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https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis e U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Region I Boston: Anthony J. Ferrara 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass 02203 Phore: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Flampshire Rhode Island Vermont Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Ch ef, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $26 domestic; $32.50 foreign. S ingle copy $5, d om estic; $6.25, foreign. 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Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III Philadelphia: Alvin I. MarguUs 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881-4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V Chicago: William E. Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI — Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mlexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming May cover Cover illustration from the book, The Log of a Cowboy, by Andy Adams, published by Houghton, Mifflin Company in 1903, part of The American Cowboy exhibition (see page 2). Courtesy Library of Congress. Cover design by Richard L. Mathews, Division of Audio-Visual Communication Services, U.S. Department of Labor https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556^1678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW MAY 1983 VOLUME 106, NUMBER 5 l ib r a r y Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor JUN 1 5 1983 Philip L. Rones 3 The labor market problems of older workers Older workers do not have high unemployment rates, but when unemployed, they are less likely to find a job and more likely to leave the labor force in discouragement M alcolm H. Morrison 13 The aging of the U.S. population: human resource implications In the coming decades, ‘older workers’ will compete against the largest cohort in history of middle-aged workers; the elderly may feel more pressure to retire or work part time M ark J. Johnson 20 U.S. foreign trade prices in 1982: import and export indexes The appreciation of the dollar and the worldwide recession affected import-export prices; crude oil led the import price decline; export prices of nonferrous metals and grain fell REPORTS G eoffrey H. Moore Richard Esposito, Kenneth Shipp R. D. Leone, M. F. Eleey Janet Macon https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30 33 37 42 Using a leading em ploym ent index to forecast unem ploym ent in 1983 Industry diffusion indexes for average w eekly hours The origins and operations of area labor-m anagem ent com m ittees N um ber of occupational deaths essentially unchanged in 1981 D EPAR TM EN TS 2 30 37 45 47 51 57 Labor month in review Technical notes R esearch sum m aries M ajor agreem ents expiring next month Developm ents in industrial relations Book reviews C urrent labor statistics Labor M onth In Review The myth. The exhibition traces the growth of the cowboy myth from the dime novels of the 1870’s to the fashion crazes of the 1980’s and contrasts it with the reality of cowboy life, both in the 19th century and today. It demonstrates that Americans since the 1880’s have projected their own current values on the cowboy, and turned him successively into a performer and entertainer, a moralist, a salesman, a counterculture hero, and a fashion plate. who were born before the Civil War and grew to maturity in the 1870’s and 1880’s, was responsible for creating a new popular hero, symbolizing an old American ideal: unrestrained personal freedom. There were probably not more than 50,000 cowboys in the United States during the cattle boom. Although the cowboy myth holds that the cowboy is a white Anglo-Saxon, in reality many of the cowboys were black or brown. Texas, the source of so many cowboys, was a slave State, and the coastal counties where cattle were raised in Texas before the Civil War had large slave populations. And the Mexican vaquero (or herdsman) was the direct ancestor as well as the constant com panion of the Texas cowboy. The daily reality of the cowboy was work. In the summertime, it was hot, dusty, bonebreaking work, lasting always from 10 to 14 hours a day. It was cyclical and seasonal and basically divid ed into four phases: the spring roundup, the summer trail drive, the fall roundup, and winter ranch work, when few cowboys were employed. The reality. The range cattle industry began, matured, and collapsed in the space of the 20 years between 1866 and 1886. In that short time, nearly 9,000,000 cattle were driven in trail herds from Texas to shipping points in Kansas and new grazing ranges on the northern plains. The industry had its origin in the new market for beef created in Eastern cities by methods of refrigera tion and packing that made it possible to transport cuts of beef to retail markets and store them. The industry collapsed in the late 19th century when over production caused the price of beef to fall, and bad weather and depleted range grass took their toll on the cattle. A single generation of Americans, The image. The cowboy first appeared to the American public as an unfocused image, a mixture of plainsman, bandit, and vaquero. Long before he was in evidence, the West and western characters had been a subject for American writers. These earlier figures began to merge into the cowboy in the dime novels and popular literature of the 1870’s and early 1880’s. Dime novels dealt in high adventure, miraculous escapes, and impossibly complex plots. The cowboys were usually young, hand some, and upright and spent their time rescuing maidens from Indians. In the late 1870’s and early 1880’s, another im age of the cowboy began to take shape in the East: that of the cowboy as a rowdy, THE AMERICAN COWBOY. Al though cowboys never have made up more than a tiny portion of the U.S. labor force, their life and work is more celebrated in song, film, legend, literature, art, and advertising than any other occupation. A new exhibition, assembled by the American Folklife Center of the Library of Congress, documents America’s century-long fascination with the cowboy with 370 paintings, posters, books, recordings, film clips, artifacts, and other items. The following excerpts are drawn from the exhibition’s catalog. 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dangerous, lawless, reckless individ ualist, who was constantly armed with a pistol and ready to use it. The ro mantic image of the cowboy first ap peared in popular magazines in the early 1880’s in illustrations emphasizing the cowboy’s youth, his high spirits, and, sometimes, his loneliness. The present. Fences, windmills, and winter feeding were vital parts of the reorganization of the range cattle industy that took place after the collapse of the cattle boom in 1886. Further changes occurred during the first 40 years of the 20th century, including transport of animals by trailer, the practice of modern veterinary medicine, improved breeds of cattle, and the availability of part-time “ dude” labor. Although there have been continual improvements in technology, the basic rhythm of the range cattle industry in the Great Basin is much the same as it was in the late 1930’s. There are still roundups and brandings, and short trail drives still take cattle from summer range to winter pasture. Cattle are still worked on horseback, and, finally, the main object of the cowboy’s attention is still the cow. The exhibition, supported by a gift from United Technologies Corporation, will be at the Library of Congress until Oct. 2, after which it will travel to San Antonio, Tex. (Dec. 1, 1983 to Jan. 31, 1984); Denver, Colo. (Mar. 7 to Apr. 29, 1984); Calgary, Alberta (June 5 to July 29, 1984); and San Jose, Calif. (Sept. 3 to Oct. 26, 1984). The 228-page color catalog, prepared by the exhibition’s curators, Lonn Taylor and Ingrid Maar, is available ($18.95, plus $2 for postage and han dling) from the Library of Congress, In formation Office, Box A, Washington, D .C .20540. □ The labor market problems of older workers Older workers do not have especially high unemployment rates, but when they become unemployed, they are less likely to find a job, and more likely to leave the labor force in discouragement P h ilip L. R o n e s The problem of older worker unemployment has rarely been addressed by researchers and only recently has become evident in the press. This has been the case be cause older workers tend to have lower unemployment rates than those found in the overall population as a whole and because other subjects related to the older w orker— particularly the steady decline in retirement age— are considered “hotter” research topics with more profound policy implications. This article investigates several aspects of labor mar ket problems among older workers age 55 and over.1Its purpose is not only to show the degree of actual unem ployment experienced by the older worker but also to examine the phenomenon of labor market discour agement in relation to age. Particular attention will be placed on the outcome of an older person’s unemploy ment experience, focusing on the duration of unemploy ment and the probability of a successful job search. It is im portant to note that most older people, particularly the large majority of their population who are outside the labor force, do not want a job. For most, retirement is either the desired reward for many years of work, a necessary result of declining health or both. The concern here is the labor market problems of Philip L. Rones is an economist with the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis those older persons who d o — or might want to — seek work. Unemployment Unemployment rates for men and women in three age groups are shown in table l.2 Prior to the late 1960’s, the unemployment rates for the two groups of older men (55 to 64 and 65 and over) tended to be slightly higher than those for men in the “prime working ages” of 25 to 54. This relationship began to change in the early 1970’s, when the 55- to 64-year-olds showed rela tive improvement and by the 1980 recession, the rates for men age 65 and older fell well below those for men age 25 to 54. The precise causes of these apparent im provements in unemployment status of older workers relative to younger ones are not easy to determine, but they likely include the following: • Older men who continue to work are considerably less likely than are their younger counterparts to be found in cyclically sensitive industries, such as dura ble goods manufacturing and construction. Thus, when those industries are hard-hit by recessions, the effects are felt more by younger or middle-aged work ers than by older ones. • Industries most prone to layoff are often those where collective bargaining agreements protect senior work3 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Labor Market Problems o f Older Workers Table 1. Official unemployment rate and unemployment rate including discouraged workers, by sex, selected ages, 1968 to 1981, annual averages [In percent] Year Men Age 25 to 54 Women Age 55 to 64 Age 65 and over Age 25 to 54 Age 55 to 64 Age 65 and over U U+ D U U+ D U U+ D U U+ D U' U + D2 U U+ D Total3 . . . . 3.7 3.9 3.0 3.5 3.6 6.7 5.5 6.6 3.4 4.9 3.6 8.2 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1.7 1.6 2.8 3.5 3.1 2.5 3.1 5.7 4.9 4.3 3.5 3.4 5.1 5.5 1.8 1.7 2.9 3.7 3.2 2.7 3.2 5.9 5.2 4.5 3.7 3.6 5.4 5.8 1.9 1.8 2.8 3.3 3.2 2.4 2.6 4.3 4.2 3.6 2.8 2.7 3.4 3.6 2.3 2.1 3.1 3.7 3.6 2.8 2.9 4.9 4.7 4.1 3.3 3.3 3.9 4.2 2.8 2.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.0 3.3 5.4 5.1 5.2 4.2 3.4 3.1 2.9 6.6 5.1 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.0 6.0 9.0 8.9 9.1 7.2 6.1 6.5 6.3 3.4 3.5 4.5 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.9 7.5 6.8 6.4 5.5 5.2 6.0 6.3 4.5 4.4 5.5 6.7 6.2 5.5 5.9 9.1 8.1 7.8 6.5 6.1 7.0 7.5 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.3 2.8 3.2 5.1 4.9 4.4 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.8 4.2 3.5 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.0 4.6 6.9 6.4 6.1 4.6 4.3 4.6 5.6 2.7 2.3 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.9 3.6 5.0 5.0 4.7 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.6 8.6 7.4 7.3 7.9 7.8 5.6 7.6 9.4 9.9 10.8 9.3 7.4 7.4 8.0 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 1U is the official unemployment rate, calculated by dividing total unemployment by the ci vilian labor force, 2U + D, is the unemployment rate which counts all discouraged as unemployed— it di vides the unemployed plus discouraged workers by the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers. 3The totals are weighted averages of the 14 years, 1968 through 1981. They were calcu lated by summing the numerators for all years and dividing this by the sum of the denomina tors. ers from layoff. This may not be entirely to their advantage because those who are last to be laid off must compete in a job market where most available jobs have already been taken by those workers who were laid off earlier. • For those eligible for pensions or social security, la bor force withdrawal is a more viable alternative to a prolonged job search than it is for younger persons, who are less likely to have alternative sources of in come. • During periods of high unemployment, many firms, to avoid laying off younger workers or to save on la bor costs, provide their older workers with financial inducements to retire, in the form of improved pen sion terms or bonuses. Those who choose these op tions may themselves avoid layoff as a recession deepens and more senior employees are affected. But while the unemployment rates of older workers may have been less affected by recent recessions, their relatively low rates of unemployment