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LY LABOR REVIEW rtment of Labor Labor Statistics • 1980 L 3>.(o: 103 /9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis DEPOSITORY In this issue: Job-related injuries and illnesses of women Worker perceptions of occupational hazards Geographic wage indexing for CETA and Medicare U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Ray Marshall, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $18 domestic; $22.50 foreign. Single copy $2.50. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid at Riverdale, MD., and at additional mailing offices. Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I — Boston: W endell D. M acdonald 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II — New York: Sam uel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III — Philadelphia: A lvin /. M argulis 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596 -11 54 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV — Atlanta: D onald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30309 Phone: (404) 881 -4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V — Chicago: W illiam E Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 3 5 3 -18 80 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 MONTHLYI Region VI — Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone:(214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII — Kansas City: E llio tt A. Brow ar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming September cover: Workers in trimming department of the J.B. Stetson Co. Photograph courtesy of Archives of Labor History and Urban Affairs, Wayne State University https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce H anchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556 -46 78 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington Reference D ep t MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW SEPTEMBER 1980 VOLUME 103, NUMBER 9 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor Norman Root, Judy R. Daley 3 Kalamazoo Public Library Are women safer workers? a new look at the data The better overall record of women may reflect the fact that few are in hazardous jobs; 26-State survey suggests men and women doing same kind of work incur similar injuries Richard L. Frenkel and others 11 Occupational safety and health: a report on worker perceptions Hazardous working conditions erode the job satisfaction of increasing numbers of workers; especially threatened is the inexperienced employee, who is most likely to be injured Richard Greene 15 Geographic wage indexing for CETA and Medicare The tailoring of grants-in-aid to local wage levels enjoys growing popularity among Federal policymakers; two programs illustrate the flexibility of this technique Thomas A. Kochan 20 Industrial relations research: an agenda for the 1980’s An organized effort is needed to improve our understanding of collective bargaining, and this calls for renewed academic interest in the study of industrial relations REPORTS P. F. Gerhart, J. E. Drotning David E. Bloom W. Thomas, A. Clem, E. Lamb Larry T. Adams Anne McDougall Young Barbara L. Wolfe https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26 30 34 41 44 48 Do uncertain cost/benefit estimates prolong public-sector disputes? Customized ‘final-offer’: New Jersey’s arbitration law Slowdown in energy prices eases second-quarter inflation Auto Workers seek Government aid for laid-off workers, ailing industry School and work among youth during the 1970’s How the disabled fare in the labor market DEPARTMENTS 2 26 34 41 44 48 53 57 59 62 69 Labor month in review Communications Anatomy of price change Conventions Special labor force reports— summaries Research summaries Significant decisions in labor cases Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review STATE AND LOCAL PAY. The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued the first of a new series of releases on wages and benefits of State and local government employees in collective bargaining units of 5,000 workers or more. About one-fourth of all workers covered by collective bargaining agreements in State and local govern ment were in such units in 1979. The release includes data on both first-year changes and annual rates of change over the life of multiyear settlements negotiated in 1979. those without such clauses averaged 7.0 percent. Wages and benefits. First-year wage and benefit adjustments averaged 7 percent under 1979 settlements covering 5,000 or more State and local government workers. Major settlements in the private economy brought wage and benefit changes of 9 percent in 1979, but were not entirely comparable because they included pensions and other benefits not subject to collective bargaining in the public sector. Contracts which offered the prospect of additional adjustm ents under autom atic cost-of-living escalator (COLA) clauses provided smaller (6.5 percent) first-year settlements than con tracts without such clauses (7.2 percent). First-year changes were slightly higher (7.0 percent) for State government workers than for workers in local government (6.8 percent). Over the life of multiyear contracts, wage and benefit adjustments averaged 6.3 percent a year for both State and local government workers. Contracts with COLA clauses provided wage and benefit changes of 5.1 percent, while Groups covered. Agreements reached in 1979 affected 568,000 workers in 45 State and local government bargaining units of 5,000 or more employees. Teacher units accounted for about 25 percent of the workers covered, with general government or administrative units accounting for another 20 percent. The rest were in clerical, blue-collar, health, and other units. About 48 percent were in the Northeast region, 22 percent in the North Central States, 21 per cent in the West, and 9 percent in the South. Two-year agreements covered about 43 percent of the workers under the 1979 agreements. About 23 percent were under 1-year pacts and 34 percent under 3-year agreements. 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Wages only. Data on wage settlements alone show average first-year changes of 6.8 percent for workers in large State and local government units, with local government workers holding a slight edge (7.0 percent) over State government employees (6.7 percent). Similarly, over the life of multiyear contracts, local government workers won slightly higher settlements (6.5 percent) than State government employees (6.2 percent). Escalator provisions. Nine of the 1979 settlements included COLA provisions. Eight other COLA clauses were in effect from bargaining in prior years. A total of 309,000 workers were covered by escalator provisions in 1979. Mainly because 1979 agreements deferred escalator reviews until 1980 or later, cost-of-living clauses triggered perma nent wage-rate adjustments in only seven agreements, covering 76,000 workers. Of these, 71,000 were employed by local governments, largely as transit workers(43,000). Effective changes. In addition to repor ting on 1979 settlements, the new BLS release also reports on the wage increases actually paid during the year to State and local government workers in units of 5,000 or more. A total of 884,000 workers in 69 public sector collective bargaining units collected increases averaging 6.2 percent. About 73,000 workers in 10 bargaining units received no increases. When prorated over all 957,000 workers in major bargaining units, the effective wage adjustment averaged 5.8 percent in 1979, with 4.0 percent coming from new settlements, 1.2 percent from deferred increases paid under agreements negotiated in prior years, and 0.5 percent from COLA clauses. More complete data. Information in the new BLS release is based on preliminary data. A revised report, based on more complete data, will appear in a forth coming issue of Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical published by BLS. Meanwhile, single copies of the release, USDL: 80-501, are available from the Inquiries and C orre spondence Section, BLS, Wash ington, D.C. 20212. 0 Are women safer workers? a new look at the data The overall better record of women may reflect the fact that relatively few are in hazardous jobs; data from 26 States suggest that men and women doing the same kind o f work incur similar injuries with about the same frequency N orman R oot and Ju d y R . D aley Women have a relatively better work injury record than do men, much of which may be attributed to the kinds of work in which women are engaged. They are under represented in the crafts and kindred occupations, in which very large numbers of injuries occur. A large proportion of on-the-job injuries among women occurs in traditionally female-dominated occupations— teach ing, nursing, clerical jobs, assembling, and retail sales, for example. The characteristics of occupational injuries and ill nesses are similar for women and men. There are a few noteworthy exceptions: women suffer relatively more “falls on the same level” than do men, which may be the result of wearing shoes with higher heels; women also appear to experience relatively more illnesses relat ed to occupations, particularly inflammation of joints, tendons, and muscles. This article provides the first comprehensive look at female work-related injuries and illnesses by occupation, Norman Root is a division chief and Judy R. Daley a research ana lyst in the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis industry, and by specific characteristic of the injury (for example, nature of the injury or illness, part of body af fected, source of the injury, and type of accident or ex posure causing the injury). In this analysis, the term “injury” includes both injuries and illnesses. The data are from reports made to State workers compensation agencies. The Bureau of Labor Statistics developed the Supplementary Data System to assist States in uniformly classifying and coding data obtained in connection with administration of State workers’ compensation laws. The State agencies, in turn, provide the Bureau with information about the industrial classi fication of the establishment in which the injured was employed, occupation, age, and sex of the injured em ployee, nature of injury, part of body affected, source of the injury, and type of accident or exposure which pro duced the injury.1 Although classification and process ing are uniform, the injury data are subject to a number of limitations because reporting and coverage require ments for workers’ compensation differ among States.2 This report compares the proportionate values of in juries and employment within a given universe (for example, female workers, manufacturing). Employment 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Are Women Safer Workers? data for industry and occupation are from Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.3Data limitations do not permit compu tation of rates. The 26 States, whose data are used in this analysis, accounted for about 40 percent of wage and salary employment and are considered representative of the industrial activity in the Nation. These States provid ed information on cases that either occurred or were re ported to workers’ compensation agencies in 1977. Young workers susceptible About 1.5 million injuries,4 or 21 percent of all occupational injuries, occur to women. The proportion of work-related injuries ranged from 10 percent of all such injuries in Wyoming to 25 percent in Minnesota. Employment of women in these States ranged from 37 percent to 45 percent of all employed workers.5 (See ta ble 1.) Wyoming, Alaska, New Mexico, and Utah had noticeably low percentages of injuries, probably because of the industrial mix of jobs in these States. They have large numbers of traditionally male-dominated hazard ous jobs, such as mining, ranching, construction, and oil-well drilling. The largest percentage of female injury cases was accounted for by younger workers. The injury-to-employment ratio for women was relatively consistent for all age groups. However, compared with men, younger women (16 to 34 years) had lower injury-to-employTable 1. Employment and work-related injuries and illnesses among women, selected States, 1977 State T o ta l........................ Alaska ................................. California............................. C olorado............................. Connecticut ........................ H aw aii................................. Idaho................................... Indiana................................. Iowa ................................... Kentucky............................. Maine ................................. M aryland............................. Michigan ............................. Minnesota .......................... Missouri............................... Montana ............................. Nebraska............................. New J e rs e y ........................ New M exico........................ Oregon ............................... South D akota...................... Tennessee .......................... Utah ................................... Vermont ............................. Virgin Islands ...................... Wisconsin ........................... W yom ing............................. Female employment as percent of total employment1 40.6 41.8 41.1 40.4 42.2 44.5 39.0 40.2 40.0 39.8 40.5 40.8 38.6 39.9 42.4 36.8 41.4 40.7 40.9 39.9 39.4 41.6 38.6 40.3 ( 3) 40.5 37.6 4 Injuries more frequent in manufacturing Despite some changes in their employment patterns, women remain concentrated in the same industry groups as in previous years.7 And, significant numbers of injuries continued to occur in those industries. Man ufacturing industries accounted for 30 percent of all in juries to female workers, followed by 24 percent in services, 19 percent in retail trade, and 17 percent in the public sector. The following tabulation shows the distri bution of female work injuries by industry, 1977: Percent Injuries and Illnesses Total cases 1,250,284 8,841 327,868 33,954 211,441 36,603 38,290 38,398 18,510 51,015 43,828 30,551 70,537 50,802 128,590 32,281 35,249 84,753 4,046 43,777 17,397 25,649 20,491 17,952 1,531 60,626 17,304 Percent incurred by women 21.1 14.9 22.5 19.9 17.4 22.5 17.9 21.8 19.8 18.9 21.0 20.7 23.0 25.0 20.4 18.0 20.6 21.8 15.4 21.0 21.4 19.9 16.6 21.6 18.0 21.5 10.3 1 State Profile o f Employment and Unemployment, 1977, Report 539 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, October 1978). The total is for the 25 States for which data were available. 2 In 1977, Connecticut provided injury and illness information only for manufacturing indus tries, excluding boat building and repair. 3 Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment ratios and older women (35 to 64 years), higher ratios. For men, the injury-to-employment ratio was higher for those age 16-34 and lower for the suc ceeding age groups. Because a high proportion (about 40 percent) of all occupational injuries are sustained during a worker’s first year on the job, the relatively high injury-to-employment ratio experienced by younger men can be expected.6 The consistent injury to employment ratio of women, therefore, could indicate that they, perhaps, are “safer” workers in the sense that their injury experience remains proportionate to their exposure; that, perhaps, women are experiencing more turnover in employment, (that is, continue to enter and leave the work force throughout their working years); or that the low level of upward mobility in the “female jobs” (such as char women, nursing aides, and assemblers) keeps women exposed to the same hazards of the work environment throughout their working years. Private sector ............................................................. Agriculture, forestry,and fishing ........................... M ining.................................................................... Construction........................................................... Manufacturing........................................................ Transportation andpublicutilities .......................... Wholesale tr a d e ...................................................... Retail tra d e ............................................................. Finance, insurance and real estate............................ Services.................................................................... Public sector................................................................ State government.................................................... Local government.................................................... 82.9 1.3 -2 -6 30.0 2.5 2.9 19.4 2.3 23.7 17.1 5.5 11.6 Among manufacturing industries with significant num bers of female work-related injuries, food and kindred products accounted for the most, followed by electric and electronic equipment, fabricated metals products, transportation equipment, apparel and other textile products, rubber and miscellaneous plastics products, and machinery (except electrical) products. About twothirds of the female work-related injuries in the private sector of the services industry occurred in hospitals and health care facilities. In retail trade, the largest compo nents of female work-related injuries occurred in eating Table 2. Employment and work-related injuries and illnesses among women in selected industries, 1977 Industry Female employment as percent of total employment Injuries and illnesses Total cases Percent incurred by women Industry Trucking, local and long distance . Water transportation.................... Air transportation ........................ Certificated and noncertificated air transportation .. Pipelines, except natural gas . . . . Transportation services............... Communication ........................... Electric, gas, and sanitary services Wholesale trade ................................. Retail tra d e .......................................... Building materials and garden supplies................................... General merchandise stores . . . . Department stores ............. Variety s to re s ...................... Food store s................................. Grocery stores .................... Automotive dealers and service stations ................................... Apparel and accessory stores . . . Furniture and home furnishings stores ...................................... Eating and drinking places ......... Miscellaneous retail .................... Finance, Insurance, and real estate . . . Banking........................................ Credit agencies other than banks Security, commodity brokers and services................................... Insurance carriers ...................... Insurance agents, brokers and service...................................... Real estate ................................. Combined real estate, insurance, etc............................ Services............................................... Hotels and other lodging places . Personal services........................ Business services........................ Auto repair, services and garages Miscellaneous repair services . . . Motion pictures ........................... Health service ............................. Hospitals ........... ............. Legal services............................. Educational services.................... Miscellaneous services............... Public sector........................................ State government........................ Local government ...................... Total .......................................... 40 1,250,284 21.1 Private sector— all industries............... Agriculture, forestry, and fishing ........... Mining..................................... Construction .......................................... Manufacturing ...................................... Durable goods ............................... Lumber and wood products........... Mlllwork, plywood structural members ............................... Furniture and fixtures .................... Household furniture ...................... Stone, clay, and glass products . . . Primary metals Industries ............. Fabricated metal products............. Metal forgings and stampings . Machinery, except electrical ......... Electric and electronic equipment.. Electronic components and accessories........................ Transportation equipment...................... Motor vehicles and equipment . . . . Instruments and related products ......... Miscellaneous manufacturing industries............................................ Nondurable g o o d s ................................. Food and kindred products.................... Meat products ............................... Preserved fruits and vegetables . . . Miscellaneous foods and kindred products........................ Tobacco manufacturers ........................ Textile mill products............................... Apparel and other textile products......... Men’s and boys’ furnishings........... Paper and allied products...................... Miscellaneous converted paper products...................................... Printing and publishing ........................... Chemical and allied products ............... Petroleum and coal products ............... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ............................................ Miscellaneous plastics products ........... Leather and leather products ............... Footwear, except rubber............... Transportation and public utilities........... Local and Interurban passenger transit ........................................ Trucking and warehousing ........... 39 (’ ) 8 7 30 23 13 1,085,223 29,403 27,266 117,474 429,075 271,467 47,046 20.2 11.5 1.6 1.3 18.4 15.5 9.1 15 28 31 18 9 20 21 17 42 10,668 12,449 7,970 19,065 26,906 47,921 8,012 43,980 22,831 14.7 19.9 22.0 11.3 6.6 14.6 19.1 11.6 38.0 53 13 12 40 4,554 38,091 24,033 6,239 51.6 14.2 14.6 43.5 46 40 28 31 43 6,939 157,608 69,238 22,501 11,231 35.2 23.5 18.2 15.7 34.2 28 38 47 81 84 21 4,900 661 6,208 8,716 2,867 17,653 30.0 38.6 29.1 64.1 71.9 16.8 33 36 22 11 5,479 11,564 14,254 2,379 24.9 21.9 16.6 5.0 34 41 60 66 23 19,645 11,999 7,287 4,360 80,942 28.8 35.5 42.8 54.7 8.1 20 11 4,617 45,260 15.5 3.0 Female employment as percent of total employment Injuries and illnesses Total cases Percent incurred by women 10 11 30 42,512 1,017 8,774 2.7 2.5 26.0 31 9 30 45 17 25 47 8,134 98 1,323 5,951 13,799 80,080 171,561 27.6 (' ) 11.4 25.1 4.0 9.5 29.9 20 67 67 75 40 C) 12,675 25,510 21,541 3,156 36,925 34,230 5.9 47.0 45.8 56.9 25.6 24.9 15 67 29,265 2,653 4.5 58.8 30 57 47 56 68 63 6,149 47,084 11,300 15,897 3,058 1,494 10.5 46.8 31.4 38.8 67.2 41.2 36 56 169 2,595 37.9 50.7 58 36 837 7,222 46.0 20.5 52 56 (’ ) 63 38 (’ ) 18 37 81 80 65 52 29 49 45 50 512 131,635 14,693 4,528 19,013 10,110 4,864 1,690 48,587 28,561 520 5,548 3,035 165,031 37,819 127,212 49.4 47.6 46.8 39.8 24.0 5.3 4.7 16.4 78 9 74.2 59.2 40.7 18.6 27.4 38.5 24.0 1Data are not available. and drinking places, general merchandise stores, and food stores. In the public sector, local government accounted for two-thirds of the work-related injuries sustained by women, many of whom were in education. Relative to their employment, work-related injuries among women varied widely by industries. (See table 2.) In manufacturing industries, their relative injury experi ence was greater than or close to their relative employ ment in these industries: lumber and wood products, primary metals, metal forgings and stampings, electric and electronic equipment, transportation equipment, in struments and related products, miscellaneous foods and kindred products, and tobacco manufacturing. In air transportation, banking, and health services, similar relative positions occurred. The work-related injury rates for women in these industries would be at least compa rable to those of men. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In contrast, the following industries with a signifi cantly large number of cases show a much higher pro portion of employment than of injuries incurred by women: miscellaneous manufacturing, food and kindred products, textile mill products, apparel and other textile products, printing and publishing, leather and leather products, transportation and public utilities generally, wholesale and retail trade generally, real estate, services generally and local government. Service workers— most cases Two occupational groups— service workers and oper atives, except transport— accounted for slightly more than 50 percent of total injuries to women. Clerical oc cupations made up 12 percent of the cases, followed by laborers (except farm) and professional, technical and kindred workers with 9 and 8 percent. Following are 5 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Are Women Safer Workers? Table 3. Employment and work-related injuries and illnesses among women in selected occupations, 1977 Occupation Total ................................................... Professional, technical and kindred workers .. Registered nurses .......................................... Teachers, excluding college and university . . . Elementary school teachers .................. Secondary school teachers.................... Teachers, nec ........................................ Managers and administrators, except farm . . . Restaurant, bar managers...................... Sales managers and department heads, retail trade .......................................... Sales clerks, retail tra d e ........................ Clerical and kindred workers ........................ Teacher aides ........................................ Crafts and kindred workers ........................... Operatives, except transport........................... Female employment as percent of total employment Injuries and illnesses Total cases Percent In curred by women 40.5 42.6 96.7 70.9 84.2 51.2 75.2 22.3 34.7 1,250,284 43,738 6,564 10,216 3,804 3,558 2,346 33,915 3,416 21.1 49.3 94.8 62.3 76.3 45.7 60.7 22.3 41.8 36.2 43.3 45.0 70.4 78.9 90.0 87 0 99 1 30 8 93.4 96 3 (’ ) ( ') 5.0 39.6 50 3 5,242 22,430 17,020 2,516 56,474 2,133 5,393 3,721 8 748 2^257 1,964 6,692 2^079 230,306 255,123 31,312 26.2 42.3 42.7 60.0 55.3 85.9 77.7 96.3 20.9 87.0 94.1 73.7 74.3 3.0 22.5 37.9 (’) 4,912 9,007 45.1 15.5 Checkers, examiners, inspectors, Meatcutters, butchers, manufacturing 35.2 1Data not available. Percent 8.2 2.9 3.6 11.8 2.6 21.8 1.6 8.6 .9 30.6 .2 The occupational distribution of work-related injuries indicates one reason for the relatively low numbers of injuries to women. Men accounted for 95 percent of employment and experienced 97 percent of the work in juries in the crafts and kindred workers group. The in juries in this occupational group accounted for 22 percent of all work injuries to men. For women, on-thejob injuries in this occupational group made up only 3 percent of all work injuries. (See table 3.) Thus, women had very little exposure to one of the most hazardous occupations. Work-related injuries among women generally reflect ed their concentrations of employment. In the following occupations, women made up 60 percent or more of employment and injuries: nursing and other health re 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Packers, wrappers, except retail ............. Sewers and stitchers ............................... Machine operatives, miscellaneous........... Not specified operatives ........................... Transport equipment operatives ...................... Bus drivers................................................. Laborers, except farm ...................................... Freight, material handlers ........................ Stock handlers.......................................... Miscellaneous laborers ............................. Not specified laborers............................... Farmers and farm managers .......................... Farm laborers and foremen ............................. Farm laborers, wage workers .................. Service workers, except private household . . . . Chambermaids and m aids........................ Cleaners and charwomen ........................ Janitors and sextons................................. Cooks ....................................................... Food counter and fountain workers ......... Waiters and waitresses............................. Food service workers, n e c ........................ Health aides, except nursing .................... Nursing aides, orderlies and attendants .. Practical nurses ........................................ Airline stewardesses................................. Housekeepers .......................................... Private household workers ............................... 63.6 95.2 ( 1) (’ ) 6.8 42.2 9.4 7.9 22.7 (’ ) ( 1) 6.4 29.4 17.0 58.3 ( 1) 96.1 15.4 56.3 85.7 90.4 74.3 84.5 86.3 96.8 n 64.6 97.0 Injuries and illnesses Total cases 10,322 4,412 11,420 6,709 87,328 5,366 237,161 26,253 17,852 83,644 26,683 517 20,838 19,800 175,556 3,807 7,412 26,064 17,815 3,449 10,704 18,804 2,984 24,536 4,891 1,743 2,517 469 Percent In curred by women 54.9 90.6 23.4 16.8 4.7 34.6 9.6 8.0 19.2 13.7 10.0 2.5 11.9 12.4 46.0 89.6 41.5 15.5 44.3 78.3 90.3 61.9 65.6 84.7 93.3 90.1 73.4 86.6 NOTE: nec = Not elsewhere classified. the occupational distribution of female work-related in juries, 1977: Professional, technical and kindred workers ............ Managers and administrators, except farm .............. Salesworkers ............................................................. Clerical and kindred workers ................................. Crafts and kindred workers ...................................... Operatives, except transport...................................... Transport equipment operatives ............................... Laborers except farm ................................................. Farm laborers and foremen ...................................... Service workers, except privatehousehold.................. Private household w orkers........................................ Occupation Female employment as percent of total employment lated occupations, teaching, retail sales, bookkeeping, clerical jobs, sewing and stitching, and several food-re lated occupations. Women employed as managers and administrators, sales workers, operatives (such as as semblers, and packers and wrappers), and laborers ex perienced significant percentages of injuries relative to their employment. Profile of occupational injuries The characteristics of the work-related injuries that occurred to women were generally similar to those af fecting men. For example, sprains and strains were the most frequently occurring injuries for both groups; the back and fingers were the body parts affected more than one-third of the time; and overexertion resulted in about 1 of 5 injuries. However, the sources of the injuries var ied markedly for the two groups, reflecting the different work environments and, therefore, different potentials for producing injuries. Working surfaces caused 19 per cent of all female work-related injuries, but only 12 per cent of the male injuries. Conversely, metal items were responsible for 15 percent of male injuries, but only 5 percent of injuries to women. A person as a source of injury (primarily the lifting and handling of them) was responsible for 9 percent of the female injuries, but for only 2 percent of the men’s. As noted, sprains and strains accounted for more than one-third of the injuries occurring to women, followed by contusions and bruises, cuts, lacerations, and punctures, fractures, and burns. Other frequent injuries included scratches and abrasions and in flammation of joints, tendons, and muscles. (See table 4.) About 30 percent of the injuries involved the upper extremities and about half of the time included the fin gers. An additional 30 percent of injuries involved the trunk, largely the back. (See table 5.) The lower extrem ities frequently involving the toes, accounted for 19 per cent of the injuries; the head and multiple body parts each accounted for about 8 percent; and injuries to the eyes accounted for 3 percent. Data on the sources of work injuries generally reflect the work environment more closely than any other classification because many of the individual categories are peculiar to specific industries, each with special ma chines, equipment, or exposures. Thus, the source classi fication has many more categories than other classifica tions. (See table 6.) Two categories— working surfaces and boxes, barrels and containers— common to all in dustries, accounted for nearly one-third of all the inju ries occurring to women, and for 22 percent of injuries occurring to men. Three other categories combined made up nearly 1 of 4 female work-related injuries— person, bodily motion, and machines. Again, these sources reflect the fact that women are heavily em ployed as nurses, teachers, wrappers and packers, as semblers, and health and food service workers. A look at accidents which cause injuries on the job can provide clues for targeting safety programs.8Among women, the most frequent accidents were struck against or struck by, overexertion, and fall on the same level. (See table 7.) Nearly 1 of 5 injuries were caused by the combined accidents, bodily reaction, caught in-underbetween, and fall from elevation. Similar types of acci dents caused injuries to women and men. The only sig nificant differences were for fall from the same level, Table 4. Nature of work-related injury Nature Total cases .................. Amputation or enucleation . . . Burns: Heat ................................. C hem ical.......................... Infective or parasitic disease . . . Contusion, crushing, bruise . . . . Cut, laceration, puncture ......... Derm atitis................................. Dislocation ............................... Fracture ................................... Hernia ...................................... Inflammation or irritation of joints, tendons, or m uscles............. Systemic poisoning .................. Scratches, abrasions............... Sprains, strains ........................ Multiple injuries ........................ All other ................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Women Men Number Percent Number Percent 264,136 1,337 100.0 .5 986,147 8,227 100.0 .8 8,520 1,548 1,259 42,277 38,014 4,322 2,498 16,632 866 3.2 .6 .5 16.0 14.4 1.6 1.0 6.3 .3 26,315 8,778 1,256 134,306 180,069 9,191 11,936 79,718 15,581 2.7 .9 .1 13.6 18.3 .9 1.2 8.1 1.6 4,550 2,630 5,543 99,523 3,508 31,109 1.7 1.0 2.1 37.7 1.3 11.8 8,478 8,656 40,825 326,746 13,940 112,125 .9 .9 4.1 33.1 1.4 11.4 Table 5. injury Selected parts of body affected by work-related Women Part of body affected Men Number Percent Number Percent Total cases.................... H ead.......................................... Eyes ................................. Face ................................. 264,136 19,957 7,332 4,896 100.0 7.6 2.8 1.9 986,147 111,957 65,275 22,516 100.0 11.4 6.6 2.3 N e c k.......................................... 3,652 1.4 11,133 1.1 Upper extremities...................... Arms ................................. E lbow ............................. Wrist ................................. Hand ................................. Finger(s) .......................... 81,759 14,494 3,671 10,174 14,995 38,687 31.0 5.5 1.4 3.9 5.7 14.7 285,567 47,667 14,440 25,073 58,418 145,558 29.0 4.8 1.5 2.5 5.9 14.8 Trunk ........................................ Abdom en........................... Back ................................. C hest................................. H ip s ................................... Shoulders........................... 78,318 2,987 56,051 4,444 4,263 6,778 29.7 1.1 21.2 1.7 1.6 2.6 292,509 21,648 195,449 22,123 14,727 26,959 29.7 2.2 19.8 2.2 1.5 2.7 Lower extremities...................... Legs ................................. Knee ............................. A n k le ................................. F o o t.....................'............. Toes ................................. 48,864 19,702 10,921 13,127 9,773 4,013 18.5 7.5 4.1 5.0 3.7 1.5 200,937 87,092 48,164 40,951 45,614 20,707 20.4 8.8 4.9 4.2 4.6 2.1 Multiple p a rts ............................. 21,653 8.2 52,623 5.3 Body system ............................. 5,897 2.2 19,528 2.0 which accounted for 1 of 6 injuries to female workers, compared with 1 of 13 for men, and for struck against or struck by which accounted for one-fourth of the inju ries incurred by women and one-third of those incurred by men. Table 6. Selected sources of work-related injury Women Source Total cases........................... Animals, Insects, etc.......................... Bodily m otion................................... Boxes, barrels, containers............... Buildings and structures .................. Doors and g a te s ...................... Chemicals, chemical compounds . . . Food products................................. Furniture, fixtures, etc........................ Glass items, nec ............................. Hand tools, not powered.................. Knife ........................................ Hand tools, powered ...................... Liquids, n e c ...................................... Machines.......................................... Shears, slitters, slicers............. Metal items ...................................... Vehicles .......................................... Highway vehicles, powered . .. Plant or industrial vehicles . . . . Nonpowered vehicles . . . . Powered c arriers............. Wood ite m s ...................................... Working surfaces............................. Floor ........................................ Ground ...................................... Stairs, s te p s ............................. Person ............................................ Person, other than Injuried . . . . Men Number Percent Number Percent 264,136 2,045 21,306 31,637 7,154 4,233 4,615 4,000 13,893 2,996 11,341 6,021 1,888 3,205 19,703 3,921 14,361 11,585 5,463 4,679 3,907 659 5,125 50,503 26,189 5,338 5,343 22,519 19,645 100.0 .8 8.1 12.0 2.7 1.6 1.8 1.5 5.3 1.1 4.3 2.3 .7 1.2 7.5 1.5 5.4 4.4 2.1 1.8 1.5 .3 1.9 19.1 9.9 2.0 2.0 8.5 7.4 986,147 7,880 63,894 98,767 20,733 8,979 17,151 7,593 22,631 10,164 59,589 21,220 19,185 5,813 62,908 6,369 148,837 78,674 43,457 26,691 12,507 11,166 46,684 118,939 40,222 32,901 7,394 15,591 10,564 100.0 .8 6.5 10.0 2.1 .9 1.7 .8 2.3 1.0 6.0 2.2 2.0 .6 6.4 .7 15.1 8.0 4.4 2.7 1.3 1.1 4.7 12.1 4.1 3.3 .8 1.6 1.1 NOTE: nec = Not elsewhere classified. 7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Are Women Safer Workers? education, and social services provided by State and local governments. Table 7. Selected types of accident or exposure resulting in work-related injury Accident or exposure Total c a s e s .................. Struck against ........................ Struck b y ................................. Fall from elevation .................. Fall on s ta irs.................... Fall on same level .................. Caught in, under, between . . . . Rubbed or abraded ............... Bodily reaction........................ Overexertion ........................... Lifting objects .................. Contact with temperature extremes ............................. Contact with radiation, caustics, etc.......................... By absorption .................. Motor vehicle accidents........... Women Men Are women safer workers than men? Number Percent Number Percent 264,136 27,203 41,637 12,580 6,805 44,271 17,402 8,126 21,012 59,162 36,268 100.0 10.3 15.8 4.8 2.6 16.8 6.6 3.1 8.0 224 13.7 986,147 107,745 217,720 65,385 10,116 77,728 75,364 48,180 65,473 211,653 124,171 100.0 10.9 22.1 6.6 1.0 7.9 7.6 4.9 6.6 21.5 12.6 8,674 3.3 26,570 2.7 10,115 5,966 3,478 3.8 2.3 1.3 32,989 19,309 21,925 3.4 2.0 2.2 Illness a greater problem. Illnesses peculiar to one’s oc cupation were a relatively greater problem for women than men. Occupational illnesses accounted for nearly 7 percent of all injuries and illnesses of women, but less than 5 percent of the men’s.9 Three categories made up two-thirds of the occupa tional illnesses of women— inflammation or irritation of joints, tendons, and muscles, dermatitis, and systemic poisoning. (See table 8.) These accounted for 59 percent of the illnesses occurring to men. Other significant cate gories of female occupational illnesses were infective or parasitic diseases, mental disorders, and effects of changes in atmospheric pressure (limited almost exclu sively to stewardesses in the air transportation indus try). The frequency and types of illnesses reflect employ ment and exposures (as indicated, for example, by the experience of airline stewardesses). Nearly a third of all female work-related illnesses occurred in manufacturing industries; 62 percent of the illnesses involved inflam mation of joints, tendons, and muscles; 53 percent, der matitis, and 39 percent, systemic poisoning. Five indus tries combined— food, fabricated metals, machinery (electric and nonelectric) and transportation equipment — had more than 50 percent of each of these illnesses. Inflammation of joints, tendons and muscles were par ticularly associated with the repetitive movements of as sembly-type activities, and women appeared to be more prone to this illness than men. Services accounted for 24 percent of all female occupational illnesses, with a large concentration in health services, reflecting among other things, exposures to infective and parasitic dis eases. Retail trade, especially eating and drinking places, accounted for 19 percent of female occupational diseases. The public sector accounted for 17 percent of female occupational illnesses and included high propor tions of infective and parasitic diseases, mental disor ders, and circulatory conditions. Many of these con ditions are associated with occupations in health, 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Given the same job will women suffer the same inju ries as do men? Comparisons of the relative frequency and kinds of injuries occurring to both women and men in the same occupations and industries indicate that work activity, not the worker, is a more important de terminant of injuries. The data show that women in tra ditionally male-dominated jobs will suffer the same kinds of injuries and generally with the same relative frequency as their male counterparts. Also men in tradi tionally female-dominated occupations will suffer inju ries common to their female counterparts and with the same frequency. Table 9 presents some injuries and illnesses frequent ly occurring in selected occupations. The similarities of characteristic clusters which reflect exposures to the work environment are the main features of the data. For example, if the category “strains and sprains” among female nursing aides is larger than the national average for women, it is also larger than the average for men; or if a “person” as a source of injury among fe male laborers is smaller than the national average for women, it is also markedly smaller for men. Other sig nificant clusters which reflect the exposures of the work ing environment include: dermatitis and inflammation of joints, tendons, and muscles among assemblers; bodily Table 8. Frequency of occupational illness Illness All workers Women Men Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent All occupational illnesses......... Infective or parasitic disease........................ Derm atitis........................ Effects of exposure to low temperature........... Effects of environmental heat ............................. Inflammation of joints, tendons, or muscles . . . Poisoning, system ic......... Pneumoconiosis............... Radiation effects ............. Hemorrhoids.................... Effects of changes in atmospheric pressure .. Conditions of circulatory system ........................ Complications peculiar to medical care ........... Diseases of the e y e ......... Mental disorders ............. Neoplasm, tu m o r............. Conditions of nervous system ........................ Conditions of respiratory system ........................ Symptoms and ill-defined conditions .................... Occupational disease, n e c ............................... Heart conditions (includes heart attack) ............... 62,366 100.0 17,455 100.0 44,911 100.0 2,515 13,513 4.0 21.7 1,259 4,322 7.2 24.8 1,256 9,191 2.8 20.5 773 1.2 133 .8 640 1.4 790 1.3 109 .6 681 1.5 13,028 11,286 822 4,292 334 20.9 18.1 1.3 6.9 .5 4,550 2,630 24 116 28 26.1 15.1 .1 .7 .2 8,478 8,656 798 4,176 306 18.9 19.3 1.8 9.3 .7 431 .7 351 2.0 80 .2 1,121 1.8 339 1.9 782 1.7 351 274 1,171 243 .6 .4 1.9 .4 213 52 594 79 1.2 .3 3.4 .5 138 222 577 164 .3 .5 1.3 .4 821 1.3 286 1.6 535 1.2 1,223 2.0 275 1.6 948 2.1 3,578 5.7 1,188 6.8 2,390 5.3 1,716 2.8 585 3.4 1,131 2.5 4,084 6.5 322 1.8 3,762 8.4 NOTE: nec = Not elsewhere classified. Table 9. Characteristics of injuries and illnesses and proportion occurring in selected occupations, 1977 Food and kindred products All industries1 Selected characteristics of the injury or illness Laborers Operatives except transport Fabricated metals Machine operatives Electrical machinery Machine operatives Laborers Assemblers Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Nature of injury or illness .......................................... Amputations....................................................... Burns ................................................................ Contusions, crushing, bruise ............................. Cut, laceration, puncture................................... Dermatitis .......................................................... Fractures............................................................ Inflammation or irritation of joints, tendons, or m uscles..................................................... Scratches, abrasions ........................................ Sprains, strains................................................... 100.0 .5 3.8 16.0 14.4 1.6 6.3 100.0 .8 3.6 13.6 18.3 .9 8.1 100.0 .7 3.2 19.5 14.8 4.0 5.1 100.0 .7 4.4 16.5 18.1 1.4 5.5 100.0 1.0 2.0 17.5 18.6 3.6 4.7 100.0 .9 4.4 13.2 29.0 1.5 4.3 100.0 2.1 1.9 16.3 19.9 1.9 6.4 100.0 2.0 3.7 15.9 22.5 1.0 7.6 100.0 .9 6.1 15.4 13.8 4.3 6.4 100.0 2.2 5.6 12.7 18.8 2.4 7.3 100.0 .8 2.9 16.9 13.2 7.4 4.8 100.0 1.0 3.6 15.1 16.1 1.7 6.1 100.0 .1 5.7 13.5 14.4 4.0 5.0 100.0 .7 3.1 12.0 19.8 1.7 5.3 1.7 2.1 37.7 .9 4.1 33.1 4.8 1.8 33.3 1.8 2.0 36.7 4.2 2.1 34.1 1.8 2.8 30.7 2.3 3.6 33.2 .6 4.9 29.6 3.4 4.9 29.9 1.0 4.7 30.6 2.0 1.3 32.0 1.8 1.6 37.4 3.8 4.6 32.8 1.7 4.8 37.0 Source of injury or illness.......................................... Bodily m otion..................................................... Boxes, barrels, containers................................. Chemicals, chemical compounds...................... Furniture, fixtures, etc.......................................... Hand tools, not pow ered................................... Machines............................................................ Metal items ....................................................... Vehicles.............................................................. Working surfaces ............................................... Person................................................................ 100.0 8.1 12.0 1.8 5.3 4.3 7.5 5.4 4.4 19.1 8.5 100.0 6.5 10.0 1.7 2.3 6.0 6.4 15.1 8.0 12.1 1.6 100.0 10.0 15.8 2.3 1.7 6.8 7.9 4.7 3.2 17.6 .3 100.0 7.1 19.7 2.3 1.0 7.7 4.9 7.5 7.0 11.4 .2 100.0 10.5 15.2 1.7 2.0 9.6 11.3 3.6 2.0 16.2 .4 100.0 6.3 14.3 1.9 1.0 18.1 8.1 6.1 3.3 9.4 .2 100.0 6.4 13.8 2.1 1.5 4.0 23.0 21.8 1.2 7.4 .3 100.0 5.2 9.8 2.2 1.2 4.6 17.0 33.2 2.3 5.3 .3 100.0 7.3 10.9 9.9 2.4 3.6 17.2 13.2 1.3 10.1 .5 100.0 5.3 11.2 5.2 1.7 3.5 14.9 24.5 3.3 5.2 .5 100.0 7.5 16.8 7.8 1.8 3.6 8.7 13.8 2.5 7.0 .2 100.0 4.6 19.3 5.1 2.5 3.1 6.4 17.0 8.0 7.7 .1 100.0 9.2 9.9 8.7 3.8 5.7 9.2 13.8 1.8 11.3 .6 100.0 5.8 11.3 4.5 4.1 4.7 9.1 20.8 2.7 5.3 .7 Type of accident or exposure................................... Struck by or against.............................................. Fall from elevation ................................................. Fall on same level ................................................. Caught in, under, between ................................... Bodily reaction....................................................... Overexertion .......................................................... Contact with radiations, caustics, etc...................... Motor vehicle accidents ........................................ 100.0 25.8 4.8 16.8 6.6 8.0 22.4 3.8 1.3 100.0 33.0 6.6 7.9 7.6 6.6 21.5 3.4 2.2 100.0 25.0 3.9 16.1 9.6 8.7 18.9 6.2 .1 100.0 31.6 4.7 9.5 9.3 7.4 23.8 3.8 .2 100.0 28.0 4.1 14.1 10.1 9.7 19.7 5.7 .1 100.0 38.2 3.7 7.7 9.1 6.2 20.9 3.6 .1 100.0 29.6 1.8 8.0 17.8 6.1 23.9 3.7 .0 100.0 36.8 2.0 4.9 14.3 5.3 22.0 3.8 .0 100.0 22.5 1.5 10.1 14.0 6.7 19.8 12.2 .1 100.0 31.7 1.2 5.8 14.2 5.3 23.6 6.7 .0 100.0 28.0 1.3 8.1 9.2 6.7 22.6 9.4 .1 100.0 31.9 3.1 6.2 10.1 4.5 29.5 4.8 .3 100.0 23.8 1.7 11.2 8.2 8.0 20.8 10.8 .1 100.0 33.4 1.7 5.3 8.4 6.2 28.7 4.8 .1 Retail trade Sales workers Medical services Clerical workers Registered nurses Local government Nursing aides, orderlies, etc. Teachers Police and fire protection Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men 100.0 .1 1.2 17.7 18.7 .4 6.2 .9 2.1 36.8 100.0 .2 .8 11.7 22.1 .2 6.2 .4 2.9 38.6 100.0 .2 1.5 17.2 15.8 .3 6.7 1.1 1.9 38.1 100.0 .3 .8 14.2 25.1 .4 5.9 .5 2.2 36.9 100.0 .0 1.8 12.6 12.1 1.1 3.8 .7 2.2 49.4 100.0 .0 1.4 9.1 13.5 .0 2.0 1.0 2.0 53.5 100.0 .1 1.5 13.6 5.5 .8 2.3 .7 1.7 60.5 100.0 .2 1.2 13.3 7.8 1.0 2.4 .6 1.7 56.8 100.0 .2 .8 18.9 7.0 .3 11.4 .4 1.6 35.8 100.0 .4 1.4 10.6 10.3 .3 8.4 .9 2.3 41.9 100.0 .0 .5 15.0 6.1 .6 8.7 1.1 1.4 41.2 100.0 .0 2.6 12.2 9.8 .9 6.1 .5 3.0 39.9 Source of injury or illness............................................ Bodily m otion ....................................................... Boxes, barrels, containers................................... Chemicals, chemical compounds........................ Furniture, fixtures, etc............................................ Hand tools, not pow ered...................................... Machines.............................................................. Metal items ......................................................... Vehicles................................................................ Working surfaces ................................................. Person.................................................................. 100.0 8.4 20.8 .7 8.5 5.1 6.9 4.5 2.8 20.8 1.0 100.0 7.7 16.7 .4 7.5 7.2 6.0 6.7 9.9 12.0 2.1 100.0 7.6 25.4 .5 6.5 6.0 4.8 4.5 4.0 20.5 1.5 100.0 5.0 25.2 .6 5.3 9.8 3.2 8.8 7.7 11.1 1.0 100.0 8.2 2.8 .9 6.0 5.1 .8 3.3 3.3 14.9 35.1 100.0 6.1 2.0 .7 3.4 4.7 1.4 2.0 3.4 12.5 45.8 100.0 6.3 2.3 .5 6.1 1.3 .4 1.7 2.7 14.2 48.9 100.0 6.5 4.2 .6 6.2 1.2 .8 1.6 3.2 10.9 44.5 100.0 13.3 4.0 .4 6.5 1.7 1.3 1.3 2.2 33.6 11.7 100.0 19.5 4.2 1.2 5.7 1.7 3.0 4.3 2.6 18.3 14.1 100.0 14.3 1.7 .9 2.5 .7 .2 1.1 14.7 28.3 15.1 100.0 13.2 1.7 1.6 1.5 3.0 .4 4.0 14.3 16.2 14.8 Type of accident or exposure...................................... Struck by or against................................................. Fall from elevation ................................................... Fall on same level ................................................... Caught in, under, between ...................................... Bodily reaction.......................................................... Overexertion ............................................................ Contact with radiations, caustics, etc........................ Motor vehicle accidents .......................................... 100.0 34.3 8.3 15.3 3.5 8.4 22.2 1.3 .6 100.0 34.2 5.9 8.6 4.4 7.7 28.1 1.0 3.3 100.0 30.7 5.8 17.5 5.2 7.8 24.3 1.1 .7 100.0 38.7 5.1 7.8 6.3 5.2 28.6 1.3 1.0 100.0 21.1 1.5 15.0 2.9 8.0 35.2 5.5 1.4 100.0 21.6 2.4 11.5 1.0 6.1 42.4 7.1 .7 100.0 18.6 1.5 14.4 2.9 6.5 47.9 2.6 .3 100.0 25.6 1.6 10.0 3.0 7.0 43.6 3.7 .3 100.0 28.2 8.2 26.7 2.3 13.4 11.8 3.0 .7 100.0 31.1 5.1 14.7 1.8 19.4 15.9 2.4 1.2 100.0 18.8 7.5 21.8 2.5 14.4 14.0 3.7 7.0 100.0 24.0 6.3 10.7 2.4 13.3 15.3 6.1 8.1 Nature of injury or illness ............................................ Amputations.......................................................... Burns .................................................................. Contusions, crushing, bruise ............................... Cut, laceration, puncture...................................... Dermatitis ............................................................ Fractures.............................................................. Inflammation or irritation of joints, tendons, or muscles Scratches, abrasions .......................................... Sprains, strains..................................................... .. . 11ncludes occupations other than those shown separately. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Are Women Safer Workers? motion and working surfaces as sources of injuries among teachers in local government; boxes and contain ers as sources of injuries among laborers and clerical workers; metal items as a source of injury among ma chine operatives and laborers and assemblers; person as a source among nurses and nurses aides, and teachers, and in police and fire departments in local government; struck by or against among clerical workers; caught inunder, between and fall from elevation among opera tives. □ FOOTNOTES ' The industry codes are based on the Office of Management and Budget’s S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l, 1972, occupation codes are based on the B u r e a u o f th e C en su s O c c u p a tio n a l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l, 1 9 7 0 ; and the nature, part, source, and type codes are based on the American National Standards Institute’s A m e r ic a n N a injuries and illnesses. Because the annual survey does not include public sector employment injuries, the estimate includes an upward adjustment to account for such injuries. Public sector injuries accounted for 17 percent of all injuries in the Supplementary Data System; of these, women accounted for 27 percent. tio n a l S ta n d a r d M e th o d o f R e c o r d in g B a sic F a cts R e la tin g to th e N a tu r e a n d O c cu rren ce o f W o rk In ju rie s, ANSI Z16.2-1962. 5See S ta te P r o file o f E m p lo y m e n t a n d U n e m p lo y m e n t, 539 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, October 1978). 2See Norman Root and David McCaffrey, “Providing more infor mation on work injury and illness,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1978, pp. 16-21. 1The industry and occupational employment series are not compa rable but are the most reliable data available on national employment by sex. The occupational employment series also contains significant numbers of workers not covered by State workers’ compensation (for example, self-employed and unpaid family workers) and to this extent, relative employment ratios are overstated. The major factors which have a differential effect on the two series are detailed in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, March 1978, pp. 139-59. 4 The estimate was derived by applying the percentage of female work injuries in the Supplementary Data System data base to the 1977 national total of injuries and illnesses— approximately 5.5 mil lion— obtained through the Bureau’s annual survey of occupational 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1977, Report 6 Norman Root and Michael Hoefer, “The first work-injury data available from new BLS study,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , January 1979, pp. 3 -8 . 7Elizabeth Waldman and Beverly McEaddy, “Where women work — an analysis by industry and occupation,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , May 1974, pp. 3-13. 8For details on this subject, see Norman Root and David McCaf frey, “Targeting worker safety programs: weighing incidence against expense,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , January 1980, pp. 16-21. 9 It should be noted that occupational illnesses among all workers are reputed to be understated because of difficulties in diagnosis and in associating an illness with the workplace. To this extent, occupa tional illnesses as a proportion of all injury and illness cases may be larger than that identified. Occupational disease— difficult diagnosis T h e prim ary d ifficu lty in id e n tify in g d isea ses as o c cu p a tio n a l in origin o c curs w h en th e ca u se o f d isea se is n o t k n o w n , as in m en ta l illn ess. In 1970 over 8 0 0 ,0 0 0 p erso n s h ad th eir a c tiv ities lim ite d to so m e d egree d u e to m en tal an d n erv o u s c o n d itio n s . E ven th o u g h p s y c h o lo g ic a l, ch e m ic a l, p h y sica l in ju ries, h ered ity, or o th er c a u ses o f so m e m en ta l d iso rd ers m a y b e id en tified , w e h a v e n o id ea h o w th e b u lk o f su ch illn e sses o rigin ate. B eca u se th e ca u se o f m an y su ch d istu rb a n ces is n o t k n o w n , th e co n tr ib u tin g role o f th e w o rk p la ce c a n n o t read ily b e ev a lu a ted . D u e to th e large n u m b er o f p o te n tia l c a ses in v o lv ed , h o w ev er, th e h a n d lin g o f su ch c o n d itio n s w o u ld su b sta n tia lly affect th e n u m b er o f o c cu p a tio n a l d isea se c a ses estim a ted . T h e p ro b lem in v o lv es m ore th an sim p ly th e a b sen ce o f m ed ica l certa in ty a b o u t cau se. E ven if it w ere k n o w n th at th e stresses o f life can ca u se su ch illn e sses, w h at co n tr ib u tiv e role d o jo b -r ela te d p ressu res p lay in th e d e v e lo p m en t o f th e disorder? If jo b lo s s b egan th e p ro cess th a t led to an e m o tio n a l d istu rb an ce, c o u ld th is be term ed an o c cu p a tio n a l disease? If so , o n e p ro b a b ly sh o u ld a lso c o n sid e r as an o c cu p a tio n a l d isea se an illn e ss resu ltin g from th e fru stration o f an u n su c cessfu l jo b search even if th e in d iv id u a l in q u estio n h ad never p rev io u sly been e m p lo y ed . If stress-in d u ced e m o tio n a l d isa b ilities can be c o n sid e r ed o ccu p a tio n a l d is eases, so can sim ila rly ca u sed ca rd io v a scu la r illn e sses an d a lc o h o lism . W o rk e rs’ co m p e n sa tio n p ractitio n ers are aw are th a t so m e h eart d ise a se c a ses are cu rren tly b ein g c o m p e n sa te d as jo b related , b u t few if an y c a ses o f a lc o h o lism are b ein g seen b y th e sy stem . ------- P e t e r S. B a r t h w it h H. A llan H unt Workers' Compensation and Work-Related Illnesses and Diseases (C am b rid ge, M a ss., T h e M IT P ress, 1980), pp. 1 1 - 1 2 . Occupational safety and health: a report on worker perceptions Hazardous working conditions erode job satisfaction, say increasing numbers of workers; especially threatened is the inexperienced employee, who is the most likely to be injured on the job but least willing to bring potential dangers to the attention of management R i c h a r d L. F r e n k e l , W. C u r t is s P r ie s t , N ic h o l a s A . A s h f o r d and In 1969, 1972, and most recently in 1977, the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan con ducted opinion surveys of production workers, under U.S. Department of Labor sponsorship. These studies, known as the “Quality of Employment Surveys,” gather data on numerous characteristics of the worker and his job, and perhaps most importantly, on the worker’s subjective assessment of his worklife.1 For the analyst, the surveys provide information about worker opinions and job satisfaction not readily available elsewhere. And, because many of the questions asked remain es sentially unchanged from one survey to the next, the data may be used to chart major changes in attitudes toward various aspects of work over time. Certain questions relate to job safety and health, or to workers’ evaluation of safety as a job attribute. Un der contract to the Department of Labor, the Center for Policy Alternatives at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology has examined data pertaining to a number of these safety- and health-related questions.2 This arti cle summarizes some salient results of that study. Time trends in injury rates Over the 8 years spanned by the Quality of EmployRichard L. Frenkel is a research specialist, W. Curtiss Priest, the project director, and Nicholas A. Ashford, a principal investigator at the Center for Policy Alternatives, Massachusetts Institute of Tech nology. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment Surveys, work-injury rates reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics have fallen.3 Similarly, results from the Quality of Employment Surveys also indicate that the number of injuries clearly related to job activities, such as fractures and cuts, has declined. It is surprising then, that when asked generally about “work-related” injuries, survey respondents note a slight increase be tween 1969 and 1977.4 A detailed breakdown of the types of injuries reported by the workers suggests the cause of this apparent paradox: health problems of vari ous kinds are increasingly perceived as due to work place exposures. Because of the difficulty in proving the work-relatedness of many of these health problems, such “injuries” are not reflected in government statistics. It is likely that the increase in perceived injuries re sults from greater worker sensitivity to a variety of oc cupational hazards. In 1977, 78 percent of those surveyed noted one or more safety and health hazards in the workplace, compared with only 38 percent in 1969. Respondents in the most recent study were asked to be more specific about the types of dangers they en countered on the job. Seventy-two percent of the men reported exposure to “fumes, dust, or other air pollu tion,” as did 52 percent of the women. Similarly, 45 percent of the men and 21 percent of the women felt themselves exposed to “dangerous chemicals.” Other significant workplace hazards, arid the percentage of workers reporting each are shown below: 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Worker Perceptions o f Hazards H azard Men Women E x p o su r e to d a n g ero u s ch e m ic a ls ................ F ire or electric s h o c k ............................................ F u m e s, d u st or air p o l l u t i o n ............................ W ea th er (o u td o o r ) ............................................... E x trem es o f in d o o r tem p eratu re or h u m id ity ............................................................... B a d ly m a in ta in e d or dirty w o rk p la ce . . . . D a n g e r o u s ly sto red o r m isp la c ed item s . . N o is e ............................................................................ D a n g e r o u s to o ls or eq u ip m en t ...................... D ise a se (c o n ta g io u s) ............................................ T r a f f i c ............................................................................ P erso n a l v io le n c e ................................................... D a n g e r o u s w o rk m e th o d s ................................ O th er h a za rd s ......................................................... 45 52 72 52 21 30 52 10 35 37 24 45 55 19 38 21 30 3 47 26 13 54 37 15 13 11 19 2 Another trend evident in the data is the increase in work-related injuries reported by women. Female pro duction workers averaged over twice as many injuries in 1977 as in either 1972 or 1969, perhaps because by making inroads into traditionally male occupations, women are sharing the greater risks of these jobs as well.5 Job satisfaction and risk In the 1977 Quality of Employment Survey, workers were also asked questions about their level of job satis faction. Workers who reported exposure to a greater number of hazards, or who felt these hazards were more severe than average, were significantly less satisfied with their jobs.6 However, while it is tempting to infer that hazard exposure leads to lower job satisfaction, it is also possible that workers who were generally dissatis fied with their jobs for other reasons noted a greater number of hazards.7 Worker preference for safety and health In 1977, respondents were asked to decide whether they would prefer a 10-percent pay raise or various oth er job improvements. Among these other improvements was “a little safer or healthier working conditions.” By this “revealed preference” method, it was determined that nearly a third of all production workers would be willing to trade the pay increase for more safety and health at work. Other compensating benefits, and the fraction of production workers willing to trade a pay raise for each one: Benefit Percent o f workers In crea sed retirem en t b e n e f i t s ................... M o re m ed ica l i n s u r a n c e ............................. M o re p a id v a c a t i o n ...................................... S h orter w o r k w e e k ......................................... G rea ter c h a n c e for p r o m o t i o n ................ G rea ter jo b secu rity ................................... A little m o re sa fety a n d h e a l t h ............. G rea ter c o m fo r t a t w ork .......................... M o re in terestin g w o r k ................................ G rea ter freed o m to d ecid e w ork . . . . 6 5 .9 58.1 57.5 4 2 .4 4 0 .6 33.7 33.1 28.7 27.5 18.2 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis While retirement benefits and medical insurance are universal concerns, occupational safety and health is likely to be im portant chiefly to those significantly at risk. Consequently, the figures above may underrep resent the willingness of hazard-exposed workers to for go pay increases for safety improvements. For example, the 1977 data show that previously injured workers are more concerned about safety and health improvements than other groups. The same is true of union members, perhaps reflecting the greater unionization of risky jobs. And, workers who note workplace hazards, or who have specific health symptoms, are also generally more willing to sacrifice increased pay for a little more safety and health. Working conditions and injury rates A number of possible working conditions were intro duced in the 1977 Quality of Employment Survey ques tionnaire. Workers were asked to decide which of these conditions were characteristic of their jobs. Thus, a worker could describe his job as being repetitious or in teresting, or as requiring a high level of skill, or much physical effort. Workers who noted “negative” working conditions also reported, on average, a greater number of job-relat ed injuries. In particular, “fast” or “hard” work, and work requiring “considerable physical effort,” were fre quently associated with injuries. Workers who felt that they did not have enough authority, information, or as sistance to do their jobs properly also had higher injury rates than other workers. Many of these job characteristics were likewise relat ed to the number of health symptoms reported by workers. These symptoms include such problems as “trouble breathing” or “back pains,” and do not have to be work related. A larger number of symptoms seems to be associated with generally “negative” job qualities, while fewer symptoms are associated with “positive” job qualities: “Negative”jo b qualities F a st w ork p ace W ork hard R e p e titio u s w ork N o t e n o u g h h elp N o t e n o u g h a u th o rity N o t e n o u g h fa cts an d in fo rm a tio n N o t e n o u g h to o ls an d eq u ip m en t N o t e n o u g h tim e to d o th e jo b righ t “Positive” jo b qualities N e e d to learn n e w th in g s fast Jo b a llo w s freed om Jo b req uires h igh sk ill level Jo b h as variety o f w ork These results suggest a causal relationship between work characteristics and health problems. Again, how ever, subjective bias may influence the results, as work ers who are “generally dissatisfied” may tend to report both more negative job characteristics and a greater number of health problems. Tenure and perceived hazards Other studies have found a significant relationship be tween a worker’s tenure and the probability that he will have an accident.8 The survey data illustrate this rela tionship dramatically: workers employed between 1 and 3 months report 3 times as many injuries as workers with from 1 to 3 years on the job, and 8 times as many as those employed for more than 20 years.9 Perceived hazard exposure is also related to tenure. Workers who note badly maintained or dirty work places, or dangerously stored items, stay significantly shorter periods than other workers. Only perceived noise exposure does not seem to bear much relationship to tenure; workers who report exposure to noise do not have shorter average tenures than others.10 While workers who have been on the job for a rela tively short time often note exposure to a greater num ber of hazards than other workers, they do not generally feel endangered. On the other hand, workers with longer tenures cite fewer hazards, but are more apt to judge them as “severe.” It would seem from these re sults, and the data on injuries, that workers relatively new to the job may in fact be exposed to a greater number of hazards, but that they may underestimate the danger from these hazards. Reporting of hazards by workers When workers noted a hazard they felt to be “great” or “sizable,” they were asked if they had “reported” it to anyone. The rate at which workers reported such dangers is influenced by a number of factors, the most important of which is tenure: fewer than 30 percent of employees with less than 3 months’ tenure reported a severe hazard, compared with nearly 70 percent of those with between 5 and 10 years on the job. Union mem bership, age, and education were not significantly relat ed to the hazard report rate. However, women, and employees who felt that their employers would not keep them fully informed about potential dangers were more likely than others to report a severe hazard. When workers did report a hazardous condition to someone, 8 out of 10 did so to an immediate supervisor or other management personnel. Reports to a Govern ment agency at any level constituted about 7 percent of all complaints, and reports to union representatives, less than 6 percent.11 Priorities of union members The 1977 Quality of Employment Survey provides considerable information about worker-perceived union performance in various areas of concern, including job safety and health. The following tabulation lists a num https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ber of possible areas of union activity, in the order in which workers feel effort should be expended. Thus, “handling grievances” is the area in which union work ers want their unions to expend most effort, while “in creasing worker input in business decisions” is the area in which they feel the least effort is needed: Area o f union concern H a n d lin g g r i e v a n c e s ................................................ K ee p in g m em b ersh ip in fo rm ed o f u n ion a ctio n ......................................................................... Im p ro v in g frin ge b e n e f i t s ...................................... In creasin g m em b ersh ip in p u t in u n ion d irectio n ................................................................... In crea sin g jo b secu rity ......................................... In crea sin g w a g es ...................................................... In crea sin g o c cu p a tio n a l sa fety an d h ealth . . In crea sin g w ork er “ s a y ” in h o w th e jo b is p erform ed ............................................................... In crea sin g jo b i n t e r e s t ............................................ In crea sin g w ork er in p u t in b u sin ess d e c isio n s ................................................................... Effort ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 By and large, workers feel that their unions do pur sue these goals in the correct order.12The greatest short falls between “desired effort” and “perceived perfor mance” are in the areas of increasing membership input in union direction and handling of grievances. M onitor ing of health and safety ranks seventh in shortfall of perceived union effort. However, it is noteworthy that union workers want almost as much effort spent on im proving safety and health conditions as on increasing wages. osha fines and survey data compared The Occupational Safety and Health Administration ( o s h a ) collects data on inspection activity and fines as part of the Management Information System.13 By com bining these data with those from the Quality of Em ployment Survey, it was possible to explore the relationship of worker-perceived hazards to the level of OSHA fines in any industry. Dollars of proposed penalty per hour of inspection time was chosen as a measure of the severity of safety violations noted by OSHA inspec tors. This measure was assumed to be fairly indepen dent of total industry employment. OSHA’s proposed penalty per hour of inspection time was higher in industries in which workers themselves noted the hazards of “noise,” “dangerous work meth ods,” “fire or shock,” or “dangerous equipment.” Worker perception of these dangers would thus seem to agree with the findings of OSHA inspectors. OSHA fines did not vary significantly with the mean age of surveyed workers in an industry, or with their sex, race, income, or willingness to pay for health and safety. On the other hand, proposed penalties were highest for industries represented predominantly by 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Worker Perceptions o f Hazards very small firms (those with under 10 employees) or very large firms (those with over 2,000 employees) on the Quality of Employment Surveys. While these dif ferences are not large, they are unexpected, because me dium-size firms have the highest reported injury rates.14 Conclusions Information gathered in the Quality of Employment Surveys permits investigation of the relationship be tween various aspects of work, and worker satisfaction. The results of this study reveal that job safety and health are important concerns for most workers, and that such concerns are on the increase. While this con clusion should be encouraging to policymakers, certain problem areas in safety and health regulation were also identified. The first of these involves the long recognized rela tionship between job tenure and injury probability. Stated simply, workers who are new on their jobs have several times the probability of injury of more experi enced workers. At the same time, they are the least willing to report even severe perceived hazards to any one, probably because hazard reports must usually be directed to management. Finally, union handling of safety-related grievances is often felt to be inadequate by union members, and, consequently, few reports of dangerous conditions are directed through union chan nels. Mechanisms are needed to encourage new workers to report what they feel are severe hazards, and to pro vide all workers with alternatives when appeals to man agement fail. The results of this study have implications for employers as well. Unpleasant working conditions gen erally, and injury-causing hazards in particular seem to go hand in hand. It is likely that a concerned manage ment acts to alleviate unpleasant working conditions, including hazards. On the other hand, it is possible that workers who report hazards tend to note unpleasant work conditions because of their general job dissatisfac tion. Further investigations are needed to help pinpoint the relationship between inadequate job safety and health and individual firm management styles. Such studies could also clarify the role of hazard abatement in improving employee morale. □ Data are based on personal interviews with members of a national household probability sample of employed persons 16 years or older who worked for pay 20 hours a week or more. Thus, the term “work ers” is defined to include adults substantially engaged in remunerative employment. The 1969 survey included all eligible respondents in each of the sample households. During the 1973 and 1977 surveys, only one worker per household was interviewed, but responses were appropri ately weighted to compensate for the underrepresentation of workers in multiple-worker families. 5In 1969, the 100 female production workers reported 12 injuries, and in 1972, there were 13 injuries for 115 women. But in 1977, the 101 female production workers reported 32 injuries. 2U.S. Department of Labor, Contract J-9-F-8-0131, funded by the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy, Evaluation and Research. See Richard L. Frenkel and W. Curtiss Priest, H e a lth , S a fe ty , a n d th e *See Nicholas A. Ashford, C risis in th e W o rk p la c e : O c c u p a tio n a l (Cambridge, Mass., The MIT Press, 1976), pp. 107 -1 3 , for a discussion of accident causation studies. 6 Significant at the 10 percent or better level. Others have noted the problem of subjective bias. See Daniel Hamermesh, “Economic Aspects of Job Satisfaction,” E ss a y s in L a b o r M a r k e t A n a ly sis, Orley Ashenfelter and Wallace Oates, eds., (New York, John Wiley & Sons, 1978). D isea se a n d I n ju r y W o rk er: A n I n -D e p th C o n sid era tio n o f H a z a r d s a n d E ffe c ts a s R e v e a le d in S u r v e y D a ta (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for "The rate for low-tenured workers is biased upwards because they may have changed jobs subsequent to, and because of, injury. Policy Alternatives, September 1979) for a detailed full report on the study. 5The following injury and illness rates for manufacturing have been computed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: 11The figure is approximately 5.6 percent when limited to union workers, and lower, of course, when all workers are considered. 1969, 14.8; 1970, 15.2; 1972, 15.6; 1973, 15.3; 1974, 14.6; 1975, 13.0; 1976, 13.2. Rates for 1969 and 1970 are frequency rates, and are not strictly comparable with figures for later years, which are incidence rates. Al though these data indicate a modest decline in work-related illness and injury, it should also be noted that the lost workday case rate rose steadily over the same period. 4 Frenkel and Priest, H e a lth , S a f e ty a n d th e W orker, p. 81. The fol lowing injury rates for production workers were computed: Male Female 1969— .2177 1969— .1212 1972— .2628 1972— .1139 1977 — .2882 1977 — .3179 These rates represent the total number of injuries experienced by workers in the 3 previous years, divided by the total number of work ers. Thus, the annual injury rate equivalent may be computed by di viding by 3. 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10Corrected for age. 2See also “On Trial: A Union’s Fairness,” 1979, p. 76. B u sin e ss W eek, Aug. 13, 11 We wish to express our appreciation to the Office of Management Data Systems of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration for providing these data in machine readable form. 14The Quality of Employment Survey provided a convenient, but not very suitable, vehicle for investigating this relationship. The ques tion is better suited to aggregate firm data. However, these results do contrast with the intent of the Schweiker Amendment to exempt es tablishments of 10 or fewer employees in selected SIC coded indus tries. The presumption in that amendment is that SIC coded industries with low injury rates should be exempted because their in jury rates are low. However, this presumption ignores the possibility that although injury rates may be lower in some industries than oth ers, the opportunity for improvement in reducing injuries and fatali ties may be greater in some of the lower injury rate industries, especially if these industries are dominated by smaller firms. Geographic wage indexing for CETA and Medicare The tailoring of grants-in-aid to wage levels in the localities which receive them enjoys growing popularity among Federal policymakers; two ongoing programs illustrate the flexibility of this technique R ic h a r d G reene During the 1970’s, a goal of Federal domestic policy was the direction of aid packages to specific geographic areas and groups of people. Federal grants-in-aid to State and local governments rose from $10.9 billion in 1965 to an estimated $88.9 billion during fiscal 1980. This new approach to managing the economy consider ably altered the relationship between the Federal gov ernment and State and local governments and created a strong demand for accurate and timely information on the economic conditions in States and smaller areas. Local statistical indicators are vital to effective policy formulation and evaluation and, in a narrower sense, are the primary requisite for identifying and directing assistance to economically distressed areas. In fiscal 1979, more than $19 billion in Federal aid was alloca ted on the basis of the BLS program Local Area Unem ployment Statistics, and an additional $20 billion was distributed through programs based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ State and substate data on personal and per capita income. And, growing numbers of multi establishment employers— both private and public— are using area wage determinations to establish appropriate pay structures for employees in diverse locations. Recent congressional action on the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act reauthorization and the Richard Greene is a labor economist in the Office of Employment Structure and Trends, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis jobs component of welfare reform, regulations issued or under study by various Federal agencies, and the Ad ministration push to tie Federal pay scales to local wage levels indicate acceptance of the concept of geographic wage indexing by national policymakers. Use of the procedure in Federal grant programs is largely the re sult of congressional interest in finetuning grant-in-aid allocation formulas. At the same time, the expansion and refinement of an important administrative record system— the ES-202 program — has made a body of data available to support index development. Obviously, the amount of financial assistance needed to operate a given program varies by locality. The goal of geographic wage indexing is to produce a more effi cient funds allocation system by accounting for differ ences in local labor-market conditions. According to the 1978 CETA reauthorization, wage indexing is a tool to “provide the maximum number of employment and training opportunities under this Act.’’ Proper construction is especially im portant for a geo graphic index used to distribute Federal funds. The chief problem in developing such an index arises from the fact that people travel to work across political boundaries; that is, labor markets do not conform to political boundaries. Consequently, for many jurisdic tions, a place-of-residence index will differ substantially from a place-of-work index. Other major variables in volved in index design are summarized as follows: 15 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Geographic Wage Indexing Variable Examples G eo g r a p h ic area R e g io n , S tate, S tan d ard M etr o p o lita n S ta tistica l A rea, city , co u n ty , an d p rim e sp o n so r T y p e o f w ork er A ll e m p lo y ee s, n o n g o v er n m e n t, service p ro d u cin g , m ed ica l ser v ices, h o sp ita l T y p e o f d a ta A n n u a l average w a g e, average w eek ly w age, average h o u rly earn in gs T y p e o f in d ex P la ce o f w ork , p lace o f resid en ce R eferen ce p eriod Y ear, qu arter, m o n th , w eek This article describes the procedures currently used to index the Federal CETA and Medicare programs, and their data source, the ES-202 system. The indexing techniques for both programs are very straightforward; each index is simply the ratio of a specific locality’s wage level for a particular segment of the labor force to that segment’s national wage average and is based on a place-of-work concept. An index value greater than 1 indicates that area wages generally exceed the national average, and the Federal program’s disbursement level is adjusted accordingly. The data source The E S-202 program compiles information on the employment of, and total wage payments to, workers covered by unemployment insurance (ui). Each calendar quarter, all Ul-covered employers submit mandatory re ports of employment and wage data to the appropriate State Employment Security Agency. These reports are edited, summarized by county, State, and detailed in dustry, and forwarded to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which computes national totals. Among the final prod ucts of the system are monthly employment and total quarterly wages by county, State, detailed industry, type of employer (Federal, State and local government or private sector), and (for the first quarter) employ ment size of establishment. In 1978, U i coverage was extended to employees of State and local governments. Thus, the ES-202 pro gram now provides a virtual quarterly census of the em ployment and wages of all nonagricultural sectors of the economy. (A significant portion of agriculture was also covered for the first time beginning in 1978.) Because of their broad scope, UI data provide a means to evaluate overall labor-market trends and industry developments for the Nation as a whole and for individual States, Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas, and counties. The data are used in the construction of major statisti 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cal series, including the U.S. Department of Commerce’s national income accounts and personal income estimates by State and county, and to benchmark employment in formation for Federal and State government surveys. The employer listings maintained by this system also serve as a sampling frame for most establishment stud ies conducted by BLS. CETA wage adjustment index The 1978 Comprehensive Employment and Training Act ( c e t a ) Amendments require the calculation of an area wage adjustment index, showing the relationship between the local and national average wage rates. Specifically, this index is used to determine: (1) the av erage annual federally supported wage rate which must be maintained in each CETA prime sponsor area1; and, (2) the maximum wage payable to any Public Service Employee ( p s e ) from CETA funds. Each year, BLS prepares the c e t a wage adjustment index, in accordance with the requirements of the Em ployment and Training Administration. The index for fiscal 1980 was published in the Federal Register on September 28, 1979. Index calculation. The first step in calculating the CETA wage adjustment index is computation of the average annual wage for each county. This is defined as the ra tio of total wages paid during the previous calendar year to average monthly employment for that year. Ap proximately 6 percent of CETA prime sponsors represent combinations of counties or of portions of counties. In such cases, the sponsor’s annual average wage is the mean of the component counties’ annual wages after the latter have been weighted by the proportion of the sponsor’s employment which they represent. In those instances in which more than one prime sponsor is con tained entirely within a county (Los Angeles County, for example, wholly contains 5 prime sponsors), each prime sponsor is assigned the annual wage for the coun- Exhibit 1. CETA index calculation1for Cleveland City prime sponsor (Cuyahoga county) A n n u a l average c o u n ty e m p lo y m e n t (E m p ) = 7 6 2 ,7 6 6 T o ta l an n u al c o u n ty w a g es (T W ) = $ 1 0 ,8 4 6 ,3 2 2 ,4 3 0 C o u n ty average an n u al w a g e = T W /E m p = $ 1 4 ,2 2 0 A v e ra g e an n u al w age C E T A In d ex = ------------------------------------- — — A v e ra g e an n u al w a g e United S(ates $ 1 4 ,2 2 0 $ 1 2 ,1 4 4 ’ See table 1, footnote 1. 1.171 ty as a whole. The c e t a index is then determined by comparing the prime sponsor’s annual wage to the na tional average, which was $12,144 in 1978. Exhibit 1 il lustrates the CETA index calculation for the Cleveland City prime sponsor, which is wholly contained in Cuya hoga county. Index values are similarly computed for each prime sponsor, Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area ( s m s a ), and county with more than 50,000 inhabitants. Prime sponsors may use the index of a component SMSA or county, if higher than their overall index, for that por tion of their jurisdiction which is in the higher index lo cality. Application. The wage index is used to compute average and maximum wages payable to CETA employees by a prime sponsor. (The most recent index values are based on 1978 data, and are used for wage adjustments made during fiscal 1980.) The construction of a sponsor’s av erage wage takes into account the 1978 legislated na tional average wage of $7,200, the over-the-year mean percentage change in wages nationwide, and the local area’s current-year wage index. For the Cleveland City prime sponsor, the fiscal 1980 average wage would be computed as follows: • U p d a t e th e n a tio n a l average w a g e “ b a se ” b y a d ju stin g for th e o v er-th e-y ea r w a g e c h a n g e. T h e in crease in an n u al w a g es n a tio n w id e averaged 6 .3 p ercen t d u rin g 1978. R e v ise d b a se = ($ 7 ,2 0 0 ) (1 .0 6 3 ) = $ 7 ,6 5 4 • D e t e r m in e th e C lev ela n d C ity p rim e sp o n s o r ’s average w a g e b y a d ju stin g th e revised n atio n a l b ase b y C le v ela n d ’s curren t-y ea r in d ex. (T h e m in im u m average an n u al w a g e for a n y sp o n so r m u st be at least 10 p ercen t a b o v e th e a n n u a lized F ed eral m in im u m w a g e.) C lev ela n d average w a g e = (R e v ise d n a tio n a l b a se) (C u rren t-year in d ex) $ 8 ,9 6 3 = ($ 7 ,6 5 4 ) (1 .1 7 1 ) The prime sponsor’s maximum wage is similarly con structed, except that the national base is $10,000, rather than $7,200. Thus, the maximum wage for Cleveland City was: C lev ela n d m a x im u m w a g e = ($ 1 0 ,0 0 0 ) (C u rren t-year in d ex ) $ 1 1 ,7 1 0 = ($ 1 0 ,0 0 0 ) (1 .1 7 1 ) The maximum wage for local areas has a ceiling of $12,000, except for prime sponsors whose average wages are at least 50 percent greater than the national m ean— a situation occurring only in Alaska. This upper limit was established to ensure that CETA wages are compatible with the skill levels of the disadvantaged population which Congress intended the program to serve. According to the current regulations, a prime spon https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T a b l e 1. A v e r a g e a n n u a l w a g e a n d C E T A in d e x le v e ls , 1 s e le c t e d S M S A ’s SMSA Average wage Index $20,363 16,917 15,964 15,715 15,254 15,149 15,058 14,810 14,754 14,736 1.677 1.393 1.315 1.294 1.256 1.247 1.240 1.219 1.219 1.213 $14,511 14,217 13,604 12,739 15,964 14,135 14,262 12,191 12,134 12,361 1.195 1.171 1.120 1.049 1.315 1.164 1.174 1.004 .999 1.018 10 highest wage SMSA's: Anchorage ..................................... F lin t................................................. Detroit ............................................ Saginaw.......................................... Gary-Hammond ............................. Peoria ............................................ Steubenville-Weirton, O h io ............. Ann Arbor ...................................... Kokom o.......................................... Richland-Kennewick, Wash.............. 10 largest SMSA 's: New Y o rk ........................................ Chicago.......................................... Los Angeles................................... Philadelphia ................................... Detroit ............................................ San Francisco ............................... Washington, D.C.............................. Boston............................................ Nassau-Suffolk............................... Dallas-Fort Worth .......................... 1The index determination, based on 1978 data, is used to adjust CETA wage levels during fiscal 1980. sor’s average wage is adjusted each year for overall wage level changes, but its maximum wage is left unadjusted. In the future, this anomaly could result in prime sponsor average wages which exceed correspond ing maximum levels. Currently, the average CETA wage is approximately 63 percent of the average annual wage for all workers in an area; the mean potential maximum wage is about 88 percent of the all-worker figure. An analysis of the variation among locality indexes is important, because these data directly determine CETA wages. Table 1 presents index levels for the 10 largest and 10 “highest average annual wage” SMSA’s. Detroit is the only area appearing on both lists. All of the larg est SMSA’s are at or above the average annual wage for the United States, and six exceed the national mean by 12 percent or more. Eight of the highest wage SMSA’s are located in areas dominated by high-paying steel and automobile manufacturing industries; four of these are located in Michigan. As the following tabulation indicates, there is a Table 2. Percent distribution of SMSA’s by region and CETA index level1 Index value Region United S tates......... Northeast.......................... South................................. M idw est............................. West ................................. Total 100 100 100 100 100 Under .90 34 28 53 16 26 .90 to .99 1.00 to 1.09 32 40 30 26 40 20 21 13 29 19 1.10 and above 15 12 5 30 14 1See table 1, footnote 1. NOTE: Due to rounding, sums of individual items may not equal 100. 17 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Geographic Wage Indexing stron g p o sitiv e correlation and CETA in d ex value: SM SA b etw een population U n d e r 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 ................................... 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 to 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ...................... G rea ter th a n 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ................ sm sa p op u lation Exhibit 2. Hospital wage index calculation1for the Cleveland SMSA Average index value .9 3 0 .9 7 4 1.065 • C a lcu la te th e average h o sp ita l w a g e for C levelan d (W c ): w = __________ T o ta l h o sp ita l w a g e sc|CTd>nJ A v e ra g e an n u al h o sp ita l e m p lo y m e n tclevdand Larger cities generally have higher overall relative wages because of favorable industry and occupational mix, lo cation factors, labor force composition, and other tradi tionally cited reasons for area wage differentials. Al though only 35 percent of the SMSA’s had index values greater than 1, these areas accounted for over 63 per cent of the total population in SMSA’s nationwide. Table 2 presents the distribution of SMSA’s by wage index and region. Note that in the Midwest a majority of the SMSA’s had wages above the national mean. In contrast, averages for more than two-thirds of those in both the Northeast and South fell below the U.S. average. Medicare = $ 1 1 ,6 1 2 • C a lcu la te th e n a tio n a l a verage h o sp ita l w a g e for ur b an areas (U W nar,): v 1 (average an n u al h o sp ita l w a g e for ea ch T o ta l n u m b er o f smsa) s m s a ’s = $ 9 ,9 1 2 C a lcu la te th e h o sp ita l w a g e in d ex for C lev ela n d (Ic): W 'e = TJw~ = 1See table 3, footnote 1. In 1974, the Health Care Financing Administration ( h c f a ) of the Department of Health, Education and Welfare established a schedule of limits on the hospital inpatient general routine operating costs which may be reimbursed by the Federal Government under Medi care. This procedure limits reimbursable costs to those recognized as reasonable for the efficient delivery of needed health services. Authority to set these reim bursement limits was established by the 1972 Social Se curity Amendments. According to estimates of health care expenditures, wages and salaries account for about 60 percent of total inpatient general routine operating costs.2 In recognition of the interarea differences in hospital labor costs, the Health Care Financing Administration developed a wage index from the ES-202 data to adjust the labor component of the reimbursement limit. In this way, the limit for an individual hospital will reflect the wage lev els appropriate to the area in which the hospital is lo cated. The most recent index, based on 1978 data, will be used to adjust limits for hospitals whose cost report ing periods begin on or after July 1, 1980. As in the CETA program, the hospital wage index is used to adjust an established reimbursement level to the wage structure of the local labor market. But the CETA index is used to adjust the legislated $7,200 national av erage wage, while the hospital wage index is applied to a reimbursable schedule according to such factors as the location (urban or nonurban) and size of the hospital. Calculation o f the hospital labor cost index. The follow ing discussion summarizes the Hospital Care Financing Administration’s procedures described in the April 1, 1980 Federal Register. Because the level of reimburseDigitized18 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment depends in part upon hospital location, separate indexes are calculated for urban and nonurban areas. Exhibit 2 shows the wage index calculation for a hospi tal in the Cleveland SMSA. There is a major difference between the CETA and health program procedures used to compute the nation al average wage. The CETA national average is weighted according to the employment size of the component areas, while the hospital wage mean is unweighted. This implies that a large city will have a greater proportional influence on the CETA national wage, but will have the same impact as a smaller-sized city on the health pro gram index. Exhibit 3. Cost reimbursement procedure for a 500-b e d Cleveland hospital • D e ter m in e th e la b o r an d n o n la b o r reim b u rsem en t lim its: F ro m th e sc h e d u le s ap p earin g in th e A p ril 1, 1980 Federal Register, th e la b o r an d n o n la b o r reim b u rsem en t lim its for a 5 0 0 - b e d urban h o sp ita l are $ 9 4 .4 9 an d $ 2 6 .4 7 per d ay, resp ectiv ely , or $ 1 2 0 .7 6 , co m b in ed . • C o m p u te th e a d ju ste d la b or c o m p o n en t: A d ju ste d la b or c o m p o n e n t = (L a b o r reim b u rsem en t lim it) (C le v ela n d w a g e in d ex ) $ 1 1 0 .4 6 = ($ 9 4 .2 9 ) (1 .1 7 1 5 ) • C o m p u t e n ew reim b u rsem en t lim it: N e w lim it = (A d ju ste d la b o r c o m p o n e n t) + (N o n la b o r c o m p o n e n t) $ 1 3 6 .9 3 = 1 10.46 + 2 6 .4 7 Application. Once determined, the hospital labor cost in dex is applied to the reimbursement limits for individual hospitals. Exhibit 3 illustrates the calculation of the ad justed limit for a 500-bed hospital in Cleveland. Hospi tals are also permitted to make other adjustments to their reimbursable limits which do not involve the wage index. An analysis of the variation among the area indexes reveals some similarities to and differences from CETA patterns. Table 3 presents index data for the 10 largest and 10 highest hospital labor cost indexed SMSA’s. An index value greater than 1 indicates that the SMSA has higher hospital wages than the unweighted average hos pital wage for all SMSA’s. The high-index SMSA’s include four of the largest SMSA’s in the country, and are domi nated by California areas. The same positive population-to-wage-index correla tion observed in CETA determinations occurs with the hospital wage data. Only 45 percent of the SMSA’s had labor cost indexes greater than 1, but they accounted for over 71 percent of the total U.S. population in SMSA’s. The following tabulation illustrates this tendency of larger cities to have higher hospital unit labor costs. SMSA p o p u l a t i o n A v e r a g e hcfa in d e x U n d e r 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 ...................................... 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 to 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ....................................... G rea ter th a n 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ...................................... .966 1.021 1.119 The regional distribution of SMSA’s by labor cost in dex level (table 4) shows that in both the Northeast and West, approximately two-thirds of the SMSA’s have hos pital wages greater than the national average, while the Table 3. SMSA’s Hospital labor cost index levels, selected SMSA HCFA index 10 highest index SMSA 's: Vallejo, Calif ................................................................................ Anchorage .................................................................................. New York .................................................................................... Oxnard, C a lif................................................................................ San Francisco............................................................................. San Jose .................................................................................... Santa Rosa, Calif ....................................................................... Nassau-Suffolk ........................................................................... Stockton, C a lif.............................................................................. Los Angeies ................................................................................ 1.54 1.52 1.45 1.41 1.38 1.38 1.32 1.31 1.30 1.29 10 largest SMSA 's: New York .................................................................................... Chicago ...................................................................................... Los Angeles ................................................................................ Philadelphia.................................................................................. Detroit ........................................................................................ San Francisco.............................................................................. Washington, D.C ......................................................................... Boston ......................................................................................... Nassau-Suffolk ........................................................................... Dallas-Fort Worth ....................................................................... 1.45 1.22 1.29 1.16 1.18 1.38 1.28 1.14 1.31 .94 1The index determination, based on 1978 data, is used to adjust reimbursement levels for hospitals whose cost reporting periods begin on or after July 1,1980. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Percent distribution of SMSA’s by region and hospital labor cost index level1 Index Region Total United States ......... Northeast ........................... South ................................. Midwest............................... W e s t................................... 100 100 100 100 100 Under .90 .90 to .99 1.00 to 1.09 1.10 and above 16 10 38 22 23 29 24 34 35 9 39 38 16 25 23 16 29 12 18 45 1See table 3, footnote 1. NOTE: Due to rounding, sums of individual items may not equal 100. South is dominated by low-wage SMSA’s. Thus, a com parison of the hospital labor cost and CETA indexes re veals that wage adjustments resulting from the former will tend to be larger in the West and Northeast while the latter will yield larger adjustments in the Midwest. Summary The practice of adjusting Federal compensation ac cording to an area’s relative pay level is rapidly gaining acceptance among designers of Federal grant programs. Although similar in concept, the mechanics underlying the calculations of the two wage indexes described in this article vary according to the goals and limitations of the authorizing legislation. For example, the hospital wage index is based only on data for hospital employees because studies indicate that the wages of other groups, particularly the “total service” sector, do not properly reflect pay levels in hospitals.3The CETA index, however, is based on the wages of all non-CETA employees, be cause there are no restrictions on the types of industries in which CETA workers may be employed. (Traditional ly, however, most CETA workers have been hired by State and local governments.) The other major difference between these indexes is in the calculation of the national average wage, the base to which the area pay levels are compared. In order to maintain the $7,200 average wage (in fiscal 1979 dol lars) nationwide established by the 1978 CETA Amend ments, the program’s national average is weighted by the employment of the component counties, and thus largely reflects the average wages of larger cities. But because the intent of the Health Care Financing Ad ministration is merely to effect a labor-cost adjustment, independent of area employment size, that agency relies on an unweighted national average which treats each area’s average hospital wage equally, regardless of total area employment. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1CETA programs function principally through prime sponsors — the States, cities and counties of 100,000 inhabitants or more, and combinations of such areas. There were 473 sponsors in fiscal 1980. 2 F e d e r a l R eg iste r, June 1, 1979, p. 31806. ’ F e d e r a l R eg iste r, June 1, 1979, p. 31807. 19 Industrial relations research: an agenda for the 1980’s An organized effort is needed to fill critical gaps in our understanding of the collective bargaining process, and this calls for renewed academic interest in the study of industrial relations T hom as A. K o ch an Is industrial relations today attuned to the needs of the 1980’s? Because a good deal of evidence says “no,” a group of practitioners has designed a research effort to reverse the perceived decline. This article casts these proposals into an agenda for industrial relations re search for the next decade. The nature of the decline In recent years, two central criticisms of industrial re lations research have been offered by a variety of researchers: (1) linkages among researchers, policymak ers, and practitioners were more common previously, but have eroded in recent years, and, (2) research on la bor-management relations has not kept pace with gener al theoretical and methodological developments in the social sciences. As a result, research is not adequately meeting the demand for informed policy analysis.1 Four interrelated causes of these developments have frequently been cited. First, the number of researchers in the field has declined since the time of the National War Labor Board. Most of the labor economists trained in the 1960’s and 1970’s specialized in labor market economics, human resource policy, or other areas in which abundant funding was available, and which allowed more direct use of economic theories and econometric techniques. Similarly, persons with stronger interest in the behavioral sciences entered the expanding fields of organizational behavior and development, and Thomas A. Kochan is a professor of industrial relations at the Massa chusetts Institute of Technology. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis generally abandoned the study of collective bargaining and labor-management relations. Secondly, since 1960, public labor policy has drifted toward more direct governmental regulation of the terms and conditions of employment, with little regard for the role of collective bargaining. Direct regulation appeared necessary to achieve some labor policy objec tives, because neither collective bargaining nor the com petitive market had produced the results desired by society in such areas as equal employment opportunity, occupational safety and health, pension security, and wage and price stability. However, there is a growing recognition of the limits of direct regulation, and the problems that gave rise to such laws will continue to be of critical concern to labor, management, and the public during the next decade. Thus, the 1980’s should be a time to test the ability of unions and employers to ad dress public objectives through collective bargaining re lationships. Thirdly, the U.S. Department of Labor has shifted priorities to its growing regulatory responsibilities and expanding employment and training programs at the ex pense of labor-management relations research, policy development, and services. Less than 7 percent of the budget of the Labor Management Services Administra tion, the organization with primary labor relations re sponsibilities, and less than 1 percent of the Labor Department’s total budget, is currently allocated to ac tivities designed to improve labor-management rela tions. Finally, relations between labor and management in the private sector have polarized in recent years. During the 1970’s, many employers devoted more resources to opposing union organizing efforts than to improving their collective bargaining relationships. Over the same period, union membership in the private sector declined, and labor became defensive of its status in society and industry. This polarization limited the bilateral develop ment of new approaches for dealing with common problems at the workplace. One result of the deterioration of labor-management relations was the political stalemate between business and labor, which impeded congressional passage of la bor legislation, whether backed by labor or business. Policy development on labor issues, therefore, is cur rently at a standstill. General directions for research In order to redirect and revitalize the study of indus trial relations, a research agenda for the 1980’s was developed by the Department of Labor and a number of scholars in the field. Four points drawn from recent research critiques formed the basis of the agenda: • A richer blending of institutional and quantitative methods should be achieved. • More attention should be paid to the organiza tional behavior and functioning of micro institutions — firms and union locals— and to their implications for macro performance. • Research should measure the actual impacts of prac tices, laws, and bargaining agreements on the goals of the parties, rather than limiting itself to description of the anticipated results. • Research findings should be disseminated more effec tively to interested professionals in the field. The specific research topics included in this agenda re flect the labor policy issues likely to be most critical in the 1980’s.2 The outcomes and effects of bargaining Two types of research on bargaining outcomes are needed. The first would investigate the current effects of collective bargaining on the terms and conditions of em ployment, and on public policy objectives. The second would evaluate the costs and benefits of specific experi ments (or demonstration projects) designed to improve the performance of bargaining. In short, we need to de scribe all pertinent aspects of the industrial relations scene, and then measure the effect that change in any one aspect would have on the collective bargaining pro cess. Determination of wages and economic benefits Wage determination. Over the past two decades, most wage research has taken one of two forms: (1) aggregate https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis wage adjustment models, or (2) analysis of union-non union differentials for individuals, occupational groups, or industries. However, a well-conceived and tested model of the wage determination process at the level of the bargaining unit has yet to be developed. This is un fortunate, because effective public policy must be based on such a theoretically sound and empirically verified model. For example, most incomes policies make certain as sumptions about the effects of pattern bargaining across major bargaining units, industries, and geographic areas. (Pattern bargaining is the determination of the terms of union contracts according to the precedent set by an agreement previously negotiated by another union local or firm, or in another locality.) Some analysts be lieve pattern bargaining exerts a very strong effect, while others discount its importance in wage determina tion. An assessment of its true impact requires analysis of specific wage and fringe benefit changes in identifi able firms or bargaining units. Pattern bargaining is only one key variable chosen here to illustrate the need to study the ways in which characteristics of a particular bargaining relationship and its external environment determine the results of the negotiating process. Other factors, such as the for mal bargaining structure, strikes, and union and em ployer expectations and wage targets, should also be included in models which attempt to explain variations in the outcomes of negotiation at the bargaining unit level. Fringe benefits. Difficult choices face unions and em ployers in the area of fringe benefit bargaining. For ex ample, as the ratio of retired persons to the work force increases over the next 20 years, the costs of funding pension plans will grow considerably. And, if inflation continues, conflicts concerning the adequacy and funding of private pension plans will be even more in tense. Questions regarding the control and use of pen sion funds, the relationship between private funds and the social security system, and the vesting and portabili ty of pensions, require cautious examination by re searchers skilled in demographic and financial analysis. Demand for professionals with expertise in financial management, funding of fringe benefits, and the simula tion of costs and advantages of alternative benefit pack ages is likely to increase considerably as a result. Clearly, the area of compensation management should take on added importance in the training of industrial relations professionals. Nonmonetary bargaining A number of recent studies have examined the deter minants of nonmonetary provisions of bargaining agree ments. In the future, similar efforts should probe the re21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Industrial Relations Agenda lationship between monetary and nonmonetary out comes, and identify reasons for and the effects of the spread of various nonmonetary provisions among firms and industries. This type of research permits assessment of the ability of the private bargaining system to ad dress public policy or regulatory concerns. Safety and health. Following passage of the Occupation al Safety and Health Act in 1970, contract safety and health provisions proliferated. However, there has been no systematic study of the relationship of these provi sions to the safety and health conditions in the firms in volved, or to the injury and illness experience of covered workers. Such studies are essential groundwork for any experi ments which seek to use collective bargaining to address safety and health problems. For example, more than 40 percent of all agreements covering 1,000 workers or more currently provide for a union-management safety and health committee. A starting point for this type of research might be a study of the effectiveness of these committees. The job safety issue offers an important op portunity to test the ability of the collective bargaining system to achieve labor policy objectives. Job security and dislocation. As with safety and health, the central policy questions regarding job and income security provisions in union contracts are twofold: (1) what factors influence the spread or the comprehensive ness of such provisions, and, (2) how do these provi sions affect the goals of workers, employers, and the public? The job security issue has not been seriously ad dressed since the controversies surrounding automation and technological change during the 1960’s. However, recent plant shutdowns, and international trade policy shifts, as well as industry deregulations and other gov ernment actions, are reviving discussion. There are cur rently a number of ad hoc public programs dealing with economic dislocation effects, including those established by the 1978 Redwoods National Park Act Amend ments, the Regional Rail Reorganization Act (1973), and the Trade Adjustment Assistance Amendments (1974). Research in the 1980’s must quantify the prob lems of economic dislocation, and evaluate alternative solutions, based on an appropriate balance of public and private efforts. Productivity. The effect of collective bargaining on pro ductivity has been a longstanding concern in industrial relations, but has generally defied rigorous research. The sluggish growth in productivity experienced over the past decade has once again alerted government offi cials to the importance of this issue. The Federal Gov ernment lacks a successful strategy for encouraging 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis productivity improvement through union-management relations; results of attempts to link productivity to wage guidelines have been ambiguous. Similarly, “pro ductivity bargaining” (agreements that buy out outmod ed work rules) and various profit sharing programs are employed from time to time by unions and manage ment, but the outcomes of such efforts have not been systematically evaluated. The recent work of James L. Medoff, Charles Brown, Richard B. Freeman, and their colleagues suggests that the nature of the labor-management relationship itself has a significant effect on productivity.3 Their findings lend empirical support to what has traditionally been labeled the “shock effect” hypothesis; that is, that the presence of a union (or a negotiated increase in wages or other components of labor costs) provides an incentive for management to become more efficient. What is not yet well known, however, is the nature of the managerial adjustments, and the characteristics of the labor-management relationship, which influence pro ductivity. Thus, we need to examine more closely the determinants of successful productivity increase. Quality o f worklife. Because the quality of worklife was the subject of heated debates in the early 1970’s, several experiments with new forms of work organization were implemented. As a result, behavioral scientists were in troduced to the collective bargaining system, bringing with them strategies to change organizational practices within union-management relationships. This is an en couraging sign that the knowledge gaps among behav ioral scientists, industrial relations researchers, and practitioners are being narrowed. The experience gained in these experiments taught important lessons about the obstacles that must be overcome if change is to be suc cessfully introduced into union-management relations via jointly planned programs that supplement the for mal collective bargaining process. Attempts to extend the application of behavioral strategies should build on the lessons from these programs. During the 1980’s, similar efforts in unionized settings may increase the re sponsiveness of our collective bargaining system to the needs of individual workers and employers. Improving labor-management relations Research in the field of industrial relations failed to keep abreast of changing characteristics and policies of unions and employers during the 1970’s. Research in the 1980’s, therefore, should seek to update our knowl edge of the structures, policies, practices, and internal dynamics of union and management organizations. Specific union and management characteristics and be haviors must then be evaluated for their impact on the process of bargaining, its outcomes, and the goals of all concerned, including society as a whole. Management organizations. In 1960, a comprehensive study of the collective bargaining policies and practices of management was published by Sumner Slichter, James J. Healy, and E. Robert Livernash, under the auspices of the Brookings Institution.4 In subsequent years, however, management researchers turned their at tention to the growing fields of organizational behavior and human resource management, and away from union-management topics. As a result, few personnel and organizational behavior researchers currently are experienced in collective bargaining issues. A start has already been made in closing the gap in our understanding of current management structures, practices, and policies. The Conference Board recently conducted a broad ranging survey of the labor relations structures, goals, and priorities of a sample of the larg est unionized companies in the private sector.5 Data from this survey provide a basis for further studies re lating these (and other) management characteristics to industrial relations and economic performance. American management has a history of strong oppo sition to the unionization of its employees. The Confer ence Board survey clearly documented that this is still the dominant labor relations objective of nonunion firms. Preventing the growth of unions was also found to be a high priority of firms with a minority of their employees currently organized. Anti-unionism receives a low priority among highly organized companies. What are the long-run costs and benefits of strong manage ment resistance to unionization? How does it affect the climate of labor-management relations, the economic performance of the firm, and the welfare of individual workers? We need to address the controversial and ex tremely important issue of the effects of alternative management policies toward unions and collective bargaining on the economic interests of firms, individual workers, unions, and the public. Union organization. The study of unions as complex or ganizations is also beginning to reemerge after more than a decade of decline.6 Recently, a number of studies have appeared on such subjects as union democracy, ef fectiveness in bargaining, member participation, atti tudes of workers towards unions, propensity of workers to join unions, and the organizational structure of unions. Future research should yield a basic under standing of the representational and administrative functions of modern unions, the criteria by which mem bers evaluate the performance of their leadership, and the way in which the internal structure of individual bargaining units affects negotiation. Unions face a number of critical organizational chal lenges in the 1980’s, the most obvious of which is rever sal of the decline in organization of the labor force. Clearly, a study of the causes of change in union pene https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tration demands an important place in our research agenda. Careful historical analysis of the labor move ment will help to explain recent trends, and predict fu ture developments. An equally im portant challenge to labor lies in maintaining the responsiveness of local and national union officials to the interests of rank-and-file members. While data from the 1977 Quality of Employment Sur vey showed that unions are generally attuned to the pri orities of their members, the respondents also indicated that they would like to see improvement in the adminis trative performance of the local union (that is, better handling of grievances, more feedback on local union affairs, and more member involvement in union deci sions).7 These preferences, coupled with increased gov ernment regulation of the terms and conditions of employment, and the growing complexity of union con tracts, suggest that the administrative functions of local unions will take on added significance in the coming years. This will be especially true if there is to be more experimentation with union-management committees or other mechanisms for introducing public policy changes to the workplace. Study of the administrative functions and performance of local unions should therefore be an important priority for research in the next decade. Spe cial care should be taken to ensure that this research is translated into labor education and training programs, so that it may have a direct effect on practice. Strikes and dispute resolution. Research on the role of strikes, lockouts, other forms of economic pressure, and alternative procedures for resolving interest disputes is vital to an understanding of the collective bargaining process. Analysis of the alternatives for dealing with strikes which threaten national health and safety fea tured prominently in industrial relations research in the 1950’s and 1960’s, but interest in this issue waned con siderably in the 1970’s. Apparently most researchers be lieve that society benefits most from very limited use of emergency dispute procedures. The question of the ap propriate policy for the Federal Government in dealing with strikes that affect the national interest deserves an important place in our research agenda, regardless of its immediate political significance. Experimentation with a wide variety of third party procedures for resolving labor-management disputes blossomed in the 1970’s. Most of the attention was di rected toward studies of mediation, fact-finding, and ar bitration in the public sector, but a number of private sector experiments, most notably the Experimental Ne gotiation Agreement in the steel industry, also stimulat ed interest in the subject. Furthermore, third parties are assuming such additional roles as expert consultants to, or coordinators of, labor-management committees. We need to learn more about the nature and effectiveness of 23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Industrial Relations Agenda third party roles, and to find ways to implement both well-established and newer forms of conflict resolution and problem solving within the context of a complex modern society. Grievance procedures and arbitration Grievance arbitration has been cited as one of the most successful innovations that the American system of collective bargaining has contributed to the conduct of industrial relations.8 Grievance procedures ending in arbitration became common in union contracts because both labor and management saw them as efficient and equitable means for interpreting and enforcing the col lective bargaining agreement. However, the apparent fairness of grievance and arbitration has discouraged re search on the actual performance of the system. Fur thermore, pressures caused by delays, excessive costs, and legal technicalities raise profound questions about the future viability of the formal grievance procedure and arbitration as it is now practiced. Conventional views on grievance arbitration therefore merit careful evaluation, supported by empirical research. Beyond proposing changes in current practices, re search on grievance procedures should ask fundamental questions about the real impact of this institution. So much emphasis has been placed on the arbitration pro cess itself that we have failed to adequately assess the effects of the decisions on the parties. For example, how do arbitration awards affect the subsequent behavior of the employers, individuals, and unions involved? What happens to workers reinstated in their jobs? And, do ar bitration decisions result in more than a temporary modification of the behavior that brought about the grievance? We should no longer be satisfied to leave the study of arbitration at the point at which the decision is rendered. Another basic assumption about grievance procedures is that they are the cornerstone of the contract adminis tration process— the means by which workers enforce their contractual rights. Yet, we have very little data on just how individual workers perceive the operations and results of the formal grievance procedure. The need for empirical evidence on the performance of grievance pro cedures and arbitration is especially important if these provisions for adjudicating disputes are extended be yond rights provided by the bargaining agreement to in clude rights derived from public laws. of methodologies and theories developed in the single area studies to interarea variations in policies. This type of data and analysis is needed by policymakers at every level who must evaluate existing laws or consider the enactment of new legislation. Public sector bargaining offers the largest arena for observing the long-run consequences of bargaining sys tems that place varying priorities on avoiding work stoppages. An understanding of the positive and nega tive consequences of these alternative systems should therefore be a basic component of our approach to in dustrial relations in the 1980’s.10 Policy formulation and administration The signing of the National Accord in 1979 rekindled interest in group participation and consultation in the formulation of labor and economic policies. The same question is confronted periodically at the State level, most notably when pressures arise for changes in the bargaining rights of State and local government em ployees. Today, this issue has added importance because of the apparent political stalemate over labor policy af flicting the Federal Government. Thus, the policy for mulation process is an important topic for research in the 1980’s. Such research might focus on the “political economy” — the relationships among the major actors and interests in society as they affect political and eco nomic activity. A more action-oriented approach would be the establishment of multilateral study commissions on key policy issues to test the effectiveness of coopera tive policy development. Furthermore, there is a need for the experimental use of arbitration or other procedures to reduce the backlog of cases in administrative agencies such as the Occupa tional Safety and Health Administration, the Equal Em ployment Opportunity Commission, and the National Labor Relations Board. More intensive study to assess the performance of these agencies could identify the na ture of the problems they are experiencing, and provide innovative strategies for overcoming them. Comparative research: the broader picture Public sector labor-management relations Researchers should not lose sight of the broad politi cal, philosophical, and normative ideas underlying our economic system. One way to ensure that these con cepts receive adequate attention is to maintain a strong international and comparative component to industrial relations research. Some questions suitable for study: Many of the theoretical and methodological advances in industrial relations research in the 1970’s arose from public sector studies.9 These studies were generally lim ited to description and intensive analysis of the effects of specific public policies within particular States and areas. The next step in research will be the application • When is employee ownership a viable form of indus trial organization? Should it be promoted as an alter native to plant shutdowns? Should it be promoted in other situations as well? • Can European style formal systems of worker par- 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • • • • ticipation in, and control over, firm decisions work effectively in the United States? What is the appropriate role for the U.S. Government in the International Labor Organization and similar international bodies? What are the implications of adopting a more formal “social contract” system for formulating labor and economic policies in the United States? Is the pluralistic model of society upon which the U.S. industrial relations system is based still a valid normative model for guiding policy, research, and practice? What is the effect of multinational corporations on industrial relations in the United States, and con versely, what are the economic and social effects of American multinationals in their host countries? What are the implications of the increased activities ' See, for example, John T. Dunlop, “Policy Decisions and Research in Economics and Industrial Relations,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R ev ie w , April 1977, pp. 275-82; Thomas A. Kochan, “Theory, Policy Evaluation, and Methodology in Collective Bargaining Re search,” 1 9 7 6 P ro c ee d in g s o f th e I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s R e s e a rc h A ss o c ia tion, pp. 236-48; Clark Kerr, “Industrial Relations Research: A Personal Retrospective,” I n d u s tr ia l R ela tio n s , May 1978, pp. 131-42; George Strauss and Peter Feuille, “IR Research: A Critical Analysis,” I n d u s tr ia l R ela tio n s , October 1978, pp. 258-77; and David Lewin, “Why Labor Policy is Out of Date,” B u sin e ss W eek, Jan. 15, 1979, p. 18. ' For a more complete discussion of the assumptions underlying this agenda, see Thomas A. Kochan, “Labor Management Research Priorities for the 1980’s,” final report to the Secretary of Labor (U.S. Department of Labor, 1980). The final report, from which this article is excerpted, was prepared by the author pursuant to the Secretary’s January 1979 request, and represents the collected contributions of in dustrial relations academics, labor leaders, and management profes sionals. 3 For a summary of the results of these studies see Richard B. Freeman and James L. Medoff, “The Two Faces of Unionism,” T h e P u b lic I n te re st, Fall 1979, pp. 69-93. 4 Sumner Slichter, James J. Healy, and E. Robert Livernash, T h e I m p a c t o f C o lle c tiv e B a rg a in in g on M a n a g e m e n t, (Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1960). 5The results of the survey are reported in Audrey Freedman, M a n https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of international union secretariats? Will transnational bargaining become a reality in the 1980’s? Studies of industrial relations developments, public poli cies, and private practices in other countries may pro vide alternatives for dealing with many of the issues discussed in earlier sections of this article. B e t t e r r e s e a r c h cannot ensure that the 198()’s will be a decade of resurgence, experimentation, and im proved performance in our industrial relations system. Yet, it is a necessary and im portant component of the larger strategy that must be undertaken if labor-man agement relations policies and practices are to make significant contributions to the economic and social challenges that face our Nation in this decade. □ a g in g L a b o r R ela tio n s , (New York, The Conference Board, 1979), and in Thomas A. Kochan, C o lle c tiv e B a rg a in in g a n d I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s : F ro m T h eo ry to P o lic y a n d P r a c tic e (Homewood, 111., Richard D. Ir win, 1980). 6 For a recent collection of articles on union organizational research see I n d u s tr ia l R ela tio n s , May 1977. Thomas A. Kochan, “How American workers view labor unions,” April 1979, pp. 23-31. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , 8A discussion of all of the issues raised in this section may be found in Benjamin Aaron and others, T h e F u tu r e o f L a b o r A r b itr a tio n in A m e r ic a (New York, The American Arbitration Association, 1976). 9 For a recent review of public sector collective bargaining research, see Benjamin Aaron, Joseph R. Grodin, and James L. Stern, P u b lic S e c to r B a rg a in in g (Washington, The Bureau of National Affairs, 1979). 10A longstanding problem in the public sector has been the lack of adequate data on wages, benefits, and contract provisions covering State and local government employees, and on the financial conditions of their employers. Most State statutes require factfinders and arbitra tors to take comparability and ability to pay into account in render ing their recommendations and awards. A study of the data needs in public sector bargaining, under the title of “Data Probe 80,” is cur rently being conducted under the direction of Robert D. Helsby and Ronald A. Leahy of the Public Employment Relations Service, Alba ny, N.Y. 25 Communications Do uncertain cost/benefit estimates prolong public-sector disputes? P a u l F. G e r h a r t a n d J o h n E. D r o t n i n g During 1978-79, we conducted a study to investigate the relative effectiveness of impasse procedures (statuto ry and de facto) in six States— Iowa, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.1 The States were selected, in part, on the basis of the types of pro cedures used and the experience of the parties with the procedures. In-depth interviews were conducted in 111 bargaining units of 54 municipal and school employers. Interviews included a discussion of the most recent round of negotiations and the factors contributing to whether or not the parties came to an impasse or uti lized any impasse procedures. The study did not rely on extensive statistical data or random selection to draw statistical inferences. Rather, cases were selected purposefully. In each State, bar gaining units which had frequently relied on impasse procedures were compared with units where little or no use had been made of such procedures. Interviews with union and management negotiators as well as neutrals who may have been involved allowed an in-depth explo ration of the reasons for the observed bargaining rela tionship between the parties. Contrary to a traditionally accepted hypothesis,2 it appears that the parties in public-sector bargaining are more likely to push disputes on to the terminal step of an impasse procedure— whether compulsory arbitration or a strike— the greater their uncertainty about future costs and benefits of continued bargaining. Uncertainty is behind the general phenomenon that impasses appear to increase and subside soon after a public-sector bargaining law is passed.3This may be be cause inexperienced negotiators are not able to antici pate opponent reactions nor properly assess what lies ahead if settlement is not reached. Alternatively, the rise in impasses immediately following a bargaining law may be related to the added “power” the public unions Paul F. Gerhart is associate professor of industrial relations and John E. Drotning is professor of industrial relations and Head, Division of Industrial Relations, Case Western Reserve University. 26 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis gain through the statute. If a new bargaining power, then bargaining substantially from the mean as the new equilibrium point that reflects ance. law increases union outcomes will vary parties search for a the new power bal Economics of continued disagreement An effective impasse procedure raises the cost to at least one of the parties of continuing to disagree and, perhaps, at the same time, lowers the cost to the other party of agreeing voluntarily. Under the traditional view, additional uncertainty about the future would in crease the parties’ costs of continued disagreement. Therefore, it is necessary to consider these costs before discussing how the expected cost is changed by the en actment of impasse procedures. However, both costs and benefits flow from continued disagreement:4 the pro cess cost to each party and the incremental improve ment in outcome benefit to each party. Process cost. For the union, this includes the cost of lost wages, strike benefits, and other similar monetary costs. Where the strike is prohibited and mandatory arbitra tion is part of the procedure, the process cost of con tinuing to disagree includes the cost of the neutrals and advocates used. Even before the parties reach the termi nal step of the negotiation process— strike or binding arbitration5— there is a cost of continuing to disagree involved in negotiator time. In many cases, this is a cost to the union in terms of forgone leisure or lost earnings for union negotiators which is not insignificant where the union is too small to afford a full-time staff. Earnings may be lost from the public-sector job, but more often they become a factor where “moonlight” jobs are affected. For firefighters this is highly signifi cant. We have found that management engages in a strategy of “wearing down” union negotiators, clearly recognizing that such a tactic is a feasible way to win settlement short of the terminal step in the impasse pro cedure. Delay has thus become a significant factor in a union’s decision to “agree now and avoid delay” in re ceiving wage and benefit improvements. Thus the process cost of continuing to disagree is nearly always a “net cost” for unions; on rare occa sions, a strategy of continued disagreement may repre sent a net gain for unions.6 For management, process costs might be calculated by the ability to bear the political cost of strikes. In ev ery strike situation we studied, management gave care ful consideration to public reaction to the strike. Public employers also incur the cost of outside negotiators, and delays mean larger fees for the “hired gun.” How ever, the cost of outside experts relative to the agree ment costs may be small. Thus, public employers usually overlook or ignore these costs in deciding whether to continue to disagree.7 But the absolute costs of outside help are not insignificant. We found several employers who spent in excess of $50,000 on outside negotiators in one round of negotiations. Even in a moderately large city or school district, this could make possible a fringe benefit or an increase in the wage rate. Management, more often than the union, may achieve a net gain by dragging out the negotiating process. As long as a strike does not occur, management continues to function without any increase in costs resulting from a new bargaining agreement. Moreover, the agreement ultimately reached may not include retroactivity so that the settlement actually becomes much cheaper for man agement because of its delay. Even where retroactivity is included, the delay in reaching an agreement is a gain for management because of the time value of money— which includes more than risk-free interest in the public sector. Delaying a tax increase may mean the difference between winning or losing an election. Furthermore, there may be political gains for management negotiators who “hang tough” at the bargaining table. In no in stance can a public negotiator afford to give his constit uency the impression that he has “caved in” to the union too quickly. Outcome benefit. This is the incremental improvement between the final outcome of negotiations following a strike or binding arbitration and the best real offer by the opponent prior to the final outcome. We use the phrase “real offer” to distinguish it from public or for mal offers at the bargaining table. Where disputes went to the terminal step, only rarely did we find that such public offers represented the best offer a party was willing to make.8 Ordinarily, parties which push a dispute on into the terminal step of an impasse procedure expect the incremental benefit to be positive. Incremental benefits can be, and usually are, positive for both parties simultaneously, for an arbitra tor usually issues a binding award which lies between the best real positions of the parties. We also observed two instances where the incremen tal benefit was negative for one of the parties; that is, the final outcome was worse than the best real offer of the opponent. Both of these cases involved the use of arbitration rather than the strike; one occurred in Penn sylvania under conventional arbitration and one in https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Michigan with last-offer-by-issue arbitration. A negative incremental benefit is possible because the parties al most universally employ the “pull back” tactic. That is, the stated position before an arbitrator is not as favor able to the opponent as the best real offer.9 Management typically makes a wage offer before an arbitrator below what it was willing to offer, and perhaps did offer pri vately, prior to the arbitration hearing. The union, typi cally, does the opposite. Either party will raise issues on which it had previously made concessions and even reached agreement.10 Where final-offer-by-package arbitration is used (Wis consin), the use of the pull back tactic guarantees that one party will suffer negative incremental benefits. The arbitrator cannot engage in issue or package splitting so one party’s position on every issue must be adopted. In terestingly, we observed no instances of the “pull back” in Wisconsin. Finally, it is possible that incremental benefits might be negative for both parties simultaneously. This is pos sible where an arbitrator, faced with multiple issues, awards outcomes in such a way that both parties per ceive the final outcome as worse than what the other had offered in negotiations.11 Interestingly, package lastoffer arbitration prevents both sides from losing simul taneously. We found no instance where both sides became worse off simultaneously, even though it is popular for neu trals to threaten the parties that this might happen. A r bitrators seek to write acceptable awards. At a minimum, this is one in which both sides reap a non negative incremental benefit. Thus, it would require greater misjudgment than even the least skilled arbitra tor possesses to achieve an outcome where both parties suffer negative incremental gains. Sources of uncertainty As noted earlier, when the components of the process cost and the incremental benefit of agreeing were un known and largely unpredictable, parties most frequent ly preferred to continue to disagree. Some sources of the uncertainty that appears to generate such a response are the role of the judiciary in handling strikes, the devel oping nature of various compulsory arbitration proce dures, and the public reaction to strikes. The judicial response to strikes. The most general legislated response to strikes in the public sector is one where the strike is illegal but the penalties are unclear. Next most common is legislation mandating penalties, as in New York and Ohio. Finally, Pennsylvania, among the six States in our study, permits strikes only under certain conditions. Regardless of the legal status of strikes, we found that the treatment of them by the courts varied substantially within some jurisdictions. 27 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Communications Only after considerable experience in Michigan and Pennsylvania do the parties now have the ability to pre dict judicial responses. In Ohio, such a prediction is still not possible.12 In New York, Wisconsin, and Iowa, however, the courts acted swiftly and with uniformity (within each of the jurisdictions) concerning strikes, so that the parties were able to predict that element of the process cost of continuing to disagree. A more common uncertainty concerning judicial re action concerns whether a judge will enjoin a strike. Judges throughout the six States, but particularly in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, were found to be notorious for their attempts to mediate disputes in chambers after an employer had sought an injunction. (Although strikes are legal in Pennsylvania, provided all procedures are followed, they can nonetheless be enjoined where a judge finds a threat to the public health, safety, or welfare.)13 In one Scranton, Pa. school strike, a three-judge panel heard a request by the school board for an injunction, ordered a settlement, and set the term s.14 If such a pattern of judicial involvement had persisted in Pennsylvania, the uncertainty concern ing judicial action would have remained quite high. What has happened, however, is that judges have tended to show much greater restraint; a consistent pat tern has developed. Compulsory arbitration. The case for uncertainty gener ated by arbitration may be more difficult to make, par ticularly in a room filled with arbitrators. Fortunately, we are not attempting to make the case that arbitrators have any uncertainty, only the parties. The “new toy” hypothesis is one for which we found some support in nearly every jurisdiction we visited. The natural inquisitiveness of the parties, particularly the union, leads them to want to try out a new tool such as arbitration, “just to see what we can get.” A more serious characterization of a union’s reaction to new legislation is the “new weapon” hypothesis. The re sult is the same, though. The union will push more dis putes into arbitration even if management is responding with “reasonable” offers.15 However, after some experi ence with a new law and a determination of process costs and incremental benefits, union aggressiveness typically dropped off sharply. Uncertainty in the arbitration process also can sur round the criteria for arbitrators’ decisions. Every stat ute in our study, except Pennsylvania’s, contained an explicit list of criteria to guide arbitrators. In every case where arbitration had been used by the parties, though, both sides indicated a great deal of uncertainty in their initial resort to arbitration about what the arbitrator would use for the basis of his decision. Even if the crite ria are clear, the weight attached to them is not speci fied. In every statute there is an open-ended approach 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to the criteria, as well. In Iowa, for instance, the section of the law outlining the criteria begins as follows: “The panel of arbitrators shall consider, in addition to any other relevant factors, the following factors. . . .” 