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Y LABOR partment of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics r 1981 In thii issue: Thr em icles on 3nt and recession https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. N orw ood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $21 domestic; $26.25 foreign. Single copy $3. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid Laurel, Md. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 SF®1“ f mix' Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I — Boston: Paul V. M ulkern 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Flampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II — New York: Sam uel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III — Philadelphia: A lvin /. MarguHs 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV — Atlanta: D onald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881-4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V — Chicago: W illiam E Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI — Dallas: Bryan R ichey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII — Kansas City: E llio tt A. Brow ar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming October cover: “ Segments,” a 1968 sculpture of painted metal and glass by Menashe Kadishman courtesy Hirshhorn Museum and Sculpture Garden. Photographs and cover design by Ann Meeklns, Division of Audio-Visual Communication Services, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce H anchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington % MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW OCTOBER 1981 VOLUME 104, NUMBER 10 L IB R A R T I OCT 88 I S T Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor Philip L. Rones 3 Response to recession: reduce hours or jobs? Workweek cuts are a reliable leading indicator of recession, a firm’s initial response to sagging product demand; thereafter, numerous decisions determine timing of layoffs Michael Urquhart 12 The services industry: is it recession-proof? Since 1948, the industry has displayed relative cyclical insensitivity and has been marked by steady growth, accounting for nearly 20 percent of total employment in 1980 John T. Tucker 19 Government employment: an era of slow growth Since 1975, public payrolls have grown slowly, with government accounting for a smaller share of nonfarm jobs; in 1950-75, the State and local proportion expanded N. Root, D. Sebastian 26 BLS develops measure of job risk by occupation New statistic relates injury incidence and employment by occupation within economic sectors and industry divisions and should help target workers most likely to incur injuries Peter Finn 31 The effects of shift work on the lives of employees Nearly 1 in 6 employees works other than a normal daytime schedule, data are scarce on how workers are affected; incomes may rise, but family and social life often suffer REPO RTS B. L. Johnson, E. W aldm an M ary Ann Mullen Tadd Linsenm ayer https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36 42 44 M arital and fam ily patterns of the labor force Key officer of new police union loses to coalition in close vote ILO conference focuses on bargaining, w orker safety, not politics DEPARTM ENTS 2 36 42 44 47 48 51 57 Labor month in review Research sum m aries Conventions Foreign labor developm ents M ajor agreem ents expiring next month D evelopm ents in industrial relations Book reviews C urrent labor statistics Labor M onth In Review HEALTH INSURANCE. Almost 3 of 4 full-time workers in private industry are covered by group health plans, ac cording to a new study published by the Labor-Management Services Adminis tration of the U.S. Labor Department. More than three-fourths of male workers were covered, but only twothirds of the female workers. The study is based on a supplementary survey con ducted by the Census Bureau as part of its May 1979 Current Population Sur vey. Here are some highlights: By union status. Workers covered by a collective bargaining agreement had a significantly higher rate of health in surance coverage (91 percent) than workers not under an agreement (67 per cent). Overall, the coverage rate for men exceeded that for women by 11 percent age points, but among bargainingunit members, there was only a 4-percentage point difference. By industry and job. Health insurance coverage exceeded 80 percent for work ers in mining, manufacturing, transpor tation, and communications and public utilities. The highest rate (92 percent) was in communications and public utili ties and the lowest in agriculture (31 per cent). Coverage was 76 percent for both white-collar and blue-collar workers. Service workers and farmworkers had rates of 45 and 24 percent. In the whitecollar category, professional and tech nical workers had the highest cover age rate (83 percent) and salesworkers, the lowest (66 percent). Among bluecollar workers, operatives had the highest rates (79 percent) and nonfarm laborers, the lowest (67 percent). Health plan participation for workers https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis represented by a union was at least 84 percent in each industry. In mining, manufacturing, transportation, and communications and public utilities, more than 9 of 10 union-represented workers were covered. These industries also had the highest proportion of their workers represented by unions. How ever, health coverage is not explained by union presence alone. At least 80 percent of the workers outside the bargaining unit in mining, manufacturing, and communications and public utilities had health insurance coverage. By earnings. The likelihood of health in surance coverage increased with higher income levels. Rates ranged from 25 per cent in the lowest income category to 93 percent in the highest. Twenty-five per cent of workers earning up to $4,999 an nually were covered; 61 percent of those in the $5,000 to $9,999 range; 82 percent of those earning $10,000 to $14,999; 89 percent of those earning $15,000 to $19,999; 91 percent of those earning $20,000 to $24,999; and 93 percent of the $25,000 and over earners. By size of firm. Small establishments (fewer than 100 workers) had a health insurance coverage rate of only 62 per cent. For medium size establishments (100 to 499 workers), the rate was 87 per cent; and for large establishments (500 or more workers), 94 percent. The widest variation in coverage oc curred in small establishments. None of the industries in medium or large establishments had health coverage rates of less than 75 percent. In small es tablishments, coverage ranged from 51 percent in services to 92 percent in com munications and public utilities. None of the industries with the highest coverage overall (communications and public utilities, mining, transportation and manufacturing) had a rate less than 72 percent in their small establishments. Part of the reason for this is that each of these industries has a higher proportion of bargaining-unit employees among small establishments relative to the re maining industries. But, perhaps more important, these industries are highwage industries. By personal characteristics. Threefourths of both married—spouse present—and widowed or divorced workers were covered by group health plans, compared to about two-thirds of the never-married and married—spouse absent—workers. White workers had a higher health coverage rate than workers of other races. Much of the 6-percentage point difference resulted from a relative ly larger proportion of nonwhite workers being low-wage earners and concentrated in occupations with tradi tionally lower coverage rates. Younger workers and older workers were least likely to be included in on-thejob group health insurance plans. The lowest rate of coverage was in the under age 25 category, where only 62 percent were covered. All other age categories had rates between 75 and 78 percent, except for the age 60 and over category, where 70 percent were covered. Copies of the study, “ Group Health Insurance Coverage of Private FullTime Wage and Salary Workers, 1979” are available from the Pension and Welfare Benefit Programs, Labor Management Services Administration, U. S. D e p ar t m en t of Labor , Washington, D.C. 20216. □ » Response to recession: reduce hours or jobs? Workweek cuts are a reliable leading indicator of recession, because they are the firm ’s initial response to sagging product demand; thereafter, numerous business and indmdual decisions determine the point at which workers will be laid off P h i l i p L. R o n e s During a recession, attention is focused on the most ob vious victims— those people who have lost their jobs. Particularly hard hit by the downturns of the last three decades was the manufacturing sector, which accounted for 90 percent of all job losses. These employment re ductions were concentrated largely in the durable goods industries and almost exclusively among production workers. But layoffs are not the first response by manufactur ers to sagging product demand; traditionally, firms have cut hours of work before reducing employment. This re sponse has been so cyclically consistent that average weekly hours of production workers in manufacturing is designated as one of the Nation’s 12 major leading eco nomic indicators— those which precede business cycle movements— by the National Bureau of Economic Re search. The focus of this article is the timing and relative im portance of workweek and employment cutbacks in durable goods manufacturing during the last six major business contractions.1Many of the costs and benefits of each method of reducing output are compared, and the Philip L. Rones is an economist with the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. T. Scott Fain, formerly an economist with the same division, assisted in the preparation of this article. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis critical roles of such factors as collective bargaining and unemployment insurance on a firm’s decisions are outlined. Discussion of determinants of the choice to cut employment or shorten workweeks constitutes a very brief overview of the literature, and is intended to provide a framework for interpretation of patterns ob served in aggregated data.2 A methodological foreword Because the following analysis of the cyclical leads of one time series over another will depend on the timing of peaks and troughs, the reader should be acquainted with the methods used to pinpoint cyclical turns. Basi cally, the methodology follows procedures outlined by Gerhard Bry and Charlott Boschan in their report, Cy clical Analysis o f Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs.3 Determinations were based on the author’s own analysis of the seasonally adjusted series, with consistent application of a few basic guidelines. The highest pre-recession level was selected unless the series offered another viable and more indicative peak. In the case of a plateau, with more than one possible peak, the latest month was designated. (See chart 1.) If the series was double peaked, the latter peak before a sustained downturn was chosen. And when the series exhibited a 1- or possibly 2-month aberration, the peak most in line with the overall trend of the series was se3 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Response to Recession Chart 1. Methods for determining series peak (P) illustrated Hours or employment P 1 Digitized for4 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 3 4 5 6 Months 7 8 9 10 11 12 lected. (In other words, uncharacteristic “blips” in the series were ignored.) Where the ax falls first When faced with the prospect of declining orders and a general slowdown in the economy, why do manufac turers choose to cut the workweek before jobs? The pri mary consideration is the savings to the firm, both in the short and the long term. A major short-run cost advantage of hours reduc tions is avoidance of the immediate turnover costs of layoffs. In addition to processing the paperwork in volved, firms often must make severance payments or pay supplemental unemployment benefits, and may also face increased contributions to State unemployment in surance systems. It should also be noted here that union contracts often require worksharing in the short run, before a company resorts to layoffs; 38 percent of unionized workers in manufacturing were covered by such provisions in 1970-71, the most recent period for which data are available.4 (However, unions may curtail the long-run use of worksharing, a subject which will be discussed later in this article.) In conjunction with the short-run savings of hours reductions, firms must also consider the longer term costs of layoffs, particularly those related to labor turn over. If laid-off workers are unavailable for recall when demand recovers, the company will incur substantial cost in recruiting, selecting, and training new employ ees. And because these costs appear to be rising,5 em ployers try to avoid them by reducing hours as long as they can. Of primary importance to the firm’s decisions is the probability that a worker will be available for recall — the greater that probability, the less costly layoffs be come. This issue has been addressed by several re searchers. Even allowing for some methodological shortcomings pointed out by Thomas Bradshaw and Janet Scholl, Martin Feldstein’s research still yields a high recall rate for those on temporary layoff— in the neighborhood of 65 to 70 percent.6 David Lillien reaches a similar estimate on the probability of recall.7 However, he stresses that temporary layoffs are not the major source of cyclical unemployment: he estimates that roughly 35 percent of the increase in job loser un employment during the 1975 recession was due to tem porary layoffs; much of the remaining increase repre sented long-term unemployment, particularly among those who later became job changers. Martin Baily proposes an additional cost to the firm using layoffs to reduce output— higher wage rates.8 He asserts that a firm (or an industry) develops a reputa tion from past layoffs. A potential employee will view a high probability of being laid off as a risk of employ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment for which he or she should be compensated. This is particularly important for the relatively small seg ment of the economy which experiences a high level of either seasonal, or, in the case of durable goods manu facturing, cyclical employment cuts. Another cost of layoffs, which will be discussed in more detail later, is the possibility that the firm will have to pay higher un employment insurance premiums in the future, based on its experience rating. The firm, then, must respond cautiously to changes in demand. Initial cutbacks are generally made in expen sive overtime hours, which make up the majority of workweek declines during cyclical downturns. If, be cause of a shortage of specialized labor or scheduling inflexibilities, elimination of overtime cannot provide all of the needed reductions, some less expensive, straighttime hours are also cut. The following tabulation indi cates that, over the last five recessions, durable goods firms appeared to “target” overtime more and more when they needed to slash the workweek: Recession period 9 1956-58 . . 1960-61 . . 1969-70 . . 1973-75 . . 1979-80 . . . . . . . Fall in hours (peak to trough) 2.9 2.4 1.8 2.3 1.9 Fall in overtime hours (peak to trough) 1.7 1.2 1.3 2.0 1.6 Overtime as percent of total hours decline 58.6 50.0 72.2 87.0 84.2 Much of this targeting, however, was possible only because overtime has been used more extensively during recent years. Prior to the onset of each of the first two recessions shown, durable goods overtime averaged about 3 hours per week. Since 1969, the prerecession levels have been about 4 hours. Of course, there are costs involved in hours reductions. In particular, firms continue to accrue liabilities for fringe benefits in maintaining workers on the payroll. Also, they may face union animosity toward hours cuts and may incur plan ning costs associated with changes in work schedules. But the benefits of early hours reduction in terms of payroll savings and the avoidance of turnover seem, most often, to outweigh the costs. The timing of job cuts Not only are companies hesitant to lay off workers at a business cycle peak, but employment may level off or even continue to rise after hours have begun to fall. What causes this anomaly in hours and employment policies? New hiring does actually peak before hours, and layoffs may edge upward, but as workers sense a tightening job market, quits also fall.10 Thus, the new turnover rate is not negative— that is, employment does not fall— until the firm steps up its use of layoffs. 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Response to Recession Are there other reasons why firms are sluggish in lay ing off workers? Walter Oi’s explanation entails viewing labor as a quasi-fixed factor of production, as opposed to the classical concept of labor as a purely variable fac tor." The extent of this “fixity,” as he calls it, depends on the investment in firm-specific training, which in creases the worker’s productivity only for his or her current employer. Thus, the decision to lay off a worker would not simply be a function of the worker’s margin al product and his wage. Instead, the firm may retain an employee whose marginal product is below his or her wage rather than risk high future costs of training new workers in skills unique to the company. Donald Parsons demonstrates that both the average quit and layoff rates are lowest in industries where both workerand firm-financed investment in specific training is greatest.12 Gerhard Bry, in his study of the workweek, suggests that the lag in job cuts may be the result of conflicting policies within the firm. “Changes in weekly hours come about as the result of fluctuations of current work loads” (decided at the foreman level), but “cyclical changes in employment are the result of policy decisions based on anticipated workloads” (decided at the man agement level). Conflicting policies concerning hours and employment may, therefore, be determined indepen dently.13 Robert J. Gordon also assumes a lag in man agement decisionmaking in his report on the “end-ofexpansion” drop in productivity caused by overhiring. According to Gordon, companies “may gradually rec ognize an overstaffing condition but be unable to cor rect it rapidly because of both the high costs of more frequent decisionmaking and the inevitable time it takes to reduce the work force purely by attrition when lay offs are costly.” 14 Apparently firms are slow to cut em ployment not only because of the cost, but also because of a policymaking lag at the management level. But at some point, the nature of the production pro cess or union agreements no longer allow the company to continue to reduce hours without laying off workers. Firms must then increase their layoff rate or incur the continuing costs of underutilized labor or unacceptably large inventories. The nature of the company and its products will help determine how extensive its use of hours reductions can be.15 For instance, a high capital-to-labor ratio would imply that the firm’s variable costs are relatively low. Thus, other things equal, it is less likely that payroll savings through layoffs would provide sufficient cost re ductions. In other cases, the nature of the production process may dictate layoffs. For example, the continu ous operations characteristic of steel production cannot be economically run at less than full capacity. Thus, as demand declines, it is more likely that an operation will be closed down completely and the workers laid off. 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Another factor is the cost of maintaining high invento ries, which depends in part on the characteristics of the output. For instance, a producer of a perishable product would be more likely to shut down operations in the face of declining demand than would the maker of a product that could be easily stored. Beyond the nature of the firm’s product and produc tion process, employee preferences help determine the point at which layoffs begin. Baily, in a theoretical mod el of layoff behavior, asserts that a firm will reduce hours to a minimum level acceptable to workers and must then begin layoffs.16That level is reached when the opportunity costs of workers’ time is higher than the net value of the job at reduced hours. At this point, Baily proposes, no additional hours reduction will oc cur. BLS establishment data show that in durable goods manufacturing about 25 percent of all of the eventual hours reductions in each industry had occurred by the time that employment started to decline. Of course, Baily was theorizing on a firm’s behavior; analysis at that level could easily provide different re sults than industry aggregates. (Certainly, all firms within an industry do not reduce hours or employment simultaneously.) But while hours do continue to decline in the aggregate, even after employment levels begin to fall, the employee’s preference between work at reduced hours and a subsidized period of layoff seems to be a key to the decision of the employer. As we will see, the more attractive the layoff alternative (in terms of the combination of replacement income and leisure time), the more likely the worker will accept layoff, and, more importantly, the more likely he or she will be available for recall. How long is the hours lead? As previously indicated, the manufacturing workweek is such an effective cyclical indicator because its move ments consistently lead those in employment. During the last six business cycles, the downturn in average weekly hours preceded that in employment for the nine major durable goods industries more than 80 percent of Table 1. Lead of hours peak over employment peak during business downturns, selected industries, 1953-80 Lead (in months) Industry 80 1953 54 1956-58 i960 61 1969 70 1973 75 1979— Lumber and wood products Furniture and fixtures ......... Stone, clay, and glass products........................... Primary metals industries . . . Fabricated metals industries Machinery, except electrical . Electric and electronic equipment........................ Transportation equipment .. Instruments and related products........................... 1 0 2 8 0 4 5 3 7 9 0 10 0 4 3 14 2 9 2 13 9 9 1 8 7 0 8 6 3 1 10 13 0 3 3 7 4 9 0 2 8 1 3 11 10 2 10 1 7 12 7 -4 6 12 Chart 2. Frequency distribution of hours leads presented in table 1 Number of occurrences 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Hours lead (in months) the time. (See table 1.) The average length of time be tween the downturns in hours and employment (re ferred to as “hours lead”) for these 54 observations was 5.4 months. A similar tendency exists at the trough of a business cycle; in general, manufacturing hours begin to increase before employment. In the durable goods in dustries, the hours lead out of recession occurred in 39 of the 54 possible observations. However, its average length was less than half the lead at the peak of the cy cle.17 (During the 1980 business cycle, the upturns in hours and employment were coincident in 7 of the 9 du rable goods industries.) The tabulation below shows the length of the lead of the production workweek peak over the employment peak for each of the nine industries, averaged over the last six recessions. The industry data are presented in descending order of average lead time: Lead in months All industries ..................................................... Machinery, except electrical............................. Instruments and related p rod ucts.......................... Electrical and electronic equipment................ Furniture and fixtures........................................ Fabricated metal products................................ Transportation equipm ent................................ Primary metal industries.......................................... Stone, glass, and clay products ............................. Lumber and wood products .................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.1 10.2 6.7 5.8 5.7 4.5 4.3 4.3 3.5 2.2 9 10 11 12 13 14 Except for the extremely long-leading machinery in dustry and the shortest leading industries (lumber, and stone, clay, and glass products), the average leads hover near the 5-month mark. But when each recession is ex amined separately by industry, a widely and apparently random set of relationships appears, ranging from a 14-month lead to a 4-month lag. In fact, the “average” lead of 5 months occurs only once, 6 months occurs only twice, and 4 months only three times. (See chart 2 .) Given the variance of these individual leads, consis tent patterns within and between industries become im possible to identify. But when average leads across recessions are considered, the industries do seem to fall into two groups: Those which produce finished prod ucts, such as machinery, furniture, electronics, and in struments, have longer leads, on average, then those which produce intermediate products. Does any relationship exist between the length of the hours lead and the relative use of layoff's and hours cut backs to reduce production? That is, do industries with long leads generally make more intensive use of hours reductions during a cyclical downturn? To examine this possibility, a ratio was created which compares the em ployment drop for a given industry and recession with the corresponding hours decline. For each industry, the percentage change in employment from its peak to 7 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Response to Recession trough is divided by the peak-to-trough percentage change in hours. This ratio measures an industry’s preference for the use of employment or hours cutbacks to reduce output when demand sags; a high ratio indicates a heavy em ployment effect, and a low ratio means that hours re ductions play a greater role. The averages of these ratios for the nine major durable goods industries over the six recessions, ranked in order of magnitude, are: All industries ................................................................ Machinery, except electrical................................................ Electrical and electronic equipment.................................. Lumber and wood products ............................................. Transportation equipm ent.................................................. Fabricated metal products.................................................. Instruments and related p rod ucts..................................... Stone, glass, and clay products ........................................ Primary metal industries..................................................... Furniture and fixtures.......................................................... 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.8 Though not entirely consistent, these rankings resem ble the lead rankings. However, when data are disaggregated for each recession, the expected link be tween high ratio and low hours lead does not hold. In fact, when the individual observations for the employment-to-hours ratios are regressed over the length of the corresponding lead, no statistically significant relation ship emerges. This probably reflects the fact that, while the employment-to-hours ratios are fairly consistent, the leads tend to be widely dispersed. A mean lead of 5 months for a particular industry over the six recessions results from the averaging of extreme observations, such as 1 month and 9 months. (See chart 2.) Thus, because the disaggregated leads do not demonstrate a consistent pattern, the apparent connection between lead length and the ratio disappears in the disaggregation. When the ratio is made dependent on the depth of re cession in a given industry, a significant positive rela tionship appears; the deeper the recession, the higher the ratio.18 This follows from the observation that em ployment cuts become more im portant as a recession progresses. As producers perceive and experience a real and deep recession, they resort to layoffs more frequent ly and their employment-to-hours ratio rises. For reasons cited earlier, a plateau in employment is typical at the beginning of a downturn; this is the peri od after firms first detect a weakness in demand for their product (and, often, begin hours cuts) but before the situation becomes certain enough, or serious enough, to start significant layoffs. The length of the hours lead, then, is largely determined by the point of this “plateau” where employment actually peaks. This is shown graphically in chart 3. It would be unlikely for employment to peak in the middle of the plateau period and thus result in an “av 8 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis erage” lead length. This is because, once the need for output reduction is noted, significant new hiring proba bly would not occur while hours are being cut back. Thus, given the way businesses make hours and layoff decisions, and methods used to identify series peaks, hours leads tend to be long or short, but rarely in be tween. Each recession tends to exhibit certain unique charac teristics (for example, in 1973-75, there were protracted employment stalls and thus relatively long leads), and no trend is apparent over time. The average leads (in months) for the nine durable goods manufacturing in dustries combined are shown below for each recession: 1953-54 . . . . 1956-58 . . . . 1960-61 . . . . 4.7 5.6 5.2 1969-70 . . . . 1973-75 . . . . 1979-80 . . . . 4.1 6.8 5.1 Some have suggested that recent developments in eco nomic forecasting and communications give manufac turers advance warning of a recession and the ability to initiate policy changes before a substantial decline in de mand actually occurs. Or the government, through fiscal and monetary policies, may, to some extent, fore stall a downturn. But, if these hypotheses are true, the expected trend toward shorter leads is not clearly ob served in the data. Two structural determinants Both unemployment insurance and collective bar gaining provisions influence the ability and willingness of the firm to use, and the worker to accept layoffs. As mentioned earlier, the timing of layoffs is, in part, a function of the opportunity costs of working reduced hours. The experienced worker becomes more likely to sit out a period of unemployment, and be available for recall, when the value of the nonwork option increases. This, of course, is the effect of the increased availabil ity and levels of unemployment insurance on decisions. The (often) nontaxable status of this benefit acts as an additional incentive to layoffs, because it increases the real value of benefit payments relative to taxable earned income. The higher the income supplement, the lower the probability of job search by the worker, and hence, the lower the possible future costs of layoffs to employ ers in terms of hiring and training new employees. The firm must also consider costs associated with its unemployment insurance taxes. Under typical policies, a firm maintains a funding reserve with the State on which it can draw when layoffs increase. (Each State has its own regulations and funding policies.) If unem ployment insurance taxes were perfectly experience-rat ed, the firm would face a future hike in premiums whenever layoffs rose above a “normal” level. However, because States generally have a maximum tax rate, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Response to Recession many high-turnover firms are already taxed at the maxi mum level, and operate with a zero or negative reserve balance. For these companies, the marginal cost of fu ture premiums associated with increased layoffs is also zero. Some States have a high minimum tax rate, where by some firms would regularly maintain an account sur plus. Again, the marginal cost of layoffs to these firms is zero until the surplus is used up. Thus, the unemploy ment insurance program serves both to decrease the cost of layoffs to workers and to make employment cuts more attractive to employers. Union representation of workers may also have a profound effect on the firm’s choice of hours or employ ment reductions. James L. Medoff, who has studied this influence, finds evidence of a positive correlation be tween unionization and layoffs. Medoff asserts that a union, sensitive to the concerns of its more senior members, can often negotiate con tracts which benefit this relatively small group. Workers with extensive seniority would tend to prefer layoffs to across-the-board hours reductions because their own jobs would be unaffected. Sumner Slichter, James Healy, and Robert Livernash noted as early as 1960 that “the trend of union preference is more and more toward the restriction of work-sharing arrangements.” 19 Medoff’s study of union effects on layoff rates supports this finding. He observes that, while the porportion of man ufacturing workers covered by collective bargaining agreements asking for a reduced workweek prior to lay off remained nearly unchanged from 1954 to 1971, the nature of the agreements did change.20 The principal dif ference was an increase in the percentage of contracts which limited the length of time that reduced work weeks could forestall layoffs. Many of the revised con tractual clauses provided for “union participation in procedures involving reductions in hours per employee.” Collective bargaining may contribute to a higher lay off rate for other reasons. The attractive benefits often negotiated through labor-management agreements tend to encourage workers to accept layoffs rather than seek alternative employment. For example, a unionized firm is more likely to provide its laid-off workers with sup plemental unemployment benefits; in 1978, nearly 61 percent of organized workers in durable goods indus tries were eligible for such benefits.21 The relatively high returns to the employee for extended service in union ized companies also act as a deterrent to job change, as does the accrual of (largely) nonportable pension bene fits. And, to the extent that unions are able to maintain high and increasing wage levels, particularly through multiyear agreements and cost-of-living clauses, the firm loses the option of wage flexibility as a response to sagging demand.22 Union agreements are often so re strictive that they encourage firms’ use of enhanced ear ly retirement benefits as an alternative means of reducing the work force. Medoff found that, between 1958 and 1971, the prob ability of layoff in a unionized manufacturing firm was more than twice that in a nonunionized establishment, and that about 30 percent of this difference could be explained by the existence of supplemental unemploy ment benefits.23 w o r k w e e k o f p r o d u c t i o n w o r k e r s in man ufacturing, and more specifically, in durable goods in dustries, remains a reliable economic indicator. It has consistently risen and fallen before employment during the past 30 years. But the length of time by which changes in hours lead those in employment remains un predictable, and there is no clear and explainable trend in the hours lead which would indicate that it is shrink ing or growing over time. The decisions of individual firms and workers are obviously important to job and hour developments, but reliable tools for measuring and predicting the effects of these individual factors on lead length have yet to be constructed. □ T he FOOTNOTES ' Employment levels are used in this analysis, rather than some measure of labor turnover, such as layoff rates, because the former are a superior measure of true job loss. Increases in layoff rates tend to precede employment declines as the former are often accompanied by offsetting declines in the quit rate. 2 Data are derived from a BLS survey of business establishments. Employment and hours series are published monthly in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. We have limited our focus to durable goods industries for a number of reasons. First, with the occasional exception of trans portation and public utilities, the service-producing sector of the econ omy has not consistently experienced significant cyclical declines in employment and hours. Second, within the goods-producing sector, mining is generally non-cyclical and, while there are employment cut backs in construction during recessions, the hours series reveals no dependable, cyclical pattern; therefore, an hours lead cannot be deter mined. And third, durable goods was chosen over all manufacturing because it is responsible for 80 percent of manufacturing job losses. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis While the non-durable sector, in aggregate, exhibits cyclical patterns in both employment and hours, many of its component industries do not. Also, because the hours data exist only for production or nonsupervisory workers, all the employment data used pertain only to those workers. Production workers account for more than 95 percent of the jobs lost during a recession, and this more narrow definition of employment should thus enhance rather than detract from the analy sis. Miscellaneous durable goods manufacturing is omitted from the analysis because it is a collection of largely unrelated products and production processes. ' Gerhard Bry and Charlott Boschan, C y c lic a l A n a ly s is o f T im e S e ries: S e le c te d P ro c e d u re s a n d C o m p u te r P r o g r a m s (New York, Colum bia University Press, 1971), pp. 10-14. 4 L a y o ff, R e c a ll, a n d W o rk s h a r in g P ro ced u res, Bulletin 1425-13 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1972). The 1971 data are the latest avail able. For a recent discussion of worksharing, see Robert W. Bednarzik, “Worksharing in the U.S.: its prevalence and duration," M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , July 1980, pp. 3-12. 5 Robert M. MacDonald, “The Fringe Barrier Hypothesis and Overtime Behavior,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R ev ie w , July 1966, pp. 565-66. 6 Martin S. Feldstein, “The Importance of Temporary Layoff: An Empirical Analysis,” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , 3, 1975, pp. 725-77; and Thomas F. Bradshaw and Janet L. Scholl, “The Ex tent of Job Search During Layoff,” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , 2, 1976, pp. 515-23. David M. Lillien, “The Cyclical Pattern of Temporary Layoffs in United States Manufacturing,” T h e R e v ie w o f E c o n o m ic s a n d S ta tistic s, February 1980, pp. 24-31. 8 Martin Neil Baily, “On the Theory of Layoffs and Unemploy ment,” E c o n o m e tric a , July 1977, pp. 1043-63. 9Overtime data were not available for the 1953-54 business cycle. 10 Labor turnover data for manufacturing industries are available in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, Bulletin 1312-11 (Bureau of Labor Statis tics, 1979), and subsequent monthly issues of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n ings. " Walter Y. Oi, “Labor as a Quasi-Fixed Factor,” November 1962, pp. 538-55. Jou rn al o f P o litic a l E c o n o m y , 12 Donald O. Parsons, “Specific Human Capital: An Application to Quit Rates and Layoff Rates,” J o u r n a l o f P o litic a l E c o n o m y , July-Au gust 1972, pp. 1120-43. 13 Gerhard Bry, T h e A v e r a g e W o r k w e e k a s a n E c o n o m ic I n d ic a to r, Occasional Paper 69 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 1959), p. 97. 14 Robert J. Gordon, “The End-of-Expansion Phenomenon in Short- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis run Productivity Behavior,” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s o n E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , 2, 1979, p. 460. 15James L. Medoff, “Layoffs and Alternatives Under Trade Unions in United States Manufacturing,” S tu d ie s in D e m a n d f o r L a b o r, pre pared under Research Grant J9M6 0094 (U.S. Department of Labor, 1977), p. 272. A revised version appeared under the same title in the June 1979 J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic L ite r a tu r e , pp. 380-95. 16 Baily, “Theory of Layoffs,” p. 1051. 17To some extent, the establishment data produce a bias towards the hours effect of business cycle downturns. If a person is laid off in the middle of the reference week, for example, he or she will appear in the data as employed, but at reduced hours. Although this bias could be important in our understanding of businesses’ response to declining demand, the nature of available data does not allow us to measure its magnitude. 18The depth of a recession is measured by the index of aggregate weekly hours, which is the product of average hours multiplied by to tal employment. The index uses a 1967 base. Data are published monthly in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. Regression results are available on request. 19Sumner H. Slichter, James J. Healy, and Robert E. Livernash, T h e I m p a c t o f C o lle c tiv e B a rg a in in g on M a n a g e m e n t (The Brookings Institution, 1960), p. 152. 20 See footnote 4. 21 C h a r a c te r istic s o f M a jo r C o lle c tiv e B a r g a in in g A g re e m e n ts , J a n u a r y l, 1978, Bulletin 2065 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1980), p. 101. 22An interesting discussion of wage rigidity can be found in Robert E. Hall, “Employment Fluctuations and Wage Rigidity,” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s o n E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity , 1, 1980, pp. 91-123. 23 Medoff, “Layoffs and Alternatives,” pp. 278-81. 11 The services industry: is it recession-proof? Steady growth has led the services division to account for nearly 20 percent of total employment in 1980\ linked mainly to business and health services; since 1948, it has been nearly immune to recessions and has displayed relative cyclical insensitivity M ic h a e l U rquhart Throughout this century the bulk of employment growth has been in the services-producing sector of the economy, whose share of total nonagricultural employ ment has increased from 53 percent in 1920 and 58 per cent in 1948 to more than 70 percent in 1980. The impact of this shift in employment on the functioning of the economy has been the subject of con siderable analysis.1 In particular, studies have shown that the growth of employment in the services sector has continued even during economic downturns, and some have concluded that a services-dominated econo my promotes stability over the business cycle.2 This article focuses on the degree of cyclical sensitivi ty of the fastest growing component of the servicesproducing sector, the services division. (Other major components of the sector are: transportation, communi cation, and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and government.)3 This industry group, while quite varied in composition, includes those activities usually thought of as services, such as repair, health, social and personal services, busi ness services, education, and entertainment.4 The 1980 distribution of services employment follows; this diversi ty hinders slightly, but does not preclude, the drawing Michael Urquhart is an economist in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 12 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of general conclusions about the division’s cyclical be havior: P e r c e n t d is tr ib u tio n 1980 Services division .......................................... H ealth ..................................................... Business services.................................. Membership organizations ................ Social services........................................ E ducational.......................................... Hotels and other lo d g in g ................... Personal services.................................. Amusement and recreation................ Auto repairs.......................................... Legal ..................................................... Miscellaneous repairs........................... Motion pictures .................................. Miscellaneous se rv ic es........................ 100.0 29.5 16.9 8.9 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.2 4.1 3.3 2.7 1.7 1.2 5.7 Using data from the Current Employment Statistics program (payroll survey), this article also examines the employment growth record of the services division, in cluding its cyclical sensitivity and impact on overall economic stability in the postwar period. Data from the Current Population Survey (household survey) are used to examine the demographic composition of employ ment in services and the nature of unemployment asso ciated with the industry.5 The services employment series from the two surveys are not precisely comparable, as they do not cover the same universe. Employment estimates for services from the household series are consistently about 50 percent greater than the payroll series. This is primarily because the former includes employees in public education, the self-employed, and private household workers. Correct ing for these conceptual dissimilarities reduces the dif ference to only about 300,000 in 1980, or less than 2 percent.6 Health, business lead job growth The postwar employment growth record of the ser vices division is presented in table 1. According to the payroll survey, services employment increased from 5.2 to 17.7 million between 1948 and 1980, and its share of total employment rose from 11.5 to 19.6 percent. This gain surpassed that of any other major industry group, including government. Not all components of the services division exhibited such extraordinary progress.7 From 1972 to 1980, the only period for which data exists for all components, the slowest employment growth occurred in personal services (2 percent), motion pictures (4 percent), mem bership organizations (12 percent), and education (17 percent). The greatest increases in employment were reached in these types of services: social (108 percent), legal (78 percent), and business (68 percent). However, in terms of sheer size, advances in this divi sion have been dominated by two industries, health and business services. They accounted for almost half of ser vices employment in 1980 and have contributed about 55 percent of its total increase since 1972. The most dynamic components of the health services industry since 1972 have been dentists’ offices (81 per cent growth), nursing and personal care facilities (69 Table 1. percent), and physicians’ offices (68 percent). Hospitals, which make up nearly half of total employment in this industry, have risen by a modest 22 percent. Overall, health services posted an increase of 53 percent in the 8-year period. Within business services, personnel supply (which in cludes employment and temporary help agencies) and computer and data processing services more than dou bled. These two components accounted for 40 percent of all growth within business services; other elements showing more moderate increases were advertising (21 percent), mailing, reproduction, and stenographic (49 percent), and services to buildings (51 percent), while credit reporting and collection decreased 7 percent. There has also been a substantial gain (55 percent) in the number of female employees in the services division since 1972, making up 67 percent of its total increase. Almost every industry has augmented their proportion of women, and nowhere did female employment decline. However, 72 percent of the boost was accounted for by only three industries: health, business, and social ser vices. Health services alone, in which women make up 80 percent of employment, contributed 41 percent of the expansion. Within business services, about half of the rise was caused by the rapidly growing personnel supply and computer and data processing services. However, the majority of business services employees in 1980 (57 percent) were men. Overall, male employment in services rose only 32 percent. Men accounted for a majority of the increased employment in auto repair, miscellaneous repair, and amusements and recreation services. Most of the increase in services employment is real growth, but much is because of a shift in employment to services, and with particular regard to business ser- Employees on nonagricultural payrolls by selected industry divisions and years, 1948-80 [Numbérs in thousands] 1948 1958 Number Percent distri bution Total nonfarm payroll employment ........................ Goods-producing sector ................................. Services-producing se c to r............................... 44,866 18,774 26,092 Services1 ............................................................ Hotels and lodging p la c e s ............................... Personal .......................................................... Business .......................................................... Auto repair, services, and garages.................. Miscellaneous re p a ir........................................ Motion pictures................................................. Amusement and recreation ............................. H e a lth .............................................................. Leg a l................................................................. Eaucational ...................................................... Social ............................................................... Membership organizations............................... Miscellaneous ................................................. 5,181 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 249 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) Industry Number 100.0 41.8 58.2 51,324 19,513 31,811 11.5 6,765 ( 2) 877 656 ( 2) ( 2) 199 ( 2) 1,365 139 572 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) .6 11ncludes veterinary, animal, landscape, and horticultural services (SIC-074-5,078); and museums, botanical, and zoological gardens (SIC-841-2), not shown separately. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1965 Percent distri bution Number Percent distri bution Number Percent distri bution 100.0 36.1 63.9 73,675 23,668 50,007 100.0 32.1 67.9 90,657 25,855 64,801 100.0 28.5 71.5 14.9 12,276 813 912 1,790 397 199 205 504 3,412 271 958 553 1,403 637 16.7 1.1 1.2 2.4 .5 .3 .3 .7 4.6 .4 1.3 .8 1.9 .9 17,741 1,071 931 3,002 583 305 214 735 5,229 481 1,117 1,149 1,571 1,008 19.6 1.0 1.2 3.3 .6 .3 .2 .8 5.8 .5 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.1 Number 100.0 38.0 62.0 60,765 21,926 38,839 13.2 9,036 ( 2) 985 1,139 ( 2) 155 185 ( 2) 2,080 182 772 1.7 1.3 .4 2.7 .3 1.1 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 1980 1972 Percent distri bution 1.7 2.1 .3 .3 3.6 .3 1.3 2 Not available, 13 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Is Services Industry Recession-Proof? vices, is the direct result of a substitution effect. The re cent growth of business services is largely caused by a change in how firms handle business office functions. Employees are classified by industry based upon the major activity of the establishment employing them. Thus, for example, clerical workers who prepare fi nancial records in a manufacturing firm are counted as employed in manufacturing. In contrast, if the establish ment contracts with an outside accounting firm to pre pare their records, those employees are classified as part of the services division. To the extent that firms replace their cleiical workers with agency services, a “shift” in employment from manufacturing to services occurs. In this case, there is no basic change in the type of work being done, but rather a major change in how and where it is performed, resulting in a different industrial classification. While the true measure of the “contract ing out” of work traditionally done by the establish ments cannot be calculated, it does indicate the need for caution in drawing conclusions about industry employ ment trends.8 Professional, technical workers dominant In general, workers in the services division are more apt to be employed part time or be self-employed, espe cially in comparison to manufacturing. With the excep tion of trade, part-time employment in services, at 19.2 percent of the employed total, was substantially higher than in any other division, and more than a third of all part-time workers had jobs in services. Self-employ ment, at 10 percent of the total in services, compares with a low of 1.6 percent in manufacturing and 7.3 per cent for the total economy. (See table 2.) Women are more likely to be employed in services than in any other division. At 60 percent, their propor tion is almost twice that in manufacturing (31 percent) and substantially greater than the average for the total economy (42 percent). While the proportion of blacks, at 13 percent, is higher than other divisions shown, it is only slightly above the overall ratio. Workers in the services division also tend to be a bit older than most. The proportion of employees 55 years Table 2. and over is greater than in any other division, while that of youths ages 16 to 24 is smaller than average. Since 1968, there have been only minor changes in the preceding characteristics, with the exception of the rise in female employment (from 57 to 60 percent). The labor force has grown younger, blacks and women have increased their shares, part-time employment has been relatively unchanged, and self-employment has declined slightly. The occupational distribution of employment in the service and manufacturing divisions for 1980 is provid ed in the tabulation below: M anuT o t a l S e r v ic e s f a c t u r i n g O c c u p a tio n Total ..................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 White-collar workers........................ Professional and technical . . . Managerial and administrative, except f a r m .......................... Sales .......................................... Clerical ..................................... 54.3 16.7 66.1 38.5 34.2 11.4 11.7 6.6 19.4 7.7 0.7 19.2 7.8 2.5 12.5 Blue-collar workers.......................... Craft .......................................... Operatives, except transport . Transport operatives ............. Nonfarm laborers .................. Service, except private household . 32.9 13.4 11.1 3.7 4.8 12.7 10.4 5.5 2.7 0.8 1.3 23.5 63.9 19.5 36.5 3.5 4.5 1.7 As mentioned earlier, service workers account for about 25 percent of the industry’s employees. Profes sional and technical workers continue to dominate, ac counting for 39 percent of all employees in 1980, with the industry employing about two-thirds of all profes sionals. Clericals, at 19 percent, and managers and ad ministrators, at 8 percent, made up most of the remainder. This distribution is in sharp contrast to goods-oriented industries, such as manufacturing, where most employees are either craftworkers or operatives. While the white-collar occupations (professional, mana gerial, clerical, and sales) account for 66 percent of all employment in services, they represent only 34 percent in manufacturing. The broad occupational distribution Employment by selected industry divisions and characteristics, 1980 [In percent] Division Total nonagricultural Industries...................................... Manufacturing ............................................................................ Transportation, communication, and public utilities .................. Trade ......................................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real e s ta te .......................................... Services (less private household) ............................................ Age (in years) Total employed (in thousands) 16-24 25-54 55 and over 93,960 21,593 6,393 19,727 5,860 26,914 21.8 18.2 14.5 34.3 21.4 18.8 63.9 67.7 72.6 52.4 64.1 66.1 14.3 14.2 12.9 13.3 14.5 15.1 1Part time includes only wage-and-salary workers who are on voluntary part-time schedules. Percent is of total wage-and-salary' workers, not total given in first column. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Women Black Part tim e1 Self-employed 42.4 31.4 25.2 46.4 58.2 59.8 11.2 11.3 12.6 8.4 9.2 12.9 13.6 3.2 6.0 24.9 10.4 19.2 7.3 1.6 4.3 9.4 7.8 10.0 in services has been fairly stable since 1972, although there has been a slight increase in the proportion of white-collar employees. Table 3. Average annual rates of change in nonfarm payroll employment during postwar business cycle expansions and contractions, by selected industry divisions Cyclical behavior Payroll jobs. Table 3, which compares the average annu al percentage change in employment during periods of expansion and contraction, helps to illustrate why ser vices might be considered “recession-proof.”9 With one exception, the recession of 1957-58, employment in this division has increased even during cyclical downturns. In contrast, the goods-producing sector has paired sub stantial declines in employment with every recession. The rest of the services-producing sector also declined when each of the first four recessions occurred, but has since grown moderately during downturns. Comparison of average rates of growth over the busi ness cycle provides further evidence of this contrasting behavior. Services employment has advanced by an av erage of 2.1 percent during contractions and 4.8 percent in times of expansion, while employment in the goodsproducing sector declined by 8.3 percent in recessions and increased by an average of 3.8 percent during re covery periods. However, individual components of the sei vices divi sion show considerable variation. For example, during the 1973-75 recession, three components— personal ser vices, auto repair, and motion pictures— posted de clines, while health, legal, and social services expanded at higher than average rates for the division. An industry that exhibits employment growth during recessionary periods is not necessarily insensitive to business cycles. A better estimate of such sensitivity is the average cyclical change net of the trend in employ ment growth. This can be measured by subtracting the average change during periods of contraction from that of expansionary periods. For the services division, the average cyclical change is only 2.7 percent, far below the 12.4-percent registered for the goods-producing sec tor. This indicates that there is some cyclical dimension in its growth rate, but clearly minimal when contrasted with the more sensitive goods-producing sector. The rest of the services-producing sector has a slightly higher average cyclical change— 3.5 percent. The behavior of the two largest components of this division, business and health services, is illustrative of the differences within the division. Health services dis play almost no cyclical sensitivity (1.0 percent), while business services show a relatively high degree (7.6 per cent). While the sensitivity of business services appears to be more comparable to the goods-producing sector than to most other services industries, business services employment did not decrease during any recession. However, to conclude from the lack of employment de clines alone that business services are recession-proof https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Business cycle expansions(E) and contractions(C) November 1948 to October 1949(C) . . . . October 1949 to July 1953(E) ............. July 1953 to May 1954(C) May 1954 to August 1957(E) ......... August 1957 to April 1958(C )............. April 1958 to April 1960(E) ............. April 1960 to February 1961 (C) . . . . February 1961 to December 1969(E) . . . December 1969 to November 1970(C) . . . November 1970 to November 1973(E) . . . November 1973 to March 1975(C)........... March 1975 to January 1980(E)......... January 1980 to July 1980(C) ............. Average for: All expansions ........... All contractions........... Cyclical change net of trend ........... Goodsproducing sector Servicesproducing sector, except the services division Services industries Total Business Health -9 .6 -1 .3 1.0 ( ') (’ ) 6.0 -8.4 3.1 -.4 3.0 1.8 (’) ( 1) (') (') 2.4 2.7 4.1 ( ’) (') -12.0 -2.3 - .3 n ( 1) 3.6 3.2 4.6 10.0 6.6 -6 .0 -.5 2.9 4.2 5.4 2.4 3.9 5.9 12.4 9.6 -6 .0 1.7 2.4 2.4 6.7 5.8 6.4 3.3 4.1 -8.4 1.5 3.6 .7 6.8 4.8 4.3 7.1 12.2 6.6 -10.1 .6 3.2 2.6 6.4 3.8 -8 .6 3.4 -.1 4.8 2.1 10.1 2.5 7.3 6.3 12.4 3.5 2.7 7.6 1.0 3.6 1Data not available. Business cycle peaks and troughs are those designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Employment changes in the business and health services industries are based on unadjusted data, all others are seasonally adjusted. For method of calculation, see footnote 10 of this article. N ote : would be misleading. Their rate of employment gain throughout economic downturns was much less than during expansionary periods. Should the present trend of rapid employment growth in this industry substan tially change, its sensitivity to recessions could result in employment declines. Unemployed service workers. An examination of cyclical trends in unemployment provides a different picture of the services division. In sharp contrast to the employ ment record, the cyclical pattern of unemployment in services almost matches the highly sensitive overall un employment rate. The apparent paradox of both em ployment and unemployment increasing in services during economic contractions can be partly explained by examining the reasons for the latter. Workers become unemployed for one of the following reasons: (1) from a layoff (caused by slack economic conditions) or a permanent separation; (2) from recently joining the labor force or reentering it; or by (3) quit ting or leaving a job. Typical of cyclically sensitive industries is a jump in unemployment caused by the loss of a job (especially from layoff) during a downturn. As business declines, 15 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Is Services Industry Recession-Proof? Table 4. Experienced unemployed private wage-and-salary workers in the total nonagricultural and services industries by reason for unemployment, sex, and age, selected quarters, 1974^75 Total, all industries Services industries 1 1974 1 1975 Actual change Percent of actual change Total, 16 years and over ............................................................ Job ,'osers ............................................................ On la yo ff.......................................................... Other job losers........................................................ Job leavers .......................................................................... Reentrants............................................................ 3,885 2,268 888 1,380 644 972 6,790 4,685 2,207 2,478 648 1,457 2,905 2,417 1,319 1,098 4 485 100.0 83.2 45.4 37.8 .1 16.7 686 306 80 226 143 237 997 464 131 333 151 381 311 158 51 107 8 144 100.0 50.8 16.4 34.4 2.6 46.3 Men, 20 years and o v e r ................................................... Job losers ............................................................................ On la yo ff................................................................... Other job losers........................................................ Job leavers ......................................................................... Reentrants.......................................................................... 1,779 1,329 517 812 213 237 3,385 2,815 1,324 1,491 227 342 1,606 1,486 807 679 14 105 100.0 92.5 50.2 42.3 .9 6.5 189 123 25 98 29 37 288 198 56 142 38 52 99 75 31 44 9 15 100.0 75.8 31.3 44.4 9.1 15.2 Women, 20 years and over ........................................................ Job losers ............................................................................ On la yo ff................................................................... Other job losers..................................................... .. Job leavers ................................................................... Reentrants..................................................................... 