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MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics September 1982 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In this issue: Job creation in industry, Automation and the future. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year $23 domestic; $28.75 foreign. Single copy $3.50. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, G overnm ent Printing O ffice, Washington, D C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through A pril 30. 1987. S econd-class postage paid Laurel, Md. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I Boston: Anthony J. Ferrara 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Flampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III Philadelphia: Alvin /. Marguhs 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV Atlanta: Donald M Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881^)418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V Chicago: William E. Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374 2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming September cover: "Imaginary Numbers," an oil painting by Yves Tanguy, from "20th Century Masters: the Thyssen-Bornemisza Collection," on view at the National Gallery of Art. The six-city exhibition was arranged by the International Exhibitions Foundation. Cover design by Melvin B. Moxley, Division of Audio-Visual Communications Services, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue. Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington min MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW SEPTEMBER 1982 VOLUME 105, NUMBER 9 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor L IB H A R M SEP 2 J 198? Richard Greene 3 Tracking job growth in private industry Small, young companies are very important to the process of job generation, according to three recent studies of the behavior of individual employers S. A. Levitan, C. M. Johnson 10 The future of work: does it belong to us or to the robots? As the silicon chip helps chip away many factory and office tasks, prospects are bright for robots and microprocessors, but no revolutionary loss of employment is anticipated John R. Stepp and others 15 Helping labor and management see and solve problems A mediator can improve an unhealthy labor-management relationship by recognizing the symptoms, making an accurate diagnosis, and prescribing appropriate remedies Jack Veigle, Horst Brand 21 Millwork industry shows slow growth in productivity During 1958-80, output per hour advanced at half the rate of growth recorded for all manufacturing, reflecting unstable demand and low capital investment REPORTS Philip L. Rones Nancy F. Rytina Francis W. Horvath Steve Early, Matt Witt Anne McDougall Young https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27 29 34 36 39 The aging of the older population and labor force participation Occupational changes and tenure, 1981 Job tenure of workers in January 1981 How European unions cope with new technology Labor force patterns of students, graduates, and dropouts, 1981 DEPARTMENTS 2 27 39 43 44 47 53 Labor month in review Research summaries Special labor force reports— summaries Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review JOBS FOR COLLEGE GRADS. The Bureau of Labor Statistics published a report on the job outlook for college graduates in the 1980’s. Here are ex cerpts from the article by Jon Sargent in the summer issue of Occupational Outlook Quarterly. Supply. The number of bachelor’s degrees awarded increased from 502,000 during the 1964-65 school year to 929,000 during the 1979-80 school year, an increase of more than 85 percent. The number of bachelor’s degrees awarded annually is expected to increase slowly during the early 1980’s, but as the babyboom cohort passes out of the typical ages of college attendance, the number of degrees granted annually is expected to fall. This decline should be softened, however, by continued increases in col lege attendance by older workers. By 1990, the number of bachelor’s degrees awarded will settle back to about the 1980 level. On the average, however, slightly more bachelor’s degrees will be awarded annually during the 1980-90 period than in 1980. Women college graduates were in creasingly likely to be members of the labor force during the 1970’s. The pro portion of women with college degrees who were either employed or looking for work climbed from 59.6 percent in 1970 to 68.4 percent in 1980, continuing a long-term trend. This increase primarily stemmed from the growing tendency of married women graduates between the ages of 25 and 44 to combine work with family responsibilities. The proportion of this group in the labor force grew from 49 percent in 1970 to 69 percent in 1980; the proportions of other women graduates in the labor force increased only slightly over the period. The grow ing labor force commitment of women college graduates increased the impact of the baby-boom generation on the labor force. Their numbers were unprecedented, as was the propor 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tion who sought jobs. During the 1980’s, the upward trend in the labor force participation rate of women is expected to continue, offset ting somewhat the impact of fewer peo ple entering their twenties. Labor force growth will nevertheless slow. Women will account for about two-thirds of the labor force growth between 1980 and 1990. Demand. During the 1970’s, employ ment in professional and technical, m anagerial, and nonretail sales jobs—occupations generally requiring substantial proportions of workers with a degree—increased 40 percent, com pared to about 28-percent growth for all workers. Between 1980 and 1990, employment in these occupations is pro jected to grow more slowly. They are ex pected to increase between 18 and 25 percent, depending on varying assump tions about growth in the economy, about as fast as the average for all oc cupations in the 1980’s. Educational upgrading was projected to occur in professional and technical, managerial and administrative, and nonretail sales occupations, continuing the trend toward greater complexity and skill requirements for many of these jobs, as well as employers’ responses to a greater supply. A constant, but small, proportion of the jobs in other occupa tions was projected to require a college degree. Outlook. A surplus of between 2 and 3 million college graduates is expected to enter the labor force during the 1980’s. If the economy grows as slowly as it did during the 1970’s, the surplus would be the higher figure, an average annual surplus of about 300,000 college grad uates—about 1 graduate in 5, just as in the 1970’s. If the economy grows more rapidly than it did in the 1970’s, the average surplus would be about 200,000 college graduates— about 1 in 7—each year. Even with more rapid growth, how ever, the job market experienced by col lege graduates in the 1980’s is unlikely to be more favorable than in the 1970’s. In 1980, a surplus of college graduates estimated at 3.8 million was already in the labor force, either employed in jobs that did not require their level of educa tion or unemployed. Of course, many of these have since begun satisfying careers in occupations that do not require 4 years of college education. Others, however, can be expected to compete for jobs that more fully utilize their educa tion. The job market will be more com petitive to the extent that this pool of underemployed 1970’s entrants com petes with 1980’s entrants for job openings requiring a college degree. Like college graduates in the 1970’s, future college graduates cannot be assured that they will find jobs in the oc cupations of their choice. Many may ex perience periods of unemployment, have to relocate to other areas of the country, or job-hop before finding one that satisfies them. As in the 1970’s, some may have to compete with nongraduates for the more desirable jobs not pre viously filled by graduates, but in many cases, their additional education will prove to be an advantage. Even though a college degree may not be required, many employers prefer to hire the best educated candidate who is qualified for a job. In many cases, a college graduate will also have an advantage in gaining promotion in non-college careers over those without degrees. Many graduates who are forced to start work in jobs for which they are overqualified never theless may gain useful experience that will be an advantage in competing later for more challenging jobs. The summer Occupational Outlook Quarterly is available from b l s regional offices (see inside front cover) at $2.75 per copy. □ Tracking job growth in private industry Small, young firm s are very important to the process of job generation, according to three recent studies o f the behavior o f individual employers R ichard G reene * The job generation process has been one of the most heavily debated public policy issues of recent years. Governments at the Federal, State, and local levels have invested heavily in programs designed to create jobs— including urban and general economic development plans, tax credits and incentives, and public sector em ployment program s— and to improve the ability of in dividuals to compete effectively in the labor market by providing basic education and training in new and expanding fields. Much current interest centers on the problem of matching unemployed workers from declin ing industries to opportunities in areas with expanding manpower needs, such as high technology and defenserelated activities. An interesting legislative approach, the Small Business Research Innovation A ct,1 is a pro posal to set aside Federal research money for small businesses in order to spur technological innovation and create new jobs. The success of efforts to increase em ployment through economic policy hinges on the ability to understand the job creation process, identify the job creators, and develop policy initiatives that enhance their potential. Aggregate data on employment levels and changes by industry and geographic area provide meaningful infor mation on overall labor market trends, but are limited for the study of job creation in that they essentially portray net results. The employment changes reported Richard Greene, formerly with the Office of Employment Structure and Trends, Bureau of Labor Statistics, is now an economist with the U.S. Department of State. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are the result of many thousands of production-function decisions made by individual employers, based on the relationship between their particular output and labor requirements. To understand the process of job creation, it is neces sary to go beyond the aggregated data, and examine the multitude of business decisions at the establishment level. This article summarizes the findings and methodology of some of the recent innovative labor market studies of this type in the private sector. Emphasis is placed on the microdata-based study of the job creation process under the direction of David Birch, director of the Mas sachusetts Institute of Technology ( m i t ) Program on Neighborhood and Regional Change.2 Similar studies by the Institute of Urban and Regional Development of the University of California at Berkeley, under the di rection of Michael B. Teitz,3and by the Brookings Insti tution4 will also be summarized. These efforts, with appropriate refinement and extension, have the potential to improve significantly the body of labor market infor mation used to guide the development of economic poli cy in this country. The MIT program David Birch of MIT has developed a theoretically simple approach to the analysis of the job creation pro cess, based on the employment histories of nearly 6 mil lion individual employers. Each firm in the MIT data base is characterized on the basis of location, size of employment, parent company affiliation, industry, and 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Job Growth in Private Industry age. By comparing changes in these characteristics over time, Birch was able to trace in some detail the path of economic transformation of individual firms. By aggre gating the changes in these characteristics for all estab lishments in a given sector or area, he was able to describe the overall labor market changes in that sector or area and, most importantly, how these changes oc curred. Some highlights: • Overall employment change in a private-sector labor market is the result of: — Births of new firms — Expansions of existing firms — Firms going out of business — Firms reducing their work forces — Firms moving their places of business • The sum of the flows causing job losses (concerns go ing out of business or reducing their work forces) is nearly the same in all areas. The job loss rate aver ages about 8 percent annually. • The job loss rate is quite high. Every area loses about 50 percent of its jobs every 5 years. • Differences in net employment growth are largely the result of differences in the rates at which job losses are replaced. This replacement rate varies greatly from area to area. • There are significant differences in the rates at which net new jobs are generated in various parts of the country. • The establishments generating new jobs tend to be: — Small. About two-thirds of all net new jobs be tween 1969 and 1976 were created by firms with 20 or fewer employees. — Young. About 80 percent of all “replacement” jobs between 1969 and 1976 were generated by establish ments in business 4 years or less. — Volatile. Job generators tend to move through pe riods of expansion and retrenchment as they grow. • Virtually none of the difference in the job generation capability of labor markets is due to firms moving their staffs and physical plants to different areas. Few businesses relocate, and when they do, they move short distances. The MIT studies are basically a longitudinal analysis of the individual establishment data collected by Dun and Bradstreet (d &b). The D&B files are based on estab lishment reports of all businesses with commercial cred it ratings. The data are used by d &b for its credit rating operation, but are commercially available to other en terprises for market research, mailing list preparation, billing, and associated activities. D&B collects many use ful economic observations, including the year the estab 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lishment started, location, employment, sales, major industry, and any branch or subsidiary relationships. The information is collected by a full-time staff of 1,700 reporters, assisted by 500 part-time employees. Files containing all D&B establishments for the years 1969, 1972, 1974, and 1976 were used by the MIT proj ect group to build a data base. A micro history of each employer was developed by matching the firms from year to year by the unique identifying number assigned by d &b . (That number stays the same as long as the es tablishment is in the file, regardless of any change in lo cation, size, or industry.) This economic history then allows a detailed analysis of changes in employment, lo cation, corporate affiliation, and life cycles. When the data are aggregated on the basis of various characteris tics, it is possible to identify the types of firms that cre ated the greatest number of jobs. Any review of the m i t findings must be tempered by an understanding of both the nature of the D&B files and the techniques used by MIT staff to build the data base. It should be emphasized that the D&B file was not designed as a time series or census of activity in a par ticular area or industry. As a result, a number of prob lems arise when the data are used for longitudinal analysis. A major problem with the MIT model is that births of firms tend to be underreported for the years covered by the study, d &b makes no effort to enter historical data for each newly reported firm in its files. This means, for example, that a firm appearing on the 1975 D&B file for the first time might actually have started operations in 1972. Consequently, the MIT model treats any newly re ported firm which is known to have been established before the period being studied as a new listing, rather than a birth. These new listings are excluded from any aggregate analysis of economic change during the cur rent and previous periods. They are, however, incorpo rated into the base-period employment for the analysis of future periods. A second problem is attributable to the 2- and 3-year intervals between the observations forming the model’s history. A large number of firms, particularly smaller firms, are formed and go out of business within a year or two. Because the MIT studies use data gathered at in tervals greater than the life cycles of these firms, any aggregate measure of employment change will under state the actual number of business births and deaths occurring during an interval. A third problem involves D&B’s treatment of branch establishments. Employment in branches is often under stated or even unreported because branches do not usu ally receive separate credit ratings. And, because D&B does not report the year that branch offices are started, the MIT model assumes that all new branch listings are births. However, because a 1976 d &b study of 1,000 firms indicated that nondisaggregated headquarters employed only 16 percent of all employees in headquar ters and branch establishments, the MIT team did not consider the nondisaggregation of branch data to be a major problem. The D&B file also has the same general problems of business death rates varied about 1 percent with the direction of the business cycle during the period of this study. This trend also holds at the State and city levels. The following tabulation compares the rates of employ ment loss and gain during the 1972-76 period for 10 metropolitan areas selected to demonstrate a variety of other large-scale employer data bases regarding geo graphical and industrial coding, clerical errors, and em ployer reporting mistakes. Errors of this type are extremely difficult to identify or measure without the use of costly employer validation visits. The MIT team developed an elaborate editing process which attempts to account for most of these deficiencies. However, an evaluation of the results of the MIT studies should take into account the nature of the D&B file and the prob lems inherent in constructing a history of nearly 6 mil lion employers. overall grow th rates: Components o f change. The extent to which an area’s job pool expands or contracts over time depends on the balance between those changes increasing the job pool — business births, expansions, and inmigration— and those decreasing the job pool— business deaths, con tractions, and outmigration. All of these events are oc curring simultaneously in every labor market. For employment to increase over time, births, expansions, and inmigration must be greater than those components causing employment decreases. The following tabulation summarizes the percentage employment changes resulting from the different com ponents of employment change. Data are averaged for all States during three periods. (The MIT project also produced similar data by neighborhood, city, Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, region, and for individual States.) B irth s.............................. D e a th s ........................... E xpansions.................... C o ntractions................. Inm igration.................... Outmigration................. 1969-72 1972-74 1974-76 5.6 5.2 4.7 2.9 .1 .03 5.5 4.5 5.3 2.6 .1 .05 6.7 5.7 4.4 3.4 .1 .01 This tabulation reveals several im portant characteris tics of the employment change process. As noted, relo cation is not significant, contrary to popularly held opinions. At the city level, migration of firms becomes more important, but its net effect on total employment remains insignificant when compared to the other fac tors. When firms move, they usually move short dis tances, as from an inner city to a suburb. Most of the observed firm outmigrations during 1969-76 were from New York City and Washington, D.C., to the sur rounding suburbs. The rates of job loss from business deaths and con tractions are roughly the same from year to year. The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Area H ouston ........................ C h a rlo tte ...................... Dayton ........................ R ochester...................... B o sto n ........................... B altim ore...................... Hartford ...................... Worcester ....................... New Haven ................. Greenville...................... Percent gain Percent loss Overall percent change 62.7 48.0 36.4 33.7 37.4 36.5 36.6 24.6 27.0 26.9 35.7 40.4 31.4 29.3 33.7 32.9 35.5 25.1 29.5 35.1 27.0 7.5 5.1 4.5 3.8 3.5 1.1 .5 -2.6 -8.4 Perhaps even more im portant than the relatively small range in employment loss rates is the fact that the job loss rates were generally greater in areas with the highest growth rates (that is, Houston and Charlotte). It is also interesting to note that the employment loss rate averages about 8 percent per year in most of the areas. Compounding that employment loss rate means that an area must replace about 50 percent of its jobs every 5 years to maintain its employment base. Among the 10 metropolitan areas, the range of em ployment gain rates is almost 2 Vi times greater than the range of employment loss rates. The employment gain rates were, as might be expected, highest in the fastgrowth areas. Generally, differences in employment growth rates are the result of variations in the employ ment gains from new firms starting up and existing firms expanding operations, rather than differences in employment losses resulting from layoffs, or from firms going out of business or migrating to other areas. The Birch study indicates that an area must replace an average of 8 percent of its jobs every year to main tain a constant employment level. And, to expand its employment base, an area must obviously generate ad ditional jobs. In Phoenix, for example, nonagricultural employment increased 2.9 percent, or from 613,000 to 631,000, in 1980. To attain that growth rate, the Phoe nix economy actually had to generate approximately 66,700 jobs, of which almost 75 percent replaced job losses. Firm size and location. Two-thirds of all net new jobs were created by firms with 20 employees or fewer, and about four-fifths were created by firms with 100 em ployees or fewer, according to the MIT model of 5.6 mil lion businesses between 1969 and 1976. The results here are consistent with other research which found that, 5 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Job Growth in Private Industry Table 1. Percent of net new jobs created and percent of total employment by firm size and region, 1972-76 Firm size Region 20 or fewer workers 21 to 50 51 to 100 101 to 500 More than 500 workers workers workers workers Northeast: Percent of net jobs created Percent of total employment 177.1 21.7 6.5 12.8 -17.4 10.5 -33.3 23.4 -32.9 31.7 North Central: Percent of net jobs created Percent of total employment 67.2 20.5 12.0 12.7 5.2 10.2 3.1 22.9 12.4 33.8 South: Percent of net jobs created Percent of total employment 53.5 22.0 11.2 12.6 5.5 10.0 9.4 23.1 20.4 32.3 West: Percent of net jobs created Percent of total employment 59.5 23.3 11.6 13.6 6.3 10.8 9.3 22.2 13.3 30.0 S ource : David Birch, The Job Generation Process, mimeo (MIT Program on Neighbor hood and Regional Change, February 1979). over the last 10 years, small businesses created 3 million jobs, while the 1,000 largest firms recorded virtually no net gains in employment.5 In 1976, small firms accounted for only about 24 per cent of the private-sector employment in the country, while registering 66 percent of the employment growth. Firms with over 500 employees account for about 27 percent of employment but only 13.3 percent of job generation. Firms in the middle range generated the least employment growth. The relatively strong job gen erating capacity of small firms must be interpreted in relationship to the behavior of larger firms, for growth in their proportion of total employment may indicate ei ther an increase in employment in small firms or a de crease in employment in larger firms. Table 1 shows that another important pattern of job generation is that the slower growth areas rely more heavily on smaller businesses to generate new jobs; larg er firms generate a greater percentage of net jobs in the faster growth areas. Across regional lines, small firms are the major creators of new jobs. Between 1972 and 1976, firms with 50 or fewer employees generated basi cally all net new jobs in the Northeast, almost 80 per cent in the North Central, and about two-thirds of the new jobs in the South and West. The distribution of overall employment by size of firm was roughly the same from region to region, but there were wide dispar ities in the percentage of jobs generated by size class. In the Northeast, all but the small establishments were ac tually net job losers during 1972-76. Age o f firm. Another distinguishing characteristic of job generators is their youth. According to the MIT model, about 80 percent of the replacement jobs are created by establishments which have been operating less than 4 years. This proportion is remarkably similar among re gions. 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent of jobs created North Northwest Central South Years in business Less than 4 ........... 5 to 8 .................... 9 to 12 ................. 13 or more .......... 75.5 10.4 7.5 6.6 80.8 8.4 6.0 4.8 80.4 9.9 5.1 4.6 West 80.9 8.8 5.5 4.8 The correlation between age and employment growth was also found in a California study of additions to em ployer payroll during the 1976-77 period.6 This study concluded that small firms less than a year old had much higher rates of payroll accession than other firms, accounting for 4.4 percent of total employment and more than 11 percent of the total payroll accessions. The use of age of business as a variable to study em ployment growth patterns is a characteristic unique to the d &b files. No other major employer data base con tains the year that a business was started. (The Califor nia study compared unemployment insurance employer records over 5 calendar quarters to identify new firms and to track their subsequent movements.) Industry developments. As would be expected, serviceproducing industries generated most of the new jobs. In fact, the service sector was responsible for virtually all of the employment growth during the 1972-76 period, increasing its share of total nonfarm employment from 67.9 percent to 70.6 percent. (This employment shift to service industries is also reflected in aggregate b l s data, shown in table 2.) Manufacturing firms in the MIT mod el actually generated no net new jobs, although certain high-technology industries showed strong employment growth. Service industries kept employment bases relaTable 2. Employment of industry divisions characterized by large and by small establishments, and changes, 1974-80 Employment (in thousands) Industry Total, private sector......... Average Percentage Percentage size of of total employment March March Change, establish growth change 1980 1974 1974-80 ment, 1980 73,720 63,089 10,631 Small-establishment industries: Trade .................. 20,068 16,537 Finance, Insurance, and real estate ... 5,090 4,107 Services ............... 17,636 13,191 Construction........... 4,087 3,878 Total ............. Large-establishment Industries: Manufacturing ....... 20,722 20,027 Mining .................. 990 665 Transportation and public utilities . . . . 5,127 4,684 Total ............. S ource : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 17 100.0 16.9 3,531 13 21.4 983 4,445 209 9,168 13 13 18 12 23.9 33.7 5.4 695 325 62 32 443 1,463 27 49 86.2 3.3 32.8 9.5 13.8 tively stable in many areas where manufacturing indus tries were incurring severe losses. Job generation is a cheaper, simpler process in the less capital-intensive service industries. There are few barriers to entry by new firms in most of this sector. Because many of the industries provide “custom designed” products, their production tends to be quite labor-intensive. The demand for business, health, and personal services has risen dramatically and is reflected in the number of new jobs. placement activities in the South, and an even greater share in manufacturing. Corporate structure. Job creation patterns are strongly affected by the corporate structure of the generating firms. Job creation resulting from the birth of new estab lishments increasingly reflects the branching activities of existing firms. The share of employment created by branching activity increased from approximately 50 per cent to over 70 percent in all regions between 1974 and 1976. However, after having established branches, corpo rations are less likely to expand them. The majority of expansion growth is accounted for by independent firms, that is, firms having no branches or subsidiaries. The fol lowing tabulation shows percentage employment gains by region and type of establishment during 1974-76: • Between 1978 and 1980, 55 percent of the net employ ment growth was in establishments with fewer than 20 employees. About 78 percent of the net 1978-80 growth was in establishments with under 100 workers. • Approximately one half of this employment growth represents branching or establishment of subsidiaries by large firms. • Small independent firms generate new jobs at a rate about equal to their proportion of total employment. • The proportion of employment growth accounted for by these small firms increases in regions and indus tries with declining employment, and decreases in re gions and industries with expanding employment. Births Headquarters Subsidiary Branch Independent The Brookings analysis of employment growth between 1978 and 1980 both differs from and confirms some of Birch’s major hypotheses regarding the behav ior of small business. Both studies confirm the turbulent job generating behavior of establishments with fewer than 100 employees. However, it should be noted that the studies differ as to how to classify small branches of larger firms. The Brookings project, for the most part, excludes these establishments from the discussion of small business behavior. Like the MIT study, the Brookings project also em phasizes the importance of examining small business be havior relative to the performance of larger firms. Finally, the Brookings project introduces a more recent data source for the study of the job generation process — the 1978 and 1980 United States Establishment and Enterprise Microdata files. Northeast . . . . North Central S o u th ............ West ............ 23.6 19.9 25.2 24.0 2.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.1 72.0 77.6 71.7 72.2 Expansions Independent Headquarters Subsidiary Branch Northeast . . . North Central S o u th ............ West ............ . . . . 58.2 54.5 54.2 56.9 21.1 20.9 17.4 22.2 6.7 5.0 5.7 4.6 14.0 19.6 22.7 16.3 Independent firms accounted for about 20 to 25 per cent of the employment gained by births of new firms and 50 to 60 percent of the employment gained by ex pansion of existing firms between 1974 and 1976. Over all, independent firms accounted for about one-half of the total jobs created during the 1974-1976 period. These trends in job generation by corporate structure are quite consistent from region to region but do vary by industry. Independents play a more important role in trade and services— the growing sectors of the econ omy. Branching tends to be more important in manu facturing industries. It is also noteworthy that more than 65 percent of all manufacturing jobs generated in the South were in branches controlled by corporations headquartered in other parts of the country, mainly the Northeast and North Central sections. By 1976, branches accounted for roughly 40 percent of all job re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Brookings Microdata Project The Brookings Institution used the United States Es tablishment and Enterprise Microdata files, developed by the U.S. Small Business Administration, to examine the components of employment change between 1978 and 1980. These files are basically updates of the D&B files used by Birch. The major conclusions from the Brookings project: The University of California study The study by the University of California Institute of Urban and Regional Development used individual em ployer records from the mandatory unemployment in surance system to analyze the job generation process. The study, directed by Michael Teitz, was based on rec ords for a sample of just over 25,000 California em ployers from the 1975-79 period. The Teitz study differed from the MIT project in terms of sample size, geographic coverage, reference period, and data source. However, the results are remarkably similar to those noted by Birch. 7 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Job Growth in Private Industry • During 1975-79, establishments with fewer than 20 employees accounted for 56 percent of the net gains in employment. (Birch estimated that such firms con tributed about two-thirds of the net job gains.) • Firms less than 2 years old accounted for a much greater share of the net employment growth than older firms. • More than 90 percent of the net new jobs in the young, small firms were in the nonmanufacturing sec tor. • Job losses resulting from layoffs and from firms going out of business or undergoing ownership changes var ied by size class. Teitz found that at least 7 percent of jobs existing in companies with fewer than 10 work ers at the beginning of their second year of business had disappeared by the third year. This is in line with Birch’s estimated overall job loss rate of about 8 per cent per year. In general, Teitz noted an even greater degree of volatility— alternating periods of expansion and retrenchment— in the job generation process than did Birch. The Teitz study provides some other interesting ob servations on the job generation process. In particular, Teitz found that, while small new firms dominated the job creating process, most of the new employment growth was concentrated in a small percentage of these firms. He also concluded that, in the California manu facturing sector, larger firms are the major generators of net new jobs. The Teitz study is im portant in several respects. First, it introduces another data source— the adminis trative records of the unemployment insurance sys tem — which may be used to build a history of individu al employers. While these data are affected by the same general types of problems faced by users of the D&B file, Teitz’s discussion and treatment of these problems should help other analysts of the unemployment insur ance micro data. Secondly, the study tends to confirm some of the provocative conclusions of the Birch study regarding the nature of the job generation process. Per haps just as importantly, Teitz’s study provides more documentation on how the quality of labor market in formation can be improved by examining the individual employer data. Finally, Teitz introduces an interesting concept regarding the concentration of employment growth in a relatively few small firms. Further study of this characterization of the job generation process should be an im portant part of any effort to develop improved job generation strategies. The future of micro research In coming years, at least three major sources of indi vidual establishment data will be available to the policy analyst: the D&B data base; unemployment insurance rec 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ords; and the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Standard Statistical Establishment List. Each source has its re spective strengths and limitations for breaking down and analyzing macro labor force movements. Each of these important data bases is the byproduct of an ad ministrative record keeping system which was not designed for time series analysis. The characteristics of the D&B file, the basis for the MIT and Brookings stud ies, were described above in conjunction with the dis cussion of the MIT project. The second major employer micro file is administered at the State level by the State Employment Security Agencies, and at the national level by BLS. The State agencies maintain micro files of all employers covered by unemployment insurance (ui) laws. (The California UI micro file was the basis for the Teitz study.) For the first calendar quarter of the year, each State Employ ment Security Agency submits to BLS a tape containing the name, account number, address, SIC code, 3 months of employment data, and total quarterly wages of each Ul-covered establishment. This information serves as the sampling frame for most of the major BLS surveys. The UI universe file, in contrast to the D&B file, represents an almost complete census of nonagricultural firms and is updated on an annual basis.7 As previously indicated, the analytical use of the D&B file currently is limited by its noncomprehensive nature, a weakness in accounting for new births, the quality of the SIC coding, and the irregular updates of employer information. The D&B file has also been subject to irreg ular changes in file maintenance procedures which makes the development of a longitudinal data base even more difficult. These problems are, for the most part, handled better by the UI universe file. The major weaknesses of the UI file for micro analysis involve the difficulties in maintaining series continuity, determining employer affiliations, and identifying and breaking out the employment of multi-establishment firms. A third major employer file, the Commerce Depart ment’s Standard Statistical Establishment List (ssel), is currently being developed from various Census Bureau, Internal Revenue Service, and Social Security Adminis tration records. The SSEL, when complete, will include all known multi- and single-establishment employers. Most data will be updated on an annual basis. The SSEL will be particularly strong in the breakout of multi establishment employment. Preliminary indications are that improvements in eco nomic analysis could be achieved by coordinating the efforts of the MIT and Brookings project, and from the continued refinement and development of the UI and SSEL files. At the moment, however, most reconciliation work is hindered by the need to maintain confidentiality of employer responses to government surveys. Legisla tion is currently being developed by the U.S. Depart- ment of Labor to permit sharing of statistical informa tion among data bases under procedures which would safeguard the confidentiality of responses, when this sharing is feasible. Each file could then serve, at a mini mum, as a quality control check for the other files in terms of employer location, size, and industrial activity. Eventually, the attributes of these files might be com bined to build an employer data base that would signifi cantly improve the ability to trace the process of job creation. □ FOOTNOTES mimeo (Berkeley, Calif., Institute of Urban and Regional Development, University of California, March 1981). 4 Catherine Armington and Marjorie Odle, S o u rc e s o f E m p lo y m e n t G ro w th 1 9 7 8 - 1 9 8 0 , mimeo (Washington, Business Microdata Project, The Brookings Institution, March 1981). 5Stanley Pratt, editor of V en tu re C a p ita l J o u rn a l, in “Striking It 2 Various aspects of the MIT project are discussed in David Birch, Rich,” T im e, Feb. 15, 1982, p. 36. 6 State of California Employment Development Department, E m T h e J o b G e n e ra tio n P rocess, mimeo (MIT Program on Neighborhood p lo y m e n t S e r v ic e P o ten tia l, V o lu m e I, T h e D im e n s io n s o f L a b o r T u rn and Regional Change, February 1979); C h o o sin g a P la c e to G row : o v e r ( S e p te m b e r 1979), p. 111. B u sin e ss L o c a tio n D e cisio n s in th e 1 9 7 0 ’s, mimeo (January 1981); C o r p o r a te E v o lu tio n : A M ic r o -B a s e d A n a ly sis, mimeo (January 1981); and 7 BLS is initiating a comprehensive evaluation of the UI name and David Birch, “Who Creates Jobs,” P u b lic In te re s t, Fall 1981, pp. 3-14. address files that will yield significant improvements in their utility for economic analysis. 1Michael B. Teitz, S m a l l B u sin ess a n d E m p lo y m e n t G ro w th in C a li A c k n o w l e d g m e n t : The author would like to thank Carmen Cruz of the Office of Employment Structure and Trends, Bureau of Labor Sta tistics, for her assistance in the preparation of this article. 'This legislation was passed by Congress on July 12, 1982, and is awaiting Presidential signature. See, “A Battle over R&D Funding,” T h e W a sh in g to n P ost, Feb. 18, 1982, p. A l l . fo r n ia , A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. «► https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 The future of work: does it belong to us or to the robots? As the silicon chip helps chip away many factory and office functions, prospects are bright for both robots and microprocessors, but investment and other constraints seem to assure no revolutionary loss of employment Sar A. L evitan and Clifford M. J ohnson Today, futurists are discussing the onset of a sweeping technological revolution, one which would rival or sur pass the Industrial Revolution of the 19th century in importance. This envisioned social order has been given many names— “postindustrial,” “technetronic,” or “in formation” society. At the center of this flurry of inter est in technological change is the microprocessor. While computerized automation has been theoretically feasible for more than a decade, large and expensive computer systems could produce cost savings only in the most massive industrial settings, and automated machinery could not be easily adapted to serve various production functions. Now, with the development of the micro processor, these obstacles have been overcome and the potential uses of computerized machinery at the workplace have dramatically increased. Microprocessor technology is best symbolized by the silicon chip, a miniaturized system of integrated circuits which can direct electrical current and, thereby, gener ate vast computational power. A silicon chip the size of one square centimeter can perform millions of multipli cations per second, and has the capacity to store the texts of the Declaration of Independence, the ConstituSar A. Levitan is Professor of Economics and Director of the Center for Social Policy Studies, The George Washington University, Wash ington, D.C., and Clifford M. Johnson is a research associate at the center. This article is adapted from their forthcoming book, S e c o n d T h o u g h ts on W o rk (Kalamazoo, Mich., W.E. Upjohn Institute, 1982). Digitized 10 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tion, and a few chapters of the Federalist Papers. Tech nological advances are expected to result in at least a fourfold expansion of these capabilities within a decade, so that the microprocessors of the future will be ex tremely powerful computers on a single silicon chip or combination of chips. The reduction in size is astound ing— today’s hand-held programmable calculators have more computational power than the first full-scale com puters built during World War II, computers which could have been “hand held” only by juggling 18,000 different vacuum tubes. This miniaturization of computer technology is par ticularly important because it has been accompanied by dramatic cost reductions, making microprocessors eco nomically competitive in a wide range of industrial ap plications. Once designed, silicon chips can be mass produced at a very low cost, and even further price de clines are anticipated as volumes rise. As a result, a cal culation which cost 80 cents to perform in the early 1950’s costs less than one cent today, after adjusting for inflation. The combined reductions in size and cost of microprocessor technology have triggered renewed in terest in prospects for automation and in the broader possibility of a wholesale transformation of modern so ciety driven by these new technological capabilities. The silicon chip is particularly im portant to economi cal automation because it provides the basis for fully integrating computer and machine. In industrial set- tings, the microprocessor makes possible the develop ment of manufacturing machinery with unique adapt ability. The great m ajority— at least 75 percent— of all manufactured goods fall into the category of shorter, lower-volume production runs, with only the most basic industries continuing to fit the mass-production stereo type. Technological advances in microelectronics, there fore, were an essential precondition to widespread automation, and the expanding use of reprogrammable machinery has triggered today’s intense debate regard ing the future of industrialized societies. The potential impact of microprocessors is heightened by their seemingly endless number of applications. This new technology promises to alter not only the factory, but the office as well. Sophisticated word processors and computerized information storage and retrieval sys tems are becoming increasingly cost-effective, and be cause this new technology does not require knowledge of specialized computer languages, their growing use may raise traditionally low productivity among office workers. These office innovations are considered quali tatively different from previous office equipment which “mechanized” or “automated” routine tasks. While memory typewriters made an office worker’s tasks easi er, emerging computer technologies may change the means by which information is transcribed and made available to others. Again, only with the silicon chip has this decentralized use of computer technology at an affordable cost become possible. ations of screenplay writers and science fiction authors. Rather than some form of mechanical humanoid, indus trial robots are characterized by mechanical arms linked to reprogrammable computers. An exact definition of a robot, as distinct from other automated machinery, eludes even •industry representatives. The Robot Insti tute of America, an industrial trade group, stresses that it is the “reprogrammable and multifunctional” charac ter of robots which is unique, allowing them to perform a variety of tasks.2 And the emerging versions of robots are varied— the more extravagant include a “bureau cratic robot” which stamps signatures on letters, a robot “nurse” to assist handicapped persons in wheel chairs, a robot “janitor and guard dog” for the home, and “talking robots” which would advertise products or give job training to illiterates. Microprocessors are revo lutionizing design methods for the development of new manufactured goods, and have become an integral part of nearly all modern research equipment so as to expe dite lengthy data analysis.3 Innovations such as voicesensitive computers which can directly transcribe dicta tion into written text may be marketable within just a few years. It is this diversity of applications for microprocessor technology which distinguishes it from less significant innovations, and which has led futurists to predict a societal transformation “comparable with the agricultural revolution that began about 10,000 years ago, and with the industrial revolution.” 4 ‘Robot revolution’ coming There is little consensus as to where the “robot revo lution” is heading and how far it will go. The technolo gy itself may be refined to such an extent that most factory work could be carried out by robots and auto mated machinery. For example, a study conducted at Carnegie-Mellon University asserts that the current gen eration of robots has the technical capability to perform nearly 7 million existing factory jobs— one-third of all manufacturing employment— and that sometime after 1990, it will become technically possible to replace all manufacturing operatives in the automotive, electricalequipment, machinery, and fabricated-metals industries.5 Yet these theoretical estimates of the potential for auto mation, which reach as high as 65 to 75 percent of the factory work force, do not reflect the rate at which the new technology will actually be introduced to the workplace. The pace of innovation will depend on the relative costs of labor and computerized technologies, as well as on broader levels of supply and demand for goods and services. Predictions of this nature are infi nitely more difficult than abstract assessments of future technological capabilities. The automobile industry offers an interesting case study, because it is probably the first manufacturing in dustry to aggressively pursue the use of robots in auto- The use of the microprocessor to automate produc tion functions is epitomized by the development of the robot. Prior to the last decade, robots were confined to the domain of children’s stories and science fiction— their practical and efficient application in work settings was virtually inconceivable given the state of computer technology. The silicon chip has thrust robots from fan tasy to reality, and the technology is being pursued with remarkable speed and vigor. A number of top computer companies are now considering entry into the robot market, and several large U.S. corporations have made commitments to purchase robots which are al ready available. The use of robots in manufacturing has nearly quadrupled between 1979 and 1981, and most analysts expect the sales curve to shoot higher during the next few years.1 Most importantly, microprocessors seem to be in a prime position for the implementation of “learning curve pricing” strategies in which firms lower prices in anticipation of rising volumes and de clining unit costs. The entry of large computer compa nies into the robot market could ensure this aggressive marketing stance and trigger a sharp rise in robot sales by 1990. Today’s robots bear little resemblance to the cre https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis How far . . . 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • The Future o f Work mated processes. The push toward automation in the auto industry is a response to both rising labor costs and growing concerns for quality control and competi tiveness in international markets. Auto manufacturers already find it possible to operate robots for $6 per hour, well below the $20 per hour required for the pay and benefits of a skilled worker in 1981.6 General Mo tors, aware of the growing use of robots by Japanese auto makers, predicts that by 1987, 90 percent of all its new capital investments will be in computer-controlled machines.7 A 1980 survey conducted by the American Society of Manufacturing Engineers predicted that ro bots will replace 20 percent of existing jobs in the auto industry by 1985, and that 50 percent of automobile as sembly will be done by automated machines (including robots) by 1995.8 Even the United Auto Workers antici pates a 20-percent decline in membership by 1990 and has successfully obtained advance notice and retraining rights from auto manufacturers in a growing effort to gain protection from sweeping automation. Yet, few of these estimates include any consideration of the extent to which capital shortages confronting robot manufac turers and purchasers may limit the speed with which the new technology is adopted. Projections of the impact of microprocessors on office employment are even more problematic, with analysts more frequently predicting the number of office jobs “affected” rather than eliminated by automation. The Carnegie-Mellon study argued that 38 million of 50 mil lion existing white-collar jobs would eventually be af fected by automation, while a vice president for strate gic planning for Xerox Corp. offered the more conservative guess of 20 to 30 million jobs affected by 1990.9 There is general agreement that office technolo gies will be changing rapidly, but little indication of whether the result will be reduced office employment, shifts in future employment growth, or simply higher levels of productivity in white-collar settings. A 1982 study prepared for the International Labour Office found that microelectronic technology has not caused widespread displacement of office workers, but perhaps only because of the impact of poor economic conditions on the rate of diffusion of the new technolo gy in office settings. Selected case studies of the banking and insurance industries suggested that new job oppor tunities were being created, but the skills made redun dant by new technologies were generally inappropriate for those emerging opportunities. The report stressed that this trend poses special threats to employment prospects for women, and called for additional educa tion and training efforts to close the “skill gap” caused by the use of microprocessors in office jobs.10 Perhaps the greatest fears that automation will lead to widespread unemployment have been voiced, not in the United States, but in Western Europe. For example, 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis two British authors have predicted nothing short of the collapse of work as a social institution in an era of microprocessors:11 It is impossible to overdramatize the forthcoming crisis as it potentially strikes a blow at the very core of industrialized societies— the work ethic. We have based our social struc tures on this ethic and now it would appear that it is to be come redundant along with millions of other people. In West Germany, studies of the impact of automation on future employment levels commissioned by the Bonn government projected that the number of jobs in 1990 will at best be marginally above 1977 levels— a pessi mistic view in light of anticipated population growth. The issue of technologically induced unemployment in creasingly is capturing the attention of West European leaders, and unions in Italy, Germany, and elsewhere are responding with demands for shorter workweeks to protect employment levels. Perennial fears that ma chines would replace workers have never been fulfilled, but European futurists insist that it will be different this time. . . . and how fast? While the impact of automation in the past has been offset by the emergence of new industries and by growth in the service sector of the economy, these ave nues for employment growth may indeed be less open in an era of microprocessors. The electronics industry, which supports this computerized technology, certainly will experience rapid growth in the coming decade, but a 1979 survey of the world electronics industry pre pared for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development revealed that the internal use of its own technology will keep employment growth in this sector to a minimum.12 It is this “reproductive” poten tial of computerized technology— the prospect of robots building robots— which challenges traditional patterns of employment growth through new industries. And to the extent that the microprocessor will affect service as well as manufacturing industries, even the recent trend of expanding service employment may fail to provide jobs. In spite of these relatively unique characteristics of microprocessor applications, predictions of immediate and massive job losses tend to ignore the market forces which slow the pace of technological change. As stressed in recent research by the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics, many factors limit the speed of diffusion of tech nological change and thereby mitigate possible employ ment implications. The size of required investment, the rate of capacity utilization and the institutional arrange ments within industries all can act as “economic gover nors” which slow the adoption of automated technolo gies.13 Virtually all capital-intensive industries have a massive investment in existing plant facilities, and they cannot afford to squander these resources through the wholesale replacement of working machinery. More im portantly, the financial constraints on capital formation necessarily limit the rate at which new technologies are introduced. In this context, Joseph Engleberger, presi dent of Unimation, Inc. (the Nation’s largest robot manufacturer), has dismissed predictions of galloping automation, noting that even the replacement of 5 per cent of all blue-collar workers in Western industrialized nations would require investments totaling $3 billion in each of the next 40 years.14 While microprocessor tech nology may be promising in its flexibility and potential efficiency, industries must be able to afford the new ac quisitions in order to use them. A less tangible but perhaps equally important force limiting the expansion of computer technology lies in the attitudes of both workers and consumers. While a computer may be able to diagnose medical problems, its bedside manner may be less than comforting. Similarly, word processors and telephone answering systems may alter clerical roles, but most executives will not want to forgo the convenience offered by their personal secretar ies. People can hear the best music in the comfort of their homes, but flock to concert halls to hear lesser performances. Even on the assembly line, where robots may be perfectly suited for production processes, the aversion of managers and workers to such unfamiliar companions may hamper their smooth and rapid assim ilation at the workplace. These psychological barriers cannot be factored into equations of economic effi ciency, but they are likely to slow the pace of techno logical change nonetheless. Will workers become obsolete? The picture which emerges when the functioning of capital markets and work organizations are considered is one of evolutionary rather than revolutionary change. With annual sales of robots well below 10,000 in a la bor force of more than 100 million, it will be some time before computerized technologies make a major dent in aggregate employment levels. This perspective is empha sized by Robotics International, a professional group which polled 100 users and manufacturers of robots. Based on the responses, the group concluded that ro bots are likely to replace 440,000 rather than a million workers by 1990, and that all but 5 percent of the dis placed workers would be retrained rather than dismissed.15 The relative lack of union concern in the United States over aggregate job losses through auto mation also stems from this belief that the pace of inno vation has been exaggerated. William Winpisinger, president of the International Association of Machin ists, has argued that the replacement of human skills with computerized machinery will occur slowly and that a shortage of skilled workers will remain our most pressing manpower problem.16 No doubt, unions will continue to seek guarantees of job security in some in dustries, and collective bargaining may gradually extend to include management investment decisions. In the more distant future, no one can be sure where new employment growth will occur. Expectations of a workless society still linger; as described in one forecast:17 Earning a living may no longer be a necessity but a privi lege; services may have to be protected from automation, and given certain social status; leisure time activities may have to be invented in order to give new meaning to a mode of life that may have become economically useless for a majority of the populace. The literature in recent decades has been replete with speculations on how people would cope with the loss of meaningful work roles, or how society would allocate and distribute wealth in the absence of strong ties be tween work and income.18 Even for those who reject such forebodings, the belief in continued employment growth admittedly contains as much faith as foresight. Still, there seems little likelihood that the worker will become obsolete in the foreseeable future. In one sense, past waves of automation have created dislocations, but it has been distributed throughout the labor force in the form of benefits and social progress— shorter work weeks, more vacation time, longer training and educa tion, earlier retirement, child labor laws, and welfare and unemployment payments. We can expect this trend to continue, particularly as labor seeks assurances of job security. Assuming a healthy rate of economic growth during a period of innovation and increasing au tomation, it is also likely that levels of aggregate de mand will support the emergence of new goods and services. Rising expectations alone will cause Americans to translate productivity gains into higher standards of living instead of less work, a pattern which has held for centuries. The period of adjustment which lies ahead may not be painless, but it seems that work is here to stay. □ FOOTNOTES 1“Robots Join the Labor Force,” B u sin e ss W eek, June 9, 1980, p. 62; and Joann S. Lublin, “As Robot Age Arrives . . . T h e W a ll S tr e e t J o u rn a l, Oct. 26, 1981, p. 1. 2Otto Friedrich, “The Robot Revolution,” T im e, Dec. 8, 1980, p. 75. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3Gene Bylinsky, “A New Industrial Revolution is on the Way,” Oct. 5, 1981, pp. 106-14; and Barnaby J. Feder, “The Auto mated Research Lab,” T h e N e w Y o r k T im es, Oct. 27, 1981, p. D l. 4 Herman Kahn, William Brown, and Leon Martel, T h e N e x t 2 0 0 Y ea rs (New York, Morrow, 1976), pp. 8; 20-24. F o rtu n e, 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • The Future o f Work Lublin, As Robot Age Arrives . . . and “The Speedup in Au tomation,” B u sin e ss W eek, Aug. 3, 1981, p. 62. and Development, in OECD, 1980). 6 C o n g ressio n a l R e c o r d (daily edition), Dec. 10, 1981, p. S14908. 7Harley Shaiken, “Detroit Downsizes U.S. Jobs,” T h e N a tio n , Oct 11, 1980. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , Fred Reed, The Robots Are Coming, The Robots Are Coming,” May /June 1980, p. 32. N e x t, “The Speedup in Automation.” 10Diane Werneke, “Microelectronics and Office Jobs: The Impact of the Chip on Women’s Employment,” report prepared for the Interna tional Labour Office, 1982, pp. 115-24. " Clive Jenkins and Barrie Sherman, don, Eyre Methuen, 1979), p. 182. T h e C o lla p se o f W o rk (Lon T e c h n ica l C h a n g e a n d E c o n o m ic P o lic y Richard W. Riche, “Impact of new electronic technology,” March 1982, p. 39. 