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~— I I I I j Monthly Labor Review U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics November 1990 J https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In this issue: Labor market movements and unemployment Black college graduates In the labor market EC1992 and U.S. workers g v ^ U.S. Department of Labor Elizabeth Dole, Secretary Bureau of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, DC 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year—$20 domestic; $25 foreign. Single copy, $5 domestic; $6.25 foreign. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-1818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. 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Box 193766 San Francisco, CA 94119 Phone: (415) 744-6600 wir Monthly Labor Review November 1990 Volume 113, Number 11 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor Articles 3 Labor market dynamics and trends in unemployment cps gross flow data identify labor market movements that underlie changes in the monthly unemployment estimates Wayne J. Howe 13 Black college graduates in the labor market, 1979 and 1989 Among college graduates, black and white women have similar earnings, but substantial economic differences exist between black and white men Joseph R. Meisenheimer II 22 The European Community 1992 program and U.S. workers Experts agree that the European Community’s impending integration will have an economic, political, and social effect on the U.S. labor force Robert C. Shelburne and Gregory K. Schoepfle 28 Contributions to savings and thrift plans Employers’ and employees’ annual contributions can vary widely, depending on plan restrictions and employees’ earnings Michael Bucci Reports 37 New benchmarks, sic codes for Establishment Survey Patricia M. Getz 40 Quality adjustment in cpi housing sample Steven W. Henderson and Stephen A. Berenson 48 Setting new standards for skills in the workplace Horst Brand Departments https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 37 43 44 48 51 Labor month in review Technical notes Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor month in review SAFETY SURVEY. The Bureau of La bor Statistics reported results of its latest survey of employer records ofjob-related injuries and illnesses. The survey shows nearly 6.6 million occupational injuries and illnesses in 1989, about 136,000 more than employers reported in 1988, but the injury and illness rate of 8.6 per 100 full time workers was unchanged because employment and hours worked rose pro portionately. Commissioner of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood announced that major changes in the BLS survey are under way, following recent congressional approval for a multiyear redesign. When com pleted, the new BLS survey will make pos sible injury and illness profiles of women, teenagers, health care providers, and other specific worker groups, and will help identify industry work hazards and exposures more effectively. The program also will include a systematic, verifiable count of all fatal injuries on the job and the circumstances surrounding these events, making use of death certificates and other administrative records. Occupational injuries. In 1989, nearly 6.3 million job-related injuries were re ported in the private sector. Injuries from accidents at work are reportable if they result in death, loss of conscious ness, restricted work activity, transfer to another job, or medical treatment be yond first aid. Manufacturing had about 20 percent of the private sector employment in 1989, but 33 percent of total reported in juries. In contrast, the services industry had nearly 30 percent of the employ ment total, but only 16 percent of the in jury cases. Nine individual industries reported at least 100,000 injury cases each. The industries were motor vehicle manufac turing, eating and drinking places, whole sale groceries, retail grocery stores, hos pitals, trucking and over the road couri ers, nursing and personal care facilities, department stores, and hotels and mo tels. Together, these industries accounted for slightly more than one-fourth of injury cases reported nationwide. M SI Almost half of the 6.3 million injury cases were serious enough for the injured worker to have work activity restricted or to lose worktime. These cases resulted in about 57 million lost workdays in 1989. To account for differences in industry employment and hours worked, the Bureau calculates incidence rates relat ing the number of injury cases to em ployee hours in the workplace. Occupa tional injuries for the private economy occurred at a rate of 8.2 per 100 full-time workers in 1989 and ranged from 14.2 in construction to 1.9 in finance, insurance, and real estate. As in previous years, the injury rates for the private sector varied widely by es tablishment size. Rates for establish ments with fewer than 50 employees or with 1,000 or more employees were low er than rates for mid-size establish ments. This pattern, however, did not hold for each industry division. One tool for monitoring injury severi ty is the incidence rate of lost workdays. This measure represents the number of workdays lost per 100 full-time workers, that is, the number of days that injured employees were away from work or re stricted in their work activity. The rate of lost workdays was 74.2 for the private sector in 1989. Across all industry divi sions, the rate ranged from 141.6 in con struction to 16.5 in finance, insurance, and real estate. workers’ compensation claims, and oth er reports to Federal and State agencies. Occupational fatalities. Work-related fatalities cannot be measured accurately through a sample survey of this size. Al though 3,600 work-related fatalities were reported in private sector establish ments with 11 employees or more in the 1989 survey, the Bureau believes that this count significantly understates work-related fatalities for the year. To provide more complete data on this basic element of workplace safety, b ls has developed a plan to conduct a census of fatal occupational injuries in 1991. This new program, which will be im plemented in stages, beginning in 1991, will collect and verify information on all fatal work-related injuries in adminis trative records such as death certificates, Background of the survey. The Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Ill nesses is a Federal/State cooperative pro gram in which employer reports are col lected and processed by State agencies cooperating with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A sample of250,000 establish ments representing the total private econ omy (except for mines and railroads) was surveyed for 1989. Estimates based on a sample may dif fer from those that would have been ob tained from a census of establishments using the same procedures. A relative standard error was calculated for each estimate from the annual survey and will be published in a b ls bulletin that will be available in the spring of 1991. d 2 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Occupational illnesses. The survey seeks to measure the number of work-re lated illness cases which are recognized, diagnosed, and reported during the year. The overwhelming majority of these re ported illnesses are those which relate to workplace activity (for example, contact dermatitis or carpal tunnel syndrome) and therefore, are easy to identify. In contrast, some conditions, such as long term latent illnesses caused by exposure to carcinogens, often are difficult to re late to the workplace and are not ade quately recognized and reported. These long-term latent illnesses are believed to be understated in the survey’s illness measures. The survey did find nearly 284,000 new cases of occupational illness among workers in private industry during 1989. Nearly three-fourths of these cases were in manufacturing; the services industry had about one-eighth of the cases. Work-place illnesses associated with repeated trauma (including conditions due to repeated motion, pressure, or vi bration such as carpal tunnel syndrome), made up slightly more than half of the illness cases in 1989. Over the past sever al years, disorders associated with re peated trauma have significantly in creased both in number and as a percent of total illnesses reported. Labor market dynamics and trends in male and female unemployment "Gross flow ” data from the Current Population Survey help to identify the labor market movements that underlie changes in the monthly rates of male and female unemployment over the past two decades Wayne J. Howe Wayne J. Howe is an economist in the Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I n the late 1960’s and throughout the 1970’s, unemployment rates for adult women were much higher than those for adult men. During the 1980’s, a decade of generally higherjobless rates, the female-male unemployment rate gap essentially disappeared. (See chart 1.) What were the labor market dynamics that caused this development? Obviously, changes in a group’s jobless rate often would reflect a change in the frequency of job loss. But jobless rates can change without this happening at all. For example, a rise might occur because the unemployed face increased difficul ties in finding jobs—and thus remain unem ployed longer—or because persons move into and out of the labor force more frequently. Of course, while some forces are at work to raise a group’s unemployment rate, others may tend to offset these effects. And the dynamics of these forces may change considerably over time. The patterns of movements into and out of employment, unemployment, and the labor force have changed substantially over the last two de cades. This article looks separately at the trends in these patterns for adult men and women (20 years and over), and the effect that they had on the changes in the rates of male and female unem ployment over the 1968-88 period. (See table 1.) Labor market transitions Data on the changing labor market status of the population are collected monthly through the Current Population Survey (CPS). Interviews are conducted in approximately 60,000 households to determine the labor market status of all household members 16 years of age and over. However, the published data based on the sur vey are monthly levels from which can be de rived only the net changes, from one month to the next, in the numbers of persons employed, unemployed, or not in the labor force. They do not quantify the much larger gross movements among these three labor market states. For example, the monthly data do not show that roughly half of all persons reported as unem ployed in any given month become employed or leave the labor force by the following month, being replaced by other unemployed persons who had jobs or were not in the labor force during the previous month. In fact, the total unemployment count could rise (fall) because more (fewer) peo ple become unemployed, or because fewer (more) leave unemployment, or both. By the same token, periods of stability in the jobless rate may be the result of large but offsetting move ments between one labor market state and an other. Gross flow data. The size of, and changes in, these labor market transitions can be determined from the “gross flow data” that are generated as part of the CPS. A household selected for the CPS sample is interviewed for 4 consecutive months, leaves the sample for the next 8 months, and Monthly Labor Review November 1990 3 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment Chart 1. Seasonally adjusted unemployment rates for men and women age 20 and over, 1 9 6 8 -8 8 then reenters for a final 4 months. Thus, in any particular month, the CPS sample consists of eight “rotation groups,” each of which has been in the survey for between 1 and 8 months. Given that framework, the households in six of the eight rotation groups (all except those in their first and fifth months of survey participa tion) have also been interviewed in the prior month, a fact that permits tracking of the labor market behavior of individual household mem bers for at least 2 consecutive months. For these households, it is possible to generate “gross change” or “gross flow” data on the labor market dynamics underlying changes in the numbers of persons employed, unemployed, or out of the labor force. There are small but systematic differ ences between the labor force behavior reported by persons covered by the gross flow data and that reported by the entire CPS sample. Therefore, there are also some systematic differences be tween the net changes implicit in the gross flow data and those derived from the published stock data.1However, the gross flow estimates are more suitable for this analysis than those based on pub lished data because the latter show only the changes between beginning and ending “stocks” of persons in the various labor market categories, Monthly Labor Review Digitized for4 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 and not the movements of individuals that re sulted in those changes. For any 2 consecutive months, the labor mar ket experience of an individual, as derived from the gross flow data, falls into one of nine combi nations represented in the following matrix, where: E = employed, U = unemployed, N = not in the labor force, (?) represents the current month, and (m ) represents the previous month. Various combinations in the matrix, therefore, denote the transitions from one specific labor market state to another or the continuation in a given state from one month to the next. Labor force status in current month Employed Unem ployed Not in labor force Employed . . . ■ Et-iEt Et-iUt E,-iNt Unemployed . . U,-iEt Ut-iU, Ut-iNt Not in labor force .......... . N, \Et Nt-iUt Nt-iNt Labor force status in previous month: For example, Ut-iNt represents the movement of persons from unemployed status in the previ- Table 1. Civilian unemployment rates and percentage-point changes by sex and detailed age groups, selected periods, 1968-88 Unemployment rate (annual average) Percentage-point change Sex and age 1968-79 1979-88 1968-88 1968 1979 1988 2.2 5.1 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.8 4.2 8.7 4.3 2.9 2.7 2.7 3.4 4.8 8.9 5.3 3.8 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 3.6 2.4 1.3 1.1 .8 .6 0.6 .2 1.0 .9 .8 .8 -.9 2.6 3.8 3.4 2.2 1.9 1.6 -.3 3.8 6.7 4.7 3.4 2.4 2.2 2.7 5.7 9.6 6.5 4.6 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.9 8.5 5.6 4.1 3.4 2.7 2.9 1.9 2.9 1.8 1.2 1.5 1.0 .6 -.8 -1.1 -.9 -.5 -.5 -.5 -.4 1.1 1.8 .9 .7 1.0 .5 .2 Men 20 years and over ...................... 20 to 24 years ........................ 25 to 34 years ........................ 35 to 44 years ........................ 45 to 54 years ........................ 55 to 64 years ........................ 65 years and over .................. Women 20 years and over ...................... 20 to 24 years ........................ 25 to 34 years ........................ 35 to 44 years ........................ 45 to 54 years ........................ 55 to 64 years ........................ 65 years and over .................. Note: These are the officially published unemployment rates and may differ slightly from those derived from the gross flow data. ous month to out of the labor force in the current month. Similarly, Et-iUt represents the transi tion of employed persons to unemployment. The probability of making such transitions in successive months is calculated by dividing the number of persons making a particular labor mar ket transition from one month to the next by the number of persons in the initial month. Each re sulting labor market transition probability (P) will be designated by subscript letters throughout this article. For example, the likelihood that an em ployed worker will become unemployed from one month to the next is written as Peu- Modeling transition probabilities This analysis focuses on the relationship be tween movements in unemployment rates and changes in the flows of men and women into and out of employment, unemployment, and the labor force. The first step involves the compu tation of the labor market transition probabilities for adult men in 1968, 1979, and 1988, along with a further breakdown of the same data into 10-year age groupings.2 Those data are pre sented in table 2. Similar data for adult women are shown in table 3. The probabilities of re maining in one of the three labor market states from one month to the next (JPee, Puu, and P nn) are not used in the analysis, because the empha sis is on the dynamic nature of the labor market. In any case, the fraction of people remaining in any one state between observations is equal to 1 minus the fraction who leave to enter the two other states. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The second step in the analysis requires the calculation of the male and female unemploy ment rates in 1968, 1979, and 1988 using the six dynamic labor market transition flow probabili ties {Peu, Pen, Pue, Pun, Pne, and P m ).3 The general form of the unemployment rate derived from those transition probabilities is defined as Urate = U/{U+E), where the numerator {U) is the sum of the total probabilities of the transition flows into unemployment. It therefore represents the likelihood of employed persons as well as of those not in the labor force becoming unem ployed. The denominator in the above equation represents the total flows into unemployment {U), found in the numerator, in addition to the sum of the total flow rates from unemployment and from outside the labor force into employment (£), which is likewise composed of direct and indirect transitions. In other words: Urate = Peu + Pen ( 1 — (Pne / Pne + P nu)) Peu+Pen (1 ~(Pne IPne+Pnu))+Pue+Pun(Pne!Pne +Pnu) The third analytical step is the calculation, for both men and women, of the changes in the six dynamic flow rates and the rates of unemploy ment between 1968 and 1979 and between 1979 and 1988. In addition, the partial derivatives of the group unemployment rates with respect to the specific labor market transition probabilities be tween 1968 and 1988 are computed and pre sented in tables 2 and 3.4 These show how sensitive a group’s jobless rate was to changes in a particular labor market flow. As presented in Monthly Labor Review November 1990 5 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment the tables, they represent the overall estimate of the percentage-point change in each group’s rate of unemployment, given a 1-percentage-point in crease in each transition probability. Next, simulated changes in the rates of male and female unemployment are computed. Each of those simulated changes corresponds to a particu lar transition flow rate, representing the amount by which the male and female unemployment rates would have shifted if only that specific tran sition flow rate had varied while the others re mained constant. The results of this step are used to determine the proportion of the change in a group’s unemployment rate attributable to a change in a specific labor market transition flow. Table 2. The final step in the analysis can be illustrated by looking at table 4: The change in the adult male unemployment rate between 1968 and 1979 was 2.0746 percentage points. (Obviously, the unemployment data are not accurate to four deci mal places, but this presentation provides a more precise picture of the relationship between the actual and simulated rates of unemployment.) If the probability of unemployed men finding a job (PUe) had held constant during the 1968-79 pe riod, the resulting rise in the male rate of unem ployment would have been 1.3084 rather than 2.0746 percentage points. The simulated change in the rate was 0.7662 percentage point lower than the actual change, and represents 37 percent Average monthly labor market transition probabilities and their relationship to the unemployment rates of adult men by detailed age groups, 1968,1979, and 1988 Transition probability Type of transition and year Total, men age 20 and over (in percent) Men age— 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over Employment to unemployment (Peuy. 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... 0.0081 .0123 .0140 0.0194 .0287 .0299 0.0084 .0133 .0162 0.0063 .0094 .0117 0.0061 .0078 .0096 0.0065 .0064 .0086 0.0063 .0061 .0045 Derivative1 .................................................. 2.01 1.67 2.00 2.17 2.31 2.30 1.70 Employment to not in the labor force {Pen)' 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .0152 .0156 .0159 .0392 .0301 .0315 .0053 .0081 .0096 .0043 .0059 .0062 .0067 .0071 .0085 .0161 .0194 .0241 .1012 .1045 .1076 Derivative .................................................. .54 .47 .72 .80 .71 .58 .18 Unemployment to employment (Pue)'1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .4386 .3195 .3117 .4901 .3526 .3534 .5077 .3312 .3279 .4717 .3365 .3140 .4059 .2895 .2761 .3521 .2378 .2017 .2273 .1690 .2093 Derivative .................................................. -.07 -.11 -.08 -.06 -.06 -.08 -.05 Unemployment to not in the labor force (Pun): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .1460 .1304 .1270 .1621 .1373 .1553 .0974 .1066 .1028 .0818 .0897 .0973 .1294 .1278 .1070 .1690 .1784 .2059 .3788 .3380 .3721 Derivative .................................................. -.05 -.08 -.05 -.04 -.04 -.06 -.05 Not in the labor force to employment (Pne): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .0587 .0487 .0445 .1635 .1600 .1611 .1644 .1515 .1317 .1298 .1192 .0917 .1025 .0640 .0778 .0620 .0386 .0338 .0270 .0200 .0167 Derivative .................................................. -.16 -.09 -.04 -.04 -.06 -.31 -.90 Not in the labor force to unemployment (Pnu): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .0157 .0213 .0206 .0491 .0878 .0771 .0570 .0926 .0988 .0561 .0628 .0668 .0387 .0384 .0384 .0165 .0142 .0132 .0036 .0027 .0018 Derivative .................................................. .43 .28 .06 .06 .06 .86 7.75 1 Partial derivative of the group unemployment rate with respect to the specific labor market transition probability, 1968-88. These statistics represent the over-the-period estimates of the percentage-point change in each group’s 6 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 rate of unemployment, given a 1-percentage-point increase in each labor market transition probability. of the total over-the-period rise in the male rate. In other words, the drop in the probability of transition from unemployment to employment among adult men was responsible for more than a third of the 2.0746-percentage-point upswing in their unemployment rate between 1968 and 1979. A detailed review of the relationship between changes in each of the six independent labor mar ket transition flows and the changes in the male and female rates of unemployment between 1968 and 1979 and from 1979 to 1988 follows. Exami nation of the year-by-year transition probabilities for men and women indicates that the results of the analysis would have been fairly insensitive to the selection of years studied.5 Unemployment rates for men The increase in the probability that employed workers would experience a spell of unemploy ment (Peu) was responsible for 41 percent of the rise in joblessness among adult men between 1968 and 1979. (See table 4.) Increases in this labor market transition probability are highly and positively associated with a rise in the male rate of unemployment. As shown in table 2, a 1.00-percentage-point rise in the employmentto-unemployment transition probability corre sponded, on average, to a 2.01-percentage-point increase in the unemployment rate for men over the two decades under study. The propensity for employed men to lose or leave their jobs (most often, lose)6 continued to rise over the 1979-88 period. In part, this was due to the fact that a high proportion of men were employed in industries—particularly within man ufacturing—in which payrolls were being re duced as part of the restructuring made necessary by declining demand and foreign competition. As shown in table 4, the rise in the probability of employed men experiencing a spell of unemploy ment was responsible for almost 70 percent of the increase in the male rate of unemployment be tween 1979 and 1988. As expected, an increase in the likelihood of successful job search (PUe) corresponds to a lower jobless rate. A sizable decline in the propensity for men to go from unemployment to employ ment accounted for more than a third of the rise in their unemployment rate from 1968 to 1979. The probability that jobless men would find a job con tinued to decline between 1979 and 1988, but more slowly, accounting for only 13 percent of the rise in the male unemployment rate over that period. Returning to the period 1968-79, we see that the increase in the probability of moving from out of the labor force into unemployment (Pnu) «re counted for 11 percent of the rise in the male rate https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of unemployment. It should be noted, however, that the over-the-period effect of the probability of entering the labor force into joblessness on the male unemployment rate may be somewhat over stated because of distortions in the young adult male labor market in 1968. The Vietnam conflict simultaneously boosted demand for labor and drew down the pool of young men (ages 20 to 34) available for civilian work, with the result that the probability of entering the labor force directly into unemployment was particularly low among these young men in 1968. In addition, even though the magnitude of the rise in that transition probability was similar among men and women, the effect that it had on the male rates of unem ployment was much smaller than its influence on female unemployment between 1968 and 1979. In large part, this was because male rates are much less sensitive than female rates to changes in the probability of making the not in the labor force-to-unemployment transition. Table 2 shows that, overall, the probability of entry into unemployment from “not in labor force” status edged down among men between 1979 and 1988, with declines in this probability among men in the youngest and oldest age group ings more than offsetting increases among work ers in the middle age ranges. The slip in that labor market transition probability between 1979 and 1988 meant that the male unemployment rate would have been 6 percent higher had the transi tion probability remained unchanged during that period. (See table 4.) Table 2 also shows that, in the aggregate, em ployed men were only slightly more likely to drop out of the labor force (Pen) in 1988 than they were in 1968. The large increase in the same likelihood among men 55 to 64 years of age over the past two decades, however, represents the more frequent use of early retirement options, including special incentives offered by employers to reduce staff. Men between 20 and 24 years of age were the only males with a lower propensity for leaving employment by withdrawing from the labor force in 1988 than 1968. The overall decline in this propensity for 20- to 24-year-old men oc curred, in large part, because of a slide in the proportion of those workers who exited the labor force to attend school—from 68 to 60 percent between 1968 and 1988. At first glance, this would seem inconsistent with school enrollment data, which show that full-time college enroll ment among 16- to 24-year-old men was fairly stable between 1970 and 1988, while the number enrolled on a part-time basis rose substantially. During that same period, however, the employ ment-population ratio for 16- to 24-year-old men enrolled in college on a full-time basis rose from The likelihood of an employed woman becoming unemployed declined over the 1968-88 period. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 1 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment 34 to 44 percent. It would appear, therefore, that increasing numbers of young men have worked their way through college over the past two de cades, perhaps because of the tremendous rise in the cost of a college education during that period. Unemployment among women The increase in the probability of moving from outside the labor force into unemployment (Pnu) accounted for more than three-fourths of the total rise in the rate of adult female unemploy ment between 1968 and 1979. (See table 4.) The strong correlation between this probability for women and their rate of unemployment is Table 3. illustrated by the fact that, over the two decades, a 1.00-percentage-point rise in the transition probability corresponded to a 1.70-percentagepoint increase in their jobless rate. (See table 3.) Between 1979 and 1988, however, the probabil ity that women would make the transition from out of the labor force into unemployment was little changed, and that transition probability had very little influence on the change in women’s unemployment rates. Rising educational attainment and the higher wages associated with educational gains helped to increase the female labor force participation rate over the period studied. The expansion in labor force participation also increased the likeli- Average monthly labor market transition probabilities and their relationship to the unemployment rates of adult women by detailed age groups, 1968,1979, and 1988 Transition probability Type of transition and year Total, women age 20 and over (in percent) Women age— 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over Employment to unemployment (Peu): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... 0.0086 .0121 .0104 0.0149 .0221 .0200 0.0092 .0132 .0112 0.0085 .0109 .0090 0.0069 .0081 .0081 0.0031 .0046 .0039 0.0059 .0069 .0060 Derivative1 .................................................. 1.84 1.73 1.90 1.87 1.81 1.88 1.67 Employment to not in the labor force (Pen): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .0642 .0446 .0341 .0702 .0536 .0456 .0739 .0420 .0305 .0591 .0405 .0259 .0501 .0349 .0270 .0311 .0275 .0317 .1419 .1067 .1114 Derivative .................................................. .48 .61 .60 .48 .38 .32 .16 Unemployment to employment (Pue): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .3130 .2616 .2542 .3512 .2882 .2814 .2888 .2607 .2412 .3125 .2637 .2523 .3195 .2406 .2630 .1831 .1568 .1429 .2333 .1316 .1143 Derivative .................................................. -.08 -.13 -.10 -.07 -.05 -.04 -.05 Unemployment to not in the labor force (Pun): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .3426 .2727 .2630 .3077 .2551 .2720 .3755 .2764 .2600 .3333 .2794 .2560 .3550 .2669 .2457 .2113 .2054 .1513 .4412 .4474 .4286 Derivative .................................................. Not in the 1968 1979 1988 -.06 -.08 -.07 -.05 -.04 -.03 -.02 labor force to employment (Pne): ...................................................... ...................................................... ...................................................... .0348 .0378 .0387 .0629 .0892 .1020 .0405 .0595 .0691 .0449 .0641 .0749 .0439 .0467 .0663 .1358 .0649 .0550 .0108 .0081 .0080 Derivative .................................................. -.56 -.40 -.51 -.31 -.27 -.32 -2.15 Not in the labor force to unemployment (Pnu): 1968 ...................................................... 1979 ...................................................... 1988 ...................................................... .0096 .0166 .0164 .0293 .0620 .0634 .0138 .0324 .0389 .0114 .0248 .0308 .0092 .0154 .0177 .0228 .0154 .0132 .0011 .0012 .0008 Derivative .................................................. 1.70 .77 1.30 1.07 1.08 1.38 20.72 1 Partial derivative of the group unemployment rate with respect to the specific labor market transition probability, 1968-88. These statistics represent the over-the-period estimates of the percentage-point change in each group’s 8 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rate of unemployment, given a 1-percentage-point increase in each labor market transition probability. hood that women (particularly new entrants or reentrants to the labor force) would experience a spell of unemployment. However, it should be noted that, as was the case in 1968, men who were out of the labor force were still more likely than women to enter or reenter the labor force (into unemployment or employment) in 1988. (See tables 2 and 3.) As shown in table 3, the probability of making a transition from employment to unemployment (.Peu) was highly correlated with joblessness among women between 1968 and 1988. The rise in the probability of moving from employment to unemployment was responsible for 37 percent of the rise in women’s rate of unemployment be tween 1968 and 1979. (See table 4.) In contrast to the situation for employed men, the likelihood of an employed woman becoming unemployed declined over the 1979-88 period. The experience of women between 20 and 44 years of age was largely responsible for the overthe-period improvement in this transition proba bility. As seen in table 4, the decline in the likelihood that an employed woman would be come unemployed caused the overall female job less rate to fall by 37 percent more than it would have had that transition probability been un changed between 1979 and 1988. The past two decades witnessed substantial growth in women’s attachment to year-round, full-time jobs. This was reflected in a sizable drop (from 6.4 to 3.4 percent) in the rate at which employed women left the labor force (JPen) be tween 1968 and 1988. As shown in table 4, the increase in the female rate of unemployment would have been 55 percent higher had the proba bility of women exiting the labor force from em ployment not declined between 1968 and 1979. In addition, the drop in this transition probability among women accounted for 70 percent of the decrease in the female jobless rate over the 1979— 88 period. The strong relationship between the unem ployment rate and this flow out of employment may not be easy to discern, because unemploy ment is not directly involved. The relationship between the decrease in Pen and the decline in the rate of unemployment is indirect, reflecting a re duction in labor market friction (movements into and out of the labor force), traditionally a major component of unemployment among women. The drop in the probability of employed women exiting the labor force is probably a re flection of both the postponement of marriage and a sizable reduction in the number of women leav ing the labor force due to child-rearing or homemaking responsibilities. In 1968, for exam ple, only one-fourth of all 25- to 44-year-old https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Average monthly transition probabilities and their relationship to the changes in the adult unemployment rate, by sex, 1968-79 and 1979-88 Period and transition probability held constant Actual percentageSimulated point change change in rate in rate of unemploymenti Actual minus simulated change in rate Percent of change in rate due to holding transition probability constant Men 1 9 6 8 -7 9 P u e ................................... P n u ................................... Total.............. 2.0746 2.0746 2.0746 2.0746 2.0746 2.0746 1.2319 2.0528 1.3084 2.0013 1.9271 1.8514 0.8426 .0218 .7662 .0732 .1474 .2231 40.6 1.1 36.9 3.5 7.1 10.8 — — 2.0746 100.0 .5849 .5849 .5849 .5849 .5849 .5849 .1806 .5662 .5063 .5589 .4917 .6210 .4043 .0188 .7866 .0260 .0932 -.0360 69.1 3.2 13.4 4.4 15.9 -6.2 — — .5849 100.0 1.6978 1.6978 1.6978 1.6978 1.6978 1.6978 1.0692 2.6232 1.2516 1.2557 1.8852 .4041 .6286 -.9254 .4462 .4420 -.1870 1.2936 37.0 —54.5 26.3 26.0 -11.0 76.2 1.6978 100.0 -.5742 -.2750 -.9927 -.9868 -.8616 -.8949 -.3428 -.6420 .0758 .0697 -.0550 -.0220 37.4 70.0 -8.3 -7.6 6.0 2.4 — -.9170 100.0 1 9 7 9 -8 8 P u e ................................... P n u ................................... Total.............. Women 1 9 6 8 -7 9 P u n ................................... P n u ................................... Total.............. — 1 9 7 9 -8 8 P u e ................................... P u n ................................... P Total.............. -.9170 -.9170 -.9170 -.9170 -.9170 -.9170 — 1 The rates of unemployment derived from the transition flow probabilities do not precisely match those reported in the monthly c p s . However, the over-the-period changes resulting from the two methods of calculating the rates are similar. mothers whose youngest child was under age 3 were in the labor force. By 1988, more than half of similarly aged mothers with toddlers were labor market participants. Also over these two decades, a gradually increasing proportion of women chose not to have children (or to postpone having them). In spite of these trends, however, employed women were still far more likely than their male counterparts to drop out of the labor force as of 1988 (3.4 percent for women versus 1.6 percent for men). (See tables 2 and 3.) The rising difficulties that unemployed Monthly Labor Review November 1990 9 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment Chart 2. Ratio of female-to-male unemployment rates for persons age 20 and over, annual averages, 1 9 6 8 -8 8 women faced in finding a job between 1968 and 1979, a deterioration shown by the fall in Pue, was responsible for more than one-fourth of the in crease in the female unemployment rate over the period. A further decline in the propensity to find a job between 1979 and 1988 put upward pressure on women’s jobless rate. That is, the rate of female unemployment would have fallen slightly more than it did had the probability of a jobless woman finding a job remained unchanged. In general, an unemployed woman is less likely to find a job as of the next month than is a man. On average, roughly 25 percent of the women and 31 percent of the men who were un employed in any given month during 1988 were likely to be employed in the following month. In 1968, these probabilities had been 31 and 44 per cent, respectively. (See tables 2 and 3.) Overall, the sizable decline in both male and female prob abilities of moving from unemployment to em ployment between 1968 and 1988 indicates that, once they experienced a spell of unemployment, both women and men had a much more difficult time finding a job in 1988 than they did in 1968. Women have become increasingly more likely to go directly from being out of the labor force Digitized for 10 FRASER Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 into employment over the past 20 years. That development placed downward pressure on fe malejoblessness during that period. The over-theperiod increase in the likelihood of entering the labor force directly into employment was partly spurred by the substantial employment gains in the service-producing sector of the economy, where a large share of women are employed. Finally, as was the case among men, there was also a small negative association between the probability of women ending a spell of unem ployment by exiting the labor force (Pun) and the female jobless rate over the past 20 years. The sizable drop in this transition probability among women between 1968 and 1979 (from 34.3 to 26.3 percent) accounted for more than one-fourth of the increase in the female rate of unemploy ment. During the 1979-88 period, the decline in women’s joblessness would have been 8 percent greater had that labor market transition probabil ity not continued to decline. (See table 4.) Gender differences in joblessness The increased probability of job loss played a prominent role in the rise in the adult male unemployment rate during the past 20 years. Also, once unemployed, men have faced increas ing difficulties in finding a job, and this has further contributed to the rise in their unemployment rate and to the narrowing of the female-male unem ployment rate gap. (See chart 2.) For women, the rise in the rate of unemployment between 1968 and 1979 was caused by increases in the probabilities of entering unemployment from outside the labor force and of employed women becoming unemployed. Those changes tended to increase the female-male unemployment rate dif ferential during that period, while a drop in the proportion of employed women leaving the labor force helped to hold down their joblessness and shrink the unemployment rate gap. The fall in the female unemployment rate between 1979 and 1988 was mostly due to the continued decline in the flow of employed women out of the labor force. Over the 1979-88 period, a decrease in the likelihood of employed women becoming unem ployed also contributed to the decline in the fe- male rate of unemployment and the narrowing of the female-male unemployment rate differential. a b r o a d e r c o n t e x t , the use of data on labor market transitions in this analysis highlights the variety of pressures that effect change in a demo graphic group’s jobless rate, as well as the unem ployment rate differential between groups. As the results of this analysis suggest, strong offsetting factors can be at work at the same time. For exam ple, increased job market stability (less movement into and out of the labor force) can serve to lower unemployment rates at the same time that a rise in the incidence of job loss is tending to force them upward. Policies for dealing with structural changes in unemployment should necessarily be different depending on the cause of those changes. The gross flow data, rarely used in the analysis of labor market trends, provide some interesting and useful insights into those complex forces that con tribute to changing rates of unemployment. □ In Footnotes 1 It should be noted that gross flow statistics generateddata and, on average, results in an overestimate of the monthly flows. from the monthly CPS generally show movements into and out of the various labor force categories which do not yield For a more complete discussion of these problems and the same net changes as are shown by the published data. other issues related to gross flow data, see Paul O. Flaim and Three major factors have been identified as possible reasons Carma R. Hogue, “Measuring labor force flows: a confer for this inconsistency and are reviewed briefly below: ence examines the problems,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1985, pp. 7-17. Rotation group bias. For reasons not completely understood, 2 Because the analysis is conducted over a discrete pe the responses of persons interviewed in the first and fifth riod, the choice of the starting and ending years may bias the months in which the sample is taken tend to show higher results. The years 1968, 1979, and 1988 are roughly similar levels of unemployment, compared with subsequent months. reference points because they all occur well into the expan This leads to an overestimation of the outflows from unem sionary phases of business cycles. Nevertheless, the Vietnam ployment after the first and fifth months. Therefore, the conflict was at its maximum level of intensity in 1968, and movements reflected in gross flow data are rotation-group this contributed to a very tight demand for labor, particularly biased to some degree. for men. As a result, the female-male unemployment rate Exclusion o f noninterviews and movers. The basis for selec tion of the cps sample is household units rather than individ uals; therefore, common rotation groups reflect identical households but not necessarily identical persons. The exclu sion of nonidentical persons in the gross flows from month to month further limits the size of the sample available for gross flow analysis. In addition, nonidenticals were found to have employment-population ratios considerably higher than those for the total cps sample and out of labor force ratios that are considerably lower than the published ones. The exclusion of nonidenticals from the gross flow calculations is thus a contributing cause for the discrepancies with the changes in the published labor force totals. Problems in matching data. In a survey as large as the cps , coding errors can never be eliminated entirely. It is thus inevitable that some records will fail to match the month-tomonth flow estimates, even when the labor force status is correctly recorded. There are also errors arising from incor rect interpretation of the questions by respondents or inter viewers, the miscoding of answers, the conditioning of respondents to answer in certain ways, and so forth. While such errors tend to offset each other in the monthly stock measurement, their effect is cumulative in the gross change https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis differential may be somewhat inflated in that year. Historical data show, however, that the gap still would have been large at a business cycle peak, even in the absence of the (perhaps) distorting affects of the Vietnam conflict on the civilian job market. Data from 1989 are not used in the analysis because the 1989 annual average monthly gross flow data used to derive the labor market transition probabilities were not yet available at the time of publication. 3 See Stephen T. Marston, “Employment Instability and High Unemployment Rates,” Brookings Papers on Eco nomic Activity, No. 1, 1976, pp. 171-73. 4 Marston, “Employment Instability,” pp. 202-03. As shown by Marston, and outlined in the text, the calculated unemployment rate is Urate = U/(U+E), where: U is equal to the sum of the total probabilities of the flow into unemploy ment— U = Peu + Pen(HPne/Pne+Pnu)), where the first term on the right-hand side of the equation is the probability that workers will take the direct route into unemployment, and the second term is the sum of the probabilities that persons will become unemployed after first dropping out of the labor force and then reentering unsuccessfully. E is equal to the sum of the transition probabilities from unemployment to employ ment—£ = Pue + (Pne/Pne+Pnu)Pun— where the first term is the probability of direct transition from unemployment to employ- Monthly Labor Review November 1990 11 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment ment, and the second term is the probability of indirect transitions. In other words: Urate — _________ Pen + Pen ( l — (Pne ! Pne + P nu)) _________ Peu+Pen (l-( Pne / Pne+Pnu))+Pue+Pun(Pne / Pne+Pnu) The detailed calculations of the partial derivatives of the unemployment rate presented in tables 2 and 3 are available from the author. Those partial derivatives relate to each specific transition flow probability and correspond to the over-the-period percentage-point change in the rate of unem ployment resulting from holding all the other transition flow probabilities constant. As explained by Marston, the calculated rates of unem ployment are accurate, given the “steady state” assumption, wherein the flows into employment and unemployment just compensate for the flows out of those states. While the rates of unemployment derived from the transition flow probabil ities do not precisely match those reported in the monthly cps (the author tried various adjustments to the gross flow data which made no qualitative difference to the results), mostly because of the rotation bias problem discussed in footnote 2, the over-the-period changes produced by the two methods of calculating the rates are similar. 5 A tabular presentation of the year-to-year changes in the six independent labor market transition probabilities for adult men and women is available from the author. 6 Technically, people showing up as Et.\Ut could have left their jobs voluntarily. Aggregate cps data on reasons for unemployment suggest, however, that increases in Peu for men over this period did not stem from job leaving. ‘Old-old population’ growing fast Over the past 40 years, the number of older people in the population has grown steadily. In 1950, only 12 million Americans were age 65 or older; today, the number is close to 30 million—roughly 12 percent of the population. Demographic projections show that the size of the older pop ulation will increase slowly for the next 20 years, only to rise dramatically after 2010 as the large baby boom generation (bom between 1946 and 1964) begins to reach age 65. About 65 million people (or 20 percent of the population) are expected to be age 65 or older by 2030. The fastest-growing segment of this population group is among the oldold, those age 85 and older. Their numbers are expected to triple by 2030, accounting for more than 8.6 million people. Because the need for supportive services increases dramatically with age, the growing number of elderly who are over the age of 85 is likely to place a significant claim on public sector resources. California, Florida, New York, Texas, and Pennsylvania are ex pected to have the largest number of people age 85 and older by the year 2010. —William P. O ’Hare and Carol J. De Vita America in the 21st Century: Governance and Politics (Washington, Population Reference Bureau, Inc., 1990), p. 3. 12 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Black college graduates in the labor market, 1979 and 1989 Although college-educated black and white women have very similar earnings, substantial economic differences still exist between college-educated black and white men Joseph R. Meisenheimer II “There is no defense or security for any of us except in the highest intelligence and develop ment of all.” —Booker T. Washington, from a speech made in Atlanta on September 18, 1895 lack educator Booker T. Washington es poused the philosophy that education is the path to economic and social equality for blacks. Indeed, education, particularly col lege education, has long been regarded as the path to expanded job opportunities, higher earn ings, and enhanced social standing for all people. A substantial educational gap between whites and blacks has narrowed over time, but it still persists. In 1979, 9 percent of blacks ages 25 to 64 had completed 4 or more years of college; by comparison, 19 percent of whites had done so. The 1980’s saw considerable progress for both groups, but no narrowing of the gap; in 1989, 13 percent of blacks and 24 percent of whites had completed 4 or more years of college.1 Many of the economic disparities between blacks and whites have been attributed, in large part, to the relatively lower educational levels (human capital) of blacks.2 And much of the im provement in the economic status of blacks over time has been attributed to their increasing educa tional levels.3 Differences in education, however, do not completely explain the labor market dis B Joseph R. Meisenheimer II is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis parities between blacks and whites. For example, among college-educated men, black graduates have substantially higher unemployment rates and lower median earnings than their white coun terparts. This article compares the labor market experi ence of civilian college graduates by sex and race in 1989 and looks at the changes that took place for these groups over the preceding decade. It then examines the economic rewards of higher education for blacks by comparing the employ ment and earnings characteristics of black college graduates with those of black high school gradu ates. The data used are from the Current Popula tion Survey (CPS), a sample survey of about 60,000 households, conducted monthly for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census.4 College-graduate differences Some differences between black and white col lege graduates in their labor market characteris tics stem from differences in the age and sex composition of the two groups. For example, black college graduates are somewhat younger than their white counterparts. In 1989, 39 per cent of black graduates (ages 25 to 64) were in the youngest age group— 25 to 34— compared with 34 percent of white graduates, reflecting the fact that relatively fewer older blacks at tended college. Another demographic difference Monthly Labor Review November 1990 13 Black College Graduates in the Labor Market between black and white college graduates is that a larger share of black graduates are women—54 percent in 1989 and 53 percent in 1979.5 By comparison, 44 percent of white graduates in 1989 and 40 percent in 1979 were women. These age and gender differences can distort racial comparisons. For this reason, an examination of labor force characteristics should focus on specific age and sex groups. Differences in education do not completely explain labor market disparities between blacks and whites. Labor force participation. The labor force par ticipation rate is the proportion of a population group that is either employed or actively seek ing employment. The incidence of labor force participation differs substantially between the sexes, in that men participate at higher rates than women at every age. As shown in table 1, among men ages 25 to 64, black college graduates’ rates were just below those of their white counterparts in both 1979 (92.9 to 95.7) and 1989 (93.3 to 95.1). The gap grows larger at successively lower educational levels. For example, among men with 4 years of high school, the participation rate for blacks in 1989 was nearly 4 percentage points lower than that for whites, and among those who did not com plete high school, the spread was about 12 points. Table 1 also shows that college-educated black women participate in the labor force at much higher rates than their white peers, although that gap narrowed considerably during the 1980’s. Table 1. Labor force participation rates for 25- to 64-year-olds by educational attainment, sex, and race, annual averages, 1979 and 1989 [In percent] Educational attainment and sex 1979 1989 Black White Black White 92.9 86.5 95.7 70.3 93.3 88.4 95.1 80.4 91.3 78.7 93.2 62.5 90.1 80.2 92.6 75.0 90.5 69.7 92.5 58.8 86.8 72.9 90.4 67.7 76.6 48.1 81.6 43.5 67.0 46.6 78.5 47.2 4 or more years of college M e n ........................ Women .................. 1 to 3 years of college M e n ........................ Women .................. 4 years of high school M e n ........................ Women .................. Less than 4 years of high school M e n ........................ Women .................. 14 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Other than the participation rates for high school dropouts, which are essentially the same for both races, black women have higher rates than white women at each level of education. The gap is largest among college graduates, however. Table 2 provides a more complete look at the participa tion rates of college graduates by race, sex, and age. To shed some light on the gap in labor force participation, it is helpful to look at the marital status of women of each race. In all four educa tional levels, a smaller proportion of black women than white women is married (and living with their husbands). In 1989, less than half of black college-educated women lived with thenhusbands, compared with more than two-thirds of college-educated white women. Additionally, married black women participated in the labor force at much higher rates than whites in both years studied, despite a sharp increase in partici pation among married white women during the 1980’s. In 1979, the labor force participation rates were 83.7 percent for married black women and 63.2 percent for married white women. By 1989, these rates were 85.7 percent for black women and 75.1 percent for white women. These differ ences cannot be explained by age. In fact, both groups of married women had virtually identical age distributions in the years studied. The follow ing tabulation shows the percent distribution of married female college graduates by age: 1979 Black White 25 to 6 4 ........ 25 to 34 . . . 35 to 44 . . . 45 to 54 . . . 55 to 64 . . . 100 44 27 19 10 100 44 26 17 12 1989 Black White 100 35 37 19 9 100 34 37 18 11 The difference in labor force participation rates between black and white married women may be partly explained by the labor force experi ence and educational level of their husbands. If a husband is not employed or, if employed, has relatively low earnings, the wife is more likely to work. Also, if the wife has a higher level of edu cational attainment and has a higher earnings po tential than her husband, she would have greater incentive to work. In fact, the husbands of college-educated black women have less schooling and make less money than the husbands of white women. Half of the husbands of college-educated black women have completed 4 years of college, compared with 72 percent of the husbands of college-edu cated white women. Furthermore, 12 percent of these married black women, compared with 7 percent of their white counterparts, had husbands who were either unemployed or not in the labor Table 2. Population, labor force, and labor force participation rates of 25- to 64-yeair-olds with 4 or more years of college by sex, race, and age, annual averages, 1979 and 1989 [Numbers in thousands] 1989 1979 Sex, race, and age Population Labor force Labor force participation rate Population Labor force Labor force participation rate Men Black, to ta l.................................. 25 to 3 4 .................................. 35 to 4 4 .................................. 45 to 5 4 .................................. 55 to 6 4 .................................. 466 218 131 76 40 433 203 127 72 31 92.9 93.1 96.9 94.7 (1) 852 321 290 154 86 795 315 275 145 60 93.3 98.1 94.8 94.2 69.8 White, total.................................. 25 to 3 4 .................................. 35 to 4 4 .................................. 45 to 5 4 .................................. 55 to 6 4 .................................. 10,490 4,320 2,732 2,106 1,331 10,040 4,170 2,687 2,050 1,133 95.7 96.5 98.4 97.3 85.1 14,406 4,531 5,012 2,890 1,972 13,694 4,392 4,930 2,798 1,575 95.1 96.9 98.4 96.8 79.9 Black, to ta l.................................. 25 to 3 4 .................................. 35 to 4 4 .................................. 45 to 5 4 .................................. 55 to 6 4 .................................. 524 258 122 94 50 453 228 111 80 34 86.5 88.4 91.0 85.1 (1) 1,003 395 337 178 92 887 360 310 160 57 88.4 91.1 92.0 89.9 62.0 White, total.................................. 25 to 3 4 .................................. 35 to 4 4 .................................. 45 to 5 4 .................................. 55 to 6 4 .................................. 7,059 3,281 1,711 1,185 882 4,959 2,456 1,203 833 467 70.3 74.9 70.3 70.3 52.9 11,411 4,342 3,913 1,945 1,210 9,174 3,638 3,224 1,607 705 80.4 83.8 82.4 82.6 58.3 Women 1 Data not shown where base is less than 75,000. force in 1989. Among those women whose hus bands were employed as wage and salary work ers, 52 percent of whites, compared with 28 percent of blacks had husbands who earned $700 or more per week. In contrast, 43 percent of blacks and 24 percent of whites had husbands who earned less than $500 per week. Among unmarried women ages 25 to 64 (and the relatively few who are married, but not living with their husbands), the participation rates for blacks (91.1 percent) and whites (91.5 percent) were virtually identical in 1989. But because a much larger proportion of black than white women was unmarried, this group, which has high participation regardless of race, had a greater effect on the overall participation rate for black women than it did for white women. Unemployment. Black labor force participants have historically been more than twice as likely as their white counterparts to be unemployed. Although this differential has been attributed in large part to the lower educational attainment of blacks,6 the rates for blacks are also higher than those for whites at each level of education. In 1989, the unemployment rate for college-edu cated black men ages 25 to 64 was about three https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis times the rate for white men (5.6 versus 1.8 percent). This is higher than 10 years earlier, when the unemployment rate for similarly edu cated black men (3.7 percent) was two-and-ahalf times the rate for white men (1.5 percent).7 The unemployment rate for college-educated black women was 3.9 percent in 1989, up slightly from 3.4 percent in 1979, while that for white women decreased to 2.3 from 3.1 per cent.8 Earnings. A comparison of the earnings of black and white college graduates can be af fected not only by race, but other factors, in cluding gender and age. Men generally earn more than women, and older workers generally earn more than younger workers.9 As stated earlier, a greater share of black than white col lege graduates are women, and black graduates typically are younger than their white counter parts. Earnings comparisons can also be affected by differences in the amount of time spent working. For example, if the median annual earnings were compared for two worker groups who have other wise similar characteristics, the group with the larger proportion of year-round, full-time workers Black and white college-educated men have sharply different occupations. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 15 Black College Graduates in the Labor Market would likely have higher annual earnings. The following tabulation shows that, among college graduates who work, a slightly smaller percent age of black men than white men do so year round and full time (defined here as working at least 50 weeks in a year and at least 35 hours in a majority of those weeks), while black women are consid erably more likely than white women to do so. 1979 Black White Men ........ Women . . . 81 65 1989 Black White 86 54 82 72 85 62 Because of the different proportions of black and white men and women who work year round and full time, median annual earnings are com pared not only for all college graduates with earn ings, but also for the more homogeneous group of year-round, full-time earners. As the following tabulation shows, when all 25- to 64-year-old earners are compared, black men earn consider ably less than white men, while black women earn considerably more than white women. Among year-round, full-time workers, the gap in annual earnings between black and white men is 16 FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 3. still substantial, while the median earnings for black and white women grow closer. Black 1979 White Black 1989 White All earners: Men ........ $17,083 $21,278 $27,966 $37,234 Women . . . 12,152 7,930 23,928 19,966 Year-round, full-time earners: Men ........ Women . . . $19,587 $23,085 $31,349 $41,653 15,283 14,066 26,765 27,473 While these data provide some insight into the effects of race and sex on the earnings of college graduates, they mask the effects of age. The sam ple size of the March CPS, from which the data on annual earnings are obtained, is not large enough to provide reliable estimates of annual earnings for race-sex-age groups. In order to deal with this data limitation, annual averages of median weekly earnings are compared for wage and salary work ers who usually work full time (35 hours or more per week). These averages, which are based on data collected over an entire year, are more reli able than the annual earnings estimates, which are Median weekly earnings of employed full-time wage and salary workers ages 25 to 64 with 4 or more years of college by sex, age, and race, annual averages, 1979 and 1989 [Numbers in thousands] Black Sex and age Number of workers Median earnings White 90-percent confidence interval Number of workers Median earnings 90-percent confidence interval 1979 Men 25 to 64 .................. 25 to 34 years.............. 35 to 44 years.............. 45 to 64 years.............. 45 to 54 years............ 55 to 64 years............ 371 187 102 82 60 23 $338 303 369 398 418 353 $320 to $356 284 to 322 325 to 413 369 to 427 384 to 452 313 to 393 7,756 3,460 2,050 2,246 1,483 763 $399 339 440 480 488 457 $396 to $402 334 to 344 430 to 450 474 to 486 481 to 495 440 to 474 Women 25 to 6 4 .............. 25 to 34 years.............. 35 to 44 years.............. 45 to 64 years.............. 45 to 54 years............ 55 to 64 years............ 403 204 94 105 74 31 261 243 273 286 279 301 253 to 269 232 to 254 255 to 291 271 to 301 261 to 297 276 to 326 3,482 1,792 780 910 585 325 265 250 281 292 292 294 262 to 268 247 to 253 274 to 288 285 to 299 283 to 301 283 to 305 Men 25 to 64 .................. 25 to 34 years.............. 35 to 44 years.............. 45 to 64 years.............. 45 to 54 years............ 55 to 64 years............ 631 259 214 159 115 44 544 479 583 667 636 707 523 to 565 462 to 496 560 to 606 621 to 713 556 to 716 636 to 778 10,410 3,677 3,714 3,019 2,024 994 719 603 761 845 855 829 713 to 725 596 to 610 751 to 771 829 to 861 834 to 876 805 to 853 Women 25 to 6 4 .............. 25 to 34 years.............. 35 to 44 years.............. 45 to 64 years.............. 45 to 54 years............ 55 to 64 years............ 768 301 274 193 142 50 486 426 516 522 521 535 475 to 497 41 Oto 442 498 to 534 497 to 547 498 to 544 359 to 711 6,536 2,800 2,186 1,550 1,102 448 510 480 533 559 557 569 507 to 513 475 to 485 522 to 544 544 to 574 540 to 574 540 to 598 1989 November 1990 based on data obtained in only a single month.10 But even in the case of weekly earnings, some estimates still may have a wide margin of error because they represent relatively small popula tion groups. To aid in the analysis, the margins of error— confidence intervals—have been esti mated for the median weekly earnings of each race-sex-age group.11 As table 3 shows, college-educated black men ages 25 to 64 had median weekly earnings in 1989 of $544 (plus or minus $21), compared with $719 (plus or minus $6) for their white counter parts. This means that the median earnings of these black men ranged from 72 to 79 percent of the median for white men.12 This gap was greater than that 10 years earlier, when college-educated black men earned 80 to 90 percent as much as their white counterparts. The increase in the earn ings gap from 1979 to 1989 was concentrated primarily among men ages 25 to 34. This is shown in the following tabulation of confidence intervals of the black-to-white earnings ratios for each age group. Table 4. Men ages 25 to 64 ........ 