may mask the linked problems of unsuccessful job search once unem ployment occurs and job market alienation (often stem ming from that job search) that leads to labor force withdrawal. These problems will be discussed in detail in this article. In general, however, for the 1968 to 1981 period, the rates of unemployment among men in the older groups have been little different from those in the prime-aged group.3(See table 1.) In contrast to men, the unemployment rate for older women has been consistently several points below that 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis for the 25- to 54-year-old group. Among the major rea sons for these low rates is that older women workers, as a group, have not had the strong career-orientation prevalent among younger women today. This marginal attachment often leads to labor force withdrawal when job loss occurs or to postponement of job search during poor job markets. Those older women who have had a permanent, full-time job market commitment are even less likely than older men to be in cyclically sensitive jobs and are often protected from job loss by their se niority. Even though older men experience rates of jobless ness similar to those of all but the youngest labor force members, it could still be argued that their unemploy ment problem is less severe than for those in the central ages. This is because unemployment rates are calculated by dividing the number of unemployed persons in a particular group by that group’s civilian labor force (those working and those actively looking for work). The rates do not reflect the proportion of a particular population that is unemployed, but rather, the propor tion of the labor force. This is particularly relevant with regard to older persons, especially those age 65 and over, because so few of them are in the labor force (few er than 1 in 5 men and 1 in 12 women in 1981). Thus, in absolute numbers, or as a proportion of the older population, unemployment is relatively small. On aver age, in 1981, only four-tenths of one percent of the pop ulation age 65 and over was unemployed, compared to 2.0 percent for those age 55 to 64 and 4.6 percent for those age 25 to 54. (This is not to imply that the popu lation-based rate is a better way of looking at unem ployment— clearly it is not. Rather, this is simply another way to demonstrate the relative magnitude of unemployment among older persons.) Reasons for unemployment The conditions which lead to job search can differ markedly between labor force groups. Between ages 55 and 64, the reasons men experience unemployment are similar to those for 25- to 54-year-olds. (See table 2.) In 1981, about 7 in 10 unemployed persons in these age groups were looking for work because they had lost their jobs through layoffs, firings, plant closings, or oth er types of involuntary separations. The difference between these two age groups of men is in the mix between the other two reasons for unem ployment— quitting a job to look for another and reen tering the labor force after a period of absence. The older the worker, the less likely he is to quit his job and look for a new one. This undoubtedly reflects the rela tively high costs of such a decision for a person in long term service with an employer. Experienced workers of ten represent a considerable investment on the part of the firm in job-specific skills— skills which the present employer would pay to retain but which are likely to be less valuable to a new employer. Thus, in many cases, the long-term employee may face a cut in earnings in a new job. Other considerations include a loss of seniori ty, with its protection from hours reductions or layoffs during periods of slack demand, and loss of accrued pension benefits. For men age 65 and older, labor force reentry approaches job loss as the main reason for unemploy ment. This should be expected, because the potential pool of labor force reentrants— those outside the labor force— includes over four-fifths of their population. Among job losers, those on layoff represent a far smaller portion than they do for other age groups. This reflects the relative protection from layoffs generally af forded senior workers, and also, the relatively few jobs that men age 65 and older hold where they would be subject to formal layoffs. (Comparatively few men in this age group still work in layoff-prone industries, par ticularly manufacturing and construction.)4 Older unemployed women are less likely to be job losers than are younger women, whether by layoff or other type of job loss, although the differences are not so dramatic. Women in the older group also have a lower probability of quitting than those in the younger group, and a lower rate of reentry, particularly those age 55 to 64. Thus, among women, the higher unem ployment rates for those 25 to 54 years old results from a higher probability of unemployment by each reason: job loss, quits, and reentry. Duration of unemployment Monthly data published by the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics on duration of unemployment reflect the current duration of an in-progress spell of unemployment. In other words, it is a cross-section of the unemployed pri or to completion of their spells of unemployment. Table 3 shows the mean and median durations of unemploy ment for persons in different age groups for 1979 and Table 2. Unemployment percentages, by reason for un employment, by sex and age, 1968-81 averages1 Job losers Characteristic Total Other On lay Total job losers off Job leavers Reentrants Men 25 to 5 4 ............................... 55 to 6 4 ............................... 65 and over ........................ 3.7 3.0 3.6 2.7 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.6 5.5 3.4 3.6 2.4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 2.1 0.9 1.4 Women 25 to 5 4 ............................... 55 to 6 4 ............................... 65 and over ........................ 1 Because of rounding, and the exclusion of new entrants, row totals may not equal the total unemployment rate shown. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 3. Duration of an "in-progress” spell of unemployment, by sex, 1979 and 1981 annual averages [In weeks] 1981 1979 Age 16 to 1 9 ................................................................ 20 to 2 4 ................................................................ 25 to 3 4 ................................................................ 35 to 4 4 ................................................................ 45 to 5 4 ................................................................ 55 to 6 4 ................................................................ 65 and over ......................................................... Mean Median Mean Median 7.4 9.7 11.1 13.3 14.5 17.0 16.1 4.3 5.1 6.1 6.8 7.5 8.2 7.8 9.2 13.0 14.8 16.0 16.9 18.3 16.0 4.8 6.8 7.8 8.4 8.9 9.5 7.0 1981. By either measure, duration consistently rises un til age 65, then falls somewhat. This in-progress spell concept, however, has limited usefulness for some types of analyses. It tells us little about the key question that needs to be addressed here: What is the duration of a completed spell of unemploy ment? In-progress spell data reflect two important biases that make them an undesirable substitute for the uncollected completed spell measure. The first is that which Stephen W. Salant and others refer to as “inter ruption bias.” 5 That is, given stable economic condi tions, an “average” in-progress spell of unemployment is likely to be only half of its eventual completed spell. A bias in the opposite direction is “length bias”; the monthly CPS fails to pick up many short spells of unem ployment that occur between survey weeks. Because these biases affect different groups differently, it is often difficult to make a meaningful comparison between de mographic groups using published CPS duration data. Based on procedures developed by Norman Bowers, a rough estimate of the average length of a completed spell of unemployment for older workers can be derived using “gross change” data from the CPS in conjunction with the regularly published CPS cross-sectional data.6 Because three-fourths of the CPS sample in 1 month are surveyed again the following month, it is possible to de termine the likelihood of individuals changing labor force status by matching the responses of individuals in this brief longitudinal panel. Any individual can be in 1 of 3 labor force categories in the current m onth— employed, unemployed, or not in the labor force— and in any of the same three categories in the previous month. Thus, there are nine possible combinations of labor force status for 2 consecutive months where in each month the individual is either employed (E), un employed (U), or not in the labor force (N): EE UE NE EU UU NU EN UN NN The probability of any particular labor force transition is the number of people who made any given change di vided by the number of persons in the original state. 5 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Labor Market Problems o f Older Workers For example, the probability of an unemployed person remaining unemployed is U U /U (t-l), where t is the cur rent month. An estimate of the expected duration of a completed spell of unemployment can be obtained from these la bor force “flows” data.7 The probability of leaving, or escaping unemployment is the sum of the probabilities of going from unemployment to employment and from unemployment to not in the labor force: probability of escape (p E S C )= U E + U N /U (t-l) where E and N occur in month t and U occurs in month t-1. Expected dura tion (E(D)) is equal to 1/pESC.8 To use this equation to estimate the duration of com pleted spells of unemployment, it is necessary to assume that unemployed persons, regardless of their current length of joblessness, have the same probability of es cape from unemployment— that is, the probability of escape is independent of duration.9 The estimates computed from the above formula are based on monthly escape probabilities. A calculation of the number of weeks of a completed spell would be E(D) = —¡ ^ X 4.3 where 4.3 is the number of weeks in the average month. Table 4 provides the probabilities UE, UN, and UU for men and women age 25 to 44 and 60 and over based on annual averages from 1968 to 1981, along with expected duration of a completed spell of unemployment. While the age breaks used through out most of the rest of this analysis would be more de sirable (25 to 54, 55 to 64, and 65 and over), the gross flows tabulations are not available for those age categories. The 45 to 59 age group, available in the gross change data, was left out of this analysis because it spans parts of both the older age and middle-age comparison groups used in other analysis. For the two groups of men, the estimated duration of completed spells of unemployment are quite close. In fact, that for the group age 60 and over, on average, falls below that for the comparison group by about a week. When the pUU columns are examined (pUU = 1 —pESC), the cause of this result is clear; the probabili ties of remaining unemployed are quite close for both age groups throughout the business cycle. However, while the probabilities of escape are similar for the two groups, the method of escape is quite differ ent. Over the entire period, the probability of an older man leaving unemployment by withdrawing from the labor force is three times that of a younger man. Con versely, the probability of ending a period of unemploy ment by finding employment is far higher for the younger group. For women, the probability of escape, as for men, is similar for the two age groups. Successful job search. Because the probabilities of escape by the two different methods, UE and UN, are so differ ent for the younger and older groups, the completed 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Probabilities of an unemployed person being employed (E), not in the labor force (N), and unemployed (U) in the following month, and the expected duration of a completed spell of unemployment, by sex and selected age groups, 1968-81 annual averages Men, 25 to 44 years Year 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Probabilities of labor force movements pUE pUN pUU Total1 .. .327 .089 .584 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... .519 .497 .393 .351 .361 .369 .340 .284 .283 .312 .343 .335 .294 .277 .096 .105 .074 .084 .096 .111 .088 .075 .085 .087 .097 .102 .084 .092 .385 .398 .533 .566 .543 .520 .572 .642 .631 .602 .559 .563 .622 .631 Men, 60 years and over Expected duration of a completed spell (in weeks) Expected duration of a completed spell (in weeks) pUE pUN pUU 10.3 .194 .275 .531 9.2 7.0 7.1 9.2 9.9 9.4 9.0 10.0 12.0 11.7 10.8 9.8 9.8 11.4 11.7 .289 .296 .229 .208 .196 .195 .177 .147 .172 .143 .209 .175 .206 .188 .333 .357 .215 .260 .279 .323 .255 .221 .267 .281 .327 .280 .258 .266 .377 .347 .556 .532 .525 .481 .567 .632 .561 .576 .464 .545 .535 .552 6.9 6.6 9.7 9.2 9.1 8.3 9.9 11.7 9.8 10.1 8.0 9.5 9.2 9.6 Women, 25 to 44 years 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Probabilities of labor force movements Women 60 years and over Total’ .. .253 .306 .441 7.7 .193 .325 .483 8.3 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... .356 .330 .274 .241 .260 .280 .298 .206 .210 .245 .270 .274 .248 .217 .422 .412 .340 .333 .336 .350 .370 .271 .286 .293 .295 .289 .273 .254 .222 .257 .386 .426 .404 .270 .332 .522 .505 .462 .435 .437 .479 .529 5.5 5.8 7.0 7.5 7.2 5.9 6.4 9.0 8.7 8.0 7.6 7.6 8.3 9.1 .274 .296 .211 .188 .172 .246 .222 .153 .142 .165 .177 .172 .202 .171 .452 .463 .296 .341 .299 .377 .284 .285 .307 .322 .313 .345 .310 .314 .274 .241 .493 .470 .529 .377 .494 .562 .551 .512 .510 .483 .488 .514 5.9 6.5 8.5 8.1 9.1 6.9 8.5 9.8 9.6 8.8 8.8 8.3 8.4 8.8 1The total Is calculated by dividing the sum of all persons with a particular pair of labor force conditions (ue, for example) using annual averages for the 14 years, by the total num1981 ber of unemployed persons (annual averages) for those years: pUE (total) = 2 1981 2 1968 1968 U,t u EJ ' W IL u where t is the current month and t-1 the previous month. V '____________________________________________________________________________________________ spell of unemployment measure may cnoceal real differ ences in job market success. It is necessary, then, to create a measure which reflects these differences. It is the labor force flow, UE, which is undoubtedly a better measure of labor market success than the escape rate. However, one must be careful in assuming that UN implies a failed job search. Some persons may sim ply have changed personal circumstances, such as poor health or home responsibilities, which represent volun tary labor force withdrawal. Nevertheless, there is a strong argument that market-related movements from U to N are probably a large portion of the total UN’s .10 Because thepurpose of job search is to obtain employ ment, it is useful to calculate an expected duration of unemployment, for what Bowers refers to as the “per sistent jobseeker.” These individuals continue their job search until they obtain employment. This is obtained by removing UN from the denominator and numerator of the completed spell calculation. Thus, using Bowers’ procedure, the expected duration of a completed spell of unemployment for the persistent jobseeker is calculated as follows." Table 6. Median weeks of unemployment for all persons with unemployment experience, selected calendar years, by sex and selected age groups Characteristic 1973 1975 1978 1981 8.9 11.3 14.9 14.2 17.1 19.1 11.6 13.7 18.3 13.7 13.6 16.2 6.9 10.8 8.6 11.3 16.6 19.1 9.1 11.7 14.3 11.3 11.2 13.3 Men E(D) = pUE + pUU x 4 3 pUE 25 to 5 4 ...................................... 