16 In several jurisdictions, the parties reported that since the initiation of arbitration both sides had begun to agree on the “relevant” criteria (as a result of several arbitra tion decisions relying on those same criteria), so that the outcome was much more predictable now than it had been initially. Among the most im portant criteria is which cities or school districts are “comparable.” Once this has been established, the determination of economic benefits and many other terms and conditions of em ployment becomes similar to the “prevailing rate” for mula approach long familiar in the government contract area. There is reason to expect that as criteria for decision making by arbitrators become more certain, disputes subject to arbitration will be resolved short of the actu al arbitration hearing. Last-offer arbitration introduces constraints on the arbitrator which, on a first analysis, would appear to prevent the reduction of uncertainty. The arbitrator is prevented from taking a middle ground between the parties’ final offers so that the variance of the expected outcome or incremental benefit is quite wide. But this first analysis does not take account of each party’s strategy for reducing the risk of loss: both will attempt to reduce such risk by taking a more reasonable posi tion than the opponent, hence moving toward some middle ground just as a conventional arbitrator might. The uncertainty premise, in fact, does not predict whether last-offer or conventional arbitration will be more successful in promoting voluntary settlement. The key element of uncertainty in both is what position the arbitrator is likely to view as most reasonable. In con ventional arbitration, the arbitrator selects that as the outcome for the dispute. In last-offer arbitration, the ar bitrator selects the position of the party closest to the most reasonable position. In either instance, the more precisely the parties can predict the arbitrator’s judg ment of reasonableness, the more likely they are to be able to settle their dispute voluntarily at that point. Where their estimates of arbitrator judgment are uncer tain, the parties are most likely to resist concession for fear that it might be unnecessary. Some empirical data are available from Iowa’s experi ence with last-offer arbitration. There, as in every other State we studied, the parties are permitted to develop alternatives to the State-mandated procedure. In Iowa, the Public Employee Relations Act procedure provides for mediation, factfinding, and final-offer arbitration by issue, where one of the three final offers the arbitrator may select is the recommendation of the factfinder. The parties, where they have modified the process, have tended to drop the factfinding step. Board data reported in i p e r b , a publication of the University of Iowa’s In dustrial Relations Institute, show . . that when arbi tration was preceded by factfinding, the number of issues at impasse tended to be less than when arbitra tion immediately followed mediation.” 17 Why? Because the parties are conditioned to know that arbitrators will tend to adopt the factfinders’ recommendations. The in cremental benefit uncertainty is reduced. Data from Michigan show that the majority of all ar bitration cases are resolved voluntarily, after an arbitrator is appointed but before the arbitrator issues an award. Our own experience as well as our discus sions with Michigan arbitrators and the parties suggests that arbitrators, in the course of conducting a hearing, will nearly always caucus with the parties privately and give them clues, sometimes subtle and sometimes not so subtle, concerning what the arbitrators are likely to consider the “more reasonable” position. With such in put, the parties “might as well settle.” (Whether such settlements should be considered voluntary is another question.) A hypothesis we are presently considering but have not yet tested relates to arbitrator turnover on the vari ous State panels. In Michigan, a number of union and management representatives expressed the concern that there was no “new blood” among the arbitrator ranks. In fact, they were complaining that arbitrators working in Michigan had settled on the appropriate criteria for most issues in arbitration and that the complaining par ty was not satisfied with those criteria for at least some issues. The only way the complainer saw the possibility of winning on these issues was by the introduction of “new blood” with a new set of criteria or weights for the old criteria. In New York, there is considerable turnover among arbitrators because the New York Pub lic Employee Relations Board ad hoc panel is limited to charging a comparatively low rate for its services. As soon as a person establishes himself or herself as a neu tral, other, more lucrative opportunities become avail able. Under these circumstances, one would anticipate greater uncertainty toward neutrals and hence a greater resort to arbitration. A preliminary review of the data appears to mildly support the hypothesis. A higher pro portion of agreements subject to arbitration are reached at that step than in most of the other States in our study. Public reaction to strikes. Perhaps the best illustration of how uncertainty contributes to impasses involves the public reaction to strikes and the parties’ inability to es timate it accurately. For example, management may perceive a public which is resistant to “excessive” union demands— a public which will reward, politically, a tough stance by management even to the point of tak https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ing a strike. The union, however, may perceive a much more sensitive public which will not tolerate an inter ruption of its public services. With such perceptions, continuation of the impasse to the point of a strike is likely. However, where both parties have accurate infor mation on the public reaction to a strike— where uncer tainty approaches zero— a strike is, ceteris paribus, less likely to occur. This appears to be true regardless of what that reaction is predicted to be— tolerant or intol erant. If tolerant, the union bargaining position is strengthened and the outcome will be higher settlement costs; if intolerant, the settlement will be lower. The point is that the parties do not have to go through the exercise (of striking or other impasse procedure) to eliminate the uncertainty. They have the answer before they begin. Our examples illustrate several subtle but important points. First, uncertainty must be considered collective ly across both parties. Simply because one party accu rately assesses process costs and incremental benefits, a dispute will not necessarily be resolved short of the ter minal step of an impasse procedure. As a consequence, an accurate assessment is not as critical as a shared as sessment of the costs and benefits. Even if wrong, when both parties predict each other’s as well as their own costs and benefits identically, a settlement is highly like ly. Examples alone do not adequately treat these issues, but they should be considered in the development of a general model of impasse behavior. h a v e d e a l t completely on the point that uncertain ty precipitates and contributes to the continuation of impasses. Perhaps we have overstated our case. Even in this brief discussion, the point was made that, theoreti cally, both parties could be left worse off than the op ponent’s “best real offer.” If an arbitrator’s (or judge’s) skill is viewed by the parties as likely to lead to such an outcome, the uncertainty will perhaps induce a volun tary settlement. Sufficient anecdotal evidence exists to suggest that parties have been “frightened into a settle ment.” Nonetheless, we believe that our analysis as well as the examples from our research support a conclusion that uncertainty contributes more to creating impasses than resolving them. To be more specific, uncertainty with respect to the future costs and benefits of contin ued disagreement decreases the likelihood of early set tlement. This conclusion runs counter to the con ventional wisdom which the authors shared before conducting the interviews. The response of the various participants forced us to reconsider the role of uncer tainty and while a definite conclusion must await a more detailed review of our data, it appears that our hypothesis, if true, could and should play a role in the evolution of public-sector labor legislation. □ We 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Communications --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1Our work was sponsored by the U.S. Department of Labor, Em ployment Standards Administration. 2Some State laws, such as in Massachusetts, enacted following World War II to deal with a rash of public and private sector strikes left a range of dispute resolution methods open to the State executive. This approach was based on the hypothesis that uncertainty as to eventual outcome would encourage the parties to voluntary settle their dispute. For a discussion of the merits of this approach as expe rienced in Massachusetts, see George P. Shultz, “The Massachusetts Choice-of-Procedures Approach to Emergency Disputes,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R ev ie w , April 1957, p. 361. 1This pattern is examined in other reports based on this project which are not yet published. 4 If the net cost of continuing to disagree is negative (that is, there is a net benefit), the parties will continue to disagree. An impasse pro cedure should work to increase the costs or lower the benefits, or both, of continued disagreement so that the net cost of continuing to disagree becomes positive (that is, there is a net loss). Then the parties will agree. 5It is our conclusion that there are, d e fa c to , two terminal impasse steps in public-sector bargaining in those States we have surveyed. Where arbitration is not available, the unions have demonstrated a willingness to strike regardless of statutory prohibitions. While it is not inconceivable, our research revealed no instance of a strike where a dispute was submitted to binding arbitration. This issue is addressed elsewhere in project reports. 6 For example, a union seeking additional members might attempt to portray an image of militance and aggressiveness by forcing a strike. Or, a union might sell itself by saying that if it does not get its demands, it will go to arbitration. In our study, we found no exam ples of strikes designed to enhance the image of the union and only one clear case in which the union sold itself to the membership on the basis of a promise to arbitrate. 7Paul F. Gerhart and Richard Krolikowski, “Bargaining Costs and Outcomes in Municipal Labor Relations,” J o u r n a l o f C o lle c tiv e N e g o ti a tio n s in th e P u b lic S ector, forthcoming. 8We have found that an important part of the public sector bargaining process is the development of mechanisms to convey real of fers. Experienced mediators, trusted by the parties, facilitate the devel opment of such mechanisms. 9Some negotiators feel such a tactic represents a failure to bargain in good faith, and is therefore an unfair labor practice (which is ille gal). Where the negotiator makes any offer contingent upon accept ance of the whole package, however, it clearly is not. Arbitration hearings tend to become quite heated, however, when one party at tempts to introduce evidence concerning what the other had offered privately. 10In one instance, the parties indicated that for the first several times arbitration was used, they engaged in the “pull back.” Howev er, in each instance, it appeared useless because the arbitrator quickly cut through their respective facades and dealt with the key issues as though there had been no pull back. They also realized the potentially counterproductive nature of this tactic and reached a mutual under standing to submit only those issues not truly agreed upon to arbitra tion in the future. Both were more satisfied with the process. Such a development represents extraordinary maturity and, perhaps, special circumstances. It is not likely to be adopted universally. " For example, consider a case where a union attaches great impor tance to binding grievance arbitration and less importance to a large wage increase, while management, just the opposite, attaches great importance to a low-wage settlement and less to arbitration. The best real offer of the union prior to arbitration was 6 percent in wages plus binding arbitration. Management’s best real offer was 4 percent in wages plus binding arbitration. In the arbitration proceeding, howev er, both sides “pull back” from their best real offers for tactical rea sons. The union, hoping to provide the arbitrator with something to “give to management” increases its wage demand to 10 percent while staying firm on the demand for arbitration. Management, using the 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis same tactic, withdraws its offer of binding arbitration and drops its wage offer to 2 percent. The arbitrator, misjudging the priorities of the parties, awards a 10-percent wage increase without binding arbi tration of grievances. The benefit to the union is negative because the additional 6 percent in wages over management’s best real offer is not as valuable as a grievance arbitration. Management loses because the additional 4 percent in wages over the best real union offer is more costly than the value “saved” by avoiding grievance arbitration. 12The most extreme case of uncertainty with respect to judicial re sponse is Ohio. In spite of the existence of the severe penalties of the Ferguson Act (or perhaps because of them), public employers did not invoke the act in any of the nine bargaining units we studied where strikes had occurred. These cases included sanitation, fire, police, and teacher strikes in medium to large cities (50,000 to 700,000 popula tion). Due process under the act requires individual hearings, which (in larger cities, at least) add considerably to employers’ process cost without any assurance that a judge will not subsequently dismiss the action on various technical grounds. The Ferguson Act has been in voked effectively, however, so that the threat (uncertainty) remains for unions and management, particularly in smaller jurisdictions where individual hearings could be conducted. The Ferguson Act, itself, merely requires individual notice, not a hearing. Civil service law re quires hearing prior to dismissal of any certified employee. 13Public Employee Relations Act (1970), Section 1003. 14 600 G o v e r n m e n t E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s R e p o r t, p. B16, Apr. 7, 1975. 15The phenomenon was observed in Pennsylvania, for example, where one police union attorney reported that virtually all police or ganizations he represented shortly after Act 111 was passed told him to take the case to arbitration. The process cost in Pennsylvania for the union is mitigated by the fact that the neutral’s expenses and fees are borne entirely by the employer. Over time, however, the attorney noticed a distinct loss of aggressiveness among his clients. It became clearer (more certain) to them just what they could get from arbitra tion (the incremental benefit) and how much his attorney’s fees (pro cess costs) would be. 16Iowa Public Employment Relations Act (Senate File 531), Section 22, para. 9. 17IPERB, Winter 1977, p. 4. Customized ‘final-offer’: New Jersey’s arbitration law D a v i d E. B l o o m The New Jersey Fire and Police Arbitration Act took effect in November 1977, adding New Jersey’s name to the growing list of States that currently utilize finaloffer arbitration in the resolution of labor disputes in the public sector.1The final-offer procedures in New Jer sey differ, however, from the procedures adopted in oth er States, and this report describes the uniqueness of the New Jersey mechanism and the philosophy in which it is grounded. In 1968, the New Jersey Legislature passed the Em ployer-Employee Relations Act, granting New Jersey’s public sector employees the right to organize and to ne- David Bloom is a graduate student in the Department of Economics at Princeton University. gotiate collectively the terms and conditions of their employment.2 The act did not grant the right to strike, but it did establish the New Jersey Public Employment Relations Commission to help resolve bargaining im passes through mediation and factfinding. Unfortunate ly, neither mediation nor factfinding guaranteed finality in the resolution of labor disputes, and long drawn-out negotiations were quite common. In recognition of this situation, the New Jersey Legislature established the Public Employment Relations Study Commission in 1974 to make recommendations on alternative methods of dispute resolution. The implementation of final-offer arbitration in New Jersey is essentially an outgrowth of the commission’s report.3 The report recommended that final-offer arbitration be the compulsory last step in the resolution of bargaining impasses in the public sector. This recom mendation rested on three major premises: 1) because of the essential nature of public services, the interests and welfare of the public would be well-served by guaran teeing finality in the resolution of public-sector labor disputes;4 2) while guaranteeing finality in negotiations, final-offer would also foster the voluntary negotiation of a settlement because it tends to induce concessions by the parties; and 3) a final-offer mechanism could be designed which would allow the parties a wide scope for determining the conditions under which they could settle their dispute, so that the bargaining relationship would be undamaged. The first two arguments are stan dard and need not be discussed here. The third argu ment, which is somewhat novel, accounts for the variety of options available to the parties under New Jersey’s arbitration law. In fact, this is precisely the feature of the New Jersey law which most differentiates it from the final-offer arbitration laws operating in other States. Resolution mechanisms Under the New Jersey law, the rules for imple menting compulsory interest arbitration in labor dis putes involving public safety employees are established by the Public Employment Relations Commission.5 Ac cording to those rules, covered employees and employ ers must begin their contract negotiations at least 120 days before the employer’s budget submission date.6 If an impasse develops, the commission may assign media tors to aid in the resolution of the impasse at the re quest of either party or on its own initiative. In the event mediation fails, factfinders may be assigned at the request of either party to study the dispute and recom mend a settlement. The costs of mediation are borne by the commission; the costs of factfinding are shared equally by the parties. If negotiations are still at impasse 60 days before the employer’s required budget submission date, then re gardless of the use of mediation or factfinding, the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis parties must file a “60-Day Notification.” This informs the commission of whether the parties have at least agreed upon a terminal procedure for settling the issues in dispute and, if so, it enables the commission to re view and to approve or disapprove of the proposed pro cedure. In the event that the parties fail to agree on a terminal procedure within 50 days of the employer’s budget submission date, they must each notify the com mission of the unresolved issues.7 Under these circum stances, the parties are compelled to have their dispute resolved by final-offer arbitration— with all economic issues as a single package and noneconomic issues on an issue-by-issue basis.8 There are basically five terminal procedures which the parties may request as an alternative to the compulsory procedure specified in the law. First, the parties may have conventional arbitration of all unsettled items. Sec ond, the parties may require the arbitrator to choose between the final offers of the parties on all issues as a single package. Third, the parties may require the arbi trator to choose between the final offers of the parties on each issue separately. Finally, when there is a factfinder’s report, the arbitrator may be requested to confine his or her choice to the parties’ final offers and the factfinder’s recommendations on either an issue-byissue or a total package basis. The law explicitly does not limit terminal procedures to the five listed here, al though it does require the parties to petition the com mission for approval of any other variations. Regarding the factors arbitrators consider in reaching their decisions, the law directs that arbitrators consider the overall compensation presently received by the em ployees, the comparability of wages, hours, and working conditions to those available in similar public and pri vate employment, the cost of living, the lawful authority of the employer, the financial impact of the settlement on the governing unit and its residents and taxpayers, and the interests and welfare of the public. In addition, the New Jersey courts have held that arbitrators must also consider the constraints imposed by a 1977 State law, generally limiting annual increases in municipal budget expenditures to 5 percent.9 Arbitrators are appointed by the Director of Concili ation and Arbitration in recognition of the parties’ pref erences after the circulation among the parties of a list of seven members of the Public Employment Relations Commission’s special panel of arbitrators. The costs of arbitration are borne entirely by the parties (subject to a fee schedule approved by the commission). Once the arbitrator is appointed, the parties are required to sub mit their final offers to the arbitrator in a form that is consistent with the terminal procedure in effect. At that point, the arbitration proceeding is completely under the control of the arbitrator. Existing wages and terms and conditions of employment cannot be changed by 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Communications one party without the consent of the other during the pendency of an arbitration proceeding. Following the close of the arbitration hearings, arbitrators are expected to reach their decision and to convey it in writing to the parties as soon as possible. All changes called for in the arbitration award take place retroactive to the date of implementation prescribed in the award. Arbitrators cannot render an award involving pensions or benefits in the New Jersey State Health Benefits Pro gram.10 From this discussion, it should be apparent that the basic orientation of the New Jersey arbitration law is toward encouraging the voluntary settlement of labor disputes at all stages of negotiation. Clearly, the variety of terminal procedures available to the parties is consis tent with this view. In this same spirit, the law explicit ly permits, and even seems to encourage, arbitrators to mediate disputes at all stages in the arbitration proceed ing. The law also allows the parties substantial opportu nity to modify or amend an award, even though awards are binding and enforceable. Finally, the law has even been interpreted to permit the parties to modify their fi nal offers during an arbitration proceeding.11 Early experience The law establishing compulsory interest arbitration in New Jersey took effect on November 1, 1977. Be tween that time and the end of the fiscal year on June 30, 1978, 259 public employers and public employee or ganizations filed requests for mediation, factfinding, or interest arbitration.12 Of course, some units filed for more than one form of impasse resolution, but each is counted only once in this number. A breakdown of these cases according to whether mediators, factfinders, and arbitrators were actually appointed is given in table 1. The small number of mediator and factfinder ap pointments relative to arbitrator appointments stands out. It also stands out in statistics on cases initiated during the second fiscal year under the law.13 As noted earlier, however, arbitrators are permitted to, and, as shown below, often do, mediate settlements so that the use of mediation may actually remain unaffected by the 1977 law. Looking more closely at the breakdown of arbitrator appointments, table 2 presents the distribution of these appointments by employer type and by union type. The majority of public employers requesting arbitration are municipal governments. This is not surprising because about 95 percent of the public employers in New Jersey are municipal governments. Also, few of the unions in volved in arbitration proceedings are firefighter unions. This is not surprising either because fire departments are local organizations operated by volunteers in ap proximately 85 percent of New Jersey’s 567 municipali ties. 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis As described in the previous section, one of the central features of the New Jersey arbitration statute is the wide scope it grants the parties to devise their own terminal procedures. However, during its first 8 months of operation, the parties relied on the law’s example ter minal procedure (final-offer on economic issues as a package and on noneconomic issues on an issue-by-issue basis) in 72 percent of the cases that were ultimately re solved by arbitration. Conventional arbitration was the next most frequently chosen alternative (16 percent), followed by issue-by-issue final-offer arbitration (5 per cent), and one-package final-offer arbitration (1 per cent); other commission-approved terminal procedures were used in 6 percent of the cases. Perhaps more ex perimentation with alternative terminal procedures can be expected as the parties gain experience under the new law, although, on the basis of awards rendered in cases initiated during the second fiscal year under the law, such a pattern has not yet emerged. It was implied in the description of the law that there are a variety of stages at which a labor dispute involv ing public safety employees can end. Ordered from the least to the most extensive form of third-party interven tion, these stages of settlement are as follows: 1) in di rect negotiations with no appointments at all; 2) with the appointment of a mediator; 3) with the issuance of a factfinder’s report with recommendations for settlement; 4) with the appointment of an arbitrator but before ar bitration hearings have begun; 5) with the appointment of an arbitrator who mediates the dispute during the ar bitration proceedings and who may issue a ‘consent award’ consisting of the terms of the dispute on which the parties have voluntarily settled; and 6) with the ap pointment of an arbitrator who issues a binding and en forceable award under conventional arbitration, finaloffer, or any other terminal procedure devised by the parties and approved by the commission. Table 3 pro vides a breakdown of cases according to these six stages. Arbitration awards were clearly the most preva lent method for resolving disputes, with 79 of the 95 awards being final-offer in nature (the rest were conven tional arbitration awards). At the other end of the spec trum, factfinding, which has rarely been used, led to no settlements; in fact, the commission received no requests for factfinding in cases involving public safety employ ees during the fiscal year ending June 30, 1979. It is also interesting to observe that arbitrators acted as me diators in a large proportion of cases. Combined with other mediated settlements, the use of mediation by a third party was nearly as important as the issuance of final-offer awards in the settlement of disputes. Thus, it is possible to regard mediation and arbitration as a joint mechanism for resolving labor disputes under the New Jersey law, rather than simply as disjoint proce dures.14 □ FOOTNOTES 1Other States which also utilize some form of final-offer arbitration to resolve labor disputes involving public safety employees are Wis consin (1972), Michigan (1972), Massachusetts (1973), Iowa (1974), and Connecticut (1979). In Wisconsin and Massachusetts, the arbitra tor is limited to choose among the parties’ final offers on all issues as a single package. In Michigan, Iowa, and Connecticut, the arbitrator may choose among the parties’ final offers on an issue-by-issue basis. The Michigan procedure is limited, however, to the resolution of eco nomic issues. ' The New Jersey Fire and Police Arbitration Act, approved May 10, 1977 (P.L. 1977, Chapter 85, 1977 Senate No. 482), amendment to the New Jersey Employer-Employee Relations Act, approved April 30, 1941 (P.L. 1941, Chapter 100; Chapter 34: 13A -1 et. seq.). Report to the Governor and the Legislature by the Public Em ployer-Employee Relations Study Commission pursuant to P.L. 1974, c. 124, State of New Jersey, February 2, 1976. 4Conventional arbitration schemes also guarantee finality, but it has been argued that they do so in a way which reduces the likelihood of a voluntary settlement. This is the so-called ‘chilling effect’ of conven tional arbitration. (However, see Craig A. Olsen, “Does ‘final offer’ allow the bargaining that conventional arbitration chills?” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , May 1979, pp. 38-39.) Another criticism of conven tional arbitration mechanisms is that when these mechanisms are op erative, the parties tend to rely on the judgment of arbitrators regarding acceptable agreements and therefore do not bargain as seri ously as they otherwise would. This is referred to as the ‘narcotic ef fect’ of conventional arbitration. 5Although the Study Commission’s Report to the Governor recommended that final-offer arbitration procedures apply to all pub lic sector employees, this was not acceptable to teachers, school boards, and several other major groups in New Jersey. Consequently, the law was written so that it applied only to public safety employees. " The law is broadly construed to cover employees in all firefighting, police, and other corrections units on the municipal, county, and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis State levels of government. The required budget submission date re fers to the first budget which implements the new labor agreement. 7It is worthwhile to note that, according to the rules, the failure of any party to file any notification, petition, or other statement will not preclude the implementation of compulsory interest arbitration. 8In the event the parties disagree over the classification of an item as economic or noneconomic or over the negotiability of an issue as required, permissive, or illegal, the parties must petition the Public Employment Relations Commission, which makes the final determina tion. 9The Cap Law was enacted by the New Jersey Legislature in 1977. This law places a 5-percent ceiling on increases in municipal budget expenditures, although municipalities may file for specific exemptions. Undoubtedly, this law has restricted the bargaining range in public sector negotiations. At the very least, it would certainly seem to ac count for the prevalence of public employers to choose 5-percent in creases for their final salary offers. The existence of this law has also heightened the controversy surrounding the use of final-offer arbitra tion in New Jersey because arbitrated awards are, by definition, bind ing on the public employer and are not limited to 5-percent increases. 10N.J.S.A. 34: 13-A18. "See N e w a r k F ire m a n 's U n io n o f N e w J e r s e y v. C ity o f N e w a rk , Superior Court of New Jersey, Chancery Division, Essex County, Docket No. C-347-78, 1978. 12There were also several cases in the Public Employment Relations Commission files in which nonpublic safety organizations requested arbitration. These cases are not analyzed here. 13 Because a large number of cases initiated during the second fiscal year under the New Jersey law are not yet closed, statistics on those cases are not presented in this report. 14 For an analysis of first-year salary settlements under the law, see David E. Bloom, “The Effect of Final Offer Arbitration on the Sala ries of Municipal Police Officers in New Jersey,” Working Paper No. 129, Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University, 1979. 33 The A natom y of Price Change Slowdown in energy prices eases second-quarter inflation W il l ia m T h o m a s , A ndrew Clem , and tion slowdown were evident in prices for intermediate and crude materials. The relative slowdown of inflation during the second E d d ie L a m b After a sudden acceleration in the opening months of 1980, the pace of inflation slowed somewhat during the second quarter. From March to June, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers ( c p i -u ) moved up at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 11.6 percent, fol lowing an 18.1-percent rate in the previous 3 months and a 13.3-percent increase from December 1978 to De cember 1979. Most of the slowdown was due to energy prices, which dropped from a 64.8-percent rate of in crease in the first quarter to a rate of 8.1 percent in the second. Retail price advances for commodities other than food and energy also decelerated, but much more modestly. In contrast, charges for consumer services other than energy rose sharply for the second consecu tive quarter. Food prices continued to rise moderately. (See table 1.) The slowdown in the CPI would have been more pro nounced except for the continued sharp increase in the home financing component, which reflected steep in creases in interest rates during the opening months of the year. Excluding mortgage interest costs, the rate of advance in the CPI decelerated from 14.8 percent in the first quarter to 7.5 percent in the second. The easing of inflation in the second quarter was con siderably greater at the primary market level. The Pro ducer Price Index ( p p i ) for Finished Goods rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.3 percent, only onethird of the 18.9-percent rate registered in the preceding 3 months and half as fast as the 12.6-percent climb in 1979. As in the CPI, the most dramatic slowdown oc curred for energy goods, which had skyrocketed at a rate of more than 100 percent in the first quarter before slowing to a rate of 17.1 percent in the second. Price rises for consumer goods other than foods and energy also decelerated markedly. Further signals of an infla William Thomas, Andrew Clem, and Eddie Lamb are economists in the Office of Prices and Living Conditions, Bureau of Labor Statistics. They were assisted by Craig Howell and Mary Burns, economists in the same office. 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Changes in selected components of the Consumer and the Producer Price Indexes, 1979-80 Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended — Index 1980 1979 June Sept. Dec. Mar. 1 2.8 13.8 6.5 15.9 7.7 13.7 11.9 17.4 5.1 14.3 18.1 4.3 19.5 15.3 35.2 15.9 15.0 June Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U)1 All item s.......................................................... Food and beverages ............................. Housing . . . . ' . ...................................... Apparel and upkeep............................... Transportation........................................ Medical c a r e .......................................... Entertainment ........................................ Other goods and services...................... 23.4 6.7 6.4 5.3 2 0 .6 Food....................................................... Commodities less fo o d ........................... Services ................................................. 6.4 15.6 13.2 6.5 16.4 14.3 Energy ................................................... Fuel oil, coal and bottled g a s ......... Gas and electricity ........................ Gasoline, motor oil, coolants, etc.2 . All items less energy ............................. All items less food and energy2 ........... 59.2 76.3 28.7 83.2 9.0 49.9 93.9 16.6 62.2 10.1 10.9 7.9 75.2 -9.2 14.2 8.5 17.2 6.4 15.1 1.0 10.7 7.7 12 .2 1 2 .0 5.3 5.1 12.1 1 0 .6 3.8 1 1 .6 5.8 2 0 .6 .5 2.5 7.3 8.4 8.9 5.6 4.7 12.7 15.8 20.9 2 1 .6 19.2 24.9 64.8 65.4 8.1 1 .0 2 1 .0 28.3 13.5 13.9 105.2 12.9 15.7 16.1 106.2 15.3 16.4 7.6 23.4 13.3 45.7 18.9 109.2 - 1.2 25.7 15.2 34.2 6.3 17.1 -7 .8 7.9 9.4 9.1 5.9 11.5 17.4 12.7 8.3 11.7 14.7 52.8 19.7 71.1 24.8 16.0 37.1 1.2 21.9 62.2 -1.7 5.5 6.4 13.9 15.4 19.4 17.0 23.1 5.2 1 1 .0 13.4 13.9 17.2 5.1 6.3 35.4 -4 .5 23.1 7.6 2 0 .0 14.9 32.5 5.7 27.8 -1.3 30.4 -16.7 21.4 10 .6 22.1 3.9 39.8 -5 .7 12.3 13.5 Producer Price Index (PPI) by stage of processing1 Finished g o o d s ............................................... Finished energy g o o d s .......................... Consumer foods ................................... Finished goods less food ...................... Finished goods less food and energy . . . Finished consumer goods less food . . . . Finished consumer goods less food and energy................................................. Capital equipment ................................. Intermediate materials, supplies, and components .............................................. Intermediate energy g o o d s .................... Intermediate foods and feeds ............... Intermediate materials less foods and feeds................................................... Intermediate materials less food and energy ................................................. Crude materials for further processing ......... Crude energy materials2 ...................... Crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs ........... Crude nonfood materials ...................... Crude nonfood materials less energy . . 2 .8 50.7 16.4 25.1 -7.1 8 .6 15.0 1 1 .0 17.9 1 0 .0 20.1 6.6 1 1 .0 9.9 1 0 .6 -7 .2 2 0 .6 -10.5 -3 .5 -37.5 1 See “ Definitions” and "Notes’1 preceding tables 22-30 Current Labor Statistics in this Review. 2 Not seasonally adjusted. NOTE: Monthly data for Producer Price Indexes have been revised through February 1980 to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. For this rea son, some of the figures shown above and elsewhere in this report differ from those previously published. quarter reflected, among other things, the completion of most of the direct and indirect pass-through of the lat est round of steep crude oil price boosts and of the im pact of the recession. The National Bureau of Economic Research designated January 1980 as the beginning of the business cycle downturn. The recession first affected the residential construction and automobile markets and then spread through much of the rest of the economy. The collapse of a speculative boom in prices of a broad variety of basic materials, particularly precious metals and other nonferrous metals, also contributed to the general easing of inflation. Energy The rate of increase for energy prices slowed in the second quarter. (See table 2.) Substantially weakened demand worldwide for petroleum resulted in inventories that were more abundant than at any time since 1978. The crude petroleum market calmed in the early months of 1980, and prices set by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries temporarily stabilized. In late 1979, panic buying of crude oil again broke out among the oil-consuming nations, partly as a result of fears concerning the security of oil supplies during the crises in Iran and Afghanistan. This enabled some OPEC members to put through another round of price hikes. Saudi Arabia raised its benchmark oil price in December and again in January in an effort to achieve a unified price structure for OPEC. However, this action Table 2. o n ly led to further increases by oth er OPEC m em bers. Between February and May, on the other hand, con tract prices for OPEC crude oil changed very little as a consequence of slack demand associated with a reces sionary trend in many Western Nations. During this time, the volume of spot market transactions fell, and spot prices for crude oil dropped from an average of about $40 per barrel in December to $32 in June. At the end of the second quarter official OPEC contract prices ranged between $28 for Saudi light crude to $37 for top quality African crudes. Stocks of crude petroleum in the United States were increased to record levels during the second quarter, re flecting the reduction in both output and consumption of refined products. Primary stocks1of refined petroleum products were substantially above those of a year ago, as demand fell in response to the sharp price increases registered during 1979 and early 1980, and declining economic activity. Lower demand and slower rises in crude oil prices led to more moderate price increases by petroleum refiners. In the second quarter, price increases slowed dramati cally for most energy items sold to consumers. Retail energy prices rose at an 8.1-percent rate, after climbing at a 64.8-percent rate in the first quarter and advancing 37.4 percent during 1979. Producer prices for finished energy goods also slowed, from a 109.2-percent annual rate of increase during the first quarter to a 17.1-percent rate in the second; these prices had advanced more than Changes in retail and producer prices for energy-related items, 1979 -80 Index Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended — Relative importance December 1979 1979 1980 June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 59.2 75.2 83.2 84.5 61.7 38.1 88.5 109.4 23.7 24.9 49.9 106.2 62.2 63.1 89.4 31.7 99.7 141.5 22.5 9.7 19.2 45.7 28.3 29.1 58.7 7.0 64.8 109.2 105.2 105.7 136.6 31.5 68.4 78.7 14.3 20.3 171 57 - 6 .2 14 7 28.9 3.7 17.6 29.3 39.4 52.8 115.8 107.6 109.8 75.9 15.9 71.1 157.0 157.5 Finished items Energy items, (gas, electricity, fuel oil, coal, gasoline, motor o i l) ......... Finished energy goods ........................ Gasoline, motor oil, coolants, etc..................... Gasoline1 ............................................ Household fuels ................................. Fuel oil 1 ...................................... Gas (piped)2 ....................................................... Electricity....................................................... CPI PPI CPI CPI PPI CPI CPI PPI CPI CPI 1 0 0 .0 PPI PPI PPI PPI PPI PPI 1 0 0 .0 PPI PPI PPI PPI 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 55.3 54.5 64.1 44.7 10.3 24.0 13.4 19.5 2 2 .2 2 2 .0 20.4 2.3 8 1 Intermediate materials Intermediate energy goods ...................... Diesel fuel ........................................ Commercial jet fuel12 ................................. Residual fuel1 ................................... Liquefied petroleum gas 2 ............................. Electric power3 ............................................ 10.3 8.4 14.6 7.1 35.7 204.4 14.8 37.1 26.1 60.6 23.2 95.7 24.7 50.7 45.5 96.7 32.5 27.4 54.8 2.1 6 .8 1 1 1 .2 62.2 8 6 .8 97.6 71.8 75.1 20.1 6.4 109 24 9 39 9 19 15.7 Crude materials Crude energy materials2 .............................................. Natural gas 1 2 ............................................ Crude petroleum2 .............................................. C o a i..................................................... 1 Prices for these items are 2 Not seasonally adjusted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lagged 1 month in the PPL 35.4 43.7 46.0 -1 .2 43.9 38.1 17.8 3 30.4 25.4 52.1 6.4 2 0 .6 26.2 2 1 .6 -1 .9 Includes commercial and industrial power, but not residential Dower. 35 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Anatomy o f Price Change 60 percent in 1979. Retail gasoline prices turned down slightly for the first time in two years, responding to sagging demand. These prices had risen 68.1 percent during the year ended March 1980, as consumption de clined about 8 percent.2 In contrast to the retail price drop, prices received by gasoline refiners continued to rise, although at a much slower pace than in the previ ous year and a half. Prices for home heating oil contin ued to rise in the second quarter at both the retail and producer levels, but at a substantially slower rate than in the first quarter. Primary stocks of middle distillates (fuel oil and diesel fuel) were more than 50 percent above the level of a year earlier, when these products were in short supply. At the urging of the Carter Ad ministration, oil companies had increased their stocks of fuel oil during the summer and fall of 1979. However, because the winter weather was milder than in recent years in most parts of the country, demand was lighter than expected. In contrast to moderating petroleum prices, retail prices for piped gas rose considerably more than in the first quarter, as higher prices for imported and domestic natural gas were passed on to the consumer. Most of the increase in the CPI for piped gas was accounted for by cities in the Western region. Household electricity rates also increased more than in the first quarter be cause of earlier price increases for power-generating fuels. Producer prices for intermediate energy goods (those sold to business establishments) increased at a 6.4-percent annual rate, far less than the 62.2-percent rate of the previous quarter. Residual fuel prices fell sharply, after advancing 62.8 percent during 1979, and continu ing this upward trend in the first quarter of 1980. The decrease was due to plentiful supplies and the substitu tion of other fuels by some industrial users. Demand was further weakened by the recession-induced drop in production levels in certain industries. The rate of in crease in prices for diesel fuel and commercial jet fuel slowed considerably. Liquefied petroleum gas prices were virtually un changed following very rapid advances during 1979 and early 1980; demand for butane by gasoline refiners and for propane and ethane by petrochemical producers had been strong but weakened when the recession began. Electric power rates for industrial and commercial consumers rose at a 15.7-percent rate in the second quarter, somewhat faster than during 1979, but not as fast as in the first quarter. Fuel cost adjustments accounted for part of the increase, and some utilities in curred extra investment costs by switching from petro leum fuels to coal, natural gas, or nuclear power. Prices for crude energy materials increased much less than in any of the preceding four quarters. The crude petroleum index (which only includes domestic produc 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tion) slowed to a 21.6-percent rate, following a 61.3percent advance in the 12 months ended in March. The deceleration was partly due to the fact that prices for the 24-percent share of U.S. crude oil production which was not controlled changed very little during the spring, reflecting the flat prices on the world market. Natural gas prices continued to rise rapidly, primarily because of sharp advances in prices for natural gas imported from Canada. Finished goods except foods and energy Consumer goods. In the CPI, prices for commodities ex cept food and energy advanced at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 7.3 percent, less than the rate posted in the first quarter and somewhat below the 8.8-percent rise for 1979. (See table 3.) At the producer level, the slowdown was more pronounced. The PPI for finished consumer goods less foods and energy rose at an 8.3-percent rate after rising at a 17.4-percent rate in the first quarter and 9.6 percent in 1979. The slowdown re sulted partly from a decline in economic activity which began in January. Home purchase prices increased at a 14.9-percent an nual rate from March to June, much faster than in the first quarter but not as fast as in 1979. (The CPI for home purchase is derived from Federal Housing Ad ministration data.) When home purchases are excluded, the CPI for commodities except food and energy in creased at an annual rate of 4.5-percent, compared with an 11.1-percent rate in the first quarter, and a rise of 6.0 percent in 1979. Jewelry prices moved up at a much slower pace at both the retail and manufacturing levels. Prices for pre cious metals, which had soared at the beginning of the year, declined significantly and then rebounded some what in June. Used car prices fell for the second consecutive quar ter, as dealers lowered prices on the larger, less fuel efficient models in the face of rapidly rising gasoline prices. Price increases for new cars continued to rise, in spite of a major sales slump; rebates for some models were more than offset by price advances resulting from earlier cost increases, particularly among metals. In ad dition, price increases for imports reflected strong con sumer demand for smaller models. Prices for tires rose much less than in the first quarter, a result of the re duced demand for autos. Among the capital goods increasing steeply early in the quarter but more slowly afterwards were motor trucks, construction machinery, machine tools, plastic and rubber industry machinery, oilfield machinery, and aircraft. Demand for most kinds of capital goods other than motor vehicles remained strong during the second quarter, and most producers were able to continue to pass through higher costs for metals and other inputs. However, after advancing at a rate of nearly 15 percent in the preceding quarter, commercial furniture prices rose only one-third as rapidly from March to June. but faster than during 1979. On the other hand, prop erty taxes turned down. Charges for home maintenance and repair moved up at a much slower rate than in any of the previous 4 quarters. Prices for transportation services rose at a higher rate than in the preceding quarter. Because of jet fuel costs, airline fares continued to increase sharply, although not as much as during the second half of 1979. The large advances for intercity train fares and taxi fares also were due to fuel costs. Automobile finance charge in creases reflected earlier rises in market interest rates. The rate of increase slowed for the other service cate gories. Medical care services rose at a rate much less than in the 3 preceding quarters; this slowdown was ev ident in both professional and hospital related services. Similarly, the indexes for entertainment and personal care services registered much smaller advances than in the first quarter. Services less energy The CPI for services other than energy rose at a 20-percent annual rate, nearly as much as in the first quarter, and considerably more than the 13.6-percent advance in 1979. (See table 4.) Much of the second quarter increase occurred because of sharp advances in the contracted mortgage interest cost index, which re flected interest rate hikes that occurred earlier in the year. Transportation service charges continued to move up rapidly, but charges for most other services rose considerably less than in the previous quarter. The index for mortgage interest rates advanced at an annual rate of about 40 percent for the second consecu tive quarter, after rising 16.1 percent in 1979. The sharp boost during the spring reflected the credit-tightening actions by the Federal Reserve Board in the previous quarter. Conventional mortgage interest rates are repre sented in the CPI by actual contract mortgage loan transactions and not by current commitment rates for future mortgages. Property insurance premiums, which reflect both insurance rate changes and changes in the insured values of constant quality housing, rose at a 16.7-percent rate, about as much as in the first quarter, Table 3. Foods and related products Consumer prices for foods rose at a 5.6-percent annu al rate from March to June, more than the 3.8-percent rate in the first quarter, but considerably less than the 12.1-percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of 1979. Retail food increases in the second quarter were greatly influenced by advances in distribution costs, which re sulted in large part from earlier rises in energy prices. Changes in retail and producer prices for consumer goods other than food and energy, 1979-80 Commodity Commodities less food and energy1 ............................................ Apparel, excluding footwear2 ....................................................... Footwear......................................................................................... Textile housefurnishings2 .............................................................. Soap and detergents3 .................................................................. Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins3 4 ............. Tires5 6 .................................................................................... Furniture2 ....................................................................................... Appliances, including radio and T V ................................................. New c a rs ......................................................................................... Sporting goods and equipment5 ................................................... Tobacco products2 ......................................................................... Gold jewelry 7 .................................................................................. Home purchase8 ........................................................................... Usea cars“ .................................................................................... Index CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI CPI 1979 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 'Commodities less food and energy account for 34.5 percent of the CPI-U and 51.7 percent of the PPI for finished consumer goods. 2 Not seasonally adjusted in the PPI. 3 Not seasonally adjusted in the CPI or the PPI. 4“ Sanitary papers and health products" in the PPI. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended — Relative importance December 1979 10.9 13.8 1.9 3.0 1.5 2.1 .9 1.7 .7 2.7 1.3 1.9 3.5 4.3 4.4 6.3 9.6 15.4 Sept. Dec. Mar. June 7.5 7.9 -2.3 4.4 11.9 22.7 8.7 7.0 8.3 9.1 7.3 4.8 7.7 10.4 11.5 3.0 2.5 9.2 4.3 7.8 7.3 8.3 -2 .4 8.1 9.7 17.4 16.3 13.9 7.4 3.7 18.3 5.6 1 1 .8 2 1 .2 - .2 4.7 5.7 4.2 8 .8 11.7 4.4 7.5 2.4 1.2 2.9 30.1 7.5 .5 8.7 9.7 22.4 - 1.0 21.7 7.8 24.6 4.4 8 .0 1.8 2.5 7.1 10 .2 1.8 10.5 8.3 1.3 .7 5.2 37.7 16.3 -2.5 1.8 12.1 11.3 2 .8 1.3 3.1 3.9 1980 June 7.5 19.7 1 0 .0 14.7 16.4 62.2 17.1 -4.9 8.4 14.9 8 .6 18.3 17.3 9.3 11.7 3.9 5.0 0 7.5 3.3 4.5 2.5 8.7 28.6 147.8 18.8 10.5 8 .6 3.5 0 7.3 5.9 4.9 3.1 19.0 12.5 11 .6 11 .8 31.0 16.9 20.9 17.0 1 0 .8 9.6 6 .0 10.3 4.1 6.1 3.8 7.6 12.3 8.5 19.1 16.2 13.8 19.9 60.7 155.2 7.0 -2.5 1 0 .0 10.5 11.4 4.9 1 0 .0 10.5 14.2 1 0 .8 9.6 14.9 -16.8 5Not seasonally adjusted in the CPI. and tubes” in the PPI 7 “ jewelry and luggage” in the CPI; not seasonally adjusted In the CPI or the PPI. a n 0( included in the PPI. 6 “ Tires 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Anatomy o f Price Change At the primary market level, processor prices for foods fell even more sharply (7.8-percent annual rate) than in the first quarter (1.2-percent annual rate). In both the CPI and p p i , prices for meats fell sharply, while prices for sugar and sweets continued to soar. (See table 5.) Prices for beef and veal, pork, and poultry declined substantially at both the retail and processor levels re flecting abundant supplies for pork, increased poultry production, and competitive price reductions for beef and veal. At the farm level, prices for cattle, hogs, and live poultry fell at an annual rate of more than 30 per cent, the second consecutive quarterly decline. Heavy hog slaughter resulted in lower prices for both hogs and cattle. Live poultry prices fell primarily in response to more than ample broiler and fryer supplies. Abundant supplies of soybeans caused prices to de cline in world markets. As a result, the index for fats and oils moved down, led by lower prices for margarine and shortening. The index for grains declined for the second consecutive quarter, mostly as a result of lower prices for wheat. Favorable growing conditions in areas producing winter wheat raised expectations for an excel lent harvest. On the other hand, corn prices averaged higher over the quarter, as extremely dry weather in growing areas resulted in concern about a smaller har vest due to planting delays and inadequate moisture. Retail prices for sugar and sweets rose at an annual rate of more than 40 percent for the second consecutive quarter, after rising 7.4 percent in 1979. Producer prices for refined sugar for consumers soared nearly as much as in the first quarter; in June, prices were double the year-ago level. Raw sugar prices rose from 18 to 29 cents per pound from December to June. The pattern of price movement in the first and second quarters was Table 4. Changes in consumer service prices, 1979-80 Item Services ................................. Services less energy ........................... Rent, residential ................................... Household less rent ' .......................... Home financing, taxes, and Insurance . Mortgage interest ra te s........................ Home maintenance and repairs........... Gas (piped) and electricity.................... Housekeeping services........................ Transportation services........................ Auto maintenance and repairs............. Other private transportation services .. Public transportation............................. Medical care services.......................... Entertainment services ........................ Personal care services2 ...................... Apparel services2 ................................. Personal and educational services . . . . 1 1ncludes 2 Not 38 items not listed. seasonally adjusted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Relative impor tance Decernb e r1979 1 0 0 .0 91.7 12.9 53.0 26.6 6 .8 8.3 4.9 13.9 3.6 7.7 Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended — 1979 Sept. Dec. Mar. 13.2 11.7 14.3 14.2 20.9 2 1 .6 2 0 .0 1 0.2 15.8 17.1 9.0 2 1 .0 8 .2 17.7 17.3 25.3 2 2 .0 11.5 11.5 28.7 8.7 10.1 11.3 1 1.2 1 2.2 38.1 24.2 1 1.8 2 0 .0 1.0 2 1 .0 7.6 12.7 9.5 8 .8 8 .6 16.3 18.5 11.9 21.3 18.6 6.4 9.2 7.4 14.3 7.9 2 1 .2 39.5 11 .2 12 .6 5.0 9.0 1.9 7.2 12.7 5.2 2 .2 1.6 10 .0 1 1 .0 2.9 7.5 17.7 9.8 3.7 June 8.3 28.5 43.9 42.8 9.7 16.6 9.0 12.7 9.6 10.5 25.2 5.3 6.7 9.0 8.5 2 .6 1980 June 6 .2 1 1 .0 18.7 17.3 16.9 12.9 11.3 18.3 9.8 1 0 .0 30.8 44.5 39.2 6.7 39.8 similar; unusually sharp increases in February and May were followed by downward adjustments, as speculative purchases contributed to price instability. Intermediate materials less foods and energy The index for intermediate materials less foods and energy slowed to a 5.1-percent annual rate in the sec ond quarter, after accelerating to a 17.2-percent rate from December to March. The first quarter advance was the largest since the third quarter of 1974, while the second quarter rise was the smallest since the final quarter of 1977. This dramatic slowdown was principal ly the result of the sharp drop in precious metals prices, as well as the steep decline in business activity in early spring. In response to low sales levels and high interest costs, manufacturers tried to reduce their stocks of ma terials and supplies in the second quarter; this led to weaker demand for many items whose prices had risen sharply earlier in the year. One factor which tended to magnify inflation in the first quarter was widespread commodity speculation, particularly among precious metals. Extremely sharp in creases in January brought gold prices to a level more than triple that of January 1979, while silver prices were more than seven times what they were a year prior to then. Partly because of tightened credit markets, gold prices fell about 30 percent over the next 3 months, and prices for silver plummeted about 70 percent through May. Gold and silver prices then rebounded somewhat in June. If the categories for precious metals and photo graphic film (which contains substantial proportions of silver) were removed from the index for intermediate materials less foods and energy, the first and second quarter annual rates of increase would have been 13.8 percent and 7.2 percent. The sharp declines in precious metals prices contrib uted to the downturn in the durable manufacturing ma terials category, which fell at a 4.4-percent annual rate, after increasing at a 16.1-percent rate in the first quarter and moving up 16.8 percent in 1979. In addition, prices were lower for several other primary nonferrous metals. Copper prices fell because of weakened industrial, con struction, and speculative demand and lead prices con tinued to drop, as production of automobile batteries remained at low levels. In contrast, the index for prima ry aluminum rose sharply despite weaker domestic de mand. The increase reflected higher energy costs, which have a larger impact on aluminum prices than on prices of other metals. Prices for finished steel mill products were raised an average of 3 percent in April, with the largest increases for flat rolled sheet and strip. The in crease was attributed to higher labor and energy costs, but there was some discounting by the end of June, in response to slack demand from the automotive industry and others. Table 5. Changes in retail and producer prices for consumer foods, 1979-80 Commodity Consumer foods1 ........................................................................... Beef and veal2 ................................................................................ P o rk .................................................................................................. Poultry ............................................................................................. Cereal and bakery products............................................................ Dairy products.................................................................................. Fresh fruits and vegetables ............................................................ Processed fruits and vegetables..................................................... E ggs.................................................................................................. Sugar and sweets3' 4 ....................................................................... Coffee, ro asted................................................................................ Fats and oil products5 ..................................................................... Index CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI CPI PPI Relative importance December 1979 100.0 100.0 10.3 14.6 4.7 6.7 2.2 3.3 8.6 12.7 9.3 15.1 5.0 3.8 4.6 6.7 1.3 1Includes Items not listed. The CPI Includes prices of food away from home, which account for about 31 percent of the food index. The PPI for finished consumer foods does not reflect restaurant prices. 2Not seasonally adjusted in the CPI. Hardwood lumber prices declined even more than in the first quarter, reflecting weakened demand for house hold furniture. The indexes for plastic components and laminated plastic film registered very little change after advancing sharply in the previous quarter. The reces sion restricted the ability of plastic producers to contin ue passing through petrochemical feedstock price hikes. The construction materials index slowed to a 3.8percent annual rate of increase, the smallest quarterly advance in more than 3 years. The annual rate of pri vate housing starts was about 1 million units in the sec ond quarter, less than half the average rate during 1978. Softwood lumber prices fell sharply for the third con secutive quarter, and millwork prices turned down after rising in the first quarter. However, plywood prices turned up sharply in May and June as producers cut their output levels in response to the 13.2-percent de cline in prices in the 12 months ending in April. The slowdown in housing construction also led to sharp de clines in prices for copper wire and cable, gypsum prod ucts, and clay tile. In addition, price increases slowed for several other items such as heating equipment and brass fittings. The nondurable manufacturing materials index rose at a 13.4-percent annual rate, somewhat less than in any of the five previous quarters. The surge in crude oil prices in early 1980 led to substantial increases in April in the indexes for industrial chemicals, plastic resins and materials, and synthetic rubber. However, decreased de mand resulted in moderating prices by June. Among https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.1 2.4 4.2 1.0 4.4 2.0 1.9 Compound annual rate, seasonally adjusted except as noted, for 3 months ended 1979 June Sept. 6.4 -9.2 25.6 -20.9 -26.3 -48.2 -14.6 -48.5 8.3 21.4 9.2 6.5 15.3 -17.7 32.0 -23.5 1.4 -21.6 -5 .0 15.1 11.8 4.8 -12.0 9.2 4.2 19.7 7.4 8.0 5.3 -1.1 22.7 5.1 6.8 22.8 12.2 15.2 31.8 -7.3 10.1 5.1 -35.7 -38.8 6.8 12.1 126.2 96.9 9.0 14.3 1980 Dec. 12.1 8.6 13.2 7.9 14.8 4.4 27.5 100.6 11.1 3.3 7.4 -.2 -.2 15.0 -1.7 -8.6 12.8 10.3 3.7 35.6 14.6 21.0 4.2 9.8 Mar. June 3.8 -1.2 10.9 -4.3 -12.4 -21.1 -3 .9 -49.0 5.6 -7.8 -7 .6 -22.9 -23.3 -35.7 -15.2 -25.5 15.8 8.4 9.7 -28.2 -21.5 9.0 7.3 -21.8 - .5 47.2 59.9 -2.8 -17.8 13.2 1.9 14.5 17.5 38.1 35.0 11.7 7.7 22.7 -18.6 41.6 130.2 -4.7 -7.1 -1.5 -8.4 12.6 12.8 11.0 3“ Sugar and confectionery” in the PPL 4 Not seasonally adjusted in the PPL 5“ Vegetable oil end products” in the PPL textile products, synthetic fibers prices continued to move up about as much as in the first quarter, mainly because of higher petrochemical feedstock costs. Price increases slowed, however, for processed yarns and threads and finished fabrics, as apparel manufacturers reduced their orders in response to the recession. Woodpulp prices rose sharply in April, largely be cause the decreased output of lumber curtailed supplies of wood chips. Higher woodpulp prices, in turn, con tributed to accelerating price increases for paper and paperboard. Prices continued to decline for leather and inedible fats and oils, as world supplies exceeded de mand. The manufacturing components index moved up only half as much as in the previous quarter. Weakened in dustrial demand was the primary factor behind the slowing rates in the indexes for electronic components and accessories, internal combustion engines, motor ve hicle parts, electric motors, and switchgear and switch boards. Price moderation was also evident in other inter mediate products. Wooden pallet prices turned down at the beginning of 1980 and continued to decrease through June because of weaker demand, which reflected the low er levels of manufacturers’ shipments. Photographic sup ply prices fell after climbing steeply in February, in response to similar fluctuations in prices for silver, which is heavily used in making camera film. Price increases for mixed fertilizers slowed significantly, following rapid ad vances during the first quarter of 1980 and much of 39 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Anatomy o f Price Change of 1979. Fertilizer demand was slow because of poor prospects for crop earnings and high interest costs. Crude nonfood materials less energy The index for crude nonfood materials less energy turned down sharply at a 37.5-percent annual rate fol lowing an increase at a 6.6-percent rate in the first quar ter of 1980. From December 1978 to December 1979, this index rose 13.1 percent. Prices for ferrous scrap fell at an even sharper rate in the second quarter (64.1 per cent) than in the first (21.2 percent). Domestic produc tion of steel was far below the levels experienced in 1979; foreign demand for ferrous scrap was also low. Prices for aluminum base scrap declined at a 90.4-per cent annual rate after skyrocketing in the previous 2 quarters. The index for copper base scrap registered de clines over both the first and second quarters; prices fell sharply in March and April in response to a weakening world market. Prices for hides and skins and cotton declined as a result of weak export and domestic demand. Prices for wastepaper declined because of poor demand from pa perboard mills and the building materials industry. N at ural rubber prices turned down as speculators liqui dated holdings because of reduced demand from tire manufacturers and other industrial users. In contrast, higher prices were registered for iron ore, in response to increased labor costs, and for sand and gravel, because of higher energy costs. --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------' “Primary stocks” refer to petroleum products stored at the refin ery or at bulk terminals, and exclude inventories of retailers, jobbers, etc. 2 American Petroleum Institute figures show a decrease in gasoline deliveries from primary storage of about 8 percent from April 1979 to April 1980. new indexes were computed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, using new expenditure weights derived from 1972-73 Consumer Expenditure Survey data for Wash ington, D.C. The new weights are being used to com pute all indexes based on retail price surveys conducted after July 1979. The higher index of living costs for Americans in Ma drid reflects the depreciation of the U.S. dollar relative to the peseta, and the lower index for Canberra reflects a small improvement in the exchange rate value of the U.S. dollar versus the Australian dollar. For Americans in Ottawa and Caracas, the exchange rates were essen tially unchanged, but the new surveys showed average prices paid in national currency were up by 2 percent in Ottawa, but were 2 percent less in Caracas, compared with prices in Washington, D.C. Because exchange rates are subject to sudden shifts, it is advisable to check the prevailing rates whenever using the indexes of living costs abroad. The indexes for all 162 reporting cities are published in quarterly reports entitled U.S. Department o f State Indexes o f Living Costs Abroad and Quarters Allowances. The entire list is published in April of each year. The reports are available upon on request from the Office of Publications, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The methods of compilation and use of the indexes are described in U.S. Department o f State Indexes o f Living Costs Abroad and Quarters Allowances: A Techni cal Description (BLS Report 568, April 1980), also available from the Office of Publications, Bureau of La bor Statistics. □ Table 1. Indexes of living costs abroad, excluding housing and education, May 1980 [Washington, D.C.=100] Survey date Monetary unit Rate of exchange per US $1 Argentina: Buenos Aires .................. Australia: Canberra........................... Belgium: Brussels............................. Brazil: Sao Paulo ............................. Canada: O tta w a ............................... Oct. 1979 Dec. 1979 Mar. 1979 Apr. 1979 Nov. 1979 Peso Dollar Franc Cruzeiro Dollar 1483 0.8917 30.0 23.0 1.18 142 118 158 115 France: Paris ................................... Germany: Frankfurt.......................... Hong Kong: Hong K ong.................... India: New Delhi ............................... Italy: Rom e........................................ Mar. 1979 Mar. 1979 May 1979 July 1979 Oct. 1978 Franc Mark Dollar Rupee Lira 4.32 1.87 5.08 166 164 Japan: Tokyo ................................... Mexico: Mexico, D.F ........................ Netherlands: The Hague .................. Philippines: Manila............................. South Africa: Johannesburg............. Mar. 1979 Feb. 1977 Feb. 1979 Jan. 1979 Dec. 1977 Yen Peso Guilder Peso Rand 212 22.0 Spain: M adrid................................... Sweden: Stockholm ........................ Switzerland: G eneva........................ United Kingdom: London .................. Venezuela: Caracas ........................ Dec. 1979 June 1979 May 1979 July 1979 Oct. 1979 Peseta Krona Franc Pound Bolivar Country and city Cost-of-living indexes fo r Americans living abroad The U.S. Department of State has prepared new indexes of living costs abroad for Americans in Canberra, O tta wa, Madrid, and Caracas. The new indexes are 3 per cent higher for Madrid, 1 percent higher for Ottawa, and about 2 percent lower for Canberra and Caracas than previous indexes. (See table 1.) The periods be tween survey dates were 8 months for Canberra and about 1 year for the other cities. The new indexes reflect changes in the exchange rates used to calculate the indexes, as well as changes in the prices of goods and services (excluding housing and children’s education) between survey dates. Also, the 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis SOURCE: U.S. Department of State, Allowances Staff. 