25 to 3 4 ...................... 35 to 4 4 ...................... 45 to 5 4 ...................... 55 to 6 4 ...................... .... .... .... .... .... 1989 72-79 76-83 73-81 63-86 75-97 1979 80-90 83-96 72-96 78-94 66-89 For the years studied, these confidence inter vals overlap in all but the 25- to 34-year age group. This means that the only statistically sig nificant decline in the black-to-white earnings ratio occurred among young men. It is possible, however, that the earnings gap also increased for the other age groups because, for all but 55- to 64-year-olds, the upper boundaries of the confi dence intervals were lower in 1989 than in 1979. In contrast to the substantial earnings gap be tween black and white men, college-educated women of each race had nearly equal median weekly earnings in both years studied. This was the case in all age groups, except for 25- to 34year-olds. There was little difference in the earn ings of women in this age group in 1979, but 10 years later, the median for young black women Employed 25- to 64-year-olds with 4 or more years of college by occupation, sex, and race, annual averages, 1989 [Numbers in thousands] Women Men White Black White Black Occupation Employed Percent Employed Percent Employed Percent Employed Percent T otal.............................. Managerial and professional specialty .............................. Executive, administrative, and managerial............................ Professional specialty ............ Engineers ............................ Mathematical and computer scientists............................ Natural scientists.................. Health diagnosing ................ Health assessment and treating Teachers, college and university............................ Teachers, o th e r.................... Lawyers and judges.............. Other professional specialty . . Technical, sales, and administrative support .......... Technicians and related support S ales...................................... Supervisors and proprietors . . Finance and business .......... Commodities except retail . . . Retail and personal .............. Administrative support, including clerical.................. Service occupations.................. Precision production, craft, and repair...................................... Operators, fabricators, and laborers.................................. Farming, forestry, and fishing . . . 1 Less than 500. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 751 100.0 13,444 100.0 853 100.0 8,967 100.0 6,225 69.4 404 53.8 8,964 66.7 555 65.1 168 236 30 22.4 31.4 4.0 3.962 5,002 1,000 29.5 37.2 7.4 148 407 6 17.4 47.7 .7 1,705 4,521 68 19.0 50.4 .8 15 7 24 6 12 2.0 .9 3.2 .8 1.6 295 219 559 198 328 2.2 1.6 4.2 1.5 2.4 9 5 2 69 9 Ì.1 .6 .2 8.1 1.1 133 69 102 849 206 1.5 .8 1.1 9.5 2.3 63 16 63 8.4 2.1 8.4 794 526 1,084 5.9 3.9 8.1 218 10 78 25.6 1.2 9.1 2,007 137 949 22.4 1.5 10.6 187 38 75 22 21 16 15 24.9 5.1 10.0 2.9 2.8 2.1 2.0 2.962 533 1,912 596 609 475 231 22.0 4.0 14.2 4.4 4.5 3.5 1.7 250 45 42 14 16 3 9 29.3 5.3 4.9 1.6 1.9 .4 1.1 2,244 370 753 189 266 100 192 25.0 4.1 8.4 2.1 3.0 1.1 2.1 74 66 9.9 8.8 517 352 3.8 2.6 163 30 19.1 3.5 1,122 302 12.5 3.4 46 6.1 650 4.8 5 .6 67 .7 44 3 5.9 .4 360 156 2.7 1.2 13 (1) 1.5 (2) 81 47 .9 .5 2 Less than 0.05 percent. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 17 Black College Graduates in the Labor Market Table 5. Employment-population ratios of blacks ages 25 to 64 by sex, age, marital status, and educational attainment, annual averages, 1979 and 1989 [In percent] 1979 Sex, age, and marital status 1989 4 or more years of college 4 years of high school 4 or more years of college 4 years of high school M en.................. 25 to 3 4 ........ 35 to 4 4 ........ 45 to 5 4 ........ 55 to 6 4 ........ 89.5 88.1 94.7 92.1 (1) 84.3 85.2 87.4 84.9 72.3 88.1 92.8 89.0 89.0 67.4 78.7 79.3 84.6 80.3 58.1 W om en............ 25 to 3 4 ........ 35 to 4 4 ........ 45 to 5 4 ........ 55 to 6 4 ........ 83.4 84.5 87.7 84.0 (1) 63.5 62.9 68.6 63.9 51.4 85.0 85.1 89.9 87.6 62.0 66.2 63.1 74.7 70.9 47.1 Married women, spouse present. 81.0 63.0 82.7 68.8 Unmarried women2 ........ 86.1 64.1 87.2 64.2 1 Data not shown where base is less than 75,000. 2 Includes married women not living with their husbands. was 84 to 93 percent that of their white counter parts. This divergence might be explained partly by differences in the proportion of college-edu cated women of each race who had some gradu ate schooling. Workers with graduate schooling tend to earn more than those with exactly 4 years of college. In 1979, among full-time wage and salary workers, nearly equal proportions of black and white women ages 25 to 34 had completed more than 4 years of college, whereas in 1989, a substantially larger proportion of whites than blacks had done so. This development does not explain the divergence in earnings entirely, how ever, because an earnings gap also developed during the 1980’s among young black and white women with exactly 4 years of college. Why do black and white female college gradu ates have very similar median earnings, while black men earn less than their white peers? A look at occupational employment characteristics provides some answers. As can be seen in table 4, black and white women work in very similar oc cupations. Nearly equal proportions of employed blacks (17 percent) and whites (19 percent) are managers. Roughly half of both groups work in professional specialty occupations, and, among these professionals, over two-thirds of blacks and nearly two-thirds of whites work either as teach ers (below the college or university level) or in health assessment and treating jobs (such as nurses and therapists). The only significant dis similarity in occupational distributions is that 19 Digitized for 18FRASER Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 percent of blacks, and 13 percent of whites, work in administrative support, including clerical jobs. In contrast to the situation among women, black and white college-educated men have sharply different occupations and these differ ences are consistent with the lower median earn ings of blacks. For instance, in 1989, 22 percent of employed black men, compared with 29 per cent of white men, were managers. Black men were also less likely than white men to work in professional specialty occupations (31 versus 37 percent). Among professional men, more than one-quarter of blacks, but less than one-sixth of whites, worked in teaching, a relatively lower paying professional occupation. Nearly half of white professionals worked as engineers, mathe maticians and computer scientists, lawyers and judges, or doctors, while slightly more than onethird of black professionals worked in these higher paying jobs. College-educated black men are considerably more likely than their white counterparts to work outside of managerial and professional fields. In fact, 31 percent of black men, compared with 14 percent of white men worked in one of the fol lowing lower paying occupations that typically do not require a college degree: administrative support (including clerical work); service; preci sion production, craft, and repair; and operators, fabricators, and laborers.13 In addition to the occupational differences, a number of other factors may contribute to this earnings gap. These include the degree attained (workers with master’s degrees tend to earn more than those with bachelor’s degrees), the amount of training received on the job, local labor market factors, job performance, the size and financial strength of employers, and racial discrimination.14 College versus high school Two key economic rewards of higher education are enhanced employment opportunities and higher earnings. In the following analysis, these economic rewards are examined for blacks by comparing the labor market experience of black college and high school graduates in terms of employment and of median weekly earnings of those employed as full-time wage and salary workers. The employment-population ratio—the pro portion of a population group that is employed— reflects both the extent of a group’s labor force participation and the success of the participants in finding work. College graduates participate in the labor force—that is, work or actively seek work—at a higher rate than do high school gradu ates. In large part, this is because college gradu ates have invested more in their education and have greater expectations of employment than high school graduates. Thus, college graduates have more to lose by not going actively into the labor market. Also, college graduates are more likely to succeed in finding work. These two fac tors result in higher employment-population ra tios for college graduates. Table 5 shows that, in 1989, the employmentpopulation ratio of college-educated black men was 9 percentage points higher than that of black male high school graduates. In 1979, the differ ence was 5 percentage points. This widening re sulted largely from a decline of nearly 4 percentage points in the labor force participation rate of high school graduates. High school graduates may have become less likely to look for work due to a per ception that their job prospects had worsened.15 Among black women, the employment ratio for college graduates in both years studied was about 20 percentage points higher than that for high school graduates. The difference was even larger among unmarried women (23 percentage points in 1989) than it was for married women (14 percentage points). Table 6. The 2 years selected for comparing black col lege and high school graduates’ employment ra tios were periods of economic expansion. If these ratios had been compared for recession years, the difference between college and high school grad uates would have been even greater. This is because the types of jobs held by college gradu ates are less vulnerable to recessionary job losses.16 In the future, regardless of the stage of the business cycle, this employment gap between black college and high school graduates may grow. According to Bureau of Labor Statistics’ projections, the occupations expected to have the fastest rates of employment growth between 1988 and 2000 are in managerial, professional, and technical fields, which generally require higher levels of education. In contrast, employment is projected to grow more slowly or even decline in many of the occupations requiring less educa tion.17 How much the employment ratios of black college and high school graduates will be affected by these projected changes in the occupational structure of the labor market depends, for the The earnings gap between black college and high school graduates has increased in the 1980’s. Median weekly earnings of blacks ages 25 to 64 employed as full-time wage and salary workers by sex, age, and educational attainment, annual averages, 1979 and 1989 [Numbers in thousands] 4 years of high school 4 or more years of college Sex and age Number of workers Median earnings 90-percent confidence interval Number of workers Median earnings 90-percent confidence interval $244 to $258 226 to 246 249 to 271 251 to 279 253 to 287 234 to 280 1979 Men 25 to 6 4 .................. 25 to 34 years ............ 35 to 44 years ............ 45 to 64 years ............ 45 to 54 years .......... 55 to 64 years .......... 371 187 102 82 60 23 $338 303 369 398 418 353 $320 to $356 284 to 322 325 to 413 369 to 427 384 to 452 313 to 393 1,168 557 318 293 193 100 $251 236 260 265 270 257 Women 25 to 64 ............ 25 to 34 years ............ 35 to 44 years ............ 45 to 64 years ............ 45 to 54 years .......... 55 to 64 years .......... 403 204 94 105 74 31 261 243 273 286 279 301 253 to 269 232 to 254 255 to 291 271 to 301 261 to 297 276 to 326 1,095 508 341 246 170 76 174 174 174 175 176 171 170 to 169 to 167 to 167 to 167 to 158 to Men 25 to 6 4 .................. 25 to 34 years ............ 35 to 44 years ............ 45 to 64 years ............ 45 to 54 years .......... 55 to 64 years .......... 631 259 214 159 115 44 544 479 583 667 636 707 523 to 565 462 to 496 560 to 606 621 to 713 556 to 716 636 to 778 1,795 815 553 427 294 133 353 315 379 408 409 408 344 to 362 307 to 323 365 to 393 393 to 423 391 to 427 378 to 438 Women 25 to 64 ............ 25 to 34 years ............ 35 to 44 years ............ 45 to 64 years ............ 45 to 54 years .......... 55 to 64 years .......... 768 301 274 193 142 50 486 426 516 522 521 535 475 to 497 410 to 442 498 to 534 497 to 547 498 to 544 359 to 711 1,694 664 574 456 336 120 284 258 294 310 313 304 279 to 289 250 to 266 286 to 302 300 to 320 302 to 324 284 to 324 178 179 181 183 185 184 1989 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 19 Black College Graduates in the Labor Market most part, on the future educational attainment of the black population. College-educated blacks not only are more likely to have a job than blacks with a high school education, but also, among-those employed full time, college graduates earn considerably more. In 1989, black male high school graduates ages 25 to 64 had median weekly earnings of $353 (plus or minus $9); college graduates earned about one-and-a-half (1.44 to 1.65) times that amount. The magnitude of this earnings gap was greater in 1989 than in 1979 (1.24 to 1.45 times), with men ages 25 to 34 accounting for most of the overall increase. Earnings differences also in creased among black women, and, as with men, most of the widening occurred among younger women. These young workers are the age groups most affected by the labor market crowding that resulted from the increased supply of workers as sociated with the baby boom. In such a competitive environment, employers can raise their educational requirements for workers, giving college graduates even more of an advantage over those with only a high school education.18 Table 6 shows data on the median weekly earnings of black college and high school graduates by their sex and age. These earnings comparisons show that the gap between black college and high school graduates has increased in the 1980’s. The data also suggest that, for both men and women, black college graduates’ earnings increase more with age than do those of high school graduates. This can be seen in the data for black men who were ages 25 to 34 in 1979 and, thus, 35 to 44 in 1989. In 1979, the median weekly earnings of college graduates in this cohort were 1.16 to 1.42 times those of high school graduates, whereas in 1989, the me dian for college graduates was 1.43 to 1.66 times that of high school graduates. Just as the higher starting pay of college grad uates may reflect the value of additional years of schooling, larger pay increases once they are em ployed could reflect the differences in the amount of training college and high school graduates re ceive on the job. Job-related training, like formal education, is a human capital investment, and, according to a 1986 Rand Corporation study, col lege graduates are more likely than high school graduates to receive such training.19College grad uates, then, have more opportunities to increase their productivity throughout their careers, and this may result in greater pay increases. T h e n o t i o n t h a t a college education can contrib ute to closing the economic gap between blacks and whites appears to hold true for women. But the theory may be questioned in terms of men because substantial economic differences still exist be tween college-educated black and white men, and little progress toward narrowing the gap was made during the 1980’s. Nevertheless, for all blacks, college education does provide considerable eco nomic rewards above those generally received with only a high school education. □ Footnotes ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: The author thanks Ber nard Altschuler, Patricia Merritt, and Ronald Richardson of the Data Development Staff, Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, for constructing the computer pro grams used for this study. 1 Unless stated otherwise, all data in this article refer to persons 25 to 64 years old. This age group has been selected because it has the strongest attachment to the labor force. Many people under age 25 have not yet completed their formal education, and relatively few people over age 64 participate in the labor force. 2 For a discussion of how human capital differences between blacks and whites relate to economic differences, see James P. Smith, “Race and Human Capital,” American Economic Review, September 1984, pp. 685-98. For a gen eral overview of human capital theory, see Gary S. Becker, Human Capital (New York, Columbia University Press, 1964 and 1975), or Jacob Mincer, Schooling, Experience, and Earnings (New York, Columbia University Press, 1974). 3 See, for example, James P. Smith and Finis R. Welch, “Black Economic Progress After Myrdal,” Journal o f Eco nomic Literature, June 1989, pp. 519-64. 4 Current Population Survey data on educational attain ment actually refer to years of school completed, rather than degrees obtained. In this article, those who attended college for 4 or more years are referred to as college graduates, and Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 those who attended high school for 4 years are referred to as high school graduates. Available data suggest that blacks who report that they have completed 4 years of college are less likely than whites to have obtained a degree. Current plans are to change the information in the cps from a “years of school completed” concept to a “degrees obtained” con cept like that used in the 1990 census. 5 Part of the difference in the CPS estimates of the number of black men and women ages 25 to 64 may result from differences in the coverage of these two groups in the 1980 decennial census. Wliile evidence suggests that the 1980 census undercounted the number of black women in this age group, the undercount of black men is believed to have been much greater, cps population estimates are based on decennial census figures, which are then adjusted over time for estimated births, deaths, and net immigration. A census undercount of the number of black men could result in the number of black male college graduates being under estimated in the cps . For a more detailed discussion of the census undercount, see Coverage o f the National Population in the 1980 Census, by Age, Sex, and Race: Preliminary Estimates by Demographic Analysis, Current Population Report, Series P-23, No. 115 (Bureau of the Census, 1982). Despite the fact that the cps may understate the number of black male college graduates, administrative data from the U. S. Department of Education show that, in any given year, the number of black women receiving college degrees sub- stantially exceeds the number of black men. See, for exam ple, U. S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition o f Education, 1989, vol. 2, Postsecondary Education, p. 68. 6 Curtis L. Gilroy, “Investment in human capital and black-white unemployment,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1975, pp. 13-21. 7 It is important to note that in 1988 the unemployment rate for college-educated black men (2.9 percent) was only about one-and-a-half times the rate for white men (1.7 per cent). Because the rate for college-educated black men is so volatile from year to year, it is difficult to draw firm conclu sions about changes in this group’s unemployment situation. 8 Because of the relatively small number of unemployed black college graduates in the cps sample, it is not possible to analyze unemployment rates in different age groups. More reliable data would have allowed for the comparison of unemployment of younger graduates with that of graduates in older age groups. 9 See Gary S. Becker, Human Capital, pp. 16-37. Ac cording to human capital theory, older workers generally earn more than younger workers because they are more experienced and thus more productive than younger workers. This human capital explanation has been disputed, however. Katharine G. Abraham and James L. Medoff, in Length o f Service and the Operation o f Internal Labor Markets (Cam bridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1983), working paper no. 1085, argue that the relatively higher pay of workers with more seniority “is to a significant extent a reward to seniority per se, rather than simply a reward for higher productivity.” 10 Annual earnings estimates are obtained from supple mental questions asked in the CPS in March of each year. All persons in the March cps sample are asked if they worked at any time during the previous year. Those who worked are asked what they earned in that year. For example, all sample members in March 1980 who worked at any time during 1979 were asked their 1979 earnings. Estimates of usual weekly earnings are obtained by asking one-quarter of the wage and salary workers in each month’s cps sample their usual weekly hours and earnings. Annual average estimates of median weekly earnings are based on a sample size triple that used for the annual earnings estimates from the March supplement. The difference in sample sizes is shown by the following: Sample size in March for annual earnings estimates = S Sample size for annual averages of median usual weekly earnings = 12(1/4)(S) = 3S A minor drawback to comparing weekly, rather than annual, earnings is that the universe for weekly earnings, unlike that for annual earnings, only includes wage and salary workers. Information on weekly earnings is not ob tained for self-employed workers, such as business owners and some (though not all) doctors and lawyers. Although many self-employed workers are college graduates, they comprise only a small proportion of employed college grad uates. 11 The results of any survey, whether based on a sample or a complete census of the population, are subject to non sampling, or response, variability. Nonsampling error can result from a number of causes, such as incorrect recording https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of the data, differences in the interpretation of questions, or respondents’ inability or unwillingness to provide correct information. Because the estimates used in this article are based on one of many possible samples of the population, they are also subject to sampling error—variation which occurs by chance because a sample, rather than the entire population, is surveyed. The measure of this sampling vari ability is the standard error. The standard error and the sample estimate enable confidence intervals to be con structed. In this article, the 90-percent confidence interval— the sample estimate plus or minus 1.6 times the standard error—is the interval used to estimate median weekly earn ings. For example, suppose that an estimate of median weekly earnings was $338 and the standard error for this median was $11; it can then be said with 90 percent confi dence that the actual median is between $320 and $356 ($338 plus or minus 1.6 times $11). In other words, if 1,000 independent samples had been selected, the median would fall between $320 and $356 in 900 of those samples. 12 The $544 median for black men is 76 percent of the $719 median for white men. The lower and upper boundaries of this ratio, 72 and 79 percent, respectively, are derived from the following tabulations: lower boundary of median for black men = $523 = 72 percent upper boundary of median for white men $725 upper boundary of median for black men = $565 = 79 percent lower boundary of median for white men $713 13 It is possible that the occupational differences be tween black and white college-educated men vary by age. For example, the occupational employment characteristics of young blacks may be similar to those of young whites, while the differences between older blacks and whites may be sizable. This hypothesis cannot be tested accurately, however, because the cps sample is not sufficiently large to provide reliable occupational employment estimates for black male college graduates in specific age groups. 14 The number of workers with more than 4 years of college can be used as a rough approximation of workers with graduate schooling. Among college-educated men em ployed as full-time wage and salary workers in 1989, a larger proportion of whites (44 percent) than blacks (34 percent) had completed more than 4 years of college. To account for this difference, median earnings were also tabulated for workers with exactly 4 years of college. The black-white earnings gap for this group was no different from that for men with 4 years of college. 15 Wayne J. Howe, “Education and demographics: how do they affect unemployment rates?” Monthly Labor Review, January 1988, pp. 3-9. 16 Ibid. 17 George Silvestri and John Lukasiewicz, “Projections of occupational employment, 1988-2000,” Monthly Labor Review, November 1989, pp. 42-65. 18 Howe, “Education and demographics.” 19 L. A. Lillard and H. W. Tan, Private Sector Training: Who Gets It and What are Its Effects? (Santa Monica, c a , Rand Corporation, 1986), p. 27. Month ly Labor Review November 1990 21 The European Community 1992 program and U.S. workers A conference on the implications for U.S. workers of the European Community’s impending integration brought together experts of all stripes who agreed that the move will have not only an economic, but also a political and social impact Robert C. Shelburne and Gregory K. Schoepfle he European Community’s plan to cre ate, by 1992, a single market permitting the free flow of goods, capital, and peo ple among member countries has caught the im agination and in terest o f many in the United States. Numerous studies and con ferences have investigated the potential im pact of this plan, called EC 1992, on U.S. companies. Little attention, however, has been given to how U.S. workers are likely to be af fected. To help fill this gap, and to raise explicitly some issues of concern to U.S. workers, the Bu reau of International Labor Affairs of the U.S. Department of Labor, in conjunction with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, cosponsored a roundtable conference in March 1990 on “ EC 1992: Implications for U.S. Work ers.” This conference brought together leading experts from government, academia, business, and labor to discuss the topic of European eco nomic, political, and social integration and its implications for U.S. workers. This report dis cusses the major themes that evolved during the conference.1 T Overview Robert C. Shelburne and Gregory K. Schoepfle are international economists in the Bureau of International Labor Affairs, U.S. Department of Labor. The conference opened with a review of the major areas of concern for U.S. workers result ing from the EC 1992 program. The importance and interdependence of the economic relation ship between the European Community and the United States was emphasized. Each is the other’s main trading partner and largest source 22FRASER M on thly L a b o r R e v ie w Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N o v e m b e r 199 0 of direct investments. U.S. exports to the Eu ropean Community account for nearly a quarter of total U.S. exports and support nearly two million jobs in the United States. Besides inter nal economic effects, EC 1992 will have inter national strategic implications: a united Europe will be able to assume more financial and polit ical responsibility in the operation of the global economic system. The creation of a single market by the Eu ropean Community is likely to alter the competi tive position of firms in member countries relative to U.S. firms in markets throughout the world, but especially in Europe. Both the struc ture and the volume of U.S. exports and imports will be altered, with some U.S. workers facing job dislocations as a result, while others enjoy increased job opportunities. Estimations of the direction and magnitude of these changes are obviously important to U.S. workers. Another area of concern is that EC 1992 will make Europe a more attractive place in which to invest, and this could displace some investment that would have been made in the United States. Since investment is a significant factor in deter mining longrun growth in productivity and living standards, a reduction in investment in U.S. plants and equipment could prove detrimental to U.S. workers. Still another area of interest in EC 1992 is the proposed “Social Dimension,” which, if enacted, could lead to a broader application of worker rights and labor standards across the continent. These changes could directly affect the competi- tiveness of European firms, but even more im portant is their potential for altering U.S. labor standards and benefits by the example they set. The discussion that took place at the conference attempted to ascertain the importance of each of the foregoing three themes. Aggregate economic effects In a paper prepared for the conference, Profes sors Richard Freeman and Lawrence Katz, of both Harvard University and the National Bu reau of Economic Research, assessed the overall impact of EC 1992 on U.S. trade and employ ment. They found that, compared to the rapid “internationalization” of the U.S. economy in the 1970’s and 1980’s and the massive trade deficits of the 1980’s, the impact of EC 1992 on U.S. trade flows and the U.S. labor market is likely to be only minor to moderate. Using estimates presented in the Cecchini Report (pre pared for the Commission of the European Communities in 1988) that European Commu nity imports initially would drop 8 to 10 percent as the result of increased intra-European trade, Freeman and Katz projected a similar reduction in U.S. exports to the European Community, which would result in an overall reduction in U.S. exports of 2.4 percent. Based on this pro jection, they concluded that such a relatively small change would not create any major dislo cations of workers in the United States. How ever, U.S. Department of Commerce estimates show that even a 3-percent decline in U.S. ex ports could displace up to 200,000 workers. In the long run, EC 1992 is projected to increase the rate of economic growth in Europe as firms benefit from increased efficiencies and econo mies of scale. There is a wide range of estimates of these longrun growth effects, from negligible increases to increases of up to 35 percent in the present value of the gross domestic product. In the longer run, increased growth in the Eu ropean Community is likely to result in in creased trade with the United States. Professor Katz discussed his research regard ing the effects of international trade on U.S. labor markets. This research supports the conventional wisdom that increased trade is more likely to ben efit more educated and highly skilled workers than lower skilled production workers in the man ufacturing sector (for example, through increased wages and employment). In addition, workers displaced by increased imports have a more diffi cult time gaining reemployment than other dis placed workers and experience larger earnings losses when they are reemployed. These conclu sions tend to support the need for additional help for such workers, perhaps through trade adjust https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment assistance programs. Recently, several U.S. legislators have proposed a small supplemental tariff to help finance trade adjustment assistance. It was pointed out that the European Community was spending about $6,000 a year per worker for training and retraining and that the United States needs a similar program to maintain a competi tive and mobile work force. It was also suggested, by a U.S. trade unionist, that some protection might be justified in the short run, given the large shortrun costs of retraining the work force. Professor Katz indicated that the U.S. labor market effects that would result from the pro jected long-term increase in U.S. trade with the European Community would be similar to those that occurred in the 1980’s. This conclusion was questioned by some who observed that increased trade with Europe is more likely to affect those U.S. industrial sectors with more highly skilled, high-technology workers than previous increases in trade that have come from newly industrializ ing economies. However, Professor Katz coun tered that the recent U.S. import adjustment problems were primarily due to imports from Japan and that the percentage of U.S. imports coming from the newly industrializing economies had actually decreased during the 1980’s. An ad ditional reason highly skilled labor may be more affected is that the European Community is pro moting the development of high-technology areas, supplemented with massive labor retrain ing efforts. With regard to investment, the recent increases in U.S. direct investments through both acquisi tions and plant construction in Europe were noted. However, a similar large flow of European direct investments in the United States was cited as evidence of a balanced relationship. A member of the European Community delegation stated that U.S. investment in Europe was motivated by sound economic reasons and was not “forced in vestment” resulting from attempts to avoid Eu ropean Community trade barriers. It was also suggested that EC 1992 would fur ther hasten the process of corporate globalization. With the European Community and the European Free Trade Association (and, perhaps, Eastern Europe) adopting similar product standards, com mon European standards could become the global standards. By replacing the United States as the setter of international product standards, Eu ropean companies would acquire a significant competitive advantage in third-country markets. The general consensus was that, as a result of EC 1992, the United States will likely face in creasingly more competition, but significant changes in aggregate U.S. employment and wages are unlikely. However, some unskilled The European Community and the United States are each other s main trading partner and largest source of direct investments. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 23 EC 1992 and U.S. Workers U.S. workers may experience a small decline in employment and wages. While projections of economy wide effects in the U.S. were small, var ious directives being proposed by the European Community could have significant impacts on specific U.S. industries and, thus, U.S. workers in those industries. Three U.S. industrial sectors— automobiles, electronics, and mass media and enter tainment—that might be affected by European economic integration were discussed in more detail. These sectors were chosen because they typified various potential trade problems, not because they were deemed the sectors most likely to be affected. Sector studies A main issue was whether cars assembled in the United States that use some Japanese components will be included in quotas on imports from Japan. Automobiles. The automobile industry is of particular interest, not only because of its sig nificant size (in terms of employment in both the United States and the European Commu nity), but because it is subject to a number of European Community regulations that are po tentially discriminatory in nature. These include country-specific policies, laws, and regulations relating to import quotas, technical product standards, domestic content requirements, rules of origin, national government subsidies, and taxes. Also at issue are concerns about price discrimination and dumping. Currently, many European countries have im port quotas on Japanese cars. For example, Italy limits imports from Japan to only 2,500 cars a year. The European Community is planning to replace these national quotas with a community wide restriction on imports from Japan that will stabilize imports until 1992 and then slowly liber alize them over a subsequent transitional period. The main issue of concern to U.S. labor is whether cars assembled in the United States that use some Japanese components are to be included in the European Community’s quota on imports from Japan. (That is, would they be treated as U.S. cars and not as Japanese cars?) The panel felt that, as long as imports from the United States were not dismptive to the European Community market, they would be exempt. However, the threat of restraints could limit planned U.S. pro duction, and thus, any proposed Communitywide quota system could effectively discriminate against U.S. exports, even if they were currently exempt from quotas. It was noted that the United States has its own mles of origin covering auto mobiles in the U.S.-Canada free trade agreement. However, a significant difference was noted be tween the European practice, which restricts, with quotas and high tariffs, those cars not satisfying the Community’s mles of origin, and the U.S. practice, which has no import quotas and subjects such cars only to a small tariff. 24 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 Electronics. Workers in the U.S. electronics in dustry are concerned about developments in the European Community because it is the largest market for U.S. electronics exports and numer ous discriminatory trade practices have been proposed and implemented by the Community. The electronics industry includes the manufac ture of computers, semiconductors, and related products and has important linkages to many other industrial sectors (especially consumer goods and informational and financial services). Because of its high-tech nature and extensive linkages, a competitive U.S. electronics industry is deemed by many to be necessary for a healthy domestic U.S. economy. In this regard, it is perceived much as the steel industry was in earlier decades. The electronics industry now accounts for about 1 out of every 9 U.S. manu facturing jobs, more than the chemical, automo tive, and steel industries combined. Discussion focused on the semiconductor market and several proposed European Commu nity policies that might adversely affect U.S. em ployment. Foremost among these are several policies that would have the net effect of requiring U.S. firms to establish plants within the European Community despite current excess capacity in the United States. Three examples were cited in which U.S. manufacturers had decided to build production facilities in Europe—an Intel plant in Ireland, an LSI logic facility in England, and a Texas Instruments DRAM factory in Italy. Japanese firms (for example, Fujitsu, Hitachi, and Mitsubishi) are also building semiconductor wafer fabrication plants in Europe. The specific European policies cited as causing this investment by non-European Community countries include high tariffs—especially a 14-percent tariff on semiconductors—and the conditioning of eligi bility for European Community government con tracts on high levels of European content. As proposed, wafer fabrication and the diffusion pro cess of semiconductor fabrication must be done in Europe for a semiconductor to be considered Eu ropean. Increased investment in production facilities in Europe, in turn, could result in excess capacity within the European Community and increase the pressure for additional protection. The desirability of harmonizing the interna tional mles concerning government procurement, local content, and mles of origin within the Gen eral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (g a t t ) was also stressed. Some felt that too much attention had been given to the agricultural sector, instead of the more important electronics sector, in the current GATT negotiations. Some fears were ex pressed that trade relations between the European Community and the United States in semiconduc- tors might become as contentious as they have become in agriculture. Some participants expressed a more optimistic view that the European Community would make changes that might lead to liberalization. An ex ample of this kind of change would be the re placement of national research and development efforts (now restricted to member states) with community-sponsored efforts that would also be open to foreign firms according to the principle of national reciprocity. On the other hand, represen tatives of the European Community expressed the concern that they did not want Japan to do to the European Community what Japan had done to the United States. Entertainment and mass media. The entertain ment and mass media industry includes radio and television programming, motion pictures, and sound recordings. The market for these items borders on the line between goods and serv ices; therefore, it is unclear how existing in ternational trade agreements apply. The serv ice industries are not covered at present by GATT rules, and a major objective of the United States in the current Uruguay round of multilateral trade negotiations is to bring them under the GATT. The panel discussed sev eral possible ways that EC 1992 could adversely affect U.S. employment in the entertainment and mass media industry. The European broadcast industry has grown strongly in the past and is projected to grow rap idly over the next decade. Currently, the United States provides a significant portion of program ming to European Community broadcasters. The European Community, however, has passed a di rective which states that broadcasters should re serve at least 50 percent of their programming for European works “where practicable.” If adopted strictly, this mling would be equivalent to setting a quota on non-European Community program ming. The objective of such a quota would be to protect the European film and television industry so as to ensure programming that would maintain member countries’ cultural heritage. One Eu ropean participant suggested that this might be a legitimate objective that would justify trade re straints. In response, a U.S. industry spokesperson stated that the primary objective of the directive was economic, and not cultural, protectionism. The overall conclusion of the panel discussion was that the broadcast directive will not have sig nificant effects on U.S. employment because (1) European production capacity will be strained to keep up with the increased demand from all the new European channels, and sizable imports (and even additional imports from the United States) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis will be needed to meet this demand; (2) Eu ropean films and TV programs have not, and are not likely to, become as popular in the United States as U.S. programs are in Europe because there is consumer resistance in the United States to dubbed or subtitled programs; and (3) the large English language market will continue to allow U.S. firms to produce more expensive and higher quality programming than the Europeans will be able to produce. Some concern was expressed about invest ments currently being made in Europe by such U.S. firms as Capital Cities/ABC Video, Para mount Pictures, and Fox Television. However, these investments were viewed more as firms par ticipating in a new market and not as a substitution for U.S. investment or U.S.-made programming. Concerns were also expressed that the 50-percent European-content requirement would only be a minimum and that, in the future, it could be set higher at the national level, as was done recently by France. Some stated that a restriction on ad vertising time, also included in the broadcast di rective, could limit the income derived from the sales of U.S. programming. An additional aspect of EC 1992 that may cre ate problems for U.S. competitiveness is the likely adoption by the European Community of high-definition television standards that differ from those in the United States. The European Community has already established a technical format that is not consistent with the formats cur rently under consideration by the United States. Indeed, a serious degradation in quality results when converting from one format to the other. Thus, U.S.-produced programs could lose some of their appeal in the European market because, after conversion, they would be of inferior techni cal quality. High-definition television will not be come widely used until the mid-1990’s, so no immediate impact from this disparity is predicted; however, the impact could be quite significant in the long run. Because adoption of the European standards is not the result of a deliberate attempt to distort trade in a discriminatory fashion, the appropriate U.S. policy response is unclear. The issue, however, does highlight concerns about in ternational standards and the need for the United States to at least consider, and even perhaps adapt to, the standards established by the European Community. The studies of the automobile, electronics, and entertainment and mass media industries revealed important industry-specific effects stemming from EC 1992 that were not obvious from the aggregate analysis presented earlier. This was of course the reason for choosing those particular industries for special analysis. Concerns were expressed regarding broadcasting that the 50-percent Europeancontent requirement would only be a minimum. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 25 EC 1992 and U.S. Workers The Social Dimension The question arises, Should labor unions be European Community wide and thus more patterned after the AFL-CIO in the United States? When EC 1992 was first outlined in a 1985 White Paper, there were no references to labor markets or labor relations. Since that time, con cern over these issues has increased, and supple mental legislation dealing with the social dimension of the program has been proposed. Professor Duncan Campbell, of the University of Pennsylvania, reviewed the social dimension of the European Community single market and its potential impact on U.S. workers. The Social Dimension of EC 1992, as defined in official documents, is broad in scope. Its cen tral core is the Action Program of the Social Charter, which includes proposals for as many as 70 European Community-wide laws in the social field. Among these laws are provisions on the free movement of labor, freedom of association and collective bargaining, health and safety standards and other working conditions, informa tion, consultation and participation, vocational training, and protections for women, minorities, children, the disabled, and the elderly. The Social Dimension also includes additional issues such as funds for disadvantaged regions and the proposed European Company Statute. The latter would allow companies the option of a single act of incorporation that would be valid throughout the European Community, subject to European law and independent of national company law, on the condition that they accept some system of worker participation, information, and consultation. Although national governments and labor unions continue to be accepted as dominant play ers in European labor relations, there is consider able controversy about the role of Brussels (the seat of the European Community government) in this process. The debate is part of a larger debate over the role of the European Commmunity Commission in formulating social policy. Is the role of the European Community’s Federal bureaucracy simply to monitor member nation-states in the ca pacity of an intergovernmental organization, or is the bureaucracy to play the role of a centralized government in a federation of states? At the heart of die debate is exactly which issues should be decided at the European Community supranational level and which should be resolved at the individual national government level. In regard to labor market intervention, the Eu ropean Community Parliament and the Council of Ministers have been assuming greater responsi bility, while the individual national governments have been attempting to deregulate their labor markets and make them more flexible. These de velopments reflect an attempt to deal with two factors that lie beyond the control of national gov ernments and require supranational regulation: Monthly Labor Review Digitized for 26 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 the potential for social dumping (for example, the lowering of national labor standards to the lowest common denominator or the flight of industry from countries with higher labor standards to those with lower labor standards) and the increased power of multinational corporations. Recent institutional changes in the European Community’s decisionmaking procedures are also promoting European Community-wide in volvement in the Social Dimension. The first change is the decision to permit a “qualified ma jority” of member states to pass laws and direc tives in certain areas, instead of requiring unanimous approval in the Council of Ministers. The second is the increased power of the Eu ropean Parliament in addressing the Social Di mension. These changes should mitigate any political obstacles that may exist to resolving these issues. A question was raised as to whether labor unions should be organized by geographic region or by industrial sector and whether the United States was an appropriate model to copy in this regard. Historically, unions in Europe have been regional; but with the impending implementation of EC 1992, the question arises, Should they be European Community wide and thus more pat terned after the a f l -CIO in the United States? Ob viously, European Community-wide unions would be a more effective restraint on social dumping than would regional unions. In the view of a European trade unionist, national labor feder ations may be appropriate, as long as exchange rates are flexible. However, national organization is likely to create problems of competitiveness when exchange rates are fixed, as is probable after 1992. This will be especially true if the Eu ropean Community decides to adopt a common currency. European sentiment was strong for a European Community-wide model formulated along the lines of the German social model or perhaps a model that is a hybrid of the German, Italian, and British models. The U.S. model was not viewed as desirable or relevant to the current European situation. However, some U.S. trade unionists expressed skepticism about the likeli hood of a European solution, and a European trade unionist expressed the need for legal guar antees and regulation through the Social Charter. The consensus that emerged was that, because the United States and the European Community were so different in their overall approaches to labor relations, the United States could not serve as a model for the European Community to fol low and that future developments in Europe might not be transferable to the United States. By contrast, the fact that U.S. health and safety regulations were being used as a model for the European Community was offered as an exam ple—the only one so far, besides statistical eco nomic data collection—of U.S. standards being applied in Europe. In a move that would please U.S. workers con cerned about possible European protectionism, the European labor leaders who were present at the conference stressed their commitment to free trade. These functionaries emphasized their de sire for retraining as a way to speed up workers’ adjustment to new jobs, instead of protectionism, which would slow down their adjustment. The different reactions of European and U.S. employ ers to increased competition were also noted: Eu ropean firms tend to increase their investments in capital machinery so as to improve productivity, while U.S. firms lean toward moving production offshore to lower cost locations. The conference also attempted to assess how the current liberalization and reform in Eastern Europe and the unification of Germany might af fect the 1992 program. It was felt that Eastern Europe, with its openness to foreign capital, edu cated labor force, and geographical proximity, would become a major competitor with Southern Europe. The potential integration of Eastern Eu rope with the European Community (either for mally or informally) would provide additional markets for European Community output, but would also create additional adjustment costs. It is even possible that the ongoing economic and political restructuring of Eastern Europe would increase resistance to implementing social legis lation from the less developed member states of the European Community, because these regions would be under more competitive pressure. How ever, the general assessment was that “widening” the European Community to include Eastern Eu rope would not decelerate the “deepening” of the economic and social dimensions within the Eu ropean Community. Emerging themes Several themes emerged from the conference on the implications for U.S. workers of EC 1992. Two related concepts that arose frequently were the globalization of the world economy and the role of national governments in any subsequent restructuring and adjustment. The emergence of the European Community must be viewed as more than just the economic integration of the member nations: it implies not only regional economic integration, but also political and so cial integration, at least to some extent. Globalization and integration of the world economy raise issues related to international https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis product standards, the mobility of capital, the role of multinational corporations, and how each of these will affect the competitiveness of nations and their work forces. Increasingly, multinational corporations have located production facilities (a network of suppliers, manufacturers, assemblers, and distributors) worldwide to take into account changes in world economic conditions. In a very real sense, multinational corporations are suprana tional: what constitutes a U.S. or a German com pany has become increasingly difficult to say. And along with this development, national governments are finding that it is becoming harder to monitor and regulate multinational enterprises. The interests of multinational corporations are not always in the na tional (for example, the U.S.) interest; and, in turn, the interests of U.S. businesses are not always the same as the interests of U.S. workers. While in dustrial enterprises are becoming transnational, labor markets remain national and regionalized, with labor mobility quite limited. National governments are adopting different strategies to cope with the restructuring and adjust ment being brought on by the process of global integration. In Europe, the unification of nation states—first into an economic and now into a political and social federation—is raising new questions such as the following: How should substantial differences in standards of living among member countries be addressed? How should work be reorganized within the social context so as to achieve higher productivity and wages? Should there be statutory guarantees of workers’ rights and labor standards, rather than a reliance on collective bargaining? Should there be federal (central) or local (nation-state) norms? What is the proper role of national governments in the domes tic and world economy—interventionist or preserv ing of states’ rights? Whose responsibility is it to help retrain workers, the private sector or the public sec tor? How are economic and social forces from out side the union to be dealt with? Answers to these and other questions are still being hotly debated within Europe and may be of considerable consequence to workers in both Europe and the United States. □ Footnote 1 The five papers commissioned for the roundtable con ference, including a summary of the discussion after each session, are available in Jorge F. Perez-Lopez, Gregory K. Schoepfle, and John Yochelson, eds., ec 1992: Implications fo r U.S. Workers, csis Significant Issues Series (Washington, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1990). Con tributing authors to this volume are Thomas L. Brewer, Duncan C. Campbell, Richard B. Freeman, Lawrence F. Katz, Michael C. Maibach, and Stephen E. Siwek. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 27 Contributions to savings and thrift plans New data show that average annual contributions made by employers and employees can vary quite widely , depending upon individual plan specifications and employees’ level of earnings Michael Bucci Michael Bucci is an economist in the Division of Occupational Pay and Employee Benefit Levels, Bureau of Labor Statistics. articipants in employer-sponsored sav tion plans, savings and thrift plans are designed to ings and thrift plans who earned $25,000 permit the accumulation of funds that may be during 1989 could make annual contribu used for retirement or other future purposes. Final tions ranging from less than $100 to more than accrual is dependent upon a number of variables, $6,500 depending upon th eir p la n ’s ad including total plan contributions, investment ministrative restrictions and the employee’s earnings, and length of participation in the plan. Savings and thrift plans require a contribution chosen rate of contribution. These disparities from both the employer and the employee.2 How in allowable contributions exist among all oc cupational groups, but are even more evident ever, because the employer is not obligated to provide a certain level of benefits, the risk from at higher compensation levels. These findings are from analysis of individual investments is borne solely by the employee. The savings and thrift plan provisions studied in the result of investment gains or losses is reflected in Bureau of Labor Statistics’ 1989 Employee Bene the final benefit available to the employee. Presently, the Employee Benefits Survey pro fits Survey. The survey furnishes data on em ployee benefit provisions in medium and large vides a variety of data regarding the provisions of establishments in private industries located within savings and thrift plans. Included are information the continental United States. The 1989 survey on maximum allowable employee contributions, sample represents 109,000 establishments and permissibility of pretax employee contributions, contains benefit data that pertain to 32 million employer matching percentages, available invest ment opportunities, and vesting schedules.3 The full-time employees. new data on savings and thrift plans presented in Two types of retirement plans were evident in this article attempt to determine the average al the survey—defined benefit pension plans, which lowable annual contributions to these plans and include specific formulas that are used to deter the actual lump-sum benefit that would be avail mine an employee’s benefit upon retirement, and able to an employee upon retirement. defined contribution plans which do not attempt to provide a fixed benefit. Instead, defined contri bution plans specify the level of the employer’s Overview of plans annual contribution to the employee’s individual account. Savings and thrift plans were the most Perhaps the most important reason establish common type of defined contribution plans in the ments form savings and thrift plans is to provide 1989 Employee Benefits Survey, with 30 percent an additional or alternative source of retirement of full-time workers participating in a savings income for workers. Many Americans are leav plan that was at least partially financed by their ing the labor force before attaining age 65. At employer.1 As with most other defined contribu the same time, average life expectancies con- P 28 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 Table 1. Average contributions to savings and thrift plans by annual earnings and allowable contribution levels, all full-time participants, medium and large establishments in private industry, 1989 Employees’ contribution Annual earnings Minimum Employers’ contribution Combined contribution Midpoint Maximum Minimum Midpoint Maximum Minimum Midpoint Maximum of range of range of range All participants $15,000 ...................... ¿0,000........................ 25,000 ........................ 35,000 ........................ 45,000 ........................ 55,000 ........................ $188 249 310 433 555 678 $1,126 1,498 1,869 2,610 3,336 4,004 $2,064 2,746 3,429 4,787 6,116 7,330 $124 165 205 286 365 445 $468 622 774 1,075 1,375 1,674 $494 657 816 1,134 1,450 1,765 $312 414 516 719 921 1,124 $1,594 2,120 2,644 3,686 4,711 5,678 $2,559 3,403 4,246 5,921 7,567 9,096 192 256 319 446 573 701 1,131 1,508 1,885 2,636 3,376 4,070 2,071 2,761 3,451 4,826 6,178 7,440 131 174 217 303 389 474 493 656 818 1,143 1,466 1,789 522 694 866 1,210 1,553 1,896 323 430 537 750 963 1,175 1,625 2,165 2,704 3,779 4,843 5,860 2,593 3,456 4,318 6,037 7,731 9,336 191 253 316 442 567 692 1,131 1,506 1,882 2,630 3,364 4,041 2,071 2,760 3,449 4,818 6,161 7,389 130 173 216 302 387 472 478 635 790 1,097 1,403 1,709 504 669 830 1,152 1,474 1,796 322 427 533 744 955 1,165 1,609 2,142 2,673 3,727 4,768 5,750 2,575 3,429 4,279 5,970 7,636 9,185 181 238 295 410 525 639 1,115 1,478 1,840 2,563 3,266 3,896 2,049 2,717 3,385 4,716 6,007 7,154 110 147 182 251 320 389 432 572 710 980 1,245 1,511 455 603 748 1,031 1,311 1,589 291 385 478 662 845 1,029 1,547 2,051 2,551 3,543 4,512 5,408 2,505 3,321 4,134 5,748 7,318 8,744 Professionaladministrative $15,000 ...................... 20,000 ........................ 25,000 ........................ 35,000 ........................ 45,000 ........................ 55,000 ........................ Technical-clerical $15,000 ...................... 20,000 ........................ 25,000 ........................ 35,000 ........................ 45,000 ........................ 55,000 ........................ Production-service $15,000 ...................... 20,000 ........................ 25,000 ........................ 35,000 ........................ 45,000 ........................ 55,000 ........................ tinue to increase.4 These two factors have in creased the need for sources of income that will sustain individuals after retirement. Savings and thrift plans permit the deferral of employee in come and the receipt of matching employer contributions, allowing employees to supple ment the more traditional sources of retirement income— defined benefit pensions and Social Security payments.5 Data from the Employee Benefits Survey show the increasing importance of this type of capital accumulation plan: in 1988, 25 percent of full-time employees in me dium and large private establishments partici pated in a savings and thrift plan, compared with 30 percent a year later. The provisions of individual savings and thrift plans can be quite disparate. However, all savings and thrift plans follow the same procedural guide lines: they require a basic employee contribution, with minimum and maximum amounts that each employee may contribute annually, frequently subject to employer restrictions. These restrictions https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis are often stated as percentages of annual earnings. For instance, an employee may be permitted to contribute an amount equal to between 2 percent and 15 percent of his or her annual earnings. Savings and thrift plans also have ceilings on the employer’s contribution to each employee’s account. Typically, the employers limit the amount of the employees’ contribution they will match and then determine the level at which the match will be made. Even if the employee con tributes at the maximum allowable level of, say, 15 percent of earnings, plan guidelines may re strict the employer from matching any amount over the first 6 percent of earnings. The percent age at which the employee contribution is matched also varies among plans. In some cases, this percentage is a flat amount, such as 50 cents on the dollar, in other cases, it may depend on company profits, employee years of service, or levels of employee contributions. Employee and employer contributions are then invested. Restrictions on investments vary Monthly Labor Review November 1990 29 Savings and Thrift Plans Contributions among plans. In most cases, the employee is of fered a variety of choices, including company stock, equity funds, fixed interest bearing securi ties, money market funds, real estate, and certifi cates of deposit. However, employers may require that all or some contributions be invested in a specific area, such as company stock. In other instances, the employees may be allowed to choose among a number of investment options with regard to their own contributions, but are given no option on employer contributions. While savings and thrift plans share the same basic structure, each separate plan is subject to its own constraints. For example, a plan’s adminis trators can place their own restrictions on allow able contributions. Also, it is difficult to predict the actual dollar value of an employee’s contribu Table 2. Percent of full-time participants in savings and thrift plans by employee contributions, earnings, and selected allowable contribution levels, medium and large establishments in private industry, 1989 Minimum allowable contributions contribution Less than $500 ........ $500-$999 .......... 1,000-1,499.......... 1,500-1,999.......... 2,000-2,499.......... 2,500-2,999.......... 3,000-3,499.......... $15,000 $20,000 100 (1) — — — — — 97 3 (1) — — — — $25,000 77 23 (1) — — — — $35,000 76 21 3 O — — $45,000 $55,000 6 71 21 2 0 0 () 76 21 2 0 Maximum allowable contributions $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $55,000 Less than $500 ........ $500-$999 .......... 1,000-1,499.......... 1,500-1,999.......... 2,000-2,499.......... 2,500-2,999.......... 3,000-3,499.......... 1 5 5 31 41 10 6 1 1 5 5 28 6 43 — 1 1 4 5 14 17 — 1 1 1 4 4 1 — 1 3,500-3,999.......... 4,000-4,499.......... 4,500-4,999.......... 5,000-5,499.......... 5,500-5,999.......... 6,000-6,499.......... 6,500-6,999.......... 1 — — — — — — 5 6 1 — — — — 19 26 5 5 1 1 — 14 14 5 17 26 4 2 4 1 14 4 4 2 18 — 4 1 — 13 1 14 7,000-7,499.......... 7,500-7,999.......... 8,000-8,499.......... 8,500-8,999.......... 9,000-9,499.......... 9,500-9,999.......... 10,000 or more ........ — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5 1 0 (1) — — 23 5 3 1 4 1 1 14 1 13 17 15 3 7 0 (1) 1 4 — — 1 1 () 1 1 4 ~~ 1 Less than 0.5 percent. 2 There were no minimum allowable contributions after the $3,000-$3,499 range. Note: Dash indicates no contributions exist at that range due to plan specifications and income revels. 30 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 tion without knowing that employee’s level of earnings. For reasons such as these, it is impossi ble to estimate the current accruals and total ben efits available at retirement from an employee’s savings and thrift plan without making certain assumptions. (Such assumptions and a full de scription of the model used to derive these data, are described in the appendix.) Average annual contributions Table 1 shows calculations of the average con tributions made by employees and employers to savings and thrift plans in 1989. The vast ma jority of plans within the survey required em ployees to contribute at least 1 percent of annual earnings to be eligible to participate in the plan. A small number of plans set mini mum requirements at some other fixed percent age of earnings or at a stated dollar level. The average minimum allowable employee contri bution levels ranged from $188 for workers earning $15,000 to $678 for those earning $55,000. These figures represent approximately 1.2 percent of annual earnings at both income levels. Table 1 also depicts average midpoint and maxi mum levels of employee contributions allowed dur ing the 1989 plan year. Employee midpoint contribution levels were determined for each plan by selecting the contribution rate that represented the average of the minimum and maximum contri bution rate permitted by the plan. For example, a plan that permits annual employee contributions of from 1 percent to 15 percent of earnings would have a midpoint of 8 percent of earnings. Maximum allowable employee contributions also are usually expressed as a percentage of pay. On average, these contribution levels vary quite widely depending upon the employee’s annual earnings. Table 1 shows that employees who earned $15,000 in 1989 could make an average maximum contribution of $2,064 or 13.76 per cent of earnings. Employees earning $55,000 in 1989 were allowed average maximum contribu tions of $7,330, or 13.33 percent.6 Employer contributions to savings and thrift plans are usually less than those of employees. However, as table 1 shows, the discrepancies be tween employer and employee levels increase as the employee’s level of contributions increases. This stems from the provisions built into individ ual plans. For instance, if a plan allows employ ees to contribute from 1 percent to 15 percent of earnings while providing for a dollar-for-dollar employer match on the first 6 percent of earmngs, employer and employee contributions would be equal if the employee chose to contribute from 1 to 6 percent of earnings. However, when employ- Table 3. Percent of full-time participants in savings and thrift plans by employer contributions, final year earnings, and selected allowable contribution levels, medium and large establishments in private industry, 1989 Range of contributions Less than $500 .. $500-$999 . . . . 1,000-1,499 . . . 1,500-1,999 . . . 2,000-2,499 . . . 2,500-2,999 . . . 3,000-3,499 . . . 3,500-3,999 . . . 4,000-4,499 . . 4,500-4,999 . . . 5,000 or more . . Minumum allowable contributions Maximum allowable contributions $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $55,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $55,000 99 1 (1) — — O 97 3 o 0 (1) — _ _ — — — — — — 93 6 1 (1) (1) 91 6 2 (1) 88 9 2 (1) (1) 0 _ — — (1) (1) _ — — _ 62 31 4 2 (1) (1) 64 33 3 (1) (1) 26 58 15 1 (1) 18 54 17 10 1 (1) 9 27 44 9 9 1 (1) (1) _ (1) — (1) rh V (1) — — 8 18 39 15 8 9 4 15 14 35 14 5 ■) 1 3 2 -j (1) (1) O 1 Less than 0.5 percent. Note: Dash indicates no contribution at that range due to plan specification and income levels. ees choose to contribute the maximum amount, their contributions would be 2Vz times greater than those of the employer, providing total contri butions did not exceed Internal Revenue Code limitations. If the employer’s matching rate was only 50 cents on the dollar, the ratio of employeeto-employer contributions would be even greater at all three levels of contributions. There is little variation of allowable contribu tions across the three different occupational groups studied—professional and administrative, technical and clerical, and production and ser vice.7 This is caused in part by the model’s use of equivalent earnings levels for all types of work ers.8 Because all employees in a single establish ment are typically covered by identical plan provisions, it follows that minimum, midpoint, and maximum contribution levels would be the same for employees at equal compensation levels. The slight variations that do exist result from dif ferences in individual plan provisions. In 1989, 3 percent of production-service participants took part in plans that had restrictions on minimum and maximum contributions stated as dollar val ues rather than as percentages of annual earnings. This compared with only 1 percent of profes sional-administrative and technical-clerical em ployees who participated in such plans.9 These dollar-value restrictions tend to correspond to percentages of salary that are lower than the aver age rates expressed in other plans. Variations among plans As mentioned previously, the individual con straints placed upon savings and thrift plans by https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis administrators can vary quite widely. For exam ple, table 2 depicts the final-year distribution of allowable employee contributions given the re straints of individual plans. Also, table 3 shows the distribution of employers’ matching contri butions. In general, minimum contribution levels tend to be similar among plans. However, the mini mum contributions of employers cover a wider range than do the minimum contributions made by employees. This stems from the matching rates that are built into individual plans. Under some savings and thrift plans, employers may match employee contributions at rates that exceed basic dollar-for-dollar ratios. For instance, a plan may specify that the first 1 percent of employee earnings will be matched at the rate of $2 for every $1, with additional employee contributions up to 6 percent of earnings being matched at a flat dollarfor-dollar rate. When this is the case, employees who contribute only the minimum allowable amount will actually have their annual contributions exceeded by those of their employer. Because the provisions of savings and thrift plans do not change across earnings levels, the deviations in distributions that are seen from one level of earnings to the next are actually just fac tors of the increases in earnings. This can be seen in table 1. The average minimum and maximum allowable contributions for employees at the $45,000 earnings level are three times greater than those of employees at the $15,000 earnings level. It follows, then, that variations in plan pro visions are best revealed through analysis of the distribution of allowable contributions at a single earnings level. Of the three variables that affect final distribution, interest rate differentials play the greatest role. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 31 Savings and Thrift Plans Contributions compensation.10 In addition, nearly half of all par ticipants were in plans where employer-matching percentages were 75 percent or less. These two factors combine to create a concentration of em ployer contributions at the lower end of the distri bution table. It is clear from the wide range of values in table 2 that permissible employee contributions at the $55,000 earnings level vary quite markedly among plans. Depending on administrative re strictions, allowable employee minimum contri butions can range from less than $500 (6 percent of participants) to between $3,000 and $3,500 (0.33 percent of participants). As allowable con tributions increase, the range of values also in creases. When employees utilized their maximum allowable contribution, 7 percent of participants were permitted to contribute in excess of $10,000 annually, provided that restrictions in the Internal Revenue Code were not surpassed. As noted, the range of minimum-matching employer contributions exceeds that of employee minimum contributions. However, this is not the case for maximum allowable contributions. There are a number of reasons for this. First, while em ployees may be allowed to contribute up to 25 percent of annual salary to their savings and thrift plan (54 percent of participants could allocate 15 percent or more of salary in 1989), 83 percent of all employees received employer-matching con tributions on just 6 percent or less of their annual Table 4. Lump sums at retirement Defined contribution plans require that employ ers specify annual contribution levels to an employee’s plan account, but such plans do not specify ultimate payouts. The final lump-sum benefit available to employees upon separation from the plan is dependent upon three variables: years of employee participation; annual contri butions, often related to employee earnings; and investment earnings. Each variable plays a sep arate and distinct role in the final determination of the benefit amount. Table 4 depicts the pro jected average lump-sum benefits available upon retirement to full-time participants who contribute the midpoint of allowable amounts to their savings and thrift plans each year and receive the corresponding employer contribu- Average lump-sum benefit available at retirement to full-time participants in savings and thrift plans by years of plan participation, selected final annual earnings levels, and selected rates of interest, medium and large establishments in private industry, 1989 Interest rates and annual earnings^ Years of participation 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 $10,663 14,223 17,783 24,633 30,641 36,668 $15,594 20,812 26,018 36,045 44,833 53,658 $20,338 27,150 33,948 47,045 58,508 70,027 $25,108 33,513 41,919 58,083 72,244 86,475 $30,385 40,564 50,727 70,314 87,464 104,700 $36,301 48,454 60,605 84,012 104,516 125,125 $42,620 56,917 71,220 98,711 122,836 147,055 13,159 17,552 21,946 30,399 37,814 45,252 21,146 28,224 35,283 48,883 60,800 72,770 30,395 40,581 50,744 70,330 87,463 104,684 41,598 55,526 69,465 96,254 119,725 143,317 56,531 75,480 94,396 130,872 162,803 194,898 76,672 102,342 128,022 177,503 220,853 264,428 102,519 136,955 171,443 237,627 295,790 354,127 14,635 19,520 24,407 33,808 42,055 50,327 24,744 33,027 41,287 57,203 71,147 85,155 37,554 50,142 62,703 86,909 108,078 129,360 54,543 72,807 91,092 126,220 157,022 187,944 79,337 105,937 132,488 183,702 228,530 273,590 115,922 154,731 193,566 268,405 333,975 399,886 167,260 223,479 279,811 387,821 482,815 578,042 6 percent $15,000 .................. 20,000 .................... 25,000 .................... 35,000 .................... 45,000 .................... 55,000 .................... 10 percent $15,000 .................. 20,000 .................... 25,000 .................... 35,000 .................... 45,000 .................... 55,000 .................... 12 percent $15,000 .................. 20,000 .................... 25,000 .................... 35,000 .................... 45,000 .................... 55.000 .................... 1 Earnings levels are for 1989. Earnings levels for previous years of service were produced by using yearly percentage changes in salary levels based upon Social Security Administration national wage data for each preceding year. 32 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 Note: Data assume that employee contributes to plan at the midpoint level and receives the corresponding employermatching contribution, Table 5. Average sources of funds in a savings and thrift plan account for an individual with final year earnings of $35,000, by selected interest rates, medium and large establishments in private industry, 1989 Years of participation Interest rate 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 6 percent Lum psum ............................ Employee percentage . . . . Employer percentage........ Accrued interest................ $24,663 63 11 26 $36,045 56 9 35 $47,045 50 8 42 $58,083 45 8 47 $70,314 40 7 53 $84,012 35 6 59 $98,711 31 5 64 27,353 57 10 33 41,904 48 8 44 57,306 41 7 52 74,283 35 6 59 94,953 29 5 66 120,361 25 4 71 150,274 21 3 76 39,699 39 7 54 72,791 28 5 67 120,754 19 3 78 193,247 13 2 85 314,335 9 1 90 517,891 6 1 93 845,053 4 1 95 8 percent Lum psum ............................ Employee percentage . . . . Employer percentage........ Accrued interest................ > 15 percent Lum psum ............................ Employee percentage . . . . Employer percentage........ Accrued Interest................ Note: Data assume that employee contributes to the plan at the midpoint level and receives the corresponding employermatching contribution. tion. The data show, for example that partici pants who made identical final-year contribu tions to the same employer-sponsored savings and thrift plan and who retired in 1989 with terminal earnings of $25,000 could receive final lump-sum payments ranging from $17,783 to $279,811 depending upon each employees’ length-of-plan participation and interest rate as sumptions shown in table 4.11 The length of plan participation and level of compensation both affect an employee’s retire ment benefit. Employees who contribute equal percentages of salary each year will find different amounts in their individual accounts upon retiring if their salary levels are different. The same is tme if differences exist in years of plan participation. However, the smaller the degree of difference be tween these two factors, the smaller the difference in actual accrual. Consider two employees who work for the same company. Employee A has 25 years of plan participation and retires with final earnings of $20,000. Employee B retires with final earnings of $25,000 and 20 years of plan participation. Both employees make the midpoint allowable contri bution and receive the same employer-matching contribution. If both employees receive a 6-percent return on their investments during the entire course of plan participation, Employee A will receive a lump-sum distribution of $33,513, while Employee B will receive a total of $33,948. In effect, Employee B’s additional earnings have been offset by Em ployee A’s additional length of plan participation. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Now consider the case of two other employees who participate in the same savings and thrift plan. Employee C retires with terminal earnings of $15,000 and just 10 years of plan participation. Employee D has participated in the company’s plan for 40 years and retires with a final salary of $55,000. Once again, both employees contributed at the midpoint allowable level, received equal employer-matching contributions, and received a 6-percent rate of return on investments. The lump sum available to Employee C is $10,663, while Employee D receives a distribution of $147,055. In this instance, it is plain to see the magnitude of difference that can result from such wide ranges in salary levels and plan participation length. Of the three variables that affect the amount of the employee’s final distribution, interest rate dif ferentials play the greatest role. The data in tables 4 and 5 give an indication of the actual effect of different interest rates on equivalent contribu tions. Table 5 shows that a 2-percentage point increase in the rate of interest can result in large additions to an employee’s individual account. Larger differentials lead to even greater accrual. For example, an employee with 30 years of plan participation who retires with an annual salary of $35,000 would receive a final benefit of $70,314 if the return on all investments were 6 percent. The same employee would receive $94,953 if the rate of return had been 8 percent. This final ac crual continues to increase at an even greater rate with corresponding increases in the interest rate. The length of plan participation and level of compensation affect an employee7s retirement benefit. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 33 Savings and Thrift Plans Contributions If this same employee had benefited from a 15percent rate of return on investments, his or her total distribution upon retirement would have grown to $314,335. Another way to measure the tremendous effect of the interest rate variable upon the final distribu tion is to look at the origin of the funds that make up the employee’s final lump-sum benefit. In doing this, it is necessary to determine the percentage of funds that are the direct result of employee contribu tions, employer-matching contributions, and ac crued interest. Table 5 and Chart 1 do just this. Both Ch a r t 1. S o u r c e s of r e t i r e m e n t f u n d s u n d e r s a v i n g s and t h r i f t pl ans 10 y e a r s ’ p a r t i c i p a t i o n depict the origin of funds in the account of an employee who retires with terminal earnings of $35,000. Results similar to those displayed here are found at each level of earnings. At the lower interest rate and participation levels, employee and employer contributions make up the greatest percentage of the total ben efit. Even at the lowest level of participation in the model, however, accrued interest already ac counts for 26 percent of the total distribution received by the employee. As length of plan participation and interest rates increase, the role of accrued interest in the final distribution be comes even more noticeable. In fact, at the extreme levels of plan participation and interest rates, ac crued interest comprises virtually the entire account balance (95 percent of the funds available after 40 years of participation at an interest rate of 15 percent). This occurs despite the fact that em ployee and employer contributions remain as a constant percentage of compensation throughout all years of plan participation. □ Footnotes 1 According to data from the Employee Benefits Survey, 48 percent of full-time employees in medium and large establishments in private industry participated in an em ployer-sponsored defined contribution plan in 1989. After savings and thrift plans, the next most common type of defined contribution plan found in the 1989 survey was profit-sharing (16 percent of employees), followed by money purchase pension (5 percent) and stock ownership (3 per cent). Complete data on defined contribution plan incidence and provisions can be found in Employee Benefits in Medium and Large Firms, 1989, Bulletin 2363 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1990). 20 y e a r s ’ p a r t i c i p a t i o n 2 Defined contribution plans that do not provide for employer contributions are excluded from the scope of the Employee Benefits Survey. 3 Vesting refers to the years of plan participation re quired before an employee’s benefits become nonforfeitable. 30 y e a r s ’ p a r t i c i p a t i o n 4 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services data show that the average life expectancy at birth for Americans of both sexes has increased from 70.9 years in 1970 to 75.0 years in 1987. See Health, United States, 1989 (Hyattsville, m d , National Center for Health Statistics, Public Health Service, 1990), p. 106. H Accrued interest I Employer contributions [] E m p l oy e e c o n t r i b u t i o n s NOTE: A s s u m i n g 8 p e r c e n t a n n u a l i n t e r e s t rate and $ 3 5 , 0 0 0 f i n a l y e a r a n n u a l e a r n i n g s Monthly Labor Review Digitized for34 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 5 Savings and thrift plans may also contain withdrawal and loan provisions that allow participants to use these accumulated funds for other purposes prior to retirement. Seventy-one percent of participants in 1989 were permitted to withdraw all or a portion of employer contributions pro vided that plan provisions for such a withdrawal were met. Thirty-six percent of employees in medium and large estab lishments were allowed to borrow from their accounts. 6 The reason for the variance in allowable maximum percentages contributed is the Internal Revenue Code’s re strictions on tax-deferred contributions. If a plan allows only tax-deferred dollars to be designated to the employee’s ac count and that employee is highly paid, he or she may be restricted by the Internal Revenue Code from contributing the full maximum allowable percentage provided for by the plan. For this reason, actual maximum contributions that are made to the plan may be less than the plan’s allowable maximum contributory rate. (See appendix.) skilled trades; craft and production occupations; manual labor; custodial occupations; and operatives. 8 Some of the earnings levels presented may not be 7 The Employee Benefits Survey collects data for threetypical for the three different occupational groups. When broad occupational groups. Professional-administrative em using these data, one should concentrate on the earnings ployees include those workers who require a knowledge of levels that are most appropriate for each occupational group. the theories, concepts, principles, and practices of a broad 9 Employee Benefits in Medium and Large Firms, 1989. field of science, learning, administration, or management acquired through a college-level education or equivalent 10 Ibid. experience. Technical-clerical employees include office and 11 The earnings levels used throughout this model for sales clerical, technical support, protective services, and previous years of service were derived from yearly percent other such workers who do not require an indepth knowledge age changes in Social Security data on national average wage of a professional or administrative field of work. Productionlevels. service occupations include skilled, semiskilled, and un APPENDIX: The savings and thrift model To create the savings and thrift model from which this study draws its data, a formula was developed to take into account a number of different variables. First, final salary levels and years of plan participation were chosen.1Earn ings levels for previous years of service were produced by using yearly percentage changes in salary levels based upon the Social Security Administration’s na tional wage data for each preceding year. The next step was to determine allowable levels of employee contributions. By applying the six different terminal earnings levels to the specific provisions of each individual plan, it was possible to determine the employee’s minimum and maximum allowable contribu tion for each year of plan participation. The employee’s midpoint contribution was then reached by simply av eraging these minimum and maximum dollar values. Allowable levels of employer contributions were derived in much the same fashion. For this variable, specific plan restrictions on maximum employer matching levels were coordinated with the allowable levels of employee contributions. In plans with a fixed matching rate, this fixed rate was applied to the mini mum, midpoint, and maximum employee contribu tion. When matching rates varied according to profits, years of service, or levels of employee contributions, different variations were used: • If matching rates varied from a minimum percent age to a maximum percentage according to profit levels (for example, from 25 cents on the dollar to an even dollar-for-dollar match depending on divi dends paid to shareholders), the model applied the average of these two rates in each plan year. • When the matching percentage varied depending upon years of service (for instance, employees with less than 5 years of service received 50 cents on the dollar while those with greater than 5 years of ser vice received even dollar-for-dollar matches), the maximum matching rate was used for each year of plan participation. This was done because most plans employ the maximum matching percentage at a relatively low service level. • Finally, if the variation was dependent upon levels of employee contributions (for example, employee contributions up to 2 percent of earnings receive a dollar-for-dollar match while contributions over 2 percent of earnings are matched at only 50 cents on https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the dollar), the maximum matching rate was ap plied to the minimum employee contribution. All additional employee contributions were considered to be matched at the minimum employer rate. Internal Revenue Code restrictions also apply to savings and thrift plans. Under the law, the maximum total annual allotment that may be made to an employee’s account is the lesser of $30,000 or 25 percent of compensation. In addition, there is a limit on the amount of tax-deferred income that may be placed in a savings and thrift plan each year. In 1989, that limit was $7,626. Each of these limits was built into the model.2 In the occurrences in which plans provided for a combination of before- and after-tax contributions, it was assumed that the employee maxi mized his or her level of tax-deferred savings. If per missible, any additional employee contributions were assumed to be made in after-tax dollars. When total contributions would have exceeded the $30,000, or 25 percent restriction, it was assumed that employees would use the maximum employer contribution and would then make up the difference up to the Internal Revenue Code limit. The interest rate variables have been determined by taking into account the range of investments that are covered in the scope of the survey. These types of investments include equity funds, money market funds, fixed-interest bearing securities, government securities, guaranteed investment contracts, and a small assortment of other options. The range of interest rates used in this study is based on historical data relating to these different in vestment schemes. For example, since 1950, the com posite value of stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange has increased at an annual rate of 7.28 per cent. The average annual increase in the 1950’s was 14 percent; during the period 1980-88, the exchange in creased at the yearly rate of 11.53 percent. In turn, Moody’s Aaa corporate bond rates in the period 192988 ranged from a low of 2.53 percent in 1946 to a high of 14.17 percent in 1981. U.S. Treasury securities, both short- and long-term, have experienced similar swings in interest rate levels. Because the vast major ity of the savings and thrift plans in question invest their funds in one or more of these securities, the inter est rate variables being used appear to be reasonable.3 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 35 Savings and Thrift Plans Contributions Footnotes to the Appendix 1 In these two areas, this study uses the standard levels used in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ defined benefit pen sion and life insurance models. For a more detailed descrip tion of these two models, see Donald G. Schmitt, “Today’s pension plans: how much do they pay?” Monthly Labor Review, December 1985, pp. 19-25, and Adam Z. Bellet, “Employer-sponsored life insurance: a new look,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1989, pp. 25-28. 2 The Internal Revenue Code limit on tax-deferred con tributions has been adjusted several times. However, for the purposes of this study, a limit of $7,000 was used for all years prior to 1988. In 1988, the limit was raised to $7,313. In 1989, the limit was adjusted again to $7,626. 3 While the Employee Benefits Survey does not collect data on the actual investment choices of plan participants, it is interesting to note the results of a 1988 survey conducted by Charles D. Spencer and Associates. The survey, which included more than 400 employers who sponsor profit-shar ing plans, savings and thrift plans, 401 (k) plans, and Em ployee Stock O w nership Plans, indicated that most employees shy away from investments that are perceived as carrying a high risk. When given a choice of investments, an overwhelming majority of employees chose guaranteed investment contracts. This was true for employees of all incomes, including highest paid employees. A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supplement, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and analytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Wash ington, DC 20212 36 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Technical notes New benchmarks and SIC codes for Establishment Survey Patricia M. Getz With the release of data for August 1990, the Bureau of Labor Statistics in troduced its annual revision of national estimates of employment, hours, and earnings from the monthly sample sur vey of nonfarm establishments. Each year, the sample estimates are adjusted to new benchmarks, which are comprehen sive universe counts of employment based primarily on unemployment insur ance reports filed by all employers with State employment security agencies. Also effective with the August 1990 release, all industry series have been converted to 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) codes.1 This new structure replaces the 1972 SIC coding structure previously in effect for the in dustry estimates. All data from April 1988 forward have been revised to incorporate both the March 1989 benchmarks and the effects of the SIC revision. Historical (pre-1988) data for industry series af fected by Sic redefinitions have been reconstructed where possible. Histori cal data for industry series unaffected by the SIC revision remain as previously published. As is the usual practice with the in troduction of new benchmarks, the Bu reau has also revised all seasonally adjusted series for the previous 5-year period and has introduced new seasonal adjustment factors to be used to adjust data in the months ahead. In addition, all published constantdollar and indexed series have been rePatricia M. Getz is a supervisory economist in the Division of Monthly Industry Employment Statis tics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis computed on a 1982 base, replacing the previously published 1977-based data. Conversion to 1987 SIC coding The SIC coding system is periodically updated to reflect structural and techno logical changes in the economy. The 1987 SIC revision marks the first full Sic restructuring since 1972; minor updates were made to the SIC system in 1977. There were almost no changes in scope at the major industry division lev els, with only very minor shifts between wholesale and retail trade and between the finance, insurance, and real estate division and the services division. How ever, there were several significant re definitions at the two-digit level. In manufacturing, a substantial realign ment took place between electronic and other electrical equipment (SIC 36) and instruments and related products (Sic 38). In services, a new two-digit code (SIC 87) was established for “engineer ing and management services.” Most of the activities under this new heading had previously been classified as busi ness services (SIC 73) or miscellaneous services (SIC 89). At the three- and four digit SIC levels, changes in scope were both more prevalent and more substantial. All restructured industries were reestimated using the 1987 SIC-coded sample data from January 1988 for ward. Some aggregate-level indus tries, without scope changes, have also been affected by the retabulations because they are formed from the summation of restratified, reestimated component industries. For industries with relatively minor scope changes, historical data were re constructed back to the inception of the series wherever possible. The recon struction of historical series was done by adjusting the existing 1972-based employment series for the percentage of employment lost or the percentage of employment gained from other indus tries, using ratios derived from firstquarter 1988 universe employment data.2 Hours and earnings data for re structured series were derived by com puting a weighted average of the component series they were derived from. The weights are the percentages of employment each old series contrib uted to the new series. Effect of revisions The net impact of the SIC restructuring and the adjustment to March 1989 benchmark levels on total nonfarm em ployment was an upward revision of only 9,000 from the previously pub lished level. Table 1 presents, for March 1989, previously published estimates based on the 1972 SIC codes, retabu lated estimates based on the 1987 SIC codes, and the newly published bench mark levels. It displays separately the revision effects due to SIC restructuring and those due to benchmarking and shows the net effect, which is the sum of the two. For total nonfarm employment, the SIC revision effect, due entirely to restratification and not to any scope change, was 56,000, or less than 0.05 percent. At the detailed industry level, the largest effects of the SIC revision were in business services, instruments and related products, and electronic and other electrical equipment. The benchmark effect shown in the table represents a comparison of March 1989 estimates retabulated under the 1987 SIC structure with the March 1989 benchmark levels. For total nonfarm em ploym ent, the benchm ark level stands at 107,026,000. This represents a benchmark adjustment of - 47,000, or less than 0.05 percent. There were, how ever, larger but essentially offsetting er rors between the goods-producing and service-producing sectors. Benchmark revisions totaling -286,000 were spread across all the major industry' divisions in Monthly Labor Review November 1990 37 Technical Notes Table 1. Differences between nonfarm employment benchmarks and estimates, by industry, March 1989 [In thousands] Industry 1972 SICbased published estimate 1987 SIC based estimate Benchmark SIC revision effect (2 -1 ) Benchmark effect (3 -2 ) Difference between benchmark and estimate (3 -1 ) (V (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) T ota l.............................................................. 107,017 107,073 107,026 56 -A l 9 Total private...................................................... 89,052 89,108 89,015 56 -93 -37 Goods-producing ........................................................ 25,095 25,101 24,815 6 -286 -280 Mining1 .................................................................... Oil and gas extraction.......................................... 702 391 703 391 678 374 1 0 -25 -17 -24 -17 Construction1 .......................................................... General building contractors................................ 4,837 1,287 4,813 1,287 4,741 1,239 -24 0 -72 -48 -96 —48 Manufacturing.......................................................... Durable goods2 .................................................... Lumber and wood products2 ............................ Furniture and fixtures........................................ Stone, clay, and glass products2 ...................... Primary metal industries .................................. Blast furnaces and basic steel products . . . . 19,556 11,550 755 535 592 790 276 19,585 11,538 767 535 560 789 276 19,396 11,448 746 530 559 781 281 29 -12 12 0 -32 -1 0 -189 -90 -21 -5 -1 -8 5 -160 -102 -9 -5 -33 -9 5 Fabricated metal products2 .............................. Industrial machinery and equipment2 .............. Electronic and other electrical equipment2 . . . . Transportation equipment2 .............................. Motor vehicles and equipment...................... Instruments and related products2 .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................... 1,451 2,147 2,052 2,067 869 774 388 1,454 2,166 1,760 2,045 869 1,075 389 1,454 2,136 1,762 2,071 871 1,027 383 3 19 -292 -22 0 301 1 0 -30 2 26 2 -48 -6 3 -11 -290 4 2 253 -5 Nondurable goods2 .............................................. Food and kindred products .............................. Tobacco products ............................................ Textile mill products.......................................... Apparel and other textile products.................... 8,006 1,599 55 727 1,102 8,047 1,598 55 727 1,106 7,948 1,583 51 725 1,086 41 -1 0 0 4 -99 15 -4 -2 -20 -58 -16 -4 -2 -16 Paper and allied products2 .............................. Printing and publishing .................................... Chemicals and allied products.......................... Petroleum and coal products............................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products2 .. Leather and leather products............................ 693 1,600 1,084 158 846 142 689 1,601 1,085 158 886 142 693 1,560 1,068 153 893 138 -4 1 1 0 40 0 4 -41 -17 -5 7 -4 0 -40 -16 -5 47 -4 Service-producing........................................................ 81,922 81,972 82,211 50 239 289 Transportation and public utilities2 .......................... Transportation2 .................................................... Communication and public utilities2 ...................... 5,607 3,404 2,203 5,646 3,443 2,203 5,549 3,341 2,208 39 39 0 -97 -102 5 -58 -63 5 Wholesale trade2 ...................................................... Durable goods2 .................................................... Nondurable goods................................................ 6,154 3,658 2,496 6,145 3,654 2,491 6,195 3,676 2,519 -9 -4 -5 50 22 28 41 18 23 Retail trade12 .......................................................... General merchandise stores................................ Food sto re s.......................................................... Auto dealers and service stations........................ Eating and drinking places .................................. 19,059 2,398 3,184 2,129 6,164 19,023 2,386 3,184 2,126 6,164 19,115 2,452 3,121 2,084 6,264 -36 -12 0 -3 0 92 66 -63 -42 100 56 54 -63 -45 100 Finance, insurance, and real estate2 ...................... Finance2 .............................................................. Insurance2 ............................................................ Real estate2 .......................................................... 6,723 3,306 2,115 1,302 6,714 3,304 2,115 1,295 6,639 3,288 2,089 1,262 -9 -2 0 -7 -75 -16 -26 -33 -84 -18 -26 ^ to Services12 .............................................................. Business services2 .............................................. Health services .................................................... 26,414 5,678 7,480 26,479 4,750 7,476 26,702 4,828 7,401 65 -928 -4 223 78 -75 288 -850 -79 Government ............................................................ Federal ................................................................ State .................................................................... Local .................................................................... 17,965 2,976 4,213 10,776 17,965 2,976 4,213 10,776 18,011 2,976 4,257 10,778 0 0 0 0 46 0 44 2 46 0 44 2 1 Includes other industries not shown separately. directly affected by the sic revision, but some estimates changed as a result of 2 Industry scope changed due to SIC revision. Other industries were not restratification within the industry. 38 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 2. Differences in seasonally adjusted levels and over-the-month changes, total nonfarm employment, January 1989-May 1990 [In thousands] Over-the-month changes Levels Month Previously published Previously published Revised 1989: January.............. February............ March ................ A p ril.................... M a y .................... June .................. 107,442 107,711 107,888 108,101 108,310 108,607 107,430 107,648 107,811 107,988 108,135 108,364 -12 -63 -77 -113 -175 -243 345 269 177 213 209 297 359 218 163 177 147 229 14 -51 -14 -36 -62 -68 J u ly .................... August................ September ........ O ctober.............. November.......... December.......... 108,767 108,887 109,096 109,171 109,452 109,570 108,490 108,628 108,868 108,980 109,245 109,383 -277 -259 -228 -191 -207 -187 160 120 209 75 281 118 126 138 240 112 265 138 -34 18 31 37 -16 20 1990: January.............. February............ March ................ A p ril.................... M a y .................... 109,931 110,304 110,427 110,401 110,770 109,654 109,958 110,122 110,177 110,617 -277 -346 -305 -224 -153 361 373 123 -26 369 271 304 164 55 440 -90 -69 41 81 71 the goods-producing sector, continuing the pattern of overestimation of these industries over the last several years. Offsets to this overestimation occurred in the service-producing industries, which were revised upward by a total of 239,000. Revised estimates were computed each month from March 1989 forward (the postbenchmark period), based on the new benchmark levels. On a season ally adjusted basis, the monthly revision increased from -77,000 in March 1989 to -153,000 by May 1990, with larger dif ferences in some of the intervening months. These revisions reflect restratifica tion effects from the SIC revision and a recomputation of both the bias adjustment and the seasonal adjustment factors. Table 2 shows the extent of the revisions for 1989 and 1990, in both level and change, through a comparison of sea sonally adjusted monthly data as pre viously published and as revised. Sources of differences Differences between population bench marks and sample-based estimates result from both sampling and nonsampling error. Sampling error occurs anytime a sample is used to make inferences about a population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Difference Revised Difference ment estimate at the basic cell level. These revisions are then summarized and incorporated into the broader industry groupings. Production and nonsupervisory worker employment estimates are used as weights in the estimation of hours and earnings at aggregate industry levels. Benchmark revisions to employment may cause shifts in these weights, with a minor effect on summary-level esti mates of hours and earnings. Seasonal adjustment procedure Both the benchmark levels and the sample-based estimates are subject to several sources of nonsampling error, chief among which are (1) the inability to measure employment in new firms from the time of their inception, due to the time lag between the creation of new firms and their inclusion in the sample; (2) the procedures for handling changes in industrial classification; (3) the qual ity of the various source data used to derive the benchmark; (4) the inability to cover completely all firms in the tar get population; and (5) other sources of errors in coverage, response, process ing, and collection. Effect of revisions on other series As with the all-employee data, esti mates were recomputed from sample data for women workers and production workers and for hours and earnings in industries affected by the SIC revision, from January 1988 forward. At the total private level, hours and earnings were unchanged, and there were only minor changes in major division-level data. Benchmarks are not available for the series on women, production and nonsupervisory workers, hours, and earn ings. Women and production worker series are revised by applying the sam ple-derived ratio to the revised employ Each year, employment, hours, and earnings data from the new benchmark levels are incorporated into the calcula tion of new seasonal adjustment factors. The Bureau uses the x - i i a r im a sea sonal adjustment method, developed by Statistics Canada,3 to seasonally adjust establishm ent-based em ploym ent, hours, and earnings data. The a r im a option is used to project the unadjusted data forward for 1 year prior to season ally adjusting the series. The use of a r im a projections lessens the need for revisions of historical data in future sea sonal adjustments. All published seasonally adjusted series have been revised for the most recent 5 years (1985-90) for the incor poration of new seasonal factors, as usual. In addition, series affected by the SIC revision which were reconstructed for years prior to 1985 have again been seasonally adjusted, based on the 1987 Sic-based estimates. Publication of revised data Revised estimates for all series appear in the August 1990 issue of the Bureau’s periodical, Employment and Earnings, along with a more complete explanation of benchmarking, SIC revision, bias fac tors, and the new seasonal adjustment factors. Data for detailed industry categories of employment, hours, and earnings will be presented in the Bureau’s historical bulletin, Employm ent, Hours, and Earnings, United States, 1909-90. This publication will contain all of the histor ical data that were revised as a result of the 1987 SIC revision, the March 1989 benchmarks, updated seasonal adjust ment factors, and the rebasing of constant-dollar and indexed series, as well Monthly Labor Review November 1990 39 Technical Notes as prior data unaffected by these revi sions. Estimates reflecting the new benchmarks appear in the “Current Labor Statistics” section of the Monthly Labor Review, beginning with Septem ber data in the November issue. □ Footnotes Table 1. 1990 structural change factors, by census region [Percentage of rent] Structural element Central air conditioning ................ Number of bedrooms.................... Number of bathroom s.................. Number of other roo m s................ 1 As defined in the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification Manual, issued by the Executive Office of the President, Office of Management and Budget. Northeast North Central South West 6.29 16.51 15.55 8.69 8.56 16.34 9.54 1.90 18.00 20.55 9.25 2.05 5.86 14.97 8.52 3.05 the change in quality is not known, there is no direct imputed price used for the given housing unit. Instead, the propor All ratios are based on first-quarter 1988 tional weight for the unit is spread out universe employment data. For additional infor mation, see Employment Data under the New among the other housing units in the Standard Industrial Classification, First Quarter same cell—or groups of similar cells if 1988, Report 772, October 1989. the impact on one cell would be too 3 A detailed description of the procedure ap large— in a process known as non pears in The X - ll ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment interview adjustment. Method, by Estella Bee Dagum, Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, January 1983. This noninterview technique of indi rect quality adjustment performs well as long as the price movements for the items that change in quality are similar to the price movement of all other items Quality adjustments in the cell. If they are different—for for structural changes example, if the items that change in in the CPI housing sample quality always are experiencing signifi cant price changes while the rest of the sample is not—then we would be better Steven W. Henderson off trying to estimate the value of the and Stephen A. Berenson change in quality directly.1 Prior to February 1989, the CPI used The Consumer Price Index (CPI) esti the noninterview indirect adjustment mates the average change in prices paid technique for observations in the rent by the American public for a fixed set sample that had a change in any of four of consumer goods and services. When structural characteristics: central air a characteristic of a good or service used conditioning, the number of bedrooms, in the index changes, the change may the number of bathrooms, and the num include a measurable difference in the ber of other rooms.2 The rent sample quality of the item or service being from the CPI housing survey is the priced from one time period to the next. source of information on price changes If so, an adjustment reflecting this dif for the Residential Rent Index and the ference will be made. Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index. Quite Quality adjustments can be direct or frequently, changes in rent accompany implicit. If the value of the change in structural changes, and the indirect ad quality can be measured, the measured justment process underestimates the amount is removed from the observed former, thus overestimating changes in price difference. If the value cannot be quality. Accordingly, starting with the measured, an implicit adjustment is data used in the February 1989 indexes, made for the item or service based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics has made the change of all other items in the same direct quality adjustments in the CPI for estimating cell. As an example, for the rental units with verified changes in Rent Index, when a price comparison is structural quality. canceled because the dollar amount of This note describes the process of adjusting for quality changes in struc Steven W. Henderson is an economist in the Of tural characteristics. CPI analysts now fice of Prices and Living Conditions, Bureau of make direct dollar adjustments for Labor Statistics. Stephen A. Berenson is an econ omist formerly in the same office. changes in the four structural character Monthly Labor Review Digitized for40 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 istics mentioned above, in addition to adjusting for changes in parking accom modations, amount of furniture, number and types of appliances, and utility bill ing, a practice that already existed in previous housing surveys. Source of adjustments The adjustment values for the changes in structural characteristics are based on hedonic regressions, which show the re lationship between the logarithm of rent and various structural and locational variables that affect rent. These regres sions provide a set of factors (regression coefficients) for the different housing characteristics. As a result of the semilogarithmic form of the regressions, the factors give estimates of the value of the structural characteristics that are per centages of the rent. The BLS housing team then estimates the dollar adjust ment for each change by multiplying the appropriate factor by the rent. Table 1 shows the 1990 structural change fac tors, broken down by census region, for the four characteristics of central air conditioning, number of bedrooms, number of bathrooms, and number of other rooms mentioned above. Hedonic regressions are run annu ally for the four U.S. census regions, shown in table 1. The primary purpose of the regressions is to estimate the effects of age bias on the housing indexes.3Using them for quality adjustments is a spinoff benefit. Using the adjustments Rental units in the CPI housing sample are contacted twice a year, at which times BLS agents obtain the rents for the current and previous month. The CPI estimates the average change in rent over a 1-month period and over a 6month period. The movement of the CPI Rent Index is a composite of these two independently calculated estimates. The new adjustments are made to cor rect for structural changes both when comparing the current rent to the previ ous month’s rent and when comparing the current rent to the rent from 6 months ago. b l s makes the adjustments when (1) there has been a change in the unit’s description and (2) the followup verifi cation question “Has this changed in the past year?” is answered “Yes.” The ver ification question is used to screen out random differences in the reported de scription due to miscounts and misinter pretations of the questions. A direct price comparison is made without any quality adjustment if the description is different and the difference is not a ver ified change. The movement of the Residential Rent Index is based on changes in con tract rent—that is, the amount that ten ants pay or owners receive for rental housing units. Contract rent includes all services, facilities, and utilities paid for by the rent payment. Contract rent is adjusted to create what is called normal ized rent, which is what the CPI housing estimation program actually uses to calculate the Rent Index. Normalized rent is the rent paid by the tenant, plus any other payments or payments-inkind paid to the landlord in the form of subsidies or services, all put on a monthly basis if paid otherwise. By con trast, the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index, which measures the change in the cost of shelter for people who live in their own homes, uses the concept of pure rent, which is derived by deducting estimates of the charges for utilities and furnishings (paid separately by homeowners) from the normalized rent.4 Calculating the adjustments The quality adjustment used in the Res idential Rent Index is a percentage of the current rent, subtracted or added to the normalized rent for the current time period, depending on whether the unit’s quality has improved or declined. The adjusted rent is then compared with the previous rent. The adjustment process for the rental units used in matching for the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index is different because that index uses pure rents, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis whose utility costs have been removed, as opposed to contract rents, in which utility costs are included if included in the lease. The quality adjustment factors for structural change are subtracted or added to each previous pure rental amount used in the rental equivalence calculation.5 Although applied to the pure rent, the adjustment is calculated on the basis of the normalized rent. For residential rent, the dollar adjust ment for the 6-month comparison pe riod is given by (1) ADJ = [(Normalized rentT) / (1+ Calculated factor)] - Normalized rentT. For Owners’ Equivalent Rent, the dollar adjustment for the 6-month com parison is (2) ADJ = [(Normalized rent™) x ( 1 + Calculated factor)] Normalized rentT-6. when the length of occupancy is 1 month; when the length of occupancy is 2 to fewer than 6 full months, (3b) ADJ = 0.00, and when the length of occupancy is 6 full months or more, (3c) ADJ = [(Normalized rentT) / (1 + (1/6 x Calculated factor))] Normalized RentT. For owners’ equivalent rent, the dol lar adjustment for the 1-month compar ison is given by (4a) ADJ = [(Normalized renti-i) x ( 1 + Calculated factor)] Normalized rentT-i when the length of occupancy is 1 month; when the length of occupancy is 2 to fewer than 6 full months, (4b) ADJ = 0.00. The adjustment for the 1-month comparison is based on whether or not a new tenant has moved into the unit. If there is a new tenant in the unit at the time the adjustment is contemplated, the structural change likely occurred with the occupancy by the new tenant. If the tenant moved in during the current month, then the 1-month quality change is for the full amount. If the tenant moved in between 2 and 6 months earlier, it is assumed that the change in quality occurred when the tenant moved in and that there has been no further change in quality since then. In that case, there is no 1-month quality adjustment. If the same tenant is living in the unit as was present during the previous col lection period 6 months earlier, the change in quality has an equal probabil ity of occurring at any time in the last 6 months, so an adjustment of one-sixth of the quality change factor is made. On the individual unit level, the 1-month adjust ment will be too high or too low under these circumstances, but the overall ag gregate adjustment will be accurate.6 For residential rent, the dollar adjust ment for the 1-month comparison is (3a) ADJ = [(Normalized rentT) / (1+ Calculated factor)] - Normalized rentT and when the length of occupancy is 6 full months or more, (4c) ADJ = [(Normalized rentT-i) x ( 1 + (1/6 x Calculated factor))] Normalized rentT-i. Examples The factors derived from the semilogarithmic regression function are additive; that is, when there are multiple struc tural changes to a housing unit, the re gression factors are summed. Thus, the final factor for the change is the total of the separate factors for the different changes. To dem onstrate the adjustm ent process, suppose that a rental housing unit in the Western census region has added an extra bedroom and bathroom, but has dropped central air condition ing for the same tenant. Suppose also that the normalized rent 6 months ago was $400, last month’s rent was $500, this month’s rent is $600, and there are no utilities or furnishings included in the rent. Then, using equations (1), (2), (3c), and (4c), we arrive at the following quality adjustments: (a) The 6-month adjustment for the Residential Rent Index equals [$600 / (1 +. 1497 +.0852 - .0586)] -$ 6 0 0 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 41 Technical Notes = ($600/1.1763)-$600 = -$89.926, where .1497 is the increased value of the bedroom, .0852 is the increased value of the bathroom, and .0586 is the de creased value of the removed central air conditioning. (b) The 6-month adjustment for the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index equals [$400 x (1 + .1497 + .0852 .0586)] - $400 = ($400 x 1.1763)-$400 = + $70.52, = $510.074/$400 = 1.2752. (b) $600 / ($400 + $70.52) = $600/$470.52 = 1.2752. (c) (d) where, again, the same three numbers as before constitute the calculated factor. (d) The 1-month adjustment for the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index equals [$500 x (1 + (1/6) x (. 1497 + .0852 - .0586))] - $500 = ($500 x 1.029)-$500 = +$14.50, with the calculated factor the same again. Note that the relatives of change for contract rent used in the Residential Rent Index and for pure rent used in the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index after quality adjustments are the same: (a) The 6-month contract rent com parison becomes ($600 - $89.926) / $400 42 FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The 1-month pure rent comparison becomes $600/($500+ $14.50) = $600/$514.50 = 1.1662. The 1-month adjustment for the Residential Rent Index equals [$600/(1 +(1/6) x(. 1497+ .0852 - .0586))] - $600 = ($600/ 1.029) -$ 6 0 0 = -$16.910, The 1-month contract rent com parison becomes ($600-$16.910)/$500 = $583.090/$500 = 1.1662. where .1497, .0852, and .0586 are as before. (c) The 6-month pure rent comparison becomes Summary The use of hedonic regression factors represents a new improvement and a major change in calculating quality ad justments in the housing indexes, even though the impact of these factors is limited. Verified structural changes for rental housing were reported seven times per month, on average, in 1988, and verified changes to or from central air conditioning were reported an aver age of six times per month. Together, the two kinds of change made up ap proximately 0.3 percent of the number of usable 6-month comparisons. The percentage factors for structural changes are updated with each recalcu lation of age bias adjustments. □ Footnotes 1 For a more detailed discussion of quality adjustments, see Paul A. Armknecht and Donald Weyback, “Adjustments for Quality Change in the U.S. Consumer Price Index,” Journal o f Offi November 1990 cial Statistics (Statistics Sweden), vol. 5, no. 2, 1989,pp. 107-23. 2 Chapter 19, “The Consumer Price Index,” o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, April 1988), p. 175, describes the earlier, original process of canceling compar isons when structural changes occurred. bls Handbook See W alter F. Lane, W illiam C. Ran dolph, and Stephen A. Berenson, “Adjusting the CPI shelter index to compensate for effect of depreciation,” M onthly Labor Review, O c tober 1988, pp. 34—37. The regression results for structural changes used variables for loca tion, services, neighborhood, structural char acteristics, and depreciation. 4 The basic concepts of contract rent used in the Residential Rent Index and pure rent used in the Owners’ Equivalent Rent Index are described in the bls Handbook o f Methods, pp. 174—76. 5 For reasons of complexity, the system was designed to adjust each time period separately, rather than adjusting the current normalized rent for comparisons with previous time periods, as the Residential Rent Index does. The calculations for pure rent are as follows: PurerentT = Pure rentT-1 = Contract rentT(Cost o f utilitiesT + Cost o f furniture) + Quality adjustmentT; Contract rentr-i (Cost o f utilitiesT-i + Cost o f furniture) + Quality adjustmentT-i; Pure rentr-6 = Contract rentT-6 (Cost of UtilitieST-6 + Cost o f furniture) + Quality adjustmentT-«. 6 The following equations for 1-month qual ity adjustments are based on the assumption that new tenants have occupied the unit and, hence, changes in quality have occurred. For major util ities, the housing form verifies 6-month changes and 1-month changes separately. The system makes 1-month quality adjustments for changes in regard to the inclusion of electricity, natural gas, and heating oil in the rent only when there is a “Yes” response to “Has [the item in question] changed since the first of last month?” Changes in these utilities occur frequently enough, and the difference in quality is significant enough, to de termine precisely when the 1-month and 6-month adjustments should be made. Major agreem ents expiring next month This list of selected collective bargain ing agreements expiring in December is based on information collected by the Bureau’s Office of Compensation and Working Conditions. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Private industry is arranged in order of Standard Industrial Classifica tion. Labor organizations listed are af filiated with the AFL-CIO, except where noted as independent (Ind.). Private industry Construction Constructors’ Labor Council of West Vir ginia, Inc., West. Virginia; various unions, 6,000 workers National Electrical Contractors Associa tion, Pittsburgh, pa ; Electrical Workers (ibew ), 2,000 workers National Electrical Contractors Associa tion, Portland, or ; Electrical Workers (ibew ), 1,500 workers West Virginia Contractors Bargaining Association, Inc., West Virginia; Steel workers, 2,000 workers Textile mill products Dan River, Inc., Danville, v a ; Textile Workers, 5,000 workers J P Stevens & Co., Roanoke Rapids, n c ; Textile Workers, 3,500 workers Electronic, other electrical equipment New York Lamp and Shade Manufactur ers Association, Inc., New York, NY; Elec trical Workers ( ibew ), 1,500 workers Transportation equipment General Dynamics Corp., Fort Worth, t x ; Office and Professional Employees, 1,500 workers Miscellaneous manufacturing industries Bic Pen Corp., Milford, CT; Rubber Workers, 1,000 workers Transportation Pan American World Airways, Inter state; Air Line Pilots Association, 1,500 workers https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Utilities Northern States Power Co., Interstate; Electrical Workers ( ibew ), 2,450 workers Pacific Gas and Electric Co., California; Electrical Workers (ibew ), Marine Engi neers and others, 12,956 workers Southern California Edison Co., Califor nia; Electrical Workers (IBEW), 6,200 work ers Wholesale trades-nondurable goods New York Oil Heating Association, New York, NY; Teamsters, 1,700 workers Finance, insurance, and real estate Cemeteries agreement, New York and New Jersey; Service Employees, 1,800 workers Services Illinois Association of Health Care Fa cilities, Chicago, il ; Service Employees, 4,500 workers Kaiser-Permanente, northern California; American Nurses’ Association (Ind.), 6,200 workers Mt. Sinai Hospital, New York, n y ; American Nurses’ Association (Ind.), 1,500 workers St. Lukes-Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY; American Nurses’ Associ ation (Ind.), 1,300 workers Public activity Education Aurora County (teachers), Colorado; Education (NEA-Ind.), 1,500 workers Boulder County, Colorado; Education (NEA-Ind.), 1,250 workers Cherry Creek (teachers), Aurora, CO; Education (NEA-Ind.), 1,650 workers Cincinnati Board of Education, Cincin nati, o h ; State, County and Municipal Em ployees, 2,500 blue-collar workers and 3,100 teachers Colorado Springs Board of Education, Colorado Springs, CO; Education (NEAInd.), 1,650 workers Denver School District 1, Denver, CO; Education (NEA-Ind.), 3,900 workers Gary Board of School Trustees (teach ers), Gary, in ; Teachers (aft ), 1,300 workers Jefferson County Board of Education, Colorado; Colorado Classroom Employees Association (Ind.), 2,000 workers Milwaukee City School District (teach ers aide), Milwaukee, wi; Education (NEAInd.) 