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https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $23 domestic; $28.75 foreign. Single copy $3.50 Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid Laurel, Md. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I — Boston: Anthony J. Ferrara 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III Philadelphia: Alvin /. Margulis 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV — Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881^1418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V Chicago: William £ Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI — Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII — Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming November cover: “ East River,” a 1934 oil painting by Jara Valenta, courtesy National Museum of American Art. Cover design by Melvin Moxley, Division of Audio-Visual Communication Services, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington mia % MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW NOVEMBER 1982 VOLUME 105, NUMBER 11 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor l ib r a r y OEC 1 1982 John E. Bregger 3 Labor force data from cps to undergo revision in January 1983 Bureau statistics will include members of the Armed Forces stationed in the U.S. and will drop classification of workers as ‘blue collar’ or ‘white collar’ Thomas J. Plewes 7 Bureau seeks better measures of service employment The volatility and small size of companies, coupled with nontraditional payroll practices, complicate efforts to develop reliable data on employment, earnings, and hours of work Joyanna Moy 17 Unemployment, labor force trends in 10 industrial nations: update Postwar joblessness reaches 13 percent in Great Britain during the third quarter, with West Germany, France, Canada, and the U.S. also incurring peak unemployment rates Robert W. Van Giezen 22 New look at occupational wages within individual establishments Analysis of wage structures shows that pay differences within a plant or office are generally smaller than those that are recorded in the surveywide average E. E. Murphy, M. McEnearney 29 Import price indexes for crude petroleum On the basis of data reported by companies to the U.S. Department of Energy, the Bureau has developed measures of monthly price change for oil imports REPORTS L Chelte, J. Wright, C. Tausky A. S. Grossman, H. Hayghe M. Dooley, P. Gottschalk https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 33 39 42 Did job satisfaction really drop during the 1970’s? Labor force activity of women receiving child support or alimony Does a younger male labor force mean greater earnings inequality? D EPAR TM EN TS 2 33 37 39 46 47 51 57 Labor month in review Communications Family budgets Research summaries Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review EARNINGS GAP. Commissioner of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood was the opening witness at congressional hearings exploring pay differences be tween women and men. Here are ex cerpts from the commissioner’s testi mony. In 1939, median earnings for women who worked year round, full time were 58 percent of the median earnings for men. Similar figures for 1981, the latest period for which earnings over an entire year are available, show women’s earn ings at 59 percent of the median for men. Over the long term, the ratio has remained relatively unchanged. The Current Population Survey data on weekly earnings show a similar ratio. The most recent figures for the second quarter of this year show median weekly earnings for full-time wage and salary workers were $370 for men and $240 for women, or 65 percent of men’s earnings. Comparable figures 10 years ago were $168 for men and $106 for women, a 63-percent ratio. Educational influence. For women as well as men, more years of schooling usually translate to higher annual earn ings. Median earnings for women college graduates who worked all year at full time jobs were 45 percent more than for women whose formal education ter minated with high school graduation, and 80 percent more than for those who had not completed high school. For men, the proportions were similar. However, at every level of educational achievement, women’s median earnings continued to lag far behind men’s earn ings. On average, whether college graduates or high school dropouts, women earned about 60 cents for every dollar their male counterparts were paid. This 60-percent ratio in the national aggregate data shows a female-male wage gap of about 40 percent. Human capital influence. A large body of “ hum an-capital” research is available. Many of these studies focus Digitized for 2 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on characteristics of individual workers such as age, years of schooling, labor force experience, and so forth. A review of this research by a recent National Academy of Sciences panel shows that in the studies reviewed, worker charac teristics account for at most 44 percent of the female-male earnings gap. These estimates are somewhat sen sitive, of course, to the accuracy with which the characteristics are measured. In particular, years of labor force ex perience are usually approximated by calculating experience as the number of years since the completion of schooling. For persons with interruptions in their work experience—which includes more women than men— experience estimated in this way will be overstated. The measurement of this factor alone has been the subject of a number of studies (not all of which agree with each other) in the past 10 years. Two b l s economists, Wesley Mellow and B. K. Atrostic, have found that, when a different measure more nearly approximating actual work experience is used while holding unchanged other characteristics, the estimated femalemale wage gap is reduced by about 7 percentage points. A fairly consistent finding from many studies of microdata is that the estim ated female wage gap is reduced—but not eliminated—as more economic and demographic factors are introduced into the analysis. Another re cent study by Mellow, for example, estimates the female-male wage gap at 27 percent when the following variables are held constant: area, occupation, in dustry, union, part-tirtie status, and estimated labor force experience. Occupational influence. In addition to the “ human capital” that individual workers bring to their jobs, it is quite evident that earnings are highly corre lated with the occupation and the indus try in which a worker is employed. And we know that working women are far more concentrated in generally low-paying occupations in low-paying industries. Recent c p s median earnings data (for the second quarter of 1982) show that in the female-intensive clerical field, women working full time earned $236 a week, compared with $337 for men. At 70 percent, the current ratio of women’s to men’s median earnings was practically the same as it was 10 years ago. But women clerical workers are far more likely to be in lower paying groups of the occupations, such as secretaries, typists, cashiers, and bookkeepers. The same sort of pattern emerges when we look at both ends of the pay spectrum for men and women. A recent study by b l s demographer Nancy Rytina examines wage and salary earnings in 250 occupations. Seven of the twenty lowest paying occupational groups were the same for both men and women: farm laborers, food service workers, cashiers, waiters and waitresses, cooks, nurses’ aides and orderlies, and bartenders. The female-male earnings ratios in these oc cupations ranged from 72 percent for waiters and waitresses to 92 percent for cashiers. With the exception of farm laborers and bartenders, all of these oc cupations were both female intensive and relatively low paying. When we compare median earnings for the high-paying occupations which men and women hold in common, we find that median earnings of women are substantially less than for men. The pay differences between men and women in [high-paying] occupations tend to be somewhat greater than among men and women in low-paying jobs. The median earnings ratios ranged from 64 percent for personnel and labor relations workers (the greatest difference) to 82 percent among operations and systems analysts (the smallest difference). Commissioner Norwood’s full tes timony appears in b l s Report 673, The Female-Male Earnings Gap: A Review o f Employment and Earnings Issues. Single copies are available without charge from BLS Inquiries and Cor respondence Section, 441 G St. N.W. Washington, D.C. 20212. □ Labor force data from the CPS to undergo revision in January 1983 BLS statistics in 1983 will include members of the Armed Forces stationed in the U.S. and will drop classification of workers as 4blue collar or 4white collar, substituting a new occupational system ’ ’ J o h n E. B r e g g e r Beginning with data for January 1983, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will make changes in presentation, classification, and estimating procedures in labor force data derived from the Current Population Survey ( c p s ). This article reports on the nature of and reasons for the changes. In any economic time series, there is an inevitable conflict between the need for maintaining a consistent data series for historical analysis and the need to intro duce change to reflect new concepts and definitions or improvements in survey operations. It is the practice of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, whenever changes be come necessary, to introduce them with full explana tions, including the reasons for undertaking them and a description of their impact. Moreover, to the maximum extent possible, historical data are revised in order to maintain temporal consistency. The CPS is one of the most valuable sources of eco nomic time series data, having provided essentially con sistent measures of the labor force status of the civilian population for more than 40 years. In addition to ag gregate measures of economic performance, data collect ed and published monthly include a rich array of demographic, occupational, and industrial detail, allow ing for many cross-classifications.1 CPS changes have re sulted from such events as the availability of data from the most recent decennial census; recommendations by John E. Bregger is Chief, Division of Employment and Unemploy ment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis commissions appointed to review the survey and its un derlying concepts; and improvements in such areas as survey design, questionnaire content, and industry or occupational classification systems. The most recent change was the introduction of 1980 census population figures into estimation procedures.2 Several other changes in the CPS are also planned for the 1980’s. Of major significance is a comprehensive re design of the entire sample— a process that occurs after every decennial census— and a possible revision in the CPS questionnaire. In the more immediate future, there are four separate modifications that will become effec tive with January 1983 data. These are: • Persons in the Armed Forces stationed in the United States will be included in the national labor force and employment totals and thus in the base for the over all unemployment rate. • All occupational detail in the c p s will be coded ac cording to the classification system developed for the 1980 decennial census, which evolved from the 1980 Standard Occupational Classification system (soc). • In terms of racial classification, data will be published for the “black” group instead of for the broader “black and other” category. • Revised “first-stage ratio estimates” based on the 1980 Census of Population and Housing will be in troduced into the estimation procedures. These changes affect the data in different ways. The first and third relate to data presentation, the second is 3 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Labor Force Data Revision one of classification, and the last one updates the esti mating procedures. The nature and potential impact of these changes are discussed below. Resident Armed Forces Over a 14-month period during 1978-79, a presidentially appointed, congressionally mandated panel of ex perts convened to examine “procedures, concepts, and methodology involved in employment and unemploy ment statistics and suggesting ways and means of im proving them.”3 Known as the National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statistics, this ninemember panel made many recommendations for im proving the Nation’s labor force statistics (in its final report, Counting the Labor Force).4 One of these recom mendations was to treat members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States as “employed” in nation al statistics, because joining the military was (and still is) voluntary and thus represents a viable job market al ternative.5 This recommendation was subsequently ac cepted by Secretary of Labor Raymond Donovan in his final report on the Commission’s recommendations.6 At present, there are nearly 1.7 million persons in the Armed Forces stationed in the United States, out of a total of 2.2 million. In keeping with the Commission’s recommendation, effective with January 1983 data, they will be included in the totals for labor force and em ployment and thus affect the calculation of the overall unemployment rate as well. Also, separate data for all men and women 16 years and over will include the resi dent Armed Forces counts. Data for all other worker groups, such as for specific age-sex groups and racial detail, will continue to be on a civilian basis only, be cause, although data for the resident Armed Forces to tal and for both sexes are available from the Department of Defense as far back as 1950, there is considerably less information available for individual age groups and by race. Consistency over time will be maintained through revision of historical totals back to 1950 and otherwise by sustaining all civilian data series. In addition to increasing the magnitudes of the labor force and total employment, the addition of the resident Armed Forces will also reduce the overall unemploy ment rate— contrasted with the civilian labor forcebased measure— although by only one- or two-tenths of a percentage point. For example, the 1981 annual aver age unemployment rate will be 7.5 percent, compared with the civilian-based 7.6 rate. The total rate for men will be reduced by one- to three-tenths of a point, depending on rounding, whereas the women’s rate typi cally will be unaffected. New occupational classifications In 1977, following a lengthy period of careful exami nation by many experts in the field of occupational 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis classification, the first edition of a standardized classifi cation system of occupations was introduced.7 Whereas such a system has long existed for industries, this was the first for occupations. Among other things, the Stan dard Occupational Classification (soc) was “designed for use in statistical analysis and presentation about oc cupations,” 8 and it also served to reconcile heretofore diverse classification systems, such as the Census system and Dictionary of Occupational Titles. The SOC was re vised somewhat in 1980, to take into account the com ments of users resulting from the issuance of the 1977 manual and to “assure that the Bureau of the Census could incorporate the changes as part of its tabulation program for the 1980 census.”9 The Census Bureau adapted the SOC for use in the 1980 census. This SOCCensus hybrid represents a comprehensive revamping of the occupational classification system used for prior censuses as well as that currently in the CPS, in that much of the nomenclature and recognizable groupings have been completely revised. Because of the conversion of occupational classifica tion for the 1980 census, it was clear that the revised classification had to be introduced into the CPS as soon as possible, and January 1983 has been chosen as the effective date. The change will be dramatic. Such com monly used identifiers as white-collar and blue-collar and professional and technical, craftworkers, and opera tives will disappear. Moreover, so many classification changes will occur that reconstruction of these group ings will be equally impossible. Thus, there will be no long-term consistent time series for large occupational groupings, and seasonal adjustment cannot be under taken for several years. Exhibit 1 presents old and new occupational titles at the broadest and second broadest aggregations.10 Based on the groupings shown, one might conclude that SOC titles could be combined so as to retain the white-collar and blue-collar categories; but this is not being done for a variety of reasons. For one, although not specifically stated, the framers of the SOC had explicitly intended to finally purge these titles because of the favorable im pression given by “white-collar” versus the more pejo rative notion of “blue-collar.” In reality, some parts of the old clerical and sales occupations were considerably below both of the other white-collar as well as some blue-collar groups— in terms of earnings or prestige. Another misleading aspect of both white- and blue-col lar categories in the present census classification system is the unevenness and largely misunderstood aspects of each; among other things, they are incorrectly assumed by many to exhaust occupational coverage (there are also the service and farm groupings). Finally, while it might appear that the first two categories in the “broad grouping” of the modified SOC correspond to white-col lar and the fourth and fifth to blue-collar, the specific Exhibit 1. A comparison of 1980 decennial census occu pational nomenclature to be used in 1983 with the 1970 census system Conversion to black only data Broadest groupings Pre-1983 New Managerial and professional specialty Technical, sales, and administrative support Service Precision production, craft, and repair Operators, fabricators, and la borers Farming, forestry, and fishing White-collar Blue-collar Service Farm Major occupational groups New Pre-1983 Executive, administrative, and managerial Professional specialty Technicians and related support Sales Administrative support, including clerical Private household Protective service Service, except private household and protective service Precision production, craft, and repair Machine operators, assem blers, and inspectors Transportation and material moving Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers and laborers Farming, forestry, and fishing Professional and technical Managers and administrators, except farm Sales Clerical Craft and kindred Operatives, except transport Transport equipment operatives Nonfarm laborers Private household Other service workers Farmers and farm managers Farm laborers and supervisors content of the various component occupations have been changed so that the data would not match. In an effort to mitigate the inescapable problems that will ensue from introducing a totally new occupational classification system into the CPS, the Census Bureau is coding 20 percent of the monthly records for 1982 on the new system. This will permit a limited crosswalk be tween the two systems through a matrix of the broad groupings shown in exhibit 1. The more desirable ma trix of the present 428 three-digit occupations with the comparable grouping of 503 in the SOC-Census hybrid will not be operationally feasible. BLS will initiate publication of the new occupational data in The Employment Situation press release for Jan uary 1983 and in the February 1983 issue of Employ ment and Earnings-, the latter is also expected to contain a rundown on some of the impacts on CPS occupational data. Whereas comparison of data with the past, to in clude a continuation of trends, will not be possible, it is https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis felt that the vast improvements brought about through the availability of a universal classification system will greatly outweigh these problems as time goes by. Traditionally, racial data have been presented for two groups, “white” and “black and other” (formerly termed “nonwhite”). Historically, blacks have predomi nated the latter category— more than 92 percent of the black and other population in the 1960 census and 89 percent in 1970— such that the “black and other” group was deemed to portray adequately the situation among blacks. But in recent years the population of the “other” group— mostly Asian and Pacific Islanders, American Indians, and Alaskan natives— has been expanding at a greater pace, and, by the 1980 census, the black proportion of the “nonwhite” population had dropped to 85 percent. Moreover, labor market and other characteristics vary considerably by race. For ex ample, in 1981, the annual average unemployment rate for blacks was 15.6 percent, compared with 14.2 per cent for black and other; the other races rate was signif icantly lower. In view o f the lower proportion of blacks within the black and other population, which has resulted in a situation whereby the larger group is now less repre sentative of the status for blacks, it is fitting that the presentation of these statistics be converted to black (only). This has already been accomplished on a limited basis, with the publication of the major employment status categories by age and sex for blacks in The E m ployment Situation press release in 1982. Beginning in 1983, there will be a more comprehensive conversion, as all published tables containing racial data will show “black” instead of “black and other” statistics. The other races classification is too small— and is not con trolled to independent population weights in the estima tion process— to meet reliability standards for publica tion. (Data for the group can be ascertained through subtraction.) Data for blacks are available back to 1972 and can be provided to interested users upon request. At the same time, BLS will retain the capacity to pro duce data for the “black and other” group. Revision of first-stage ratio estimator Information from the decennial population censuses figure prominently in the CPS design and estimating pro cedures. To begin with, the censuses form the basis for the sample design and selection for the ensuing 10 years after the census materials become available. Moreover, the population estimates carried forward from the censuses are used as weights to which the sample esti mates are “blown up” to represent the Nation. As indi cated earlier, the weights based on the 1980 census population figures were introduced into the CPS effective 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Labor Force Data Revision with January 1982 data; technically, this weighting oc curs in what is known as the “second-stage ratio esti m ate” and is done for each of 64 age-sex-race groups making up the population 16 years of age and over. There is also a “first-stage ratio estimate,” which has continued to be based on the 1970 census. Effective with data for January 1983, data from the 1980 census will be used in the development of first-stage ratio esti mates as well.11 The first-stage adjustment concerns that portion of the 629 sample areas that have been chosen to represent other areas not in the sample— the remainder represent themselves. These “nonself-representing” areas are ad justed so as to correct for differences existing at the time of the most recent census between the distribution by race and residence of the population in these areas and the known race-residence distribution in the por tions of the census region or State represented by these areas. The procedure is applied at two geographic lev els: by region — Northeast, North Central, South, and W est— and for each of the 46 States that contain nonsample areas. The regional adjustment is performed by metropolitan-nonmetropolitan residence and race, while the State adjustment is done by urban-rural status and race. The introduction of the 1980 census informa tion for regions and States could well produce a “bump” (break in series) in some of the estimates. The nature and extent of any discontinuity will not be known until the time of the introduction of the revised first-stage factors but will clearly be quite small vis-avis the effect of the 1980 census-based second-stage fac tors.12 Indeed, it is possible that the effects will be limit ed to internal estimations, such as farm-nonfarm and metropolitan-nonmetropolitan data, while not affecting broader totals. Again, any impacts will be described in a special article devoted to the changes being intro duced into the January 1983 CPS, that will appear in the February 1983 issue of Employment and Earnings. I n s u m m a r y , there will be four distinctly separate changes introduced into the 1983 CPS that will affect the data. One change— adding the resident Armed Forces to the statistics— was recommended by the National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Sta tistics, which also acknowledged the necessity for the second change discussed— the revision of all occupa tional data based on the Standard Occupational Classi fication system.13The third change— publishing data for “black” instead of “black and other” workers— relates to data presentation rather than revision but is very im portant in terms of usage. The final change— revising the first-stage ratio estimates— is technical and results from the availability of information from the 1980 de cennial census. All changes are made so as to improve either the basic data or enhance our use and under standing of the data. □ FOOTNOTES 1The primary compendium of monthly, quarterly, and annual data is the BLS publication Employment and Earnings. The explanatory notes section in the back of each issue describes the survey and nature of the data collected. See Kenneth D. Buckley, Jennifer Marks, and Ronald J. Statt, “Revisions in the Current Population Survey Beginning in January 1982,” Employment and Earnings, February 1982, pp. 7-15, and Deb orah Pisetzner Klein, “Labor force data: the impact of the 1980 cen sus,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1982, pp. 39-43. ’ See Section 13, Public Law 94-444, 94th Cong., H.R. 12987, Oct. 1, 1976, reprinted in John E. Bregger, “Establishment of a new Em ployment Statistics Review Commission,“ Monthly Labor Review, March 1977, pp. 14-20. 7U.S. Department of Commerce, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards, Standard Occupational Classification Manual, 1977 (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office). 8 Classification Manual, 1977, p. 3. 5Counting, pp. 49-51. The resident Armed Forces was recommended over the more commonly used figures for the Armed Forces total in order to maintain consistency with the civilian employed, which excludes U.S. residents with jobs in foreign countries. 9U.S. Department of Commerce, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards, Standard Occupational Classification Manual, 1980 (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office). 10 Classification Manual, 1980, p. 10. It should be emphasized that the SOC manual does not itself provide either the 6- or 13-group di chotomies, though a variant of the 6-group is suggested. Indeed, the smallest breakdown presented has 20 civilian categories (see pp. 18-30 in the manual), many of which were formerly in the “professional and technical” category. These groupings were chosen by the BLS and Census Bureau for purposes of clarity in instances where it is not pos sible or desirable to present data at more detailed levels. " The ratio estimation procedures, as developed based on the 1970 census, are described in U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Technical Paper 40, The Current Population Survey— Design and Methodology (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Of fice, 1978), pp. 58-61. See Final Report o f the Secretary of Labor on the Recommendations o f the National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statis tics, transmitted to the Congress in October 1981. 12Buckley and others, Revisions, and Klein, Labor force data. ' National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statis tics, Counting, pp. 113-14. 4 National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statis tics, Counting the Labor Force (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, Labor Day 1979). 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Better measures of service employment goal of Bureau survey redesign The volatility and small size of companies, coupled with nontraditional payroll practices, complicate efforts to develop more reliable data on employment, earnings, and hours of work Thomas J. P lew es The problem of measuring economic activity in the growing service-producing sector of the economy has posed an acute and continuing challenge to those agen cies responsible for providing economic data. The ser vice sector is characterized by diverse activities loosely aggregated under the service-producing classification; by a large number of preponderantly small companies that enter and exit the market with some frequency; and, consequently, by a unique set of problems associated with identification, classification, collection, and estima tion of economic information. This article focuses on the challenges in measuring employment, hours, and earnings in this large and dy namic sector of the economy. First, historical trends in the composition of the industrial employment base are discussed to illustrate both the strong growth of this sector and the reason for concern over the adequacy of measurements. A description of the Bureau of Labor Thomas J. Plewes is Assistant Commissioner for Employment Struc ture and Trends, Bureau of Labor Statistics. This article is based on a report prepared for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s Working Party on Employment and Unemployment Statistics. Mary Kay Rieg of the Review staff provided special editori al assistance. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Statistics’ primary sources of current data on employ ment, hours, and earnings, and their importance in tracking economic developments, sets the stage for ex ploring, in more detail, the sources of measurement problems. Some problems stem from the nature of em ployment practices, from the conduct of the surveys, and from employer recordkeeping procedures; others re late to the relative instability of the small establish ments that characterize the sector. The final section outlines initiatives which have been undertaken by the Bureau to redesign the Current Employment Statistics Survey, the major source of employment and earnings measures by industry, to ensure that firms in the service sector are appropriately represented by the survey, and that survey operations are tailored to the special needs of service-sector employers in order to gain their coop eration in the survey. Why the interest in service employment In the United States, as in other industrialized na tions, the long-term shift from an agricultural, to a goods-producing, to a service-producing economic base has emerged. The strength and pervasiveness of this trend, which has particularly accelerated over the last two decades, has been extensively documented else7 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Measuring Service Employment where.1 Nonetheless, some of the highlights of this evo lution are quite significant and worth stressing: • Since 1920, the service-producing share of nonagricultural employment has gone from 53 percent to 72 percent. Two divisions showed significant growth — the service industries and government. (See table 1.) • This evolutionary shift in the industrial complexion accelerated during the Great Depression, dampened as the Nation turned to hard-goods production dur ing World War II, but has resumed a steady pace since the mid-1940’s. • Over the past two decades, some 86 percent of job growth in the economy has occurred in the serviceproducing sector. By m id-1982, this sector provided 74 percent of all jobs, up from 62 percent in 1960. • During recessionary periods, the service-producing sector has shown remarkable resilience while the goods sector has borne the brunt of the economic de clines. This relative immunity from downturn has also been evidenced in the most recent recessionary period.2 • The shift from a goods to a service economy repre sents changes in the U.S. economy of historic propor tions. It has been influenced by such factors as the increase in demand for consumer services previously produced outside the measured market economy, the increase in the demand for leisure goods, shifts from internal to external sources for business services (such as marketing, accounting, and the like), and the changing nature of international trade. In turn, the shift has had a pronounced influence on the character of the labor force, particularly in opening opportuni ties for women. Over the past two decades, women’s share of service-producing employment has expanded from 40 to 50 percent, accounting for 65 percent of the employment expansion in the sector. Review of data sources The Bureau of Labor Statistics maintains three pri mary sources of data on employment, hours, and earn ings in the service sector. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses. The establishment survey. The Current Employment Sta tistics Survey, commonly referred to as the establish ment survey, collects payroll data from nonagricultural employers for the pay period including the 12th of each month. The survey, conducted by mail, obtains summa ry data on total numbers of employees, including wom en workers and production or nonsupervisory workers. In addition, summary data on the payroll and hours (paid for) of production or nonsupervisory workers are collected in order to compute average hourly earnings, and average weekly hours and earnings. Overtime hours data are collected for production workers in manufac 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Employment composition of goods- and serviceproducing sectors, 1920 and 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Divisions Percent distribution 1981 employment 1920 1981 Nonfarm economy.................. 91,543 100.0 100.0 Goods-producing sector............... Mining ............................... Construction.......................... Manufacturing........................ 25,672 1,104 4,307 20,261 46.7 4.5 3.2 39.0 28.0 1.2 4.7 22.1 Service-producing sector............. Transportation and public utilities Trade ................................... Wholesale.......................... Retail ............................... Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................... Servces............................... Government .......................... Federal............................. State and local .................. 65,871 5,151 20,738 5,343 15,395 53.3 14.6 16.3 72.0 5.6 22.7 5.8 16.8 5,331 18,598 16,054 2,772 13,282 4.3 8.6 9.5 — — — ~ 5.8 20.3 17.6 3.0 14.5 turing. Employer participation in the survey is volun tary. The establishment survey is conducted as a coop erative Federal-State program with State Employment Security Agencies collecting most of the data. The em ployer’s microdata can thus be used by the States to prepare local estimates (currently available for 50 States and more than 200 Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas) and, at the same time, by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to prepare national estimates. Duplication of data collection at the Federal and local levels is avoided through this cooperative arrangement. The establishment survey is the largest monthly sur vey in the field of economic statistics, with an active sample of 180,000 establishments reporting data cover ing about 35 percent of total nonagricultural employ ment in the United States. Data are published for more than 500 separate industries at the national level, and in varying degrees of industry detail at the State and Stan dard Metropolitan Statistical Area levels. The survey provides monthly measures of total employment and numbers of women and nonsupervisory workers for 155 service-producing industries at the national level. This represents 30 percent of the 567 service-producing in dustries designated in the U.S. Office of Management and Budget’s 1972 Standard Industrial Classification System. Estimates of average weekly earnings, average weekly hours, and average hourly earnings are produced for nonsupervisory workers in most of these industries. The data collected in the Bureau’s monthly survey of employment, hours, and earnings have served as a pri mary source for tracking the growth of the service-pro ducing sector. Thus, in and of themselves, these data are called upon to portray trends with accuracy and timeliness as a basis for economic decisionmaking. However, the data have critical secondary uses which also fuel the demand for reliable reporting and accurate measurement of employment, hours, and earnings in the service sector. Within the Bureau, for example, the data have the following major uses: • In productivity measurement Monthly total hours by industry detail and production-worker employment data are key inputs to productivity measurement and the quarterly productivity estimates. The annual em ployment and hours data for detailed industries are used for developing labor inputs for measures of out put per employee hour. • In occupational employment projections: National em ployment data by industry detail are projected forward and occupational staffing patterns of the in dustries are applied to those projected industry levels to produce projected occupational patterns. • In economic growth studies: A key input into the bls economic growth model is annual employment data by detailed industry. • In development o f subnational unemployment statistics: The monthly employment data are used both by the bls and the State agencies as the source of employ ment data for those subnational areas for which the household survey, discussed below, fails to provide reliable estimates. Currently, the unemployment rates for 40 States and about 200 areas are computed using these survey results as a key input. • In occupational health and safety statistics: Detailed annual industry employment levels are used for com puting total injury rates, with actual injury experi ence based on an annual survey and administrative records. Other Federal agencies also use the service sector data extensively: • In personal income and gross national product estima tion-. The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis uses the monthly employment and earnings series as a key input for estimating the wage component of these economic measures. • In management o f trade policy: Detailed industry em ployment trends are used to determine job loss asso ciated with increased imports. In addition to these critical, continuing government uses of the data, the private and public sectors also rely on the survey results for: marketing studies; economic research and planning; government funding and policy analysis; regional analysis; industry studies; plant loca tion planning; wage negotiations; and adjustment of la bor costs in escalation of long-term contracts. The Current Population Survey. This monthly survey collects data on employment status directly from indi https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis viduals in households and provides information on the demographic, occupational, and other characteristics of the employed, the unemployed, and persons not in the labor force. The household survey is conducted by the Bureau of the Census each month for b l s , providing data for the Nation and the 10 largest States. Each month, 60,000 housing units are eligible for in terview, by personal visit or by telephone. Information is gathered on the personal characteristics of all mem bers of the household 16 years of age and over and on their labor force status during the survey week (week including the 12th of the month). This makes possible detailed tabulation and publication of labor force data by demographic characteristics. The results of the establishment and household sur veys are published and analyzed together each month, 3 weeks after the survey reference week. Estimates from both surveys generally show the same trends in employ ment. By publishing the results of both surveys togeth er, the current analysis of the Nation’s employment situation is greatly enhanced, with the household survey providing demographic detail and the establishment survey providing industry detail. Each month, the household survey provides employ ment, unemployment, and labor force data for nine serv ice-producing industries. The emphasis of the monthly data is to provide the basic types of estimates on labor force status by an extensive array of demographic char acteristics. On an annual basis, employment data from the household survey are published for 116 service-pro ducing industries along with the percentages of employed women and members of racial minorities. Administrative establishment files. Unemployment insur ance (ui) laws administered by State Employment Secu rity Agencies cover almost every employer unit. The States require each unit (establishment) to provide a quarterly report on employment and wages of its work force and to pay a tax into the unemployment trust fund. As a byproduct of this administrative reporting system, and the Federal-State cooperative relationship, BLS obtains from each State a virtual census of estab lishments, and their employment and wages, on a quar terly basis. By assigning industry and location (county) codes to each establishment’s record, the employment and wage data can be summarized by size-of-employment class, within industry and county, and through successive aggregations, to Standard Metropolitan Sta tistical Area, State, regional, and national totals. What these data lack in timeliness, they make up for in comprehensiveness. Because of the large number of UI reporting units (4.5 million), coupled with the lag in the required payment of taxes, and associated data en try, correction, and tabulation workloads, the Ui data are generally not available in summary form until 6 to 9 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Measuring Service Employment months after the end of each quarter. Nevertheless, be cause of the comprehensive nature of the data and the potential for dissaggregation to complete industry and county detail, this data base is extremely important. It serves as the foundation of the establishment survey— first, as the sample frame from which States solicit sur vey respondents and second, as a benchmark to adjust national and subnational employment levels annually. Because the Ul data represent nearly a universe of wage and salary workers in nonagricultural industries, employment (for each month of the quarter), number of reporting units, and total quarterly wages can be tabu lated for each quarter and presented in complete indus try detail (567 industries in the service-producing sector) at all levels of geographic aggregation from the county (3,100) level up to national totals. The industry statistics can be tabulated by size of firm and type of ownership (private, and Federal, State, and local govern ment) as well. The only limit to disaggregation of the Ul data base is the requirement that confidentiality be pro vided for any reporting unit. Therefore, publication rules to prevent disclosure are rigorously adhered to. While the focus of the analysis in this article is pri marily on measures of employment, hours, and earnings on a current basis in industry detail, it is the availability of the U l administrative record of all employing units in the N ation— tracking their birth, growth, and demise— that provides us with the information to both design the Current Employment Statistics Survey and to adjust that design as the nature of the economy changes. Very little nonagricultural wage and salary employment es capes coverage under the U l laws. Of almost equal im portance, the U l reporting system is able to identify establishment deaths and purge the appropriate records from the files on a timely basis. Measurement problems The unique measurement problems of the service-pro ducing sector stem both from the nature of the estab lishments and from the types of survey operations used to gather data in the Current Employment Statistics program. As previously indicated, the industry statistics on employment, hours, and earnings are gathered monthly on a voluntary basis, using a mail question naire to obtain data from establishment payroll records. Sampling difficulties. For a variety of reasons, the one characteristic of an establishment that appears to be most telling of its likelihood to voluntarily respond in a government survey is its size, in terms of the number of employees on the payroll. As a consequence* experience has shown that it is more difficult to implement optimal sample designs, which require certain response rates, in those industries which are characterized by small firms. Small firms predominate in many of the industry divi 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis sions in the service sector, as shown by the distribution of the survey’s sample by size of establishment and sample coverage by industry division in table 2. With the exception of government, portions of transportation and public utilities, and a few individual service indus try groupings, such as banks and hospitals, the sample in the service sector falls short of representation in the smallest size categories. Historically, this has been more of a problem in the service-producing sector than in the goods-producing sector. The reasons are shown in table 3, which arrays total employment by size class for these sectors. Using 250 employees as a cutoff point to distinguish between small and large employers, employment in the goodsproducing sector was split 49 to 51 percent in 1980. In the service-producing industries, the split between small and large was 70 to 30 percent, reflecting the greater preponderance of small employers. Data from the Ul administrative data base, shown in table 4, provides fur ther evidence of the concentration of employment in the smaller firm classes in selected service industries. Employment practices. The establishment survey of em ployment, hours, and earnings currently is designed to portray the level of and change in activity in establish ments which have fairly traditional employment prac tices. The assumptions incorporated into the survey design and estimation procedures include a relatively stable work force that expands or contracts with the pace of economic activity in the short term, and with technological innovations in the long term; a normal pattern of regular hours and overtime payment that ex pands or contracts in the short term with the level of economic activity; and a standard work force composi tion which assumes that the worker has some perma nent attachment to the employing establishment. Analysis of the employment practices of service industries indicates a number of departures from traditional employment practices. For example, statis tics on labor turnover rates by industry indicate that turnover is highest among those industries that are characterized by a preponderance of small firms with relatively large numbers of easy entry, low-skill occupa tions. According to a 1980 study by Malcolm Cohen and Arthur Schwartz, the service-producing industries with the highest labor turnover rates were: automotive dealers and service stations; automotive repair, services, and garages; water transportation; real estate; business services; motion pictures; hotels and other lodging places; amusement and recreation services; and eating and drinking places.3 These industries rank among the lowest in terms of average earnings, which is consistent with their high proportions of low-skill jobs. Average weekly hours have generally been declining for these industries for many years, and are very low relative to those in most other industries. This largely reflects a growing practice of part-time employment in these industries. Data from the household survey, shown in table 5, provide direct evidence of the dramat ic growth in part-time employment in many of the serv ice-producing industry divisions relative to the goodsproducing divisions. (In the household survey, a person is counted as part time if he or she normally works less than 35 hours.) The proportion of part-time workers in the goods-producing industries has hardly changed over time, averaging a low 4.5 percent in 1981. In contrast, the proportion of part-time workers has increased for almost all of the service-producing industries, and aver aged 20.7 percent in 1981. The highest rates are in retail trade (36.0 percent), personal services (27.2 percent), entertainment and recreation services (35.0 percent), and medical, except hospital, services (26.1 percent). Generally, the characteristics of high labor turnover, low earnings, low skill requirements, and high propor tions of part-time workers seem to depict a rather loose or casual bond between the employer and employee in the service sector. This loose bond, in turn, contributes to deviations from traditional payroll practices which are assumed in survey definitions, and undoubtedly Table 2. Distribution of the Current Employment Statistics sample by employment size of establishment, and sample coverage by division, March 1980 [Employment in thousands] _________________________ __________ ________________ ____________________________ __ E s t a b lis h m e n t e m p lo y m e n t s iz e It e m T o ta l Under 10 1000 10 20 50 100 250 500 to to to to to to and 19 49 99 249 499 999 over 4,529,799 3,400,161 10,323 89,718 11.5 100.0 514,257 7,103 7.9 356,138 11,054 12.3 131,762 9,250 10.3 80,161 12,392 13.8 26,421 9,306 10.4 12,378 8,677 9.7 8,521 21,613 24.1 24,103 123 .4 1.2 24,272 345 1.0 4.9 40,008 1,289 3.8 11.7 27,395 1,939 5.8 21.0 26,528 4,153 12.4 33.5 11,937 4,174 12.5 44.9 6,459 4,493 13.4 51.8 5,628 16,986 50.7 78.6 4,350,562 3,303,179 10,000 73,185 13.6 100.0 491,885 6,787 9.3 332,805 10,296 14.1 118,763 8,310 11.4 68,369 10,488 14.3 20,823 7,281 9.9 9,015 6,262 8.6 5,723 13,761 18.8 147,973 23,536 100.0 32.2 22,101 114 .5 1.1 23,178 329 1.4 4.8 37,472 1,205 5.1 11.7 24,871 1,756 7.5 21.1 22,616 3,511 14.9 33.5 9,387 3,271 13.9 44.9 4,705 3,268 13.9 52.2 3,643 10,082 42.8 73.3 31,388 990 100.0 19,531 58 5.9 4,629 64 6.5 4,020 123 12.4 1,505 103 10.4 1,060 164 16.6 325 113 11.4 193 132 13.3 125 233 23.5 2,123 369 100.0 37.3 308 2 .5 3.4 346 5 1.4 7.8 505 16 4.3 13.0 310 21 5.7 20.4 322 51 13.8 31.1 167 58 15.7 51.3 92 63 17.1 47.7 73 153 41.5 65.7 48,148 440,087 644 1,063 , 15.8 26.0 27,890 829 20.3 7,663 519 12.7 3,181 468 11.5 663 225 5.5 170 116 2.8 90 223 5.4 T o ta l n o n fa rm e c o n o m y ' Universe: CES sample: 166,330 33,502 100.0 37.3 P r iv a t e s e c t o r ' Universe: CES sample: Employment ............................................................................................. M in in g Universe: CES sample: C o n s t r u c t io n Universe: 527,892 4,087 100.0 CES sample: 16,101 739 100.0 18.1 4,307 20 2.7 1.9 3,558 50 6.8 7.8 4,687 147 19.9 17.7 2,112 146 19.7 28.1 1,114 164 22.2 35.0 222 78 10.6 34.7 71 48 6.5 41.4 30 86 11.6 38.6 322,994 20,722 100.0 158,164 576 2.7 54,585 752 3.6 54,842 1,712 8.3 27,491 1,920 9.3 22,480 3,490 16.8 8,928 3,104 15.0 3,979 2,725 13.2 2,525 6,443 31.1 44,205 11,175 100.0 53.9 2,410 13 .1 2.3 3,764 55 .5 7.3 9,272 309 2.8 18.0 8,645 620 5.5 32.3 10,585 1,684 15.1 48.3 5,122 1,792 16.0 57.7 2,563 1,772 15.9 65.0 1,844 4,930 44.1 76.5 M a n u f a c t u r in g Universe: CES sample: Percent sample coverage............................................................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Measuring Service Employment Table 2. Continued— Distribution of the Current Employment Statistics sample by employment size of establishment, and sample coverage by division, March 1980 [Employment in thousands] E s t a b lis h m e n t e m p lo y m e n t s iz e It e m T o ta l Under 10 10 20 50 100 250 500 to to to to to to and 19 49 99 249 499 999 over 1000 T r a n s p o r ta tio n 1 Universe: Establishments.................. Employment .......................... Percent employment distribution .......................... CES sample: Establishments........................ Employment .......................................... Percent employment distribution ...................... Percent sample coverage...................... 171,646 4,592 100.0 118,449 355 7.7 22,892 312 6.8 17,525 531 11.6 6,588 453 9.9 3,945 602 13.1 1,196 416 9.1 562 387 84 489 1 536 33 4 7,611 2,623 100.0 57.1 884 5 .2 1.4 1,046 15 .6 4.8 1,966 64 2.4 12.1 1,375 97 3.7 21.4 1,179 183 7.0 30.4 473 166 6.3 39.9 284 198 7.5 51.2 404 1 895 72 2 123.42 1,553,714 1,143,202 20,068 3,733 100.0 18.6 210,164 2,827 14.1 136,434 4,104 20.4 40,685 2,746 13.7 16,951 2,490 12.4 3,917 1,332 6.6 1,565 1 054 53 796 1 782 89 T ra d e Universe: Establishments.......................... Employment .......................... Percent employment distribution .......................... CES sample: Establishment ............................ Employment .......................... Percent employment distribution ........................ Percent sample coverage...................... 41,147 3,288 100.0 16.4 7,630 42 1.3 1.1 8,872 125 3.8 4.4 12,463 392 11.9 9.6 6,091 421 12.8 15.3 3,996 596 18.1 23.9 1,246 428 13.0 32.1 494 338 10.3 32.1 355 946 28 8 53.1 387,292 5,090 100.0 319,337 808 15.9 30,111 413 8.1 22,226 691 13.6 8,380 590 11.6 4,858 748 14.7 1,412 498 9.8 590 417 82 378 925 18 1 11,241 1,826 100.0 35.9 1,671 8 .4 1.0 1,499 21 1.2 5.1 2,699 89 4.9 12.9 2,102 150 8.2 25.4 1,874 290 15.9 38.8 715 247 13.5 49.6 396 281 15.4 67.4 285 740 40 5 80.0 1,345,636 1,104,409 17,636 3,407 100.0 19.3 121,356 1,775 10.1 69,868 2,306 13.1 26,451 1,979 11.2 15,894 2,526 14.3 4,382 1,593 9.0 1,956 1,431 81 1,320 2619 149 F in a n c e Universe: Establishments............................. Employment ....................................... Percent employment distribution ...................... CES sample: Establishments....................................... Employment ............................... Percent employment distribution .................... Percent sample coverage........................ S e r v ic e s Universe: Establishments................................. Employment ............................ Percent employment distribution .................. CES sample: Establishments....................................... Employment ................................... Percent employment distribution ............................. Percent sample coverage............................... 25,545 2,516 100.0 19.9 4,891 24 .7 .7 4,093 58 1.6 3.3 5,880 188 5.3 8.2 4,236 301 8.6 15.2 3,546 543 15.4 21.5 1,442 502 14.3 31.5 805 568 16.2 39.7 652 1 332 37 9 50.9 179,237 16,533 100.0 96,982 323 2.0 22,372 316 1.9 23,333 758 4.6 12,999 940 5.7 11,792 1,904 11.5 5,598 2,025 12.2 3,363 2415 146 2,798 7 852 47 5 18,357 9,966 100.0 60.3 2,002 9 .1 2.8 1,094 16 .2 5.1 2,536 84 .8 11.1 2,524 183 1.8 19.5 3,912 642 6.4 33.7 2,550 903 9.1 44.6 1,754 1 225 12 3 50.7 1,985 6 904 69 3 87.9 G o v e rn m e n t Universe: Establishments.................... Employment ...................... Percent employment distribution ......... CES sample: Establishments................................. Employment ..................................... Percent employment distribution ...................... Percent sample coverage............................... 1Excludes railroads. sample total in large size class includes combined units of telephone companies reporting io öL£> unaer special arrangements. adds to the difficulties that employers have in re porting in government surveys. Data collection problems. In the final analysis, the kind of data that might be obtained in a survey operation is constrained by the amount of information that the re spondent has at ready access. This is certainly the case with the establishment survey of employment, hours, and earnings, which has historically been keyed to the type of information readily available from the payroll 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note: Because of rounding, sums of indivie ual items mav not eoua totals. Data are classitied according to the U.S. Office of Management and Budget’s 1972 Standard Industrial Classif¡cation system. records of responding firms. The experience of the Bu reau and the cooperating State agencies is that estab lishments will report, under our strict pledges of confidentiality, information that would normally be considered privileged and proprietary, but only if it is conveniently and readily accessible. If the information request goes much beyond the normal recordkeeping practices of the firm, both overall response rates and re sponses to particular data items will suffer. As a part of an overall review of the establishment payroll survey, BLS conducted two interview surveys with employers during 1981. The first sought to deter mine what data elements are readily available from em ployer payroll records on a monthly basis, while the second concerned itself with the reasons why employers are unable or reluctant to provide the requested data. The majority of respondents indicated that the infor mation requested each month was readily available. However, the proportion of manufacturing respondents who had easy access to such records was higher than the proportion of service respondents. This shows up in a rather significant difference between the service and manufacturing employers regarding their willingness to cooperate with the survey. For example, 45 percent of service-industry employers cited lack of time or re sources to complete the BLS 790 survey form, compared with 19 percent of manufacturing employers. The BLS 790 questionnaire requests a count of nonsupervisory workers, together with their payroll and paid hours. The interviews revealed that 31 percent of the service-industry employers who are reporting monthly information to BLS do not differentiate between supervisory and nonsupervisory workers in their payroll records. Because many of these establishments are small, the respondents are able and willing to make the necessary adjustments for BLS. However, 64 percent of employers who refused to cooperate in the survey claimed that they maintain only one payroll figure for all their employees and are unable to provide the re quested nonsupervisory breakouts. Another problem encountered in the interviews was that a significant proportion— 19 percent— of service industry employers use an outside accounting service for preparing payrolls and payroll summaries, while only 5 percent of manufacturing employers do so. The accounting services generally handle only mandatory government reports for their clients, and this would have a negative impact on responses to a voluntary questionnaire like the BLS 790. Table 3. Distribution of employment by establishment size class, and sector, 1980 [Employment in thousands] S iz e P r iv a t e n o n f a r m G o o d s - p r o d u c in g S e r v ic e - p r o d u c in g s e c to r s e c to r s e c to r c la s s E m p lo y m e n t to ta l P e rc e n t o f P e rc e n t o f P e rc e n t o f E m p lo y m e n t to ta l E m p lo y m e n t to ta l Total . 72,249.8 100 26,041.6 100 46,208.2 100 0-3 . . . . 4-9 . . . . 10-19 . . 20-49 . . 50-99 . . 100-249 250-499 500-999 1000+ . 3,278.9 6,493.7 6,604.7 10,100.8 8,196.1 10,392.2 7,225.4 6,234.3 13,723.7 5 9 9 14 11 14 10 9 19 515.2 1,190.7 1,469.4 2,687.4 2,571.6 4,172.1 3,483.6 2,999.0 6,952.6 2 5 6 10 10 16 13 11 27 2,763.7 5,303.0 5,135.3 7,413.4 5,624.5 6,220.1 3,741.8 3,235.3 6,771.1 6 12 11 16 12 13 8 2 15 Note: Based on coverage under State Unemployment Insurance Laws. Excludes rail roads, some nonprofit Institutions, and commission Insurance salesworkers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Selected service industries with large concentrations of small establishments, 1980 P e r c e n t a g e o f e m p lo y m e n t in f ir m s w it h — In d u s t r y T o ta l e m p lo y m e n t Gasoline service stations........... Eating and drinking places ........... Real estate agents ........... Laundry, cleaning, and garment services ......... Beauty shops . . . . Automotive repair shops ............. Offices of physicians....... Offices of dentists........... Under 10 to 50 to M o re 10 49 249 th a n 2 5 0 w o rk e rs w o rk e rs w o rk e rs w o rk e rs 554,000 53 29 14 4 4,481,000 14 42 28 16 344,000 40 30 24 6 356,000 284,000 28 64 36 27 30 7 6 2 351,000 62 33 4 1 739,000 56 31 9 4 336,000 80 18 1 1 In sum, many of the reservations voiced by respond ents to the interview surveys related to the fact that small establishments, already burdened with mandatory government reporting, simply are unable or unwilling to add to their paperwork by filling out voluntary survey forms. Some large service-industry employers which might otherwise be willing to cooperate— such as hos pitals or schools— frequently do not maintain records according to BLS definitions, and thus are unable to re port the requested information. New business formations. In the establishment survey, the direct measurement of employment growth due to new business formations is exceedingly difficult. The lead time necessary to prepare the universe listing of es tablishments from which to select new sample respond ents practically assures that any new business establish ment will be several months old before it has a chance of being in the sample. In most instances, the new busi ness will have completed its initial hiring before it be comes a sample member. Once the new establishment is a sample member and has reported for 2 consecutive months, its month-to-month employment change will contribute to the calculation of the “link relative” that is applied to the previous m onth’s employment estimate to derive the current m onth’s estimate. The problem is that the initial hiring that occurred before the new busi ness became a sample member is never reflected in the “link relative” calculation. The inability to properly measure employment growth from business births creates a downward bias in the employment estimates, which accumulates each suc cessive month after the most recent benchmark to em ployment levels from the ui administrative data base. The extent of the bias is directly proportional to the contribution of business births to the employment in a given industry. In industries characterized by large employers, new entries are very rare and therefore contribute little if 13 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Measuring Service Employment T a b le 5. P e rc e n ta g e o f p a rt-tim e w o r k e r s 1 b y in d u s try , s e le c te d y e a rs Industry 1962 1972 Total goods producing......................................... 4.4 2.1 4.5 Mining........................................................... Construction .................................................. Manufacturing................................................ 3.6 5.8 4.1 1.4 5.2 1.4 2.3 7.1 4.0 Total service producing ....................................... 14.3 17.2 20.7 Transportation and public utilities ...................... Trade ........................................................... Wholesale.................................................. Retail ........................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate.................... Miscellaneous services ................................... Business and repair..................................... Personal .................................................... Entertainment and recreation ........................ Medical, except hospital ............................... Hospitals.................................................... Welfare and religious................................... Education .................................................. Other professional ....................................... Forestry and fisheries................................... Public administration ....................................... 