55 to 6 4 ...................................... 65 and over ............................... where E(D) is the estimated duration in weeks, pUE and pUU are the probabilities of an unemployed person in period t-1 either having a job in period t or remain ing unemployed, respectively, and 4.3 is the number of weeks in the average month (since duration is typically expressed in weeks). The results, shown in table 5, reveal a very different picture than those for completed spells of unemploy ment shown in table 4. Eliminating labor force with drawal as an option for ending unemployment increases the expected duration of unemployment for men age 25 to 44 by less than 2 weeks but raises it by 7 weeks for older men. Among women, the higher probability of leaving un employment by withdrawing from the labor force than by finding employment occurs across age groups. These lower probabilities of successful job search mean that women jobseekers will have a considerably longer dura tion using the persistent method rather than the escape method of calculation. The younger group of women has 4 weeks added to their expected duration, while the older group, like the men, is 7 weeks higher. Another measure o f duration. Once each year, in March, there are a series of supplemental questions in the CPS on labor force activity during the prior calendar year. These questions elicit information on the number of weeks out of the year that individuals were either Table 5. Expected duration of a completed spell of unemployment for persistent jobseekers (those who find employment) by sex, for selected age groups, 1968-81 [In weeks] Men Year 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Women Age 25 to 44 Age 60 and over Age 25 to 44 Age 60 and over T o ta l............................................ 12.0 16.1 11.8 15.1 ........................................................ ....................................................... ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ ........................................................ 7.5 7.7 10.1 11.2 10.8 10.4 11.5 14.0 13.9 12.6 11.3 11.5 13.4 14.1 9.9 9.3 14.7 15.3 15.8 14.9 18.1 22.8 18.3 21.6 13.8 17.7 15.5 16.9 7.0 7.7 10.4 11.9 11.0 8.4 9.1 15.2 14.6 12.4 11.2 11.2 12.6 14.8 8.6 7.8 14.3 15.1 17.5 10.9 13.9 20.1 21.0 17.6 16.7 16.4 14.7 17.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Women 25 to 5 4 ...................................... 55 to 6 4 ..................................... 65 and over ............................... looking for work or on layoff and are asked of persons who worked during the year as well as of those who did not. The data can be easily used to obtain a median num ber of weeks unemployed for any demographic group.12 It should be kept in mind that this does not correspond to the length of a completed spell of unemployment, as calculated earlier, for several reasons. First, spells may begin before the start of the calendar year or end after it, thus being “in progress” during the 1-year reference period. Particularly important is the fact that the results may reflect more than one spell of unemployment for each individual. Also, the reporting of unemployment is somewhat inconsistent, particularly for women, between the monthly CPS and the March work experience sup plement.13 Table 6 shows the median weeks of unemployment during the 4 calendar years 1973, 1975, 1978, and 1981. These years were selected, because, at least in terms of aggregate unemployment, they represent relatively low (1973 and 1978) and high periods (1975 and 1981) in the recent unemployment experience. For men, the in crease in unemployment duration with age is fairly con sistent over both highs and lows in recent business cycles. The rather poor recovery for men age 65 and older by 1978 from the 1974-75 recession is consistent with other indicators of unemployment for that group.14 There is also a pattern of increased duration with age among women, although it is less consistent. Moreover, the actual differences across age groups, for women, may be somewhat less than shown, because of reporting inconsistencies discussed in footnote 13. The use of duration data obtained from the work ex perience supplement reduces the problem of labor force transitions and its limiting effect on duration, because all spells of unemployment are counted. Similarly, cal culations of the duration of a completed spell of a per sistent jobseeker, shown in table 5, provides a com parison of job-search success between the younger and older groups unhindered by labor force withdrawal. Thus, these two calculations (work experience and per sistent jobseeker), while measuring somewhat different 7 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Labor Market Problems o f Older Workers things, provide a similar characterization of the dif ferences in unemployment duration between the older worker and those in the middle years. More about the unemployed Older unemployed persons show less of a commit ment to the labor force than do their younger counter parts. For example, the CPS regularly obtains informa tion on whether the unemployed are looking for full- or part-time work. In 1981, as shown in the tabulation be low, older men and women were less likely than their younger counterparts to seek full-time jobs. Percent of unemployed persons seeking full-time work, 1981 annual average Age 25 to 54 Men . . . . Women . . 97 83 Age 55 to 64 88 79 Age 65 and over 44 45 In May 1976, CPS respondents who where unem ployed were asked to complete a supplemental question naire on their job search activity and on factors which might influence that activity.15 As expected, older per sons, particularly men, were considerably less likely than younger persons to seek permanent rather than temporary employment. Percent of unemployed seeking a permanent ___________ job, March 1976____________ Age 25 to 54 Men . . . . Women . . Age 55 to 64 Age 65 and over 95 93 82 76 68 57 In addition, unemployed persons were asked the number of hours they had spent looking for work dur ing the 4 weeks prior to the survey.16 Average number of hours spent in job search during month prior to May 1976 CPS Men . . . . Women . . Age 25 to 54 Age 55 to 64 42 19 33 19 Age 65 and over 22 17 For men, age is a good predictor of job search inten sity. For women, the amount of time spent looking for work is apparently unrelated to age and consistently lower than that for men. Worker discouragement While the unemployment rate is the most visible mea sure of labor market difficulties, other measures, such as labor market discouragement, also provide valuable in 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis formation.17 (Discouraged workers are those who report that they want a job but are not looking because they believe they cannot find one.) Labor market discourage ment is experienced, disproportionately, by older work ers and by racial minorities.18 For blacks, it is easily as sumed that this is simply another indication of their relatively poor standing in the job market. Older work ers are not so obviously disadvantaged, at least as evi denced by their unemployment rates. Yet, discourage ment may be a serious problem for this group and, if included in the calculations, substantially alters the rela tionship between older and younger worker unemploy m ent.19 Table 1 shows unemployment rates for different age/sex groups comparing the traditional rate for each group to a new rate which adds discouraged workers to both the numerator and the denominator of the unem ployment rate calculation.20 As shown in the tabulation below, for men age 25 to 54, discouragement as a labor force problem is relatively minor; for men 55 to 64 years old, the problem is only slightly greater. But for men age 65 and over, the annual average level of dis couraged workers is almost as large as the number of unemployed. The addition of the discouraged workers doubles the percentage for this group compared to its unemployment rate, and also raises it to levels far above those for the other two male age groups. Even in the past several years, when there was a marked improve ment in the unemployment rate of men age 65 and older relative to those age 25 to 54, the addition of discouragement yields a percentage for this oldest group that is well above that for the central age group. While labor market discouragement is more common for women of all ages, compared to men, the effect on older women of its inclusion in an “unemploymentdiscouragement rate” calculation is similar to that for older men. For women age 25 to 54 and 55 to 64, discouragement adds 1.2 and 1.5 points to their respec tive unemployment rates. But for women age 65 and over, on average, it adds 4.7 points, considerably more than the contribution of unemployment itself. The following tabulation shows the percentage-point increases in unemployment rates of persons age 25 and over by including discouraged workers (average of 1968— 81 period): Men . . . . Women . . Age 25 to 54 Age 55 to 64 0.2 1.2 0.5 1.5 Age 65 and over 3.2 4.7 While the effect of adding discouraged workers to the unemployed count is dramatic, these results are not nec essarily easy to interpret. As mentioned earlier, older worker unemployment, when compared to their popula tion (rather than labor force, as in the normal unem- ployment rate calculation) is hardly significant. Only when their unemployment is compared to the labor force levels does joblessness appear to be nearly as seri ous a problem as it is for other age groups. The use of data on discouragement presents a similar problem of interpretation. The addition of their num bers dramatically alters the relative job market standing between the oldest labor force groups and younger groups. Yet the older age groups have a huge source of potential discouraged workers that other groups do not — those who are outside the labor force. For the popu lation age 65 and over, this group accounts for about 7 of every 8 people. Thus, even if only a very small por tion of those outside the labor force are identified through the survey as discouraged, the effect on the rel atively small group in the labor force still becomes quite large. This is, of course, what happens in the calcula tions. Only about 0.5 percent of all persons age 65 and older who are outside the labor force are counted as discouraged. When added in, it is enough to more than double their “unemployment rate”; a very small group in absolute terms is able to dramatically alter a measure of labor market conditions. For purposes of this article, it may be helpful to look at certain responses of older discouraged workers in the CPS — particularly their answer to three questions: 1. What are the reasons . . . is not looking for work? Persons identified as outside the labor force but wanting a job are asked why they have not been looking for work. Many cite such factors as family responsibilities, poor health, or school attendance, thus indicating that their personal situation makes them unavailable for work. To be classified as a discouraged worker, the in dividual must be reported as wanting a job and not looking for work for one or more of the following five reasons, but no others:21 a. Believes no work is available in line of work or area b. Couldn’t find any work c. Lacks necessary schooling, training, skills, or experience d. Employers think too old or too young e. Other personal handicap in finding a job The first two categories are listed in Bureau publica tions as “job market factors;” the latter three are “per sonal factors.” The “job market” categories more clearly indicate some failure of the job market itself to absorb people who want to work than do the “person al” categories. As expected, personal reasons (particu larly the “too old” reason) dominate the 65 and over age group, accounting for 56 percent of its discourage ment in 1981. In contrast, 25 to 54 year old discour aged workers cited personal reasons less than one-fifth of the time. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2. Does . . . intend to look for work of any kind dur ing the next 12 months? Discouraged workers, in general, say they want jobs “now” but are not looking because they think they can’t find any. Apparently, many older discouraged workers have no plans to verify their assessment of the availability of jobs. (It should be kept in mind that an individual need not take part in an active job search to acquire at least some information on the job market. Information on local layoffs or plant closings, job search by acquaintances, or local unemployment statis tics might all be used to assess the likelihood of a suc cessful job search, particularly in a relatively small job market.) In fact, in 1981, only about half of discouraged workers age 65 years and older indicated plans to look for work during the subsequent 12-month period. This compares to two-thirds of 55 to 64 year olds and 6 out of 7 of 25 to 54 year olds. 3. When did . . . last work for pay at a regular job or business, either full or part time? Many older discouraged workers have no recent work history. In fact, in 1981, among those age 65 and over, only about 1 in 5 had worked within the previous year, while the remaining four-fifths was about split between those who had last worked 1 to 5 years ago and those whose last job was at least 5 years prior to the survey. The younger groups, of course, tend to have more re cent work experience. However, even among men age 25 to 54, almost half of the discouraged workers in 1981 had not worked in the previous year. Combining the results of the job search intention and time of last job questions shows that 30 percent of all discouraged workers age 65 and over had neither worked in at least 5 years nor had any intentions of looking for work in the near future. From these CPS questions, it is clear that the group of discouraged workers 65 and over show a quite different degree of labor force attachment than do their younger counterparts. They are less likely to cite the more defin itive “job market” factors as their reason for not looking for work, they are far less likely to have had re cent work experience, and often have no plans to look for work in the near future. This may reflect the more marginal labor force attachment of a group of workers who may have alternative sources of income. But it may also reflect, to some undetermined extent, a realistic perception of the lack of acceptable job opportunities for persons age 65 and older who want to work. Interpretation of findings Do these results demonstrate a lack of interest, or job market commitment among older persons? What do the relatively low measures of job search and interest for older unemployed and discouraged workers mean? How M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Labor Market Problems o f Older Workers are their very high levels of labor force withdrawal from unemployment to be interpreted? The initial response may be that these results should be expected from a group of persons whose retirement alternatives often limit the amount and extent of job search. But a far different interpretation could be that much of this measured job market “indifference” is the result of a labor market which is unresponsive to the needs and preferences of the older worker. What happens when older workers seek work? Ac cording to the UE probabilities shown in table 4, they are far less likely to find a job than are their younger counterparts. And when they do find jobs, they gen erally suffer a serious decline in wages compared to previous employment. Herbert S. Parnes examined lon gitudinal data from a sample of men who were 45 to 59 years old in 1966 and had been displaced between 1966 and 1975 from a job they had held at least 5 years.22 The results show a dramatic decline in both occupation al status and earnings, compared with a matched group who had not lost their jobs. Results of a survey of over 800 retirees of three large corporations showed that the wages of those who subsequently got jobs were so low that they “provide a vivid corroboration of the assertion of a large number of respondents who said that among the reasons they did not work after retirement was that it did not pay to work.”23 Fringe benefits for these workers were practically nonexistent. Do older jobseekers hold out for a “better” job than do younger persons? The May 1976 job search supple ment asked unemployed persons their lowest acceptable wage. While the results should be viewed with caution, the average “reservation wage” of older workers was no higher than the 25-to-54-year-old group.24 In fact, older workers generally take jobs in relatively low-paying trade and service industries.25 A poor job market certainly may lead to labor force withdrawal (although most labor force withdrawal among the elderly is voluntary). However, for those outside the labor force, the desire to work is often diffi cult to measure. The CPS elicits a very low level of labor market interest among the retired elderly compared to other surveys. Part of this difference may stem from re sponses to the seemingly simple question, “Do you want a job?,” which can be interpreted in different ways and thus yield far different results.26 “ No, I don’t want a jo b ,” as reported in the CPS, m ay m ean (for som e) th at th e jo b s perceived to be availab le d o n o t m eet the in d iv id u a l’s requirem ents, n o t th at the in d ivid u al w ou ld n o t take “accep ta b le w o rk .” As previously stated, most older retirees do not want to work or cannot work for health reasons. But it is not unreasonable to assume that a significant number of po tential workers are “hidden” from the labor market sta tistics because of their not in labor force status. Evidence of this potential labor supply comes from the survey of retired persons from three large corporations cited earlier. Of those retirees who were outside the la bor force, 27 percent cited as their main reason for not looking for work that “it doesn’t pay” (which may re flect both the low anticipated wages and poor fringe benefits from employment as well as the social security earnings limitation). Additionally, 9 percent said there were “no opportunities,” 4 percent cited age discrimina tion, and 2 percent cited an unsuccessful job search. These responses came from a group with better than av erage retirement income— work is most important to retirement and near-retirement age people with low in comes or low expected pension income.27 As Harold Sheppard and Sarah Rix point out in The Graying o f Working America, many persons choose re tirement “not because they want literally to retire, but more because of their strong reluctance to stay in the same dissatisfying job. The difficulties the older workers may have in finding more satisfying kinds of employ ment may mean that early retirement is the only alter native.”28 The same, of course, can be said for retirement that is not, technically speaking, early. Re search reports and congressional hearings point out the need for alternative work arrangements for many older persons in order to eliminate the full-time w ork/total retirement choice faced by many.29 Moreover, the pauci ty of job sharing and part time, phased retirement, or other types of flexible work options serves to lessen job search or to cause some to leave the labor force. The re sult, quite probably, is that the most commonly used measures of labor market success, particularly the un employment rate, understate the difficulties that older workers face in the job market. The limited oppor tunities for older workers are not inconsistent with low unemployment rates— to some extent they are their cause. □ FOOTNOTES ACKNOWLEGEMENT: The author would like to express his appre 65 and over for the older groups and age 25 to 54 for the comparison ciation to Stella Cromartie for her assistance in the preparation of sev group of other adult workers. The gross flows data that were used to eral of the tables, and to Norman Bowers, for his work with the May estimate completed spells of unemployment presented the largest 1976 CPS data tape. problem. Data for different age/sex groups by duration of unemploy 1 Ideally, the analysis presented in this article would have used a ment were needed to calculate the completed spells of unemployment consistent definition of “older workers.” However, data are not al and the probabilities of leaving unemployment used extensively in the ways available with the preferred age aggregations— age 55 to 64 and article. The only available data are for persons ages 25 to 44, 45 to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59, and 60 and over. The decision was made to exclude the middle group from any analysis since they extend into both the 25 to 54 and 55 and older age groups. Thus, the age 60 and over group was used to represent the older workers, with the 25 to 44 year olds used as the comparison group. The preferred age groups were used for all other analysis. 2Unless otherwise noted, data presented in this article are from the Current Population Survey (CPS), a monthly nationwide survey of about 60,000 households conducted by the Bureau of the Census. A description of the survey methodology can be found in the explanato ry notes in any issue of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s (U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics). 3All data presented in this article which refer to averages for the 14-year period, 1968 to 1981, are weighted averages, calculated by summing the numerators for the 14 years and dividing the result by the sum of the denominators. In the unemployment rate calculation, this tends to assign a greater weight to years with high unemployment levels and to more recent years, as labor force levels (the denomina tor) continue to rise. 4 Philip L. Rones, “Older men — the choice between work and re tirement,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1978, pp. 3-10. 5Stephen W. Salant, “Search Theory and Duration Data: A Theory of Sorts,” Q u a r te r ly J o u r n a l o f E co n o m ic s, February 1977, pp. 39-57. 6 Norman Bowers, “Probing the issues of unemployment duration,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , July 1980, pp. 23-32. There are generally acknowledged to be three types of errors in the gross change data: sampling variability, misclassification of labor force status, and rotation group bias. These are discussed extensively in: Ralph E. Smith and Jean E. Vanski, “Gross change data, the neglect ed data base,” C o u n tin g th e L a b o r F orce, Appendix II (Washington, National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statistics, 1979) pp. 132-50. These biases are summarized in Bowers, “Probing the issues.” 7While the gross change tabulations provide the numbers of people moving from U to E and U to N by duration, they do not provide ei ther the U to U flows or a total distribution of persons by duration. However, the basic monthly CPS does have a distribution of unem ployed persons, by age and sex and duration. The distributions were calculated as follows (using 1981 annual averages for men age 25 to 44): Weeks of unemployment Total 5 5-6 7-10 11-14 15-26 27 + STEP 1 Unemployed (Basic CPS tabulat ions) ................ 1,765 601 140 237 STEP 2 Percent distribution (From Step 1) ........... 100.0 34.1 7.9 13.5 STEP 3 Unemployed . . . 1,685 575 133 227 (Gross change tabulations) Dis tributions applied to 1,685 to calcu late duration cate gories 159 274 355 9.0 152 15.5 261 20.1 339 Note: The total unemployed from the gross change data, 1,685,000, differs from the total unemployed from the basic CPS. This is the re sult of the biases discussed in footnote 6, primarily rotation group bias (which, interestingly, is almost nonexistent in the older age group). In order that all data will be comparable to the UE and UN data available from the gross flows tabulations, the distribution in step 3 is necessary. From the results in Step 3, UU can be calculated by subtracting UE + U N from the total U (gross change) shown in step 3. 8 Bowers, “Probing the issues.” ’ The assumption of a constant probability of leaving unemploy ment as duration increases has its basis in job search theory. Table 4 shows the likelihood of jobless persons in different sex /age groups https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis leaving unemployment, either by finding a job or by leaving the labor f<?rce. While these data represent the “average” unemployed person, disaggregation of the data by duration of unemployment shows a dif ferent dimension of labor force transitions. As shown in the table below, the probability of leaving unemploy ment declines steadily as duration of unemployment increases, while the probability of finding a job falls. Although this phenomenon is characteristic of all labor force groups, older workers appear to suffer somewhat more from declining probabilities of finding employment. For example, older men who have experienced 6 months or more of unemployment are only 30 percent as likely to find a job between monthly surveys (.091/.295) as are those unemployed less than 5 weeks. For men ages 25 to 44, the same comparison is about 40 per cent (.174/.444). Probability of leaving unemployment,1 by duration of current spell of unemployment, for selected age groups, by sex, 1968 to 1981.2 Sex and age groups Men Age 25 Age 60 Women Age 25 Age 60 to 44 . . . and over . <5 .531 .591 Weeks of unemployment 5-6 7-10 11-14 15-26 27 + .418 .460 .286 .387 .381 .479 .368 .385 .343 .396 to 44 . . . and over . .665 .543 .461 .523 .405 .400 .651 .567 .500 .383 .394 .387 ‘The probability of leaving unemployment is, as defined in the text, pESC (escape) = UE + U N /U (t—1) where E and N represent em ployment and not in the labor force status in month t and U repre sent unemployment status in month t — 1. 