8.11 840 2.06 7.38 0.8697 66.0 4.24 1.65 0.4757 4.28 Local index 100 112 93 114 183 78 154 89 91 124 173 184 130 137 (P Conventions Auto W orkers seek Government aid fo r laid-off workers, ailing industry L a r r y T. A dam s Amid the most severe downturn in automobile produc tion since 1963, the United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America ( u a w Ind.) held its 26th constitutional convention in Ana heim, Calif. In his keynote speech, President Douglas Fraser reminded the 3,000 delegates that 235,000 auto workers were on layoff, foreign auto and truck imports were taking an ever increasing share of a shrinking U.S. domestic market and, summing up the outlook for the industry, that “if you see a light at the end of the tun nel, it is probably an oncoming freight train.” The triennial convention was held June 1 -6 during a sharp slump in automobile demand. For the most part the problems in the industry are due to the recession and high interest rates and the related encroachment of imports into the U.S. domestic market. With the high cost of gasoline, as well as concern about its continued availability, demand for autos has shifted from large and mid-size cars to more efficient compact and sub compact models. Foreign carmakers have captured a growing share of the market; imports rose from 18 per cent of auto sales in 1978 to 28 percent in early 1980. A similar trend has occurred in the U.S. truck market with foreign models accounting for 9 percent of sales in 1978, 15 percent in 1979 and 23 percent in early 1980.1 As the U.S. car and truck makers close plants, some permanently and others for retooling to manufacture smaller, more efficient vehicles, record numbers of auto workers have been placed on temporary or permanent layoff. Nearly 325,000 are now on layoff, with more fur loughs anticipated in the future, in contrast to the downturn experienced during 1973-75 when 213,000 UAW members were out of work.2 Government help sought Historically, the UAW has pursued the goals of eco nomic security for its members through creative collecLarry T. Adams is an economist in the Division of Industrial Rela tions, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tive bargaining strategies. However, faced with a deepening nationwide recession and severe competition from imports, the union is now turning to the govern ment for measures which will secure the long-term sur vival of the industry. Trade barriers. In a dramatic break with the UAW’s free trade position, the delegates were told that the union has begun legal steps to secure temporary import pro tection until U.S. automakers increase small car capaci ty to obtain a competitive marketing position. Claiming that “Japanese auto manufacturers— espe cially Toyota and Nissan— are unfairly exploiting the U.S. companies’ past neglect of small car production,” the UAW has filed for import relief under the Trade Act of 1974.3 As domestic automakers move toward a mix of vehicles consistent with current market demand, the Auto Workers seek temporary trade barriers to protect the shrinking U.S. share of the domestic auto market. Confronted with forecasts that 60 percent of auto sales by 1985 will be foreign made vehicles, Fraser noted that “as penetration increases you’re going to find it more difficult to turn back that penetration and get your market back. And there is a very simple reason for that. When the American consumer goes into the market and buys a big ticket item, like an automobile, and that au tomobile is well designed, a quality product on which they get good service and durability— when they go back in the market three or four or five years after that first purchase, they’re apt to buy the same product.” The petition requests relief from import competition by all countries, except Canada, for 5 years (to be phased down after 3 years). The UAW asked the Inter national Trade Commission to recommend to the Presi dent (1) that the duty on new passenger vehicles be increased from 2.9 percent to 20 percent; (2) that quo tas be imposed on imports based on 1975 or 1976 im port levels; and (3) that imports assembled principally from U.S. or Canadian labor, components, or material be excluded from the tariffs and quotas. Assistance to workers on layoff. The delegates adopted a number of resolutions aimed at maximizing the econom ic assistance available to workers on layoff. The main stay of the Auto Workers economic aid package is the Supplemental Unemployment Benefits Plan ( s u b ), pio41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Conventions neered by the UAW in 1955. Under this program, partic ipating employers contribute a specified amount per hour worked to the SUB fund. The benefits disbursed from the fund, when added to the unemployment com pensation or other transfer payment due the worker, provide compensation equal to a specified percent of the employees’ pre-layoff earnings. However, during pro longed periods of high unemployment in the auto indus try funds have been depleted, with workers furloughed late in the layoff period receiving little or no compensa tion from the fund. Any increase in transfer payments (unemployment insurance benefits, Federal-State extend ed unemployment benefits and Trade Readjustment As sistance benefits) to affected workers increases the fund’s ability to assist a greater number of workers over a longer period of time. $168 million in assistance was paid to 94,300 UAW members. Since October 1, of last year, $150 million has been paid to 50,000 workers on layoff from Chrysler and 200,000 more auto industry workers have been certified as eligible to receive benefits. The delegates lauded the Trade Readjustment Assis tance as a great help in adjusting to the economic dislo cations currently rocking the industry, but many felt that the act unfairly discriminates against many thou sands of employees on layoff from independent parts suppliers. Parts employees are deemed eligible for assis tance only if the manufactured part is imported as a separate item, not as a part of an assembled vehicle. Under the present act, few, if any, of the parts workers will receive benefits during the current downturn. A res olution was passed to seek benefits for these workers. Plant closings. While there was much concern about the Unemployment insurance. The delegates called for the thousands of workers on temporary layoff, the most fer enactment of a single Federal unemployment insurance vently debated resolution dealt with a cause of perma program to supplant State laws currently in force. The nent job loss— plant closings. Although conceding the proposal commits the UAW to seek an unemployment inevitability of economic change in a free economy, the insurance program that would insure payment equal to resolution, detailing the personal and social costs of at least two-thirds of the employee’s average weekly economic dislocations, called for the passage of the N a earnings; provide medical and hospital benefits for the tional Employment Priorities Act now before Congress. duration of the eligibility period; protect pension and The pending legislation would require advance notice social security credits; and increase the basic eligibility of plant closings and investigatory hearings by the De period to 52 weeks. partment of Labor to determine the economic necessity To provide additional economic assistance to laid-off for the closing, the anticipated economic and social loss workers and protect the solvency of the SUB funds, the to the employees and the local government, and alterna UAW and the AFL-CIO joined in filing suit against the tives to mitigate the adverse impact of the plant closing. U.S. Department of Labor on the issue of extended un In addition to providing financial assistance to the employment insurance payments authorized under the employer to aid in averting a plant closing, the pro Federal-State Extended Unemployment Compensation posed act would provide an affected employee with Act 1970. This legislation provides an additional period transfer rights, relocation expenses, income and fringe of unemployment insurance eligibility when the national benefit protection, job search assistance and special pro rate of insured unemployment reaches 4.5 percent for a tections for older workers. To aid the affected local period of 13 weeks. At issue in the suit is the method of communities, the act stipulates payment by the corpora calculating the 4.5-percent trigger rate. During previous tion to the local government to compensate for the loss economic downturns, the trigger percentage was calcu of tax revenue and a similar payment to the Federal lated using both the number of currently eligible unem Government if the plant closing involves moving opera ployment insurance recipients as well as those having exhausted their benefits. Under regulations now issued * tions out of the United States. by the Department of Labor, only the currently insured unemployed are used to calculate the trigger, thereby Changes in leadership , forestalling or precluding extended Federal-State unem Four officers who worked with Walter Reuther in ployment benefits during the current recession. shaping the UAW announced their retirement: Emil Mazey, Pat Greathouse, Irving Bluestone, and Ken Trade Act coverage. Extensive use has been made of the Bannon. The turnover of leadership will be complete benefits provided workers under the Trade Act of 1974. with Fraser’s retirement in 1983, but the liberal and in The Act provides that workers laid off substantially as novative outlook of the union is not expected to change. a result of imports are eligible for a Trade Read President Fraser, three incumbent vice presidents and justment Assistance allowance of up to 70 percent of the four new international officers ran unopposed and their average weekly earnings for up to 52 weeks (with were elected by acclamation. Ray Majerus was elected the SUB fund augmenting that amount up to a fixed per to the office of secretary-treasurer. Owen Beiber, Don centage). Between April of 1975 and September of 1979, 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ephlin, and Stephan Yokich were elected to replace the three retiring vice-presidents. In announcing the responsibilities of the four new of ficers, Fraser cautioned against using the distribution of duties for speculation on his successor. Ray Majerus will handle negotiations with the American Motors Corp. and the union’s aerospace employers; Yokich will direct the agricultural implement department, a function performed primarily by Greathouse before his retire ment. Don Ephlin will succeed Ken Bannon as director of the Ford Motor Corp. department; and Owen Bieber will assume responsibility for the General Motors Corp. department. Other issues Constitutional changes. In action to amend the constitu tion, the delegates raised the salaries of the international officers and changed the dues levy on members receiv ing SUB payments from a fixed $5 per month to one hours’ pay (before layoff) per month. The convention also ratified an amendment diverting one-half of the in terest earned on strike-fund investments to a special ac count, under the control of the International Executive Board, for organizing, education, and communication. ' U A W R e s o lu tio n s C o m m itte e R e p o r t N u m b e r 3, 26th Constitutional Convention, 1980, p. 85. 2 See Clyde W. Farnsworth, “Carter Gets Car-Industry Aid Study,” T h e N e w Y o rk T im es, July 3, 1980, p. D - l . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Presidential endorsement. Fraser stressed the need for the UAW to play an active part in the upcoming nation al elections. He further stated, however, that “the poli tics of our nation are in disarray” and that “the international executive board and the [delegates] . . . are never of one mind” on the matter of a presidential en dorsement. Therefore, the union will poll the delegates at a later date to determine the will of the membership prior to making an endorsement. Codetermination. While Fraser has drawn criticism from management, academicians and other union leaders for his election to the board of directors of the Chrysler Corp., similar feelings were not common among the del egates. Fraser won a seat on Chrysler’s board as a con cession for the union’s role in aiding the ailing auto maker. He acknowledges that his dual role might pose a conflict but considers it necessary for a voice to be heard within the boardroom before irrevocable decisions are made. He declared to the delegates and the share holders of Chrysler that the principle which will guide him in the role of board member “is that the workers of this country, whether it [sic] be [at] Chrysler or Ford or anyplace else are entitled to a voice in their own destiny and their own future.” □ 3 A companion petition has been filed by the Coalition of Auto Component and Supply Workers, an alliance of 11 auto industry unions. (See p. 60, this issue.) > 43 Special Labor Force Reports—Summaries School and work among youth during the 1970’s A nne M cD ougall Young The employment situation for 16-to-24-year-old youths enrolled in school was about the same in October 1979 as a year earlier. Among out-of-school youths, unem ployment had risen for the first time since the 1974-75 recession. The number of youths not enrolled in school who were in the labor force was about 200,000 higher in Oc tober 1979 than in October 1978,1mostly because of an increase in unemployment (table 1). Surprisingly, how ever, this rise in unemployment did not occur among the groups usually most susceptible to joblessness. Rather than affecting school dropouts, the increased burden fell primarily on high school graduates who had not gone on to college; their unemployment rate rose from 8.7 to 9.8 percent. Thus, while the proportion of workers with some college education was increasing in all occupational groups, the youths with no more than a high school diploma were apparently at some disad vantage during the uncertain economic conditions of au tumn 1979. There was little change over the year in the already high unemployment rate for high school dropouts, which remained at about 19 percent in October 1979. However, the number of employed youths with less than a high school education increased, particularly among those 20 to 24 years old. This may reflect, in part, the entry into the youth labor force of recent im migrants from less developed countries, many of whom have only a few years of formal schooling. (Data from the U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service for fis cal year 1978 indicate that nearly 30 percent of the 601,000 legal immigrants were 20 to 29 years old.)2 Approximately 7.3 million youths, half of all stu dents, were combining school and work in October 1979. Young women were about as likely as young men to be working or looking for work. Among younger Anne McDougall Young is an economist in the Office of Current Em ployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis students with jobs, most worked part time (less than 35 hours per week); among the older students, those 22 to 24 years old, about half worked full time (35 hours or more per week). Black youths enrolled in school were much less likely than white youths to be in the labor market. Their la bor force participation rate was almost 25 percentage points below that for white students at the high school level and over 10 points lower among those enrolled in college. These lower rates reflect, in part, the limited employment opportunities in the inner city, where blacks are concentrated, and the isolation of many black colleges in rural areas where the chances of em ployment are also slim. High unemployment rates among black students— triple those of white students— were also apt to discourage job seeking. Recent high school graduates and dropouts The high school graduating class of 1979 was the same size as in 1978— about 3.2 million. As in 1978, approximately half of these high school graduates had enrolled in college by October (table 2). The probability of going on to college after graduation from high school was nearly the same for women as for men and differed little between whites and blacks, these differences hav ing gradually disappeared since 1970. However, even though the proportion of graduates entering college was about the same for all sex and minority groups, the pro portion of 18-and-19-year-olds who were eligible for college was much lower among minority groups than among whites. Just 57 percent of the blacks and 54 per cent of the Hispanics, compared with 75 percent of the whites in that age group, had completed high school. Overall, the proportion of young people enrolling in college immediately after high school graduation has been inching downward in recent years— from 51 per cent in 1977 to 49 percent in 1979. Labor force participation rates in October 1979 for recent high school graduates continued close to the peak levels reached in 1977— 42 percent among those in college and 87 percent among those not in college. As might be expected, youth enrolled full time in col lege had a relatively low labor force rate of 39 percent, but the rate for part-time college students (84 percent) almost matched that of recent high school graduates no Changes over the decade longer in school. Unemployment edged upward among all recent graduates, whether or not enrolled in school. Both the labor force participation rate and the unem ployment rate for the approximately 800,000 youths who had dropped out of elementary or high school over the course of the year were about the same in October 1979 as in October 1978, at 66 and 26 percent, respec tively. School dropouts were not nearly as likely to be in the labor force as youths of the same age who had graduated from high school. Also, the unemployment rate for dropouts was more than one and a half times that of graduates. The 1970’s have witnessed a sharp increase in the size of the youth labor force, not only because of population growth but also because of a substantial rise in the la bor force participation rates of various youth groups. For example, in October 1970 there were about 18 mil lion 16-to-24-year-olds in the labor force, or 59 percent of the group’s population (table 3). As the decade was drawing to a close, the rapid growth of the youth popu lation, fueled by the baby boom which followed World War II, was also coming to an end. Reflecting the rapid decrease in births which began in the early 1960’s, the Table 1. Employment status of persons 16 to 24 years old, by school enrollment status, educational attainment, sex and race, October 1978 and October 1979 (Numbers in thousands) Civilian labor force Characteristic Unemployed Civilian noninstitutional population Percent of population Number 1978 1979 1978 1979 Employed Unemployment rate Number 1978 1979 1978 1979 1978 1979 1978 1979 35,931 36,131 24,278 24,340 67.6 67.4 21,654 21,556 2,621 2,785 10.8 11.5 Enrolled in school........................ 16 to 19 years .................... 20 to 24 years .................... 15,329 11,084 4,245 15,262 10,972 4,290 7,475 5,066 2,409 7,341 4,883 2,458 48.8 45.7 56.7 48.1 44.5 57.3 6,539 4,289 2,250 6,392 4,143 2,249 936 775 161 949 739 12.5 15.3 6.7 12.9 15.1 8.5 M e n ...................................... W omen................................. 7,948 7,381 7,861 7,402 3,937 3,538 3,802 3,539 49.5 47.9 48.4 47.8 3,431 3,106 3,295 3,093 506 430 506 445 12.9 White ................................... Black ................................... 12,920 2,024 12,921 2,006 6,707 600 6,594 622 51.9 29.6 51.0 31.0 5,990 411 5,868 409 716 188 726 213 10.7 31.3 34.2 Elementary and high school......... M e n ...................................... W omen................................. 8,061 4,220 3,841 7,971 4,233 3,738 3,699 2,023 1,676 3,628 1,985 1,643 45.9 47.9 43.6 45.6 47.0 44.0 3,069 1,671 1,398 3,021 1,353 626 350 276 607 317 290 16.9 17.3 16.5 16.7 16.0 17.7 W h ite ................................... Black ................................... Hispanic origin...................... 6,616 1,291 490 6,556 1,266 483 3,318 323 181 3,268 319 143 50.2 25.0 36.9 49.8 25.1 29.6 2,825 207 141 2,811 177 107 493 117 39 458 143 37 14.9 36.2 21.5 14.0 44.8 25.8 College ........................................ Men ...................................... Women................................. 7,269 3,730 3,539 7,291 3,628 3,663 3,778 1,917 1,861 3,711 1,816 1,895 52.0 51.4 52.6 50.9 50.1 51.7 3,467 1,759 1,708 3,368 1,629 1,739 314 157 157 345 189 156 8.3 9.3 10.4 8.4 Full-time students ............... Part-time students............... 6,043 1,225 6,079 1,213 2,674 1,106 2,608 1,103 44.2 90.3 42.9 90.9 2,411 1,054 2,315 1,053 260 54 293 50 9.7 4.9 W h ite ................................... Black ................................... Hispanic origin...................... 6,305 733 269 6,365 741 311 3,391 276 174 3,327 302 150 53.8 37.7 64.7 52.3 40.8 48.2 3,162 207 168 3,057 234 134 225 70 269 6.6 Total, 16 to 24 years old 1,668 10 210 68 17 12.2 8.2 13.3 12.6 11.0 8.2 11.2 4.5 8.1 25.4 5.7 22.5 11.3 10.0 10.8 Not enrolled in schoo l.................. 20,602 20,869 16,803 16,999 81.6 81.5 15,115 15,164 1,685 1,836 School dropouts........................... Men ...................................... Women................................. 5,113 2,572 2,541 5,263 2,650 2,614 3,412 2,225 1,187 3,512 2,248 1,264 66.8 86.5 46.7 66.7 84.8 484 2,777 1,851 926 2,845 1,892 953 634 373 261 667 356 311 18.6 16.8 22.0 19.0 15.8 24.6 16 to 19 years .................... 20 to 24 years .................... 2,087 3,027 2,085 3,178 1,381 2,030 1,344 2,168 66.2 64.5 67.1 68.2 1,052 1,725 1,036 1,809 329 305 308 359 23.8 15.0 22.9 16.6 W h ite ................................... Black ................................... Hispanic origin...................... 4,101 939 726 4,167 988 758 2,811 558 499 2,873 565 521 68.5 59.4 68.7 68.9 57.2 68.7 2,350 392 419 2,402 386 437 461 166 80 471 179 84 16.4 29.7 16.0 16.4 31.7 16.1 High school graduates ................ M e n ...................................... Women................................. 15,489 7,062 8,427 15,604 7,197 8,407 13,391 6,747 6,644 13,488 6,863 6,625 86.5 95.5 78.8 86.4 95.4 78.8 12,341 6,297 6,044 12,322 6,359 5,962 1,050 450 600 1,166 504 663 7.8 6.7 9.0 86 10.0 W h ite ................................... Black ................................... Hispanic origin...................... 13,602 1,664 697 13,653 1,675 691 11,865 1,338 564 11,940 1,325 573 87.2 80.4 80.9 87.5 79.1 82.9 11,109 1,066 510 11,050 1,068 512 757 272 54 890 257 61 6.4 20.3 9.6 7.6 19.4 High school, no college . . . . College, 1 to 3 y e a rs ........... College graduates............... 11,063 3,018 1,408 11,094 3,017 1,493 9,383 2,652 1,355 9,382 2,683 1,423 84.8 87.9 96.2 84.6 88.9 95.2 8,569 2,502 1,269 8,460 2,509 1,352 814 150 922 174 71 8.7 5.7 6.3 9.8 6.4 5.0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 86 7.3 10.6 45 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Special Labor Reports— Summaries Table 2. School enrollment and labor force status of 1979 high school graduates and 1978-79 school dropouts,1by sex and race, October 1979 Civilian labor force Characteristic Total, 1979 high school gradu ates ............. Civilian noninstitutional population Number Labor force participa tion rate Employed Unemployed Number Unemploy ment rate 3,160 2,048 64.8 1,741 307 15.0 1,474 1,686 974 1,074 60.1 63.7 846 895 128 179 13.1 16.7 2,773 317 1,848 156 66.6 1,607 241 56 13.0 35.9 154 104 67.5 18 17.3 Enrolled in college......... 1,559 660 42.3 582 78 11.9 M e n ......... Women. . . 743 816 302 358 40.6 43.9 267 315 35 43 11.6 12.0 1,431 553 38.6 478 75 13.6 2 68 8 M e n ......... Women . . . White . . . . Black . . . . Hispanic origin .. Full-time students Part-time students White . . . . Black . . . . Hispanic origin .. 49.2 100 86 128 107 83.6 52 1,376 147 613 33 44.5 22.4 545 25 69 35 Not enrolled In college......... 1,601 M e n ......... Women. . . 731 870 White . . . . Black . . . . Hispanic origin . . 1.9 11.1 ( 2) ( 2) 28 7 1,388 86.7 1,159 229 16.5 672 716 91.9 82.3 579 580 93 136 13.8 19.0 1,397 170 1,235 123 88.4 72.4 1,062 75 173 48 14.0 39.0 85 69 81.1 58 11 Total, 1978-79 school drop outs3 ........... 794 523 65.9 387 136 26.0 M e n ......... Women . . . 394 400 310 213 78.6 53.3 252 135 58 78 18.7 36.6 White . . . . Black . . . . Hispanic origin .. 622 154 426 82 68.5 53.2 328 46 98 36 23.0 43.9 71 47 ( 2) 38 9 ( 2) ( 2) number of youths under 20 years of age had already be gun to decline. However, the youth labor force had con tinued to grow, having reached 24.3 million by October 1979, while the labor force participation rate for 16-to-24-year-olds had risen to 67 percent. Whether because of inflation, peer pressure, desire for work experience, or other reasons, the proportion of students participating in the labor force rose about 6 percentage points for men and 10 percentage points for women during the 1970’s. This growth largely reflects the recent enrollment increase in 2-year colleges. These students are much more likely to be in the work force while attending school than are students enrolled in 4-year colleges and universities. 46 Characteristic 1970 1979 E n ro lled T o ta l ................................................................................. W h ite ........................................................................... B lack a n d o th er races ....................................... 13.2 12.1 2 6 .0 12.9 11.0 3 4 .2 N o t en ro lled T o ta l ................................................................................. W h ite ...................................................................... B lack an d o th er races ........................................ 10.9 9.7 18.8 10.8 9 .2 23.1 ( 2) 116 to 24 years old. 2Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. 3Persons who dropped out of school between October 1978 and October 1979. In addi tion, 94,000 persons 14 and 15 years old dropped out of school. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Among whites, the increase in student labor force ac tivity over the 1970’s was evident both among young men and women. Among blacks, however, labor force participation increased only among women, but overall population growth for blacks was faster than for whites. As a result, blacks constituted about the same propor tion of the student labor force in 1979 as in 1970. Despite the increases in participation among students, it should be noted that 7 out of 10 of the 16-to-24-yearolds in the labor force were not enrolled in school either in 1970 or 1979. The labor force participation rates of the nonstudent youths, already relatively high in 1970, edged up slightly for men, from 92 to 93 percent, and increased sharply for women, from 60 to 72 percent. De layed marriage and childbearing have contributed to the rise in labor force activity among these young women.3 Although high relative to the rates for other segments of the population, the unemployment rates for youths in and out of school were about the same or slightly lower in October 1979 than in October 1970, as shown below: The major exception was the situation among black youths; the unemployment rate of black students (34.2 percent in October 1979) had increased by about 9 per centage points over the decade, and the rate for those not enrolled (23.1 percent) was 4 percentage points higher than in 1970. A striking feature of youth employment problems during the 1970’s was that, unlike the previous decade, half of all unemployed teenagers were enrolled in school — mainly high school. For example, 42 percent of the unemployed black youths were in high school in Octo ber 1979— up from 34 percent 9 years earlier— as were 40 percent of the whites. The importance of determining the school enrollment status of unemployed youths in terms of public policy has been reemphasized by the National Commission on Employment and Unemploy ment Statistics. The Commission has recently recommend ed that youth enrollment status be determined each month in the Current Population Survey, rather than annually in October.4 More frequent enumeration of the unemployed by school enrollment status would provide improved estimates of the number and type of jobs needed to relieve teenage unemployment. Certainly the unemployment problems of students, many of whom are seeking only part-time work, require very different poli- Table 3. Population and labor force participation rates of persons 16 to 24 years old, by school enrollment status, sex, race, and age, October 1970 and October 1979 All persons 1970 1979 1979 1970 Labor force partici pation rate Popula tion Labor force partici pation rate 29.2 23.9 31.5 31.0 <2) 1,182 617 287 150 128 31.0 22.9 27.2 40.7 67.2 98 46 25.3 20.4 26.9 29.6 ( 2) 1,158 570 300 145 143 32.9 25.1 29.7 54.5 49.0 93.6 72.6 91.3 95.0 95.7 1,050 74 251 258 467 84.9 ( 2) 75.7 87.2 92.3 1,325 40 291 386 608 85.4 73.5 55.8 77.0 73.4 73.7 1,340 74 299 378 589 57.9 1,726 85 356 500 785 Popula tion Popula tion 48.4 45.9 42.3 50.8 66.4 6,612 3,086 1,625 1,030 871 44.5 41.1 42.3 44.5 61.1 6,679 3,141 1,587 1,088 863 51.4 50.4 45.1 52.2 7,401 3,521 1,819 1,208 853 47.8 43.5 45.9 51.3 64.7 5,375 2,922 1,301 719 433 40.0 35.5 39.4 46.9 60.3 6,243 2,951 1,519 1,063 710 50.6 47.1 49.1 50.9 67.9 201 91.9 75.7 86.7 92.6 95.5 9,847 379 2,149 2,679 4,640 92.5 71.0 89.9 93.0 95.2 5,790 264 1,276 1,263 2,987 93.2 79.9 88.9 93.7 96.0 8,522 339 1,858 2,294 4,031 60.0 41.1 63.7 62.8 58.4 11,022 71.6 53.5 73.9 70.6 72.8 8,463 361 1,808 2,272 4,022 60.3 43.5 65.0 63.6 57.9 9,296 414 2,016 2,474 4,392 Popula tion Labor force partici pation rate Popula tion 7,420 3,537 1,822 1,130 931 42.9 38.9 41.2 43.3 60.9 7,861 3,758 1,874 1,239 990 6,187 3,389 1,502 817 479 38.0 33.5 37.7 44.8 60.1 6,840 338 1,527 1,522 3,453 9,804 435 2,107 2,651 4,611 1979 1970 Labor force partici pation rate Labor force partici pation rate Characteristic Black and other races White Labor force partici pation rate Popula tion ENROLLED Men 16 to 24 years ................................................... 16 and 17 years ........................................ 18 and 19 years ........................................ and 21 years ........................................ 22 to 24 years .......................................... 20 66.2 808 451 197 100 60 Women 16 to 24 years ................................................... 16 and 17 years ........................................ 18 and 19 years ........................................ and 21 years ........................................ 22 to 24 years .......................................... 20 811 466 NOT ENROLLED Men 16 to 24 years ................................................... 16 and 17 years ........................................ 18 and 19 years ........................................ and 21 years ........................................ 22 to 24 years .......................................... 20 ( 2) 81.1 81.1 91.9 Women 16 to 24 years ................................................... 16 and 17 years ........................................ 18 and 19 years ........................................ and 21 years ........................................ 22 to 24 years .......................................... 20 499 2,372 2,974 5,177 ( 2) 55.9 58.2 62.3 61.0 42.4 56.2 56.6 68.0 1Data are for black and other races, whereas data in other tables in this report are for blacks only. 2Percent not shown where base Is less than 75,000. cy approaches than do those of youths who have dropped out of school before high school graduation or who are graduates just starting their careers. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S — ------' This report is based primarily on supplementary questions in the October 1979 Current Population Survey, conducted and tabulated for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. Most data relate to persons 16 to 24 years of age in the civilian noninstitutional population in the calendar week ending Oct. 13, 1979. Sampling variability may be relatively large in cases where the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis numbers are small. Small estimates, or small differences between esti mates, should be interpreted with caution. The most recent report in this series was published in the M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , October 1979, pp. 34-38, and printed with additional tabular data and explanatory notes as Special Labor Force Report 223. 2 U.S. I m m ig r a tio n a n d N a tu r a liz a tio n S ervice, A n n u a l R ep o rt, F isc a l 1978, table 10. 3Beverly L. Johnson, “Changes in marital and family characteristics of workers, 1970 to 1978,” M o n th ly L a b o r R eview , April 1979, pp. 4 9 52, reprinted as Special Labor Force Report 219. 4 National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statis tics, C o u n tin g th e L a b o r F orce, Sept. 2, 1979, p. 90. 47 Research Summaries How the disabled fare in the labor market B a r b a r a L. W o l fe Increasing attention is being paid to the disabled. Legis lation has been passed requiring easier access to build ings; income maintenance plans now exist for those with reduced earnings capacity; there are training pro grams to improve the productivity of some of the dis abled. Yet, little is known about the disabled. Who are they? Do they work, and where? Are they married? Are they as educated as the nondisabled? What is their eco nomic position? This report provides a description and some analysis of noninstitutionalized disabled persons ages 20 to 64. Emphasis is on labor force behavior, including amounts of work, occupational distribution, and wage rates. The problem is widespread. Some 12 to 15 percent of the population in this age range is disabled. (The spread reflects differences in the definition.) This represents some 15 million prime-age adults. According to the 1972 Survey of the Disabled, musculoskeletal disorders (36 percent), followed by cardiovascular problems (21 percent), account for much disability. Considerably smaller amounts are accounted for by mental, respirato ry, and digestive disorders. For some purposes, it would clearly be more interesting to study individually, each medically classified group. But, to get an overall, cur rent view of the disabled, and to compare them to the nondisabled, in terms of socioeconomic well-being, a choice was made to use data that do not contain such medical information, but instead, focus on the overall socioeconomic picture. The first part of this report presents the methods used to define the disabled. The second details who the disabled are. f / DQflf a '» , tation or self-assessed capacity for work.2 This is tied to current program definitions that emphasize the long-run or chronic nature of the disability. In this study the Current Population Survey ( c p s ) was selected because a recent data source is desirable. Also, the base should be one that is nationwide, representive, and contains both labor force and demo graphic information. These reasons made the most re cent CPS most attractive for studying the disabled. The CPS does not include as much information on disability as is available in alternative data sources. For example, there is no information regarding limitations in housekeeping. But there is information about whether the amount of work the disabled person can do is limit ed. In addition, the information on program participa tion makes it possible to identify some other members of the disabled population. Thus, it seems that the most recent CPS (1977) was perhaps the best suited data source. The goal is to define all those who are disabled in a long-term sense— not just those who are working parttime or who are being served by a program for the disabled. The targeted group was restricted to the non institutionalized population ages 20 to 64 because youn ger persons are generally dependents or students, while those older are eligible for a wide variety of programs because of their age. Using the 1977 CPS, the disabled are defined by three basic categories: program participa tion, work limitation, and low wage and participation in a sheltered workshop occupation. One major difficulty in all research in this area is how to define the disabled. Some recent studies have used self-reported health status,1which emphasizes work limi- By program participation. There are a number of pro grams designed specifically for the disabled. Included here are those that provide income: disability benefits under social security; supplemental security income (ssi), an income-tested program; railroad disability annuities; workers’ compensation; and disabled veterans’ benefits.3 Seven percent of the population is defined as dis abled, according to program participation (table 1). This includes 9.1 percent of men and 5.04 percent of women; 6.7 percent of white persons and 8.3 percent of non white; and 4.5 percent of those ages 20 to 34, 5.6 percent of those 35 to 44, 8.6 percent of those 45 to 54, and 12.9 percent of the oldest age group, 55 to 64. Barbara L. Wolfe is an assistant professor of economics and preven tive medicine at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. By work limitation. The individuals included here either do not work or are limited in the amount of work they Defining disability https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis can perform.4 This approach should include those who are unable to work or who are ill for substantial periods of time, while excluding those who missed work because of short-term, acute illnesses. By this definition, 6.9 per cent of the population is disabled. This includes 7.5 per cent of men and 6.3 percent of women; 6.3 percent of white persons and 11.1 percent of nonwhite; and 3.5 percent of those 20-34, 5.7 percent of those 35-44, 9.2 percent of those 45-54, and 14.1 percent of those 55-64. The highest percentages of persons are designated “unable to work” on the basis of not working at all the previous year; the second highest percentages represent those who worked some last year. Unfortunately, the study directed no questions specifically toward limita tions in housework, and the resulting low percentages of disabled women are probably largely the result of this. By special work program. It is also desirable to include individuals who are in work programs designed espe cially for the disabled. Because many individuals may not respond to inquiries directed at work limitations, an additional definition is used; individuals whose wage rate is positive but less than $1 are included as disabled if their occupations are in sheltered workshops. This in cludes nonprivate housecleaning, food, health and per sonnel, certain laborers, some operatives, and certain sales and clerical workers. A total of 1.46 percent of in dividuals ages 20-64 are disabled by this definition.5 Using all of these definitions, 12.3 percent of the pop ulation ages 20-64 is disabled, or about 14.3 million individuals, slightly below the 14.6 percent (15.5 mil lion) in the 1972 Survey of the Disabled ( s d a ). Most of the differences lie in the count of women: in the survey, Table 1. Government program and labor force participation rates for the disabled Category Disabled as percent of population aged 20 -64 Men Women Total Total1 .............................................................. 13.5 11.2 12.3 Programs Total ....................................................... Supplementary Security Incom e............. Social Security ........................................ Veterans Compensation........................... Workmen’s Compensation...................... 9.1 0.9 3.0 4.7 3.0 5.0 1.4 3.4 — 7.0 7.5 4.2 2.3 3.1 6.3 3.6 Reductions in labor force participation Total ....................................................... Did not work: ill last y e a r ........................ Unable to work: last week ...................... Worked some last year: ill ...................... Worked some last week: ill .................... Low wage: Sheltered workshop occupation . . 0.2 1.0 0.6 1.3 2.4 0.4 6.9 3.9 1.5 2.7 0.3 1.9 1.5 0.8 1Nonadditive: many defined to be disabled by more than one definition. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.2 3.2 2.1 15.2 percent of women were classified as disabled, while here only 11.2 percent are classified as disabled. The comparative percentages for males are 14.0 percent for the SDA and 13.5 percent for W-CPS. The larger dif ference for women is probably related to the lack of in formation concerning housewives. In other respects, the two surveys show similar dis ability patterns: more of the disabled in the South than in the other major regions, fewer white persons than nonwhite, and a greater percentage among older age groups. Characteristics of the disabled The disabled population tends to be older, has a higher proportion of nonwhite persons, is less likely to work, and if working, less likely full time. The disabled are also less likely to be married, and tend to have less education than the nondisabled, and lower wages, even allowing for educational differences. General characteristics. For both sexes, the probability of being disabled increases with age, the only exception being the close percentage of the two younger agegroups of men. (See table 2.) The disabled have significantly lower educational lev els (table 3), although the modes are the same for both (12 years). Some of the biggest differences occur at the very lowest levels of education— eight years and less; much higher percentages of the disabled are in this cate gory. A comparison to the SDA is possible by including the educational distribution for this sample. It tends to show the same overall educational differences but does emphasize that the educational distribution has been in creasing overall— the surveys are 1972 and 1977, and this holds for the disabled as well as nondisabled. Marital status distributions (table 4) show lower cur rent marriage rates among the disabled. This is empha sized by the large difference in the “being marriedspouse present” category in the two populations— 57.7 percent versus 72.3 percent. The regional distribution shows that the proportion of the disabled population living in the South is greater than that of the nondisabled population, while it is less in other regions. Labor force characteristics. If we broadly define labor force participants to include all those who, during 1976, worked or looked for work, or said they were unable to find work, 59 percent of the disabled were in the labor force. This compares with 80 percent of the nondis abled, or 78 percent overall. Among women, 53 percent of the disabled and 66 percent of the nondisabled were in the labor force. Among men, 65 percent of the dis abled and 97 percent of the nondisabled were in the la bor force. 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Research Summaries Table 2. sex Percentage of population disabled, by age and Age categories Men Women T o ta l..................................................................... 13.5 11.2 20-34 ................................................................ 10.3 7.1 35-44 ............................... .......................... 10.1 10.3 45-54 .............................................................. 15.5 13.7 55-64 ................................................................ 23.4 19.2 Except for white women ages 20-34, the nondisabled are more likely to be in the labor force. This suggests the difficulty in defining the disabled among women; many list their occupation as “housewife” and there is no way to discern who may be disabled. The percentages in the labor force are large. It in cludes all those who worked in 1976, even briefly, or said they were unable to find work. About 1.05 percent of men and 1.13 percent of women were unable to find work. Among the disabled, the percentages are lower: men .98 percent and women .56 percent. But there is a difficulty— those unable to work. Adding the two per centages shows that 32.1 percent of disabled men and 32.4 percent of disabled women did not work either be cause they are unable or could not find work. This com pares to 1.03 percent of nondisabled men and 1.2 percent of nondisabled women. By age, the percentages of these disabled individuals are: 2 0 -3 4 3 5 -4 4 4 5 -5 4 5 5 -6 4 ............................................................... ............................................................... ............................................................... ............................................................... Men Women 14.7 30.5 3 8 .2 4 7 .9 16.0 2 5 .8 3 5 .0 4 8 .9 Thus, large percentages of the disabled population do not work because of their disability or lack of opportu nities, and the percentage increases with age, for both sexes. Full or part time. A detailed look at the amount of time spent working shows further differences between the disabled and nondisabled populations. Many more of the disabled do not work (36 percent of men and 47 percent of women, compared to 4 percent of nondis abled men and 36 percent of nondisabled women). A far lower percentage of the disabled work full time (30 percent of men and 11 percent of women, compared to 74 percent of nondisabled men and 33 percent of non disabled women. These large differences suggest that transfer payments are important for the disabled. Do the differences reflect handicaps that make it dif ficult to work, or lack of opportunity, or discrimina tion? They may also reflect that those with low oppor tunity costs, older persons with less education, for 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis example, may be more likely to regard some physical or mental limitation as a disability, and to seek transfer payments. One way of gaining some insight into this is to look at the wage rate of the disabled versus nondisabled pop ulation. The average wage rate is lower among the dis abled. Of more interest, however, is wage rates accord ing to educational level: Years o f education Disabled Nondisabled T o ta l ......................................... L ess th an 8 ................................ 8 ...................................................... 9 - 1 1 ............................................... 1 2 ...................................................... 1 3 - 1 5 ............................................ 16 or m o r e ................................... $ 2 .5 7 1.08 1.79 1.87 2.93 3 .64 5.07 $ 4 .2 7 2 .85 3.18 3 .2 4 3.86 4 .4 3 6.73 Wage rates Educational level. For every educational level, the average wage rate of the disabled population is below that of the nondisabled population. For all groups with less than 12 years of education, the average wage rate of the disabled is below the minimum wage. This may be partly because of individuals in sheltered workshops. However, even among those who have attended college, the differences are large. The jump in wage rates from 9 to 11 years of education to 12 years is much greater for the disabled, possibly suggesting a high return to educa tion for the disabled; the disabled may have lower op portunity costs. Part of the difference may reflect hours worked. On an average, the disabled who are employed work fewer hours, although the difference is small— all are close to 40 hours per week. Average number of workweeks show somewhat larger differences, especially for white per sons, among whom the disabled work 40 weeks per year, and the nondisabled, 47. Thus the major partici pation decision seems to be whether to work rather Table 3. Educational distribution for the disabled and nondisabled [In percent] Education Disabled Nondisabled All Current Population Survey, 1977 Less than 8 ............................................ 8 .............................................................. 9-11 ..................................................... 12............................................................ 13-15 ................................................... 16 or more ............................................ 15.7 10.1 19.7 33.9 13.4 7.3 5.2 5.2 14.1 40.9 17.6 17.0 6.5 5.8 14.8 40.0 17.1 15.8 6.1 8.4 7.5 16.3 39.9 14.4 Survey of the Disabled, 1972 Less than 8 ............................................ .............................................................. 9-11 ..................................................... ............................................................ 13-15 ................................................... 16 or more ............................................ 8 12 21.9 12.3 21.2 29.6 7.8 6.4 6.7 15.5 41.7 15.5 13.6 12.6 than the number of hours. Another way of getting a better picture of wage rate differentials is to look at wage rates for full-time work ers only, by educational groups. (See table 5.) Among men who are full-time, full-year workers, the disabled earn, in general, less than 90 percent of what the nondisabled earn. The biggest difference is among the lowest educational group, where the disabled earn less than 80 percent of what the nondisabled earn. Simi larly, among women who work full time, year round, the largest difference is also among the lowest educa tional group, where the disabled earn approximately half of what the nondisabled earn. In other educational groups, disabled women also do more poorly (relative to men) compared to their nondisabled peers, earning between 62 percent and 79 percent of what the non disabled earn. Racial differences. The average wage rate differences are substantial among the disabled and nondisabled men’s groups when race is considered. Among the disabled, there are very large differences between white and non white persons in the lower educational groups; for full time workers, earnings of nonwhite persons are between 50 percent and 65 percent of earnings of white persons. Among the nondisabled, there is a generally lower educational level among the nonwhite but no particular employment pattern according to education. Among women, there is a quite different pattern: within the dis abled population, nonwhite women with 8 or fewer years of education earn less than white women with similar education, but they earn more with 1 to 3 years of high school through the highest educational levels. The pattern is similar among nondisabled women; non white women earn less at lower educational levels than their white peers but more (though only slightly so) at higher levels of education. Thus, among full-time, full-year workers there is evi dence within each sex, educational, and racial group that the disabled earn less. It appears that individuals with more than one disadvantage are worst off— dis abled non white persons with low education— and per haps women, for their wages are lower than those for men in every education category. In fact, except for the two lowest categories of nonwhite women compared to Table 4. Marital status of the disabled and nondisabled according to Current Population Survey, 1977 [In percent] Marital status Married, spouse p re se n t...................... Married, spouse absent........................ Widowed ............................................... Divorced ............................................... Separated ............................................ Never married ...................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Disabled Nondisabled All 57.7 72.3 70.5 10.7 9.2 4.9 16.4 2.3 5.9 3.3 6.3 2.9 16.2 1.1 0.8 2.6 16.2 0.8 Table 5. Average wage rates for disabled and nondisabled workers,1 by education and race Nondisabled Disabled Education White Nonwhite All White Nonwhite All T o ta l.................... Less than 8 ......... ........................ 9-11 .................. ...................... 13-15 ............... 16 or more ......... 5.77 $3.54 4.95 5.04 5.42 5.98 7.76 4.22 $2.26 2.52 3.13 4.33 5.41 6.96 5.62 $3.35 4.67 4.74 5.33 5.91 7.74 6.72 $4.46 5.20 5.53 6.18 6.72 8.95 5.16 $3.91 4.77 4.61 5.01 5.73 7.17 6.58 $4.32 5.16 5.39 6.08 6.65 8.85 Women T o ta l.................... Less than 8 ......... ........................ 9-11 .................. ...................... 13-15 ............... 16 or more ......... 2.60 1.57 2.35 1.94 2.52 2.90 4.20 2.85 1.23 2.06 2.63 1.45 2.29 2.06 2.55 3.19 4.32 4.12 2.82 3.04 3.36 3.88 4.26 5.45 3.98 2.64 2.77 3.08 3.78 4.41 5.70 4.10 2.77 2.99 3.31 3.87 4.28 5.48 Men 8 12 8 12 2.66 2.81 4.83 5.47 11ndividuals working full-time, full-year. SOURCE: 1977 CPS tape. nonwhite men, nondisabled women have lower average earnings than disabled men. Wage rates within occupational categories may un derstate differences between the disabled and nondis abled because discrimination, and physical and mental disabilities may limit choice of occupation. Differences may also reflect less experience and levels of labor force participation. By occupation. Table 6 shows average wage rates and occupational distribution by broad occupational groups, among men. Overall, the nondisabled have higher wage rates in all occupations, but the differences range from nearly the same rates, 2 percent to 50 percent greater than the wage rate in the disabled men’s category. Among white men, the wage rate of the nondisabled is higher in most occupations. The exception is service workers. Among nonwhite men, wages of the nondis abled are also higher in all but one occupational catego ry: managers and proprietors. Turning to the occupational distribution, one again notes the much higher percentages of disabled who do not work: 36.2 percent of all disabled men, 48.2 percent of nonwhite disabled men. Beyond this, the disabled men are less likely to be in prestigious occupations, such as professional or managerial, than the nondis abled. Note again the compounding effects of race and disability on the low probability of being in such an oc cupation. Disability and deprivation Thus, from the perspective of comparing the socio economic status of the disabled to nondisabled, a con sistent picture emerges. The disabled are much worse off in terms of education, probability of working, occupation, and wage rates, despite controlling for many characteristics important in explaining differential 51 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Research Summaries Table 6. Average hourly wage rates and occupational percent distribution of disabled and nondisabled men1 All men Occupation Professional, technical and kindred workers . . . Managers and proprietors................................. Sales workers ................................................... Clerical w o rkers................................................ Craftsmen and kindred w orkers........................ Operatives, except transport............................. Nonfarm laborers............................................ Service workers, except private household . . . . Farm workers................................................... No current job .............................................. Disabled Wages Percent $6.44 6.87 3.61 3.80 6.1 6.12 5.33 3.68 2.70 2.74 White men Nondisabled 5.9 3.3 4.3 15.6 13.7 5.7 7.1 1.1 36.2 Wages $7.25 7.04 5.44 4.29 6.37 4.72 4.80 3.72 3.15 Percent 15.0 14.5 5.5 6.0 20.4 17.5 6.2 7.2 2.1 Disabled Wages $7.53 7.56 4.04 5.50 6.42 5.37 4.04 4.88 3.01 4.1 1There may be bias in measuring disability among women; the definition depends partly on labor force participation. Thus, a comparison of disabled and nondisabled women might also wage rates. Adding race to the analysis suggests a compounding effect; the nonwhite disabled fare more poorly than their white counterparts. Thus, there is some evidence of labor market imperfections that nega tively impact this large part of our population. What we have then is a picture of a group far worse off than the nondisabled. And, this does not take ac count of pain and suffering— possible greater needs based on the disability— including medical care, help meeting day-to-day limitations on activities, psychologi cal stress, and other hardships. The incentives to qualify for a number of programs Percent 6.7 6.5 3.9 4.5 16.8 13.8 5.0 6.6 6.6 Nonwhite men Nondisabled Wages $8.43 7.93 6.99 6.15 6.60 5.46 5.15 4.71 3.32 34.1 Percent 15.8 15.5 6.0 5.9 21.1 16.6 5.5 6.3 2.3 3.6 Disabled Wages Nondisabled Percent $6.80 6.27 2.4 4.38 5.00 4.12 3.27 3.04 3.2 8.4 13.4 9.7 10.3 2.2 0.2 .6 48.2 Wages $7.70 5.81 5.36 5.01 5.77 4.83 4.33 4.05 1.90 Percent 8.7 6.3 2.0 6.5 14.0 24.3 12.1 14.7 0.5 8.3 be biasedSOURCE: 1977 CPS tape. are clearly present for a number of disabled; they do have lower opportunity costs. Yet, a substantial number work full time and experience less success than their nondisabled counterparts. Perhaps help other than trans fer payments needs to be stressed for this group. Laws on physical access, laws on discrimination, and training programs may be worth further investigation for the disabled. Others will continue to need income transfer policies. But perhaps most of all we should be aware that disability may interact with other labor market dis advantages— educational for example. Policies will be better designed if they are aware of these effects. □ FOOTNOTES ' See, for example, H. S. Luft, “The Impact of Poor Health on Earnings,” R e v ie w o f E c o n o m ic s a n d S ta tistic s , 57:1, who used the 1967 Survey of Economic Opportunity Data. 2This is the basis for the 1972 Survey of the Disabled. 3Except for payments under social security and railroad retirement, individuals who receive any dollar benefits from one or more of these programs are generally designated as disabled. The exceptions include those receiving veterans’ benefits, where only those who are veterans and nonstudents are designated as disabled. Among social security re cipients ages 20-64, distinctions are made to designate the disabled: individuals 19-61 who are not students, students 23-61, and widows and individuals 19-59 who have no dependent children under 18. Of those receiving railroad benefits, those under 62 are classified as dis abled if they are not retired. These distinctions are based on program eligibility. The 1977 cps enables far better identification of recipients for many of these programs than earlier cps surveys. For example, veterans’ pensions and other payments are separated. The source for the definitions under social security and veterans’ benefits is the U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare S o c ia l S e c u r ity H a n d book, 1 9 7 4 , 5th ed. Individuals who do not work are so designated for one of two rea 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis sons: they did not work last year because they were ill or disabled (variable P I33= 1, 1977 cps tape), or they are classified as unable to work on the employment status recode (variable P 12=6). The latter variable is the one generally used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Individuals are designated as “limited in amount of work” if per sonal illness is the reason they usually work less than 35 hours. This is done for two groups: one that worked some last week but less than 35 hours, and another that did not work last week (variable P I8 = 2 and P 1 9 -2 0 = 1 0 , or P23 = 2 and P21 = l). Alternatively, they are des ignated as disabled if they work less than 50 weeks and most of the remaining weeks they were ill or disabled (PI45 = 1). In a sense, this attempt to define an eligible disabled population is similar to that used by Projector and Murray in “Eligibility for Welfare and Partici pation Rates” (HEW 78-11776), Social Security Administration, who attempt to define those eligible for welfare by using the 1971 CPS. Their procedure for defining the eligible disabled population is by us ing persons who worked less than 50 -5 2 weeks in 1970 because of ill ness. 5 See Barbara L. Wolfe, “Impacts of Disability, and Some Policy Implications,” Institute for Research on Poverty, Discussion Paper 539-79, unpublished. Significant Decisions In Labor Cases OSHA standards: the burden of proof „ _ * * * ■* (■ - Although much of the controversy surrounding the Supreme Court’s decision in the “benzene case” (Indus trial Union Dept., A F L -C IO v. American Petroleum Institute') has passed, the ambiguities of the result con tinue. The main opinion of the Court plurality, written by Justice John Paul Stevens, stated that the Occupa tional Safety and Health Administration had exceeded its statutory authority by reducing permissible exposure limits to benzene at industrial work sites without mak ing a “threshold determination” that a significant risk was present at the original level. The result might place a greater burden of proof on a regulatory agency to jus tify its actions, but leaves unchanged (at least facially) an agency’s ability to promulgate and enforce regulato ry policy once the need for it has been demonstrated. Some feel that the narrow factual circumstances of the case should preclude any sweeping effects on other reg ulatory agencies. But, for OSHA, the additional time and effort required to justify standards could severely strain limited resources and may seriously diminish the agen cy’s effectiveness in many areas. Benzene, a colorless gas used in the manufacture of m otor fuels, detergents, and pesticides, is highly toxic, producing an immediate effect on the central nervous system when inhaled. Benzene has long been considered carcinogenic. As early as 1928, industrial health experts were exploring the possibility of a link between benzene and leukemia; by the mid 1970’s, a connection was clearly established. In 1977, OSHA issued an emergency standard lowering the benzene exposure limit from 10 parts per million of air to 1 part per million, stating that benzene had been shown to cause leukemia at lev els below 25 parts per million and that reports had shown the lower level feasible for industry compliance. Although no evidence indicated that leukemia oc curred at the 10 parts per million exposure level, the agency’s standard policy on carcinogens required the lowest feasible exposure in the absence of proof of a risk-free level of exposure. Equally, the industries involved had failed to prove to OSHA’s satisfaction that “Significant Decisions in Labor Cases” is written by Gregory J. Mounts of the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w staff. Kate Farrell of the Uni versity of Notre Dame, an intern with the R ev ie w , wrote the summary of I n d u s tr ia l U n ion D e p t., A F L - C I O v. A m e r ic a n P e tr o le u m I n stitu te . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis there is a safe level of exposure to benzene below which no excess leukemia cases would occur. The agency claimed authority for reducing exposure levels under Section 6 (b) (5) of the 1970 Occupational Safety and Health Act, which it felt authorized the Sec retary of Labor to set the most protective standard “feasible” to ensure employee safety. The affected indus tries brought suit, and the Fifth Circuit enjoined opera tion of the lower exposure limit, ruling it was not supported by appropriate findings. The Supreme Court’s resolution of the case hinged on the relationship between the act’s definition of an occu pational safety and health standard and its provisions authorizing OSHA to regulate toxic substances. The act requires that any standard be “reasonably necessary and appropriate to provide safe or healthful employ ment and places of employment.”2 For toxic substances, however, the law appeared to require maximum protec tion for individual workers: T h e S ecretary, in p r o m u lg a tin g sta n d a rd s d ea lin g w ith to x ic m a teria ls or h arm fu l p h y sica l a g e n ts u n d er th is su b se c tio n , sh a ll set th e sta n d a rd w h ich m o st a d eq u a tely a s su res, to th e e x ten t feasib le, on th e b asis o f th e b est a v a ila b le ev id en ce, th at n o e m p lo y e e w ill suffer m aterial im p airm en t o f h ea lth or fu n ctio n a l c a p a c ity even if th e e m p lo y e e h as regu lar e x p o su re to th e h azard d ealt w ith by su ch sta n d a rd for th e p eriod o f his w o rk in g life. D e v e lo p m en t o f sta n d a rd s u n d er th is su b sec tio n sh a ll be b a sed u p o n research d e m o n stra tio n s, ex p erim en ts an d oth er su ch in fo r m a tio n as m a y be ap p ro p ria te . . . oth er c o n sid e r a tio n s sh a ll be th e la test a v a ila b le scien tific d a ta in th e field . . . [and] th e fea sib ility o f th e sta n d a rd s . . .3 In the opinion written by Stevens and joined by Chief Justice Warren Burger and Justices Potter Stewart and Lewis Powell, OSHA’s authority to regulate toxic sub stances was declared constrained by the law’s general requirement that all standards be “reasonably necessary or appropriate to remedy a significant risk of material health impairment.” Only after such a threshold deter mination is made can the Secretary select “the most protective” standard “consistent with economic and technological feasibility.” The standard should be geared to eliminate “significant risk of harm,” Stevens wrote, but the statute was not designed to provide ab solutely risk-free workplaces. In the absence of an ex plicit mandate, he concluded, Congress “requires the Secretary to undertake some cost-benefit analysis before he promulgates any standard.” 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Significant Decisions Having defined the Secretary’s power to promulgate regulations, Stevens turned to the question of proving “significant risk” when scientific knowledge is imperfect and risk unquantifiable. He found the burden of proof to be on OSHA “to show on the basis of substantial evi dence, that it is at least more likely than not that long term exposure to 10 parts per million of benzene pre sents a significant risk of material health impairment.” In this case, Stevens wrote, “ OSHA did not even attempt to carry its burden of proof.” ( o s h a ’s policy for carcin ogens was to impose the burden of proof of “safe” ex posure levels on industry.) Both Stevens and Powell, in his separate concurring opinion, were careful to emphasize the discretionary power of the agency to set safety policy. Stevens wrote that the agency must determine what a “significant risk” is, but such a determination “will be based largely on policy considerations.” Powell, stressing the necessi ty of intelligent cost-benefit analysis, conceded that “the decision that costs justify benefits is largely a policy judgment delegated to OSHA by Congress.” Stevens, concluded that “so long as they are supported by a body of reputable scientific thought, the agency is free to use conservative assumptions in interpreting the data with respect to carcinogens . . . ” Justice William Rehnquist, whose concurring opinion was the decisive fifth vote in the 5 -4 judgment, posed a more fundamental challenge to the regulatory powers of OSHA. Rehnquist held that in view of the seriousness of the issue in question— the trade-off between possible fu ture deaths and present economic costs— Congress is best suited to make the choice; instead, it had improper ly delegated its responsibility to the Secretary of Labor. Congress must delegate authority in areas where it has no expertise, he acknowledged, but it should “lay down the general policy and standards that animate the law, leaving the agency to refine those standards.” Labeling the feasibility requirement for all OSHA standards a “legislative mirage,” Rehnquist called for the invalida tion of the law’s provision concerning toxic substance regulation and the reassumption by Congress of the re sponsibility for critical policy decisions. Justice Thurgood Marshall authored the dissent; join ing him were Justices William Brennan, Byron White and Harry Blackmun. Charging that the plurality ig nored the “plain meaning” of the 1970 act, Marshall identified the issue in question to be scientific uncertain ty rather than the statutory authority of the Secretary. In the face of such uncertainty, the dissenting justices felt Congress had intended the Secretary to have the broad powers implied by the law for regulating toxic substances. Also disputed was the plurality’s contention that OSHA had not carried its burden of proof; the dis senters pointed to the 50 volumes of data collected and the 2 weeks of hearings on the proposed regulation as 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis evid en ce o f o s h a ’s a ttem p t to ju stify th e 1 part per m il lion regulation. In addition to its impact on health standards, the Court’s judgment could limit the scope of o s h a ’s jobsafety regulations. Stevens’ declaration that the Secre tary “make a threshold finding that a place of employ ment is unsafe” before setting standards is fairly straightforward when the regulation is a generic health standard, such as acceptable atmospheric levels of ben zene gas. But safety policies are considerably more com plex, particularly in the more comprehensive programs designed to regulate specific workplaces (for example, the regulations for dock safety currently being devel oped by OSHA). If the Court’s decision were strictly ap plied, OSHA might have to make a threshold determina tion for each standard within the overall program. Depending in the range of the program, this could in volve prohibitive costs. Constitutional quotas In its continuing effort to clarify the constitution ality of racial quotas, the Supreme Court recently up held the authority of Congress to remedy prior discrimination by imposing racial and ethnic quotas in allocating Federal money. As in prior rulings on racial quotas, the Court failed to achieve a majority verdict. Nonetheless, the three opinions among the six justices who voted to uphold Congress on this sensitive issue agreed, at least, that Congress may assign benefits based on racial and ethnic (and, perhaps, other) criteria whenever it makes a finding of past discrimination and tailors a preference scheme to correct that discrimina tion. (Fullilove v. Klutznick.4) The opinion of Chief Justice Warren Burger an nounced the Court’s ruling, upholding the constitution ality of a 1977 law that set aside 10 percent of Federal public works contract funds (totaling more than $4 bil lion) for minority business enterprises— businesses con trolled by “citizens of the United States who are Negroes, Spanish-speaking, Orientals, Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts.” The law required that the States, as recipi ents of grants under the law, assure the Secretary of Commerce that at least 10 percent of the amount of each grant would be expended for bona fide minority business enterprises. Administrative regulations were adopted under the law that permitted waiver of the quota requirement when enough minority firms were not available in an area or when such firms requested an “unreasonably” high price. White contractors chal lenged the set-aside provision as a violation of the equal protection guarantees of the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution. Burger, joined by Justices Byron White and Lewis Powell, offered a lengthy explanation of Congress’ pow er under the Constitution to spend money. Because Congress has the power to regulate commerce and, thus, could have regulated the practices of private con tractors to remedy past discrimination, Burger wrote, Federal lawmakers can pursue the same objective by in ducing voluntary cooperation through spending policies. Congress also has the power to involve State and local governments in such remedial efforts under its mandate to enforce the Fourteenth Amendment by “appropriate legislation,’’ he reasoned. Thus, Burger concluded that the remedial objective of the minority business enterprise provision was a legitimate application of Congress’ Fourteenth Amendment authority to ensure that minor ities were not denied equal protection of the laws. Burger then turned to the question of whether the means— racial and ethnic quotas— employed by Con gress to achieve such a legitimate objective passed con stitutional muster. He cited earlier cases where judicial remedies for racial discrimination incorporated racial criteria; this has been permitted when either constitu tional or statutory violations were found. Thus, Burger reasoned that, because Congress has the most compre hensive remedial power and because Congress had found evidence that the effects of racial discrimination existed in the award of Federal procurement contracts, Congress may act to alter the status quo when it seeks to fulfill a legitimate objective— such as the elimination of racial discrimination: H ere we deal . . . n ot w ith th e lim ited rem edial p o w ers o f a F ed era l co u rt . . . bu t w ith th e b road rem edial p o w ers o f C o n g ress. It is fu n d a m en ta l th at in n o organ o f g o v e rn m en t, S ta te or F ed eral, d o e s there rep o se a m ore c o m p r e h en siv e rem ed ial p ow er th an in th e C o n g ress, ex p ressly ch a rg ed b y th e C o n stitu tio n w ith c o m p e te n c e an d au th o rity to en fo rce eq u al p r o tectio n gu aran tees. C o n g re ss n o t o n ly m a y in d u ce v o lu n ta ry a ctio n to assu re c o m p lia n ce w ith e x istin g F ed eral sta tu to ry or c o n stitu tio n a l a n tid is crim in a tio n p r o v isio n s, but a lso , w h ere C o n g re ss h as a u th o rity to d ecla re certain c o n d u ct u n law fu l, it m ay, as here, a u th o rize an d in d u ce S ta te a ctio n to a v o id su ch actio n . Burger also reasoned that other challenged aspects of racial and ethnic quotas were permissible under the Constitution— at least in this case. For example, he found that the reduction in benefits available to white contractors innocent of any prior discrimination was simply a “relatively light” burden that they must share. Congress had the power to assume that such firms “may have reaped competitive benefit over the years” because of the “virtual exclusion” of minority firms from similar contracting opportunities. Whether the remedy Congress fashioned was too broad or too nar row in its application to victims of prior discrimination could not be answered by this case, Burger declared. He felt that such challenges could only be decided based on the inclusion or exclusion of specific persons. But he did reason that the administrative framework based on the law provided adequate assurance that participation of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis minority firms in the program would not deviate from the remedial purpose of the law. Specifically, he cited the requirement that minority firms be “bona fide” (at least 50-percent owned or controlled by minorities), that this requirement was enforced partly through a complaint procedure, and that waiver of the quota was possible when minority contractors were unavailable or charged excessive prices. Although Burger specifically avoided an examination of the quotas under the tests established by the Court’s Bakke decision,5 he concluded that the set-aside provi sion would “survive judicial review” in such an analy sis. Justice Powell, in a separate concurring opinion, applied the Bakke analysis he had agreed to and found that Congress’ race-conscious remedy was an appropri ate and justifiable response because of a compelling governmental interest in curing the effects of prior racial discrimination. Justice Thurgood Marshall, who was joined in a con curring opinion by Justices William Brennan and Harry Blackmun, agreed only with the result of Burger’s opin ion because he felt that the constitutionality of racial classifications should be reviewed on the basis of his concurring opinion in Bakke. There, he wrote that, if a racial classification designed to further remedial pur poses serves legitimate government objectives and if the classification is substantially related to the achievement of those objectives, it is constitutionally permissible. Thus, Marshall would go substantially further than the Burger opinion by reasoning that racial classifications are not per se violations of constitutional equal protec tion guarantees and that race-conscious remedies are within the authority of Congress to correct social imbal ances. The significance of Marshall’s opinion may be mea sured by the outcome of lower court decisions inter preting Bakke. In the past 2 years, lower courts have adopted whichever one of the three Bakke opinions that comes closest to their own views.6Thus, as with the quo ta issue involving school admissions, lower courts are free to adopt Marshall’s more permissive constitutional analysis in future cases involving minority preference schemes used by Federal, State, or local governments in areas such as housing, employment, or education. In dissent, Justice Potter Stewart (joined by Justice William Rehnquist) argued that the Constitution’s re quirement of equal protection means what it says— all racial classifications are intolerable. He wrote that Con gress has no greater authority under the Constitution to impose detriments based on race than does the judicia ry— and the latter is limited to remedying specific ef fects of illegal racial discrimination. Congress intended to compensate the “disadvantaged,” but this does not permit an unconstitutional racial classification, Stewart concluded. 