1,374 630 271 359 273 470 2,385 1,365 683 682 279 741 1,011 735 412 323 6 271 100.0 72.7 40.8 32.0 .6 26.8 378 147 46 101 85 147 542 209 58 151 92 241 164 62 12 50 7 94 100.0 37.8 7.3 30.5 4.3 57.3 Reason, sex, and age N ote : I 1974 1 1975 Actual change Percent of actual change Data are derived from the Current Population Survey. companies cut back employment. For example, this is reflected in the figures for the 1973-75 recession shown in table 4.10 Overall, persons on layoff made up nearly half of the increase in unem ployment between the first quarters of 1974 and 1975, reentrants for only about a sixth, and job leavers a neg ligible amount. The situation was reversed for the ser vices division, with reentrants accounting for almost half the increase, and layoffs for only a sixth. However, there was contrasting behavior among men and women 20 years old and over. Among unemployed men in ser vices, reentrants made up only 15.2 percent of the in crease in unemployment; female reentrants accounted for 57.3 percent. Women traditionally have had less at tachment to their jobs and are more likely to move in and out of the labor force than are men. As a result, the increase in unemployment in services during recessions is not because of any slack in the services industry, but is connected to employees (mostly women) who worked in it in the past and then reentered the labor force. Therefore, it would be a mistake to conclude from the overall unemployment figures alone that the services di vision is highly sensitive to cyclical fluctuations. Contributing to economic stability? The suggestion by some economists that the growth of the services-producing sector might lead to a reduc tion in the severity of business downturns was referred to earlier. The argument was that cyclical declines in to tal employment would be reduced by the continued growth in the services-producing sector. An examina tion of the data during the postwar period shows that the stability of employment has improved. The net cy clical change in overall employment has declined from 7.3 percent in the 1940’s and 1950’s to 5.3 percent dur Digitized for 16FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ing the 1960’s and 1970’s. This decrease in the cyclical nature of the economy is supported by the downward trend in relative recessionary employment cutbacks from peak to trough. (See table 5.) From a high of 5 percent during the 1948-49 recession, the drop in em- Table 5. Changes in nonfarm payroll employment from postwar business cycle peaks to troughs, by selected industry divisions, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Nonfarm payroll employment Business cycles Total Less services industries Goodsproducing sector Services industries Services industries percent of total less services November 1948 to October 1949: Actual change . . . Percent change . -2,260 -5 .0 -2,314 -5.8 -2,018 -10.7 54 1.0 2.3 July 1953 to May 1954: Actual change . . . Percent change . -1,528 -3 .0 -1,613 -3 .6 -1,539 -7.2 85 1.5 5.3 August 1957 to April 1958: Actual change . . . Percent change . -2,131 -4 .0 -2,117 -4 .6 -1,676 -8 .0 -1 4 - .2 - .7 April 1960 to February 1961: Actual change .. . Percent change . -1,188 -2 .2 -1,349 -2 .9 -1,162 -5 .6 161 2.2 11.9 December 1969 to November 1970: Actual change . . . Percent change . -855 -1 .2 -1,105 -1 .9 -1,651 -6 .8 250 2.2 22.6 November 1973 to March 1975: Actual change . . . Percent change . -1,438 -1 .9 -2,052 -3 .2 -2,736 -10.9 614 4.7 29.9 January 1980 to July 1980: Actual change . . . Percent change . -1,164 -1.3 -1,462 -2 .0 -1,552 -5 .8 298 1.7 20.4 ployment has been reduced to 1 to 2 percent for the last three recessions." One possible measure of the specific contribution of the services division to this improved overall economic performance is provided in table 5. The degree to which employment growth in services offsets the employment decline in the rest of the economy soared from 2.3 per cent in 1948-49 to almost 30 percent during 1973-75. An alternative approach is to compare the change in the percentage decline in employment caused by the ser vices division vis-a-vis the total economy. As illustrated in columns 1 and 2 of the table, the addition of services reduces the decline by a fairly constant 0.7-percentage point. It was somewhat higher in the 1973-75 recession. Although both measures indicate the stabilizing im pact of the services division on the severity of economic downturns, this reduced sensitivity of employment to business cycles must be partially attributed to other changes in the economy. Even without services, the drop in employment would have been reduced by about 4 percentage points, and even the goods-producing sec tor showed improvement until the 1973-75 recession. Recession-proof, but with qualifications Since 1948, the services division has experienced ex traordinary growth and today accounts for almost onefifth of total employment. This increase has been concentrated in two industries— business and health services. Employment in this division continues to be dominated by white-collar occupations, with higher- than-average proportions of women, blacks, and parttimers. The growth of services has been relatively immune to business downturns, with its employment declining in only 1 of 7 postwar recessions. Furthermore, the cycli cal fluctuations in the division’s employment growth rates are considerably smaller than those of the goodsproducing sector. The combination of steady growth and relative cyclical insensitivity warrants the conclu sion that this division is relatively recession-proof; how ever, certain qualifying factors are necessary. The rate of growth is reduced during downturns, and some compo nents of this division are more cyclically sensitive than others. And unemployment associated with the industry is higher in times of recession, even though much of this increase stems from reentrance to the labor force. However, it is more difficult to assess the impact of growth of the services division upon the rest of the economy. While services have contributed to economic stability by reducing the employment decline during re cessions, the overall economy has exhibited this trend even on its own. Services employment has reduced the percentage drop in total employment during contrac tions by a fairly constant amount over time. Any projection about the future behavior of this divi sion must be made cautiously. Among other things, the component industries show considerable variability, both in rates of growth and cyclical sensitivity. Hence, it is quite possible that the overall behavior of the divi sion will change with its composition. □ FOOTNOTES ' See Victor Fuchs, T h e S e r v ic e E c o n o m y (New York, National Bu reau of Economic Research, 1968); George Stigler, T re n d s in E m p lo y m e n t in th e S e r v ic e I n d u s tr ie s (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1956); Edward F. Denison, “Shift to Services and the Rate of Productivity Change,” S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u sin ess, October 1973, pp. 20-35; and Thomas M. Stanback, U n d e r s ta n d in g th e S e r v ic e E c o n o m y (Johns Hopkins University Press, 1979). 2Arthur Burns, “Progress Towards Economic Stability,” A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R e v ie w , March 1960, pp. 6-7; Fuchs, T h e S e r v ic e E co n o m y , ch. 7. Fuchs has argued that the shift in employment between 1929 and 1965 has reduced the cyclical volatility of the economy by 15 per cent (p. 181). For the potential negative impact of services on the growth rate of productivity see John W. Kendrick, “Productivity Trends and Prospects,” U .S. E c o n o m ic G ro w th f r o m 1 9 7 6 -1 9 8 6 : P ro s p e cts, P r o b le m s a n d P a tte r n s (Joint Economic Committee of Congress, October 1, 1976); Denison, S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u sin ess. However, Den ison has questioned the analytic utility of the division of the total economy into two sectors, goods- and services-producing. He failed to find “any characteristic, except possibly the holding of inventories, to which a commodity-service classification corresponds at all closely.” (See p. 22.) Thus, a classification of major industry components by cyclical sensitivity would not agree with the oods-services breakdown. For example, transportation, communication, and public utilities all show considerable volatility. Denison also argues that if you exclude government there has been no dramatic shift to services. ' The goods-producing sector includes mining, construction, and manufacturing. When agriculture is included, it is part of the goodsproducing sector. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4The services division is not to be confused with the service occu pation, which refers to employees whose major work activity is pro viding services. About two-thirds of all service workers are employed in the services division, but only about one-forth of all employees in this division are service workers. Most of the others are professional and clerical workers. 5The two independent employment series published by BLS— the household data from the Current Population Survey and the payroll data from the Current Employment Statistics program (establishment survey)— are somewhat different in concept and definition. Because it provides more precise information on the industrial composition of employment, and because its estimates are more reliable for examining month-to-month changes, the payroll survey is used to examine secu lar and cyclical trends. However, the payroll survey includes practi cally no information on the demographic characteristics of the labor force, and excludes the self-employed and the unemployed. In this area, the household survey is used. The establishment survey provides an estimate of the total number of nonagricultural wage-and-salary jobs. The household survey is more comprehensive and covers all job holders. Besides wage-and-salary workers, it includes the selfemployed, unpaid family workers, private household workers, and ag ricultural workers. For a detailed comparison of the two series, see Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-20. ‘ According to the payroll survey, there were 17,736,000 persons employed in the services division in 1980. In contrast, the household series shows an employment level of 27,983,000 in services industries. 17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Is Services Industry Recession-Proof? This larger estimate from the household survey results from the inclu sion of several categories (private household workers, public educa tion, and the self-employed) not included in the payroll series. Subtracting these categories reduces the estimate of services industry employment in the household survey to 18,037,000. Data on most two-digit industries do not exist prior to 1972. At that time, the Standard Industrial Classification system (SIC) was re vised. For services, the major impact of the reclassification is the ex clusion of approximately 60,000 employees in the forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services industries. Other changes affected the distri bution of employment among the two-digit industries included in the services division. For example, data processing was shifted from SIC 89 (miscellaneous services) to SIC 73 (business services). Social ser vices, SIC 83, was added as a new industry. A major revision was also introduced in 1961, with minor revisions in 1958, 1963, and 1967. All historical series have been changed to reflect these changes. However, some series could not be reconstructed before the revisions, and this explains the unavailability of specific industry data in table 2. For more information on SIC revisions, see the October 1978 issue of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, pp. 8-32. 8A similar point can be made about other service industries. Deni son, for one, argues it is a general problem in evaluating any shift to service employment. Digitized for 18 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The table is based on the procedure used by Fuchs. Briefly, the rate of change for an expansion is measured from a 3-month average centered on a trough to a 3-month average centered on a peak. The percentage change is divided by the number of months from peak to trough and multiplied by 12 to provide an annual average. A similar procedure is used for contractions. According to Fuchs, the difference in rate of change between an expansion and contraction provides a measure of the cyclical change net of the trend in employment. See Fuchs, T h e S e r v ic e E c o n o m y , p. 162. 10The 1973-75 recession, the most serious in the postwar period, was chosen to illustrate the differential impact of an economic down turn on services as compared with the overall economy. Using quar terly averages from the same quarters in each year avoids some of the problems caused by seasonality. The business cycle peak occurred during fourth-quarter 1973. This should not affect the comparisons being made. " At least part of this improvement reflects roughly similar magni tudes of employment declines in the cyclically sensitive goods-producing sector (except for 1973-75), while the size of the employment base has increased over time. Work from society’s perspective Complicating an evaluation of the youth unemployment issue is that, from society’s perspective, working year-round, full time is not necessarily the most desirable activity for a young person. For prime age males, the social ordering of activities is clear; working yearround, full time is the desired role. For young people, particularly for teenagers, being in school may be preferable, from society’s perspec tive, to working. To some, military service also ranks above civilian employment. For young females, child rearing may be more favorable than working. — M i c h a e l L . W ä c h t e r , “The Dimensions and Complexities of the Youth Unemployment Problem,” in Bernard E. Anderson and Isabel V. Sawhill, eds., Youth Employment and Public Policy (New York, The American Assembly, Columbia University, 1980), p. 48. Government employment: an era of slow growth Since 1975, public payrolls have grown slower than private ones, as government created a smaller share of nonfarm jobs; in 1950-75, States and localities raised their percentage of the total work force, with the Federal portion stabilizing Jo h n T . T u c k e r Since 1975, the growth pattern of government employ ment has been changing. According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Current Employment Statis tics program, government, while showing modest job growth at all levels, has not kept pace with job growth in the private sector of the economy. However, in ^SO TS, the opposite was true. During that time, govern ment accounted for 1 out of every 4 new jobs in the nonfarm economy, contributing to widespread public belief that government, especially the Federal govern ment, is too large. Particularly striking is the change in the pattern of growth of State and local government. Although States and localities have decreased their share of nonfarm jobs since 1975, as has the Federal Government, they increased their portion from 9.1 percent in 1950 to 15.5 percent in 1975. During that period, the Federal share of nonfarm employment was relatively stable, dropping from 4.3 percent to 3.6. Reversal in long-term trends The long-term trend has been for government em ployment to grow faster than that of the private sector John T. Tucker is a division chief in the Office of Employment Struc ture and Trends, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The outlook section was written by Valerie A. Personick, an economist in the Office of Eco nomic Growth and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statis tics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (table 1). In 1920, government accounted for 9.5 percent of all nonfarm jobs, and this share doubled to 19.1 percent by 1975 (chart 1). Also, the upward trend in government’s share of jobs was fairly stable over this entire period except for the large employment bulges in the Federal Government during both World War II and the Korean War. The three levels. In analyzing this long-term trend, it is useful to view separately the trend of the three levels of government: Federal, State, and local. The Federal Government, for example, has exhibited a long-term de cline in its share of jobs, according to chart 1. After a significant increase during the 1930’s, followed by the rapid build-up during World War II and subsequent de cline, a phenomenon repeated to a lesser extent during and after the Korean War, the Federal Government has had a steadily decreasing portion of nonfarm jobs. Its share of jobs dropped to 3.1 percent during the first quarter of 1981. The total State and local government portion of jobs held relatively steady at about 10 percent during 193055 except for a drop during World War II and the Korean War. During 1955-75, however, State and local government employment increased rapidly, far out stripping job growth in the private sector. In 1975, its share peaked at 15.5 percent, but since then has been dropping slowly but steadily, and by the first quarter of M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Slow Growth in Government Employment 1981 was at 15.1 percent. (The percentage of govern ment jobs for 1980 is slightly exaggerated because of the recession, when employment declined in goods-producing industries but not in services.) Some of the employment growth at the State and lo cal government levels can be attributed to Federal Government funding of programs through grants to States and localities, for the administration of programs such as welfare, health, education, and job training. During fiscal year 1980, such aid amounted to $86.7 billion, almost 23 percent of State and local government total revenues.1 States increased their share of the Nation’s govern ment jobs from 2.3 percent in 1955 (the earliest year that the Bureau has separate data for States on one hand and local government on the other), to a record 4.1 percent during 1975-77 (table 2). Since 1977, State government’s share had remained relatively stable, dropping slightly, to 3.9 percent by early 1981. The number of education jobs grew rapidly during 1955-75, by more than 1 million. This growth slowed considera bly during 1975-80, when only 62,000 additional jobs were created. Largest increase. Localities registered the largest em ployment growth of any government level, increasing Table 1. Government employment relative to total nonfarm employment, 1920-81 [Numbers in thousands] Year 1920 1925 1930 1935 Number of nonfarm jobs Total Federal Number Percent of nonfarm State and local Number Percent of nonfarm Number Percent of nonfarm ........... ........... ........... ........... 27,340 28,766 29,409 27,039 2,603 2,800 3,148 3,481 9.5 9.7 10.7 12.9 (’ ) ( 1) 526 753 ( ') (’ ) 1.8 2.8 (’) (’ ) 2,622 2,728 ( ') (’ ) 8.9 10.1 1940 ........... 19442 ......... 1945 ........... 1950 ........... 32,361 41,864 40,374 45,197 4,202 6,043 5,944 6,026 13.0 14.4 14.7 13.3 996 2,928 2,808 1,928 3.1 7.0 7.0 4.3 3,206 3,116 3,137 4,098 9.9 7.4 7.8 9.1 19523 ......... 1955 ........... 1960 ........... 1965 ........... 48,793 50,641 54,189 60,765 6,609 6,914 8,353 10,074 13.5 13.7 15.4 16.6 2,420 2,187 2,270 2,378 5.0 4.3 4.2 3.9 4,188 4,727 6,083 7,696 8.6 9.3 11.2 12.7 1970 1971 1972 1973 ........... ........... ........... ........... 70,880 71,214 73,675 76,790 12,554 12,881 13,334 13,732 17.7 18.1 18.1 17.9 2,731 2,696 2,684 2,663 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5 9,823 10,185 10,649 11,068 13.9 14.3 14.5 14.4 1974 1975 1976 1977 ........... ........... ........... ........... 78,265 76,945 79,382 82,471 14,170 14,686 14,871 15,127 18.1 19.1 18.7 18.3 2,724 2,748 2,733 2,727 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.3 11,446 11,937 12,138 12,399 14.6 15.5 15.3 15.0 1978 ........... 1979 ........... 1980 ........... 86,697 89,823 90,564 15,672 15,947 16,249 18.1 17.8 17.9 2,753 2,773 2,866 3.2 3.1 3.2 12,919 13,174 13,383 14.9 14.7 14.8 1981 first quarter . . . 90,282 16,389 18.0 2,772 3.1 13,617 15.1 ’ Data not available. 2 Height of World War II. 3 Height of Korean War. Digitized for 20 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis their share of jobs from 7 percent in 1955 to a record 11.4 percent in 1975. This translates into 5.2 million new jobs, of which 3 million were in education. Since 1975, localities’ share of government employment has declined, and was at 10.7 percent in early 1981. Job growth in local education has slowed considerably in recent years. Only 357,000 jobs were added during 1975 -80 compared to 830,000 during 1970-75 and 900,000 during 1965-70. The decline in the rate of job growth in local educa tion is related to primary and secondary schools having fewer students than before. Enrollment peaked in 1971, has declined since then, and is projected to continue de clining through the mid-1980’s.2 The decline in enroll ment was not strong enough during 1971-75 to offset other factors that cause educational employment to grow, such as smaller class sizes, increases in special ed ucation programs, and growth in nonteaching staff. By 1975, however, the smaller enrollments began to influ ence overall local education employment trends. Apparently, the growth in Federal grants that trans late into jobs has bolstered the number of local govern ment jobs during the mid and late 1970’s, when the number might otherwise have declined, due to demo graphic factors and State-enacted tax limitation laws. For example, the Public Service Employees program3 began with small Federal grants designed to provide funds to local government, which in turn was to pro vide unemployed persons with meaningful work. The program grew slowly and sporadically from its incep tion in 1972 until May 1977, funding between 40,000 and 370,000 additional jobs at the local level. After May 1977, the program expanded rapidly, peaking at more than 750,000 jobs by March 1978. Since then, such jobs have declined, leveling at about 300,000 by the beginning of 1981; the program is scheduled to be phased out completely by the end of 1981. The program required local government agencies to hire employees to perform needed functions, which could not otherwise be performed through existing local government revenues. Therefore, the program’s impact on employment levels was direct, and unless other funding sources are found, its demise will likely mean a real loss of jobs in local government. State-by-State comparisons Government employment, as a percent of nonfarm employment, increased in nearly every State at each 5-year interval between 1950 and 1970. Between 1970 and 1975, the percentage increased in 33 States and in the District of Columbia. Between 1975 and 1980, 42 States and the District of Columbia reported declining percentages (table 3). The percentage range by State varied in 1980, from 12.8 in Connecticut to 45.8 in the District of Columbia, whose high percentage is because of the many Federal Table 2. Trends in State and local government employment relative to total nonfarm employment, selected years, 1955-80 [Numbers in thousands] State Year Total number Local Percent of Number in nonfarm education Total number Percent of Number in nonfarm education 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 .... .... .... .... .... 1,168 1,536 1,996 2,664 2,747 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 3.9 308 448 679 1,104 1,149 3,558 4,547 5,700 7,158 7,437 7.0 8.4 9.4 10.1 10.4 1,792 2,369 3,102 4,004 4,188 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 .... .... .... .... .... 2,859 2,923 3,039 3,179 3,273 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.1 1,188 1,205 1,267 1,323 1,371 7,790 8,146 8,407 8,758 8,865 10.6 10.6 10.7 11.4 11.2 4,363 4,537 4,692 4,834 4,899 1977 1978 1979 1980 .... .... .... .... 3,377 3,474 3,541 3,590 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 1,385 1,367 1,378 1,385 9,023 9,446 9,633 9,793 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.8 4,974 5,075 5,107 5,191 agencies headquartered there. Three other States: Alas ka, Montana, and New Mexico, also had a noticeable concentration (more than 25 percent) of government jobs. If the District of Columbia and these three States had the same share of Federal Government jobs as the Nation as a whole, 3.1 percent, none would have gov ernment accounting for as much as 25 percent of total nonfarm jobs. The four States with the lowest percent ages of government jobs: Connecticut, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island, have less than 3.1 per cent Federal Government jobs. But the absence of an equal share of Federal jobs would not markedly affect their ranking among all States, as having the lowest percentages of government employment. Other States with high concentrations of Federal jobs include: Alabama, Hawaii, Maryland, Utah, and Virgin ia. All have 5 percent or more of their jobs in the Fed eral Government. The concentration of Federal jobs in Maryland and Virginia is because of the contiguity of those States to Washington, D.C. Both Maryland and Virginia have counties adjacent to the Federal city, and many Federal installations are in those suburbs. In ad dition, Virginia has concentrations of Federal civilian jobs at military installations in Norfolk and Newport News. The presence of military installations also helps explain the high percentages of Federal jobs in Ala bama, Hawaii, and Utah. States with the smallest share of Federal jobs, less than 2 percent, are: Connecticut, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin. State-by-State analysis indicates that in 40 States, State and local government percentages of nonfarm jobs range between 13 and 19.9 percent. The District of Co lumbia and five States: Connecticut, Nevada, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island are at the low end of the scale, with less than 13 percent of their jobs in State and local government. Alaska, Montana, Chart 1. Government jobs as percentages of nonagrlcultural jobs, 1920-80 Percent 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 21 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Slow Growth in Government Employment New Mexico, North Dakota, and South Dakota are at the high end with more than 20 percent of their jobs in State and local government. In the Dakotas, this is partly because of the greater proportion of agriculture than exists in most States, making the number of gov ernment jobs, many of which serve private agriculture, larger with respect to private nonfarm jobs. These rank ings cannot be explained by any single factor. The low percentage of State and local government jobs in D.C. is because many normally State and local functions are performed there by Federal agencies. Population growth rates may partially explain the variations, because 4 of the 5 States with low percentages are in the Northeast, which has been losing population, whereas 3 of the 5 States with the highest percentages are in the West, which has been gaining population rapidly. Government as a service supplier The long-term employment trend in the United States continues to show a growth of service producing jobs (chart 2). Government employment is considered part of the service-producing economy, although some gov ernment jobs involve activities that would be considered goods-producing in the private sector. Although this grouping is largely accurate, some government employ ment is in industries that produce goods and that are normally in the private sector. For example, printing operations would be classified as goods-producing when Table 3. Percentage of nonfarm workforce employed in government, by State, selected years, 1950-80, and other trends in government employment, 1980 [Numbers in thousands] State and local Federal 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 Total nonfarm Alabama ......................................................................... A laska.............................................................................. Arizona ........................................................................... Arkansas ......................................................................... California......................................................................... C olorado......................................................................... Connecticut ..................................................................... Delaware......................................................................... District of Columbia ....................................................... Florida.............................................................................. 15.8 ( 1) 21.4 17.3 16.6 18.7 8.6 8.8 49.6 16.9 18.5 <’ ) 19.9 18.0 16.7 19.7 9.1 10.3 50.1 16.3 20.6 39.8 20.4 19.1 17.9 21.3 10.2 12.2 45.6 16.7 20.2 42.1 22.8 18.5 19.1 23.0 11.2 13.6 45.9 18.6 20.7 38.2 21.8 19.2 20.5 23.6 13.2 16.1 44.1 18.5 21.2 29.5 23.3 19.4 21.3 22.5 14.6 17.5 46.8 19.9 22.0 32.5 20.1 19.0 18.0 19.4 12.8 17.5 45.8 17.3 G eorgia........................................................................... H aw aii.............................................................................. Idaho................................................................................ Illinois .............................................................................. Indiana.............................................................................. Iowa ................................................................................ Kansas ............................................................................ K entucky......................................................................... Louisiana......................................................................... Maine .............................................................................. 15.0 (’ ) 18.9 9.9 10.8 16.5 17.2 146 16.0 14.7 15.6 ( ') 19.1 10.7 11.4 16.3 17.4 16.1 16.9 15.2 17.7 26.2 21.1 11.8 13.2 17.2 20.4 16.8 18.5 17.4 17.7 26.3 22.3 12.9 14.2 18.5 21.7 17.8 19.1 18.4 19.1 25.1 23.6 14.7 15.5 20.1 22.6 19.0 20.6 20.0 20.2 23.9 22.8 16.2 16.7 19.2 21.1 20.2 19.9 21.0 M aryland......................................................................... Massachusetts................................................................ Michigan ......................................................................... Minnesota ....................................................................... Mississippi ....................................................................... Missouri............................................................................ Montana ......................................................................... Nebraska......................................................................... Nevada ........................................................................... New Hampshire.............................................................. 13.6 11.8 10.3 14.4 20.6 12.7 19.2 19.6 20.1 11.6 14.8 12.2 10.2 14.6 20.0 13.0 19.3 20.7 16.1 10.7 15.9 13.0 14.2 15.6 21.7 14.1 23.3 21.0 18.2 12.8 17.3 13.8 14.7 17.6 21.6 15.2 25.6 22.1 18.2 13.6 22.3 14.1 16.8 17.9 22.5 17.0 26.4 21.6 18.2 14.4 New J e rs e y ..................................................................... New M exico..................................................................... New York ....................................................................... North Carolina ................................................................ North D a ko ta ................................................................... Ohio ................................................................................ Oklahoma ....................................................................... Oregon ........................................................................... Pennsylvania ................................................................... Rhode Island ................................................................... 10.3 22.1 11.7 12.0 22.4 10.7 19.2 14.6 9.3 10.7 11.1 25.4 12.4 13.0 22.7 11.0 21.2 15.7 10.6 12.5 12.0 26.9 13.6 13.7 24.8 12.7 21.6 18.7 11.7 13.7 13.1 28.7 14.7 14.1 27.6 13.6 22.7 19.4 13.0 14.6 South C arolina................................................................ South D akota................................................................... Tennessee ....................................................................... Texas .............................................................................. Utah ................................................................................ Vermont ......................................................................... Virginia ............................................................................ Washington ..................................................................... West Virginia ................................................................... Wisconsin ....................................................................... W yom ing......................................................................... 13.9 23.7 14.6 15.1 23.3 14.1 17.7 19.6 11.3 11.8 19.6 15.5 24.5 14.8 15.6 24.0 14.7 18.8 20.3 12.8 11.8 21.2 16.5 27.3 15.8 17.0 23.7 16.0 18.8 20.5 14.7 13.7 22.1 16.2 30.0 16.7 17.9 26.5 16.7 19.0 21.5 17.1 15.1 26.5 State ’ Data not available. 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number Percent of nonfarm Number Percent of nonfarm 1,358 169 1,003 744 9,837 1,251 1,424 258 615 3,570 67 17 38 21 330 52 22 5 228 89 5.0 10.5 3.9 2.8 3.4 4.2 1.6 2.2 37.1 2.5 231 37 162 120 1,436 190 160 39 53 526 17.1 22.2 16.2 16.2 14.6 15.2 11.3 15.2 8.7 14.8 20.1 22.0 20.9 15.6 16.6 18.8 19.9 19.3 19.5 19.9 2,146 404 331 4,892 2,137 1,101 949 1,209 1,571 419 86 30 12 109 42 21 26 43 35 18 4.0 7.4 3.8 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.6 2.3 4.4 344 59 56 654 312 185 161 190 270 64 16.1 14.6 17.0 13.4 14.6 16.8 17.1 15.7 17.2 15.5 24.7 16.1 18.6 18.4 22.2 18.2 27.3 22.4 17.3 16.4 24.0 15.5 18.2 17.0 23.5 17.2 25.2 20.8 14.3 14.8 1,695 2,647 3,454 1,770 830 1,969 280 630 399 384 135 58 58 32 30 68 14 16 10 7 8.0 2.2 1.7 1.9 3.7 3.5 5.0 2.6 2.7 1.8 272 352 569 268 164 269 56 114 46 49 16.0 13.3 16.5 15.2 19.8 13.7 20.1 18.2 11.7 12.9 14.4 30.5 17.0 14.8 30.1 14.6 23.2 20.6 14.2 15.6 17.4 28.3 19.4 16.6 26.8 15.6 22.9 21.1 16.3 16.2 17.2 26.9 18.2 17.2 24.8 15.7 19.8 19.4 15.3 15.0 3,053 462 7,204 2,385 245 4,398 1,135 1,041 4,753 398 75 29 168 49 9 92 47 30 133 9 2.5 6.5 2.3 2.1 4.0 2.1 4.2 2.9 2.8 2.3 449 94 1,145 361 51 596 177 172 594 50 14.7 20.4 15.9 15.2 20.8 13.6 15.6 16.5 12.5 12.7 17.8 30.3 17.0 18.3 28.0 17.7 23.4 22.7 18.6 17.3 26.2 20.3 26.6 18.0 18.3 25.1 18.8 23.8 22.9 18.8 17.0 23.6 20.0 24.6 18.1 17.0 22.8 18.4 23.9 20.6 20.7 16.5 20.6 1,187 237 1,734 5,861 554 199 2,120 1,606 645 1,944 205 37 10 74 167 37 4 156 68 17 28 7 3.2 4.6 4.3 2.8 6.7 2.3 7.4 4.3 2.6 1.5 3.7 199 47 240 831 88 32 351 261 116 293 34 16.8 20.0 13.9 14.2 16.0 16.1 16.6 16.3 18.0 15.1 16.9 Chart 2. Percentages of nonagricultural jobs producing goods and services, 1920-80 Percent 1920 1930 1940 privately owned. Similarly, the Federal Government op erates shipbuilding and repairing facilities, employing about 58,000 workers, that would be classified as goods-producing if in the private sector. More than 200,000 government workers are in highway building and repairing; water, sewer, pipeline, and power line construction, and building alterations, which, in the pri vate sector, would be classified as being in construction, a goods-producing industry. Despite the problems of classifying all government jobs as service-producing when a small portion would be more correctly classified as goods-producing, it is useful to compare the trends of government employ ment to those of some growth sectors in the services portion of the economy. Three major private industry components classified as service-producing have in creased their share of the Nation’s nonfarm jobs: whole sale and retail trade; services; and finance, insurance, and real estate. Wholesale and retail trade increased its share of jobs from 20.8 percent in 1955 to 22.6 percent by early 1981. Services has risen from 12.3 percent to 20.2 percent. Finance, insurance, and real estate has ris en from 4.5 percent to 5.8 percent. Unlike government, these growing services show no evidence of a slowdown in their growth rates in recent years; they continue to gain larger shares of the Nation’s job market (chart 3). If government is involved in so many service-produc https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1950 1960 1970 1980 ing activities shared with the private sector, why were the employment growth trends of the two sectors dif ferent during 1975-80, after having decades of like trends? Perhaps private services are more diversified than government, whose concentrated role in education, for example, would affect it seriously because of the de clining school enrollments in recent years. The private sector also has a large education component, 1.1 million jobs, but these represent only 6 percent of services while education accounts for 48.8 percent of State and local government jobs. Private medical services including hospitals; private physicians and dentists; and other services, such as medical laboratories, nursing, blood banks, and nursing convalescent homes, all continue very rapid job growth. These services fill 5.2 million jobs, representing 29.3 percent of all service jobs. Government provides fewer medical services, with 1.4 million hospital jobs, 32.6 percent of all government jobs. Finally, one of the fastest growing industries— business services— is almost exclusively in the private sector. This industry includes janitorial, computer and data processing services, photocopying, temporary office help, equipment rental and leasing, and other related services. Business services has tripled since 1960 and provided 3.1 million jobs by early 1981. It provides services to all levels of govern ment as well as to the private sector. 23 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Slow Growth in Government Employment Outlook for government jobs Recent employment projections for the 1980’s, issued by BLS, assume that the number of government jobs, al though growing, will represent a smaller share of total nonfarm employment.4 The public sector portion is expected to shrink from 17.9 percent in 1980 to be tween 15.4 and 16.3 percent by 1990. The projected de cline reflects demographic trends and an assumed policy of cutbacks in the size of government programs. Three alternative scenarios for public and private em ployment growth were prepared by BLS. The low-trend version is marked by a slowdown in the rate of labor force expansion and only moderate improvements in prices and productivity. High-trend version I assumes accelerated labor force growth, lower unemployment, and much greater improvements in prices and produc tivity. High-trend version I assumes accelerated labor force growth, lower unemployment, and much greater improvements in proces and productivity. The third al ternative, high-trend version II, is characterized by the rapid output growth of high-trend I, but assumes the same labor force as the low-trend version. It also as sumes less government employment than do the other two models. In the Federal Government, civilian employment is 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis expected to change from 2.87 million in 1980 to 3.06 million by 1990 in the low-trend version, to 3.13 million in high-trend I, and 2.85 million in high-trend II. In all cases, the annual rate of change is considerably below that projected for the private nonfarm sector. The per centages are: Federal Government . . Private.......................... Low 0.6 1.9 High I 0.9 2.7 High II - 0.1 2.1 Within the Federal workforce, all three models show gains in the civilian portion of defense, but the gains are offset by cutbacks elsewhere. Projected employment in State and local government shows a mixed pattern. Job levels in education are expected to remain stable through 1985 and then drop, while employment in other areas of State and local gov ernment is expected to rise consistently throughout the decade. The path of educational employment, which is identi cal in all three models, mirrors the trend expected in school enrollment. The children of the baby-boom era will buoy demand for educational personnel at least through the middle of the decade, but lower birth rates will eventually lead to a decline in the number of school-age children, and consequently in education jobs.5 Employment in public education is expected to fall to 6.41 million by 1990 from the 1980 level of 6.58 mil lion. State and local jobs in noneducation functions are expected to rise from 6.81 million in 1980 to between 8.05 and 8.16 million by 1990, but the rate of increase does not equal that of recent decades. The slowdown reflects assumptions of cutbacks in many government programs in the coming years. Real grants-in-aid to State and local governments, especially for highways and in general revenue sharing, are assumed to decline during the decade in all models, by 1.9 percent a year in the low-trend version and 0.9 percent in the two high-trend versions. In addition, net interest payments and subsidies to government enterprises (in real terms) are assumed to show no increase at all throughout the projection period. Another possible factor is revenue limitations imposed by events such as Proposition 13 in California. As a result of all these factors combined, State and local government is projected to decline to between 12.7 and 13.4 percent of the nonfarm economy by 1990, compared to 14.8 percent in 1980. □ ' E c o n o m ic R e p o r t o f th e P r e s id e n t (Washington, Superintendent of Documents, 1981), pp 318-19. 2 P r o je c tio n s o f E d u c a tio n S ta tis tic s to 1 9 8 6 - 8 7 (National Center for Education Statistics, 1978), p. 18. 1This was established under Titles II and VI of the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act of 1978. 4 See Valerie A. Persomele, “The outlook for industry output and employment through 1990,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1981, pp. 28—41. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5P r o je c tio n s o f th e P o p u la tio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s : 1 9 7 7 to 2 0 5 0 , Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 704 (Washington, Bu reau of the Census, 1977). A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. 25 BLS develops measure of job risk by occupation New statistic relates injury incidence and employment by occupation within economic sectors and industry divisions; such data should help target those workers most prone to job-related accidents and illnesses N orman R oot and D eborah S e b a s t ia n As one might expect, blue-collar workers generally ex perience more job-related injuries' than white-collar em ployees, in both relative and absolute terms. What is surprising, however, is the magnitude of this difference between the two groups. A new injury index by occupa tion indicates that laborers had injuries at a level al most four times the average while operatives and craftworkers incurred injuries at about one-and-a-half times the norm. On the other hand, professional and technical workers, managers and administrators, salesworkers, and clerical workers were subject to injuries at a level about one-fourth the average. However, a num ber of white- and blue-collar occupations had indexes different from those of the broad occupational group to which they belong. Since the inception of the Supplementary Data Sys tem ( s d s ) program in 1976, there has been a demand for injury incidence rates by occupation, which are more accurate measures of risk than simple frequencies because they eliminate the effects of employment size. The absence of occupational exposure data, differences in State workers’ compensation coverage and reporting requirements,2 and the lack of a complete universe of States in SDS program prevented the development of Norman Root is a division chief and Deborah Sebastian is an econo mist in the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 26 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis occupational incidence rates comparable to the industry incidence rates derived from the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics’ Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses.3 In lieu of an injury incidence rate for occupations, the Bureau has developed an index that is a relative measure of occupational risk based on the percent dis tributions of employment and injuries. Although it does not have the precision of an incidence rate, the index provides a valid measure of hazardousness for an occu pation in an industry. Scope and method of the analysis The 1978 work injury data for this study were obtained from 25 States which provided current case in formation from their workers’ compensation records for the Supplementary Data System.4 (A current case involves an injury or illness which occurred or was re ported during the reference year.) The data are not strictly additive because of variations in State laws re garding workers’ compensation coverage and reporting requirements. The primary difference is that some States require employers to report all work-related injuries re gardless of severity while other States require reports only of injuries involving some minimum number of days of disability, ranging from 1 to 8. Despite the re sulting differences in the numbers of cases among States the percentage distributions of injuries and affected oc- cupations are relatively consistent across the States— patterns we have observed in 3 consecutive years of data from nearly 30 States and statistically tested for this analysis.5 Our observations and tests, and the geo graphic and industrial diversity of the States included in this study, support our thesis that these data are repre sentative of the national experience. The employment counts are from the Bureau’s 1978 National Industry Occupational-Employment Matrix, which identifies wage-and-salary workers in the private sector by occupation.6 The wage-and-salary worker group corresponds most closely to the class of employee covered under State workers’ compensation laws. Rail road and maritime-related occupations are excluded from the data because they generally are not covered by State workers’ compensation laws. Similarly, farming and private household occupations are excluded because of large coverage gaps in many States. The percentage distributions of injuries and of em ployment by occupation for a given industrial category are used in computing the ratio index. The formula is: percentage of injuries accounted for by the occupation divided by the corresponding percentage of employ ment. The universe totals— all injuries and all employ ment within the industrial category— are 100 percent each, and yield an index of 1. An occupational index greater than 1 indicates that the percentage of injuries is greater than the percentage of employment in the job, and a ratio smaller than 1 indicates the opposite. Thus, the index measures injury experience for a worker group against the base of 1 for all occupations in the given in dustry division or sector. Because absolute numbers are not used, the discrete indexes are valid only within each industrial category. For example, an index of 4.11 for laborers in manufac turing does not mean that these workers are more than twice as likely to have injuries than laborers in con struction with an index of 1.78. Construction as a whole has a higher injury incidence rate than that for manufacturing, but because the total index for each of these industry divisions is equal to 1, the indexes of component occupations do not reflect general differ ences in risk between the divisions. In other words, a job with an index of 1 has an incidence rate equal to that of the industrial category in which it is located; an index of 4 would indicate that the occupation is experi encing work injuries at a level four times the rate for the overall category. To be included in this analysis, the unweighted mean percentage of injuries for an occupation had to be 0.25 or greater. Additionally, the occupation had to account for at least 0.1 percent of weighted injuries and 0.1 per cent of employment. (State injury data were weighted by their respective total employments.) Standard devia tions on the weighted mean percentages were used to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis eliminate those occupations with overly wide disper sions. Because there was not a complete universe of States, the study was further restricted to those occupa tions showing the strongest similarity of injury and em ployment distributions among the 25 States for which data were available.7 Private sector patterns Application of the ratio index procedure to data for the private nonfarm sector provides additional evidence that the number of injuries alone is not indicative of the relative hazardousness of an occupation. For example, “all other clerical workers” accounted for 3 percent of all injuries in 1978, but their injury index 0.17 was onesixth of the private industry base of 1. On the other hand, shipping and receiving clerks, who recorded 0.80 percent of all injuries, had an index of 1.21— one-fifth higher than the private sector base. (See table 1.) As previously indicated, blue-collar workers generally experienced more job-related injuries than white-collar employees. Blue-collar workers— craftworkers, opera tives, and laborers— made up 40 percent of employ ment but accounted for 77 percent of the injuries. Conversely, white-collar employees— professionals and technicians, managers, salesworkers, and clerical work ers— made up 48 percent of employment but accounted for only 12 percent of the injuries. (The corresponding proportions for service workers were 12 and 11 percent, respectively.) Some blue-collar workers experienced in juries up to 18 times more frequently than white-collar workers, underscoring the more hazardous characteris tics of blue-collar jobs. Members of the major white-collar groups in the pri vate sector generally experienced injuries about onefourth as often as all workers. Shipping clerks and stock clerks within the clerical category were the most nota ble exceptions to this rule, with indexes of 1.21 and 1.13, respectively. Among the major blue-collar occupa tional groups, nonfarm laborers had the highest index (3.70), followed by transport equipment operators (2.09); operatives, except transport (1.79); and craftworkers (1.40). Indexes for more specific blue-collar occupations ranged widely— from 0.79 for blue-collar supervisors to 9.95 for warehouse laborers. The following (“all other” categories are not considered) had indexes of 2 or more: carpenters, millwrights, roofers and slaters, sheetmetal workers, structural metal craftworkers, assemblers, meat cutters and butchers, welders and flame cutters, ma chine operatives, truckdrivers, construction laborers, freight and material handlers, and warehouse laborers. Blue-collar groups with indexes ranging from 1.5 to less than 2 included: mechanics and repairers, plumbers and pipefitters, press operators and plate printers, cutting and miscellaneous operatives, delivery and route drivers, 27 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • New Measure o f Job Risk Table 1. Occupational injury ratio indexes for the private nonagricultural sector, 1978 Occupations1 All occupations ............................................ Weighted percent injuries Percent employment Ratio index2 100.00 100.00 1.00 Professional, technical, and kindred w orkers........... Registered nurses................................................. Engineering and science technicians.................... All o th e r................................................................ 2.37 .53 .38 1.46 11.04 1.08 1.15 8.81 .21 3.49 .33 .17 Managers and administrators, except f a r m ............. Restaurant, bar managers.................................... Sales managers and department heads, retail . . . All o th e r................................................................. 2.91 .29 .48 2.14 10.41 .60 .49 9.32 .28 3.48 3.98 .23 Salesworkers............................................................ 2.11 7.47 .28 Clerical and kindred w o rkers.................................... Shipping, receiving clerks ................................... Stock clerks, storekeepers ................................. All o th e r................................................................. 4.59 .80 .72 3.07 19.31 .66 .64 18.01 .24 31.21 31.13 .17 Craft and kindred w orkers........................................ Carpenters and apprentices................................. Electricians and apprentices................................. Electric power line and cable Installers and repa.rers............................................................ Excavating, grading, and road machine operators (except bulldozer) ............................................. Blue-collar supervisors, n.e.c................................. Machinists and apprentices ................................. Mechanics and repairers...................................... Automobile body repairers............................... Automobile mechanics and apprentices........... Heavy equipment mechanics ........................... All o th e r ............................................................ Millwrights ............................................................ Painters, construction or maintenance.................. Plumbers, pipefitters, and apprentices.................. 20.76 2.70 .92 14.88 1.34 .72 1.40 2.01 1.28 .22 .16 31.38 .34 1.76 .94 6.52 .29 1.70 1.54 2.99 .36 .45 .91 .28 2.23 .67 3.97 .22 1.20 1.30 1.25 .14 .42 .51 31.21 .79 1.40 1.64 1.32 1.42 31.18 2.39 3 2.57 1.07 1.78 Occupations1 Weighted percent injuries Press operators, plate printers, and apprentices .. Roofers, slaters ..................................................... Sheetmetal workers and apprentices.................... Structural metal craftworkers ............................... All other ................................................................ .36 .41 .56 .39 3.92 .23 .13 .20 .11 3.77 1.57 33.15 2.80 3 3.55 1.04 Operatives, except transport...................................... Assemblers ............................................................ Cutting operatives, n.e.c........................................... Garage workers, gas station attendants............... Meat cutters, butchers, except manufacturing . . . . Packers, and wrappers, except r e ta il.................... Welders and flame cutters ................................... Machine operatives, miscellaneous specified . . . . Miscellaneous operatives ...................................... All other ................................................................ 27.35 3.51 .63 .73 .60 1.13 2.11 4.82 2.73 11.09 15.31 1.70 .38 .60 .27 .98 .92 2.12 1.64 6.70 1.79 3 2.06 31.66 31.22 2.22 31.15 2.29 3 2.27 31.66 1.66 Transport equipment operatives ............................... Delivery and route drivers...................................... Forklift, tow motor operators................................. Truckdrivers............................................................ All other ................................................................ 8.61 1.44 .94 5.75 .48 4.12 .81 .52 2.32 .47 2.09 1.78 1.81 2.48 1.02 Laborers, except farm ............................................... Construction la borers............................................ Freight, material handlers ...................................... Stock handlers........................................................ Warehouse laborers, n.e.c....................................... All other ................................................................ 20.29 2.59 2.92 1.99 1.99 10.80 5.49 .98 1.11 1.30 .20 1.90 3.70 3 2.64 2.63 31.53 9.95 5.68 Service workers, except private household............... Cleaning service workers ...................................... Food service w o rkers............................................ Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants............... Practical n u rs e s..................................................... Guards and watchmen .......................................... All other ................................................................ 10.98 2.36 5.00 1.79 .35 .40 1.08 11.99 2.63 5.43 1.03 .55 .57 1.78 .92 .90 .92 1.74 .64 .70 .61 dn Percent employment Ratio index2 1Excludes data for agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; private households; and the public sec tor. 2The indexes are derived from the following formula: percent injuries divided by percent em ployment. Injury and illness data are the mean percents from 25 States weighted for their respective employments. Employment data are percents of private wage-and-salary workers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics 1978 National Industry Occupational-Employment Matrix. An index was considered publishable only if data for the occupation met the following criteria: - The weighted mean percent of injuries was 0.1 or greater. - Occupational employment was 0.1 or more of the total. - The standard deviation of the injury mean was 0.5 or less, except as specified in foot note 3. - Injury and illness data for the occupation were available from five or more States. mean percentage of injuries was 0.25 or greater. n.e.c.=not elsewhere classified forklift operators, and stock handlers. Indexes for the service industries were generally somewhat below the all occupation base of 1, with the exception of that for nursing aides (1.74).8 The indexes for the major occupational groups indi cate that pay is not always commensurate with risk, as is commonly thought. The largest index is for laborers, a group of workers generally at the lower end of the wage scale. These jobs usually involve much manual la bor subjecting workers to hazards such as handling heavy objects for which there are no safety standards, and for which experience alone teaches injury avoid ance. For example, strains and sprains account for 25 percent of injuries to all craft workers, but for about 35 percent of the injuries to freight handlers and ware house laborers. Furthermore, laborer occupations are generally entry jobs for inexperienced or untrained workers. Other studies have found short duration of employment to be strongly correlated with occupational injury. About 40 percent of all work-related injuries oc cur among workers in their first year on the job. 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Indicates a standard deviation of unweighted mean percentage of injuries of between 0.25 and 1.75. High risk jobs by industry division Injury indexes by occupation were also developed for each of eight major industry divisions within the private nonfarm sector: mining; construction; manufacturing; transportation and public utilities; wholesale trade; re tail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and ser vices. (See table 2.) The following discussion presents the salient results of that analysis. Some occupations had higher-than-average indexes across three or more of the industry divisions. Notable blue-collar occupations in this category included: car penters, mechanics and repairers, plumbers and pipefitters, welders and flame cutters, delivery and route drivers, forklift operators, truckdrivers, material han dlers, stock handlers, vehicle cleaners, and warehouse laborers. Among white-collar workers, stock clerks tended to have higher-than-average indexes, as did cleaning service and food service workers among the service employee group. Within individual industry divisions, the high-risk oc cupations (that is, those with indexes of 1.2 or more, compared to the division base of 1) were: Construction— carpenters; glaziers; millwrights; sheetmetal workers; structural metal craftworkers; and con struction laborers. Mining— mechanics and repairers; mine operatives; welders and flame cutters; and vehicle and equipment cleaners. Manufacturing— metal molders; sheetmetal workers; as semblers; grinding machine operators; welders and flame cutters; delivery and route drivers; forklift and Table 2. Selected occupational injury ratio indexes1by industry division, 1978 Occupations2 Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services All occupations ........................................................ 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Professional, technical and kindred workers ...................... 3.10 3.20 .11 4.24 4.20 3.24 4.40 .43 Managers and administrators, except f a r m ........................ 3.14 4.18 .16 .15 .20 .58 .62 .43 Salesworkers....................................................................... 3.13 3.35 3.17 4.26 .26 .47 4.35 .55 Clerical and kindred w o rkers............................................... Shipping, receiving clerks ............................................... Stock clerks, storekeepers ............................................ .09 - .09 - 4.22 4.99 4.58 3.28 41.10 .24 .91 4.86 .48 1.69 42.17 .62 .24 - Craft and kindred workers................................................... Carpenters and apprentices............................................ Electricians and apprentices............................................ Blue-collar supervisors, n.e.c............................................. G laziers........................................................................... Machinists and apprentices ............................................ Mechanics and repairers................................................. Auto body repairers..................................................... Household appliance and accessory installers........... Millwrights ....................................................................... Molders, metal and apprentices...................................... Painters, construction, maintenance and apprentices . . . Plumbers, pipefitters and apprentices............................. Sheetmetal workers and apprentices ............................. Structural metal craftworkers.......................................... .92 1.03 1.20 .84 .97 42.00 1.03 - .87 .83 1.48 41.87 8.78 49.80 .74 .45 - 4.51 .49 1.65 4 2.61 - .67 4.94 . 4 4.96 2.16 41.94 42.19 42.35 - 4.65 4.54 41.47 - Operatives, except tran sport............................................... Asbestos and insulation workers ................................... Assemblers ..................................................................... Cutting operatives, n.e.c.................................................... Garage workers, gas station attendants ........................ Laundry, dry cleaning operatives, n.e.c............................. Meat cutters, butchers, except manufacturing ............... Mine operatives, n.e.c........................................................ Packers, wrappers, except retail .................................... Grinding machine operatives .......................................... Welders and flame cutters............................................... 41.42 41.46 Transport equipment operatives.......................................... Delivery and route drivers ............................................... Forklift, tow motor operatives.......................................... Truckdrivers..................................................................... 41.45 41.18 Laborers, except fa rm .......................................................... Construction laborers, except carpenters’ h e lp e rs......... Freight, material handlers ............................................... Garbage collectors .......................................................... Gardeners, groundskeepers, except f a r m ...................... Stock handlers................................................................ Vehicle and equipment cleaners...................................... Warehouse laborers, n.e.c................................................. 4 3.12 - Service workers, except private household........................ Cleaning service workers................................................. Food service workers ..................................................... Nursing aides, orderlies, attendants ............................... 1.49 - 42.00 4.38 42.79 .57 1.14 1.84 41.83 1.11 41.16 4.73 .97 1.01 1.78 1.43 41.00 - 4.57 • ’ The indexes are derived from the following formula: percent injuries divided by percent employment. Injury and illness data are the mean percents from 25 States weighted for their respective employments. Employment data are percents of private wage-and-salary workers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics 1978 National Industry Occupational-Employment Matrix. An index was considered publishable only if data for the occupation met the following criteria: -Injury data were available from five or more States. -T he unweighted mean percentage of injuries was 0.25 or greater. (Except for major occu pational groups.) -T he weighted mean percentage of Injuries was 0.1 or greater. (Except for major occupa tional groups.) -Occupational employment was 0.1 or more of the total. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.51 - 41.80 1.92 - 42.23 4.94 41.62 . 1.31 41.83 . . 41.40 41.18 . - . . . - 1.74 . . 1.79 1.74 4 4.76 2.10 2.28 41.72 1.71 2.86 2.29 41.37 4 3.77 3.45 47.41 . . 4.11 3.09 3.58 48.16 4.41 49.50 41.67 . . 2.87 14.20 4 3.08 . . 41.47 41.21 9.29 41.80 41.33 415.59 41.12 . 1.11 1.16 1.11 410.35 .98 1.17 - 31.62 .70 . - - . 