1,650 workers General administration Albuquerque (multidepartment-blue col lar), Albuquerque, n m ; State, County and Municipal Employees, 1,120 workers Erie County, New York; State, County and Municipal Employees, 2,200 blue-collar and 4,000 white-collar workers Essex County (clerical), New Jersey; Electrical Workers ( ibew ), 1,100 workers Fresno County (clerical), California; Service Employees, 1,200 workers Michigan State (human services and ad ministrative employees), Michigan; Auto mobile Workers, 21,500 workers Milwaukee County, Wisconsin; State, County and Municipal Employees, 8,000 workers Monroe County (m ultiunit), New York; State, County and Municipal Em ployees, 3,000 workers Onondaga County (multiunit), New York; State, County and Municipal Em ployees, 3,700 workers Pittsburgh (blue collar), Pittsburgh, pa ; Joint Collective Bargaining Committee (Ind.), 1,050 workers Rensselaer County (general unit), New York; State, County and Municipal Em ployees, 1,400 workers Saratoga County (blue and white collar), New York; State, County and Municipal Employees, 1,300 workers Health services Essex County (nonprofessional-mental health unit), New Jersey; Overbrook Em ployees Association (Ind.), 1,500 workers Milwaukee County (nurses), Wiscon sin; Federation of Nurses and Health Pro fessionals, 1,100 workers New York City Health and Hospitals Corp. (licensed practical nurses), New York, n y ; Service Employees, 1,700 workers Protective services Columbus Police Department, Colum bus, OH; Fraternal Order of Police (Ind.), 1,300 workers D Monthly Labor Review November 1990 43 Developm ents in industrial relations Auto negotiations United Automobile Workers’ (UAW) agreements for some 500,000 workers at General Motors (GM), Ford Motor Co., and Chrysler Corp. expired Sep tember 14, the first time in 11 years that the three contracts expired on the same date. Job security and cost-of-living ad justments on pensions were expected to be key negotiating issues, with wages, job safety, and time off as other impor tant topics. The UAW began contract negotia tions with the three automakers in midJuly. This year’s “strike target” (the company the UAW focuses on in negoti ations) was GM. (In selecting a strike target, the union traditionally picks the company that best fits its bargain ing goals and strategy.) GM was chosen because of its size, large parts opera tions, and its history of plant closings and layoffs since the 1987 contract was signed. In early August, GM had sustained a 6-day job action by u a w members at its Flint, mi, plant that ended only after the automaker agreed to invest $20 million in new manufacturing technology, to accept strict local limits on “outsourc ing” (buying auto parts from outside suppliers), and to guarantee jobs to the 2,800 employees at the Flint plant through 1996. At its peak, the stoppage led to layoffs at 16 other facilities. Many industry observers viewed the job ac tion as the UAW’s signal of their deter mination to gain improved job security during national auto negotiations. As it usually does, the u a w broke off contract talks with the other automakers, and concentrated on signing an agreement with GM before the expiration date of the “Developments in Industrial Relations” is pre pared by Michael H. Cimini of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. 44FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1987 contract. When negotiators failed to reach an agreement by midnight Sep tember 14, the union extended the strike deadline on a day-by-day basis (an un usual, but expected move) until an ac cord was reached. The new 3-year agreement provides enhanced income and job security for g m ’s 300,000 salaried employees repre sented by the UAW, in exchange for a reduction of the work force through at trition and “buyouts” of older workers. The contract enhancements demonstrate the u a w ’ s “building-block” approach to bargaining, in which the union first negotiates a basic benefit and then im proves upon the level of the benefit in subsequent negotiations. (Industry analysts were speculating that GM’s goal was to close three plants and to cut its work force by 60,000.) Under the new income and job secu rity program, GM will spend about $4 billion (up from $2.3 billion under the old contract) to guarantee income to senior employees. In addition to re stricting layoffs to no more than 36 weeks over the term of the contract, the agreement provides laid-off workers with up to 36 weeks of supplemental unemployment benefits (SUB) equal to 95 percent of their take-home pay dur ing the time they are laid off. After the 36 weeks, employees will be paid at 100 percent of their take-home pay during the term of the contract if they still are on layoff status. To encourage employees to retire early, the maximum monthly pension benefit for early retirement (under age 62 with 30 years of service) will be increased by $300 (to $1,800) over the term of the contract, and restrictions on outside income (the amount an em ployee is permitted to earn before sacri ficing benefits) will be raised from $3,000 to $15,000. The agreement also calls for “pre-retirement” leave that per mits older employees to leave their jobs and receive 85 percent of their full-time November 1990 pay until they are eligible for retirement, with their positions being filled by laidoff GM workers; a reduction in the min imum retirement age, from 55 to 50; a $3,000 to $7,000 increase in payments under the voluntary separation program (Voluntary Employment Termination Program), under which employees are given a lump-sum payment to quit, with a maximum “buyout” of $72,000 (was $65,000) and 6 months of free basic health care insurance coverage for em ployees with at least 25 years of service. New contract language dealing with job security provides for the right to submit outsourcing disputes to arbitra tion; increased “insourcing” (use of GM employees to do work previously per formed by a subcontractor) and use of GM employees to do new work; and an increase in the hourly excess overtime penalty (previously, $1.25 an hour for all hours of overtime), to $1.25-$5, with the actual rate depending on the number of excess overtime hours. (The penalty, which is levied in an effort to decrease overtime and enhance job opportuni ties, is paid into the Joint Skill Develop m ent and T ra in in g F u n d .) The agreement also maintains the “one-fortwo” attrition formula that requires GM to hire one worker for every two who die, retire, or quit. In addition, the con tract retains language barring plant clo sures, even though GM had found a loophole in the same language under the prior agreement and “indefinitely idled” four plants rather than “closed” them. The contract calls for improved ben efits for currently laid-off workers. The currently laid-off workers who are be tween the ages of 50 and 61 and who have at least 10 years of service will be eligible for special retirement during a preset retirement “window.” The cur rently laid-off workers with at least 10 years of service who are not eligible for retirement will be eligible for an additional 52 weeks of extended s u b or special lump-sum payments if they voluntarily quit their jobs under the vol untary separation program, while those with fewer than 10 years are eligible for an additional 26 weeks of extended SUB, or a special payment under the volun tary separation program. Over and above these benefits, workers who were laid off at the four plants idled during the 1987 contract are eligible for an additional 12 weeks of s u b , and have preferential hiring rights to openings at other GM plants. Other contract terms include a 3-per cent general wage increase in the first year, lump-sum payments in the second and third years equal to 3 percent of an employee’s gross earnings in the pre ceding 12 months, and the roll-in to wages of $1.68 of the $1.73 in c o l a earned under the previous contract (cur rent average hourly earnings reportedly are $15.75); a $4.45 increase (to $30.70-$31.45) over the term of the contract in the monthly pension rate for each year of credited service for future retirees (employees retiring after Octo ber 1,1990); for current retirees, a $ 1.25 increase in the monthly pension rate for each year of credited service, with a minimum $20 monthly pension rate (previously, the highest minimum was $16, and some employees received less), and annual lump-sum payments of $630 in the second and third years of the contract; a $1,100 minimum monthly pension for current retirees under “30and-out”; maintenance of the major cur rent health care provisions (GM had proposed an employee health care copay ment), with an increase in dental benefits and a new mental health and substance abuse program; improvements in the profit sharing plan, including benefits calculated on a “first dollar” basis (previously, calcu lated after profits were above 1.8 percent of sales) and an increase in maximum nayout (from 16 percent of profits on sales to 17 percent); elimination of the $600 annual bonus for perfect attendance in exchange for $600 Christmas bonuses in 1991 and 1992; increases in life insurance cover age, sickness and accident insurance ben efits, extended disability benefits, and survivor income benefits; establishment of a nationwide joint labor-management ergonomics program; and a child care program on a test basis. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The 1987 contracts with Ford and Chrysler were automatically extended beyond the September 14 expiration date while the UAW completed negotia tions with GM. In the past, the union has taken the agreement with the target company to the two other automakers and modified it as necessary to reach an agreement. By the end of October, Ford and Chrysler had both signed tentative 3 -year agreements with the UAW that reportedly mirrored the GM contract. Settlement at “Big Brown” Against the recommendations of their union leaders and predictions of rejec tion by dissidents within the union, Teamsters rank-and-file union mem bers ratified United Parcel Service of America’s (UPS) second “final” contract offer. Teamsters union leaders recom mended that the proposal be voted down because of “inadequate” wage increases and the company’s insistence on both the use of additional part-time workers and adherence to strict production standards. (UPS is the largest package shipping company in the United States.) The accord was seen by some in in dustry as potentially setting the pattern and the tone for the Teamsters’ 1991 master national freight negotiations. The 3-year contract, which covers some 140,000 workers nationwide, boosted hourly wages for full-time workers 50 cents each year, from about $16.10 an hour, on average, to $ 17.60 an hour over the term of the contract. Part-timers, who currently start at $8-$9 an hour, also received a $ 1.50 an hour increase over the term of the contract. Full-time workers received a $1,000 ratification bonus, and part-timers received $500. The company’s contribution rate for health benefits and pensions was in creased each year by 35 cents an hour for each full-time employee (from $8,330, on average, to $10,500 annually over the term of the contract). Other contract provisions include an nual cost-of-living allowances in the sec ond and third years of the contract, equal to 1 cent (capped at 20 cents per hour annually) for each 0.3-point increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers; a sixth week of vacation after 25 years of service; establishment of labor-man agement committees to study safety and health issues, such as concerns about equipment used by employees and the handling of hazardous materials; main tenance of strict production standards; and the right of management to use ad ditional part-time employees. Grocery accord The Food Employers Council Inc. and 10 locals of the Food and Commercial Workers reached agreement on a 38month master contract, covering some 80.000 clerks and meat department workers at six grocery chains in south ern California. The agreement is ex pected to set a pattern for an additional 20.000 grocery workers at several other large food chains and independent gro cery stores. (The Council bargained for Albertson’s, Alpha Beta, Lucky Stores, Ralph’s, Safeway Stores, Stater Bros., and Vons.) Health care, wages, staffing, guaranteed hours of work, and use of nonunion vendors were the major issues in dispute. Terms of the contract call for a general wage increase of 60 cents per hour for clerks and meatcutters in the first year, 55 cents in the second year, and 50 cents in the third year. (Supermarket clerks earned between $4.25 and $13.05 an hour under the prior agreement; and meatcutters, be tween $9.31 and $14.33.) Regarding benefits, the current pen sion plan benefits were increased 10 percent. In addition, a new optional con tributory pension benefit plan, with em ployee contributions of 10 cents an hour, was established effective in the third year of the contract. To preserve health care benefit levels, employer contributions to the health and welfare fund were increased over the term of the contract by 87 cents per hour worked (to $2.92 an hour). The number of hours of work needed to qualify for health cover age in a quarter was increased to 76 (pre viously, 64 hours) in any 2-month period in the previous quarter. A $3 copayment for prescription dmgs, previously paid only by meat department employees, was extended to the clerks. In addition, a new managed health care program for mental health and drug abuse was established. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 45 Developments in Industrial Relations Other terms include the protection of full-time positions by filling vacant full time positions with senior part-timers (previously, the full-time positions were converted to part-time positions); a 4hour increase (to 20 hours) in the guar anteed number of hours per week for part-timers; and the elimination of the 3 months of free health care coverage to employees who leave the industry. General Dynamics-Machinists pact Negotiators for the General Dynamics Corp. and three locals of the Machinists union reached agreement on a 3-year contract, covering about 4,900 workers at the company’s Convair, Space Sys tems, and Data Systems West divisions in the San Diego, CA, area, and an addi tional 415 workers off-site at Cape Can averal, f l , and Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA. The contract reportedly pro vides the first wage increase in 6 years, and is the first to be reached without a work stoppage since 1981. Terms call for a general wage in crease of 4 percent in the first year, 3 percent in both the second and third years, and a $2,000 signing bonus. (The base hourly rate under the previous con tract averaged $11.50.) The agreement also restores merit increases and pro vides for new labor grades and rate ranges. Several changes were made in the health care area. Newly required em ployee contributions to the three health maintenance organization (h m o ) plans were set at $2 per week for single cov erage and $4 for family coverage effec tive January 1, 1991, and $3 and $6, respectively, effective January 1, 1993. In addition, a new optional self-insured medical plan was established effective January 1,1991, with an annual deduct ible of $100 per person and $200 per family, “out-of-pocket” (catastrophic) costs of $1,000 per person and $2,000 per family, a $500,000 lifetime benefit, and weekly employee contributions of $2 for single coverage and $4 for family coverage. The deductible, “out-ofpocket,” and weekly employee contri butions would increase 50 percent effective January 1, 1993. Other terms include the establish ment of a joint labor-management com 46FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis mittee to study ways to protect jobs adversely affected by automation; bian nual cost-of-living adjustment allow ances, equal to 1 cent per hour for each 0.3-point rise in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers; the roll-in to wages of cost-of-living allowances paid under the prior contract; a $3 increase (to $26) in the pension rate for each year of cred ited service for both past and future service, with an additional $3 on Septem ber 1, 1992; increases of 8 percent to 25 percent in pension benefits for retirees, with the increase depending on the employee’s date of retirement; a 10-centan-hour increase (to 35 cents) in the sec ond shift premium; and military leave pay for hourly workers in the reserves. Beech Aircraft accord Reflecting the improved financial con dition of the company, Machinists Dis trict Lodge No. 70 and the Beech Aircraft Corp. signed a 3-year collec tive bargaining agreement providing for a 13.6-percent wage increase over the term of the contract. The pact covers 5,090 workers in plants in Wichita and Salina, KS. Wages and health insurance premiums were the major sticking points in the negotiations. The accord calls for a 5-percent gen eral wage increase in the first year, 4percent raises in the second and third years, and a lump-sum payment in the first year equal to 4 percent of an employee’s gross earnings in the pre ceding 12 months. (The average hourly wage rate was $12.50 under the prior contract.) The em ployees’ monthly contributions for health care were main tained, set at $4 for single coverage and $ 12 for family coverage. (The company had proposed that employees pay 10 percent of the premiums.) Other terms include a 22-percent in crease in the company’s pension contri butions; increased pension benefits for employees retiring after August 5, 1990; and 100-percent (previously, 50 percent) payment for unused sick leave that accrued in the year. The Beech contract was the first signed in the current round of bargain ing between the Machinists and the three general aircraft manufacturing November 1990 companies in the Wichita area. The union’s contract with Cessna Aircraft Co., covering about 2,500 workers, ex pired October 7; and the contract with Learjet, covering some 1,000 workers, expired November 6. Restoration contract in steel At the 11th hour, negotiators for the Wheeling-Pittsburgh Steel Corp. and 13 locals of the Steelworkers, representing some 5,500 workers at the company’s seven facilities in West Virginia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, signed a collective bargaining agreement that reportedly allows employees to approach compa rability with workers at other major do mestic steelmakers. The contract also should help Wheeling-Pittsburgh, the eighth largest steel company in the United States, to emerge from the Chap ter 11 bankruptcy protection it has been under since April 1985. Contract talks, the first held by the parties since 1985, began in November 1989. The initial company proposal, made in December 1989, was rejected. Talks resumed, but stalled for several weeks this spring because union leaders refused to continue to negotiate until the company’s Chapter 11 reorganization plan was resolved, while the company insisted on negotiating a new contract before filing a revised reorganization plan. A second proposal was rejected last June, and a strike vote was taken in early July (however, a work stoppage never occurred). Union representatives cited subcontracting, successorship (recognition of the union if WheelingPittsburgh is sold), restoration of past wage and benefit cuts, and local rules as strike issues. After negotiations resumed, a third company proposal was rejected by the unions’ negotiating team. Bargaining continued, and an accord was reached before the deadline set by the unions for a job action. The new contract will be effective upon approval of the company’s reorga nization plan by the bankruptcy court, and will remain in effect until March 1, 1994. Terms provide for an immediate $ 1.50-an-hour wage increase (which ef fectively restores pay cuts agreed to under the 1982 and 1985 agreements); 50-cent-an-hour wage increases on April 1 of 1991 and 1992, and on Janu ary 1,1993; an immediate $3,000 sign ing bonus; and an additional $500 bonus in 1991. (Union leaders had claimed that hourly pay of their members was nearly $5 an hour behind workers at the other major steel companies. Report edly, the members had not had a wage increase for 10 years until the bankruptcy judge permitted a 50-cent-an-hour raise in July 1990.) The pact also restores 1 week of vacation, vacation bonuses, five holi days, time and a half for working on Sun days, and incentive rates. Other terms include the payment of common stock (approximately 11 percent of the company’s equity) in exchange for the $26.8 million workers had in an em ployee investment program; contract lan guage “severely restricting” contracting out of work; a successorship clause; a career development program; improved severance pay and supplemental unem ployment benefits; company payment of one-half of the premiums for optional major medical insurance for retirees; and a special enrollment period for retirees not already under the optional major medical plan. Lockout ends at Western Union Ending a 5-day lockout, negotiators for the Western Union Corp. and the Com munications Workers reached agree ment on three 2-year contracts covering about 2,500 operators, customer rela https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tions clerks, clerical workers, and field technicians. The major issues in dispute were wages, job security, health care cost sharing, subcontracting, use of part-time workers, and consolidation of job classifications. (The ailing financial and telecommunications company has had financial problems over the last 6 years and is in the process of restructur ing its debts.) After the union refused to extend the old contract 90 days, the company locked out some 2,000 employees rep resented by the Communications Work ers, and “temporarily” replaced them with trainees and management employ ees. The union filed unfair labor prac tice charges with the National Labor Relations Board, alleging that Western Union “selectively” locked out unionrepresented employees in particular fa cilities and job functions. (The company sent notices to the 2,000 workers telling them not to report to work.) M eanwhile, bargaining sessions continued between company and labor negotiators until agreem ents were reached. Terms of the contracts pro vided for a 3.5-percent wage increase for full-time workers in each of the 2 years; unspecified wage increases for part-tim ers; contract language giving Western Union more flexibility in using part-time workers and subcontractors; reinstate ment of locked out employees, and giving them 4 days of back pay; preservation of the profit-sharing plan; and maintenance of the current pension benefit levels. (Western Union currently has 3,400 em ployees and 11,200 retirees.) NBC im p le m e n ts fin a l o ffer After 7 months of negotiations and the rejection of two company proposed contracts, the National Broadcasting Company (NBC) implemented its “final offer” to the National Association of Broadcast Engineers and Technicians. The union, which bargained for 2,373 engineers, news writers, traffic and communications workers, couriers, and building service employees cov ered under 14 labor agreements, filed unfair labor practice charges against NBC, alleging that the company failed to bargain in “good faith” and unilat erally changed the terms and conditions of employment prior to a deadlock in bargaining. The major issue in the dis pute reportedly was the question of ju risdiction over personnel hired by the day, rather than on a full-time basis. The term s of the proposal im plemented by n b c call for a 4-year con tract with 3-percent wage increases in the first and second years, a 4-percent wage increase in the fourth year, and a bonus in the third year equal to 5 percent of an employee’s gross earnings in the preceding 12 months. In addition, the implemented proposal allows n b c to employ more “daily hires” and permits producers who lease or rent NBC studios for new programs to use nonunion em ployees. □ Monthly Labor Review November 1990 47 Book reviews Setting new standards for skills in the workplace Horst Brand A commission chaired by former U.S. Secretaries of Labor Ray Marshall and William E. Brock has published the third, and in many ways, the most alarming of recent reports about the plight of the U.S. work force. The report, America’s Choice: High Skills or Low Wages, deals with workers without a college education (roughly 70 percent) and youngsters not collegebound—a group the commission calls the “frontline workers” who are “illequipped to meet employers’ current needs and ill-prepared for the rapidly approaching, high-technology, serviceoriented future.” The commission’s concern is height ened by the fact that it found little aware ness of these skills problems during visits to hundreds of firms in all sectors of the economy and interviews with thousands of employers, personnel managers, pro duction supervisors, and ordinary workers. Although more than 80 percent of employers did express concern about skills shortages, “they generally mean a good work ethic and social skills.” The commission says that “only 15 percent of employers report difficulty finding work ers with appropriate occupational skills,” but these were in underpaid “women’s” occupations and traditional craft trades. The commission found little evidence of a far-reaching desire for a more edu cated work force. Outmoded model It is easy to determine why employers find their workers’ skills and training adequate to the needs of the jobs being held. The commission reports that more Horst Brand is an economist formerly with the Office of Productivity and Technology, Bureau of Labor Statistics. than one-third of American workers have only an eighth grade education, and fewer than 30 percent are 4-year college graduates. This, the commission argues, is ad equate for an organization of work “largely modeled after the system of manufacture made famous by Henry Ford in the early 20th century,” and conceived by Frederick W. Taylor— with complex jobs fragmented into many simple, repetitive tasks requiring little skill and education, albeit super vised by a knowledgeable planning and managerial staff.1 The Taylor system came to be vir tually synonymous with mass produc tion; its influence has not been limited to manufacturing but “still determines the way we organize our schools, our offices, our hospitals, and our banks.”2 But while the “America of the 1950’s and 1960’s prospered with the Taylor model,” mass production has come to be outdated.3 It is no longer adequate to today’s needs, which require higher quality products and greater product variety. The automated systems spells greater complexity, and make it increas ingly difficult for small groups of man agers to centralize control in their hands. “The reason why we have no skills short age today,” writes the commission, “is because we are using a tum-of-the-century work organization.” As the report’s title indicates, the commission views low wages as a major problem for American society. For the past two decades, it says, eco nomic growth has stemmed mostly from additions to the labor force rather than from increases in productivity. “Because our economic growth has not come from improved productivity our...w ages have not im proved.”4 Moreover, the failure of real wages to rise—or their decline—has affected workers unequally, so that the gap be tween the upper 30 percent of earnings recipients and the lower 70 percent has widened over the past decade and a half. For example, the pay differential be 48 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tween white-collar professionals and skilled trades people has grown from 2 percent to 37 percent; that between pro fessionals and clerical personnel from 47 percent to 86 percent.5 In arguing for a more participatory work force, the commission confines itself to detailing two examples of strik ingly contrasting company work orga nizations. One company has sought to deskill its work force by replacing higher paid workers who have seniority, with younger, lower paid workers, and subcontracting work to overseas estab lishments. Unit costs were thus reduced but no clear gain in productivity was attained. The other company trained its work force to become “multiskilled” and enabled it to partake in shopfloor decisions hitherto reserved for manage ment. It also reduced the ratio of support to “frontline” employees.6 Higher pro ductivity resulted, but at the cost of sub stantial investment in training. The large majority of American firms, as the report states, cannot afford (or believe they can not afford) such investments. The m i t Commission on Industrial Productivity characterized the mass production system as among the “out dated strategies” of American business, contrasting it, for example, with the Japanese automobile industry, which “is based on a system different in almost every feature from Detroit’s mass pro duction system .” Being based on “technologies, product development methods, and patterns of workplace organization that allow them to reduce the volume of production and increase the speed with which new products are brought to market,” this system “has required the creation of a highly skilled work force.”7 The MIT Commission calls for “cultivating a new economic citizenship in the work force,” and states that “effective use of new tech nology will require people to develop their capabilities for planning, judg ment, collaboration, and the analysis of complex systems.”8 Human resource policy The Skills Commission writes that“. . . (W)ork organization is pivotal,” and that “Work organization drives the de mand for high skills.”9 The reasons it cites why American business has tended to adopt a low-wage rather than a highproductivity policy he outside the realm of technology altogether; and its propos als for raising productivity focus entirely on human resource policy, examples of foreign success with such policy being given great weight in the argument. The com m ission’s report suggests that human resource policy drives techno logical and hence productivity advance. And the commission’s concerns are ev idently fed by the conviction that social progress and political balance in the United States hinge on such advance and the elevation of the human factors that underlie it. According to the commission, Amer ican business has followed the “lowwage” path over the past two decades for three reasons: (1) The initial investment for retraining personnel and upgrading technical skills required by the “high productivity path” is costly, and com panies run the risk of losing this invest ment when trained employees leave. (2) Such investment, moreover, de mands a long-term horizon, but this approach is vitiated by the “perverse short-term financial horizons by which most American companies operate.” (3) There is the overarching problem of the lack of a public policy commitment to full employment, which encourages the low-wage path by making it easier for business to employ part-time or tempo rary workers who can be laid off at will.10 Education and training The commission presents a brief analy sis and critique of the educational prep aration for work in the United States. “The educational performance of those students who become frontline workers is well below the average performance of their counterparts in some newly in dustrializing countries where labor costs are only a small fraction of our own. Our frontline workers. . . are fast becoming unemployable at American wage levels.”11 American high school students “anchor the bottom” on most international tests. In Japan, close to 80 percent of the students take algebra, and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Three commissions studied the work force America’s Choice: High Skills or Low Wages! The Report o f the Commission on the Skills o f the Amer ican Workforce. Rochester, NY, Na tional Center on Education and the Economy’s Commission on the Skills of the American Workforce, 1990. $ 18 from the Center, 39 State Street, Suite 500, Rochester, NY 14614. Investing in People: Strategy to Address America s Workforce Crisis. Report by the Secretary of Labor’s Commission on Workforce Quality and Labor Market Efficiency. Wash ington, 1989. $3.75, Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, W ashington, DC 20402. The monographs underlying the report are titled Investing in Peo ple, Background Papers, Vol. I and Vol. II, and are also available from the U.S. Government Printing Office. Made in America: Regaining the Pro ductive Edge, by Michael L. Dertouzos and other members of the MIT Commis sion on Industrial Productivity. Cam bridge, MA, The MIT Press, 1989. score at the top; in the United States, little more than 40 percent of students choose algebra, and score the lowest. The American educational system, the commission asserts, “is almost wholly oriented towards the needs of the col lege-bound,” and the property tax, which mostly funds the system, favors those most likely to go to college.12 Al most one-half of all high school students are relegated to general curriculum courses, which are of little value to their subsequent pursuits. One-fourth of these students attend vocational courses, with only a small proportion going into occu pations that relate to these courses. Em ployers as a rule do not even expect particular proficiencies of high school graduates applying for jobs; “most em ployers look at the high school diploma as evidence of staying power, not aca demic achievement.”13 Furthermore, the commission says, no assistance is offered to youths not bound for college in their transition The concerns expressed in these three reports have been shared throughout the 1980’s by a number of public and private bodies. Particularly notable are: Workforce 2000: Work and Work ers for the Twenty-First Century. By William B. Johnston and Arnold E. Packer. Indianapolis, IN, Hudson In stitute, 1987. Workforce 2000 was written at the initiative of the U.S. Department of Labor. Building a Quality Workforce. A joint initiative by the U.S. Departments of Labor, Education, and Commerce. W ashington, U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Ad ministration, 1988. The MIT study summarizes numer ous related policy studies in Appendix I (see especially p. 309 ff.), while Building a Quality Workforce features a selected bibliography bearing upon the themes it discusses. from school to work; many of them mill about in the labor market from dead-end job to dead-end job. Guidance services are inadequate, there are no employ ment services to aid them, and there are very few apprenticeship programs. By the time they reach ages 24 or 25, they are “no match for the highly trained German, Danish, Swedish or Swiss youth of 19.”14 The education and training (or re training) of more seasoned workers is also lagging, according to the commis sion. Of the estimated $30' billion spent by employers on formal training, about one-third is apportioned to frontline workers, and only 8 percent of them benefit by it. Moreover, approximately 15,000 firms account for nine-tenths of business spending on training, and fewer than 200 firms spend in excess of 2 percent of their payroll for this purpose. “The fact that employers in this country do not spend much money on training of frontline workers is not surprising. The ‘Taylor’ Monthly Labor Review November 1990 49 Book Reviews model of work organization still fol lowed by most of our companies does not require skills from the vast majority of their workers.”15 The force of the commission’s argu ment regarding the inadequacy of the education and training of frontline workers is to an extent lessened by its review of the many initiatives that have been taken by the Federal Government and many States to overcome such in adequacy. Its survey of these initia tives— for example, the community college system that began in 1947; Pell Grants and Guaranteed Student Loans for postsecondary education; the Job Training Partnership Act; and the many “customized training” efforts made by in dividual States to attract industry—is all too brief, and its criticism that “The network of public training activities... has... been created as a result of unrelated educational, social and economic development goals rather than from any overall vision of human resource development” is not argued in sufficiently searching detail.16 The commission’s recommendations draw upon the relevant programs and policies in Germany, Japan, Sweden, and Denmark, outlined in one of the report’s chapters. First, the commission would set a new, national educational perfor mance standard for all students, to be met by age 16. Based on an assessment of the student’s performance in meeting the standards, a Certificate of Initial Mastery would be awarded. This certificate would be required for all subsequent schooling, and would attest to the student’s ability to read, write, compute, and, generally, perform “at world class levels” in gen eral school subjects.17 The States would be responsible for its students achieving the certificate, and would also create and fund alter native learning environments for youths unable to meet the standard at age 16. This inability often arises from a youth’s preference for taking a job to earn money over continuing his or her education. Hence, local employers should provide jobs for such youth on the condition that their education con tinue. The commission is particularly concerned that the problem of high school dropouts be overcome, in part, by establishing strong ties between ed ucational achievement and the provi sion of private or public employment. At the center of the commission’s vision of a coherent human resource policy lies the professionalization of the work force not bound for college or college-educated, by means of a system of educational certificates, associate de grees, and part-time work and training by cooperating employers as part of a general curriculum. The certification system would be supervised by a na tional board setting standards, and serv ing under the Secretaries of Labor, Commerce, and Education. The pro gram would encompass all occupations as defined or redefined by the proposed board. The commission strongly argues for governmental financing of its recom mendation, citing the G.I. Bill as having paid for itself many times over in in creased income. “Our goal is to establish a structure that will give our frontline workers the systematic skills, profes sional qualifications, and respect that thencounterparts enjoy in other countries.18 The final recommendation would in tegrate American business in the pro posed national education and training effort. It would do so by requiring all employers, regardless of size, to spend an initial sum of at least 1 percent of their payroll on certified education and training programs; or to remit that sum to a national skills development fund, devoted to training disadvantaged or dislocated workers.19 It cites a number of foreign examples in amplifying this recommendation. For example, German corporations contribute close to 3.5 per cent of their payrolls to training and employment schemes through the na tional unemployment insurance fund, the apprenticeship system, and to local chambers of commerce (which often mandate such schemes as a condition of membership). Likewise, Japanese firms contribute 1 percent of payrolls to the National Employment Insurance Fund; and about one-half of the tax goes to finance employment and training ini tiatives.20 The commission also urges government-run technical assistance ser vices to promote the high-performance work organizations which it believes necessaiy to supersede “Taylorism.”21 50 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis It is patent that the commission’s rec ommendations would radically revamp existing institutions of education and training, and require new ones as well. Those recommendations are perhaps more far-reaching than any others per taining to the advancement of the ma jority of the American work force that is not bound for college.22 Although other responsible panels that have examined the issues discussed here may not agree with the commission’s recommendations, all seem to agree that fundamental changes in human resource policy are urgently needed. The MIT Commission on Indus trial Productivity put it this way: “. . . without major changes in the ways schools and firms train workers over the course of a lifetime, no amount of macroeconomic fine-tuning or technological innovation will be able to produce significantly im proved economic performance and a ris ing standard of living.”23 □ Footnotes 1 Am erica’s Choice: High Skills or Low Wagesl The Report of the Commission on the Skills of the American Workforce (Rochester, n y , National Center on Education and the Economy’s Commission on the Skills of the American Work force, 1990), p. 37. 2 Ibid. 3 Ibid., pp. 37, 38. 4 Ibid., p. 19 5 Ibid., p. 20. 6 Ibid., p. 31. 7 See Michael L. Dertouzos and others, Made in America: Regaining the Productive Edge (Cambridge, m a , The mit Press, 1989). 8 Ibid., pp. 134-35. 9 America’s Choice, pp. 41-42. 10 Ibid., p. 40. 11 Ibid., p. 43. 12 Ibid., p. 44. 13 Ibid., p. 45. 14 Ibid., p. 46. 15 Ibid., p. 50. 16 Ibid., p. 53. 17 Ibid., p. 69. 18 Ibid., p. 77. 19 Ibid., p. 82. 20 Ibid., pp. 115, 117. 21 Ibid., p. 84. 22 Ibid, p. 84. 23 Dertouzos and others, Made in America, p. 82. Current labor statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics XXXXXXXXXXXXf TTTTTTTTTTTTT .......................... 52 1. Labor market in d icato rs.............................................................. 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity ................................................. 3. Alternative measures of wage and compensation changes ............................................................................. 62 Comparative indicators Labor force data 4. Employment status of the total population, data seasonally a d ju sted ............................................................ 5. Employment status of the civilian population, data seasonally a d ju ste d ............................................................ 6. Selected employment indicators, data seasonally adjusted . . . 7. Selected unemployment indicators, data seasonally a d ju sted ............................................................ 8. Unemployment rates by sex and age, data seasonally a d ju ste d ............................................................ 9. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, data seasonally a d ju sted ............................................................ 10. Duration of unemployment, data seasonally a d ju s te d ............. 11. Unemployment rates of civilian workers, by State ................. 12. Employment of workers, by State ............................................. 13. Employment of workers, by industry, data seasonally ad ju sted ............................................................ 14. Average weekly hours, by industry, data seasonally ad ju sted ................... 15. Average hourly earnings, by industry, data seasonally ad ju sted ............................................................ 16. Average hourly earnings, by industry ....................................... 17. Average weekly earnings, by ind u stry ....................................... 18. Diffusion indexes of employment change, data seasonally a d ju sted ............................................................ 19. Annual data: Employment status of the noninstitutional population................................................. 20. Annual data: Employment levels, by industry ........................ 21. Annual data: Average hours and earnings levels, by industry ............................................................ 64 65 66 67 68 68 68 69 69 70 71 72 73 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27. Average specified compensation and wage adjustments, bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or m o r e ......... 28. Average effective wage adjustments, bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or m o r e ............................ 29. Specified compensation and wage adjustments, State and local government bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more ............................................. 30. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more ................. 82 83 83 83 Price data 31. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity and service groups......................... 32. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and local data, all items ...................................................................................... 33. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, all items and major g ro u p s ....................................................................... 34. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing........................ 35. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................... 36. Producer Price Indexes for the net output of major industry groups.......................................................... 37. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing.................................................................. 38. U.S. export price indexes, by Standard International Trade Classification.................................................................. 39. U.S. import price indexes, by Standard International Trade Classification.................................................................. 40. U.S. export price indexes by end-use c a te g o ry ........................ 41. U.S. import price indexes by end-use categ o ry ........................ 42. U.S. export price indexes, by Standard Industrial C lassification............................................................................. 43. U.S. import price indexes, by Standard Industrial Classification............................................................................. 84 87 88 89 89 91 92 93 93 93 94 74 Productivity data 75 75 Labor compensation and collective bargaining data 22. Employment Cost Index, compensation, by occupation and industry group ........................................... 23. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group ........................................... 24. Employment Cost Index, benefits, private industry workers, by occupation and industry g ro u p ............................ 25. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area s iz e .............................. 26. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, situations covering 1,000 workers or more ............................ Labor compensation and collective bargaining data—Continued 44. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, data seasonally adjusted.................................. 45. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity.............................. 46. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices ................................................................ 47. Annual productivity indexes for selected industries ............... 94 95 95 96 International comparisons data 77 79 80 81 82 48. Unemployment rates in nine countries, data seasonally adjusted............................................................ 98 49. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, 10 countries............................................................ 99 50. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, 12 countries ................................................................................. 100 Injury and illness data 51. Annual data: Occupational injury and illness incidence r a t e s ............................................................................ Monthly Labor Review November 1990 101 51 Notes on Current Labor Statistics This section of the Review presents the principal statistical series collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statis tics: series on labor force; employment; unemployment; collective bargaining set tlements; consumer, producer, and inter national prices; productivity; international comparisons; and injury and illness statis tics. In the notes that follow, the data in each group of tables are briefly described; key definitions are given; notes on the data are set forth; and sources of additional information are cited. of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current-dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1982= 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1982 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The $2 (or any other resulting values) are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1982” dollars. Additional information Symbols n.e.c. n.e.s. p r = not elsewhere classified, = not elsewhere specified. = preliminary. To increase the timeliness of some series, pre liminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments. General notes The following notes apply to several ta bles in this section: Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect on the data of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation prac tices, which might prevent short-term eval uation of the statistical series. Tables containing data that have been adjusted are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” (All other data are not seasonally adjusted.) Sea sonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are computed each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for several preced ing years. Seasonally adjusted data appear in tables 1-3, 4-10, 13-15, 17-18, 44, and 48. Sea sonally adjusted labor force data in tables 1 and 4-10 were revised in the February 1990 issue of the Review and reflect the experi ence through 1989. Seasonally adjusted es tablishment survey data shown in tables 13-15 and 17-18 were revised in the Octo ber 1990 Review and reflect the experience through May 1990. A brief explanation of the seasonal adjustment methodology ap pears in “Notes on the data.” Revisions in the productivity data in table 44 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and per cent changes from month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter are published for numer ous Consumer and Producer Price Index se ries. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average AllItems CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data—such as the “real” earnings shown in table 15—are adjusted to eliminate the effect Digitized for 52FRASER Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau in a variety of sources. News releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring re leases are published according to the schedule appearing on the back cover of this issue. More information about labor force, employment, and unemployment data and the household and establishment surveys underlying the data are available in Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. More data from the household survey are published in the data books—Revised Seasonally Adjusted Labor Force Statistics, Bulletin 2306, and Labor Force Statistics Derived From the Current Population Survey, Bulletin 2307. More data from the establishment survey appear in two data books—Employment, Hours, and Earnings, United States, and Employment, Hours, and Earnings, States and Areas, and the supplements to these data books. More detailed information on employee compensation and collective bargaining settlements is published in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Devel opments. More detailed data on consumer and producer prices are published in the monthly periodicals, The C P I Detailed Re port, and Producer Price Indexes. Detailed data on all of the series in this section are provided in the Handbook of Labor Statis tics, which is published biennially by the Bureau, bls bulletins are issued covering productivity, injury and illness, and other data in this section. Finally, the Monthly Labor Review carries analytical articles on annual and longer term developments in labor force, employment, and unemploy ment; employee compensation and collec tive bargaining; prices; productivity; international comparisons; and injury and illness data. November 1990 Comparative Indicators (Tables 1-3) Comparative indicators tables provide an overview and comparison of major BLS statistical series. Consequently, although many of the included series are available monthly, all measures in these compara tive tables are presented quarterly and an nually. Labor market indicators include em ployment measures from two major surveys and information on rates of change in com pensation provided by the Employment Cost Index (ECl) program. The labor force partic ipation rate, the employment-to-population ratio, and unemployment rates for major de mographic groups based on the Current Pop ulation (“household”) Survey are presented, while measures of employment and average weekly hours by major industry sector are given using nonfarm payroll data. The Em ployment Cost Index (compensation), by major sector and by bargaining status, is chosen from a variety of bls compensation and wage measures because it provides a comprehensive measure of employer costs for hiring labor, not just outlays for wages, and it is not affected by employment shifts among occupations and industries. Data on changes in compensation, prices, and productivity are presented in table 2. Measures of rates of change of com pensation and wages from the Employment Cost Index program are provided for all ci vilian nonfarm workers (excluding Federal and household workers) and for all private nonfarm workers. Measures of changes in consumer prices for all urban consumers; producer prices by stage of processing; and overall export and import price indexes are given. Measures of productivity (output per hour of all persons) are provided for major sectors. Alternative measures of wage and compensation rates of change, which re flect the overall trend in labor costs, are summarized in table 3. Differences in con cepts and scope, related to the specific pur poses of the series, contribute to the variation in changes among the individual measures. Notes on the data Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these notes describing each set of data. For de tailed descriptions of each data series, see B L S Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988), as well as the additional bulletins, articles, and other publications noted in the separate sections of the Review’s “Current Labor Statistics Notes.” Users may also wish to consult Major Programs of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Report 774 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1990). Employment and Unemployment Data (Tables 1; 4—21) Household survey data Description of the series in this section are ob tained from the Current Population Sur vey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. E m ploym ent d a ta Definitions Employed persons include (1) all civil ians who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enter prise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. Members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are also included in the employed total. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for tempo rary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unem ployed. The overall unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the labor force, including the resident Armed Forces. The civilian un employment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The labor force consists of all employed or unemployed civilians plus members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Persons not in the labor force are those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons who are retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job-market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all per sons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, san itariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy, and members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. The labor force participation rate is the proportion of the noninstitutional population that is in the labor force. The employment-population ratio is total employment (including the res ident Armed Forces) as a percent of the noninstitutional population. ally adjusted data for the previous 5 years are revised, and projected seasonal adjustment factors are calculated for use during the January-June period. In July, new seasonal ad justment factors, which incorporate the experience through June, are produced for the July-December period but no revisions are made in the historical data. Additional sources of information For detailed explanations of the data, see Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988), and for additional data, Handbook o f Labor Statis tics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Sta tistics, 1989). Historical unadjusted data from 1948 to 1987 are available in Labor Force Statistics Derived from the Current Population Survey, Bulletin 2307 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Historical sea sonally adjusted data appear in Labor Force Statistics Derived from the Current Population Survey: A Databook, Vol. II, Bulletin 2096 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), and Revised Seasonally Adjusted Labor Force Statistics, 1978-87, Bulletin 2306 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). A comprehensive discussion of the dif ferences between household and establish ment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-20. BLS Establishment survey data Description of the series Notes on the data E m ploy m en t , h o u r s , a n d ea rn ing s From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the intercensal years. These adjustments af fect the comparability of historical data. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appears in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. Labor force data in tables 1 and 4-10 are seasonally adjusted based on the experience through December 1989. Since January 1980, national labor force data have been seasonally adjusted with a procedure called X - l 1 ARIMA which was developed at Sta tistics Canada as an extension of the stand ard X -l 1 method previously used by b l s . A detailed description of the procedure appears in the X -ll ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Method, by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada, Catalogue No. 12-564E, January 1983). At the end of each calendar year, season d at a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies by more than 340,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An establishment is not nec essarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-em ployed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely ac counts for the difference in employment figures between the household and estab lishment surveys. Definitions An establishment is an economic unit which produces goods or services (such as Monthly Labor Review November 1990 53 C u rren t L a b o r S ta tistics a factory or store) at a single location and is engaged in one type of economic activity. Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period includ ing the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establishment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include working supervisors and nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers men tioned in tables 12-17 include production workers in manufacturing and mining; con struction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in the following industries: transportation and public utili ties; wholesale and retail trade; finance, in surance, and real estate; and services. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but exclud ing irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings ad justed to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this se ries is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Cleri cal Workers ( cpi- w ). Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received, and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the portion of average weekly hours which was in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. The Diffusion Index represents the per cent of industries in which employment was rising over the indicated period, plus onehalf of the industries with unchanged em ployment; 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing employment. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 1-, 3-, and 6month spans are seasonally adjusted, while those for the 12-month span are unadjusted. Data are centered within the span. Table 18 provides an index on private nonfarm em ployment based on 356 industries, and a manufacturing index based on 139 indus tries. These indexes are useful for measuring the dispersion of economic gains or losses and are also economic indicators. Notes on the data Establishment survey data are annually adjusted to comprehensive counts of em ployment (called “benchmarks”). The lat Digitized for54 FRASER M on thly L a b o r R e v ie w https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis est adjustment, which incorporated March 1989 benchmarks, was made with the re lease of August 1990 data, published in the October 1990 issue of the Review. Coinci dent with the benchmark adjustments, sea sonally adjusted data were revised to reflect the experience through May 1990, and industries are coded in accordance with the 1987 Standard Industrial Classi fication (SIC) Manual. Unadjusted data from April 1989 forward and seasonally ad justed data from January 1986 forward are subject to revision in future benchmarks. The bls also uses the X -l 1ARIMA meth odology to seasonally adjust establishment survey data. Beginning in June 1989, pro jected seasonal adjustment factors are calcu lated and published twice a year. The change makes the procedure used for the establish ment survey data more parallel to that used in adjusting the household survey data. Re visions of historical data will continue to be made once a year coincident with the bench mark revisions. In the establishment survey, estimates for the 2 most recent months are based on in complete returns and are published as pre liminary in the tables (13 to 18 in the Review). When all returns have been re ceived, the estimates are revised and pub lished as “final” (prior to any benchmark revisions) in the third month of their appear ance. Thus, December data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. For the same reasons, quar terly establishment data (table 1) are prelim inary for the first 2 months of publication and final in the third month. Thus, fourth-quarter data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. Additional sources of information Detailed national data from the establish ment survey are published monthly in the bls periodical, Employment and Earn ings. Historically comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data will be pub lished in Employment, Hours, and Earn ings, United States, 1909-90, Bulletin 2370 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1990) and its annual supplement. For a detailed discussion of the methodology of the sur vey, see b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulle tin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). For additional data, see Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). A comprehensive discussion of the dif ferences between household and establish ment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Month ly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-20. N o ve m b er 1 990 Unemployment data by State Description of the series Data presented in this section are obtained from two major sources—the Current Pop ulation Survey (CPS) and the Local Area Unemployment Statistics ( l a u s ) program, which is conducted in cooperation with State employment security agencies. Monthly estimates of the labor force, em ployment, and unemployment for States and sub-State areas are a key indicator of local economic conditions and form the basis for determining the eligibility of an area for benefits under Federal economic assistance programs such as the Job Training Partner ship Act and the Public Works and Economic Development Act. Insofar as possible, the concepts and definitions underlying these data are those used in the national estimates obtained from the cps . Notes on the data Data refer to State of residence. Monthly data for 11 States—California, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas— are obtained directly from the c ps , because the size of the sample is large enough to meet BLS standards of reliability. Data for the re maining 39 States and the District of Co lumbia are derived using standardized procedures established by b l s . Once a year, estimates for the 11 States are re vised to new population controls. For the remaining States and the District of Co lumbia, data are benchmarked to annual average cps levels. Additional sources of information Information on the concepts, definitions, and technical procedures used to develop labor force data for States and sub-State areas as well as additional data on subStates are provided in the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics periodical, Employ ment and Earnings, and the annual report, Geographic Profile of Employment and Un employment (Bureau of Labor Statistics). See also b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Compensation and Wage Data (Tables 1-3; 22-30) C om pen sa tio n a n d w age d a t a are gath ered by the Bureau from business estab lishments, State and local governments, labor unions, collective bargaining agree ments on file with the Bureau, and second ary sources. Employment Cost Index Description of the series The Employment Cost Index ( eci) is a quarterly measure of the rate of change in compensation per hour worked and in cludes wages, salaries, and employer costs of employee benefits. It uses a fixed mar ket basket of labor—similar in concept to the Consumer Price Index’s fixed market basket of goods and services—to measure change over time in employer costs of employing labor. The index is not season ally adjusted. Statistical series on total compensation costs, on wages and salaries, and on benefit costs are available for private nonfarm workers excluding proprietors, the self-employed, and household workers. The total compensation costs and wages and salaries series are also available for State and local government work ers and for the civilian nonfarm economy, which consists of private industry and State and local government workers combined. Federal workers are excluded. The Employment Cost Index probability sample consists of about 4,200 private non farm establishments providing about 22,000 occupational observations and 800 State and local government establishments providing 4,200 occupational observations selected to represent total employment in each sector. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data are col lected each quarter for the pay period includ ing the 12th day of March, June, September, and December. Beginning with June 1986 data, fixed employment weights from the 1980 Census of Population are used each quarter to calcul ate the civilian and private indexes and the index for State and local governments. (Prior to June 1986, the employment weights are from the 1970 Census of Population.) These fixed weights, also used to derive all of the industry and occupation series indexes, ensure that changes in these indexes reflect only changes in compensation, not employment shifts among industries or occupations with different levels of wages and compensation. For the bargaining status, region, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan area series, however, employment data by industry and occupation are not available from the census. Instead, the 1980 employment weights are reallocated within these series each quarter based on the current sample. Therefore, these indexes are not strictly comparable to those for the aggre gate, industry, and occupation series. Definitions Total compensation costs include wages, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis salaries, and the employer’s costs for em ployee benefits. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, including produc tion bonuses, incentive earnings, commis sions, and cost-of-living adjustments. Benefits include the cost to employers for paid leave, supplemental pay (including nonproduction bonuses), insurance, retire ment and savings plans, and legally required benefits (such as Social Security, workers’ compensation, and unemployment insur ance). Excluded from wages and salaries and employee benefits are such items as pay ment-in-kind, free room and board, and tips. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index for changes in wages and salaries in the private non farm economy was published beginning in 1975. Changes in total compensation cost—wages and salaries and benefits combined—were published beginning in 1980. The series of changes in wages and salaries and for total compensation in the State and local government sector and in the civilian nonfarm economy (excluding Federal employees) were published begin ning in 1981. Historical indexes (June 1981=100) of the quarterly rates of change are presented in the March issue of the bls periodical, Current Wage Developments. Additional sources of information For a more detailed discussion of the Em ployment Cost Index, see the b l s Hand book o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988); Employment Cost Indexes and Levels, 1975-88, Bulletin 2319 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988); and the following Monthly Labor Review articles: “Estimation procedures for the Employment Cost Index,” May 1982; and “Introducing new weights for the Employ ment Cost Index,” June 1985. Data on the eci are also available in bls quarterly press releases issued in the month following the reference months of March, June, September, and December; and from the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). Collective bargaining settlements Description of the series Collective bargaining settlements data provide statistical measures of negotiated adjustments (increases, decreases, and freezes) in compensation (wage and bene fit costs) and wages alone, quarterly for private industry and semiannually for State and local government. Compensa tion measures cover all collective bargain ing situations involving 5,000 workers or more and wage measures cover all situa tions involving 1,000 workers or more. These data, covering private nonagricultural industries and State and local govern ments, are calculated using information obtained from bargaining agreements on file with the Bureau, parties to the agree ments, and secondary sources, such as newspaper accounts. The data are not sea sonally adjusted. Settlement data are measured in terms of future specified adjustments: those that will occur within 12 months of the contract effec tive date—first-year—and all adjustments that will occur over the life of the contract expressed as an average annual rate. Adjust ments are worker weighted. Both first-year and over-the-life measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living clauses that are triggered by future move ments in the Consumer Price Index. Effective wage adjustments measure all adjustments occurring in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. Included are changes from settlements reached during the period, changes de ferred from contracts negotiated in earlier periods, and changes under cost-of-living adjustment clauses. Each wage change is worker weighted. The changes are pro rated over all workers under agreements during the reference period yielding the average adjustment. Definitions Wage rate changes are calculated by di viding newly negotiated wages by the average straight-time hourly wage rate plus shift premium at the time the agree ment is reached. Compensation changes are calculated by dividing the change in the value of the newly negotiated wage and benefit package by existing average hourly compensation, which includes the cost of previously negotiated benefits, le gally required social insurance programs, and average hourly earnings. Compensation changes are calculated by placing a value on the benefit portion of the settlements at the time they are reached. The cost estimates are based on the assump tion that conditions existing at the time of settlement (for example, methods of financ ing pensions or composition of labor force) will remain constant. The data, therefore, are measures of negotiated changes and not of total changes in employer cost. Contract duration runs from the effec tive date of the agreement to the expiration date or first wage reopening date, if applica ble. Average annual percent changes over Monthly Labor Review November 1990 55 Current Labor Statistics the contract term take account of the com pounding of successive changes. Notes on the data Comparisons of major collective bargain ing settlements for State and local govern ment with those for private industry should note differences in occupational mix, bar gaining practices, and settlement character istics. Professional and w hite-collar employees, for example, make up a much larger proportion of the workers covered by government than by private industry settle ments. Lump-sum payments and cost-of-living adjustments (COLA) clauses, on the other hand, are rare in government but common in private industry settlements. Also, State and local government bargaining frequently ex cludes items such as pension benefits and holidays, that are prescribed by law, while these items are typical bargaining issues in private industry. Additional sources of information For a more detailed discussion on the se ries, see the b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Comprehensive data are published in press releases issued quarterly (in Janu ary, April, July, and October) for private industry, and semiannually (in February and August) for State and local govern ment. Historical data and additional de tailed tabulations for the prior calendar year appear in the April issue of the bls periodical, Current Wage Developments. Work stoppages Description of the series Data on work stoppages measure the num ber and duration of major strikes or lock outs (involving 1,000 workers or more) occurring during the month (or year), the number of workers involved, and the amount of time lost because of stoppage. Data are largely from newspaper ac counts and cover only establishments di rectly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect of stoppages on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material short ages or lack of service. Definitions Number of stoppages: The number of strikes and lockouts involving 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Workers involved: The number of workers directly involved in the stoppage. Digitized for56 FRASER Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number of days idle: The aggregate number of workdays lost by workers in volved in the stoppages. Days of idleness as a percent of esti mated working time: Aggregate workdays lost as a percent of the aggregate number of standard workdays in the period multiplied by total employment in the period. Notes on the data This series is not comparable with the one terminated in 1981 that covered strikes involving six workers or more. Additional sources of information Data for each calendar year are reported in a bls press release issued in the first quar ter of the following year. Monthly and historical data appear in the bls periodi cal, Current Wage Developments. Histor ical data appear in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). Other compensation data Other bls data on pay and benefits, not included in the Current Labor Statistics section of the Monthly Labor Review, ap pear in and consist of the following: Industry Wage Surveys provide data for specific occupations selected to represent an industry’s wage structure and the types of activities performed by its workers. The Bu reau collects information on weekly work schedules, shift operations and pay differen tials, paid holiday and vacation practices, and information on the incidence of health, insurance, and retirement plans. Reports are issued throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summaries of the data and spe cial analyses also appear in the Monthly Labor Review. Area Wage Surveys annually provide data for selected office, clerical, profes sional, technical, maintenance, toolroom, powerplant, material movement, and custo dial occupations common to a wide variety of industries in the areas (labor markets) surveyed. Reports are issued throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summa ries of the data and special analyses also appear in the Review. The National Survey o f Professional, Administrative, Technical, and Clerical Pay provides detailed information annually on salary levels and distributions for the types of jobs mentioned in the survey’s title in private employment. Although the defini tions of the jobs surveyed reflect the duties and responsibilities in private industry, they are designed to match specific pay grades of Federal white-collar employees under the General Schedule pay system. Accordingly, November 1990 this survey provides the legally required in formation for comparing the pay of salaried employees in the Federal civil service with pay in private industry. (See Federal Pay Comparability Act of 1970, 5 u.s.c. 5305.) Data are published in a bls news release issued in the summer and in a bulletin each fall; summaries and analytical articles also appear in the Review. Employee Benefits Survey provides na tionwide information on the incidence and characteristics of employee benefit plans in medium and large establishments in the United States, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. Data are published in an annual bls news release and bulletin, as well as in special articles appearing in the Review. Price Data (Tables 2; 31-43) P rice d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1982 = 100 for many Producer Price Indexes or 1982-84 = 100 for many Consumer Price Indexes, unless otherwise noted). Consumer Price Indexes Description of the series The Consumer Price Index ( cpi) is a mea sure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed mar ket basket of goods and services. The cpi is calculated monthly for two population groups, one consisting only of urban households whose primary source of in come is derived from the employment of wage earners and clerical workers, and the other consisting of all urban households. The wage earner index (CPi-w) is a contin uation of the historic index that was intro duced well over a half-century ago for use in wage negotiations. As new uses were developed for the cpi in recent years, the need for a broader and more representative index became apparent. The all-urban con sumer index (CPI-U), introduced in 1978, is representative of the 1982-84 buying habits of about 80 percent of the noninstitutional population of the United States at that time, compared with 32 percent repre sented in the CPi-w. In addition to wage earners and clerical workers, the CPI-U covers professional, managerial, and tech nical workers, the self-employed, short term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, cloth ing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items are kept essentially unchanged be tween major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Data collected from more than 21,000 retail establishments and 60,000 housing units in 91 urban areas across the country are used to develop the “U.S. city average.” Separate estimates for 27 major urban cen ters are presented in table 32. The areas listed are as indicated in footnote 1 to the table. The area indexes measure only the average change in prices for each area since the base period, and do not indicate differences in the level of prices among cities. Notes on the data In January 1983, the Bureau changed the way in which homeownership costs are measured for the CPI-U. A rental equiva lence method replaced the asset-price ap proach to homeownership costs for that series. In January 1985, the same change was made in the CPi-w. The central pur pose of the change was to separate shelter costs from the investment component of homeownership so that the index would reflect only the cost of shelter services provided by owner-occupied homes. An updated CPi-U and CPi-w were introduced with release of the January 1987 data. Additional sources of information For a discussion of the general method for computing the CPI, see b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). The recent change in the measurement of homeownership costs is discussed in Robert Gillingham and Wal ter Lane, “Changing the treatment of shel ter costs for homeowners in the cpi,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1982, pp. 9-14. An overview of the recently introduced re vised cpi, reflecting 1982-84 expenditure patterns, is contained in The Consumer Price Index: 1987 Revision, Report 736 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1987). Additional detailed cpi data and regular analyses of consumer price changes are pro vided in the C P I Detailed Report, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Historical data for the overall CPI and for selected groupings may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). Producer Price Indexes Description of the series Producer Price Indexes ( ppi) m easure https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis average changes in prices received by do mestic producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes currently con tains about 3,100 commodities and about 75,000 quotations per month, selected to represent the movement of prices of all commodities produced in the manufactur ing; agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; and gas and electricity and public utilities sectors. The stage of processing structure of Producer Price Indexes orga nizes products by class of buyer and de gree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude materials). The traditional commodity structure of ppi organizes products by similarity of end use or material composition. The industry and product structure of ppi organizes data in accordance with the Standard Industrial Classification (sic) and the product code extension of the sic developed by the U.S. Bureau of the Census. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States from the production or central marketing point. Price data are gen erally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are obtained di rectly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. Since January 1987, price changes for the various commodities have been averaged together with implicit quantity weights rep resenting their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1982. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability-of-product groupings, and a number of special com posite groups. All Producer Price Index data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. Notes on the data Beginning with the January 1986 issue, the Review is no longer presenting tables of Producer Price Indexes for commodity groupings or special composite groups. However, these data will continue to be presented in the Bureau’s monthly publi cation, Producer Price Indexes. The Bureau has completed the first major stage of its comprehensive overhaul of the theory, methods, and procedures used to construct the Producer Price Indexes. Changes include the replacement of judge ment sampling with probability sampling techniques; expansion to systematic cover age of the net output of virtually all indus tries in the mining and manufacturing sectors; a shift from a commodity to an in dustry orientation; the exclusion of imports from, and the inclusion of exports in, the survey universe; and the respecification of commodities priced to conform to Bureau of the Census definitions. These and other changes have been phased in gradually since 1978. The result is a system of indexes that is easier to use in conjunction with data on wages, productivity, and employment and other series that are organized in terms of the Standard Industrial Classification and the census product class designations. Additional sources of information For a discussion of the methodology for computing Producer Price Indexes, see b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Additional detailed data and analyses of price changes are provided monthly in Pro ducer Price Indexes. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). International Price Indexes Description of the series The bls International Price Program produces quarterly export and import price indexes for nonmilitary goods traded be tween the United States and the rest of the world. The export price index provides a measure of price change for all products sold by U.S. residents to foreign buyers. (“Residents” is defined as in the national income accounts: it includes corporations, businesses, and individuals but does not require the organizations to be U.S. owned nor the individuals to have U.S. citizen ship.) The import price index provides a measure of price change for goods pur chased from other countries by U.S. resi dents. With publication of an all-import index in February 1983 and an all-export index in February 1984, all U.S. merchan dise imports and exports now are repre sented in these indexes. The reference period for the indexes is 1985=100, unless otherwise indicated. The product universe for both the import and export indexes includes raw materials, agricultural products, semifinished manu factures, and finished manufactures, includ ing both capital and consumer goods. Price data for these items are collected quarterly by mail questionnaire. In nearly all cases, the data are collected directly from the exporter or importer, although in a few cases, prices are obtained from other sources. To the extent possible, the data gathered refer to prices at the U.S. border for exports Monthly Labor Review November 1990 57 Current Labor Statistics and at either the foreign border or the U.S. border for imports. For nearly all products, the prices refer to transactions completed during the first 2 weeks of the third month of each calendar quarter—March, June, Sep tember, and December. Survey respondents are asked to indicate all discounts, allow ances, and rebates applicable to the reported prices, so that the price used in the calcula tion of the indexes is the actual price for which the product was bought or sold. In addition to general indexes of prices for U.S. exports and imports, indexes are also published for detailed product catego ries of exports and imports. These categories are defined by the 4- and 5-digit level of detail of the Standard International Trade Classification System (sitc ). The calcula tion of indexes by SITC category facilitates the comparison of U.S. price trends and sec tor production with similar data for other countries. Detailed indexes are also computëd and published on a Standard Industrial Classification (sic-based) basis, as well as by end-use class. Notes on the data The export and import price indexes are weighted indexes of the Laspeyres type. Price relatives are assigned equal import ance within each weight category and are then aggregated to the sitc level. The values assigned to each weight category are based on trade value figures compiled by the Bureau of the Census. The trade weights currently used to compute both indexes relate to 1985. Because a price index depends on the same items being priced from period to pe riod, it is necessary to recognize when a product’s specifications or terms of transac tion have been modified. For this reason, the Bureau’s quarterly questionnaire requests detailed descriptions of the physical and functional characteristics of the products being priced, as well as information on the number of units bought or sold, discounts, credit terms, packaging, class of buyer or seller, and so forth. When there are changes in either the specifications or terms of trans action of a product, the dollar value of each change is deleted from the total price change to obtain the “pure” change. Once this value is determined, a linking procedure is em ployed which allows for the continued re pricing of the item. For the export price indexes, the pre ferred pricing basis is f.a.s. (free alongside ship) U.S. port of exportation. When firms report export prices f.o.b. (free on board), production point information is collected which enables the Bureau to calculate a ship ment cost to the port of exportation. An attempt is made to collect two prices for 58 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis imports. The first is the import price f.o.b. at the foreign port of exportation, which is consistent with the basis for valuation of imports in the national accounts. The second is the import price c.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) at the U.S. port of importation, which also includes the other costs associ ated with bringing the product to the U.S. border. It does not, however, include duty charges. For a given product, only one price basis series is used in the construction of an index. Beginning in 1988, the Bureau has also been publishing a series of indexes which represent the price of U.S. exports and im ports in foreign currency terms. Additional sources of information For a discussion of the general method of computing International Price Indexes, see b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Additional detailed data and analyses of international price developments are pre sented in the Bureau’s quarterly publication, U. S. Import and Export Price Indexes and in occasional Monthly Labor Review articles prepared by bls analysts. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). For further information on the foreign currency indexes, see “bls pub lishes average exchange rate and foreign currency price indexes,” Monthly Labor Re view, December 1987, pp. 47^49. Productivity Data (Tables 2; 44^7) Business sector and major sectors Description of the series The productivity measures relate real physical output to real input. As such, they encompass a family of measures which include single-factor input measures, such as output per unit of labor input (output per hour) or output per unit of capital input, as well as measures of multifactor productiv ity (output per unit of combined labor and capital inputs). The Bureau indexes show the change in output relative to changes in the various inputs. The measures cover the business, nonfarm business, manufactur ing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Corresponding indexes of hourly com pensation, unit labor costs, unit nonlabor payments, and prices are also provided. Definitions Output per hour of all persons (labor November 1990 productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant prices produced per hour of labor input. Output per unit of capital services (capital productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant dollars produced per unit of capital ser vices input. Multifactor productivity is the value of goods and services in constant prices pro duced per combined unit of labor and capital inputs. Changes in this measure reflect changes in a number of factors which affect the production process, such as changes in technology, shifts in the composition of the labor force, changes in capacity utilization, research and development, skill and effort of the work force, management, and so forth. Changes in the output per hour measures reflect the impact of these factors as well as the substitution of capital for labor. Compensation per hour is the wages and salaries of employees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and pri vate benefit plans, and the wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the selfemployed (except for nonfinancial corpora tions in which there are no self-em ployed)—the sum divided by hours at work. Real compensation per hour is compensa tion per hour deflated by the change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Con sumers. Unit labor costs are the labor compensa tion costs expended in the production of a unit of output and are derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compen sation of all persons from current-dollar value of output and dividing by output. Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital con sumption adjustments per unit of output. Hours of all persons are the total hours at work of payroll workers, self-employed per sons, and unpaid family workers. Capital services is the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock of physical assets—equipment, structures, land, and inventories—weighted by rental prices for each type of asset. Combined units of labor and capital in puts are derived by combining changes in labor and capital input with weights which represent each component’s share of total output. The indexes for capital services and combined units of labor and capital are based on changing weights which are averages of the shares in the current and preceding year (the Tomquist index-number formula). Notes on the data tors because the industry measures are de veloped independently of the National In come and Product Accounts framework used for the major sector measures. The output measure for the business sector is equal to constant-dollar gross national product but excludes the rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, the rest-ofworld sector, the output of non-profit in stitutions, the output of paid employees of private households, general government, and the statistical discrepancy. Output of the nonfarm business sector is equal to business sector output less farming. The measures are derived from data supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of man ufacturing output (gross product originat ing) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are developed from data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The productivity and associated cost measures in tables 44-47 describe the rela tionship between output in real terms and the labor time and capital services involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per unit of input. Al though these measures relate output to hours and capital services, they do not measure the contributions of labor, capital, or any other specific factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of many influences, in cluding changes in technology; capital in vestment; level of output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organi zation of production; managerial skill; and the characteristics and efforts of the work force. The industry measures are compiled from data produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Departments of Commerce, Interior, and Agriculture, the Federal Re serve Board, regulatory agencies, trade as sociations, and other sources. For most industries, the productivity in dexes refer to the output per hour of all employees. For some transportation industries, only indexes of output per employee are pre pared. For some trade and service industries, indexes of output per hour of all persons (in cluding self-employed) are constructed. Additional sources of information Additional sources of information Descriptions of methodology underlying the measurement of output per hour and multifactor productivity are found in the B L S Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988). Histor ical data are provided in Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). For a listing of available industry produc tivity indexes and their components, see Productivity Measures for Selected Indus tries and Government Services, Bulletin 2322 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989). For additional information about the meth odology for computing the industry pro ductivity measures, see the b l s Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988), chapter 11. Industry productivity measures Definitions Output per employee hour is derived by dividing an index of industry output by an index of aggregate hours of all employees. Output indexes are based on quantifiable units of products or services, or both, com bined with fixed-period weights. When ever possible, physical quantities are used as the unit of measurement for output. If quantity data are not available for a given industry, data on the constant-dollar value of production are used. The labor input series consist of the hours of all employees (production and nonpro duction workers), the hours of all persons (paid employees, partners, proprietors, and unpaid family workers), or the number of employees, depending upon the industry. Notes on the data Description of the series International Comparisons The BLS industry productivity data supple ment the measures for the business econ omy and m ajor sectors with annual measures of labor productivity for se lected industries at the 3- and 4-digit levels of the Standard Industrial Classification system. The industry measures differ in methodology and data sources from the productivity measures for the major sec (Tables 48-50) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and unemployment—approximating U.S. concepts—for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, and several European countries. The unemployment statistics (and, to a lesser extent, employment statis tics) published by other industrial coun tries are not, in most cases, comparable to U.S. unemployment statistics. Therefore, the Bureau adjusts the figures for selected countries, where necessary, for all known major definitional differences. Although precise comparability may not be achiev ed, these adjusted figures provide a better basis for international comparisons than the figures regularly published by each country. Definitions For the principal U.S. definitions of the labor force, employment, and unem ployment, see the Notes section on EM PLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT DATA: Household Survey Data. Notes on the data Labor force and unemployment Description of the series Tables 48 and 49 present comparative measures of the labor force, employment, The adjusted statistics have been adapted to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country, rather than to the U.S. standard of 16 years of age and over. Therefore, the adjusted statistics relate to the population age 16 and over in France, Sweden, and from 1973 onward, the United Kingdom; 15 and over in Canada, Aus tralia, Japan, Germany, the Netherlands, and prior to 1973, the United Kingdom; and 14 and over in Italy. The institutional population is included in the denominator of the labor force participation rates and employment-population ratios for Japan and Germany; it is excluded for the United States and the other countries. In the U.S. labor force survey, persons on layoff who are awaiting recall to their jobs are classified as unemployed. European and Japanese layoff practices are quite different in nature from those in the United States; therefore, strict application of the U.S. defi nition has not been made on this point. For further information, see Monthly Labor Re view, December 1981, pp. 8-11. The figures for one or more recent years for France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom are calculated using adjustment factors based on labor force surveys for earlier years and are con sidered preliminary. The recent-year mea sures for these countries are, therefore, sub ject to revision whenever data from more cur rent labor force surveys become available. There are breaks in the data series for Germany (1983), Italy (1986), the Nether lands (1983), and Sweden (1987). For both Germany and the Netherlands, the breaks Monthly Labor Review November 1990 59 C u rren t L a b o r S ta tistics reflect the replacement of labor force survey results tabulated by the national statistical offices with those tabulated by the European Community Statistical Office (eurostat ). The Dutch figures for 1983 onward also reflect the replacement of man-year employ ment data with data from the Dutch Survey of Employed Persons. The impact of the changes was to lower the adjusted unem ployment rate by 0.3 percentage point for Germany and by about 2 percentage points for the Netherlands. For Italy, the break in series reflects more accurate enumeration of time of last job search. This resulted in a significant increase in the number of people reported as seeking work in the last 30 days. The impact was to increase the Italian unemployment rates ap proximating U.S. concepts by about 1 per centage point. Sweden introduced a new questionnaire. Questions regarding current availability were added and the period of active work seeking was reduced from 60 days to 4 weeks. These changes result in lowering Sweden’s unemployment rate by 0.5 per centage point. Additional sources of information For further information, see International Comparisons o f Unemployment, Bulletin 1979 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1978), Appendix B, and Supplements to Appen dix B. The statistics are also analyzed peri odically in the Monthly Labor Review. Additional historical data, generally begin ning with 1959, are published in the Hand book o f Labor Statistics and are available in statistical supplements to Bulletin 1979. Manufacturing productivity and labor costs Description of the series Table 50 presents comparative measures of m anufacturing labor productivity, hourly compensation costs, and unit labor costs for the United States, Canada, Japan, and nine European countries. These mea sures are limited to trend comparisons— that is, intercountry series of changes over tim e—rather than level comparisons because reliable international compari sons of the levels of manufacturing output are unavailable. Definitions Output is constant value output (value added), generally taken from the national accounts of each country. While the na tional accounting methods for measuring 60 M on thly L a b o r R e v ie w https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis real output differ considerably among the 12 countries, the use of different proce dures does not, in itself, connote lack of comparability—rather, it reflects differ ences among countries in the availability and reliability of underlying data series. Hours refer to all employed persons in cluding the self-employed in the United States and Canada; to all wage and salary employ ees in the other countries. The U.S. hours measure is hours paid; the hours measures for the other countries are hours worked. Compensation (labor cost) includes all payments in cash or kind made directly to employees plus employer expenditures for legally required insurance programs and contractual and private benefit plans. In ad dition, for some countries, compensation is adjusted for other significant taxes on pay rolls or employment (or reduced to reflect subsidies), even if they are not for the direct benefit of workers, because such taxes are regarded as labor costs. However, compen sation does not include all items of labor cost. The costs of recruitment, employee training, and plant facilities and services— such as cafeterias and medical clinics—are not covered because data are not available for most countries. Self-employed workers are included in the U.S. and Canadian com pensation figures by assuming that their hourly compensation is equal to the average for wage and salary employees. Notes on the data For most of the countries, the measures refer to total manufacturing as defined by the International Standard Industrial Clas sification. However, the measures for France (beginning 1959), Italy (beginning 1970), and the United Kingdom (begin ning 1971), refer to manufacturing and mining less energy-related products and the figures for the Netherlands exclude petroleum refining from 1969 to 1976. For all countries, manufacturing includes the activities of government enterprises. The figures for one or more recent years are generally based on current indicators of manufacturing output, employment, hours and hourly compensation and are considered preliminary until the national accounts and other statistics used for the long-term mea sures become available. Additional sources of information For additional information, see the b l s Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2285 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1988), and peri odic Monthly Labor Review articles. Historical data are provided in the Hand book of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). The N o ve m b er 199 0 statistics are issued twice per year—in a news release (generally in June) and in a Monthly Labor Review article. Occupational Injury and Illness Data (Table 51) Description of the series The Annual Survey of Occupational Inju ries and Illnesses is designed to collect data on injuries and illnesses based on records which employers in the following industries maintain under the Occupa tional Safety and Health Act of 1970: ag riculture, forestry, and fishing; oil and gas extraction; construction; manufacturing; transportation and public utilities; whole sale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. Excluded from the survey are self-employed indi viduals, farmers with fewer than 11 em ployees, employers regulated by other Federal safety and health laws, and Fed eral, State, and local government agencies. Because the survey is a Federal-State cooperative program and the data must meet the needs of participating State agencies, an independent sample is selected for each State. The sample is selected to represent all private industries in the States and territo ries. The sample size for the survey is depen dent upon (1) the characteristics for which estimates are needed; (2) the industries for which estimates are desired; (3) the charac teristics of the population being sampled; (4) the target reliability of the estimates; and (5) the survey design employed. While there are many characteristics upon which the sample design could be based, the total recorded case incidence rate is used because it is one of the most import ant characteristics and the least variable; therefore, it requires the smallest sample size. The survey is based on stratified random sampling with a Neyman allocation and a ratio estimator. The characteristics used to stratify the establishments are the Standard Industrial Classification (sic) code and size of employment. Definitions Recordable occupational injuries and illnesses are: (1) occupational deaths, re gardless of the time between injury and death, or the length of the illness; or (2) nonfatal occupational illnesses; or (3) nonfatal occupational injuries which in volve one or more of the following: loss of consciousness, restriction of work or mo tion, transfer to another job, or medical treatment (other than first aid). Occupational injury is any injury, such as a cut, fracture, sprain, amputation, and so forth, which results from a work accident or from exposure involving a single incident in the work environment. Occupational illness is an abnormal condition or disorder, other than one result ing from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to environmental factors associ ated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or disease which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, ingestion, or direct contact. Lost workday cases are cases which involve days away from work, or days of restricted work activity, or both. Lost workday cases involving re stricted work activity are those cases which result in restricted work activity only. Lost workdays away from work are the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which the employee would have worked but could not because of occupational injury or illness. Lost workdays—restricted work ac tivity are the number of workdays (consec utive or not) on which, because of injury or illness: (1) the employee was assigned to another job on a temporary basis; or (2) the employee worked at a permanent job less than full time; or (3) the employee worked at a permanently assigned job but could not perform all duties normally connected with it. The number of days away from work or days of restricted work activity does not include the day of injury or onset of illness https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis or any days on which the employee would not have worked even though able to work. Incidence rates represent the number of injuries and/or illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers. Notes on the data is compiled and published by the Occupa tional Safety and Health Administration. Data on State and local government employ ees are collected by about half of the States and territories; these data are not compiled nationally. Additional sources of information Estimates are made for industries and em ployment-size classes and for severity classification: fatalities, lost workday The Supplementary Data System provides cases, and nonfatal cases without lost detailed information describing various workdays. Lost workday cases are sepa factors associated with work-related inju rated into those where the employee would ries and illnesses. These data are obtained have worked but could not and those in from information reported by employers to which work activity was restricted. Esti State workers’ compensation agencies. mates of the number of cases and the num The Work Injury Report program exam ber of days lost are made for both cate ines selected types of accidents through an gories. employee survey which focuses on the Most of the estimates are in the form of circumstances surrounding the injury. incidence rates, defined as the number of These data are not included in the Hand injuries and illnesses, or lost workdays per book o f Labor Statistics but are available 100 full-time employees. For this purpose, from the bls Office of Safety, Health, and 200,000 employee hours represent 100 em Working Conditions. ployee years (2,000 hours per employee). A The definitions of occupational injuries few of the available measures are included and illnesses and lost workdays are from in the Handbook of Labor Statistics. Full Recordkeeping Requirements under the Oc detail is presented in the annual bulletin, cupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the For additional data, see Occupational Inju United States, by Industry. ries and Illnesses in the United States, by Comparable data for individual States are Industry, annual Bureau of Labor Statistics available from the bls Office of Safety, bulletin; b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin Health, and Working Conditions. 2285 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1988); Mining and railroad data are furnished to Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2340 bls by the Mine Safety and Health Admin (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989), pp. 411istration and the Federal Railroad Adminis tration, respectively. Data from these 14; annual reports in the Monthly Labor organizations are included in bls and State Review; and annual U.S. Department of publications. Federal employee experience Labor press releases. □ Monthly Labor Review November 1990 61 C u rren t L a b o r S ta tistics: C o m p a ra tiv e In d ica to rs 1. Labor market indicators II I IV III II I IV III 19 90 1989 1988 1988 Selected indicators Employment data Employment status of the civilian noninstitutionalized population (household survey):1 Labor force participation ra te ..................................................... Employment-population ra tio ...................................................... Unemployment rate .................................................................... M e n .......................................................................................... 16 to 24 years .................................................................. 25 years and o v e r................................................................. Women .................................................................................... 16 to 24 years ...................................................................... 25 years and o v e r................................................................. Unemployment rate, 15 weeks and o ver................................ 65.9 62.3 5.5 5.5 11.4 4.2 5.6 10.6 4.3 1.3 66.5 63.0 5.3 5.2 11.4 3.9 5.4 10.4 4.2 1.1 66.0 62.3 5.5 5.5 11.5 4.2 5.5 10.5 4.3 1.3 66.1 62.6 5.3 5.3 11.1 4.1 5.3 10.3 4.1 1.2 66.3 62.9 5.2 5.2 11.2 3.9 5.2 10.2 4.1 1.1 66.5 63.0 5.3 5.1 11.1 3.9 5.4 10.4 4.2 1.1 66.5 63.0 5.3 5.2 11.4 3.9 5.4 10.5 4.2 1.1 66.5 63.0 5.3 5.3 11.8 4.0 5.4 10.4 4.3 1.1 66.5 63.0 5.2 5.2 11.0 4.1 5.3 10.2 4.2 1.1 66.5 63.0 5.3 5.4 11.4 4.1 5.2 10.2 4.1 1.1 Total .............................................................................................. Private se cto r............................................................................. Goods-producing........................................................................ Manufacturing.......................................................................... Service-producing ...................................................................... 105,536 88,150 25,173 19,350 80,363 108,413 90,644 25,326 19,426 83,087 105,938 88,531 25,220 19,366 80,719 106,766 89,215 25,295 19,455 81,471 107,630 90,006 25,362 19,514 82,267 108,162 90,443 25,353 19,474 82,809 108,662 90,829 25,329 19,413 83,333 109,203 91,299 25,260 19,308 83,942 109,911 91,845 25,262 19,211 84,649 110,541 92,108 25,178 19,168 85,363 Average hours: Private sector ............................................................................. Manufacturing ....................................................................... Overtime............................................................................... 34.7 41.1 3.9 34.6 41.0 3.8 34.7 41.1 3.9 34.7 41.1 3.9 34.6 41.1 3.9 34.6 41.0 3.8 34.6 41.0 3.8 34.5 40.7 3.7 34.5 40.8 3.6 34.6 40.9 3.7 Percent change in the ECI, compensation: All workers (excluding farm, household, and Federal workers) .. Private industry workers .......................................................... Goods-producing2 ................................................................. Service-producing2 ............................................................... State and local government workers...................................... 4.9 4.8 4.4 5.1 5.6 5.0 4.8 4.3 5.1 6.2 1.4 .9 .6 1.2 2.8 1.0 1.0 .8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.3 3.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 .7 Workers by bargaining status (private industry): U nion........................................................................................ Nonunion .................................................................................. 3.9 5.1 3.7 5.1 .7 1.0 .5 1.1 .8 1.4 1.0 1.2 .9 1.4 .9 1.0 1.5 1.7 .8 1.3 Employment, nonfarm (payroll data), in thousands:1 Employment Cost Index 1 Quarterly data seasonally adjusted. , . . 2 Goods-producing industries include mining, construction, and manufacturing. Service-producing industries include all other private sector industries. 62 M on thly L a b o r R e v ie w https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N o v e m b e r 1 990 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity 1988 Selected measures 1988 1989 1990 1989 III IV I II III IV I II Compensation data 1, 2 Employment Cost Index-compensation (wages, salaries, benefits): Civilian nonfarm ............................ Private nonfarm .............................. Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries Civilian nonfarm ............................... Private nonfarm ................................ 4.9 4.8 5.0 4.8 1.4 .9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.2 10 1.1 1.6 1.3 4.3 4.1 4.4 4.1 1.4 .9 .9 1.0 1.1 1.0 .8 1.0 1.6 1.2 8 .8 1.2 1.3 Consumer Price Index (All urban consumers): All items .. 4.4 4.6 1.5 .6 1.5 1.5 .7 .9 2.1 .9 Producer Price Index: Finished goods.......................... Finished consumer goods.................. Capital equipment ...................... Intermediate materials, supplies, components ...... Crude materials....................... 4.0 4.0 3.6 5.6 3.1 4.9 5.3 3.8 2.3 7.1 .8 1.0 .4 1.2 -1.2 1.3 1.1 1.8 .6 .6 1.9 2.2 .9 1.9 6.1 2.0 2.3 1.1 1.1 .9 -.6 -.8 1 3 -1.7 1.6 15 16 1.9 1.3 -4.4 2.0 2.2 1.1 -.2 -.3 -1.3 2.5 2.8 -.7 -1.2 .5 -.9 .5 -1.7 -2.5 .0 -.5 -1.4 -1.5 -.8 .8 20 22 -4.2 -2.2 1.7 Price data1 Productivity data3 Output per hour of all persons: Business se cto r............................. Nonfarm business sector .............. Nonfinancial corporations 4 ............ ................. ------------------ « .V , u ^ M , u g r i y L / c v , C M I U C I V/l l a i i y c . U U Cll I d iy u ilc ll iy tJS are calculated using the last month of each quarter. Compensation and price data are not seasonally adjusted and the price data are not compounded. 2 Excludes Federal and private household workers. 3 Annual rates of change are computed by comparing annual averages. dexes. The data are seasonally adjusted. 4 Output per hour of all employees. 3. Alternative measures of wage and compensation changes Quarterly average Components 1989 1990 III Average hourly compensation:1 All persons, business sector.............. All persons, nonfarm business sector Employment Cost Index-compensation: Civilian nonfarm 2 ............................ Private nonfarm ............................ U nion.......................................... Nonunion..................................... State and local governments....... Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries: Civilian nonfarm2 ...................................... Private nonfarm .................................... Union ................................................... Nonunion............................................. State and local governments................. Four quarters ended- IV 1989 Il 1990 I IV 2.0 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.8 2.6 2.7 3.8 3.2 6.1 5.8 4.1 4.1 3.4 3.2 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.3 3.4 3.4 1.2 1.2 .8 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.0 1.1 .9 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.3 .7 4.8 4.6 3.0 5.1 5.5 4.8 4.5 3.1 4.9 5.8 5.1 4.8 3.3 5.3 6.4 5.0 4.8 3.7 5.1 .6 1.2 .9 1.4 3.3 6.2 5.5 5.2 4.3 5.4 6.4 5.4 5.2 4.1 5.5 6.5 1.1 1.0 .7 1.3 .8 1.0 1.6 1.2 4.4 4.2 2.5 4.8 4.7 4.3 4.1 4.5 4.3 2.4 4.9 5.5 4.4 4.1 3.1 4.5 5.3 4.4 4.2 3.4 4.4 5.6 4.7 4.5 3.3 4.8 5.7 3.2 1.2 1.3 .7 3.2 1.3 1.2 .7 3.3 1.0 1.0 .8 .8 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.3 .7 1.4 1.1 .3 2.7 2.8 .8 .8 .6 .8 1.0 1.0 .5 1.3 3.1 .8 .5 .1 .3 .1 1.0 .3 .5 1.0 .4 .4 .7 .4 .6 .2 .6 1.3 .7 1.3 3.0 .9 1.3 .2 .2 .1 .3 .1 .3 .6 .8 .8 Negotiated wage adjustments from settlements:3 First-year adjustments ................................... Annual rate over life of contract................... 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.3 3.6 3.0 4.9 4.0 3.7 3.3 4.7 4.2 2.7 2.5 3.2 2.9 3.5 3.0 4.0 3.4 4.0 3.4 4.2 3.6 Negotiated wage and benefit adjustments from settlements:4 First-year adjustment........................................................ Annual rate over life of contract....................................... 3.2 3.1 5.1 3.4 3.9 2.7 5.3 4.3 4.6 3.6 3.3 2.6 3.8 3.0 4.0 4.5 3.4 4.6 3.5 4.8 3.7 Total effective wage adjustments3 From current settlements...... From prior settlements.......... From cost-of-living provision ... 3 .8 Seasonally adjusted. Excludes Federal and household workers. Limited to major collective bargaining units of 1,000 workers or more. The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .8 .2 .6 2.6 4.6 5.0 2.8 1.2 1.4 .7 most recent data are preliminary. 4 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 5,000 workers or more. The most recent data are preliminary. M on th ly L a b o r R e v ie w N o ve m b er 1 990 63 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 4. Employment status of the total population, by sex, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1989 Annual average Employment status 1989 1988 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. TOTAL Noninstitutional population 1, 2 ... Labor force2 ............................. Participation rate 3 ........... Total employed 2 .................. Employment-population ratio 4 .............................. Resident Armed Forces 1 ... Civilian employed............... Agriculture ....................... Nonagricultural industries Unemployed......................... Unemployment rate 5 ...... Not in labor force ................... 186,322 123,378 66.2 116,677 188,081 125,557 66.8 119,030 1¿8,428 125,725 66.7 119,121 188,580 125,857 66.7 119,294 188,721 126,192 66.9 119,540 188,865 126,246 66.8 119,588 188,990 126,094 66.7 119,560 189,090 126,308 66.8 119,713 189,198 126,498 66.9 120,003 119,580 189,901 126,300 66.5 119,298 190,002 126,568 66.6 119,499 63.0 1,627 117,953 3,085 114,867 6,814 5.4 63,369 62.8 1,640 117,658 3,137 114,521 7,003 5.5 63,601 62.9 1,601 117,898 3,181 114,717 7,069 5.6 63,434 91,240 69,459 76.1 65,596 91,271 69,809 76.5 65,867 189,763 126,394 119,989 189,607 126,466 66.7 120,019 63.3 1,630 118,389 3,348 115,041 6,447 5.1 63,141 189,326 126,543 189,467 126,643 66.8 66.8 119,773 66.6 62.6 1,709 114,968 3,169 111,800 6,701 5.4 62,944 63.3 1,688 117,342 3,199 114,142 6,528 5.2 62,523 63.2 1,702 117,419 3,219 114,200 6,604 5.3 62,703 63.3 1,709 117,585 3,197 114,388 6,563 5.2 62,723 63.3 1,704 117,836 3,160 114,676 6,652 5.3 62,529 63.3 1,700 117,888 3,197 114,691 6,658 5.3 62,619 63.3 1,697 117,863 3,134 114,728 6,535 5.2 62,896 63.3 1,678 118,035 3,079 114,957 6,594 5.2 62,782 63.4 1,669 118,334 3,200 115,133 6,495 5.1 62,700 63.3 1,657 118,116 3,133 114,983 6,770 5.3 62,783 63.3 1,639 118,350 3,305 115,045 6,653 5.3 62,824 89,404 68,474 76.6 64,820 90,283 69,360 76.8 65,835 90,456 69,360 76.7 65,681 90,535 69,599 76.9 66,046 90,606 69,635 76.9 66,011 90,678 69,725 76.9 66,143 90,772 69,539 76.6 65,943 90,822 69,639 76.7 66,108 90,874 69,712 76.7 66,208 90,942 69,779 76.7 66,043 91,014 69,737 76.6 66,058 91,087 69,599 76.4 66,000 91,168 69,544 76.3 65,740 72.9 1,529 64,482 3,624 5.2 72.9 1,525 64,618 3,582 5.1 72.6 1,523 64,420 3,597 5.2 72.8 1,506 64,602 3,530 5.1 72.9 1,497 64,711 3,505 5.0 72.6 1,499 64,544 3,735 5.4 72.6 1,472 64,586 3,679 5.3 72.5 1,465 64,535 3,599 5.2 72.1 1,462 64,278 3,804 5.5 71.9 1,475 64,121 3,863 5.6 72.2 1,441 64,426 3,943 5.6 Men, 16 years and over Noninstitutional population \ 2 . Labor force2 ........................... Participation rate 3 ......... Total employed 2 ................. Employment-population ratio 4 ............................ Resident Armed Forces 1 Civilian employed ............. Unemployed........................ Unemployment rate 5 .... 72.5 1,547 63,273 3,655 5.3 72.9 1,520 64,315 3,525 5.1 72.6 1,531 64,150 3,679 5.3 73.0 1,533 64,513 3,553 5.1 96,918 Noninstitutional population 1, 2 .... 54,904 Labor force2 .............................. 56.6 Participation rate 3 ............ 51,858 Total employed2 ...................» Employment-population 53.5 ratio 4 ............................... 162 Resident Armed Forces 1 .... . ' . 51,696 Civilian employed................ 3,046 Unemployed........................... 5.5 Unemployment rate 5 ....... 97,798 56,198 57.5 53,195 97,972 56,365 57.5 53,440 98,045 56,258 57.4 53,248 98,115 56,557 57.6 53,529 98,187 56,521 57.6 53,445 98,218 56,555 57.6 53,617 98,268 56,669 57.7 53,605 98,324 56,785 57.8 53,795 98,383 56,764 57.7 53,729 98,453 56,906 57.8 53,931 98,520 56,867 57.7 54,019 98,595 56,849 57.7 53,839 98,661 56,842 57.6 53,702 98,731 56,758 57.5 53,632 54.4 168 53,027 3,003 5.3 54.5 171 53,269 2,925 5.2 54.3 176 53,072 3,010 5.4 54.6 175 53,354 3,028 5.4 54.4 175 53,270 3,076 5.4 54.6 174 53,443 2,938 5.2 54.5 172 53,433 3,064 5.4 54.7 172 53,623 2,990 5.3 54.6 158 53,571 3,034 5.3 54.8 167 53,764 2,975 5.2 54.8 165 53,854 2,848 5.0 54.6 165 53,674 3,010 5.3 54.4 165 53,537 3,140 5.5 54.3 160 53,472 3,126 5.5 Women, 16 years and over 1 The population and Armed Forces figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation. 2 Includes members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. 3 Labor force as a percent of the noninstitutional population. 64 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 4 Total employed as a percent of the noninstitutional population. 5 Unemployment as a percent of the labor force (including the resident Armed Forces). 5. Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1990 1989 Annual average Employment status 1988 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. TOTAL Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Not In labor force ........................ 184,613 121,669 65.9 114,968 186,393 123,869 66.5 117,342 186,726 124,023 66.4 117,419 186,871 124,148 66.4 117,585 187,017 124,488 66.6 117,836 187,165 124,546 66.5 117,888 187,293 124,397 66.4 117,863 187,412 124,630 66.5 118,035 187,529 124,829 66.6 118,334 187,669 124,886 66.5 118,116 187,828 125,004 66.6 118,350 187,977 124,836 66.4 118,389 188,136 124,767 66.3 117,953 188,261 124,660 66.2 117,658 188,401 124,967 66.3 117,898 62.3 6,701 5.5 62,944 63.0 6,528 5.3 62,523 62.9 6,604 5.3 62,703 62.9 6,563 5.3 62,723 63.0 6,652 5.3 62,529 63.0 6,658 5.3 62,619 62.9 6,535 5.3 62,896 63.0 6,594 5.3 62,782 63.1 6,495 5.2 62,700 62.9 6,770 5.4 62,783 63.0 6,653 5.3 62,824 63.0 6,447 5.2 63,141 62.7 6,814 5.5 63,369 62.5 7,003 5.6 63,601 62.6 7,069 5.7 63,434 80,553 62,768 77.9 59,781 81,619 63,704 78.1 60,837 81,790 63,771 78.0 60,729 81,905 63,918 78.0 61,026 81,968 63,967 78.0 61,033 82,055 64,071 78.1 61,154 82,168 63,958 77.8 60,976 82,248 64,101 77.9 61,172 82,378 64,183 77.9 61,270 82,487 64,251 77.9 61,138 82,581 64,312 77.9 61,265 82,676 64,364 77.9 61,345 82,790 64,344 77.7 61,196 82,862 64,362 77.7 61,143 82,940 64,573 77.9 61,264 74.2 2,271 57,510 2,987 4.8 74.5 2,307 58,530 2,867 4.5 74.2 2,330 58,399 3,042 4.8 74.5 2,304 58,722 2,892 4.5 74.5 2,292 58,741 2,934 4.6 74.5 2,293 58,861 2,917 4.6 74.2 2,269 58,706 2,983 4.7 74.4 2,254 58,918 2,929 4.6 74.4 2,268 59,002 2,913 4.5 74.1 2,258 58,879 3,113 4.8 74.2 2,388 58,877 3,047 4.7 74.2 2,400 58,945 3,019 4.7 73.9 2,262 58,934 3,148 4.9 73.8 2,246 58,897 3,219 5.0 73.9 2,295 58,969 3,309 5.1 89,532 50,870 56.8 48,383 90,550 52,212 57.7 49,745 90,771 52,358 57.7 49,984 90,860 52,281 57.5 49,796 90,952 52,541 57.8 50,043 91,042 52,586 57.8 50,048 91,091 52,686 57.8 50,255 91,157 52,814 57.9 50,287 91,237 52,800 57.9 50,344 91,330 52,954 58.0 50,427 91,414 53,146 58.1 50,709 91,495 53,174 58.1 50,776 91,581 53,211 58.1 50,719 91,688 53,315 58.1 50,699 91,765 53,121 57.9 50,489 54.0 625 47,757 2,487 4.9 54.9 642 49,103 2,467 4.7 55.1 660 49,324 2,374 4.5 54.8 641 49,155 2,485 4.8 55.0 624 49,419 2,498 4.8 55.0 618 49,430 2,538 4.8 55.2 594 49,661 2,431 4.6 55.2 582 49,704 2,527 4.8 55.2 648 49,696 2,456 4.7 55.2 669 49,758 2,526 4.8 55.5 680 50,029 2,438 4.6 55.5 700 50,077 2,398 4.5 55.4 585 50,135 2,492 4.7 55.3 639 50,060 2,616 4.9 55.0 619 49,870 2,632 5.0 14,527 8,031 55.3 6,805 14,223 7,954 55.9 6,759 14,166 7,894 55.7 6,706 14,107 7,949 56.3 6,763 14,097 7,980 56.6 6,760 14,067 7,889 56.1 6,686 14,034 7,752 55.2 6,631 14,008 7,715 55.1 6,577 13,914 7,846 56.4 6,720 13,852 7,681 55.4 6,551 13,832 7,545 54.6 6,376 13,806 7,298 52.9 6,268 13,764 7,212 52.4 6,038 13,711 6,983 50.9 5,815 13,696 7,272 53.1 6,144 46.8 273 6,532 1,226 15.3 47.5 250 6,510 1,194 15.0 47.3 229 6,477 1,188 15.0 47.9 252 6,511 1,186 14.9 48.0 244 6,516 1,220 15.3 47.5 286 6,400 1,203 15.2 47.3 270 6,361 1,121 14.5 47.0 243 6,334 1,138 14.8 48.3 285 6,435 1,126 14.4 47.3 206 6,345 1,130 14.7 46.1 237 6,139 1,169 15.5 45.4 249 6,019 1,030 14.1 43.9 239 5,799 1,174 16.3 42.4 251 5,564 1,168 16.7 44.9 266 5,878 1,128 15.5 158,194 104,756 66.2 99,812 159,338 106,355 66.7 101,584 159,549 106,393 66.7 101,579 159,644 106,618 66.8 101,862 159,736 106,834 66.9 101,991 159,832 106,896 66.9 102,032 159,938 106,884 66.8 102,074 160,007 107,080 66.9 102,117 160,076 107,061 66.9 102,206 160,170 107,133 66.9 102,027 160,271 107,353 67.0 102,362 160,365 107,273 66.9 102,461 160,468 107,230 66.8 102,260 160,550 107,135 66.7 101,968 160,640 107,451 66.9 102,260 63.1 4,944 4.7 63.8 4,770 4.5 63.7 4,814 4.5 63.8 4,756 4.5 63.8 4,843 4.5 63.8 4,864 4.6 63.8 4,811 4.5 63.8 4,962 4.6 63.8 4,856 4.5 63.7 5,106 4.8 63.9 4,991 4.6 63.9 4,812 4.5 63.7 4,970 4.6 63.5 5,167 4.8 63.7 5,190 4.8 20,692 13,205 63.8 11,658 21,021 13,497 64.2 11,953 21,085 13,518 64.1 11,938 21,108 13,507 64.0 11,923 21,136 13,576 64.2 11,954 21,164 13,522 63.9 11,920 21,163 13,510 63.8 11,978 21,188 13,437 63.4 12,030 21,211 13,581 64.0 12,148 21,228 13,570 63.9 12,161 21,261 13,587 63.9 12,179 21,289 13,472 63.3 12,064 21,318 13,379 62.8 11,870 21,337 13,366 62.6 11,791 21,361 13,470 63.1 11,839 56.3 1,547 11.7 56.9 1,544 11.4 56.6 1,580 11.7 56.5 1,584 11.7 56.6 1,622 11.9 56.3 1,602 11.8 56.6 1,532 11.3 56.8 1,407 10.5 57.3 1,433 10.6 57.3 1,409 10.4 57.3 1,408 10.4 56.7 1,407 10.4 55.7 1,510 11.3 55.3 1,575 11.8 55.4 1,631 12.1 Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. Women, 20 years ond over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 ................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. White Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Black Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 65 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 5. Continued— Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1989 1990 Employment status 1988 1989 Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept 13,325 8,982 67.4 8,250 13,791 9,323 67.6 8,573 13,894 9,342 67.2 8,564 13,936 9,339 67.0 8,595 13,977 9,424 67.4 8,672 14,019 9,495 67.7 8,691 14,080 9,440 67.0 8,763 14,119 9,400 66.6 8,666 14,159 9,565 67.6 8,831 14,198 9,618 67.7 8,850 14,238 9,669 67.9 8,927 14,277 9,651 67.6 8,967 14,317 9,665 67.5 8,899 14,356 9,707 67.6 8,951 14,396 9,643 67.0 8,808 61.9 732 8.2 62.2 750 8.0 61.6 778 8.3 61.7 744 8.0 62.0 752 8.0 62.0 804 8.5 62.3 671 7.1 61.4 734 7.8 62.4 734 7.7 62.3 768 8.0 62.7 742 7.7 62.8 684 7.1 62.2 767 7.9 62.3 757 7.8 61.2 835 8.7 Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ........................ Participation rate .................. Employed................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. 1 The population figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. NOTE: Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals 6. because data for the "other races” groups are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. Selected employment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 1990 1989 Annual average Selected categories Sept. Oct. Nov. May June July Aug. 118,116 64,544 53,571 40,730 118,350 64,586 53,764 40,881 118,389 64,535 53,854 40,554 117,953 64,278 53,674 40,545 117,658 64,121 53,537 40,604 117,898 64,426 53,472 40,919 29,618 6,291 29,742 6,325 30,046 6,400 29,856 6,467 29,909 6,380 29,949 6,365 29,780 6,382 1,578 1,375 118 1,620 1,457 115 1,621 1,429 112 1,728 1,502 101 1,685 1,507 106 1,628 1,377 96 1,666 1,357 93 1,808 1,275 112 105,747 17,626 88.121 1,035 87,086 8,733 256 106,117 17.607 88,510 1,021 87,489 8,628 313 106,029 17,724 88,306 1,003 87,302 8,852 261 105,938 17,816 88,122 957 87,165 8,716 258 106,176 18,113 88,063 941 87,122 8,783 254 105,985 17,863 88,121 1,056 87,065 8,759 226 105,885 17,788 88,097 989 87,108 8,709 269 105,691 17,842 87,849 1,033 86,816 8,629 229 105,800 17,555 88,246 1,074 87,171 8,810 235 4,802 2,277 2,106 15,388 4,983 2,402 2,255 14,931 4,887 2,307 2,211 15,381 5,004 2,476 2,127 15,464 4,871 2,407 2,138 15,193 4,831 2,439 2,052 15,592 5,013 2,499 2,224 15,125 4,870 2,565 2,070 15,311 5,036 2,424 2,123 15,377 5,365 2,654 2,462 15,283 4,554 2,111 2,051 14,983 4,729 2,240 2,172 14,515 4,703 2,183 2,173 14,924 4,747 2,293 2,050 14,975 4,630 2,218 2,096 14,804 4,666 2,317 2,004 15,064 4,734 2,284 2,141 14,627 4,710 2,408 2,048 14,922 4,780 2,242 2,069 14,899 5,093 2,481 2,386 14,858 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 1988 1989 114,968 63,273 51,696 40,472 117,342 64,315 53,027 40,760 117,419 64,150 53,269 40,649 117,585 64,513 53,072 40,839 117,836 64,482 53,354 40,886 117,888 64,618 53,270 41,041 117,863 64,420 53,443 40,982 118,035 64,602 53,433 41,347 118,334 64,711 53,623 40,989 28,756 6,211 29,404 6,338 29,506 6,429 29,544 6,354 29,767 6,351 29,695 6,349 29,897 6,215 29,704 6,378 1,621 1,398 150 1,665 1,403 131 1,680 1,424 132 1,678 1,406 124 1,687 1,373 122 1,677 1,369 125 1,634 1,354 107 103,021 17,114 85,907 1,153 84,754 8,519 260 105,259 17,469 87,790 1,101 86,689 8,605 279 105,476 17,613 87,863 1,065 86,798 8,581 279 105,504 17,595 87,909 987 86,922 8,610 280 105,960 17,681 88,279 1,051 87,228 8,528 264 105,643 17,728 87,915 1,077 86,838 8,653 251 5,206 2,350 2,487 14,963 4,894 2,303 2,233 15,393 4,864 2,321 2,161 15,506 4,767 2,314 2,082 15,368 4,803 2,297 2,162 15,254 4,965 2,199 2,408 14,509 4,657 2,143 2,166 14,963 4,605 2,165 2,095 15,076 4,526 2,166 2,021 14,936 4,552 2,132 2,097 14,805 Apr. Sept CHARACTERISTIC Civilian employed, 16 years and over............................................. M e n .......................................... W om en.................................... Married men, spouse present .. Married women, spouse present.................................... Women who maintain families . MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary w orkers........ Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family workers............. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers ....... Government .......................... Private industries................... Private households............. O the r................................... Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family w orkers............. PERSONS AT WORK PART TIME1 All industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time ..................... Nonagricultural industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time ..................... 1 Excludes persons “ with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. 66 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 7. Selected unemployment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Unemployment rates) 1989 Annual average 1990 Selected categories 1988 1989 Sept. O ct Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Total, all civilian workers......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years................................ Men, 20 years and o v e r..................................... Women, 20 years and over................................ 5.5 15.3 4.8 4.9 5.3 15.0 4.5 4.7 5.3 15.0 4.8 4.5 5.3 14.9 4.5 4.8 5.3 15.3 4.6 4.8 5.3 15.2 4.6 4.8 5.3 14.5 4.7 4.6 5.3 14.8 4.6 4.8 5.2 14.4 4.5 4.7 5.4 14.7 4.8 4.8 5.3 15.5 4.7 4.6 5.2 14.1 4.7 4.5 5.5 16.3 4.9 4.7 5.6 16.7 5.0 4.9 5.7 15.5 5.1 5.0 White, total ......................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 years ................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and o ve r............................. 4.7 13.1 13.9 12.3 4.1 4.1 4.5 12.7 13.7 11.5 3.9 4.0 4.5 12.2 13.3 11.1 4.2 3.8 4.5 12.4 13.8 10.9 3.9 4.0 4.5 12.9 14.3 11.3 3.9 4.0 4.6 13.0 14.0 11.9 3.9 4.1 4.5 12.7 12.9 12.4 4.0 4.0 4.6 13.0 12.7 13.2 4.1 4.1 4.5 12.9 13.0 12.7 4.0 3.9 4.8 13.1 13.8 12.4 4.3 4.1 4.6 13.7 14.2 13.1 4.2 3.9 4.5 12.2 12.9 11.4 4.1 3.9 4.6 13.7 15.1 12.3 4.1 4.0 4.8 14.5 15.7 13.2 4.3 4.2 4.8 13.9 15.3 12.5 4.3 4.2 Black, total ......................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 ye ars................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and over............................. 11.7 32.4 32.7 32.0 10.1 10.4 11.4 32.4 31.9 33.0 10.0 9.8 11.7 36.3 33.8 38.8 10.1 9.7 11.7 33.4 32.0 34.9 10.3 9.9 11.9 32.5 32.3 32.7 10.6 10.2 11.8 30.7 30.1 31.4 10.8 10.0 11.3 26.7 29.2 24.0 11.2 9.2 10.5 28.0 28.5 27.5 9.2 9.4 10.6 28.2 30.0 26.2 9.6 9.0 10.4 25.8 27.2 24.3 9.4 9.2 10.4 29.4 31.1 27.6 9.1 9.1 10.4 31.4 37.4 25.3 9.4 8.9 11.3 31.8 32.3 31.2 10.7 9.4 11.8 36.7 38.4 35.0 10.6 9.9 12.1 28.9 30.6 26.9 11.8 10.3 Hispanic origin, to ta l........................................... 8.2 8.0 8.3 8.0 8.0 8.5 7.1 7.8 7.7 8.0 7.7 7.1 7.9 7.8 8.7 Married men, spouse present............................ Married women, spouse present........................ Women who maintain families........................... Full-time workers ................................................ Part-time workers ............................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over....................... Labor force time lost1 ........................................ 3.3 3.9 8.1 5.2 7.6 1.3 6.3 3.0 3.7 8.1 4.9 7.3 1.1 5.9 3.3 3.8 7.7 5.0 7.3 1.1 6.0 3.0 3.9 7.8 4.9 7.1 1.1 5.9 3.1 3.8 8.2 5.0 7.4 1.1 5.9 3.0 3.9 8.1 5.0 7.5 1.1 6.0 3.4 3.7 7.5 5.0 7.0 1.1 6.0 3.0 3.8 7.5 4.9 7.4 1.1 5.9 3.2 3.6 8.4 4.9 7.2 1.1 5.9 3.3 3.5 7.5 5.1 7.1 1.1 6.2 3.3 3.5 7.4 4.9 7.4 1.1 6.0 3.2 3.7 8.0 4.8 7.6 1.1 5.9 3.3 3.5 8.5 5.0 8.1 1.2 6.0 3.5 3.9 8.5 5.2 7.9 1.3 6.3 3.4 4.0 8.9 5.4 7.1 1.3 6.4 5.5 7.9 10.6 5.3 5.0 5.7 3.9 6.2 4.5 2.8 10.6 5.3 5.8 10.0 5.1 4.8 5.5 3.9 6.0 4.4 2.7 9.6 5.4 8.4 10.1 5.2 4.9 5.5 4.5 5.9 4.5 2.8 7.8 5.3 4.8 9.3 5.4 5.2 5.6 3.9 5.9 4.3 2.7 9.8 5.4 6.2 9.8 5.4 5.4 5.3 3.6 6.4 4.3 2.7 12.1 5.4 4.4 9.8 5.6 5.4 5.9 3.4 6.3 4.2 2.6 9.7 5.5 6.8 9.3 5.9 5.8 5.9 4.3 6.2 4.3 2.4 9.2 5.5 4.8 8.9 5.9 5.5 6.4 4.0 6.0 4.4 2.5 9.3 5.5 5.9 10.0 5.5 5.3 5.9 3.4 6.2 4.5 2.3 10.1 5.7 4.6 10.6 5.9 5.7 6.3 4.3 6.2 4.5 2.1 11.0 5.5 3.3 11.5 5.4 5.5 5.2 3.2 6.3 4.4 2.5 7.9 5.3 3.6 9.7 4.9 4.9 5.0 3.0 6.2 4.5 2.9 10.0 5.5 4.4 10.2 5.7 5.6 5.7 3.7 6.0 4.5 2.8 10.6 5.7 4.9 11.1 5.8 5.9 5.6 4.1 6.2 4.7 2.8 9.7 5.8 3.8 11.8 5.7 6.0 5.3 3.9 6.6 4.7 2.9 9.3 CHARACTERISTIC INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers .... Mining.................................................................. Construction....................................................... Manufacturing ..................................................... Durable goods.................................................. Nondurable g oods........................................... Transportation and public utilities ...................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ................................. Finance and service industries.......................... Government workers ............................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers ..................... 1 Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 67 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 8. Unemployment rates by sex and age, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Civilian workers) Annual average Sex and age 1988 1990 1989 Nov. Oct. Sept. 1989 Dec. Apr. Mar. Feb. Jan. June May July Sept. Aug. 5.6 11.5 16.7 19.2 15.0 8.8 4.4 4.6 3.5 5.7 11.6 15.5 18.4 14.4 9.6 4.5 4.7 3.3 Total, 16 years and o v e r......... 16 to 24 years........................ 16 to 19 years..................... 16 to 17 years .................. 18 to 19 years .................. 20 to 24 ye ars..................... 25 years and over.................. 25 to 54 years .................. 55 years and o v e r............ 5.5 11.0 15.3 17.4 13.8 8.7 4.3 4.5 3.1 5.3 10.9 15.0 17.2 13.6 8.6 4.0 4.2 3.1 5.3 11.1 15.0 17.2 14.2 8.8 4.1 4.3 3.0 5.3 11.1 14.9 16.9 13.5 8.9 4.1 4.2 3.0 5.3 11.3 15.3 17.4 13.8 9.0 4.1 4.2 3.2 5.3 11.2 15.2 18.1 13.4 8.9 4.1 4.3 3.2 5.3 10.6 14.5 14.8 14.2 8.5 4.2 4.3 3.4 5.3 10.7 14.8 16.8 13.0 8.4 4.2 4.3 3.4 5.2 10.5 14.4 16.9 12.9 8.3 4.1 4.3 3.3 5.4 11.2 14.7 17.4 13.0 9.3 4.2 4.4 3.3 5.3 11.0 15.5 20.0 12.8 8.5 4.1 4.3 3.0 5.2 10.3 14.1 16.1 13.4 8.2 4.1 4.4 2.8 5.5 11.0 16.3 17.4 15.2 8.3 4.3 4.5 3.2 Men, 16 years and o ve r...... 16 to 24 years .................. 16 to 19 years................ 16 to 17 years............. 18 to 19 years............. 20 to 24 years................ 25 years and o v e r............ 25 to 54 years............. 55 years and over....... 5.5 11.4 16.0 18.2 14.6 8.9 4.2 4.4 3.3 5.2 11.4 15.9 18.6 14.2 8.8 3.9 4.1 3.2 5.4 11.9 15.7 19.5 13.7 9.8 4.1 4.1 3.5 5.2 11.7 15.9 18.5 14.2 9.3 3.9 4.0 3.2 5.3 12.0 16.7 19.0 15.1 9.4 4.0 4.1 3.5 5.3 11.8 16.1 19.6 13.8 9.5 3.9 4.0 3.6 5.3 11.2 15.1 14.2 15.6 8.9 4.2 4.3 3.6 5.2 10.9 14.9 16.5 13.7 8.6 4.1 4.2 3.5 5.1 10.9 14.7 16.9 13.6 8.8 4.0 4.2 3.4 5.5 11.8 15.4 18.1 13.8 9.8 4.2 4.4 3.5 5.4 11.2 16.0 20.6 13.4 8.6 4.1 4.3 3.4 5.3 11.1 15.4 16.4 14.8 8.9 4.1 4.3 3.1 5.6 11.6 17.5 18.4 16.3 8.5 4.4 4.5 3.6 5.7 11.6 17.8 21.5 15.5 8.5 4.6 4.6 3.8 5.8 12.0 16.7 18.8 16.2 9.5 4.6 4.7 3.8 Women, 16 years and over 16 to 24 years................. 16 to 19 years .............. 16 to 17 years ........... 5.6 10.6 14.4 16.6 12.9 8.5 4.3 4.6 2.8 5.4 10.4 14.0 15.7 13.0 8.3 4.2 4.4 2.8 5.2 10.2 14.4 14.7 14.6 7.7 4.1 4.4 2.4 5.4 10.4 13.8 15.0 12.8 8.5 4.2 4.4 2.8 5.4 10.4 13.8 15.7 12.3 8.5 4.2 4.4 2.9 5.5 10.4 14.3 16.5 13.0 8.2 4.3 4.6 2.7 5.2 10.1 13.7 15.5 12.6 8.0 4.1 4.3 3.3 5.4 10.4 14.6 17.3 12.3 8.1 4.3 4.5 3.3 5.3 10.0 14.0 16.9 12.0 7.7 4.2 4.4 3.3 5.4 10.5 13.9 16.7 12.1 8.7 4.2 4.4 2.9 5.2 10.7 14.9 19.4 12.2 8.4 4.1 4.4 2.5 5.0 9.3 12.8 15.9 11.9 7.5 4.1 4.4 ,4 5.3 10.4 14.9 16.4 13.9 8.0 4.2 4.4 2.6 5.5 11.4 15.6 16.6 14.4 9.3 4.3 4.5 3.1 5.5 11.2 14.2 17.9 12.6 9.6 4.4 4.6 2.6 18 to 19 ye ars .............. 20 to 24 years .............. 25 years and over.......... 25 to 54 years ........... 55 years and o v e r..... 9. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1990 1989 Annual average Reason for unemployment 1988 1989 Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 3,092 851 2,241 983 1,809 816 2,983 850 2,133 1,024 1,843 677 2,932 852 2,080 1,034 1,920 648 2,979 780 2,199 994 1,890 685 3,092 969 2,123 1,049 1,845 695 3,097 957 2,140 1,055 1,853 686 3,183 1,033 2,150 1,016 1,730 640 3,103 964 2,139 1,006 1,805 680 3,038 941 2,097 1,014 1,859 644 3,147 999 2,148 1,179 1,780 617 3,171 979 2,192 1,014 1,820 683 3,151 918 2,233 995 1,789 534 3,088 960 2,128 1,027 1,960 687 3,367 973 2,394 984 1,879 677 3,511 1,127 2,384 934 1,985 656 46.1 12.7 33.4 14.7 27.0 12.2 45.7 13.0 32.7 15.7 28.2 10.4 44.9 13.0 31.8 15.8 29.4 9.9 45.5 11.9 33.6 15.2 28.9 10.5 46.3 14.5 31.8 15.7 27.6 10.4 46.3 14.3 32.0 15.8 27.7 10.3 48.5 15.7 32.7 15.5 26.3 9.7 47.1 14.6 32.4 15.3 27.4 10.3 46.3 14.4 32.0 15.5 28.4 9.8 46.8 14.9 31.9 17.5 26.5 9.2 47.4 14.6 32.8 15.2 27.2 10.2 48.7 14.2 34.5 15.4 27.7 8.3 45.7 14.2 31.5 15.2 29.0 10.2 48.7 14.1 34.7 14.3 27.2 9.8 49.5 15.9 33.6 13.2 28.0 9.3 2.5 .8 1.5 .7 2.4 .8 1.5 .5 2.4 .8 1.5 .5 2.4 .8 1.5 .6 2.5 .8 1.5 .6 2.5 .8 1.5 .6 2.6 .8 1.4 .5 2.5 .8 1.4 .5 2.4 .8 1.5 .5 2.5 .9 1.4 .5 2.5 .8 1.5 .5 2.5 .8 1.4 .4 2.5 .8 1.6 .6 2.7 .8 1.5 .5 2.8 .7 1.6 .5 PERCENT OF UNEMPLOYED PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 10. Duration of unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1990 1989 Annual average Weeks of unemployment 1988 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Less than 5 weeks ........................................... 3,084 5 to 14 weeks ................................................... 2,007 15 weeks and o ve r........................................... 1,610 801 15 to 26 weeks .............................................. 809 27 weeks and o v e r........................................ 3,174 1,978 1,375 730 646 3,169 2,030 1,359 769 590 3,166 1,995 1,378 743 635 3,258 1,991 1,422 765 657 3,302 2,013 1,362 730 632 3,119 2,012 1,430 777 653 3,159 2,079 1,369 731 638 3,194 2,044 1,333 702 631 3,204 2,175 1,386 697 688 3,026 2,236 1,374 764 610 3,046 2,049 1,406 763 643 3,120 2,159 1,513 809 704 3,325 2,048 1,609 845 764 3,044 2,479 1,620 872 748 13.5 5.9 11.9 4.8 11.5 5.0 11.7 5.0 11.6 4.8 11.5 4.8 12.1 5.1 11.7 5.4 12.0 5.1 12.1 5.0 11.6 5.4 12.0 5.1 12.0 5.2 12.3 5.2 12.5 6.2 Mean duration in w eeks................................... Median duration in weeks................................. 68 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Unemployment rates of civilian workers by State, data not seasonally adjusted State California................................................... p -1 j-fA Florida....................................................... r . Hawaii....................................................... Idaho ............................................................................................... Indiana...................................................... In V ' Kentucky.................................................... Louisiana................................................... M aine........................................................ Maryland.................................................... Massachusetts.......................................... tll.i-hinQn Mississippi................................................. NOTE: 12. Aug. 1989 Aug. 1990p 7.4 4.7 6.2 6.5 4.7 7.6 5.5 5.7 6.1 5.4 5.1 40 31 4.7 5.4 4.6 5.2 4.4 6.1 6.8 5.6 1.5 4.9 5.8 4.3 5.6 2.5 5.0 6.3 6.5 4.3 3.8 5.4 7.5 3.2 4.0 4.4 4.9 6.4 4.2 3.6 3.9 6.7 4.0 7.3 49 4.4 6.4 7.4 4.3 7.9 5.7 Aug. 1989 Aug. 1990p Montana .................................................................................... Nebraska.................................................. Nevada ..................................................... New Hampshire ...................................... 4.8 3.0 4.7 3.7 4.4 2.3 4.0 5.3 New Jersey.............................................. New Mexico............................................. North Dakota........................................... 4.2 6.8 4.8 3.5 3.8 4.6 6.1 4.8 3.5 3.3 O h io ......................................................... Oklahoma ............................................................................... Oregon ....................................................................................... Pennsylvania ........................................................................ Rhode Island ....................................................................... 4.7 4.8 5.2 3.9 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.2 4.3 6.0 South Carolina ................................................................... South Dakota .......................................... Tennessee ............................................... Texas....................................................... U tah......................................................... 4.6 4.2 4.9 7.2 4.6 4.7 3.8 5.0 5.9 4.4 Vermont ................................................... Virginia ..................................................... Washington.............................................. West Virginia ........................................... Wisconsin................................................. 3.5 3.1 5.9 7.6 3.8 4.6 4.1 4.6 8.7 3.7 Wyoming .................................................. 6.1 State 4.0 I---------------- Some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere because of the continual updating of the database. Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by State, data not seasonally adjusted (In thousands) State Arkansas ...................................................... Colorado ...................................................... Connecticut .................................................. District of Columbia...................................... Aug. 1989 July 1990 Aug. 1990» 1,590.9 249.1 1,421.4 894.9 12,432.1 1,603.1 251.9 1,468.9 914.5 12,772.2 1,596.1 251.0 1,474.6 918.5 12,755.9 1,469.8 1,671.0 347.8 688.5 5,203.4 1,499.7 1,667.9 350.0 697.0 5,426.3 1,501.5 1,661.3 351.6 681.5 5,412.7 State New Mexico ................................................ New York..................................................... North Carolina ............................................ Oklahoma.................................................... Illinois ........................................................... 2,957.3 507.1 371.2 5,174.2 2,462.0 3,005.1 518.2 384.4 5,222.8 2,528.5 3,009 8 516.6 387.9 5,222.5 2,534.0 1,195.7 l'061.5 1,442.3 1,508.3 554.3 1,220.1 T079.7 1,471.0 1,529.3 533.9 1,219.5 1,084.4 1,473.8 1,528.4 537.5 2,153.8 3,098.3 3’887.1 2,104.7 915.2 2,315.6 293.3 2,186.1 3,024.2 3,897.7 2,136.9 927.0 2,327.5 297.1 2,177.7 3,010.0 3,876.5 2,141.6 924.8 2,324.3 298.1 South Dakota.............................................. Kentucky....................................................... Louisiana...................................................... Utah ............................................................ Virginia........................................................ Minnesota..................................................... Aug. 1989 July 1990 Aug. 1990p 703.9 593.7 523.2 719.6 627.3 502.3 721.9 629.3 505.7 3,725.4 561.2 8,253.7 3,052.2 260.1 3,754.3 566.9 8,280.1 3,067.7 265.6 3,745.5 565.4 8,261.0 3,077.1 265.3 4,830.3 1,145.1 1,218.9 5,101.6 460.1 4,934.0 1,160.0 1,244.6 5,128.7 447.8 4,941.1 1,164.6 1,254.8 5,113.9 449.4 1,506.7 278.3 2,171.2 6,803.5 692.0 1,541.7 282.0 2,170.3 6,930.3 719.2 1,547.3 281.7 2,183.3 6,936.3 723.8 259.5 2,871.5 2,065.7 610.0 2,249.9 253.3 2,932.1 2,139.4 630.6 2,283.7 252.9 2,928.7 2,151.4 618.4 2,290.3 199.9 823.0 43.3 199.9 871.8 41.5 199.7 842.8 41.9 p = preliminary NOTE: Some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere because of the continual updating of the database. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 69 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 13. Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Annual average 1989 1990 Industry 1988 TOTAL ...................................... 105,536 PRIVATE SECTOR ..................... 88,150 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p Sept.p 108,413 90,644 108,868 90,985 108,980 91,096 109,245 91,344 109,383 91,456 109,654 91,656 109,958 91,917 110,122 91,963 110,177 91,922 110,617 92,120 110,829 92,282 110,740 92,300 110,657 92,307 110,556 92,240 GOODS-PRODUCING.................... Mining ........................................... 25,173 713 25,326 700 25,304 709 25,283 710 25,280 716 25,218 718 25,188 723 25,339 727 25,259 729 25,180 734 25,191 738 25,162 744 25,105 745 25,013 736 24,929 738 Construction ................................ General building contractors....... 5,110 1,353 5,200 1,338 5,225 1,343 5,239 1,338 5,258 1,339 5,216 1,335 5,294 1,361 5,368 1,368 5,313 1,351 5,256 1,338 5,286 1,334 5,270 1,334 5,229 1,319 5,194 1,306 5,174 1,308 Manufacturing.............................. Production w orkers..................... 19,350 13,221 19,426 13,257 19,370 13,204 19,334 13,171 19,306 13,144 19,284 13,124 19,171 13,009 19,244 13,084 19,217 13,061 19,190 13,046 19,167 13,023 19,148 13,007 19,131 13,010 19,083 12,967 19,017 12,911 Durable goods............................ Production w orkers..................... 11,381 7,596 11,422 7,615 11,369 7,567 11,337 7,541 11,314 7,519 11,296 7,506 11,192 7,400 11,278 7,488 11,261 7,479 11,229 7,461 11,217 7,450 11,201 7,439 11,179 7,438 11,130 7,396 11,072 7,347 Lumber and wood products......... Furniture and fixtures................... Stone, clay, and glass products ... Primary metal industries .............. Blast furnaces and basic steel products...................................... Fabricated metal products........... 769 528 569 771 758 526 569 772 750 524 563 767 753 521 566 764 752 521 567 760 753 519 566 759 753 519 567 754 751 518 568 756 751 518 565 754 750 516 560 755 748 516 559 755 743 515 556 756 742 511 552 759 739 514 551 755 737 509 546 751 279 1,432 278 1,446 276 1,438 274 1,433 272 1,429 273 1,426 272 1,412 272 1,418 270 1,418 271 1,419 271 1,417 270 1,415 271 1,419 271 1,420 270 1,413 2,092 2,132 2,132 2,125 2,129 2,130 2,132 2,126 2,119 2,112 2,112 2,108 2,104 2,096 2,083 1,766 2,038 857 1,033 1,753 2,054 857 1,026 1,743 2,041 843 1,023 1,737 2,031 833 1,021 1,732 2,023 826 1,018 1,722 2,024 828 1,011 1,722 1,933 736 1,011 1,720 2,023 828 1,009 1,718 2,022 825 1,008 1,713 2,014 820 1,005 1,711 2,010 817 1,002 1,703 2,021 826 1,000 1,695 2,015 824 996 1,685 1,997 814 990 1,672 1,983 805 994 384 386 388 386 383 386 389 389 388 385 387 384 386 383 384 Nondurable goods....................... Production workers....................... 7,969 5,625 8,004 5,642 8,001 5,637 7,997 5,630 7,992 5,625 7,988 5,618 7,979 5,609 7,966 5,596 7,956 5,582 7,961 5,585 7,950 5,573 7,947 5,568 7,952 5,572 7,953 5,571 7,945 5,564 Food and kindred products.......... Tobacco products......................... Textile mill products..................... Apparel and other textile products...................................... Paper and allied products ........... 1,631 55 729 1,645 49 724 1,653 48 720 1,651 48 721 1,651 48 718 1,650 47 716 1,651 47 715 1,650 47 711 1,648 46 709 1,651 46 708 1,650 46 703 1,643 47 702 1,645 46 702 1,650 47 701 1,649 47 697 1,088 690 1,074 697 1,070 697 1,066 697 1,064 697 1,061 698 1,053 697 1,045 699 1,037 698 1,036 699 1,031 698 1,029 699 1,027 701 1,025 702 1,025 701 Printing and publishing................. Chemicals and allied products..... Petroleum and coal products....... Rubber and mise, plastics products...................................... Leather and leather products ...... 1,548 1,059 160 1,564 1,074 157 1,566 1,075 157 1,567 1,076 158 1,571 1,077 158 1,573 1,081 157 1,576 1,081 158 1,576 1,083 159 1,578 1,083 159 1,579 1,084 159 1,581 1,085 159 1,582 1,086 160 1,583 1,088 160 1,583 1,087 161 1,581 1,089 162 868 143 884 136 880 135 878 135 875 133 873 132 869 132 865 131 867 131 869 130 868 129 871 128 874 126 873 124 870 124 SERVICE-PRODUCING ................. Transportation and public utilities......................................... Transportation.............................. Communications and public utilities......................................... 80,363 83,087 83,564 83,697 83,965 84,165 84,466 84,619 84,863 84,997 85,426 85,667 85,635 85,644 85,627 5,527 3,312 5,648 3,450 5,656 3,483 5,671 3,500 5,693 3,523 5,776 3,548 5,790 3,568 5,804 3,583 5,808 3,589 5,809 3,588 5,833 3,613 5,846 3,627 5,841 3,625 5,845 3,630 5,859 3,644 2,215 2,199 2,173 2,171 2,170 2,228 2,222 2,221 2,219 2,221 2,220 2,219 2,216 2,215 2,215 Industrial machinery and equipment.................................... Electronic and other electrical equipment.................... Transportation equipment............ Motor vehicles and equipment.... Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries..................................... Wholesale tra d e .......................... 6,055 6,271 6,303 6,313 6,335 6,344 6,356 6,357 6,361 6,363 6,369 6,383 6,374 6,375 6,374 Retail trad e ................................... General merchandise stores....... Food stores.................................. Automotive dealers and service stations....................................... Eating and drinking places.......... 19,077 2,473 3,079 19,580 2,535 3,190 19,634 2,534 3,211 19,665 2,527 3,230 19,714 2,542 3,240 19,710 2,519 3,247 19,807 2,529 3,263 19,758 2,505 3,268 19,764 2,495 3,272 19,778 2,493 3,287 19,795 2,487 3,295 19,822 2,496 3,302 19,851 2,494 3,304 19,838 2,491 3,298 19,828 2,482 3,295 2,075 6,286 2,109 6,449 2,109 6,476 2,115 6,491 2,116 6,511 2,113 6,523 2,117 6,538 2,118 6,556 2,120 6,563 2,118 6,573 2,121 6,583 2,120 6,598 2,131 6,619 2,135 6,613 2,140 6,623 Finance, insurance, and real estate........................................... Finance ........................................ Insurance..................................... Real estate................................... 6,649 3,283 2,079 1,287 6,724 3,307 2,103 1,314 6,753 3,317 2,111 1,325 6,756 3,320 2,109 1,327 6,774 3,327 2,114 1,333 6,785 3,329 2,119 1,337 6,794 3,327 2,124 1,343 6,817 3,340 2,128 1,349 6,821 3,333 2,135 1,353 6,823 3,336 2,135 1,352 6,838 3,338 2,139 1,361 6,844 3,344 2,143 1,357 6,842 3,341 2,147 1,354 6,850 3,348 2,151 1,351 6,843 3,345 2,151 1,347 Services........................................ Business services........................ Health services............................ 25,669 4,669 7,121 27,096 4,931 7,551 27,335 4,980 7,648 27,408 4,970 7,690 27,548 4,990 7,743 27,623 4,986 7,789 27,721 4,993 7,837 27,842 5,010 7,889 27,950 5,021 7,936 27,969 5,026 7,984 28,094 5,048 8,040 28,225 5,060 8,096 28,287 5,051 8,132 28,386 5,053 8,194 28,407 5,037 8,239 Government ................................. Federal......................................... S ta te ............................................. Local............................................. 17,386 2,971 4,076 10,339 17,769 2,988 4,175 10,606 17,883 2,992 4,215 10,676 17,884 2,986 4,202 10,696 17,901 2,982 4,212 10,707 17,927 2,977 4,206 10,744 17,998 3,000 4,225 10,773 18,041 3,005 4,239 10,797 18,159 3,089 4,249 10,821 18,255 3,151 4,252 10,852 18,497 3,346 4,262 10,889 18,547 3,338 4,296 10,913 18,440 3,164 4,298 10,978 18,350 3,049 4,317 10,984 18,316 3,010 4,297 11,009 p = preliminary NOTE: See notes on the data for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 70 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14. Average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Annual average 1990 1989 Industry 1988 PRIVATE SECTOR ..................................... 34.7 1989 34.6 Sept. 34.6 Nov. Oct. Dec. 34.5 34.6 34.4 Jan. 34.4 Feb. 34.6 Mar. 34.6 Apr. 34.5 May 34.5 June 34.7 July Aug.P Sept.p 34.5 34.5 34.7 43.9 42.3 43.0 43.7 43.6 43.7 43.0 43.6 43.7 43.5 43.4 43.6 44.4 43.7 43.8 41.1 3.9 41.0 3.8 40.9 3.8 40.8 3.7 40.7 3.7 40.6 3.7 40.7 3.6 40.8 3.6 40.8 3.7 40.7 3.5 40.9 3.8 41.0 3.8 40.9 3.7 41.0 3.8 41.0 3.7 41.8 4.1 40.1 39.4 42.3 43.5 44.0 41.9 41.6 3.9 40.1 39.5 42.3 43.0 43.4 41.6 41.5 3.8 40.1 39.5 42.2 42.6 43.1 41.5 41.3 3.7 40.3 39.2 42.4 42.5 42.8 41.4 41.2 3.7 40.2 39.4 42.4 42.5 43.0 41.3 41.2 3.7 40.0 39.1 41.6 42.5 42.9 41.2 41.3 3.6 40.4 39.6 42.3 42.6 43.1 41.1 41.3 3.6 40.1 39.3 42.2 42.5 42.9 41.4 41.4 3.8 40.4 39.2 42.0 42.7 43.0 41.5 41.2 3.5 40.2 39.0 42.0 41.8 42.9 41.2 41.5 3.9 40.4 39.2 42.1 43.0 43.5 41.7 41.6 3.9 40.3 39.3 42.3 43.0 43.3 41.6 41.5 3.8 40.2 39.6 41.7 43.1 44.1 41.7 41.6 3.9 40.4 39.4 42.3 43.0 43.5 41.6 41.6 3.8 40.7 38.9 42.1 43.0 43.8 41.5 42.7 41.0 42.7 43.5 41.4 39.2 42.4 40.8 42.4 43.1 41.1 39.4 42.2 41.0 42.7 43.0 40.9 39.2 42.1 41.0 41.3 42.7 41.0 39.3 42.2 40.8 41.0 42.3 41.0 39.7 42.1 40.5 41.7 42.2 41.0 39.3 42.1 40.9 41.5 41.0 40.9 39.5 42.1 41.1 41.6 41.5 41.0 39.5 42.0 41.0 42.0 42.3 41.1 39.4 41.8 40.9 41.9 41.8 41.2 39.2 42.1 40.9 42.5 43.4 41.1 39.4 42.0 41.0 42.6 43.7 41.2 39.4 42.0 40.7 42.8 43.6 41.2 39.5 42.1 40.5 42.7 43.8 41.3 39.8 42.1 40.9 42.7 43.5 41.4 39.9 40.2 3.6 40.3 41.0 37.0 43.3 40.2 3.6 40.7 40.9 36.9 43.3 40.2 3.7 40.9 40.6 36.8 43.2 40.1 3.6 40.8 40.6 36.9 43.3 40.1 3.6 40.8 40.4 36.8 43.4 40.0 3.6 40.7 40.2 36.4 43.2 40.0 3.5 40.6 40.3 36.6 43.2 40.0 3.5 40.6 40.2 36.6 43.1 40.0 3.6 40.7 40.0 36.3 43.2 40.0 3.4 40.6 40.0 36.4 43.3 40.1 3.6 40.8 40.2 36.6 43.3 40.3 3.6 40.9 40.4 36.7 43.5 40.1 3.6 4Ü.5 40.2 36.6 43.5 40.2 3.7 40.9 39.9 36.6 43.5 40.1 3.6 41.1 39.7 36.7 42.9 38.0 42.2 41.7 37.5 37.9 42.4 41.4 37.9 38.0 42.5 41.1 38.2 37.8 42.5 41.1 37.7 37.9 42.4 41.1 37.6 37.7 42.6 40.9 37.4 37.9 42.7 40.8 37.4 37.9 42.4 41.2 37.7 38.0 42.5 41.4 37.7 37.8 42.6 40.9 37.5 37.9 42.6 41.4 37.4 38.0 42.6 41.6 37.5 38.0 42.4 41.5 37.4 38.2 42.5 41.3 37.7 38.0 42.7 41.3 37.4 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 38.8 38.9 38.8 38.8 38.6 38.6 38.3 38.7 39.0 39.0 39.1 39.2 39.0 39.0 39.3 WHOI ESALE TRADE 38.1 38.0 38.1 38.1 38.1 38.1 38.0 38.0 38.1 38.1 38.0 38.1 38.1 38.1 38.1 29.0 28.9 28.7 28.9 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.8 ........................................... m a n u f a c t u r in g Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products..... SERVICES ..................................... .......................................... 29.1 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.8 28.8 28.8 28.9 29.0 29.0 29.0 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.5 = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark adjustment. p 15. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry, seasonally adjusted Annual average 1990 1989 Industry June July Aug.P Sept.P 1988 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May PRIVATE SECTOR (in current d o lla rs).............. $9.28 $9.66 $9.73 $9.78 $9.78 $9.83 $9.82 $9.88 $9.93 $9.96 $9.98 $10.03 $10.07 $10.08 $10.14 Mining................................................................... Construction......................................................... Manufacturing ...................................................... Excluding overtime ............................................ Transportation and public utilities ....................... 12.80 13.08 10.19 9.73 12.26 13.25 13.52 10.49 10.02 12.61 13.31 13.56 10.55 10.09 12.68 13.32 13.61 10.57 10.10 12.71 13.32 13.66 10.58 10.12 12.65 13.40 13.76 10.62 10.17 12.73 13.33 13.55 10.57 10.13 12.78 13.33 13.63 10.67 10.22 12.83 13.51 13.66 10.73 10.28 12.87 13.59 13.62 10.75 10.34 12.96 13.58 13.71 10.81 10.35 12.88 13.73 13.73 10.86 10.38 12.92 13.79 13.76 10.89 10.40 13.02 13.72 13.78 10.90 10.40 13.01 13.75 13.85 10.93 10.43 13.06 Wholesale trade................................................... Retail trade........................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate .................... Services.................................................................. 9.98 6.31 9.06 8.88 10.39 6.53 9.54 9.39 10.48 6.57 9.65 9.49 10.54 6.60 9.72 9.55 10.55 6.61 9.66 9.55 10.60 6.64 9.75 9.61 10.57 6.68 9.73 9.63 10.62 6.69 9.77 9.67 10.67 6.73 9.82 9.72 10.74 6.74 9.88 9.79 10.74 6.76 9.87 9.80 10.80 6.78 9.98 9.85 10.84 6.79 10.08 9.92 10.84 6.82 10.04 9.92 10.92 6.85 10.14 9.99 PRIVATE SECTOR (in constant (1982) dollars) 7.69 7.64 7.64 7.65 7.62 7.63 7.54 7.55 7.56 7.57 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.53 - Data not available. p s: preliminary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 71 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 16. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry Annual average 1989 1990 Industry 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June PRIVATE SECTOR................................................ $9.28 $9.66 $9.77 $9.81 $9.81 $9.84 $9.87 $9.91 $9.93 $9.97 $9.97 $9.98 MINING.................................................................. 12.80 13.25 13.29 13.23 13.27 13.46 13.46 13.46 13.57 13.66 13.56 13.66 13.69 13.62 13.74 CONSTRUCTION.................................................. 13.08 13.52 13.65 13.71 13.69 13.84 13.59 13.59 13.63 13.58 13.68 13.63 13.70 13.74 13.95 July > c cp 1988 Sept.p $10.00 $10.00 $10.17 MANUFACTURING................................................ 10.19 10.49 10.56 10.54 10.59 10.68 10.60 10.68 10.75 10.75 10.81 10.85 10.88 10.82 10.94 Durable goods ..................................................... Lumber and wood products................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products......................... Primary metal industries ..................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... Fabricated metal products .................................. 10.71 8.59 7.95 10.56 12.16 13.98 10.29 11.01 8.84 8.26 10.83 12.42 14.25 10.57 11.11 8.95 8.40 10.87 12.54 14.40 10.68 11.07 8.96 8.41 10.90 12.50 14.42 10.61 11.11 8.96 8.41 10.95 12.57 14.50 10.65 11.19 9.01 8.43 10.96 12.59 14.43 10.72 11.06 9.00 8.45 10.96 12.56 14.47 10.60 11.18 8.95 8.42 10.93 12.66 14.62 10.70 11.25 9.05 8.43 11.03 12.71 14.56 10.75 11.22 9.09 8.42 11.18 12.86 14.84 10.65 11.33 9.11 8.47 11.15 12.82 14.71 10.79 11.37 9.09 8.52 11.17 12.90 14.74 10.85 11.38 9.16 8.50 11.21 13.04 14.95 10.86 11.35 9.15 8.57 11.15 12.94 14.85 10.84 11.49 9.20 8.65 11.22 13.02 14.94 10.95 Industrial machinery and equipment................... Electronic and other electrical equipment ......... Transportation equipment.................................... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments and related products ...................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.............................. 11.08 9.79 13.29 13.99 10.60 8.00 11.40 10.05 13.68 14.25 10.83 8.29 11.46 10.13 13.86 14.45 10.94 8.36 11.48 10.08 13.82 14.42 10.97 8.36 11.53 10.11 13.83 14.43 10.99 8.47 11.62 10.14 13.91 14.46 11.10 8.57 11.55 10.13 13.55 13.72 11.09 8.57 11.60 10.16 13.88 14.30 11.13 8.56 11.64 10.17 14.02 14.59 11.19 8.59 11.55 10.17 13.89 14.41 11.20 8.56 11.70 10.22 14.14 14.75 11.23 8.59 11.75 10.27 14.20 14.85 11.27 8.61 11.78 10.34 14.06 14.59 11.37 8.60 11.80 10.32 14.08 14.55 11.36 8.60 11.92 10.42 14.36 14.90 11.45 8.63 Nondurable goods ............................................... 9.45 Food and kindred products................................. 9.12 Tobacco products................................................ 14.67 Textile mill products............................................ 7.38 Apparel and other textile products..................... 6.12 Paper and allied products ................................... 11.69 9.75 9.38 15.36 7.67 6.35 11.96 9.81 9.37 14.71 7.74 6.41 12.04 9.81 9.33 14.91 7.76 6.39 12.01 9.87 9.43 15.01 7.80 6.43 12.10 9.96 9.56 15.33 7.85 6.45 12.13 9.97 9.53 15.49 7.90 6.40 12.11 9.97 9.54 15.73 7.90 6.45 12.11 10.04 9.61 16.46 7.94 6.53 12.11 10.10 9.61 17.09 7.91 6.56 12.25 10.10 9.63 17.17 7.98 6.60 12.25 10.12 9.67 17.24 8.02 6.61 12.23 10.20 9.68 17.42 8.01 6.59 12.36 10.12 9.54 16.23 8.04 6.64 12.29 10.19 9.57 15.76 8.09 6.70 12.39 Printing and publishing........................................ 10.53 Chemicals and allied products............................ 12.71 Petroleum and coal products.............................. 14.97 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products..... 9.19 Leather and leather products ............................. 6.28 10.88 13.09 15.41 9.47 6.60 11.07 13.20 15.41 9.50 6.65 11.06 13.27 15.60 9.50 6.65 11.07 13.28 15.62 9.54 6.68 11.09 13.32 15.75 9.64 6.74 11.12 13.34 15.87 9.65 6.82 11.13 13.27 15.90 9.64 6.84 11.17 13.34 16.11 9.68 6.87 11.12 13.53 16.31 9.66 6.94 11.17 13.46 16.13 9.75 6.92 11.16 13.51 16.23 9.77 6.91 11.25 13.58 16.22 9.85 6.79 11.29 13.55 16.01 9.78 6.84 11.41 13.63 16.35 9.86 6.94 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES.... 12.26 12.61 12.73 12.74 12.71 12.76 12.79 12.87 12.83 12.96 12.82 12.86 12.99 12.97 13.11 WHOLESALE TRADE........................................... 9.98 10.39 10.48 10.51 10.56 10.63 10.61 10.66 10.66 10.78 10.73 10.76 10.82 10.77 10.92 RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 6.31 6.53 6.59 6.61 6.63 6.65 6.73 6.72 6.74 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.74 6.75 6.87 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE.... 9.06 9.54 9.60 9.70 9.67 9.73 9.80 9.87 9.84 9.97 9.90 9.90 10.00 9.94 10.09 SERVICES ............................................................. 8.88 9.39 9.49 9.58 9.61 9.68 9.72 9.75 9.76 9.82 9.77 9.75 9.79 9.77 9.99 p = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review Digitized for72 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 17. Average weekly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls by industry 1988 PRIVATE SECTOR 1989 1990 1989 Annual average Industry Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p Sept.p $348.00 $353.92 $322.02 $334.24 $339.02 $341.39 $338.45 $340.46 $336.57 $338.92 $340.60 $342.97 $342.97 $347.30 $349.00 336.66 338.39 337.41 338.15 337.81 341.85 343.58 343.62 344.31 348.04 347.42 347.76 351.86 262.80 259.51 262.31 260.62 261.01 266.79 264.22 265.69 266.29 263.59 264.74 259.10 259.91 259.60 _ MINING ............................................................. 541.44 569.75 584.76 583.44 581.23 588.20 586.86 582.82 583.51 588.75 585.79 606.50 596.88 597.92 608.68 506.53 522.58 532.93 524.71 535.86 545.45 495.73 512.41 526.89 537.43 520.22 512.08 510.98 506.91 516.58 418.81 346.98 430.09 339.99 435.07 340.96 431.09 336.26 435.25 338.98 441.08 342.99 430.36 331.30 431.47 330.88 437.53 333.48 427.85 325.61 442.13 335.97 445.94 336.81 440.64 331.81 441.46 329.20 450.73 447.68 344.46 313.23 446.69 528.96 615.12 431.15 458.02 354.48 326.27 458.11 534.06 618.45 439.71 463.29 361.58 336.84 464.15 536.71 620.64 445.36 458.30 363.78 334.72 468.70 530.00 612.85 440.32 461.07 359.30 334.72 466.47 536.74 623.50 445.17 468.86 362.20 338.89 453.74 541.37 623.38 450.24 455.67 359.10 332.09 453.74 536.31 625.10 435.66 458.38 351.74 326.70 448.13 535.52 624.27 439.77 465.75 363.81 328.77 457.75 542.72 624.62 446.13 452.17 364.51 319.96 467.32 534.98 635.15 426.00 470.20 369.87 328.64 472.76 551.26 641.36 448.86 474.13 370.87 333.98 476.96 557.28 645.61 453.53 466.58 366.40 330.65 470.82 558.11 659.30 444.17 467.62 371.49 339.37 476.11 551.24 641.52 447.69 479.13 376.28 341.68 477.97 562.46 654.37 456.62 473.12 401.39 567.48 608.57 438.84 313.60 483.36 410.04 580.03 614.18 445.11 326.63 484.76 417.36 593.21 627.13 447.45 328.55 482.16 414.29 570.77 620.06 449.77 331.89 488.87 416.53 571.18 619.05 454.99 340.49 499.66 420.81 591.18 620.33 463.98 342.80 487.41 415.33 560.97 559.78 454.69 336.80 487.20 415.54 574.63 589.16 456.33 335.55 490.04 416.97 593.05 622.99 461.03 338.45 468.93 402.73 566.71 589.37 451.36 326.99 491.40 414.93 605.19 647.53 458.18 337.59 494.68 421.07 607.76 653.40 464.32 340.10 490.05 414.63 589.11 617.16 461.62 333.68 490.88 415.90 589.95 618.38 464.62 340.56 503.02 427.22 614.61 655.60 474.03 344.34 379.89 367.54 583.87 302.58 226.44 506.18 391.95 381.77 591.36 313.70 234.32 517.87 397.31 388.86 592.81 317.34 236.53 526.15 395.34 383.46 600.87 317.38 237.07 521.23 398.75 388.52 585.39 318.24 238.55 528.77 402.38 394.83 584.07 317.93 236.72 532.51 396.81 384.06 582.42 316.79 232.32 525.57 394.81 379.69 593.02 314.42 234.78 518.31 399.59 385.36 638.65 316.01 236.39 519.52 395.92 382.48 651.13 308.49 230.91 520.63 404.00 391.94 673.06 320.00 240.90 529.20 407.84 395.50 680.98 325.61 243.91 530.78 406.98 393.01 672.41 318.00 239.22 533.95 407.84 394.96 618.36 323.21 243.69 530.93 412.70 400.03 611.49 325.22 246.56 537.73 400.14 536.36 664.67 412.35 555.02 682.66 425.09 561.00 684.20 419.17 562.65 705.12 422.87 567.06 699.78 424.75 575.42 715.05 418.11 569.62 698.28 419.60 561.32 699.60 425.58 566.95 712.06 415.89 576.38 725.80 419.99 570.70 712.95 419.62 575.53 759.56 424.13 571.72 725.03 432.41 571.81 701.24 439.29 582.00 724.31 383.22 235.50 392.06 250.14 392.35 254.03 392.35 252.04 394.00 250.50 399.10 254.77 393.72 253.70 394.28 255.13 399.78 256.25 387.37 252.62 403.65 259.50 407.41 263.96 402.87 253.95 401.96 259.92 409.19 259.56 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES ......................................................... 475.69 490.53 495.20 496.86 491.88 493.81 483.46 494.21 496.52 504.14 498.70 506.68 511.81 509.72 516.53 WHOLESALE TRADE........................................... 380.24 394.82 399.29 401.48 402.34 406.07 401.06 402.95 404.01 410.72 407.74 411.03 414.41 410.34 417.14 195.75 194.40 197.78 200.18 198.45 198.54 CONSTRUCTION................................................... MANUFACTURING Rubber and miscellaneous RETAIL TRADE ................................................... 183.62 188.72 190.45 191.03 189.62 194.85 189.11 190.18 192.09 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ....................................................... 325.25 341.53 341.76 350.17 344.25 346.39 348.88 352.36 350.30 359.92 351.45 354.42 362.00 354.86 365.26 SERVICES 289.49 306.11 308.43 314.22 312.33 314.60 314.93 315.90 316.22 320.13 315.57 318.83 323.07 320.46 326.67 .................................................... - Data not available. p = preliminary NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 73 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 18. Diffusion indexes of employment change, seasonally adjusted (In percent) Time span and year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Private nonfarm payrolls, 356 industries Over 1-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 64.5 55.6 58.7 58.6 58.0 53.7 57.0 49.9 55.6 55.8 57.3 49.9 55.8 50.8 57.7 47.3 50.0 44.0 55.2 59.6 56.6 Over 3-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 65.3 58.4 64.2 56.7 60.0 54.8 60.1 53.1 59.7 53.7 58.3 55.3 59.7 51.1 54.5 45.4 55.2 55.8 57.7 60.3 Over 6-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 67.6 57.3 65.4 56.5 65.0 55.5 61.0 55.9 61.2 52.0 58.7 48.6 57.0 58.1 56.2 58.3 57.4 58.4 Over 12-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 67.1 54.8 67.7 53.8 65.3 52.9 64.6 64.9 61.2 60.0 59.8 58.6 57.3 56.7 56.0 _ Manufacturing payrolls, 139 industries Over 1-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 60.4 42.4 48.6 45.7 50.4 45.3 47.1 46.8 45.3 45.7 45.7 40.3 45.0 48.2 45.7 41.0 34.2 35.6 48.6 43.5 48.2 Over 3-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 54.0 40.3 54.7 37.1 45.3 44.2 43.9 41.4 43.2 40.6 42.8 44.2 41.7 40.6 33.1 32.7 36.3 _34.9 _41.7 39.2 Over 6-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 56.5 37.1 49.6 35.6 49.3 36.3 43.5 43.2 42.1 38.8 37.1 32.7 36.7 34.9 34.2 35.3 33.1 36.0 Over 12-month span: 1989 ..................................................................... 1990 ..................................................................... 53.6 31.3 55.0 30.9 49.3 30.2 45.3 43.9 39.9 37.1 35.6 33.8 32.4 30.9 31.7 - Data not available. NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment increasing plus one-half of the industries with unchanged employment, where 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing 74 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ _ _ _ _ _ employment. Data for the 2 most recent months shown in each span are preliminary. See the “ Definitions” in this section. See "Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 19. Annual data: Employment status of the nonlnstitutional population (Numbers in thousands) Employment status 1981 1982 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1988 1989 Noninstitutional population..................................... 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 Labor force: Total (number)................................................... Percent of population......................... .............. 110,315 64.2 111,872 64.3 113,226 64.4 115,241 64.7 117,167 65.1 119,540 65.6 121,602 65.9 123,378 66.2 125,557 66.8 102,042 59.4 1,645 101,194 58.2 1,668 102,510 58.3 1,676 106,702 59.9 1,697 108,856 60.5 1,706 111,303 61.1 1,706 114,177 61.9 1,737 116,677 62.6 1,709 119,030 63.3 1,688 100,397 3^368 97,030 99,526 3,401 96,125 100,834 3,383 97,450 105,005 3,321 101,685 107,150 3,179 103,971 109,597 3,163 106,434 112,440 3,208 109,232 114,968 3,169 111,800 117,342 3,199 114,142 Unemployed: Total (number)............................................ Percent of labor force ...................... .......... 8,273 7.5 10,678 9.5 10,717 9.5 8,539 7.4 8,312 7.1 8,237 6.9 7,425 6.1 6,701 5.4 6,528 5.2 Not in labor force (number) ................................ 61,460 62,067 62,665 62,839 62,744 62,752 62,888 62,944 62,523 Employed: Total (number)............................................. Percent of population .................................. Resident Armed Forces............................ Civilian Total ........... ............................................ Agriculture............................................ Nonagricultural industries..................... 20. Annual data: Employment levels by industry (Numbers in thousands) Industry 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total employment.................................................................... Private sector......................................................................... Goods-producing ................................................................. Mining............................................................................. Construction .................................................................. Manufacturing................................................................. 91,156 75,126 25,497 1,139 4,188 20,170 89,566 73,729 23,813 1,128 3,905 18,781 90,200 74,330 23,334 952 3,948 18,434 94,496 78,472 24,727 966 4,383 19,378 97,519 81,125 24,859 927 4,673 19,260 99,525 82,832 24,553 777 4,816 18,965 102,200 85,190 24,708 717 4,967 19,024 105,536 88,150 25,173 713 5,110 19,350 108,413 90,644 25,326 700 5,200 19,426 Service-producing................................................................ Transportation and public utilities................................... Wholesale trade .............................................................. Retail trade ..................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................... Services........................................................................... 65,659 5,165 5,376 15,172 5,298 18,619 65,753 5,082 5,296 15,161 5,341 19,036 66,866 4,954 5,286 15,595 5,468 19,694 69,769 5,159 5,574 16,526 5,689 20,797 72,660 5,238 5,736 17,336 5,955 21,999 74,967 5,255 5,774 17,909 6,283 23,053 77,492 5,372 5,865 18,462 6,547 24,235 80,363 5,527 6,055 19,077 6,649 25,669 83,087 5,648 6,271 19,580 6,724 27,096 Government................................................................... Federal...................................................................... State.......................................................................... Local ............................................ ............................. 16,031 2,772 3,640 9,619 15,837 2,739 3,640 9,458 15,869 2,774 3,662 9,434 16,024 2,807 3,734 9,482 16,394 2,875 3,832 9,687 16,693 2,899 3,893 9,901 17,010 2,943 3,967 10,100 17,386 2,971 4,076 10,339 17,769 2,988 4,175 10,606 NOTE: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 75 Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 21. Annual data: Average hours and earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on nonfarm payrolls, by industry Industry 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 35.2 7.25 255.20 34.8 7.68 267.26 35.0 8.02 280.70 35.2 8.32 292.86 34.9 8.57 299.09 34.8 8.76 304.85 34.8 8.98 312.50 34.7 9.28 322.02 34.6 9.66 334.24 Mining: Average weekly hours ........................ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars).................. 43.7 10.04 438.75 42.7 10.77 459.88 42.5 11.28 479.40 43.3 11.63 503.58 43.4 11.98 519.93 42.2 12.46 525.81 42.4 12.54 531.70 42.3 12.80 541.44 43.0 13.25 569.75 Construction: Average weekly hours ............................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ........................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars).............................. 36.9 10.82 399.26 36.7 11.63 426.82 37.1 11.94 442.97 37.8 12.13 458.51 37.7 12.32 464.46 37.4 12.48 466.75 37.8 12.71 480.44 37.9 13.08 495.73 37.9 13.52 512.41 Manufacturing: Average weekly hours ................................. Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ............................. Average weekly earnings (in dollars)......................... 39.8 7.99 318.00 38.9 8.49 330.26 40.1 8.83 354.08 40.7 9.19 374.03 40.5 9.54 386.37 40.7 9.73 396.01 41.0 9.91 406.31 41.1 10.19 418.81 41.0 10.49 430.09 Transportation and public utilities: Average weekly hours ............................ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars)....................... 39.4 9.70 382.18 39.0 10.32 402.48 39.0 10.79 420.81 39.4 11.12 438.13 39.5 11.40 450.30 39.2 11.70 458.64 39.2 12.03 471.58 38.8 12.26 475.69 38.9 12.61 490.53 Wholesale trade: Average weekly hours ................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ......................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars)..................... 38.5 7.55 290.75 38.3 8.08 309.23 38.5 8.54 328.25 38.5 8.88 341.78 38.4 9.15 351.08 38.3 9.34 357.57 38.1 9.59 365.30 38.1 9.98 380.24 38.0 10.39 394.82 Retail trade: Average weekly hours .............................. Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ............................. Average weekly earnings (in dollars).......................... 30.1 5.25 157.99 29.9 5.48 163.83 29.8 5.74 171.13 29.8 5.85 174.47 29.4 5.94 174.81 29.2 6.03 175.80 29.2 6.12 178.80 29.1 6.31 183.62 28.9 6.53 188.72 Finance, insurance, and real estate: Average weekly hours ............................. Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ........................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................. 36.3 6.31 228.73 36.2 6.78 245.68 36.2 7.29 263.68 36.5 7.63 278.04 36.4 7.94 289.20 36.4 8.36 304.49 36.3 8.73 316.37 35.9 9.06 325.25 35.8 9.54 341.53 Services: Average weekly hours ......................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................. Average weekly earnings (in dollars)....................... 32.6 6.41 209.16 32.6 6.92 225.87 32.7 7.31 239.04 32.6 7.59 247.25 32.5 7.90 256.49 32.5 8.18 265.93 32.5 8.49 276.03 32.6 8.88 289.49 32.6 9.39 306.11 Private sector: Average weekly hours..................................... Average hourly earnings (In dollars)........................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .................. 76 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22. Employment Cost Index, compensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. Sept. June Percent change 1990 1989 1988 Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1990 Workers, by occupational group: 95.4 96.7 97.7 98.9 100.0 101.6 102.6 104.3 105.4 1.1 5.4 95.0 _ _ 96.4 97.6 99.0 96.4 95.4 97.1 97.4 97.8 98.2 98.8 99.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.0 102.6 101.2 101.4 101.1 101.7 102.9 103.7 101.9 102.5 102.0 102.8 104.6 105.5 104.0 104.4 103.6 104.2 105.8 106.3 105.4 105.4 104.8 105.1 1.1 .8 1.3 1.0 1.2 .9 5.8 6.3 5.4 5.4 4.8 5.1 96.5 96.2 94.9 94.3 94.2 93.9 97.1 96.9 96.5 96.7 95.8 95.6 97.9 97.6 97.6 97.9 97.0 96.9 95.8 95.2 97.5 96.6 97.8 97.7 98.9 98.9 99.0 99.2 98.9 98.7 99.5 99.2 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.1 101.1 102.0 102.7 102.2 102.3 104.1 102.5 101.9 102.1 102.0 102.9 103.7 103.9 103.7 104.8 103.2 102.8 103.9 104.0 104.4 105.5 105.9 105.6 106.0 105.1 104.3 105.2 105.3 105.5 106.6 107.1 106.7 106.6 105.5 105.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 .6 .4 1.2 5.2 5.3 5.5 6.6 7.1 6.7 6.6 5.5 5.5 95.7 95.9 96.6 96.9 97.6 97.7 98.8 99.0 100.0 100.0 101.2 101.2 102.3 102.1 103.9 103.9 105.2 105.1 1.3 1.2 5.2 5.1 95.1 95.5 95.4 95.7 93.6 96.2 96.7 96.9 96.6 94.1 97.3 97.5 97.5 97.8 96.3 98.9 99.0 99.0 99.1 98.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 101.3 101.8 100.9 101.9 102.4 102.2 102.9 101.5 103.3 104.1 104.2 104.9 103.7 103.6 105.5 105.4 105.8 105.3 105.6 1.3 1.2 .9 1.5 1.9 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.3 5.6 95.3 96.6 97.3 98.9 100.0 101.2 102.3 104.2 105.3 1.1 5.3 96.4 96.8 95.8 97.0 96.2 97.1 97.3 96.5 97.9 97.0 97.9 98.0 97.6 98.2 97.7 98.8 98.7 98.9 99.0 98.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.1 101.2 100.9 101.2 101.3 101.9 102.0 101.8 101.4 102.2 103.5 103.4 103.7 103.1 103.6 104.7 104.7 105.0 104.3 104.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 4.7 4.7 5.0 4.3 4.7 95.6 97.1 98.2 99.2 100.0 101.1 102.5 103.9 104.9 1.0 4.9 95.5 96.6 97.5 98.8 100.0 101.4 102.4 103.8 105.1 1.3 5.1 96.5 96.5 96.4 96.4 96.6 95.7 96.4 96.2 96.4 96.3 96.1 95.9 96.5 95.6 97.1 97.1 97.2 97.1 97.1 96.2 97.2 96.9 97.1 97.1 96.7 96.4 97.0 96.5 97.9 97.9 97.8 97.7 98.0 97.0 98.0 97.6 97.7 97.7 97.6 97.3 97.7 97.5 98.9 98.9 99.0 99.0 98.9 98.9 99.0 98.9 99.0 99.0 98.8 98.8 99.0 98.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.1 101.1 101.2 101.2 101.1 100.9 101.2 101.1 101.1 101.1 101.1 100.8 101.1 101.2 102.1 102.2 101.9 102.0 102.3 102.2 102.4 102.0 101.9 101.9 102.1 102.1 102.2 101.9 103.9 103.9 104.1 103.9 103.9 104.0 103.1 104.0 104.1 104.0 104.0 104.1 104.0 104.1 105.2 105.1 105.3 105.2 105.1 104.4 104.3 105.3 105.3 105.1 105.2 104.5 105.1 105.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 .4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 .4 1.1 1.3 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.4 4.3 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.2 4.5 5.1 5.5 95.1 95.4 94.7 95.1 96.2 95.6 96.8 96.9 96.7 96.9 96.7 95.8 96.2 94.7 96.2 96.3 96.8 97.2 96.2 96.7 95.9 96.6 97.1 97.1 97.5 97.6 97.3 97.5 97.1 96.8 97.3 95.6 97.2 97.3 97.1 98.5 97.3 97.5 97.2 97.5 97.5 98.4 97.5 97.3 97.7 97.5 98.0 97.6 98.2 96.1 97.7 98.4 98.2 99.6 98.8 98.9 98.8 99.0 98.7 99.3 98.7 98.8 98.8 98.5 99.2 98.9 99.2 98.5 98.9 99.1 99.8 100.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 101.2 101.4 101.4 101.1 101.1 100.7 100.5 101.0 101.0 101.0 101.6 101.3 102.6 101.8 101.1 100.8 100.4 102.3 102.1 102.6 102.3 101.1 102.5 101.2 100.8 101.7* 101.6 101.7 102.6 102.0 104.5 102.6 101.6 101.7 101.5 103.8 103.9 104.2 104.4 102.6 103.9 103.0 102.8 103.2 103.1 103.2 103.5 103.0 104.8 103.7 103.0 103.2 102.6 105.2 105.1 105.5 105.6 103.9 105.0 103.3 103.0 103.8 103.1 104.6 105.0 104.5 105.4 105.0 104.8 104.6 105.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.1 .3 .2 .6 .0 1.4 1.4 1.5 .6 1.3 1.7 1.4 3.0 5.2 5.1 5.5 5.6 3.9 5.0 3.3 3.0 3.8 3.1 4.6 5.0 4.5 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.6 5.7 Workers, by industry division: « Workers, by occupational group: Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations _ _ _ _ Administrative support occupations, including Precision production, craft, and repair occupations....... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers .... Workers, by industry division: Service occupations..................................................... Excluding sales occupations.................................... Service occupations ................................................... Electric, gas, and sanitary services............................ Excluding sales occupations ..................................... _ _ _ - _ _ See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 77 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 22. Continued—Employment Cost Index, compensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) 1988 1989 1990 Percent change Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1990 Finance, insurance, and real estate................................. Excluding sales occupations ...................................... Banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies............................................................ Insurance ....................................................................... Services............................................................................ Business services.......................................................... Health services .............................................................. Hospitals ..................................................................... Educational services ..................................................... Colleges and universities............................................ 92.8 94.6 92.9 95.4 96.2 97.1 98.3 98.5 100.0 100.0 100.4 100.1 101.4 101.0 102.6 103.5 104.4 104.7 1.8 1.2 4.4 4.7 96.0 95.0 94.5 94.9 94.1 93.6 - 97.0 95.8 96.4 96.2 95.6 95.2 - 97.8 97.0 97.5 97.2 97.0 96.6 98.3 98.2 98.8 98.3 99.0 98.1 98.9 98.8 99.1 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 99.9 101.8 100.7 101.9 101.9 103.9 103.3 100.7 101.0 102.9 101.3 103.7 103.5 104.2 103.8 102.1 103.2 105.0 103.6 105.8 105.4 105.4 105.2 104.1 105.2 106.5 105.3 107.1 106.6 105.9 105.7 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.1 .5 .5 4.1 5.2 6.5 5.3 7.1 6.6 5.9 5.7 Nonmanufacturing ............................................................ White-collar occupations............................................. Excluding sales occupations..................................... Blue-collar occupations............................................... Service occupations ................................................... 95.4 94.8 95.3 96.8 95.6 96.5 95.9 96.6 97.6 97.1 97.5 97.2 97.5 98.1 98.3 98.8 98.8 99.0 98.8 99.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 101.4 101.4 101.1 101.0 102.3 102.6 102.3 101.7 102.4 103.8 104.1 104.3 102.9 103.9 105.1 105.5 105.6 104.1 105.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 5.1 5.5 5.6 4.1 5.0 State and local government workers ............................... 94.5 97.1 98.2 99.4 100.0 103.3 104.3 105.8 106.5 .7 6.5 94.3 97.0 98.3 99.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.6 103.8 103.1 102.9 102.1 104.6 104.7 104.1 103.9 103.7 106.1 106.4 105.7 105.4 105.5 106.7 107.0 106.4 106.0 106.3 .6 .6 .7 .6 .8 6.7 7.0 6.4 6.0 6.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.8 102.5 103.1 103.2 104.1 104.4 104.6 103.4 102.5 104.7 103.2 104.2 104.5 104.9 105.3 105.5 104.7 103.2 106.1 105.4 106.2 106.0 106.2 106.4 106.5 106.1 105.1 106.8 106.4 106.9 107.0 106.8 106.9 107.1 106.3 105.5 .7 .9 .7 .9 .6 .5 .6 .2 .4 6.8 6.4 6.9 7.0 6.8 6.9 7.1 6.3 5.5 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers......................................................... Professional specialty and technical............................. Executive, administrative, and managerial .................... Administrative support, including clerical....................... Blue-collar workers........................................................... Workers, by industry division: Services ............................................................................ Services excluding schools5 .......................................... Health services............................................................ Hospitals................................................................... Educational services.................................................... Schools..................................................................... Elementary and secondary .................................... Colleges and universities....................................... Public administration3 ....................................................... - - - November 1990 - 95.4 97.0 97.5 99.3 94.0 94.8 94.4 94.8 93.7 93.8 97.0 96.5 96.5 97.0 97.2 97.4 95.8 97.5 98.5 97.8 97.3 97.6 98.7 99.1 97.8 99.5 99.1 98.8 98.6 99.5 99.6 99.6 99.6 99.2 - - - 1 Cost (cents per hour worked) measured in the Employment Cost Index consists of wages, salaries, and employer cost of employee benefits. 2 Consist of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 3 Consist of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. Monthly Labor Review Digitized for78 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 4 This series has the same industry and occupational coverage as the Hourly Earnings Index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 6 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. - Data not available. 23. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1989 = 100) Percent change 1989 Series Sept. Dec. Sept. Mar. Dec. Mar. June 12 months ended 3 months ended June 1990 Civilian workers Workers, by occupational group: White-collar w orkers................................... Professional specialty and technical....... Executive, administrative, and managerial Administrative support, including clerical . Blue-collar workers...................................... Service occupations.................................... Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing................. Manufacturing .................... Service-producing............... Services.......................... Health services ............ Hospitals .................... Educational services .... Public administration 2 .... Nonmanufacturing............. Private Industry workers.................................................. Excluding sales occupations......................................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers...................................................... Excluding sales occupations..................................... Professional specialty and technical occupations...... Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations................................................................ Sales occupations....................................................... Administrative support occupations, including clerical........................................................................ 95.9 96.9 95.5 98.0 104.7 99.2 100.0 99.2 100.0 100.0 101.9 102.5 102.8 100.0 101.1 101.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 101.0 101.4 102.4 101.7 102.5 100.9 100.9 101.9 101.9 102.7 103.3 103.5 103.5 104.4 104.1 104.8 103.6 103.7 102.8 103.4 105.2 105.5 105.0 104.7 103.9 104.2 1.1 .7 1.4 1.0 1.1 .8 5.2 5.5 5.0 4.7 3.9 4.2 102.6 103.1 103.3 103.8 104.8 105.3 105.0 105.4 104.3 103.7 104.2 104.5 104.9 105.9 106.2 106.0 105.8 104.6 104.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 .9 1.0 .4 .3 1.1 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.8 4.6 4.8 103.3 96.8 96.2 97.4 97.9 98.1 98.7 99.0 99.4 96.9 96.8 95.4 94.9 94.4 94.3 97.4 97.3 97.0 97.2 96.1 96.0 98.1 98.1 98.0 98.3 97.4 97.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 96.4 95.6 98.1 97.1 98.4 98.0 99.0 99.0 99.2 99.4 99.0 98.9 99.5 99.4 99.2 96.1 96.3 97.0 97.3 98.0 98.0 99.0 99.1 100.0 100.0 101.2 101.1 102.0 101.9 103.2 103.2 104.5 104.4 1.3 1.2 4.5 4.4 95.6 95.9 95.9 96.7 97.1 97.4 97.8 98.0 97.9 99.0 99.2 99.3 100.0 101.4 102.4 100.0 101.2 101.6 102.5 103.6 103.7 104.1 104.9 104.8 104.8 1.3 1.1 .7 4.9 4.8 4.8 100.0 100.0 100.8 102.1 101.5 103.7 103.3 103.3 104.9 105.3 1.5 1.9 4.9 5.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.5 102.0 102.2 103.8 102.1 101.8 102.8 102.1 95.9 94.3 96.7 94.8 98.0 96.9 99.3 98.6 95.8 97.2 97.8 99.1 100.0 101.1 102.2 103.6 104.7 1.1 4.7 Blue-collar workers........................................................ Precision production, craft, and repair occupations............................................................ — Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors........ Transportation and material moving occupations....... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers...................................................................... 96.8 97.4 98.2 99.0 100.0 101.0 101.6 102.7 103.8 1.1 3.8 3.6 4.2 3.1 Service occupations...................................................... 96.4 Production and nonsupervisory occupations3 ............... Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing...................... Excluding sales occupations White-collar occupations....... Excluding sales occupations Blue-collar occupations ......... Service occupations.............. . Construction 96.8 96.5 97.4 97.2 97.1 98.4 97.9 98.1 98.6 98.8 99.0 99.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.0 100.6 101.2 101.6 101.6 101.2 102.5 103.0 102.0 103.6 104.2 103.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 96.9 97.6 98.3 99.1 100.0 101.1 102.0 103.0 104.4 1.4 4.4 97.7 98.7 99.4 100.0 100.9 102.3 103.1 104.2 1.1 4.2 104.3 1.1 4.3 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 .3 4.2 4.2 4.6 4.4 4.1 3.0 a 97.0 97.9 99.0 100.0 101.3 102.2 103.2 96.9 96.9 96.9 96.9 96.9 96.8 97.5 97.4 97.6 97.6 97.3 96.9 98.2 98.2 98.3 98.2 98.1 97.8 99.1 99.1 99.2 99.2 99.0 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.0 101.0 101.0 101.0 101.0 100.7 102.0 102.0 101.9 102.0 101.9 101.9 103.1 103.0 103.5 103.3 102.9 102.7 104.2 104.2 104.6 104.4 104.1 103.0 97.0 97.7 98.3 99.1 100.0 101.1 101.7 102.0 102.9 .9 2.9 103.3 103.7 103.4 103.1 102.9 103.2 103.6 104.5 104.7 104.4 104.4 103.2 104.3 104.8 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.3 .3 1.1 1.2 4.5 4.7 4.4 4.4 3.2 4.3 4.8 103.3 103.4 103.6 103.8 102.1 103.2 104.6 104.5 105.0 105.0 103.3 104.3 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 4.6 4.5 5.0 5.0 3.3 4.3 102.6 102.3 103.0 103.1 103.0 103. 2 102. 3 104. 1 104. 1 104. 2 .6 .0 1.1 1.0 1.2 3.2 2.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 96.0 f 100.0 100.0 Manufacturing.............................. White-collar occupations....... Excluding sales occupations Blue-collar occupations......... Service occupations............... Durables................................... Nondurables.............................. 96.8 96.9 96.8 96.8 97.0 96.9 96.5 97.3 97.5 97.4 97.2 97.2 97.4 97.2 98.1 98.2 98.0 98.1 98.1 98.0 98.2 99.0 99.2 99.1 98.9 98.9 99.0 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 100.9 100.9 100.9 100.7 100.7 101.1 101.9 101.8 101.9 Service-producing......................... Excluding sales occupations ... White-collar occupations.......... Excluding sales occupations Blue-collar occupations ............ Service occupations.................. 95.5 95.8 95.1 95.5 96.7 96.3 96.7 97.1 96.3 96.9 97.5 97.7 97.8 98.0 97.5 97.9 98.0 98.8 99.1 99.2 99.0 99.2 99.0 99.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 101.2 101.5 101.3 100.9 102.2 97.9 98.2 97.6 98.1 96.9 98.7 99.0 98.3 98.9 97.3 98.6 98.7 98.7 99.0 98.2 99.5 99.4 99.5 99.9 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.7 100.6 101.1 100.0 101.1 101.8 101.8 100.0 101.0 101.7 Transportation and public utilities...... Transportation................................... Public utilities.................................... Communications............................. Electric, gas, and sanitary services 100.8 102.0 102.0 101.9 101.8 101.8 102.5 102.1 100.9 102.3 101.2 100.7 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 79 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 23.Continued— Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1989=100) 1988 1989 1990 Percent change Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1990 Wholesale and retail trade......... Excluding sales occupations .. Wholesale trade ....................... Excluding sales occupations Retail trade............................... Food stores........................... General merchandise stores .. 96.2 96.6 95.1 96.7 96.6 97.8 95.6 97.2 97.5 96.1 97.7 97.7 98.2 97.0 97.9 98.4 96.4 98.3 98.5 99.0 98.2 99.1 99.4 99.0 99.2 99.1 100.0 99.2 100.C 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.1 102.8 101.7 101.0 100.4 100.3 102.7 101.9 105.2 102.5 101.6 101.7 101.4 103.3 102.6 104.6 103.2 102.7 102.8 102.4 104.6 104.2 105.2 104.7 104.4 104.3 105.2 1.3 1.6 .6 1.5 1.7 1.5 2.7 4.6 4.2 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.3 5.2 Finance, insurance, and real estate...... Excluding sales occupations .......... Banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies.................................. Insurance.................................... 92.9 94.5 92.9 95.3 96.3 97.1 98.3 98.4 100.0 100.0 100.6 100.2 101.3 100.9 101.8 103.0 103.5 103.9 1.7 .9 3.5 3.9 96.0 95.4 97.0 96.2 97.8 97.4 98.8 98.5 100.0 100.0 101.1 99.6 100.9 100.8 101.6 102.3 103.6 104.1 2.0 1.8 3.6 4.1 Services............................. . Business services............. Health services ................. Hospitals ........................ Educational services ........ Colleges and universities 94.9 95.1 94.4 94.0 96.9 96.5 96.0 95.6 - 97.8 97.4 97.3 96.9 98.8 98.7 99.1 98.4 99.1 98.9 99.1 99.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 100.9 101.9 101.9 103.7 103.3 102.5 101.2 103.5 103.3 103.9 103.7 104.2 103.0 105.3 105.0 104.7 104.4 105.7 105.1 106.3 106.0 105.0 104.8 1.4 2.0 .9 1.0 .3 .4 5.7 5.1 6.3 6.0 5.0 4.8 Nonmanufacturing..................... White-collar occupations........ Excluding sales occupations. Blue-collar occupations.......... Service occupations ............... 95.8 95.2 95.6 96.9 96.3 96.9 96.4 97.0 97.7 97.7 97.8 97.6 97.9 98.1 98.8 99.1 99.1 99.2 99.0 99.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 101.5 101.3 101.0 100.8 102.2 102.5 102.0 101.3 102.3 103.2 103.6 103.8 102.2 103.2 104.5 105.0 105.0 103.2 104.3 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.1 4.5 5.0 5.0 3.2 4.3 State and local government workers . 95.2 97.7 98.7 99.5 100.0 103.1 103.9 105.1 105.7 .6 5.7 95.0 “ 97.6 98.8 98.2 99.6 99.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.4 103.7 102.8 102.4 101.9 104.2 104.4 103.7 103.0 103.3 105.5 105.8 104.9 104.4 104.3 106.0 106.3 105.7 104.8 105.3 .5 .5 .8 .4 1.0 6.0 6.3 5.7 4.8 5.3 98.9 98.2 97.7 97.9 99.1 99.3 98.41 99.6 99.1 98.9 98.7 99.6 99.7 99.7 99.6 99.4Î 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.6 102.5 102.7 102.9 103.8 104.0 104.2 102.9 102.1 104.3 103.0 103.7 103.8 104.5 104.7 104.9 104.1 102.8 105.5 105.4 105.5 105.0 105.5 105.5 105.5 105.6 104.3 106.0 106.4 106.1 105.9 106.0 105.9 105.9 105.9 104.6 .5 .9 .6 .9 .5 .4 .4 .3 .3 6.0 6.4 6.1 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 4.6 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers..................................... Professional specialty and technical........ Executive, administrative, and managerial. Administrative support, including clerical ... Blue-collar workers...................................... ~ 96.1 ” 97.8 Workers, by industry division: Services .................................... Services excluding schools4 .... Health services..................... Hospitals............................ Educational services............... Schools................................. Elementary and secondary Colleges and universities.... Public administration 2 ............... 94.9 95.5 94.4 94.8 “ 94.6 94.5 ~ 96.4 97.7 97.3 96.7 97.0 97.7 97.8 98.1 — hl uuouy wuitveis ^xciuamg rarm ana nousenoid workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 2 Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 3 This series has the same industry and occupational coverage as the Hourly 24. Earnings Index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 4 Includes, for example, library, social and health services. - Data not available. Employment Cost Index, benefits, private industry workers by occupation and industry group (June 1989 = 100) 1988 1989 1990 Percent change * Series June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June 3 months ended 12 months ended June 1990 Private industry workers ....................................... 94.7 95.7 96.7 98.4 100.0 101.4 102.6 105.5 106.9 1.3 6.9 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ................................................ Blue-collar workers....................................................... 94.0 95.7 95.0 96.5 96.2 97.4 98.3 98.6 100.0 100.0 101.4 101.4 102.6 102.6 105.6 105.2 107.1 106.6 1.4 1.3 7.1 6.6 Workers, by industry group: Goods-producing ................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing ............................................... Nonmanufacturing ............................................................... 95.7 93.8 94.9 94.5 96.5 94.9 95.8 95.5 97.3 96.1 96.6 96.8 98.7 98.2 98.8 98.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.5 101.4 101.6 101.4 102.6 102.6 102.3 102.8 105.7 105.3 105.5 105.4 107.2 106.6 106.9 106.9 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 7.2 6.6 6.9 6.9 80 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size (June 1989=100) Percent change 1990 Series Sept. June Dec. Mar. Sept. 12 3 months ended June months ended June 1990 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status1 Union ................................................................ Goods-producing........................................... Service-producing.......................................... Manufacturing................................................ Nonmanufacturing......................................... 97.0 97.1 96.9 96.4 97.5 97.7 97.7 97.6 97.0 98.3 98.2 98.4 97.9 97.8 98.5 99.0 98.9 99.1 99.0 98.9 Nonunion................. Goods-producing .. Service-producing . Manufacturing ...... Nonmanufacturing 95.3 96.2 94.7 96.1 94.9 96.3 96.9 95.9 96.8 96.0 97.4 97.7 97.2 97.6 97.3 98.8 98.9 98.7 98.8 98.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Workers, by region 1 Northeast.................................................... South ......................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central).............. W est........................................................... 93.8 96.7 96.2 96.3 95.0 97.4 97.0 97.0 96.7 98.1 97.9 97.7 98.7 99.0 98.9 98.8 Workers, by area size 1 Metropolitan areas..................................... Other areas................................................ 95.3 98.0 96.3 98.5 97.4 98.9 Workers, by bargaining status 1 Union ................................................................ Goods-producing........................................... Service-producing.......................................... Manufacturing ............................................... ■ Nonmanufacturing......................................... 97.5 97.2 97.8 97.0 97.9 98.2 97.8 98.8 97.5 98.8 Nonunion......................................................... Goods-producing .......................................... Service-producing......................................... Manufacturing............................................... Nonmanufacturing........................................ 95.6 96.8 95.1 96.7 95.3 W orkers, by region ' Northeast......................................................... South ............................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central)................... W est................................................................ Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan areas................. Other areas............................ 100.0 100.0 100.9 100.9 100.8 100.8 100.8 101.8 101.9 101.7 102.0 101.6 103.3 103.3 103.2 103.6 103.0 104.1 104.5 103.6 104.7 103.7 0.8 1.2 .4 1.1 .7 4.1 4.5 3.6 4.7 3.7 104.1 104.2 103.9 104.2 104.0 105.5 105.5 105.5 105.5 105.4 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.3 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 101.4 101.3 101.5 102.4 102.3 102.4 101.4 102.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 101.2 101.0 101.0 102.9 102.2 101.9 101.8 104.4 104.0 103.5 103.3 105.3 105.7 104.8 104.5 5.3 5.7 4.8 4.5 98.8 99.4 100.0 100.0 101.4 102.2 102.0 103.9 103.6 105.1 105.2 5.1 5.2 98.5 98.4 98.8 98.3 98.8 99.2 99.0 99.6 99.0 99.4 100.6 100.6 100.7 100.5 100.7 101.6 101.6 101.7 101.7 101.5 102.6 102.3 102.9 102.6 102.5 103.3 103.5 103.1 103.8 103.0 .7 1.2 .2 1.2 .5 3.3 3.5 3.1 3.8 3.0 96.6 97.3 96.3 97.2 96.4 97.7 98.1 97.6 98.0 97.7 99.0 99.1 98.9 98.9 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 102.1 101.4 101.0 101.4 102.0 102.3 103.4 103.5 103.4 103.6 103.3 104.8 104.5 104.9 104.8 104.8 1.4 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.5 4.8 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.8 94.0 97.2 96.5 96.7 95.1 97.9 97.4 97.7 96.9 98.4 98.2 98.2 98.7 99.2 99.1 99.1 100.0 101.8 100.0 101.2 100.8 104.8 105.2 103.7 104.0 .8 1.6 1.1 1.5 4.8 5.2 3.7 4.0 95.7 98.4 96.7 98.7 97.8 98.9 99.0 99.6 100.0 100.0 104.4 104.6 1.1 1.6 4.4 4.6 101.2 100.8 102.1 WAGES AND SALARIES 1 The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101.1 100.0 100.0 Monthly Labor Review 102.1 102.2 100.8 101.6 101.4 104.0 103.5 102.6 102.5 101.3 100.7 102.1 101.9 103.3 103.0 102.9 102.1 Technical Employment Cost Index,” May 1982. Note, “ Estimation .. procedures for the Monthly Labor Review November 1990 81 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 26. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Quarterly average Annual average 1988 1990 1989 1988 Measure 1989 III IV I II III IV llp lp Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustments,2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: First year of contract........................................... Annual rate over life of contract......................... 3.1 2.5 4.5 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.5 2.1 3.2 3.1 5.1 3.4 3.9 2.7 5.3 4.3 4.6 3.6 5.8 4.8 Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: First year of contract........................................... Annual rate over life of contract......................... 2.5 2.4 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.2 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.3 3.6 3.0 4.9 4.0 3.7 3.3 4.7 4.2 2.6 .7 3.2 1.2 .8 .2 .5 .1 .5 .1 1.0 .3 1.0 .4 .7 .4 .6 .2 1.1 .3 1.3 .6 1.3 .7 .4 .2 .2 .2 .3 .1 .5 .2 .4 .2 .2 .1 .3 .1 .6 .3 Effective adjustments: Total effective wage adjustment 3 ......................... From settlements reached in period ................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier periods................................................................. From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses............. 1 Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers' cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases, and no changes in compensation or wages. 3 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. p = preliminary. 27. Average specified compensation and wage adjustments, major collective bargaining settlements in private industry situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) Average for four quarters ending- III 1990 1989 1988 Measure I IV III II IP IV IIP Specified total compensation adjustments, settlements covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract............................................................................ Annual rate over life of contract.......................................................... 3.1 2.5 3.1 2.5 3.3 2.6 3.8 3.0 4.0 2.8 4.5 3.4 4.6 3.5 4.8 3.7 Specified wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: All industries: First year of contract......................................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... Annual rate over life of contract....................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.2 1.5 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.4 1.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.5 1.8 2.9 3.2 2.2 3.4 2.9 1.8 3.2 3.5 2.6 3.6 3.0 2.0 3.2 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.4 2.8 3.5 4.0 3.8 4.1 3.4 2.7 3.6 4.2 3.9 4.3 3.6 2.7 3.8 Manufacturing: First year of contract ......................................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... Annual rate over life of contract....................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... 2.6 2.4 3.0 1.9 1.4 3.1 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.1 1.8 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.2 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.1 3.1 2.4 1.7 3.1 2.6 2.1 2.8 2.5 1.7 2.9 3.9 5.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.0 3.9 4.8 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.3 4.4 4.9 4.2 3.4 3.1 3.5 Nonmanufacturing: First year of contract......................................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... Annual rate over life of contract........................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 1.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.5 1.7 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.7 1.7 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.2 2.5 3.3 3.8 3.0 3.9 3.1 2.1 3.3 4.0 3.2 4.2 3.4 2.4 3.7 4.1 3.2 4.3 3.4 2.4 3.7 4.1 3.3 4.3 3.6 2.4 3.9 Construction: First year of contract......................................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... Annual rate over life of contract........................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses .................................................... 1 None of the settlements included COLA provisions. 2 Data do not meet publication standards. p = preliminary. 82 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.1 2.1 2.4 (') 0 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.6 (') (1) 2.4 2.4 2.2 (’ ) (1) 2.6 2.7 2.4 (2) (2) 2.9 (2) (2) 2.8 2.6 f2) i2) 2.9 (2) f2) 2.9 (2) (2) (2) (2) 3.1 3.0 (2) (2) 3.5 (2) f2) (2) (2) 3.9 (2) f2) 28. Average effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) _______________ Average for four quarters ending1990 1989 1988 Effective wage adjustment III IV IP IF IV I II For all workers:1 T o ta l....................................................................... •»............................ From settlements reached in period ................................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period....................... From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses........................................... 2.6 .7 1.3 .6 2.7 .8 1.3 .6 2.8 .7 1.3 .8 3.0 .9 1.3 .8 3.2 1.2 1.3 .7 3.2 1.3 1.2 .7 3.3 1.2 1.4 .7 For workers receiving changes: T o ta l...................................................................................................... From settlements reached in period ................................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period....................... From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses........................................... 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.7 3.5 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.2 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.2 3.4 3.3 4.0 4.1 3.4 3.3 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.4 1 p Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. = preliminary. 29. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, State and local government collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Annual average Measure 1988 1989 First 6 months 1990 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.7 2.3 2.4 (4) 5.1 2.5 2.6 (4) 1.7 .4 1.2 (4) Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustments, 2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: Annual rate over life of contract.................................................................................................................................. Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: Annual rate over life of contract.................................................................................................................................. Effective adjustments: Total effective wage adjustment3 .................................................................................................................................. From settlements reached in period............................................................................................................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier periods ................................................................................................. 1 Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers' cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases, and no changes in compensation or wages. 3 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. 4 Less than 0.05 percent. 30. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more 1990 1988 1989 Sept. Number of stoppages: JulyP Junep MayP Sept.P 40 43 51 52 6 12 5 13 5 14 1 9 3 9 3 7 5 8 5 12 4 11 5 9 1 8 5 9 4 9 118.3 452.1 14.5 68.9 8.0 5.0 4.5 18.0 39.6 33.1 6.2 13.7 6.4 33.5 10.9 121.9 454.1 108.7 171.1 169.1 104.1 20.3 31.4 51.1 70.3 31.5 34.8 36.8 38.2 35.2 4,364.3 16,996.3 1,922.3 3,220.9 2,343.7 376.0 311.9 280.7 720.2 812.7 535.3 527.3 564.3 752.5 565.2 .01 .01 .03 .03 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 Workers involved: Beginning in period (in In effect during period (in Days idle: Percent of estimated working .02 .07 .09 .14 .11 1 Agricultural and government employees are included in the total employed and total working time: private household, forestry, and fishery employees are excluded. An expla nation of the measurement of idleness as a percentage of the total time worked is found https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr.P Mar.P Feb. Jan. Dec. Nov. Oct. > c cp 1989 Annual totals Measure .02 in ‘“ Total economy’ measure of strike idleness,” pp. 54-56. p = preliminary. Monthly Labor Review, October 1968, Monthly Labor Review November 1990 83 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 31. Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual average Series 1989 1990 1988 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 354 124.( 371.: 125.C 374.8 125.8 376.« 125. 377. 126. 377.8 127./ 381.8 128.8 383.: 128. 385. 128. 386. 129. 386.< 129.« 389. 130./ 390. 131. 394. 132.7 397.5 118.« 116.( 122. 114.: 108./ 128.1 113.1 114.C 113.1 107.8 118.C 121.8 118.8 124. 125.£ Ì 125. 126.1 124.2 125.C 132./ 134.8 121.: 122.8 115.8 116.1 138.C 136.8 119.1 119.7 119.4 121.2 121.3 111.3 111.0 125.5 126.7 127.4 128.8 123.5 124.8 126.: 126.8 125./ 135.C 122./ 118.2 137.1 120.3 126. 126.5 125.8 135.: 122.8 120.2 137.6 119.6 127.: 127./ 126.8 136.1 123.6 122.6 136.7 120.1 130.C 130. 131. 136.6 126.6 125.6 153.7 121.C 130.5 131.: / 132.1 C 137./ 126.7 126.6 157.6 121.6 121.8 111.8 127.2 129.1 125.2 121 C in . : 127.3 129.8 125.5 121.5 111.0 127.6 129.8 125.6 123.8 112.4 128.3 130.3 126.2 123.4 113.3 128.9 131.0 126.9 131.« 131.. 131.5 137.8 127.5 126.8 153.: 122.: 123.C 124.: 113.1 129.8 131.6 127.6 131.8 131.: 131. 138.£ 128.: 125.: 149.C 122.: 123.6 124.C 112./ 129.S 132.8 128.2 131. 131. 131.: 132. 130.S 131.' 139.: 140.1 127.8 129.E 124.- 124.E 147./ 147.1 122.8 123.1 124./ 124.8 125.C 125.8 112.7 113.3 130.4 130.9 133.0 133.4 128.9 129.3 132./ 132.- C 132.8 140.8 130./ 125.7 149./ 123.8 124.9 126.8 114.C 130.9 133.9 129.9 132. 132.« 132." 141./ 131. 127.: 146.1 124.: 125.1 127./ 114.C 132 C 134 C 130.2 133.0 133.2 132.9 141.6 131.9 127.6 145.1 124.5 125.8 128.2 114.2 1 a? ?i 134 6 130.8 130.5 142 3 148.9 140 0 158.1 147.0 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS: All ite m s................................. All items (1967 = 100) .................. Food and beverages .................. Food......................................... Food at home ............................ Cereals and bakery products............. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs.......... Dairy products............................. Fruits and vegetables..................... Other foods at home.............................. Sugar and sweets........................ Fats and o ils ......................................... Nonalcoholic beverages......... Other prepared foods...................... Food away from home ..................... Alcoholic beverages.................. Housing ................................... Shelter ................................... Renters’ costs (12/82=100).................................................. Rent, residential ............................... Other renters’ costs .................... Homeowners’ costs (12/82 = 100)........................................... Owners’ equivalent rent (12/82 = 1 00).................................. Household insurance (12/82 = 100)........ Maintenance and repairs............ Maintenance and repair services ............. Maintenance and repair commodities............. Fuel and other utilities.............................. Fuels ............................. Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ............................................... Gas (piped) and electricity..................................................... Other utilities and public services............................................ Household furnishings and operations....................................... Housekeeping supplies.................... Housekeeping services.................... 118.5 127.1 133.6 127.8 134.8 131.1 131.1 129.0 114.7 117.9 110.4 104.4 98.0 78.1 104.6 122.9 109.4 105.1 114.7 114.3 123.0 132.8 138.9 132.8 140.7 137.3 137.4 132.6 118.0 120.6 114.6 107.8 100.9 81.7 107.5 127.1 111.2 105.5 120.9 117.3 124.3 134.1 139.4 133.9 139.1 138.9 139.0 133.6 118.6 120.9 115.6 109.7 103.5 79.3 111.0 128.1 111.7 105.7 122.3 117.5 124.4 134.8 140.0 134.7 139.2 139.7 139.9 133.7 118.6 121.0 115.5 108.0 101.0 82.0 107.6 127.6 111.9 106.1 122.5 117.4 124.5 135.2 140.1 135.2 138.0 140.3 140.5 133.8 119.3 121.7 116.2 107.5 99.9 83.9 106.1 127.9 111.9 106.0 122.5 117.6 124.9 135.6 140.1 135.5 137.2 140.9 141.0 134.0 119.5 122.2 115.8 108.4 101.2 88.7 107.0 128.2 111.7 105.5 123.6 117.6 125.9 136.3 142.0 135.8 143.6 141.1 141.2 134.1 120.4 123.7 116.0 110.8 104.5 113.1 107.5 129.3 112.1 106.1 123.2 117.9 126.1 136.6 143.5 136.0 149.3 141.0 141.1 134.5 120.8 124.6 115.9 110.2 103.1 95.4 108.3 130.0 112.8 106.9 123.5 118.4 126.8 137.8 144.8 136.5 152.7 142.2 142.4 134.8 121.2 124.8 116.4 109.9 102.3 91.5 107.9 130.7 112.8 106.9 123.4 118.7 126.8 138.0 144.7 137.0 150.7 142.5 142.7 134.4 121.2 125.6 115.4 109.4 101.2 89.6 106.8 130.9 112.8 106.6 123.9 119.1 127.1 138.3 144.4 137.3 148.5 143.1 143.2 134.9 122.2 126.2 116.7 109.9 101.9 88.0 107.8 131.2 113.2 106.7 125.0 119.5 128.3 139.5 145.3 137.9 150.1 144.4 144.6 135.2 121.8 125.4 117.0 112.2 105.4 84.9 112.4 131.8 113.1 106.3 125.8 119.8 129.2 141.1 148.7 138.7 161.4 145.4 145 7 135.3 122.1 125.6 1174 111.3 104.5 82.7 111 7 130.8 113.6 106.8 125.9 120.5 130.2 142 4 150.7 139.4 167.4 146.5 1/lfi 7 135 6 121.2 124.1 117 5 112.7 105.6 91.8 111 6 132.8 113.3 106 5 125.6 120.4 132.9 113 8 106 9 126 2 121.1 Apparel and upkeep ...................... Apparel commodities.................... Men’s and boys’ apparel......... Women’s and girls' apparel ............. Infants’ and toddlers’ apparel................ Footwear............................... Other apparel commodities.................... Apparel services.................. 115.4 113.7 113.4 114.9 116.4 109.9 116.0 123.7 118.6 116.7 117.0 116.4 119.1 114.4 122.1 129.4 120.0 118.2 117.7 119.0 118.0 114.1 124.5 129.7 122.7 121.1 120.3 123.1 118.3 117.6 123.0 129.8 122.1 120.4 121.1 121.3 117.2 116.6 123.5 130.8 119.2 117.1 118.8 116.4 115.3 114.7 122.8 131.3 116.7 114.3 116.3 112.0 112.7 113.1 125.1 132.4 120.4 118.3 117.0 117.7 124.3 114.5 130.6 132.9 125.4 123.7 119.3 126.8 127.6 116.9 132.7 133.8 126.7 125.0 121.0 127.9 130.0 118.6 132.8 134.8 125.5 123.6 121.9 124.7 127.2 118.5 132.1 136.2 123.3 121.1 119.9 120.9 127.8 117.3 131.4 136.4 120.8 118.4 118.6 116.1 127.7 116.1 131.1 136.8 122.2 119.9 119.3 118.9 126.5 116.3 131.3 138.2 126.8 124 7 121.7 127.0 127.7 118.6 132 8 138.7 Transportation ....................... Private transportation................... New vehicles............................ New ca rs........................... Used cars ........................ Motor fuel ........................ Gasoline.................................. Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation..................................................... Other private transportation commodities...... Other private transportation services......... Public transportation................. 108.7 107.6 116.5 116.9 118.0 80.9 80.8 119.7 127.9 98.9 133.9 123.3 114.1 112.9 119.2 119.2 120.4 88.5 88.5 124.9 135.8 101.5 143.2 129.5 113.7 112.4 117.1 117.0 119.8 88.8 88.8 126.2 135.7 102.0 142.9 130.1 114.5 113.3 118.5 118.6 119.7 88.9 88.8 126.7 137.1 101.9 144.8 130.6 115.0 113.7 120.6 120.5 120.1 87.2 87.0 126.7 138.2 102.1 146.0 131.3 115.2 113.9 121.9 121.8 119.7 85.8 85.5 126.9 139.0 102.3 146.9 131.7 117.2 115.9 122.4 122.3 118.9 91.4 90.6 127.3 140.3 101.9 148.7 134.2 117.1 115.6 122.2 121.9 117.4 90.6 90.2 127.6 140.8 102.1 149.3 136.7 116.8 115.1 121.6 121.3 116.6 89.3 89.1 128.8 140.7 102.0 149.2 139.1 117.3 115.5 121.1 120.7 116.2 91.2 91.0 129.4 140.8 101.9 149.4 140.3 117.7 115.9 121.0 120.7 116.9 92.5 92.4 129.4 140.8 101.8 149.3 140.9 118.2 116.4 120.6 120.3 117.6 94.6 94.6 129.6 141.0 101.8 149.7 141.5 118.4 116.6 120.2 119.8 118.2 94.3 94.4 130.2 142.1 101.7 151.0 141.6 120.6 119.0 119.9 119.5 118.3 103.2 103.1 130.4 142.4 102.2 151.3 141.9 123.0 121.4 119.6 119.0 118.3 112.0 111.8 131.5 143.0 102.2 152.0 144.0 Medical c a re .......................... Medical care commodities................. Medical care services............. Professional services.................. Hospital and related services..... 138.6 139.9 138.3 137.5 143.9 149.3 150.8 148.9 146.4 160.5 151.7 153.3 151.3 148.0 164.3 152.7 154.1 152.3 148.6 166.0 153.9 155.3 153.6 149.3 167.9 154.4 156.0 154.1 149.9 167.9 155.9 156.9 155.7 151.1 169.9 157.5 158.6 157.2 152.3 171.6 158.7 159.9 158.5 153.2 173.0 159.8 161.3 159.4 154.1 173.7 160.8 162.2 160.5 155.1 174.3 161.9 163.3 161.5 155.8 175.4 163.5 164.1 163.4 157.0 178.1 165.0 164.8 165.0 157.8 180.9 165.8 166.0 165.8 158.2 181.8 Entertainment ............................. Entertainment commodities ............. Entertainment services...... 120.3 115.0 127.7 126.5 119.8 135.4 127.8 120.5 137.2 128.4 121.2 137.8 128.6 121.3 138.2 129.1 121.6 138.8 129.9 122.3 139.8 130.4 122.5 140.5 130.9 123.1 141.0 131.4 123.5 141.6 131.7 123.7 142.0 131.9 123.5 142.6 132.7 124.4 143.3 133.0 124.8 143.6 134.1 124.9 145.5 Other goods and services ............... Tobacco products ...................... Personal care............................. Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services ........................ Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies.................... Personal and educational services.......................................... 137.0 145.8 119.4 118.1 120.7 147.9 148.1 148.0 147.7 164.4 125.0 123.2 126.8 158.1 158.0 158.3 151.2 168.2 125.9 124.0 127.7 162.9 163.0 163.1 151.8 168.8 126.4 124.4 128.5 163.5 163.6 163.7 151.9 168.6 127.0 125.1 129.0 163.5 163.9 163.7 152.9 171.9 127.1 124.7 129.7 164.0 164.0 164.2 154.0 174.1 127.6 125.1 130.3 165.1 167.9 165.1 154.7 175.0 128.4 126.0 130.9 165.6 169.7 165.6 155.2 175.1 129.0 126.9 131.2 166.3 169.9 166.3 155.8 175.6 130.3 128.3 132.3 166.6 169.9 166.6 156.6 176.7 130.2 128.3 132.1 167.7 169.9 167.7 157.8 180.9 131.0 129.2 132.8 168.0 169.8 168.1 159.2 185.7 130.6 128.4 132.9 168.9 170.3 169.01 160.4 185.8 130.6 128.1 133.3 171.2 170 5 171.5 162.6 185.8 131.3 128 8 133.9 175 1 173 8 175.4 _ See footnotes at end of table. 84 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 135 7 124 6 129.9 117 3 114.0 107.6 104.4 31. Continued— Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Series __________________________________ _______________ ___ Annual average 1988 1990 1989 1989 Sept. Jan. Oct. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 132.7 124.6 133.0 119.4 124.1 124.7 126.6 125.6 118.1 126.3 113.0 113.6 121.1 112.4 112.1 125.9 118.3 126.7 113.0 113.1 120.4 111.9 113.0 126.1 118.2 127.2 112.6 112.0 117.1 112.0 113.5 127.4 119.9 130.0 113.7 113.7 114.3 116.0 113.8 128.0 120.6 130.9 114.2 114.5 118.3 115.3 113.7 128.7 121.1 131.2 114.9 116.1 123.7 114.8 113.4 128.9 121.4 131.0 115.4 117.1 125.0 115.7 113.1 129.2 121.4 131.1 115.5 117.1 123.6 116.5 113.2 129.9 121.6 131.7 115.4 117.1 121.1 117.7 112.9 130.4 121.6 132.4 115.0 116.4 118.4 118.1 113.0 131.6 112.2 125.0 117.3 125.9 111.9 112.4 118.2 112.0 111.3 125.7 132.0 115.3 128.0 138.3 132.6 131.9 138.0 118.7 135.6 148.9 140.9 133.4 139.3 120.7 135.9 151.3 143.8 133.7 140.1 119.0 137.1 152.3 -144.3 134.1 140.5 118.5 138.0 153.6 144.6 134.6 140.9 119.0 138.6 154.1 145.1 135.4 141.6 119.6 140.2 155.7 146.1 136.0 142.0 120.3 141.1 157.2 146.6 136.9 143.3 120.5 141.9 158.5 147.2 137.1 143.5 120.1 142.4 159.4 147.8 137.6 143.7 142.5 160.5 148.5 138.8 145.0 123.1 142.9 161.5 148.9 139.9 146.7 122.6 143.8 163.4 149.6 140.9 148.1 123.2 144.0 165.0 151.0 141.4 147.9 123.8 145.2 165.8 153.5 118.3 115.9 119.5 117.0 107.7 105.8 104.0 124.8 122.6 126.3 123.4 112.4 112.9 112.4 119.3 137.0 131.6 95.9 129.1 130.0 120.1 125.4 123.1 126.8 124.0 113.4 114.1 128.3 124.3 89.3 122.3 123.4 115.8 80.8 127.9 123.7 121.6 125.3 122.4 112.0 111.7 111.3 118.2 135.1 130.1 94.3 128.1 129.0 119.6 87.9 134.4 125.8 123.5 127.1 124.4 113.0 112.6 112.5 119.8 137.8 132.6 93.2 130.6 131.5 135.8 88.3 136.5 125.6 123.3 127.0 124.2 113.4 113.6 112.4 120.0 137.2 132.1 93.2 130.4 131.3 121.6 87.0 137.0 86.4 137.5 126.7 125.0 128.7 125.7 114.1 114.2 116.1 122.0 138.9 133.4 97.6 131.5 132.0 121.0 94.2 138.4 127.3 125.7 129.5 126.2 114.6 115.0 115.5 122.9 139.8 133.9 96.4 132.3 132.8 122.2 91.3 138.9 128.1 126.2 130.1 126.9 115.4 116.5 115.2 123.8 140.3 134.7 95.5 133.3 133.9 123.4 89.8 140.0 128.4 126.5 130.4 127.1 115.9 117.4 116.0 124.2 140.6 134.9 95.7 133.5 134.2 123.7 91.2 140.3 128.7 126.7 130.6 127.3 115.9 117.5 116.8 124.2 141.2 135.3 96.7 133.7 134.4 123.6 92.2 140.7 129.4 127.3 131.2 128.0 115.8 117.6 118.0 124.6 142.5 136.5 99.5 134.2 134.8 123.2 93.7 141.6 130.0 127.5 131.6 128.5 115.5 117.0 118.3 124.6 143.0 137.5 98.9 134.8 135.5 122.9 93.2 142.8 131.3 128.6 132.8 129.6 117.2 119.9 121.9 126.3 143.8 138.5 103.6 135.6 136.4 123.2 102.1 144.0 132.6 130.1 134.1 130.8 119.8 124.1 125.9 128.7 145.0 139.0 108.8 136.3 137.2 124.5 111.4 144.5 84.6 28.2 80.7 26.9 80.0 26.7 79.6 26.6 79.5 26.5 79.3 26.5 78.5 26.2 78.2 26.1 77.7 25.9 77.6 25.9 77.4 25.8 77.0 25.7 76.7 25.6 76.0 25.4 75.4 25.2 117.0 348.4 122.6 365.2 123.6 368.3 124.2 369.8 124.4 370.6 124.6 371.1 125.9 375.0 126.4 376.6 127.1 378.5 127.3 379.2 127.5 128.3 382.1 128.7 129.9 131.1 379.9 383.4 386.9 390.5 Food and beverages ...................... Food............................................. Food at hom e........................... Cereals and bakery products .. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs . Dairy products........................ Fruits and vegetables............. Other foods at home.............. Sugar and sweets................ Fats and o ils ........................ Nonalcoholic beverages...... Other prepared foods.......... Food away from home ............. Alcoholic beverages.................... 117.9 117.9 116.2 122.2 114.1 108.1 127.6 113.0 113.9 113.0 107.7 117.8 121.6 118.3 124.6 124.8 123.9 132.4 125.6 125.8 124.6 134.6 122.7 115.9 136.1 119.6 120.9 126.0 126.2 125.0 135.1 126.4 126.6 125.5 135.3 122.9 120.0 137.0 119.8 120.7 120.9 111.3 127.1 129.4 125.1 126.9 127.1 126.2 136.0 123.8 129.7 130.1 130.5 136.8 126.7 125.7 152.9 121.3 122.5 123.4 112.7 128.2 130.2 125.9 130.6 131.1 131.6 137.4 126.6 126.9 157.7 130.9 131.2 131.5 137.6 127.8 126.8 153.3 123.0 123.2 113.6 128.7 130.9 126.7 123.1 124.0 113.4 129.5 131.7 127.4 130.7 130.9 130.6 138.8 128.1 125.1 147.9 122.1 123.7 124.1 112.7 129.7 132.3 128.0 130.7 131.0 130.4 139.2 127.8 124.6 146.4 122.6 124.4 124.9 112.9 130.2 132.8 128.7 131.5 131.8 131.4 140.0 130.0 124.8 146.6 123.1 124.6 125.4 113.6 130.8 133.2 129.1 132.1 132.4 132.2 140.4 130.5 125.5 148.9 123.5 124.9 126.4 114.2 130.7 133.7 129.5 132.4 132.7 132.4 141.3 131.2 127.3 145.6 124.2 125.7 127.3 114.6 131.8 134.1 129.8 132.7 133.0 132.6 141.5 131.9 127.6 144.4 124.4 125.8 128.1 114.2 132.3 134.5 130.4 Housing ........................................................ Shelter ....................................................... Renters’ costs (12/84 = 100)................. Rent, residential................................... Other renters’ costs ............................. Homeowners’ costs (12/84 = 100)......... Owners’ equivalent rent (12/84 = 100) Household insurance (12/84 = 100).... Maintenance and repairs....................... Maintenance and repair services ....... Maintenance and repair commodities .. Fuel and other utilities.............................. Fuels ...................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ............ Gas (piped) and electricity .................. Other utilities and public services......... Household furnishings and operations..... Housefurnishings.................................... Housekeeping supplies.......................... Housekeeping services.......................... 116.8 124.3 119.2 127.5 135.2 119.5 119.5 118.2 114.0 117.7 108.3 104.1 97.7 77.9 104.4 122.9 108.9 104.5 115.1 115.0 121.2 122.7 132.3 125.3 134.6 139.1 127.8 128.0 122.5 118.9 121.7 114.0 107.2 99.5 83.6 105.8 128.2 111.2 105.2 122.7 117.7 123.1 132.6 125.4 135.0 137.6 128.3 128.5 122.7 119.0 122.4 113.6 108.0 100.7 123.9 133.2 126.6 135.3 144.1 128.5 128.6 124.1 133.4 127.5 135.4 149.8 128.5 128.6 123.1 120.7 125.0 114.3 109.8 102.5 95.2 107.9 130.4 112.1 106.1 123.8 118.7 124.7 134.5 128.4 136.0 153.2 129.6 129.7 123.3 105.9 123.9 119.0 105.8 124.4 119.3 125.1 135.0 128.4 136.8 148.8 130.3 130.4 123.6 121.7 126.9 114.3 109.5 101.2 87.9 107.2 131.7 112.4 105.8 125.3 119.7 126.2 136.1 129.2 137.4 150.7 131.5 131.6 123.8 91.3 107.5 131.0 124.7 134.7 128.4 136.4 150.9 129.9 130.0 123.0 120.6 125.9 113.0 109.0 100.6 89.4 106.4 131.4 127.0 137.5 131.4 138.2 161.9 132.4 132.6 123.9 122.1 126.6 115.3 111.1 104.2 82.7 111.4 131.2 112.7 105.8 126.2 120.4 127.9 138.7 132.7 138.8 167.9 133.5 133.7 124.1 121.3 125.2 115.3 112.4 105.1 91.6 111.3 133.3 112.5 105.6 125.8 120.4 128.3 138.8 132.0 139.6 158.6 134.0 134.2 124.2 124.0 130.8 114.8 113.5 106.9 103.8 112.0 133.4 113.0 106.0 126.3 121.4 All ite m s......................................................................... Commodities................................................................ Food and beverages................................................. Commodities less food and beverages.................... Nondurables less food and beverages ................. Apparel commodities........................................... Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel Durables.................................................................. Services.............................. .............................................. Rent of shelter (12/8 2=1 0 0 )........................................ Household services less rent of’ shelter (12/82=100). Transportation services................................................. Medical care services.................................................... Other services................................................................ Special indexes: All items less fo o d ............................................... All items less shelter........................................... All items less homeowners’ costs (12/82=100). All items less medical ca re .................................. Commodities less fo o d ........................................ Nondurables less food ........................................ Nondurables less food and apparel ................... Nondurables......................................................... Services less rent of’ shelter (12/82 = 100)....... Services less medical c a re ................................. Energy.................................................................. All items less energy ........................................... All Items less food and energy ........................... Commodities less food and energy.................... Energy commodities ........................................... Services less energy........................................... Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982-84=$1.00...................................... 1967 = $1.00............................................ 118.3 111.5 118.2 107.3 105.2 113.7 103.2 110.4 124.0 116.7 124.9 111.6 111.2 116.7 111.8 111.0 88.0 112.8 120.1 137.0 131.8 94.6 129.9 130.9 121.2 121.2 120.8 122.8 132.7 116.8 119.5 119.9 122.1 112.9 112.8 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR URBAN WAGE EARNERS AND CLERICAL WORKERS: All ite m s..................... All items (1967 = 100) 121.2 115.4 137.6 119.0 119.5 121.1 111.4 125.3 127.3 123.1 129.8 123.9 132.3 141.5 125.1 125.2 121.4 117.6 120.4 112.6 107.5 100.6 81.4 107.3 127.4 121.2 111.0 126.6 128.6 124.4 122.5 131.1 124.6 133.4 140.9 126.6 126.7 122.4 118.0 120.7 113.3 109.5 103.3 79.2 110.7 128.3 122.2 118.0 136.5 120.2 121.4 121.5 112.0 127.0 129.0 124.7 122.5 131.8 125.1 134.2 140.4 127.3 127.4 122.5 118.1 120.9 113.4 107.6 100.6 81.8 107.2 127.8 110.6 111.0 111.2 104.8 105.0 105.3 121.2 122.6 122.7 117.4 117.6 117.5 122.8 135.8 120.1 121.1 121.5 111.2 127.4 129.7 125.2 88.1 106.7 128.4 111.1 104.7 123.8 117.8 122.8 120.0 124.1 113.8 110.2 103.8 112.7 107.2 129.6 111.5 105.3 123.5 118.1 121.8 122.2 120.8 125.1 114.3 109.6 101.8 112.1 112.2 121.8 126.4 114.9 112.0 105.0 84.9 112.1 132.3 112.3 105.3 126.1 119.9 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 85 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 31. Continued— Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Series Annual average 1989 1990 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 117.9 116.1 116.1 115.5 122.5 114.7 120.5 128.6 119.3 117.6 116.9 118.1 122.0 114.5 122.5 128.8 122.0 120.5 119.6 122.0 122.2 118.0 121.9 129.0 121.4 119.8 120.2 120.5 121.0 117.0 122.4 130.0 118.5 116.6 118.0 115.5 119.3 115.4 121.5 130.6 116.1 114.0 115.8 111.3 116.8 113.8 123.2 131.7 119.3 117.3 116.2 116.4 127.1 115.0 127.0 132.2 124.4 122.8 118.3 125.7 129.9 117.4 130.5 133.2 125.8 124.2 120.0 126.9 132.2 119.2 130.7 134.2 124.7 122.9 120.7 123.8 129.6 119.3 130.3 135.5 122.4 120.4 118.9 119.8 130.2 118.3 128.8 135.6 119.8 117.6 117.4 115.0 129.8 116.9 128.2 135.9 121.3 119.0 118.0 118.1 129.2 116.8 128.1 137.6 125.7 123.7 120.7 125.7 130.1 119.2 130.4 138.1 108.3 107.5 116.2 116.6 117.9 80.9 80.8 119.8 125.8 98.6 131.7 122.5 113.9 113.0 119.0 119.1 120.3 88.6 88.6 124.9 133.7 101.1 141.0 128.2 113.5 112.6 117.1 116.9 119.6 89.0 89.0 126.2 133.6 101.6 140.6 129.1 114.3 113.3 118.4 118.4 119.5 89.1 89.0 126.7 134.9 101.5 142.5 129.4 114.6 113.7 120.5 120.2 119.9 87.3 87.2 126.8 136.0 101.7 143.8 129.7 114.8 113.8 122.0 121.7 119.5 85.9 85.6 126.9 136.8 101.9 144.7 130.1 116.8 115.8 122.4 122.2 118.7 91.7 91.0 127.3 138.1 101.4 146.5 132.9 116.6 115.5 122.3 121.8 117.2 90.7 90.4 127.9 138.5 101.7 146.9 135.4 116.2 114.9 121.7 121.2 116.4 89.4 89.2 129.0 138.3 101.5 146.8 137.4 116.6 115.4 121.2 120.6 116.0 91.3 91.2 129.6 138.4 101.4 146.9 138.4 117.1 115.8 121.1 120.5 116.6 92.6 92.5 129.7 138.3 101.3 146.8 138.9 117.7 116.4 120.7 120.2 117.3 94.7 94.8 129.9 138.6 101.3 147.2 139.6 117.8 116.5 120.3 119.7 118.0 94.4 94.5 130.3 139.5 101.3 148.4 139.7 120.3 119.1 120.0 119.3 118.0 103.4 103.3 130.7 139.7 101.7 148.5 140.0 122.9 121.8 119.8 118.8 118.1 112.2 112.1 131.7 140.3 101.8 149.2 141.5 Medical c a re .......................................................................... Medical care commodities .......................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Professional services................................................................ Hospital and related services .................................................. 139.0 139.0 139.0 137.7 143.3 149.6 149.7 149.6 146.7 159.4 152.1 152.2 152.1 148.4 163.3 153.0 153.1 153.0 149.0 164.7 154.2 154.2 154.2 149.6 166.5 154.7 154.8 154.7 150.2 166.8 156.1 155.7 156.2 151.5 168.4 157.6 157.4 157.7 152.6 170.1 158.8 158.6 158.8 153.5 171.3 159.8 160.0 159.7 154.3 172.1 160.8 161.0 160.7 155.3 172.7 161.8 162.1 161.7 156.1 173.8 163.3 162.9 163.4 157.2 176.3 164.7 163.7 165.0 158.1 178.8 165.5 164.9 165.7 158.5 179.7 Entertainment................................................................... Entertainment commodities ............................................... Entertainment services............................................. 119.7 115.1 127.2 125.8 119.9 135.1 127.0 120.6 137.1 127.7 121.3 137.6 127.9 121.4 138.0 128.4 121.7 138.7 129.1 122.3 139.6 129.5 122.4 140.4 130.0 123.0 140.9 130.6 123.4 141.6 130.8 123.6 141.9 131.0 123.4 142.5 131.7 124.2 143.1 132.1 124.7 143.4 132.9 124.5 145.4 Other goods and services ............................................................. Tobacco products ...................................................................... Personal care............................................................. Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services ............................................................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies...................................................... Personal and educational services ......................................... 136.5 146.0 119.3 118.0 120.5 147.4 147.1 147.7 147.4 164.2 124.8 123.3 126.6 157.3 156.9 157.7 150.8 168.0 125.7 124.1 127.5 161.8 161.7 162.1 151.4 168.6 126.3 124.6 128.2 162.5 162.8 162.7 151.5 168.5 126.8 125.1 128.7 162.5 162.8 162.8 152.7 171.8 126.9 124.7 129.4 163.1 162.9 163.4 153.9 173.8 127.3 124.9 130.1 164.2 166.9 164.3 154.6 174.8 128.1 126.0 130.5 164.8 168.5 164.8 155.1 174.8 128.7 126.8 130.8 165.6 168.7 165.7 155.7 175.3 130.0 128.2 132.1 166.0 168.6 166.1 156.3 176.4 129.9 128.1 131.9 166.5 168.6 166.7 157.8 180.6 130.7 129.1 132.6 166.9 168.6 167.1 159.4 185.4 130.3 128.2 132.8 167.7 169.2 167.9 160.5 185.5 130.5 128.2 133.2 169.9 169.6 170.3 162.4 185.5 131.1 128.8 133.7 173.5 172.9 173.9 All ite m s................................................................. Commodities............................................................ Food and beverages ........................................................ Commodities less food and beverages...................................... Nondurables less food and beverages .................................... Apparel commodities..................................................... Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .................. Durables................................................................ 117.0 111.0 117.9 106.8 104.6 113.4 102.9 108.9 122.6 116.3 124.6 111.2 110.9 116.1 110.9 110.8 123.6 116.9 125.6 111.6 112.0 117.6 112.0 110.0 124.2 117.7 126.0 112.5 113.2 120.5 112.3 110.6 124.4 117.8 126.4 112.5 112.6 119.8 111.7 111.6 124.6 117.8 126.9 112.1 111.6 116.6 111.7 112.0 125.9 119.5 129.7 113.3 113.4 114.0 115.7 112.2 126.4 120.1 130.6 113.6 114.0 117.3 115.0 112.0 127.1 120.5 130.9 114.2 115.4 122.8 114.5 111.6 127.3 120.8 130.7 114.8 116.5 124.2 115.5 111.4 127.5 120.9 130.7 114.9 116.6 122.9 116.3 111.4 128.3 121.2 131.5 114.9 116.8 120.4 117.8 111.2 128.7 121.3 132.1 114.6 116.2 117.6 118.2 111.4 129.9 122.6 132.4 116.5 119.6 119.0 122.6 111.3 131.1 124.4 132.7 119.2 124.3 123.7 127.4 111.2 Services.................................................... Rent of shelter (1 2 /8 4 -1 0 0 )............................................ Household services less rent of shelter (12/84 —100)....... Transportation services......................................... Medical care services................................................. Other services ..................................................... 124.7 119.4 105.9 127.1 139.0 131.4 130.8 124.8 109.1 134.8 149.6 139.6 132.3 126.0 111.0 135.0 152.1 142.3 132.6 126.7 109.3 136.3 153.0 142.9 132.9 127.1 108.8 137.1 154.2 143.2 133.4 127.5 109.3 137.8 154.7 143.8 134.2 128.0 110.0 139.4 156.2 144.7 134.8 128.2 110.6 140.2 157.7 145.3 135.6 129.3 110.7 140.7 158.8 145.9 135.8 129.5 110.3 141.1 159.7 146.6 136.2 129.8 110.9 141.2 160.7 147.1 137.4 130.8 113.3 141.5 161.7 147.5 138.3 132.2 112.7 142.4 163.4 148.1 139.3 133.4 113.3 142.5 165.0 149.4 139.9 133.5 113.9 143.5 165.7 151.8 Special indexes: All items less food .......................................... All items less shelter .............................................. All items less homeowners’ costs (12/84=100)........... All items less medical ca re ................................ Commodities less fo o d ...................................... Nondurables less food ............................... Nondurables less food and apparel ..................... Nondurables....................................................... Services less rent of shelter (12/84 = 100)......................... Services less medical c a re ............................................. Energy..................................................... All items less energy .......................................... All items less food and energy ........................................ Commodities less food and energy.......................................... Energy commodities ........................................................... Services less energy................................................ 116.7 115.2 110.4 115.8 107.2 105.3 103.7 111.5 115.6 123.3 88.6 121.0 121.9 114.7 80.9 127.0 122.0 120.9 115.7 121.2 111.6 111.3 111.2 118.0 121.7 129.0 93.9 126.7 127.3 118.6 88.2 133.4 123.1 121.8 116.6 122.2 112.0 112.5 112.3 119.1 123.3 130.4 95.5 127.7 128.3 119.0 88.4 134.8 123.6 122.3 117.1 122.7 112.9 113.6 112.7 119.8 123.2 130.6 94.2 128.5 129.1 120.1 88.7 135.5 123.8 122.5 117.3 122.9 112.9 113.1 112.1 119.7 123.4 130.9 92.8 128.9 129.6 120.5 87.2 136.0 124.0 122.6 117.4 123.1 112.6 112.2 112.2 119.5 123.9 131.4 92.7 129.1 129.7 120.2 86.4 136.4 124.9 124.2 118.8 124.4 113.7 113.9 115.8 121.8 124.9 132.2 97.1 130.1 130.1 119.9 93.9 137.3 125.3 124.8 119.4 124.9 114.0 114.5 115.3 122.6 125.7 132.7 96.0 130.8 130.8 120.8 91.4 137.8 126.1 125.3 119.9 125.5 114.6 115.8 114.9 123.4 126.1 133.4 94.9 131.6 131.8 122.0 89.8 138.8 126.4 125.5 120.2 125.7 115.2 116.9 115.8 123.8 126.3 133.6 95.4 131.9 132.2 122.3 91.4 139.1 126.7 125.8 120.3 125.9 115.3 117.1 116.7 123.9 126.8 133.9 96.3 132.0 132.3 122.2 92.5 139.4 127.4 126.4 121.0 126.6 115.4 117.3 118.0 124.4 128.0 135.1 99.2 132.5 132.7 121.9 94.1 140.3 127.8 126.5 121.3 127.0 115.1 116.8 118.3 124.4 128.4 136.0 98.7 133.1 133.3 121.7 93.6 141.3 129.2 127.7 122.4 128.2 117.0 119.9 122.3 126.3 129.1 136.9 103.7 133.8 134.1 122.0 102.6 142.5 130.6 129.3 123.7 129.4 119.6 124.2 126.5 128.7 130.1 137.5 109.1 134.5 134.9 123.2 111.8 143.0 85.5 28.7 81.6 27.4 80.9 27.2 80.5 27.0 80.4 27.0 80.3 26.9 79.4 26.7 79.1 26.6 78.7 26.4 78.5 26.4 78.4 26.3 78.0 26.2 77.7 26.1 77.0 25.8 76.3 25.6 1988 1989 Apparel and upkeep ..................................................................... Apparel commodities................................................... Men s and boys’ apparel......................................................... Women’s and girls’ apparel ..................................................... Infants’ and toddlers’ apparel................................................... Footwear..................................................................... Other apparel commodities...................................................... Apparel services................................................................ 114.9 113.4 112.8 114.5 118.6 110.4 114.9 123.0 Transportation .................................................................... Private transportation....................................................... New vehicles............................................................... New cars................................................................................. Used cars ................................................................................. Motor fuel ................................................................................. Gasoline................................................................................. Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation..................................................... Other private transportation commodities............................. Other private transportation services.................................... Public transportation................................................................... Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982-84 = $1.00................................................... 1967 = $1.00.............................................................. 86 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all items (1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Urban Wage Earners All Urban Consumers Area1 Pricing schee2 Sept. U.S. city average Region and area size3 Northeast urban................ Size A - More than 1 , 200,000 Size B - 500,000 to 1, 200,000 Size C - 50,000 to 500.000 .......................... North Central urban ......... Size A - More than 1.200.000 ................ Size C - 50,000 to 360.000 .......................... Size D - Nonmetro politan (less than 50,0000 ................. South urban...................... Size A - More than 1.200.000 ................ 1, 200,000 Size classes: A (12/86=100) B ....................... C ...................... D ...................... Selected local areas Chicago, IL-Northwestern IN Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, C A ......... New York, NYNortheastern N J ................. Philadelphia, PA-NJ............. San FranciscoOakland, C A ........................ Baltimore, MD ................ Boston, MA ................... Cleveland, O H ................ Miami, F L ....................... St. Louis, MO-IL............ Washington, DC-MD-VA Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX . Detroit, M l................ Houston, TX ............ Pittsburgh, PA ......... May June July Aug. Oct. May June July Aug. Sept. 125.6 129.2 129.9 130.4 131.6 132.7 123.6 124.2 127.5 128.3 128.7 129.9 131.1 M 130.0 130.6 134.7 134.9 136.0 137.4 138.6 128.8 129.4 133.3 133.6 134.6 135.8 137.2 M 130.6 131.1 135.4 135.4 136.7 138.0 139.1 128.7 129.1 133.1 133.3 134.3 135.5 136.8 133.8 135.6 136.2 M 128.9 130.0 133.6 134.4 135.2 137.2 137.8 127.6 128.6 132.1 132.9 M M 128.1 122.5 128.9 123.0 132.5 126.0 133.4 126.9 133.9 126.9 134.6 128.4 137.3 129.4 130.8 120.4 131.5 120.9 134.9 123.9 135.7 124.8 136.1 124.7 136.8 126.3 139.6 127.4 M 124.1 124.3 127.4 128.6 128.6 129.9 130.7 121.2 121.4 124.4 125.6 125.6 127.0 127.8 126.0 M 121.0 122.5 125.3 125.6 125.8 127.6 128.3 118.6 120.0 122.8 123.1 123.2 125.2 M 122.2 122.9 125.9 126.5 126.2 127.8 129.9 120.9 121.6 124.6 125.2 124.8 126.5 128.7 M M 117.8 122.5 118.2 123.0 121.4 126.5 122.3 127.3 122.6 127.8 124.1 128.7 125.0 129.7 117.7 121.9 118.1 122.4 121.1 125.6 122.0 126.4 122.2 126.9 123.9 127.8 125.0 128.9 M 123.5 123.9 127.1 127.8 128.6 129.0 130.2 122.5 122.9 125.9 126.7 127.3 127.8 129.2 M 123.9 124.5 128.0 128.2 128.6 129.8 130.7 121.7 122.1 125.4 125.7 126.1 127.3 128.3 129.0 M 120.9 121.7 124.5 125.3 126.0 127.6 128.5 121.5 122.2 124.9 125.7 126.3 128.0 M M 120.2 125.6 120.7 126.1 125.8 130.0 128.2 130.8 128.0 131.3 128.5 132.2 128.8 133.5 121.0 124.2 121.6 124.6 126.4 128.3 128.5 129.1 128.4 129.6 129.0 130.4 129.5 131.7 M 127.5 127.8 132.0 132.6 133.1 133.9 135.3 124.6 124.9 128.8 129.4 129.9 130.7 132.0 129.1 130.4 M 122.8 123.7 126.4 127.7 128.8 130.0 131.4 122.1 123.0 125.7 126.8 127.8 M M M M 113.8 124.2 122.9 120.8 114.2 125.2 123.7 121.3 117.5 128.5 126.7 125.6 118.1 129.0 127.5 127.0 118.7 129.6 128.0 127.2 119.6 130.8 129.4 128.2 120.6 131.7 131.0 129.1 113.7 122.8 123.3 121.2 114.0 123.6 124.0 121.7 117.2 126.8 126.9 125.6 117.8 127.4 127.7 126.9 118.3 127.8 128.0 127.1 119.3 129.2 129.5 128.2 120.3 130.1 131.2 129.2 M 127.1 126.8 130.4 131.7 132.0 133.2 133.8 123.1 122.9 126.5 127.9 128.0 129.3 129.9 M 130.1 130.0 134.6 135.0 135.6 136.3 137.7 126.5 126.5 130.7 131.1 131.6 132.3 133.5 130.8 130.6 134.9 134.9 135.0 135.5 136.0 136.6 137.4 137.5 138.7 138.6 126.7 129.9 130.7 131.3 132.0 132.9 128.3 137.3 122.1 124.5 126.C 132.6 - 129.5 137.9 122.7 126.7 127.3 134.6 - 123.: 124.' 120.C 120.: M M 132.2 130.2 132.8 130.5 137.2 134.6 137.1 135.1 138.4 136.3 140.0 137.3 140.8 138.2 130.3 130.4 M 126.8 127.5 130.8 131.6 132.3 133.1 134.0 126.1 M 1 125.9 132 2 123.7 122.9 123.9 130.1 129.0 137.0 128.1 126.4 126.7 134.C - 130.2 138.0 128.8 128.7 128.C 135.7 132.9 141.7 131.1 130.1 129.9 138.0 125.4 132.6 118.2 121.4 123.5 129.5 - _ - 121.4 124.6 115.7 121.7 - _ - 123.6 127.7 119.7 125.C 1 Area is the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area (CMSA), ex clusive of farms and military. Area definitions are those established by the Office of Management and Budget in 1983, except for BostonLawrence-Salem, MA-NH Area (excludes Monroe County); and Milwau kee, Wl Area (includes only the Milwaukee MSA). Definitions do not in clude revisions made since 1983. 2 Foods, fuels, and several other items priced every month in all areas; most other goods and services priced as indicated:. M - Every month. 1 - January, March, May, July, September, and November. 2 - February, April, June, August, October, and December. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. Sept. 125.0 Size B - 450,000 to Size C - 50,000 to 450.000 ......................... Size D - Nonmetro politan (less than 50,000) .................. West urban...................... Size A - More than 1.250.000 ...................... Size C - 50,000 to 330.000 ........................ Oct. M Size B - 360,000 to 1, 200,000 1990 1989 1990 1989 - - - 126.C 129.^ 121.! 127. _ - - “ 121.1 121.5 115.Ì 116.£ - - - 125.4 126.6 121.6 122.C 132.3 141.4 125.0 128.2 129.3 136.9 - 3 Regions are defined as the four Census regions. - Data not available. NOTE: Local area CPI indexes are byproducts of the national CPI program. Because each local index is a small subset of the national in dex, it has a smaller sample size and is, therefore, subject to substan tially more sampling and other measurement error than the national in dex. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the na tional index, although their long-term trends are quite similar. Therefore, the Bureau of Labor Statistics strongly urges users to consider adopting the national average CPI for use in escalator clauses. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 87 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 33. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, all items and major groups (1982-84 = 100) Series 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All items: 90.9 10.3 96.5 6.2 99.6 3.2 103.9 4.3 107.6 3.6 109.6 1.9 113.6 3.6 118.3 4.1 124.0 4.8 93.5 7.8 97.3 4.1 99.5 2.3 103.2 3.7 105.6 2.3 109.1 3.3 113.5 4.0 118.2 4.1 124.9 5.7 90.4 11.5 96.9 7.2 99.5 2.7 103.6 4.1 107.7 4.0 110.9 3.0 114.2 3.0 118.5 3.8 123.0 3.8 95.3 4.8 97.8 2.6 100.2 2.5 102.1 1.9 105.0 2.8 105.9 .9 110.6 4.4 115.4 4.3 118.6 2.8 93.2 12.2 97.0 4.1 99.3 2.4 103.7 4.4 106.4 2.6 102.3 -3.9 105.4 3.0 108.7 3.1 114.1 5.0 82.9 10.7 92.5 11.6 100.6 8.8 106.8 6.2 113.5 6.3 122.0 7.5 130.1 6.6 138.6 6.5 149.3 7.7 90.1 7.8 96.0 6.5 100.1 4.3 103.8 3.7 107.9 3.9 111.6 3.4 115.3 3.3 120.3 4.3 126.5 5.2 82.6 9.8 91.1 10.3 101.1 11.0 107.9 6.7 114.5 6.1 121.4 6.0 128.5 5.8 137.0 6.6 147.7 7.8 91.4 10.3 96.9 6.0 99.8 3.0 103.3 3.5 106.9 3.5 108.6 1.6 112.5 3.6 117.0 4.0 122.6 4.8 Food and beverages: Housing: Apparel and upkeep: Transportation: Medical care: Entertainment: Other goods and services: Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: All items: 88 FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 34. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing (1982 = 100) 1989 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 108.0 106.2 112.6 113.6 112.1 118.7 114.9 113.3 119.5 114.9 113.2 120.1 115.4 113.9 121.1 117.6 116.7 123.9 117.4 116.4 124.6 117.2 115.9 124.4 117.2 115.8 123.2 117.7 116.5 124.5 117.9 116.7 124.5 118.0 116.9 124.9 119.2 118.4 125.0 120.3 119.8 124.1 103.1 97.3 113.8 114.3 108.9 103.8 117.6 118.8 110.3 104.8 120.0 120.5 109.9 104.3 119.6 120.8 110.4 105.0 119.7 120.8 113.2 109.2 119.1 121.2 112.4 107.9 119.4 121.6 111.8 107.1 119.2 121.9 112.2 107.7 119.3 122.2 112.7 108.3 119.4 122.2 112.8 108.2 120.2 122.3 112.9 108.5 120.1 122.5 115.1 111.5 120.0 122.9 117.7 115.1 119.9 122.9 107.1 112.0 112.3 112.0 111.9 113.4 112.5 112.4 112.8 113.1 112.9 113.0 114.4 116.3 113.2 106.0 112.9 118.7 112.3 118.1 112.7 118.5 123.6 116.4 117.9 113.1 117.0 123.1 117.2 117.7 115.4 116.7 121.9 117.3 117.4 115.5 116.6 120.3 117.4 117.6 115.5 116.7 120.1 118.1 117.5 114.9 117.1 119.0 118.2 117.9 115.8 117.0 120.0 118.5 118.2 117.2 117.0 120.8 118.7 118.4 120.4 117.0 120.7 118.7 118.4 120.9 117.2 120.0 118.7 118.4 120.9 116.9 120.3 118.8 118.7 120.5 116.7 121.6 118.9 119.3 118.8 118.7 122.2 119.1 116.1 71.2 120.1 113.7 121.3 76.4 125.4 118.1 122.3 77.8 126.3 118.3 122.1 76.3 126.8 118.3 121.7 77.3 126.7 118.3 121.8 84.2 127.3 118.8 121.9 79.4 127.4 118.5 122.5 77.8 127.4 118.7 123.0 78.0 127.8 118.9 123.2 78.4 127.7 119.4 122.8 78.4 127.7 119.2 122.9 78.3 127.4 119.5 122.9 85.7 127.6 119.3 123.2 94.0 127.6 119.7 96.0 106.1 85.5 103.1 111.2 93.4 102.1 107.9 94.0 102.6 109.9 93.5 104.2 112.6 94.3 106.5 113.5 97.5 106.8 113.9 97.6 105.6 115.3 94.9 103.0 115.1 91.0 104.7 117.0 92.5 101.0 115.2 87.9 101.2 115.4 88.0 110.2 113.5 103.2 115.1 110.8 112.4 106.5 59.8 115.8 116.3 117.0 111.8 65.7 121.2 122.1 122.1 113.3 65.8 122.7 123.6 123.9 113.1 64.6 123.0 123.8 124.0 113.5 64.8 123.5 124.5 124.4 115.5 72.7 124.6 125.9 124.8 115.1 69.2 125.1 126.5 125.2 114.8 67.0 125.2 126.5 125.4 115.2 68.0 125.0 126.1 125.6 115.5 68.5 125.6 126.8 125.9 115.6 67.6 125.9 127.3 126.3 115.8 67.8 126.1 127.4 126.5 117.3 74.4 126.2 127.5 126.6 119.1 82.0 126.1 127.2 126.8 118.5 124.0 126.0 125.9 126.5 127.0 127.4 127.5 127.7 128.1 128.8 128.8 128.9 129.0 122.0 128.8 130.4 130.5 131.6 132.7 133.2 133.5 133.8 134.4 135.0 135.2 135.3 135.7 106.9 109.5 70.9 114.6 111.9 113.8 76.1 119.5 112.4 112.3 77.5 119.6 111.9 113.2 76.0 119.5 111.9 113.0 76.9 119.2 113.4 113.2 83.7 119.5 112.5 111.0 79.0 119.4 112.5 111.4 77.4 119.7 112.8 112.5 77.7 120.1 112.9 115.9 78.0 120.4 112.8 115.5 78.1 120.2 112.8 116.1 78.0 120.3 114.4 115.0 85.3 120.4 116.4 113.9 93.5 120.9 115.2 120.2 120.3 120.0 119.7 120.0 120.0 120.3 120.6 120.7 120.5 120.5 120.8 121.4 82.6 117.9 131.3 78.6 119.7 134.2 73.1 120.5 137.8 74.5 122.1 138.8 69.5 120.4 137.1 69.4 120.7 137.7 I 87.1 119.9 139.9 97.9 118.1 140.6 Apr. May July Aug. Sept. 121.5 112.3 121.6 115.2 Intermediate materials, supplies, and Materials and components for Materials and components for Crude materials for further processing ... Special groupings: Finished consumer goods less energy..... Finished goods less food and energy....... Finished consumer goods less food Consumer nondurable goods less food Intermediate materials less foods and Intermediate materials less foods and Crude nonfood materials less energy...... Sept. 1988 Finished consumer goods excluding Materials for nondurable manufacturing . Materials for durable manufacturing....... 1990 1989 Annual average Grouping 67.7 112.6 133.0 75.9 117.7 137.9 76.6 115.1 137.6 76.9 115.8 134.3 78.5 117.1 132.0 82.3 117.8 132.1 Nov. Dec. Jan. 35. Producer Price indexes, by durability of product (1982 = 100) Annual average Grouping Oct. Total durable goo d s ........................... Total nondurable goods...................... 114.7 101.1 119.0 107.1 120.2 107.2 119.9 107.2 119.7 107.9 120.0 110.7 120.0 109.9 120.4 109.3 120.9 108.9 120.9 109.7 120.9 109.1 121.0 109.2 109.1 114.1 104.1 114.3 118.3 110.2 115.2 119.6 110.7 115.1 119.5 110.7 115.2 119.3 111.0 116.6 119.6 113.3 116.0 119.6 112.1 116.1 120.0 112.2 116.6 120.3 112.8 117.1 120.4 113.5 117.0 120.4 113.4 116.9 120.5 113.1 118.2 Total manufactures............................. Durable............................................. Nondurable ...................................... 115.3 119.7 121.0 117.9 Total raw or slightly processed goods Durable............................................. Nondurable ...................................... 95.9 148.0 93.4 101.3 151.6 98.9 100.4 146.5 98.3 100.2 141.2 98.3 101.8 105.5 138.7 103.9 105.6 136.0 104.1 103.8 140.7 102.0 101.2 146.0 99.1 102.2 147.7 100.1 100.6 144.7 98.5 101.4 145.1 99.3 106.6 150.7 104.5 110.1 152.6 108.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 138.0 100.1 120.8 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 89 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 36. Producer price indexes for the net output of major industry groups (December 1984 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual Industry Total mining industries............................ Metal mining......................... Anthracite mining (12/85=100) ............. Bituminous coal and lignite mining (12/85 = 100) ................................ Oil and gas extraction (12/85 = 1 00)......... Mining and quarrying of nonmetallic minerals, except fuels ................. Total manufacturing industries................ Food and kindred products.................. Tobacco manufactures ..................... Textile mill products .................. Apparel and other finished products made from fabrics and similar materials....................................... Lumber and wood products, except furniture................................... Furniture and fixtures..................... Paper and allied products ................. Printing, publishing, and allied industries.................................... Chemicals and allied products................... Petroleum refining and related products .... Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products Leather and leather products ..................... Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products .. Primary metal industries ......................... Fabricated metal products, except machinery and transportation equipment ..................................... 1990 1988 1989 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 10 11 70.6 100.7 100.2 76.4 100.3 102.7 76.1 101.0 102.9 76.3 96.2 103.0 77.6 93.6 103.2 81.0 89.2 105.0 81.1 86.1 105.0 78.1 90.9 105.0 74.8 92.6 104.4 75.3 91.3 103.6 72.3 92.2 103.5 73.7 93.9 103.6 80.5 96.1 104.2 86.7 102.0 104.0 12 13 94.6 68.5 94.3 75.7 95.1 75.2 96.1 75.5 95.6 77.3 95.6 82.0 95.2 82.3 95.4 77.9 96.0 73.1 97.0 73.8 97.0 69.4 96.6 71.5 96.4 80.9 96 4 89.3 14 108.0 111.2 111.3 111.3 111.2 111.7 112.3 113.2 113.4 113.8 113.7 113.6 114.0 114.3 20 21 22 104.4 107.1 141.8 106.8 109.6 112.2 161.4 109.3 110.8 112.3 165.7 110.0 110.8 113.2 165.7 110.1 111.0 113.7 173.8 110.0 112.7 114.4 175.8 111.0 112.2 114.6 176.1 111.3 112.3 115.2 176.1 111.5 112.6 115.4 176.1 111.7 113.1 116.9 179.6 111.6 113.1 117.2 185.9 111.8 113.0 117.3 186.0 111.6 114 6 117 3 186.0 111.8 116 2 116.9 186 2 111.7 Sept. 23 107.2 110.2 111.1 111.3 111.6 112.3 112.3 112.5 112.7 112.7 112.7 113.1 113.5 113.6 24 25 26 109.2 111.4 113.7 115.3 115.6 120.8 118.1 117.0 121.7 117.3 117.0 121.7 116.1 117.2 121.6 116.3 117.7 121.6 116.9 118.0 121.6 117.6 118.1 121.5 119.2 118.5 121.9 118.8 119.0 121.6 117.7 119.2 121.7 117.9 119.2 121.7 117.1 119.3 121.8 116 7 119 5 122.0 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 118.2 113.0 67.7 106.7 113.4 105.8 113.0 124.7 119.6 75.7 110.2 118.0 107.9 118.8 126.0 118.7 77.4 110.3 119.5 108.3 118.8 126.3 118.7 75.9 110.3 119.4 108.5 118.0 126.4 118.6 76.0 110.5 120.2 108.6 116.6 128.2 119.0 87.4 110.9 121.1 109.3 116.1 128.7 119.5 80.3 110.7 121.8 109.5 115.2 129.1 119.8 76.5 111.0 122.5 109.7 116.3 129.4 120.0 79.9 111.0 122.3 109.9 116.6 129.9 120.1 80.2 111.3 123.0 110.0 116.7 130.0 120.3 78.7 111.3 122.6 110.3 116.2 130.2 120.2 77.0 111.1 122.8 110.3 116.5 130 8 120 5 90 3 110 9 123.0 110.3 117.3 131 3 121 6 111 1 123 3 110 4 117.7 114.5 114.6 114.7 114.9 115.1 115.1 115.3 115.4 34 107.4 112.6 113.6 113.8 113.9 114.3 35 106.4 110.7 111.8 112.1 112.2 112.8 113.0 113.3 113.5 113.7 113.9 113.8 114.1 114.4 36 37 104.6 107.8 107.1 112.1 107.8 115.0 107.8 114.6 107.8 114.6 108.4 114.2 108.4 114.5 108.5 114.4 108.6 114.5 108.6 114.4 108.7 115.0 108.9 114.9 108.9 115.0 108.9 114.7 38 107.0 110.8 111.9 112.1 112.4 113.3 113.6 114.0 114.3 114.5 114.5 114.7 114.8 115.0 39 107.5 111.8 112.7 112.8 113.1 113.7 114.3 114.5 114.5 114.6 114.8 115.0 115.3 115.3 94.8 94.4 94.4 94.4 94.4 95.5 95.5 95.5 95.5 95.5 95.8 95.8 96.2 96.2 Machinery, except electrical..................... Electrical and electronic machinery, equipment, and supplies.......................... Transportation equipment................... Measuring and controlling instruments; photographic, medical, optical goods; watches, clocks......................... Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (12/85 = 100) ............................. Service industries: Pipelines, except natural gas (12/86=100) 46 37. 1989 SIC Annusi data: Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing (1982=100) Index Finished goods: Total ........................ Consumer goods .. Capital equipment 1981 96.1 96.6 94.6 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.3 102.8 103.7 103.3 105.2 104.7 103.8 107.5 103.2 101.4 109.7 105.4 103.6 111.7 108.0 106.2 114.3 112.1 113.6 118.8 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components: Total ................................................................. Materials and components for manufacturing............................................. Materials and components for construction Processed fuels and lubricants ................... Containers .................................................... Supplies....................................................... 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 98.7 97.9 100.6 96.7 96.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.2 102.8 95.4 100.4 101.8 104.1 105.6 95.7 105.9 104.1 103.3 107.3 92.8 109.0 104.4 102.2 108.1 72.7 110.3 105.6 105.3 109.8 73.3 114.5 107.7 113.2 116.1 71.2 120.1 113.7 118.1 121.3 76.4 125.4 118.1 Crude materials for further processing: T o ta l......................................................... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs .................... Nonfood materials except fuel ............ Fuel ............................ 103.0 103.9 101.8 84.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 101.8 100.7 105.1 103.5 104.7 102.2 105.1 95.8 94.8 96.9 102.7 87.7 93.2 81.6 92.2 93.7 96.2 87.9 84.1 96.0 106.1 85.5 82.1 90 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 103.1 111.2 93.4 85.3 38. U.S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (1985 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Category Crude rubber.............................................................................................. Pulp and waste paper................................................................................ Rubber manufactures ................................................................................ 