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Significant Decisions Justice John Paul Stevens, in a separate dissent, ar gued that the lack of precision regarding who had been disadvantaged made the application of a remedy to all minority business unconstitutional. He reasoned that there was no basis to the assumption that the minorities who owned or controlled contracting firms had been discriminated against. A t b est, th e sta tu to ry preferen ce is a so m e w h a t p erverse form o f rep aration for th e m em b ers o f th e in ju red cla sses. F o r th o s e w h o are th e m o st d isa d v a n ta g e d w ith in ea ch cla ss are th e lea st lik ely to receive a n y benefit from th e sp ecial p riv ileg e ev en th o u g h th ey are th e p erso n s m o st lik ely still to be su fferin g th e c o n se q u en ce s o f th e p ast w ron g. Pension liability despite disclaimers Settling an issue of limited proportions under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974, the Supreme Court recently ruled that employers who ter minated pension plans under the law prior to January 1, 1976 (when it became fully effective) can be held lia ble for employee benefits paid through ERISA insurance despite provisions in the terminated plan protecting the employer from such liability. (Nachman Corp. v. Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.1) Writing for the narrow 5 -4 majority, Justice John Paul Stevens found that disclaimers of employer liability in pension plans protect against any direct claims made by employees, but that even during the phase-in period of benefit insurance Congress intended employers to be liable for up to 30 percent of their net assets to com pensate the ERISA insurance fund for benefits paid. Of the 136 pension plan terminations during the initial phases of the law (September 2, 1974 to December 31, 1975), 78 plans contained provisions disclaiming em ployer liability in the event of asset shortfalls. The 1974 act established the Pension Benefit Guaran ty Corp. within the Department of Labor to insure employees’ “nonforfeitable” benefits against the possi bility of insufficient plan assets in the event of termina- 1I n d u s tr ia l U n ion D e p t., A F L - C I O v. A m e r ic a n P e tr o le u m I n stitu te , 48 U.S.L.W. 5022 (U.S., July 2, 1980). 2 29 U.S.C. Sec. 652 (8). 329 U.S.C. Sec. 655 (b) (5). 4 F u llilo v e v. K lu tz n ic k , 48 U.S.L.W. 4979 (U.S., July 2, 1980). 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tion. The Nachman Corp., which terminated its pension plan on December 31, 1975, argued that a plan provi sion limiting employee benefits to the assets of the plan (and disclaiming Nachman’s liability for any additional amounts) made such benefits “forfeitable” and, thus, not insured under the law. Stevens found that Congress had used the word “nonforfeitable” to describe benefits that were vested under the conditions of the specific plan. (Since January 1, 1976, the law has specified minimum vesting require ments for all plans.) He reasoned that an employee’s claim to such benefits remained “unconditional” and “legally enforceable” against the plan regardless of an employer’s protection against direct liability. “Nonfor feitable” describes the quality of an employee’s right to the benefit, Stevens concluded, and a disclaimer of em ployer liability imposes no condition on rights created through vesting. Stevens, who was joined by Chief Justice Warren Burger and Justices William Brennan, Thurgood M ar shall, and Harry Blackmun, also pointed out that when Congress passed the pension insurance law it was aware that most plans contained disclaimers of employer lia bility. If such provisions prevented insurance coverage, he reasoned, ERISA protection would apply only to the few plans without such disclaimers and to those termi nating because of employer insolvency. But because Congress included a reimbursement provision (creating employer liability for up to 30 percent of a firm’s net assets) beginning on the first day of the law’s operation, it clearly intended to insure benefits in plans where the employer had disclaimed liability, Stevens concluded. In dissent, Justice Potter Stewart argued that the specific language in the Nachman plan disclaimed liabil ity for the plan itself in addition to the disclaimer of employer liability. The lack of liability for the plan un der contract law, he reasoned, should make vested ben efits forfeitable under the initial phases of ERISA (and, therefore, uninsured) because such benefits are condi tional and legally unenforceable. □ 5 U n iv e rs ity o f C a lifo r n ia R e g e n ts v. B akke, 6See Peter Elkind, “Bakke Aftermath,” 3, 1980, p. A 13. 7 N a c h m a n C orp. v. P en sio n 4524 (U.S., May 12, 1980). 438 U.S. 265 (1978). T h e W a sh in g to n Post, B e n e f it G u a r a n ty C orp., July 48 U.S.L.W. - This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in October is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Employer and location Industry Number of workers Union ' American Can Co. (Naheola, A l a . ) ................................................ American Chain & Cable Co., Inc. (Bridgeport, C o n n .) ............. American Steel Foundries (Ohio, Illinois, and Indiana) ........................... P ap er.............................................. Fabricated metal products . . . Primary m e t a ls ........................... Paperworkers ........................................... Steelworkers .............................................. Steelworkers .............................................. 1,600 1,000 3,800 Bendix Corp. Electrical Components Division (Sidney, N.Y.) ..................... Boeing Co. (Interstate) ......................................................................... Boeing Co., Boeing Vertol Co. Division (Delaware and Pennsylvania) . . . Electrical products..................... Transportation equipment . . . . Transportation equipment . . . . Machinists ................................................ Machinists ................................................. Auto Workers (In d .)................................ 1,950 30,000 2,500 Commercial Shearing, Inc. (Ohio, Illinois, and U ta h ) ...................................... Consolidated Gas Supply Corp. (Intersta te)................................ Cyclops Corp., Empire-Detroit Steel Division (Mansfield, Ohio) ................ Fabricated metal products . . . Utilities ........................................ Primary m e t a ls ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. Service Employees ................................... Steelworkers .............................................. 1,250 1,450 1,150 Duval Corp. (Arizona) ......................................................... M inin g........................................... Steelworkers; Operating Engineers; Laborers; and Teamsters (Ind.) 1,700 First National Stores, Inc. (New York and New J ersey )...................... Retail trade ................................ Food and Commercial W o r k e rs........... 1,400 General Dynamics Corp., Quincy Shipbuilding Division (Quincy, Mass.) Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co., Inc., Indianapolis-Louisville Division (Indiana and Kentucky) Greyhound Lines, Inc. (Interstate) ................................................ Transportation equipment . . . . Retail trade ................................ Marine and Shipbuilding Workers . . . Food and Commercial W o r k e rs........... 2,000 1,800 T ran sit........................................... Amalgamated Transit Union ................ 13,000 Hershey Foods Corp. (Hershey, P a . ) ...................................... Hughes Tool Co. (Houston, T e x .) ................................................... Food products ........................... Machinery ................................... Bakery and Confectionery Workers . . . Steelworkers .............................................. 2,300 3,700 Ingersoll-Rand Co. (New Jersey and Pennsylvania)........................... Machinery ................................... Steelworkers .............................................. 1,950 Koppers Co., Inc., Metal Products Division (Baltimore, M d .) ..................... Machinery ................................... Machinists ................................................ 1,500 Libby-Owens-Ford Co. (Interstate)........................................... Lincoln Telephone and Telegraph Co. (N ebrask a)................................ Lockheed Aircraft Corp., LMSC Division (California and Florida) ........... Lockheed Aircraft Corp., Lockheed Georgia Co. Division (Interstate) . . . Lone Star Steel Co. (Dallas, T e x .).............................................. Stone, clay, and glass products Communication........................... O rdnan ce...................................... Transportation equipment . . . . Primary m e t a ls ........................... Glass and Ceramic Workers ................ Communications W ork ers..................... Machinists ................................................ Machinists ................ ................................ Steelworkers .............................................. 7,500 1,500 5,650 5,550 5,000 McDonnell Douglas Corp., Douglas Aircraft Co. subsidiary (California and Florida) McDonnell Douglas Corp., Douglas Aircraft Co. subsidiary (Long Beach, Calif.) McLouth Steel Corp. (Trenton, Mich.) ........................... Midland-Ross Corp., National Castings Division (Sharon, P a . ) ................ Transportation equipment . . . . Machinists ................................................ 5,100 Transportation equipment . . . . Auto Workers (In d .)................................ 9,900 Primary m e t a ls ........................... Primary metals ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. Steelworkers .............................................. 3,700 1,050 National Standard Co. (Interstate) .............................................. Primary metals ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. 1,200 Ohio Ferro-Alloys Corp. (Ohio and Alabama) ........................... Olin Corp. (Pisgah Forest, N.C.) .............................................. Outboard Marine Corp., Johnson Outboard Division (Waukegan, 111.) . . . Primary m e t a ls ........................... P ap er.............................................. Machinery ................................... 1,000 1,850 3,400 Owens-Illinois, Inc. (Vineland, N . J . ) ................................ Stone, clay, and glass products Steelworkers .............................................. Paperworkers ........................................... Independent Marine and Machinists Association Flint Glass W orkers................................ Revere Copper and Brass, Inc., Rome Division (Rome, N .Y .) ................... Primary metals ........................... Mechanics Educational Society ........... 1,400 Southern California Shoe Manufacturers Association, Inc. (California) . . . Star Supermarkets, Inc. (Rochester, N.Y.) .............................. Leather ........................................ Retail trade ................................ United Shoe W o r k e rs.............................. Food and Commercial W o r k e rs........... 1,100 1,650 Titanium Metals Corp. of America, Standard Steel Division (Burnham, Penn.) Primary metals ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. 1,650 Walt Disney World Co. (Orlando, F l a .) ................................ A m usem ents................................ Service Trades Council Union 4,650 ............. 1,100 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 57 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Continued— Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Union1 Industry Employer and location White Consolidated Industries, Franklin Manufacturing Co. Division (St. Cloud, Minn.) Electrical p r o d u cts..................... M achinists................................................... Youngstown Steel Door Co. (Youngstown, Ohio) Transportation equipment . . . . Steelworkers ........................................... .............................................. Government activity Employee organization ' Tennessee: Memphis Board of Education ........................................................... E d u cation ...................................... Washington: Seattle Metropolitan Transit Division ........................................ Wisconsin: Madison Board of Education ........................................................... T r a n sit........................................... E d u cation ...................................... American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Amalgamated Transit Union ................ National Education Association (Ind.) . 'Affiliated with A F L -C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.). Klein Award contributions The Trustees of the Lawrence R. Klein Award Fund recently made their 19th award to an author of a Monthly Labor Review article. The awards are presented annually for articles which (1) exhibit originality of ideas or method of analysis, (2) adhere to principles of scientific in quiry and (3) are well written. Initially $100 each, the awards now carry a $200 stipend. The award fund was established by Lawrence R. Klein, who was Editor in Chief of the Review for 22 years until his retirement in 1968. Instead of accepting a retirement gift, he donated it and matched the amount collected to initiate the fund. Since then, he has contributed regularly, as have others. Among the latest to donate their retirement gifts have been John H. Chandler, former chief of the Bureau of La bor Statistics’ Division of Foreign Labor and Trade, and Edgar Weinberg, former Deputy Assistant Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Office of Productivity and Technology. Contributions to the fund are tax deductible and may be sent to Ben Burdetsky, Secretary-Treasurer of the Lawrence R. Klein Fund, c/o School of Government and Business Administration, The George Washington University, Washington, D.C. 20052. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number of workers 11,600 1,400 1,800 1,800 1,800 Developments in Industrial Relations Actions taken to aid auto industry Moves to aid the automobile industry included a plan announced by President Carter to counter declining sales and increasing unemployment; approval of Chrysler’s loan guarantee followed by renewed doubts about the company’s viability; formation of an 11-union coalition to attempt to curtail imports; and further an nouncements of cost reduction measures by domestic manufacturers. President Carter described the proposal to aid the auto industry as “a first step” in a “permanent partner ship” between Washington and Detroit. The plan was outlined in a meeting with the heads of five automobile companies and Auto Workers President Douglas A. Fraser and drew a mixed reaction. The industry offi cials favored most aspects of the plan, particularly the idea of establishing a permanent Automobile Industry Committee of management, labor, and government rep resentatives to study further steps to aid the industry. (This committee is similar to a tripartite committee established in the steel industry in 1978.) Fraser termed “very significant” the President’s announcement that he would ask the U.S. International Trade Commission to expedite its decision on the UAW’s June petition for a ruling on whether the increasing level of imports is harming the domestic industry and, if so, whether im port restrictions should be imposed. Other parts of the plan would •E ase a requirement that all 1984 cars meet exhaust requirements for high altitude operation. •C hange standards of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration to permit companies to counter the dangers of exposure to lead and arsenic by having employees wear individual protective equipment, rather than by removing the hazard. •E ase Environmental Protection Agency rules to re duce the number of cars that must be tested prior to the start of full-scale production and, in some cases, to allow production to begin without prototype vehicles first being made. •Establish a program under which the Small Busi- “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben and other members of the staff of the Division of Trends in Employee Compensation, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on in formation from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ness Administration will guarantee working capital loans for 95 percent of the Nation’s automobile dealers. •A llocate $100 million of Economic Development Administration funds during fiscal 1981 to aid commu nities severely harmed by industrial dislocations, with at least half of the amount to be reserved for communities hurt by the transitions in the automobile industry. The first result of the $1.5 billion Federal loan guar antee for Chrysler Corp. came when the company bor rowed $500 million from a group of banks. The loan was made after the Government’s Chrysler Loan Guar antee Board, which had earlier approved the overall guarantee plan, gave its required approval to the loan. A few weeks later, the board approved an additional guarantee of $300 million, as Chrysler reported a loss of $1,017 billion for the first half of the year, reportedly the largest loss ever suffered by an American corpora tion for a half year. The $300 million guarantee includ ed $50 million to be available only if Chrysler obtained a matching $50 million of nonguaranteed loans. Trea sury Secretary G. William Miller, who heads the board, released a study by the board’s staff which forecast that the company will have to borrow a total of $1 billion in 1980, instead of the $800 million originally forecast, and $200 million in 1981, instead of $300 million. In another area, Chrysler’s board of directors formed a five-member committee “charged with insuring that every possible action is taken to alleviate the impact on the workers, the community in which the plant is locat ed, and the government units involved” in any future plant closings. The action was proposed by Auto Work ers President Fraser, now a Chrysler board member. The company and the union announced plans to set up joint “quality action teams” to help resolve any quality problems at the two plants producing the com pany’s new line of compact cars. The quality commit tees at the Newark, Del., and Jefferson Street (Detroit) plants are similar to more general cooperative programs established in recent years at Ford Motor Co. and Gen eral Motors Corp. There were announcements of further employment cutbacks in the industry. Ford announced that by yearend an unspecified number of its salaried employees would join the 6,100 already on layoff. Prior to that re duction, Ford had about 88,000 salaried employees. American Motors Corp. announced that it would re duce its white-collar staff by 10 percent, or about 700 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Developments in Industrial Relations employees, by the end of summer. Checker Motors Corp. said it had cut the salaries of its 200 nonunion employees by approximately 10 to 15 percent. The taxicab manufacturer reported that total employment at its Kalamazoo, Mich., plant had been reduced to 500 workers, from a normal 1,000. The Auto Workers campaign to restrict automobile imports was strengthened when 11 unions of the Indus trial Union Department of the A F L -C IO formed the Co alition of Auto Components and Supply Workers. According to Elmer Chatak, secretary-treasurer of the IUD and a chief spokesman for the coalition, about 650.000 workers in the automobile components and supply industry have lost their jobs— about twice the number of workers who have lost jobs at the automo bile assembly companies. Chatak also said that the slump in domestic car production may be part of a per manent structural change in the industry, rather than a temporary slump, “unless President Carter takes imme diate action to curb imports.” The coalition called on the President to impose a 5-year quota on auto and truck imports limiting the number to the 1975-76 levels of 1.7 million units a year. According to the IUD, 2.4 million vehicles are en tering the country each year, amounting to 28.4 percent of all sales in the United States. Uniroyal workers accept pay cut There were several adverse developments in the tire industry, resulting from the slump in domestic car sales, reduction in driving attributable to increased fuel costs, and the switch to longer wearing radial tires. At Uniroyal, Inc., workers represented by the Rubber Workers agreed to a 12- to 13-percent cut in wages and benefits after the company had imposed the same reduc tion on its nonunion employees. (A combined total of 37.000 workers was affected.) Uniroyal said the action was designed to “pare costs to combat the effects of the recession.” The company, which lost $120 million in 1979, also announced the closing of its bias-tire plant in Chicopee, Mass., which employs 1,600 people. Talks were under way between the company and a prospective buyer. Production workers at the facility reportedly were willing to accept a cut in pay to assure continued operation. Firestone Tire & Rubber Co. announced that it would end quarterly cost-of-living adjustments for its 20.000 nonunion salaried employees. The employees would continue to receive the $350-a-month in adjust ments that accumulated since Firestone started the quarterly adjustments in April 1977. Jack Miller, Fire stone coordinator for the Rubber Workers, said that the company had not asked for a concession from the union but he did not rule out the possibility. 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Anti-inflation plan pay standard changed The Council on Wage and Price Stability announced a revision in the Carter Administration’s voluntary anti inflation plan. The revision permits union-represented employees to receive a wage and benefit increase of up to 10.5 percent in any contract year, if the average an nual rate of increase over the entire contract term falls within the existing 7.5- to 9.5-percent standard. Pre viously, the 7.5- to 9.5-percent guideline applied to each year. The change, retroactive to October 1, 1979, was backed by the Pay Advisory Committee, which con tended that contract bargainers needed the additional flexibility in arranging their contract packages. Southern textile workers get pay raise Several major textile companies in the South an nounced wage increases for their employees. The size of the increase was not disclosed, but Burlington Indus tries, Inc., said that the raise for its 46,000 employees varied “to some degree” among its various divisions “since they are different types of operations.” One firm, Chatham Manufacturing Co. of Elkin, N.C., announced that its increase was 10 percent. The last round of in creases in the industry was in July 1979. Among the other companies granting increases were Cone Mills, Inc., Spring Mills, Inc., and West Point Pepperell. The Amalgamated Clothing and Textile Workers Union, which represents about 10 percent of the 280,000 textile workers in the south, settled with Fieldcrest Mills, Inc., on a 10-percent wage increase for more than 7,000 workers in North Carolina, Virginia, Geor gia, and Alabama. The increase was negotiated under a wage-reopening provision of a contract scheduled to ex pire in 1981. The union also settled with Cone Mills, Inc. on a 9.5-percent general wage increase, an addition al amount equal to 1 percent of payroll to be used to reduce or eliminate wage inequities among jobs, and an increase in company financing of pensions. Firestone accused of ‘affirmative action’ failure The Department of Labor barred Firestone Tire & Rubber Co. from doing business with the Federal Gov ernment, contending that the company had failed to im plement an acceptable affirmative action plan to increase the number of minorities and women employed at the Firestone Petrochemical Center in Orange, Tex. Department officials said that the order ended some $40 million a year of company sales to the Government, making it the largest purchase cutoff under authority of Executive Order 11246, which bars discrimination by Government contractors. The record had been held by Uniroyal, Inc., which settled its discrimination dispute in 1979. (See Monthly Labor Review, February 1980, p. 17.) Firestone officials said the ruling would be appealed in the Federal courts, and that the action was based on “an unreasonable interpretation of a technicality in the law, and not on any pattern of discrimination as such.” They claimed that the company has had an affirmative action plan at the facility for more than 10 years and that about 25 percent of its 650 employees were women or minorities. Another Federal discrimination case ended when Philadelphia agreed to hire women for 30 percent of the next 2,670 vacancies in its police patrol ranks and to promote women to the next 16 detective openings and the next 17 sergeant vacancies. The consent decree, signed by the city and the Department of Justice, ended a discrimination suit filed in February 1974. The city also is required to pay $700,000 to 96 female police offi cers who were victims of alleged discrimination in pro motions. Some of the women will receive as much as $22,488. The city, which now has 186 female police offi cers, had been permanently enjoined against discrimi nating against women in the police department after a 1979 trial in U.S. District Court in Philadelphia. President of seafarers union dies Paul Hall, who was one of the original members of the Seafarers and rose to become president of the union, died at the age of 65. Hall also was the senior member of the A F L -C IO ’s Executive Council and president of its Maritime Trades Department. A F L -C IO President Lane Kirkland and SecretaryTreasurer Thomas R. Donahue said that Hall’s imprint could be found on many of the programs and policies of the Federation, citing his contributions to the growth and vitality of the Maritime Trades Department and to the improvement of labor-management relations in the industry. Vice President Frank Drozak, who has been acting head of the union since Hall was hospitalized in No https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis vember, will continue in that capacity until an election is held later this year. Two railroad and airline unions merge The 8,000 member Railway and Airway Supervisors union is now a division of the Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks. Railway and Airline Supervisors President Frank J. Ferlin, who heads the new division, said that “given all the changes in today’s industry, in cluding a trend towards consolidation of railroads and airlines, we believe the interests of our members can better be served by joining forces with a larger organi zation.” The Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks, headed by Fred J. Kroll, had 200,000 members prior to the merger. Boycott called off against southern chain The Food and Commercial Workers union called off its 3-year boycott campaign against Winn-Dixie, Inc., after the parties agreed to rules governing some aspects of the union’s efforts to organize the supermarket chain. According to the company, both parties agreed to con duct future representational or organizational cam paigns in accordance with National Labor Relations Board rules and Federal law and to engage in informal discussions before exercising legal rights to contest any elections certified by the Board. However, company president Bert L. Thomas said that “we will continue to oppose with every proper and legal means any efforts by unions to organize Winn-Dixie employees.” Jack Jones, the chain’s director of industrial relations, commented, “the boycott hasn’t affected us.” During the boycott campaign, the various participat ing unions charged that Winn-Dixie has an anti-union policy dating back to the 1950’s and had repeatedly ig nored rulings by the NLRB and Federal courts. The Food and Commercial Workers officials said that since the start of the boycott the union has won repre sentation elections at Winn-Dixie facilities in Asheville, N.C., Jacksonville, Fla., and Atlanta, Ga. Winn-Dixie’s 1,300 stores and 52,000 employees are concentrated in the South. 61 Book Reviews Evolution in medical science Medicine and the Reign o f Technology. By Stanley Joel Reiser. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1978. 317 pp. $15.95. This book, by Stanley Joel Reiser, traces the evolu tion of medical instruments, the clinical laboratory, and the hospital and the profound changes in diagnostic methods this evolution has wrought. Yet, the author of fers more than a history. The very title of the book implies the critical theme that pervades it. The author is concerned not only with the possibilities of medical technology, but also with its limitations and degenera tive potential. At first, medical instruments merely enlarged the physician’s perceptual faculties. His judgment derived from his observations and experience. Increasingly, medical instruments became measuring devices. Chemi cal analysis, routinized with the development of clinical laboratories, became an indispensable part of the diag nostic effort. Radiology permitted the nonintrusive study of anatomy and morphology. The computer ap peared to make diagnostic syntheses possible, which conventional medical records, with their large lacunae, preclude. Thus, the physician’s judgment came to be more and more shaped by objective tests and data. Di agnostic methods became increasingly complex, foster ing specialization, and the general practitioner declined in relative importance. This development resulted in an ever more tenuous relationship between physician and patient— an estrangement which, in turn, threatens the very reliability of the diagnostic methods the evolution of medical technology had been expected to enhance. This is the major theme of the work. Reiser devotes but a brief chapter to the techniques of patient examination used in earlier centuries. His story really begins with the 19th century, when effective diagnostic instruments were first invented. Of course, knowledge of anatomy and physiology antedated these inventions. Dissection was performed and pathologies classified as early as the 16th century. But no consensus emerged regarding the relation between pathological ex aminations of cadavers and the symptoms of the living patient. The practicing physician of the 17th and 18th centuries typically analyzed his patient’s description of his illness and observed his patient’s symptoms, but he https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis did not examine him physically. He eschewed manual methods as being “beneath his dignity’’; it would place him on a par with the surgeon, who usually lacked aca demic credentials and background in medical theory. The principle of physical examination as the keystone of diagnosis encountered great resistance, and was de bated for decades, before it came to be firmly estab lished around 1850— and then mainly as a result of the proliferation of instruments which revealed the relation between symptom and disease. For example, the diag nostic value of sounds generated by the heart or by breathing was now explored by the stethoscope, the findings of which were eventually confirmed by autop sies. According to Reiser, the stethoscope, invented in 1819, represented the first major step towards basing medical practice on scientific findings. While medicine had indeed evolved as a distinct science since the days of Fernel, Vesalius, and Harvey in the 16th and 17th cen turies, the gap between medical theory and medical prac tice began to be closed only in the early 19th century. The stethoscope also initiated the breakdown of the doctor-patient relationship. The patient’s own account of his symptoms and experience with illness began to diminish in importance. The stethoscope and the instru ments that succeeded it generated a “model of disease” which often differed from the patient’s explana tions. Nevertheless, acoustical and visual methods of ex amination (for example, the ophthalmoscope, the laryn goscope, X-rays) might still be considered as belonging, as it were, to the handicraft stage of medical practice— they were tools applied by the physician, not testing de vices. They altered his view of the causes and location of disease, but did not give the precision to his findings which subsequent inventions would. Further more, the focus of medical diagnosis was still gross anatom y— the diseased part rather than the disturbed function, the visible tissue rather than tissue cells invisi ble to the naked eye. The single most im portant instrument underlying the transformation of diagnosis was the microscope. The microscope had been invented in the 17th century, but the microstructures and microlife it revealed were not linked to disease by its inventors or by its students until the mid-19th century. Only then, after severe problems of distorted images had been overcome, did some physi cians urge its use in tissue analysis. Only then was dis- ruption of the function of the cell— which had been dis covered long before— recognized (by Rudolf Virchow) as the basis of disease. The discovery by Rudolf Koch and Louis Pasteur that micro-organisms could cause disease and the development of bacteriology as a science was a result of the microscope. The microscope, like other diagnostic instruments, was at first still associated with anatomical concepts. Yet, many physicians urged that changes in natural functions, such as breathing, blood circulation, and temperature also be read as indicators of pathology. This view was promoted by the invention of measuring and graphing devices, such as the sphygmometer and the sphygmograph between 1836 and 1860 (these de vices measure the pulse rate). The sphygmograph “transformed the subjective character of pulse feeling into an objective, visual, graphic representation that was a permanent record of a transient event, amenable to study and criticism alone or by a group of physi cians.” Such devices— and here they also include the thermometer, the electrocardiograph, the microscope, and later the X-ray tube— were no longer mere tools or aides to the physician’s perceptions. They were akin to machines, with outputs no longer directly dependent upon the skills of their operator but with skills built into them. Furthermore, they engendered some of the consequences associated with machines; in time, they gave rise to the norming of such “output” variables as blood pressure, body heat, and pulse rate. Being com plex apparatus, they required specialization, thus en couraging the practice of delegating medical tasks to health specialists other than physicians (in 1900, of 200,000 s u c h w o r k e r s , 60 p e r c e n t w e r e p h y s ic ia n s ; in 1969, of 1.7 million, 20 percent were physicians); in ad dition, they contributed to the centralization of medical care in urban hospitals. Equally, they radically eroded the relationship between physician and patient. These developments were promoted by the rise of chemical analysis of bodily fluids and tissues. Unlike the diagnostic instruments discussed by Reiser, chemi cal analysis evolved in a distinct institutional context, the laboratory, “the organized workshop of science where investigators analyzed the objects of their interest firsthand,” which was largely a creation of the 19th cen tury (being essentially conceived by Justus Liebig, the great German chemist). Reiser devotes but a few pages to the laboratory, and does not fully explore its signif icance. The laboratory created a new environment, unimpeded by tradition and convention, for research, which must have contributed to its productivity in terms of the basic knowledge it produced. The laborato ry not only accentuated the trend toward separation of patient and physician, but also began to sever medical knowledge from medical practice. The specialization and professionalization of medical https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis practice that arose from the evolution of medical tech nology and knowledge created an ever more refined di vision of labor among health workers. The hospital and group practice institutionalized this division of labor. “(By) the 1930’s, a number of leaders in medicine looked to hospitals, and the cooperative model of prac tice, as the key to reorganizing the practice of medicine . . . The . . . Committee on the Costs of Medical Care . . . proposed turning hospitals into comprehensive cen ters that would be the focus of all medical activities.” The hospital proved to be a far more potent centralizing agent than group practice. In 1929, 8 out of 10 physi cians were affiliated with a hospital; 1 out of 25 maintained offices or hours there. By 1975, virtually all practicing physicians were affiliated, and 1 out of 4 practiced full-time there. The professional necessity of such affiliation is indisputable, but affiliation surely helped congeal the corporate interests of physicians. In the final third of the book, Reiser offers a search ing critique of what he regards as excessive reliance upon medical technology, and the consequences for medical practice and practitioners. He cites the enor mous increase in the use of laboratory tests, X-rays, and other diagnostic procedures in the face of their of ten doubtful utility; the steep resulting rise in costs and, most important to him, the tendency to substitute such tests for the physician’s own perceptions and judgment. The patient’s subjective symptoms and comments have, as a result, been ignored, history-taking has declined in importance and, hence, medical thought has lost coher ence; medical practice has been “decerebrated.” The author did not perhaps fully appreciate the depth of the gap between the two parts of his work. The his tory of the technological and medical developments presented in the first part does not prepare the reader for the disturbing critique advanced in the second. The creation of a scientific, objective basis of medical diag nosis, made possible in large part by an evolving medi cal technology, could not but change the relationship between physician and patient, voiding it of some of its human concerns. But why should medical technology have come to dominate medical practice, rather than serve it? Why should it have engendered “an attitude in which the patient (is) less than a person and more of an object”? Reiser does not explicitly address these ques tions. He mentions such factors as preoccupation with scientific apparatus as supposedly embodying the “spirit of science,” the emphasis on laboratory techniques and biology in physicians’ training, broader insurance cover age, and the threat of malpractice suits. But these are conditioning, rather than casual factors. One of the fascinating aspects of the book is that the author does not simply describe the progress of medical technology and diagnosis, but that he also carefully de tails the professional resistance to it, as well as the fre63 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Book Reviews quent unreliability of early generations of instruments— all of which hindered the ready adoption of given tech nologies and diagnostic concepts. There is, thus, at least a hint of a corporate interest on the part of the medical profession in then existing modes of diagnosis. The rise of the hospital as a central and centralizing institution of medical practice undoubtedly accentuated the corpo rate interest of the medical profession. The huge invest ment in complex equipment and lengthy specialized study further solidified this interest, also imparting to it a large economic dimension. It is certainly true that changing conditions eventually compel a redefinition of interest, but they must then match the stakes involved, and these are very great now. After the end of World War II, some physicians re flected on the one-third rejection rate of men called to service, because of neuropsychiatrie disorders. They be gan to consider disease “as a maladaptation to biologi cal, familial, and environmental circumstances— as disturbances of thoughts, feelings and social relation ships as well as disturbances of tissues and bodily fluids . . . ” Nevertheless, “the view of man as primarily a physico-chemical organism has remained the dominant view of postwar medicine . . . ” That view of course re mains anchored in existing health care institutions. The reign of medical technology, of which Reiser gives such a superb account and which so deeply troubles him, seems destined to institutionalize the physico-chemical approach to diagnosis for decades to come. For, judg ing by Reiser’s own testimony, medical technology is in large measure conceptually based upon that approach, and in turn it generates professional and corporate in terests that are hard to dislodge. — H o rst Br and O ffice o f P ro d u c tiv ity a n d T e c h n o lo g y B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistics Myth-making and myth-breaking The Economics o f Sex Differentials. By Cynthia B. Lloyd and Beth T. Niemi. New York, Columbia University Press, 1979. 355 pp. $16.50. During the past quarter century, changes in social at titudes, life styles, marital and family patterns, and a host of other developments have contributed to a dra matic increase in the labor force participation of wom en. Since 1950, the proportion of women engaged in or seeking market work has climbed from about one-third to more than one-half. During the most recent decade, the increase has been concentrated among young wom en— those under 35 years of age— and the traditional separation of market work and home production has become less sharp for young wives and mothers. Prior 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to the midsixties, the bulk of the growth in female labor force participation had occurred among those 45 to 59 years of age, a group that had largely completed the time-consuming portion of their child-rearing responsi bilities. The return of these middle-aged women to the paid-work force had required fewer adjustments by their families, the social structure, and their employers, since, on average, this group was less career oriented than the younger women who followed them into the job market. It is against this backdrop of social, economic, and political developments that this book, by Cynthia B. Lloyd and Beth T. Niemi, was written. It takes its place among a raft of articles, speeches, and books that have been written on the subject. Unfortunately, the large quantity has not always been of the highest quality, so it is with much appreciation that this work by two well-qualified economists ought to be received. Unlike much of the literature in this area, this work is even-handed in tone, neither strident with political overtones nor so overloaded with details that it can be read only by specialists in the field. The first chapter, in particular, should be required reading for every person interested in the subject. Academics, journalists, policymakers, and the public at large can all benefit from this careful discussion of the myths and re ality of the current situation. Among the subjects discussed in this chapter are var ious misinterpretations of statistical data including: the drawing of conclusions about individual behavior based upon group averages, the expectation that cross-section al data can be used as a proxy for developments over time, and the attribution of too much weight to anec dotal evidence. When employers or policymakers fall prey to these misinterpretations, they may well perpetu ate the problems that they perceive. In regard to the use of statistical averages, the au thors point out the fallacy of drawing conclusions about individuals based upon group norms by illustrating the amount of dispersion around the averages. They then discuss the “statistical discrimination” which occurs when an employer chooses not to hire a particular woman, because he has read that women, on average, have higher turnover than men. The specific man that is hired may or may not stay at the job longer than the woman who was avoided; she was never given the op portunity to begin her tenure. Actually, the data show that women’s rates of turnover are not greatly unlike men’s if one controls for age and occupation. Another common misunderstanding results from a confusion between cross-sectional and time-series data. As the authors put it: T h e d ra m a tic in crease in la b or force p articip a tio n rates a m o n g w o m e n o f all a g es, b u t p articu larly a m o n g yo u n g er w o m e n , in th e la st 10 years h a v e m ea n t th a t for th e y o u n g c o h o r ts o f w o m e n (th a t is, w o m en b orn in th e sa m e year), la b o r fo rce p a rticip a tio n rates ap p ear to b e risin g a lm o st c o n tin u o u sly o v er th e life c y cle. T h is p resen ts a sh arp c o n trast to th e c ro ss-se ctio n a l p ictu re, w h ich im p lies th a t w o m en are d ro p p in g o u t in their ch ild -b ea rin g years. T h e d e c ep tio n arises b e ca u se th e la b or force b eh avior o f d iffer en t w o m e n o f v a ryin g a g es is b ein g u sed to sim u la te th e life c y c le o f a h y p o th e tic a l w o m a n . H o w e v er , b eca u se o f d ra m a tic c h a n g e s in b eh a v io r a m o n g y o u n g er w o m e n , it is n o t a ccu ra te to lo o k at o ld e r w o m en to d a y an d a ssu m e th a t th a t is w h ere y o u n g er w o m en w ill be a certain n u m b er o f y ears d o w n th e road. A related misconception occurs when someone be lieves that a rate for a particular group at a particular time can be used as a proxy for the overall behavior of a “typical” member of that group. For example, a labor force participation rate of 50 percent means that half of the relevant group is currently in the labor force, not that a typical member of the group spends half of her lifetime in the labor force. The authors cite an actual longitudinal study which suggests that one-third of all women work just about continuously, one-third inter mittently, and one-third never work outside the home. Misunderstandings of the nature of change sometimes result from the use of anecdotal evidence. These exam ples, which are often used in popular press, may over state the amount of change that has actually occurred. For example, female carpenters, crane operators, and mineworkers are interviewed and some observers con clude that such occupational choices have become com monplace. While it is true that there have been some women who have been able to move into traditionally male occupations, most women remain in those fields that are predominately female. Six out of every 10 women are in retail trade, clerical, or service occupa tions. Specific occupations that are at least 90 percent female include secretaries, bank tellers, cashiers, and nurses; occupations that are less than 10 percent female include mechanics, carpenters, dentists, and engineers. It is important to correct misconceptions concerning women in the work force for several reasons. First, ac curacy in understanding the world around us enables individuals to better plan tneir lives. Second, the behav ior of individuals is dependent on their beliefs concern ing the facts, and their misunderstandings may serve to be self-fulfilling. An employer may be reluctant to in vest in training for a female employee if he believes her likely to leave; without training to improve her skills, she may have little incentive to stay. Lastly, policy deci sions based on traditional assumptions tend to foster and perpetuate a situation that might otherwise change. Often cited examples relate to tax policies and the structure of social security benefits. The remaining chapters of the book are amplifications of the foundation chapter, providing theory, data, and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis analysis. Among the topics covered are: labor attach ment, educational investment, job training, earnings, unemployment, evidence of discrimination, government policies and programs. One could certainly quarrel with the policy conclusions of the authors, since these are clearly dependent on philosophical attitudes. More im portantly, their research is thorough, based on careful and proper use of data and a broad knowledge of sources and research in their area. — D e b o r a h P i s e t z n e r K l e in O ffice o f C u rren t E m p lo y m e n t A n a ly s is B u reau o f L ab or S ta tistics Publications received Agriculture and natural resources B ro w n , W illiam M . an d H erm an K a h n , “ W h y n e r a b le,” Fortune, Ju ly 14, 1980, pp. 6 6 - 6 9 . opec Is V u l B u sch , L aw ren ce, “ S tru ctu re a n d N e g o tia tio n in th e A g r ic u l tural S c ien ce s,” R ural Sociology, Sp rin g 1980, pp. 2 6 - 4 8 . Economic and social statistics “ D a ta C o v era g e o f th e F u n c tio n a lly L im ited E ld erly: R ep o rt o f th e In tera g en cy S ta tistica l C o m m ittee on L o n g -T erm C are for th e E ld e r ly ,” Statistical Reporter, Ju ly 1980, pp. 2 8 1 -3 1 6 . P h e lp s, M ich a el G ., “ L a m en ts, A n c ie n t a n d M od ern : K ey n es on M a th e m a tic a l a n d E c o n o m e tric M e th o d o lo g y ,” Jour nal o f Post Keynesian Economics, S u m m er 1980, pp. 4 8 2 93. Education F o x , W illiam F ., Relationships Between Size o f Schools and School Districts and the Cost o f Education. W a sh in g to n , U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f A g ricu ltu re, E c o n o m ic s , S ta tistics, a n d C o o p er a tiv es Service, 1980, 25 pp. (T ech n ica l B u lle tin , 1621.) K ep p e l, F ra n cis, “ E d u ca tio n in th e E ig h tie s ,” Harvard Educa tional Review, M a y 1980, pp. 1 4 9 - 5 3 . “ N e w D ir e c tio n s in In tern a tio n a l E d u c a tio n ,” The Annals, T h e A m erica n A c a d e m y o f P o litica l an d S ocial S cien ce, M a y 1980, pp. 1 - 1 6 4 . Health and safety A lle n , R o b ert F ., “T h e C orp o ra te H ea lth -B u y in g Spree: B o o n or B o o n d o g g le ? ” S.A.M. Advance Management Journal, Sp rin g 1980, pp. 4 - 2 2 . R o b er tso n , Jam es M c D . a n d T h e o d o r e H . In g a lls, “ A M o rta l ity S tu d y o f C arb on B lack W ork ers in th e U n ite d S ta tes from 1935 to 1 9 7 4 ,” Archives o f Environmental Health, M a y - J u n e 1980, pp. 1 8 1 - 8 6 . U .S . B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistics, Accidents Involving Face Inju ries, Washington, 1980, 2 0 pp. (R e p o r t 6 0 4 .) U .S . O cc u p a tio n a l S afety an d H ea lth A d m in istra tio n , A ll About OSHA. W a sh in g to n , U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f L ab o r, O c c u p a tio n a l S afety a n d H ea lth A d m in istra tio n , pp. ( o s h a 2 0 5 6 .) S in g le c o p y free. 1980, 4 7 65 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Book Reviews Industrial relations B la ck b u rn , Jo h n D . a n d K a th ry n P. 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B ureau o f L a b o r S ta tistics, B LS File o f State, County, and Municipal Collective Bargaining Agreements, Fall 1979. W a sh in g to n , 1980, 65 pp. (R e p o r t 5 98.) ----------- Collective Bargaining in the Basic Steel Industry. W a sh in g to n , 1980, 11 pp. (R e p o r t 6 0 3 .) ----------- Collective Bargaining in the Telephone Industry. W a sh in g to n , 1980, 11 pp . (R e p o r t 6 0 7 .) Industry and government organization D u n lo p , J o h n T „ ed ., Business and Public Policy. B o sto n , H a rv a rd U n iv e r sity , G ra d u a te S c h o o l o f B u sin ess A d m in istra tio n , D iv isio n o f R esea rch , 1980, 118 pp. $ 6 .9 5 , H a r vard U n iv e r sity P ress, C a m b rid ge, M a ss. M cQ u a id , K im , “ B ig B u sin ess an d P u b lic P o lic y in C o n tem p o ra ry U n ite d S ta te s,” Quarterly Review o f Eco nomics and Business, S u m m er 1980, pp. 5 7 - 6 8 . Problems. W a sh in g to n , T h e W h ite H o u se , O ffice o f th e S p ecial A s sista n t for C o n su m er A ffairs, 1979, 76 pp. S in g le c o p ie s a v a ila b le from th e C on su m er In fo rm a tio n C e n ter, D e p t. 532 G , P u e b lo , C o lo . 81009. International economics B o w en , W illia m , “ C lo sin g th e T rad e G a p C o u ld T a k e T en Y e a r s,” Fortune, Ju ly 14, 1980, pp. 1 2 8 - 3 7 . H em p h ill, W illia m L „ “ E stim a tio n o f th e T im in g A sy m m etr y in In tern a tio n a l T r a d e ,” International Monetary Fund S ta ff Papers, M arch 1980, pp. 1 3 5 - 6 0 . J o h n so n , O m o tu n d e an d J o a n n e S a lo p , “ D istr ib u tio n a l A s p e c ts o f S ta b iliza tio n P ro g ra m s in D e v e lo p in g C o u n tr ie s,” International Monetary Fund S ta ff Papers, M arch 1980, pp. 1 - 2 3 . L ip sch itz, L eslie a n d V. 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Stieb er, Jack, “ L a b o r ’s W a lk o u t from th e K o rea n W a g e S ta b i liz a tio n B o a r d ,” Labor History, Sp rin g 1980, pp . 2 3 9 - 6 0 . Straw , R ich a rd , “ A n A c t o f F aith : S o u th ea stern O h io M in ers in th e C o a l S trike o f 1 9 2 7 ,” Labor History, Sp rin g 1980, pp. 2 2 1 - 3 8 . Labor force B arad, C ary B ., “ F le x itim e U n d e r S crutiny: R esea rch on W ork A d ju stm e n t a n d O rg a n iza tio n a l P erfo rm a n ce,” Per sonnel Administrator, M a y 1980, pp. 6 9 - 7 4 . D u g g a n , Jam es E ., “T h e E m p irical R e la tio n o f L ab or F o rce to E m p lo y m e n t an d U n e m p lo y m e n t,” Quarterly Review o f Economics and Business, S u m m er 1980, pp. 6 9 - 8 1 . G reen e, Ju d ith A ., “Y o u th U n e m p lo y m e n t W o rse T h a n T h o u g h t B u t N o t I n so lu b le ,” Jobs Watch, M a r c h - A p r il 1980, b e g in n in g o n p. 1. 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P erry, R o b ert A ., “ P u b lic S ecto r S electio n S p ecialist: A Sur vey o f S ta te an d L ocal G o v er n m e n t U tiliz a tio n and T ra in in g N e e d s ,” Public Personnel Management, M a r c h A p ril 1980, pp. 8 6 - 9 3 . P eters, T h o m a s J., “ P u ttin g E x c ellen ce in to M a n a g e m en t,” Business Week, Ju ly 21, 1980, b e g in n in g on p. 196. P o w e ll, G ary N ., “ C areer D e v e lo p m e n t an d th e W om a n M a n a g e r — A S ocial P er sp ec tiv e ,” Personnel, M a y - J u n e 1980, pp. 2 2 - 3 2 . R im ler, G eo r g e W . an d N e il I. H u m p h re y s, Sm all Business: Developing the Winning M anagement Team. N e w Y o rk , AMACOM, A d iv isio n o f A m erica n M a n a g e m en t A s s o c ia tio n s, 1980, 180 pp. $ 1 3 .9 5 . Sh apek, R a y m o n d A ., “T h e In terg o v ern m en ta l P erso n n el A c t P rogram an d M a n a g em en t C a p a city D e v e lo p m e n t,” Pub lic Personnel Management, M a r c h - A p r il 1980, pp. 7 5 85. Siegel, Jerom e, Personnel Testing Under EEO. N e w Y o rk , a m a c o m , A d iv isio n o f A m erica n M a n a g em en t A s s o c ia tio n s, 1980, 92 pp . $ 7 .5 0 , ama m em b ers; $10, n o n m em b ers. “ S ixty Y ea rs o f H irin g P ra c tic e s,” Personnel Journal, Jun e 1980, b eg in n in g on p. 4 62. S lom a, R ich ard S., How to Measure Managerial Performance. N e w Y o rk , M a cm illa n P u b lish in g C o ., In c., 1980, 2 5 7 pp. $ 1 0 .9 5 . for E m p lo y m e n t R esea rch , 1980, 85 pp. $4. H ec h t, M au rice R ., What Happens in Management: Principles and Practices. N e w Y o rk , AMACOM, A d iv isio n o f A m e ri can M a n a g em en t A s so c ia tio n s , 1980, 2 1 2 pp. $ 1 5 .9 5 . H eisei, W . D „ “ A N o n -B u r ea u cr a tic V iew o f M a n a g em en t D e v e lo p m e n t,” Public Personnel Management, M a r c h A p ril 1980, pp. 9 4 - 9 8 . H iv ely , Janet M . a n d W illiam S. H o w e ll, “T h e M a le - F e m a le M a n a g em en t T eam : A D a n c e o f D e a th ? ” Management Review, Ju n e 1980, pp. 4 4 - 5 0 . K o v a c h , K en n eth A ., “ W h y M o tiv a tio n a l T h eo ries D o n ’t W o r k ,” S.A.M. Advanced Management Journal, Sp rin g 1980, pp. 5 4 - 5 9 . L eb ell, D o n , “ M a n a g in g P rofessio n a ls: T h e Q u iet C o n flic t,” Personnel Journal, Ju ly 1980, b eg in n in g on p. 566. L u b b en , G a ry L., D u a n e E. T h o m p so n , C h arles R . K la sso n , “ P erfo rm a n ce A p p raisal: T h e L egal Im p lic a tio n s o f T itle V I I ,” Personnel, M a y - J u n e 1980, pp. 1 1 - 2 1 . L y n ch , E d ith M ., “ H o w W om en C an G et O u t o f D e a d -E n d J o b s ,” S.A.M. Advanced Management Journal, Spring, 1980, pp. 6 0 - 6 3 . W alk er, A lfr ed J., “ A rriv in g S oon : T h e P ap erless P erso n n el O ffic e,” Personnel Journal, Ju ly 1980, b eg in n in g on p. 559. W itk in , A rth u r A ., “ C o m m o n ly O v er lo o k e d D im e n sio n s o f E m p lo y e e S e le c tio n ,” Personnel Journal, July 1980, b e g in n in g on p. 573. Monetary and fiscal policy A a r o n , H en ry J. an d M ich ael J. B o sk in , e d s., The Economics o f Taxation. W a sh in g to n , T h e B r o o k in g s In stitu tio n , 1980, 4 1 8 pp. $ 1 7 .9 5 , clo th ; $ 6 .9 5 , paper. B ryce, H errin g to n J., ed ., Managing Fiscal Retrenchment in Cities. C o lu m b u s, O h io , A c a d e m y for C o n tem p o ra ry P ro b lem s, 1980, 33 pp. S in g le c o p y free. L ieb lin g, H erm an L, US. Corporate Profitability and Capital Formation: Are Rates o f Return Sufficient? N e w Y o rk , P erg a m o n P ress, 1980, 146 p p ., b ib lio g ra p h y . (P erg a m o n P o lic y S tu d ies on U .S . an d In tern a tio n a l B u sin ess, 4 7 .) $14. R ao, D ile e p , Handbook o f Business, Finance and Capital Sources, 1979 Edition. N e w Y o rk , a m a c o m , A d iv isio n o f A m erica n M a n a g em en t A s so c ia tio n s , 1979, 4 6 0 pp. M ayer, R ich a rd J., “ K e y s to E ffective A p p r a is a l,” Manage ment Review, Jun e 1980, pp. 6 0 - 6 2 . M illett, Joh n D ., Management, Governance and Leadership: A Guide fo r College and University Administrators. N e w Y o rk , a m a c o m , A d iv isio n o f A m erica n M a n a g em en t A s so c ia tio n s , 1980, 208 pp. $ 1 5 .9 5 . O liv a s, L o u is, “ U s in g A sse ssm e n t C en ters for In d iv id u a l an d O rg a n iza tio n a l D e v e lo p m e n t,” Personnel, M a y - J u n e 1980, pp. 6 3 - 6 7 . P en ley , Larry E. an d Brian L. H a w k in s, “ C o m m u n ica tin g for Im p ro v ed M o tiv a tio n an d P erfo rm a n ce,” S.A.M. A d https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T o u h ey , Joh n C ., Stock M arket Forecasting fo r Alert Investors. N e w Y o rk , a m a c o m , A d iv isio n o f A m erica n M a n a g e m en t A s so c ia tio n s , 1980, 184 pp. $ 1 1 .9 5 . W ein trau b , S id n ey, “ M o n e y , S u p p ly an d D e m a n d In terd ep en d e n c e ,” Journal o f Post Keynesian Economics, S u m m er 1980, pp. 5 6 6 - 7 5 . Productivity and technological change B ays, C arson W ., “ U tility P ro d u c tiv ity an d R eg u la to r y In c e n tiv e s,” Quarterly Review o f Economics and Business, S u m m er 1980, pp. 5 1 - 5 6 . 67 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Book Reviews M ilitzer, K . H ., “ M a cro vs. M icro: I n p u t/O u tp u t R a tio s ,” Management Review, Jun e 1980, pp. 8 - 1 5 . S a lo m o n , J ea n -J a cq u es, “T ech n ica l C h a n g e an d E c o n o m ic P o lic y ,” The OECD Observer, M a y 1980, pp . 1 6 - 2 2 . W ise, J o sep h , “ S ettin g U p a C o m p a n y P ro d u c tiv ity g r a m ,” Management Review, Ju n e 1980, pp . 1 5 - 1 8 . P ro Wages and compensation B rin k s, Ja m es T ., “ Is T h ere M erit in M erit In creases?” Per sonnel Administrator, M a y 1980, pp . 5 9 - 6 4 . M iller, Jo h n J., “ T ren d s a n d P ra ctices in E m p lo y e e B en efits,” Personnel Administrator, M a y 1980, b eg in n in g o n p. 48. M o y n a h a n , Jo h n K ., Designing an Effective Sales Compensa tion Program. N e w Y o rk , a m a c o m , A d iv isio n o f A m e ri can M a n a g e m en t A s so c ia tio n s , 1980, 2 1 4 pp. $ 1 6 .9 5 . Welfare programs and social insurance K o p its , G eo r g e a n d P a d m a G o tu r , “T h e In flu en ce o f S o cial S ecu rity o n H o u se h o ld Savin gs: A C r o ss-C o u n try In v e s ti g a tio n ,” International Monetary Fund S ta ff Papers, M arch 1980, pp. 1 6 1 - 9 0 . U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f H ea lth , E d u ca tio n , a n d W elfare, Employ ment and Training Issues in Social Work with the Elderly. W a sh in g to n , U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f H ea lth , E d u ca tio n , an d W elfare, N a tio n a l C lea rin g h o u se o n A g in g , A d m in is tr a tio n o f A g in g , O ffice o f H u m a n D e v e lo p m e n t Services, 1979, 2 0 pp. ( A o A O cc a sio n a l P ap ers in G e r o n to lo g y , 4 .) ( d h e w P u b lica tio n N o . ( o h d s ) 7 9 - 2 0 0 9 0 .) S to c k N o . 0 1 7 - 0 6 2 - 0 0 1 1 7 - 1 . $ 1 .7 5 , S u p erin ten d en t o f D o c u m e n ts , W a sh in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 . Worker training and development C o n su lta n t N e w s , Directory o f Executive Recruiters. F itzw illia m , N .H ., C o n su lta n ts N e w s , 1980, 2 1 6 pp. $12, p re paid . G in zb erg , E li, ed ., Employing the Unemployed. N e w Y o r k , B a sic B o o k s, In c., P u b lish ers, 1980, 2 0 9 pp. $15. H ow ard W„ Community-Based Employment B a ltim o re, T h e J o h n s H o p k in s U n iv e r sity P ress, 1980, 177 pp. (P o lic y S tu d ies in E m p lo y m e n t an d W elfare, 3 6 .) $ 8 .9 5 . H a llm a n , Programs. N a tio n a l In stitu te for W ork a n d L earn in g, Calling the Tune: Communication Technology fo r Working, Learning, and Living (b y T e d C arp en ter, 8 0 p p ., $12); Patterns o f A dult Participation in Learning Activities (b y Ivan C harner, 68 p p l, $10); The Source o f A dult Learning, Education, 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Training Opportunity in the United States (b y B ryna S h ore F raser, 75 p p ., $10); Education and Training fo r M iddle-Aged and Older Workers; Policy Issues and Op tions (b y Ju lia R . F ren ch , 4 8 p p ., $8); Training and Edu cation by Industry (b y H a ro ld G o ld ste in , 7 0 p p ., $12.50); Worker Education and Training Policies Project: Alterna tive Work Patterns— Implications fo r Worklife Education and Training (b y Jan e S h ore, 4 6 p p ., $8); Worklife Edu cation and Training and the Ordeal o f Change (b y C h arles D . S tew art, 6 9 p p ., $10); Issues in Education and Train ing fo r Working Women (b y D e n ise W ild er, 138 p p ., $1 5 ). W a sh in g to n , L earn in g, 1980. N a tio n a l In stitu te for W ork an d N o r th e a ste rn U n iv e r sity , Current Issues in Employment and Training Policy, Planning, and Evaluation. (P ap ers p res en te d at th e N e w E n g la n d B u sin ess a n d E c o n o m ic s C o n ference, N o v . 1 - 2 , 1 979.) B o sto n , M a ss., N o r th e a ste rn U n iv e r sity , D e p a r tm en t o f E c o n o m ic s , C en ter for L ab o r M ark et S tu d ies, 1979, 5 0 9 pp. R a d in , B eryl A ., “ L ea d ersh ip T ra in in g for W o m en in S ta te a n d L o c a l G o v e r n m e n t,” Public Personnel Management, M a r c h - A p r il 1980, pp . 5 2 - 6 0 . U .S . B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistic s, Exploring Careers: The World o f Work and You (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 , 28 p p ., $2); Industri al Production Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 2 , 4 8 p p ., $2); Office Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 3 , 32 p p ., $2); Service Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 4 , 50 p p ., $2); Education Oc cupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 5 , 36 p p ., $2); Sales Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 6 , 32 p p ., $2); Construction Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 7 , 38 p p ., $2); Transportation Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 8 , 34 p p ., $2); Scientific and Technical Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 9 , 34 p p ., $2); Mechanics and Repairers (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 0 , 28 p p ., $2); Health Occupa tions (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 1 , 5 0 p p ., $2); Social Scientists (B u l letin 2 0 0 1 - 1 2 , 28 p p ., $2); Social Service Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 3 , 28 p p ., $2); Performing Arts, Design, and Communications Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 4 , 4 4 p p ., $2); Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery Occupations (B u lletin 2 0 0 1 - 1 5 , 37 p p ., $2). W a sh in g to n , 1979. A v a il ab le from th e S u p erin ten d en t o f D o c u m e n ts , W a sh in g to n 20402. U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f L ab or L ibrary, Apprenticeship: Selected References, 1974-1979. W a sh in g to n , U .S . D e p a r tm en t o f L ab or, O ffice o f th e A s sista n t Secretary for A d m in is tr a tio n a n d M a n a g e m en t, 1979, 53 pp. $ 2 .5 0 , S u p erin ten d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts , W a sh in g to n 2 0 4 0 2 . W alk er, M ich a el J., “ G u id e for O cc u p a tio n a l E x p lo r a tio n ,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, S p rin g 1980, pp. 2 6 - 2 8 . Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics ..................................................................................................................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series .......................................................................... Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ............................................................. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years,1950-79 .................................................................. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................ Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................................ Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................ Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................... Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................................ Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Employment by industry, 1950-79 ....................................................................................................................................... Employment by State ............................................................................................................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group ................................................................................ Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date ........................................................................................................ Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group .................................................................................. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1949-79 .......................................................................................................... Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing g r o u p ............................................................................. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonallyadjusted ....................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................ Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date ..................................................... Unemployment insurance data. Definitions and notes 71 71 72 73 74 75 75 75 76 77 77 78 79 80 80 81 82 83 84 84 85 86 87 .......................................................................................................................................... Consumer Price Index, 1967-79 ............................................................................................................................................. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items ...................................................... Consumer Price Index, cross classification of region and population size class ...................................................... Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing .................................................................................................................. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ............................................................................................................. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings .................................. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ................................................................................. 88 89 89 95 96 97 98 100 100 100 Price data. Definitions and notes Productivity data. Definitions and notes 31. 32. 33. 34. 70 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 70 ....................................................................................................................... Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,1950-79 ............................................ Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1969-79 ............................................. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ................... Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . Labor-management data. Definitions and notes ........................................................................................................ 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date ..................................................... 36. Effective wage rate adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units,1975 to date ........................ 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date ............................................................................................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 103 103 104 104 105 106 106 107 107 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. For a technical discussion of the method used to make seasonal adjustments, see X - l l V a ria n t o f th e C en su s M e th o d I I S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t P r o g ra m , Technical Paper No. 15 (Bureau of the Census, 1967). Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2 - 7 were last revised in the February 1980 issue of the R e v ie w to reflect the preceding year’s experience. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifications in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new proce dure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -ll method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in T h e X - l l A R I M A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, September 1979). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data in tables 11, 13, 16, and 18 begins with the August 1980 issue using the X -ll ARIMA seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal fac tors for productivity data in tables 33 and 34 are usually intro duced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s 1978, Bulletin 2000, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w . More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, a monthly publication of the Bureau, and in two comprehensive data books issued annually— E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta te s and E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, S ta te s a n d A rea s. More detailed informa tion on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, C u r r e n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts . More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P r ic e In d e x es. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Title and frequency (monthly except where indicated) Release date Period covered Release date Period covered MLR table number Employment situation.................................................................. Producer Price Index .................................................................. Consumer Price Index ................................................................ Real earnings ............................................................................ Work stoppages.......................................................................... Labor turnover In manufacturing .................................................. Productivity and costs (quarterly): Nonfarm business and manufacturing .................................. Major collective bargaining settlements (quarterly) ........................ September 5 September 5 September 23 September 23 September 29 September 30 August August August August August August October 3 October 3 October 24 October 24 October 28 October 30 September September September September September September 1-11 26-30 22-25 14-20 37 12-13 October 27 October 27 3rd quarter 1st 9 months 31 -34 35-36 70FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 65,000 households beginning in January 1980, selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. E m plo ym ent Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of longterm illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. Data in tables 2 - 7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1979. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-79 [Numbers inthousands] Total labor force Year Total non institutional population Civilian labor force Employed Number Percent of population Total Unemployed Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 1955 I960 1964 1965 ............................................ ........................................ .......................................... .......................... .......................................... 106,645 112,732 119,759 127,224 129,236 63,858 68,072 72,142 75,830 77,178 59.9 60.4 60.2 59.6 59.7 62,208 65,023 69,628 73,091 74,455 58,918 62,170 65,778 69,305 71,088 7,160 6,450 5,458 4,523 4,361 51,758 55,722 60,318 64,782 66,726 3,288 2,852 3,852 3,786 3,366 5.3 4.4 5.5 5.2 4.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 51,394 52,058 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .............................. ............................................ .............................. ...................................... .............................................. 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 140,182 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 85,903 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 61.3 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 82,715 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 78,627 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 3,462 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 75,165 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4,088 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 4.9 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 54,280 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........................................................ ...................................... .................................................. .................................. .................................................... 142,596 145,775 148,263 150,827 153,449 86,929 88,991 91,040 93,240 94,793 61.0 61.0 61.4 61.8 61.8 84,113 86,542 88,714 91,011 92,613 79,120 81,702 84,409 83,935 84,783 3,387 3,472 3,452 3,492 3,380 75,732 78,230 80,957 82,443 81,403 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7,830 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 55,666 56,785 57,222 57,587 58,655 1976 1977 1978 1979 ................................................ ................................................ .................................................. ...................................................... 156,048 158,559 161,058 163,620 96,917 99,534 102,537 104,996 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.2 94,773 97,401 100,420 102,908 87,485 90,546 94,373 96,945 3,297 3,244 3,342 3,297 84,188 87,302 91,031 93,648 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.8 59,130 59,025 58,521 58,623 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 71 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1980 1979 Annual average Employment status Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Mayc June July 1978 1979 July 161,058 102,537 158,941 100,420 94,373 3,342 91,031 6,047 6.0 58,521 163,620 104,996 161,532 102,908 96,945 3,297 93,648 5,963 5.8 58,623 163,685 105,475 161,604 103,093 97,184 3,267 93,917 5,909 5.7 58,511 163,891 105,218 161,801 103,128 97,004 3,315 93,689 6,124 5.9 58,673 164,106 105,586 162,013 103,494 97,504 3,364 94,140 5,990 5.8 58,519 164,468 105,688 162,375 103,595 97,474 3,294 94,180 6,121 5.9 58,780 164,682 105,744 162,589 103,652 97,608 3,385 94,223 6,044 5.8 58,937 164,898 106,088 162,809 103,999 97,912 3,359 94,553 6,087 5.9 58,810 165,101 106,310 163,020 104,229 97,804 3,270 94,534 6,425 6.2 58,791 165,298 106,346 163,211 104,260 97,953 3,326 94,626 6,307 6.0 58,951 165,506 106,184 163,416 104,094 97,656 3,358 94,298 6,438 6.2 59,322 165,693 106,511 163,601 104,419 97,154 3,242 93,912 •',265 7.0 59,182 165,886 107,230 163,799 105,142 96,988 3,379 93,609 8,154 7.8 58,657 166,105 106,634 164,013 104,542 96,537 3,191 93,346 8,006 7.7 59,471 166,391 107,302 164,293 105,203 96,996 3,257 93,739 8,207 7.8 59,091 67,006 53,464 51,212 2,361 48,852 2,252 4.2 13,541 68,293 54,486 52,264 2,350 49,913 2,223 4.1 13,807 68,319 54,579 52,325 2,327 49,998 2,254 4.1 13,740 68,417 54,597 52,311 2,375 49,936 2,286 4.2 13,820 68,522 54,735 52,453 2,377 50,076 2,282 4.2 13,787 68,697 54,760 52,443 2,371 50,072 2,317 4.2 13,937 68,804 54,709 52,374 2,438 49,936 2,335 4.3 14,095 68,940 54,781 52,478 2,427 50,051 2,303 4.2 14,159 69,047 54,855 52,279 2,387 49,892 2,577 4.7 14,192 69,140 55,038 52,531 2,435 50,096 2,507 4.6 14,102 69,238 54,996 52,300 2,394 49,906 2,696 4.9 14,242 69,329 55,114 51,868 2,320 49,548 3,246 5.9 14,215 69,428 55,467 51,796 2,384 49,412 3,671 6.6 13,961 69,532 55,220 51,510 2,270 49,240 3,710 6.7 14,312 69,664 55,398 51,668 2,292 49,376 3,730 6.7 14,266 75,489 37,416 35,180 586 34,593 2,236 6.0 38,073 76,860 38,910 36,698 591 36,107 2,213 5.7 37,949 76,897 39,033 36,873 585 36,288 2,160 5.5 37,864 77,006 39,304 37,000 600 36,400 2,304 5.9 37,702 77,124 39,239 37,075 628 36,447 2,164 5.5 37,885 77,308 39,362 37,112 572 36,540 2,250 5.7 37,946 77,426 39,445 37,248 612 36,636 2,197 5.6 37,981 77,542 39,659 37,402 582 36,820 2,257 5.7 37,883 77,656 39,878 37,574 540 37,034 2,304 5.8 37,778 77,766 39,857 37,604 567 37,037 2,254 5.7 37,909 77,876 39,751 37,496 582 36,914 2,255 5.7 38,125 77,981 40,137 37,602 552 37,051 2,534 6.3 37,844 78,090 40,246 37,576 616 36,960 2,670 6.6 37,844 78,211 40,125 37,530 541 36,989 2,596 6.5 38,086 78,360 40,471 37,769 565 37,204 2,702 6.7 37,889 16,447 9,540 7,981 395 7,586 1,559 16.3 6,907 16,379 9,512 7,984 356 7,628 1,528 16.1 6,867 16,387 9,481 7,986 355 7,631 1,495 15.8 6,906 16,377 9,227 7,693 340 7,353 1,534 16.6 7,150 16,367 9,520 7,976 359 7,617 1,544 16.2 6,847 16,370 9,473 7,919 351 7,568 1,554 16.4 6,897 16,360 9,498 7,986 335 7,651 1,512 15.9 6,862 16,326 9,559 8,032 350 7,682 1,527 16.0 6,767 16,317 9,497 7,952 344 7,608 1,545 16.3 6,820 16,305 9,365 7,818 325 7,493 1,547 16.5 6,940 16,302 9,346 7,859 381 7,478 1,487 15.9 6,956 16,291 9,168 7,683 370 7,313 1,485 16.2 7,123 16,281 9,429 7,616 379 7,237 1,813 19.2 6,852 16,271 9,197 7,497 380 7,117 1,700 18.5 7,074 16,268 9,334 7,560 401 7,159 1,774 19.0 6,934 139,580 88,456 83,836 4,620 5.2 51,124 141,614 90,602 86,025 4,577 5.1 51,011 141,661 90,659 86,120 4,539 5.0 51,107 141,822 90,759 85,976 4,783 5.3 51,161 141,981 91,082 86,425 4,657 5.1 50,900 142,296 91,147 86,454 4,693 5.1 51,149 142,461 91,242 86,571 4,671 5.1 51,219 142,645 91,579 86,894 4,685 5.1 51,066 142,806 142,951 91,852 91,977 86,895 87,081 4,896 4,957 5.4 5.3 50,954 50,975 143,115 91,821 86,822 4,999 5.4 51,294 143,254 92,083 86,385 5,698 6.2 51,171 143,403 92,535 86,148 6,386 6.9 50,868 19,361 11,964 10,537 1,427 11.9 7,397 19,918 12,306 10,920 1,386 11.3 7,612 19,943 12,386 11,023 1,363 11.0 7,579 19,979 12,343 10,982 1,361 11.0 7,639 20,032 12,404 11,063 1,341 10.8 7,264 20,079 12,512 11,076 1,436 11.5 7,567 20,128 12,391 11,044 1,347 10.9 7,737 20,163 12,432 11,024 1,408 11.3 7,731 20,301 12,266 10,823 1,443 11.8 8,035 20,346 12,319 10,771 1,549 12.6 8,027 20,395 12,559 10,813 1,746 13.9 7,836 TOTAL Total noninstitutional population1 .......................... Total labor force ...................................... Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ................................ Employed ...................................... Agriculture .............................. Nonagricultural industries ........ Unemployed .................................. Unemployment rate ........................ Not in labor force .................................. Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Both sexes, 16-19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ White Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ 143,565 143,770 92,096 92,456 85,792 86,063 6,303 6,392 6.9 6.8 51,469 51,314 Black and other Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ 1As in table 1, population figures are not seasonally adjusted. NOTE; The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1979. 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c = corrected. 20,214 12,453 10,979 1,474 11.8 7,761 20,261 12,362 10,937 1,424 11.5 7,899 20,448 12,446 10,751 1,695 13.6 8,002 20,523 12,739 10,932 1,807 14.2 7,784 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ In thousands] Annual average 1979 Selected categories 1980 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Mayc June July 94,373 55,491 38,882 38,688 21,881 96,945 56,499 40,446 39,090 22,724 97,184 56,570 40,614 39,176 22,908 97,004 56,408 40,596 39,180 22,869 97,504 56,714 40,790 39,198 22,937 97,474 56,629 40,845 39,124 22,919 97,608 56,580 41,028 38,845 22,940 97,912 56,734 41,178 38,924 23,027 97,804 56,486 41,318 38,749 23,111 97,953 56,732 41,221 38,955 23,178 97,656 56,601 41,051 38,745 23,202 97,154 55,998 41,156 38,342 23,080 96,988 55,823 41,165 38,147 23,155 96,537 55,457 41,079 38,193 23,144 96,996 55,629 41,367 37,999 23,097 47,205 14,245 49,342 15,050 49,536 15,057 49,663 15,068 49,816 15,141 49,738 15,057 49,912 15,131 49,911 15,272 50,313 15,337 50,448 15,444 50,302 15,397 50,405 15,542 50,606 15,551 50,861 15,712 51,114 15,741 10,105 5,951 16,904 31,531 12,386 10,875 3,541 4,729 12,839 2,798 10,516 6,163 17,613 32,066 12,880 10,909 3,612 4,665 12,834 2,703 10,612 6,163 17,704 32,051 12,876 10,884 3,627 4,664 12,766 2,678 10,698 6,145 17,752 31,849 12,761 10,909 3,604 4,575 12,621 2,707 10,659 6,181 17,835 32,209 12,993 10,964 3,617 4,635 12,859 2,722 10,639 6,261 17,781 32,205 13,001 10,967 3,593 4,644 12,937 2,695 10,617 6,362 17,802 32,110 12,925 10,963 3,628 4,594 12,899 2,718 10,535 6,346 17,758 32,302 13,041 11,042 3,635 4,584 12,970 2,694 10,608 6,452 17,915 31,882 12,814 10,678 3,616 4,774 12,979 2,660 10,971 6,185 17,848 31,754 12,728 10,661 3,571 4,795 13,080 2,764 10,755 6,113 18,037 31,670 12,767 10,579 3,558 4,767 12,981 2,733 10,745 5,988 18,129 31,127 12,773 10,408 3,483 4,463 13,034 2,658 10,882 6,022 18,152 30,681 12,523 10,336 3,421 4,402 13,932 2,745 10,911 5,981 18,256 30,243 12,301 10,131 3,395 4,416 12,930 2,606 11,046 6,128 18,199 30,149 12,382 10,134 3,335 4,299 13,045 2,689 1,419 1,607 316 1,413 1,580 304 1,419 1,558 291 1,384 1,614 310 1,399 1,642 325 1,381 1,602 313 1,475 1,622 310 1,451 1,596 310 1,428 1,554 293 1,417 1,648 283 1,449 1,600 300 1,370 1,591 281 1,405 1,662 289 1,365 1,590 269 1,352 1,631 292 84,253 15,289 68,966 1,363 67,603 6,305 472 86,540 15,369 71,171 1,240 69,931 6,652 455 86,454 15,393 71,061 1,219 69,842 6,752 519 86,421 15,279 71,142 1,211 69,931 6,689 450 86,912 15,407 71,505 1,313 70,192 6,731 449 86,982 15,423 71,559 1,261 70,298 6,812 430 87,020 15,358 71,662 1,211 70,451 6,781 417 87,384 15,397 71,987 1,228 70,759 6,737 409 87,578 15,414 72,163 1,132 71,031 6,752 379 87,419 15,540 71,879 1,178 70,702 6,899 397 87,221 15,622 71,599 1,115 70,484 6,825 376 86,741 15,668 71,072 1,123 69,949 6,813 363 86,631 15,799 70,832 1,206 69,625 6,648 411 86,257 15,891 70,365 1,219 69,147 6,666 445 86,407 15,760 70,647 1,245 69,402 6,765 441 85,693 70,543 3,216 1,249 1,967 11,934 88,133 72,647 3,281 1,325 1,956 12,205 88,769 72,915 3,274 1,334 1,940 12,580 88,855 73,053 3,298 1,401 1,897 12,504 88,723 73,159 3,167 1,273 1,894 12,397 88,638 73,204 3,315 1,354 1,961 12,119 88,617 72,997 3,392 1,413 1,979 12,228 89,180 73,137 3,519 1,491 2,028 12,524 89,454 73,223 3,513 1,549 1,964 12,718 88,985 73,110 3,406 1,380 2,026 12,469 88,585 72,749 3,418 1,463 1,955 12,418 87,660 71,807 3,816 1,709 2,107 12,037 87,680 71,224 4,349 2,064 2,285 12,106 87,910 71,206 3,999 1,781 2,217 12,706 87,454 70,649 4,113 1,847 2,266 12,692 CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over .................. Men .............................. Women........................ Married men, spouse present ...................... Married women, spouse present.................. OCCUPATION White-collar workers.................................. Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm .............................................. Salesworkers.......................................... Clerical workers.............................. Blue-collar workers...................................... Craft and kindred workers ........................ Operatives, except transport.......................... Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers.......................................... Service workers .............................. Farmworkers .................................. MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers.............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers.............................. Government ........................................ Private industries.................................... Private households .......................... Other industries .............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers ............................ PERSONS AT WORK' Nonagricultural industries .............................. Full-time schedules ...................................... Part time for economic reasons...................... Usually work full time.............................. Usually work part tim e............................ Part time for noneconomic reasons................ 'Excludes persons with a job but not at work vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis during the survey period for such reasons as NOTE: The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1979 c = corrected. 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] 1980 1979 Annual average Selected categories 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Mayc June July Total, 16 years and over...................................... Men, 20 years and over................................ Women, 20 years and over .......................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ............................ 6.0 4.2 6.0 16.3 5.8 4.1 5.7 16.1 5.7 4.1 5.5 15.8 5.9 4.2 5.9 16.6 5.8 4.2 5.5 16.2 5.9 4.2 5.7 16.4 5.8 4.3 5.6 15.9 5.9 4.2 5.7 16.0 6.2 4.7 5.8 16.3 6.0 4.6 5.7 16.5 6.2 4.9 5.7 15.9 7.0 5.9 6.3 16.2 7.8 6.6 6.6 19.2 7.7 6.7 6.5 18.5 7.8 6.7 6.7 19.0 White, total .................................................. Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 5.2 3.7 5.2 13.9 5.1 3.6 5.0 13.9 5.0 3.6 4.8 13.8 5.3 3.7 5.2 14.8 5.1 3.7 4.8 14.3 5.1 3.7 5.0 14.1 5.1 3.7 4.9 13.9 5.1 3.7 5.0 13.9 5.4 4.1 5.1 14.0 5.3 4.0 5.2 13.8 5.4 4.4 4.9 13.8 6.2 5.3 5.5 14.6 6.9 5.9 5.8 17.4 6.8 6.0 5.8 16.4 6.9 6.0 5.9 16.7 Black and other, total.................................... Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 11.9 8.6 10.6 36.3 11.3 8.4 10.1 33.5 11.0 8.4 10.0 31.5 11.0 8.1 10.3 32.6 10.8 8.0 9.8 32.3 11.5 8.6 10.2 35.1 10.9 8.4 9.5 32.8 11.3 8.6 10.0 34.3 11.8 9.6 10.0 34.6 11.5 9.2 9.0 37.9 11.8 9.3 10.5 33.0 12.6 10.9 11.4 29.8 13.9 12.0 11.9 35.2 13.6 12.6 10.9 34.4 14.2 12.7 11.5 36.6 Married men, spouse present........................ Married women, spouse present.................... Women who head families............................ Full-time workers.......................................... Part-time workers ........................................ Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost1 .................................. 2.8 5.5 8.5 5.5 9.0 1.4 6.5 2.7 5.1 8.3 5.3 8.7 1.2 6.3 2.8 4.9 8.1 5.3 8.3 1.0 6.4 2.9 5.3 7.9 5.4 8.8 1.1 6.4 2.9 4.8 7.7 5.3 8.4 1.1 6.2 2.9 5.2 8.4 5.4 8.9 1.2 6.4 2.9 4.8 8.4 5.4 8.3 1.1 6.4 2.8 5.0 8.4 5.4 8.5 1.2 6.4 3.4 5.2 9.2 5.7 8.7 1.3 6.7 3.1 5.4 8.5 5.6 8.9 1.2 6.6 3.4 5.3 8.7 5.8 8.3 1.3 6.8 4.1 5.7 9.3 6.6 8.9 1.6 7.5 4.7 6.3 8.3 7.5 9.3 1.6 8.8 4.9 6.1 8.4 7.4 8.8 1.7 8.3 5.1 6.2 8.9 7.6 8.7 1.8 8.5 3.5 2.6 3.3 2.4 3.3 2.5 3.5 2.5 3.3 2.4 3.4 2.7 3.2 2.4 3.3 2.3 3.4 2.2 3.4 2.3 3.3 2.3 3.7 2.4 3.9 2.7 3.7 2.6 3.7 2.4 2.1 4.1 4.9 6.9 4.6 8.1 5.2 10.7 7.4 3.8 2.1 3.9 4.6 6.9 4.5 8.4 5.4 10.8 7.1 3.8 2.0 3.5 4.5 6.8 4.4 8.3 5.1 11.0 7.1 4.2 2.3 4.0 4.9 7.3 4.7 8.9 6.2 11.3 7.1 3.9 2.2 3.8 4.5 7.1 4.3 9.0 6.1 11.0 6.7 4.1 2.2 3.8 4.7 7.2 4.6 9.1 5.6 10.7 6.8 4.3 1.9 3.7 4.4 7.5 4.9 9.0 5.2 12.2 6.6 4.5 2.0 3.8 4.6 7.2 4.4 9.0 5.0 12.2 6.6 4.3 1.9 4.4 4.8 8.0 4.9 9.9 6.9 12.3 6.9 4.4 2.2 4.5 4.7 7.7 4.8 9.2 6.7 12.0 6.9 3.9 2.4 4.0 4.5 8.0 5.4 9.3 6.6 13.0 7.1 4.0 2.6 4.7 5.1 9.7 6.7 11.6 8.9 14.1 8.0 5.0 2.7 4.5 5.4 11.3 8.1 14.0 9.0 15.4 8.5 4.8 2.4 4.4 5.3 11.5 8.0 13.8 10.5 16.2 8.1 4.2 2.5 4.2 5.4 11.5 7.4 14.6 10.5 16.1 8.4 4.8 5.9 10.6 5.5 4.9 6.3 3.7 6.9 5.1 3.9 8.8 5.7 10.2 5.5 5.0 6.4 3.7 6.5 4.9 3.7 9.1 5.7 10.0 5.7 5.4 6.2 3.8 6.3 4.9 3.6 9.7 6.0 10.1 5.9 5.4 6.8 3.7 6.5 5.2 3.7 9.9 5.8 9.6 6.0 5.3 7.1 4.0 6.4 4.7 3.3 10.0 5.9 9.9 6.0 5.5 6.8 3.8 6.4 4.9 4.0 9.9 5.8 10.2 5.9 5.6 6.3 4.2 6.5 4.6 3.6 10.1 5.8 10.3 5.9 5.5 6.4 4.1 6.4 4.7 3.6 9.4 6.2 10.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 4.4 6.6 4.6 3.8 10.3 6.0 10.5 6.4 6.3 6.7 4.4 6.4 4.6 4.0 9.2 6.2 13.0 6.5 6.4 6.7 3.8 6.3 4.9 4.2 10.2 7.1 15.1 7.9 8.3 7.4 4.6 7.0 5.1 4.4 11.9 8.2 17.5 9.9 10.5 8.8 5.1 7.6 5.7 4.2 11.7 8.3 16.5 9.9 11.2 8.0 5.2 8.0 5.7 3.5 9.7 8.2 16.1 10.3 11.2 8.8 5.8 7.5 5.7 4.1 10.8 CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers .......................................... Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except ‘arm ........................................................ Salesworkers .............................................. Clerical workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................ Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................ Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers ........................................ Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers...................................................... INDUSTRY Nonagricuitural private wage and salary workers2 Construction ................................................ Manufacturing.............................................. Durable goods ...................................... Nondurable goods.................................. Transportation and public utilities .................. Wholesale and retail trad e............................ Finance and service industries ...................... Government workers .......................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers .................. 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1979. c = corrected. 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1979 Reason for unemployment 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Mayc June July 2,526 797 1,729 846 1,762 726 2,680 915 1,765 875 1,788 745 2,632 855 1,777 825 1,760 801 2,731 929 1,802 835 1,762 804 2,729 987 1,742 845 1,698 736 2,728 944 1,784 800 1,771 858 2,988 1,019 1,969 779 1,797 811 2,907 1,031 1,876 813 1,784 827 3,047 1,129 1,918 788 1,803 805 3,611 1,424 2,188 926 1,967 743 4,301 1,944 2,357 992 2,015 884 4,625 2,117 2,508 898 1,822 863 4,558 1,975 2,583 857 1,868 930 100.0 43.1 13.6 29.5 14.4 30.1 12.4 100.0 44.0 15.0 29.0 14.4 29.4 12.2 100.0 43.7 14.2 29.5 13.7 29.2 13.3 1000 44.5 15.2 29.4 13.6 28.7 13.1 100.0 45.4 16.4 29.0 14.1 28.3 12.3 100.0 44.3 15.3 29.0 13.0 28.8 13.9 100.0 46.9 16.0 30.9 12.2 28.2 12.7 100.0 45.9 16.3 29.6 12.8 28.2 13.1 100.0 47.3 17.5 29.8 12.2 28.0 12.5 100.0 49.8 19.6 30.2 12.8 27.1 10.3 100.0 52.5 23.7 28.8 12.1 24.6 10.8 100.0 56.3 25.8 30.6 10.9 22.2 10.5 100.0 55.5 24.0 31.5 10.4 22.7 11.3 2.5 .8 1.7 .7 2.6 .8 1.7 .7 2.5 .8 1.7 .8 2.6 .8 1.7 .8 2.6 .8 1.6 .7 2.6 .8 1.7 .8 2.9 .7 1.7 .8 2.8 .8 1.7 .8 2.9 .8 1.7 .8 3.5 .9 1.9 .7 4.1 .9 1.9 .8 4.4 .9 1.7 .8 4.3 .8 1.8 .9 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last job ............................................................ Or layoff .................................................................... Other job losers ...................................................... Left last jo b ................................................ Reentered labor force .................................................. Seeking first jo b .............................................. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed .................................................................. Job losers................................................................ On layoff ............................................................ Other job losers ................................................................ Job leavers ............................................................ Reentrants ........................................................ New entrants.............................................................. UNEMPLOYED AS A PERCENT OF THE CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers.................................................................... Job leavers........................................................ Reentrants ............................................................ New entrants............................................................ 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks.............................................. 5 to 14 weeks .................................................... 15 weeks and over ............................................ 15 to 26 weeks............................................ 27 weeks and over ...................................... Average (mean) duration, in weeks...................... Annual average 1979 1980 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May0 June July 2,793 1,875 1,379 746 633 11.9 2,869 1,892 1,202 684 518 10.8 2,820 1,934 1,067 615 452 10.1 3,168 1,738 1,185 658 527 10.7 2,778 2,035 1,152 644 508 10.7 2,955 1,963 1,195 678 517 10.5 2,919 1,869 1,191 660 531 10.6 2,916 1,966 1,230 711 519 10.5 3,184 1,907 1,334 795 539 10.5 2,995 2,081 1,286 790 496 10.7 2,995 2,169 1,363 776 587 11.0 3,309 2,391 1,629 953 676 11.3 3,872 2,697 1,722 1,014 709 10.5 3,333 2,922 1,766 1,027 739 11.7 3,363 2,700 1,915 1,057 858 11.6 NOTE: The monthly data in these tables have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1979. c = corrected. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS E m p l o y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n in g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 166,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. L a b o r t u r n o v e r d a t a in this section are compiled from per sonnel records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies. A sample of 40,000 establishments represents all industries in the manufacturing and mining sectors of the economy. Bureau of Labor Statistics computes spendable earnings from gross weekly earnings for only two illustrative cases: (1) a worker with no dependents and (2) a married worker with three dependents. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Labor turnover is the movement of all wage and salary workers from one employment status to another. Accession rates indicate the average number of persons added to a payroll in a given period per 100 employees; separation rates indicate the average number dropped from a payroll per 100 employees. Although month-to-month changes in employment can be calculated from the labor turnover data, the re sults are not comparable with employment data from the employment and payroll survey. The labor turnover survey measures changes dur ing the calendar month while the employment and payroll survey measures changes from midmonth to midmonth. Notes on the data Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 14-20 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities, in wholesale and retail trade, in finance, in surance, and real estate, and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to eliminate the effects of price change. The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from aver age hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Spendable earnings are earnings from which estimat ed social security and Federal income taxes have been deducted. The 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of June 1980 data, published in the August 1980 issue of the R e view. Consequently, data published in the R e v ie w prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through March 1980 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through March 1980) and in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta tes , 1 9 0 9 - 7 8 , BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). Data on recalls were shown for the first time in tables 12 and 13 in the January 1978 issue of the R ev ie w . For a detailed discussion of the recalls series, along with historical data, see “New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Survey,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, Decem ber 1977, pp. 10-19. A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-2 0 . See also B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1976). The formulas used to construct the spendable average weekly earn ings series reflect the latest provisions of the Federal income tax and social security tax laws. For the spendable average weekly earnings formulas for the years 1978-80, see E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, March 1980, pp. 10-11. Real earnings data are adjusted using the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). 8. Employment by industry, 1950-79 [Nonagricultural payroll data, inthousands] Year Total Mining Construc tion Manufac turing Trans portation and public utilities Whole sale and retail trade Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insur ance, and real estate Services Government Total Federal State and local 1950 .......................... 45,197 901 2,364 15,241 4,034 9,386 2,635 6,751 1,888 5,357 6,026 1,928 4,098 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 ...................................... ........................................ .............................................. ...................................... .......................................... 47,819 48,793 50,202 48,990 50,641 929 898 866 791 792 2,637 2,668 2,659 2,646 2,839 16,393 16,632 17,549 16,314 16,882 4,226 4,248 4,290 4,084 4,141 9,742 10,004 10,247 10,235 10,535 2,727 2,812 2,854 2,867 2,926 7,015 7,192 7,393 7,368 7,610 1,956 2,035 2,111 2,200 2,298 5,547 5,699 5,835 5,969 6,240 6,389 6,609 6,645 6,751 6,914 2,302 2,420 2,305 2,188 2,187 4,087 4,188 4,340 4,563 4,727 1956 1957 1958 1959’ 1960 .......................................... ............................................ .......................................... ............................................ ................................................ 52,369 52,853 51,324 53,268 54,189 822 828 751 732 712 3,039 2,962 2,817 3,004 2,926 17,243 17,174 15,945 16,675 16,796 4,244 4,241 3,976 4,011 4,004 10,858 10,886 10,750 11,127 11,391 3,018 3,028 2,980 3,082 3,143 7,840 7,858 7,770 8,045 8,248 2,389 2,438 2,481 2,549 2,629 6,497 6,708 6,765 7,087 7,378 7,278 7,616 7,839 8,083 8,353 2,209 2,217 2,191 2,233 2,270 5,069 5,399 5,648 5,850 6,083 1961 1962 '963 1964 1965 .................................. .............................. .............................. ................................ .............................................. 53,999 55,549 56,653 58,283 60,765 672 650 635 634 632 2,859 2,948 3,010 3,097 3,232 16,326 16,853 16,995 17,274 18,062 3,903 3,906 3,903 3,951 4,036 11,337 11,566 11,778 12,160 12,716 3,133 3,198 3,248 3,337 3,466 8,204 8,368 8,530 8,823 9,250 2,688 2,754 2,830 2,911 2,977 7,620 7,982 8,277 8,660 9,036 8,594 8,890 9,225 9,596 10,074 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,378 6,315 6,550 6,868 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ................................ .................................... .................................... ........................ .................................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........................................ ............................................ ............................................ .......................... ............................................ 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 ............................................ .......................................... ...................................... ...................................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,886 779 813 851 960 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,483 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,062 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,141 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,269 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 13,209 13,808 14,573 15,066 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,974 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,078 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,920 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 'Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, inthousands] State June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p State June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 294.2 641.2 384.5 382.2 3,087.5 286.6 634.4 397.6 381.7 3,046.9 291.0 634.2 399.8 385.8 3,096.6 Alabama .............. Alaska .................. Arizona ................ Arkansas .............. California.............. 1,366.6 1,360.0 1,344.8 954.1 755.1 9,707.0 1,003.4 751.4 9,803.8 979.9 747.6 9,820.5 Montana.......................................... Nebraska............................................ Nevada ................................ New Hampshire .............................. New Jersey ........................ Colorado.............. Connecticut.......... Delaware.............. District of Columbia. Florida.................. 1,229.5 1,419.4 261.0 621.2 3,380.3 1,251.8 1,415.0 260.7 619.5 3,534.3 1,259.7 1,417.8 2588 622.1 3,519.2 New Mexico.................................... New York...................................... North Carolina ........................ North Dakota ................................ Ohio ........................................ 466.5 7,269.4 2,399.5 250.6 4,562.9 477.3 7,199,3 2,423.9 250.7 4,432.5 477.7 7,240.3 2,429.9 250.6 4,450.7 Georgia................ Hawaii.................. Idaho.................... Illinois'.................. Indiana.................. 2,119.3 395.9 342.7 4,920.0 2,285.2 2,134.2 409.5 328.6 4,836.7 2,230.2 2,124.5 410.5 329.5 4,846.6 2,217.9 Oklahoma ...................................... Oregon .................................. Pennsylvania .................................... Rhode Island ...................................... South Carolina .................................. 1,095.8 1,074.0 4,911.3 404.5 1,193.7 1,134.0 1,036.2 4,834.4 392.3 1,200.7 1,137.9 1,041.2 4,831.1 395.0 1,194.1 Iowa .................... Kansas ................ Kentucky.............. Louisiana.............. Maine .................. 1,141.9 957.6 1,259.8 1,494.1 426.8 1,125.3 955.5 ,221.1 1,521.1 415.9 1 1,107.0 953.7 1,207.9 1,530.9 425.2 South Dakota.................................. Tennessee .................................. Texas .............................................. Utah .................................. Vermont............................................ 249.0 1,805.9 5,621.3 550.9 197.9 243,9 1,787.6 5,761.4 567.5 197.2 247.1 1,765.9 5,779.6 568.7 198.6 Maryland.............. Massachusetts . . . . Michigan .............. Minnesota ............ Mississippi ............ Missouri................ 1,652.0 2,617.0 3,684.7 1,800.6 850.1 2,027.0 1,642.9 2,667.9 3,423.2 1,798.2 830.3 1,994.9 1,639.1 2,689.8 3,439.1 1,814.6 820.2 1,986.4 Virginia.................................... Washington ........................ West Virginia ...................................... Wisconsin.................................. Wyoming ........................ 2,122.5 1,602.8 639.8 1,991.8 208.1 2,119.9 1,634,4 636.4 1,975.8 216.7 2,130.7 1,640.3 634.3 1,995.0 219.7 35.8 368 36.7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Virgin Islands .................................... 77 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] 1980 1979 Annual average Industry division and group 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep JulyP TOTAL ........................................................ 86,697 89,886 90,018 90,093 90,629 91,062 91,288 91,394 89,630 89,781 90,316 90,761 90,849 90,975 89,682 MINING ............................................................ 851 960 979 989 983 984 986 985 982 987 996 1,006 1,024 1,046 1,030 CONSTRUCTION .............................................. 4,229 4,483 4,813 4,863 4,801 4,792 4,698 4,536 4,194 4,109 4,150 4,311 4,471 4,603 4,631 MANUFACTURING Production workers................................ 20,505 14,734 21,062 15,085 21,054 15,026 21,096 15,048 21,295 15,265 21,193 15,170 21,055 15,034 20,987 14,964 20,777 14,738 20,730 14,678 20,793 14,727 20,533 14,466 20,250 14,172 20,187 14,080 19,663 13,617 Durable goods Production workers................................ 12,274 8,805 12,772 9,120 12,797 9,105 12,683 8,979 12,891 9,190 12,824 9,131 12,744 9,054 12,733 9,040 12,600 8,885 12,599 8,869 12,647 8,909 12,414 8,672 12,150 8,409 12,050 8,293 11,723 8,005 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures.................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ Machinery, except electrical.......................... Electric and electronic equipment.................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 754.7 494.1 698.2 1,214.9 1,672.6 2,325.5 2,006.1 2,002.8 653.1 451.5 766.1 499.3 709.7 1,250.2 1,723.7 2,481.6 2,124.3 2,082.8 688.9 445.6 785.4 486.5 726.0 1,267.4 1,711.8 2,504.9 2,127.6 2,063.0 691.2 433.2 788.2 497.1 726.5 1,250.6 1,711.7 2,489.7 2,105.7 1,965.5 693.7 454.5 785.0 499.6 721.6 1,250.6 1,731.4 2,513.8 2,152.8 2,087.4 691.6 457.1 780.0 502.5 718.6 1,231.4 1,733.8 2,465.1 2,162.0 2,076.5 694.6 459.7 757.2 503.1 710.3 1,222.6 1,733.3 2,458.7 2,164.0 2,044.2 694.9 455.5 737.4 501.8 697.4 1,209.9 1,725.2 2,471.6 2,171.9 2,079.3 698.8 439.4 717.4 498.0 678.2 1,207.2 1,696.8 2,538.5 2,162.9 1,975.8 697.7 427.7 718.9 494.6 674.7 1,205.1 1,699.4 2,536.5 2,157.7 1,983.1 700.5 428.8 716.9 494.1 679.0 1,203.7 1,703.8 2,539.9 2,167.7 2,005.6 703.6 432.9 678.4 488.7 675.5 1,193.8 1,671.4 2,523.5 2,156.2 1,891.1 702.2 433.0 654.8 469.1 668.1 1,149.8 1,619.8 2,509.3 2,120.2 1,835.1 699.4 424.6 669.2 458.8 666.0 1,112.8 1,593.1 2,487.2 2,098.1 1,843.4 702.8 418.9 668.2 432.7 659.7 1,046.6 1,515.7 2,446.3 2,058.1 1,802.7 693.8 399.6 Nondurable goods ........................................ Production workers................................ 8,231 5,929 8,290 5,965 8,257 5,921 8,413 6,069 8,404 6,075 8,369 6,039 8,311 5,980 8,254 5,924 8,177 5,853 8,131 5,809 8,146 5,818 8,119 5,794 8,100 5,763 8,137 5,787 7.940 5,612 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures ................................ Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products ................ Paper and allied products ............................ Printing and publishing.................................. Chemicals and allied products ...................... Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 1,724.1 70.6 899.1 1,332.3 698.7 1,192.0 1,095.5 207.7 754.5 256.8 1,728.1 69.9 8885 1,312.5 706.7 1,239.5 1,110.7 210.0 775.6 248.0 1,749.5 65.0 872.3 1,276.0 711.8 1,242.3 1,120.9 213.9 776.0 228.8 1,828.8 73.8 886.8 1,308.1 715.6 1,242.5 1,119.0 214.1 774.1 250.4 1,834.5 77.5 885.0 1,308.8 710.5 1,243.0 1,112.7 213.7 770.2 247.9 1,781.8 77.4 886.1 1,317.3 709.3 1,251.4 1,113.7 213.5 770.8 247.9 1,736.3 68.6 890.4 1,305.8 707.8 1,262.0 1,113.9 212.6 765.9 247.6 1,706.2 70.8 889.7 1,287.1 705.9 1,268.5 1,114.2 210.6 755.6 245.2 1,659.9 69.1 884.0 1,282.0 703.5 1,266.3 1,113.1 208.6 750.3 240.3 1,644.1 67.1 884.6 1,305.8 701.9 1,270.4 1,112.1 155.9 746.3 242.6 1,641.1 64.4 886.9 1,318.4 701.8 1,272.1 1,118.1 153.1 746.5 243.4 1,626.2 62.9 882.1 1,304.2 698.8 1,270.4 1,120.6 173.6 737.2 243.3 1,638.5 62.7 870.6 1,299.0 692.4 1,267.8 1,119.5 203.4 702.4 243.2 1,677.3 64.8 852.4 1,314.2 694.6 1,271.4 1,121.5 206.4 688.5 245.5 1,682 9 62.5 812.9 1,229.6 676.8 1,264.6 1,107.6 208.3 667.7 227.5 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . 4,923 5,141 5,187 5,197 5,229 5,233 5,243 5,240 5,136 5,130 5,143 5,147 5,167 5,185 5,152 19,542 20,269 20,254 20,296 20,425 20,474 20,756 21,114 20,325 20,155 20,226 20,373 20,497 20,540 20,496 WHOLESALE TRADE ........................................ 4,969 5,204 5,243 5,243 5,239 5,266 5,282 5,264 5,241 5,250 5,269 5,265 5,263 5,283 5,275 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 14,573 15,066 15,011 15,053 15,186 15,208 15,474 15,850 15,084 14,905 14,957 15,108 15,234 15,257 15,221 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . . 4,724 4,974 5,048 5,068 5,015 5,025 5,039 5,047 5,052 5,061 5,085 5,104 5,137 5,201 5,220 SERVICES ........................................................ 16,252 17,078 17,324 17,315 17,238 17,297 17,284 17,271 17,135 17,317 17,478 17,636 17,747 17,825 17,929 GOVERNMENT .................................................. Federal........................................................ State and local ............................................ 15,672 2,753 12,919 15,920 2,773 13,147 15,359 2,838 12,521 15,269 2,844 12,425 15,643 2,751 12,892 16,064 2,756 13,308 16,227 2,760 13,467 16,214 2,770 13,444 16,029 2,763 13,266 16,292 2,803 13,489 16,445 2,869 13,576 16,651 3,103 13,548 16,556 2,963 13,593 16,388 2,994 13,394 15,561 2,918 12,643 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] 1979 Industry division and group TOTAL .................................... MINING CONSTRUCTION ............ MANUFACTURING............................ Production workers.................................. Durable goods Production workers.................................... Lumber and wood products .................. Furniture and fixtures.......................... Stone, clay, and glass products ............................ Primary metal industries.......................... Fabricated metal products................................ Machinery, except electrical.................................. Electric and electronic equipment.......................... Transportation equipment.......................... Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing ............................ Nondurable goods ............................ Production workers.................................. Food and kindred products...................... Tobacco manufactures .................... Textile mill products............................ Apparel and other textile products .............................. Paper and allied products ................................ Printing and publishing...................................... Chemicals and allied products .................. Petroleum and coal products ............................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .......... Leather and leather products...................... TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE.................... WHOLESALE TRADE .................. RETAIL TRADE FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .................... 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep JulyP 90,054 90,222 90,283 90,441 90,552 90,678 91,031 91,186 91,144 90,951 90,468 89,973 89,735 963 974 976 982 985 992 999 1,007 1,009 1,023 1,026 1,013 1,012 4,491 4,499 4,507 4,529 4,553 4,615 4,745 4,659 4,529 4,467 4,436 4,371 4,320 21,128 15,140 21,055 15,046 21,071 15,058 21,043 15,025 20,966 14,948 20,983 14,956 20,971 14,911 20,957 14,871 20,938 14,850 20,642 14,550 20,286 14,186 19,999 13,919 19,742 13,722 12,841 9,173 12,782 9,103 12,822 9,129 12,764 9,069 12,693 9,001 12,706 9,009 12,681 8,953 12,715 8,967 12,707 8,961 12,442 8,686 12,140 8,386 11,933 8,191 11,772 8,064 766 499 709 1,260 1,726 2,513 2,140 2,092 691 445 764 499 710 1,250 1,713 2,509 2,109 2,089 693 446 767 497 708 1,242 1,723 2,518 2,140 2,090 693 444 768 498 709 1,236 1,723 2,478 2,149 2,063 696 444 757 498 704 1,230 1,722 2,460 2,150 2,033 695 444 746 497 704 1,219 1,718 2,459 2,163 2,057 698 445 743 497 705 1,215 1,707 2,532 2,169 1,970 699 444 745 495 705 1,214 1,711 2,529 2,168 2,006 702 440 737 494 700 1,209 1,711 2,530 2,176 2,006 705 439 689 491 680 1,193 1,678 2,518 2,167 1,885 703 438 654 472 663 1,144 1,620 2,517 2,127 1,819 700 424 649 459 647 1,096 1,579 2,477 2,090 1,827 696 413 651 443 644 1,040 1,528 2,454 2,071 1,837 693 411 8,287 5,967 8,273 5,943 8,249 5,929 8,279 5,956 8,273 5,947 8,277 5,947 8,290 5,958 8,242 5,904 8,231 5,889 8,200 8,146 5,800 8,066 5,728 7,970 5,658 1,722 71 1,722 70 883 1,305 708 1,244 1,712 70 881 1,298 708 1,245 1,723 70 885 1,302 709 1,251 1,114 1,725 64 887 1,294 708 1,259 1,116 1,724 1,716 67 1,713 1,704 1,691 70 869 1,291 692 1,268 1,677 71 842 1,291 684 1,269 1 656 767 247 766 247 762 246 889 1,296 708 1,261 1,118 213 756 246 1,690 69 884 1,302 702 1,272 1,123 175 740 243 886 1,316 709 1,243 1,112 1,110 208 781 239 209 774 248 5,156 5,182 5,185 5,203 5,216 20,254 20,301 20,352 20,414 5,214 5,222 5,228 15,040 15,079 1,110 211 66 888 1,305 710 1,269 68 888 1,313 709 1,273 68 888 1,316 708 1,274 1,123 157 749 244 5,864 68 825 1,269 674 1,266 1,099 203 672 238 1,121 1,121 214 755 245 161 751 245 5,212 5,202 5,198 5,202 5,178 5,167 5,134 5,121 20,479 20,448 20,529 20,637 20,610 20,531 20,487 20,437 20,496 5,246 5,269 5,251 5,278 5,302 5,301 5,286 5,268 5,241 5,244 15,124 15,168 15,210 15,197 15,251 15,335 15,309 15,245 15,219 15,196 15,252 212 212 1,120 203 703 239 1,111 202 681 238 4,989 5,019 5,017 5,033 5,049 5,064 5,091 5,101 5,115 5,119 5,137 5,150 5,158 SERVICES ...................... 17,114 17,152 17,192 17,264 17,308 17,362 17,462 17,540 17,580 17,618 17,659 17,631 17,716 GOVERNMENT Federal............................................ State and local ................................ 15,959 2,784 13,175 16,040 2,811 13,229 15,983 2,762 13,221 15,973 2,769 13,204 15,996 2,773 13,223 16,002 2,773 13,229 16,032 2,791 13,241 16,087 2,826 13,261 16,161 16,384 3,115 13,269 16,273 2,960 13,313 16,225 2,950 13,275 16,169 2,861 13,308 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2,886 13,275 79 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date [Per 100 employees] Year Annual average Jan. Mar. Feb. June May Apr. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4.3 4.4 4.3 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.9 4.5 3.9 4.3 4.1 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.9 3.4 3.0 3.5 3.1 2.2 2.6 2.2 Total accessions 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 »3.9 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.1 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.3 2.2 New hires 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.3 .7 .7 .9 1.1 .8 .9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.8 3.1 2.9 3.7 3.9 3.8 »2.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.5 Recalls 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .9 .7 .7 .8 .7 .8 .7 .9 .8 .8 .8 .8 1.0 .6 .6 .7 .5 .5 .5 .5 4.9 4.9 4.7 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.5 2.8 1.9 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 .9 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.7 .9 1.0 .8 .7 .8 .6 .6 .9 .9 .9 4.3 4.1 4.3 5.1 5.3 5.7 1.9 3.1 3.5 3.3 .8 .7 .7 p1.2 Total separations 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.9 4.0 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.7 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.9 p4.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.8 Quits 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.5 p 1.4 2.1 2.0 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 Layoffs 1977 1978 1979 1980 13. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.1 .9 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 1.4 .9 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.6 .8 1.2 .9 .8 .9 2.3 .7 .7 2.5 .8 1.3 .8 .7 .9 p2.0 1.5 1.1 1.0 .8 1.4 1.3 1.1 .8 1.1 1.5 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group [Per 100 employees] Separation rates Accession rates Layoffs Quits Total Recalls New hires Total Major industry group June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p June 1979 May 1980 June 1980 p MANUFACTURING.............................. Seasonally adjusted.......... 4.8 4.0 3.4 3.0 3.9 3.3 3.8 3.0 2.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 3.9 4.1 4.8 5.7 4.2 4.8 1.4 1.4 0.9 2.5 3.5 2.0 2.6 4.3 7.3 4.9 5.2 3.1 4.8 3.7 4.0 3.5 4.2 6.4 2.8 3.5 3.5 1.9 3.1 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.6 3.5 5.8 4.9 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.8 4.7 4.4 5.7 4.9 3.4 3.9 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.3 .6 1.3 1.0 1.2 .8 1.2 1.1 2.1 1.6 1.2 .5 1.2 .9 1.1 1.2 2.9 3.4 2.5 2.9 5.1 3.5 2.4 1.4 .5 .5 5.0 6.5 5.8 5.1 6.4 5.8 3.8 4.2 5.6 .7 1.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 Durable goods Lumber and wood products — Furniture and fixtures .............. Stone, clay, and glass products . Primary metal industries .......... Fabricated metal products........ Machinery, except electrical Electric and electronic equipment Transportation equipment ........ Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing . . . 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.7 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products Tobacco manufacturers............ Textile mill products ................ Apparel and other products Paper and allied products ........ Printing and publishing.............. Chemicals and allied products .. Petroleum and coal products . . . Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................. Leather and leather products . . , 5.5 9.0 3.7 5.0 5.7 3.9 4.3 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.8 5.5 3.1 3.9 6.8 6.1 2.2 1.8 .8 3.4 5.3 4.3 4.2 2.4 3.9 3.2 3.2 2.5 3.7 5.2 6.6 4.5 7.9 4.3 6.5 3.8 3.8 5.6 2.7 3.2 3.5 4.9 3.0 3.5 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.7 2.3 2.9 3.9 .9 3.0 3.5 1.7 2.0 3.2 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.9 4.2 2.0 3.2 4.1 2.7 3.8 2.5 2.8 2.2 1.6 3.1 3.3 3.7 2.6 6.0 3.3 7.0 4.0 5.7 5.1 5.5 6.9 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.1 2.2 2.6 2.6 1.5 2.6 2.0 5.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 .8 2.1 1.8 1.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 5.0 2.7 3.2 1.8 2.8 1.7 2.9 2.1 4.3 .5 .5 .7 .4 .8 2.9 .7 .6 1.8 .9 1.1 .3 .4 .4 .4 .6 .2 1.0 1.0 2.3 .7 .4 1.4 .5 .5 .3 .3 .5 1.1 .8 .2 1.2 1.1 2.3 1.1 .5 1.8 .8 3.5 .3 2.1 1.2 2.7 .5 1.4 .9 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.5 2.5 5.3 4.6 6.5 2.3 4.8 5.8 2.7 3.4 .5 .3 .5 .6 .3 .7 1.8 2.0 .9 1.4 1.5 5.3 7.8 1.0 3.7 3.0 2.8 6.0 2.8 2.1 1.0 2.2 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.6 5.1 2.9 4.6 5.6 1.9 4.8 4.1 4.9 3.3 6.1 3.0 3.4 2.0 2.3 6.7 7.2 4.1 5.0 3.3 3.3 2.0 1.8 6.0 6.1 2.0 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.3 1.4 2.3 .9 2.4 .3 2.4 3.0 .9 1.9 .7 3.1 4.3 3.5 2.6 .6 1.0 .6 1.8 2.1 2.5 .8 1.8 .6 .6 1.7 2.8 1.2 .8 .6 .6 .4 .8 .4 .5 1.4 .3 1.2 1.1 2.2 .8 .6 1.6 .5 .5 .3 .5 .9 2.4 2.0 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.3 4.4 2.8 1.7 1.9 4.0 .9 3.1 .9 2.4 1.8 1.5 2.4 .7 1.3 2.3 1.4 .8 .8 1.1 4.0 2.7 1.8 1.0 1.7 1.7 .9 ,8 .8 3.3 2.3 14. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1949-79 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Total private Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Mining 1949 1950 $50.24 53.13 39.4 39.8 $1,275 1.335 $62.33 67.16 36.3 37.9 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 57.86 60.65 63.76 64.52 67.72 39.9 39.9 39.6 39.1 39.6 1.45 1.52 1.61 1.65 1.71 74.11 77.59 83.03 82.60 89.54 38.4 38.6 38.8 38.6 40.7 1956 1957 1958 19591 1960 70.74 73.33 75.08 78.78 80.67 39.3 38.8 38.5 39.0 38.6 1.80 1.89 1.95 2.02 2.09 95.06 98.25 96.08 103.68 105.04 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 38.6 38.7 38.8 38.7 38.8 2.14 2.22 2.28 2.36 2.46 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 1976 1977 1978 1979 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.30 Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Construction Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing $1,717 1.772 $67.56 69.68 37.7 37.4 $1,792 1.863 $53.88 58.32 39.1 40.5 $1,378 1.440 1.93 76.96 82.86 86.41 88.91 90.90 38.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 37.1 2.02 2.14 2.14 2.20 2.13 2.28 2.39 2.45 63.34 66.75 70.47 70.49 75.30 40.6 40.7 40.5 39.6 40.7 1.56 1.64 1.74 1.78 1.85 40.8 40.1 38.9 40.5 40.4 2.33 2.45 2.47 2.56 2.60 96.38 100.27 103.78 108.41 112.67 37.5 37.0 36.8 37.0 36.7 2.57 2.71 2.82 2.93 3.07 78.78 81.19 82.32 88.26 89.72 40.4 39.8 39.2 40.3 39.7 1.95 2.04 2.10 2.19 2.26 106.92 110.70 114.40 117.74 123.52 40.5 41.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 2.64 2.70 2.75 2.81 2.92 118.08 122.47 127.19 132.06 138.38 36.9 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.4 3.20 3.31 3.41 3.55 3.70 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 2.32 2.39 2.45 2.53 2.61 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.6 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.50 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.50 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 7.71 209.32 228.90 249.27 268.94 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.69 Transportation and public utilities 2.01 8.10 8.66 9.27 Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services 1949 1950 $42.93 44.55 40.5 40.5 $1,060 1.100 $47.63 50.52 37.8 37.7 $1,260 1.340 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 47.79 49.20 51.35 53.33 55.16 40.5 40.0 39.5 39.5 39.4 1.18 1.23 1.30 1.35 1.40 54.67 57.08 59.57 62.04 63.92 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.6 37.6 1.45 1.51 1.58 1.65 1.70 1956 1957 1958 1959' 1960 57.48 59.60 61.76 64.41 66.01 39.1 38.7 38.6 38.8 38.6 1.47 1.54 1.60 1.66 1.71 65.68 67.53 70.12 72.74 75.14 36.9 36.7 37.1 37.3 37.2 1.78 1.84 1.89 1.95 2.02 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 67.41 69.91 72.01 74.66 76.91 38.3 38.2 38.1 37.9 37.7 1.76 1.83 1.89 1.97 2.04 77.12 80.94 84.38 85.79 88.91 36.9 37.3 37.5 37.3 37.2 2.09 2.17 2.25 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 , 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 '3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 1977 1978 1979 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.98 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.17 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 . . . . 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1980 1979 Annual average Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE.......................................... 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep July p 35.8 35.6 36.0 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.6 35.9 35.1 35.1 35.2 35.0 35.0 35.4 35.3 MINING.............................................................. 43.4 43.0 41.7 43.1 43.4 43.7 43.6 43.9 43.4 43.2 43.4 42.8 42.7 43.3 42.4 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 36.8 37.0 37.8 38.1 38.0 37.7 36.6 37.2 35.3 35.7 36.2 36.7 36.9 37.9 37.6 MANUFACTURING ............................................ Overtime hours...................................... 40.4 3.6 40.2 3.3 39.9 3.2 40.0 3.3 40.3 3.6 40.2 3.4 40.3 3.4 40.9 3.4 39.8 3.0 39.8 2.9 398 3.0 39.4 2.7 39.3 2.5 39.4 2.5 38.9 2.4 Durable goods Overtime hours...................................... 41.1 3.8 40.8 3.5 40.4 3.4 40.4 3.4 40.8 3.6 40.8 3.5 40.8 3.4 41.6 3.5 40.3 3.1 40.3 3.0 40.3 3.1 39.9 2.7 39.7 2.5 39.8 2.4 39.2 2.3 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 39.8 39.3 41.6 41.8 41.0 39.4 38.7 41.5 41.4 40.7 39.4 38.1 41.5 41.3 40.3 39.9 38.8 41.8 40.8 40.5 40.1 39.0 41.7 41.3 40.8 39.8 39.3 41.7 40.9 40.9 38.8 39.3 41.7 40.7 41.0 39.2 39.9 41.8 40.9 41.9 38.1 38.4 40.1 40.7 40.6 38.5 38.4 40.1 40.7 40.4 38.3 38.5 40.7 40.7 40.6 37.1 37.9 40.4 40.6 40.2 37.6 37.3 40.6 39.3 39.9 38.6 37.5 41.0 39.2 40.2 38.1 37.2 40.6 38.3 39.4 Machinery except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 42.1 40.3 42.2 40.9 38.8 41.8 40.3 41.1 40.8 38.8 41.2 39.6 40.9 40.3 38.5 41.2 39.7 40.5 40.4 38.8 41.8 40.5 40.7 40.7 39.2 41.5 40.3 41.3 40.8 39.1 41.8 40.8 40.8 41.4 39.4 42.7 41.3 42.7 41.7 39.5 41.5 40.2 40.0 41.0 38.8 41.5 40.2 40.4 40.8 38.6 41.5 40.0 40.4 40.6 38.8 41.1 39.6 39.8 40.4 38.4 40.8 39.3 39.9 40.3 38.2 40.8 39.4 39.9 40.6 38.3 40.0 38.5 39.6 39.6 38.1 Nondurable goods Overtime hours...................................... 39.4 3.2 39.3 3.1 39.2 3.0 39.4 3.2 39.6 3.5 39.4 3.2 39.6 3.3 39.9 3.2 39.0 2.9 38.9 38.9 2.9 38.7 2.7 38.7 2.5 38.7 2.5 38.6 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures.................................. Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 39.7 38.1 40.4 35.6 42.9 39.9 38.0 40.4 35.3 42.6 40.1 36.1 39.9 35.5 42.5 40.3 37.6 40.3 35.6 42.6 40.6 39.2 40.8 35.3 42.7 40.0 38.9 40.8 35.5 42.7 40.2 38.8 41.3 35.6 42.9 40.4 39.4 41.5 35.9 43.5 39.5 37.3 40.9 35.2 42.7 39.1 36.9 40.8 35.4 42.4 39.0 37.7 40.9 35.4 42.4 38.9 38.2 39.9 35.3 42.2 39.7 38.7 39.8 35.3 41.6 39.5 38.5 39.5 35.6 41.7 39.6 35.3 38.8 35.2 41.7 Printing and publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 37.6 41.9 43.6 40.9 37.1 37.5 41.9 43.8 40.5 36.5 37.4 41.7 44.1 40.2 36.9 37.9 41.8 43.6 40.0 36.6 37.9 41.8 44.7 40.5 36.8 37.5 41.7 44.1 40.5 36.5 37.9 42.2 44.8 40.3 36.8 38.1 42.2 43.5 40.7 37.3 37.2 41.7 36.2 40.3 36.7 37.0 41.6 39.7 39.9 36.8 37.2 41.7 39.4 40.0 36.4 36.8 41.6 41.1 39.7 36.7 36.9 41.3 42.3 39.0 37.0 36.8 41.1 42.3 39.3 37.3 36.8 40.9 43.8 38.9 36.7 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 40.0 39.9 40.0 40.3 39.9 40.0 40.2 40.0 39.5 39.4 39.5 39.5 39.3 39.6 39.8 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 32.9 32.6 33.3 33.2 32.6 32.4 32.4 32.9 31.9 31.9 32.0 31.8 31.9 32.4 32.6 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 38.8 38.8 39.0 39.0 38.8 38.9 38.9 39.1 38.5 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.5 38.6 38.5 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 31.0 30.6 31.5 31.4 30.6 30.4 30.4 31.0 29.8 29.8 29.9 29.7 29.9 30.4 30.7 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 36.4 36.2 36.2 36.1 36.1 36.2 36.3 36.4 36.2 36.3 36.3 36.2 36.1 36.5 36.4 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.4 32.3 32.8 33.1 SERVICES.......................................................... 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32.8 32.7 33.3 33.2 32.7 32.6 32.6 32.8 2.8 2.6 16. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1979 1980 Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE .............................................. MINING .................................................... July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 35.6 35.7 35.6 35.6 35.6 41.7 43.1 43.4 43.7 43.6 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 35.7 35.6 43.9 43.4 35.5 35.4 43.2 43.4 May Junep 35.3 35.1 35.1 35.0 42.8 42.7 43.3 42.4 July p CONSTRUCTION .................................... 36.9 37.3 37.5 368 37.0 37.2 37.3 37.1 36.6 36.7 36.8 37.1 36.7 MANUFACTURING................................................ Overtime hours............................................ 40.1 3.3 40.1 3.3 40.1 3.2 40.1 3.2 40.1 3.3 40.2 3.2 40.3 3.2 40.1 3.0 39.8 3.1 39.8 3.0 39.3 39.1 2.4 39.1 2.5 Durable goods Overtime hours............................................ 40.7 3.5 40.7 3.4 40.7 3.3 40.7 3.3 40.6 3.3 40.7 3.2 40.8 3.3 40.6 3.1 40.3 3.2 40.3 3.0 39.7 2.5 39.5 2.4 39.5 2.4 Lumber and wood products ................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .......................... Primary metal industries...................................... Fabricated metal products .................................. 39.3 38.5 41.4 41.3 40.7 39.6 38.6 41.4 41.0 40.6 39.6 38.7 41.5 41.1 40.7 39.2 38.8 41.3 41.1 40.8 38.9 38.9 41.4 40.8 40.7 39.0 38.9 41.5 40.7 40.9 39.4 39.2 41.4 40.8 40.9 39.1 39.0 41.2 40.8 40.8 38.7 38.5 40.9 40.7 40.7 37.3 38.5 40.6 40.6 40.8 37.5 37.6 40.3 39.2 39.9 37.8 37.2 40.4 38.9 39.8 38.0 37.6 40.5 38.3 39.8 Machinery, except electrical................................ Electric and electronic equipment ........................ Transportation equipment.................................... Instruments and related products ........................ Miscellaneous manufacturing .............................. 41.8 40.2 41.0 40.8 39.0 41.6 39.9 41.5 40.6 38.9 41.7 40.3 40.6 40.7 39.0 41.5 40.3 41.0 40.7 38.9 41.5 40.4 40.5 41.0 38.9 41.5 40.5 40.9 41.0 39.0 41.6 40.5 40.9 41.4 39.2 41.5 40.3 40.8 40.9 39.1 41.3 40.0 40.4 40.4 38.6 41.5 39.9 40.5 40.7 38.5 41.0 39.5 39.7 40.3 38.3 40.7 39.2 39.5 40.5 38.2 40.6 39.0 39.7 40.1 38.6 Nondurable goods Overtime hours............................................ 39.2 3.0 39.3 3.1 39.3 3.1 39.3 3.1 39.4 3.2 39.4 3.1 39.5 3.1- 39.4 2.9 39.0 3.0 39.1 3.0 38.9 38.5 2.5 38.6 Food and kindred products.................................. Tobacco manufactures ...................................... Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products ...................... Paper and allied products .................................. 39.8 38.1 40.3 35.3 42.5 39.8 38.1 40.3 35.3 42.6 40.0 38.4 40.7 35.2 42.5 39.9 38.3 40.8 35.4 42.6 39.9 37.8 41.0 35.3 42.7 39.9 38.5 41.0 35.6 42.8 39.8 38.5 41.5 36.0 43.0 39.7 37.9 41.1 35.9 42.9 39.3 37.7 40.8 35.3 42.6 39.6 38.2 40.3 35.8 42.5 39.9 38.2 39.7 35.3 41.7 39.5 37.5 39.0 35.2 41.4 39.4 37.3 39.2 35.0 41.7 Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products ............................ Petroleum and coal products .............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products........ Leather and leather products .............................. 37.5 41.8 43.6 40.6 36.6 37.8 41.9 43.6 40.2 36.5 37.5 41.8 44.0 40.3 36.8 37.4 41.7 43.5 40.2 36.5 37.5 42.0 44.4 40.0 36.6 37.4 41.8 43.4 40.0 37.0 37.8 42.0 36.9 40.7 37.2 37.4 41.9 40.7 40.0 37.2 37.2 41.8 39.7 39.9 36.9 37.2 41.5 41.1 40.1 37.3 37.1 41.3 42.5 39.3 36.7 36.9 41.0 42.3 39.2 36.6 36.9 41.0 43.3 39.3 364 39.5 39.3 39.6 39.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES .......... 40.0 40.3 39.9 40.0 40.2 40.0 39.5 39.4 39.5 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.4 32.3 32.0 32.1 32.0 31.8 WHOLESALE TRADE ............................................ 38.8 38.8 38.8 38.8 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.8 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.4 38.3 RETAIL TRADE.................................................... 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.4 30.3 30.0 30.1 30.0 29.8 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .................................................. 36.2 36.1 36.1 36.2 36.3 36.4 36.2 36.3 36.3 36.2 36.1 36.5 36.4 SERVICES .......................................... 32.8 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.7 32.8 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 17. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] TOTAL PRIVATE.................................................. 1980 1979 Annual average Industry division and group Apr. May Junep JulyP $6.57 $6.61 $6,62 1978 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. $5.69 $6.16 $6.16 $6.18 $6.30 $6.31 $6.34 $6.38 $6.42 $6.46 $6.51 $6.53 MINING...................................................................... 7.67 8.50 8.54 8.50 8.59 8.59 8.73 8.75 8.88 8.90 8.95 9.10 9.08 9.11 9.08 CONSTRUCTION 866 9.27 9.26 9.34 9.52 9.50 9.52 9.58 9.49 9.61 9.68 9.69 9.77 9.81 9.92 6.17 6.69 6.72 6.70 6.80 6.82 6.87 6.97 6.96 7.00 7.06 7.09 7.13 7.20 7.28 Durable goods Lumber and wood products ............................ Furniture and fixtures...................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................... Primary metal industries.................................. Fabricated metal products .............................. 6.58 5.60 4.68 6.33 7.15 7.13 5.09 6.90 9.10 6.85 7.25 6.23 5.19 7.01 9.11 6.98 5.21 7.08 9.26 7.01 7.42 6.24 5.26 7.11 9.28 7.14 7.39 5.04 6.90 9.04 6.83 7.24 6.30 5.18 6.99 9.16 6.95 7.29 6.35 7.13 6.08 5.06 6.85 8.97 6.84 7.46 6.33 5.32 7.14 9.44 7.14 7.54 6.35 5.37 7.27 9.45 7.24 7.56 6.28 5.39 7.34 9.53 7.27 7.60 6.40 5.42 7.45 9.61 7.32 7.69 6.57 5.47 7.52 9.68 7.40 7.74 6.69 5.49 7.54 9.87 738 Machinery, except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment.................... Transportation equipment................................ Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................... 6.78 5.82 7.91 5.71 4.69 7.32 6.32 8.54 6.17 5.03 7.34 6.28 8.56 6.17 5.01 7.35 6.37 8.45 6.15 5.02 7.48 6.47 8.59 7.44 6.49 8.70 6.32 5.10 7.50 6.52 8.72 6.39 5.13 7.63 6.64 8.93 6.50 5.20 7.66 6.67 8.81 6.57 5.28 7.69 6.71 7.76 6.78 9.04 6.63 5.34 7.81 6.79 9.04 6.63 5.37 7.91 6.78 9.06 6.72 5.40 7.98 8.03 689 9.29 6.82 5.49 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products.............................. Tobacco manufactures.................................... Textile mill products........................................ Apparel and other textile products .................. Paper and allied products................................ 5.53 5.80 6.13 4.30 3.94 6.52 6.00 6.04 6.28 6.51 4.77 4.21 7.24 6.11 6.14 6.35 6.33 4.83 4.31 7.36 6.21 6.26 6.55 6.98 4.87 4.38 7.50 6.28 6.61 7.08 4.90 4.44 7.49 6.27 6.64 7.36 4.90 4.45 7.52 6.30 6.27 6.65 4.66 4.23 7.13 6.03 6.28 6.83 4.65 4.23 7.18 6.36 6.75 7.79 4.91 4.46 7.63 6.42 6.82 7.64 4.90 4.45 7.65 6.48 6.85 8.07 4.93 4.51 7.77 6.61 6.95 8.27 4.99 4.45 Printing and publishing .................................... Chemicals and allied products ........................ Petroleum and coal products .......................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products . . . Leather and leather products .......................... 6.51 7.02 8.63 5.52 3.89 6.95 7.60 9.36 5.96 4.22 6.94 7.61 9.38 5.95 4.18 6.98 7.66 9.34 5.94 4.21 7.08 7.74 9.50 6.03 429 7.21 7.92 9.48 7.29 9.83 6.30 4.52 7.44 8.17 10.07 6.34 4.53 746 9.37 6.25 4.47 7.34 805 9.29 6.27 4.51 7.34 4.35 7.24 7.97 9.46 6.25 4.45 10.30 6.42 4.54 7.58 8.35 10.42 6.53 4.57 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES.............. 7.57 8.17 8.19 8.31 8.54 8.55 8.58 8.62 8.71 8.72 8.77 8.81 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ............................ 4.67 5.06 5.05 MANUFACTURING 8.20 6.22 WHOLESALE TRADE.................................................. 5.88 6.39 6.40 6.22 6.21 5.06 6.32 6.43 4.82 4.27 7.33 7.10 7.83 9.48 6.22 6.50 6.97 4.86 4.32 7.43 6.21 5.27 7.06 9.30 7.09 8.86 6.59 5.30 6.68 7.57 4.92 4.49 7.55 6.86 9.25 6.78 5.44 8.00 4.31 7.13 7.88 9.56 6.14 4.33 8.44 8.43 8.51 5.06 5.13 5.15 5.18 5.18 5.34 5.36 5.40 5.40 5.42 5.43 5.45 6.42 6.52 6.52 6.58 6.69 6.72 6.77 6.83 6.87 6.89 6.94 6.98 6.12 6.21 8.01 8.12 8.22 RETAIL TRADE .......................................................... 4.20 4.53 4.51 4.52 4.57 4.59 4.62 4.61 4.78 4.78 4.81 4.80 4.82 4.82 4.85 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .................................................................. 4.89 5.27 5.28 5.28 5.37 5.35 5.41 5.48 5.53 5.60 5.68 5.68 5.70 5.75 5.72 SERVICES.................................................................. 4.99 5.36 5.29 5.31 5.45 5.48 5.55 5.61 5.65 5.70 5.75 5.75 5.79 5.82 5.79 18. Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [Seasonally adjusted data: 1967= 100] 1979 1980 Industry TOTAL PRIVATE (in current dollars) Mining.......................................... Construction ................................ Manufacturing .............................. Transportation and public utilities . . . Wholesale and retail trade ............ Finance, insurance, and real estate Services ...................................... TOTAL PRIVATE (In constant dollars) 1 Includes 84 Jan.' Feb.' 237.3 239.4 240.3 272.0 226.5 241.9 258.7 229.7 215.7 234.9 274.6 228.1 244.1 260.1 231.4 217.9 237.8 277.0 225.8 245.2 260.8 234.2 218.4 237.7 104.1 103.8 102.7 102.2 102.0 July' Aug.1 Sept.1 Oct.’ Nov.1 229.2 230.8 232.3 234.3 235.0 263.4 220.4 234.1 247.1 265.0 265.6 224.5 238.6 255.1 227.2 214.0 231.6 267.7 224.7 239.9 255.8 227.6 212.9 232.3 104.9 104.2 222.8 235.5 249.9 223.9 208.4 225.9 210.1 227.5 264.7 223.2 337.0 252.4 225.5 211,4 228.7 105.9 105.5 105.2 corrections for data listed in August issue. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec.1 June' 222.1 0.2 -.2 .7 .8 7.4 6.7 10.5 242.4 245.2 246.2 248.3 250.7 251.3 278.5 229.8 247.8 262.4 235.2 280.9 232.2 250.2 265.9 237.8 225.7 242.7 283.7 233.0 252.4 267.2 238.0 224.9 243.0 284.2 234.2 255.0 268.7 239.8 226.3 245.7 285.1 235.4 258.2 271.0 241.3 229.3 248.5 284.5 237.0 260.2 270.2 242.4 227.0 247.7 -.3 .5 -1.0 -.3 8.1 8.3 8.0 101.4 101.4 101.5 <2) (2) (2) 239.7 2 Not available. June" JulyP July 1979 to July 1980 Apr. 221.1 Mayp June 1980 to July 1980 Mar. ’ 8.9 8.9 19. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1980 1979 Annual average Industry division and group 1978 TOTAL PRIVATE.................................... $203.70 MINING.............................................................. 332.88 1979 July Aug. $219.30 $221.76 365.50 356.12 366.35 350.03 Sept. Nov. Dec. Jan. $229.04 $225.34 384.13 385.39 384.48 335.00 $225.27 $225.70 372.81 375.38 380.63 355.85 361.76 358.15 348.43 356.38 274.16 276.86 285.07 291.48 378.31 283.56 295.80 247.95 203.97 292.32 372.60 285.48 297.43 241.34 204.75 295.24 376.88 287.41 308.67 244.61 209.87 297.20 379.55 299.17 $222.48 $225.54 Oct. Feb. Mar. $226.75 $229.15 Apr. May Junep JulyP $22855 $229.95 $233 99 $233.69 387.72 394.46 384.99 388.43 389.48 343.08 350.42 355.62 360.51 371.80 372.99 277.01 278.60 280.99 279.35 280.21 283.68 283.19 297.82 236.60 202.37 283.11 378.51 287.85 300.64 243.71 204.29 286.31 384.21 288.46 303.86 243.21 206.75 295.89 384.62 293.94 301.64 232.99 204.28 296.54 386.92 292.25 301.72 240.64 202.17 302.47 377.67 292.07 306.06 253.60 205.13 308.32 379.46 297.48 303.41 254.89 204.23 306.12 378.02 290.77 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 318.69 342.99 MANUFACTURING ............................................ 249.27 268.94 268.13 268.00 274.04 Durable goods................................................ Lumber and wood products.......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................. Stone, clay, and glass products.................... Primary metal industries .............................. Fabricated metal products............................ 270.44 288.86 245.07 192.02 286.35 373.35 275.25 288.05 248.18 197.49 288.42 371.28 277.43 295.39 252.63 183.92 263.33 342.76 260.35 290.90 239.55 195.82 284.28 371.36 278.39 Machinery except electrical.......................... Electric and electronic equipment.................. Transportation equipment ............................ Instruments and related products.................. Miscellaneous manufacturing........................ 285.44 234.55 333.80 233.54 181.97 305.98 254.70 350.99 251.74 195.16 302.41 248.69 350.10 248.65 192.89 302.82 252.89 342.23 248.46 194.78 312.66 262.04 349.61 252.75 198.35 308.76 261.55 359.31 257.86 199.41 313.50 266.02 355.78 264.55 202.12 325.80 274.23 381.31 271.05 205.40 317.89 268.13 352.40 269.37 204.86 319.14 269.74 357.94 268.87 204.58 322.04 271.20 365.22 269.18 207.19 320.21 268.88 359.79 267.85 206.21 322.73 266.45 361.49 270.82 206.28 325.58 270.28 369.08 275.27 208.35 321.20 265.27 367.88 270.07 209.17 Nondurable goods.......................................... Food and kindred products .......................... Tobacco manufactures ................................ Textile mill products .................................... Apparel and other textile products................ Paper and allied products ............................ 217.88 230.26 233.55 173.72 140.26 279.71 235.80 250.17 252.70 188.26 149.32 303.74 236.38 251.83 246.56 185.54 150.17 305.15 237.98 253.08 244.78 192.23 149.88 308.42 241.96 256.59 252.06 196.66 150.73 312.99 241.92 254.00 246.24 197.06 153.01 314.27 245.92 261.30 270.44 200.72 153.79 318.75 249.77 264.62 275.01 157.24 326.25 244.92 261.10 264.08 200.41 156.29 319.82 243.90 259.62 271.58 199.92 157.53 318.85 245.07 260.52 285.39 201.23 158.95 320.12 246.13 262.58 297.58 195.91 157.44 321.99 248.45 270.75 295.67 195.02 157.09 318.24 250.78 270.58 310.70 194.74 160.56 324.01 255.15 275.22 291.93 193.61 156.64 333.60 Printing and publishing.................................. Chemicals and allied products...................... Petroleum and coal products........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products...................................... Leather and leather products........................ 244.78 294.14 376.27 260.63 318.44 409.97 259.56 317.34 413.66 264.54 320.19 407.22 268.33 323.53 424.65 266.25 326.51 418.07 270.23 332.54 428.29 274.70 334.22 412.38 269.33 332.35 342.45 269.73 333.22 371.99 273.05 335.69 366.03 270.11 337.79 404.01 274.54 337.42 425.96 274.53 337.84 435.69 278.94 341.52 456.40 225.77 144.32 241.38 154.03 239.19 154.24 237.60 154.09 244.22 157.87 247.86 157.32 247.44 159.34 252.75 162.26 251.88 163.32 249.38 164.50 250.80 164.16 250.11 165.88 247.26 167.61 252.31 169.34 254.02 167.72 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 302.80 325.98 327.60 334.89 336.76 337.20 342.10 341.60 337.73 338.05 340.49 344.05 342.70 347.29 350.64 222.88 202.02 202.11 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 153.64 164.96 168.17 167.99 167.24 166.86 167.83 170.42 170.35 170.98 172.80 171.72 172.90 175.93 177.67 WHOLESALE TRADE ........................................ 228.14 247.93 249.60 250.38 252.98 253.63 255.96 261.58 258.72 259.97 262.27 263.81 265.27 267.88 268.73 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 130.20 138.62 142.07 141.93 139.84 139.54 140.45 142.91 142.44 142.44 143.82 142.56 144.12 146.53 148.90 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . . . 178.00 190.77 191.14 c 190.61 193.86 193.67 196.38 199.47 200.19 203.28 206.18 205.62 205.77 209.88 208.21 SERVICES.......................................................... 163.67 175.27 176.16 176.29 178.22 178.65 180.93 184.01 183.63 185.25 186.88 186.30 187.02 190.90 191.65 c=corrected. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 20. Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date [Averages for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Private nonagricultural workers Year and month 1960 ........................................ Gross average weekly earnings Manufacturing workers Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Spendable average weekly earnings Married worker with 3 dependents weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars $80.67 $90.95 $65.59 $73.95 $72.96 $82.25 $89.72 $101.15 $72.57 $81.82 $80.11 $90.32 92.19 94.82 96.47 98.31 74.87 76.78 77.48 80.78 83.94 74.48 76.99 78.56 82.57 86.63 83.13 84.98 85.67 91.67 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 103.06 106.58 108.21 110.84 113.79 74.60 77.86 79.51 84.40 89.08 83.26 85.94 86.71 90.85 94.26 82.18 85.53 87.25 92.18 96.78 91.72 94.40 95.15 99.22 102.41 88.66 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .................................... ........................................ 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 101.01 67.08 69.56 71.05 75.04 79.32 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........................................ .................................. .