4.6 19.7 6.6 23.2 9.3 17.3 11.7 18.6 34.7 (2) (2) (2) 18.4 15.4 4.9 5.1 6.6 23.2 6.5 27.3 9.1 19.9 14.9 26.7 36.8 19.4 14.7 22.0 22.1 1 2.7 5.9 6.2 8.0 30.1 6.7 36.0 11.0 22.0 16.7 27.2 35.0 26.1 16.2 26.1 24.8 14.0 8.9 6.6 1981 1Voluntary part-time workers, plus workers on part time for economic reasons who usually work part time. 2Data not available. anything to employment trends. Many of the serviceproducing industries, however, are characterized by small employers, with large numbers of business births and deaths. While the deaths are measured by the es tablishment survey, the births are not, and an adjust ment to the sample trend must be made each month to correct for the bias. These “birth bias” adjustment fac tors may account for a large part of the estimated long term employment growth of many of the service-pro ducing industries. The calculation of birth bias adjustment factors is straightforward. For each of the most recent 3 years, the employment estimate derived from the sample link relatives (with no bias adjustment) is compared to the benchmark level. An adjustment factor is then calculat ed so that its application each month thereafter will cu mulatively add to the average amount that the three previous benchmarks were underestimated. For exam ple, if the sample-derived employment estimate for an industry was lower than the employment benchmarks by 1.6, 0.8, and 1.2 percentage points for the most re cent 3 years, the average downward bias is 1.2 percent. A factor of 1.0010 will then be applied to the link rela tive for each of the next 12 months so as to adjust by 1.2 percent over the year. Because of the availability of annual benchmark em ployment levels, it is possible to measure the extent of the bias for each industry over time. We have observed that the contribution of the bias can change at different stages of the business cycle. The bias also has seasonal swings in certain industries, and can be sensitive to 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shocks to the economy, such as the 1973-74 oil embar go and the abnormally high interest rates of recent years. However, despite an ability to identify bias, the Bureau has not been able to develop procedures to finetune the bias adjustments on a current basis except in the construction division, which behaves with somewhat more predictability over the business cycle. Redesigning the establishment survey A review of the published output of the establishment survey as it is currently designed and operating puts into perspective the structural problem with the survey. As indicated in table 6, only 30.4 percent of the published industries are service producing, although 72.0 percent of the Nation’s jobs are in these industries. A large part of this disparity arises because the Stand ard Industrial Classification system provides for more detail on goods-producing industries than on serviceproducing. In addition to the problem of the coding structure, however, the establishment survey has been unable to produce data of publishable quality for much of the serv ice-producing area because of the difficulty in obtaining employer responses and maintaining regular month-tomonth reporting for a sufficiently large and representa tive sample in many of the component industries. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is now launching a major re design of the survey which will deal directly with the problems that have prevented us from providing more reliable employment, hours, and earnings data for speci fic service-producing industries. The sample frame. Because the Ul administrative data base is unique in providing universal coverage of em ployers, we plan to continue and strengthen the link be tween the establishment survey and the administrative Table 6. Distribution of industries by sector, according to SIC coding structure and as published by BLS 1 9 7 2 S IC s t r u c t u r e D iv is io n s P u b lis h e d b y B L S N um ber of P e rc e n t N um ber of in d u s t r ie s d is t r ib u t io n in d u s t r ie s Total nonagriculture......... 1230 100.0 510 100.0 41.5 Goods producing......... Mining.................... Construction............. Manufacturing ......... 663 58 36 569 53.9 4.7 2.9 46.3 353 13 15 324 69.2 2.5 2.9 63.5 53.2 22.4 41.7 56.9 Service producing ....... Transportation and public utilities ....... Wholesale trade....... Retail trade ............. Finance, insurance, and real estate........... Services ................. Government............. 567 46.1 155 30.4 27.3 98 80 82 8.0 6.5 6.7 24 20 33 4.7 3.9 6.5 24.5 25.0 40.2 95 174 38 7.7 14.1 3.1 19 35 23 3.7 6.9 4.5 20.0 20.1 60.5 P e rc e n t P e rc e n t d is t r ib u t io n p u b lis h e d data base. Initially, for example, testing of alternative sample designs will be done by retrospective cross tabu lation of employer data from the Ul files. In this man ner, we can evaluate the representativeness of various designs for estimating employment and wages by indus try without having to collect additional data. We also plan to review carefully the completeness of the Ul data base by comparisons with other listings of employers, such as the Census Bureau’s Standard Statis tical Establishment List and the files maintained by Dun and Bradstreet as part of its credit rating opera tions. And, particularly because of the volatile nature of many of the small establishments in the service sector, we want to review and document the procedures used by the State Employment Security Agencies for process ing establishment births and deaths. Bias adjustment. As part of the redesign effort, we will attempt to reduce the amount of bias adjustment for es tablishment births required in the employment esti mates. This will be accomplished through additional stratification of the estimating cell structure. In addi tion, we will be reviewing potential sources of new-firm data and testing the use of such information in our esti mation system. We know that new business formations and their impact on current employment trends vary significantly during a business cycle for many industries. Further work will be done to document this and to ar rive at an appropriate means of varying the bias adjust ment factors on a current basis according to the stage of the cycle. Examination o f seasonality. Seasonal adjustment of the establishment data is performed annually using the X-11 ARIMA model. The model options for projecting the data series 1 year ahead were used for the first time in 1981. Each year, the seasonal adjustment is updated at the time the establishment series are adjusted to new benchmark levels, usually in July. Additional research will be undertaken as part of the redesign to test various x-11 options for making better seasonal adjustments for industries that are periodically affected by strikes, product model changeover, holidays, and so forth. We will also try to determine whether the seasonal adjustment should be updated every 6 months rather than annually. Data collection techniques. Because we know that our traditional method of solicitation and collection of data by mail does not provide sufficient sample representa tion in many of the service-producing industries, we will be experimenting with other means of obtaining em ployer cooperation and collecting monthly data. Our https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis goal is to arrive at the least costly mix of mail, tele phone, and personal visit to satisfy our sample design. Estimation process. In recent years, research by David Birch of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and others has indicated that it is the small, young, volatile service-producing firms that are responsible for nearly all of the net creation of new employment opportuni ties.4 Unfortunately, these are the firms which are least likely to be adequately represented in the establishment survey as now designed. We plan to test additional size and regional stratification of our sample to improve our employment estimates for industries with large propor tions of such firms; heretofore, extensions of the sample stratification system were generally intended to improve estimates of hours and earnings, rather than employ ment. Hours and earnings estimation. Because of the changing mix of full- and part-time workers in many service-pro ducing industries, coupled with problems in defining a “nonsupervisory worker,” we plan to test several alter native hours and earnings measures. We hope to dem onstrate an ability to collect an “all-employee” earnings measure that can be benchmarked annually to the wage data from the Ul administrative data base. To obtain better and more meaningful hours measures, we will try to collect information separately for “permanent,” ver sus “all other,” employees. The relationship between hours worked and hours paid, which is especially im portant for the construction of the Bureau’s productivi ty measures, will also be studied.5 I n v ie w o f b o t h the increasing importance of the service-producing sector and the shortcomings in the current statistical measurement system, improvement in the data for this sector takes on a very high priority in the Bureau’s plans for survey modernization. Such im provement, however, constitutes a formidable challenge, given the preponderance of hard-to-measure smaller es tablishments and the attendant reporting difficulties. The path to improvement is threefold: a fine-tuning of the data collection process to ease the response bur den and extend coverage; a reconsideration of the sam ple design in order to better focus survey coverage; and a review and extension of procedures for generating esti mates based on the survey responses. The initial re search on improving data collection is complete, while development of sample design and estimating proce dures continues. Over the next 3 years, as resources per mit, the findings of the initial research will be evaluated and, if cost-effective, will be integrated into the survey operations. D 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Measuring Service Employment FOOTNOTES A cknowledgment: The author expresses his appreciation to John T. Tucker and Edward S. Sekscenski, economists in the Office of Em ployment Structure and Trends, who contributed to the OECD report from which this article is abstracted. Copies of the OECD report are available on request. Among the several sources that extensively document the shift from goods- to service-producing are: Victor R. Fuchs, The Service Economy (New York, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1968); Harley L. Browning and Joachim Singelman, The Emergence o f a Serv ice Society: Demographic and Sociological Aspects of the Sectoral Trans formation o f the Labor Force in the U.S.A. (Population Research Cen ter, University of Texas at Austin, 1975); Thomas M. Stanback, Jr., Understanding the Service Economy: Employment, Productivity, Loca tion (Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1979); Eli Ginsberg and George J. Vojta, “The Service Sector in the U.S. Economy,” 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Scientific American, March 1981, pp. 48-55; and Michael A. Urquhart, “The services industry: is it recession proof?” Monthly Labor Review, October 1981, pp. 12-18. 2 Marillyn A. Hewson and Michael A. Urquhart, “The Nation’s employment situation worsens in the first half of 1982,” Monthly La bor Review, August 1982, pp. 3-12. Malcolm S. Cohen and Arthur R. Schwartz, “U.S. labor turnover: analysis of a new measure,” Monthly Labor Review, November 1980, pp. 9-13. A review of the work by David Birch and others appears in Rich ard Greene, “Tracking job growth in private industry,” Monthly La bor Review, September 1982, pp. 3-9. ' For a more complete discussion of this issue, see Jerome A. Mark, “Measuring productivity in service industries,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1982, pp. 3-8. A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. Unemployment and labor force trends in 10 industrial nations: an update Postwar joblessness reaches 13 percent in Great Britain in the third quarter, with West Germany, France, Canada, and the United States also incurring record high unemployment rates J oy A N N a M oy In the latter half of 1981 and the first 9 months of 1982, unemployment rates approximating U.S. concepts rose sharply in most of the 10 countries covered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ series of comparative unem ployment rates. Unemployment rates reached postWorld War II highs in six of the industrial nations— the United States, Canada, France, West Germany, Great Britain, and the Netherlands. Italian unemploy ment, although at a comparatively moderate level of 4.7 percent after adjustment to U.S. concepts, was the highest since 1959. In addition, there were an equally large number of “discouraged workers” in Italy— per sons who wanted jobs but had not actively sought work recently. Although Japanese and Swedish unemploy ment rates remained substantially lower, in the 2 to 3 percent range, both countries had higher rates than they normally experienced over the last 20 years. Australia was the only country where the jobless rate was down in 1981; it rose, however, in the first 9 months of 1982. This article updates comparative unemployment rates through the third quarter 1982 and other related la bor market statistics through 1981 for the 10 countries. The foreign unemployment and labor force data are ad justed to U.S. concepts. Some revisions of previously Joyanna Moy is an economist in the Division of Foreign Labor Statis tics and Trade, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis published estimates are also presented; the revisions arise from incorporation of more recent survey results.1 Unemployment pushes higher In 1981, the U.S. unemployment rate of 7.6 percent was surpassed by the rates in Great Britain, 11.3 per cent, the Netherlands, 8.9 percent, and France, 7.7 per cent, and was matched in Canada. (See table 1.) The Australian rate fell to 5.8 percent. Unemployment rates of 4.2 percent were recorded in Germany and Italy; Japanese and Swedish jobless rates were in the 2 per cent range. By the second quarter of 1982, rates had risen in all 10 countries. The U.S. jobless rate, which had remained stable for the first three quarters of 1981, surged in the fourth quarter and reached new highs of 9.5 percent in the second quarter and 9.9 percent in the third quarter. Nevertheless, the U.S. rate was still exceeded by the rates in Great Britain, Canada, and probably the Neth erlands.2 The British rate, which rose to about 13 per cent in early 1982, was the highest ever recorded in the BLS series of comparative unemployment statistics. West Germany’s unemployment rate also rose sharp ly in the fourth quarter of 1981 and the first half of 1982, while France and Italy experienced more moder ate increases. However, both German and French third quarter rates were postwar records, and the second17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Unemployment in 10 Nations Table 1. Quarterly unemployment rates approximating U.S. concepts, seasonally adjusted, 1978-82 P e r io d U n it e d S t a t e s C anada 1978 1 ........................ I I ........................ Ill........................ IV ...................... 6.1 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.9 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.2 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.3 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 5.4 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.6 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.1 1979 I ........................ I I ........................ Ill........................ IV ...................... 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.8 6.0 7.5 7.9 7.6 7.1 7.3 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 6.1 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.2 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 5.7 5.9 5.6 5.7 5.6 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.8 1980 I ........................ I I ........................ Ill........................ IV ...................... 7.1 6.3 7.3 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.4 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.1 6.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 6.5 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.6 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1 7.3 5.8 6.5 7.4 9.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.2 1981 I ........................ I I ........................ Ill........................ IV ...................... 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.4 8.3 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.6 8.4 5.8 5.8 5.5 5.8 5.9 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.2 7.7 7.0 7.7 7.9 7.9 4.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 4.9 11.3 10.3 11.1 11.5 12.5 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.1 4.4 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.5 3.1 1982 I ........................ I I ........................ Ill........................ 8.8 9.5 9.9 8.6 10.2 12.1 6.3 6.6 7.1 2.3 2.4 8.3 8.6 8.7 5.3 5.9 6.3 13.0 12.9 13.0 4.6 4.7 4.5 3.0 3.1 — A u s t r a lia Japan — 1Preliminary for West Germany from 1979 onward, and for France and Great Britain from 1981 onward. 2Quarterly data are for January, April, July, and October. quarter Italian rate was the highest in more than 20 years. Japan’s unemployment rate increased marginally to 2.4 percent in the second quarter, after remaining at about 2.2 percent for the previous three quarters. Swe den’s unemployment rate rose from 2.2 percent in the first half of 1981 to 3.1 percent in the fourth quarter but remained at about 3.0 percent in the first half. The current comparative unemployment situation is in marked contrast with the 1960’s and early 1970’s. In those years, unemployment rates in the United States and Canada were much higher than in Western Europe, Japan, and Australia. U.S. and Canadian rates averaged about 5 percent during that period, compared to 1 per cent in Japan and Germany, 2 percent in Australia, France, and Sweden, and 3 percent in Great Britain and Italy. Unemployment rates trended down in the second half of the 1960’s in the United States, Canada, Japan, and Australia, while in the European countries they were up. In the early 1970’s, unemployment rates were higher again in every country except Italy. In the Unit ed States, Canada, and Japan, however, they were still below the levels of the early 1960’s. Subsequently, un employment rates continued up in every country except Japan and Sweden. Unemployment has risen more rapidly in most Euro pean countries and Australia than in the United States, Canada, and Japan since the 1973 oil embargo and the 1974-75 recession. By the early 1980’s, West Germany’s unemployment rate was more than 6 times as high as in 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis F ra n c e ' W e s t G e rm a n y 1 G r e a t B r it a in 1 It a ly 2 Sw eden Note: Quarterly figures for France, West Germany, Italy, and Great Britain are calculated by applying annual adjustment factors to current published data and therefore should be viewed as only approximate indicators of unemployment under U.S. concepts. Published data for Australia, Canada, Japan, and Sweden require little or no adjustment. 1960-74. French jobless rates increased more than four fold by 1980-82, British rates more than tripled and Australian rates tripled. In the United States and Cana da, 1980-82 unemployment rates were about 50 percent higher than in 1960-74. However, both countries had begun with relatively high rates in the earlier period. Ja pan’s unemployment rate increased somewhat more, but remained well below 3 percent. The smallest increases in unemployment rates since 1960-74 occurred in Swe den and Italy. Italy’s rates were the highest in Europe during the earlier period, however, and its recent rates exclude a large group of discouraged workers. Sweden, by contrast, now has the lowest unemployment rate among the European countries. Employment shows broad decline In the first half of 1982, employment rose over 1981 in only 2 of the 10 countries studied— by 0.6 percent in Japan and by 0.2 percent in Australia. Employment de clined most sharply in Canada, 1.9 percent, and Great Britain, 1.7 percent. Employment fell by 1 percent or less in the United States, West Germany, Italy, and Sweden and probably in France and the Netherlands as well. In 1981, employment had increased about 1 percent in the United States and Japan and 2 to 2.5 percent in Australia and Canada. Among the European countries, employment increased only in Italy, a marginal 0.5 per cent; in the other countries, employment declined. The largest decline was 4 percent in Great Britain. (See table 2.) Employment growth was stronger in North America, Australia, and Japan than in Western Europe in earlier periods also. For all six European countries, annual av erage employment growth had been only 1 percent or less since 1960. In the 1960-73 period, the employment trend was negative only in one country, Italy; since 1973, the overall employment trend had been down in West Germany and Great Britain. Employment maintenance programs. Special employment maintenance and training programs have had a signifi cant impact on the 1981-82 employment levels in sever al European countries. For example, in June 1982, about 535,000 Britons were covered by various employ ment and training schemes. According to the British Department of Employment, the direct effect of these programs was to keep about 300,000 persons (1.1 per cent of the labor force) off the June 1982 unemployment register.3 In Sweden, although the number in training programs for labor market reasons declined in 1981, the total enrolled in the various public works and training programs actually exceeded the number of unemployed by 8 percent and accounted for 2.7 percent of the labor force (versus an unemployment rate of 2.5 percent). In France, West Germany, Great Britain, and Italy, employment was supported by wide-reaching programs to subsidize employees placed on shorter hours for eco nomic reasons. In France, an average of nearly 320,000 workers, equivalent to approximately 14.3 million work days, were covered in the first 10 months of 1981. The number of workers covered, 1.4 percent of the labor force, was up 130 percent from the first 10 months of 1980. In West Germany, the number of persons on short-time increased 150 percent in 1981 to nearly 350.000 workers, about 1.3 percent of the labor force. In Great Britain, the number covered by the Temporary Short-Term Working Compensation Scheme in 1981 ranged from a high of nearly one million in March to 190.000 in December. The average for the year, about 540,000, was 2.2 percent of the labor force. In the first half of 1982, the number receiving benefits declined fur ther, to under 150,000 persons. In Italy, the number of hours subsidized by the Wage Supplement Fund rose 85 percent to 550 million hours in 1981. If the number of hours subsidized were spread among all employed per sons, then approximately 27 hours per person were sub sidized in 1981; or, assuming 1,800 hours worked per person, the equivalent of 1.4 percent of the labor force was subsidized. Employment-population ratios. Although employment rose in 1981 in five of the countries, the employmentpopulation ratio rose only in Canada. In the other four countries— the United States, Japan, Australia, and Ita ly— employment growth matched growth in the work ing age population, and employment ratios were https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis virtually unchanged. The employment ratio fell sharply from 1980 in Great Britain, along with the 1-million de cline in employment. Employment-population ratios also fell in France, West Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden. (See table 2.) Sweden still had by far the highest employment ratio, 65 percent. By comparison, the 1981 ratios were around 60 percent in the United States, Canada, Japan, and Australia; 50 to 55 percent in France, West Germany, and Great Britain; and about 45 percent in the Netherlands and Italy.4 Labor force participation stable With the exceptions of Canada and Great Britain, there was little or no change in 1981 in labor force par ticipation rates— the proportion of the civilian workingage population in the labor force. In Canada, the partic ipation rate rose to 64.7 percent in 1981 from 64.0 per cent in 1980, the increase resulting entirely from continued growth in the female participation rate. In Great Britain, by contrast, the overall participation rate declined for the third consecutive year as both male and female participation continued to move downward. In most countries, changes in participation were character ized by secular downtrends for men and increases for women. Labor force participation rates continued to be highest in Sweden, 67 percent, and lowest in Italy, 48 percent. In West Germany and the Netherlands, slightly more than 50 percent of the working age population were employed or looked for work in 1981, compared to 57 percent in France and 62 to 65 percent in the oth er five countries. (See table 2.) Discouraged workers. Data on discouraged workers— persons who state a current desire for work but who are not actively seeking a job because they think they can not find one— are available only for the United States, Canada, Sweden, and Italy. In the United States, the number of discouraged workers doubled from 1979 to 1.5 million (compared with around 10 million unem ployed persons). The Canadian definition of discouraged workers is somewhat more restrictive than the U.S. defi nition.5 Nevertheless, the number of discouraged work ers, as in the United States, is currently equivalent to about 15 percent of the unemployed. In Sweden, the number of discouraged workers had been about half the number of unemployed since 1978. In Italy, the number of persons not in the labor force who were classified, by Italian definitions, as discour aged jobseekers in 1981 was only about 80,000— equivalent to less than 10 percent of the number unem ployed. In addition, however, approximately half the Italians who stated they were unemployed said they had not actively sought work within the last 30 days. These persons have been excluded from the unemployed by BLS, because U.S. concepts require active workseeking 19 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Unemployment in 10 Nations Table 2. Civilian labor force, employment, and unemployment approximating U.S. concepts, 10 countries, 1974-81 [Numbers in thousands] Year U n ite d C anada A u s t r a lia Japan F ran ce S ta te s W est G re a t G e rm a n y B r ita in Ita ly N e t h e r la n d s Sw eden L a b o r fo rc e 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... 91,949 93,775 96,158 99,009 102,251 104,962 106,940 108,670 9,639 9,974 10,206 10,498 10,882 11,207 11,522 11,830 6,053 6,169 6,244 6,358 6,399 6,480 6,655 6,771 52,440 52,530 53,100 53,820 54,600 55,210 55,740 56,320 21,590 21,620 21,800 22,130 22,300 22,500 22,580 '22,710 26,050 25,640 25,400 25,360 25,520 125,780 126,030 '26,190 24,850 25,150 25,350 25,510 25,650 25,550 25,380 '25,310 20,060 20,270 20,490 20,530 20,630 20,910 21,210 '21,360 4,760 4,830 4,890 4,950 ’ 5,000 '5,100 ' 5,240 ' 5,390 4,037 4,123 4,149 4,168 4,203 4,262 4,314 4,326 61.3 61.2 61.6 62.3 63.2 63.7 63.8 63.9 60.5 61.1 61.1 61.5 62.6 63.3 64.0 64.7 63.0 63.2 62.7 62.7 62.0 61.7 62.2 62.0 63.0 62.4 62.3 62.5 62.8 62.7 62.6 62.6 57.2 56.7 56.7 57.1 57.1 57.3 57.1 '57.1 54.4 53.4 52.8 52.4 52.3 '52.3 '52.5 '52.4 62.6 63.2 63.4 63.4 63.4 62.8 62.0 ’ 61.4 47.9 47.9 48.2 48.0 47.7 47.8 48.0 '48.0 48.2 49.3 49.1 49.0 '48.8 '49.0 '49.5 '50.5 64.9 65.9 66.0 65.9 66.1 66.6 67.1 '67.1 86,794 85,846 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 99,303 100,397 9,125 9,284 9,479 9,648 9,972 10,369 10,655 10,933 5,891 5,866 5,946 6,000 5,997 6,075 6,250 6,380 51,710 51,530 52,020 52,720 53,360 54,040 54,600 55,060 20,960 20,710 20,800 21,040 21,100 21,120 21,120 ’ 20,970 25,630 24,750 24,510 24,460 24,650 125,000 125,260 ’ 25,100 24,080 24,000 23,840 23,890 24,040 24,100 23,530 ’ 22,440 19,500 19,620 19,760 19,790 19,870 20,100 20,380 120,460 4,580 4,580 4,630 4,700 ’ 4,740 ' 4,830 ' 4,920 '4,910 3,957 4,056 4,083 4,093 4,109 4,174 4,228 4,218 57.8 56.0 56.8 57.9 59.3 59.9 59.2 59.0 57.3 56.9 56.7 56.6 57.4 58.6 59.2 59.8 61.3 60.1 59.7 59.2 58.1 57.9 58.4 58.4 62.2 61.2 61.1 61.2 61.3 61.4 61.3 61.2 55.5 54.3 54.1 54.3 54.1 53.8 53.4 '52.7 53.5 51.5 50.9 50.5 50.5 ’ 50.8 ’ 50.9 ’ 50.2 60.7 60.3 59.6 59.4 59.4 59.2 57.4 '54.4 46.6 46.4 46.5 46.3 45.9 46.0 46.1 '46.0 46.3 46.7 46.5 46.5 '46.2 '47.4 '46.5 ’ 46.0 63.6 64.8 64.9 64.8 64.6 65.3 65.8 '65.4 5,156 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 7,637 8,273 514 690 727 850 911 838 867 898 162 302 298 358 402 405 405 390 730 1,000 1,080 1,100 1,240 1,170 1,140 1,260 630 910 1,000 1,090 1,200 1,380 1,460 '1,760 420 890 890 900 870 '780 ’ 770 '1,090 770 1,150 1,510 1,620 1,610 1,450 1,850 ' 2,870 560 650 730 740 760 810 830 '900 180 250 260 250 ’ 260 ’ 270 '320 '480 80 67 66 75 94 88 86 108 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.8 7.1 7.6 5.3 6.9 7.1 8.1 8.4 7.5 7.5 7.6 2.7 4.9 4.8 5.6 6.3 6.2 6.1 5.8 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.9 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.4 6.1 6.5 '7.7 1.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 '3.0 '3.0 ’ 4.2 3.1 4.6 6.0 6.4 6.3 5.7 7.3 ’ 11.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.9 '4.2 3.8 5.2 5.4 5.1 '5.2 '5.3 '6.1 '8.9 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.5 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.8 7.1 7.6 5.3 6.9 7.1 8.1 8.4 7.5 7.5 7.6 2.7 4.9 4.8 5.6 6.3 6.2 6.1 5.8 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.8 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 6.1 6.4 '7.5 2.6 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.3 3.8 3.8 5.5 2.6 4.1 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.6 7.3 11.3 55.4 55.9 66.7 7.2 7.2 7.7 7.6 8.4 3.5 5.0 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.8 9.0 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.5 L a b o r f o r c e p a r t ic ip a t io n r a t e 2 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... E m p lo y m e n t 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t io 3 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ( a s p u b lis h e d ) 4 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... 1Preliminary estimate based on incomplete data. 2Civilian labor force as a percent of civilian working age population. 3Civilian employment as a percent of civilian working age population. 4Published and adjusted data for the United States, Canada, and Australia are identical. For France, unemployment as a percent of the civilian labor force; for Japan, Italy, and Sweden, unemployment as a percent of the civilian labor force plus career military personnel; for West Germany, Great Britain, and the Netherlands, registered unemployed as a percent of employed wage and salary workers plus the unemployed. With the exception of France, which does not publish an unemployment rate, these are the usually published unemployment rates for each country. 5Italian Central Institute of Statistics estimate made for comparability with the revised labor force survey, introduced in 1977. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note: Data for the United States relate to the population 16 years of age and over. Published data for France, West Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands relate to the population 14 years of age and over; for Sweden, to the population aged 16 to 74; and for Canada, Aus tralia, and Japan, to the population 15 years of age and over. For Great Britain, the lower age limit was raised from 15 to 16 in 1973. The statistics have been adapted, insofar as possible, to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country. Therefore, the adjusted statistics for France relate to the population 16 and over and for West Germany and the Netherlands, to the population 15 years of age and over. The age limits of the statistics for Canada, Australia, Japan, Great Britain, and Italy coincide with the age limits of the published statistics. Statistics for Sweden remain at the lower age limit of 16, but have been adjusted to include persons 75 years of age and over. in the last 4 weeks (unless on temporary layoff or wait ing to begin a new job). Under U.S. concepts, however, many of these persons would be classified as discour aged workers. Foreign worker joblessness high Foreign workers continue to be an important factor in the unemployment rates in Western Europe, particu larly in West Germany, France, and Sweden. In 1981, foreign workers made up 9.2 percent of the labor force in West Germany, 6.3 percent in France, and 5.4 per cent in Sweden; and in all three countries, foreign na tionals had substantially higher unemployment rates than native-born workers. In France, the foreign worker unemployment rate was nearly twice the overall rate in March 1981. Unem ployment among both foreign workers and the native born increased at similar rates from 1980. In West Ger many, the foreign worker unemployment rate had been increasing more rapidly than the overall rate. In the first quarter of 1982, the rate for foreigners was 50 per cent higher than the overall jobless rate; in 1980, it was about one-third higher. Jobless rates for migrant work ers in Sweden had been about double the overall rates since the labor force survey began collecting the data in 1977. In the first quarter of 1982, the foreign worker rate reached 6 percent, while the overall rate rose to 3 percent. FOOTNOTES ' For further information, see International Comparisons of Unem ployment, Bulletin 1979, Appendix B (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1978); and Supplement to Bulletin 1979, Appendix B (Bureau of La bor Statistics, 1982). 2 Seasonally adjusted quarterly unemployment rates approximating U.S. concepts are not available for the Netherlands. However, the sea sonally adjusted registered unemployment rate for the first quarter of 1982 indicates that the Dutch unemployment rate approximating U.S. concepts would probably be higher than the first-quarter U.S. rate. 'Department of Employment, “Special Employment and Training https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Measures,” Press Notice, July 20, 1982, p. 1. 4 In Italy, the employment ratio is understated because of the large pool of “black labor” — persons with an unreported job and whose labor force status is reported as unemployed or not in the labor force. For further information, see International Comparisons of Unemploy ment, p. 134. 5In Canada, discouraged workers must have actively sought work within the last 6 months. In the United States, recent jobseeking is not required in order to be classified as discouraged. 21 A new look at occupational wages within individual establishments Analysis o f wage structures shows that pay differences within individual establishments are generally smaller than those o f the surveywide average R o be r t W. V a n G ie z e n Reports containing results of occupational wage surveys generally emphasize average earnings of individual jobs. While these types of data are useful to those interested in levels of pay and overall relationships among occupa tional averages, they do not show occupational pay dif ferentials within individual establishments. For example, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report on pay levels in metropolitan areas, janitors averaged $4.87 an hour in July 1980 and tractor-trailer truckdrivers aver aged $9.63, or nearly twice as much.1 But, the average pay differential within individual establishments having both janitors and tractor-trailer drivers was only about 30 percent. Data on internal pay alignments are of special con cern to wage and salary administrators, labor-manage ment contract negotiators, and those who develop or analyze internal wage structures. Although not neces sarily to the degree indicated by the comparison of jani tors and truckdrivers, pay setters may find a conflict between the twin objectives of gearing occupational pay rates to local labor market conditions l and, at the same time, maintaining appropriate internal pay structures. Reconciliation of these conflicting objectives can be a major issue in wage and salary administration.2 To sat isfy the need for information on internal pay align ments, the Bureau of Labor Statistics now reports average occupational pay relationships within establish ments in its Area Wage Survey publications.3This article Robert W. Van Giezen is a labor economist in the Division of Occu pational Pay and Employee Benefit Levels, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Barbara L. Spector of the Office of Statistical Operations provided valuable statistical assistance. 22FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis presents an analysis of pay relatives for all metropolitan areas combined, and summarizes the within establish ment differences among industry divisions, regions, and establishment size groups.4 Method an analysis A simple numerical example may sharpen the distinc tion between the two approaches to analyzing occupa tional wage relationships. The following tabulation uses hypothetical data to illustrate pay relationships of surveywide averages versus those within establishments: Establishment A B C All establishments Surveywide: Job 1 Number of workers . . . Hourly pay ................ . Job 2 Number of workers . . Hourly pay ................ . 5 $4 1 $7 1 $5 2 $11 Within establishments: Number of workers . . . 6 Pay relative ................ . 125 3 157 3 $6 - - - - 9 $5 3 $9 9 136 The traditional approach— comparison of published survey averages for individual jobs— is influenced by the numbers of workers in these jobs in establishments having different pay levels, as well as by differences in occupational pay levels. Using this approach, the survey average pay in all establishments for job 2 ($9) exceeds that for job 1 ($5) by 80 percent. However, when the focus shifts to the pay differentials within individual establishments, a 36-percent differential results. The dif ferential is computed by averaging pay relatives (aver age earnings for job 2 as a percent of earnings for job 1) of all establishments, using combined employments of the two jobs as weights. The difference between within establishment and surveywide relationships is affected if an establishment has only one of the two jobs being compared. (Note that establishment C with only one of the jobs is not used in the com puta tion.) In this tabulation, the average pay difference within establishments (intra-establishment differential) is less than the difference between the survey averages for the two jobs (inter-establishment differential). However, this is not always the case. The inter-establishment differen tial would be smaller than the intra-establishment dif ferential if a high-paying firm had a concentration of workers in a low-paying job, or if a low-paying firm had a concentration of workers in a high-paying job. Intra- versus inter-establishment relationships Both intra- and inter-establishment pay relationships are shown in table 1. These comprehensive matrices show average pay relationships between pairs of jobs. For example, reading across the row for tractor-trailer drivers, the pay relative of 129 in the janitors column means that the average pay advantage of the drivers over janitors in establishments with both these occupa tions was 29 percent. The figure in parenthesis, 198, means that the survey average for tractor-trailer drivers in all metropolitan areas was almost double that of jan itors when data from all establishments (having either one or both of the jobs) were used in the calculation. Similarly, the data show intra- and inter-establishment pay advantages of tractor-trailer drivers over class B guards of 31 and 132 percent, respectively.5These differ ences between intra- and inter-establishment pay rela tives are extreme cases. The comparisons were much closer for most occupational pairings. A seeming inconsistency in the relationships among some occupations must be explained. For example, intra-establishment differences show a pay advantage of 5 percent for tractor-trailer drivers and of 7 percent for drivers of heavy trucks, when drivers of light trucks serve as a base. One might conclude that within individ ual establishments, drivers of heavy trucks earn more than drivers of tractor-trailers. However, direct compar isons between these two jobs show a 1-percent advan tage in favor of tractor-trailer drivers. The incongruity is eliminated when it is recognized that establishments employing light-truck and tractor-trailer drivers are not necessarily the ones that employ both light- and heavytruck drivers or both tractor-trailer and heavy-truck https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis drivers. Each comparison is based on a different set of observations. Intra-establishment differentials were generally small er, and substantially so in a number of instances, than inter-establishment differences for the same occupations. This is revealed most strikingly in the comparisons be tween material movement and custodial occupations, where 90 percent of the inter-establishment differentials exceeded intra-establishment differences. For example, overall survey averages show that material handling la borers earned 71 percent more than class B guards, while the average intra-establishment advantage for these laborers was only 4 percent. These findings can be related to the industrial incidence of the two jobs: many material handling laborers are employed in highly paid and heavily unionized industries; conversely, many guards are employed by protection agencies paying near the Federal minimum wage. This employment pattern tends to widen the difference between surveywide aver ages but has no effect on occupational pay differentials within individual establishments. Similar findings appear when the analysis is limited to various levels or classifications of the same occupa tion. Based on inter-establishment comparisons, drivers of tractor-trailer trucks averaged more than drivers of other trucks, up to 50 percent more than drivers of light trucks. However, when the earnings of truckdrivers within the same establishment are compared, the average differential is lowered to a maximum of 5 per cent. Occupational earnings differentials— whether mea sured by inter- or intra-establishment differentials— were lower among maintenance, toolroom, and powerplant jobs than any other occupational group studied. The relative homogeneity among these occupations can be explained by several factors. First, almost all of the jobs studied were at the journeyman level of skill, and the workers often were under single-rate pay systems. Second, more than 80 percent of the workers were employed in a single industry division— manufacturing. Finally, these occupations are among the most heavily unionized of the occupations studied. As will be shown later, the findings of this study generally are consistent with the idea that inter-occupational wage differentials are narrower in the union sector. Except for higher paid tool-and-die makers and lower paid boiler tenders and maintenance helpers, pay rates within establishments were almost identical for all the maintenance, toolroom, and powerplant jobs. Neverthe less, overall survey averages were not reliable indicators of intra-establishment relationships. For example, the overall average pay of millwrights was 4 percent above that for tool-and-die makers, while the intra-establish ment pay relationship was reversed— millwrights aver aged 4 percent less than tool-and-die makers. This type 23 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Occupational Wages Within Individual Establishments Table 1. Intra- and inter-establishment pay relationships between occupations, all metropolitan areas, July 1980 [Inter-establishment pay relative in parenthesis] O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h a v e r a g e e a r n in g s e q u a ls 1 0 0 O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h T r u c k d r iv e r s P o w e r-tru c k S h ip p e r s o p e ra to rs F o r k lif t T ra c to r- H eavy M e d iu m L ig h t (o th e r th a n o p e ra to rs t r a ile r tru c k tru c k tru c k f o r k lif t ) e a r n in g s a r e c o m p a r e d W a re h o u s e and R e c e iv e r s w o rk e rs r e c e iv e r s M a t e r ia l m o v e m e n t a n d c u s t o d ia l Truckdrivers, tractor-trailer................................... Truckdrivers, heavy truck..................................... Truckdrivers, medium truck................................... Truckdrivers, light truck ....................................... Power-truck operators (other than forklift) ............... 100 99 (86) 98 (87) 95 (64) 94 (79) 101 (116) 100 94 (100) 94 (74) 94 (91) 102 (115) 106(100) 100 95 (74) 98 (91) 105 (156) 107 (135) 106 (135) 100 102 (123) 106 (127) 106 (110) 102 (110) 98 (81) 100 108 (124) 107 (107) 105 (107) 102 (79) 100 (97) 108 (144) 114 (124) 103 (125) 97 (92) 99 (113) 109 (147) 111 (127) 104 (128) 98 (94) 102 (116) 109 (135) 111 (117) 105 (117) 103 (87) 102 (107) Forklift operators................................................ Receivers ......................................................... Shippers and receivers......................................... Warehouse workers............................................ Shippers........................................................... 93 (81) 92 (69) 92 (68) 92 (74) 91 (70) 93 (94) 88 (81) 90 (79) 90 (86) 90 (81) 96 (93) 97 (80) 96 (78) 95 (85) 99 (81) 98 (126) 104 (108) 102 (106) 97 (115) 105 (110) 100 (103) 101 (88) 98 (86) 98 (94) 103 (89) 100 101 (86) 101 (84) 100(91) 103 (87) 99 (116) 100 104 (98) 98 (106) 101 (101) 99 (119) 96 (102) 100 98 (109) 101 (104) 100(109) 102 (94) 102 (92) 100 104 (95) Material handling laborers ................................... Order fillers....................................................... Guards, class A .................................................. Shipping packers................................................ Janitors, porters, and cleaners ............................. Guards, class B .................................................. 91 (74) 90 (68) 84 (63) 84 (61) 77 (51) 76 (43) 90 (85) 86 (79) 92 (73) 71 (71) 72 (59) 65 (50) 90 (85) 92 (79) 87 (72) 84 (70) 78 (58) 75 (50) 91 (115) 96 (107) 99 (98) 91 (95) 82 (79) 92 (67) 97 (94) 99 (87) 96 (80) 97 (77) 92 (64) 93 (55) 96 (91) 97 (85) 96 (78) 98 (75) 90 (63) 94 (53) 92 (106) 93 (99) 98 (90) 90 (88) 86 (73) 91 (62) 94 (109) 96(101) 101 (92) 92 (90) 86 (75) 93 (64) 92 (100) 96 (93) 94 (85) 94 (82) 84 (69) 89 (58) T o o l- a n d d ie M a in t e n a n c e M a in t e n a n c e S t a t io n a r y m a k e rs e le c t r ic ia n s m a c h in is t s e n g in e e r s M a in te n a n c e M a in te n a n c e m e c h a n ic s s h e e t-m e ta l M a in te n a n c e m e c h a n ic s ( m a c h in e r y ) w o rk e rs p ip e f it t e r s ( m o t o r v e h ic le s ) M a in te n a n c e M a in t e n a n c e , t o o lr o o m , a n d p o w e r p la n t Tool-and-die makers .......................................... Maintenance electricians ..................................... Maintenance machinists....................................... Stationary engineers ........................................... Maintenance mechanics (machinery)...................... 100 97 (98) 96 (95) 96 (91) 96 (92) 103 (102) 100 100 (96) 99 (93) 99 (94) 104 (106) 100 (104) 100 98 (96) 98 (97) 104 (110) 101 (108) 102 (104) 100 100(101) 105 (109) 101 (107) 102 (103) 100 (99) 100 104 (97) 101 (96) 101 (92) 100(89) 100 (90) 104 (98) 102 (97) 102 (93) 101 (89) 101 (91) 104 (106) 103 (105) 103 (101) 101 (97) 101 (98) Maintenance sheet-metal workers.......................... Maintenance pipefitters ....................................... Maintenance mechanics (motor vehicles)................ Millwrights......................................................... Machine-tool operators (toolroom).......................... 96 (103) 96(102) 96 (94) 96 (104) 95 (99) 99 (105) 98 (103) 97 (95) 98 (106) 98 (100) 99 (109) 99 (108) 97 (99) 97 (110) 97 (104) 100 (113) 99 (112) 99 (103) 99 (114) 100 (108) 100(112) 99 (110) 99 (102) 99 (113) 99 (107) 100 100(99) 100(91) 100(101) 101 (96) 100 (101) 100 100 (92) 100 (102) 100 (97) 100(109) 100(108) 100 100 (111) 101 (105) Maintenance carpenters....................................... Maintenance painters........................................... Boiler tenders .................................................... Maintenance trades helpers ................................. 94 (90) 93 (87) 90 (79) 77 (75) 97 (92) 94 (88) 92 (80) 80 (76) 97 (96) 94 (92) 91 (83) 82 (79) 98 (99) 96 (96) 90 (86) 83 (82) 98 (98) 94 (94) 93 (85) 82 (81) 99 (88) 97 (85) 94 (77) 84 (73) 99 (89) 97 (85) 95 (77) 85 (73) 100 (96) 97 (93) 95 (84) 82 (79) C o m p u t e r s y s t e m s a n a ly s t s C o m p u te r p ro g ra m m e rs (b u s in e s s ) ( b u s in e s s ) C o m p u te r o p e ra to rs C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C Computer systems analysts, class A . . . . Computer systems analysts, class B . . . . Computer systems analysts, class C . . . . Computer programmers analysts, class A Computer programmers analysts, class B 100 84 (86) 71 (75) 78 (81) 67 (68) 119(116) 100 84 (86) 90 (94) 78 (79) 141 (134) 120 (116) 100 106 (108) 89 (91) 129 (124) 111 (107) 94 (92) 100 82 (84) 149 (147) 129 (127) 112 (109) 122 (119) 100 175 (177) 149 (153) 128 (132) 145 (143) 122 (120) 162 (161) 137 (139) 117 (120) 130(130) 109(110) 190 (196) 161 (169) 136 (146) 155 (158) 131 (133) 220 (227) 188 (196) 156(170) 184 (184) 155 (155) Computer programmers analysts, class C Computer operators, class A ................. Computer operators, class B ................. Computer operators, class C ................. Peripheral equipment operators ............. 57 (57) 62 (62) 53 (51) 45 (44) 47 (48) 67 (66) 73 (72) 62 (59) 53 (51) 57 (55) 78 (76) 86 (83) 74 (69) 64 (59) 68 (64) 69 (70) 77 (77) 64 (63) 54 (54) 59 (59) 82 (83) 92 (91) 76 (75) 64 (65) 68 (70) 100 107 (110) 90 (90) 77 (78) 76 (84) 93 (91) 100 83 (82) 71 (71) 72 (77) 111 (111) 121 (121) 100 83 (86) 83 (93) 131 (129) 141 (141) 121 (116) 100 93 (108) Computer data librarians ...................... Electronics technicians, class A ............... Electronics technicians, class B ............... Electronics technicians, class C ............. Registered industrial nurses .................. 48 (45) 76 (80) 65 (70) 54 (51) 65 (67) 57 (53) 91 (92) 77 (81) 64 (59) 74 (78) 68(61) 109 (107) 91 (94) 76 (68) 87 (90) 60 (56) 90 (99) 75 (87) 61 (63) 79 (83) 69 (67) 106(117) 89 (103) 74 (75) 92 (99) 80 (80) 127 (141) 104 (124) 85 (90) 108 (119) 76 (73) 116(129) 113 (113) 88 (82) 97 (108) 88 (89) 139 (156) 127 (137) 106 (99) 115 (132) 103 (103) 162 (182) 142 (159) 119 (115) 130(153) P r o f e s s io n a l a n d t e c h n ic a l S e c r e t a r ie s S te n o g ra p h e rs T ra n s - T y p is ts s c r ib in g m a c h in e C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C C la s s D C la s s E S e n io r G e n e ra l Secretaries, class A .................. Secretaries, class B .................. Secretaries, class C .................. Secretaries, class D .................. Secretaries, class E ................... 100 86 (91) 76 (84) 69 (75) 65 (69) 116(109) 100 86 (92) 78 (82) 73 (76) 132 (119) 117 (109) 100 87 (90) 82 (83) 146 (133) 129 (121) 115 (111) 100 88 (92) 153 (144) 137 (132) 122 (121) 113 (109) 100 143 (123) 131 (112) 118 (103) 111 (92) 109 (85) 160(133) 142 (122) 128 (112) 120 (100) 116(92) 157 (165) 142 (151) 126 (139) 116(125) 108 (115) 162 (149) 141 (136) 125 (125) 118 (112) 113 (104) 180(184) 158 (168) 141 (154) 131 (138) 125 (127) Stenographers, senior ............... Stenographers, general ............. Transcribing-machine typists....... Typists, class A ........................ Typists, class B ........................ 70 (82) 63 (75) 64 (60) 62 (67) 56 (54) 77 (89) 71 (82) 71 (66) 71 (73) 63 (60) 85 (97) 78 (89) 79 (72) 80 (80) 71 (65) 90(108) 83 (100) 86 (80) 85 (89) 76 (72) 92 (118) 86 (108) 93 (87) 88 (97) 80 (79) 100 86 (92) 9Ö (74) 92 (82) 79 (67) 117 (109) 100 101 (81) 101 (89) 89 (73) 111 (135) 99 (124) 100 97 (111) 89 (90) 109 (122) 99 (112) 103 (90) 100 85 (81) 127 (150) 112(138) 113 (111) 117 (123) 100 t y p is t s C la s s A C la s s B Office clerical 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h a v e r a g e e a r n in g s e q u a ls 1 0 0 O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h J a n it o r s , M a t e r ia l S h ip p e r s h a n d lin g O rd e r G u a rd s , S h ip p in g p o rte rs , G u a rd s , fille r s C la s s A p a c k e rs and C la s s B la b o r e r s e a r n in g s a r e c o m p a r e d c le a n e r s M a t e r ia l m o v e m e n t a n d c u s t o d ia l 110 (142) 111 (123) 101 (123) 95 (91) 97 (112) 110(136) 112(117) 111 (117) 110(87) 103 (107) 111 (146) 116 (126) 109 (127) 104 (94) 101 (115) 119(160) 108 (138) 114 (138) 101 (102) 104 (126) 119 (164) 141 (142) 119 (142) 110(105) 103 (129) 129 (198) 139 (171) 128 (171) 121 (127) 108 (156) 131 (232) 154 (200) 133 (201) 109 (149) 108 (183) Truckdrivers, tractor-trailer...................... Truckdrivers, heavy truck........................ Truckdrivers, medium truck...................... Truckdrivers, light truck .......................... Power-truck operators (other than forklift) .. 97 (115) 99 (99) 99 (96) 96 (105) 100 104 (110) 109 (94) 107 (92) 108 (100) 109 (95) 103 (118) 108 (102) 105 (99) 104 (108) 106 (103) 104 (129) 102 (111) 99 (108) 107(118) 103 (112) 102 (133) 111 (114) 109 (111) 106 (121) 111 (116) 111 (160) 116 (137) 116(134) 119 (146) 115 (139) 106 (187) 109 (161) 107 (157) 112 (171) 112 (163) 91 (105) 94 (97) 98 (89) 90 (87) 87 (72) 89 (61) 100 100 (93) 101 (85) 100 (83) 91 (69) 96 (58) 100 (108) 100 95 (92) 99 (89) 89 (74) 95 (63) 99 (118) 106 (109) 100 97 (97) 92 (81) 83 (69) 100 (121) 101 (112) 103 (103) 100 95 (83) 100(71) 109 (146) 112 (135) 109 (124) 106 (120) 100 101 (85) 104 (171) 105 (159) 120 (145) 100 (141) 99 (117) 100 Forklift operators................................... Receivers ............................................ Shippers and receivers............................ Warehouse workers............................... Shipoers.............................................. Material handling laborers ...................... Order fillers.......................................... Guards, class A ..................................... Shipping packers................................... Janitors, porters, and cleaners ................ Guards, class B ..................................... M a c h in e - t o o l o p e ra to rs M illw r ig h t s ( t o o lr o o m ) M a in t e n a n c e M a in te n a n c e M a in te n a n c e B o ile r c a rp e n te rs p a in t e r s te n d e rs tr a d e s h e lp e r s M a in t e n a n c e , t o o lr o o m , a n d p o w e r p la n t 106 (111) 103 (109) 104 (105) 102 (101) 102 (102) 107 (115) 106 (113) 107 (109) 104 (105) 106(106) 111 (127) 108 (125) 110(120) 111 (116) 108 (117) 130 (134) 124 (132) 123 (127) 121 (122) 123 (123) Tool-and-die makers ................................... Maintenance electricians ............................. Maintenance machinists............................... Stationary engineers ................................... Maintenance mechanics (machinery)............... 100 (99) 100 (98) 100 (90) 100 101 (95) 105 (101) 102 (100) 103 (96) 100 (92) 101 (93) 99 (104) 100 (103) 99 (95) 99 (105) 100 101 (114) 101 (113) 100 (104) 101 (115) 101 (109) 103 (118) 103 (117) 103 (108) 103 (120) 103 (113) 107 (131) 106(129) 105 (119) 104 (132) 106 (125) 119 (138) 117 (136) 121 (126) 116(139) 118 (132) Maintenance sheet-metal workers.................. Maintenance pipefitters................................. Maintenance mechanics (motor vehicles)......... Millwrights.................................................. Machine-tool operators (toolroom).................. 99 (87) 97 (84) 96 (76) 87 (72) 99 (92) 97 (88) 94 (80) 85 (76) 100 97 (96) 95 (87) 85 (83) 104 (104) 100 99 (90) 88 (86) 106(115) 101 (111) 100 90 (95) 118 (121) 114 (117) 111 (105) 100 Maintenance carpenters............................... Maintenance painters................................... Boiler tenders............................................ Maintenance trades helpers .......................... 104 (96) 102 (95) 103 (91) 101 (88) 101 (89) C o m p u te r P e r ip h e r a l e q u ip m e n t d a ta o p e ra to rs lib r a r ia n s R e g is t e r e d E le c t r o n ic s t e c h n ic ia n s in d u s tr ia l C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C n u rs e s P r o f e s s io n a l a n d t e c h n ic a l Computer systems analysts, class A . . . . Computer systems analysts, class B . . . . Computer systems analysts, class C . . . . Computer programmers analysts, class A Computer programmers anslysts, class B 118 (111) 113 (122) 95 (101) 84 (87) 80 (94) 155 (149) 135 (128) 116 (111) 126 (120) 109 (101) 93 (84) 103 (92) 87 (76) 77 (65) 82 (71) 88 (90) 142 (157) 122 (138) 100 118 (132) 80 (68) 115 (119) 104 (104) 85 (76) 100 Computer data librarians ...................... Electronics technicians, class A ............... Electronics technicians, class B ............... Electronics technicians, class C ............. Registered industrial nurses .................. 212 (210) 176 (181) 147 (157) 170 (170) 146 (143) 210 (220) 177 (190) 148 (164) 168 (178) 144 (150) 132 (125) 110(108) 91 (93) 111 (101) 94 (85) 154 (143) 130(123) 109 (106) 133 (115) 112 (97) 186 (197) 156 (170) 131 (147) 165 (159) 135 (134) 132 (119) 139 (130) 121 (107) 107 (92) 100 126 (125) 132 (136) 113 (112) 97 (97) 96 (105) 79 (71) 86 (78) 72 (64) 62 (55) 68 (60) 96 (81) 89 (88) 78 (73) 70 (63) 69 (68) 104 (95) 148 (168) 146 (147) 126 (107) 122 (141) 100 143 (176) 133 (154) 114 (112) 125 (148) 70 (57) 100 84 (88) 70 (64) 87 (84) 75 (65) 119 (114) 100 82 (72) 96 (96) S w it c h b o a r d F ile c l e r k s M essen g e rs C la s s A S w it c h b o a rd o p e ra to rs C la s s B C la s s C 152 (147) 137 (135) 123 (124) 117 (111) 108 (102) 182 (188) 158 (172) 141 (158) 131 (142) 122 (131) 203 (214) 176 (195) 159 (180) 144 (161) 135 (148) 190 (187) 167 (171) 149 (157) 139 (141) 134 (130) 149 (166) 135 (152) 120 (139) 113(125) 108(115) 103 (120) 95 (111) 101 (89) 99 (99) 87 (80) 122 (154) 108 (141) 114 (114) 114 (126) 100 (103) 142 (175) 122 (160) 126 (129) 127 (143) 111 (116) 129 (152) 116 (140) 121 (113) 121 (125) 106 (102) 103 (135) 96 (124) 98 (100) 97 (111) 88 (90) K e y e n try o p e ra to rs O r d e r c le r k s P a y r o ll o p e ra to r- c le r k s re c e p C la s s A C la s s B 152 (171) 137 (156) 125 (143) 115 (129) 108 (119) 124 (122) 100 (103) 92 (92) 89 (85) 149 (160) 135 (146) 120 (134) 109 (120) 109 (111) 136 (139) 121 (127) 108 (117) 101 (105) 97 (96) 111 (139) 102 (128) 102 (103) 101 (114) 91 (93) 92 (100) 82 (92) 77 (74) 82 (82) 74 (67) 101 (130) 96 (120) 101 (96) 97 (107) 89 (87) 96 (113) 88 (104) 87 (84) 87 (93) 79 (76) t io n is t s Computer programmers analysts, class C Computer operators, class A ................. Computer operators, class B ................ Computer operators, class C ................. Peripheral equipment operators ............. C la s s A C la s s B 143 (139) 128 (127) 113 (117) 105 (105) 99 (97) 100 (114) 92 (105) 94 (84) 92 (93) 81 (76) 160(165) 143 (151) 129 (139) 121 (125) 112 (115) Secretaries, class A .................. Secretries, class B .................... Secretries, class C .................. Secretaries, class D .................. Secretries, class E .................... 114 (135) 102 (124) 104 (100) 104 (111) 92 (90) Stenographers, senior ............... Stenographers, general ............. Transcribing-machine typists....... Typists, class A ........................ Typists, class B ........................ O f f ic e c le r ic a l https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 110 ( 112) 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Occupational Wages Within Individual Establishments Table 1. Continued — Intra- and inter-establishment pay relationships between occupations, all metropolitan areas, July 1980 [Inter-establishment pay relative in parenthesis] O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h a v e r a g e e a r n in g s e q u a ls 1 0 0 O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h S te n o g ra p h e rs S e c r e t a r ie s e a r n in g s a r e c o m p a r e d T y p is t s T r a n s c r ib in g m a c h in e C la s s A C la s s B 66 (68) 55 (53) 49 (47) 53 (54) 67 (60) 66 (59) 81 (82) 67 (63) 74 (72) 70 (72) 62 (60) 73 (74) 63 (58) 57 (51) 60 (59) 74 (66) 73 (64) 91 (90) 74 (69) 83 (79) 78 (79) 70 (66) C la s s C C la s s D C la s s E S e n io r G e n e ra l t y p is t s C la s s A C la s s B 85 (90) 76 (70) 69 (62) 72 (71) 89 (80) 87 (78) 109 (109) 92 (83) 99 (96) 95 (95) 83 (80) 92 (98) 82 (76) 74 (67) 75 (77) 93 (87) 92 (84) 113 (118) 92 (90) 103 (104) 101 (103) 89 (87) 97 (83) 82 (65) 70 (57) 77 (66) 97 (74) 90 (72) 109 (100) 99 (77) 104 (88) 100 (88) 88 (74) 105 (90) 92 (71) 82 (62) 87 (71) 104 (80) 98 (78) 123 (109) 105 (83) 114(96) 109 (96) 98 (81) 99 (112) 87 (88) 80 (77) 82 (89) 102 (100) 98 (97) 129 (135) 99 (104) 115 (119) 107 (119) 96 (100) 101 (101) 88 (79) 78 (70) 83 (80) 103 (90) 99 (87) 123 (122) 103 (93) 115 (107) 108 (107) 96 (90) 115(125) 100 (97) 90 (86) 95 (98) 114 (111) 110(107) 135 (150) 112(115) 126 (132) 124 (132) 109 (111) O f f ic e c le r ic a l File clerks, class A ...................... File clerks, class B ...................... File clerks, class C .................... Messengers .............................. Switchboard operators................. Switchboard operator-receptionists . Order clerks, class A .................. Order clerks, class B .................. Payroll clerks ............................ Key entry operators, class A ....... Key entry operators, class B ......... Note: 81 (81) 71 (63) 63 (56) 67 (64) 83 (72) 80 (70) 100 (97) 84 (75) 93 (86) 88 (85) 77 (72) See page 23 for a description of these pay relationships and method of computation. of leadership reversal occurred in about a fifth of the observations. Inter-establishment pay differences for the profession al and technical group also were often poor indicators of intra-establishment pay differentials. Although a tenth of the comparisons between these two measures yielded identical results, differences were 10 points or more in almost a fourth of the observations. The office clerical group— with five classes of secre taries, three classes of file clerks, and two classes each of stenographers, typists, order clerks, and key entry operators— provides an opportunity to examine wage relationships among workers in the same occupation, but with differing amounts of responsibility. For exam ple, the five classes of secretaries are defined according to the secretary’s responsibility and supervisor’s posi tion in the organization.6 Within establishments, each level of secretary provided an average pay gain of from 13 to 17 percent; consequently, the highest level— sec retary to board chairman or company president of a medium size firm— averaged 53 percent more than the lowest level— a secretary to a staff specialist or supervi sor of a small unit. In all of the comparisons among the secretaries, pay differentials within establishments exceeded those be tween surveywide averages. This relationship was also found among other occupations, mainly in the whitecollar field. Intra-establishment differences were larger than inter-establishment differences in about two-fifths of the professional-technical and a fourth of the office clerical comparisons. In contrast, this pattern occurred in only 8 percent of both the material movement-custo dial and maintenance-toolroom-powerplant compari sons. As noted, average occupational pay differentials within establishments will exceed those between pub lished averages where high-paying firms have a dispro portionately large number of employees in less skilled jobs reported for the survey, or where low-paying firms 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis have a disproportionately large number of employees in more skilled jobs. These conditions may be more com mon among white-collar jobs, which are spread across industries with differing pay levels.7 Differences by sector Intra-establishment pay relationships differed among the industry divisions, regions, and establishment size groups studied separately. Within establishments, pay differentials between jobs were narrower in manufactur ing, the North Central region, and large establishments, and were broader in nonmanufacturing, the South, and small establishments. (These findings, of course, are in terrelated.) To summarize these relationships, intra-establishment relatives were calculated for each industry, region, and establishment size group studied. The absolute differ ence for each occupational comparison was computed by subtracting the pay relative from 100. Ignoring the sign of the remainder, these differences were totaled and divided by the number of comparisons to find an aver age difference.8 Therefore, a small average difference in table 2 indicates a narrow wage structure and a large difference indicates a broad wage structure. Professional-technical and office clerical jobs had the highest average differences, 29 and 19 points, respective ly. The average difference for maintenance, toolroom, and powerplant occupations was 5 points, and for ma terial movement and custodial jobs, 8 points. These re sults are not surprising, considering the wide range of skill levels in the white-collar field. For example, profes sional and technical jobs ranged from highly skilled sys tems analysts responsible for complex problems to entry-level computer operators. These skill distinctions were not as pronounced among the blue-collar occupa tions. Differences in occupational pay relationships were small but consistent among the industries, regions, and size-of-establishment groupings studied. These differ- O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h a v e r a g e e a r n in g s e q u a ls 1 0 0 F ile c le r k s S w it c h b o a r d M e s s e n g e rs S w it c h b o a r d o p e ra to rs C la s s A C la s s B C la s s C 100 85 (78) 77 (69) 81 (79) 100 (89) 104 (86) 20(121) 108 (92) 114 (106) 106(106) 94 (89) 117 (128) 100 86 (88) 94 (101) 114 (114) 114 (110) 145 (154) 118 (118) 132 (136) 123 (135) 109 (114) 131 (145) 116 (113) 100 104 (114) 124 (129) 123 (125) 160 (175) 121 (134) 146 (154) 137 (153) 121 (129) K e y e n try o p e ra to rs O r d e r c le r k s O c c u p a t io n s f o r w h ic h e a r n in g s a r e c o m p a r e d P a y r o ll o p e ra to r- c le r k s r e c e p t io n is t s C la s s A C la s s B 97 (116) 88 (91) 82 (80) 85 (91) 100 (103) 100 128 (140) 107 (107) 113 (123) 107 (123) 97 (103) 83 (83) 69 (65) 63 (57) 70 (65) 78 (74) 78 (72) 100 78 (77) 94 (88) 89 (88) 75 (74) 92 (108) 85 (85) 82 (75) 83 (85) 95 (96) 94 (93) 128 (131) 100 109(115) 104 (115) 96 (96) C la s s A C la s s B 95 (95) 81 (74) 73 (65) 78 (75) 95 (84) 93 (82) 112 (114) 96 (87) 106 (100) 100 83 (84) 106(112) 91 (88) 83 (77) 87 (89) 104 (100) 103 (97) 133 (135) 105 (104) 117(119) 120 (119) 100 O f f ic e c le r ic a l 124 (127) 107 (99) 96 (87) 100 123 (113) 118 (109) 143 (153) 120 (117) 134 (135) 128 (134) 115 (113) 100 (113) 87 (88) 81 (78) 82 (89) 100 100 (97) 127 (136) 105 (104) 113 (120) 105 (119) 97 (100) ences were larger in nonmanufacturing than manufac turing industries for three of the occupational groups. (Because of insufficient data for nonmanufacturing in dustries, such a comparison could not be made for maintenance, toolroom, and powerplant jobs.) Regional differences in occupational wage structures were relatively minor, as were the differences by size of establishment.9 Nevertheless, the South had the largest differentials for 2 of the 4 occupational groups, and tied for the largest for a third group.10 Among the other Table 2. Average intra-establishment pay differences among occupations, by selected characteristics, July 1980 [In percentage points] C h a r a c t e r is t ic s 88 (94) 76 (74) 69 (65) 74 (74) 88 (84) 88 (81) 106 (114) 92 (87) 100 95 (100) 86 (84) File clerks, class A .................... File clerks, class B .................... File clerks, class C .................... Messengers ............................. Switchboard operators................ Switchboard operator-receptionists . Order clerks, class A .................. Order clerks, class B .................. Payroll clerks ............................ Key entry operators, class A ....... Key entry operators, class B ....... three regions, the North Central area had the smallest occupational wage differentials for the two blue-collar groups and for office clerical workers. Occupational pay differences in large establishments, on average, were smaller for all occupational groups, except office clerical jobs— where no size-of-establishment variation was found. Although the impact of unionization on wage struc tures could not be directly examined in this study, the data suggest the possibility that internal occupational pay differentials are smaller where labor-management agreements are in effect. Manufacturing, non-Southern regions, and large establishments generally had both smaller pay differences and a higher concentration of workers under labor-management agreements than did nonmanufacturing, the South, and small establishm ents. M a te r ia l M a in te n a n c e , m ovem ent to o lr o o m , P r o f e s s io n a l O f f ic e a n d c u s t and p o w e r- a n d t e c h n ic a l c le r ic a l o d ia l p la n t All establishments .................. 8 5 29 19 Industry: Manufacturing .................... Nonmanufacturing ............... 7 11 5 ( ') 26 32 17 20 Region: Northeast .......................... South ............................... North Central...................... West................................. 9 9 8 10 6 7 5 6 31 32 26 29 20 20 18 19 Establishment size: Fewer than 1,000 workers ... 1,000 workers or more......... 10 7 6 5 34 27 19 19 1Data do not meet publication criteria. page 25 for explanation of method of computation and footnote 4 of text for definitions of industry divisions and regions. Note: See An earlier study of production worker earnings in 49 manufacturing and 6 mining industries also showed low er dispersion rates among highly unionized industries.11 This earlier study, however, used the more traditional analysis of union impact by focusing on inter-establish ment variations.12 Cost-of-living adjustment clauses found in many union contracts may contribute to a lower wage disper sion in the union sector.13 These clauses provide for pe riodic wage adjustments in keeping with changes in a designated price index, such as the Bureau’s Consumer Price Index. They usually call for uniform cents-perhour wage adjustments to all covered employees, and thus tend to reduce percentage differences among occu pational wages. □ FOOTNOTES 1See Occupational Earnings in All Metropolitan Areas, July 1980, Summary 81-11 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1981), p. 3. 2See E. Robert Livernash, “The Internal Wage Structure,” in George W. Taylor and Frank C. Pierson, eds„ New Concepts in Wage Determination (New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1957), pp. 155— 58. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3See, for example, tables A -8 to A—11 of Area Wage Survey: Chica go, III., Metropolitan Area, March 1982, Bulletin 3015-9. 4All data in this article refer to the 262 Standard Metropolitan Sta tistical Areas of the United States (excluding Alaska and Hawaii), as defined by the Office of Management and Budget through February 1974. BLS surveys are conducted annually in a sample of 70 areas se27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Occupational Wages Within Individual Establishments lected and appropriately weighted to represent all 262 areas. Estab lishments employing 50 workers or more are surveyed in six broad industry divisions: manufacturing; transportation, communication, and other public utilities; wholesale trade; retail trade; finance, insur ance, and real estate; and selected services. In the 13 largest areas, the minimum etablishment size is 100 workers in manufacturing; trans portation, communication, and other public utilities; and retail trade. Major exclusions from the survey are construction, extractive indus tries, and government. The regions are defined as follows: Northeast— Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont; South— Ala bama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklaho ma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and West Virginia; North Central— Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wis consin; and West— Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Intra-establishment pay relationships were computed using the fol lowing procedures: (1) establishments employing workers in both of the paired occupations were identified; (2) establishment pay levels (averages) for the two occupations were weighted by the combined employment of both jobs to reflect each establishment’s contribution to the totals used in the comparison; (3) the weighted pay levels of the two jobs were summed separately across establishments; and (4) each total was divided by the other and the quotients multiplied by 100 to p ro d u c e th e tw o in tra -e s ta b lis h m e n t p a y re la tiv e s sh o w n fo r each job pairing. 6Job descriptions for the occupations included in area wage surveys are available from the Bureau’s regional offices listed on the front cov er. 7An earlier Bureau study — which compared all occupations sur veyed to janitors— had similar findings. In many cases, pay differences between white-collar jobs and janitors were larger when measured within establishments than when overall averages were com pared. On the other hand, in almost all blue-collar comparisons, 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis intra-establishment differentials were smaller than those between sur vey averages. See Virginia L. Ward, “Measuring wage relationships among selected occupations,” Monthly Labor Review, May 1980, pp. 21-25. 8 For a further discussion of this technique, see Mark S. Sieling, “Interpreting pay structures through matrix application,” Monthly La bor Review, November 1979, pp. 41^45. Regional patterns are composites of numerous individual areas, each with a distinct industrial and occupational pattern. For local pay setting purposes, data similar to those in table 1 are published annual ly for 70 areas in individual area wage survey bulletins. 10This confirms an earlier conclusion of H. M. Douty that “Wage differentials based on skill level tend to be greater within the South than in the remainder of the country. . .” See H. M. Douty, “Wage Differentials: Forces and Counter Forces,” Monthly Labor Review, March 1968, p. 76. " Carl B. Barsky and Martin E. Personick, “Measuring wage dis persion: pay ranges reflect industry traits,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1981, pp. 35-41. 12Unionism, of course, is only one of a number of influences on oc cupational wage differentials. Its impact is by no means a settled is sue. For a sample of the literature on this subject, see Clark Kerr, “Wage Relationships— The Comparative Impact of Market and Pow er Forces,” in John T. Dunlop, ed., The Theory of Wage Determina tion (New York, St. Martin’s Press, 1957), pp. 173-93; Lloyd G. Reynolds and Cynthia H. Taft, The Evolution of Wage Structure (New Haven, Yale University Press, 1956); Sherwin Rosen, “Unionism and the Occupational Wage Structure in the United States,” International Economic Review, June 1970, pp. 269-86; and Robert N. Schoeplein, “Secular Changes in the Skill Differential in Manufacturing, 1952— 1973,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, April 1977, pp. 314-24. 1 Cost-of-living adjustment clauses cover more than half of the workers under major collective bargaining agreements. See Edward Wasilewski, “Scheduled wage increases and cost-of-living provisions in 1980,” Monthly Labor Review, January 1980, p. 10. Import price indexes for crude petroleum On the basis of data reported by firms to the U.S. Department of Energy, BLS has developed measures o f m onthly price change fo r oil imports Edw > ard E. M u r p h y and M ark M cEnearney The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ International Price Pro gram is responsible for calculating import and export price indexes for the United States. These indexes are statistical measures of the average change in prices of commodities that are traded between the United States and the rest of the world. The program was originally funded by Congress in 1970. Price indexes were first published for exports in 1971, and for imports, in 1973. As of June 1982, published indexes accounted for 71 percent of the value of exports and 96 percent of the value of imports. Plans for the program include provisions for increasing the share of exports and imports for which indexes are cal culated to 100 percent. This article describes the International Price Pro gram’s price index for crude petroleum imports. The index, which was first published in November 1981,’ is calculated using price and quantity data collected by the U.S. Department of Energy. The data in table 1 show how im portant crude petro leum imports have become to the U.S. economy. In 1970, the United States imported 545 million barrels of crude petroleum at a cost of $1.3 billion. These imports accounted for 13.4 percent of the total U.S. supply of crude petroleum (imports plus domestic production) and 3.2 percent of total merchandise imports. In 1981, U.S. imports of crude petroleum, which measured 1,763 million barrels and cost $61.9 billion, accounted for 36.1 percent of the total U.S. supply of crude petroleum Edward E. Murphy is chief of the Division of International Price In dexes, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Mark McEnearney is an economist in the same division. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and 23.7 percent of total merchandise imports. The following discussion is divided into sections that focus on different aspects of calculating and publishing the index. These include: (1) the construction of the in dex; (2) the specification of items in the index market basket; (3) the prices and weights that are used to com pute the index; (4) the sources of the data; (5) the re sults of index calculations for the months January 1976 to May 1982; and (6) the policy for revising previously published index values. Construction o f the index. The price index for U.S. im ports of crude petroleum is a Laspeyres fixed baseweighted index. The index may be interpreted as a meas ure of the change in the cost of buying the index mar ket basket, or as a measure of the average change in the prices of items in the index market basket. For this in dex, the market basket consists of the various crudes— Table. 1. Year 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 U.S. imports of crude petroleum, 1970-81 Crude im ports Crude im ports Crude im ports Crude im ports as a perce n t of as a p ercent of (millions (billions total im ports o f barrels) o f dollars) total U.S. supply . . . . . . . . . . . . 545 676 901 1,294 1,367 1,585 2,050 2,520 2,392 2,467 1,977 1,763 1.3 1.7 2.4 4.2 15.3 18.4 25.5 33.6 32.1 46.1 62.0 61.9 13.4 16.4 20.7 27.8 29.9 34.1 40.8 45.6 42.9 44.1 38.6 36.1 3.2 3.7 4.3 6.1 15.3 19.1 21.1 22.9 18.7 22.3 25.7 23.7 Source: Bureau of the Census, U . S . G e n e r a l I m p o r t s , FT135, and U.S. Department of Energy, 1 9 8 1 A n n u a l R e p o r t t o C o n g r e s s . 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Price Index for Oil Imports for example, Saudi Arabian Light, Mexican Isthmus, and Nigerian Bonny Light— that refiners and other buyers imported into the United States in 1980. A simplified version of the formula for computing the in dex is: I P■j 'u X Q° V,J X 100 (i)r = y po x q; o o (2) = 2..W.. >j 'j for Wij= P° where: I* = the index in month t; x P 7P 0 f _ ■J ,J sf, 10 X 100 X Q” P9 = the price, in dollars per barrel, that company i paid for shipments of crude type j imported in month 0 (the base period); Pjt = the price, in dollars per barrel, that company i paid for shipments of crude type j imported in month t (the comparison period); Q° = the quantity, in barrels, of crude type j that com pany i imported in month 0 (the base period); WL = the dollar value weight assigned to crude type j imported by company Specification o f items in the market basket. Price indexes of the Laspeyres type are designed to measure changes in the cost of a given market basket (as opposed of dif ferences in the cost of different market baskets). In the calculations for the crude petroleum index, this is ac complished by ensuring that the items that correspond to the prices in the numerator and denominator of each term in expression (2) above have identical specifica tions in all months. The specification of each item in the market basket consists of two pieces of information. These are (1) a crude stream identifier, which shows where the crude in each import shipment was produced (the crude stream accounts for the essential quality characteristics of each crude, such as specific gravity, pour point, sulfur con tent, and trace element content); and (2) an identifier for the purchasing party. The inclusion of these two pieces of information in the specification ensures that when prices are compared over time they are compared for identically specified items. Prices. The prices used to compute the index are the amounts, in dollars per barrel, that importing compa nies pay for their crude, plus any charges incurred in placing the crude on board ship at the foreign port of loading. Prices do not include any of the costs involved in transporting crude from the foreign port to the U.S. port of entry. 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Weights. The weight assigned to each item in the mar ket basket is the dollar value of all shipments of that item that were imported into the United States in 1980. In the process of computing the index for the current month, the weights are normalized to account for items in the market basket that were not imported. This is equivalent to imputing a price change equal to the weighted average price change of all items that were imported in the current month, as measured by the change in the index, to items that were not imported in the current month. Data sources. The data used to compute the index are collected by the U.S. Department of Energy on the monthly Transfer Pricing Report (Form ERA-51, Schedule B). Reporting firms are major importers (those that import 500,000 or more barrels of crude in a given month) and firms that acquire imported crude from af filiated entities. About 40 firms file the report on a regular basis. In 1980, the data in the reports filed by these firms accounted for approximately 90 percent, in dollar terms, o f all U.S. imports of crude petroleum. Firms have 45 days after the end of a given month to file their reports with the Department of Energy. At the Energy Department, data from the reports are keypun ched and screened for simple arithmetic errors and er rors in transcription. In cases involving apparent errors in the data that cannot be resolved on the basis of the available inform ation, the Department contacts the reporting firm to verify the data that have been reported and, if necessary, obtains the correct inform ation. Approximately 60 days after the end of a given month, the Department of Energy provides BLS with a computer tape containing these data. At BLS, the data are screened again. Any questions that arise with re spect to the data are referred to the Department of En ergy and resolved before the data are used to compute the index. The processing associated with computing the index is generally complete within 10 days of receipt of the tape from the Energy Department. Index values, January 1976 to May 1982. Table 2 shows index values that have been calculated for 11 categories of crude petroleum imports. These include imports from all countries, from members of the Organization of Pe troleum Exporting Countries ( o p e c ) 2 and from non members, and from selected regions and countries. The number of regions and individual countries for which index values are shown is limited by the availability of price data. In keeping with BLS standards for maintaining the confidentiality of company level data, index values that were calculated with prices from fewer than three companies are not shown. As measured by the index for imports from all countries, prices of imported crude petroleum have nearly tripled since January 1976, the first month for « Table 2. Price indexes of U.S. imports of crude petroleum by source, January 1976 to May 1982 [June 1977 = 100] f r o m a ll S e le c t e d c o u n t r ie s S e le c t e d r e g io n s Im p o r t s Y e a r a n d m o n th OPEC N o n -O P E C c o u n t r ie s A f r ic a Far L a tin M id d le East A m e r ic a East Saudi In d o n e s ia M e x ic o N ig e r ia A r a b ia 91.7 91.7 91.6 91.9 91.9 91.9 92.4 92.4 92.5 93.1 93.4 94.0 92.0 92.0 92.0 92.2 92.1 92.2 92.7 92.7 92.8 93.3 93.5 94.0 90.6 90.6 90.5 91.0 91.0 91.1 91.5 91.5 91.7 92.7 93.4 94.1 89.5 89.5 89.6 89.8 89.7 89.9 90.8 90.9 91.2 91.8 92.2 92.9 92.6 92.7 92.4 92.5 92.6 92.6 92.8 92.8 92.8 93.2 93.3 93.6 91.0 90.9 90.9 91.5 91.5 91.5 91.9 91.9 92.2 92.8 93.6 94.4 94.7 94.7 94.6 94.8 94.8 94.8 94.7 94.7 94.7 94.9 94.9 95.2 92.9 92.9 92.7 92.8 92.8 92.8 93.0 93.0 93.1 93.5 93.6 93.8 91.6 91.6 91.5 92.2 92.2 92.1 92.6 92.6 92.9 93.5 93.7 94.8 89.1 89.1 89.2 89.3 89.5 89.6 90.5 90.6 90.8 91.8 91.9 92.4 94.9 94.9 94.9 95.1 95.1 95.1 95.0 94.9 94.9 95.0 95.1 95.3 January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December .............................. 98.4 99.2 99.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 102.1 102.5 102.3 102.2 102.2 98.3 99.1 99.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 102.2 102.6 102.5 102.4 102.4 98.7 99.3 99.7 99.9 100.0 100.0 101.0 101.6 101.9 101.7 101.7 101.7 98.1 99.0 99.3 99.9 99.9 100.0 100.7 101.0 101.2 100.9 100.6 100.6 98.5 99.3 99.9 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.4 101.0 101.0 101.0 100.8 101.0 99.1 99.5 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 101.4 101.7 101.6 101.6 101.6 98.3 99.1 100.1 100.0 100.1 100.0 102.5 104.0 104.8 104.7 104.9 104.9 98.6 99.4 100.0 99.9 99.9 100.0 100.3 100.9 100.9 100.9 100.7 100.9 99.5 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.8 101.3 101.5 101.4 101.4 101.4 97.8 98.4 98.6 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.2 100.3 100.4 100.0 99.9 99.8 98.4 99.0 100.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 104.1 104.9 104.9 105.1 105.1 1978: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December ............................. 102.0 101.6 101.6 101.2 101.1 101.1 101.1 101.1 101.1 101.5 102.2 102.1 102.2 101.8 101.8 101.3 101.2 101.2 101.3 101.2 101.3 101.6 102.3 102.3 101.5 101.1 101.2 100.8 100.8 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.7 101.1 101.8 101.8 99.7 99.5 99.5 98.7 98.7 98.7 98.7 98.6 98.9 99.3 100.5 100.5 100.9 100.6 100.6 100.3 100.1 100.1 100.8 100.7 100.5 100.9 101.5 101.7 101.5 101.0 101.0 100.7 100.6 100.5 100.2 100.2 100.2 100.6 101.2 101.1 105.4 104.8 104.9 104.6 104.6 104.5 104.6 104.5 104.4 104.6 104.8 104.8 100.8 100.5 100.5 100.3 100.1 100.1 100.6 100.4 100.3 100.6 100.9 101.1 101.3 101.0 101.1 100.8 100.8 100.7 100.1 100.1 100.0 100.4 101.0 100.8 98.6 98.3 98.2 97.3 97.3 97.3 97.3 97.2 97.2 97.7 98.5 98.4 105.2 105.2 105.2 105.1 104.9 104.9 104.9 104.9 104.9 105.0 105.1 105.0 1979: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December .............................. 105.5 108.7 110.1 115.0 126.7 135.2 150.3 163.7 165.5 168.6 173.4 184.5 105.5 108.7 110.1 114.2 125.9 134.8 148.5 163.0 164.7 167.1 171.8 183.9 105.4 108.4 110.2 117.4 129.4 136.3 155.6 165.8 167.9 173.3 178.2 186.5 104.6 107.7 109.3 115.9 130.0 141.7 154.4 170.1 171.1 173.9 183.2 195.6 103.6 106.8 108.7 111.8 123.7 130.1 145.3 163.2 166.4 168.4 165.3 173.4 104.7 107.5 108.8 117.0 128.7 133.9 154.2 163.1 165.4 171.8 175.6 180.8 107.5 111.0 112.1 113.7 122.5 129.3 144.2 156.6 158.9 160.7 162.7 176.5 102.6 105.8 107.8 110.6 122.4 128.3 142.1 160.7 164.8 166.5 162.0 169.8 104.8 107.6 108.5 118.4 128.3 131.9 159.0 166.1 167.6 175.9 179.4 182.8 102.0 104.5 105.6 115.0 128.9 143.0 154.5 170.7 172.4 175.1 177.9 193.3 107.7 111.2 112.2 112.3 119.5 126.5 141.9 152.8 154.6 156.4 157.6 169.9 1980: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December .............................. 205.8 223.3 232.9 234.1 236.7 244.0 246.5 247.6 247.3 250.4 250.5 252.6 206.1 221.9 232.5 233.8 236.8 244.3 246.6 247.5 247.4 251.2 251.2 253.5 205.1 227.7 234.2 235.2 236.3 243.1 246.5 247.9 247.1 248.2 248.4 250.1 216.4 233.9 247.1 247.5 247.9 255.8 258.6 260.3 259.2 258.5 257.8 259.4 195.4 218.8 227.0 230.8 232.4 240.7 242.9 242.7 242.3 242.7 242.5 244.0 200.2 223.5 228.3 228.6 229.3 236.3 240.5 242.5 242.3 243.3 243.8 245.6 200.3 211.9 220.1 222.0 228.5 235.0 236.6 236.9 237.8 247.9 249.0 252.2 192.8 216.5 224.8 228.6 230.3 238.9 240.8 240.4 240.0 240.1 240.0 241.5 201.6 232.0 236.4 236.5 238.7 244.1 248.5 251.3 251.1 251.8 252.6 255.9 209.1 221.7 240.6 241.2 242.3 250.1 252.9 255.3 255.4 255.0 253.5 255.5 195.2 205.9 214.1 216.6 226.8 232.8 233.9 234.0 234.7 246.7 247.5 250.9 1981: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December .............................. 263.0 273.4 272.9 271.4 271.5 267.6 267.6 262.9 261.3 258.0 258.8 262.1 262.5 273.1 272.5 271.1 271.6 269.4 269.7 266.8 265.4 261.5 262.1 265.6 264.5 274.0 274.2 272.0 271.2 262.2 261.0 251.1 248.9 247.2 248.8 251.7 267.9 279.6 279.2 278.0 278.9 276.3 275.3 271.0 268.3 260.4 260.0 263.3 248.6 264.7 265.8 264.5 264.6 262.7 262.3 259.9 259.5 258.1 258.9 260.7 263.8 271.5 272.6 270.5 269.4 258.2 258.5 248.3 245.8 244.8 246.3 247.5 262.7 270.9 269.2 267.4 267.4 265.4 267.1 264.5 264.1 264.4 266.2 270.9 245.4 261.9 263.2 262.1 262.1 260.7 260.5 258.6 258.4 257.6 258.2 259.8 278.5 284.4 285.4 282.6 281.3 264.0 264.4 250.0 250.7 249.7 252.0 253.5 265.6 275.0 275.0 274.0 273.8 271.8 271.1 268.5 264.2 253.7 252.3 255.5 261.8 268.7 266.3 264.6 264.7 262.8 265.3 264.1 263.8 265.8 267.9 271.7 1982: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... Apr:! ..................................... May....................................... 262.5 260.2 257.2 256.0 252.6 266.2 264.1 262.5 261.7 258.6 251.5 248.2 240.9 238.6 234.5 262.2 259.5 256.3 254.8 251.3 260.4 257.9 256.9 256.3 254.5 247.4 244.7 237.3 234.0 229.8 273.5 272.5 272.3 272.5 269.3 259.4 257.0 256.3 255.9 254.4 252.1 248.4 242.0 240.6 235.3 255.7 254.1 251.7 250.2 246.7 276.4 275.9 276.2 276.8 273.5 1976: January................................. February ............................... March ................................... April ..................................... May....................................... June ..................................... July....................................... August................................... September.............................. October................................. November .............................. December .............................. 1977: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Price Indexes for Oil Imports which the index was calculated. Prices increased slowly during 1976 and 1977, rising a total of 11 percent over the 24-month period. In 1978, a quiet year in the world petroleum market, prices were virtually unchanged, but between January 1979 and January 1980, the index rose 100 points, from 105.5 to 205.8. During the latter year, political events seriously disrupted the flow of petro leum exports from Iran, at one time the leading oil pro ducing country in OPEC after Saudi Arabia. Prices continued to rise in 1980 and in the first 2 months of 1981. The index reached its highest level to date in Feb ruary 1981, when it stood at 273.4, then declined slight ly over the next 8 months as depressed demand for petroleum lead to greater competition among producers trying to maintain their market shares. The index regis tered slight increases in November and December 1981 and in January 1982, largely in response to higher prices for OPEC’s benchmark crude, Saudi Arabian Light, which took effect in October 1981. In February 1982, prices resumed their decline and by May, the last month for which the index has been calculated, the measure had fallen to 252.6, the lowest since December 1980. The indexes for imports from OPEC member countries and non-OPEC countries followed the same general pat tern as the index for imports from all countries between 1976 and the first 5 months of 1981. The difference be tween the two indexes was less than half an index point in May 1981, with the index for imports from OPEC measuring 271.6 and the index for imports from nonOPEC countries measuring 271.2. The next month, the two indexes began to diverge and at year’s end stood 13.9 index points apart, with the OPEC index at 265.6 and the non-OPEC index at 251.7, off 2.2 percent and 7.2 percent respectively from May. In 1982, the dif ference between the indexes widened further as the nonOPEC index registered large decreases, while the OPEC index declined only slightly. In May 1982, the index for imports from OPEC was calculated at 258.6 and the nonOPEC index, at 234.5. Of the four indexes for crude petroleum imports from selected regions, the index for the Middle East, 269.3 in May 1982, increased the most from June 1977, which equals 100. In contrast, the index for Latin America, which until June 1981 followed the same trend as the Middle East index, measured 229.8. The May 1982 in dex values for the other two regions, Africa and the Far East, were calculated at 251.3 and 254.5. Among the indexes from selected countries, the index for Mexico, which measured a full 10 index points higher than any of the others as recently as March 1981, stood at 235.3 in May 1982, the lowest of the four country indexes. The May 1982 values for the oth er indexes were 254.4 for imports from Indonesia, 246.7 for imports from Nigeria, and 273.5 for imports from Saudi Arabia. 1The price index for U.S. imports of crude petroleum from all countries is published quarterly in the BLS press release “ U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes.” The release is available on request. 2The current members of OPEC are: Algeria, Ecuador, Gabon, In donesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. 32FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Revision policy. There are two factors that affect the data that are used to compute this index which could lead to revisions in previously published index values. These are (1) the timing of some of the reports that importing companies file with the Department of Ener gy, and (2) company or Department of Energy correc tions to data on individual transactions. Of these two factors, the first is more likely to lead to revisions. Approximately 30 percent of the data that are used to calculate the index for a given month are not available when the index is first calculated. This is the result of differences in the accounting practices of some companies: Companies that book their crude when it is loaded at the foreign port are required to report on all shipments loaded in a given month, while companies that book their crude when it lands in the United States are required to report on all shipments that land in a given month. When BLS first computes the index for the current month, the reports of many of the companies in the second group (the “landed” companies) are not available. Given the amount of data involved, it is likely that the estimate of the index for the current month will be revised when the outstanding data become available. The second factor, company or Department of Ener gy corrections to data on individual transactions, has so far not been significant enough to affect aggregate index values. This is not surprising in view of the strength of the sample from which the index is calculated, and what so far has been a low incidence of corrections to data that actually enter into the calculation of the in dex. Users of the index should realize, however, that these kinds of corrections could affect future index val ues and, where the effects are significant, result in BLS’ revising the index. An analysis of the results of different calculations of the index over time has shown that index values become fairly stable 3 months after they are first calculated. In view of this, the Bureau’s policy will be to revise published index values for up to 3 months preceding the current month for which the index is calculated. Re visions of index values for earlier months are not antici pated, and will not be made unless significant reporting or calculation errors are discovered, or there is a change in the Department of Energy’s reporting requirements. □ Communications Did job satisfaction really drop during the 1970’s? A nthony F. Chelte, James Wright , Curt T ausky an d That discontent in the American work force is rising has been a commonplace assertion in popular, and even some scholarly literature on employment for the past decade.1 In contrast, most credible research has shown high and essentially stable levels of job satisfaction. However, a 1979 report by Graham Staines and Robert Quinn, derived from the 1977 Quality of Employment Survey (the third in the series), indicated a significant drop in the national job satisfaction level.2 This article reviews these data and contrasts them with data from similar surveys of the same era. In general, the pattern of decline reported by Staines and Quinn is not replicat ed in these other surveys. Surveys of job satisfaction began in the 1930’s and have continued ever since. Regular measurements on national probability samples of the work force have been available for the past 20 years. The wording of specific questions varies among series, but all basically ask workers directly whether they are satisfied with their jobs. Job satisfaction remained relatively stable throughout the early 1970’s. Elliot Richardson reviewed the Gallup series of 1948-73 and found “scanty proof of wide spread worker alienation.” 3 The Gallup series registered a small drop in overall satisfaction in the later 1960’s, but appropriate statistical controls for the changing structure of the labor force erased even this small trend.4 Curt Tausky reviewed survey data from the Survey Research Center (src) of the University of Michigan and the National Opinion Research Center ( norc ) and found that the level of job satisfaction was stable from Anthony F. Chelte is writing his doctoral dissertation on the quality of work life at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst and is cur rently visiting assistant professor of management at West New Eng land College. James Wright and Curt Tausky are professors of sociol ogy at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1958 to 1976.5 A similar review in 1974 by Quinn and associates covered three major survey series for the peri od 1958-73, and concluded, “There has not been any significant decrease in overall levels of job satisfaction over the last decade.” All other reviews of Gallup, NORC, and SRC data through the early 1970’s have re ported essentially the same. In 1969, the University of Michigan initiated a new series on the quality of working life. The first survey, the Survey of Working Conditions, was conducted in 1969-70, and the second and third surveys, the Quality of Employment Survey (qes) were conducted in 197273 and in late 1977. A comparison of results of the 1969 and 1973 surveys showed no significant job satis faction rise or decline.6 The University of Michigan also conducted a Quality of Life survey in 1971 and in 1978. Here too, the reported levels of job satisfaction were stable. Thus, most surveys, at least through the early 1970’s, conclude that job satisfaction in the American labor force has been essentially high and stable. Two researchers report decline The third QOE survey was reported by Staines and Quinn in 1979. A comparison of results from the 1973 and 1977 surveys showed, in sharp contrast to all prior series, a precipitous job satisfaction decline. Like all other series, the Quality of Employment surveys asked, “How satisfied are you with your job?” Between 1973 and 1977, the percentage “very satisfied” showed a modest, 5-point decline. Other indicators of job atti tudes were constructed using replies from asking a num ber of individual questions. They are a “general satisfaction” indicator, and six facet-specific “satisfac tion” indicators, which show the degree of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with certain aspects of the job, such as pay or coworkers. Both the general satisfaction indi cator and five (comfort, challenge, financial rewards, re source adequacy, and promotions) of the specific satisfaction indicators show a definite and statistically significant downward trend (the sole exception is satis faction with coworkers, which increases somewhat over the era). Further analysis also revealed that the declines oc curred in virtually every segment of the labor force. The decline was somewhat sharper for men than for women, MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Communications was slightly more pronounced among those in lowerskilled positions, and was more precipitous among older workers than younger ones. These variations aside, the basic conclusion of the QOE survey is that job satisfac tion declined virtually everywhere in the labor force from 1973 to 1977. Staines and Quinn advance three hypotheses to ac count for the downward trend. First, demographic changes in the composition of the labor force have in creased the relative predominance of traditionally less satisfied workers. Second, the objective, easily identifi able characteristics of specific jobs are deteriorating. Third, workers are raising their expectations about what they seek or expect in their jobs. The first two of these are inconsistent with other data from the series. For ex ample, the first implies that the trend would disappear with controls for the relevant demographic factors; they do not. As for the second, Staines and Quinn said that changes in the objective qualities of jobs and employ ment conditions between 1969 and 1977 were not great, and indicate more gains than losses. The series does not contain the data necessary to test the third item, but by process of elimination it is the most plausible. The suggestion is thus that job satisfaction in the American labor force declined from 1973 to 1977 main ly because of rising expectations. As indicated, the sharpest evidence favoring the declining reported satis faction conclusion is that derived from the summated indicators by Staines and Quinn in 1979. As of this writing, no analysis of trends in the component items of those indicators has been published. The response format for the individual component items in that report is as follows: Respondents were giv en short statements describing various characteristics of work (for example, “the pay is good”) and were then asked to state whether the statement is very true, some what true, a little true, or not at all true of their own jobs. Every component item (except one) showed a decline in the percentage of “very true” responses, the drop-offs ranging from about 5 to about 15 percentage points. On the surface, then, the item-specific results sharply con firm the original Staines-Quinn conclusion. However, more detailed consideration of these results suggests the need for some skepticism. First, the very consistency of the pattern across items is suspicious, if only because such consistent and unambiguous results are rare in social science measurement. More im portant ly, while the overall declines in the summated indicators seem plausible enough, some of these item-specific trends seem highly implausible. There is, for example, a 10-point drop in the percentage saying it is very true that fringe benefits are good. In fact, the same survey series shows an increase in the proportion of the labor force receiving various fringe benefits. There was anoth 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis er 10-point drop in “having enough time to get the job done,” which on the surface suggests a massive and hitherto undetected speed-up of American industry in the span of 4 years. Many of the other specifics have this same curious character: an 8-point drop in “the work is interesting,” an 11-point drop in “opportunity to develop my own special abilities,” roughly a 12-point decline in “having enough help and equipment to get the job done,” a 7-point drop in “the physical sur roundings are pleasant,” an 11-point drop in the ability to “forget about personal problems at work,” and so on. On the assumption that workers themselves provide the best evidence as to the nature and characteristics of their work, these data thus suggest nothing less than a wholesale transformation of the workplace over the 4 years. It is certainly possible that such a transformation in fact occurred, but it is not very likely. Comparison with other surveys As noted, Staines and Quinn reported a 5-point drop in the overall proportion of workers “very satisfied” with their work. Similar, although not identical, ques tions on general job satisfaction were also included in two other survey series covering approximately the same span, the 1973 and 1977 NORC General Social Surveys, and the 1971 and 1978 Quality of American Life Surveys. All three series are based on representative national probability samples. The pattern reported from the Quality of Employment series is not replicated in ei ther of the other two series, neither of which shows a statistically significant change in job satisfaction over the time span (table 1). Another frequently employed indicator of job satis faction or work motivation is the question, “If you were Table 1. Job satisfaction responses for two independent surveys [In percent] N a t io n a l O p in io n R e s e a r c h C e n t e r R esponse Number of respondents .................. Very satisfied.............................. Moderately satisfied .................... Little satisfied............................. Very dissatisfied.......................... 1973 1977 1,141 49 38 8 4 1,262 48 39 10 3 Q u a lit y o f life 1971 Number of respondents .................. Completely satisfied .................... Largely satisfied.......................... Slightly satisfied .......................... Neutral ..................................... Slightly dissatisfied...................... Largely dissatisfied...................... Completely dissatisfied ................. 1Weighted for 1971. 15,634 36 30 13 12 4 2 2 1978 2,380 32 32 15 10 5 3 2 to get enough money to live as comfortably as you would like for the rest of your life, would you continue to work or would you stop working?” This item is con tained in both NORC and QES. Again, no significant trend is indicated in the percentages according to the tabulation: N a tio n a l O pin ion R esea rch C e n te r 1977 1973 R esp o n se Number of respondents . Continue . . . Stop ............. 819 69 31 Q u a lity o f E m p lo y m e n t S u rv ey 1977 1973 940 70 23 2,083 67 33 2,273 72 28 The Quality of American Life Series contains exact replicas of nine component items; both series were products of the same organization (table 2). Sharply contrasting the item-by-item results from the employ ment series, identical items from the Quality of Ameri can Life series show no statistically significant declines. Perhaps the best data ever assembled on worker expectations are those contained in the first two QOE surveys. Both surveys presented respondents" with the same list of job traits and asked them to state how im portant each trait was. Unfortunately, the “how impor tant” sequence was dropped in the 1977 survey. Table 2. Lacking 1977 data from this series of questions, perhaps the best remaining national data on worker ex pectations for the era are contained in the NORC series, which presented workers with a list of five job charac teristics and asked them to rank them. On the whole, trends on these measures of “worker expectation” are modest and are not consistent with the third StainesQuinn hypothesis. In fact, there is a slight, but statisti cally significant, decrease over the 4 years in the pro portion ranking “work is important and gives a feeling of accomplishment” as their first preference. Consistent with the announced decline in job satisfac tion, Staines and Quinn also report a decline in overall life satisfaction, specifically, an 11-point drop in the per centage characterizing their lives as “very happy.” A nearly identical question was also included in the other two series (table 3). Again, the pattern of decline indi cated in the employment series is not replicated in the other two. The Staines-Quinn findings appear implausible for the following reasons: • The announced decline is inconsistent with a long history of prior research on job satisfaction trends, all showing high and essentially stable levels of job satisfaction. Comparison of item-by-item results for two surveys [In percent] Q u a lit y o f e m p lo y m e n t 1977 19711 1978 2,066 61 22 12 6 2,246 53 28 12 7 5,654 63 28 7 3 2,378 63 28 3 3 2,057 43 27 19 11 2,241 32 32 21 14 5,346 42 32 17 9 2,377 50 28 14 8 2,049 41 30 17 13 2,239 31 33 22 14 5,645 47 32 14 7 2,777 49 30 13 8 2,061 41 35 15 10 2,246 27 38 20 15 5,630 38 38 17 7 2,376 37 39 17 6 2,056 53 2,246 42 5,620 57 2,396 55 7 have the opportunity to develop m y own special abilities." Number of respondents .......................... Very true........................................... Somewhat true ................................. Not very true..................................... Not at all true ................................... 7 am given a chance to do the things 1 want to do best. ” Number of respondents .......................... Very true .............................................. Somewhat true .................................... Not very true ........................................ Not at all true ...................................... "T h e pay is good. " Number of respondents ............................ Very true........................................... Somewhat true ................................. Very true.......................................... Not at all true ................................... "T h e jo b security is good. " Number of respondents .......................... Very true........................................... Q u a lit y o f lif e Q u e s t io n s a n d r e s p o n s e s 1973 "The work is interesting. " Number of respondents .......................... Very true........................................... Somewhat true ................................. Not very tru e..................................... Not at all true ...................................... Q u a lit y o f e m p lo y m e n t Q u a lit y o f life Q u e s t io n s a n d r e s p o n s e s Somewhat true ................................... Not very true....................................... Not at all true ..................................... 1973 1977 19711 1978 27 12 9 34 15 9 25 12 6 28 10 7 1,781 20 28 23 28 1,909 16 26 28 30 5,472 22 26 29 23 2,307 26 26 25 23 2,029 61 31 6 2 2,228 57 35 7 1 5,645 64 23 9 4 2,380 65 24 8 3 2,051 42 32 18 8 2,240 35 37 19 9 5,645 49 31 13 6 2,372 50 33 13 5 2,063 41 40 14 5 2,244 31 45 17 7 5,628 51 31 13 5 2,375 52 31 11 6 "The chances fo r promotion are good. " Number of respondents .............................. Very true............................................ Somewhat true ...................................... Not very true .......................................... Not at all true ..................................... 7 am given a lo t o f chances to make friends. ” Number of respondents ............................ Very true............................................ Somewhat true ................................... Not very true....................................... Not at all true 1..................................... "The physical surroundings are pleasant. " Number of respondents .............................. Very true............................................ Somewhat true ...................................... Not very true....................................... Not at all true ..................................... 7 have enough time to get the job done. " Number of respondents ........................... Very true............................................ Somewhat true ................................... Not very true....................................... Not at all true ..................................... 1Results are based on the weighted number of respondents. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 35 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Communications • While the overall declines on multiple-item indicators seem plausible enough, many of the trends on the specific component items seem curious and implausi ble. • The drop in overall job satisfaction registered in the employment series is not replicated in either of two other series covering approximately the same time span. • The downward trends in specific component items are not replicated in the only other national survey series containing those items. • Three hypothesis are offered in the initial article to account for the announced decline. Two are ruled out by data from the employment series itself, and the third is not supported by independent evidence pres ented here. • A parallel decline in overall life satisfaction registered in the employment series is also not replicated in two independent tests. The announced decline may itself be in error, and job satisfaction in the American work forces may have been essentially constant during the mid 1970’s. It is unclear Table 3. Indicators of life satisfaction from three series [In percent] Q u a lit y o f Q u a lit y o f N a t io n a l O p in io n e m p lo y m e n t life R e s e a rc h C e n te r R esponse 1973 1977 1971 1978 1973 1977 Number of respondents . 2,080 2,280 2,147 3,647 1,500 1,527 Very happy............. Pretty happy........... Not too happy......... 38 56 6 27 65 9 29 61 10 27 63 8 36 51 13 35 53 12 why the QOE employment series would show a trend if one did not exist. A possible reason could be that the 1977 employment sample included only a fraction of the relatively more satisfied 1973 respondents, thus pro ducing an artificial decline in satisfaction. Whatever the explanation, it is apparent that the 1977 employment survey contains proportionally more people who are un happy with their jobs, and with their lives, than do oth er reputable national surveys of the same era. Until some plausible account of this difference is given, the results of the 1977 employment survey must be treated with some caution. □ FOOTNOTES ' See Harold Sheppard and Neal Herrick, Where Have all the Ro bots Gone: Worker Dissatisfaction in the 70’s (New York, Free Press, 1972) ; Harry Braverman, Labor and Monopoly Capital: The Degrada tion o f Work in the Twentieth Century (New York, Monthly Review Press, 1974); Stanley Aronowitz, False Promises: The Shaping of Amer ican Class Consciousness (New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1973); and James O’Toole, Work in America (Cambridge, Mass., MIT Press, 1973) . 2Graham Staines and Robert Quinn, “American workers evaluate the quality of their jobs,” Monthly Labor Review, January 1979, pp. 312. 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Elliot Richardson, The Creative Balance: Government, Politics, and the Individual in America's Third Century (New York, Holt, Rinehart, and Winston, 1976). 4 Robert Quinn, Graham Staines, and Margaret McCullough, Job Satisfaction: Is There a Trend? (Washington, U.S. Government Print ing Office, 1974.) 5 Robert Quinn and Linda Sheppard, The 1972-73 Quality of Em ployment Survey (Ann Arbor, University of Michigan, 1974); and Curt Tausky, Work Organizations: Major Theoretical Perspectives (Itaska, 111., F. E. Peacock, 1978). 6Quinn and Sheppard, The 1972-73 Quality of Employment Survey. Retired couple’s budgets, final report, autumn 1981 Table. 2 Percentage changes in the budgets for a retired couple, autumn 1980 to autumn 1981 Com ponent Rising medical and transportation costs contributed to the increases in the three hypothetical budgets for a re tired couple. In autumn 1981, the average urban bud gets were $7,226 at the lower level, $10,226 at the intermediate level, and $15,078 at the higher level (table 1). From autumn 1980 to autumn 1981, the lower bud get rose 8.8 percent, the intermediate, 8.4 percent, and the higher, 8.3 percent (table 2). The increases were ap proximately 2 percentage points less than those report ed for 1979-80, reflecting smaller increases in food. This report is the final release of budget data for a retired couple. The expenditure data on which the bud gets are based are now 20 years old. Continuation of the program would have required revision of concepts and expenditure data and extensive price collection, for which funding was not available. Therefore, the pro gram was eliminated as part of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ recent overall budget reduction. Consumption costs rose by 8.7 percent for the lower level budget, 8.4 percent for the intermediate, and 8.3 percent for the higher. Among the components, medical care and transportation showed the largest increases. Table 1. Summary of annual budgets for a retired couple at three levels of living, urban United States, autumn 1981 Low er I n t e r m e d ia t e H ig h e r budget budget budget Total budget1 ............................ $7,226 $10,226 $15,078 Total family consumption ............. Food..................................... Housing................................. Transportation ........................ Clothing................................. Personal care ........................ Medical care .......................... Other spending ...................... 6,914 2,183 2,377 553 244 198 1,085 275 9,611 2,898 3,393 1,073 409 290 1,091 457 13,960 3,642 5,307 1,960 629 424 1,098 901 Other Items2 .............................. 311 615 1,118 Com ponent 1Beginning with the autumn 1973 updating, the budgets no longer include income taxes. 2Other items include gifts and contributions and life insurance. Note: Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Low er I n t e r m e d ia t e H ig h e r budget budget budget Total budget ............................ 8.8 8.4 8.3 Total family consumption ........... Food ................................... Housing............................... Transportation ...................... Clothing............................... Personal care........................ Medical care ........................ Other family consumption ....... 8.7 4.9 9.6 13.6 3.4 7.6 14.9 7.8 8.4 4.5 9.2 12.9 3.3 7.8 14.8 7.8 8.3 4.6 9.2 12.1 3.3 7.6 14.9 7.6 Other items1 ............................ 8.7 8.3 7.8 10ther items include gifts and contributions and life insurance. Medical care costs increased approximately 15 percent at all three levels, while transportation costs rose about 14 percent at the lower level, 13 percent at the interme diate level, and 12 percent at the higher level. These components also showed the largest increases in the pe riod from autumn 1979 to autumn 1980. The total cost of the medical care component for autumn 1981 con tains a preliminary estimate of out-of-pocket costs for medicare. The housing component includes costs for shelter and housefurnishings and operations, and assumes that re tired couples either rent or own their homes free of mortgage payments. Renter costs include average con tract rent plus heating fuels, gas, electricity, water, spec ified equipment, and insurance on household contents. Homeowner costs include property taxes, water, refuse disposal, heating fuels, gas, electricity, specified equip ment, home repair and maintenance, and insurance on house and contents. The “other family consumption” component includes costs for reading materials, recreation, tobacco, alcohol ic beverages, and miscellaneous items. The budgets represent the costs of three hypothetical lists of goods and services that were specified in the mid-1960’s to portray three relative levels of living. A retired couple is defined as a husband, age 65 or over, and a wife, who are assumed to be self-supporting, re siding in an urban area, in reasonably good health, and 37 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Family Budgets Table 3. Indexes of comparative costs based on an intermediate budget for a retired couple, autumn 1981 [U.S. urban average cost=100] F a m ily c o n s u m p t io n Food A re a T o ta l budget H o u s in g T o ta l c o n s u m p t io n Food T o ta l at T o ta l R e n te r H om eow ner c o s ts c o s ts T r a n s p o r t a t io n 1 C lo t h in g P e rs o n a l M e d ic a l c a re c a re O th e r f a m ily c o n s u m p t io n hom e Urban United States .................. Metropolitan areas2 ................. Nonmetropolitan areas3 ........... 100 103 90 100 103 90 100 101 96 100 101 98 100 107 80 100 108 77 100 106 82 100 101 96 100 102 95 100 98 107 100 101 98 100 107 78 117 105 114 104 103 101 117 105 114 104 103 101 102 102 113 111 104 101 103 104 110 107 104 102 141 108 136 109 100 102 136 98 121 102 87 105 167 114 161 118 104 123 107 113 72 89 115 106 110 119 89 72 97 106 92 93 101 84 89 105 97 93 99 100 99 97 117 106 110 106 105 79 98 98 103 102 98 104 99 99 91 98 98 103 102 98 104 99 99 91 98 102 100 100 98 97 95 104 95 100 103 99 101 99 95 95 105 97 96 92 102 104 89 109 99 92 83 104 81 104 105 81 104 112 84 88 88 92 106 107 81 115 85 82 85 97 99 108 105 106 111 106 111 92 93 121 110 92 107 118 106 97 109 90 85 114 97 113 98 101 91 113 102 100 96 98 103 99 95 97 96 121 107 112 105 109 107 110 99 79 93 98 96 98 108 86 93 98 96 98 108 86 97 94 94 99 103 95 96 93 93 97 104 97 79 99 89 90 111 72 80 102 99 83 118 60 58 78 80 85 106 70 110 107 110 102 109 96 111 97 91 108 105 78 93 97 94 110 120 99 99 97 104 106 103 100 109 105 100 98 114 75 Denver, Colo............................ Los Angeles-Long Beach, Calif. .. San Diego, Calif....................... San Francisco-Oakland, Calif. ... Seattle-Everett, Wash................ Honolulu, Hawaii .................... Nonmetropolitan areas3 ........... 98 100 96 107 111 119 93 98 100 96 107 111 119 93 94 97 95 100 101 134 96 94 96 91 100 100 137 98 94 96 89 106 120 113 84 87 131 112 132 142 155 90 80 70 74 81 107 83 84 109 119 112 121 112 121 94 127 92 94 109 110 105 118 98 97 91 118 115 111 123 98 109 106 108 104 103 101 104 95 104 108 116 119 82 Anchorage, Alaska...................... 126 126 115 116 137 187 113 124 130 177 122 92 Northeast: Boston, Mass........................... Buffalo, N.Y............................. New York-Northeastern N.J........ Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J.................. Pittsburgh, Pa........................... Nonmetropolitan areas3 ........... North Central: Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind. ... Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.............. Cleveland, Ohio...................... Detroit, Mich............................ Kansas City, Mo.-Kans............... Milwaukee, Wis......................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.......... St. Louis, Mo.-lll........................ Nonmetropolitan areas3 ........... South: Atlanta, Ga.............................. Baltimore, Md........................... Dallas, Tex.............................. Houston, Tex........................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va............ Nonmetropolitan areas3 ........... West: 1The average costs of automobile owners and nonowners in the intermediate budget were weighted by the following proportions of families: New York, 25 percent for owners, 75 percent for nonowners; Boston, Chicago, Philadelphia, 40 percent for owners, 60 percent for nonowners; all other metropolitan areas, 60 percent for owners, 40 percent for nonowners; nonmetropolitan areas, 68 percent for owners, 32 percent for nonowners. able to care for themselves. The different budget levels provide different qualities and quantities of goods and services, but do not include personal income taxes. The lower budget was not designed to be a subsistence or poverty level of spending but simply somewhat lower than the intermediate budget. The 1981 budgets were estimated by applying price changes for individual geographic areas from autumn 1980 to autumn 1981, as reported in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers ( c p i - w ), to the appropriate autumn 1980 bud get costs for each main class of goods and services. The budgets have been updated by the CPI since 1969, when 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2As defined in 1960-61. For a detailed description of current and previous geographical boundaries, see the 1967 edition of S t a n d a r d M e t r o p o l i t a n S t a t i s t i c a l A r e a s , prepared by the Office of Management and Budget. 3Places with populations of 2,500 to 50,000. the last direct pricing took place. This method of updating is approximate because the CPI reflects spend ing patterns and prices for commodities and services purchased by urban wage earners and clerical workers generally, without regard to the type of family and level of living and because the updating was done at a rela tively aggregated level. Also, the treatment of homeownership costs in the CPI differs from the treatment in the budgets. Cost estimates and indexes of costs for the three re tired couple’s budgets, by metropolitan area and region al nonmetropolitan area averages, are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics upon request. □ Research Summaries Labor force activity of women receiving child support or alimony A lly so n and Sh e r m a n G How ard H r o ssm a n ayghe As divorce, separation, and out-of-wedlock births climbed during the 1970’s, the number of mothers rear ing children whose fathers were absent from the home rose sharply. Nonetheless, as the decade drew to a close, relatively few mothers received child support pay ments, despite the legal obligation on the part of most fathers. In addition, very few women received alimony. A special survey conducted in April 1979,1shows that an estimated 2.5 million (35 percent) of the 7.1 million mothers living with children from absent fathers had re ceived child support payments in 1978. An additional million were entitled to them but received none (table 1). Surprisingly, mothers receiving money for child sup port were found to be in the labor force more often than those not awarded such support. And, women who received alimony— financial support for their per sonal maintenance after the dissolution of a marriage— were also more likely to work than those who did not receive such payments. a Although generally higher labor force participation rates and lower unemployment rates for the recipients were evident among most major age-race groups, much of the difference between the aggregate rates of the two groups was associated with other factors. That is, m oth ers not awarded support tended to be black, less edu cated, and young— groups with serious labor market problems. For example, 47 percent of the mothers not awarded support were black, compared with only 11 percent of the recipients. Historically, black mothers maintaining their own families have had lower labor force participation rates and higher unemployment rates than their white coun terparts. In March 1979, 56 percent of the blacks were in the labor force compared with 71 percent of the whites, and the unemployment rate for this group of blacks was 16 percent, compared with a little less than 9 percent for the white mothers. Moreover, those not awarded support were, on aver age, younger, less educated, and more likely to be single (never married) than the recipients. About 30 percent of the mothers not awarded support were below age 25, and 42 percent had never been married. Of the recipi ents, 8 percent were below age 25 and less than 4 per cent had never been married. Also, as shown below, proportionately twice as many mothers not awarded support had failed to complete high school: Child support recipients In April 1979, 75 percent of the mothers who had re ceived child support in 1978 were in the work force, and 84 percent of those employed worked full time (35 hours a week or more). Of those not awarded support, the comparable proportions were 58 percent and 78 per cent. The child-support recipients were also less likely to be unemployed; at 7.3 percent their unemployment rate was only half that of the mothers not awarded sup port. Allyson Sherman Grossman and Howard Hayghe are economists in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Educational attainment: Less than 4 years of high sc h o o l..................... 4 years of high school only .................................. 1 year or more of college . . N o t a w a rd ed su p p o rt R e cip ien ts 44 22 40 16 49 29 Labor force Among both blacks and whites, participation rates of recipients were higher than those for mothers awarded no support. About 76 percent of white recipients and 64 percent of the black were working or looking for work, 39 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Research Summaries Table 1. Labor force status of mothers by child support recipiency in 1978, April 1979 [Numbers in thousands] C iv ilia n n o n in s t it u t io n a l L a b o r fo rc e p o p u la t io n E m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y e d N o t in R e c ip ie n c y s t a t u s N um ber P e rc e n t Num ber P e rc e n t P e rc e n t o f T o ta l p o p u la t io n F u ll t im e P a r t t im e Num ber R a te la b o r f o r c e Total ...................................................... 7,094 100.0 4,633 65.3 4,161 81.3 18.7 472 10.2 2,462 Awarded child support......................................... Support not scheduled for 1978 ........................ Support scheduled for 1978 .............................. Did not receive support................................. Received support......................................... 4,196 772 3,424 969 2,455 59.1 10.9 48.3 13.7 34.6 2,962 465 2,497 669 1,828 70.6 60.2 72.9 69.0 74.5 2,731 437 2,294 600 1,694 83.0 81.7 83.3 82.2 83.7 17.0 18.3 16.7 17.8 16.3 231 28 203 69 134 7.8 6.0 8.1 10.3 7.3 1,234 307 927 300 627 Not awarded child support ................................... 