4 Reed, “The Robots Are Coming.” 1 Lublin, “As Robot Age Arrives. . . .” 16William W. Winpisinger, “Correcting the Shortage of Skilled Workers,” T h e A F L - C I O A m e r ic a n F ed e ra tio n ist, June 1980, p. 21. Theodore J. Gordon and Olaf Helmer, “Report on a Long-Range Forecasting Study,” in S o c ia l T ech n o lo g y (New York, Basic Books, 1966), pp. 81-82. James S. Albus, P eo p le 's C a p ita lis m : T h e E c o n o m ic s o f th e R o b o t (Md., New World Books, 1976); and Colin Hines and Gra ham Searle, A u to m a tic U n e m p lo y m e n t (London, Earth Resources Re search Ltd., 1979). R e v o lu tio n Mich McLean, “Sector Report: The Electronics Industry,” back ground study prepared for the Organization for Economic Cooperation Smoothing the transition Union resistance to labor-saving technical change within an industry can often be moderated by careful management of change, which will minimize its effect in creating unemployment. This is much more difficult in the case of interindustry effects, since an enterprise in one industry is unlikely to be concerned with the effects of its deci sions on employment in another industry. Technical change often pro duces losses for investors who have invested in equipment and skills that are made obsolete. Where the investment is embodied in people rather than in machines, the human problems it causes are more se vere and less tractable. Those outside the union movement cannot condone a position that blocks technical progress, but they can ap prove one that uses some of the fruits of progress to give reasonable compensation to workers for the loss of their livelihood. — A lbert R ees The Economics o f Work and Pay (New York, Harper & Row, Publishers, Inc., 1973), p. 137. 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Paris, Helping labor and management see and solve problems A mediator can help improve an unhealthy labor-management relationship by recognizing the symptoms, making an accurate diagnosis, and carefully prescribing appropriate remedies J ohn R. Stepp , R obert P. Baker , and J erome T. Barrett The Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service has rec ognized that the effective promotion of labor-manage ment peace requires more than just an “eleventh-hour” appearance at the bargaining table by its mediators. Like most other professional organizations that respond to human emergencies, the service has learned that by blending prevention with treatment its resources are used more efficiently. The preventive mediation function requires the medi ator to be alert to symptoms of untoward labor-man agement relationships, to diagnose the problems accurately, and to prescribe effective remedies.1The na ture and severity of the symptoms must be recognized and traced to their source; the remedy must be suited to the location of the symptoms in the labor or manage ment hierarchy, or both; and the parties must be per suaded that the cure is preferable to the disease and is clearly in their own self-interests. This article extracts from accumulated experience those principles on which a prescriptive model for im proving labor-management relationships can be built.2 John R. Stepp is Director, Office of Labor-Management Relations Services, U.S. Department of Labor; Robert P. Baker is District Di rector, Western Region, San Francisco, Federai Mediation and Conciliation Service; and Jerome T. Barrett is Director and Associate Professor of Industriai and Labor Relations, Northern Kentucky Uni versity, Highland Heights. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis This empirical model is erected on the perceptions and experiences of the authors, all of whom are or have been Federal mediators.3 Recognizing the symptoms Mediators are uniquely positioned to detect the dan ger signals emanating from a poor labor-mangement re lationship. When involved at the collective bargaining table in dispute mediation, the mediator can make a reasoned judgment as to the nature of the relationship behind the conflict. This is done by examining the is sues, assessing each side’s internal relationships, and testing and verifying these impressions through indepth private discussions with both parties. Numerous issues, especially noneconomic or language items, are often symptomatic of underlying problems which are being addressed in a circuitous manner. When this is the case, a contractual agreement may be no more than a bandage on a festering wound. The un derlying problems have neither been identified nor ad dressed and certainly have not been resolved. Every mediator, at one time or another, has entered a negotiation shortly before a strike deadline, only to be confronted with many unresolved issues. In private dis cussions with the moving party, usually the union com mittee, the mediator learns that these issues are an attempt to send the other party “a message.” The mes sage is that there is enormous dissatisfaction with “busi15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Helping Labor and Management Solve Problems ness as usual” on the shop floor and that problems are not getting resolved. Resentment is bubbling over onto the bargaining table in the form of contract issues. The bargaining table is an ill-equipped forum for the effec tive resolution of these underlying problems. During crisis negotiations it is very difficult to negotiate an im provement in attitudes or a better labor-management re lationship. Faced with a rapidly approaching deadline, the best the mediator can hope for is that some issues can be re solved through catharsis and others quietly dropped be cause they are not strike-related. If a tentative agreement is reached, the mediator’s relief may be brief because the membership’s frustrations may surface again in their refusing to ratify the agreement. Even with ratification, there remains a strong suspicion that all is not well and that the administration of this con tract and the negotiation of the next are likely to be fraught with difficulty. This perception is often shared by negotiators, too. The mediator may also become aware of a deteriorat ing labor-management relationship through ways other than his or her personal involvement in contract negoti ations. Through such professional and community orga nizations as the Industrial Relations Research Association, the mediator can learn of problems. Also, in monitoring dispute cases, he or she has daily contact with representatives of labor and management; through casual conversation, there is much opportunity to learn of labor relations problems in a particular plant or loca tion. Similarly, relationships plagued by frequent, long, or bitter strikes; wildcat strikes; high grievance levels; nu merous arbitrations; or other obvious signs such as job losses in a declining business enterprise, are symptoms which will catch the mediator’s attention. Once alerted, he or she can seek confirmation from the labor and management representatives at the site. Another means of mediator awareness is through communiqués from the affected parties. Because the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service is annually involved in more than 1,000 technical assistance en deavors, the awareness of the availability of this service among labor-management practitioners assures numer ous requests. When contacted, the mediator will begin exploratory meetings with the parties to determine the nature, location in the organization, and extent of the problems. Diagnosing the problem Having detected danger signals, the mediator must guide both parties through a joint analysis of the prob lems in order to determine their seriousness and exact location. Until this diagnosis is completed, no remedy can be prescribed. The character of a labor-management 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relationship may be viewed along a simple continuum consisting of three benchmarks: conflict, detente, and ac commodation.4 An employer at the conflict end of the continuum never really accepts the union: “ . . . he does not yield to the union even a narrow, restricted scope until he lit erally has to; and he looks for the first opportunity to get rid of the intruder. His acceptance of joint dealings is an ‘imposed acceptance,’ imposed by law and by union power.” 5 Under detente, the midpoint of the continuum, each side accepts the other’s institutional legitimacy but exer cises its relative strength to obtain the best deal. Each adopts a “win some, lose some” approach. They fight, but the conflict is held within accepted limits; there is a conscious effort to avoid pain and serious injury to one another. Parties at the accommodation end of this scale strive to reduce the level of contention. When differ ences do occur, they are processed with minimum emo tion through agreed-upon procedures with equity being a realistic and desired goal for both. “They have proved themselves willing to compromise whenever possible, to conciliate whenever necessary, and to tolerate at all times.”6 The three benchmarks can be used by the mediator to determine the severity and types of problems the parties have. Relationships characterized by conflict will have the most serious problems, reflecting distrust, hos tility, and suspicion; those characterized by accommoda tion will have the least severe problems, arising from human failures in communications, consistency, and concern for the points of view of others. The next segment of the model directs the mediator’s diagnosis to a determination of the location of the prob lem within the respective organization. One inhibitor to accurate diagnosis is the diffusion of authority in com plex, multilayered, and interdependent labor-manage ment organizational structures. A systematic exam ination of the various intraorganizational dimensions and their interrelationships is needed to locate and ad dress the source of the problem. Because the structures of most labor organizations are reactive to and thus closely parallel the management structure to which they relate, more attention will be given to the structure of management in labor relations matters. Management can generally be regarded as conducting labor relations on three levels. (On occasion these levels may be extended or compressed.) The top level is one of decisionmaking, usually personified by either a vice president of labor relations or a labor relations director. This level formulates, delivers, and implements corpo rate policy on its own initiative or as an operating arm of higher-level management policymakers. The union counterpart of this level is usually an international rep resentative. The mid-level can be characterized as one of imple mentation for labor relations decisions and policies. Within management, this level would generally be staffed by either a plant manager or a department head who formulates very little policy but has, instead, the important responsibility of supervising and coordinating the implementation of policies established at the top level. Business agent or local president are usually the titles of union officials at this level. The lowest management level is populated by firstline supervisors. They face the difficult task of confront ing the real world armed only with the policies supplied and precedents established. Here are discovered both the flaws and strengths of overall policy. The union counterpart at this level is the steward. A thorough examination of the parties’ relationship requires a look at the relationships between levels with in each structure, as well as across the table, which symbolizes the classic area of contention. Given three existing levels of labor-management interaction within a bargaining unit, each level having 1 of 3 possible char acters, a diagnosis may theoretically yield 27 possibili ties.7 In this article, we will not attempt to deal with 27 different variations, several of which have only a theo retical existence and are not plausible outcomes. For ex ample, this would be true when accommodation existed at the supervisor/steward level, but at all higher levels the parties were locked in conflict. Accommodation could not realistically exist between foreman and stew ard, except momentarily, if conflict were the prevalent mode between plant manager and business agent. Two corporals in opposing armies cannot wage peace while their generals are waging war, lest they risk dismissal for treasonous behavior.8 More importantly, to examine all 27 possibilities would emphasize detail over the more generic and fundamental concepts. Prescribing a remedy Having diagnosed the relationship and the possible location of the problem, the model’s remaining segment concerns the prescribing of remedies. Labor-manage ment relations improvement remedies are few— there are presently three primary items: Relationships by Ob jectives programs, labor-management committees, and joint training programs. Variations exist of each, espe cially the latter two. Relationship by objectives. In the Relationships by Ob jectives program, mediators provide the expertise for guiding labor and management toward basic changes in their relationship.9 Both are brought together by media tors to analyze their problems, to decide what their common objectives should be, and to reach agreement on goal implementation. Since the program was intro https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis duced by the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Ser vice ( f m c s ) in 1975, 100 Relationships by Objectives projects have been completed in some of the most diffi cult labor relations situations in American industry. Currently, the program is being used almost exclu sively in situations following protracted strikes or where there are volatile labor-management histories. The crite ria established by the FMCS as a prerequisite for con ducting such programs are that both parties must be sufficiently concerned about their divisive relationship and committed at all levels to do something about it. In return, the FMCS commits itself to assist the parties in rebuilding their relationship and thus to reduce the prospects of strikes in subsequent negotiations. (A Rela tionships by Objectives program may result in the parties identifying a need for a labor-management com mittee or for training.) Labor-management committees. In recent years, more than 300 labor-management committees have been formed annually by employers and unions with the as sistance of FMCS mediators. The structure and goals of labor-management committees vary greatly, but most share the essential need for representatives of labor and management to join together and talk about mutual problems. These committees complement the traditional collective bargaining relationship. They are an implicit recognition that the parties have much in common and that their relationship need not be totally adversarial. Through effective committees, joint problem-solving can take place which strengthens mutual credibility and tends to improve relationships. Joint training programs. Successful labor-management relations are less a function of the quality of negotia tions than of the day-to-day implementation and admin istration of the labor agreement. The majority of this work is done by the first-line supervisor and the union steward. If their performance is below standard, rela tions suffer. Consequently, most of FMCS’ preventive ac tivities have been directed toward this group. Supervisor-steward training does have considerable value in the development of a work atmosphere which is conducive to labor peace and the quick and effective resolution of labor-related problems. Training sessions, which use a variety of instructional techniques and fo cus on subjects such as communications, leadership, and grievance handling, are a vehicle whereby adversar ies can set aside their stereotyped images and view one another in a nonthreatening light, thus seeing, perhaps for the first time, their commonalities. The FMCS con ducts 400 to 500 such joint training programs annually. These training programs are tailored to the perceived needs of the supervisor-steward audience, and are struc tured to encourage class participation. Using a combi17 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Helping Labor and Management Solve Problems nation of lecture, audio-visual materials, and workbooks for the participants, the mediator leads discussions into such areas as: • • • • understanding the supervisor-steward relationship; making the supervisor-steward relationship work; providing effective leadership; and handling problem situations. These programs are not intended to provide instant solutions to complex problems. They are designed to enable the participant, working with others in the group and under the guidance of a mediator, to come up with his/her own insights which, it is hoped, will be wisely applied over time to improve their relations. Setting priorities In selecting a remedy, order is important. One must focus first at the highest level in need of attention. Higher-order problems must be resolved or neutralized before those of a lower level are addressed. If the labor-management problems are severe, and are located in the top or middle levels of the respective or ganizations, then the Relationships by Objective pro gram should be considered as a possible remedy. Through the program, the parties have an opportunity to recast their relationship or to start anew, provided there is mutual acknowledgment of serious problems impairing the relationship, and genuine commitment to change. Once the program has been successfully applied, de tente, and rarely, accommodation, would be expected in lieu of conflict. Assuming the most likely, detente, the parties are now in a position to build together a better relationship. To assure further positive momentum and continued improvement, a labor-management committee is usually needed. If nurtured and sustained, labor-management commit tees have demonstrated their capability for improving labor relations. The most visible level of improvement is likely to be between the top plant management and the business agent or local union president. If the commit tee is really working, it will also affect the plant floor. Consequently, through effective applications of such committees, all mid-level outcomes have the potential of being elevated to the accommodation mode. In many cases involving labor-management commit tees, a problem that is often identified as an impediment to a good relationship is the inability of stewards or su pervisors, or both, to dispose of grievances successfully. This can generally be attributed to some combination of three factors: (1) an unwillingness to reach an agree m ent— a preference for sustaining the conflict, (2) the absence of perceived authority to settle the problem, or (3) the lack of knowledge or technical ability to handle grievances. Each of these causes can be successfully 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tackled by the labor-management committee. The first two can be addressed through separate consultations within each party, so that agents at the lower level real ize their superiors are expecting most problems to be re solved at that level. If the remaining problem is simply a technical inabili ty to meet labor relations responsibilities, the most ef fective antidote is training. Through joint training of supervisors and stewards, the groundwork may be laid for a better relationship. Effective joint training usually emphasizes the building of problem-solving and inter personal skills, and better understanding of respective roles and the benefits of working together. Equipped with an improved understanding of their roles and the prerequisite skills for doing their jobs, and encouraged by support from the top and middle levels, discord and discontentment at the lower level can be converted to accommodation. Third party audits The model that we have evolved consists of: three or ganizational levels within labor and management; three characterizations of the relationship which determine the type and severity of the problem; and three remedial approaches. However, it has not been suggested in any detail how to analyze a labor-management problem when applying the model; rather we have spoken of the mediator recognizing danger signals and observing is sues and relationships, all of which implies an intuitive, ill-defined, and artistic process. This method usually provides a sufficiently accurate diagnosis in cases in which the mediator knows the parties well, or the prob lems are relatively obvious, or both; but in other situa tions a more rigorous approach is needed to apply the model. For this purpose, we will describe a diagnostic process used in organizational development and human resources development (training needs assessment).10 Discussion will center on joint training at the supervisor/steward level, but with minor modifications, the process could be used at other levels or when other remedies are proposed. The diagnostic procedure, developed by Geary Rummler, focuses on a “human performance” audit." For him, human performance is composed of: (1) the job situation or occasion to perform; (2) the performer; (3) the behavior (action or decisions) that is to occur; and (4) the consequences of that behavior to the per former.12The advantage of using a performance audit is that it forces the specific source of the undesirable be havior to be identified. A second feature of Rummler’s audit is the determi nation of the economic consequence of poor performance. In other words, having determined by the audit model that undesirable performance is a result of a lack of feedback to a supervisor about his or her work, for example, the question is asked: does it really make any difference or enough difference to require change? The result of this questioning will be to consid er first those performance problems which are most eco nomically important to the organization. A very sophisticated or extremely simple audit can be used, depending upon the amount of time available, the complexity of the organization, and the functions being audited. This audit of performance can be used on all three levels of labor relations concurrently, but we will apply it only to the lower level. The basic components of the Rummler approach can be retained in a streamlined audit by using this series of questions to identify sources of the problems and to an alyze them: I. General lead-in questions 1. How do you know you have a problem? 2. How will you know when the problem is solved? 3. How long has this been a problem? 4. How general is the problem? II. Questions on the job 1. What is the desired performance? 2. What are the job standards? 3. Who says that these are the standards? 4. Does everybody agree on these standards? III. Questions on the performer 1. What are the specific differences between actual and expected performance? 2. Has anyone ever performed as expected? 3. Who? 4. When? 5. How many individuals are now performing below standard? IV. Questions on behavior 1. Did the steward or first-line supervisor ever perform properly? 2. Could they perform properly if their lives depended upon it? 3. If they could perform properly, would they? V. 'V Questions on the consequences of performance 1. Does the steward or first-line supervisor whose perfor mance is below standard know: a. What is expected of him or her? b. What he or she is not performing correctly and exactly how far he or she is from expected per formance? c. How to perform correctly? d. When to perform? VI. Questions on feedback 1. What positive or negative consequences, or both, of performing correctly or incorrectly can the first-line supervisor or steward expect from: a. Higher ranking officials within the company or or ganization? b. Subordinates? c. Associates at the same level? VII. Questions on economic costs and priorities 1. What does it cost the employer or union not to reme https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dy the performance problem? 2. What is the priority on remedying any performance problem? A few examples will illustrate how these questions produce relevant information on performance and eco nomic priorities: • Under II, questions 1, 2, and 3 could lead one to discover that the union policy is unclear on whether a steward is expected to anticipate and solve problems before they be come formal grievances. • Under III, question 5 could disclose that first-line supervi sors in only 2 departments in 20 have performance problems. • Under IV, questions 2 and 3 could reveal that motivation and interest are the source of the performance problem, not knowledge or skill. • Under V, question 1 could divulge that the first-line super visor is aware of only one-third of the tasks expected of him or her. • Under VI, question 1 might reveal that the steward gets no positive feedback on his or her performance. • Under VII, question 1 might show that the failure to prop erly investigate a grievance, prior to committing it to writ ing, doubled the length of time required to process it through the first two steps of the grievance procedure. When the audit is completed, the mediator will have a complete list of the performance problems in the area under study, which will include an identification of the sources of the problems, and economic priorities based on the cost of the problem to the organization. Following an analysis of this list, the mediator could act as an adviser to labor and management in determin ing the appropriate remedy. Some problems are more susceptible to a training solution, others to a labormanagement committee or a Relationships by Objec tives program, and some will require structural and pol icy changes. In each instance, the mediator will work with the parties to resolve the performance problem and improve their relationship. Conclusions Before any labor-management relationship can be im proved, the parties to that relationship must both be dissatisfied with the status quo and have before them some blueprint which, if followed, has a reasonable chance of succeeding.13 14 In many cases, labor-manage ment relationships are operating at a suboptimal level. This can happen for many reasons; for example, one or both sides prefer it that way, they are not prepared to incur the political or economic costs they attach to im provement, they do not know how to gain the necessary credibility to move jointly forward, or they simply do not know what to do. 19 M O N T H L Y LA BO R REV IEW September 1982 • Helping Labor and Management Solve Problems Often a trusted third party can diplom atically allow the parties to focus on shortcom ings in a relationship, by minimizing political and economic costs of change, prom oting trust and cooperation, and assisting both sides in developing a roadm ap which, if followed, should lead to a positive, constructive relationship. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------Section 203 (A) of the Taft-Hartley Act states: “It shall be the duty of the Service, in order to prevent or minimize interruptions, of the free flow of commerce growing out of labor disputes, to assist parties to labor disputes in industries affecting commerce to settle such disputes through conciliation and mediation.” During the discussion on the floor of the Senate of Bill S.1126 (sub sequently compromised to become the Taft-Hartley Law), Senator Ir ving Ives of New York made the statement: “A great lack at the present moment in the field of mediation is measures by which we may prevent industrial strife as well as cure it after it has begun. That, of course, is contemplated under the new title.” ( C o n g ressio n a l R e p o r t, p. 4,590, 5-6-47.) : It is interesting to note that the Federal Mediation and Concilia tion Service Preventive Mediation function started during the same period (late 1940’s) as the early applications of contemporary behav ioral science to organization and management. But there is little evi dence that the service benefited in any systematic way from developments within behavioral science until the 1970's. The introduc tion of the Relationships by Objectives program in 1975 (see discus sion on p. 17 of this article) was influenced by the work of Blake and Mouton, particularly Robert R. Blake, Herbert A. Shepard, and Jane S. Mouton, M a n a g in g I n te rg r o u p C o n flict in I n d u s tr y (Houston, Gulf Publishing Co., 1964), p. 210; and Robert R. Blake, Jane S. Mouton, and Richard L. Sloma, “The Union-Management Intergroup Labora tory: Strategy for Resolving Intergroup Conflict,” in Warner Burk and Harvey A. Hornatein, eds., T h e S o c ia l T ech n o lo g y o f O rg a n iza tio n D e v e lo p m e n t (Fairfax, Va., NTL Learning Resources Corporation, 1972), pp. 101-26. This lack of behavioral science influence on preventive mediation during these 30 years is understandable because Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service mediators are pragmatic individuals caught up in practicing their art; they are not inclined to seek help or guid ance from theorists and academics. Moreover, even the behavioral sci entist makes limited claims for the application of his work to the practitioner. See George Strauss and others, eds., O r g a n iz a tio n a l B e h a vio r: R es e a rc h a n d Issu e s (Madison, Wis„ Industrial Relations Re search Association Series, 1974), p. 2, which quotes with approval Harold L. Wilensky, writing on the same subject in 1957: “Not every thing done by the social scientist can or should help the practitioner . . . . the social scientist s job is basically different from the executive’s job . . . . much of what he comes up with is of limited use to the practi tioner.” Writing 5 years later on the question, “Can Social Psychology Con tribute to Industrial Relations?” Strauss said, “From 1960 on, psychological contributions to industrial relations were almost nonexistent . . . ” See Geoffrey M. Stephenson and Christopher J. Brotherton, eds., I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s : A S o c ia l P s y c h o lo g ic a l A p p ro a c h (Chicheston, England, John Wiley & Sons, 1979), p. 371. ' The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Mediation and Conciliaton Service. A similar continuum of labor-management relations consisting of armed truce, working harmony, and union-management cooperation was proposed in Frederick H. Harbison and John R. Coleman, G o a ls a n d S tr a te g y in C o lle ctive B a rg a in in g (New York, Harper & Brothers, Publishers, 1951), p. 19. Another more complex model for analyzing labor-management rela tions is described in Leon Meggison and C. Ray Gullett, “A Predic tive Model of Union-Management Conflict,” P e rso n n e l J o u rn a l, June 1970, pp. 495-503. See Benjamin M. Selekman, Sylvia K. Selekman, and Stephen H. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Fuller, P r o b le m s Co., 1950), p. 7. in L a b o r R e la tio n s (New York, McGraw-Hill Book 6 “Problems,” p. 8. D = LG where D is the number of diagnostic outcomes, L is the number of levels in the organization (3), and G is the number of pos sible characterizations of the relationship between the parties (3). Hence, D = 33 or 27. However, it should be noted that a very bad relationship (conflict) may exist at a lower level even though there is a very good one at the next higher level (accommodation). Two generals can be pursuing peace while the battle rages. For more background on Relationships by Objectives program, see John J. Popular, “Labor-Management Relations: U.S. Mediators Try to Build Common Objectives,” W o rld o f W o rk R e p o r t I, Septem ber 1976, pp. 1-3; Thomas A. Kochan, C o lle ctive B a rg a in in g a n d I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s { Homewood, 111., Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1980); and Anthony V. Sinicropi, David A. Gray, and Paula Ann Hughes, E v a l u a tio n o f th e F e d e r a l M e d ia tio n a n d C o n c ilia tio n S e rvic e 's T e c h n ica l A s s ista n c e P r o g r a m in L a b o r -M a n a g e m e n t R e la tio n s h ip s b y O b je ctive s (R B O ), unpublished, Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, 1978. In the field or in organizational developments there are a number of diagnostic processes for searching out and assessing organizational problems. See for example: Robert R. Blake and Jane S. Mouton, C o rp o r a te E x c e lle n c e D ia g n o sis: T h e P h a se 6 I n s tr u m e n t (Austin, Tex., Scientific Methods, 1968); J. Richard Hackman and Greg R. Oldhan, “Development of the Job Diagnosis Survey,” J o u r n a l o f A p p lie d P s y c h o lo g y, 1975, vol. 60, pp. 159-70; Ralph H. Kilmann and Kenneth W. Thomas, “Four Perspectives on Conflict Management: An Attributional Framework for Organizing Descriptive and Normative Theo ry,” A c a d e m y o f M a n a g e m e n t R e v ie w , 1978; vol. 3, pp. 59-68; John P. Kotter, O rg a n iza tio n D y n a m ic s : D ia g n o sis a n d In te rv e n tio n (Reading, Mass., Addison-Wesley, 1978); Paul R. Lawrence and Jay W. Lorsch, D e v e lo p in g O rg a n iza tio n s: D ia g n o sis a n d A c tio n (Reading, Mass., Addi son-Wesley, 1969); Harry Levinson, O r g a n iz a tio n a l D ia g n o sis (Cam bridge, Mass., Harvard University Press, 1972); and Rensis Likert, T h e H u m a n O rg a n iza tio n : I ts M a n a g e m e n t a n d V a lu e (New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1967). " Geary A. Rummler, “The Performance Audit,” in Robert L. Craig, ed„ T ra in in g a n d D e v e lo p m e n t H a n d b o o k (New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1976, 2d ed.). 1 Rummler, “The Performance Audit.” Dissatisfaction with the status quo is found in organizational de velopment efforts: “The fundamental reason some crisis or pressure seems to be so important in setting the stage for change is that it cre ates a state of readiness and motivation to change. Kurt Lewin called this the ‘unfreezing stage’ at which old beliefs, values, and behaviors lose strength in the face of data that disconfirm the manager’s (union ist’s) view of his (their) organization’s effectiveness.” Michael Beer, O rg a n iza tio n C h a n g e a n d D e v e lo p m e n t: A S y s te m s V iew (Santa Monica, Calif., Goodyear Publishing Co., 1980), p. 48. 4 The need for a plan in order to facilitate change is also found in the Organizational Development literature: “Successful change efforts require new models for looking at organizational problems and/or new ideas for structuring or managing the organization. New models may come in the form of a new organizational design, accounting sys tem, planning systems, or personnel policy.” (See Beer, “Organiza tional Change,” p. 50.) Millwork industry shows slow growth in productivity During 1958-80 , output per hour advanced at half the rate of growth for all manufacturing industries, reflecting unstable demand and low capital investment J a c k V e ig l e a n d H orst B r a n d Labor productivity in the millwork industry rose at an average annual rate of 1.4 percent from 1958 to 1980,1a modest advance when compared with total manufactur ing. Over this period, output in millwork increased at a rate of 2.7 percent annually and employee hours at 1.3 percent. The productivity rise partly reflected low growth in capital investment, particularly over the past decade, and evidently slow diffusion of modernized pro duction technologies. These factors, combined with in stability in demand for the industry’s products, retarded productivity. Industry demand depends mostly upon residential construction, where fluctuations have been frequent and substantial. The overall rate of increase in the productivity of the millwork industry reflects basically two periods in each of which the productivity movements differed signifi cantly. Between 1958 and 1972, productivity rose at an average annual rate of 2.6 percent, rising 42 percent by 1972, to a high for the period (107.2 on a 1977=100 basis). However, from 1972 to 1980, productivity de clined at a rate of 1.4 percent a year, or by 13 percent. By contrast, productivity in the private nonfarm busi ness economy continued to advance, although at a slower rate than earlier. The following tabulation shows the pertinent comparisons (average annual rates, in per cent): 1958-80 1958-72 1972-80 Millwork industry ............... Private nonfarm business . . . M anufacturing...................... 1.4 2.6 1.8 2.8 2.1 3.1 -1.4 0.9 1.8 Jack Veigle and Horst Brand are economists in the Division of Indus try Productivity Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Year-to-year changes in millwork productivity were quite volatile, ranging from a 12-percent rise (in 1967) to a 9-percent drop (in 1974). Productivity declined in 8 of the 22 years surveyed. In such years, output either fell more than employee hours or rose less. In 10 of the years of rising productivity, output gains exceeded em ployee hour increases. But in the other years of rising productivity, productivity improvements were associated with output declines being smaller than employee hour reductions. Output and demand The millwork industry manufactures wood window units, including sashes; window frames; doors and door frames; moldings; and stairs. In 1977, one-quarter of the industry’s output consisted of window units and re lated items; and close to two-fifths of doors, including garage doors. Moldings represented another fifth of out put. Approximately three-fourths of the industry’s out put was used in residential housing, including additions and alterations; small amounts of output were used in commercial and educational buildings, prefabricated wooden buildings, and in trailers and other transporta tion equipment. Millwork output is thus linked mainly to residential construction markets. Output of millwork products rose at an average an nual rate of 2.7 percent between 1958 and 1980, about in line with the trend in the deflated value of new resi dential housing units plus additions and alterations. Output movements during the period were characterized by differences in average annual rates of change between 1958-72 and 1972-80, which were similar to the varia tions in productivity movements noted above. During 21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Productivity in Millwork Industry 1958-72, output rose 3.6 percent annually, in 1972-80 it declined 0.9 percent a year. Millwork output fluctuat ed generally less on a year-to-year basis than residential building activity. The lesser amplitude of millwork out put fluctuations may partially relate to inventorying practices of jobbers through whom much of industry sales are conducted. Millwork output was strengthened, particularly dur ing the 1960’s, by increases in the square foot area of single-unit housing— indicating more rooms as well as larger room size, hence more doors, windows, and moldings. During the study period, square foot area per housing unit rose more than 20 percent.2 While the number of 1 to 3 room housing units being added to the housing stock declined between the 1960’s and 1970’s, additions to 4- and 6-room units grew strongly; the increment in 5-room units remained roughly the same. Units with 7 rooms or more recorded particularly strong increases during the 1970’s. However, multi-unit dwellings gained in relative importance during the early and mid-1970’s, when apartment construction rose to 37 percent of all private housing starts, up from 33 per cent in the 1960’s. Because only a relatively small pro portion of millwork output is used in such construction, the sharp increase in multi-unit starts probably offset somewhat the demand from single-unit residential starts. (For example, more than 80 percent of window units installed in apartment buildings are of aluminum, Table 1. as against 50 percent for 1- and 2-unit residences.)3 There were other factors pertaining to housing which sustained millwork output during most of the period studied. For example, the number of homes built with two stories or more, 17 percent of total starts in 1964, rose to 28 percent in 1978, indicating a greater demand for stairs, moldings, and other millwork items. The pro portion of homes built with 1- and 2-car garages grew from 63 percent in 1963 to 74 percent in the late 1970’s — spurring the demand for garage doors, an estimated 85 percent of which are made of wood.4 The demand for window units has of course fluctuat ed with housing starts. On balance, it rose substantially during the 1960’s, and fell off somewhat in the 1970’s. Demand in the 1970’s was also crimped by a decline in the number of windows per dwelling unit, partially as sociated perhaps with builders’ efforts to make homes more energy efficient; and by competition from alumi num and steel windows. Currently, the millwork indus try accounts for one-third of all residential window installations, aluminum and, to a small extent, steel, making up the other two-thirds. Except for 2 years in the mid-1970’s, when aluminum window prices rose rel ative to wooden ones, the industry’s share of the win dow market has steadily declined from roughly one-half of the total in the late 1950’s.5 Growth in the industry’s output of doors has also been slowed by competitive materials. The industry Productivity and related indexes for millwork industry, 1958-80 [1977 = 100] Output per hour Year Employee hours All employees Production workers Nonproduction workers Output 1958 ........................ 1959 ........................ 1960 ........................ 75.6 71.7 73.2 77.0 72.4 74.8 70.7 69.7 67.7 58.5 61.2 55.7 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 76.9 78.1 86.0 86.0 85.8 78.1 78.8 86.0 85.9 86.1 72.6 76.3 86.5 87.2 85.2 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 82.7 92.6 93.9 96.3 95.9 84.0 93.3 93.7 96.6 97.6 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 95.9 107.2 102.3 92.7 100.2 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ........................ ........................ ........................ ...................... ...................... 99.1 100.0 91.5 93.9 93.7 All employees Production workers Nonproduction workers 77.4 85.3 76.1 76.0 84.5 74.5 82 8 87 8 82.3 56.6 59.7 68.1 69.2 70.2 73.6 76.4 79.2 80.5 81.8 72.5 75.8 79.2 80.6 81.5 78 0 78 2 78 7 79 4 82.4 78.4 90.1 96.0 95.7 89.7 66.6 72.6 78.7 80.4 77.1 80.5 78.4 83.8 83.5 80.4 79.3 77.8 84.0 83.2 79.0 84 9 80 6 82 0 84 0 86.0 95.3 104.5 101.6 94.4 102.6 99.3 121.6 106.7 85.5 90.9 84.0 103.6 104.7 84.6 84.1 87.6 96.6 102.3 91.3 83.9 88.1 99.1 103.1 89.6 82.0 84 6 85 2 98 1 99 0 92.5 99.6 100.0 91.5 95.2 97.2 97.3 100.0 92.0 88.2 80.4 92.5 100.0 96.2 96.2 87.1 93.3 100.0 105.1 102.5 93.0 92.9 100.0 105.1 101.1 89.6 95 1 100.0 104.6 109 2 108.4 13 2.2 14 3.6 Average annual rates of change (in percent) 1958-80 .................. 1975-80 .................. Digitized22 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.4 -1.7 1.4 -1.4 1.3 -2.8 2.7 0.7 1.3 2.4 accounted for close to three-fifths (by value) of all doors installed in new residential dwelling units in 1977, a slight decrease from earlier years. Inroads into millwork’s share of residential door in stallations have come chiefly from the wider use of steel for front and other exterior doors. In 1979, wood flush and panel doors accounted for 44 percent of all front door installations, compared with 68 percent in 1974 (the earliest year for which data are available). Dis placement of wood by steel was similarly marked in the case of other exterior doors.6These tendencies have been somewhat offset by a slight but steady rise in recent years in the number of doors installed per dwelling.7 Whether industry output benefited from a continued shift from onsite carpentry of millwork items to factory production over the period cannot be readily deter mined. According to a BLS survey conducted in 1969, preassembled windows were installed in 78 percent of surveyed single-family houses built that year; and in 1968, prehung doors in 64 percent, and prefabricated staircase units in 25 percent.8 No other such survey is available for the period examined here. Window sashes and doors have been manufactured for more than a century, but most work was done onsite. Large-scale offsite production did not get under way until the 1930’s and early 1940’s, when a shift from onsite carpentry of millwork occurred.9 Mass production of millwork was subsequently spurred by the large post war demand for residential housing. Such product inno vations as prehung doors (a door hinged on its frame, and delivered ready to be placed in the openings of the unit under construction) furthered the trend to factory production of items heretofore carpentered or finished at the site.10 But no definitive data are available indicat ing the extent to which these developments raised the output of the millwork industry. Employment increases moderately Employment in the millwork industry, currently numbering 74,000 persons, rose at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent between 1958 and 1980. It peaked in 1978, when it stood 39 percent above the 1958 level. In general, it rose slightly during most of the 1960’s, and more strongly in the early 1970’s. Subsequent upswings and downswings were more marked than in earlier peri ods, reflecting similarly pronounced swings in the indus try’s output. Employee hours generally paralleled the trend in employment, rising at an average annual rate of 1.3 percent over the period. Average annual hours per employee in the millwork industry did not, on bal ance, change significantly between 1958 and 1972, and declined slightly between 1972 and 1980. Year-to-year changes were often larger for production worker em ployment than for production worker hours. The work week per production worker averaged slightly less after 1972 (39.3 hours) than before (40.1 hours) indicating a https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis drop in overtime. Generally, overtime averaged consid erably less than for durables manufacturing as a whole.11 Differences in trend between production and nonproduction worker hours were not significant. But short-term fluctuations were much greater for produc tion than for nonproduction worker employment and hours. The proportion of nonproduction workers, 18 percent in 1977, did not change materially over the study period, except for years of flagging industry out put, when production worker employment weakened. Industry employment evidences considerably higher turnover of production workers than durables manufac turing. In 1978, accessions (mostly new hires) in millwork, at 5.5 per 100 workers, were nearly two-fifths again as high as for all durables manufacturing; separa tions (mostly quits) were more than three-fifths again as high. High turnover rates mean a loss of trained and experienced workers12 and more break-in periods re quired for newly hired workers, which may contribute to retarding productivity. Technological developments Millwork essentially consists of the sawing, shaping, planing, and sanding of wood to specified dimensions. The unfabricated lumber is delivered to the plant in the form of uniformly sized and quality-graded boards. Large-scale gluing operations are performed as part of the production process. Glazing is a normal part of the manufacture of windows and windowed doors. Millwork is highly mechanized; virtually all work that transforms the lumber is done by machines. In some plants, feeding and tailing (the removal of the workpiece from the machine) are carried out manually, partly because of apprehension that a mechanized pro cess would damage sensitive woods. The basic technology used in millwork plants dates from the 1930’s and 1940’s when, as noted, large-scale production was first introduced in the industry. Factory production of millwork items antedates the 1930’s, but large-scale operations were held back by the lack of wa terproof, quick-curing adhesives. Moreover, millwork firms, at the time serving mostly local and regional markets, were slow in standardizing their product, ham pering adoption by developers of housing projects. These obstacles began to be overcome with the innova tion of synthetic resin adhesives, yielding waterproof bond.13 Standardization progressed. Precision machinery became more widely available, probably accelerating the shift from onsite carpentry to the factory.14These devel opments also helped broaden the product lines of millwork firms. For example, complete double-hung windows mounted in prefabricated, weather-stripped frames, ready for installation at the construction site, were introduced in the 1940’s and, subsequently, prehung doors. Although the industry’s basic machinery and equip23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Productivity in Millwork Industry ment reflect woodworking technologies that have existed for many decades, there are indications that much of this equipment is less than 20 years old, and that sizable proportions are 10 years old or less.15Thus, three-fifths of the finger jointing machinery and of auto matic mortisers appear to be in the lower age group, and as much as three-quarters of many types of sawing machinery. Fifty percent of door sizers, and much of the glue room equipment— including clamps and clamping machines, glue guns and pumps, and spread ers and presses— are of comparatively recent date, as is finishing equipment (for example, hot air ovens). The same holds for such general plant equipment as air con ditioners, dust collectors, and computers. However, it cannot be determined from the available data whether the more recently installed— therefore, more up-to-date — equipment is well diffused throughout the industry. It is believed that diffusion is slow, partly because of the fragmentation of the industry into many firms. A trend toward automated systems in the industry seems to be underway.16 This trend is furthered by the declining costs of numerical controls, which more and more entail one-station systems featuring microcompu ters.17 That trend also involves computer-controlled ma terial handling systems, robotized transfer and pallet izing, and carousels interfacing with conveyors, robots, and other material handling devices.18 But some persons in the industry argue that automation is unlikely to make much headway in millwork because it compels a fi nancial commitment to highly specialized equipment— a commitment which often cannot be justified because of the erratic demand for the industry’s products. Other, more narrowly focused technological advances have been made which have evidently been more readily adopted than automated equipment. For example, the versatility of machines fabricating moldings has been greatly extended so that a large variety of complex molding profiles can be cut and grooved at great speeds without loss of precision and insignificant loss in setup time.19 Ripsaws have been introduced whose sawing pat terns can be controlled by instructions relayed by ma nipulating the shadow of an overhead wire. Stock which is free from knots and other flaws can thus be mechani cally selected, eliminating a number of strenuous manu al operations and resetting of the sawing machine, and reducing waste.20 Solid-state sensing devices have in re cent years been attached to abrasive planers, ensuring uniform surfaces. Abrasive planers were developed in an era of low-cost energy, but have become more energyefficient, as well as faster.21 Hand-operated sanders have been disappearing as multifunctional sanding machines have evolved. Thus, automatic thickness settings permit ranges from bites of V« inch to the finest surface finish.22 A gradual shift from electrically powered to air-pow ered hand tools has probably also contributed to im proving productivity. Air-driven hand tools are believed Digitized 24for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to achieve job requirements more efficiently, and to be less fatiguing for the operator because of their light weight and a wider choice of such options as handles and styles.23 Significant advances have likewise been made in adhe sive applications. High-speed production requires rapid curing, and the gluing process is therefore usually an in tegral part of the production process. Certain radio fre quency gluing devices have reduced curing time from 20 to 2 minutes, and, for example, as many as 20 door stiles can be processed at the same time. The saving in labor requirements made possible by this process has been estimated at 35 percent.24 Bonding strength, too, has been increased, permitting the elimination of clamping in some operations (clamping has usually been regarded as a bottleneck in high-speed millwork assem bly where gluing is required).25 Capital expenditures New plant and equipment spending by the millwork industry went up fairly rapidly between 1963 (when pertinent data first became available) and 1978. In terms of constant dollars, it rose at an average annual rate of 4.7 percent.26 However, the annual increase be tween 1963 and 1972, 9.4 percent, by far exceeded that for 1972 to 1978— 1.2 percent. Significantly, outlays for buildings and other structures rose at nearly the same rate as for equipment during the former period, but de clined during the latter. Capital spending by the indus try showed at times huge year-to-year swings, induced most likely by fluctuations in demand for the industry’s product from residential construction. Comparisons with trends in the private economy’s fixed investment outlays follow (average annual rates of change, in per cent).27 Millwork: Total .................................. Machinery and equipment . . . S tru ctu res........................... Private fixed investment: Total ................................ . . Producer durable equipm e n t................................ . . Nonresidential structures . . . . 1963-78 1963-72 1972-78 6.3 1.6 9.4 10.3 8.1 1.2 0.9 -3.9 3.6 4.6 2.4 5.2 0.9 5.7 3.1 4.3 -1.3 The tabulation shows that the pattern of vigorous capital spending growth in the 1960’s and early 1970’s in the millwork industry closely resembled that of the private domestic economy, and likewise that of meager capital spending growth in the mid-to-late 1970’s. But for millwork, the slowdown was far more pronounced and spelled virtual stagnation in investment in new ma chinery and equipment. New capital expenditures per employee in millwork represented only 42 percent of the comparable figure for manufacturing as a whole in 1978. That ratio does vary widely over time because of the large fluctuations of millwork firms’ plant and equipment outlays (it was 61 percent in 1972). Yet, the comparative capital intensity of millwork is somewhat understated because its firms rent a larger proportion of plant structures and equip ment than other manufacturers. In 1978, rents for struc ture represented the equivalent of 67 percent of millwork firms’ purchases of structures, and rents for equipment, 22 percent. The corresponding figures for manufacturing were 34 percent and 9 percent. When rental payments are added to millwork’s total capital outlays, the per-employee ratio to manufacturing men tioned above rises to 50 percent in 1978 (and 65 percent in 1972). That still spells relatively low capital intensity, a characteristic also manifest in the low value of the in dustry’s fixed assets per employee— it represented be tween 42 and 44 percent of the manufacturing average in the 1970’s. In 1976, each dollar of millwork ship ments required 17 cents in fixed assets, compared with 34 cents for manufacturing in general. Size of establishments Millwork firms are preponderantly small— 70 percent employed fewer than 20 workers in 1977, and another 23 percent employed from 20 to 99 workers. In this re spect— that is, in terms of the size distribution of firms by employment— millwork closely resembles manufac turing. However, the smaller millwork establishments account for a much larger proportion of total employ ment in the industry than smaller manufacturing firms in general — 50 versus 26 percent. The same pattern holds for the value of shipments, nearly one-half of which originated with the smaller millwork firms, com pared with only about one-fifth for their counterparts in total manufacturing. Large millwork establishments— those employing 500 workers or more— recorded corre spondingly smaller shares of total industry employment and shipments. The comparisons suggest that economies of scale are generally less of a factor of productivity im provement in millwork than in manufacturing. L a b o r p r o d u c t i v i t y i n m i l l w o r k should continue to advance moderately over the long term. The diffusion of automatic controls and the replacement of existing machinery with more up-to-date equipment will obvi ously be positive factors. But the predominance of smaller firms is likely to retard installation of automat ed transfer equipment, because, in their case, volume rarely justifies such equipment. Fluctuating residential building markets, and the trend toward apartment con struction, will very likely continue to cause firms in the industry to be cautious in committing large funds to highly specialized automated machinery. BLS employment projections have not been published for millwork alone, only for its industry group.28 For it, a small, negative employment trend has been assumed during the 1980’s. With demand from residential con struction expected to expand, and industry employment to decline slightly, a moderate improvement in labor productivity is implied.29 However, this progress is pred icated upon the continued adoption of more advanced technologies by firms in the industry. □ FOOTNOTES ' The millwork industry has been designated as number 2431 in the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification Manual of the Office of Man agement and Budget. It consists of establishments which primarily manufacture such millwork products as moldings, wooden doors, win dows, shutters, blinds, and awnings; and other architectural millwork items. All average annual rates of change are based on the linear least squares trend of the logarithms of the index numbers. The indexes for productivity and related variables will be updated annually and published in the annual BLS Bulletin, P r o d u c tiv ity I n d e x e s f o r S e le c te d In d u s trie s . 1 The data on average square foot are per single-unit dwelling, num ber of rooms and stories, and other examples mentioned in this and the following paragraph are from the following sources: C h a r a cte r istics o f N e w O n e -F a m ily H o m e s, 1968; C h a r a c te r istic s o f N e w F a m ily H o u s ing: 1 9 7 8 ; both published by the Bureau of the Census, U.S. Depart ment of Commerce, and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Washington, D.C.; James W. Myrtle, “Characteristics of New Housing,” C o n stru ctio n R e v ie w , April 1979, pp. 4-9; Abraham Goldblatt, “Profile of New One-Family Homes,” C o n stru ctio n R ev ie w , February 1973, pp. 4-8; and S ta tis tic a l A b s tr a c t o f th e U n ite d S ta tes, 1 9 8 0 (Government Printing Office, 1980), p. 791. ’ A r c h ite c tu r a l A lu m in u m I n d u s tr y S ta tis tic a l R e v ie w (Chicago, Ar chitectural Aluminum Manufacturing Association, 1980), Table 14. 4 Based on information from Housing Industry Dynamics, Crofton, Md. 5See footnote 3. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 Based on information from Housing Industry Dynamics. 7A r c h ite c tu r a l A lu m in u m I n d u s tr y S ta tis tic a l R ev ie w , 1 980. 8 Robert Ball, L a b o r a n d M a te r ia l R e q u ir e m e n ts f o r C o n stru ctio n o f P r iv a te S in g le -F a m ily H o u ses, Bulletin 1755 (Bureau of Labor Statis tics, 1972), p. 22. 9 Information from William B. Lloyd, author of M illw o r k : P rin c ip le s (Chicago, Cahners Publishing Company, 1966). a n d P r a c tic es 10M illw o r k , p. 208. "The majority of millwork production workers hold jobs as ma chine and materials handling operators and assemblers. I n d u s tr y W a g e S u rv e y: M illw o rk , J u n e 1 9 7 9 , Bulletin 2083 (Bureau of Labor Statis tics, 1980). 12Some effects of high turnover rates are discussed by Peter Henle, “Economic Effects: Reviewing the Evidence,” in Jerome M. Rosow T h e W o rk e r a n d th e J o b (Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice-Hall, 1974), p. 125. 11M illw o r k , p. 8. 14 M illw o r k , p. 8. Hours worked by carpenters in building a 1-family dwelling have undoubtedly declined, and the decline in part points to a shift of the work conventionally performed by the carpenter to man ufacturing. Thus, according to the BLS publication cited in footnote 8, there were 29 onsite carpenter hours required per 100 square feet of a 1-family house in 1969. According to studies done by the BLS for 1-family frame houses built in 1946-47, onsite carpentry then required 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Productivity in Millwork Industry about 70 hours per 100 square feet. The decline implied in the num ber of onsite carpenter hours may have partly occurred because of dif ferences in survey methods, the type of houses selected, and other technical or statistical factors. Moreover, part of the decline may be attributable to productivity improvements in carpentry. Nevertheless, a significant portion of the decline is likely to have been linked to shifts to factory production of carpentering work, including here millwork items, as well as roof trusses, plywood subflooring, and so forth. See Edward M. Gordon, “House Construction: Man-Hours by Occupation, 1946-47,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , December 1948, pp. 611-14; and Adela L. Stuckey, “Labor Share in Construction Costs of New Houses,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , May 1949, pp. 517-20. 