1974 SITC Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Mar. June 104.9 106.5 109.5 111.9 111.6 113.3 113.2 112.4 112.4 112.9 113.3 118.7 137.0 175.9 108.5 109.9 161.0 105.2 114.2 130.3 174.0 102.0 110.3 157.0 104.9 117.6 132.9 169.1 108.4 108.8 154.1 107.0 115.5 128.2 158.9 106.4 113.6 144.0 108.0 110.4 119.4 137.1 101.5 113.9 139.5 107.7 108.2 117.0 132.3 101.0 110.3 129.0 108.5 107.4 125.9 131.5 98.4 114.5 121.7 109.6 108.8 123.3 127.4 101.8 115.6 118.4 110.1 0 01 03 04 05 08 09 94.6 116.8 138.5 77.4 100.5 145.2 100.3 95.2 122.8 140.9 79.8 97.5 134.6 102.3 103.4 131.0 145.0 87.2 104.3 158.1 102.8 1 12 107.0 107.0 109.6 109.8 110.6 110.7 112.0 112.1 111.7 111.8 117.2 117.6 117.6 117.9 120.4 120.8 120.1 120.4 122.3 122.6 124.5 124.9 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 125.2 157.1 109.6 105.3 146.0 160.4 111.6 91.6 125.9 130.0 171.4 115.6 104.5 150.2 171.2 107.5 92.8 131.8 139.9 166.8 143.0 106.1 149.6 179.5 109.9 94.2 146.0 140.8 156.7 154.7 109.1 150.0 181.7 100.8 94.8 145.0 135.8 136.8 135.7 109.9 148.6 182.1 103.6 94.8 150.4 142.6 146.7 139.3 111.1 157.3 192.9 106.7 98.8 163.5 143.0 149.9 129.8 114.6 170.7 193.5 115.5 99.2 157.2 139.1 156.3 111.5 117.7 177.6 193.3 117.4 99.3 150.5 136.6 158.0 109.5 117.3 176.9 193.9 116.4 97.7 138.5 136.8 161.8 109.5 115.0 180.6 186.7 117.1 98.7 138.5 137.2 160.9 110.4 115.5 178.9 174.0 124.4 99.7 142.7 3 32 33 82.5 89.8 100.0 79.3 90.6 90.8 82.1 92.0 97.2 79.5 92.9 89.2 79.4 93.4 88.4 81.7 93.7 94.5 86.0 94.3 105.4 87.9 95.6 108.7 91.1 96.3 116.5 90.8 96.2 113.6 88.8 97.3 106.9 4 41 42 81.6 88.7 75.4 92.7 101.3 85.7 97.3 101.6 93.7 101.5 104.3 99.1 91.5 95.7 87.1 90.3 91.8 88.2 87.3 89.6 84.4 83.8 84.6 81.6 86.7 88.0 84.5 89.1 84.4 91.8 94.6 84.0 101.7 5 51 53 54 55 56 5758 112.9 123.5 108.5 105.4 108.4 106.5 124.8 98.2 117.9 135.1 109.1 109.3 111.2 110.6 129.4 100.3 121.6 144.6 110.1 106.3 113.6 109.8 137.5 101.7 124.9 153.3 111.5 105.9 120.2 116.4 138.2 104.1 125.5 150.8 113.0 107.5 122.4 119.9 132.5 105.4 125.5 149.6 115.5 109.0 125.3 119.4 125.8 108.4 121.9 145.0 116.5 108.9 124.7 108.0 118.6 109.4 117.7 134.0 118.3 109.3 122.4 108.9 111.6 109.5 115.2 127.8 117.3 108.5 122.9 94.8 111.5 110.2 115.4 123.0 118.8 109.6 125.0 94.7 117.1 112.8 115.9 120.9 119.7 109.9 126.1 102.8 115.8 113.8 6 61 62 64 65 66 67 68 69 111.2 118.0 104.1 122.4 105.2 111.3 102.9 124.4 103.4 114.4 125.7 105.2 126.2 106.5 113.4 106.1 134.0 104.5 117.7 125.1 108.8 129.0 107.9 114.1 110.8 143.5 107.6 119.6 128.6 109.4 130.2 108.6 115.6 111.4 149.1 109.9 120.6 125.0 110.4 131.1 111.6 116.8 112.1 150.0 110.9 122.6 118.3 113.0 132.5 113.9 120.4 116.0 151.7 112.6 123.1 120.7 112.9 133.7 115.4 122.4 117.2 145.8 113.9 122.8 121.7 113.4 132.9 115.8 123.9 116.7 140.4 114.4 122.5 124.8 114.0 130.9 117.0 124.8 116.4 135.9 115.3 122.8 124.5 114.3 130.8 119.0 127.7 116.2 131.2 116.7 122.9 125.6 114.5 130.0 118.4 127.5 117.4 132.5 116.8 7 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 102.4 105.2 100.9 108.2 105.4 95.5 101.9 101.8 104.6 103.2 107.0 102.1 109.3 106.7 95.8 102.8 103.1 104.5 104.0 108.4 103.6 110.8 108.1 95.7 104.6 103.4 104.9 104.8 108.5 104.7 111.0 109.3 96.8 104.1 105.3 105.4 105.8 109.3 106.0 114.4 110.3 96.4 105.1 105.7 106.8 106.7 111.8 107.3 115.7 112.7 95.8 106.7 106.1 107.2 107.2 112.8 108.8 117.3 113.3 94.8 107.5 106.5 107.8 107.9 114.5 109.9 117.7 114.2 94.8 108.7 106.9 108.8 108.6 114.7 111.4 118.6 115.3 94.8 109.5 106.9 110.0 109.5 116.3 113.1 119.6 117.2 110.0 117.3 113.2 120.6 118.1 107.8 110.4 107.4 110.8 79 106.6 107.4 109.6 109.7 111.9 113.5 114.7 114.8 116.0 117.9 121.2 8 82 105.6 110.0 106.9 111.2 108.1 111.4 108.9 111.7 110.5 114.2 111.4 114.3 112.8 117.3 113.6 117.3 114.9 119.0 115.4 120.5 116.4 121.8 87 107.1 110.0 111.1 112.5 113.9 115.5 118.2 119.5 121.3 122.7 124.8 98.2 97.6 112.1 112.6 Other transport equipment, excluding military and commercial Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. Dec. Machinery and transport equipment, excluding military and General industrial machines and parts, n.e.s............................................. Office machines and automatic data processing equipment ................... Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing equipment....... 1990 1989 1988 1987 88 97.9 97.6 100.1 99.4 99.9 98.5 99.2 99.4 101.0 89 105.8 105.4 106.5 106.5 108.7 110.2 110.1 110.4 111.4 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 91 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 39. U.S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (1985 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Category 1974 SITC ALL COMMODITIES ............. ALL COMMODITIES, EXCLUDING FUELS ... Food and live anim als..................... Meat and meat preparations........... Dairy products and eggs ............... Fish and crustaceans................ Bakery goods, pasta products, grain, and grain preparations .... Fruits and vegetables.......... Sugar, sugar preparations, and honey................................................... Coffee, tea, cocoa................. 1988 June 126.7 1989 Dec. June 119.8 118.4 127.6 119.9 128.5 121.0 129.7 119.0 129.1 111.3 106.1 124.1 120.3 121.6 141.6 119.1 114.4 62.5 108.2 134.1 123.2 122.1 142.9 128.2 117.0 5/.3 111.6 130.4 129.2 125.9 148.5 131.3 116.2 65.2 111.7 136.8 133.0 125.9 147.4 126.2 116.7 66.2 120.7 122.9 122.4 124.1 124.7 126.9 127.7 129.6 145.4 104.7 212.3 110.3 137.2 98.3 113.5 190.1 141.7 101.2 183.4 108.6 136.1 98.5 111.6 189.6 140.2 98.0 176.6 127.7 133.1 101.0 114.0 186.9 133.9 96.8 168.1 111.9 132.0 104.0 114.9 183.7 126.3 97.5 160.7 117.6 74.4 68.8 69.5 74.0 74.8 74.9 75.3 65.0 65.3 106.7 110.7 100.7 104.2 98.3 101.5 95.8 98.5 117.7 110.3 85.7 127.2 132.4 130.8 150.2 118.9 112.7 86.0 149.7 135.3 130.5 130.6 150.9 118.9 114.2 84.4 152.3 131.3 129.3 129.4 150.2 117.8 113.5 84.2 151.9 132.1 128.6 129.0 142.1 135.3 133.9 113.7 140.8 119.7 121.7 151.7 133.7 150.7 133.2 134.0 133.4 114.0 140.5 118.8 122.8 153.1 130.9 144.1 133.8 133.8 141.1 115.1 141.6 117.5 124.8 157.6 128.7 137.8 135.6 134.9 142.6 115.6 144.4 120.9 126.3 159.7 125.7 143.5 134.4 129.0 127.8 145.7 143.9 143.7 117.2 115.0 128.7 129.5 130.2 128.1 148.2 144.2 145.5 117.9 113.9 129.0 131.9 131.2 129.8 157.4 148.0 151.1 117.0 112.9 129.8 131.3 130.0 129.2 159.1 149.9 153.1 115.6 111.2 127.7 129.4 119.9 127.9 127.2 133.0 128.8 110.3 120.8 128.8 128.7 136.6 130.9 112.7 121.7 130.9 131.7 141.9 135.7 114.2 121.7 135.7 131.9 140.8 137.6 113.5 122.7 137.6 136.5 136.3 137.1 143.3 144.7 131.4 126.3 131.9 128.7 133.8 131.4 139.2 131.9 137.2 139.8 136.9 142.2 140.4 140.2 112.1 87.4 110.8 109.8 111.8 85.3 117.0 117.2 23 151.1 133.3 121.5 103.4 25 145.6 172.2 122.0 205.4 33 63.4 63.6 57.7 56.1 Fats and o ils ..................... Fixed vegetable oils and fats (9/87=100) ...... 42 116.1 119.2 117.4 Chemicals and related p ro d u c ts ....... Organic chemicals.......................... Inorganic chemicals................... Medicinal and pharmaceutical products..... Essential oils and perfumes................. Manufactured fertilizers............ Artificial resins and plastics and cellulose ....... Chemical materials and products, n.e.s...... 51 52 54 55 56 58 59 Miscellaneous manufactured articles Plumbing, heating, and lighting fixtures........ Furniture and p arts................... Travel goods, handbags, and similar goods (6/85=100) Clothing......................... Footwear....................... Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and apparatus......................... Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and clocks............................... Miscellaneous manufactured articles, n.e.s. Mar. 110.0 141.9 Machinery and transport equipment Machinery (including SITC 71-77) .. Machinery specialized for particular industries....... Metalworking machinery............. General Industrial machinery and parts, n.e.s......................................... Office machines and automatic data processing equipment Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing apparatus Electrical machinery and equipment..... Road vehicles and parts......... Dec. 04 101.0 167.6 148.2 Intermediate manufactured products ... Leather and furskins ........................... Rubber manufactures, n.e.s............... Cork and wood manufactures......... Paper and paperboard products.............. Textiles............................... Nonmetalllc mineral manufactures, n.e.s................................................. Iron and ste e l........................... Nonferrous m etals....................... Metal manufactures.............. Sept. 06 115.3 151.5 103.3 204.3 IJO.j __ 116.4 107.3 115 1 96.1 140.3 126.2 136.3 124.3 148.5 127.6 153.4 132.2 132.3 93.1 145.4 114.0 86.6 1 O o.D 130.5 139.9 130.3 143.5 129.5 1^4.0 130.2 142.1 129.8 6 61 62 63 64 138.2 118.3 66 142.5 139.7 141.9 147.5 149.5 133.6 158.6 132.6 127.3 126.4 149.8 143.7 150.8 143.7 119.5 113.8 124.2 139.6 118.7 113.9 125.9 144.2 118.7 115.5 129.3 149.1 142.9 144.7 119.6 115.7 145.7 139.5 143.0 133.8 68 7hyb 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 115.7 129.6 8 81 125.7 126.9 83 107.3 126.6 131.5 127.9 111.3 115.1 117.6 1 O J.O 89 | 132.1 128.2 1990 June 126.1 27 28 29 Fuels and related p ro d u cts....... Crude petroleum and petroleum products Mar. 01 02 Beverages and tobacco .......... Beverages....................... Crude m a te ria ls....................... Crude rubber (including synthetic and reclaimed).. Cork and wood ..................... Pulp and waste paper................... Textile fibers.................... Crude fertilizers and crude minerals ......... Metalliferous ores and metal scrap....................................................... Crude animal and vegetable materials, n.e.s. Sept. 131.4 131.7 . 92 Monthly Labor Review November 1990 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 40. U.S. export price indexes by end-use category (1985 = 100 unless otherwise indicated) 41. June Mar. Dec. Sept. June Mar. Dec. Sept. June 1990 1989 1988 Category 110.1 118.3 104.3 104.8 124.5 118.7 104.9 106.5 117.4 118.6 105.7 107.7 120.8 120.7 106.7 108.1 117.2 120.9 107.4 108.6 110.3 119.5 108.2 109.4 108.2 118.7 108.8 110.7 107.3 118.7 109.9 111.2 108.8 118.2 110.5 111.6 110.6 108.7 110.4 110.9 111.3 109.3 110.7 120.6 112.9 110.0 112.6 114.0 115.3 111.4 115.4 117.7 115.6 111.5 115.4 116.1 116.5 111.7 116.5 111.2 117.1 112.7 116.8 109.8 118.9 114.2 118.6 109.5 119.6 115.0 119.3 111.4 109.7 110.8 111.6 112.9 113.1 113.0 113.1 113.7 113.8 U.S. import price indexes by end-use category (1985 = 100) 126.2 All imports, excluding petroleum (6/88=100) ........................ 125.4 128.3 128.0 129.0 June Mar. Dec. Sept. June Mar. Dec. Sept. June 1990 1989 1988 Category 127.1 128.0 129.2 128.5 112.0 102.6 75.2 125.5 112.6 97.6 65.4 124.3 Foods, feeds, and beverages............................................... Industrial supplies and materials.......................................... Petroleum and petroleum products, excluding natural gas Industrial supplies and materials, excluding petroleum..... 113.7 97.8 63.5 126.4 112.7 95.2 57.5 126.4 114.2 96.4 56.2 129.6 113.8 102.1 67.2 131.2 111.7 104.2 74.1 129.4 107.1 100.6 69.1 126.9 109.0 102.7 74.6 126.2 Capital goods, except automotive........................................ Automotive vehicles, parts and engines.............................. 131.0 125.8 129.0 126.0 132.3 129.2 132.4 129.1 131.0 128.2 130.6 128.2 131.5 130.0 134.4 129.9 134.1 128.1 Consumer goods except automotive.................................... Nondurables, manufactured............................................... Durables, manufactured..................................................... 126.3 124.2 125.5 125.0 123.8 124.5 127.4 125.4 127.4 128.7 126.5 127.9 129.1 127.5 127.9 129.5 128.5 127.8 130.8 129.9 128.6 133.0 132.7 130.4 133.1 133.5 129.5 Sept. Dec. Mar. 42. U.S. export price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification 1 (1985 = 100) June Manufacturing: Sept. 1990 1989 1988 Industry group Dec. Mar. June June 125.1 145.4 112.9 129.8 122.3 128.9 146.1 112.9 133.1 125.4 123.5 144.0 115.3 135.6 125.5 124.5 151.7 115.2 139.9 125.9 122.7 164.4 116.0 141.4 122.5 119.5 171.2 116.5 141.6 118.5 117.2 170.7 118.1 140.4 115.9 118.7 173.5 119.6 137.7 116.6 117.7 172.3 120.4 133.6 117.3 77.8 133.8 101.3 103.7 109.1 110.8 73.7 133.5 102.2 104.9 109.4 112.0 75.4 133.6 102.8 105.4 110.9 113.4 79.8 130.8 103.4 106.3 111.8 114.5 86.9 125.7 103.7 106.8 112.7 116.7 88.7 122.5 104.4 107.5 113.4 117.7 94.4 122.9 105.2 107.7 114.5 119.7 90.4 122.5 106.3 108.3 115.1 120.0 85.5 119.1 106.6 108.4 116.5 121.3 1 SIC-based classification. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 93 Current Labor Statistics: Price and Productivity Data 43. U.S. import price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification 1 (1985 = 100) Sept. June 1990 1989 1988 Industry group Sept. June Mar. Dec. Mar. Dec. June Manufacturing: Food and kindred products...................................................... Textile mill products.................................................................. Apparel and related products ................................................... Lumber and wood products, except furniture.......................... 114.4 128.9 115.8 120.3 115.0 127.0 117.0 118.6 115.4 127.8 117.5 117.0 114.9 139.0 118.9 120.5 114.0 139.8 120.3 122.2 114.8 137.5 121.2 123.3 115.9 138.8 122.1 122.1 118.7 141.1 122.3 124.0 120.9 141.2 123.5 125.8 Furniture and fixtures................................................................ Paper and allied products ........................................................ Chemicals and allied products.................................................. Petroleum refining and allied products..................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.......................... 124.0 121.3 121.3 119.2 119.0 124.8 123.8 123.5 110.8 117.7 128.0 125.2 130.6 111.6 122.6 126.3 127.4 130.7 121.3 122.3 126.1 128.2 130.0 139.1 123.1 128.7 127.3 123.9 128.0 124.2 128.6 126.6 123.7 134.9 125.2 130.9 125.1 123.6 139.0 125.4 131.9 127.4 121.1 128.5 124.8 Leather and leather products ................................................... Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products............................... Primary metal products............................................................. Fabricated metal products........................................................ Machinery, except electrical............. :....................................... 124.6 141.5 137.0 133.3 138.2 123.7 140.5 136.2 133.0 135.0 124.0 144.3 140.2 136.3 138.4 122.8 145.1 140.6 138.9 138.6 123.5 144.8 135.2 140.3 136.7 124.6 147.4 132.0 141.3 135.8 126.0 148.0 129.6 142.0 137.8 130.3 152.4 127.2 144.4 141.8 131.8 152.3 126.0 144.1 142.5 Electrical machinery and supplies............................................ Transportation equipment......................................................... Scientific instruments; optical goods; clocks........................... Miscellaneous manufactured commodities.............................. 116.1 129.5 137.0 133.1 116.7 129.3 132.2 130.6 119.0 132.8 137.7 132.2 119.7 132.6 136.7 136.6 119.4 131.9 133.8 137.7 118.9 132.0 132.8 138.4 118.5 134.1 134.2 139.8 118.8 134.2 137.8 143.5 117.2 132.5 138.1 143.2 1 SIC - based classification. 44. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, quarterly data seasonally adjusted (1982 = 100) Quarterly Indexes IV I II 1990 1989 1988 1987 Item III IV I II III IV I II Business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per h our........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor costs ..................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ 112.0 125.6 105.0 112.1 123.2 115.7 113.1 126.9 105.3 112.2 124.5 116.2 112.8 128.6 105.5 114.0 125.0 117.5 113.5 130.3 105.6 114.8 127.4 118.9 113.1 131.5 105.5 116.3 128.8 120.3 113.3 132.2 104.6 116.7 130.8 121.2 113.3 133.0 103.7 117.4 133.2 122.5 112.8 133.4 103.3 118.2 133.8 123.3 112.3 134.3 103.0 119.6 134.4 124.3 111.9 135.5 101.9 121.1 135.5 125.8 112.3 137.5 102.5 122.4 137.0 127.1 Nonfarm business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor c o s ts ..................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price d eflator............................................ 110.9 124.9 104.4 112.6 124.1 116.2 112.1 126.2 104.7 112.6 125.4 116.6 111.9 127.7 104.8 114.1 125.8 117.8 112.7 129.4 104.9 114.8 127.4 118.8 112.8 130.8 104.9 115.9 130.6 120.5 112.4 131.4 104.0 116.9 130.9 121.4 112.2 131.9 102.9 117.5 133.9 122.7 112.0 132.5 102.6 118.3 134.7 123.5 111.4 133.4 102.3 119.8 135.3 124.7 110.8 134.4 101.1 121.3 135.7 125.8 111.2 136.3 101.6 122.6 137.5 127.3 Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Total unit costs......................... ............................ Unit labor costs .................................................. Unit nonlabor co sts ............................................ Unit profits............................................................. Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ 112.9 122.6 102.5 106.8 108.6 102.2 174.0 116.1 111.0 113.8 123.8 102.7 107.1 108.8 102.6 176.6 116.9 111.4 113.7 125.3 102.8 108.2 110.2 102.9 178.1 117.5 112.6 113.5 126.8 102.8 109.7 111.8 104.2 171.4 117.2 113.5 113.2 127.9 102.6 110.9 113.0 105.6 179.1 119.8 115.2 112.5 128.9 102.0 112.7 114.6 108.0 162.3 118.5 115.9 112.1 129.4 100.9 114.1 115.4 110.6 162.9 120.7 117.1 112.3 130.0 100.7 115.0 115.7 113.3 159.3 122.2 117.8 111.1 130.7 100.2 117.0 117.6 115.2 147.2 121.4 118.9 110.5 131.4 98.8 118.1 118.9 116.2 147.6 122.3 120.0 111.0 133.3 99.3 119.2 120.1 116.8 152.9 123.8 121.3 Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per h our........................................ Real compensation per h o u r................................ Unit labor c o s ts ..................................................... 126.1 120.4 100.7 95.5 126.7 122.4 101.5 96.6 127.5 123.1 100.9 96.5 128.8 124.3 100.7 96.5 129.2 125.7 100.8 97.3 130.1 126.5 100.2 97.3 130.9 126.6 98.7 96.7 130.5 127.6 98.8 97.8 131.3 128.4 98.5 97.8 133.0 129.2 97.2 97.1 134.3 131.2 97.8 97.7 94FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 45. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity and related measures, selected years (1977 = 100) Item Private business: Productivity: Output per hour of all persons................. Output per unit of capital services........... Multifactor productivity.............................. O utput.......................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons................................. Capital services ....................................... Combined units of labor and capital input Capital per hour of all persons................... 103.0 88.3 97.6 109.9 105.6 92.7 100.9 119.2 107.9 92.9 102.4 124.3 110.3 93.0 103.9 128.7 111.2 106.7 124.4 116.6 112.9 128.6 118.1 113.9 115.2 133.8 121.4 116.1 116.7 138.5 123.9 118.7 120.0 142.4 127.4 118.6 99.1 85.1 94.1 104.8 102.5 87.3 97.0 110.1 104.7 91.3 99.9 119.3 106.2 91.0 100.7 124.0 108.3 90.8 102.0 128.3 109.1 91.5 102.7 133.2 107.4 126.1 113.5 117.4 114.0 130.6 119.4 114.6 116.8 136.3 123.1 116.7 118.5 141.3 125.8 119.3 122.0 109.4 105.7 123.3 111.4 116.6 103.6 89.0 99.7 104.8 105.9 81.6 99.2 98.4 112.0 118.1 95.5 117.5 122.0 127.7 98.4 119.5 124.7 131.9 112.1 123.6 97.3 116.4 106.0 101.4 91.0 98.6 103.2 104.4 103.9 104.2 99.5 101.7 113.4 104.6 111.5 101.1 117.8 105.1 116.5 92.9 120.5 99.2 129.8 99.5 123.0 104.8 123.7 98.7 125.4 104.8 127.1 97.7 126.8 104.4 129.8 98.6 127.6 105.3 129.4 67.3 103.7 78.5 55.3 88.4 102.7 93.1 80.2 95.9 105.6 99.2 93.0 100.8 101.9 101.2 105.8 99.2 94.1 97.4 106.6 100.6 92.3 97.6 108.9 100.3 82.2 53.3 70.5 64.9 90.8 78.1 96.9 93.7 90.8 107.5 113.3 109.4 105.4 108.2 117.9 111.5 108.9 105.2 86.1 86.1 105.0 103.8 104.6 98.9 110.7 115.8 112.6 70.7 104.9 81.2 54.4 89.2 103.5 93.8 79.9 96.4 106.3 99.7 92.9 100.8 98.7 93.3 96.9 106.6 99.6 91.0 96.7 108.4 77.0 51.9 67.1 67.4 89.6 77.2 85.2 86.2 96.3 87.3 93.2 90.7 105.1 104.0 104.7 99.0 108.0 114.2 108.8 119.1 110.0 112.2 105.7 62.2 103.0 72.0 52.5 80.8 99.1 85.3 78.6 93.4 112.0 98.0 96.3 101.5 84.4 51.0 72.9 60.4 97.3 79.3 92.1 81.5 103.1 Private nonfarm business: Productivity: Output per hour of all persons................ Output per unit of capital services.......... Multifactor productivity............................. O utput......................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons................................. Capital services ........................................ Combined units of labor and capital input Capital per hour of all persons................... Manufacturing: Productivity: Output per hour of all persons..... Output per unit of capital services Multifactor productivity.................. O utput............................................. . Inputs: Hours of all persons................................... Capital services ......................................... Combined units of labor and capital inputs Capital per hour of all persons..................... 46. 1987 1981 1980 1978 1960 88.0 101.9 101.2 106.0 86.0 98.3 83.4 102.0 101.6 86.6 95.2 105.4 121.8 86.7 105.0 104.7 93.5 120.8 99.7 129.3 93.7 104.7 133.4 145.5 129.6 119.2 102.0 123.6 130.1 Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years _______________________ ,______________________________ (1982 = 100) Item Business: Nonfarm business: Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Manufacturing: 1960 1970 1973 1978 1980 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 66.0 21.2 69.2 32.2 34.0 32.8 87.4 36.9 91.9 42.3 43.6 42.7 95.0 45.4 98.7 47.8 53.3 49.6 100.7 70.1 103.8 69.7 78.3 72.5 99.2 85.1 99.7 85.8 86.9 86.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.4 103.8 100.6 101.4 107.3 103.3 105.0 108.1 100.4 103.0 114.8 106.8 107.1 112.8 101.2 105.4 118.1 109.5 109.5 118.6 104.4 108.4 119.0 111.8 110.7 123.1 104.6 111.2 122.5 114.8 113.0 129.1 105.3 114.3 126.5 118.2 112.8 133.1 103.5 118.0 133.1 122.8 70.1 22.3 72.8 31.8 34.0 32.5 89.2 37.3 92.7 41.8 44.1 42.5 96.6 45.7 99.3 47.3 51.0 48.4 101.8 70.2 104.0 69.0 77.6 71.7 99.9 85.1 99.6 85.2 86.8 85.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.0 104.0 100.7 101.0 108.8 103.5 105.1 108.1 100.4 102.8 114.9 106.6 106.5 112.5 100.9 105.6 119.0 109.8 108.6 118.2 104.1 108.8 120.0 112.3 109.8 122.5 104.1 111.6 123.6 115.3 112.3 128.3 104.7 114.3 127.4 118.4 111.9 132.1 102.8 118.1 133.7 123.0 71.8 23.4 76.4 31.0 32.7 26.6 76.2 36.2 33.8 90.0 38.1 94.6 40.7 42.3 36.4 66.6 42.3 42.3 96.6 46.1 100.1 45.6 47.7 40.1 83.6 48.5 48.0 100.4 70.4 104.2 67.3 70.1 59.9 129.9 73.5 71.2 99.0 85.2 99.8 83.7 86.1 77.5 108.5 83.5 85.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 103.2 100.0 100.0 100.4 98.8 141.4 107.0 102.6 105.2 107.1 99.4 100.8 101.8 98.4 174.0 113.0 105.4 106.9 111.3 99.9 102.9 104.2 99.6 169.5 113.1 107.1 109.4 116.7 102.8 105.7 106.7 103.0 156.8 113.4 108.9 112.1 120.5 102.4 106.2 107.5 102.7 171.1 115.9 110.2 113.4 125.8 102.6 109.0 111.0 103.8 176.3 117.8 113.2 111.9 129.6 100.9 114.7 115.8 111.8 157.9 56.9 22.5 73.2 39.5 52.8 42.6 75.2 35.9 89.3 47.7 56.4 49.8 86.9 43.0 93.5 49.5 62.2 52.5 95.3 68.2 101.0 71.6 89.6 75.9 95.3 83.7 98.0 87.8 85.9 87.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.2 102.5 99.3 97.5 112.9 101.1 110.8 106.0 98.4 95.6 121.8 101.8 115.9 111.1 99.6 95.9 114.6 100.4 120.2 116.1 102.3 96.6 118.9 101.9 124.7 119.0 101.1 95.5 121.5 101.7 127.6 123.4 100.6 96.7 130.1 126.7 98.6 97.4 117.4 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 95 Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data 47. Annual productivity indexes for selected industries (1977 = 100) Industry SIC 1970 1975 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Iron mining, crude o re ...................................... Iron mining, usable ore .................................... Copper mining, crude o re ................................ Copper mining, recoverable m etal................... Coal mining.................................................. Bituminous coal and lignite mining ............... Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels.................. Crushed and broken sto n e ........................... 1011 1011 1C21 1021 111,121 121 14 142 99.9 111.1 84.8 85.5 141.5 142.3 89.7 83.1 112.7 117.8 87.2 77.2 105.3 105.2 90.6 91.4 122.7 122.8 109.1 98.2 99.4 99.6 102.7 106.9 124.7 123.2 99.5 91.6 112.5 112.6 96.5 101.3 132.8 130.6 102.0 97.7 122.3 122.7 94.7 96.7 100.9 98.2 106.4 116.2 119.4 120.0 89.3 94.1 139.0 138.6 129.9 130.9 136.5 136.9 98.2 103.9 173.3 171.7 140.3 155.4 151.7 152.3 105.5 105.8 187.9 187.9 164.2 193.1 154.3 154.6 107.5 104.5 200.3 197.8 195.4 228.9 167.7 168.2 108.4 104.9 254.5 250.4 197.0 211.2 181.3 182.4 115.3 121.3 258.8 248.2 206.9 229.9 200.7 201.9 114.0 120.1 Red meat products.......................................... Meatpacking plants....................................... Sausages and other prepared meats........... Poultry dressing and processing..................... Fluid m ilk.......................................................... Preserved fruits and vegetables ..................... Grain mill products............................................ Flour and other grain mill products ............... Rice milling................................................. Bakery products................................................ S ugar................................................................. Raw and refined cane sugar......................... Beet sugar...................................................... Malt beverages................................................. Bottled and canned soft drinks........................ Total tobacco products.................................... Cigarettes, chewing and smoking tobacco.... Cigars........................................................ 2011,13 2011 2013 2016,17 2026 203 204 2041 2044 205 2061,62,63 2061,62 2063 2082 2086 2111,21,31 2111,31 2121 77.3 78.7 72.8 78.3 73.7 79.7 79.7 76.6 82.0 87.5 85.9 86.1 92.9 56.7 70.0 86.8 85.3 88.4 84.4 88.6 74.8 87.9 95.5 93.7 87.1 85.8 90.4 93.4 94.0 90.8 98.1 86.1 89.5 93.9 93.3 93.7 101.7 104.6 95.0 106.1 115.6 98.9 101.0 97.3 96.3 95.0 103.1 101.5 104.6 109.9 103.4 102.1 102.4 101.4 107.0 108.9 102.3 105.7 123.9 100.8 105.3 94.8 111.8 93.7 100.1 99.3 102.1 116.0 106.9 102.1 101.8 106.4 107.9 113.9 95.0 116.4 128.0 99.2 110.9 96.7 117.9 96.2 98.8 98.8 98.7 118.3 110.6 100.5 99.6 107.3 112.3 119.5 96.5 125.6 135.3 107.9 121.0 104.1 104.5 103.3 90.4 87.6 94.8 122.6 114.1 100.7 99.5 111.4 115.9 123.4 100.0 131.7 143.1 110.8 125.5 110.4 103.3 106.9 98.6 100.0 94.5 131.3 121.5 105.1 104.1 112.3 117.0 125.6 99.5 130.3 149.5 112.4 132.8 114.9 93.2 106.8 99.7 94.7 108.8 137.9 131.0 110.3 107.2 141.4 119.5 130.1 98.8 133.2 155.0 113.4 140.9 122.9 103.2 108.5 105.5 108.7 100.7 130.3 136.7 113.4 111.7 129.3 117.3 126.2 98.7 127.3 162.4 118.3 142.1 126.6 112.6 114.4 110.1 109.6 111.8 152.3 146.6 117.2 115.5 133.1 115.3 126.2 94.5 135.4 168.0 116.4 149.6 129.9 120.6 113.3 125.5 117.1 139.2 165.7 158.1 124.2 123.1 139.1 86.7 94.3 101.2 95.2 98.8 100.2 97.8 97.5 98.0 97.2 96.9 85.5 86.7 99.8 98.5 96.2 86.5 100.7 107.9 103.8 96.9 106.3 92.2 94.5 101.5 101.6 105.1 102.8 107.2 105.4 98.0 104.6 106.9 112.2 105.0 107.4 99.7 97.3 104.2 93.6 102.8 99.9 97.2 102.3 112.1 112.1 105.2 94.6 101.6 111.0 94.3 107.4 122.0 103.1 98.8 107.9 96.4 106.9 103.0 97.3 110.5 114.0 108.8 104.4 92.3 104.5 109.8 91.4 112.5 114.2 118.2 95.2 117.1 86.1 114.4 104.7 98.2 115.9 104.3 107.4 111.3 95.3 104.2 111.9 86.3 121.6 118.0 128.5 90.2 126.8 87.9 121.1 110.1 103.8 121.6 108.6 112.0 119.5 102.9 104.5 114.0 94.0 119.8 119.9 129.6 96.9 132.3 88.7 120.0 112.2 105.5 122.7 109.5 117.8 121.0 105.6 102.4 118.9 104.5 123.7 118.5 134.5 106.3 139.2 85.7 125.1 112.5 104.4 124.6 108.8 116.7 123.1 107.1 99.6 122.5 101.4 132.8 121.0 141.1 107.5 155.1 90.0 128.8 118.5 111.9 127.1 117.9 117.8 133.5 112.3 101.4 126.7 105.4 132.1 118.3 162.6 105.8 151.1 94.1 132.1 118.3 110.5 125.2 130.9 118.7 138.0 110.5 98.1 123.3 107.5 84.0 84.5 92.5 94.0 94.2 114.6 115.0 105.3 94.0 104.8 90.3 115.7 106.0 83.6 100.8 89.3 120.9 104.2 76.1 99.8 80.8 103.6 107.0 84.0 106.5 85.8 126.2 114.3 86.2 113.8 95.0 125.3 116.4 85.2 121.5 91.5 135.8 118.1 87.3 125.6 90.6 146.2 121.8 94.3 127.7 92.0 156.4 120.9 96.2 135.3 85.3 86.7 88.7 113.4 102.0 94.9 98.9 97.2 94.2 103.9 97.7 83.7 87.2 94.5 79.4 105.3 106.2 81.8 113.9 119.8 92.5 112.5 115.6 102.6 119.6 110.0 113.8 132.1 129.4 120.1 91.8 86.2 101.3 98.5 84.7 91.0 89.1 93.1 95.5 91.9 97.5 107.3 94.8 100.2 102.4 96.0 95.9 91.6 85.4 110.2 92.7 99.9 102.4 95.7 99.1 105.2 87.0 97.6 94.0 84.9 109.6 90.4 93.1 118.1 98.5 95.6 110.1 91.1 100.7 97.3 84.3 111.1 88.5 95.4 128.2 110.1 106.4 105.8 94.0 102.6 103.3 88.6 100.0 91.0 90.6 136.1 107.2 103.9 108.5 108.4 105.4 101.1 85.5 121.6 97.6 93.7 146.8 110.5 105.7 128.0 125.3 111.3 110.4 93.3 115.1 99.2 96.3 146.7 113.0 107.3 127.0 128.3 112.8 112.6 100.4 114.1 100.5 97.4 151.4 114.1 109.3 138.9 135.5 115.6 114.5 98.7 122.9 105.9 100.1 162.2 125.4 107.7 153.6 143.8 119.9 120.0 104.9 121.9 102.1 104.5 106.9 96.8 100.6 100.4 106.5 113.3 99.7 98.1 100.3 103.6 103.9 95.8 102.1 92.8 102.3 102.9 90.8 99.8 99.8 103.7 105.3 100.0 94.1 100.0 102.6 98.4 99.7 102.1 90.6 99.9 112.0 92.7 91.6 90.0 118.6 124.4 103.8 97.9 96.8 108.1 95.2 94.6 98.5 90.4 101.4 90.9 93.7 89.0 88.4 128.0 128.5 103.0 106.0 99.2 118.5 92.8 102.3 99.5 96.0 98.1 116.8 98.3 89.9 90.2 141.2 138.3 111.5 121.1 110.4 120.5 88.8 93.2 103.0 99.7 104.7 131.3 106.8 98.8 103.5 148.0 151.9 125.4 128.1 116.2 123.0 89.5 102.0 107.9 102.8 110.4 139.5 104.2 95.6 101.0 181.5 189.8 125.4 122.0 115.6 125.6 90.1 101.6 117.7 106.3 104.7 141.8 107.4 100.3 104.3 210.8 229.2 134.0 130.4 125.0 126.0 89.2 105.0 117.7 104.1 108.7 152.3 108.8 95.0 104.3 259.8 296.9 133.3 135.5 128.4 132.6 93.9 109.3 117.7 104.9 115.6 105.3 100.5 102.8 93.3 105.4 95.1 101.3 94.9 103.6 95.1 105.1 105.2 104.5 101.5 104.4 103.0 110.8 109.6 Cotton and synthetic broad woven fabrics....... Hosiery ............................................................. Nonwool yarn mills ........................................... Men’s and boys’ suits and coats...................... Sawmills and planing mills, general ................. Millwork ........................................ Veneer and plywood......................................... Household furniture .......................................... Wood household furniture.............................. Upholstered household furniture.................... Mattresses and bedsprings............................ Office furniture.................................................. Paper, paperboard, and pulp m ills.................... Paper and plastic bags ..................................... Folding paperboard boxes................................ Corrugated and solid fiber boxes ..................... Industrial inorganic chemicals.......................... Industrial inorganic chemicals, not elsewhere classified............................... Synthetic fibers............................................... Pharmaceutical preparations........................... Cosmetics and other toiletries ....................... Paints and allied products ................................ Industrial organic chemicals, not elsewhere classified........................................ Agricultural chemicals ...................................... Petroleum refining............................................. 2211,21 2251,52 2281 2311 2421 2431 2435,36 251 2511,7 2512 2515 252 2611,21,31,61 2643 2651 2653 281 2819 pt. 2823,24 2834 2844 2851 - 65.5 84.3 75.1 90.0 95.9 83.2 82.2 83.5 84.4 67.7 78.2 77.5 75.8 77.4 73.1 - - 53.8 74.8 65.9 74.9 2869 287 2911 65.5 Tires and inner tubes .................................... Miscellaneous plastic products........................ Footwear ................................................. Glass containers ............................................ Hydraulic cem ent........................................... Structural clay products .................................... Clay construction products............................... Brick and structural clay tile .......................... Clay refractories................................................ Concrete products ............................................ Ready-mixed concrete ..................................... 3011 3079 314 3221 3241 325 3251,53,59 3251 3255 3271,72 3273 87.6 Steel .......................................... Gray iron foundries........................................ Steel foundries .................................... Steel foundries, not elsewhere classified ...... Primary copper, lead, and zinc ........................ Primary copper ........................................... Primary aluminum................................. Copper rolling and drawing .............................. Aluminum rolling and drawing .......................... Metal cans ................................................. Hand and edge to o ls................................... Heating equipment, except electric.................. Fabricated structural m etal............................... Metal doors, sash, and trim .............................. Metal stampings............................. 331 3321 3324,25 3325 3331,32,33 3331 3334 3351 3353,54,55 3411 3423 3433 3441 3442 3465,66,69 102.2 82.1 86.4 93.3 97.0 107.5 107.7 85.3 83.0 96.2 76.8 87.5 87.0 93.9 80.4 97.4 89.3 93.2 Valves and pipe fittings..................................... Farm and garden machinery............................ 3494 352 93.6 75.7 92.4 97.7 See footnotes at end of table. 96FRASER Monthly Labor Review Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 - 73.8 - 100.3 87.2 84.8 78.2 77.4 81.1 82.1 82.3 91.1 87.6 79.8 90.6 - 78.1 79.8 92.5 76.8 66.0 78.8 91.0 - 125.7 176.1 132.3 113.7 126.3 118.9 138.2 163.6 166.7 120.3 119.9 129.3 131.4 126.9 161.1 109.9 148.7 124.5 123.7 113.9 142.8 98.7 124.3 156.6 116.8 138.2 125.7 169.7 109.4 153.3 147.6 120.6 104.9 168.3 112.1 111.0 338.0 134.9 135.7 128.4 143.2 - - 47. Continued—Annual productivity indexes for selected industries (1977 = 100) Industry SIC Construction machinery and equipment .......... Oilfield machinery and equipment .................... Machine to o ls .................................................... Metal-cutting machine tools........................... Metal-forming machine to o ls ......................... Pumps and compressors .................................. Ball and roller bearings.................................... Refrigeration and heating equipment............... Carburetors, pistons, rings, and valves............ Transformers .................................................... Switchgear and switchboard apparatus........... Motors and generators..................................... Major household appliances............................. Household cooking equipment....................... Household refrigerators and freezers............ Household laundry equipment....................... Household appliances, not elsewhere classified....................................................... Electric lam ps................................................. Lighting fixtures .............................................. Radio and television receiving se ts.................. Semiconductors and related devices............... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments to measure electricity.................... Photographic equipment and supplies............. 1970 1975 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 3531 3533 3541,42 3541 3542 3561,63 3562 3585 3592 83.4 86.4 91.7 89.5 98.5 85.8 85.5 88.4 - 93.9 107.9 103.0 102.9 104.0 91.4 97.5 89.9 100.1 100.3 105.6 102.0 103.0 99.2 102.9 105.8 101.4 94.6 97.4 104.0 98.8 100.6 93.5 100.2 95.4 93.8 90.3 96.1 104.7 96.5 98.9 89.4 102.4 94.3 99.4 91.7 88.9 98.4 88.0 89.2 85.0 95.9 83.3 100.1 92.0 88.2 91.8 83.0 81.1 87.6 100.2 86.3 100.9 99.6 102.6 87.5 93.6 93.3 93.7 106.1 94.4 105.5 110.3 104.1 79.9 96.7 96.4 96.6 106.8 92.1 103.7 114.0 107.1 73.2 97.7 97.6 97.1 108.3 95.6 101.5 111.1 100.8 75.6 110.8 112.4 105.9 115.4 103.6 107.9 118.8 101.6 72.0 106.0 95.1 127.4 106.3 _ 3612 3613 3621 3631,32,33,39 3631 3632 3633 89.1 83.3 87.8 70.2 68.7 71.7 70.7 89.3 93.4 93.0 93.6 97.8 94.5 93.6 108.4 102.8 99.3 108.7 108.9 112.3 108.1 110.6 103.2 96.7 105.8 103.9 114.4 102.1 106.9 99.5 100.4 107.6 105.7 117.4 103.9 99.6 101.3 102.4 108.6 112.6 116.1 105.4 99.1 106.1 104.3 117.6 120.8 127.1 112.2 97.6 107.4 107.9 123.6 131.9 127.5 117.5 99.3 110.6 110.5 127.2 135.6 136.8 118.2 100.4 110.7 112.3 134.1 158.4 133.5 123.1 101.5 107.9 119.2 137.2 168.5 129.0 125.3 103.1 112.8 117.4 138.9 170.9 131.2 129.8 3639 3641 3645,46,47,48 3651 3674 371 3825 3861 70.4 88.3 78.1 70.6 70.5 102.6 105.2 94.6 118.5 138.1 97.8 100.2 120.6 99.1 103.2 93.3 116.9 149.4 90.8 108.4 112.7 100.4 106.9 88.7 133.6 171.6 93.1 111.9 111.2 94.7 108.4 91.0 163.9 197.9 96.9 119.2 110.2 103.7 124.8 96.3 196.1 211.5 109.6 121.8 124.8 109.8 131.9 102.2 236.9 229.2 115.7 133.7 131.8 110.0 126.9 107.1 249.8 206.4 121.2 130.4 131.1 113.1 131.1 113.9 278.1 215.6 121.7 122.2 144.3 120.1 144.5 109.9 257.7 292.2 129.1 132.2 153.4 117.7 150.4 109.8 258.5 318.2 133.8 _ 67.6 88.8 96.4 89.2 90.1 56.0 87.7 95.9 92.9 Railroad transportation, revenue traffic............ Railroad transportation, car-miles..................... Class 1 bus carriers.......................................... Intercity trucking................................................ Intercity trucking, general freight ..................... Air transportation .............................................. Petroleum pipelines .......................................... Telephone communications.............................. Gas and electric utilities................................... Electric utilities................................................ Gas utilities .................................................... Scrap and waste materials............................... 401 Class I 401 Class I 411,13,14 pts. 4213 pt. 4213 pt. 4511,4521 pt. 4612,13 4811 491,92,93 491,493 pt. 492,493 pt. 5093 77.7 89.1 107.3 83.5 76.8 71.4 79.5 62.1 83.1 77.1 102.1 - 89.5 98.3 97.0 89.2 88.4 87.6 95.7 85.9 94.7 92.9 101.4 - 104.7 102.9 98.3 116.7 116.4 113.1 101.7 110.8 97.6 95.4 103.4 110.6 107.3 107.9 100.9 107.7 107.5 106.2 93.0 118.1 96.2 94.0 102.1 108.2 111.5 107.6 90.7 116.3 117.2 104.9 86.0 124.4 94.4 93.0 98.1 104.8 115.8 110.1 98.8 108.0 107.8 114.9 89.2 129.1 89.3 89.5 89.0 103.0 141.9 128.9 95.4 130.7 136.0 126.7 94.3 145.1 88.4 90.9 81.1 123.5 152.9 137.7 90.9 135.1 137.6 131.7 104.5 143.0 91.6 94.4 83.6 122.2 161.7 138.9 87.4 130.2 131.7 136.3 104.9 149.8 90.9 93.5 82.1 127.9 178.1 148,2 86.8 134.5 140.9 137.9 107.0 161.3 90.6 95.8 74.1 133.8 206.4 167.5 90.6 138.9 144.9 146.1 104.9 165.9 93.5 100.7 71.6 138.7 226.5 179.4 _ _ _ 140.8 110.7 176.7 97.9 105.6 74.7 - Hardware stores................................................ Department stores............................................ Variety stores .................................................... Retail food stores ............................................. Grocery stores................................................ Retail bakeries................................................ Franchised new car dealers............................. Auto and home supply stores.......................... Gasoline service stations.................................. Apparel and accessory stores ......................... Men’s and boys’ clothing stores.................... Women’s ready-to-wear stores ...................... Family clothing stores.................................... Shoe stores.................................................... Furniture, furnishings, and equipment stores............................................................. Furniture and home furnishings stores ......... Appliance, radio, television, and music stores............................................................. Household appliance stores ....................... Radio, television, and music stores............ 5251 5311 5331 54 5411 546 5511 5531 5541 56 5611 5621 5651 5661 _ 77.5 124.9 107.0 74.6 81.3 82.7 76.5 75.2 95.3 97.8 89.7 122.5 98.8 98.6 93.1 95.0 89.9 85.3 105.0 102.3 106.5 109.5 95.1 114.8 104.4 102.4 98.3 99.0 98.6 97.7 103.2 107.4 112.9 108.6 116.0 108.2 112.8 111.6 103.8 107.8 100.3 100.1 102.5 99.6 106.7 105.1 117.9 107.1 117.9 123.7 110.3 107.5 109.9 118.8 97.1 97.9 97.9 98.1 109.2 106.7 123.9 116.4 127.8 132.4 114.2 109.2 112.4 113.0 95.5 97.9 90.6 100.4 107.2 111.8 126 4 116.6 142.0 140.7 110.2 111.4 119.5 121.5 95.2 98.6 88.4 109.4 118.9 122.5 132.9 119.5 151.3 149.2 107.9 121.1 126.6 126.8 95.6 100.1 78.9 110.4 118.4 129.1 140.9 125.1 158.3 145.8 110.9 124.6 129.2 118.5 95.8 98.4 69.8 109.7 124.7 134.3 146.3 131.4 162.8 138.5 118.7 137.4 135.3 101.1 93.7 96.3 73.6 110.7 125.6 143.9 153.5 135.0 176.4 136.0 127.5 140.3 138.5 97.2 92.7 93.8 78.9 107.4 134.1 139.8 142.3 134.0 166.1 128.8 119.9 150.6 141.7 93.8 91.8 92.1 76.9 111.8 136.6 141.5 141.2 133.7 162.8 128.0 118.2 57 571 80.1 79.3 91.9 90.1 107.6 104.8 107.4 98.0 112.6 101.2 109.2 97.6 118.4 104.1 129.4 113.1 133.5 108.7 144.4 115.5 146.8 113.0 154.4 111.0 572,73 572 573 81.2 94.8 89.5 98.0 112.4 111.3 112.7 124.0 109.9 131.5 132.4 114.9 140.5 128.7 102.0 142.4 143.4 111.8 159.5 158.5 139.2 165.9 180.0 154.6 190.2 198.9 177.2 206.5 211.9 172.1 226.7 243.2 177.2 269.5 Eating and drinking places ............................... Drug and proprietary stores.............................. Liquor stores..................................................... Commercial banking......................................... Hotels, motels, and tourist courts..................... Laundry and cleaning services ........................ Beauty and barber shops ................................. Beauty shops.................................................. Automotive repair shops................................... 58 5912 5921 602 7011 721 7231,41 7231 753 100.6 83.4 100.8 94.2 96.3 90.0 89.7 96.6 98.7 100.1 102.0 99.5 103.8 96.6 99.3 100.0 97.7 107.4 108.0 100.4 99.8 107.0 102.2 92.7 95.0 91.0 102.9 106.2 95.9 97.3 107.6 104.0 90.5 91.6 88.4 109.2 114.7 93.3 96.9 107.9 108.1 93.2 88.8 90.6 108.3 113.1 87.4 95.3 110.9 101.6 101.3 95.4 90.4 114.0 120.1 86.1 91.1 105.7 98.7 104.3 102.1 92.3 103.9 112.3 88.3 87.9 105.5 107.1 109.7 97.5 87.3 98.6 104.1 96.1 89.7 104.6 98.0 111.8 92.8 85.0 97.3 98.8 93.2 90.7 103.8 91.6 116.5 88.0 84.1 99.1 100.1 96.1 91.3 105.3 88.5 - - 86.1 - - - - 85.5 85.1 94.7 - - - - _ 83.8 96.0 96.2 101.1 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 97 Current Labor Statistics: International Comparisons Data 48. Unemployment rates, approximating U.S. concepts, in nine countries, quarterly data seasonally adjusted Annual average 1988 1989 1990 Country 1988 1989 IV I II III IV I II Total labor force basis United States....................................... Canada ................................................. Australia............................................... Japan .................................................... 5.4 7.7 7.2 2.5 5.2 7.5 6.1 2.3 5.2 7.7 6.7 2.4 5.1 7.5 6.6 2.3 5.2 7.5 6.1 2.3 5.2 7.4 6.0 2.2 5.3 7.6 5.9 2.2 5.2 7.5 6.2 2.1 5.2 7.4 6.4 2.1 France.................................................. Germany .............................................. Italy 1, 2 ................................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ................................... 10.0 6.2 7.8 1.6 8.5 9.5 5.6 7.7 1.3 6.9 9.9 6.0 7.7 1.4 7.9 9.6 5.7 7.6 1.4 7.5 9.5 5.6 7.8 1.3 7.1 9.5 5.6 7.7 1.3 6.7 9.4 5.5 7.5 1.4 6.3 9.4 5.3 7.2 1.3 6.1 9.3 5.2 6.6 1.3 6.1 United States....................................... Canada ................................................. Australia ............................................... Japan .................................................... 5.5 7.8 7.2 2.5 5.3 7.5 6.2 2.3 5.3 7.7 6.8 2.4 5.2 7.5 6.6 2.4 5.3 7.6 6.1 2.3 5.3 7.4 6.1 2.3 5.3 7.6 5.9 2.2 5.2 7.6 6.2 2.1 5.3 7.4 6.4 2.1 France.................................................. Germany .............................................. Italy', 2 .................................................. Sweden................................................ United Kingdom ................................... 10.2 6.3 7.9 1.6 8.6 9.7 5.7 7.8 1.3 7.0 10.2 6.2 7.8 1.4 8.0 9.8 5.9 7.8 1.4 7.6 9.8 5.7 8.0 1.3 7.2 9.7 5.7 7.8 1.3 6.7 9.6 5.6 7.7 1.4 6.4 9.6 5.4 7.4 1.4 6.2 9.5 5.3 6.8 1.3 6.2 Civilian labor force basis 1 Quarterly rates are tor the first month of the quarter. 2 Many Italians reported as unemployed did not actively seek work in the past 30 days, and they have been ex cluded for comparability with U.S. concepts. Inclusion of such persons would about double the Italian unemployment rate in 1985 and earlier years and increase it to 11-12 per Monthly Labor Review Digitized for98 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 cent for 1986 onward. NOTE: Quarterly figures for France, Germany, and the United Kingdom are calculated by applying annual adjust ment factors to current published data and therefore should be viewed as less precise indicators of unemployment under U.S. concepts than the annual figures. 49. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, approximating U.S. concepts, 10 countries (Numbers in thousands) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 108,670 11,899 6,810 56,320 22,950 27,540 21,320 6,080 4,327 26,590 110,204 11,926 6,910 56,980 23,160 27,710 21,410 6,140 4,350 26,560 111,550 12,109 6,997 58,110 23,140 27,670 21,590 6,170 4,369 26,590 113,544 12,316 7,135 58,480 23,300 27,800 21,670 6,260 4,385 27,010 115,461 12,532 7,300 58,820 23,360 28,020 21,800 6,280 4,418 27,210 117,834 12,746 7,588 59,410 23,440 28,240 22,290 6,370 4,443 27,380 119,865 13,011 7,758 60,050 23,550 28,380 22,350 6,540 4,480 27,720 121,669 13,275 7,974 60,860 23,590 28,580 22,660 6,560 4,540 28,150 123,869 13,503 8,237 61,920 23,750 28,790 22,530 6,650 4,599 28,250 63.8 64.1 62.1 62.6 57.2 54.7 48.2 55.3 66.9 62.5 63.9 64.8 61.9 62.6 57.1 54.7 48.3 56.6 66.8 62.2 64.0 64.1 61.7 62.7 57.1 54.6 47.7 56.5 66.8 61.9 64.0 64.4 61.4 63.1 56.6 54.3 47.5 56.1 66.7 61.6 64.4 64.8 61.5 62.7 56.6 54.4 47.3 56.2 66.6 62.1 64.8 65.3 61.6 62.3 56.3 54.7 47.2 55.7 66.9 62.2 65.3 65.7 62.8 62.1 56.1 54.9 47.8 55.9 67.0 62.3 65.6 66.2 63.0 61.9 55.9 55.0 47.6 56.7 67.1 62.7 65.9 66.7 63.3 61.9 55.5 54.9 47.4 56.3 67.6 63.5 66.5 67.0 64.2 62.2 55.5 55.0 47.1 56.7 68.1 63.6 Employed United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 99,303 10,708 6,284 54,600 21,330 26,490 20,200 5,510 4,226 24,670 100,397 11,001 6,416 55,060 21,200 26,450 20,280 5,540 4,219 23,800 99,526 10,618 6,415 55,620 21,240 26,150 20,250 5,510 4,213 23,560 100,834 10,675 6,300 56,550 21,170 25,770 20,320 5,410 4,218 23,450 105,005 10,932 6,494 56,870 20,980 25,830 20,390 5,490 4,249 23,830 107,150 11,221 6,697 57,260 20,920 26,010 20,490 5,640 4,293 24,150 109,597 11,531 6,974 57,740 20,950 26,380 20,610 5,730 4,326 24,300 112,440 11,861 7,129 58,320 21,020 26,580 20,590 5,890 4,396 24,860 114,968 12,245 7,398 59,310 21,180 26,770 20,870 5,940 4,467 25,740 117,342 12,486 7,728 60,500 21,440 27,140 20,770 6,050 4,538 26,270 Employment-population ratio2 United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 59.2 59.3 58.3 61.3 53.5 53.1 46.1 52.0 65.6 58.1 59.0 59.9 58.4 61.2 52.8 52.5 45.9 51.6 65.1 55.7 57.8 57.1 57.3 61.2 52.3 51.6 45.2 50.7 64.7 54.9 57.9 56.8 55.3 61.4 51.8 50.6 44.7 49.2 64.4 54.3 59.5 57.5 56.0 61.0 51.0 50.5 44.5 49.3 64.5 54.8 60.1 58.5 56.5 60.6 50.4 50.7 44.4 50.0 65.0 55.2 60.7 59.4 57.7 60.4 50.2 51.3 44.2 50.2 65.2 55.2 61.5 60.4 57.9 60.1 49.9 51.5 43.8 51.1 65.8 56.2 62.3 61.6 58.7 60.4 49.8 51.5 43.7 51.0 66.5 58.1 63.0 62.0 60.2 60.8 50.1 51.9 43.4 51.5 67.2 59.2 Unemployed United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 7,637 865 409 1,140 1,470 770 920 350 86 1,850 8,273 898 394 1,260 1,750 1,090 1,040 540 108 2,790 10,678 1,308 495 1,360 1,920 1,560 1,160 630 137 3,000 10,717 1,434 697 1,560 1,970 1,900 1,270 760 151 3,140 8,539 1,384 641 1,610 2,320 1,970 1,280 770 136 3,180 8,312 1,311 603 1,560 2,440 2,010 1,310 640 125 3,060 8,237 1,215 613 1,670 2,490 1,860 1,680 640 117 3,080 7,425 1,150 629 1,730 2,530 1,800 1,760 650 84 2,860 6,701 1,031 576 1,550 2,410 1,810 1,790 620 73 2,410 6,528 1,018 509 1,420 2,310 1,650 1,760 600 61 1,980 Unemployment rate United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 7.1 7.5 6.1 2.0 6.4 2.8 4.4 6.0 2.0 7.0 7.6 7.5 5.8 2.2 7.6 4.0 4.9 8.9 2.5 10.5 9.7 11.0 7.2 2.4 8.3 5.6 5.4 10.3 3.1 11.3 9.6 11.8 10.0 2.7 8.5 6.9 5.9 12.3 3.5 11.8 7.5 11.2 9.0 2.8 10.0 7.1 5.9 12.3 3.1 11.8 7.2 10.5 8.3 2.6 10.4 7.2 6.0 10.2 2.8 11.2 7.0 9.5 8.1 2.8 10.6 6.6 7.5 10.0 2.6 11.2 6.2 8.8 8.1 2.9 10.7 6.3 7.9 9.9 1.9 10.3 5.5 7.8 7.2 2.5 10.2 6.3 7.9 9.5 1.6 8.6 5.3 7.5 6.2 2.3 9.7 5.7 7.8 9.0 1.3 7.0 Employment status and country 1980 Labor force United States.............................. ............................. Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 106,940 11,573 6,693 55,740 22,800 27,260 21,120 5,860 4,312 26,520 Participation rate1 United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Australia................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 1981 1 Labor force as a percent of the civilian working-age population. 2 Employment as a percent of the civilian working-age population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for information on breaks in series for Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Sweden. Monthly Labor Review November 1990 99 Current Labor Statistics: International Comparisons Data 50. Annual indexes of manufacturing productivity and related measures, 12 countries (1977 = 100) 1960 Item and country 1970 1973 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Output per hour United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark.................................................................. France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 56.9 51.6 17.2 24.2 32.4 30.7 36.9 28.9 27.3 47.8 36.5 49.4 75.2 76.9 48.0 44.2 57.2 58.5 65.2 54.3 54.1 74.5 69.6 70.8 86.9 91.9 61.5 57.7 72.7 68.7 76.3 64.9 68.4 86.4 81.8 84.1 95.3 102.9 80.0 77.8 88.6 85.7 94.1 82.9 89.2 92.2 88.7 89.3 95.3 103.8 85.0 82.0 92.9 89.9 97.9 90.7 94.1 97.7 95.6 90.3 95.3 99.9 90.9 87.3 98.0 90.6 97.8 95.1 95.1 96.3 96.4 89.9 97.5 104.8 94.3 94.2 99.6 93.4 99.3 97.6 97.7 96.5 95.8 94.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.2 107.3 105.4 110.2 104.9 102.5 105.1 105.3 106.7 105.2 106.5 108.4 110.8 116.4 113.0 114.7 104.3 104.5 108.5 115.8 116.4 112.6 111.9 114.3 115.9 119.8 119.4 116.9 105.0 108.8 112.4 122.1 121.1 116.0 112.6 118.0 120.2 118.4 121.3 118.2 98.9 110.8 111.4 123.2 122.4 114.6 114.3 122.6 124.7 119.2 130.7 122.8 100.6 113.8 109.5 126.5 123.3 120.4 115.7 130.1 127.6 121.2 136.9 128.8 103.8 119.6 114.4 130.1 128.9 123.9 117.4 137.1 130.1 123.8 144.8 Output United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 53.4 44.1 14.0 37.8 45.4 35.1 48.8 27.8 42.7 56.0 51.8 82.3 79.9 78.5 51.0 70.8 75.7 72.7 84.6 58.1 80.3 88.4 91.0 109.8 97.9 100.0 67.0 86.8 88.5 87.0 93.8 70.4 91.2 101.3 98.7 121.2 107.7 111.7 77.8 91.3 92.0 98.4 99.4 88.4 97.9 99.8 95.7 116.4 109.8 115.9 83.0 93.7 97.3 101.3 104.0 97.5 101.0 102.7 101.9 116.2 104.8 110.7 90.4 96.2 101.7 100.6 104.0 102.7 101.5 101.7 102.3 106.1 106.5 114.8 94.5 95.8 98.4 99.0 102.4 101.0 101.5 100.7 99.6 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106.4 106.5 108.0 105.0 106.7 99.9 101.1 100.9 101.9 99.3 105.7 102.9 119.4 120.2 120.5 107.3 111.7 98.7 103.9 105.5 107.9 105.0 113.7 107.1 124.0 127.0 128.9 108.4 115.3 99.1 107.4 108.7 111.1 108.8 115.9 109.8 126.8 128.4 129.6 107.1 115.3 99.1 107.4 111.1 113.7 108.8 116.7 111.1 132.3 135.8 138.9 108.4 111.8 99.6 105.2 115.6 114.4 110.8 119.9 116.9 139.9 144.1 150.0 113.9 111.6 103.0 109.5 124.4 119.6 107.5 123.7 125.5 144.0 146.9 161.1 Total hours United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark.................................................................. France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 93.8 85.5 81.3 156.2 140.0 114.5 132.0 96.2 156.6 117.3 141.9 166.7 106.1 102.1 106.1 159.9 132.3 124.1 129.7 107.0 148.5 118.6 130.7 155.0 112.7 108.8 108.8 150.3 121.8 126.7 123.0 108.3 133.4 117.3 120.6 144.1 113.0 108.6 97.2 117.4 103.9 114.8 105.6 106.6 109.8 108.3 108.0 130.3 115.2 111.6 97.6 114.3 104.7 112.6 106.2 107.4 107.4 105.1 106.5 128.8 110.0 110.8 99.5 110.1 103.7 111.0 106.4 108.0 106.8 105.5 106.1 118.1 109.2 109.6 100.3 101.7 98.8 106.0 103.1 103.4 103.9 104.3 103.9 105.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.2 99.2 102.5 95.2 101.7 97.4 96.2 95.8 95.5 94.3 99.2 94.8 107.7 103.3 106.6 93.6 107.1 94.4 95.8 91.1 92.7 93.2 101.6 93.7 107.0 106.0 108.0 92.7 109.8 91.0 95.6 89.0 91.8 93.8 103.0 93.1 105.5 108.5 106.8 90.6 116.6 89.4 96.4 90.1 92.9 94.9 102.1 90.6 106.1 114.0 106.3 88.3 111.2 87.5 96.1 91.4 92.7 92.1 103.6 89.9 109.6 118.9 109.6 88.4 107.6 86.1 95.7 95.7 92.8 86.8 105.3 91.5 110.6 118.6 111.2 Compensation per hour United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark.................................................................. France ..................................................................... Germany................................................................... Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 22.5 16.4 6.5 9.1 7.7 7.4 13.7 3.9 9.1 9.9 9.3 7.2 35.9 28.7 24.8 23.1 22.3 17.8 35.1 11.6 28.5 24.6 24.4 14.9 43.0 35.9 40.4 35.5 34.5 25.5 48.9 17.7 44.1 35.3 34.3 22.6 68.2 64.4 78.1 71.5 67.7 55.4 78.6 49.4 78.8 70.9 70.5 55.1 74.9 71.0 83.1 77.9 75.6 62.9 83.9 59.8 85.0 74.7 76.1 65.6 83.7 78.6 88.4 86.3 83.4 72.8 90.4 70.2 89.6 81.2 84.5 79.7 91.8 90.4 95.0 95.9 91.9 84.3 96.2 84.8 93.7 90.3 93.0 91.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.5 106.1 103.0 106.0 106.9 110.4 104.4 117.0 104.6 110.3 109.9 106.9 106.0 111.1 106.1 114.8 113.0 120.0 108.9 134.3 107.9 120.9 119.3 114.2 111.1 116.8 110.9 121.8 120.6 130.2 115.1 150.9 113.6 132.2 130.9 122.6 116.1 121.4 116.3 126.6 123.1 135.9 119.7 157.1 117.1 145.0 141.8 132.1 119.2 126.3 119.0 129.4 135.7 142.7 125.0 166.7 120.7 165.6 151.6 140.5 123.5 132.5 121.6 131.6 140.5 148.7 130.1 175.6 123.8 175.9 162.9 149.2 128.8 143.8 129.9 Unit labor costs: National currency basis United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark................................................................... France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 39.5 31.9 37.9 37.8 23.8 24.0 37.2 13.6 33.4 20.6 25.5 14.6 47.7 37.3 51.6 52.3 39.0 30.4 53.8 21.4 52.7 33.0 35.0 21.0 49.5 39.1 65.6 61.4 47.4 37.1 64.1 27.2 64.5 40.9 42.0 26.9 71.6 62.6 97.5 92.0 76.4 64.6 83.5 59.5 88.4 76.9 79.5 61.7 78.6 68.4 97.7 95.0 81.4 70.0 85.7 65.9 90.4 76.5 79.5 72.7 87.8 78.7 97.2 98.9 85.1 80.3 92.4 73.8 94.2 84.3 87.6 88.7 94.1 86.3 100.8 101.8 92.2 90.3 96.8 86.9 95.9 93.6 97.0 96.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 97.5 98.9 97.7 96.1 101.9 107.6 99.4 111.2 98.1 104.8 103.1 98.6 95.6 95.5 93.9 100.1 108.3 114.9 100.4 115.9 92.7 107.4 106.7 99.9 95.9 97.6 92.9 104.2 114.9 119.6 102.4 123.6 93.9 114.0 116.3 103.9 96.6 102.5 95.9 107.2 124.5 122.6 107.5 127.5 95.7 126.5 124.1 107.8 95.6 106.0 91.1 105.4 134.9 125.4 114.1 131.8 97.9 137.6 131.0 108.0 96.8 109.3 88.9 102.2 135.5 124.4 113.7 135.0 96.0 142.0 138.7 108.8 99.0 116.1 89.7 Unit labor costs: U.S. dollar basis United States........................................................... Canada .................................................................... Japan ....................................................................... Belgium.................................................................... Denmark.................................................................. France ..................................................................... Germany.................................................................. Italy .......................................................................... Netherlands.............................................................. Norway .................................................................... Sweden.................................................................... United Kingdom....................................................... 39.5 40.6 26.2 34.7 28.8 32.2 21.7 29.6 23.7 18.7 31.0 23.4 47.7 44.1 35.9 48.2 43.4 36.2 35.8 46.2 38.9 29.8 42.5 28.7 49.5 48.2 60.3 72.5 65.7 55.0 58.8 63.4 62.0 46.0 60.6 37.7 71.6 67.8 116.6 133.9 115.7 94.4 101.1 95.0 109.3 94.7 110.7 67.7 78.6 72.1 111.5 148.2 129.1 108.2 113.5 107.4 120.4 97.5 116.6 88.3 87.8 83.1 107.3 155.0 126.2 125.2 123.6 116.8 126.8 110.2 130.2 118.1 94.1 88.9 113.8 125.9 107.8 109.2 104.3 103.3 103.0 105.2 120.4 112.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 97.5 99.0 102.5 86.1 92.9 92.9 94.5 99.1 91.8 92.6 84.5 85.5 95.6 91.0 98.5 79.3 87.3 86.5 85.7 89.4 77.2 85.0 81.0 76.4 95.9 88.2 97.0 80.4 90.4 87.7 84.5 87.7 75.6 85.7 84.9 77.1 96.6 91.1 141.9 109.8 128.3 116.4 120.2 115.8 104.4 110.4 109.4 90.5 95.6 98.6 156.9 129.1 164.4 137.2 154.1 137.6 129.1 131.8 129.7 101.3 96.8 109.7 172.7 127.1 167.7 137.3 157.1 140.3 129.7 140.5 142.1 110.9 99.0 121.0 161.8 157.7 128.2 146.8 143.4 117.5 130.0 147.4 106.9 - Data not available. 100 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 106.8 125.1 119.6 133.8 134.7 131.7 119.3 144.1 113.2 107.2 114.8 128.2 125.7 107.8 126.5 131.1 106.0 85.7 96.0 95.9 93.3 81.8 106.0 91.0 147.8 155.5 136.0 194.4 125.7 183.3 180.7 164.3 138.3 124.3 113.7 145.4 93.3 139.1 151.4 114.0 51. Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 Industry and type of case1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 PRIVATE SECTOR3 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 8.7 4.0 65.2 8.3 3.8 61.7 7.7 3.5 58.7 7.6 3.4 58.5 8.0 3.7 63.4 7.9 3.6 64.9 7.9 3.6 65.8 8.3 3.8 69.9 8.6 4.0 76.1 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing3 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 11.9 5.8 82.7 12.3 5.9 82.8 11.8 5.9 86.0 11.9 6.1 90.8 12.0 6.1 90.7 11.4 5.7 91.3 11.2 5.6 93.6 11.2 5.7 94.1 10.9 5.6 101.8 Mining Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 11.2 6.5 163.6 11.6 6.2 146.4 10.5 5.4 137.3 8.4 4.5 125.1 9.7 5.3 160.2 8.4 4.8 145.3 7.4 4.1 125.9 8.5 4.9 144.0 8.8 5.1 152.1 15.7 6.5 117.0 15.1 6.3 113.1 14.6 6.0 115.7 14.8 6.3 118.2 15.5 6.9 128.1 15.2 6.8 128.9 15.2 6.9 134.5 14.7 6.8 135.8 14.6 6.8 142.2 15.5 6.5 113.0 15.1 6.1 107.1 14.1 5.9 112.0 14.4 6.2 113.0 15.4 6.9 121.3 15.2 6.8 120.4 14.9 6.6 122.7 14.2 6.5 134.0 14.0 6.4 132.2 Construction Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ General building contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Heavy construction contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Special trade contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 16.3 6.3 117.6 14.9 6.0 106.0 15.1 5.8 113.1 15.4 6.2 122.4 14.9 6.4 131.7 14.5 6.3 127.3 14.7 6.3 132.9 14.5 6.4 139.1 15.1 7.0 162.3 15.5 6.7 118.9 15.2 6.6 119.3 14.7 6.2 118.6 14.8 6.4 119.0 15.8 7.1 130.1 15.4 7.0 133.3 15.6 7.2 140.4 15.0 7.1 135.7 14.7 7.0 141.1 Manufacturing Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 12.2 5.4 86.7 11.5 5.1 82.0 10.2 4.4 75.0 10.0 4.3 73.5 10.6 4.7 77.9 10.4 4.6 80.2 10.6 4.7 85.2 11.9 5.3 95.5 13.1 5.7 107.4 18.6 9.5 171.8 17.6 9.0 158.4 16.9 8.3 153.3 18.3 9.2 163.5 19.6 9.9 172.0 18.5 9.3 171.4 18.9 9.7 177.2 18.9 9.6 176.5 19.5 10.0 189.1 16.0 6.6 97.6 15.1 6.2 91.9 13.9 5.5 85.6 14.1 5.7 83.0 15.3 6.4 101.5 15.0 6.3 100.4 15.2 6.3 103.0 15.4 6.7 103.6 16.6 7.3 115.7 15.0 7.1 128.1 14.1 6.9 122.2 13.0 6.1 112.2 13.1 6.0 112.0 13.6 6.6 120.8 13.9 6.7 127.8 13.6 6.5 126.0 14.9 7.1 135.8 16.0 7.5 141.0 15.2 7.1 128.3 14.4 6.7 121.3 12.4 5.4 101.6 12.4 5.4 103.4 13.3 6.1 115.3 12.6 5.7 113.8 13.6 6.1 125.5 17.0 7.4 145.8 19.4 8.2 161.3 18.5 8.0 118.4 17.5 7.5 109.9 15.3 6.4 102.5 15.1 6.1 96.5 16.1 6.7 104.9 16.3 6.9 110.1 16.0 6.8 115.5 17.0 7.2 121.9 18.8 8.0 138.8 13.7 5.5 81.3 12.9 5.1 74.9 10.7 4.2 66.0 9.8 3.6 58.1 10.7 4.1 65.8 10.8 4.2 69.3 10.7 4.2 72.0 11.3 4.4 72.7 12.1 4.7 82.8 8.0 3.3 51.8 7.4 3.1 48.4 6.5 2.7 42.2 6.3 2.6 41.4 6.8 2.8 45.0 6.4 2.7 45.7 6.4 2.7 49.8 7.2 3.1 55.9 8.0 3.3 64.6 10.6 4.9 82.4 9.8 4.6 78.1 9.2 4.0 72.2 8.4 3.6 64.5 9.3 4.2 68.8 9.0 3.9 71.6 9.6 4.1 79.1 13.5 5.7 105.7 17.7 6.6 134.2 6.8 2.7 41.8 6.5 2.7 39.2 5.6 2.3 37.0 5.2 2.1 35.6 5.4 2.2 37.5 5.2 2.2 37.9 5.3 2.3 42.2 5.8 2.4 43.9 6.1 2.6 51.5 10.9 4.4 67.9 10.7 4.4 68.3 9.9 4.1 69.9 9.9 4.0 66.3 10.5 4.3 70.2 9.7 4.2 73.2 10.2 4.3 70.9 10.7 4.6 81.5 11.3 5.1 91.0 18.7 9.0 136.8 17.8 8.6 130.7 16.7 8.0 129.3 16.5 7.9 131.2 16.7 8.1 131.6 16.7 8.1 138.0 16.5 8.0 137.8 17.7 8.6 153.7 18.5 9.2 169.7 Durable goods Lumber and wood products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Furniture and fixtures: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Stone, clay, and glass products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Primary metal industries: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Fabricated metal products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays.................................................................................... Machinery, except electrical: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Electric and electronic equipment: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Transportation equipment: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Instruments and related products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Miscellaneous manufacturing industries: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Nondurable goods Food and kindred products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review November 1990 101 Current Labor Statistics: Injury and Illness Data 51. Continued— Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 Industry and type of case1 1980 Tobacco manufacturing: Total cases............................................................................................ Lost workday cases ............................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Textile mill products: Total cases............................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Apparel and other textile products: Total cases.............................................................................................. Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Paper and allied products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Printing and publishing: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Chemicals and allied products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Petroleum and coal products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Leather and leather products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Transportation and public utilities Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays .......................................................................................... 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 8.1 3.8 45.8 8.2 3.9 56.8 7.2 3.2 44.6 6.5 3.0 42.8 7.7 3.2 51.7 7.3 3.0 51.7 6.7 2.5 45.6 8.6 2.5 46.4 9.3 2.9 53.0 9.1 3.3 62.8 8.8 3.2 59.2 7.6 2.8 53.8 7.4 2.8 51.4 8.0 3.0 54.0 7.5 3.0 57.4 7.8 3.1 59.3 9.0 3.6 65.9 9.6 4.0 78.8 6.4 2.2 34.9 6.3 2.2 35.0 6.0 2.1 36.4 6.4 2.4 40.6 6.7 2.5 40.9 6.7 2.6 44.1 6.7 2.7 49.4 7.4 3.1 59.5 8.1 3.5 68.2 12.7 5.8 112.3 11.6 5.4 103.6 10.6 4.9 99.1 10.0 4.5 90.3 10.4 4.7 93.8 10.2 4.7 94.6 10.5 4.7 99.5 12.8 5.8 122.3 13.1 5.9 124.3 6.9 3.1 46.5 6.7 3.0 47.4 6.6 2.8 45.7 6.6 2.9 44.6 6.5 2.9 46.0 6.3 2.9 49.2 6.5 2.9 50.8 6.7 3.1 55.1 6.6 3.2 59.8 6.8 3.1 50.3 6.6 3.0 48.1 5.7 2.5 39.4 5.5 2.5 42.3 5.3 2.4 40.8 5.1 2.3 38.8 6.3 2.7 49.4 7.0 3.1 58.8 7.0 3.3 59.0 7.2 3.5 59.1 6.7 2.9 51.2 5.3 2.5 46.4 5.5 2.4 46.8 5.1 2.4 53.5 5.1 2.4 49.9 7.1 3.2 67.5 7.3 3.1 65.9 7.0 3.2 68.4 15.5 7.4 118.6 14.6 7.2 117.4 12.7 6.0 100.9 13.0 6.2 101.4 13.6 6.4 104.3 13.4 6.3 107.4 14.0 6.6 118.2 15.9 7.6 130.8 16.3 8.1 142.9 11.7 5.0 82.7 11.5 5.1 82.6 9.9 4.5 86.5 10.0 4.4 87.3 10.5 4.7 94.4 10.3 4.6 88.3 10.5 4.8 83.4 12.4 5.8 114.5 11.4 5.6 128.2 9.4 5.5 104.5 9.0 5.3 100.6 8.5 4.9 96.7 8.2 4.7 94.9 8.8 5.2 105.1 8.6 5.0 107.1 8.2 4.8 102.1 8.4 4.9 108.1 8.9 5.1 118.6 7.4 3.2 48.7 7.3 3.1 45.3 7.2 3.1 45.5 7.2 3.1 47.8 7.4 3.3 50.5 7.4 3.2 50.7 7.7 3.3 54.0 7.7 3.4 56.1 7.8 3.5 60.9 Wholesale and retail trade Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Wholesale trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... Retail trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... 8.2 3.9 58.2 7.7 3.6 54.7 7.1 3.4 52.1 7.0 3.2 50.6 7.2 3.5 55.5 7.2 3.5 59.8 7.2 3.6 62.5 7.4 3.7 64.0 7.6 3.8 69.2 7.1 2.9 44.5 7.1 2.9 41.1 7.2 2.9 42.6 7.3 3.0 46.7 7.5 3.2 48.4 7.5 3.1 47.0 7.8 3.2 50.5 7.8 3.3 52.9 7.9 3.4 57.6 Finance, insurance, and real estate Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... 2.0 .8 12.2 1.9 .8 11.6 2.0 .9 13.2 2.0 .9 12.8 1.9 .9 13.6 2.0 .9 15.4 2.0 .9 17.1 2.0 .9 14.3 2.0 .9 17.2 Services Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday ca ses.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... 5.2 2.3 35.8 5.0 2.3 35.9 4.9 2.3 35.8 5.1 2.4 37.0 5.2 2.5 41.1 5.4 2.6 45.4 5.3 2.5 43.0 5.5 2.7 45.8 5.4 2.6 47.7 1 Total cases include fatalities. 2 The incidence rates represent the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers and were calculated as: (N/EH) X 200,000, where: N = number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays. 102 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 1990 EH = total hours worked by all employees during calendar year. 200,000 = base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year.) 3 Excludes farms with fewer than 11 employees since 1976. New From BLS SALES PUBLICATIONS BLS Bulletins Consumer Expenditure Survey, 1987. 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