2.81 1.49 41.34 1.21 1.87 5.38 - 41.45 41.89 41.49 41.81 - 42.04 4 2.56 2.21 4.90 41.88 1.74 - 2.30 41.88 4 2.33 . . . - . . . 4 5.73 _ . - 1.87 . 1.77 . 1.97 1.98 4 2.16 . 41.57 - - - .96 1.18 • 1.00 - - _ 3.70 4.03 . 47.68 3.58 6.90 410.38 4.82 41.65 41.18 3.92 43.69 1.65 1.31 2.32 3.18 -T he standard deviation of the injury means was 0.5 or less, except as specified In footnote 4. 2 Excludes data for agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; private households; and the public sec tor. 3 Indicates a standard deviation of mean percent injuries greater than 1.75. (Only shown for major occupational groups.) 4 Indicates a standard deviation of mean of percent injuries between 0.25 and 1.75. N ote : Dashes indicate data not available, or data which did not meet publication criteria. n.e.c.= not elsewhere classified. 29 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • New Measure o f Job Risk tow motor operators; truckdrivers; freight and material handlers; and warehouse laborers. Transportation and public utilities— mechanics and re pairers; packers and wrappers; welders and flame cut ters; delivery and route drivers; freight and material handlers; garbage collectors; and warehouse laborers. Wholesale trade— carpenters; machinists; mechanics and repairers; plumbers and pipefitters; delivery and route drivers; forklift operators; and several nonfarm laborer jobs. Retail trade— shipping and receiving clerks; stock clerks; carpenters; automobile and household appliance mechanics and repairers; gas station attendants; meat cutters and butchers; delivery and route drivers; forklift operators; truckdrivers; freight and material handlers; vehicle cleaners; and warehouse laborers. Finance, insurance, and real estate— carpenters; bluecollar supervisors; mechanics and repairers; painters; gardeners and groundskeepers; and cleaning service and food service workers. Services—-stock clerks; carpenters; electricians; blue-col lar supervisors; mechanics and repairers; painters; plumbers and pipefitters; laundry and dry-cleaning op eratives; delivery and route drivers; truckdrivers; freight and material handlers; stock handlers; cleaning service and food service workers; and nursing aides and order lies. A few of these occupations show markedly high in dexes— 10 to 14 times the averages for the industry divisions in which they are found. In addition to the in herent danger associated with some jobs, two other fac tors can account for these very high indexes. First, if the injury incidence rate for the industry division is low, a hazardous occupation will have a much higher index relative to the industry division base of 1 than it would when located in a division with a high injury rate. This would explain why painters appear on the list of highrisk jobs for finance, insurance, and real estate, but not for construction. The second factor is associated with the nature of the data used to derive the rates, and high turnover in some jobs. A single job characterized by high turnover may have several workers employed in it throughout the year. More than one of these employees could experi ence work-related injuries, but the average annual em ployment for that job would be one worker. Thus, while the job is counted only once, each injury to any of its incumbents would be reported separately.9 □ FOOTNOTES ' Hereafter, the term injury will also encompass illnesses. The single term is used for brevity. 2For a discussion of differences in State coverage and reporting re quirements, see Norman Root and David McCaffrey, “Providing more information on work injuries and illnesses,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e view , April 1978, pp. 16-21. ' A summary of the incidence rate calculation for the Annual Sur vey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses is provided in O c c u p a tio n a l S a f e ty a n d H e a lth S ta tistic s : C o n c ep ts a n d M e th o d s, Report 518 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1978). 4The data are from the following States: Alaska, California, Colora do, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. 5The Cramer’s V measure of association of .076 indicates that the frequencies of injuries are similar in the 25 States for the nine occupa tional groups. Thus, the work injury and illness data of the 25 States were combined for use in the computation of the indexes. For a de scription of this test of statistical significance see S ta tis tic a l P a c k a g e f o r th e S o c ia l S c ie n c e s (S P S S ) M a n u a l (New York, McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1975), pp. 224-25. Digitized for 30 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6A description of this data source is available in N a tio n a l I n d u s tr y O c c u p a tio n a l- E m p lo y m e n t M a tr ix , 1970, 1978, a n d P r o je c te d 1 9 9 0 , Bul letin 2086 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1981). Occupations in the ma trix and in the Supplementary Data System (SDS) are coded according to the 1970 Bureau of Census Alphabetical Index of Indus tries and Occupations. Publishable occupational employment data by State are not available from the matrix. 7Standard deviations were computed on the percent distributions of each occupation in each State to measure their dispersion from the mean. Occupations with standard deviations either greater than 1.75 or less than 0.25 times the mean value of the occupation were exclud ed from this analysis, except as noted. 8The reader is reminded that the occupations appearing in tables 1 and 2 are not the only ones with high indexes. Excluded from this analysis are occupations which did not meet size and dispersion crite ria for publication. “ High turnover in specific jobs, of course, means short duration of employment, which is strongly correlated with occupational injuries. For a more complete discussion of this relationship, see Norman Root and Michael Hoefer, “The first work-injury data available from new BLS study,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , January 1979, pp. 76-80. The effects of shift work on the lives of employees About 1 in 6 employees works other than regular days schedules, but data are scarce on how workers are affected; incomes may rise, but fam ily routine, social life, and health often suffer P e t e r F in n At least 10 million Americans are regularly engaged in shift work. According to data from the Current Popula tion Survey,1 which almost surely underestimates the prevalence of shift work,2 nearly one worker in six was employed full time in 1978 during hours that differ from typical daytime schedules. There were 4.9 million nonfarm wage and salary workers on the evening shift, 2.1 million on the night shift, and 2.8 million on miscel laneous shifts. The term “shift work” means different things to dif ferent people. Shift work is popularly regarded as work in which employees “shift” schedules on some regular basis from daytime to evening or nighttime. Many re searchers define shift work as employment in which two or more groups of employees work at different times of a 17-hour or 24-hour time span, including a so-called “day” shift. Most discussions consider shift work to be any employment that regularly occurs between 7 p.m. and 7 a.m., the definition used in this study. For a significant proportion of these employees, working after-dark hours may not only reduce satisfac tion with their jobs but may also create troublesome problems for their health, family life, social activity, and Peter Finn is a senior research analyst at Abt Associates, Inc., Cam bridge, Mass. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on-the-job safety. However, shift work provides unique benefits for many employees as well as proving advanta geous in many ways for industry and for society at large. It is important for government policymakers, business leaders, and shift workers themselves to be come familiar with the major effects that working eve nings and nights may have on employees and their families, in order to consider ways to modify the fea tures that are deleterious, while retaining or enhancing those that are beneficial. This study summarizes what is currently known about these effects, with principal at tention focused on the harmful consequences that call for amelioration. Most of the information in this article comes from original research studies of shift work from both inside and outside the United States. Secondary sources have also been examined. Anecdotal evidence from these sources about the personal experiences of shift workers and their spouses and children has been used to provide understanding of what the data mean in human terms. There is limited evidence regarding many of the ef fects of evening and night work on employees. Further more, many of the data that have been reported are contradictory. A major American study of shift work concluded, “We have here the unhappy picture of a group of men doing something for their daily bread 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Effects o f Shift Work on Employees which they would prefer not to do if they had the op portunity to start over again.” Yet an investigation of 600 English shift workers determined that “for subjec tive well-being in both its somatic and psychological as pects, shift work can in general probably hardly be called a problem.” 3 These and similar conflicting re search results represent in large measure a failure to control for numerous variables that may influence em ployee attitudes toward evening and night work includ ing type of shift and work, job prestige, workplace amenities, age and marital status of shift workers and number and age of their children, neighborhood atti tudes toward evening and night work, and the preva lence of night work in the community.4 Despite this and other limitations in the research to date, there are a number of consistent findings regarding the advantages and drawbacks of shift work. Benefits Some jobseekers accept shift work simply because there are not enough daytime jobs available.5 For these individuals, evening and night work provides a unique source of gainful employment. Shift work’s most allur ing feature, however, appears to be its wage differential. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, these shift premiums average 10 cents an hour for the evening shift and 13 cents for the night shift.6 Shift work also enables workers to increase their in come by moonlighting on daytime jobs. One study found that shift workers who did not wish to change shifts cited as their overriding reason the opportunity to hold a second job their current schedules provided. Significantly, 23 percent of night workers and 19 per cent of evening workers held second jobs compared with 11 percent of daytime employees.7 Shift work provides another financial incentive rarely mentioned in the literature but frequently observed by the author. Although it has been pointed out that “the rapid expansion of service employment has . . . created many opportunities for part-time or intermittent work for young people whose main activity is pursuing their education,”8 what has gone unnoticed is that many of these service jobs are during evening or night, enabling students to take courses during the day. Many security guards and nurse’s aides, for example, use evening and night jobs to work their way through school and, not coincidentally, to provide a quiet environment in which they can spend some of their paid hours studying. Shift work provides a number of nonpecuniary ad vantages for some workers. Working evenings or nights allows employees more free time during the day and, in the case of rotating shift work, to accumulate several days off in a row on a regular basis. Some workers en joy a variety of rotating shifts, while others appreciate being able to remove themselves from unwanted family Digitized for 32 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis situations or responsibilities. The comaraderie and sense of loyalty that is a feature of certain evening or night time occupations can be a satisfying substitute for or addition to normal social and family life.9 Many shift workers have less tension and a more re laxed pace on the night shift than during the day be cause of less supervision or fewer interruptions from clerical or management personnel. Finally, shift work accommodates “night owls,” who function poorly in the morning and best during evening or night.10 Drawbacks The attractions of shift work are considerable for many individuals. But the benefits must be weighed by shift workers and policymakers alike against the draw backs that affect the health, interpersonal relationships, leisure time activities, and perhaps the safety of a large proportion of shift workers. The central feature of shift work that creates dissatisfaction for many evening and night workers is that it puts them “out of rhythm ” with their minds and bodies, families and social lives, and routines of the rest of the community. Health. There is a well-documented circadian (24-hour) rhythm that governs many of the major biological func tions of the human body. Disturbance of these cycles is responsible for several of the most upsetting physical and emotional problems evening and night workers ex perience. Diurnal rhythms control pulse, blood pres sure, the cardio-pulmonary system, blood composition, endocrine secretions, appetite, elimination, and the wake-sleep cycle.11 Shift work, of necessity, interrupts these processes and requires that they occur at times for which the body is not genetically programmed or envi ronmentally conditioned for them. There is disagreement over the extent to which the body, over time, can adapt to changes in these rhythms. Although several studies have found rhythmic adjust ments to a new work schedule may occur within four days to two weeks,12 several considerations suggest that such ready adaptation may not be commonplace. A significant minority of shift workers, for unknown rea sons, never significantly adjust, biologically, to the al terations imposed on their normal body cycles. In addition, most evening and night employees in the United States are on rotating shifts. The continuous al teration of day and evening; or day, evening, and night work, seriously diminishes or entirely precludes adjust ment of bodily rhythms. Furthermore, any adaptation that may be achieved even among fixed shift workers is repeatedly undermined by days off, holidays, vacations, and sick leave, when employees revert to normal living schedules.13 Not surprisingly then, problems related to sleep, appetite, and digestion are the most common and persistent complaints for many shift workers. Particularly widespread among shift workers is insuf ficient or poor quality sleep resulting from trouble fall ing asleep, waking during sleep, and waking up early. Although many of these difficulties are from disruptions in the body’s normal diurnal sleep rhythms, sleep dur ing daytime is also often disturbed by excessive and un avoidable light and heat, and by noises from children, housework, telephone calls, and street traffic. “ Have you ever gone home in the morning after a night’s work,” one shift worker asked rhetorically, “when the sun is shining and a bed awaits you with the blinds tightly drawn to keep out the light— are you going to sleep?” 14 Sleep can also be unsettled by over-fatigue, restlessness, and tension. As she began preparing dinner at midnight for her husband who was coming home from the evening shift at a local factory, a woman ob served, “It always takes a couple of hours to calm him down, We never get to bed before 4.” 15 Lack of adequate sleep and poor quality sleep have been implicated in a number of adverse health and safe ty consequences, including physical disorders, nervous problems, and deficits in mental and psychomotor per formance which can lead to on-the-job accidents. Fa tigue is the most commonly encountered and upsetting reaction shift workers experience from sleep deprivation. This is particularly true of night and rotating shift workers. The latter are often required to work emergen cy overtime without notice, an added burden on an al ready tiring schedule. Fatigue can have a number of harmful consequences besides those for health, includ ing impaired ability to participate in family and social life during the hours when a shift worker is not at work.16 Loss of appetite and irregular eating habits are a common occurrence among shift workers that may lead to weight loss as well as nutritional deficiency. “One week you have dinner at 4 p.m.; the next week you have it at 11:30 p.m. You don’t feel like anything at 11 o’clock at night,” a rotating shift worker commented.17 Shift workers also experience more digestive problems. Forty-three percent of 150 shift workers in one study reported taking some form of medication for digestive problems.18 There is conflicting evidence regarding whether shift workers have higher rates of stomach dis orders, including ulcers, colitis, and gastritis, than do day workers.19 There is also little agreement regarding the pervasive ness or severity of shift work’s impact on employees’ emotional well-being. However, some shift workers re port feeling guilty at not being able to spend time with their families due to conflicting schedules or fatigue when they are at home.20 Shift workers may also feel disparaged because of the social stigma toward shift work that appears to be prevalent in many countries. One study found that nonsupervisory night workers in a https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis state mental hospital and an electronics plant attributed less prestige to their own jobs than did day workers do ing the same job. The daytime workers in another plant regarded the company’s night workers as “odd.”21 Family. Shift workers experience more family-related problems than do daytime employees because of the lack of synchrony between their hours on the job and their families’ daily routines. The most serious family disturbance is that many people who work evenings and nights are less able to spend time with their children, especially small children who go to bed early, than are employees who work during the day.22 The time shift workers have to spend with their spouses can also be severely curtailed by hours of work, because a shift worker’s wife or husband who works during the day or not at all is often awake at precisely those times when the shift worker must sleep. Spouses who wish to spend time with a mate who works during the evening or night usually have to alter their patterns of sleep, mealtime, and recreation to accommodate the shift worker’s atypical schedule. The time that shift workers spend with their families may prove less satisfying than it could be because the worker’s fatigue from poor sleep or lack of sleep can prevent normal social activity. An interstate rig opera tor commented that the wife of a long-distance trucker “can’t even count on her husband to attend a gradua tion, a communion, any kind of social function. He’s usually so darn tired that he’d much rather be home sleeping than getting ready to go out Sunday night.” Families may have difficulty just keeping track of the schedule of a shift worker in the family and knowing when the worker will be available for meals, social ac tivities, or special events. Many wives of shift workers have also reported being frightened staying home alone at night without a man available to afford a feeling of protection. Sexual activity is still another aspect of fam ily life that is sometimes disrupted by shift work.23 Curiously, there is little difference among evening, night, and day workers regarding frequency of visits with relatives outside the immediate family. Social life. Evening and night work does not appear to interfere significantly with how often shift workers visit friends, but it does deprive at least some shift workers of extensive friendships. “Sometimes at 11 o’clock at night I feel sorry for myself,” a junior foreman on a ro tating shift related. “If you work shift work, you don’t have any friends. They don’t know whether you are sleeping or working . . . . You have an invite out and find you are working on the evening shift and you can’t go.” The wife of an air trafflic controller reported that her husband’s shifts, which change weekly, made it dif ficult for her to plan anything in advance. “We have to 33 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Effects o f Shift Work on Employees have friends who are in the same boat as we are.” Also, shift workers participate in fewer voluntary organiza tions than daytime workers. The same junior foreman complained, “The school PTA meets and stuff like that goes on in the evenings and I . . . can’t go.”24 Safety. Although disagreement and lack of evidence pre dominate regarding the effects of evening and night work on employee safety, there are sound physiological grounds for presuming an increased rate of accidents at night based on laboratory studies of efficiency and er rors related to circadian rhythms. Laboratory studies of speed, reaction time, and accuracy show demonstrable deficiency after the evening hours begin. Biologists say it is no coincidence that the human errors which led to the nuclear energy accident at Three Mile Island oc curred at 4 a.m. by workers who had been changing shifts every week.25 Some studies also report that work ers on night shifts make more mistakes than day shift employees and that this is particularly true for rotating shift workers. By contrast, one investigation of occupa tional safety concluded that “there are no more acci dents at night than there are during the day,” and ' See Janice Neipert Hedges and Edward S. Sekscenski, “Workers on late shifts in a changing economy,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , Sep tember 1979, pp. 14-22. 2The Current Population Survey provides information only on the starting and ending times for full-time workers in its sample popula tion. As a result, the survey omits dual jobholders who work an eve ning or night shift on a second job, shift workers who are employed fewer than 35 hours a week, and most importantly, employees who are on the day segment of a rotating shift during the reference week of the survey. Given these limitations, the figure of 10 million shift workers in the country underestimates their actual prevalence to an unknown but probably considerable extent. See “Workers on late shifts . . . ” pp. 14-22, and Donald L. Tasto and Michael J. Colligan, S h if t W o rk P r a c tic e s in th e U n ite d S ta te s (Washington, The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, 1977). Another estimate places the percentage of shift workers at over one-fourth the entire na tional work force. See Phyllis Lehmann, “The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health: Expanding the Frontiers of Knowl edge,” in Judson MacLaury, ed., P r o te c tin g P e o p le a t W o rk (Washing ton, U.S. Department of Labor, 1980). 1See Floyd C. Mann and L. Richard Hoffman, A u to m a tio n a n d th e (New York, Henry Holt and Co., 1960) and J. M. Dirken, “Industrial Shift Work: Decrease in Well-Being and Specific Effects,” E rg o n o m ic s, March 1966, pp. 115-24. W o rk e r 4The influence of community attitudes and work schedules in the occupational and off-the-job satisfaction of shift workers has been convincingly documented in Randall B. Dunham, C o m m u n ity S tr u c tu r e a n d th e E x p e r ie n c e s o f S h ift W orkers, prepared for the U.S. De partment of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, (Springfield, Va., National Technical Information Service, 1979). 5See John D. Owen, W o rk in g H o u rs: A n E c o n o m ic A n a ly s is (Lexing ton, Mass., D.C. Heath and Co., 1979), p. 65, William Grossin, L e T r a v a il e t le T e m p s (Paris, Editions Anthropos, 1969), and Alan P. Henry, “Our New Pioneers,” T h e B o sto n G lobe, June 15, 1979. 6 See Charles M. O’Connor, “Late-shift employment in the manu facturing industries,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , November 1970, pp. 3742, and S h ift W o rk P r a c tic e s . . . p. C-2. Shift premiums, however, Digitized for34 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis another study found that only the rate of serious acci dents is higher at night. A study of three factories with rotating shift workers showed no statistically significant differences in the accident rates between day and night workers, but the authors pointed to possible con founding of the data because night workers are usually less inclined to seek medical aid for minor injuries.26 O n l y a p a r t i a l p i c t u r e of the effects of shift work on employees can be drawn with the information cur rently available. Clearly, additional research is needed. Furthermore, any decisions about how to enhance the positive features and eliminate the harmful aspects of shift work must reflect the significant advantages eve ning and night work provides to industry and to society at large. Nonetheless, the evidence that shift work ap pears to impair the health, domestic life, and social ac tivities of millions of workers and their families indicates that more effort needs to be devoted now by government, industry, organized labor, the local com munity, and shift workers themselves toward ameliorat ing these widespread, harmful consequences of evening and nightime employment. □ have tended to rise less than the general wage rates over the last sev eral years. See “Workers on late shifts . . . ,” p. 17. Furthermore, it may be that only those shift workers with little experience or educa tion earn more than daytime workers of similar qualifications while among those with higher levels of experience and education, daytime employees may receive the higher wage. See W o rk in g H o u r s . . . p. 87. For evidence documenting the appeal of wage differentials, see W o rk in g H o u r s . . . p. 64, Mann and Hoffman, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W o rk er, pp. 136-37, James H. Downie, S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s o f S h if t W o rk (London, Industrial Welfare Society, Robert Hyde House, 1963), Marc Maurice, S h if t W o rk (Washington, International Labor Office, 1975), p. 68, and Paul E. Mott, Floyd C. Mann, Quin McLoughlin, and Donald P. Werwick, S h if t W o rk : T h e S o cia l, P sy ch o lo g ic a l a n d P h y s ic a l C o n seq u en ce s (Ann Arbor, University of Michigan Press, 1965). 7 Shift Work: T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, pp. 24, 318. The moonlighting opportunities shift work provides are discussed in Maurice, S h if t W o rk , p. 68, S h if t W o rk : T h e C o n seq u en ces, pp. 304—05, 310, and J. Carpentier and P. Cazamian, N ig h t W o rk (Washington, International Labor Office, 1977). *Eli Ginzberg, G o o d Jobs, B a d Jobs, N o J o b s (Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University Press, 1979), p. 17. ' On free time, see Maurice, S h if t W ork, pp. 66-67, A. A. I. Wedderburn, “Social Factors in Satisfaction with Swiftly Rotating Shifts,” O c c u p a tio n a l P sy ch o lo g y , 1967, pp. 85-107. On consecutive days off, see, for example, “Social Factors . . . ,” in N ig h t W o rk , p. 309, and S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, pp. 309, 312. On the stimulation of rotating shifts, see “Social Factors in Satisfaction . . . ” On removal from the family, see Jadwiga Wojtczak-Jaroszowa, P h ysio lo g ic a l a n d P s y c h o lo g ic a l A sp e c ts o f N ig h t a n d S h if t W o rk (Washing ton, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1977), p. 43. On camaraderie, see S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , pp. 8, 10, Joan Aldous, “Occupational Characteristics and Males Role Performance in the Family,” J o u r n a l o f M a r r ia g e a n d th e F a m ily , November 1969, pp. 707-12, Rosabeth Moss Kanter, S o c ia l S c ie n c e F ro n tie rs (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 1977), p. 33, and Seymour Martin Lipset, James Coleman, and Martin Trow, U n ion D e m o c r a c y (New York, The Free Press, 1956), pp. 136-39. 10On night shift pace, see N ig h t W ork, p. 52, U n ion D e m o c r a c y , p. 139, S h if t W ork, p. 63, and Gwynneth De La Mare and J. Walker, “Factors Influencing the Choice of Shift Rotation,” O c c u p a tio n a l P s y c h o lo gy, January 1968, pp. 1-21. On “night owls,” see N ig h t W ork, p. 35, S h if t W ork, p. 62, and Torbjorn Akerstedt, “Shift Work and Health— Interdisciplinary Aspects,” in U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, S h ift W ork, a n d H e a lth : A S y m p o s iu m (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, 1976), pp. 179— 197. " N ig h t W ork, p. 14, S h ift W o rk : T h e . . Maurice S h if t W ork, p. 48, P s y sio lo g ic a l a n d pp. 3-12. pp. 9-10, .. ., p. 312, . . . , p. 7, and W.P. Colquhoun, “Circadian Phythms, Mental Efficiency, and Shift Work,” E rg o n o m ic s, September 1970, pp. 558-60. 'S h ift W ork, P s y sio lo g ic a l and p. 25, . C on sequ en ces, P s y c h o lo g ic a l A sp e c ts S h ift W ork: T h e . . . C on sequ en ces, P s y c h o lo g ic a l A s p e c ts “Circadian Rhythms . . . , pp. 558-60, S h ift W ork, p. 45, S h if t pp. 280, 312, N ig h t W ork, p. 17, J. H. Van Loon, “Diurnal Body Temperature Curves in Shift Workers,” E r g o n o m ics, June 1963, pp. 267-73, and S. Wyatt and R. Marriott, “Night Work and Shift Changes,” B ritish J o u r n a l o f I n d u s tr ia l M e d i cine, July 1953, pp. 164-72. W o rk : . . . T h e C on sequ en ces, 14S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . p. 18. On the preva lence and nature of sleep disturbances, see S h ift W ork, p. 44, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W orker, pp. 107, 114-15, S h if t W ork: T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, pp. 10, 290, 300, N ig h t W ork, pp. 22-24, Harry Levinson, Charlton R. Price, Kenneth J. Munden, Harold J. Mandl, and Charles M. Solley, M en , M a n a g e m e n t, a n d M e n ta l H e a lth (Cam bridge, Mass., Harvard University Press, 1962), and Donald L. Tasto, Michael J. Colligan, Eric W. Skjei, and Susan J. Polly, H e a lth C o n se q u e n c e s o f S h ift W o rk (Cincinnati, Ohio, National Institute of Occupa tional Safety and Health, 1977). See Barbara Garson, A l l th e L iv e lo n g D a y : T h e M e a n in g a n d D e m e a n in g o f R o u tin e W o rk (New York, Penguin Books, 1977), pp. 92-93. 16On the effects of inadequate sleep on health see N ig h t W ork, p. 18, S h ift W ork, p. 46, P h y s io lo g ic a l a n d P s y c h o lo g ic a l A sp e c ts . . . , p. 41. On fatigue, see S h ift W ork: T h e . . . C on sequ en ces, p. 300, P h y s io lo g ic a l a n d P s y c h o lo g ic a l A sp e c ts . . . , p. 41, N ig h t W ork, p. 24, S h ift W ork, p. 67, and Wyatt and Marriott, “Night Work and Shift Chang es.” On the imposition of sudden, mandatory overtime, see S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , p. 6, A l l th e L iv e lo n g D a y . . . , pp. 92-93, “Social Factors in Satisfaction . . . ” For fatigue’s effects on safety, see S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , p. 17. For the effects of fatigue on family life, see footnote 23. Curiously, after noon shift workers have been known to complain that they may get too much sleep, since they can usually retire before midnight and need not get up again until the following afternoon, See, for example, S h if t W ork: T h e . . . C o n sequ en ces, p. 305. In one study of two eve ning worker groups, 32 out of 49 workers in one sample and 44 out of 54 workers in the other sample got nine or more hours of continu ous sleep a night. See J. Walker, “Frequent Alternation of Shifts on Continuous Work,” O c c u p a tio n a l P sych o lo g y, October 1966, pp. 215— 25. 17 S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , p. 11. See “Night Work and Shift Changes.” See also, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W orker, pp. 107, n. 4, 114-15, S h ift W ork: T h e . . . C on seq u en ces, pp. 236, 300. H e a lth C o n seq u en ce s o f S h ift W ork, p. 8. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "See, for example, S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, p. 301, S h if t p. 44, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W o rk er, p. 120, “Night Work and Shift Changes,” H e a lth C o n seq u en ce s o f S h if t W ork, p. 9, and “Shift Work and Health— Interdisciplinary Aspects,” p. 181. 20 S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, p. 290, M en , M a n a g e m e n t, a n d M e n ta l H e a lth , p. 108, and A1 Nash, “Job Satisfaction: A Critique,” in B. J. Widick, ed., A u to W o rk a n d I ts D is c o n te n ts (Baltimore, Md., The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1977), p. 79. 1See Ronald H. Bohr and Arnold B. Swertloff, “Work Shift, Occu pational Status, and the Perception of Job Prestige,” J o u r n a l o f A p p lie d P sy ch o lo g y , June 1969, pp. 227-29 and “Factors Influencing the Choice . . . ” For a discussion of the stigma against shift work, see Henry, “Our New Pioneers” and J. D. McDonald, “The Social and Psychological Aspects of Night Shift Work,” unpublished Ph.D. the sis, University of Birmingham (England), 1958, cited in David Brown, “Shift Work: A Survey of the Sociological Implications of Studies of Male Shiftworkers,” J o u r n a l o f O c c u p a tio n a l P sych o lo g y, December 1975, pp. 231-40. W o rk , 22 See Joseph L. Kearns, S tr e ss in I n d u s tr y (London, Priory Press Ltd., 1973), p. 63. See also M en , M a n a g e m e n t, a n d M e n ta l H e a lth , p. 108, “Job Satisfaction: A Critique,” p. 79, H e a lth C o n seq u en ce s o f S h if t W ork, pp. 12-15, S h if t W o rk , p. 52, U n ion D e m o c r a c y , p. 137, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W o rk er, p. 121, S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p li c a tio n s . . . , p. 15, and Chaya S. Piotrkowski, W o rk a n d th e F a m ily S y s te m (New York, the Free Press, 1979), p. 69. 21The truck driver is quoted in Studs Terkel, W o rk in g (New York, Avon Books, 1975), p. 285. On the effects of shift worker fatigue on family life, see S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, p. 288. Wives’ fear of being alone at home is discussed in S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , p. 13, “Factors Influencing the Choice . . . , ” “Shift Work and the Shorter Workweek,” in Clyde E. Dankert, Floyd C. Mann, and Herbert R. Northrup, eds., H o u r s o f W o rk (New York, Harper and Row, 1965), p. 119 and A S u r v e y o f th e S o c io lo g ic a l I m p li ca tio n s, pp. 231-40. Shift work’s effects on sexual activity are de scribed in S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, pp. 19, 95, 111-12. 24The quotations are from M en , M a n a g e m e n t, a n d M e n ta l H e a lth , p. 107, and “A Traffic Controller’s Life and Death Job,” T h e B o sto n G lobe, April 12, 1981. See also S h if t W o rk : T h e . . . C o n seq u en ces, pp. 181 and 299, S h if t W ork, p. 55, A u to m a tio n a n d th e W o rk er, p. 124, S o m e S o c ia l a n d I n d u s tr ia l I m p lic a tio n s . . . , p. 7, U n io n D e m o c r a c y , p. 137, and Martin Reiser, “Stress, Distress, and Adaptation in Police Work,” in William H. Kroes and Joseph J. Hurrell, Jr., eds., J o b S tr e ss a n d th e P o lice O fficer: I d e n tif y in g S tr e ss R e d u c tio n T ech n iq u es, proceedings of a symposium, Cincinnati, Ohio, May 8-9, 1975, U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare (Washington, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1975), pp. 19-20. 5On laboratory studies of efficiency and errors, see “Circadian Rhythm . . . ,” pp. 558-60, W. P. Colquhoun, “Accidents, Injuries and Shift Work,” in S h if t W o rk a n d H e a lth , U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, 1976), pp. 160-97, and P h y s io lo g ic a l a n d P s y c h o lo g ic a l A sp e c ts . . . , p. 27. The biologists’ comments on the Three Mile Is land accident are cited in Dianne Hales, “Temperature Pills,” F a m ily H e a lth , September 1980, p. 9. Studies of on-the-job mistakes are re ported in H e a lth C o n seq u en ce s o f S h if t W ork, pp. 10, 75. 6 Evidence that fails to confirm a relationship between shift work and job safety may be found in “Accidents, Injuries and Shift Work,” N ig h t W ork, p. 25, and “Night Work and Shift Changes.” 35 Research Summaries a Marital and family patterns of the labor force B e v e r l y L. Jo h n s o n and E l iz a b e t h W a l d m an Married persons continue to dominate the work force, but their share has been declining steadily. From March 1970 to March 1980, the proportion fell from 69 to 61 percent, while the share who had never married or were divorced rose from 24 to 33 percent. (See table 1.) This gradual change in the marital composition of the labor force reflects several of the decade’s major demo graphic and social developments. For example, half of the more than 20-million increase in the labor force during the decade was among persons 25 to 34 years old, who now account for more than 1 of every 4 work ers. Many of these workers, born during the post-World War II “baby boom,” tended either to postpone mar riage or not to marry. Those who did marry were more than twice as likely to become divorced than were workers of a similar age 10 years ago. As a result, only 65 percent of workers 25 to 34 in March 1980, were m arried— down from 79 percent a decade earlier. (See table 2.) This information is based on data obtained each March as part of a monthly sample survey of U.S. households.1 Other selected findings include the decline in the rate of labor force participation among husbands, the record-high levels of participation among wives, es pecially those with young children, and the consequent increase in the number of multiearner families. Husbands. Continuing a long-term trend, the proportion of all husbands in the labor force declined from 87 per cent in 1970 to 81 percent in 1980.2This decrease, how ever, did not occur among husbands under age 55 — more than 90 percent of whom were working or looking for work throughout the decade. For husbands aged 55 to 64, the participation rate dropped from 86 to 75 per cent. This decline coincided with the increased availabil ity of early retirement benefits and a broadening of the Beverly L. Johnson is a social science research analyst, and Elizabeth Waldman is a senior economist in the Office of Current Employment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis eligibility regulations covering work-related disability payments.3 The participation rate for men 65 years and older also dropped— from about 30 to 22 percent. A good deal of this reduction was attributable to general improvements in retirement income, including private pensions, social security, and asset income. In addition, both age groups suffered some degree of market-related age discrimination.4 Wives. The number of married women (husband pres ent) in the labor force rose by nearly 6 million over the 1970’s — the largest increase for wives in any decade in U.S. history. By March 1980, 24.4 million wives— half of all wives 16 years and over— were working or looking for work. Through age 54, well over half of the wives were in the labor force, with the proportion mov ing past the 60-percent mark for those aged 20 to 24 and 35 to 44. Labor force participation rates for women 55 to 64 and 65 and over were essentially unchanged over the decade, averaging 36 and 7 1/2 percent, re spectively. Thus the decade’s changes in social security and private pension benefits could have had only a min imal effect on the participation rates of older wives. The main reason for the limited effect is that the older wom en were considerably more likely than older men to have had interruptions in their work lives and to have worked part time or part year— conditions that reduce pension coverage. Even when covered under social secuTable 1. Changes in civilian labor force, by sex and marital status, March 1970, 1979, and 1980 Marital status and sex Both sexes, total: Number (in thousands). Percent ...................... March 1970 March 1979 March 1980 Change from March 1970 to 1980 Number (thousands) Percent 82,058 100.0 101,579 100.0 103,339 100.0 21,281 Men, total ........... Never married ............... Married, wife present. . . . Married, wife absent . . . . Widowed ........................ Divorced ........................ 61.7 11.4 46.8 1.3 0.8 1.4 57.7 14.7 38.2 1.6 0.6 2.7 57.5 14.6 37.7 1.6 0.5 3.0 8,767 5,778 597 601 -120 1,912 41.2 27.2 2.8 2.8 -0.6 9.0 Women, total . . . . Never married ................ Married, husband present Married, husband absent . Widowed ........................ Divorced ........................ 38.3 8.5 22.6 1.8 3.1 2.3 42.3 10.8 23.5 1.8 2.3 3.9 42.5 10.6 23.7 1.8 2.3 4.2 12,514 3,925 5,922 443 -196 2,421 58.8 18.4 27.8 2.1 -0.9 11.4 N ote : 100.0 Data for March 1980 are revised and may differ from those published previously. Table 2. Labor force participation of men and women 2534 years old, by marital status, March 1970 and March 1980 Table 4. Number of earners in families during 1969 and 1979, by type of family in March 1970 and March 1980 [Numbers in thousands] [Numbers in thousands] Marital status and sex March 1970 1980 1970 Labor force Labor force Labor force participa participa Number Percent Percent tion rate tion rate Total age 25-34 . . . 17,394 100.0 70.0 27,923 100.0 80.1 Men, total ............. 11,605 66.7 95.2 16,106 57.7 95.0 Never married . . . . Married, wife p re se n t............. Married, wife absent............... Widowed................ Divorced................ 1,546 8.9 86.4 3,729 13.4 88.7 9,565 55.0 98.3 10,770 38.6 97.4 226 11 257 1.3 536 19 1,052 1.9 ( ') 1.5 66.9 ( 2) 82.1 (’ ) 3.8 94.2 <2) 94.3 5,789 33.3 45.7 11,817 42.3 66.0 Women, to ta l......... Never married . . . . Married, husband p re se n t............. Married, husband absent................ Widowed................ D ivorced............... 873 5.0 80.8 2,320 8.3 84.2 4,104 23.6 39.7 7,296 26.1 59.3 327 28 458 1.9 0.2 2.6 53.6 644 90 1,467 2.3 0.3 5.3 66.0 66.4 84.0 ( 2) 79.7 rity, the great majority of older retired wives receive their husbands higher benefits rather than their own.5 About 13.4 million or 54 percent of all wives with children under 18 were in the labor force in March 1980. Although the mothers of school age children re main much more likely to be in the work force (62 per cent) than those with children under 6 (45 percent), the proportion of mothers with preschoolers has risen a dramatic 15 percentage points since 1970. (See table 3.) Another notable change was the reversal in the longstanding relationship between the participation rates of the mothers and those of wives without chil dren under 18 in the home. Prior to the late 1960’s and early 1970’s, the wives without children under 18 had a considerably higher participation rate than the mothers. In 1960, for exam ple, their rate was 35 percent compared with only 28 Table 3. Labor force participation rates of married women, 16 years and over, by presence and age of children, March 1960, 1970, 1975, and 1980________ March Wives 1960 1970 1975 1980 30.5 40.8 44.4 50.2 ......... 34.7 42.2 43.9 46.1 With children under 18 years: Total ...................................... Youngest 6 to 17 ye a rs......... Youngest under 6 years . . . . 27.6 39.0 18.6 39.7 49.2 30.3 44.9 52.3 36.6 54.2 61.8 45.0 ...................... No children under 18 years N ote : Number Percent .......................................... 51,237 100.0 58,774 100.0 Husband-wife families, to ta l.................... No earners...................................... 1 earner .......................................... Husband only ........................ Wife o n ly ................................. Other relative o n ly .................. 2 earners or m o re ........................... Husband and wife .................. Husband and other, not wife .. Husband non-earner ............. 44,436 3,022 16,268 15,133 797 339 25,145 20,327 4,517 302 100.0 6.8 36.6 34.1 1.8 .8 56.6 45.7 10.2 .7 48,199 5,420 13,598 11,667 1,463 468 29,180 25,148 3,448 585 100.0 11.2 28.2 24.2 3.0 1.0 60.5 52.2 7.2 1.2 Other families, total ............................... 6,812 Maintained by women,1 total ......... No earners ............................. 1 earner ................................. 2 earners or more .................. 5,573 1,194 2,468 1,911 100.0 21.4 44.2 34.3 8,834 2,041 4,290 2,503 100.0 23.1 48.6 28.3 Maintained by men,1 total ............. No earners ............................. 1 earner ................................. 2 earners or more .................. 1,239 121 520 598 100.0 9.7 41.9 48.2 1,742 219 778 745 100.0 12.6 44.7 42.8 Labor force as percent of population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Total 10,576 N ote : Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Data for March 1980 are revised and may differ from those published previously. Data for 1980 are revised and may differ from those published previously. Wives, total Percent 11ncludes divorced, separated, widowed, or never-married persons. 1Less than 0.05 percent. 2 Rate not shown where base is less than 75,000. N ote : Number Labor force Number March 1980 Characteristic percent for the mothers. Although the participation rate for both groups kept rising, the pace was much faster for the mothers. By the mid-1970’s, the mothers’ rate was only 1 percentage point lower than that for the other group; by 1980, the relationship had reversed and mothers were much more likely to be the labor force participants. Multiearner families Annual increases in the number and proportions of working wives were almost entirely responsible for the rising number of multiearner families. By March 1980, 29.2 million married-couple families reported that at least two family members were earners during the previ ous year. Since 1970, this number has increased by about 4 million. (See table 4.) Multiearner families now account for 61 percent of all married couples, and most of the time, both the husband and wife are earners. About two-thirds of the wives in multiearner families worked 40 weeks or more during the year, mostly full time. Median earnings for all wives were about $6,300 in 1979, or $10,200 if they worked year round, full time. For families in which both the husband and wife were earners, median income in 1979 was $25,300, com pared with $18,900 where the husband was the only earner. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1This report is the latest from an annual series based primarily on information from supplementary questions in the March 1980 Current Population Survey. The most recent report on this subject, containing 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Research Summaries data for March 1979, was published in the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1980, pp. 48-52, and reprinted as Special Labor Force Report 237. The data in this report relate to the noninstitutional population 16 years and over, including those male members of the Armed Forces living off post or with their families on post (855,000 in March 1980). Sampling variability may be relatively large in cases where numbers are small, and small differences between estimates or percentages should be interpreted with caution. See tables 1-3, pp. A -6 and A-7, Special Labor Force Report 237. For 1970 to 1979 data, see H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , Bulletin 2070 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1980), pp. 108-12. See Philip L. Rones, Older men — the choice between work and retirement, M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1978, pp. 3-10; and William V. Deutermann, Jr., Another look at working-age men who are not in the labor force, M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , June 1977, pp. 914. 4 Ibid. Also see Philip L. Rones, The retirement decision: a question of opportunity? M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1980, pp. 14-17. ' See S o c ia l S e c u r ity a n d th e C h a n g in g R o le s o f M e n a n d W o m en , U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare), February 1979 pp. 1-7 and p. 11. Investment for productivity growth subject of new congressional study Productivity growth— the increase in goods and ser vices produced per hour of work— slowed to a crawl in the United States during the 1970’s. At the direction of the Budget Committee of the House of Representatives, the U.S. Congressional Budget Office undertook a study of the causes of, and possible remedies for, this critical economic problem. Salient conclusions from the study were published in a formal report earlier this year.1 One focus of the project was the stock of physical capital (land, plant, and equipment) per worker as a de terminant of labor productivity. The following discus sion, which was excerpted from the complete report, compares trends in capital formation and productivity over the last three decades, and examines the factors which encourage business fixed investment. Capital formation The relationship between capital investment, or capi tal formation, and gains in productivity has been the subject of considerable study. This research has pro duced substantially different estimates of the contribu tion made by capital to productivity growth.2 Using a combination of gross and net measures of the capital stock, Edward F. Denison has estimated that increases in the amount of capital per worker contributed about 0.34 percentage point to the annual growth in national income per worker in the nonresidential business sector during the 1948-78 period. In contrast, J. R. Norsworthy, Michael J. Harper, and Kent Kunze have calculated that increases in the net capital stock per manhour accounted for roughly 0.67 percentage point Digitized for38 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of the average annual growth in output per manhour in the private business sector, during the same period. Still others such as Peter K. Clark have arrived at different estimates, based on somewhat different measures of cap ital, labor, and output.3 Despite the conceptual and methodological differ ences among these studies of the contribution made by capital to productivity growth, it is clear that they all attribute a significant role to capital accumulation. It is also apparent that the estimated contribution of capital has declined substantially in recent years, although there is some disagreement about when the decline be gan. Variations over time in the contribution of capital to labor productivity growth primarily reflect changes in the growth rate of the capital-labor ratio. Differences in the way capital and labor are measured lead to different estimates of when the growth in this ratio began to de cline. Most estimates agree that, while capital and labor in the nonfarm, nonresidential business sector both grew more slowly during the 1973-78 period, the slow down in the rate of capital formation was more pro nounced, and hence growth of the capital-labor ratio was retarded. Whether or not slower growth in the cap ital-labor ratio began earlier (in the 1965-1973 period) depends on how labor is measured. During that earlier period, the growth of both capital and labor accelerat ed, but the number of hours worked grew substantially slower than the number of full-time and part-time em ployees. As a result, the growth of the capital-hours ra tio accelerated, while the growth of the capitalemployment ratio slowed. Those who measure labor in terms of hours worked (such as Norsworthy, Harper, and Kunze) thus conclude that the contribution of capi tal to labor productivity did not begin to decline until the 1973-78 period.4 In contrast, those such as Denison, who measure labor in terms of the number of employ ees, report that the contribution of capital began to de cline earlier. From a policymaking viewpoint, however, the issue of when capital formation began to contribute less to productivity is not as important as the observa tion that its contribution has diminished. Determinants of investment Increases in the capital stock are made through in vestment. The average of annual growth rates of all major components of real gross fixed investment de clined between 1966-73 and 1974-79. The largest de cline was in residential investment, a category especially sensitive to business cycles. Of particular importance to the productivity issue, however, is nonresidential invest ment. Its average rate fell from 4.2 percent in 1966— 1973 to 2.4 percent in 1974-79. Within the nonresi dential category, the average of annual growth rates for equipment investment fell by 2.6 percentage points, while that of structures declined by 0.5 percentage point. The fraction of gross national product ( g n p ) devoted to investment declined to 13.8 percent during the 197479 period, but the ratio of equipment investment to GNP rose to 6.8 percent— the highest ratio observed for the periods discussed here. Equipment investment accounted for 49 percent of gross investment during this period, compared to a 23 percent share for nonresidential structures and a 28 percent share for resi dential investment. Between 1949-65 and 1974-79, the ratio of equipment investment to total fixed investment increased by 11 percentage points, while the comparable ratios for nonresidential structures and residential in vestment declined by 4.2 percentage points and 6.8 per centage points, respectively. What are the major influences determining business fixed investment? The determinants of investment have been the subject of many studies. They are thought to include both nonfinancial factors, such as changes in the demand for goods and services and the rate of capacity utilization, and financial considerations, such as the rate of return on capital investments and the cost and avail ability of funds. Although there is general agreement about the impor tance of the nonfinancial factors, there is considerable debate among economists about the magnitude of the financial influences. The issue is an empirical one that has not yet been resolved. The weight of the evidence, however, indicates that financial considerations do have a significant effect on business investment. Therefore, policy measures that reduce the cost of capital would likely be effective in stimulating productivity growth. General agreement about the importance of non financial factors for business investment decisions sug gests that, during periods of economic slack, policies to promote capital accumulation might best be concentrat ed on returning the economy to high levels of produc tion. In general, investment subsidies are not considered to be the most effective stabilization tools. Increased Federal purchases and personal tax cuts generally have larger and quicker impacts on output and employment. As the economy approaches high levels of unemploy ment, however, such policies tend to contribute more to inflation and less to real growth in demand. As a result, the positive impact on investment dissipates, and may even become negative. Policies to raise the capital intensity of production at high-employment levels of output (or at constant levels of resource utilization) must include measures that re duce the cost of capital. In the absence of sufficient for eign sources of financing, however, the success of such policies requires either a decrease in the proportion of private saving devoted to residential investment or an increase in the national rate of savings.5 Without such https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis changes in the rate or composition of saving, interest rates are likely to rise and offset the effect of investment incentives on the overall level of business investment.6 The composition of investment, however, is likely to change in favor of the specific types of investment being subsidized. Tax incentives A variety of investment tax incentives can be used to stimulate capital formation. These include: reducing corporate tax rates, raising the existing investment tax credit, and increasing depreciation deductions either by indexing them to the rate of inflation or by shortening depreciation periods. While all these tax changes tend to stimulate investment by reducing the cost of capital, their impact on different forms of investment can vary. This is an important consideration, because policies to stimulate capital formation will not achieve the maxi mum effect on productivity if they divert some capital resources away from their most productive uses, by arti ficially raising the profitability of some investments rela tive to other, more productive ones. In some cases, there may be good reasons for favoring some forms of investment over others, but the biases of particular in vestment subsidies should be intentional rather than in advertent. The corporate income tax has a nonneutral influence on investment decisions. It is biased against corpora tions relative to unincorporated businesses, and favors debt financing over equity financing. The main reasons for these results are that corporate income is subject to “double taxation” (once at the corporate level and again at the stockholder level when paid out in divi dends), and that interest costs are deductible whereas dividend payments are not. A flat-rate investment tax credit of the type now available for most equipment purchases lowers the effec tive tax rate proportionately more for short-lived than for long-lived investment.7 Thus, it encourages invest ment in industries such as construction and m otor vehi cle manufacturing, which are heavy users of short-lived equipment, relative to industries such as primary met als, communications, and utilities. Also, the current in vestment tax credit favors investment in equipment rather than in structures, since the latter does not quali fyThe distorting effects of the investment tax credit are offset somewhat by the lack of an inflation adjustment for depreciation deductions. The use of historical cost depreciation discourages investment in general, but has a relatively greater impact on short-lived investments. A simplified explanation for this is that the average annual effect of inflation on depreciation costs (a factor affect ing the rate of return) is greater for assets with relative ly short useful lives.8 □ 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Research Summaries --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1See T h e P r o d u c tiv ity P r o b le m : A lte r n a tiv e s f o r A c tio n (U.S. Con gressional Budget Office, 1981). 2The contribution of capital formation to productivity growth gen erally is calculated as the percentage change in the capital-labor ratio weighted by the share of output or income attributable to capital. Quantitative estimates of the contribution can differ because of alter native approaches to the measurement of capital, labor, and output. ' Edward F. Denison, A c c o u n tin g f o r S lo w e r E c o n o m ic G ro w th (Brookings Institution, 1979); J. R. Norsworthy, Michael J. Harper, and Kent Kunze, “The Slowdown in Productivity Growth: Analysis of Some Contributing Factors,” in B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity (1979:2), pp. 387-421; and Peter K. Clark, “Capital Formation and the Recent Productivity Slowdown,” T h e J o u r n a l o f F in an ce, vol. 33, no. 3 (June 1978), pp. 965-75. 4Although hours worked is the measure employed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to calculate labor productivity, its use can result in movements of the capital-labor ratio that may not be related to labor productivity. As noted by Clark, a decline in the average workweek during the 1965-73 period caused hours to grow sufficiently less than employment so that the growth of capital per hour worked actually increased, even though the growth in the capital-employment ratio declined. Yet, a decrease in average weekly hours represents a less intensive use of available capital rather than a move to a more capi tal-intensive production process. See Peter K. Clark, “Issues in the Analysis of Capital Formation and Productivity Growth,” in B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity (1979:2), pp. 423-31. 5 National saving includes personal saving, business saving (retained earnings and capital consumption allowances), and government surpluses. The rate of saving in this discussion is the ratio of national saving to high-employment GNP. 6 Policies that stimulate foreign investment in the United States can, however, raise the investment-output ratio without a corresponding rise in the national saving rate at full employment, provided such in vestment is financed abroad. 7An intuitive explanation is that the average yearly value of a cred it equal to x dollars is greater for short-lived investments than for long-lived investments. The nonneutral character of the current invest ment tax credit and other investment subsidies is discussed more fully in Jane G. Gravelle, D e p re c ia tio n P o lic y O ption s, Congressional Re search Service, Report No. 80-182E (October 10, 1980). See also Jane G. Gravelle, T h e C a p ita l C o st R e c o v e r y S y s te m a n d th e C o rp o r a te I n c o m e T a x , Congressional Research Service, Report No. 79-230E (N o vember 26, 1979). 8Consider two different $100 investments with useful lives of 1 year and 2 years, respectively. Assuming straight-line depreciation and an annual inflation rate of 10 percent, the average annual impact of infla tion on depreciation costs would be $10 for the 1-year asset and $7.75 for the 2-year asset. Cost of living indexes for Americans living abroad The U.S. Department of State has prepared new indexes of living costs abroad for 21 major foreign cities. The changes in the indexes range from declines of 20 percent for Brussels and 8 to 13 percent for six other European cities— Vienna, Paris, Rome, Frankfurt, Madrid, and The Hague— to increases of 5 to 8 percent for Mexico City, Buenos Aires, and Tel Aviv, and 17 percent for Manila. The changes in the indexes for the other 10 cit ies were no more than 3 percent, however. The periods between price survey dates were 4 months for Johannes https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis burg, 1-1/2 to 2 years for New Delhi, Manila, and Sin gapore, and 8 to 14 months for the other cities. The indexes of living costs abroad are used to com pute post allowances for Americans assigned to foreign posts where living costs, based on an American pattern of living, are higher than in Washington, D.C. The in dexes compare the cost in dollars of representative goods and services, excluding housing and education, purchased at foreign posts and in Washington, D.C. Changes in the indexes reflect both relative changes in the prices of goods and services between survey dates and changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Table 1 presents indexes of living costs abroad for 30 cities. The declines in the local indexes for the seven Euro pean cities reflect the improvement in the U.S. dollar exchange rate versus the European currencies, because (except for Frankfurt) local prices paid by Americans actually rose more than prices in Washington, D.C. Prices increased 15 percent more in Madrid, 9 to 12 percent more in Paris, Rome, and The Hague, 6 percent more in Brussels, and 3 percent more in Vienna. In Frankfurt, prices paid by Americans rose at the same rate as in Washington, D.C. However, the dollar gained about 15 percent versus the Austrian and German Table 1. Indexes of living costs abroad, excluding housing and education, July 1981 [Washington, D.C. = 100] Country and city Survey date Monetary unit Rate of exchange per U.S. dollar Local Index 2232 0.8626 15.0 0.3774 37.0 164 123 141 138 126 Argentina: Buenos A ire s ........... Australia: Canberra .................. Austria: Vienna........................... Bahrain: Manama...................... Belgium: Brussels...................... Feb. 1981 Jan. 1981 Feb. 1981 Nov. 1980 Apr. 1981 Peso Dollar Shilling Dinar Franc Brazil: Sao P a u lo ...................... Canada: O ttaw a........................ China: Beijing............................. France: P a ris ............................. Germany: Frankfurt .................. Oct. 1980 Nov. 1980 July 1980 Mar. 1981 Feb. 1981 Cruzeiro Dollar Yuan Franc Mark 58.3 1.18 1.46 4.80 2.00 96 103 96 153 138 Hong Kong: Hong Kong ........... India: New D e lhi........................ Israel: Tel A v iv ........................... Italy: Rome ............................... Japan: T okyo............................. Apr. 1981 Mar. 1981 Nov. 1980 Jan. 1981 Jan. 1981 Dollar Rupee Shekel Lira Yen 5.40 8.25 6.60 1032 205 115 93 133 113 155 Korea: Seoul ............................. Mexico: Mexico, D.F.................... Netherlands: The Hague........... Nigeria: Lagos .......................... Philippines: Manila .................... June 1980 Feb. 1981 Feb. 1981 Mar. 1981 Dee. 1980 Won Peso Guilder Naira Peso 587 23.5 2.50 0.5774 7.66 135 104 132 169 104 Saudi Arabia: Al Khobar (Dhahran) ............................. Singapore: Singapore............... South Africa: Johannesburg .. . Spain: Madrid ........................... Sweden: Stockholm .................. May 1980 Nov. 1980 Oct. 1980 Feb. 1981 June 1980 Riyal Dollar Rand Peseta Krona 3.33 2.10 0.7407 86.3 4.18 139 116 114 109 168 Switzerland: Geneva.................. United Arab Emirates: Abu Dhabi United Kingdom: London........... U.S.S.R.: Moscow .................... Venezuela: C aracas.................. May 1980 Aug. 1980 Apr. 1980 Nov. 1980 Oct. 1980 Franc Dirham Pound Ruble Bolivar 1.58 3.66 0.4169 0.6622 4.28 176 135 154 134 137 S ource : U.S. Department of State, Allowances Staff. marks, 20 percent against the French franc, 25 percent versus the Italian lira and the Dutch guilder, and 30 percent against the Belgian franc and the Spanish pese ta. Therefore, living costs in U.S. dollars declined from 8 to 13 percent, in descending order, in Vienna, Paris, Rome, Frankfurt, Madrid, and The Hague, and costs in dollars fell 20 percent for Americans in Brussels. On the other hand, living costs in dollars rose 5 to 8 percent in Mexico City, Buenos Aires, and Tel Aviv, and 17 percent (over 2 years) in Manila. In all cases, the appreciation of the dollar offset, in part, the effect of higher local price increases. For Americans in Mexico City, the exchange rate offset about one-third of a 9-percent higher trend in local prices. In Buenos Aires, local prices rose about 30 percent more than those in Washington, D.C., and in Manila, about 20 percent. However, the exchange rate cost of the Argentine peso was down almost 20 percent, while the Philippine peso declined only 4 percent. For Americans in Tel Aviv, a 50-percent depreciation of the shekel versus the dollar offset almost all of the local price increases, which were 115 percent higher than those in Washington, D.C. For the other 10 cities, the changes in living costs in dollars were small. Except for Tokyo and Hong Kong, this reflects moderate changes in both relative prices and exchange rates. For Tokyo, the local index was al most unchanged, but local prices paid by Americans rose considerably less than those in Washington, D.C., https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis while the foreign exchange cost of the Japanese yen in creased 10 percent. (The exchange rate has since de clined.) In Hong Kong, conversely, the higher local price increases were almost exactly offset by 8-percent lower exchange rate costs. For the other eight cities, both relative prices in local currency and the exchange rates were little changed. The new local indexes were down 1 to 3 percent for Tokyo, Moscow, Hong Kong, Lagos, Canberra, and Manama; unchanged for New Delhi; and up 1 to 3 percent for Singapore, Johannes burg, and Ottawa. It >is advisable to check the prevailing exchange rates whenever using the indexes of living costs abroad be cause the rates are subject to sudden shifts, and differ ent rates would substantially affect living costs in dollars. The indexes for 164 foreign cities are published in quarterly reports entitled U.S. Department o f State In dexes o f Living Costs Abroad and Quarters Allowances. Data for all cities are published in April, and subse quent revisions are published in July, October, and Jan uary. The methods of compiling and using the indexes are explained in U.S. Department o f State Indexes o f Living Costs Abroad and Quarters Allowances: A Techni cal Description, Report 568 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1980). The reports are available from the Office of Pub lications, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. □ 41 Key officer of new police union loses to coalition in close vote Mary A nn M ullen At the third annual convention of the fledgling Interna tional Union of Police Associations (lUPA, AFL-cio), delegates wrestled with problems of leadership and structure, as they voted for new officers, set legislative goals, and authorized an examination of their bylaws. Seventy-nine delegates representing 40 of the i u p a ’s 200 local affiliates attended the July 17-22 convention in Chicago. The IUPA was united in its goals— the growth of the union, the attainment of improved working conditions through collective bargaining, and the passage of policeoriented legislation through a strong political action committee— however, there was some disagreement within the union over the means for achieving these ob jectives. Officer elections. This difference of opinion was evident in the contested election for first vice president, one of the three principal leadership positions of the union. David Baker of the Memphis Police Association defeated incumbent Jack Hawkonson of the Illinois State Council of Police, by a 8,108-to-7,907 vote. The election of Baker, which was the result of a coali tion of delegates from the Southern States and Califor nia, leaves the leadership divided, with President Edward Kiernan representing the status quo and Baker representing a more aggressive style of management. It is not clear how much influence Baker will have on the IUPA. Heretofore, the first vice president has been in a powerful position, because many of his duties are deter mined by the international president.1 Executive vice presidents also were elected for each of the i u p a ’s 20 regions. These officers serve with the pres ident, secretary-treasurer, and first vice president on the Mary Ann Mullen is an economist in the Labor Management Services Administration, U.S. Department of Labor. Digitized for42 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Executive Board, which conducts the union’s business between conventions and supervises the investment and disbursement of union funds. Other elections involved area vice presidents, who are respon sible for advising locals of policies and procedures and for organizing new locals. Elections for the president, secretary-treasurer, and first vice president are stag gered, with each officeholder serving a 3-year term. President Kiernan will face reelection in 1983, and sec retary-treasurer Robert Gordon, at the 1982 conven tion. Legislative goals. Foremost among the union’s legislative goals has been preventing the mandatory coverage of public employees under the social security program. The IUPA believes that the inclusion of public employees would do little to salvage the financially distressed pro gram. The union maintains that civil servants presently covered by sound retirement plans would suffer because no concept yet presented for integration into the social security program assures public employees that current benefits will not be lowered. Kiernan, in his report to the convention, stated that he had received President Reagan’s commitment to op pose mandated social security for State and local em ployees. This position was confirmed by Robert F. Bonitati, President Reagan’s special assistant, in his comments to the convention delegates. The creation of a “Police Officers’ Bill of Rights” re mains a high priority legislative goal for the IUPA. The union seeks a uniform law which would establish due process guarantees for State and local law enforcement personnel. The bill would ensure police officers that they would not be prohibited from engaging in political activity when off duty; it would institute requirements that police officers be notified when there is any investi gation of alleged impropriety on their part; and it would require adequate representation of law enforce ment personnel whenever a police review board is established to examine citizens’ complaints. The IUPA has also lobbied in Congress for legislation which would extend the benefits of the Public Safety Officer Benefit Act to include Federal-level law enforce ment personnel and firefighters. Currently, the act pro- vides a $50,000 lump-sum benefit to the survivors of State and local police officers and firefighters killed in the line of duty. Constitutional amendments. Much of the floor discus sion at the convention centered on the need for changes in the union’s constitution and bylaws. Prior to the con vention, some 20 amendments were submitted to the By-Law Committee, covering such varied areas as an officers’ retirement and widows’ pension plan, age re strictions on candidates for the offices of president and secretary-treasurer, the establishment of a Department of Organizing, and modifications in the authority and duties of union officers. As the delegates considered these amendments, it be came clear that a more complete overhaul of the bylaws would be necessary. The current bylaws, adopted at the founding convention in 1979, were appropriated with little modification from the constitutions of other A F L CIO unions. The union now needs a constitution tailored more precisely to its own structure and administration. Therefore, the majority of the amendments which had been submitted to the By-Law Committee were with drawn. The delegates directed the committee to review the bylaws (including the withdrawn proposals) and is sue a report at the next convention. On the recommen dation of the committee, the proposed amendments which were not withdrawn were defeated. The delegates, however, approved an amendment pro hibiting the i u p a from recruiting private sector security guards. Because this proposal was made by the dele gates on the convention floor, approval by two-thirds of those present was required for its adoption. The admit tance of private security guards has been a controversial issue since the union’s inception, with one faction seek ing to organize such workers and the other advocating a “pure” union limited to public sector law enforcement personnel. The easy passage of this amendment fol https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lowed a recent National Labor Relations Board deci sion which found inappropriate a bargaining unit which included both guard and other employees. (See Burns Electronic Security Services, Inc. 256 NLRB No. 139, June 23, 1981.) Other issues. Organizing continues to be one of the pri mary concerns of the i u p a . Kiernan noted that since its birth in San Francisco 3 years ago, the union has con tinued to grow, with nearly 200 affiliated locals, repre senting 30,000 members. In fact, each month since the founding convention the IUPA has chartered at least one new local. While these affiliates are primarily small lo cals, organizations of police officers in a number of larg er cities such as San Francisco, Houston, Chicago, and Toledo have also joined the IPUA. The union now repre sents members in more than 30 States, the Virgin Is lands, and Canada. The delegates endorsed a resolution to provide support for the activities of the Law Enforcement Politi cal Action Committee of the IUPA. Established in 1979 with responsibility for the political education of the member associations, this body had received little fi nancial support from i u p a locals to date. Delegates were encouraged to promote a dues-checkoff program at the local level, with each local president functioning as a liaison to his area vice president on this program. During the next year, the committee will conduct re gional seminars to educate union members in the politi cal process and to increase the awareness of politicians and police officers concerning its political action pro gram. □ --------- F O O T N O T E ---------1The International Union of Police Associations’ Constitution and By-laws, adopted July 17, 1979, states in Article VI, Section 3: “The First Vice President shall perform such duties as may be assigned to him by the International President.” 43 Foreign Labor Developments ILO conference focuses on bargaining, worker safety, rather than politics T a d d L in s e n m a y e r It came as a surprise to many observers, and a relief to most participants. After years of concentrating on polit ical issues, the 1981 Conference of the International La bor Organization focused on technical issues, such as industrial relations and working conditions. If this ten dency continues, the ILO could emerge as one of the stronger and more broadly supported specialized agen cies of the United Nations. Representatives from 145 countries attended the 67th Session of the ILO confer ence, which met in Geneva, Switzerland, during June 324. Alioune Diagne of Senegal was elected conference president. For all its focus on technical issues, the 1981 confer ence was not without drama. Lech Walesa, head of Poland’s Solidarity trade union— and the first truly in dependent worker delegate ever from a Communist country— received an enthusiastic welcome when he thanked the ILO for its help during the difficult period of Solidarity’s development. Similarly, there was an air of tension when the conference formally censured the Soviet Union for prohibiting free trade unions, after years of avoiding this explosive issue. The United States did not escape criticism. The U.S. Government cast two of seven abstentions on an other wise unanimous vote approving a new ILO declaration condemning South Africa’s apartheid policy. Both the U.S. worker and employer delegates voted in favor of the declaration. Although the U.S. Government argued that the declaration’s call for direct assistance to libera tion movements prevented full support for the declara tion, a number of delegates openly criticized U.S. policies toward South Africa. A Convention is an international treaty that carries a legal obligation for states which ratify or sign it. A Rec ommendation is a document which suggests measures that can be taken to implement labor policies. This year, the adopted standards increasingly used “flexibility devices,” which define different methods of implementation so that countries with widely differing situations can ratify the standards. The employers’ groups and a number of governments, including the United States, were largely responsible for promoting the use of these devices. Technical issues Collective bargaining. Previous ILO standards have established the principles of collective bargaining. The purpose of the Convention and Recommendation adopted by the 1981 conference is to promote collective bargaining in all branches of economic activity. The Convention outlines specific subjects which might be covered in collective bargaining— working conditions, terms of employment, and relations between employers and workers. In addition, it states that freedom of col lective bargaining should not be hampered, and that na tional authorities should consult with all concerned parties before taking any action on the specific issues. The delegates debated a number of controversial pro visions surrounding the collective bargaining Conven tion. Several governments argued for modifications that would allow flexibility in determining the scope of the Convention. Under this proposal, certain sectors, such as agriculture or public service employees, could be ex cluded at the option of the ratifying states. However, all such amendments were defeated, leaving the universal coverage language intact. Delegates were more successful with changes aimed at preventing intervention by national authorities in the collective bargaining process. The employers, with the support of the U.S. Government, wanted to define “pro mote” as “to encourage and facilitate.” After much dis cussion, the employers withdrew this amendment with the understanding that the standards implied “no obli gation for the state to intervene or compel negotia- The 1981 conference considered five technical items. Three resulted in the adoption of new Conventions and Recommendations; the remaining two will be discussed at the 1982 conference. Tadd Linsenmayer is Assistant Director for International Organiza tions, Bureau of International Labor Affairs, U.S. Department of Labor. Digitized for44 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tions.” In the Recommendation on this issue, one provi sion was altered so that governments “may provide,” rather than “should provide,” services such as training in collective bargaining. The U.S. Government and employer delegates did not support the Convention, but did support the Rec ommendation. The U.S. worker delegate supported both instruments. Workers with fam ily responsibilities. Child care, flexible working schedules, part-time jobs, vocational guidance, and placement services for parents entering or re-enter ing the workforce were addressed in a new Convention and Recommendation. The two standards are meant to ensure equal treatment and opportunity for all workers with dependents. One part of the Recommendation on these issues presented problems to certain governments. The provi sion in question specified that workers on extended pa rental leave be financially compensated and protected by social security. This was resolved by an amendment which allows member states to provide, when necessary, social security benefits, tax relief, or other measures consistent with national policy. The U.S. Government and worker delegates support ed both the Convention and Recommendation, while the employer delegate abstained on both. Safety, health, and working environment. Standards on occupational safety and health and the working envi ronment were adopted with virtually unanimous votes. The Convention provides for the development of na tional policies on the working environment and empha sizes the importance of a comprehensive accident prevention system and the need for cooperation between management and workers. The Recommendation speci fies areas for preventive action— ventilation, noise and vibration, barometric pressure, clothing, sanitation, and mental stress due to conditions of work. In addition, it details the obligations of employers and workers in maintaining a safe and healthy workplace. The adopted standards advocate workers’ safety com mittees to consult with management on work content or organization of work, training programs on safety and health, and protection from dismissal or other discrimi natory measures for workers involved in safety and health issues. On the national level, the standards en courage governments to identify hazards, issue regula tions or codes of practice on safety and health, and advise workers and employers on how to reduce safety and health hazards. The conference adopted both stan dards with virtually unanimous votes. Proposed standards. The conference discussed possible new standards regarding terminations of employment https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis by employers. These proposed standards will be consid ered by the 1982 conference. This year, employers and workers were opposed on almost all points raised. The governments were divided because of differences in their legal systems and approaches to the question of termi nation of employment. Neither the U.S. Government nor employer delegates supported the proposed conclu sions because of the emphasis on government interven tion in private disputes and the adversarial nature of the proposed provisons. However, the U.S. worker delegate supported the proposed standards. The conference started work on possible standards concerning social security rights of workers and family members who are employed outside their home countries. The conference agreed that even if a Conven tion is adopted by the 1982 conference, a third discus sion would be necessary in 1983 to develop a Recom mendation concerning model provisions for use in bilateral or multilateral social security treaties. The U.S. delegation supported the conclusions of this committee. Supervising ILO standards One of the more volatile issues was the use of the “special list” and “special paragraph” systems to high light violations of ILO standards. The conclusions of the Conference demonstrate a renewed determination to cite countries for violations, regardless of political or eco nomic pressures. The most dramatic case involved the Soviet Union which, for the first time, was cited in a special para graph for violating ILO standards on freedom of associa tion. On two previous occasions, in 1974 and 1977, the Soviet Union had been cited by a conference committee for violating ILO standards, but the full conference did not adopt the committee’s report. This year, the conference also cited in “special para graphs” six other countries with continuing problems in upholding ILO standards. According to the ILO report, Argentina, Bolivia, and the Central African Republic have not yet ensured full freedom of association. The conference requested the Argentine government to guar antee full respect for freedom of association and collec tive bargaining standards and asked for further in formation on all cases of imprisoned trade union leaders. Bolivia claims to be in the process of preparing new legislation that will conform with freedom of associa tion standards. The conference urged Bolivia to expedite the legislation, as little progress had been made in re cent years. On two occasions in the past year, the ILO assisted the Central African Republic in developing leg islative texts that would address and correct its obser vance of freedom of association standards; to date, these texts have not been adopted. The conference expressed “hope that there would be real progress by next year.” 45 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Foreign Labor Developments On forced labor standards, the conference found that Tanzania and the Central African Republic have serious compliance problems. Tanzania’s current law allows for compulsory cultivation as well as involuntary labor for public and development purposes in agriculture and in dustry. In the Central African Republic, compulsory la bor may be imposed on persons convicted for political reasons, as well as persons who cannot show proof of a “normal” occupation or student status. Chile was set apart in a “special paragraph” for its problems in observing standards concerning discrimina tion in employment. The conference was particularly concerned about Chile’s policy of “debureaucratiza tion,” which may have been used to dismiss persons for their political opinions. Guatemala was not only cited in a special paragraph for problems in meeting standards on labor clauses and plantations, but also was censured for “continued fail ure to implement” ILO freedom of association standards. Guatemalan authorities explained they were aware of the discrepancies and were drafting a new labor code to correct the situation. However, the conference said that this explanation had been given for too many years, and that despite numerous requests, the Guatemalan gov ernment was not cooperating with ILO supervisory bod ies and had not made any progress in guaranteeing the right to freedom of association in law and practice. The conference addressed the problems of child la bor, particularly in developing countries where extreme economic need makes the. problem serious and a solu tion difficult. The conference will conduct more indepth discussions on this subject in 1983 for the purpose of examining existing ILO standards and deciding whether they need updating. Resolutions In past years, the ILO conference often has been used as a forum for discussing political resolutions that, ac cording to many delegations, were outside the compe tence of the organization. Generally, this problem was avoided this year. The only politically controversial res olution dealt with disarmament. A resolution given top priority was aimed at over coming the shortage of competent managers, par ticularly those in developing countries. The resolution encourages the ILO and member states to provide train ing for managers and entrepreneurs in such matters as labor relations, collective bargaining, and relations with free and independent trade unions. The conference also adopted a resolution on the ILO’s role in the new International Development Strategy. It emphasizes the need for tripartite consultation in devel opment policies, as well as on the importance of ratifi cation and observance of key ILO standards. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A third resolution on the social and economic consequences of disarmament threatened to take the ILO into political discussions similar to those already under way in other U.N . agencies. After protracted negotia tions, however, the conference adopted a proposal requesting the ILO to perform certain functions which are rightfully within its competence and to cooperate with other U.N . agencies in their work on disarmament. Another resolution requests the ILO to research the future needs of vocational training systems and to es tablish regional training institutes. In addition, the reso lution asks member states to develop, in consultation with workers’ and employers’ organizations, compre hensive national training policies and programs. The resolutions adopted this year keep the ILO fo cused on issues which are most important to member states. However, this has not always been the case and the ILO is continuing its efforts to ensure that extrane ous political resolutions are not introduced in or consid ered by future sessions. For 8 years, a Working Party on Structure has been considering proposals, one of which would make it more difficult to introduce politi cally inspired resolutions which are extraneous to the ILO’s work. A tentative agreement, reached in February 1981, suggests that a 13-member conference review committee decide whether a political resolution should be circulated at a conference. The 1981 conference did not discuss this suggestion, but did consider questions concerning the composition of the governing body. The conference concluded that the Working Party on Struc ture should meet again to finalize its proposals for con sideration in 1982. A step in right direction While the 1981 ILO conference concentrated on technical issues, there nevertheless was an undercurrent of political issues throughout the session. The Middle East situation, which had preoccupied past ILO confer ences, was kept under control and limited to speeches at nearly empty plenary sessions. The declaration on apartheid, which could have posed major problems for the United States, was resolved in such manner that the U.S. Government was able to abstain from voting. The conference’s censure of the Soviet Union for violating trade union rights standards was not seriously chal lenged by the Soviet Government. This does not guarantee, however, that future sessions will be spared the political storms of the past. To be sure, there is a general desire among most member countries to depoliticize the ILO. Many delegates believe that sub stantial progress has been made. Few ILO observers would conclude that the 1981 conference was anything more than another step in the right direction, albeit an important and in many ways impressive step. □ M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in November is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Employer and location Industry Allied Chemical Corp., Automotive Products Division (Knoxville, Tenn.) . A p p a r e l........................................ Number of workers U n io n 1 Clothing and Textile W orkers ............. Continental Airlines (Interstate)2 ......................................................................... General Dynamics Corp., Fort W orth Division (Forth W orth, Tex.) 1,000 ? 000 .... Transportation equipment . . . . Machinists ................................................ 4,750 General Telephone Company of Ohio ................................................................. C o m m u n ic atio n s........................ Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... 1,200 Kaiser Foundation Hospitals and 2 others (C alifo rn ia)................................... H o s p ita ls ...................................... Service Employees ................................... 7,800 M artin M arietta Aerospace Co. (Florida and M aryland) .............................. 7,750 Midtec Paper Corp., (Kimberly, W is .) ................................................................. 1 000 New York City Private Sanitation Contract (New York, N .Y .)3 ................ Utilities ........................................ Teamsters (Ind.) ...................................... 1,650 Norfolk Shipbuilding and Drydock Corp. (Norfolk, Va.) .............................. Transportation equipment . . . . B oilerm akers.............................................. 3,050 N orthw est Airlines, G round Service (Interstate)2 .............................................. A ir tra n s p o rta tio n ..................... Machinists ................................................ 3,500 Phonograph Record Labor Agreement (Interstate)3 ........................................ A m u sem en ts................................ M u sic ia n s ................................................... 15,000 Reliance Electric Co., Dodge M anufacturing Division (Mishawaka, Ind.) . Machinery ................................... Steelworkers .............................................. 1,000 Volkswagen of America, Inc. (W estmoreland County, P a . ) ........................... Transportation equipment . . . . A uto W orkers (I n d .) ................................ 3,500 Western Airlines, Flight A ttendants (Interstate)2 .............................................. Air tra n s p o rta tio n ...................... Airline Pilots Association ( I n d .) ........... 2,300 1Affiliated with A F L -C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.). 2Information is from newspaper reports. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Industry area (group of companies signing same contract). Developments in Industrial Relations Striking air controllers fired by President Reagan The Nation’s air transportation system was disrupted when members of the Professional Air Traffic Control lers Organization ( p a t c o ) walked off their jobs and then were dismissed by President Reagan for violating laws prohibiting walkouts by Federal employees. The situation was further confused by Government legal ac tions against strike leaders and the union’s strike fund and a move to decertify PATCO as a bargaining agent. Controllers in other nations conducted sympathy job actions, contending that the U.S. air control system was not safe because of the reduction in the number of available controllers. Meanwhile, the Government was beginning to hire and train new controllers to replace the 12,000 strikers, a process that was expected to take about 2 years. The walkout led to pay cuts and layoffs at the airlines, already hard hit by high fuel costs and competition from new carriers. There had been some hope that a walkout would be averted when PATCO and the Federal Aviation Adminis tration agreed on a 42 month, $40-million wage and benefit package. However, the controllers rejected the package by a 13,495 to 616 vote, reportedly because they wanted a 32-hour workweek, a larger earnings in crease, and improvements in pensions. The rejected accord would have raised average earn ings by about 6.6 percent, or $2,300 a year. This would have been in addition to the 4.8-percent annual increase that PATCO members and other Federal white-collar em ployees were scheduled to receive in October under pro visions of the Federal Pay Comparability Act of 1970. Part of the 6.6-percent earnings increase would have re sulted from a new provision giving the controllers time and one-half pay for the 37th, 38th, 39th, and 40th hours worked in a week. The balance would have come from increasing the premium pay to 15 percent, from 10 percent, for hours worked from 6 p.m. to 6 a.m., and “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben and other members of the staff of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis from ending the $1,927.40 statutory limit on bi-weekly earnings. Finally, the accord called for the establish ment of 14 weeks of severence pay for certain employ ees terminated for medical reasons. When the walkout started, President Reagan said the union’s current demands totaled $681 million, which would impose an unacceptable tax burden on citizens. Citing the “no-strike” oath that Federal employees take, the President warned that strikers who did not re port to work within 48 hours “have forfeited their jobs and will be terminated.” Despite this threat, only 800 controllers returned to work by the deadline and the f a a then began distribut ing dismissal notices. The Government sought back-towork orders in various Federal district courts. Several fines were imposed on the union, including one by a judge in Brooklyn, N.Y., for violating a 1970 court or der enforcing a consent decree with the airlines in which PATCO agreed not to strike again after a 1970 work stoppage. Meanwhile, the Federal Labor Relations Authority was considering stripping PATCO of its right to repre sent the controllers. The authority was established by the Civil Service Reform Act of 1978 to act as an im partial tribunal to resolve labor disputes involving Fed eral workers. Decisions of the authority can be appealed to Federal appellate courts. In response to charges by PATCO and other organiza tions regarding the safety of flight operations, the Fed eral Aviation Administration started a study of condi tions that was expected to take about 4 months. Another study was begun by the National Transporta tion Safety Board, an independent agency. Flight opera tions stabilized at about 75 percent of the prestrike level of landings and takeoffs. There was no public statement by the International Federation of Air Traffic Controllers Associations on what actions it might take in support of p a t c o . After a 2-day meeting in the Netherlands, the federation strong ly backed a resumption of negotiations between the Ad ministration and PATCO, but said announcements of “details of any contemplated or agreed action at this time” would not be conducive to a settlement. Free agent issue settled, baseball strike ends The first mid-season strike in the history of big league baseball ended after 50 days, when the Major League Baseball Players Association and the team owners’ Player Representation Committee settled a dispute over how teams are compensated for “free agents” who move to another team. (The free agent option is avail able to all players with at least 6 years of major league service. It was adopted in 1976 after an arbitrator struck down the “reserve clause” that bound a player to one team for his entire career.) The settlement provides that if a team loses a free agent who performs in the top 20 percent at his playing position (based on statistics), the team can select a play er from a pool consisting of players from other clubs. If the departing player is in the top 20 to 30 percent cate gory, the team losing the player receives a draft choice from the signing team for the annual draft of amateur players; if the player is below the top 30 percent, the team will not be compensated. Teams signing free agents can exclude 24 of their players from the pool and teams that do not sign free agents can exclude 26 players. A team losing a player from the pool will re ceive $150,000 from a central fund established by the 26 major league teams. The team owners agreed to give the 650 players ser vice credit for the strike period in calculating pensions and other benefits. In return, the players agreed to ex tend the existing basic contract for 1 year, to December 31, 1984. Fred Kroll, head of Railway Clerks, dies Fred J. Kroll, age 45, president of the Railway and Airline Clerks, died on July 30. Kroll was regarded as one of the Nation’s outstanding labor leaders, and was the youngest person ever elected to the a f l -C IO ’s Exec utive Council. He joined the council in 1978, 2 years af ter he was selected to lead his union following the retirement of C. L. Dennis. Kroll, who was elected chairman of the Railway Labor Executives Association earlier this year, started his career as head of a local union in Philadelphia, moved up through various lead ership positions, and became a vice president of the union in 1975. Richard I. Kilroy, a vice president of the Railway and Airline Clerks since 1973, was selected to complete kroll’s term, which ends on August 31, 1982. AFL-CIO council attacks Administration’s policies The a f l -C IO ’s Executive Council, meeting in Chicago for its summer session, assailed President Reagan’s eco nomic programs. Referring to the Administration’s bud get, views on job safety and social security benefits, and tax policies, AFL-CIO President Lane Kirkland said or https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ganized labor cannot “watch from the sidelines” as the policies are “consolidated on the backs of workers.” In other business, the Auto Workers union, which had re joined the federation on July 1, gained membership on the council when union president Douglas A. Fraser was elected a federation vice president. Citicorp announces 1981 pay raises Employee resentment over Citicorp’s decision not to grant a yearend bonus for 1980 operations was eased when the New York City bank holding company an nounced tjiat it will raise salaries 9 percent in 1981 re gardless of the profit level for 1981. The 50,000 employees had been receiving year-end bonuses of 10 to 15 percent of annual salaries, based on the increase in corporate profit per share of stocks. In 1980, Citicorp’s profit dropped 6 percent from 1979, which led to the decision not to grant a bonus. Change in premium pay at Goodyear The Rubber Workers accepted a Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. proposal to end premium pay for some weekend work at a plant in Topeka, Kansas. As a re sult, Goodyear announced that it will proceed with a $160 million addition to the plant, which now produces bias ply truck tires but will be converted to radial truck tires. Goodyear said that the contract change was nec essary to permit continuous, economical operation of the plant. Under the revised provision, premium pay will be time and one-half on Saturday and double time on Sun day for employees whose workweek starts on Monday, and time and one-half on Sunday for those whose work week starts on Tuesday. Previously, all Saturday work was paid at time and one-half rates and Sunday work was paid at double time rates. The change in premium pay indirectly improved the possibility that the company would not shut down its 44-year-old Jackson, Mich., plant, which also manufac tures bias ply truck tires. Goodyear had earlier indicat ed that it no longer needed two plants producing this type of tire and that the Jackson plant was the logical choice for closing because of its higher operating costs, compared with the Topeka plant. Union concessions save newspaper A scheduled shutdown of The Philadelphia Bulletin was averted when eight unions agreed to wage cuts, benefit reductions, and job terminations designed to re duce the newspaper’s labor costs by $4.9 million a year. The parent Charter Co. said the cuts were necessary to end 5 years of deficits. The company said it would spend $30 million over the next 4 years to aid the Bulletin. 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Developments in Industrial Relations The concessions varied by union but were effective immediately, as specified in new 5-year contracts that superseded existing contracts. All of the new contracts provide for a 3-percent wage increase at the beginning of the second contract year and a 7- percent increase at the beginning of the third year. The contracts may be reopened for bargaining on wages, pension, and insur ance benefits which would apply during the final 2 years of the contracts. The 900 workers represented by the unions are to receive 25 percent of the pretax amount of any profits earned by the newspaper. The Bulletin had already announced pay reductions and layoffs among its nonunion employees that were expected to cut costs by $1.4 million a year. News, ad vertising and circulation employees are not represented by unions. The newspaper said that its financial difficulties stemmed from the same problems that have led to the closing of other afternoon papers—competition from television newscasts and the problem of distributing pa pers during rush-hour traffic. In early August, The Washington Star, an afternoon newspaper, closed after 128 years of operation in the Nation’s Capital. In late August, the morning New York Daily News ended its 1-year-old “Tonight” edition. Auto industry continues to cut costs A. O. Smith Corp.’s Milwaukee plant won a contract to produce automobile frames for General Motors Corp. after seven unions agreed to forgo the next four quarterly cost-of-living pay adjustments. The company had asked for the freeze to hold down increases in its labor cost by 80 cents to $1 an hour over the 1-year pe riod, and thus, improve its chances of winning the pro duction contract. The The unions represent 4,300 workers. As part of its cost containment effort, A. O. Smith also eliminated the 1981 bonus and reduced the merit pay budget for salaried employees, who are not repre sented by a union. Elsewhere in the automobile industry, the Hayes Al bion Co. closed its West Unity, Ohio, plant after mem bers of Allied Industrial Workers, Local 441 rejected a company request for a wage cut. The vote was 203 to Digitized for50 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22. Under the proposed 3-year contract, the $8.85 an hour average pay would have been reduced by about $2, but the workers would have received a 45-cent in crease in the second and third years. The plant manu factured tailpipes and mufflers. Meatpackers accept pay cut In Baltimore, 700 employees of the SchluderbergKurdle Co. Inc. meatpacking plant agreed to a wage and benefit concession to avert a planned shutdown. The company said the $1.99-an-hour immediate reduc tion and elimination of 69 cents in scheduled future in creases was necessary because of continued operating losses at the 123 year old plant, which produces meat products under the trade name Esskay. The plant lost $1.6 million in the first half of 1981, compared with a $495,000 loss for all of 1980. The employees are repre sented by the Food and Commercial Workers and the Teamsters unions. Southern textile workers get pay raise Several major textile companies in the South an nounced July or August wage increases for their em ployees. The size of the increase was not disclosed, but Burlington Industries, Inc. said that the increase for its 43,000 hourly employees varied somewhat from plant to plant but was generally uniform within each plant. The July 20 increase covered about 100 Burlington opera tions in 11 States. Other companies that announced in creases were Cone Mills, Inc., and Dan River, Inc. The last round of wage increases in the industry was in July 1980. (See Monthly Labor Review, September 1980, p. 60.) The Amalgamated Clothing and Textile Workers Union, which represents about 15 percent of the textile workers in the South, settled under a contract reopen ing provision with J. P. Stevens & Co. on a 9 percent wage increase for employees at plants in Roanoke Rap ids and High Point, N.C., Allendale, S.C., and M ont gomery, Ala. The union also negotiated a 9 percent increase for employees it represents at Cone Mills plants in Greensboro, Haw River, Reidsville, and Salis bury, N.C. q Book Reviews Labor’s survival in an unlikely milieu Organizing Dixie: Alabama Workers in the Industrial Era. By Philip Taft; revised and edited by Gary M Fink. Westport, Conn., Greenwood Press, 1981. 238 pp. $35. A renewed union drive to organize southern workers during the past 20 years has only recently obtained a foothold in the representation and negotiation of agree ments in textiles, clothing, furniture, auto assembly, and shipbuilding. But union organization still has far to go in the South, and the climate remains unfriendly, as evi denced by the prevalence of “right to work” statutes in southern States. The industrial development of the southern and sunbelt States, some of which represents shifts from northern production centers, is crucial to the trade union movement. Philip Taft’s posthumous study, “Organizing Dixie,” is significant in making clear that there is in Alabama a tradition of union organization, collective bargaining, and political activity that has its roots in the post-Civil War industrial development in the South. This was established in the face of endogenous factors which have been viewed as obstacles to unionism. These have included small establishments, a largely native work force drawn from rural areas, persistent discrimination against blacks, and a broad climate of employers and political opposition to union organization. Taft undertook the study of Alabama labor while he was a consultant at the University of Alabama’s Center for Labor Education and Research in 1972. The draft of the study, completed shortly before his death in 1976, has been revised and edited by Gary M Fink, Professor of History at Georgia State University. One can agree with Fink that the result is a Taft book, the last in an impressive output of labor economics and history which bear the hallmark of the Wisconsin school and the John R. Commons tradition. This found an emphasis in the American labor movement on American experimentalism in adjusting to new conditions, with an antipathy to doctrinaire positions. This viewpoint is reflected in Taft’s treatment of the more than a century of Alabama labor history. He has contributed an im portant insight into the development and influence of union coordination and confederation at State levels. His contribution is enhanced by https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis detailing the qualities of this southern labor leadership in meeting the impact of northern industrial interests on the regional economy, and in seeking to overcome the divisive effects of black-white prejudices, at least in the workplace and the union. The basic outlines of ebb and flow of union strength in Alabama generally followed the broader national patterns influenced by economic conditions; the intensity of employer opposition; and the role of government, notably during the First World War, and the New Deal period and thereafter. But while prejudices and differences among immigrant groups in the northern labor force were assuaged in time, racial prejudice persisted in the South along with opposition to union organization. Alabama was attractive for northern capital invest ment within a decade after the Civil War. Its iron ore, coal resources, and railroads readily made for combin ing the development of natural resources with new steel facilities. By the end of the century, the major national steel companies had absorbed many of these operations. While local union organizations had developed early among craft workers and railroad workers, the ground work for much of the Alabama labor movement devel oped out of the organization of the coal miners. The mines were intensively developed after the Civil War with a labor force consisting of native-born black and white miners from the rural areas. Convict laborers, leased to private employers, were a part of the labor force, sufficient to influence the outcome of a strike, since they had no choice but to continue working. Effective organization among Alabama miners devel oped in the eighties and in 1898 the independent Ala bama miners union affiliated with the United Mine Workers of America. The study demonstrates the union leadership’s recognition that unity among black and white miners was essential to mutual progress, and the United Mine Workers made no distinctions on equal rights in the union. For over a decade, the terms of the contract negotiated with the Tennessee Coal and Iron Railroad Co. became the standard for most of the Ala bama coal industry. In 1908, however, the union con ducted a strike which failed in the face of a combination of newspaper stories appealing to racial prejudice through allegations of social equality resulting from the union’s policies, and the governor’s action, claiming sanitation needs, in ordering the tearing down of the tents to which the miners’ families had moved following 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Book Reviews eviction from company-owned housing. The United Mine Workers played a major role in the formation of the Alabama State Federation of Labor in 1900 and in its continuing activities over the years. This influence was apparent in the election of blacks to 2 of the 5 elected offices. The Federation was weak in mem bership and funds, but it was vocal on political matters. The 1912 convention of the Federation was notable for its reform platform expressing working-class interests. This called for elimination of the convict lease system; protection of women and child labor; mine safety re forms; and the initiative, referendum, and recall, among the reforms. During the First World War, there were gains in or ganization, limited recognition, and improved wage and working conditions in major Alabama industries. With the postwar open shop drive of the America Plan in the twenties to eliminate wartime gains, there were unsuc cessful defensive strikes in Alabama as elsewhere. The 1920-21 strike in Alabama coal mining was marked by violence and charges that the United Mine Workers were fighting for black social equality. Coal and the u m w a again provided the impetus for renewed activity and organization with the New Deal. For a time, company resistance to union organization kept Alabama coal mines in constant turmoil. But the u m w a made gains, achieving total organization in coal mines by the early forties, and became the largest Ala bama union. Its officials were prominent in organizing the Alabama steelworkers. In 1935, the Alabama State Federation of Labor endorsed industrial unionism and elected the district UMW president to the Federation presidency. With the split between the AFL and CIO in 1937, the president resigned, urging cooperation and warning against recriminations which would endanger the labor movement. Black workers had joined in substantial numbers in coal, iron ore, and steel manufacturing unions before the split. The Alabama State Federation and the newly established Alabama State Industrial Council, respec tively AFL and CIO affiliates, were actively engaged in extending organization among both black and white workers. In 1942, the Alabama CIO called for elimina tion of discrimination in employment, but remained cir cumspect in maintaining separate social arrangements. The Alabama AFL called for efforts at more rapid unionization of black workers at the end of the Second World War. In 1946, the Federation was one of the few organizations to oppose a constitutional amendment designed to reduce the political rights of black voters in Alabama, and in 1947 the State Federation approved of a Federal civil rights law. The State labor organizations readily accommodated to the merger of the AFL and CIO in 1955. With it, their political role in Alabama was enhanced. Functioning in Digitized for52 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis what was often an unfriendly environment, which in cluded the opposition of many union members, as well as of the public, the Alabama Labor Council officials may be viewed as political realists. They have focused on protecting the interests of the State’s workers, partic ularly against denial of the rights of workers and unions in labor disputes. In supporting candidates for State and local offices, emphasis for endorsement has been placed on the candidates’ willingness to consider the la bor point of view and to oppose legislation hostile to the labor movement. On race relations, as Fink sums it up, the Alabama labor movement may have been want ing in resisting school integration, but it was the labor leaders who “ Led Alabama workers, however reluctant ly, into a new era of racial accommodation beneficial to workers of both races” . — J o s e p h P. G o l d b e r g Special Assistant to the Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Women, the family, and the women’s movement A t Odds: Women and the Family in America from the Revolution to the Present. By Carl N. Degler. New York, Oxford University Press, 1980. 527 pp. $19.95. In every branch of written history, the family has been the vehicle through which men and women have entered upon life. So begins Carl N. Degler, Pulitzer prize-winning historian who never loses sight of this context as he discusses the role of women in the United States. His balanced presentation indicates that, prior to the American Revolution, families in America were much like those anywhere else in the world. By the 19th century, however, American families dif fered from those of earlier times in that (1) marriages were based upon affection and mutual respect between partners (2) the wife’s primary role was the caring for children and maintenance of the home (3) the attention, energy, and resources of the parents were increasingly centered upon the rearing of their offspring, and (4) the family, on the average, was significantly smaller than the families of earlier times which were unable to save and accumulate wealth for investment and economic growth. The wife was perceived as the moral superior to the husband, though his legal and social inferior. The ideo logical justification of the division of labor— the wife spending her time in the house while the husband worked outside the home— is called by Degler, “the doctrine of the two spheres.” In the years before the Civil War, the antislavery cause conspicuously attracted women, especially married women, and did the most to move them into public ac tivities. After the Civil War, a number of organizations came into being to press for improved moral stand ards within and outside the family. Women cam paigned against liquor and prostitution, in favor of raising the age of consent for girls, and generally advo cated a single standard of sexual behavior for men and women. Social purists defended women’s rights to employ ment, one argument being that it would help make m ar riage a relationship of affection between companions and advance the autonomy of women within it. Around the end of the 18th century, there was marked improvement in the education of young women. In 1837, the total exclusion of women from colleges was broken when Oberlin College, in Ohio, permitted wom en to enroll with men at its opening. The most obvious and im portant connection between the new educational opportunity for women and organizations of women was the settlement movement. The idea was to have young, socially conscious middle-class men and women live in the poor, working class, and immigrant districts of the great cities in order to bring understanding, prac tical help, entertainment, and some intellectual experi ence to the inhabitants. The new occupation of social work not only appealed to women, but was also quickly accepted as a proper occupation for women. Some women’s organizations were equally direct re sponses to the radical social transformation engendered by industrial expansion. In 1866, the Young Women’s Christian Association was formed in Boston to help young women find work. The National Consumer’s League and the Women’s Trade Union League were the most im portant women’s organizations that clearly re sponded to the stresses of industrialization. By the end of the 19th century, half of the im portant women’s or ganizations had been established— most of them in the 1890’s. In 1910, Congress awarded a national charter to the General Federation of Women’s Clubs and national membership had reached 800,000. By the turn of the 20th century, single women were clearly more than the peripheral or ignored persons they had been earlier in American history, Degler indi cates. Although some women may have felt excluded or deeply unhappy because they could not marry, for oth ers, remaining single was a conscious choice and one that promised a richness of experience that marriage did not offer. By 1972, about one-fifth of the women be tween 35 and 44 years of age who had some graduate education or an income of $20,000 or more, had not married. This figure is to be compared with the barely 5 percent of women in that age bracket without college https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis education who were still single. Men originally could not accept women’s suffrage, for they could not help recognizing that it might alter their place in politics and in the family, says the author. Also, a sizable minority of women were far from silent in their opposition to the movement. These women or ganized against their own political emancipation be cause they perceived it to be a threat to the family. How was it that suffrage was finally accepted in 1928? First, the campaign, mounted by the suffragists was powerful and well organized, and second, the fear that suffrage threatened the family declined. Though the suffrage cause in the 19th century had become increas ingly central to the feminist cause, suffrage, once achieved, had almost no observable effect upon the po sition of women. The right to vote did not— and could n o t— affect women’s role within the family one way or the other. Within 3 years after the ratification of the women’s suffrage amendment, Alice Paul, a radical feminist, pro posed an equal rights amendment to the Constitution. It would have required the law to recognize and treat women as individuals, not as members of a sex. If it had been ratified, it would have nullified all the special protective legislation on behalf of women that had been enacted in the preceeding 20 years or more, according to Degler. As a result, women leaders of the day, such as Jane Addams, the head of the Chicago settlement house Hull House, rejected the amendment. Prior to World War II, women between the ages of 20 and 24 tended to work, then marry and leave the la bor force. But World War II transformed the labor market by increasing occupational opportunities for women. By 1960, the proportion of women between 45 and 54 in the labor force was greater than the percent age of women between 20 and 24. The Civil Rights Act of 1964 was the most significant single force behind the new feminist movement for, from the time of its passage on, women’s equality of op portunity was endorsed by the Federal Government. The increasing participation of married women in the work force and the general concern for equality which the Civil Rights Revolution sparked, helped to bring pressures for legislation. Because women in the work force had become older, the safety laws that had been passed to protect women who had yet to bear children were no longer so impor tant as to endanger the Equal Rights Amendment point of view. However, the organized women’s movement was once again unable to pass the Equal Rights Amendment. Part of the reason undoubtedly was that the amendment seemed to threaten some women as well as men, says Carl Degler. The truth is, despite the as sertions from both sides, ratification of the amendment would not change much, so complete had been the legal 53 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Book Reviews and constitutional transformation brought about by the feminist revival, the author maintains. But, Degler ar gues, passage of the ERA would imbue in the Constitu tion the legal basis for feminist gains of the preceding decade and thus make their repeal difficult in the future. It would also hasten the removal of the few remaining legal obstacles to full equal opportunity between the sexes. The National Organization for Women sought to at tract ethnic and radical minority women into its ranks, but largely without success, the author points out. Fem inism has always been a middle-class cause and for many women, equal employment was not a real issue, especially if it seemed to compete with or threaten fami ly relations. How can young women be offered, at the outset of their lives, the same personal horizons that are routinely vouchsafed to young men? One authority contends that if women are to have equal opportunity, the work pat terns of the economy must be altered to fit their funda mental relationship to children and family. Another alternative to women as sole child-rearers, and the op tion most commonly advocated, is some form of institu tional arrangement that would permit women with children to pursue work. The recognition and the realization of women’s indi viduality in work will be difficult for an even more pro found reason, Degler says. The central values of the modern family stand in opposition to those which un derlie women’s emancipation. The family has insisted upon subordination of individual interests to those of the group. “The ideal goal, it would seem, would be one in which the values of family and the realization of wom en’s individuality could be reconciled,” Degler says. “Will it be possible for women and men to work out some arrangements— call it family or something else— in which these two goals can be realized? Or must the historic drive for women’s individuality stop short of full realization in the name of children, husband, and family?” He concludes that, “ . . . presumably a resolu tion will come in something less than another two cen turies.” Degler indicates in his acknowlegments that he and his wife, also a teacher, have debated women’s issues for over 30 years. This, plus his considerable talent, may be a factor that has helped to produce an admirable welltempered discussion of abortion, equal pay for equal work, and the women’s movement— all of which could be subject to woeful distortions. Digitized for54 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Publications received Economic and social statistics Abel, Andrew B., “A Dynamic Model of Investment and Ca pacity Utilization.” T h e Q u a r t e r l y J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s , August 1981, pp. 379-403. Bianchi, Suzanne M., H o u s e h o l d C o m p o s i t i o n a n d R a c i a l I n e q u a l i t y . New Brunswick, N.J., Rutgers, The State Uni versity of New Jersey, 1981, 199 pp., bibliography. $16, Rutgers University Press, New Brunswick, N.J. Levhari, David and Robert S. Pindyck, “The Pricing of Dura ble Exhaustible Resources,” T h e Q u a r t e r l y J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s , August 1981, pp. 365-77. Meyer, Robert H. and David A. Wise, D i s c o n t i n u o u s D i s t r i b u tio n s a n d M is s in g P e r s o n s : T h e M i n i m u m W a g e a n d U n e m p l o y e d Y o u t h . Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 62 pp. ( nber Working Paper Series, 711.) $1.50. Economic growth and development Dasgupta, Partha and Joseph Stiglitz, U n c e r t a i n t y , I n d u s t r i a l S t r u c t u r e a n d t h e S p e e d o f R & D . Cambridge, Mass., Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981. (Re printed from T h e B e l l J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s , Spring 1980, pp. 1-28). (nber Reprint 156.) $1.50. Hershman, Arlene, “The 1982 Economy: How Growth?” D u n ' s R e v i e w , August 1981, pp. 32-36. Much Levi, Maurice, E c o n o m i c s D e c i p h e r e d : A L a y m a n ' s S u r v i v a l G u i d e . New York, Basic Books, Inc., Publishers, 1981, 306 pp. $13.95. Education “Education as Transformation: Identity, Change, and Devel opment— A Special Issue,” H a r v a r d E d u c a t i o n a l R e v i e w , February 1981, pp. 1-184. Venti, Steven and David A. Wise, T e s t S c o r e s a n d S e l f - S e l e c tio n o f H ig h e r E d u c a t io n : C o lle g e A t t e n d a n c e V e rs u s C o l le g e C o m p l e t i o n . Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 65 pp. (nber Working Paper Series, 709.) $1.50. Industrial relations Balfour, Alan and Alexander B. Holmes, “The Effectiveness of No Strike Laws for Public School Teachers,” J o u r n a l o f C o l l e c t i v e N e g o t i a t i o n s i n t h e P u b l i c S e c t o r , Vol. 10, No. 2, 1981, pp. 133—44. Cascio, Wayne F. and H. John Bernardin, “Implications of Performance Appraisal Litigation for Personnel Deci sions,” P e r s o n n e l P s y c h o l o g y , Summer 1981, pp. 211-26. Coffinberger, Richard L., “A Primer on Unionization Mo tives,” J o u r n a l o f C o l l e c t i v e N e g o t i a t i o n s i n t h e P u b l i c S e c t o r , Vol. 10, No. 2, 1981, pp. 123-32. Cooke, Lawrence H., “Waste Not, Wait N ot— A Consider ation of Federal State Jurisdiction,” F o r d h a m L a w R e v i e w , May 1981, pp. 895-903. Dorr, John Van N. Ill, “Labor Arbitrator Training: The In ternship,” T h e A r b i t r a t i o n J o u r n a l , June 1981, pp. 4-10. — M ary Ellen A yres Office of Publications Bureau of Labor Statistics Gilmore, Carol B., “The Impact of Faculty Collective Bar gaining on the Management of Public Higher Education al Institutions,” J o u r n a l o f C o l l e c t i v e N e g o t i a t i o n s i n t h e P u b l i c S e c t o r , Vol. 10, No. 2, 1981, pp. 145-52. Holley, William H., Hubert S. Feild, James C. Crowley, “Ne gotiating Quality of Worklife, Productivity and Tradition al Issues: Union Members’ Preferred Roles of Their Union,” P e r s o n n e l P s y c h o l o g y , Summer 1981, pp. 309-28. Honadle, Beth Walter, “A Model of the Public Sector Wage Determination Process— With Special Reference to Insti tutional Factors,” J o u r n a l o f C o l l e c t i v e N e g o t i a t i o n s i n t h e P u b l i c S e c t o r , Vol. 10, No. 2, 1981, pp. 105-22. Karro, David G., “The Importance of Being Earnest: Pleading and Maintaining a Title VII Class Action for the Purpose of Resolving the Claims of Class Members,” F o r d h a m L a w R e v i e w , May 1981, pp. 904-55. Krislov, Joseph and John Mead, “Arbitrating Union Con flicts: An Analysis of the A F L -C IO Internal Disputes Plan.” A r b i t r a t i o n J o u r n a l , June 1981, pp. 21-29. Noam, Eli M., “The Valuation of Legal Rights,” T h e Q u a r t e r l y J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s , August 1981, pp. 465-76. Princeton University, O u t s t a n d i n g B o o k s i n I n d u s t r i a l R e l a t i o n s a n d L a b o r E c o n o m i c s , 1 9 8 0 . Princeton, N.J., Princeton University, Industrial Relations Section, March 1981, 4 pp. (Selected References, 206.) 50 cents. Zack, Arnold M., “Who Is Responsible for the Development of Arbitrators— The Parties or the Arbitrators?” T h e A r b i t r a t i o n J o u r n a l , June 1981, pp. 11-14. Zirkel, Perry A. and J. Gary Lutz, “Characteristics and Func tions of Mediators: A Pilot Study,” T h e A r b i t r a t i o n J o u r n a l , June 1981, pp. 15-20. Industry and government organization Bemis, Judson and John A. Cairns, “In Minnesota, Business is Part of the Solution,” H a r v a r d B u s i n e s s R e v i e w , JulyAugust 1981, pp. 85-93. Congressional Quarterly, Inc., F e d e r a l R e g u l a t o r y D i r e c t o r y , 1 9 8 1 - 8 2 . 2d. ed. Washington, Congressional Quarterly, Inc., 1981, 875 pp. $27.50. Drayton, William, “Getting Smarter About Regulation,” H a r v a r d B u s i n e s s R e v i e w , July-August 1981, beginning on p. 38. Economic Council of Canada, R e f o r m i n g R e g u l a t i o n . Ottawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Canada, 1981, 167 pp. $9.95, Canada; $11.95, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publishing Center, Supply and Services Canada, Ottawa. Fernandez, John P., R a c i s m a n d S e x is m in C o r p o r a te L if e : C h a n g i n g V a l u e s i n A m e r i c a n B u s i n e s s . Lexington, Mass., D.C. Heath and Co., Lexington Books, 1981, 359 pp., bibliography. $28.95. Herman, Edward S., C o r p o r a t e C o n t r o l , C o r p o r a t e P o w e r . New York, The Twentieth Century Fund, Inc., 1981, 432 pp. $18.95, Cambridge University Press, New York. Lave, Lester B., T h e S t r a t e g y o f S o c i a l R e g u l a t i o n : D e c i s i o n F r a m e w o r k s f o r P o l i c y . Washington, The Brookings Insti tution, 1981, 166 pp., bibliography. $19.95, cloth; $7.95, paper. Buiter, William H., “Monetary, Financial, and Fiscal Policies Under Rational Expectations,” I n t e r n a t i o n a l M o n e t a r y F u n d S t a f f P a p e r s , December 1980, pp. 785-813. “Export Diversification and the New Protectionism: The Ex periences of Latin America— Special Issue,” T h e Q u a r t e r l y R e v i e w o f E c o n o m i c s a n d B u s in e s s , Summer 1981, pp. 9 -301. Heller, Peter S., “Impact of Inflation on Fiscal Policy in De veloping Countries,” I n t e r n a t i o n a l M o n e t a r y F u n d S t a f f P a p e r s , December 1981, pp. 712—48. Pardee, Scott E., “Treasury and Federal Reserve Foreign Ex change Operations: Interim Report,” F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u l l e t i n , June 1981, pp. 486-87. The American Assembly, Columbia University, T h e C h i n a F a c t o r : F i n a l R e p o r t o f th e 5 9 t h A m e r ic a n A s s e m b ly , H e l d a t A r d e n H o u s e , H a r r i m a n , N . Y . , M a r . 1 9 - 2 2 , 1 9 8 1 . New York, Columbia University, The American Assembly, 1981, 15 pp. von Furstenberg, George M., “Domestic Determinants of New U.S. Foreign Investment,” I n t e r n a t i o n a l M o n e t a r y F u n d S t a f f P a p e r s , December 1981, pp. 637-78. “Where Growth Still Works,” T h e E c o n o m i s t s , July 18, 1981, beginning on p. 51. Labor force Alternative Work Options for Older Workers: Part I, “Em ployees’ Interests,” by Carolyn E. Usher; Part II, “The Managers’ View,” by Stephen R. McConnell, A g i n g a n d W o r k , Spring 1981, pp. 74-87. Nodera, Yasuyuki, “Japanese Employment Policies for Older Workers,” A g i n g a n d W o r k , Spring 1981, pp. 101-08. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, P h i l a d e l p h i a E m p l o y m e n t T r e n d s , 1 9 8 0 . Philadelphia, Pa., 1981, 28 pp. (Regional Report 52.) Management and organization theory Baird, John E„ Jr., “Supervisory and Managerial Training Through Communication by Objectives,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 28-32. Bekiroglu, Haluk and Turan Gonen, “Labor Turnover: Roots, Costs and Some Potential Solutions,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, beginning on p. 67. Biles, George E., “A Program Guide for Preventing Sexual Harassment in the Workplace,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , June 1981, pp. 49-56. Burck, Charles G., “Working Smarter: What’s In It for Unions,” F o r t u n e , Aug. 24, 1981, pp. 88-92. Buss, Martin D. J., “Penny-Wise Approach to Data Process ing,” H a r v a r d B u s in e s s R e v i e w , July-August 1981, pp. 111-17. Ebenstein, Michael and Leonard I. Krauss, “Strategic Plan ning for Information Resource Management,” M a n a g e m e n t R e v i e w , June 1981, pp. 21-26. International economics Ezell, Hazel F., Charles A. Odewahn, J. Daniel Sherman, “The Effects of Having Been Supervised by a Woman on Perceptions of Female Managerial Competence,” P e r s o n n e l P s y c h o l o g y , Summer 1981, pp. 291-99. Bond, Marian E., “Exchange Rates, Inflation, and Vicious Circles,” I n t e r n a t i o n a l M o n e t a r y F u n d S t a f f P a p e r s , De cember 1981, pp. 679-711. Flynn, W. Randolph and Judith U. Litzsinger, “Careers With out Conflict,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 8185. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 55 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Book Reviews Goode, Leon F. and David H. Meier, “Productivity Measure ment for Thinkers,” T h e B u r e a u c r a t , Spring 1981, pp. 36 -42. Greenlaw, Paul S. and John P. Kohl, “Sexual Harassment: Homosexuality, Bisexuality, and Blackmail,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , June 1981, pp. 59-62. Haldane, Bernard, C a r e e r S a t i s f a c t i o n a n d S u c c e s s : H o w t o K n o w a n d M a n a g e Y o u r S t r e n g h t s . (Rev. ed.) New York, amacom , A division of American Management Associa tions, 1981, 210 pp. $12.95. Hatvany, Nina and Vladimir Pucik, “Japanese Management Practices and Productivity,” O r g a n i z a t i o n a l D y n a m i c s , Spring 1981, pp. 4-21. Hayes, Robert H., “Why Japanese Factories Work,” H a r v a r d B u s i n e s s R e v i e w , July-August 1981, pp. 56-66. “Personnel and Energy,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , June 1981, beginning on p. 20. Porras, Jerry I. and Brad Anderson, “Improving Managerial Effectiveness Through Modeling Based Training,” O r g a n i z a t i o n a l D y n a m i c s , Spring 1981, pp. 60-77. Rosenbaum, Bernard L., H o w t o M o t i v a t e T o d a y 's W o r k e r s : M o t i v a t i o n a l M o d e l s f o r M a n a g e r s a n d S u p e r v i s o r s . New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1982, 201 pp. $15.95. Tavernier, Gerard, “Awakening a Sleeping Giant . . . Ford’s Employee Involvement Program,” M a n a g e m e n t R e v i e w , June 1981, pp. 15-20. Tracey, William R., H u m a n R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p m e n t S t a n d a r d s : A S e lf E v a lu a tio n M a n u a l f o r h r d M a n a g e r s a n d S p e c ia l is ts . New York, amacom , A division of American Man agement Associations, 1981, 598 pp. $39.95. Holbrook, James E., “Here’s How to Sell Your Ideas for Au dio-Visual Training Programs to Top Management,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 34—39. Truskie, Stanley D., “Guidelines for Conducting in-House Management Development,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 25-27. Jennings, Eugene E., “How to Develop Your Management Talent Internally,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 20-23. White, Michael C., Michael D. Crino, Gerry L. DeSanctis, “A Critical Review of Female Performance, Performance Training and Organizational Initiatives Designed to Aid Women in the Work-Role Environment,” P e r s o n n e l P s y c h o l o g y , Summer 1981, pp. 227-48. Juran, J. M., “Product Quality— A Prescription for the West: Part I, Training and Improvement Programs,” M a n a g e m e n t R e v i e w , June 1981, pp. 9-14. Kammert, James L., I n t e r n a t i o n a l C o m m e r c i a l B a n k i n g M a n a g e m e n t . New York, amacom , A division of American Management Associations, 1981, 403 pp. $24.95. Lynch, Thomas D. and Gerald T. Gabris, “Obstacles to Ef fective Management,” T h e B u r e a u c r a t , Spring 1981, pp. 8-14. McCrone, William P. and Richard L. Arthur, “The Deaf Ap plicant: Considerations for Personnel Managers,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , June 1981, pp. 65-69. Martin, Wallace, “What Management Can Expect From an Employee Attitude Survey,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, beginning on p. 75. Zedeck, Sheldon, “Behaviorally Based Performance Apprais als,” A g i n g a n d W o r k , Spring 1981, pp. 89-100. Zierden, William E., “Managing Workplace Innovations: A Framework and a New Approach,” M a n a g e m e n t R e v i e w , June 1981, pp. 57-61. Monetary and fiscal policy Cole, Roger T„ “Financial Performance of Small Banks, 1977 -8 0 ,” F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u l l e t i n , June 1981, pp. 480-85. Cook, Timothy, “Determinants of the Spread Between Trea sury Bill and Private Sector Money Market Rates,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s a n d B u s in e s s , Summer 1981, pp. 17787. Cornyn, Anthony G. and Thomas L. Zearley, “Financial De velopments of Bank Holding Companies in 1980,” F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u l l e t i n , June 1981, pp. 473-79. Medoff, James L. and Katharine G. Abraham, E x p e r i e n c e , P e r f o r m a n c e , a n d E a r n i n g s . Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981. Reprinted from T h e Q u a r t e r l y J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s , December 1980, pp. 703-36. ( nber Reprint, 159.) $1.50. Kolb, Robert W„ “Predicting Dividend Changes,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s a n d B u s in e s s , Summer 1981, pp. 218-30. Monat, Jonathan S., “A Perspective on the Evaluation of Training and Development Programs,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 47-52. Kopecky, Kenneth J., “Required Reserve Ratios and Mone tary Control,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m i c s a n d B u s in e s s , Sum mer 1981, pp. 212-17. Montgomery, Robert L„ L i s t e n i n g M a d e E a s y : H o w t o I m Stuart, Alexander, “Are the Oil Stocks Oversold?” F o r t u n e , Aug. 24, 1981, pp. 50-56. p r o v e L is te n in g o n th e J o b , a t H o m e a n d in th e C o m m u n i t y . New York, amacom , A division of Ameri can Management Associations, 1981, 134 pp. $10.95. Moravec, Milan, “Performance Appraisal: A Human Re source Management System with Productivity Payoffs,” M a n a g e m e n t R e v i e w , June 1981, pp. 51-54. Myers, Donald W., “The Impact of a Selected Provision in the Federal Guidelines on Job Analysis and Training,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, pp. 41-45. Newstrom, John W., “The Dynamics of Effective Team Teaching,” P e r s o n n e l A d m i n i s t r a t o r , July 1981, beginning on p. 55. Nugent, Patrick S., “Management and Modes of Thought,” O r g a n i z a t i o n a l D y n a m i c s , Spring 1981, pp. 44—59. Digitized for 56FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Productivity and technological change Buehler, Vernon M. and Y. Krishna Shetty, eds., P r o d u c t i v i t y I m p r o v e m e n t s : C a s e S t u d i e s o f P r o v e n P r a c t i c e . New York, amacom , A division of American Management Associations, 1981, 273 pp. $19.95. Lichtenberg, Frank R„ T r a i n i n g , T e n u r e , a n d P r o d u c t i v i t y . Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1981, 40 pp. (nber Working Paper Series, 671.) $1.50. Peitchinis, Stephen G. with Elizabeth MacDonald, T h e A t t i t u d e o f T r a d e U n i o n s T o w a r d s T e c h n o l o g i c a l C h a n g e s . Ot tawa, Ontario, Canada, Federal Department of Industry, Trade and Commerce, Technology Branch, 1980, 73 pp. □ Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics .............................................................................................. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series .......................................................................... Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ............................................................. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-80 ............................................................... Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................... Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................................... Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted .................................................................................... Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally a d ju ste d ............................................................................................... Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................... Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ............................................................................................................... Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Employment by industry, 1951-80 Employment by State .............................................................................................................................................................. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing g r o u p ............................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ....................................... Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date ....................................................................................................... Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group .................................................................................. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1950-80 Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing g r o u p ............................................................................ Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ..................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ....................................................................... Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division, seasonally adjusted ............................................................................... Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ....................................................................... Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1961 to date ..................................................... 58 58 59 59 60 61 62 63 63 63 64 65 65 66 67 68 68 69 70 71 72 72 73 74 Unemployment insurance data. Definitions 75 75 Price data. Definitions and notes ......................................................................................................................................... Consumer Price Index, 1967-80 Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items .......................................................... Consumer Price Index, cross classification of region and population size class .......................................................... Consumer Price Index, selected areas .................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing .................................................................................................................. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ............................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings .................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ............................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ......................................................................... 76 77 77 83 84 85 86 88 88 88 Productivity data. Definitions and notes .................................................................................... 91 91 92 92 93 ................................................................................................................. 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations ....................................................................................... 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs,and prices, selectedyears, 1950-80 Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,1970-80 ............................................ Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ................... Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . Labor-management data. Definitions ............................................................................................................................... 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date ........................................................ 36. Effective wage rate adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to d a t e ..................... 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date ............................................................................................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 94 94 95 95 57 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the R e v ie w presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the R e v ie w . Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2-7 were revised in the February 1981 issue of the R e v ie w to reflect the preceding year’s experience. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifications in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new proce dure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -ll method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in T h e X - l l A R I M A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, February 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data in tables 11, 13, 16, and 18 begins with the August 1980 issue using the X -ll ARIMA seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal fac tors for productivity data in tables 33 and 34 are usually intro duced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The B L S H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s, Bulletin 2070, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the M o n th ly L a b o r R eview . More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, a monthly publication of the Bureau, and in two comprehensive data books issued annually— E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta te s and E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, S ta te s a n d A reas. More detailed informa tion on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, C u r re n t W a g e D e ve lo p m e n ts. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P rices a n d P ric e In d ex es. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Series Employment situation.................................................................. Producer Price Index .................................................................. Consumer Price Index ................................................................ Real earnings ............................................................................ Productivity and costs: Nonfarm business and manufacturing ...................................... Nonfinancial corporations ........................................................ Labor turnover in manufacturing .................................................. Work stoppages.......................................................................... Major collective bargaining settlements ........................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 58 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release date Period covered Release date Period covered October 2 October 9 October 23 October 23 September September September September November 6 November 6 November 24 November 24 October October October October 1-11 26-30 22-25 14-20 November 25 November 30 November 30 3d quarter October October 31-34 31-34 12-13 37 35-36 October 28 3d quarter October 29 October 29 October 30 September September 1st 9 months MLR table number EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY E mployment data in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households beginning in May 1981, selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. Data in tables 2-7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1980. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-80 [Numbers inthousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total non institutional population Unemployed Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1965 ............................................................ 106,645 112,732 119,759 127,224 129,236 63,858 68,072 72,142 75,830 77,178 59.9 60.4 60.2 59.6 59.7 62,208 65,023 69,628 73,091 74,455 58,918 62,170 65,778 69,305 71,088 7,160 6,450 5,458 4,523 4,361 51,758 55,722 60,318 64,782 66,726 3,288 2,852 3,852 3,786 3,366 5.3 4.4 5.5 5.2 4.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 51,394 52,058 1970 ............................................................ 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 140,182 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 85,903 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 61.3 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 82,715 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 78,627 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 3,462 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 75,165 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4,088 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 4.9 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 54,280 1975 ............................................................ 142,596 145,775 148,263 150,827 153,449 86,929 88,991 91,040 93,240 94,793 61.0 61.0 61.4 61.8 61.8 84,113 86,542 88,714 91,011 92,613 79,120 81,702 84,409 83,935 84,783 3,387 3,472 3,452 3,492 3,380 75,732 78,230 80,957 82,443 81,403 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7,830 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 55,666 56,785 57,222 57,587 58,655 1980 ............................................................ 156,048 158,559 161,058 163,620 166,246 96,917 99,534 102,537 104,996 106,821 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.2 64.3 94,773 97,401 100,420 102,908 104,719 87,485 90,546 94,373 96,945 97,270 3,297 3,244 3,342 3,297 3,310 84,188 87,302 91,031 93,648 93,960 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7,448 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.8 7.1 59,130 59,025 58,521 58,623 59,425 1950 ............................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted [Numbers inthousands] 1981 1980 Annual average Employment status 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 163,620 104,996 161,532 102,908 96,945 3,297 93,648 5,963 5.8 58,623 166,246 106,821 164,143 104,719 97,270 3,310 93,960 7,448 7.1 59,425 166,578 107,059 164,464 104,945 97,003 3,210 93,793 7,942 7.6 59,519 166,789 107,101 164,667 104,980 97,180 3,399 93,781 7,800 7.4 59,687 167,005 107,288 164,884 105,167 97,206 3,319 93,887 7,961 7.6 59,717 167,201 107,404 165,082 105,285 97,339 3,340 93,999 7,946 7.5 59,797 167,396 107,191 165,272 105,067 97,282 3,394 93,888 7,785 7.4 60,205 167,585 107,668 165,460 105,543 97,696 3,403 94,294 7,847 7.4 59,917 167,747 107,802 165,627 105,681 97,927 3,281 94,646 7,754 7.3 59,946 167,902 108,305 165,774 106,177 98,412 3,276 95,136 7,764 7.3 59,598 168,071 108,851 165,941 106,722 98,976 3,463 95,513 7,746 7.3 59,219 168,272 109,533 166,145 107,406 99,235 3,353 95,882 8,171 7.6 58,739 168,480 108,307 166,349 106,176 98,392 3,265 95,127 7,784 7.3 60,173 168,685 108,603 166,546 106,464 98,962 3,258 95,704 7,502 7.0 60,082 168,855 108,762 166,695 106,602 98,944 3,370 95,574 7,657 7.2 60,093 68,293 54,486 52,264 2,350 49,913 2,223 4.1 13,807 69,607 55,234 51,972 2,355 49,617 3,261 5.9 14,373 69,756 55,403 51,791 2,301 49,490 3,612 6.5 14,353 69,864 55,475 51,823 2,389 49,434 3,652 6.6 14,389 69,987 55,495 51,963 2,351 49,612 3,532 6.4 14,492 70,095 55,539 52,007 2,372 49,635 3,532 6.4 14,556 70,198 55,470 52,045 2,331 49,714 3,425 6.2 14,728 70,320 55,443 52,091 2,378 49,713 3,352 6.0 14,877 70,413 55,445 52,134 2,289 49,844 3,312 6.0 14,968 70,481 55,816 52,511 2,296 50,215 3,305 5.9 14,665 70,574 56,013 52,750 2,409 50,342 3,262 5.8 14,561 70,687 56,395 52,849 2,349 50,500 3,546 6.3 14,292 70,788 55,876 52,451 2,320 50,131 3,425 6.1 14,912 70,894 55,957 52,811 2,329 50,482 3,147 5.6 14,937 70,978 56,045 52,724 2,402 50,323 3,321 5.9 14,933 76,860 38,910 36,698 591 36,107 2,213 5.7 37,949 78,295 40,243 37,696 575 37,120 2,547 6.3 38,052 78,473 40,523 37,890 555 37,335 2,633 6.5 37,950 78,598 40,317 37,804 592 37,212 2,513 6.2 38,281 78,723 40,486 37,754 576 37,178 2,732 6.7 38,237 78,842 40,629 37,909 574 37,335 2,720 6.7 38,213 78,959 40,570 37,820 665 37,155 2,750 6.8 38,389 79,071 40,942 38,191 621 37,570 2,750 6.7 38,129 79,175 41,090 38,410 615 37,794 2,680 6.5 38,085 79,271 41,293 38,567 606 37,961 2,725 6.6 37,978 79,377 41,481 38,760 603 38,157 2,721 6.6 37,896 79,498 41,852 39,014 583 38,431 2,838 6.8 37,646 79,617 41,743 39,011 562 38,449 2,731 6.5 37,874 79,739 41,879 39,082 575 38,507 2,797 6.7 37,860 79,848 41,857 39,155 601 38,554 2,701 6.5 37,991 16,379 9,512 7,984 356 7,628 1,528 16.1 6,867 16,242 9,242 7,603 380 7,223 1,640 17.7 7,000 16,235 9,019 7,322 354 6,968 1,697 18.8 7,216 16,205 9,188 7,553 418 7,135 1,635 17.8 7,017 16,174 9,186 7,489 392 7,097 1,697 18.5 6,988 16,145 9,117 7,423 394 7,029 1,694 18.6 7,028 16,114 9,027 7,417 398 7,019 1,610 17.8 7,087 16,069 9,158 7,414 404 7,010 1,744 19.0 6,911 16,039 9,146 7,384 376 7,008 1,762 19.3 6,893 16,022 9,068 7,334 374 6,960 1,734 19.1 6,954 15,991 9,228 7,465 451 7,014 1,763 19.1 6,763 15,961 9,159 7,372 421 6,951 1,787 19.5 6,802 15,944 8,558 6,930 383 6,547 1,628 19.0 7,386 15,913 8,628 7,069 354 6,715 1,559 18.1 7,285 15,869 8,700 7,065 368 6,697 1,635 18.8 7,169 141,614 90,602 86,025 4,577 5.1 51,011 143,657 92,171 86,380 5,790 6.3 51,486 143,900 92,288 86,067 6,221 6.7 51,612 144,051 92,317 86,307 6,010 6.5 51,734 144,211 92,516 86,371 6,145 6.6 51,695 144,359 144,500 92,562 92,383 86,409 86,377 6,006 6,153 6.5 6.6 51,797 52,117 144,651 92,832 86,620 6,213 6.7 51,819 144,774 93,035 86,940 6,095 6.6 51,739 144,882 93,313 87,291 6,022 6.5 51,569 145,006 93,860 87,791 6,069 6.5 51,146 145,160 94,506 88,083 6,422 6.8 50,654 145,316 93,464 87,500 5,964 6.4 51,852 19,918 12,306 10,920 1,386 11.3 7,612 20,486 12,548 10,890 1,658 13.2 7,938 20,564 12,630 10,902 1,728 13.7 7,934 20,617 12,677 10,894 1,783 14.1 7,940 20,673 12,686 10,884 1,802 14.2 7,987 20,809 12,684 11,051 1,634 12.9 8,125 20,853 12,598 10,942 1,655 13.1 8,255 20,892 12,765 11,020 1,745 13.7 8,127 20,936 12,899 11,193 1,706 13.2 8,037 20,985 12,895 11,138 1,757 13.6 8,090 21,033 12,741 10,928 1,813 14.2 8,292 TOTAL Total noninstitutional population1 .......................... Total labor force ...................................... Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ................................ Employed ...................................... Agriculture .............................. Nonagricultural industries ........ Unemployed .................................. Unemployment rate ........................ Not in labor force .................................. Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not In labor force ........................................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ White Civilian noninstitutional population1 ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ 145,464 145,575 93,767 93,789 87,979 88,046 5,787 5,787 6.2 6.1 51,697 51,786 Black and other Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ ’ As in table 1, population figures are not seasonally adjusted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 60 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20,723 12,706 10,922 1,784 14.0 8,017 20,771 12,668 10,895 1,773 14.0 8,103 21,081 12,658 10,939 1,719 13.6 8,423 21,120 12,793 10,877 1,916 15.0 8,327 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Numbers inthousands] Annual average 1980 1981 Selected categories 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 96,945 56,499 40,446 39,090 22,724 97,270 55,988 41,283 38,302 23,097 97,003 55,589 41,414 37,987 23,126 97,180 55,754 41,426 38,027 23,027 97,206 55,881 41,325 38,142 22,993 97,339 55,897 41,442 38,167 23,065 97,282 55,920 41,362 38,231 23,063 97,696 56,012 41,684 38,182 23,352 97,927 56,045 41,882 38,113 23,356 98,412 56,383 42,029 38,365 23,513 98,976 56,688 42,288 38,510 23,529 99,235 56,718 42,517 38,498 23,831 98,392 56,026 42,366 38,216 23,763 98,962 56,494 42,467 38,283 23,820 98,944 56,368 42,577 38,315 23,683 49,342 15,050 50,809 15,613 51,307 15,751 51,074 15,540 51,101 15,780 51,148 15,863 51,065 15,810 51,594 15,965 51,698 15,813 51,746 15,827 51,801 15,754 51,967 15,688 51,959 16,057 51,857 15,966 52,123 16,299 10,516 6,163 17,613 32,066 12,880 10,909 3,612 4,665 12,834 2,703 10,919 6,172 18,105 30,800 12,529 10,346 3,468 4,456 12,958 2,704 11,109 6,140 18,307 30,232 12,346 10,147 3,478 4,261 12,928 2,620 11,007 6,316 18,211 30,436 12,490 10,202 3,434 4,310 12,943 2,757 10,979 6,277 18,065 30,521 12,485 10,210 3,443 4,383 12,891 2,735 11,016 6,155 18,114 30,550 12,424 10,247 3,429 4,450 12,888 2,729 11,009 6,175 18,071 30,373 12,337 10,194 3,402 4,440 12,982 2,804 11,363 6,265 18,001 30,338 12,306 10,331 3,322 4,380 12,946 2,737 11,488 6,271 18,125 30,446 12,386 10,390 3,361 4,309 13,070 2,662 11,565 6,220 18,135 30,594 12,605 10,189 3,363 4,437 13,279 2,679 11,444 6,145 18,457 31,156 12,624 10,524 3,411 4,596 13,255 2,834 11,260 6,461 18,557 31,373 12,743 10,609 3,390 4,632 13,213 2,707 11,174 6,440 18,288 30,922 12,482 10,550 3,425 4,466 12,930 2,648 11,418 6,220 18,254 31,038 12,575 10,567 3,481 4,415 13,284 2,689 11,217 6,369 18,238 31,113 12,508 10,501 3,499 4,605 13,002 2,732 1,413 1,580 304 1,384 1,628 297 1,282 1,640 280 1,417 1,688 309 1,363 1,640 325 1,417 1,612 324 1,411 1,655 305 1,465 1,615 284 1,336 1,610 325 1,338 1,615 312 1,524 1,648 290 1,464 1,644 231 1,377 1,657 258 1,457 1,568 235 1,472 1,629 250 86,540 15,369 71,171 1,240 69,931 6,652 455 86,706 15,624 71,081 1,166 69,915 6,850 404 86,490 15,531 70,959 1,196 69,763 6,881 403 86,395 15,575 70,820 1,125 69,695 6,977 416 86,587 15,597 70,990 1,144 69,846 7,005 417 86,643 15,651 70,992 1,148 69,844 6,943 405 86,513 15,653 70,860 1,110 69,750 6,973 396 87,125 15,738 71,387 1,197 70,190 6,839 422 87,236 15,589 71,647 1,176 70,471 6,923 371 87,870 15,685 72,185 1,235 70,949 6,896 354 88,195 15,628 72,567 1,241 71,327 7,021 306 88,877 15,512 73,365 1,164 72,201 6,761 338 87,734 15,460 72,274 1,146 71,128 7,005 369 88,291 15,349 72,942 1,211 71,731 6,886 389 88,189 15,140 73,048 1,236 71,812 6,942 378 88,133 72,647 3,281 1,325 1,956 12,205 88,325 72,022 3,965 1,669 2,296 12,338 88,195 71,526 4,143 1,709 2,434 12,526 88,246 71,929 4,183 1,701 2,482 12,134 88,488 72,071 4,220 1,685 2,535 12,197 88,694 72,265 4,176 1,620 2,556 12,253 88,468 72,131 4,218 1,647 2,571 12,119 89,499 72,807 4,474 1,698 2,776 12,218 89,441 72,945 4,145 1,622 2,523 12,351 89,583 72,875 4,227 1,638 2,589 12,481 89,202 72,761 4,044 1,517 2,527 12,397 89,870 73,375 4,143 1,630 2,513 12,352 89,625 73,115 3,798 1,367 2,431 12,713 90,837 74,232 4,225 1,632 2,593 12,380 89,823 72,932 4,187 1,654 2,533 12,704 CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over ...................... Men ............................................................ Women........................................................ Married men, spouse present ........................ Married women, spouse present .................... OCCUPATION White-collar workers............................................ Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ........................................................ Salesworkers................................................ Clerical workers............................................ Blue-collar workers.............................................. Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport.......................... Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers.......................................... Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers ...................................................... MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage-and-salary workers.............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. Nonagricultural industries: Wage-and-salary workers.............................. Government .......................................... Private industries.................................... Private households .......................... Other industries .............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. PERSONS AT WORK1 Nonagricultural industries .................................... Full-time schedules ...................................... Part time for economic reasons...................... Usually work full time.............................. Usually work part tim e............................ Part time for noneconomic reasons................ 'Excludes persons “with a job but not at work" during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] 1981 1980 Annual average Selected categories 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Total, 16 years and over...................................... Men, 20 years and over................................ Women, 20 years and over .......................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .......................... 5.8 4.1 5.7 16.1 7.1 5.9 6.3 17.7 7.6 6.5 6.5 18.8 7.4 6.6 6.2 17.8 7.6 6.4 6.7 18.5 7.5 6.4 6.7 18.6 7.4 6.2 6.8 17.8 7.4 6.0 6.7 19.0 7.3 6.0 6.5 19.3 7.3 5.9 6.6 19.1 7.3 5.8 6.6 19.1 7.6 6.3 6.8 19.5 7.3 6.1 6.5 19.0 7.0 5.6 6.7 18.1 7.2 5.9 6.5 18.8 White, total .................................................. Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and over .................... 3oth sexes, 16 to 19 years .................... 5.1 3.6 5.0 13.9 6.3 5.2 5.6 14.8 6.7 5.8 5.8 16.6 6.5 5.8 5.5 15.1 6.6 5.7 5.8 16.0 6.6 5.7 5.8 16.4 6.5 5.5 5.9 15.4 6.7 5.5 6.0 16.8 6.6 5.4 5.7 17.4 6.5 5.4 5.6 16.9 6.5 5.2 5.7 17.2 6.8 5.6 6.0 18.0 6.4 5.3 5.7 16.5 6.2 4.9 5.8 16.1 6.1 5.1 5.4 15.6 Black and other, total.................................... Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and over .................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .................... 11.3 8.4 10.1 33.5 13.2 11.4 11.1 35.8 13.7 12.5 10.9 37.6 14.1 13.2 10.6 37.8 14.2 12.1 12.3 37.4 14.0 12.0 12.2 36.6 14.0 11.6 12.3 37.5 12.9 10.5 11.0 36.5 13.1 10.8 11.9 35.4 13.7 10.8 12.6 37.3 13.2 10.6 11.8 36.1 13.6 11.8 12.0 33.6 14.2 12.5 12.0 38.6 13.6 11.6 12.0 36.4 15.0 12.4 12.8 45.7 Married men, spouse present........................ Married women, spouse present.................... Women who head families............................ Full-time workers.......................................... Part-time workers ........................................ Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost' .................................. 2.7 5.1 8.3 5.3 8.7 1.2 6.3 4.2 5.8 9.1 6.8 8.7 1.7 7.9 4.8 6.0 9.0 7.3 8.7 2.0 8.3 4.7 5.7 9.0 7.3 8.7 2.2 8.2 4.6 6.0 10.2 7.3 9.1 2.2 8.4 4.4 5.9 9.9 7.4 8.6 2.2 8.3 4.3 5.8 10.4 7.3 8.2 2.3 8.2 4.2 6.2 10.5 7.1 9.2 2.2 8.2 4.1 5.8 9.6 7.1 9.1 2.1 8.1 4.1 6.0 9.4 7.1 9.0 2.1 8.1 3.8 5.9 9.8 6.9 9.0 2.0 8.2 4.1 5.9 10.3 7.3 9.7 2.0 8.6 4.2 5.6 10.6 7.0 9.2 2.2 8.0 3.9 5.6 11.5 6.7 9.3 2.0 7.9 3.9 5.3 9.8 6.7 9.7 2.1 7.9 3.3 2.4 3.7 2.5 3.7 2.4 3.8 2.5 3.9 2.6 3.9 2.5 4.0 2.6 3.9 2.8 3.7 2.6 3.9 2.7 4.0 3.2 4.1 2.9 3.8 2.8 4.1 2.8 3.9 2.4 1.9 3.9 4.6 6.9 4.5 8.4 5.4 10.8 7.1 3.8 2.4 4.4 5.3 10.0 6.6 12.2 8.8 14.6 7.9 4.4 2.5 4.2 5.4 11.1 7.6 13.3 9.8 16.1 8.5 5.5 2.4 4.3 5.4 10.8 7.4 13.0 10.4 15.2 8.1 4.3 2.5 4.6 5.6 10.8 7.1 13.2 10.6 15.3 8.3 4.4 2.4 4.8 5.6 10.7 7.1 13.0 10.6 15.0 8.3 4.0 2.5 4.7 5.8 10.5 7.1 12.9 8.8 14.8 7.8 4.0 2.4 4.4 5.7 10.2 6.8 12.1 9.1 15.0 8.0 5.0 2.4 4.0 5.3 10.1 7.2 11.9 8.3 14.9 8.7 4.7 2.6 3.8 5.9 9.8 7.1 11.3 9.3 14.1 8.1 5.1 2.4 4.0 5.6 9.6 6.8 11.5 8.1 13.8 8.5 3.7 2.7 4.6 5.6 10.0 7.7 11.9 8.2 13.1 9.4 5.4 2.8 4.1 5.3 9.8 7.2 11.0 8.4 14.8 9.0 6.0 2.7 5.1 5.7 9.4 6.7 11.1 6.9 14.2 8.0 4.5 2.8 4.7 5.6 9.3 6.9 11.6 7.9 12.9 8.9 5.6 5.7 10.2 5.5 5.0 6.4 3.7 6.5 4.9 3.7 7.4 14.2 8.5 8.9 7.9 4.9 7.4 5.3 4.1 10.8 8.0 17.3 9.3 10.1 8.0 5.6 7.7 5.5 4.0 13.2 7.8 15.9 9.2 10.0 7.9 5.3 7.7 5.4 4.1 10.7 7.8 14.6 9.2 9.5 8.9 5.3 7.8 5.6 4.4 11.1 7.8 14.8 8.9 9.0 8.6 4.9 8.2 5.5 4.2 10.1 7.7 13.8 8.8 9.0 8.5 4.9 8.3 5.5 4.1 10.6 7.5 13.3 8.4 8.3 8.5 5.8 7.6 5.8 4.4 11.5 7.5 13.2 8.4 8.5 8.2 5.5 7.6 6.0 4.3 12.1 7.3 14.7 8.0 7.9 8.3 6.4 7.3 5.6 4.6 11.9 7.2 14.4 7.4 7.3 7.6 5.7 7.3 5.9 4.9 9.1 7.8 16.3 7.9 7.3 8.9 5.9 8.4 5.9 4.8 11.1 7.4 16.6 7.6 7.4 7.8 4.7 7.5 5.8 4.5 13.1 7.2 15.0 7.3 7.3 7.3 4.0 7.9 5.6 4.5 10.3 7.2 16.7 7.0 6.4 7.9 4.8 7.8 5.6 4.4 12.6 CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers .......................................... Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ........................................................ Salesworkers .............................................. Clerical workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................ Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................ Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers ........................................ Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers...................................................... INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage-and-salary workers2 Construction ................................................ Manufacturing.............................................. Durable goods ...................................... Nondurable goods.................................. Transportation and public utilities .................. Wholesale and retail trade............................ Finance and service industries ...................... Government workers .......................................... Agricultural wage-and-salary workers .................. 9'1 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Includes mining, not shown separately, 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted 1381 1980 Annual average Sex and age Dec. Jan. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Total, 16 years and over...................................... 16 to 19 years.............................................. 16 to 17 years........................................ 18 to 19 years........................................ 20 to 24 years.............................................. 25 years and over ........................................ 25 to 54 years........................................ 55 years and o ve r.................................. 5.8 16.1 18.1 14.6 9.0 3.9 4.1 3.0 7.1 17.7 20.0 16.1 11.5 5.0 5.4 3.3 7.6 18.8 22.1 16.5 12.0 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.4 17.8 20.1 16.0 12.0 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.6 18.5 20.9 16.7 12.3 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.5 18.6 21.4 16.5 12.1 5.4 5.9 3.3 7.4 17.8 19.9 16.4 11.7 5.3 5.8 3.5 7.4 19.0 21.0 17.5 11.9 5.3 5.7 3.5 7.3 19.3 21.4 17.9 11.8 5.1 5.5 3.6 7.3 19.1 21.3 17.7 11.7 5.2 5.5 3.7 7.3 19.1 22.0 17.2 12.1 5.0 5.4 3.3 7.6 19.5 21.6 18.2 12.9 5.3 5.6 3.3 7.3 19.0 22.6 17.3 12.1 5.2 5.6 3.4 7.0 18.1 19.3 17.7 11.3 5.1 5.4 3.5 7.2 18.8 20.5 17.4 11.8 5.1 5.4 3.5 Men, 16 years and o v e r................................ 16 to 19 years........................................ 16 to 17 years ................................ 18 to 19 years ................................ 20 to 24 years........................................ 25 years and over.................................. 25 to 54 years ................................ 55 years and over............................ 5.1 15.8 17.9 14.2 8.6 3.3 3.4 2.9 6.9 18.2 20.4 16.7 12.5 4.7 5.1 3.3 7.6 19.9 23.7 17.1 13.6 5.3 5.7 3.6 7.6 18.9 21.2 16.9 13.5 5.4 6.0 3.5 7.4 19.8 21.8 18.1 13.8 5.1 5.6 3.3 7.4 19.8 22.3 17.8 13.2 5.1 5.6 3.3 7.2 19.0 20.5 17.8 12.5 4.9 5.4 3.3 7.2 20.3 23.0 18.5 12.8 4.9 5.2 3.4 7.1 20.1 22.1 18.7 12.7 4.8 5.2 3.4 7.0 19.5 21.1 18.6 13.0 4.7 5.1 3.2 6.9 19.3 22.7 17.0 13.2 4.6 4.9 3.1 7.4 20.2 22.7 18.3 14.2 4.8 5.1 3.4 7.1 19.8 24.4 18.1 12.8 5.0 5.3 3.5 6.6 18.4 19.8 17.8 11.3 4.7 4.9 3.4 7.0 19.7 21.5 18.1 12.7 4.8 5.0 3.4 Women, 16 years and over............................ 16 to 19 years........................................ 16 to 17 years ................................ 18 to 19 years ................................ 20 to 24 years........................................ 25 years and o ve r.................................. 25 to 54 years ................................ 55 years and over............................ 6.8 16.4 18.3 15.0 9.6 4.8 5.2 3.2 7.4 17.2 19.5 15.6 10.3 5.5 5.9 3.2 7.6 17.6 20.2 15.9 10.2 5.7 6.2 3.1 7.2 16.6 18.8 15.1 10.2 5.4 5.9 3.3 7.7 17.0 19.8 15.1 10.6 5.9 6.4 3.4 7.7 17.2 20.3 15.1 10.8 5.8 6.2 3.4 7.7 16.5 19.3 14.8 10.8 5.9 6.3 3.9 7.7 17.5 18.7 16.4 10.8 5.8 6.3 3.6 7.6 18.4 20.5 17.0 10.8 5.6 5.9 3.9 7.7 18.7 21.6 16.5 10.1 5.9 6.2 4.5 7.7 18.9 21.1 17.4 10.9 5.6 6.0 3.7 7.9 18.7 20.4 18.2 11.4 5.9 6.4 3.3 7.6 18.2 20.6 16.4 11.2 5.6 6.0 3.3 7.7 17.7 18.7 17.5 11.3 5.7 6.1 3.7 7.5 17.8 19.5 16.8 10.8 5.5 5.9 3.6 6. Nov. Feb. 1979 Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers In thousands] 1981 1980 Reason for unemployment Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 4,319 1,699 2,620 890 1,883 870 4,387 1,744 2,643 855 1,844 862 4,240 1,692 2,548 870 2,013 880 4,229 1,453 2,776 897 1,896 890 4,226 1,470 2,756 813 1,869 868 3,847 1,258 2,590 907 2,039 1,000 3,896 1,267 2,629 884 1,970 928 3,846 1,299 2,547 863 2,040 986 3,819 1,280 2,539 854 2,017 987 4,084 1,368 2,715 1,009 2,126 938 4,219 1,367 2,852 863 1,955 956 3,691 1,178 2,513 898 2,022 873 3,929 1,205 2,724 838 1,939 944 100.0 54.2 21.3 32.9 11.2 23.6 10.9 100.0 55.2 21.9 33.3 10.8 23.2 10.8 100.0 53.0 21.1 31.8 10.9 25.2 11.0 100.0 53.5 18.4 35.1 11.3 24.0 11.2 100.0 54.3 18.9 35.4 10.5 24.0 11.2 100.0 49.4 16.1 33.2 11.6 26.2 12.8 100.0 50.7 16.5 34.2 11.5 25.7 12.1 100.0 49.7 16.8 32.9 11.2 26.4 12.7 100.0 49.7 16.7 33.1 11.1 26.3 12.9 100.0 50.1 16.8 33.3 12.4 26.1 11.5 100.0 52.8 17.1 35.7 10.8 24.5 12.0 100.0 49.3 15.7 33.6 12.0 27.0 11.7 100.0 51.4 15.7 35.6 11.0 25.4 12.3 4.1 .8 1.8 .8 4.2 .8 1.8 .8 4.0 .8 1.9 .8 4.0 .9 1.8 .8 4.0 .8 1.8 .8 3.6 .9 1.9 .9 3.7 .8 1.9 .9 3.6 .8 1.9 .9 3.6 .8 1.9 .9 3.8 .9 2.0 .9 4.0 .8 1.8 .9 3.5 .8 1.9 .8 3.7 .8 1.8 .9 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last jo b ......................................................................................... On layoff....................................................................................... Other job losers............................................................................ Left last job ......................................................................................... Reentered labor force.......................................................................... Seeking first job .................................................................................. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed................................................................................ Job losers .......................................................................................... On ayoff....................................................................................... Other job losers............................................................................ Job leavers ........................................................................................ Reentrants.......................................................................................... New entrants ....................................................................................... UNEMPLOYED AS A PERCENT OF THE CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers .......................................................................................... Job leavers ........................................................................................ Reentrants.......................................................................................... New entrants ....................................................................................... 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks .............................................. 5 to 14 weeks .................................................... 15 weeks and over.............................................. 15 to 26 weeks ............................................ 27 weeks and over........................................ Average (mean) duration, in weeks ...................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 1980 Annual average 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 2,869 1,892 1,202 684 518 10.9 3,208 2,411 1,829 1,028 802 11.9 3,255 2,533 2,150 1,239 911 12.5 3,042 2,586 2,295 1,366 929 13.0 3,186 2,500 2,292 1,256 1,036 13.3 3,108 2,524 2,329 1,213 1,116 13.6 3,115 2,217 2,378 1,231 1,147 13.5 3,259 2,264 2,358 1,079 1,279 14.4 3,203 2,324 2,250 992 1,257 14.4 3,209 2,356 2,192 1,013 1,179 14.0 3,074 2,462 2,105 1,001 1,104 13.7 3,369 2,581 2,168 1,022 1,146 13.2 3,172 2,360 2,315 1,205 1,110 14.2 3,187 2,196 2,100 1,068 1,032 13.9 3,161 2,345 2,194 1,059 1,135 14.5 63 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS E mployment, hours, and earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 166,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Labor turnover data in this section are compiled from per sonnel records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies. A sample of 40,000 establishments represents all industries in the manufacturing and mining sectors of the economy. Bureau of Labor Statistics computes spendable earnings from gross weekly earnings for only two illustrative cases: (1) a worker with no dependents and (2) a married worker with three dependents. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Labor turnover is the movement of all wage and salary workers from one employment status to another. Accession rates indicate the average number of persons added to a payroll in a given period per 100 employees; separation rates indicate the average number dropped from a payroll per 100 employees. Although month-to-month changes in employment can be calculated from the labor turnover data, the re sults are not comparable with employment data from the employment and payroll survey. The labor turnover survey measures changes dur ing the calendar month while the employment and payroll survey measures changes from midmonth to midmonth. Notes on the data Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 14-20 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities, in wholesale and retail trade, in finance, in surance, and real estate, and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to eliminate the effects of price change. The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from aver age hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Spendable earnings are earnings from which estimat ed social security and Federal income taxes have been deducted. The 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of June 1981 data, published in the August 1981 issue of the R e view. Consequently, data published in the R e v ie w prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through March 1981 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through March 1981) and in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta tes, 1 9 0 9 -7 8 , BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). Data on recalls were shown for the first time in tables 12 and 13 in the January 1978 issue of the R ev ie w . For a detailed discussion of the recalls series, along with historical data, see “New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Survey,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, Decem ber 1977, pp. 10-19. A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). The formulas used to construct the spendable average weekly earn ings series reflect the latest provisions of the Federal income tax and social security tax laws. For the spendable average weekly earnings formulas for the years 1979-81, see E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, March 1981, pp. 10-11. Real earnings data are adjusted using the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). 8. Employment by industry, 1951-80 [NonagricuItural payroll data, in thousands] Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insur ance, and real estate Services Total Mining Construc tion Manufac turing .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 47,819 48,793 50,202 48,990 50,641 929 898 866 791 792 2,637 2,668 2,659 2,646 2,839 16,393 16,632 17,549 16,314 16,082 4,226 4,248 4,290 4,084 4,141 9,742 10,004 10,247 10,235 10,535 2,727 2,812 2,854 2,867 2,926 7,015 7,192 7,393 7,368 7,610 1,956 2,035 2,111 2,200 2,298 1956 .......................................................... 1957 .......................................................... 1958 .......................................................... 1959' ........................................................ 1960 .......................................................... 52,369 52,853 51,324 53,268 54,189 822 828 751 732 712 3,039 2,962 2,817 3,004 2,920 17,243 17,174 15,945 16,675 16,796 4,244 4,241 3,976 4,011 4,004 10,858 10,886 10,750 11,127 11,391 3,018 3,028 2,980 3,082 3,143 7,840 7,858 7,770 8,045 8,248 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 53,999 55,549 56,653 58,283 60,765 672 650 635 634 632 2,859 2,948 3,010 3,097 3,232 16,326 16,853 16,995 17,274 18,062 3,903 3,906 3,903 3,951 4.036 11,337 11,566 11,778 12,160 12,716 3,133 3,198 3,248 3,337 3,466 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,823 90,564 779 813 851 958 1,020 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,463 4,399 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,040 20,300 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,136 5,143 Year 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 Government Whole sale and retail trade Trans portation and public utilities Total Federal State and local 5,547 5,699 5,835 5,969 6,240 6,389 6,609 6,645 6,751 6,914 2,302 2,420 2,305 2,188 2,187 4,087 4,188 4,340 4,563 4,727 2,389 2,438 2,481 2,549 2,629 6,497 6,708 6,765 7,087 7,378 7,278 7,616 7,839 8,083 8,353 2,209 2,217 2,191 2,233 2,270 5,069 5,399 5,648 5,850 6,083 8,204 8,368 8,530 8,823 9,250 2,688 2,754 2,830 2,911 2,977 7,620 7,982 8,277 8,660 9,036 8,594 8,890 9,225 9,596 10,074 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,378 6,315 6,550 6,868 7,248 7,696 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10.798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 15,352 15,943 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,192 20,386 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 5,281 13,209 13,808 14,573 14,989 15,104 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,975 5,168 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,112 17,901 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,947 16,249 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,866 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 13,383 'Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 P State July 1989 June 1981 July 1981 p Alabama .............. Alaska .................. Arizona ................ Arkansas .............. California.............. 1,342.5 181.1 973.7 734.7 9,726.3 1,346.2 184.7 1,003.5 749.9 9,992.9 1,344.5 190.6 995.9 745.3 9,882.4 Montana.................................................................. Nebraska ................................................................ Nevada .................................................................. New Hampshire ...................................................... New Jersey ............................................................ 280.2 625.0 401.9 386.9 3,085.8 291.4 638.3 417.4 390.0 3,140.7 284.2 629.3 418.3 389.5 3,133.1 Colorado .............. Connecticut .......... Delaware.............. District of Columbia. Florida.................. 1,253.4 1,415.6 259.5 632.5 3,497.7 1,270.1 1,450.6 262 0 616.0 3,747.1 1,273.4 1,427.9 263.9 629.5 3,689.1 New Mexico............................................................ New York................................................................ North Carolina ........................................................ North Dakota .......................................................... Ohio ...................................................................... 462.2 7,223.0 2,328.3 246.5 4,340.0 467.4 7,307.3 2,414.6 250.1 4,422.9 466.3 7,264.4 2,357.2 248.3 4,364.9 Georgia................ Hawaii.................. Idaho.................... Illinois .................. Indiana.................. 2,129.0 410.4 328.7 4,893.6 2,101.2 2,161.9 405.3 329.9 4,879.4 2,135.5 2,151.2 407.6 326.7 4,864.4 2,108.5 Oklahoma .............................................................. Oregon .................................................................. Pennsylvania .......................................................... Rhode Island .......................................................... South Carolina ........................................................ 1,132.0 1,027.3 4,724.3 391.0 1,165.8 1,185.1 1,031.7 4,743.2 401.9 1,199.4 1,176.2 1,010.7 4,686.2 391.0 1,184.6 Iowa .................... Kansas ................ Kentucky .............. Louisiana.............. Maine .................. 1,061.3 935.9 1,198.9 1,572.2 418.3 1,081.1 962.0 1,191.8 1,632.7 428.8 1,063.6 943.4 1,187.4 1,638.4 428.0 Soutn Dakota.......................................................... Tennessee .............................................................. Texas .................................................................... Utah ...................................................................... Vermont.................................................................. 236.7 1,704.7 5,872.2 543.4 196.3 240.0 1,727.0 6,134.1 554.1 203.6 235.0 1,705.3 6,150.3 548.8 201.4 Maryland............ Massachusetts . . . Michigan ............ Minnesota .......... Mississippi .......... Missouri.............. 1,703.9 2,626.9 3,348.7 1,767.5 817.4 1,957.7 1,718.6 2,702.4 3,498.3 1,771.6 820.0 1,980.5 1,690.1 2,332.1 3,458.5 1,753.7 817.1 1,964.0 Virginia.................................................................... Washington ............................................................ West Virginia .......................................................... Wisconsin................................................................ Wyoming ................................................................ 2,113.4 1,600.6 651.3 1,930.0 209.3 2,164.3 1,616.3 625.7 1,964.3 213.4 2,145.0 1,582.0 641.3 1,952.7 213.3 Virgin Islands .......................................................... 36.4 36.9 37.4 State https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 65 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual average 1980 1981 Industry division and group 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep July P Aug. TOTAL .......................................................... 89,823 90,564 89,969 90,638 91,244 91,599 91,750 89,988 90,138 90,720 91,337 91,848 92,481 91,685 91,767 MINING .............................................................. 958 1,020 1,024 1,030 1,034 1,051 1,060 1,066 1,071 1,084 941 957 1,132 1,154 1,167 CONSTRUCTION 4,463 4,399 4,637 4,613 4,619 4,533 4,343 3,995 3,901 4,048 4,246 4,356 4,477 4,551 4,568 MANUFACTURING .............................................. Production workers.................................. 21,040 15,068 20,300 14,223 19,997 13,907 20,212 14,131 20,235 14,141 20,293 14,190 20,238 14,126 20,075 13,975 20,065 13,971 20,160 14,049 20,253 14,127 20,342 14,195 20,531 14,325 20,351 14,126 20,513 14,285 Durable goods ................................................ Production workers.................................. 12,760 9,110 12,181 8,438 11,796 8,048 11,990 8,244 12,061 8,304 12,156 8,391 12,147 8,374 12,072 8,305 12,042 8,279 12,120 8,345 12,197 8,412 12,235 8,438 12,334 8,500 12,208 8,361 12,214 8,366 Lumber and wood products ............................ Furniture and fixtures...................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................... Primary metal industries.................................. Fabricated metal products .............................. Machinery, except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment.................... Transportation equipment................................ Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................... 766.9 497.8 708.7 1,253.9 1,717.7 2,484.8 2,116.9 2,077.2 691.2 444.8 690.3 468.8 665.6 1,144.1 1,609.0 2,497.0 2,103.2 1,875.3 708.5 419.3 686.5 449.8 661.4 1,069.9 1,549.9 2,426.4 2,057.5 1,772.5 707.0 415.2 693.6 461.6 665.5 1,092.0 1,576.4 2,453.4 2,079.6 1,842.4 705.6 419.8 691.4 687.9 465.0 468.6 665.2 663.5 1,103.7 1,123.3 1,586.6 1,597.6 2,461.2 ' 2,479.6 2,094.8 2,109.6 1,869.0 1,894.6 706.3 711.2 419.2 417.9 685.9 470.5 652.3 1,136.3 1,596.4 2,496.8 2,118.0 1,871.4 713.8 405.9 674.6 469.6 635.0 1,136.7 1,580.2 2,496.9 2,114.0 1,854.9 712.4 398.0 674.5 471.7 630.6 1,137.7 1,578.1 2,498.4 2,112.3 1,824.8 710.1 403.3 678.3 472.1 639.5 1,141.3 1,585.4 2,504.3 2,119.5 1,860.4 712.1 406.7 686.9 478.0 652.6 1,149.9 1,593.7 2,506.1 2,129.7 1,874.3 714.4 411.3 703.4 479.0 659.7 1,147.5 1,596.1 2,508.6 2,134.7 1,877.4 715.2 413.4 711.0 480.5 671.0 1,155.5 1,606.8 2,531.3 2,152.7 1,882.7 723.2 419.5 709.6 472.9 665.6 1,137.0 1,584.7 2,522.2 2,139.6 1,844.3 721.3 411.1 708.2 481.9 670.0 1,130.0 1,587.6 2,522.1 2,142.0 1,823.7 726.7 421.7 Nondurable goods .......................................... Production workers.................................. 8,280 5,958 8,118 5,786 8,201 5,859 8,222 5,887 8,174 5,837 8,137 5,799 8,091 5,752 8,003 5,670 8,023 5,692 8,040 5,704 8,056 5,715 8,107 5,757 8,197 5,825 8,143 5,765 8,299 5,919 Food and kindred products.............................. Tobacco manufactures .................................. Textile mill products........................................ Apparel and other textile products .................. Paper and allied products .............................. Printing and publishing.................................... Chemicals and allied products ........................ Petroleum and coal products .......................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products . . , Leather and leather products .......................... 1,732.5 70.0 885.1 1,304.3 706.8 1,235.1 1,109.3 209.8 781.6 245.7 1,710.8 69.2 852.7 1,265.8 694.0 1,258.3 1,107.4 196.6 730.7 232.6 1,828.7 71.2 842.5 1,267.6 689.0 1,251.0 1,102.8 211.8 702.2 234.4 1,823.5 74.9 843.3 1,274.3 688.6 1,255.1 1,100.9 210.2 718.0 232.7 1,765.2 75.9 845.4 1,270.5 690.6 1,259.1 1,099.5 209.7 725.7 232.1 1,719.3 75.3 847.8 1,262.3 691.4 1,268.2 1,100.1 209.5 730.6 232.5 1,688.5 74.4 846.1 1,241.1 691.5 1,278.3 1,101.2 206.8 733.2 229.4 1,645.2 72.0 841.0 1,222.8 687.7 1,269.0 1,100.1 206.5 731.8 226.9 1,639.2 70.6 841.1 1,238.7 687.7 1,273.6 1,102.9 205.7 734.2 229.5 1,632.5 68.3 840.9 1,250.2 688.6 1,278.2 1,106.8 207.0 737.2 230.4 1,631.0 66.2 841.6 1,255.2 690.9 1,280.4 1,106.2 209.5 743.5 231.7 1,648.1 65.2 844.3 1,265.9 693.1 1,281.8 1,110.3 212.9 749.2 235.9 1,673.4 66.4 851.0 1,283.0 701.0 1,286.2 1,121.1 2154 759.0 239.1 1,719.1 66.3 837.2 1,230.8 695.5 1,287.2 1,115.5 216.0 747.4 228.0 1,770.6 75.1 847.1 1,281.4 700.8 1,287.7 1,116.0 215.9 755.8 248.1 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 5,136 5,143 5,134 5,159 5,166 5,147 5,150 5,063 5,076 5,095 5,120 5,148 5,195 5,171 5,184 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE...................... 20,192 20,386 20,373 20,495 20,533 20,761 21,138 20,366 20,196 20,290 20,513 20,672 20,795 20,733 20,812 WHOLESALE TRADE .......................................... 5,204 5,281 5,287 5,293 5,315 5,312 5,315 5,276 5,273 5,293 5,317 5,335 5,381 5,375 5,381 14,989 15,104 15,086 15,202 15,218 15,449 15,823 15,090 14,923 14,997 15,196 15,337 15,414 15,358 15,431 4,975 5,168 5,238 5,201 5,211 5,223 5,237 5,235 5,245 5,263 5,295 5,326 5,384 5,410 5,409 RETAIL TRADE.................................................... FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . SERVICES .......................................................... 17,112 17,901 18,136 18,087 18,115 18,118 18,149 17,972 18,126 18,287 18,512 18,633 18,764 15,858 18,856 GOVERNMENT .................................................... Federal.......................................................... State and local .............................................. 15,947 2,773 13,174 16,249 2,866 13,383 15,430 2,862 12,568 15,841 2,754 13,087 16,331 2,774 13,557 16,473 2,776 13,697 16,435 2,782 13,653 16,216 2,773 13,443 16,458 2,774 13,684 16,493 2,769 13,724 16,457 2,773 13,684 16,414 2,782 13,632 16,203 2,825 13,378 15,457 2,833 12,624 15,258 2,797 12,461 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] 1980 1981 Industry division and group TOTAL ........................................................................................ Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July p Aug.p 90,219 90,461 90,668 90,844 90,949 91,091 91,258 91,347 91,458 91,564 91,615 91,966 92,027 MINING .......................................................................................... 1,008 1,023 1,032 1,052 1,069 1,083 1,091 1,098 950 957 1,110 1,131 1,149 CONSTRUCTION ................................................................................ 4,324 4,362 4,379 4,389 4,387 4,390 4,389 4,416 4,418 4,334 4,284 4,269 4,265 MANUFACTURING.............................................................................. Production workers ................................................................ 19,990 13,930 20,060 13,992 20,110 14,024 20,188 14,081 20,175 14,059 20,174 14,053 20,177 14,053 20,191 14,074 20,332 14,187 20,414 14,247 20,424 14,245 20,547 14,342 20,515 14,327 Durable goods................................................................................ Production workers ................................................................ 11,907 8,176 11,968 8,229 12,013 8,259 12,090 8,320 12,077 8,301 12,084 8,306 12,074 8,297 12,099 8,325 12,207 8,412 12,254 8,442 12,278 8,455 12,339 8,502 12,330 8,505 Lumber and wood products............................................................ Furniture and fixtures .................................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................................................... Primary metal industries ................................................................ Fabricated metal products.............................................................. Machinery, except electrical .......................................................... Electric and electronic equipment.................................................... Transportation equipment .............................................................. Instruments and related products.................................................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.......................................................... 671 456 651 1,077 1,567 2,454 2,074 1,839 707 411 680 462 656 1,092 1,575 2,463 2,078 1,843 709 410 679 462 655 1,108 1,578 2,481 2,087 1,848 709 406 683 463 658 1,126 1,582 2,489 2,096 1,874 712 407 687 464 655 1,137 1,581 2,490 2,103 1,839 712 409 689 464 654 1,137 1,579 2,487 2,110 1,840 713 411 691 466 654 1,140 1,577 2,481 2,110 1,833 711 411 692 467 651 1,141 1,581 2,480 2,117 1,849 712 409 702 478 656 1,145 1,595 2,491 2,134 1,878 714 414 710 484 658 1,142 1,604 2,511 2,143 1,872 716 414 699 486 658 1,144 1,604 2,521 2,148 1,886 717 415 703 489 657 1,142 1,614 2,537 2,163 1,887 722 425 693 489 661 1,138 1,607 2,553 2,161 1,884 727 417 Nondurable goods.......................................................................... Production workers ................................................................ 8,083 5,754 8,092 5,763 8,097 5,765 8,098 5,761 8,098 5,758 8,090 5,747 8,103 5,756 8,092 5,749 8,125 5,775 8,160 5,805 8,146 5,790 8,208 5,840 8,185 5,822 Food and kindred products ............................................................ Tobacco manufactures .................................................................. Textile mill products ...................................................................... Apparel and other textile products.................................................. Paper and allied products .............................................................. Printing and publishing.................................................................... Chemicals and allied products........................................................ Petroleum and coal products.......................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................................... Leather and leather products.......................................................... 1,720 68 844 1,263 687 1,256 1,097 208 708 232 1,712 68 843 1,261 689 1,261 1,101 208 717 232 1,711 69 845 1,256 691 1,262 1,102 208 722 231 1,705 71 844 1,253 692 1,265 1,103 209 725 231 1,701 71 842 1,250 692 1,269 1,105 209 729 230 1,696 71 841 1,244 691 1,269 1,106 211 730 231 1,705 72 839 1,243 691 1,272 1,109 210 731 231 1,691 72 838 1,243 689 1,276 1,108 210 734 231 1,697 72 842 1,250 691 1,280 1,107 211 744 231 1,703 71 843 1,258 694 1,283 1,109 213 753 233 1,673 71 846 1,264 695 1,284 1,111 212 757 232 1,695 71 857 1,278 696 1,291 1,109 212 760 239 1,666 72 849 1,276 699 1,293 1,110 212 763 245 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES ...................................... 5,126 5,124 5,129 5,114 5,118 5,124 5,135 5,139 5,161 5,148 5,149 5,161 5,179 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 20,413 20,450 20,461 20,464 20,470 20,529 20,600 20,635 20,636 20,714 20,717 20,794 20,863 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................................................... 5,274 5,290 5,296 5,296 5,300 5,305 5,313 5,316 5,333 5,346 5,349 5,359 5,370 RETAIL TRADE ................................................................................. 15,139 15,160 15,165 15,168 15,170 15,224 15,287 15,319 15,303 15,368 15,368 15,435 15,493 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ...................................... 5,188 5,206 5,221 5,235 5,254 5,268 5,283 5,293 5,316 5,326 5,331 5,346 5,355 SERVICES.......................................................................................... 17,981 18,043 18,087 18,160 18,240 18,300 18,343 18,371 18,475 18,540 18,560 18,653 18,688 GOVERNMENT ................................................................................. Federal ........................................................................................ State and local.............................................................................. 16,189 2,808 13,381 16,193 2,784 13,409 16,249 2,795 13,454 16,242 2,796 13,446 16,236 2,800 13,436 16,223 2,799 13,424 16,240 2,795 13,445 16,204 2,781 13,423 16,170 2,767 13,403 16,131 2,779 13,352 16,040 2,781 13,259 16,065 2,777 13,288 16,013 2,742 13,271 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 67 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date [Per 100 employees] Year Annual average Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 3.7 3.8 4,0 3.8 3.4 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.0 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.1 3.3 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.4 3.5 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4.3 4,4 4.3 3.8 p3.6 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.6 4.9 4.5 4.3 3.9 4.3 4.1 3.6 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.2 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.1 P2.3 4.0 4.2 3.7 2.5 3.5 3.9 3.4 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.1 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.2 .9 .8 .9 1.5 p1.0 1.0 .9 .9 1.7 .8 .7 .8 1.4 .6 .6 .7 1.1 .6 .5 .6 .9 .6 .5 .5 .8 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.2 p3.6 5.1 5.3 5.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.1 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.4 p1.5 3.1 3.5 3.3 2.2 2.8 3.1 2.7 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 .9 1.5 1.1 1.4 2.0 »1.3 1.0 .8 1.3 1.7 1.1 .8 1.1 1.4 1.1 .9 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6 Total accessions 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.5 4.9 4.9 4.8 3.9 4.0 New hires 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.2 1.8 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.1 2.3 3.7 3.9 3.8 2.4 2.8 Recalls 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .9 .7 .7 1.1 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.3 1.3 .7 .7 .9 1.0 1.1 .8 .7 .9 1.1 .9 .8 .7 .8 1.1 .8 .8 .8 1.0 1.0 .8 .7 .7 1.2 .9 Total separations 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.7 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.8 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.4 3.2 Quits 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.1 1.4 1.4 Layoffs 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 13. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.1 .9 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.4 .9 .8 1.2 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 1.3 1.2 .9 .8 .9 2.3 1.0 .8 .7 .7 2.5 1.0 .8 .7 .9 2.2 1.1 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group [Per 100 employees] Accession rates Major industry group Total Separation rates New hires Recalls Total Quits Layoffs July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p July 1980 June 1981 July 1981 p MANUFACTURING Seasonally adjusted.............. 3.8 3.5 4,0 3.4 3.6 3.3 2.1 2.0 2.8 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 .9 4.2 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.0 Durable goods Lumber and wood products.......... Furniture and fixtures .................. Stone, clay, and glass products . . . Primary metal industries .............. Fabricated metal products............ Machinery, except electrical.......... Electric and electronic equipment .. Transportation equipment ............ Instruments and related products .. Miscellaneous manufacturing........ 3.2 5.9 3.8 4.0 3.5 4.0 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.3 5.1 3.6 5.2 4.0 4.2 2.8 4.0 3.1 3.4 3.1 3.8 4.9 2.9 4.7 4.6 3.5 2.6 3.4 2.3 2.7 1.6 3.2 2.2 2.0 .7 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.8 2.4 3.7 3.1 2.8 1.5 2.7 2.3 2.4 1.6 3.2 3.5 1.9 3.2 3.4 2.2 1.0 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.3 2.5 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.9 .6 .8 1.2 .4 2.1 .8 1.3 .6 1.1 1.1 1.0 .6 .6 .9 .3 1.2 .8 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.1 .5 .5 4.0 5.3 5.6 4.0 5.3 4.4 3.1 3.3 4.1 2.4 5.6 3.0 4.8 3.9 3.2 2.5 3.4 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.1 4.3 3.2 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.2 3.6 2.6 2.8 1.1 2.2 1.8 1.2 .6 1.3 .9 1.0 .8 1.1 1.8 1.1 2.3 1.8 1.2 .6 1.3 .9 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.7 1.2 2.5 2.3 1.4 .6 1.3 1.0 1.1 2.1 2.1 2.8 1.9 3.8 2.3 1.6 1.5 2.6 .8 2.7 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 .8 .7 1.1 .4 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.5 ,9 .9 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products .......... Tobacco manufacturers................ Textile mill products .................... Apparel and other products.......... Paper and allied products ............ Printing and publishing.................. Chemicals and allied products . . . . Petroleum and coal products........ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products...................... Leather and leather products........ 4.7 8.4 4.9 4.0 5.8 2.9 2.9 1.5 2.5 4.6 7.3 3.9 3.5 5.4 3.5 3.6 2.5 3.0 4.5 7.9 3.3 4.6 1.6 2.9 3.8 2.4 2.9 2.1 2.5 1.1 2.5 1.5 .4 1.4 .7 .5 .3 ,4 3.6 5.3 2.6 3.3 5.0 2.1 2.9 1.7 1.7 4.3 6.3 2.6 2.9 1.8 2.4 1.8 2.4 .5 2.1 2.7 .9 1.6 .6 .7 1.7 2.2 .4 1.9 2.6 8 1.7 .7 .6 1.9 2.2 .6 1.6 .7 .4 .3 .3 4.6 6.0 2.2 5.1 6.6 3.2 3.0 1.9 1.9 4.2 5.6 3.0 3.9 1.6 2.5 1.2 1.8 1.6 3.0 2.0 1.3 2.2 1.4 .5 .3 .4 1.3 3.1 3.9 5.7 2.5 3.0 1.7 2.1 2.9 5.3 1.1 2.5 3.4 1.4 2.3 1.1 2.0 2.4 3.0 1.0 1.7 .7 .6 2.0 2.7 .9 2,0 2.9 1.5 .8 .8 .5 1.1 2.3 1.3 .5 1.6 .7 .7 .4 .5 1.0 2.3 .9 ,6 .6 .9 4.6 7.7 4.6 6.4 3.9 7.2 2.1 44 3.3 5.1 2.8 4.7 2.2 3.0 1.0 1.1 .8 2.2 5.4 8.8 3.5 5.7 4.0 7.3 1.6 3.3 1.7 3.0 1.8 3.3 2.7 4.6 .9 1.7 1.1 3.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 68 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.2 4,5 1.7 3.1 3.0 4.6 .3 1.3 2.2 4.8 1.1 1.9 .5 2.1 1.5 2.6 14. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1950-80 [Gross averages, productionor nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Total private Average weekly hours — $53.13 39.8 $1.335 $67.16 37.9 $1.772 $69.68 37.4 $1.863 $58.32 40.5 $1.440 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 57.86 60.65 63.76 64.52 67.72 39.9 39.9 39.6 39.1 39.6 1.45 1.52 1.61 1.65 1.71 74.11 77.59 83.03 82.60 89.54 38.4 38.6 38.8 38.6 40.7 1.93 2.01 2.14 2.14 2.20 76.96 82.86 86.41 88.91 90.90 38.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 37.1 2.02 2.13 2.28 2.39 2.45 63.34 66.75 70.47 70.49 75.30 40.6 40.7 40.5 39.6 40.7 1.56 1.64 1.74 1.78 1.85 1956 .................. 1957 .................. 1958 .................. 1959' ................ 1960 .................. 70.74 73.33 75.08 78.78 80.67 39.3 38.8 38.5 39.0 38.6 1.80 1.89 1.95 2.02 2.09 95.06 98.25 96.08 103.68 105.04 40.8 40.1 38.9 40.5 40.4 2.33 2.45 2.47 2.56 2.60 96.38 100.27 103.78 108.41 112.67 37.5 37.0 36.8 37.0 36.7 2.57 2.71 2.82 2.93 3.07 78.78 81.19 82.32 88.26 89.72 40.4 39.8 39.2 40.3 39.7 1.95 2.04 2.10 2.19 2.26 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 38.6 38.7 38.8 38.7 38.8 2.14 2.22 2.28 2.36 2.46 106.92 110.70 114.40 117.74 123.52 40.5 41.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 2.64 2.70 2.75 2.81 2.92 118.08 122.47 127.19 132.06 138.38 36.9 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.4 3.20 3.31 3.41 3.55 3.70 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 2.32 2.39 2.45 2.53 2.61 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.91 235.10 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.3 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.07 396.14 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 43.2 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.49 9.17 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 367.04 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 9.92 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.70 7.27 1950 .................. 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 Transportation and public utilities $44.55 1964 .................. 1965 .................. Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade 40.5 Services $1.100 $50.52 37.7 $1.340 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.6 37.6 1.45 1.51 1.58 1.65 1.70 47.79 49 20 51 35 53 33 55 16 40.5 40 0 39.5 39.5 39.4 1.18 1.23 1.30 1.35 1.40 54.67 57.08 59.57 62.04 63.92 57 48 59.60 61 76 64 41 66 01 39.1 38.7 38.6 38 8 38 6 1.47 1.54 1.60 1.66 1.71 65.68 67.53 70.12 72.74 75.14 36.9 36.7 37.1 37.3 37.2 1.78 1.84 1.89 1.95 2.02 38.3 38.2 38.1 37.9 37.7 1.76 1.83 1.89 1.97' 2.04 77.12 80.94 84.38 85.79 88.91 36.9 37.3 37.5 37.3 37.2 2.09 2.17 2.25 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 67 41 69 91 7201 74.66 76.91 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 366 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.58 351.25 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 39.6 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.16 8.87 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 176.46 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 32.2 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 5.48 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 209.24 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 36.2 4.27 4,54 4.89 5.27 5.78 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 190.71 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.6 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 5.85 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, productionor nonsupervisoryworkers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1980 1981 Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE.......................................... 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July p Aug.p 35.7 35.3 35.5 35.3 35.3 35.3 35.6 35.1 35.0 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.4 35.5 35.6 MINING.............................................................. 43.0 43.2 43.2 43.5 43.6 43.6 44.1 43.6 42.8 42.3 43.6 43.8 42.1 43.1 43.4 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 37.0 37.0 37.3 38.0 37.9 36.8 37.2 36.4 35.0 37.2 36.9 36.9 37.2 37.7 37.4 MANUFACTURING ............................................ Overtime hours...................................... 40.2 3.3 39.7 2.8 39.4 2.7 39.8 3.0 39.8 2.9 40.2 3.1 40.8 3.3 39.9 2.9 39.5 2.8 39.9 2.8 39.7 2.6 40.1 2.9 40.2 3.0 39.6 2.8 39.9 3.0 Durable goods .............................................. Overtime hours...................................... 40.8 3.5 40.1 2.8 39.7 2.6 40.2 2.9 40.3 2.9 40.7 3.1 41.5 3.4 40.4 2.9 39.9 2.8 40.5 2.9 40.3 2.7 40.6 3.0 40.6 3.0 40.0 2.8 40.2 3.0 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 39.4 38.7 41.5 41.4 40.7 38.6 38.1 40.8 40.1 40.4 39.2 37.6 40.7 39.0 40.0 39.3 38.3 41.1 39.9 40.5 39.2 38.5 41.3 39.9 40.5 39.2 38.4 41.4 40.8 40.9 39.7 39.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 38.8 38.1 40.3 41.1 40.4 38.5 38.3 39.6 40.7 40.0 39.0 38.8 40.6 41.1 40.6 39.1 38.2 40.9 41.2 40.2 39.6 38.5 41.1 40.9 40.7 39.5 38.9 41.2 40.9 40.8 38.6 37.8 40.9 40.3 39.9 39.0 38.2 41.1 40.3 40.3 Machinery except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 41.8 40.3 41.1 40.8 38.8 41.0 39.8 40.6 40.5 38.7 40.3 39.2 40.0 39.9 38.5 41.0 39.7 40.7 40.1 39.1 40.7 39.8 41.1 40.3 38.9 41.3 40.4 41.7 40.9 39.1 42.2 41.0 43.1 41.2 39.5 41.2 40.1 40.9 40.6 38.6 40.8 39.6 40.1 40.5 38.4 41.2 40.2 41.1 40.6 38.9 40.8 39.8 41.0 39.9 38.6 41.2 40.1 41.6 40.3 38.9 41.1 40.2 41.3 40.4 39.0 40.5 39.8 40.8 40.0 38.5 40.6 40.0 41.2 40.2 38.8 Nondurable goods Overtime hours...................................... 39.3 3.1 39.0 2.8 39.0 2.9 39.1 3.1 39.1 2.9 39.4 3.0 39.9 3.1 39.2 2.9 38.9 2.8 39.1 2.7 38.9 2.6 39.4 2.9 39.5 2.9 39.1 2.8 39.4 3.1 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures.................................. Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 39.9 38.0 40.4 35.3 42.6 39.7 38.1 40.1 35.4 42.3 40.4 36.9 39.2 35.4 41.8 40.3 38.2 39.8 35.2 42.3 39.7 40.0 39.9 35.5 42.2 40.1 40.1 40.3 35.4 42.8 40.3 38.1 40.9 35.9 43.7 40.0 38.6 39.9 35.2 42.7 39.3 38.5 39.9 35.3 42.2 39.2 37.2 40.1 35.8 42.4 39.3 37.2 39.4 35.2 42.3 39.8 38.6 40.3 36.0 42.5 39.8 38.5 40.4 36.4 42.7 39.6 38.1 39.6 36.0 42.5 39.7 39.8 40.0 36.5 42.2 Printing and publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .. Leather and leather products ........................ 37.5 41.9 43.8 40.5 36.5 37.1 41.5 41.8 40.1 36.7 37.2 40.9 42.2 40.0 36.6 37.2 41.3 43.4 40.3 36.3 37.2 41.5 43.7 40.7 36.6 37.2 42.0 43.6 41.1 36.3 38.1 42.1 43.3 41.6 36.9 37.1 41.6 42.6 41.0 36.5 36.9 41.5 42.5 40.2 36.7 37.1 41.6 42.6 40.7 36.8 37.0 41.6 43.9 40.4 36.3 37.3 41.6 43.6 40.9 37.4 37.2 41.6 43.5 40.9 38.1 37.2 41.4 43.7 40.0 36.5 37.5 41.1 42.9 40.8 38.5 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 39.9 39.6 39.7 39.7 39.8 39.7 40.0 39.4 39.5 39.4 39.3 39.3 39.8 39.8 39.8 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 32.6 32.2 32.7 32.2 32.1 32.1 32.5 31.7 31.7 31.9 32.1 32.0 32.3 32.7 32.7 38.5 38.3 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.7 38.6 29.9 30.4 30.8 30.9 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 38.8 38.5 38.4 38.5 38.7 38.5 38.9 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 30.6 30.2 30.9 30.2 30.0 30.0 30.5 29.5 29.6 29.8 30.0 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 36.2 36.2 36.3 36.1 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.3 36.1 36.1 36.3 36.4 SERVICES.......................................................... 32.7 32.6 33.1 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.7 33.0 33.0 r = revised. 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, productionor nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1980 Industry division and group Aug. Sept. Oct. 1981 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July p Aug.p TOTAL PRIVATE................................................ 35.2 35.3 35.3 35.3 35.3 35.3 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.3 35.2 35.2 35.3 MANUFACTURING Overtime hours............................................ 39.5 2.7 39.6 2.7 39.7 2.8 39.8 3.0 39.9 3.0 40.1 3.0 39.8 2.8 39.9 2.8 40.2 2.9 40.3 3.2 40.1 3.0 40.0 3.0 40.1 3.1 Durable goods .................................................... Overtime hours............................................ 40.0 2.7 40.1 2.7 40.1 2.8 40.4 3.0 40.4 3.1 40.6 3.0 40.1 2.8 40.4 2.8 40.8 3.0 40.8 3.2 40.5 3.0 40.5 3.0 40.6 3.1 Lumber and wood products ................................ Furniture and fixtures .......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .......................... Primary metal industries...................................... Fabricated metal products .................................. 38.8 37.6 40.5 39.4 40.2 38.7 38.1 40.8 39.7 40.4 38.6 38.0 40.8 40.1 40.4 39.1 38.0 40.9 40.8 40.5 39.3 38.4 41.0 41.2 40.4 39.8 38.5 41.3 41.1 40.5 39.1 38.6 40.6 40.7 40.2 39.1 38.6 40.7 41.0 40.4 39.6 38.8 41.2 41.2 40.9 39.8 39.0 41.0 41.0 40.9 39.0 38.9 40.8 40.8 40.7 38.7 38.5 41.0 40.5 40.5 38.6 38.2 40.9 40.7 40.5 Machinery, except electrical ................................ Electric and electronic equipment ........................ Transportation equipment.................................... Instruments and related products ........................ Miscellaneous manufacturing .............................. 40,8 39.6 40.8 40.3 38.6 40.9 39.6 40.7 40.2 38.8 40.8 39.8 40.7 40.3 38.6 41.0 39.9 41.2 40.4 38.6 40.9 40.0 41.0 40.4 38.9 41.1 40.1 41.3 40.6 38.8 40.8 39.6 40.5 40.5 38.6 40.9 40.0 40.9 40.5 38.7 41.3 40.2 42.0 40.1 38.9 41.4 40.4 41.8 40.4 39.2 41.1 40.2 41.4 40.4 39.1 41.2 40.6 41.3 40.7 39.2 41.1 40.4 42.0 40.6 38.9 Nondurable goods Overtime hours............................................ 38.9 2.8 38.9 2.8 39.0 2.8 39.1 2.9 39.2 2.9 39.5 3.0 39.2 29 39.2 2.8 39.3 2.9 39.6 3.1 39.4 3.0 39.3 2.9 39.3 3.0 Food and kindred products.................................. Tobacco manufactures........................................ Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products........................ Paper and allied products.................................... 39.8 36.9 39.5 35.2 42.0 39.7 38.2 39.8 35.2 42.2 39.6 40.0 39.8 35.4 42.2 39.8 40.1 39.9 35.2 42.4 39.7 38.1 40.1 35.5 42.8 40.3 38.6 40.0 36.1 42.6 39.9 38.5 40.0 35.6 42.4 39.7 37.2 39.9 35.7 42.4 40.1 37.2 39.8 35.5 42.6 40.0 39.8 (’ ) 40.2 36.1 42.7 39.4 ( ') 40.5 36.0 42.8 ( 1) 40.3 35.9 42.8 39.2 (’ ) 40.3 36.3 42.4 Printing and publishing ........................................ Chemicals and allied products.............................. Petroleum and coal products .............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ........ Leather and leather products .............................. 37.0 41.2 42.1 40.2 36.6 36.9 41.4 42.4 40.2 36.4 37.1 41.5 42.8 40.5 36.7 36.8 41.6 42.9 40.8 36.3 37.4 41.6 43.2 40.8 36.6 37.5 41.6 43.8 40.9 36.8 37.3 41.6 43.8 40.3 37.0 37.1 41.5 43.5 40.5 37.1 37.3 41.5 44.1 40.7 36.6 37.6 41.7 43.8 41.3 37.1 37.4 41.7 43.4 41.0 37.1 37.3 41.7 43.1 40.5 36.4 37.3 41.4 42.7 41.0 38.5 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .......................... 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.2 32.1 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.3 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 1 WHOLESALE TRADE .............................................. 38.3 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.8 38.6 38.6 38.6 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.5 RETAIL TRADE........................................................ 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.2 30.0 30.1 30.2 30.2 30.3 30.1 30.1 30.0 30.1 SERVICES................................................................ 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.7 32.5 32.5 32.5 N ote : The industry divisions of mining; construction; transportation and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate are no longer published seasonally adjusted. This is because the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, or irregular components, or both and consequently cannot be precisely separated. 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 17. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, productionor nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1981 1980 Annual average Industry division and group 1979 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July? Aug.p TOTAL PRIVATE.......................................... $6.16 $6.06 $6.67 $6.79 $6.85 $6.92 $6.94 $7.03 $7.06 $7.10 $7.13 $7.17 $7.20 $7.24 $7.30 MINING.............................................................. 8.49 9.17 9.16 9.31 9.36 9.49 9.57 9.77 9.86 9.85 9.70 9.68 9.94 10.07 10.17 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 9.27 9.92 10.04 10.18 10.24 10.24 10.33 10.42 10.41 10.44 10.43 10.53 10.60 10.73 10.83 MANUFACTURING ............................................ 6.70 7.27 7.30 7.42 7.49 7.60 7.70 7.73 7.75 7.80 7.88 7.92 7.97 8.02 8.03 8.23 6.74 5.70 7.83 10.36 7.38 8.23 6.79 5.71 7.87 10.36 7.89 8.26 6.81 5.74 7.89 10.56 7.91 8.32 6.79 5.76 7.94 10.52 8.01 8.40 6.83 5.78 8.11 10.76 8.05 8.45 6.92 5.83 8.20 10.68 8.17 8.52 7.10 5.89 8.31 10.76 8.23 8.55 7.14 5.92 8.38 10.77 8.20 8.58 Curable goods............................................ Lumber and wood products .................... Furniture and fixtures.............................. Stone, clay, and glass products .............. Primary metal industries.......................... Fabricated metal products ...................... 7.13 6.07 5.06 6.85 8.98 6.85 7.75 6.53 5.49 7.50 9.77 7.45 7.77 6.72 5.55 7.63 9.85 7.49 7.92 6.76 5.59 7.69 9.96 7.63 8.01 6.73 5.60 7.74 10.10 7.69 8.11 6.76 5.63 7.81 10.29 7.77 Machinery, except electrical..................... Electric and electronic equipment............ Transportation equipment........................ Instruments and related products ............ Miscellaneous manufacturing .................. 7.32 6.32 8.53 6.17 5.03 8.00 6.95 9.32 6.80 5.47 8.02 7.01 9.33 6.86 5.48 8.21 7.12 9.54 6.91 5.53 8.30 7.18 9.75 6.94 5.56 8.38 7.27 9.87 7.01 5.62 8.50 7.38 10.09 7.13 5.73 8.53 7.41 9.96 7.19 5.82 8.56 7.43 9.93 7.20 5.83 8.62 7.47 10.08 7.23 5.85 8.67 7.51 10.14 7.25 5.91 8.75 7.55 10.25 7.31 5.93 8.81 7.60 10.36 7.34 5.93 8.85 7.71 10.35 7.45 5.97 Nondurable goods...................................... Food and kindred products...................... Tobacco manufactures............................ Textile mill products................................ Apparel and other textile products .......... Paper and allied products........................ 6.01 6.27 6.67 4.66 4.23 7.13 6.56 6.86 7.73 5.08 4.57 7.84 6.65 6.90 7.82 5.20 4.60 7.99 6.71 6.94 7.53 5.25 4.69 8.06 6.74 6.95 7.69 5.27 4.73 8.09 6.82 7.09 7.86 5.31 4.75 8.18 6.89 7.13 8.10 5.34 4.81 8.27 6.97 7.21 8.50 5.35 4.89 8.27 6.98 7.24 8.56 5.35 4.87 8.28 7.01 7.29 8.61 5.36 4.94 8.30 7.08 7.37 8.90 5.36 4.96 8.37 7.11 7.43 9.03 5.40 4.98 8.42 7.14 7.43 9.33 5.42 5.00 8.55 7.23 7.46 9.45 5.51 4.95 8.73 Printing and publishing............................ Chemicals and allied products ................ Petroleum and coal products .................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products .................. 6.94 7.60 9.36 5.97 4.22 7.53 8.30 1009 6.56 4.58 7.62 8.40 10.21 6.65 4.60 7.73 8.47 10.33 6.72 4.62 7.74 8.53 10.38 6.79 4.65 7.79 8.60 10.52 6.88 4.69 7.88 8.69 10.38 6.97 4.74 7.92 8.74 11.06 7.06 4.86 7.96 8.80 11.33 7.04 4.88 8.02 8.84 11.23 7.07 4.90 8.04 8.94 11.40 7.15 4.93 8.10 8.99 11.28 7.22 4.95 8.13 9.07 11.29 7.23 4.98 8.21 9.14 11.43 7.28 4.96 7.13 6.00 8.43 10.89 8.23 8.85 7.83 10.83 7.49 5.98 7.24 7.51 8.80 5.66 5.01 8.70 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 8.16 8.87 8.94 9.02 9.19 9.27 9.30 9.33 9.45 9.42 9.54 9.59 9.63 9.73 8.22 9.22 11.34 7.34 5.00 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 5.06 5.48 5.49 5.56 5.59 5.64 5.62 5.80 5.84 5.85 5.87 5.89 5.89 5.91 9.95 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 6.39 6.96 6.99 7.07 7.09 7.19 7.23 7.32 7.38 7.42 7.47 7.51 7.51 7.57 5.92 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 4.53 4.88 4.89 4.95 4.98 5.02 4.99 5.18 5.20 5.20 5.22 5.23 5.23 5.24 7.63 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 5.27 5.78 5.83 5.87 5.91 6.02 6.00 6.10 6.21 6.19 6.20 6.24 6.24 6.28 SERVICES.......................................................... 18. 5.24 5.36 5.85 5.81 5.93 6.00 6.09 6.12 6.21 6.27 6.29 6.30 6.33 6.33 6.36 6.40 6.33 Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [Seasonally adjusted data: 1977=100] 1981 1980 TOTAL PRIVATE (in current dollars) Mining' ........................................ Construction ................................ Manufacturing .............................. Transportation and public utilities . . . Wholesale and retail trade ............ Finance, insurance, and real estate . Services ...................................... TOTAL PRIVATE (in constant dollars) Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July p Aug.p 128.7 129.4 130.6 132.1 132.6 133.8 135.0 135.8 136.7 137.7 138.4 139.0 140.6 1.1 9.2 135.0 122.9 131.3 128.1 129.3 128.7 126.6 136.7 123.1 132.3 128.1 129.9 129.1 127.3 137.5 124.4 133.5 130.9 130.8 129.9 128.5 139.2 125.2 134.6 132.6 132.3 132.4 130.5 139.8 126.2 135.4 132.8 132.4 131.9 131.1 142.1 127.6 136.5 133.7 133.7 133.2 132.0 143.2 128.0 137.5 135.4 135.0 135.0 133.2 144.0 128.6 138.5 136.1 135.3 136.0 134.0 145.7 129.0 139.9 137.3 136.4 135.4 134.8 145.6 129.4 140.7 138.9 137.4 136.8 136.0 147.2 130.4 141.6 139.8 137.8 137.1 136.6 148.5 131.7 142.5 140.1 138.3 137.6 136.9 149.4 132.0 143.6 142.5 139.5 140.1 139.4 .6 .3 .8 1.8 .9 1.8 1.9 10.7 7.5 9.4 11.3 7.9 8.9 10.1 93.9 93.9 93.2 93.3 92.7 92.8 92.7 92.8 93.0 93.1 92.0 92.2 1The unadjusted data are shown because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Aug. 1980 to Aug. 1981 July 1981 to Aug. 1981 Industry 19. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private noriagricultural payrolls] 1981 1980 Annual average Industry division and group 1979 TOTAL PRIVATE................................ $219.91 1980 $235.10 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June JulyP Aug.p $236.79 $239.69 $241.81 $244.28 $247.06 $246.75 $247.10 $249.92 $250,98 $252.38 $254.88 $257.02 $259.8 425.97 422.01 416.66 422,92 423.98 418.47 434.02 441.38 364.35 388.37 384.87 388.56 394.32 404.52 405.04 MINING............................................................ 365.07 396.14 395.71 404.99 408.10 413.76 422.04 CONSTRUCTION 342.99 367.04 374.49 386.64 388.10 376.83 384.28 379.29 269.34 288.62 287.62 295.32 298.10 305.52 314.16 308.43 306.13 311.22 312.84 317.59 320.39 317.59 320.40 Durable goods.............................................. Lumber and wood products........................ Furniture and fixtures ................................ Stone, clay, and glass products.................. Primary metal Industries ............................ Fabricated metal products.......................... 290.90 239.16 195.82 284.28 371.77 278.80 310.78 252.06 209.17 306.00 391.78 300.98 308.47 263.42 208.68 310.54 384.15 299.60 318.38 265.67 214.10 316.06 397.40 309.02 322.80 263.82 215.60 319.66 402.99 311.45 330.08 264.99 216.19 323.33 419.83 317.79 341.55 267.58 225.72 325.73 430.98 327.81 332.49 263.45 217.55 317.16 425.80 318.76 329 57 262.19 219.84 312.44 429.79 316.40 336.96 264.81 223.49 322.36 432.37 325.21 338.52 267.05 220.80 331.70 443.31 323.61 343.07 274.03 224.46 337.02 436.81 332.52 345.91 280.45 229.12 342.37 440.08 335.78 342.00 275.60 223.78 342.74 434.03 327.18 344.92 278.07 229.20 346.47 438.87 331.67 Machinery except electrical........................ Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment .......................... Instruments and related products................ Miscellaneous manufacturing...................... 305.98 254.70 350.58 251.74 195.16 328.00 276.61 378.39 275.40 211.69 323.21 274.79 373.20 273.71 210.98 336.61 282.66 388.28 277.09 216.22 337.81 285.76 400.73 279.68 216.28 346.09 293.71 411.58 286.71 219.74 358.70 302.58 434.88 293.76 226.34 351.44 297.14 407.36 291.91 224.65 349.25 294.23 398.19 291.60 223.87 355.14 300.29 414.29 293.54 227.57 353.74 298.90 415.74 289.28 228.13 360.50 302.76 426.40 294.59 230.68 362.09 305.52 427.87 296.54 231.27 358.43 306.86 422.28 298.00 229.85 359.31 313.20 427.66 301.10 232.02 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products ........................ Tobacco manufactures .............................. Textile mill products .................................. Apparel and other textile products.............. Paper and allied products .......................... 236.19 250.17 253.46 188.26 149.32 303.74 255.84 272.34 294.51 203.71 161.78 331.63 259.35 278.76 288.56 203.84 162.84 333.98 26236 279.68 287.65 208.95 165.09 340.94 263.53 275.92 307.60 210.27 167.92 341.40 268.71 284.31 315.19 213.99 168.15 350.10 274.91 287.34 308.61 218.41 172.68 361.40 273.22 288.40 328.10 213.47 172.13 353.13 271.52 284.53 329.56 213.47 171.91 349.42 274.09 285.77 320.29 214.94 176.85 351.92 275.41 289.64 331.08 211.18 174.59 354.05 280.13 295.71 348.56 217.62 179.28 357.85 28203 295.71 359.21 218.97 182.00 365.09 28269 295.42 360.05 218.20 178.20 371.03 285.26 298.15 350.24 226.40 182.87 367.14 Printing and publishing................................ Chemicals and allied products.................... Petroleum and coal products...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................................... Leather and leather products...................... 260.25 318.44 409.97 279.36 344.45 421.76 283.46 343.56 430.86 287.56 349.81 448.32 287 93 354.00 453.61 289.79 361.20 458.67 300.23 365.85 449.45 293.83 363.58 471.16 293.72 365.20 481.53 297.54 367.74 478.40 297.48 371.90 500.46 302.13 373.98 491.81 302.44 377.31 491.12 305.41 378.40 499.49 308.25 378.94 486.49 241.79 154.03 263.06 168.09 266.00 168.36 270.82 167.71 276.35 170.19 282.77 170.25 289.95 174.91 289.46 177.39 283.01 179.10 287.75 180.32 288.86 178.96 295.30 185.13 295.71 189.74 291.20 181.04 299.47 192.50 325.58 351.25 354.92 358.09 365.76 368.02 372.00 367.60 373.28 371.15 374.92 376.89 383.27 387.25 396.01 MANUFACTURING TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 164.96 176.46 179.52 179.03 179.44 181.04 182.65 183.86 185.13 186.62 188.43 188.48 190.25 193.26 193.58 WHOLESALE TRADE 247.93 267.96 268.42 272.20 274.38 276.82 281.25 281.82 282.65 285.67 287.60 289.14 289.89 292.96 294.52 RETAIL TRADE................................................ 138.62 147.38 151.10 149.49 149.40 150.60 152.20 152.81 153.92 154.96 156.60 156.38 158.99 161.39 161.92 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 190.77 209.24 211.63 211.91 214.53 218.53 217.80 222.04 226.04 225.32 225.06 225.26 225.26 227.96 231.50 SERVICES 175.27 190.71 192.31 192.32 195.60 198.53 199.51 201.83 204.40 205.05 205.38 206.73 206.99 208.89 211.20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 20. Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1977 dollars, 1961 to date [Averages for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Private nonagricultural workers Year and month Gross average weekly earnings Manufacturing workers Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Gross average weekly earnings Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Current dollars 1977 dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars Current dollars 1977 dollars 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... $82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95,45 $167.21 172.16 175.17 178,38 183.21 $67.08 69.56 71.05 75.04 79.32 $135.79 139.40 140.69 146.56 152.25 $74.48 76.99 78.56 82.57 86.63 $150.77 154.29 155.56 161.27 166.28 $92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 $186.92 193.51 196.50 201.11 206.39 $74.60 77.86 79.51 84.40 89.08 $151.01 156.03 157.45 164.84 170.98 $82.18 85.53 87.25 92.18 96,78 $166.36 171.40 172.77 180.04 185.76 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 184.37 184.83 187.68 189.44 186.94 81.29 83.38 86.71 90.96 96.21 151.66 151.32 151.06 150.35 150.09 88.66 90.86 95.28 99.99 104.90 165.41 164.90 165.99 165.27 163.65 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 209.31 207.79 312,43 214.07 208.00 91.45 92.97 97.70 101.90 106.32 170.62 168.73 170.21 168.43 165.87 99.33 100.93 106.75 111.44 115.58 185.32 183.18 185.98 184.20 180.31 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 190.58 198.41 198.35 190.12 184.16 103.80 112.19 117.51 124.37 132.49 155.39 162.59 160.31 152.79 149.20 112.43 121.68 127.38 134.61 145.65 168.31 176.35 173.78 165.37 164.02 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 213.23 224.22 227.09 217.20 214.85 114.97 125.34 132.57 140.19 151.61 172.11 181.65 180.86 172.22 170.73 124.24 135.57 143.50 151.56 166.29 185.99 196.48 195.77 186.19 187 26 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 175,45 189,00 203.70 219.91 235.10 186.85 189.00 189.31 183.41 172.74 143.30 155.19 165.39 178.00 188.82 152.61 155.19 153.71 148.46 138.74 155.87 169.93 180.71 194.82 206.06 166.00 169.93 167.95 162.49 151.65 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 222.92 228.90 231.66 224.64 212.06 167,83 183.80 197.40 212.70 225.79 178.73 183.80 183.46 177.40 165.90 181.32 200,06 214.87 232.38 247.01 193.10 200.06 199.69 193.81 181.49 1980: August ............................ September ...................... October .......................... November........................ December........................ 236.79 239.69 241.81 244.28 247.06 172.21 172.69 172.72 172.88 173.38 190.01 192.03 193.51 195.24 197.18 138.19 138.35 138.22 138.17 138.37 207.68 209.88 211.49 213.37 215.47 151.04 151.21 151.06 151.00 151.21 287.62 295.32 298.10 305.52 314.16 209.18 212.77 212.93 216.22 220.46 225.11 230.33 23222 237.26 242.86 163.72 165,94 165.87 167.91 170.43 246.25 252.09 254.20 259.83 266.14 179.09 181.62 181.57 183.89 186.76 1981: January .......................... February.......................... March.............................. A pril................................ May ................................ June................................ July p .............................. Augustp .......................... 246.75 247.10 24^.92 250.98 252.38 254.88 257.02 259.88 171.83 170.18 171.06 170.73 170.18 170.49 169.87 ( 1) 195.68 195.92 197.88 198.61 199.59 201.32 202.80 204.79 136.27 134.93 135.44 135.11 134.59 134.66 134.04 (’ ) 213.96 214.22 216.34 217.14 218.20 220.08 221.69 223.85 149.00 147.53 148.08 147.71 147.13 147.21 146.52 (’ ) 308.43 306.13 311.22 312.84 317.59 320.39 317.59 320.40 214.78 210.83 213.02 212.82 214.15 214.31 209.91 ( 1) 237.60 236.08 239.37 240.39 243.40 245.18 243.40 245.18 165.46 162.59 163.84 163.53 164.13 164.00 160.87 (’ ) 260.36 258.70 262.38 263.55 266.99 269.01 266.99 269.02 181.31 178.17 179.59 179.29 180.03 179.94 176.46 <1) 1Not available. The earnings expressed in 1977 dollars have been adjusted for changes in price level as measured by the Bureau’s Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. These series are described in "The Spendable Earnings Series: A Technical Note on its Calnote : 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis culation,” Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labor Force, February 1969, pp. 6-13. See also "Spendable Earnings Formulas, 1979-81,” Employment and Earnings, March 1981, pp. 10-11. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA U nemployment insurance data are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. De partment of Labor from records of State and Federal unem ployment insurance claims filed and benefits paid. Railroad unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Rail road Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about onethird of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All items except average benefits amounts are inthousands] 1980 July All programs: Insured unemployment ...................... State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume).............................. Rate of insured unemployment .......... Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment .................. Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claims1 .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume).............................. Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims ...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume).............................. Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume).............................. Number of payments ........................ Average amount of benefit payment........................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Employment service:5 New applications and renewals .......... Nonfarm placements.......................... Aug. Sept. 1981 Oct. Nov. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 4,140 3,911 3,961 3,661 3,726 4,085 4,621 2,737 1,829 1,702 1,808 1,673 2,544 2,653 1,806 3,692 4.3 3,408 3.9 3,087 3.6 2,903 3.3 2,983 3.4 3,321 3.8 3,844 4.4 3,669 4.2 14,398 12,786 11,689 11,443 9,524 12,603 14,228 12,882 13,504 $98.75 $99.68 $99.86 $92.32 $1,397,508 $1,249,782 $1,144,885 $1,125,416 27 23 25 4,264 $101.96 $101.43 $102.34 $101.89 $1,055,065 $1,242,957 $1,416,513 $1,313,507 23 17 21 19 17 3,948 May June 3,453 3,111 1,684 1,647 '1,417 1,744 3,382 3.9 2,988 3.4 2,691 3.1 '2,596 3.0 '11,871 9,790 9,928 '2,949 July 3,012 2,743 3.1 $105.63 $105.96 $105.49 $99.02 $1,393,612 51,226,815 $1,006,341 $1,012,764 18 16 15 19 58 55 56 56 54 55 57 54 51 46 43 42 331 $33,342 244 $24,560 245 $24,804 255 $25,880 216 $21,024 261 $27,015 257 $26,646 221 $22,517 234 $24,668 214 $23,048 183 $19,965 192 $21,145 17 15 19 21 14 18 22 13 12 12 11 13 26 25 29 32 35 37 41 40 36 31 27 25 124 $11,296 93 $8,707 105 $9,699 130 $11,917 118 $11,365 150 $14,184 160 $15,432 148 $14,573 156 $15,561 135 $13,701 107 $11,023 105 $10,705 44 25 44 13 10 9 7 11 13 5 5 6 6 26 41 44 66 39 86 40 89 38 84 38 70 39 83 53 118 50 104 44 115 41 94 35 79 30 86 28 32 $207.08 $13,320 $211.87 $17,336 $211.99 $18,809 $208.49 $17,789 $209.00 $14,269 $212.27 $18,046 $209.38 $20,303 $214.56 $22,049 $214.93 $23,233 $201.12 $19,239 $199.43 $15,428 $201.06 $16,206 $199.63 $11,541 14,249 3,105 15,431 3,445 r 16,831 '3,896 ’ Initial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2 Includes interstate claims for the Virgin Islands. Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec. 4,476 871 8,659 1,574 4 Includes the Virgin islands. Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State programs. 5 Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly. N ote : Data for Puerto Rico included. Dashes indicate data not available. r = revised. 75 PRICE DATA P rice data are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Digitized for76 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S t a n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the R ev ie w , regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 24.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see F a cts A b o u t th e R e v is e d C o n s u m e r P ric e I n d e x , a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also T h e C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x : C o n c e p ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Years, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stand ards of living, see the family budget data published in the H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s , 1 9 7 7 , Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P rice I n d e x e s , both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the meas urement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1978, pp. 7-15. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , August 1965, pp. 974-82. 22. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-80 [1967 = 100] Food and beverages All Items Year Index Percent change Index Apparel and upkeep Housing Percent change Index Percent change Index Transportation Percent change Index Percent change Percent change Index Other goods and services Entertainment Medical care Index Percent change Index Percent change 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 247.0 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 13.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 248.7 3.1 6.0 9.7 10.9 8.7 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 263.2 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 15.7 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 177.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 6.6 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 250.5 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 17.7 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 267.2 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 11.3 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 203.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 8.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 213.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.8 23. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1980 1981 1980 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 274.4 248.0 263.5 265.2 266.8 269.1 271.4 274.6 266.5 292.2 185.8 279.9 291.5 220.8 233.4 268.9 297.0 184.7 282.6 295.6 221.1 234.4 249.1 265.1 175.4 251.9 267.8 204.4 212.9 264.3 280.7 181.8 272.1 284.4 215.0 225.6 265.5 282.2 184.3 274.4 287.0 216.1 226.8 266.1 284.3 186.0 276.3 289.1 217.0 227.9 265.9 288.1 186.2 278.9 290.8 217.7 230.4 267.0 291.9 185.8 281.0 292.9 218.3 231.4 269.4 297.0 185.5 283.9 295.4 218.7 232.4 251.9 241.7 263.8 223.9 253.2 243.1 263.5 226.6 255.0 244.7 262.9 229.6 234.4 224.2 243.5 208.0 248.8 237.9 261.4 218.6 250.2 239.4 265.7 217.8 251.2 240.5 266.5 219.3 252.4 242.3 266.6 222.4 253.8 243.8 266.3 225.2 255.7 245.5 266.0 228.4 295.4 204.2 353.3 264.4 309.8 234.4 299.6 205.9 360.4 266.6 311.7 235.3 303.5 206.8 366.7 269.6 314.4 236.3 308.8 207.8 374.8 275.0 319.2 237.6 273.1 191.8 325.9 243.9 289.3 218.6 290.8 201.6 348.5 259.7 307.4 232.1 293.1 202.7 351.8 261.3 310.2 233.0 295.9 203.9 356.2 263.1 312.2 233.8 300.0 205.5 363.5 265.5 313.6 234.5 303.9 206.4 370.1 268.2 315.8 235.6 309.6 207.4 379.4 273.8 318.5 236.8 262.3 252.3 237.0 257.5 297.3 265.2 309.5 288.9 255.4 270.9 409.3 253.8 248.1 212.2 460.0 289.9 264.2 253.6 238.0 258.1 297.7 265.9 312.8 291.8 255.3 267.7 409.8 255.6 250.1 213.5 458.4 292.7 267.0 255.2 239.6 258.2 298.0 265.8 317.4 296.2 254.7 270.9 411.3 257.9 253.0 215.7 455.4 296.5 269.5 256.9 241.1 258.0 298.0 266.2 321.9 300.1 255.9 271.6 414.0 260.2 255.6 217.5 453.1 299.8 272.7 259.3 242.6 257.5 297.8 267.1 328.1 305.4 259.5 275.3 415.7 263.5 259.0 219.4 451.3 304.9 245.3 237.4 222.4 238.7 272.2 247.2 288.6 269.4 238.4 271.2 373.9 237.6 232.1 200.6 406.1 269.8 260.8 251.4 236.0 255.9 294.7 263.8 307.9 287.0 253.9 275.1 405.4 251.8 245.8 210.5 450.1 288.4 262.6 252.9 237.4 259.9 299.5 266.6 310.4 289.2 254.9 273.9 413.7 252.9 246.9 210.7 460.9 290.6 264.4 254.2 238.6 260.7 299.9 267.3 313.5 292.0 255.0 270.7 414.0 254.7 248.9 212.2 459.3 293.2 267.2 255.8 240.3 260.9 300.1 267.2 318.2 296.4 254.2 273.8 414.9 257.0 251.9 214.6 456.0 297.0 269.7 257.5 241.8 260.7 300.0 267.6 322.6 300.4 255.3 274.3 417.3 259.3 254.5 216.6 453.7 300.2 273.1 260.0 243.5 260.4 299.8 268.7 329.3 306.3 259.0 277,9 418.9 262.7 258.1 218.7 451.9 305.7 $0,377 $0,375 $0,372 $0,369 $0,364 $0,403 $0,380 $0,377 $0,375 $0,372 $0,368 $0,364 July Peb. Mar. Apr. May June All items...................................................................................... 247.8 263.2 265.1 266.8 269.0 271.3 Food and beverages .................................................................... Housing........................................................................................ Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Transportation .............................................................................. Medical care ................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services.............................................................. 248.3 265.1 176.2 251.0 266.6 206.6 213.5 263.7 280.9 182.0 270.9 282.6 216.7 227.4 265.0 282.6 185.1 273.5 284.7 218.2 228.7 265.7 284.8 186.4 275.3 287.0 219.2 229.9 265.4 288.5 186.4 277.8 289.0 220.3 232.2 Commodities................................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .................................... Nondurables less food and beverages.................................. Durables............................................................................ 234.1 224.0 241.4 209.6 248.3 237.4 258.6 220.3 249.8 239.0 263.1 219.8 250.8 240.0 263.8 221.1 Services ...................................................................................... Rent, residential.................................................................. Household services less rent .............................................. Transportation services........................................................ Medical care services.......................................................... Other services.................................................................... 272.4 192.1 323.3 243.8 288.0 218.1 290.1 201.9 345.4 260.5 305.2 232.3 292.5 203.0 348.8 262.5 307.5 233.2 All items less food ........................................................................ All Items less mortgage interest costs ............................................ Commodities less food.................................................................. Nondurables less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food and apparel................................................ Nondurables ................................................................................ Services less rent ........................................................................ Services less medical ca re ............................................................ Domestically produced farm foods ................................................ Selected beef cuts........................................................................ Energy ........................................................................................ All items less energy .................................................................... All items less food and energy ............................................ Commodities less food and energy.................................... Energy commodities ........................................................ Services less energy........................................................ 245.1 236.8 222.2 236.6 270.3 245.9 287.6 268.9 238.5 269.2 370.4 238.3 233.1 202.0 404.8 269.1 260.4 250.6 235.4 253.2 292.4 262.3 306.9 286.5 254.0 273.0 401.1 252.5 246.8 211.7 449.0 287.6 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 - $1 .................... $0,404 $0,380 July July Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 July Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 Feb. Mar. 1980 1981 Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 268.9 249.1 264.3 265.5 266.1 265.9 267.0 269.4 FOOD AND BEVERAGES .................................................................... 248.3 263.7 265.0 265.7 265.4 266.5 Food.................................................................................................... 254.8 270.8 272.2 272.9 272.5 273.6 276.2 255.5 271.4 272.6 273.2 272.9 274.0 276.6 Food at home........................................................................................ Cereals and bakery products .......................................................... Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100) .............................. Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100).................... Cereal (12/77 = 100)........................................................ Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) .......................... Bakery products (12/77 = 100)................................................ White bread ...................................................................... Other breads (12/77 = 100).............................................. Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) .................. Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100).......................... Cookies (12/77 - 100)...................................................... Crackers and bread and cracker products (12/77 = 100) . . . Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) . . . Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) .......... 251.5 247.8 135.0 132.9 135.5 136.2 129.8 218.4 129.4 129.2 127.9 127.1 125.5 129.5 267.3 265.3 144.5 137.5 146.5 147.9 139.0 231.4 137.3 138.9 139.5 139.0 128.6 140.4 268.6 266.7 145.2 138.5 146.9 148.9 139.7 232.9 137.9 140.1 140.0 139.7 129.1 141.1 268.7 268.3 145.4 137.1 147.8 149.5 140.8 233.2 139.5 140.4 142.1 141.2 130.9 141.7 267.7 270.0 146.8 138.8 149.8 149.8 141.5 235.1 139.3 141.5 142.3 141.8 128.2 142.8 268.7 271.5 148.3 139.0 152.4 150.9 142.1 236.0 140.2 141.7 142.3 143.3 130.7 142.9 271.6 272.4 149.0 139.5 153.4 151.2 142.5 236.4 140.6 142.4 142.7 143.0 131.6 143.9 251.1 248.0 135.5 132.8 135.5 137.9 129.8 217.5 132.3 128.1 127.3 128.3 125.7 130.0 267.0 265.0 145.5 137.9 148.0 149.3 138.5 230.9 140.1 136.9 138.1 139.8 128.6 140.0 268.1 266.5 146.5 139.4 148.5 150.5 139.2 231.2 140.3 138.4 139.5 140.6 129.6 140.7 268.2 268.0 146.9 139.2 148.9 151.4 140.1 232.1 141.2 138.7 140.8 141.8 131.1 141.7 267.2 269.4 148.4 140.3 151.3 152.0 140.6 233.2 141.7 139.6 141.2 142.1 128.9 142.5 268.2 270.7 150.0 141.4 154.0 152.7 141.0 233.1 142.5 139.7 141.2 143.3 131.5 142.3 271.1 271.5 150.6 141.9 154.8 153.2 141.4 233.9 142.9 141.7 141.4 142.6 131.2 142.8 131.5 141.4 141.9 144.0 147.0 146.1 147.2 129.6 136.3 137.6 139.0 140.1 140.3 140.9 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs .......................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Beef arc vea ................................................................ Ground beef other than canned.................................... Chuck roast................................................................ Round roast................................................................ Round steak .............................................................. Sirloin steak................................................................ Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ............................ P ork............................................................................. Bacon ........................................................................ Chops ........................................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100)........................ Sausage .................................................................... Canned ham .............................................................. Other pork (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Other meats.................. ............................................... Frankfurters................................................................ Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) ............ Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ................................ Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) ........................ Poultry.............................................................................. Fresh whole chicken.................................................... Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) ............ Other poultry (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Fish and seafood .......................................................... Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)...................... Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 - 100) ........ Eggs ...................................................................................... 236.7 243.4 243.3 267.9 266.6 277.7 243.2 253.2 270.2 155.9 200.3 186.3 193.1 92.1 249.2 208.6 115.1 239.1 229.1 135.1 120.6 137.2 187.9 193.6 120.9 117.0 330.1 129.2 123.7 154.2 252.5 257.9 256.4 272.3 272.8 288.1 248.0 259.0 262.0 157.7 223.6 221.7 210.3 100.0 282.3 238.0 125.4 260.8 259.4 149.4 129.8 144.1 203.7 207.0 131.9 128.5 355.0 138.0 133.5 188.2 250.5 256.2 254.4 270.3 269.7 284.1 243.9 256.1 259.8 157.8 221.6 218.5 209.3 98.7 281.0 236.6 124.2 258.5 257.8 147.0 128.1 144.7 201.6 203.1 131.6 127.6 358.8 138.9 135.3 180.5 247.7 253.0 251.0 267.4 264.8 281.4 242.8 252.9 261.5 156.1 217.4 209.0 209.2 95.2 277.4 230.1 123.4 255.4 253.5 143.5 127.9 143.1 196.8 198.0 127.5 125.9 359.7 138.8 135.9 184.3 247.0 253.2 252.3 270.3 264.1 280.3 246.8 256.0 271.4 159.2 217.3 212.7 203.7 97.2 277.7 230.5 122.7 253.9 247.6 143.0 126.9 145.3 194.7 190.3 127.5 128.3 353.2 139.2 131.8 170.5 248.7 255.0 254.2 271.1 264.6 281.0 246.2 255.1 274.6 159.9 221.2 216.5 209.8 980 278.9 229.8 126.7 255.9 250.7 143.9 127.6 146.5 196.8 193.8 128.3 128.9 352.1 139.3 131.0 172.1 254.1 260.7 259.6 274.5 264.5 283.5 245.6 258.9 284.3 163.5 231.5 228.1 221.8 102.0 289.7 233.0 133.6 258.4 251.8 145.9 129.1 147.6 204.8 206.9 133.0 130.0 356.9 140.6 133.1 174.2 236.1 242.8 242.8 269.6 268.7 285.3 246.2 253.6 274.2 155.2 200.7 189.1 193.3 90.5 252.0 207.6 114.9 236.5 231.5 131.4 118.8 138.2 186.0 189.1 120.8 116.6 326.4 127.3 122.5 153.5 251.6 257.0 256.0 273.8 275.7 298.6 247.5 254.7 263.5 156.9 223.2 225.7 207.6 98.2 282.0 240.6 125.0 259.1 261.0 146.0 128.6 146.5 201.3 201.7 131.9 127.8 349.5 135.9 131.4 187.0 249.9 255.7 254.2 272.6 272.9 295.6 248.8 253.3 264.5 156.7 221.3 221.6 206.9 96.3 282.7 237.9 124.3 256.0 257.2 144.7 126.4 146.0 200.6 200.9 130.1 128.9 351.5 136.2 132.5 180.5 247.1 252.2 250.7 269.5 269.0 291.8 247.5 251.3 262.7 154.9 216.7 210.0 206.3 92.6 280.1 230.8 123.8 253.4 252.8 142.6 126.4 143.8 194.6 194.1 125.8 126.3 353.7 136.6 133.6 185.5 246.3 252.4 251.7 272.5 267.8 c 290.9 249.4 253.7 275.3 158.5 216.3 215.2 201.5 93.8 278.5 231.4 122.4 250.6 247.0 140.6 124.8 145.9 192.5 187.0 126.6 127.5 349.9 137.8 130.5 171.5 248.4 254.5 253.9 273.0 267.9 288.9 249.5 253.6 278.7 159.2 221.3 220.5 209.8 95.1 278.7 230.1 127.7 253.1 249.8 141.9 126.0 147.1 194.4 190.3 127.0 128.2 349.8 137.9 130.4 173.0 254.1 260.5 259.7 276.5 267.9 295.5 249.8 257.0 285.6 162.4 232.6 230.5 222.4 100.4 293.4 234.4 134.5 255.6 251.9 144.6 126.5 148.9 203.1 202.9 133.3 129.3 353.5 139.0 131.9 175.0 Dairy products.......................................................................... Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fresh whole m ilk............................................................ Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100)...................... Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)............................ Butter............................................................................ Cheese (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)................ Other dairy products (12/77 = 100)................................ 228.6 127.7 209.4 126.9 131.4 226.9 130.0 134.6 127.5 242.1 134.0 219.3 134.2 140.8 242.2 139.2 145.9 134.5 242.6 134.3 219.9 134.4 141.1 243.0 139.8 145.3 135.1 243.5 134.6 220.4 134.5 142.0 244.3 140.6 146.7 135.7 243.8 134.9 220.8 134.7 141.9 245.2 140.5 146.2 136.1 243.8 134.8 220.7 134.6 142.0 245.1 140.5 146.4 136.3 244.2 134.9 220.7 134.9 142.5 245.8 140.7 147.6 136.6 229.2 128.0 209.8 127.5 131.9 229.7 130.1 135.5 127.7 242.5 134.1 219.3 134.4 141.6 246.0 139.6 146.8 135.0 242.7 134.1 219.4 134.5 141.8 246.4 140.0 146.1 136.1 243.8 134.7 220.2 135.2 142.6 247.7 140.5 147.8 136.1 243.9 134.7 220.4 134.8 142.6 247.6 140.6 147.8 136.4 243.9 134.5 220.0 135.1 142.9 248.7 140.9 147.8 136.8 243.9 134.4 219.9 134.5 143.1 247.7 141.3 148.0 137.2 Fruits and vegetables .............................................................. Fresh fruits and vegetables ................................................ Fresh fruits.................................................................... App e s ........................................................................ Bananas .................................................................... Oranges .................................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100).................................. Fresh vegetables............................................................ Potatoes .................................................................... Lettuce ...................................................................... Tomatoes .................................................................. Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) ........................ 253.9 265.8 282.7 316.6 232.6 273.9 147.5 250.1 310.5 205.9 209.2 137.1 267.3 278.1 256.8 217.1 256.9 284.9 135.9 298.0 350.2 220.4 312.8 163.5 278.2 293.9 265.2 227.9 264.1 287.4 141.1 320.8 363.9 225.2 367.8 177.0 281.9 296.4 271.6 231.1 266.8 287.5 147.1 319.6 378.1 226.9 375.3 170.0 276.8 284.4 276.6 235.4 266.3 274.1 154.9 291.7 384.4 252.5 200.2 158.6 278.1 285.2 278.9 239.9 260.5 287.1 154.4 291.1 414.3 238.7 205.2 151.8 284.4 294.0 292.1 251.9 240.6 327.8 160.4 295.9 414.9 261.3 194.0 154.5 253.0 265.2 282.3 318.7 228.7 261.5 148.7 249.8 309.4 200.6 210.8 138.0 266.5 277.6 254.4 218.2 249.4 269.4 137.9 298.7 347.1 225.6 308.6 164.8 275.0 289.4 259.0 225.7 258.8 268.4 139.9 316.9 359.6 219.3 354.0 177.1 280.0 294.5 268.6 232.1 262.2 274.3 147.6 318.0 369.8 231.5 370.7 170.0 274.3 281.8 271.5 232.7 264.2 261.1 153.3 291.1 378.1 255.6 193.8 160.1 275.3 281.0 272.1 241.0 259.0 274.0 149.9 289.0 402.7 237.1 200.8 153.6 281.7 290.2 285.5 253.1 233.8 307.0 158.9 294.4 404.2 259.2 195.5 155.8 Processed fruits and vegetables ........................................ Processed fruits (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100).................... Fruit juices and other than frozen (12/77 = 100).......... Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100) ........................ Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100).............................. Frozen vegetables (12/77 - 100)................................ 243.0 126.6 118.5 130.6 129.0 117.6 118.4 257.8 133.5 127.1 137.2 134.9 125.5 124.4 263.3 137.6 135.3 141.2 135.7 127.0 126.9 268.5 141.0 142.8 144.5 135.6 128.9 128.3 270.9 142.1 144.2 145.3 136.7 130.2 129.8 272.8 142.0 143.4 145.5 137.1 132.1 130.8 276.4 143.1 144.0 146.8 138.4 134.6 133.2 241.5 126.8 117.8 130.9 129.5 116.6 118.2 256.4 133.8 127.1 137.1 135.8 124.4 124.0 261.3 137.5 134.6 140.7 136.3 125.8 126.4 266.1 140.1 140.2 143.2 136.6 128.1 129.1 288.4 141.6 142.0 145.1 137.4 128.9 129.6 271.4 142.1 142.3 145.8 137.9 131.2 131.9 274.6 142.8 142.9 146.1 139.1 133.6 134.1 Meats ............................................................................................. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1980 1981 1980 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Fruits and vegetables — Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) . . . Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77=100)............ Other foods at hom e...................................................................... Sugar and sweets.................................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77-100) .............................. Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77-100)...................... Other sweets (12/77 -100) .............................................. Fats and oils (12/77-100) ...................................................... Margarine ........................................................................ Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77-100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77-100) .............. Nonalcoholic beverages .......................................................... Cola drinks, excluding diet c o la .......................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77-100)............ Roasted coffee ................................................................ Freeze dried and instant coffee.......................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77-100).......................... Other prepared foods .............................................................. Canned and packaged soup (12/77-100).......................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77-100).................................. Snacks (12/77-100)........................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77=100)............ Other condiments (12/77 -100) ........................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77-100) ...................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) .. 118.1 117.0 304.3 353.1 131.6 194.2 127.2 239.3 247.0 123.6 124.6 397.4 268.4 129.2 435.3 381.0 122.1 232.3 123.3 132.4 128.3 128.0 130.2 12&.3 126.0 128.2 124.7 323.0 385.4 141.1 217.7 137.7 267.3 256.8 171.8 131.0 411.9 295.3 140.1 364.9 345.3 130.8 246.9 128.7 140.0 142.3 137.2 135.8 135.8 132.4 128.4 126.4 324.1 383.2 142.8 209.7 139.3 268.9 255.7 179.3 129.9 412.2 295.9 140.5 359.4 340.8 132.4 249.4 128.4 142.3 143.9 139.1 138.1 135.9 134.1 130.2 128.7 324.7 375.8 144.1 195.5 139.8 270.1 256.1 182.4 129.8 414.4 298.0 141.8 356.7 339.5 133.5 251.2 129.3 142.3 145.6 139.9 139.2 136.7 135.1 131.5 129.8 323.7 367.1 145.1 178.4 141.4 270.7 256.1 182.7 130.4 412.3 295.7 140.6 354.4 339.1 134.0 252.9 131.5 141.6 145.9 140.0 141.1 138.6 136.6 134.6 131.4 323.6 361.3 145.2 168.2 142.6 269.6 256.1 181.8 129.6 412.8 297.0 140.8 353.1 335.2 134.5 254.4 132.6 142.2 147.2 141.1 140.8 139.3 137.7 136.0 134.6 323.3 360.0 145.9 164.6 142.9 269.0 255.9 181.0 129.4 410.3 294.7 139.6 351.4 334.3 134.2 256.3 133.2 143.7 147.5 142.0 142.3 140.7 139.0 117.0 115.6 303.7 354.7 132.0 194.5 126.5 240.6 248.6 124.0 125.0 396.2 265.6 127.4 432.3 379.2 121.1 232.1 123.5 131.3 128.5 127.3 131.6 128.9 125.4 126.5 123.5 323.6 387.7 142.0 217.9 137.3 268.9 258.3 172.7 131.4 413.6 293.4 137.8 360.3 347.0 130.9 247.1 129.3 137.8 143.5 136.3 137.3 136.0 132.4 126.3 125.3 325.2 384.6 143.6 209.6 138.2 270.5 257.7 180.0 130.3 415.4 295.4 138.7 355.0 343.9 132.7 250.0 129.2 139.6 145.5 137.9 140.0 136.2 134.4 129.0 127.1 325.4 377.8 145.1 196.0 138.7 270.4 256.1 182.3 129.7 415.8 294.9 139.8 352.5 340.9 133.5 252.4 129.8 139.8 148.1 138.7 141.7 137.7 135.9 130.1 128.0 324.8 368.1 145.8 179.2 139.7 270.9 256.7 181.6 130.4 414.6 293.7 139.4 350.5 340.2 133.9 254.7 132.1 139.6 149.1 139.3 143.6 139.6 137.2 133.6 129.7 324.5 363.0 146.5 169.3 140.8 269.5 256.0 180.5 129.6 414.6 294.1 139.3 348.5 337.1 134.4 255.8 133.5 140.8 149.1 140.3 143.2 139.9 138.5 134.8 132.8 324.2 362.8 147.3 166.6 141.8 269.0 256.6 179.4 129.4 411.3 290.8 138.3 346.6 334.9 134.0 257.9 134.5 142.3 150.0 141.4 144.4 141.0 139.8 Food away from home.......................................................................... Lunch (12/77-100) ...................................................................... Dinner (12/77-100) ...................................................................... Other meals and snacks (12/77-100)............................................ 