1 A n I n v e n to r y o f M a c h in e s a n d E q u ip m e n t in th e W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e M a r k e t, issued by W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig e st, Whea ton, 111., 1979. A n I n v e n to r y presents the number of woodworking ma chines, by type, for each woodworking industry (as classified by the Standard Industrial Classification Manual). In a separate presentation, A n I n v e n to r y shows the age breakdown of each type of woodworking machinery, but the age breakdown is not grouped by industry. The discussion in the text assumes that the age breakdown applies to ma chinery in the millwork industry where this industry accounts for a relatively large proportion of a given type of woodworking machinery. The authors of A n I n v e n to r y believe this assumption to be valid. 16 W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig est, February 1976, p. 65. W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig e st, 18 W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig est, August 1978, p. 83. July 1981, pp. 14—19. Industry source. 20 Industry source. 21 W o o d w o r k in g 1981, p. 16. 22 W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig est, a n d F u r n itu r e D ig e st, W o o d w o r k in g a n d F u r n itu r e D ig est, August 1978, p. 83; May May 1981, p. 16. February 1981, pp. 10-19. 24 Industry source. ‘5 W o o d w o r k in g a n d ary 1981, pp. 10-19. F u r n itu r e D ig e st, August 1978, p. 83 ff.; Janu 26Constant-dollar capital expenditures were derived by deflating the current-dollar census data on the millwork industry’s new capital ex penditures by the implicit price deflators for fixed investment, shown on p. 236 of E c o n o m ic R e p o r t o f th e P re sid e n t, January 1981. 27The rates for private fixed investment (in 1972 dollars) are derived from Table B-2, E c o n o m ic R e p o r t o f th e P re sid e n t, January 1981. 2KThe millwork industry is part of SIC 243, which includes veneer, plywood, and structural wood members. It accounts for about 35 per cent of SIC 243 in terms of employment. '"See Data Resources, Inc., U.S. L o n g -T e r m R e v ie w , Spring 1982, p. 11.20; and Valerie Personick, “The outlook for industry output and employment through 1990,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1981, es pecially p. 34. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure chang es in the relation between the output of an industry and employee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an in dex of output by an index of industry employee hours. The preferred output index for manufacturing indus tries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods produced by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee hours required to produce one unit of each good in a specified base period. Thus, those goods which require more labor time to produce are given more importance in the index. In the absence of adequate physical quantity data, the output index for this industry was constructed by a deflated value technique. The value of shipments of the various product classes were adjusted for price changes by appropriate Producer Price Indexes to derive real 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis output measures. These, in turn, were combined with employee hour weights to derive the overall output measure. The result is a final output index that is con ceptually close to the preferred output measure. Employment and employee hour indexes were derived from data published by the Bureau of the Census be cause b l s data were not available. Employees and em ployee hours are each considered homogeneous and additive, and thus do not reflect changes in the qualita tive aspects of labor, such as skill and experience. The indexes of output per employee hour do not measure any specific contributions, such as that of labor or capital. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, ca pacity utilization, plant design and layout, skill and ef fort of the work force, managerial ability, and labormanagement relations. Research Summaries The aging of the older population and the effect on its labor force rates P h i l i p L. R o n e s Changes in labor force measures are not always easy to interpret. For instance, a rise in the unemployment rate over time is generally interpreted as meaning that it has become more difficult for an individual to find a job. But, that is not necessarily the case. The unemployment measure could show an increase over a long-term period even though the rates for each specific labor force group (by age, sex, and race) either remained stable or de clined. This would occur if groups which typically have higher than average unemployment rates retained those rates as their proportion of the labor force increased. The increase in the aggregate measure, then, could stem from either a change in the age distribution of the pop ulation or changes in the labor force participation rates for specific groups.1 Probably the most widely used measure of the labor market status of older workers is not the unemployment rate but, rather, the labor force participation rate. This statistic has been closely followed in recent years be cause labor force activity of older workers affects social security and private pension outlays, and also could re flect the impact of mandatory retirement legislation. The participation rate for men age 55 and older has de clined markedly in the post-World War II period, from 70.7 percent in 1948 to 44.5 percent in 1981, largely re flecting this group’s improved financial ability to retire. During the same period, the participation rate for wom en age 55 and over rose from 17.2 to 22.7 percent, but that gain was far less than that registered by younger women. In the last 2 years, a fall in participation rates for older persons of both sexes has accelerated, following 3 years of relatively slow decline. This has occurred de spite changes in age discrimination laws and high rates Philip L. Rones is an economist in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a of inflation, factors which many observers expected to provide upward pressure on participation. This recent labor force trend has spurred a rise in interest regarding the nature and causes of declining participation among older workers. One possible explanation is that the fall in participa tion, particularly in recent years, might be partly the re sult of the aging of the older population. Basically, this is the converse of the argument that has been used to explain part of the rise in the unemployment rate. The rationale is that the oldest groups within the elderly population, those with the lowest participation rates, have been increasing as a proportion of the elderly and are receiving more weight in the overall calculation. To examine the validity of this proposition, popula tion and labor force data from the Current Population Survey ( c p s ) for men and women by single years of age were obtained for 1968, 1972, and 1981. Each year was selected for an important reason: 1968 is the first full year for which single-year-of-age data were tabulated using the civilian noninstitutional population concept; 1972 is the first year that the CPS used 1970-based pop ulation controls (rather than those projected from the 1960 census results); and 1981 is the most recent date for annual average data and also is the first year that 1980 census-based population estimates were available. The census data themselves were not used because the single-year-of-age tabulations refer to total popula tion, while the CPS, beginning in m id-1967, uses civilian noninstitutional population. This distinction is critical because of the rapid rise in the institutional population of the elderly (mostly in nursing homes), currently about 1.6 million people. Analysis of the CPS data isolated the effects of three factors on changes in participation between 1968 and the two latter years (1972 and 1981). These were: (1) changes in the age-specific participation rates, (2) changes in the age composition of the population, and (3) changes attributable to “interaction”, that is, chang es that are not explained by the age-specific participa tion rates or by the age composition of the labor force. Interaction accounted for a very small portion of the to tal change in participation. Table 1 shows the amount of change accounted for by each of the three factors. 27 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Research Summaries ri6g is the 1968 participation rate for the ith age group and popigl is the 1981 civilian noninstitutional population for the ith age group. Table 1. Changes in age components of labor force participation rates for men and women age 55 and older Change due to — Age and year Men, age 55 and over: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Age 55 to 64: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Age 65 and over: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Women, age 55 and over: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Age 55 to 64: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Age 65 and over: 1968 ......... 1972 ......... 1981 ......... Average participation rate Total change Age specific participation rate Age composition of population Inter action effect1 56.54 53.36 44.47 0.00 -3.18 -12.07 0.00 -3.33 -11.28 0.00 .19 -.71 0.00 -.04 -.08 84.26 80.51 70.63 0.00 -3.75 -13.62 0.00 -3.51 -13.31 0.00 -.21 -.21 0.00 -.03 -.10 27.27 24.35 18.35 0.00 -2.92 -8.92 0.00 -3.13 -9.15 0.00 .27 .37 0.00 -.06 -.14 25.04 24.52 22.73 0.00 -.52 -2.31 0.00 -.19 -1.14 0.00 -.33 -1.13 0.00 .00 -.04 42.44 42.14 41.35 0.00 -.30 -1.09 0.00 -.16 -.83 0.00 -.15 -.19 0.00 .01 -.07 9.57 9.33 8.01 0.00 -.22 -1.56 0.00 -.20 -1.41 0.00 -.03 -.16 0.00 .01 .01 This calculation shows what the rates would have been in 1981 if the age-specific participation rates had re mained as they were in 1968. In other words, it isolates the impact of changes in the age composition of the population. For men age 55 and over, the adjusted par ticipation rate in 1981 was 55.83 percent, explaining only .71 point of the 12.07-point fall in participation since 1968. Results Among men, the change in the age structure of the 55-and-over population has had relatively little impact on the dramatic declines in participation. In fact, for men age 65 and over, the changing population distribu tion caused a slight rise in participation rates, indicating that the growth has been greater in the younger, not older, groups in this age cohort. The following tabula tion of age distribution for men age 65 and over in 1968 and 1981 demonstrates this: 1The “interaction" effect is that part of the total change in participation not explained by the other two variables. The amount of change in participation attributable to changes in age-specific participation rates is derived by first computing participation rates for single-years-ofage between age 55 and 74 and for age 75 and over. Then, a rate was computed using the following formula (1981 is the target year and 1968 is the base year): S.O isr PoP.as) 2,P°Pi68 where: rj81 is the 1981 participation rate for the ith age group and popi6g is the 1968 civilian noninstitutional population for the ith age group. Simply put, this calculation shows what the participa tion rate would have been in 1981 if the population dis tribution had been the same as in 1968. In other words, it isolates the effect of changing participation rates. For instance, for men age 55 and over, changing participa tion accounted for 11.28 points of the fall in participa tion between 1968 and 1981; therefore, their adjusted 1981 rate is 45.26 percent (56.54-11.28). The formula used to compute the effect of changes in the population distribution is: s .(r,68- POPiJ P°Pi8. where: 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent of population in— 1968 1981 65 and over ................... 6 5 ..................................... 6 6 ..................................... 6 7 ..................................... 6 8 ..................................... 6 9 ..................................... 7 0 ..................................... 7 1 ..................................... 7 2 ..................................... 7 3 ..................................... 7 4 ..................................... 75 and over .................... 100.0 8.4 7.8 7.6 7.3 6.2 6.2 5.5 5.4 5.4 4.7 35.4 100.0 8.3 8.4 7.8 7.3 6.5 6.5 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.0 33.5 The oldest age group, age 75 and over, made up much larger proportion of all men age 65 and older in 1968, while the younger age groups predominated in 1981. The 55-to-64 group did age somewhat over the 18-year period, but only enough to explain about twotenths of a point out of a participation rate decline that, by 1981, totaled more than 15 points. Unlike the mixed results experienced by men, the age composition effect was consistently in the downward di rection for older women.2 For women ages 55 to 64 and 65 and over, the age effect was less than two-tenths of a point in both 1972 and 1981. The relatively large age effect, by 1981, in the 55-and-over group suggests a shift in population into the older (65 and over) age group. (A similar shift, causing a .71-point decline in participation, occurred among men.) However, the par ticipation rates for older women have changed compara tively little over time and tend to be much less an issue * than those for men, which have fallen dramatically. In the years ahead, the aging of the first generation of American women who have developed a strong labor force attachment is likely to provide upward pressure on the participation rates of women age 55 and over. The declines in participation among older workers over the last several years are particularly noteworthy, because they occurred despite increased protection against forced retirement and the prevailing high rates of inflation. The main causes of the long-term declines in participation among the elderly have been document ed,3 and the declines in the last 2 years may have been intensified by the weakening economy. The changing age distribution of the older population seems to have played, at most, a very small part in these important la bor force trends. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1The effect of these influences on the unemployment rate was dis cussed in a series of articles in the March 1979 M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w . See Paul O. Flaim, “The effect of demographic changes on the Na tion’s unemployment rate”; Glen G. Cain, “The unemployment rate as an economic indicator”; and Joseph Antos and others, “What is a current equivalent to unemployment rates of the past?” ; It should be kept in mind that the “aging” of the older population is limited by the use of the noninstitutional population in the calcula tions. Nursing home residents, who make up most of the institutional elderly, are concentrated in the oldest age groups and the vast majori ty are women. See, for example, Philip L. Rones, “Older men — the choice be tween work and retirement,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , November 1978, pp. 3-10; or Joseph F. Quinn, T h e M ic r o e c o n o m ic s o f E a r ly R e tir e m e n t: A C ross S e c tio n a l V iew (U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, 1975). Occupational changes and tenure, 1981 N ancy F. R ytina The labor force is characterized by a relatively high de gree of occupational change. Studies have shown that most workers are employed in occupations which differ from those of their fathers.1Occupational shifts are also quite common over the course of a worker’s career. The occupation held by a worker in midlife often differs from the first occupation after leaving school.2 Although the volume of occupational mobility that occurs within a given year is much smaller, it provides an indication, on a current basis, of recent trends. Nancy F. Rytina is a demographer in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis When assembled over time, data on 1-year mobility shows changes that are important for purposes of devel oping vocational and higher educational programs. Studies of 1-year occupational mobility based on data from the Current Population Survey ( c p s ) of January 1966, 1973, and 1978 indicated that about 1 in 10 of all workers in each year were employed in a different occu pation than in the previous year.3 Much of the occupa tional change was concentrated among persons under age 30 who tend to “job shop” as they obtain exposure to various kinds of work. This report presents an update of these previous stud ies. The data shown are based on information obtained in the January 1981 Current Population Survey and re late to the occupations of workers in that month and in January 1980. Workers who changed occupations are de fined as those employed in both January 1980 and Jan uary 1981, but in a different “three-digit” census occupation in January 1981 than the occupation report ed for January 1980. For example, a person employed as a typist in 1981 and as a stenographer in 1980 would be defined as having changed occupations, although the change occurred within the major occupational group ing— clerical workers. The occupational mobility rate used in this report refers to the number of workers who changed occupations as a proportion of the total num ber employed in January of 1980 and 1981.4 This study also presents new information on occupa tional tenure based on the years spent in the current occupation. These data are limited to persons employed in both January 1980 and 1981. Workers in the same “three-digit” census occupation in January 1981 as in January 1980 were asked how many years, altogether, they had “been doing that kind of work.” Persons who had changed occupations were assigned to the tenure category of less than 1 year. The data on both occupational mobility and tenure are subject to a number of limitations. Besides those normally associated with sample surveys (sampling vari ability and nonresponse), there may be errors associated with the retrospective reporting of the occupation a year earlier and the number of years in the same occupa tion.5 Because occupation is reported only for the months of January 1980 and January 1981, any tempo rary changes in occupation that occurred during the year will not be reflected in the survey results. Since the tenure question was asked only of persons in the same occupation in January 1980 and 1981, the tenure data exclude persons employed in January 1981 but not Jan uary 1980, as well as any years spent in the occupation prior to 1980 for persons not in the same occupation in both January 1980 and 1981. Moreover, the information on tenure was collected in a combination of single and multiyear intervals, thus making it difficult to obtain re liable estimates of mean or median tenure.6 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Research Summaries Workers who changed occupations Of the 88.3 million employed workers 18 years of age and over and not in school in January 1981, 9.5 percent reported employment in a different occupation in Janu ary 1980. Eighty-one percent had been in the same oc cupation and the remaining 9 percent had either been unemployed or not in the labor force the previous Janu ary. The occupational mobility rate stood at 10.5 per cent. Both the distribution of labor force status in the previous year and the mobility rate are not much dif ferent from the CPS data reported for 1966, 1973, and 1978. In 1981, as in earlier years, age was the factor most associated with occupational change. Of the total 8.4 million workers who shifted occupations between Janu ary 1980 and January 1981, 70 percent were under age 35, although this age group accounted for only 46 per cent of the labor force in January 1981. Not surprisingly, occupational mobility rates declined sharply with age (table 1). The rate for workers age 35 to 44 was less than one-fourth as high as that for work ers 18 and 19 years of age. High rates of occupational mobility among young workers are accounted for by a number of factors. Upon completion of school, young persons often try several fields of employment before settling into a careei*. Also, as many of them make changes in residence and living arrangements, they also change occupations. In contrast, occupational change among older workers occurs less frequently because of attachments to a particular occupation or the risks of losing income, job security, and pension rights, which might accompany an occupational shift. Mobility rates by age were much the same as in the earlier CPS surveys. Standardizing the mobility rates by age in 1966 and 1981 suggests that the slightly higher rate observed in 1981 (10.5 versus 8.8) was almost en tirely a result of the increased proportion of young per sons in the work force.7 Differences in occupational mobility by sex are quite small relative to age differences. For both men and women, mobility rates decreased with age (table 1). Women, however, have a slightly higher mobility rate than men (11.4 versus 9.9 percent). Since 1966, the mo bility rate for women has risen substantially, up from 6.6 percent. An increase is to be expected because of the entry into the labor force of women from younger age groups which have always had higher mobility rates. However, standardizing for age indicates that over 70 percent of the increase was attributable to changes in mobility within specific age groups.8 The rise in the rate of occupational change for women reflects their shift into professional and managerial occupations as well as their increased employment in clerical jobs where the rate of occupational change has traditionally been high. 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In contrast, the mobility rate for men in 1981 was at the same level as in 1966. The 1981 male rate, however, probably would have been slightly lower were it not for the increase in the proportion of young men in the la bor force. Occupational mobility rates do not differ much by race and ethnicity. Among men, the rate is slightly higher among Hispanics partly because they are youn ger than either whites or blacks. The rate for white women is higher than that for either black or Hispanic women and this difference is evident among most age groups. The reason given for changing one’s occupation is one factor which is not strongly related to age (table 2). Close to 43 percent of all workers reported better pay as the most important reason for shifting occupations.9 Better pay is cited more frequently than any other rea son among all age, sex, race, and ethnic groups except workers ages 55 and over. A larger percentage of older workers cited “other” reasons (presumably retirement from the previous occupation) than better pay. The re cession of 1980 may have some bearing on the fact that Table 1. Occupational mobility between January 1980 and January 1981 of employed persons, by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin, January 1981 Total employed in January 1981 Characteristic Total, 18 years and over, not in school . . . . Status in January 1980 Occupational Number Same Different Not in mobility (in Percent occu occu Unem labor rate1 thousands; pation pation ployed force 88,334 100.0 81.0 9.5 3.3 6.1 10.5 Total, 18 years and over, not in school ........... 18 and 19 years .. 20 to 24 years ... 25 to 34 years . .. 35 to 44 years . .. 45 to 54 years ... 55 to 64 years ... 65 years and over 50,502 1,581 6,202 14,735 10,746 9,047 6,503 1,688 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.8 43.3 63.5 82.4 89.1 92.6 93.2 91.9 9.2 21.4 19.3 11.6 7.2 4.3 3.4 1.5 3.2 8.5 7.1 3.2 2.4 2.2 1.5 1.2 3.7 26.8 10.1 2.7 1.3 .9 1.8 5.5 9.9 33.1 23.3 12.4 7.4 4.4 3.5 1.6 White................ Black................ Hispanic origin ... 45,460 4,199 2,755 100.0 100.0 100.0 84.1 82.0 79.0 9.3 8.1 11.0 3.0 5.3 4.4 3.6 4.6 5.7 10.0 9.0 12.2 Total, 18 years and over, not in school ........... 18 and 19 years .. 20 to 24 years ... 25 to 34 years . .. 35 to 44 years . .. 45 to 54 years ... 55 to 64 years ... 65 years and over 37,832 1,449 5,754 10,916 7,970 6,526 4,212 1,005 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 77.2 37.8 61.9 73.8 82.3 87.5 91.9 90.1 10.0 21.8 18.0 11.9 8.1 5.4 2.6 1.6 3.5 8.9 6.0 3.9 2.5 2.3 1.5 .7 9.3 31.4 14.2 10.4 7.1 4.8 4.1 7.6 11.4 36.6 22.5 13.9 8.9 5.8 2.7 1.8 White................ Black................. Hispanic origin ... 33,022 4,050 1,804 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.8 80.7 74.5 10.3 7.5 7.8 3.1 6.3 5.6 9.8 5.5 12.1 11.9 8.4 9.5 Men Women 'Percent of persons employed in both January 1981 and January 1980 who were employed in a different occupation in January 1981 than January 1980. Table 2. Reasons for occupational change for persons employed in a different occupation in January 1981 than January 1980, by sex, age, race, and ethnicity [Percentage distribution] Number (in thousands) Total Change from job held in school 8,430 100.0 White .................................................... Black .................................................... Hispanic ................................................ 7,643 642 443 100.0 100.0 100.0 Men, total .............................................. 18 to 24 years ................................. 25 to 34 years ................................. 35 to 44 years ................................. 45 to 54 years ................................. 55 years and over ............................ 4,656 1,537 1,716 769 389 245 Women, total.......................................... 18 to 24 years ................................. 25 to 34 years ................................. 35 to 44 years ................................. 45 to 54 years ................................. 55 years and over .......................... 3,774 1,352 1,302 644 352 124 Workers who changed occupations Total, 18 years and over, not in school ..................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Other 9.0 7.8 21.0 4.6 9.4 5.9 8.5 7.8 7.8 9.6 21.3 17.6 20.8 4.5 5.9 5.9 13.5 15.2 12.2 14.2 11.7 12.9 8.7 9.2 8.9 9.0 7.5 4.9 6.7 6.8 6.9 5.8 7.8 7.0 20.3 13.8 20.1 21.4 29.4 45.1 4.9 4.2 4.9 4.9 7.3 6.3 8.8 9.2 7.7 8.8 10.9 10.3 9.5 9.0 11.4 4.9 13.3 5.9 9.0 7.5 8.9 11.5 10.8 8.4 21.9 19.4 21.7 21.8 24.3 46.5 4.3 4.6 4.8 2.9 4.6 1.9 Lost job, laid off 3.6 42.5 11.4 3.7 3.3 1.6 42.2 45.0 42.0 11.2 14.5 11.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.9 6.3 2.2 .3 .0 .0 42.9 44.5 44.9 44.5 36.3 23.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.5 10.3 1.9 1.0 .0 .0 42.0 40.0 43.6 49.2 36.1 27.0 nearly 11 percent of all workers cited either job loss or layoff as the reason for changing occupations. In addition, the length of time spent with the current employer is closely associated with occupational mobili ty. About 90 percent of all workers who changed occu pations had less than a year of tenure with their current employer, compared with 10 percent of all workers who remained in the same occupation. (See article on job tenure, page 34.) An indication of how mobility rates varied by the oc cupation of the employed in 1981 is provided in table 3. For both sexes, mobility rates are generally highest in those occupations with large percentages of young workers. For example, nonfarm laborers have a high mobility rate and over 50 percent of all workers moving into that occupation were under age 25. Similarly, large percentages of young workers shifted into the clerical and service occupations. An exception is the high mo bility rate for women employed as managers. Almost one-fourth of women moving into this occupation were 35 to 44 years of age, in part reflecting an expansion in employment opportunities for women in management. Some of the occupations with lower rates of mobility are those requiring high levels of education (profession al) or other specialized training (craft). Declining em ployment opportunities in farming and the attachment to the land of those who have remained in this occupa tion explain the very low mobility rates for farmers and farm managers. Evidence regarding the occupational origins and des tinations of workers who changed occupations is pro vided in table 4, which shows the occupational distribution in January 1980 for each occupation in Jan uary 1981. It is apparent that workers who changed oc cupations came largely from the same occupational grouping, that is, from related occupations. For exam Not answered Working conditions Better pay, full-time work Dissatisfied, underutilized ple, among professionals, 43 percent of the men and 37 percent of women had been employed in a professional occupation in January 1980. The degree of intraoccupational group shifting was also quite high for men employed as managers, craftworkers, and operatives, ex cept transportation equipment operatives. For women, intraoccupational group shifting was particularly high among clerical workers, operatives (except transporta tion equipment operatives), and service workers. About Table 3. Occupational mobility rates between January 1980 and January 1981 of employed persons, by occupation and sex [Numbers in thousands] Women Men Occupational mobility rate’ Number employed, both January 1980 and 1981 Occupational mobility rate' 46,990 9.9 32,983 11.4 8,063 6.8 6,329 9.1 7,597 2,892 2,951 8.8 10.9 13.6 2,854 1,912 11,691 13.5 13.8 12.5 Craft and kindred workers .. Operatives, except transport . Transport equipment operatives .................... Laborers, except farm ....... 10,069 5,174 8.3 12.7 626 3,294 10.8 9.6 2,631 2,477 9.4 18.6 225 354 8.5 16.6 Private household workers .. Service workers, except private household........... Farmers and farm managers . Farm laborers and supervisors .................. 23 (2) 616 9.6 Occupation Total, 18 years and over, not in school Professional, technical, and kindred workers ............. Managers and administra tors, except farm ........... Salesworkers .................. Clerical and kindred workers . Number employed, both January 1980 and 1981 3,504 1,108 12.3 2.5 4,814 115 11.5 1.6 503 13.0 152 7.8 'Percent of persons employed in both January 1981 and January 1980 who were employed in a different occupation in January 1981 than January 1980. 2Data not shown where base is less than 75,000. 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 e Research Summaries 60 percent of women in clerical work in January 1981 had come from that occupational group. This results partly from the high degree of skill interchangeability and employment turnover that occurs within clerical oc cupations. Also, most of the shifts between occupational group ings tended to occur within the same broad fields, for example, white-collar and blue-collar occupations. About 80 percent of women and 66 percent of men em ployed in white-collar occupations had been employed in these occupations during the previous year. Similarly, over 70 percent of men in blue-collar occupations were employed in the same occupations a year earlier. In contrast, the proportion of women employed in bluecollar occupations is comparatively low. Not surprising ly, about one-half of women who shifted into blue-col lar occupations came from the white-collar and service occupations. Table 4. Occupational tenure An indication of occupational tenure is found by ex amining the distribution of the number of years spent in the January 1981 occupation for those who had been in the same occupation in January 1980. It should be not ed that because the data on occupational tenure in this report are restricted to persons employed in January 1980 and January 1981, the occupational mobility rates shown in previous tables are equivalent to the propor tion of workers with less than 1 year in the occupation. Of the 80 million workers employed in both January 1980 and 1981, over one-third had been in the same oc cupation from 1 to 5 years (table 5). Adding to that figure those in the occupation less than 1 year indicates that close to one-half of all workers had been employed in their January 1981 occupation less than 5 years. Tenure in the occupation is strongly linked with age. Persons who changed occupation: major occupational group in January 1981, by occupation in January 1980 [Percent distribution] Different occupation in January 1980' Number (in thousands) Percent Professional, technical, and kindred workers 4,383 100.0 11.0 Sex and occupation in January 1981 Managers and administrators, except farm Sales workers Clerical and kindred workers Craft and kindred workers Operatives, except transport Transport equipment operatives Laborers, except farm Service workers, including private household 12.1 8.1 7.9 18.6 15.5 6.3 9.4 9.1 1.9 Farm workers MEN Total, 18 years and over, not in school ............. Professional, technical, and kindred workers .. Managers and administra tors, except farm . . . . Salesworkers ............. Clerical and kindred work ers ........................ Craft and kindred workers Operatives, except trans port ........................ Transport equipment operatives............... Laborers, except farm .. Service workers, including private household . . . . Farmworkers............... 514 100.0 42.8 13.6 5.7 9.1 9.9 6.6 2.0 3.7 5.8 8 630 298 100.0 100.0 15.8 6.4 32.4 23.4 14.1 24.1 8.8 12.4 9.8 10.0 4.3 6.7 3.0 5.7 4.4 4.3 6.8 5.0 .5 20 383 781 100.0 100.0 7.6 5.0 10.0 6.7 7.8 5.2 26.6 5.2 16.4 34.8 7.8 17.5 8.8 6.5 7.0 11.4 7.8 6.4 .0 1.2 622 100.0 2.4 3.1 5.0 2.9 20.7 35.4 8.5 12.1 8.0 1.8 234 419 100.0 100.0 2.6 4.5 9.8 6.7 4.2 5.2 4.7 3.1 23.0 19.1 17.0 21.9 10.6 10.2 11.5 18.6 10.7 8.6 6.0 2.4 412 90 100.0 100.0 8.0 3.3 5.1 4.4 6.6 4.4 5.6 1.1 14.3 21.1 15.8 16.7 5.1 5.6 9.7 20.0 27.2 7.8 2.7 15.6 3,604 100.0 12.0 7.4 7.7 40.3 2.1 9.2 .6 2.1 18.0 .3 WOMEN Total, 18 years and over, not in school ............. Professional, technical, and kindred workers .. Managers and administra tors, except farm . . . . Salesworkers ............. Clerical and kindred work ers ........................ Crafts, operatives including transport, nonfarm laborers, total2 ......... Operatives, except trans port ........................ Service workers, including private household . . . . Farmworkers............... 546 100.0 37.2 8.1 4.2 30.6 .9 3.5 .4 1.5 13.7 0 367 257 100.0 100.0 15.2 9.7 20.0 12.8 12.8 10.5 38.3 39.3 1.4 .8 3.1 5.4 .0 .0 .8 3.1 8.4 183 0 0 1,388 100.0 6.5 4.9 7.6 59.8 1.8 4.5 .8 1.4 12.2 .6 5.1 3.1 3.6 18.1 6.9 35.1 1.8 5.6 20.1 .4 447 100.0 306 100.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 14.0 6.9 42.1 2.0 5.6 21.7 0.3 585 14 100.0 (3) 6.0 (3) 5.5 (3) 9.7 <3) 23.1 (3) 1.2 (3) 11.4 (3) .3 (3) 2.6 (3) 39.7 (3) .7 (3) 1Excludes a small number of workers with 1980 occupation not classified. 2Craftworkers, transport equipment operatives, and nonfarm laborers not shown separately 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis because the base in each case is less than 75,000. 3Data not shown where base is less than 75,000. Table 5. Occupational duration of persons employed in both January 1980 and 1981 by age, sex, race, and ethnicity [Numbers in thousands] Characteristic Total employed in both January 1980 and 1981 Less 1 up than to 5 1 year years 5 up to 10 years 10 up to 25 years 25 years or more Number Percent Total, 18 years and over, not in school 79,973 100.0 10.5 36.9 19.2 24.6 8.7 Men.......................... Women .................... 46,990 32,983 100.0 100.0 9.9 11.4 32.5 43.4 19.0 19.5 27.2 20.9 11.4 4.8 White........................ Black........................ Hispanic.................... 71,225 7,355 3,964 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.7 8.7 11.2 36.4 40.6 48.4 19.0 20.6 19.2 24.8 24.5 18.0 9.1 5.6 3.4 18 to 24 years........... 25 to 34 years........... 35 to 44 years........... 45 to 54 years........... 55 years and over . . . . 11,618 23,219 17,550 14,829 12,757 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 24.9 13.0 8.0 5.0 2.9 68.8 47.2 29.5 22.3 16.5 6.4 27.7 22.0 17.3 13.9 (') 12.0 38.7 38.9 33.9 (’ ) (’ ) 1.6 16.5 32.9 1Rounds to zero. Workers under age 35 were concentrated in the 1 to 5 years category, while the majority of workers age 35 and over had been in the same occupation 5 years or more. Men had more years in the same occupation than women. The sex difference is especially pronounced at 10 years or more in the occupation. Although women have continued to gain on men in year-round employ ment, they experience greater job turnover. This stems partly from personal and family priorities, but also be cause women have remained segregated in occupations which have high rates of turnover. In terms of race and ethnicity, the distribution of oc cupational tenure is relatively similar between blacks and whites compared to Hispanics. Among blacks and whites, approximately 50 percent were in the same oc cupation for less than 5 years, compared to almost 60 percent among Hispanics. The lower occupational ten ure of Hispanics can be attributed to some degree to their lower average age and greater likelihood of em ployment in service, laborer, and farm occupations. The number of years in the same occupation varied by the January 1981 occupation. Much like the inci dence of occupational change, tenure of less than 5 years is more common in occupations requiring less training (operatives and laborers), transferable skills (clerical work), or high employment growth (managers for women). In contrast, tenure is relatively high in oc cupations with either declining employment opportun ités (farmers and farm managers) or where specialized skills and lengthy training are involved (professionals for both sexes and craftworkers for men). This report has provided an update on patterns of oc cupational change between 1980 and 1981 and de scribed the distribution of occupational tenure among https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis various dem ographic groups. W ith the January 1981 CPS, it is also possible to examine how occupational change and tenure relate more specifically to the eco nomic status of workers. For example, the occupational categories used here were broad and conceal sex, race, and ethnic differences in employment that might be un covered by focusing on detailed occupations. In terms of earnings, findings from a recent study using these data suggest that the lower tenure of women accounts for just 4 percent of the male-female earnings gap.10The January 1981 CPS data can be used to explore further these and other labor force topics. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1See Elton Jackson and Harry J. Crockett, “Occupational Mobility in the United States: A Point Estimation and Trend Comparison,” A m e r ic a n S o c io lo g ic a l R e v ie w , February 1964, pp. 5-15; Peter M. Blau and Otis Dudley Duncan, T h e A m e r ic a n O c c u p a tio n a l S tr u c tu r e (New York, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1967); and David L. Featherman and Robert M. Hauser, O p p o r tu n ity a n d C h a n g e (New York, Academic Press, 1978). 2See William H. Sewell, Robert M. Hauser, and Wendy C. Wolf, “Sex, Schooling and Occupational Status,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f S o c i o lo g y, November 1980, pp. 551-583; Rachel A. Rosenfeld, “Race and Sex Differences in Career Dynamics,” A m e r ic a n S o c io lo g ic a l R ev ie w , October 1980, pp. 583-609. 1For reports using earlier CPS data see Samuel Saben, “Occupa tional mobility of employed workers” (January 1965-66), M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , June 1967, pp. 31-38, reprinted as Special Labor Force Report 84; James J. Byrne, “Occupational mobility of workers” (Jan uary 1972-73), M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , February 1975, pp. 53-59, re printed as Special Labor Force Report 186; and Carl Rosenfeld, “Occupational mobility during 1977” (January 3977-78), M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , December 1979, pp. 44-48, reprinted as Special Labor Force Report 231. 4This rate measures the proportion of workers who entered the oc cupation, not the proportion leaving the occupation held in 1980. This is only one of a number of possible measures of mobility, and it was selected because it is the same measure used in the previous stud ies. See footnote 3. 5See Paula J. Schneider, “Evaluation of the Occupation One-Year Ago Item in the January 1973 CPS,” P ro c ee d in g s o f th e S o c ia l S ta tis tics S essio n o f th e A m e ric a n S ta tis tic a l A sso cia tio n , 1977. 6The categories included 1 up to 2 years, 2 up to 3 years, 3 up to 4 years, 4 up to 5 years, 5 up to 10 years, 10 up to 25 years, and 25 years or more. 7The 1981 mobility rates by age were standardized on the 1966 age distribution resulting in a standardized mobility rate of 9.3. Reversing the procedure, the 1966 mobility rates by age were standardized on the 1981 age distribution which resulted in a standardized mobility rate of 10.8. The average of the “rate effect” and the “age effect” shows that 97 percent of the difference between the reported mobility rates of 8.8 in 1966 and 10.5 in 1981 was due to differences in the age distributions in the 2 years. See Evelyn M. Kitagawa, “Components of the Difference Between Two Rates,” J o u r n a l o f th e A m e r ic a n S ta tis tic a l A sso cia tio n , December 1955, pp. 1168-94. Other standardization techniques are discussed in Henry S. Shryock and Joseph Siegel, T h e M e th o d s a n d M a te r ia ls o f D e m o g ra p h y , Vols. I a n d I I (Bureau of the Census, 1971). Another possible source of difference between the 1966 and 1981 rates is that there were fewer three-digit occupations listed in the 1966 CPS. * Based on age standardization. See footnote 5. 4This category also includes changing occupations for advancement opportunities and full-time work. 10See Nancy F. Rytina, “Tenure as a factor in the male-female earnings gap,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1982, pp. 32-34. 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Research Summaries Job tenure of workers in January 1981 Table 1. Length of time on current job, workers 16 years and older, by sex, race, and Hispanic origin, January 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Length of time on current job Both sexes Men Women White Black Hispanic origin Total: Number............. 92,557 52,700 39,857 82,375 8,514 4,734 F rancis W. H orvath Close to 30 percent of all workers during January 1981 had been on their jobs less than 1 year. At the same time, however, nearly one-fourth had been at the same job more than 10 years. (See table 1.) Overall, the medi an job tenure was 3.2 years. This report gives the most recent summary statistics on job tenure derived from a special supplement to the January 1981 Current Population Survey and reviews some basic relationships in the data.1 Job tenure is a measure of the length of time an em ployee has worked continuously for the same employer, although not necessarily in the same occupation; contin uous employment is broken only by interruptions other than vacations, temporary illnesses, strikes, layoffs of less than 30 days, or other short-term absences. A per son terminates his or her tenure by quitting, being laid off for 30 days or more, entering the Armed Forces, or transferring to a job in a different company. Measurement of job tenure is affected by many of the same methodological issues which complicate other time-based indices such as unemployment duration. Just as the average duration of unemployment is not a meas ure of how long a person is likely to remain unem ployed,2 job tenure is not a measure of how long a person will stay with a single employer. Rather, it is an index of how long one has been with an employer as of a specific point in time. This is an important distinction, which may be illustrated by comparing the average age of a population with its life expectancy. The average age tells nothing about completed life spans; it measures only the age of those who are still living. Similarly, job tenure is an index of accumulated time on the job for those still working. Job tenure should not be confused with occupational mobility (discussed in more detail on page 29): Job ten ure is a duration concept. On the other hand, occupa tional mobility pertains to persons who change occupations but not necessarily employers. Also, occu pational mobility is more frequently discussed in terms of rates of change, while job tenure is usually presented as a length of time. Job tenure is influenced by both voluntary and invol untary choices. For example, the part-time and summer jobs of most young persons are not intended to be per manent. For others, especially those who work in indus Francis W. Horvath is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent ............. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6 months or less ......... 7 to 12 months ........... Over 1 to 2 years ....... Over 2 to 3 years ....... Over 3 to 5 years ....... Over 5 to 10 years....... Over 10 to 15 years . . . . Over 15 to 20 years . . . Over 20 to 25 years . . . . Over 25 to 30 years . . . . Over 30 to 35 years . . . . Over 35 years............. 18.2 9.5 11.6 9.2 12.0 15.9 9.6 5.3 3.4 2.4 1.7 1.2 15.9 8.9 10.3 8.6 11.5 16.2 10.4 6.4 4.4 3.3 2.5 1.7 21.4 10.4 13.3 9.9 12.6 15.6 8.4 3.9 2.2 1.3 .7 .5 18.3 9.6 11.5 9.2 12.0 15.7 9.4 5.4 3.5 2.5 1.8 1.2 17.5 8.6 11.4 8.9 11.4 18.2 11.5 5.4 2.9 2.4 1.2 .6 23.2 11.3 13.6 10.0 13.3 14.5 7.6 3.0 2.0 .9 .4 .2 Median years............... 3.2 4.0 2.5 3.2 3.6 2.2 tries such as construction or retail trade, regular cycles of expansion and contraction in employment can reduce the length of one’s tenure. With the termination of the BLS Labor Turnover Sur vey because of budget reductions, job tenure informa tion has become an important official data source relating to labor turnover. Even though the tenure sur vey is conducted only every 3 to 5 years, it provides valuable insights into the magnitude of job turnover and stability in the economy. Job tenure data can also be combined with mortality projections to provide estimates of the proportion of workers who will remain on the job for a specified number of years. For example, the data may be used to estimate how many of a company’s current employees might be eligible to receive future benefits under exist ing pension provisions.3 Not surprisingly, young workers have the lowest lev els of job tenure. Fifty percent of all teenagers working in January 1981 had been at their jobs for 6 months or less. Almost 70 percent had started their jobs within Table 2. Median years on current job, by age, race, and Hispanic origin, and sex, January 1981 All workers White Black Hispanic origin Age Both sexes Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Total, 16 years old and over ......... 16 to 24 years . . . . 25 to 34 years . . . . 35 to 44 years . . . . 45 to 54 years . . . . 55 to 64 years . . . . 65 years and older . 3.2 4.0 2.5 4.0 2.4 4.0 3.3 2.3 2.0 .8 .9 2.5 2.9 4.9 6.6 8.4 11.0 11.9 14.8 10.2 10.3 .8 2.0 3.5 5.9 9.1 10.0 .9 2.9 6.7 11.2 14.9 10.1 .8 2.0 3.3 5.7 9.1 9.8 .7 3.0 6.2 10.0 14.4 12.0 8 2.7 5.2 8.1 10.3 11.9 .9 2.4 3.7 6.4 8.6 (') .9 1.9 3.2 4.4 5.8 (’ ) 1Median not shown where base is less than 75,000. Table 3. Median years on current job, by age, marital status, and sex, January 1981 Married, spouse present Single Age Other marital status1 Men Women Men Women Men Women Total, 16 years old and over 1.2 1.2 6.0 3.1 4.3 3.4 16 to 24 years................ 25 to 34 years................ 35 to 44 years................. 45 to 54 years................. 55 to 64 years................ 65 years and older ......... .8 2.2 4.7 10.5 16.2 (2) .7 2.4 6.1 10.9 14.3 10.7 1.2 3.2 6.8 11.5 15.1 10.3 .9 2.0 3.4 6.2 9.4 9.8 1.0 2.4 5.2 6.7 10.7 10.9 .8 1.7 3.1 4.7 8.2 10.0 11ncludes widowed, divorced, and separated persons. 2Median not shown where base is less than 75,000. the previous year. In addition to the higher exposure to layoffs or terminations that teenagers face, they are more likely to be working in temporary jobs by choice, as they attend school or sift through various jobs in search of a suitable career. Even when teenagers hold jobs that are career-oriented, their careers do not begin until formal schooling or military service is completed. For all demographic groups shown (except men over 65 years old) successively higher age intervals show greater levels of job tenure. (See table 2.) The highest medians occur for men age 55 to 64— exceeding 14 years. Approximately 30 percent of men in this group have served the same employer for more than 25 years. At the other extreme, a basic rate of job changing seems to occur at every age level: close to 9 percent or more of the workers of all age groups with jobs in Jan uary 1981 had started them within the past year. Men have higher overall median levels of tenure than women, 4 years compared with 2.5. (See table 2.) Part of this difference is because of the greater proportion of working women who are under age 25. Another factor is the greater likelihood of women leaving jobs to care for young children. Sharp male-female contrasts in ten ure by age do not appear until after the women’s prime childbearing years. Overall, black workers had more years of job tenure than whites did in 1981. (See table 1.) White and black men had identical median job tenure of 4 years, but black women had worked longer than white women. (See table 2.) This difference may be related to the work patterns of those of childbearing age. White women with children under age 6 were less likely to be working than black women, and significantly fewer of the former were employed full time.4 Job tenure differences between sexes of the same race were also observed. (See table 2.) For whites, men had the longer tenure regardless of age. The largest relative difference in medians for white men and women oc curred in the 35-to-44-year age group, where the female median was only about half that of men. Among https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis blacks, both sexes showed only slight dissimilarities in tenure from the teens to middle age; the largest differ ence was found among those age 55 to 64. The inhibiting effect young children have on the worklives of wives may help account for differences in job tenure by marital status. (See table 3.) While single men and women had small relative differences in years on the job, wives had far fewer years than husbands. Because single persons tend to be young, the typical single man or woman has accumulated a limited num ber of years on their current job. The median level of job tenure for both single men and women is 1.2 years, compared with about 3.1 for wives and 6 years for hus bands. At most age levels below age 54, husbands have more years on the job than single men, while wives have fewer years than their single counterparts. Firms in growing industries usually hire new persons as they expand, and these industries will thus show cor respondingly low levels of job tenure. Other establish ments, in areas which are stagnant or declining, do not hire as often, letting positions expire as they become va cant. If a reduction in personnel is required, it will gen erally be concentrated among persons with the least seniority. Each of these actions increases the observed job tenure among those still in the industry. Table 4. Median years on current job, by occupation, industry, and sex, January 1981 Men Women 4.0 2.5 4.9 5.7 3.4 3.4 4.4 3.5 3.7 1.8 2.1 17.5 2.3 3.1 3.3 1.7 2.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 1.9 1.8 9.9 4.1 Agriculture....................................................... 7.3 4.4 Wage and salary workers....................................... Self-employed workers.......................................... Unpaid family workers .......................................... 2.3 16.3 5.2 1.5 8.1 13.3 Nonagricultural industries ................................... 3.9 2.5 Wage and salary workers....................................... Mining ......................................................... Construction.................................................. Manufacturing................................................ Transportation and public utilities ...................... Wholesale and retail trade............................... Finance, insurance, and real estate .................. Service ....................................................... Public administration ....................................... Self-employed workers.......................................... Unpaid family workers .......................................... 3.7 2.6 2.4 5.2 5.6 2.2 4.1 3.1 6.8 6.2 2.4 Occupation and industry Total, all workers.................................................. OCCUPATION Professional, technical, and kindred workers............... Managers and administrators, except farm................ Salesworkers....................................................... Clerical and kindred workers................................... Craft and kindred workers ..................................... Operatives, except transport................................... Transport equipment operatives ............................. Nonfarm laborers................................................. Service workers................................................... Farmers and farm managers................................... Farm laborers and supervisors ............................... INDUSTRY n — 2.1 3.2 3.5 1.5 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 5.7 ’ Median not shown were base is less than 75,000. Dashes indicate data not available. N ote : 35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Research Summaries Table 5. Median years on current job of women by age, marital status, and full- and part-time status, January 1981 Single Married, spouse Other marital present status' Age Full time Part time Full time Part time Full time Part time Total, 16 years old and over....... 1.6 0.6 3.4 2.3 3.4 3.6 16 to 24 years .......................... 25 to 34 years .......................... 35 to 44 years .......................... 45 to 54 years .......................... 55 to 64 years .......................... 65 years and older.................... .8 2.6 6.2 11.9 15.3 .6 .9 (2) (2) (2) (2) 1.0 2.4 3.8 6.7 10.7 11.5 .5 1.2 2.4 4.8 5.8 7.4 .8 1.7 3.2 4.8 8.7 11.3 (2) 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.5 8.5 n 11ncludes widowed, divorced, and separated persons. 2Median not shown where base Is less than 75,000. In addition, job tenure will also be influenced by skill level of the work force. Employers are less likely to lay off or fire skilled workers, as it costs more in hiring and training costs to replace them.5 Employers may try to reduce voluntary terminations of more valuable employ ees by linking vacation or pension benefits to increased seniority. By industry, self-employed men in agriculture had the longest spells of job tenure. Self-employed workers in nonagricultural industries also had a high level of job tenure, although male wage and salary workers in pub lic administration ranked highest. (See table 4.) Since 1963, surveys have found farmers to have the longest job tenure of any occupational group. They tend to own their own farms, and remain at work re gardless of cyclical fluctuations. In January 1981, medi an job tenure for male farmers was 17.5 years, well above that of all other occupations. Managers and ad ministrators have the next highest level of job tenure for men, followed by professional workers. Laborers— both farm and nonfarm— have the lowest tenure on their current job. For women, the patterns by occupation are similar except farm laborers have relatively high tenure; probably these women work on family farms owned or operated by their husbands. Tabulations of years of tenure were also compiled by full- or part-time status on one’s current job. In gener al, part-time workers had less job tenure than full-time ones. A typical pattern is displayed in table 5, which lists job tenure for women by full- and part-time status. For women who are widowed, divorced, or separated, relatively little difference by job status is apparent, but for wives, part-time work on the current job correlates with fewer years of tenure. Again, it seems likely that a desire to rearrange work schedules to facilitate child care is a major factor behind the relationship. □ the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Most of the data relate to persons who are 16 years old and over employed in the civilian labor force in the week ending January 17, 1981. Sampling variability may be large where numbers are small. Therefore, small differences between estimates or percentages should be interpreted with caution. Employment figures in this study differ significantly from those re ported in the regular Current Population Survey (CPS) for January 1981. The primary reason for this difference is that the job tenure data are not adjusted for nonresponse as are the CPS figures. See Th e C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n S u rv e y: D esig n a n d M e th o d o lo g y , Technical Paper No. 40 ( U.S. Department of Commerce, 1978), for more information. This is the seventh in a series of reports on this subject. The latest contained data for January 1978 and appeared in the December 1979 M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w . It was reprinted with additional tabular data and an explanatory note as S p e c ia l L a b o r F o rce R e p o r t 2 3 5 , “Job Ten ure Declines as Work Force Changes.” There are no comparisons in this report between 1978 and 1981 median tenure data, because of a change in the procedure used to calculate the medians. The 1981 Job Tenure Survey obtained more detail than earlier ones about persons who had begun their jobs during the previous year. Such people were asked the m o n th in which they started work with their present em ployers. Additional information can be obtained from the Division of Labor Force Studies. ' Norman Bowers, “Probing the issues of unemployment duration,” July 1980, pp. 23-32. “Job Tenure of Workers, January 1973,” S p e c ia l L a b o r F orce R e p o r t 1 7 2 provided an example of how this might be done. 4 Allyson Sherman Grossman, “More than half of all children have working mothers,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , February 1981, pp. 44—46; and unpublished tables from the March 1981 Current Population Sur vey. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , One of the best treatments of these issues is Walter Y. Oi, “Labor as a Quasi-Fixed Factor,” J o u r n a l o f P o litic a l E c o n o m y , December 1962, pp. 538-55. Also see Donald Parsons, “Specific Human Capital: An Application to Quit Rates and Layoff Rates,” J o u r n a l o f P o litic a l E c o n o m y , November-December 1972, pp. 1120-43. How European unions cope with new technology Steve Early and M att Witt In European countries, as in the United States, computerized production systems and robots are being introduced into manufacturing plants. Electronic sys tems are eliminating many tasks for which workers previously were needed in warehouses, stores, banks, and insurance companies. Many secretaries, government workers, reporters, telephone operators, engineers, and technicians are working at electronic screens called vid eo display terminals. Such changes threaten job security and could make the jobs which remain less interesting, more isolated and stressful. --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------This report is based primarily on information from a supplementa ry question, “When did . . . start working at his present job or busi ness?” in the January 1981 Current Population Survey, conducted by 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Matt Witt is director and Steve Early, a former staff member, of the American Labor Education Center, Washington, D.C. Research for this report was supported by the German Marshall Fund of the Unit ed States. European unions generally are not trying to block technological change; rather they want to be sure such change will benefit workers as well as employers. To do this, the unions are asking for: consultation before deci sions are made about new technology; technology which increases rather than replaces the workers’ traditional skills, and which improves rather than worsens working conditions; protection from job losses and lower pay rates; a share in the profits and social benefits created by new technology; and assurance that new technology will not be used to undermine the union. To achieve these goals, they are giving local union committees more information and power. By using their powerful labor parties to influence government policy, European unions have already won some new rights through legislation. For example, in Norway and Sweden, unions have the legal right to complete information about proposed new technology. Union representatives attend meetings of company boards of directors, obtain all information available to those boards, and present the union’s point of view. Also, national “work environment” laws give unions the power to veto workplace changes which would ad versely affect job safety and health, as many new tech nologies do without proper design and planning. Through collective bargaining, European unions have won additional rights. For instance, a branch of the Norwegian Iron and Metal Workers’ Union, which rep resents blue-collar and white-collar workers at an Inter national Telephone and Telegraph subsidiary, has won the contract right to block any new computerized sys tem that does not meet its approval. In Germany, a contract covering about one-third of the metal workers guarantees against a decrease in in come because of changing work assignments caused by new technology. And, at American Express, which em ploys 1,200 workers in banks on U.S. military bases, the German banking union won a contract prohibiting involuntary layoff or transfer of workers as a result of technological change. A new technology benefit for Civil Service unions representing 600,000 government workers in England included a 10-percent reduction in working hours. Another benefit, bargained by many unions in Nor way, Sweden, and England, provides video display ter minal operators with a 4-hour per day limit on their machines— scheduled in 2 hours on, 2 hours off rota tion. This system forces employers to arrange a variety of work assignments for clericals who would otherwise be restricted to their terminals. European unions are aided in preparing bargaining proposals by knowledge gained in union-sponsored, em ployer-financed training programs on new technology. Unlike U.S. unions which foot the bill for most labor education, national laws in Europe require management https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to pay stewards, local officers, and committee members for attending union classes. In Sweden, Germany, Norway, and England, unions have also obtained millions of dollars in government or employer funds to pay for training courses in the new technology. In Scandinavia, the money for training comes from national work environment or labor education funds, fi nanced by employer contributions largely controlled by the labor movement. In West Germany and Great Brit ain, union training programs are subsidized by govern ment departments of industry, research, or technology. European unions also have obtained government or employer funds to consult with outside experts on new technology. Many unions in Norway, Sweden, and Great Britain get advice from labor-oriented computer experts from university research programs and technical institutes, such as the government-funded Norwegian Computing Center, Swedish Work Life Center, and the British Center for Alternative Industrial Technological Systems. Under a government grant, the German Metal Workers set up a national system of “innovation advice bureaus” consisting of engineers, economists, and other technicians, to help local unions evaluate and bargain over employers’ new technology plans. German unions have also been represented for several years on advisory committees which give government research and development funds to projects that im prove the work environment. This allows German unions to lobby for inclusion of health and safety fea tures into new technology at the developmental stage. Further, German unions are seeking a requirement that they be consulted before employers and equipment suppliers are given government money to experiment with production systems, such as computerized machine tools and industrial robots. When a local union in Europe uses its rights to re spond to technological change, the results can provide quite a contrast to comparable situations in the United States. For example, metal workers at an aircraft parts plant in Kongsberg, Norway, have had far more success in coping with the introduction of computer-based ma chine tools than have workers at a similar plant in Lynn, Massachusetts. At Kongsberg, the trained union technology commit tee received complete information before the com puterized machine tools were installed. On the basis of this information, the committee insisted that machine operators already on the job be trained to do the com puter programming and repairs. As a result, the ma chinists’ skills were broadened rather than narrowed by the technological change. In contrast, at Lynn, the equipment was installed without consultation with the union. Now supervisors or nonunion programmers handle the computer work, 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Research Summaries thereby reducing many skilled machinists to “machine tenders” or “button pushers” with less interesting work and lower pay. Job losses for union members are possi ble, and any future job action by the union will be less effective. rn Cost-of-living indexes for Americans living abroad The U.S. Department of State has computed new index es of living costs for selected foreign cities. These index es compare the costs (in dollars) of representative consumer goods and services (excluding housing and education) purchased at foreign posts with the costs of comparable goods and services in Washington, D.C. In most of the foreign cities, living costs for Ameri cans are higher than in Washington, D.C. However, in the last 2 years, relative costs have declined in many cities, as the appreciation of the U.S. dollar exchange rate offset, in part, the higher prices abroad. For example, although prices in Switzerland increased at the same rate as in the United States, living costs were down 22 percent in Geneva— from 176 to 137— according to the May 1981 index, because 21 percent of the higher Swiss prices was offset by the appreciation of the U.S. dollar. Similarly, living costs for Americans were down 8 percent in Tokyo— from 155 to 142— ac cording to the February 1982 index. Japanese prices rose 3 percent more than U.S. prices over the previous year, but appreciation of the dollar offset 10 percent of the higher Japanese prices. The new index for Rome, however, shows living costs down by only 4 percent, even though the U.S. dollar exchange rate appreciated about 25 percent, because consumer prices in Rome rose 20 percent more than prices in Washington, D.C. In some countries, recent price increases have been greater than the appreciation of the dollar. For example, the new (January 1982) in dex for Mexico City showed U.S. dollar costs for Amer icans up 6 percent over the previous year because, while the dollar appreciated 12 percent versus the peso, Mexi can prices rose 19 percent more than U.S. prices. (In February, the peso was devalued, and costs for Ameri cans have sharply declined.) It is advisable to check the prevailing exchange rates whenever using the indexes of living costs abroad be cause the rates are subject to sudden shifts, and differ ent rates would substantially affect living costs in dollars. The indexes of living costs abroad are computed in order to establish allowances for American government employees assigned to foreign posts where the cost of 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Indexes of living costs abroad, excluding housing and education, July 1982 [Washington, D.C. =100] Survey date Monetary unit Rate of exchange per U.S. Dollar Local index Argentina: Buenos Aires......... Australia: Canberra ......... Austria: Vienna................ Bahrain: Manama........... Belgium: Brussels.............. Aug. 1981 Sep. 1981 Jan. 1982 Nov. 1980 Apr. 1981 Peso Dollar Shilling Dinar Franc 7350 0.8547 16.4 0.3774 37.0 107 126 137 138 126 Brazil: Sao Paulo...................... Canada: Ottawa............. China: Beijing...................... France: Paris...................... Germany: Frankfurt .............. Oct. 1980 Nov. 1981 July 1980 Mar. 1981 Feb. 1981 Cruzeiro Dollar Yuan Franc Mark 58.3 1.18 1.46 4.80 2.00 96 105 96 153 138 Hong Kong: Hong Kong ............. India: New Delhi...................... Israel: Tel Aviv........................ Italy: Rome ............................. Japan: Tokyo........................ Apr. 1981 Mar. 1981 May 1981 Feb. 1982 Feb. 1982 Dollar Rupee Shekel Lira Yen 5.40 8.25 9.60 1300 230 115 93 125 108 142 Korea: Seoul .......................... Mexico: Mexico, D.F.................. Netherlands: The Hague............. Nigeria: Lagos .......................... Philippines: Manila .................... June 1981 Jan. 1982 Feb. 1982 Mar. 1981 Dee. 1980 Won Peso Guilder Naira Peso 684 26.4 2.60 0.5774 7.66 125 110 125 169 104 Saudi Arabia: Al Khobar (Dhahran) Singapore: Singapore................ South Africa: Johannesburg ....... Spain: Madrid .......................... Sweden: Stockholm.................. July 1981 July 1981 Nov. 1981 Feb. 1982 May 1981 Riyal Dollar Rand Peseta Krona 3.38 2.16 0.9524 99.0 4.80 142 118 103 114 148 Switzerland: Geneva............... United Arab Emirates: Abu Dhabi . United Kingdom: London............. U.S.S.R.: Moscow .................... Venezuela: Caracas.................. May 1981 May 1981 Apr. 1981 Dee. 1981 Sep. 1981 Franc Dirham Pound Ruble Bolivar 2.01 3.64 0.5000 0.7000 4.28 137 133 130 142 142 Country and city S o urce : U.S. Department of State, Allowances Staff. living is significantly higher than in Washington, D.C. In addition, indexes are computed for American private employees. (The indexes shown in table 1 are those computed for private Americans.) The indexes and post allowances cover most living costs, except housing and education which are covered by separate allowances. The indexes of living costs abroad and quarters (housing) allowances for selected foreign cities are published quarterly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. They are now available by subscription, or single copy, from the Superintendent of Documents. The new sub scription series include indexes for more than 160 cities, housing allowances for about 75 cities, and hardship differentials for all important hardship posts. U.S. Department o f State Indexes o f Living Costs Abroad, Quarters Allowances, and Hardship Differentials can be ordered from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Price for an annual subscription (four quarterly issues) is $6.50 domestic, $8.15 foreign; individual cop ies, $1.75 domestic, $2.20 foreign. A description of the statistics and overseas allowances system, U.S. Depart ment o f State Indexes o f Living Costs Abroad and Quar ters Allowances: A Technical Description (Report 568), is available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. □ Special Labor Force R e p o rts- Summaries Labor force patterns of students, graduates, and dropouts, 1981 A n n e M cD ougall Y oung After having increased for nearly two decades, the labor force participation rate for students age 16 to 24 began to slip in 1978, starting a downward trend that was still evident in the early 1980’s. Most of the decline has oc curred among teenagers, especially those 16 and 17. For out-of-school youth 16 to 24, the labor force pat tern over the past two decades has mirrored the trend among adults 25 and over. Rates for young men drifted down, while those for young women advanced strongly. (See table 1.) Detailed information on the work activity of school age youth is obtained from a special survey conducted each October. This report summarizes data that have recently become available from the 1981 survey.' School and work About 46 percent of the students 16 to 24 were in the work force in October 1981, down from nearly 49 per cent in 1978. This decline may be related to a number of factors, including the possibility of greater competi tion with women over 24 for jobs, especially for parttime jobs, and perhaps some discouragement with em ployment prospects as economic growth has slowed. Some analysts have suggested that the labor force ac tivity of school age youth has been affected by the increased labor force participation of women.2 For ex ample, James Grant and Daniel Hammermesh have concluded that “competition from adult women has very likely had a negative impact on the labor market for youths.”3 During the expansionary era of the 1960’s and early 1970’s, student labor force rates rose along with those for women. However, in the late 1970’s and early 1980’s, the competition for jobs has intensified, and students were often looking for the same jobs that were also sought by older women. Anne McDougall Young is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The decreases in labor force participation rates of stu dents have not changed the historical pattern by race— the highest rates being for whites, followed by Hispanics, and the lowest for blacks. However, while the par ticipation rate for white students remained relatively unchanged from 1980 to 1981, the rate for black stu dents dropped to the 1975 recession level. The trend for male Hispanic students has been similar to that for blacks, while the rates for Hispanic women have been too volatile to detect a trend. Labor force participation rates for young women no longer in school have been an exception to the trend among youth, rising by 13 percentage points since 1970. In part, this rise reflects the growing proportion of young women who have completed high school, and the much higher labor force rates of graduates, compared with dropouts. Probably more important was the in crease in proportion of out-of-school 16-to-24-year-old women who are not yet married— from a third in 1970 to a half in 1981.4 Their labor force rate was 82 percent, compared with 64 percent for their ever-married (that Table 1. Labor force participation rates for persons 16 to 24 years old, by school enrollment status, sex, and race, selected years, October 1960 to October 1981 School Men Women Both enrollment sexes status and year Total White Black Hispanic Total White Black Hispanic Enrolled 1960 1965 1970 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. 31.8 36.4 35.0 39.8 40.7 42.9 44.0 44.5 45.3 47.1 46.8 48.3 48 7 49.5 47.7 48.3 47.4 47.8 46.2 46.7 35.8 43.3 44.5 47.3 49.6 51.3 52.9 51.5 50.4 50.1 41.9 33.3 29.2 27.2 32.9 31.1 29.3 30.5 32.0 27.5 68.9 70.4 73.1 77.8 79.1 80.4 81.6 81.5 81.6 81.9 94.9 94.1 93.2 93.7 93.7 94.3 94.2 93.6 93.5 93.4 95.0 93.6 84.9 83.2 81.3 86.0 85.4 85.3 82.4 82.5 _ — — 40.3 42.8 45.3 50.1 42.1 45.7 40.2 26.0 28.9 38.0 43.5 43.4 45.2 47.8 47.1 47.0 45.7 26.6 30.0 40.0 45.9 46.9 48.8 50.7 50.5 50.6 48.7 21.2 20.3 25.3 30.4 24.6 24.1 30.5 32.0 26.8 29.9 50.2 54.1 600 65.8 67.7 69.3 71.4 71.6 72.3 73.0 49.4 53.5 60.3 67.3 69.3 72.5 72.8 73.5 74.3 74.7 55.1 58.3 57.9 57.5 59.0 62.8 63.3 60.5 62.6 65.3 _ — — 32.2 33.7 35.7 42.9 32.0 37.4 35.8 Not enrolled 1960 1965 1970 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. N ote : 95.0 94.1 91.9 92.1 92.1 93.2 93.1 92.5 91.8 91.7 — — — 91.3 90.1 94.1 92.9 93.1 89.6 90.3 _ — — 51.2 53.6 51.0 59.4 61.5 58.2 61.2 Rates are labor force as percent of population. 39 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Special Labor Force Reports— Summaries is, married, divorced, separated, or widowed) counter parts. Labor force participation of women no longer in school rose regardless of race or ethnicity. In general, there has been a relatively steady decline in the labor force participation rates of black male youth no longer in school. Whereas their labor force rate equaled that of their white counterparts in 1960, by 1981 there was a 10-percentage point difference. Re search on the declining participation rates has produced contradictory results regarding the influence of the sub urbanization of many youth jobs, the significance of the minimum wage, and the importance of personal charac teristics which youth bring to the job.5 Some reports have suggested that because of various forms of discouragement— such as high unemployment rates among peers, older friends, and neighbors; the limited range of jobs available; and the perception of lingering discrimination— some youth may have decid ed that the job search was not worth continuing. Paul Osterman’s study of labor force activity among innercity youth, based on decennial census data, showed that there was “a considerably more powerful discourage- Table 2. Employment status of persons 16 to 24 years old, by school enrollment status, years of school completed sex age, and race, October 1980 and 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Population Characteristics Labor force 1980 1980 Revised Revised Unemployment rate Population 1980 1981 Revised Characteristics 1981 ALL PERSONS Labor force 1980 1980 Revised Revised Unemployment rate 1980 1981 Revised 1981 BLACK Total ................ 37,103 36,946 24,921 24,583 13.9 14.8 Total.................. 4,892 4,933 2,649 2,671 29.9 33.2 Enrolled, total ............... Men...................... Women ................ 15,713 7,997 7,716 15,909 8,150 7,759 7,454 3,825 3,629 7,352 3,803 3,549 13.7 14.8 12.5 14.4 14.3 14.6 Enrolled, total................ Men...................... Women ................ 2,028 952 1,076 2,083 1,010 1,072 590 303 287 587 268 320 32.0 35.6 28.2 35.4 26.9 42.2 16 to 19 years....... 20 to 24 years....... 11,126 4,587 11,208 4,700 4,836 2,618 4,706 2,646 16.7 8.2 18.1 7.8 16 to 19 years ....... 20 to 24 years ....... 1,566 462 1,598 485 371 219 368 219 37.2 23.3 45.4 18.7 High school ........... College ................ Full-time students . Part-time students . 8,050 7,664 6,396 1,268 8,108 7,800 6,503 1,297 3,461 3,996 2,854 1,142 3,276 4,076 2,901 1,175 19.0 9.1 10.5 5.7 20.0 10.0 11.9 5.1 High school............. College ................ Full-time students . Part-time students . 1,282 747 641 106 1,303 780 661 119 292 298 214 84 280 307 222 85 40.8 23.5 29.9 7.1 49.3 22.5 28.4 7.1 21,390 10,245 11,145 21,037 10,018 11,019 17,467 9,405 8,062 17,231 9,185 8,046 14.0 14.9 12.9 15.0 15.2 14.7 Not enrolled, total........... Men...................... Women ................ 2,864 1,322 1,542 2,850 1,292 1,558 2,059 1,089 970 2,084 1,065 1,019 29.3 28.9 29.8 32.7 31.2 34.2 5,230 2,025 3,205 11,654 5,142 1,921 3,222 11,451 3,530 1,297 2,233 9,809 3,501 1,258 2,246 9,673 25.3 29.1 23.0 12.5 26.9 32.9 23.6 13.8 955 723 2,141 1,431 913 684 2,165 1,501 543 441 1,618 1,106 552 425 1,660 1,144 44.0 45.7 24.9 26.2 48.2 49.9 28.2 29.5 3,038 1,467 2,926 1,517 2,716 1,408 2,613 1,443 8.8 5.8 8.6 5.3 School completed: High school: Less than 4 years 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 4 years only. . . . College: 1 to 3 years . . . . 4 years or more . 372 106 348 88 305 103 306 84 22.3 5.8 22.5 8.3 Total ................ 31,345 31,110 21,811 21,474 11.9 12.5 Total.................. 2,624 2,686 1,650 1,654 15.5 15.5 Enrolled, total ............... Men...................... Women ................ 13,242 6,821 6,421 13,312 6,853 6,459 6,688 3,437 3,251 6,576 3,431 3,145 11.9 12.9 11.0 12.5 13.2 11.7 Enrolled, total................ Men...................... Women ................ 920 455 465 985 517 467 377 208 170 375 208 167 17.8 17.8 17.6 16.0 17.8 13.8 16 to 19 years ....... 20 to 24 years....... 9,270 3,972 9,285 4,027 4,367 2,321 4,242 2,334 14.8 6.5 15.6 6.8 16 to 19 years ....... 20 to 24 years ....... 705 215 753 232 241 137 227 148 21.6 10.2 19.4 10.8 High school ........... College ................ Full-time students . Part-time students . 6,566 6,678 5,567 1,109 6,572 6,740 5,613 1,127 3,096 3,592 2,579 1,012 2,946 3,632 2,601 1,031 16.7 7.9 8.9 5.1 17.0 8.8 10.4 4.8 High school............. College ................ Full-time students . Part-time students . 579 341 255 86 627 358 288 69 184 193 118 77 180 195 127 68 23.9 12.4 10.2 14.3 20.0 11.3 11.0 18,103 8,714 9,389 17,798 8,562 9,236 15,123 8,146 6,977 14,898 7,996 6,902 11.9 13.1 10.5 12.5 13.1 11.7 Not enrolled, total........... Men................ Women ................ 1,704 840 864 1,701 816 885 1,273 752 521 1,279 737 542 14.8 14.4 15.5 15.4 15.6 15.1 4,166 4,511 13,592 10,025 4,107 4,132 13,663 9,778 2,931 3,628 11,495 8,597 2,890 3,307 11,587 8,417 21.6 16.5 10.5 10.8 22.7 19.0 10.6 11.6 922 487 1,217 589 891 486 1,215 634 628 337 936 478 620 333 945 501 18.9 20.2 12.9 12.3 18.1 24.6 12.3 15.0 2,340 1,255 2,253 1,338 7.2 5.7 6.7 5.0 School completed: High school: Less than 4 years 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 4 years only. . . . College: 1 to 3 years . . . . 4 years or more . 141 36 129 35 123 33 3.9 (’ ) 8.1 (’ ) Not enrolled, total ......... Men.................. Women ................ School completed: High school: Less than 4 years 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 4 years only ... College: 1 to 3 years ... 4 years or more WHITE Not enrolled, total ......... Men...................... Women ................ School completed: High school: Less than 4 years 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 4 years only ... College: 1 to 3 years ... 4 years or more HISPANIC 2,588 1,324 2,511 1,402 I 1Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : 155 38 | Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. (') ment effect” for black youth in 1970 than in 1960 and reasoned that “this doubtlessly explains the adverse participation trends over the decade.”6 A recent study suggests that some black out-of-school teenagers whose families were on welfare may be inhibited from working because their family allowance would be reduced by the amount of their earnings.7 Unemployment rates Unemployment rates for youth in and out of school have fluctuated considerably since 1970. From 13.2 per cent for the enrolled and 10.9 percent for not enrolled youth in 1970, they reached 15.0 and 14.9 percent in 1975, dropped to 12.5 and 10.0 percent in 1978, and climbed back to 14.4 and 15.0 percent in October 1981. These changes reflected not only the recessions in 1975 and 1981, but also continuing problems with finding part-time jobs to fit the schedules of students, and full time jobs to match the varying skills and educational attainment of out-of-school youth. While it is to be expected that youth unemployment rates would be par ticularly vulnerable to cyclical changes, the rates for youth have been much higher during the past decade than in the 1960’s. Within the enrolled group, the unemployment rate for male students was relatively unchanged over the year, whereas the rate had increased sharply for women. (See table 2.) Most of the rise occurred among female high school students but teenage women in college were also affected. Only the 20-to-24 age group was un touched by increased joblessness. The unemployment rate for black teenage students rose to 45.4 percent over the year, nearly three times that for whites. Again, most of the increase was among women in high school. His panic students’ jobless rate remained stable. Among youth no longer in school, unemployment rates ranged from 5.3 percent for college graduates to 26.9 percent for high school dropouts. As was the case for students, the burden of increased unemployment over the year was limited to women. Their overall un employment rate rose almost 2 percentage points while the rate for men held steady. Only women who had graduated from college showed no change in their un employment rate, which continued to be somewhat low er than the rate for male college graduates in the age group. Out-of-school black youth have historically had very high unemployment rates; in October 1981, about a third of those in the labor force were looking for work. The unemployment rate for Hispanic youth (15.4 percent) differed little from that for whites. Recent graduates and dropouts A record 1.6 million youth who graduated from high school in 1981 were attending college in October 1981. (See table 3.) Some 54 percent of all recent graduates https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis were enrolled, compared with 49 percent a year earlier. A similar surge in college enrollment occurred during the 1974-75 recession when many youth chose school as an alternative to unemployment or a less desirable job. The labor force participation rate of new college students was 44 percent, substantially higher than in the early 1970’s, reflecting, in part, the increase in work-study programs associated with student aid.8 Most recent high school graduates who did not go on to college were in the labor force in October. At 84 per cent, their labor force participation rate was also higher than in 1970, mostly because of an increase in the rate for women. The unemployment rate for recent gradu ates not in college— 21.4 percent— was substantially Table 3. School enrollment and labor force status of 1981 high school graduates and 1980-81 high school dropouts 16 to 24 years old, by sex and race, October 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Characteristic Civilian labor force Civilian noninstiUnemployed Participation Employed tutional Number rate population Number Percent Total, 1981 high school graduates . Men .................... Women................ 3,053 1,490 1,563 1,899 927 972 62.2 62.2 62.2 1,524 772 752 375 155 220 19.7 16.7 22.6 White .................. Black .................. Hispanic ............... 2,624 358 146 1,674 189 77 63.8 52.8 52.7 1,406 93 61 268 96 16 16.0 50.8 20.8 Enrolled in college .. 1,646 719 43.7 597 122 17.0 Men............... Women ......... 816 830 341 378 41.8 45.5 300 297 41 81 12.0 21.4 Full-time student Part-time student 1,520 126 612 107 40.3 84.9 499 98 113 9 18.5 8.4 White............. Black............. Hispanic......... 1,434 154 76 644 47 27 44.9 30.5 35.5 552 27 25 92 20 2 14.3 (') (’ ) Not enrolled in college ............. 1,407 1,180 83.9 927 253 21.4 Men............... Women ......... Single . . . . Other marital status 674 733 616 586 594 522 86.9 81.0 84.7 472 455 396 114 139 126 19.5 23.4 24.1 117 72 81.9 59 13 (') White............. Black............. Hispanic......... 1,190 204 70 1,030 142 50 86.6 69.6 (’ ) 854 66 36 176 76 14 17.1 53.5 (’ ) 714 450 63.2 286 164 36.4 Men............... Women ......... Single . . . . Other marital status 366 348 275 271 179 146 74.0 51.7 53.1 192 94 78 79 85 68 29.2 47.5 46.6 73 35 18 17 (’ ) White ........... Black ........... Hispanics . . . . 532 165 91 363 77 63 257 22 41 106 55 22 29.2 71.4 (’ ) Total, 198081 high school dropouts2 n 68.2 46.7 69.2 ’ Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. 2Persons who dropped out of school between October 1980 and October 1981. In addi tion, 78,000 persons 14 and 15 years old dropped out of school. N ote : Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Special Labor Force Reports— Summaries Table 4. Labor force status of college students 16 to 24 years old, by enrollment status and type of college attended, October 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Selected characteristics Enrolled Full-time students Total Percent Total Part-time students 2-year 4-year Total 2-year 4-year college college college college POPULATION Total . . . White............. Black............. Hispanic......... 7,799 6,741 781 358 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.3 83.2 84.6 80.0 19.3 18.9 20.1 33.9 64.0 64.3 64.5 46.2 16.7 16.8 15.4 19.9 8.8 8.8 8.5 15.7 79 81 69 4.3 4,075 3,632 318 195 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 70.9 71.3 68.9 66.1 21.5 21.2 21.6 32.3 49.4 50.1 47.3 33.9 29.1 28.7 31.1 33.9 15.2 14.9 14.5 25.9 138 138 166 7.9 52.3 53.9 40.7 54.5 — — — — 43.8 45.7 31.1 44.5 57.4 60.1 40.9 51.3 39.7 41.5 28.0 39.5 89.4 90.8 77.2 (3) 88.6 90.6 (3) (3) 90 3 91.1 (3) (3) 9.4 8.4 23.1 9.6 11.4 9.6 (3) (3) 8.5 7.9 16.4 (3) 3.6 3.7 4.5 (3) 4.2 4.4 (3) (3) 30 29 LABOR FORCE Total . . . White........... Black............. Hispanic......... LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE1 Total .. . White............. Black............. Hispanic......... UNEMPLOY MENT RATE2 Total ... White............. Black............. Hispanic......... 10.0 8.8 22.0 10.3 — — — - --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------(3) 1Labor force as percent of population. 2Unemployed as percent of labor force. 3Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. higher than a year earlier. It was also higher than the rate for all youth in the age group with 4 years of high school only (13.8 percent). College students at work Labor force participation of students is constrained by geography, classroom schedules, and transportation facilities, as well as general conditions in the economy. With opportunities for employment generally limited to the vicinity of the college, the growth of 2-year colleges in metropolitan areas has allowed many persons to fur ther their education while holding down a job. The par ticular importance of employment for part-time students is shown in table 4. Almost 9 of 10 such students were in the labor force in October 1981. The close connection between part-time schooling and labor force activity is further illustrated by the low unemployment rates for such students, regardless of race or ethnic origin. The decision to attend college part time, and the means to pay for it, appear to be directly linked to the desire for advancement by youth already employed. The unemployment rates for part-time stu dents were about the same for whites and blacks and were consistently much lower than the rates for full time students. 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Hispanic youth, some of them relatively new to the United States,9 have made extensive use of low cost, 2-year community colleges— almost 50 percent of all Hispanic college students were enrolled in such colleges in 1981, compared with 28 percent of the white, and 29 percent of the black students. More than half of the Hispanic students were working while attending school. Black students were much less likely than either white or Hispanic students to combine work and col lege. The lower labor force participation rates of black college students have persisted despite their much lower family income. A third of their families had incomes of less than $15,000 compared with a tenth of the white families and a fourth of the Hispanic families with stu dents in college in 1981. Whereas many jobs in retail sales, food, and other service industries have moved to suburban malls, the majority of black students live in central cities.10 Lack of convenient transportation may limit their access to jobs located on the periphery of the city. The substantial number of students attending the many black colleges located in rural areas also face lim ited employment opportunities. □ ' This report is based primarily on supplementary questions in the October 1981 Current Population Survey, conducted and tabulated for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. Most data relate to persons 16 to 24 years of age in the civilian noninstitutional population in the week ending Oct. 17, 1981. Sampling variability may be relatively large in cases where the numbers are small. Small estimates, or small differences between esti mates, should be interpreted with caution. For the most recent report in this series, see Anne McDougall Young, “Labor force activity among students, graduates, and dropouts in 1980,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , July 1981, pp. 31-33. 2 See Howard Hayghe, “Marital and family patterns of workers: an update,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , May 1982, pp. 53-56. James H. Grant and Daniel S. Hammermesh, “Labor Market Competition Among Youths, White Women and Others,” R e v ie w o f E c o n o m ic s a n d S ta tistic s , August 1981. 4 Unpublished data, October supplement to the Current Population Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5For example, see Charles W. Dayton, “The Young Person’s Job Search: Insights from a Study,” J o u r n a l o f C o u n se lin g P sych o lo g y, July 1981, pp. 321-333; Minimum Wage Study Commission, R e p o r t o f th e M in im u m W a g e S tu d y C o m m issio n , 7 volumes, May-June 1981; James Franncis Ragen, Jr., “The Impact of Minimum Wage Legisla tion on the Youth Labor Market,” PhD Thesis, Washington Universi ty, December 1975; Arvil V. Adams and Garth L. Mangum, T h e L in g e r in g C risis o f Y o u th U n e m p lo y m e n t, Upjohn Institute for Em ployment Research, June 1978. See also U.S. General Accounting Of fice, “Labor Market Problems of Teenagers Result Largely From Doing Poorly in School,” R e p o r t to th e H o n o r a b le C h a r le s R a n g e l, U.S. House of Representatives, Mar. 29, 1982. 6Paul Osterman, G e ttin g MIT Press, 1980, p. 126. S ta r te d , The Y o u th L a b o r M a r k e t, p. 54. National Center for Education Statistics, T h e 1 9 8 0 E d itio n , Table 4.18. The R e p o r t to th e H o n o r a b le C h a r le s R a n g e l, 8 tion, C o n d itio n o f E d u c a “Persons of Spanish Origin in the United States: March 1979,” Series P-20, No. 354, p. 17. 10Unpublished data from the 1981 Current Population Survey. C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n R ep o r ts , M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth T his list of co llectiv e bargaining agreem ents expiring in O ctob er is based on contracts on file in the B ureau’s O ffic e of W ages and Industrial R ela tio n s. T he list includes agreem ents covering 1,000 w orkers or m ore. Employer and location Industry Labor organization1 Number of workers American Enka Corp. (Lowland, Tenn.) .................................................... Chemicals................................. United Textile Workers........................ 2,400 Bayly Corp. (Interstate)................................................................................. A pp arel.................................... Clothing and Textile Workers ............ 1,200 Chain and Independent Food Stores (New Mexico)2 ................................. Colonial Stores, Inc., Raleigh Division (North Carolina) .......................... Consolidated Gas Supply Corp. (Interstate)................................................ Cotton Garment and Outerwear Agreement (Philadelphia, Pa.)2 .............. Retail trade ............................. Retail trade ............................. U tilitie s .................................... A p p arel.................................... Food and Commercial W orkers.......... Food and Commercial W orkers......... Service Employees ............................... Clothing and Textile Workers ............ 2,300 1,400 1,750 1,550 Dayton Power and Light Co. (O h io )...................................... ..................... Utilities .................................... Utility W orkers.................................... 2,600 General Motors Corp. (Interstate)................................................................ General Telephone Company of Illinois, Service, Construction and Supply Departments (Illinois) GTE Sylvania, Inc. (Seneca Falls, N.Y.) .................................................... Transportation equipment . . . . Communication........................ Plant Guard Workers (In d .)................. Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................. 2,550 1,750 Electrical products................... Steelworkers ........................................ 1,000 Hesston Corp. (Hesston, K a n s .)................................................................... Machinery ............................... 1,450 Hotel Association of Ohio (O h io )................................................................ H o te ls ...................................... Hesston Corporation Workers Association Hotel Employees and Restaurant Employees Jewel Companies, Inc., Eisner Food Stores Division (Chicago, 111.) .......... Retail trade ............................ Retail Workers .................................... 1,400 Mack Trucks, Inc., Master Shop Agreement (Interstate)............................ Massey-Ferguson, Inc., Master Agreement (Interstate)............................... Transportation equipment . . . . Machinery ............................... Auto W orkers...................................... Auto W orkers...................................... 6,250 1,500 Pittsburgh Buildings Association (Pennsylvania)........................................ Services .................................... Service Employees ............................... 1,200 Retail Butchers Fish and Poultry Agreement (California)2 ........................ Retail Meat Markets and Frozen Food Locker Plants (California)2 Rubbermaid, Inc. (Wooster, Ohio) .............................................................. Retail trade ............................ Retail trade ............................ Food and Commercial W orkers.......... Food and Commercial W orkers.......... 3,500 1,500 Rubber .................................... Rubber Workers ................................. 1,300 Simmons Co. (Interstate)............................................................................... Furniture................................. Upholsterers......................................... 2,100 TRW, Inc. (O h io).......................................................................................... Transportation equipment . . . . Aircraft Workers Alliance, Inc. (Ind.) . 4,000 Wisconsin Public Service Corp. (Wisconsin)............................................... Utilities .................................... Operating Engineers............................. 1,000 1Affiliated with A FL-C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,600 industry area (group of companies signing same contract). 43 Developments in Industrial Relations Job security focus of GE contract After 2 months of negotiations, the General Electric Co. and 13 unions representing 100,000 workers settled on 3-year contracts that featured improved job security provisions. The breakthrough in the negotiations oc curred when the two unions that bargain with GE on a “national” basis— the International Union of Electrical Workers (representing 65,000 workers) and the United Electrical, Radio, and Machine Workers (13,000 work ers)— settled. Afterwards, the other member unions of the Coordinated Bargaining Committee settled on the same terms. Six of the unions had initiated the commit tee in 1965 to strengthen their bargaining position with GE and with Westinghouse Electric Corp. (See “Collec tive Bargaining in the Electrical Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies Industry,” Current Wage Developments, March 1982, pp. 42-44.) One of the job security provisions specifies that work ers shifted to lower-rated jobs because of the transfer of work or the introduction of robots or automated manu facturing machines will be guaranteed their former pay rate for 26 weeks. Following are other job-security pro visions which are separate from the existing Income Ex tension Aid Program that applies only to laid-off workers: agreed to give a 6-month notice of plant closings or transfers of work and a 60-day notice before the use of robots or automated manufacturing machines. • The lump-sum severance payment for 15-year work ers affected by plant closings was increased from 1 week to 2 weeks of pay for each year of service. For other employees with at least 2 years of service, the payment was set at 1.5 weeks of pay for each year, with a minimum of 4 weeks of pay. • A liberalized table of age and service requirements that made more terminated employees eligible for • GE “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Re lations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on infor mation from secondary sources. 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • • • monthly income instead of severance pay until they are re-employed or reach optional retirement age. Un der the revised table, eligibility ranges from employ ees age 50 with 25 years of service to those who are age 55 with 10 years of service. The benefit equals 2 percent of monthly pay multiplied by years of service, up to 50 percent of current pay. Employees at least 50 years of age with a minimum of 25 years of service who are affected by plant clos ings will not have their pensions actuarily reduced. Instead, their benefits will be calculated as if they are age 60. They will also receive a supplement of up to $175 a month until age 62. Employees with at least 7 years of service who are af fected by plant closings will have a vested pension right. Displaced workers will receive job placement assis tance and up to $1,800 for education and retraining. Employees who are at least age 50 with at least 25 years of service who are affected by plant closings will continue to be covered by company-financed medical and life insurance until they are 65 or find another job. Dependents also will be eligible for in surance continuation, if they continue to make a con tribution toward the premium cost. The accord called for a June 28, 1982, general pay increase of 7 percent plus a special “decompression” pay adjustment of 2 cents an hour for employees earn ing $8.35 to $8.49 an hour, 4 cents for those earning $8.50 to $8.64, 6 cents for those earning $8.65 to $8.79, and so forth. The parties indicated that the special pay adjustment for higher skilled workers and the percent age general increase (rather than a flat cents per hour increase of equal cost) were provided to relieve a com pression of the pay rate structure. The workers also will receive 3-percent specified pay increases in June of 1983 and 1984. The provision for automatic semiannual cost-of-living pay adjustments was modified to provide for pay increases of 1 cent an hour for each 0.175-percent rise in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, beginning June 27, 1983. The first adjustment during the agreement term (on December 27, 1982) will be cal culated at the previous rate of 1 cent for each 0.2-per cent movement in the index. The parties said that specified and cost-of-living pay adjustments will average $2.10 an hour, or 23.3 percent, over the agreement term, based on an assumed price in dex rise of 6 percent a year. There were a number of improvements in the pension plan. Under the formula that applies to most retiring workers, benefit rates were raised to $12-$ 17.50 a month, varying according to pre-retirement average an nual earnings, for each year of service, effective July 1, 1982, and to $14-$ 19.50 on January 1, 1984. The previ ous range was from $10 to $15. Comparable changes also were made in the alternate pension formula. Begin ning in 1983, the employee contribution toward pen sions will be 3 percent of that portion of annual earnings in excess of $12,000 (formerly $9,000). Other improvements included 5 weeks of vacation af ter 20 years of service, instead of 25 (maximum time off remained at 6 weeks after 30 years); $500,000 instead of $350,000 catastrophic medical coverage; $30,000 instead of $20,000 minimum life insurance; and starting in 1983, $225 instead of $200 maximum sickness and acci dent benefits for disabilities. Negotiations were continuing at Westinghouse, where contracts in recent years have usually been patterned af ter GE agreements. The Westinghouse negotiations in volve more than 50,000 workers. Teamsters, United Parcel Service settle Nearly 85,000 Teamsters members were covered by an agreement with United Parcel Service ( u p s ) that did not provide for any specified wage increases over its 37-month term, ending on June 1, 1985. This was simi lar to the union’s settlement with the general trucking industry. (See Monthly Labor Review, April 1982, p. 64.) The UPS settlement followed the trucking agreement in changing from semiannual to annual cost-of-living adjustments calculated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.3-point movement in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967 = 100). Both settlements called for diverting part or all of the cost-of-living adjustments to meet the cost of maintaining existing levels of pension and insurance benefits. However, there was no diversion from the 72-cent May 1982 adjustment for UPS workers, in con trast to the general trucking workers, whose April ad justment was reduced by 25 cents an hour. A paid holiday also was added, bringing the total to 10 to 15 days a year, depending on the region. This was the second agreement negotiated on a national basis; previously, agreements were negotiated on a regional basis. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis One major provision in the UPS agreement stipulates that part-time workers hired in the future be paid lower rates— $8 an hour for unskilled workers who load and unload trucks, and $9 for skilled workers who sort par cels. All of the company’s drivers are full time. These reduced rates, and the lack of specified wage increases, drew strong criticism from Teamsters for Democratic Union, a dissident group that has been con testing the union’s leadership in recent years. The orga nization claimed that the pay freeze was not warranted because UPS was operating at a profit, unlike many freight companies, and that the special pay rates would induce UPS to increase its percentage of part-time work ers. Despite this criticism, the vote tally was 33,072 to 29,788 in favor of the contract, not close to the twothirds negative vote needed for rejection. Ship officers and engineers give back pay increase More than 7,000 licensed marine ship’s officers agreed to roll back a June pay increase of 7.5 percent in re sponse to a request from the Reagan Administration. Jesse Calhoun, president of the Marine Engineers Bene ficial Association, said members of his union accepted the cut to aid the Administration’s effort “to develop an affirmative and much needed maritime program.” Two unions of unlicensed seamen, the Seafarers’ Internation al Union and the National Maritime Union, rejected the request, saying that their labor contracts “are by no means out of line with the economic realities of the maritime industry, or the Nation as a whole.” Utility contract features lifetime job security More than 3,500 employees of the Potomac Electric Power Co. in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia were covered by a settlement negotiated by the International Brotherhood of Electri cal Workers that called for pay increases of 9, 8, and 8 percent in June of 1982, 1983, and 1984. The 3-year ac cord also provides “lifetime job and pay security” to employees with 12Ml years of seniority. According to the union, eligible employees “cannot be furloughed or reduced in pay due to lack of work, plant closings, re organizations, automation, etc.” In return, the workers agreed to changes in “duties and responsibilities” provi sions to improve operating efficiency. A company source said the changes in duties and re sponsibilities provisions permit PEPCO to adapt to changing conditions and operations by making changes in job content without union approval. This provision is subject to review after a 2-year trial period. Other contract terms included— • A 3.3-percent special pay increase to 1,500 workers whose job content had been increased in the past 45 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Developments in Industrial Relations without a commensurate pay increase. This special adjustment was in exchange for ending all of the grievances employees had filed because of the job content changes. • A new absence and sick leave program designed to reward workers with good attendance and penalize those with poor records. • Establishment of a company-financed dental care plan. • Elimination of the provision for an automatic cost-ofliving pay adjustment. (The adjustment under the prior contract was 20 cents, effective March 1, 1982.) Six-month raises for supermarket workers In the New York City area, 13,000 workers were cov ered by a settlement between United Food and Com mercial Workers Local 1500 and 10 supermarket chains. The 3-year contract provided for full-time em ployees to receive a wage increase of $90 a week, con sisting of a $30 immediate increase, followed by $20, $10, $20, and $10 increases at 6-month intervals, begin ning in June 1983. Increases for part-time workers were 50, 30, 15, 30, and 15 cents an hour on the correspond ing dates. The pension rate for full-time workers was increased to $17 a month for each year of credited service (from $11) effective September 1, 1982, and to $20 in Septem ber 1984. It will be financed by a two-step increase in the employer’s funding obligation to $71.55 a month, from $45. Employer funding of pensions for part-time workers also was raised and they will continue receiving benefits at half the rate that applies to full-time work ers. The employers’ financing of welfare benefits for full time employees was increased by $20 a month (to $108) over the term to permit a number of improvements, in cluding $250,000 major medical coverage (formerly $100,000); $20,000 (instead of $10,000) life and acciden tal death and dismemberment insurance; a prescription drug coverage plan; and increasing dental and vision care coverage. There also were improvements in welfare benefits for part-time workers. Other provisions included a fifth week of vacation for full-time employees with 25 years of service and a pro hibition of mandatory lie detector testing. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Warehouse workers get new contract In Northern California, the Teamsters and Interna tional Longshoremen’s and Warehousemen’s unions settled jointly with two warehouse associations on 3-year contracts for 5,000 workers. The settlement with the Industrial Employers and Distributors Association and the San Francisco Employers Council also had a wider impact, as the two unions then won similar terms for 15,000 other warehouse workers. Wages will increase by 32 cents an hour in December 1982 and 24 cents in June of 1983 and 1984, bringing the contract minimum wage rate to $11.59 an hour. The cost-of-living clause, which was not changed, provides for pay adjustments in June of 1983 and 1984 each equal to 1 cent an hour for each 0.3-point rise in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (1967= 100) in ex cess of 7.2 index points during the preceding 12 months, with no credit toward the adjustments for any rise in ex cess of 11 percent. The parties estimated that the result ing adjustments will total 89 cents, assuming rise of 7 percent a year. Both contracts provided for a 37-cent-an-hour in crease in employer financing of benefit improvements, which were not identical for both unions. Employer need not remain neutral, NLRB rules The National Labor Relations Board reversed a poli cy initiated in 1945 by holding that employers do not have to stay strictly neutral when unions compete for the right to represent their employees. The new policy was manifested in rulings involving a subsidiary of RCA Corp. located in Puerto Rico and the Bruckner Nursing Home, located in New York. In the RCA case, the board held that the employer must continue to recognize and negotiate with an in cumbent union when another union asks the board to conduct a representation election. The board said this approach should further “stability in industrial rela tions” while ensuring “employee free choice.” In the nursing home case, the board held that a non union employer need not remain neutral until an election petition is filed by one of the competing unions. Instead, the employer voluntarily may recognize the union that signs up an “uncoerced, unassisted” majority of workers in a bargaining unit. □ Book Reviews The long struggle of working women Out to Work: A History o f Wage-Earning Women in the United States. By Alice Kessler-Harris. New York, Oxford University Press, 1982. 400 pp. $19.95. The idea of writing a history of wage-earning women in the United States was an excellent one and Alice Kessler-Harris provides much information, particularly about the period before the Second World War. It is also refreshing to read a work on the role of women in the economy written from the perspective of a historian rather than a sociologist or economist. The book is clearly well researched and brings many unfamiliar sources to print. In some sense, however, it is these strengths of the book that are also its weaknesses. The historian’s ap proach, focusing on letters and other primary sources, seems to one accustomed to social science research to be generalizing from anecdotes rather than from data. Moreover, misunderstandings of the nature of change often occur from the use of anecdotal evidence. For ex ample, today we are familiar with articles that include interviews with female plumbers, auto mechanics, and truckdrivers. While it is true that some women have moved into traditionally male occupations, it would be wrong to conclude that such occupational changes have become commonplace. Thus, it is natural to wonder whether the letters of Ann Appleton to her sister Sarah in 1847, or those of Lucy Davis, or Melinda Edwards or the others, are truly representative. The relevance of the historical approach could have been supported by a greater use of the available statistics to set the stage. The work could also have benefited from better inte gration with developments in American economic histo ry. The role of all workers, and especially women, has been influenced by changes in the industrial structure of the Nation, the types of goods and services that were demanded, and the organizational structure that was established to supply the demand. The book is at its best covering the world of work among women with little education. Manual workers, those in sales and clerical jobs, and domestic workers https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis all play a major role in the book, but professional wom en are barely mentioned, although women have been working in nursing, teaching, and other “helping profes sions” for many years. The coverage of the period since the Second World War is very sparse; actually, it might have been better for it to have been omitted altogether. So much has been written about this period in other books and journals that the coverage in Out To Work seems superficial. No book can be expected to provide complete cover age, however; and despite its limitations the work fills a serious gap in our knowledge about working women in the 18th and 19th centuries. It reminds us most dramat ically that the road to the present was not a straight or level one and that working women in the past suffered problems that are hard to even imagine today. A few statistics can help put the transformation in perspective. Prior to 1900, less than one-sixth of all working women were married; today more than half are. In 1900, more than half of women who worked held blue-collar or private household jobs; today, only one-sixth are engaged in those types of employment. The proportion of all women in the paid work force went from one-fifth in 1900, to one-fourth in 1940, to one-third in 1960 and one-half in 1980. At the same time, the typical job held by a woman was transformed from one requiring long hours of physically tiring work to one that was likely to be sedentary, in clean and safe surroundings, and otherwise more desirable. — D eb o r a h P isetzn er K l e in Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis Bureau of Labor Statistics Race, class, and income inequality Racial Inequality. By Michael Reich. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University Press, 1981. 345 pp. $22.50. This book may prove tough going for readers who do not share the author’s political perspective, class con flict. Michael Reich believes that racial discrimination 47 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Book Reviews against blacks affects white workers as well and pro poses “a broad interracial [working] class alliance” to redistribute economic and political power. Others may view the combination of a Marxian-tinted framework and rigorous econometric analysis as novel. But it is quite possible to both find Professor Reich’s review of persistent income inequality by race well de veloped, while rejecting his singular interpretation and solutions. Reich’s analysis examines the embedded effects of a socioeconomic class structure rather than standard dis crimination theory to explain income differences by race. Because neoclassical theory does not envision per sisting differences, especially in the long run, the book makes a valuable contribution in its clear exposition of those discrepancies. In his focus on economic inequality rather than em ployment discrimination, the author provides an explan atory framework for how such differences can persist. This focus almost ignores gains by individuals, especial ly by race, however, leaving Reich with results not nec essarily related to his interpretation. Employment gains by blacks over the past decade attributable to voluntary or judicially directed compli ance with the Civil Rights Act, or to enhanced access to job-qualifying education and training, play no role in Reich’s schema, for example. A wage-subsidization-by race effect of the magnitude required to demonstrate such a phenomenon is not possible where industrial wages are set by job level and seniority, not worker characteristics. To the extent that preferable job assignments, carrying higher wage levels, are improperly distributed by race in a few instances, legal remedies exist for redress. Reich’s results, drawn from 1960 and 1970 census data, unfortu nately fail to reflect changes over the past decade aff ecting the conclusions that may be drawn from them. The underlying hypothesis rests on several findings. In particular, Reich found that owners of capital, and whites in the upper decile, are concentrated in those areas where racial income inequality is most extreme and the presence of a redistributive effect of this in equality away from white as well as black workers. But because the geographic redistribution of American wealth into energy-related capital strongly overlaps those regions where income is less evenly distributed to begin with, a nexus tying race and class to earnings ultimately fails to illuminate the question. If the author wants to as sert that discrimination against blacks harms all but wealthy whites (what about wealthy blacks?), more clear ly developed proof is required. It is not provided. Reich’s critique of the major neoclassical models, and why they lack explanatory value as to racial discrimina tion is crisply written, building on his previous work. The author’s own theory would have to show more per 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis suasively how the owners of capital consciously scheme to deprive wage earners of anything on the basis of race beyond the compensation package, particularly as to terms and conditions of employment. As Reich said of Gary Becker’s pioneering study on the economics of discrimination, “it deserves much credit for bringing the subject into the mainstream of economic analysis.” Similarly, this study deserves credit for its effective summary and review of the extant litera ture, and the tenuous relevance of much of accepted theory to a persisting long-term problem. But a cogent critique of earlier theory does not imbue the author’s own work with validity. Reich pinpoints the difference wherein neoclassical theory treats labor strictly as a commodity rather than a combined com modity and dynamic noncommodity, capable of inter acting with the other factors of production. This does not explain how the combination of market processes and capitalist-worker conflict will result in a lessening of inequality, however. Furthermore, Reich identifies managers and profes sionals as an intermediate group “between” workers and capitalists. Yet the presence of this stratum sug gests that the working class solidarity required for any major shift in economic power is completely absent. The dichotomy between the author’s analysis and conclusion is further illustrated by his statement: “The class conflict theory accords with econometric evidence indicating that most white workers are hurt by racism. These results strengthen the advantages of the class conflict theory over the neoclassical theory.” While that view is open to debate, it is nonetheless a non sequitur to the material that precedes it pertaining to the distinc tion among and between the factors of production. The lack of movement toward Reich’s solution, an in terracial working class coalition, is clear to all, includ ing the author. This is explained in part by antiblack attitudes within organized labor that have resulted in the continued disadvantage of white workers, in Reich’s view. An equally plausible perspective may be mentioned. That is, the lack of union power across much of the Nation, especially in the Southern half, combined with the diminished lack of economic vitality and reduced la bor demand of recent years, has affected the income of workers far more than the factors cited by Reich. Because most capitalists and skilled workers are white, the effects of a somewhat noncompetitive market structure tend to skew the Nation’s income distribu tion on several dimensions including race. But many, if not most, white workers (along with most black work ers) fail to enjoy the incomes they might obtain under a more balanced economic structure. The book has its strong points, especially chapter 4. It should most certainly be welcomed by readers seek- ing broader exposure to non-mainstream economic thought. But American workers have not transformed trade unionism into a radical political institution or a Europe an-type structure. Nor is a multiracial coalition likely to emerge to redistribute earned income by race and class simultaneously. This leaves Reich committed, a priori, to a conclusion at odds with how workers of both races behave, and the distribution of their incomes as a result. The dynamic durability of industrial and social institutions, particu larly those outside the workplace that affect occupation al qualifications and choice patterns, must be more thoroughly investigated with 1980 census data before a clearer and more realistic explanation can emerge. — M a r c R o senblum Chief economist U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission A new role for corporations Corporate Control, Corporate Power. By Edward S. Herman. New York, The Twentieth Century Fund, Inc., 1981. 