 48.8 Transportation and public u tilitie s................................. Wholesale and retail trade.............................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate............................... Services............................................................................. Government..................................................................... 5.8 17.5— 2.3 13.0 6.6 2.4 25.5 4.9 22.3 10.1 2.3 36.4 2.0 16.9 9.2 4.6 22.5 3.2 14.9 6.0 4.1 17.8 2.5 20.1 13.6 50.0 58.3 62.7 60.3 55.3 35.6 36.6 37.8 34.7 33.0 42.1 28.6 31.8 33.0 26.2 45.4 42.5 44.5 42.1 38.7 52.5 44.9 50.9 48.6 43.3 N ote: Excludes agricultural wage and salary workers and self-employed and unpaid family workers. ers find new jobs and the speed at which firms recall layoffs are major cyclical causes of variations in unemployment.12 That is, duration of unemployment is also an important consideration to cyclical variability, and it was usually longer for unemployed workers who were permanently separated than for those who were laid off. Thus, in this regard, the laid-off workers’ contribution to the cyclical variability of joblessness is not apt to be as great as that for workers who were permanently separated. However, the fact that recall may be fairly likely for those on layoff does not imply that they fail to engage in job search and, subsequently, may change jobs. As noted earlier, persons on layoff are not asked in the c p s if they had been looking for work during the prior 4 weeks, a key question in determining whether persons are unemployed. However, such information was collected in the Methods Development Survey13— a small experimental survey of the Bureau of the Census that was designed to test alternative questions and refinements that might be in troduced into the c p s questionnaire at a future date. The cumulative monthly results over the April 1981 to December 1982 period are shown in the following tabulation of the percent of those on layoff who looked for work: Total, 16 years and over.......... ....... Total 58.0 Men 65.2 Women 47.3 16-19 years............................. ....... 56.1 20.0 72.7 20 years and over.................... 20-24 years......................... 25-54 years......................... 55 years and over................. 58.1 70.0 56.9 38.5 66.7 72.1 67.7 47.1 45.5 64.7 40.5 20.0 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ....... ....... ....... ....... Fifty-eight percent of the persons reported as laid off looked for work at some point during the 4-week period prior to their being surveyed. This was much higher than the 10-percent estimated by Martin Feldstein in his 1975 study of those on layoff who searched for work during the week preceding the survey.14 But it was lower than the 83percent from the 1973 Job Finding Survey15 who said they looked for work at some time before they either returned to their old job or obtained a new job. Two-thirds of men age 20 and over on layoff looked for work, and they were more likely than women or teenagers to have done so. Among all adults on layoff the likelihood of job search decreased with age (although this was not as visible among men). For example, the proportion of persons age 20-24 on layoff who searched for work was nearly twice the proportion for those 55 years and over.16 If, in fact, most workers on layoff are recalled before finding an acceptable job prospect, their search efforts are largely irrelevant in determining duration of unemployment spells. Rather, duration would be determined primarily by the firm’s recall policy.17 About 75 percent of the respon dents in the c p s are common in consecutive months. There fore, it is possible to gain some perspective on the magnitude of the number of workers on layoff likely to change jobs by comparing their labor force status from one month to the next.18 This was done via a matching of the labor force status of persons in June 1976 who were reported as job losers in M ay.19 For this purpose, a change in detailed industry attachment (3-digit level) between the 2 months represented a job change.20 The following illustrates the May-to-June flow of job losers. P e rc e n t u n e m p lo y e d in M a y an d e m p lo y e d in J u n e .................................. U n e m p lo y e d in M a y a n d e m p lo y e d in J u n e , b y j o b c h a n g e sta tu s (p e rc e n t d istrib u tio n ): T o t a l ........................................... Jo b c h a n g e ................................ N o jo b c h a n g e .............................. Laid off Permanently separated whereas only slightly more than a third of those on layoff actually changed jobs— most returned to their old jobs.21 2 9 .8 2 0 .9 1 0 0 .0 37.1 6 2 .8 100.0 6 6 .5 3 3 .5 Recall rates. Because a recessionary increase in joblessness usually involves a larger proportion of permanent separa tions than layoffs, and because separations are twice as likely as layoffs to involve a job change (often a time-consuming process), separations contribute more than layoffs to the short-run variation in unemployment. However, because it is not known if either job-loser group’s likelihood of recall or proclivity towards changing jobs has changed over time, it is not possible to say definitively whether their influence on the short-run variation in unemployment has changed. Thirty percent of those on layoff in May and 21 percent of those permanently separated found employment in June. Two-thirds of those permanently separated changed jobs, C h a rt 1. L a id -o ff w o rk e rs a n d th e p e rm a n e n tly s e p a r a te d as a p e r c e n ta g e of th e u n e m p lo y e d , 1 9 6 8 -8 3 N o t e : Data are seasonally adjusted. Shaded areas Indicate recessionary periods as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research: p is the peak; t is the trough. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Layoffs and Permanent Job Losses For example, a decrease in the probability of recall could lead to longer duration of layoff employment which, in turn, would heighten the cyclical contribution of layoffs. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor Turnover Survey, although not available subsequent to 1981,22 are used here to examine the trend in recalls from layoffs, while c p s data are used to examine trends in duration of layoffs. For manufacturing, communications, and selected mining industries, employers report the number of new hires and other accessions to their payrolls as well as the number of quits, layoffs, and other separations during the month. Each type of turnover action is totaled for the month and expressed as a rate per 100 employees. Layoffs are defined as “ sus pensions from pay status (lasting or expecting to last more than 7 consecutive calendar days), initiated by the employer without prejudice to the worker.” 23 To determine how many of those in the manufacturing industry were recalled to their jobs, Feldstein computed a rehire rate— the ratio of other accessions to layoffs. This ratio averaged 85 percent over the 1960-75 period, leading to the conclusion that “ the vast majority of those laid off in manufacturing are ultimately rehired by their original employers, although in some cases they take jobs elsewhere in the interim.” 24 But, what is the recent trend in rehires? Beginning in January 1976, a separate column for recalls was added to the labor turnover questionnaire mailed to establishments. Recalls were defined as “ permanent and temporary additions to the employment rolls of persons spe cifically recalled to a job in the same establishment of the company following a period of layoff lasting more than 7 consecutive days.” 23 A comparison of a recall-to-layoff ra tio (recall rate) using these new data with the rehire measure developed by Feldstein is presented in table 6. Interestingly, over the 1976-81 period, the recall rate averaged 72 percent, considerably lower than the rehire rate average of 96 percent T ab le 6. Labor tu rn o v e r rates in th e m anufacturing industry, 1 9 6 8 -8 1 and the same percentage as those on layoff in one month who had been recalled 2 weeks later as reported in a special c p s followup in July 1982.26 Again, although still quite high, not as many workers on layoff return to their original jobs as previously thought. Both the recall and rehire rates have declined in recent years. However, the rehire rates in the recessionary periods were similar, perhaps an indication that the likelihood of job change among workers on layoff was also similar. Duration. An increase in the duration of unemployment for those on layoff could be viewed as a decreased likelihood of recall, which could eventualy necessitate a job change. Therefore, an examination of the long-run trend of duration on layoff might also yield some insight into whether the probability of laid-off workers changing jobs has increased or decreased. That is, a trend towards longer duration on layoff might reflect a heightened tendency to change jobs. Also, the longer the unemployment spell of job losers, the greater the probability that a higher overall jobless rate will result in the long run. Below are estimates of mean duration (in weeks) of un employment for laid-off and permanently separated workers, 1968-82:27 Year Layoffs Permanent separations 1968 1969 197 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......................................... 7.1 ...................................... 6 .8 ......................................... 7 .5 ......................................... 10.3 ......................................... 10.8 ......................................... 7 .8 ......................................... 7 .5 ............................................ 14.1 11.2 10.4 12.3 16.4 16.9 13.9 13.7 19.5 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 ............................................ ............................................ ......................................... ......................................... ............................................ ............................................ ............................................ 2 1 .6 19.3 15.8 14.5 12.7 1 8 .0 19.7 14.5 1 1 .0 8 .9 7 .9 11.5 1 2 .4 13.6 [P e r 1 0 0 e m p lo y e e s ] (D (2) Total accessions (3) (4) (5) New Rehires1 Rehire rate1 hires (2-3) (4 -1 ) Year Layoffs 1968 ............. 1969 ............. 1970 ............. 1 9 7 1 ............. 1972 ............. 1973 ............. 1974 ............. 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.5 4.6 4.7 4.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.2 3.5 3.7 2.8 2.6 3.3 3.9 3.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.92 0.83 0.67 0.81 1.09 1.00 0.67 1975 ............. 1976 ............. 1977 ............. 1978 ............. 1979 ............. 1980 ............. 1 9 8 1 ............. 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.6 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.81 1.00 1.09 1.11 1.00 0.82 0.75 1 .4 1.2 (6) Recalls (7) Recall rate (6 -1 ) — _ — — — — — — — — — — _ _ 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.70 0.82 0.78 0.64 0.65 0.63 1 .1 1.0 1 As reported in Martin Feldstein, “ The Importance of Temporary Layoffs: An Empirical Analysis,” B ro o k in g s P a p e rs o n E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , No. 3, 1975. N o t e : Dashes indicate data are not available. 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The mean durations of unemployment among both groups of job losers in the 1981-82 downturn and the later stages of the 1973-75 recession were similar, but were longer than in the mild 1969-70 recession. Actually, the duration of unemployment resulting from layoffs was slightly shorter in the recent downturn than in the mid-1970 episode. Thus, although it is very unlikely that the “ job change” behavior of either group changed perceptibly over the past 10 years, their tendency to change jobs may now be higher than 15 years ago. In summary, layoffs accounted for close to the same per centage of the total increase in unemployment in the current recession as in the 1973-75 episode, while the likelihood of changing jobs remained roughly the same in both periods. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the contribution of layoffs to the short-run variability of unemployment also did not change. Over the longer run, however, the contri bution may have grown, especially if allowance is made for the possibility that some workers on layoff, after a time, considered themselves permanently separated. In contrast, job loss from permanent separation made up a much greater share of the overall rise of unemployment in the* current recession than in previous downturns. Thus, it is clear that the contribution of workers permanently separated to the short-run variability of unemployment also rose. Moreover, given the greater percentage increase in unemployment ac counted for by workers who were permanently separated from their jobs in the recent recession and their longer du ration of unemployment, it will probably be more difficult for the overall jobless ratio to fall to prerecession levels. Are layoffs overstated? The fairly substantial amount of job search on the part of persons on layoff reported in the Methods Development Survey and the apparent significant number who do not return to their old jobs raise some questions about the clas sification of layoff in the regular c p s . If workers who say they are on layoff are searching for work, are they also expecting to be recalled to their jobs, a prerequisite to the layoff classification? If they do not expect to be recalled, is the official classification of layoff overstated? As discussed earlier, to determine the extent that persons who reported themselves on layoff did not expect to be recalled, a special follow-up survey of the unemployed in July 1982 was conducted 2 weeks subsequent to the c p s interview week. In this survey, respondents who were in itially reported as on layoff were asked directly, “ Do you eventually expect to be called back to the job from which you were on layoff?” Preliminary results revealed that nearly a fourth of those still on layoff at the time of the follow-up survey did not expect to be recalled, and most of them had looked for work in the prior 4 weeks. That is, whereas they may not actually have been on layoff, they still would have been classified as unemployed. This suggests that the term “ layoff” has different meanings as far as the unemployed are concerned and includes, for some, job termination. It should be kept in mind that these results are based upon a single month’s observation, and a period of testing would have to be done to determine if they would hold up con sistently. The labor force classification of persons on layoff differs among industrial nations because of differences in labor market practices and in degrees of job attachment. For ex ample, many, if not most, workers on layoff in European countries and in Japan, because of work contracts, are vir tually certain to be recalled to their jobs and, thus, are classified as employed.2* The Eighth International Confer ence of Labor Statisticians, under the auspices of The In ternational Labor Office, specified in 1954 that only persons on layoff without pay are to be included among the un employed. Recently, a study of the statistical treatment of layoffs commissioned by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development promulgated, for the pur poses of international comparison, the following set of “ building blocks” relating to persons on layoff:29 Classification of person on _______ layoff who—_______ Looked Did not look for work for work D a te o f re ca ll: S p e c i f i e d .................................. N o t s p e c i f i e d ......................... E m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y e d E m p lo y e d N o t in th e lab o r fo rce According to this line of reasoning, only persons on layoff who had looked for work and did not have a specific recall date would be considered unemployed; all those with a specific recall date would be considered employed. These modifications were discussed at the Thirteenth International Conference of Labor Statisticians held in Geneva in October 1982 but were not adopted (except for a provision that offers some leeway for countries to adopt their own measurement of layoff depending upon national practice).30 But in view of recent testing that places some doubt as to the interpre tation and measurement of layoff, the United States is con templating the addition of “job search” and “ expected recall date” questions to the c p s at some future date and, thus, may be firming up the measurement and concept. □ FOOTNOTES A cknowledgment: Stella Cromartie, an economic assistant in the Division o f Employment and Unemployment Analysis, provided technical assistance in the preparation o f this article. ' Martin Feldstein, “ The Importance of Temporary Layoffs: An Empir ical A nalysis,” B r o o k in g s P a p e r s o n E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , No. 3, 1975, pp. 7 2 5 -4 4 , was among the first to recognize the importance of the layoff component o f unemployment. It was followed by: Thomas F. Bradshaw and Janet Scholl, “ The Extent of Job Search During Layoff, B ro o k in g s P a p e r s o n E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , No. 2, 1976, pp. 515-26; Martin Feldstein, “ The Effect o f Unemployment Insurance on Temporary Layoff Unem ploym ent,” A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R e v ie w , December 1978, pp. 834-46; David M. Lilien, “ The Cyclical Pattern of Temporary Layoffs in United States Manufacturing,” R e v ie w o f E c o n o m ic s a n d S ta tistic s, February 1980, pp. 2 4 -3 1 ; Kenneth Burdett and Dole T. Mortensen, “ Search, Layoffs, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Labor Market Equilibrium,” J o u r n a l o f P o litic a l E c o n o m y , August 1980, pp. 652-7 2 ; James L. Medoflf, “ Layoffs and Alternatives under Trade Unions in U .S. Manufacturing,” A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R e v ie w , June 1979, pp. 380-95; and Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn, “ Causes and Consequences of Layoffs,” E c o n o m ic I n q u ir y , April 1981, pp. 2 7 0 96. 2 See H o w th e G o v e r n m e n t M e a s u r e s U n e m p lo y m e n t, Report 505 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1976). 3 C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n S u r v e y I n te r v ie w e r s R e f e r e n c e M a n u a l, cps-250 (Bureau of the Census, January 1980), pp. D 5 -3 8 . 4 The cps measure of duration of unemployment reflects the current duration o f an “ in-progress” spell o f unemployment, not a “ completed” spell. For more information, see Norman Bowers, “ Probing the issues of unemployment duration,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , July 1980, pp. 2 3 -3 2 . 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Layoffs and Permanent Job Losses 5Medoff, “ Layoffs and Alternatives,” p. 380. 6 E a r n in g s a n d O th e r C h a r a c te r is tic s o f O r g a n iz e d W o rk e rs , M a y 1 9 8 0 , Bulletin 2105 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, September 1981). 7 When controlling for both industry and occupation simultaneously, Martin Feldstein found that not only was the male/female layoff differential reduced but it was actually reversed, women having a significantly higher layoff rate than men. However, he expressed surprise over the size of the differential and thought that it may have reflected an overadjustment for occupation and industry attachment. Feldstein, “ The Effect of Unemploy ment Insurance,” p. 841. 8 Richard E. Caves, “ The Structure of Industry,” in Martin Feldstein, ed., T h e A m e r ic a n E c o n o m y in T r a n s itio n (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1980), pp. 5 0 1 -4 5 . 9Curtis L. Gilroy, “ Job losers, leavers, and entrants: traits and trends,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1973, pp. 3 -1 5 . 10Thomas F. Bradshaw and Janet L. Scholl, “ Workers on layoff: a comparison o f two data series,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1976, pp. 2 9 -3 3 . 11 An examination of actual trough to peak changes in the number of layoffs relative to changes in the number of unemployed for the same dates yields the following: May 1969 to September 1 9 71,24.7 percent; October 1973 to June 1975, 40.5 percent; June 1978 to July 1980, 54.0 percent; and July 1981 to September 1982, 39.5 percent. The extent of layoffs relative to total unemployment in the 1973-75 and 1981-82 recessions was similar. l2Lilien, “ The Cyclical Pattern of Temporary Layoffs,” p. 24. 13The data on layoffs are from Phase III and IV covering the April 1981 to December 1982 period. The sample size each month was approximately 800 persons (200 respondents leave and 200 others enter the sample each month yielding an approximate cumulative sample size of 4,000 over the sample period) drawn from four areas— Chicago, Scranton, San Antonio, and rural Georgia. l4Feldstein, “ The Importance of Temporary Layoffs,” p. 732. 15Reported and described in Bradshaw, “ The Extent of Job Search,” pp. 5 1 7 -1 8 . 16 A related question in the literature (Feldstein, “ The Importance of Temporary Layoffs,” pp. 744-4 5 ) has to do with whether nonsearchers on layoff are concentrated in high-wage industries. Unfortunately, such information was generally not available from Methods Development Sur vey data. However, it is possible to gain some insight into this issue from regular monthly cps data. Individuals on layoff can be classified into two groups: those with a definite date of expected recall within 30 days are classified as on “ temporary layoff,” while all others are classified as on “ indefinite layoff.” It is assumed that those on indefinite layoff would be more likely than those on temporary layoff to search for work. Some support for this assumption is available from Methods Development Survey data. Remember, one factor that sets persons on temporary layoff apart from those on indefinite layoff is that the former m u s t have a definite expected recall date. In the Methods Development Survey, persons on layoff were asked if they had a specific date to return to work. Nearly 70 percent of those on layoff w ith o u t a specific recall date had looked for work, as opposed to 45 percent for those w ith a specific recall date. The examination o f temporary versus indefinite layoff data, or the assumed nonsearchers versus searchers, by detailed industry revealed the following. First, each industry was classified as high- or low-wage based upon whether its average hourly wage was higher or lower than the average for all industries. If the assertion about nonsearchers in high-wage industries was correct, then one would expect that the percentage of those on temporary layoff in highwage industries would be greater than their percentage in all industries. Actually, the percentages were relatively the same, one-fourth. Thus, it does not appear that nonsearching while on layoff is a function of wages. l7Lilien, “ The Cyclical Pattern o f Temporary Layoffs,” p. 25. 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 U sin g th e C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n S u r v e y a s a L o n g itu d in a l D a ta B a se , Report 608 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Í980). 19 A readily available M ay-June 1976 C P S match file was the reason this time period was chosen. Eighty-five percent of the job losers in May who also would have been sampled in June were matched: 352 persons on layoff and 929 other job losers. 20Under this definition, 14 percent of the workers employed in May were employed in a different job in June. O f course, some of this “job change” could have been the result of reporting errors; that is, the re spondent does not actually change jobs but, because of recording or coding error, the detailed industry category is different in successive months. However, in 1982, Wesley Mellow and Hal Sider compared 4,523 cps respondents’ description of their jobs with that provided by the employer and found a fairly high level of agreement (84 percent) in worker and employer responses to industry affiliation at the 3-digit level. (See Wesley M ellow and Hal Sider, “ Accuracy of Response in Labor Market Surveys: Evidence and Implications,” J o u r n a l o f L a b o r E c o n o m ic s , forthcoming.) Assuming that 84 percent of the M ay-June 1976 job changes were actually job changes and not the result of reporting errors, the job mobility rate would drop a little to 12.5 percent. A study designed specifically to measure job mobility in 1961 found that 10 percent of the number who worked shifted from one employer to another during that year. See Gertrude Ban croft and Stuart Garfinkle, “ Job Mobility in 1961,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1963, pp. 8 9 7-906. 21 It should be noted that cps data do not indicate if persons on layoff actually returned to their previous jobs, but only that there was a change in labor force status between measurements. However, a special followup survey of the unemployed in July 1982 that was taken 2 weeks after the reference week found that, of the persons who had been reported on layoff initially but were working in the followup, 72 percent had been called back to their previous job and 22 percent had found another job. The subsequent labor force status for a small percentage could not be identified. The 68percent recall rate within 6 months for laid-off workers in the manufacturing industry estimated by David Lilien in “ The Cyclical Pattern of Temporary Layoffs in U .S. Manufacturing” (Ph.D dissertation, Massachusetts Insti tute of Technology, 1977) was also in line with the estimate here. 22 With the publication of data for December and annual averages for 1981, the Bureau discontinued publication of labor turnover survey data. See Carol Utter, “ Labor Turnover Survey Discontinued,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n in g s , March 1982, p. 13. 23For a description of labor turnover concepts, see the Establishment Data section of “ Explanatory Notes” in any issue of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n in g s prior to February 1982. 24Feldstein, “ The Importance of Temporary Layoff,” p. 735. 25Carol Utter, “ New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Sur v e y ,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s , December 1977, pp. 10-11. 26See footnote 21 for detailed description of July followup survey. 27 The mean duration of unemployment was estimated using the mid points of the available duration of unemployment distribution categories: less than 5 weeks, 5 to 10 weeks, 11 to 14 weeks, 15 to 26 weeks, and 27 weeks and longer; 52 weeks was the assumed midpoint o f the last category. Applying this method to 1982 annual average duration o f total unemployment categories resulted in a mean o f 15.4 weeks, very close to the actual mean of 15.6 weeks. 28 Joyanna Moy and Constance Sorrentino, “ Unemployment, labor force trends, and layoff practices in 10 countries,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , December 1981, pp. 3 -1 3 . 29Bernard M. Grais, L a y o ff s a n d S h o r t- tim e W o rk in g in S e le c te d O r g a n iz a tio n f o r E c o n o m ic C o o p e r a tio n a n d D e v e lo p m e n t C o u n tr ie s (Paris, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 1983). 30 International Labor Organization, T h irte e n th I n te r n a tio n a l C o n fe r e n c e o f L a b o r S ta tis tic ia n s , Geneva, ICLS/13/D11 (Final Version), October 1 8 -1 9 , 1982. Motion-related wrist disorders traced to industries, occupational groups Jobs that involve repetitive motions of the hand contribute disproportionately to a number o f injuries and illnesses; analysis o f workers' compensation claims data shows workers in manufacturing, construction, and agriculture to be most at risk Roger C. Jensen , B ruce P. Klein , Lee M. S anderson and Tasks which require workers to perform certain repetitive motions have been reported to contribute to the incidence of a variety of occupational diseases.1 The Bureau of Labor Statistics 1979 annual survey of occupational injuries and illness found 21,900 cases that were associated with work activities involving repeated motions, vibrations, or pres sure.2 But while this statistic may help one to appreciate the magnitude of the problem, the annual survey does not obtain data pertaining to body part involved, which would permit the identification of anatomical areas most frequently affected by the stress of repetitive motions; nor does it permit identification of jobs most associated with repetitive motion disorders. Fortunately, the Bureau has developed an alternate da tabase, the Supplementary Data System (sds ), that does make such analysis possible. The following discussion dem onstrates the use of the sd s , which is derived from State records of workers’ compensation claims, in investigating the occurrence of one group of motion-related disorders— those involving the soft tissues of the wrist and hand. Such disorders are of interest because many industrial tasks re Roger C. Jensen, Bruce P. Klein, and Lee M. Sanderson are with the U.S. Public Health Service’s National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Division of Safety Research, Morgantown, W.Va. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis quire repetitive motions that subject the soft tissues of the wrist and hand to a low level, high frequency form of trauma. 3 Earlier studies, on a more limited scale, have shown that several disorders of the wrist (including carpal tunnel syn drome, tendinitis, and tenosynovitis) have a larger incidence among workers whose occupations entail frequent, repeti tive hand movements.4 The database The bls Supplementary Data System was the primary information source for this investigation. The sds program became functional in 1976 as a Federal-State cooperative Tab le 1. In dustrial w ork fo rce by m ajor industrial group, total and fo r the 26 s d s S tates com bined, 1979 [N u m b e rs in th o u s a n d s ] Industrial group Total U.S. work force Workers in 26 SDS States Industry-specific percent of work force represented by 26 SDS States Total.................................... 74,564.6 32,070.7 43.0 1,414.0 4,528.4 21,069.0 5,110.2 20,308.9 4,980.5 17,153.6 677.0 1,964.2 8,871.4 2,166.7 8,956.3 2,063.6 7,371.5 47.9 43.4 42.1 42.4 44.1 41.4 43.0 Agriculture..................... Construction.................. Manufacturing............... Transportation............... Trade............................... Finance.......................... Services.......................... 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Motion-Related Wrist Disorders system to provide information about occupational injury and illness.5 The States participating in the s d s program classify workers’ compensation information according to a uniform format6 and submit the data to b l s on an annual basis. Data from 26 States which reported current cases for the year 1979 were used for this assessment.7 To be included in the analysis, a wrist compensation claim had to relate to in flammation or irritation of joints, tendons, or muscles; or diseases of the nerves and peripheral ganglia. The disorder also had to be attributable to one of the following types of accident or exposure: repetitive pressure; voluntary motions; overexertions; lifting objects; pulling objects; throwing ob jects; or nonspecific overexertion.8 The claims which met these criteria are hereinafter referred to as “ nonimpact wrist disorders.” Employment data by industry were obtained from b l s for each of the 50 States.9 These data allowed for the calculation of the percentage of industrial work force represented by the 26 States (see table 1, page 13), and provided a means for comparing the number of workers’ compensation claims in an industry to the number of workers employed.10 The 26 States represented 43 percent of the total U.S. work force employed in the seven major industry groups. Differences among State workers’ compensation coverage and reporting requirements have been cited as limitations of the s d s program.11 Furthermore, it must be emphasized that compensation claim data reflect the likelihood of a worker filing a claim for a specific injury or illness and do not directly indicate the incidence of the injury or illness. With these differences acknowledged, it is our view that the s d s program is the most comprehensive data source avail able for making comparative assessments of serious and moderately serious injuries and illnesses across industries and occupations. High-risk groups isolated Data in table 2 show that there were 3,027 workers’ compensation claims reported in 1979 for nonimpact wrist disorders in the 26 States included in this analysis. These account for more than 6 percent of all compensable cases involving the wrist, and are most important in the manu facturing industries, where they account for more than 10 Tab le 2. D istribu tion of nonim pact w rist disorder claim s and total w rist injury or illness claim s in 26 sos S tates com bin ed, by industry, 1979 Industrial group Number of nonimpact wrist disorder claims Total wrist injury claims Nonimpact claims as a percent of total wrist injury claims Total.................................... 3,019 48,299 6.2 Agriculture..................... Construction.................. Manufacturing............... Transportation............... Trade............................... Finance.......................... Services.......................... 65 198 2,107 56 367 22 204 1,216 5,769 20,013 2,925 9,899 674 7,803 5.4 3.4 10.5 1.9 3.7 3.3 2.6 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Tab le 3. M ean in dem n ity com pensation and m edical paym ents fo r selected types of w o rk e rs ’ com pensation claim s clo sed in 1979, seven s d s S tates Indemnity compensation Nature of illness or injury1 Number of cases reporting cost data Fractures........................................................... Cuts, lacerations, or punctures....................... Nonimpact wrist disorders............................... Sprains or stra in s............................................ Contusions, crushing, or b ru ise s.................. 3,116 763 762 2,953 581 Nonimpact wrist disorders............................... Fractures........................................................... Cuts, lacerations, or punctures....................... Sprains or s tra in s ............................................ Contusions, crushing, or b ru is e s.................. 202 937 328 770 207 Mean cost per case $2,688 1,206 1,026 985 910 Medical payments 618 567 312 190 186 1 Table lists only those categories with cost data reported for more than 100 cases. percent of all wrist injury claims. Another index of the impact of an occupational injury or illness is the mean compensation cost per case. Data in table 3 indicate that, compared to other common kinds of cases, nonimpact wrist disorders are important with reference to both medical payments and indemnity compensation; on average, they cost $618 in medical payments and $1,026 in indemnity compensation per case.12 With reference to gender differences for nonimpact wrist disorders, the percentages of claims submitted by men (50.6 percent) and by women (49.4 percent) were similar. How ever, gender-specific employment figures for 1979 show that the combined work force in the s d s States was 58.6 percent male and 41.4 percent female.13 The mean age of claimants in the two groups revealed women (33.7 years) to be 3.8 years older than men (29.9 years). (This difference in age between genders was found to be statistically significant at the .0001 level.) Industry. The number of nonimpact wrist injury compen sation claims across the 26 States used in this analysis re veals that manufacturing produced the largest number of claims (2,107), representing 69.6 percent of the total. Table 4 shows an incidence rating for nonimpact wrist compen sation claims for each of the seven industrial groups. This ratio was calculated by dividing the industry-specific num ber of claims for the 26 s d s States by the respective industryspecific number of workers employed in these States, and multiplying by 100,000. Again, manufacturing led the seven industries with a ratio of 23.8 claims per 100,000 workers. Construction, which reported the fourth largest number of claims, had the second largest incidence ratio (10.1 claims per 100,000 workers), followed by agriculture (9.6 claims per 100,000 workers). In an effort to more accurately identify the specific in dustries with the most nonimpact wrist disorder claims, the major industrial categories (agriculture, construction, and so forth) were broken down according to four-digit Standard Industrial Classification (sic) codes.14 As shown in table 5, meatpacking plants accounted for the largest number of claims (245), some 8 percent of all compensation claims filed for nonimpact wrist disorders in the 26 s d s States. Occupation. Coding of worker job titles by the s d s program allowed for the retrieval of figures on compensation claims according to general occupation (table 6). Meatcutters and butchers (manufacturing) were, by far, at largest risk of filing nonimpact wrist disorder claims, with 498.8 claims per 100,000 workers. Interpreting the results It must be stressed that the number of workers’ compen sation claims for nonimpact wrist disorders understates the incidence of such cases. The use of workers’ compensation claim data restricts the focus of analysis to employees seek ing medical attention for the condition or filing for com pensation benefits, or both, which is not synonymous with the number of workers experiencing this occupational dis order. For example, in a study of one large manufacturing operation, it was found that, out of 30 workers with a di agnosed case of carpal tunnel syndrome, only 16 became workers’ compensation cases.15 Several factors may contribute to the discrepancy between the occupational incidence of nonimpact wrist disorders and the incidence of compensation claims reported by State com pensation agencies. First, many workers, such as farm own ers and their families, railroad employees, maritime workers, and Federal employees, are not covered by State workers’ compensation programs. Second, some of the States in cluded in this analysis provide information which is limited to cases in which the worker was unable to work for a specified length of time, depending on State law. Thus, some workers who actually suffer from the disorder but are able to continue working are not identified from compen sation data. In addition, such workers may be reassigned to other jobs which reduce their symptoms to the point where it is unnecessary to file a claim. Finally, because repetitive motion disorders occur without an easily recognizable trau matic incident, many workers may not file a claim because they fail to recognize the causative relationship between the repetitive activity and their symptoms. T ab le 4. In d u stry-sp ecific in cidence ratios fo r nonim pact w rist d iso rd ers in the 26 s d s S tates, 1979 Industry Manufacturing.................................................................................. Construction..................................................................................... Agriculture....................................................................................... Claims per 100,000 workers 23.8 10.1 9.6 Average............................................................................................. 9.4 T ra d e ............................................................................................... Services............................................................................................. Transportation.................................................................................. Finance............................................................................................. 4.1 2.9 2.6 1.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T a b le 5. N o nim pact w rist com pensation claim s by fo u r dig it sic code, 1979 Number of claims Percent of all nonimpact wrist claims SIC code Industry 2011 Manufacturing 245 8.0 Manufacturing Manufacturing 116 3.8 2421 Meatpacking p la n ts .................. Motor vehicle parts and accessories............................ Motor vehicle and passenger car bodies............................... Sawmills and planing mills . . . Manufacturing 102 83 3.3 2.7 2016 5812 5411 3519 3079 Poultry dressing plants............. Eating p la ces............................ Grocery s to re s .......................... Internal combustion engines . . Miscellaneous plastics products Manufacturing Retail trade Retail trade Manufacturing Manufacturing 77 51 51 46 43 2.5 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.4 3714 3711 Division We are unable to ascribe much significance to our findings on the gender and age of claimants because of inadequate information on the diagnosis of each compensation claim, and lack of data on the gender and age distributions of workers who perform repetitive motion tasks. We acknowl edge the multitude of etiological factors which can contrib ute to the incidence of such conditions as carpal tunnel syndrome, and believe that the effects of age and gender can be better addressed by population-based epidemiological studies. The manufacturing industries accounted for 69.6 percent of the reported compensation claims secondary to nonimpact wrist disorder, a ratio of 23.8 claims per 100,000 workers. Further breakdown of this information according to specific industrial category revealed the largest number of reported claims to be from the meatpacking and the motor-vehicle manufacturing industries. However, the assessment of spe cific risk factors is not possible with these data because we lack information on the types of tasks performed and the length of exposure to specific tasks. The agricultural industries produced the third largest in cidence ratio for nonimpact wrist disorders (9.6 claims per 100,000 workers), even though employment tends to be T a b le 6. N um b er and in cidence ratio of nonim pact w rist dis o rd e r claim s in 26 s d s S tates, h igh-risk occupations, 1979 Occupation Number of claims Estimated employment Claims per 100,000 workers Meatcutters and butchers (manufacturing)............................ Miscellaneous laborers..................... Bottling, canning operatives............. Filers, polishers, sanders, and buffers............................................ 222 171 33 44,509 102,387 32,416 498.8 167.0 101.8 47 60,069 78.2 Meat wrappers (retail trade)............. Shoemaking machine operators . . . Nonspecified laborers....................... Sawyers.............................................. Assem blers....................................... 15 19 127 35 326 21,984 31,631 212,709 58,764 550,242 68.2 60.1 59.7 59.6 59.3 Punch and stamping press operatives....................................... Freight and materials handlers . . . . Packers and wrappers, except meat and produce.................................. 52 136 91,175 257,299 57.0 52.9 124 247,574 50.1 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • M otion-Related Wrist D isorders seasonal and performed, to some extent, by migrant workers who may not file claims as often as other wage workers. Further investigation into the occurrence of nonimpact wrist disorders in agriculture appears warranted. Finally, with regard to occupation, we found that meatcutters and butchers, miscellaneous laborers, and bottling and canning operators accounted for the largest numbers of nonimpact wrist disorders. Again, however, these obser vations should be interpreted cautiously, because our anal ysis is based on data which are available for only very general occupational groups. R e s e a r c h p e r f o r m e d i n a v a r i e t y of industrial settings has supported a positive association between repetitive hand 'L eo Hymovich and Miriam Lindholm, “ Hand, wrist and forearm in juries, the result o f repetitive m o t i o n s J o u r n a l o f O c c u p a tio n a l M e d ic in e , November 1966, pp. 5 7 3 -77; and Norman M. Hadler, “ Industrial rheu matology: clinical investigations into the influence of the pattern of usage on the pattern o f regional musculo-skeletal disease,” A r th r itis a n d R h e u m a tis m , May 1977, pp. 1019-25. 2 Data are from O c c u p a tio n a l I n ju r ie s a n d I lln e s s e s in 1 9 7 9 : S u m m a ry , Bulletin 2097 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1981), p. 29. 3Thomas J. Armstrong, “ Carpal tunnel syndrome and the female worker,” T r a n s a c tio n s o f th e F o r ty -th ir d A n n u a l M e e tin g o f th e A m e r ic a n C o n fe r e n c e o f G o v e r n m e n ta l I n d u s tr ia l H y g ie n is ts (Cincinnati, Ohio, American Conference o f Governmental Industrial Hygienists, Inc., 1982), pp. 2 6 35. 4 Lawrence J. Cannon, Edward J. Bemacki, and Stephen D. Walter, “ Personal and occupational factors associated with carpal tunnel syn drom e,” J o u r n a l o f O c c u p a tio n a l M e d ic in e , April 1981, pp. 255-58; Tuulikki Lupopajarvi, Ilkka Kuorinka, Markku Virolainen, and Mia Holmberg, “ Prevalence o f tenosynovitis and other injuries of the upper extrem ities in repetitive work,” S c a n d in a v ia n J o u r n a l o f W o rk , E n v iro n m e n t a n d H e a lth , 1979, Suppl. 3, pp. 4 8 -5 5 ; M.Q. Birkbeck and T.C. Beer, “ Oc cupation in relation to carpal tunnel syndrome,” R h e u m a to lo g y a n d R e h a b ilita tio n , November 1975, pp. 218-21; and Teresa W. Lewis, “ An unnecessary byproduct o f industry,” O h io M o n ito r , March 1980, pp. 14lb. 5 Norman Root and David McCaffrey, “ Producing more information on work injury and illn ess,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1978, pp. 16-21. 6 S u p p le m e n ta r y D a ta S y s te m , M ic r o d a ta F ile s U s e r ’s G u id e , 1 9 7 8 1 9 7 9 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1980). 7 The 26 States included in this analysis of the 1979 sds survey are Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Two States (Mas sachusetts and Ohio) which also provide current case data were not used Digitized for16 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis motions and the incidence of various wrist disorders.16 Our analysis of workers’ compensation claims provides further evidence of this association by showing large differences in claim ratios (claims per 100,000 employees) for different occupations, with the largest ratios occurring in occupations that entail repeated motions and exertions of the hand. Our study, and similar studies of other job-related disorders, should also be useful in the establishment of priorities for both research and regulatory activities in the field of oc cupational safety and health. However, the etiological com ponents, including the role of specific hand motions, must be more thoroughly assessed if the factors contributing to the incidence of nonimpact wrist disorders are to be iden tified and altered. □ for this analysis because their occupational classification system differs from that for the BLS employment data. "Compensation claims attributed to vibration were excluded from this study. 9 Employment figures for manufacturing; construction; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; transportation; services; and government were obtained from S u p p le m e n t to E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n in g s , S ta te s a n d A r e a s , D a ta f o r 1 9 7 7 - 8 0 , Bulletin 1370-15 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1981). Agricultural employment is from “ Current Pop ulation Survey” (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1979), table A (unpublished), pp. 1547-49. 10The sds data on compensation claims secondary to nonimpact wrist disorders included figures from nine industrial groups (agriculture; mining; construction; manufacturing; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; transportation; services; and government). Because o f the variance which exists in coverage and reporting procedures for compen sation claims among governmental em ployees, this industrial classification was omitted from tables 1, 2, and 4. The mining industries were also excluded from the analysis because data for the 26 States were not rep resentative of the work force in mining, and because there were only eight cases that met our criteria. " R oot and McCaffrey, “ Producing more information,” p. 17. 12 Medical and indemnity compensation cost data were submitted on closed workers’ compensation claims by seven States (Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Montana, North Carolina, Virginia, and Wisconsin). 11G e o g r a p h ic P r o file o f E m p lo y m e n t a n d U n e m p lo y m e n t, 1 9 7 9 , Report 619 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1980), table 1. 14 See U .S. Office of Management and Budget, S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l, 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U .S. Government Printing Office). 15Cannon, Bemacki, and Walter, “ Personal and occupational factors.” 16See Hymovich and Lindholm, “ Hand, wrist and forearm injuries” ; Cannon, Bemacki, and Walter, “ Personal and occupational factors” ; Arm strong, “ Carpal tunnel syndrome” ; and Birkbeck and Beer, “ Occupa tion.” Productivity growth in plastics lower than all manufacturing During 1972-81 , output per hour increased at an annual rate o f 1A percent, slowing to less than 1 percent after 1976; growth in productivity has been linked to improved technology Ja m e s D . Y ork Despite rapid output growth during 1972-81, productivity in the miscellaneous plastics products industry increased at a somewhat slower rate than that for all manufacturing. Productivity rose at an average annual rate of 1.4 percent over the period, while the rate for all manufacturing was 1.8 percent.1 The rapid rise in output, at an average annual rate of 5.5 percent, was accompanied by an increase in employee hours of 4 percent annually. (See table 1.) In dustry productivity benefited from improvements in resins and faster processing equipment, and from the growing use of microprocessor controls for production machinery. Productivity trends fluctuated during 1972-81, as output and hours responded to cyclical forces in the economy. The output of the plastics industry encompasses a wide range of products consumed in many sectors of the economy. Con sequently, industry output tends to be strongly influenced by trends in the overall level of economic activity. A sharp downturn in the economy led to sizable declines in the output of plastics products: 9.0 percent in 1974 and 12.5 percent in 1975. Reductions in employee hours lagged initially, with a decrease of only 1.1 percent in 1974. With output de clining much more than hours in that year, productivity posted a 7.9-percent decrease. In 1975, however, the rate of decline in hours accelerated to 12.6 percent, virtually matching the decrease in output. With the changes in output and hours offsetting each other, productivity showed no change for that year. With an improving economy, output increased very rap idly in 1976 and 1977, rising by 18.9 percent and 24.4 percent. These gains outpaced the corresponding increases in hours of 14.5 and 11.4 percent and productivity conse quently rose by 3.8 and 11.7 percent. In 1978, output still showed a sizable increase of 10.7 percent but this was more nearly matched by the rise in hours of 9.8 percent, resulting in a productivity gain of only 0.8 percent. Employee hours continued increasing in 1979, by 4.7 percent, despite a decrease in output of 1.5 percent, yielding a 6-percent drop in productivity. The economy experienced another downturn in 1980 and industry output decreased by 5.1 percent. Hours were reduced even more, however, by 6.1 percent, and productivity managed to post a gain of 0.9 percent. The economy began to improve after the sharp downturn in the first half of 1980 and this improvement continued into 1981. Industry output benefited, rising 6.9 percent, which out paced the 3.9-percent increase in hours and resulted in a productivity gain of 2.9 percent. Employment and plant size James D. York is an economist in the Division of Industry Productivity Studies, Bureau o f Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Employment in the industry grew quite rapidly during 1972-81, rising from 342,500 to 477,200, equivalent to an 17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Productivity Growth in Plastics Products average annual rate of increase of 4.0 percent. Employee hours advanced at the same rate during this period. By comparison, the rate of increase for all manufacturing em ployment was 0.7 percent and the rate for hours was 0.6 percent. Because the output of plastics products serves such a wide range of markets, trends in the industry’s employment are strongly influenced by cyclical swings in the overall econ omy. Despite rapid employment growth in plastics products during the 1972-81 period as a whole, there were declines of 0.1 percent in 1974 and 12.7 percent in 1975— years in which the economy was in recession. Employment growth was strong in each of the following years until 1980, the next recession year. In that year, employment dropped 5.5 percent. It recovered again in 1981, however, rising by 3.5 percent. Most of the establishments in the plastics industry are small. Data available for 1977 indicate that about 57 percent of the industry’s establishments employ fewer than 20 em ployees. Most of the employment, however, appears to be concentrated in medium size establishments. Nearly half of total industry employment in 1977 was in establishments with 50 to 249 employees. The establishments with fewer than 20 employees accounted for only about 7.5 percent of industry employment, despite their large share of the total number of establishments. Very large establishments are unusual, with less than 0.2 percent of all establishments employing 1,000 or more workers in 1977. The average number of employees per estabishment hardly changed dur ing 1972-77, declining from 45 employees in 1972 to 44 in 1977. Data on the skill composition of employment are available for broad occupational groups in the miscellaneous plastics products industry for 1980. These data indicate that oper atives are the major occupational group, constituting almost 56 percent of total industry employment, as compared with the all-manufacturing average of just over 43 percent. This job category includes such occupations as assemblers and machine operatives. Craft and related workers, which in Table 1. Productivity and related indexes for m iscellaneous plastics products, 1972-81 [1977 = 100] Year Output per empoylee hour Output Employee hours Employees 1972..................... 1973..................... 1974.................... 1975..................... 1976..................... 86.6 93.6 86.2 86.2 89.5 70.3 84.9 77.3 67.6 80.4 81.2 90.7 89.7 78.4 89.8 81.0 91.0 90.9 79.4 90.2 1977..................... 1978..................... 1979..................... 1980..................... 1981..................... 100.0 100.8 94.8 95.7 98.5 100.0 110.7 109.0 103.4 110.5 100.0 109.8 115.0 108.0 112.2 100.0 109.6 115.5 109.1 112.9 1972-81 ............. 1976-81 ............. 1.4 0.8 Average annual rates of change (in percent) 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.5 4.