267.8 130.0 130.1 129.3 284.7 138.6 138.2 137.0 286.1 139.2 138.8 137.9 288.2 140.7 139.4 138.8 289.3 141.0 139.9 139.9 290.6 141.5 140.7 140.3 292.4 142.6 141.3 141.6 271.2 131.1 132.0 131.6 287.3 139.8 139.4 138.5 288.6 140.3 140.1 139.3 290.7 141.4 141.1 140.1 291.9 141.8 141.7 141.1 293.5 142.8 142.6 141.3 295.2 143.6 143.0 142.7 Alcoholic beverages .......................................................................... 187.2 195.9 197.1 197.8 199.1 199.8 200.5 189.2 197.6 198.7 199.4 201.2 202.1 202.8 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77-100)............................................ Beer and a le .................................................................................. Whiskey ........................................................................................ Wine.............................................................................................. Other alcoholic beverages (12/77-100).......................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77-100)................................ 122.1 189.2 135.2 212.6 109.6 122.5 127.4 197.6 140.0 224.0 113.9 129.7 128.1 198.2 141.6 224.3 115.0 131.1 128.5 199.7 141.3 224.7 114.9 131.6 129.3 201.4 142.5 223.9 115.5 132.6 129.7 202.0 143.0 224.6 116.1 133.1 130.1 201.8 143.7 227.5 166.3 134.1 123.6 189.7 136.6 217.4 109.6 122.9 128.8 197.2 142.0 231.6 113.3 129.4 129.6 198.5 142.3 233.6 114.0 129.9 130.0 199.8 142.3 233.2 114.1 130.6 131.1 201.8 143.2 234.3 114.6 132.0 131.5 202.4 144.0 233.4 115.7 133.4 131.9 202.4 144.7 236.9 155.9 134.0 HOUSING............................................................................................ 265.1 280.9 282.6 284.8 288.5 292.2 297.0 265.1 280.7 282.2 284.3 288.1 291.9 297.0 Shelter............................................................................................... 282.9 300.5 301.6 303.8 308.4 312.6 318.5 284.3 301.7 302.6 304.6 309.4 313.7 320.2 206.4 207.4 FOOD AND BEVERAGES - Continued Food Continued Food at home— Continued Rent, residential.................................................................................... 192.1 201.9 203.0 204.2 205.9 206.8 207.8 191.8 201.6 202.7 203.9 205.5 Other rental costs ................................................................................ Lodging while out of town................................................................ Tenants’ insurance (12/77-100) .................................................... 265.7 283.8 123.1 278.5 297.4 129.3 283.6 304.8 130.1 285.9 307.5 131.2 286.4 307.2 131.9 289.5 311.8 133.1 293.6 318.3 133.3 265.5 282.3 123.3 278.3 296.0 129.9 283.5 303.2 130.8 285.8 306.0 131.6 286.1 305.5 132.3 289.7 310.6 133.4 293.3 316.3 133.7 Homeownership.................................................................................... Home purchase.............................................................................. Financing, taxes, and insurance ...................................................... Property insurance .................................................................. Property taxes ........................................................................ Contracted mortgage interest c o s t............................................ Mortgage interest rates...................................................... Maintenance and repairs ................................................................ Maintenance and repair services .............................................. Maintenance and repair commodities ........................................ Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) ................................................ Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77-100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77-100).................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77-100) .......... 315.4 253.9 399.6 255.5 188.3 512.2 199.0 287.6 312.1 230.3 335.8 263.0 437.1 373.1 198.5 565.0 211.9 302.8 328.7 242.4 336.8 261.1 441.1 375.6 199.0 570.9 216.0 306.1 332.6 243.9 339.3 260.7 447.1 378.5 199.9 579.8 219.5 309.3 337.0 244.4 345.0 263.0 458.3 383.7 199.8 596.9 224.0 312.9 341.2 246.3 350.4 266.6 467.2 386.6 200.3 610.4 226.4 315.5 344.4 247.6 358.0 271.4 480.0 387.1 201.4 630.1 299.4 319.3 349.0 249.3 317.9 254.3 405.0 357.2 190.0 514.6 199.6 285.1 309.0 231.3 338.2 262.7 442.6 376.6 200.6 566.5 212.3 299.9 327.7 238.6 338.8 260.2 446.4 379.9 201.0 572.0 216.7 302.7 331.3 239.9 341.1 259.7 452.6 382.5 201.7 580.9 220.3 304.5 334.1 239.7 347.1 262.2 464.3 387.1 201.7 598.6 224.9 307.3 337.6 241.1 352.7 266.2 473.8 388.1 202.2 612.9 227.2 308.2 338.7 241.5 361.2 271.2 486.9 388.3 203.2 632.6 230.3 316.2 350.5 242.4 133.4 119.1 141.6 124.0 143.7 123.3 143.4 124.3 143.9 125.1 145.3 124.7 146.7 125.0 132.2 199.3 136.9 122.3 138.5 122.4 136.8 123.1 137.7 123.7 138.4 122.7 138.2 123.0 121.1 120.1 127.3 125.2 127.6 125.9 127.9 126.4 130.7 127.6 131.2 128.5 132.7 129.2 125.9 122.5 127.0 127.8 127.8 128.8 127.9 129.9 128.1 130.8 128.5 131.7 130.1 132,5 Fuel and other utilities........................................................................ 285.5 304.5 308.4 310.5 314.9 320.2 325.1 286.1 305.6 309.4 311.4 315.7 321.2 326.4 360.8 560.4 585.1 140.4 314.3 267.4 371.8 387.4 675.6 712.0 157.5 322.9 271.3 389.0 393.7 693.4 730.9 161.5 326.7 273.9 395.2 396.5 690.6 727.0 162.5 330.6 277.3 399.4 403.3 685.8 720.6 163.6 339.6 281.9 416.5 411.7 682.0 715.7 164.3 350.2 296.7 416.9 417.2 677.9 711.0 164.0 357.6 306.2 418.6 360.3 561.9 585.6 142.1 313.5 267.6 368.6 387.3 678.5 714.2 159.4 322.1 271.1 386.8 393.4 696.3 733.2 162.9 325.9 273.5 392.8 396.2 693.7 729.4 164.2 329.6 276.8 397.2 402.5 688.6 723.1 164.7 338.1 281.2 413.0 411.2 685.1 718.4 165.5 349.0 296.6 413.2 417.0 681.1 713.8 165.4 356.7 306.2 415.8 Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.......................................................... Other fuels (6/78 — 100) ........................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity .............................................................. Electricity................................................................................ Utility (piped) gas .................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 1980 1981 1981 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Other utilities and public services ............................................................ Telephone services .......................................................................... Local charges (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 - 100) .............................................. Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Water and sewerage maintenance .................................................... 165.9 136.3 105.4 101.6 99.5 261.3 173.6 142.4 113.5 101.8 101.2 274.7 174.0 142.5 113.6 101.8 101.2 277.1 175.1 143.4 114.8 101.8 101.4 278.4 176.2 144.0 115.5 101.8 101.7 282.3 177.1 143.5 114.9 101.8 101.5 291.2 180.8 147.2 116.7 109.1 101.5 294.0 165.9 136.1 105.2 101.6 99.3 262.4 173.9 142.5 113.6 101.9 101.0 276.3 174.4 142.6 113.7 101.9 101.0 279.0 175.4 143.4 114.9 101.9 101.2 280.3 176.6 144.1 115.7 101.9 101.5 284.7 177.3 143.6 115.1 101.9 101.3 292.5 181.3 147.5 116.9 109.6 101.3 295.8 Household furnishings and operations ................................................ 206.2 214.9 2(6.9 219.2 220.1 221.1 222.4 203.5 211.7 213.7 215.9 216.8 217.8 219.1 Housefurnishings .................................................................................... Textile housefurnishings.................................................................... Household linens (12/77 - 100) ................................................ Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding ...................................................................... Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Sofas (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Living room chairs and tables (12/77 - 100) .............................. Other furniture (12/77 = 100).................................................... Appliances including TV and sound equipment.................................... Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... Television .......................................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 - 100) ........................................ Household appliances................................................................ Refrigerators and home freezers.......................................... Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Other household appliances (12/77 = 100).......................... Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 - 100)................................ Other household equipment (12/77 - 100)........................................ Floor and window coverings, infants’, laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100) .......................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 174.7 188.2 114.6 120.2 192.8 125.4 112.2 110.7 126.6 140.5 105.8 104.4 108.2 163.7 163.6 119.6 112.6 180.8 195.1 118.6 124.8 199.3 131.3 114.5 115.9 129.1 143.9 107.9 105.7 111.0 168.2 168.4 123.7 115.4 182.6 199.8 123.1 126.1 201.6 133.2 115.8 116.5 130.8 144.2 108.0 105.6 111.2 168.9 168.5 124.5 115.9 183.9 200.5 123.0 127.1 203.7 134.5 116.5 116.6 133.4 145.3 108.6 106.0 112.1 170.4 170.6 126.1 116.6 184.2 198.3 122.3 125.0 204.2 133.4 117.0 117.5 134.7 145.5 108.3 105.4 112.1 171.3 170.9 126.2 117.6 185.2 202.5 125.1 127.4 204.6 134.6 116.2 116.9 135.4 146.3 108.2 105.3 111.9 173.2 172.4 128.0 118.9 186.0 202.9 123.3 129.8 206.0 135.0 1176 117.9 136.2 147.1 108.8 105.6 112.7 174.2 174.2 128.1 119.6 172.9 188.7 114.8 121.0 139.7 122.6 111.7 111.3 123.0 140.1 105.0 102.7 108.0 163.8 166.4 118.7 112.1 178.5 196 9 121.4 124.4 195.6 127.7 113.2 115.2 126.6 142.9 106.6 104.2 109.6 167.8 172.3 122.8 113.7 180.2 201.4 124.1 127.2 198.0 129.4 114.1 116.7 128.3 143.4 106.4 104.3 109.3 169.0 172.7 124.3 114.5 181.6 202.9 125.0 128.2 200.0 130.7 114.9 117.6 130.1 144.2 107.1 104.7 110.2 169.9 174.7 125.7 114.4 182.1 202.3 124.7 127.7 200.6 129.2 115.8 119.1 131.2 144.4 106.9 104.4 c110.1 170.6 175.8 125.3 115.2 182.8 204.4 125.7 129.5 200.1 129.2 116.0 118.2 130.5 145.6 107.3 104.3 110.9 172.6 177.1 127.1 116.6 184.1 206.2 126.0 131.5 202.3 130.7 116.2 119.5 132.9 146.3 107.7 104.5 111.4 173.6 178.1 128.3 117.1 111.6 115.1 115.1 115.8 117.2 118.4 119.2 112.8 114.2 115.2 113.9 115.1 116.5 117.1 113.8 121.3 115.7 127.9 116.9 129.1 117.4 130.0 118.0 130.7 119.4 131.0 120.1 131.2 111.3 119.7 113.1 125.6 113.7 126.9 115.0 127.9 115.3 129.0 116.7 129.3 117.1 129.8 120.8 119.0 128.7 124.1 130.7 125.7 131.4 125.6 132.2 124.4 132.1 124.6 132.4 125.0 114.7 116.6 120.8 121.7 123.2 121.7 124.4 120.9 125.1 120.9 125.3 121.9 127.1 122.9 126.4 115.9 134.8 119.9 135.6 120.8 137.1 121.5 138.8 122.5 139.5 122.6 139.5 122.7 124.0 118.7 131.0 123.8 132.1 125.1 134.1 125.9 136.0 127.0 136.0 127.1 136.4 126.7 Housekeeping supplies............................................................................ Soaps and detergents ...................................................................... Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 - 100) .......................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) .............. Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100).............................. Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100).......................................... 247.3 237.2 122.3 130.2 117.6 125.4 127.6 262.8 256.2 129.3 138.4 121.4 135.9 134.0 264.2 255.3 129.7 137.9 122.3 137.3 136.6 266.9 259.4 131.0 138.4 123.1 138.1 139.1 269.0 262.S 132.8 137.8 125.1 138.4 140.6 269.8 266.0 133.4 137.6 125.8 139.5 138.4 271.5 266.5 134.8 138.8 126.6 140.5 138.8 245.2 234.4 122.3 132.7 117.9 123.5 120.7 260.1 254.3 129.6 139.2 122.4 132.2 126.1 261.2 253.8 130.3 138.1 123.7 133.2 128.5 263.4 256.7 130.4 138.5 124.8 134.5 131.1 265.5 260.2 131.5 137.9 126.8 135.0 132.4 266.9 263.6 132.3 138.2 127.2 136.1 131.3 267.9 263.1 133.6 139.0 127.9 136.6 131.7 Housekeeping services............................................................................ Postage .......................................................................................... Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 - 100) .............................................. Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100) .................................... 270.4 257.3 281.6 257.3 284.8 274.3 289.9 308.0 291.6 308.0 292.9 308.0 295.3 308.0 268.1 257.3 279.4 257.3 283.3 274.2 288.6 308.1 289.9 308.1 291.7 308.1 293.4 308.1 131.0 118.7 138.2 123.6 139.0 124.5 140.7 125.2 141.6 125.9 141.9 126.3 143.1 127.8 129.7 117.8 137.8 122.4 139.0 123.8 140.2 124.3 140.7 124.6 141.8 125.4 142.8 126.4 APPAREL AND UPKEEP 176.2 182.0 185.1 186.4 186.4 185.8 184.7 175.4 181.8 184.3 186.0 186.2 185.8 185.5 HOUSING Continued Fuel and other utilities Continued Apparel commodities Apparel commodities less footwear.................................................... Men’s and boys’ .............................................................................. Men’s (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ...................... Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100)........................................ Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) .................... Shirts (12/77 = 100) .......................................................... Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) .................... Boys’ (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) .............. Furnishings (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ........ Women's and girls' .......................................................................... Women’s (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Coats and jackets .............................................................. Dresses .............................................................................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100)................ Suits (12/77 - 100)............................................................ Girls’ (12/77 = 100).................................................................. Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100).................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 - 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 - 100).............................................. 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 168.5 173.2 176.3 177.6 177.2 176.4 175.1 168.0 173.3 175.8 177.5 177.6 177.0 176.6 165.0 165.9 103.9 97.1 960 118.4 110.7 99.2 110.0 104.4 114.7 112.6 150.6 99.8 158.8 153.9 96.8 113.2 85.5 102.0 98,9 99.7 169.6 171.6 107.8 100.5 95.6 125.3 114.8 102.7 112.6 104.3 119.1 116.6 153.4 101.9 160.7 156.9 97.1 116.4 90.0 102.8 94.4 104.2 172.7 175.0 110.2 103.2 97.9 127.2 118.0 104.7 113.7 106.5 121.2 116.5 157.5 104.4 157.9 166.4 99.3 117.8 93.0 106.4 101.2 106.2 174.0 175.6 110.5 104.1 98.1 127.5 117.0 105.4 114.5 107.2 121.5 117.4 158.8 105.0 157.6 167.8 100.2 119.3 91.6 108.6 106.4 106.8 173.3 176.8 111.2 104.7 97.9 129.2 118.3 105.5 115.1 108.8 121.4 117.5 157.2 103.9 152.8 164.8 99.0 119.7 90.7 107.9 104.1 106.9 172.5 176.6 111.0 104.3 98.1 129.7 117.9 105.0 115.4 108.7 123.9 117.3 155.4 102.7 149.5 163.7 98,0 119.8 86.3 106.4 100.4 105.9 171.2 175.6 110.3 102.5 96.7 129.6 115.5 106.5 115.1 107.0 124.5 117.7 153.5 101.2 153.9 162.2 95.1 120.0 78.6 106.5 100.0 106.1 164.4 167.2 104.7 93.2 97.1 115.7 111.2 104.8 110.0 107.4 113.3 110.9 149.9 99.6 157.5 146.2 97.1 112.8 90.1 100.0 95.6 98.2 169.6 172.2 108.2 96.1 96.0 120.2 116.8 108.7 111.9 107.0 116.1 114.2 155.4 103.5 159.1 150.5 99.7 116.0 103.6 102.7 93.5 105.8 172.3 174.9 110.1 98.5 98.9 121.5 119.2 110.0 112.9 109.5 117.4 113.9 158.9 105.5 156.9 154.3 101.6 117.7 109.5 106.4 98.4 109.1 173.9 176.1 110.9 98.3 99.6 122.7 119.5 111.5 113.9 110.9 118.2 114.8 160.7 106.7 156.8 159.8 102.6 119.1 108.0 107.8 101.3 109.5 173.8 177.3 111.8 99.3 100.5 123.9 120.3 112.2 114.2 111,8 117.4 114.8 160.0 106.2 155.8 159.7 101.5 119.5 106.9 107.1 98.8 109.6 173.0 177.2 111.6 98.4 101.2 124.1 120.4 111.8 114.3 109.8 119.5 115.9 158.1 104.9 148.9 156.6 101.0 120.0 103.6 106.2 98.1 108.1 172.8 176.9 111.6 97,4 100.8 124.8 118.8 113.2 113.6 107.6 120.6 115.6 157.9 104.5 159.0 154.1 99.1 120.1 100.6 106.9 98.9 108.9 111.4 113.9 115.6 115.5 116.1 117.2 117.6 110.4 112.5 114.6 115.4 115.9 116.2 116.3 23. Continued — Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 1980 1981 1981 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Apparel commodities less footwear—Continued Infants’ and toddlers'...................................................................... Other apparel commodities ............................................................ Sewing materials and notions (12/77 - 100) ............................ Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) ........................................ 243.0 205.5 109.3 142.8 254.3 212.3 112.2 147.9 255.3 212.2 113.3 147.3 259.2 214.1 114.8 148.4 256.9 212.1 114.3 146.8 2600 212.2 114.5 146.8 2598 212.4 115.3 146.6 249.2 200.8 108.8 139.4 264.0 204.4 112.2 141.3 266.4 204.5 113.3 140.9 269.3 205.6 114.3 141.4 269.9 204.1 113.4 140.5 273.0 204.8 113.2 141.2 272.9 204.8 113.6 141.0 Footwear............................................................................................... Men’s (12/77 = 100) .................................................................... Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Women’s (12/77 - 100)................................................................ 189.5 121.1 123.5 113.8 194.9 125.0 125.3 117.9 197.4 125.2 127.6 120.0 199.3 126.8 128.2 121.3 201.0 127.8 129.3 122.4 200.4 127.7 129.1 121.6 199.0 128.0 130.1 118.7 189.3 123.2 123.1 111.3 194.9 125.7 126.2 115.9 195.9 125.4 127.3 117.0 198.4 128.0 126.7 119.3 200.0 128.7 127.7 120.5 200.6 129.5 128.6 120.2 199.2 129.5 128.7 117.8 Apparel services ................................................................................ Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100)............ Other apparel services (12/77 - 100) .................................................. 234.4 137.7 126.3 249.9 147.6 133.3 252.4 149.6 133.7 254.3 150.9 134.5 256.4 152.2 135.6 257.8 153.2 136.0 258.9 153.8 136.7 232.6 137.5 124.7 248.7 147.3 132.9 251.5 149.3 133.9 252.7 150.4 134.0 254.2 151.5 134.5 255.7 152.5 135.0 256.3 153.1 135.1 TRANSPORTATION ............................................................................ 251.0 270.9 273.5 275.3 277.8 279.9 282.6 251.9 272.1 274.4 276.3 278.9 281.0 283.9 Private................................................................................................ 250.5 269.4 271.7 273.4 276.0 277.9 279.6 251.5 271.0 273.2 275.1 277.7 279.7 281.6 New cars ............................................................................................. Used cars ............................................................................................. Gasoline ............................................................................................... Automobile maintenance and repair........................................................ Body work (12/77 = 100).............................................................. Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Power plant repair (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Other private transportation .................................................................. Other private transportation commodities ........................................ Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 = 100) ................ Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................ Tires ................................................................................ Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ Other private transportation services................................................ Automobile insurance .............................................................. Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) .............................. Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . . State registration .............................................................. Drivers’ licenses (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Vehicle inspection (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Other vehicle related fees (12/77 = 100) .......................... 179.2 203.4 376.7 269.0 131.8 184.8 234.3 410.8 285.4 139.2 182.9 235.4 420.7 287.7 140.3 186.1 239.1 419.3 289.0 140.8 190.9 245.2 416.5 290.8 141.5 192.2 252.9 414.4 291.9 142.3 192.5 260.3 412.9 293.5 144.1 180.0 203.4 377.8 269.7 131.3 185.0 234.4 412.5 285.4 139.2 182.7 235.4 422.3 288.2 140.2 1862 239.1 420.8 289.7 140.7 191.2 245.2 417.7 291.3 141.3 192.5 252.9 415.6 292.6 142.2 192.9 260.3 414.0 293.4 143.3 128.1 172.3 126.4 224.5 197.7 136.3 126.6 174.9 126.6 233.8 249.1 149.7 113.3 146.4 104.9 122.6 126.8 136.8 133.7 135.5 234.2 205.8 141.6 131.8 183.5 129.3 244.0 253.7 165.1 116.7 146.9 105.4 125.8 134.7 137.7 134.8 137.0 234.7 206.2 141.6 132.1 184.1 129.2 244.6 254.4 164.3 118.2 146.9 105.4 126.1 138.4 138.0 135.5 137.8 236.3 208.1 143.5 133.2 185.8 130.1 246.2 255.7 166.5 118.2 146.9 105.5 126.0 138.4 138.7 136.5 138.6 238.9 208.6 143.1 133.6 186.4 130.4 249.4 256.8 172.9 117.7 147.5 105.5 125.8 136.3 138.9 137.1 139.2 241.0 208.5 144.5 133.4 186.1 130.2 252.0 257.4 178.5 117.8 148.0 105.8 125.7 136.3 139.9 137.4 139.9 242.9 208.8 144.8 133.6 185.6 131.7 254.3 259.8 180.9 118.0 147.9 105.9 128.6 136.6 129.9 127.2 126.6 226.7 200.1 135.5 128.4 178.9 125.7 236.0 248.7 149.1 114.7 146.5 104.6 123.3 134.6 138.3 133.5 134.7 236.9 207.5 139.0 133.4 186.6 129.3 247.0 253.2 163.9 119.3 147.0 105.1 126.6 147.2 140.2 134.7 135.9 237.3 208.0 139.8 133.7 186.9 129.5 247.4 253.9 163.4 119.9 147.0 105.1 126.7 148.9 140.5 135.7 136.7 239.2 210.4 140.5 135.4 189.6 130.8 249.2 255.2 166.3 119.3 147.0 105.2 126.6 147.1 141.2 136.4 137.7 241.9 211.7 141.4 136.1 191.1 130.7 252.4 256.3 172.5 118.1 147.7 105.2 126.5 1428 141.7 136.9 138.3 243.9 211.1 142.7 135.5 189.9 130.7 255.0 256.9 177.2 118.2 148.1 105.6 126.5 142.6 141.4 137.3 139.1 246.0 210.8 143.4 135.2 188.4 132.2 257.7 259.6 179.9 118.4 147.9 105 6 129.3 143.1 APPAREL AND UPKEEP Apparel commodities Continued Continued Public.................................................................................................. 250.5 288.1 293.9 297.2 297.7 303.9 323.1 245.8 280.6 285.1 287.7 288.2 293.6 317.7 Airline ‘are............................................................................................. Intercity bus fare .................................................................................. Intracity mass transit ............................................................................. Taxi fare ............................................................................................... Intercity train fare .................................................................................. 276.9 294.2 222.6 263.3 255.3 334.1 312.8 248.4 271.4 276.5 343.7 323.2 250.8 273.8 276.7 348.6 329.1 251.7 279.9 277.2 348.8 333.4 251.9 280.4 296.7 360.7 337.6 253.5 281.7 304.1 367.3 343.5 290.7 287.1 304.6 275.5 293.9 221.8 269.2 255.4 332.7 312.2 247.8 277.7 276.9 342.3 323.9 249.1 280.5 277.1 346.6 329.2 249.8 287.4 277.5 346.7 333.0 249.9 287.9 298.5 359.3 336.8 251.5 289.2 304.6 365.6 343.6 291.0 295.7 304.9 MEDICAL CARE .................................................................................. 266.6 282.6 284.7 287.0 289.0 291.5 295.6 267.8 284.4 287.0 289.1 290.8 292.9 295.4 Medical care commodities.................................................................. 169.1 179.2 180.7 182.4 184.7 186.3 187.7 169.7 179.6 181.2 183.4 185.9 187.3 189.2 Prescription drugs ................................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100).................................................. Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 - 100)........................................ Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription and supplies (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100) .............................. Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 - 100)................................................ 155.6 121.2 125.5 115.4 165.0 129.2 131.9 121.9 166.5 130.5 132.8 122.2 168.5 130.2 134.4 123.9 170.4 130.3 136.0 124.9 172.3 132.2 137.3 125.5 173.7 133.9 138.4 126.5 156.6 122.3 124.7 117.6 165.3 129.5 130.7 122.9 166.8 131.0 131.5 123.7 169.2 132.4 133.3 125.3 171.6 132.7 135.2 126.1 173.5 134.3 136.5 126.8 175.0 135.8 137.6 127.9 135.5 124.5 147.4 130.9 148.2 132.7 151.2 134.5 154.6 136.5 157.2 137.7 158.1 139.1 134.8 126.1 146.5 133.3 147.8 134.1 150.9 135.8 154.5 138.2 158.1 138.9 158.2 141.8 119.3 124.5 126.3 128.6 130.2 131.1 131.8 120.9 125.2 126.5 128.8 131.2 132.0 132.5 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 - 100) .................... Eyeglasses (12/77 - 100) ........................ ................................ Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ................................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100)........ 121.7 118.7 189.1 119.1 128.9 123.1 202.7 124.5 129.9 124.6 204.2 125.0 130.9 125.1 205.9 126.2 132.6 125.3 209.1 128.6 133.5 125.3 211.5 128.6 134.5 125.8 213.1 129.9 122.0 117.8 190.1 119.0 129.4 122.3 203.0 126.5 130.5 122.6 205.5 127.1 131.9 123.4 208.0 128.2 133.6 124.1 211.0 130.5 134.4 124.7 212.6 130.7 135.8 125.0 215.4 132.2 Medical care services ........................................................................ 288.0 305.2 307.5 309.8 311.7 314.4 319.2 289.3 307.4 310.2 312.2 313.6 315.8 318.5 280.4 300.7 266.5 136.8 256.1 275.4 243.0 123.6 271.6 293.9 257.0 128.5 274.2 296.3 259.8 129.9 276.2 297.9 262.2 131.3 278.0 300.3 263.3 132.1 279.4 302.4 264.0 132.6 280.8 304.7 264.6 132.7 366.1 151.7 478.0 150.4 3298 132.6 414.9 132.3 351.3 145.2 455.9 144.4 354.4 146.7 459.2 146.3 356.2 147.3 461.4 146.8 357.1 147.3 461.3 146.8 360.3 148 6 467.1 147.6 364.6 150.3 472.2 149.4 Professional services ............................................................................ Physicians’ services........................................................................ Dental services............................................................................... Other professional services (12/77 = 100)...................................... 253.5 270.9 241.1 125.0 267.2 287.7 252.8 130.0 269.6 290.3 254.9 131.5 271.7 292.2 257.1 132.6 273.8 295.5 257.7 133.7 275.8 297.5 260.2 134.2 Other medical care services.................................................................. Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100).......................... Hospital room........................................................................... Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 100)............ 329.7 133.4 418.2 132.8 351.1 146.1 458.2 145.5 353.4 147.1 460.9 146.7 355.9 148.1 465.0 147.3 357.6 148.3 465.1 147.6 361.1 149.6 470.4 148.7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary ENTERTAINMENT................................................................................ 1981 1980 1981 1980 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 206.6 216.7 218.2 219.2 220.3 220.8 221.1 204.4 215.0 216.1 217.0 217.7 218.3 218.7 220.4 220.8 221.1 Entertainment commodities................................................................ 209.3 219.7 222.1 223.6 225.0 225.4 225.5 204.8 216.2 218.0 219.4 Reading materials (12/77 - 100).......................................................... Newspapers ................................................................................... Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 - 100)............................ 123.0 240.0 124.1 130.9 253.8 132.9 133.2 256.6 136.2 134.1 262.5 134.8 135.6 264.1 137.1 136.2 264.9 137.9 136.0 265.0 137.3 122.5 239.3 123.7 130.7 254.0 132.9 133.0 256.7 136.3 134.1 262.5 134.8 135.6 264.0 137.3 136.1 264.8 138.2 135.9 265.0 137.4 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 - 100)........................................ Sport vehicles (12/77 - 100) ........................................................ Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100)................ Bicycles ........................................................................................ Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 - 100) ........................ 119.5 120.7 112.4 181.6 115.0 124.7 126.5 115.9 187.2 120.6 126.1 128.5 116.2 188.4 121.2 127.5 130.4 116.7 188.3 122.6 127.2 129.5 117.4 190.4 122.4 126.8 128.7 116.9 191.0 122.7 127.0 129.0 117.7 191.0 122.7 114.2 112.5 110.6 181.4 116.1 119.3 118.1 115.3 188.3 119.2 120.3 119.5 115.2 189.4 119.3 120.9 120.0 115.4 189.7 121.1 120.8 119.3 116.4 191.6 121.5 120.4 118.4 116.9 192.0 122.2 120.6 118.5 117.0 192.1 122.9 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 - 100)............................ Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 - 100)........................ Pet supplies and expense (12/77 - 100) ........................................ 121.0 119.0 122.8 123.2 126.3 124.7 122.6 132.0 127.2 125.6 124.0 132.3 127.8 126.2 125.4 132.4 128.8 127.6 125.8 133.3 129.3 127.9 126.2 134.2 129.3 127.9 125.7 134.5 119.1 115.9 122.4 122.9 125.8 123.0 124.4 131.9 126.3 123.1 125.5 132.8 127.2 124.0 126.7 133.2 127.7 125.0 126.1 133.6 128.1 125.3 126.5 134.3 128.5 125.3 127.0 135.1 Entertainment services ...................................................................... 203.1 213.0 213.0 213.4 214.0 214.7 215.2 204.8 213.9 213.8 213.9 214.2 215.1 215.8 Fees for participant sports (12/77 - 100).............................................. Admissions (12/77 - 100).................................................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 - 100).......................................... 122.1 121.3 117.4 129.4 125.3 122.0 129.8 125.3 121.0 130.7 124.5 121.1 130.7 125.1 121.7 131.3 124.9 122.2 131.6 125.9 121.7 121.9 123.2 118.8 129.0 126.2 123.0 129.6 125.9 121.7 130.2 124.7 122.4 130.5 125.0 122.5 131.4 124.8 123.4 131.6 125.7 123.2 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES.......................................................... 213.5 227.4 228.7 229.9 232.2 233.4 234.4 212.9 225.6 226.8 227.9 230.4 231.4 232.4 Tobacco products .............................................................................. 203.8 212.3 212.5 213.3 218.2 219.1 219.3 204.0 211.9 212.4 213.2 217.8 218.4 218.4 Cigarettes............................................................................................. Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100)............ 206.4 120.7 214.8 126.5 214.8 128.0 215.5 129.6 220.8 130.4 221.4 132.3 221.6 132.5 206.8 120.3 214.5 126.4 214.9 128.1 215.5 130.0 220.3 131.3 0220.8 132.7 220.7 133.4 Personal care .................................................................................... 214.4 224.6 226.9 228.7 230.5 232.1 233.4 213.1 223.2 225.1 226.4 228.4 229.7 231.2 Toilet goods and personal care appliances.............................................. Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 - 100) ................ Dental and shaving products (12/77 - 100) .................................... Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100) ................................ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 207.9 121.4 124.0 219.5 128.3 132.9 222.4 131.4 135.3 223.9 131.9 136.6 226.6 132.4 138.6 228.6 132.8 139.4 228.7 133.9 139.0 206.6 120.5 122.0 218.5 126.7 131.2 220.9 128.4 133.3 222.5 128.8 135.1 225.5 130.1 136.1 227.2 130.4 136.6 228.4 131.7 137.1 119.1 119.4 123.2 127.5 123.9 128.3 125.3 128.4 127.8 129.8 129.0 132.0 127.7 133.0 117.9 120.4 122.8 129.0 123.4 130.7 124.4 131.3 126.2 134.0 128.0 135.4 128.3 135.9 Personal care services.......................................................................... Beauty parlor services for women.................................................... Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) . . . . 220.9 222.1 123.9 230.0 231.7 128.5 231.7 233.6 129.2 233.7 236.0 129.9 234.7 236.4 131.1 236.0 237.7 131.9 238.4 240.5 132.7 219.8 221.0 123.0 228.1 229.4 127.6 229.4 230.8 128.4 230.5 231.7 129.1 231.5 232.0 130.5 232.5 232.7 131.3 234.4 235.1 131.8 Personal and educational expenses .................................................. 229.9 254.4 255.2 256.2 256.8 257.8 259.2 230.3 255.0 256.0 257.1 257.7 258.5 260.1 Schoolbooks and supplies ..................................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................................... Tuition and other school fees .......................................................... College tuition (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) .................... Personal expenses (12/77 - 100).................................................. 207.2 235.5 118.7 118.0 120.9 129.5 229.8 260.4 132.7 132.1 134.4 137.1 230.5 261.2 132.8 132.3 134.4 138.7 230.8 262.4 132.8 132.3 134.4 141.8 230.8 263.0 132.8 132.3 134.4 143.6 230.9 264.2 132.9 132.4 134.4 146.3 231.3 265.8 133.5 133.0 135.3 147.9 210.9 235.4 118.8 118.0 120.7 127.4 233.6 260.6 132.9 132.1 134.3 136.3 234.4 261.6 133.0 132.3 134.4 138.1 234.6 262.9 133.0 132.3 134.4 141.1 234.7 263.6 133.0 132.3 134.4 142.8 234.7 264.6 133.1 132.4 134.4 144.8 235.2 266.4 133.7 132.9 135.4 146.6 371.5 342.3 249.1 300.1 404.8 370.7 262.3 314.6 414.5 373.6 265.2 318.3 413.2 378.1 267.9 323.1 410.4 386.6 272.4 326.2 408.4 393.4 278.5 328.6 407.1 402.7 286.5 332.3 372.5 342.6 248.4 297.5 406.3 370.4 261.0 313.4 415.9 373.0 263.6 317.2 414.5 377.6 266.1 321.1 411.5 386.1 270.6 323.8 409.5 393.1 276.7 325.1 408.0 402.4 285.6 322.8 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products...................................... Insurance and finance .......................................................................... Utilities and public transportation............................................................ Housekeeping and home maintenance services ...................................... 1Not available. Digitized for 82 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c=corrected. 24. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Size class B (385,000^1.250 million) Size class C (75,00(^385,000) Category and group 1981 Feb. Apr. 1981 June Feb. Apr. Size class D (75,000 or less) 1981 June Feb. 1981 Apr. June Feb. Apr. June Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ................................................................................. Food and beverages ..................................................................................... Housing ....................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation............................................................................................... Medical care................................................................................................. Entertainment ............................................................................................... Other goods and services ............................................................................ 135.7 135.2 138.0 114.9 147.3 130.5 124.6 123.7 137.3 136.8 139.1 116.9 149.7 132.9 126.3 124.5 139.1 137.5 142.1 116.2 151.5 134.8 127.9 125.9 143.2 137.6 149.0 114.0 155.0 131.2 127.5 128.5 144.4 138.3 149.1 118.2 157.3 132.9 130.2 130.4 146.8 139.2 153.2 118.9 159.1 134.0 129.6 132.1 146.6 139.8 156.3 119.5 153.0 132.1 124.2 131.1 149.8 141.4 161.5 121.7 154.9 133.8 125.8 132.6 152.5 141.1 166.0 123.1 158.4 137.8 125.9 134.1 141.6 134.8 147.5 119.1 151.0 134.4 126.7 126.5 143.4 135.2 149.7 123.3 153.0 135.9 128.5 127.1 146.3 136.1 154.0 122.9 156.6 137.2 130.2 128.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities....................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ..................................................................................... 137.0 138.2 134.0 137.9 138.7 136.4 139.0 139.9 139.4 144.3 147.6 141.5 145.0 148.3 143.4 146.5 150.0 147.2 144.6 146.8 149.8 147.1 149.7 154.1 148.1 151.4 159.7 141.7 145.0 141.4 143.3 147.1 143.6 145.0 149.3 148.3 North Central region EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .................................................................. Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing .................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ..................................................................................... Transportation............................................................................................... Medical care................................................................................................. Entertainment................................................................................... Other goods and services ............................................................................ 144.0 137.1 152.7 109.4 151.8 134.6 127.5 126.3 145.9 137.5 155.0 112.3 153.9 137.1 130.2 127.9 150.0 138.1 162.9 110.8 156.4 139.1 130.6 130.1 142.8 136.4 147.7 116.9 152.3 136.2 124.2 132.7 143.5 136.6 147.4 119.8 154.3 138.1 125.3 134.0 146.6 137.5 152.6 118.9 157.3 139.9 124.4 136.0 139.7 137.0 141.5 114.5 153.1 136.7 126.8 126.4 140.2 137.8 140.5 116.4 155.1 138.6 129.2 127.9 142.3 139.6 143.5 115.3 157.0 140.4 129.8 129.3 139.6 139.6 140.5 114.1 150.3 140.1 124.8 131.1 141.1 140.5 142.1 115.6 152.6 142.1 125.7 131.7 143.1 140.7 144.0 118.6 155.9 144.0 126.9 134.3 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ................................................................................................. 140.3 141.8 149.4 141.7 143.7 152.1 144,4 147.4 158.3 139.5 140.9 148.1 140.1 141.5 149.0 142.5 144.6 153.2 138.2 138.7 142.2 138.6 139.0 142.7 139.9 140.0 146.2 136.0 134.5 145.3 136.9 135.4 147.8 138.0 136.8 151.1 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All Items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ..................................................................................... Housing ........................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ................................................................ Transportation............................................................................................... Medical care................................................................................................. Entertainment............................................................................... Other goods and services .................................. 142.1 138.8 146.1 119.3 152.9 130.4 123.5 129.4 144.1 139.0 148.7 121.1 155.7 132.5 123.2 131.3 146.2 138.2 152.3 121.1 158.1 135.0 124.9 133.1 144.9 138.6 151.5 117.1 153.4 135.1 129.0 131.0 146.7 139.8 153.0 121.3 155.9 136.5 130.0 132.0 148.7 139.4 156.4 119.9 158.3 138.8 130.7 134.1 142.1 138.4 146.6 113.0 152.2 136.8 129.0 128.6 143.7 139.0 148.3 115.5 153.8 140.0 130.5 129.7 145.9 138.7 151.9 115.3 156.6 142.1 132.1 131.5 138.8 140.2 138.4 105.6 151.4 144.0 131.0 130.5 141.8 142.3 142.4 109.4 154.3 146.4 131.2 131.6 144.8 141.9 147.5 109.5 157.7 148.1 133.5 134.1 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities ........................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ........................................................................................................... 140.1 140.7 144.8 141.5 142.6 147.6 142.1 143.8 152.1 140.8 141.7 151.2 142.3 143.4 153.3 143.2 144.8 157.0 139.1 139.5 146.6 140.1 140.6 149.2 141.3 142.4 153.1 138.4 137.6 139.3 140.7 140.0 143.6 142.1 142.2 149.0 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .................................................................... Food and beverages ..................................................................................... Housing ............................................................................................. Apparel and upkeep ................................................................................... Transportation.......................................................................... Medical care............................................................................................. Entertainment ..................................................................................... Other goods and services .......................................................... 142.6 136.8 147.2 116.4 150.8 137.5 127.0 129.1 145.7 138.2 151.2 119.9 154.2 139.5 127.0 131.8 147.5 138.3 153.2 120.7 157.4 141.0 127.7 134.8 144.0 139.4 148.7 122.3 151.9 136.0 126.6 131.4 146.7 141.4 151.8 125.2 154.9 137.5 128.9 133.3 149.1 142.6 155.1 123.1 157.5 141.2 128.9 134.7 141.2 134.8 145.2 112.1 152.6 137.5 126.6 126.8 142.1 136.2 144.8 114.9 155.6 139.0 128.9 128.6 143.9 137.5 146.7 113.4 158.7 141.5 130.8 130.2 141.0 140.8 138.3 129.8 154.1 139.6 140.5 131.5 143.6 141.3 142.0 133.7 156.0 140.8 142.1 133.0 146.9 143.2 146.1 133.5 159.3 146.2 143.7 137.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities........................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ........................................................................................................... 137.3 137.6 149.6 139.5 140.1 154.0 140.5 141.4 156.8 140.0 140.3 149.4 142.2 142.6 152.9 143.4 143.8 156.8 137.1 138.0 146.9 139.1 140.2 146.4 140.2 141.3 149.2 139.7 139.3 142.9 141.6 141.6 146.5 144.7 145.3 150.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 25. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers Area' 1981 1980 1981 1980 July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July July Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July U.S. city average2 .............................................................. 247.8 263.2 265.1 266.8 269.0 271.3 274.4 248.0 263.5 265.2 266.8 269.1 271.4 274.6 Anchorage, Alaska (10/67=100) ........................................ Atlanta, Ga........................................................................... Baltimore, Md....................................................................... Boston, Mass....................................................................... Buffalo, N.Y......................................................................... 228.4 246.1 224.8 252.4 240.9 246.8 256.7 Detroit, Mich........................................................................ Honolulu, Hawaii ................................................................ Houston, Tex....................................................................... Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas .................................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif............................... 253.7 Miami, Fla. (11/77=100) .................................................... Milwaukee, Wis.................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wls............................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J.......................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).................................................... 133.6 251.6 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif................................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va...................................................... 259.6 254.6 259.7 266.1 244.1 270.2 243.3 281.5 261.9 261.6 268.2 263.3 255.9 265.5 253.9 257.6 258.3 267.3 280.5 252.8 292.9 270.5 267.9 143.2 278.5 266.5 255.4 261.0 265.7 256.7 259.9 261.9 276.1 258.6 265.4 271.3 278.5 268.0 297.5 271.1 262.3 'The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 275.2 249.7 272.7 273.3 247.0 259.1 258.8 258.9 267.7 294.2 265.8 283.1 252.1 272.2 251.5 146.1 285.6 134.7 255.9 262.5 266.0 238.4 243.2 267.8 245.3 280.8 269.4 305.4 252.2 245.9 265.7 282.3 267.1 251.6 248.7 266.5 262.4 252.7 258.1 266.4 263.9 273.3 253.7 260.6 259.5 268.0 250.2 283.1 264.3 269.1 267.3 2548 261.5 267.3 271.7 276.3 271.3 270.7 299.9 275.9 253.8 289.4 269.1 271.7 144.8 283.5 255.9 263.3 262.9 270.9 278.9 276.3 143.7 291.2 276.6 257.9 265.6 273.0 276.1 268.4 292.5 267.0 259.4 288.0 267.9 264.2 267.9 283.8 284.0 293.4 141.7 274.6 261.6 Area is used for New York and Chicago. 2 Average of 85 cities. 263.0 256.1 272.1 276.9 263.6 273.7 266.5 268.6 263.6 285.8 265.5 243.5 277.7 260.1 265.0 241.7 272.8 252.7 273.9 272.9 274.0 274.7 264.7 268.8 269.3 261.8 250.8 240.9 285.3 286.0 270.3 260.5 255.1 247.2 272.4 250.0 286.4 265.4 265.5 268.1 259.3 293.1 252.7 245.0 269.9 269.1 288.2 140.0 269.9 260.6 252.7 264.5 271.7 272.0 279.6 281.4 261.6 238.9 239.8 263.7 272.5 266.3 257.2 240.1 236.2 266.4 269.2 269.3 263.6 270.3 262.3 273.5 274.4 248.7 244.6 265.9 251.4 Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind................................................ Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind......................................................... Cleveland, Ohio.................................................................. Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex............................................................ Denver-Boulder, Colo........................................................... Philadelphia, Pa -N.J............................................................. Pittsburgh, Pa....................................................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash........................................................... St. Louis, Mo.-lll................................................................... San Diego, Calif................................................................... 241.1 263.0 262.3 269.0 268.5 279.2 269.2 300.5 274.3 271.5 267.7 277.8 271.4 26. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] A nnual C o m m o d ity g ro u p in g 1981 1980 a v e ra g e Aug. SepL O ct 247.0 251.4 251.4 255.4 256.2 257.2 248.9 239.5 237.2 237.8 283.9 206.2 191.2 239.8 254.1 246.5 247.0 244.4 290.0 208.1 193.9 241.9 254.1 247.4 259.8 244.3 290.9 206.2 194.6 241.8 257.0 248.0 237.8 246.9 291.7 214.0 195.6 249.2 257.9 248.9 250.5 246.7 293.9 213.1 196.9 250.2 258.9 249.3 254.8 246.7 296.2 213.5 197.6 250.9 280.3 284.3 285.3 287.7 289.1 291.9 1980 Nov. D ec. Jan. M ay Ju n e 266.0 r 268.5 268.9 269.9 271.3 271.2 268.2 252.6 279.7 248.1 316.0 214.0 204.8 258.1 r 270.6 r 251.9 r 279.3 ' 247.4 r 320.4 r 216.6 r 207.3 r 260.8 270.6 252.0 262.3 249.1 319.6 217.7 207.1 262.6 271.5 253.1 255.8 250.8 321.0 217.9 208.0 264.0 272.8 256.9 262.4 254.4 321.2 217.9 208.9 265.7 272.6 255.5 256.5 253.4 321.8 218.1 209.9 265.9 298.3 302.0 '305.8 306.6 307.1 308.6 309.9 281.6 267.5 279.4 306.9 254.2 '284.1 '263.1 ' 284.3 '310.6 '255.4 285.0 260.3 286.6 311.1 256.0 285.8 263.9 287.5 310.5 257.0 288.0 262.6 288.8 314.4 259.5 289.6 261.7 290.7 316.1 261.5 M ar. 260.9 263.3 262.5 251.0 257.9 248.4 302.7 214.9 201.9 254.6 265.0 251.3 265.6 247.9 308.4 215.1 203.5 256.7 296.1 July A ug. A p r .1 Feb . F IN IS H E D G O O D S Finished goods.................................................................... Finished consumer goods.............................................. Finished consumer foods .......................................... Crude .................................................................. Processed ............................................................ Nondurable goods less foods .................................... Durable goods.......................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy . . . . Capital equipment........................................................ IN T E R M E D IA T E M A T E R IA L S Intermediate materials, supplies, and components.................. Materials and components for manufacturing.................. Materials for food manufacturing................................ Materials for nondurable manufacturing ...................... Materials for durable manufacturing............................ Components for manufacturing .................................. 265.7 264.4 259.5 301.0 231.8 268.9 277.9 263.4 299.2 235.6 269.5 275.8 263.2 300.5 237.0 273.3 295.1 265.0 304.7 238.4 273.9 299.0 266.7 303.8 238.3 275.7 279.6 268.5 304.3 246.3 279.6 280.7 274.0 306.9 250.3 280.3 273.2 276.5 305.4 253.0 Materials and components for construction .................... 268.3 271.4 271.7 272.4 274.0 276.6 279.2 280.3 282.7 '288.0 288.3 289.3 290.2 290.6 Processed fuels and lubricants...................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... 503.0 425.7 570.9 517.4 436.0 588.4 519.5 440.8 588.9 516.2 440.6 583.7 521.3 445.2 589.3 539.4 457.9 611.4 551.9 469.5 624.7 569.8 482.8 646.7 598.3 503.9 681.6 '608.5 '509.0 '696.2 608.7 510.9 695.0 605.7 505.7 694.0 604.3 503.7 693.1 606.7 507.4 694.3 Containers .................................................................. 254.5 257.4 257.9 260.1 259.5 260.6 264.6 268.2 270.9 '274.3 276.0 277.2 278.2 280.3 244.5 231.9 251.1 229.0 253.6 247.7 235.4 254.1 234.7 255.8 250.3 236.1 257.6 246.8 256.9 252.3 237.5 259.9 250.3 258.8 255.2 238.7 263.8 259.2 261.3 255.0 239.5 263.0 251.5 262.4 257.8 242.5 265.7 252.0 265.6 257.8 244.8 264.6 237.5 268.3 258.9 246.8 265.2 231.7 270.6 '262.4 '250.6 '268.7 ' 239.2 ' 272.9 263.8 251.7 270.1 243.2 273.6 264.6 253.4 270.5 235.7 276.1 266.2 255.3 272.1 232.8 278.9 266.1 256.0 271.5 228.9 279.2 Crude materials for further processing.................................. 304.6 317.0 319.3 322.8 324.6 323.5 328.0 336.5 334.2 '336.3 333.2 334.3 336.2 333.2 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.............................................. 259.2 276.8 276.6 279.1 277.3 271.6 270.7 267.1 262.1 '263.5 260.6 264.2 267.0 261.8 Nonfood materials........................................................ 401.0 401.9 409.8 415.4 424.9 433.8 450.1 484.9 488.4 '492.1 488.6 484.2 484.2 485.9 Nonfood materials except fuel.................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Construction.......................................................... 346.1 357.4 237.6 344.8 355.4 243.7 351.4 362.6 244.8 355.6 367.1 245.3 363.9 376.1 246.5 373.3 386.5 247.4 391.0 405.1 254.8 427.9 445.5 257.2 430.9 448.6 259.2 '432.5 '450.2 '261.5 428.6 445.7 263.4 418.3 434.4 263.5 413.5 429.0 264.7 414.2 429.7 265.2 Crude fu e l................................................................ Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries .................................. 615.0 690.5 567.0 626.3 705.4 575.5 639.1 722.0 585.4 650.9 738.1 593.8 664.9 755.8 605.2 670.2 762.9 608.9 677.4 771.9 614.9 697.7 798.1 630.6 703.6 805.8 635.0 '716.6 '821.9 '645.8 715.3 819.7 645.2 739.9 851.4 664.4 762.2 877.2 684.1 768.6 885.4 689.3 Finished goods excluding foods............................................ Finished consumer goods excluding foods...................... Finished consumer goods less energy............................ 247.8 250.8 218.0 251.4 255.0 221.9 251.1 254.6 221.9 256.2 258.7 225.0 257.0 259.5 225.5 258.2 260.9 226.0 262.4 265.1 233.8 265.5 268.5 229.6 268.7 272.5 230.2 '272.1 '276.1 '231.8 272.6 276.1 232.1 273.6 277.0 232.9 274.1 277.1 234.5 274.5 277.5 234.5 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds.......................... Intermediate materials less energy ................................ 282.3 265.3 285.8 268.3 286.6 269.2 288.2 272.2 289.3 273.3 293.5 274.9 298.0 278.3 301.0 279.1 305.4 280.5 '309.5 '283.7 310.5 284.6 311.0 285.4 312.8 287.2 314.3 288.4 Intermediate foods and feeds .............................................. 252.6 263.7 265.9 280.3 285.7' 270.0 270.9 261.3 255.6 ' 254.9 254.1 254.3 252.5 250.7 Crude materials less agricultural products ............................ Crude materials less energy.......................................... 446.4 256.1 447.1 268.5 454.1 269.9 463.2 272.4 473.8 271.7 482.8 267.5 504.0 266.0 547.6 262.6 551.8 259.6 '556.0 '261.1 552.8 257.9 547.4 259.6 546.9 261.8 549.9 258.1 Supplies...................................................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... Feeds .................................................................. Other supplies ...................................................... C R U D E M A T E R IA L S S P E C IA L G R O U P IN G S 1Data for April 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Not available. r=revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Figures in this table may differ from those previously reported because stage-of-processing indexes from January 1976 through December 1980 have been revised to reflect 1972 input-output relationships. 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1980 Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.1 May June July Aug. All commodities ........................................................................ All commodities (1957-59 = 100).............................................. 268.8 285.2 273.8 290.5 274.6 291.4 277.8 294.7 279.1 296.1 280.8 297.9 264.8 302.2 287.6 305.1 290.3 308.0 r 293.4 '311.3 293.7 311.6 294.5 312.5 296.0 314.1 296.2 314.3 Farm products and processed foods and feeds........................ Industrial commodities.............................................................. 244.7 274.8 255.1 278.2 256.5 278.8 259.4 282.0 260.5 283.4 257.0 286.6 257.9 255.1 295.7 253.5 299.6 253.8 '303.5 252.6 304.1 254.1 304.7 256.6 306.0 253.9 307.0 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS Farm products ............................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ........................................ Grains...................................................................................... Livestock ............................................................................... Live poultry.............................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.............................................................. Fluid milk ................................................................................ Eggs........................................................................................ Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds .................................................... Other farm products ................................................................ 249.4 238.6 239.0 252.7 202.1 271.1 271.2 171.0 247.1 299.0 263.8 254.0 256.5 275.7 224.5 280.8 271.6 176.9 261.5 282.7 267.0 266.2 260.6 266.8 241.0 295.2 275.5 188.4 280.7 292.0 263.6 240.9 269.2 263.0 222.9 278.5 280.9 175.2 284.4 285.8 264.9 246.6 270.9 254.8 221.0 287.2 284.7 194.0 298.3 296.6 265.3 245.1 265.2 251.4 218.9 294.1 290.5 217.5 310.2 296.0 264.5 258.7 277.7 244.3 213.1 284.1 288.4 185.7 311.8 296.1 262.4 271.5 267.5 244.6 220.8 268.4 289.5 184.8 295.0 295.1 260.7 292.8 261.8 239.3 213.5 270.1 289.5 180.4 289.5 295.9 '263.3 '286.1 264.7 246.6 195.4 274.2 287.2 196.2 296.3 295.9 259.5 273.9 257.7 251.8 207.2 258.3 283.6 165.0 299.0 259.7 260.3 258.6 257.1 263.0 210.0 259.6 285.0 174.6 285.3 242.7 263.1 265.0 257.4 266.5 215.3 251.3 284.3 185.1 288.3 250,2 257.8 257.3 242.7 262.0 210.3 232.5 285.0 180.7 284.3 263.9 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds.......................................................... Cereal and bakery products...................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Dairy products...................... ................................................ Processed fruits and vegetables................................................ Sugar and confectionery .......................................................... Beverages and beverage materials............................................ Fats and o ils ............................................................................ Miscellaneous processed foods ................................................ Manufactured animal feeds ...................................................... 241.2 236.0 243.1 230.6 228.7 322.5 233.0 226.8 227.2 226.8 249.4 235.8 259.9 232.6 230.7 347.1 237.1 240.2 224.0 232.4 249.8 238.3 257.8 233.7 231.3 341.4 236.1 238.3 226.6 243.4 256.1 241.5 256.0 238.0 233.8 404.7 239.5 231.0 230.6 246.9 257.2 245.3 250.9 240.2 234.7 409.0 240.6 238.0 235.0 254.5 251.5 248.7 248.1 242.3 236.6 339.8 240.5 234.1 240.5 247.1 253.3 251.5 248.1 244.7 238.4 344.6 243.0 230.2 244.2 248.9 250.2 252.1 243.6 245.0 243.7 323.7 244.8 228.2 248.0 235.9 248.5 252.2 242.0 245.1 255.2 302.0 245.4 229.8 249.2 231.1 '247.6 '253.9 '239.1 '245.4 '258.0 '284.5 '246.0 '232.4 249.9 '237.7 248.0 255.1 244.8 245.0 260.1 265.3 245.0 228.6 251.1 241.2 249.7 256.0 248.3 245.6 263.3 277.6 245.5 227.5 251.5 234.5 252.1 257.2 257.1 245.5 266.5 269.8 246.3 235.1 252.2 232.2 250.7 256.6 254.2 245.6 267.6 269.1 246.3 228.4 252.0 228.8 200.5 158.6 139.0 147.4 125.2 186.2 231.6 201.4 162.0 139.3 148.2 125.9 186.5 231.6 Code Commodity group and subgroup 1980 1981 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ........................................................ Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).................................................. Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ............................ Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)...................................................... Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ................................................ Apparel.................................................................................... Textile housefurnishings............................................................ 183.5 134.7 122.5 138.1 115.7 172.4 206.9 185.6 137.5 123.2 137.5 116.8 175.1 211.0 186.6 139.5 124.3 141.0 117.0 175.0 212.9 188.1 140.2 125.1 143.5 118.3 176.2 213.8 189.6 140.7 125.8 145.0 119.1 176.8 213.8 190.4 140.8 128.2 144.0 120.1 177.5 214.3 193.1 146.5 129.8 143.6 122.2 179.9 219.8 193.9 147.1 130.3 144.0 122.9 180.7 221.3 195.2 148.9 134.6 144.7 123.2 181.4 221.3 '197.6 '151.5 '135.0 '146.6 '124.9 '184.3 '222.1 198.0 156.7 137.1 146.1 124.7 182.4 231.1 199.5 158.2 138.9 146.6 124.8 185.0 228.1 04 04-1 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .................................... Hides and skins........................................................................ Leather.................................................................................... Footwear ................................................................................ Other leather and related products............................................ 248.9 370.9 310.6 233.1 218.3 251.3 398.4 314.2 233.7 218.7 247.8 356.1 298.1 235.5 218.8 251.2 381.5 301.9 236.6 221.8 255.4 409.1 317.3 237.5 222.6 256.9 392.8 332.4 236.9 225.3 258.2 377.5 332.6 238.4 230.1 257.7 367.4 310.0 240.7 236.9 261.2 (2) 322.5 240.4 238.4 '263.5 ( 2) 337.8 241.1 '238.5 265.9 (2) 337.0 241.1 249.3 262.8 262.1 ( 2> 321.0 241.0 249.4 ( 2) 317.4 241.9 247.8 261.7 ( 2) 312.2 242.3 247.8 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power .......................................... Coal........................................................................................ Coke ...................................................................................... Gas fuels3 .............................................................................. Electric power.......................................................................... Crude petroleum4 .................................................................... Petroleum products, refined5 .................................................... 574.0 467.3 430.6 760.7 321.6 556.4 674.7 590.6 468.7 430.6 772.6 333.6 566.8 697.6 593.5 471.3 430.6 786.2 338.3 571.3 696.4 592.9 470.7 430.6 802.2 337.4 579.6 690.4 600.2 475.4 430.6 825.5 333.8 600.6 697.6 615.7 475.3 430.1 844.3 337.6 632.8 717.0 634.6 477.8 430.1 857.1 341.4 704.4 736.9 667.5 480.8 430.1 881.6 346.2 842.7 769.6 6965 481.1 430.1 889.9 351.2 842.8 825.5 '707.2 '486.1 '430.1 '907.8 '355.5 '842.5 '840.9 706.0 487.7 468.5 906.0 360.7 840.0 835.4 704.9 491.8 470.3 931.6 366.9 816.0 827.7 703.4 505.7 470.3 946.6 374.9 799.0 818.4 704.1 507.3 470.3 952.4 383.6 797.0 813.4 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products...................................................... Industrial chemicals6 ................................................................ Prepared paint.......................................................................... Paint materials ........................................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ...................................................... Fats and oils, inedible .............................................................. Agricultural chemicals and chemical products ............................ Plastic resins and materials ...................................................... Other chemicals and allied products.......................................... 260.3 324.0 235.3 273.9 174.5 298.0 257.1 279.2 224.5 264.4 330.0 238.8 278.4 176.1 307.6 260.0 281.5 229.0 263.4 327.5 239.3 278.9 176.8 304.5 260.6 276.5 229.1 264.8 330.0 239.3 279.6 178.4 302.0 260.6 276.1 230.9 266.7 332.7 241.4 279.8 181.1 308.2 261.1 276.2 232.4 268.1 334.6 241.4 281.0 182.6 317.1 263.3 274.1 234.1 274.3 344.5 242.9 284.0 184.7 310.7 267.6 214.7 244.4 277.6 352.1 246.6 287.0 187.3 289.7 271.6 276.1 245.1 280.4 354.5 246.6 290.5 189.3 295.7 275.8 279.4 248.3 '286.0 '362.4 '248.1 '295.4 '191.0 312.7 '277.8 '285.1 '255.3 288.2 366.6 250.4 300.1 192.3 312.1 278.6 287.9 255.8 290.3 369.4 250.4 300.8 193.2 303.1 288.9 289.7 256.0 291.4 370.4 251.0 304.4 195.4 290.9 288.9 295.9 254.8 293.2 371.9 251.0 308.4 195.6 305.6 293.8 295.6 256.7 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products ........................................................ Rubber and rubber products...................................................... Crude rubber .......................................................................... Tires and tubes........................................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products.................................................. Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .................................................. 217.4 237.5 264.3 236.9 226.6 121.1 220.5 240.2 264.3 238.0 232.0 123.2 222.0 242.6 267.3 242.1 232.1 123.7 222.8 244.6 271.7 245.2 232.0 123.6 223.4 245.0 271.0 245.2 233.3 124.0 223.3 244.9 268.5 245.2 234.0 123.9 224.8 246.2 279.1 240.9 238.6 125.0 226.4 248.5 281.9 243.5 240.4 125.5 228.4 252.1 281.2 248.6 243.5 126.0 '230.8 '253.0 '279.8 '250.7 '243.8 '128.2 232.0 255.3 282.9 250.8 248.6 128.3 233.7 257.8 284.6 250.8 254.2 128.8 233.5 258.0 283.8 251.0 254.7 128.5 234.4 258.4 282.0 251.0 256.4 129.3 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products.......................................................... Lumber.................................................................................... Millwork .................................................................................. Plywood .................................................................................. Other wood products................................................................ 288.9 325.8 260.4 246.5 239.1 296.1 333.7 260.3 266.0 236.2 292.2 328.0 264.5 252.6 236.8 289.0 320.6 264.5 252.9 236.7 293.4 324.9 270.0 256.6 236.6 299.4 333.0 273.3 263.5 236.2 296.5 331.3 273.6 251.1 238.5 294.7 326.9 273.8 251.2 238.1 294.4 326.2 275.7 248.8 236.9 '299.4 '333.6 276.5 '256.0 '238.3 297.8 334.9 274.8 248.4 238.1 297.9 335.0 272.9 250.9 239.7 295.5 330.1 273.6 248.1 240.5 294.3 329.2 272.4 245.9 239.9 See footnotes at end of table. 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] A n n u al Code C o m m o d ity g ro u p a n d su b g ro u p IN D U S T R IA L C O M M O D IT IE S 1980 1981 a v e ra g e 1980 A ug. Sept O ct Nov. D ec. Jan. F eb . M ar. A p r .1 M ay June July A ug. C o n tin u e d 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products.................................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . . . Woodpulp................................................................................ Wastepaper ............................................................................ Paper ...................................................................................... Paperboard.............................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products................................ Building paper and board.......................................................... 