2See footnote 3. These data do not necessarily imply, however, that increasing duration itself results in a decreasing probability of finding employ ment. Most theories of job search assume that a person looking for work will maintain (or, perhaps, lower) his acceptance wage as his pe riod of job search lengthens. His individual probability of finding a job, thus, is assumed to be constant (or to increase) with increased duration. This theory appears to conflict with the declining probabili ties of employment shown in table 6. But, as explained below, they can be consistent. Another assumption of job search theory generally is that the un employed are a heterogeneous group, each person possessing a differ ent set of skills, education, reservation wage, alternative income sources, and so forth. This heterogeneity means that an individual may have a constant escape rate over time but that different individu als will have different escape rates. As a group continues in unem ployment, those with high escape rates will tend to leave more quickly, eventually leaving a group comprised primarily of persons with low escape rates. Thus, the aggregate escape rates decline as the persons with high escape rates “sort” themselves out. There may also be some causal relationship between increased duration and declining escape rates, although the evidence is limited at this time. See, for ex ample, A. McGregor, “Unemployment Duration and Re-employment Probability,” T h e E c o n o m ic J o u rn a l, December 1978, pp. 693-705; and John M. Barrow and Wesley Mellow, “Changes in the Labor Force Status Among the Unemployed,” J o u r n a l o f H u m a n R eso u rces, Summer 1981, pp. 427-41. 10A strong argument linking labor force withdrawal to job market factors can be found in Kim B. Clark and Lawrence H. Summers, “Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment: A Reconstruction,” B ro o k in g s P a p e r s on E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity (Washington, The Brookings Institution, no. 1:1979), p. 25. 11This technique was used in Bowers, “Probing the issues,” p. 26. 12The use of a median in this analysis avoids the problem of a mean, or average, duration in that no decision needs to be made in selecting midpoints for broad aggregations of weeks (such as 15 to 26 or 27 weeks and over). The median generally falls within a narrow ag gregation such as 11 to 14 weeks; an even distribution throughout that duration category is assumed in order to identify the exact medi an point. 13The work experience data, in the aggregate, tend to underreport 11 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Labor Market Problems o f Older Workers unemployment as compared to the monthly survey. Since the monthly CPS refers to a reference week, the total number of weeks of unem ployment from the work experience data (number of persons X aver age duration) divided by 52 (weeks) should equal the average monthly estimate (or come close, after allowing for certain technical adjust ments). In fact, the work experience estimates tend to fall in the range of 75 to 85 percent of the regular CPS estimates. This underreporting is particularly severe among teenagers (in the neighborhood of 50 per cent). The differences between the surveys fall within + / — 12 per cent for all age groups of men over age 20 and, thus, would have little impact on the analysis of the male work experience data presented in this article. For women, however, those in the 25 to 54 year age group show about a 20-percent undercount as compared to the monthly data, while those over age 55 have a slight overcount. Thus, the work experience results shown in this article may tend to overesti mate the actual duration of unemployment differences between youn ger and older women. For an indepth discussion of the nature and causes of the monthly CPS/work experience supplement reporting differences, see Wayne Vroman, “Measuring Annual Unemployment,” (Washington, The Ur ban Institute, February 1979), Working Paper 1280-01. 14 See Marc Rosenblum, “Recessions Continuing Victim: The Older Worker” (U.S. Senate, Special Committee on Aging, 1976). 15 A total of 4,668 persons in the May 1976 CPS sample were un employed. If the unemployed individual was at home during the inter view, the job search supplemental questions were asked on the spot. If the person was not at home or if the interview was conducted by telephone, the request was made that the questionnaire be completed by the unemployed person and sent to the Census Bureau. Due to the voluntary nature of the survey, 31 percent of the unemployed did not /;respond. Thus, the data used in the analysis in this article are based on 3,238 responses (potentially somewhat less, because respondents may not have provided answers to every question). The data present ed for the percent of persons seeking permanent jobs and for the number of hours of job search were based on unweighted responses. The data for the percent of unemployed seeking full-time work come from the full, weighted CPS sample for May 1976. Similar responses from the 3,238 job search respondents are also available. A compari son of the results shows the following: P e r c e n t o f u n e m p lo y e d p e rs o n s s e e k in g f u l l- tim e jo b s , M a y 1 9 7 6 Age 2 5 to 5 4 A ge 5 5 to 6 4 65 a n d over Unweighted job search sample M a le ............. Female . . . . 98 83 91 82 58 45 Weighted entire CPS sample M a le ............. Female . . . . 98 82 92 76 60 57 Age While the high nonresponse rates suggest that the data should be used with caution, age-specific differences in the variables are proba bly sufficiently large to reflect actual differences between age groups in those variables in the entire sample. See Carl Rosenfeld, “Job search of the unemployed, May 1976,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1977, pp. 39-42. 16These results may be somewhat biased against those groups with a higher proportion of persons who had been unemployed less than 4 weeks. According to the May 1976 special CPS supplement, persons in the 25 to 54 and 65 and over groups were more likely to report less than five weeks of unemployment (the lowest dissaggregation avail able) than were those age 55 to 64. 17The monthly BLS press release, entitled T h e E m p lo y m e n t S itu a provides an unemployment rate calculation based on seven dif tion , 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ferent definitions of unemployment and the labor force. These data are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Division of Employ ment and Unemployment Analysis, Washington 20212. 18 See Paul O. Flaim, “Discouraged workers and changes in unem ployment,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , March 1973, pp. 8-16, and Barbara Cottman Job, “How likely are individuals to enter the labor force?,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , September 1979, pp. 28-34. qThe most thorough assessment of the use of the discouraged worker concept can be found in T. Aldrich Finegan, “The Measure ment, Behavior, and Classification of Discouraged Workers,” C o u n t in g th e L a b o r F orce, Appendix, Vol. 1 (Washington, The National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statistics), pp. 194— 234. “ Those who follow the alternative measures of unemployment published by the BLS will note that the measure which includes dis couraged workers (U-7) also includes those who are working part time but who want full-time jobs (part time for economic reasons). The calculation actually includes only half their numbers among the unemployed, the explanation being that these people tend to work about half of a full-time workweek, on average. Among men, adding one-half of this group affects the oldest age group’s unemployment rate more than the other two groups, adding 1.8 points to the rate for those 65 and older and 1.0 and 1.2 points to the 25 to 54 and 55 to 64 age groups, respectively. Among women, the effect across age groups is virtually identical, adding almost 2 points to each rate. 21 There is a procedure in the coding of CPS responses that could underestimate the number of discouraged workers. All reasons for not looking for work are recorded by the CPS enumerator. If a “discour aged response” is accompanied by some other response, such as ill health, on vacation, or home responsibilities, then the person is n o t classified as discouraged because he or she is not considered to be available for work during the survey week. 22 Herbert S. Parnes, Mary G. Gagen, and Randall H. King, “Job Loss Among Long Service Workers,” in Herbert S. Parnes, ed., W o rk a n d R e tir e m e n t: A L o n g itu d in a l S u r v e y o f M e n (Cambridge, Mass., MIT Press, 1981), pp. 65-92. 22 Dean W. Morse, Anna B. Dutka, Susan H. Gray, “Retirement Experience of Non-Supervisory Personnel: A Study of Three Large Corporations,” draft final report (New York, Columbia University, Conservation of Human Resources, 1981). 4The reservation wage data suffer not only from the nonresponse problem associated with the entire survey, reported in footnote 15, but also from some nonreporting even among survey respondents. The small number of older unemployed women reporting their reser vation wages make conclusions for that group difficult. 25 Samuel E. Doctors, Yitzchak M. Shkop, Karen C. Denning and Veta T. Doctors, “Older Worker Employment Services,” A g in g a n d W o rk , Fall 1980, pp. 229-37. This study is limited by a small survey, which is not necessarily representative of older jobseekers as a whole. However, the researchers did find a very high retention rate among older jobtakers, which they feel supports the theory of a strong com mitment to work, an issue raised extensively in this article. 26 Philip L. Rones, “The retirement decision: a question of opportu nity?,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , November 1980, pp. 14-17. 27 See Louis Harris and Associates, T h e M y th a n d R e a l ity o f A g in g in A m e r ic a (Washington, The National Council on the Aging, Inc., 1976), p. 89; Stephen R. McConnell, Dorothy Fleisher, Carolyn E. Usher, and Barbara Hade Kaplan, A lte r n a tiv e W o rk O p tio n s f o r O ld e r W o rk ers: A F e a s ib ility S tu d y (Los Angeles, University of Southern California, Ethel Percy Andrus Gerontology Center, 1980), and Louis Harris and Associates, A g in g in th e E ig h tie s: A m e r ic a in T ra n sitio n (Washington, The National Council on the Aging, Inc., 1981), pp. 51-52. 28 Harold L. Sheppard and Sarah E. Rix, T h e G ra y in g o f W o rk in g (New York, The Free Press, 1977), p. 6. 24 See McConnell and others, “Alternative Work Options”; and “Work After 65: Options for the 1980’s” (U.S. Senate, Hearings be fore the Special Committee on Aging, May 13, 1980), Pt. 2. A m e r ic a The aging of the U.S. population: human resource implications In the upcoming decades, ‘older workers' will be competing against the largest cohort of middle-aged workers in our country's history; in the absence of other options, the elderly may feel increased pressure to retire or work part time M alcolm H. M o r r is o n If present demographic trends persist, the proportion of older persons in the United States is expected to in crease significantly, particularly after the turn of the century. At present, there is lively debate concerning the labor force implications of such an “older” popula tion. Some analysts have suggested that the projected decline in persons age 16 to 24 in the population will lead to increased demand for, and retention of, older workers. Others have cautioned that, despite demo graphic changes, factors such as persistent high unem ployment among “prime age” workers, increased legal and illegal immigration, sustained growth in women’s labor force participation, changing technology, and con tinuation of recent trends toward early retirement will mitigate against a major shift in the age structure of the work force until well into the next century. Because so many considerations influence the choice which older persons make between work and retirement — such as availability of retirement benefits, health sta tus, job opportunities, training, and education, and per sonal preferences— it is difficult to draw reasonable Malcolm H. Morrison is director, National Studies of Mandatory Retirement, U.S. Department of Labor. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policy of the Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis conclusions about the future age composition of the la bor force. This problem becomes more complicated be cause economic conditions, which directly affect aggre gate demand for labor, cannot be predicted with certainty. Nevertheless, it is essential to consider available de mographic and labor force data and projections in the development of human resource policies for the future, because the “aging” of the pool of workers could have profound societal and economic implications. For exam ple, an older labor force will pose a series of challenges to human resource managers, who may be required to tailor new and more flexible personnel policies and em ployee benefit plans to the needs of older workers. And, the probable effects of demographic changes have added significance for future retirement policies, for the overall costs of social security and private pensions depend crit ically upon the length of the retirement period or, con versely, on the mean duration of employment. This article focuses on demographic and labor force trends and their implications for the future employment of older workers. It includes a review of data and pro jections for the population and labor force; a discussion of likely industrial and occupational shifts; and an in ventory of the characteristics of older workers. It seems proper at this point to caution the reader again that the 13 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Aging o f the U.S. Population accuracy of any forecast is questionable, and that long er-term projections, such as those presented below, are more unreliable than those made for the short term. Thus, while the following discussion deals with a num ber of likeily future scenarios, it by no means exhausts the list of possible outcomes. Table 1. Projected demographic trends for 1982, 2000, 2010, and 2030, by age Demographic trends 1982 2000 2010 2030 231,964 (100.0) 266,496 (100.0) 281,732 (100.0) 307,340 (100.0) 29,804 (12.8) 39,416 (16.9) 51,570 (22.2) 48,334 (20.8) 22,141 (9.5) 15,756 (6.7) 10,435 (4.4) 24,882 (9.3) 35,783 (13.4) 79,177 (29.7) 56,270 (21.1) 23,824 (8.9) 17,283 (6.4) 15,162 (5.6) 28,629 (10.1) 37,605 (13.3) 77,160 (27.3) 69,184 (24.5) 33,760 (11.9) 19,586 (6.9) 15,837 (5.6) 28,771 (9.3) 38,715 (12.5) 77,651 (25.2) 88,100 (28.6) 32,236 (10.4) 31,561 (10.2) 24,302 (7.9) 30.7 35.5 36.6 38.0 M en...................................... Women ............................... '69.8 177.7 72.9 81.1 73.4 81.6 74.2 82.6 M e n ..................................... Women ............................... 114.3 118.7 15.8 21.1 16.1 21.6 16.7 22.4 Number of persons (in thousands and as percent of total) ............................... Age: Population changes The Bureau of the Census has estimated the 1982 U.S. population at 232 million, with a median age of nearly 31 years (compared with 29 in 1976). More than 1 of 5 persons (48 million) were age 55 or over, and of these individuals, 26 million were age 65 or older. (See tables 1 and 2.) Women accounted for 60 percent of the age 65-or-older population. Over the next 30 years, the population age 55 and over is expected to increase to nearly 70 million, repre senting about 1 in 4 persons; 35 million people— 60 percent of them women— will be at least 65 years old. The median population age will have increased to al most 37 from the present age 31. Finally, life expectan cy at birth and at age 65 will continue to increase significantly over the next three decades. Whereas to day, male life expectancy at birth is about 70 years and at age 65, 14 years, men born in the year 2010 can ex pect to live 73 years and 16 years more if they reach age 65. Similar increases will occur for women, and in 2010 their life expectancy at birth will be nearly 82 years and they can expect to live almost 22 additional years beyond age 65. However, this “gradual” aging of the population will be completely overshadowed by the year 2030 when nearly 30 percent of the population will be age 55 and over and 55 million people will be age 65 or over (18 percent of the total population), with 40 percent of these persons being age 75 or over. By this time, the median age will be 38 and people will have an even longer life expectancy at birth and at age 65. Due to the decrease in the ratio of the working to the nonworking population (from 5.1 in 1980 to 3.0 in 2030) and the decline in the number of workers per So cial Security beneficiary (from 3.7 in 1981 to 2.2 in 2030), major adjustments in retirement income support programs will be necessary. Because of current fiscal problems of Social Security, possible alternative ap proaches to this long-term problem are a-ready being discussed. The large increase of older persons in the population after the turn of the century will clearly re quire longer labor force participation at older ages if re tirement benefits similar to those of today are to be maintained. Clearly, between now and the year 2000, the most striking trend is the decline in the number and propor tion of the population age 18 to 34 who represent a substantial portion of the current labor force. The gen 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 to 24 ye a rs................................. 25 to 34 ye a rs................................. 35 to 54 ye a rs................................. 55 years and o v e r .......................... 55 to 64 ye a rs................................. 65 to 74 y e a rs................................. 75 years and o v e r ........................... Median age (in years) ............................. Life expectancy (In years) At birth: At age 65: 1Data are for 1980. S ources : Bureau of the Census, “ True Level Population Projections" (1977) and Social Security Administration, S o d a ! S e c u r ity A r e a P o p u la tio n P ro je c tio n s, 1981. eral magnitude of this change is indicated in table 1 where it can be seen that between 1982 and 2000 there will be a decline of approximately 6 percent of persons age 18 to 34 resulting in approximately 8.4 million few er persons in this age range in 2000. However, while this is occurring, prime-aged persons (35 to 54 years) will increase their share of the population by 7 percent, and other group’s proportions in the population will re main fairly stable. The major decrease in the younger population age groups has resulted in speculation that there will be shortages of entry-level and other types of skilled workers in the next 20 years. A closer examina tion of the data demonstrates the age groups where these “shortages” will arise. Table 2 indicates that about three-fifths of the decline will occur because of re duced numbers of 18- to 25-year-olds in the population and that most of the remaining decline will be in the 26 to 29 year age group. (Persons age 30 to 39 will actually increase in the population by 2000.) The bulk of the population decline is therefore concentrated in the 18 to 29 age range be tween now and the year 2000. (There will also be a significant decline in 16- and 17-year-olds and most younger age groups through 2000 due to a continuation of below replacement level fertility rates, which are as sumed to approximate replacement fertility prior to 2000.) Thus, it can be assumed that the shortage of younger persons will be of somewhat more significance in terms of entry-level employment (persons 18 to 25 years old) than for journeyman type skilled jobs more often occupied by persons age 26 to 35. Of course, the magnitude of such “shortages” depends upon the over all demand for labor, and more specifically, on labor force participation by various age groups. It should be noted that there will be fewer persons age 18 to 34 in the population in the year 2000 than at present but that this pattern is reversed for persons age 35 to 54, who will experience a 7-percent increase in the population by that time. In addition, beyond the turn of the century, there will be fewer persons age 18 to 39 and substantially more age 55 and over. This indicates that in the short run, the decline in the portion of youn ger persons may be partially offset by the growth of the “middle-aged” but that continuous population aging will result in a major reduction in the proportion of younger persons, a commensurate increase of older per sons, and a stabilization of middle-aged individuals after the turn of the century. Therefore, from a demographic perspective, over the next 18 years there will be a definite decline of younger persons age 18 to 29 of about 8 million and a major increase in the popu lation age 35 to 54 of about 28 million. After the turn of the century, the important change will be the large increase in the number and proportion of older persons with a relative stabilization of younger and middle-aged groups. Labor force changes In 1982, the total U.S. labor force is estimated at 110 million— 62 million men (56 percent) and 44 million women (44 percent). At present, persons age 18 to 24 represent 20 percent of the total labor force, those age 25 to 34 are 28 percent and individuals age 55 and over Table 2. Projected demographic trends for 1982, 2000, 2010, and 2030, selected age groups Demographic trends Number of persons (In thousands and as percent of to ta l)................................. 1982 2000 2010 2030 231,964 (100.0) 266,496 (100.0) 281,732 (100.0) 307,340 (100.0) 16,895 (7.2) 17,228 (7.4) 16,373 (7.0) 18,723 (8.0) 15,957 (6.8) 71,139 (30.0) 134,632 (58.0) 26,192 (11.2) 14,943 (5.6) 13,242 (4.9) 13,892 (5.2) 18,586 (6.9) 21,174 (7.9) 78,133 (29.3) 156,015 (58.5) 32,445 (12.1) 16,255 (5.7) 16,482 (5.8) 16,014 (5.6) 17,482 (6.2) 17,351 (6.1) 77,213 (27.4) 169,205 (60.0) 35,424 (12.5) 16,670 (5.4) 16,044 (5.2) 15,460 (5.0) 19,311 (6.2) 20,222 (6.2) 82,492 (26.8) 169,321 (55.0) 55,863 (18.1) Age: 18 to 21 .......................................... 22 to 25 .......................................... 26 to 29 .......................................... 30 to 34 .......................................... 35 to 39 .......................................... Oto 1 9 ............................................ 20 to 64 .......................................... 65 and over ................................... Ratio of population aged 20 to 64 to: Population 65 and over ...................... Population 0 to 19 and 65 and over .. S ource : 5.1 1.3 4.8 1.4 4.7 1.5 Bureau of the Census, "True Level Population Projections” (1977). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3.0 1.2 — 14 percent. Only 2.7 percent of the labor force or about 3 million persons are age 65 and over; three-quar ters of these workers are between the age of 65 and 74 and nearly 60 percent are aged 65 to 69. Between now and the year 2000, the composition of the labor force will be changing significantly. At that time, the labor force will be composed of about 134 million people (a 22-percent increase over 1982). Men will represent 52 percent (versus 56 percent in 1982) and women 48 percent (versus 44 percent in 1982). There will be a significant decrease in the proportion of the labor force composed of younger persons. Those age 18 to 24 will represent only 15 percent of the labor force, (a 5-percent decrease), persons age 25 to 34 will account for 22 percent (a 6-percent decrease). However, while the proportion of younger persons in the labor force is declining, middle-aged workers be tween 35 and 54 years will increase significantly, both in number and proportion.1 Specifically, persons in this age group, who now represent 35 percent of the work force (39 million persons), will be 49 percent of the la bor force by the year 2000 (64 million persons). This 14-percent increase in potential middle-aged workers can be contrasted with the 11-percent decline in work ers age 18 to 34. While these changes are occurring for the young and the middle-aged, there will be a 2-percent decline in la bor force participation for persons age 55 and over in cluding reductions in persons age 55 to 65, 65 to 74, and 75 and over. Projections indicate that only 11 per cent of the labor force will be age 55 and over and only 2 percent will be age 65 and over in 2000. Although the proportional population decrease for younger men and women age 18 to 34 between 1982 and 2000 will be similar (about 12.5 percent), this will not hold for labor force composition where women will gain 7 percent, while men will decline 13 percent.2 To some extent, this change reflects a continuing growth in women’s entry into the labor force and, interestingly, significant proportional increases of black women in the labor force. It is especially important to note that in terms of both the population and labor force, blacks will experience proportional increases over the next 20 years while whites will generally decline. Thus, while the decrease of younger persons in the la bor force will parallel population changes, the same principle will hold for the middle-aged population and labor force which will increase. The statistics also dem onstrate that while there will be a modest proportional increase in the number of older persons by the year 2000, there will be a simultaneous decline in their labor force attachment. (These projections are based on an as sumption of a continuation of the early retirement trend through 2000 with little or no change in national retire ment policies.) MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Aging o f the US. Population However, it is important to recognize that these de mographic projections alone do not necessarily demon strate either that there will be a direct substitution be tween middle-aged and younger workers or that there will be little or no demand for older workers to meet future labor requirements. Typically, middle-aged work ers have not been recruited for entry-level jobs nor have they tended to work on a part-time basis. Therefore, the decline in the younger labor force may produce demand for entry-level workers which might be met by older persons. In addition, skill shortages might result in the development of retraining programs for both middleaged and older workers in order to meet employment demand. Finally, an increase in flexible work schedules may lead to a greater demand for older workers. Future labor force participation There are two basic ways in which the age composi tion of the labor force can change significantly— through demographic shifts such as changes in birth or mortality rates, or through changes in labor force par ticipation rates of different age groups. The first has been described and the results indicate that the overall population and labor force will decrease for persons age 18 to 34 but increase for the middle-aged group be tween