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 101.67 101,84 103.39 104.38 103.04 81.29 83.38 86.71 90.96 96.21 83.63 83.38 83.21 82.84 82.73 90.86 95.28 99.99 104.90 91.21 90.86 91.44 91.07 90.20 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 115.42 114.49 117.57 117.95 114.64 91.45 92.97 97.70 101.90 106.32 94.08 92.97 93.76 92.81 91.42 99.33 100.93 106.75 111.44 115.58 102.19 100.93 102.45 101.49 99.38 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 104.95 109.26 109.23 104.78 101.45 103.80 112.19 117.51 124.37 132.49 85.57 89.54 88.29 84.20 82.19 112.43 68 127.38 134.61 145.65 92.69 97.11 95.70 91.14 90.35 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 117.43 123.47 125.06 119.70 118.36 114.97 125.34 132.57 140.19 151.61 94.78 100.03 99.60 94.92 94.05 124.24 135.57 143.50 151.56 166.29 102.42 108.20 107.81 102.61 103.16 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.30 102.90 104.13 104.30 100.73 143.30 155.19 165.39 177.55 84.05 85.50 84.69 81.56 155.87 169.93 180.71 194.35 91.42 93.63 92.53 89.27 209.32 228.90 249.27 268.94 122.77 126.12 127.63 123.54 167.83 183.80 197.40 212.43 98.43 101.27 101.08 97.58 181.32 200.06 214.87 232.07 106.60 1979: July.................................. August ............................ September ...................... 221.76 222.48 225.54 101.08. 100.44 100.82 179.35 179.87 182.10 81.75 81.21 81.40 196.26 196.83 199.15 89.45 122.21 211.88 89.03 268.13 268.00 274.04 120.99 122.50 211.79 215.89 96.57 95.62 96.51 231.46 231.36 235.94 105.50 104.45 105.47 October............................ November........................ December........................ 225.27 225.70 229 04 99.85 99.17 99.58 181.90 182.22 184.59 80.63 80.06 80.26 198.94 199.27 201.80 88.18 87.55 87.74 274.16 276.86 285.07 121.52 121.64 123.94 215.97 217.80 223.38 95.73 95.69 97.12 236.04 238.08 244.31 104.63 104.60 106.22 1980: January............................ February.......................... March .............................. 225.34 226.75 229.15 96.59 95.88 95.52 181.96 182.98 184.67 77.99 77.37 76.98 199.00 200.07 201.89 85.30 84.60 84.16 277.01 278.60 280.99 118.74 117.80 117.13 217.91 218.99 220.61 93.40 92.60 91.96 238.20 239.40 241.22 101.23 100.55 April ................................ May ................................ Junep .............................. 228.55 229.95 233.99 94.21 93.82 94.43 184.25 185.23 188.05 75.95 75.57 75.89 201.43 202.49 205.56 83.03 82.62 82.95 279.35 280.21 283.68 115.15 114.32 114.48 219.49 220.08 222.43 90.47 89.79 89.76 239.97 240.63 243.26 98.92 98.18 98.17 Julyp .............................. 233.69 (’ ) 187.84 (' ) 205.33 (’ ) 283.19 ( ') 222.10 ( 1) 242.89 <’ ) 121 'Not available. NOTE: The earnings expressed in 1967 dollars have been adjusted for changes in price level as measured by the Bureau’s Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. These series are described in “The Spendable Earnings Series: A Technical Note on its Cal- 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 88.88 88.86 106.35 110.23 110.02 102.10 culation," Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labo Force, February 1969, pp. -13. See also “ Spendable Earnings Formulas, 1978-80,” Employment and Earnings, March 1980, pp. 10-11. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA U n e m p l o y m e n t in s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. De partment of Labor from records of State and Federal unem ployment insurance claims filed and benefits paid. Railroad unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Rail road Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about onethird of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 21. Unemployment Insurance and employment service operations [All items except average benefits amounts are inthousands] 1980 1979 Item All programs: Insured unemployment............ July June Sept. Aug. Oct. Nov. Jan. Dec. Feb. Mar. May Apr. 2.119 2,429 2,377 2,164 2,236 2,559 3,047 3,740 3,730 3,652 3,627 1,400 1,978 1,545 1,219 1,641 1,827 2,263 2,837 1,818 1,705 2,192 1,991 2.5 2,300 2,245 2.7 2,024 2.4 2,057 2.4 2,384 2,864 3.4 3,537 4.1 3,518 4.1 3,356 3.9 3,278 3.8 9,171 13,792 '12,801 13,170 12,689 June '3,680 3,790 '3,343 3.9 3,456 4.0 State unemployment insurance program:1 Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............... Rate of insured unemployment ..... Weeks of unemployment 2.8 2.8 7,197 7,889 8,830 6,993 7,638 8,107 $87 25 $610,269 $8640 $8856 $665,687 $767,025 $89 07 $606,095 $90 59 $673,965 $92 39 $728,370 24 28 28 23 26 24 24 25 21 21 21 45 51 52 52 52 54 56 60 58 63 52 50 193 $18,623 216 $20,965 234 $23,861 211 $19,634 236 $23,325 232 $23,093 233 $23,093 299 $29,635 255 '$25,308 249 $24,928 246 $24,518 $22,025 13 16 13 13 18 15 15 19 11 Average weekly benefit amount $96.41 $94.54 ' $98.39 $99.15 $99.52 $843,869 $1,283,946 $1,229,877 $1,218,231 $1,232,173 $1,196,836 Unemployment compensation for exservicemen:3 Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............... Weeks of unemployment Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............... Weeks of unemployment Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications..................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............... Number of payments ............. Average amount of benefit payment...................... Total benefits paid ............... 12 23 2.5 25 25 28 29 31 34 32 30 25 22 96 $8,802 107 $9,829 91 $8,453 109 $10,093 118 $11,063 118 $11,047 150 $14,118 129 '$12,226 123 $11,901 108 $10,323 $8,280 9 15 11 22 7 5 4 8 11 20 19 41 40 80 39 71 30 36 68 27 62 23 54 $199.01 $14,967 $208.73 $14,573 $210.79 $13,884 $201.87 $13,002 $193.44 $9,953 7,285 1,561 ’ 8,708 '1,853 10,021 19 13 11 21 26 32 18 51 10 20 $183.13 $3,314 $190.10 $3,699 $195.61 $3,767 $189.08 $5,747 $189.61 $8,003 $183.38 $6,462 $197.22 $8,085 11 907 3*051 13 186 3,482 14 479 3,935 15,525 4,349 1,855 458 3 183 768 4,378 1,044 Employment service:5 Nonfarm placements ............. 1 Initial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2 Includes interstate claims for the Virgin Islands. Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. 4 Includes the Virgin Islands. Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State pro- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 91 $8,341 8 12 45 6 20 24 27 55 $199.06 $10,140 2,143 grams. 5 Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1 - September 30). NOTE: Data for Puerto Rico included. Dashes indicate data not available, r = revised. 87 PRICE DATA P r ic e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it mea sures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the R ev ie w , regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 24.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see F a c ts A b o u t th e R e v is e d C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x , a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also T h e C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x : C o n c ep ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Years. Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stan dards of living, see the family budget data published in the H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , 1 977, Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P ric e I n d e x es, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the mea surement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , April 1978, pp. 7 -1 5 . For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1965, pp. 974-82. 22. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-79 [1967= 100] Food and beverages All Items Year Index Percent change Index Percent change Apparel and upkeep Housing Index Percent change Index Transportation Percent change Index Percent change Index Percent change Other goods and services Entertainment Medical care Index Percent change Index Percent change 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 .................. .................. .................. .................. 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 3.1 6.0 9.7 10.9 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 23. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1979 1980 June Jan. All items...................................................................................... 216.6 Food and beverages .................................................................... Housing........................................................................................ Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care ................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services.............................................................. 229.3 225.5 165.7 212.6 237.7 188.2 187.9 Commodities................................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .................................... Nondurables less food and beverages.................................. Durables ............................................................................ Services ...................................................................................... Rent, residential.................................................................. Household services less rent .............................................. Transportation services........................................................ Medical care services.......................................................... Other services.................................................................... 1980 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 233.2 236.4 239.8 242.5 244.9 247.6 216.9 233.3 237.5 247.3 171.0 233.5 253.9 195.3 206.3 238.6 250.5 171.9 239.6 257.9 197.8 208.1 241.0 254.5 176.0 243.7 260.2 200.6 208.9 242.8 257.9 177.3 246.8 262.0 202.5 209.8 244.1 261.7 177.5 249.0 263.4 204.0 211.2 245.7 266.7 177.2 249.7 264.7 205.3 212.5 229.3 225.5 165.3 213.7 238.2 187.5 194.3 237.8 247.3 169.8 234.1 254.9 193.9 206.0 208.4 196.0 200.5 191.1 222.4 212.0 224.6 201.3 225.2 215.5 231.8 202.1 228.0 218.4 237.5 203.0 229.9 220.4 239.5 204.9 231.4 222.0 240.3 207.1 232.8 223.2 241.1 208.6 208.7 196.3 201.6 190.8 232.1 174.7 264.5 210.9 255.9 198.4 253.1 184.1 295.1 226.8 274.4 209.0 256.8 185.6 300.2 229.6 279.0 211.1 261.3 186.6 307.3 233.4 281.5 212.9 265.3 187.0 313.4 238.1 283.4 214.5 269.2 188.9 319.6 241.5 284.7 215.9 274.2 191.1 328.8 242.6 285.9 216.9 All items less food ........................................................................ All items less mortgage interest costs ............................................ Commodities less food.................................................................. Nondurables less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food and apparel................................................ Nonourables ................................................................................ Services less rent ........................................................................ Services less medical care ............................................................ Domestically produced farm foods ................................................ Selected beef cuts........................................................................ Energy ........................................................................................ All items less energy .................................................................... All items less food and energy ............................................ Commodities less food and energy.................................... Energy commodities ........................................................ Services less energy........................................................ 211.8 211.0 194.7 197.6 217.0 215.7 242.6 228.0 224.9 268.3 275.4 212.2 205.8 184.8 284.9 229.9 229.9 224.3 210.4 220.5 248.6 232.0 266.1 249.2 229.2 265.7 327.9 225.9 220.6 193.7 361.5 251.6 233.5 227.1 213.8 227.3 258.2 236.3 270.2 252.7 229.1 267.2 344.6 228.0 222.8 194.9 385.0 255.2 237.1 229.8 216.7 232.6 264.1 240.3 275.4 257.4 231.2 270.2 355.0 230.8 225.7 196.5 398.5 259.6 239.9 231.8 218.6 234.6 266.5 242.2 280.0 261.5 232.7 268.0 358.8 233.4 228.5 198.2 402.3 263.5 242.6 233.7 220.2 235.5 267.9 243.2 284.4 265.7 233.6 265.6 363.2 235.7 231.0 199.9 403.0 267.0 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 = $1 .................... $0,462 $0,429 $0,423 $0,417 $0,412 $0,408 June 236.5 239.9 242.6 245.1 247.8 239.0 250.5 171.5 240.2 258.7 196.2 207.7 241.2 254.4 175.1 244.3 260.9 199.5 208.3 243.2 257.8 176.1 247.7 263.1 201.3 209.2 244.7 261.7 176.8 249.9 264.9 202.4 210.6 246.4 266.9 176.0 250.6 265.9 204.0 212.1 222.3 212.0 226.3 199.6 225.3 215.7 234.1 200.3 228.1 218.7 239.8 201.2 230.1 220.6 241.7 203.3 231.7 222.3 242.6 205.4 233.0 223.4 243.2 206.8 232.3 174.7 265.6 211.6 256.1 198.7 253.6 183.9 297.2 226.6 275.6 209.3 257.3 185.5 302.4 229.3 279.8 211.4 261.7 186.4 309.6 232.7 282.2 213.5 265.8 186.9 315.8 238.0 284.5 214.6 269.9 188.7 322.2 241.5 286.3 216.5 275.1 190.8 331.9 242.7 287.3 217.9 245.5 235.4 221.4 236.3 269.3 244.5 290.0 271.0 234.8 264.8 367.8 238.3 233.7 201.2 404.1 271.5 212.0 211.5 194.9 198.6 218.0 216.3 243.0 228.2 224.6 269.9 277.3 212.3 205.5 184.5 286.2 230.1 230.0 224.7 210.3 222.1 250.2 232.9 266.7 249.5 229.0 268.1 331.5 225.3 219.6 192.4 362.8 252.2 233.7 227.6 214.0 229.4 260.1 237.4 270.8 253.1 229.2 270.3 348.7 227.3 221.8 193.5 386.4 255.7 237.3 230.2 216.9 234.8 266.3 241.4 275.9 257.7 231.0 272.3 359.6 230.0 224.6 195.1 400.3 260.0 240.2 232.4 218.9 236.7 268.7 243.3 280.8 261.9 232.4 269.5 363.3 232.7 227.5 196.9 404.0 264.2 242.9 234.2 220.5 237.7 270.0 244.6 285.4 266.3 233.4 267.5 367.3 235.1 230.0 198.6 404.7 267.8 245.7 235.7 221.6 238.3 271.4 245.7 291.2 271.8 234.7 267.1 371.8 237.6 232.7 199.8 405.6 272.5 $0,404 $0,461 $0429 $0,423 $0,417 $0,412 $0,408 $0,404 Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 90 1979 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 1979 1980 June Jan. Feb. Mar. FOOD AND BEVERAGES .......................... 229.3 237.5 238.6 241.0 242.8 244.1 245.7 229.3 237.8 239.0 241.2 243.2 244.7 246.4 Food ...................................................... 235.4 243.8 244.9 247.3 249.1 250.4 252.0 235.4 244.0 245.2 247.5 249.5 251.0 252.7 Food at home .............................................. Cereals and bakery products.............................................. Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100).............................. Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100).................... Cereal (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 10 0 )........................ Bakery products (12/77 = 100) ...................................... White bread............................................................ Other breads (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100).................. Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100) ...................... Cookies (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Crackers and bread and cracker products (12/77 = 100) .. Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) . . . Frozen and refrigerated bakery products ' and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) .......... 234.2 217.8 115.5 117.8 115.8 112.8 115.2 190.3 115.3 115.8 114.0 114.1 112.2 115.9 240.6 234.2 125.0 125.7 123.7 126.4 123.5 208.6 123.8 124.8 121.7 119.7 117.5 122.2 241.3 236.8 125.8 125.7 124.9 127.4 125.1 210.7 124.6 126.2 122.8 122.8 119.9 123.8 243.6 238.6 126.6 126.6 126.0 127.6 126.1 212.0 125.6 127.0 124.4 124.4 120.2 125.0 245.3 242.0 129.4 127.8 129.4 130.8 127.6 215.1 127.0 126.9 126.5 125.3 122.0 126.6 246.5 244.5 131.5 129.0 131.5 133.8 128.7 216.7 128.3 127.8 127.4 126.1 122.2 128.4 248.0 245.9 133.1 131.1 133.0 135.2 129.1 216.9 128.1 129.5 127.6 126.3 123.6 129.1 233.6 218.2 115.4 118.4 116.0 111.8 115.5 189.5 117.1 115.4 114.8 116.2 112.7 117.8 240.1 234.7 126.1 126.9 124.2 127.9 123.6 207.4 126.9 123.1 120.8 121.5 118.4 124.1 241.1 237.4 127.2 127.3 125.5 129.2 125.1 209.7 127.5 124.3 122.2 124.0 121.0 125.4 243.1 239.3 127.7 127.5 126.6 129.4 126.2 212.1 129.3 124.9 123.2 125.6 121.8 126.2 245.0 242.2 130.1 128.9 129.7 131.9 127.5 215.1 129.3 125.3 125.4 126.3 122.2 128.0 246.1 244.4 132.4 129.9 132.0 135.2 128.3 216.0 130.6 126.4 126.5 126.8 123.0 129.2 247.7 245.7 133.9 131.4 133.3 137.0 128.8 215.4 130.8 127.9 126.9 126.9 124.5 130.0 117.6 125.7 127.2 127.9 129.7 131.0 131.2 113.9 122.5 123.8 124.0 125.3 126.0 127.2 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs.......................................... Meats, poultry, and fis h .................................................. Meats ...................................................... Beef and veal.................................................. Ground beef other than canned .................................. Chuck roast .......................................................... Round roast ................................................ Rojnc steak ................................................ Sirloin steak .......................................................... Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ............................ Pork............................................................ Bacon .................................................................... Pork chops ............................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100)........................ Sausage .................................................................... Canned ham .......................................................... Other pork (12/77 = 100).......................................... Other meats.................................................................. Frankfurters ...................................................... Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) ............ Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100)................................ Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100)........................ Poultry .................................................................... Fresh whole chicken ................................................ Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) ............ Other poultry (12/77 = 100) .................................... Fish and seafood ............................................ Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)...................... Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)........ Eggs.......................................................................... 239.8 246.1 249.6 266.9 278.7 279.7 236.8 250.0 259.8 151.3 217.2 203.9 206.4 99.5 276.1 226.0 124.4 248.9 249.3 136.7 123.1 143.9 187.2 185.8 120.3 123.4 301.0 110.3 117.2 161.9 238.0 243.0 244.1 264.6 271.4 274.7 241.9 249.8 250.9 151.8 206.4 194.5 192.1 99.1 256.6 220.8 116.2 243.2 239.0 134.1 121.2 141.6 187.8 191.1 120.7 119.3 316.7 118.5 121.9 178.2 236.2 242.6 244.1 266.2 273.3 277.7 244.5 252.3 251.1 152.2 202.8 190.1 189.7 95.7 255.1 219.5 114.3 244.7 242.7 135.6 120.7 142.4 182.6 183.6 116.8 118.8 320.4 120.3 123.0 157.2 237.8 243.8 245.7 269.1 275.3 286.2 244.2 254.2 254.3 153.8 202.6 187.6 190.7 95.8 257.6 219.3 113.6 245.8 244.6 135.5 121.8 142.3 180.7 179.5 116.8 118.2 322.6 120.4 124.3 164.5 235.1 241.1 242.6 267.0 272.9 277.9 242.7 253.5 256.1 153.3 197.1 182.1 187.0 90.6 255.1 213.5 110.7 243.9 240.6 134.9 121.9 140.1 177.2 174.7 114.5 117.3 325.3 122.9 124.5 161.2 231.5 238.2 239.2 264.8 269.4 273.0 243.4 250.6 256.2 152.4 191.8 177.4 182.4 87.4 250.2 210.0 107.1 240.2 234.8 133.5 121.4 136.3 176.5 172.9 114.4 117.4 324.5 125.4 122.5 148.4 231.2 237.9 238.1 263.8 266.9 268.6 240.9 247.4 264.8 152.5 190.4 173.1 182.7 87.8 246.2 208.1 106.3 239.4 230.9 133.4 121.0 137.6 177.9 176.3 115.7 115.9 329.1 127.3 124.2 147.9 239.0 245.3 248.8 268.2 278.8 286.0 240.0 247.5 261.1 151.6 217.2 206.0 207.4 97.0 276.0 226.4 124.4 245.2 249.0 133.4 120.6 145.9 185.1 181.5 120.1 122.7 295.9 109.2 114.9 161.6 237.5 242.5 243.7 266.7 272.7 283.6 245.1 249.4 253.5 151.9 206.8 195.3 194.8 96.5 260.3 219.3 116.2 239.3 239.5 130.5 118.7 142.5 184.3 183.8 118.7 120.1 315.4 118.4 121.2 177.0 236.4 242.8 244.3 268.9 276.2 288.7 245.8 250.5 253.0 152.8 204.1 193.8 191.0 95.2 257.0 218.9 114.6 240.9 242.1 132.3 118.6 143.4 118.1 178.9 117.0 119.4 317.9 119.7 122.0 156.7 237.1 243.0 245.0 270.8 278.7 293.4 244.5 251.1 256.0 153.7 203.0 189.4 190.5 94.7 259.8 217.4 113.7 241.5 242.8 132.2 118.8 144.3 177.4 172.5 116.3 117.7 320.2 119.5 123.5 164.3 234.3 240.2 241.3 268.2 274.7 286.1 242.1 249.6 257.8 153.1 196.7 183.9 184.7 88.7 258.0 214.5 110.0 239.0 239.3 131.1 118.4 141.3 176.0 170.6 114.7 118.1 325.1 121.8 125.1 161.5 230.7 237.2 238.1 266.3 270.6 280.0 245.5 250.2 257.5 152.2 191.8 177.7 180.9 85.4 253.9 213.0 106.5 235.6 234.0 129.5 117.6 138.4 173.8 168.0 112.7 117.7 323.0 124.0 122.4 148.9 230.4 237.1 237.5 265.6 269.0 275.0 243.8 247.3 268.3 152.4 190.5 175.6 180.6 86.1 249.6 210.1 105.9 235.9 231.0 130.7 118.1 139.3 175.7 170.7 115.6 116.1 324.9 125.7 122.6 147.2 Dairy products ........................................................................ Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) .............................. Fresh whole milk.............................................. Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) .................. Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)............................ Butter.............................................. Cheese (12/77 = 100).......................................... Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)................ Other dairy products (12/77 = 100) .............................. 205.5 115.7 189.4 115.6 116.8 199.9 116.9 116.9 114.5 218.4 123.2 202.3 122.1 123.8 216.9 123.5 124.0 119.8 219.5 123.7 203.2 122.7 124.5 213.3 124.2 124.6 120.9 220.3 124.1 204.0 122.7 125.1 218.3 124.9 125.1 121.6 222.4 124.7 204.9 123.5 127.0 219.9 126.2 128.6 124.0 226.2 127.0 208.5 125.9 129.1 222.2 127.8 131.9 126.1 227.2 127.1 208.6 126.0 130.4 225.0 128.8 133.7 127.3 205.9 116.0 189.8 116.0 117.0 202.0 116.3 117.8 114.6 218.9 123.2 201.8 122.8 124.5 219.8 123.6 125.6 120.4 219.8 123.6 202.7 123.0 125.1 220.9 124.4 125.6 121.3 221.1 124.2 203.8 123.1 126.2 220.9 125.5 127.2 121.9 223.1 124.9 204.8 124.1 128.0 222.7 126.8 130.4 123.6 226.9 127.2 208.4 126.8 129.9 225.3 128.5 132.9 125.7 227.8 127.4 208.7 127.2 130.7 227.2 129.0 133.8 127.4 Fruits and vegetables ................................................ Fresh fruits and vegetables.............................................. Fresh fruits.............................................. Apples .................................................... Bananas ........................................................ Oranges.................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fresh vegetables .................................................. Potatoes .......................................................... Lettuce.................................................. Tomatoes ................................................ Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) ........................ 233.8 243.3 266.0 232.9 225.3 311.5 141.4 222.0 221.5 193.1 222.0 128.1 229.8 227.2 233.6 230.4 221.9 236.2 122.5 221.2 203.8 197.6 216.7 132.0 228.3 223.1 235.8 239.6 238.5 231.1 121.4 211.2 203.3 198.7 184.9 125.1 232.4 229.9 245.4 250.2 243.9 238.1 127.4 215.5 203.3 208.3 201.4 125.4 240.9 245.2 257.0 265.5 242.8 240.6 136.5 234.2 201.7 271.9 201.2 134.6 246.6 255.1 264.7 276.3 249.7 243.9 140.8 246.2 210.1 279.9 230.8 140.1 250.1 260.0 273.9 293.3 242.6 264.4 143.7 247.0 246.3 238.8 230.6 140.2 231.5 240.4 261.1 233.7 221.7 293.0 140.7 221.8 224.3 186.0 223.0 128.7 227.2 224.9 232.7 230.1 219.5 231.3 122.7 217.9 200.9 193.2 213.2 130.5 225.9 220.6 234.7 237.6 234.6 228.4 121.3 207.9 199.8 191.7 184.3 123.9 230.1 227.4 245.4 249.0 240.8 240.9 126.9 211.3 200.3 203.8 197.2 123.0 239.8 244.8 255.6 264.4 243.5 234.3 135.7 235.2 198.2 281.9 197.7 135.3 245.5 254.4 263.8 277.3 244.5 237.6 140.9 246.0 205.6 288.6 228.4 139.7 250.2 261.4 274.9 297.4 237.7 251.0 146.5 249.4 244.4 241.7 228.6 143.4 Processed fruits and vegetables ...................................... Processed fruits (12/77 = 100)...................................... Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100) .................. Fruit juices and other than frozen (12/77 = 100).......... Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100)........................ Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100) ............................ Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100) .............................. 225.4 117.6 114.3 115.6 122.5 108.9 107.1 234.7 122.9 117.2 125.1 125.3 113.0 111.9 236.2 123.4 117.6 126.0 125.5 114.0 113.0 237.2 123.9 117.7 127.2 125.5 114.6 112.6 238.4 125.0 119.3 128.3 126.3 114.5 113.3 239.4 125.4 118.1 129.3 127.5 115.2 114.7 241.4 126.4 120.1 129.5 128.3 116.2 116.4 223.5 117.0 114.4 115.1 121.2 108.1 107.7 231.8 122.4 116.5 124.5 124.8 111.2 111.4 233.9 123.6 117.8 126.3 125.3 112.2 111.7 235.0 123.9 116.5 127.4 125.9 113.0 111.9 236.2 124.9 118.4 128.4 126.4 113.2 113.0 237.6 125.7 117.5 129.8 127.8 113.9 114.6 239.7 126.7 118.9 130.4 128.9 115.0 116.3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May | June 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 1979 1979 1980 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Fruits and vegetables— Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) . . . Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77=100)............ Other foods at hom e...................................................................... Sugar and sweets.......................................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77=100) .................................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77=100)...................... Other sweets (12/77=100) .............................................. Fats and oils (12/77=100) ...................................................... Margarine ........................................................................ Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77-100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77=100) .............. Nonalcoholic beverages .......................................................... Cola drinks, excluding diet c o la .......................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77=100)............ Roasted coffee ................................................................ Freeze dried and instant coffee.......................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77-100).......................... Other prepared foods .............................................................. Canned and packaged soup (12/77=100).......................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77=100).................................. Snacks (12/77=100)........................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77=100)............ Other condiments (12/77=100) ........................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77=100) ...................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) .. 113.2 107.7 267.1 277.4 117.4 115.4 112.6 226.3 239.1 112.8 117.8 350.4 237.9 115.3 347.3 330.2 113.4 207.8 112.6 119.2 113.3 114.4 113.6 115.1 115.6 114.5 112.9 283.5 289.8 121.3 122.2 118.7 233.9 248.3 115.3 121.9 378.5 249.5 119.9 443.2 378.2 116.8 218.8 116.5 126.0 121.8 121.4 120.8 119.6 119.4 115.2 113.9 288.0 297.5 122.4 131.5 119.5 235.9 247.9 116.4 123.6 384.5 255.9 122.3 439.6 382.2 118.3 221.8 118.1 126.6 123.4 123.6 123.7 120.7 121.2 116.0 114.8 292.0 313.5 123.8 153 0 120.4 236.8 248.8 117.9 123.7 387.1 259.3 123.5 437.6 381.7 118.6 224.1 118.0 128.2 124.1 124.9 126.0 122.2 122.2 115.6 114.7 295.1 319.5 126.3 156.9 121.3 238.3 247.9 119.8 124.8 390.3 261.7 125.6 434.0 380.2 120.7 226.6 120.5 130.4 124.8 125.2 127.1 124.4 123.1 116.0 115.1 298.1 326.8 128.9 161.4 123.6 239.5 246.1 121.4 125.8 393.0 265.4 126.2 433.5 381 9 120.7 229.1 122.0 131.3 126.1 125.4 127.9 127.6 124.6 116.6 115.9 301.8 342.0 130.5 180.3 125.8 240.0 249.0 123.1 124.9 395.9 267.8 128.3 432.4 380.2 121.8 230.9 122.9 132.0 127.2 127.5 128.8 128.6 125.2 112.0 106.3 266.2 276.6 117.0 115.3 111.9 226.6 238.4 112.5 118.2 348.5 234.7 112.5 347.3 328.9 112.3 207.9 112.6 118.6 113.7 114.0 114.9 114.8 115.3 112.7 110.4 282.6 289.6 121.2 122.7 117.5 234.9 248.8 116.1 122.3 375.6 246.5 116.4 440.1 376.8 116.2 219.1 116.8 125.1 122.8 121.1 121.4 119.7 119.5 113.4 111.9 287.3 297.1 122.2 131.6 118.5 236.5 247.9 117.2 123.8 383.0 253.6 120.2 436.8 380.4 117.5 221.7 117.9 125.5 124.7 123.1 124.6 120.5 120.3 115.4 112.3 290.9 314.1 123.9 153.8 119.3 236.8 248.3 118.5 123.4 384.4 255.4 121.1 432.3 380.3 118.1 224.0 117.6 127.1 125.3 124.0 126.6 122.2 122.0 114.3 112.7 294.6 320.8 126.5 158.6 120.0 238.3 248.3 120.0 124.4 389.2 260.1 123.4 430.4 379.2 119.6 226.6 120.6 128.8 126.0 124.5 128.1 123.7 123.3 114.2 113.3 298.0 328.0 129.0 163.3 122.2 240.1 2484 121.6 125.5 392.3 263.2 124.8 430.0 380.4 120.0 229.6 122.5 131.0 127.3 125.5 129.2 127.0 124.3 115.2 114.2 301.4 342.9 130.8 180.7 124.6 240.5 249.4 123.5 124.9 395.1 267.1 125.2 429.2 378.7 120.8 230.8 123.7 130.8 127.9 127.3 129.9 128.3 124.1 Food away from home.......................................................................... Lunch (12/77=100) ...................................................................... Dinner (12/77=100) ...................................................................... Other meals and snacks (12/77=100)............................................ 242.7 118.5 117.7 116.6 256.1 124.6 124.8 122.5 258.3 125.9 125.8 123.2 260.9 127.0 127.0 124.9 263.0 127.9 127.9 126.4 264.6 128.5 128.7 127.4 266.6 129.3 129.5 129 0 244.4 119.6 118.2 117.4 258.0 125.7 125.6 123.7 260.1 126.7 126.8 124.4 262.7 127.6 128.1 126.2 265.3 128.9 129.1 127.7 267.6 129.9 130.5 128.6 269.9 130.7 131.0 131.1 Alcoholic beverages .......................................................................... 172.1 179.3 180.4 181.7 183.9 185.4 186.4 172.4 179.7 181.1 182.8 185.0 186.9 188.0 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77=100)............................................ Beer and a le .................................................................................. Whiskey ........................................................................................ Wine.............................................................................................. Other alcoholic beverages (12/77=100).......................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77-100)................................ 111.9 170.0 126.8 193.2 105.2 113.9 116.8 179.0 131.6 201.6 107.1 118.0 117.4 179.9 132.6 202.5 107.3 119.2 118.2 182.0 132.8 204.1 107.4 120.0 119.9 185.9 133.4 206.6 108.2 120.5 120.9 187.7 133.9 208.5 109.0 121.5 121.4 188.2 134.7 211.5 108.7 122.3 112.7 169.8 128.2 196.2 104.9 111.7 117.6 178.8 132.9 203.8 106.4 115.9 118.3 179.9 133.8 206.1 106.7 117.6 119.3 181.7 134.4 208.4 107.2 119.1 120.8 185.1 134.6 209.8 107.8 120.5 122.0 187.5 135.1 212.0 108.7 121.7 122.7 188.8 135.4 213.7 108.9 122.5 HOUSING............................................................................................ 225.5 247.3 250.5 254.5 257.9 261.7 266.7 225.5 247.3 250.5 254.4 257.8 261.7 266.9 FOOD AND BEVERAGES Continued Food —Continued Food at home— Continued Shelter................................................................................................ 236.7 264.0 267.2 271.6 276.0 280.2 286.3 237.2 265.1 268.3 272.7 277.2 281.6 288.0 Rent, residential.................................................................................... 174.7 184.1 185.6 186.6 187.0 188.9 191.1 174.7 183.9 185.5 186.4 186.9 188.7 190.8 Other rental costs ................................................................................ Lodging while out of town................................................................ Tenants’ insurance (12/77=100) .................................................... 232.3 244.3 108.0 251.1 267.0 116.2 255.7 272.8 117.8 258.6 276.8 118.6 260.7 279.3 119.9 261.9 279.9 121.2 264.2 282.1 122.6 231.8 243.1 108.2 251.1 266.1 116.8 255.6 271.6 118.5 258.6 275.7 119.3 260.5 278.0 120.1 261.7 278.6 121.4 263.9 280.8 122.7 Homeownership.................................................................................... Home purchase.............................................................................. Financing, taxes, and Insurance ...................................................... Property insurance .................................................................. Property taxes ........................................................................ Contracted mortgage interest c o s t............................................ Mortgage interest rates...................................................... Maintenance and repairs ................................................................ Maintenance and repair services .............................................. Maintenance and repair commodities ........................................ Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) ................................................ Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77=100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77=100).................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77=100) .......... 258.8 220.9 302.2 310.6 181.3 366.0 163.0 255.5 277.4 204.4 292.5 242.1 359.8 327.7 186.7 452.8 183.7 270.6 293.2 2176 296.3 243.0 367.7 333.7 188.2 464.0 187.5 273.7 297.1 218.9 302.0 244.0 379.9 335.7 188.2 483.0 194.4 278.8 303.2 221.4 307.7 246.5 390.6 338.9 188.4 499.4 199.4 282.9 307.9 224.3 312.9 249.7 399.7 344.9 187.6 513.6 202.4 284.9 310.1 225.8 3204 252.6 416.1 351.8 187.7 538.9 210.3 285.9 310.6 228.0 259.9 220.8 304.2 310.1 182.8 366.2 163.1 256.7 280.2 204.9 294.6 242.3 363.4 328.8 188.2 453.7 183.8 271.9 295.9 218.4 2984 243.0 371.6 335.2 189.9 465.0 187.8 274.4 299.3 219.5 304.0 243.8 384.1 337.4 189.9 484.1 194.8 278.2 303.5 222.3 310.0 246.5 395.3 340.4 190.1 500.9 199.8 281.7 307.7 224.3 315.4 249.8 404.9 346.4 189.3 515.6 202.8 283.4 309.1 226.5 323.4 253.0 422.0 352.7 189.4 541.5 210.8 283.8 308.5 228.8 111.8 112.9 122.5 115.9 123.5 115.8 125.0 117.6 126.6 118.8 128.7 118.0 131.3 118.9 112.1 113.9 122.2 118.6 122.3 119.3 123.6 119.9 126.0 119.7 128.7 118.4 130.9 118.5 108.6 109.3 114.7 115.4 115.3 116.4 116.4 117.0 119.1 118.2 119.3 118.7 119.9 119.1 109.3 107.6 117.0 113.2 117.9 114.5 119.3 118.2 120.0 119.4 122.0 120.1 123.8 120.7 Fuel and othei utilities 239.0 258.6 263.8 268.0 270.5 275.9 282.2 239.4 259.2 264.4 268.7 271.0 276.4 283.0 Fuels .................................................................................................. Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.......................................................... Fuel o il.................................................................................... Other fuels (6/78 = 100) ........................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity .............................................................. Electricity................................................................................ Utility (piped) gas .................................................................... 286.2 391.2 4059 102.6 259.9 223.7 301.8 318.0 514.0 534.4 132.7 273.0 226.6 335.1 327.1 539.1 561.9 136.6 278.8 233.8 336.8 333.9 553.4 577.9 138.3 284.0 237.9 343.9 337.8 556.4 580.7 139.6 288.0 241.5 347.9 346.4 556.0 5804 139.4 298.2 248.1 364.6 355.8 558.7 583.2 140.1 308.8 261.9 366.7 286.1 391.6 406.1 102.6 259.8 224.3 300.1 318.1 515.1 534.9 133.7 273.0 226.8 333.8 327.0 540.3 562.5 137.9 278.5 233.9 335.4 333.9 554.1 577.9 139.5 283.9 238.1 342.6 337.6 557.1 580.7 140.8 287.6 241.5 346.4 346.0 557.1 580.5 141.3 297.5 248.0 362.3 355.8 559.8 583.3 141.9 308.5 262.3 364.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 1979 1980 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Other utilities and public services ............................................................ Telephone services .......................................................................... Local charges (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Water and sewerage maintenance .................................................... 159.2 132.0 100.0 98.4 102.0 243.1 161.5 133.4 102.6 97.7 100.8 250.0 161.3 132.8 102.7 97.4 98.8 252.3 161.9 133.2 103.3 97.4 98.7 253.9 162.3 133.4 103.5 97.3 99.0 255.2 163.1 134.0 104.3 97.3 99.4 256.5 164.9 135.5 105.3 99.5 99.6 259.3 159.2 132.0 100.1 98.5 101.1 243.3 161.5 133.4 102.6 97.7 100.6 250.5 161.4 132.8 102.7 97.5 98.7 253.0 161.9 133.1 103.2 97.5 98.6 254.7 162.3 133.2 103.3 97.4 98.9 256.2 163.1 133.9 104.0 97.4 99.3 257.6 164.9 135.4 105.1 99.5 99.5 260.5 Household furnishings and operations ................................................ 190.1 196.9 199.0 201.3 203.0 204.2 205.5 188.8 194.9 196.8 199.2 200.7 201.9 202.9 Housefurnishings............................................................................ Textile housefurnishings.................................................................... Household linens (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding ...................................................................... Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Sofas (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) .............................. Other furniture (12/77 = 100).................................................... Appliances including TV and sound equipment.................................... Television and sound equipment (12/77 - 100) .......................... Television .......................................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Household appliances................................................................ Refrigerators and home freezer............................................ Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Other household appliances (12/77 = 100).......................... Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100)................................ Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)........................................ Floor and window coverings, infants’ laundry cleaning and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100) .......................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 163.1 174.9 106.8 111.4 177.5 112.9 107.8 103.5 114.7 135.6 104.0 102.7 106.3 155.4 151.9 110.8 109.5 167.6 176.7 105.4 115.1 184.0 119.1 108.2 108.9 1181 137.8 105.3 103.7 107.8 158.5 156.7 114.1 110.5 169.3 182.9 110.1 118.2 185.2 120.5 108.5 110.0 118.3 138.3 105.4 103.7 108.1 159.4 156.5 115.0 111.3 171.5 187.2 113.9 119.7 189.2 122.5 110.9 110.8 122.6 138.8 105.7 104.0 108.3 160.2 157.9 116.8 111.2 172.7 188.2 114.8 119.9 190.9 124.3 111.6 110.9 124.0 139.3 105.7 104.0 108.3 161.4 160.6 117.5 111.5 173.4 187.3 114.4 119.3 191.9 125.0 111.4 110.8 125.6 139.9 105.7 104.1 108.3 162.6 162.7 118.2 112.1 174.6 189.4 116.0 120.1 193.6 126.2 113.0 110.6 127.1 140.2 105.6 104.2 107.9 163.4 163.2 119.1 112.7 162.8 174.0 105.1 112.3 177.6 111.7 110.1 105.4 113.3 135.3 103.3 102.0 105.5 155.6 156.0 110.5 108.3 166.5 175.3 106.0 113.2 183.6 116.8 110.6 109.4 117.8 137.2 104.9 102.2 108.2 157.7 159.4 113.8 108.6 167.9 181.2 109.8 116.6 184.3 117.5 110.3 111.2 117.5 137.8 104.9 102.3 108.2 158.8 159.7 114.7 109.5 170.4 185.3 113.2 118.2 187.9 119.2 112.7 111.9 121.3 139.0 105.5 102.9 108.7 160.7 161.4 116.6 110.7 171.5 186.3 113.8 118.9 189.4 120.9 111.8 112.6 123.1 139.7 105.4 102.8 108.6 162.3 163.5 117.8 111,6 172.2 186.1 113.4 119.0 190.1 121.7 112.0 112.6 123.5 140.2 105.4 102.8 108.7 163.4 166.0 118.5 111.8 172.9 189.6 116.2 120.5 190.8 123.1 112.7 111.7 123.9 140.1 105.2 103.1 108.0 163.6 166.8 118.9 111.7 109.8 110.0 110 8 110.9 110.0 110.3 111.2 108.9 109.2 110.5 111.1 111.6 111.9 111.4 109.2 109.5 111.1 114.6 112.0 115.9 111.6 117.3 113.1 118.4 114.2 119.0 114.4 120.2 107.6 109.6 107.8 113.3 108.4 114.4 110.2 116.0 111.6 117.0 111.7 117.8 112.0 118.5 108.5 105.9 113.1 111.6 114.5 112.7 116.4 114.9 118.2 115.6 117.6 117.6 120.2 118.8 104.2 106.3 108.9 109.4 109.4 109.8 110.8 112.3 113.1 112.6 113.2 114.4 114.3 115.9 113.2 107.9 119.9 110.6 121.4 111.7 122.6 112.2 123.4 113.5 124.1 114.0 125.4 113.7 112.9 110.6 117.3 113.0 118.9 114.2 120.8 115.0 121.4 115.9 121.7 117.4 122.2 117.6 Housekeeping supplies............................................................................ Soaps and detergents ...................................................................... Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) .......................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) .............. Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100).............................. Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100).......................................... 221.5 210.2 110.7 116.7 108.2 111.8 112.3 231.1 224.1 116.1 120.6 111.6 117.7 114.4 235.0 228.9 117.2 121.2 112.7 119.4 119.4 238.0 232.1 117.0 123.9 113.8 120.9 121.4 240.7 233.2 117.6 126.2 115.6 122.0 123.8 243.6 235.0 119.8 128.6 116.3 123.0 125.2 245.4 234.9 121.1 129.4 116.9 124.4 126.8 219.9 208.8 110.8 117.2 107.0 110.1 110.3 228.8 222.2 115.6 121.8 109.0 115.0 111.3 232.8 226.5 117.1 123.4 112.3 116.6 113.3 235.5 230.0 116.9 125.8 113.6 118.3 114.0 238 1 231.1 118.1 128.1 114.9 119.2 116.5 241.2 232.1 119.5 130.8 116.0 120.9 118.9 243.0 232.3 120.8 131.5 116.5 122.1 121.0 Housekeeping services............................................................................ Postage .......................................................................................... Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100) .................................... 248.0 257.3 260.0 257.3 261.6 257.3 263.6 257.3 266.0 257.3 267.6 257.3 269.1 257.3 247.0 257.2 259.2 257.2 261.1 257.2 262.7 257.2 264.3 257.3 265.6 257.3 267.0 257.3 115.1 109.1 122.9 114.0 124.2 114.7 125.4 115.8 128.3 116.5 129.4 117.2 130.5 117.7 115.5 108.8 123.3 114.4 124.6 115.5 126.1 116.0 127.8 116.2 128.5 116.7 129.2 117.4 HOUSING Continued Fuel and other utilities—Continued APPAREL AND UPKEEP........................................................................ 165.7 171.0 171.9 176.0 177.3 177.5 177.2 165.3 169.8 171.5 175.1 176.1 176.8 176.0 Apparel commodities............................................................................ 160.2 164.3 165.1 169.2 170.2 170.1 169.7 160.0 163.6 165.2 168.7 169.5 169.8 168.8 Apparel commodities less footwear.................................................... Men’s and boys' .............................................................................. Men's (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ...................... Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100)........................................ Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) .................... Shirts (12/77 = 100).......................................................... Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) .................... Boys’ (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) .............. Furnishings (12/77 = 100).................................................. Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ........ Women’s and girls' .......................................................................... Women’s (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Coats and jackets .............................................................. Dresses .............................................................................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100)................ Suits (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Girls (12/77 = 100) .................................................................. Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100).................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100).............................................. 157.4 160.4 101.1 98.5 94.5 108.1 103.5 99.9 103.5 100.0 108.3 104.4 150.8 100.8 162.4 163.5 98.4 105.6 91.7 98.0 95.8 95.7 161.1 162.8 102.6 98.8 95.5 112.2 108.6 98.2 105.6 99.3 111.5 108.2 151.5 100.8 166.4 161.3 96.1 108.6 91.0 100.5 97.5 99.9 161.8 162.7 102.3 98.2 93.6 112.7 109.3 97.7 106.3 99.9 110.9 109.5 151.1 100.8 163.1 160.6 97.1 110.2 88.2 98.9 95.7 98.2 166.2 165.6 104.3 99.9 96.9 115.0 111.9 98.7 107.5 102.5 112.0 109.8 155.5 103.8 167.6 169.3 99.8 111.0 91.6 101.8 98.9 100.8 167.2 166.9 105.0 101.1 96.5 116.6 111.5 99.4 108.9 104.4 113.3 110.7 155.9 103.9 168.3 167.8 101.1 111.5 90.4 102.6 99.8 101.4 166.9 168.0 105.7 101.2 97.3 117.9 112.2 100.2 109.7 105.2 114.3 111.3 154.1 102.4 162.0 163.9 100.3 111.8 88.0 102.7 99.4 101.8 166.4 166.8 104 8 99.7 96.3 118.2 110.8 99.5 109.5 104.6 114.6 111.3 153.0 101.7 158.1 163.3 99.5 112.1 86.5 102.1 98.1 100.7 157.2 160.9 101.6 96.8 97.8 106.2 104.5 101.7 103.1 99.4 107.8 104.1 149.9 100.6 166.9 156.6 98.5 106.5 92.4 95.9 93.4 93.8 160.2 162.4 102.3 94.9 95.6 109.3 108.3 102.2 104.7 99.8 109.7 106.6 149.9 100.1 165.0 150.0 97.1 109.1 94.0 97.9 91.9 99.8 161.9 162.9 102.4 94.4 92.2 111.1 109.4 102.2 105.9 101.9 109.5 107.7 151.3 101.4 162.4 151.2 99.2 110.6 96.8 97.3 926 98.1 165.7 166.0 104.4 96.4 96.9 113.2 112.0 102.7 107.5 105.0 110.7 108.2 154.9 103.7 167.0 157.5 101.0 111.5 100.2 100.1 95.7 99.8 166.3 167.3 105.2 97.3 97.0 114.2 111.7 104.2 108.7 107.2 111.6 108.8 154.7 103.3 167.8 154.1 101.6 111.7 98.2 101.1 96.8 100.5 166.4 168.9 106.3 97.1 97.2 116.4 113.7 105.2 109.6 107.7 112.7 109.9 154.1 103.0 162.4 154.5 101.2 112.2 98.2 100.5 95.3 99.9 165.3 168.1 105.5 95.4 97.1 115.4 112.9 105.0 109.8 107.8 113.3 110.1 151.2 100.8 155.2 152.5 99.2 112.3 91.7 99.6 93.8 98.5 105.7 106.7 105.6 108.4 109.5 110.0 111.4 103.4 104.4 103.5 107.8 108.9 110.0 110.9 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 1979 1980 1979 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Apparel commodities less footwear—Continued Infants’ and toddlers’ ...................................................................... Other apparel commodities ............................................................ Sewing materials and notions (12/77 - 100) ............................ Jewelry and luggage (12/77 - 100) ........................................ 220.9 167.3 101.0 111.3 224.9 184.4 103.2 126.1 226.6 191.4 106.3 131.2 231.4 199.9 107.1 138.6 234.3 201.9 107.9 140.1 237.4 202.7 109.1 140.4 240.9 205.3 110.2 142.2 223.9 167.8 95.7 114.3 229.1 185.5 101.2 128.4 232.7 191.8 105.7 132.3 237.3 197.8 107.2 137.3 241.1 198.5 106.9 138.1 242.8 197.4 108.6 136.3 246.8 201.0 110.9 138.6 Footwear.............................................................................................. Men’s (12/77 - 100) .................................................................... Boys'and girls’ (12/77 - 100) ...................................................... Womens' (12/77 - 100)................................................................ 176.7 114.0 110.3 108.4 183.7 117.8 117.3 111.6 184.6 118.3 117.9 112.1 187.0 119.0 119.5 114.2 188.3 119.7 119.5 115.6 189.3 120.0 121.3 115.8 189.0 121.3 121.0 114.6 176.0 113.2 110.0 107.9 183.3 119.3 116.9 109.4 183.9 119.4 118.0 109.5 186.3 120.9 119.5 110.9 188.1 122.4 119.5 112.6 189.3 122.7 121.5 112.9 188.9 123.6 121.3 111.7 Apparel services ................................................................................ Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 - 100)............ Other apparel services (12/77 - 100) .................................................. 204.8 119.7 111.4 220.7 129.3 119.6 222.9 130.6 120.7 225.9 132.5 122.1 230.0 135.5 123.3 232.2 136.9 124.5 233.6 137.5 125.5 203.6 119.2 111.1 216.9 129.0 115.1 219.8 130.6 116.9 223.5 132.3 119.6 226.0 134.1 120.4 230.8 135.6 125.0 231.8 137.3 123.9 APPAREL AND UPKEEP Apparel commodities Continued Continued TRANSPORTATION ............................................................................ 212.6 233.5 239.6 243.7 246.8 249.0 249.7 213.7 234.1 240.2 244.3 247.7 249.9 250.6 Private................................................................................................ 213.3 233.5 239.8 244.0 247.0 249.2 249.7 214.1 234.1 240.4 244.6 248.0 250.1 250.8 New cars ............................................................................................ Useo c a rs ............................................................................................ Gasoline .............................................................................................. Automobile maintenance and repair........................................................ Body work (12/77 - 100).............................................................. Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 - 100) ................................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Power plant repair (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Other private transportation .................................................................. Other private transportation commodities ........................................ Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 - 100) ................ Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................ Tires ................................................................................ Other parts and equipment (12/77 =100) ........................ Other private transportation services................................................ Automobile insurance .............................................................. Automobile finance charges (12/77 - 100) .............................. Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . . State registration .............................................................. Drivers’ license (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Vehicle inspection (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Other vehicle related fees (12/77 - 100) .......................... 166.3 208.9 265.0 242.0 116.0 173.9 197.2 334.6 255.1 125.0 175.3 195.3 357.6 258.2 126.5 175.0 195.2 370.9 260.9 127.3 177.0 196.7 374.7 264.1 129.1 178.9 199.3 375.4 266.1 130.6 178.5 200.7 376.2 267.3 131.4 165.9 208.9 266.2 242.3 116.0 174.1 197.2 335.9 256.2 124.3 175.4 195.3 359.0 259.2 126.1 175.4 195.2 372.7 261.7 127.2 177.7 196.8 376.3 264.3 128.4 179.6 199.3 377.1 266.1 129.7 179.4 200.8 377.6 268.0 130.8 115.8 115.0 113.9 197.3 171.8 110.3 111.2 151.9 114.1 206.0 227.3 116.3 106.8 144.0 104.5 114.6 113.6 121.8 120.2 120.4 209.8 188.4 120.9 121.9 165.8 126.6 217.6 237.1 129.9 109.1 144.2 104.7 117.5 118.8 123.2 121.3 122.5 212.6 191.2 123.9 123.5 168.5 127.3 220.4 240.2 132.1 109.8 145.2 104.8 119.0 119.6 124.1 123.1 123.5 216.5 192.7 126.4 124.3 170.1 127.2 225.0 244.0 137.4 110.8 145.3 104.7 119.7 122.0 126.1 124.7 124.4 221.3 194.1 129.8 124.8 171.2 127.1 230.6 245.2 148.6 111.5 146.4 104.7 119.7 122.7 126.6 125.9 125.1 224.5 195.3 132.2 125.4 172.6 126.5 234.5 247.1 155.0 112.1 146.4 104.7 120.4 124.0 127.5 126.1 125.9 225.0 195.5 134.1 125.3 172.3 126.8 235.0 248.5 153.7 112.9 146.4 104.7 121.5 126.1 116.7 114.6 114.3 197.7 172.6 109.3 111.9 153.7 113.4 206.3 227.2 115.6 107.2 143.9 104.3 115.5 116.6 123.6 120.4 120.9 210.6 188.0 122.4 121.4 166.3 124.0 218.7 236.8 129.4 109.8 144.1 104.5 118.3 123.8 124.8 121.3 123.1 213.6 191.7 124.0 123.9 170.6 125.0 221.5 239.7 131.3 110.9 145.3 104.5 119.7 125.4 126.1 122.8 124.0 217.1 193.2 126.1 124.7 172.5 124.4 225.7 243.8 135.2 111.6 145.5 104.4 120.2 127.0 127.4 124.2 124.6 223.1 195.8 129.1 126.2 174.9 125.1 232.6 244.9 147.8 112.2 146.5 104.4 120.3 127.8 127.8 125.4 125.4 226.7 196.7 131.5 126.5 175.6 125.0 236.8 246.9 153.8 113.1 146.5 104.4 121.0 130.0 128.8 126.2 126.2 227.3 196.8 133.6 126.3 174.9 125.4 237.6 248.2 153.5 114.0 146.5 104.4 122.1 132.7 Public.................................................................................................. 194.0 226.8 229.5 232.1 235.9 239.5 242.2 194.8 221.9 223.9 226.1 229.7 232.9 234.9 259.3 290.2 198.6 251.2 237.1 263.9 291.0 200.8 261.6 237.2 270.0 293.4 202.0 265.7 251.1 275.4 293.6 201.9 267.6 255.5 263.1 264.9 265.9 Airline fare............................................................................................ Intercity bus fare .................................................................................. Intracity mass transit ............................................................................ Taxi fare .............................................................................................. Intercity train fa re .................................................................................. 194.3 253.9 188.4 217.2 205.3 251.1 284.7 198.5 243.1 237.2 255.4 288.5 199.7 244.0 237.2 259.9 290.7 200.8 245.6 237.2 264.3 291.5 203.0 256.4 237.3 270.0 293.6 204.6 259.9 250.0 275.5 293.8 204.4 262.0 255.2 193.8 253.2 188.4 223.3 205.2 251.0 284.8 196.7 248.9 237.1 255.2 288.2 197.6 249.3 237.0 MEDICAL CARE .................................................................................. 237.7 253.9 257.9 260.2 262.0 263.4 264.7 238.2 254.9 258.7 260.9 Medical care commodities.................................................................. 153.3 160.5 162.1 163.5 164.9 166.4 167.9 154.5 161.0 162.7 164.4 166.0 167.2 168.5 Prescription drugs ................................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 - 100).................................................. Tranquillizers and sedatives (12/77 - 100)...................................... Clrculatories and diuretics (12/77 - 100)........................................ Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription and supplies (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100) .............................. Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 - 100)................................................ 141.3 112.0 113.7 108.3 147.9 115.8 119.9 112.4 149.8 117.2 121.3 113.4 150.9 117.9 122.2 113.3 152.2 118.5 122.9 114.2 153.5 118.7 124.1 114.6 154.8 120.5 124.9 115.1 142.4 112.9 114.2 109.2 148.8 118.2 119.7 113.0 150.7 119.8 121.0 114.2 152.0 120.1 122.2 114.7 153.5 120.4 122.7 115.9 154.6 120.7 123.5 116.8 155.8 122.0 124.2 117.3 117.9 112.1 126.0 118.8 128.7 119.7 130.0 120.5 131.3 121.4 133.2 122.9 134.3 124.2 118.0 113.4 124.8 119.0 127.8 120.1 129.6 121.3 131.3 122.6 132.4 124.2 133.7 125.5 109.4 112.6 113.7 115.5 117.1 118.2 118.6 110.9 114.2 115.2 116.5 118.5 119.5 120.2 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 - 100) .................... Eyeglasses (12/77 - 100) ............................................................ Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ................................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100)........ 110.2 107.4 170.3 109.1 115.3 111.5 179.1 113.8 116.3 112.9 180.4 114.6 117.3 114.1 182.2 115.1 118.4 115.0 184.4 115.3 119.5 116.5 186.0 116.5 120.6 118.2 187.3 117.5 111.2 107.7 172.0 110.3 115.6 111.4 179.0 115.0 116.6 112.6 180.8 115.6 118.0 114.5 183.0 116.1 119.2 115.3 185.4 116.3 120.1 116.3 186.9 117.1 121.0 117.3 188.4 117.5 Medical care services 255.9 274.4 279.0 281.5 283.4 284.7 285.9 256.1 275.6 279.8 282.2 284.5 286.3 287.3 Professional services ............................................................................ Physicians' services........................................................................ Dental services.............................................................................. Other professional services (12/77 - 100)...................................... 225.7 241.8 214.3 110.6 238.9 256.0 227.4 116.6 242.9 260.2 231.5 118.1 245.3 262.3 234.1 119.5 248.2 264.8 237.2 121.7 250.3 267.5 238.8 122.2 251.8 269.2 240.3 122.9 227.3 243.6 216.5 110.0 241.7 260.3 229.5 115.9 245.5 264.1 233.4 117.4 247.8 266.2 235.7 119.3 251.2 269.7 238.9 121.1 253.5 272.3 241.2 121.6 255.1 273.9 243.1 122.2 Other medical care services.................................................................. Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100).......................... Hospital room.......................................................................... Other hospital and medical care services .................................. 292.5 116.2 366.0 115.2 317.4 125.6 395.3 124.7 322.7 127.8 403.4 126.5 325.3 128.8 405.8 127.8 325.8 129.7 408.0 128.8 326.3 130.4 410.1 129.5 327.2 131.4 412.6 130.6 291.2 115.3 362.9 114.3 317.3 124.9 393.9 123.8 322.1 126.8 398.8 125.9 324.4 127.7 401.2 126.9 325.3 128.6 403.6 128.0 326.5 129.7 406.7 129.1 326.5 130.3 408.5 129.7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 1979 1980 June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June ENTERTAINMENT...................................... 188.2 195.3 197.8 200.6 202.5 204.0 205.3 187.5 193.9 196.2 199.5 201.3 202.4 204.0 Entertainment commodities.................. 1887 197.6 200.4 203.4 205.7 207.0 208.3 187.4 194.2 196.9 200.3 202.8 203.4 204.5 Reading materials (12/77 = 100).................................... Newspapers ........................................ Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100).......................... 109.5 211.6 111.6 116.7 226.8 118.1 117.4 227.7 119.2 119.4 232.4 120.8 120.1 234.8 120.8 121.5 237.2 122.4 122.3 239.0 123.1 109.1 211.1 111.6 116.2 226.4 117.8 117.0 227.3 118.9 119.1 232.0 120.7 119.7 234.3 120.6 121.1 236.4 122.3 121.8 238.2 122.8 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100)................ Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) ........................ Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100) .. Bicycles .......................................................... Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100) .......... 1093 110.3 106.1 160.1 106.9 113.8 117.2 118.7 109.5 177.2 1129 118.7 120.6 111.3 178.6 113.1 118.5 119.9 112.0 179.7 113.7 118.6 119.8 111.1 180.6 114.6 106.6 107.0 103.3 160.0 105.4 108.6 107.6 170.5 111.8 115.9 117.4 108.3 174.5 112.4 106.4 170.5 111.9 110.8 109.1 107.8 174.9 112.6 112.4 110.8 109.3 177.8 113.4 114.1 113.0 110.5 179.8 114.0 114.0 112.5 110.3 180.9 114.6 114.2 112.6 110.2 181.4 115.3 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100)........ Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................ Pet supplies and expense (12/77 = 100)................................ 108.9 109.2 107.6 109.2 113.2 112.1 110.8 116.8 115.1 114.1 114.1 117.6 116.9 115.7 118.2 118.2 118.4 117.3 120.1 119.2 119.4 118.5 120.8 120.1 120.6 119.6 121.8 121.7 109.0 109.0 107.3 110.0 112.6 110.9 111.2 116.7 114.3 112.3 114.2 117.9 116.4 114.9 116.9 119.0 118.0 116.5 118.9 120.0 118.1 115.8 120.5 120.9 119.0 117.0 121.1 121.4 Entertainment services ........................ 187.9 192.5 194.5 197.0 198.5 200.1 201.4 188.8 194.4 196.0 199.1 199.9 201.8 204.3 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100)........................ Admissions (12/77 = 100).................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100).......................... 111.6 113.3 109.0 114.6 117.9 109.1 116.0 118.3 111.4 117.5 119.1 113.2 119.0 118.7 114.8 120.2 118.8 116.4 120.9 120.4 116.6 111.5 113.2 111.0 115.6 119.4 109.3 116.3 119.7 111.8 118.8 120.0 113.9 119.3 120.1 115.1 120.5 121.0 116.5 121.5 123.2 118.2 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES.......................... 194.5 206.3 208.1 208.9 209.8 211.2 212.5 194.3 206.0 207.7 208.3 209.2 210.6 212.1 Tobacco products ...................................... 186.4 196.7 198.1 198.4 198.8 200.4 203.4 186.5 197.1 198.3 198.6 198.9 200.5 203.6 Cigarettes.................................................. Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100) 188.8 110.3 199.7 113.9 200.9 115.6 201.2 116.3 201.4 117.6 202.9 119.0 206.0 120.2 189.0 109.8 200.3 113.4 201.3 114.8 201.6 115.7 201.6 117.2 203.2 118.5 206.4 119.5 Personal care ................................ 195.0 204.2 206.5 208.1 209.7 211.6 212.4 194.6 204.4 206.6 207.7 209.5 210.9 211.8 Toilet goods and personal care appliances.............................. Products for the hair, hairpieces and wigs (12/77 = 100)................ Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 100) .............................. Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100) .......................... Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 187.9 108.8 112.6 196.4 114.2 117.8 198.6 116.1 118.6 200.2 116.6 119.2 201.8 117.9 120.5 204.1 120.0 121.0 205.1 120.7 122.3 187.8 108.9 110.2 196.2 114.0 115.3 198.3 114.9 116.8 199.6 114.9 118.4 201.8 117.9 119.3 203.9 120.0 118.8 204.5 119.7 120.4 108.6 106.9 112.9 112.1 114.2 112.9 115.1 114.7 115.7 115.4 116.5 117.4 116.7 117.6 107.8 109.8 112.9 114.0 114.0 115.6 114.8 116.6 115.2 117.2 116.2 119.0 116.6 119.1 Personal care services.................................... Beauty parlor services for women.............................. Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) ___ 202.0 203.7 112.6 211.6 213.3 118.1 214.2 216.1 119.3 215.7 217.9 119.7 217.2 218.6 121.7 218.8 220.4 122.2 219.6 220.6 123.4 201.4 203.6 111.7 212.7 214.2 118.8 215.0 216.6 120.0 215.8 217.8 120.1 217.2 218.6 121.5 218.1 219.4 122.0 219.1 220.2 122.8 Personal and educational expenses 209.1 226.3 228.0 228.3 228.7 229.2 229.5 209.6 226.2 227.8 228.2 228.7 229.4 229.8 School books and supplies.......................................... Personal and educational services................................ Tuition and other school fees .................................... College tuition (12/77 = 100) ............................ Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) .................... Personal expenses (12/77 = 100).................................... 191.6 213.6 108.8 109.1 107.5 112.6 206.0 231.4 118.3 117.6 120.9 120.1 206.5 233.3 118.5 117.8 120.9 124.4 206.9 233.6 118.6 117.9 120.9 125.0 207.1 234.0 118.6 117.9 120.9 126.1 207.1 234.7 118.6 117.9 120.9 127.8 207.1 235.0 118.6 117.9 120.9 128.7 194.2 213.7 108.7 109.1 107.4 112.6 209.8 230.6 118.4 117.6 120.7 117.7 210.4 232.5 118.6 117.8 120.7 121.4 210.7 232.9 118.7 117.9 120.7 122.1 210.9 233.4 118.7 117.9 120.7 123.3 210.9 234.2 118.7 117.9 120.7 125.1 210.9 234.8 118.7 117.9 120.7 126.4 261.9 268.2 212.7 270.2 329.9 310.5 225.0 284.7 352.5 316.7 227.9 287.6 365.5 326.3 230.9 292.0 369.3 335.2 233.4 295.7 370.1 342.6 238.9 297.6 370.9 353.8 244.8 298.6 263.1 267.9 213.2 217.4 331.3 310.0 224.4 286.0 353.8 316.2 227.2 288.7 367.2 325.6 230.2 292.0 370.8 335.2 232.6 295.1 371.6 342.8 237.9 296.5 372.2 354.0 244.0 296.7 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products............ Insurance and finance ................................ Utilities and public transportation............................ Housekeeping and home maintenance services ............ 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group 1980 Feb. Apr. Feb. Apr. 1980 1980 1980 June Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000 385,000) Size class B (385,000-1.250 million) June Feb. Apr. June Feb. Apr. June Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 122.1 122.1 122.9 109.5 129.9 120.6 114.4 114.4 125.0 124.5 126.1 112.5 133.8 122.4 116.7 114.7 127.1 126.2 129.6 111.5 135.3 123.0 117.7 116.1 125.6 124.3 126.7 107.1 135.0 121.6 115.7 116.5 129.0 127.1 130.0 111.1 140.8 122.4 117.9 117.5 131.0 128.6 133.1 111.3 141.7 123.2 120.2 119.0 129.1 126.0 135.5 107.3 133.1 121.3 112.2 119.2 132.7 128.8 140.2 112.7 136.2 122.5 115.7 119.6 135.6 130.5 144.9 113.2 138.2 123.5 116.5 121.9 124.2 123.4 124.8 106.8 133.5 121.4 118.9 114.8 127.4 125.2 127.9 113.0 138.1 122.7 121.5 116.0 131.0 127.6 133.5 115.0 140.2 124.4 123.8 116.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 124.1 125.3 119.5 126.5 127.8 122.9 128.4 129.7 125.4 127.5 129.1 122.5 130.8 132.5 126.3 132.1 133.8 129.2 128.5 129.7 129.9 131.6 132.9 134.5 133.8 135.4 138.5 125.6 126.6 122.2 128.0 129.3 126.5 131.5 133.3 130.2 North Central EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel anc upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 129.6 124.9 136.7 105.2 133.5 123.2 116.9 115.4 133.2 126.8 141.1 109.2 138.1 125.3 118.9 116.2 136.7 128.1 147.5 108.5 140.1 126.1 120.1 117.9 127.2 122.6 131.5 107.1 133.4 122.2 111.5 119.4 130.9 124.9 135.8 111.2 137.6 125.0 114.0 121.5 134.4 126.7 141.2 111.0 140.7 125.8 117.1 123.2 126.4 124.8 127.6 109.0 135.8 124.5 116.2 115.5 128.9 127.0 130.4 110.7 139.3 125.7 118.7 116.7 131.9 128.7 135.6 111.0 140.4 126.6 121.3 117.5 125.8 126.9 125.9 110.4 132.6 126.8 115.9 119.1 128.7 128.9 129.1 113.6 137.4 127.4 116.1 119.8 131.9 129.6 134.5 114.6 139.8 128.9 117.3 121.6 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 128.1 129.6 131.8 130.9 132.8 136.6 132.9 135.2 142.3 124.5 125.2 131.6 127.9 129.2 135.6 129.9 131.2 141.7 125.9 126.4 127.1 128.1 128.5 130.3 129.7 130.1 135.5 124.3 123.1 128.2 126.0 124.8 132.9 128.0 127.3 138.1 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and jpkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 127.1 125.0 129.1 112.5 135.7 119.7 114.5 118.5 130.7 126.4 133.9 116.4 139.7 121.9 115.7 119.3 133.5 128.5 138.5 116.4 140.9 124.1 116.3 120.9 128.0 124.4 131.9 109.6 134.7 121.6 115.4 117.7 131.7 127.0 136.7 112.9 138.4 123.3 119.8 118.1 134.7 127.9 141.4 112.6 140.6 125.8 122.5 119.5 127.9 126.0 131.8 105.5 133.7 124.8 115.9 117.5 131.3 127.8 136.6 108.2 137.2 126.4 118.3 118.8 133.1 129.1 138.9 107.3 139.7 127.5 120.3 120.2 125.9 124.0 127.7 100.9 133.1 129.0 121.6 121.5 128.3 126.2 129.7 104.7 136.5 131.2 124.4 121.9 131.4 128.1 134.0 107.2 138.7 133.9 128.0 123.9 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 126.7 127.5 127.7 129.3 130.6 132.6 130.9 132.0 137.2 125.9 126.6 131.1 129.0 129.8 135.8 130.6 131.7 140.9 126.4 126.5 130.2 128.7 129.1 135.3 129.7 130.0 138.4 124.7 125.0 127.7 127.2 127.7 129.8 129.0 129.3 135.1 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 129.6 124.2 132.9 113.6 137.4 125.6 113.5 119.2 132.8 126.5 136.3 115.7 141.2 128.8 117.8 121.2 136.1 127.7 142.5 114.5 141.1 129.5 119.5 121.7 130.6 126.9 134.6 112.4 135.8 124.8 118.6 120.3 134.1 128.8 139.1 115.8 139.2 126.9 123.1 121.5 136.0 130.2 141.4 118.4 140.7 127.9 123.9 124.3 128.1 123.8 131.0 104.2 137.1 124.6 117.8 116.3 131.4 125.7 134.8 107.7 141.2 126.7 121.0 117.7 133.6 127.6 137.9 107.4 142.1 129.4 122.4 119.0 127.1 125.7 127.1 114.7 134.8 126.2 123.6 119.7 130.4 128.0 129.7 121.8 139.6 128.9 127.5 122.5 134.3 129.6 135.9 123.6 141.7 132.5 130.3 124.4 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities ...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverage............................................................ Services ............................................................................................................ 127.0 128.1 133.2 129.5 130.8 137.2 130.4 131.6 143.6 128.8 129.6 133.0 131.5 132.7 137.7 132.5 133.5 140.8 126.7 127.8 130.0 129.0 130.4 134.8 130.1 131.1 138.5 126.7 127.2 127.6 129.8 130.6 131.2 131.7 132.6 138.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 25. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers Area1 U.S. city average2 .............................................................. Anchorage, Alaska (10/67=100) ........................................ Atlanta, Ga................................................................... Baltimore, Md......................................................... Boston. Mass........................................................................ Buffalo, N.Y.......................................................................... Chicago, III-Northwestern Ind................................................ Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind......................................................... Cleveland, O hio.................................................................. Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex............................................................ Denver-Boulder, Colo............................................................ Detroit. Mich......................................................................... Honolulu, Hawaii ................................................................ Houston, Tex........................................................................ Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas .................................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif............................... Miami, Fla. (11/77=100) .................................................... Milwaukee, Wis..................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis.............................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J........................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).................................................... 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June June Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 216.6 233.2 236.4 239.8 242.5 244.9 247.6 216.9 233.3 236.5 239.9 242.6 245.1 247.8 242.2 214.5 218.2 212.6 223.5 230.3 234.4 227.3 209.3 213.5 245.0 234.2 227.9 230.3 239.5 219.9 217.5 232.7 237.2 232.6 213.8 214.5 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif................................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va....................................................... 212.5 226.1 224.4 227.2 240.4 220.9 255.9 238.7 237.6 231.1 235.5 243.1 251.6 247.3 251.4 242.9 241.3 248.2 227.4 260.8 243.8 244.6 231.2 229.0 234.6 249.1 237.4 240.9 234.5 232.5 239.4 209.7 248.2 213.2 250.1 256.4 221.2 218.0 227.9 229.9 241.0 256.7 227.5 266.5 247.8 250.1 215.5 203.6 234.5 218.4 214.5 232.5 246.4 237.2 223.4 212.2 242.5 246.1 214.5 215.0 235.0 124.9 240.8 225.5 225.8 228.0 231.6 235.9 248.0 2Average of 85 cities. 213.7 242.4 243.9 230.8 231.3 235.1 250.5 254.5 248.0 228.4 257.3 242.2 247.8 248.9 252.6 255.8 228.0 262.8 246.3 253.4 130.9 255.2 245.7 232.4 237.9 242.2 234.1 235.8 239.9 248.4 236.7 243.8 246.8 255.9 242.6 264.8 242.8 241.3 239.2 248.0 262.4 251.7 238.5 255.6 240.0 233.8 233.0 234.6 243.0 252.9 248.4 249.6 128.8 247.8 239.6 227.7 243.5 233.5 251.0 249.6 241.2 239.8 259.4 239.9 221.3 251.9 236.6 240.0 244.7 247.8 236.8 233.3 235.2 249.7 244.1 240.9 236.4 223.1 239.3 243.9 234.2 250.9 257.3 241.8 269.7 243.5 243.8 238.8 235.4 129.7 250.3 244.3 233.1 253.6 238.1 258.3 240.7 248.4 220.2 233.5 234.5 226.9 258.0 127.7 242.7 237.9 228.0 244.6 232.7 254.0 236.0 231.9 240.1 255.2 123.3 236.4 222.3 212.5 235.5 247.8 215.9 249.1 236.9 233.7 243.5 241.7 247.3 215.4 204.4 235.5 219.5 212.9 226.5 235.3 ’ The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated Area is used for New York and Chicago. 96 1979 June Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J............................................................. Pittsburgh, Pa....................................................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash............................................................ St. Louis, Mo.-lll.................................................................... San Diego, Calif................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 247.7 246.8 242.0 26. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Commodity grouping Annual average 1979 1979 July Aug. Sept. 1980 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb Mar.' Apr. May June July FINISHED GOODS Finished goods.................................................................... 216.1 216.2 217.3 220.7 224.2 226.3 228.1 232.4 235.7 238.5 240.0 241.0 242.6 246.6 Finished consumer goods.............................................. Finished consumer foods .......................................... Crude ................................................................ Processed ............................................................ Nondurable goods less foods .................................... Durable goods.......................................................... 215.7 226.3 231.4 223.8 225.9 181.9 215.6 224.9 224.9 222.8 227.1 181.6 217.5 223.5 231.7 220.7 233.4 181.6 221.7 228.1 214.0 227.0 239.0 182.9 224.7 226.7 215.5 225.5 243.3 189.0 227.1 230.5 228.1 228.6 245.5 190.0 229.1 232.1 227.9 230.3 247.9 191.8 233.5 231.4 226.0 229.7 254.7 199.1 237.6 231.6 220.1 230.4 262.7 202.1 240.8 233.1 230.9 231.1 270.9 200.3 241.6 228.7 222.2 227.1 276.5 200.3 242.8 230.0 227.7 228.1 279.1 199.7 244.5 231.0 223.4 2294 280.3 202.7 249.1 239.5 230.7 238 0 282.8 205.3 Capital equipment ........................................................ 216.7 217.2 216.5 217.8 222.8 223.9 225.3 229.3 230.5 232.2 235.8 236.0 237.5 240.2 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components.................. 242.8 244.6 247.5 251.0 255.0 256.3 258.7 265.9 271.6 273.7 274.5 275.8 277.7 280.3 Materials and components for manufacturing.................. Materials for food manufacturing................................ Materials for nondurable manufacturing...................... Materials tor durable manufacturing............................ Components for manufacturing .................................. 234.1 223.6 220.1 271.3 206.8 236.0 226.7 222.5 273.3 207.7 238.0 225.1 225.3 275.2 209.3 240.7 228.9 227.6 278.8 211.3 244.3 225.5 231.4 284.7 213.2 245.5 227.8 233.4 284.6 214.8 247.8 230.4 235.3 287.8 216.3 255.5 226.0 241.1 303.7 219.2 259.8 245.6 244.0 306.5 223.2 259.5 240.1 247.4 301.4 225.3 259.7 238.7 251.8 296.2 227.4 261.8 255.4 254.9 295.1 228.0 263.9 260.2 256.0 298.3 229.6 264.7 262.6 256.9 297.9 231.2 INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS Materials and components for construction .................... 246.9 247.4 249.2 252.5 254.7 254.0 253.7 257.7 262.1 265.5 265.3 265.3 267.3 269.2 Processed fuels and lubricants...................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... 360.9 298.9 422.9 364.8 304.0 425.5 384.6 311.2 458.8 399.4 317.2 483.0 410.6 322.5 500.6 416.5 325.2 510.0 424.6 332.2 519.1 444.0 340.5 550.3 464.0 351.4 579.9 481.0 356.6 609.5 486.7 358.4 619.5 488.3 363.6 617.0 489.6 368.2 614.7 504.9 378.4 635.3 Containers .................................................................. 235.3 235.4 237.6 237.9 242.6 243.8 247.1 250.9 251.6 253.8 262.5 263.7 265.3 267.1 Supplies...................................................