249.2 250.6 380.3 208.7 256.8 234.6 238.5 206.2 252.4 253.8 388.3 193.8 258.6 238.4 242.3 210.3 252.8 254.1 388.2 192.5 258.7 239.5 242.7 210.2 254.3 255.6 389.6 193.5 262.1 239.9 243.7 212.7 255.0 256.2 390.2 192.3 264.1 241.7 243.5 216.5 256.7 257.9 390.2 191.5 269.4 239.6 244.7 219.7 264.4 260.9 390.2 191.5 271.7 250.2 246.9 219.7 267.2 264.5 390.2 186.1 272.9 252.8 252.1 225.7 '269.0 266.8 390.2 185.1 273.8 255.1 255.3 227.9 '271.4 '268.6 '394.1 184.2 '275.2 '255.7 '257.3 '232.5 271.6 270.4 396.6 182.7 276.1 262.3 258.6 236.9 272.7 271.9 396.6 182.9 278.8 262.7 260.1 236.8 273.8 272.5 396.6 182.1 280.0 261.4 260.8 234.6 275.7 274.3 396.6 182.1 283.8 261.2 262.5 233.8 10 10-1 10-13 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products .......................................................... Iron and steel .......................................................................... Steel mill products.................................................................... Nonferrous metals.................................................................... Metal containers ...................................................................... Hardware ................................................................................ Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings............................................ Heating equipment.................................................................... Fabricated structural metal products.......................................... Miscellaneous metal products.................................................... 286.4 305.2 302.7 305.0 298.6 240.5 246.7 206.5 270.5 250.0 285.1 302.6 301.0 298.4 303.2 243.3 250.4 208.0 273.0 253.2 287.3 304.5 301.0 302.2 303.2 245.9 250.6 208.8 274.1 255.0 291.9 310.5 307.5 309.4 304.4 246.6 250.6 210.6 276.9 256.3 291.1 312.7 309.4 302.1 303.3 249.6 252.3 212.0 278.0 256.9 290.6 316.4 313.7 293.4 303.3 251.7 254.9 214.0 279.3 257.6 294.0 323.0 322.6 292.1 311.4 254.5 256.7 216.6 283.1 260.5 294.0 323.2 322.9 287.4 313.8 258.0 259.2 217.6 285.4 263.1 296.4 328.2 328.7 286.5 314.1 258.6 259.5 219.5 289.4 264.7 ' 298.8 '331.0 331.8 ' 288.4 314.1 '258.5 '265.3 '219.8 '293.1 ' 267.2 299.2 330.6 332.0 287.8 314.1 257.3 265.6 221.7 294.3 270.6 298.5 329.9 332.1 284.9 314.1 257.6 268.2 222.9 295.4 270.4 302.5 338.7 344.9 283.3 315.7 261.7 270.3 225.7 298.3 275.0 304.3 339.7 344.9 287.7 319.4 263.2 271.0 227.2 300.0 273.8 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 Machinery and equipment ............................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment........................................ Construction machinery and equipment...................................... Metalworking machinery and equipment .................................... General purpose machinery and equipment................................ Special industry machinery and equipment ................................ Electrical machinery and equipment .......................................... Miscellaneous machinery.......................................................... 239.8 259.2 289.4 274.4 264.6 275.8 201.7 229.9 242.6 259.9 293.4 278.8 267.0 277.1 205.0 232.1 244.7 263.9 295.7 280.2 270.0 283.0 206.0 233.6 246.8 265.4 299.1 282.5 272.5 286.0 207.0 236.5 248.3 271.6 300.1 283.9 274.3 287.7 207.5 238.5 249.8 272.9 301.4 285.7 275.6 290.9 208.9 239.6 253.3 276.4 305.9 289.7 278.6 295.6 211.9 243.3 255.3 278.4 310.0 291.6 280.2 299.2 213.7 245.2 257.5 279.8 312.8 294.9 282.3 301.0 216.0 247.0 ' 259.6 ' 282.5 '317.0 '298.7 '284.4 '303.2 '217.4 '248.5 260.6 284.4 318.3 299.5 285.3 307.4 218.0 248.4 261.9 285.9 320.0 300.9 286.6 309.1 219.0 249.8 264.5 287.3 324.0 303.0 290.0 311.0 221.0 253.2 266.0 289.3 324.9 303.6 291.7 310.5 222.8 255.3 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ................................................ Household furniture.................................................................. Commercial furniture...... .......................................................... Floor coverings........................................................................ Household appliances .............................................................. Home electronic equipment ...................................................... Other household durable goods ................................................ 187.7 204.8 236.0 163.0 174.2 91.4 278.6 188.9 208.0 237.3 163.8 176.3 91.3 275.9 189.5 208.5 237.8 163.9 177.2 91.6 276.2 190.9 209.8 241.4 164.4 177.5 91.5 281.8 191.5 210.9 242.2 165.5 178.5 91.2 281.2 193.1 212.1 242.4 170.7 179.5 91.0 285.7 194.0 212.9 246.7 172.3 182.2 91.0 278.9 195.2 213.8 251.6 171.9 183.5 91.3 280.8- 195.8 214.5 253.4 174.1 184.2 91.4 278.1 196.4 '216.5 '254.5 '175.3 '185.1 '90.9 '275.3 197.5 217.6 256.9 179.9 184.2 91.0 277.6 197.1 218.9 258.1 181.1 184.8 86.9 275.8 198.9 220.4 259.1 182.8 187.5 87.1 279.1 199.5 221.4 259.2 182.3 187.7 87.5 282.0 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products........................................................ Flat glass ................................................................................ Concrete ingredients ................................................................ Concrete products.................................................................... Structural clay products excluding refractories............................ Refractories ............................................................................ Asphalt roofing ........................................................................ Gypsum products .................................................................... Glass containers ...................................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals........................................................ 283.0 196.5 274.0 273.9 231.5 264.6 396.8 256.3 292.7 394.6 286.0 199.5 278.6 276.0 229.7 270.6 411.2 251.8 294.3 397.1 286.8 199.7 278.9 277.3 230.1 270.6 407.9 251.3 294.6 400.7 288.6 200.7 279.0 277.5 233.3 273.2 408.5 249.5 306.2 402.7 288.7 203.1 279.1 277.7 233.5 273.2 397.1 253.3 306.2 403.3 291.2 203.0 279.7 277.6 233.6 273.2 394.6 252.7 311.4 418.9 296.6 203.9 290.0 286.1 239.5 282.6 394.8 259.6 311.4 418.7 297.9 204.3 291.4 286.6 239.8 293.5 389.5 257.3 311.4 424.7 300.9 204.8 292.6 286.9 244.6 296.1 390.5 257.6 311.4 441.7 '310.8 '210.2 '297.4 '289.9 '246.0 '296.4 '415.9 256.8 '326.7 '479.1 311.7 208.1 297.2 290.7 249.6 304.2 412.4 261.1 334.5 477.6 312.8 208.1 297.1 293.2 249.5 307.3 422.5 260.7 334.5 476.8 313.9 216.2 298.1 293.0 250.3 308.0 420.3 259.7 334.7 476.3 314.0 218.8 298.4 293.0 250.4 308.0 419.2 255.3 334.8 475.2 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 - 100)...................................... Motor vehicles and equipment .................................................. Railroad equipment .................................................................. 207.0 208.8 313.1 208.8 211.7 318.0 204.4 205.6 320.0 217.4 218.2 323.3 217.8 218.6 323.6 224.3 226.2 323.9 227.4 228.9 332.5 229.1 230.9 332.5 228.1 229.5 333.9 '231.9 '233.9 '335.7 233.2 235.3 337.1 234.1 236.4 337.4 235.3 237.5 344.3 235.8 238.1 345.0 15 15-1 15-2 153 15-4 15-5 15-9 Miscellaneous products................................................................ Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition............................ Tobacco products .................................................................... Notions.................................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies........................................ Mobile homes (12/74 = 100).................................................... Other miscellaneous products .................................................. 258.8 198.6 245.7 217.2 202.9 150.2 363.4 260.1 201.3 248.2 223.8 200.9 151.4 364.6 265.1 202.3 248.2 223.9 200.9 151.7 381.9 266.0 202.7 249.4 224.0 200.8 153.2 383.4 263.6 202.8 254.4 224.1 206.7 152.7 367.0 265.3 205.7 254.8 225.0 206.6 153.0 370.5 264.3 208.4 254.8 227.2 207.4 153.0 363.3 264.9 210.5 256.1 247.3 209.6 153.1 358.1 264.0 211.1 256.3 247.3 211.2 155.0 351.3 '266.0 '211.3 '268.7 248.4 '212.4 ( 2) '349.0 266.1 212.3 268.4 248.4 212.9 155.3 348.4 266.1 212.1 268.4 268.0 212.9 155.5 346.0 262.8 213.8 268.5 267.5 211.7 155.8 332.3 262.6 214.0 268.6 267.7 207.4 157.7 333.9 ' Data tor April 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Not available. 3 Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis * Includes only domestic production. 5 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. 6 Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. 87 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 28. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 unless otherwise specified] A n n u al 1980 1981 C o m m o d it y g r o u p in g A ll c o m m o d it ie s — le s s f a r m p r o d u c t s .............................. A ll f o o d s P ro c e s s e d fo o d s .............................................. 1980 A ug. Sept O ct Nov. D ec. Jan. Feb . M ar. A p r .1 M ay June Ju ly A ug. 269.6 244.7 246.6 243.5 124.3 123.2 185.4 273.8 254.1 255.7 245.6 126.0 125.9 189.3 274.3 254.3 254.9 246.0 126.6 126.4 189.5 278.1 258.8 261.7 249.6 127.5 126.2 189.7 279.4 259.7 261.9 250.3 128.1 126.7 190.3 281.2 254.3 255.5 252.3 129.3 126.4 190.6 285.4 255.8 257.0 255.4 131.8 129.5 199.2 288.8 253.7 253.9 257.2 132.5 130.3 200.9 291.9 253.4 252.3 258.6 132.2 130.5 202.0 '295.0 '251.4 '250.3 '261.8 '134.5 ' 134.2 202.1 295.6 250.3 250.6 262.6 136.3 134.5 202.3 296.4 252.2 253.4 263.4 136.0 135.6 203.5 297.7 255.5 256.3 264.8 136.9 135.7 205.0 298.5 253.7 254.9 266.0 137.2 135.3 205.0 Industrial commodities less fu e ls ...................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100 )........... Hosiery .......................................................... Underwear and nightwear ............................................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and manmade fibers and y a rn s .................................... Pharmaceutical preparations .................................... Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork and other wood products..................................................... Special metals and metal products................................. Fabricated metal products............................................... Copper and copper products .......................................... Machinery and motive products ........................ 250.7 167.1 254.7 168.4 254.0 168.8 255.4 170.8 257.0 173.7 258.2 174.6 264.8 177.1 268.3 179.7 271.0 182.1 '276.1 184.0 278.7 185.7 281.0 186.5 282.1 188.7 283.9 189.1 304.0 258.5 258.2 222.0 230.4 315.5 259.0 261.2 220.4 232.9 307.4 257.8 262.6 214.1 232.1 302.3 265.7 264.3 216.5 239.2 306.5 265.7 265.2 215.7 240.2 314.2 268.6 266.3 210.8 244.1 309.2 271.8 269.9 207.4 247.4 306.0 272.7 272.5 205.0 249.4 304.8 273.5 274.7 204.8 250.2 '312.3 '276.8 '277.0 '207.7 '253.1 310.6 277.7 278.7 207.1 254.2 311.5 277.7 279.2 204.3 2^5.4 307.2 280.5 282.7 203.0 257.4 305.9 281.8 283.4 206.3 258.4 Machinery and equipment, except electrical.................... Agricultural machinery, including tractors........................ Metalworking machinery ................................................. Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) Total tractors ........................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment less p a r ts ........... Farm and garden tractors less p a rts ............................... Agricultural machinery excluding tractors less parts . . . . Industrial valves .......................................................... Industrial fittings ..................................................... Abrasive grinding w h e e ls........................................ Construction materials..................................................... 263.0 267.3 299.4 225.6 287.3 261.2 268.8 266.5 287.8 291.8 (2) 266.4 264.6 268.1 304.5 229.3 291.1 262.2 270.3 266.6 291.3 296.1 261.5 269.6 270.2 272.9 306.5 230.0 295.8 266.5 277.3 269.7 292.4 296.1 261.3 269.3 273.0 274.8 309.6 231.7 298.3 268.3 278.0 272.5 294.6 298.6 263.4 269.9 275.1 280.9 311.2 232.1 299.9 273.7 282.4 279.9 296.0 298.6 273.0 271.9 276.7 281.4 314.1 230.6 301.2 274.3 282.4 280.9 297.8 298.6 273.8 274.1 277.3 285.0 318.9 234.6 305.8 278.0 284.4 285.7 300.7 298.6 ( 2) 276.7 279.7 287.3 320.5 235.0 311.1 280.2 287.2 287.7 305.5 296.0 (2) 277.2 281.9 288.3 323.5 235.7 311.8 281.5 287.6 289.1 310.1 298.9 ( 2) 279.0 '284.3 '289.6 '325.9 '235.7 '316.8 '283.2 '289.3 '290.2 '314.0 302.7 <2) '283.9 285.5 292.2 327.1 237.7 321.5 285.5 296.8 288.8 311.0 303.0 (2) 284.1 287.0 293.6 328.4 241.7 322.0 286.9 297.2 290.9 312.0 303.0 ( 2) 284.8 289.9 294.3 329.9 242.1 325.4 287.6 297.2 292.3 314.1 303.0 (2) 285.4 291.3 296.9 330.8 242.1 327.3 290.0 300.6 294.1 316.4 303.0 ( 2) 285.6 June J u ly Aug 1Data for April 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 29. 2 Not available, r=revised. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ] A n n u al 1980 1981 C o m m o d it y g r o u p in g 1980 A ug. Sept O ct N ov. D ec. Jan. F eb. M ar. A p r .1 M ay Total durable goods .......................................... Total nondurable g o o d s................................. 251.5 282.4 253.1 290.3 253.7 291.2 258.4 293.0 258.6 295.2 261.0 296.3 262.7 302.6 263.8 306.8 264.9 310.9 '267.8 '314.2 268.4 314.1 268.9 315.1 270.7 316.3 271.8 315.9 Total m anufactures.......................................................... Durablo ............................................... Nondurable..................................................... 261.5 250.8 273.0 265.7 252.7 279.5 265.8 253.1 279.5 269.6 257.8 282.1 270.5 257.9 284.0 272.0 260.4 284.3 277.3 262.3 293.5 279.3 263.4 296.4 282.3 264.4 301.7 '285.3 '267.2 '304.9 286.0 268.0 305.4 286.7 268.7 306.2 288.0 270.6 306.8 288.4 271.6 306.6 Total raw or slightly processed goods.................... Durable ............................................... Nondurable...................................... 305.7 278.2 306.7 315.7 265.8 318.4 319.9 274.9 322.2 319.6 282.7 321.3 322.9 285.6 324.6 326.2 284.0 328.2 322.9 275.9 325.3 330.3 275.5 333.3 331.2 281.7 333.8 '334.6 '286.0 '337.1 332.7 281.0 335.4 333.9 272.7 337.3 336.6 271.9 340.3 335.6 276.6 338.9 ' Data for April 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 30. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 unless otherwise specified] 1972 S IC A n n u al 1980 1981 In d u s try d e s c rip tio n code 1980 A ug. Sept O ct N ov. D ec. 152.9 331.2 466.7 643.8 252.7 136.0 155.8 329.1 467.9 656.7 255.8 136.6 155.8 335.4 470.3 667.6 258.5 136.6 155.8 338.7 469.7 681.8 261.8 137.2 155.8 343.7 474.2 704.6 263.2 132.1 155.8 325.0 473.9 731.7 264.3 133.7 244.0 220.1 191.9 258.5 265.3 233.0 212.1 268.5 257.1 240.0 226.0 265.8 258.0 247.0 211.3 273.2 251.4 249.5 205.9 273.3 249.0 247.4 201.8 274.8 Jan . Feb . M ar. A p r .1 M ay June Ju ly A ug. 155.8 297.9 476.1 786.5 270.1 137.1 168.1 324.5 478.1 897.9 272.3 137.1 168.1 335.4 478.5 901.7 275.2 137.1 168.1 354.1 '483.5 '908.6 '278.0 137.1 168.1 347.9 484.9 904.6 277.7 137.1 168.1 352.0 488.7 901.0 277.8 137.1 168.1 358.3 502.5 898.9 278.5 137.1 168.1 365.4 503.8 901.4 278.3 137.1 244.7 235.3 201.9 273.6 237.2 232.9 208.3 273.5 236.1 230.4 203.9 273.6 '237.8 '227.5 186.7 273.4 243.0 230.4 196.2 273.4 245.5 237.6 198.3 273.6 252.6 245.5 203.6 273.8 250.7 252.7 201.2 273.7 M IN IN G 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 = 100)................................ Mercury ores (12/75 = 100) .................................. Bituminous coal and lignite .............................................. Crude petroleum and natural gas ...................... Construction sand and gravel ........................................ Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100)........................ 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meatpacking plants .................................................. Sausages and other prepared meats.................... Poultry dressing plants.............................................. Creamery butter.......................................... M A N U F A C T U R IN G See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 88 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued — Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. ' May June July Aug. 1980 1981 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 MANUFACTURING Continued Cheese natural and processed (12/72 = 100) .............. Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) .............. Canned fruits and vegetables........................................ Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100)...................... Flour mills (12/71 =100) ............................................ Rice milling.................................................................. Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................ Raw cane sugar .......................................................... Beet sugar .................................................................. Chewing gum .............................................................. 204.4 193.3 221.4 160.2 189.1 243.4 124.2 414.1 358.0 290.7 206.8 195.5 223.4 159.6 193.1 219.9 126.6 484.0 365.5 282.4 208.0 196.1 224.3 159.9 196.1 225.9 129.6 458.9 384.5 302.4 213.7 199.5 227.6 162.6 201.5 237.2 129.2 588.2 460.1 322.4 214.9 199.8 231.1 168.6 205 1 265.8 133.3 563.8 512.2 322.9 216.1 207.5 232.0 170.4 199.5 287.2 133.9 402.9 423.3 322.9 215.9 210.1 233.3 174.1 203.8 289.6 132.6 418.0 414.5 323.0 215.6 210.6 237.4 171.3 198,4 289.6 129.3 367.1 398.1 323.0 215.7 210.6 241.5 172.9 195.1 298.0 126.6 318.8 370.7 323.1 r 216.2 211.4 '244.0 ' 174.2 201.5 300.9 '128.5 275.7 '350.5 323.1 218.0 212.4 246.9 175.3 199.4 300.3 130.2 224.8 351.3 303.1 218.0 212.4 250.0 175,1 199.3 300.3 127.8 263.3 358.1 303.1 217.1 212.7 252.4 180.5 196.5 297.4 125.9 272.2 299.3 303.2 2160 212.7 253.8 178.7 191.0 284.3 124.9 254.6 299.3 303.2 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil m ills...................................................... Soybean oil m ills.......................................................... Animal and marine fats and oils .................................... M a lt..................................................................... Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 = 100) ................ Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) .................. Fresh or frozen packaged fish ...................................... Roasted coffee (12/72 = 100)...................................... Macaroni and spaghetti ................................................ Cigarettes.................................................................... 192.9 244.3 290.2 249.9 123.0 174.0 366.9 269.3 233.8 254.6 215.1 256.9 2974 244.1 127.7 177.5 365.2 274.7 230.5 257.4 232.9 275.2 307.0 244.1 127.7 178.6 355.0 263.9 239.3 257.4 218.7 279.2 311.0 267.4 127.9 180.0 353.8 257.0 243.6 257.8 231.8 290.5 317.2 267.4 128.5 183.1 353.3 252.5 243.6 263.5 228.0 270.5 311.8 267.4 129.2 183.4 353.9 248.5 243.6 263.6 221.2 272.0 310.8 286.1 129 2 187.3 374.9 238.2 243.6 263.6 193.7 252.5 287.2 286.1 133.9 187.1 366.7 238 3 243.6 264.1 204.4 253.2 284.2 286 1 133.9 187.6 385.2 238.3 243.6 264.2 '218.4 '259.1 301.7 286.1 133,9 '187.7 '393.5 238.5 243.6 278.3 216.6 258.1 304.3 286.1 134.3 187.4 379.7 238.6 246.6 278.3 212.3 248.2 291.3 286.1 134.6 187.5 377.0 238.6 246.6 278.3 212.0 253.6 288.8 286.1 134.6 187.4 369.2 236.6 259.5 278.3 206.0 245.6 294.1 286.1 135.5 188.5 348.6 236.0 259.5 278.3 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ........................................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco...................................... Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 = 100) ............................ Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) ........................ Women's hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100).............. Knit underwear mills .................................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 100)............................ Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 = 100) ............................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ................ 158.6 279.8 215.8 124.8 106.3 190.1 104.6 135.1 113.6 159.9 279.7 219.0 124.9 108.8 192.9 105.7 137.3 114.1 159.9 279.7 221.9 127.7 108.8 194.1 105.8 136.9 115.3 163.7 295.0 223.4 130.7 108.7 194.2 106.7 139.1 117.3 164.0 2950 224.2 133.0 109.0 194.7 107.1 139.3 117.9 165.1 298.8 225.0 132.5 108.6 195.0 107.5 140.2 120.5 165.1 298.7 227.9 131.9 109.1 205.6 109.3 142.4 121.7 165.3 320.7 230.9 132.3 109.2 208.7 109.6 144.5 123.1 167.0 320.7 232.3 133.3 108.9 209.7 109.1 144.6 124.3 '168.5 '320.8 '235.3 '134.9 '114.1 '209.8 '110.8 '146.9 ’ 125.2 165.6 320.4 236.3 135.3 114.3 209.9 109.0 147.0 126.4 165.6 320.8 234.6 136.4 115.7 209.9 108.9 146.3 126.2 1668 320.8 234.9 137.0 115.6 210.5 109.6 146.2 127.0 166.8 321.1 236.9 137.5 115.0 210.7 110.5 146.1 127.7 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs................................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 =100) .......................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) ...................... Thread mills (6/76 = 100)............................................ Cordage and twine (12/77 = 100)................................ Men’s and boys' suits and coats.................................... Men’s and boys' shirts and nightwear ............................ Men's and boys' underwear.......................................... Men's and boys’ neckwear (12/75 = 100) .................... Men’s and boys’ separate trousers................................ 138.1 203.5 115.5 139.1 123.6 212.6 204.4 208.0 112.6 175.3 138.3 204.3 115.8 143.1 125.0 214.9 206.7 211.2 112.4 175.3 138.3 206.2 117.2 143.1 125.0 214.9 207.7 212.8 112.4 175.3 138.8 207.9 118.2 143.8 127.1 216.2 208.0 212.8 112.4 180.2 140.0 209.9 118.4 143.9 129.2 216.3 208.6 212.8 112.4 180.2 145.7 215.1 120.1 143.9 129.3 216.1 209.5 212.9 115.4 180.3 148.1 216.9 123.2 144.1 129.3 218.2 206.3 224.9 115.4 185.3 147.8 218.1 123.2 144.3 129.3 219.7 207.3 229.1 115.4 185.3 150.2 220.7 131.3 148.4 130.9 220.1 207.1 231.0 115.4 185.3 '151.5 '220.9 '131.5 150.8 132.7 '220.3 '207.6 '231.0 115.4 '186.0 156.0 224.1 134.9 150.9 134.3 220.4 204.9 230.9 115.4 185.8 157.0 225.9 138.1 151.1 134.3 221.5 205.5 230.6 115.4 186.1 159.2 225.1 139.0 151.1 134.3 223.1 208.6 230.7 113.9 186.3 158.7 225.3 139.5 151.1 134.3 224.1 208.7 230.7 113.9 186.4 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men’s and boys’ work clothing .................................... Women’s and misses' blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women’s and misses' dresses (12/77 = 100)................ Women's and children’s underwear (12/72 = 100) ........ Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) .............. Children's dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100).............. Fabric dress and work gloves........................................ Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100).................. Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100).......... Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 = 1 0 0 )...................... 240.5 110.3 114.7 154.4 126.5 109.9 268.6 123.8 122.4 227.7 244.1 112.6 115.4 156.9 129.0 112.7 271.1 123.4 122.3 234.2 243.9 112.6 115.4 155.4 129.0 112.2 271.1 123.9 122.3 229.0 244.3 114.0 116.3 156.0 129.0 112.7 271.1 125.1 122.3 223.2 244.3 114.0 116.3 157.1 129.1 115.1 272.1 125.1 131.0 226.8 244.4 115.4 116.3 158.1 129.1 117.4 272.1 126.1 131.0 233.5 242.2 116.3 116.5 165.5 131.7 118.1 284.9 126.8 131.0 232.3 242.2 116.3 116.9 167.5 132.8 118.9 289.1 126.8 131.0 229.6 242.3 116.4 118.5 168.8 134.9 119.2 289.1 127.8 131.0 228.6 '247.0 ' 118.3 '118.4 '169.0 '135.0 '120.7 289.1 '129.3 131.0 '233.3 247.4 115.2 118.7 169.8 134.5 119.4 292.1 130.6 131.0 233.6 248.2 117.1 121.4 171.1 136.6 119.4 292.1 130.6 131.0 233.9 250.7 119.7 121.4 171.2 139.2 120.5 289.2 130.6 131.0 231.6 251.3 119.8 121.5 171.2 139.2 120.5 289.2 133.7 131.0 231.0 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100)................ Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ............ Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).......................... Mobile homes (12/74 = 100)........................................ Particleboard (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Wood household furniture (12/71 =100) ...................... Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 1 0 0 ).............. Mattresses and bedsprings............................................ Wood office furniture .................................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100).............................................. 144.6 155.6 160.1 150.3 161.5 183.8 163.6 179.1 235.2 240.0 160.7 152.2 156.0 151.4 169.4 186.4 166.2 186.4 235.5 244.5 149.6 155.5 154.9 151.8 163.7 187.7 166.2 186.4 235.5 244.4 149.1 156.2 154.6 153.2 159.8 188.1 167.7 .186.5 239.7 246.1 152.3 157.0 154.7 152.7 163.6 189.1 168.6 186.5 239.7 246.8 158.2 157.1 154.1 153.1 165.9 190.0 170.5 186.5 240.9 246.8 149.8 157.1 153.8 153.1 163.9 210.1 169.9 186.3 244.1 246.9 149.3 157.0 152.8 153.2 170.3 192.1 170.1 188.3 250.4 246.9 147.2 157.1 152.7 155.0 172.3 193.3 170.1 189.5 253.5 246.9 '152.6 158.3 '153.1 '155.8 '180.9 '195.4 '171,8 '190.5 '254.5 '251.2 145.8 158.2 153.1 155.4 183.2 196.2 173.4 194.5 255.5 253.5 147.5 158.2 153.0 155.6 181.0 197.1 175.2 194.6 255.6 253.5 144.0 157.5 153.0 155.9 178.3 198.3 176.4 195.4 255.7 253.5 139.9 157.1 152.8 157.7 172.3 199.1 176.4 198.7 255.7 253.5 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100).................... Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) .................................. Sanitary paper products................................................ Sanitary food containers .............................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100).............................. Plastics materials and resins (6/76 = 1 0 0 ) .................... Synthetic rubber .......................................................... Organic fiber, noncellulosic............................................ Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 = 100) ............................ 145.5 139.0 322.0 216.0 150.6 247.5 143.0 255.8 132.5 124.4 146.7 141.1 331.1 220.3 155.2 257.3 144.4 260.5 134.9 123.7 146.7 141.7 331.1 222.3 155.2 257.2 141.5 260.1 137.1 127.2 148.2 142.3 332.6 222.3 155.5 257.9 141.5 260.9 138.0 130.3 149.2 143.2 334.7 222.3 155.5 265.1 141.5 260.4 138.7 130.0 150.7 142.4 338.2 225.3 155.0 262.3 140,9 262.5 138.9 131.8 152.0 148.2 338.3 232.0 157.7 277.9 142.4 275.9 144.0 135.0 152.6 149.2 342.5 235.2 160.6 299.2 143.5 280.7 144,7 138.1 153.3 150.8 343.0 237.9 160.7 295.6 144.8 283.9 147.4 141.7 '153.9 '151.0 '343.2 '239.2 '160.8 '294.4 148.1 '288.1 '149.9 147.1 154.8 154.1 345.4 240.4 160.9 300.7 149.7 291.9 156.9 148.5 156.2 154.3 345.4 243.5 160.9 309.6 150.6 295.1 157.7 147.2 157.6 152.7 345.3 245.5 163.2 302.6 155.0 296.1 158.2 147.2 158.3 152.6 345.3 254.2 163.2 309.1 154.6 296.1 160.5 144.5 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers .................................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .................................................. Explosives .................................................................. Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) .................................. Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100).................... Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75 = 100)...................... Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) ............................ 237.3 246.9 269.7 248.6 171.4 173.4 203.1 240.6 249.3 273.4 256.9 175.1 179.8 204.1 240.8 250.2 273.3 256.4 176.0 178.3 207.4 239.3 250.6 273.5 254.6 176.2 178.6 209.9 239.6 252.9 272.9 256.3 176.2 173.5 209.9 245.4 252.2 282.8 261.4 181.5 172.5 210.1 247.9 255.8 288.8 268.3 183.1 172.4 207.0 248.2 2668 295.4 279.5 185.4 170.0 209.3 253.5 270.0 303.9 299.0 189.1 169.7 213.8 '251.6 '271.1 324.8 '306.0 '198.1 '180.4 '215.5 248.6 273.7 314.5 304.3 198,8 178.7 215.8 250.9 273.0 311.4 302.6 198.4 183.1 215.9 249.9 274.2 315.7 299.3 197,4 182.2 216.1 261.0 273.1 316.7 297.5 196.2 181.7 216.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 30. Continued — Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description 3021 3031 3079 3111 3142 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Annual average 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. ' May June July Aug. Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 =100) .................................... Reclaimed rubber (12/73 =100)...................................................... Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100).................................... Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100) .................................... House slippers (12/75 = 100) ........................................................ Men’s footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100) ................................ Women’s footwear, except athletic .................................................. Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 - 100) ................................ Flat glass (12/71 = 100) ................................................................ Glass containers ............................................................................ 177.9 184.7 121.7 146.6 149.1 159.8 213.5 137.9 161.3 292.6 181.9 185.9 123.9 147.9 151.1 159.5 214.3 140.0 162.6 294.2 182.0 185.9 124.4 140.0 151.1 161.5 215.2 140.9 162.8 294.2 182.0 184.0 124.2 (2) 153.5 161.6 217.1 140.9 163.8 306.1 182.4 184.1 124.6 149.3 158.2 162.4 217.1 140.9 166.4 306.1 182.3 186.7 124.5 156.6 154.9 162.4 217.1 140.9 166.3 311.4 182.8 190.4 125.4 157.0 ( 2) 164.8 217.8 149.5 167.1 311.4 183.4 190.4 125.4 145.5 ' 183.6 '187.7 '128.7 158.6 ( 2) 168.5 219.0 158.4 171.8 334.4 184.7 190.8 129.0 150.6 ( 2> 169.7 218.9 158.4 177.1 334.6 185.3 198.1 129.7 147,8 (2) '168.7 218.7 149.7 '174.5 '326.6 184.0 195.5 128.8 158.3 (2) 168.4 219.3 158.4 171.7 334.4 184.1 185.6 129.3 150.7 (2) 166.5 220.2 149.5 167.5 311.4 183.6 187.6 126.3 151.4 (2) 167.6 218.7 149.7 168.1 311.4 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic .......................................................................... Brick and structural clay tile ............................................................ Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Clay refractories ............................................................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c........................................................... Vitreous plumbing fixtures................................................................ Vitreous china food utensils.............................................................. Fine earthenware food utensils ........................................................ Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ............................................ Concrete block and brick ................................................................ 310.8 277.3 122.5 273.6 202.7 234.8 317.3 295.5 152.6 257.3 313.1 277.6 117.6 279.5 205.0 240.4 318.3 294.6 152.7 259.5 312.3 278.5 117.6 279.7 204.8 241.1 318.7 296.4 153.3 260.5 311.8 282.6 120.1 280.2 204.9 241.5 327.4 297.9 155.4 259.4 310.5 282.9 120.1 280.7 205.0 242.6 327.4 297.9 155.5 259.4 310.5 282.9 120.1 280.7 205.1 245.0 327.4 297.9 155.5 259.4 324.3 286.6 127.1 291.5 209.5 244.7 327.4 298.6 155.5 264.1 324.3 286.1 127.1 305.2 212.8 248.9 327.4 298.6 155.5 265.0 r 324.4 295.3 127.1 308.1 213.0 249.4 328.0 307.9 158.5 263.2 '332.4 '296.0 '129.6 '308.6 '212.7 252.0 328.2 '308.2 '158.6 '267.4 329.2 298.3 129.6 312.7 224.3 252.5 336.6 309.1 160.5 271.1 329.0 298.3 129.6 313.9 224.3 255.8 336.6 309.1 160.5 271.2 329.5 299.8 129.6 314.0 224.3 258.7 336.6 309.1 160.6 271.3 329.5 299.9 129.6 314.0 224.4 259.5 336.6 309.1 160.6 274.0 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete .................................................................... Lime (12/75 - 100)........................................................................ Gypsum products............................................................................ Abrasive products (12/71 = 100).................................................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100) ................................................ Blast furnaces and steel mills .......................................................... Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) .................................... Cold finishing of steel shapes .......................................................... Steel pipes and tubes...................................................................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 = 100) .................................................. 279.9 157.7 256.7 212.6 161.1 310.5 117.7 284.0 290.9 282.5 282.6 160.2 252.3 215.7 164.9 308.5 117.1 282.3 292.6 283.2 283.6 158.8 252.2 217.1 164.8 308.6 117.2 282.3 292.6 283.3 282.7 160.8 250.0 218.8 167 8 314.8 117.3 288.1 294.2 289.7 282.8 160.8 253.6 220.2 167.5 316.6 117.3 288.8 302.4 290.1 282.9 161.8 253.1 220.6 167.6 320.7 117.3 293.3 308.4 290.7 294.8 165.7 2599 222.8 172.4 328.7 119.9 302.8 315.5 295.2 295.4 171.7 257.6 221.7 177.5 328.9 120.0 303.1 316.3 296.1 296.0 172.6 257.9 223.1 178.9 334.0 120.0 306.1 326.1 295.6 '298.5 172.4 257.1 '232.7 178.9 '336.7 120.8 ' 308.2 333.1 '297.0 299.5 172.4 261.4 233.0 185.9 337.6 120.6 308.3 334.2 298.3 301.9 173.1 2609 233.8 189.0 337.6 120.7 308.5 336.3 298.6 300.5 173.4 261.8 234.9 189.7 349.6 121.2 325.1 348.2 299.4 299.9 174.2 258.9 234.9 189.8 349.5 121.5 325.7 350.7 299.4 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary zinc.................................................................................... Primary aluminum .......................................................................... Copper rolling and drawing.............................................................. Aluminum sheet plate and foil (12/75 = 100) .................................. Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100) .................................... Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)................................ Metal cans .................................................................................... Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100)...................................... Metal sanitary ware ........................................................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) .............................................. 270.5 297.9 227.5 158.2 167.7 146.2 291.6 182.1 248.3 136.9 255.9 312.2 226.2 157.6 168.4 147.6 295.9 185.4 251.4 139.8 264.0 313.0 220.2 157.6 168.2 147.5 296.1 185.8 251.4 140.1 269.9 325.6 222.0 161.5 173.2 150.7 297.9 186.8 251.5 140.2 282.0 328.5 222.9 163.3 176.3 151.2 297.2 187.2 252.2 140.9 288.7 328.0 222.8 165.1 176.4 151.1 297.3 190.5 253.8 141.2 300.3 331.7 218.7 169.3 176.8 155.3 302.1 195.4 256.0 143.0 300.0 332.3 215.3 170.7 177.1 157.1 303.0 196.3 256.4 143.9 299.7 332.2 211.8 172.1 177.3 157.2 304.7 198.0 258.5 144.2 '311.9 '332.8 '213.1 '173.8 180.6 '157.3 304.7 '198.1 '262.8 '145.0 321.6 336.0 211.9 174.4 180.7 157.5 304.7 199.8 263.7 145.3 331.0 334.4 212.1 176.2 180.8 157.4 304.7 199.8 263.9 145.6 331.3 336.2 209.5 178.2 181.1 157.6 305.6 302.8 266.9 146.6 349.5 336.5 210.9 178.2 181.3 157.6 306.9 203.8 267.1 146.8 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) ............................................ Steel springs, except wire................................................................ Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 - 100) ............................................ Fabricated pipe and fittings.............................................................. Internal combustion engines, n.e.c...................................................... Construction machinery (12/76 - 100) ............................................ Mining machinery (12/72 = 100) .................................................... Oilfield machinery and equipment .................................................... Elevators and moving stairways ...................................................... Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 1 0 0 )............................ 145.6 230.3 230.0 315.5 275.4 141.1 258.5 338.1 239.3 279.5 147.3 230.8 232.7 317.2 278.6 142.7 262.0 345.7 243.8 285.3 145.3 231.9 233.3 319.9 283.2 143.8 264.1 347.3 246.4 285.6 145.8 233.0 235.8 325.0 285.2 146.0 266.0 352.9 248.3 286.8 146.3 233.3 236.9 329.9 289.1 146.6 268.0 358.4 248.8 287.4 160.9 234.3 238.3 329.9 289.9 147.5 270.0 360.9 249.5 292.0 157.9 238.4 240.2 335.7 298.2 150.0 272.5 367.0 250.3 297.5 157.8 239.2 242.1 335.7 299.4 151.4 273.5 374.2 250.3 298.0 157.2 239.5 244.8 338.5 302.6 152.6 276.2 378.2 250.3 301.9 '157.8 '241.2 '247.6 358.8 '306.0 '154.4 '279.5 '382.2 '251.2 '303.0 163.2 241.6 246.5 359.9 304.2 155.0 279.6 382.8 251.2 304.4 163.2 241.8 247.0 361.6 305.7 156.6 280.5 398.4 251.2 305.6 163.2 244.2 248.5 365.9 311.5 159.0 282.3 393.3 251.3 307.3 165.3 244.3 249.5 371.3 313.6 159.5 283.5 403.1 252.9 307.7 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 100) .......................................... Textile machinery (12/69 = 100) .................................................... Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100) .......................................... Scales and balances, excluding laboratory........................................ Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100) .............................. Transformers.................................................................................. Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100) ...................................... Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100) .................................. Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) ................................ Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100) .................................. 132.2 216.6 212.5 215.0 156.6 184.9 209.9 133.1 121.4 162.0 134.5 222.1 216.0 226.2 159.3 190.6 212.1 134.4 122.2 163.6 135.3 222.3 216.0 226.2 160.1 190.7 211.7 134.7 123.3 165.5 136.6 223.8 217.0 226.3 164.9 193.9 214.4 134.8 124.1 166.1 136.7 224.5 217.7 226.9 165.2 193.0 214.9 135.8 125.1 166.6 137.9 226.0 221.5 217.9 167.6 193.3 215.8 137.5 125.1 167.4 142.6 235.7 222.5 220.5 168.9 194.9 218.9 140.1 127.5 169.8 144.9 235.0 223.1 221.1 170.9 197.1 220.9 141.0 127.5 170.2 145.2 240.0 224.7 224.2 171.5 204.3 222.1 141.1 127.6 170.9 146.4 '240.4 '225.5 '230.2 '172.0 '206.0 '224.3 '140.5 '129.4 '173.5 147.0 241.1 225.7 230.2 171.9 207.9 225.4 140.5 128.1 173.8 147.1 242.4 226.6 230.2 176.3 209.6 226.8 140.9 129.4 173.8 148.1 245.0 233.6 226.5 180.6 212.6 227.4 140.4 134.0 174.1 148.5 245.3 224.2 226.8 181.1 215.3 228.8 141.1 134.1 174.1 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners............................................................ Sewing machines (12/75 = 100) .................................................... Electric lamps ................................................................................ Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100)............................ Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 = 100) ...................................... Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100).......................................... Electron tubes receiving type .......................................................... Semiconductors and related devices ................................................ Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) ................................................ Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100) .................................................. 154.4 129.1 260.3 219.7 139.3 139.9 251.8 90.7 162.7 134.2 158.5 130.0 268.1 220.7 140.4 140.9 255.6 91.8 172.6 136.3 158.6 130.0 269.2 220.9 142.3 143.2 255.7 92.0 174.0 136.9 158.8 130.3 268.7 221.8 142.8 143.3 264.6 91.8 170.1 137.7 158.8 130.3 270.2 223.7 143.1 144.7 264.8 91.2 170.2 137.8 159.1 130.3 266.2 229.2 144.7 145.0 272.7 91.6 170.3 137.8 159.1 130.3 265.8 233.1 145.1 146.3 284.3 91.1 170.3 139.0 156.3 130.3 271.2 236.3 148.0 146.8 284.4 90.8 171.1 139.9 158.5 131.9 272.6 240.6 151.4 152.7 285.0 91.3 173.2 139.9 '158.4 '131.8 275.5 '242.6 '156.1 153.2 '285.0 '91.2 '168.7 '140.0 151.9 153.1 275.2 245.2 156.7 153.3 285.2 91.2 171.0 140.9 152.0 153.1 275.1 252.9 156.7 153.7 299.2 90.1 168.3 141.2 152.0 153.1 275.3 254.7 154.9 153.8 327.3 90.0 168.6 141.9 152.2 153.1 280.1 256.2 155.8 161.3 327.5 89.6 168.0 142.2 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100) .............................................. Primary batteries, dry and wet ........................................................ Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100) .................................. Dolls (12/75 = 100) ...................................................................... Games, toys, and children’s vehicles................................................ Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100)................................ Burial caskets (6/76 = 100)............................................................ Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 - 100) .................................... 148.1 176.5 136.7 127.4 205.2 132.8 131.2 143.7 149.1 176.7 137.9 128.4 206.0 135.0 132.2 146.6 149.6 176.8 131.4 128.4 206.6 135.0 132.9 146.6 149.7 176.9 144.5 128.3 207.0 135.0 132.9 146.6 149.7 177.0 144.6 128.3 207.0 135.0 132.9 146.6 149.7 176.9 144.0 128.3 207.1 135.0 135.0 146.6 152.2 179.0 145.3 130.7 213.9 133.0 135.0 148.6 153.5 183.3 145.7 132.3 220.2 136.4 135.0 148.6 154.5 184.2 144.2 132.4 221.2 136.4 138.0 148.7 '154.4 '182.6 '148.4 '132.4 '221.2 136.9 138.1 151.5 152.9 182.5 148.9 130.6 219.8 136.9 138.3 151.5 153.7 181.0 149.9 130.6 219.9 140.4 138.3 151.5 154.5 181.6 150.5 130.6 219.9 140.4 138.3 153.3 155.1 182.7 149.7 130.6 219.9 140.6 140.6 153.6 1980 1Data for April 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 1981 2Not available, r=revised. (2) 170.4 219.2 158.4 180.2 334.7 PRODUCTIVITY DATA P roductivity data are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Definitions Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 31. The use of the term “man-hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 31 through 34, has been discontin Notes on the data In the private business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1976 issue of the R eview , tables 3134 were revised to reflect changeover to the new series— private busi ness sector and nonfarm business sector— which differ from the previously published total private economy and nonfarm sector in that output imputed for owner-occupied dwellings and the household and institutions sectors, as well as the statistical discrepancy, are omitted. For a detailed explanation, see J. R. Norsworthy and L. J. Fulco, “New sector definitions for productivity series,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , October 1976, pages 40-42. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-B0 [1977 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t........................................ Unit nonlabor payments .......................... Implicit price deflator ................................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o st................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees .................... Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o st.................................... Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 50.3 20.0 50.4 39.8 43.5 41.0 58.2 26.3 59.6 45.2 47.8 46.1 65.1 33.9 69.4 52.1 50.8 51.7 78.2 41.7 80.0 53.3 57.8 54.8 86.1 58.2 90.8 67.6 63.4 66.2 94.8 71.3 97.3 75.2 75.6 75.3 92.7 78.0 95.9 84.2 78.9 82.4 94.8 85.5 96.3 90.2 90.7 90.4 97.9 92.9 988 94.8 94.4 94.7 1000 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.8 108.4 100.7 108.6 105.1 107.4 99.5 119.3 996 119.9 110.9 116.9 99.3 131.4 96.6 132.3 118.4 127.6 56.2 21.8 55.0 38.8 42.8 40.2 62.7 28.3 63.9 45.1 47.9 46.0 68.2 35.6 73.0 52.3 50.5 51.7 80.4 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.2 54.9 86.7 58.6 91.5 67.6 64.0 66.4 95.3 71.7 97.7 75.2 71.9 74.1 93.1 78.4 96.4 84.3 76.1 81.6 95.0 86.0 96.8 90.5 88.9 89.9 98.1 93.0 99.0 94.8 940 94.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.8 108.5 100.7 108.7 103.6 107.0 99,1 119.0 99.3 120.0 108.5 116.2 98.8 130.8 96.2 132.4 117.5 127.4 (’ ) ( ') (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 66.3 36.3 74.2 54.7 54.6 54.7 79.9 43.0 82.6 53.8 60.8 56.2 85.4 58.3 91.0 68.3 63.1 66.5 94.5 70.8 96.5 74.9 70.7 73.4 91.3 77.6 95.4 85.1 75.7 81.8 94.4 85.5 96.3 90.6 90.9 90.7 974 92.5 98.5 95.0 950 95.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.4 108.2 100.5 107.8 103.8 106.4 100.4 118.7 991 118.2 108.3 114.8 101.0 130.7 96.2 129.4 117.3 125.2 49.5 21.5 54.1 43.4 55.1 46.8 56.5 28.8 65.2 51.0 59.4 53.4 60.1 36.7 75.1 61.1 62.0 61.3 74.6 42.9 82.3 57.4 70.3 61.2 79.2 57.6 89.9 72.7 66.0 70.7 93.1 69.1 94.2 74.2 71.6 73.4 90.9 76.4 93.9 84.1 70.4 80.1 93.5 85.5 96.3 91.4 88.5 90.6 97.7 92.4 98,3 94.6 95.1 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 108.2 100.5 107.3 104.7 106.5 102.0 118.8 r99.2 116.5 105.7 113.4 101.7 131.6 96.8 129.4 108.6 123.4 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW October 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 32. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1970-80 Annual rate of change Year Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hou r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator.......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... 1950-80 1960-80 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 0.9 7.4 1.4 6.4 0.7 4.5 3.6 6.6 2.2 2.9 7.6 4.4 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 2.7 8.0 1.7 5.2 5.9 5.4 -2.3 9.4 -1.4 11.9 4.4 9.4 2.3 9.6 0.4 7.2 15.0 9.7 3.3 8.6 2.7 5.1 4.1 4.7 2.1 7.7 1.2 5.5 5.9 5.6 -0.2 8.4 0.7 8.6 5.1 7.4 -0.3 10.1 -1.1 10.4 5.5 8.8 -0.2 10.1 -3.0 10.3 6.7 9.2 2.5 6.0 2.4 3.5 3.2 3.4 2.2 7.1 1.9 4.8 4.4 4.7 0.3 7.0 1.0 6.6 1.1 4.8 3.3 6.6 2.2 3.1 7.4 4.5 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.5 7.6 1.3 4.9 1.3 3.7 -2.4 9.4 -1.4 12.1 5.9 10.1 2.1 9.6 0.4 7.4 16.7 10.3 3.2 8.1 2.2 4.7 5.7 5.1 2.0 7.6 1.0 5.5 6.4 5.8 -0.2 8.5 0.7 8.7 3.6 7.0 -0.7 9.7 -1.4 10.4 4.8 8.6 -0.3 9.9 -3.2 10.3 8.3 9.7 2.1 5.7 2.1 3.5 3.1 3.4 1.9 6.8 1.6 4.8 4.2 4.6 0.4 6.8 0.8 6.3 0.5 4.4 4.8 6.5 2.1 1.6 7.4 3.5 3.0 5.8 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.6 7.7 1.4 4.9 1.5 3.8 -3.4 9.7 -1.1 13.6 7.1 11.4 3.4 10.1 0.9 6.5 20.1 10.9 3.2 8.2 2.3 4.9 4.6 4.8 2.7 8.1 1.5 5.3 5.2 5.2 0.4 8.2 0.5 7.8 3.8 6.4 -0.0 9.7 -1.4 9.7 4.4 7.9 0.6 10.1 -3.0 9.5 8.3 9.1 (’ ) (’ ) (M (’ ) ( ') ( ') 2.1 6.7 1.5 4.6 3.8 4.3 -0.2 6.8 0.8 7.0 -2.5 4.3 6.1 6.1 1.8 0.0 11.2 3.1 5.0 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 5.4 7.2 0.9 1.7 -3.3 0.3 -2.4 10.6 -0.3 13.3 -1.8 9.0 2.9 11.9 2.5 8.8 25.9 13.1 4.4 8.0 2.1 3.4 7.4 4.6 2.4 8.3 1.7 5.7 5.2 5.6 0.9 8.2 0.5 7.3 4.7 6.5 1.1 9.8 -1.3 8.6 0.9 6.4 0.3 10.7 -2.5 11.1 2.8 8.8 2.7 6.7 1.5 3.8 4.5 4.2 2.6 5.6 2.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 ' Not available. 33. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1977 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per ho u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs .................................................. Unit labor cost ............................................ Unit nonlabor costs...................................... Unit profits ........................................................ Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... 1Not available. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Annual average Quarterly indexes 1981 1980 1979 1978 1979 1980 IV I II III IV 1 II III IV I II 99.5 119.3 99.6 119.9 110.9 116.9 99.3 131.4 96.6 132.3 118.4 127.6 99.9 111.9 100.3 112.1 109.1 111.1 99.7 115.0 100.6 115.4 109.6 113.4 99.7 118.1 100.3 118.5 110.4 115.8 99.4 120.7 99.2 121.4 111.5 118.1 99.1 123.2 98.0 124.3 112.2 120.2 99.5 126.4 96.7 127.0 115.2 123.0 99.1 130.1 96.5 131.3 116.0 126.1 99.4 133.1 96.9 133.9 119.7 129.1 98.1 135.9 96.0 137.0 122.7 132.2 100.3 139.7 96.1 139.4 127.6 135.4 r 101.0 143.2 96.8 '141.8 '129.2 '137.6 99.1 119.0 99.3 120.0 108.5 116.2 98.8 130.8 96.2 132.4 117.5 127.4 99.8 111.9 100.3 112.2 107.0 110.5 99.5 114.9 100.4 115.4 107.1 112.6 99.1 117.7 100.0 118.7 107.7 115.1 98.9 120.2 98.8 121.5 109.2 117.4 98.8 123.0 97.8 124.4 110.1 119.7 98.9 126.0 96.4 127.4 113.9 122.9 98.2 129.4 96.0 131.8 115.1 126.3 99.0 132.3 96.3 133.6 119.2 128.8 99.0 135.4 95.6 136.8 122.0 131.9 100.0 139.1 95.7 139.1 127.8 135.3 ' 100.2 142.4 96.3 '142.1 '128.6 '137.6 100.4 118.7 99.1 116.8 118.2 112.7 99.0 114.8 101.0 130.7 96.2 129.7 129.4 130.2 90.2 125.2 100.5 111.5 99.9 109.6 111.0 106.0 108.9 109.6 100.6 114.5 100.1 112.2 113.8 107.8 105.6 111.5 100.7 117.6 99.9 115.3 116.8 111.2 100.7 113.7 100.5 120.1 98.7 118.2 119.5 114.6 97.5 115.9 99.9 122.7 97.5 121.3 122.8 117.2 92.2 118.1 100.2 125.7 96.2 124.2 125.4 120.9 95.5 121.0 100.1 129.3 95.9 129.2 129.1 129.3 83.4 124.1 101.8 132.5 96.5 131.1 130.2 133.8 89.1 126.4 101.8 135.5 95.7 134.1 133.1 136.9 92.4 129.5 103.3 139.2 95.7 136.0 134.7 139.5 106.8 132.7 p 103.6 p 142.3 »96.2 » 139.2 p 137.4 p 144.4 p 101.2 p 135.0 102.0 118.8 99.2 116.5 101.7 131.6 96.8 129.4 102.0 111.5 100.0 109.3 101.5 114.5 100.2 112.9 102.3 118.6 100.7 115.9 102.0 119.8 98.5 117.5 102.1 122.3 97.2 119.8 102.0 125.4 95.9 122.9 100.8 130.0 96.4 129.0 100.5 133.9 97.5 133.3 103.4 137.3 97.0 132.8 104.2 140.9 96.9 135.3 105.3 144.5 97.7 '137.3 r = revised. 34. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1977=100] Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor costs ...................................... Unit nonlabor costs.................................. Unit profits.................................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent change from same quarter a year ago IV 1979 to I 1980 I 1980 to II 1980 II 1980 to III 1980 III 1980 to IV 1980 IV 1980 to I 1981 1.6 10.7 -5.0 9.0 11.2 9.7 -1.8 12.3 -0.7 14.4 2.6 10.5 1.3 r9.5 1.6 8.1 13.7 9.8 -1.1 8.6 -3.8 9.8 10.2 9.9 4.6 11.8 0.4 6.9 17.2 10.0 0.3 10.2 -5.4 9.9 14.6 11.3 -2.9 11.3 -1.6 14.6 4.2 11.3 3.6 9.0 1.2 5.3 15.0 8.2 -0.2 9.8 -2.7 10.1 9.9 10.0 1.5 10.2 -5.4 9.8 8.6 13.5 15.3 10.3 -0.5 12.0 -1.0 17.0 12.6 30.6 -41.9 10.5 6.7 10.2 2.2 6.2 3.2 14.7 30.3 7.9 -0.5 10.4 -5.3 10.9 -4.7 15.5 2.1 21.2 -1.2 12.7 4.5 -14.0 I 1981 to II 1981 11979 to 11980 I11979 to II 1980 III 1979 to III 1980 IV 1979 to IV 1980 I 1980 to I 1981 II 1980 to II 1981 '2.8 '10.4 '3.1 '7.3 '5.0 '6.6 -0.1 9.9 -3.8 10.0 5.1 8.4 -0.6 10.1 -3.8 10.8 5.1 9.0 0.0 10.3 -2.3 10.3 7.4 9.4 -0.0 10.3 -2.0 10.3 9.3 10.0 0.7 10.5 ' -0.7 9.7 10.8 10.1 '1.9 10.1 0.3 '8.0 '11.4 '9.1 4.3 11.6 -0.2 7.0 20.3 11.0 ' -0.7 '9.6 2.4 '8.8 '- 2 .7 '6.9 -0.7 9.7 -4.0 10.4 6.4 9.1 -1.0 9.9 -4.0 11.0 6.9 9.7 0.1 10.1 -2.5 9.9 9.1 9.6 -0.1 10.1 -2.2 9.9 10.8 10.2 1.1 10.4 -0.8 9.2 12.2 10.1 '2.1 10.0 0.2 '7.8 '11.8 '9.0 -0.0 9.4 -3.1 9.4 9.4 9.5 15.7 9.9 6.3 11.4 -0.0 5.6 4.8 7.9 77.9 10.4 p0.9 p9.2 p2.1 p 10.0 p8.3 p 14.9 »-19.4 p7.1 -0.3 9.8 -3.9 10.6 10.1 12.2 -9.5 8.5 -0.5 9.9 -3.9 12.0 10.5 16.3 -17.2 9.1 1.3 10.3 -2.2 11.0 8.9 16.8 -8.6 9.1 1.9 10.4 -1.9 10.5 8.4 16.8 0.3 9.6 3.1 10.8 -0.5 '9.5 7.4 15.4 11.8 9.7 p3.4 »10.1 p0.3 »7.8 »6.4 »11.7 p21.3 »8.8 12.1 10.5 -2.2 -1.5 3.2 11.1 -0.3 7.7 '4.3 '10.6 '3.4 '6.0 -0.5 9.4 -4.2 8.9 -1.5 9.6 -4.3 11.3 -1.5 11.7 -1.0 13.4 1.2 12.2 -0.3 10.9 2.2 12.4 1.0 10.0 4.5 11.2 1.3 6.4 r = revised. 93 LABOR-MANAGEMENT DATA Major collective bargaining data are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, direct contact with the parties, and from secondary sources. Addi tional detail is published in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. Data on work stoppages are based on confidential responses to questionnaires mailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to parties involved in work stoppages. Stoppages initially come to the attention of the Bureau from reports of Federal and State mediation agencies, newspapers, and union and industry publications. Definitions Data on wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry agree ments covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on wage and benefit changes c o m b in e d apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage settlements refer to pay changes go ing into effect within the first 12 months after the effective date of 35. the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to total agreed upon settlements (exclusive of potential cost-of-living escalator adjustments) expressed at an average annual rate. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings, while wage and benefit changes are expressed as a percent of total compensation. Effective wage-rate adjustments going into effect in major bargaining units measure changes actually placed into effect during the reference period, whether the result of a newly negotiated increase, a deferred increase negotiated in an earlier year, or as a result of a costof-living escalator adjustment. Average adjustments are affected by workers receiving no adjustment, as well as by those receiving in creases or decreases. Work stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving six workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date [In percent] Annual average Quarterly average Sector and measure 1980 1979 1976 1977 1978 1979 1981 p 1980 II III IV I II III IV I II Wage and benefit settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................. Annual rate over life of contract .................... 8.5 6.6 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.1 10.5 7.8 9.0 6.1 8.5 6.0 8.8 6.7 10.2 7.4 11.4 7.2 8.5 6.1 10.4 7.3 '12.0 '11.0 Wage rate settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................. Annual rate over life of contract.................... 8.4 6.4 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 8.9 7.2 6.8 5.1 6.3 5.3 8.2 6.5 9.1 7.3 10.5 7.4 8.3 6.5 9.0 7.7 12.2 9.8 Manufacturing: First-year settlements.............................. Annual rate over life of contract .............. 8.9 6.0 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.4 5.4 9.7 8.1 6.3 4.7 5.6 4.2 7.2 5.7 6.7 5.1 8.4 5.6 7.8 5.8 9.0 6.7 7.4 6.2 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First-year settlements.............................. Annual rate over life of contract .............. 8.6 7.2 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.5 6.6 8.5 5.8 9.4 6.5 7.8 7.4 9.4 7.6 10.3 8.5 9.5 5.9 8.2 6.8 8.3 7.6 12.3 9.4 Construction: First-year settlements.............................. Annual rate over life of contract .............. 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 8.7 8.3 9.7 8.5 7.5 7.6 10.8 9.1 12.2 10.4 15.4 13.0 14.3 12.0 13.4 11.6 13.1 10.9 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36. Effective wage adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date [In percent] Average quarterly changes Average annual changes 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Total effective wage rate adjustment, all industries .............. Change resulting from — Current settlement................................................ Prior settlement.................................................... Escalator provision .............................................. 8.1 8.0 8.2 9.1 3.2 3.2 1.6 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 Manufacturing ............................................................ Nonmanufacturing ...................................................... 8.5 7.7 8.4 7.6 8.6 7.9 1981 1980 1979 Sector and measure II III IV I II III IV I II 9.9 2.6 3.3 1.6 1.6 3.3 3.5 1.3 1.2 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.8 1.1 1.0 .5 1.0 1.0 1.2 .5 .4 .7 .4 .5 .7 1.0 1.4 .8 1.7 1.2 .7 .5 .3 .6 .1 .6 .6 .9 1.4 .5 9.6 8.8 10.2 9.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.4 1.0 2.0 1.3 3.4 3.2 2.9 4.0 1.7 1.1 1.4 1.0 2.1 3.4 Note: Because of rounding and compounding, the sums of individual items may not equal totals. 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year Beginning In month or year 1947 1948 1949 1950 .............................................. .......................... 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .................................... 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 ............................ 1961 1962 1963 1964 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ............................ .................................... .................................. .................... .................................... .......................................... ................................ .................................... 1980': J u ly ............................................................................ August........................................................................ September.................................................................. October...................................................................... November .................................................................. December ................................................................. 1981 p: January ...................................................................... February .................................................................... March ........................................................................ April............................................................................ M ay............................................................................ June .......................................................................... J u ly ............................................................................ In effect during month Days idle Workers involved Beginning in month or year (thousands) In effect during month (thousands) Number (thousands) Percent of estimated working time 3,693 3,419 3,606 4,843 2,170 1,960 3,030 2,410 34,600 34,100 50,500 38,800 .30 .28 .44 .33 4,737 5,117 5,091 3,408 4,320 2,220 3,540 2,400 1,530 2,650 22,900 59,100 28,300 22,600 28,200 .18 .48 .22 .18 .22 3,825 3,673 3,694 3,708 3,333 1,900 1,390 2,060 1,880 1,320 33,100 16,500 23,900 69,000 19,100 .24 .12 .18 .50 .14 3,367 3*614 3,362 3,655 3,963 1,450 1,230 941 1,640 1,550 16,300 18,600 16,100 22,900 23,300 .11 .13 .11 .15 .15 4,405 4,595 5,045 5,700 5,716 1,960 2,870 2,649 2,481 3,305 25,400 42,100 49,018 42,869 66,414 .15 .25 .28 .24 .37 5,138 5,010 5,353 6,074 5,031 3,280 1,714 2,251 2,778 1,746 47,589 27,066 27,948 47,991 31,237 .26 .15 .14 .24 .16 5,648 5,506 4,230 4,827 2,420 2,040 1,623 1,727 37,859 35,822 36,922 34,754 .19 .17 .17 .15 4,028 3,315 3,576 2,530 1,440 1,228 614 647 1,419 5,117 5,857 3,891 2,015 .20 .17 .18 .12 .09 .06 .03 .04 .07 .25 .31 .19 .10 400 360 436 349 205 90 253 347 314 371 473 421 391 776 775 813 722 532 380 297 517 545 560 688 682 659 230 88 153 90 53 19 50 90 271 101 152 186 127 337 231 289 224 126 77 68 136 336 273 383 499 190 r = revised https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95 How to order BLS publications PERIODICALS O r d e r f r o m (a n d m a k e c h e c k s p a y a b le to ) S u BULLETINS AND HANDBOOKS A b o u t 1 4 0 b u lle tin s a n d h a n d b o o k s p u b lis h e d ea ch y e a r a re f o r sa le b y r e g io n a l W ash in gton , D .C . o ffices o f th e B u r ea u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s (see in sid e f r o n t co ver) a n d b y th e S u 2 0 4 0 2 . 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Single copies available free from the issuing regional office. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Visa a n d M a s te r C a r d a re a lso a c ce p te d ; in c lu d e c a r d n u m b e r a n d e x p ira tio n d a te . A m o n g th e b u lle tin s a n d h a n d b o o k s c u r r e n tly in p r in t: Occupational Outlook Handbook, 1980-81 Edition. Bulletin 2075. A useful resource supplying valuable assistance to all persons seeking satis fying and productive employment. $8, paperback; $11, cloth cover. BLS Handbook of Labor Statistics. Bulletin 2070, December 1980. A 490-page volume of historical data on the major BLS statistical series. $9.50. Handbook of Methods. Bulletin 1910. Brief technical account of each major statistical program of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. $3.50. Occupational Projections and Training Data. Bulletin 2052. Presents both general and detailed information on the relationship between occu pational requirements and training needs. (Updates Bulletin 2020.) $4.75. Exploring Careers. Bulletin 2001. A new career guidance resource designed for junior high school students but useful for older students as well. Includes occupational narratives, evaluative questions, suggested ac tivities, career games, and photographs. $10. Profile of the Teenage Worker. Bulletin 2039. Focuses on the labor mar ket experience of 16- to 19-year-olds. Based on data from the Current Population Survey, the bulletin reviews past trends and explores the problems of youth unemployment and the transition from school to work. $3.25. Profiles of Occupational Pay: A Chartbook. Bulletin 2037. A graphic il lustration of some of the factors that affect workers’ earnings. This threepart presentation looks at wage variations among and within occupations and portrays characteristics of high- and low-paying urban areas and manufacturing industries. $3.50. Perspectives on Working Women: A Databook. Bulletin 2080. Presents comprehensive statistics on characteristics of working women. Topics covered in 100 tables and brief text include extent of work experience, marital and family status, education, earnings, occupations, and race and Hispanic ethnicity. (Updates Bulletin 1977.) $4.50. Productivity Measures for Selected Industries, 1954-79. Bulletin 2093. Indexes of output per employee-hour and output per employee for 96 in dustries are presented in charts and tables. (Updates Bulletin 2054.) $6.50. REPORTS AND PAMPHLETS S in g le co p ies a v a ila b le f r e e f r o m th e B L S reg io n a l o ffices o r f r o m th e B u r e a u o f L a b o r S ta tistic s, U.S. D e p a r tm e n t o f L a b o r, W a sh in g to n , D .C . 2 0 2 1 2 . Major Programs of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Report 552. A sum mary of the Bureau’s principal programs, including data available, sources, uses, and publications. Employment in Perspective: Working Women. A quarterly report series presenting highlights of current data on women in the labor force. Employment in Perspective: Minority Workers. A quarterly report series presenting highlights of current data on blacks and persons of Hispanic origin in the labor force. Employment ^S k | ^ | C E I I % m 0 Employment and Earnings, ■ ■ ■ ^S k b i Q ■ M—4 I W f l I ^ monthly periodical I 1 1 1 I y j % # Comprehensive labor force and establishment data. National, State, and area figures on employment, unemployment, hours, earnings, and labor turnover. Employment and Earnings, United States, 1909-78 Monthly and annual data by industry, from beginning date of each series through 1978. Bulletin 1312-11 historical databook 953 pages. Supplement to Employment and Earnings, Revised Establishment Data Data for 1977-80, unadjusted. Data for 1974-1980, seasonally adjusted. September 1980 311 pages. Supplement to Employment and Earnings, States and Areas, Data for 1977-79 Data for 1977-78 (revised) and 1979. □ □ □ I Primary Sources of Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics One-year subscription includes annual Supplement to Employment and Earnings, Revised Establishment Data You may send your order directly to : Superintendent of Documents U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 How to pay GPO Stock No. 029-001-02320-1 GPO Stock No. 029-001-02566-1 Note: GPO prices are subject to change without notice. The following BLS regional offices will expedite all other orders. For ordering information call (202) 783-3238. 1603 JFK Building Boston, Mass. 02203 Subscriptions must be sent directly to Superintendent of Documents. Suite 3400 1515 Broadway New York, N.Y. 10036 P.O. Box 13309 Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 2nd Floor 555 Griffin Square Bldg. Dallas, Tex. 75202 1371 Peachtree St., NE. 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