2,898 40.9 1,671 57.7 1,430 78.0 22.0 241 14.4 1,228 N ote: Sums of individual items may not equal totals due to rounding. compared with 60 and 55 percent of the mothers not awarded support. By marital status, divorcees were most likely to be in the labor force whether or not they received child sup port. Among the recipients, almost 85 percent of the divorcees were working or looking for work, compared with 69 percent of the separated women. Moreover, nearly 70 percent of the divorcees not awarded child support were in the labor force compared with 60 per cent of the married women and 55 percent of those sep arated or never married. Unemployment rates were much higher for those awarded no support than for recipients, regardless of race. At 11.9 percent, the unemployment rate for white nonawardees was 5 percentage points higher than for recipients, while among blacks the nonawardees were more than twice as likely to be jobless (table 2). Unem ployment among mothers not awarded child support Table 2. was highest for those who had never been married, partly because most were in their teens or early twen ties, ages at which the already difficult problems of la bor market entry are compounded by child-care responsibilities. Income and work experience Child support recipients had average (mean) annual incomes of about $8,940 in 1978, almost 70 percent greater than the $5,340 average for mothers not awarded support. Only part of this difference, however, can be attributed to the payments themselves; because mothers who were recipients were more likely to have earnings and other sources of income. In 1978, overall child support payments averaged about $1,800, or only half of the difference between the incomes of the recipients and the mothers not awarded support. This is partly because women receiving child Labor force status of mothers by child support recipiency in 1978 and selected characteristics, April 1979 P o p u la t io n L a b o r fo rc e L a b o r fo rc e (in t h o u s a n d s ) (in t h o u s a n d s ) p a r t ic ip a t io n r a t e U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e S e le c t e d c h a r a c t e r is t ic s Total .............................. N o t a w a rd e d R e c e iv e d N o t a w a rd e d R e c e iv e d N o t a w a rd e d R e c e iv e d N o t a w a rd e d R e c e iv e d c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t 2,898 2,455 1,671 1,828 57.7 74.5 14.4 7.3 461 483 690 35 1,231 781 1,242 337 8 87 274 333 379 12 674 486 1,050 232 5 55 59.7 68.9 54.9 ( 1) 54.8 67.1 84.6 69.0 (’ ) 63.2 6.2 5.7 17.2 ( 1) 20.6 7.2 6.3 9.9 (’ ) (') 1,490 1,349 292 2,168 260 124 891 743 132 1,645 167 62 59.8 55.1 45.2 75.8 64.2 50.0 11.9 17.8 17.4 6.9 8.4 (’ ) 868 1,020 629 381 205 1,086 878 285 457 613 398 204 137 813 677 200 52.6 60.1 63.2 53.5 67.2 74.9 77.1 70.2 26.2 13.6 8.7 1.7 20.9 7.8 4.6 5.2 Marital status Married spouse present ............... Divorced................................... Separated................................. Widowed................................... Never-married............................ Race and Hispanic origin: White ....................................... Black ....................................... Hispanic ................................... Age 18 to 24 years............................ 25 to 34 years............................ 35 to 44 years .......................... 45 years and over ...................... 1Percent not shown where base is less than 75,000. 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note: Sums of individual Items may not equal totals due to rounding. support were more likely than those not awarded sup port to have had some work experience in the previous year. Nearly 80 percent of the recipients worked at some time in 1978, compared with 60 percent of those not awarded child support (table 3). Moreover, the lat ter tended to work fewer weeks and in lower paying jobs. Nearly the same proportions of the two groups held full-time jobs, but 54 percent of the recipients worked all year, compared with 43 percent of the oth ers. About 2 of 3 child support recipients worked in white-collar occupations, with the remainder about equally divided between blue-collar and service occupa tions. In contrast, slightly over half (51 percent) of the mothers not awarded child support were blue-collar or service employees, while 48 percent were in white-collar jobs. Alimony [Numbers in thousands] In la b o r f o r c e N o t in C h a r a c t e r is t ic s T o ta l Num ber P a r t ic ip a t io n la b o r r a te fo rc e 14,334 8,655 59.8 5,768 Alimony or maintenance payment recipients . . . . 528 373 70.6 155 Race and Hispanic origin: White ............................................ Black ............................................ Hispanic ........................................ 486 41 24 340 32 19 70.0 (’ > 146 9 6 26 135 188 179 19 99 150 105 (') 73.3 79.8 58.7 7 36 37 74 Total, ever-divorced or currently separated V) Age: 18 to 24 years................................. 25 to 34 years................................. 35 to 44 years................................. 45 years and over............................ Median payments in 1978 ........................ $1,570 $1,420 Although only a very small proportion of ever-di vorced or currently separated women reported that they received alimony or maintenance payments in 1978, la bor force activity was strong among those who did (ta ble 4). More than 7 of every 10 were working or looking for work. Among the women receiving alimony, those between the ages of 35 and 44 had the highest participation rates and those 45 and over, the lowest. On average, women 45 years old and over received higher alimony payments than their younger counter parts. The higher payments probably contributed to their lower labor force participation rates, although in general, older women are usually less likely to work than younger women. These higher payments generally result from the longer duration of their marriages. Many courts have indicated that the duration of the marriage measures the extent of the homemaker’s ab sence from the work force and the probable degree of difficulty she will encounter in attempting to enter or reenter it. In this regard, one study concluded, that . . . “spousal support provides a form of insurance for em ployment benefits— e.g., work experience, accumulated Table 3. Work experience of mothers by child support recipiency in 1978 W e e k s w o rk e d R e c e iv e d N o t a w a rd e d c h ild s u p p o r t c h ild s u p p o r t Total (in thousands) .............................. 2,455 2,898 Worked ........................................... Percent of total.............................. 1,942 79.1 1,738 60.0 Worked (percent)................................. Full time....................................... 40 weeks or more...................... 50 to 52 weeks ...................... 39 weeks or less........................ Part time....................................... 40 weeks or more ...................... 50 to 52 weeks ...................... 39 weeks or less........................ 100.0 80.7 61.9 53.7 18.8 19.3 8.1 6.0 11.2 100.0 75.8 51.3 43.4 24.5 24.2 10.0 7.1 14.2 Note: Table 4. Labor force status of ever-divorced or currently separated women who received alimony or maintenance payments in 1978, by demographic characteristics, April 1979 Sums of individual Items may not equal totals due to rounding. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - $1,810 1Rate not shown where base is less than 75,000. Note : Sums of individual items may not equal totals due to rounding. earnings, pension plans and health insurance— the homemaker has bypassed so that she could devote her self to her family.”2 In the U nited States, there is a clear-cut legal ob ligation for fathers to provide financial support for their children from a marriage ending in divorce or separa tion regardless of the labor force status of the mother. Moreover, they are obligated to support children born out of wedlock providing paternity has been proven.3 Yet, as this report demonstrates, the receipt of child support is not widespread. □ --------- FOOTNOTES---------1The estimates in this report are based on data that were collected in March and April 1979 from the Current Population Survey (CPS) conducted for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. About 56,000 households in 614 areas of the United States with coverage in each of the 50 States and the District of Columbia were eligible for interviews in March. About 40,000 of these house holds were reinterviewed in April and women, 18 years of age and over, were then asked supplementary questions regarding child sup port and alimony payments. The labor force estimates shown in this report were derived from special tabulations prepared by Bernard R. Altschuler of the Data Services Group, Office of Current Employment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Estimates based on a sample may vary considerably from results obtained by a complete count, especially in cases where the numbers are small. Therefore, differences based on these estimates may not be significant. For more detail and the interpretation of such differences, as well as a detailed discussion of the survey methodology and findings, see; Child Support and Alimony: 1978, Current Population Reports, Series P 23 no. 112 (Bureau of the Census, 1981). 2See Nancy A. Veith, “Rehabilitative Spousal Support: In Need of a More Comprehensive Approach to Mitigating Dissolution Trauma,” University o f San Francisco Law Review, Spring 1978, pp. 493-525. 3See Carol Adaire Jones, Nancy M. Gordon, and Isabelle F. Sawhill, “Child Support Payments in the United States,” Working Pa per 992-03, Urban Institute, October 1976, p. 6. 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Research Summaries Does a younger male labor force mean greater earnings inequality? M artin D ooley an d P eter G ottschalk In a recent article in the Monthly Labor Review, Peter Henle and Paul Ryscavage showed that inequality of earnings among men grew between 1959 and 1977, al though the rate of increase was lower after 1973.1 Rob ert Plotnick likewise found an increase in the overall variance of men’s earnings during the 1958-77 period.2 Did this widening disparity reflect more than the effects of changes in the age composition of the labor force? The answer to this question is important for public policy. If the greater inequality of earnings only reflects growth in the proportion of young males in the labor force as a result of the baby boom, then we might ex pect a reversal of the trend in the future. As this dispro portionately large group of young men ages and is replaced by smaller cohorts, the distribution of earnings may become more equal. More disturbing would be the finding that inequality has grown among men with a given level of work experience. This would indicate that the greater overall inequality reflects more than simply the “younging” of the labor force. Our analysis makes two contributions to the growing literature on earnings inequality. First, by focusing on inequality within education-experience groups, we dem onstrate that two simple demographic explanations are not sufficient to explain the trend. Finis Welch and Richard Freeman have shown that the mean earnings of young workers fell relative to the mean earnings of older workers during the late 1960’s and early 1970’s.3 This by itself would increase the between-age-group variance of earnings, and hence, increase the total vari ance. However, we show that, even after the influence of the between-group variance is eliminated, there re mains a substantial trend towards greater inequality. The second demographic explanation is that the young make up a growing percentage of the labor force. Be cause the young typically have a high earnings variance,4 the average of the within-age-group variances would tend to increase with the labor market entry of the baby boom. But by examining the variance of separate education-experience categories, we show that this fac tor is not sufficient to explain the trend in the overall variance. Our principal concern is with the experience Martin Dooley is an assistant professor of economics at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Peter Gottschalk is a project associate at the Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wis consin, Madison, and an assistant professor of economics at Bowdoin College, Brunswick, Maine. 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis composition of the labor force, but because Jacob Minc er has shown that earnings inequality varies with the level of education,5we control for this factor as well. The second major contribution of this study is to show that the proportion of people with zero earnings also increased within education-experience categories. This development has largely been ignored in the litera ture. Henle and Ryscavage and Plotnick limited their samples to people with positive earnings. Likewise, our measure of inequality, the variance of the logarithm of earnings, does not allow us to include people with zero earnings. The exclusion of a growing group of individu als who fall at the lowest point in the distribution gives an incomplete picture. Method of the study To examine these issues, we start by reviewing our measures of inequality and zero earnings averaged across all education and experience groups. We then turn to an analysis of changes within education and ex perience categories. Like Henle and Ryscavage, we used data from the work experience supplement to the March 1968-79 Cur rent Population Survey.6 The special household ques tionnaire included data on annual earnings and weeks worked. Our sample covered males 16 through 62, who were not then in school and who reported they had worked 50 to 52 weeks the previous year, or fewer weeks for reasons other than school or, in the case of older men, retirement. Those self-employed or working without pay were excluded. The observations were di vided into four education categories: less than 12 years, 12 years, 13 to 15 years, and 16 years or more of schooling completed. Current age minus estimated labor force entry age was used to allocate individuals to sin gle-year labor force experience groups.7 Within each of the 1,960 education-experience-year cells, we calculated the variance of log annual and log weekly earnings among earners, as well as the propor tion of zero earners. (Weekly earnings are not collected directly from respondents to the March Current Popu lation Survey. For this study, estimates of weekly earn ings were obtained by dividing the respondent’s reported annual earnings by reported weeks worked. The weeks worked may have been full time, part time, or some combination of the two.) These within-group measures are the basis for our analysis. Inequality of weekly earnings, which has the advantage of not being influenced by changes in the distribution of weeks worked, was not studied by Henle and Ryscavage or Plotnick. The findings Table 1 shows the total variance of log earnings and the weighted average of the within-group variances for Table 1. Variance of log earnings, and proportion of men with zero earnings, 1967-78 V a r ia n c e o f lo g V a r ia n c e o f lo g a n n u a l e a r n in g s w e e k l y e a r n in g s W it h in - g r o u p ' T o ta l W i t h in - g r o u p ’ (1 ) (2 ) (3 ) (4 ) 0.503 .482 .521 .584 .607 .645 .613 .645 .673 .671 .662 .631 0.373 .349 .373 .417 .436 .451 .432 .457 .479 .473 .465 .454 0.402 .379 .374 .405 .433 .446 .441 .459 .425 .432 .432 .445 3.025 (5 ) 0.302 .280 .267 .287 .295 .314 .308 .326 .298 .299 .300 .323 3.3 3.5 3.6 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.8 5.8 7.3 6.9 6.5 6.4 o O o cn <o ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... T o ta l CD CVI O 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 P e r c e n t w it h z e r o e a r n in g s Year 3.072 .057 3.013 3 .031 3-.042 3-.031 O co ro 3 O oo 1967-78 . . 1967-72 . . co Trend:2 1972 . . . . I O Change In trend after -.0 1 1 -.035 1Weighted average for groups defined by four educational levels and by single years of labor force experience. 2Time trend fitted to the log of averages shown in the table. 31.28 < t< 1.64. 41.64<t. each year.8 The average was constructed by weighing the variance of each of the education-experience cells by the proportion of people in that cell in that year. Col umn 1 shows that the total variance of log annual earn ings grew substantially over the period. The rate of increase, however, seems to have been more rapid prior to 1973, confirming Henle and Ryscavage’s earlier con clusions based on gini indexes.9 Column 2 shows that the increase in the total variance occurs even when we eliminate the effect of changes in between-group vari ance. The average of the within-group variances of log annual earnings increased from .373 in 1967 to .454 in 1978. Examination of the data again indicates that the growth rate was considerably higher during 1967-72 than in the 1973-78 period. To estimate growth rates, we fit linear time trends to the data in table 1. A spline covering the 1973-78 peri od was used to test for change in growth rates.10 The estimated trend over the full period, the trend over 1967-72, and the change in the trend after 1972 are shown in the bottom three rows." The time trends fitted to the variance of the log an nual earnings indicate a 2.8-percent growth rate in the total variance and a 2.5-percent growth rate in the with in-group variance over the full period. This was a result of a very rapid rise between 1967 and 1972 and a level ing after 1972. Columns 3 and 4 of table 1 show that the increasing inequality of annual earnings is not only a reflection of changes in employment patterns. The to tal variance of weekly earnings also shows a 1.3-percent growth rate and the within-group variance shows a 0.9-percent growth rate; both are statistically signifi https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cant. Again, the growth rates are substantially higher during 1967-72 than in the later period, when the growth rates are quite small. These data indicate that annual and weekly earnings among workers with posi tive earnings have become less equal, although the rate of increase in the inequality dropped after 1972. Column 5 shows the percent of males with zero earn ings. This series shows a dramatic increase during the survey period. In 1967, 3.3 percent of all men in our sample had zero earnings. By 1978, the proportion had grown to 6.4 percent. The growth rates over the full pe riod and the period 1967-72 are both large and sig nificant. For the percent with zero earnings, the trends in the two subperiods are not significantly different. The rise in the proportion of men with zero earnings is large enough to warrant careful attention. While it is beyond the scope of this study to explain why this rap id increase has occurred, it is consistent with other sur vey data which show that the proportion of men out of the labor force in any given month has been growing.12 More surprisingly, our data indicate that many of these men did not have any earnings during the year. Table 2 shows the estimated growth rate in the pro portion of men with zero earnings and the estimated growth rate in the within-group variance of log annual and weekly earnings for 16 education-experience catego ries.13 Columns 1 to 3 indicate that the within-group variance of log annual earnings increased in all cases. All growth rates except two are significantly greater than zero (the exceptions being the two highest experi ence groups for college graduates). The growth rates are both statistically significant and of substantial magni tude. The within-group variance of the log of annual earnings grew in the 2- to 4-percent range for most cat egories. This indicates that the average increase in the within-group variance of log annual earnings shown in table 1 reflects more than population shifts among cells as a result of the baby boom. For the group with the lowest experience there is strong confirmation of a slowdown in the trend toward inequality, even within experience categories. Column 3 shows statistically significant declines for all educational levels. For other experience groups, the picture is not so clear. Column 3 shows a decline in the growth rates for all but three of the categories with more than 10 years of experience. However, almost none of these differences in the growth rates is statistically significant. This par tially reflects the substantial year-to-year fluctuations in the data that make it difficult to draw conclusions about subperiods. Nevertheless, we can say that a decline in the trend toward greater inequality within education-experi ence categories is not strongly confirmed by the data for men with more than 10 years of experience. Columns 4 to 6 show the growth rates in withingroup variances of log weekly earnings. As found in ta43 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Research Summaries ble 1, the growth rates are considerably lower than those for the log of annual earnings. In addition, we find that (with one exception) the trend toward greater inequality of weekly earnings is statistically significant only for men with less than a college degree and less than 21 years of experience. For these people, growing inequality of annual earnings also reflects growing in equality of weekly earnings. For the other groups, all but one trend coefficient in column 4 is positive but only one of these is statistically significant.14 Few of the education-experience groups show statistically signifi cant changes in growth rates between the two subperiods. Columns 7 and 8 show the growth rates in the per cent of men with zero earnings. Column 7 shows signifi cantly positive growth rates in the proportion of re spondents with zero earnings, even in the higher education-experience cells. Not only are the growth rates in columns 7 and 8 statistically significant but they are quite large, almost all being above 7 percent per year. Columns 8 and 9 indicate that the growth rates in the percentage of zero earners did decline after 1972. However, the statistically significant declines are concentrated in the two groups with lower experience. I n SUMMARY, we find that the increasing inequality of male earnings reflects more than the changes in the composition of the labor force which resulted from the labor market entry of the baby boom. Even within edu cation-experience cells, the variance of log annual earn ings has been increasing. For men with less than 20 years of experience, the variance of log weekly earnings has also been rising. Furthermore, there is an increas ingly large proportion of men who earn no income over a full year. The rise in this proportion of zero earners is not confined to those with little education or experience. It seems to be occurring across the board. What are the possible explanations for our observed inequality within education-experience cells? One might be that increased transfer programs have generated disequalizing labor supply responses. But while this hypothesis has yet to be tested rigorously, indirect evi dence suggests that it is not a full explanation. Recall, for example, that high education-experience males, whose greater earnings capacity makes them less likely to be eligible for transfer payments, also experienced an increase in inequality. This suggests that expanded transfer programs were not the only factor at work. An other possible explanation involves the education and Table 2. Trends1 in average within-group earnings variances and in the percentage of men with zero earnings, by years of experience and education, 1967-78 [In percent] A v e r a g e w it h in - g r o u p v a r ia n c e L o g a n n u a l e a r n in g s L o g w e e k l y e a r n in g s E x p e r ie n c e - Change e d u c a t io n T re n d , 1 9 6 7 -7 8 1 9 6 7 -7 2 (1 ) (2 ) 1 to 10 years’ experience: Education: Less than 12 vears ........................ 12 years................................... 13 to 15 years............................ 16 years or more........................ 2.033 2.044 2.054 3.017 2.061 2.077 2.143 2.070 2-.050 3-.060 2- . 158 2 - .093 11 to 20 years’ experience: Education: Less than 12 years ........................ 12 years................................... 13 to 15 years............................ 16 years or more........................ .040 2.072 2.041 2.025 2.070 2.076 2.042 3.038 -.050 -.007 -.003 -.022 21 to 30 years’ experience: Education: Less than 12 years ........................ 12 years................................... 13 to 15 years............................ 16 years or more........................ 2.023 2.039 2.030 .012 3.038 31 or more years’ experience: Education: Less than 12 years ........................ 12 years................................... 13 to 15 years............................ 16 years or more........................ 2.019 2.019 3.028 .015 44 T re n d , 1 9 6 7 -7 8 1 9 6 7 -7 2 a fte r 1972 (7 ) (8 ) .002 -.010 3-.061 3 -.037 2.087 2.104 2.114 2.082 2.166 2.206 2.212 2.180 2-.140 2-.180 2-.174 2 -.174 2 3.044 .010 .022 .014 -.047 2.073 .009 -.011 2.130 2.113 2.163 2.111 2.162 2.138 2.240 .041 3 -.058 -.044 3-.136 .124 2 .O8 O -.004 .012 .016 .001 .020 3.054 .030 -.027 .017 .073 -.022 .050 2.108 2.094 2.104 2.031 2.115 2.102 2.121 .025 -.013 -.014 -.030 .010 .021 -.011 2.036 2.032 2.082 3.007 .004 018 .016 .007 .006 3.063 .004 -.001 -.002 -.080 .023 2 .O88 2.115 2.060 .032 2.099 2.109 .015 .073 -.020 .012 .080 -.074 -.010 Change T re n d , T re n d , 1 9 6 7 -7 8 1 9 6 7 -7 2 (4 ) (5 ) 2.018 2.018 2.032 .002 .017 .024 2 .O66 3 .023 .018 2.052 2.027 .007 -.027 3-.071 .015 .040 3-.030 3-.024 3-.096 .044 in t r e n d a fte r 1972 (3 ) 1Trends are fitted to the log of the average variances and percentage of zero earnings within each experience-education category. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T re n d , in t r e n d Change T re n d , c a te g o ry P e r c e n t o f m e n w it h z e r o e a r n in g s 3 21.64 < t. 31.28 < t < 1.64. in t r e n d a fte r 19 7 2 (9 ) (6 ) y A training investment decisions of persons born during the baby boom. Increasing inequality of human capital in vestment among members of recent cohorts may have led to increased earnings inequality, especially during the early years of the life cycle. In an earlier study, we provided both theoretical and empirical support for this hypothesis. Including a measure capturing baby boom effects reduces the trend toward inequality but does not eliminate it.15 A more satisfactory explanation for the trend towards greater inequality, both within demo graphic groups and within occupations (as shown by Henle and Ryscavage), therefore, remains an important topic for further research. □ --------- FOOTNOTES--------1Peter Henle and Paul Ryscavage, “The distribution of earned in come among men and women, 1958-77,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1980, pp. 3-10. 2 Robert D. Plotnick, “Trends in Male Earnings Inequality,” South ern Economic Journal, January 1982, pp. 724-32. 3See Finis Welch, “Effects of Cohort Size on Earnings: The Baby Boom Babies’ Financial Bust,” Journal of Political Economy, October 1979, pp. S65-S97; and Richard Freeman, “The Effect of Demograph ic Factors on Age-Earnings Profiles,” Journal o f Human Resources, Summer 1979, pp. 289-318. 4 See Jacob Mincer, Schooling, Experience and Earnings (New York, Columbia University Press, 1974). 3See Jacob Mincer, Schooling. 6The March work experience supplement is a retrospective survey which asks respondents to describe their own labor force experience and that of other household members for all of the previous calendar year. 7 Finis Welch and William Gould used data from the 1940, 1950, 1960, and 1970 censuses and the Coleman-Rossi sample to estimate labor force entry age for men conditional on observed age, education, and birth cohort. These data were kindly provided to the authors by Finis Welch. Current age minus estimated labor force entry age was https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis used to estimate labor force experience. See Finis Welch and William Gould, “An Experience Imputation or an Imputation Experience,” unpublished paper (Los Angeles, University of California, October 1976). 8The between-group variance in each year is simply the difference between the total and the average within-group variance shown in ta ble 1. 9See Henle and Ryscavage, “The distribution of earned income.” 10The time trends in table 1 are estimated by fitting a time trend and a spline (which is a variable which takes on the values 1, 2 . . . n in the n years following 1972, allowing the fitted time trend to kink in 1973) to the 12 yearly observations for each series. The dependent variables are the logarithms of the averages shown in table 1. An alternative procedure is to use observations on each category in each year, yielding 1,960 observations for each regression. Because these observations can be grouped exactly on the 12 yearly values of the independent variables, this procedure is identical to estimating equations using the time trend and spline as independent variables and the average of the logs, rather than the log of the averages, as de pendent variables. The trends based on this alternative procedure give the same qualitative results. " The 1973-78 trend can be obtained by adding the bottom rows. 12 For example, see Donald Parsons, “The Decline in Male Labor Force Participation,” Journal of Political Economy, February 1980, pp. 117-34. 13The trends in table 2 are calculated as follows: The 1960 single year-experience-education categories, which make up our basic data, are aggregated into 192 categories made up of 16 experience-education cells observed in each of 12 years. The single year-experience-educa tion data are used to calculate weighted averages of the two variables shown in table 2 (percentages of zero earners and within-group vari ances) for each of the 16 categories for each year. Time trends are fit ted to the log of these averages within each aggregated category. Again, the alternative procedure of fitting trends to the averages of the logs gives similar results. 14Entering the unemployment rate in the regression used to esti mate the trend does not alter the basic conclusion. Time trends still tend to be insignificant for all but the groups with the least education and experience. 15 Martin Dooley and Peter Gottschalk, Earnings Inequality Among Males in the U.S.: Trends and the Effect of Labor Force Growth, QSEP Research Report No. 19 (Hamilton, Ont., McMaster University, Feb ruary 1982). 45 M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in December is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. E m p lo y e r a n d lo c a tio n L a b o r o r g a n iz a tio n 1 In d u stry N u m ber of w orkers 2,000 1,400 1,800 American Millinery Manufacturers Association, Inc. (New York) ............. Associated Hospitals of The East Bay, Inc. (C a lifo rn ia )................................ AVX Corp., AVX Ceramics (M yrtle Beach, S . C .) ........................................... A p p a r e l........................................ H o s p ita ls ...................................... Electrical p ro d u c ts ..................... H a tte r s ......................................................... American Nurses’ Association (Ind.) . . Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Hughes Aircraft Co. (C alifo rn ia)........................................................................... Electrical p ro d u c ts ..................... Carpenters ................................................ 13,000 International Telephone and Telegraph Corp., General Controls Division (California) Fabricated metal products Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... 1,000 Liggett and Myers Tobacco Co., Inc. (Durham, N .C . ) ................................... T o b a c c o ........................................ 1,000 Loews Theatres, Inc., Lorillard Division (Louisville, K y .) .............................. T o b a c c o ........................................ Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers M anufacturers’ Industrial Relations Association (I n te r s ta te )........................ Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. (Detroit and Ann Arbor, Mich.) ............. Primary m e t a l s ........................... Utilities ........................................ Molders ...................................................... Service Employees ................................... 4,000 1,300 Occidental Chemical Co. (White Springs, F l a . ) ................................................ C hem icals...................................... Chemical W orkers ................................... 1,500 Pacific Gas and Electric Co., 2 agreements (California) ................................ Pacific G as and Electric Co. (California) ........................................................... Utilities ........................................ Utilities ........................................ Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... M arine E n g in ee rs...................................... 18,100 1,900 RCA Corp., National Agreement (I n te r s ta te )................................................... Republic Airlines, Inc., 2 agreements (Interstate) ........................................... Electrical p ro d u c ts ...................... Air tra n s p o rta tio n ...................... Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Air Line P ilo ts ........................................... 13,000 7,400 Salt River Project Agricultural Improvement and Power District (Phoenix, Ariz.) Standard Plastic Products, Inc. (Plainfield, N . J . ) .............................................. Utilities ........................................ Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... 1,500 Miscellaneous manufacturing . . Leather, Plastic and Novelty Workers . 1,100 Western Airlines, Inc. (I n te r s ta te )......................................................................... Air tra n s p o rta tio n ...................... Air» Line P ilo ts ........................................... 2,300 Alaska Public Employees Association (Ind.) L a b o re rs ...................................................... National Education Association (Ind.) National Education Association (Ind.) 5,850 . . . 1,500 G o v e r n m e n t a c tiv ity Alaska: General Government E m p lo y e e s ........................................................... M ultidepartments ...................... Labor Trades and Crafts U n i t ................................................................. Colorado: Denver School District 1; professional e m p lo y e e s ........................ Ohio: Dayton Board of Education; professional e m p lo y e e s ........................... Central a d m in is tra tio n ............. E d u c a tio n ...................................... E d u c a tio n ...................................... ' Affiliated with A F L -C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.) 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,400 4,300 2,000 Developments in Industrial Relations Legislated settlement ends rail strike In late September, President Reagan signed into law a legislated settlement (P.L. 97-262) to end a 4-day strike by about 26,000 members of the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers. The strike had curtailed rail freight and passenger service across much of the coun try. At issue in the dispute was the Locomotive Engi neers’ right to strike should they fail to maintain their traditional pay differential over other operating employ ees represented by the United Transportation Union if those employees negotiate “crew consist” agreements providing additional compensation in return for a re duction in crew size. The Locomotive Engineers have had such a strike provision in their contracts since 1975. The legislated settlement preempted this right and implemented other recommendations of an emergency board established by the President in July. Under provi sions of the Railway Labor Act, the President can es tablish such a board if negotiations and mediation reach an impasse, at which time a 60-day “cooling-off period” begins. In mid-August, the board recommended that the union accept the national railroad wage-and-benefit pattern and that the union be allowed to negotiate changes in engineer compensation when there is a “change in the compensation relationship as a result of a crew consist agreement between a given carrier and the United Transportation Union.” However, the board also said that during the life of the agreement the Loco motive Engineers should only negotiate “within the peaceful procedures of the Railway Labor Act.” When the “cooling-off period” (which had been ex tended 10 days) expired on September 19, the Locomo tive Engineers walked off their jobs. This prompted President Reagan to ask the Congress to pass emergen cy legislation conforming to the emergency board’s rec ommendations to end the strike. The Congress passed the measure on September 22. “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben and other members of the staff of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In signing the legislation, the President noted that “vital national interests” had been at stake and that a prolonged strike could have idled “nearly a million Americans” — primarily in the rail, auto, steel, and min ing industries, and also have an adverse effect on the agricultural products industry. The mandated settle ment provided the same general wage-and-benefit terms as those already negotiated in the railroad industry by 11 other unions, some of which had settled as early as November 1981. (See Monthly Labor Review, January 1982, p. 24.) Members of the United Transportation Union were voting on a pattern agreement negotiated in September. Pre-bargaining talks end at aluminum companies Discussions between three major aluminum companies and the United Steelworkers did not result in labor cost concessions the companies had sought. However, a union official said that the talks had “cleared the air on a number of issues” in preparation for the 1983 bargaining. The union’s existing 3-year contracts with the Aluminum Co. of America, Reynolds Metals Co., and Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. expire May 31, 1983. In recent years, the Steelworkers’ settlement with these companies has set a pattern for workers it represents at other aluminum companies, as well as for the Aluminum, Brick and Glass Workers union, which represents 20,000 employees of Alcoa, Reynolds, and other companies. Overall, the Steelworkers represents 25,000 employees in the industry. The Steelworkers apparently ended talks because the Aluminum Workers rejected any negotiation with the industry, which meant that any concessions by the Steelworkers would end compensation parity in the in dustry. At the time the talks were terminated, the three companies were operating at less than 50 percent of ca pacity and, reportedly, their output was selling below the cost of production. Steel industry update There was renewed hope in the steel industry that the Steelworkers and the eight Coordinating Committee 47 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Developments in Industrial Relations Steel Companies could reach a pattern-setting accom modation on cuts in labor costs, despite the union’s ear lier rejection of an employer proposal. (See Monthly Labor Review, August 1982, p 56.) Steelworkers Presi dent Lloyd McBride indicated the union was willing to consider a reopening of discussions with the companies, which were operating at less than 40 percent of capaci ty, with some 120,000 workers on layoff. Despite the uncertain outlook for an early settlement with the eight companies, other individual com panies were able to reach wage concession agreements with the Steelworkers: • Employees of Phoenix Steel Corp.’s Claymont, Del., plant agreed to an immediate $1.25 an hour wage cut, to be followed by a 25-cent cut in January 1983. Both reductions will continue to the August 1983 ter mination of the current 3-year contract. Workers at the company’s Phoenixville, Pa., plant rejected a sim ilar proposal, but negotiations were continuing. Half of the 1,800 workers at the two specialty steel plants were on furlough. • In Illinois, 1,300 workers at Northwestern Steel & Wire Co.’s wire and rod mill agreed to reductions in pay and holidays amounting to as much as $3 an hour, according to the company. Company President Peter Dillion declined to estimate the total savings to the company but said the operation had lost money for the last 3 years. The settlement was impelled by the company’s July 20 announcement that it would close the mill in 90 days if the workers did not agree to cuts in compensation. • Colt Industries Inc. again announced plans to close its Crucible Stainless & Alloy Division mill in Mid land, Pa., by yearend. However, Colt did indicate that the plant was still for sale; earlier purchase nego tiations with Cyclops Corp. were not successful. The company currently has 275 employees, compared with a peak of 5,500 in 1980. • In West Virginia, the 11,000 employees of National Steel Corp.’s Weirton Steel Division retained Lazard Freres & Co. to help in their efforts to purchase the operation. The investment banking firm will assist in forming a stock ownership plan, negotiating a pur chase price, getting financing, and evaluating Weirton’s assets. • Republic Steel Corp. announced a 7- to 10-percent pay cut for 5,800 nonunion salaried employees. Earli er this year, Republic had frozen cost-of-living salary increases and merit pay increases for salaried employ ees and had reduced their numbers by 1,400. Company besieged by claims, files bankruptcy In action that may have widespread implications for other asbestos producers and processors— and for com 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis panies in other industries— Manville Corp. filed for bankruptcy, asserting that its assets were insufficient to meet the projected costs of thousands of lawsuits filed by workers claiming physical disabilities resulting from exposure to asbestos. John H. McKinney, Manville’s chairman and president, explained that “our businesses are in good shape despite this recession . . . [but] we are completely overwhelmed by the cost of the asbestos health lawsuits filed against us.” At the time, there were 16,500 claims pending against Manville, with 500 being added each month. Manville apparently decided to seek protection under Chapter 11 of the Federal Bankruptcy Act of 1978 after a study by Epidemiology Resources, Inc., indicated that Manville faced a potential total of 52,000 suits at a pos sible cost of $2 billion, nearly twice the company’s cur rent $1.1 billion net worth. Officials said this was the “low projection” ; the “high projection” was for 120,000 suits at a liability of more than $5 billion. In recent years, Manville and other asbestos produ cers and users have been hit by medical claims and have been asking the Federal Government to assume a major share of the cost because many of the workers incurred cancer or asbestosis from exposure to asbestos during wartime service in shipyards. Dave Pullen of the Asbes tos Compensation Coalition (nine firms that either man ufacture asbestos or did so in the past) maintains that the Government has a degree of responsibility because it “acted just like any other manufacturer. They bought and sold asbestos fiber, they purchased machinery to give to asbestos manufacturers, they specified the prod ucts and controlled the workplace where most of those workers were exposed.” Initial indications were that this position was not fa vored by the Congress. Senator Robert Dole, chairman of the Subcommittee on the Courts, criticized Manville’s decision to file under the bankruptcy act, saying “this procedure is dubious, and unusual at best. America’s bankruptcy system can ill afford the addi tional strains to be placed upon it by those who would use its protection for shelter against personal or corpo rate attacks where other remedies, both legal and con gressional, would seem to be more appropriate.” Attorneys for many of the claimants also reacted bitterly to Manville’s action, calling it improper because the company was viable despite a $19.9 million loss during the second quarter of the year. Actually, Manville was not the first asbestos compa ny to file under Chapter 11. A month earlier, u n r , a Chicago company, had sought protection under the chapter, which suspends creditor claims while the com pany attempts to reorganize and improve its financial condition. There were no immediate indications of how other as bestos companies would handle their claims. At the time of the Manville action, 260 other asbestos compa nies faced a total of 13,500 claims. Texaco settles, 7-month strike ends The round of bargaining in petroleum refining was fi nally concluded when Texaco, Inc., and the Oil, Chemi cal and Atomic Workers agreed on a contract that ended a 7-month strike at the company’s Port Arthur, Tex., refinery. The major issue in the dispute arose in 1976, when Texaco began reducing the optional lump sum payment retiring workers may elect instead of the usual monthly benefits. The company claimed the re duction was justified because rising interest rates would have enabled workers investing their lump sum to ex ceed the total value of monthly benefits drawn by other retirees. The dispute accelerated in 1981, when the union initiated and won a Federal District Court case concerning Texaco’s action. At the time of the accord, the court was considering Texaco’s appeal. The parties agreed to an out-of-court settlement of the legal dispute. The accord provides for the reduction of lump-sum benefits to apply to future retirees. Howev er, the 542 workers who retired and elected lump-sum payments between February 1976 and January 1982 will share $3 million provided by Texaco. In addition, future retirees will be credited with up to 5 years of ser vice time lost because of strikes or union duties. Future retirees also can get credit for other time lost by paying an amount equal to 4 percent of base pay for the period lost. The 3V2 year agreement also called for wage increases of 9 percent, effective immediately, and 90 cents an hour, effective June 15, 1983. (This matches increases provided by 2-year agreements the union had negotiated with other refineries earlier in the year.) In 1984 and 1985, Texaco workers will receive the same wage in creases as those resulting from the 1984 bargaining at the other companies. In an effort to reduce its work force, Texaco agreed to pay employees who quit before they are eligible to retire $4,000 plus 1 week of pay for each year of ser vice. Texaco said it was necessary to reduce the refin ery’s hourly work force by 1,000 persons because of a worldwide glut of petroleum products. Texaco kept the Port Arthur refinery in operation during the strike, using nonunion technical and manage ment employees. Glass workers trade wages for job security More than 5,000 glass workers were covered by a set tlement between Libby-Owens-Ford Co. and the Glass and Ceramic Workers that a company official said “pro vides greater job security . . . in return for reducing fu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ture wage costs.” At the time of the settlement, 2,000 hourly employees were on layoff attributed to the de pressed condition of the housing and automobile indus tries. The new contract, which supersedes the balance of a 3^year contract scheduled to expire in October 1983, runs to October 1985. Under the agreement: • The union gave up 19-cent-an-hour wage increases scheduled for October of 1982 and 1983, but there will be a 19-cent increase in October 1984. • The provision for automatic quarterly cost-of-living pay adjustments was suspended, subject to activation if the BLS Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967=100) rises more than 33.6 points. Part of the suspended adjustment will be recovered by the employees if parts shipped to the automobile industry reach specified levels. • Provisions for October 1982 pension and insurance improvements were retained. • Libby-Owens-Ford agreed to establish a $800,000 fund to pay health insurance premiums for laid-off workers, retirement incentives, or as lump-sum pay ments to active employees. Each local union will de cide how to use its share of the fund. • Libby-Owens-Ford agreed not to expand glassmaking or auto glass fabricating furnaces at plants where workers are not represented by the union. • The parties agreed to reopen negotiation in October 1984 if hours worked by members of the bargaining unit drop below a specified level. The contract covered operations in Toledo, Ohio, Ot tawa, 111., Charleston, W.Va., and Lathrop, Calif. Newspapers begin cost-reducing measures More than a year of uncertainty over the fate of the financially troubled New York Daily News was ended when the last of the newspaper’s 11 unions agreed to a package of cost-reduction measures. Details of the pack age varied among unions, but the overall objective was to reduce labor costs by $50 million a year, the mini mum cut the paper said was necessary for continued operation. The reduction was to be attained by elimi nating the equivalent of 1,340 full-time employees from the work force. To help do this, the newspaper set up a $50 million fund to finance one-time “buy-out” pay ments for full-time employees who elect to leave. The Daily News also agreed to spend $44 million to upgrade its printing plant in Brooklyn and establish two subur ban plants. The accord called for (1) a 3-year extension of the current labor contracts, which had been scheduled to expire in March 1984, (2) weekly wage increases of $38, 49 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Developments in Industrial Relations $35, and $37 in March of 1984, 1985, and 1986, (3) a cost-of-living wage adjustment clause that could result in additional increases, and (4) a possible reopening of bargaining if the paper attains a profit that exceeds 6-percent of net worth. The unions had agreed to reopen their current 3-year agreements (which were not scheduled to expire until March 1984) in response to a request by the parent Tri bune Co. of Chicago, which cited a 1981 operating loss of $13 million and an expected 1982 loss of $30 million. The effort to save the morning tabloid came after the Tribune Co. had failed to sell the paper, which has a circulation of 1.5 million on weekdays and 2.2 million on Sundays. Elsewhere in the industry, the Minneapolis Star and Tribune Co. announced that it will allow 825 nonunion employees to take up to 30 days off without pay, with an option to take more. A company official said the program will reduce payroll costs and give employees more leisure time, and that a similar program will be discussed with union-represented workers if they expressed an interest. The Minneapolis Star and the Minneapolis Tribune merged in April in an effort to re duce payroll and distribution costs. Iron Workers pay frozen for 1 year In Arizona, members of Iron Workers Local 75 ap proved a 1-year contract that freezes their pay rate at $16.25 an hour for 1 year but does provide for a 20-cent-an-hour increase in employer financing of bene fits. The agreement was negotiated with the Arizona Steel Field Erectors Association. Harry Steel, business manager of the local, explained, “We have a lot of un employment and a lot of our people are moving out of the State, so we thought it was best to hold the line un til things get better.” Currently, about 30 percent of the local’s 1,500 members are unemployed. Delta nonunion workers get pay increases Delta Airlines granted its 33,000 nonunion employees general and merit pay increases totaling up to 8 per cent, along with improvements in benefits. (The changes https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis did not apply to Delta’s 4,000 pilots, who are covered by a contract that calls for periodic improvements in pay and benefits.) Delta suffered an operating loss for the quarter ending March 31, 1982— its first quarterly loss in 25 years— but rebounded and showed a net pro fit of $20.8 million for the fiscal year that ended June 30. Teamsters’ pension fund monitoring extended A quarter century of controversy concerning the Teamsters’ Central States Pension Fund was eased when fund trustees and the Department of Labor en tered into a consent decree that will extend Federal monitoring and independent management of the fund’s assets for at least 10 years. The decree opened the pos sibility of settling several Federal suits involving the fund. In the most important suit, filed in 1978, the Government accused Teamsters’ President Roy L. Wil liams and 18 other former trustees of “gross misman agement” of millions of dollars of fund assets. The trustees had resigned a year earlier, under pressure from the Department of Labor and the Internal Revenue Ser vices. Secretary of Labor, Raymond J. Donovan, said the decree contains “virtually all of the safeguards that the Government has been seeking . . . [to] assure that the assets of the Teamsters’ pension fund are protected and managed prudently and professionally. The decree contains provisions to (1) require the fund to use an independent assets manager (as before, the manager is permitted to consult with the trustees, but trustees cannot veto the manager’s investment deci sions); (2) permit the trustees to fire the investment manager and hire a replacement, subject to approval by the court; (3) create an independent special counsel, to be selected by the court, to monitor operation of the fund and periodically report the results to the court; (4) remove fund trustees and employees convicted of cer tain “relevant” crimes, such as fraud or embezzlement; and (5) continue the court’s jurisdiction over the fund for 10 years, for an additional 5 years if the Department of Labor insists, and beyond that “for good cause shown.” □ Book Reviews Holy macro! Inflation’s not that simple Commodity Prices and the New Inflation. By Barry P. Bosworth and Robert Z. Lawrence. Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1982. 215 pp. $24.95, cloth; $9.95, paper. The traditional division of economic theory in college textbooks between microeconomics (dealing with such topics as the theory of the firm, market structures, and price determination) and macroeconomics (dealing with such topics as business cycles, inflation, and unemploy ment), while a useful pedagogical tool in many respects, may also tend to obscure some crucial connections in the real world. It is particularly important to realize that the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy alterna tives such as anti-inflation remedies may be highly de pendent on the microeconomic forms of market structure and industrial organization prevailing within the economy. This point is central to the analysis presented by Bar ry Bosworth and Robert Lawrence in their new book, Commodity Prices and the New Inflation. They contend that we cannot rely on macroeconomic measures alone to contain inflation without sacrificing real output and employment because the American economy is a thor ough mixture of “auction markets,” where prices are largely determined by competitive forces, and “custom er” or “fixed-price” markets, where prices are set in at least a partially monopolistic environment. This distinction between “perfect” and “imperfect” competition has been a staple of microeconomic theory for almost half a century. The implications of this dis tinction for macroeconomic stabilization policies have seldom been well appreciated, however. Bosworth and Lawrence observe that, on one hand, if the economy were dominated by markets fitting into the competitive model, then “fiscal and monetary policies would be an adequate basis for controlling inflation.” If, on the oth er hand, “all prices and wages reflected the outcome of a bilateral monopoly or fixed-price model,” then some variation of incomes policies might be effective. “ But since the actual economy is a mixture of market struc tures,” the authors conclude, “either of these policies will be frustrated when used alone.” Given these cir cumstances, the authors summarize the basis for their emphasis on control of supplies of primary agricultural https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and energy commodities as a critical element in any comprehensive anti-inflation program: Any attempt to stabilize the overall price level by induc ing a price change in the inflexible sector to offset changes in the sensitive sector might prove far more costly than sta bilizing the price in the sensitive sector itself. Indeed, it is the extreme sensitivity of commodity prices to changes in demand and supply that suggests that control over supplies in these markets is likely to be more efficient than control over the aggregate money supply. This does not mean that monetary policy should be abandoned as a weapon against all types of inflation but rather that it should be supple mented in the case of commodity price changes. In fact, macroeconomic policy is of great importance to primary commodity markets, which need a stable environment to function efficiently. Bosworth and Lawrence focus on the pivotal role played by primary commodity prices in the wide fluc tuations in the level of inflation during the 1970’s, not only in our own country, but in Western Europe and Japan as well. They concentrate on the determinants of agricultural and energy prices; while prices for many other raw commodities were also quite volatile during the past decade, the authors cite evidence to demon strate that “their impact on the average price level was small because the value of their use is small as a share of total GNP.” In this country, consumption of these other raw materials amounts to less than 4 percent of the gross national product. One of the more intriguing aspects of the authors’ analysis of farm price movements since 1970 is their ex planation of how a mere 3 or 4 percent drop from the trend of world production of cereals (that is, grains and rice) in 1972-73 led to a doubling in these prices. Bosworth and Lawrence give relatively little weight to several popular explanations, such as the long-term rise in world demand for livestock products and hence cere als. They fix a large share of responsibility instead on short-sighted government policies here and abroad. For example, the American government had decided by the early 1970’s to let our domestic grain reserves drain to appease both farmers worried about the reserve’s de pressing impact on grain prices and consumers complaining about the reserve’s costs. At the same time, many foreign governments had chosen to insulate their populations from sudden shifts in world farm prices by controlling retail food price movements, there51 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Book Reviews by failing to restrain demand in times of shortage. Thus, when the Soviet Union unexpectedly emerged as a major grain purchaser at a time when our reserves were already down and world demand was still high, American consumers were forced to bear the brunt of the inevitable adjustment process through both sky rocketing prices and reduced food consumption. More suitable government policies could have spread the bur den more evenly and would not have led to such an infla tionary outcome. The shifting balance of power between the oil-produc ing companies controlled from the industrial West and the oil-producing countries of the Third World receives considerable attention from the authors. They remind us with painful clarity that few in the West realized the potential strength of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (opec) until the 1973 oil embargo, even though in retrospect the signs of OPEC’s growing power were obvious long before. They demonstrate that the two major oil crises of the 1970’s “were not marked by big declines in supply but rather by panicky invento ry hoarding in response to expected shortfalls.” Policies to influence consumer psychology are therefore an inte gral part of any strategy to help prevent or alleviate re currences of steep runups in oil product prices. The authors realize that choosing and implementing the right mix of policies targeted at constraining com modity prices in international markets will not be easy. In general, Bosworth and Lawrence support a series of sophisticated commodity reserve policies that might re quire more coordination between nations than has hith erto been attainable. The authors explain quite convincingly why they reject traditional multinational reserve and commodity stabilization agreements, which they view as “inherently unstable” for political as well as economic reasons. Bosworth and Lawrence see more hope, for example, in a network of bilateral agreements on grain reserves that would allow contracting countries to take care of each other’s grain import or export needs within predetermined price ranges, leaving countries outside the network to adjust to any major supply disruptions or gluts in the “residual market.” These and other targeted microeconomic policy recom mendations may prove to be the most controversial part of the book, even for those of us who agree that macroeconomic stabilization policies by themselves are inade quate. Commodity Prices and the New Inflation is an exceptionally well written and cogently argued book that makes a valuable contribution to understanding how the contemporary economy works— or, more pointedly, why it hasn’t worked so well in recent years. Bosworth and Lawrence’s synthesis of macro- and mi croeconomic theories is quite successful, I believe, as is their analysis of the mistakes that have plagued public 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis policies so often. Their advice for solving the problems confronting us, however, is still very much open for de bate. They freely draw upon a wealth of empirical stud ies conducted by other economists without burdening the book with esoteric mathematical exercises. This is a work for any economically literate person interested in pondering the dilemmas of stagflation. — Craig H owell Office of Prices and Living Conditions Bureau of Labor Statistics Turning point in current thinking The Crisis in Economic Theory. Edited by Daniel Bell and Irving Kristol. New York, Basic Books, Inc., Publishers, 1981. 