432 pp. $18.95, Cambridge University Press, New York. Fifty years have passed since the shift of control from owners to managers in the increasingly dominant major corporations was analyzed in the classic work, The Modern Corporation and Private Property, by A. A. Berle, Jr. and Gardner Means. With support from the Twentieth Century Fund, Edward S. Herman, Professor of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, has reexamined the earlier findings based on contemporary corporate developments. Managerial control of the corporation is Herman’s starting point. For this, he has painstakingly combined thorough examination of the accumulated voluminous literature and analytical studies of corporations in re cent years with his own carefully developed conceptual and statistical analysis. The initiating purpose of the study is achieved through the treatment of the opera tional elements for internal corporate control; the changing role of ownership among individuals, families, and financial institutions; and external influences on corporate control. As executed, the study is equally a treatment of the role of the corporation in today’s American society. The context of the study derives from Herman’s long interest in the centralizing role of the corporations, and in the possibilities and limits of cor porate interaction with reform and social change. The breadth of his treatment is expressed in his perception which “stresses the continued primacy of corporate ini tiatives in economic change, the great powers of corpo https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rate resistance to profitable growth and the resultant strong tendencies toward political immobility.” Regarding the managerial locus of corporate control reported by Berle and Means, Herman demonstrates the accentuation of that corporate characteristic. While reformulating some of the Berle and Means classifica tions, Herman finds that the substantial decline in own ership control of corporations had already occurred by 1900, with the level changing little by 1929. There was, however, a contrasting sharp drop between 1929 and 1975. In 1929, owner-controlled companies accounted for 42 percent of the number and 28 percent of the assets of the 200 largest companies; in 1975, owner-controlled companies numbered 16 percent, with 13 percent of the assets of the 200 largest. There has also been a decline in controls exercised by banking and speculative interests. This reinforcement and intensification of control by managers with relatively little stock ownership in their companies has not meant that these are neutral techno crats, as Berle and Means postulated, who are less con cerned with profits than in owner or entrepreneurial-run companies. Herman finds that the evidence demon strates that such managerial-controlled companies do not significantly differ in objectives from owner-controlled companies. Management confronted with the constraints induced by the concerns of owners and creditors and the workings of internal group decision making is just as concerned with achieving profitable growth as are the owners. Management is in a strategic position to function with a substantial degree of autono my, although internal and external constraints affect its extent. These constraints include the relative position of unions in bargaining, governmental tax and regulatory requirements, community pressures, relations with other firms, and other corporate interests by the board of di rectors. Viewing the role of corporations in the American economy, Herman points to their increasingly dominant role, already apparent in 1900. These major firms are interconnected through a loose network of joint ven tures, interlocking directorates, government advisory bodies, and a variety of social, political, and trade groups. At the same time, there are new dissociative factors, with price competition replaced by product competition resulting from the high rate of technologi cal change. Furthermore, the internationalization of business since 1945, while making markets more open and global, has enhanced the power of the multination al corporation in individual countries and increased its autonomy. Flexibility of movement increases the corpo ration’s bargaining position with unions. The effect on government is dualistic and paradoxical— at one and the same time, the role of government is enhanced, with appeals for assistance from both expanding multination als and threatened domestic interests; yet the govern49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Book Reviews ment role is weakened by the conflicts between domes tic interests and international pressures as well as by events determined by private initiatives. Such transcendent influences have engendered con cerns with corporate reforms which include assertions of the need for corporate perspectives to include wider social responsibilities. Herman points to the long and widely held corporate leadership views that social re sponsibility was met by serving the community through the corporation’s regular productive activities, and not through charitable activities. Herman suggests the need for broader societal approaches, than those usually suggested, to raise corporate perspectives beyond short term concerns with profitable growth, and long-term concerns with such limited matters as sources of raw materials and market positioning. Broadening represen tation on corporate boards of directors, either through outside directors or worker participation, is not viewed as assuring significant changes in the horizons of corpo rate objectives. Rather, Herman appeals for awareness of the urgency for meeting the broad evolving needs of domestic and international society in which corporations play a major role. He calls attention to alternative possibilities, lean ing towards what he refers to as the French, Japanese, and Swedish “Models of Guided Capitalism.” Adapta tion of elements of these economies in the American ambience would only involve modest .external shocks for the present order, while permitting “greater and more explicit partnership arrangements between govern ment and big business to deal with both internal and external needs.” He stresses that these models function within a democratic framework, rather than the authori tarian approaches taken in some third world countries. The warning is set forth that “in a revised ‘stages of growth’ model, instead of third world political econo mies becoming like us, under conditions of slower growth, severe factionalism, and major systemic shock, we may become more like them.” Herman has contrib uted importantly to the literature of political economy by relating his technical findings to the broader fluctuative social, economic, and political climate currently buffeting governments, corporations, unions, and the public at large. — Jo s e p h P. G oldberg Special Assistant to the Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Day, Richard H., “Irregular Growth Cycles,” The American Economic Review, June 1982, pp. 406-14. Giersch, Herbert, ed., Towards an Explanation o f Economic Growth: Sym posium 1980. Kiel, Germany, University of Kiel, Institute of Weltwirtschaft, 1981, 476 pp. Salant, Walter S., “The American Economy in Transition: A Review Article,” Journal o f Economic Literature, June 1982, pp. 564-84. Wilson, Marilyn, “Recovery: Ready to Go?” D un's Business M onth, July 1982, beginning on p. 40. Economic and social statistics MaCurdy, Thomas E., Using Inform ation on the M om ents o f Disturbances to Increase the Efficiency o f Estimation. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1982, 41 pp. (NBER Technical Paper Series, 22.) $1.50. Pluta, Joseph E„ Rita J. Wright, Mildred C. Anderson, 1982 Texas Fact Book. Austin, University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Business Research, 1982, 195 pp. $6, paper. Rider, Christine, “Trade Theory Irrelevance,” Journal o f Post Keynesian Economics, Summer 1982, pp. 594-601. Schoemaker, Paul J. H., “The Expected Utility Model: Its Variants, Purposes, Evidence and Limitations,” Journal o f Economic Literature, June 1982, pp. 529-63. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, A Guide to Seasonal A djust m ent o f Labor Force Data. Prepared by John F. Stinson, Jr. Washington, 1982, 10 pp. (Bulletin 2114.) Stock No. 029-001-02643-9. $2, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. ---------Occupational E m ploym ent in Transportation, C om m u nications, Utilities, and Trade. Prepared by Wanda L. Bland and Barbara L. Keitt. Washington, 1982, 70 pp. (Bulletin 2116.) Stock No. 029-001-02700-1. $4.75, Su perintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Education Becker, William E., Jr., “The Educational Process and Student Achievement Given Uncertainty in Measurement,” The American Economic Review, March 1982, pp. 229-36. Martin, Jane Roland, “Excluding Women from the Educa tional Realm,” H arvard Educational Review, May 1982, pp. 133-48. Randour, Mary Lou, Georgia L. Strasburg, Jean LipmanBlumen, “Women in Higher Education: Trends in Enroll ments and Degrees Earned,” H arvard Educational Review, May 1982, pp. 189-202. Young, Stanley, Som e Dimensions o f Strategic Planning fo r H igher Education. Excerpted from Planning fo r Higher Education, Summer 1981, pp. 1-7. Amherst, Mass., Uni versity of Massachusetts, Labor Relations and Research Center, 1982. (Reprint Series, 66.) Health and safety Economic growth and development Borus, Michael E., C. Gregory Buntz, William R. Tash, Eval uating the Im pact o f H ealth Programs. Cambridge, Mass., The MIT Press, 1982, 147 pp., bibliography. $20, cloth; $9.95, paper. Applebaum, Eileen, “The Incomplete Incomes Policy Vision,” Journal o f Post Keynesian Economics, Summer 1982, pp 546-57. Seidman, Bert, “Bad Medicine for Health Care Costs,” The A F L-C IO American Federationist, April-June 1982, pp. 2028. Publications received 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Industrial relations Addison, J. T. and A. H. Barnett, “The Impact of Unions on Productivity,” British Journal o f Industrial Relations, July 1982, pp. 145-62. Anderson, John C , Gloria Busman, Charles A. O’Reilly, III, “The Decertification Process: Evidence from California,” Industrial Relations, Spring 1982, pp. 178-95. Brauer, Mary A., “Improving Incentives for Retiree Cost-ofLiving Supplements, M arquette L aw Review, Winter 1981, pp. 197-211. Brock, Jonathan, Bargaining Beyond Impasse: Joint Resolution o f Public Sector Labor Disputes. Boston, Mass., Auburn House Publishing Co., 1982, 279 pp. $19.95. Gennard, John, “The Financial Costs and Returns of Strikes,” The British Journal o f Industrial Relations, July 1982, pp. 247-56. Gould, William B., A Prim er on American Labor Law. Cam bridge, Mass., The MIT Press, 1982, 242 pp. $24.95, cloth; $9.95, paper. Graham, Harry, “Arbitration Results in the Public Sector,” Public Personnel Journal, Summer 1982, pp. 112-17. Griffin, Gerard, “Managing Technological Change: Industrial Relations in the Banking and Insurance Industries,” The Journal o f Industrial Relations, March 1982, pp. 53-68. Gross, Ernest, Theodore Settle, Petro R. Stawnychy, New Jer sey Police and Fire Arbitration Databook, 1981. New Brunswick, N.J., Rutgers— The State University of New Jersey, Institute of Management and Labor Relations, 1982, 2,276 pp. ---------User’s Guide: New Jersey Police and Fire Arbitration Databook: 1981. New Brunswick, N.J., Rutgers—The State University of New Jersey, Institute of Management and Labor Relations, 1982, 118 pp. Intervention and Regulation in Canadian Agriculture. Ot tawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Canada, 1982, 139 pp., bibliography. $7.95, Canada; $9.55, other countries. Canadian Government Publishing Centre, Supply and Services Canada, Ottawa. Kushnir, Joel M. and Uma R. Kastury, “How to Self-Police for Regulatory Compliance,” M anagem ent Review, July 1982, pp. 47-51. MacDonald, J. Douglas, The Public Regulation o f Commercial Fisheries in Canada (Case Study, 4A) Regulating Pacific Salm o n — The Alternatives Reviewed. (Technical Series Report, 24, 71 pp.); James J. McRae and David M. Pres cott, Regulation and Performance in the Canadian Truck ing Industry. (Technical Series Report, 23, 183 pp.); Margot Priest, Provision o f Inform ation in the Context o f Regulation. (Technical Report Series, 22, 87 pp.). Ottawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Canada, 1982. International economics Ethier, Wilfred J., “National and International Returns to Scale in the Modern Theory of International Trade,” The American Economic Review, June 1982, pp. 389-405. McKinnon, Ronald I., “Currency Substitution and Instability in the World Dollar Standard,” The American Economic Review, June 1982, pp. 320-33. Labor and economic history Forsey, Eugene, Trade Unions in Canada, 1812-1902. Buffalo, N.Y., University of Toronto Press, 1982, 600 pp., bibli ography. $65, cloth; $25, paper. Krause, Elliott A., Division o f Labor: A Political Perspective. Westport, Conn., Greenwood Press, 1982, 203 pp. $27.50. Labor force Hearn, June, “Australian Trade Unionism in 1981,” The Jour nal o f Industrial Relations, March 1982, pp. 99-107. Ichniowski, Casey, “Arbitration and Police Bargaining: Pre scriptions for the Blue Flu,” Industrial Relations, Spring 1982, pp. 149-66. Marsack, Gary A. and Phoebe M. Eaton, “Successorship Law: The Impact on Business Transfers and Collective Bargaining,” M arquette Law Review, Winter 1981, pp. 213-39. Metcalf, David, “Unions and the Distribution of Earnings,” British Journal o f Industrial Relations, July 1982, pp. 163— 69. Muir, John, Industrial Relations Procedures and Agreements. Brookfield, Vt., Gower Publishing Co., Ltd., 1981, 184 pp. $40. Ogden, S. G., “Bargaining Structure and the Control of In dustrial Relations,” British Journal o f Industrial Relations, July 1982, pp. 170-85. Yerbury, D., “Industrial Relations Legislation in 1981,” The Journal o f Industrial Relations, March 1982, pp. 77-88. American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Or ganizations, Unemployment Survey, Building and Con struction Trades Department, A F L -C IO . Washington, American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industri al Organizations, Building and Construction Trades De partment, 1982, 28 pp. Brown, Charles, Curtis Gilroy, Andrew Kohen, “The Effect of the Minimum Wage on Employment and Unemploy ment,” Journal o f Economic Literature, June 1982, pp. 487-528. Economic Council of Canada, In Short Supply: Jobs and Skills in the 1980s. Ottawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Can ada, 1982, 128 pp. $7.95, Canada; $9.55, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publishing Centre, Supply and Services Canada, Ottawa. Oliver, J.M. and J.R. Turton, “Is There a Shortage of Skilled Labour?” British Journal o f Industrial Relations, July 1982, pp. 195-200. Raelin, Joseph A., “A Comparative Analysis of Female-Male Early Youth Careers,” Industrial Relations, Spring 1982, pp. 231-47. Industry and government organization Management and organization theory Argyle, Nolan J., “Civil Service Reform: The State and Local Response,” Public Personnel M anagem ent Journal, Sum mer 1982, pp. 157-64. Forbes, James D., David R. Hughes, T. K. Warley, Economic Anderson, Ralph, “Management Forecast and Checklist for 1982,” Public Personnel Journal, Summer 1982, pp. 11825. Bauer, Robert W., “How to Make OD Work Better for Your https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Book Renews Organization,” M anagem ent Review, June 1982, pp. 5661. Bowditch, James L. and Anthony F. Buono, Quality o f Work L ife Assessment: A Survey-Based Approach. Boston, Au burn House Publishing Co., 1982, 171 pp. $19.95. A cadem y o f M anagem ent Review, April 1982, pp. 228-34. Smits, William H., Jr., “Personnel Administration— A Viable Function in Government?” Public Personnel M anagem ent Journal, Summer 1982, pp. 91-103. Sulzner, George T., The Im pact o f Labor-M anagement Cooper Cederblom, Douglas, “The Performance Appraisal Interview: A Review, Implications, and Suggestions,” Academ y o f M anagem ent Review, April 1982, pp. 219-27. ation Committees on Personnel Policies and Practices at Twenty Federal Bargaining Units. Excerpted from the Journal o f Collective Bargaining in the Public Sector, Vol. Chadwick-Jones, J.K., Nigel Nicholson, Colin Brown, Social Psychology o f Absenteeism. New York, Praeger Publishers, 1982, 161 pp., bibliography. $21.95. 11, No. 1, 1982, pp. 37-45. Amherst, Mass., University of Massachusetts, Labor Relations and Research Center, 1982. (Reprint Series, 67.) Clarke, Richard M., “Middle Management Today: Who’s Calling the Shots?” M anagem ent Review, July 1982, pp. 21-25. Versagi, Frank J., “What American-Labor-Management Can Learn from Japanese Unions,” M anagem ent Review, June 1982, pp. 24-28. Connors, Tracy Daniel, Dictionary o f M ass M edia & C om m u nication. New York, Longman, Inc., 1982, 255 pp. $24.95, cloth; $12.95, paper. Walker, Jon E. and Curt Tausky, An Analysis o f Work Incentives. Excerpted from the Journal o f Social Psycholo gy, 1982, pp. 27-39 and 116. Amherst, Mass., University of Massachusetts, Labor Relations and Research Center, 1982. (Reprint Series, 67.) Dalton, Dan R. and William D. Todor, “Turnover: A Lucra tive Hard Dollar Phenomenon,” A cadem y o f M anagem ent Review, April 1982, pp. 213-18. Ellenberger, James N., “Japanese Management: Myth or Magic,” The A F L -C IO Am erican Federationist, AprilJune 1982, pp. 3-12. Finkel, Coleman L., “What Teleconferencing Can and Cannot Do For Your Meeting,” M anagem ent Review, July 1982, pp. 8-15. Fombrun, Charles J., “Strategies for Network Research in Or ganizations,” A cadem y o f M anagem ent Review, April 1982, pp. 280-91. Harmon, Robert E., Improving Adm inistrative Manuals. New York, American Management Associations, Research and Information Service, 1982, 81 pp. $10, AMA members; $13.50, nonmembers. Helm, Lewis M. and others, eds., Inform ing the People: A Public Affairs Handbook. New York, Longman, Inc., 1981. 359 pp. $27.95. Mansell, Jacquie and Tom Rankin, “Sustaining the QWL Pro cess,” QWL Focus, The News Journal of the Ontario Quality of Working Life Center, May 1982, pp. 1-4. Narayanan, V.K. and Raghu Nath, “Hierarchical Level and the Impact of Flexitime,” Industrial Relations, Spring 1982, pp. 216-30. Ornati, Oscar A., Edward J. Giblin, Richard R. Floersch, The Personnel Department: Its Staffing and Budgeting. New York, American Management Associations, AMA Re search and Information Service, 1982, 70 pp. $10, AMA members; $13.50, nonmembers. Rainey, Glenn W., Jr. and Lawrence Wolf, “The Organiza tionally Dysfunctional Consequences of Flexible Work Hours: A General Overview,” Public Personnel M anage m ent Journal, Summer 1982, pp. 165-75. Rotchford, Nancy L. and Karlene H. Roberts, “Part-Time Workers as Missing Persons in Organizational Research,” 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Yerys, Arlene, “How to Get What You Want Through Influ ential Communication,” M anagem ent Review, June 1982, beginning on p. 12. Monetary and fiscal policy Bautista, Romeo M., “Exchange Rate Variations and Export Competitiveness in Less Developed Countries Under Generalized Floating,” The Journal o f Development S tu d ies, April 1982, pp. 354-78. Connor, John M. and Willard F. Mueller, “Market Structure and Performance of U.S. Multinationals in Brazil and Mexico,” The Journal o f Development Studies, April 1982, pp. 329-53. Drabenstott, Mark and Anne O’Mara McDonley, “The Im pact of Financial Futures on Agricultural Banks,” Eco nomic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, May 1982, pp. 19-30. Guffey, Roger, “Quick-Fix Economics: A Look at the Issues,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, May 1982, pp. 3-7. Reilly, Ann M., “Derailing Bank Deregulation,” D un's Busi ness M onth, July 1982, beginning on p. 30. Walsh, Carl E., “The Federal Reserve’s Operating Procedures and Interest Rate Fluctuations,” Economic Review, Fed eral Reserve Bank of Kansas City, May 1982, pp. 8-18. Productivity and technological change Berndt, Ernst R. and Melvyn A. Fuss, Productivity Measure m ent Using Capital Asset Valuation to A djust fo r Variations in Utilization. Cambridge, Mass., National Bu reau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 44 pp. (NBER Working Paper Series, 895.) $1.50. Gordon, Myron J., “Corporate Bureaucracy, Productivity Gain, and Distribution of Revenue in U.S. Manufactur ing, 1947-77,” Journal o f Post Keynesian Economics, Summer 1982, pp. 483-96. □ Current Labor Statistics N o te s on C u rren t L a b o r S ta tis tic s ....................................................................................................................................... S c h e d u le o f r e le a s e d a te s fo r m a jo r B L S s t a t is t ic a l s e r ie s 54 ............................................................................. 54 E m p lo y m e n t d a ta fr o m h o u s e h o ld s u r v e y . D e f in it io n s a n d n o t e s 1. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-81 .................................................................. 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................... 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................... 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ............................................................................................... 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................... 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted .................................................................................................................. 55 E m p lo y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n in g s d a ta fr o m e s t a b lis h m e n t s u r v e y s . D e f in it io n s a n d n o t e s 8. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 ............................................................................................................... 9. Employment by State ............................................................................. : .................................................................................. 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted .......................................... 11. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 12. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ 13. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ 14. Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division ....................................................................................................................... 15. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ 60 U n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e d a ta . D e f in it io n s 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations .......................................................................................... 67 67 P r ic e d a ta . D e f in it io n s a n d n o te s .......................................................................................................................................... 17. Consumer Price Index, 1967-81 ............................................................................................................................................... 18. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items ............................. .. . ...................... 19. Consumer Price Index, cross-classification of region and population size class ............................................................. 20. Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................................................................................... 21. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ..................................................................................................................... 22. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ............................................................................................... 23. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ............................................................................................... 24. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ............................................................................................................... 25. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries .................................................................................. 68 69 69 75 76 77 78 80 80 80 P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s a n d n o t e s .......................................................................................................................... 26. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,selected years, 1950-81 .................... 27. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,1971-81 ................................................ 28. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ..................... 29. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . 83 83 84 84 85 W a g e a n d c o m p e n s a t i o n d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s ....................................................................................................................... 30. Employment Cost Index, total compensation ....................................................................................................................... 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry grou p .......................................................... 32. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area s i z e .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 33. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to date ............................................. 34. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1977 to d a te ................ 86 87 88 W o r k s t o p p a g e d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n ............................................................................................................................................... 35. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date ..................................................................................... 91 91 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE Tables 10 and 13 have been deleted, and the succeeding tables renumbered. 55 56 57 58 59 59 59 61 61 62 63 64 65 65 66 89 90 90 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. S eason al adjustm ent. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2-7 were revised in the March 1982 issue of the R e v ie w to reflect experience through 1981. The original estimates also were revised to 1970 to reflect 1980 census population controls. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifi cations in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -11 method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in T h e X - l l A R I M A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, Feb ruary 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 10, 12, and 14 were made in August 1981 using the X -ll ARIMA seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in tables 28 and 29 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. A djustm ents for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. A vailab ility of inform ation. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The B L S H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , Bulletin 2070, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w . More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Historically, comparable informa tion from the establishment survey is published in two comprehensive data books— E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta te s and E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, S ta te s a n d A rea s, and their annual supplements. More detailed information on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, C u r r e n t W a g e D e v e lo p m en ts. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P ric e I n d ex es. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Series Employment situation........................................... Producer Price Index ............................................... Consumer Price Index ..................................................... Real Earnings .................................................... Major collective bargaining settlements.................................. Productivity and costs: Nonfarm business and manufacturing ................................ 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release date Period covered September 3 September 10 September 23 September 23 August August August August Release date Period covered MLR table number October 8 October 15 October 26 October 26 October 27 September September September September 1st 9 months 1-10 21-25 17-20 11-15 33-34 October 28 3rd quarter 26-29 EM PLOYM ENT DATA FRO M THE H O U SEH O LD SURVEY m p l o y m e n t d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. E those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitu tion al population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. F ull-tim e w orkers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-tim e w orkers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on part- Definitions E m ployed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. U n em p loyed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unem ploym ent rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civ ilia n labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. time schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. Data in tables 2-7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-81 [Numbers in thousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total noninstitutional population Unemployed Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Percent of population Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 .............................. 1955 .............................. 1960 .............................. 106,645 112,732 119,759 63,858 68,072 72,142 59.9 60.4 60.2 62,208 65,023 69,628 58,918 62,170 65,778 55.2 55.1 54.9 7,160 6,450 5,458 51,758 55,722 60,318 3,288 2,852 3,852 5.3 4.4 5.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 129,236 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 77,178 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 59.7 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 74,455 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 71,088 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 55.0 55.6 55.8 56.0 56.5 4,361 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 66,726 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 3,366 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 52,058 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 140,272 143,033 146,574 149,423 152,349 85,959 87,198 89,484 91,756 94,179 61.3 61.0 61.1 61.4 61.8 82,771 84,382 87,034 89,429 91,949 78,678 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 56.1 55.5 56.0 56.9 57.0 3,463 3,394 3,484 3,470 3,515 75,215 75,972 78,669 81,594 83,279 4,093 5,016 4,882 4,365 5,156 4.9 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 155,333 158,294 161,166 164,027 166,951 95,955 98,302 101,142 104,368 107,050 61.8 62.1 62.8 63.6 64.1 93,775 96,158 99,009 102,251 104,962 85,846 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 55.3 56.1 57.1 58.6 59.2 3,408 3,331 3,283 3,387 3,347 82,438 85,421 88,734 92,661 95,477 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.8 54,315 55,834 57,091 57,667 58,171 59,377 59,991 60,025 59,659 59,900 169,848 172,272 109,042 110,812 64.2 64.3 106,940 108,670 99,303 100,397 58.5 58.3 3,364 3,368 95,938 97,030 7,637 8,273 7.1 7.6 60,806 61,460 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Employment status Annual average 1981 1982 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. 169,848 2,102 167,745 106,940 63.8 99,303 58.5 3,364 95,938 7,637 7.1 60,806 172,272 2,142 170,130 108,670 63.9 100,397 58.3 3,368 97,030 8,273 7.6 61,460 172,385 2,139 170,246 108,688 63.8 100,864 58.5 3,342 97,522 7,824 7.2 61,558 172,559 2,160 170,399 108,818 63.9 100,840 58.4 3,404 97,346 7,978 7.3 61,581 172,758 2,165 170,593 108,494 63.6 100,258 58.0 3,358 96,900 8,236 7.6 62,099 172,966 2,158 170,809 109,012 63.8 100,343 58.0 3,378 96,965 8,669 8.0 61,797 71,138 56,455 79.4 53,101 2,396 50,706 3,353 5.9 72,419 57,197 79.0 53,582 2,384 51,199 3,615 6.3 72,472 57,172 78.9 53,874 2,383 51,491 3,298 5.8 72,559 57,250 78.9 53,791 2,422 51,369 3,459 6.0 72,670 57,262 78.8 53,693 2,383 51,310 3,569 6.2 72,795 57,355 78.8 53,504 2,413 51,091 3,851 6.7 72,921 57,459 78.8 53,354 2,382 50,972 4,105 7.1 73,020 57,665 79.0 53,122 2,311 50,811 4,543 7.9 73,120 57,368 78.5 53,047 2,390 50,657 4,322 7.5 73,209 57,448 78.5 53,097 2,386 50,711 4,351 7.6 73,287 57,554 78.5 53,006 2,377 50,629 4,548 7.9 73,392 57,730 78.7 52,988 2,382 50,606 4,742 8.2 73,499 58,164 79.1 53,260 2,464 50,796 4,904 8.4 73,585 58,016 78.8 52,985 2,424 50,561 5,031 8.7 73,685 58,084 78.8 52,996 2,474 50,522 5,088 8.8 80,065 41,106 51.3 38,492 584 37,907 2,615 6.4 81,497 42,485 52.1 39,590 604 38,986 2,895 6.8 81,561 42,682 52.3 39,810 590 39,220 2,872 6.7 81,671 42,666 52.2 39,841 609 39,232 2,825 6.6 81,792 42,344 51.8 39,426 608 39,818 2,918 6.9 81,920 42,831 52.3 39,814 596 39,218 3,017 7.0 82,038 42,987 52.4 39,878 63.5 39,243 3,109 7.2 82,151 42,88 52.2 39,713 572 39,141 3,175 7.4 82,260 42,868 52.1 39,764 64.9 39,115 3,104 7.2 82,367 43,031 52.2 39,744 628 39,116 3,286 7.6 82,478 43,243 52.4 39,807 636 39,172 3,435 7.9 82,591 43,301 52.4 39,715 601 39,114 3,586 8.3 82,707 43,683 52.8 40,075 634 39,441 3,608 8.3 82,811 43,904 53.0 40,350 581 39,769 3,554 8.1 82,926 44,076 53.2 40,392 600 39,791 3,684 8.4 16,543 9,378 56.7 7,710 385 7,325 1,669 17.8 16,214 8,988 55.4 7,225 380 6,845 1,763 19.6 16,213 8,834 54.5 7,180 369 6,811 1,654 18.7 16,169 8,902 55.1 7,208 373 6,835 1,694 19.0 16,131 8,888 55.1 7,139 367 6,772 1,749 19.7 16,093 8,826 54.8 7,025 369 6,656 1,801 20.4 16,037 8,826 55.0 6,940 355 6,585 1,886 21.4 15,995 8,631 54.0 6,778 326 6,452 1,853 21.5 15,955 8,643 54.2 6,771 373 6,398 1,872 21.7 15,913 8,686 54.6 6,748 359 6,389 1,938 22.3 15,902 8,549 53.8 6,679 336 6,343 1,870 21.9 15,861 8,616 54.3 6,637 326 6,311 1,979 23.0 15,820 8,819 55.7 6,782 390 6,392 2,037 23.1 15,794 8,271 52.4 6,429 353 6,076 1,842 22.3 15,753 8,362 53.1 6,344 386 5,958 2,018 24.1 146,122 147,908 147,976 93,600 95,052 95,126 64.1 64.3 64.3 87,715 88,709 89,170 5,884 6,343 5,956 6.3 6.7 6.3 148,144 95,163 64.2 89,221 5,942 6.2 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July TOTAL Total noninstitutional population1 ............. Armed Forces 1 ......................... Civilian noninstitutional population 1 ............... Civilian labor force.................... Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Employment-population ratio 2 ....... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural Industries ................ Unemployed .................... Unemployment rate .................. Not in labor force........ ............. 173,155 173,330 173,495 173,657 173,843 174,020 174,201 174,364 174,544 2,158 2,164 2,159 2,168 2,175 2,176 2,175 2,173 2,180 170,996 171,166 171,335 171,489 171,667 171,844 172,026 172,190 172,364 109,272 109,184 108,879 109,165 109,346 109,648 110,666 110,191 110,522 63.9 63.8 63.5 63.7 63.7 63.8 64.3 64.0 64.1 100,172 99,613 99,581 99,590 99,492 99,340 100,117 99,764 99,732 57.9 57.5 57.4 57.3 57.2 57.1 57.5 57.2 57.1 3,372 3,209 3,411 3,373 3,349 3,309 3,488 3,357 3,460 96,800 96,404 96,170 96,217 96,144 96,032 96,629 96,406 96,272 9,100 9,571 9,298 9,575 9,854 10,307 10,549 10,427 10,790 8.3 8.8 8.5 8.8 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.8 61,724 61,982 62,456 63,324 63,321 62,197 61,360 61,999 61,842 Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation rate ....................... Employed ................................. Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ...................... Unemployment rate .................... Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .......................... Participation rate ....................... Employed ................................... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ................................. Unemployment rate .................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force............................... Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ............................ Unemployment rate .................... White Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation.............................. Employed ................................... Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... 148,370 148,562 148,631 148,755 148,842 148,855 149,132 149,249 149,250 149,429 149,569 94,884 95,365 95,535 95,329 95,120 95,333 95,508 96,015 96,641 96,223 96,493 64.0 64.2 64.1 64.3 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.3 64.8 64.4 64.5 88,628 88,734 88,498 88,010 87,955 87,990 87,956 87,988 88,450 88,173 88,137 6,256 6,631 7,037 7,319 7,165 7,344 7,552 8,026 8,191 8,050 8,356 6.6 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.7 Black Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force ......................... Participation rate ....................... Empovod ................................... Unemployed ......................... Unemployment rate .................... 17,824 10,865 61.0 9,313 1,553 14.3 18,219 11,086 60.8 9,355 1,731 15.6 18,239 10,971 60.2 9,388 1,633 14.9 18,266 11,069 60.6 9,267 1,802 16.3 18,297 11,134 60.9 9,319 1,815 16.3 18,333 11,188 61.0 9,313 1,875 16.8 18,362 11,207 61.0 9,321 1,886 16.8 18,392 11,226 61.0 9,279 1,947 17.3 18,423 11,188 8,901 5,700 64.0 5,126 575 10.1 9,310 5,972 64.1 5,348 624 10.4 9,282 5,905 63.6 5,314 591 10.0 9,400 5,924 63.0 5,340 584 9.9 9,466 5,964 63.0 5,393 571 9.6 9,559 6,074 63.5 5,422 652 10.7 9,556 6,151 64.4 5,446 705 11.5 9,519 6,095 64.0 5,426 669 11.0 9,314 1,874 16.8 18,450 11,205 60.7 9,265 1,939 17.3 18,480 11,217 60.7 9,197 2,020 18.0 18,511 11,170 60.3 9,111 2,058 18.4 18,542 11,335 61.1 9,216 2,120 18.7 18,570 11,253 60.6 9,174 2,079 18.5 18,600 11,322 60.9 9,223 2,098 18.5 9,400 6,054 64.4 5,330 724 12.0 9,341 6,065 64.9 5,298 767 12.6 9,297 6,024 64.8 5,260 764 12.7 9,235 5,933 64.2 5,191 743 12.5 9,297 6,001 64.5 5,166 834 13.9 9,428 5,931 62.9 5,131 800 13.5 9,521 5,966 62.7 5,135 832 13.9 HISPANIC ORIGIN Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force............................ Participation rate .................... Employed .............................. Unemployed ................................. Unemployement rate .................. ' P°Pu^a*'on anc*Armed Forces figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2Civilian employment as a percent of the total noninstitutional population (including Armed Forces). 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races’’ group are not presented and Hispanics are included ¡n both the white and black population groups. 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1982 1981 Selected categories 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 99,613 56,725 42,888 38,342 23,691 5,064 99,581 56,629 42,952 38,234 23,744 5,107 99,590 56,658 42,932 38,255 23,727 5,158 99,492 56,472 43,020 38,181 23,900 5,095 May June July 99,340 100,117 56,401 56,820 42,940 43,297 38,142 38,312 23,831 24,213 5,095 4,986 99,764 56,223 43,541 38,354 24,401 5,112 99,732 56,192 43,540 38,213 24,223 5,247 CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over .................. Men .................................................. Women............................................... Married men, spouse present .................... Married women, spouse present................. Women who maintain families.................... 99,303 100,397 57,186 57,397 42,117 43,000 39,004 38,882 23,532 23,915 4,780 4,998 100,864 100,840 100,258 57,640 57,551 57,471 43,224 43,289 42,787 38,961 38,961 38,855 24,159 24,043 23,626 4,969 4,988 5,015 100,343 100,172 57,266 57,051 43,077 43,121 38,746 38,553 23,874 23,820 5,045 5,049 OCCUPATION White-collar workers..................................... Professional and technical ....................... Managers and administrators, except farm .... Salesworkers........................................ Clerical workers..................................... Blue-collar workers...................................... Craft and kindred workers ....................... Operatives, except transport...................... Transport equipment operatives ................ Nonfarm laborers................................... Service workers .......................................... Farmworkers ............................................. 51,882 15,968 11,138 6,303 18,473 31,452 12,787 10,565 3,531 4,567 13,228 2,741 52,949 16,420 11,540 6,425 18,564 31,261 12,662 10,540 3,476 4,583 13,438 2,749 52,907 16,364 11,578 6,373 18,592 31,580 12,787 10,719 3,526 4,548 13,526 2,727 53,141 16,621 11,460 6,490 18,570 31,611 12,724 10,658 3,530 4,699 13,282 2,753 52,908 16,598 11,533 6,441 18,336 31,266 12,514 10,524 3,506 4,722 13,391 2,743 53,199 16,681 11,616 6,400 18,502 30,953 12,446 10,410 3,580 4,517 13,525 2,770 53,086 16,657 11,461 6,418 18,550 30,683 12,411 10,220 3,438 4,614 13,670 2,802 53,084 16,774 11,424 6,450 18,436 30,344 12,446 10,169 3,368 4,361 13,639 2,660 52,836 16,803 11,091 6,520 18,423 30,203 12,370 9,966 3,415 4,451 13,709 2,817 52,841 16,612 11,253 6,544 18,432 30,309 12,454 9,955 3,503 4,397 13,612 2,787 52,763 16,659 11,311 6,637 18,155 30,416 12,511 9,860 3,397 4,648 13,526 2,710 53,177 16,844 11,501 6,603 18,229 29,924 12,492 9,688 3,400 4,343 13,555 2,623 53,705 16,818 11,541 6,587 18,759 29,926 12,316 9,585 3,419 4,607 13,738 2,731 53,586 17,053 11,504 6,547 18,482 29,716 12,207 9,655 3,414 4,441 13,791 2,660 53,685 17,292 11,355 6,567 18,471 29,609 12,229 9,453 3,439 4,488 13,634 2,750 1,425 1,642 297 1,464 1,638 266 1,495 1,593 244 1,501 1,638 256 1,461 1,643 256 1,502 1,631 261 1,436 1,641 321 1,352 1,602 228 1,377 1,674 380 1,426 1,596 359 1,416 1,644 277 1,423 1,664 270 1,541 1,698 236 1,431 1,676 251 1,530 1,674 250 88,525 15,912 72,612 1,192 71,420 7,000 413 89,543 15,689 73,853 1,208 72,645 7,097 390 89,971 15,637 74,334 1,216 73,118 7,071 389 89,995 15,526 74,469 1,259 73,210 7,103 387 89,376 15,475 73,901 1,102 72,799 7,217 399 89,460 15,491 73,969 1,162 72,807 7,152 451 89,238 15,397 73,841 1,204 72,637 7,141 425 88,991 15,585 73,406 1,291 72,115 7,057 410 88,759 15,578 73,181 1,248 71,932 6,971 410 88,586 15,527 73,059 1,161 71,898 7,055 408 88,526 15,492 73,034 1,225 71,809 7,126 434 88,322 15,453 72,869 1,192 71,677 7,264 413 89,051 15,422 73,629 1,202 72,427 7,269 382 88,606 15,635 72,970 1,201 71,770 7,319 397 88,541 15,443 73,098 1,200 71,898 7,268 390 90,209 73,590 4,064 1,714 2,350 12,555 91,377 74,339 4,499 1,738 2,761 12,539 92,532 75,620 4,374 1,680 2,694 12,538 91,569 90,878 74,467 73,794 4,350 4,656 1,729 1,759 2,621 2,897 12,752 12,428 91,384 73,886 5,009 2,006 3,003 12,489 91,323 73,915 5,026 1,945 3,081 12,382 90,922 73,360 5,288 2,121 3,167 12,274 90,125 72,803 5,071 1,783 3,287 12,251 90,892 73,028 5,563 2,193 3,370 12,300 90,548 72,649 5,717 2,237 3,480 12,183 90,596 72,335 5,834 2,223 3,611 12,427 91,282 73,036 5,763 2,211 3,552 12,483 91,020 72,662 5,444 2,064 3,380 12,914 90,501 72,438 5,492 2,001 3,491 12,579 MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers......................... Self-employed workers............................ Unpaid family workers ............................ Nonagricultural Industries: Wage and salary workers......................... Government ................................... Private industries.............................. Private households ...................... Other industries ......................... Self-employed workers............................ Unpaid family workers ............................ PERSONS AT WORK' Nonagricultural industries .............................. Full-time schedules ................................ Part time for economic reasons.................. Usually work full time......................... Usually work part time....................... Part time for noneconomic reasons............. 'Excludes persons “with a job but not at work" during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 57 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment ratesj Selected categories Annual average 1981 1982 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Total, 16 years and over................................ Both sexes, 16 to 1 years......................... Men, 20 years and over........................... Women, 20 years and over....................... 7.1 17.8 5.9 6.4 7.6 19.6 6.3 6.8 7.2 18.7 5.8 6.7 7.3 19.0 6.0 6.6 7.6 19.7 6.2 6.9 8.0 20.4 6.7 7.0 8.3 21.4 7.1 7.2 8.8 21.5 7.9 7.4 8.5 21.7 7.5 7.2 8.8 22.3 7.6 7.6 9.0 21.9 7.9 7.9 9.4 23.0 8.2 8.3 9.5 23.1 8.4 8.3 9.5 22.3 8.7 8.1 9.8 24.1 8.8 8.4 White, total .......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................ Men, 16 to 19 years .................... Women, 16 to 19 years................. Men, 20 years and over..................... Women, 20 years and over ................. 6.3 15.5 16.2 14.8 5.3 5.6 6.7 17.3 17.9 16.6 5.6 5.9 6.3 16.4 16.6 16.2 5.0 5.8 6.2 16.1 16.7 15.4 5.2 5.5 6.6 17.2 17.5 16.8 5.5 5.9 7.0 17.7 17.9 17.5 5.9 6.1 7.4 19.0 19.6 18.3 6.4 6.3 7.7 19.0 20.2 17.7 6.9 6.4 7.5 19.6 20.8 18.2 6.6 6.3 7.7 20.0 20.4 19.4 6.7 6.6 7.9 19.0 20.2 17.6 7.0 6.9 8.4 20.8 22.3 19.2 7.3 7.2 8.5 20.3 21.2 19.2 7.5 7.3 8.4 19.4 21.1 17.5 7.7 7.1 8.7 21.0 22.6 19.2 7.9 7.3 3lacK, total .......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................. Men, 16 to 19 years .................... Women, 16 to 19 years................. Men, 20 y ears and over .................... Women, 20 years and over ................. 14.3 38.5 37.5 39.8 12.4 11.9 15.6 41.4 40.7 42.2 13.5 13.4 14.9 40.0 41.8 37.9 12.7 13.1 16.3 49.0 49.9 47.8 13.6 13.8 16.3 40.8 38.5 43.4 14.5 14.0 16.8 45.6 41.6 49.5 14.7 13.9 16.8 44.1 41.9 46.6 15.5 13.6 17.3 42.2 39.6 45.1 16.5 14.1 16.8 41.2 36.3 46.7 16.3 13.3 17.3 42.3 40.7 44.2 16.0 14.5 18.0 46.0 48.5 43.1 16.0 15.4 18.4 48.1 48.3 47.8 16.9 15.6 18.7 49.8 50.6 48.9 17.0 15.3 18.5 52.6 58.1 46.2 17.1 15.0 18.5 49.7 48.3 51.2 16.8 15.5 Hispanic Origin, total ............................ 10.1 10.4 10.0 9.9 9.6 10.7 11.5 11.0 12.0 12.6 12.7 12.5 13.9 13.5 13.9 Married men, spouse present.................... Married women, spouse present................. Women who maintain families.................... Full-time workers................................... Part-time workers................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over................. Labor force time lost1.............................. 4.2 5.8 9.2 6.9 8.8 1.7 7.9 4.3 6.0 10.4 7.3 9.4 2.1 8.5 3.9 5.7 11.2 6.8 9.3 2.0 7.9 4.0 5.5 10.1 6.9 9.6 2.0 7.9 4.4 6.0 10.7 7.3 9.6 2.1 8.5 4.8 6.1 10.6 7.7 9.5 2.1 9.1 5.2 6.5 10.8 8.1 10.2 2.2 9.5 5.7 6.6 10.5 8.7 9.2 2.2 10.1 5.3 6.2 10.4 8.4 9.6 2.2 10.0 5.3 7.0 10.2 8.5 10.8 2.5 9.8 5.5 7.1 10.6 8.9 10.0 2.7 10.4 6.0 7.8 11.5 9.2 10.9 2.7 10.4 6.1 7.4 11.8 9.2 10.5 3.0 11.1 6.5 7.0 12.4 9.4 9.8 3.3 10.2 6.6 7.4 12.0 9.5 11.4 3.2 10.7 3.7 2.5 2.4 4.4 5.3 10.0 6.6 12.2 8.8 14.6 7.9 4.6 4.0 2.8 2.7 4.6 5.7 10.3 7.5 12.2 8.7 14.7 8.9 5.3 4.0 2.8 2.6 4.9 5.7 9.5 6.9 11.1 7.3 14.4 8.0 4.8 3.9 2.5 2.7 4.7 5.7 9.5 7.0 11.1 8.0 13.2 8.9 5.4 4.1 2.8 2.7 5.0 5.8 10.2 7.7 11.6 8.7 14.6 9.0 4.0 4.1 2.6 2.8 4.9 6.0 10.9 8.3 12.8 8.0 15.6 9.3 6.2 4.2 2.7 3.0 5.0 6.0 11.8 8.5 14.1 10.4 16.0 9.7 6.2 4.5 3.4 3.1 4.9 6.2 12.7 9.3 15.5 10.5 16.9 9.6 6.4 4.2 2.9 2.7 4.5 6.3 12.5 9.0 15.4 10.2 16.9 9.2 6.9 4.6 3.1 3.1 4.8 6.7 12.5 8.4 15.4 10.3 17.9 9.8 4.9 4.8 3.2 3.0 5.8 6.9 12.9 9.1 15.9 10.4 17.9 10.2 5.4 4.9 3.2 3.3 5.6 7.2 13.7 9.6 16.9 10.7 19.2 11.1 5.8 4.8 3.3 3.5 5.2 6.8 13.5 9.4 16.5 11.8 18.3 11.3 8.3 5.0 3.3 3.8 5.8 6.9 13.9 10.3 16.7 13.0 17.9 9.9 7.2 4.9 3.3 3.7 5.4 6.9 14.4 10.9 17.4 11.6 18.6 10.5 6.1 7.4 14.1 8.5 8.9 7.9 4.9 7.4 5.3 4.1 11.0 7.7 15.6 8.3 8.2 8.4 5.2 8.1 5.9 4.7 12.1 7.2 15.2 7.3 7.1 7.6 4.1 7.9 5.7 4.6 10.7 7.3 16.2 7.0 6.5 7.9 4.8 7.9 5.7 4.5 12.0 7.7 16.3 7.9 7.7 8.3 4.2 8.5 6.0 4.7 11.0 8.1 17.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 4.8 8.4 6.2 4.7 13.4 8.4 17.8 9.4 9.5 9.3 5.5 8.6 6.1 5.2 14.1 9.1 18.1 11.0 11.8 9.6 6.0 8.9 6.4 5.0 14.8 8.8 18.7 10.4 11.0 9.5 6.4 8.7 5.9 4.8 16.2 9.0 18.1 10.6 11.3 9.5 5.9 9.0 6.5 5.2 12.8 9.5 17.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 5.6 10.3 6.9 4.9 14.0 9.9 19.4 11.3 11.9 10.5 7.0 10.1 7.0 5.3 14.6 9.9 18.8 11.6 12.2 10.7 6.5 10.6 6.9 5.0 18.2 10.0 19.2 12.3 13.2 11.0 6.9 9.7 6.8 4.6 16.3 10.2 20.3 12.0 12.7 11.0 6.1 10.5 7.0 4.6 13.8 CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers......................... Professional and technical ....................... Managers and administrators, except farm .... Salesworkers................................... Clerical workers..................................... Blué-collar workers............................... Craft and kindred workers ...................... Operatives, except transport...................... Transport equipment operatives ................. Nonfarm laborers................................... Service workers...................................... Farmworkers ................................... INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers 2 . Construction ........................................ Manufacturing ..................................... Durable goods ............................... Nondurable goods............................ Transportation and public utilities................. Wholesale and retail trade ....................... Finance and service industries.................... Government workers ....................... Agricultural wage and salary workers................. 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2Includes mining, not shown separately, 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted Sex and age Annual average 1981 1980 1981 Total, 16 years and over................................ 16 to 19 years...................................... 16 to 17 years................................. 18 to 19 years................................. 20 to 24 years...................................... 25 years and over ................................. 25 to 54 years................................. 55 years and over............................ 7.1 17.8 20.0 16.2 11.5 5.1 5.5 3.3 7.6 19.6 21.4 18.4 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.6 7.2 18.7 19.8 17.8 11.5 5.2 5.5 3.5 Men, 16 years and over ........................... 16 to 19 years................................. 16 to 17 years ........................... 18 to 19 years ........................... 20 to 24 years................................. 25 years and over............................ 25 to 54 years ........................... 55 years and over....................... 6.9 18.3 20.4 16.7 12.5 4.8 5.1 3.3 7.4 20.1 22.0 18.8 13.2 5.1 5.5 3.5 Women, 16 years and over....................... 16 to 19 years................................. 16 to 17 years ........................... 18 to 19 years ........................... 20 to 24 years................................. 25 years and over............................ 25 to 54 years ........................... 55 years and over....................... 7.4 17.2 19.6 15.6 10.4 5.5 6.0 3.2 7.9 19.0 20.7 17.9 11.2 5.9 6.3 3.8 6. July Aug. 1982 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 7.3 19.0 20.8 17.6 12.1 5.2 5.5 3.5 7.6 19.7 21.4 18.5 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.8 8.0 20.4 21.5 20.0 12.7 5.7 6.2 3.8 8.3 21.4 22.6 20.5 13.0 6.0 6.5 3.8 8.8 21.5 21.9 21.2 13.5 6.5 6.9 4.1 8.5 21.7 21.9 21.3 13.5 6.3 6.7 4.2 8.8 22.3 22.7 22.0 14.1 6.4 6.8 4.3 9.0 21.9 22.7 21.3 14.2 6.8 7.3 4.6 9.4 23.0 24.6 21.9 14.7 7.0 7.4 5.0 9.5 23.1 25.3 21.3 14.3 7.1 7.7 4.8 9.5 22.3 23.7 21.9 14.4 7.4 7.7 5.4 9.8 24.1 26.1 22.8 14.5 7.5 7.9 5.2 6.7 18.8 19.9 17.9 11.6 4.7 5.0 3.4 7.1 19.8 21.5 18.3 12.9 4.9 5.2 3.4 7.3 19.9 21.5 18.7 13.1 5.0 5.5 3.5 7.7 20.1 21.1 19.3 13.8 5.5 5.9 3.7 8.3 21.8 22.7 21.0 14.4 5.8 6.3 3.7 9.0 22.3 22.6 22.2 14.8 6.5 6.9 4.4 8.6 22.1 23.0 21.4 14.9 6.3 6.7 4.3 8.7 22.5 23.0 22.1 15.4 6.3 6.7 4.2 9.0 23.5 24.3 22.9 15.7 6.6 7.1 4.8 9.4 24.4 24.7 24.3 16.0 6.9 7.2 5.1 9.6 24.0 26.3 21.9 15.5 6.9 7.5 4.7 9.7 24.2 25.8 24.0 15.8 7.5 8.0 5.0 9.9 25.1 28.1 23.4 15.9 7.5 8.1 4.8 7.8 18.6 19.7 17.7 11.3 5.8 6.1 3.7 7.7 18.2 20.0 16.9 11.1 5.6 6.0 3.7 8.0 19.5 21.2 18.3 11.4 6.0 6.3 4.3 8.2 20.7 21.9 20.6 11.5 6.1 6.5 4.0 8.4 20.9 22.5 19.9 11.3 6.4 6.8 3.8 8.5 20.5 21.1 20.0 12.0 6.4 6.9 3.7 8.4 21.2 20.6 21.1 11.9 6.3 6.7 4.1 8.9 22.1 22.5 21.9 12.7 6.5 7.0 4.3 9.0 20.1 20.8 19.6 12.6 7.0 7.6 4.3 9.4 21.3 24.5 19.4 13.3 7.2 7.7 4.8 9.5 22.1 24.1 20.6 12.9 7.4 8.0 5.0 9.1 20.2 21.4 19.7 12.9 7.2 7.4 6.0 9.6 23.1 24.1 22.2 12.9 7.4 7.7 6.0 Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Reason for unemployment Annual average 1981 1982 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 3,947 1,488 2,459 891 1,927 872 4,267 1,430 2,837 923 2,102 981 3,867 1,225 2,642 926 2,078 940 4,106 1,276 2,830 879 2,034 971 4,426 1,452 2,974 921 2,058 977 4,573 1,631 2,942 976 2,178 1,002 4,905 1,826 3,079 916 2,339 996 5,343 2,042 3,301 923 2,244 1,021 5,205 1,860 3,345 835 2,079 1,055 5,153 1,740 3,413 964 2,277 1,100 5,622 1,828 3,794 885 2,249 1,044 5,906 1,946 3,959 937 2,365 1,081 5,901 1,969 3,932 874 2,438 1,154 6,302 2,071 4,231 813 2,372 1,088 6,177 2,079 4,098 813 2,528 1,249 100.0 51.7 19.5 32.1 11.7 25.2 11.4 100.0 51.6 17.3 34.3 11.2 25.4 11.9 100.0 49.5 15.7 33.8 11.9 26.6 12.0 100.0 51.4 16.0 35.4 11.0 25.5 12.2 100.0 52.8 17.3 35.5 11.0 24.6 11.7 100.0 52.4 18.7 33.7 11.2 25.0 11.5 100.0 53.6 19.9 33.6 10.0 25.5 10.9 100.0 56.1 21.4 34.6 9.7 23.5 10.7 100.0 56.7 20.3 36.5 9.1 22.7 11.5 100.0 54.3 18.3 35.9 10.2 24.0 11.6 100.0 57.4 18.7 38.7 9.0 22.9 10.7 100.0 57.4 18.9 38.5 9.1 23.0 10.5 100.0 56.9 19.0 37.9 8.4 23.5 11.1 100.0 59.6 19.6 40.0 7.7 22.4 10.3 100.0 57.4 19.3 38.1 7.5 23.5 11.6 3.7 .8 1.8 .8 3.9 .8 1.9 .9 3.6 .9 1.9 .9 3.8 .8 1.9 .9 4.1 .8 1.9 .9 4.2 .9 2.0 .9 4.5 .8 2.1 .9 4.9 .8 2.1 .9 4.8 .8 1.9 1.0 4.7 .9 2.1 1.0 5.1 .8 2.1 1.0 5.4 .9 2.2 1.0 5.3 .8 2.2 1.0 5.7 .7 2.2 1.0 5.6 .7 2.3 1.1 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last job............................................... On layoff............................................. Other job losers..................................... Left last job ............................................... Reentered labor force................................... Seeking first jo b .......................................... PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed........................................ Job losers ................................................ On layoff............................................. Other job losers..................................... Job leavers ............................................... Reentrants................................................ New entrants ............................................. PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers ................................................ Job leavers ............................................... Reentrants................................................ New entrants ............................................. 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks ...................................... 5 to 14 weeks ........................................... 15 weeks and over...................................... 15 to 26 weeks ..................................... 27 weeks and over................................. Mean duration, in weeks ................................ Median duration, in weeks.............................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Annual average 1982 1981 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 3,295 2,470 1,871 1,052 820 11.9 6.5 3,449 2,539 2,285 1,122 1,162 13.7 6.9 3,323 2,312 2,170 1,096 1,074 14.1 7.0 3,326 2,469 2,217 1,078 1,139 14.3 7.0 3,529 2,585 2,248 1,146 1,102 13.7 6.9 3,707 2,686 2,292 1,166 1,126 13.6 6.8 3,852 2,882 2,364 1,229 1,135 13.1 6.9 4,037 3,016 2,372 1,189 1,183 12.8 6.7 3,852 3,068 2,399 1,210 1,190 13.5 7.2 3,789 3,052 2,724 1,445 1,278 14.1 7.3 3,825 3,078 2,954 1,605 1,349 13.9 7.6 3,958 3,304 3,015 1,508 1,507 14.2 8.5 3,874 3,320 3,286 1,634 1,652 14.6 9.0 3,543 3,458 3,673 1,826 1,847 16.5 9.8 3,990 3,161 3,580 1,792 1,788 15.6 8.3 59 EM PLOYM ENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FRO M ESTABLISHM ENT SURVEYS E m p l o y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n i n g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 177,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. payments. R eal earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The H ou rly Earnings Index is calculated from av erage hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. H ou rs represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. O vertim e hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Definitions E m ployed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) 12th of the month. cent of all persons ment which reports for any part of the payroll period including the Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per in the labor force) are counted in each establish them. P rod uction w orkers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 11-15 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities; in wholesale and retail trade; in finance, in surance, and real estate; and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. E arnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of May 1982 data, published in the July 1982 issue of the R eview . Consequently, data published in the R e v ie w prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable histori cal unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supple ment to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through February 1982 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through February 1982) and in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n it e d S ta tes, 1 9 0 9 -7 8 , BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). 8. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands Service-producing Goods-producing Year Total Private sector Total Mining Construe- Manufacturing tion Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale and retail trade Total Wholesale trade trade Finance, insurance, Services and real estate Government Total Federal State and local 1950 ......................... 1955 ......................... I9601 ....................... 1964 ......................... 1965 ......................... 45,197 50,641 54,189 58,283 60,765 39,170 43,727 45,836 48,686 50,689 18,506 20,513 20,434 21,005 21,926 901 792 712 634 632 2,364 2,839 2,926 3,097 3,232 15,241 16,882 16,796 17,274 18,062 26,691 30,128 33,755 37,278 38,839 4,034 4,141 4,004 3,951 4,036 9,386 10,535 11,391 12,160 12,716 2,635 2,926 3,143 3,337 3,466 6,751 7,610 8,248 8,823 9,250 1,888 2,298 2,629 2,911 2,977 5,357 6,240 7,378 8,660 9,036 6,026 6,914 8,353 9,596 10,074 1,928 2,187 2,270 2,348 2,378 4,098 4,727 6,083 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 53,116 54,413 56,058 58,189 58,325 23,158 23,308 23,737 24,361 23,578 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 40,743 42,495 44,160 46,023 47,302 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 58,331 60,341 63,058 64,095 62,259 22,935 23,668 24,893 24,794 22,600 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 48,278 50,007 51,897 53,471 54,345 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,823 90,406 64,511 67,344 71,026 73,876 74,166 23,352 24,346 25,585 26,461 25,658 779 813 851 958 1,027 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,463 4,346 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,040 20,285 56,030 58,125 61,113 63,363 64,748 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,136 5,146 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,192 20,310 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 5,275 13,209 13,808 14,573 14,989 15,035 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,975 5,160 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,112 17,890 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,947 16,241 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,866 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 13,375 1981 ......................... 91,105 75,081 25,481 1,132 4,176 20,173 65,625 5,157 20,551 5,359 15,192 5,301 18,592 16,024 2,772 13,253 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] May 1982 June 1982 p 288.3 633.4 417.7 401.4 3,136.6 288.1 617.1 416.0 393.0 3,069.9 288.8 618.2 417.6 400.5 3,110.1 New Mexico.................................................. New York..................................................... North Carolina ............................................... North Dakota ................................................ Ohio .......................................................... 478.9 7,363.2 2,412.6 251.6 4,384.6 475.6 7.305.2 2,348.4 252.8 4,244.4 474.1 7.346.7 2,350.6 255.1 4,257.2 2,155,0 402.4 319.1 4,637.4 2,034.6 Oklahoma .................................................... Oregon ....................................................... Pennsylvania ................................................ Rhode Island ................................................ South Carolina .............................................. 1,195.9 1,039.6 4,802.3 406.0 1,210.2 1,222.1 974.9 4,601.2 391.0 1,180.9 1,213.4 982.9 4,593.5 394.4 1,178.3 1,063.6 939.6 1,169.8 1,621.6 409.6 1,054.0 938.2 1,159.8 1,620.1 421.0 South Dakota................................................ Tennessee ................................................... Texas ......................................................... Utah .......................................................... Vermont....................................................... 244.2 1,757.8 6,147.3 560.4 203.4 235.4 1,728.1 6,289.3 562.0 200.4 237.1 1,724.4 6,289.9 565.0 200.7 1,690.4 2,641.3 3,245.0 1,739.7 805.0 1,971.9 1,699.2 2,642.6 3,243.8 1,742.3 793.5 1,977.3 Virginia......................................................... Washington .................................................. West Virginia ................................................ Wisconsin..................................................... Wyoming ..................................................... 2,187.1 1,628.5 627.9 1,937.4 222.8 2,165.8 1,566.8 609.2 1,875.1 218.9 2,180.7 1,578.0 606.1 1,879.4 221.3 Virgin Islands ................................................ 37.9 35.0 34.8 June 1981 May 1982 June 1982 p State Alabama ............ Alaska............... Arizona ............. Arkansas ............ California............ 1,351.1 184.7 1,029.7 740.4 10,112.0 1,334.7 185.4 1,040.1 728.7 10,026.9 1,333.5 192.1 1,016.7 719.0 10,042.9 Montana....................................................... Nebraska..................................................... Nevada ....................................................... New Hampshire ............................................. New Jersey .................................................. Colorado............ Connecticut ........ Delaware............ District of Columbia. Florida............... 1,283.4 1,457.8 264.5 614.0 3,726.4 1,284.5 1,425.2 258.3 603.3 3,785.6 1,290.6 1,429.4 257.9 606.0 3,763.4 Georgia............. Hawaii............... Idaho................. Illinois ............... Indiana............... 2,186.4 406.8 329.3 4,800.4 2,135.5 2,163.1 402.7 317.4 4,638.5 2,046.3 Iowa ................. Kansas ............. Kentucky ............ Louisiana............ Maine ............... 1,098.9 957.5 1,191.7 1,634.7 430.1 Maryland............ Massachusetts Michigan ............ Minnesota .......... Mississippi .......... Missouri............. 1,735.4 2,686.0 3,416.5 1,787.0 821.8 1,991.2 State https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis June 1981 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual Average 1981 Industry division and group 1982 1980 1981 July Aug. 90,406 91,105 91,396 91,322 91,363 91,224 90,996 90,642 90,460 90,459 90,304 74,166 75,081 75,432 75,428 75,459 75,307 75,088 74,725 74,596 74,609 74,445 25,658 25,481 25,718 25,637 25,583 25,393 25,176 24,908 24,684 24,631 24,450 Mining ................ 1,027 1,132 1,164 1,180 1,192 1,195 1,202 1,206 1,201 1,203 1,197 Construction ........................................ 4,346 4,176 4,175 4,146 4,124 4,101 4,071 4,026 3,966 3,974 20,285 14,214 20,173 14,021 20,379 14,212 20,311 14,136 20,267 14,087 20,097 13,915 19,903 13,717 19,676 13,488 19,517 13,431 Production workers........................... 12,187 8,442 12,117 8,301 12,266 8,439 12,228 8,389 12,184 8,345 12,059 8,218 11,901 8,061 11,724 7,885 Lumber and wood products ...................... Furniture and fixtures............................ Stone, clay, and glass products .................. Primary metal industries................. Fabricated metal products............... 690.5 465.8 662.1 1,142.2 1,613.1 668.7 467.3 638.2 1,121.1 1,592.4 683 476 644 1,132 1,617 671 475 643 1,134 1,610 661 473 638 1,125 1,604 643 469 629 1,104 1,577 628 462 620 1,082 1553 Machinery, except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipment........ Transportation equipment.................. Instruments and related products ............... Miscellaneous manufacturing ................. 2,494.0 2,090.6 1,899.7 711.3 418.0 2,507.0 2,092.2 1,892.6 726.8 410.7 2,527 2,112 1,925 731 419 2,532 2,116 1,901 734 412 2,539 2,113 1,884 734 413 2,532 2,101 1,861 731 412 Production workers............................ 8,098 5,772 8,056 5,721 8,113 5,773 8,083 5,747 8,083 5,742 Food and kindred products.................. Tobacco manufactures ....................... Textile mill products........................... Apparel and other textile products ............... Paper and allied products ......................... 1,708.0 68.9 847.7 1,263.5 692.8 1,674.3 69.8 822.5 1,244.0 687.8 1,678 70 835 1,255 691 1,659 70 829 1,253 691 Printing and publishing.............................. Chemicals and allied products ............... Petroleum and coal products ............ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .., Leather and leather products........ 1,252.1 1,107.4 197.9 726.8 232.9 1,265.8 1,107.3 215.6 736.1 233.0 1,268 1,110 217 750 239 64,748 65,625 5,146 5,157 20,310 TOTAL ................ TOTAL PRIVATE.................. GOODS-PRODUCING ....... Manufacturing .................... Production workers......................... Durable goods.................... Nondurable goods .................. SERVICE-PRODUCING........... Transportation and public utilities ......... Wholesale and retail trade................ Wholesale trade.................. Retail trade .................. Finance, insurance, and read estate Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep 90,083 90,166 89,860 89,843 74,231 74,313 74,043 73,993 24,289 24,255 25,992 25,878 1,182 1,152 1,121 1,107 3,934 3,938 3,988 3,942 3,932 19,454 13,290 19,319 13,179 19,169 13,042 19,115 13,008 18,929 12,868 18,839 12,818 11,622 7,793 11,575 7,759 11,490 7,685 11,375 7,576 11,332 7,553 11,205 7,458 11,157 7,437 615 457 610 1,053 1,529 607 452 596 1,038 1,515 611 449 596 1,024 1,505 607 446 590 1,007 1,496 615 443 584 976 1,481 617 443 586 945 1,472 616 444 580 926 1,454 617 445 576 923 1,448 2,511 2,077 1,830 727 411 2,486 2,049 1,791 725 409 2,459 2,055 1,777 720 403 2,446 2,048 1,778 718 400 2,419 2,038 1,774 716 397 2,389 2,034 1,748 713 392 2,377 2,034 1,755 713 390 2,317 2,027 1,746 709 386 2,274 2,025 1,756 706 387 8,038 5,697 8,002 5,656 7,952 5,603 7,895 5,548 7,879 5,531 7,829 5,494 7,794 5,466 7,783 5,455 7,724 5,410 7,682 5,381 1,658 69 827 1,253 695 1,662 69 814 1,243 685 1,664 69 804 1,235 681 1,661 68 794 1,222 677 1,657 69 780 1,201 674 1,663 68 777 1,201 670 1,658 68 760 1,186 668 1,643 67 773 1,165 664 1,652 67 759 1,165 661 1,638 67 739 1,162 658 1,621 65 744 1,150 655 1,271 1,107 216 752 235 1,274 1,110 216 746 235 1,276 1,107 215 734 233 1,276 1,103 215 725 230 1,276 1,100 214 716 224 1,275 1,095 210 712 222 1,276 1,093 208 708 215 1,278 1,088 207 703 213 1,274 1,082 206 706 214 1,274 1,079 207 708 211 1,268 1,072 205 705 210 1,263 1,069 204 705 206 65,678 65,685 65,780 65,831 65,820 65,734 65,776 65,828 65,854 65,794 65,911 65,868 65,965 5,168 5,168 5,181 5,162 5,150 5,128 5,125 5,115 5,100 5,094 5,101 5,081 5,058 20,551 20,620 20,650 20,660 20,654 20,623 20,524 20,630 20,670 20,655 20,584 20,652 20,602 20,629 5,275 5,359 5,375 5,387 5,383 5,380 5,375 5,357 5,346 5,343 5,336 5,323 5,331 5,307 5,298 15,035 15,192 15,245 15,263 15,277 15,274 15,248 15,167 15,284 15,327 15,319 15,261 15,321 15,295 15,331 July» 5,160 5,301 5,311 5,319 5,328 5,325 5,324 5,331 5,326 5,326 5,336 5,335 5,342 5,356 5,362 Services.................. 17,890 18,592 18,615 18,654 18,707 18,773 18,815 18,834 18,831 18,867 18,904 18,929 18,963 19,012 19,066 Government....................... 16,241 2,866 13,375 16,024 2,772 13,253 15,964 2,775 13,189 15,894 2,769 13,125 15,904 2,764 13,140 15,917 2,757 13,160 15,908 2,749 13,159 15,917 2,756 13,161 15,864 2,741 13,123 15,850 2,737 13,113 15,859 2,736 13,123 15,852 2,730 13,122 15,853 2,728 13,125 15,817 2,739 13,078 15,850 2,748 13,102 Federal......................... State and local ......................... 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Total private Average weekly hours 1950 ............... 1955 ............... I9601 ............. 1964 ............... 1965 ............... $53.13 67.72 80.67 91.33 95.45 39.8 39.6 38.6 38.7 38.8 $1.335 1.71 2.09 2.36 2.46 $67.16 89.54 105.04 117.74 123.52 37.9 40.7 40.4 41.9 42.3 $1.772 2.20 2.60 2.81 2.92 $69.68 90.90 112.67 132.06 138.38 37.4 37.1 36.7 37.2 37.4 $1.863 2.45 3.07 3.55 3.70 $58.32 75.30 89.72 102.97 107.53 40.5 40.7 39.7 40.7 41.2 $1.440 1.85 2.26 2.53 2.61 1966 ............... 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971 ............... 1972 ............... 1973 ............... 1974 ............... 1975 ............... 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.91 235.10 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.3 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.07 397.06 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 43.3 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.49 9.17 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 367.78 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 9.94 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.70 7.27 1981 ............... 255.20 35.2 7.25 439.19 43.7 10.05 398.52 36.9 10.80 318.00 39.8 7.99 Transportation and public utilities Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services $2 89 3.03 $44.55 55.16 66.01 74.66 76.91 40 5 394 386 37.9 37.7 $1.100 1.40 1.71 1.97 2.04 $50.52 63.92 75.14 85.79 88.91 37.7 37.6 37.2 37.3 37.2 $1.340 1.70 2.02 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.58 351.25 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 39.6 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.16 8.87 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 176.46 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 32.2 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 5.48 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 209.60 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 5.79 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 190.71 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.6 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 5.85 1981 ............... 382.18 39.4 9.70 190.95 32.2 5.93 229.05 36.3 6.31 208.97 32.6 6.41 1950 1955 ipfin' 1964 ............... 1965 ............... $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 1966 ............... 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 1971 ............... 1972 ............... 1973 ............... 1974 ............... 1975 ............... 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 63 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1981 1982 Industry division and group 1980 TOTAL PRIVATE.................................. 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep July? 35.3 35.2 35.3 35.2 35.0 35.1 35.1 35.0 34.4 35.0 34.9 34.9 35.0 34.8 34.9 39.7 2.8 39.8 2.8 40.0 3.0 39.9 3.0 39.4 2.7 39.5 2.7 39.3 2.5 39.1 2.4 37.6 2.3 39.4 2.4 39.0 2.3 39.0 2.4 39.1 2.3 39.2 2.4 39.3 2.4 40.1 2.8 40.2 2.8 40.5 3.0 40.4 3.0 39.7 2.7 40.0 2.6 39.7 2.4 39.5 2.3 38.2 2.2 39.8 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.6 2.2 39.7 2.3 39.7 2.2 Lumber and wood products...................... Furniture and fixtures ........................... Stone, clay, and glass products.................. Primary metal industries ........................... Fabricated metal products......................... 38.5 38.1 40.8 40.1 40.4 38.7 38.4 40.6 40.5 40.3 38.7 38.6 40.8 40.7 40.5 38.4 38.4 40.7 40.8 40.4 37.6 37.4 40.3 40.6 39.6 37.8 38.0 40.1 40.0 40.0 37.7 37.6 40.1 39.6 39.7 37.7 37.9 39.7 39.2 39.5 35.0 33.6 38.6 38.3 38.1 37.9 37.7 40.1 39.4 39.7 37.6 37.3 40.0 38.8 39.5 37.6 37.4 40.0 38.5 39.4 38.5 37.5 40.2 38.5 39.5 38.5 37.8 40.4 38.9 39.4 38.3 37.9 40.6 38.9 39.5 Machinery, except electrical ..................... Electric and electronic equipment................. Transportation equipment .................... Instruments and related products................. Miscellaneous manufacturing...................... 41.0 39.8 40.6 40.5 38.7 40.9 39.9 40.9 40.4 38.8 41.2 40.4 41.2 40.5 39.0 41.1 40.3 41.2 40.6 38.9 40.3 39.7 40.1 40.4 38.4 40.8 39.8 40.6 40.3 38.9 40.7 39.4 40,4 40.2 39.0 40.4 39.5 39.7 39.9 38.5 39.3 38.3 39.0 39.0 37.3 40.7 39.8 40.5 39.9 38.6 40.2 39.4 40.4 39.9 38.6 40.1 39.3 41.1 39.9 38.5 39.8 39.4 41.1 40.2 38.7 39.8 39.5 41.6 40.2 38.5 40.0 39.8 41.1 40.0 38.6 Overtime hours ............................ 39.0 2.8 39.1 2.8 39.2 2.9 39.2 2.9 38.9 2.8 38.9 2.8 38.7 2.7 38.6 2.6 36.8 2.5 38.9 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.4 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.6 2.5 38.6 2.6 Food and kindred products ....................... Textile mill products ......................... Apparel and other textile products............... Paper and allied products ....................... 39.7 40.1 35.4 42.2 39.7 39.6 35.7 42.5 39.5 40.1 35.8 42.7 39.4 39.8 35.9 42.5 39.3 38.8 35.2 43.0 39.5 39.0 35.5 42.4 39.5 38.7 35.5 42.0 39.8 37.8 35.1 41.8 39.1 32.3 31.4 41.3 40.2 38.3 35.5 42.3 39.5 37.6 35.0 41.8 39.4 37.7 34.7 42.1 39.4 37.9 34.8 41.8 39.5 37.9 35.1 42.0 39.5 38.1 35.1 42.2 Printing and publishing.............................. Chemicals and allied products........... Petroleum and coal products...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ... Leather and leather products................. 37.1 41.5 41.8 40.0 36.7 37.3 41.6 43.2 40.3 36.8 37.3 41.7 43.1 40.5 36.4 37.3 41.7 42.9 40.5 36.7 37.1 42.2 43.1 39.7 36.2 37.1 41.5 42.2 39.9 36.7 37.1 41.2 42.5 39.6 36.5 37.1 41.3 42.7 39.4 36.1 36.9 41.0 44.3 37.9 34.1 37.4 41.2 43.5 40.0 35.6 37.1 40.7 43.5 39.6 35.8 37.1 40.7 44.0 39.8 35.6 36.8 41.0 44.1 39.9 35.6 37.0 41.1 44.0 40.1 35.8 36.9 41.0 43.3 40.2 35.5 32.2 32.1 32.0 32.1 32.0 31.7 32.0 31.9 31.8 32.0 31.9 31.9 MANUFACTURING................................ Overtime hours .............................. Durable goods........................... Overtime hours .............................. Nondurable goods ......................... WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ................ 32.2 32.2 '32.2 WHOLESALE TRADE....................... 38.5 38.6 38.6 38.6 38.5 38.4 38.5 38.4 38.1 38.5 38.4 38.3 38.5 38.6 38.4 RETAIL TRADE........................... 30.2 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 29.9 30.0 29.9 29.7 29.9 29.8 29.8 30.0 29.8 29.9 SERVICES............................. 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.6 N ote : The industry divisions of mining; construction; tobacco manufactures (a major manufacturing group, nondurable goods); transportation and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate are no longer shown. This is because the seasonal component in these is small 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relative to the trend-cycle, or irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be precisely separated, r=revised. 13. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1982 1981 Annual average Industry division and group Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep JulyP 1980 1981 July Aug. Seasonally adjusted ......................... $6.66 <’ ) $7.25 (’ ) $7.24 7.27 $7.30 7.34 $7.40 7.37 $7.42 7.40 $7.47 7.45 $7.45 7.46 $7.55 7.52 $7.54 7.53 $7.55 7.54 $7.58 7.59 $7.63 7.65 $7.63 7.66 $7.67 7.70 MINING........................................................ 9.17 10.05 10.09 10.12 10.27 10.25 10.39 10.41 10.65 10.62 10.62 10.65 10.66 10.82 10.86 CONSTRUCTION........................................... 9.94 10.80 10.79 10.92 11.07 11.65 11.18 11.26 11.59 11.32 11.33 11.32 11.46 11.41 11.52 8.27 8.42 8.34 8.37 8.42 8.45 8.50 8.55 TOTAL PRIVATE...................................... MANUFACTURING ........................................ 7.27 7.99 8.02 8.03 8.16 8.16 8.20 Durable goods........................................ Lumber and wood products ................. Furniture and fixtures......................... Stone, clay, and glass products ........... Primary metal industries..................... Fabricated metal products .................. 7.75 6.55 5.49 7.50 9.77 7.45 8.53 7.00 5.91 8.27 10.81 8.20 8.57 7.15 5.92 8.40 10.78 8.21 8.59 7.13 5.99 8.41 10.99 8.26 8.70 7.16 6.01 8.53 11.22 8.33 8.73 7.10 6.06 8.50 10.97 8.39 8.77 7.16 6.05 8.54 11.10 8.42 8.83 7.16 6.12 8.56 11.08 8.53 8.92 7.38 6.28 8.70 11.23 8.55 8.89 7.27 6.19 8.62 11.20 8.57 8.91 7.28 6.21 8.65 11.15 8.64 8.94 7.24 6.21 8.72 11.24 8.69 9.01 7.41 6.23 8.80 11.23 8.79 9.06 7.54 6.30 8.86 11.32 8.82 9.10 7.62 6.34 8.92 11.42 8.83 Machinery, except electrical................. Electric and electronic equipment.......... Transportation equipment.................... Instruments and related products .......... Miscellaneous manufacturing ............... 8.00 6.94 9.35 6.80 5.46 8.81 7.62 10.39 7.43 5.96 8.83 7.65 10.44 7.43 5.97 8.84 7.73 10.37 7.55 5.96 8.96 7.75 10.49 7.59 6.05 9.04 7.80 10.74 7.60 6.05 9.08 7.83 10.74 7.68 6.11 9.18 7.90 10.76 7.81 6.19 9.19 7.98 10.79 7.93 6.27 9.20 7.96 10.82 7.94 6.29 9.18 8.01 10.89 8.00 6.32 9.24 8.03 10.89 8.07 6.35 9.26 8.05 11.08 8.16 6.38 9.28 8.11 11.20 8.22 6.41 9.34 8.17 11.20 8.26 6.41 Nondurable goods.................................. Food and kindred products.................. Tobacco manufactures....................... Textile mill products........................... Apparel and other textile products ........ Paper and allied products.................... 6.55 6.85 7.74 5.07 4.56 7.84 7.18 7.43 8.88 5.52 4.96 8.60 7.22 7.45 9.46 5.50 4.92 8.73 7.23 7.48 8.70 5.65 4.96 8.67 7.36 7.56 8.76 5.69 5.04 8.95 7.33 7.51 8.67 5.72 5.05 8.82 7.38 7.61 9.04 5.73 5.04 8.89 7.44 7.67 8.96 5.72 5.04 8.96 7.67 7.82 9.21 5.76 5.18 9.06 7.54 7.74 9.56 5.76 5.13 8.99 7.57 7.79 9.72 5.76 5.15 9.03 7.65 7.90 10.05 5.79 5.18 9.11 7.66 7.92 9.93 5.79 5.16 9.14 7.71 7.91 10.39 5.80 5.18 9.27 7.78 7.91 10.57 5.81 5.17 9.40 Printing and publishing....................... Chemicals and allied products ............. Petroleum and coal products ............... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ............... 7.53 8.30 10.10 6.52 4.58 8.18 9.12 11.38 7.16 4.99 8.20 9.16 11.43 7.18 4.97 8.25 9.19 11.32 7.23 4.97 8.37 9.38 11.55 7.29 5.09 8.40 9.37 11.47 7.30 5.09 8.42 9.42 11.58 7.31 5.11 8.48 9.53 11.59 7.38 5.15 8.58 9.68 11.91 7.51 5.19 8.56 9.68 12.29 7.49 5.22 8.59 9.71 12.32 7.45 5.24 8.59 9.81 12.50 7.52 5.32 8.61 9.83 12.52 7.56 5.32 8.68 9.95 12.52 7.65 5.36 8.74 10.04 12.51 7.70 5.32 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . 8.87 9.70 9.67 9.87 9.95 9.94 10.05 10.06 10.10 10.13 10.07 10.14 10.17 10.19 10.24 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................. 5.48 5.93 5.91 5.94 6.04 6.01 6.04 6.02 6.17 6.16 6.16 6.18 6.20 6.19 6.20 7.94 7.94 7.93 7.97 8.03 8.00 8.07 5.43 5.42 5.43 5.44 5.47 5.47 5.46 6.59 6.64 6.77 6.69 6.75 6.77 6.81 6.85 6.82 6.88 WHOLESALE TRADE...................................... 6.96 7.57 7.58 7.65 7.70 7.73 7.79 7.81 RETAIL TRADE............................................. 4.88 5.25 5.24 5.25 5.37 5.29 5.32 5.31 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . . . 5.79 6.31 6.28 6.38 6.39 6.43 6.52 6.47 6.56 6.62 SERVICES..................................................... 5.85 6.41 6.34 6.41 6.52 6.58 6.67 6.66 6.79 6.79 1Not available. 14. Hourly Earnings Index, for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [1977= 100] Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Industry TOTAL PRIVATE (In current dollars) Manufacturing ................................ Transportation and public utilities.......... Wholesale and retail trade ................. Finance, insurance, and real estate....... Services ...................................... TOTAL PRIVATE (in constant dollars) July 1981 Mar. 1982 Apr. 1982 May 1982 June 1982 p July 1982 p Percent change from: June 1982 to July 1982 July 1981 May 1982 June 1982 p 138.8 147.4 147.5 148.4 6.9 139.1 145.4 146.3 147.7 148.0 148.7 0.4 149.0 132.3 142.3 138.5 138.2 137.5 136.5 156.8 139.3 151.5 147.2 145.2 147.9 146.5 159.6 139.1 152.4 147.2 144.8 146.5 146.3 160.5 140.5 153.3 147.4 145.1 147.8 147.9 7.7 6.2 7.7 6.4 5.0 7.4 8.3 (’ ) 132.2 142.4 139.0 138.4 137.8 137.4 (’ ) 138.1 149.9 146.3 142.8 143.8 143.9 (' ) (1) 139.9 151.8 148.2 145.1 148.0 146.5 (' ) 139.7 152.5 149.0 145.2 146.8 147.1 (1) 140.3 153.3 148.0 145.3 148.1 148.8 n 138.7 150.8 146.9 143.7 144.9 145.1 .5 .5 -.7 .1 .9 1.1 91.7 93.4 92.3 <2) (2) 92.2 93.3 93.7 93.7 93.0 (2) ( 2> 1This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent change from: July 1981 to July 1982 July 1982 p sufficient precision, 2Not available. 65 M O N T H L Y LA BO R R EV IEW September 1982 • C u rre n t L a b o r S ta tistics: E sta b lish m e n t D a ta 15. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Industry division and group Annual average 1980 TOTAL PRIVATE: Current dollars............................ Seasonally adjusted.................... Constant (1977) dollars.................... 1981 $235.10 $255.20 (1) (’ > 172.74 170.13 1981 July Aug. SepL Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 397.06 439.19 439.92 447.30 450.85 456.13 461.32 466.37 456.89 463.03 CONSTRUCTION .............................. 367.78 398.52 407.86 408.41 396.31 419.62 414.78 417.75 385.95 406.39 MANUFACTURING Current dollars............................ Constant (1977) dollars ................ 288.62 212.06 318.00 212.00 317.59 209.91 320.40 210.37 322.32 209.57 323.95 210.22 325.54 210.71 329.97 213.02 312.38 201.02 326.93 209.70 Durable goods................................. Lumber and wood products............... Furniture and fixtures ...................... Stone, clay, and glass products.......... Primary metal industries .................. Fabricated metal products................ 310.78 252.18 209.17 306.00 391.78 300.98 342.91 270.90 226.94 335.76 437.81 330.46 342.80 276.71 223.78 342.72 434.43 327.58 345.32 278.07 231.21 344.81 442.90 332.88 346.26 271.36 226.58 346.32 457.78 330.70 350.07 271.22 233.92 344.25 435.51 337.28 351.68 269.93 230.51 345.87 440.67 337.64 356.73 272.80 238.07 343.26 438.77 345.47 336.28 248.71 204.10 325.38 431.23 323.19 Machinery except electrical............... Electric and electronic equipment........ Transportation equipment ................. Instruments and related products........ Miscellaneous manufacturing............. 328.00 276.21 379.61 275.40 211.30 360.33 304.04 424.95 300.17 231.25 357.62 303.71 425.95 296.46 229.85 359.79 309.20 421.02 305.02 231.84 361.98 307.68 418.55 306.64 234.14 367.93 311.22 440.34 307.04 237.77 372.28 311.63 438.19 313.34 241.35 381.89 319.16 445.46 317.87 242.03 Nondurable goods............................ Food and kindred products ............... Tobacco manufactures .................... Textile mill products ....................... Apparel and other textile products....... Paper and allied products ................ 255.45 271.95 294.89 203.31 161.42 330.85 280.74 294.97 344.54 218.59 177.07 365.50 282.30 295.02 365.16 217.80 177.12 370.15 284.86 298.45 354.09 225.44 180.05 367.61 287.78 300.89 352.15 221.34 177.41 386.64 286.60 296.65 341.60 225.37 180.79 373.97 288.56 302.88 350.75 224.62 180.43 376.05 Printing and publishing..................... Chemicals and allied products........... Petroleum and coal products............. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products......................... Leather and leather products............. 279.36 344.45 422.18 305.11 379.39 491.62 305.04 380.14 499.49 309.38 380.47 486.76 313.04 395.84 512.82 312.48 388.86 494.36 260.80 168.09 288.55 183.63 286.48 181.41 292.09 183.39 289.41 183.24 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 351.25 382.18 383.90 389.87 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .......... 176.46 190.95 193.85 194.83 WHOLESALE TRADE .......................... 267.96 292.20 294.10 RETAIL TRADE................................... 147.38 158.03 161.92 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 209.60 229.05 SERVICES..................... 190.71 208.97 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr. May Junen July p $257.74 $259.88 $259.74 $261.18 $262.20 $262.24 $255,95 $262.39 $261.99 $262.27 $265.52 $266.70 $269.98 256.63 258.37 257.95 259.74 261.50 261.10 258.69 263.55 263.15 264.89 267.75 266.57 268.73 170,35 170.64 168.88 169.49 169.71 169.30 164.70 168.31 168.37 167.80 168.16 167.12 (') MINING ......................................... 1Not available. Mar. 465.16 454.76 454.12 462.01 $466.98 415.44 429.75 427.88 437.76 327.27 210.33 325.85 208.48 329.55 208.71 334.05 209.04 332.60 <’) 352.93 272.63 231.51 337.90 443.52 337.66 352.84 273.73 233.50 344.27 434.85 342.14 350.45 270.05 230.39 347.93 434.99 338.91 355.90 285.29 231.76 355.52 430.11 346.33 360.59 $356.72 294.06 291.85 238.77 235.21 361.49 362.15 440.35 439.67 349.27 343.49 360.25 304.04 414.34 306.10 229.48 374.44 316.81 437.13 317.60 241.54 370.87 316.40 439.96 320.80 244.58 367.75 313.17 441.05 318.77 242.57 367.62 315.56 455.39 327.22 245.63 369.34 320.35 465.92 330.44 246.79 367.06 319.45 455.84 325.44 244.22 291.65 309.87 341.38 220.79 178.92 382.59 277.65 302.63 332.48 179.71 155.40 374.18 291.04 307.28 366.15 219.46 180.58 377.58 289.93 303.81 362.56 217.15 180.77 376.55 291.47 306.52 367.83 215.39 178.19 380.80 294.14 312.05 369.40 219.44 180.08 379.31 298.38 312.45 397.94 221.56 183.89 389.34 300.31 313.24 387.92 218.46 182.50 393.86 314.07 391.87 499.10 321.39 398.35 493.73 312.31 394.94 514.51 317.58 397.85 518.64 318.69 395.20 522.37 316.11 399.27 550.00 315.99 401.06 549.63 319.42 407.95 552.13 321.63 409.63 549.19 293.46 186.80 291.67 187.03 295.94 187.46 283.88 172.83 29885 184.27 295.77 186.54 297 04 187.26 300.13 191.52 306.77 197.25 304.92 188.86 390.04 388.65 393.96 395.36 388.85 397.10 392.73 393.43 394.60 398.43 400.38 194.49 192.32 192.68 194.45 191.89 194.66 194.66 195.91 197.78 199.32 202.12 296.06 296.45 298.38 300.69 302.25 300.13 303.31 303.72 304.45 308.35 308.80 311.50 162.23 162.17 157.64 158.54 160.89 157.47 159.35 159.64 161.02 163.01 164.65 167.62 227.96 232.23 230.04 232.77 236.02 234.21 237.47 239.64 239.22 240.37 245.75 241.51 245.03 209.85 210.89 211.25 213.85 216.78 217.12 219.32 2 2 0 .6 8 220.03 221.33 222.63 223.01 227.73 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA N a t i o n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor from monthly reports of unem ployment insurance activity prepared by State agencies. Rail road unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. In i tial claim s are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unem ploym ent expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all program s represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. N u m ber of paym ents are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average am ount of ben efit paym ent is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total b en efits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All items except average benefits amounts are In thousands] 1981 June All programs: Insured unemployment .................... State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 ................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)........................... Rate of insured unemployment .......... Weeks of unemployment compensated ............................ Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment ................ Total benefits paid ......................... Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claims1 ................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)........................... Weeks of unemployment compensated ............................ Total benefits paid ......................... Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims ................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)........................... Weeks of unemployment compensated ............................ Total benefits paid ......................... July Aug. 1982 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 2,949 3,012 2,874 2,680 2,753 1,741 2,114 1,610 1,681 1,996 2,286 3,272 3,328 2,272 2,418 2,596 3.0 2,743 3.1 2,656 3.0 2,488 2.9 2,592 3.0 3,061 3.5 3,778 4.3 4,470 5.1 4,376 5.0 4,282 4.9 9,928 10,486 9,594 9,565 9,424 10,052 14,592 15,962 15,631 18,144 16,156 $99.02 $103.47 $105.94 $107.39 $1,012,764 $1,061,899 $1,004,864 $1,001,020 3,228 3,935 4,681 4,723 4,892 4,760 Junep 4,388 4,328 2,347 1,988 2,369 4,067 4.6 3,729 4.3 3,707 4.3 13,670 14,628 $108.92 $110.52 $112.83 $114.83 $116.95 $117.10 $117.51 $118.07 $118.65 $997,757 $1,080,810 $1,592,546 $1,764,206 $1,781,830 $2,072,642 $1,848,260 $1,572,503 $1,690,109 19 22 19 15 11 9 11 8 8 10 9 8 42 44 44 34 26 22 19 16 13 11 10 9 8 192 $21,145 203 $22,785 190 $21,425 153 $17,144 116 $12,952 91 $10,043 93 $10,155 65 $7,098 49 r$5,304 48 $5,141 37 $4,029 31 $3,416 29 $3,210 13 15 17 18 20 16 17 17 12 13 13 11 14 10 25 25 25 29 32 36 39 40 40 38 33 29 28 105 $10,705 105 $10,805 102 $9,543 100 $10,495 112 $11,719 127 $13,491 174 $18,891 162 $18,040 154 $17,517 172 $19,677 147 $16,821 119 $13,569 122 $13,597 Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications ................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume)........................... Number of payments ...................... Average amount of benefit payment................................... Total benefits paid ......................... 26 41 13 15 21 13 19 22 11 9 5 5 36 30 86 28 32 29 63 34 74 40 86 44 83 54 117 75 153 67 140 65 154 57 130 44 95 44 93 $201.06 $16,206 $199.63 $11,541 $202.53 $7,071 $207.98 15,046 $197.26 15,994 $207.08 $16,377 $212.33 $25,292 $213.39 $30,544 $214.07 $28,011 $215.71 $33,853 $209.48 $26,262 $200.75 $19,110 $199.15 $18,57.4 Employment service:5 New applications and renewals .......... Nonfarm placements....................... 12,868 2,446 16,502 3,509 11nitial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4,081 731 7,439 1,232 9,907 1,692 4Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State programs, 5Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly. N ote : Data for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands included. Dashes indicate data not available. r=revised. 67 PRICE DATA r i c e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). P Definitions The C onsum er P rice In d ex is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972—73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. P roducer P rice In d ex es measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. P rice in d exes for the output of se lecte d S IC in d ustries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the R ev ie w , regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 19.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see F a c ts A b o u t th e R e v is e d C o n s u m e r P ric e I n d e x , a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also T h e C o n s u m e r P ric e I n d e x : C o n c ep ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Years, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stand ards of living, see the family budget data published in the H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s, 1 9 7 7 , Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P rice I n d e x es, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the meas urement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , April 1978, pp. 7-15. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , August 1965, pp. 974-82. 17. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-81 [1967 = 100] Food and beverages All items Year Index Percent change Index Percent change Apparel and upkeep Housing Index Percent change Index Transportation Percent change Index Percent change Medical care Percent change Index Other goods and services Entertainment Index Percent change Index Percent change 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971 ............... 1972 ............... 1973 ............... 1974 ............... 1975 ............... 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 247.0 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 13.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 248.7 3.1 6.0 9.7 10.9 8.7 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 263.2 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 15.7 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 177.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 6.6 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 250.5 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 17.7 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 267.2 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 11.3 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 203.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 8.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 213.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.8 1981............... 272.3 10.2 267.8 7.7 293.2 11.4 186.6 5.2 281.3 12.3 295.1 10.4 219.0 7.5 233.3 9.2 18. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1981 1982 1982 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June All Items.............................................................................. 271.3 282.5 283.4 283.1 284.3 287.1 290.6 271.4 282.1 282.9 282.5 283.7 286.5 290.1 Food and beverages ......................................................... Housing......................................................................... Apparel and upkeep.......................................................... Transportation ................................................................. Medical care ................................................................... Entertainment ................................................................. Other goods and services.................................................... 266.5 292.2 185.8 279.9 291.5 220.8 233.4 273.6 306.1 187.3 289.9 313.4 229.2 248.4 275.8 307.3 188.0 288.0 316.2 231.2 250.3 275.6 306.7 191.1 285.1 318.8 232.8 252.2 276.5 309.4 191.9 282.9 321.7 233.9 253.8 278.1 313.8 191.5 285.6 323.8 234.4 255.0 280.2 317.5 190.8 292.8 326.4 235.6 255.8 267.0 291.9 185.8 281.0 292.9 218.3 231.4 273.9 305.6 186.5 291.6 312.0 226.1 245.0 276.0 306.7 187.3 289.6 314.9 228.1 247.1 275.9 306.2 190.5 286.6 317.4 229.5 249.3 276.8 309.2 191.2 284.3 320.2 230.5 250.9 278.4 313.7 190.6 287.1 322.3 231.1 252.4 280.5 317.5 189.6 294.5 324.8 232.3 253.1 Commodities ................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .............................. Nondurables less food and beverages............................ Durables............................................................... 253.2 243.1 263.5 226.6 258.8 248.0 265.6 233.4 259.5 248.1 265.3 233.7 258.8 247.1 263.4 233.5 258.9 247.0 259.7 235.8 261.5 249.8 261.0 239.8 265.1 254.0 266.3 243.2 253.8 243.8 266.3 225.2 259.3 248.7 267.8 232.4 259.9 248.6 267.5 232.5 259.1 247.5 265.3 232.4 259.2 247.2 261.3 234.8 261.7 250.1 262.6 238.9 265.4 254.5 268.2 242.3 Services ........................................................................ Rent, residential....................................................... Household services less rent ...................................... Transportation services............................................... Medical care services................................................ Other services......................................................... 303.5 206.8 366.7 269.6 314.4 236.3 323.9 217.8 392.4 286.6 339.4 251.7 325.3 218.6 393.7 287.6 342.4 253.0 325.5 219.6 392.5 288.8 345.1 254.0 328.4 220.1 397.3 290.3 348.0 255.3 331.8 221.8 403.0 291.3 350.2 255.9 334.9 222.6 407.7 294.7 353.0 257.0 303.9 206.4 307.1 268.2 315.8 235.6 324.3 217.4 396.5 285.9 337.5 250.0 325.5 218.1 397.7 286.7 340.6 251.3 325.8 219.1 396.6 287.9 343.0 252.4 329.1 219.6 402.3 289.2 345.8 253.8 332.4 221.3 408.2 290.0 348.0 254.4 335.7 222.1 413.3 293.2 350.7 255.5 All items less food ............................................................ All items less mortgage interest costs ..................................... Commodities less food....................................................... Nondurables less food ....................................................... Nondurables less food and apparel........................................ Nondurables ................................................................... Services less rent ............................................................ Services less medical care.................................................. Domestically produced farm foods ........................................ Selected beef cuts............................................................ Energy ......................................................................... All items less energy ......................................................... All items less food and energy ..................................... Commodities less food and energy.............................. Energy commodities ............................................... Services less energy............................................... 269.5 256.9 241.1 258.0 298.0 266.2 321.9 300.1 255.9 271.6 414.0 260.2 255.6 217.5 453.1 299.8 281.4 266.1 245.9 260.2 301.0 270.8 344.2 320.0 262.4 269.6 416.4 272.1 268.5 223.7 446.4 320.5 282.1 267.1 246.0 260.1 300.5 271.7 345.7 321.1 265.1 271.7 413.0 273.4 269.5 224.5 440.1 321.9 281.7 267.2 245.2 258.4 296.6 270.7 345.7 321.1 263.8 272.0 406.1 273.6 269.8 225.3 424.5 321.5 282.9 267.9 245.0 255.0 291.4 269.3 349.1 324.0 264.5 275.1 395.7 275.7 272.2 227.2 406.6 324.5 286.0 270.3 247.8 256.2 293.4 270.7 352.8 327.5 267.1 281.6 402.1 278.3 274.9 229.9 410.2 327.2 289.7 273.6 251.9 261.2 301.0 274.4 356.5 330.7 270.3 289.1 418.6 280.7 277.3 232.1 430.8 329.9 269.7 257.5 241.8 260.7 300.0 267.6 322.6 300.4 255.3 274.3 417.3 259.3 254.5 216.6 453.7 300.2 281.3 266.4 246.6 262.4 302.6 271.9 345.0 320.5 261.4 271.1 419.0 270.9 267.1 222.8 447.0 321.0 281.7 267.2 246.6 262.2 302.0 272.8 346.3 321.6 264.0 273.1 415.4 272.1 268.0 223.6 440.7 322.2 281.3 267.3 245.6 260.2 297.8 271.6 346.4 321.6 262.7 273.3 407.9 272.3 268.3 224.5 425.0 321.8 282.5 267.9 245.3 256.6 292.3 270.1 350.2 324.9 263.5 276.4 396.9 274.5 270.9 226.4 406.9 325.2 285.6 270.3 248.1 257.8 294.4 271.5 353.8 328.3 266.0 283.1 403.1 277.0 273.6 229.1 410.5 327.9 289.4 273.7 252.4 263.0 302.4 275.4 357.7 331.7 269.2 290.6 420.4 279.4 276.0 231.3 431.6 330.6 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 = $1 ................ $0,369 $0,354 $0,353 $0,353 $0,352 $0,348 $0,344 $0,368 $0,354 $0,353 $0,354 $0,352 $0,349 $0,345 Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 70 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 , 1982 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June FOOD AND BEVERAGES ............................. 266.5 273.6 275.8 275.6 276.5 278.1 280.2 267.0 273.9 276.0 275.9 276.8 278.4 280.5 Food.................................. 273.6 281.0 283.3 283.0 283.9 285.5 287.8 274.0 281.1 283.4 283.1 284.1 285.7 288.0 Food at home..................................... Cereals and bakery products.................... Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100)........ Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100) ................ Cereal (12/77 = 100)................................. Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) ...................... Bakery products (12/77 = 100)........................................ White bread...................................... Other breads (12/77 = 100)...................................... Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) ............... Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100)...................... Cookies (12/77 = 100)............................ Crackers, bread, and cracker products (12/77 = 100) .... Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) ... Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) . . 268.7 271.5 148.3 139.0 152.4 150.9 142.1 236.0 140.2 141.7 142.3 143.3 130.7 142.9 275.3 279.8 153.0 139.1 163.1 151.1 146.4 243.3 143.9 146.5 147.2 148.1 133.4 146.2 278.0 280.9 154.0 139.1 164.8 152.4 146.8 243.8 143.7 146.4 147.0 149.2 135.4 147.0 277.1 281.3 153.9 139.2 165.2 151.2 147.1 242.3 145.1 148.4 148.0 149.4 135.3 146.3 277.9 281.7 153.6 139.7 165.4 149.6 147.5 242.8 145.2 147.6 148.4 150.2 137.3 146.8 279.8 283.3 154.5 141.8 165.7 150.2 148.3 243.8 146.3 149.7 149.0 150.5 139.6 147.3 282.6 283.6 154.5 142.1 166.1 149.4 148.6 242.4 145.6 149.9 149.2 150.7 140.9 148.9 268.2 270.7 150.0 141.4 154.0 152.7 141.0 233.1 142.5 139.7 141.2 143.3 131.5 142.3 274.4 278.6 153.9 139.6 165.1 152.4 145.3 239.4 145.7 142.5 145.8 148.9 134.7 148.9 277.0 279.8 155.0 139.6 166.8 153.6 145.7 240.0 145.5 142.8 145.8 150.1 136.8 149.3 276.2 280.0 154.8 139.6 167.2 152.4 146.0 238.3 147.0 144.6 146.4 150.2 136.5 148.7 277.0 280.4 154.6 140.1 167.4 150.8 146.3 238.8 147.1 143.8 146.8 151.2 138.7 149.3 278.8 282.0 155.4 142.1 167.8 151.5 147.2 240.0 148.2 146.0 147.4 151.4 141.0 149.9 281.6 282.3 155.5 142.5 168.2 150.6 147.4 238.3 147.5 146.2 147.5 151.5 142.3 151.5 146.1 151.2 151.5 153.5 153.4 153.6 156.3 140.3 144.7 144.8 146.8 146.5 146.7 149.4 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs ................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ........................................... Meats ..................................................... Beef and veal ................................. Ground beef other than canned.............................. Chuck roast............................................... Round roast............................... Round steak .................................... Sirloin steak................................. Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) .................... Pork........................................ Bacon ......................................... Chops ...................................... Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100).................... Sausage ........................................... Canned ham ................................... Other pork (12/77 = 100) ................................... Other meats ................................................ Frankfurters..................................................... Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) .......... Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ........................... Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) .................... Poultry..................................................... Fresh whole chicken........................... Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) ........ Other poultry (12/77 = 100) ....................... Fish and seafood .............................. Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)............. Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100) ....... Eggs ........................................................................ 248.7 255.0 254.2 271.1 264.6 281.0 246.2 255.1 274.6 159.9 221.2 216.5 209.8 98.0 278.9 229.8 126.7 255.9 250.7 143.9 127.6 146.5 196.8 193.8 128.3 128.9 352.1 139.3 131.0 172.1 253.7 259.1 257.8 269.4 262.2 279.6 241.6 257.5 258.2 160.9 234.7 235.5 219.2 107.3 297.6 245.4 129.5 258.1 256.7 145.4 132.2 138.6 194.2 193.1 128.5 123.2 373.3 140.6 143.2 189.4 256.8 261.2 260.2 271.5 265.0 285.8 245.3 256.1 257.1 161.4 238.9 245.6 222.1 107.0 300.0 246.1 133.8 258.1 258.0 146.1 131.7 137.7 195.7 196.3 128.9 123.2 373.8 140.9 143.2 205.1 256.9 262.1 261.2 271.7 265.8 284.3 243.0 258.8 260.6 161.5 239.5 249.6 216.3 109.2 305.8 247.6 132.6 262.4 260.5 149.2 133.7 141.0 194.7 195.1 127.5 123.9 376.3 141.0 144.7 195.2 258.3 264.2 263.6 274.8 266.9 285.4 244.9 262.8 271.1 163.7 241.6 255.9 223.4 105.4 305.7 245.6 135.2 262.8 259.5 150.2 133.2 142.6 193.3 194.1 127.6 121.3 382.0 141.5 147.9 186.9 261.0 268.2 269.7 281.1 269.4 287.2 252.4 269.2 282.3 169.0 249.9 267.7 230.0 111.1 313.3 249.9 138.9 264.0 262.7 150.7 134.3 141.2 196.0 196.8 128.3 124.3 366.3 139.8 139.4 172.3 266.0 274.3 277.2 288.2 274.6 295.4 257.0 278.8 294.1 173.3 295.9 280.7 241.2 112.6 326.3 253.2 145.4 268.5 268.8 154.6 135.5 143.1 197.5 199.1 129.3 124.6 365.2 139.9 138.6 162.5 248.4 254.5 253.9 273.0 267.9 288.9 249.5 253.6 278.6 159.2 221.3 220.5 209.8 95.1 278.7 230.1 127.7 253.1 249.8 141.9 126.0 147.1 194.4 190.3 127.0 128.2 349.8 137.9 130.4 173.0 253.3 258.6 257.3 270.1 263.7 288.5 244.7 256.1 258.9 159.3 234.4 239.3 217.6 104.8 298.8 249.0 128.8 257.3 256.1 145.4 130.2 141.4 192.4 190.9 126.9 123.0 372.4 140.0 143.0 190.6 256.4 260.7 259.7 272.2 266.3 295.0 248.9 254.4 257.8 159.7 238.5 249.3 220.2 104.7 301.0 249.9 133.1 257.4 257.1 146.2 129.7 141.0 193.8 194.4 127.1 122.6 373.2 140,4 143.2 206.1 256.4 261.5 260.6 272.3 266.9 293.1 245.9 256.4 262.2 159.8 238.9 253.3 214.7 106.5 306.6 251.2 131.7 261.7 260.0 149,4 131.7 144.2 192.8 192.8 125.9 123.3 375.5 140.5 144,6 196.3 257.8 263.6 262.8 275.3 267.9 294.1 247.9 260.8 272.4 162.1 241.0 259.7 221.7 102.8 306.3 248.9 134.5 261(8 258.4 150.3 131.2 145.6 191.5 192.0 125.9 120.8 381.4 140.8 148.0 187.9 260.7 267.7 269.0 281.9 270.7 296.2 255.9 267.8 283.8 167.5 249.2 271.9 228.2 108.3 314.2 253.2 138.2 263.2 261.8 150.7 132.3 144.4 194.1 194.7 126.5 123.9 365.0 139.2 138.9 173.4 265.8 273.9 276.5 289.0 275.9 304.9 260.1 277.2 295.5 171.9 258.9 285.3 239.6 109.6 327.2 256.4 144.7 267.8 268.3 154.6 133.4 146.5 195.8 197.0 127.5 124.3 364.2 139.4 138.3 163.4 Dairy products.................................................. Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ............. Fresh whole milk.............................. Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 =100)............ Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)....................... Butter....................................................... Cheese (12/77 = 100) ................................... Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)........... Other dairy products (12/77 = 100)........................... 243.8 134.8 220.7 134.6 142.0 245.1 140.5 146.4 136.3 245.8 135.1 221.2 135.1 144.4 249.3 142.0 150.8 138.4 246.5 135.5 221.5 135.8 144.8 248.9 142.8 150.0 140.0 246.5 135.3 221.7 135.1 144.9 250.1 143.3 149.5 139.5 247.5 135.9 222.2 136.2 145.6 250.1 143.7 150.9 139.9 247.0 135.7 222.0 135.7 145.2 251.1 144.0 148.7 139.7 246.3 135.2 221.3 135.4 144.9 250.9 143.2 149.6 138.7 243.9 134.5 220.0 135.1 142.9 248.7 140.9 147.8 136.8 245.2 134.6 220.2 134.7 144.7 252.0 142.3 149.9 139.1 245.8 134.9 220.5 135.5 145.1 251.4 143.1 149.1 140.8 245.9 134.8 220.8 134.6 145.3 252.7 143.6 148.9 140.3 246.8 135.3 221.3 135.7 145.9 252.7 144.0 150.2 140.8 246.3 135.1 221.1 135.2 145.5 253.7 144.3 147.9 140.4 245.7 134.7 220.4 134.9 145.2 253.4 143.6 148.7 139.4 Fruits and vegetables ................................................ Fresh fruits and vegetables ........................................ Fresh fruits........................................ Apples........................................................ Bananas .......................................... Oranges ................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100)........................... Fresh vegetables....................... Potatoes ................................. Lettuce ................................... Tomatoes ............................................... Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) .................... 278.1 285.2 278.9 239.9 260.5 287.1 154.4 291.1 414.3 238.7 205.2 151.8 294.7 308.0 276.7 273.0 253.5 283.1 145.9 337.3 288.8 514.4 245.6 174.8 301.5 319.6 291.2 279.5 251.0 313.1 154.5 346.2 297.4 408.9 288.5 199.1 293.1 302.1 297.8 288.7 263.0 316.3 157.2 306.1 301.0 270.9 258.1 185.0 294.0 304.1 306.7 287.5 268.5 330.8 163.4 301.8 306.1 355.2 220.5 166.3 297.9 311.7 318.8 299.8 261.6 362.1 168.2 305.1 320.3 291.6 226.5 179.3 305.6 325.9 340.8 321.4 267.9 406.8 177.1 311.9 344.9 269.1 275.6 177.5 275.3 281.0 272.1 241.0 259.0 274.0 149.9 289.0 402.7 237.1 200.8 153.6 291.3 303.1 267.0 272.6 251.1 255.1 141.0 335.8 282.7 515.8 248.8 173.9 297.4 313.4 280.1 279.9 247.9 281.1 149.0 343.5 291.5 408.0 293.2 197.2 289.1 296.1 287.3 288.5 261.1 285.9 151.8 304.2 294.8 271.3 261.8 184.0 290.3 298.9 295.5 287.8 266.1 300.2 157.6 302.0 300.8 358.6 224.9 166.7 293.6 305.1 306.9 300.1 259.3 328.3 162.4 303.7 313.6 293.5 230.6 178.6 301.0 318.6 327.0 321.9 265.5 367.5 170.3 311.1 339.7 270.0 279.9 177.0 Processed fruits and vegetables .............................. Processed fruits (12/77 =100) ................................ Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100)................. Fruit juices other than frozen (12/77 = 100) ............. Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100) ............. Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100)....................... Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100)........................... 272.8 142.0 143.4 145.5 137.1 132.1 130.8 282.7 146.4 143.5 151.4 143.6 137.6 140.7 284.2 147.9 147.8 151.5 144.3 137.7 141.7 285.8 149.0 149.2 152.4 145.3 138.2 142.0 285.5 148.2 147.1 151.5 145.6 138.6 144.0 285.4 148.3 145.7 152.2 146.4 138.5 143.9 285.9 148.0 144.4 151.7 147.0 139.3 145.6 271.4 142.1 142.3 145.8 137.9 131.2 131.9 280.6 146.0 142.8 150.1 144.0 136.5 141.8 282.0 147.4 146.6 150.3 144.8 136.6 143.1 283.7 148.6 148.2 151.4 145.9 137.2 143.4 283.3 147.7 146.1 150.4 146.2 137.5 145.3 283.3 147.9 144.6 151.0 147.0 137.4 145.2 283.9 147.6 143.4 150.7 147.6 138.2 146.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1982 1981 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Fruits and vegetables—Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) .... Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77=100)............ Other foods at home ............................................................ Sugar and sweets.......................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77=100) ........................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77=100).................... Other sweets (12/77-100) ........................................ Fats and oils (12/77=100) ............................................... Margarine .............................................................. Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77=100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77=100) ............. Nonalcoholic beverages .................................................. Cola drinks, excluding diet cola..................................... Carbonated drinks, Including diet cola (12/77=100)............ Roasted coffee ....................................................... Freeze dried and instant coffee..................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77=100)....................... Other prepared foods ..................................................... Canned and packaged soup (12/77=100)....................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77-100).............................. Snacks (12/77=100)................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77=100)........... Other condiments (12/77=100) ................................... Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77=100) .................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) ... 134.6 131.4 323.6 361.3 145.2 168.2 142.6 269.6 256.1 181.8 129.6 412.8 297.0 140.8 353.1 335.2 134.5 254.4 132.6 142.2 147.2 141.1 140.8 139.3 137.7 139.9 135.0 328.7 361.6 150.1 155.6 147.1 261.6 257.8 157.7 130.5 418.7 302.4 141.9 353.3 336.9 138.0 134.3 147.8 152.6 149.7 146.4 146.9 142.5 140.7 134.1 330.7 364.2 150.0 160.0 146.9 260.5 256.7 157.8 129.8 423.4 304.6 143.8 364.4 342.8 138.4 265.3 135.9 146.2 153.4 151.3 146.9 147.0 143.0 141.2 134.8 331.7 365.5 150.3 161.0 147.4 259.6 256.7 156.1 129.5 424.8 306.6 143.4 366.6 343.6 138.9 266.5 135.6 147.0 153.4 153.2 148.2 147.7 143.2 140.5 135.0 331.6 365.3 150.9 159.9 147.2 260.4 259.6 157.3 129.0 424.1 304.9 143.4 369.6 343.4 138.7 266.6 135.7 147.2 152.9 153.6 148.7 147.6 143.3 140.7 134.6 332.6 365.7 150.0 160.5 148.9 260.6 259.7 156.0 129.6 425.6 306.1 144.3 369.3 344.3 138.9 267.5 135.7 147.8 153.5 152.8 150.2 148.5 143.5 141.1 135.2 332.6 366.8 150.4 161.4 148.9 260.7 261.2 156.5 129.1 424.8 305.9 143.1 365.1 344.3 140.0 267.8 136.3 147.3 153.2 153.3 150.6 148.3 144.5 133.6 129.7 324.5 363.0 146.5 169.3 140.8 269.5 256.0 180.5 129.6 414.6 294.1 139.3 348.5 337.1 134.4 255.8 133.5 140.8 149.1 140.3 143.2 139.9 138.5 137.5 133.5 329.6 361.6 150.0 157.0 145.2 261.5 257.2 156.0 131.0 420.5 300.0 139.7 348 8 336.5 138.2 266.3 136.4 147.4 154.6 148.6 148.0 147.0 143.9 138.3 132.6 331.5 364.1 149.8 161.3 145.1 260.6 256.1 156.3 130.2 425.0 302.0 141.7 359.9 342.5 138.6 266.9 137.9 145.6 155.2 150.3 148.4 147.1 144.5 138.8 133.3 332.6 365.4 150.1 162.4 145.5 259.7 256.1 154.4 130.0 426.6 303.8 141.4 362.2 343.4 139.1 268.1 137.8 146.5 155.4 152.2 149.9 147.9 144.5 137.9 133.5 332.6 365.2 150.8 161.1 145.3 260.4 259.1 155.6 129.5 426.0 302.4 141.5 365.0 343.0 138.9 268.3 137.8 146.7 155.0 152.7 150.4 147.7 144.6 138.5 133.2 333.5 365.6 149.9 161.8 147.0 260.6 259.3 154.2 130.2 427.3 303.6 142.3 364.3 343.9 139.1 269.3 137.7 147.3 155.6 151.9 151.9 148.7 144.9 138.8 133.8 333.5 366.9 150.5 162.8 146.9 260.7 260.8 154.9 129.7 426.6 303.3 141.2 360.1 343.8 140.2 269.5 138.3 146.8 155.2 152.4 152.4 148.5 145.8 Food away from home............................................................... Lunch (12/77=100) ............................................................ Dinner (12/77=100) ............................................................ Other meals and snacks (12/77-100)...................................... 290.6 141.5 140.7 140.3 299.8 146.1 144.8 145.4 301.2 146.6 145.2 146.9 302.4 147.0 145.7 147.9 303.6 147.5 146.3 148.6 304.8 148.2 147.1 148.5 305.9 148.9 147.4 149.2 293.5 142.8 142.6 141.3 302.8 147.7 146.4 146.2 304.2 148.2 146.8 147.6 305.4 148.6 147.3 148.7 306.7 149.1 147.9 149.3 307.8 149.8 148.8 149.2 309.0 150.5 149.1 149.9 Alcoholic beverages ..................................................................... 199.8 204.0 205.6 206.6 207.4 208.0 208.4 202.1 206.0 207.6 208.8 209.5 210.1 210.4 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77=100)...................................... Beer and ale...................................................................... Whiskey ........................................................................... Wine................................................................................ Other alcoholic beverages (12/77-100)..................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77=100)............................ 129.7 202.0 143.0 224.6 116.1 133.1 132.2 205.0 145.9 232.2 117.5 137.0 133.3 207.4 146.8 234.2 117.8 137.6 134.0 209.2 147.0 235.3 118.1 138.2 134.6 210.5 147.2 236.4 118.2 138.4 135.0 210.3 148.2 236.9 119.0 139.1 135.0 210.6 148.3 235.3 119.7 140.3 131.5 202.4 144.0 233.4 115.7 133.4 133.4 204.3 146.8 239.8 117.5 138.6 134.6 206.5 147.7 241.6 117.8 139.1 135.4 208.3 147.8 243.3 118.0 139.7 136.0 209.6 148.0 244.4 118.0 139.9 136.2 209.4 149.0 244.9 118.9 140.6 136.3 209.6 149.1 242.7 119.6 141.6 HOUSING..................................................................................... 292.2 306.1 307.3 306.7 309.4 313.8 317.5 291.9 305.6 306.7 306.2 309.2 313.7 317.5 Shelter......................................................................................... 312.6 328.3 329.5 327.6 331.4 336.7 340.9 313.7 329.4 330.3 328.5 332.8 338.3 342.6 Rent, residential........................................................................ 206.8 217.8 218.6 219.6 220.1 221.8 222.6 206.4 217.4 218.1 219.1 219.6 221.3 222.1 Other rental costs .................................................................... Lodging while out of town....................................................... Tenants'Insurance (12/77=100) ............................................. 289.5 311.8 133.1 313.6 331.1 141.8 316.9 335.9 143.5 320.1 340.9 144.1 323.7 346.6 144.9 323.6 346.6 144.4 327.3 352.2 145.5 289.7 310.6 133.4 312.3 328.4 142.0 315.6 333.0 143.6 318.9 337.9 144.3 322.8 343.9 144.7 322.6 344.0 143.8 326.3 349.4 144.8 Homeownership........................................................................ Home purchase................................................................... Financing, taxes, and insurance ............................................... Property insurance ......................................................... Property taxes .............................................................. Contracted mortgage interest cost...................................... Mortgage interest rates............................................... Maintenance and repairs ....................................................... Maintenance and repair services ........................................ Maintenance and repair commodities ................................... Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) .......................................... Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77=100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77-100)............................................. Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77-100) .......... 350.4 266.6 467.2 386.6 200.3 610.4 226.4 315.5 344.4 247.6 367.5 269.3 506.0 393.0 212.9 665.2 244.4 326.7 358.2 252.5 368.7 270.4 507.2 393.7 215.1 666.1 243.9 328.2 359.4 254.6 365.7 269.2 500.9 394.1 216.6 655.5 240.7 327.2 357.8 255.0 370.6 272.3 508.4 393.6 217.2 667.1 242.1 331.6 363.6 256.2 377.4 279.3 516.2 396.7 218.3 678.5 240.2 334.5 367.0 257.8 382.8 285.6 521.8 400.6 218.8 686.7 238.3 336.1 369.1 258.3 352.7 266.2 473.8 388.1 202.2 612.9 227.2 308.2 338.7 241.5 369.9 267.4 512.2 395.6 214.5 666.3 245.7 323.3 359.2 246.4 370.8 268.3 513.2 396.0 217.2 666.6 245.4 324.6 360.1 248.2 367.9 267.1 507.0 396.5 218.5 656.4 242.3 323.7 358.6 248.6 373.6 270.5 516.0 396.0 219.1 670.2 244.4 328.3 365.0 249.7 380.5 278.1 523.8 399.2 220.2 681.4 242.1 330.9 368.0 251.3 386.0 284.4 529.7 402.7 220.7 690.0 240.2 332.4 370.0 252.1 145.3 124.7 149.4 124.6 150.9 124.6 151.8 123.9 153.1 124.5 154.2 124.5 153.3 124.7 138.4 122.7 142.3 121.9 143.7 121.7 144.7 121.2 145.8 121.9 147.0 121.9 146.0 122.1 131.2 128.5 131.9 133.6 133.8 134.8 133 4 135.1 133.4 135.6 135.1 136.3 136.2 138.4 128.5 131.7 131.8 135.7 133.4 136.9 133.1 137.1 133.1 137.4 134.9 138.2 136.0 140.6 Fuel and other utilities................................................................... 320.2 336.2 337.1 339.3 339.2 345.4 352.2 321.2 337.0 337.9 340.2 340.3 346.5 353.6 Fuels ................................................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.................................................. Fuel oil........................................................................ Other fuels (6/78 - 100) ................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity ..................................................... Electricity.................................................................... Utility (piped) gas .......................................................... 411.7 682.0 715.7 164.3 350.2 296.7 416.9 426.9 686.0 716.8 170.9 367.4 306.6 447.2 427.6 683.1 713.8 170.0 368.7 306.8 450.8 430.5 664.0 692.3 168.0 375.9 313.3 458.6 428.2 641.3 666.2 168.4 377.8 312.8 465.3 438.0 644.6 670.6 165.7 388.6 314.9 493.4 448.4 656.6 684.8 165.6 398.5 327.5 496.0 411.2 685.1 718.4 165.5 349.0 296.6 413.2 426.2 688.9 719.3 172.1 366.0 305.3 445.2 426.8 686,0 716.3 171.4 367.3 305.5 448.7 429.9 666.7 694.4 169.5 374.8 312.3 456.6 427.8 644.0 668.4 167.9 376.8 311.8 463.6 437.4 647.7 673.3 167.1 387.4 314.4 489.7 448.3 659.7 687.5 166.9 397.8 327.7 492.7 FOOD AND BEVERAGES - Continued Food —Continued Food at home—Continued https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 264.6 71 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 1982 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Other utilities and public services.................................................... Telephone services .............................................................. Local charges (12/77 = 100) ........................................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Water and sewerage maintenance ........................................... 177.1 143.5 114.9 101.8 101.5 291.2 192.7 157.2 124.0 116.8 109.2 309.8 193.9 157.9 125.3 116.6 109.1 313.3 195.0 158.5 125.6 117.7 109.0 316.9 197.7 160.8 127.9 119.9 108.9 320.7 198.9 161.6 128.9 120.0 109.3 323.5 200.4 163.2 131.2 119.6 109.8 324.9 177.3 143.6 115.1 101.9 101.3 292.5 193.1 157.3 124.2 116.9 109.0 312.2 194.3 158.0 125.4 116.7 108.8 315.7 195.4 158.6 125.7 117.8 108.7 319.7 198.2 161.0 128.1 120.2 108.7 323.6 199.5 161.9 129.2 120.4 109.0 326:7 201.1 163.5 131.6 120.1 109.4 328.0 Household furnishings and operations............................................. 221.1 228.4 230.2 231.6 232.6 233.4 233.7 217.8 224.9 226.7 228.0 229.1 230.0 230.4 Housefurnishings .................................................................... Textile housefurnishings ......................................................... Household linens (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding................................................................. Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100)........................................ Sofas (12/77 = 100)....................................................... Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) ......................... Other furniture (12/77 = 100) ......................... ............... Appliances including TV and sound equipment .............................. Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Television............................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 - 100)................................... Household appliances ..................................................... Refrigerators and home freezers ................................... Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100)................................. Other household appliances (12/77 - 100) ...................... Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100) ........................... Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)................................. Floor and window coverings, infants', laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) .................. Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100)....................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) ........................................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 185.2 202.5 125.1 127.4 204.6 134.6 116.2 116.9 135.4 146.3 108.2 105.3 111.9 173.2 172.4 128.0 118.9 189.8 210.1 127.3 134.8 209.5 139.7 117.3 118.9 138.5 148.8 108.8 104.4 113.8 178.0 180.8 132.2 120.6 191.4 216.0 131.0 138.5 209.4 140.5 116.4 118.6 138.1 149.9 109.2 104.5 114.5 179.7 182.6 133.5 121.6 192.7 217.7 134.7 136.7 212.1 140.8 118.0 121.6 140.5 150.1 109.1 104.7 114.0 180.3 183.7 133.3 122.2 193.8 218.7 135.8 136.9 214.7 142.3 119.3 123.2 142.3 150.6 108.7 104.2 113.7 182.1 184.8 136.4 122.9 194.7 220.9 135.4 140.1 215.1 144.5 119.1 122.8 141.6 151.4 108.8 104.3 113.9 183.6 186.2 136.6 124.3 194.7 220.2 134.6 140.1 214.4 143.0 117.5 123.2 142.3 151.4 108.6 104.4 113.5 183.8 187.7 136.7 123.9 182.8 204.4 125.7 129.5 200.1 129.2 116.0 118.2 130.5 145.6 107.3 104.3 110.9 172.6 177.1 127.1 116.6 187.7 212.5 128.6 137.0 205.9 136.5 117.6 119.0 133.9 148.5 107.9 103.1 113.0 178.1 186.1 132.4 118.5 189.3 218.5 132.1 141.0 205.5 137.1 116.5 118.8 133.4 149.6 108.4 103.3 113.8 179.9 187.9 133.8 119.7 190.4 219.9 135.6 138.7 208.2 137.2 118.2 121.8 135.8 149.7 108.2 103.5 113.2 180.4 189.3 133.5 120.0 191.7 221.4 137.0 139.1 211.0 138.9 119.6 123.3 137.9 150.3 107.7 103.0 112.8 182.3 190.6 136.6 120.7 192.5 223.9 136.8 142.8 211.3 140.7 119.4 122.9 137.0 151.1 107.9 103.0 113.0 183.8 191.8 136.8 122.3 192.6 223.3 135.9 143.0 210.9 139.7 118.2 123.3 137.7 151.2 107.7 103.1 112.7 184.2 193.2 136.9 122.3 118.4 119.4 121.0 121.9 122.3 123.7 123.1 116.5 117.4 118.9 119.3 119.7 121.4 121.6 119.4 131.0 121.9 134.9 122.4 136.7 122.5 137.3 123.5 137.8 124.9 138.3 124.8 139.0 116.7 129.3 119.7 132.9 120.5 134.7 120.7 135.3 121.8 135.6 123.3 136.0 123.0 136.9 132.1 124.6 136.3 128.6 139.1 129.8 140.9 129.0 140.3 130.2 141.4 131.4 142.3 132.2 125.3 121.9 128.6 124.8 131.0 126.0 133.3 125.4 132.9 126.5 133.9 127.4 134.9 128.2 139.5 122.6 142.3 127.8 143.3 130.3 143.1 132.1 145.0 130.8 144.4 132.1 145.6 131.9 136.0 127.1 138.2 133.2 139.5 135.5 139.0 137.3 140.6 136.0 139.8 137.4 141.4 137.1 Housekeeping supplies ............................................................... Soaps and detergents .......................................................... Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) ...................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100)............. Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100) ......................... Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100)................................... 269.8 266.0 133.4 137.6 125.8 139.5 138.4 279.1 275.5 139.6 145.1 128.8 146.2 137.1 282.4 278.0 141.0 145.7 130.4 146.9 141.8 284.2 279.5 142.1 145.7 130.7 147.5 144.7 284.9 280.0 142.7 146.4 131.4 147.5 144.7 285.5 278.8 143.3 146.0 132.0 149.3 144.8 286.5 280.8 143.8 146.5 132.5 150.2 144.0 266.9 263.6 132.3 138.2 127.2 136.1 131.3 275.7 272.0 138.4 145.1 131.7 141.2 129.2 278.8 274.4 139.8 145.6 133.4 141.8 134.1 280.4 275.7 140.9 145.4 133.8 142.4 136.7 281.2 276.3 141.6 146.2 134.6 142.4 136.8 281.8 275.2 142.3 145.6 135.3 144.1 136.6 283.1 277.0 142.7 146.1 136.0 144.9 136.7 Housekeeping services............................................................... Postage............................................................................. Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100)........................................ Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100)................................ 292.9 308.0 307.4 337.5 308.1 337.5 309.9 337.5 310.4 337.5 311.3 337.5 311.7 337.5 291.7 308.1 305.9 337.5 306.8 337.5 308.2 337.5 309.2 337.5 310.2 337.5 310.9 337.5 141.9 126.3 148.4 133.6 149.4 134.2 150.8 135.0 152.1 135.6 153.1 136.6 154.2 137.0 141.8 125.4 148.0 132.2 149.1 132.8 150.6 133.5 152.2 134.1 153.3 135.1 154.5 135.5 HOUSING Continued Fuel and other utilities —Continued APPAREL AND UPKEEP.......................................................... 185.8 187.3 188.0 191.1 191.9 191.5 190.8 185.8 186.5 187.3 190.5 191.2 190.6 189.6 Apparel commodities ..................................................................... 176.4 177.0 177.6 180.8 181.4 180.9 180.0 177.0 176.7 177.4 180.8 181.3 180.5 179.4 Apparel commodities less footwear........................................... Men’s and boys' ................................................................. Men’s (12/77 = 100) ..................................................... Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) .................. Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100) ................................. Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) ................. Shirts (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100).................. Boys’ (12/77 = 100)....................................................... Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) ............ Furnishings (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100)........ Women’s and girls’ ............................................................... Women's (12/77 = 100).................................................. Coats and jackets..................................................... Dresses ................................................................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ....................... Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100) ............. Suits (12/77 = 100).................................................. Girls’ (12/77 = 100) ....................................................... Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100)............... Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ....................... Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100) ...................................... 172.5 176.6 111.0 104.3 98.1 129.7 117.9 105.0 115.4 108.7 123.9 117.3 155.4 102.7 149.5 163.7 98.0 119.8 86.3 106.4 100.4 105.9 172.8 178.7 112.9 104.3 96.4 133.6 120.7 108.2 114.6 104.7 127.3 117.2 154.3 102.3 158.4 153.1 96.7 124.0 84.2 104.4 93.4 106.3 173.4 179.3 113.0 104.8 95.8 134.7 119.3 108.6 116.0 105.9 128.2 119.1 154.7 102.9 156.4 152.8 96.3 126.2 87.0 102.7 92.6 103.4 176.8 181.7 114.5 107.2 98.1 136.8 119.9 108.6 117.8 109.4 128.7 120.1 160.3 106.8 162.0 163.1 100.3 127.1 927 105.6 98.2 104.6 177.4 183.1 115.5 107.6 99.1 138.2 121.3 109.7 118.3 111.2 130.3 119.0 160.9 107.1 163.4 166.6 100.1 127.4 89.4 106.7 98.8 105.4 176.7 183.8 115.9 108.1 99.9 138.7 121.2 110.3 118.8 111.5 131.2 119,6 159.1 105.7 158.3 162.0 101.2 128.1 83.4 106.3 96.9 105.9 175.6 183.1 115.4 107.3 99.5 138.0 121.5 109.7 118.5 110.7 131.9 119.4 157.3 104.4 156.4 160.1 100.2 127.9 78.6 105.8 95.1 106.0 173.0 177.2 111.6 98.4 101.2 124.1 120.4 111.8 114.3 109.8 119.5 115.9 158.1 104.9 148.9 156.6 101.0 120.0 103.6 106.2 98.1 108.1 172.2 178.6 113.3 97.8 97.6 129.8 123.3 113.6 112.9 105.3 123.3 114.7 156.4 103.9 161.6 140.7 97.3 123.7 104.0 104.2 91.2 108.2 173.0 179.4 113.5 98.2 97.2 131.1 121.8 114.1 114.3 106.3 124.2 116.7 157.1 104.8 163.1 140.9 96.8 126.0 105.6 103.1 91.5 106.0 176.6 181.6 114.7 100.4 99.7 133.1 122.3 114.2 116.1 109.7 124.7 117.8 163.0 109.0 173.1 148.1 101.2 126.9 114.1 106.0 97.2 106.9 177.1 182.9 115.7 101.1 100,7 134.5 123.4 115.1 116.5 111.5 126.0 116.8 163.4 109.1 172.9 151.1 101.0 127.3 111.0 106.9 97.6 107.6 176.0 183.7 116.2 101.4 101.5 135.3 123.1 115.6 117.1 112.0 127.2 117.3 160.8 107.1 165.7 147.1 101.9 127.9 100.6 106.2 95.0 108.0 174.7 183.2 115.8 100.6 101.1 134.7 123.8 115.2 116.9 111.5 128.0 117.1 158.4 105.4 162.9 145.4 101.0 127.6 92.7 105.2 92.4 107.7 117.2 119.2 118.0 119.6 122.0 122.4 122.9 116.2 118.2 117.0 118.7 121.0 121.5 121.9 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org ) Bank of St. Louis Federal Reserve 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1981 1982 1982 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan, Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Apparel commodities less footwear—Continued Infants’ and toddlers’ .......................................................... Other apparel commodities .................................................. Sewing materials and notions (12/77 = 100) ....................... Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) ................................. 260.0 212.2 114.5 146.8 259.6 212.9 116.2 146.7 262.2 214.3 117.6 147.4 264.7 212.7 118.1 145.7 267.0 210.8 118.5 143.8 269.0 209.7 119.3 142.5 268.7 209.9 119.2 142.8 273.0 204.8 113.2 141,2 270.1 201.4 114.3 137.5 271.4 202.8 115.9 138.1 275.4 201.6 116.5 136.7 278.2 199.5 116.9 134.5 279.3 198.8 117.7 133.5 278.2 198.9 117.6 133.6 Footwear.............................................................................. Men’s (12/77 = 100) ........................................................ Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 - 100) ............................................. Women’s (12/77 =100)..................................................... 200.4 127.7 129.1 121.6 202.8 130.3 130.1 122.6 202.8 130.7 129.5 122.7 204.9 132.5 129.2 124.7 205.6 132.3 130.4 125.1 206.5 132.4 131.5 125.8 206.6 132.1 132.1 125.8 200.6 129.5 128.6 120.2 203.1 132.2 132.5 118.9 203.3 132.6 132.3 119.0 205.2 134.5 132.1 120.8 206.1 134.4 133.6 121.1 206.9 134.5 134.6 121.6 206.7 134.1 134.8 121.6 Apparel services ......................................................................... Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 - 100).......... Other apparel services (12/77 = 100) .......................................... 257.8 153.2 136.0 267.6 160.0 139.4 269.4 161.4 139.8 271.3 162.4 141.1 273.4 163.5 142.5 274.7 164.4 142.9 275.3 164.8 143.1 255.7 152.5 135.0 265.5 158.5 139.9 267.2 159.9 140.3 269.0 160.9 141.5 271.0 162.0 142.7 272.3 162.8 143.1 273.0 163.3 143.4 TRANSPORTATION ..................................................................... 279.9 289.9 288.0 285.1 282.9 285.6 292.8 281.0 291.6 289.6 286.6 284.3 287.1 294.5 Private....................................................................................... 277.9 286.6 284.5 281.3 278.8 281.5 288.9 279.7 289.0 286.9 283.7 281.2 284.0 291.6 New cars ............................................................................. Used cars............................................................................. Gasoline .............................................................................. Automobile maintenance and repair.............................................. Body work (12/77 - 100).................................................... Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 - 100) ........................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 - 100) ................................ Power plant repair (12/77 - 100) ......................................... Other private transportation ....................................................... Other private transportation commodities ................................. Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 = 100) ............. Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 - 100).................... Tires .................................................................. Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) .................... Other private transportation services........................................ Automobile insurance .................................................... Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) ......................... Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) ... State registration ................................................... Drivers’ licenses (12/77 = 100) ................................. Vehicle inspection (12/77 - 100) ............................... Other vehicle-related fees (12/77 = 100) ..................... 192.2 252.9 414.4 291.9 142.3 197.4 280.5 406.0 305.5 151.5 195.5 279.7 399.1 307.7 153.7 194.4 280.9 383.9 310.2 154.5 196.0 285.1 366.7 311.9 155.0 197.5 291.4 370.4 313.6 155.7 198.1 298.2 392.3 316.0 156.3 192.5 252.9 415.6 292.6 142.2 197.3 280.5 407.5 306.2 149.8 195.3 279.7 400.6 308.4 152.1 194.2 280.9 385.4 311.1 152.7 195.9 285.2 367.9 312.8 153.3 197.3 291.4 371.7 314.4 154.0 197.9 298.2 393.8 316.8 154.7 138.9 137.1 139.2 241.0 208.5 144.5 133.4 186.1 130.2 252.0 257.4 178.5 117.8 148.0 105.8 125.7 136.3 145.7 142.0 146.2 253.3 215.5 148.2 138.1 192.8 134.3 265.8 266.8 190.9 127.6 166.9 117.3 129.2 142.5 146.5 142.7 147.3 253.4 214.8 149.3 137.4 191.3 134.6 266.1 268.1 188.9 128.9 167.1 121.7 129.3 144.8 148.7 143.9 148.0 254.5 215.6 150.2 137.9 191.7 135.7 267.2 269.8 188.9 129.7 168.5 122.9 129.3 145.3 149.5 144.5 149.1 255.1 214.9 150.7 137.2 190.1 136.2 268.2 270.4 187.2 133.3 174.2 123.0 129.0 149.5 150.8 145.0 150.1 255.7 216.9 149.9 138.8 192.3 138.0 268.4 271.6 186.3 133.3 174.2 127.7 126.7 149.2 151.6 146.8 150.8 258.7 217.5 150.7 139.2 192.8 138.3 272.2 274.0 192.0 133.3 174.3 127.7 126.7 149.3 141.7 136.9 138.3 243.9 211.1 142.7 135.5 189.9 130.7 255.0 256.9 177.2 118.2 148.1 105.6 126.5 142.6 149.5 141.5 145.7 256.9 218.0 146.9 140.0 196.5 134.5 269.7 266.6 190.3 128.4 166.2 117.1 130.5 150.4 150.2 142.3 146.8 256.8 217.3 147.8 139.4 195.1 134.9 269.8 268.0 188.3 129.5 166.5 121.7 130.6 152.4 152.8 143.4 147.5 257.8 218.2 148.7 139.9 195.5 135.9 270.8 269.6 188.2 130.1 167.8 123.0 130.6 152.5 153.7 144.0 148.6 258.2 217.3 149.2 139.2 193.7 136.6 271.6 270.2 186.7 133.7 173.8 123.0 130.4 156.4 154.9 144.4 149.6 258.8 219.4 148.4 140.9 196.0 138.4 271.8 271.3 185.9 133.7 173.8 127.9 128.3 156.2 155.7 146.2 150.3 261.8 220.0 149.0 141.2 196.4 138.6 275.5 273.5 191.2 133.8 173.9 127.9 128.3 156.3 APPAREL AND UPKEEP - Continued Apparel commodities Continued Public......................................................................................... 303.9 334.9 336.8 336.7 339.3 342.1 345.6 293.6 329.4 331.0 331.0 333.3 335.1 337.9 Airline fare............................................................................. Intercity bus fare .................................................................... Intracity mass transit ............................................................... Taxi fare .............................................................................. Intercity train fare.................................................................... 360.7 337.6 253.5 281.7 304.1 375.5 367.3 305.9 296.3 318.1 379.3 365.7 306.7 296.7 314.0 379.0 365.6 306.6 297.2 314.1 382.7 367.0 308.1 297.6 332.1 388.9 366.0 308.3 297.6 337.9 396.0 363.7 309.2 298.0 338.2 359.3 366.8 251.5 289.2 304.6 372.7 368.9 305.1 305.6 317.9 376.3 367.4 305.8 306.1 314.5 376.3 367.0 305.7 306.6 314.5 379.8 368.7 307.2 307.3 332.1 385.2 367.5 307.1 307.2 337.9 392.4 365.4 307.9 307.6 338.2 MEDICAL CARE .......................................................................... 291.5 313.4 316.2 318.8 321.7 323.8 326.4 292.9 312.0 314.9 317.4 320.2 322.3 324.8 Medical care commodities............................................................ 186.3 195.9 197.7 200.0 202.4 204.1 205.6 187.3 196.4 198.3 200.6 203.0 204.8 206.3 Prescription drugs ................................................................... Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100).......................................... Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 100)................................ Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 - 100)................................. Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription medical supplies (12/77 - 100) ........................... Pain and symptom' control drugs (12/77 = 100) ......................... Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 - 100)........................................ 172.3 132.2 137.3 125.5 181.9 138.2 145.4 132.2 183.7 138.4 146.8 134.0 186.1 139.3 148.6 135.7 188.8 140.9 152.0 136.7 190.4 142.5 153.8 137.0 191.8 143.3 154.9 138.4 173.5 134.3 136.5 126.8 182.8 140.1 144.9 132.1 184.7 140.4 146.5 134.0 187.0 141.1 148.3 135.6 189.7 142.5 151.8 136.6 191.4 144.1 153.8 136.8 192.7 145.1 154.7 138.2 157.2 137.7 165.6 147.3 168.4 148.8 170.8 150.8 173.3 153.1 175.4 153.7 177.2 154.6 158.1 138.9 166.9 148.7 169.7 150.3 172.0 152.3 174.6 154.6 176.9 155.2 178.6 156.0 131.1 138.8 139.9 142.7 144.7 145.9 146.3 132.0 138.8 139.9 142.7 144.8 146.0 146.4 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 = 100) ................. Eyeglasses (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ........................... Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 - 100)....... 133.5 125.3 211.5 128.6 139.9 128.3 222.8 135.9 141.1 128.9 225.1 137.1 142.5 129.5 228.1 138.1 143.9 130.1 231.1 138.9 145.1 130.9 233.4 139.5 146.3 131.6 235.2 141.1 134.4 124.7 212.6 130.7 140.4 127.1 223.9 136.6 141.6 127.6 226.4 137.7 143.2 128.1 229.6 138.8 144.6 128.7 232.5 139.7 145.9 129.7 235.0 140.4 147.1 130.4 236.8 142.0 Medical care services ................................................................. 314.4 339.4 342.4 345.1 348.0 350.2 353.0 315.8 337.5 340.6 343.0 345.8 348.0 350.7 Professional services ............................................................... Physicians’ services............................................................ Denta services................................................................. Other professional services (12/77 - 100)................................ 275.8 297.5 260.2 134.2 292.0 315.5 275.8 140.3 294.2 318.8 276.8 141.5 295.8 320.3 278.6 142.4 297.8 322.2 281.1 142.5 299.2 324.0 282.1 143.4 301.2 326.4 283.9 143.8 279.4 302.4 264.0 132.6 292.2 318.6 274.1 137.2 294.3 321.7 274.9 138.5 295.9 323.2 276.6 139.4 297.9 325.2 279.2 139.4 299.3 327.0 280.3 140.2 301.3 329.4 282.1 140.7 Other medical care services....................................................... Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100)...................... Hospital room.............................................................. Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 100).......... 361.1 149.6 470.4 148.7 396.8 165.6 529.4 162.2 400.8 167.1 533.8 163.8 404.7 168.5 538.5 165.2 408.7 169.8 542.2 166.4 411.9 170.6 543.8 167.6 415.7 171.6 546.8 168.5 360.3 148.6 467.1 147.6 393.8 164.0 522.0 161.2 398.0 165.7 527.0 163.0 401.6 166.9 531.0 164.2 405.4 168.3 535.2 165.5 408.5 169.1 536.7 166.6 412.1 170.0 539.4 167.5 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued -Consum er Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 1982 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June ENTERTAINMENT...................... 220.8 229.2 231.2 232.8 233.9 234.4 235.6 218.3 226.1 228.1 229.5 230.5 231.1 232.3 Entertainment commodities....................... 225.4 232.0 234.3 236.6 238.0 238.8 239.6 220.8 226.7 228.9 230.8 232.0 232.8 233.8 Reading materials (12/77 = 100)............... Newspapers ..................................... Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100)........ 136.2 264.9 137.9 142.9 270.5 149.0 144.1 273.1 149.9 146.1 276.4 152.4 146.8 280.1 151.6 148.5 281.6 154.4 149.4 283.9 155.0 136.1 264.8 138.2 142.1 270.1 148.8 143.3 272.8 149.7 145.3 276.0 152.2 146.1 279.7 151.4 147.7 281.2 154.2 148.6 283.4 154.8 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100)...................... Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) ............. Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100).......... Bicycles ...................................... Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100) ............ 126.8 128.7 116.9 191.0 122.7 129.5 (') 120.1 194.8 125.3 131.5 133.9 119.6 197.3 127.0 132.3 135.4 119.9 197.6 125.6 132.9 136.1 120.4 198.9 126.3 132.8 135.4 121.0 199.4 127.6 132.7 135.7 119.6 197.6 127.9 120.4 118.4 116.9 192.0 122.2 122.4 (’ ) 118.2 196.2 125.2 123.9 121.9 117.7 198.9 127.4 124.3 122.5 118.1 198.9 126.0 124.7 122.8 118.6 200.2 126.5 124.9 122.6 119.2 200.7 127.9 125.3 123.9 117.1 198.8 128.3 Toys, hobbles, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100)............ Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) ...... Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100). .. Pet supplies and expenses (12/77 = 100) ................ 129.3 127.9 126.2 134.2 132.2 130.8 125.2 139.7 133.2 131.7 126.9 140.6 134.5 133.4 128.3 140.8 135.4 134.1 129.8 141.9 135.5 134.8 130.0 141.0 136.1 135.9 130.3 140.6 128.1 125.3 126.5 134.3 131.2 127.7 126.3 140.5 132.3 128.6 127.9 141.6 133.5 130.2 129.5 141.7 134.3 130.7 131.0 142.7 134.4 131.4 131.2 141.8 134.9 132.4 131.5 141.5 Entertainment services ............................. 214.7 225.5 227.1 227.8 228.5 228.7 230.5 215.1 226.1 227.8 228.4 229.2 229.2 230.9 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100)......................... Admissions (12/77 = 100).............................. Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100)............... 131.3 124.9 122.2 139.6 131.2 124.2 140.9 131.6 125.0 141.9 131.2 125.1 142.0 132.2 125.2 141.6 133.0 125.7 142.5 133.5 127.9 131.4 124.8 123.4 141.2 130.1 124.7 142.5 130.6 125.9 143.5 130.3 125.9 143.7 131.2 125.9 142.9 132.1 126.4 143.8 132.6 128.7 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES....................... 233.4 248.4 250.3 252.2 253.8 255.0 255.8 231.4 245.0 247.1 249.3 250.9 252.4 253.1 Tobacco products .................................... 219.1 227.1 230.7 234.1 235.1 237.4 237.8 218.4 226.2 229.8 233.2 234.0 236.6 237.0 Cigarettes........................................... Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100) 221.4 132.3 230.0 134.7 233.6 136.8 237.3 138.1 238.0 139.9 240.4 141.0 2407 141.8 220.8 132.7 229.1 135.0 232.7 136.9 236.3 138.2 236.9 140.1 239.6 141.1 239.9 142.0 Personal care ........................... 232.1 240.9 242.3 243.7 245.9 246.5 247.8 229.7 238.8 240.4 241.8 244.1 244.7 246.0 Toilet goods and personal care appliances........................... Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 = 100) ... . Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 100) Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100) ........ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 228.6 132.8 139.4 236.4 137.2 144.0 238.5 138.4 145.6 240.6 140.8 148.0 243.8 142.9 149.0 244.5 142.1 150.1 246.3 143.2 150.5 227.2 130.4 136.6 236.9 136.4 142.6 239.2 137.8 144.2 241.5 140.0 146.6 244.7 142.3 147.6 245.4 141.7 148.6 247.0 142.6 148.9 129.0 132.0 134.1 135.9 135.0 137.0 135.1 137.4 136.5 140.3 137.6 140.5 139.6 140.8 128.0 135.4 134.5 138.9 135.8 140.2 136.1 140.7 137.5 143.5 138.5 144.0 140.1 144.4 Personal care services............................ Beauty parlor services for women............................ Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) 236.0 237.7 131.9 245.7 246.9 138.0 246.5 247.7 138.4 247.3 248.9 138.4 248.7 250.7 138.8 249.2 251.3 138.9 250.1 252.3 139.4 232.5 232.7 131.3 241.0 240.5 136.8 241.8 241.3 137.2 242.6 242.5 137.2 244.0 244.3 137.6 244.4 245.0 137.7 245.4 245.9 138.2 Personal and educational expenses ........................... 257.8 288.1 289.2 290.4 291.9 292.8 293.3 258.5 288.9 290.2 291.7 293.5 294.6 295.2 Schoolbooks and supplies .............................. Personal and educational services........................... Tuition and other school fees ......................... College tuition (12/77 = 100) .................... Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) ............ Personal expenses (12/77 = 100).................. 230.9 264.2 132.9 132.4 134.4 146.3 260.7 294.8 150.5 149.9 152.1 154.3 262.9 295.8 150.6 150.1 152.2 156.1 263.3 297.1 151.1 150.7 152.2 157.4 263.8 298.7 151.4 151.0 152.2 160.9 264.2 299.8 151.4 151.0 152.2 163.6 264.6 300.3 151.5 151.2 152.2 164.5 234.7 264.6 133.1 132.4 134.4 144.8 264.8 295.2 150.7 149.6 152.8 153.7 267.1 296.3 150.9 149.8 152.9 155.3 267.5 298.0 151.7 150.9 152.9 156.7 268.0 300.0 152.0 151.3 152.9 160.5 268.4 301.4 152.0 151.3 152.9 163.6 268.8 302.0 152.1 151.4 152.9 164.6 408.4 393.4 278.5 328.6 400.5 423.9 297.7 343.0 393.9 424.8 299.1 344.0 379.3 420.9 302.7 344.0 362.6 426.3 305.1 347.5 366.1 431.5 310.8 349.8 387.3 436.5 316.4 351.2 409.5 393.1 276.7 325.1 401.8 422.8 296.4 343.3 395.3 423.5 297.7 344.2 380.6 419.9 301.5 344.0 3637 425.9 304.0 348.2 367.2 430.9 309.6 350.4 388.6 436.0 315.5 351.8 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products.......... Insurance and finance ................................... Utilities and public transportation............................ Housekeeping and home maintenance services .......... 1Not available. 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group Size class B (385,000-1.250 million) Apr. 1982 1982 1982 Feb. June Feb. Apr. Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000-385,000) June Feb. 1982 Apr. June Feb. Apr. June Northeast ' •;. EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All Items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................... 144.2 143.3 146.0 117.0 156.5 145.1 133.3 136.9 143.6 143.7 144.5 119.1 153.7 146.4 135.5 139.0 147.7 145.9 151.6 118.6 157.2 147.5 136.5 139.8 150.7 142.7 155.7 120.5 164.2 147.0 132.4 140.6 150.0 142.2 155.3 122.5 160.0 148.9 136.2 141.1 155.5 144.1 165.2 122.8 164.6 150.2 137.5 142.1 158.1 145.7 172.5 123.1 161.6 148.7 136.1 142.9 158.6 147.4 173.3 127.4 158.6 150.4 135.8 145.3 163.5 148.8 182.1 128.3 162.2 152.7 136.4 146.7 151.4 140.4 159.5 119.9 161.7 144.8 137.6 140.6 151.9 140.4 160.5 125.1 158.1 151.5 139.0 142.9 156.9 142.9 169.3 123.4 161.2 155.4 141.1 144.0 142.1 141.4 146.9 140.8 139.0 147.4 144.6 143.8 151.8 147.9 150.5 155.1 146.6 148.7 155.4 151.5 155.1 161.9 150.1 152.2 171.0 149.6 150.6 173.4 153.8 156.2 179.1 147.6 151.0 157.3 146.5 149.4 160.4 150.6 154.3 166.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... North Central region EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................... 153.6 141.6 164.9 112.7 161.1 148.4 137.1 138.8 155.2 141.9 168.8 114.8 158.7 150.9 137.0 140.3 159.6 144.1 175.1 114.0 165.1 153.0 137.1 141.4 151.9 140.8 159.9 121.1 159.7 150.8 126.4 145.1 155.1 141.7 167.2 122.7 156.9 152.8 130.3 146.5 155.3 142.8 163.3 123.0 163.2 155.2 129.5 152.5 149.1 143.1 152.7 121.8 161.0 150.3 136.1 137.3 151.2 143.1 157.2 125.8 158.4 153.8 138.1 139.0 155.2 145.0 162.1 124.7 165.7 155.6 139.2 141.2 151.0 144.7 155.5 119.5 160.3 154.5 132.5 144.6 153.3 146.2 160.7 123.5 157.2 157.0 130.9 146.4 156.4 148.7 164.0 120.5 163.1 158.3 131.5 148.3 145.2 146.9 166.1 145.4 147.0 169.8 149.4 151.9 174.8 145.4 147.3 162.6 146.4 148.3 169.3 148.5 150.9 166.2 143.5 143.6 158.4 144.3 144.8 162.4 148.8 150.5 165.6 142.1 141.0 165.0 143.7 142.6 168.7 147.9 147.6 169.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................... 152.6 144.2 160.2 122.6 161.5 145.9 129.3 141.2 152.9 145.0 161.1 125.6 157.5 149.5 130.1 142.8 156.3 146.7 165.2 124.9 163.4 152.8 132.0 144.1 157.2 144.8 168.3 121.1 162.8 150.5 140.0 140.7 155.7 144.9 165.2 124.3 159.7 152.3 141.2 142.4 158.4 146.9 167.2 123.6 167.0 154.5 143.1 143.3 154.0 144.1 162.7 117.0 160.7 155.4 140.4 142.0 152.3 144.0 159.1 120.2 157.1 160.1 141.1 143.7 157.6 146.0 167.0 118.6 165.1 162.5 142.7 144.5 152.3 146.1 158.8 105.7 159.9 162.5 140.4 147.9 153.5 145.9 161.5 111.1 155.8 165.1 145.7 150.2 156.5 147.7 164.6 109.4 163.3 166.6 145.2 150.4 146.8 148.0 160.7 146.3 146.9 162.1 149.1 150.1 166.5 148.4 149.9 170.4 147.6 148.8 167.8 150.9 152.6 169.8 146.0 146.8 166.3 144.3 144.5 164.5 149.2 150.6 170.6 145.0 144.6 163.3 146.0 146.0 164.8 149.7 150.5 166.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................... 157.9 143.9 167.2 121.7 164.2 157.8 135.1 144.5 158.5 ' 144.5 168.1 120.6 162.9 160.7 137.7 147.5 160.8 146.4 170.1 120.0 167.7 164.4 138.5 147.0 157.1 147.9 164.9 126.4 163.6 153.7 135.5 145.3 157.0 147.6 164.8 126.6 161.7 156.0 136.8 148.9 158.6 148.9 165.6 125.2 165.9 159.5 139.4 149.1 150.2 143.4 154.4 118.8 160.9 154.8 130.4 137.1 151.1 143.5 156.3 119.7 158.3 157.3 133.9 139.5 149.7 145.1 150.3 122.3 163.5 159.6 134.2 139.9 153.3 148.1 153.9 131.9 164.5 157.9 147.8 147.6 157.9 148.5 163.5 140.4 160.5 162.4 148.9 149.8 159.9 149.9 165.5 140.5 162.8 166.2 150.6 153.3 146.0 146.9 173.7 145.5 145.9 175.9 147.8 148.4 178.1 148.4 148.6 169.1 148.1 148.3 169.3 149.5 149.7 171.1 145.2 145.9 157.3 146.4 147.5 157.9 147.5 148.5 152.8 147.5 147.3 161.8 148.9 149.1 171.2 151.3 152.0 172.5 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities ..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers Area1 U.S. city average2 ..................................... Anchorage, Alaska (10/67=100) ................................. Atlanta, Ga.................................. Baltimore, Md............................... Boston, Mass.............................................. Buffalo, N.Y........................................... 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 271.3 282.5 283.4 283.1 284.3 287.1 290.6 271.4 282.1 282.9 282.5 283.7 286.5 290.1 291.1 268.8 253.0 269.2 260.0 279.8 282.1 274.0 257.2 269.1 Detroit, Mich.............................................. Honolulu, Hawaii ..................................... Houston, Tex...................................... Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas ................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif.......................... 280.5 252.8 292.9 270.5 267.9 281.9 269.8 274.9 305.4 285.8 265.4 271.3 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif............................. Seattle-Everett, Wash......................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va............................................. 274.0 268.5 272.5 275.7 306.0 269.0 275.5 278.6 278.2 286.6 267.4 267.2 274.7 295.8 285.9 287.1 291.8 267.9 297.8 304.8 283.8 284.0 289.1 269.5 313.9 281.6 290.1 275.9 253.8 289.4 269.1 271.7 301.7 268.2 275.1 275.3 270.9 270.2 275.1 258.0 275.9 288.4 275.4 289.8 156.4 295.3 304.1 276.7 276.6 257.9 279.7 285.1 265.6 273.0 282.1 285.7 329.2 267.5 274.5 275.1 304.6 274.3 305.3 267.8 275.1 280.0 Area is used for New York and Chicago. 2Average of 85 cities. 264.1 287.0 291.2 285.7 292.7 275.1 290.4 265.9 268.4 274.3 297.0 300.5 282.7 290.6 286.0 269.5 310.9 280.1 293.9 157.0 296.0 301.2 266.5 274.5 276.7 269.4 272.1 274.7 303.8 275.3 279.1 285.9 279.7 284.5 323.3 297.8 289.6 283.8 291.5 319.5 280.3 264.7 302.1 272.1 290.5 283.9 279.3 313.9 294.9 291.9 281.8 280.0 156.4 292.5 285.5 277.1 317.4 301.2 278.4 276.5 287.2 315.0 274.8 263.2 300.3 274.1 289.4 282.9 283.7 272.0 256.4 285.0 289.8 277.8 258.0 282.9 282.2 269.8 310.5 155.7 292.9 298.8 293.4 278.8 256.1 313.4 283.7 263.8 304.9 274.0 286.8 286.7 280.7 319.0 'The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated 76 287.7 288.7 254.5 282.7 282.3 273.4 265.8 286.5 297.2 155.1 289.3 288.4 278.4 323.1 295.9 278.0 280.2 309.2 277.8 262.2 304.1 276.0 285.6 155.2 291.3 376.1 258.6 276.4 284.9 248.6 283.6 272.5 258.3 285.9 293.6 280.8 263.8 280.2 259.9 275.4 285.7 285.3 286.0 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J............................................ Pittsburgh, Pa......................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash......................................... St. Louis, Mo.-lll........................................ San Diego, Calif........................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1982 June Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind..................................... Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.................................. Cleveland, Ohio................................... Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex........................................... Denver-Boulder, Colo............................................. Miami, Fla. (11/77= 100) ....................... Milwaukee, Wis.............................. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis...................................... New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J......................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).......................................... Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 1982 303.4 297.1 283.3 21. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Annual average 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July Finished goods......................................................... '269.8 271.8 271.5 271.5 274.3 274.7 275.4 277.9 277.9 '277.3 276.9 277.7 279.9 281.7 Finished consumer goods...................................... Finished consumer foods..................................... Crude......................................................... Processed .................................................. Nondurable goods less foods .............................. Durable goods ................................................ Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy .... Capital equipment ............................................... '271.3 '253.6 '263.8 250.6 '319.6 '218.6 '208.8 264.3 273.5 257.6 262.7 255.0 322.5 218.1 209.5 265.4 273.0 256.3 256.9 254.2 322.1 218.3 210.4 265.8 273.1 256.2 253.5 254.4 324.2 215.8 211.8 265.3 275.1 254.0 253.8 252.0 324.3 224.5 212.6 271.5 275.2 252.7 260.0 249.9 325.4 224.7 213.6 273.0 275.8 252.9 273.9 249.0 326.3 225.4 213.9 274.1 278.3 256.4 280.6 252.1 329.3 226.2 217.4 276.2 278.6 258.2 282.5 254.0 330.3 224.0 219.6 275.0 '277.7 257.1 '263.3 '254.5 '328.8 '223.9 '220.5 '275.8 276.9 259.8 266.1 257.1 324.9 223.8 221.4 277.1 277.6 262.3 259.4 260.4 324.1 224.7 222.9 278.3 280.0 263.4 254.3 262.0 328.1 226.2 222.9 279.6 282.0 260.7 240.6 260.4 334.7 227.0 223.3 280.9 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components............... 306.0 308.5 310.1 309.7 309.4 309.0 309.4 311.0 311.1 '310.6 310.1 309.8 310.0 311.4 Materials and components for manufacturing............... Materials for food manufacturing ........................... Materials for nondurable manufacturing .................. Materials for durable manufacturing....................... Components for manufacturing ............................ '2861 '260.4 '285.8 '312.1 '259.3 287.9 260.5 289.2 314.4 259.5 289.8 261.0 291.0 316.0 261.8 290.2 254.6 291.2 317.1 263.8 290.2 250.9 290.9 316.7 265.1 289.5 246.8 289.4 314.9 266.9 289.3 245.6 288.8 314.0 267.8 290.4 250.7 289.0 313.6 269.8 290.9 252.8 289.3 313.1 270.9 '290.4 252.0 '288.8 '310.9 '271.8 290.9 254.3 288.1 311.2 272.9 291.5 260.0 288.1 310.6 273.8 290.0 260.9 285.8 307.3 273.9 289.6 260.0 283.6 308.2 274.2 Commodity grouping 1981 1982 FINISHED GOODS INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS Materials and components for construction ................. '287.6 290.4 290.7 290.0 290.1 290.2 291.1 292.0 293.0 293.3 293.8 293.4 294.2 294.0 Processed fuels and lubricants ............................... Manufacturing industries .................................... Nonmanufacturing industries ............................... '595.4 '498.6 '680.8 602.0 500.3 692.0 607.8 508.3 695.6 601.4 500.5 690.5 596.9 497.5 684.7 595.1 496.4 682.2 598.1 499.0 685.6 604.4 505.9 691.3 596.8 497.8 684.2 '593.0 '496.1 '678.3 579.8 487.6 660.9 569.9 482.3 646.7 581.2 492.0 659.3 601.6 508.4 683.4 Containers........................................................ '276.1 278.8 280.3 280.6 280.9 280.6 280.2 282.5 285.5 '286.3 287.4 287.1 286.7 286.4 Supplies .......................................................... Manufacturing industries ..................................... Nonmanufacturing industries ................................ Feeds ......................................................... Other supplies............................................... '263.8 '253.1 269.6 230.4 276.4 266.0 255.0 272.0 232.8 278.7 266.1 256.0 271.6 229.1 279.3 266.1 256.8 271.1 221.3 280.7 266.6 258.2 271.2 215.9 282.3 267.2 259.2 271.6 212.0 283.7 268.3 261.0 272.4 214.6 284.1 269.8 262.6 273.8 214.8 285.7 270.4 263.3 274.4 212.0 287.3 '270.6 '264.5 '274.1 '208.1 '287.9 272.3 265.6 276.0 212.9 289.1 273.6 267.2 277.2 214.2 290.2 273.6 267.3 277.1 213.1 290.4 273.5 267.3 277.0 211.1 290.7 '329.0 337.3 333.0 327.4 319.9 313.9 311.5 318.4 321.6 '320.0 322.8 328.1 325.7 323.4 CRUDE MATERIALS Crude materials for further processing ............................ Foodstuffs and feedstuffs ...................................... 257.4 267.2 261.8 253.4 245.7 238.3 233.7 242.6 248.3 247.9 254.3 262.3 259.8 255.5 Nonfood materials ............................................... '482.3 487.2 485.3 486.0 479.2 476.3 478.6 481.5 479.3 '475.2 470.4 470.4 467.9 470.0 Nonfood materials except fuel .............................. Manufacturing industries................................... Construction ................................................ '413.7 '429.4 '261.8 413.1 428.7 262.6 413.9 429.6 263.1 410.2 425.4 263.6 404.1 418.6 264.7 397.8 411.7 264.8 396.2 409.8 265.2 399.5 413.2 267.6 394.8 407.5 270.5 '387.1 '398.4 '273.2 379.0 389.0 275.3 376.6 386.4 274.0 370.0 378.9 273.7 369.1 378.4 270.4 Crude fuel ..................................................... Manufacturing industries................................... Nonmanufacturing industries.............................. '751.2 '864.9 '674.0 781.2 902.6 698.1 766.7 883.0 687.8 788.7 911.4 704.8 779.0 898.4 697.8 792.5 915.8 708.2 813.0 942.5 724.0 812.9 940.3 725.6 824.5 954.4 735.4 '839.7 '974.7 '746.6 853.7 992.4 757.6 866.1 1,008.2 767.4 885.2 1,033.6 781.7 903.1 1,056.0 796.0 Finished goods excluding foods..................................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods .................. Finished consumer goods less energy....................... '273.3 '276.5 233.6 274.7 277.9 235.0 274.6 277.7 235.0 274.7 277.9 234.9 279.1 281.6 237.2 280.0 282.4 237.2 280.9 283.2 237.6 283.0 285.2 240.5 282.4 284.9 241.3 '281.9 '284.0 '241.3 280.6 281.7 242.4 280.9 281.6 244.1 283.4 284.6 244.9 286.7 288.7 244.5 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds...................... Intermediate materials less energy ........................... 310.1 285.2 312.7 287.2 314.5 288.5 314.6 288.7 314.6 288.8 314.5 288.5 314.9 288.7 316.4 289.9 316.4 290.7 '316.0 '290.5 315.3 291.2 314.6 291.7 314.8 290.9 316.4 290.6 Intermediate foods and feeds ...................................... '250.3 251.1 250.2 243.5 239.3 235.2 235.2 238.8 239.4 '237.7 240.7 245.0 245.3 244.1 Crude materials less agricultural products ....................... Crude materials less energy................................... '545.6 254.0 550.6 261.8 549.1 258.0 551.4 250.4 543.4 243.2 540.7 235.8 543.5 231.6 546.1 239.1 543.9 243.4 '538.4 242.8 532.2 247.3 531.7 252.5 529.4 248.6 531.8 245.0 SPECIAL GROUPINGS 1Data for March 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r=revised, 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 22. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Code Commodity group and subgroup Annual average 1981 1982 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.’ Apr. May June July All commodities ................................................................. All commodities (1957-59 = 100)...................................... 2934 311.3 296.2 314.3 296.4 314.5 295.7 313.7 296.1 314.2 295.5 313.5 295.8 313.8 2983 316.5 298.6 '298.0 316.8 '316.2 297.9 316.1 298.6 316.8 299.4 317.7 300.6 318.9 Farm products and processed foods and feeds...................... Industrial commodities........................................................ 251.5 304.1 256.8 306.2 254.2 307.2 250.3 307.4 246.0 309.0 242.5 309.3 241.0 310.0 246.0 311.8 248.4 311.6 247.5 311.0 251.4 309.9 255.6 309.5 255.3 310.7 252.5 313.0 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 Farm products ............................................................... Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ................................. Grains....................................................................... Livestock ................................................................... Live poultry................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.................................................... Fluid milk ................................................................... Eggs......................................................................... Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds ........................................... Other farm products ..................................................... 254.9 267.3 '248.4 248.0 201.2 242.0 287.4 187.1 274.1 '273.8 263.3 265.6 257.4 266.5 215.3 251.3 284.3 185.1 290.0 250.2 257.9 258.1 242.7 262.0 210.3 232.5 285.0 180.7 284.3 263.9 251.1 252.8 227.0 257.3 196.7 206.5 287.3 193.2 267.2 268.9 243.1 248.8 227.6 244.5 185.7 211.7 294.3 193.8 230.4 263.3 237.4 254.0 226.5 231.1 175.0 198.5 288.2 209.7 221.1 273.1 234.6 280.5 213.6 225.0 171.4 188.4 286.7 195.5 218.8 280.2 242.2 289.2 225.2 236.8 186.8 198.2 287.6 187.0 2184 280.1 247.1 290.1 223.2 251.2 197.3 193.5 285.8 200.6 217.6 273.7 '244.7 '257.3 220.9 255.6 197.7 '199.5 282.5 204.0 213.7 273.0 250.6 266.7 226.0 267.6 186.2 207.4 280.3 192.1 222.8 274.2 256.1 270.7 228.2 282.9 192.7 214.1 278.8 164.3 224.3 273.9 252.7 263.8 225.7 277.5 207.2 203.1 278.9 159.3 219.3 271.8 246.5 238.4 212.8 270.3 212.5 220.8 279.0 171.7 220.0 265.5 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds................................................ Cereal and bakery products............................................. Meats, poultry, and fish .................................................. Dairy products.............................................................. Processed fruits and vegetables........................................ Sugar and confectionery ................................................ Beverages and beverage materials..................................... Fats and oils............................................................... Miscellaneous processed foods ........................................ Prepared animal feeds.................................................... 248.7 255.5 246.2 '245.6 '261.2 '275.9 '248.0 '227.4 250.1 '230.2 252.2 258.3 257.1 245.1 265.9 266.0 249.0 234.8 252.2 232.2 251.2 257.7 254.4 245.3 267.3 267.3 249.4 229.5 252.1 228.9 248.9 258.5 253.3 245.5 270.0 246.8 249.1 224.3 253.0 222.9 246.6 256.9 246.6 246.8 271.7 246.7 250.0 223.4 249.9 218.1 244.3 256.5 240.0 246.9 270.5 244.1 251.4 221.5 250.1 214.7 243.6 255.1 236.1 247.2 271.8 247.6 251.9 219.1 250.1 217.2 247.1 256.6 243.7 247.7 273.2 256.8 253.9 216.6 251.0 217.4 248.1 253.3 247.9 248.0 276.3 257.2 255.1 216.8 250.9 214.9 248.1 '253.3 '250.0 248.0 '275.9 255.0 '256.4 '213.7 '249.5 '211.4 250.8 253,8 257.1 248.4 274.5 256.4 256.6 218.6 249.5 216.1 254.4 253.9 267.1 248.5 273.4 265.8 256.7 222.2 248.0 217.4 255.8 253.3 271.1 248.7 275.4 269.5 256.5 222.0 248.6 216.4 254.8 253.6 266.1 248.8 275.9 276.1 256.7 221.4 248.0 214.6 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ............................................... Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).......................................... Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ....................... Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)............................................. Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Appare...................................................................... Textile housefurnishings.................................................. '199.7 '156.3 '138.0 '146.8 125.2 '186.0 '226.7 201.3 159.7 140.3 148.2 126.0 187.2 227.1 202.4 161.2 142.0 149.0 126.8 187.8 228.8 202.9 161.0 142.3 149.1 126.8 188.0 232.2 204.0 162.7 144.4 148.0 126.7 189.9 233.0 203.6 161.6 140.3 147.4 126.5 190.8 233.4 203.4 161.5 139.6 147.2 125.6 191.0 233.6 205.0 162.9 139.2 148.2 126.8 192.7 237.6 205.6 163.2 140.7 147.3 127.1 193.2 240.8 205.0 '161.3 '140.5 '146.6 '125.6 '193.4 '241.4 204.7 162.1 140.4 145.8 125.5 192.2 246.5 205.1 164.3 141.0 145.5 125.4 192.7 246.4 204.5 163.8 139.4 145.8 124.0 193.0 244.4 204.1 162.4 139.2 144.8 123.8 193.1 243.0 04 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .............................. -eather ...................................................................... Footwear ................................................................... Other leather and related products..................................... '260.9 '319.8 '240.9 '241.8 261.1 319.0 242.4 242.9 261.3 313.7 242.5 245.1 261.7 313.2 242.9 245.0 260.0 313.7 239.6 245.0 259.8 311.3 239.8 245.4 260.7 312.3 240.1 245.4 261.8 319.0 238.9 247.5 261.6 317.7 238.6 248.1 '260.6 '313.3 '239.8 '248.1 264.4 313.2 2437 253.2 263.4 309.5 242.5 253.2 262.7 306.7 243.8 250.5 261.3 307.4 241.7 252.0 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power ................................... Coa;......................................................................... Coke ........................................................................ Gas fuels2 ................................................................. Electric power.............................................................. Crude petroleum3 ......................................................... Petroleum products, refined4 ........................................... '694.5 '497.2 '456.4 '939.4 '367.2 '803.5 -805.9 704.9 505.5 469.7 969.4 374.6 798.9 816.3 704.3 507.0 469.7 949.3 385.8 796.8 813.4 703.5 510.2 469.7 976.6 383.8 796.8 806.1 698.1 510.8 469.7 965.6 378.4 788.2 802.3 698.1 702.5 512.7 515.2 469.7 469.7 983.0 1,003.7 378.3 384.2 785.9 787.2 798.3 798.6 705.1 525.3 469.7 987.9 392.8 787.2 801.9 697.8 529.9 469.7 987.6 392.9 770.3 789.7 '689.7 '529.6 '467.5 '990.5 '403.7 '744.8 '770.6 671.2 661.9 677.4 701.8 534.4 534.1 538.6 532.5 468.1 468.2 462.7 463.9 996.6 1,003.4 1,029.7 1,055.4 406.7 405.5 406.6 416.9 718.0 718.2 718.5 718.7 733.4 712.7 738.5 777.1 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products............................................. Industrial chemicals5 ..................................................... Prepared paint.............................................................. Paint materials ............................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ............................................. Fats and oils, inedible .................................................... Agricultural chemicals and chemical products ....................... Plastic resins and materials ............................................. Other chemicals and allied products................................... '287.6 '363.3 '249.8 '300.1 '193.5 295.6 '285.0 289.2 '254.2 291.3 370.4 250.7 304.5 195.5 290.9 288.9 295.9 254.8 293.3 371.5 250.7 308.5 195.0 305.6 293.4 297.5 257.3 293.3 371.8 250.7 308.0 197.8 285.6 292.6 296.8 257.4 292.4 367.9 250.7 308.1 198.5 277.7 293.1 299.5 256.9 292.0 363.7 254.5 308.3 198.2 282.5 295.7 293.2 259.9 291.8 362.8 256.4 305.8 198.9 280.4 2949 294.2 260.0 292.9 362.9 258.9 306.6 202.2 272.8 296.8 286.1 263.8 293.6 362.2 258.9 306.4 204.4 274.2 298.0 287.3 264.9 294.6 '361.4 '258.9 '306.8 '205.9 '290.1 '297.1 '285.5 '268.5 294.5 359.6 259.3 306.8 208.6 282.6 296.3 286.1 269.0 296.2 358.1 265.1 306.2 209.4 288.4 294.9 285.4 275.9 293.5 352.9 265.1 304.2 209.6 287.5 294.0 2819 273.0 291.6 349.7 265.1 304.3 209.9 278.2 291.5 280.6 270.7 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products ............................................... Rubber and rubber products............................................. Crude rubber .............................................................. Tires and tubes............................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products.......................................... Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .......................................... '232.6 '256.2 '281.8 '250.6 '251.4 '128.5 232.1 254.7 284.2 246.8 251.4 128.7 234.1 256.9 284.7 249.9 253.1 129.8 235.7 260.3 283.1 256.5 253.9 129.9 237.3 262.9 279.8 257.1 261.1 130.3 238.0 264.4 279.0 255.9 266.7 130.3 238.3 264.6 280.8 255.4 267.2 130.6 237.3 262.5 281.8 253.6 263.8 130.5 239.3 266.0 282.1 256.7 268.8 131.0 '240.8 '266.7 '283.5 '253.7 '274.3 '132.3 241.9 268.7 283.2 254.4 278.8 132.4 242.9 271.2 283.6 255.0 284.6 132.3 243.3 271.5 282.4 255.3 285.4 132.6 243.1 271.6 280.2 255.6 286.1 132.3 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products................................................ Lumber...................................................................... Millwork .................................................................... Plywood .................................................................... Other wood products..................................................... 292.8 '325.1 273.4 245.7 '239.1 296.5 332.4 273.6 247.8 240.7 294.5 329.9 272.3 245.6 239.8 289.3 320.2 271.4 240.8 240.5 284.3 311.7 271.3 234.3 239.9 282.1 306.6 271.8 233.5 239.3 285.4 309.9 273.7 239.7 239.4 285.5 310.0 277.1 237.4 238.2 285.2 308.1 278.6 235.1 238.7 '285.3 '308.2 '276.5 ' 236.5 '238.6 286.1 311.5 276.4 234.1 237.7 283.9 309.2 275.8 230.6 237.3 288.7 315.2 280.1 238.9 237.1 288.3 319.2 281.8 232.4 236.0 See footnotes at end of table. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22. Continued — Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Code Commodity group and subgroup Annual average 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 1981 1982 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES-Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products........................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board ... Woodpulp................................................................... Wastepaper ............................................................... Paper ........................................................................ Paperboard ................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products........................... Building paper and board................................................ r273.8 r270.8 '397.1 175.7 '279.8 '258.1 '258.8 '231.7 274.9 272.3 394.2 182.1 279 7 259.4 261.2 235.5 275.9 273.7 394.2 182.1 2821 260.6 262.4 234.2 277.8 274.8 394.2 178.5 285 9 261.6 262.8 234.2 279.2 275.7 402.3 165.1 287 8 261.7 263.2 233.3 280.4 275.8 413.7 144.5 287 4 261.6 263.1 232.1 281.0 275.6 413.7 143.4 287.2 260.0 263.2 230.3 285.5 276.1 410.3 135.2 289.2 259.7 263.9 233.8 286.3 276.8 410.3 128.8 289.8 261.4 264.7 231.4 '287.4 '276.6 '411.6 129.2 '289.6 261.1 ’ 264.5 '239.6 287.9 276.4 392.3 128.1 291.7 261.2 265.0 235.5 289.1 275.4 398.2 121.5 288.8 258.8 264.7 239.5 289.3 274.6 390.3 115.2 288.2 255.9 265.0 239.4 288.9 272.9 370.5 115.6 287 0 255.0 264.6 239.2 10 10-1 10-17 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products ................................................ Iron.and steel .............................................................. Steel mill products......................................................... Nonferrous metals......................................................... Metal containers .......................................................... Hardware................................................................... Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings..................................... Heating equipment......................................................... Fabricated structural metal products................................... Miscellaneous metal products........................................... 300.4 333.8 337.6 '285.8 '315.6 '263.2 '267.5 '224.2 '295.5 '270.5 302.0 338.8 344.9 282.8 315.2 263.8 270.9 226.4 297.9 272.0 304.1 339.9 344.9 287.3 318.7 265.3 271.2 227.9 299.3 272.9 304.9 339.8 345.3 289.4 318.8 267.8 271.6 228.5 300.0 273.7 305.3 341.3 348.7 285.4 318.2 269.5 272.9 229.0 302.6 276.1 304.2 340.0 348.6 281.1 318.1 271.5 273.1 228.8 303.2 278.0 303.3 339.9 348.9 277.1 316.8 272.0 274.0 229.9 303.0 278.3 304.7 343.1 350.6 274.4 324.3 274.1 274.6 233.4 303.4 281.2 304.2 342.9 350.3 273.6 326.2 274.8 276.4 233.1 304.0 278.7 '302.9 '342.5 350.5 '267.2 '327.2 '278.2 '279.1 '235.4 304.5 '279.0 303.8 342.6 352.2 266.1 329.7 276.2 280.3 235.8 305.0 285.3 303.4 341.2 352.1 263.5 330.1 276.7 281.0 237.3 304.8 290.0 300.1 338.3 349.9 253.7 330.2 277.9 282.5 238.6 305.2' 289.5 300.2 337.4 349.1 256.1 329.9 278.9 283.0 239.1 303.8 288.8 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 Machinery and equipment .................................................. Agricultural machinery and equipment................................. Construction machinery and equipment................................ Metalworking machinery and equipment .............................. General purpose machinery and equipment........................... Special industry machinery and equipment ........................... Electrical machinery and equipment ................................... Miscellaneous machinery................................................ '263.3 '288.3 320.8 '301.3 '288.7 '307.9 '220.2 '252.6 264.8 288.1 323.8 302.9 290.6 311.0 221.1 254.0 266.2 290.3 325.0 303.5 292.3 310.3 222.8 256.0 268.1 292.8 326.5 305.3 293.9 312.8 224.2 258.5 269.3 295.5 328.3 306.6 295.1 314.6 225.3 259.0 270.4 300.8 329.6 307.9 296.2 315.0 226.0 259.8 272.0 302.8 332.0 312.9 297.9 316.4 227.0 260.4 274.1 303.1 337.0 315.9 300.0 320.4 228.7 261.4 275.4 304.6 337.9 317.2 301.3 320.7 229.5 264.0 '276.2 '306.4 '339.2 '317.8 '302.0 '321.3 '230.3 '264.9 277.3 306.1 341.4 318.7 302.9 323.1 231.6 265.4 278.1 307.0 343.4 320.3 303.3 324.1 231.7 267.2 278.4 308.8 343.7 320.8 303.1 324.7 231.9 268.0 279.4 310.2 346.1 321.9 304.4 327.1 232.0 268.9 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ........................................ Household furniture....................................................... Commercial furniture..................................................... Floor coverings............................................................ Household appliances .................................................... Home electronic equipment ............................................. Other household durable goods ........................................ '198.5 '219.7 '257.5 '178.7 '187.3 '89.2 '281.0 199.5 220.0 258.7 182.8 188.8 87.4 282.1 199.6 220.7 259.1 181.9 189.1 87.6 280.9 201.0 222.2 261.6 181.7 190.1 87.8 285.8 201.3 222.8 262.1 180.9 190.8 88.1 285.8 202.1 225.1 263.3 182.3 190.9 88.0 285.3 202.9 226.6 263.9 181.4 191.3 89.6 286.2 203.5 227.5 266.7 180.3 193.4 89.3 283.4 204.6 227.4 271.2 180.6 195.3 89.6 283.7 '205.5 '227.6 '273.6 '180.6 '197.3 '89.1 '285.0 205.6 230.6 274.5 180.3 196.3 88.2 283.5 206.1 230.9 275.5 180.5 197.8 88.1 283.1 206.6 231.1 276.2 180.7 198.5 88.2 284.6 206.8 230.9 277.8 180.1 199.3 88.2 283.6 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products............................................... Flat glass ................................................................... Concrete ingredients ..................................................... Concrete products......................................................... Structural clay products, excluding refractories ...................... Refractories ............................................................... Asphalt roofing ............................................................ Gypsum products ......................... ............................... Glass containers .......................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals............................................... 309.5 '212.6 296.3 291.2 '249.8 '302.4 '407.5 256.2 '328.7 '463.8 314.3 218.3 297.7 293.4 250.9 307.1 421.9 259.7 335.5 476.2 314.1 218.3 298.0 293.4 250.9 307.1 420.9 255.3 335.5 475.3 313.2 218.3 298.5 292.9 255.3 307.1 401.6 252.9 335.5 474.3 313.3 218.5 298.4 293.3 256.2 307.8 402.9 252.4 335.5 473.3 313.7 218.5 298.5 293.4 256.5 308.9 410.2 251.3 335.5 473.5 313.5 216.1 298.7 293.6 257.5 311.3 405.6 249.7 335.5 474.7 315.6 216.2 306.2 295.5 257.5 316.8 401.3 250.4 335.4 474.7 319.0 216.2 308.4 295.9 257.7 335.1 400.4 255.0 352.2 478.7 '319.9 216.2 '309.8 '296.3 '257.7 '337.4 '394.4 260.7 '356.0 '479.6 320.0 216.2 309.2 297.3 260.7 339.7 385.2 262.8 357.4 478.8 319.1 216.2 310.7 297.1 258.1 A\)A 384.0 259.4 357.4 472.1 318.7 216.2 310.9 297.9 258.4 340.9 388.8 256.4 357.4 465.2 320.3 226.1 310.6 298.2 258.8 340.9 392.3 255.8 357.4 466.4 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 = 100)................................ Motor vehicles and equipment .......................................... Railroad equipment ....................................................... 235.4 '237.6 '336.1 235.0 237.4 338.1 235.9 238.4 338.7 231.8 232.8 338.7 244.5 247.8 338.7 246.3 248.9 341.3 246.8 249.5 340.1 248.6 250.8 345.8 245.2 '245.2 246.8 '246.8 345.8 '346.3 245.6 246.6 353.9 247.2 248.7 349.6 249.6 251.5 349.6 250.4 252.5 349.3 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-5 15-9 Miscellaneous products..................................................... Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition....................... Tobacco products ......................................................... Notions...................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies ................................. Mobile homes (12/74 = 100)........................................... Other miscellaneous products ......................................... ' 265.7 '211.9 268.3 '259.8 '210.0 156.8 '347.4 263.2 213.2 268.8 267.5 211.4 158.1 333.1 262.6 212.7 268.8 267.7 207.1 158.3 3346 267.0 213.6 274.5 267.8 208.7 158.7 345.5 268.5 213.0 278.2 269.7 208.9 159.1 348.5 269.5 212.7 278.2 269.7 209.0 159.3 344.8 267.6 213.3 278.2 269.7 209.1 159.3 344.6 268.3 218.4 278.2 270.3 209.9 159.5 342.2 273.5 220.1 306.6 270.4 210.5 159.6 341.1 '272.7 '220.7 '306.6 '271.5 '212.1 '161.9 '334.5 273.3 221.9 306.5 271.8 214.6 162.0 333.5 272.3 222.7 306.7 280.3 210.9 162.1 330.8 271.6 222.9 306.7 280.3 210.8 162.5 328.0 273.8 222.9 311.3 280.3 210.6 162.5 333.1 1Data for March 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. 3Includes only domestic production. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month, 5Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 23. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual Com m odity grouping All com m odities A ll f o o d s le s s fa rm p ro d u c ts 1981 1982 average ................................. ............................................................................................ P ro c e s s e d f o o d s ........................................................................... Industrial commodities less f u e l s .......................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 1 0 0 ) ............ H o s ie r y ...................................................................................... Underwear and n ig h tw e a r...................................................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and fibers and y a r n s ........................................................... Pharmaceutical p re p a ra tio n s ................................................. Lumber and wood products, excluding m illwork ............... Steel mill products, including fabricated wire products . . . Finished steel mill products, excluding fabricated wire p ro d u c ts ................................................................................. Finished steel miil products, including fabricated wire p ro d u c ts ................................................................................. 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r.1 Apr. May June July 295.7 '251.8 '252.1 263.7 '135.8 134.3 '203.4 298.0 255.2 256.0 265.0 136.8 135.8 204.7 298.7 253.7 255.0 266.1 137.2 135.3 204.7 298.5 251.7 252.8 266.4 138.1 135.5 204.7 299.5 249.1 250.0 268.7 138.2 136.5 204.7 299.4 247.4 247.6 269.0 138.4 136.5 205.7 300.0 247.6 246.5 269.4 137.9 136.7 206.3 302.0 251.6 250.5 271.1 139.3 136.9 213.9 301.9 253.2 251.9 271.5 139.7 136.9 215.6 301.4 '251.6 252.1 '271.7 139.0 137.5 '215.9 300.9 254.4 254.9 272.2 138.9 138.1 216.4 301.1 257.9 259.0 272.8 138.9 138.5 216.3 302.3 259.0 260.9 272.5 138.1 138.5 217.8 304.1 356.8 259.8 272.7 137.5 138.5 218.0 '278.4 282.3 284.0 284.4 283.8 283.2 283.1 284.3 285.1 '285.6 285.7 287.3 284.8 283.0 '186.9 '303.0 337.6 189.0 308.7 344.9 188.4 306.2 344.9 191.6 298.0 345.3 192.8 290.1 348.7 192.5 286.4 348.6 193.3 290.7 348.9 196.8 289.9 350.6 199.3 287.9 350.3 '201.1 '288.5 350.5 204.4 289.9 352.2 205.3 287.2 352.1 205.3 294.0 349.9 205,7 294.6 348.7 336.2 343.3 343.3 343.7 347.4 347.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.7 336.2 343.3 343.3 343.7 347.4 347.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.4 285.8 294.6 180.0 271.8 305.7 286.3 294.0 179.5 272.8 307.2 Special metals and metal products ..................................... Fabricated metal products .................................................... Copper and copper products ............................................... Machinery and motive p ro d u c ts ............................................ Machinery and equipment, except e le c tric a l...................... 279.4 280.0 '203.8 256.7 '288.5 280.2 281.7 202.5 257.4 290.4 281.9 283.1 206.2 258.6 291.7 280.1 283.9 205.1 257.7 293.8 286.7 286,0 201.9 264.3 295.0 286.8 287.0 198.9 265.8 296.4 286.6 287.1 195.4 266.9 298.4 287.9 289.4 194.5 268.9 300.7 286.0 289.0 194.1 268.1 302.3 285.3 '289.9 '190.8 '268.5 '303.1 285.7 292.5 190.5 269.3 304.1 286.4 294.3 191.6 270.5 305.2 Agricultural machinery, including tr a c t o r s ........................... Metalworking m a c h in e ry ......................................................... Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) Total tr a c to r s ............................................................................. Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts ............ '297.3 '329.7 '239.3 '324.7 '289 8 295.6 330.1 241.7 325.5 288.6 298.2 331.4 241.8 327.8 291.1 301.6 333.9 241.8 330.7 294.0 305.7 336.7 241.8 338.3 297.6 312.5 338.3 242.2 342.2 303.5 314.7 341.2 242.0 342.3 305.8 315.1 343.8 240.1 346.9 306.5 316.0 344.9 239.8 346.9 307.4 '318.4 346.4 '239.9 '349.1 '309.7 317.7 348.8 240.2 351.7 309.2 318.2 349.4 240.3 352.4 309.6 319.8 350.3 240.3 353.2 311.0 320.5 352.7 239.6 354.2 311.8 Farm and garden tractors less parts ................................... Agricultural machinery, excluding tractors less parts . . . . Industrial v a lv e s ........................................................................ Industrial fittin g s ........................................................................ Construction m aterials ........................................................... '300.1 '295.2 '315.9 302.1 283.0 298.0 293.9 317.5 303.0 285.7 301.4 295.8 319.8 303.0 285.5 305.5 298.7 322.7 304.3 284.4 313.0 299.9 322.4 304.1 284.6 319.6 303.5 323.4 304.1 284.1 319.7 310.9 325.3 304.1 285.2 319.7 311.6 328.6 304.1 286.6 319.7 313.2 330.2 304.1 286.9 '323.5 '314.6 '330.5 304.1 '287.5 322.3 314.3 327.7 309.1 288.1 322.9 314.7 327.9 309.1 287.9 324.3 316.5 327.2 309.1 289.1 324.2 317.7 329.2 310.2 289.0 Feb. M a r.1 Apr. May 1 Data for March 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 24. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967=100] Annual Com m odity grouping 1982 1981 average July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Total durable goods ................................................................. Total nondurable goods............................................................ 