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... Feeds .................................................................. Other supplies ...................................................... 217.6 204.4 224.7 224.1 221.5 219.6 204.2 227.8 241.3 221.5 219.6 208.6 225.4 220.8 223.1 221.2 209.4 227.5 224.0 224.9 224.9 212.2 231.7 228.9 228.9 226.4 213.7 233.3 226.9 231.2 229.2 216.3 236.1 2304 233.9 232.5 220.9 238.7 224.4 238.3 239.0 222.5 247.8 223.3 249.6 240.8 223.7 249.8 218.9 252.9 240.7 226.8 248.1 207.1 253.5 240.8 228.4 247.5 210.6 251.9 242.3 230.2 248.8 208.1 254.1 246.2 232.3 253.6 223.0 256.6 CRUDE MATERIALS Crude materials for further processing.................................. 282.2 287.1 281.7 288.3 289.5 290.8 296.2 296.8 308.4 303.5 296.9 300.7 299.5 316.3 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.............................................. 247.2 254.1 243.7 248.7 247.5 246.4 249.7 243.0 252.6 245.9 235.5 242.4 242.5 263.3 Nonfood materials........................................................ (2) 349.3 353.6 363.1 368.9 374.9 384.2 398.9 414.3 412.7 413.5 410.4 407.9 416.8 Nonfood materials except fuel.................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Construction.......................................................... 284.5 293.3 207.0 285.2 294.0 207.2 286.1 294.9 208.6 293.3 302.8 209.9 298.1 307.8 212.6 304.6 314.9 214.8 311.6 322.5 216.6 330.1 342.1 226.0 341.7 354.9 228.7 339.8 352.5 229.9 336.9 349.0 232.4 c 329.2 340.2 232.9 c 324.4 334.6 234.2 331.3 342.3 235.3 Crude fu e l................................................................ Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries .................................. 568.2 607.6 548.3 570.7 610.4 550.7 586.2 629.2 563.6 604.0 651.8 577.8 612.9 662.5 585.5 617.4 667.8 589.3 634.5 688.3 603.9 636.3 690.3 605.7 664.8 725.7 628.8 664.1 724.5 628.8 677.4 740.8 639.8 690.4 756.7 650.6 695.5 762.6 655.1 711.0 781.9 667.8 Finished goods excluding foods............................................ Finished consumer goods excluding foods...................... (2) 208.2 211.4 208.4 213.2 212.3 216.2 216.3 221.3 220.6 222.8 223.1 224.6 225.3 230.5 232.3 234.6 238.3 237.8 242.3 241.2 245.5 242.0 246.8 243.8 248.8 246.4 251.4 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds.......................... 244.0 245.4 249.0 252.5 256.8 258.1 260.5 268.4 273.7 276.2 277.4 278.0 279.9 282.3 Intermediate foods and feeds .............................................. 223.2 231.0 223.1 226.6 226.0 226.9 229.8 224.8 237.5 232.4 227.5 239.7 242.1 248.7 Crude materials less agricultural products ............................ 390.5 391.7 396.9 408.6 417.0 424.1 435.0 452.9 469.3 469.0 4694 464.6 463.7 470.5 SPECIAL GROUPINGS 1Data for March 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Not available, c = corrected. 97 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.' Apr. May June July All commodities ........................................................................ All commodities (1957 - 59 = 100) ............................................ 235.6 250.0 236.9 251.4 238.3 252.8 242.0 256.7 245.6 260.6 247.2 262.3 249.7 267.3 254.9 r270.2 260.2 275.6 261.9 277.4 262.3 278.3 263.7 279.7 265.2 282.5 269.8 286.3 Farm products and processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities .............................................................. 229.8 236.5 232.2 237.5 227.5 240.6 231.8 244.2 230.6 249.0 232.3 250.6 234.6 253.1 231.9 260.6 237.0 265.9 234.9 268.6 229.2 270.7 233.9 271.2 234.2 273.0 246.1 275.6 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01 -4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS Farm products ............................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ........................................ Grains...................................................................................... Livestock ................................................................................ Live poultry.............................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.............................................................. Fluid milk ................................................................................ Eggs........................................................................................ Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds .................................................... Other farm products ................................................................ 241.4 229.0 214.8 260.3 194.3 209.9 250.1 176.5 244.3 289.0 246.8 226.7 247.4 256.0 183.8 207.6 247.6 167.6 260.1 311.9 238.5 241.7 229.1 240.2 171.9 207.9 250.0 166.8 251.9 310.8 241.0 208.3 224.4 256.4 173.5 211.3 258.5 175.4 240.9 315.9 239.6 218.0 229.0 251.7 162.0 212.9 260.8 155.9 235.6 313.6 240.2 216.5 226.6 248.3 195.5 215.4 262.5 178.7 229.8 318.3 242.5 210.7 227.9 252.5 194.7 222.0 264.0 198.4 230.3 319.4 236.4 219.0 214.6 247.8 195.2 239.0 262.3 165.6 218.1 301.1 242.3 220.6 223.3 257.2 184.6 269.5 263.8 150.4 224.7 304.7 239.3 218.5 217.9 251.8 180.1 254.9 263.1 184.2 215.9 311.5 228.9 223.0 210.8 230.5 171.9 266.9 265.4 153.3 205.1 304.8 233.6 243.8 219.0 233.3 171.3 272.7 265.4 145.7 206.7 311.0 233.4 233.4 215.3 240.0 166.6 247.0 265.5 146.8 207.4 309.4 253.9 247.5 244.8 260.5 227.2 267.0 265.8 159.3 251.4 292.4 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds.......................................................... Cereal and bakery products...................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Dairy products.......................................................................... Processed fruits and vegetables................................................ Sugar and confectionery .......................................................... Beverages and beverage materials............................................ Fats and o ils ............................................................................ Miscellaneous processed foods ................................................ Manufactured animal feeds ...................................................... 222.5 210.3 242.0 211.2 221.9 214.7 210.7 243.3 216.5 219.4 223.3 212.4 237.7 209.0 223.6 215.7 214.1 253.2 212.7 234.9 220.5 216.0 225.5 215.2 224.6 218.3 216.5 251.7 217.6 216.2 225.8 218.7 239.9 218.3 225.1 217.2 217.9 253.3 219.0 219.2 224.8 219.8 234.2 218.1 223.4 218.9 218.9 246.0 220.8 224.0 227.1 222.5 239.3 219.3 222.4 222.9 221.2 241.9 222.2 222.4 229.3 223.6 242.8 219.9 222.6 234.4 221.6 235.6 223.1 224.9 228.5 225.4 239.6 221.0 222.9 235.0 224.0 225.1 225.4 219.7 233.1 229.9 239.6 220.8 223.3 287.5 224.8 226.4 223.5 219.8 231.6 231.8 239.2 223.0 223.7 264.1 225.9 222.6 224.7 216.6 228.5 231.5 226.0 227.8 224.5 274.8 227.9 214.7 225.1 205.4 233.1 233.5 224.8 228.9 225.2 327.4 231.4 212.1 223.2 207.3 233.8 233.1 226.6 229.9 227.3 324.7 233.6 213.0 223.0 205.4 241.1 234.6 248.5 230.5 229.5 313.7 234.4 221.7 223.6 220.6 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ........................................................ Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).................................................. Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ............................ Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)...................................................... Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ................................................ Appare.................................................................................... Textile housefurnishings............................................................ 168.7 119.0 109.2 127.1 107.4 160.4 190.4 169.3 119.5 109.5 128.3 108.2 160.3 189.9 170.5 120.6 110.6 128.7 109.0 161.4 190.5 171.3 123.6 111.7 128.7 109.1 161.6 193.9 172.0 124.7 112.1 129.7 108.9 162.2 196.3 172.8 124.2 112.5 130.7 109.7 163.1 196.5 173.1 124.7 112.7 132.3 109.9 162.6 197.1 175.2 127.0 114.6 132.7 110.5 165.5 199.0 176.5 127.2 118.0 132.3 111.1 166.8 199.7 179.3 129.1 119.3 136.8 113.2 168.0 201.3 180.6 130.7 122.1 136.1 114.5 169.1 201.6 181.5 133.5 123.5 135.3 115.2 169.7 202.6 182.4 134.8 122.4 133.7 115.5 172.0 202.7 184.3 136.3 121.9 134.8 116.5 174.1 210.7 04 04-1 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .................................... Hides and skins........................................................................ Leather.................................................................................... Footwear ................................................................................ Other leather and related products............................................ 252.4 535.4 356.7 218.0 205.0 261.9 566.5 385.2 221.8 212.1 257.9 511.9 365.9 225.4 210.9 251.1 465.3 330.0 226.9 210.1 253.9 478.8 343.6 227.5 209.7 248.9 447.6 319.8 227.9 208.4 249.2 443.9 324.8 227.9 208.0 255.7 468.8 347.6 229.1 213.1 250.9 404.8 340.3 228.0 214.8 246.8 348.7 311.0 231.8 217.8 243.6 328.6 297.6 231.9 216.3 240.7 289.7 290.4 231.9 217.5 241.0 315.7 284.4 232.1 216.0 244.9 356.6 292.2 232.9 216.3 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power .......................................... C oal........................................................................................ Coke ...................................................................................... Gas fuels2 .............................................................................. Electric power.......................................................................... Crude petroleum 3 .................................................................... Petroleum products, refined4 .................................................... 408.1 450.9 429.2 544.1 270.2 376.5 444.8 411.8 452.5 430.6 548.4 274.8 370.6 449.8 432.8 454.2 430.6 572.4 278.8 385.7 482.8 454.8 452.5 430.6 603.4 280.5 422.1 513.7 468.5 454.6 431.2 619.9 283.5 436.7 533.7 476.9 455.1 431.2 637.0 281.9 450.4 545.4 487.9 458.6 431.2 662.4 287.0 470.8 555.2 508.0 459.3 430.6 677.5 290.5 513.6 583.3 532.7 459.6 430.6 716.6 299.3 515.1 620.4 553.5 461.7 430.6 716.6 305.5 522.8 659.0 566.3 463.3 430.6 730.2 310.4 533.9 677.3 571.9 464.8 430.6 744.8 316.4 540.1 680.6 574.8 466.9 430.6 750.1 320.5 549.0 681.1 585.4 467.8 430.6 763.3 331.4 550.9 693.3 06 06-1 06.-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products...................................................... Industrial chemicals5 ................................................................ Prepared paint.......................................................................... Paint materials ........................................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ...................................................... Fats and oils, Inedible .............................................................. Agricultural chemicals and chemical products ............................ Plastic resins and materials ...................................................... Other chemicals and allied products.......................................... 222.3 264.0 204.4 241.2 159.4 376.7 214.4 235.9 191.8 225.0 270.4 205.3 246.7 159.2 381.6 211.2 244.5 191.8 228.5 277.1 205.3 247.9 159.6 376.4 215.3 250.1 194.4 230.8 280.0 206.0 252.0 161.0 379.9 219.4 252.0 195.8 234.2 285.7 206.7 253.6 162.8 366.9 224.3 260.0 197.0 236.0 288.4 209.4 256.6 163.0 344.3 229.5 261.4 198.8 238.2 292.3 210.7 256.8 164.4 327.1 232.9 262.5 201.4 246.0 302.9 223.3 259.9 166.5 325.6 241.9 270.4 209.4 248.7 307.9 223.3 263.4 167.6 302.2 248.0 272.1 211.3 252.8 313.3 228.7 267.5 168.9 299.9 256.1 274.5 215.0 258.1 316.8 231.5 271.1 172.8 298.2 2583 285.6 223.3 261.1 261.7 324.8 c 327.3 236.8 236.8 272.9 274.0 171.8 173.0 294.7 255.8 258.3 257.7 287.8 287.9 225.0 226.3 262.7 327.8 236.8 277.0 175.4 260.0 258.2 286.2 228.0 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products ........................................................ Rubber and rubber products...................................................... Crude rubber .......................................................................... Tires and tubes........................................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products.................................................. Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .................................................. 194.3 209.2 221.4 205.9 206.4 110.0 195.5 209.5 226.1 206.2 205.4 111.2 198.8 214.6 233.0 211.6 209.4 112.2 200.7 217.1 232.2 215,0 211.9 113.0 203.0 220.3 236.5 218.3 214.7 114.0 204.9 223.7 237.2 223.1 217.1 114.3 205.9 224.3 240.2 223.1 217.7 115.2 207.8 226.1 252.7 225.1 215.9 116.3 210.7 231.5 263.9 231.6 c 217.8 116.7 212.7 231.5 255.8 231.6 220.6 119.0 214.6 234.6 263.8 231.3 225.9 119.5 215.1 235.3 263.0 231.8 227.5 119.6 217.1 237.6 263.2 234.6 229.7 120.8 218.3 239.4 262.5 237.0 231.8 121.1 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products.......................................................... Lumber.................................................................................... Miliwork. .................................................................................. Plywood .................................................................................. Other wood products................................................................ 300.4 354.3 254.3 250.5 235.4 300.1 355.0 252.5 249.7 237.6 304.7 365.3 249.6 254.3 237.4 309.7 373.9 250.9 257.9 238.0 308.8 370.3 255.6 254.0 237.7 298.9 355.6 252.3 242.2 239.9 290.1 339.5 250.3 237.9 240.5 290.0 294.7 341.4 336.3 254.1 258.0 238.2 243.4 242.2 c 243.4 294.9 340.6 262.2 240.0 243.1 275.2 310.1 256.6 219.2 241.7 271.6 301.3 250.9 229.9 240.7 279.8 313.0 253.0 241.6 238.7 288,9 327.3 255.9 251.1 236.9 Code Commodity group and subgroup 1979 1980 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES See footnotes at end of table. 98 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c = corrected. 27. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Code Commodity group and subgroup Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 1979 1980 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES - Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products.................................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . .. Woodpulp................................................................................ Wastepaper ............................................................................ Paper ...................................................................................... Paperboard.............................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products................................ Building paper and board.......................................................... 219.0 220.7 314.3 206.6 229.6 202.1 209.9 182.4 218.3 219.6 320.3 207.9 228.2 201.7 209.0 178.0 222.2 223.6 320.6 206.6 229.5 206.4 214.4 179.1 223.0 224.3 320.6 206.7 230.3 209.6 214.6 182.6 227.5 229.0 337.5 206.7 238.7 211.3 217.3 183.5 229.5 231.1 338.0 220.0 241.8 212.8 219.0 183.6 231.7 233.4 338.0 221.2 242.7 215.4 221.9 184.6 237.4 239.2 356.6 222.9 245.5 221.8 227.7 186.2 239.2 240.8 356.4 223.4 247.2 223.7 229.5 191.7 242.6 244.1 356.8 224.9 250.3 227.4 233.0 198.7 246.5 248.0 386.8 242.5 253.6 230.2 234.6 201.3 248.9 250.3 388.0 226.1 256.5 239.2 236.1 206.8 251.3 252.7 388.0 206.6 258.3 242.7 239.3 208.9 252.4 253.7 388.6 194.0 258.5 237.5 242.4 211.8 10 10-1 10-13 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products .......................................................... iron and steel .......................................................................... Steel mill products.................................................................... Nonferrous metals.................................................................... Metal containers ...................................................................... Hardware ................................................................................ Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings............................................ Heating equipmert.................................................................... Fabricated structural metal products.......................................... Miscellaneous metal products.................................................... 259.3 283.5 280.4 261.7 269.2 218.7 217.1 187.1 248.9 231.4 260.8 286.8 284.6 262.3 267.2 218.5 219.6 186.0 250.5 231.8 261.8 286.1 284.7 263.1 268.4 220.1 222.4 188.1 252.2 235.6 263.7 285.5 284.8 269.3 268.7 221.5 223.0 191.3 253.7 236.7 269.6 289.2 288.3 283.1 279.9 224.0 223.5 192.2 256.3 238.5 271.1 292.0 288.8 284.1 280.9 225.5 225.4 193.1 256.7 238.6 273.6 292.8 289.3 291.9 280.9 226.2 226.5 195.6 257.7 239.1 284.6 297.4 293.6 326.3 283.3 228.2 232.8 199.5 258.9 240.6 288.9 300.3 294.2 337.7 284.4 230.4 236.7 202.6 259.7 241.6 286.8 301.8 295.5 321.4 288.5 231.5 242.4 202.6 265.1 244.2 284.6 307.0 304.1 298.9 301.1 2369 243.7 204.2 268.2 247.1 281.9 304.7 305.5 289.8 302.7 238.2 247.4 204.0 269.4 247.7 282.4 303.1 305.8 290.6 302.7 239.7 248.5 205.1 270.0 251.4 281.5 300.4 301.0 289.0 303.0 241.9 249.6 206.1 271.9 251.8 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 Machinery and equipment ............................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment........................................ Construction machinery and equipment...................................... Metalworking machinery and equipment .................................... General purpose machinery and equipment................................ Special industry machinery and equipment ................................ Electrical machinery and equipment .......................................... Miscellaneous machinery.......................................................... 213.9 232.1 256.2 241.3 236.4 247.0 178.9 208.9 214.8 231.2 257.0 241.4 237.1 249.8 179.9 209.7 216.0 233.3 258.5 243.5 238.3 251.0 181.2 209.7 217.7 237.4 258.9 246.4 240.2 251.2 182.5 212.0 220.0 240.0 263.9 249.6 242.8 253.8 184.3 213.6 221.3 243.4 265.4 252.2 244.2 254.9 184.9 214.9 223.4 244.2 268.8 254.6 247.6 256.1 186.6 216.3 227.6 248.4 276.0 258.9 251.0 260.6 190.6 220.3 230.2 249.9 278.3 261.8 253.3 263.2 194.3 221.1 232.5 252.0 279.5 264.1 256.7 265.5 196.5 223.2 235.8 252.8 282.9 269.9 260.0 271.9 198.7 226.8 237.0 254.9 284.2 272.6 262.3 273.1 199.2 226.9 238.8 255.7 286.8 275.4 264.3 274.5 201.2 227.8 241.3 257.3 290.9 278.0 265.8 277.2 203.5 230.7 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ................................................ Household furniture.................................................................. Commercial furniture................................................................ Floor coverings........................................................................ Household appliances .............................................................. Home electronic equipment ...................................................... Other household durable goods ................................................ 171.3 186.3 221.8 147.9 160.9 91.3 228.2 170.7 185.8 222.7 149.1 161.1 90.2 223.7 171.5 186.2 222.7 150.0 162.2 90.2 226.6 172.7 188.5 222.7 150.4 162.7 90.3 231.0 175.1 190.1 223.3 152.1 163.2 90.3 245.6 176.4 193.0 223.3 152.8 164.5 90.3 248.2 177.9 194.8 225.1 152.9 165.3 90.5 254.4 183.4 197.4 226.9 159.0 166.5 91.0 287.4 185.6 198.5 231.4 158.5 168.9 91.2 295.3 185.7 198.9 232.8 160.8 169.9 91.3 288.3 183.1 198.9 233.5 161.7 170.2 88.9 2668 184.1 200.3 233.8 163.6 172.1 89.1 265.2 185.3 202.0 235.5 162.2 174.7 89.3 266.1 186.7 204.3 237.1 163.2 174.8 89.3 271.1 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetalllc mineral products........................................................ Flat glass ................................................................................ Concrete ingredients ................................................................ Concrete products.................................................................... Structural clay products excluding refractories............................ Refractories ............................................................................ Asphalt roofing ........................................................................ Gypsum products .................................................................... Glass containers ...................................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals........................................................ 248.6 183.9 244.0 244.1 217.9 236.5 325.3 252.3 261.1 313.7 249.5 184.1 245.1 245.2 220.3 240.8 328.4 251.8 265.2 310.5 249.9 184.1 245.9 246.3 222.3 241.7 325.9 252.3 265.2 309.9 254.6 184.5 246.7 248.7 223.7 242.4 333.0 254.9 265.2 336.0 256.2 184.7 248.3 250.1 221.1 244.6 337.5 255.3 265.2 341.2 257.4 185.4 249.6 250.6 221.8 247.4 347.4 256.2 265.2 342.2 259.6 186.4 251.0 253.2 226.7 248.0 346.5 255.0 274.2 342.2 268.4 191.0 265.0 265.4 229.6 248.5 356.6 255.4 274.3 351.8 274.0 191.0 266.6 266.7 231.0 251.1 372.5 262.2 274.3 381.7 276.5 191.4 267.5 269.1 231.4 253.9 388.8 267.6 274.3 387.0 282.8 191.4 270.5 273.0 234.4 262.6 404.7 264.0 294.6 399.5 282.9 191.4 271.1 275.0 229.5 265.2 398.2 256.5 294.6 399.5 283.2 193.6 271.9 275.9 230.2 266.7 400.7 257.1 294.6 394.5 284.0 194.3 272.5 275.9 230.2 269.6 412.0 253.1 2946 396.1 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 = 100)...................................... Motor vehicles and equipment .................................................. Railroad equipment .................................................................. 188.1 190.5 277.3 188.4 190.8 280.6 185.9 187.8 280.9 186.6 188 6 281.6 194.2 197.1 286.3 194.8 197.4 288.2 195.6 198.2 289.0 198.7 200.7 297.5 198.2 200.1 299.3 198.8 200.7 302.1 202.6 204.9 303.9 201.1 203.1 304.6 202.2 204.4 306.2 204.9 207.1 316.4 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-51 15-9 Miscellaneous products................................................................ Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition............................ Tobacco products .................................................................... Notions.................................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies ........................................ Mobile homes (12/74 = 100).................................................... Other miscellaneous products .................................................. 208.7 176.2 217.8 191.8 153.7 138.1 263.7 207.0 176.9 214.8 192.0 152.0 138.2 261.4 208.9 177.6 221.3 191.9 152.2 139.5 261.4 213.1 179.8 221.9 191.9 154.3 140.7 272.5 218.9 181.1 222.1 195.7 157.4 142.9 288.3 221.4 181.2 222.2 195.8 161.2 144.0 293.3 227.4 183.0 226.6 196.8 164.3 144.1 308.8 242.9 190.9 236.6 203.1 165.9 144.7 351.6 262.9 193.5 237.2 203.2 218.6 146.8 378.3 256.1 194.5 237.3 207.2 219.1 147.1 351.3 252.2 195.3 237.6 216.8 212.6 148.9 339.2 250.9 196.4 244.6 217.0 200.0 149.9 339.1 257.4 197.2 245.1 217.0 203.4 150.6 358.8 261.3 200.3 247.6 221.7 202.0 151.2 369.4 'Data for March 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and correctlons by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Includes only domestic production, 4 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. 5 Some prices for Industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. 99 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 28. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967 =100 unless otherwise specified] Commodity grouping Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 234.4 2264 227.2 218.3 113.9 112.6 168.9 235.4 225.4 226.4 219.0 114.0 114.1 168.5 237.5 224.7 224.8 220.3 115.1 113.0 170.8 241.4 228.5 230.8 222.0 115.8 112.7 170.8 245.3 226.9 228.9 225.9 116.4 113.3 171.2 247.0 230.0 231.8 226.9 117.0 114.6 171.6 249.5 232.2 234.2 228.5 117.2 115.3 172.9 255.7 231.2 233.3 234.7 118.9 119.2 175.3 260.9 235.8 238.6 238.0 119.3 119.4 177.4 262.9 234.8 236.9 238.9 121.3 120.3 182.1 264.3 231.7 234.0 239.9 122.1 120.7 182.0 265.4 237.4 239.0 239.9 123.1 121.5 182.8 267.0 237.7 239.9 241.6 123.5 122.2 187.4 270.3 245.4 247.1 243.3 125.4 123.1 188.5 1979 1980 All commodities — less farm products All foods Processed foods Industrial commodities less fuels .......................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100) .................. Hosiery .............................................................................. Underwear and nightwear.................................................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and manmade fibers and yarns ........................................ Pharmaceutical preparations ................................................ Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork and other wood products ........................................................ Special metals and metal products ...................................... Fabricated metal products.................................................... Copper and copper products................................................ Machinery and motive products............................................ 2124 152.0 215.0 151.7 218.6 152.0 220.9 153.6 224.3 155.6 226.3 155.4 228.7 156.9 236.3 159.2 239.2 160.3 243.2 161.7 248.4 165.9 251.6 164.7 252.8 166.1 253.8 167.8 325.0 234.6 236.8 299.3 207.0 325.3 235.5 237.4 191.9 207.7 333.9 234.9 239.8 197.1 207.2 341.0 236.4 241.1 200.5 208.5 337.3 243.4 244.0 212.2 213.4 323.3 244.5 244.6 213.8 214.3 310.8 246.3 245.3 217.1 215.9 308.6 253.7 247.2 227.7 219.7 313.9 256.0 248.4 260.7 220.9 312.2 255.1 252.0 240.9 222.5 284.5 255.6 256.0 2247 226.1 281.7 253.4 257.0 212.3 226.1 293.5 254.2 258.9 208.7 227.7 306.4 254.9 260.0 211.7 230.2 Machinery and equipment, except electrical .......................... Agricultural machinery, including tractors .............................. Metalworking machinery ...................................................... Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) . . . . Total tractors ...................................................................... Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts.................... Farm and garden tractors less parts .................................... Agricultural machinery excluding tractors less parts................ Industrial valves .................................................................. Industrial fittings .................................................................. Abrasive grinding wheels...................................................... Construction materials ........................................................ 234.2 237.4 259.1 199.8 251.6 232.7 236.1 238.7 256.0 261.7 226.2 251.4 235.1 235.8 260.1 202.2 251.2 231.4 233.9 237.6 257.0 260.8 222.8 252.3 236.2 238.4 261.7 204.2 253.8 233.7 237.6 239.2 258.2 262.3 224.6 254.3 238.2 243.6 265.6 206.5 256.0 238.4 244.1 243.5 260.1 264.3 224.6 256.6 240.8 246.3 269.5 208.5 261.2 241.0 247.6 245.4 261.8 272.6 239.0 258.5 242.5 250.8 272.7 208.8 262.5 244.9 250.5 251.3 263.1 276.8 239.0 256.7 244.8 251.5 276.0 211.2 266.2 245.8 251.1 252.0 266.1 276.8 239.0 255.4 249.1 256.1 281.9 213.1 273.0 250.0 256.0 256.4 271.0 276.8 239.0 259.3 251.1 257.2 284.4 215.4 275.1 251.5 257.5 257.3 273.5 280.4 244.0 262.6 253.5 260.0 287.5 216.7 276.6 254.1 261.5 258.9 280.0 282.8 244.0 265.1 257.5 259.7 294.3 223.9 278.4 254.2 261.0 259.0 283.5 289.9 258.4 262.1 259.0 261.7 296.8 227.0 280.0 256.1 262.0 261.7 286.6 291.5 261.3 261.4 260.8 262.5 299.9 228.7 281.8 256.8 262.7 262.6 288.6 295.9 261.3 264.1 263.2 264.1 303.6 228.7 286.1 258.9 264.9 263.7 289.5 295.9 261.3 266.5 1Data for March 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 29. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967 = 100] Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July Total durable goods .......................................................... Total nondurable goods...................................................... 226.9 241.7 227.6 243.7 228.0 245.8 230.1 251.1 234.6 253.7 235.3 256.2 237.0 259.3 243.8 263.2 247.1 270.2 247.0 273.4 247.2 274.0 246.4 277.3 248.3 278.4 250.3 285.3 Total manufactures............................................................ Durable...................................................................... Nondurable ................................................................ 228.8 226.1 231.1 229.8 226.6 232.5 231.7 227.2 235.9 235.2 229.4 241.0 239.0 234.0 244.0 240.6 234.6 246.6 242.6 236.2 249.0 248.4 242.9 253.9 253.2 245.7 260.8 255.2 245.6 265.2 256.5 246.2 267.3 257.8 245.9 270.3 259.4 248.2 271.3 262.5 250.1 275.6 Total raw or slightly processed goods ................................ Durable...................................................................... Nondurable ................................................................ 270.4 262.1 270.1 274.3 265.4 274.0 272.1 259.8 272.0 276.9 255.7 277.5 278.7 259.2 279.2 281.0 265.8 281.2 285.9 267.8 286.3 287.6 282.8 2869 295.9 305.3 294.2 295.4 303.4 293.8 290.4 286.0 289.7 292.7 262.2 294.0 293.0 249.9 295.3 307.5 253.9 310.4 Commodity grouping 1979 1980 1Data for March 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 30. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 134.8 234.4 451.3 459.8 217.6 125.8 136.0 270.8 453.1 457.5 219.3 125.5 138.8 245.8 454.8 476.0 220.1 125.5 138.1 252.1 452.9 508.4 221.0 125.5 140.2 275.0 455.1 522.1 224.0 126.7 140.2 252.1 455.5 533.9 224.7 124.2 142.0 300.0 458.9 551.3 225.6 129.3 142.0 308.3 459.2 582.7 238.8 136.6 147.3 335.4 459.6 598.0 243.2 136.6 152.6 330.0 461.7 600.6 243.9 136.6 152.6 337.5 462.9 612.3 248.4 136.6 152.6 337.5 464.4 620.2 249.4 136.6 152.6 332.9 463.3 631.3 250.1 136.6 155.8 331.2 467.2 637.8 249.6 136.6 247.4 219.6 187.1 228.8 243.8 214.7 178.4 227.5 229.3 203.4 169.6 237.9 247.2 211.7 171.2 240.6 238.9 211.9 163.1 240.1 241.5 213.4 188.3 241.7 243.9 220.0 188.5 243.1 240.8 211.9 186.1 241.8 240.1 207.8 178.2 242.8 238.9 209.4 173.5 243.4 225.6 197.7 164.5 252.8 227.4 194.7 164.7 253.7 229.9 190.6 164.2 255.7 249.1 213.4 214.2 256.3 1979 1980 MINING 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 = 100)................................................ Mercury ores (12/75 = 100).......................................... Bituminous coal and lignite ............................................ Crude petroleum and natural gas.................................... Construction sand and gravel ........................................ Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100) .................................. 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meat packing plants ...................................................... Sausages and other prepared meats .............................. Poultry dressing plants .................................................. Creamery butter............................................................ MANUFACTURING See footnote at end of table 100 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July 1979 1980 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 MANUFACTURING Continued Cheese natural and processed (12/72 = 100) .............. Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) .............. Canned fruits and vegetables........................................ Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100)...................... Flour mills (12/71 = 100) ............................................ Rice milling.............................................. Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................ Raw cane sugar .......................................................... Beet sugar .................................................. Chewing gum ............................................................ 189.2 172.5 208.6 174.2 173.1 204.0 120.4 210.3 202.6 245.8 186.3 171.5 209.9 182.0 190.9 206.8 128.1 209.0 202.0 242.9 195.4 175.0 210.5 180.7 176.9 218.7 119.4 216.8 199.4 242.9 200.8 176.1 212.0 170.0 183.5 223.5 120.9 216.7 200.0 242.9 196.8 177.5 212.9 158.2 184.2 227.3 123.6 224.3 204.7 242.9 193.6 179.9 212.2 156.2 184.4 231.8 124.3 223.3 210.6 262.3 193.9 180.1 212.2 157.3 184.1 218.1 125.0 248.4 223.2 262.3 195.4 180.9 213.4 157.6 181.7 217.5 122.0 260.5 224.6 2623 192.9 181.5 213.6 159.0 183.6 233.0 122.6 374.9 293.2 262.3 195.7 185.0 214.7 156.4 181.6 258.0 121.5 276.0 305.7 281.9 203.6 191.4 216.3 157.5 175.9 260.4 116.8 320.2 295.4 281.9 203.6 192.1 217.4 156.4 183.3 254.5 117.2 456.1 338.0 282.0 204.2 195.2 220.1 156.3 181.8 236.0 116.6 402.4 343.9 282.0 205.1 195.2 222.6 157.7 189.6 225.3 122.6 381.8 343.5 282.4 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil m ills...................................................... Soybean oil m ills.......................................................... Animal and marine fats and oils .................................... Malt .................................................... Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 = 100) ................ Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) .................. Fresh or frozen packaged fish ...................................... Roasted coffee (12/72 = 100)...................................... Macaroni and spaghetti ........................................ Cigarettes................................................................ 207.4 245.0 338.4 203.7 113.7 146.4 381.6 254.5 199.7 225.0 224.5 262.8 352.0 201.4 113.6 148.5 403.7 271.0 203.5 221.5 214.1 250.0 321.4 201.4 115.7 148.2 391.5 279.2 210.4 228.9 217.9 248.6 333.8 214.9 117.1 154.0 389.2 279.2 210.4 229.1 214.9 244.7 333.7 214.9 117.1 154.3 400.1 280.0 210.4 229.2 204.7 242.4 315.2 228.2 118.1 155.6 391.4 287.5 221.5 229.2 205.6 241.9 300.7 228.2 118.1 159.8 388.4 287.5 227.7 234.3 182.4 235.1 298.1 244.1 118.6 160.9 389.7 281.3 227.7 245.8 184.4 230.4 292.6 244.1 118.7 164.0 385.5 273.9 227.7 245.9 170.4 222.3 297.4 244.1 118.7 165.7 391.6 274.0 227.7 246.0 154.8 212.6 274.0 244.1 118.7 170.2 371.5 273.9 230.5 246.1 150.5 212.5 263.0 244.1 118.9 173.2 361.6 273.9 230.5 254.2 155.1 209.1 238.3 244.1 118.9 175.3 362.8 283.1 230.5 254.3 190.1 224.6 274.4 244.1 118.9 175.9 365.2 274.5 230.5 257.2 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ........................................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco...................................... Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 = 100) ............................ Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) ........................ Women's hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100).............. Knit underwear mills .............................................. Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 100)............................ Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 = 100) ............................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ................ 147.3 248.4 195.3 115.0 97.5 173.3 95.2 121.8 107.2 149.8 246.4 196.1 116.2 99.6 172.9 96.1 122.5 107.5 150.1 246.4 196.5 116.3 98.1 174.0 96.4 123.2 108.2 150.1 255.8 198.7 116.2 97.5 174.0 96.2 124.0 108.3 149.8 260.4 201.1 116.8 98.2 174.3 96.9 126.1 109.3 150.4 260.8 201.6 117.3 100.3 174.6 98.4 126.3 109.7 150.4 260.8 201.9 117.2 100.2 178.3 98.6 126.6 109.8 151.2 260.9 204.4 118.1 103.3 182.5 99.3 128.7 110.3 154.2 265.1 206.9 118.3 103.3 184.1 100.4 129.6 109.4 154.4 267.3 209.5 122.7 104.3 186.5 103.4 131.9 110.4 152.7 274.3 210.9 122.4 104.4 186.4 103.6 131.9 111.3 152.7 274.6 211.6 121.8 105.4 187.1 104.1 133.2 112.1 157.1 274.7 211.9 120.4 105.4 190.5 104.7 133.7 111.5 157.2 274.7 217.4 122.3 105.4 192.5 105.1 137.2 173.7 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs.......................................... Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 =100) .......................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) ...................... Thread mills (6/76 = 100).................................. Cordage and twine (12/77 = 100)................................ Men’s and boys' suits and coats.................................... Men's and boys' shirts and nightwear ............................ Men’s and boys' underwear........................................ Men’s and boys’ neckwear (12/75 = 100) .............. Men’s and boys' separate trousers................................ 128.0 176.7 107.4 123.7 107.0 204.2 194.0 188.9 106.5 161.5 127.6 177.5 108.5 120.5 105.4 205.8 194.7 188.7 103.4 162.5 128.6 177.4 109.7 128.1 113.5 206.5 195.9 190.0 110.9 162.7 129.0 179.4 111.2 128.1 115.1 206.5 196.0 190.0 110.9 162.7 129.8 181.2 110.4 128.4 114.9 206.6 196.1 190.0 110.9 162.9 130.1 183.0 109.6 128.4 114.9 206.8 196.6 190.0 110.9 163.4 130.1 183.7 109.2 128.6 114.9 206.7 196.3 194.0 110.9 163.5 134.7 188.0 110.1 128.7 115.0 209.0 197.7 199.8 112.4 164.2 134.5 197.8 110.6 129.2 117.2 208.1 196.2 202.0 112.4 174.2 137.0 199.5 112.0 130.0 118.5 208.3 199.3 204.0 112.4 174.3 135.9 203.8 114.8 133.9 123.6 205.7 202.9 204.2 106.3 174.8 138.7 204.5 116.3 142.2 123.8 207.0 203.5 204.3 106.3 174.9 137.5 202.9 114.8 142.1 125.0 207.4 204.9 208.5 106.3 175.1 137.6 203.0 113.4 143.0 125.0 214.9 205.4 211.1 106.3 175.3 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men's and boys’ work clothing ................................ Women’s and misses' blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women’s and misses’ dresses (12/77 = 100)................ Women’s and children's underwear (12/72 = 100) ., Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) .............. Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100).............. Fabric dress and work gloves.............................. Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100).................. Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100).......... Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 = 1 0 0 )...................... 208.6 102.0 107.0 144.3 116.9 104.8 241.4 109.3 111.3 251.0 208.9 102.6 106.4 144.2 117.5 102.4 245.4 108.4 114.3 251.3 210.7 102.7 108.3 145.3 117.8 102.4 245.4 111.0 114.3 259.1 210.9 102.8 108.3 145.3 117.8 103.7 245.4 111.4 114.3 265.6 213.4 103.0 108.7 146.7 117.8 105.7 245.4 112.3 114.3 262.2 219.1 105.9 108.8 147.4 117.8 105.7 246.9 112.1 114.3 250.2 219.6 106.8 108.8 147.7 118.8 105.6 246.9 120.1 114.3 237.9 225.1 107.1 112.9 149.4 119.7 105.3 257.7 122.1 114.3 234.8 233.6 106.6 113.8 150.0 122.9 105.3 261.7 122.8 114.3 c 239.5 235.4 106.7 113.8 153.1 124.9 105.5 265.0 123.4 122.3 239.1 240.9 107.6 113.9 152.4 125.4 106.0 267.5 123.4 122.3 215.7 241.7 107.7 113.9 153.2 125.4 106.0 271.1 123.4 122.3 209.3 242.5 107.8 114.0 155.2 127.0 106.7 271.1 123.4 122.3 218.1 244.8 111.4 114.0 155.4 128.2 112.4 271.1 123.4 122.3 228.8 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100).............. Structural wood members, ne.c. (12/75 = 100) ............ Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).................. Mobile homes (12/74 = 100).......................... Particleboard (12/75 = 10 0 ).............................. Wood household furniture (12/71 = 100) ...................... Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 1 0 0 ).............. Mattresses and bedsprings...................................... Wood office furniture .................................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100).............................................. 152.3 151.2 166.5 138.2 139.1 165.5 150.0 165.7 215.3 200.6 148.1 150.0 166.9 138.2 134.3 164.5 150.0 164.5 216.8 205.4 153.4 149.9 166.8 139.6 134.7 164.6 150.2 165.8 216.8 205.7 156.0 150.8 167.9 140.7 138.5 168.0 151.6 165.8 216.8 205.8 153.1 158.2 167.9 143.0 139.5 169.3 151,8 168 9 217.6 213.5 142.9 158.2 171.0 144.0 136.8 172.3 153.8 172.3 217.6 213.9 138.9 158.2 170.5 144.1 134.5 174.5 155.7 172.3 221.9 213.9 138.5 158.2 169.8 144.8 136.9 177.5 155.9 169.9 226.2 225.2 143.7 158.2 167.0 146.9 150.7 178.2 158.7 170.5 233.8 225.1 139.8 158.3 166.3 147.2 158.9 178.9 158.7 170.5 233.8 225.5 121.4 158.2 164.6 149.0 161.9 179.7 158.7 171.5 233.9 244.9 129.6 152.1 162.8 150.0 167.3 180.8 158.9 174.8 233.9 246.0 140.5 152.1 159.7 150.6 171.7 182.4 160.3 174 8 233.9 246.0 148.7 152.1 157.1 151.2 168.7 183.8 163.3 180.7 236.1 246.6 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100).................... Paperixiard mills (12/74 = 100) ........................ Sanitary paper products................................................ Sanitary food containers .............................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100).............................. Plastics materials and resins (6/76 = 100).................... Synthetic rubber ........................................ Organic fiber, noncellulosic.......................................... Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 = 100) .......................... 130.2 119.8 277.7 188.7 134.8 208.8 121.2 210.3 117.6 103.4 130.2 119.7 276.4 189.6 136.6 209.5 124.9 214.2 118.6 102.8 131.0 121.9 285.9 189.6 136.6 212.2 127.8 223.4 119.8 104.1 131.4 123.4 285.4 191.8 136.6 213.1 128.9 223.8 123.5 106.1 135.1 125.4 286.3 195.8 138.5 214.1 132.9 225.7 123.6 108.0 136.5 126.3 288.4 198.2 138.5 216.7 133.8 228.0 123.2 111.7 136.8 127.6 2909 199.9 142.3 217.3 134.1 230.4 122.6 113.5 139.0 131.3 295.8 202.6 143.2 220.4 138.5 240.9 124.1 114.3 139.8 132.3 303.9 2048 143.2 226.5 139.7 244.2 124.7 119.8 142.5 134.6 311.7 208.9 143.3 233.7 140.8 244.7 126.9 122.1 145.1 137.0 312.2 212.9 145.7 234.0 145.4 255.7 128.8 123.9 146.1 141.5 318.1 216.7 147.8 238.6 147.0 258.2 131.9 124.4 146.6 143.1 321.1 218.3 150.6 245.3 147.1 258.5 133.0 123.4' 146.7 140.4 328.4 219.4 155.2 250.4 146,3 258.9 133.6 122.6 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers .................................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .................................... Explosives ........................................................ Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) .......... Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100).................... Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75) = 100) .................... Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) .......... 193.8 203.8 239.4 163.6 134.3 162.5 176.4 188.9 198.1 240.1 165.5 134.4 143.6 176.8 199.4 2056 240.7 176.6 134.9 142.7 181.2 204.3 211.1 250.3 188.9 141.6 145.8 184.2 213.2 218.3 250.8 196.4 145.6 147.6 186.9 221.6 227.0 251.7 201.0 145.6 152.2 191.2 223.4 227.1 252.5 204.8 145.7 151.9 191.4 229.2 233.2 253.6 213.9 150.0 156.1 193.0 233.2 239.8 255.2 228.4 161.5 162.7 198.7 235.0 242.5 260.2 242.3 167.9 169.9 198.8 237.3 247.9 271.3 2504 172.6 176.5 198.8 236.4 246.0 272.6 253.0 172.6 173.6 199.0 236.8 248.9 273.6 253.2 171.6 175.0 201.4 234.9 248.3 273.6 255.8 173.7 180.1 203.3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1972 SIC code Industry description 3021 3031 3079 3111 3142 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 1980 1979 1979 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.1 Apr. May June July Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 -1 0 0 ) .................................... Reclaimed rubber (12/73 - 100) .................................................... Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 - 100).................................... Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 - 100) .................................... House slippers (12/75 - 100) ........................................................ Men's footwear, except athletic (12/75 - 100) ................................ Women's footwear, except athletic .................................................. Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 - 100) ................................ Flat glass (12/71 - 100) ................................................................ Glass containers ............................................................................ 171.1 170.0 109.9 167.5 135 8 152.7 194.5 128.9 151.7 261.1 171.0 169.2 111.4 181.8 135.0 155.4 198.7 131.8 151.9 265.2 173.4 169.2 112.3 172.9 135.0 158.2 201.5 131.8 151.9 265.2 173.4 177.7 113.1 155.2 135.0 160.1 201.6 131.8 152.3 265.2 173.5 178.8 114.3 161.9 135.8 160.4 202.3 131.8 152.6 265.2 173.5 179.2 114.6 150.8 135.9 160.3 204.0 131.8 153.3 265.2 173.5 179.5 115.6 153.5 135.9 160.3 204.0 131.8 153.9 274.2 173.5 179.7 116.6 164.3 143.5 160.3 205.6 131.9 157.6 274.3 173.6 180.0 117.0 160.8 145.4 157.9 206.3 131.9 157.6 274.3 173.6 184.9 119.1 146.7 145.4 158.5 213.5 132.1 157.9 274.3 173.8 183.7 120.1 140.8 146.8 158.4 213.8 132.1 157.9 294.5 173.8 184.3 120.3 137.9 146.8 158.4 213.8 140.8 157.9 294.5 173.9 184.3 121.6 134.6 146.8 158.6 213.8 140.9 158.9 294.5 181.9 184.4 121.9 137.7 152.5 158.6 214.3 140.9 159.5 294.5 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic .......................................................................... Brick and structural clay tile ............................................................ Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 - 100) ........................................ Clay refractories ............................................................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c............................................................ Vitreous plumbing fixtures................................................................ Vitreous china food utensils.............................................................. Fine earthenware food utensils ........................................................ Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100) ............................................ Concrete block and brick ................................................................ 283.1 258.6 117.2 242.1 189.2 207.4 295.2 244.9 132.5 233.0 285.4 261.0 120.2 246.5 188.2 210.1 297.5 238.8 131.0 232.7 285.4 263.3 120.2 246.7 192.1 212.4 297.5 238.8 131.0 235.7 285.4 265.9 120.2 247.1 192.1 213.1 298.0 246.0 133.3 237.8 285.4 261.3 120.2 251.0 192.8 214.5 298.0 246.0 133.3 240.0 285.5 261.3 120.2 252.9 192.3 215.7 305.4 248.4 135.5 240.0 286.2 262.7 130.3 254.0 196.5 217.3 308.2 294.3 150.1 240.2 305.7 268.3 130.4 255.1 196.3 219.2 308.2 294.3 150.1 249.5 305.9 270.4 130.4 259.4 198.1 224.6 308.2 294.3 150.1 250.6 306.3 271.9 130.4 263.7 196.4 226.7 308.2 294.3 150.1 252.3 309.8 276.4 130.4 275.4 200.6 227.6 313.4 294.8 151.3 259.3 310.7 278.5 117.6 277.1 201.6 236.1 313.4 293.6 151.4 259.4 310.8 278.5 117.6 277.5 204.9 235.8 318.6 294.4 152.6 259.4 310.5 278.5 117.6 280.7 205.1 237.2 318.2 294.3 152.6 259.4 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete .................................................................... Lime (12/75 - 100)........................................................................ Gypsum products............................................................................ Abrasive products (12/71 - 100).................................................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 - 100) ................................................ Blast furnaces and steel mills .......................................................... Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) .................................... Cold finishing of steel shapes .......................................................... Steel pipes and tubes...................................................................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 - 100) .................................................. 248.2 141.0 252.8 187.8 145.6 288.8 111.9 265.5 268.6 255.8 249.6 141.8 252.3 187.7 148.1 292.8 116.5 270.6 271.9 253.9 250.5 142.9 252.8 188.6 149.1 293.0 116.5 270.8 271.3 253.8 252.4 144.2 255.4 190.4 149.7 293.2 116.0 270.9 271.3 254.8 254.0 144.6 255.9 195.1 150.1 296.4 116.2 271.7 272.7 267.1 254.6 144.3 256.8 195.3 152.3 297.1 117.5 273.4 273.1 269.6 257.0 144.6 255.6 196.5 152.3 297.7 117.6 273.9 273.2 269.7 270.8 149.5 255.9 199.4 152.6 302.4 117.8 274.1 280.5 273.7 272.6 153.5 262.8 203.3 153.3 302.9 117.8 277.1 281.0 276.9 275.5 155.6 268.1 203.9 154.2 304.1 118.0 277.2 283.2 277.2 278.9 156.7 264.6 210.1 157.4 311.9 118.7 285.9 286.9 278.4 281.6 156.9 257.0 211.9 159.7 313.2 118.5 288.1 286.9 279.0 282.5 157.4 257.5 213.5 161.2 313.4 118.7 288.2 290.5 279.9 282.5 159.6 253.5 215.2 162.8 308.5 117.0 282.2 292.5 280.4 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary zinc.................................................................................... Primary aluminum .......................................................................... Copper rolling and drawing.............................................................. Aluminum sheet plate and foil (12/75 - 100) .................................. Aluminum extruded products (12/75 - 100) .................................... Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100)................................ Metal cans .................................................................................... Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 - 100)...................................... Metal sanitary ware ........................................................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 - 100) .............................................. 265.7 243.1 213.2 148.9 149.3 132.4 264.1 163.3 224.8 128.5 281.4 244.9 211.2 149.6 150.3 132.7 262.2 162.8 226.4 127.8 265.5 247.4 213.6 149.8 151.9 133.1 262.9 166.3 228.9 130.9 264.2 248.2 216.7 150.0 151.9 133.5 263.5 166.4 229.2 131.6 265.2 256.0 226.3 150.7 155.2 136.9 273.8 167.1 230.1 132.4 257.8 263.2 222.6 151.3 157.4 139.9 274.6 169.5 231.7 132.4 265.7 266.6 225.0 151.7 158.0 140.5 274.7 169.8 232.9 132.4 266.1 267.0 231.0 153.2 158.8 140.7 276.6 173.1 237.8 132.4 272.4 267.0 253.1 153.5 158.9 141.0 277.3 174.6 242.1 132.4 279.6 267.8 238.6 155.5 160.9 141.1 279.9 176.4 243.1 132.7 274.2 276.0 230.1 158.0 167.6 143.8 295.1 177.8 245.5 133.8 268.2 287.0 222.9 157.6 167.7 145.2 295.2 181.3 249.7 134.1 268.6 288.6 220.4 157.7 167.7 146.5 294.9 181.7 249.9 138.1 255.8 293.3 223.3 158.2 168.3 147.2 295.6 183.3 250.9 138.1 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 - 100) ............................................ Steel springs, except w ire................................................................ Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 - 100) ............................................ Fabricated pipe and fittings.............................................................. Internal combustion engines, n.e.c...................................................... Construction machinery (12/76 - 100) ............................................ Mining machinery (12/72 - 100) .................................................... Oilfield machinery and equipment .................................................... Elevators and moving stairways ...................................................... Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 - 100)............................ 132.2 219.8 204.8 289.2 243.3 125.1 229.4 291.6 215.9 242.8 134.0 221.6 205.3 294.8 242.3 125.6 231.2 292.0 215.4 244.6 134.0 222.1 206.2 294.8 245.7 126.3 231.5 293.3 214.6 245.1 134.0 222.8 207.5 294.9 251.8 126.5 232.7 296.8 219.1 247.9 133.2 223.7 210.4 297.3 254.2 128.9 233.1 300.5 219.4 249.8 133.6 224.1 212.5 297.4 254.9 129.4 235.4 302.8 220.6 253.7 143.2 225.6 214.3 297.4 254.9 130.9 236.4 309.1 220.9 256.7 143.2 226.1 216.9 301.7 260.5 134.6 245.8 314.2 225.6 266.1 143.2 226.6 219.6 301.8 261.8 135.7 247.1 316.2 226.1 268.1 142.6 228.6 223.1 303.5 266.1 136.3 247.8 318.9 229.1 269.4 146.3 228.9 227.3 306.8 269.2 138.0 254.1 329.5 232.6 276.1 147.1 228.9 229.1 306.9 270.2 138.7 256.2 332.9 234.1 275.7 150.2 230.1 231.2 313.8 270.3 140.0 257.1 337.4 242.5 279.8 149.8 230.1 231.8 317.2 275.1 141.5 259.4 342.6 244.2 284.9 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 - 100) .......................................... Textile machinery (12/69 = 100) .................................................... Woodworking machinery (12/72 - 100) .......................................... Scales and balances, excluding laboratory........................................ Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100) .............................. Transformers.................................................................................. Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100) ...................................... Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100) .................................. Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) ................................ Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100) .................................. 119.3 194.7 185.4 194.2 139.6 168.1 192.2 122.2 113.6 148.8 119.2 195.0 185.9 194.8 139.2 167.9 193.5 122.0 113.6 148.8 120.2 197.5 187.7 195.4 139.6 167.6 194.1 123.4 114.3 149.9 120.4 198.2 190.0 195.4 140.7 168.4 195.1 124.3 115.1 150.6 122.0 199.3 192.6 195.7 142.8 171.2 196.9 124.4 115.1 150.9 122.8 200.6 192.7 199.5 145.1 170.4 198.6 125.9 115.7 152.3 124.4 200.6 192.9 201.0 145.3 171.6 200.3 126.3 116.3 153.5 126.3 202.6 201.2 204.2 147.5 172.9 201.3 128.7 117.0 154.0 126.6 205.2 201.6 205.8 147.8 176.6 203.3 129.3 118.5 156.6 127.4 207.0 205.1 206.6 148.6 177.5 206.0 129.4 118.6 158.3 128.6 212.5 212.7 205.1 152.5 180.0 207.3 129.6 119.0 159.0 130.4 213.0 212.5 208.2 152.8 181.7 2098 132.5 119.0 159.7 130.6 217.0 214.0 208.6 153.2 183.2 211.0 133.4 121.5 162.8 133.5 222.1 216.3 208.8 158.3 186.2 212.3 134.7 121.7 160.1 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners............................................................ Sewing machines (12/75 - 100) .................................................... Electric lamps ................................................................................ Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100)............................ Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 - 100) ...................................... Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100).......................................... Electron tubes receiving type .......................................................... Semiconductors and related devices ................................................ Electronic capacitors (12/75 - 100)................................................ Electronic resistors (12/75 - 100) .................................................. 141.7 121.4 235.2 204.6 126.5 126.0 220.3 84.8 125.2 124.4 141.6 121.8 240.8 203.3 127.9 127.6 226.5 84.2 126.7 124.0 141.7 122.2 244.3 207.7 127.9 128.2 226.6 84.3 129.3 124.6 141.9 122.2 242.7 209.1 130.5 128.5 227.2 84.7 134.1 125.2 144.5 122.6 244.8 210.5 131.4 129.6 227.2 85.1 133.9 126.6 144.7 122.6 238.7 211.9 131.6 129.8 227.4 856 135.8 126.7 145.8 122.6 240.8 215.0 131.9 130.5 227.7 86.4 138.0 127.3 146.1 122.6 248.5 212.9 133.4 133.0 229 1 868 147.7 127.4 149.7 129.2 252.4 215.2 134.3 133.2 229.4 88.5 149.1 128.8 151.3 129.2 251.8 215.3 136.2 134.6 229.7 89.3 151.3 131.8 150.2 128.6 252.4 219.7 138.4 138.6 253.9 89.7 155.6 131.9 149.2 128.6 252.3 220.3 138.9 139.4 254.3 90.7 156.4 132.8 149.6 128.6 260.0 222.5 139.6 140.4 254.8 91.0 156.2 135.0 151.9 129.4 266.4 222.3 139.6 140.5 255.1 91.6 164.3 135.1 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 - 100) .............................................. Primary batteries, dry and wet ........................................................ Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 - 100) .................................. Dolls (12/75 - 100) ...................................................................... Games, toys, and children's vehicles................................................ Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 - 100)................................ Burial caskets (6/76 - 100)............................................................ Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 - 100) .................................... 131.7 170.1 125.1 110.8 182.7 118.6 122.5 126.3 133.4 172.8 125.1 111.8 183.5 117.1 123.3 128.3 134.1 172.8 122.1 112.6 184.4 118.3 123.8 128.3 137.6 172.8 122.5 112.6 185.1 118.7 124,8 128.3 138.9 173.1 130.2 112.9 186.2 123.1 123.1 131.0 140.7 173.1 130.1 112.9 186.3 125.2 124.8 134.1 142.1 174.1 130.4 113.0 186.6 125.2 124.8 134.1 145.1 174.2 132.7 122.7 198.7 126.2 128.3 138.6 146.4 176.5 131.6 125.4 203.8 128.2 128.3 138.7 146.7 176.6 131.8 125.6 204.0 128.3 128.3 138.7 147.3 176.8 135.0 126.0 202.6 131.5 128.1 143.2 146.8 176.4 133.2 126.7 203.5 133.3 130.0 143.3 148,8 176.4 134.1 126.7 204.0 136.4 132.2 143.3 149.0 176.4 136.8 126.7 204.4 136.4 132.2 146.1 ' Data for March 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication, c = corrected. 102 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PRODUCTIVITY DATA P roductivity data are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 31. The use of the term “man-hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 31 through 34, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the private business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1976 issue of the R ev ie w , tables 3 1 34 were revised to reflect changeover to the new series— private busi ness sector and nonfarm business sector— which differ from the previously published total private economy and nonfarm sector in that output imputed for owner-occupied dwellings and the household and institutions sectors, as well as the statistical discrepancy, are omitted. For a detailed explanation, see J. R. Norsworthy and L. J. Fulco, “New sector definitions for productivity series,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , October 1976, pages 40-42. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1950-79 [1967 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees .................... Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... ' Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 61.2 42.6 59.2 69.6 73.1 70.8 70.6 56.1 69.9 79.4 80.4 79.8 79.0 72.2 81.4 91.4 85.4 89.3 95.1 88.7 93.9 93.3 95.9 94.2 104.4 123.3 106.0 118.2 105.8 113.9 111.5 139.8 111.6 125.4 118.9 123.2 113.6 151.3 113.6 133.2 124.9 130.3 110.2 165.2 111.8 149.8 130.3 143.1 112.6 181.7 112.7 161.3 150.3 157.5 116.6 197.6 115.9 169.5 157.9 165.5 118.7 213.3 117.5 179.7 165.5 174.8 119.3 r 231.4 '118.4 194.0 174.3 187.2 118.3 '253.1 116.4 214.0 184.4 203.8 67.2 45.6 63.3 68.0 71.4 69.1 74.6 59.0 73.6 79.1 80.1 79.4 81.2 74.5 84.1 91.7 84.4 89.2 96.0 89.4 94.6 93.2 95.8 94.1 103.2 121.9 104.8 118.1 106.0 114.0 110.1 138.4 110.5 125.7 117.4 122.9 112.0 149.2 112.1 133.2 117.8 127.9 108.6 163.0 110.4 150.1 124.7 141.4 110.7 179.3 111.2 161.9 145.9 156.4 114.6 194.2 113.9 169.5 156.0 164.8 116.4 209.6 115.5 180.1 163.8 174.5 r 116.9 '227.5 '116.4 194.6 169.9 186.1 115.7 '247.9 '114.0 214.4 178.6 202.1 (’ > (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( 1) 80.6 76.0 85.7 94.3 90.8 93.1 96.9 90.1 95.3 93.0 100.1 95.5 103.7 121.8 104.7 117.4 103.5 112.5 110.6 136.7 109.1 123.7 114.8 120.5 112.9 147.6 110.9 130.7 116.8 125.8 108.7 161.7 109.5 148.8 124.8 140.2 112.2 177.9 110.4 158.6 148.1 154.9 115.8 192.7 113.0 166.4 156.8 163.0 117.0 208.0 114.6 177.7 164.4 173.0 '118.0 '225.0 '115.2 190.6 170.6 183.5 '117.5 '244.9 '112.7 208.4 179.5 198.1 75.0 61.2 76.3 81.6 88.6 83.8 79.8 78.0 88.0 97.7 92.3 96.1 98.4 91.1 96.4 92.6 103.3 95.9 105.0 122.3 105.1 116.5 96.2 110.3 115.7 136.6 109.0 118.1 107.4 114.8 118.9 146.5 110.1 123.2 106.4 118.0 113.0 161.7 109.5 143.1 105.6 131.6 118.8 181.1 112.3 152.4 128.4 145.1 124.0 196.1 115.0 158.2 139.6 152.5 127.7 212.7 117.2 166.6 147.4 160.7 '128.2 '229.9 '117.6 179.4 152.4 171.1 '129.2 '250.8 '115.3 194.1 '154.4 '181.9 65.8 45.6 63.3 69.4 82.3 73.3 , = revised. 103 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW September 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 32. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1969-79 Annual rate of change Year Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per ho u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 0.2 6.9 1.4 6.6 1.0 4.7 0.7 7.2 1.2 6.4 1.2 4.7 3.3 6.7 2.3 3.3 6.8 4.4 3.4 6.2 2.8 2.8 5.3 3.6 1.9 8.2 1.9 6.2 5.0 5.8 -3.0 9.2 -1.6 12.5 4.4 9.8 2.1 10.0 .8 7.7 15.3 10.1 3.5 8.8 2.8 5.0 5.1 5.0 1.8 8.0 1.4 6.0 4.8 5.6 0.5 8.5 0.8 8.0 5.3 7.1 ' —0.8 r9.4 -1.7 10.3 5.8 8.9 2.5 5.9 2.5 3.3 3.0 3.2 2.1 6.9 2.0 4.7 4.2 4.5 -.2 6.4 1.0 6.7 .4 4.5 .2 6.8 .8 6.5 1.6 4.9 3.0 6.7 2.3 3.5 6.7 4.5 3.6 6.4 3.0 2.7 3.8 3.1 1.7 7.8 1.5 6.0 .3 4.1 -3.1 9.2 -1.6 12.7 5.9 10.5 2.0 10.0 .8 7.9 17.0 10.6 3.5 8.3 2.4 4.7 6.9 5.4 1.5 7.9 1.4 6.3 5.0 5.9 .5 8.6 r,8 8.0 3.7 6.6 -1.1 r9.0 -2.1 10.2 5.1 8.6 2.1 5.6 2.2 3.4 2.9 3.3 1.9 6.7 1.7 4.7 4.0 4.5 .4 6.8 1.3 6.3 0 4.1 .0 6.8 .8 6.8 .5 4.6 3.3 6.2 1.8 2.7 7.3 4.2 3.1 5.7 2.4 2.5 3.3 2.8 2.1 7.9 1.6 5.7 1.8 4.4 -3.7 9.6 -1.3 13.8 6.8 11.5 3.2 10.0 .8 6.6 18.7 10.5 3.2 8.3 2.4 4.9 5.8 5.2 1.1 7.9 1.4 6.8 4.9 6.1 '.9 r8.2 r .5 7.3 3.8 6.1 -.4 8.9 ' -2.2 9.3 5.2 7.9 ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( ') 1.9 6.5 1.6 4.5 3.6 4.2 1.3 6.6 1.2 5.2 -4.4 2.3 -.1 7.1 1.1 7.2 -3.2 4.2 5.2 6.2 1.9 .9 9.2 3.1 4.8 5.2 1.8 .4 2.3 1.0 2.8 7.2 .9 4.3 -1.0 2.8 -5.0 10.4 -.5 16.1 -.7 11.5 5.1 12.0 2.6 6.6 21.6 10.2 4.4 8.3 2.4 3.8 8.8 5.1 3.0 '8.4 1.9 5.3 5.5 5.4 ' .4 '8.1 '.4 7.7 3.4 6.5 r0.9 '9.1 ' -2.0 8.2 01.3 06.3 r2.5 5.5 2.1 2.9 r 1.9 2.6 2.5 r6.4 r 1.5 '3.9 '2.5 ' 3.5 r = revised. 1Not available. 33. 1960-79 1950-79 1969 Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1967=100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs .................................................. Unit labor cost ............................................ Unit nonlabor costs...................................... Unit profits ........................................................ Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour for all persons............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... 1Not available. 104 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Annual average Quarterly Indexes 1980 1979 1978 1977 I IIP '117.7 '260.3 '114.2 221.1 '188.3 209.7 '117.7 267.6 112.9 227.5 '190.0 214.5 116.7 275.3 112.5 235.8 191.3 220.4 '115.0 '254.9 '113.2 217.3 '180.5 204.7 '115.2 '255.6 '112.1 221.8 182.5 208.4 114.9 262.2 110.6 '228.2 '185.9 '213.7 113.7 269.0 109.9 236.6 189.2 220.3 '117.3 '242.1 '113.1 208.0 206.4 213.2 129.2 196.3 '117.2 '247.1 '111.9 213.2 210.8 220.5 127.5 200.4 '117.1 '252.1 '110.6 218.0 215.3 226.1 124.0 204.0 117.1 '258.8 109.2 '224.3 221.1 '234.4 '120.5 '208.9 ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) r> <’ ) <1) '129.6 '248.0 '115.9 192.6 '129.6 '252.7 '114.4 195.0 '129.1 '258.0 '113.2 199.8 '128.4 '264.6 '111.6 '206.0 127.4 273.8 111.9 214.9 1978 1979 IV I II in IV 1 II III 119.3 231.5 '118.4 194.0 174.3 187.2 118.3 '253.1 116.4 214.0 184.4 203.8 119.0 218.8 117.9 183.9 168.5 178.6 118.5 '224.6 118.8 189.4 164.8 180.9 119.1 228.8 118.3 192.1 173.9 185.8 '119.7 '233.7 '118.2 195.2 177.0 188.9 '119.8 '238.4 '117.9 199.0 '181.3 192.9 '118.9 '244.8 '117.9 205.9 180.8 197.2 '118.3 '250.4 '117.0 211.7 '183.7 202.0 '117.8 '255.7 '115.8 217.0 '185.6 206.1 '116.9 '227.5 '116.4 194.6 169.9 186.1 115.7 '247.9 '114.0 214.4 178.6 202.1 116.4 215.1 115.9 184.8 165.9 178.3 '116.2 '221.0 116.9 190.2 161.1 180.2 116.7 '224.9 116.3 192.8 169.1 184.7 '117.4 '229.5 '116.1 195.6 173.0 187.8 '117.6 '234.4 '115.9 '199.3 176.0 191.4 '116.6 '240.2 '115.7 206.0 174.3 195.1 '115.4 '244.9 '114.4 212.2 177.6 200.3 '118.0 '225.0 '115.2 193.3 190.6 201.8 127.2 183.5 '117.5 '244.9 '112.7 210.4 208.4 216.6 127.8 198.1 116.9 213.2 114.9 186.3 182.3 198.7 122.2 176.8 116.9 '219.0 115.8 190.8 187.3 201.5 107.1 178.3 '118.0 '222.6 '115.1 191.6 188.7 200.8 129.2 182.3 '118.5 '226.9 '114.8 194.0 191.5 201.6 132.7 184.9 '118.8 '231.3 '114.4 196.8 194.8 203.1 138.7 188.2 '118.1 '237.3 '114.3 202.3 201.0 206.5 130.3 191.6 '128.2 '229.9 '117.6 179.4 '129.2 '250.3 '115.3 194.1 128.3 218.3 117.6 170.1 126.3 '223.9 118.4 177.2 '127.7 '227.1 117.5 177.9 129.5 '231.7 '117.2 179.1 '128.3 '236.6 '117.0 182.7 '128.8 '242.3 '116.7 189.0 r = revised. IV 34. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1967 = 100] Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o st.................................... Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor costs ...................................... Unit nonlabor costs.................................. Unit profits ...................................... Implicit price deflator .................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis IV 1978 to I 1979 1 1979 to I11979 II 1979 to III 1979 ' -3.1 '11.0 '- . 2 14.6 -1.0 9.3 ' -2.0 '9.5 '- 2 .9 11.8 '6.5 10.1 -1.4 '8.7 ' -4.1 10.3 4.2 8.3 '- 3 .3 '10.2 '- . 9 14.0 -3.9 8.1 '- 3 .9 '8.1 '- 4 .2 12.5 7.7 11.0 ' -2.3 '10.8 '- . 4 11.7 13.4 6.8 -22.1 7.6 ' -3.8 10.1 '- . 9 14.5 III 1979 to IV 1979 Percent change from same quarter a year ago IV 1979 to 11980p I 1980 to 111980» -0.3 '7.5 -5.4 7.8 '5.9 7.2 -0.3 11.7 -4.5 12.1 3.8 9.4 -3.1 12.0 -1.5 15.5 2.6 11.5 '0.3 '9.0 ' —0.8 8.7 9.7 9.0 ' -0.7 '9.4 ' —1.1 10.2 '5.7 8.7 ' -1.5 8.5 '- 4 .4 10.1 6.6 9.0 '0.8 '9.5 '- 3 .6 8.6 4.6 7.4 ' —1.1 '10.7 '- 5 .3 '12.0 '7.5 '10.6 -4.1 10.8 -2.6 15.6 7.3 13.0 '.4 '8.7 ' —1.0 8.3 8.2 8.3 '- 2 .7 '8.3 ' -4.1 11.8 11.2 13.5 -3.4 10.2 ' -0.3 '8.5 '- 4 .3 10.2 8.8 14.6 -5.3 8.6 ' -0.4 '8.4 '- 4 .5 9.3 8.9 10.6 ' -10.4 7.3 ' —0.1 '11.0 ' -5.1 '12.2 11.1 '15.4 ' -10.9 '9.9 ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) ( 1) <1) C) '1.7 '9.6 '- 2 .8 7.9 '2.5 '7.8 '- 4 .9 5.2 ' —1.4 '8.8 '- 4 .2 10.3 '- 2 .2 '10.5 '- 5 .5 '13.0 -3.2 14.7 0.9 18.5 I 1978 to 1 1979 II 1978 to II 1979 III 1978 to III 1979 IV 1978 to IV 1979 1 1979 to I 1980» II 1979 to II 1980» -1.6 9.4 ' —2.1 11.2 4.8 9.1 -1.7 9.2 -3.2 11.1 3.9 8.7 ' —1.0 '9.3 '- 4 .2 10.5 '5.1 '8.8 -1.3 10.0 -3.9 11.4 4.1 91 ' —1.1 '8.9 ' —1.6 10.1 5.0 8.5 -2.0 8.9 -2.5 11.1 4.3 9.0 -2.0 '9.1 -3.3 11.3 3.7 8.9 r —1.4 '9.2 '- 4 .4 '10.8 '6.6 '9.5 15 9.8 -4.0 11.5 6.5 10.0 '1.0 '8.4 ' —1.3 6.1 7.3 2.5 21.7 7.5 '- . 6 '8.7 ' —1.8 8.6 9.4 6.2 0 7.7 ' —1.1 8.9 '- 2 .6 9.9 10.1 9.4 -3.9 8.4 -1.4 9.0 -3.3 10.8 10.6 11.3 -10.6 8.4 ' -0.9 '9.0 '- 4 .5 '10.9 10.0 '13.5 '- 7 .6 9.0 ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) ( 1) '1.5 '8.2 ' —1.5 6.6 '.9 '9.2 ' —1.3 8.2 '0.2 '9.1 '- 2 .4 8.9 ' -0.3 '9.1 '- 3 .3 9.4 0.1 '9.2 '- 4 .4 '9.0 -1.1 104 -3.5 11.6 r = revised. 105 LABOR-MANAGEMENT DATA M a jo r c o l l e c t iv e b a r g a in in g d a t a are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, direct contact with the parties, and from secondary sources. Addi tional detail is published in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. Data on work stoppages are based on confidential responses to questionnaires mailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to parties involved in work stoppages. Stoppages initially come to the attention of the Bureau from reports of Federal and State mediation agencies, newspapers, and union and industry publications. the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to total agreed upon settlements (exclusive of potential cost-of-living escalator adjustments) expressed at an average annual rate. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings, while wage and benefit changes are expressed as a percent of total compensation. Effective wage-rate adjustments going into effect in major bargaining units measure changes actually placed into effect during the reference period, whether the result of a newly negotiated increase, a deferred increase negotiated in an earlier year, or as a result of a costof-living escalator adjustment. Average adjustments are affected by workers receiving no adjustment, as well as by those receiving in creases or decreases. Definitions Work stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving six workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. Data on wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry agree ments covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on wage and benefit changes c o m b in e d apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage settlements refer to pay changes go ing into effect within the first 12 months after the effective date of 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date [In percent] Quarterly average Annual average Sector and measure 1975 1976 1977 1978 1980 p 1979 1978 1979 III IV I II III IV I II Wage and benefit settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract ...................... 11.4 8.1 8.5 6.6 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 7.2 5.9 6.1 5.2 2.8 5.3 10.5 7.8 9.0 6.1 8.5 6.0 8.6 6.4 10.1 6.8 Wage rate settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract ...................... 10.2 7.8 8.4 6.4 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 7.5 6.4 7.4 5.9 5.7 6.6 8.9 7.2 6.8 5.1 6.3 5.3 7.8 6.3 8.7 6.8 Manufacturing: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 9.8 8.0 8.9 6.0 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 8.4 7.2 9.5 7.4 8.7 7.7 9.7 8.1 6.3 4.7 5.6 4.2 7.0 5.6 6.6 4.9 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 11.9 8.0 8.6 7.2 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 7.4 5.9 6.4 5.1 3.2 5.6 8.5 5.8 9.4 6.5 7.8 7.4 9.1 7.1 10.4 8.6 Construction: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 8.0 7.5 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 7.0 7.2 8.4 7.1 9.7 8.2 8.7 8.3 9.7 8.5 7.5 7.6 9.6 9.3 12.7 10.3 106 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36. Effective wage adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date [In percent] Average annual changes Average quarterly changes Sector and measure 1975 Total effective wage rate adjustment, all industries.......... Change resulting from — Current settlement .............................. Prior settlement .................................. Escalator provision ........................................ Manufacturing........................................ Nonmanufacturing...................................... 1976 1977 1978 1978 1979 1979 1980 p II III IV I II III IV I II 8.7 8.1 8.0 8.2 9.1 2.6 2.7 1.4 1.4 2.6 3.3 1.6 1.4 2.6 2.8 3.7 2.2 3.2 3.2 1.6 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 .6 1.4 .6 .5 1.2 1.0 .4 .5 .5 .2 .6 .6 1.1 1.0 .5 1.0 1.0 1.2 .5 .4 .7 .4 .5 .6 .7 1.2 .6 8.5 8.9 8.5 7.7 8.4 7.6 8.6 7.9 9.6 8.8 2.2 2.9 2.9 2.5 1.9 1.1 1.5 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.4 1.0 1.7 1.2 2.9 2.2 NOTE: Because of rounding and compounding, the sums of individual items may not equal totals. 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year Beginning in month or year In effect during month Workers involved Beginning in month or year (thousands) Days Idle In effect during month (thousands) Number (thousands) Percent of estimated working time 1947 1948 1949 1950 .................. .................. .................. .................... 3,693 3,419 3,606 4,843 2,170 1,960 3,030 2,410 34,600 34,100 50,500 38,800 .30 .28 .44 .33 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 4,737 5,117 5,091 3,468 4,320 2,220 3,540 2,400 1,530 2,650 22,900 59,100 28,300 22,600 28,200 .18 .48 .22 .18 .22 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 3,825 3,673 3,694 3,708 3,333 1,900 1,390 2,060 1,880 1,320 33.100 16,500 23,900 69,000 19.100 .24 .12 .18 .50 .14 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 3,367 3,614 3,362 3,655 3,963 1,450 1,230 941 1,640 1,550 16.300 18,600 16,100 22,900 23.300 .13 .11 .15 .15 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 4,405 4,595 5,045 5,700 5,716 1,960 2,870 2,649 2,481 3,305 25,400 42,100 49,018 42,869 66,414 .15 .25 .28 .24 .37 1971 ..... 1972 .................... 1973 .................... 1974 .................... 1975 .................... 5,138 5,010 5,353 6,074 5,031 3,280 1,714 2,251 2,778 1,746 47,589 27,066 27,948 47,991 31,237 .26 .15 .14 .24 .16 1976 .................... 1977 .................... 1978 .................... 5,648 5,506 4,230 2,420 2,040 1,623 37,859 35,822 36,922 .19 .17 .17 1979: 1980: .11 June 536 137 2,989 .16 J u ly ........ August . . . September 471 463 464 168 119 135 3,001 3,152 2,319 .16 .15 .13 October .. November December 443 257 134 230 91 42 2,968 2,720 1,976 .15 .15 .11 Januaryp . February p Marchp .. April........ M ay........ June . . . . 352 354 396 425 505 435 3,142 3,025 2,705 2,786 2,464 2,553 .16 .17 .14 .14 .13 .13 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 441 590 631 663 752 714 207 114 123 116 139 164 ☆ U .S . G O VERNM ENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1980 O — 292 332 310 231 214 201 311-406/45 107 How to order BLS publications PERIODICALS O r d e r f r o m (a n d m a k e c h e ck s p a y a b le to ) S u p e r in te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts , W ash in gton , D .C . 2 0 4 0 2 . F o r fo r e ig n su b scrip tio n s, a d d 2 5 p e rc e n t. 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A co m p reh en siv e m o n th ly rep ort o n e m p lo y m en t, h o u rs, earn in g s, a n d la b o r tu rn over b y in d u stry , area, o c c u p a tio n , et cetera $22 a year, sin g le c o p y $ 2 .7 5 . Occupational Outlook Quarterly. A p op u lar p erio d ica l d e sig n e d to h elp h ig h sc h o o l s tu d en ts a n d g u id a n ce c o u n selo r s a ssess career o p p o rtu n ities. $6 for four issu es, sin g le c o p y $ 1 .7 5 . Current Wage Developments. A m o n th ly re p ort a b o u t c o lle c tiv e b argain in g settlem e n ts a n d u n ilateral m a n a g em en t d e c isio n s a b o u t w a g e s a n d benefits; sta tistica l su m m aries. $ 1 2 a year, sin g le c o p y $1 .3 5 . Producer Prices and Price Indexes. A c o m p reh en siv e m o n th ly rep ort on p rice m o v e m e n ts o f b o th farm an d in d u strial c o m m o d i ties, b y in d u str y a n d sta g e o f p ro cessin g . $17 a year, sin g le c o p y $2.25. CPI Detailed Report. 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