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.2 clude machinists and tool-and-die-makers, were another substantial category with almost 16 percent of total industry employment, slightly less than the all-manufacturing pro portion of just under 19 percent. Professional, technical, and related workers constituted a somewhat lower propor tion of total employment than for all manufacturing— less than 4 percent in the plastics industry compared with over 9 percent for all manufacturing. By contrast, the share of industry employment composed of managers, officials, and proprietors was nearly the same as that for all manufactur ing— about 6 percent. Major markets An important reason for the rapid growth of industry output is that new markets for plastics products have been continually opening up. The development over time of new and improved resins has been an important underlying factor in making this possible. Plastics made from these improved resins have been able to meet more stringent performance criteria in areas such as strength and heat resistance. With these improved properties, plastics became suitable for the manufacture of many products from which they had pre viously been excluded. As a result, plastics began pene trating product markets formerly dominated by other materials. For example, plastic pipe has increasingly been substituted for other types of pipe, such as copper and cast iron, as building codes have been altered to acknowledge its suit ability. The greater ease of installation of plastic pipe has also meant that semiskilled workers could be employed to install it. The benefits of plastics in terms of such factors as price, weight, and corrosion resistance have made them a popular alternative to competing materials in many product lines. Building and construction. The building and construction industry is an important market for plastics products. Plas tics products for this market include such items as panels, doors, moldings, pipes, and insulation. By far, pipes are the most popular item: shipments nearly tripled during 1972— 77. The advantages of plastic pipe (such as corrosion re sistance) have helped it to penetrate markets previously dominated by other materials. Agriculture. Agricultural uses are an important market for plastic pipe. The need to increase food production during the 1970’s served as a stimulus to the demand for agricul tural pipe. Plastic was promoted in drainage and irrigation systems. For example, corrugated polyethylene tubing be gan to replace more expensive and cumbersome concrete drainage tile. The use of plastic pipe in irrigation has ben efited from increased emphasis on agricultural efficiency.2 One of the biggest markets for plastics products is in film, sheets, and sheetings. There are a number of types of these items such as cellulosic, polyethylene, polypropylene, poly styrene, and vinyl and vinyl copolymer. Useful for mulching applications, when spread upon an agricultural bed, film controls moisture evaporation, prevents leaching of fertil izer, accelerates growth, and increases yield. The value of shipments of film and sheet proucts for all markets, including agriculture, increased considerably from 1972 to 1977. Shipments of polypropylene film and sheet more than quadrupled during this period. Cellulosic and polystyrene also increased rapidly and polyethylene, one of the biggest categories, more than doubled. Sheets are also produced in laminated form. Data for laminated sheets, which are available in combined form with data for lami nated rods and tubes, indicate that shipments nearly doubled during 1972-77. Plastics products have found a growing number of ap plications in agriculture besides sheeting and pipe. Injection molded plastic parts on many types of agricultural equip ment are increasingly substituted for metal parts. Parts for seed drills, combines, planters, and tractors are more fre quently being made of plastic. Some of the advantages of plastics include cost and weight reduction and corrosion resistance. Packaging. Another important market for plastics has been packaging applications. Blow molded milk containers, for example, which are large, break-resistant, and light weight, have achieved a high level of market penetration because of their advantages. Plastic containers for other types of food products have also grown in popularity. Shipments of jars and tubs for food products nearly tripled during 1972— 77. Advances in blow molding technology around the be ginning of this period helped push plastic drums into com petition with steel, offering advantages in reusability and resistance to denting and corrosion as well as lighter weight. Transportation equipment. Much of the output of the plas tics industry is used in the manufacture of transportation products. By far the largest portion of this output goes into the production of motor vehicles. In 1977, nearly 80 percent of plastics output, by value of shipments, going into the transportation market, was used for motor vehicles. The remaining 20 percent went into aircraft, space and missile, and other transportation equipment. About two-thirds of the portion going into motor vehicles was in the form of com ponents, housing, accessories, and parts. The rest was in the form of foam products for such items as seating and dash. Substitution of plastics for metals has contributed to output growth. Light weight has helped make plastics prod ucts suitable for a multitude of applications in the automotive area. Smaller markets. A smaller but still sizable market for plas tics is the electrical and electronic products market. One of the biggest segments of this market— household and com mercial appliances— showed little change in output during 1972-77 but items in the computing and data processing https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis category grew rapidly. Furniture components and furnish ings also represent a fairly sizable market for industry out put. Technological advances The plastics industry produces an extremely wide as sortment of products. The resins used as raw material can be formed into a wide variety of shapes using various pro cesses such as molding and extrusion.3 The equipment used in these processes has been improving over time, aiding industry productivity gains. One of the most widely used production processes is injection molding. This process involves heating and work ing plastics granules or compounds until they are able to flow. This plasticized material is then forced under pressure into a closed mold cavity where it can cool or cure to form the desired part. Productivity in this process has benefited from the adoption of equipment which utilizes a rotating screw to perform the injection operation. Raw material is fed from a hopper onto the screw which is kept rotating by a motor. The material is forced over the flights of the screw and is heated by the barrel and friction from the turning screw. This process heats and plasticizes the material. As the hot material forces its way to the front of the screw, it drives the screw backward. The screw stops turning when the right amount of material reaches the tip. The screw is then forced forward and injects the hot plastic material through the nozzle of the barrel and then through a sprue and runner system into the mold cavities. Use of the screw has resulted in the material being more plasticized when it enters the mold, reducing cycle time. Better resins tailored to injection molding have become available and these have facilitated plasticization and have reduced problems arising when plas tic material sets up in the barrel and must be removed. In recent years, a type of injection molding known as reaction injection molding ( rim ) has come into use.4 rim involves the injection of two liquid plastic materials into a mold. This is done at low pressure rather than the usual high pressure. Many improvements in rim equipment use have contributed to productivity growth. Improved output metering units have resulted in more rapid mold fill, and press speeds have also been increased. The introduction of faster-cure materials has largely eliminated the need for presses with tilt features which extend the cycle time.5 Machine controls have continually improved over the years. An important development in this regard has been the in creasing adoption of microprocessor controls as they have become more affordable. They provide an integrated system of controls over such production variables as time, tem perature, position, and pressure. They offer production mon itoring capabilities and can maintain various parameters such as injection velocity and cavity pressure at optimal, preset levels in spite of fluctuations in operating conditions. The ability of microprocessors to detect and adjust for changes in operating conditions enables them to keep production 19 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Productivity Growth in Plastics Products machinery operating at peak efficiency. Their preprogram ming capabilities reduce the needed startup time and their precise control reduces the reject rates. Reductions in molding cycle time have also aided pro ductivity. Improvements in mold cooling systems have con tributed to reduced molding time. More sophisticated mold designs have also reduced the time required for the molding operation. Continual improvements in resins have made im portant contributions to productivity gains in molding. Im proved resins offer such advantages as faster flow, easier ejection, and reduced mold deposit. The advantages of these resins have reduced the cycle time in many molding oper ations.6 A significant development in materials handling has been the adoption of robots for the performance of operations involving such activities as lifting, tilting, twisting, posi tioning, aligning, or transferring of items. Robots have been used for a number of premolding and postmolding opera tions, such as loading and unloading presses and the han dling and orienting of finished parts for takeaway. Robots offer the advantage of working tirelessly without interrup tion, improving product quality and shortening cycle time. In addition to their role with molding machines, robots are also being used in such downsteam processes as trimming and deflashing. Robots have also proven beneficial for spray coating plastic parts. The robots offer more uniform and accurate coating weights and fewer rejects, while perform ing at higher levels of productivity. The use of lasers has been growing in the plastic pro cessing industry. Lasers have been adopted for cutting and drilling uses and also for their capacity to measure and inspect accurately and quickly. Measuring systems can use interruption of laser scans to determine dimensions while inspection units detect disruptions of the beam when it hits defects, such as bubbles or other flaws, in the surface. 1Average annual rates o f change are based on the linear least squares trends of the logarithms o f the index numbers. The miscellaneous plastics products industry is composed of establishments primarily engaged in molding primary plastics for the trade and fabricating miscellaneous fin ished plastics products. The industry is designated as sic 3079 in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l, 1972 Edition, issued by the Office o f Management and Budget. Extension of the indexes appears in the annual BLS Bulletin, P r o d u c tiv ity M e a s u r e s f o r S e le c te d I n d u s tr ie s . "For more information on the subject of pipe, see “ Agpipe Picks U p ,” M o d e r n P la s tic s , March 1975, pp. 54-55; and “ Volume Pipe Resin: A Million-Ton 1977 Market Will Grow 30 percent by 1980,” M o d e r n P l a s tic s , December 1977, pp. 3 4 -3 7 . 3 For descriptions o f the various processes and definitions of many of 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Analysis of the reflected/refracted light, generally by com puter control, provides information on the defects. The laser can be connected with process controls, thus permitting adjustment of process parameters in response to detected defects. Lasers can cut thick plastics in a single step, pro viding clean, smooth edges which do not require abrasive finishing. The speed and precision of lasers and their ability to replace manual operations have enabled them to contrib ute to industry productivity gains. Outlook for technology More frequent adoption of microprocessor controls for production equipment probably will be an important part of the future automation of the industry. A move toward almost total computer control of many plants appears to be a very real possibility. Microprocessor controls for individual ma chines could be linked to central computers which coordi nate and control the overall manufacturing operation.7 Increased adoption of robots also appears likely as part of the push for greater efficiency; not only will there be more robots but the capabilities of those robots almost cer tainly will expand. Laser systems will probably also con tinue to be adopted. Improvements in resins have been an important factor in productivity growth and the industry should continue to benefit from the development and introduction of better resins. Modifications in production machinery to take ad vantage of new resins may also be beneficial to productivity gains. Demand for industry output should grow relatively well in coming years, as plastics are substituted for other ma terials in the manufacture of various products. Any further declines in petroleum prices would also benefit the price competitiveness of plastics products by reducing the cost of raw materials. rn the terms used in the miscellaneous plastics products industry, see S ta n d a r d s a n d P r a c tic e s o f P l a s tic s M o ld e r s a n d P la s tic s M o ld e d P a r ts B u y e r s G u id e (New York, The Society of the Plastics Industry, Inc., 1965), pp. 3 5 -4 6 . 4 See “ Many New Developments in RIM M achines,” P la s tic W o rld , September 1979, pp. 4 9 -5 1 . 5 “ New High-Productivity Equipment Transforms Conventional Pro cessin g,” M o d e r n P la s tic s , December 1980, pp. 5 2 -5 4 . 6 See “ High Productivity and Economy in New Grades of Engineering R esins,” M o d e r n P la s tic s , October 1980, pp. 5 2 -5 3 . 7See Frank Nissel, “ Extrusion’s Next Goal Should Be More Produc tivity,” and Jack Alger, “ The New World of Computer-Integrated Pro duction System s,” M o d e r n P la s tic s , June 1982, pp. 90 and 9 4 -9 5 . APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure changes in the relation between the output of an industry and employee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an index of output by an index of industry employee hours. The preferred output index for manufacturing industries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods produced by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee hours required to produce one unit of each good in some specified base period. Thus, those goods which require more labor time to produce are given more impor tance in the index. In the absence of adequate physical quantity data, the output index for this industry was constructed by a deflated value technique. The value of shipments of the various product classes were adjusted for price changes by appro https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis priate Producer Price Indexes to derive real output measures. These, in turn, were combined with employee hour weights to derive the overall output measure. These procedures result in a final output index that is conceptually close to the preferred output measure. Employment and employee hour indexes were derived from BLS data. Employee and employee hours are each considered homogeneous and additive, and thus do not re flect changes in the qualitative aspects of labor, such as skill and experience. The indexes of output per employee hour do not measure any specific contributions such as that of labor or capital. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, capacity utilization, plant design and layout, skill and effort of the work force, man agerial ability, and labor-management relations. Errata In “ Labor market contrasts: United States and E urope” by Janet L. Norwood in the August M onthly Labor Review , two lines were inadvertently dropped from the paragraphs beginning at the bottom s o f page 3 and page 4. The paragraphs are reproduced below with the missing lines in boldface. Paragraph beginning at the bottom of page 3: T h e d if f e r e n c e s a n d t h e i r e f fe c ts o n a tt i tu d e s t o w a r d p o lic y w e re d is c u s s e d a t a r e c e n t c o n f e r e n c e in E n g la n d b y e x p e r ts f r o m W e s te r n E u r o p e a n d N o r t h A m e r ic a . T h e q u e s tion “ Has Full Employment Gone Forever?” was answered f a r m o r e p e s s im is tic a lly b y th e E u r o p e a n s t h a n b y t h e A m e r ic a n s . T h e a t t i t u d e s a t t h e c o n f e r e n c e w e re s h a p e d b y t h e h is to r ic a l f r a m e w o r k a n d e x p e c ta tio n s o f f u t u r e d e v e lo p m e n ts . T h e W e s te r n E u r o p e a n c o u n tr i e s h a d v e ry little j o b g r o w t h d u r i n g t h e d e c a d e o f t h e 1 9 7 0 ’s; a n d in m o s t o f th e E u r o p e a n c o u n tr i e s , t h e r e w a s little if a n y e x p a n s io n o f th e la b o r fo rc e . Paragraph beginning at the bottom of page 4: Youth unemployment high. Y o u n g p e o p le a ls o t e n d t o b e c o n c e n tr a t e d in lo w - p a y in g j o b s — w h e n t h e y w o r k . Y o u th u n e m p l o y m e n t r a te s a r e a t v e ry h ig h lev els in b o t h E u r o p e a n d in th e U n i t e d S ta te s . M o r e t h a n 1 o f 5 te e n a g e r s in th e U .S . l a b o r f o r c e is u n e m p lo y e d , a s is 1 o f 7 y o u n g a d u lts aged 20 to 24. Unemployment rates among British, French, I t a l i a n , a n d D u tc h y o u t h n o w m e e t o r s u r p a s s th e s e h ig h U .S . le v e ls, w h ile W e s t G e r m a n y m a n a g e s t o m a i n t a i n m u c h lo w e r r a te s , e s p e c ia lly f o r te e n a g e r s . (S e e t a b l e 3 .) Reprints of the article are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Division of Inform ation Services, W ashington, D.C. 20212. 21 The Anatomy of Price Change Inflation patterns in the initial stages of recovery D avid Callahan , D ouglass Robertson , AND LORIE SCHEIBEL The newly-modified Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (cpi-u ) advanced at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.9 percent for the first 6 months of 1983, compared with a 3.9-percent rate during 1982.1 Prices in the first quarter continued the general experience of the fourth quarter of 1982 with the overall price level virtually unchanged. This was followed by a moderate upswing, at an annual rate of 5.4 percent, during the second quarter. (See table 1). Energy prices have been a dominant factor in the moderation in the CPI during the economic slowdown, and this contin ued into the first stages of the recovery. Following a decline in the first quarter, the reversal in energy prices was largely responsible for the second quarter acceleration. The initial surge in energy prices coincided with the imposition of the 5-cent-a-gallon tax on gasoline on April 1. During the first 6 months of the year, the Producer Price Indexes (PPI) for finished goods and for intermediate ma terials showed slight decreases, while that for crude mate rials registered a moderate increase. The difference in the annual rate during the first half of 1983 and during the 12 months ended in December 1982 for producer costs of crude materials was largely attributable to a sharp upturn in the prices of foodstuffs and feedstufifs and in nonfood materials less energy. (See table 2.) The large decrease in intermediate materials and finished goods prices in the first quarter fol lowed a corresponding change for crude materials in the second half of 1982. As in the CPI, energy prices were a major factor in the first quarter deceleration and subsequent second quarter increase. Energy prices fall, then spurt Energy costs declined at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.8 percent during the first half of 1983. An annual rate of decrease of 25.1 percent in the first quarter was nearly David Callahan, Douglass Robertson, and Lorie Scheibel are economists in the Office o f Prices and Living Conditions, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis offset by a second quarter increase at an annual rate of 21 percent. (See table 3.) This large second quarter spurt in energy costs accounted for more than 40 percent of the second quarter rise in the overall cpi. Energy prices had increased 1.3 percent during all of 1982. The first quarter drop in energy prices was largely due to a continued abundance of crude oil supplies, as opec mem bers failed until March to administer production quotas which would bring oil supply more closely in line with reduced oil demand. The slack domestic oil demand in the first quarter occurred because there was mild winter weather in the oil-consuming Northeast region and low industrial de mand for energy resources during the first months of the recovery. Of the major individual components in the energy index, lower prices for fuel oil, electricity, and motor fuels were primarily responsible for the large decline in the first quarter index. These falling prices were followed by par tially offsetting second quarter price increases. The only major energy component to vary from this pattern was piped gas, which posted sizable increases in both quarters. Prices of motor fuels, which account for half of the energy index, demonstrated the most dynamic quarter-to-quarter swing. From a first-quarter plunge at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 36.3 percent, the index jumped at a rate of 41.4 percent in the second quarter. Abundant oil supplies, which had lowered motor fuel prices 6.5 percent in 1982, continued through the first quarter of 1983. By March, the index for gasoline prices had declined to its January 1980 level. The second quarter, however, saw the drying up of sur plus oil supplies as opec production quotas designed to stabilize a $29 per barrel price for cru(le oil took effect. Along with tightening supplies and the approach of the highdemand summer driving season, a Federal excise tax of 5 cents a gallon was imposed in April. Most refineries appear to have taken advantage of consumers’ expectations of higher pump prices associated with the tax to pass on additional increases. Several States also increased their own gasoline taxes. The total increase in motor fuel prices following the imposition of the Federal excise tax was substantially larger than the 5 cents. The March to June increase in pump prices was almost 13 cents a gallon. Household fuel prices account for the other half of the energy index. Compared with the behavior of motor fuels prices, their 8.5 percent rate of decline in the first quarter and 4.5 percent increase in the second quarter were decid edly less volatile. The decrease in fuel oil prices in the first quarter (43.6 percent) and the moderate drop in charges for electricity (4.1 percent) were partially offset by a 14.3percent increase in the index for piped gas. A second quarter turnaround in the indexes for fuel oil and electricity, which were up at annual rates of 2.1 and 2.6 percent, in part, moderated another sizable increase in piped gas of 17.6 percent. The continued climb in piped natural gas prices reflects the continuing effects of decontrol and take-or-pay contracts. However, as the result of attempted renegotiations in long term take-or-pay contracts, the piped gas index fell fourtenths of a percent from May to June. This was the first decline in piped gas prices since August 1982. An omen of future piped gas price changes, the p p i for natural gas decreased during the second quarter at an annual rate of 14.8 percent. Further piped gas price reductions are possible as suppliers attempt to stabilize prices to discourage users from switching to cheaper fuel oil. Electricity rates followed the general trend of other energy prices as oil-fired plants took advantage of the lower first- quarter fuel oil prices. As fuel oil prices increased in the second quarter, electricity rates increased at a 2.6-percent annual rate. Increase in shelter costs The index for services less energy rose at a 4.2-percent annual rate in the first 6 months of 1983, following a 3.4percent rise in 1982. (See table 4.) Costs of shelter services and other household services accounted for much of the increase. The index for owners’ equivalent rent, which rep resents the cost of shelter services of owner-occupied hous ing, advanced at a 4.4-percent annual rate, and the residential rent component increased at a 4.5-percent rate during the first half of the year. Other renters’ costs, despite a sharp increase in charges for out-of-town lodging, registered a smaller rate of increase during the first half of 1983 than during 1982. Among other household services, prices for maintenance and repair services accelerated from the preceding year, as increased activity in construction was accompanied by higher labor charges. Prices for telephone and water and sewage services rose sharply in the first 3 months, then moderated T ab le 1. C hanges in selected com ponents of the C onsum er Price Index for All U rban C onsum ers, 1 9 8 2 -8 3 Index Relative importance, Dec. 1982 12-month percent change, Dec. 1981 to Dec. 1982 Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted, except as noted, for 3 months ended— 1982 1983 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Annualized effect1 for 3 months ended Mar. 1983 June 1983 All item s................................................................ Food and beverages......................................... Food at ho m e .............................................. Food away from home................................. Alcoholic beverages.................................... 100.000 20.069 12.867 6.097 1.106 3.9 3.2 2.2 5.0 4.0 4.1 .9 -1 .8 6.2 4.3 0.5 .9 -1 .1 5.0 3.5 0.4 3.0 3.5 2.2 5.2 5.4 1.9 .3 4.4 3.6 0.4 .6 .4 .1 .1 5.4 .3 .0 .3 .0 Housing.............................................................. Shelter........................................................... Renters’ c o s ts ......................................... Homeowners’ costs3 ............................... Maintenance and repairs3 ....................... Fuel and other utilities................................. Household furnishings and operation . . . . 37.721 21.339 6.932 13.881 .526 8.377 8.005 3.6 2.4 (2) (2) 4.2 9.7 3.5 3.2 2.0 (2) (2) 2.8 10.7 1.7 -2 .4 -7 .2 (2) (2) -.7 14.2 3.8 1.6 3.9 4.5 3.6 2.5 -4 .8 1.2 4.3 5.3 4.8 5.3 6.3 4.2 1.9 .5 8 3 .5 .0 -.4 .1 1.6 11 3 .8 .0 .3 .1 Apparel and upkeep......................................... Apparel commodities.................................... Apparel services............................................ 5.205 4.422 .783 1.6 .9 6.2 2.7 2.0 7.9 -.2 -1 .5 6.6 2.9 3.1 2.1 5.0 4.7 6.0 .1 .1 .0 .3 .2 .0 Transportation................................................. Private transportation................................. New vehicles............................................ Used c a rs ................................................. Motor fu e l................................................. Public transportation3 ................................. 21.791 20.250 3.936 4.056 6.191 1.541 1.7 1.4 1.5 10.9 -6 .5 6.5 5.7 5.5 5.0 4.2 9.2 9.2 .3 .1 -1 .0 8.6 -4 .8 2.6 -8 .9 -9 .6 6.6 11.1 -3 6 .3 -1 .2 11.7 12.0 -3 .1 9.2 41.1 7.8 -2 .0 -2 .0 .2 .4 -2 .7 .0 2.4 2.3 -.1 .6 2.0 .1 Medical care...................................................... Medical care commodities.......................... Medical care services................................. 5.995 .976 5.019 11.0 9.6 11.2 11.6 10.1 11.9 10.0 8.7 10.1 8.8 8.3 9.1 5.5 7.3 5.0 .5 .1 .4 .3 .1 .3 4.6 2.0 .2 .1 .3 Entertainment................................................... 4.206 5.6 5.4 4.6 Other goods and services............................... 5.014 12.1 10.3 18.4 9.1 6.8 .5 All items................................................................. Food................................................................... Energy .............................................................. Commodities less food and energy............... Services less e n e rg y....................................... 100.000 18.963 12.405 26.201 42.431 3.9 3.1 1.3 5.8 3.4 4.1 .6 8.1 2.4 4.6 .5 .8 10.2 5.4 -4 .8 .4 2.8 -25.1 5.7 3.7 5.4 1.7 21.0 2.9 4.6 .4 .5 -3 .2 1.4 1.7 5.4 .3 2.3 .8 2.0 All items................................................................ Commodities................................................... Services........................................................... 100.000 52.908 47.092 3.9 3.6 4.3 4.1 3.2 5.1 .5 3.0 -2 .8 .4 -2 .4 3.7 5.4 6.1 4.7 .4 -1 .5 1.9 5.4 3.2 2.2 1 The amount of the "all items” percent change caused by the specific component at a 2 Data are not available, compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted. 3 Data are not seasonally adjusted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Anatomy o f Price Change from March to June, increasing at an annual rate of 6.5 percent during the first 6 months of 1983. The increase in charges for medical care services slowed to a 7-percent annual rate in the first 6 months of 1983, compared to 11.2 percent in 1982. The cost of hospital rooms continued to rise substantially, but at a slower rate than in the last 2 years. Charges for professional services— physician, dental, and other professional services— accel erated somewhat, increasing at an annual rate of 8.3 percent in the first half of 1983, following a 6.9-percent increase in 1982. Among other services, the transportation service index increased at a slower rate this year than in 1982, due to larger declines in auto financing charges and a slower rate of increase in automobile registration fees and most forms of public transportation. Declining fuel costs and compe tition-induced discount airline fares were largely responsible for the first-quarter decline in public transportation price increases. An increase in airline fares, partially due to fewer discount fares, and a sharp jump in intercity bus fares, were responsible for the second-quarter advance of 7.8 percent. Prices for most other types of services, including entertain ment, personal care, apparel, and personal and educational expenses also decelerated in the first half of 1983. Food price increases small For the 6 months ended in June, retail food prices in creased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent. (See table 5.) Although larger than the increase during the second half of 1982, the annual rate for food price increases was still smaller T ab le 2. C h an g es in produ cer prices, by stage of pro cessin g , 1 9 8 2 -8 3 Item 12-month Compound annual rate, percent seasonally adjusted except as change noted, for 3 months ended— Relative Dec. importance 1982 1983 1981 Dec. 1982 to Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June 1982 Finished go o ds.................. Finished consumer goods.......................... Finished consumer fo o d s.......................... Finished energy goods Finished consumer goods less food and e n e rg y....................... Capital equipment.......... 100.000 3.7 4.2 5.2 -4 .7 2.9 77.495 3.6 4.4 5.8 -6 .8 3.4 23.702 13.189 2.1 -.1 -7 .7 30.9 .8 7.0 3.6 -34.3 .2 10.1 40.607 22.502 5.3 3.9 4.2 3.5 7.9 3.6 -2 .3 3.3 2.9 .8 Intermediate materials. . . . Intermediate foods and fe e d s.......................... Intermediate energy goods.......................... Immediate materials less foods and energy . . . 100.000 .2 1.4 1.3 -4 .4 4.1 4.802 .0 -13.7 -4 .5 9.9 6.1 7.3 6.6 -25.7 5.3 78.717 .6 1.0 1.0 1.1 2.5 Crude materials.................. Crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs.................. Crude energy materials1 Crude nonfood materials less e n ergy................ 100.000 .4 -12.2 1.5 3.6 5.2 51.183 34.388 1.5 2.6 -26.4 8.7 1.3 6.4 18.1 -7 .6 .8 -6 .5 14.429 -7 .6 2.9 -8 .0 -15.7 58.5 16.481 1 Data are not seasonally adjusted. Digitized for24 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -.7 Tab le 3. C h an g es in c o n su m er prices for energy-related item s 1 9 8 2 -8 3 Index Relative importance Dec. 1982 12-month Compound annual rate, percent seasonally adjusted except as change noted, for 3 months ended— Dec. 1982 1983 1981 to Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June 1982 E n e r g y ............................................ H o u s e h o ld f u e l s .................. Fuel o i l ................................. E le c tric ity . , ...................... G as (p ip e d )1 ...................... 1 2 .4 0 5 6 .2 1 4 1 .3 4 0 2 .5 8 8 2 .0 7 3 1 .3 1 0 .5 -.7 6 .4 2 5 .4 8.1 1 2 .3 1 1 .6 5 .0 1 7 .4 1 0 .2 17.1 10 6 8 .8 2 7.1 -2 5 .1 - 8 .5 -4 3 .6 - 4.1 1 4 .3 2 1 .0 4 .5 2.1 2 .6 1 7 .6 M o to r fu e l................................. G a s o lin e ............................. 6.1 9 1 -6 .5 -6 .6 9 .2 9 .2 -4 .8 -5 .1 -3 6 .3 -3 6 .2 41 .1 4 1 .7 - 1 Data are not seasonally adjusted. than the rate for 1982 as a whole. Adequate to abundant supplies at the wholesale level, lower energy costs, and reduced demand contributed to the slowdown of retail food prices. All major grocery store food groups recorded small increases in the first half. At the farm level, the p p i for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs advanced at a 9.1-percent annual rate from December to June with smaller increases reflected in the intermediate and finished consumer foods series. The second-quarter increases at all three stages of processing, however, were markedly less than during the first quarter. Of all the major food groups, fruits and vegetables, being particularly sensitive to weather conditions, exhibited the greatest month-to-month price fluctations. Nearly offsettng large monthly price swings resulted in a 6-month annual rate of increase of 2.7 percent. Fresh vegetable prices rose sharply during the first 6 months, at a 14-percent seasonally adjusted annual rate. Heavy rains during the winter and early spring in Florida, California, and western Mexico (an im portant U.S. supplier of winter and spring vegetables) dis rupted planting and harvesting schedules, delayed growth, reduced yields, and damaged crops. Prices were sharply higher for potatoes and lettuce in the second quarter, while tomato prices shot up during the first quarter and then fell in the second quarter to levels substantially lower than 12 months earlier. By June, prices for most fresh vegetables had declined from their spring levels. Fresh fruit prices were down at a 4.3-percent annual rate in the first half of the year, as a large drop in the first quarter was partially offset by a small increase in the second. Unfavorable weather conditions in Central America pushed up prices for bananas, while a large Florida citrus crop kept price increases in other fresh fruits indexes small. Prices for apples, oranges, and other fresh fruits remain well below those of a year ago. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs recorded a slight increase during the first half. A sharp jump in egg prices, coupled with moderate price increases in poultry and fish and seafood, were enough to offset the declines in pork and beef prices. Ample supplies and sluggish demand re sulted in a sharp drop in pork prices, while less than seasonal increases yielded a small seasonally adjusted decrease in beef prices. Although registering a small rise during the first 6 months of 1983, poultry prices, like those of beef and pork, have declined over the past 12 months. The U.S. Department of Agriculture ( u s d a ) estimates that red meat and pork supplies will remain well above those of a year earlier. Plentiful supplies also characterized the poultry in dustry, but increased feed costs and lower profitability are expected to result in monthly supplies that will be the same or slightly less than in the preceding year. Retail egg prices increased sharply in the first half, as production decreased. Prices for dairy products have increased at a 1.6-percent annual rate, reflecting continued burdensome milk supplies during the first 6 months. Because of this oversupply, and in order to reduce price support costs to the Government, a 50-cent-per-hundredweight tax on producers of all com mercial milk was implemented in April 1983. The impact of this action, combined with high feed costs and slowing gains in milk production, may increase retail prices for most dairy products later in the year. Spurred by a stronger economy, overall per-capita food consumption is likely to rise in 1983. Despite increased demand, continuing ample supplies should yield only mod erate price increases for most food items. The recently im Tab le 4. C h an g es in prices fo r consum er services, less energy, 1 9 8 2 -8 3 index Services less energy.......... Rent of shelter1 ............... Rent, residential1 ............. Owners' equivalent rent1 Other renters’ costs . . . Household services less rent of shelter1............. Maintenance and repair services1....................... Household insurance1 . . Telephone service1 . . . . Water and sewage maintenance............... Housekeeping services1 12-month Compound annual rate, percent seasonally adjusted except as change, noted, for 3 months ended— Relative Dec. importance 1983 1982 1981 Dec. 1982 to Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 1982 42.431 20.340 6.029 13.490 .904 3.4 (2) 6.6 (2) 8.7 4.6 (2) 8.0 -4 .8 (2) 7.1 -2 .3 3.7 4.1 4.9 3.2 .0 4.6 5.2 4.0 5.7 10.7 18.4 9.810 (2) (2) (2) 6.6 10.6 .284 .391 1.487 4.5 (2) 7.3 3.7 -1 .2 5.8 6.7 5.8 6.1 9.6 5.3 3.6 3.1 .491 2.228 9.2 2.6 9.6 2.2 4.2 2.1 12.2 1.8 3.9 2.7 (2) <2) (2) (4 Apparel services............... .783 6.2 7.9 6.6 2.1 6.0 Transportation services . . . Auto maintenance repair Other private transportation1 ............. Public transportation1 . . . 6.863 1.707 5.3 6.2 5.5 6.2 1.1 3.7 .3 2.7 2.3 4.5 3.615 1.541 4.4 6.5 3.7 9.2 -.7 2.6 - .4 -1 .2 -.9 7.8 Medical care services . . . . 5.019 11.2 11.9 10.1 9.1 5.0 Entertainment services1. . . 1.721 6.8 8.4 5.2 6.4 4.7 Personal care services1. . . 1.007 5.8 6.1 6.8 2.3 3.3 Personal and educational services....................... 1.549 12.6 11.5 13.0 8.6 11.4 1 Data are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Data are not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Tab le 5. C hanges in consum er food prices, 1 9 8 2 -8 3 Index Food.................................... Food at h o m e .................. Cereals and bakery products1..................... Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs............................ Dairy products1 ............. Fruits and vegetables. . . Other foods at home . . . Food away from home. . . 12-month Compound annual rate, percent seasonally adjusted except as change noted, for 3 months ended— Relative Dec. importance 1982 1983 1981 Dec. 1982 to Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June 1982 18.963 12.867 3.1 2.2 0.6 -1 .8 0.8 -1 .1 2.8 3.5 1.7 .3 1.700 3.1 1.4 2.4 5.0 3.6 4.216 1.699 1.860 3.391 6.097 3.1 .9 .4 2.5 5.0 0.8 1.1 -15.9 1.0 6.2 -7 .0 1.3 2.3 1.4 5.0 2.5 2.9 3.4 4.9 2.2 -2 .0 .3 2.1 .5 4.4 1 Data are not seasonally adjusted. plemented p i k (payment-in-kind) and other acreage reduction programs designed to reduce surplus grains and booster prices at the farm level are expected to have little or no effect through the remainder of this year, and will push up retail food prices only slightly next year, according to u s d a . Because idled acres will be those that are least productive, yields per acre are likely to increase although total produc tion is expected to decline. Estimated production declines associated with the 1983 acreage decrease are 10, 50, and 45 percent for wheat, rice, and corn. Recent drought con ditions may further restrict supplies and eventually drive up grain prices. Commodity prices decelerate Prices for commodities excluding food and energy rose at a 4.3-percent seasonally adjusted annual rate during the first half of 1983, a notable slowdown from the 5.8-percent rate for all of 1982. A 5.7-percent increase in the first quarter slowed to a 2.9-percent rate from March to June. (See table 6.) Within this category, new cars, tobacco products, and textile housefumishings experienced the most dramatic shift in prices from quarter to quarter, but most other commodities also slowed down during the recent quarter. New vehicle prices increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent during the first 6 months of the year, largely re peating the 1982 experience of 1.4 percent for the year as a whole. From December to March, prices rose 6.8 percent, then they fell 3.5 percent in the second quarter. The price hike associated with the introduction of the 1983 cars was delayed as dealers tried to move large inventories of 1982 cars in the latter part of last year. As a result, the easing of prices, which in the past occurred in February and March, did not happen, causing the large seasonally adjusted in crease. On the other hand, manufacturers in the recent past have phased in introductory price increases in a quarterly basis, usually between January and April. To encourage sales, the usual April increase was deferred this year. In addition, several companies continued rebate programs, leading to a significant decrease in the second quarter. 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Anatomy o f Price Change Table 6. C hanges in prices for consum er goods other than food and energy, 1 9 8 2 -8 3 Index Relative importance Dec. 1982 12-month percent change to Dec. 1982 Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended— 1982 1983 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Commodities less food and energy........................................... 26.201 5.8 2.4 5.4 5.7 2.9 Food and beverage: Alcoholic beverages........................................................... 1.106 4.0 4.3 3.5 5.2 3.6 Housing: Maintenance and repair commodities1............................... Textile housefurnishings................................................... Furniture and bedding........................................................ Appliances, including radio and t v................................... Other household equipment1.............................................. Housekeeping supplies...................................................... .242 .574 1.300 1.208 1.009 1.686 3.3 5.1 2.7 2.4 3.9 5.4 -.9 2.9 .8 .3 -3 .4 5.6 1.2 3.7 4.2 0 4.1 4.9 -1 .2 8.9 -1 .1 1.1 4.4 2.1 73 -3 0 67 -1 3 14 1.2 Apparel and upkeep: Apparel commodities less footw ear................................. Footwear ............................................................................. 3.744 .678 1.0 .1 2.5 -.8 -1 .3 -2 .7 3.0 4.6 57 -.4 Transportation: New vehicles........................................................................ Used cars............................................................................. Auto parts and equipment1................................................. 3.936 4.056 .643 1.5 10.9 -.5 5.0 4.2 -8 .1 -1 .0 8.6 .6 6.6 11 1 -2 .9 -3 .1 92 -6 .6 Medical care: Medical care commodities................................................. .976 9.6 10.1 8.7 8.3 7.3 Entertainment: Entertainment com m odities.............................................. 2.485 4.9 3.6 4.2 3.7 .0 Other goods and services: Tobacco products1 ............................................................. Toilet goods and personal care applicances1 .................. School books and supplies................................................. 1.387 .850 .220 20.1 7.5 11.3 16.0 4.6 13.1 48.2 5.1 6.8 17.2 8.0 11.5 37 69 12.5 Used car prices, which increased 10.9 percent in 1982, advanced at about the same rate (10.1 percent) during the first half of 1983. Prices had soared from December 1979 to December 1981, increasing at an annual rate of nearly 20 percent, because of the robust secondary market asso ciated with dismal performance of new car sales. Tobacco products also showed a major deceleration of prices between the first and second quarter. The price in crease, at a 3.7-percent annual rate from March to June, was significantly below the 17.2- and 48.2-percent rates recorded in the previous two quarters. Last summer, the Federal Government enacted an increase of 8 cents per pack in the Federal excise tax on cigarettes, effective January 1, 1983. Manufacturers steadily increased prices in the latter part of 1982, ostensibly to avoid a large one-time price hike, thus causing the sharp advance in the fourth quarter of last 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis year. With the actual imposition of the tax, a large increase was reflected early in the first quarter, with relatively mod erate price increases afterwards. Most other commodities within this grouping showed some price moderation between 1982 and the first half of 1983. The major exception was clothing prices, which rose at an annual rate of 3.9 percent in 1983, following a 0.9-percent increase in 1982. ---------- F O O T N O T E ---------1Beginning in January 1983, the cpi- u used an improved method based on rental equivalence to measure homeowners costs. The rental equivalence approach calculates homeowner costs of the shelter based on the implicit rent owners would have to pay to rent the homes they occupy. The cpi- u which used the asset approach to homeownership (old series), showed a 2.5 percent annual rate of increase after seasonal adjustment. Research Summaries Employment and wages reported by California farmers in 1982 G a r y Jo h n s t o n a n d P hilip L. M artin In California, the Nation’s largest agricultural State, 82,000 farms reported employing an annual average of 66,000 farm ers and family workers and 223,000 hired workers to pro duce crops and livestock worth $14 billion in 1982. The vitality of California agriculture obviously has a significant influence on the health of the State’s economy. Most farms in the United States and in California are owned and operated by farmers and their families. Through out the Nation, farmers do 70 percent of all farm work, but in California hired workers do 70 percent of the State’s farm work and farmers, only 30 percent. Farm labor statistics are confusing and contradictory. The Federal Government collects information on farm labor in the C e n s u s of A g r i c u l t u r e . The U . S . D e p a r t m e n t of A g r i culture sends an employment questionnaire to farmers in July and publishes the results in Farm Labor. The depart ment also contracts with the Bureau of the Census to ask the 60,000 households in the Current Population Survey questions about farmwork every other December and pub lishes the results from about 1,500 farmworker households in biennial The Hired Farm Work Force reports. California’s local Job Service offices submit monthly estimates-of ag ricultural employment that are published in 881 reports of the State’s Economic Development Department. These in formation gathering efforts have different purposes and uti lize different survey techniques, so each deals with a different part of the heterogeneous farm labor market. A further com plication is the presence of the unreported illegal or “ un documented” workers who pour into the market, mostly from Mexico. The Census of Agriculture reported that more than half Gary Johnston is a farm adviser for the University of California Cooperative Extension in Fresno, and Philip L. Martin is associate professor of agri cultural economics at the University of California. Davis. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of California farms hired a total of 800,000 farmworkers in 1978 (a worker employed on two farms would be counted twice). The July 1982 survey of employers reported in Farm Labor that California farms employed 240,000 workers who averaged 43 hours of work each week. Wages averaged $4.39 for hourly workers and $6.63 per hour for piece-rate workers. The 1981 Hired Farm Work Force survey inter viewed a sample of farmworkers and reported that 334,000 persons worked at least 1 hour for wages in California, Arizona, Hawaii, and Nevada. Of this number, about 49 percent were Hispanic. California’s monthly estimates show hired farmworker employment ranging from 175,000 in March to 270,000 in September, or an annual average of 223,000 hired farmworkers. The farm labor data collected regularly by Federal and State agencies are confusing to policymakers and of limited use to farmers and farmworker representatives because each statistical system paints a different but unclear picture of the farm labor market. Much as the blind men describing the elephant, generalizations from a single data series may give a misleading impression of the job market in a particular commodity or region. To generate more detailed informa tion, a farm labor questionnaire was mailed to California farmers by several farm organizations in 1982.1 Farmers were asked 13 questions about commodities grown, the number of year-round and seasonal employees, hours of work and wages, and employer satisfaction with the quality and quantity of farmworkers. The 1982 survey More than 800 employers responded to the survey, and they represented the spectrum of crops and livestock pro duced in California. More than half were growers. Most of the respondents (58 percent) produced or worked in the fruit and nut industry. The survey was mailed to employers throughout the State, and 64 percent of the responses came from the San Joaquin Valley, the State’s major agricultural area. The farmers reported that they employed 42,000 yearround workers and 139,000 seasonal workers in 1981. The 619 farms that employed year-round workers averaged 68 27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Research Summaries Tab le 1. Y ear-roun d fa rm w o rkers and hourly w ages by region and crop Employees Region Number of farms Mean All regions Multiregion1 ...................................................... All c ro p s ........................................................... Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 619 22 11 7 1 3 67.7 112.5 157.1 61.8 250.0 22.0 Southern California2 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 75 7 26 15 7 4 16 South coast3 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Diversified......................................................... 46 3 38 1 4 Central coast4 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... V e g e ta b le s ......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 54 Standard deviation Hourly wages Minimum Maximum Number of farms Mean Standard deviation Minimum Maximum 209.9 96.2 — 13.6 1 3 3 5 — 6.0 1,820 700 700 275 — 30 610 18 9 5 1 3 $4.91 6.11 6.77 5.86 4.60 5.41 $1.25 1.35 1.80 0.97 — 1.11 $3.35 4.00 4.00 5.00 — 4.75 $12.80 10.25 10.25 7.50 — 6.70 160.7 11.4 94.8 450.3 203.8 9.5 80.8 239.1 17.7 165.5 634.6 272.1 4.7 129.2 1 1 2 1 14 3 2 1,820 50 700 1,820 600 14 400 68 7 24 11 6 3 17 4.77 4.97 4.71 5.18 4.36 4.25 4.75 0.97 0.49 1.40 0.88 0.54 0.75 0.81 3.35 4.35 3.35 3.35 3.65 3.50 3.50 10.00 5.90 10.00 6.50 5.00 5.00 6.50 57.9 23.3 57.2 375.0 11.7 77.6 20.1 91.3 — 10.7 1 1 2 — 2 500 40 500 — 22 46 4 37 1 4 6.00 6.37 6.09 5.26 5.08 1.17 0.68 1.28 — 0.99 3.83 5.80 3.83 — 4.00 10.45 7.30 10.45 __ 6.00 1 44 76.2 5.0 129.7 — 1 — 825 — 8 7 .7 1 5 2 .7 2 825 1 42 4 24.2 3 1 5 0 .0 1.0 4.0 24.3 63.3 — — 1 9 — — 50 123 — — 151.6 40.3 21.0 144.4 — 10.1 323.4 1 2 1 1 8 50 51.6 24.4 16.7 41.7 160.0 9.6 136.3 North coast6 All c ro p s ........................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... 16 9 1 6 12.9 16.2 26.0 5.8 14.1 18.8 — 9.4 — Sacramento Valley7 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 43 10 3 19 2 9 37.5 14.2 6.0 7.5 36.5 137.5 76.3 13.69 3.6 7.2 40.3 324.4 3 San Joaquin Valley5 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 1 363 17 27 260 1 1 Employers with locations in several regions 2 Los Angeles, San Bernardino, Orange, Riverside, Imperial counties 3 Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo counties. 4 Monterey, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Santa Clara, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa counties. per farm, with a range of 1 to 1,820. (See table 1.) Most of the farms employed fewer than 10 year-round workers; 81 percent surveyed had fewer than 50. A total of 755 farms employed 139,000 seasonal workers sometime in 1981 (seasonal workers are double-counted if they work for two responding employers). (See table 2.) Respondents employed an average of 184 seasonal farm workers, ranging from a low of 2 to a high of 15,000 seasonal workers (one vegetable farm in Southern Califor nia). More than 41 percent of responding farms reported that they hired between 11 and 50 seasonal workers. Farms in Southern California employed most of the seasonal work ers: 29 vegetable farms averaged 750 seasonal workers each, 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — 1 1 6.40 4.50 1.68 — 3.75 — 12.80 — 6 .6 8 1 .9 6 3 .7 5 5.61 4.68 5.00 7.50 1.16 0.35 — — 4.00 4.30 — — 1 2 .8 0 7 .0 0 3 1 1 1,594 175 100 1,594 — 30 1,560 372 17 23 278 4.55 4.37 4.89 4.52 4.38 4.69 0.86 0.68 1.12 0.87 — 1.16 0.77 3.35 3.40 3.65 3.35 — 3.50 3.50 10.00 6.35 7.50 10.00 — 6.30 7.30 50 50 — 25 15 10 4.52 4.66 4.00 6.42 1.17 1.31 — 1.13 3.50 3.50 ---: 3.50 7.71 7.71 — 1,000 40 10 30 65 1,000 38 9 2 19 4.69 4.78 5.12 4.39 5.25 5.23 0.92 0.80 0.17 0.95 0.80 1.25 3.60 3.65 5.00 3.60 — 4.00 7.50 6.22 5.25 7.50 — 6.35 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 2 53 5 1 5 48 1 4 1 7 5 .0 0 5.00 — — 6 .0 0 5 Kern, Inyo, north through San Joaquin, Calaveras, and Alpine counties. 6 7 Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Lake, Mendocino, Trinity, Humboldt, Del Norte counties. Solano, Sacramento, Yolo, Amador, north throuqh Siskiyou and Modoc counties. Source: Field Workweek Survey, 1982. and 13 fruit and nut farms averaged 890 seasonal employees each. in Southern California employed most of the seasonal work ers: 29 vegetable farms averaged 750 seasonal workers each, and 13 fruit and nut farms averaged 890 seasonal employees each. Some seasonal workers leave the area or the State after the harvest and then migrate back to California the following season. However, only 39 percent of the seasonal workers were reported to have migrated to their farm jobs from other areas. Workers who resided in the area made up 45 percent of all seasonal farmworkers, and an additional 16 percent commuted to their jobs. Generally, livestock and nursery Tab le 2. S easonal farm w o rkers and hourly w ages by region and crop Hourly wages Employees Region Maximum Number of farms Mean Standard deviation Minimum Maximum 15,000 1,300 1,300 350 $4.85 6.64 7.53 6.20 4.35 4.73 $1.71 2.95 3.74 2.49 $3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 220 711 22 12 6 1 3 1.72 3.50 $20.00 18.00 18.00 11.00 — 6.70 3 4 6 4 17 3 6 15,000 150 15,000 4,000 750 38 800 70 7 28 12 4 3 16 4.47 4.45 4.65 4.67 3.70 4.08 4.31 1.03 0.89 1.47 0.61 0.40 0.52 0.91 3.35 3.75 3.35 3.40 3.35 3.50 3.40 10.00 6.30 10.00 5.50 4.25 4.50 6.50 196.1 60.8 207.6 — 210.1 8 29 8 — 8 1,200 115 1,200 — 450 40 1 34 1 4 6.42 5.90 6.59 4.90 5.56 2.19 — 2.41 — 1.47 3.75 — 3.75 — 4.00 16.66 — 16.66 — 7.50 213.7 3 1,500 56 1 43 7 2 2 1 6.78 4.50 7.36 5.09 4.10 4.50 6.00 2.78 3.50 20.00 3.36 1.57 — 0.35 4.00 3.50 4.10 4.25 20.00 7.50 4.10 4.75 4.48 3.76 4.65 4.52 4.40 4.17 4.36 1.01 0.30 1.11 1.05 3.35 3.40 3.35 3.00 10.00 4.42 8.00 10.00 0.73 0.98 3.40 3.35 5.00 9.00 Mean Standard deviation Minimum 755 24 13 7 1 3 183.7 279.2 376.6 178.0 270.0 96.6 627.07 321.9 403.5 136.3 — 106.9 2 6 6 15 30 Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... 76 7 29 13 7 4 16 492.3 38.7 750.2 889.7 227.5 16.7 135.6 1,304.2 50.9 2,753.9 1,034.9 310.3 13.3 201.5 South coast3 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops........................................................ Vegetables........................................................ Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Diversified......................................................... 43 2 36 1 4 166.3 72.0 175.9 134.0 135.7 Central coast4 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops........................................................ Vegetables........................................................ Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... Diversified.............................................. 59 1 46 7 2 2 1 160.5 150.0 175.1 67.4 17.5 351.5 60.0 San Joaquin Valley5 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops........................................................ Vegetables......................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... ' 490 17 28 390 1 3 51 North coast6 All c ro p s ........................................................... Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Livestock........................................................... Sacramento Valley7 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops......................................................... Vegetables........................................................ Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Nurseries........................................................... Diversified......................................................... All regions Multiregion1 ...................................................... All c ro p s ........................................................... Vegetables........................................................ Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Livestock........................................................... Diversified......................................................... Southern California2 All c ro p s ........................................................... Field crops........................................................ Vegetables........................................................ Fruits and n u ts ................................................. Number of farms — — — — 246.0 42.1 9.1 492.8 — 5 6 11 3 — 1,500 120 24 700 — 149.7 94.0 203.3 120.2 300.0 25.3 368.7 301.4 110.4 283.3 235.8 2 5 4 2 2,700 460 1,221 2,100 14.0 590.4 12 7 40 2,700 463 16 26 367 1 4 49 15 12 3 55.8 65.2 18.6 82.0 97.1 21.9 5 8 5 350 350 44 15 11 4 5.23 5.46 4.62 1.40 1.30 1.70 3.00 3.50 3.00 8.00 8.00 7.00 48 10 4 23 1 10 77.8 38.0 49.5 62.1 70.0 166.1 112.8 26.6 26.2 63.7 6 9 15 6 600 85 70 300 45 10 3 20 2 10 4.48 4.50 5.11 4.06 4.70 5.08 0.73 0.88 0.95 0.42 0.28 1.25 3.50 3.50 4.10 3.50 4.50 4.00 7.50 6.68 6.00 5.00 4.91 7.50 — — 210.2 — — 6 — — 600 — — — 1 EmDlovers with locations in several regions. 2 Los Anaeles. San Bernardino, Oranqe, Riverside, Imperial counties 3 Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo counties. 4 Monterev. San Benito, Santa Cruz, Santa Clara, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa counties. 5 Kern, Inyo, north through San Joaquin, Calaveras, and Alpine counties. 6 Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Lake, Mendocino, Trinity, Humboldt, Del Norte counties. 7 Solano, Sacramento, Yolo, Amador, north through Siskiyou and Modoc counties. workers resided locally; seasonal field crop workers tended to commute to their jobs. Seasonal workers on field, fruit and nut, and diversified farms were most likely to migrate. Of the average 186 seasonal workers employed on respond ing farms, 84 were local residents, 73, migrants, and 29, commuters. and workers’ compensation insurance (6 to 18 percent). Nor do they include the cost of fringe benefits, such as health insurance, vacation, pension contributions, and transpor tation allowances. Respondents reported one average wage for all their year-round workers and another for seasonal workers, so these sample averages obscure the variation in wages on each farm. Reported farmworker wages varied widely across Cali fornia. Hourly wages for year-round workers ranged from $3.35 to $12.80. Year-round vegetable workers in the Cen tral Coast region that includes the Salinas Valley averaged $6.68 hourly, and vegetable wages elsewhere ranged from $6.77 hourly on multiregion farms to $4.71 on Southern California vegetable farms. Year-round livestock and field Hourly wages Average hourly wages were $5.16 for year-round workers and $5.14 for seasonal farmworkers. These wages, which are higher than State estimates, are gross wages that reflect cash and piece-rate wages paid to workers. The wages do not include mandatory taxes for social security (13.4 percent of base wages), unemployment insurance (4 to 6 percent), https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Source: Field Workweek Survey, 1982. 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Research Summaries crop workers received the lowest hourly wages, usually $4.25 to $4.75. The highest wages were reported by a Sal inas vegetable farm that paid its year-round workers an average hourly wage of $12.80; the lowest, by Southern California fruit and vegetable farms that paid their yearround workers $3.35 hourly. Seasonal workers averaged $5.14 hourly, with a range of $3 to $20. Seasonal vegetable workers in the Central Coast region averaged $7.36 hourly, while field workers in the San Joaquin Valley averaged only $3.77 per hour. A Salinas vegetable farm reported the highest wages, an av erage of $20 hourly; a North Coast livestock farm reported the lowest, an average of $3. Seasonal fruit and vegetable workers, who often do harvest work for piece rates, had the highest average hourly earnings. Most respondents offered their year-round and seasonal workers fringe benefits. Health insurance was the most com mon fringe benefit, offered to 97 percent of all year-round workers and 85 percent of the seasonal workers. More than 87 percent of all year-round workers were eligible for paid vacations, in contrast to 27 percent of the seasonal farm work force. Life insurance was offered to 74 percent of the year-round workers and 41 percent of the seasonal workers. Housing was provided to 26 percent of the seasonal work force and 30 percent of the year-round work force. Gen erally, seasonal field and livestock workers were less likely to have health insurance (only one-third) but more likely to have housing provided by the employer (two-thirds). Fringe benefits were most common in Southern California, the south coast, and the central coast. Unions represented 6 percent of the farmworkers em ployed by responding farms. More than 70 percent of the vegetable employers responding to the survey had unionized work forces. Union contracts were most common in South ern California, the south coast, and the central coast regions. Unionized farmworkers were rare in the north coast and Sacramento Valley regions. Recruitment and attitudes The farm labor market experiences simultaneous labor shortages and surpluses as it matches thousands of seasonal workers with jobs that last from several days to several months. Farmers were asked how they recruited farmwork ers and if they were satisfied with the quantity and the quality of employed farmworkers. About two-thirds of the respon dents reported that they recruited workers directly or relied on current employees to recruit additional workers. About one-fourth of the respondents relied on farm labor contrac tors to supply some or all of their farmworkers. Livestock farms were most likely to recruit workers directly, while San Joaquin fruit and nut farmers were most likely to rely on farm labor contractors. Most employers were satisfied with the quality and quan tity of farmworkers. More than 91 percent of seasonal em- • ployers were very or moderately successful in obtaining a 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis sufficient quantity of seasonal workers, and 83 percent were satisfied with the quality of the workers recruited. An over whelming 95 percent of year-round employers felt that they were very or moderately successful in attracting enough year-round workers, and 94 percent were satisfied with the quality of their year-round employees. Fruit and nut em ployers, especially in the San Joaquin Valley, reported the most difficulty getting enough seasonal and year-round farmworkers, a difficulty that could be attributed to their heavy reliance on farm labor contractors. California farmers must pay overtime wages of at least one and one-half times the regular wage after 10 hours of work in any day or 60 hours in any week. Farmers were asked what actions they would take if they were required to pay overtime wages after an 8-hour work day and after an employee had worked 40 hours in a week. Farmers were asked to distinguish short-run and long-run actions, select ing from a list of responses that included no change in current practices, hire additional workers, mechanize, change crops, share labor with other employers, rely on a custom harvester, or quit farming. The most frequent short-run responses to a change in the overtime wage law were to hire additional workers (62 percent), mechanize wherever possible (51 percent), and make no changes in present prac tices (24 percent). A significant number of employers, 14 to 17 percent, said they would change production methods, switch to less labor-intensive crops, and rely more on farm labor contractors or custom harvesters, or both. In the long run, more than 63 percent of the respondents said they would mechanize wherever possible, 33 percent would hire additional workers to reduce overtime wage pay ments, 32 percent would switch to less labor-intensive crops, and 28 percent would change production methods to use less labor. Field crop and diversified farms were most likely to mechanize immediately, while vegetable farms reported that they would mechanize within 3 to 5 years if the overtime wage law were changed. Only 17 farms said a change in the overtime wage law would cause them to quit farming. Conclusions The 1982 farm labor survey provides another view of California’s farm labor market. Responses from more than 800 farm employers indicate that the average farm with yearround employees has 68-year-round workers who averaged $5.16 hourly. Farms with seasonal workers employed an average of 184 workers and paid an average of $5.14 hourly. Generally, fruit and vegetable workers in the central coast, southern coast, and Southern California regions had the highest average hourly earnings, while field crop and live stock workers in the north coast and central valley regions had the lowest. Almost all of the responding farms provided health insurance for their year-round and seasonal workers and many offered paid vacations, bonuses, and other fringe benefits. Employers appeared to be quite satisfied with both the quantity and quality of farmworkers. If farmers were re quired to pay overtime wages after 8 hours per day or 40 hours per week, most would try to hire additional workers and mechanize in the short run to reduce overtime wage premiums. In the long run, farmers would mechanize, hire additional workers, and switch to less labor-intensive crops. The results of the 1982 survey must be interpreted with caution. Questionnaires were distributed to the members of five California farm organizations, and the survey results are based on relatively complete responses from only 12 percent of those who were sent the questionnaire. Respon dents appear to include most of the large farm employers who hire the majority of California’s farmworkers and have relatively complete records; however, most of the responses were from smaller employers. The farm labor survey provides benchmark information that will be most useful if future surveys are conducted to chart California’s changing farm labor market. Among the questions that need to be clarified in future surveys are those relating to the average weekly and annual earnings of sea sonal and year-round farmworkers, the legal status of alien farmworkers, and employer perceptions of how proposed fines for knowingly hiring illegal alien farmworkers and an amnesty for some current farmworkers would affect farm operations. □ ---------- F O O T N O T E ---------1Questionnaires were sent by the California Farm Bureau, the California and Tree Fruit League, Western Growers Association, Nisei Farmers League, and the Farm Employers Labor Service. These findings are from the “ National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972,’’ the Center’s first study to follow the progress of young people as they move from high school to adulthood. The sample of 23,451 young adults represents the 12th grade U.S. population in 1972. This study discusses several aspects of the careers of young men and women who make different choices about their education: the reduced earnings capacity of those in college, the crossover point when the wages of the college-educated T a b le 1. M edian hourly w age rates of young m en and w om en by age and education Year and age Educational level in 1979 at 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 age 25 24 21 22 23 25 18 19 20 Men No college: Upper bound ..................... Median............................... Lower bound..................... Number of cases............. Constant 1980 dollars 5.43 5.42 5.31 2,311 6.02 5.83 5.76 2,517 5.96 5.76 5.62 2,763 6.11 5.95 5.78 2,796 6.60 6.59 6.28 2,996 6.61 6.44 6.20 3,049 7.08 7.06 6.79 3,078 Less than 2 years of college: Upper bound..................... 4.40 5.31 Median............................... 4.25 5.08 Lower bound.................... 4.14 4.99 Number of cases............. 874 1,015 5.80 5.55 5.40 1,216 5.62 5.62 5.42 1,369 6.12 5.88 5.60 1,390 6.57 6.24 5.96 1,493 6.63 6.20 6.19 1,525 7.07 6.94 6.75 1,532 2 years or more of college: Upper bound ..................... 4.02 Median............................... 3.76 Lower bound..................... 3.74 Number of cases............. 801 4.98 4.88 4.63 1,062 5.24 5.06 4.94 1,222 5.57 5.31 5.24 1,268 6.17 5.96 5.79 1,475 6.20 6.20 6.19 1,514 6.77 6.50 6.30 1,535 Bachelor’s degree: Upper bound ..................... 3.77 3.97 3.99 4.00 Median............................... 3.75 3.78 3.76 3.75 Lower bound..................... 3.71 3.63 3.66 3.73 Number of cases............. 659 793 942 1,066 5.25 5.08 4.89 1,436 6.24 5.96 5.83 1,946 6.49 6.20 6.19 2,001 7.06 6.86 6.78 2,035 4.70 4.63 4.47 2,139 4.50 4.41 4.16 864 Advanced degree: Upper bound..................... 3.77 4.43 4.24 4.35 5.65 6.56 7.63 7.68 Median............................... 3.75 4.11 3.78 3.63 5.22 6.26 6.82 7.08 Lower bound..................... 3.47 3.34 3.20 3.30 4.47 5.58 6.20 6.70 61 76 83 105 147 201 209 227 Number of cases............. Wage rates before and after leaving school Career data collected from 1972 to 1979 by the National Center for Education Statistics show that the greater the educational attainment of young men and women, the higher their starting wage rates. Young men and women of all educational levels generally receive wage rate increases when they leave school, although some increases are larger than others. After graduating from college, young women had wage rates which quickly overtook those of their female high school classmates who did not attend college. Wage rates of young men who did not attend college were higher than their college-educated classmates for at least 8 years after leaving high school. Young women earned less per hour than comparable young men within every educational level and age group. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Women No college: Upper bound..................... Median............................... Lower bound..................... Number of cases............. 4.08 4.07 3.93 2,294 4.43 4.33 4.17 2,312 4.31 4.24 4.14 2,459 4.38 4.27 4.19 2,412 4.70 4.63 4.56 2,684 4.65 4.64 4.63 2,757 4.72 4.57 4.52 2,817 Less than 2 years of college: Upper bound..................... 3.75 4.17 Median............................... 3.67 4.08 Lower bound..................... 3.54 4.03 Number of cases............. 910 1,147 4.57 4.42 4.37 1,234 4.49 4.47 4.39 1,318 4.73 4.61 4.53 1,305 4.95 4.93 4.73 1,451 5.01 4.94 4.82 1,484 5.18 5.09 4.94 1,473 2 years or more of college: Upper bound..................... 3.56 3.61 4.32 4.49 Median............................... 3.48 3.60 4.16 4.47 Lower bound..................... 3.37 3.55 4.13 4.30 Number of cases............. 554 738 890 1,072 4.72 4.54 4.38 1,084 4.96 4.94 4.79 1,268 5.32 5.11 4.94 1,285 5.64 5.36 5.10 1,299 Bachelor's degree: Upper bound..................... 3.34 3.50 3.33 3.73 Median............................... 3.28 3.39 3.32 3.51 Lower bound..................... 3.13 3.27 3.31 3.40 Number of cases............. 559 814 930 1,067 4.90 4.72 4.59 1,469 5.55 5.30 5.27 1,901 5.93 5.73 5.57 1,940 6.24 6.06 5.87 1,950 3.74 3.73 3.57 2,073 Advanced degree: Upper bound..................... 3.59 3.73 3.32 3.75 5.58 6.56 7.41 7.39 Median............................... 3.49 3.56 3.29 3.55 4.66 6.09 6.38 6.99 Lower bound..................... 3.02 3.17 3.19 3.26 4.17 5.49 6.19 6.40 97 109 145 192 205 212 59 80 Number of cases............. S o u r c e : U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. Un published tabulations from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972. 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Research Summaries catch up to those with no higher education, and the wage increases that come with age and experience after leaving high school or college. Students who work while attending school generally take part-time jobs paying less per hour than they could earn had they left school and worked full time. After leaving high school or college, wage rates of those with more education catch up to and, after a few years, overtake those with less education. The career patterns of earnings by educational level are similar for young men and women. However, women earn less than men at each age and educational level. Young men and women also differ in the length of time it takes for those with college degrees to catch up to their peers who did not attend college. For women, the crossover point occurs very soon after college graduation. Those in the 1972 study showed a cross over point in wage rates in 1976 when most of them were 22 years old. In that year, the wage rate of women with no college was $4.27 per hour; with less than 2 years of college, $4.61; with 2 years or more of college or a 2-year degree, $4.54; and with a bachelor’s degree or more, $4.72. (See table 1.) For men, a possible crossover point was in 1979 when most of them were 25 years old. In that year, the median hourly wage rate of men with no college was $7.06 per hour; with less than 2 years of college, $6.94; with 2 years or more of college or a 2-year degree, $6.50; and with a bachelor’s degree or more, $6.86. Men and women who enrolled in higher education pro grams received higher wage rates when they left school and the greater their educational attainment, the larger their start ing wage rate. For men, the starting wage rate of those with no college was $4.71 per hour; with less than 2 years of college, $5.13; with 2 years or more of college or a 2-year degree, $5.56; with a bachelor’s degree, $5.96; and with an advanced degree, $6.98. For women, the corresponding wage rates were $3.76, $4.13, $4.54, $5.24, and $6.60, respectively. For both men and women, the financial returns of a college education may repay the actual costs of school ing, as well as the wages lost by not working during the college years. Wage histories from the “ National Longi tudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972” show that up to age 25, college probably does pay for young women, but it is too early to say the same for young men. Does College Pay? Wage Rates Before and After Leaving School is available from the Statistical Information Office, National Center for Education Statistics, 400 Maryland Av enue SW, Washington 20202. Q The role o f education in lifetim e earnings Lifetime Earnings Estimates for Men and Women in the United States: 1979, the latest in an intermittent series of U.S. Bureau of the Census reports on the subject, presents 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis estimates of expected lifetime earnings based on data col lected in the March Current Population Survey (cps ). The report provides a scientific basis for analyzing the expected future earnings of men and women at specific ages and at five educational attainment levels (less than 12 years, 12 years (high school), 1 to 3 years of college, 4 years of college, and 5 years or more of college). The estimates represent the average amounts that individuals with a spec ified set of characteristics can expect to earn in their working lifetimes. If it is assumed that a person does not begin to work for pay until age 18, the estimates illustrate earnings potential for men and women between ages 18 and 64. For example, a man with a high school diploma can expect to earn $861,000 constant 1981 dollars between ages 18 and 64, while a woman with the same level of education can expect to earn only $381,000. The current census report differs from previous census publications on expected lifetime earnings in at least two respects: (1) estimates of annual rates of unemployment by age have been incorporated into the procedures, and (2) estimates of expected lifetime earnings for women have been introduced. Past publications have not included esti mates for women because they, on average, experience more breaks in employment (for example, for childbirth and child rearing) than do men. The lifetime earnings estimates have many uses. First, they permit projecting one’s lifetime earnings stream, even though future experiences of an individual are unknown. The author, Dan L. Burkhead, explains that future earnings can depend on many decisions in one's life, such as those concerning marriage, career goals, education, job location, and job availability. These estimates reflect the effect of those possible future decisions. The estimates are also es sential to court settlements involving wrongful or negligent death as it is not known what the decedent's earnings would have been. Finally this information is valuable to show the benefits of continued education. For example, a man with a high school education can expect to earn $803,000 between the ages of 25 and 64 and a man with a college degree could earn $1,165,000 between the same ages. While the $365,000 additional income that a college degree could permit one to earn is quite impressive, the estimates show that a man with a postgraduate degree would earn $1,273,000 (only $108,000 additional income). The estimates also indicate, not surprisingly, that women at all comparable age and educational levels will earn less than their male counterparts. (The author reports that if estimates could be derived for persons working continu ously, without the intermittent breaks in employment com mon among women, the estimates for women would be higher.) Comparing female/male estimates, the report in dicates that a woman with a high school education can expect to earn, on average, $330,000 between 25 and 64 (approximately 59 percent less than her male counterpart), $474,000 with a college degree (also approximately 59 per cent less), and $673,000 with a post graduate degree (ap proximately 47 percent less). The data also indicate that a woman with a post graduate degree is estimated to earn $130,000 less than a male high school graduate (approxi mately 16 percent less). Several important assumptions were necessary to estimate expected lifetime earnings. First, and most important, the lifetime earnings estimates are average amounts based on cross-sectional earnings data by age, sex, and educational attainment for the years 1978-80. Use of this data assumes that current relationship are representative of the future: there is no way, however, to validate this assumption. Sec https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ond, the estimates were based on discount rates and annual productivity rates of zero percent. Any increase in the rate of productivity would result in higher estimates, but no attempt was made to predict future productivity trends. Third, the estimates do not consider values of various fringe ben efits received by many employees. Finally, the estimates ’deal only with one’s earnings potential between ages 18 and 64, not one’s probability of survival. Lifetime Earnings Estimates for Men and Women in the United States: 1979 (Current Population Reports, Series P -60, No. 139) is available for $4.50 from the Superin tendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Q A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. 33 Major Agreements Expiring Next Month This list of selected collective bargaining agreements expiring in October is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Industry Employer and location A C C O I n d u s tr ie s , In c . ( In te rs ta te ) ............................................. A C F I n d u s t r i e s , I n c . , A m c a r D i v i s i o n ( S t. L o u i s , M o .) Labor organization1 Number of workers F a b r ic a te d m e t a l p r o d u c t s S t e e l w o r k e r s ............................................................. 1,000 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t R a i lw a y C a r m e n ; M a c h i n i s t s ; E l e c t r ic a l 1,500 W o rk e rs (IB E W ); F ire m e n a n d O ile rs ; a n d B o ile rm a k e rs P a p e rw o rk e rs A m e r i c a n C a n C o . ( N a h e o l a , A l a .) Paper B e ll T e l e p h o n e C o . o f P e n n s y l v a n i a .......................................................... C o m m u n ic a tio n ................ .......................................................... F e d e ra tio n o f T e le p h o n e W o rk e rs o f 1,250 1,300 P e n n s y lv a n ia ( In d .) B e n d i x C o r p . , E l e c t r ic a l C o m p o n e n t s D i v i s i o n ( S i d n e y , N . Y . ) E l e c t r ic a l p r o d u c t s M a c h in ists ....................................................... B o e in g C o . (In te rs ta te ) T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t M a c h in ists ....................................................... T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t A u t o W o r k e r s ................................................ 2,350 3,900 3,000 ...................................................................................... B o e i n g C o . , B o e i n g V e r to l C o . D i v i s i o n ( P e n n s y l v a n ia .... a n d D e la w a re ) ...................................................... F a b r ic a te d m e ta l p r o d u c t s S te e lw o rk e rs 1,200 C y c l o p s C o r p . , E m p i r e - D e t r o i t S te e l D i v i s i o n ( M a n s f ie l d , O h i o ) P r im a r y m e t a l s ...................... S te e lw o rk e rs 1,200 D a n a C o r p . , P a r is h F r a m e D i v i s i o n ( R e a d i n g , P a .) T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t S t e e l w o r k e r s .................................... D y e a n d M a c h i n e P r in t C o s . ( I n t e r s t a t e ) 2 T e x t i l e s ................................... C lo th in g a n d T e x tile W o rk e rs 1,800 4,000 F l o r i d a P o w e r a n d L i g h t C o . ( F lo r i d a ) U t i li ti e s E l e c t r ic a l W o r k e r s ( I B E W ) 4,900 G e n e r a l D y n a m i c s C o r p . , E l e c t r i c B o a t D i v i s i o n ( Q u i n c y , M a s s .) T r a n s p o r ta tio n e q u ip m e n t M a rin e a n d S h ip b u ild in g W o rk e rs G r e y h o u n d L in e s, In c . (In te rs ta te ) T ra n sit A m a lg a m a te d T r a n s it U n io n . . . . C o m m e r c ia l S h e a rin g , In c . ( In te rs ta te ) ................ ................................................................... H e rs h e y F o o d s C o rp . ( H e rsh e y , P a .) ................................... F o o d p ro d u c ts ......................... B a k e r y , C o n f e c tio n e ry a n d T o b a c c o 2,500 17,000 2,300 W o rk e rs S t e e l w o r k e r s ................................................... 3,250 M a c h in e ry S te e lw o rk e rs 1,800 J e rs e y C e n tra l P o w e r a n d L ig h t C o . (N e w Je rs e y ) U t i li ti e s E l e c t r ic a l W o r k e r s ( I B E W ) 2,150 K a i s e r F o u n d a t i o n H o s p i t a l s , P e r m a n e n t e M e d ic a l G r o u p , K a i s e r F o u n d a t io n H o s p i ta l s . S e rv ic e E m p lo y e e s 7,850 1,500 3,550 ................................ M a c h in e ry ................................... H u g h e s T o o l C o . (H o u s to n , T e x .) In g e r s o ll- R a n d C o . ( N e w J e rs e y ) . . H e a l th P l a n ( S a n F r a n s c i s c o , C a l i f .) M a c h in e ry M a c h in ists ................................................................... R e ta il t r a d e F o o d a n d C o m m e r c ia l W o rk e rs ................................................................................ In stru m e n ts K o p p e r s C o . , I n c . , M e ta l P r o d u c t s D i v i s i o n ( B a l t i m o r e , M d .) K r o g e r C o . , E r ie M a r k e t i n g A r e a ( I n t e r s t a t e ) L e e d s a n d N o r th ru p C o . ( P e n n s y lv a n ia ) L ib b e y -O w e n s -F o rd C o . ( In te rs ta te ) ............................. ......................................................................................... L in c o ln T e le p h o n e a n d T e le g r a p h C o . (N e b r a s k a ) .......................................................... L o c k h e e d A irc ra ft C o r p ., L M S C D iv isio n (In te rs ta te ) ................................................ L o c k h e e d A ir c r a f t C o r p ., L o c k h e e d C a lif o r n ia C o . D iv isio n (In te rs ta te ) L o c k h e e d A ir c r a f t C o r p ., L o c k h e e d G e o r g ia C o . D iv isio n . . . ............................................. .......................................... A u t o W o r k e r s ................................................... S to n e , c la y , a n d g la s s p r o d u c ts . . A lu m in u m , B ric k a n d G la s s W o rk e rs C o m m u n ic a tio n C o m m u n ic a tio n s W o rk e rs ................................... .................... T r a n s p o r ta tio n e q u ip m e n t ............. M a c h in ists ......................................................... T ra n s p o rta tio n e q u ip m e n t ............. M a c h in ists ....................................................... T ra n s p o rta tio n e q u ip m e n t ............. M a c h in ists ....................................................... 1,200 4.500 1,600 6,300 14,000 8.500 (In te rs ta te ) M c D o n n e ll D o u g la s C o r p ., D o u g la s A irc ra ft C o . ( C a lifo rn ia ) . . T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t A u to W o rk e rs M c D o n n e l l D o u g l a s C o r p . ( I n t e r s t a t e ) ......................................................... T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t M a c h in ists M c L o u t h S t e e l C o r p . ( T r e n t o n , M i c h . ) ...................................................... P r im a r y m e t a l s ................... S te e lw o rk e rs . M e c h a n ic a l C o n tr a c to rs A s s o c ia tio n o f N e w O rle a n s (L o u is ia n a ) C o n s tru c tio n P lu m b e rs ...................... . . . . . 9,900 5,700 3,400 3,000 N a t i o n a l S t a n d a r d C o . ( I n t e r s t a t e ) ...................................................... P r im a r y m e t a l s ................... S te e lw o rk e rs 1,200 N e w p o r t N e w s S h i p b u i l d i n g a n d D r y D o c k C o . ( V i r g i n ia ) T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t S te e lw o rk e rs N o r th w e s t I n d u s tr ie s , I n c ., L o n e S ta r S te e l C o . (T e x a s ) . . P r im a r y m e t a l s ................... S te e lw o rk e rs 17,000 4,300 O lin C o r p . ( P is g a h F o r e s t, N .C .) Paper P a p e rw o rk e rs 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,850 Continued—Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Labor organization1 Industry Employer and location M a c h i n e r y ............................................. O u t b o a r d M a r i n e C o r p . , J o h n s o n O u t b o a r d s D i v i s i o n ( W a u k e g a n , 111.) In d e p e n d e n t M a rin e a n d M a c h in ists Number of workers 2 ,5 0 0 A s s o c ia t io n ( I n d . ) ............................. 1 ,3 0 0 S to n e , c la y , a n d g la s s p ro d u c ts F l in t G l a s s W o r k e r s P ru d e n tia l I n s u ra n c e C o . o f A m e ric a (In te rs ta te ) In su ra n c e I n su ra n c e A g e n ts 1,200 S c h w i n n B i c y c le C o . ( C h i c a g o , 111.) T r a n s p o r t a t i o n e q u ip m e n t A u to W o rk e rs 1 ,5 0 0 T im e x C o r p . ( C o n n e c tic u t) In stru m e n ts O w e n s -I llin o is , In c . ( V in e la n d , N .J .) ..................................................................................... . . W a te r b u r y W a tc h W o r k e r s 1,200 T i t a n i u m M e t a l s C o r p . o f A m e r i c a ( N e v a d a ) ...................................................................... P r im a r y M e ta l s S t e e l w o r k e r s ............................. 1 ,0 5 0 T i ta n i u m M e ta ls C o r p . o f A m e r i c a , S ta n d a r d S te e l D iv is io n ( P e n n s y lv a n ia ) . . . P r im a r y M e ta l s S t e e l w o r k e r s ............................. 1 ,5 0 0 W h i t e C o n s o l i d a t e d I n d u s t r i e s , I n c . , F r a n k li n M a n u f a c t u r i n g C o . D iv i s i o n E l e c t r ic a l p r o d u c t s M a c h in ists 1,200 ............................................................................................................ ( S t. C l o u d , M i n n . ) 1 A f f il ia t e d w i t h A F L - C I O e x c e p t w h e r e n o t e d a s i n d e p e n d e n t ( I n d . ) . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 In d u stry a re a ( g ro u p o f c o m p a n ie s s ig n in g s a m e c o n tra c t). Job loss of long-service workers The loss of a job after the accumulation of some substantial seniority is likely to be psychologically unsettling and to produce economic hardship under any circumstances. When such an involuntary separation from a long-service job occurs during a man’s fifties or sixties it can be calamitous. Although such displacements are not common, they happen often enough to constitute a social problem. Among men who were 55 to 69 years of age in 1976, 1 of 14 had lived through such an experience during the preceding decade. This represents over half a million persons. This disruption of work career happens indiscriminately to men in all occupational categories and irrespective of educational background. Such displacement is much more likely in the private than in the public sector and is also considerably more common in some major industry divisions, notably trade and manufacturing. Even very long seniority does not provide immunity from such displacement. The overall displacement rate is 7.4 percent, while the rate is as high as 5.9 percent, controlling for other factors, among men with 20 years or more of service. The incidence of displacement is uneven from other points of view. It is much higher among nonmarried than among married men, and men whose jobs had manifested some lack of stability even before 1966 were more likely to suffer an involuntary separation sometime over the next decade. Displacement was considerably less likely from establishments with pension plans than from those without them. Nevertheless, there is no evidence that the 1966 average hourly earnings of the men who were ultimately displaced differed systematically from those of men who were not. Despite the objective evidence of some qualitative difference in the security and amenities of their 1966 jobs, the men who were later displaced were just as likely as their more fortunate counterparts to have reported that their 1966 jobs were the longest and best of their careers. — Herbert S. Parnes, ed. Work and Retirement: A Longitudinal Study o f Men (Cambridge, Mass., The mit Press, 1981), pp. 82-83. 35 Developments in Industrial Relations Supreme Court bans sex bias in pensions The Supreme Court ruled that employer-sponsored re tirement plans may no longer pay women smaller benefits than men, despite actuarial studies indicating that women generally live longer than men. The ruling was primarily applicable to “ defined contribution” pension plans, in which employers or employees or both make set payments into the plan. Men and women generally pay the same amount into the plan, but the resulting benefits are usually lower for women. According to the Employee Benefit Research In stitute, there are 450,000 such pension and profit-sharing plans, with 25 million members. The American Council of Life Insurance put the number of members at 16.5 million, including 5 million women. The Council also estimated that 1 to 3 million of the women are covered by plans that provide smaller benefits for women. Less likely to be affected by the ruling are “ defined ben efits” plans which pay set benefits at periodic intervals. The benefits are generally equal for men and women. The court case, Arizona v. Norris, began in 1975, when Nathalie Norris joined an annuity plan offered by her em ployer, the State of Arizona, through a commercial insur ance company. Her monthly contribution was $199, the same as for a male employee, but her monthly benefit be ginning at age 65 was scheduled to be $320.11, $33.96 less than for a male employee. Norris challenged the inequality under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which prohibits sex, race, and ethnic discrimination in employ ment. In support of her position, she cited a 1978 Supreme Court ruling in Los Angeles Department o f Water and Power v. Manhart, in which the court barred the city agency from requiring female employees to make larger contributions to receive the same monthly benefits as men. The ruling in the Norris case was delivered in a separate unsigned order summing up conflicting opinions of two groups of justices. Justices Thurgood Marshall, William Brennan, Byron White, and John Stevens held that paying unequal benefits is illegal sex discrimination. Writing for the group, Justice Marshall said, “ Actuarial tables could “ Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division o f Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis unquestionably identify differences in life expectancy based on race or national origin, as well as sex.” However, he continued, “ even a true generalization about a class cannot justify class-based treatment. An individual woman may not be paid lower monthly benefits simply because women as a class live longer.” Justice Lewis Powell, Chief Justice Warren Burger, and Justices Harry Blackmun and William Rehnquist contended that the discrimination act was not intended to cover either the insurance industry or actuarial tables. Justice Powell wrote, “ Sex-based mortality tables reflect objective actu arial experience. Because their use does not entail discrim ination in any normal understanding of that term, a court should hestitate to invalidate this long-approved practice on the basis of its own policy judgment.” The group also contended that in no event should a remedy be applied retroactively. Justice Sandra Day O ’Connor concurred with the first group only on the illegality of the Arizona plan and con curred with the second group only on the retroactivity as pect. Thus, the court arrived at its finding that the Arizona plan was illegal, but the remedy would be limited to pension contributions accrued after July 31, 1983. The court did not say that for plans in which women’s benefits were less than men’s, the women’s must be raised to the men’s level. Instead, it simply said that unequal benefits must be equalized, which could be accomplished by either raising women’s benefits or lowering men’s ben efits, or a combination of the two approaches. GM’s plan to combat absenteeism successful A General Motors Corp.-United Auto Workers plan to reduce unwarranted job absenteeism showed positive re sults; only 3 percent of the workers represented by the union failed to meet the minimum attendance requirement and were penalized. The overall effort to control unnecessary absences consisted of two parts. The first, counseling of offenders, was the major innovation of a six-member joint committee established under the parties’ 1979 collective bargaining agreement and continued under their March 1982 agreement. Under this aspect of the plan, employees who had been absent more than 20 percent of their scheduled work time during the first 6 months of the 1982 agreement were offered counseling to aid them in improving their at tendance. These workers, and all others represented by the Auto Workers, were warned that they faced a temporary reduction in benefits (the second part of the plan) if they exceeded the 20-percent rate during the second 6 months of the agreement. Both the counseling and the reduction in benefits were to be applied in the same manner during the balance of the 1982 contract, which expires in September 1984. GM said that the aid by teams of union and management representatives and by professional counselors was so suc cessful that 75 percent of the workers who qualified for the initial round of counseling avoided benefit reductions, while 10,000 workers exceeded the 20-percent rate during the second 6 months of the agreement. According to the com pany, the counseling approach was a major factor leading to a decline in “ controllable absences’’ from 11.3 percent in 1981 to 10.3 percent in 1982, and 8.8 percent in the first quarter of 1983. The company and union indicated that virtually all ab sences were used in computing the individual rates. Not included in the calculations were absences for “ major ill nesses or injuries such as heart attacks, strokes, major sur gery, etc.” The reduction in benefits for the 10,000 workers was to last for 6 months, beginning in April 1983. The cut in paid holidays, vacation pay, paid absence allowance, bereave ment pay, jury duty pay, sickness and accident benefits, and Supplemental Unemployment Benefits, was to equal the individual worker’s absence rate. Possible payouts under the company’s profit-sharing plan, scheduled to begin in April 1984 (based on 1983 operating results), also would be reduced, but any lost amounts will be distributed to all eligible employees in future years. Don Davis, an official of the union’s General Motors Department, and a member of the committee, said that the plan had been well received by employees, even those who were penalized, because they had been given adequate warn ing of the consequences of unwarranted time off. General Motors is the only domestic automobile manu facturer with such an attendance plan, although Chrysler Corp.’s latest settlement with the Auto Workers calls for countering unnecessary absences through tighter discipli nary procedures. (See Monthly Labor Review, February 1983, pp. 46-47, for the Chrysler accord, and May 1982, pp. 5960, for the General Motors accord.) Teachers Association in 1981. The bankruptcy filing, which also affected the pay of 1,400 other school employees, was under Chapter 9 of the Federal Bankruptcy Code which protects a State or munic ipality against creditors while it restructures its debt. At the time of filing, the San Jose school district had $3.5 million in debts and faced an additional $12 million deficit for the 1983-84 school year. Keith McWilliams, the school system’s bankruptcy at torney, attributed much of the financial difficulties to Prop osition 13, the 1978 California initiative that cut some property taxes and imposed limits on future increases. (In California and most other states, virtually all funds for schools are obtained from property taxes.) Ford parts workers accept once-rejected contract Faced with a threatened cut in production and employ ment, employees of Ford Electronics and Refrigeration Corp. in Connersville, Ind., voted to accept essentially the same settlement terms they had rejected 10 days earlier. The new contract negotiated by Local 919 of the International Union of Electrical Workers was effective immediately, supplant ing the balance of an agreement that had been scheduled to expire in March 1984. Company officials threatened to cut production by a reported 25 percent because they wanted to preclude interruptions in the production of automobile radiators and air conditioning parts at the plant. In 1978, a strike at the plant caused production difficulties at the parent Ford Motor Co. The new contract provided for 20, 50, and 50 cents an hour wage increases on July 1 of 1983, 1984, and 1985. In a cost reduction move, new production line workers will start at 80 percent of the standard job rate,* progress to 90 percent of the rate after 6 months of service, and to the full rate after another 6 months. Previously, new employees attained the standard rate after 90 days of service. All 1,700 employees will continue to receive automatic quarterly cost-of-living pay adjustments calculated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.4-point movement in the BLS-Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967 = 100). There also is a provision for reopening bar gaining on wages and benefits in the fourth year. Benefit changes included a three-step $4 increase in the pension rate to $17.50 a month for each year of credited service and a $50 increase, to $80, in maximum dental insurance coverage. California school district files for bankruptcy The first bankruptcy of a public school system in Cali fornia occurred when the San Jose Unified School District was unable to persuade its 1,400 teachers to give up a 6.1percent salary increase due in September 1983. Earlier, the school district had refused to put into effect a 6-percent salary increase that had been scheduled for September 1982 under a 3-year agreement negotiated with the San Jose https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Arbitrator to decide steel’s benefit-cut issue A disagreement arose over the application of the tem porary wage cut in the March settlement between the United Steelworkers and the Coordinating Committee Steel Com panies. (See Monthly Labor Review, May 1983, pp. 4 7 48, for terms of the March settlement.) According to the companies, the $1.25 pay cut should also affect pension, 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations insurance, and other benefits that vary according to pay level. This was disputed by the union. Vice President Joseph Odorcich, who represented the union during the negotiations that resulted in the March settlement, charged the steel com panies with “ trying to reduce benefits that were not the subject of the negotiations. . . . ” Odorcich was displeased that the matter would be resolved through arbitration be cause of the delay involved. Selected to decide the issue was Benjamin Aaron, pro fessor of law at the University of California at Los Angeles. The case was only the second in the history of the industry involving a number of companies. The first was in 1969, when a ruling resulted in extension of incentive pay to thousands of workers. Elsewhere in the steel industry, other companies nego tiated labor contracts patterned after the March accord. In Coatesville, Pa., Lukens, Inc., and the Steelworkers ne gotiated a contract that called for a reported $1.80 an hour cut in wages and benefits, compared with a reported $2.25$2.30 at the seven larger companies because, “ Lukens is in better financial shape than most of the industry,” ac cording to a local union official. In Zanesville, Ohio, Armco, Inc., negotiated a contract with the Steelworkers that called for a smaller wage cut (35 cents) than the seven companies but a larger reduction in benefits, resulting in an overall cut in compensation similar to the other companies. About 320 workers were affected. Earlier, Armco negotiated a concessionary contract for 4,500 employees at its Middletown, Ohio, plant. The workers are represented by the Armco Employees Independent Feder ation. Airlines win wage concessions The Hyatt Corp. made some progress in its efforts to resurrect bankrupt Braniflf International, but faced a suit filed by the Machinists union to block implementation of a con cessionary labor contract negotiated by one of its local rep resentatives. Four other unions approved concessionary accords— the Air Line Pilots; the Association of Flight At tendants; the Dispatchers; and the Teamsters. According to Branifif, the agreements provided for “ significant increases in productivity, wage concessions and the cross-utilization of employees within various classifications.” Reportedly, the largest pay cut was about 60 percent for the pilots, bringing their pay to $43 an hour or $3,500 a month. Under Hyatt’s plan, Braniff would resume flying 30 planes by October 15, 1983, rehiring 2,000 of the 10,000 employees affected by its April 1982 shutdown. Frontier Airlines won a 1-year wage reduction from its 575 pilots. Frontier recorded a $10.2 million loss in the first quarter of 1983, following a loss in the last quarter of 1982 that was the first in several years. The 2-year contract per mits the airline to increase flying hours to 80 a month, from 75. This change, plus the pay reduction, was expected to 38 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis save Frontier $5 million. At the time of the settlement, senior captains earned up to $8,640 a month flying Douglas DC-9’s and up to $7,874 flying Boeing 737’s. American Airlines’ plan to buy additional airplanes and expand operations received a boost when the Professional Flight Attendants union accepted a contract that made some concessions on pay rates for new employees. American stressed that implementation of its plan was contingent on obtaining concessions from members of the Air Line Pilots Association. American was pressing the Pilots Association for an early renewal of their agreement, which was sched uled to expire in April 1984. Ralph Harkenrider, executive administrator of the union, said, “ We see the need for some concessions but we aren’t going to give away the store.” The settlement for the flight attendants provides that new employees be paid about 30 percent less than current pay scales. American also will be permitted to create some parttime positions, to be filled by current full-time employees. All 6,500 current employees will receive pay increases to taling nearly 15 percent over the 3-year agreement term. Western Airlines changed leadership and pledged a more cooperative attitude towards the unions representing its em ployees. This led the Teamsters and the Air Line Pilots to offer assurances that they would cooperate in the airline’s efforts to negotiate temporary labor cost cuts. In a legal matter involving Western Airlines, a Federal appeals court upheld a district court ruling that the company had violated the Age Discrimination in Employment Act by imposing a mandatory retirement age of 60 on flight engi neers and by refusing to permit DC-10 pilots nearing the Federal Aviation Administration’s required retirement age of 60 for pilots to “ down bid” on flight engineer jobs. The case originated in 1977, when two pilots and a flight engineer contested Western’s inauguration of a rule requir ing that all three crew members— the captain, copilot, and flight engineer— of a DC-10 must retire at age 60. In its arguments before the courts, Western contended that a captain’s bid for a lower position in the flight crew was not protected by the Age Discrimination in Employment Act. Western also contended that the age 60 policy was a legitimate job qualification, justified by considerations other than age. In its ruling, the court noted that there have been no accidents resulting from disability of any of the more than 200 flight engineers over age 60 who are still flying. Glass Workers end 9-year strike A strike lasting nearly 9 years against the Bartlett-Collins Co. in Sapulpa, Okla., ended in mid-June when the 75 workers accepted a 30-month contract. American Flint Glass Workers President George Parker termed the settlement a victory “ in a long historic labor battle for dignity.” The American Flint Glass Workers had won a represen tation election at the plant in the 1940’s, but was not able to reach an agreement. The same thing happened to the Glass and Ceramic Workers in the 1960’s. The American Flint Glass Workers won another representation election in 1974, but again was unable to reach agreement, leading to the long strike. The agreement provided for wage increases, three paid holidays (the first in the plant’s history), improvements in health benefits, a dues checkolf, and specified overtime hours and pay rates. More copper settlements Negotiations in the copper mining, smelting, and refining industry moved toward a close as a coalition of unions led by the Steelworkers settled with four companies along the lines of the Kennecott Corp. agreement, which froze wages for 3 years, except for continuation of possible automatic quarterly cost-of-living adjustments. (See Monthly Labor Review, June 1983, p. 45.) The four companies are Magma Copper Co.; Inspiration Consolidated Copper Co.; Ameri can Smelting and Refining Co.; and U.S. Metals Refining Co. Most of the facilities are located in Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, and Texas, except for the U.S. Metals plant, which is in Carteret, N.J. The one bargaining situation that continued the industry’s history of frequent work stoppages at agreement termina tions was at Phelps Dodge Corp., where a strike began at the end of June. The company contended that it could not afford the cost of following the pattern because it was forced to stand or fall on its own performance, unlike some of the other companies which can sustain losses because they are part of larger firms. Phelps Dodge’s demands included cuts in pay for new workers, a pay freeze for those already on the payroll, elimination of the automatic cost-of-living pay adjustment formula, elimination of 1 of 9 paid holidays, elimination of the fifth week of paid vacation for 25-year employees, and adoption of larger deductibles under the medical insurance plans. Southern paperworkers get new contract More than 6,000 employees of International Paper Co. mills in four southern States were covered by contracts negotiated by the United Paperworkers and the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers unions. The 3-year con tracts provided for 6, 6, and 5 percent pay increases on June 1 of 1983, 1984, and 1985, which average 68, 72, and 64 cents an hour. Other wage terms included elimination of the automatic cost-of-living pay adjustment formula, which had resulted in a 43-cent increase during the 3-year term of the contracts which expired on May 31, 1983. The major benefit change was a revision of the pension plan to provide for benefits calculated at $ 16 to $27 a month for each year of credited service. Previously, benefit amounts were calculated as a percentage of annual earnings. Other https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis benefit changes included a fifth paid personal holiday, a $30 annual payment for safety shoes, and a $50 increase (to $ 150) in the annual deductible under the major medical plan. The mills are located in Mobile, Ala., Moss Point and N atchez, M iss.; Cam den and Pine Bluff, A rk.; and Bastrop, La. Farm-construction equipment accords The Auto Workers union concluded its round of bar gaining with the major farm and construction equipment companies by settling with J. I. Case Co. for 4,200 active and 2,100 laid-off workers. Some of the terms were similar to those in the Caterpillar Tractor Co. agreement (.Monthly Labor Review, July 1983, p. 42) and the Deere and Co. agreement (Monthly Labor Review, August 1983, p. 36). The 44-month contract provided for a single guaranteed wage increase of 3 percent, effective July 7, but the workers’ pay will continue to be subject to automatic quarterly costof-living pay adjustments calculated at the existing rate of 1 cent an hour for each 0.26-point change in the BLS-Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967 = 100). Another wage provision was establishment of a Guar anteed Sharing Benefits Plan assuring workers of three an nual lump-sum payments beginning in 1985 that the union said will total $1,600 for a typical worker. All employees on the active payroll on June 27, 1983, also received a $100 “ settlement bonus.” In a change beneficial to Case, the Attendance Bonus Program was modified so that employees can now accrue only 40 percent of the paid time off that was possible under the previous agreement. Under that agreement, those who worked all scheduled hours in a week earned attendance bonus hours ranging from 1.5 for those with 1 but less than 10 years of service to 3 for those with at least 20 years of service. Those with perfect attendance for 5 consecutive weeks earned additional paid time off, bringing the com bined maximum for a 5-week period to a range of 11.25 hours for those with 1 but less than 10 years of service to 22.5 hours for those with at least 20 years of service. New protections for employees’ jobs and income included advance notice and union input when major outsourcing (subcontracting) is contemplated; advance notice and dis cussion with the union prior to any company decision on partial or complete plant shutdown; establishment of a “ Plant Preferential Seniority Placement List” ; formation of a na tional joint committee on retraining and placement; special early retirement benefits, guaranteed supplemental unem ployment benefits, and extended health insurance coverage for workers affected by partial or complete plant shutdowns; and establishment of a rebate program aimed at increasing sales of products made by u a w members. The new contract covers operations in Racine, Wis.; Terre Haute, Ind.; Rock Island, 111.; and Burlington and Betten dorf, Iowa. 