226 pp. $15.50, cloth; $6, paper. This book comprises a series of essays originally published in the 50th anniversary issue of The Public Interest magazine. The essays run the gamut of contem porary economic theory— from the rational expecta tions theorists and monetarists to the Post-Keynesians and Marxists. The common theme integrating the dif ferent perspectives is the belief that the synthesis of Keynesian and neoclassical economics, which provided a basic rationale for economic policy in the generation after World War II, has become irrelevant, if not mis leading. This theory became outmoded in the 1970’s as simultaneous inflation, recession, and unemployment came to characterize capitalist economies. In the “golden age” of the neoclassical synthesis, 1947 to 1973, democratic capitalist nations generally accept ed the Keynesian thesis that the central government’s budget through its taxing and spending programs could serve as an economic balance and stabilize economies at high employment levels. The advent of annual national income accounting, computerized econometric models, and the availability of reliable and current unemploy ment data from the Current Population Survey ap peared to provide a basis for utilizing Keynesian theories as operational tools in planning for economic growth. The Employment Act of 1946 and the establishment of the Council of Economic Advisers represented official recognition that the thrust, if not the specific details, of the Keynesian theory, had become an important foun dation of government policy. The Keynesian system was supplemented by the widespread acceptance of the Phil lips curve analysis suggesting that governments could choose among unemployment rate goals depending on the rate of inflation they were prepared to accept. The strength of the neoclassical synthesis was its inte gration of a role for government in determining the overall level of economic activity with the maintenance of a predominant role for competition and market pres sures in individual sectors of the economy. The primary flaw with the theory in the 1970’s was the contradictory policy options it implied. To reduce inflation, the Keynesian diagnosis pointed to the need for a surplus in the Federal budget to drain off purchasing power from the economy. To counter rising unemployment, the theory recommended that the government operate at a deficit to stimulate the demand for goods and la bor. Because it was impossible for government to run both a surplus and a deficit at the same time, the net ef fect of this analysis in matters of public policy was pa ralysis— a paralysis punctuated by periodic attempts to stimulate or restrain the economy. These attempts were quicky abandoned for their alternatives. The disen chantment with Keynesian policies was intensified as in flation moved many Americans into higher tax brackets unaccompanied by comparable increases in purchasing power. The essays in The Crisis in Economic Theory present a variety of theoretical formulations that might provide alternatives to the neoclassical synthesis as a basis for policy. To some, as in Mark Willes’ exposition of ration al expectations theory, the critical variable in economics consists of the expectations of individuals attempting to adapt to a highly uncertain future. Because no one knows in advance what will happen to the economy when government policy changes, there is a need for re ducing uncertainties created by government policy by minimizing the government’s economic role. Appropri ately, Willes regards the rational expectations theory as constituting a “counterrevolution” in economics. Israel Kirzner’s well-reasoned essay on the Austrian perspec tive in economics recommends a return to economists’ earlier focus on the entrepreneur as the strategic factor in explaining the dynamics of the economy. Irving Kristol contends that current economic theory has re treated into a mode of overrefinement that obscures the critical substratum of truth in the classical and neoclas sical emphasis on the importance of individual self-in terest in promoting economic growth. The common thread in these essays is the absence of a role for gov ernment as an economic balance and a penchant for abandoning the Keynesian element in the neoclassical synthesis. At the other end of the spectrum, the Neo-Key nesians, illustrated by Paul Davidson’s essay, seek to provide the theoretical underpinning for a more active government role in the economy. The Neo-Keynesians appear to represent more of a tendency than a formal ized theory, a tendency that would replace the neoclas sical synthesis with a synethesis of the Keynesian emphasis on the government’s role in stabilizing the economy with more activist government policies in con trolling industry and lessening economic inequalities. A https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Marxist perspective, represented by Edward Nell’s es say, contends that the Marxian theory of value and capital provides a valid framework for assessing the so cioeconomic changes that have produced the present economic drift and for anticipating future directions. A common denominator of the critics represented in the volume is their vision of the economy as one dominated by giant firms possessing market power rather than by the competitive pressures assumed in the neoclassical theory. Crisis in Economic Theory underscores the uneasy union that has typically existed between economic theo ry and labor economics. This union is likely to become more insecure if the Keynesian component in the neo classical synthesis loses its significance for policy. The conventional neoclassical theory focuses on labor as a cost of production, and the theory tends to view labor organizations as semimonopolistic restraints in the labor market. Economists concerned with labor issues have tended to stress the importance of bargaining, group be havior, and social factors concerned with livelihood. Keynesian economics built in a positive role for labor organizations because of it emphasis on wages as in come and purchasing power as well as costs. Union ef forts to raise wages, therefore, could frequently be justi fied as benefiting society as well as union members because they helped to maintain high levels of effective demand. The differences in approach are also illustrated by the controversies over maintaining or increasing the statutory minimum wage. The minimum wage stan dards that protect livelihood and purchasing power in the view of most Keynesian-oriented labor economists are regarded in the neoclassical tradition as the cause for much of the recent severe unemployment among young people, especially young blacks. In his essay on “Models and Reality in Economic Discourse,” Daniel Bell cogently relates theoretical is sues in economics to the substantive changes that have characterized the larger society. According to Bell, the contemporary economic models are losing their rele vance in explaining reality, because the economies to which they refer have been transformed by technologi cal advances, market power, and expansion of the Gov ernment’s role in the economy. In democratic capitalist societies in which governments account for between 20 and 60 percent of all economic transactions, economic theories based on the behavior of atomistic individuals who are assumed to be maximizing their preferences provide limited insight. Economic choices take on a po litical dimension as they increasingly become influenced by the government’s collective decisionmaking as in de fense outlays, or by the efforts of organized groups made up of farmers, businessmen, wage earners, or older persons to seek the government’s aid in protecting their economic status. Bell’s critique raises anew the 53 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Book Reviews question presented 75 years ago by that acerbic and in sightful critic of orthodox economic theory, Thorstein Veblen. Veblen asked, “Why is Economics Not an Evo lutionary Science?” The absence of a significant re sponse to Veblen’s question helps to explain much of the predicament faced by economic theory in the 1970’s and early 1980’s. — L e o n a r d A. L ech t Economic Consultant Publications received Agriculture and natural resources Heien, Dale M., “The Structure of Food Demand: Interrelat edness and Duality,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g ric u ltu ra l E co n o m ics, May 1982, pp. 213-21. Schaefer, Donald and Mark Schmitz, “Efficiency in Antebel lum Southern Agriculture: A Covariance Approach,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, July 1982, pp. 88-98. Economic growth and development Adams, John, “The New American Economic Revolution: Down Capital and Growth, Up Technology and Institu tions,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 621— 28. Baldassare, Mark and William Protash, “Growth Controls, Population Growth, and Community Satisfaction,” A m e r ican S o c io lo g ic a l R eview , June 1982, pp. 339-46. Dillard, Dudley, “Rewriting the Principles of Economics,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 577-85. Lower, Milton D., “The Reindustrialization of America,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 629-36. Troub, Roger M., “A General Theory of Planning: The Evo lution of Planning and the Planning of Evolution,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 381-90. Economic and social statistics Clark, Kim B., and Lawrence H. Summers, U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n c e a n d L a b o r F orce T ran sition s. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 70 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 920.) $1.50. Ferguson, Brian S., “A Simulation Study of the Effects of an Aging Population in the Consumer-Loan Model,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, July 1982, pp. 45-61. Fisher, Brian S., “Rational Expectations in Agricultural Eco nomics Research and Policy Analysis,” A m e r ic a n J o u rn a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E co n om ics, May 1982, pp. 260-65. Gibson, Robert M. and Daniel R. Waldo, “National Health Expenditures, 1981,” H e a lth C a re F in a n cin g R eview , Sep tember 1982, pp. 1-35. Johnson, Kenneth M., “Rural Retailing Reborn,” A m eric a n D e m o g ra p h ics, September 1982, beginning on p. 22. Loftin, Colin and David McDowall, “The Police, Crime, and Economic Theory: An Assessment,” A m e r ic a n S ocio lo g i c a l R eview , June 1982, pp. 393-401. 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Perryman, M. Ray, “Institutionalism and Econometrics: *.. ward a Meaningful Synthesis,” J o u rn a l o f E co n o m ic Issues, June 1982, pp. 563-75. Robey, Bryant, “A Guide to the Baby Boom,” A m eric a n D e m ograph ics, September 1982, pp. 16-21. Health and safety Ashby, John L., Jr., “An Analysis of Hospital Costs by Cost Center, 1971 Through 1978,” H e a lth C are F in an cin g R e view, September 1982, pp. 37-53. Glendon, A. Ian and Richard T. Booth, “Worker Participa tion in Occupational Health and Safety in Britain,” I n te rn a tio n a l L a b o u r R eview , July-August 1982, pp. 399416. Morgenstern, Felice, “Some Reflections on Legal Liability as a Factor in the Promotion of Occupational Safety and Health,” In te rn a tio n a l L a b o u r R eview , July-August 1982, pp. 387-98. Industrial Relations Donovan, Ronald and Marsha J. Orr, S u b c o n tra c tin g in the P u b lic S ector: T he N e w Y ork S ta te E x p erien ce. Ithaca, N.Y., Cornell University, New York State School of In dustrial and Labor Relations, 1982, 38 pp. (Institute of Public Employment Monograph, 10.) $4.95, paper. “Expediting the Labor Arbitration Process: A Small County’s Approach to Rights Arbitration,” by William B. McLeod and Ron McGee; “A Look at Methods, Procedures, and Systems,” by William F. Dolson, C a lifo rn ia P u b lic E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s, March 1982, pp. 7-19. Freeman, Richard B., P u b lic P o lic y a n d E m p lo y m e n t D isc rim i n ation in th e U.S. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 33 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 928.) $1.50. Princeton University, O u ts ta n d in g B o o k s in I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s & L a b o r E con om ics, 1981. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University, Industrial Relations Section, March 1982, 4 pp. (Selected References, 211.) 50 cents. Sexton, Patricia Cayo, T he N e w N ig h tin gales: H o sp ita l W o rk ers, Unions, N e w W o m en 's Issues. New York, Enquiry Press, 1982, 219 pp., bibliography. $12.95, cloth; $7.95, paper. U.S. General Acounting Office, C on cern s R e g a rd in g I m p a c t o f E m p lo y e e C h a rg es A g a in s t E m p lo y e rs f o r U n fa ir L a b o r P ractices. Gaithersburg, Md., U.S. General Accounting Office, Document Handling and Information Services Fa cility, 1982, 44 pp. (gao / hrd -82-80.) Industry and government organization Atack, Jeremy, Fred Bateman, Thomas Weiss, “Risk, the Rate of Return and the Pattern of Investment in Nine teenth Century American Manufacturing,” S o u th ern E co n o m ic Jou rn a l, July 1982, pp. 150-63. Scott, Bruce R., “Can Industry Survive the Welfare State,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R e view , September-October 1982, pp. 70-84. Wallace, Michael and Arne L. Kalleberg, “Industrial Trans formation and the Decline of Craft: The Decomposition of Skill in the Printing Industry, 1931-1978,” A m eric a n S o cio lo g ica l R eview , June 1982, pp. 307-24. Wijers, G. Hans, “Institutional Aspects of Industrial Policy,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 587-96. International economics Bellante, Don, Stephen O. Morrell, Asghar Zardkoohi, “Un anticipated Money Growth, Unemployment, Output and the Price Level in the United Kingdom: 1946-1977,” S o u th e rn E c o n o m ic Jou rn a l, July 1982, pp. 62-76. Blandford, David and Richard N. Boisvert, “Employment Im plications of Exporting Processed U.S. Agricultural Prod ucts,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E con om ics, May 1982, pp. 347-54. Greenwood Press, 1982, 197 pp. (Contributions in Labor History, 11.) $27.50. Labor force Cogan, John, “The Decline in Black Teenage Employment: 1950-79,” T he A m e ric a n E c o n o m ic R eview , September 1982, pp. 621-38. Gottschalk, Peter T., “Employer-Initiated Job Terminations,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic Jou rn a l, July 1982, pp. 35-44. Buss, Martin D. J., “Managing International Information Sys tems,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , September-October 1982, pp. 153-62. Hall, Robert E., “The Importance of Lifetime Jobs in the U.S. Economy,” T he A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , September 1982, pp. 716-24. “Country Problems and Strategies— Germany: Public Sector Trends; United States: The New Strategy,” T he OECD O b server, July 1982, pp. 10-14. Harrick, Edward J. and Paul E. Sultan, “Workforce of the Future: The Problems and Opportunities of Maturity,” P erson n el, July-August 1982, pp. 27-34. Darby, Michael R., “The Price of Oil and World Inflation and Recession,” T he A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , Septem ber 1982, pp. 738-51. Levitan, Sar A. and Clifford M. Johnson, S e c o n d T h o u g h ts on W ork. Kalamazoo, Mich., W.E. Upjohn Institute for Em ployment Research, 1982, 241 pp. $13.95, cloth; $9.95, paper. Desai, Padma, “Soviet Grain and Wheat Import Demands in 1981-85,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g ric u ltu ra l E con om ics, May 1982, pp. 312-22. National Urban League, 3 2 M illio n O ld e r A m erica n s: A H a n d b o o k f o r E m p lo y e rs on th e T rends, Issues, L aw s, a n d S tr a t egies P erta in in g to O ld e r W o rk er U tilization . Edited by Dietz, James, “Puerto Rico in the 1970s and 1980s: Crisis of the Development Model,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issues, June 1982, pp. 497-506. Shelly L. Moore. New York, National Urban League, Inc., Seniors in Community Service Program, 1982, 26 pp. $2, paper. Emerson, Robert D., “Trade in Products and International Migration in Seasonal Labor Markets,” A m e ric a n J o u rn a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E co n o m ics, May 1982, pp. 339-46. Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development, Grant, R. M., “Pricing Behavior in the U K Wholesale Market for Petrol 1970-80: A ‘Structure-Conduct’ Analysis,” T he J o u r n a l o f I n d u s tr ia l E con om ics, March 1982, pp. 271-92. “Investment and Jobs: Highlights from O ECD Economic Out look, July 1982,” T he OECD O bserver, July 1982, pp. 3-9. Johnson, D. Gale, “International Trade and Agricultural La bor Markets: Farm Policy as Quasi-Adjustment Policy,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E con om ics, May 1982, pp. 355-61. Komura, Chikara, “Money, Income, and Causality: The Japa nese Case,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn al, July 1982, pp. 19-34. Mellor, John W., “Third World Development: Food, Employ ment, and Growth Interactions,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E co n o m ics, May 1982, pp. 304-11. Stokes, Randall and David Jaffee, “Another Look at the Ex port of Raw Materials and Economic Growth,” A m e r ic a n S o c io lo g ic a l R eview , June 1982, pp. 402-11. Tang, Anthony M., “China as a Factor in the World Food Situation,” A m e r ic a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E con om ics, May 1982, pp. 323-31. Willoughby, John A., “A Reconsideration of the Protection ism Debate: Keynes and Import Controls,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issu es, June 1982, pp. 555-61. Labor and economic history Eller, Ronald D., M in ers, M illh a n d s, a n d M o u n ta in e ers: In d u s tria liza tio n o f th e A p p a la ch ia n S ou th , 1 8 8 0 -1 9 3 0 . Knox ville, The University of Tennessee Press, 1982, 272 pp., bibliography. $23.50, cloth; $12.50, paper. Nash, Michael, C o n flict a n d A c c o m m o d a tio n : C o a l M iners, S te e lw o rk e rs a n d S o cia lism , 1 8 9 0 -1 9 2 0 . Westport, Conn., https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T he C h a llen g e o f U n em p lo ym e n t: A R e p o r t to L a b o u r M in isters. Paris, The Organization for Economic Co-Op eration and Development, 1982, 165 pp. Available from Publications and Information Center, Washington. O ECD The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., W h ite C o lla r L a yo ffs a n d C u tb a c k s: A b n a S p e c ia l R ep o rt. Washington, The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., Labor Special Projects Unit, 1982, 26 pp. (dlr 157.) $10. Topel, Robert H„ “Inventories, Layoffs, and the Short-Run Demand for Labor,” T he A m eric a n E c o n o m ic R eview , September 1982, pp. 769-87. Management and organization theory Brief, Arthur P., “Undoing the Educational Process of the Newly-Hired Professional,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, Sep tember 1982, pp. 55-58. D ’Aprix, Roger, “The Oldest (and Best) Way to Communi cate with Employees,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , September-October 1982, pp. 30-32. Foltz, Roy, Kara Rosenberg, Julie Foehrenbach, “Senior Management Views the Human Resource Function,” P er so n n e l A d m in is tra to r, September 1982, pp. 37-51. Garretson, Pamela and Kenneth S. Teel, “The Exit Interview: Effective Tool or Meaningless Gesture?” P erson n el, JulyAugust 1982, pp. 70-77. Juechter, W. Matthew, “The Pros and Cons of Participative Management,” M a n a g e m e n t R eview , September 1982, pp. 4AA8. King, Albert S., “A Programmatic Procedure for Evaluating Personnel Policies,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, September 1982, pp. 82-95. Kizilos, Apostolos P., “A Socratic Dialogue on Participative Management,” M a n a g e m e n t R eview , September 1982, pp. 49-55. 55 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Book Reviews Kopelman, Richard E„ Lyn Rosensweig, Laura H. Lally, “Dual-Career Couples: The Organizational Response,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, September 1982, pp. 73-78. Lovett, William A., “Inflation and Politics: Problems in Halt ing Inflation,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic Issues, June 1982, pp. 609-19. McKenna, Jack F. and Paul L. Oritt, “Job Dissatisfaction: A Social Disease,” B u sin ess a n d S ociety, Winter-Spring 1981-82, pp. 32-39. Wages and compensation Ruggles, Ruby L., Jr., “How to Integrate R&D and Corpo rate Goals,” M a n a g e m e n t R eview , September 1982, pp. 8-17. Sailer, Heather R., John Schlacter, Mark R. Edwards, “Stress: Causes, Consequences, and Coping Strategies,” P erson n el, July-August 1982, pp. 35-48. Sondak, Arthur, “How Good a Time-Killer Are You?” M a n a g e m e n t R eview , September 1982, pp. 58-61. Stephenson, Blair Y. and Stephen G. Franklin, “Human Re source Accounting: Dollars and Sense for Management,” B u sin ess a n d S o ciety, Winter-Spring, 1981-82, pp. 46-51. Thorn, I. Marlene, Francis X. Fee, Jane O’Hara Carter, “Ca reer Development: A Collaborative Approach,” M a n a g e m e n t R eview , September 1982, beginning on p. 27. Tinsley, Dillard B. and Jose Angel Rodriguez, “Mexican American Employees— Stereotypes or Individuals?” B u si ness a n d S o ciety, Winter-Spring 1981-82, pp. 40-45. American Library Association, a l a S u rv e y o f L ib ra ria n S a la ries. Prepared by Mary Jo Lynch, Margaret Myers, Jeniece Guy. Chicago, 111., American Library Association, Office for Research and Office for Library Personnel Re sources, 1982, 108 pp. $40. Broder, Josef, M. and Rod F. Ziemer, “Determinants of Agri cultural Economics Faculty Salaries,” A m e r ic a n J o u rn a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E con om ics, May 1982, pp. 301-03. Newman, Robert J., “Dynamic Patterns in Regional Wage Differentials,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic Jou rn al, July 1982, pp. 246-54. “The Impact of Minimum Wages on Youth Employment,” T he OECD O bserver, July 1982, pp. 14—17. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, I n d u s tr y W age S u rveys: M e n 's a n d B o y's S h irts a n d N ig h tw ea r, M a y 1981. Prepared by Carl Barsky. (Bulletin 2131, 58 pp., $5); C e rtifie d A ir C arriers, S e p te m b e r 1980. Prepared by Harry B. Williams. (Bulletin 2129, 33 pp., $4.50). Available from the Super intendent of Documents, Washington 20402. □ Whaley, George L., “The Impact of Robotics Technology Upon Human Resource Management,” P erso n n el A d m in istra to r, September 1982, beginning on p. 61. Monetary and fiscal policy Bechter, Dan M., “Budget Deficits and Supply Side Econom ics: A Theoretical Discussion,” E c o n o m ic R e view , Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, June 1982, pp. 14-27. Branson, William H., and Willem H. Buiter, M o n e ta r y a n d F isc a l P o lic y w ith F lex ib le E x c h a n g e R a tes. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 46 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 901.) $1.50. Hetzel, Robert L., “The October 1979 Regime of Monetary Control and the Behavior of the Money Supply in 1980,” E c o n o m ic R eview , Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, July-August 1982, pp. 3-15. Watkins, Thomas G., and Robert Craig West, “Bank Holding Companies: Development and Regulation,” E c o n o m ic R e view, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, June 1982, pp. 3-13. Webb, Roy H., “Interest Rates and Federal Deficits,” E c o n o m ic R eview , Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, JulyAugust, 1982, pp. 16-22. Prices and living conditions Cox, Steven R., Allan C. DeSerpa, William C. Canby, Jr., “Consumer Information and the Pricing of Legal Serv ices,” The J o u r n a l o f I n d u s tr ia l E con om ics, March 1982, pp. 305-18. Groenewegen, John R. and Kenneth C. Clayton, “Agricultur al Price Supports and Cost of Production,” A m eric a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E co n o m ics, May 1982, pp. 27175. Lee, Dwight R., “On the Pricing of Public Goods,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, July 1982, pp. 99-105. 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U S Postal Service STATEMENT OF OWNERSHIP, MANAGEMENT AND CIRCULATION (Required by 39 U.S.C. 3685) 1. Title of Publication: Monthly Labor Review Date of Filing: 10-19-82 3. Frequency of Issue: Monthly 4. Annual Subscription Price: $23 5. Location of Known Office of Publication: 441 G Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20212 6. Location of the Headquarters of General Business Offices of the Publishers: 441 G Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20212 7. Names and Complete Addresses of Publisher, Editor, and Executive Editor: Publisher: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 441 G Street, N.W., Washing ton, D.C. 20212; Editor: Henry Lowenstern, same address; Executive Editor: Robert Fisher,, same address 8. Owner: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 441 G Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20212 9. Known Bondholders, Mortgagees, and Other Security Holders Owning or Holding 1 Percent or More of Total Amount of Bonds, Mortgages or Other Securities: None 10. Extent and Nature of Circulation: 2. A c tu a l N o . o f A v e ra g e N o. C o p ie s o f C o p ie s E a c h S in g le is s u e I s s u e D u rin g Total number copies printed (net press run) ............... B. Paid circulation: 1. Sales through dealers and carriers, street vendors, and counter sales .................................. 2. Mail subscriptions ..................................... C. Total paid circulation .......................................... D. Free distribution by mail, carrier, or other means (samples, complimentary, and other free copies) ................... E. Total distribution (sum of C and D) ......................... F. Copies not distributed: 1. Office use, leftover, unaccounted, spoiled after printing ............................................... 2. Returns from news agents ........................... G. Total (sum of E, F1 and 2—should equal net press run shown in A) ................................................... A. P u b lis h e d P r e c e d in g N e a re st To 1 2 M o n th s F ilin g D a te 16,200 15,074 2,402 11,618 14,020 1,543 11,618 13,161 1,980 16,000 1,763 14,924 200 150 NA NA 16,200 15,074 I certify that the statements made by me above are correct and complete. (Signed) Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics ....................................................................................................................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series ............................................................................. Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ............................................................. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years,1950-81 ..................................................................... Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ............................................. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................... Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................ Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................ Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted .................................................................................................................. Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. . Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 ................................................................................................................ Employment by State ..................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group,seasonally adjusted ............................................ Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 .................................................................................... Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ......................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ............................................. Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division ........................................................................................................................ Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Unemployment insurance data. Definitions 58 58 59 59 60 61 62 63 63 63 64 65 65 66 67 68 69 69 70 ................................................................................. 71 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations .......................................................................................... 71 Price data. Definitions and notes 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. .......................................................................................................................................... Consumer Price Index, 1967-81 ..................................... Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items ............................................................ Consumer Price Index, cross-classification of region and population size class .............................................................. Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ............................. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ................................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ..................................................................................... Productivity data. Definitions and notes 26. 27. 28. 29. .......................................................................................................................... Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selectedyears, 1950-81 .................... Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 .............................................. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ....................... Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unitcosts, and prices . . Wage and compensation data. Definitions and notes 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. ............................................................................................. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry group ........................................................ Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry g ro u p ............................... Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and areas i z e .................................. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to date ............................................. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more,1977 to d a te .................. Work stoppage data. Definition ................................................................................................................................................ 35. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date ............................................................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 72 73 73 79 80 81 82 84 84 84 87 87 88 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 94 95 95 57 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. This section of the R e v ie w presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the R eview . Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2-7 were revised in the March 1982 issue of the Review to reflect experience through 1981. The original estimates also were revised to 1970 to reflect 1980 census population controls. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifi cations in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -ll method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in The X -ll ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Method by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, Feb ruary 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 10, 12, and 14 were made in August 1981 using the X -ll ARIM A seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in tables 28 and 29 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The BLS Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2070, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the Monthly Labor Review. More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Historically, comparable informa tion from the establishment survey is published in two comprehensive data books— Employment and Earnings, United States and Employ ment and Earnings, States and Areas, and their annual supplements. More detailed information on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Develop ments. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the CPI Detailed Report and Producer Prices and Price In dexes. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Employment situation ............................ Producer Price Index.............................. Consumer Price Index............................ Real earnings........................................ Productivity and costs: Nonfinancial corporations .................. Nonfarm business and manufacturing .. Major collective bargaining settlements .. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis R e le a s e P e rio d R e le a s e P e rio d R e le a s e P e rio d M L R ta b le d a te c o v e re d d a te c o v e re d d a te c o v e re d num ber November 5 November 16 November 23 November 23 October October October October December 3 December 10 December 21 December 21 November November November November January 7 January 14 January 21 January 21 December December December December 1-10 21-25 17-20 11-15 November 29 3rd quarter January 28 January 31 4th quarter 1982 26-29 26-29 33-34 EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY E m pl o y m e n t d a ta in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on part- Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. time schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. Data in tables 2-7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-81 [Numbers in thousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total non institutional population Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Percent of population Unemployed Agriculture Nonagricultural Industries Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 .............................. 1955 .............................. 1960 .............................. 106,645 112,732 119,759 63,858 68,072 72,142 59.9 60.4 60.2 62,208 65,023 69,628 58,918 62,170 65,778 55.2 55.1 54.9 7,160 6,450 5,458 51,758 55,722 60,318 3,288 2,852 3,852 5.3 4.4 5.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 129,236 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 77,178 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 59.7 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 74,455 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 71,088 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 55.0 55.6 55.8 56.0 56.5 4,361 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 66,726 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 3,366 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 52,058 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 ........................... .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 140,272 143,033 146,574 149,423 152,349 61.3 61.0 61.1 61.4 61.8 82,771 84,382 87,034 89,429 91,949 78,678 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 56.1 55.5 56.0 56.9 57.0 3,463 3,394 3,484 3,470 3,515 75,215 75,972 78,669 81,594 83,279 4,093 5,016 4,882 4,365 5,156 4.9 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 54,315 55,834 57,091 57,667 58,171 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 155,333 158,294 161,166 164,027 166,951 85,959 87,198 89,484 91,756 94,179 95,955 98,302 101,142 104,368 107,050 61.8 62.1 62.8 63.6 64.1 93,775 96,158 99,009 102,251 104,962 85,846 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 55.3 56.1 57.1 58.6 59.2 3,408 3,331 3,283 3,387 3,347 82.438 85,421 88,734 92,661 95,477 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.8 59,377 59,991 60,025 59,659 59,900 1980 .............................. 1981 .............................. 169,848 172,272 109,042 110,812 64.2 64.3 106,940 108,670 99,303 100,397 58.5 58.3 3,364 3,368 95,938 97,030 7,637 8,273 7.1 7.6 60,806 61,460 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2 . Employment status by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1981 1982 Employment status 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. 169,848 2,102 167,745 106,940 638 99,303 58.5 3,364 95,938 7,637 7.1 60,806 172,272 2,142 170,130 108,670 63.9 100,397 58.3 3,368 97,030 8,273 7.6 61,460 172,758 2,165 170,593 108,494 63.6 100,258 58.0 3,358 96,900 8,236 7.6 62,099 172,966 2,158 170,809 109,012 63.8 100,343 58.0 3,378 96,965 8,669 8.0 61,797 71,138 56,455 79.4 53,101 2,396 50,706 3,353 5.9 72,419 57,197 79.0 53,582 2,384 51,199 3,615 6.3 72,670 57,262 78.8 53,693 2,383 51,310 3,569 6.2 72,795 57,355 78.8 53,504 2,413 51,091 3,851 6.7 72,921 57,459 78.8 53,354 2,382 50,972 4,105 7.1 73,020 57,665 79.0 53,122 2,311 50,811 4,543 7.9 73,120 57,368 78.5 53,047 2,390 50,657 4,322 7.5 73,209 57,448 78.5 53,097 2,386 50,711 4,351 7.6 73,287 57,554 78.5 53,006 2,377 50,629 4,548 7.9 73,392 57,730 78.7 52,988 2,382 50,606 4,742 8.2 73,499 58,164 79.1 53,260 2,464 50,796 4,904 8.4 73,585 58,016 78.8 52,985 2,424 50,561 5,031 8.7 80,065 41,106 51.3 38,492 584 37,907 2,615 6.4 81,497 42,485 52.1 39,590 604 38,986 2,895 6.8 81,792 42,344 51.8 39,426 608 39,818 2,918 6.9 81,920 42,831 52.3 39,814 596 39,218 3,017 7.0 82,038 42,987 52.4 39,878 63.5 39,243 3,109 7.2 82,151 42,88 52.2 39,713 572 39,141 3,175 7.4 82,260 42,868 52.1 39,764 64.9 39,115 3,104 7.2 82,367 43,031 52.2 39,744 628 39,116 3,286 7.6 82,478 43,243 52.4 39,807 636 39,172 3,435 7.9 82,591 43,301 52.4 39,715 601 39,114 3,586 8.3 82,707 43,683 52.8 40,075 634 39,441 3,608 8.3 16,543 9,378 56.7 7,710 385 7,325 1,669 17.8 16,214 8,988 55.4 7,225 380 6,845 1,763 19.6 16,131 8,888 55.1 7,139 367 6,772 1,749 19.7 16,093 8,826 54.8 7,025 369 6,656 1,801 20.4 16,037 8,826 55.0 6,940 355 6,585 1,886 21.4 15,995 8,631 54.0 6,778 326 6,452 1,853 21.5 15,955 8,643 54.2 6,771 373 6,398 1,872 21.7 15,913 8,686 54.6 6,748 359 6,389 1,938 22.3 15,902 8,549 53.8 6,679 336 6,343 1,870 21.9 15,861 8,616 54.3 6,637 326 6,311 1,979 23.0 15,820 8,819 55.7 6,782 390 6,392 2,037 23.1 146,122 147,908 93,600 95,052 64.1 64.3 87,715 88,709 5,884 6,343 6.3 6.7 148,370 94,884 64.0 88,628 6,256 6.6 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. TOTAL Total noninstitutional population1 ...................... Armed Forces 1 .............................. Civilian noninstitutional population 1 ............... Civilian labor force................................ Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Employment-population ratio 2 ....... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... Not in labor force................................. 173,155 173,330 173,495 173,657 173,843 174,020 174,201 174,364 174,544 2,158 2,164 2,159 2,168 2,175 2,176 2,175 2,173 2,180 170,996 171,166 171,335 171,489 171,667 171,844 172,026 172,190 172,364 109,272 109,184 108,879 109,165 109,346 109,648 110,666 110,191 110,522 63.9 63.8 63.5 63.7 63.7 63.8 64.3 64.1 64.0 100,172 99,613 99,581 99,590 99,492 99,340 100,117 99,764 99,732 57.9 57.5 57,4 57.3 57.2 57.1 57.5 57.2 57.1 3,372 3,209 3,411 3,373 3,349 3,309 3,488 3,357 3,460 96,800 96,404 96,170 96,217 96,144 96,032 96,629 96,406 96,272 9,100 9,571 9,298 9,575 9,854 10,307 10,549 10,427 10,790 8.3 8.8 8.5 8.8 9.4 9.0 9.5 9.5 9.8 61,724 61,982 62,456 63,324 63,321 62,197 61,360 61,999 61,842 174,707 2,196 172,511 110,644 64.1 99,839 57.1 3,435 96,404 10,805 9.8 61,867 174,889 2,198 172,690 110,980 64,3 99,720 57.0 3,368 96,352 11,260 10.1 61,710 73,685 58,084 78.8 52,996 2,474 50,522 5,088 8.8 73,774 58,026 78.7 52,887 2,436 50,451 5,139 8.9 73,867 58,407 79.1 52,828 2,447 50,381 5,579 9.6 82,811 43,904 53.0 40,350 581 39,769 3,554 8.1 82,926 44,076 53.2 40,392 600 39,791 3,684 8.4 83,035 44,115 53.1 40,490 589 39,901 3,626 8.2 83,152 44,025 52.9 40,369 585 39,784 3,656 8.3 15,794 8,271 52.4 6,429 353 6,076 1,842 22.3 15,753 8,362 53.1 6,344 386 5,958 2,018 24.1 15,702 8,503 54.2 6,463 411 6,052 2,040 24.0 15,671 8,548 54.5 6,523 336 6,187 2,025 23.7 148,562 148,631 148,755 148,842 148,855 149,132 149,249 149,250 149,429 149,569 95,365 95,535 95,329 95,120 95,333 95,508 96,015 96,641 96,223 96,493 64.2 64.1 64.3 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.3 64.8 64.4 64.5 88,734 88,498 88,010 87,955 87,990 87,956 87,988 88,450 88,173 88,137 6,631 7,037 7,319 7,165 7,344 7,552 8,026 8,191 8,050 8,356 7.4 7.0 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.7 149,536 96,414 64.5 88,133 8,281 8.6 149,652 96,762 64.7 88,020 8,742 9.0 Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force................................ Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Agriculture................................... Nonagricultural industries ................. Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... White Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... Black Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force .............................. Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate .................... 17,824 10,865 61.0 9,313 1,553 14.3 18,219 11,086 60.8 9,355 1,731 15.6 18,297 11,134 60.9 9,319 1,815 16.3 18,333 11,188 61.0 9,313 1,875 16.8 18,362 11,207 61.0 9,321 1,886 16.8 18,392 11,226 61.0 9,279 1,947 17.3 18,423 11,188 8,901 5,700 64.0 5,126 575 10.1 9,310 5,972 64.1 5,348 624 10.4 9,466 5,964 63.0 5,393 571 9.6 9,559 6,074 63.5 5,422 652 10.7 9,556 6,151 64.4 5,446 705 11.5 9,519 6,095 64.0 5,426 669 11.0 9,314 1,874 16.8 18,450 11,205 60.7 9,265 1,939 17.3 18,480 11,217 60.7 9,197 2,020 18.0 18,511 11,170 60.3 9,111 2,058 18.4 18,542 11,335 61.1 9,216 2,120 18.7 18,570 11,253 60.6 9,174 2,079 18.5 18,600 11,322 60.9 9,223 2,098 18.5 18,626 11,412 61.3 9,262 2,150 18.8 18,659 11,482 61.5 9,166 2,316 20.2 9,400 6,054 64.4 5,330 724 12.0 9,341 6,065 64.9 5,298 767 12.6 9,297 6,024 64.8 5,260 764 12.7 9,235 5,933 64.2 5,191 743 12.5 9,297 6,001 64.5 5,166 834 13.9 9,428 5,931 62.9 5,131 800 13.5 9,521 5,966 62.7 5,135 832 13.9 9,689 6,087 62.8 5,197 890 14.6 9,464 5,967 63.1 5,097 870 14.6 Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 ............... Civilian labor force................................ Participation rate ....................... Employed ...................................... Unemployed ................................... Unemployment rate...................... 1The population and Armed Forces figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2Civilian employment as a percent of the total noninstitutional population (including Armed Forces). 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note: Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1981 1982 Selected categories 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 99,613 56,725 42,888 38,342 23,691 5,064 99,581 56,629 42,952 38,234 23,744 5,107 99,590 56,658 42,932 38,255 23,727 5,158 99,492 56,472 43,020 38,181 23,900 5,095 May June July Aug. Sept. 99,340 100,117 56,401 56,820 42,940 43,297 38,142 38,312 23,831 24,213 5,095 4,986 99,764 56,223 43,541 38,354 24,401 5,112 99,732 56,192 43,540 38,213 24,223 5,247 99,839 56,210 43,630 38,184 24,300 5,216 99,720 56,148 43,572 38,041 24,187 5,115 CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over .................. Men .................................................. Women............................................... Married men, spouse present .................... Married women, spouse present................. Women who maintain families.................... 99,303 100,397 100,258 57,186 57,397 57,471 42,117 43,000 42,787 39,004 38,882 38,855 23,532 23,915 23,626 4,998 4,780 5,015 100,343 100,172 57,266 57,051 43,077 43,121 38,746 38,553 23,874 23,820 5,045 5,049 OCCUPATION White-collar workers..................................... Professional and technical ....................... Managers and administrators, except farm .... Salesworkers........................................ Clerical workers..................................... Blue-collar workers...................................... Craft and kindred workers ....................... Operatives, except transport...................... Transport equipment operatives ................. Nonfarm laborers................................... Service workers.......................................... Farmworkers ............................................. 51,882 15,968 11,138 6,303 18,473 31,452 12,787 10,565 3,531 4,567 13,228 2,741 52,949 16,420 11,540 6,425 18,564 31,261 12,662 10,540 3,476 4,583 13,438 2,749 52,908 16,598 11,533 6,441 18,336 31,266 12,514 10,524 3,506 4,722 13,391 2,743 53,199 16,681 11,616 6,400 18,502 30,953 12,446 10,410 3,580 4,517 13,525 2,770 53,086 16,657 11,461 6,418 18,550 30,683 12,411 10,220 3,438 4,614 13,670 2,802 53,084 16,774 11,424 6,450 18,436 30,344 12,446 10,169 3,368 4,361 13,639 2,660 52,836 16,803 11,091 6,520 18,423 30,203 12,370 9,966 3,415 4,451 13,709 2,817 52,841 16,612 11,253 6,544 18,432 30,309 12,454 9,955 3,503 4,397 13,612 2,787 52,763 16,659 11,311 6,637 18,155 30,416 12,511 9,860 3,397 4,648 13,526 2,710 53,177 16,844 11,501 6,603 18,229 29,924 12,492 9,688 3,400 4,343 13,555 2,623 53,705 16,818 11,541 6,587 18,759 29,926 12,316 9,585 3,419 4,607 13,738 2,731 53,586 17,053 11,504 6,547 18,482 29,716 12,207 9,655 3,414 4,441 13,791 2,660 53,685 17,292 11,355 6,567 18,471 29,609 12,229 9,453 3,439 4,488 13,634 2,750 53,750 17,023 11,613 6,677 18,437 29,465 12,342 9,257 3,268 4,598 13,926 2,711 53,876 16,901 11,649 6,507 18,819 29,143 12,253 8,938 3,369 4,583 14,029 2,714 1,425 1,642 297 1,464 1,638 266 1,461 1,643 256 1,502 1,631 261 1,436 1,641 321 1,352 1,602 228 1,377 1,674 380 1,426 1,596 359 1,416 1,644 277 1,423 1,664 270 1,541 1,698 236 1,431 1,676 251 1,530 1,674 250 1,568 1,613 254 1,538 1,562 255 88,525 15,912 72,612 1,192 71,420 7,000 413 89,543 15,689 73,853 1,208 72,645 7,097 390 89,376 15,475 73,901 1,102 72,799 7,217 399 89,460 15,491 73,969 1,162 72,807 7,152 451 89,238 15,397 73,841 1,204 72,637 7,141 425 88,991 15,585 73,406 1,291 72,115 7,057 410 88,759 15,578 73,181 1,248 71,932 6,971 410 88,586 15,527 73,059 1,161 71,898 7,055 408 88,526 15,492 73,034 1,225 71,809 7,126 434 88,322 15,453 72,869 1,192 71,677 7,264 413 89,051 15,422 73,629 1,202 72,427 7,269 382 88,606 15,635 72,970 1,201 71,770 7,319 397 88,541 15,443 73,098 1,200 71,898 7,268 390 88,737 15,569 73,168 1,242 71,927 7,352 409 88,650 15,691 72,959 1,229 71,730 7,478 372 90,209 73,590 4,064 1,714 2,350 12,555 91,377 74,339 4,499 1,738 2,761 12,539 90,878 73,794 4,656 1,759 2,897 12,428 91,384 73,886 5,009 2,006 3,003 12,489 91,323 73,915 5,026 1,945 3,081 12,382 90,922 73,360 5,288 2,121 3,167 12,274 90,125 72,803 5,071 1,783 3,287 12,251 90,892 73,028 5,563 2,193 3,370 12,300 90,548 72,649 5,717 2,237 3,480 12,183 90,596 72,335 5,834 2,223 3,611 12,427 91,282 73,036 5,763 2,211 3,552 12,483 91,020 90,501 72,662 c72,430 5,444 5,492 2,064 2,001 3,380 3,491 12,914 12,579 90,508 72,112 5,648 2,054 3,594 12,748 91,054 71,700 6,600 2,571 4,029 12,754 MAJOR INDUSTRY AND C U S S OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers......................... Self-employed workers............................ Unpaid family workers ............................ Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers......................... Government ................................... Private industries.............................. Households .............................. Other....................................... Self-employed workers............................ Unpaid family workers ............................ PERSONS AT WORK1 Nonagricultural industries .............................. Full-time schedules ................................ Part time for economic reasons.................. Usually work full time......................... Usually work part time....................... Part time for noneconomic reasons............. 'Excludes persons “with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r 61 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] Annual average 1981 1982 Selected categories 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Total, 16 years and over................................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years....................... Men, 20 years and over........................... Women, 20 years and over....................... 7.1 17.8 5.9 6.4 7.6 19.6 6.3 6.8 7.6 19.7 6.2 6.9 8.0 20.4 6.7 7.0 8.3 21.4 7.1 7.2 8.8 21.5 7.9 7.4 8.5 21.7 7.5 7.2 8.8 22.3 7.6 7.6 9.0 21.9 7.9 7.9 9.4 23.0 8.2 8.3 9.5 23.1 8.4 8.3 9.5 22.3 8.7 8.1 9.8 24.1 8.8 8.4 9.8 24.0 8.9 8.2 10.1 23.7 9.6 8.3 White, total .......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................. Men, 16 to 19 years .................... Women, 16 to 19 years................. Men, 20 years and over...................... Women, 20 years and over ................. 6.3 15.5 16.2 14.8 5.3 5.6 6.7 17.3 17.9 16.6 5.6 5.9 6.6 17.2 17.5 16.8 5.5 5.9 7.0 17.7 17.9 17.5 5.9 6.1 7.4 19.0 19.6 18.3 6.4 6.3 7.7 19.0 20.2 17.7 6.9 6.4 7.5 19.6 20.8 18.2 6.6 6.3 7.7 20.0 20.4 19.4 6.7 6.6 7.9 19.0 20.2 17.6 7.0 6.9 8.4 20.8 22.3 19.2 7.3 7.2 8.5 20.3 21.2 19.2 7.5 7.3 8.4 19.4 21.1 17.5 7.7 7.1 8.7 21.0 22.6 19.2 7.9 7.3 8.6 20.6 22.5 18.6 7.9 7.1 9.0 20.4 22.0 18.7 8.6 7.4 Black, total .......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ................. Men, 16 to 19 years .................... Women, 16 to 19 years................. Men, 20 years and over...................... Women, 20 years and over ................. 14.3 38.5 37.5 39.8 12.4 11.9 15.6 41.4 40.7 42.2 13.5 13.4 16.3 40.8 38.5 43.4 14.5 14.0 16.8 45.6 41.6 49.5 14.7 13.9 16.8 44.1 41.9 46.6 15.5 13.6 17.3 42.2 39.6 45.1 16.5 14.1 16.8 41.2 36.3 46.7 16.3 13.3 17.3 42.3 40.7 44.2 16.0 14.5 18.0 46.0 48.5 43.1 16.0 15.4 18.4 48.1 48.3 47.8 16.9 15.6 18.7 49.8 50.6 48.9 17.0 15.3 18.5 52.6 58.1 46.2 17.1 15.0 18.5 49.7 48.3 51.2 16.8 15.5 18.8 51.6 50.1 53.1 17.2 15.1 20.2 48.5 51.2 45.4 19.8 15.7 Hispanic origin, total................................ 10.1 10.4 9.6 10.7 11.5 11.0 12.0 12.6 12.7 12.5 13.9 13.5 13.9 14.6 14.6 Married men, spouse present .................... Married women, spouse present................. Women who maintain families.................... Full-time workers................................... Part-time workers................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over................. Labor force time lost'.............................. 4.2 5i8 9.2 6.9 8.8 1.7 7.9 4.3 6.0 10.4 7.3 9.4 2.1 8.5 4.4 6.0 10.7 7.3 9.6 2.1 8.5 4.8 6.1 10.6 7.7 9.5 2.1 9.1 5.2 6.5 10.8 8.1 10.2 2.2 9.5 5.7 6.6 10.5 8.7 9.2 2.2 10.1 5.3 6.2 10.4 8.4 9.6 2.2 10.0 5.3 7.0 10.2 8.5 10.8 2.5 9.8 5.5 7.1 10.6 8.9 10.0 2.7 10.4 6.0 7.8 11.5 9.2 10.9 2.7 10.4 6.1 7.4 11.8 9.2 10.5 3.0 11.1 6.5 7.0 12.4 9.4 9.8 3.3 10.2 6.6 7.4 12.0 9.5 11.4 3.2 10.7 6.7 7.1 11.6 9.6 10.3 3.3 10.7 7.3 7.5 12.4 10.1 10.5 3.5 11.7 3.7 2.5 2.4 4.4 5.3 10.0 6.6 12.2 8.8 14.6 7.9 4.6 4.0 2.8 2.7 4.6 5.7 10.3 7.5 12.2 8.7 14.7 8.9 5.3 4.1 2.8 2.7 5.0 5.8 10.2 7.7 11.6 8.7 14.6 9.0 4.0 4.1 2.6 2.8 4.9 6.0 10.9 8.3 12.8 8.0 15.6 9.3 6.2 4.2 2.7 3.0 5.0 6.0 11.8 8.5 14.1 10.4 16.0 9.7 6.2 4.5 3.4 3.1 4.9 6.2 12.7 9.3 15.5 10.5 16.9 9.6 6.4 4.2 2.9 2.7 4.5 6.3 12.5 9.0 15.4 10.2 16.9 9.2 6.9 4.6 3.1 3.1 4.8 6.7 12.5 8.4 15.4 10.3 17.9 9.8 4.9 4.8 3.2 3.0 5.8 6.9 12.9 9.1 15.9 10.4 17.9 10.2 5.4 4.9 3.2 3.3 5.6 7.2 13.7 9.6 16.9 10.7 19.2 11.1 5.8 4.8 3.3 3.5 5.2 6.8 13.5 9.4 16.5 11.8 18.3 11.3 8.3 5.0 3.3 3.8 5.8 6.9 13.9 10.3 16.7 13.0 17.9 9.9 7.2 4.9 3.3 3.7 5.4 6.9 14.4 10.9 17.4 11.6 18.6 10.5 6.1 4.8 3.1 3.8 5.5 6.7 14.2 10.6 17.5 12.5 17.4 10.6 6.9 4.8 3.2 3.6 5.4 6.7 15.6 11.4 20.2 11.6 19.2 10.7 5.1 7.4 14.1 8.5 8.9 7.9 4.9 7.4 5.3 4.1 11.0 7.7 15.6 8.3 8.2 8.4 5.2 8.1 5.9 4.7 12.1 7.7 16.3 7.9 7.7 8.3 4.2 8.5 6.0 4.7 11.0 8.1 17.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 4.8 8.4 6.2 4.7 13.4 8.4 17.8 9.4 ' 9.5 9.3 5.5 8.6 6.1 5.2 14.1 9.1 18.1 11.0 11.8 9.6 6.0 8.9 6.4 5.0 14.8 8.8 18.7 10.4 11.0 9.5 6.4 8.7 5.9 4.8 16.2 9.0 18.1 10.6 11.3 9.5 5.9 9.0 6.5 5.2 12.8 9.5 17.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 5.6 10.3 6.9 4.9 14.0 9.9 19.4 11.3 11.9 10.5 7.0 10.1 7.0 5.3 14.6 9.9 18.8 11.6 12.2 10.7 6.5 10.6 6.9 5.0 18.2 10.0 19.2 12.3 13.2 11.0 6.9 9.7 6.8 4.6 16.3 10.2 20.3 12.0 12.7 11.0 6.1 10.5 7.0 4.6 13.8 10.1 20.3 12.1 12.9 10.8 7.0 9.8 7.0 4.6 14.3 10.7 22.6 13.8 14.9 12.3 6.9 9.8 6.8 4.9 12.5 CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers..................................... Professional and technical ....................... Managers and administrators, except farm .... Salesworkers........................................ Clerical workers..................................... Blue-collar workers...................................... Craft and kindred workers ....................... Operatives, except transport...................... Transport equipment operatives ................ Nonfarm laborers................................... Service workers.......................................... Farmworkers ............................................. INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers2 . Construction ........................................ Manufacturing ...................................... Durable goods ................................ Nondurable goods............................ Transportation and public utilities................. Wholesale and retail trade ....................... Finance and service industries.................... Government workers ................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers................. 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2lncluc*es mining, not shown separately, 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted Annual average 1982 1981 Sex and age 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Total, 16 years and over................................ 16 to 19 years...................................... 16 to 17 years................................. 18 to 19 years................................. 20 to 24 years....................................... 25 years and over ................................. 25 to 54 years................................. 55 years and over............................ 7.1 17.8 20.0 16.2 11.5 5.1 5.5 3.3 7.6 19.6 21.4 18.4 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.6 7.6 19.7 21.4 18.5 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.8 8.0 20.4 21.5 20.0 12.7 5.7 6.2 3.8 8.3 21.4 22.6 20.5 13.0 6.0 6.5 3.8 8.8 21.5 21.9 21.2 13.5 6.5 6.9 4.1 8.5 21.7 21.9 21.3 13.5 6.3 6.7 4.2 8.8 22.3 22.7 22.0 14.1 6.4 6.8 4.3 9.0 21.9 22.7 21.3 14.2 6.8 7.3 4.6 9.4 23.0 24.6 21.9 14.7 7.0 7.4 5.0 9.5 23.1 25.3 21.3 14.3 7.1 7.7 4.8 9.5 22.3 23.7 21.9 14.4 7.4 7.7 5.4 9.8 24.1 26.1 22.8 14.5 7.5 7.9 5.2 9.8 24.0 25.8 22.6 15.2 7.3 7.8 5.1 10.1 23.7 26.9 21.6 15.3 7.9 8.6 5.1 Men, 16 years and over ........................... 16 to 19 years................................. 16 to 17 years ........................... 18 to 19 years ........................... 20 to 24 years.................................. 25 years and over............................ 25 to 54 years ........................... 55 years and over....................... 6.9 18.3 20.4 16.7 12.5 4.8 5.1 3.3 7.4 20.1 22.0 18.8 13.2 5.1 5.5 3.5 7.3 19.9 21.5 18.7 13.1 5.0 5.5 3.5 7.7 20.1 21.1 19.3 13.8 5.5 5.9 3.7 8.3 21.8 22.7 21.0 14.4 5.8 6.3 3.7 9.0 22.3 22.6 22.2 14.8 6.5 6.9 4.4 8.6 22.1 23.0 21.4 14.9 6.3 6.7 4.3 8.7 22.5 23.0 22.1 15.4 6.3 6.7 4.2 9.0 23.5 24.3 22.9 15.7 6.6 7.1 4.8 9.4 24.4 24.7 24.3 16.0 6.9 7.2 5.1 9.6 24.0 26.3 21.9 15.5 6.9 7.5 4.7 9.7 24.2 25.8 24.0 15.8 7.5 8.0 5.0 9.9 25.1 28.1 23.4 15.9 7.5 8.1 4.8 10.0 25.1 27.3 23.4 16.6 7.5 8.0 5.4 10.7 25.3 29.6 22.6 17.4 8.2 9.1 5.4 Women, 16 years and over....................... 16 to 19 years................................. 16 to 17 years ........................... 18 to 19 years ........................... 20 to 24 years................................. 25 years and over............................ 25 to 54 years ........................... 55 years and over....................... 7.4 17.2 19.6 15.6 10.4 5.5 6.0 3.2 7.9 19.0 20.7 17.9 11.2 5.9 6.3 3.8 8.0 19.5 21.2 18.3 11.4 6.0 6.3 4.3 8.2 20.7 21.9 20.6 11.5 6.1 6.5 4.0 8.4 20.9 22.5 19.9 11.3 6.4 6.8 3.8 8.5 20.5 21.1 20.0 12.0 6.4 6.9 3.7 8.4 21.2 20.6 21.1 11.9 6.3 6.7 4.1 8.9 22.1 22.5 21.9 12.7 6.5 7.0 4.3 9.0 20.1 20.8 19.6 12.6 7.0 7.6 4.3 9.4 21.3 24.5 19.4 13.3 7.2 7.7 4.8 9.5 22.1 24.1 20.6 12.9 7.4 8.0 5.0 9.1 20.2 21.4 19.7 12.9 7.2 7.4 6.0 9.6 23.1 24.1 22.2 12.9 7.4 7.7 6.0 9.5 22.8 24.2 21.7 13.7 7.0 7.5 4.6 9.5 21.9 23.9 20.6 12.9 7.4 8.0 4.7 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers inthousands] Reason for unemployment Annual average 1982 1981 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 3,947 1,488 2,459 891 1,927 872 4,267 1,430 2,837 923 2,102 981 4,426 1,452 2,974 921 2,058 977 4,573 1,631 2,942 976 2,178 1,002 4,905 1,826 3,079 916 2,339 996 5,343 2,042 3,301 923 2,244 1,021 5,205 1,860 3,345 835 2,079 1,055 5,153 1,740 3,413 964 2,277 1,100 5,622 1,828 3,794 885 2,249 1,044 5,906 1,946 3,959 937 2,365 1,081 5,901 1,969 3,932 874 2,438 1,154 6,302 2,071 4,231 813 2,372 1,088 6,177 2,079 4,098 813 2,528 1,249 6,347 2,180 4,167 806 2,440 1,328 7,073 2,669 4,404 767 2,415 1,326 100.0 51.7 19.5 32.1 11.7 25.2 11.4 100.0 51.6 17.3 34.3 11.2 25.4 11.9 100.0 52.8 17.3 35.5 11.0 24.6 11.7 100.0 52.4 18.7 33.7 11.2 25.0 11.5 100.0 53.6 19.9 33.6 10.0 25.5 10.9 100.056.1 21.4 34.6 9.7 23.5 10.7 100.0 56.7 20.3 36.5 9.1 22.7 11.5 100.0 54.3 18.3 35.9 10.2 24.0 11.6 100.0 57.4 18.7 38.7 9.0 22.9 10.7 100.0 57.4 18.9 38.5 9.1 23.0 10.5 100.0 56.9 19.0 37.9 8.4 23.5 11.1 100.0 59.6 19.6 40.0 7.7 22.4 10.3 100.0 57.4 19.3 38.1 7.5 23.5 11.6 100.0 58.1 20.0 38.2 7.4 22.3 12.2 100.0 61.1 23.0 38.0 6.6 20.8 11.4 3.7 .8 1.8 .8 3.9 .8 1.9 .9 4.1 .8 1.9 .9 4.2 .9 2.0 .9 4.5 .8 2.1 .9 4.9 .8 2.1 .9 4.8 .8 1.9 1.0 4.7 .9 2.1 1.0 5.1 .8 2.1 1.0 5.4 .9 2.2 1.0 5.3 .8 2.2 1.0 5.7 .7 2.2 1.0 5.6 .7 2.3 1.1 5.7 .7 2.2 1.2 6.4 .7 2.2 1.2 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last job............................................... On layoff............................................. Other job losers..................................... Left last job ............................................... Reentered labor force................................... Seeking first job.......................................... PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed........................................ Job losers ................................................ On layoff............................................. Other job losers..................................... Job leavers ............................................... Reentrants................................................ New entrants ............................................. PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers ................................................. Job leavers ............................................... Reentrants................................................. New entrants ............................................. 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1981 Annual average 1982 Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks ....................................... 5 to 14 weeks ........................................... 15 weeks and over...................................... 15 to 26 weeks .......•............................. 27 weeks and over................................. Mean duration, in weeks ................................ Median duration, in weeks.............................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 3,295 2,470 1,871 1,052 820 11.9 6.5 3,449 2,539 2,285 1,122 1,162 13.7 6.9 3,529 2,585 2,248 1,146 1,102 13.7 6.9 3,707 2,686 2,292 1,166 1,126 13.6 6.8 3,852 2,882 2,364 1,229 1,135 13.1 6.9 4,037 3,016 2,372 1,189 1,183 12.8 6.7 3,852 3,068 2,399 1,210 1,190 13.5 7.2 3,789 3,052 2,724 1,445 1,278 14.1 7.3 3,825 3,078 2,954 1,605 1,349 13.9 7.6 3,958 3,304 3,015 1,508 1,507 14.2 8.5 3,874 3,320 3,286 1,634 1,652 14.6 9.0 3,543 3,458 3,673 1,826 1,847 16.5 9.8 3,990 3,161 3,580 1,792 1,788 15.6 8.3 3,923 3,304 3,631 1,810 1,821 16.2 8.2 4,038 3,595 3,870 1,856 2,014 16.6 9.5 63 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS E m plo y m en t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n in g s d a ta in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 177,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from av erage hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) 12th of the month. cent of all persons ment which reports for any part of the payroll period including the Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per in the labor force) are counted in each establish them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 11-15 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities; in wholesale and retail trade; in finance, in surance, and real estate; and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of May 1982 data, published in the July 1982 issue of the Review. Consequently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable histori cal unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supple ment to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through February 1982 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through February 1982) and in Employment and Earnings, Unit ed States, 1909-78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also BLS Handbook o f Methods for Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). 8. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Service-producing Goods-producing Year Total Private sector Total Mining Construc Manufac tion turing Transportation and public utilities Total Wholesale and retail trade Total Whole sale trade Retail trade Government Finance, insurance, Services and real estate Total Federal State and local 1950 ......................... 1955 ......................... I9601 ....................... 1964 ......................... 1965 ......................... 45,197 50,641 54,189 58,283 60,765 39,170 43,727 45,836 48,686 50,689 18,506 20,513 20,434 21,005 21,926 901 792 712 634 632 2,364 2,839 2,926 3,097 3,232 15,241 16,882 16,796 17,274 18,062 26,691 30,128 33,755 37,278 38,839 4,034 4,141 4,004 3,951 4,036 9,386 10,535 11,391 12,160 12,716 2,635 2,926 3,143 3,337 3,466 6,751 7,610 8,248 8,823 9,250 1,888 2,298 2,629 2,911 2,977 5,357 6,240 7,378 8,660 9,036 6,026 6,914 8,353 9,596 10,074 1,928 2,187 2,270 2,348 2,378 4,098 4,727 6,083 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 53,116 54,413 56,058 58,189 58,325 23,158 23,308 23,737 24,361 23,578 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 40,743 42,495 44,160 46,023 47,302 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 58,331 60,341 63,058 64,095 62,259 22,935 23,668 24,893 24,794 22,600 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 48,278 50,007 51,897 53,471 54,345 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... ......................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,823 90,406 64,511 67,344 71,026 73,876 74,166 23,352 24,346 25,585 26,461 25,658 779 813 851 958 1,027 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,463 4,346 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,040 20,285 56,030 58,125 61,113 63,363 64,748 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,136 5,146 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,192 20,310 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 5,275 13,209 13,808 14,573 14,989 15,035 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,975 5,160 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,112 17,890 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,947 16,241 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,866 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 13,375 1981 ......................... 91,105 75,081 25,481 1,132 4,176 20,173 65,625 5,157 20,551 5,359 15,192 5,301 18,592 16,024 2,772 13,253 ’ Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State August 1981 July 1982 August 1982 p State August 1981 July 1982 August 1982 p Alabama ......................................................... Alaska............................................................ Arizona ........................................................... Arkansas ......................................................... California......................................................... 1,347.3 189.7 1,019.0 738.4 10,032.9 1,322.9 199.4 1,003.5 715.8 9,940.4 1,319.3 1,003.4 719.3 9,901.5 Montana ......................................................... Nebraska ....................................................... Nevada .......................................................... New Hampshire................................................ New Jersey..................................................... 290.2 623.6 423.9 405.0 3,127.1 278.6 608.2 416.8 397.4 3,097.8 278.3 604.4 417.2 400.3 3,098.4 Colorado ......................................................... Connecticut ...................................................... Delaware......................................................... District of Columbia............................................. Florida............................................................ 1,285.3 1,426.4 261.2 622.0 3,660.0 1,277.9 1,406.4 262.2 625.7 3,720.7 1,281.2 1,395.8 259.1 624.4 3,698.5 New Mexico..................................................... New York ....................................................... North Carolina.................................................. North Dakota.................................................... Ohio .............................................................. 477.9 7,331.2 2,355.1 250.8 4,315.1 472.0 7,272.5 2,286.1 251.5 4,194.7 474.8 7,264.4 2,296.8 251.4 4,181.4 Georgia ........................................................... Hawaii............................................................ Idaho.............................................................. Illinois ............................................................ Indiana............................................................ 2,180.2 405.8 325.4 4,769.2 2,115.7 2,149.1 404.7 312.9 4,626.6 2,006.2 2,149.8 403.3 311.8 4,615.9 2,005.3 Oklahoma........................................ ............ Oregon .......................................................... Pennsylvania.................................................... Rhode Island.................................................... South Carolina.................................................. 1,195.1 1,018.3 4,749.1 403.5 1,190.1 1,202.6 964.1 4,487.5 384.7 1,160.1 1,201.0 964.6 4,482.4 392.6 1,164.1 Iowa .............................................................. Kentucky ......................................................... Louisiana......................................................... Maine ............................................................ 1,076.2 939 9 1,190.1 1,636.7 432.6 1,029.6 912.4 1,127.1 1,613.0 413.6 1,026.4 910.2 1,128.1 1,608.6 422.1 South Dakota.................................................... Tennessee ....................................................... Texas ............................................................ Utah .............................................................. Vermont ......................................................... 239.0 1,750.6 6,171.1 558.6 202.8 231.9 1,704.5 6,248.5 557.8 201.0 231.7 1,703.6 6,226.1 558.8 201.8 Maryland ......................................................... Massachusetts.................................................. Michigan ......................................................... Minnesota ....................................................... Mississippi ....................................................... Missouri........................................................... 1,697.4 2,654.0 3,331.9 1,769.3 813.0 1,976.3 1,684.9 2,592.8 3,197.0 1,706.3 789.6 1,953.0 1,662.3 2,603.2 3,190.6 1,709.3 782.7 1,955.9 Virginia ........................................................... Washington ...................................................... West Virginia.................................................... Wisconsin ....................................................... Wyoming......................................................... 2,169.6 1,589.6 631.9 1,936.3 223.6 2,167.2 1,551.2 602.8 1,868.7 215.6 2,164.0 1,546.9 603.4 1,872.4 213.9 Virgin Islands.................................................... 37.7 35.9 36.0 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (') p = preliminary. 65 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual average 1981 1982 Industry division and group 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. TOTAL ................................................................. 