269.8 312.4 270.8 316.8 271.9 316.2 271.8 315.0 275.0 312.8 275.4 311.4 276.0 311.4 277.6 314.7 277.4 315.4 '277.4 314.2 278.1 313.5 278.4 314.5 278.4 316.0 279.1 317.7 Total manufactures................................................................... D urable.............................................................................. Nondurable ........................................................................ '286.0 269.7 303.6 288.0 270.6 306.9 288.6 271.7 306.9 288.3 271.7 306.3 289.8 275.1 305.5 289.7 275.8 304.5 289.9 276.5 304.3 291.9 278.0 306.8 292.0 277.8 307,2 '291.4 277.8 '305.9 290.9 278.7 303.9 291.3 279.1 304.1 292.4 279.4 306.2 293.9 280.1 308.6 Total raw or slightly processed goods .................................... D urable.............................................................................. Nondurable ....................................................................... 330.7 '271.2 334.0 337.9 271.2 341.8 335.8 275.9 339.1 332.7 270.4 336.3 326.4 263.7 330.0 323.3 253.4 327.4 323.6 247.8 328.2 328.9 253.8 333.4 330.6 253.7 335.2 '329.7 '250.1 '334.5 332.2 245.9 337.5 334.9 239.4 340.8 333.6 225.2 340.6 333.3 225.0 340.2 1 Data for March 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 25. June July 1981 r=revised, Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC Annual Industry description co d e 1981 1982 average 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r .1 Apr. May June July '167.6 346.0 '493.7 '898.6 '277.4 138.7 168.1 358.3 502.1 911.5 278.4 137.1 168.1 365.4 503.4 900.3 278.2 137.1 168.1 364.5 506.0 913.6 279.2 137.1 168.1 354.1 506.2 900.8 279.7 143.4 171.3 354.1 507.8 907.5 279.8 143.4 171.3 343.7 510.3 921.7 280.7 143.4 171.3 347.9 520.9 919.7 287.4 149.6 171.3 313.7 525.8 913.9 289.9 149.6 171.3 325.0 '524.9 '905.4 '293.1 149.6 171.3 327.0 527.2 894.9 292.2 151.7 177.1 308.3 529.4 902.0 294.4 151.7 177.1 307.5 529.8 915.1 295.2 151.7 177.1 306.2 533.5 925.3 295.3 151-.7 243.1 '241.4 192.0 274.8 252.6 246.0 203.6 273.8 250.9 254.0 201.2 273.7 252.7 253.9 188.8 275.0 244.1 252.2 175.5 279.2 237.0 248.9 172.8 279.5 234.1 247.0 166.7 275.0 237.6 245.6 244.4 251.0 '247.3 '248.6 253.3 253.4 264.3 265.9 265.7 273.7 258.4 272.2 (2) 275.0 ( 2) 276.4 <2) 276.8 <2) 275.3 ( 2) 274.9 (2) 274.9 ( 2) 275.0 M IN IN G 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 - 1 0 0 ) ...................................................... Mercury ores (12/75 - 1 0 0 )............................................... Bituminous coal and lignite ................................................. Crude petroleum and natural g a s ........................................ Construction sand and gravel ............................................. Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 - 100) ...................................... 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meatpacking p la n ts ............................................................... Sausages and other prepared meats .................................. Poultry dressing plants ........................................................ Creamery b u tte r................................................................... MANUFACTURING See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 80 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25. Continued — Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 Annual » 1982 1981 Industry description SIC code 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July MANUFACTURING - Continued 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 Cheese, natural and processed (12/72 = 100)............ Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) ............ Canned fruits and vegetables................................. Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100).................. Flour mills (12/71 = 100) ..................................... Rice milling....................................................... Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)....................... Raw cane sugar ................................................ Beet sugar ....................................................... Chewing gum .................................................... '215.7 211.9 248.5 177.6 '196.0 277.2 '124.5 273.5 '314.3 309.8 213.8 212.7 251.6 180.5 196.5 297.4 125.9 272.2 274.1 303.1 214.5 212.7 252.9 178.7 191.0 284.3 124.8 254.6 287.5 303.2 215.0 212.7 254.3 183.4 195.3 268.2 119.6 212.3 270.7 303.2 215.4 212.5 257.0 182.1 191.1 247.3 117.3 219.9 250.3 303.2 215.9 212.5 256.4 181.4 191.5 235.4 116.4 224.3 230.4 303.2 218.4 212.7 258.9 182.1 189.2 215.1 116.0 230.8 250.5 303.2 218.6 212.8 260.8 184.0 191.5 205.9 116.0 247.6 266.4 303.3 217.9 212.8 262.6 181.8 187.5 192.2 115.9 245.1 272.2 303.3 '216.7 210.9 '262.4 181.5 187.3 183.5 '114.6 233.0 '272.2 '303.3 216.6 214.2 261.5 181.5 192.5 177.9 115.4 242.9 272.6 303.4 217.1 214.2 262.3 178.5 188.4 183.0 116.7 269.2 280.2 303.4 217.9 214.2 264.6 178.5 189.1 180.3 115.7 286.7 280.2 303.4 218.6 213.6 265.5 180.4 185.5 177.6 115.4 311.5 290.5 303.3 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil mills............................................. Soybean oil mills................................................ Animal and marine fats and oils .............................. Malt ............................................................... Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 = 100) ............. Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) ............... Fresh or frozen packaged fish ................................ Roasted coffee (12/72 - 100)............................... Macaroni and spaghetti ........................................ Cigarettes......................................................... 199.0 245.8 '288.0 282.5 134.7 187.8 '369.1 '238.1 252.0 277.7 212.0 253.7 288.8 286.1 134.6 187.4 367.6 236.4 259.5 278.3 206.0 245.8 294.1 286.1 135.5 188.4 347.1 235.7 259.5 278.3 182.3 234.2 281.2 275.4 135.5 188.8 353.5 237.3 259.5 284.2 172.0 229.7 274.0 275.4 135.5 188.2 356.9 238.2 259.5288.4 167.2 221.2 272.3 275.4 137.9 188.3 360.8 239.2 259.5 288.4 182.4 221.9 266.6 275.4 137.9 188.5 369.5 240.4 259.5 288.4 184.9 223.1 260.4 267.1 140.1 187.2 396.8 245.1 259.5 288.4 170.5 220.4 262.6 267.1 137.9 187.0 389.2 247.7 259.5 319.7 '158.1 '216.6 271.8 267.1 140.2 187.7 '419.1 '248.8 259.5 319.7 164.6 225.0 273.3 259.1 140.2 188.2 433.8 250.7 259.5 319.7 167.9 232.0 271.5 2598 139.8 188.0 427.5 247.9 259.5 319.8 170.2 226.4 272.3 259.8 139.8 188.4 442.8 247.6 259.5 319.8 174.6 224.1 264.3 259.8 139.8 187.8 418.9 247.0 259.5 324.9 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ............................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco................................ Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 - 100) ....................... Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) .................... Women’s hosiery, except socks (12/75 - 100)............ Knit underwear mills ........................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 - 100)....................... Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 - 100) ....................... Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ............. '170.0 '320.7 '232.7 '136.7 113.5 210.2 '110.9 144.9 126.5 169.7 321.0 234.7 138.0 115.5 210.7 111.0 146.3 127.1 169.7 321.3 237.4 139.3 115.0 210.8 112.0 146.2 127.8 174.5 325.3 236.0 139.5 115.0 210.9 111.9 145.4 129.0 174.5 326.1 233.2 139.4 115.2 210.9 112.0 144.9 129.1 174.5 326.1 229.8 139.8 115.1 212.8 112.4 143.5 129.1 174.5 326.1 227.6 139.5 115.2 213.0 111.8 141.4 128.6 174.5 326.1 227.3 139.8 115.6 225.2 112.4 140.5 129.4 178.6 349.4 227.1 139.7 115.6 225.2 113.2 140.3 129.9 '178.6 349.4 '226.4 '140.0 '116.1 '225.9 '110.7 140.8 '128.5 176.8 349.4 226.1 139.2 116.3 235.6 110.1 141.6 128.1 176.6 353.6 227.7 138.9 117.0 226.0 109.7 141.4 128.2 176.6 353.6 226.0 138.0 117.0 228.7 108.2 141.3 127.2 176.6 358.3 222.0 137.5 117.0 230.8 108.6 140.2 126.7 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs........................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 = 100) ..................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) .................. Thread mills (6/76 - 100).................................... Cordage and twine (12/77 = 100).......................... Men’s and boys’ suits and coats.............................. Men’s and boys' shirts and nightwear ....................... Men's and boys' underwear................................... Men’s and boys' neckwear (12/75 = 100) ................ Men’s and boys' separate trousers........................... '154.2 '221.7 '139.3 151.4 134.8 '224.0 '209.5 230.6 114.6 '186.2 158.3 225.1 142.7 151.1 134.3 225.9 210.5 230.8 113.9 186.4 157.4 225.4 146.8 151.1 134.3 226.2 210.6 230.8 113.9 186.4 157.3 223.8 148.0 154.8 139.3 226.5 211.5 230.8 113.9 186.4 155.7 222.4 154.5 157.0 139.3 227.4 212.4 230.8 113.9 186.8 157.0 219.9 145.6 157.0 139.3 228.4 212.6 233.0 113.9 186.9 156.7 217.2 146.0 156.8 140.7 230.5 213.4 233.0 113.9 187.1 155.5 216.3 145.7 156.8 141.0 233.7 173.4 246.9 115.3 188.4 155.7 215.7 150.3 156.8 141.0 233.6 215.9 246.9 117.3 188.4 155.7 '215.4 '150.0 156.8 141.0 '233.8 '216.9 247.4 117.3 '188.4 156.1 214.6 150.9 156.7 141.0 234.3 193.1 247.4 117.3 193.0 156.4 214.9 152.6 156.6 141.0 234.6 173.6 247.4 117.3 194.9 156.9 214.0 149.3 156.5 141.0 235.3 215.7 251.2 121.3 195.0 156.1 213.7 149.0 156.5 141.0 237.2 216.0 251.2 121.3 195.6 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men's and boys' work clothing ................................ Women's and misses’ blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women's and misses' dresses (12/77 = 100)............. Women's and children’s underwear (12/72 = 100) ....... Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) ............ Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100)............ Fabric dress and work gloves................................. Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100)............... Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100)........ Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 - 100).................. '248.6 '120.6 '121.3 '169.7 '136.7 '120.9 289.3 '132.0 131.0 228.2 250.8 121.0 123.0 170.6 138.8 121.6 289.2 130.1 131.0 233.5 251.1 121.2 124.3 170.6 138.8 121.7 289.2 133.1 131.0 231.2 251.2 121.3 123.5 170.6 138.8 121.7 289.2 134.6 131.0 225.2 253.1 126.4 123.4 170.6 138.8 122.0 289.2 137.6 131.0 219.5 253.2 126.7 124.1 171.6 138.9 122.5 289.2 137.6 131.0 216.5 253.3 126.7 122.7 171.6 140.1 123.2 289.2 139.7 131.0 218.6 252.5 126.5 123.0 174.7 145.1 123.2 293.8 144.9 131.0 218.0 254.2 126.5 123.0 174.8 148.8 123.2 297.4 144.9 131.0 216.9 '254.9 '126.5 '123.1 '175.0 '148.8 '123.2 295.5 '147.2 131.0 '216.9 253.8 123.8 122,9 175.7 149.2 121.0 295.5 146.3 131.0 218.4 253.7 123.7 122.9 177.2 148.5 121.0 295.5 146.5 131.0 216.8 254.1 123.7 123.1 179.4 148.5 121.0 294.5 143.8 131.0 219.7 252.9 123.6 123.7 179.4 148.4 119.4 294.5 143.8 131.0 221.6 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100)............. Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100) .......... Wood pallets and skids (12/75 - 100)...................... Mobile homes (12/74 - 100)................................. Particleboard (12/75 = 100) ................................. Wood household furniture (12/71 = 100) .................. Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 100)............ Mattresses and bedsprings..................................... Wood office furniture ........................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100)...................................... 142.0 156.6 152.5 '156.9 '173.6 197.4 '174.0 '192.3 '254.2 '252.4 143.8 157.6 153.1 158.1 179.6 198.6 175.1 191.3 254.7 251.3 139.6 156.9 152.9 158.3 173.6 199.2 175.1 194.6 254.7 251.3 135.4 156.6 152.8 158.7 170.5 200.1 175.3 195.2 257.1 251.3 129.3 154.8 152.0 159.2 168.0 201.0 175.6 195.2 257.1 255.0 129.0 154.2 150.4 159.3 166.9 202.0 179.5 197.5 257.0 262.5 134.5 153.2 149.9 160.3 170.3 202.8 182.1 198.0 257.6 262.5 132.5 153.9 149.8 160.4 172.6 203.6 184.4 204.4 261.9 258.6 130.5 153.5 149.0 160.5 170.7 204.3 179.3 205.6 270.7 258.6 '131.8 '152.6 '148.2 162.7 '177.7 '205.1 '179.3 '205.6 '270.8 '260.7 129.2 152.9 145.8 162.9 176.8 207.0 184.6 210.1 271.9 255.8 126.0 151.5 144.6 163.1 176.7 207.3 185.1 210.3 271.9 254.8 133.3 152.9 144.2 163.4 176.9 207.6 185.1 210.3 271.9 246.5 129.6 154.5 144.1 163.4 175.4 208.1 184.1 210.1 272.0 238.5 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100)................ Paperboard mills (12/74 - 100) ............................ Sanitary paper products........................................ Sanitary food containers ...................................... Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100)......................... Plastics materials and resins (6/76 - 100)................. Synthetic rubber ................................................ Organic fiber, noncellulosic.................................... Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 - 100) ....................... '156.2 '151.7 '343.4 '244.8 163.0 '305.9 150.8 '293.3 '155.6 '142.8 157.0 151.7 344.2 246.0 163.2 306.2 155.0 297.3 159.2 143.5 157.4 152.4 344.3 252.9 163.2 310.4 155.6 299.4 160.3 143.9 158.8 153.7 344.3 253.2 163.2 316.0 156.0 299.3 160.6 142.1 159.8 153.6 344.0 253.4 167.6 317.7 156.3 301.0 164.2 142.9 159.7 153.5 344.1 253.3 167.6 317.0 153.7 301.4 162.5 144.2 159.6 152.7 344.6 253.3 170.0 324.8 154.3 302.7 161.9 142.9 162.0 152.5 344.6 254.0 176.4 329.4 150.7 303.9 161.8 142.4 162.0 153.4 344.6 256.9 176.5 335.2 152.6 306.1 162.9 142.6 '162.0 '153.0 '344.5 '260.0 176.5 '335.6 '151.0 '306.7 '161.6 142.2 161.8 153.0 345.5 261.4 176.5 322.1 151.2 306.6 161.7 142.7 160.5 151.5 344.7 261.4 176.7 338.2 151.9 307.1 161.7 141.1 160.8 150.0 347.3 261.4 176.7 338.2 150.7 303.8 161.3 139.5 160.7 149.1 346.4 261.4 176.7 324.4 150.2 301.8 160.5 136.1 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers ........................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .......................................... Explosives ....................................................... Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) ............................ Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100)................. Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75 = 100).................. Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) ....................... 254.1 '270.7 '311.9 294.4 194.3 '176.9 '215.8 249.4 275.3 315.7 299.1 197.1 182.8 213.1 260.0 273.0 319.8 297.5 196.3 182.3 215.5 259.4 272.0 316.5 295.8 196.0 174.3 220.6 259.4 273.8 318.7 294.6 196.3 174.9 221.0 258.5 273.7 316.5 293.3 196.4 178.1 220.1 259.0 270.5 315.6 293.1 196.0 176.1 221.2 261.0 274.3 314.9 293.0 197.0 174.2 222.0 263.5 276.8 317.6 289.1 198.0 173.8 222.4 '261.6 '278.4 '320.5 '281.7 '198.1 '171.2 '220.3 258.5 278.4 322.2 267.5 197.1 167.4 220.9 256.2 278.5 321.4 259.2 196.6 167.7 221.2 257.6 278.8 319.6 267.7 195.1 169.8 221.5 256.6 278.6 318.4 281.4 194.8 171.3 221.7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 25. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967= 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 1981 3021 3031 3079 3111 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 = 100) .. Reclaimed rubber (12/73 =100) ...... Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100) Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100) Men’s footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100) . Women's footwear, except athletic.................... Women's handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) . Flat glass (12/71 = 100) ................. Glass containers............... 184.4 r 194.1 r 128.9 r 150.7 r 169.3 r217.1 155.5 r 175.3 '328.6 185.0 192.9 129.2 151.3 170.7 218.9 158.4 180.0 335.4 185.4 200.3 130.2 148.5 171.4 217.8 158.4 180.0 335.4 185.3 200.3 130.3 148.3 170.9 218.2 158.4 180.0 335.4 1850 200.3 130.8 148.2 170.5 212.5 158.4 180.1 335.4 185.0 200.3 130.8 146.8 170.6 212.7 158.4 180.1 335.4 185.2 200.3 131.0 147.5 171.3 212.4 158.4 177.4 335.4 186.1 200.3 131.1 150.8 173.1 208.5 158.4 177.5 335.3 188.4 200.4 131.6 149.3 172.2 209.8 158.4 177.5 352.1 189.1 '207.2 '132.8 '147.9 '173.5 '210.3 158.4 177.5 '355.8 189.0 206.9 132.9 147.5 174.9 215.6 158.4 177.5 357.3 186.7 207.2 132.7 147.3 175.1 213.4 158.4 177.5 357.3 187.0 208.4 132.9 146.9 175.2 215.2 158.4 177.5 357.3 187.0 207.7 132.6 147.5 171.6 216.3 158.5 187.7 357.3 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic.................. Brick and structural clay tile............. Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) . Clay refractories................................... Structural clay products, n.e.c.................... Vitreous plumbing fixtures .................... Vitreous china food utensils ............................ Fine earthenware food utensils............... Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100).................. Concrete block and brick................................... r329.6 r296.5 '133.4 '310.2 '222.6 254.9 335.0 '309.1 160.1 270.4 331.6 298.9 132.1 312.3 223.9 258.7 336.6 309.6 160.7 271.2 331.6 298.9 132.1 312.3 223.9 259.6 336.6 309.6 160.7 274.0 332.0 299.9 140.4 312.5 227.5 259.0 336.8 313.8 161.8 274.2 330.3 299.9 140.4 313.9 231.7 259.0 336.8 313.8 161.8 274.3 330.3 300.5 140.4 315.2 231.7 259.3 344.7 315.0 163.7 274.2 330.3 300.5 140.4 319.9 236.6 260.1 344,7 315.0 163.7 275.1 339.6 298.9 140.4 329.6 225.6 261.1 347.7 315.1 164.3 274.9 341.5 299.4 140,4 354.4 226.0 260.6 347.7 315.1 164.3 276.4 '341.5 '299.4 '140.4 '355.6 '225.9 '260.8 347.3 '315.0 '164.2 '276.4 337.9 295.9 137.1 357.0 202.4 261.9 336.2 312.8 161.4 276.4 338.6 305.8 138.0 357.2 216.4 265.4 345.2 314.1 163.6 276.6 338.7 306.4 138.0 357.1 216.5 265.5 349,8 314.8 164.8 277.0 337,8 307.2 138.0 357.2 216.4 264.2 349.8 314.8 164.7 277.1 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete......................... Lime (12/75 = 100)................................ Gypsum products ......................... Abrasive products (12/71 = 100) .......................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100)............... Blast furnaces and steel mills ................ Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) ... . Cold finishing of steel shapes........ Steel pipes and tubes......................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 = 100)...................... 298.7 172.5 '256.9 '232.9 185.3 342.8 121.8 316.2 341.5 '299.7 300.7 173.1 261.8 235.0 189.7 350.1 121.2 325.0 348.2 298.8 300.0 173.9 258.9 235.1 189.7 350.0 121.5 325.7 350.6 299.9 299.2 173.7 252.9 237.3 189.7 350.3 121.4 326.2 350.5 302.0 2995 173.7 251.5 237.6 189.7 353.1 125.4 326.4 362.0 303.3 299.4 173.5 252.5 241.0 190.2 353.0 125.4 326.4 362.3 305.2 299.6 173.8 250.6 241.0 190.3 353.3 125.3 326.7 363.0 306.1 301.9 178.8 250.9 241.3 191.2 354.7 125.3 327.0 363.7 307.9 301.9 183.7 253.9 248.3 198.3 354.4 123.4 327.0 364.1 310.0 '302.5 '185.7 260.5 '249.8 '200.4 '354.4 120.3 327.0 '365.8 '311.5 303.3 186.6 262.2 248.9 202.4 356.1 120.3 327.6 365.8 310.4 303.9 188.1 258.8 251.2 203.2 355.9 120.3 327.8 365.8 311.4 304.7 188.4 256.2 252.1 203.9 353.6 120.4 325.6 365.7 311.6 305.4 188.1 256.5 252.0 203.8 352.9 120.4 325.2 364.0 311.3 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary zinc................................... Primary aluminum................................. Copper rolling and drawing ................................... Aluminum sheet, plate, and foil (12/75 = 100) ................ Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100)........ Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .. .. Metal cans........................................ Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100) ............... Metal sanitary ware................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) ........ '326.3 '333.1 '212.3 '175.8 180.1 159.1 '305.1 '201.4 '265.5 '146.0 335.4 334.2 209.4 177.3 181.2 157.2 305.5 204.1 269.2 146.2 353.8 334.4 212.9 177.4 181.3 157.2 306.7 204.2 269.7 146.4 355.9 333.6 214.1 178.0 181.2 157.7 306.8 204.6 270.2 146.9 337.0 333.5 212.3 179.9 181.3 163.0 307.0 204.8 270.3 147.4 337.5 332.5 209.2 180.2 181.4 166.2 306.0 205.0 271.6 149.7 315.7 332.8 207.1 180.8 181.1 166.1 304.9 206.0 271.8 149.1 308.6 324.1 204.8 181.8 180.8 166.1 310.8 211.6 271.3 150.1 311.2 320.2 203.9 181.7 180.8 166.5 314.0 214.8 272.8 144.7 '292.0 '320.8 '198.4 '181.2 180.5 '166.3 '313.6 '214.9 '275.1 '144.2 273.4 316.5 196.6 180.1 179.9 162.9 319.6 214.9 275.8 152.7 259.9 3138 197.5 178.7 180.2 163.0 320.4 220.8 275.7 153.0 259.7 308.4 189.8 178.0 180.1 165.4 319.3 220.9 276.0 153.0 266.4 305.7 189.2 178.2 179.5 164.7 318.6 221.0 276.1 153.0 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) .... Steel springs, except wire........................... Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 = 100)................. Fabricated pipe and fittings .................. Internal combustion engines, n.e.c............................. Construction machinery (12/76 = 100) ... . Mining machinery (12/72 = 100).................... Oilfield machinery and equipment........................... Elevators and moving stairways.............................. Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100)__ '159.0 '245.9 '248.9 '361.3 '311.9 '156.8 '282.5 '395.8 '253.9 '306.9 157.8 243.7 250.0 364.6 312.0 159.0 282.7 401.3 252.1 307.6 159.9 248.9 251.0 370.0 314.2 159.5 285.3 406.5 252.8 309.5 159.9 252.4 252.7 375.1 322.1 160.1 286.9 411.3 254.6 312.0 159.9 253.9 252.9 377.7 323.2 161.0 288.5 415.6 257.0 311.7 159.9 254.1 253.5 378.6 326.4 161.6 290.8 418.2 260.7 312.3 163.9 256.1 255.7 379.3 325.4 159.7 292.9 420.3 265.6 319.3 167.5 255.8 257.7 378.6 329.4 162.5 295.5 427.2 264.3 319.7 167.5 257.4 258.9 377.7 332.0 162.4 297.8 429.2 269.8 322.8 '167.5 '256.4 '259.1 '379.8 '332.6 '163.3 '300.9 '435.8 '271.6 324.5 171.9 256.0 258.6 385.5 332.6 164.1 301.4 436.2 270.8 325.5 171.9 255.3 259.2 385.4 337.0 165.2 302.7 435.8 271.6 325.6 175.9 255.2 259.0 385.4 337.7 165.3 303.5 437.8 273.5 326.5 175.9 253.1 260.1 383.8 339.6 166.5 304.0 438.4 275.5 333.6 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 100)............. Textile machinery (12/69 = 100)............... Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100) .... Scales and balances, excluding laboratory ........ Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100)...... Transformers......................... Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100)................. Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100)... Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) .. Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100) ... '147.3 '243.5 '225.0 226.2 '178.0 '209.9 '227.5 '141.2 '132.8 '174.3 148.2 246.2 224.0 226.6 180.8 210.7 228.3 140.5 135.5 174.1 148.4 245.4 225.4 226.6 181.3 212.8 229.6 141.5 135.5 174.6 148.6 248.2 228.9 226.1 182.1 214.5 231.6 141.6 136.4 177.2 149.5 248.0 228.9 226.2 185.4 217.3 232.5 141.6 137.8 177.0 149.5 247.9 229.1 226.3 187.2 222.0 233.2 141.9 137.9 178.4 150.0 249.9 229.1 226.5 187.3 222.0 235.8 142.6 137.9 178.8 153.3 252.3 233.7 228.3 185.3 220.5 236.8 146.0 140.1 180.1 153.2 253.5 232.9 228.8 189.6 222.2 236.9 146.8 141.1 180.5 '153.9 '255.0 '233.4 229.8 '190.4 222.4 '232.3 '147.2 '142.3 186.2 154.0 256.2 235.0 229.6 192.6 223.2 232.9 146.2 142.5 186.9 156.1 256.5 234.7 229.5 195.2 224.7 232.9 146.8 143.2 188.6 156.4 258.1 234.4 230.6 195.7 224.8 233.1 146.9 144.3 189.0 157.4 259.8 230.0 231.9 196.6 224.7 236.9 148.2 145.5 189.1 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners .................. Sewing machines (12/75 = 100)...... Electric lamps..................... Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100) Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 = 100) __ Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .................. Electron tubes receiving type............... Semiconductors and related devices . . Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) ... Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100)........ '159.1 '146.8 '277.3 '249.6 '154.8 '155.9 309.7 '90.9 170.3 '141.4 158.6 153.8 275.2 253.3 154.4 153.8 327.4 89.2 171.4 142.1 158.8 153.8 280.0 253.8 155.5 161.3 327.5 89.2 178.8 142.5 158.8 153.8 283.1 258.5 157.6 161.7 327.5 91.4 172.4 142.7 161.3 156.0 285.9 258.7 158.9 162.0 327.5 91.6 171.5 142.7 161.0 156.0 284.8 262.1 159.3 162.4 327.8 92.0 168.1 143.0 160.8 156.0 281.3 262.1 159.2 163.1 342.2 91.7 166.6 142.8 165.6 156.0 282.1 257.9 159.2 162.8 374.1 90.9 167.4 143.7 165.2 155.8 286.1 259.0 161.1 167.8 374.2 90.2 169.7 144.0 '165.7 '155.8 '283.6 '258.1 '162.4 168.8 '374.4 '90.0 '168.4 '143.4 158.2 153.7 290.7 259.5 163.6 170.2 375.2 90.1 167.8 144.7 158.3 153.7 294.5 263.0 167.5 170.4 375.0 89.6 166.6 145.2 158,4 153.7 293.9 261.1 167.2 170.9 375.1 89.7 166.8 144.9 158.4 153.7 291.9 2607 166.5 171.1 3760 90.8 166.7 144.4 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100)........ Primary batteries, dry and wet........ Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100)... Dolls (12/75 = 100).............................. Games, toys, and children's vehicles ............ Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100) . . Burial caskets (6/76 = 100)............................ Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100)........ '154.9 182.2 '150.3 '131.3 '221.3 '138.5 139.5 151.8 155.0 181.6 150.3 130.9 222.0 140.4 138.3 153.3 155.8 182.7 150.1 130.9 222.0 140.6 140.6 153.6 156.5 182.7 143.4 130.9 222.2 140.6 143.4 153.7 156.8 182.7 158.6 130.9 222.2 140.2 143.4 153.7 155.8 182.7 158.7 130.9 222.6 140.2 143.4 153.7 155.8 182.7 159.1 130.9 223.9 140.3 142.7 153.7 155.9 182.0 159.8 135.5 228.4 140.3 142.7 155.1 156.2 184.3 155.0 136.6 232.5 140.3 143.8 155.2 '156.7 '190.5 '154.9 '136.6 '234.1 140.3 145.3 156.1 156.7 195.4 154.5 136.5 231.4 140.3 145.3 156.1 158.1 194.9 156.7 136.5 231.7 140.5 149.3 156.3 158 3 195.8 159.6 136.5 231.7 140.6 149.3 154.3 157.6 196.3 159.7 136.5 231.8 140.5 150.8 155.0 1Data for March 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 82 1982 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2Not available, r=revised. PRODUCTIVITY DATA P roductivity data are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions O utput is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour o f labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. C om pensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. R eal com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. U n it labor co st measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. U n it nonlabor p aym ents include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor co sts contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. U n it profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The im plicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 26. The use of the term “man hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 26 through 29, has been discontin ued. H ou rs of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. O utput per all-em p loyee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm propri etor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1982 issue of the R ev ie w , all of the productivity and cost measures contained in these tables are based on revised output and compensation measures released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis in July as part of the regular revision cycle of the National Income and Product Accounts. Measures of labor input have been revised to reflect results of the 1980 census, and seasonal factors have been recomputed for use in the preparation of quarterly measures. The word “private” will no longer be used as part of the series title of one of the two business sector measures prepared by BLS; no change has been made in the definition or content of the measures as a result of this change. A n n u a l in d e x e s o f p r o d u c t iv ity , h o u rly c o m p e n s a tio n , u n it c o s ts , a n d p r ic e s , s e le c te d y e a rs , 1950-8 1 [1977= 100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ 1Not available, r = revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1980' 1981' 1950r 1955r I960' 1965' 1970' 1974' 1975' 1976' 1977' 1978' 1979' 50.4 20.0 50.5 39.7 43.4 41.0 583 26.4 59.6 45.2 47.6 46.0 65.2 33.9 69.5 52.0 50.6 51.6 78.3 41.7 80.1 53.3 57.6 54.7 86.2 58.2 90.8 67.5 63.2 66.0 89.8 78.0 95.9 86.9 80.9 84.8 91.8 85.5 96.3 93.2 93.1 93.2 97.6 92.9 98.9 95.1 94.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 106.7 107.5 99.6 119.1 99.4 119.5 112.8 117.2 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144.1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.0 56.3 21.8 55.0 38.8 42.7 40.1 62.8 28.3 64.0 45.0 47.8 46.0 68.3 35.7 73.0 52.2 50.4 51.6 80.5 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.0 54.8 86.8 58.7 91.5 67.6 63.7 66.3 90.1 78.5 96.4 87.1 78.2 84.1 91.9 86.0 96.8 93.6 91.3 92.8 97.8 93.0 99.0 95.1 93.5 94.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 105.3 107.1 99.3 118.8 99.2 119.6 110.3 116.5 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 (’ ) (’ ) <’ > (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 66.6 36.2 74.2 54.4 54.6 54.5 80.2 43.0 82.5 53.5 60.8 56.1 85.7 58.3 90.9 68.0 63.1 66.3 91.7 77.6 95.4 84.7 75.6 81.6 94.8 85.5 96.2 90.2 90.8 90.4 97.8 92.5 98.5 94.6 95.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.0 108.6 100.8 107.5 104.2 106.4 101.2 119.2 99.5 117.8 106.9 114.1 100.8 131.6 96.8 130.5 117.7 126.1 102.7 144.4 96.2 140.6 134.8 138.6 49.4 21.5 54.0 43.4 54.3 46.6 56.4 28.8 65.1 51.0 58.5 53.2 60.0 36.7 75.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 74.5 42.8 82.3 57.5 69.3 61.0 79.1 57.6 89.8 72.7 65.0 70.5 90.8 76.3 93.8 84.1 69.3 79.8 93.4 85.4 96.2 91.5 87.3 90.3 97.5 92.3 98.3 94.6 93.7 94.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 108.3 100.6 107.4 102.5 106.0 101.5 118.9 99.2 117.1 99.9 112.0 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 97.1 120.8 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 108.8 130.8 Note : For explanation of revisions, see "Notes on the data." 83 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 27. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 1971' Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour................................ Real compensation per hour.......................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees .................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... 1972r 1973r 1974r 1975r 1976r 1977r 19 78 ' 1980' 1979' 1981' 1950-81 ' 1960-81 ' 3.6 6.6 2.2 2.9 7.6 4.4 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 -0.2 8.0 1.6 8.2 8.8 8.4 -2.6 9.4 -1.4 12.3 4.6 9.7 2.2 9.6 0.5 7.3 15.1 9.8 6.4 8.6 2.6 2.0 1.0 1.7 2.4 7.7 1.2 5.1 6.4 5.6 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 6.7 7.5 -0.9 9.7 -1.4 10.7 5.7 9.0 -0.7 10.4 -2.8 11.2 5.8 9.4 1.8 9.6 -0.7 7.7 13.3 9.5 2.4 6.2 2.3 3.6 3.4 3.5 2.1 7.2 1.7 5.0 4.6 4.9 3.3 6.6 2.2 3.2 7.4 4.5 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.9 3.2 3.0 -0.4 7.6 1.3 8.0 4.2 6.7 -2.7 9.4 -1.4 12.5 6.2 10.4 1.9 9.6 0.4 7.5 16.8 10.4 6.5 8.1 2.2 1.6 2.5 1.9 2.2 7.5 1.0 5.2 6.9 5.7 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 5.3 7.1 -1.3 9.3 -1.7 10.7 4.7 8.8 -0.9 10.2 -2.9 11.2 8.0 10.2 1.4 9.7 -0.7 8.1 13.1 9.7 2.1 5.9 2.0 3.7 3.3 3.6 1.8 7.0 1.5 5.0 4.5 4.9 4.8 6.5 2.1 1.6 7.4 3.5 3.0 5.8 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.6 7.7 1.4 4.9 1.5 3.8 -3.4 9.7 -1.1 13.6 7.1 11.4 3.4 10.1 0.9 6.5 20.1 10.9 3.2 8.2 2.3 4.9 4.6 4.8 2.3 8.1 1.6 5.7 5.3 5.6 1.0 8.6 0.8 7.5 4.2 6.4 0.2 9.8 -1.3 9.6 2.6 7.2 -0.3 10.4 -2.8 10.7 10.1 10.5 1.8 9.7 -0.6 7.8 14.6 10.0 (1) 2.0 6.9 1.4 4.8 4.0 4.5 6.1 6.1 1.8 0.0 11.2 3.1 5.0 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 5.4 7.2 0.9 1.7 -3.3 0.3 -2.4 10.6 -0.3 13.3 -1.8 9.0 2.9 11.9 2.5 8.8 25.9 13.1 4.4 8.0 2.1 3.4 7.4 4.6 2.5 8.3 1.8 5.7 6.7 6.0 0.9 8.3 0.6 7.4 2.5 6.0 0.7 9.7 -1.4 9.0 -2.6 5.7 0.2 11.8 -1.6 11.6 -2.7 7.8 2.8 10.2 -0.2 7.2 12.0 8.4 2.6 5.8 2.0 3.1 2.3 2.8 IV I ’ Not available. r=revised. 28. Annual rate of change Year Item N ote : <1 ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 2.6 6.9 1.4 4.1 3.0 3.8 For explanation of revisions, see “Notes on the data.” Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1977= 100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees.................... Compensation per hour................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor cost ..................................... Unit nonlabor costs................................ Unit profits ............................................... Implicit price deflator ................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour.......................... Unit labor cost........................................... 1Not available. r=revised. 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Annual average Quarterly indexes 1982' 1981' 1980' 1979' 1981' IV I II III IV 1 II 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144,1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.4 99.1 123.0 97.8 124.1 113.2 120.4 99.3 126.7 97.0 127.6 116.0 123.7 98.2 130.0 96.4 132.2 116.2 126.9 98.9 133.1 96.9 134.7 120.6 129.9 99.3 136.1 96.2 137.0 124.6 132.8 100.7 140.0 96.2 139.0 131.8 136.5 100.7 142.5 96.4 141.5 133.4 138.8 101.0 145.6 95.7 144.2 137.4 141.9 100.2 148.2 95.6 147.9 138.3 144.6 100.0 150.9 96.5 150.9 136.4 146.0 100.7 153.4 97.1 152.4 138.9 147.8 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 98.8 122.7 97.6 124.1 111.3 119.8 98.7 126.2 96.6 127.8 115.2 123.6 97.6 129.3 96.0 132.5 116.7 127.2 98.4 132.6 96.5 134.7 120.3 129.9 99.2 135.7 95.9 136.8 124.4 132.7 100.4 139.5 96.0 139.0 131.5 136.5 100.0 142.0 96.0 141.9 132.8 138.9 100.0 145.1 95.4 145.1 136.7 142.3 99.1 147.7 95.3 149.0 138.4 145.5 99.2 150.4 96.3 151.6 136.7 146.6 99.8 152.7 96.6 153.0 139.3 148.4 100.8 131.6 96.8 131.0 130.5 132.5 87.9 126.1 102.7 144.4 96.2 143.4 140.6 151.4 101.6 138.6 100.6 123.1 97.9 121.4 122.4 118.7 84.1 117.1 100.8 126.8 97.0 125.0 125.8 122.7 91.1 121.1 99.8 130.0 96.4 130.4 130.2 131.0 81.9 124.8 101.1 133.4 97.1 132.9 131.9 135.7 87.8 127.7 101.7 136.3 96.3 135.8 134.1 140.7 90.5 130.6 102.8 140.4 96.5 138.3 136.5 143.4 104.7 134.5 102.7 142.7 96.5 141.7 138.9 149.6 98.8 136.8 102.8 145.7 95.8 144.7 141.7 153.1 105.2 140.2 102.2 148.6 95.9 149.1 145.4 159.6 97.6 143.2 102.3 151.7 97.1 151.8 148.3 161.8 86.1 144.3 V) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) <’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ > 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 101.9 122.6 97.4 120.3 102.6 127.1 97.3 123.9 100.4 130.9 97.1 130.3 100.3 135.2 98.5 134.9 103.6 138.4 97.8 133.6 105.2 142.6 98.0 135.5 105.0 144.9 97.9 138.0 105.0 147.3 96.8 140.3 102.8 150.7 97.2 146.6 102.1 154.7 99.0 — 151.5 102.3 157.5 99.7 154.0 N ote : For explanation of revisions, see "Notes on the data." III II 1980' 29. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1977 = 100] Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........ Compensation per hour ............. Real compensation per hour.................. Unit labor costs ................................... Unit nonlabor payments ......................... Implicit price deflator ............................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............ Compensation per hour ................. Real compensation per hour............ Unit labor costs.................... Unit nonlabor payments ............... Implicit price deflator ...................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ............. Compensation per hour ......................... Real compensation per hour.................... Total unit costs ................................. Unit labor costs ........................... Unit nonlabor costs.................... Unit profits................................ Implicit price deflator ......................... Manufacturing; Output per hour of all persons ................. Compensation per hour ....................... Real compensation per hour............... Unit labor costs ............................ Not available. r=revised https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis IV 1980 to 11981r 11981 to II 1981r II 1981 to III 1981r III 1981 to IV 1981r IV 1981 to I 1982' Percent change from same quarter a year ago I 1982 to II 1982' I 1980 to I 1981' II 1980 to II 1981' III 1980 to III 1981' IV 1980 to IV 1981' 11981 to I 1982' 2.2 9.4 -1.3 7.1 13.9 9.2 0.9 8.9 -0.6 7.9 11.0 8.9 -0.7 7.8 0.3 8.6 3.5 6.9 00 7.7 0.8 7.7 4.2 6.5 II 1981 to II 1982' 5.6 11.7 0.2 5.7 25.0 11.6 0.0 7.5 0.5 7.5 4.9 6.6 1.1 9.0 -2.6 7.8 12.5 9.3 -2.9 7.4 -0.4 10.6 2.9 8.0 -1.0 7.3 3.9 8.4 -5.4 3.8 2.8 7.0 2.3 4.1 7.5 5.2 1.4 10.5 -0.7 13.7 10.4 2.5 9.7 -0.1 6.9 14.8 9.4 4.9 11.8 0.4 6.6 24.9 12.1 -1.3 7.1 0.1 8.6 4.0 7.1 -0.3 9.0 -2.6 9.3 12.1 10.2 -3.5 7.3 -0.5 11.2 5.1 9.2 0.6 7.7 4.3 7.1 -4.6 3.3 2.2 6.1 1.5 3.8 7.8 5.0 1.7 10.6 -0.6 8.8 14.1 10.4 2.5 9.8 0.0 7.1 13.8 9.2 1.6 9.4 -1.2 7.7 13.6 9.6 -0.1 8.8 -0.6 8.9 11.2 9.6 -1.1 7.8 0.3 9.0 4.0 7.4 03 7.5 0.7 7.8 4.9 69 4.7 12.4 0.9 7.5 7.4 8.0 79.5 12.3 -0.4 6.9 -0.1 10.2 7.3 18.5 -20.8 7.1 0.3 8.5 -3.0 8.6 8.2 9.8 284 10.2 -2.3 8.3 0.5 12.8 10.9 17.8 -25.9 8.9 0.5 8.6 5.2 7.4 8.1 5.7 -39.4 3.0 (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (1) (’ ) (’ ) 2.9 9.8 0.1 8.7 6.7 14.2 20.7 9.6 1.7 9.2 -1.4 8.9 7.5 12.9 19.7 9.7 0.6 9.0 -0.5 9.8 8.4 13.4 7.9 9.6 05 8.1 0.6 9.7 8.6 12.8 -17.8 7.3 o (1) (') 2.1 10.7 -0.5 10.6 8.5 16.9 14.9 11.0 6.3 12.7 1.2 6.0 -0.7 6.6 -0.4 7.3 -0.1 6.8 -4.6 6.8 -8.2 9.6 1.6 19.4 -2.6 11.1 7.6 14.1 0.9 7.6 2.9 6.7 2.6 12.2 0.8 9.3 4.5 10.7 0.9 5.9 4.7 8.9 -1.7 4.0 -0.8 8.9 -0.6 9.8 -3.0 8.5 1.0 11.8 C) 8.9 n <1) C) C) C) (’ ) 26 8.8 1.8 11.6 Note: For explanation of revisions, see "Notes on the data.” 85 WAGE AND COMPENSATION DATA Data for the Employment Cost Index are reported to the Bu reau of Labor Statistics by a sample of 2,000 private nonfarm establishments and 750 State and local government units se lected to represent total employment in those sectors. On av erage, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data on negotiated wage and benefit changes are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau, direct contact with the parties, and secondary sources. Definitions The E m ploym ent C ost In d ex (ECI) is a quarterly measure of the average change in the cost of employing labor. The rate of total com pensation, which comprises wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits, is collected for workers performing specified tasks. Employment in each occupation is held constant over time for all se ries produced in the ECI, except those by region, bargaining status, and area. As a consequence, only changes in compensation are meas ured. Industry and occupational employment data from the 1970 Cen sus of Population are used in deriving constant weights for the ECI. While holding total industry and occupational employment fixed, in the estimation of indexes by region, bargaining status, and area, the employment in those measures is allowed to vary over time in accord with changes in the sample. The rate of change (in percent) is avail able for wages and salaries, as well as for total compensation. Data are collected for the pay period including the 12th day of the survey months of March, June, September, and December. The statistics are neither annualized nor adjusted for seasonal influence. W ages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, ex cluding premium pay for overtime, work on weekends and holidays, and shift differentials. Production bonuses, incentive earnings, com missions, and cost-of-living adjustments are included; nonproduction bonuses are included with other supplemental pay items in the bene fits category; and payments-in-kind, free room and board, and tips are excluded. B e n e fits include supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings plans, and hours-related and legally required benefits. D a ta on n egotiated w age changes apply to private nonfarm industry collective bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on compensation changes apply only to those agreements cover ing 5,000 workers or more. F irs t-y e a r wage or compensation changes refer to average negotiated changes for workers covered by settle ments reached in the period and implemented within the first 12 months after the effective date of the agreement. C h a n g e s o v e r th e life 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis o f th e a g r e e m e n t refer to all adjustments specified in the contract, expressed as an average annual rate. These measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living adjustment clauses, that are triggered by movements in the Consumer Price Index. W a g e-ra te ch a n g e s are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings; c o m p e n sa tio n c h a n g e s are expressed as a percent of total wages and benefits. E ffective w age adjustm ents reflect all negotiated changes implemented in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. They include changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from contracts negotiated in an earlier period, and cost-of-living ad justments. The data also reflect contracts providing for no wage ad justment in the period. Effective adjustments and each of their components are prorated over all workers in bargaining units with at least 1,000 workers. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quar ter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee bene fits were included in 1980, to produce a measure of the percent change in employers’ cost for employees’ total compensation. State and local government units were added to the ECI coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian non farm economy. Data for the broad white-collar, blue-collar, and service worker groups, and the manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and service indus try groups are presented in the ECI. Additional occupation and in dustry detail are provided for the wages and salaries component of total compensation in the private nonfarm sector. For State and local government units, additional industry detail is shown for both total compensation and its wages and salaries component. Historical indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quarterly rates of chang es presented in the ECI are also available. For a more detailed discussion of the ECI, see chapter 25, “The Employment Cost Index,” of the BLS H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s (Bulletin 1910), and the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w articles: “Employment Cost In dex: a measure of change in the ‘price of labor,’” July 1975; “How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost Index,” Janu ary 1978; and “The Employment Cost Index: recent trends and ex pansion,” May 1982. Additional data for the ECI and other measures of wage and com pensation changes appear in C u r r e n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts , a monthly periodical of the Bureau. 30. Employment Cost Index, total compensation [June 1981 = 100] Percent change 1980 1981 1982 Series March June Sept. Dec. March — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 88.6 _ Civilian nonfarm workers’ ......................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................... Blue-collar workers...................................... Service workers ................................ Workers, by industry division Manufacturing................................. Nonmanufacturing..................................... Services........................................ Public administration2 ........................................ Private nonfarm workers......................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................ Blue-collar workers.............................. Service workers ...................................... Workers, by industry division Manufacturing................................... Nonmanufacturing......................................... 3 months ended June Sept. Dec. March 100.0 102.6 104.5 106.3 1.7 12 months ended March 1982 — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.3 102.8 104.9 104.1 104.2 106.5 105.7 107.2 1.5 1.5 2.9 — — — - — — — - — — — - 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 104.3 104.0 104.8 107.1 106.0 106.0 106.4 108.2 108.1 1.9 1.5 1.0 2.0 90.7 92.8 94.7 98.1 100.0 102.0 104.0 105.8 1.7 88.7 88.3 89.9 90.8 90.5 90.8 92.6 93.0 92.7 94.5 94.9 94.3 98.3 97.8 99.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.2 101.9 104.0 104.0 103.1 105.8 105.6 106.7 1.7 1.5 3.5 76 80 75 88.7 88.6 90.5 90.8 92.6 92.9 94.7 94.7 98.0 98.2 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.0 104.0 103.9 106.0 105.7 1.9 1.7 82 7.6 State and local government workers .................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers................................. Blue-collar workers..................................... Workers, by industry division Services............................................. Schools ........................................ Elementary and secondary................................ Hospitals and other services3 ...................... Public administration2 ................................... 'Excludes private household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. . — _ _ _ 100.0 105.3 107.4 108.8 1.3 — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.7 104.2 107.8 105.9 109.1 108.2 1.2 2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.8 106.0 106.3 105.0 104.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 107.8 106.0 109.0 108.9 109.3 109.5 108.1 1.0 .9 .9 1.6 2.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — - - includes, for example, library, social, and health services. N o t e : Dashes indicate data not available. » https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Compensation Data 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1981 =100] Percent change 1982 1981 1980 3 months ended 12 months ended March 1982 March June Sept. Dec. March June Sept. Dec. March - - - - - 100.0 102.5 104.4 106.3 1.8 - Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers............................................... Service workers .................................................. — — - — — - — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 102.4 102.5 104.7 104.0 103.6 106.7 1055 106.8 1.9 1.4 3.1 — — — Workers, by industry division Manufacturing..................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................ Services......................................................... Public administration2 ........................................ — — — — — — ~ — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.7 104.4 103.8 104.0 104.5 106.6 105.5 105.9 106.5 108.6 107.5 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 — — Civilian nonfarm workers1 ........................................... 89.6 91.5 93.5 95.4 98.0 100.0 102.0 103.8 105.9 2.0 8.1 Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Professional and technical workers......................... Managers and administrators................................ Salesworkers .................................................. Clerical workers ............................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................... Craft and kindred workers ................................... Operatives, except transport ................................ Transport equipment operatives ............................ Nonfarm laborers ............................................. Service workers .................................................. 89.7 89.2 90.6 88.5 90.3 89.3 89.3 89.4 89.1 89.6 90.8 91.4 90.8 92.0 90.7 91.9 91.6 91.4 91.5 92.2 91.8 91.9 93.3 93.2 93.5 92.2 93.8 93.8 94.0 93.6 93.5 93.9 93.4 95.2 95.3 94.7 94.8 95.7 95.7 96.1 95.5 95.3 95.7 94.8 98.1 98.2 98.6 96.2 98.6 97.7 97.8 97.8 96.8 97.5 99.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 103.3 101.6 98.0 102.7 102.3 102.9 102.1 101.0 101.5 101.8 103.9 105.5 102.8 101.9 104.2 103.9 104.3 104.1 102.7 103.3 102.7 106.2 108.0 105.8 102.2 107.0 105.4 106.2 105.4 103.2 104.1 106.7 2.2 2.4 2.9 .3 2.7 1.4 1.8 1.2 .5 .8 3.9 8.3 10.0 7.3 6.2 8.5 7.9 8.6 7.8 6.6 6.8 7.6 Workers, by industry division Manufacturing......................................................... Durables............................................................ Nondurables....................................................... Nonmanufacturing.................................................... Construction....................................................... Transportation and public utilities .............................. Wholesale and retail trade...................................... Wholesale trade ............................................... Retail trade..................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate............................ Services............................................................ 89.9 89.3 91.0 89.5 89.3 88.2 90.5 89.7 90.8 87.1 90.5 91.8 91.2 92.7 91.3 91.9 90.2 92.2 92.1 92.2 89.4 91.9 93.6 93.5 93.8 93.4 94.5 93.1 93.6 93.0 93.8 91.2 94.2 95.7 95.7 95.7 95.2 95.9 95.6 95.1 95.9 94.8 93.1 95.7 97.9 97.9 97.8 98.1 97.6 97.7 98.2 98.5 98.1 95.7 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.1 102.0 102.0 103.0 102.0 101.3 102.0 101.0 98.3 103.6 104.0 104.5 103.1 103.8 104.3 103.6 102.3 103.4 101.9 102.3 105.8 105.9 106.3 105.3 105.9 105.9 105.7 103.9 106.3 103.0 103.7 108.8 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.6 2.8 1.1 1.4 2.8 8.2 8.6 7.7 8.0 8.5 8.2 5.8 7.9 5.0 8.4 9.2 State and local governments .......................................... — — — — - 100.0 105.0 107.0 108.2 1.1 - — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.4 103.9 107.5 105.5 108.5 107.5 .9 1.9 — — — — — — — — — — — “ — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.5 105.7 106.0 104.6 103.3 107.6 107.7 107.9 107.3 105.5 108.4 108.3 108.7 108.8 107.5 .7 .6 .7 1.4 1.9 — — — — All private nonfarm workers3 Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers............................................... Workers, by industry division Services............................................................ Schools ......................................................... Elementary and secondary................................ Hospitals and other services4 ................................ Public administration2 ........................................... — — — — — ’Excludes private household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 3Excludes private household workers. 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Dashes Indicate data not available. N ote 32. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size [June 1981 = 100] Percent change 1980 1981 1S82 Series 3 months ended 12 months ended March June Sept. Dec. March June Sept. Dec. March Urion ..................................................... Manufacturing ................................................ Nonmanufacturing ................................................ 87.4 — — 89.7 — — 92.4 — — 94.7 — - 97.6 - 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.5 102.3 102.7 104.8 104.6 105.0 106.5 106.3 106.8 1.6 1.6 1.7 9.1 — — Nonunion......................................................... Manufacturing ........................................ Nonmanufacturing ...................................... 89.3 — — 91.1 — — 92.8 — - 94.6 — - 98.4 — - 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.8 101.7 103.5 103.5 103.5 105.3 105.7 105.2 1.7 2.1 1.6 7.0 — - 88.5 88.8 90.6 90.3 92.8 91.9 94.7 94.2 98.1 98.1 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104,1 105.2 105.7 106.2 1.5 2.9 7.7 8.3 Workers, by bargaining status' Union ......................................................... Manufacturing ................................................ Nonmanufacturing ............................................... 88.4 88.8 88.0 90.8 91.3 90.4 93.5 93.8 93.1 95.8 96.1 95.5 97.4 97.7 97.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.6 102.8 105.0 104.7 105.2 106.5 105.9 107.0 1.4 1.1 1.7 9.3 8.4 10.2 Nonunion........................................ Manufacturing ................................................ Nonmanufacturing ................................................ 90.2 91.0 89.9 91.8 92.3 91.5 93.4 93.4 93.4 95.1 95.4 95.0 98.2 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.7 101.6 103.2 103.3 103.2 105.6 105.9 105.5 2.3 2.5 2.2 7.5 8.2 7.3 Workers, by region' Northeast .............................................................. South ................................................................. North Certral......................................................... West......................................................... 90.6 89.7 89.7 88.2 92.5 91.4 91.6 90.4 94.2 93.2 93.3 93.5 96.0 94.9 95.3 95.3 98.3 98.0 98.1 97.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.9 101.6 103.2 104.4 102.8 103.3 105.1 106.1 105.7 104.7 107.9 1.6 2.8 1.4 2.7 7.9 7.9 6.7 10.2 Workers, by area size' Metropolitan areas.................................................. Other areas.......................................................... 89.4 90.1 91.4 91.5 93.5 92.9 95.4 95.1 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.0 103.1 105.9 106.0 1.8 2.8 8.2 7.8 March 1982 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status' — Workers, by area size' Metropolitan areas.................................................... Other areas......................................................... WAGES AND SALARIES ' The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see BIS Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 1910. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 33. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to date [In percent] Quarterly average Measure 1982 p 1981 1980 II III IV lr II 7.7 7.2 11.6 10.8 10.5 8.1 11.0 5.8 1.9 1.2 2.1 1.6 8.3 6.5 7.1 6.2 11.8 9.7 10.8 8.7 9.0 5.7 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.7 8.4 5.6 7.8 5.8 6.4 5.5 8.2 6.7 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.4 2.5 2.7 1.3 1.2 10.3 8.5 9.5 5.9 8.2 6.8 8.0 7.3 11.8 9.1 8.6 7.2 9.6 5.6 2.6 2.1 6.5 5.7 12.2 10.4 15.4 13.0 14.3 12.0 11.4 10.3 12.9 11.1 16.4 12.4 11.4 11.7 9.1 8.9 5.8 6.0 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 II III IV 1 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.1 10.2 8.3 10.2 7.4 11.4 7.2 8.5 6.1 First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 9.8 7.9 9.1 7.3 10.5 7.4 Manufacturing: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.4 5.4 7.2 6.1 6.7 5.1 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.5 6.6 9.8 7.3 Construction: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract . 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 13.5 11.3 Total compensation changes covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. Wage rate changes covering at least 1,000 workers, all industries: r=revised. 34. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1977 to date Year Year and quarter 1980 Measure 1977 Average percent adjustment (including no change): All industries........................................... Manufacturing...................................... Nonmanufacturing................................. From settlements reached in period ............... Deferred fromsettlements reached inearlier period From cost-of-living clauses.......................... 1979 1980 1982 p II III IV 1 II III IV II lr 8.2 8.6 7.9 9.1 9.6 8.8 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.5 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.5 2.9 4.0 1.3 1.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 1.2 3.2 2.4 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.0 .9 1.0 1.9 .9 2.6 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.0 1.4 .8 1.7 1.2 .7 .5 .3 .6 .4 .5 .7 1.1 1.4 .7 .5 1.5 1.2 .4 .4 .6 .2 .6 .3 .3 1.3 .2 — 8,648 _ — 3,855 4,701 4,364 3,225 2,955 3,359 — — — — — 2,270 — — — 579 909 540 604 199 407 — — — — — — — — 6,267 4,593 — — — — — — 888 2,639 2,055 2,669 3,023 2,934 882 2,179 1,038 1,960 1,629 1,496 ~ ~ 4,937 4,092 4,428 5,568 5,767 5,364 145 'The total number of workers who received adjustments does not equal the sum of workers that received each type of adjustment, because some workers received more than one type of adjustment during the period. Digitized for 9 0 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 1981 8.0 8.4 7.6 Total number of workers receiving wage change (in thousands)' ........................................... From settlements reached in period............................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period ......................... From cost-of-living clauses........................... Number of workers receiving no adjustments (in thousands) ............................................. 1978 r=revised, WORK STOPPAGE DATA W ork stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving 1,000 Estimates of days idle as a percent of estimated working time meas workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data are based ures only the impact of larger strikes (1,000 workers or more). For largely on newspaper accounts and cover all workers idle one shift or merly, these estimates measured the impact of strikes involving 6 more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not workers or more; that is, the impact of virtually measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose budget stringencies, collection of data on strikes involving 6 workers employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. or more was discontinued with the December 1981 data. 35. a ll strikes. Due to Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year month or year In effect during month or year Workers involved Beginning in month or year (in thousands) In effect during month (in thousands) Days idle Number (in thousands) Percent of estimated working time 1947 194» 1949 1950 270 245 262 424 1,629 1,435 2,537 1,698 25,720 26,127 43,420 30,390 1951952 1953 1954 1955 415 470 437 265 363 1,462 2,746 1,623 1,075 2,055 15,070 48,820 18,130 16,630 21,180 1955 1957 1953 1959 1969 287 279 332 245 222 1,370 887 1,587 1,381 896 26,840 10,340 17,900 60,850 13.260 .20 .07 1961 1962' 1965 1964 1965 195 211 181 246 268 1,031 793 512 1,183 999 10.140 11.760 .07 .08 .07 16,220 15.140 .11 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 321 381 392 412 381 1,300 2,192 1,855 1,576 2,468 16,000 31,320 35,567 29,397 52.761 .10 .16 .29 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 298 250 317 424 235 2,516 975 1,400 1,796 965 35,538 16,764 16.260 31,809 17,563 .19 .09 .08 .16 .09 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 231 298 219 235 187 1,519 1,212 1,006 1,021 795 23,962 21,258 23,774 20,409 20,844 145 729 16,908 .07 .01 1981 1981 1982»: 10,020 January . February March .. April ... May ... June ... July 6 7 16 17 18 30 23 12 10 20 27 27 43 38 12.0 10.7 201.6 48.0 85.1 200.1 80.1 29.6 20.9 207.8 223.5 259.0 415.1 125.4 257.9 118.5 861.8 4.085.2 4,454.0 2.618.3 1,575.5 January . February March . . April . . . May ... June ... July .... 2 2 3 '9 14 '17 11 4 6 8 '16 '21 '25 22 6.1 2.5 8.3 '35.7 43.7 '41.4 37.3 11.4 13.9 21.3 '55.3 '60.3 '64.5 63.2 199.9 236.9 352.2 '480.3 '636.1 '894.0 851.9 .22 .38 .26 .12 .38 .14 .13 .16 .13 .43 .09 .10 .18 .20 .12 .10 .11 .09 .09 .01 .04 .20 .24 .13 .08 .01 .01 .02 .02 03 .04 .04 r=revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 Published by BLS in July SALES PUBLICATIONS BLS Bulletins Handbook o f Labor Statistics. Bulletin 2070 (reissued), 489 pp., $15 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02542-4). Makes available in one volume historical data (through 1979 in most cases) on the ma jor statistical series produced by BLS. Also includes related series from other Government agencies and foreign countries. Rent or Buy? Evaluating Alternatives in the Shelter Market. Bulletin 2016, 21 pages plus a new 3-page supplement, $3.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02309-0). Provides a step-by-step pro cedure to compare the financial aspects o f owning versus ren ting. (Available only from the Superintendent o f Documents.) Area Wage Survey Bulletins These bulletins cover office, professional, technical, maintenance, custodial, and material movement occupations in major metropolitan areas. The annual series o f 70 publications is available by subscription for $90 per year. Individual area bulletins are also available separately. Atlanta, Georgia, Metropolitan Area, May 1982. Bulletin 3015-17, 40 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90136-4). Houston, Texas, Metropolitan Area, May 1982. Bulletin 3015-20, 40 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90139-9). Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Metropolitan Area, May 1982. 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Employment and Earnings, July. Report on national, State, and area employment; unemployment; hourly and weekly earnings; and hours o f work for June. 155 pp., $3.75 ($31 per year). Producer Prices and Price Indexes, Data for May 1982. Monthly report on producer price movements. Text, tables, and technical notes. 114 pp., $3.25 ($20 per year). Mailgram Service Consumer price index data summary by mailgram within 24 hours o f the CPI release. Provides unadjusted and seasonally adjusted U.S. City Average Data for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, (CPI-W). (NTISUB/158). $125 in contiguous United States. FREE PUBLICATIONS BLS Reports Employment in Perspective: Working Women, Second Quarter 1982, Report 669. 3 pp. Presents highlights o f data on women in the labor force. 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