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations Eastman delays merit pay increases Eastman Kodak Co. announced a 6-month delay in merit pay increases for virtually all of its employees. The only employees who will receive increases on schedule in De cember— if warranted by their performance— are 3,500 hourly and weekly paid salaried employees in the lowest grades. At the end of 1982, the photographic products manufacturer had 93,300 employees in.the United States. Since then, it has laid off 2,700 and shed several thousand through vol untary retirement and separation incentives. Problems continue in meat processing industry The meat processing industry continues to be plagued by plant closings, threats of closings, and wage-and-benefit reductions. Wilson Food Corp. filed for bankruptcy, then unilaterally cut the wages and benefits of its employees represented by the United Food and Commercial Workers by 40 to 55 percent. The union responded by filing charges with the National Labor Relations Board, contending that Wilson had engaged in unfair labor practices. The union also filed charges with the bankruptcy court, contending that Wilson’s action on wages and benefits was an improper use of the Federal bankruptcy code. During this period, the parties began to negotiate on the wage and benefit levels, but the talks became deadlocked, and the union struck seven fa cilities. The strike ended after 22 days, when the parties agreed on a contract that restored some of the cuts. The new contract prohibits the company from closing any plants for 12 months. The base hourly pay rate for most employees was set at about $8, compared with $ 10.69 before Wilson’s unilateral June 25 cut and $6.50 afterwards. Work ers hired after June 25, who had been receiving $5 an hour, were raised to $6.50, with the opportunity to progress to the $8 rate over an 18-month period. The contract, which expires in September 1985, also provided for a continuation of the freeze on automatic cost-of-living pay adjustments; elimination of the fifth and sixth weeks of paid vacation for long-service workers; a reduction in the pension rate to $10 a month for each year of credited service, from $15; elim ination of two annual paid holidays; and establishment of a $200 deductible on hospital insurance. (See the Monthly Labor Review, February 1982, p. 48, for terms of the De cember 1981 contract in which the union had agreed to a freeze on wages and reductions in benefits to aid Wilson and other “ old-line” companies that generally signed the “ Master Agreement” for the industry.) Greyhound Corp. announced plans to close 13 facilities of its Armour Food Co. subsidiary in December because of “ noncompetitive” labor costs. However, ConAgra Inc. agreed to purchase the operations, contingent on negotiating com pensation concessions from Armour’s 2,000 employees rep resented by the Food and Commercial Workers. ConAgra 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis official Warren McCoy said, “ The retention of the present Armour Food Co. labor force will depend on the negotiation of satisfactory terms and conditions of employment at each of the plants.” ConAgra is a diversified basic food company with operations in agricultural chemicals, feed and fertilizer, retailing, grain processing and merchandising, frozen foods, poultry, and seafood. In giving the union the required 6month notice of the plant closings, Greyhound Chairman John W. Teets explained that Armour was unable to compete effectively against “ 300 to 400 other packers who are not under the master agreement.” He said that Armour paid $18 an hour in wages and benefits, compared with less than $9 paid by some other packers. i b p cut the pay of its production workers by $1.05 an hour, to about $8.30. The cut applies to 600 nonunion beef workers in Luveme, Minn.; Emporia, Kans.; Dennison, Iowa; and West Point, Nebr. A company official said i b p determined that the cut was necessary because “ our com petitiveness [with other firms] has severely eroded over the past 18 months.” The many plant shutdowns and intensified competition in beef processing are generally attributed to the entry of Iowa Beef Processors (renamed i b p ) into the industry in 1960. From the beginning, the company emphasized new technplogy and methods and located its plants throughout the cattle-producing regions, in contrast with the older firms which used traditional methods and were concentrated in Chicago and Kansas City. The company also strongly re sisted the United Food and Commercial Workers’ efforts to organize its employees. In instances where the union was successful (at 4 of 13 locations) i b p showed a willingness to bear strikes if necessary to maintain lower labor costs than did the older companies. As a result, i b p became a leading beef processor, along with Excel (a unit of Cargill Inc.) which also has prospered by using i b p ’ s approaches. Employee compensation was expected to be a major issue in negotiations between Excel and the United Food and Commercial Workers prior to the planned reopening of the company’s Schuyler, Nebr., beef-packing plant. Company Vice President Orlan Thorbeck promised to seek “ a com petitive agreement . . . in terms of wages, benefits— ev erything.” The plant is expected to open with the same employment level— 980 people— as when it was closed in December 1982. Workers at Monfort of Colorado, Inc., cast 396 votes for “ no union” and 301 in favor of the United Food and Com mercial Workers, which had represented the workers prior to the plant’s shutdown in March 1980 after a lengthy con tract dispute. The facility, located in Greeley, has operated on a nonunion basis since its reopening in March 1982. The National Labor Relations Board will hear arguments in Sep tember on a union contention that 185 workers employed in the plant prior to the plant shutdown should have been offered jobs when it was reopened. The 185 people were allowed to vote in the 1983 election but only 94 participated. Utility seeks rate cut to spur development Philadelphia Electric Co. asked the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission for permission to lower the electricity rates of companies that increase employment or make capital improvements. The request amended an earlier rate reduc tion request, by eliminating the portion of the rate cut that was calculated on consumption, but placed more emphasis on increased employment and investment. To qualify for the reduction, employers would have to add at least six employees or invest at least $90,000 in new plants or equip ment. Philadelphia Electric said that the proposed plan would not result in rate increases for other customers. radio receivers for the consumer market; “ clc” was dropped because the iue is no longer directly affiliated with the Canadian Labour Congress. Grain Millers elect new president Delegates to the Grain Millers biennial convention elected Robert Willis as the union’s new president and Larry R. Jackson as the new secretary-treasurer. Willis had been the union’s executive vice president, and Jackson had been a vice president. The new officers succeeded President Frank T. Hoese and secretary-treasurer Joseph T. Smisek who retired after one term of office following long careers in other leadership jobs in the union. IUE revises its name In a move to “ fit the times,” the International Union of Electrical, Radio and Machine Workers, afl- cio , clc , changed its name to the International Union of Electronic, Electrical, Technical, Salaried and Machine Workers, aflcio . Union President William H. Bywater said, “ This gives iue a name appropriate to its present makeup, its mission and its future, iue has strong roots in each of the five seg ments of industry identified in the new name. We intend to organize in all of those areas, including high tech, profes sional and salaried workers.” The word “ Radio” was dropped from the title because “ no iUEer” — or any American worker— produces home https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Buoy retires as head of Boilermakers Harold J. Buoy retired as president of the Boilermakers, fulfilling a promise he made more than 10 years earlier, following a heart attack, to retire at age 62. Charles W. Jones was selected by the union’s executive council to com plete Buoy’s term of office, which ends in August 1984. During his career, Buoy held a number of posts, cul minating in appointment as president in 1970, followed by election to succeeding terms. Jones joined the union in 1942, was selected as a district representative in 1947, and became a vice president in 1960. D 41 Book Reviews A beginning Industrial Relations and Health Services. Edited by Amarjit Singh Sethi and Stuart J. Dimmock. New York, St. Martin’s Press, 1982. 370 pp. $35. The papers assembled in this volume achieve the limited goal set by the editors: identifying and examining some of the major elements of the landscape of industrial relations in the health services industry in Canada, the United States, and Great Britain. Relying on contributions by nearly two dozen professionals and academicians to supplement their own papers, the editors relate the development of health services industrial relations from the end of World War II through the early 1980’s. Referring to John Dunlop’s con cept that industrial relations is one of several systems in the wider system of society, the editors trace the development of the health services industrial relations system on several parallels in each of the three countries. The treatment of the system in Canada, however, often unravels into a provinceby-province examination so that the three countries at times seem to have quadrupled. While very thorough, the editors might have served the reader better through selected ex amination of provincial variations. The editors’ reliance upon separate papers on similar aspects of the same subject also becomes tedious, as each contributor presents a full treat ment of his or her topic. This results in repetition of general history, organizational development, and political aspects. The editors acknowledge that the reader may feel a lack of analysis, application, and verification of theories, of in sight, and of direction. But they note that there is very little literature on this aspect of industrial relations and that one has to start somewhere. Their hope is that this work will serve as a foundation for the evolution of more theory and analysis through future works in this field. While the editors succeed in their modest goal, they might well have been more ambitious in designing their work and in considering the contributions. The sheer speed of events in this field, recognized by the editors, calls into question the limited purpose of this work. Although not identified as major issues in the text, sig nificant forces receive continuing attention. The relative 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis imbalance of power between employees and employers, for example, is seen to have shaped the development of bar gaining and benefits in the health services industry. Wages in this industry have risen more slowly than have wages for similar work in other industries in all three countries. An outstanding exception, however, is illustrated in the pay of physicians, the least organized (that is, unionized), but most powerful group of health care “ workers.” Various contrib utors to the book discuss the physicians’ success not only in maintaining high levels of income but in exerting sub stantial influence on the management and structure of their health care systems and institutions. The structure of the organizations representing the labor force in the health services industry also receives consid eration from several authors. First, they recognize uncer tainty in some of the labor organizations as to whether they will emphasize, for example, the dignity of the profession or the dollars in the paychecks. This uncertainty of purpose is seen as inhibiting the growth and success of many labor organizations, but in differing ways and extents in the three countries. Second, the writers depict inherent organizational development problems in the unions. Issues such as cen tralized or decentralized policymaking and membership ser vice, exclusivity of membership, competition with other unions, and availability of technical competence of union staff are pointed out as needing improvement. The growth of public financial support of health services in each country is also shown to have exerted decisive in fluences on the shape and direction of the industrial relations structures. This factor, the papers suggest, likely will be come more significant in the future as health care becomes more advanced and more costly. This will raise consider ations of different mixes of the work force within the elas ticity of the health services labor supply. In turn, this may require management and labor to join together in securing funding and in maintaining viability of their facility. The editors note that these and other issues generally are referred to as “ problems” in all three countries. The editors trace such nomenclature to the roots of adversarial labor relations systems common to industrial societies. These fac tors, at once the basis of and the challenge to the system as seen through the collected papers, foreshadow what un derlying potential the work may yield: analysis of the sys tem’s future course. The editors arduously avoid such analysis, however, leaving the task to the reader and to future authors. Yet, the book’s historical tracking of the political, organi zational, and economic influences does afford some tools with which to consider the current juncture. The compari sons among the three countries allow the reader to review evolved actions and consequences in a particular subtopic from one country to another. The latter portions of the work suggest that the outcome could be guided, if not determined, by conscious choices of the industrial relations practitioners, governmental bodies, economic policymakers, and other leaders in the industrial relations system and in the wider societal system. Some contributors briefly suggest that new forms of labor-management adjustment might better serve this industrial relations system. One such approach, coop erative labor-management, is credited with the potential to preserve the give-and-take of collective bargaining while promoting more constructive and productive relationships. Consideration of alternatives for the problems identified in the health services industrial relations system is brief, how ever, and comes only as an inadvertent postscript in the editors’ scheme. — B ruce M . Leet O ffice o f L a b o r-M a n a g e m e n t R e la tio n s S e rv ice s L a b o r-M a n a g e m e n t S e rv ic e s A d m in is tra tio n Management by objectives The Productivity Prescription: The Manager’s Guide to Im proving Productivity and Profits. By David Bain. New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1982. 308 pp. $19.95. The jacket proclaims that this book is “just what the doctor ordered” for the manager eager to improve his firm’s “ production, service, quality, and profit.” The doctor is obviously a house doctor. An independent colleague asked to render a second opinion could not unreservedly endorse the proffered “ prescription.” While conceding potential benefits to the manager, he would also want to warn against some doubtful ingredients that threaten harmful side effects. The book supports many notions that productivity schol ars generally have no opportunity to propagate broadly under the aegis of a prestigious commercial publisher. For ex ample, the book soundly insists on the importance of per formance measurement for any systematic program to improve individual and organizational accomplishment. It also rec ognizes that a mental construct such as productivity has attributes that may elude adequate reflection in a single numerical ratio. It emphasizes that, even without significant https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis new capital investment or technological advance, substantial gains in performance are achievable through the enlistment and proper reward of employee cooperation. It forthrightly assigns to management the responsibility for modification of employee attitudes and behavior in behalf of greater quan tity and quality of output and lower unit production cost. Brief chapter summaries tend to neutralize the turgidity of the text and may encourage careful selective rereading. Also included are informative “ case histories” (part 6) in which the author apparently played a decisive role. A reviewer already immersed in the mainstream of profes sional thought and practice concerning productivity would also find, and could not conscientiously ignore, some mis leading statements and other limitations. The guidance given for measurement is sketchy, the bibliography (pp. 299-300) is meager and unrepresentative, and the description of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ procedures of productivity mea surement (pp. 53, 55) gives no idea of the true scope of the program. More troubling is the book’s penchant for fuzzy or incorrect definition. Note, for example, the pseudomathematical statement that “ quality” is “ what is wanted + when it is needed,” or “ accuracy + timeliness.” If quality is so described, then it merely involves attributes that should be routinely and directly taken into account in the mea surement of the output numerator of the productivity ratio. The book’s confusion concerning the meaning of pro ductivity itself is more serious. The first section of the open ing chapter is headed “ Productivity— What It Is and What It Is N ot,” but it seems to prefer a definition of what pro ductivity surely is not. That section starts with a ratio of “ output” to “ input,” restates this ratio as “ results achieved/ resources consumed,” and leaps to an absurd formulation that is supposedly equivalent and good enough to repeat later in the book (for example, on p. 51): “ effectiveness/ efficiency.” This flaw in the treatment of productivity is not the only one. The discussion fails to specify that both output and input should preferably be measured in “ real” terms— as “ quantities” expressed in natural units or as aggregates with stabilized price or other weights. The author incorrectly implies that economists favor confinement of attention to labor productivity as a matter of definition (p. 4) rather than for other reasons. Nowhere does the author note the chal lenge of defining and measuring the input of capital services. Indeed, he mislabels combinations of labor and materials as indicators of “ total input” (pp. 70-74); and he mistak enly says that a financial “ rate of return on total assets” corresponds to an organization’s “ total factor productivity” (p. 56). Another error is to regard measures of unit labor cost (p. 57) and unit production cost (p. 5) as more precise indicators of productivity rather than as distinct measures in their own right. That the author does not conform to his own definitions in citing examples of company “ productiv ity indicators” (chapter 11), is not surprising. 43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Book Reviews Two concluding remarks are in order. First, the author’s success in helping firms improve productivity testifies to the essentiality of managerial commitment rather than to the clarity and accuracy of the concepts and measures that he utilized— or that he cites in the book. The experience of consultants at company and plant levels confirms that crude, even incorrect, and vaguely relevant statistical tools can assist, and need not frustrate, determined drives to upgrade productivity. Second, the author’s references to work mea surement (to comparisons of “ should-take” and “ did-take” times for performing certain tasks) ought to remind pro ductivity scholars of a need to harmonize this common in tracompany practice with their own practice of end-product measurement at and above the four-digit industry level. In principle, at .least, end products can be described as com binations of “ subproducts” of the kind treated in work measurement. Progress made in this direction could lead to (1) better productivity measures for nonmanufacturing in dustries and (2) better comparisons of plant and company performance against industry averages. — Irving H. Siegel C o n su ltin g E c o n o m ist B e th e sd a , M d. B u tle r, R o b e rt N ., “ A G e n e ra tio n at R isk : W h e n th e B ab y B o o m e rs R e a c h G o ld e n P o n d ,” Across the Board , J u ly -A u g u s t 1983, p p . 3 7 - 4 5 . F a rle y , R e y n o ld s a n d S u z a n n e M . B ia n c h i, “ T h e G ro w in g G a p B e tw e e n B l a c k s ,” American Demographics , J u ly 1 9 8 3 , pp. 1 4 -1 8 . H a u s m a n , Je rry A . a n d M a rk W a ts o n , Seasonal Adjustment with Measurement Error Present. C a m b rid g e , M a s s ., N a tio n a l B u re a u o f E c o n o m ic R e se a rc h , I n c ., 1983, 4 0 pp . ( n b e r W o rk in g P a p e r S e rie s , 1 1 3 3 .) $ 1 .5 0 . Career Profiles and Sex Discrimination in the Library Profession. C h ic a g o , 111., H e im , K a th le e n M . an d L e ig h S . E sta b ro o k , A m e ric a n L ib ra ry A s s o c ia tio n , 1983, 82 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . $ 1 5 , p a p e r. P ry o r, E d w a rd an d M a lc o lm B ritto n , “ W h at C a n a d a 's 1981 C e n su s F o u n d ,” American Demographics, Ju ly 1983, p p . 2 6 33 . R u b e l, T h o m a s I ., “ M e tro s , M a rk e ts . . . . an d M o r e ,” Demographics, Ju ly 1983, b e g in n in g on p. 22. American S p a in , D a p h n e an d S u z a n n e M . B ia n c h i, “ H o w W o m e n H av e C h a n g e d ,” American Demographics, M a y 1983. pp . 1 8 - 2 5 . Health and safety Working Conditions and Envi ronment: A Worker’s Education Manual. G e n e v a , In te rn a In te rn a tio n a l L a b o r O rg a n iz a tio n , tio n a l L a b o r O rg a n iz a tio n , 1983, 81 pp . A v a ila b le fro m th e W a s h in g to n b ra n c h o f i l o . R o w e , M . L a u re n s , Backache at Work. F a irp o rt, N .Y ., P e rin to n P re s s , 1983, 122 p p . $ 1 1 .9 5 , p lu s $ 1 .5 0 , p a p er. Industrial relations Publications received Economic growth and development Stagflation: The Penalty of Speculative Production in a Multistage Economy. L e x in g to n , M a s s ., D .C . H e ath a n d B o n e t, E ric D ., C o ., L e x in g to n B o o k s, 1983, 179 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . $ 2 3 .9 5 . G ra m , H a rv e y a n d V iv ia n W a lsh , “ Jo a n R o b in s o n ’s E c o n o m ic s in R e tr o s p e c t,” The Journal of Economic Literature, Ju n e 1983, pp. 5 1 8 -5 0 . H y m a n s , S au l a n d J o a n P . C ra ry , “ T h e U .S . E c o n o m ic O u tlo o k fo r 1983: A p ril U p d a te ,” Economic Outlook USA, S p rin g 1983, pp. 3 0 - 3 3 . M c C lo s k e y , D o n a ld N ., “ T h e R h e to ric o f E c o n o m ic s ,” The Jour nal of Economic Literature, Ju n e 1983, p p . 4 8 1 - 5 1 7 . Economic Rents, Province-Build ing and Interregional Adjustment: A Two Region General Equilibrium Analysis. O tta w a , E c o n o m ic C o u n c il o f C a n a d a , N o rrie , K . H ., a n d M . B . P e rc y , 1 9 8 3 , 4 7 p p . (D isc u ss io n P a p e r, 2 3 0 .) T h u r o w , L e s te r C . , Dangerous Currents: The State of Economics. N e w Y o rk , R a n d o m H o u s e , I n c ., 1983, 2 4 7 p p . $ 1 6 .9 5 . Economic and social statistics Unionization and Productivity in Office Building and School Construction. C a m b rid g e , M a s s ., N a tio n a l B u A lle n , S te v e n G ., re au o f E c o n o m ic R e s e a rc h , I n c ., 1983, 4 6 p p . ( n b e r W o rk ing P a p e r S e rie s , 1 1 3 9 .) $ 1 .5 0 . The Unraveling of Labor-Management Relations in Sweden. R e p rin te d fro m Personnel Journal, Ju n e 1983, B e rn s te in , P a u l, pp. 4 6 8 -7 7 . F a rb e r, H e n ry S ., Right-to-Work Laws and the Extent of Union ization. C a m b rid g e , M a s s ., N a tio n a l B u re a u o f E c o n o m ic R e s e a rc h , I n c ., 19 8 3 , 4 8 pp . ( n b e r W o rk in g P a p e r S e rie s , 1 1 3 6 .) $ 1 .5 0 . H o w a rd , D e n n is R . a n d D a v id F. C u lk in , “ F a c to rs A ffe ctin g th e A ttitu d e s o f P u b lic M a n a g e rs T o w a rd C o lle c tiv e B a rg a in i n g ,” Journal of Collective Negotiations in the Public Sector, V o l. 12, N o . 2 , 1983, p p . 9 9 - 1 0 8 . P rin c e to n U n iv e rs ity , Concessionary Bargaining and Labor Re lations. P re p a re d by K a th e rin e B a g in . P rin c e to n , N . J . , P rin c e to n U n iv e rs ity , In d u stria l R e la tio n s S e c tio n , 1982, 4 p p . (S e le c te d R e fe re n c e s , 2 1 4 .) 5 0 c e n ts. Industry and government organization A d k in s , L y n n w ith W e n d y D ille r, “ In d u s tr y ’s Q u ie t R e v o lu tio n ,” Dun’s Business Month, Ju n e 1983, p p . 7 2 - 7 5 . What Are the Determinants of Delayed Childbearing and Permanent Childlessness in the United States? C a m b rid g e , M a s s ., N a tio n a l B u re au o f E c o F a rre lly , G a il E . a n d S te p h e n J. F rie d m a n , “ L e t ’s D e re g u la te D is c lo s u re B e fo re th e S E C ,” Business and Society S p rin g 198 3 , p p . 2 6 - 3 0 . n o m ic R e s e a rc h , I n c ., 1982, 32 p p . ( n b e r W o rk in g P a p e r S e rie s , 1 1 4 0 .) $ 1 .5 0 . “ In d u s tria l P o lic y : Is It th e A n s w e r ? ” 19 8 3 , b e g in n in g o n p. 5 4 . B lo o m , D a v id E . a n d J a m e s T r u s s e d , 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Business Week, Ju ly 4 , International Economics Management and organization theory T o m lin s o n , J. D ., “ R e g u la tin g th e C a p ita list E n te rp rise: T h e Im p o s s ib le D r e a m ,” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, F e b ru a ry 1 9 8 3 , p p . 5 4 - 6 8 . T re z is e , P h ilip H ., “ In d u strial P o licy Is N o t th e M a jo r R e aso n fo r J a p a n ’s S u c c e s s ,” The Brookings Review, S p rin g 1983, pp. 1 3 -1 8 . A n d e rs o n , W a y n e F ., C h e s te r A . N e w la n d , R ic h a rd J. S tillm a n , II, The Effective Government Manager. W a s h in g to n , In te r n a tio n a l C ity M a n a g e m e n t A s s o c ia tio n , 1983, 2 6 4 p p . $ 2 8 . W e ig a n d , R o b e rt, “ In te rn a tio n a l In v e stm e n ts: W eig h in g th e In c e n t i v e s ,” Harvard Business Review, Ju ly -A u g u s t 1983, pp. 1 4 6 -5 2 . H a y e s , J a m e s L ., Memos for Management Leadership. N e w Y o rk , A m e ric a n M a n a g e m e n t A s s o c ia tio n s , 1983, 161 p p . $ 1 4 .9 5 . Labor and economic history P rin c e to n U n iv e rs ity , Executive Spouses. P re p a re d by C a ro l M . T o b in . P rin c e to n , N .J ., P rin c e to n U n iv e rs ity , In d u strial R e la tio n s S e c tio n , 1983, 4 p p . (S e le c te d R e fe re n c e s , 2 1 3 .) 5 0 c e n ts. Workingmen’s Democracy: The Knights of Labor and American Politics. U rb a n a , U n iv e rsity o f Illin o is P re ss , 1983, F in k , L e o n , 2 4 9 p p . $ 2 2 .5 0 . “ L a tin A m e ric a , 1 9 8 3 ,” 7 8. Current History, Ja n u a ry 1983, p p . 4 9 - S a c h s , C a ro ly n E ., The Invisible Farmers: Women in Agricultural Production. T o to w a , N .J ., R o w m a n & A lla n h e ld , 1983, 153 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . $ 2 3 .9 5 . “ W e s t E u r o p e ,” Current History, D e c e m b e r 1983, pp . 4 0 1 - 3 1 . Labor force B a tt, W illia m L ., J r ., “ C a n a d a ’s G o o d E x a m p le w ith D isp la ce d W o rk e rs: S p e c ia l R e p o r t,” Harvard Business Review, Ju ly A u g u s t 1 983, b e g in n in g on p. 6. B lu m , A lb e rt A ., “ H a rd -C o re U n e m p lo y m e n t: A L o n g -T e rm P r o b le m ,” Business and Society, S p rin g 1983, p p . 1 4 - 1 7 . B ry c e , H e rrin g to n J . , American “ M o b iliz in g th e B lac k U n e m p lo y e d ,” Demographics, Ju ly 1983, b e g in n in g on p. 19. 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W illia m T h o m a s , “ A Q u a lity -A d ju s tm e n t M o d e l o f th e A c a d e m ic L a b o r M a rk e t: T h e C a se o f E c o n o m is ts ,” Economic Inquiry, A p ril 1 9 8 3 , p p . 2 4 1 - 5 4 . A Longitudinal Analysis of the Canadian Labour Market. O tta w a , E m p lo y m e n t a n d Im m ig ra tio n C a n R o b e rts o n , M a tth e w , a d a , 1 9 8 2 , 183 p p . Geographic Profile of Employ ment and Unemployment, 1982. W a s h in g to n , 1983, 157 p p . U .S . B u re au o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , (B u lle tin 2 1 7 0 .) S to c k N o . 0 2 9 - 0 0 1 - 0 2 7 5 0 - 1 . $ 5 .5 0 , S u p e rin te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts , W a s h in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 . ----------- Marital and Family Patterns of Workers: An Update. P re p a re d b y H o w a rd H a y g h e . W a s h in g to n , 1983, 34 p p . (B u l letin 2 1 6 3 , S p e c ia l L a b o r F o rc e R e p o rt.) S to c k N o . 0 2 9 0 0 1 - 0 2 7 5 3 - 2 . $ 3 .7 5 , S u p e rin te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts, W a s h in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 . ----------- Youth Unemployment: A 1 9 8 3 , 7 p p . (R e p o rt 6 9 5 .) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Look at the Data. W a s h in g to n , B a illie , A lla n S ., “ Ja p a n e s e P ro d u c tio n M a n a g e m e n t: D ifficu lt to E m u la te ,” Akron Business and Economic Review, S u m m e r 1983, p p . 3 7 - 4 0 . S c h m id t, W a rre n H . a n d B a rry Z . P o s n e r. Managerial Values in Perspective. N e w Y o rk , A m e ric a n M a n a g e m e n t A s s o c ia tio n s , a Ma M e m b e rs h ip P u b lic a tio n s D iv isio n , 19 8 3 , 5 2 p p . $ 1 0 , a m a m e m b e rs ; $ 1 3 .5 0 , n o n m e m b e rs . Monetary and fiscal policy C., “ M o n e y an d M o n e ta ry P o lic y ,” The Brookings Review, S p rin g 1983, p p . 6 - 1 2 . B ry a n t, R a lp h S a u ln ie r, R a y m o n d J . , “ A n U rg e n t T ask : T o R e d u ce th e F e d e ral B u d g e t’s S tru c tu ra l D e f ic it,” Economic Outlook USA, S p rin g 1983, p p . 2 7 - 2 9 . Prices and living conditions E v a n s , P a u l, “ P ric e L ev e l In sta b ility a n d O u tp u t in th e U . S . , ” Economic Inquiry, A p ril 1983, pp . 1 7 2 - 8 7 . H o g a n , T im o th y D ., R o b e rt T . K e im , T o m R . R e x , “ A C a se S tu d y o f D ire c t-P ric in g V e rsu s C P i-U pdating M e th o d o lo g ie s fo r th e U rb a n F a m ily B u d g e t,” Akron Business and Economic Review, S u m m e r 1983, p p . 5 1 - 5 5 . 1981 Price Index of Operating Costs for Rent Stabilized Apartment Houses in New York City. U .S B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , N e w Y o rk , U .S B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , M id d le A tlan tic R e g io n a l O ffice , 1981, 9 9 p p . (R e g io n a l R e p o rt, 7 0 .) U .S . G e n e ra l A c c o u n tin g O ffice, Funds Needed to Develop c p i Quality Control System. G a ith e rs b u rg , M d ., U .S G e n e ra l A c c o u n tin g O ffice , D o c u m e n t H a n d lin g a n d In fo rm a tio n S e r v ice s F a c ility , 1983, 4 0 pp . Productivity and technological change A rg o te , L in d a , P a u l S. G o o d m a n , D a v id S c h k a d e , “ T h e H u m a n S id e o f R o b o tic s: H o w W o rk e rs R e a c t to a R o b o t,” Sloan Management Review, S p rin g 198 3 , p p . 3 1 - 4 1 . C h in lo y , P e te r, Labour Quality Change in Canada. O tta w a , E c o n o m ic C o u n c il o f C a n a d a , 1983, 121 p p . (D isc u ss io n P a p e r, 2 3 1 .) N e v is, E d w in C ., “ C u ltu ra l A s su m p tio n s an d P ro d u c tiv ity : T h e U n ite d S ta te s an d C h i n a ,” Sloan Management Review, S p rin g 19 8 3 , p p . 1 7 - 2 9 . S u lz n e r, G e o rg e T ., “ P ro d u c tiv ity a n d Jo b S e c u rity : T h e Issu es o f th e 1 9 8 0 ’s in U . S . P u b lic S e c to r L a b o r R e la tio n s , ” Journal of Collective Negotiations in the Public Sector, V o l. 12, N o. 2 , 19 8 3 , p p . 7 9 - 8 6 . U .S . B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , A BLS Reader on Productivity (R ep rin ted fro m the Monthly Labor Review and oth er sources). W a s h in g to n , 1983, 2 3 8 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . (B u lle tin 2 1 7 1 .) 45 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Book Reviews S to c k N o . 0 2 9 - 0 0 1 - 0 2 7 5 5 - 9 . D o c u m e n ts , W ash in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 . $ 6 .5 0 , S u p e rin te n d e n t o f W e in b e rg , E d g a r, Labor Management Cooperation for Produc tivity. N e w Y o rk , W o rk in A m e ric a In stitu te , 1983, 61 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . (W o rk in A m e ric a In stitu te S tu d ies in P ro d u c tiv ity ; H ig h lig h ts o f th e L ite ra tu re , V ol. 3 0 .) $ 3 5 , p a p e r, P e rg a m o n P re ss , N e w Y o rk . A v a ila b le fro m th e S u p e rin te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts, W a s h in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 , g p o B o o k sto re s, o r b l s re g io n a l offices. ----------- Union Wages and Hours: Building Trades, Selected Middle Atlantic Cities, July 1, 1980. P re p a re d by A n th o n y J. F e rrara an d V irg in ia C h a ro n is . N e w Y o rk , U .S . B u reau o f L ab o r S ta tis tic s , M id d le A tla n tic R e g io n a l O ffice, 1983, 25 p p. (R e g io n a l R e p o rt 7 2 .) ----------- Wages Wages and compensation M e ie r, G re tl S ., Worker Learning and Worktime Flexibility. K a la m a z o o , M ic h ., T h e W . E . U p jo h n In stitu te fo r E m p lo y m e n t R e s e a rc h , 1 983, 64 pp . $ 4 .9 5 . R o se n , B e n so n , S a ra R y n e s, T h o m a s A . M a h o n e y , “ C o m p e n sa tio n , J o b s , an d G e n d e r ,” Harvard Business Review , Ju ly A u g u s t 1983, b e g in n in g on p. 170. S ta in e s , G ra h a m L. an d Jo s e p h H. P le c k , The Impact of Work Schedules on the Family. A n n A rb o r, T h e U n iv e rsity o f M ic h ig a n , T h e In stitu te fo r S o c ial R e se a rc h , 1983, 166 p p . $22. U .S . B u re au o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , Area Wage Surveys: Washington, D .C . — Maryland— Virginia, Metropolitan Area, March 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 7 , 4 0 p p ., $ 3 .7 5 ); Chicago, Illinois, Metro politan Area, March 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 0 , 58 p p ., $ 4 .2 5 ); San Francisco— Oakland, California, Metropolitan Area, March 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 1 , 37 p p ., $ 3 .7 5 ); Wichita, Kansas, Metropolitan Area, April ¡983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 2 , 4 3 p p ., $ 3 .7 5 ); Atlanta, Georgia, Metropolitan Area, May 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 3 , 38 p p ., $ 3 .7 5 ); Milwaukee, Wis consin, Metropolitan Area, May 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 4 , 41 p p ., $ 3 .7 5 ); Newark, New Jersey, Metropolitan Area, Jan uary 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 5 , 5 4 p p ., $ 4 )\ Norfolk—Virginia Beach— Portsmouth, Virginia—North Carolina, Metropoli tan Area, May 1983 (B u lle tin 3 0 2 0 - 1 6 , 28 p p ., $ 3 .2 5 ). 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Benefits of New York Cits' Municipal Govern ment Workers, May 1980. N ew Y o rk , U .S . B u re au o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , M id d le A tla n tic R e g io n a l O ffice, 1981, 126 p p. (R e g io n a l R e p o rt 7 1 .) Welfare programs and social insurance H a w k in s , S u e C ., “ ss i: T re n d s in S ta te S u p p le m e n ta tio n , 19 7 9 — 8 1 , ” Social Security Bulletin , Ju n e 1983, pp . 3 - 8 . H e ss , B e th B ., “ N e w F a c e s o f P o v e r ty ,” ics , M a y 1983, p p . 2 6 - 3 2 . American Demograph W a rto n ic k , J. an d M ic h ae l P a c k a rd , “ S lo w in g D o w n P e n sio n In d e x in g : T h e F o re ig n E x p e r ie n c e ,” Social Security Bulletin, J u n e 1983, p p . 9 - 1 5 . Worker training and development C o rv a la n -V a s q u e z , O s c a r, “ V o c a tio n a l T ra in in g o f D isa d v a n ta g e d Y o u th in the D e v e lo p in g C o u n tr ie s ,” International Labour Review , M a y -Ju n e 1983, pp . 3 6 7 - 8 1 . S ie d u le , T o m an d N o rm a n L e c k ie , Occupational Demand: Esti mation and Projection. O tta w a , O n ta rio , E c o n o m ic C o u n c il o f C a n a d a , 1983, 137 p p . (D isc u ss io n P a p e r, 2 2 9 .) S im p s o n , W a y n e , An Economic Analysis of Industrial Training in Canada. O ttaw a, O n ta rio , E co n o m ic C ouncil o f C a n ad a , 1983, 79 p p . (D isc u ss io n P a p e r, 2 2 4 .) □ Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics...................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-82 ..................................................................... 2. Employment status of the population, including Armed Forces in the United States, by sex, seasonally adjusted 3. Employment status of the civilian population by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally ad ju sted ..................... 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Selected employment indicators, seasonally ad ju sted ...................................................................................................................... Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally ad ju sted .................................................................................................................. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................................... Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally ad ju sted .................................................................................. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted........................................................... ................................................................ Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-82 . ...................................................................................................................... Employment by State ............................................................................................................................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-82 ........................................................................................... Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted .................................................. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group .................................................................................... Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division .................................................................................................................................... Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group .................................................................................... Indexes of diffusion: industries in which employment in creased .................................................................................................. 49 49 50 51 52 53 54 54 54 55 56 56 57 58 59 60 60 61 61 Unemployment insurance data. Definitions 18. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations Price data. Definitions and notes ....................................................... 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. Consumer Price Index, 1967-82 .................................................................................... Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items Consumer Price Index, cross-classification of region and population size class . Consumer Price Index, selected areas ........................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ......................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings .................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by special commodity groupings ...................................... Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product .................................................... Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ....................... Productivity data. Definitions and notes ........................... ............................................................... 28. 29. 30. 31. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-82 ......................... Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1972-82 ..................................................... Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted .............................. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, andp r ic e s ................ Wage and compensation data. Definitions and notes 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry group .................................................................. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group .................................................................. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size ............................. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1978 to d a te ....................................................... Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1978 to date ..................... 63 64 64 70 71 72 73 75 75 76 77 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 Work stoppage data. Definition 37. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 47 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS Review p re se n ts th e p rin cip al sta tistica l sc ries Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published c o lle c te d a n d c a lc u la te d by th e B u reau o f L a b o r S ta tistic s . A b rie f for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent in tro d u c tio n to e a c h g ro u p o f ta b le s p ro v id e s d e fin itio n s , n o tes on changes are available for this series. T h is se c tio n o f th e th e d a ta , s o u rc e s , an d o th e r m ate ria l u su a lly fo u n d in fo o tn o te s. R e a d e rs w h o n e ed a d d itio n a l in fo rm a tio n are in v ite d to c o n su lt Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the th e B L S re g io n a l o ffices liste d on th e in sid e fro n t c o v e r o f th is effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current Review. S o m e g e n era l n o te s a p p lic a b le to se v e ra l se ries dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component issu e o f th e are g iv e n b e lo w . of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The eliminate the effect o f such factors as climatic conditions, industry pro resulting values are described as "real," "constant." or "1967" dollars. wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150. where 1967 = 100. duction schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short-term movements Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section o f the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as "sea are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. sonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the experience. When new seasonal factors are computed each year, revisions Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule may affect seasonally adjusted data for several preceding years. given below. More information from household and establishment surveys Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 3 - 8 were revised in the is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s , a monthly publication o f the February 1983 issue o f the R e v ie w , to reflect experience through 1982. Bureau. Comparable household information is published in a two-volume Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifications data b o o k - L a b o r F o r c e S ta tis tic s D e r iv e d F ro m th e C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the S u r v e y , Bulletin 2096. Comparable establishment information appears in data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -11/ two data b o o k s - E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s , U n ite d S ta te s , and E m p lo y ARIMA, which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the m e n t a n d E a r n in g s , S ta te s a n d A r e a s , and their annual supplements. More standard X -l 1 method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in detailed information on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining T h e X - l 1 A R IM A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum appears in the monthly periodical. C u r r e n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts . More (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, February 1980). The second detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P r ic e s a n d P r ic e I n d e x e s . first 6 months o f the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions o f historical Symbols data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision o f the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables p = preliminary. To improve the tinjeliness o f some series, pre 11, 13, and 15 were made in August 1981 using the X -l 1 ARIMA seasonal liminary figures are issued based on representative but in adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in complete returns. tables 29 and 30 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. S ch edule of release dates for BLS statistical series S e rie s S e p te m b e r re le a s e s P erio d covered re le a s e s O ctober P erio d covered N ovem ber P erio d M L R ta b le re le a s e s covered num ber Employment,situation.......................... September 2 August October 7 September November 4 October 1-11 Producer Price Index.......................... September 9 August October 14 September November 10 October 23-27 Consumer Price Index ....................... September 23 August October 25 September November 23 October 19-22 Real earnings ................................... September 23 August October 25 September November 23 October 12-16 November 30 3rd quarter 28-31 Employment Cost Index ..................... November 3 3rd quarter 32-34 U.S Import and Export Price Indexes . . . November 9 3rd quarter Productivity and costs: Nonfarm business and manufacturing . . 3rd quarter Nonfinancial corporations ................ Major collective bargaining settlements , . 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28 EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY E m plo ym en t rate for all civilian workers represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The labor force consists of all employed or unemployed civilians plus members o f the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Persons not in the labor force are those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons who are retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sani tariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy, and members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. The labor force participation rate is the proportion of the noninstitutional population that is in the labor force. The employment-population ratio is total employment (including the resident Armed Forces) as a percent of the noninstitutional population. d a ta in th is se c tio n are o b ta in e d fro m the C u rre n t P o p u la tio n S u rv e y , a p ro g ra m o f p e rso n al in te rv ie w s c o n d u c te d m o n th ly by th e B u reau o f the C e n su s fo r the B u reau o f L ab o r S ta tistic s . T h e sa m p le c o n sists o f ab o u t 6 0 .0 0 0 h o u se h o ld s se lec te d to re p re se n t th e U .S p o p u la tio n 16 y e ars o f age an d o ld e r. H o u s e h o ld s are in te rv ie w e d on a ro tatin g b a sis, so th at th re e -fo u rth s o f th e sa m p le is th e sa m e fo r any 2 c o n se c u tiv e m o n th s. Definitions Employed persons include (1) all civilians who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. Members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are also included in the em ployed total. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The overall unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the labor force, including the resident Armed Forces. The unemployment 1. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the compara bility of historical data presented in table I. A description of these ad justments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s . Data in tables 2 - 8 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal ex perience through December 1982. E m ploym ent status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1 9 5 0 -8 2 [Numbers in thousands] Labor force Em plo yed U n e m p lo y e d N o n in s ti Year tu tio n al p o p u latio n N u m b er pop u latio n Not in C iv ilia n P ercen t of Total P ercent of p opulation R esid en t P erc e n t of N o n a g ri- A rm ed Forces T otal A g ricu ltu re N u m b er cu ltu ral la b o r force la b o r force in d u stries 1950 1955 1960 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 ............ ........... ............ ........... ........... ............ ........... ........... ............ ........... ............ ............ ........... ............ ............ ............ ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 106,164 111,747 119,106 128.459 130,180 132.092 134,281 136,573 139,203 142,189 145.939 148,870 151,841 154,831 157,818 160,689 153,541 166,460 169,349 171,775 173,939 63,377 67,087 71,489 76,401 77,892 79.565 80.990 82,972 84,889 86,355 88,847 91.203 93,670 95,453 97,826 100,665 103,882 106,559 108,544 110,315 111,872 59.7 60.0 60.0 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.3 60.8 61.0 60.7 60.9 61.3 61.7 61.6 62.0 62.6 63.5 64.0 64.1 65.2 64.3 60,087 64,234 67,639 73,034 75,017 76,590 78,173 80,140 80,796 81,340 83,966 86,838 88,515 87,524 90,420 93,673 97,679 100,421 100,907 102.042 101.194 56.6 57.5 56.8 56.9 57.6 58.0 58.2 58.7 58.0 57.2 57.5 58.3 58.3 56.5 57.3 58.3 59.7 60 3 59.6 59.4 58.2 1,169 2,064 1,861 1,946 2,122 2.218 2,253 2.238 2,118 1,973 1,813 1,774 1,721 1,678 1,668 1,656 1,631 1,597 1,604 1,645 1,668 58,918 62,170 65,778 71,088 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 78,678 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 85,845 88.752 92,017 96,048 98,824 99,303 100,397 99,526 7,160 6,450 5,458 4,361 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 3,463 3,394 3,484 3,470 3,515 3,408 3,331 3,283 3,387 3,347 3,364 3,368 3,401 51,758 55,722 60,318 66,726 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 75,215 75,972 78,669 81,594 83,279 82,438 85,421 88,734 92,661 95,477 95,938 97,030 96,125 3,288 2,852 3,852 3,366 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4,093 5,016 4,882 4,355 5,156 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 7,637 8,273 10,578 5.2 4.3 5.4 4.4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 4.8 5.8 5.5 4.8 5.5 8.3 7.6 6.9 6.0 5.8 7.0 7.5 9.5 42,787 44,660 46,617 52,058 52,288 52,527 53.291 53,602 54,315 55,834 57,091 57,667 58,171 59,377 59,991 60,025 59,659 59,900 60,806 61,460 62,067 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. E m ploym ent status of the population, including A rm ed Forces in th e U nited S tates, by sex, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] A nnu al av e ra g e 1981 1982 1982 July A ug. Sept. 1983 Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June July Total Noninstitutional population1'2 ................... Labor force2 ..................................... Participation rate3 ..................... Total employed2 Employment-population4 ............ Resident Armed Forces1 ................ Civilian employed.......................... Agriculture .............................. Nonagricultural industries............ Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate5 ................... Not in labor force .............................. 171,775 173,939 174,038 174,200 174,360 174,549 174,718 174,864 175,021 175,169 175,320 175,465 175,622 175,793 110,315 111,872 112,090 112,303 112,528 112,420 112,702 112,794 112,215 112,217 112,148 112,457 112,418 113,600 64.2 64.4 64.3 64.5 64.5 64.4 64.5 64.5 64.1 64.1 64.0 64.1 64.0 64.6 102,042 101,194 101,262 101,372 101,213 100,844 100,796 100,758 100,770 100,727 100,767 101,129 101,226 102,454 59.4 58.2 58.2 58.2 58.0 57.8 57.7 57.6 57.6 57.5 57.5 57.6 57.6 58.3 1,645 1,674 1,668 1,689 1,670 1,668 1,660 1,665 1,667 1,664 1,664 1,671 1,669 1,668 100,397 99,526 99,588 99,683 99.543 99,176 99,136 99,093 99,103 99,063 99,103 99,458 99,557 100,786 3,368 3,401 3,445 3,429 3,363 3,413 3,466 3,411 3,412 3,393 3,375 3,371 3,367 3,522 97,030 96,125 96,143 96,254 96,180 95,763 95,670 95,682 95,691 95,670 95,729 96,088 96,190 97,264 8,273 10,678 10,828 10,931 11,315 11,576 11,906 12,036 11,446 11,490 11,381 11,328 11,192 11,146 7.5 9.5 9.7 9.7 10.1 10.3 10.6 10.7 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.8 61,460 62,067 61,948 61,897 61,832 62,129 62,016 62,070 62,806 62,952 63,172 63,008 63,204 62,193 175,970 113,539 64.5 102,949 58.5 1,664 101,285 3,527 97,758 10,590 9.3 62,431 " M e n , 1 6 y e a rs a nd o v er Noninstitutional population1'2 .................. Labor force2 ..................................... Participation rate3 ..................... Total employed2 .............................. Employment-population rate4 . . . . Resident Armed Forces1 ................ Civilian employed.......................... Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate5 .................. 