90,406 91,105 91,363 91,224 PRIVATE SECTOR ................................. 74,166 75,081 75,459 75,307 GOODS-PRODUCING ............................................... 25,658 25,481 25,583 Mining ....................................................................... 1,027 1,132 1,192 Dec. Jan. 90,996 90,642 75,088 74,725 25,393 25,176 1,195 1,202 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p Sept.p 90,460 90,459 90,304 90,083 90,166 89,839 89,535 89,268 89,038 74,596 74,609 74,445 74,231 74,313 74,007 73,900 73,610 73,478 24,908 24,684 24,631 24,450 24,289 24,255 23,994 23,840 23,639 23,546 1,206 1,201 1,203 1,197 1,182 1,152 1,124 1,100 1,082 1,080 Construction ............................................................ 4,346 4,176 4,124 4,101 4,071 4,026 3,966 3,974 3,934 3,938 3,988 3,940 3,927 3,895 3,890 Manufacturing .......................................................... 20,285 14,214 20,173 14,021 20,267 14,087 20,097 13,915 19,903 13,717 19,676 13,488 19,517 13,431 19,454 13,290 19,319 13,179 19,169 13,042 19,115 13,008 18,930 12,852 18,813 12,760 18,662 12,637 18,576 12,580 Production workers............................ 12,187 8,442 12,117 8,301 12,184 8,345 12,059 8,218 11,901 8,061 11,724 7,885 11,622 7,793 11,575 7,759 11,490 7,685 11,375 7,576 11,332 7,553 11,203 7,443 11,133 7,388 10,984 7,263 10,904 7,205 Lumber and wood products ....................... Furniture and fixtures................................ Stone, clay, and glass products .................. Primary metal industries............................ Fabricated metal products......................... 690.5 465.8 662.1 1,142.2 1,613.1 668.7 467.3 638.2 1,121.1 1,592.4 661 473 638 1,125 1,604 643 469 629 1,104 1,577 628 462 620 1,082 1553 615 457 610 1,053 1,529 607 452 596 1,038 1,515 611 449 596 1,024 1,505 607 446 590 1,007 1,496 615 443 584 976 1,481 617 443 586 945 1,472 615 442 580 926 1,452 614 439 579 906 1,446 612 443 574 888 1,427 615 441 573 880 1,416 Machinery, except electrical....................... Electric and electronic equipment................. Transportation equipment........................... Instruments and related products ................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ...................... 2,494.0 2,090.6 1,899.7 711.3 418.0 2,507.0 2,092.2 1,892.6 726.8 410.7 2,539 2,113 1,884 734 413 2,532 2,101 1,861 731 412 2,511 2,077 1,830 727 411 2,486 2,049 1,791 725 409 2,459 2,055 1,777 720 403 2,446 2,048 1,778 718 400 2,419 2,038 1,774 716 397 2,389 2,034 1,748 713 392 2,377 2,034 1,755 713 390 2,322 2,026 1,745 708 387 2,274 2,018 1,759 708 390 2,232 2,004 1,718 702 384 2,212 1,997 1,689 700 381 Nondurable goods ............................................... Production workers............................ 8,098 5,772 8,056 5,721 8,083 5,742 8,038 5,697 8,002 5,656 7,952 5,603 7,895 5,548 7,879 5,531 7,829 5,494 7,794 5,466 7,783 5,455 7,727 5,409 7,680 5,372 7,678 5,374 7,672 5,375 Food and kindred products......................... Tobacco manufactures ............................ Textile mill products................................. Apparel and other textile products ............... Paper and allied products ......................... 1,708.0 68.9 847.7 1,263.5 692.8 1,674.3 69.8 822.5 1,244.0 687.8 1,658 69 827 1,253 695 1,662 69 814 1,243 685 1,664 69 804 1,235 681 1,661 68 794 1,222 677 1,657 69 780 1,201 674 1,663 68 777 1,201 670 1,658 68 760 1,186 668 1,643 67 773 1,165 664 1,652 67 759 1,165 661 1,637 67 741 1,161 658 1,643 65 741 1,126 657 1,626 65 737 1,146 654 1,622 63 736 1,143 659 Printing and publishing.............................. Chemicals and allied products .................... Petroleum and coal products ...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ... Leather and leather products...................... 1,252.1 1,107.4 197.9 726.8 232.9 1,265.8 1,107.3 215.6 736.1 233.0 1,274 1,110 216 746 235 1,276 1,107 215 734 233 1,276 1,103 215 725 230 1,276 1,100 214 716 224 1,275 1,095 210 712 222 1,276 1,093 208 708 215 1,278 1,088 207 703 213 1,274 1,082 206 706 214 1,274 1,079 207 708 211 1,269 1,073 205 704 212 1,267 1,068 205 700 208 1,270 1,070 205 697 208 1,269 1,068 211 693 208 Production workers............................ Durable goods ...................................................... SERVICE-PRODUCING ............................................ 64,748 65,625 65,780 65,831 65,820 65,734 65,776 65,828 65,854 65,794 65,911 65,845 65,695 65,629 65,492 Transportation and public utilities ........................ 5,146 5,157 5,181 5,162 5,150 5,128 5,125 5,115 5,100 5,094 5,101 5,078 5,044 5,024 5,023 Wholesale and retail tr a d e ...................................... 20,310 20,551 20,660 20,654 20,623 20,524 20,630 20,670 20,655 20,584 20,652 20,595 20,615 20,544 20,488 Wholesale tra d e ........................................................ 5,275 5,359 5,383 5,380 5,375 5,357 5,346 5,343 5,336 5,323 5,331 5,307 5,299 5,288 5,277 15,035 15,192 15,277 15,274 15,248 15,167 15,284 15,327 15,319 15,261 15,321 15,288 15,316 15,256 15,211 5,160 5,301 5,328 5,325 5,324 5,331 5,326 5,326 5,336 5,335 5,342 5,352 5,359 5,361 5,367 Retail trade ........................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate ...................... Services..................................................................... 17,890 18,592 18,707 18,773 18,815 18,834 18,831 18,867 18,904 18,929 18,963 18,988 19,042 19,042 19,054 Government.............................................................. 16,241 2,866 13,375 16,024 2,772 13,253 15,904 2,764 13,140 15,917 2,757 13,160 15,908 2,749 13,159 15,917 2,756 13,161 15,864 2,741 13,123 15,850 2,737 13,113 15,859 2,736 13,123 15,852 2,730 13,122 15,853 2,728 13,125 15,832 15,635 2,739 ' 2,737 13,093 12,898 15,658 2,740 12,918 15,560 2,734 12,826 Federa ................................................. State and local ...................................... p=preliminary. 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Private sector Average weekly hours 1950 ............... 1955 ............... I9601 ............. 1964 ............... 1965 ............... $53.13 67.72 80.67 91.33 95.45 39.8 39.6 38.6 38.7 38.8 $1.335 1.71 2.09 2.36 2.46 $67.16 89.54 105.04 117.74 123.52 37.9 40.7 40.4 41.9 42.3 $1.772 2.20 2.60 2.81 2.92 $69.68 90.90 112.67 132.06 138.38 37.4 37.1 36.7 37.2 37.4 $1.863 2.45 3.07 3.55 3.70 $58.32 75.30 89.72 102.97 107.53 40.5 40.7 39.7 40.7 41.2 $1.440 1.85 2.26 2.53 2.61 1966 ............... 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.91 235.10 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.3 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.07 397.06 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 43.3 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.49 9.17 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 367.78 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 9.94 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.70 7.27 1981............... 255.20 35.2 7.25 439.19 43.7 10.05 398.52 36.9 10.80 318.00 39.8 7.99 Transportation and public utilities Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services 405 39 4 38 6 37.9 37.7 $1.100 140 1.71 1.97 2.04 $50.52 63.92 75.14 85.79 88.91 37.7 37.6 37.2 37.3 37.2 $1.340 1.70 2.02 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 1964 ............... 1965 ............... $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 $44.55 55.16 66.01 74.66 76.91 1966 ............... 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 406 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.58 351.25 398 39.9 40.0 39.9 39.6 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.16 8.87 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 176.46 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 32.2 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 5.48 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 209.60 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 5.79 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 190.71 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.6 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 5.85 1981 ............... 382.18 39.4 9.70 190.95 32.2 5.93 229.05 36.3 6.31 208.97 32.6' 6.41 1Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 67 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1982 1981 Industry division and group 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p Sept.p PRIVATE SECTOR............................................. 35.3 35.2 35.0 35.1 35.1 35.0 34.4 35.0 34.9 34.9 35.0 34.9 34.9 34.8 34.8 MANUFACTURING................................................... 39.7 2.8 39.8 2.8 39.4 2.7 39.5 2.7 39.3 2.5 39.1 2.4 37.6 2.3 39.4 2.4 39.0 2.3 39.0 2.4 39.1 2.3 39.2 2.4 39.2 2.4 390 2.4 38.6 2.3 Overtime hours ................................ 40.1 2.8 40.2 2.8 39.7 2.7 40.0 2.6 39.7 2.4 39.5 2.3 38.2 2.2 39.8 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.6 2.2 39.7 2.3 39.7 2.2 39.4 2.2 38.7 2.1 Lumber and wood products....................... Furniture and fixtures .............................. Stone, clay, and glass products.................. Primary metal industries ........................... Fabricated metal products......................... 38.5 38.1 40.8 40.1 40.4 38.7 38.4 40.6 40.5 40.3 37.6 37.4 40.3 40.6 39.6 37.8 38.0 40.1 40.0 40.0 37.7 37.6 40.1 39.6 39.7 37.7 37.9 39.7 39.2 39.5 35.0 33.6 38.6 38.3 38.1 37.9 37.7 40.1 39.4 39.7 37.6 37.3 40.0 38.8 39.5 37.6 37.4 40.0 38.5 39.4 38.5 37.5 40.2 38.5 39.5 38.7 37.8 40.4 38.9 39.4 38.6 37.6 40.6 38.9 39.5 38.3 38.0 40.3 38.9 39.1 38.1 37.2 40.3 37.7 38.5 Machinery, except electrical ...................... Electric and electronic equipment................. Transportation equipment ......................... Instruments and related products................. Miscellaneous manufacturing...................... 41.0 39.8 40.6 40.5 38.7 40.9 39.9 40.9 40.4 38.8 40.3 39.7 40.1 40.4 38.4 40.8 39.8 40.6 40.3 38.9 40.7 39.4 40.4 40.2 39.0 40.4 39.5 39.7 399 38.5 39.3 38.3 39.0 39.0 37.3 40.7 39.8 40.5 39.9 38.6 40.2 39.4 40.4 39.9 38.6 40.1 39.3 41.1 39.9 38.5 39.8 39.4 41.1 40.2 38.7 39.6 39.5 41.6 40.2 38.6 39.8 39.8 41.0 40.1 38.7 39.4 39.3 40.5 40.1 38.6 38.8 38.7 39.5 39.5 38.1 Overtime hours ................................ 39.0 2.8 39.1 2.8 38.9 2.8 38.9 2.8 38.7 2.7 38.6 2.6 36.8 2.5 38.9 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.4 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.6 2.5 38.6 2.6 38.5 2.6 38.5 2.6 Food and kindred products ....................... Textile mill products ................................ Apparel and other textile products............... Paper and allied products ......................... 39.7 40.1 35.4 42.2 39.7 39.6 35.7 42.5 39.3 38.8 35.2 43.0 39.5 39.0 35.5 42.4 39.5 38.7 35.5 42.0 398 37.8 35.1 41.8 39.1 32.3 31.4 41.3 40.2 38.3 35.5 42.3 39.5 37.6 35.0 41.8 39.4 37.7 34.7 42.1 39.4 37.9 34.8 41.8 39.5 37.8 35.1 42.0 39.5 37.7 35.2 41.9 39.2 38.2 34.9 41.8 39.4 38.1 35.0 41.5 Printing and publishing.............................. Chemicals and allied products.................... Petroleum and coal products...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ... Leather and leather products...................... 37.1 41.5 41.8 40.0 36.7 37.3 41.6 43.2 40.3 36.8 37.1 42.2 43.1 39.7 36.2 37.1 41.5 42.2 39.9 36.7 37.1 41.2 42.5 39.6 36.5 37.1 41.3 42.7 394 36.1 36.9 41.0 44.3 37.9 34.1 37.4 41.2 43.5 40.0 35.6 37.1 40.7 43.5 39.6 35.8 37.1 40.7 44.0 39.8 35.6 36.8 41.0 44.1 39.9 35.6 37.1 41.0 44.1 40.1 35.7 37.0 40.9 43.3 40.2 36.1 36.8 40.8 44.2 39.7 36.1 37.1 41.3 43.0 39.5 35.7 31.7 32.0 31.9 31.8 32.0 31.9 31.9 31.9 32.1 38.5 38.5 38.3 Overtime hours ................................ Durable g o o d s ...................................................... Nondurable goods WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 32.2 32.2 '*32.1 32.0 32.1 32.0 WHOLESALE TRA DE............................................... 38.5 38.6 38.5 38.4 38.5 38.4 38.1 38.5 38.4 38.3 38.5 38.6 RETAIL TRADE ........................................................ 30.2 30.1 30.1 29.9 30.0 29.9 29.7 29.9 29.8 29.8 30.0 29.8 29.9 29.9 30.2 SERVICES ................................................................. 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.7 32.8 Note: The industry divisions of mining; construction; tobacco manufactures (a major manufacturing group, nondurable goods); transportation and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate are no longer shown. This is because the seasonal component in these is small 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relative to the trend-cycle, or irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be precisely separated, p=preliminary, 13. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricuitural payrolls] 1982 1981 Annual average Industry division and group May June July Aug.p Sept.p 1980 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Seasonally adjusted ......................... $6.66 (') $7.25 (’ ) $7.40 7.37 $7.42 7.40 $7.47 7.45 $7.45 7.46 $7.55 7.52 $7.54 7.53 $7.55 7.54 $7.58 7 59 $7.63 7.65 $7.64 7.67 $7.67 7.71 $7.69 7.73 $7.76 7.72 M IN IN G ..................................................................... 9.17 10.05 10.27 10.25 10.39 10.41 10.65 10.62 10.62 10.65 10.66 10.82 10.91 10.88 11.03 CONSTRUCTION...................................................... 9.94 10.80 11.07 11.65 11.18 11.26 11.59 11.32 11.33 11.32 11.46 11.41 11.53 11.61 11.72 MANUFACTURING ................................................. 7.27 7.99 8.16 8.16 8.20 8.27 8.42 8.34 8.37 8.42 8.45 8.50 8.55 8.51 8.59 7.75 6.55 5.49 7.50 9.77 7.45 8.53 7.00 5.91 8.27 10.81 8.70 7.16 8.77 7.16 6.05 8.54 8.83 7.16 8.91 7.28 8.94 7.24 8.65 11.15 8.64 8.72 11.24 8.69 9.01 7.41 6.23 8.80 11.23 8.79 9.06 7.59 6.30 8.56 11.08 8.53 8.92 7.38 6.28 8.70 11.23 8.55 889 7.27 6.19 8.62 9.11 7.64 6.34 8.93 11.37 8.85 9.10 7.62 6.39 8.92 11.51 8.33 8.73 7.10 6.06 8.50 10.97 8.39 886 9.16 7.67 6.38 9.04 11.60 8.90 8.00 8.81 7.62 10.39 7.43 5.96 8.96 7.75 10.49 7.59 6.05 9.04 7.80 10.74 7.60 6.05 9.08 7.83 10.74 7.68 9.19 7.98 10.79 7.93 6.27 9.20 7.96 10.82 7.94 6.29 9.18 8.01 10.89 8.00 6.32 9.24 8.03 10.89 8.07 6.35 9.26 8.05 11.08 8.16 6.38 11.21 6.11 9.18 7.90 10.76 7.81 6.19 8.23 6.41 9.30 8.18 11.25 8.31 6.40 9.33 8.24 11.19 8.45 6.38 9.38 8.32 11.24 8.47 6.48 7.18 7.43 5.52 4.96 8.60 7.36 7.56 8.76 5.69 5.04 8.95 7.33 7.51 8.67 5.72 5.05 8.82 7.38 7.61 9.04 5.73 5.04 8.89 7.44 7.67 8.96 5.72 5.04 8.96 7.67 7.82 9.21 5.76 5.18 9.06 7.54 7.74 9.56 5.76 5.13 8.99 7.57 7.79 9.72 5.76 5.15 9.03 7.65 7.90 10.05 5.79 5.18 9.11 7.66 7.92 9.93 5.79 5.16 9.14 7.70 7.90 10.35 5.79 5.18 9.28 7.77 7.88 10.42 5.81 5.17 9.41 7.74 7.87 9.42 5.82 5.18 9.44 7.83 7.89 9.39 5.86 5.20 9.62 8.37 9.38 11.55 7.29 5.09 8.40 9.37 11.47 7.30 5.09 8.42 9.42 11.58 7.31 5.11 8.48 9.53 11.59 7.38 5.15 8.58 9.68 11.91 7.51 5.19 8.56 9.68 12.29 7.49 5.22 8.59 9.71 12.32 7.45 5.24 8.59 9.81 12.50 7.52 5.32 8.61 9.83 12.52 7.56 5.32 9.95 12.53 7.64 5.36 10.02 10.01 10.20 6.52 4.58 8.18 9.12 11.38 7.16 4.99 12.42 7.65 5.30 12.40 7.64 5.35 12.56 7.74 5.43 10.29 10.41 10.46 6.21 6.24 8.07 6.22 8.10 8.12 5.48 5.48 5.50 PRIVATE SECTOR .......................................... Durable goods Lumber and wood products ................. Furniture and fixtures......................... Stone, clay, and glass products ............ Primary metal industries...................... Fabricated metal products .................. Machinery, except electrical................. Electric and electronic equipment.......... Transportation equipment.................... Instruments and related products .......... Miscellaneous manufacturing ............... 6.94 9.35 6.80 5.46 6.55 6.85 7.74 5.07 4.56 7.84 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products.................. Tobacco manufactures....................... Textile mill products........................... Apparel and other textile products ........ Paper and allied products.................... Printing and publishing....................... Chemicals and allied products ............. Petroleum and coal products ............... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ............... 7.53 8.30 10.10 8.20 8.88 6.01 8.53 11.22 11.10 8.42 6.12 11.20 8.57 6.21 6.21 8.86 11.31 8.83 9.27 8.09 8.66 8.74 8.79 8.87 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 8.87 9.70 9.95 9.94 10.05 10.06 10.10 10.13 10.07 10.14 10.17 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ...................... 5.48 5.93 6.04 6.01 6.04 6.02 6.17 6.16 6.16 6.18 6.20 WHOLESALE TRADE............................................... 6.96 7.57 7.70 7.73 7.79 7.81 7.94 7.94 7.93 7.97 8.03 10.20 6.20 8.01 5.29 5.32 5.31 5.43 5.42 5.43 5.44 5.47 5.47 6.43 6.52 6.47 6.56 6.62 6.59 6.64 6.77 6.71 6.78 6.86 6.90 6.67 6.66 6.77 6.81 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.89 6.98 RETAIL TRADE ........................................................ 4.88 5.25 5.37 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . . . 5.79 6.31 6.39 5.85 SERVICES................................................................. 6.41 6.52 6.58 1Not available. 14. 6.79 6.79 p=preliminary. Hourly Earnings Index, for production workers on private nonagricuitural payrolls, by industry [1977=100] Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Industry PRIVATE SECTOR (in current dollars) Mining.......................................... Construction ................................. Manufacturing ................................ Transportation and public utilities.......... Wholesale and retail trade ................. Finance, insurance, and real estate....... Services ....................................... PRIVATE SECTOR (in constant dollars) May 1982 June 1982 July 1982 Aug. 1982 p Sept. 1982 p 141.4 147.7 148.1 148.9 149.8 149.9 0.1 (’ ) <’ ) 139.9 151.8 148.2 145.1 148.0 146.5 140.7 154.2 150.0 146.4 150.5 149.6 (’) 140.8 154.6 149.7 146.3 151.3 149.5 (’ ) 140.6 153.3 148.9 145.7 148.6 148.7 (’) 139.7 152.5 149.1 145.2 147.2 147.3 .0 .2 -.2 -.1 .5 -.1 93.7 93.0 93.0 93.2 (2) (2) Sept. 1981 July 1982 Aug. 1982 p Sept. 1982 p 141.7 148.6 149.2 150.2 6.0 151.7 135.5 144.7 143.0 141.0 139.8 139.7 161.3 140.8 153.3 148.3 145.5 148.3 147.8 161.0 141.6 153.6 150.0 145.8 150.1 148.2 162.9 142.9 154.6 151.2 146.3 150.7 149.4 7.4 5.5 5.8 3.8 7.8 7.0 133.5 144.7 141.5 141.0 140.4 139.7 92.1 92.4 92.6 (2) (2) 92.1 1This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. 1981 Percent change from: Aug. 1982 to Sept. 1982 Percent change from: Sept 1981 to Sept 1982 6.8 (') (’ ) 2Not available, p = preliminary, 69 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricuitural payrolls] 1982 1981 Annual average Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p SepLp 1980 1981 Current dollars................................... Seasonally adjusted........................... Constant (1977) dollars......................... $235.10 <1) 172.74 $255.20 (') 170.13 MINING .............................................................. 397.06 439.19 450.85 456.13 461.32 466.37 456.89 463.03 465.16 454.76 454.12 463.10 463.68 462.40 457.75 CONSTRUCTION ............................................... 367.78 398.52 396.31 419.62 414.78 417.75 385.95 406.39 419.21 415.44 429.75 427.88 438.14 436.54 432.47 Current dollars................................... Constant (1977) dollars......................... 288.62 212.06 212.00 318.00 322.32 209.57 210.22 323.95 325.54 210.71 329.97 213.02 312.38 201.02 326.93 209.70 327.27 210.33 325.85 208.48 329.55 208.71 334.05 209.04 332.60 206.84 331.89 206.01 333.29 206.88 Durable g o o d s ................................................... Lumber and wood products.................... Furniture and fixtures ........................... Stone, clay, and glass products............... Primary metal industries ....................... Fabricated metal products...................... 310.78 252.18 209.17 306.00 391.78 300.98 342.91 270.90 226.94 335.76 437.81 330.46 346.26 271.36 226.58 346.32 457.78 330.70 350.07 271.22 233.92 344.25 435.51 337.28 351.68 269.93 230.51 345.87 440.67 337.64 356.73 272.80 238.07 343.26 438.77 345.47 336.28 248.71 204.10 325.38 431.23 323.19 352.93 272.63 231.51 337.90 443.52 337.66 352.84 273.73 233.50 344.27 434.85 342.14 350.45 270.05 230.39 347.93 434.99 338.91 355.90 285.29 231.76 355.52 430.11 346.33 360.59 297.53 238.77 361.49 439.96 349.67 357.11 294.90 233.31 362.56 437.75 344.27 356.72 296.42 244.10 362.15 441.98 345.54 355.41 294.53 239.25 367.02 439.64 343.54 Machinery except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipment............. Transportation equipment ...................... Instruments and related products............. Miscellaneous manufacturing.................. 328.00 276.21 379.61 275.40 211.30 360.33 304.04 424.95 300.17 231.25 361.98 307.68 418.55 306.64 234.14 367.93 311.22 440.34 307.04 237.77 372.28 311.63 438.19 313.34 241.35 381.89 319.16 445.46 317.87 242.03 360.25 304.04 414.34 306.10 229.48 374.44 316.81 437.13 317.60 241.54 370.87 316.40 439.96 320.80 244.58 367.75 313.17 441.05 318.77 242.57 367.62 315.56 455.39 327.22 245.63 367.09 319.56 466.34 330.85 247.43 363.63 319.84 456.75 328.25 244.48 363.87 322.18 447.60 337.16 246.27 364.88 321.98 440.61 334.57 248.83 Nondurable g o o d s ............................................ 255.45 271.95 294.89 203.31 161.42 330.85 280.74 294.97 344.54 218.59 177.07 365.50 287.78 300.89 352.15 221.34 177.41 386.64 286.60 296.65 341.60 225.37 180.79 373.97 288.56 302.88 350.75 224.62 180.43 376.05 291.65 309.87 341.38 220.79 178.92 382.59 277.65 302.63 332.48 179.71 155.40 374.18 291.04 307.28 366.15 219.46 180.58 377.58 289.93 303.81 362.56 217.15 180.77 376.55 291.47 306.52 367.83 215.39 178.19 380.80 294.14 312.05 369.40 219.44 180.08 379.31 297.99 312.05 397.44 220.60 183.89 389.76 299.15 312.05 383.46 216.13 183.02 391.46 299.54 312.44 361.73 222.91 182.85 393.65 303.02 314.81 370.91 223.85 181.48 401.15 Printing and publishing........................... Chemicals and allied products................. Petroleum and coal products.................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.............................. Leather and leather products.................. 279.36 344.45 422.18 305.11 379.39 491.62 313.04 395.84 512.82 312.48 388.86 494.36 314.07 391.87 499.10 321.39 398.35 493.73 312.31 394.94 514.51 317.58 397.85 518.64 318.69 395.20 522.37 316.11 399.27 550.00 315.99 401.06 549.63 319.55 406.96 553.83 322.51 407.81 546.48 326.11 406.41 549.32 330.85 421.26 557.66 260.80 168.09 288.55 183.63 289.41 183.24 293.46 186.80 291.67 187.03 295.94 187.46 283.88 172.83 298.85 184.27 295.77 186.54 297.04 187.26 300.13 191.52 306.36 196.71 302.94 191.33 303.31 194.21 305.73 192.77 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . 351.25 382.18 390.04 388.65 393.96 395.36 388.85 397.10 392.73 393.43 394.60 399.84 403.37 409,11 410.03 194.66 195.91 197.78 199.02 202.45 202.77 200.93 PRIVATE SECTOR $259.74 $261.18 $262.20 $262.24 $255.95 $262.39 $261.99 $262.27 $265.52 $267.40 $269 98 $270.69 $270.05 257.95 259.74 261.50 261.10 258.69 263.55 263.15 264.89 267.75 267.68 269.08 269.00 268.66 168.88 169.49 169.71 169.30 164.70 168.31 168.37 167.80 168.16 167.33 167.90 168.03 167.63 MANUFACTURING Food and kindred products .................... Tobacco manufactures ......................... Textile mill products ............................ Apparel and other textile products............ Paper and allied products ...................... WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 176.46 190.95 194.49 192.32 192.68 194.45 191.89 194.66 WHOLESALE TRADE .......................................... 267.96 292.20 296.45 298.38 300.69 302.25 300.13 303.31 303.72 304.45 308.35 309.19 312.31 312.66 311.00 159.35 159.64 161.02 163.01 164.65 168.24 168.24 166.65 RETAIL TR A D E ..................................................... 147.38 158.03 162.17 157.64 158.54 160.89 157.47 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 209.60 229.05 230.04 232.77 236.02 234.21 237.47 239.64 239.22 240.37 245.75 242.23 245.44 249.02 247.71 219.32 220.68 220.03 221.33 222.63 224.35 227.40 228.06 228.25 . SERVICES.............................................................. 1Not available. 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 190.71 208.97 211.25 213.85 216.78 217.12 P = preliminary. UN EM PLO YM ENT INSURANCE DATA N a t i o n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor from monthly reports of unem ployment insurance activity prepared by State agencies. Rail road unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All items except average benefits amounts are in thousands] 1981 Aug. All programs: Insured unemployment.................... State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 ................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ......................... Rate of insured unemployment .......... Weeks of unemployment compensated . Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment................. Total benefits paid ......................... State umemployment insurance program:1 (Seasonally adjusted data) Initial claims2 ................................ Insured umemployment (average weekly volume) ......................... Rate of insured umemployment.......... Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claims1 ................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ......................... Weeks of unemployment compensated . Total benefits paid ......................... Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ......................... Weeks of unemployment compensated . Total benefits paid ......................... Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ......................... Number of payments ...................... Average amount of benefit payment ... Total benefits paid ......................... Employment service:5 New applications and renewals.......... Nonfarm placements ...................... Sept. 2,874 1982 Oct. Nov. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.p 2,680 2,753 3,228 3,935 4,681 4,723 4,892 4,760 4,388 4,328 4,495 4,398 1,610 1,681 1,996 2,286 3,272 3,328 2,272 2,418 2,347 1,989 2,399 2,655 2,358 2,656 3.0 9,594 2,488 2.9 9,565 2,592 3.0 9,424 3,061 3.5 10,052 3,778 4.3 14,592 4,470 5.1 15,962 4,376 5.0 15,631 4,282 4.9 18,144 4,067 4.6 r 16,158 3,729 4.3 '13,679 3,707 4.3 '14,648 3,910 4.6 14,655 3,831 4.4 15,015 $105.94 $107.39 $1,004,864 $1,001,020 $108.92 $110.52 $112.83 $114.83 $116.95 $117.10 r$117.61 '$118.08 '$118.64 $117.28 $121.52 $997,757 $1,080,810 $1,592,546 $1,764,206 $1,781,830 $2,072,642 r$1,849,881 '$1,573,444 '$1,689,061 $1,679,378 $1,746,195 1,851 2,099 2,187 2,233 2.106 2,304 2,354 2,521 2,442 2,379 2,528 2,317 2,814 2,867 3.3 2,985 3.4 3,171 3.6 3,403 3.9 3,593 4.1 3,604 4.1 3,644 4.2 3,777 4.3 3,939 4.5 3,925 4.5 3,995 4.6 3,959 4.5 4,137 4.7 19 15 11 9 11 8 8 8 11 26 116 $12,952 22 91 $10,043 19 93 $10,155 16 65 $7,098 13 49 $5,304 10 48 $5,141 37 '$4,013 9 31 $3,395 10 8 10 34 153 $17,144 10 11 9 44 190 $21,425 7 25 $2,821 7 24 $2,793 17 18 20 16 17 17 12 13 13 11 14 13 12 25 29 32 36 127 $13,491 39 174 $18,891 40 162 $18,040 40 154 $17,517 38 172 $19,677 33 '146 '$16,806 29 28 123 '$13,922 29 $13,445 27 118 $13,140 68 29 '$3,314 102 100 $9,543 $10,495 $11,719 13 15 21 13 19 22 11 9 5 5 36 68 29 63 $202.53 $7,071 34 74 $207,98 15,046 40 44 83 $207.08 $16,377 54 117 $212.33 $25,292 75 153 $213.39 $30,544 67 140 $214.07 $28,011 65 154 $215.71 $33,853 57 130 $209.48 $26,262 44 95 $200.75 $19,110 44 93 $199.15 $18,574 55 112 120 $13,526 120 ( 86 $197.26 15,994 16,502 3,509 11nitial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican jarcane workers. 2Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. 4Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jan. 4,081 731 7,439 1,232 55 100 100 $202.54 $17,998 $202.54 $17,998 10,965 1,902 10,965 1,902 5Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly. Note: Data for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands included. Dashes indicate data not available. r=revised p=preliminary. 71 PRICE DATA P r i c e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the Standard Industrial Classification Manual 1972 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the Review, regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 19.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see Facts About the Revised Consumer Price Index, a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also The Consumer Price Index: Concepts and Content Over the Years, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stand ards of living, see the family budget data published in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, 1977, Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the CPI Detailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see BLS Handbook o f Methods for Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the meas urement of producer price change,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1978, pp. 7-15. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” Monthly Labor Review, August 1965, pp. 974-82. 17. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-81 [1967 = 100] Food and beverages All items Year Index Percent change Index Apparel and upkeep Housing Percent change Index Percent change 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 1970 ............... 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 1976 ............... 1977 ............... 1978 ............... 1979 ............... 1980 ............... 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 247.0 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 13.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 248.7 9.7 10.9 8.7 202.6 10.6 6.1 6.8 8.6 227.5 263.2 272.3 10.2 267.8 7.7 293.2 1981 ............... 3.1 6.0 174.6 186.5 Percent change 6.2 7.1 Index Percent change Index Percent change 6.1 12.0 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 267.2 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 11.3 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 203.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 8.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 213.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 295.1 10.4 219.0 7.5 233.3 9.2 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 12.3 15.7 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 177.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 6.6 250.5 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 17.7 11.4 186.6 5.2 281.3 12.3 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 100.0 100.0 105.7 111.0 5.3 2.9 106.1 113.4 3.3 Percent change 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 3.2 3.9 5.1 11.2 Index 5.2 4.9 5.8 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.7 7.4 4.5 Percent change 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.4 5.8 4.1 1.1 Index 5.7 5.0 5.1 105.4 111.5 116.1 2.1 Other goods and services Entertainment Medical care 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Index Transportation 120.6 6.9 6.3 116.7 2.8 8.8 18. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1982 1981 1982 1981 Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. All item s................................................................................................ 276.5 283.1 284.3 287.1 290.6 292.2 292.8 276.5 282.5 283.7 286.5 290.1 291.8 292.4 Food and beverages ......................................................... Housing.......................................................................... Apparel and upkeep........................................................... Transportation................................................................. Medical care ................................................................... Entertainment ................................................................. Other goods and services.................................................... 270.1 299.7 187.4 283.7 299.3 222.3 235.6 275.6 306.7 191.1 285.1 318.8 232.8 252.2 276.5 309.4 191.9 282.9 321.7 233.9 253.8 278.1 313.8 191.5 285.6 323.8 234.4 255.0 280.2 317.5 190.8 292.8 326.4 235.6 255.8 280.8 319.2 189.7 296.1 330.0 236.6 257.2 279.9 320.1 191.8 296.2 333.3 237.4 258.3 270.6 299.6 187.9 285.1 298.6 219.9 233.5 275.9 306.2 190.5 286.6 317.4 229.5 249.3 276.8 309.2 191.2 284.3 320.2 230.5 250.9 278.4 313.7 190.6 287.1 322.3 231.1 252.4 280.5 317.5 189.6 294.5 324.8 232.3 253.1 281.2 319.3 188.7 297.9 328.1 233.5 254.5 280.2 320.5 190.7 298.0 331.3 233.9 255.7 Commodities ................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .............................. Nondurables less food and beverages............................ Durables................................................................ 256.2 245.8 263.9 230.9 258.8 247.1 263.4 233.5 258.9 247.0 259.7 235.8 261.5 249.8 261.0 239.8 265.1 254.0 266.3 243.2 266.5 255.7 268.2 244.7 266.4 255.9 268.8 244.6 256.9 246.7 266.8 229.9 259.1 247.5 265.3 232.4 259.2 247.2 261.3 234.8 261.7 250.1 262.6 238.9 265.4 254.5 268.2 242.3 266.9 256.3 270.3 243.9 266.8 256.5 270.7 244.0 Services ........................................................................ Rent, residential....................................................... Household services less rent ...................................... Transportation services............................................... Medical care services................................................ Other services......................................................... 312.2 210.3 379.9 275.7 323.4 239.1 325.5 219.6 392.5 288.8 345.1 254.0 328.4 331.8 334.9 403.0 291.3 350.2 255.9 407.7 294.7 353.0 257.0 338.9 226.0 411.7 297.8 361.0 259.7 312.7 209.9 384.2 274.3 322.1 238.3 325.8 219.1 396.6 287.9 343.0 252.4 329.1 219.6 402.3 289.2 345.8 253.8 332.4 221.3 408.2 290.0 348.0 254.4 335.7 397.3 290.3 348.0 255.3 337.0 224.8 409.4 297.2 357.3 258.0 413.3 293.2 350.7 255.5 337.9 224.3 415.3 295.7 354.7 256.6 340.0 225.5 418.1 296.5 358.3 258.4 All items less food ............................................................ All items less mortgage interest costs ..................................... Commodities less food....................................................... Nondurables less food ....................................................... Nondurables less food and apparel........................................ Nondurables ................................................................... Services less rent ............................................................ Services less medical care.................................................. Domestically produced farm foods ........................................ Selected beef cuts............................................................ Energy .......................................................................... All items less energy ......................................................... All items less food and energy ..................................... Commodities less food and energy.............................. Energy commodities ............................................... Services less energy............................................... 274.9 260.9 243.8 258.4 298.0 268.1 331.7 308.8 260.6 276.7 416.1 265.6 261.3 220.9 449.9 308.3 281.7 267.2 245.2 258.4 296.6 270.7 345.7 321.1 263.8 272.0 406.1 273.6 269.8 225.3 424.5 321.5 282.9 267.9 245.0 255.0 291.4 269.3 349.1 324.0 264.5 275.1 395.7 275.7 272.2 227.2 406.6 324.5 286.0 270.3 247.8 256.2 293.4 270.7 352.8 327.5 267.1 281.6 402.1 278.3 274.9 229.9 410.2 327.2 289.7 273.6 251.9 261.2 301.0 274.4 356.5 330.7 270.3 289.1 418.6 280.7 277.3 232.1 430.8 329.9 291.5 275.1 253.5 263.0 304.3 275.7 358.5 332.5 270.7 287.4 424.5 282.0 278.7 233.1 438.2 331.8 292.5 275.6 253.8 263.6 304.2 275.5 360.5 334.1 268.4 280.8 424.5 282.7 279.8 233.6 436.6 333.6 275.2 261.5 244.7 261.2 300.0 269.7 332.6 309.4 259.9 277.2 418.9 264.7 260.3 450.6 308.9 281.3 267.3 245.6 260.2 297.8 271.6 346.4 321.6 262.7 273.3 407.9 272.3 268.3 224.5 425.0 321.8 282.5 267.9 245.3 256.6 292.3 270.1 350.2 3249 263.5 276.4 396.9 274.5 270.9 226.4 406.9 325.2 285.6 270.3 248.1 257.8 294.4 271.5 353.8 328.3 266.0 283.1 403.1 277.0 273.6 229.1 410.5 327.9 289.4 273.7 252.4 263.0 302.4 275.4 357.7 331.7 269.2 290.6 420.4 279.4 276.0 231.3 431.6 330.6 291.4 275.3 254.1 265.0 305.8 276.8 359.9 333.6 269.7 288.8 426.5 280.8 277.6 232.4 439.0 332.6 292.4 275.8 254.4 265.4 305.5 276.5 362.2 335.6 267.4 281.9 426.1 281.5 278.7 232.8 437.3 334.7 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 - $1 ................. $0,362 $0353 $0,352 $0,348 $0,344 $0,342 $0,342 $0,362 $0,354 $0,352 $0,349 $0,345 $0,343 $0,342 220.1 221.8 222.6 222.1 Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 220.2 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 1982 Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. FOOD AND BEVERAGES ............................................................................ 270.1 275.6 276.5 278.1 280.2 280.8 279.9 270.6 275.9 276.8 278.4 280.5 281.2 280.2 F ood............................................................................................................... 277.4 283.0 283.9 285.5 287.8 288.5 287.4 277.7 283.1 284.1 285.7 288.0 288.6 287.5 Food at home.......................................................................... Cereals and bakery products ................................................. Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100)......................... Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100)................. Cereal (12/77 = 100)............................................... Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) ...................... Bakery products (12/77 = 100)........................................ White bread ........................................................... Other breads (12/77 = 100)...................................... Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) ............... Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100)...................... Cookies (12/77 = 100)............................................. Crackers, bread, and cracker products (12/77 = 100) ....... Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) ... Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) ........ 272.8 272.6 149.5 139.6 154.6 151.4 142.4 235.6 140.8 143.4 142.7 143.1 130.6 143.9 277.1 281.3 153.9 139.2 165.2 151.2 147.1 242.3 145.1 148.4 148.0 149.4 135.3 146.3 277.9 281.7 153.6 139.7 165.4 149.6 147.5 242.8 145.2 147.6 148.4 150.2 137.3 146.8 279.8 283.3 154.5 141.8 165.7 150.2 148.3 243.8 146.3 149.7 149.0 150.5 139.6 147.3 282.6 283.6 154.5 142.1 166.1 149.4 148.6 242.4 145.6 149.9 149.2 150.7 140.9 148.9 282.8 284.3 154.8 143.5 166.3 148.9 149.0 246.1 145.1 148.9 148.9 150.0 141.8 148.5 2808 284.8 154.5 141.6 166.5 149.3 149.4 246.6 146.2 150.5 149.5 149.6 141.3 148.9 272.2 272.0 151.3 142.0 156.4 153.1 141.5 233.0 143.4 141.0 141.2 144.1 130.9 143.4 276.2 280.0 154.8 139.6 167.2 152.4 146.0 238.3 147.0 144.6 146.4 150.2 136.5 148.7 277.0 280.4 154.6 140.1 167.4 150.8 146.3 238.8 147.1 143.8 146.8 151.2 138.7 149.3 278.8 282.0 155.4 142.1 167.8 151.5 147.2 240.0 148.2 146.0 147.4 151.4 141.0 149.9 281.6 282.3 155.5 142.5 168.2 150.6 147.4 238.3 147.5 146.2 147.5 151.5 142.3 151.5 281.9 283.0 155.8 144.0 168.5 150.0 147.8 241.9 147.0 145.4 147.2 150.9 143.2 151.1 279.8 283.4 155.5 142.1 168.6 150.5 148.1 242.5 148.2 146.6 147.6 150.6 142.6 151.5 147.1 153.5 153.4 153.6 156.3 156.2 156.6 141.5 146.8 146.5 146.7 149.4 149.2 149.5 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs................................................ Meats, poultry, and fish ...................... ......................... Meats ................................................................. Beef and veal ..................................................... Ground beef other than canned.............................. Chuck roast..................................................... Round roast..................................................... Round steak .................................................... Srloin steak..................................................... Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ....................... Pork................................................................. Bacon ............................................................ Chops ............................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100).................... Sajsage ......................................................... Cannec ham .................................................... Other pork (12/77 = 100) ................................... Other meats ....................................................... Frankfurters..................................................... Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) .......... Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ........................... Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) .................... Poultry................................................................. Fresh whole chicken........................................... Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) .......... Other poultry (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fish and seafood .................................................... Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100).................. Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100) ....... Eggs ........................................................................ 255.8 262.2 262.0 275.9 267.4 285.3 247.2 256.0 282.2 164.3 235.3 231.1 224.1 105.3 297.2 234.9 135.0 261.4 259.8 147.0 130.6 146.8 256.9 262.1 261.2 271.7 265.8 284.3 243.0 258.8 260.6 161.5 239.5 249.6 216.3 109.2 305.8 247.6 132.6 262.4 260.5 149.2 133.7 141.0 194.7 195.1 127.5 123.9 376.3 141.0 144.7 195.2 258.3 264.2 263.6 274.8 266.9 285.4 244.9 262.8 271.1 163.7 241.6 255.9 223.4 105.4 305.7 245.6 135.2 262.8 259.5 150.2 133.2 142.6 193.3 194.1 127.6 121.3 382.0 141.5 147.9 186.9 261.0 268.2 269.7 281.1 269.4 287.2 252.4 269.2 282.3 169.0 249.9 267.7 230.0 266.0 274.3 277.2 288.2 274.6 295.4 257.0 278.8 294.1 173.3 259.5 280.7 241.2 326.3 253.2 145.4 268.5 268.8 154.6 135.5 143.1 197.5 199.1 129.3 124.6 365.2 139.9 138.6 162.5 255.5 261.8 261.3 275.9 269.4 295.5 247.3 251.5 279.2 162.6 236.5 234.5 224.4 103.7 298.6 238.0 136.3 259.6 260.4 145.7 128.8 148.3 129.4 127.3 370.2 140.5 141.3 173.6 265.4 273.7 276.5 280.5 268.1 289.7 245.0 263.4 285.5 169.7 268.2 295.6 248.0 116.8 332.2 257.6 150.8 272.8 275.6 157.5 138.3 142.3 196.2 193.8 128.2 127.7 367.6 139.4 140.4 161.2 256.4 261.5 260.6 272.3 266.9 293.1 245.9 256.4 262.2 159.8 238.9 253.3 214.7 106.5 306.6 251.2 131.7 261.7 260.0 149.4 131.7 144.2 192.8 192.8 125.9 123.3 375.5 140.5 144.6 196.3 257.8 263.6 262.8 275.3 267.9 294.1 247.9 260.8 272.4 162.1 241.0 259.7 221.7 313.3 249.9 138.9 264.0 262.7 150.7 134.3 141.2 196.0 196.8 128.3 124.3 366.3 139.8 139.4 172.3 268.5 276.2 278.8 286.7 272.5 296.2 251.8 271.2 295.6 173.3 265.4 283.9 248.9 115.3 331.9 255.3 150.3 272.0 274.2 156.5 137.3 143.9 199.6 260.7 267.7 269.0 281.9 270.7 296.2 255.9 267.8 283.8 167.5 249.2 271.9 228.2 108.3 314.2 253.2 138.2 263.2 261.8 150.7 132.3 144.4 194.1 194.7 126.5 123.9 365.0 139.2 138.9 173.4 265.8 273.9 276.5 289.0 275.9 304.9 260.1 277.2 295.5 171.9 258.9 285.3 239.6 109.6 327.2 256.4 144.7 267.8 268.3 154.6 133.4 146.5 195.8 197.0 127.5 124.3 364.2 139.4 138.3 163.4 268.3 275.8 278.2 287.4 273.9 305.3 254.7 269.4 298.0 171.7 264.9 288.7 247.3 112.4 332.9 258.7 149.5 271.3 273.4 156.6 135.1 147.3 197.8 198.8 127.9 126.9 368.7 139.9 140.8 174.7 265.1 273.3 275.8 280.8 269.0 298.9 247.9 261.1 286.8 168.0 267.6 300.4 246.3 113.8 333.5 261.1 150.0 272.3 274.9 157.6 136.1 145.6 194.4 191.8 126.5 127.4 365.8 138.8 139.7 162.3 Dairy products.............................................................. Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ........................... Fresh whole milk.................................................. Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100).................. Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)....................... Butter................................................................ Cheese (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)............. Other dairy products (12/77 = 100)........................... 243.8 134.5 247.5 135.9 247.0 135.7 247.5 135.4 136.2 145.9 251.1 144.2 150.4 141.3 136.0 146.3 252.1 144.8 150.6 140.7 134.6 145.3 252.7 143.6 148.9 140.3 246.8 135.3 221.3 135.7 145.9 252.7 144.0 150.2 140.8 246.3 135.1 135.7 145.2 251.1 144.0 148.7 139.7 243.9 134.3 219.8 134.4 143.3 248.5 141.5 147.9 137.2 245.9 134.8 136.2 145.6 250.1 143.7 150.9 139.9 246.3 135.2 221.3 135.4 144.9 250.9 143.2 149.6 138.7 247.5 135.6 134.2 142.5 246.2 140.8 147.9 135.6 246.5 135.3 221.7 135.1 144.9 250.1 143.3 149.5 139.5 135.2 145.5 253.7 144.3 147.9 140.4 245.7 134.7 220.4 134.9 145.2 253.4 143.6 148.7 139.4 246.8 135.1 220.7 135.7 146.2 253.7 144.5 149.6 142.0 246.8 134.8 220.3 135.5 146.6 254.6 145.1 149.6 141.6 Fruits and vegetables .................................................... Fresh fruits and vegetables ........................................ Fresh fruits ......................................................... Apples............................................................ Bananas ......................................................... Orarges ......................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100)............................ Fresh vegetables.................................................. Potatoes ......................................................... Lettuce ........................................................... Tomatoes ....................................................... Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) .................... 286.1 295.8 306.9 282.1 245.2 353.7 163.5 285.5 375.1 290.6 209.9 143.6 293.1 302.1 297.8 288.7 263.0 316.3 157.2 306.1 301.0 270.9 258.1 185.0 294.0 304.1 306.7 287.5 268.5 330.8 163.4 301.8 306.1 355.2 220.5 166.3 297.9 311.7 318.8 299.8 261.6 362.1 168.2 305.1 320.3 291.6 226.5 179.3 305.6 325.9 340.8 321.4 267.9 406.8 177.1 311.9 344.9 269.1 275.6 177.5 299.7 313.8 332.4 331.8 245.4 438.2 161.6 296.4 370.9 254.5 270.2 155.6 291.4 296.9 336.1 314.5 233.7 473.0 163.9 260.2 328.1 246.3 194.3 138.3 144.1 289.1 296.1 287.3 288.5 261.1 285.9 151.8 304.2 294.8 271.3 261.8 184.0 290.3 298.9 295.5 287.8 266.1 300.2 157.6 302.0 300.8 358.6 224.9 166.7 293.6 305.1 306.9 300.1 259.3 328.3 162.4 303.7 313.6 293.5 230.6 178.6 301.0 318.6 327.0 321.9 265.5 367.5 170.3 311.1 339.7 270.0 279.9 177.0 295.3 307.1 320.5 333.3 243.6 399.9 156.1 295.0 366.0 253.0 274.9 154.8 286.7 289.7 323.2 316.7 231.3 433.5 158.1 259.6 323.4 247.5 198 2 137.8 Processed fruits and vegetables ................................. Processed fruits (12/77 = 100) ................................ Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100)................. Fruit juices other than frozen (12/77 = 100) ............. Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100) .................... Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100)......................... Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100)........................... 277.9 143.4 143.5 147.4 139.1 135.7 134.9 285.8 149.0 149.2 152.4 145.3 138.2 142.0 285.5 148.2 147.1 151.5 145.6 138.6 144.0 285.4 148.3 145.7 152.2 146.4 138.5 143.9 285.9 c286.8 148.0 148.5 144.4 143.5 151.7 152.2 147.0 148.8 139.3 139.7 145.6 146.7 288.0 148.7 142.8 153.0 148.9 140.7 147.7 276.2 143.4 142.8 147.1 139.8 134.6 135.7 283.7 148.6 148.2 151.4 145.9 137.2 143.4 283.3 147.7 146.1 150.4 146.2 137.5 145.3 283.3 147.9 144.6 151.0 147.0 137.4 145.2 283.9 147.6 143.4 150.7 147.6 138.2 146.9 284.8 148.1 142.6 151.0 149.4 138.6 148.0 285.9 148.2 141.7 151.9 149.6 139.6 149.0 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 202.0 201.4 131.8 129.7 356.8 139.8 133.6 177.6 220.2 111.1 112.6 222.2 222.0 201.2 221.6 221.2 201.2 199.6 131.6 129.9 356.4 138.5 134.1 177.7 282.5 290.4 298.4 284.6 239.9 325.1 160.5 283.2 362.8 290.0 211.0 220.8 102.8 306.3 248.9 134.5 261.8 258.4 150.3 131.2 145.6 191.5 192.0 125.9 120.8 381.4 140.8 148.0 187.9 221.1 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1982 1981 July Aug. 138.8 133.8 333.5 366.9 150.5 162.8 146.9 260.7 260.8 154.9 129.7 426.6 303.3 141.2 360.1 343.8 140.2 269.5 138.3 146.8 155.2 152.4 152.4 148.5 145.8 138.6 134.1 333.1 369.7 150.6 166.1 147.9 259.3 258.0 153.1 129.7 424.4 300.4 141.1 359.3 344.4 139.5 269.8 138.9 146.0 154.8 152.1 153.2 149.5 145.9 141.2 134.2 334.0 370.3 150.1 168.2 147.5 258.2 257.3 152.4 129.0 425.3 301.7 142.6 360.4 344.4 137.8 271.5 140.0 148.5 155.1 153.2 153.6 150.3 146.8 307.8 149.8 148.8 149.2 309.0 150.5 149.1 149.9 310.7 151.2 149.8 151.1 311.8 152.0 150.3 151.3 July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May 141.1 135.2 332.6 366.8 150.4 161.4 148.9 260.7 261.2 156.5 129.1 424.8 305.9 143.1 365.1 344.3 140.0 267.8 136.3 147.3 153.2 153.3 150.6 148.3 144.5 141.0 135.4 332.2 369.5 150.5 164.6 149.8 259.3 258.4 154.9 129.2 422.8 302.9 143.3 364.3 344.9 139.2 268.0 136.9 146.7 152.7 152.7 151.4 149.3 144.6 143.6 135.6 333.3 370.1 150.0 166.7 149.6 258.3 257.9 154.2 128.5 423.8 304.3 144.8 365.5 344.9 137.7 269.9 137.9 149.1 153.1 154.1 151.9 150.2 145.4 135.4 133.7 326.1 362.7 147.4 165.3 142.9 268.7 255.7 178.8 129.6 415.2 296.6 138.9 342.8 333.8 135.0 259.7 134.8 142.5 151.5 142.8 145.6 142.1 140.8 138.8 133.3 332.6 365.4 150.1 162.4 145.5 259.7 256.1 154.4 130.0 426.6 303.8 141.4 362.2 343.4 139.1 268.1 137.8 146.5 155.4 152.2 149.9 147.9 144.5 137.9 133.5 332.6 365.2 150.8 161.1 145.3 260.4 259.1 155.6 129.5 426.0 302.4 141.5 365.0 343.0 138.9 268.3 137.8 146.7 155.0 152.7 150.4 147.7 144.6 138.5 133.2 333.5 365.6 149.9 161.8 147.0 260.6 259.3 154.2 130.2 427.3 303.6 142.3 364.3 343.9 139.1 269.3 137.7 147.3 155.6 151.9 151.9 148.7 144.9 304.8 148.2 147.1 148.5 305.9 148.9 147.4 149.2 307.6 149.6 148.1 150.5 308.7 150.3 148.6 150.7 296.4 144.2 143.7 143.1 305.4 148.6 147.3 148.7 306.7 149.1 147.9 149.3 Aug. Mar. Apr. May Fruits and vegetables—Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) .... Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77=100)............ Other foods at home............................................................ Sugar and sweets........................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77=100) ........................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77-100).................... Other sweets (12/77-100) ........................................ Fats and oils (12/77=100) ............................................... Margarine ............................ ................................. Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77=100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77=100) ............. Nonalcoholic beverages .................................................. Cola drinks, excluding diet cola..................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77=100)............ Roasted coffee ....................................................... Freeze dried and instant coffee..................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77-100)....................... Other prepared foods ..................................................... Canned and packaged soup (12/77-100)....................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77-100).............................. Snacks (12/77-100)................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77-100)............ Other condiments (12/77—100) ................................... Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77-100) .................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) ... 137.4 135.4 325.1 361.3 146.1 164.3 145.0 269.2 258.2 179.8 129.4 413.1 298.2 141.5 346.0 333.3 134.9 257.9 133.6 143.5 148.8 144.4 142.9 142.0 139.5 141.2 134.8 331.7 365.5 150.3 161.0 147.4 259.6 256.7 156.1 129.5 424.8 306.6 143.4 366.6 343.6 138.9 266.5 135.6 147.0 153.4 153.2 148.2 147.7 143.2 140.5 135.0 331.6 365.3 150.9 159.9 147.2 260.4 259.6 157.3 129.0 424.1 304.9 143.4 369.6 343.4 138.7 266.6 135.7 147.2 152.9 153.6 148.7 147.6 143.3 140.7 134.6 332.6 365.7 150.0 160.5 148.9 260.6 259.7 156.0 129.6 425.6 306.1 144.3 369.3 344.3 138.9 267.5 135.7 147.8 153.5 152.8 150.2 148.5 143.5 Food away from home................................................................ Lunch (12/77=100) ............................................................ Dinner (12/77=100) ............................................................ Other meals and snacks (12/77-100)...................................... 293.7 143.2 141.9 142.1 302.4 147.0 145.7 147.9 303.6 147.5 146.3 148.6 FOOD AND BEVERAGES 1982 1981 June June Continued Food — Continued Food at home—Continued Alcoholic beverages 201.4 206.6 207.4 208.0 208.4 209.2 210.1 203.8 208.8 209.5 210.1 210.4 211.3 212.1 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77=100)...................................... Beer and ale...................................................................... Whiskey ........................................................................... Wine................................................................................ Other alcoholic beverages (12/77=100)..................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77=100)............................ 130.6 134.6 210.5 147.2 236.4 118.2 138.4 135.0 210.3 148.2 236.9 119.0 139.1 135.0 144.7 227.4 117.0 134.7 134.0 209.2 147.0 235.3 118.1 138.2 148.3 235.3 119.7 140.3 135.5 211.4 148.9 236.5 119.6 140.8 136.1 211.9 149.6 238.9 120.3 141.2 132.4 203.2 145.6 235.5 117.0 135.4 135.4 208.3 147.8 243.3 118.0 139.7 136.0 209.6 148.0 244.4 118.0 139.9 136.2 209.4 149.0 244.9 118.9 140.6 136.3 209.6 149.1 242.7 119.6 141.6 136.9 210.5 149.8 245.0 119.6 142.1 137.4 210.9 150.4 247.1 120.5 142.4 HOUSING......................................................................................................... 299.7 306.7 309.4 313.8 317.5 319.2 320.1 299.6 306.2 309.2 313.7 317.5 319.3 320.5 202.6 210.6 S helter.............................................................................................................. 322.0 327.6 331.4 336.7 340.9 342.8 344.2 323.6 328.5 332.8 338.3 342.6 344.6 346.5 Rent, residential........................................................................ 210.3 219.6 220.1 221.8 222.6 224.8 226.0 209.9 219.1 219.6 221.3 222.1 224.3 225.5 Other rental costs ..................................................................... Lodging while out of town....................................................... Tenants’ insurance (12/77-100) ............................................. 298.5 325.7 133.9 320.1 340.9 144.1 323.7 346.6 144.9 323.6 346.6 144.4 327.3 352.2 145.5 330.0 356.5 145.6 333.9 362.0 147.5 299.0 324.4 134.5 318.9 337.9 144.3 322.8 343.9 144.7 322.6 344.0 143.8 326.3 349.4 144.8 329.4 354.2 144.8 333.3 359.5 146.6 Homeownership........................................................................ Home purchase................................................................... Financing, taxes, and insurance ............................................... Property insurance ......................................................... Property taxes .............................................................. Contracted mortgage interest cost...................................... Mortgage interest rates............................................... Maintenance and repairs ....................................................... Maintenance and repair services ........................................ Maintenance and repair commodities ................................... Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) .......................................... Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77=100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77-100)............................................. Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77=100) .......... 361.8 272.6 488.3 3890 205.2 641.3 232.4 320.5 350.6 249.5 365.7 269.2 500.9 394.1 216.6 655.5 240.7 327.2 357.8 255.0 370.6 272.3 508.4 393.6 217.2 667.1 242.1 331.6 363.6 256.2 377.4 279.3 516.2 396.7 218.3 678.5 240.2 334.5 367.0 257.8 382.8 285.6 521.8 400.6 218.8 686.7 238.3 336.1 369.1 258.3 384.5 287.7 524.3 401.5 219.3 690.4 237.3 334.7 366.9 258.7 385.9 287.9 527.3 402.5 364.8 272.3 495.3 390.5 207.1 643.8 233.3 315.8 349.5 243.1 367.9 267.1 507.0 396.5 218.5 656.4 242.3 323.7 358.6 248.6 373.6 270.5 516.0 396.0 219.1 670,2 244.4 328.3 365.0 249.7 380.5 278.1 523.8 399.2 386.0 284.4 529.7 402.7 220.7 690.0 240.2 332.4 370.0 252.1 388.0 286.8 532.4 403.7 694.0 239.2 331.5 368.1 252.9 390.1 287.3 536.8 404.6 223.7 699.6 241.2 332.5 369.6 253.0 146,9 124.2 151.8 123.9 153.1 124.5 154.2 124.5 153.3 124.7 153.4 125.0 154.2 124.1 139.2 122.0 121.2 144.7 145.8 121.9 147.0 121.9 146.0 122.1 146.5 1225 147.3 121.7 132.0 130 5 133.4 135.1 133.4 135.6 135.1 136.3 136.2 138.4 137.1 138.3 136.3 138.8 130.6 133.3 133.1 137.1 133.1 137.4 134.9 138.2 136.0 140.6 136.6 140.5 135.6 140.9 Fuel and other utilities................................................................................... 327.8 339.3 339.2 345.4 352.2 354.7 356.3 3287 340.2 340.3 346.5 353.6 356.2 357.7 Fuels .................................................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.................................................. Fuel oil........................................................................ Other fuels (6/78 - 100) ................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity ...................................................... Electricity..................................................................... Utility (piped) gas ........................................................... 419.5 674.6 707.3 163.6 360.8 311.9 416.2 430.5 664.0 692.3 168.0 375.9 313.3 458.6 428.2 641.3 438.0 644.6 670.6 165.7 389.0 314.9 494,6 448.4 656.6 684.8 165.6 398.9 327.5 497.2 452.0 659.9 454.0 659.9 166.0 402.1 330.5 500.2 169.2 404.4 333.7 500.6 418.7 677.9 710.2 165.1 359.4 312.1 411.2 429.9 666.7 694.4 169.5 374.8 312.3 456.6 427.8 644.0 668.4 167.9 376.8 311.8 463.6 437.4 647.7 673.3 167.1 387.8 314.4 490.8 448.3 659.7 687.5 166.9 398.2 327.7 493.8 451.9 662.9 691.1 167.4 401.5 330.8 496.9 453.8 662.7 689.1 170.5 403.7 333.7 497.5 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 666.2 166.4 377.8 312.8 465.3 221.8 694.0 238.8 335.9 368.5 258.8 688.6 686.8 220.2 681.4 242.1 330.9 3680 251.3 221.1 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1982 1982 1981 Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July 183.7 149.2 117.3 113.4 197.7 160.8 127.9 119.9 108.9 320.7 198.9 161.6 128.9 201.4 163.8 131.9 119.7 202.4 164.2 132.5 119.7 184.3 149.5 117.6 113.8 331.9 301.4 108.7 323.6 199.5 161.9 129.2 120.4 109.0 326.7 201.1 202.1 327.7 195.4 158.6 125.7 117.8 108.7 319.7 198.2 161.0 128.1 109.3 323.5 200.4 163.2 131.2 119.6 109.8 324.9 233.7 234.1 233.4 219.8 228.0 229.1 194.7 194.7 218.6 131.9 140.8 214.2 144.8 117.7 121.9 140.9 151.6 108.7 104.0 114.0 184.2 187.4 137.3 124.4 193.3 220.4 132.9 142.2 210.3 141.4 117.0 190.4 219.9 135.6 138.7 208.2 137.2 118.2 191.7 221.4 137.0 139.1 137.1 151.3 108.3 103.9 113.3 184.1 187.4 137.3 124.3 184.5 207.3 126.8 132.1 201.4 132.2 115.0 116.9 132.2 146.6 107.8 104.2 111.9 174.1 178.9 129.1 117.0 Aug. HOUSING-Continued Fuel and other utilities — Continued Other utilities and public services.................................................... Telephone services .............................................................. Local charges (12/77 = 100) ........................................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Water and sewerage maintenance ........................................... 299.2 195.0 158.5 125.6 117.7 109.0 316.9 Household furnishings and operations........................................................ 222.9 231.6 232.6 233.4 Housefurnishings ...................................................................... Textile housefurnishings ......................................................... Household linens (12/77 - 100) ........................................ Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding................................................................. Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100)........................................ Sofas (12/77 = 100)....................................................... Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) ......................... Other furniture (12/77 = 100) ........................................... Appliances including TV and sound equipment.............................. Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Television................................................................ Sound equipment (12/77 = 100)................................... Household appliances ..................................................... Refrigerators and home freezers ................................... Laundry equipment (12/77 - 100)................................. Other household appliances (12/77 = 100) ...................... Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100)........................... Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)................................. Floor and window coverings, infants', laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 - 100) .................. Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100)....................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) ........................................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 186.2 203.4 124.6 129.1 205.4 135.9 116.0 116.7 135.9 147.3 108.6 105.0 192.7 217.7 134.7 136.7 194.7 220.9 135.4 140.1 215.1 144.5 119.1 141.6 151.4 108.8 104.3 113.9 183.6 186.2 136.6 124.3 134.6 140.1 214.4 143.0 117.5 123.2 142.3 151.4 108.6 104.4 113.5 183.8 187.7 136.7 123.9 101.8 120.0 110.0 110.0 101.6 120.2 163.5 131.6 164.2 132.3 203.1 164.6 132.9 109.4 328.0 109.6 330.8 109.6 334.8 230.0 230.4 230.9 230.0 192.5 223.9 136.8 142.8 211.3 140.7 119.4 122.9 137.0 151.1 107.9 103.0 113.0 183.8 191.8 136.8 122.3 192.6 223.3 135.9 143.0 210.9 139.7 118.2 123.3 137.7 151.2 107.7 103.1 112.7 184.2 193.2 136.9 122.3 192.7 191.3 222.9 134.1 144.7 206.9 137.3 117.5 121.4 133.3 151.2 107.5 102.7 120.1 120.1 120.1 122.2 193.8 218.7 135.8 136.9 214.7 142.3 119.3 123.2 142.3 150.6 108.7 104.2 113.7 182.1 184.8 136.4 122.9 120.0 182.3 190.6 1366 120.7 118.5 121.9 122.3 123.7 123.1 123.3 122.7 116.4 119.3 119.7 121.4 121.6 122.2 121.4 120.6 122.5 137.3 123.5 137.8 124.9 138.3 124.8 139.0 125.6 139.6 126.0 138.2 117.7 131.0 120.7 135.3 121.8 131.7 135.6 123.3 136.0 123.0 136.9 123.9 137.5 124.2 136.0 133.4 125.8 140.9 129.0 140.3 130.2 141.4 131.4 142.3 132.2 142.7 132.3 142.9 129.8 129.3 122.5 133.3 125.4 132.9 126.5 133.9 127.4 134.9 128.2 135.4 128.3 135.4 125.1 138.9 124.0 143.1 132.1 145.0 130.8 144.4 132.1 145.6 131.9 145.9 133.2 143.8 132.3 137.0 128.8 139.0 137.3 140.6 136.0 139.8 137.4 141.4 137.1 141.9 140.0 138.5 ■137.2 Housekeeping supplies ................................................................ Soaps and detergents ........................................................... Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 - 100) ...................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 - 100)............. Miscellaneous household products (12/77 - 100) ......................... Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 - 100)................................... 272.0 267.0 134.8 138.4 126.6 141.7 139.2 284.2 279.5 142.1 145.7 130.7 147.5 144.7 284.9 280.0 142.7 146.4 131.4 147.5 144.7 285.5 278.8 143.3 146.0 132.0 149.3 144.8 286.5 280.8 143.8 146.5 132.5 150.2 144.0 288.4 281.4 145.3 147.7 134.3 150.3 145.3 288.7 279.4 144.6 148.5 135.4 150.7 145.7 268.6 263.6 134.7 138.7 128.2 136.9 131.8 280.4 275.7 140.9 145.4 133.8 142.4 136.7 281.2 276.3 141.6 146.2 134.6 142.4 136.8 281.8 275.2 142.3 145.6 135.3 144.1 136.6 283.1 277.0 142.7 146.1 136.0 144.9 136.7 285.0 277.6 144.2 147.4 137.8 145.1 138.1 284.9 275.4 143.6 148.3 138.6 145.5 138.1 Housekeeping services................................................................ Postage............................................................................. Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100)........................................ Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 - 100)................................ 296.9 308.0 309.9 337.5 310.4 337.5 311.3 337.5 311.7 337.5 312.5 337.5 312.9 337.5 295.1 308.1 308.2 337.5 309.2 337.5 310.2 337.5 310.9 337.5 311.6 337.5 312.2 337.5 143.9 128.5 150.8 135.0 152.1 135.6 153.1 136.6 154.2 137.0 155.3 137.5 156.1 137.7 143.8 127.2 150.6 133.5 152.2 134.1 153.3 135.1 154.5 135.5 155.4 136.0 156.4 136.1 APPAREL AND UPKEEP................................................................................ 