the ages of 35 and 54. However, unless the pres ent labor force participation of various age groups is examined, it is difficult to be more precise about such future changes. A review of current and projected labor force partici pation rates indicates the following:3 (a) overall partici pation in the labor force will increase by about 5 percent by the year 2000; (b) there will be significant in creases in participation for all groups between age 18 and 44; and (c) participation rates for “older workers” (65 and over) will drop significantly while those for middle-aged workers age 45 to 64 will remain relatively stable. An examination of sex specific participation rates indicates that almost the entire gain in labor force par ticipation rate is attributable to greater participation by women, more than three-fifths of whom will be in the work force by 2000. The increasing rate of female par ticipation is the major factor influencing increased par ticipation rates for persons age 18 to 44 and this pattern will also persist for women age 45 to 64. How ever, older women’s labor force participation rates will decline only slightly, which means that lessened partici pation by older men will be the major reason for the continuing significant decrease of older workers in the labor force through the year 2000. These findings indicate that caution should be exer cised in evaluating the significance of population and la bor force declines for younger persons in terms of the development of “labor shortages” over the next 20 years. For the significant projected increases in labor 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis force participation rates imply that a greater proportion of a reduced younger work force will participate in the future labor force. It is not possible presently to evalu ate whether such increased participation will significant ly reduce potential shortages of entry-level and skilled workers and lead to reduced demand for middle-aged and particularly older workers. At the same time, these projections strongly suggest that the proportional de cline of older persons in the labor force will be accentu ated by reduced rates of participation particularly by older men who will make up nearly 60 percent of older workers in the year 2000. Reduced labor force partici pation may well characterize the older population seem ingly irrespective of various labor shortages and in creases in demand for workers that might develop over the next two decades. Growth of the middle-aged labor force and particularly the increased participation by middle-aged women appears to be the most important factor which will mitigate the consequences of the de crease in younger workers. While higher younger work er participation in the labor force (especially younger women) might ease the shortage of entry-level workers, it may be necessary for more of the middle-aged to ac cept such positions in the future. Of course, older work ers can qualify for both entry-level and (with training) skilled jobs in the work force. But, under present and projected future circumstances, it is unlikely that major increases in older worker employment will occur unless national employment and retirement policies change significantly. Policies to encourage longer employment for older persons are under discussion and thus the projections considered here should be viewed as “steady-state” as sumptions which might have to be changed under dif ferent retirement policies. An understanding of the labor force characteristics of older workers is essential for developing effective policies designed to encourage older worker labor force participation. Characteristics of older workers As the statistics demonstrate, most older workers4 ex pect and desire to retire and actually do so. Because of the limited number of older persons who have contin ued to work, much more research and policy attention has been focused on the antecedents of the retirement decision and life circumstances after retirement. The number of older participants in the labor force has re mained quite stable since 1950 when they accounted for nearly 5 percent of the work force and nearly 27 per cent were labor force participants. However, in 1982, such workers made up slightly less than 3 percent of the labor force and only about 12 percent participated. If the 1950 participation rate still existed, there would be more than 6 million older workers today (about 5 percent of the labor force) instead of the actual 3 million. There are a number of im portant characteristics of these older labor force participants which provide some guidance as to what might be expected if more older persons were encouraged to remain in the labor force: • Of today’s older workers, about 62 percent are men, half of whom work at full-time jobs. Among older women (38 percent of older workers), most work part time. For both men and women, the percentage with any work experience during the year has been declin ing steadily since 1950 as indicated by both work ex perience and labor force participation data. Older blacks are slightly more likely than whites to report work experience but tend to work more often on a part-time basis. • Unemployment rates for older workers continue to be quite low, but for older persons who have been work ing and become unemployed, work experience data indicate that they face the longest median duration of unemployment of any age group— 18 weeks. The ex tent to which unemployment among older workers is obscured by early retirement as a resuit of either pri or unemployment or an erratic employment history, has proven difficult to measure. However, it is as sumed that most persons who are very early retirees leave the labor force because of failing health. While older white men had an unemployment rate of 2.4 percent in 1981, the rate for comparable black men was nearly four times as great— 8 percent— and a similar though less pronounced pattern existed for nonwhite women. The major reason for low unem ployment among older workers remains that only 16 percent of all older persons had any work experience in 1981 and that this limited labor force attachment is likely to persist in the near-term future. • The very rapid growth of the labor force over the past 10 years (2.45 percent a year) will slow to about 1.4 percent a year for the 1980 decade and less than 1 percent a year from 1990 to 2000. It is therefore likely that the 1980 labor force of 106 million will grow to somewhat over 130 million by the year 2000. Although lower birth rates will result in a smaller pool of younger workers, expansion of the labor force is likely because of multiple family earners, growth in single-person households headed by divorced, widowed, or never-married persons, and women’s in creasing role in the work force. Recently, several commentators have suggested that the reduction of the youth labor force will lead to labor shortages and demand for older workers.5 However, as we have pointed out, the expansion of the prime-age work force and greater labor force participation by this group (as well as younger persons) could easily over whelm the youth labor force decline, leaving relative ly little opportunity for older workers whose share of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the labor force has been declining consistently for more than 25 years. Thus, reduced labor force growth in the future does not necessarily mean that an increased demand for older workers will develop. Such a consequence could be influenced by an im proved economy which requires significantly more la bor despite improvements in technology. • While it is clear that there are significant economic advantages of employment to older workers (full-time workers age 65 to 69 had a median income 43 per cent higher than non workers in 1978), persons age 65 and over are concentrated in a small number of in dustries and occupations.6 Almost two-thirds of the older men are employed in two industries— trade (primarily retail) and miscellaneous services (primari ly business and repair, personal, and other profession al)— while slightly less than 40 percent of all other age group employees are found in these industries. In terms of occupations, older workers are heavily employed as managers and administrators, profes sional and technical workers, service workers, and farmers, and have low representation as craft and kindred workers, sales, clerical, and operatives (in cluding transport). Older workers tend to occupy jobs such as small farmers, private household work ers, service workers, and so forth, which are often not full-time, full-year occupations.7 Also, older workers are more highly represented among the self-employed which permits part-time work and considerable flexi bility in scheduling. • The older work force consisted of 1.9 million men and 1.1 million women with an additional 1 million persons reporting work experience in 1981. This fi gure— 4 million older workers— represents about 16 percent of the total population age 65 and over. Older persons who work, typically do so on a parttime basis; in 1981, there were about 2.2 million such workers, of which 57 percent were men and 43 per cent, women. About 1.9 million older persons worked full-time with nearly two-thirds working 50 to 52 weeks; most frequently, these were men. Despite the limited labor force attachment of older workers, and the seeming reluctance of most older per sons to secure employment, national surveys continue to indicate strong preferences for some type of contin ued employment (usually part-time) after retirement from the longest-held job. Older persons say they are primarily interested in part-time work, usually the same as or similar to their preretirement jobs. The survey findings strongly suggest that if more flexible work poli cies were adopted, many older persons would take ad vantage of them. From a practical standpoint, when business firms have offered part-time schedules to older workers, there has usually been considerable response 17 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Aging o f the US. Population which exceeded the company’s needs. However, in the great majority of firms, flexible employment policies of this type do not exist; therefore, older workers have no choice but to permanently retire from the firm. Once this occurs, the evidence indicates that few older per sons secure other employment. It appears that for older retirees, actualization of a preference for part-time work is a difficult process which occurs infrequently. Lack of suitable work oppor tunities, age discrimination, discouragement in job seek ing, and perceived health limitations all contribute to this circumstance. Simultaneously, national retirement policies (public and private pensions) clearly provide significant incentives to leave the labor force but virtual ly no corresponding inducements to re-enter employ ment. And, it is clear that the growth in preference for part-time employment at older ages will not alone pro duce the kinds of work opportunities most suitable for older workers. Industrial and occupational changes To some extent, changes in the Nation’s industrial and occupational profile will influence the degree to which employment opportunities will be available to older workers in the years ahead. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, using a model of the U.S. economy, has de veloped projections of industrial and occupational changes through the year 1990.8 Over the next decade, the continued growth of service industries will be a major characteristic of the economy. Overall, these industries are expected to experience em ployment growth of 30 percent by 1990, led by growth in direct service industries (53 percent employment growth), retail and wholesale trade (28 percent growth), and finance, insurance, and real estate (34 percent). Table 3. 1990 Employment by industry, 1981 and projected Industry Total employment (In thousands) .. Distribution (in percent).................... Agriculture........................ Mining ............................... Construction...................... Manufacturing: Durables ...................... Nondurables.................. Transportation .................. Wholesale and retail trade . Finance, insurance, and real estate ........................... Services ........................... Public administration......... Average annual percent change in employment 65 and over All ages All ages Projected change In employment 1981-90 3,119 107,347 124,184 16,837 1.6 100.0 9.2 0.4 3.7 100.0 3.0 1.0 6.3 100.0 2.0 0.8 6.3 -737 -8 0 1,061 -2.9 -0.9 1.6 6.1 5.6 3.2 23.6 13.4 8.8 6.3 20.5 12.4 7.4 6.0 22.7 1,014 -257 688 6,184 0.8 -0.3 1.1 2.8 6.1 37.8 4.2 5.9 29.5 5.2 5.9 31.3 5.2 993 7,202 876 1.6 2.3 1.6 1981 1990’ 'Valerie A. Personick, “The outlook for industry output and employment through 1990,” August 1981, pp. 28-41. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. 1990 Employment by occupation, 1981 and projected 1981 1990’ Industry Projected change In employment 1981-90 Average annual percent change 65 All ages All ages All occupations (in thousands). . . 3,119 107,347 123,749 16,402 1.6 Distribution (In percent).................... Professional-technical . . . . Managers-admlnlstrators .. S a le s................................. Clerical ............................. Craftsworkers.................... Operatives........................ Nonfarm laborers ............. Private household............. Service ............................. Farmworkers .................... 