82,023 63,486 77.4 58,909 71.8 1,512 57,397 4,577 7.2 83,052 63,979 77.0 57,800 69.6 1,527 56,271 6,179 9.7 83,097 63,989 76.9 57,664 69.4 1,537 56,127 6,234 9.8 83,173 64,055 77.0 57,710 69.4 1,551 56,159 6,345 9.9 83,231 64,301 77.3 57,598 69.2 1,526 56,072 6,703 10.4 83,323 64,300 77.2 57,456 69.0 1,524 55,932 6,844 10.6 83,402 64,414 77.2 57,408 58.8 1,516 55,892 7,006 10.9 83,581 64,384 77.0 57,338 68.6 1,529 55,809 7,046 10.9 83,652 63,916 76.4 57,283 68.5 1,531 55,752 6,633 10.4 83,720 63,996 76.4 57,234 68.4 1,528 55,706 6,762 10.6 83,789 63,957 76.3 57,300 68.4 1,528 55,772 6,657 10.4 83,856 64,207 76.6 57,476 68.5 1,530 55,946 6,731 10.5 83,931 64,276 76.6 57,656 68.7 1,528 56,128 6,620 10.3 84,014 64,816 77.1 58,464 69.6 1,525 56,939 6,351 9.8 84,099 64,864 77.1 58,625 69.7 1,521 57,104 6,238 9.6 89,751 46,829 52.2 43,133 48.1 133 43,000 3,696 7.9 90,887 47,894 52.7 43,395 47.7 139 43,256 4,499 9.4 90,941 48,192 53.0 43,598 47.9 137 43,461 4,594 9.5 91,027 48,248 43.0 43,662 48.0 138 43,524 4,586 9.5 91,129 48,227 52.9 43,615 47.9 144 43,471 4,612 9.6 91,226 48,120 52.7 43,388 47.6 144 43,244 4,732 9.8 91,316 48,288 42.9 43,388 47.5 144 43,244 4,900 10.1 91,283 48,410 43.0 43,420 47.6 136 43,284 4,990 10.3 91,369 48,299 52.9 43,486 47.6 136 43,350 4,813 10.0 91,449 48,220 52.7 43,493 47.6 136 43,357 4,727 9.8 91,532 48,191 52.6 3,467 47.5 136 43,331 4,724 9.8 91,609 48,251 52.7 43,653 47.7 141 43,512 4,597 9.5 91,691 48,142 52.5 43,569 47.5 141 43,428 4,572 9.5 91,779 48,784 53.2 43,990 47.9 143 43,847 4,995 9.8 91,871 48,675 53.0 44,324 48.2 143 44,181 4,351 8.9 W o m e n , 1 6 y e a rs and o ver Noninstitutional population1-2 ................... Labor force2 ..................................... Participation rate3 ..................... Total employed2 .............................. Employment-population rate4 . . . . Resident Armed Forces1 ................ Civilian employed.......................... Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate5 ................... 1The population and Armed Forces figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation. includes members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. 3Labor force as a percent of the noninstitutional population. 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4Total employed as a percent of the noninstitutional population. Unemployment as a percent of the labor force (including the resident Armed Forces). 3. E m ploym ent status of the civilian population by sex, age, race, and H ispanic origin, seaso n ally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1982 1983 1 982 Annu al a verag e 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June July TO TAL Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............ Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ..................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries .............. Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate .................. Not in labor force .............................. 170,130 172,271 172,364 172,511 172,690 172,881 173,058 173,199 173,354 173,305 173,656 173,794 173,953 174,125 174,306 108,670 110,204 110,416 110,614 110,858 110,752 111,042 111,129 110,548 110,553 110,484 110,786 110,749 111,932 111,875 64.2 63.8 63.7 63.7 63.7 64.3 64.2 64.2 63.6 64.1 64.1 64.1 64.2 63.9 64.0 100,397 99,526 99,588 99,683 99,543 99,176 99,136 99,093 99,103 99,063 99,103 99,458 99,557 100,786 101,285 57.1 57.1 57.2 57.9 58.1 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.4 57.3 57.6 57.8 57.8 57.8 59.0 3,527 3,371 3,367 3,522 3,411 3,412 3,393 3,375 3,413 3,466 3,429 3,363 3,445 33,68 3,401 97,264 97,758 95,682 95,691 95,670 95,729 96,088 96,190 97,030 96,125 96,143 96,254 96,180 95,763 95,670 8,273 10,678 10,828 10,931 11,315 11,576 11,906 12,036 11,446 11,490 11,381 11,328 11,192 11,146 10,590 10.4 10.0 9.5 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.1 10.7 10.8 10.2 10.5 9.8 9.9 9.7 7.6 61,460 62,067 61,948 61,897 61,832 62,129 62,016 62,070 62,806 62,952 63,172 63,008 63,204 62,193 62,431 M e n , 2 0 y e a rs an d over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............ Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries .............. Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate .................. 72,419 57,197 79,0 53,582 74.0 2,384 51,199 3,615 6.3 73,644 57,980 78.7 52,891 71.8 2,422 50,469 5,089 8.8 73,685 58,055 78.8 52,905 71.8 2,462 50,443 5,150 8.9 73,774 58,064 78.7 52,832 71.6 2,433 50,399 5,232 9.0 73,867 58,354 79.0 52,776 71.4 2,436 50,340 5,578 9.6 73,984 58,363 78.9 52,649 71.2 2,444 50,205 5,714 9.8 74,094 58,454 78.9 52,589 71.0 2,434 50,155 5,865 10.0 74,236 58,443 78.7 52,534 70.8 2,389 50,145 5,909 10.1 74,339 58,048 78.1 52,452 70.6 2,426 50,025 5,597 9.6 74,434 58,177 78.2 52,428 70.4 2,374 50,054 5,749 9.9 74,528 58,170 78.1 52,589 70.6 2,420 50,169 5,581 9.6 74,611 58,454 78.3 52,752 70.7 2,404 50,348 5,702 9.8 74,712 58,506 78.3 52,901 70.8 2,443 50,458 5,605 9.6 74,814 58,804 78.6 53,516 71.5 2,529 50.987 5,288 9.0 74,927 59,016 78.8 53,80871.8 2,544 51,264 5,208 8.8 81,497 42,485 52.1 39,590 48.6 604 38,986 2,895 6.8 82,864 43,699 52.7 40,086 48.4 601 39,485 3,613 8.3 82,926 43,983 53.0 40,311 48.6 598 39,713 3,672 8.3 83,035 44,039 53.0 40,368 48.6 590 39,778 3,671 8.3 83,152 43,996 52.9 40,286 48.4 588 39,698 3,710 8.4 83,271 43,936 52.8 40,112 48.2 578 39,534 3,824 8.7 83,385 44,112 52.9 40,123 48.1 590 39,533 3,989 9.0 83,383 44,286 53.1 40,215 48.2 628 39,587 4,071 9.2 83,490 44,201 52.9 40,238 48.2 625 39,613 3,963 9.0 83,593 44,216 52.9 40,291 48.2 c657 39,634 3,925 8.9 83,699 44,166 52.8 40,277 48.1 647 39,630 3,889 8.8 83,794 44,238 52.8 40,509 48.3 622 39,886 3,729 8.4 83,899 44,228 52.7 40,484 48.3 597 39,887 3,744 8.5 84,008 44,648 53.1 40,789 48.6 636 40,153 3,859 8.6 84,122 44,685 53.1 41,164 48.9 607 40,557 3,521 7.9 16,214 8,988 55.4 7,225 44.6 380 6,845 1,763 19.6 15,763 8,526 54.1 6,549 41.5 378 6,171 1,977 23.2 15,753 8,378 53.2 6,372 40.4 385 5,987 2,006 23.9 15,702 8,511 54.2 6,483 41.3 406 6,077 2,028 23.8 15,671 8,508 54.3 6,481 41.4 339 6,142 2,027 23.8 15,625 8,453 54,1 6,415 41.1 391 6,024 2,038 24.1 15,579 8,476 54.4 6,424 41.2 442 5,982 2,052 24.2 15,580 8,400 53.9 6,344 40.7 394 5,950 2,056 24.5 15,525 8,299 53.5 6,413 41.3 361 6,052 1,886 22.7 15,478 8,160 52.7 6,345 41.0 362 5,983 1,815 22.2 15,429 8,148 52.8 6,237 40.4 308 5,929 1,911 23.5 15,389 8,094 52.6 6,197 40.3 344 5,853 1,897 23.4 15,342 8,015 52.2 6,172 40.2 327 5,845 1,843 23.0 15,303 8,480 55.4 6,481 42.4 357 6,124 1,999 23.6 15,257 8,173 53.6 6,313 41.4 376 5,937 1,860 22.8 W o m e n , 2 0 y e a rs and o ver Civilian noninstitutional population1 ........... Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries .............. Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate ................... Both s e x e s , 1 6 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............ Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries .............. Unemployed............................* . . Unemployment rate .................. W h ite Civilian noninstitutional population1 ........... Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ..................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate ................... 147,908 149,441 149,569 149,536 149,652 149,838 149,887 150,056 150,129 150,187 150,382 150,518 150,671 150,810 150,959 95,052 96,143 96,385 96,375 96,640 96,453 96,719 96,864 96,176 95,987 95,996 96,287 96,362 97,250 97,341 64.1 63.8 64.5 64.5 64.4 64.5 64.6 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.4 64.6 64.3 64.3 88,709 87,903 88,021 87,979 87,872 98,477 87,435 87,443 87,466 87,194 87,324 87,709 87,777 88,880 89,382 58.4 58.3 58.3 58.1 58.1 58.3 58.3 58.9 59.2 58.7 58.3 58.8 58.8 60 0 58.8 8,711 8,577 9,284 9,421 8,793 8,672 8,585 8,378 7,959 8,364 8,396 8,768 8,976 8,241 6,343 9.7 9.1 9.2 8.2 8.7 9.3 9.6 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.7 9.1 6.7 8.6 Black Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............ Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ..................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate .................. 18,219 11,086 60.8 9,355 51.3 1,731 15.6 18,584 11,331 61.0 9,189 49.4 2,142 18.9 18,600 11,341 61.0 9,211 49.5 2,130 18.8 18,626 11,400 61.2 9,220 49.5 2,180 19.1 18,659 11,443 61.3 9,172 49.2 2,271 19.8 18,692 11,398 61.0 9,102 48.7 2,296 20.1 18,723 11,475 61.3 9,159 48.9 2,316 202 18,740 11,522 61.5 9,127 48.7 2,395 20.8 18,768 11,542 61.5 9,142 48.7 2,400 20.8 18,796 11,548 61.4 9,276 49.4 2,271 19.7 18,823 11,554 61.4 9,253 49.2 2,302 19.9 18,851 11,631 61.7 9,209 48.8 2,423 20.8 18,880 11,672 61.8 9,270 49.1 2,402 20.6 18,911 11,783 62.3 9,352 49.5 2,432 20.6 18,942 11,764 62.1 9,469 50.0 2,295 19.5 9,310 5,972 64.1 5,348 57.4 624 10.4 9,400 5,983 63.6 5,158 54.9 825 13.8 9,521 5,972 62.7 5,136 53.9 836 14.0 9,689 6,045 62.4 5,162 53.3 883 14.6 9,464 5,961 63.0 5,097 53.9 864 14.5 9,474 5,973 63.0 5,075 53.6 898 15.0 9,355 5,923 63.3 5,012 53.6 911 15.4 9,301 5,898 63.4 4,998 53.7 900 15.3 9,328 5,981 64.1 5,053 54.2 929 15.5 9,368 5,992 64.0 5,042 53.8 950 15.8 9,551 6,074 63.6 5,088 53.3 986 16.2 9,665 6,206 64.2 5,304 54.9 902 14.5 9,747 6,167 63.3 5,318 54.6 849 13.8 9,738 6,253 64.2 5,379 55.2 874 14.0 9,640 6,079 63.1 5,331 55.3 748 12.3 H is p a n ic o rig in Civilian noninstitutional population1 ........... Civilian labor force.............................. Participation rate....................... Employed ..................................... Employment-population ratio2 . . . . Unemployed................................... Unemployment rate ................... 1The population figures are not seasonally adjusted. ¿civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origln groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” groups are not presented and Híspanles are included In both the white and black population groups. 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. S elected em ploym ent Indicators, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1982 A nnu al ave ra g e 1983 S e le c te d c a te g o rie s 1981 1982 July A ug. Sept. Oct. N ov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. A pr. May June July C H A R A C TER ISTIC Civilian employed, 16 years and over ................ 100,397 99,526 99,588 99,683 99,543 99,176 99,136 99,093 99,103 99,063 99,103 99,458 99,557 100,786 101,285 Men...................................................... Women................................................. Married men, spouse present..................... Married women, spouse present................ Women who maintain families ................... 57,397 43,000 38,882 23,915 4,998 56,271 43,256 38,074 24,053 5,099 58,127 43,461 38,177 24,173 5,200 56,159 43,524 38,121 24,235 5,208 56,073 43,471 37,998 24,159 5,118 55,932 43,244 37,852 24,081 5,107 55,892 43,244 37,641 23,985 5,025 55,809 43,284 37,507 24,155 4,985 55,752 43,350 37,450 24,205 5,038 55,706 43,357 37,428 24,070 5,050 55,772 43,331 34,452 24,171 5,097 55,946 43,512 37,523 24,371 4,944 56,128 43,428 37,560 24,229 4,942 56,939 43,847 37,925 24,335 5,016 57,104 44,181 38,293 24,640 5,088 Agriculture: Wage and salary workers.......................... Self-employed workers ............................ Unpaid family workers.............................. 1,464 1,638 266 1,505 1,636 261 1,523 1,655 254 1,548 1,620 255 1,537 1,569 254 1,576 1,621 229 1,584 1,628 241 1,547 1,627 224 1,637 1,587 231 1,624 1,541 223 1,515 1,585 260 1,560 1,607 28 1,595 1,558 229 1,636 1,608 263 1,663 1,583 259 Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers.......................... Government..................................... Private industries.............................. Private households..................... Other ........................................ Self-employed workers ............................ Unpaid family workers.............................. 89,543 15,68 73,853 1,208 72,645 7,097 390 88,462 15,516 72,945 1,207 71,738 7,262 401 55,491 15,471 73,020 1,200 71,820 7,286 393 88,576 15,562 73,014 1,227 71,787 7,338 408 88,562 15,681 72,881 1,220 71,661 7,422 378 88,064 15,436 72,628 1,216 71,412 7,332 403 87,936 15,514 72,422 1,221 71,201 7,349 382 87,976 15,477 72,499 1,163 71,336 7,335 383 87,813 15,386 72,427 1,162 71,265 7,465 380 87,794 15,501 72,293 1,232 71,061 7,385 353 87,912 15,452 72,459 1,235 71,225 7,453 342 88,187 15,518 72,668 1,205 71,463 7,528 353 88,395 15,523 72,872 1,228 71,644 7,408 335 89,354 15,498 73,856 1,317 72,539 7,493 345 89,765 15,615 74,150 1,286 72,864 7,598 320 91,377 74,339 4,499 1,738 2,761 12,539 90,552 72,245 5,852 2,169 3,683 12,455 90,414 72,288 5,577 2,047 3,530 12,549 90,486 72,045 5,820 2,100 3,720 12,621 90,884 71,723 6,495 2,519 3,976 12,666 90,232 71,394 6,903 2,381 4,022 12,435 90,238 71,442 6,411 2,228 4,183 12,385 90,219 71,499 6,425 2,153 4,272 12,295 90,903 71,786 6,845 2,200 4,645 12,271 90,207 71,564 6,481 2,097 4,384 12,162 90,271 71,878 6,202 1,927 4,275 12,191 92,267 73,594 6,082 1,871 4,21 12,592 90,941 72,975 5,928 1,685 4,243 12,038 90,539 72,978 5,729 1,702 4,027 11,833 92,253 74,004 5,636 1,809 3,826 12,614 M A JO R IN D U S T R Y A N D C U S S OF W O R K ER PER SO N S A T W O R K 1 Nonagricultural Industries................................. Full-time schedules ................................. Part time for economic reasons.................. Usually work full time ....................... Usually work part time....................... Part time for noneconomic reasons.............. 1Excludes persons "with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5. S elected unem ploym ent in dicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] 1 982 A nnual av e ra g e 1983 S e le c te d c ate g o rie s 1981 1 982 July Aug. S ep t. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. A pr. May June July CH AR A C TER ISTIC Total, all civilian workers................................ 7.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.7 10.8 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.5 Both sexes, 16 to 19 years....................... Men, 20 years and over............................ Women, 20 years and over....................... 19.6 6.3 6.8 23.2 8.8 8.3 23.9 8.9 8.3 23.8 9.0 8.3 23.8 9.6 8.4 24.1 9.8 8.7 24.2 10.0 9.0 24.5 10.1 9.2 22.7 9.6 9.0 22.2 9.9 8.9 23.5 9.6 8.8 23.4 9.8 8.4 23.0 9.6 8.5 23.6 9.0 8.6 22.8 8.8 7.9 White, total............................................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................ Men, 16 to 19 years .................. Women, 16 to 19 years .............. Men, 20 years and over..................... Women, 20 years and over ................ 6.7 17.3 17.9 16.6 5.6 5.9 8.6 20.4 21.7 19.0 7.8 7.3 8.7 20.9 22.5 19.1 7.9 7.3 8.7 20.8 22.5 18.9 8.0 7.2 9.1 20.7 22.2 19.1 8.6 7.5 9.3 21.5 23.0 19.9 8.8 7.6 9.6 21.2 22.6 19.8 9.1 8.0 9.7 21.6 22.8 20.4 9.2 8.1 9.1 20.0 21.2 18.7 8.4 7.8 9.2 19.7 21.1 18.2 8.7 7.7 9.0 21.4 22.9 19.7 8.5 7.4 8.9 20.4 21.7 19.0 8.6 7.2 8.9 19.8 20.2 19.4 8.6 7.3 8.6 20.0 19.8 20.2 7.8 7.4 8.2 19.5 20.4 18.5 7.7 6.7 Black, total............................................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................ Men, 16 to 19 years .................. Women, 16 to 19 years .............. Men, 20 years and over..................... Women, 20 years and over ................ 15.6 41.4 40.7 42.2 13.5 13.4 18.9 48.0 48.9 47.1 17.8 15.4 18.8 49.3 48.9 49.7 174.1 15.5 19.1 51.2 50.5 52.1 76.1 15.4 19.8 48.6 51.0 45.9 9.2 15.7 2.1 47.7 49.2 45.9 19.6 16.2 20.2 49.8 53.0 46.2 19.2 16.5 20.8 49.5 52.5 46.2 20.5 16.5 20.8 45.7 45.9 45.5 19.7 18.2 19.7 45.4 45.3 45.4 18.7 17.0 19.9 43.5 44.5 42.3 18.8 17.7 20.8 49.0 48.0 50.0 20.3 17.0 20.6 48.2 53.1 42.3 19.8 17.1 20.6 50.6 51.1 50.0 19.2 17.0 19.5 48.1 47.6 48.8 18.7 16.0 Hispanic origin, total................................ 10.4 13.8 14.0 14.6 14.5 15.0 15.4 15.3 15.5 15.8 16.2 14.5 13.8 14.0 12.3 Married men, spouse present..................... Married women, spouse present ................ Women who maintain families .................. 4.3 6.0 10.4 6.5 7.4 11.7 6.6 7.4 12.0 6.8 7.3 11.7 7.2 7.6 12.4 7.5 7.9 11.3 7.6 8.2 12.5 7.8 8.2 13.2 7.1 7.8 13.2 7.2 7.6 13.0 7.1 7.5 13.5 7.1 7.3 13.2 7.0 7.5 12.9 6.6 7.8 12.8 6.1 7.0 11.6 Full-time workers..................................... Part-time workers ................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over ................ Labor force time lost1 .............................. 7.3 9.4 2.1 8.5 9.6 10.5 3.2 11.0 9.6 11.2 3.2 10.7 9.7 10.4 3.3 10.9 10.2 10.6 3.5 11.7 10.5 10.3 3.8 12.0 10.6 11.3 4.1 12 4 10.8 11.1 4.3 12.7 10.3 10.6 4.2 11.7 10.4 10.1 4.2 12.0 10.3 10.5 4.2 11.8 10.2 10.6 3.9 11.4 9.9 11.0 4.1 11.5 9.7 12.1 4.1 10.8 9.4 10.2 3.9 10.4 7.7 6.0 15.6 8.3 8.2 8.4 5.2 8.1 5.9 4.7 12.1 10.1 13.4 20.0 12.3 13.3 10.8 6.8 10.0 6.9 4.9 14.7 10.2 15.8 20.3 12.1 12.8 11.0 6.6 10.3 7.0 4.7 14.1 10.2 16.0 20.4 12.4 13.3 11.0 7.1 10.0 7.0 4.7 14.2 11.0 18.5 22.3 14.1 16.0 11.2 7.9 10.4 7.1 4.9 13.3 11.0 17.9 22.3 14.1 16.0 11.2 7.9 10.4 7.1 4.9 13.3 11.4 18.1 21.8 14.8 17.0 11.4 8.3 10.6 7.7 5.1 15.6 11.6 18.1 22.0 14.8 17.1 11.4 8.0 11.0 7.9 5.1 16.5 10.8 17.1 20.0 13.0 14.7 10.5 7.8 10.8 7.6 5.7 160 10.8 18.4 19.7 13.3 14.7 11.4 8.0 10.9 7.3 6.0 16.4 10.8 18.6 20.3 12.8 14.1 11.1 7.8 11.2 7.2 5.9 16.3 10.5 20.3 20.3 12.4 13.5 10.8 7.7 10.4 7.3 6.1 17.2 10.5 22.7 20.4 12.3 13.5 10.5 7.0 10.1 7.5 5.8 17.0 10.0 18.2 18.1 11.5 12.2 10.4 7.8 10.2 7.2 5.1 17.0 9.6 16.6 18.0 10.5 11.2 9.6 7.0 9.7 7.3 5.5 14.2 IN D U S T R Y Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers . . Mining ................................................. Construction .......................................... Manufacturing ....................................... Durable goods ................................ Nondurable goods ............................ Transportation and public utilities................ Wholesale and retail trade......................... Finance and service industries ................... Government workers ..................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers ................ Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 6. U nem p loym ent rates by sex and age, seasonally adjusted [Civilian workers] 198 2 A nnu al ave ra g e 1983 S ex and age 1981 1982 July Aug. S ept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June July Total, 16 years and over ................................ 16 to 24 years .......................................... 16 to 19 years....................................... 16 to 17 years..................................... 18 to 19 years..................................... 20 to 24 years ........................................ 25 years and over ..................................... 25 to 54 years ..................................... 55 years and over ................................. 7.6 14.9 19.6 21.4 18.4 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.6 9.7 17.8 23.2 24.9 22.1 14.9 7.4 7.9 5.0 9.8 17.9 23.9 25.8 22.6 14.7 7.5 8.0 5.3 9.9 18.2 23.8 25.8 22.5 15.3 7.5 8.0 5.2 10.2 18.3 23.8 26.5 22.0 15.3 7.9 8.6 5.2 10.5 18.7 24.1 26.1 22.9 15.8 8.1 8.7 5.5 10.7 19.0 24.2 26.3 22.8 16.3 8.3 8.9 5.7 10.8 18.9 24.5 27.4 22.7 16.0 8.6 9.1 5.8 10.4 18.3 22.7 24.1 21.7 16.1 8.1 8.7 5.4 10.4 18.3 22.2 23.4 21.5 16.3 8.2 8.7 5.4 10.3 18.1 23.5 25.1 22.7 15.4 8.1 8.7 5.4 10.2 18.1 23.4 26.3 21.8 15.4 8.0 8.5 5.6 10.1 18.1 23.0 26.2 21.1 15.6 7.9 8.5 5.3 10.0 17.6 23.6 25.8 22.4 14.4 7.9 8.3 5.6 9.5 16.8 22.8 25.3 21.1 13.8 7.4 7.8 5.3 Men, 16 years and over............................ 16 to 24 years..................................... 16 to 19 years ................................ 16 to 17 years.............................. 18 to 19 years.............................. 20 to 24 years ................................ 25 years and over ................................. 25 to 54 years.............................. 55 years and over......................... 7.4 15.7 20.1 22.0 18.8 13.2 5.1 5.5 3.5 9.9 19.1 24.4 26.4 23.1 16.4 7.5 8.0 5.1 10.0 19.2 25.2 27.7 23.4 16.2 7.5 8.1 4.9 10.2 19.5 25.1 27.4 23.4 16.6 7.7 8.2 5.5 10.7 20.0 25.4 29.0 23.0 17.3 8.2 9.0 5.5 10.9 20.2 25.6 28.8 23.4 17.4 8.5 9.1 6.0 11.1 20.6 25.7 28.2 24.1 18.0 8.6 9.2 6.2 11.2 20.5 25.8 29.0 24.0 17.8 8.8 9.4 6.3 10.6 19.7 23.9 24.4 23.5 17.6 8.2 8.7 5.8 10.8 19.8 23.6 23.6 23.4 17.8 8.5 9.1 5.7 10.7 19.5 25.3 26.0 24.8 16.6 8.4 9.0 5.8 10.7 19.4 24.4 27.0 22.8 17.0 8.5 8.9 6.3 10.6 19.7 23.9 27.4 22.0 17.6 8.2 8.8 5.8 10.0 18.4 23.7 25.4 22.9 15.7 7.8 8.4 5.4 9.8 18.4 23.8 27.9 21.2 15.7 7.6 8.1 5.4 Women, 16 years and over....................... 16 to 24 years..................................... 16 to 19 years ................................ 16 to 17 years.............................. 18 to 19 years.............................. 20 to 24 years ................................ 25 years and over ................................. 25 to 54 years.............................. 55 years and over ......................... 7.9 14.0 19.0 20.7 17.9 11.2 5.9 6.3 3.8 9.4 16.2 21.9 23.2 21.0 13.2 7.3 7.7 4.8 9.6 16.4 22.6 23.8 21.9 13.1 7.4 7.7 5.8 9.5 16.8 22.5 23.9 21.5 13.7 7.1 7.7 4.8 9.6 16.3 22.1 23.8 20.9 13.1 7.5 8.0 4.8 9.9 17.0 22.5 22.9 22.3 14.0 7.6 3.2 4.8 10.2 17.2 22.6 24.2 21.4 14.4 7.9 8.5 4.9 10.3 17.1 23.0 25.6 21.3 14.0 8.2 8.8 5.1 10.0 16.7 21.5 23.7 19.8 14.2 7.9 8.7 4.8 9.8 16.6 20.7 23.2 19.3 14.5 7.7 8.2 4.9 9.8 16.6 2] .5 24.2 20.5 14.1 7.7 8.3 4.7 9.6 16.5 22.4 25.5 20.7 13.5 7.4 7.9 4.5 9.5 16.2 21.9 24.7 20.2 13.3 7.6 8.2 4.6 9.9 16.6 23.4 26.2 21.9 12.9 7.9 8.2 5.8 9.0 14.9 21.6 22.3 21.0 11.5 7.2 7.6 5.3 7. U nem p loyed persons by reason fo r unem ploym ent, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1 982 Annu al av e ra g e 1983 R e a s o n for u n e m p lo y m e n t Job losers ................................................... On layoff ............................................... Other job losers ..................................... Job leavers................................................... Reentrants................................................... New entrants................................................. 1981 1982 July A ug. S ep t. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June July 4,257 1,430 2,837 923 2,102 981 6,258 2,127 4,141 840 2,384 1,185 6,323 2,126 4,197 819 2,478 1,230 6,446 2,218 4,228 814 2,440 1,304 6,979 2,625 4,354 786 2,437 1,303 7,325 2,519 4,806 803 2,322 1,296 7,369 2,531 4,838 794 2,546 1,244 7,295 2,468 4,827 826 2,529 1,288 6,704 2,131 4,573 839 2,623 1,174 6,809 2,024 4,784 848 2,491 1,161 6,823 1,945 4,878 901 2,426 1,155 6,750 1,948 4,803 815 2,488 1,245 6,766 1,943 4,823 801 2,365 1,251 6,513 1,822 4,691 782 2,425 1,440 6,193 1,719 4,474 738 2,429 1,225 100.0 51.6 17.3 34.3 11.2 25.4 11.9 100.0 58.7 19.9 38.8 7.9 22.3 11.1 100.0 58.3 19.6 38.7 7.5 22.8 11.3 100.0 58.6 20.2 38.4 7.4 22.2 11.9 100.0 60.7 22.8 37.8 6.8 21.2 11.3 100.0 62.4 21.4 40.9 6.8 19.8 11.0 100.0 61.5 21.2 40.5 6.6 21.3 10.4 100.0 60.6 20.5 40.1 6.9 21.8 10.7 100.0 59.1 18.8 40.3 7.4 23.1 10.4 100.0 60.2 17.9 42.3 7.5 22.0 10.3 100.0 60.4 17.2 43.1 8.0 21.5 10.2 100.0 59.7 17.2 42.5 7.2 22.0 11.0 100.0 60.5 17.4 43.1 7.2 21.1 11.2 100.0 58.4 16.3 42.0 7.0 21.7 12.9 100.0 58.5 16.2 42.3 7.0 22.9 11.6 3.9 .8 1.9 .9 5.7 .8 2.2 1.1 5.7 .7 2.2 1.1 5.8 .7 2.2 1.2 6.3 .7 2.2 1.2 6.6 .7 2.1 1.2 6.6 .7 2.3 1.1 6.6 .7 2.4 1.2 6.1 .8 2.4 1.1 6.2 .8 2.3 1.1 6.2 .8 2.2 1.0 6.1 .7 2.2 1.1 6.1 .7 2.1 1.1 5.8 .7 2.2 1.3 5.5 .7 2.2 1.1 PER CENT D IS T R IB U T IO N Total unemployed.......................................... Job losers ................................................... On layoff ............................................... Other job losers ..................................... Job leavers................................................... Reentrants................................................... New entrants................................................. PER CENT OF C IV IL IA N LABOR FORCE Job losers ................................................... ' Job leavers................................................... Reentrants................................................... New entrants................................................. 8. D uration of unem ploym ent, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1982 A nnu al a verag e 1983 W e e k s of u n e m p lo y m e n t Less than 5 weeks.......................................... 5 to 14 weeks............................................... 15 weeks and over ....................................... 15 to 26 weeks....................................... 27 weeks and over ................................... Mean duration in weeks................................... Median duration in weeks................................. 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 1 982 July A ug. S ep t. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June July 3,449 2,539 2,285 1,122 1,162 13.7 6.9 3,883 3,311 3,485 1,708 1,776 15.6 8.7 3,959 3,249 3,569 1,780 1,789 15.6 8.3 3,933 3,346 3,637 1,808 1,829 16.1 8.3 4,004 3,549 3,856 1,830 2,026 16.6 9.4 3,930 3,511 4,167 1,951 2,216 17.1 9.6 3,963 3,549 4,524 2,191 2,333 17.3 10.0 4,019 3,460 4,732 2,125 2,607 18.0 10.1 3,536 3,328 4,634 1,928 2,706 19.4 11.5 3,731 3,106 4,618 1,928 2,689 19.0 9.6 3,440 3,140 4,615 1,875 2,740 19.1 10.3 3,547 3,154 4,356 1,662 2,694 19.0 11.3 3,519 2,979 4,517 1,731 2,786 20.4 12.3 3,655 2,915 4,589 1,638 2,951 22.0 11.8 3,498 2,794 4,417 1,830 2,587 21.7 9.9 EM PLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS Em plo ym en t, hours, and e a r n in g s d a t a in th is se c tio n are c o m p ile d fro m p a y ro ll re c o rd s re p o rte d m o n th ly o n a v o lu n ta ry b a sis to th e B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tistic s a n d its c o o p e ra tin g S ta te a g en c ie s b y 1 8 9 ,0 0 0 e s ta b lis h m e n ts re p re se n tin g all in d u strie s e x c e p t a g ric u ltu re . In m o st in d u s trie s , th e sa m p lin g p ro b a b ilitie s are b a se d to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion o f workers in high-wage and low-wage industries. firm ; it m a y b e a b ra n c h p la n t, fo r e x a m p le , o r w a re h o u s e .) S elf- Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsuper visory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the portion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime e m p lo y e d p e rs o n s a n d o th e rs n o t o n a re g u la r c iv ilia n p a y ro ll are premiums were paid. o u ts id e th e sc o p e o f th e su rv e y b e c a u se th ey are e x c lu d e d fro m The Diffusion Index, introduced in table 17 of the May issue, represents the percent o f 186 nonagricultural industries in which employment was rising over the indicated period. One-half of the industries with unchanged employment are counted as rising. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 3-, 6-, and 9-month spans are seasonally adjusted, while that for the 12-month span is unadjusted. The diffusion index is useful for measuring the dispersion of economic gains or losses and is also an economic indi o n th e size o f th e e sta b lis h m e n t; m o st la rg e e sta b lish m e n ts are th e re fo re in th e sa m p le . (A n e s ta b lis h m e n t is n o t n e c e ssa rily a e s ta b lis h m e n t re c o rd s . T h is la rg e ly a c c o u n ts fo r th e d iffere n ce in e m p lo y m e n t fig u res b e tw e e n th e h o u se h o ld an d e s ta b lish m e n t su r v e y s. Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establishment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker su pervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with produc tion operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 12-17 include production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construc tion; and nonsupervisory workers in transportation and public utilities; in wholesale and retail trade; in finance, insurance, and real estate; and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers re ceive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from average hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cator. Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are pe riodically adjusted to com prehensive counts o f em ploym ent (called “ benchm arks” ). The latest complete adjustment was made with the release of May 1983 data, published in the July 1983 issue of the Review. Con sequently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Earlier comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through February 1983 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through February 1983) and in Employ ment and Earnings, United States, 1909-78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “ Com paring employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . See also BLS Handbook of Methodsfor Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). I 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 9. E m ploym ent by industry, selected years, 1 9 5 0 -8 2 [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] G o ods-produclng S e rv ic e -p ro d u c in g T ran sp o r- Year T otal P riva te sector Total M in in g C onstruc tion W h o le s a le and r e ta il tra d e tatio n M a n u fa c Total turing W h o le and public T otal 1950 .......................... 1955 .......................... I9601 ....................... 1964 .......................... 1965 .......................... sale tra d e u tilitie s G o vern m en t F in a n c e , in su ra n c e , R e ta il and real tra d e esta te S erv ic e s To tal Fe d e ra l S ta te and local 45,197 • 50,641 54,189 58,283 60,765 39,170 43,727 45,836 48,686 50,589 18,506 20,513 20,434 21,005 21,926 901 792 712 634 632 2,364 2,839 2,926 3,097 3,232 15,241 16,882 16,796 17,274 18,062 26,691 30,128 33,755 37,278 38,839 4,034 4,141 4,004 3,951 4,036 9,386 10,535 11,391 12,160 12,716 2,635 2,926 3,143 3,337 3,466 6,751 7,610 8,248 8,823 9,250 1,888 2,298 2,629 2,911 2,977 5,357 6,240 7,378 8,660 9,036 6,026 6,914 8,353 9,596 10,074 1,928 2,187 2,270 2,348 2,378 4,098 4,727 6,083 7,248 7,696 .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 53,116 54,413 56,058 58,189 58,325 23,158 23,308 23,737 24,361 23,578 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 40,743 42,495 44,160 46,023 47,302 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,706 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971.......................... 1972 .......................... 1973 .......................... 1974 .......................... 1975 .......................... 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 58,331 60,341 63,058 64,095 62,259 22,935 23,668 24,893 24,794 22,600 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 48,278 50,007 51,897 53,471 54,345 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,045 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,823 64,511 67,344 71,026 73,876 23,352 24,346 25,585 26,461 779 813 851 958 18,997 19,582 20,505 21,040 1980 ................................ 90,406 74,166 25,658 1,027 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,463 4,346 20,285 56,030 58,125 61,113 63,363 64,748 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,136 5,146 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,192 20,310 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 5,275 13,209 13,808 14,573 14,989 15,035 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,975 5,180 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,112 17,890 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,947 16,241 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,866 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 13,375 1981.......................... 1982 .......................... 91,156 89,596 75,126 73,793 25,497 23,907 1,139 1,143 4,188 3,911 20,170 18,853 65,659 65,689 5,165 5,081 20,547 20,401 5,358 5,280 15,189 15,122 5,298 5,340 18,619 19,064 16,031 15,803 2,772 2,739 13,259 13,064 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning In 1959. 10. E m ploym ent by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] S tate June 1 9 8 2 M ay 1983 June 1983P S tate Alabama............................................ Alaska ............................................... Arizona ............................................ Arkansas .......................................... California .......................................... 1 ,32 6.5 201.3 1 ,01 9.4 716.6 9 ,8 9 2 .8 1,3 1 2 .5 209.3 1,0 4 3 .5 732.8 9 ,8 4 2 .8 1,3 1 4 .7 214.8 1,0 2 7 .8 725.5 9 ,9 2 4 .9 Montana............................................. Nebraska .......................................... Nevada ............................................ 278.5 610.2 407.3 267.6 595.2 412.4 272.4 597.0 414.6 New Jersey........................................ 3 ,1 4 2 .4 3 ,0 8 5 .0 3 ,1 2 9 .2 Colorado .......................................... Connecticut........................................ Delaware .......................................... District of Columbia ....................... Florida............................................... 1 ,32 0.4 1 ,44 1.8 262.7 596.4 3,754.1 1,3 2 5 .8 1,4 3 2 .8 261.2 594.7 3 ,8 4 6 .7 1,3 4 0 .5 1,440.1 264.0 597.0 3 ,8 5 1 .0 New Mexico........................................ New York.......................................... North Carolina ................................... North Dakota..................................... Ohio................................................. 475.2 7 ,3 2 0 .3 2 ,3 4 9 .9 255.3 4 ,1 9 1 .6 480.2 7 ,2 2 0 .2 2 ,3 4 6 .7 256.1 4 ,1 1 4 .2 482.2 7 ,2 6 4 .5 2 ,3 6 7 .7 258.6 4 ,1 2 8 .7 Georgia............................................ Hawa ............................................... Idaho ............................................... Illinois............................................... Indiana ............................................ 2,212.1 403.1 312.2 4 ,6 2 2 .9 2,0 1 9 .8 2 ,2 3 8 .6 399.2 315.7 4 ,5 1 6 .4 1,9 9 4 .8 2 ,2 5 2 .6 399.7 319.0 4 ,5 3 2 .5 1,9 8 6 .5 Oklahoma.......................................... Oregon ............................................ Pennsylvania ..................................... Rhode Island ..................................... 1 ,2 4 5 .5 978.5 4 ,6 3 0 .5 396.1 1 ,2 0 1 .6 950.8 4 ,4 8 2 .6 392.3 1 ,2 0 4 .6 966.7 4 ,4 9 8 .3 395.8 Iowa................................................. Kansas ............................................ Kentucky .......................................... Louisiana .......................................... Maine............................................... 1,0 3 5 .5 928.7 1,1 7 0 .2 1,6 1 6 .3 422.3 1,021.1 910.8 1,16 9.2 1,58 7.8 408.7 1,0 1 1 .6 912.7 1,1 6 8 .2 1 ,5 8 5 .0 418.5 South Dakota ..................................... Tennessee .......................................... Texas ............................................... Utah................................................. Vermont.......................................... 237.2 1 ,7 0 2 .7 6,31 8.1 563.6 202.0 233.7 1 ,67 3.6 6 ,1 6 3 .7 559.2 202.4 239.0 1 ,6 8 0 .0 6 ,1 7 4 .6 561.7 203.6 Maryland .......................................... Massachusetts ................................... Michigan .......................................... Minnesota.......................................... Mississippi ........................................ Missouri............................................. 1,6 8 9 .0 2 ,6 5 5 .5 3 ,2 1 7 .5 1,735.1 791.6 1,933.1 1,67 6.4 2 ,6 3 4 .3 3 ,1 8 5 .3 1,7 0 7 .7 790.2 1,9 2 1 .2 1,6 8 8 .5 2 ,6 3 6 .5 3 ,1 9 3 .4 1,7 1 8 .2 790.3 1 ,92 2.2 Virginia ............................................. Washington........................................ West Virginia...................................... Wisconsin.......................................... Wyoming .......................................... 2 ,1 4 8 .8 1 ,5 9 4 .3 614.2 1 ,88 2.4 227.0 2 ,1 5 1 .3 1,5 8 1 .9 585.7 1,8 4 9 .7 213.7 2,174.1 1,5 9 9 .5 584.3 1 ,8 7 4 .9 218.6 3 5.5 3 5.8 35 .7 Virgin Islands..................................... 1Data not available. 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p = preliminary. Ju n e 1 9 8 2 M ay 1983 Ju n e 1 9 8 3 P 11. E m ploym ent by industry division and m ajor m anufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] Annu al a verag e 1982 1983 Indus try d iv is io n and group TO TAL P R IVA T E SECTOR G O O D S -P R O D U C IN G 1981 1982 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay JuneP JulyP 91,156 89,596 89,450 89,264 89,235 88,938 88,785 88,665 88,885 88,746 88,814 89,101 89,421 89,832 90,319 75,126 73,793 73,781 73,579 73,451 73,158 73,013 72,907 73,132 73,004 73,090 73,377 73,677 74,121 74,497 25,497 23,907 23,843 23,672 23,530 23,287 23,131 23,061 23,186 23,049 23,030 23,159 23,347 23,534 23,749 M i n i n g ............................................................................................... 1,139 1,143 1,125 1,113 1,100 1,082 1,066 1,053 1,037 1,014 1,006 997 994 1,006 1,016 C o n s t r u c tio n ................................................................................... 4,188 3,911 3,916 3,893 3,875 3,847 3,843 3,815 3,905 3,790 3,757 3,786 3,860 3,941 3,984 M a n u fa c t u r in g ............................................................................... 20.170 14,020 18,853 12,790 18,802 12,751 18,666 12,634 18,555 12,542 18,358 12,368 18,222 12,252 18,193 12,241 18,244 12,291 18,245 12,303 18,267 12,323 18,376 12,435 18,493 12,531 18,587 12,623 18,749 12,793 Production workers............................ 12,109 8,294 11,100 7,350 11,095 7,350 10,961 7,234 10,862 7,150 10,685 6,992 10,577 6,900 10,559 6,892 10,594 6,931 10,608 6,949 10,617 6,961 10,689 7,035 10,788 7,115 10,843 7,168 10,971 7,297 Lumber and wood products....................... Furniture and fixtures .............................. Stone, clay, and glass products ................ Primary metal industries............................ Fabricated metal products.......................... 666 464 638 1,122 1,590 603 433 578 922 1,435 600 430 578 909 1,432 601 433 573 890 1,416 603 428 570 869 1,402 605 426 565 840 1,378 608 427 559 823 1,362 614 429 554 816 1,359 625 430 557 817 1,364 631 427 557 810 1,364 638 433 559 816 1,362 651 440 565 820 1,369 662 446 570 828 1,379 678 450 573 830 1,385 689 457 575 841 1,396 Machinery, except electrical....................... Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment.......................... Instruments and related products................ Miscellaneous manufacturing..................... 2,498 2,094 1,898 730 408 2,267 2,016 1,744 716 386 2,256 2,016 1,770 717 387 2,213 2,008 1,773 712 382 2,184 1,992 1,724 710 380 2,122 1,976 1,691 705 377 2,088 1,975 1,661 700 374 2,066 1,957 1,696 695 373 2,048 1,974 1,710 695 374 2,042 1,981 1,729 693 374 2,030 1,988 1,723 691 377 2,031 1,999 1,743 690 381 2,064 2,010 1,757 689 383 2,067 2,030 1,760 686 384 2,096 2,052 1,793 683 389 ............................................................... Production workers............................ 8,061 5,727 7,753 5,440 7,707 5,401 7,705 5,400 7,693 5,392 7,673 5,376 7,645 5,352 7,634 5,349 7,650 5,360 7,637 5,354 7,650 5,362 7,687 5,400 7,705 5,416 7,744 5,455 7,778 5,496 Food and kindred products ....................... Tobacco manufactures.............................. Textile mill products................................. Apparel and other textile products .............. Paper and allied products.......................... 1,671 70 823 1,244 689 1,638 68 750 1,164 662 « 1,639 67 741 1,141 660 1,636 67 736 1,151 657 1,633 66 734 1,149 659 1,636 66 733 1,148 653 1,632 63 727 1,141 654 1,626 69 727 1,140 653 1,626 69 726 1,150 653 1,620 67 726 1,148 652 1,619 67 730 1,143 652 1,633 66 733 1,149 654 1,632 66 736 1,153 656 1,647 65 745 1,160 657 1,636 65 750 1,183 661 Printing and publishing ............................ Chemicals and allied products..................... Petroleum and coal products..................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ..................... 1,266 1,109 214 737 238 1,269 1,079 201 701 221 1,266 1,073 200 700 220 1,267 1,074 200 698 219 1,266 1,070 202 696 218 1,265 1,066 201 689 216 1,263 1,064 200 685 216 1,263 1,059 199 685 213 1,266 1,057 200 688 215 1,265 1,056 199 691 214 1,269 1,056 199 699 216 1,274 1,058 199 707 214 1,276 1,058 198 716 214 1,280 1,057 198 721 214 1,286 1,059 197 735 206 65,659 65,689 65,607 65,592 65,705 65,651 65,654 65,604 65,699 65,697 65,784 65,942 66,074 66,298 66,570 5,165 5,081 5,075 5,056 5,054 5,033 5,019 5,008 4,979 4,966 4,963 4,988 4,993 4,991 4,977 20,547 20,401 20,438 20,410 20,380 20,344 20,320 20,256 20,355 20,343 20,350 20,329 20,356 20,485 20,498 Production workers............................ D u ra b le goods N o n d u ra b le goods S E R V IC E -P R O D U C IN G T ra n s p o rta tio n a nd p u b lic u t i l i t i e s .................................... W h o le s a le an d re ta il tra d e W h o le s a le tra d e R e ta il tra d e ................................................................................... 5,358 5,280 5,279 5,265 5,252 5,237 5,212 5,192 5,185 5,181 5,176 5,180 5,197 5,219 5,227 15,189 15,122 15,159 15,145 15,128 15,107 15,108 15,064 15,170 15,162 15,174 15,149 15,159 15,266 15,271 ............................ 5,298 5,340 5,342 5,344 5,351 5,350 5,356 5,367 5,374 5,384 5,391 5,423 5,435 5,451 5,471 S e r v i c e s ........................................................................................... 18,619 19,064 19,083 19,097 19,136 19,144 19,187 19,215 19,238 19,262 19,356 19,478 19,546 19,660 19,802 G o v e r n m e n t ................................................................................... 16,031 2,772 13,259 15,803 2,739 13,064 15,669 2,737 12,932 15,685 2,739 12,946 15,784 2,735 13,049 15,780 2,742 13,038 15,772 2,746 13,026 15,758 2,747 13,011 15,753 2,748 13,005 15,742 2,742 13,000 15,724 2,742 12,982 15,724 2,749 12,975 15,744 2,756 12,988 15,711 2,745 12,966 15,822 2,737 13,085 F in a n c e , in s u ra n c e , a nd r e a l e s ta te Federal ................................................. State and local........................................ p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 57 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. H ours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1 9 5 0 -8 2 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year A v e rag e A verag e A verag e A verag e A verag e A ve ra g e A ve ra g e A verag e A verag e w e e k ly w e e k ly hourly w e e k ly w e e k ly hourly w e e k ly w e e k ly h o u rly w e e k ly w e e k ly hourly e a rn in g s hours e arn in g s e arn in g s hours ea rn in g s e arn in g s hours ea rn in g s ea rn in g s hours e a rn in g s A verag e P riv a te secto r A verag e M in in g Construction A v e ra g e M a n u fa c tu rin g 1950 ................ 1955 ................ I9601 .............. 1964 ................ 1965 ................ $53.13 67.72 80.67 91.33 95.45 39.8 39.6 38.6 38.7 38.8 $1.34 1.71 2.09 2.36 2.46 $67.16 89.54 105.04 117.74 123.52 37.9 40.7 40.4 41.9 42.3 $1.77 2.20 2.60 2.81 2.92 $69.68 90.90 112.57 132.06 138.38 37.4 37.1 36.7 37.2 37.4 $1.86 2.45 3.07 3.55 3.70 $58.32 75.30 89.72 102.97 107.53 40.5 40.7 39.7 40.7 41.2 $1.44 1.85 2.26 2.53 2.61 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971................ 1972 ................ 1973 ................ 1974 ................ 1975 ................ 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.91 235.10 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.3 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.07 397.06 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 43.3 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.49 9.17 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 367.78 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 9.94 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.70 7.27 1981................ 1982 ................ 255.20 266.92 35.2 34.8 7.25 7.67 439.75 459.23 43.7 42.6 10.04 10.78 299.26 426.45 36.9 36.7 10.82 11.62 318.00 330.65 39.8 38.9 7.99 8.50 Tran s p o lia tio n and p ub ile 1950 .............. 1955 ................ I9601 .............. 1964 ................ 1965 ................ F in a n c e , in su ra n c e , and W h o le s a le an d re ta il trad e u tilitie s S ervices re a l e s ta te $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 $44.55 55.16 66.01 74.66 76.91 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 • 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971................ 1972 ................ 1973 ................ 1974 ................ 1975 ................ 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.58 351.25 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 39.6 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.16 8.87 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 176.46 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 32.2 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 5.48 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 209.60 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 5.79 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 190.71 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.6 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 5.85 1981................ 1982 ................ 382.18 401.70 39.4 39.0 9.70 10.30 190.62 198.10 32.2 31.9 5.92 6.21 229.05 245.44 36.3 36.2 6.31 6.78 208.97 224.94 32.6 32.6 $.41 6.90 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1Data Include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 40.5 39.4 38.6 37.9 37.7 $1.10 1.40 1.71 1.97 2.04 $50.52 63 92 75 14 85.79 88.91 37 7 37 6 37 2 37.3 ► 37.2 351 34 1 70 ? n? 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 13. W eekly hours, by industry division and m ajor m anufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1981 1982 1983 198 2 Annu al ave ra g e In d u s try d iv is io n and group July Aug. S ept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. May JuneP JulyP ........................................................... 35.2 34.8 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 34.8 35.1 34.5 34.8 34.9 35.1 35.1 35.1 Overtime hours................................ 39.8 2.8 38.9 2.3 39.1 2.3 39.0 2.3 38.8 2.3 38.9 2.3 39.0 2.3 39.0 2.3 39.7 2.4 39.2 2.4 39.5 2.6 40.1 2.9 40.0 2.7 40.2 2.9 40.3 3.1 Overtime hours................................. 40.2 2.8 39.3 2.2 39.6 2.2 39.4 2.2 39.1 2.1 39.2 2.1 39.3 2.1 39.3 2.2 40.1 2.2 39.7 2.3 39.9 2.5 40.5 2.8 40.4 2.6 40.6 2.9 40.8 3.0 Lumber and wood products....................... Furniture and fixtures .............................. Stone, clay, and glass products ................ Primary metal industries............................ Fabricated metal products.......................... 38.7 38.4 40.6 40.5 40.3 38.0 37.2 40.0 38.6 39.2 38.5 37.4 40.5 38.8 39.4 38.2 37.8 40.2 38.6 39.2 38.4 37.5 40.2 37.8 38.9 38.1 37.5 40.2 38.2 39.0 38.7 37.6 40.2 38.3 39.2 38.8 37.8 40.1 38.8 39.2 40.5 38.6 41.4 38.9 39.9 39.5 37.9 40.5 39.1 39.6 39.5 38.3 40.6 39.4 39.7 40.0 39.3 41.0 39.9 40.5 39.8 39.2 41.2 40.3 40.4 40.0 39.6 41.6 40.3 40.4 39.9 39.9 41.8 40.8 40.8 Machinery, except electrical....................... Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment......................... Instruments and related products................ 40.9 40.0 40.9 40.4 39.7 39.3 40.5 39.8 39.8 39.6 40.9 40.1 39.4 39.3 40.6 40.0 39.2 39.0 40.1 39.9 39.3 39.2 40.4 39.6 39.3 39.3 40.9 39.4 39.3 39.4 40.1 39.7 39.6 39.9 41.6 40.4 39.4 39.5 41.2 39.7 39.7 39.8 41.7 40.0 40.2 40.4 42.3 40.5 40.0 40.3 41.6 40.4 40.4 40.5 42.0 40.0 40.7 40.7 42.2 40.1 Overtime hours................................. 39.1 2.8 38.4 2.5 38.5 2.5 38.5 2.5 38.6 2.6 38.5 2.6 38.6 2.5 38.6 2.5 39.1 2.6 38.5 2.6 39.0 2.7 39.5 3.0 39.4 2.9 39.6 3.0 39.6 3.2 Food and kindred products ....................... Textile mill products................................. Apparel and other textile products .............. Paper and allied products.......................... 39.7 39.6 35.7 42.5 39.4 37.5 34.7 41.8 39.4 37.7 35.1 41.9 39.2 38.1 35.0 41.7 39.4 38.1 35.1 41.6 39.5 38.3 35.1 41.7 39.4 38.8 35.0 41.7 39.1 38.9 35.1 41.7 39.3 39.7 36.6 41.8 39.0 39.0 35.2 41.4 39.2 39.6 35.6 42.1 39.6 40.6 36.2 42.4 39.4 40.4 36.1 42.7 39.8 40.7 36.2 42.8 39.6 41.0 35.9 43.0 Printing and publishing ............................ Chemicals and allied products..................... Petroleum and coal products ..................... Leather and leather products ..................... 37.3 41.6 43.2 36.7 37.1 40.9 43.9 35.6 37.0 40.8 43.4 36.0 36.9 40.9 44.0 36.0 37.0 41.0 44.2 35.7 37.1 40.8 43.8 35.4 37.1 40.7 44.1 35.8 37.1 40.9 44.4 35.8 37.5 41.0 44.5 36.3 37.1 41.0 44.4 34.9 37.4 41.2 44.9 36.0 37.7 41.5 43.5 37.0 37.4 41.6 43.6 36.8 37.6 41.9 43.7 36.8 37.7 41.9 42.8 37.3 TR A N S P O R T A T IO N A N D P U B LIC U TILIT E S 39.4 39.0 38.9 39.2 38.8 38.8 38.9 38.9 38.6 38.6 38.8 38.8 38.9 38.9 38.9 W H O LE SA LE A N D RETA IL TRA DE 32.2 31.9 32.0 32.0 31.9 31.9 31.8 32.1 31.9 31.4 31.7 31.7 31.9 32.0 31.9 38.4 38.4 38.5 38.2 38.4 38.5 38.6 38.7 38.6 29.8 30.1 29.9 29.3 29.7 29.6 29.9 29.9 29.8 32.6 32.6 32.9 32.5 32.7 32.7 32.9 32.7 32.7 P R IV A T E SEC TO R M A N U F A C T U R IN G D u ra b le goods N o n d u ra b le goods ............................................................... W H O LE S A LE TRA DE 38.5 38.4 38.5 38.5 38.4 38.4 RETAIL TRA DE 30.1 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.9 S ER VIC ES 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.8 p = preliminary. NOTE: Miscellaneous manufacturing (a major manufacturing group, durable goods) and rubber and miscellaneous plastics products (a major manufacturing group, nondurable goods) are no longer shown. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32.6 This is because the seasonal component in these is small relative to the trend-cycle, or irregular com ponents, or both, and consequently cannot be precisely separated. 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 14. H ourly earnings, by industry division and m ajor m anufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] A nnu al av e ra g e 1982 1983 In d u s try d iv is io n a nd group P R IVA T E SECTOR Seasonally adjusted............................ 1981 1982 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r. A pr. May JuneP JulyP $7.25 (1) $7.67 (1) $7.68 7.70 $7.70 7.73 $7.76 7.73 $7.79 7.76 $7.81 7.78 $7.82 7.82 $7.90 7.88 $7.92 7.91 $7.90 7.91 $7.94 7.95 $7.97 7.97 $7.97 8.00 $7.99 8.02 M IN IN G 10.04 10.78 10.86 10.88 10.99 10.96 11.01 11.03 11.21 11.25 11.19 11.28 11.20 11.28 11.38 C O N S TR U C TIO N 10.82 11.62 11.59 11.66 11.74 11.88 11.72 11.96 11.95 12.00 11.95 11.90 11.80 11.75 11.79 7.99 8.50 8.55 8.51 8.59 8.56 8.61 8.68 8.71 8.75 8.74 8.77 8.78 8.81 8.86 Lumber and wood products................ Furniture and fixtures.......................... Stone, clay, and glass products............ Primary metal industries..................... Fabricated metal products................... 8.54 6.99 5.91 8.27 10.81 8.19 9.06 7.46 6.31 8.86 11.33 8.78 9.12 7.59 6.33 8.93 11.36 8.85 9.09 7.56 6.37 8.92 11.48 8.85 9.17 7.65 6.40 9.03 11.54 8.90 9.13 7.57 6.40 9.03 11.41 8.85 9.17 7.59 6.43 9.04 11.49 8.90 9.24 7.55 6.46 9.08 11.49 8.96 9.26 7.68 6.49 9.10 11.56 8.98 9.31 7.72 6.50 9.10 11.53 9.04 9.29 7.68 6.51 9.13 11.24 9.05 9.31 7.74 6.51 9.16 11.25 9.07 9.34 7.78 6.52 9.20 11.28 9.08 9.37 7.84 6.60 9.27 11.26 9.11 9.40 7.88 6.64 9.36 11.41 9.10 Machinery, except electrical................ Electric and electronic equipment......... Transportation equipment ................... Instruments and related products......... Miscellaneous manufacturing .............. 8.81 7.62 10.39 7.42 5.97 9.29 8.21 11.12 8.10 6.43 9.32 8.23 11.25 8.13 6.41 9.34 8.30 11.17 8.17 6.40 9.41 8.37 11.24 8.24 6.50 9.36 8.41 11.29 8.26 6.50 9.38 8.45 11.34 8.31 6.56 9.43 8.51 11.43 8.38 6.67 9.40 8.53 11.40 8.42 6.72 9.44 8.56 11.49 8.48 6.73 9.46 8.60 11.49 8.47 6.75 9.48 8.60 11.53 8.46 6.76 9.59 8.60 11.52 8.48 6.82 9.64 8.64 11.63 8.48 6.80 9.65 8.66 11.59 8.51 6.88 7.18 7.44 8.88 5.52 4.97 8.60 7.73 7.89 9.78 5.83 5.20 9.32 7.77 7.88 10.42 5.81 5.19 9.41 7.74 7.86 9.51 5.83 5.20 9.45 7.84 7.91 9.55 5.86 5.23 9.63 7.80 7.88 9.50 5.88 5.21 9.53 7.88 8.00 10.16 5.92 5.24 9.60 7.95 8.06 9.63 6.04 5.28 9.65 7.97 8.09 9.87 6.08 5.33 9.65 7.99 8.11 9.96 6.10 5.33 9.65 8.00 8.16 10.43 6.11 5.33 9.67 8.03 8.20 10.61 6.14 5.35 9.72 8.03 8.18 10.74 6.14 5.33 9.81 8.03 8.17 10.92 6.16 5.36 9.90 8.13 8.19 11.01 6.17 5.33 10.09 8.19 9.12 11.38 8.75 9.96 12.46 8.75 10.00 12.42 8.81 10.01 12.42 8.91 10.19 12.61 8.89 10.22 12.57 8.92 10.26 12.68 9.00 10.32 12.71 8.97 10.34 13.16 8.99 10.41 13.25 9.03 10.39 13.28 9.03 10.43 13.27 9.05 10.50 13.17 9.07 10.51 13.13 9.14 10.57 13.15 7.17 4.99 7.65 5.32 7.67 5.29 7.66 5.33 7.78 5.41 7.74 5.39 7.81 5.41 7.91 5.44 7.91 5.50 7.91 5.50 7.92 5.52 7.95 5.52 7.97 5.51 7.96 5.50 8.13 5.54 T R A N S P O R T A T IO N A N D P U B LIC U T IL IT IE S 9.70 10.30 10.29 10.42 10.46 10.48 10.59 10.62 10.69 10.72 10.68 10.72 10.74 10.73 10.85 W H O LE S A LE A N D R ET A IL TRA DE 5.92 6.21 6.20 6.20 6.245 6.27 6.30 6.27 6.42 6.45 6.43 6.45 6.46 6.45 6.46 W H O LE S A LE TRA DE 7.56 8.02 8.03 8.07 8.10 8.13 8.31 8.28 8.27 8.34 8.36 8.35 8.39 5.25 5.47 5.47 5.46 5.50 5.53 8.14 % 5.56 8.20 R E T A IL T R A D E ................................................................................ 5.54 5.65 5.69 5.68 5.69 5.71 5.71 5.71 F IN A N C E , IN S U R A N C E , A N D REA L ESTATE 6.31 6.78 6.77 6.86 6.90 6.97 7.00 7.01 7.19 7.22 7.19 7.23 7.31 7.25 7.28 SER V IC E S 6.41 6.90 6.87 6.980 6.99 7.04 7.08 7.12 7.18 7.19 7.17 7.20 7.23 7.19 7.18 M A N U F A C T U R IN G D u ra b le goods N o n d u ra b le goods Food and kindred products ................ Tobacco manufactures....................... Textile mill products.......................... Apparel and other textile products......... Paper and allied products ................... Printing and publishing....................... Chemicals and allied products.............. Petroleum and coal products .............. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products............................ Leather and leather products .............. 1Not available. 15. p = preliminary. H ourly E arn ings Index, fo r production w o rkers on private nonag ricultu ral payrolls, by in dustry [1977 = 100] Not s e a s o n a lly ad ju s te d S e a s o n a lly ad ju s te d P ercen t P e rc e n t change Industry M ay June Ju ly from : Ju ly M a r. A pr. May Ju n e July from : 1983 1 9 83P 1983P Ju ly 1 9 8 2 1982 1983 1983 1983 198 3 P 1983P June 1 983 to to Ju ly 1 9 8 3 Ju ly 1 9 8 3 ................ 148.5 154.5 154.3 154.9 4.3 M i n i n g ............................................................................ C o n s tr u c tio n .......................................................... M a n u fa c tu rin g ...................................................... Transportation and public utilitie s ................ W holesale and retail trade ................................ Finance, insurance, and real e s ta te ................ Services ........................................................................ 160.9 141.3 153.3 148.0 145.1 148.2 147.7 165.0 143.9 157.4 155.8 151.5 159.0 154.9 166.7 143.8 157.7 155.4 151.4 158.0 154.5 168.6 144.3 158.2 157.1 151.7 158.7 154.7 4 .8 2.1 3.2 6.1 4.5 7.1 4 .8 P R IV A T E SEC TO R (in co n s ta n t d o l l a r s ) ................ 9 2.4 94 .6 94.3 (2) P R IV A T E SEC TO R (in c u rre n t d o lla rs ) 1This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trendcycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cha n g e July 1982 (2) 148.8 153.4 154.0 154.6 (1) (1) (1) (1) 141.2 153.3 148.8 145.2 145.5 157.1 155.9 149.6 145.9 157.0 155.9 150.5 144.9 157.7 156.6 151.2 154.8 <1 ) 144.7 157.8 156.8 151.5 155.2 0.2 (1) (1) -.3 144.2 158.1 157.9 151.8 (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) 148.5 (1) 152.6 154.0 154.9 155.4 155.7 9 2.8 9 5.0 94 .8 9 4.7 9 4.7 2Not available, p = preliminary. (2) .2 .7 .2 ( 1) .2 <2 ) 16. W eekly earnings, by industry division and m ajor m anufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1981 PRIVATE SECTOR 1982 1983 1982 Annual average In du stry d ivisio n and group July Sept. Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M ar. Apr. May JuneP JulyP $255.20 $266.92 $270.34 $271.04 $270.05 $270.31 $271.01 $273.70 $273.34 $270.86 $274.13 $275.52 $278.15 $281.34 $282.85 <1> (1) 268.73 269.00 269.00 269.27 269.97 272.14 276.59 272.90 275.27 277.46 279.75 280.80 281.50 .00 167.87 168.12 168.24 1J57.42 167.06 167.81 170.11 169.88 168.24 169.85 169.55 170.33 171.86 (1) Current dollars....................................... Seasonally adjusted.............................. Constant (1977) dollars....................... MINING 438.75 459.23 461.55 461.31 461.58 459.22 458.02 465.47 476.43 464.63 467.74 469.25 472.64 479.40 474.55 CONSTRUCTION 399.26 426.45 440.42 438.42 433.21 440.75 423.09 440.13 440.96 424.80 434.98 436.73 441.32 445.33 450.38 318.00 .00 330.65 207.96 332.60 206.84 331.89 206.01 334.15 207.16 333.84 206.33 338.37 209.52 344.60 214.17 341.43 212.20 339.50 210.87 346.10 214.44 349.05 214.80 350.32 214.53 355.92 217.42 355.29 (1) Lumber and wood products....................... Furniture and fixtures .............................. Stone, clay, and glass products ................ Primary metal industries............................ Fabricated metal products......................... 343.31 270.51 226.94 335.76 437.81 330.06 356.06 357.50 283.48 292.97 234.73 c232.31 354.40 362.56 437.34 437.36 344.18 344,27 356.33 293.33 242.70 362.15 439.68 346.04 357.63 296.06 241.28 365.72 438.52 345.32 357.90 289.93 243.20 366.62 431.30 346.04 363.13 292.97 244.34 366.12 440.07 350.66 371.45 293.70 250.00 366.83 450.41 359.30 367.62 300.29 243.38 364.91 450.84 354.71 366.81 372.53 299.54 302.59 243.10 251.29 358.54 368.85 450.82 c456.23 354.37 361.10 375.19 308.05 253.89 374.64 451.13 364.61 377.34 312.76 254.28 380.88 452.33 366.83 382.30 319.87 263.34 390.27 456.03 370.78 379.76 315.99 259.62 393.12 462.11 366.73 Machinery except electrical ....................... Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment......................... Instruments and related products................ Miscellaneous manufacturing..................... 360.33 304.80 424.95 299.77 231.64 368.81 322.65 450.36 322.38 247.56 365.34 321.79 456.75 321.95 244.86 364.26 324.53 446.80 325.98 247.04 367.93 325.59 443.98 328.78 250.90 365.98 329.67 457.25 327.10 253.50 371.45 334.62 467.21 331.57 256.50 380.97 342.95 474.35 338.55 260.13 372.24 338.64 468.54 337.64 260.06 371.94 C377.40 336.41 344.00 469.94 480.28 335.81 340.49 253.72 263.25 379.20 344.86 484.26 339.25 263.64 382.64 345.72 482.69 341.74 264.62 388.49 350.78 493.11 340.05 264.52 386.97 348.13 485.62 337.00 264.88 280.74 295.37 344.54 218.59 177.43 365.50 296.83 310.87 369.68 218.63 180.44 389.58 299.15 311.26 383.46 216.13 183.73 392.40 299.54 311.26 362.33 223.29 183.56 393.12 304.19 315.61 379.14 223.85 183.57 402.53 301.08 312.05 370.50 227.56 183.91 397.40 305.74 317.60 386.08 231.47 184.97 402.24 310.85 319.18 364.98 236.77 186.38 410.13 307.64 315.51 360.26 237.12 188.68 402.41 305.22 312.24 339.64 236.07 185.48 396.62 311.20 316.61 378.61 242.57 190.28 406.14 313.97 318.98 395.75 246.83 192.07 410.18 315.58 321.47 401.68 248.67 192.41 415.94 318.79 325.17 420.42 253.18 196.71 424.71 321.95 325.14 422.78 249.89 192.95 431.85 305.49 379.39 491.62 324.63 407.36 546.99 322.88 406.00 546.48 326.85 407.41 546.48 331.45 419.83 572.49 329.82 416.98 555.59 332.72 420.66 564.26 341.10 427.25 563.05 332.79 421.87 572.46 330.83 425.77 573.73 338.63 428.07 584.32 337.72 432.85 581.23 337.57 435.75 575.73 339.22 440.37 576.41 342.75 440.77 570.71 288.95 183.13 302.94 189.39 303.73 190.97 304.10 192.95 308.09 192.06 304.18 189.73 309.28 194.22 319.56 196.38 317.19 196.90 314.03 190.30 321.55 197.06 326.75 201.48 327.57 204.42 328.75 207.90 334.14 207.20 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 382.18 401.70 403.37 410.55 405.85 406.62 413.01 416.30 409.43 411.65 413.32 413.79 415.64 419.54 425.32 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 190.62 198.10 202.12 201.50 200.30 199.39 199.71 203.15 201.59 199.31 201.90 203.18 205.43 207.05 209.95 WHOLESALE TRADE 291.06 307.97 310.76 311.50 311.04 313.01 313.39 317.34 318.27 313.81 316.74 319.42 321.86 323.15 325.53 RETAIL TRADE 158.03 163.55 167.93 167.62 165.55 164.79 164.58 168.97 164.98 163.30 166.42 167.29 169.59 171.87 174.73 249.09 252.31 253.40 254.46 262.44 260.64 258.84 261.00 265.35 261.73 263.54 228.57 228.80 230.10 232.11 234.79 232.96 233.74 234.72 236.42 236.55 238.38 MANUFACTURING Current dollars........................................ Constant (1977) dollars............................ D urab le goods N ondurable goods Food and kindred products ....................... Tobacco manufactures.............................. Textile mill products................................ Apparel and other textile products .............. Paper and allied products.......................... Printing and publishing ............................ Chemicals and allied products..................... Petroleum and coal products..................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ................................ Leather and leather products ..................... FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 229.05 245.44 245.07 249.02 SERVICES 208.97 224.94 227.40 227.70 t Not available. p = preliminary. 17. c - corrected, Indexes of diffusion: industries in w hich em ploym ent increased [In percent] Tim e span Over 1-month span Over 3-month span Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1981 . . . . 1982 . . . . 1983 . . . . 57.8 28.5 56.5 52.4 45.4 45.7 52.2 36.0 62.4 65.6 39.0 69.1 60.2 47.6 71.0 58.9 32.8 64.5 62.6 38.4 P69.6 49.5 37.1 42.2 34.1 33.3 29.3 29.3 32.0 30.9 42.2 — — — — — 50.5 27.2 33.3 26.1 30.1 25.5 24.5 24.7 23.4 40.6 1981 . . . . 1982 . . . . 1983 . . . . 58.3 25.3 45.4 54.6 28.8 55.1 59.1 32.0 65.6 65.9 34.1 75.8 67.5 32.5 P75.8 66.7 33.6 P76.1 60.5 27.2 — — — — — — 58.6 26.1 — 45.7 23.4 — 34.4 19.1 — 29.6 21.2 — 24.2 26.1 — 25.0 26.6 — 22.0 35.8 — 41.4 20.7 — 34.9 20.7 29.8 22.8 27.4 24.2 23.7 31.5 25.3 37.6 23.1 P43.8 Over 6-month span 1981 . . . . 1982 . . . . 1983 . . . . 68.5 20.2 50.5 65.3 23.7 63.2 63.7 25.3 73.4 69.4 29.8 P76.3 64.2 26.1 — Over 12-month span 1981 . . . . 1982 . . . . 1983 . . . . 74.5 22.0 P50.8 71.2 20.7 — 70.4 18.0 — 58.1 19.4 — 47.6 18.3 — p = preliminary. NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans. See the “ Definitions" in this section. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA N a t io n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t in s u r a n c e d a t a are c o m p ile d m o n th ly persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiving compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of in sured unemployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. by th e E m p lo y m e n t a n d T ra in in g A d m in is tra tio n o f th e U .S . D e p a rtm e n t o f L a b o r fro m m o n th ly re p o rts o f u n e m p lo y m e n t in su r a n ce a c tiv ity p re p a re d by S tate a g e n c ie s. R a ilro a d u n e m p lo y m e n t in su ran ce d a ta are p rep ared by the U .S . R ailroad R etirem en t B oard. Definitions Average weekly seasonally adjusted insured unemployment data are computed by BLS’ Weekly Seasonal Adjustment program. This procedure incorporated the X -l 1 Variant of the Census Method II Seasonal Adjust ment program. Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured un employment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for ExServicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the beginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no application is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Number of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all compensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or settlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week o f unemployment before they are defined as unemployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Initial claims are notices filed by 18. U nem p loym ent insurance and em ploym ent service operatio ns [All items except average benefits amounts are in thousands) 1982 1983 Ite m July June All programs: Insured unemployment..................... State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 ................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)............................ Rate of insured unemployment............ Weeks of unemployment compensated... Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment ................ Total benefits paid .......................... State unemployment insurance program:1 (Seasonally adjusted data) Initial claims2 ................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)............................ Rate of insured unemployment............ Unemployment compensation for exservicemen:5 Initial claims1 ................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)............................ Weeks of unemployment compensated... Total benefits paid ......................... Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims................................... Insured unemployment (average Weeks of unemployment compensated.. Total benefits paid ......................... Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)............................ Number of payments....................... Average amount of benefit payment . . . Total benefits paid ......................... Employment service:5 New applications and renewals............ Nonfarm placements ....................... Sept. Aug. 62 Jan . D ec. F eb. M a r. A pr. JuneP May 4,398 4,283 4,391 4,635 5,074 5,459 5,437 5,134 2,655 2,358 2,342 2,443 2,661 3,080 3,143 2,065 2,075 1,874 1,666 1,732 3,912 4.6 14,655 3,831 4.4 15,015 3,712 4.2 14,547 3,828 4.4 13,786 4,156 4.7 15,170 4,581 5.2 17,873 4,923 5.6 18,307 4,759 5.5 16,895 4,401 5.0 19,529 3,906 4.5 14,986 3,361 3.9 13,133 3,063 3.5 12,912 4,327 4,495 2,399 3,707 4.3 14,648 4,642 3,947 3,481 $118.64 $117.28 $118.97 $120.78 $122.81 $123.43 $123.42 $124.29 $124.47 $125.47 r$124.85 $124.49 $123.64 $1,692,150 $1,679,378 $1,746,195 $1,710,573 $1,647,343 $1,820,019 $2,135,302 $2,205,551 $2,052,415 $2,367,752 r$1,816,539 $1,587,888 $1,551,401 2,528 2,317 2,814 2,902 2,688 2,680 2,586 2,187 2,138 2,148 1,952 1,993 1,825 3,995 4.6 3,959 4.5 4,137 4.7 4,446 5.1 4,680 5.3 4,618 5.3 4,355 5.0 3,980 4.6 3,979 4.6 3,884 4.5 3,774 4.3 3,538 4.1 3,301 3.8 V 10 10 11 11 10 17 24 21 16 18 15 8 29 $3,314 7 25 $2,821 7 24 $2,793 8 25 $2,900 9 28 $3,366 14 33 $4,006 26 90 $11,191 37 132 $16,807 37 143 $18,032 34 156 $19,588 30 117 $14,776 14 16 26 104 $13,111 25 108 $13,691 14 13 12 13 16 14 15 16 10 11 10 9 13 28 123 $13,922 29 120 $13,445 27 118 $13,140 26 111 $12,303 28 110 $12,144 31 126 $14,023 33 146 $16,114 35 142 $16,045 33 131 $15,083 31 146 $16,871 26 109 $12,422 22 93 $10,603 21 90 $10,266 36 68 68 14 20 17 17 20 7 7,628 94 4 30 44 93 $199.15 $18,574 55 100 $202.54 $17,998 55 100 $202.54 $17,998 61 137 $216.14 $31,123 82 159 $212.35 $31,638 81 162 $216.55 $35,061 83 172 $217.00 $39,500 102 219 $220.32 $44,514 72 158 $214.54 $33,100 65 169 $213.44 $36,243 79 172 $203.87 $27,783 90 183 $215.15 $29,411 49 123 $203.54 $14,984 10,965 1,902 14,320 2,804 11nitial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. Excludes transition claims under State programs. Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. 4Excludes data or claims and payments made jointly with State programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nov. Oct. 4,527 642 8,377 1,184 .... Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly. NOTE: Data for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands included. Dashes indicate data not available. p = preliminary. r= revised. PRICE DATA P r ic e d a t a are g a th e re d b y th e B u reau o f L a b o r S ta tistics from re ta il a n d p rim a ry m a rk e ts in the U n ited S ta te s. P rice in d ex e s are g iv e n in re la tio n to a b a se p e rio d (1 9 6 7 = 100. u n less o th e rw is e n o te d ). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and services. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Statistics began pub lishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. It introduced a CPI for All Urban Consumers, covering 80 percent of the total noninstitutional pop ulation, and revised the CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covering about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index covers in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and ser vices that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. Data are collected from more than 24,000 retail establishments and 24,000 tenants in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the ex penditures o f two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with dif ferent buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “ Cost-of-Living Index,” it measures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets o f the United States by products of commodities in all stages o f processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all commodities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree o f fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by sim ilarity o f end-use or material composition. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are ob tained directly from producing companies on a voluntary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the various commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights repre senting their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability o f product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la s s ific a tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washing ton, U .S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive industrial censuses conducted by the U .S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Regional CPI’s cross classified by population size were introduced in the May 1978 R e v ie w . These indexes enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropriate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes are published bimonthly. (See table 20.) For details concerning the 1978 revision of the CPI, see T h e C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x : C o n c e p ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Y e a rs. Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). As of January 1976, the Producer Price Index incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 values of shipments. Additional data and analyses of price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P r ic e s a n d P r ic e I n d e x e s , both monthly publications of the Bureau. For a discussion of the general method of computing producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s , Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 7. For consumer prices, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s (1976), chapter 13. See also John F. Early, “ Improving the measurement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1978. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “ Industry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1965. 63 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 19. C o n su m er Price Index for U rban W age E arners and C lerical W orkers, annual a verag es and changes, 1 9 6 7 -8 2 [1967 = 100] Food and All Item s A p p arel and H ousing bev e ra g e s T ran sp o rtatio n upkeep M e d ic a l care O th er goods E n te rta in m e n t and s e rv ic e s Year P ercent In d e x change Index P ercen t change Index P ercent P ercen t In d ex change change Index P ercen t Index change P ercen t change Index P ercen t In d ex change P e rc e nt change 1967 1968 1969 1970 .............. .............. .............. .............. 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118 2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 115.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.3 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. 170 5 181.5 195.3 217.7 247.0 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 13.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 248.7 3.1 8.0 9.7 10.9 8.7 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 263 2 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 15.7 147.6 154.2 159.5 166 4 177.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 6.6 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 250.5 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 17.7 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 287.2 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 11.3 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 203.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 8.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 213.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.8 1981 .............. 1982 .............. 272.3 288.6 10.2 6.0 267.8 278.5 7.7 4.0 293 2 314.7 11.4 7.3 186.6 190.9 5.2 2.3 281.3 293.1 12.3 4.2 295.1 326.9 10.4 10.8 219.0 232.4 7.5 6.1 233.3 257.0 9.2 10.2 20. C o n su m er Price Index for All Urban C onsum ers and revised CPI fo r Urban W age E arn ers and C lerical W orkers, U.S. city ave ra g e — g eneral sum m ary and groups, subgro ups, and selected item s [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All U rban C onsu m ers G e n eral s u m m ary 1982 U rb an W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rke rs 1983 1982 1983 June Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June June Jan . Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June A ll ite m s 290.6 293,1 293.2 293.4 295.5 297.1 298.1 290.1 292.1 292.3 293.0 294.9 296.3 297.2 Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing .................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Transportation............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment ............................................................................. Other goods and services............................................................., 280.2 317.5 190.8 292.8 326 4 235.6 255.8 280.7 317.9 191.0 293.0 347.8 241.5 279.9 281.6 318.5 192.0 289.9 351.3 243.1 281.6 283.2 318.6 194.5 287.4 352.3 244.6 281.9 284.6 320.3 195.5 292.3 353.5 244.6 283.2 285.0 321.8 196.1 296.2 354.3 244.8 283.6 284.7 323.1 195 6 298.3 355.4 245.4 284.5 280.5 317.5 189.6 294.5 324.8 232.3 253.1 281.1 317.0 190.0 294.3 345.3 237.7 277.8 282.1 317.6 191.0 291.1 348.9 239.5 279.6 283.5 319.2 194.0 288.6 350.0 240.8 280.0 284.9 320.3 194.8 293.5 351.2 241.1 281.4 285.4 321.3 195.3 297.5 352.1 241.3 281.8 285.0 322.3 194.7 299.6 353.3 241.9 282.8 Commodities................................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages........................................ Nondurables less food and beverages..................................... Durables........................................................................... 265.1 254.0 266.3 243.2 267.2 256.5 267 4 247.3 266.7 255 2 265.2 247.1 266.7 254.3 263.4 247.4 269.2 257.3 267.8 248.7 270.9 259.7 271.3 249.5 271.6 260.9 272.3 251.2 265.4 254.5 268.2 242.3 268.0 257.8 269.3 247.3 267.8 257.1 266.9 247.8 268.4 257.4 265.0 249.7 270.9 260.3 269.7 251.2 272.7 262.7 273.3 252.8 273.3 263.7 274.4 253.7 Serv ces .................................................................................... Rent, residential.................................................................. Household services less rent of shelter (12/82 = 100)................ Transportation services........................................................ Medical care services.......................................................... Other services .................................................................... 334.9 222.6 337.9 338.9 232 2 c233.1 100.9 101.0 300.1 299.9 377.4 381.5 271.5 272.6 339.4 233.6 101.6 299.8 382.2 272.9 341.2 234.5 102.0 300.8 382.8 274.2 342.6 235.1 103.2 301.2 383 5 274.7 344.0 235.9 104 2 301.4 384 6 275.6 335.7 222.1 336.9 231.7 337.8 232.5 338.5 233.1 339.5 234.0 340.1 234.6 341.4 235.3 293.2 350.7 255.5 297.1 374.0 269.1 296 9 378 2 270.2 296.7 379.0 270.6 297.2 379.7 272.0 297.6 380.5 272.6 297.5 381.7 273.5 292.6 100.2 292.4 100.3 294.7 101.0 296.5 101.6 297 8 101.9 289.4 291 9 291 9 292.4 294.4 296 1 297.2 273.7 252.4 263.0 302.4 275.4 278.9 255.7 264 2 304.4 276.2 279.0 255.0 262.2 301.1 275.6 279.7 255.4 260 6 297.4 275.3 281.7 258.2 265.0 303.5 278.4 283.5 260.6 268 4 308.2 280.4 284.3 261.6 269.3 309.9 280.8 331.7 269.2 290.6 420.4 431.6 279.4 276.0 231.3 330.6 330.7 265.0 272.5 415.1 415.2 282.2 279.3 237.1 330.5 331.2 266.0 273.5 406.9 401.9 283.0 280.2 237 9 331.4 332.0 267.6 274.0 399.8 388.7 284.4 281.6 240.0 331.9 333.0 269 0 280.7 410.8 404.3 285.6 282.6 241.2 332.7 333.5 269 6 283.0 422.1 417.3 286.1 283.2 242.3 332.6 334.9 268.7 279.8 428 1 421.7 286.5 283.8 242.9 333.2 294.7 353.0 257 0 S p e c ia l inde x e s : All items less food......................................................................... All items less homeowners' costs ................................................... All items less mortgage interest costs............................................... Commodities less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food and apparel................................................... Nondurables................................................................................ Services less rent of shelter (12/82 = 100) ........................................ Services less medical care ............................................................. Domestically produced farm foods.................................................... Selected beef cuts......................................................................... Energy1 .................................................................................... Energy commodities1 .................................................................. All items less energy .................................................................... All items less food and energy............................................... Commodities less food and energy..................................... Services less energy........................................................ Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 = $1 .......................... See footnotes at end of table. 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 289.7 251.9 261.2 301.0 274.4 330 7 270 3 289.1 418.6 430.8 280.7 277.3 232.1 329.9 254.4 262 4 303.1 275.2 100.7 331.4 264.7 271.2 414.5 414.9 283.8 281.1 237.1 331.8 292.6 100.2 253.2 260.5 299.9 274.6 101.0 332.2 266 6 272.0 406.7 401.6 284.7 282.0 237.9 332.9 252.4 258.9 296.5 274.4 101.3 332.7 268.4 272 6 399.9 388.3 285.6 282.6 239.1 333.1 255.4 263 0 302 1 277.3 101.6 334.5 269.9 279 4 410.0 403.2 287.0 284.0 240.2 334.8 257 6 266.3 306.7 279.3 102.2 336.0 270.6 281.5 421.3 416.3 287.6 284.7 240.8 335.6 258.9 267.3 308.4 279.7 102 7 337.4 269.6 278.5 427.3 420.7 288.2 285.5 241.5 336.4 $0.344 $0.341 $0.341 $0.341 $0.338 $0.337 $0.335 $0.345 $0.342 $0 342 $0.341 $0.339 $0.337 $0.336 20. C o n tin u ed — C onsum er Price In dex— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] U rban W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rke rs All U rban C onsu m ers G en e ra l s u m m ary FOOD AN D BEVERAGES Food 1983 1982 198 3 1 982 Jan. M ay June June 284.6 285.0 284.7 280.5 281.1 292.0 288.0 288.4 June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. 280.2 280.7 281.6 283.2 M a r. Apr. May June 282.1 283.5 284.9 285.4 285.0 289.3 290.7 292.1 292 6 292.2 Feb. 288.1 289.0 290.5 291 9 292.4 282.6 279.3 283.6 287.8 154.5 154.0 142.1 140.3 166.1 168.1 149.4 156.5 148.6 151.7 242.4 248.9 145.6 147.7 149.9 ♦152.6 149.2 153.1 150.7 153.6 140.9 144.9 148.9 152.3 280.3 288.7 154.0 139.8 169.2 145.3 152.4 249.8 148.7 153.1 154.0 153.7 146.5 154.2 281 9 289.8 155.0 139.4 171.3 146.0 152.8 252.0 149.0 152.0 153.8 155.1 146,0 154.2 283.4 291.1 156.1 140.2 173.8 145.8 153.3 252.1 148.8 152.5 154.9 156.8 147.2 153.7 283.8 291.7 157.0 141.3 175.7 144.8 153.5 252.6 149.7 152.0 154.7 156.1 147.9 154.0 283.0 292.4 157.9 142.2 176.4 146.2 153.7 253.1 149.8 151.7 154.6 155.7 149.5 153.7 281.6 282.3 155.5 142.5 168.2 150.6 147,4 238.3 147.5 146.2 147.5 151.5 142.3 151.5 278.6 286.4 154.8 140.6 170.3 147.6 150.5 244.6 149.7 148.6 151.3 154.6 146.4 154.9 279.7 287.4 154.7 140.1 171.4 146.3 151.2 245.7 150.6 149.1 152.2 154.6 147.9 156.8 281.2 288.5 155.8 139.9 173.5 147.0 151.6 247.8 151.1 148.0 152.1 156.0 147.3 156.9 282.5 289.6 156.9 140.4 175.9 146.8 152.0 247 6 150.7 148.4 153.3 157.6 148.7 156.2 282.9 290.2 157.7 141.7 177.8 145.8 152.2 248.2 151.8 147.9 153.0 156.8 149.5 156.7 282.1 291.0 158.7 142.7 178.5 147.3 152.4 248.8 151.8 148.0 152 9 156.4 151.0 156.6 156.3 156.8 155.7 156.2 157.1 157.4 158.8 149.4 149.8 149.0 149.4 150.2 150.5 152.0 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs ................................................. Meats, poultry, and fis h ................................................... Meats ................................................................... Beef and veal........................................................ Ground beef other than canned.............................. Chuck roast ..................................................... Round roast ..................................................... Round steak..................................................... Sirloin steak..................................................... Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ....................... Pork................................................................... Bacon ............................................................ Chops ............................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100).................. Sausage .......................................................... Canned ham ..................................................... Other pork (12/77 = 100) ................................... Other meats ........................................................ Frankfurters ..................................................... Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) . . . . Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ......................... Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) .................. Poultry................................................................... Fresh whole chicken............................................ Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100)......... Other poultry (12/77 = 100)................................ Fish and seafood ..................................................... Canned fish and seafood ..................................... Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100) . . . Eggs............................................................................. 266 0 274.3 277.2 288.2 274.6 295.4 257.0 278.8 294.1 173.3 259.5 280.7 241.2 112.6 326.3 253.2 145.4 268.5 268.8 154.6 135.5 143.1 197.5 199.1 129.3 124.6 365.2 139 9 138.6 162.5 263.0 270.3 272.2 271.3 262.7 281.7 243.3 255.1 253.1 163.7 272.0 290.8 245.6 129.2 333.6 275.2 147.9 269.3 269.7 154.0 139.9 137.4 191.3 186.8 125.0 126.3 376.7 140.2 145.4 172.9 264.0 271.7 273.2 272 2 261.8 286.9 242.6 259.8 260.3 163.5 273.6 294.5 252.1 125.0 333.9 276.2 150.4 269.2 269.4 154.5 139.7 137.2 194.0 190.6 126.2 127.7 379.2 139.1 147.6 169.3 264.2 271.4 272.8 272 8 263.6 284.8 239.9 257.9 262.8 164.4 271.1 288.7 246.4 125.6 336.9 277.3 148.1 269.7 270.8 155.2 139.0 138.2 193.7 190.7 126.6 126.6 380.1 138.3 148.6 175.0 264.2 271.4 273.3 279.4 267.0 291.2 251.1 263.9 274.8 168.3 262.1 276.6 241.8 116.7 332.5 272.0 143.5 268.6 267.4 154.4 139.7 137.0 191.0 184.5 125.7 127.2 379.4 137.9 148.4 174.9 263 8 270.5 272.7 281.3 266.9 289.5 249.6 268.8 284.3 170.2 257.3 272.5 237.7 112.0 330.6 266.6 141.4 267.7 266.7 154.2 137.7 139.1 192.0 187.7 126.6 125.4 372.6 137.2 144.7 181.8 261.5 268.7 270.2 278.6 264.5 277.4 245.6 262 1 286.1 170.5 254.1 267.4 234.3 110.3 326.5 260.9 141.7 267.4 265.8 155.6 136.6 139.3 193.6 192.1 126.3 125.3 371.2 138.6 143.0 173.8 265.8 273 9 276.5 289.0 275.9 304.9 260.1 277.2 295 j 17, .9 258.9 285.3 239.6 109.6 327.2 256.4 144.7 267.8 268.3 154.6 133.4 146.5 195.8 197.0 127.5 124.3364.2 139.4 138.3 163.4 262.8 270.0 271.8 271.8 263.7 290.4 246.6 253.0 254.5 162.1 271.4 295.5 243.9 126.0 335.0 279.7 147.1 268.7 268.5 153.9 137.7 140.3 189.4 185.0 123.5 125.7 375.1 139.5 145.0 173.7 263.9 271.4 272.9 272.9 263.0 295.9 245.3 258.0 261.7 162.1 272.9 299.5 250.3 121.7 334.8 280.6 149.5 269.0 268.6 154.5 137.8 140.1 191.9 188.4 124.6 127.1 377.5 138.5 147.1 170.0 264.0 271.1 272.4 273.5 264.7 293.0 242.8 257.1 264.5 163.0 270.4 293.1 244.7 122.4 337.0 282.2 147.3 269.3 270.1 155.1 137.0 140.9 191.6 188.4 125.1 125 6 378.9 137.8 148.3 175.8 263.9 271.0 272.9 280.0 268.0 300.2 254.0 262.0 276.0 166.8 261.7 281.4 239.7 113.9 333.1 277.1 142.8 268.3 266.4 154.3 137.7 140.0 189.0 182.3 124.2 126.6 377.5 137.4 147.7 175.8 263.6 270.2 272.1 282.0 268.3 298.8 252.3 267.7 285.9 168.6 256.8 276.8 235.9 109.3 331.1 271.6 140.6 267.3 265.2 154.1 135.8 142.2 190.1 185.7 124.9 124 9 371.5 136.8 144.4 182.7 261.3 268 3 269.7 279 2 265.7 285.7 249.1 • 260.5 287.5 169.1 253.9 271.9 232.5 107 5 327 3 266.4 141.1 266.9 264.9 155.6 134.6 142.3 191.8 190.4 124.7 124.7 369.8 138.1 142.5 174.8 Dairy products ............................................................... Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100)............................ Fresh whole milk................................................... Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ................ Processed dairy products............................................ Butter................................................................. Cheese (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100) ........... Other dairy products (12/77 = 100)......................... 246.3 135.2 221 3 135.4 144.9 250.9 143.2 149.6 138.7 249.5 136.7 223.7 136.9 147.1 253.4 145.2 152.5 141.6 249.7 136.7 223.4 137.3 147.4 253.6 145.5 153.1 141.6 249.6 136.8 223.4 137.7 147.2 253.5 145.5 150.7 143.9 250.1 136.6 223.5 136.7 148.1 253.9 146.5 152.0 144.5 250 3 136.5 223.2 136.8 148.6 254.4 146.5 153.6 144.6 249.8 136 3 222 9 136.8 148.1 252.7 146.0 154.0 143.1 245.7 134.7 220.4 134.9 145.2 253.4 143.6 148.7 139.4 248 9 136.2 222.9 136.3 147.4 255.9 145.5 151.6 142.3 249.1 136.2 222.6 136.8 147.7 256.2 156.8 152.2 142.3 248.9 136.3 222.6 137.1 147.4 256.1 145.8 149.8 144.6 249.4 136.1 222 7 136.1 148.4 256.5 146.8 151.1 145.3 249.6 136.0 222.3 136.3 148.8 256.9 146.8 152.7 145.3 249.1 135.9 222.1 136.3 148.3 255.4 146.3 153.0 143.7 Fruits and vegetables........................................................ Fresh fruits and vegetables.......................................... Fresh fruits.......................................................... Apples ............................................................ Bananas .......................................................... Oranges .......................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100)............................ Fresh vegetables................................................... Potatoes.......................................................... Lettuce............................................................ Tomatoes ........................................................ Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100)..................... 305.6 325.9 340.8 321.4 267.9 406.8 177.1 311.9 344.9 269.1 275.6 177.5 276.2 269.2 268.3 244.2 241.3 292.2 143.1 270.0 236.2 301.3 236.8 156.0 278.1 272.0 270.5 244.0 254.0 286 3 145.1 273.4 240.6 249.0 265.0 165.6 286.9 288 6 282.8 249.3 257.1 299.1 154.4 294.0 241.1 247.9 352 2 175.8 294.9 304.3 291 9 259.9 295.1 301.3 155.8 316.0 258.7 316.0 327.5 186.9 298.2 311.0 300.6 266.4 312.5 297.2 162.4 320.8 282.3 340 9 307.8 184.1 298.2 310.9 310.5 281.9 318.1 309.1 166.3 311.3 304.7 363 5 262.3 169.4 301.0 318.6 327.0 321.9 265.5 367.5 170.3 311.1 339.7 270.0 279.9 177.0 272.6 264.3 258.9 244.8 239 9 267.5 138.0 269.2 231.5 303 4 241.5 155.3 274.5 267.1 261.0 243.9 250.9 263.1 139.8 272.7 236.5 250.0 269.0 165.2 282.9 283.0 272.5 249.6 254.6 272.7 149.0 292.5 236.1 246.6 358.1 174.9 291.1 298 9 282.2 260.5 293.0 274.4 150.9 314.0 253.3 311.6 332.1 186.4 294.5 305.5 290 6 266.8 311.1 270 2 156.9 319.2 277.3 338.0 313.2 183.4 294.5 305.4 299.7 283.4 316.7 280.1 160.0 310.8 301.3 360.8 267.1 169.5 Processed fruits and vegetables................................... Processed fruits (12/77 = 100) .............................. Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100).............. Fruit juices other than frozen (12/77 = 100)........... Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100).................. Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100)......................... Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100) ......................... 285.9 148.0 144.4 151.7 147.0 139 3 145.6 286.6 150.1 144.7 154.1 150.4 137.9 149.7 287.4 150.8 144.6 155.3 151.0 138.1 151.2 287.6 151.3 145.0 156.6 151.0 137.7 149.7 287.1 150.6 143.9 155.7 150.8 138.0 150.9 286.7 150.3 142.3 155.7 151.3 137.9 151.2 286.9 149.7 140.0 155.1 152.0 138.7 151.4 283.9 147.6 143.4 150.7 147.6 138.2 146.9 284 3 149.8 143.8 153.1 151.1 136 7 151.2 285 1 150.5 143.7 154.4 151.7 136.9 152.7 285 3 151.0 144.1 155.6 151.5 136.6 151.3 284.8 150.2 143.0 154.6 151.4 136.8 152.5 284.6 150.0 141.4 154.7 151.8 136.8 152.8 284.7 149.3 139.0 154.0 152.6 137.5 153.1 ....................................................................................................................................................... Food at home ............................................................................. Cereals and bakery products ................................................... Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100) ......................... Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100)................ Cereal (12/77 - 100) .............................................. Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) ..................... Bakery products (12/77 - 100).......................................... White bread............................................................ Other breads (12/77 - 100)....................................... Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) ........... Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100) ..................... Cookies (12/77 - 100) ............................................ Crackers, bread, and cracker products (12/77 = 100) . . . Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) . . Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) . . . . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 287.8 65 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. C o n tin u ed — C onsum er Price In dex— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All U rb an C onsu m ers G e n e ral s u m m ary 1982 U rb an W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rke rs 1983 1982 1983 June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June June Jan . F eb. M a r. Apr. M ay June Fruits and vegetables—Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77 = 100) Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77 = 100) . . . . Other foods at home............................................................... Sugar and sweets .......................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77 = 100) ....................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77 = 100)................ Other sweets (12/77 = 100)........................................ Fats and oils (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Margarine............................................................... Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77 = 100) . . . Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77 = 100)......... Nonalcoholic beverages ................................................... Cola drinks, excluding diet cola ................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77 = 100) . . . . Roasted coffee.......................................................... Freeze dried and instant coffee..................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77 = 100) .................. Other prepared foods........................................................ Canned and packaged soup (12/77 =100) ..................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77 = 100) ......................... Snacks (12/77 = 100)............................................... Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77 = 100) . . . Other condiments (12/77 = 100)................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77 = 100) ................ Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77 = 100) . 141.1 135.2 332.6 366.8 150.4 161.4 148.9 260.7 261.2 156.5 129.1 424.8 305.9 143.1 365.1 344.3 140.0 267.8 136.3 147.3 153.2 153.3 150.6 148.3 144.5 139.5 131.0 337.1 371.5 149.8 167.0 152.0 259.3 259.4 151.6 130.2 431.1 312.9 145.2 365.0 348.2 141.0 272.6 138.1 150.6 154.0 159.5 153.8 151.1 146.1 138.5 131.1 338.2 370.7 149.6 165.9 152.3 258.0 255.9 151.8 129.8 432.2 312.5 147.4 365.9 349.3 140.6 275.1 139.0 152.0 157.6 161.1 154.9 151.5 146.4 138.9 131.1 339.1 372.8 150.3 166.9 153.4 258.4 255.8 151.4 130.4 432.7 314.1 146.7 363.2 349.2 141.1 276.0 140.0 153.1 157.9 161.6 154.9 151.7 146.8 139.6 130.6 339.2 373.2 150.8 168.3 151.4 258.6 259.6 151.5 129.5 431.8 313.1 146.8 361.4 349.5 140.6 276.9 140.9 155.0 159.2 159.3 155.3 151.6 147.4 138.4 130.8 339.1 373.1 151.0 167.2 152.0 258.3 257.1 150.7 130.2 431.1 311.5 147.3 360.8 351.6 140.1 277.2 141.6 154.4 160.6 159.3 155.6 152.0 146.2 140.5 131.2 338.8 374.5 151.3 168.5 152 5 258.3 259.3 149.4 130.1 431.0 312 3 146.3 359 3 352.2 140.5 276.1 141.6 153.8 159.0 158.6 155.4 151.2 146.2 138.8 133.8 333.5 366.9 150.5 162.8 146.9 260.7 260.8 154.9 129.7 426.6 303.3 141.2 360.1 343.8 140.2 269.5 138.3 146.8 155.2 152.4 152,4 148.5 145.8 137.0 129.6 337.9 371.4 149.8 168.5 149.8 259.3 258.5 150.0 130.7 432.8 310.3 142.8 359.9 347.8 141.3 274.2 140.1 150.0 156.0 158.5 155.6 151.4 147.3 136.2 129.8 339.1 370 6 149.6 167.1 150.2 258.1 255.3 150.1 130.3 433.9 310.0 144.9 360.5 349.0 140.8 276.8 141.1 151.3 159.6 160.1 156.8 151.7 147.7 136.4 129.7 339.9 372.5 150.3 168.3 151.0 258.4 254.5 149.7 131.0 434.5 311.5 144.5 357.9 348.8 141.3 277.5 141.9 152.2 160.1 160.4 156.7 151.9 148.0 137.1 129 2 340.0 373.0 150.8 169.7 149.1 258.4 258.1 149.9 130.1 433.5 310.4 144.5 356.2 349.0 140.9 278.5 142.7 154.2 161.2 158.3 157.1 151.8 148.7 136.2 129.5 339.8 372.9 151.0 168.7 149.6 258.2 255.5 149.1 130.8 432.4 308.5 144.9 355.6 351.0 140.4 278.8 143.6 153.7 162.7 158.4 157.4 152.3 147.5 138.1 129.8 339.5 374.1 151.2 169.8 150.2 258 0 257.5 147.7 130.7 432.6 309.7 143.9 354.3 351.6 140.7 269.5 143.4 153.1 161.1 157.6 157.2 151.5 143.6 Food away from home ................................................................. Lunch (12/77 = 100)............................................................. Dinner (12/77 = 100)............................................................. Other meals and snacks (12/77 = 100)..................................... 305.9 148.9 147.4 149.2 314.5 153.1 151.3 154.0 315.2 153.3 151.7 154.5 316.5 153.7 152.0 156.0 318.0 154,4 152.5 157.1 318 6 154.6 152.7 157.9 319.3 154.9 153.1 158 2 309.0 150.5 149.1 149.9 317.7 154.8 153.0 154.6 318.4 155.0 153.4 155.1 319.7 155.3 153.7 156.5 321.3 156.1 154.2 157.7 321.9 156.2 154.4 158.4 322.5 156.5 154.8 158.7 A lc o h o lic b e v e ra g e s 208.4 211.6 213.3 215.1 216.1 216.6 217,0 210.4 213.7 215.6 217.3 218.5 219.1 219.6 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77 = 100) ..................................... Beer and alt ........................................................................ Whiskey............................................................................... Wine .................................................................................. Other alcoholic beverages (12/77 = 100)................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77 = 100) ......................... 135.0 210.6 148.3 235.3 119.7 140.3 136.5 213.3 150.5 235.6 120.6 144.8 137.7 217.4 150.9 234.7 120.7 145.4 139.1 219.8 151.3 239.1 121.5 145.7 139.7 222.5 151.4 236.3 121.5 146.5 140.0 222 7 151.3 239.1 121.5 147.0 140.3 224.1 151.6 236.3 122.1 147.1 136.3 209.6 149.1 242.7 119.6 141.6 137.8 212.5 151.2 243.0 120.6 146.0 139 2 216.4 151.6 241.8 120.5 146.6 140.6 218.6 151.9 246.8 121.2 146.9 141.3 221.2 151.9 243.9 121.3 147.7 141.7 221.5 151.9 247.0 121.4 148.2 142.0 222.8 152.1 244.1 122.0 148.3 H O U S IN G 317.5 317.9 318.5 318.6 320 3 321.8 323.1 317.5 317.0 317.6 319.2 320.3 321.3 322.3 S h e lte r (C P I-U ) 340.9 338.3 339.2 339.3 341.7 342.7 343.6 100.8 232.2 339 2 100.7 100.7 100.9 342.9 380.6 259.4 101.2 233.1 340.8 100.9 100.9 100.9 339.4 373.6 259.3 101.4 233.6 340.6 100.9 100.8 101.5 339.9 376.7 257.7 101.8 234.5 343.7 101.7 101.7 102.0 343.6 382.8 258.7 102 2 235.1 347.5 102.0 101.9 102.4 344.3 382.7 260.0 102.5 235 9 347.9 102.2 102.2 338 8 341.1 342.4 342.9 343.3 FO OD A N D BEVERAG ES— Continued Food— C o n tinue d Food at home—Continued Renters' costs............................................................................. Rent, residential .................................................................... Other renters' costs ............................................................... Flomeowners' costs2 .................................................................... Owners' equivalent rent.......................................................... Household insurance............................................................... Maintenance and repairs ............................................................... Maintenance and repair services ............................................... Maintenance and repair commodities.......................................... 222.6 327.3 336.1 369.1 258.3 345.1 381.6 262 3 342.6 337.9 Rent, residential........................................................................... 222 1 231.7 232.5 233.1 234.0 234.6 235.3 Other renters' costs ...................................................................... 326.3 349 4 144 8 337.3 350 8 339.0 339.0 342.3 345.5 154 n 345.8 363 5 153 5 Flomeownership........................................................................... Home purchase .................................................................... Financing, taxes, and insurance................................................. Property insurance.......................................................... Property taxes ............................................................... Contracted mortgage interest costs..................................... Mortgage interest rates............................................... Maintenance and repairs.......................................................... Maintenance and repair services.......................................... Maintenance and repair commodities.......................................... Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77 = 100)....................................... Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77 = 100)......... Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100)......... 386.0 284.4 529.7 402.7 220.7 690.0 240.2 332.4 370.0 252.1 375.9 291.9 490 2 414.5 230.6 624.0 212.0 337.8 377.3 253.6 376.9 293.7 491.3 417.9 231.4 625.1 211.1 336.2 374.5 254.5 379.9 298 9 491.8 419.2 231.7 625.7 207.5 337.5 376.6 254.2 381.2 301.0 492.2 422.3 232.9 625.5 206.0 339.0 378.9 253.9 381.7 303.9 489.1 426.3 233.8 620.1 202.4 339.9 379.5 255.6 381.9 303.5 490.0 430.6 234 6 620.8 203.0 341.0 380.0 257.5 146.0 122.1 148.2 120.5 148.0 122.2 146.0 124.1 145.7 123.4 148.1 124.3 149.4 124.2 136.0 140.6 137.3 141.3 136.6 142.2 137.5 142.4 137.4 143.1 138.0 141.3 138.8 144.1 S h e lte r (C P I-W ) 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20. C o n tin u ed — C onsum er Price In d ex— U .S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] U rban W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rk e rs All U rban Consu m ers G en eral su m m ary 1982 1983 1982 1983 June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June 352 2 365.4 364 6 363 8 363.6 369.3 373.6 353.6 366.8 365.9 365.2 365.1 370.8 375.5 448 4 656.6 684.8 165.6 398.9 327.5 497.2 463.5 671.1 689.3 188.4 413.5 319.2 559.1 461.5 654.0 669.7 187.1 414.5 320.1 560.1 459.7 625.3 636.4 185.9 418.0 321.2 568.3 459.2 610.6 618.4 186.7 420.5 319.9 578.3 468.3 621.0 629.6 188.6 429.1 324.7 593.9 475.2 620.0 628.5 188.6 437.4 337.4 591.8 448.3 659.7 687.5 166.9 398.2 327.7 493.8 463.3 673.4 691.2 189.5 412.8 318.3 556.9 461.2 656.0 671.3 188.1 413.8 319.4 557.6 459.5 627.3 637.9 187.0 417.5 320.7 565.9 459.3 612.8 620.4 187.7 420.1 319 3 576.5 468.2 623.4 631.8 189.7 428.5 324.2 591.0 475.6 622.4 630 7 189.5 437.4 337.9 588.8 Other utilities and public services ................................................... Telephone services................................................................. Local charges (12/77 - 100)............................................ Interstate toll calls (12/77 - 100) ..................................... Intrastate toll calls (12/77 - 100) ..................................... Water and sewerage maintenance.............................................. 200.4 163.2 131.2 119.6 109.8 324.9 210.1 171.4 140,6 121,0 114.0 341.6 210.9 171.7 139.9 121.8 115.9 343.9 211.4 172.1 140.3 121.8 116.3 345.6 211.7 171.9 139.9 121.8 116.6 347.5 212 5 172.8 140.9 121.8 117.1 348.2 213 2 173.4 141.8 121.8 117.4 348.9 201.1 163.5 131.6 120.1 109.4 328 0 210.9 171.7 1.40.8 121.5 113.9 344.8 211.6 172.1 140.2 122.2 115.8 347.2 212.2 172.5 140.6 122.2 116.2 349.0 212.5 172.4 140.3 122.3 116.6 350.8 213 4 173.2 141.3 122.3 117.1 351 8 214.1 173.9 142.2 122.2 117.4 352 6 H o u s e h o ld fu rn is h in g s and o p eratio n s 233 7 235 8 236 7 237.6 239.9 238 4 238 6 230.4 232 6 233.4 234.6 236.0 235.4 235.5 Housefurnishings ........................................................................ Textile housefurnishings.......................................................... Household linens (12/77 = 100)....................................... Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 - 100) .............................................. Furniture and bedding................................................................... Bedroom furniture (12/77 - 100) ..................................... Sofas (12/77 - 100) ..................................................... Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100)....................... Other furniture (12/77 - 100) .......................................... Appliances including TV and sound equipment ............................ Television and sound equipment ....................................... Televsion ............................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 - 100) ................................ Household appliances ...................................................... Refrigerators and home freezers................................... Laundry equipment................................................... Other household appliances (12/77 = 100) .................. Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100)..................................... Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100)....................... Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)................................ Floor and window coverings, infants', laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100)................ Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100)..................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 - 100)............................................ Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 - 100) .............................................. 194.7 220.2 134.6 194.9 221.9 131.5 195.9 228.2 139.0 197,1 230.3 136.7 198.7 229.4 134.2 197.6 228.7 136.2 197.8 226.8 135 4 192.6 223.3 135.9 193.0 224.5 132.6 193.8 232.2 140.7 195.3 234.8 137.9 196.7 233.6 135.3 195.8 232.7 137.3 195.9 230.5 136.4 140.1 214.4 143.0 117.5 123.2 142.3 151.4 108.6 104.4 113.5 183.8 187.7 136.7 123.9 145.6 213.9 146.1 117.3 124.6 139.4 151.9 107.0 102.3 112.2 187.6 193.2 141.5 124.7 145.7 213 8 146.6 116.5 121.0 139.8 151.5 107.1 101.9 112.8 186.3 192 2 141.8 123.6 150.9 215.8 148.9 118.3 122.0 139.7 151.9 106.9 101.2 113.1 187.7 193.3 142.5 124 6 152.4 221.6 152.9 118.9 126 2 144.6 152.3 107.1 100.9 113.6 188.5 193.3 142.7 125.4 149.4 220.0 151.9 118.1 123.9 144.5 151.2 106.1 100.2 112.3 187.8 194.1 143.5 124.3 147.7 220.0 152.3 118.0 124.2 143.8 151.4 105.9 100.8 111.6 188.4 194.0 144.6 124.7 143.0 210.9 139.7 118.2 123.3 137.7 151.2 107.7 103.1 112.7 184.2 193.2 136.9 122.3 148.6 210.4 142.6 117.9 122.0 134.6 151.8 106.1 101.1 111.3 187.9 199.2 142.1 122.8 149.5 210.2 142.7 117.1 121.5 135.1 151.3 106.1 100.5 111.8 186.7 198.1 142.3 121.5 156 2 213.2 146.0 118.9 122.6 136.0 151.7 105.9 99.9 111.9 188.0 198 9 142.9 122.7 157.8 218.1 149.4 119.1 126.6 140.2 152.4 106.2 99.7 112.6 188.9 199.2 143.6 123.5 154.1 216.7 148.8 118.6 124,5 139.8 151.7 105.1 99.0 111.3 188.9 200.3 144.6 122.6 152.1 216.5 148.9 118.3 124.9 139.0 151.9 105.0 99.6 110.5 189.5 200.2 145.2 123.2 123.1 123 7 122.3 124.2 125.0 123.2 123.9 121.6 121.9 120.2 122.4 123.3 121.7 122.8 124 8 139.0 125.8 139.1 125.1 140.2 125.2 140.7 126.1 140.4 125.5 139.9 125.7 141.2 123.0 136 9 123.8 137.0 122.9 137.9 122.9 138.6 123.8 138.4 123.6 138.0 123.7 139.0 142.3 132.2 141.2 130.8 143.3 132.4 143.0 133.9 143.2 133.3 143.2 132 5 142.2 133.0 134 9 128.2 133.2 126.1 134.9 127.3 135.0 129.2 135.3 128.3 135.5 128.3 134.3 128.8 145.6 145.9 145.7 146.4 145.5 145.1 149.2 141.4 141.9 141.8 142.6 142.0 141.6 145.0 131.9 134.1 135.4 135.5 135.9 135.1 135.0 137.1 139.3 140.6 140.9 141.4 140.2 139.9 Housekeeping supplies ................................................................. Soaps and detergents ............................................................ Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) ..................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) ......... Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100) ....................... Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 - 100)................................... 286 5 280 8 143.8 146.5 132.5 150.2 144.0 294.0 288 9 149.0 150.2 138.1 153.5 144.3 294.8 290.1 149.1 150.4 138.6 154.3 144.4 295.4 292.3 149.5 149.3 139.3 154.4 145.0 296 9 294.5 150.6 148.8 139.6 154.5 147.2 296.6 294.5 150.3 148.0 139.8 154.4 147.3 296.3 294.9 151.5 147.3 139.9 154.Q 145.8 283.1 277.0 142.7 146.1 136.0 144.9 136.7 290.7 285.0 147.7 150.3 141.1 148.3 137.0 291 6 286.1 147.9 150.5 141.7 149.1 137,4 292.2 288.1 148.3 149.1 142.3 149.2 138.5 293 9 290.4 149.5 148.9 142.7 149.2 141.4 293.6 290.6 149.2 148.0 142.9 149.1 141.4 293.2 290.9 150.4 147.4 142.8 148.7 139.4 Housekeeping services ................................................................. Postage............................................................................... Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100)....................................... Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100).............................. 311.7 337.5 315.4 337.5 315.9 337.5 316.4 337.5 317.1 337.5 318.0 337.5 318.5 337.5 310.9 337.5 315.0 337 5 315.6 337.5 316.1 337.5 316.5 337.5 317.5 337.5 318.0 337.5 154.2 137.0 159.3 140.4 159.8 141.2 160 6 141.5 160.8 141.7 161.7 142.9 162.3 143.3 154.5 135.5 159.5 138.7 160.0 139 5 160.7 139.8 160 8 140.0 161.7 141.2 162.3 141.6 APP AREL A N D UPKEEP 190.8 191.0 192.0 194.5 195.5 196.1 195 6 189.6 190.0 191.0 194.0 194.8 195.3 194.7 A p p a re l c o m m o d itie s 180.0 179.2 180.2 182 8 183.7 184.2 183.6 179.4 178.7 179.7 182.9 183.5 183 9 183.2 175.0 184.9 116.8 106.5 98.8 142.2 124.5 111.0 118.9 108.9 132.0 121.5 153 9 101.8 158.1 152.9 176.0 184.4 116.2 106.7 98.1 142.6 122.0 110.5 119.3 108.1 132.5 122.9 155.7 103 2 160.9 154.9 178.9 179.4 186.7 187.8 117.1 117.9 109.1 C110.3 100.0 100.0 141.4 142.8 121.7 122.0 111.5 112.0 123.2 123.5 115.5 115.2 134.0 134.9 124 9 125.5 160.0 160.6 106 2 106.5 170.1 168.1 158.5 161.5 180.2 189.5 119.2 110.9 101.1 144.5 124.6 113.2 123.3 115.4 136.1 124.4 160.1 106.1 164.7 162.7 179.7 189.1 118.8 111.2 100.7 144.3 122 6 113.0 123.7 116.3 135 8 124.7 159.7 106.1 164.7 164.3 174.7 183.2 115.8 100.6 101.1 134.7 123.8 115.2 116.9 111.5 128.0 117.1 158 4 105.4 162.9 145.4 174.3 185.2 117.4 99.9 100.5 138.7 127.5 116.5 117.2 110.4 128.0 118.6 155.4 102.9 161.4 139.8 175.3 184.8 116.9 100.2 99.9 139.1 125.0 116.1 117.7 109.3 128.4 120.2 157.2 104.4 165.5 140.6 178.9 187.0 117.6 102.1 102.2 137.6 124.4 117.4 121.4 116.4 129.6 122.3 162.8 108.4 178.4 144.4 179.4 179.8 187.9 189 7 118.3 119.9 103.5 103.9 102.4 104.3 138 6 140.4 125.0 C127.6 117.7 119.1 121.5 121.4 115.7 116.1 130.4 131.6 122.6 121.7 163.1 162.4 108.3 107.6 177.1 172.7 145.7 146.7 179.2 189.0 119.2 103.9 103.3 140.3 125.8 118.6 121.6 116.6 131.2 121.9 161.5 107.4 171.8 148.8 F ue l and o th e r u tilitie s Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas................................................... Other fuels (6/78 - 100) ................................................. Gas (piped) and electricity........................................................ Utility (piped) gas .......................................................... H O U S IN G F ue l and o th e r u tilitie s Apparel commodities less footwear............................................ Men's and boys'................................................................... Men's (12/77 - 100) ...................................................... Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100)................ Coats and jackets...................................................... Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100).............. Shirts (12/77 = 100)................................................. Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) .............. Boys' (12/77 - 100) ...................................................... Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100)......... Furnishings (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) . . Women's and girls' ............................................................... Women's (12/77 - 100) ................................................. Coats and jackets..................................................... Dresses ................................................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 175.6 183.1 115.4 107.3 99.5 138.0 121.5 109.7 118.5 110.7 131.9 119.4 157.3 104.4 156.4 160.1 67 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. C o n tin u ed — C onsum er Price In dex— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] A ll U rban C onsu m ers G e n e ra l su m m a ry 1982 U rb an W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rk e rs 1983 1982 1983 June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. May June June Jan . F eb. M a r. Apr. M ay June A P P A R E L A N D UPK EEP— C ontinued A p p a re l C o m m o d itie s — C ontinued Apparel commodities less footwear—Continued Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ..................... Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100) ......... Suits (12/77 = 100)................................................. Girls’ (12/77 = 100)........................................................ Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100)........... Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ..................... Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100)..................................... Infants’ and toddlers' ............................................................. Other apparel commodities ...................................................... Sewing materials and notions (12/77 = 100) ....................... Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) ................................... 100.2 127.9 78.6 105.8 95.1 106.0 93.7 128.8 76.9 105.1 95.8 102.1 94.6 130.0 79.7 105.1 96.5 101.5 98.5 131.0 83.7 107.6 98.4 105.6 100.1 131.1 80.5 108.2 97.1 107.5 98.1 133.0 77.8 108.4 96.3 108.1 97.7 132.8 77.2 106.2 96.3 103.5 101.0 127.6 92.7 105.2 92.4 107.7 94.4 128.4 91.8 105.0 95.2 102.9 95.3 129.7 95.6 104.9 95.8 102.0 99.2 130.7 104.7 108.0 97.6 107.5 101.0 130.8 99.4 109.2 98.5 109.1 98.9 132.7 95.9 109.4 97.3 110.3 98.4 132.4 93.9 107.4 96.5 106.1 122.9 268.7 209.9 119.2 142.8 125.7 277.1 211.5 120.4 143.7 125.8 278.8 213.4 120.5 145.4 126.4 280.1 213.4 120.4 145.4 127.8 280.4 214.4 121.8 145.8 128.6 280.7 215.0 122.9 145.9 128.6 283.0 214.0 122.4 145.1 121.9 278.2 198.9 117.6 133.6 124.9 287.5 200.1 118.5 134.4 124.9 289.5 201.7 118.5 135.9 125.6 291.1 201.9 118.4 136.1 126.9 291.0 202.5 119.4 136.2 127.4 290.9 203.3 120.6 136.5 127.5 293.4 203.0 120.5 136.2 Footwear.................................................................................... Men’s (12/77 = 100)............................................................. Boys' and girls' (12/77 = 100)................................................. Women’s (12/77 = 100)........................................................ 206.6 132.1 132.1 125.8 204.8 131.4 130.4 124.5 205.6 132.2 131.2 124.6 206.6 133.2 131.1 125.5 207.5 133.9 130.7 126.5 208.0 133.7 131.7 126.9 206.8 133.7 130.7 125.6 206.7 134.1 134.8 121.6 204.6 133.0 132.9 120.4 205.2 133.9 133.4 120.4 206.1 134.8 133.2 121.1 207.2 135.6 133.4 122.0 207.7 135.4 134.3 122.5 206.6 135.5 133.1 121.3 A p p a re l s e rv ic e s ........................................................................................................................... 275.3 283.9 285.4 286.7 288.7 290.3 290.9 273.0 282.2 283.6 284.9 287.1 288.6 289.2 Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100) ......... Other apparel services (12/77 = 100)............................................... 164.8 143.1 169.6 148.3 170.3 149.1 170.8 150.4 171.7 152.0 172.8 152.5 173.5 152.4 163.3 144.6 168.1 149.4 168.8 150.3 169.3 151.4 170.3 153.1 171.3 153.7 171.9 153.7 TR A N S P O R T A T IO N ....................................................................................................................... 292.8 293.0 289.9 287.4 292.3 296.2 298.3 294.5 294.3 291.1 288.6 293.5 297.5 299.6 P r i v a t e .................................................................................................................................................... 288.9 288.4 285.2 282.7 287.5 291.7 293.8 291.6 290.9 287.6 285.0 289.9 294.1 296.3 New cars.................................................................................... Used cars .................................................................................. Gasoline .................................................................................... Automobile maintenance and repair ................................................. Body work (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Maintenance and servicing (12/77 = 100)................................... Power plant repair (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Other private transportation............................................................. Other private transportation commodities ................................... Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 = 100) ............ Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) ................... Tires...................................................................... Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100)..................... Other private transportation services.......................................... Automobile insurance ...................................................... Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) .......................... Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . State registration ...................................................... Drivers’ licenses (12/77 = 100)................................... Vehicle inspection (12/77 = 100)................................. Other vehicle-related fees (12/77 = 100)....................... 198.1 298.2 392.3 316.0 156.3 201.0 311.0 371.9 324.4 162.2 201.3 309.1 359.4 325.9 162.7 201.2 309.3 348.6 326.6 163.6 201.1 312.7 367.6 327.4 164.7 201.6 317.1 380.9 328.7 165.5 201.6 322.7 386.1 329.5 166.4 197.9 298.2 393.8 316.8 154.7 200.8 311.1 373.6 325.2 161.1 201.0 309.1 361.2 326.6 161.5 200.9 309.3 350.3 327.4 162.5 200.7 312.7 369.3 328.1 163.4 201.3 317.1 382.4 329.4 164.3 201.2 322.7 387.4 330.2 165.3 151.6 146.8 150.8 258.7 217.5 150.7 139.2 192.8 138.3 272.2 274.0 192.0 133.3 174.3 127.7 126.7 149.3 155.4 150.5 154.4 259.9 215.6 153.9 137.3 191.3 134.3 274.2 292.0 169.6 139.8 184.6 132.8 128.6 155.8 156.1 151.1 155.4 259.7 215.0 154.8 136.7 190.6 133.7 274.1 295.6 165.0 140.1 184.9 133.5 128.6 156.2 156.3 150.9 156.2 259.2 213.3 154.8 135.5 188.1 133.9 273.9 297.0 161.9 141.1 186.6 133.9 129.2 157.0 157.3 151.0 156.2 258.4 212.2 156.1 134.5 186.4 133.4 273.1 299.0 157.3 141.4 186.6 133.9 131.1 157.6 157.7 151.7 156.8 258.7 210.9 155.1 133.6 185.1 132.7 273.9 301.2 154.5 143.8 192.3 133.9 131.2 158.5 157.7 152.2 157.0 258.1 210.4 156.0 133.2 184.3 132.7 273.3 301.1 152.2 144.7 192.3 150.3 131.2 159.0 155.7 146.2 150.3 261.8 220.0 149.0 141.2 196.4 138.6 275.5 273.5 191.2 133.8 173.9 127.9 128.3 156.3 159.4 149.9 153.9 261.5 218.0 153.0 139.1 194.9 134.3 275.6 291.3 168.7 140.5 184.0 133.1 129.9 163.9 160.1 150.5 154.8 261.1 217.4 153.8 138.5 194.1 133.6 275.2 294.9 164.0 140.8 184.3 133.7 129.9 164.1 160.3 150.3 155.6 260.5 215.8 153.8 137.4 191.7 133.8 274.8 296.3 161.0 141.9 186.3 134.1 130.5 165.1 161.2 150.4 155.7 259.3 214.7 155.0 136.4 190.1 133.4 273.7 298.2 156.6 142.2 186.3 134.1 132.4 165.4 161.6 151.0 156.3 259.6 213.3 153.9 135.4 188.8 132.4 274.4 300.5 153.8 144.9 192.1 134.1 132.5 166.5 345.6 357.7 355.2 354.5 361.1 359.1 361.2 337.9 349.8 347.7 347.3 353.3 351.2 352.7 396.0 363.7. 309.2 298.0 338.2 412.3 381.8 318.5 300.9 351.8 405.5 383.8 319.4 301.2 351.8 402.9 389.4 320.1 300.8 351.9 417.2 394.6 320.2 302.0 352.0 411.2 401.7 321.7 302.1 352.3 415.4 403.9 321.7 301.0 353.2 392.4 365.4 307.9 307.6 338.2 409.8 383.3 317.4 310.5 352.3 401.5 385.4 318.3 310.8 352.2 398.9 392.0 319.0 310.4 352.3 415.9 396.9 319.1 311.4 352.5 407.4 403.0 320.1 311.6 352.7 410.9 405.2 320.6 311.0 353.6 P u b lic ................................................................................................................................................... Airline fare.................................................................................. Intercity bus fare ......................................................................... Intracity mass transit .................................................................... Taxi fare .................................................................................... Intercity train fare........................................................................ 161.7 1 5 1 .5 156.4 258.9 212.9 154.8 135.0 187.9 132.5 273.6 300.5 151.4 146.0 192.1 150.6 132.5 167.0 ............................................................................................................................... 326.4 347.8 351.3 352.3 353.5 354.3 355.4 324.8 345.3 348.9 350.0 351.2 352.1 353.3 M e d ic a l c a re c o m m o d it ie s ....................................................................................................... 205.6 215.3 216.7 218.6 221.2 222.5 223.2 206.3 215.9 217.2 219.0 221.6 222.8 223.6 Prescription drugs........................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100)............................................ Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 100) ................................. Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 = 100)................................... Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription medical supplies (12/77 = 100)............................ Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100).......................... Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 = 100).......................................... 191.8 143.3 154.9 138.4 204.1 151.4 166.6 145.9 205.9 153.3 168.2 147.2 208.7 153.8 171.4 151.2 211.6 155.2 174.7 153.4 212.9 155.8 176.3 153.5 213.7 156.6 177.0 153.3 192.7 145.1 154.7 138.2 205.3 153.5 166.4 145.8 207.1 155.5 167.9 147.2 209.9 155.8 171.2 151.0 212.8 157.2 174.5 153.2 214.1 157.8 176.1 153.4 214.8 158.8 176.7 153.2 177.2 154.9 186.6 167.7 189.0 168.6 192.4 170.0 196.1 171.7 197.8 172.3 198.1 173.3 178.6 156.0 188.0 169.5 190.8 170.3 194.2 171.7 198.1 173.4 199.7 174.1 199.9 175.1 146.3 155.8 156.4 157.8 159.4 160.7 161.8 146.4 156.2 156.7 158.1 159.7 161.0 162.0 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 = 100)................... Eyeglasses (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs............................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100) . . . 146.3 131.6 235.2 141.1 151.0 133.9 244.3 145.3 151.6 134.6 245.1 146.1 152 3 134.9 245.5 148.0 153.8 135.1 248.7 149.4 154.7 134.8 250.9 150.0 155.2 135.0 251.9 150.4 147.1 130.4 236.8 142.0 151.8 132.6 245.7 146.3 152.4 133.4 246.4 147.4 153.1 133.7 246.8 149.4 154.6 133.9 250.2 150.6 155.4 133.8 252.1 151.3 156.0 133.9 253.3 151.4 M e d ic a l c a re s e rv ic e s ................................................................................................................ 353.0 377.4 381.5 382.2 382.8 383.5 384.6 350.7 374.0 378.2 379.0 379.7 380.5 381.7 Professional services .................................................................... Physicians’ services............................................................... 301.2 326.4 312.5 341.3 315.4 344.8 316.7 346.4 318.0 348.2 319.7 349.4 322.0 351.7 301.3 329.4 312.7 344.6 315.7 348.2 316.9 349.8 318.4 351.8 320.0 353.9 322.2 355.3 M E D IC A L CARE 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20. C o n tin u ed — C onsum er Price In dex— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] U rb an W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rke rs All U rban C onsu m ers G en eral s u m m ary 1983 1982 1983 1982 F eb. M a r. A pr. May June 289.3 145.7 291. 147.2 292.3 148.3 293.4 148.5 296.1 148.5 298.9 148.7 412.1 170.0 539.4 167.5 451.3 183.4 587.1 179.4 457.0 187.0 596.7 183.3 457.1 187.8 598.8 184.3 456.9 188.4 600.7 184.9 456.4 189.0 601.8 185.6 456.4 189.6 602.2 186.8 245.4 232.3 237.7 239.5 240.8 241.1 241.3 241.9 246.3 233.8 236.7 238.8 240.8 240.5 240.7 240.7 157.8 300.4 164.8 159.1 301.7 167.0 158.0 302.0 164.2 June Jan. Feb. M a r. Apr. M ay June June Professional services—Continued Dental services..................................................... ................ Other professional services (12/77 = 100) ................................ 283.9 171.6 291.6 149.1 294.0 150.5 294.6 151.6 295.7 151.9 298.6 151.8 301.2 152.3 282.1 140.7 Other medical care services............................................................ Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100) .......... .......................... Hospital room ...................................................................... Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 100)................ 415.7 171.6 546.8 168.5 455.9 185.1 594.6 180.6 461.3 188.6 604.1 184.5 461.4 189.5 606.2 185.6 461.1 190.2 608.0 186.3 460.5 190.8 609.6 187.0 460.4 191.5 609.6 188.3 E N T E R T A IN M E N T ........................................................................................................................... 235 6 241.5 243.1 244.6 244.6 244.8 E n te rta in m e n t c o m m o d itie s 239.6 242.6 244.5 246.8 246.0 246.3 M E D IC A L CARE— Continued M e d ic a l c a re s e rv ic e — Continued 159.7 301.6 166.8 158.5 302.0 164.2 148.6 283.4 154.8 155.5 295.6 162.6 155.5 296.4 162.1 158.7 299.8 167.3 133.2 125.3 123.9 117.1 198.8 128.3 124.4 120.5 196.6 132.2 134.0 136.7 119.9 199.2 132.2 117.0 198.4 130.9 127.0 126.0 117.9 197.7 131.9 127.2 126.4 118.4 198.0 131.5 127.5 126.7 118.9 197.4 132.0 127.3 126.5 118.0 197.9 132.3 127.7 126.8 117.6 138.5 137.3 131.6 145.8 138.4 137.4 131.7 145.1 138.6 137.4 131.4 145.9 134.9 132.4 131.5 141.5 135.6 131.9 131.0 145.1 136.7 133.0 132.3 145.9 137.3 133.7 132.8 146.5 137.2 133.4 132.6 146.9 137.1 133.5 132.6 146.1 137.3 133.6 132.4 146.9 241.9 243.1 243.2 244.7 230.9 240.8 241.8 242.1 243.3 243.5 245.1 150.9 140.1 131.0 151.3 141.7 131.6 150.8 142.4 131.9 151.3 144.7 131.8 143.8 132.6 128.7 151.2 138.8 130.6 151.7 139.8 131.2 152.2 139.1 131.8 152.4 140.7 132.4 152.1 143.7 132.6 152.5 143.7 132.6 281.9 283.2 283.6 284.5 253.1 277.8 279.6 280.0 281.4 281.8 282.8 282.8 283.3 284.9 285.3 285.9 237.0 279.9 282.2 282.7 284.3 284.8 285.4 290.0 147.8 290.4 148.6 292.0 149.6 292.4 149.6 293.1 149.9 239.9 142.0 286.5 145.8 288.8 147.7 289.3 148.5 290.9 149.5 291.5 149.6 292.0 149.8 256.1 257.8 257.8 259.1 259.4 260.9 246.0 253.9 255.5 255.8 257.1 257.3 259.0 246.3 143.2 150.5 253.9 147.1 157.6 256.0 148.1 159.3 257.1 148.5 160.4 258.5 150.9 160.5 258.6 150.8 161.2 261.4 151.7 162.5 247.0 142.6 148.9 254.8 146.5 155.9 256.8 147.4 157.8 257.8 147.8 158.9 259.3 150.3 158.9 259.3 262.1 150.0 .150.9 159.6 160.8 139.6 140.8 144.0 143.6 145.6 144.1 146.0 144.9 145.6 146.0 145.1 146.7 148.5 147.1 140.1 144.4 144.8 147.3 146.4 147.7 146.7 148.5 146.3 149.8 145.7 150.3 149.2 150.7 Personal care services ................................................................. Beauty parlor services for women ............................................ Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) . . . 250.1 252.3 139.4 259.0 263.3 142.0 260.4 264.4 143.1 259.5 262.4 143.7 260.7 264.2 143.8 261.1 264.5 144.1 261.6 265.0 144.4 245.4 245.9 138.2 253.4 255.8 140.8 254.7 256.8 141.9 254.3 255.5 142.6 255.4 257.2 142.7 255.7 257.4 143.0 256.3 258.0 143.2 P e rs o n a l and e d u c a tio n a l e xp en ses 293.3 322.1 323.3 323.9 324.9 325.6 326.0 295.2 323.6 325.0 325.7 326.8 327.7 328.1 292.9 333.5 167.7 167.4 168.9 185.1 293.6 333.8 167.6 167.3 168.9 186.1 268.8 302.0 152.1 151.4 152.9 164.6 292.4 331.5 167.7 167.0 169.7 177.9 296.0 332.5 167.9 167.1 169.8 179.5 296.3 333.2 167.9 167.1 169.8 181.1 296.5 334.5 168.2 167.5 169.8 183.1 296.8 335.5 168.2 167.5 169.9 185.3 297.6 335.8 168.2 167.4 169.9 186.2 376.2 381.2 337.2 358.2 341.5 358.6 388.6 436.0 315.6 351.8 369.4 411.1 328.1 357.9 357.3 411.6 328.5 356.5 346.7 411.8 330.4 357.9 _____ 365.0 411.6 332.6 359.5 377.6 410.0 336.5 360.3 385.4 411.4 343.1 361.7 149.4 283.9 155.0 156.1 295.7 162.6 156.1 296.5 162.2 159.3 299.6 167.1 158.4 300.2 164.8 Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100)..................... 132.7 135.7 119.6 197.6 127.9 131.5 132.9 120.3 197.3 131.4 133.4 136.1 120.5 196.7 132.1 134.2 137.3 120.8 197.8 131.6 133.6 136.3 121.3 196.1 132.0 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100) ....................... Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100)..................... Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100) ................................ Pet supplies and expenses (12/77 = 100)................................... 136.1 135.9 130.3 140.6 136.8 135.5 129.9 144.2 138.0 136.9 131.2 144.9 138.6 137.6 131.6 145.6 E n te rta in m e n t s e rv ic e s 230.5 240.5 241.6 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100).......................................... Admissions (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100) ..................................... 142.5 133.5 127.9 150.0 139.9 129.8 150.6 140.9 130.3 O THER G O OD S AN D SER VIC ES 255.8 279.9 281.6 T o b a c c o p r o d u c t s ........................................................................................................................... 237.8 280.3 Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100)........... 240.7 141.8 287.6 145.8 P e rs o n a l c a r e ................................................................................................................................... 247.8 Toilet goods and personal care appliances.......................................... Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 = 100) ........... Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 100) .............................. Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100)............................ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) . . . Reading materials (12/77 = 100) ................................................... Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100)......................... Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100)................................... Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) ................................................. Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100).............. Schoolbooks and supplies ............................................................ Personal and educational services................................................... Tuition and other school fees................................................... College tuition (12/77 = 100)............................................ Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) ................ Personal expenses (12/77 = 100)............................................ 264.6 300.3 151.5 151.2 152.2 164.5 288.4 330.2 167.3 166.9 168.7 178.8 292.0 331.0 167.4 167.0 168.8 179.6 292.3 331.5 167.4 167.0 168.8 181.2 292.5 332.7 167.6 167.4 168.8 183.1 387.3 367.9 355.8 345.2 363.4 1 3 b ./ 122.0 200.2 132.2 S p e c ia l indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products................................ Insurance and finance.................................................................... Utilities and public transportation..................................................... Housekeeping and home maintenance services................................... Excludes motor oil, coolant, and other products as of January 1983. 2See box with “ Price Data.” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 316.6 351.2 329.1 355.3 329.4 355.1 331.1 356.0 333.4 357.3 c - corrected. 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 21. C onsum er Price Index fo r All Urban C onsum ers: C ross classification of region and popu lation size class by expenditure category and com m o dity and service group [December 1977 = 100] S ize c lass A S ize c lass B S ize class C S ize c lass D ( 1 .2 5 m illio n or m o re ) ( 3 8 5 ,0 0 0 - 1 .2 5 0 m illio n ) ( 7 5 ,0 0 0 - 3 8 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 7 5 ,0 0 0 o r le s s ) C ategory and group 198 3 Feb. Apr. 1983 June Feh. A pr. 1983 | June F eh. 1983 Apr. June Feb. A pr. June N o rth east EXP E N D ITU R E CATEGO RY All items ....................................................................................................... Food and beverages ................................................................................. Housing.................................................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ................................................................................. Transportation ........................................................................................ Medical care ........................................................................................... Entertainment........................................................................................... Other goods and services .......................................................................... 151.8 146.0 156.7 120.3 159.1 158.1 141.6 154.4 153.1 147.0 158.0 122.6 160.1 159.6 143.1 156.2 153.9 147.4 158.9 122.6 161.7 160.9 144.1 156.7 158.2 144.2 168.8 121.9 164.8 161.6 139.1 157.3 159.0 146.2 169.1 122.4 165.4 163.0 139.1 158.6 160.8 146.8 170.7 124.4 169.2 163.5 138.8 159.8 162.9 149.8 176.2 126.6 164.2 165.5 140.0 160.4 163.5 151.1 176.4 128.5 164.3 166.0 139.8 162.3 164.2 150.6 176.7 128.9 166.6 166.7 142.1 163.1 156.1 144.0 163.1 124.3 162.5 164.1 147.2 159.4 158.2 145.8 165.1 130.2 164.3 165.8 146.5 162.1 158.5 146.3 163.9 129.5 166.7 168.5 148.1 162.2 147.6 148.4 157.1 148.4 149.0 159.0 149.1 150.0 160.0 153.1 157.1 166.1 153 0 155.7 168.2 154.8 158.3 169.8 153.3 154.5 178.3 153.6 154.3 179.4 154.3 155.8 180.1 150.2 152 7 165.1 151.3 153.4 168.5 152.3 154.8 167.9 C O M M O D IT Y AN D SER VIC E G R O UP Commodities.................................................................................................. Commodities less tood and beverages .......................................................... Services......................................................................................................... North C en tral R eg io n E X P EN D ITU R E CATEGO RY All items ....................................................................................................... Food and beverages ................................................................................. Housing.................................................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ................................................................................. Transportation ......................................................................................... Medical care ........................................................................................... Entertainment........................................................................................... Other goods and services .......................................................................... 162.4 144.7 180.2 115.4 160.7 164.2 141.3 155.4 163.6 145.4 181.9 117.9 161.7 165.3 141.9 156.2 165.2 145.0 185.3 116.8 164.2 166.1 141.9 156.7 159.6 143.4 170.2 124.4 162.1 167.7 135.9 167.5 161.1 144.1 171.7 128.8 164.0 168.3 136.7 167.4 162.0 143.8 172.2 129.2 167.1 168.5 136.9 168.5 155.8 143.8 163.2 124.1 162.0 164.7 144.3 152.9 157.3 145.6 164.1 128.4 163.9 165.8 145.9 152.6 158.3 145.0 165.2 127.0 167.1 166.3 147.3 153.8 156.6 149.1 162.2 122.0 160.6 171.0 135.2 163.3 158.1 150.9 163.8 123.5 161.2 172.2 136.5 165.2 159.3 151.7 163.9 122.2 165.7 173.1 137.1 166.3 151.2 153.9 178.8 152.7 155.9 179.9 153.5 157.5 182.4 149.7 152.0 175.3 151.7 154.6 176.1 152.8 156.8 176.8 147.2 148.4 169.6 149.1 150.3 170.7 150.0 152.2 171.7 147.2 146.2 171.5 148.5 147.3 173.0 149.9 149.0 174.1 C O M M O D IT Y A N D SER VIC E G R O UP Commodites.................................................................................................. Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services.......................................... .......................................................... South EXP E N D ITU R E CATEGORY All items ....................................................................................................... Food and beverages ................................................................................. Housing.................................................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ................................................................................. Transportaton ........................................................................................ Med cal care ........................................................................................... Entertainment........................................................................................... Other goods and services .......................................................................... 158.0 148.7 164.9 127.6 162.1 167.1 137.5 157.5 159.1 150.5 163.5 128.7 163.8 168.7 138.6 158.4 161.2 150.9 168.5 129.8 166.8 169.0 139.4 159.3 159.5 147.3 166.1 124.0 165.0 167.2 151.0 163.2 160.9 149.2 166.9 126.2 167.1 167.9 169.0 154.5 161.7 148.9 167.9 124.6 170.3 167.5 153.0 162.9 159.0 146.1 167.3 120.1 163.8 176.8 145.9 157.8 160.2 147.4 167.8 123.1 165.9 177.5 146.5 153.5 161.2 159.5 147.3 147.7 168.7 169.9 123.0 108.3 168.5 161.3 178 5 182.5 146.1 .145.4 160.0 160.3 160.8 149.9 169.9 112.5 162.9 183.0 145.6 160.4 162.0 150.7 170 3 113.9 166.0 184.4 145.5 161.0 150.9 151.5 167.9 152.3 152.7 168.6 153.7 154.8 171.5 151.7 153.2 171.1 153.8 155.5 171.6 154.5 156.8 172.6 149.2 150.2 173.9 151.0 152.4 174.4 152.0 154.1 175.3 149 2 149.6 174.9 151.1 151.4 175.3 153.0 153.8 175.7 C O M M O D IT Y AN D SER VIC E G R O UP Commodities.................................................................................................. Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services......................................................................................................... W est EXP E N D ITU R E CATEGORY All items ....................................................................................................... Food and beverages ................................................................................. Housing.................................................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ................................................................................. Transportation ........................................................................................ Med cal care ........................................................................................... Enterta nment........................................................................................... Other goods and services .......................................................................... 157.8 149.3 163.2 120.1 162.8 174,4 139.2 162.9 159.2 151.8 164.0 121.0 165.1 175.3 139.7 163.5 161.4 151.2 166.2 121.8 171.3 176.7 139.6 155.5 158.3 150.6 162.2 125.1 165.3 170.5 144.7 161.7 159.5 152.8 163.5 121.7 165.8 171.5 145.6 162.8 161.8 153.7 165.1 128.4 171.6 172.6 145.9 163 4 151.0 146.0 150.1 122.4 161.0 174.2 143.3 155.9 152.2 148.6 151.8 122.7 162.4 174.8 139.6 158.1 153.5 148.6 151.2 123.3 167.7 176.4 144.8 158.0 157.9 150.6 159.3 139.7 162.0 173.3 155.2 168.8 157.0 153.1 154.4 139.8 161.1 175.0 157.0 169.3 160.0 154.4 159.1 142.9 165.6 177.5 157.3 169.2 148.0 147.0 170.7 149.9 148.6 171.6 152.4 153.1 173.5 150.5 150.1 169.0 151.7 150.7 170.2 154.6 154.9 171.8 148.5 148.6 154.0 149 8 149.6 155.3 152.1 153.3 155.3 148.0 146.8 172.5 149.0 147.0 168.8 151.2 149.6 173.0 C O M M O D IT Y A N D SER VIC E G R O UP Commodites.................................................................................................. Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services......................................................................................................... 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22. C o n su m er P rice In dex— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All U rban C onsu m ers A rea1 1982 June U.S. city average2 ........................................................ Anchorage, Alaska (10/67 = 100) ................................... Atlanta. Ga.................................................................... Baltimore. Md................................................................ Boston, Mass................................................................ Buffalo, N Y................................................................... Chicago, III.-Northwestern Ind........................................... Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind................................................... Cleveland, Ohio............................................................ Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex....................................................... Denver-Boulder, Colo....................................................... Detroit, Mich................................................................. Honolulu, Hawaii.......................................................... Houston, Tex................................................................. Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas ............................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif............................. Miami, Fla. (11/77 = 100) ............................................ Milwaukee, Wis.............................................................. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis........................................ New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J....................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton)............................................... Jan. 290.6 291.1 265.8 293.1 257.6 291.4 286.2 294.0 306.0 297.8 304.8 M a r. Apr. 293.2 293.4 295.5 295.1 304.0 277.3 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J....................................................... Pittsburgh, Pa................................................................ Portland, Oreg.-Wash...................................................... St. Louis, Mo.-Ill............................................................ San Diego, Calif............................................................. 281.1 285.1 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif............................................. Seattle-Everett, Wash....................................................... Washington, D C Me. Va................................................ 304.6 285.6 157.9 305.0 282.6 278.9 282.1 286.6 291.1 324.9 297.5 289.0 261.0 292 4 285.9 280.3 293.7 319.9 304.5 292.6 297.6 295.3 305.8 283.2282.9 304.8 262.5 287.1 159.0 305.0 283.5 278.9 283.0 284.7 293.2 327.5 297.3 296 3 311.3 309.4 286.5 283.5 305.2 294.9 292.0 159.4 308.8 287.4 281.7 283 5 Jan . 300.9 292.6 264.1 299.6 292.7 325.5 314.1 297.0 300.5 289.7 283.9 M a r. Apr. 292.3 293.0 294.9 298.4 271.4 321.3 297.5 294.5 289.3 268 9 310.9 280.1 293.0 312.6 289.1 303.8 276.1 288.3 305.4 280.9 285.9 297.0 276.5 292.8 305.2 323.9 288.0 288.0 291.4 313.7 298.1 287.1 274.8 317.4 289.0 290.1 159.2 303.5 280.8 282.6 282.5 281.7 285.3 313.6 303.0 Feb. 250.6 293.1 284.3 288.5 295.4 332.0 299 3 297.8 289.0 302.3 334.7 294.9 272.8 316.7 295.9 289.5 1983 June 298.1 320.6 308.6 292 4 June 296.5 287.3 329.6 292.3 270.4 317.3 292.3 286.8 M ay 282.5 293.7 307.6 1The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1982 Feb. 327.5 292.4 269.0 313 9 281.6 289.3 U rb an W a g e E arn ers and C le ric a l W o rk e rs (re v is e d ) 198 3 303.4 291.4 292.9 309.0 279.6 283.3 296.6 253.9 295.0 284.3 291.4 307.6 326 8 289.8 289.6 159.7 311.0 280.3 280.6 285.5 278.4 293.6 315.4 301.7 296.7 285.1 294.8 309.5 331.9 295.0 276.9 317.6 293.5 292.2 312.4 282 2 286.8 300.7 302.0 ' 283.3 298.9 292.1 296 4 316.8 306.3 303.8 273.4 319.7 298.3 293.2 161.4 315.4 283.8 282.9 286.5 311.8 286.1 291.1 299.5 283.8 294.0 314.8 294.7 290.8 294.3 June 254.7 300.1 283.0 293.2 315.4 293.9 May 290.4 297.5 298 6 Area is used for New York and Chicago. Average of 85 cities. 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 23. P roducer P rice Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] 1982 Annu al C o m m o d ity grouping 1983 ave ra g e 1982 July A ug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. Finished goods............................................................. 280.6 281.7 282.3 281.2 284.1 284.9 285.5 283.9 284.1 Finished consumer goods ........................................ Finished consumer foods ..................................... Crude............................................................. Processed ...................................................... Nondurable goods less foods................................. Durable goods ................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy . . . Capital equipment.................................................... 281.0 259.3 252.7 257.7 333.6 226.7 223.8 279.4 282.1 260.6 241.0 260.2 335.3 226.7 223.7 280.2 282.8 259.7 239.2 259.4 337.2 227.5 224.3 280.7 281.9 259.9 228.2 260.6 338.3 223.0 225.5 278.8 284.3 257.7 232.4 257.9 340.0 231.0 227.8 283.2 285.3 257.4 236.1 257.2 342.5 231.2 228.4 283.8 285.6 258.3 247.6 257.1 342.2 232.0 229.2 284.9 283.5 258.4 232.9 258.5 336.6 231.7 228.3 285.2 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components................ 310.4 311.1 310.8 310.5 309.9 309.9 310.1 Materials and components for manufacturing................ 289.8 289.2 288.7 289.9 289.4 288.7 Materials for food manufacturing............................ Materials for nondurable manufacturing ................... Materials for durable manufacturing ....................... Components for manufacturing.............................. 255.1 284.4 310.1 273.9 259.7 283.1 308.0 273.9 258.0 282.6 306.5 274.3 257.3 281.7 310.5 275.8 254.2 280.4 309.8 276.7 251.0 279.2 309.3 276.9 Materials and components for construction................... 293.7 294.3 293.5 294.2 293.7 Processed fuels and lubricants................................... Manufacturing industries........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. 591.7 497.8 674.3 600.7 506.9 683.0 603.8 510.7 685.5 592.3 496.4 676.9 M a r .1 Apr. M ay June July 283.4 283.0 284.3 285.0 285.7 283.7 261.0 240.8 260.7 333.7 232.9 228.9 285.6 r282.7 r261.1 r247.9 r260.1 r332.0 r231.9 r229.4 r285.6 282.0 262.9 265.4 260.5 328.0 232.2 229.8 286.5 283.5 262.6 266.8 260.1 332.0 232.6 230.2 286.8 284.4 261.0 250.9 259.8 335.6 232.8 230.4 286.9 285.2 260.8 249.7 259.6 337.8 233.1 232.2 287.4 309.2 309.9 r309.5 309.1 310.1 311.7 313.0 288.3 288.6 291.1 r290.2 291.1 292.0 292.4 293.4 249.8 278.0 309.4 277.3 250.9 277.0 312.0 276.8 254.1 277.0 319.2 277.6 r252.8 r276.6 r315.7 r278.3 254.8 277.5 316.4 279.0 256.8 277.7 318.4 279.6 257.1 278.0 318.4 280.6 257.3 278.3 320.1 281.8 293.6 294.7 296.5 298.8 r299.6 300.1 300.5 301.5 302.9 590.0 496.6 672.1 593.0 500.4 674.2 595.0 502.2 676.4 577.9 485.2 659.4 565.4 475.5 644.6 r564.2 r480.6 r637.2 549.0 468.5 619.2 552.8 470.1 624.9 567.4 483.6 640.5 572.7 487.7 647.0 F IN IS H E D G O OD S IN T E R M E D IA T E M A TE R IA LS Containers............................................................. 285.6 286.3 285.4 285.3 285.1 284.9 285.0 285.0 285.3 r285.2 285.0 286.1 285.9 286.5 Supplies............................................................... Manufacturing industries........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. Feeds ............................................................. Other supplies................................................. 272.1 265.8 275.7 207.0 289.8 273.1 266.8 276.7 210.3 290.5 272.6 266.5 276.0 203.1 291.1 272.2 266.7 275.3 198.1 291.3 272.0 266.9 274.9 192.9 291.9 272.8 266.9 276.1 199.8 291.9 273.0 267.2 276.3 204.7 291.1 273.1 267.4 276.4 206.5 290.9 273.5 267.8 276.8 207.4 291.2 r273.9 r268.1 r277.1 r207.7 r291.6 275.6 268.8 279.4 219.1 292.1 275.9 269.2 279.6 218.0 292.5 275.9 270.2 279.1 213.6 292.8 276.4 270.4 279.8 216.1 293.1 319.5 323.4 319..8 316.1 312.0 313.2 312.7 313.9 320.2 r321.6 325.7 325.7 323.2 320.6 CR U D E M A TE R IA LS Crude materials for further processing .............................. Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.......................................... 247.8 255.5 249.6 242.9 236.3 236.3 237.1 239.6 249.3 r249.1 256.8 256.5 252.1 248.6 Nonfood materials.................................................... 473.9 469.8 471.0 473.7 474.8 478.6 475.3 473.6 473.0 r477.7 474.4 475.1 476.4 475.5 Nonfood materials except fuel................................. Manufacturing industries ................................... Construction................................................... 376.8 387.2 270.3 369.2 378.4 271.4 369.5 378.9 270.3 369.5 379.1 268.8 371.9 382.2 266.3 369.2 379.2 265.6 365.8 375.0 268.1 368.0 377.6 267.5 366.0 375.1 269.1 r366.8 r375.9 r269.3 366.5 376.0 267.2 368.5 378.1 267.6 369.9 379.6 268.1 370.5 379.6 272.9 Crude fuel........................................................... Manufacturing industries ................................... Nonmanufacturing industries.............................. 886.1 901.3 906.9 923.5 917.2 954.7 952.2 930.7 937.7 r961.8 943.2 936.8 937.7 929.1 1,034.8 1,053.9 1,061.1 1,083.6 1,075.3 1,125.5 1,121.4 1,093.8 1,103.9 r1,134.3 1,109.4 1,102.2 1,103.6 1,091.9 782.2 794.5 798.9 810.7 805.9 834.2 832.2 815.5 820.0 r839.2 825.5 819.7 820.1 814.1 SPE C IA L G R O U P IN G S Finished goods excluding foods........................................ Finished consumer goods excluding foods ................... Finished consumer goods less energy.......................... 285.8 287.8 244.1 286.7 288.8 244.5 287.9 290.2 244.7 286.3 288.9 243.9 290.8 293.3 246.5 292.0 294.8 246.7 292.5 295.0 247.6 290.3 291.4 247.1 289.6 290.3 248.7 r288.7 r288.9 r248.6 287.5 287.2 249.5 289.3 289.3 249.6 290.8 291.4 249.2 291.9 292.7 249.8 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds ....................... Intermediate materials less energy.............................. 315.7 290.4 316.1 290.4 316.0 289.7 315.9 290.5 315.5 290.1 315.5 289.8 315.7 290.0 314.6 290.5 315.2 292.4 r314.8 r292.1 314.0 293.1 315.0 293.9 316.8 294.3 318.1 295.3 Intermediate foods and feeds .......................................... 239.4 243.6 240.2 238.1 234.4 234.4 235.1 236.4 238.8 r238.0 243.2 244.2 242.9 243.8 Crude materials less agricultural products .......................... Crude materials less energy ..................................... 536.3 240.4 531.5 245.1 532.0 240.7 535.5 235.6 537.2 230.0 541.9 229.2 537.4 229.9 536.0 232.5 535.1 241.4 r539.7 r242.7 535.9 248.4 536.2 248.8 537.5 246.0 536.3 243.7 1Data for March 1983 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r = revised, 24. P roducer Price Indexes, by com m o dity groupings [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual Code C o m m o d ity group and subgroup ....................................................................................................... All c o m m o d itie s ( 1 9 5 7 -5 9 = 1 0 0 ) F a rm products and processed foods and feed s 1983 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. 299.3 317.6 300.4 318.7 300.2 318.5 299.3 317.6 299.8 318.1 300.3 318.6 300.7 319.0 299.9 318.2 248.9 312.3 252.4 312.8 249.6 313.2 247.4 312.7 243.8 314.3 243.9 315.0 244.8 315.2 1982 A ll c o m m o d itie s 198 2 a verag e ................................... In d u s tria l c o m m o d itie s M a r .1 A pr. May June July 300 9 r300.6 319.3 r318.9 300.8 319.1 301.7 320.1 302.5 321.0 303.2 321.7 245.8 313.9 250.4 r250.6 313.9 r313.5 254.7 312.6 254.7 313.8 352.4 315.4 251.6 316.6 FA R M PR O D U C TS AN D PRO CESSED FOODS AN D FEEDS 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 Farm products................................................................. Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables................................ Grains........................................................................ Livestock................................................................... Live poultry................................................................. Plant and animal fibers ................................................. Fluid m ilk................................................................... Eggs.......................................................................... Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds .......................................... Other farm products..................................................... 242.4 253.7 210.9 257.8 191.9 202.9 282.5 178.7 212.8 274.5 246.6 239.1 212.8 270.3 212.5 220.8 279.0 171.7 220.0 265.5 240.8 238.6 197.2 268.4 189.3 207.5 278.8 171.7 204.5 274.4 234.5 221.0 187.3 259.0 196.5 196.8 281.9 173.3 201.8 276.8 299.2 223.0 183.2 248.5 177.1 198.1 285.0 177.9 194.3 274.0 230.7 233.4 198.6 239.1 181.6 195.3 285.9 172.5 204.8 276.3 232.6 248.8 262.3 237.2 177.8 200.6 285.5 170.0 209.0 280.1 233.2 227.6 206.3 242.3 177.1 201.7 284.5 170.0 212.4 279.9 240.7 r241.5 227.8 r234.9 222.4 227.4 251.1 251.4 200.1 177.8 206.4 217.0 284.3 282.9 170.0 170.0 217.9 217.8 281.2 280.3 250.5 266.0 243.8 260.6 170.8 213.6 280.8 170.0 226.3 279.2 250.3 259.5 242.2 258.0 186.9 223.9 279.8 185.1 227.3 281.0 247.3 263.9 241.5 251.7 199.3 229.7 278.6 169.3 213.3 284.4 244.3 258.0 236.7 240.7 214.5 230.4 278.7 177.2 227.3 282.5 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds................................................. Cereal and bakery products............................................ Meats, poultry, and fish................................................. Dairy products ............................................................. Processed fruits and vegetables........................................ Sugar and confectionery................................................. Beverages and beverage materials ............<.................... Fats and oils ............................................................... Miscellaneous processed foods....................................... Prepared animal feeds................................................... 251.5 253.8 257.6 248.9 274.5 269.7 256.9 215.1 248.6 211.3 254.6 253.0 266.0 248.6 274.4 275.7 256.9 221.3 248.1 213.9 253.5 252.7 262.2 248.8 274.1 285.5 258.0 215.6 245.9 207.5 253.5 254.0 265.7 249.1 272.8 278.5 257.1 211.4 247.0 204.3 250.8 253.0 256.9 249.8 273.4 276.3 257.9 213.8 247.9 199.8 250.2 254.2 251.6 250.2 272.8 280.4 258.4 207.2 247.8 206.0 250.5 256.2 249.9 250.8 275.7 280.1 258.8 203.0 248.6 210.1 251.7 257.3 252.3 250.7 274.8 282.1 260.1 201.7 248.8 211.6 254.7 256.8 261.0 250.9 274.3 286.4 261.3 205.3 249.3 212.3 r254.5 r256.9 r260.7 250.7 r274.9 283.7 r262.0 r206.0 248.5 r212.4 256.0 259.1 259.3 251.0 273.8 286.7 263.0 213.4 249.9 222.3 256.1 259.8 257.7 250.9 275.0 289.5 263.3 219.4 249.9 221.2 254.2 260.0 250.3 250.4 276.8 296.0 262.8 219.4 250.4 217.3 254.6 261.9 248.2 250.3 277.0 296.4 263.0 222.7 253.9 219.9 IN D U S T R IA L C O M M O D IT IE S 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel.............................................. Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100)....................................... Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ..................... Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)............................................ Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100)....................................... Aparel........................................................................ Textile housefurnishings................................................. 204.6 162.1 138.3 145.3 124.6 194.4 238.5 204.1 161.5 135.9 144.9 123.8 194.8 238.2 204.2 162.2 135.9 144.6 124.3 195.1 236.4 204.3 162.5 136.6 143.6 123.7 195.4 238.2 204.1 161.1 136.5 143.7 123.2 195.7 236.2 203.9 161.2 136.7 143.1 123.0 195.4 236.2 202 6 159.7 136.7 143.3 122.8 193.0 236.2 202.7 156.7 134.7 144.4 122.2 194.4 236.5 202.6 153.1 135.0 144.3 122.3 195.0 234.3 r203.4 r153.9 r135.8 r145.1 r122.4 M96.1 r234.2 203.3 155.4 136.0 146.2 122.8 194.7 238.5 203.9 157.2 137.6 146.0 122.2 195.1 241.9 204.5 156.6 137.6 145.8 122.5 196.6 239.5 205.1 159.1 138.5 146.0 122.4 197.1 238.9 04 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products............................ Leather ...................................................................... Footwear ................................................................... Other leather and related products ................................... 262.6 311.4 245.0 247.4 263.1 307.4 247.3 246.9 262.0 304.9 247.7 244.9 263.5 309.2 248.3 247.7 263.2 309.5 248.0 247.2 263.2 312.8 249.1 247.1 264.1 314.4 247.7 249.1 266.7 314.4 251.5 250.8 264.3 312.8 247.7 251.0 r264.9 r316:2 r248.1 r250.9 267.1 317.9 248.4 254.4 270.1 324.5 248.7 255.2 270.6 334.0 249.0 252.1 272.7 333.3 249.9 257.4 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power................................... Coal........................................................................... Coke........................................................................... Gas fuels2 ................................................................. Electirc power ............................................................ Crude petroleum3 ........................................................ Petroleum products, refined4 .......................................... 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products............................................ Industrial chemicals5 ...................................................... Prepared paint Paint materials............................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ............................................ Fats and oils, inedible................................................... Agricultural chemnicals and chemical products ................... Plastic resins and materials............................................ Other chemicals and allied products ................................. 292.3 352.6 262.8 304.6 210.1 267.1 292.4 283.4 270.1 291.6 349.1 264.7 304.5 210.0 278.2 291.5 280.9 271.1 291.6 349.1 264.7 302.5 211.2 254.2 290.8 282 2 272.3 290.7 346.5 264.7 303.0 212.4 254.1 289.9 281.6 271.2 289.9 345.8 264.7 303.0 214.9 242.3 288.8 281.3 268.6 290.5 345.2 264.7 302.4 215.5 239.6 286.5 282.2 272.3 289.6 342.4 264.7 301.7 216.0 240.8 285.2 282.5 272.0 289.3 339.3 264.7 301.5 218.6 242.0 283.2 283.8 272.8 290.5 340.1 264 7 299.5 222.2 253.4 283.3 283.1 274.4 r289.8 r338.8 r264.7 r298.4 r222.9 r262.2 r284.2 r282.1 r272.0 291.3 339.7 265.1 299.5 225.1 278.8 283.7 284.7 273.4 291.3 339.8 265.1 300.0 225.3 286.2 282.9 285.4 272.3 291.3 339.7 265.1 299.3 225.7 277.9 281.7 289.1 272.0 291.3 338.8 265.6 300.4 227.5 263.6 278.6 290.6 273.6 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber plastic products ................................................... Rubber and rubber products............................................ Crude rubber ............................................................... Tires and tubes............................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products ........................................ Plastic products (6/78 = 100) ....................................... 241.4 267.8 278.9 255.2 276.9 132.3 242.0 268.8 280.3 255.0 279.4 132.5 242.6 270.1 278.7 257.8 279.7 132.5 242.5 269.5 276.6 255.6 281.6 132.7 242.2 268.9 272.5 255.7 281.4 132.7 241.7 267.9 2709 254.5 280.7 132.7 242.2 268.2 271.1 256.0 279.7 133.0 242.9 269.6 271.1 259.1 284.5 133.0 242.3 268.3 274.3 250.5 289.6 133.1 r241.8 r267.1 r281.2 r246.6 r285.8 r133.2 242.2 269.2 280.6 246.6 291.6 132.5 242.9 269.2 280.5 246.5 291.8 133.4 242.7 267.8 280.1 244.0 291.5 133.9 244,4 267.6 283.1 242.7 291.5 135.9 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products .............................................. Lumber...................................................................... Millwork...................................................................... Plywood...................................................................... Other wood products..................................................... 284.7 310.8 279.4 232.1 236.2 288.6 319.2 282.3 232.4 236.0 284.2 311.6 280.2 229.0 235.8 283.0 310.3 279.5 228.5 235.6 279.4 305.6 278.6 224.0 235.8 279.9 305.1 280.3 227.8 233.0 285.6 312.6 286.5 231.2 231.2 293.3 326.8 293.7 235.3 232.0 303.1 344.7 300.5 239.5 233.2 r305.8 r349.3 304.0 r238.9 r231.6 305.4 352.8 302.7 239.3 230.8 306.2 357.3 298.8 240.9 231.1 312.5 371.3 294.7 253.4 229.6 314.5 372.5 296.1 252.5 229.7 693.2 701.1 705.6 700.4 698.8 706.1 703.4 683.6 668.6 r658.0 648.1 654.8 668.7 671.6 534.7 538.0 539.0 538.5 538.1 539.6 538.7 535.6 533.4 r538.6 539.3 535.0 534.0 535.5 461.7 460.3 459.1 460.0 452.3 562.3 452.3 450.9 450.9 447.3 447.3 438.4 438.4 438.4 1,060.8 1,054.3 1,074.6 1,112.2 1,130.1 1,190.0 1,181.2 1,147.3 1,154.7 r1,180.0 1,158.4 1,159.0 1,157.4 1,151.2 406.5 416.0 414.9 415.0 408.7 404.9 409.9 410.8 410.8 r411.4 409.5 412.5 419.7 425.1 733.4 718.4 718.4 718.3 735.3 733.6 720.0 719.7 692.9 r678.0 678.4 678.4 678.4 676.1 761.2 776.5 781.7 761.6 754.6 758.0 754.2 720.6 692.8 r666.6 651.8 664.5 690.1 694.9 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 24. C o n tin u ed — P roducer Price Indexes, by com m o dity groupings [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual Code C o m m o d ity group and subgroup 198 2 1983 a verag e 198 2 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan . Feb. M a r .1 Apr. M ay June July IN D U S T R IA L C O M M O D IT IE S — C ontinued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products.......................................... Pulp, paper,and products,excluding building paper and board Woodpulp.................................................................... Wastepaper................................................................. Paper ........................................................................ Paperboard ................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products......................... Building paper and board ............................................... 288.7 273.2 379.0 121,1 286.3 254.9 264.4 239.5 289.1 272.6 368.3 115.6 286.3 255.0 264.4 239.8 289.3 272.2 367.0 116.0 285.3 255.4 264.3 244.4 289.4 271.5 365.0 116.0 285.3 250.7 264.2 243.4 289.8 270.3 350.4 116.0 285.4 248.0 264.0 242.1 289.8 269.4 347.3 116.0 280.6 247.6 264.7 241.0 290.5 268.8 347.2 116.0 279 2 244.1 264.8 242.0 293 6 269.8 346.6 116.0 279.3 243.3 265.0 241.1 294.2 268.7 345.7 116.0 278.8 244.1 265.1 241.4 r294.8 r268.7 r343.0 116.0 r278.4 r246 3 r265.1 r244.2 295 1 268.8 344.5 116.0 278.7 248.4 264.5 246.1 295.7 269.1 345.8 116.0 279.1 248.9 264.5 249 3 296.7 269.4 346.5 116.0 179.6 249.6 264.7 255.7 297.7 269.9 347.5 116.0 281.7 249.5 264.5 256.2 10 10-1 10-17 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products................................................. Iron and steel............................................................... Steel mill products........................................................ Nonferrous metals........................................................ Metal containers .......................................................... Hardware.................................................................... Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings ................................. Heating equipment........................................................ Fabricated structural metal products ................................ Miscellaneous metal products.......................................... 301.6 339.0 349.5 263.6 328.5 280.3 278.7 237.2 304.8 282.3 299.5 337.5 349.0 256.4 330.0 281.2 283.3 238.9 303.9 283.2 299.2 337.1 348.6 255.7 328.8 382.6 274.6 238.4 304.3 283.3 301.8 336.5 348.2 265.1 328.8 282.7 277.1 239.1 306.4 283.8 301.6 337.6 349.8 262.9 329.7 283.0 277.8 238.4 305.9 284.1 300.5 335.9 348.6 261.7 329.0 283.1 278.3 238.8 305.3 283.4 299 9 332 8 344.7 263.2 328.3 285.8 279.2 239.3 304.7 283.2 300.3 333.3 343.7 267.0 327.9 287.2 280.6 240.7 303.6 279.1 304.7 339.9 351.1 275.8 331.1 287 9 283.5 240.7 302.8 279.0 r304.4 r341.6 r349.8 r270.6 r331.4 r288.2 r285.6 241.1 303.7 r280 4 305.3 341.7 350.1 271.7 332.0 286.3 287.5 242.3 302.6 285.3 306.7 341.1 350.0 277.9 337.4 286.2 288.8 242.4 302.1 284.9 306.4 340.4 349.0 275.5 336.8 289 2 290.6 142.6 301 9 287 4 307.4 341.3 349.9 277.6 337.4 289.7 292.1 249.0 302.2 287.4 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 Machinery and equipment ................................................. Agricultural machinery and equipment .............................. Construction machinery and equipment.............................. Metalworking machinery and equipment ............................ 278.8 311.1 343.9 320.9 279.6 311.0 346.1 322.5 279.9 312.2 346.5 322.8 280.2 314.1 347.5 323.1 281.1 317.5 347.6 323.1 282.4 320.7 348.1 323.6 307.0 329.9 234.2 272.3 283.3 322.4 348.3 324.1 307.4 331.8 235.2 272.9 284.3 323.3 349.3 325 2 307.9 332.6 237.2 272 7 r284.7 r323.5 r349 6 r325.5 r307.5 r333.6 r237.5 r273.7 284.9 324.8 350.8 325.6 307.9 334.4 237.3 274.0 285 6 326.0 352.2 326.1 308.4 335 6 237.7 275.2 285.8 325 5 352.5 326.6 308 5 336 3 238 2 274.8 286.9 326.2 352.7 326.5 308.4 337.8 240.8 274.9 ............................. 304.0 304.9 Special industry machinery and equipment.......................... Electrical machinery and equipment................................... Miscellaneous machinery ............................................... 304.8 305.0 11-6 11-7 11-9 325 1 231.6 268.4 327.1 231.6 269.5 326.7 231 8 270.9 305.9 326.8 231.7 271.5 327.8 232.6 271.6 281 8 318.7 347.9 323.5 306.4 329.1 233.7 272.0 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables....................................... Household furniture ...................................................... Commercial furniture...................................................... Floor coverings............................................................. Household appliances ................................................... Home electronic equipment............................................ Other household durable goods........................................ 206.9 229.8 275.5 181.2 199.1 88.1 289.3 206.8 230.0 277.4 181.2 200.2 87.2 285.1 208.1 230.4 278.1 181.0 201.0 88.0 291.8 208.3 230.7 278.2 181.5 201.2 87.4 293.4 208.9 231.2 278.3 181.6 201.3 87.8 296.5 208.9 231.4 278.6 181.3 201.2 87.0 297.2 209.2 232.0 278.5 181.5 201.8 87.1 298.1 210.7 231.9 281.1 182.2 203.9 87.3 302.8 212.5 232 6 282.2 182.1 204 9 87.0 314.8 r212.3 r231.1 r285.1 r182.0 r205.0 r87.0 r312.9 213.1 233.7 286.7 181.4 205.2 86.9 313.3 213.3 234.3 286.6 181.3 205.7 86.7 313.7 213 6 234.8 287 0 180.6 207.0 86.4 312.9 214.4 235.3 287.9 185.1 207.4 86.1 313.5 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products ............................................ Flat g ass.................................................................... Concrete ingredients...................................................... Concrete products ........................................................ Structural clay products, excluding refractories .................. Refractories................................................................. Asphalt roofing............................................................. Gypsum products ........................................................ Glass containers .......................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals ............................................ 320 2 221.5 310.0 297.8 260.8 337.1 298.4 256.1 355.5 471.8 321.1 226.1 311.8 298.8 259.3 340.4 399.8 255.8 358.1 466.6 320.5 221.1 311.2 299.0 263.9 340.7 400.1 253.9 358.0 466.0 321.2 221.1 310.8 298.7 264.0 340.8 413.4 253.9 358.6 467.7 321.1 221.1 309.9 298.6 264.0 340.8 406.7 255.1 358.5 470.4 321.2 225.3 310.0 298.2 264.8 337.2 399.0 255.0 357.8 471.3 320.5 225.3 306.7 298.5 264.8 337.2 397.0 253.9 357.6 471.0 321.5 229.7 307.2 299 4 264.9 337.7 393.7 263.1 356.6 471.5 322 3 229.7 310.0 300.1 264.3 337.7 380.4 267.4 355.8 476.1 r322.0 229.7 r308.5 r300.4 r270 7 r337.7 r374.7 r265.9 354.1 r476.4 323.7 229 7 310.6 300.3 275.3 338.7 389.0 271.4 353.8 478.6 324.2 229.7 314.8 301.0 277.0 338.7 378.6 275.3 351 8 478.1 324.6 229.7 315.4 301.4 280.8 337.3 378.1 273.5 351.7 479.4 325.4 229 8 315.4 302 2 281.7 338.7 383.9 276.0 351.7 480.8 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 = 100).............................. Motor vehicles and equipment.......................................... Railroad equipment........................................................ 249.7 251.3 346.5 249.8 252.0 342.6 250.6 252.8 347.7 244.5 244.6 348.0 256.0 257.8 350.8 256.3 257.8 350 8 257.5 258.1 350.8 256.3 257.0 350.8 255.8 r255.2 256.3 r255.4 350.5 r350 3 255 6 255.9 357 2 256.0 256 2 357.1 256.3 256.6 356.8 256.4 256.7 358.1 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-5 15-9 Miscellaneous products...................................................... Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition................... Tobacco products ........................................................ Notions...................................................................... Photograhic equipment and supplies................................. Mobile homes (12/74 = 100).......................................... Other miscellaneous products.......................................... 276.4 221.5 323.1 277.0 210.4 161.9 338 3 273.4 222.0 311.5 280.1 208.9 162.6 333.7 272.0 223.5 311.5 280.1 208.9 162.8 327.0 279.5 221.8 329.1 280.1 209.9 162.9 345.2 285.4 221.2 365.4 280.1 209.7 162.6 345.2 285 2 221.3 364.5 279.8 209.7 161.6 345.1 290.4 223.7 382.9 279.8 210.0 161.7 351.6 285.7 222.7 356.2 280.5 210.0 161.8 350.8 288.8 225.3 356.4 280.6 211.8 161.7 359 8 287.6 226.8 354.7 380.3 216.9 162.5 349.8 287.1 226.5 353.9 280.3 216.9 162 3 348.6 288.0 226.4 352.2 280.3 216.8 163.0 352.7 291.7 224.8 373.5 280.3 216.8 163.4 353.5 11 4 General purpose machinery and equipment 1Data for March 1983 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. includes only domestic production. 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r287.4 r225.7 r353 8 280.6 r216.6 r162.9 r350.5 4Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month, 5Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r = revised, 25. P roducer P rice Indexes, for special com m o dity groupings [1967 = 100 unless olherwise specified] 1 982 A nnu al C o m m o d ity g rouping A ll c o m m o d itie s — le s s te rm products A ll foods P ro c e s s e d foods Industrial commodities less fuels..................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100)................ Hosiery ...................................................................... Underwear and nightwear .............................................. Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and fibers and yarns................................................... 1983 av e ra g e 198 2 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. D ec. Jan. Feb. M a r .1 Apr. M ay 303.0 254.4 256.0 272.8 138 2 138.3 217.6 303.9 256.6 259.5 272.5 137.6 138.5 218.8 304.1 255.8 258.7 272.6 137.8 138.5 218.6 303.7 255.3 259.2 272.5 137.8 138.7 219.6 304.7 252.8 256.2 274.4 137.4 138.7 220.1 305.1 251.9 254.7 274.4 137.1 139.7 219.7 305.4 252.7 254.7 274.9 136.8 139.7 219.7 304.4 252.4 255.8 275.4 136.7 141.7 223.3 304.9 255.7 259.3 277.0 136.8 144.5 222.6 '304.5 r255.8 '258.9 r276.9 r137.2 144.5 223.8 304.0 258.1 159.5 277.5 137.2 144.5 223.8 305.0 306.1 258.2 256.5 259.6 257.8 278.1 , 278.6 137.2 137.2 144.5 144.5 224.0 223.1 283.8 282.9 283.3 282 5 281.8 282.3 281.4 280.8 281.4 '280.7 281.9 281.9 282.0 282.5 206.0 288.8 349.4 206.9 294.8 348.4 207.4 288.3 348.1 209.0 287.2 347.8 211.7 282.5 349.1 212.3 283.4 348.5 212.8 289.6 344.8 215.8 300.7 343.1 219.4 314.3 349.9 '220.3 '317.2 '348.4 222.9 319.8 348.7 223.2 323.3 348.7 223.9 337.0 347.7 226.0 337.6 348.4 348.4 347.7 347.3 346.9 348.6 348.0 344.0 342.1 349.8 '348.3 348.8 348.7 347.7 348.5 June July 307.1 256.4 258.0 279.5 137.7 144.5 223.2 Pharmaceutical preparations............................................ Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork.................. Steel mill products, including fabricated wire products ......... Finished steel mill products, excluding fabricated wire products ................................................................. Finished steel mill products, including fabricated wire products ................................................................. 348.1 347.0 346.7 346.3 347.8 347.2 343.3 341.6 348.5 '347.0 347.3 347.3 346.4 347.0 Special metals and metal products ................................... Fabricated metal products.............................................. Copper and copper products............................................ Machinery and motive products....................................... Machinery and equipment, except electrical ....................... 286.6 291.6 185.5 272.1 306.4 285.7 292.0 179.2 272.8 307.6 286.8 291.9 179.8 273.3 308.1 284.0 292.9 181.0 270.7 308.6 289.5 293.0 178.8 276.4 309.4 288.9 292.5 181.2 277.0 310.0 288.7 292.5 181.8 277.9 310.6 288.6 291.1 190.7 277.8 311.3 290 9 291.3 201.5 278.2 311.9 '290.3 '292.3 '198.9 '278.1 '312.2 291.0 293.4 201.0 278.5 312.8 292.1 293 9 206.7 279.0 313.6 292.1 295.2 201.5 279.3 313.7 292.7 295.5 202.2 279.9 313.9 Agricultural machinery, including tractors ......................... Metalworking machinery................................................. Total tractors............................................................... Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts.................. 323.1 350.4 355.0 313.8 321.8 352.8 354.8 312.8 322.8 353.1 355.5 313.8 325.5 330.6 353.5 354.1 359.6 '• 361.4 315.8 320.1 332.2 354.2 361.4 321.5 335.1 354.1 364.2 324.3 337.0 354.6 365.6 325.9 337.7 355.7 365.6 326.6 '337.8 '355.6 365.7 '326.8 340.1 356.3 370.4 328.7 341.1 358.0 370.5 329.6 340.4 357.7 370.6 329.0 341.4 357.7 370.7 329.8 Farm and garden tractors less parts ................................ Agricultural machinery, excluding tractors less parts ........... Construction materials................................................... 327.8 319.6 288.0 325.4 319.1 289.2 326.0 320.4 288.3 333.0 319.6 288.4 336.1 329.3 287.8 340.3 331.1 287.9 342.2 333.1 290.3 342.2 334.4 294.6 342.2 '334.5 '295.0 348.7 333.4 195.5 348.8 335.1 296.3 348.8 333.8 297.7 348 8 335.6 299.1 Nov. D ec. Jan. Feb. M a r .1 Apr. M ay June July 1Data for March 1983 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 26. 336.1 326.4 288.0 r = revised, P roducer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967 = 100] 1982 Annual C o m m o d ity grouping a verag e 198 2 July Aug. Sept. 1983 Oct. Total durable goods ..................................................... Total nondurable goods ................................................. 279.0 315.3 278 9 317.6 278.8 317.1 278.6 315.7 281.2 314.3 281.2 315.3 282.0 315.3 282.6 313.3 284.8 313.4 '284.6 '313 0 285.1 312.8 285.9 313.9 286 4 315.0 287.3 315.5 Total manufactures........................................................ Durable ............................................................... Nondurable .......................................................... 292.7 279.8 306.4 293.7 279.9 308.5 293.8 279.8 308.6 292 9 279.5 307.1 293.8 282 3 306.0 293 9 282.4 306.1 294.3 283.2 305.9 293.5 283.7 303.8 293.9 285.7 302.5 '293.2 '285.3 '301.4 292 9 285.8 300.2 293.9 286.6 301.4 295.1 287.0 303.6 296.1 287.9 304.7 Total raw or slightly processed goods .............................. Durable ............................................................... Nondurable .......................................................... 331.2 233.8 337.3 333.2 225 3 340.1 331.1 225.0 337.9 329.9 226.2 336.5 327.9 224.2 334.5 330.9 219 2 338.1 331.6 217.4 339.0 330.4 224.2 337.2 335.2 235.4 341.5 '337.3 '243.3 '343.2 340.7 244.9 346.7 341.2 246.9 347.0 339.3 250.2 344.8 338.3 250.7 343.7 'Data for March 1983 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r= revised.' 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. P roducer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1 9 6 7 = 100 u n le ss o th e rw is e s p e c ifie d ] 1972 Annual 1« 82 1983 Industry d escrip tio n code 1 982 July 175.2 312.2 925.8 151.2 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r .1 Apr. M ay 177.1 306.2 924.3 151.7 177.1 287.5 926 7 151.7 177.1 289.5 937.6 151.7 177.1 312.5 945.9 151.7 177.1 308.3 969.0 151.7 177.1 312.5 958.4 151.7 177.1 306.2 945.2 153.6 177.1 289 5 931 2 156.3 177.1 285.4 r934 4 158.4 177.1 272.9 922.9 164.3 June July 177.1 268 7 922 7 164.3 177 1 254 1 925 0 164.3 177 1 237 5 917 4 164.3 M IN IN G 1011 1092 1311 1455 Iron ores (12 75 100).......................... Mercury ores (12/75 - 100) ................ Crude petroleum and natural gas . . . . Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100) . . M A N U F A C T U R IN G 2021 2044 2067 Creamery butter................................. Rice milling .............. Chewing gum ................................... 276.0 185.1 304.1 275.0 177.6 303.3 276.3 183.0 304.7 276.8 183.0 304.7 276.8 183.0 304.8 276.5 175.2 306.0 277.8 196.1 306.1 275.5 191.3 326.0 275.6 183.0 326 0 275.6 183.0 326 1 275.6 188.9 326.1 275.6 191.3 326.1 275 6 194 5 327.2 275 6 193 7 327 2 2074 2083 2091 2098 Cottonseed oil mills.......................... Malt .............................. Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 - 100) ......... Macaroni and spaghetti....................... 168.3 256.9 187.0 258.5 174.6 259 8 187.8 259.5 173.1 259.8 184.3 259.5 164.4 251.2 186.2 259.5 157.6 251.2 186.3 255.5 r164.1 240.6 186.4 255 5 169.4 240.6 186.6 255.5 157.5 232.6 182.8 255.5 173.4 232.6 179.2 255 5 r167.1 232.6 177.9 255.5 172.0 232.6 177.8 255.5 172.2 232 6 175.7 255 5 179.2 232 6 173 4 255.5 192.4 232 fi 173 7 255.5 2251 2261 2262 2284 2298 Women's hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100) . . . Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 100) ................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) . . . . Thread mills (6/76 - 100)......... Cordage and twine (12/77 - 100) . . . . 116.8 139.5 128.2 157.2 141.5 116.8 140.3 126.8 156.5 141.0 116.9 139.8 129.0 158.0 141.0 116.9 138.5 128.2 158.0 142.6 116.9 136.8 127.5 157.9 142.6 118.5 136.2 127.8 157.9 142.6 118.3 136.1 127.3 157.8 142.6 118.5 135.3 125.7 157.9 142.6 122.6 136.0 126.7 161.9 142.7 r122.7 136.1 r126.2 165.6 142.8 122.8 135.6 125.6 165.7 137.6 122 8 132 8 125 3 165 7 137.6 122 8 132 9 125 8 165 7 137.6 122 9 132 6 125 1 165 7 137.6 2323 2361 2381 Men's and boys' neckwear (12/75 = 100) Children s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100) . . . . Fabric dress and work gloves ................ 119.5 120.6 292.1 121.3 119.4 294.5 121.3 120.3 288.2 121.3 118.6 288.2 121.3 118.6 287.4 121.3 117.0 287.4 121.3 117.0 287.4 121.3 117.0 288.8 121.3 117.0 288.8 121.3 115.5 288 8 121.3 115 5 291.0 121 3 115 5 291.7 121 3 117 0 291.7 121 3 296.3 2394 2396 2448 2521 Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100)......... Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100) Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).............. Wood office furniture....................... 145.4 131.0 145.6 270.3 143.1 131.0 144.1 270.9 143.1 131.0 143.9 271.3 144.8 131.0 143.8 271.3 147.3 131.0 144.3 271.4 147.3 131.0 144.2 271.4 147.3 131.0 144.6 271.4 148.7 131.0 144.6 271.4 148.7 131.0 145.2 273.4 r146.2 131.0 r145.7 r279 6 146.8 131.0 146.8 281.5 146 8 131 0 148 3 281.5 146 8 131 0 149 3 283.6 146 8 131 0 150 8 284.7 2654 2655 2911 2952 Sanitary food containers ................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) Petroleum refining (6/76 =100) ......... Asphalt felts and coating (12/75 = 100) . . . 259.7 177.8 278.3 173.5 259 9 176.7 281.5 174.7 259.9 177.5 283 7 174.4 260.8 177.5 279.6 180.4 261.7 177.9 278.3 177.2 261.7 180.7 280.1 173.7 261.7 183.8 278.3 172.9 261.7 183.8 267.2 171.4 261.7 183 8 257.4 165.8 r265.1 183.8 r250 4 r163.2 266.6 185.5 241.4 169.1 266.7 185 6 246.7 164.4 266 7 185 9 254 9 164.2 268 6 187 7 256 3 166.8 3251 3253 3266 3259 Brick and structural clay tile .............. Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) . . . . Clay refractories........................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c............. 307.4 140.6 352.8 219.7 305.9 140.6 356.3 215.9 313.8 140.7 358.8 219.0 314.0 140.7 356.9 219.0 314.0 140.7 357.0 219.0 315.5 140.7 350.3 218.9 315.5 140.7 350.3 219 0 315.7 140.7 351.1 219.0 315 6 140.7 351.1 215.7 r328.3 r140.7 r351.2 r215.7 333.7 138.1 353 1 232.8 334 9 139.7 353.1 234.8 335 7 146 8 350 4 234.8 337 5 146 8 353 0 235.4 3261 3262 3263 3269 3274 Vitreous plumbing fixtures................... Vitreous china food utensils .............. Fine earthenware food utensils................... Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) . . . . Lime (12/75 = 100) .......................... 265 0 357.8 318.2 167.3 186.3 264.2 360.2 316.9 167.4 188.0 263.9 360.2 316.9 167.4 188.0 267.2 360 2 316.9 167.4 187.8 269.1 360.8 323.5 169.6 187.7 270.3 370.2 324.8 171.9 187.5 269.7 377.7 326.0 173.7 185.7 272.1 380.1 365.7 186.5 187.3 273.3 380.1 365.7 186.6 185.5 275.1 r380.1 r365.7 r186.6 r185.1 175.3 369.2 136.5 183.8 188.1 276 0 369 2 363 6 183 8 185.5 276 9 369 2 364 3 183 8 186.5 277 2 369 2 364 3 183 8 187.3 3297 3482 3623 Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100) . Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) . Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100)......... 201.8 164.2 239.6 203.8 170.3 241.6 203.8 170.3 242.4 203.8 149.0 242.8 203.8 150.1 243.0 203.7 150.6 243.3 203 6 174.1 243.3 203.7 175.1 243.6 203.6 175.1 244.0 203.6 r181.6 r243.4 203.8 187.6 238.1 203 7 187 6 237.9 203 7 187 6 237.3 203 8 187 6 238.4 3636 3641 3648 3671 3942 Sewing machines (12/75 = 100) . Electric lamps................... Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) . Electron tubes, receiving type ................ Dolls (12/75 = 100)..................... 154.6 294.0 170.0 382.1 136.7 154.3 291.8 171.1 375.4 136.8 153.6 293.7 171.2 375.4 136.8 153.6 296.3 171.2 380.2 136.8 154.2 302.9 171.3 380.3 136.8 154.2 303.0 171.3 414.0 136.8 154.2 303.4 171.4 414.1 136.5 154.2 306.0 171.4 431.6 137.1 154.4 311.5 171.5 432.0 136.8 r155.0 311.4 r171.6 431.9 r136.8 156.1 316.3 172.6 431.9 137.4 156 1 313 8 172 6 431.9 137.4 156 1 316 7 173 1 432 2 137.4 156 1 319 4 173 4 432 4 137.3 3944 3955 3995 3996 Games, toys, and children's vehicles ......... Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100) . . . Burial caskets (6/76 = 100)......... Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100) 234.0 140.0 148.4 155.9 234.4 140.4 150.8 155.0 234.4 140.5 150.8 155.7 234.8 139.3 150.8 156.9 235.3 139.3 150.8 158.9 235.3 139.2 150.8 158.9 235 5 139.4 150.8 156.8 235.3 139 2 147.0 159.2 243 4 139 2 152.1 159.2 r241.8 139.2 152.1 159 2 237.9 139.2 152.1 159.4 237 9 139 2 152 1 159.4 237 9 139 2 152 1 159.4 139 2 155 4 162.0 1Data for March 1983 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: Indexes which were deleted in the September Issue may now be found In Table 4 of the BLS monthly report. P r o d u c e r P r ic e s a n d P r ic e In d e x e s . lr= revised. PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t iv it y the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits d a t a are c o m p ile d by the B u re au o f L a b o r S ta tistics fro m e s ta b lis h m e n t d a ta an d fro m e stim a te s o f c o m p e n sa tio n and include corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustments per unit of o u tp u t su p p lie d by th e U .S . D e p a rtm e n t o f C o m m e rc e an d the output. F e d e ra l R e se rv e B o ard . The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the Definitions deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes o f output per hour of labor input, or labor productivity, Hours of all persons describes the labor input of payroll workers, self- measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all employee Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of employees plus hour describes labor productivity in nonfinancial corporations where there employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plants. are no self-employed. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary Notes on the data payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real compensation per hour is com pensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to pro duce one unit o f output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, interest, and in direct taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting com pensation o f all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor costs contain all 28. In the business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly man ufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A nnual indexes of productivity, hourly com pensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1 9 5 0 -8 2 [1977 = 100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons..................... Compensation per hour.............................. Real compensation per hour ....................... Unit labor costs....................................... Unit nonlabor payments.............................. Implicit price deflator................................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons..................... Compensation per hour.............................. Real compensation per hour ....................... Unit labor costs....................................... Unit nonlabor payments.............................. Implicit price deflator................................ Nonfinance corporations: Output per hour of all persons..................... Compensation per hour.............................. Real compensation per hour ....................... Unit labor costs....................................... Unit nonlabor payments.............................. Implicit price deflator................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons..................... Compensation per hour.............................. Real compensation per hour ....................... Unit labor costs....................................... Unit nonlabor payments.............................. Implicit price deflator................................ 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1950 1955 1 960 1965 197 0 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 50.4 20.0 50.5 39.8 43.4 41.0 58.3 26.4 59.6 45.2 47.6 46.0 65.2 33.9 69.5 52.1 50.6 51.6 78.3 41.7 80.1 53.3 57.6 54.7 86.2 58 2 90.8 67.5 63.2 66.0 94.5 85.5 96.3 90.5 90.4 90.4 97.6 92.9 98.9 95.1 94.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 106.7 107.5 99.4 118.7 99.1 119.5 112.8 117.2 98.9 131.2 96.5 132.7 119.0 128.1 101.3 143.9 95.9 142.1 136.2 140.1 101.2 155.1 97,4 153.3 136.9 147.7 56.3 21.8 55.0 38.8 42.7 40.1 62.7 28.3 64.0 r45.1 47.8 46.0 68.3 35.7 73.0 52.3 50.4 51.6 80.5 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.0 54.8 86.8 58.7 91.5 67.6 63.8 66.3 94.7 86.0 96.8 90.8 88.5 90.0 97.8 93.0 99.0 95.1 93 5 94.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 105.3 107.1 99.1 118.4 98.9 r119.5 110.4 116.5 98.4 130.7 96.1 132.8 118.5 128.1 100.3 143.5 95.6 143.0 135.0 140.4 100.2 154.7 97.1 54.4 137.0 148.6 <1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1> (1) (1> (1) 68.0 37.0 75.8 54.4 54.6 54.5 81.9 43.9 84.3 53.5 60.8 56.1 87.4 59.4 92.7 68.0 63.1 66.3 95.5 86.1 96.9 90 2 90.8 90.4 98.2 92 9 98.9 94.6 95.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 108.5 100.7 107.5 104.2 106.4 100.7 118.7 99.1 117.8 106.9 114.1 99.8 130.9 96.3 131.2 117.4 126.4 102.3 143.6 95.7 140.3 134.4 138.3 102.8 154.8 97.2 150.6 137.6 146.1 49.4 21.5 54.0 43.4 54.3 46.6 56.4 28.8 65.1 51.0 58.5 53.2 60.0 36.7 75.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 74.5 42.8 82.3 57.5 69.3 61.0 79.1 57.6 89.8 72.7 65.0 70.5 93.4 85.4 96.2 91.5 87.3 90.3 97.5 92.3 98.3 94.6 93.7 94.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.8 108.3 100.6 107.4 102.5 106.0 101.5 118.8 99.2 117.0 99.9 112.0 101.7 132.7 97.6 130.5 97.7 120.9 105.3 145.8 97.2 138.5 110 2 130 2 106.5 158.2 99.3 148.5 109.2 137.0 r = revised. 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 29. A nnual changes in productivity, hourly com pensation, unit costs, and prices, 1 9 7 2 -8 2 A nnu al rate Year of change Ite m 1972 Business sector: Output per hour of all persons................ Compensation per hour.......................... Real compensation per hour .................. Unit labor costs................................... Unit nonlabor payments.......................... Implicit price deflator............................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons................ Compensation per hour.......................... Real compensation per hour .................. Unit labor costs................................... Unit nonlabor payments......................... Implicit price deflator............................ Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees.............. Compensation per hour......................... Real compensation per hour .................. Unit labor costs................................... Unit nonlabor payments......................... Implicit price deflator............................ Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons................ Compensation per hour......................... Real compensation per hour .................. Unit labor costs ................................... Unit nonlabor payments......................... Implicit price deflator............................ 1Not available. r = revised. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1 9 5 0 -8 2 1 9 7 2 -8 2 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 2.6 8.0 1.6 5.3 5.9 5.5 -2.4 9.4 -1.4 12.1 4.4 9.5 2.2 9.6 0.5 7.3 15.1 9.8 3.3 8.6 2.6 5.1 4.0 4.7 2.4 7.7 1.2 5.1 6.4 5.6 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 6.7 7.5 -1.2 9.4 -1.7 10.7 5.8 9.0 -0.5 10.5 -2.6 11.1 5.5 9.2 2.4 9.7 -0.6 7.1 14.4 9.4 -0.1 7.7 1.5 7.9 0.5 5.4 2.2 6.6 2.1 4.3 3.7 4.1 0.9 8.9 0.2 7.9 6.8 7.6 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.4 7.6 1.3 5.0 1.3 3.8 -2.5 9.4 -1.4 12.2 5.9 10.2 2.0 9.6 0.4 7.5 16.7 10.3 3.2 8.1 2.2 4.8 5.7 5.1 2.2 7.5 1.0 5.2 6.9 5.7 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 5.3 7.1 -1.5 9.0 -2.0 10.7 4.8 8.8 -0.7 10.4 -2.8 11.1 7.4 10.0 1.9 9.8 -0.6 7.7 13 9 9.6 -0.1 7.8 1.6 7.9 1.4 5.8 1.8 6.3 1.8 4.4 3.7 4.2 0.8 8.8 0.1 8.0 6.8 7.6 2.9 5.7 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.4 7.5 1.2 4.9 1.5 3.8 -3.7 9.4 -1.5 13 6 7.1 11.4 2.9 9.6 0.4 6.5 20.1 10.9 2.9 7.9 2.0 4.9 4.6 4.8 1.8 7.6 1.1 5.7 5.3 5.6 0.9 8.5 0.7 7.5 4.2 6.4 -0.2 9.4 -1.7 9.6 2.6 7.2 -0.9 10.3 -2.8 11.3 9.8 10.8 2.5 9.7 -0.6 7.0 14.5 9.4 0.5 7.8 1.6 7.3 2.4 5.7 (1) <1) 0 (1) 0) (1) 0.9 8.8 5.0 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 5.4 7.2 0.9 1.7 -3.3 0.3 -2.4 10.6 -0.3 13.3 -1.8 9.0 2.9 11.9 2.5 8.8 25.9 13.1 4.4 8.0 2.1 3.4 7.4 4.6 2.5 8.3 1.8 5.7 6.7 6.0 0.8 8.3 0.6 7.4 2.5 6.0 0.7 9.7 -1.4 9.0 -2.6 5.7 0.2 11.7 -1.6 11.5 -2.2 7.9 3.5 9.9 -4 6.1 12.8 7.7 C1.2 8.5 2.2 7.2 -0.9 5.2 2.4 6.4 1.9 3.9 P2.2 P3.4 r1.9 9.4 0.6 7.4 P4.1 P6.5 P= preliminary, c = corrected. 0.0 7.8 7.1 7.6 30. Q uarterly indexes of productivity, hourly com pensation, unit costs, and prices, seaso n ally adjusted [1977 = 100] Q u a rte rly in d exes Annual Ite m Business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................. Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor costs........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor costs........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees................ Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Total unit costs........................................ Unit labor costs................................. Unit nonlabor costs............................ Unit profits ............................................ Implicit price deflator................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor costs........................................ 1Not available. r= revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis av e ra g e 1980 1981 1981 1982 101.3 143.9 95.9 142.1 136.2 140.1 101.2 155.1 97.4 153.3 136.9 147.7 99.1 136.0 96.1 137.2 124.2 132.8 100.5 139.7 96.3 139.0 131.2 136.3 101.1 142.2 96.1 140.7 133.4 138.2 100.3 143.5 95.6 143.0 135.0 140.4 100.2 154.7 97.1 154.4 137.0 148.6 98.8 135.5 95.8 137.2 123.2 132.5 100.1 139.3 96.0 T39.2 130.3 T36.2 102.3 143.6 95.7 142.7 140.3 149.4 104.1 138.3 102.8 154.8 97.2 153.5 150.6 161.8 88.9 146.1 r100.4 135.8 96.0 135.9 135.3 137.9 90.9 130.8 105.3 145.8 97.2 138.5 106.5 158.2 99.3 148.5 103.6 138.3 97.8 133.5 IV I II 1982 III 1982 IV 1 102.3 145.5 95.6 142.3 139.9 141.5 101.2 148.2 95.6 T46.4 140.2 144.3 101.1 151.6 97.1 149.9 137.0 145.5 100.7 153.9 97.4 152.9 137.0 147.5 101.1 156.5 97.1 154.7 136.3 148.5 101.9 158.7 98.0 155.6 137.4 149.4 102.5 160.7 99.4 156.9 140.8 151.5 T03.9 T62.1 r99.2 r156.1 r145.8 T52.6 100.1 141.8 95.8 141.6 132.2 138.4 101.1 145.1 95.3 143.5 138.3 141.8 99.9 147.7 95.4 147.8 139.5 145.0 100.0 151.3 96.9 151.3 136.4 146.4 99.9 153.5 97.1 153.6 137.7 148.3 100.4 156.1 96.9 155.4 136.5 149.1 100.8 158.3 97.8 157.1 137.2 150.5 101.7 161.0 99.5 158.3 140.7 152.4 T03.2 r162.7 99.6 T57.6 145.7 r153.6 101.8 139.5 96.2 138.4 137.0 142.3 103.0 134.3 102.1 142.0 95.9 141.1 139.0 147.0 100.3 136.4 103.0 145.0 95.2 143.6 140.7 151.9 108.6 139.6 102.2 147.8 95.4 147.7 144.6 156.6 104.2 142.7 102.4 151.7 97.2 150.9 148.1 158.9 90.8 144.0 102.3 153.7 97.2 153.1 150.2 161.2 90.3 145.9 103.2 156.1 96.9 153.8 151.1 161.3 91.2 146.6 103.4 158.1 97.7 156.3 152.9 165.9 83.0 147.9 104.3 160.4 99.2 156.7 153.9 164.7 96.1 149.7 P105.7 P161.6 P98.9 P155.7 P152.9 P163.5 P114.1 P150.9 105.1 141.6 97.5 136.9 105.4 144.3 97.5 136.9 106.1 147.0 96.5 138.5 104.4 150.5 97.1 144.1 105.1 155.1 99.4 147.6 105.3 157.1 99.4 149.1 107.8 159.6 99.1 148.1 108.1 161.4 99.7 149.3 110.2 165.5 102.3 150.2 r112.4 r166.4 101.8 T48.0 II III IV IP IIP p = preliminary. 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 31. P ercent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly co m p en satio n , unit costs, and prices, seasonally-adju sted at annual rate Q u a rte rly percen t chan g e at a n n u al rate Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons.............. Compensation per hour....................... Real compensation per hour................ Unit labor costs................................. Unit nonlabor payments ..................... Implicit price deflator.......................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons.............. Compensation per hour....................... Real compensation per hour................ Unit labor costs................................. Unit nonlabor payments ..................... Implicit price deflator.......................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ......... Compensation per hour....................... Real compensation per hour................ Total units costs .............................. Unit labor costs ............................ Unit nonlabor costs ....................... Unit profits ..................................... Implicit price deflator.......................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons.............. Compensation per hour....................... Real compensation per hour................ Unit labor costs................................. 1Not available. c = corrected. 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P e rc e n t c h an g e fro m s a m e q u a rte r a y e a r ago IV 1981 1 1982 II 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 2 11983 11981 II 1981 III 1981 IV 1981 11982 to to to to to to to to to to to to I 1982 II 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 2 I 1983 II 1 9 8 3 I 1982 I1 1982 III 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 2 1 1983 II 1 9 8 3 -0.4 9.4 6.3 98 -8 8 3.4 1.6 6.4 1.1 8.1 -0.1 5.5 1.7 6.7 -1.0 5.0 2.0 2.7 3.3 5.7 3.7 2.3 3.2 2.6 2.0 5.4 5.8 3.3 10.5 5.5 r5.7 r3.5 r -0.7 r-2.1 r15.0 r3.1 0.6 8.5 0.8 7.9 4.4 67 -0.4 8.2 1.3 8.7 2.7 6.7 1.1 7.5 1.6 8.7 2.6 4.9 0.7 7.1 2.5 6.3 2.0 3.5 1.3 6.1 2.4 4.7 2.8 4.1 r3.2 r5.3 r1.9 r2.1 6.5 r3.5 0.1 10.0 6.8 99 85 3.7 0.4 5.8 0.5 6.2 3.7 5.4 2.3 7.2 -0.6 4.7 -3.4 2.2 1.3 5.8 3.7 r4.4 2.0 3.7 3.7 6.8 7.2 3.0 10.6 5.3 r6.1 r4.3 r0.1 r1.6 r15.0 r3.3 -0.1 8.6 0.9 8.7 4.7 7.4 -0.3 8.2 1.3 8.5 4.2 7.1 0.6 7.6 1.7 8.3 -1.3 5.2 0.8 7.2 2.6 6.3 -1.6 3.7 1.7 6.4 2.7 4.6 r3.1 4.1 r3.3 r6.0 2.6 r2.6 5.8 r3.6 09 10.9 77 88 9.9 61 -42 2 3.6 0.5 5.4 0.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 -2.1 5.4 3.8 6.4 -1.3 1.8 2.4 0.1 3.8 1.9 0.6 5.4 3.4 6.7 4.8 11.9 -31.4 3.6 3.4 6.0 6.4 1.0 2.5 -2.8 79.9 5.1 P5.5 P2.9 P-1.3 P-2.5 P-2.4 P-2.8 P98.5 P3.2 0.6 8.7 1.0 9.0 8.1 11.7 -1.8 7.2 0.1 8.2 1.3 8.5 8.1 9.7 -9.9 7.0 0.2 7.6 1.7 7.1 7.4 6.2 -16.1 5.0 1.2 7.0 2.4 58 5.7 6.0 20.3 3.6 1.8 5.8 2.1 3.8 3.9 3.7 5.8 4.0 P3.3 P5.2 P1.7 P1.7 P1.8 P1.4 P26.3 P3.4 c2.8 r13.1 9.8 99 0.8 5.1 c-0 2 4.3 9.6 6.5 -1.2 -2.8 1.2 4.5 2.5 3.3 8.0 10.7 11.1 2.5 r8 4 r2.1 r-21 r-5.9 0.8 9.6 1.8 9.5 -0.1 8.8 1.9 8.9 1.6 8.6 2.6 6.9 3.5 7.3 2.7 3.6 4.8 6.7 3.0 1.8 r6.7 5.9 r2.5 r-0.8 r = revised, P= preliminary. I1 1982 WAGE AND COMPENSATION DATA D ata f o r t h e e m p l o y m e n t c o s t in d e x are re p o rte d to the B u reau o f L a b o r S ta tistic s by a sa m p le o f 2 ,0 0 0 p riv ate n o n fa rm e s ta b lis h m e n ts an d 7 5 0 S ta te a n d local g o v e rn m e n t u n its se lec te d to re p re se n t to ta l e m p lo y m e n t in th o se se c to rs. O n a v e ra g e , e ac h re p o rtin g u n it p ro v id e s w ag e an d c o m p e n sa tio n in fo rm a tio n on five w e ll-s p e c ifie d o c c u p a tio n s. Data on negotiated wage and benefit changes are o b ta in e d from c o n tra c ts o n file at the B u re a u , d irec t c o n ta c t w ith th e p a rtie s , and s e c o n d a ry s o u rc e s . Definitions The Employment Cost Index (EC1) is a quarterly measure of the average change in the cost of employing labor. The rate of total compensation, which comprises wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee ben efits, is collected for workers performing specified tasks. Employment in each occupation is held constant over time for all series produced in the ECI, except those by region, bargaining status, and area. As a consequence, only changes in compensation are measured. Industry and occupational employment data from the 1970 Census of Population are used in deriving constant weights for the ECI. While holding total industry and occupational employment fixed, in the estimation of indexes by region, bargaining status, and area, the employment in those measures is allowed to vary over time in accord with changes in the sample. The rate of change (in percent) is available for wages and salaries, as well as for total compensation. Data are collected for the pay period including the 12th day of the survey months o f March, June, September, and December. The statistics are neither an nualized nor adjusted for seasonal influence. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, ex cluding premium pay for overtime, work on weekends and holidays, and shift differentials. Production bonuses, incentive earnings, commissions, and cost-of-living adjustments are included; nonproduction bonuses are included with other supplemental pay items in the benefits category; and payments-in-kind, free room and board, and tips are excluded. Benefits include supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings plans, and hours-related and legally required benefits. Data on negotiated wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry collective bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on compensation changes apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage or compensation changes refer to average negotiated changes for workers covered by settlements reached in the period https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and implemented within the first 12 months after the effective date of the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to all adjustments specified in the contract, expressed as an average annual rate. These meas ures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living adjustment clauses, that are triggered by movements in the Consumer Price Index. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earn ings; compensation changes are expressed as a percent of total wages and benefits. Effective wage adjustments reflect all negotiated changes implemented in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. They include changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from contracts negotiated in an earlier period, and cost-of-living adjustments. The data also reflect contracts providing for no wage adjustment in the period. Effective adjustments and each of their components are prorated over all workers in bargaining units with at least 1,000 workers. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quarter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee benefits were in cluded in 1980, to produce a measure of the percent change in employers’ cost for em ployees’ total compensation. State and local government units were added to the ECI coverage in 1981, providing a measure o f total compensation change in the civilian nonfarm economy. Data for the broad white-collar, blue-collar, and service worker groups, and the manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and service industry groups are presented in the ECI. Additional occupation and industry detail are pro vided for the wages and salaries component of total compensation in the private nonfarm sector. For State and local government units, additional industry detail is shown for both total compensation and its wages and salaries component. Historical indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quarterly rates o f changes presented in the ECI are also available. For a more detailed discussion of the ECI, see chapter 11, “ The Em ployment Cost Index,” of the BLS Handbook of Methods (Bulletin 2 1 3 4 1), and the Monthly Labor Review articles: “ Employment Cost Index: a measure of change in the ‘price of labor,’ ” July 1975; “ How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost Index,” January 1978; and “ The Employment Cost Index: recent trends and expansion,” May 1982. Additional data for the ECI and other measures of wage and compen sation changes appear in Current Wage Developments, a monthly publi cation of the Bureau. 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage-Compensation Data 32. E m ploym ent Cost Index, by occupation and industry group [June 1981 = 100] P erc e n t cha n g e C iv ilia n w o rk e rs 1 ................................................................................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers.......................................................... Blue-collar workers .......................................................... Service workers ............................................................... Workers, by industry division Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................. Services ...................................................................... Public administration2 ................................................... P riv a te in d u s try w o r k e r s ............................................................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................................... Blue-collar workers........................................................ Service workers............................................................. Workers, by industry division Manufacturing............................................................... Nonmanufacturing.......................................................... S ta te a nd lo c a l g o v e rn m e n t w o r k e r s ................................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................................... Blue-collar workers ........................................................ Workers, by industry division Services ...................................................................... Schools.................................................................... Elementary and secondary ........................................ Hospitals and other services3 ........................................ Public administration2 ................................................... 1Excludes farm, household, and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1982 1981 S erie s 1983 3 m onths 1 2 m onths ended e nde d June S ept. D ec. M a rch June S ep t. D ec. M a rch June 100.0 102.6 104.5 106.3 107.5 110.1 111.4 113.2 114.5 1.1 6.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.3 102.8 104.9 104.1 104.2 106.5 105.7 107.2 107.7 107.1 108.3 110.7 109.2 110.8 111.9 110.5 112.4 113.7 112.3 114.3 114.9 113.6 115.1 1.1 1.2 .7 6.7 6.1 6.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 104.3 104.0 104.8 107.1 106.0 106.0 106.4 108.2 108.1 107.2 107.7 109.2 109.1 109.3 110.5 113.5 112.8 110.4 111.8 115.0 113.6 c 112.5 c 113.5 116.6 116.2 113.5 114.9 117.1 117.0 .9 1.2 .4 .7 5.9 6.7 7.2 7.2 100.0 102.0 104.0 105.8 107.2 109.3 110.7 112.6 113.9 1.2 6.3. 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.2 101.9 104.0 104.0 103.1 105.8 105.6 106.7 107.2 107.0 107.9 109.5 109.0 109.6 110.8 110.3 111.8 112.8 112.1 113.8 114.2 113.5 114.6 1.2 1.2 .7 6.5 6.1 6.2 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.0 104.0 103.9 106.0 105.7 107.2 107.1 109.3 109.3 110.4 110.8 112.5 112.6 113.5 114.2 .9 1.4 5.9 6.6 June 1 9 8 3 100.0 106.3 107.4 108.8 109.3 114.3 115.1 116.5 117.1 .5 7.1 100.0 100.0 106.7 104.2 107.8 105.9 109.1 108.2 109.5 108.9 114.9 112.7 115.8 113.0 117.0 114.9 117.5 115.8 .4 .8 7.3 6.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.8 106.0 106.3 105.0 104.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 107.8 106.0 109.0 108.9 109.3 109.5 108.1 109.4 109.1 109.5 110.3 109.1 114.9 114.8 115.6 115.3 112.5 115.9 115.8 116.6 116.0 113.6 116.8 116.6 117.2 117.5 116.2 117.4 116.9 117.4 118.8 117.0 .5 .3 .2 1.1 .7 7.3 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.2 ^Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. c = corrected. 33. E m ploym ent C ost Index, w ages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1981 = 100] P erc e n t change 1982 1981 S e rie s 1983 June Sept. Dec. M a rch June S ep t. D ec. M a rch June 3 m onths 1 2 m onths ended end e d Ju n e 1 9 8 3 ................................................................................................................... 100.0 102.5 104.4 106.3 107.3 109.7 110.9 112.2 113.4 1.1 5.7 Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers.......................................................... Blue-collar workers .......................................................... Service workers ............................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 102.4 102.5 104.7 104.0 103.6 106 7 106.5 106.8 107.6 106.7 107.9 110.4 108.6 110.1 111.4 109.8 111.8 113.0 110.8 113.2 114.2 112.0 113.9 1.1 1.1 .6 6.1 5.0 5.6 Workers, by industry division Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................ Servces ...................................................................... Public administration2 ................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.7 104.4 103.8 104.0 104.5 106.6 106.5 105.9 106.5 108.6 107.5 107.0 107.5 109.5 108.4 108.8 110.1 113.2 111.9 109.8 111.3 114.4 112.6 111.0 112.7 115.8 114.6 112.0 114.0 116.3 115.4 .9 1.2 .4 .7 4.7 6.0 6.2 6.5 C iv ilia n w o rk e rs 1 100.0 102.0 103.8 105.9 107.1 109.0 110.3 111.6 112.9 1.2 5.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 103.3 101.6 98.0 102.7 102.3 102.9 102.1 101.0 101.5 101.8 103.9 105.5 102.8 101.9 104.2 103.9 104.3 104.1 102.7 103.3 102.7 106.2 108.0 105.8 102.2 107.0 105.4 106.2 105.4 103.2 104.1 106.7 107.3 109 4 107.2 101.8 108.3 106.6 107.6 106.6 104.1 105.1 107.9 109.4 111.8 108.5 104.5 110.3 108.5 109.6 108.3 106.0 106.5 109.3 110.6 112.9 109.3 106.2 111.6 109.7 111.2 109.3 106.9 107.8 111.4 112.2 114.8 112.0 105.7 113.4 110.7 112.2 110.0 108.0 109.0 112.9 113.6 115.9 114.0 107.1 114.6 111.9 113.4 111.1 110.3 109.8 113.5 1.2 1.0 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 2.1 .7 .5 5.9 5.9 6.3 5.2 5.8 5.0 5.4 4.2 6.0 4.5 5.2 Wholesale trade ..................................................... Retail trade............................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate................................. Services.................................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.1 102.0 102.0 103.0 102.0 101.3 102.0 101.0 98.3 103.6 104.0 104.5 103.1 103.8 104.3 103.6 102.3 103.4 101.9 102.3 105.8 105.9 106.3 105.3 105.9 105.9 105.7 103.9 106.3 103.0 103.7 108.8 107.0 107.4 106.3 107.1 107.3 106.9 105.8 108.9 104.5 102.4 110.0 108.8 109.0 108.5 109.1 109.1 109.5 106.5 109.0 106.5 106.1 112.5 109.8 110.3 109.1 110.5 109.7 111.1 107.2 109.8 106.1 109.0 114.3 111.0 111.1 110.9 112.0 110.4 112.9 108.5 111.8 107.2 110.6 116.0 112.0 111.8 112.3 113.4 112.1 114.7 110.8 114.1 109.4 111.1 116.6 .9 .6 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 .5 .5 4.7 4.1 5.6 5.9 4.5 7.3 4.7 4.8 4.7 8.5 6.0 S ta te an d lo c a l g o v e rn m e n t w o r k e r s ................................................................... 100.0 105.0 107.0 108.2 108.7 113.5 114.0 115.1 115.7 .5 6.4 100.0 100.0 105.4 103.9 107.5 105.5 108.5 107.5 108.9 107.9 114.2 111.5 114.6 112.0 115.6 113.3 116.1 114.3 .4 .9 6.6 5.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105 5 105.7 106.0 104.6 103.8 107.6 107.7 107.9 107.3 105.5 108.4 108.3 108.7 108.8 107.5 108.8 108.5 108.8 109.5 108.4 114.2 114.2 114.9 114.3 111.9 114.6 114.5 115.1 114.9 112.6 115.5 115.2 115.6 116.5 114.6 115.9 115.4 115.8 117.7 115.4 .3 .2 .2 1.0 .7 6.5 6.4 6.4 7.5 6.5 P riv a te industry w o r k e r s ............................................................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................................... Professional and technical workers................................ Managers and administrators ........................................ Salesworkers............................................................. Clerical workers.......................................................... Blue-collar workers . . . ; .............................................. Craft and kindred workers............................................ Operatives, except transport.......................................... Transport equipment operatives..................................... Nonfarm laborers........................................................ Service workers............................................................. Workers, by industry division Manufacturing............................................................... Durab'es.................................................................... Nondurables ............................................................. Nonmanufacturing.......................................................... Construction ............................................................. Transportation and public utilities................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................................... Blue-collar workers ........................................................ Workers, by Industry division Services ...................................................................... Schools.................................................................... Elementary and secondary ........................................ Hospitals and other services3 .......................................... Public administration2 ................................................... 1Excludes farm, household, and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis includes, for example, library, social and health services. 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage-Compensation Data 34. E m ploym ent C ost Index, private industry w orkers, by bargaining status, region, and area size [June 1981 = 100] P e rc e n t change 1981 S erie s 1982 1983 3 m onths 1 2 m onths end ed e nde d June S ep t. D ec. M a rch June S e p t. D ec. M a rch June Workers, by bargaining status1 Union ............................................................................... Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.5 102.3 102.7 104.8 104.6 105.0 106.5 106.3 106.8 108.4 108.0 108.7 110.6 110.3 111.0 112.3 111.8 112.8 114.5 114.0 114.9 116.0 114.8 117.1 1.3 .7 1.9 7.0 6.3 7.7 Nonunion ........................................................................... Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.8 101.7 103.5 103.5 103.5 105.3 105.7 106.2 106.5 106.6 106.4 108.5 106.4 108.6 109.7 109.2 109.9 111.5 111.2 111.6 112.8 112.3 113.0 1.2 1.0 1.3 5.9 5.3 6.2 Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan areas ............................................................... Other areas........................................................................ 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.1 103.2 105.7 106.2 107.2 107.0 109.4 108.6 110.9 109.1 112.9 110.8 114.2 112.3 1.2 1.4 6.5 5.0 Workers, by bargaining status1 Union ................................................................................ Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.6 102.8 105.0 104.7 105.2 106.5 105.9 107.0 108.1 107.3 108.8 110.3 109.5 111.1 111.8 110.8 112.7 112.9 111.4 114.3 114.2 112.3 116.0 1.2 .8 1.5 5.6 4.7 6.6 Nonunion ........................................................................... Manufacturing ................................................................. Nonmanufacturing............................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.7 101.6 103.2 103.3 103.2 105.6 105.9 105.5 106.5 106.7 106.4 108.3 108.2 108.3 109.5 109.1 109.6 110.9 110.7 111.0 112.2 111.8 112.4 1.2 1.0 1.3 5.4 4.8 5.6 Workers, by region1 Northeast ........................................................................... South ............................................................................... North Central ...................................................................... West.................................................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.9 101.6 103.2 104.4 102.8 103.3 105.1 106.1 105.7 104.7 107.9 106.7 107.4 106.1 108.6 109.7 108.8 107.6 110.7 111.5 109.8 108.6 112.0 112.0 111.4 110.1 114.1 113.6 112.5 111.5 114.9 1.4 1.0 1.3 .7 6.5 4.7 5.1 5.8 Workers by area size1 Metropolitan areas ............................................................... Other areas ........................................................................ 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.0 103.1 105.9 106.0 107.1 106.8 109.1 108.3 110.5 108.8 111.9 110.1 113.2 111.4 1.2 1.2 5.7 4.3 Ju n e 1 9 8 3 C O M P E N S A TIO N W AG E S A N D SALARIES 1The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see BLS H a n d b o o k o f M e t h o d s , Bulletin 1910. 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 35. W ag e and com pensation change, m ajor co llective bargainin g settlem en ts, 1978 to date [In percent] Q u a rte rly a v e ra g e Annu al av e ra g e M e a s u re 1978 1979 1980 1981 1981 1982 1982 19839 III IV 1 II III IV 1 II Total compensation changes, covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.1 10.2 8.3 3.2 2.8 10.5 8.1 11.0 5.8 1.9 1.2 2.6 0 6.2 4.7 3.3 4.8 -1.7 1.5 4.7 3.9 First year of contract ..................... Annual rate over life of contract......... 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 9.8 7.9 3.8 3.6 10.8 8.7 9.0 5.7 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.2 5.4 4.5 3.8 4.8 -1.2 2.3 2.9 3.1 Manufacturing: First year of contract ..................... Annual rate over life of contract......... 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.4 5.4 7.2 6.1 2.8 2.6 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.4 2.5 2.7 1.8 1.7 5.1 3.9 4.1 4.5 -3.4 .9 1.3 1.6 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First year of contract ..................... Annual rate over life of contract......... 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.5 6.6 9.8 7.3 4.3 4.1 8.6 7.2 9.6 5.6 2.7 2.1 6.6 6.1 5.5 4.8 3.6 5.2 3.9 5.9 6.8 6.1 Construction: First year of contract ..................... Annual rate over life of contract......... 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 13.5 11.3 6.5 6.3 16.4 12.4 11.4 11.7 8.6 8.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 5.9 3.4 2.9 -.3 2.6 1.9 2.5 First year of contract ..................... Annual rate over life of contract......... Wage rate changes covering at least 1,000 workers, all industries: p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage-Compensation Data 36. E ffective w age adjustm ents in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 w orkers or m ore, 1978 to date Year M e a s u re Y e a r and q u a rte r 1981 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983P 1982 III IV I II III 1 IV II Average percent adjustment (including no change): All industries.................................................................... Manufacturing............................................................... Nonmanufacturing.............................. ....................... 8.2 8.6 7.9 9.1 9.6 8.8 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.5 6.8 5.2 7.9 3.3 3.1 3.4 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.0 .9 1.1 2.0 1.0 2.7 2.4 1.7 2.9 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.4 -.4 .9 1.3 1.0 1.4 From settlements reached in period........................................ Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period.................. From cost-of-living clauses ................................................. 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 30 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.7 3.6 1.4 .5 1.5 1.2 .4 .4 .6 .2 6 .3 .4 1.4 .2 5 1.3 .6 .6 .4 .3 -.2 .4 .1 .2 1.0 .1 Total number of workers receiving wage change (in thousands)1 ............................................................. — — — 8,648 7,852 4,364 3,225 2,878 3,423 3,760 3,441 3,030 3,108 — — — 2,270 1,907 540 604 204 511 620 825 434 454 — — — — — — 6,267 4,593 4,846 3,830 3,023 2,934 882 2,179 1,001 1,920 1,594 1,568 2,400 2,251 860 1,970 848 2,075 1,446 1,395 — — — 145 483 4,428 5,568 5,457 4,912 4,575 4,895 5,085 5,007 From settlements reached in period...................................................................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period ....................... ......................... From cost-of-living clauses ................................................. Number of workers receiving no adjustments (in thousands)............................................................... 1The total number of workers who received adjustments does not equal the sum of workers that received each type of adjustment, because some workers received more than one type of adjustment during the period. 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p = preliminary, WORK STOPPAGE DATA W ork stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data are based largely on newspaper accounts and cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. 37. Estimates of days idle as a percent of estimated working time measures only the impact of larger strikes (1,000 workers or more). Formerly, these estimates measured the impact of strikes involving 6 workers or more; that is, the impact of virtually all strikes. Due to budget stringencies, collection of data on strikes involving fewer than 1,000 workers was discontinued with the December 1981 data. W o rk stoppages involving 1,000 w orkers or m ore, 1947 to date W o rk e rs in vo lved N u m b e r of stop p ag es M o nth an d y e a r B eg in n in g in In effect m onth or y e a r d u ring m onth B eg in n in g in D ays id le In effect m onth o r y e a r d u rin g m onth (in tho u san d s) (in tho u san d s) Num ber (in th o u san d s) P e rc e n t of e s tim a te d w o rk in g tim e 1947 1948 1949 1950 ........................................ .............................. .......................................... ....................... 270 245 262 424 1,629 1,435 2,537 1,698 25,720 26,127 43,420 30,390 .22 .38 .26 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .......................................... ............................................... ...................................................... ............................................ ................................................... 415 470 437 265 363 1,462 2,746 1,623 1,075 2,055 15,070 48,820 18,130 16,630 21,180 .12 .38 .14 .13 .16 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 .......................................... .......................................... ...................................................... ..................................... ........................................ 287 279 332 245 222 1,370 887 1,587 1,381 896 26,840 10,340 17,900 60,850 13,260 .20 .07 .13 .43 .09 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ................................................. ........................................ .......................................... ............................................... 195 211 181 246 268 1,031 793 512 1,183 999 10,140 11,760 10,020 16,220 15,140 .07 .08 .07 .11 .10 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ................................................... ........................................ ................................................. ...................................................... ...................................................... 321 381 392 412 381 1,300 2,192 1,855 1,576 2,468 16,000 31,320 35,567 29,397 52,761 .10 .18 .20 .16 .29 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ................................. ................................... ................................................... ........................................ 298 250 317 424 235 2,516 975 1,400 1,796 965 35,538 16,764 16,260 31,809 17,563 .19 .09 .08 .16 .09 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ................................................... ................................................................. ............................................................. ................................................... ........................................................ 231 298 219 235 187 1,519 1,212 1,006 1,021 795 23,962 21,258 23,774 20,409 20,844 .12 .10 .11 .09 .09 1981 1982 ............................................................. .......................................... 145 96 729 656 16,908 9,061 .07 .04 1982 January ................................................................................... February ................................................................................... M arch ....................................................................................... A pril .......................................................................................... May .......................................................................................... June .......................................................................................... J u l y .............................................................................................. 2 3 4 14 15 18 13 4 7 9 21 23 27 25 6.1 3.9 13.3 59.5 42.7 42.8 38.4 11.4 15.3 26.1 79.1 66.1 66.9 65.9 202.8 241.1 357.0 533.1 657.6 907.2 844.7 .01 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .04 1983P January ................................................................................... February ................................................................................... M arch ....................................................................................... A pril .......................................................................................... May ........................................................................................... June .......................................................................................... J u l y .............................................................................................. 1 5 5 2 r11 r13 8 3 7 10 9 r16 r22 20 1.6 14.0 10.5 2.8 r23.6 r56.7 40.8 38.0 50.4 54.9 52.4 r32.9 r76.6 75.0 794.8 844.4 1,131.5 789.5 r493.9 r675.9 1,048.3 .04 .05 .05 .04 .03 .03 .06 p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r = revised. 87 p u t£ | í Vjst On XOUT Our list can help you do the other things you have on your list. Such as fix the car... check on social security... start the diet... find out about the loan... 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