187.4 191.1 191.9 191.5 190.8 189.7 191.8 187.9 190.5 191.2 190.6 189.6 188.7 190.7 180.8 179.0 180.8 181.3 180.5 179.4 178.2 180.3 176.9 183.7 115.9 108.0 99.1 138.4 121.9 110.5 118.4 110.5 131.1 119.5 159.2 105.4 163.0 158.5 98.3 129.3 85.6 108.2 101.4 105.8 175.2 178.4 177.1 182.9 115.7 107.6 101.5 108.9 106.0 97.2 106.9 106.9 97.6 107.6 106.2 95.0 108.0 105.2 92.4 107.7 173.4 182.6 115.4 99.2 99.8 135.3 123.6 115.0 116.9 109.7 128.2 118.3 156.2 103.5 161.8 138.4 97.6 127.4 93.1 105.4 96.0 104.1 176.2 183.5 116.2 100.7 134.5 123.4 115.1 116.5 111.5 126.0 116.8 163.4 109.1 172.9 151.1 176.0 183.7 116.2 101.4 101.5 135.3 123.1 115.6 117.1 174.7 183.2 115.8 112.5 113.8 109.5 120.3 114.7 161.2 107.1 168.7 153.4 176.6 181.6 114.7 100.4 99.7 133.1 122.3 114.2 116.1 109.7 124.7 117.8 163.0 109.0 173.1 148.1 100.3 134.9 123.9 116.0 116.7 111.3 127.2 117.1 160.9 106.9 171.0 145.9 99.1 129.0 99.8 107.4 99.4 105.9 124.0 115.1 118.7 121.0 121.5 121.9 122.7 123.0 112.8 174.9 175.8 129.2 119.5 212.1 140.8 118.0 121.6 140.5 150.1 109.1 104.7 114.0 180.3 183.7 133.3 122.8 220.2 Apparel commodities ..................................................................................... 178.0 180.8 181.4 180.9 180.0 178.6 Apparel commodities less footwear........................................... Men's and boys' ................................................................. Men's (12/77 = 100) ..................................................... Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 - 100) .................. Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100) ................................. Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) ................. Shirts (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 - 100).................. Boys’ (12/77 = 100)....................................................... Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) ............ Furnishings (12/77 - 100) .......................................... Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100)........ Women’s and girls'................................................................ Women's (12/77 - 100).................................................. Coats and jackets...................................................... Dresses ................................................................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ....................... Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100) ............. Suits (12/77 = 100).................................................. Girls' (12/77 = 100) ....................................................... Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100)............... Separates and sportswear (12/77 - 100) ....................... Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100) ...................................... 174.3 177.6 111.7 105.6 97.7 129.5 117.9 106.6 115.8 109.2 124.3 117.5 157.8 104.4 162.1 166.2 97.4 176.8 181.7 114.5 107.2 98.1 136.8 119.9 108.6 117.8 109.4 128.7 177.4 183.1 115.5 107.6 99.1 138.2 121.3 109.7 118.3 176.7 183.8 115.9 108.1 99.9 138.7 174.0 182.4 114.9 105.5 98.2 138.7 108.7 160.3 106.8 162.0 163.1 100.3 127.1 92.7 105.6 98.2 104.6 130.3 119.0 160.9 107.1 163.4 166.6 110.3 118.8 111.5 131.2 119.6 159.1 105.7 158.3 162.0 175.6 183.1 115.4 107.3 99.5 138.0 121.5 109.7 118.5 110.7 131.9 119.4 157.3 104.4 156.4 160.1 127.4 89.4 106.7 98.8 105.4 128.1 83.4 106.3 96.9 105.9 127.9 78.6 105.8 95.1 106.0 154.9 152.8 96.7 127.7 77.6 106.3 98,8 103.6 117,0 119.6 122.0 122.4 122.9 123.8 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 121.2 87.0 107.9 101.6 120.1 111.2 121.2 100.1 101.2 100.2 121.6 109.5 118.6 109.0 132.1 120.7 154.6 102.1 121.1 112.8 99.7 102.4 125.3 122.1 121.8 135.8 149.7 108.2 103.5 113.2 180.4 189.3 133.5 211.0 138.9 119.6 123.3 137.9 150.3 107.7 103.0 112.8 101.1 112.0 127.2 117.3 160.8 107.1 165.7 147.1 101.9 127.9 100.6 101.1 134.7 123.8 115.2 116.9 111.5 128.0 117.1 158.4 105.4 162.9 145.4 101.1 101.2 101.0 101.0 121.0 126.9 127.3 127.6 114 .1 1 1 1 .0 109.8 100.6 92.7 221.1 133.3 143.2 210.5 141.2 118.1 122.0 136.3 151.5 107.8 102.7 113.2 184.8 192.9 137.5 123.0 112.6 184.6 192.9 137.5 122.7 101.2 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 1982 Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 263.6 214.0 117.5 147.2 264.7 212.7 118.1 145.7 267.0 268.7 209.9 119.2 142.8 268.8 209.7 272.4 142.2 121.5 142.6 279.3 206.1 115.3 141.4 275.4 118.5 143.8 269.0 209.7 119.3 142.5 116.5 136.7 278.2 199.5 116.9 134.5 279.3 198.8 117.7 133.5 278.2 198.9 117.6 133.6 277.8 198.7 118.5 133.1 283.0 199.5 119.6 133.3 Footwear............................................................................... Men’s (12/77 = 100) ......................................................... Boys’ and girls' (12/77 = 100) ............................................. Women’s (12/77 = 100)..................................................... 200.0 120.6 204.9 132.5 129.2 124.7 205.6 132.3 130.4 125.1 206.5 132.4 131.5 125.8 206.6 132.1 132.1 125.8 206.4 132.3 131.7 125.6 204.4 130.9 128.7 125.4 200.8 128.3 129.1 205.2 134.5 132.1 206.1 134.4 133.6 206.9 134.5 134.6 206.7 134.1 134.8 120.8 121.1 121.6 121.6 206.7 134.3 134.4 121.5 204.1 132.7 131.3 Apparel services ......................................................................................... 260.2 271.3 273.4 274.7 275.3 276.6 277.4 258.2 269.0 271.0 272.3 273.0 274.3 275.2 Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100).......... Other apparel services (12/77 = 100) .......................................... 154.7 137.2 162.4 141.1 163.5 142.5 164.4 142.9 164.8 143.1 165.4 144.1 165.6 145.0 153.9 136.5 160.9 141.5 162.0 142.7 162.8 143.1 163.3 143.4 163.8 144.6 164.1 145.5 TRANSPORTATION ..................................................................................... 283.7 285.1 282.9 285.6 292.8 296.1 296.2 285.1 286.6 284.3 287.1 294.5 297.9 298.0 P riv a te ......................................................................................................... 280.5 281.3 278.8 281.5 288.9 292.3 292.4 282.6 283.7 281.2 284.0 291.6 295.1 295.2 New cars ............................................................................. Used cars............................................................................. Gasoline ............................................................................... Automobile maintenance and repair............................................... Body work (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 = 100) ................................ Power plant repair (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Other private transportation ....................................................... Other private transportation commodities ................................. Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 = 100) ............. Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100).................... Tires ................................................................... Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) .................... Other private transportation services........................................ Automobile insurance .................................................... Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) ......................... Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) ... State registration .................................................... Drivers' licenses (12/77 = 100) ................................. Vehicle inspection (12/77 = 100) ................................ Other vehicle-related fees (12/77 = 100) ...................... 191.9 266.9 411.7 295.5 145.8 194.4 280.9 383.9 310.2 154.5 196.0 285.1 366.7 311.9 155.0 197.5 291.4 370.4 313.6 155.7 198.1 298.2 392.3 316.0 156.3 198.6 302.4 400.3 318.0 157.5 198.7 304.4 398.4 319.2 158.2 192.1 266.9 412.9 296.1 145.4 194.2 280.9 385.4 311.1 152.7 195.9 285.2 367.9 312.8 153.3 197.3 291.4 371.7 314.4 154.0 197.9 298.2 393.8 316.8 154.7 198.5 302.4 401.6 318.7 156.0 198.6 304.4 399.7 320.0 156.8 140.9 137.8 141.2 243.0 149.5 144.5 149.1 255.1 214.9 150.7 137.2 190.1 136.2 268.2 270.4 187.2 133.3 174.2 123.0 129.0 149.5 150.8 145.0 150.1 255.7 216.9 149.9 138.8 192.3 138.0 268.4 271.6 186.3 133.3 174.2 127.7 126.7 149.2 151.6 146.8 150.8 258.7 217.5 150.7 139.2 192.8 138.3 272.2 274.0 192.0 133.3 174.3 127.7 126.7 149.3 151.9 147.9 151.7 260.8 216.3 151.5 138.2 191.8 136.6 275.1 275.4 193.6 137.4 183.6 132.8 128.5 151.0 152.5 148.5 152.4 260.8 214.8 153.2 136.8 189.5 135.8 275.5 275.8 193.5 138.0 183.8 132.8 128.5 151.9 142.6 138.2 140.5 245.6 213.4 144.1 137.0 191.5 132.9 256.6 260.1 176.3 119.5 148.0 105.9 129.4 145.8 152.8 143.4 147.5 257.8 218.2 148.7 139.9 195.5 135.9 270.8 269.6 188.2 130.1 167.8 123.0 130.6 152.5 153.7 144.0 148.6 258.2 217.3 149.2 139.2 193.7 136.6 271.6 270.2 186.7 133.7 173.8 123.0 130.4 156.4 154.9 144.4 149.6 258.8 219.4 148.4 140.9 196.0 138.4 271.8 271.3 185.9 133.7 173.8 127.9 128.3 156.2 155.7 146.2 150.3 261.8 146.8 135.7 189.3 132.4 253.6 260.3 177.3 119.5 147.9 106.2 128.7 140.0 148.7 143.9 148.0 254.5 215.6 150.2 137.9 191.7 135.7 267.2 269.8 188.9 129.7 168.5 122.9 129.3 145.3 156.1 147.3 151.2 264.0 218.8 150.3 140.1 195.5 136.8 278.5 274.9 192.6 138.4 183.2 133.1 129.9 158.7 156.6 147.8 151.9 263.9 217.1 151.8 138.6 193.0 136.0 278.9 275.2 192.9 138.8 183.4 133.1 129.9 159.4 APPAREL AND UPKEEP-Continued Apparel commodities Continued Apparel commodities less footwear —Continued Infants’ and toddlers’ ........................................................... Other apparel commodities .................................................. Sewing materials and notions (12/77 = 100) ....................... Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) ................................. 212.1 210.8 120.0 210.8 129.8 130.4 118.9 201.6 220.0 149.0 141.2 196.4 138.6 275.5 273.5 191.2 133.8 173.9 127.9 128.3 156.3 121.1 Public......................................................................................................... 326.5 336.7 339.3 342.1 345.6 347.2 348.1 320.9 331.0 333.3 335.1 337.9 339.8 341.0 Airline fare............................................................................. Intercity bus fare ..................................................................... Intracity mass transit ................................................................ Taxi fare ............................................................................... Intercity train fare..................................................................... 371.4 347.5 294.0 288.1 304.6 379.0 365.6 306.6 297.2 314.1 382.7 367.0 308.1 297.6 332.1 388.9 366.0 308.3 297.6 337.9 396.0 363.7 309.2 298.0 338.2 397.4 368.3 311.0 299.3 338.4 397.5 370.5 312.8 299.7 338.6 370.0 347.3 293.9 296.7 305.0 376.3 367.0 305.7 306.6 314.5 379.8 368.7 307.2 307.3 332.1 385.2 367.5 307.1 307.2 337.9 392.4 365.4 307.9 307.6 338.2 393.2 370.6 310.3 308.7 338.4 393.5 372.3 312.3 309.3 338.6 MEDICAL CARE ............................................................................................ 299.3 318.8 321.7 323.8 326.4 330.0 333.3 298.6 317.4 320.2 322.3 324.8 328.1 331.3 Medical care commodities.......................................................................... 189.4 200.0 202.4 204.1 205.6 206.5 208.2 190.6 200.6 203.0 204.8 206.3 207.1 208.8 Prescription drugs ................................................................... Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100).......................................... Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 100) ................................ Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 = 100)................................. Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription medical supplies (12/77 = 100) ........................... Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100) ......................... Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 = 100)........................................ 175.4 134.8 139.6 127.6 186.1 139.3 148.6 135.7 188.8 140.9 152.0 136.7 190.4 142.5 153.8 137.0 191.8 143.3 154.9 138.4 193.4 144.2 156.1 139.3 195.6 146.0 157.6 140.7 176.5 137.0 138,8 128.6 187.0 141.1 148.3 135.6 189.7 142.5 151.8 136.6 191.4 144.1 153.8 136.8 192.7 145.1 154.7 138.2 194.4 146.0 155.8 139.1 196.6 147.5 157.4 140.6 160.4 140.2 170.8 150.8 173.3 153.1 175.4 153.7 177.2 154.6 179.6 155.4 181.6 157.6 160.3 142.7 172.0 152.3 174.6 154.6 176.9 155.2 178.6 156.0 181.1 157.1 183.1 159.3 133.1 142.7 144.7 145.9 146.3 147.9 149.6 133.9 142.7 144.8 146.0 146.4 148.1 149.8 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 —100)................... Eyeglasses (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ........................... Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100)....... 135.6 126.3 215.5 130.4 142.5 129.5 228.1 138.1 143.9 130.1 231.1 138.9 145.1 130.9 233.4 139.5 146.3 131.6 235.2 141.1 146.4 131.6 234.9 142.2 147.2 131.6 236.6 142.9 136.7 125.3 217.5 132.3 143.2 128.1 229.6 138.8 144.6 128.7 232.5 139.7 145.9 129.7 235.0 140.4 147.1 130.4 236.8 142.0 147.1 130.4 236.2 143.2 147.9 130.3 237.9 144.2 Medical care services ................................................................................ 323.4 345.1 348.0 350.2 353.0 357.3 361.0 322.1 343.0 345.8 348.0 350.7 354.7 358.3 Professional services ................................................................ Physicians’ services............................................................ Dental services................................................................. Other professional services (12/77 = 100)................................ 282.9 302.7 269.9 137.3 295.8 320.3 278.6 142.4 297.8 322.2 281.1 142.5 299.2 324.0 282.1 143.4 301.2 326.4 283.9 143.8 302.8 328.7 284.8 144.8 304.4 330.4 286.4 145.6 282.7 306.7 266.6 133.6 295.9 323.2 276.6 139.4 297.9 325.2 279.2 139.4 299.3 327.0 280.3 140.2 301.3 329.4 282.1 140.7 302.9 331.6 282.9 141.5 304.6 333.5 284.4 142.5 Other medical care services....................................................... Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100)...................... Hospital room.............................................................. Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 100).......... 372.5 154.7 489.4 152.9 404.7 168.5 538.5 165.2 408.7 169.8 542.2 166.4 411.9 170.6 543.8 167.6 415.7 171.6 546.8 168.5 423.2 174.7 557.8 171.2 429.4 177.1 565.5 173.6 370.6 153.1 482.6 151.8 401.6 166.9 531.0 164.2 405.4 168.3 535.2 165.5 408.5 169.1 536.7 166.6 412.1 170.0 539.4 167.5 419.4 172.9 549.7 170.0 425.4 175.2 557.6 172.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1982 1981 1982 1981 Aug. Mar. Apr. May. June July Aug. Aug. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. ENTERTAINMENT............................................................................................ 222.3 232.8 233.9 234.4 235.6 236.6 237.4 219.9 229.5 230.5 231.1 232.3 233.5 233.9 Entertainment commodities.......................................................................... 226.5 236.6 238.0 238.8 239.6 241.1 240.5 222.2 230.8 232.0 232.8 233.8 235.5 234.4 Reading materials (12/77 - 100).................................................. Newspapers ...................................................................... Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100)......................... 136.0 265.0 137.2 146.1 276.4 152.4 146.8 280.1 151.6 148.5 281.6 154.4 149.4 283.9 155.0 150.4 285.9 156.1 149.4 286.3 153.8 135.9 265.4 137.1 145.3 276.0 152.2 146.1 279.7 151.4 147.7 281.2 154.2 148.6 283.4 154.8 149.7 285.6 156.0 148.9 286.0 153.6 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 - 100)................................... Sport vehicles (12/77 - 100) ................................................. Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 - 100)............... Bicycles ........................................................................... Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 - 100) ...................... 127.2 128.6 118.2 192.2 124.1 132.3 135.4 119.9 197.6 125.6 132.9 136.1 120.4 198.9 126.3 132.8 135.4 132.8 135.4 120.3 198.3 129.4 133.2 135.7 119.7 199.4 130.3 120.8 124.9 118.3 116.7 193.5 124.9 124.3 122.5 118.1 198.9 126.0 124.7 199.4 127.6 132.7 135.7 119.6 197.6 127.9 122.8 122.6 118.6 119.2 200.2 200.7 126.5 127.9 125.3 123.9 117.1 198.8 128.3 125.7 124.1 118.0 199.4 129.8 124.9 122.4 117.5 200.4 130.9 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100)......................... Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100)...................... Pet supplies and expenses (12/77 = 100) ................................. 130.5 129.3 126.0 136.2 134.5 133.4 128.3 140.8 135.4 134.1 129.8 141.9 135.5 134.8 130.0 141.0 136.1 135.9 130.3 140.6 137.3 137.2 130.8 142.0 136.9 136.4 130.2 142.5 129.6 126.6 127.1 136.6 133.5 130.2 129.5 141.7 134.3 130.7 131.0 142.7 134.4 131.4 131.2 141.8 134.9 132.4 131.5 141.5 136.1 133.7 131.9 143.0 135.7 132.8 131.4 143.6 Entertainment services ................................................................................ 216.7 227.8 228.5 228.7 230.5 230.8 233.5 217.0 228.4 229.2 229.2 230.9 231.3 234.2 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100)........................................ Admissions (12/77 = 100)........................................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 - 100)..................................... 132.0 128.1 121.7 141.9 131.2 125.1 142.0 132.2 125.2 141.6 133.0 125.7 142.5 133.5 127.9 141.8 135.5 127.8 143.4 137.4 128.3 132.4 126.9 123.1 143.5 130.3 125.9 143.7 131.2 125.9 142.9 132.1 126.4 143.8 132.6 128.7 143.0 134.6 128.8 144.8 136.5 129.2 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES................................................................... 235.6 252.2 253.8 255.0 255.8 257.2 258.3 233.5 249.3 250.9 252.4 253.1 254.5 255.7 121.0 Tobacco products ......................................................................................... 219.9 234.1 235.1 237.4 237.8 239.2 240.1 219.1 233.2 234.0 236.6 237.0 238.3 239.3 Cigarettes ............................................................................... Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100)............ 222.2 132.9 237.3 138.1 238.0 139.9 240.4 141.0 240.7 141.8 242.2 142.1 243.1 142.4 221.4 133.9 236.3 138.2 236.9 140.1 239.6 141.1 239.9 142.0 241.3 142.2 242.3 142.5 Personal care ................................................................................................ 235.1 243.7 245.9 246.5 247.8 249.4 250.6 232.4 241.8 244.1 244.7 246.0 247.5 248.8 Toilet goods and personal care appliances........................................ Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 - 100) ............... Dental and shaving products (12/77 - 100) ................................ Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100) ............................ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 230.1 134.1 140.0 240.6 140.8 148.0 243.8 142.9 149.0 244.5 142.1 150.1 246.3 143.2 150.5 247.7 145.0 150.9 249.5 145.0 153.1 229.4 132.5 137.6 241.5 140.0 146.6 244.7 142.3 147.6 245.4 141.7 148.6 247.0 142.6 148.9 248.6 144.2 149.5 250.5 144.4 151.6 128.9 133.9 135.1 137.4 136.5 140.3 137.6 140.5 139.6 140.8 139.9 141.8 141.3 142.5 128.9 136.4 136.1 140.7 137.5 143.5 138.5 144.0 140.1 144.4 140.5 145.4 142.0 146.2 Personal care services......................... ...................................... Beauty parlor services for women............................................. Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) ....... 240.3 241.9 134.4 247.3 248.9 138.4 248.7 250.7 138.8 249.2 251.3 138.9 250.1 252.3 139.4 251.8 254.4 139.8 252.5 255.0 140.2 235.7 235.7 133.3 242.6 242.5 137.2 244.0 244.3 137.6 244.4 245.0 137.7 245.4 245.9 138.2 246.9 247.9 138.5 247.6 248.7 139.0 Personal and educational expenses .......................................................... 260.4 290.4 291.9 292.8 293.3 294.5 295.8 261.7 291.7 293.5 294.6 295.2 296.4 297.9 268.8 302.0 152.1 151.4 152.9 164.6 269.0 303.4 152.5 152.0 152.9 166.1 269.6 305.1 153.2 152.0 155.6 167.6 388.6 436.0 315.6 351.8 396.2 438.8 317.8 351.0 394.4 441.7 319.4 352.2 Schoolbooks and supplies ........................................................... Personal and educational services.................................................. Tuition and other school fees .................................................. College tuition (12/77 - 100) ........................................... Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) .................. Personal expenses (12/77 - 100)............................................ 231.4 2672 134.2 133.2 137.8 148.7 263.3 297.1 151.1 150.7 152.2 157.4 263.8 298.7 151.4 151.0 152.2 160.9 264.2 299.8 151.4 151.0 152.2 163.6 264.6 300.3 151.5 151.2 152.2 164.5 264.8 301.7 152.0 151.8 152.2 166.0 265.3 303.1 152.6 151.9 154.6 167.4 235.2 268.4 134.7 133.1 138.7 147.6 267.5 298.0 151.7 150.9 152.9 156.7 268.0 300.0 152.0 151.3 152.9 160.5 268.4 301.4 152.0 151.3 152.9 163.6 405.9 408.1 289.7 334.0 379.3 420.9 302.7 344.0 362.6 426.3 305.1 347.5 366.1 431.5 311.0 349.8 387.3 436.5 316.6 351.2 395.0 439.1 318.7 350.3 393.2 441.3 320.3 351.4 4069 407.3 288.5 333.0 380.6 419.9 301.5 344.0 363.7 425.9 304.0 348.2 367.2 430.9 3098 350.4 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products................................. Insurance and finance ................................................................ Utilities and public transportation.................................................... Housekeeping and home maintenance services ................................. c= corrected. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and servrice group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Size class B (385,000-1.250 million) Size class C (75,000-385,000) Size class D (75,000 or less) Category and group 1982 Apr. June 1982 Aug. Apr. June 1982 Aug. Apr. 1982 June Aug. Apr. June Aug. Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation............................................................................... Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment ............................................................................... Other goods and services ............................................................... 143.6 143.7 144.5 119.1 153.7 146.4 135.5 139.0 147.7 145.9 151.6 118.6 157.2 147.5 136.5 139.8 149.0 144.9 153.3 119.6 159.4 150.0 139.7 141.7 150.0 142.2 155.3 122.5 160.0 148.9 136.2 141.1 140.8 139.0 147.4 144.6 143.8 151.8 145.3 145.5 153.8 146.6 148.7 155.4 155.5 144.1 165.2 164.6 150.2 137.5 142.1 155.8 143.4 164.5 122.4 166.5 156.1 137.4 143.2 158.6 147.4 173.3 127.4 158.6 150.4 135.8 145.3 163.5 148.8 182.1 128.3 162.2 152.7 136.4 146.7 161.2 148.9 174.5 128.4 164.7 157.2 136.8 148.1 151.9 140.4 160.5 125.1 158.1 151.5 139.0 142.9 156.9 142.9 169.3 123.4 161.2 155.4 141.1 144.0 155.3 142.9 163.7 124.8 163.7 156.1 143.8 144.6 151.5 155.1 161.9 151.6 155.6 162.4 149.6 150.6 173.4 153.8 156.2 179.1 152.3 153.9 175.6 146.5 149.4 160.4 150.6 154.3 166.8 149.8 153.1 163.8 122.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .................. ........................... Services .......................................................................................... North Central Region EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All 'terns .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Appare! and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation............................................................................... Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment ............................................................................... Other goods and services ................................................................ 155.2 141.9 168.8 114.8 158.7 150.9 137.0 140.3 159.6 144.1 175.1 114.0 165.1 153.0 137.1 141.4 162.2 143.7 179.8 117.0 166.1 155.8 138.8 142.3 155.1 141.7 167.2 122.7 156.9 152.8 130.3 146.5 155.3 142.8 163.3 123.0 163.2 155.2 129.5 152.5 157.0 142.7 165.6 124.1 165.0 161.2 131.7 153.3 151.2 143.1 157.2 125.8 158.4 153.8 138.1 139.0 155.2 145.0 162.1 124.7 165.7 155.6 139.2 141.2 158.9 144.9 169.4 126.7 166.7 157.7 139.9 142.8 153.3 146.2 160.7 123.5 157.2 157.0 130.9 146.4 156.4 148.7 164.0 120.5 163.1 158.3 131.5 148.3 160.2 149.2 171.4 145.4 147.0 169.8 149.4 151.9 174.8 150.9 154.2 179.0 146.4 148.3 169.3 148.5 150.9 166.2 148.8 151.3 170.3 144.3 144.8 162.4 148.8 150.5 165.6 150.8 153.4 172.0 143.7 142.6 168.7 147.9 147.6 169.8 149.1 149.0 177.8 158.6 146.0 167.8 121.0 153.5 145.9 161.5 111.1 166.4 166.2 142.1 145.2 155.8 165.1 145.7 150.2 156.5 147.7 164.6 109.4 163.3 166.6 145.2 150.4 158.8 147.5 168.4 107.9 165.6 169.3 148.1 152.3 120.1 164.1 161.0 131.4 150.2 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ........................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... Transportation............................................................................... Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment ............................................................................... Other goods and services ................................................................ 152.9 145.0 161.1 125.6 157.5 149.5 130.1 142.8 156.3 146.7 165.2 124.9 163.4 152.8 132.0 144.1 156.9 147.2 165.0 124.0 165.3 156.2 131.7 145.6 155.7 144.9 165.2 124.3 159.7 152.3 141.2 142.4 158.4 146.9 167.2 123.6 167.0 154.5 143.1 143.3 159.1 146.5 167.9 152.3 144.0 159.1 168.6 157.3 145.0 143.6 157.1 160.1 141.1 143.7 157.6 146.0 167.0 118.6 165.1 162.5 142.7 144.5 146.3 146.9 162.1 149.1 150.1 166.5 149.7 150.8 166.9 147.6 148.8 167.8 150.9 152.6 169.8 150.9 152.8 171.5 144.3 144.5 164.5 149.2 150.6 170.6 149 6 151.2 172.4 146.0 146.0 164.8 149.7 150.5 166.8 149.6 150.5 172.6 153.3 144.9 155.6 159.9 149.9 165.5 140.5 162.8 166.2 150.6 153.3 158.5 150.6 160.5 138.5 166.2 168.5 153.1 154.4 151.3 152.0 172.5 149.2 148.7 172.1 122.6 120.2 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities ..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items .......................................................................................... Food and beverages ...................................................................... Housing ..................................................................................... Appare! and jpkeep ...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care................................................................................ Entertainment ............................................................................... Other goods and services ............................................................... 158.5 144.5 168.1 160.8 146.4 170.1 120.6 120.0 162.9 160.7 137.7 147.5 167.7 164.4 138.5 147.0 160.3 147.5 167.7 119.8 169.9 167.1 135.8 149.3 145.5 145.9 175.9 147.8 148.4 178.1 148.8 149.4 175.5 157.0 147.6 164.8 126.6 161.7 156.0 136.8 148.9 158.6 148.9 165.6 125.2 165.9 159.5 139.4 149.1 159.9 148.6 166.6 124.9 169.7 163.3 141.0 149.8 151.1 143.5 156.3 119.7 158.3 157.3 133.9 139.5 149.7 145.1 150.3 122.3 163.5 159.6 134.2 139.9 167.0 167.0 135.7 141.7 157.9 148.5 163.5 140.4 160.5 162.4 148.9 149.8 148.1 148.3 169.3 149.5 149.7 171.1 151.0 152.1 172.1 146.4 147.5 157.9 147.5 148.5 152.8 149.9 152.0 158.1 148.9 149.1 171.2 122.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities ..................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ................................................ Services .......................................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers Area' 1981 Aug. U.S. city average2 .................................................... Anchorage, Alaska (10/67-100) ................................. Atlanta, Ga............................................................... Baltimore, Me........................................................... Boston, Mass............................................................ Buffalo, N.Y.............................................................. 276.5 283.1 Apr. 284.3 276.4 284.9 280.2 286.6 283.7 263.8 304.9 274.0 286.8 286.6 264.8 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J................................................... Pittsburgh, Pa............................. .............................. Portland, Oreg.-Wash.................................................. St. Louis, Mo.-lll......................................................... San Diego, Calif........................................................ 270.5 277.7 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif........................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash.................................................. Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va............................................. 287.9 267.4 267.2 274.7 301.7 268.2 275.1 275.3 287.7 288.7 287.1 270.9 270.2 275.1 301.2 278.4 'The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 293.1 293.3 276.5 295.6 278.1 292.4 289.3 279.7 285.1 277.3 275.1 281.1 282.5 Apr. 2837 274.6 312.2 304.3 283.0 285.1 292.7 269.9 318.6 285.0 289.1 279.1 256.6 291.8 270.2 278.6 313.8 278.5 287.0 264.0 281.3 291.4 271.6 278.1 276.5 287.2 290.4 280.0 274.3 274.5 276.7 304.3 Area is used for New York and Chicago. 2Average of 85 cities. 289.6 283.8 297.1 264.1 287.0 291.2 291.5 265.5 292.7 295.9 282.7 290.6 269.4 272.1 274.7 326.3 286.0 269.5 310.9 280.1 293.9 289.3 293.0 289.3 270.1 315.3 283.6 292.8 156.9 299.6 303.8 275.3 279.1 285.9 276.1 277.3 280.9 313.3 277.1 280.7 291.8 290.6 289.2 329.4 302.8 303.4 297.1 283.3 292.5 310.6 300.2 297.0 300.5 297.8 287.2 296.6 281.3 291.8 287.0 278.7 279.7 284.5 323.3 283.9 279.3 313.9 Aug. 292.4 259.1 157.0 296.0 301.2 266.5 July 282.9 319.5 280.3 264.7 302.1 272.1 290.5 156.4 292.5 265.9 268.4 290.1 283.7 272.0 285.7 292.7 275.1 June 258.0 315.0 292.5 290.2 334.8 286.5 256.4 259.4 293.2 May 282.9 282.2 269.8 155.1 296.5 304.1 276.7 1982 Mar. 254.5 319.9 289.1 269.5 313.9 281.6 290.1 304.6 298.8 293.4 278.8 291.8 297.8 304.8 285.9 Aug. 292.8 267.7 265.8 282.1 285.7 329.2 286.7 280.7 319.0 292.2 Aug. 286.1 279.2 155.7 292.9 155.1 289.3 July 263.6 313.4 309.2 278.2 290.6 283.6 272.5 286.5 297.2 284.4 288.2 June 291.1 258.3 260.3 Detroit, Mich............................................................. Honolulu, Hawaii ...................................................... Houston, Tex............................................................ Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas ............................................ Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif.......................... 287.1 280.2 281.9 269.8 283.5 256.6 294.7 271.3 274.8 May 263.8 260.0 275.8 Miami, Fla. (11/77-100) ........................................... Milwaukee, Wis......................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis...................................... New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J.................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton)........................................... Mar. 276.1 Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind........................................ Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind................................................ Cleveland, Ohio....................................................... Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex.................................................. Denver-Boulder, Colo.................................................. 1981 1982 292.9 286.3 21. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967=100] Annual average 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. Finished goods......................................................... 269.8 271.5 274.3 274.7 275.4 277.9 277.9 277.3 277.3 r 277.8 279.9 281.7 282.4 281.4 Finished consumer goods...................................... Finished consumer foods..................................... Crude......................................................... Processed .................................................. Nondurable goods less foods .............................. Durable goods ................................................ Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy .... Capital equipment ............................................... 271.3 253.6 263.8 250.6 319.6 218.6 208.8 264.3 273.1 256.2 253.5 254.4 324.2 215.8 275.1 254.0 253.8 252.0 324.3 224.5 265.3 271.5 275.2 252.7 260.0 249.9 325.4 224.7 213.6 273.0 275.8 252.9 273.9 249.0 326.3 225.4 213.9 274.1 278.3 256.4 280.6 252.1 329.3 226.2 217.4 276.2 278.6 258.2 282.5 254.0 330.3 224.0 219.6 275.0 277.7 257.1 263.3 254.5 328.8 223.9 220.5 275.8 277.3 260.0 266.6 257.3 325.7 224.1 222.3 277.2 r277.7 262.3 ' 259.9 '260.3 '324.3 '225.0 '223.1 '278.1 280.0 263.4 254.3 262.0 328.1 226.2 222.9 279.6 282.0 260.7 240.6 260.4 334.7 227.0 223.3 280.9 282.7 259.8 238.6 259.6 336.7 227.7 224.0 281.4 282.0 259.9 227.8 260.6 338.4 223.2 225.4 279.5 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components............... 306.0 309.7 309.4 309.0 309.4 311.0 311.1 310.6 309.9 309.8 310.0 311.4 311.0 310.7 Materials and components for manufacturing............... Materials for food manufacturing ........................... Materials for nondurable manufacturing .................. Materials for durable manufacturing....................... Components for manufacturing ............................ 286.1 260.4 285.8 312.1 259.3 290.2 254.6 291.2 317.1 263.8 290.2 250.9 290.9 316.7 265.1 289.5 246.8 289.4 314.9 266.9 289.3 245.6 288.8 314.0 267.8 290.4 250.7 289.0 313.6 269.8 290.9 252.8 289.3 313.1 270.9 290.4 252.0 288.8 310.9 271.8 290.6 254.4 287.6 311.0 272.6 '291.4 260.0 '287.6 '311.0 '273.6 290.0 260.9 285.8 307.3 273.9 289.6 260.0 283.6 308.2 274.2 289.1 258.3 282.9 307.2 274.6 290.2 257.6 282.4 310.2 276.1 Materials and components for construction ................. 287.6 290.0 290.1 290.2 291.1 292.0 293.0 293.3 294.0 '293.7 294.2 294.0 293.3 293.4 Processed fuels and lubricants ................................ Manufacturing industries ..................................... Nonmanufacturing industries ................................ 595.4 498.6 680.8 601.4 500.5 690.5 596.9 497.5 684.7 595.1 496.4 682.2 598.1 499.0 685.6 604.4 505.9 691.3 596.8 497.8 684.2 593.0 496.1 678.3 579.9 487.5 661.1 '570.9 '481.4 '649.5 581.2 492.0 659.3 601.6 508.4 683.4 603.8 511.0 685.2 593.2 497.4 677.5 Containers......................................................... 276.1 280.6 280.9 280.6 280.2 282.5 285.5 286.3 287.0 '287.0 286.7 286.4 285.6 285.5 269.8 262.6 273.8 214.8 285.7 270.4 263.3 274.4 272.1 265.3 276.0 213.1 288.9 '273.4 '266.7 277.2 214.2 '290.1 273.6 267.3 277.1 213.1 290.4 273.5 267.3 277.0 287.3 270.6 264.5 274.1 208.1 287.9 290.7 272.9 267.1 276.2 203.7 291.3 272.5 267.3 275.5 198.4 291.5 320.5 316.3 Commodity grouping 1982 1981 FINISHED GOODS 211.8 212.6 INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS 263.8 253.1 269.6 230.4 276.4 266.1 256.8 271.1 221.3 280.7 266.6 258.2 271.2 215.9 282.3 283.7 268.3 261.0 272.4 214.6 284.1 Crude materials for further processing ............................ 329.0 327.4 319.9 313.9 311.5 318.4 321.6 320.0 322.6 '328.3 325.7 323.4 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs ...................................... 257.4 253.4 245.7 238.3 233.7 242.6 248.3 247.9 254.4 '262.6 259.8 255.5 250.7 242.9 474.3 Supplies ........................................................... Manufacturing industries ..................................... Nonmanufacturing industries ................................ Feeds ......................................................... Other supplies............................................... 267.2 259.2 271.6 212.0 212.0 211.1 CRUDE MATERIALS Nonfood materials ............................................... 482.3 486.0 479.2 476.3 478.6 481.5 479.3 475.2 4699 '470.2 467.9 470.0 471.1 Nonfood materials except fuel .............................. Manufacturing industries................................... Construction ................................................ 413.7 429.4 261.8 410.2 425.4 263.6 404.1 418.6 264.7 397.8 411.7 264.8 396.2 409.8 265.2 399.5 413.2 267.6 394.8 407.5 270.5 387.1 398.4 273.2 378.8 389.0 273.3 376.6 '386.3 '274.5 370.0 378.9 273.7 369.1 378.4 270.4 369.6 378.9 270.7 369.6 379.1 269.1 Crude fuel ...................................................... Manufacturing industries................................... Nonmanufacturing industries.............................. 751.2 864.9 674.0 788.7 911.4 704.8 779.0 898.4 697.8 792.5 915.8 708.2 813.0 942.5 724.0 812.9 940.3 725.6 824.5 954.4 735.4 839.7 974.7 746.6 851.2 '864.8 989.1 '1006.7 755.8 '766.4 885.2 1,033.6 781.7 903.1 1,056.0 796.0 906.9 1,060.9 798.9 926.3 1,086.1 813.9 Finished goods excluding foods ..................................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods .................. Finished consumer goods less energy....................... 273.3 276.5 233.6 274.7 277.9 234.9 279.1 281.6 237.2 280.0 282.4 237.2 280.9 283.2 237.6 283.0 285.2 240.5 282.4 284.9 241.3 281.9 284.0 241.3 281.1 282.3 243.0 '281.0 '281.8 '244.3 283.4 284.6 244.9 286.7 288.7 244.5 287.9 290.1 244.7 286.6 289.1 243.8 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds...................... Intermediate materials less energy ........................... 310.1 285.2 314.6 288.7 314.6 288.8 314.5 288.5 314.9 288.7 316.4 289.9 316.4 290.7 316.0 290.5 315.1 291.0 314.6 '291.6 314.8 290.9 316.4 290.6 316.3 290.0 316.0 290.6 Intermediate foods and feeds ...................................... 250.3 243.5 239.3 235.2 235.2 238.8 239.4 237.7 240.9 245.0 245.3 244.1 240.6 238.4 Crude materials less agricultural products ....................... Crude materials less energy................................... 545.6 254.0 551.4 250.4 543.4 243.2 540.7 235.8 543.5 231.6 546.1 239.1 543.9 243.4 538.4 242.8 531.6 247.3 '531.5 '252.8 529.4 248.6 531.8 245.0 532.2 241.5 536.2 235.6 SPECIAL GROUPINGS 1Data for May 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r=revised, 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 22. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Code 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-8 02-7 02-9 Annual average 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. All commodities ................................................................................ All commodities (1957-59 = 1 0 0 )................................................... 293.4 311.3 295.7 313.7 296.1 314.2 295.5 313.5 295.8 313.8 298.3 316.5 298.6 316.8 298.0 316.2 298.0 316.2 Farm products and processed foods and fe e d s ........................... Industrial commodities ..................................................................... 251.5 304.1 250.3 307.4 246.0 309.0 242.5 309.3 241.0 310.0 246.0 311.8 248.4 311.6 247.5 311.0 Farm products ................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ................................. Grains........................................................................ Livestock ................................................................... Live poultry................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.................................................... Fluid milk ................................................................... Eggs.......................................................................... Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds ........................................... Other farm products ..................................................... 254.9 267.3 248.4 248.0 242.0 287.4 187.1 274.1 273.8 251.1 252.8 227.0 257.3 196.7 206.5 287.3 193.2 267.2 268.9 243.1 248.8 227.6 244.5 185.7 211.7 294.3 193.8 230.4 263.3 237.4 254.0 226.5 231.1 175.0 198.5 288.2 209.7 242.2 289.2 225.2 236.8 186.8 198.2 287.6 187.0 218.4 280.1 247.1 290.1 223.2 251.2 197.3 193.5 285.8 273.1 234.6 280.5 213.6 225.0 171.4 188.4 286.7 195.5 218.8 280.2 Processed foods and feeds................................................ Cereal and bakery products ............................................. Meats, poultry, and fish .................................................. Dairy products.............................................................. Processed fruits and vegetables........................................ Sugar and confectionery ................................................ Beverages and beverage materials..................................... Fats and oils............................................................... Miscellaneous processed foods ........................................ Prepared animal feeds.................................................... 248.7 255.5 246.2 245.6 261.2 275.9 248.0 227.4 250.1 230.2 248.9 258.5 253.3 245.5 270.0 246.8 249.1 224.3 253.0 222.9 246.6 256.9 246.6 246.8 271.7 246.7 250.0 223.4 249.9 218.1 244.3 256.5 240.0 246.9 270.5 244.1 251.4 221.5 250.1 214.7 243.6 255.1 236.1 247.2 271.8 247.6 251.9 219.1 250.1 217.2 Commodity group and subgroup 1982 1981 Sept. June July Aug. 298.6 316.8 299.4 317.7 300.6 318.9 300.4 318.7 299.5 317.8 251.6 309.9 '255.8 '309.6 255.3 310.7 252.5 313.0 250.1 313.4 247.5 312.9 244.7 257.3 220.9 255.6 197.7 199.5 282.5 200.6 204.0 217.6 213.7 273.7 273.0 250.6 267.6 226.0 267.6 186.2 207.4 280.3 192.1 252.7 263.8 225.7 277.5 207.2 203.1 278.9 159.3 219.3 271.8 246.5 238.4 265.5 242.0 237.7 197.2 268.4 189.3 207.5 278.8 171.7 218.1 274.4 234.4 220.3 187.3 259.0 196.5 196.8 281.9 173.3 274.2 '256.5 '271.5 228.2 282.9 192.7 214.1 278.8 164.3 '227.3 273.9 247.1 256.6 243.7 247.7 273.2 256.8 253.9 216.6 251.0 217.4 248.1 253.3 247.9 248.0 276.3 257.2 255.1 216.8 250.9 214.9 248.1 253.3 250.0 248.0 275.9 255.0 256.4 213.7 249.5 211.4 251.1 253.5 258.2 248.4 275.2 256.0 256.6 218.1 249.6 216.3 254.4 '252.8 '267.6 248.5 '273.8 '265.3 ’ 256.5 '222.3 248.0 217.4 255.8 253.3 271.1 248.7 275.4 269.5 256.5 253.6 253.2 262.3 249.0 274.9 286.0 257.3 216.0 245.9 207.9 253.6 254.1 265.7 249.3 273.2 279.1 256.8 248.6 216.4 254.8 253.6 266.1 248.8 275.9 276.1 256.7 221.4 248.0 214.6 May1 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS 201.2 221.1 222.8 222.0 212.8 270.3 212.5 220.8 279.0 171.7 220.0 201.8 276.8 211.6 246.9 204.5 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ............................................... Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).......................................... Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ....................... Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)............................................. Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Apparel...................................................................... Textile housefurnishings.................................................. 199.7 156.3 138.0 146.8 125.2 186.0 226.7 202.9 161.0 142.3 149.1 126.8 188.0 232.2 204.0 162.7 144.4 148.0 126.7 189.9 233.0 203.6 161.6 140.3 147.4 126.5 190.8 233.4 203.4 161.5 139.6 147.2 125.6 191.0 233.6 205.0 162.9 139.2 148.2 126.8 192.7 237.6 205.6 163.2 140.7 147.3 127.1 193.2 240.8 205.0 161.3 140.5 146.6 125.6 193.4 241.4 205.4 163.0 140.4 146.3 125.4 194.1 241.8 '205.4 '163.4 141.0 '145.9 '125.2 '194.5 '239.5 204.5 163.8 139.4 145.8 124.0 193.0 244.4 204.1 162.4 139.2 144.8 123.8 193.1 243.0 203.9 163.1 135.9 144.5 124.4 193.5 240.7 203.8 163.4 136.6 143.5 123.8 193.5 242.5 04 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .............................. Leather...................................................................... Footwear ................................................................... Other leather and related products..................................... 260.9 319.8 240.9 241.8 261.7 313.2 242.9 245.0 260.0 313.7 239.6 245.0 259.8 311.3 239.8 245.4 260.7 312.3 240.1 245.4 261.8 319.0 238.9 247.5 261.6 317.7 238.6 248.1 260.6 313.3 239.8 248.1 263.4 310.6 244.8 248.1 '263.2 '309.8 '244.5 '248.1 262.7 306.7 243.8 250.5 261.3 307.4 241.7 252.0 263.2 304.7 247.3 249.9 264.8 309.2 248.2 252.9 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power ................................... Coal.......................................................................... Coke ........................................................................ Gas fuels2 ................................................................. Electric power.............................................................. Crude petroleum3 ......................................................... Petroleum products, refined4 ........................................... 694.5 497.2 456.4 939.4 367.2 803.5 805.9 703.5 510.2 469.7 976.6 383.8 796.8 806.1 698 1 510.8 469.7 965.6 378.4 788.2 802.3 698 1 702.5 512.7 515.2 469.7 469.7 983.0 1,003.7 378.3 384.2 785.9 787.2 798.3 798.6 705.1 525.3 469.7 987.9 392.8 787.2 801.9 697.8 529.9 469.7 987.6 392.9 770.3 789.7 689.7 529.6 467.5 990.5 403.7 744.8 770.6 670.6 '662.2 677.4 701.8 705.7 701.8 541.4 532.6 '534.0 534.1 538.6 539.1 467.5 '467.5 462.7 463.9 460.0 460.7 992.7 '1,001.2 1,029.7 1,055.4 1,073.7 1,116.6 406.3 '407.1 406.6 416.9 415.3 415.4 717.9 '717.8 718.5 718.7 718.7 718.8 733.5 '713.2 738.5 777.1 781.8 763.1 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products............................................. Industrial chemicals 5 ...................................................... Prepared paint.............................................................. Paint materials ............................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ............................................. Fats and oils, inedible .................................................... Agricultural chemicals and chemical products ....................... Plastic resins and materials ............................................. Other chemicals and allied products................................... 287.6 363.3 249.8 300.1 193.5 295.6 285.0 289.2 254.2 293.3 371.8 250.7 308.0 197.8 285.6 292.6 296.8 257.4 292.4 367.9 250.7 308.1 198.5 277.7 293.1 299.5 256.9 292.0 363.7 254.5 308.3 198.2 282.5 295.7 293.2 259.9 291.8 362.8 256.4 305.8 198.9 280.4 294.9 294.2 260.0 292.9 362.9 258.9 306.6 202.2 294.6 361.4 258.9 306.8 205.9 290.1 297.1 285.5 268.5 294.3 357.8 258.9 306.7 208.9 282.6 295.8 286.0 270.0 '295.0 '357.1 '264.7 '306,9 '209.9 288.4 '294.8 '283.2 '272.7 293.5 352.9 265.1 304.2 209.6 287.5 294.0 281.9 273.0 291.6 349.7 265.1 304.3 209.9 278.2 291.5 280.6 270.7 291.6 349.7 265.1 302.3 291.4 349.3 265.1 303.0 272.8 296.8 286.1 263.8 293.6 362.2 258.9 306.4 204.4 274.2 298.0 287.3 264.9 254.2 290.6 282.4 271.8 254.1 290.1 281.5 270.7 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products ............................................... Rubber and rubber products............................................. Crude rubber .............................................................. Tires and tubes............................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products.......................................... Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .......................................... 232.6 256.2 281.8 250.6 251.4 128.5 235.7 260.3 283.1 256.5 253.9 129.9 237.3 , 238.0 262.9 264.4 279.8 279.0 257.1 255.9 261.1 266.7 130.3 130.3 238.3 264.6 280.8 255.4 267.2 130.6 237.3 262.5 281.8 253.6 263.8 130.5 239.3 266.0 282.1 256,7 268.8 131.0 240.8 266.7 283.5 253.7 274.3 132.3 241.1 266.6 283.3 253.4 274.7 132.6 '242.1 '269.0 '283.7 '254.9 ' 278.8 ’ 132.5 243.3 271.5 282.4 255.3 285.4 132.6 243.1 271.6 280.2 255.6 286.1 132.3 243.6 272.5 278.6 257.9 286.0 132.3 243.3 271.7 276.5 255.7 287.5 132.5 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products................................................. Lumber...................................................................... Millwork ..................................................................... Plywood ..................................................................... Other wood products............................ ...................... 292.8 325.1 273.4 245.7 239.1 289.3 320.2 271.4 240.8 240.5 284.3 311.7 271.3 234.3 239.9 285.4 309.9 273.7 239.7 239.4 285.5 310.0 277.1 237.4 238.2 285.2 308,1 278.6 235.1 238.7 285.3 308.2 276.5 236.5 238.6 286.5 312.4 276.6 234.0 237.7 '284.6 '310.5 '276.3 '230.5 '237.4 288.7 315.2 280.1 238.9 237.1 288.3 319.2 281.8 232.4 236.0 284.4 312.7 280.2 229.3 235.8 283.0 311.3 279.5 228.4 235.6 See footnotes at end of table. 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 282.1 306.6 271.8 233.5 239.3 211.1 212.6 22. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1982 1981 Annual Commodity group and subgroup INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products........................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board ... Woodpulp................................................................... Wastepaper ............................................................... Paper ........................................................................ Paperboard................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products........................... Building paper and board................................................ 273.8 270.8 397.1 175.7 279.8 258.1 258.8 231.7 277.8 274.8 394.2 178.5 285.9 261.6 262.8 234.2 279.2 275.7 402.3 165.1 287.8 261.7 263.2 233.3 280.4 275.8 413.7 144.5 287.4 261.6 263.1 232.1 281.0 275.6 413.7 143.4 287.2 260.0 263.2 230.3 285.5 276.1 410.3 135.2 289.2 259.7 263.9 233.8 286.3 276.8 410.3 128.8 289.8 261.4 264.7 231.4 287.4 276.6 411.6 129.2 289.6 261.1 264.5 239.6 288.5 275.3 389.9 128.1 289.4 261.2 264.3 236.3 r289.6 r274.8 r393.3 121.5 r288.2 258.8 r264.3 r240.2 289.3 274.6 390.3 115.2 2882 255.9 265.0 239.4 288.9 272.9 370.5 115.6 287.0 255.0 264.6 239.2 289 1 272.6 369.2 116.0 286.1 255.5 264.4 243.8 289.2 271.8 367.2 116.0 286.0 250.7 264.2 242.8 10 10-1 10-17 10-2 Metals and metal products ................................................ Iron and steel .............................................................. Steel mill products......................................................... Nonferrous metals......................................................... Metal containers ........................................................... Hardware ................................................................... Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings..................................... Heating equipment......................................................... Fabricated structural metal products................................... Miscellaneous metal products........................................... 300.4 333.8 337.6 285.8 315.6 263.2 267.5 224.2 295.5 270.5 304.9 339.8 345.3 289.4 318.8 267.8 271.6 228.5 300.0 273.7 305.3 341.3 348.7 285.4 318.2 269.5 272.9 229.0 302.6 276.1 304.2 340.0 348.6 281.1 318.1 271.5 273.1 228.8 303.2 278.0 303.3 339.9 348.9 277.1 316.8 272.0 274.0 229.9 303.0 278.3 304.7 343.1 350.6 274.4 324.3 274.1 274.6 233.4 303.4 281.2 304.2 342.9 350.3 273.6 326.2 274.8 276.4 233.1 304.0 278.7 302.9 342.5 350.5 267.2 327.2 278.2 279.1 235.4 304.5 279.0 303.1 342.8 352.2 266.1 330.0 278.5 280.3 236.0 305.2 279.7 r302.8 r341.3 352.1 r263.6 r330.2 r278.9 281.0 r237.2 r304.9 r284.5 300.1 338.3 349.9 253.7 330.2 277.9 282.5 238.6 305.2 289.5 300.2 337.4 349.1 256.1 329.9 278.9 283.0 239.1 303.8 288.8 300.2 337.4 348.7 256.1 3288 280.3 274.7 238.6 304.4 288.9 301.8 336.6 348.4 263.4 328.7 280.4 277.0 239.3 304.2 289.3 Machinery and equipment .................................................. Agricultural machinery and equipment................................. Construction machinery and equipment................................ Metalworking machinery and equipment .............................. General purpose machinery and equipment........................... Special industry machinery and equipment ........................... Electrical machinery and equipment ................................... Miscellaneous machinery................................................ 263.3 288.3 320.8 301.3 288.7 307.9 268.1 292.8 326.5 305.3 293.9 312.8 224.2 258.5 269.3 295.5 328.3 306.6 295.1 314.6 225.3 259.0 270.4 300.8 329.6 307.9 296.2 315.0 226.0 259.8 272.0 302.8 332.0 312.9 297.9 316.4 227.0 260.4 274.1 303.1 337.0 315.9 300.0 320.4 228.7 261.4 275.4 304.6 337.9 317.2 301.3 320.7 229.5 264.0 276.2 306.4 339.2 317.8 302.0 321.3 230.3 264.9 277.6 306.8 341.5 319.6 303.4 322.9 231.7 266.1 r278.2 r308.2 r343.5 '320.7 '303.8 '323.9 '231.3 '267.9 278.4 308.8 343.7 320.8 303.1 324.7 231.9 268.0 279.4 310.2 346.1 321.9 304.4 327.1 232.0 268.9 279.7 311.4 346.4 322.4 304.5 326.9 232.0 270.3 280.3 313.6 347.5 322.6 304.5 327.0 232.5 271.1 198.5 219.7 257.5 178.7 187.3 89.2 281.0 201.0 201.3 202.1 222.2 222.8 225.1 261.6 181.7 190.1 87.8 2858 262 1 263.3 180.9 182.3 190.8 190.9 204.6 227.4 271.2 180.6 195.3 89.6 283.7 205.5 227.6 273.6 180.6 197.3 89.1 285.0 206.0 229.7 274.2 181.1 197.8 87.9 285.9 ' 206.5 '230.0 '275.2 '181.3 '198.9 '88.0 '285.4 207.4 231.4 278.0 179.4 285.3 203.5 227.5 266.7 180.3 193.4 89.3 283.4 206.8 230.9 277.8 180.1 199.3 285.8 202.9 226.6 263.9 181.4 191.3 89.6 286.2 206.6 231.1 276.2 180.7 198.5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ........................................ Household furniture ....................................................... Commercial furniture ..................................................... Floor coverings ............................................................ Household appliances .................................................... Home electronic equipment ............................................. Other household durable goods ........................................ 284.6 283.6 287.4 207.7 231.6 278.6 180.3 200.4 87.7 288.1 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products............................................... Rat glass ................................................................... Concrete ingredients ...................................................... Concrete products......................................................... Structural clay products, excluding refractories ...................... Refractories ............................................................... Asphalt roofing ............................................................ Gypsum products ......................................................... Glass containers .......................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals............................................... 309.5 296.3 291.2 249.8 302.4 407.5 256.2 328.7 463.8 313.2 218.3 298.5 292.9 255.3 307.1 401.6 252.9 335.5 474.3 313.3 218.5 298.4 293.3 256.2 307.8 402.9 252.4 335.5 473.3 313.7 218.5 298.5 293.4 256.5 308.9 410.2 251.3 335.5 473.5 313.5 216.1 298.7 293.6 257.5 311.3 405.6 249.7 335.5 474.7 315.6 216.2 306.2 295.5 257.5 316.8 401.3 250.4 335.4 474.7 319.0 216.2 308.4 295.9 257.7 335.1 400.4 255.0 352.2 478.7 319.9 216.2 309.8 296.3 257.7 337.4 394.4 260.7 356.0 479.6 320.2 216.2 309.5 297.7 258.1 338.7 386.7 263.2 358.1 479.1 '321.2 '226.4 '312.5 '298.2 '258.6 '339.5 '385.5 259.4 '358.1 '471.3 318.7 216.2 310.9 297.9 258.4 340.9 388.8 256.4 357.4 465.2 320.3 226.1 310.6 298.2 258.8 340.9 392.3 255.8 357.4 466.4 320.4 226.1 311.7 298.3 258.8 341.2 392.5 253.9 357.3 466.2 311.2 298.6 259.5 341.3 400.2 253.9 357.9 466.2 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 - 100)................................ Motor vehicles and equipment .......................................... Railroad equipment ....................................................... 235.4 237.6 336.1 231.8 232.8 338.7 244.5 247.8 338.7 246.3 248.9 341.3 246.8 249.5 340.1 248.6 250.8 345.8 245.2 246.8 345.8 245.2 246.8 346.3 245.8 '247.5 247.2 '249.2 343.5 '342.8 249.6 251.5 349.6 250.4 252.5 349.3 251.2 253.3 354.7 245.0 245.0 354.7 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-5 15-9 Miscellaneous products..................................................... Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition....................... Tobacco products ......................................................... Notions...................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies................................. Mobile homes (12/74 - 100)........................................... Other miscellaneous products ............................ ............. 265.7 211.9 2683 2598 267.0 213.6 274.5 267.8 208.7 158.7 345.5 268.5 213.0 278.2 269.7 208.9 159.1 348.5 269.5 212.7 278.2 269.7 209.0 159.3 344.8 267.6 213.3 278.2 269.7 209.1 159.3 344.6 268.3 218.4 278.2 270.3 209.9 159.5 342.2 273.5 272.7 220.7 306.6 271.5 273.2 '272.2 '221.8 306.7 '307.0 271.5 '280.1 214.2 '210.6 162.2 '162.5 334.1 '331.3 271.6 222.9 306.7 280.3 273.8 222.9 311.3 280.3 272.4 224.4 311.3 280.3 280.3 224.7 328.8 280.3 162.5 328.0 162.5 333.1 162.5 326.5 162.8 344.7 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-8 11 11-1 11-2 10-7 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 220.2 252.6 212.6 210.0 156.8 347.4 1Data for May 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. 3Includes only domestic production. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 88.1 88.0 220.1 306.6 270.4 210.5 159.6 341.1 212.1 161.9 334.5 221.0 88.2 200.1 88.2 88.0 320.2 221.1 210.8 210.6 210.6 211.6 4Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. 5Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. 83 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 « Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 23. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967= 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1982 1981 Commodity grouping All commodities less farm products All foods Processed foods Industrial commodities less fuels............................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100)......... Hosiery................................................................. Underwear and nightwear......................................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and fibers and yarns............................................ 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. 295.7 251.8 252.1 263.7 135.8 134.3 203.4 298.5 251.7 252 8 266.4 138.1 135.5 204.7 299.5 249.1 250.0 268.7 138.2 136.5 204.7 299.4 247.4 247.6 269.0 138.4 136.5 205.7 300.0 247.6 246.5 269.4 137.9 136.7 206.3 302.0 251.6 250.5 271.1 139.3 136.9 213.9 301.9 253.2 251.9 271.5 139.7 136.9 215.6 301,4 251.6 252.1 271.7 139.0 137.5 215.9 300.9 254.7 255.1 272.3 139.0 138.0 215.9 '301.2 257.9 259.0 272.8 '138.7 138.5 '215.9 302.3 259.0 260.9 272.5 138.1 138.5 217.8 304.1 356.8 259.8 272.7 137.5 138.5 218.0 304.3 255.9 258.9 272.7 137.6 138.5 218.1 303.9 255.4 259.3 272.6 137.7 138.7 219.0 278.4 284.4 283.8 283.2 283,1 284.3 285.1 285.6 285.6 '286.1 284.8 283.0 283.4 283.2 Pharmaceutical preparations..................................... Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork ........... Steel mill products, including fabricated wire products . . . Finished steel mill products, excluding fabricated wire products............................................................. Finished steel mill products, including fabricated wire products............................................................. 186.9 303.0 337.6 191.6 298.0 345.3 192.8 290.1 348.7 192.5 286.4 348.6 193.3 290.7 348.9 196.8 289.9 350.6 199.3 287.9 350.3 201.1 288.5 350.5 204.5 290.5 352.2 '205.8 '288.1 352.1 205.3 294.0 349.9 205.7 294.6 348.7 207.2 289.2 348.4 209.3 287.9 348.1 336.2 343.7 347.4 347.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.7 347.3 347.0 336.2 343.7 347.4 347.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.4 347.0 346.7 Special metals and metal products ............................ Fabricated metal products ....................................... Copper and copper products ................................... Machinery and motive products................................. Machinery and equipment, except electrical................. 279.4 280.0 203.8 256.7 288.5 280.1 283.9 205.1 257.7 293.8 286.7 286.0 201.9 264.3 295.0 286.8 287.0 198.9 265.8 296.4 286.6 287.1 195.4 266.9 298.4 287.9 289.4 194.5 268.9 300.7 286.0 289.0 194.1 268.1 302.3 285.3 289.9 190.8 268.5 303.1 285.6 290.8 191.6 269.6 304.6 '286.3 '292.6 '193.0 '270.7 '305.7 285.8 294.6 180.0 271.8 305.7 286.3 294.0 179.5 272.8 307.2 286.6 293.9 180.1 273.3 307.7 284.2 294.1 181.4 270.8 308.3 Agricultural machinery, including tractors.................... Metalworking machinery........................................... Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) Total tractors......................................................... Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts ......... 297.3 329.7 239.3 324.7 289.8 301.6 333.9 241.8 330,7 294.0 305.7 336.7 241.8 338.3 297.6 312.5 338.3 242.2 342.2 303.5 314.7 341.2 242.0 342.3 305.8 315.1 343.8 240.1 346.9 306.5 316.0 344.9 239.8 346.9 307.4 318.4 346.4 239.9 349.1 309.7 319.0 348.8 239.9 352.4 310.3 '319.9 '349.3 '239.9 '353.6 '311.0 319.8 350.3 240.3 353.2 311.0 320.5 352.7 239.6 354.2 311.8 321.5 353.2 239.6 354.8 312.5 324.6 353.6 239.8 358.9 315.1 Farm and garden tractors less parts .......................... Agricultural machinery, excluding tractors less parts . . . . Industrial valves...................................................... Industrial fittings...................................................... Construction materials ............................................ 300.1 295.2 315.9 302.1 283.0 305.5 298.7 322.7 304.3 284.4 313.0 299.9 322.4 304.1 284.6 319.6 303.5 323.4 304.1 284.1 319.7 310.9 325.3 304.1 285.2 319.7 311.6 328.6 304.1 286.6 319.7 313.2 330.2 304.1 286.9 323.5 314.6 330.5 304.1 287.5 323.5 315.6 331.1 309.1 288.2 '325.0 '316.1 '331.2 309.1 '288.2 324.3 316.5 327.2 309.1 289.1 324.2 317.7 329.2 310.2 289.0 324.8 319.0 329.2 310.2 288.2 331.8 319.1 329.4 309.2 287.9 1Data for May 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 24. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967= 100] Annual average 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Total durable goods ................................................. Total nondurable goods............................................. 269.8 312.4 271.8 315.0 275.0 312.8 275.4 311.4 276.0 311.4 277.6 314.7 277.4 315.4 277.4 314.2 278.1 313.6 '278.5 314.5 278.4 316.0 279.1 317.7 279.1 317.3 278.7 315.9 Total manufactures.................................................. Durable........................................................... Nondurable ...................................................... 286.0 269.7 303.6 288.3 271.7 306.3 289.8 275.1 305.5 289.7 275.8 304.5 289.9 276.5 304.3 291.9 278.0 306.8 292.0 277.8 307.2 291.4 277.8 305.9 291.1 278.7 304.1 291.3 '279.2 '304.0 292.4 279.4 306.2 293.9 280.1 308.6 293.9 280.1 308.6 293.1 279.7 307.3 Total raw or slightly processed goods ........................... Durable........................................................... Nondurable ..................................................... 330.7 271.2 334.0 332.7 270.4 336.3 326.4 263.7 330.0 323.3 253.4 327.4 323.6 247.8 328.2 328.9 253.8 333.4 330.6 253.7 335.2 329.7 250.1 334.5 331.9 245.3 337.2 '335.1 '239.7 '341.1 333.6 225.2 340.6 333.3 225.0 340.2 331.8 225.7 338.6 330.3 227.0 336.9 Commodity grouping 1981 1982 'Data for May 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 25. Sept. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. 167.6 346.0 493.7 898.6 277.4 138.7 168.1 364.5 506.0 913.6 279.2 137.1 168.1 354.1 506.2 900.8 279.7 143.4 171.3 354.1 507.8 907.5 279.8 143.4 171.3 343.7 510.3 921.7 280.7 143.4 171.3 347.9 520.9 919.7 287.4 149.6 171.3 313.7 525.8 913.9 289.9 149.6 171.3 325.0 524.9 905.4 293.1 149.6 171.3 327.0 527.9 893.3 292.6 151.7 177.1 308.3 '529.9 '901.2 '295.0 151.7 177.1 307.5 529.8 915.1 295.2 151.7 177.1 306.2 533.5 925.3 295.3 151.7 177.1 287.5 534.7 926.7 2965 151.7 177.1 289.4 536.3 938.4 296.0 151.7 243.1 241.4 192.0 274,8 252.7 253.9 188.8 275.0 244.1 252.2 175.5 279.2 237.0 248.9 172.8 279.5 234.1 247.0 166.7 275.0 237.6 245.6 (2) 275.0 244.4 251.0 (2) 276.4 247.3 248.6 <2) 276.8 254.0 253.0 <2) 275.3 '264.7 '266.2 (2) 274.9 265.7 273.7 <2) 274.9 258,4 272.2 (2) 275.0 253.0 275.4 (2) 276.3 253.1 282.3 (2) 276.8 1981 1982 MINING 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 = 100)........................................ Mercury ores (12/75 = 100)................................... Bituminous coal and lignite ..................................... Crude petroleum and natural gas.............................. Construction sand and gravel ................................. Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100) ............................ MANUFACTURING 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meatpacking plants............................................... Sausages and other prepared meats......................... Poultry dressing plants .......................................... Creamery butter.................................................. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 84 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1972 SIC code 1982 1981 Industry description Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. 218.6 217.9 260.8 184.0 191.5 205.9 116.0 247.6 266.4 303.3 262.6 181.8 187.5 192.2 115.9 245.1 272.2 303.3 216.7 210.9 262,4 181.5 187.3 183.5 114.6 233.0 272.2 303.3 216.5 214.2 262.3 181.5 192.5 177.9 115.4 242.9 269.7 303.4 217.1 214.2 r262.6 178.5 188.4 183.0 116.7 269.2 r277.3 303.4 217.9 214.2 264.6 178.5 189.1 180.3 115.7 286.7 280.2 303.4 218.6 213.6 265.5 180.4 185.5 177.6 115.4 311.5 290.5 303.3 218.8 213.6 263.2 180.0 180.2 183.0 113.3 318.1 297.4 304.7 218.7 216.5 260.1 179.6 182.2 183.0 109.6 295.6 300.8 304.7 182.4 221.9 266.6 275.4 137.9 188.5 369.5 240.4 259.5 288.4 184.9 223.1 260.4 267.1 140.1 187.2 396.8 245.1 259.5 288.4 170.5 220.4 262.6 267.1 137.9 187.0 389.2 247.7 259.5 319.7 158.1 216.6 271.8 267.1 140.2 187.7 419.1 248.8 259.5 319.7 164.7 225.8 273.3 259.1 140.2 188.2 432.2 250.6 259.5 319.8 167.9 232.0 271.5 259.8 139.8 188.0 r425.9 r248.0 259.5 r319.9 170.2 226.4 272.3 259.8 139.8 188.4 442.8 247.6 259.5 319.8 174.6 224.1 264.3 259.8 139.8 187.8 418.9 247.0 259.5 324.9 173.1 205.5 242.4 259.8 140.4 184.3 426.2 246.4 259.5 324.9 111.8 141.4 128.6 178.6 349.4 227.1 139.7 115.6 225.2 113.2 140.3 129.9 178.6 349.4 226.4 140.0 116.1 225.9 110.7 140.8 128.5 179.6 349.4 226.3 139.2 116.2 226.0 112.4 143.5 129.1 174.5 326.1 227.3 139.8 115.6 225.2 112.4 140.5 129.4 141.6 128.5 r 179.6 353.6 r226.4 ' 138.5 r 116.9 r226.1 '109.9 '141.5 '128.4 176.6 353.6 226.0 138.0 117.0 228.7 108.2 141.3 127.2 176.6 358.3 212.8 174.5 326.1 227.6 139.5 115.2 213.0 137.5 117.0 230.8 108.6 140.2 126.7 176.6 358.3 221.7 137.1 117.0 231.1 108.7 139.8 128.7 176.8 358.5 218.6 136.4 117.0 231.2 108.6 138.4 128.1 155.7 222.4 154.5 157.0 139.3 227.4 212.4 230.8 113.9 186.8 157.0 219.9 145.6 157.0 139.3 228.4 233.0 113.9 186.9 156.7 217.2 146.0 156.8 140.7 230.5 213.4 233.0 113.9 187.1 155.5 216.3 145.7 156.8 141.0 233.7 173.4 246.9 115.3 188.4 155.7 215.7 150.3 156.8 141.0 233.6 215.9 246.9 117.3 188.4 155.7 215.4 150.0 156.8 141.0 233.8 216.9 247.4 117.3 188.4 156.1 214.4 151.0 156.7 141.0 234.4 217.3 247.4 117.3 194.1 156.4 '214.7 '152.7 156.6 141.0 234.6 '217.5 247.4 117.3 '195.8 156.9 214.0 149.3 156.5 141.0 235.3 215.7 251.2 121.3 195.0 156.1 213.7 149.0 156.5 141.0 237.2 216.0 251.2 121.3 195.6 155.4 213.2 140.4 158.0 141.0 239.8 216.1 251.2 121.3 195.6 156.1 213.1 142.5 158.0 142.6 240.0 219.4 250.7 121.3 195,6 253.1 126.4 123.4 170.6 138.8 253.3 126.7 122.7 171.6 140.1 123.2 289.2 139.7 131.0 218.6 252.5 126.5 123.0 174.7 145.1 123.2 293.8 144.9 131.0 218.0 254.2 126.5 123.0 174.8 148.8 123.2 297.4 144.9 131.0 216.9 254.9 126.5 123.1 175.0 148.8 123.2 295.5 147.2 131.0 216.9 255.2 126.5 122.9 175.0 148.8 295.5 145.7 131.0 218.8 '254.7 '126.5 122.9 '176.6 '148.1 '122.2 295.5 '145.9 131.0 '217.4 254.1 123.7 123.1 179.4 148.5 289.2 137.6 131.0 219.5 253.2 126.7 124.1 171.6 138.9 122.5 289.2 137.6 131.0 216.5 252.9 123.6 123.7 179.4 148.4 119.4 294.5 143.8 131.0 253.1 123.8 123.6 179.4 148.4 120.3 288.2 143.8 131.0 217.5 252.3 123.8 122.7 178.1 150.2 118.6 288.2 145.4 131.0 216.3 135.4 156.6 152.8 158.7 170.5 129.3 154.8 152.0 159.2 168.0 129.0 154.2 150.4 159.3 166.9 134.5 153.2 149.9 160.3 170.3 175.3 195.2 257.1 251.3 175.6 195.2 257.1 255.0 179.5 197.5 257.0 262.5 182.1 198.0 257.6 262.5 132.5 153.9 149.8 160.4 172.6 203.6 184.4 204.4 261.9 258.6 130.5 153.5 149.0 160.5 170.7 204.3 179.3 205.6 270.7 258.6 131.8 152.6 148.2 162.7 177.7 205.1 179.3 205.6 270.8 260.7 129.1 153.4 145.9 163.0 178.2 207.4 181.8 205.7 270.8 253.6 '125.9 '152.8 '144.7 '163.3 '178.0 '207.7 '182.3 '205.9 '270.8 '249.7 133.3 152.9 144.2 163.4 176.9 207.6 185.1 210.3 271.9 246.5 129.6 154.5 144.1 163.4 175.4 208.1 184.1 272.0 238.5 126.7 155.1 143.8 163.4 174.5 208.0 185.5 210,4 272.4 237.2 128.6 154.4 143.8 163.7 175.3 208.0 185.9 210.4 272.4 235.4 156.2 151.7 343.4 244.8 163.0 305.9 150.8 293.3 155.6 142.8 158.8 153.7 344.3 253.2 163.2 316.0 156.0 299.3 160.6 142.1 159.8 153.6 344.0 253.4 167.6 317.7 156.3 301.0 164.2 142.9 159.7 153.5 344.1 253.3 167.6 317.0 153.7 301.4 162.5 144.2 159.6 152.7 344.6 253.3 170.0 324.8 154.3 302.7 161.9 142.9 162.0 152.5 344.6 254.0 176.4 329.4 150.7 303.9 161.8 142.4 162.0 153.4 344.6 256.9 176.5 335.2 152.6 306.1 162.9 142.6 162.0 153.0 344.5 260.0 176.5 335.6 151.0 306.7 161.6 142.2 161.3 152.8 344.5 259.9 176.5 322.0 152.6 306.6 162.5 141.7 '160.3 '151.3 '343.6 '259.9 176.7 '341.1 '150.9 307.1 '161.6 '140.5 160.8 150.0 347.3 261.4 176.7 338.2 150.7 303.8 161.3 139.5 160.7 149.1 346.4 261.4 176.7 324.4 150.2 301.8 160.5 136.1 159.9 149.4 349.2 261.4 177.5 325.8 150.8 299.9 159.5 136.0 159.8 146.5 350.0 262.2 177.5 324.3 151.1 298.8 160.1 135.6 254.1 270.7 311.9 294.4 194.3 176.9 215.8 259.4 272.0 316.5 295.8 196.0 174.3 259.4 273.8 318.7 294.6 196.3 174.9 258.5 273.7 316.5 293.3 196.4 178.1 259.0 270.5 315.6 293.1 196.0 176.1 261.0 274.3 314.9 293.0 197.0 174.2 263.5 276.8 317.6 289.1 198.0 173.8 222.4 261.6 278.4 320.5 281.7 198.1 171.2 220.3 258.2 278.7 327.2 267.4 197.1 168.1 216.7 256.2 '278.6 '326.1 259.2 '196.3 '168.4 ’ 221.3 257.6 278.8 319.6 267.7 195.1 169.8 221.5 256.6 278.6 318.4 281.4 194.8 171.3 221.7 248.7 277.9 3248 283.7 194.4 171.1 226.2 245.9 275.4 337.3 280.3 194.8 174.5 221.7 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Cheese, natural and processed (12/72 = 100)............ Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) ............ Canned fruits and vegetables................................. Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100).................. Flour mills (12/71 - 100) ..................................... Rice milling....................................................... Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)....................... Raw cane sugar ................................................ Beet sugar ....................................................... Chewing gum .................................................... 215.7 211.9 248.5 177.6 196.0 277.2 124.5 273.5 314.3 309.8 215.0 212.7 254.3 183.4 195.3 268.2 119.6 212.3 270.7 303.2 215.4 212.5 257.0 182.1 191.1 247.3 117.3 219.9 250.3 303.2 215.9 212.5 256.4 181.4 191.5 235.4 116.4 224.3 230.4 303.2 218.4 212.7 258.9 182.1 189.2 215.1 116.0 230.8 250.5 303.2 Cottonseed oil mills............................................. Soybean oil mills................................................. Animal and marine fats and oils .............................. Malt ................................................................ Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 - 100) ............. Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) ............... Fresh or frozen packaged fish ................................ Roasted coffee (12/72 = 100)................................ Macaroni and spaghetti ............. .......................... Cigarettes......................................................... 199.0 245.8 288.0 282.5 134.7 187.8 369.1 238.1 252.0 277.7 182.3 234.2 281.2 275.4 135.5 188.8 353.5 237.3 259.5 284.2 172.0 229.7 274.0 275.4 135.5 188.2 356.9 238.2 259.5 2884 167.2 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ............................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco................................ Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 = 100) ....................... Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) .................... Women’s hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100)............ Knit underwear mills ........................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 100)....................... Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 = 100) ....................... Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ............. 170.0 320.7 232.7 136.7 113.5 174.5 326.1 233.2 139.4 115.2 210.9 110.9 144.9 126.5 174.5 325.3 236.0 139.5 115.0 210.9 111.9 145.4 129.0 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs........................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 =100) ...................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) .................. Thread mills (6/76 = 100)..................................... Cordage and twine (12/77 = 100)........................... Men’s and boys’ suits and coats.............................. Men’s and boys’ shirts and nightwear ....................... Men’s and boys’ underwear................................... Men's and boys’ neckwear (12/75 = 100) ................. Men’s and boys’ separate trousers........................... 154.2 221.7 139.3 151.4 134.8 224.0 209.5 230.6 114.6 186.2 157.3 223.8 148.0 154.8 139.3 226.5 211.5 230.8 113.9 186.4 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men’s and boys’ work clothing ................................ Women’s and misses’ blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women's and misses’ dresses (12/77 = 100)............. Women’s and children’s underwear (12/72 = 100) ....... Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) ............ Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100)............ Fabric dress and work gloves................................. Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100)............... Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100)........ Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 =100).................. 248.6 121.3 169.7 136.7 120.9 289.3 132.0 131.0 228.2 251.2 121.3 123.5 170.6 138.8 121.7 289.2 134.6 131.0 225.2 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100)............. Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .......... Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100)...................... Mobile homes (12/74 = 100)................................. Particleboard (12/75 = 100) ................................. Wood household furniture (12/71 = 100) .................. Upholstered household furniture (12/71 =100)............ Mattresses and bedsprings..................................... Wood office furniture ........................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100)...................................... 142.0 156.6 152.5 156.9 173.6 197.4 174.0 192.3 254.2 252.4 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100)................. Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) ............................ Sanitary paper products........................................ Sanitary food containers ...................................... Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100)......................... Plastics materials and resins (6/76 = 100)................. Synthetic rubber ................................................ Organic fiber, noncellulosic..................................... Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 = 100) ....................... 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers ........................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .......................................... Explosives ....................................................... Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) ............................ Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100)................. Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75 = 100).................. Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) ....................... 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 2121 2131 2211 2221 MANUFACTURING - Continued https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 210.2 120.6 112.0 144.9 129.1 122.0 221.2 272.3 275.4 137.9 188.3 360.8 239.2 259.5 288.4 174.5 326.1 229.8 139.8 115.1 212.6 200.1 201.0 202.0 202.8 212.8 212.8 220.6 221.0 220.1 221.2 222.0 110.2 122.2 121.0 294.5 143.8 131.0 219.7 222.0 221.6 210.1 164.5 200.6 241.2 251.2 140.4 186.2 446.7 244.7 259.5 345.1 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 25. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 Industry description SIC code Annual average 1982 1981 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June July Aug. Sept. 3021 3031 3079 3111 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 =100).............................. Reclaimed rubber (12/73 =100) ............................................ Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100) ............................ Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100).............................. Men’s footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100)........................... Women’s footwear, except athletic.......................................... Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) ......................... Rat glass (12/71 = 100) .................................................... Glass containers................................................................ 184.4 194.1 128.9 150.7 169.3 217.1 155.5 175.3 328.6 185.3 200.3 130.3 148.3 170.9 218.2 158.4 180.0 335.4 185.0 200.3 130.8 148.2 170.5 212.5 158.4 180.1 335.4 185.0 200.3 130.8 146.8 170.6 212.7 158.4 180.1 335.4 185.2 200.3 131.0 147.5 171.3 212.4 158.4 177.4 335.4 186.1 200.3 131.1 150.8 173.1 208.5 158.4 177.5 335.3 188.4 200.4 131.6 149.3 172.2 209.8 158.4 177.5 352.1 189.1 207.2 132.8 147.9 173.5 210.3 158.4 177.5 355.8 189.0 209.2 133.2 146.8 174.9 217.0 158.4 177.5 358.0 r 186.6 r209.5 '133.0 '147.4 175.1 '216.2 158.4 '187.9 '358.0 187.0 208.4 132.9 146.9 175.2 215.2 158.4 177.5 357.3 187.0 207.7 132.6 147.5 171.6 216.3 158.5 187.7 357.3 186.8 207.4 132.7 146.5 175.5 185.9 207.6 132.7 148.5 175.7 157.8 187.7 357.2 159.0 186.3 357.7 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic.............................................................. Brick and structural clay tile.................................................. Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) ................................ Clay refractories................................................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c................................................. Vitreous plumbing fixtures .................................................... Vitreous china food utensils.................................................. Fine earthenware food utensils............................................... Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)..................................... Concrete block and brick..................................................... 329.6 296.5 133.4 310.2 332.0 299.9 140.4 312.5 227.5 259.0 336.8 313.8 161.8 274.2 330.3 299.9 140.4 313.9 231.7 259.0 336.8 313.8 161.8 274.3 330.3 300.5 140.4 315.2 231.7 259.3 344.7 315.0 163.7 274.2 330.3 300.5 140.4 319.9 236.6 260.1 344.7 315.0 163.7 275.1 339.6 298.9 140,4 329.6 225.6 261.1 347.7 315.1 164.3 274.9 341.5 299.4 140.4 354.4 226.0 260.6 347.7 315.1 164.3 276.4 341.5 299.4 140.4 355.6 225.9 260.8 347.3 315.0 164.2 276.4 341.1 303.4 140.6 355.2 215.9 261.8 346.5 314.9 164.0 276.5 '341.9 '304.5 '140.6 '355.5 '215.8 265.4 '355.5 '316.2 '166.3 '276.7 338.7 306.4 138.0 357.1 216.5 265.5 349.8 314.8 164.8 277.0 337.8 307.2 138.0 357.2 216.4 264.2 349.8 314.8 164.7 277.1 336.0 307.2 138.0 357.7 216.5 263.9 349.8 314.8 164.7 277.4 335.1 307.5 138.0 357.9 219.5 267.1 349.8 314.8 164.8 276.8 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete......................................................... Lime (12/75 = 100) .......................................................... Gypsum products .............................................................. Abrasive products (12/71 = 100) .......................................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100)........................................ Blast furnaces and steel mills ............................................... Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) ............................ Cold finishing of steel shapes................................................ Steel pipes and tubes ......................................................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 - 100).......................................... 298.7 172.5 256.9 232.9 185.3 342.8 316.2 341.5 299.7 299.2 173.7 252.9 237.3 189.7 350.3 121.4 326.2 350.5 302.0 299.5 173.7 251.5 237.6 189.7 353.1 125.4 326.4 362.0 303.3 299.4 173.5 252.5 241.0 190.2 353.0 125.4 326.4 362.3 305.2 2996 173.8 250.6 241.0 190.3 353.3 125.3 326.7 363.0 306.1 301.9 178.8 250.9 241.3 191.2 354.7 125.3 327.0 363.7 307.9 301.9 183.7 253.9 248.3 198.3 354.4 123.4 327.0 364.1 310.0 3025 185.7 260.5 249.8 200.4 354.4 120.3 327.0 365.8 311.5 303.9 186.3 262.5 250.2 202.3 356.1 120.3 327.1 3659 311.9 '305.5 '188.0 258.8 '251.7 203.2 355.9 120.3 '327.3 '365.9 '311.1 304.7 188.4 256.2 252.1 203.9 353.6 120.4 325.6 365.7 311.6 305.4 188.1 256.5 252.0 203.8 352.9 120.4 325.2 364.0 311.3 304.8 188,3 254.3 252.3 203.8 352.8 121.4 325.6 361.6 311.3 305.4 188.2 254.7 252.3 203.8 352.3 121.4 325.1 361.0 309.7 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary zinc..................................................................... Primary aluminum.............................................................. Copper rolling and drawing .................................................. Aluminum sheet, plate, and foil (12/75 = 100) ........................... Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100).............................. Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ......................... Metal cans...................................................................... Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100) .............................. Meta sanitary ware............................................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) ..................................... 326.3 333.1 212.3 175.8 180.1 159.1 305.1 201.4 265.5 146.0 355.9 333.6 214.1 178.0 181.2 157.7 306.8 204.6 270.2 146.9 337.0 333.5 212.3 179.9 181.3 163.0 307.0 204.8 270.3 147.4 337.5 332.5 209.2 180.2 181.4 166.2 306.0 205.0 271.6 149.7 315.7 332.8 207.1 180.8 181.1 166.1 304.9 206.0 271.8 149.1 308.6 324.1 204.8 181.8 180.8 166.1 310.8 292.0 320.8 198.4 181.2 180.5 166.3 313.6 214.9 275.1 144.2 273.4 312.4 196.4 179.9 180.2 162.9 318.6 215.3 275.8 144.3 '256.6 '308.8 '197.4 '178.6 180.2 163.0 '318.7 '221.3 '275.5 '144.5 259.7 308.4 189.8 178.0 180.1 165.4 319.3 220.9 276.0 153.0 266.4 305.7 189.2 178.2 179.5 164.7 318.6 277.0 308.0 190.1 177.1 178.9 164.5 318.0 291.6 304.4 190.9 177.2 178.0 165 9 318.1 271.3 150.1 311.2 320.2 203.9 181.7 180.8 166.5 314.0 214.8 272.8 144.7 276.1 153.0 276.9 153.3 276.4 153.5 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) ................................... Steel springs, except wire .................................................... Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 =100)..................................... Fabricated pipe and fittings .................................................. Internal combustion engines, n.e.c............................................ Construction machinery (12/76 = 100) ................................... Mining machinery (12/72 = 100)............................................ Oilfield machinery and equipment........................................... Elevators and moving stairways............................................. Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100)...................... 159.0 245.9 248.9 361.3 311.9 156.8 282.5 395.8 253.9 306.9 159.9 252.4 252.7 375.1 322.1 160.1 286.9 411.3 254.6 312.0 159.9 253.9 252.9 377.7 323.2 161.0 288.5 415.6 257.0 311.7 159.9 254.1 253.5 378.6 326.4 161.6 290.8 418.2 260.7 312.3 163.9 256.1 255.7 379.3 325.4 159.7 292.9 420.3 265.6 319.3 167.5 255.8 257.7 378.6 329.4 162.5 295.5 427.2 264.3 319.7 167.5 257.4 258.9 377.7 332.0 162.4 297.8 429.2 269.8 322.8 167.5 256.4 259.1 379.8 332.6 163.3 300.9 435.8 271.6 324.5 166.3 254.3 260.3 385.5 334.2 164.3 302.4 439.3 271.8 325.2 '166.3 '254.5 '260.9 385.4 '338.4 165.2 '304.0 '438.4 '275.5 '325.5 175.9 255.2 259.0 385.4 337.7 165.3 303.5 437.8 273.5 326.5 175.9 253.1 260.1 383.8 339.6 166.5 304.0 438.4 275.5 333.6 175.9 253.5 260.1 385.6 3438 166.7 303.4 439.6 275.5 333.6 175.9 253.5 260.0 382.4 347.1 166.8 304.5 439.1 275.3 333.3 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 100)................................... Textile machinery (12/69 = 100)........................................... Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100)................................... Scales and balances, excluding laboratory ................................ Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100)......................... Transformers ................................................................... Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100)................................ Household cooking equipment (12/75 - 100)............................ Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) ......................... Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100)............................ 147.3 243.5 225.0 226.2 178.0 209.9 227.5 141.2 132.8 174.3 148.6 248.2 228.9 226.1 182.1 214.5 231.6 141.6 136.4 177.2 149.5 248.0 228.9 226.2 185.4 217.3 232.5 141.6 137.8 177.0 149.5 247.9 229.1 226.3 187.2 150.0 249.9 229 1 226.5 187.3 153.2 253.5 232.9 228.8 189.6 233.2 141.9 137.9 178.4 235.8 142.6 137.9 178.8 153.3 252.3 233.7 228.3 185.3 220.5 236.8 146.0 140.1 180.1 236.9 146.8 141.1 180.5 153.9 255.0 233.4 229.8 190.4 222.4 232.3 147.2 142.3 186.2 154.7 256.2 234.7 229.6 192.8 223.3 237.6 146.2 142.5 186.9 '156.3 '257.3 234.7 229.5 '195.4 224.7 '237.6 '147.1 143.2 188.6 156.4 258.1 234.4 230.6 195.7 224.8 233.1 146.9 144.3 189.0 157.4 259.8 230.0 231.9 196.6 224.7 236.9 148.2 145.5 189.1 157.5 258.9 230.6 231.9 197.2 226.0 237.5 150.4 145.9 189.7 157.2 259.3 230.6 231.9 197.6 224.6 237.7 151.0 145.9 190.1 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners ................................................. Sewing machines (12/75 = 100)........................................... Electric lamps................................................................... Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100) ...................... Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 - 100) .............................. Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ................................. Electron tubes receiving type................................................. Semiconductors and related devices ...................................... Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) ...................................... Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100).......................................... 159.1 146.8 277.3 249.6 154.8 155.9 309.7 '90.9 170.3 141.4 158.8 153.8 283.1 258.5 157.6 161.7 327.5 91.4 172.4 142.7 161.3 156.0 285.9 258.7 158.9 162.0 327.5 91.6 171.5 142.7 161.0 156.0 284.8 262.1 159.3 162.4 327.8 92.0 168.1 143.0 160.8 156.0 281.3 262.1 159.2 163.1 342.2 91.7 166.6 142.8 165.6 156.0 282.1 257.9 159.2 162.8 374.1 90.9 167.4 143.7 165.2 155.8 286.1 259.0 161.1 167.8 374.2 90.2 169.7 144.0 165.7 155.8 283.6 258.1 162.4 168.8 374.4 90.0 168.4 143.4 165.4 154.3 296.6 260.0 163.5 170.9 374.5 89.5 167.6 144.4 '165.5 '154.3 294.5 '262.7 '167.7 '171.2 '374.4 '89.3 166.6 145.2 158.4 153.7 293.9 261.1 167.2 170.9 375.1 89.7 1668 144.9 158.4 153.7 291.9 260.7 166.5 171.1 376.0 90.8 166.7 144.4 159.4 153.0 291.9 260.3 165.9 171.2 376.0 90.5 1662 144.6 159.5 153.0 296.3 261.3 165.4 171.2 380.7 90.8 165.5 144.8 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100)...................................... Primary batteries, dry and wet............................................... Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100)............................ Dolls (12/75 = 100)........................................................... Games, toys, and children’s vehicles ...................................... Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100)......................... Burial caskets (6/76 = 100) ................................................. Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100).............................. 154.9 182.2 150.3 131.3 221.3 138.5 139.5 151.8 156.5 182.7 143.4 130.9 156.8 182.7 158.6 130.9 155.8 182.7 158.7 130.9 140.6 140.2 143.4 143.4 153.7 153.7 140.2 143.4 153.7 155.8 182.7 159.1 130.9 223.9 140.3 142.7 153.7 155.9 182.0 159.8 135.5 228.4 140.3 142.7 155.1 156.2 184.3 155.0 136.6 232.5 140.3 143.8 155.2 156.7 190.5 154.9 136.6 234.1 140.3 145.3 156.1 156.4 195.5 154.9 136.8 234.1 140.3 145.3 156.1 '158.3 '195.8 '157.0 '136.8 '234.3 140.5 149.3 156.3 158.3 195.8 159.6 136.5 231.7 140.6 149.3 154.3 157.6 196.3 159.7 136.5 231.8 140.5 150.8 155.0 160.9 196.3 160.3 136.5 231.8 140.5 150.8 155.7 159.8 196.8 151.4 136.5 232.1 139.3 150.8 156.9 222.6 254.9 335.0 309.1 160.1 270.4 121.8 222.2 222.2 222.6 1Data for May 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 86 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 222.0 222.0 2Not available, r=revised. 211.6 222.2 220.6 222.2 221.0 221.2 221.2 PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit no'nlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 26. The use of the term “man hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 26 through 29, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm propri etor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1982 issue of the Review, all of the productivity and cost measures contained in these tables are based on revised output and compensation measures released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis in July as part of the regular revision cycle of the National Income and Product Accounts. Measures of labor input have been revised to reflect results of the 1980 census, and seasonal factors have been recomputed for use in the preparation of quarterly measures. The word “private” is no longer being used as part of the series title of one of the two business sector measures prepared by BLS; no change has been made in the definition or content of the measures as a result of this change. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-81 [1977=100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................. Compensation per hour ............................ Réal compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour....................... Unit labor cost........................................ Unit nonlabor payments ............................ Implicit price deflator ................................ 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1974 1975 1976 1977 50.4 58.3 26.4 59.6 45.2 47.6 46.0 65.2 33.9 69.5 52.0 50.6 51.6 78.3 41.7 80.1 53.3 57.6 54.7 86.2 92.5 78.0 95.9 84.4 78.5 82.4 94.5 85.5 96.3 90.5 90.4 90.5 97.6 92.9 98.9 95.1 94.0 94.7 62.8 28.3 64.0 45.0 47.8 46.0 68.3 35.7 73.0 52.2 50.4 51.6 80.5 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.0 54.8 94.7 55.0 38.8 42.7 40.1 (’ ) (’ ) 66.6 (’) (’) (1) ( ’) (’ ) ( ’) (’ ) (’ ) n ri 36.2 74.2 54.4 54.6 54.5 80.2 43.0 82.5 53.5 60.8 56.1 49.4 21.5 54.0 43.4 54.3 46.6 56.4 28.8 65.1 51.0 58.5 53.2 60.0 36.7 75.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 74.5 42.8 82.3 57.5 69.3 61.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 20.0 50.5 39.7 43.4 41.0 56.3 21.8 58.2 90.8 67.5 63.2 66.0 86.8 92.9 78.5 96.4 84,5 75.8 81.6 96.8 90.8 88.5 90.0 97.8 93.0 99.0 95.1 93.5 94.6 63.1 66.3 91.7 77.6 95.4 84.7 75.6 81.6 94.8 85.5 96.2 90.2 90.8 90.4 97.8 92.5 98.5 94.6 95.0 94.7 79.1 57.6 89.8 72.7 65.0 70.5 90.8 76.3 93.8 84.1 69.3 79.8 93,4 85.4 96.2 91.5 87.3 90.3 97.5 92.3 98.3 94.6 93.7 94.4 ,58.7 91.5 67.6 63.7 66.3 85.7 58.3 90.9 68.0 86.0 1978 1979 1980 100.6 99.6 119.1 99.4 119.5 117.2 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144.1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.4 99.3 118.8 99.2 119.6 110.3 116.5 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 101.2 100.8 102.7 144.4 96.2 140.6 134.8 138.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 106.7 107.5 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 105.3 107.1 101.0 108.6 100.8 107.5 104.2 106.4 100.9 108.3 100.6 107.4 102.5 106.0 112.8 119.2 99.5 117.8 106.9 114.1 131.6 96.8 130.5 117.7 126.1 101.5 118.9 99.2 117.1 99.9 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 97.1 112.0 120.8 1981 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 108.8 130.8 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 27. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 Annual rate of change Year Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost............................................ Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost............................................ Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees.................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... 1971 1972 1973 1974 3.6 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 -2.6 8.0 1.6 -2.4 9.4 -1.4 5.3 5.9 5.5 12.1 4.4 9.5 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.4 7.6 1.3 5.0 1.3 3.8 -2.5 9.4 -1.4 2.6 -3.4 9.7 -1.1 13.6 7.1 11.4 6.6 2.2 2.9 7.6 4.4 3.3 6.6 2.2 3.2 7.4 4.5 4.8 6.5 3.0 5.8 2.5 2.1 1.6 2.8 2.7 2.8 7.4 3.5 6.1 6.1 1.8 0.0 11.2 2.0 0.3 0.8 3.1 0.5 5.0 5.4 7.7 1.4 4.9 1.5 3.8 5.4 7.2 0.9 1.7 -3.3 0.3 28. 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 2.2 3.3 2.4 7.7 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 -0.9 9.7 -1.4 10.7 5.7 9.0 -0.7 10.4 -2.8 -1.3 9.3 -1.7 10.7 4.7 -0.9 9.6 0.5 7.3 15.1 9.8 2.0 12.2 5.9 10.2 9.6 0.4 7.5 16.7 10.3 3.4 10.6 -0.3 13.3 -1.8 9.0 8.6 2.6 5.1 6.4 5.6 8.1 2.2 3.2 2.2 7.5 1.0 4.7 5.7 5.0 5.2 6.9 5.7 3.2 8.2 0.9 6.5 10.9 2.3 4.9 4.6 4.8 2.9 11.9 2.5 8.0 2.1 25.9 13.1 3.4 7.4 4.6 8.8 1.2 5.1 4.0 4.7 10.1 20.1 -2.4 1Not available. 1975 4.4 6.7 7.5 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 5.3 7.1 8.1 1.6 1.0 8.6 0.8 5.7 5.3 5.6 7.5 4.2 6.4 2.5 8.3 0.9 8.3 2.3 1.8 0.6 7.4 2.5 5.7 6.7 6.0 6.0 11.2 5.8 9.4 10.2 -2.9 11.2 8.0 10.2 8.8 0.2 9.8 -1.3 9.6 -0.3 10.4 -2.8 10.7 7.2 10.5 0.7 9.7 -1.4 9.0 -2.6 5.7 -1.6 10.1 2.6 0.2 11.8 11.6 -2.7 7.8 1981 1950-81 1960-81 2.1 1.8 1.8 r2.4 9.6 -0.7 7.7 13.3 9.5 6.2 '7.2 '2.3 3.6 '3.4 r3.5 5.0 '4.6 4.9 '2.1 5.9 '2.0 '3.7 '3.3 3.6 '1.8 7.0 1.5 5.0 '4.5 4.9 1.4 9.7 -0.7 8.1 13.1 9.7 1.8 9.7 -0.6 7.8 14.6 10.0 2.8 10.2 8.4 IV 1 12.0 6.9 1.4 4.8 r4.1 '4.6 n ci 2.6 5.8 2.0 3.1 2.1 2.8 -0.2 7.2 2.0 (’ ) (1) (’ ) (’ ) 2.7 6.9 1.4 4.1 2.7 3.7 r = revised. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1977= 100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... Unit nonlabor payments................................ Implicit price deflator ................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees.................... Compensation per hour ................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor cost ..................................... Unit nonlabor costs................................ Unit profits ............................................... Implicit price deflator ................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ....................... Compensation per hour................................ Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor cost........................................... 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Annual average Quarterly indexes 1982 1981 1980 1979 1981 IV I II III IV 1 II 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144.1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.4 99.1 123.0 97.8 124.1 113.2 120.4 99.3 126.7 97.0 127.6 116.0 123.7 98.2 130.0 96.4 132.3 116.2 126.9 98.9 133.1 96.9 134.7 100.7 140.0 96.2 139.0 131.8 136.5 100.7 142.5 96.4 141.5 133.4 138.8 101.0 100.2 100.0 129.9 99.3 136.1 96.2 137.0 124.6 132.8 145.6 95.7 144.2 137.4 141.9 148.2 95.6 147.9 138.3 144.6 150.9 96.5 150.9 136.4 146.0 100.3 153.4 97.1 153.0 137.3 147.7 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 98.8 122.7 97.6 124.1 111.3 119.8 98.7 126.2 96.6 127.8 115.2 123.6 97.6 129.3 96.0 132.5 116.7 127.2 98.4 132.6 96.5 134.7 120.3 129.9 99.2 135.7 95.9 136.8 124.4 132.7 100.4 139.5 96.0 139.0 131.5 136.5 100.0 100.0 142.0 96.0 141.9 132.8 138.9 145.1 95.4 145.1 136.7 142.3 99.1 147.7 95.3 149.0 138.4 145.5 99.2 150.4 96.3 151.6 136.7 146.6 99.3 152.6 96.6 153.7 137.4 148.2 100.8 102.7 144.4 96.2 143.4 140.6 151.4 100.6 100.8 140.4 96.5 138.3 136.5 143.4 104.7 134.5 102.7 142.7 96.5 141.7 138.9 149.6 98.8 136.8 102.2 133.4 97.1 132.9 131.9 135.7 87.8 127.7 101.7 136.3 96.3 135.8 134.1 140.7 90.5 130.6 102.8 126.8 97.0 125.0 125.8 122.7 91.1 99.8 130.0 96.4 130.4 130.2 131.0 81.9 124.8 101.1 123.1 97.9 121.4 122.4 118.7 84.1 117.1 145.7 95.8 144.7 141.7 153.1 105.2 140.2 148.6 95.9 149.1 145.4 159.6 97.6 143.2 102.3 151.7 97.1 151.8 148.3 161.8 144.3 102.9 154.1 97.5 154.0 149.7 166.2 82.4 145.8 100.4 130.9 97.1 130.3 100.3 135.2 98.5 134.9 103.6 138.4 97.8 133.6 105.2 142.6 98.0 135.5 105.0 144.9 97.9 138.0 105.0 147.3 96.8 140.3 102.1 102.2 150.7 97.2 146.6 154.7 99.0 151.5 157.6 99.7 154.3 131.6 96.8 131.0 130.5 132.5 87.9 126.1 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 101.6 138.6 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 101.9 121.1 102.6 97.4 120.3 127.1 97.3 123.9 122.6 120.6 102.8 III II 1980 102.8 86.1 29. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1977 = 100] Percent change from same quarter a year ago Quarterly percent change at annual rate IV 1980 to I 1981 Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ................. Compensation per hour ......................... Real compensation per hour.................... Unit labor costs ................................... Unit nonlabor payments ......................... Implicit price deflator ............................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ................. Compensation per hour ......................... Real compensation per hour.................... Unit labor costs ................................... Unit nonlabor payments ......................... Implicit price deflator ............................ Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ............. Compensation per hour ......................... Real compensation per hour.................... Total unit costs ................................... Unit labor costs ................................ Unit nonlabor costs............................ Unit profits.......................................... Implicit price deflator ............................ Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ................. Compensation per hour ......................... Real compensation per hour.................... Unit labor costs ................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I 1981 to II 1981 II 1981 to III 1981 III 1981 to IV 1981 IV 1981 to 11982 1 1982 to II 1982 11980 to I 1981 II 1980 to II 1981 III 1980 to III 1981 IV 1980 to IV 1981 I 1981 to I 1982 II 1981 to I11982 5.6 11.7 0.2 5.7 25.0 11.6 0.0 7.5 0.5 7.5 4.9 6.6 1.1 9.0 -2.6 7.8 12.5 9.3 -2.9 7.4 -0.4 10.6 2.9 8.0 -1.0 7.3 3.9 8.4 -5.4 3.8 1.2 6.9 2.2 5.6 2.7 4.7 1.4 10.5 -0.7 8.9 13.7 10.4 2.5 9.7 -0.1 6.9 14.8 9.4 2.2 9.4 -1.3 7.1 13.9 9.2 0.9 8.9 -0.6 7.9 11.0 8.9 -0.7 7.8 0.3 8.6 3.5 6.9 -0.4 7.6 0.7 8.1 3.0 6.4 4.9 11.8 0.4 6.6 24.9 12.1 -1.3 7.1 0.1 8.6 4.0 7.1 -0.3 9.0 -2.6 9.3 12.1 10.2 -3.5 7.3 -0.5 11.2 5.1 9.2 0.6 7.7 4.3 7.1 -4.6 3.3 0.5 6.0 1.4 5.5 2.0 4.4 1.7 10.6 -0.6 8.8 14.1 10.4 2.5 9.8 0.0 7.1 13.8 9.2 1.6 9.4 -1.2 7.7 13.6 9.6 -0.1 8.8 -0.6 8.9 11.2 9.6 -1.1 7.8 0.3 9.0 4.0 7.4 -0.7 /.i> 0.6 8.3 3.5 6./ 4.7 12.4 0.9 7.5 7.4 8.0 79.5 12.3 -0.4 6.9 -0.1 10.2 7.3 18.5 -20.8 7.1 0.3 8.5 -3.0 8.6 8.2 9.8 28.4 10.2 -2.3 8.3 0.5 12.8 10.9 17.8 -25.9 8.9 0.5 8.6 5.2 7.4 8.1 5.7 -39.4 3.0 2.3 6.4 1.7 6.0 4.0 11.4 -16.0 4.4 2.1 10.7 -0.5 10.6 8.5 16.9 14.9 11.0 2.9 9.8 0.1 8.7 6.7 14.2 20.7 9.6 1.7 9.2 -1.4 8.9 7.5 12.9 19.7 9.7 0.6 9.0 -0.5 9.8 8.4 13.4 7.9 9.6 -0.5 8.1 0.6 9.7 8.6 12.8 -17.8 7.3 2.3 6.4 1.7 8.7 7.8 11.1 -16.6 4.4 6.3 12.7 1.2 6.0 -0.7 6.6 -0.4 7.3 -0.1 6.8 -4.6 6.8 -8.2 9.6 1.6 19.4 -2.4 11.1 7.6 13.9 0.2 7.8 3.1 7.7 2.6 12.2 0.8 9.3 4.5 10.7 0.9 5.9 4.7 8.9 -1.7 4.0 -0.8 8.9 -0.6 9.8 -2.9 8.5 1.0 11.7 -2.7 8.8 1.8 11.8 89 WAGE AN D CO M PENSATIO N DATA DATA FO R T H E e m p l o y m e n t c o s t i n d e x are reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics by a sample of 2,000 private non farm establishments and 750 State and local government units selected to represent total employment in those sectors. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data on negotiated wage and benefit changes are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau, direct contact with the parties, and secondary sources. Definitions The Employment Cost Index (ECI) is a quarterly measure of the average change in the cost of employing labor. The rate of total com pensation, which comprises wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits, is collected for workers performing specified tasks. Employment in each occupation is held constant over time for all se ries produced in the ECI, except those by region, bargaining status, and area. As a consequence, only changes in compensation are meas ured. Industry and occupational employment data from the 1970 Cen sus of Population are used in deriving constant weights for the ECI. While holding total industry and occupational employment fixed, in the estimation of indexes by region, bargaining status, and area, the employment in those measures is allowed to vary over time in accord with changes in the sample. The rate of change (in percent) is avail able for wages and salaries, as well as for total compensation. Data are collected for the pay period including the 12th day of the survey months of March, June, September, and December. The statistics are neither annualized nor adjusted for seasonal influence. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, excluding premium pay for overtime, work on weekends and holidays, and shift differentials. Production bonuses, incentive earnings, com missions, and cost-of-living adjustments are included; nonproduction bonuses are included with other supplemental pay items in the bene fits category; and payments-in-kind, free room and board, and tips are excluded. Benefits include supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings plans, and hours-related and legally required benefits. Data on negotiated wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry collective bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on compensation changes apply only to those agreements cover ing 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage or compensation changes refer to average negotiated changes for workers covered by settle ments reached in the period and implemented within the first 12 months after the effective date of the agreement. Changes over the life 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis o f the agreement refer to all adjustments specified in the contract, expressed as an average annual rate. These measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living adjustment clauses, that are triggered by movements in the Consumer Price Index. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings; compensation changes are expressed as a percent of total wages and benefits. Effective wage adjustments reflect all negotiated changes imple mented in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. They include changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from contracts negotiated in an earlier period, and cost-ofliving adjustments. The data also reflect contracts providing for no wage adjustment in the period. Effective adjustments and each of their components are prorated over all workers in bargaining units with at least 1,000 workers. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quar ter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee bene fits were included in 1980, to produce a measure of the percent change in employers’ cost for employees’ total compensation. State and local government units were added to the ECI coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian non farm economy. Data for the broad white-collar, blue-collar, and service worker groups, and the manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and service indus try groups are presented in the ECI. Additional occupation and in dustry detail are provided for the wages and salaries component of total compensation in the private nonfarm sector. For State and local government units, additional industry detail is shown for both total compensation and its wages and salaries component. Historical indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quarterly rates of chang es presented in the ECI are also available. For a more detailed discussion of the ECI, see chapter 25, “The Employment Cost Index,” of the BLS Handbook o f Methods (Bulletin 1910), and the Monthly Labor Review articles: “Employment Cost In dex: a measure of change in the ‘price of labor,”’ July 1975; “How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost Index,” Janu ary 1978; and “The Employment Cost Index: recent trends and ex pansion,” May 1982. Additional data for the ECI and other measures of wage and com pensation changes appear in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. 30. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry group [June 1981=100] Percent change 1982 1981 1980 3 months ended 12 months ended Series Civilian nonfarm workers1 .......................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers ............................................... Service workers .................................................. Workers, by industry division Manufacturing...................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................ Services......................................................... Public administration2 ........................................ Private nonfarm workers .......................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers ............................................... Service workers .................................................. Workers, by industry division Manufacturing..................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................ Sept. Dec. March June Sept. Dec. March June _ _ _ _ 100.0 102.6 104.5 106.3 107.5 1.1 7.5 — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.3 102.8 104.9 104.1 104.2 106.5 105.7 107.2 107.7 107.1 108.3 1.1 — 1.3 1.0 7.7 7.1 8.3 102.1 102.8 104.4 104.3 104.0 104.8 107.1 106.0 106.0 106.4 108.2 108.1 107.2 107.7 109.2 109.1 1.1 1.2 .9 .9 7.2 7.7 9.2 9.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 90.7 92.8 94.7 98.1 100.0 102.0 104.0 105.8 107.2 1.3 7.2 90.8 90.5 90.8 92.6 93.0 92.7 94.5 94.9 94.3 98.3 97.8 99.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.2 101.9 104.0 104.0 103.1 105.8 105.6 106.7 107.2 107.0 107.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 7.2 7.0 7.9 90.5 90.8 92.6 92.9 94.7 94.7 98.0 98.2 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.0 104.0 103.9 106.0 105.7 107.2 107.1 1.1 1.3 7.2 7.1 — — — State and local government workers ...................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers ............................................... Workers, by industry division Services............................................................ Schools ......................................................... Elementary and secondary................................ Hospitals and other services3 ................................ Public administration2 ........................................... 'Excludes household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis June 1982 June — - - - - 100.0 105.3 107.4 108.8 109.3 .5 9.3 — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.7 104.2 107.8 105.9 109.1 108.2 109.5 108.9 .4 .6 9.5 8.9 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.8 106.0 106.3 105.0 104.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 107.8 106.0 109.0 108.9 109.3 109.5 108.1 109.4 109.1 109.5 110.3 109.1 .4 .2 .2 .7 .9 9.4 9.1 9.5 10.3 9.1 includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Note: Dashes indicate data not available. 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage and Compensation Data 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1981=100] Percent change 1981 1980 1982 3 months ended Series 12 months ended June Sept. Dec. March June Sept. Dec. March June - - - - 100.0 102.5 104.4 106.3 107.3 0.9 7.3 Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Blue-collar workers............................................... Service workers .................................................. — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 102.4 102.5 104.7 104.0 103.6 106.7 105.5 106.8 107.6 106.7 107.9 .8 1.1 1.0 7.6 6.7 7.9 Workers, by industry division Manufacturing...................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................ Services......................................................... Public administration2 ........................................ — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.7 104.4 103.8 104.0 104.5 106.6 105.5 105.9 106.5 108.6 107.5 107.0 107.5 109.5 108.4 1.0 .9 .8 .8 7.0 7.5 9.5 8.4 91.5 93.5 95.4 98.0 100.0 102.0 103.8 105.9 107.1 1.1 7.1 91.4 90.8 92.0 90.7 91.9 91.6 91.4 91.5 92.2 91.8 91.9 93.3 93.2 93.5 92.2 93.8 93.8 94.0 93.6 93.5 93.9 93.4 95.2 95.3 94.7 94.8 95.7 95.7 96.1 95.5 95.3 95.7 94.8 98.1 98.2 98.6 96.2 98.6 97.7 97.8 97.8 96.8 97.5 99.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 103.3 101.6 98.0 102.7 102.3 102.9 102.1 101.0 101.5 101.8 103.9 105.5 102.8 101.9 104.2 103.9 104.3 104.1 102.7 103.3 102.7 106.2 108.0 105.8 102.2 107.0 105.4 106.2 105.4 103.2 104.1 106.7 107.3 109.4 107.2 101.8 108.3 106.6 107.6 106.6 104.1 105.1 107.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 -.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.1 .9 1.0 1.1 7.3 9.4 7.2 1.8 8.3 6.6 7.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 7.9 91.8 91.2 92.7 91.3 91.9 90.2 92.2 92.1 92.2 89.4 91.9 93.6 93.5 93.8 93.4 94.5 93.1 93.6 93.0 93.8 91.2 94.2 95.7 95.7 95.7 95.2 95.9 95.6 95.1 95.9 94.8 93.1 95.7 97.9 97.9 97.8 98.1 97.6 97.7 98.2 98.5 98.1 95.7 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.1 102.0 102.0 103.0 102.0 101.3 102.0 101.0 98.3 103.6 104.0 104.5 103.1 103.8 104.3 103.6 102.3 103.4 101.9 102.3 105.8 105.9 106.3 105.3 105.9 105.9 105.7 103.9 106.3 103.0 103.7 108.8 107.0 107.4 106.3 107.1 107.3 106.9 105.8 108.9 104.5 102.4 110.0 1.0 1.0 .9 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.8 2.4 1.5 -1.3 1.1 7.0 7.4 6.3 7.1 7.3 6.9 5.8 8.9 4.5 2.4 10.0 — — — — 100.0 105.0 107.0 108.2 108.7 .5 8.7 — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.4 103.9 107.5 105.5 108.5 107.5 108.9 107.9 .4 .4 8.9 7.9 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.5 105.7 106.0 104.6 c103.8 107.6 107.7 107.9 107.3 105.5 108.4 108 3 108.7 108.8 107.5 108 8 108.5 108.8 109.5 108.4 .4 .2 .1 .6 .8 8.8 8.5 8.8 9.5 8.4 Civilian nonfarm w orke rs '.......................................................... Private nonfarm workers Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ............................................. Professional and technical workers......................... Managers and administrators................................ Salesworkers .................................................. Clerical workers ............................................... Blue-collar workers............................................... Craft and kindred workers ................................... Operatives, except transport ................................ Transport equipment operatives ............................ Nonfarm laborers ............................................. Service workers .................................................. Workers, by industry division Manufacturing...................................................... Durables......................................................... Nondurables.................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................ Construction .................................................... Transportation and public utilities ........................... Wholesale and retail trade................................... Wholesale trade ........................................... Retail trade.................................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate......................... Services......................................................... State and local government workers ................................. Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ........................................... Workers, by Industry division Services......................................................... Schools ..................................................... Elementary and secondary............................ Hospitals and other services3 ................................ Public administration2 ........................................ ’ Excludes household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ _ 3Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. N ote: Dashes indicate data not available. c= corrected. June 1982 32. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size [June 1981 = 100] Percent change 1982 1981 1980 3 months ended Series 12 months ended June 1982 June Sept. Dec. March June Sept. Dec. March June 89.7 — 92.4 - 94.7 — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.5 102.3 102.7 104.8 104.6 105.0 106.5 106.3 106.8 108.4 108.0 108.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 8.4 8.0 _ 97.6 — 91.1 — 92.8 — — 98.4 — _ 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.8 101.7 103.5 103.5 103.5 105.3 105.7 105.2 106.5 106.6 106.4 1.1 .9 1.1 6.5 6.6 _ 94.6 — 90.6 90.3 92.8 91.9 94.7 94.2 98.1 98.1 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.1 c103.2 105.7 106.2 107.2 107.0 1.4 .8 7.2 Manufacturing ...................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................. 90.8 91.3 90.4 93.5 93.8 93.1 95.8 96.1 95.5 97.4 97.7 97.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.6 102.8 105.0 104.7 105.2 106.5 105.9 107.0 108.1 107.3 108.8 1.5 1.3 1.7 8.1 7.3 Manufacturing ...................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................. 91.8 92.3 91.5 93.4 93.4 93.4 95.1 95.4 95.0 98.2 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.7 101.6 103.2 103.3 103.2 105.6 105.9 105.5 106.5 106.7 106.4 .9 .8 .9 6.5 6.7 North Central........................................................... West..................................................................... 92.5 91.4 91,6 90.4 94.2 93.2 93.3 93.5 96.0 94.9 95.3 95.3 98.3 98.0 98.1 97.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.9 101.6 103.2 104.4 102.8 103.3 105.1 106.1 105.7 104.7 107.9 106.7 107.4 106.1 108.6 .6 1.6 1.3 .6 Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan areas.................................................... Other areas............................................................ 91.4 91.5 93.5 92.9 95.4 95.1 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.0 103.1 105.9 106.0 107.1 106.8 1.1 .8 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status1 Manufacturing ...................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................. Manufacturing ...................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................. Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan areas.................................................... Other areas............................................................ WAGES AND SALARIES Workers, by bargaining status1 Workers, by region1 Northeast .............................................................. 6.1 1The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see BLS H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s , Bulletin 1910. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW November 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage and Compensation Data 33. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to date [In p e r c e n t ] Quarterly average Measure 1980 1982 p 1981 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 II III IV 1 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.1 10.2 8.3 10.2 7.4 11.4 7.2 8.5 6.1 First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 9.8 7.9 9.1 7.3 10.5 7.4 Manufacturing: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.4 5.4 7.2 6.1 6.7 5.1 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.5 6.6 9.8 7.3 Construction: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 13.5 11.3 II III IV I II 7.7 7.2 11.6 10.8 10.5 8.1 11.0 5.8 1.9 1.2 2.1 1.6 8.3 6.5 7.1 6.2 11.8 9.7 10.8 8.7 9.0 5.7 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.7 8.4 5.6 7.8 5.8 6.4 5.5 8.2 6.7 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.4 2.5 2.7 1.3 1.2 10.3 8.5 9.5 5.9 8.2 6.8 8.0 7.3 11.8 9.1 8.6 7.2 9.6 5.6 2.6 2.1 6.5 5.7 12.2 10.4 15.4 13.0 14.3 12.0 11.4 10.3 12.9 11.1 16.4 12.4 11.4 11.7 9.1 8.9 5.8 6.0 Total compensation changes covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract............... Annual rate over life of contract .. Wage rate changes covering at least 1,000 workers, all industries: p=preliminary. 34. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1977 to date Year Year and quarter 1980 Measure 1977 Average percent adjustment (including no change): All industries.............................. Manufacturing...................................... Nonmanufacturing................................ From settlements reached in period ............... Deferred fromsettlements reached inearlier period From cost-of-living clauses........................... Total number of workers receiving wage change (in thousands)1 ................................... From settlements reached in period........................................ Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period .................... From cost-of-living clauses...................... Number of workers receiving no adjustments (in thousands) ..................................... 1978 1979 1980 94 II III IV I II 1982 » III IV I II 8.0 8.4 7.6 8.2 8.6 7.9 9.1 9.6 8.8 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.5 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.5 2.9 4.0 1.3 1.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 1.2 3.2 2.4 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.0 .9 1.0 1.9 .9 2.6 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.0 1.4 .8 1.7 1.2 .7 .5 .3 .6 .4 .5 .7 1.1 1.4 .7 .5 1.5 1.2 .4 .4 .6 .2 .6 .3 .3 1.3 .2 — — — — 8,648 — — - 3,855 4,701 4,364 3,225 2,955 3,359 — — — — 2,270 — — — 579 909 540 604 199 407 — — — — — — — 6,267 4,593 - — — — — — 888 2,639 2,055 2,669 3,023 2,934 882 2,179 1,038 1,960 1,629 1,496 145 _ _ — 4,937 4,092 4,428 5,568 5,767 5,364 1The total number of workers who received adjustments does not equal the sum of workers that received each type of adjustment, because some workers received more than one type of adjustment during the period. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 1981 p=preliminary, WORK STOPPAGE DATA include all know n strikes or lock outs involv ing 1,000 workers or m ore and lasting a full shift or longer. D ata are based largely on newspaper accounts and cover all workers idle one shift or m ore in establishm ents directly in volved in a stoppage. They do not m easure the indirect or sec ondary effect on other establishm ents w hose em ployees are idle Estim ates of days idle as a percent of estim ated working tim e m easures only the im pact of larger strikes (1,000 workers or more). Form erly, these estim ates m easured the im pact of strikes involving 6 workers or more; that is, the im pact of vir tually a ll strikes. D u e to budget stringencies, collection of data on strikes involving 6 workers or m ore was discontinued ow ing to material or service shortages. with the D ecem ber 1981 data. W o r k 35. s t o p p a g e s Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date Month and year Beginning in month or year Days idle Workers involved Number of stoppages In effect during month or year Beginning in month or year (in thousands) In effect during month (in thousands) Percent of estimated working time Number (in thousands) 270 245 262 424 1,629 1,435 2,537 1,698 25,720 26,127 43,420 30,390 .22 .38 .26 415 470 437 265 363 1,462 2,746 1,623 1,075 2,055 15,070 48,820 18,130 16,630 21,180 .12 .38 .14 .13 .16 287 279 332 245 222 1,370 887 1,587 1,381 896 26,840 10,340 17,900 60,850 13,260 .20 .07 .13 .43 .09 195 211 181 246 268 1,031 793 512 1,183 999 10,140 11,760 10,020 16,220 15,140 .07 .08 .07 .11 .10 321 381 392 412 381 1,300 2,192 1,855 1,576 2,468 16,000 31,320 35,567 29,397 52,761 .10 .18 .20 .16 .29 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 298 250 317 424 235 2,516 975 1,400 1,796 965 35,538 16,764 16,260 31,809 17,563 .19 .09 .08 .16 .09 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 231 298 219 235 187 1,519 1,212 1,006 1,021 795 23,962 21,258 23,774 20,409 20,844 .12 .10 .11 1981 145 729 16,908 .07 1949 . 1951 . 1962 . 1964 . / 1981: January....................................................... February ...................................................... April ........................................................... May ........................................................... July............................................................ August......................................................... September.................................................... 1982 p January....................................................... February ...................................................... Aprii ........................................................... May ........................................................... July............................................................ August......................................................... September.................................................... .09 .09 6 7 16 17 18 30 23 9 5 12 10 20 27 27 43 38 17 10 12.0 10.7 201.6 48.0 85.1 200.1 80.1 36.2 26.3 29.6 20.9 207.8 223.5 259.0 415.1 125.4 86.6 65.2 257.9 118.5 861.8 4,085.2 4,454.0 2,618.3 1,575.5 1,017.9 898.8 .01 .01 .04 .20 .24 .13 .08 .05 .05 2 2 3 9 14 17 11 ' 15 15 4 6 8 16 21 25 22 r24 29 6.1 2.5 8.3 35.7 43.7 41.4 '36.3 r41.9 391.4 11.4 13.9 21.3 55.3 60.3 64.5 '62.2 '59.8 425.0 199.9 236.9 352.2 480.3 636.1 894.0 r830.9 '785.9 2,167.2 .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .04 .04 .04 .11 p=preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95 Published by BLS in September SALES PUBLICATIONS BLS Bulletins Analyzing 1981 Earnings Data From the Current Population Survey. Bulletin 2149, 27 pp., $3.75 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02715-0). A reprint of two April 1982 Monthly Labor Review articles—Usual weekly earnings: another look at in tergroup differences and basic trends; and Earnings of men and women: a look at specific occupations. Back Injuries Associated With Lifting. Bulletin 2144, 20 pp., $3.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02712-5). Summarizes the results o f a survey o f workers in blue-collar occupations who injured their backs while lifting, placing, lowering, carrying, or holding objects. Unemployment and Its Effect on Family Income in 1980. B u lletin 2 1 4 8 , 36 p p ., $ 4 .5 0 (G P O S to c k N o . 029-001-02713-3). An April 1982 Monthly Labor Review reprint which shows that the median income o f families with an unemployed member was 21 percent lower than that of families without unemployment. Area Wage Survey Bulletins These bulletins cover o ffic e , p rofession al, tech nical, maintenance, custodial, and material movement occupations in major metropolitan areas. The annual series o f 70 is available by subscription for $90 per year. Individual area bulletins are also available separately. The following were published in September: Cincinnati, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana, Metropolitan Area, July 1982. Bulletin 3015-32, 53 pp., $4.75 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90152-6). Corpus Christi, Texas, Metropolitan Area, July 1982. Bulletin 3015-28, 39 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90148-8). Daytona Beach, Florida, Metropolitan Area, August 1982. B ulletin 3015-36, 34 p p ., $4.50 (GPO Stock N o. 029-001-90156-9). Green Bay, Wisconsin, Metropolitan Area, August 1982. Bulletin 3015-33, 25 p p ., $3.50 (GPO Stock N o. 029-001-90153-4). Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Portsmouth, Virginia-North Carolina, Metropolitan Area, May 1982. Bulletin 3015-29, 40 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90149-6). Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Portsmouth and Newport News-Hampton, Virginia-North Carolina, Metropolitan Area, May 1982. Bulletin 3015-30, 40 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029GO1-90150-0). Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, Metropolitan Area, August 1982. Bulletin 3015-35, 27 p p ., $3.50 (GPO Stock N o. 029-001-90155-1). Portland, Oregon-Washington, Metropolitan Area, June 1982. Bulletin 3015-31, 32 p p ., $3.75 (G PO Stock N o. 029-001-90151-8). P r o v id e n c e -W a r w ic k -P a w tu c k e t, R hode Is la n d Massachusetts, Metropolitan Area, June 1982. Bulletin 3015-34, 50 pp., $4.75 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90154-2). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis South Bend, Indiana, August 1982. Bulletin 3015-37, 40 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90157-7). Periodicals CPI Detailed Report. July issue provides a comprehensive report on price movements for the month, questions and answers on upcoming changes in the measurement of homeownership costs, statistical tables, charts, and technical notes. 81 pp., $3.50 ($20 per year). Current Wage Developments. August issue includes employee wage and benefit changes and collective bargaining set tlements in July and a special report on collective bargaining settlements in the private sector during the first 6 months of 1982. 60 pp. September issue includes employee wage and benefit changes and collective bargaining settlements in August and special reports on State and local government col lective bargaining settlements during the first 6 months o f 1982 and on the Employment Cost Index for June of 1982. 56 pp., $2.50 ($14 per year). Employment and Earnings. September issue covers employ ment and unemployment developments in August, plus regular statistical tables on national, State, and area employ ment, unemployment, hours, and earnings. 124 pp., $3.75 ($31 per year). Occupational Outlook Quarterly. Fall issue features articles on industrial robots, emerging occupations, the shortage of machinists, the accuracy o f BLS’ 1970-80 projections, manufacturing engineering, and comparing occupations using four factors—size, projected rate o f growth, average earnings, and susceptibility to unemployment. 32 pp., $2.75 ($8 per year). Producer Prices and Price Indexes. July issue includes a com prehensive report on price movements for the month, and pro vides information on the addition of data from the Producer Price Index revision program, changes in presentation of detail ed product price indexes, availability o f computer tape for Pro ducer Price Index revision data, and phase-out of the industry sector price indexes, plus regular charts, text, tables, and tech nical notes. 130 pp., $3.25 ($20 per year). Supplement to Producer Prices and Price Indexes: Data for 1981. Presents monthly indexes and annual averages for 1981, information on relative importance o f index components at the end of the year, historical annual indexes for selected stage-ofprocessing groupings, rebased historical indexes for bituminous coal by region, and 1981 indexes for the newly introduced postal services series. 169 pp., $3.50 (included in $20 subscription price for Producer Prices and Price Indexes). U.S. Department o f State Indexes of Living Costs Abroad, Quarters Allowances, and Hardship Differentials. Tabulations computed quarterly by the Allowances Staff o f the Department o f State for use in establishing allowances to compensate American civilian government employees for costs and hard ships related to assignments abroad. The information is also us ed by many business firms and private organizations to assist in establishing private compensation systems. Report 670. 8 pp., $1.75 ($6.50 per year). Economie Projections to 1990 Here are the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics projections of the United States economy to 1990. These projections are part of the ongoing program of the Bureau of Labor Statistics for study of alternative patterns of economic growth. Topics covered include: 9 New Economic Projections Through 1990—An Overview k) The U.S. Economy Through 1990— An Update ® The Outlook for Industry Output and Employment Through 1990 « Occupational Employ ment Growth Through 1990 4» The 1995 Labor Force: A First Look Please se nd_______ copies of Economic Projections to 1990. Bulletin 2121, GPO Stock No. 029-001-02695-1, at $6.00 per copy.** Order Form □ □ □ □ The following BLS regional offices will expedite orders: 2nd Floor 555 Griffin Square Bldg. Dallas, TX 75202 1603 JFK Building Boston, MA 02203 911 Walnut St. Kansas City, MO 64106 Suite 3400 1 515 Broadway New York, NY 10036 450 Golden Gate Ave. Box 36017 San Francisco, CA94102 P.O. 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