100.0 13.3 13.2 10.3 14.1 7.3 8.9 3.9 4.1 16.3 8.6 100.0 15.7 11.2 6.2 18.3 12.8 14.4 4.7 1.2 13.0 2.4 100.0 16.6 8.8 6.7 18.6 12.1 13.8 5.8 0.8 15.0 1.9 3,689 -1,133 1,636 3,373 1,233 1,619 2,132 -298 4,607 -225 2.3 -1.1 2.5 1.8 1.0 1.1 4.0 -2.9 3.2 -1 .0 'Max L. Carey, “ Occupational employment growth through 1990,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , August 1981, pp. 42-55. Goods-producing industries will grow far more slowly through 1990 (13 percent) with some major growth in manufacturing and declining employment in agriculture. Basically, over the next two decades, employment in service-producing industries will grow significantly while growth in goods-producing industries will be modest. For purposes of analysis, occupations are usually cat egorized as white collar (professional and technical, clerical, sales, and managerial); blue collar (craft, opera tive, and laborer); service; and farm. Over the next 10 to 20 years, there will be a continuing growth of profes sional and technical occupations, particularly for scien tists, engineers, and technicians, as well as medical and health services occupations. The demand for salaried managers will also continue to grow significantly as will that for technologically trained clerical workers. The ex pansion of the retail trade industry will increase the growth of salesworkers and, similarly, the increases in services and contract construction will result in growth of craftworkers and operative employees. The greatest employment growth will occur for service workers with professional and technical service employment. There are certain difficulties in estimating expected job openings based on industrial and occupational changes in the economy. Replacement needs caused by deaths and retirements will greatly exceed openings aris ing from employment growth in the years immediately ahead; however, occupational transfers and temporary labor force separations will be the largest source of job openings. Of course, employees in clerical, service, sales, and operative occupations have a higher replacement rate (primarily because of less need for training) than professional and technical occupations in which job transfers are more difficult. Data on total replacement needs by occupation are not presently available. Howev- er, because of job transfers, deaths, retirements, and other labor force separations, job opportunities may ex ist even in occupations where employment is expected to increase slowly or decline. Tables 3 and 4 indicate that industries (wholesale and retail trade and services) and occupations (professional, technical, sales, clerical, and service) in which older per sons are disproportionately employed today are expect ed to grow considerably in the years ahead. Today the wholesale and retail trade and service industries employ 60 percent of all older workers, and 70 percent of the overall projected increase in employment through 1990 is expected to occur in professional and technical, cleri cal, and service occupations. These industries and occu pations frequently hire part-time employees— in 1980, about one-fifth of all employees in professional, techni cal, and clerical occupations worked part time. While selected areas of industry and occupational growth may well result in more part-time job opportu nities suitable for older workers, there is considerable uncertainty regarding whether older persons will fill these types of jobs in the future. There will be a sub stantial number of middle-aged workers, particularly women, who might also compete for this employment and a remaining group of younger persons interested in part-time work. With present retirement policies, it is very likely that, despite the potential for a modest in crease in elderly employment over the next 20 years, the number of nonworking elderly will increase from about 23 million in 1982 to approximately 30 million in 2000 and could reach 49 million by 2030 if present declining labor force participation trends continue. I n CONCLUSION, the findings suggest that predictions of major labor shortages in the next two decades, leading to demand for more older workers, may be exaggerated and that the growth of the middle-aged to older work force will be the most important characteristic of the fu ture labor market. While there will be a decline in num bers of younger labor force entrants, this may not be significant enough to increase the demand for workers over age 65, whose labor force participation is already substantially diminished by the availability of public and private pensions, desire for leisure, and limited part-time employment opportunities. Therefore, it is un likely that older -orkers will be able to compete success fully against the largest cohort of middle-aged workers in U.S. history. □ FOOTNOTES ' Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “The 1995 labor force: a first look,” December 1980, pp. 11-21; and unpublished statistics. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , 2Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “The 1995 labor force.” ' Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “The 1995 labor force.” 4This section refers to workers over age 65 unless otherwise noted. 5 See Lawrence Olson and others, The Elderly and the Future Econ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Lexington, Mass., Lexington Books, 1981.) '’Phillip L. Rones, “Older men— the choice between work and re tirement,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , November 1978, p. 7. 7See Thomas C. Nelson, “The Age Structure of Occupations,” in Pauline K. Ragan, ed., W o rk a n d R e tir e m e n t: P o lic y Issu es (Los Angeles, Calif., The University of Southern California Press, 1980). * O c c u p a tio n a l O u tlo o k H a n d b o o k , 1 9 8 0 - 8 1 E d itio n (Washington, Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 1980). om y 19 U.S. foreign trade prices in 1982: import index falls, export indexes mixed Import-export prices were affected by the appreciation o f the dollar and the worldwide recession; crude oil led the import price decrease, export prices of nonferrous metals, grain, and intermediate manufactured goods recorded decreases M ark J. J o h n s o n U.S. import prices1 fell 2.8 percent in 1982, as the worldwide economic slowdown and the strong U.S. dol lar placed downward pressure on U.S. import prices. (See table 1.) The import price drop contributed to the sharply reduced rate of increase in U.S. domestic prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index and the Pro ducer Price Index. Crude petroleum import prices, which account for 25.8 percent of the weight of the all-import price index, fell 3.7 percent during the year, and were a major factor in the overall drop in import prices. Some other catego ries which contributed to this decline were intermediate manufactured products and telecommunications equip ment. The price indexes for exports cover 71 percent of the value of all exported products. For those exports mea sured, price increases were concentrated mainly in cate gories of finished manufactured goods. (See table 2.) Most semifinished goods and primary products showed price declines. These results were greatly influenced by the worldwide economic slump, the strong dollar, which tended to raise the prices of U.S. goods in foreign mar- Mark J. Johnson is an economist in the Division of International Price Indexes, Bureau of Labor Statistics. This article is based on in formation provided by other Division economists. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis kets, and the drop in demand for U.S. exports by debtaffected nations. Grain and nonferrous metals were key categories which showed price declines, falling 7.3 and 4.3 percent, respectively. The index for machinery and transport equipment, which accounts for 35.3 percent of all exports, rose 3.9 percent. The appreciation of the dollar against the currencies of major U.S. trading partners was a key factor in the behavior of import and export prices in 1982. (See table 3.) During 1982, the U.S. dollar appreciated 13.3 per cent against all major currencies on a trade weighted basis. It appreciated 10.5 percent against the Japanese yen, 7.1 percent against the West German deutschemark, and 465.2 percent against the Mexican peso. The dollar’s appreciation was especially pronounced during the first 11 months of 1982, when its weighted average exchange rate rose 18.1 percent. During December, the dollar’s weighted average exchange value fell 4.1 per cent.2 As U.S. import prices fell in 1982, the nation’s mer chandise trade set a record deficit. Along with the weakened economy, the drop in import prices contribut ed to a decrease in the value of imports. However, the value of total exports declined even more. The result was a 1982 U.S. trade deficit of $36.1 billion, compared with $27.9 billion in 1981. U.S. merchandise exports of $211.2 billion in 1982 were off 10.6 percent from their level of $236.3 billion in 1981. This marked the first time in 24 years that the nominal value of U.S. exports fell from 1 year to the next. U.S. merchandise imports of $247.3 billion were down 6.4 percent from their level of $264.1 billion in 1981.3 An important factor in the fall in total imports was a substantial drop in the dollar value of crude oil imports, from $77.6 billion in 1981 to $61.2 billion in 1982. In addition, the U.S. current account, which incorpo rates the balance on merchandise trade and the balance on services (which includes payments on investments abroad) was in deficit by $8.1 billion in 1982, after re cording a surplus of $4.47 billion in 1981 and $1.52 bil lion in 1980.4 Table 1. Change in selected import price indexes in 1982 and proportion of trade value Commodity Share of Total First Second Third Fourth total 1980 trade value change quarter quarter quarter quarter A ll c o m m o d itie s, e x c e p t c h e m ic a ls ' ............... ' . Crude petroleum ........... F u e ls a n d r e la te d p r o d u c ts 96.524 -2.8 -1.1 -1.1 -0.5 ( 2) -1.9 ( 2) -1.3 -.5 -.2 .0 -.4 -1.3 -.1 -5.1 .0 -.3 -1.4 .2 -.2 3.2 -1.6 -1.3 -4.4 .1 1.7 -2.5 3.392 -2.9 -1.3 -.6 .4 -1.4 2.789 -6.8 -1.3 -2 .0 -2.3 -1.4 13.520 3.127 3.123 -7.5 -12.6 -14.0 -.8 -1.3 -3.4 -3 .0 -3.5 -9.5 -2.0 -2.7 -3.5 -2.0 -5 .6 2.0 1.037 .998 .180 ( 2) -5.6 -6.7 ( 2) -1.1 - .9 -12.4 -2 .0 -2 .4 7.3 -1.9 -2.6 17.9 - .6 -1.1 .167 -6.8 -1.7 -4 .9 -1.4 .9 9.794 1.232 .437 .3 -2.3 -13.0 -.9 - .7 -3.9 .0 0 -3 .0 1.8 -1.1 -4.6 - .6 -.8 -2 .2 3.286 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 9.9 .3 6.554 .977 1.088 .459 .2 - .3 1.7 14.2 .0 -1.9 2.1 6.1 -5.2 .2 -.1 3.8 2.8 .4 -1.7 .9 2.8 .9 1.4 2.6 .126 .925 2.241 -13.4 ( 2) -.8 -3.8 ( 2) 3.9 -3.2 -17.3 -5.7 -4.4 36.6 -1.4 -2.8 -.2 2.6 1.746 .054 6.0 4.6 5.9 1.3 -2 .5 -1 .2 -1.1 6.7 3.9 -2 .2 .880 .867 .152 2.6 2.6 1.7 .7 .7 - .2 1.0 1.0 .1 .6 .6 -.4 .3 .3 2.1 .425 2.4 1.0 .9 .7 -.3 32.776 25.799 ( 2) -3.7 25.442 7.201 .755 -0.1 M a c h in e ry a n d tr a n s p o r t ...................... Automobiles .................. Metalworking machinery Electrical machinery and equipment.................. Telecommunications equipment.................. e q u ip m e n t ’ In te r m e d ia te m a n u fa c tu r e d ........................... Iron and steel ............... Nonferrous m etals......... Silver and metals of the platinum group . Textiles........................... Woven cotton fabric .. Woven man-made fabric...................... p r o d u c ts ’ M is c e lla n e o u s m a n u fa c tu r e d ............................. Footwear ...................... Watches and clocks . . . Miscellaneous manufactured articles, not elsewhere specified, including gold and silver c o in s ......... a r tic le s ’ .................................... Meat ............................. Fish ............................... Shellfish .................... Fish in airtight containers............. Sugar and honey........... Coffee, tea, and cocoa . Coffee and coffee substitutes............. T e a ............................. F ood' B e v e r a g e s ' ........................... Alcoholic beverages . . . B e e r.......................... Distilled alcoholic beverages ............. 1This category includes indexes other than those shown here. For all of the indexes avail able in each category, see U .S . Im p o rt a n d E x p o r t P ric e In d e x e s , USDL-83-77 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Feb. 16,1983). 2 Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Gross trade as a percentage of U.S. final goods pro duction is a measure of the importance of foreign trade to the goods sector of the U.S. economy. Because of the decline in U.S. export and import merchandise trade dollar values, this measure dropped to 26.0 percent, from 28.6 percent in 1981. In 1960, the figure was 11.9 percent, and in 1970, it had increased to 15.2 percent.5 During 1982, U.S. exporters faced reduced demand from developing nations, which account for more than one-third of all U.S. merchandise exports. The United States exported $82.7 billion of merchandise to develop ing countries, down 7.1 percent from 1981 shipments of $89.0 billion. Debt problems were a factor in this drop: Mexico, Brazil, Peru, Indonesia, Zaire, and Argentina were all debt-affected during 1982. The drop in 1982 U.S. exports to Mexico, our third largest trading part ner, was dramatic, declining to $11.8 billion from $17.8 billion in 1981, a 33.7-percent drop. The drop was espe cially pronounced in the fourth quarter, when the Unit ed States exported merchandise to Mexico at a $6.9 billion annual rate.6 The 1982 price changes were measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ International Price Program.7 The indexes, which are not seasonally adjusted, represent 100 percent of the value of all imported products, and 71 percent of the value of all exported products. Index es are published for detailed and aggregate categories of imports and exports, and are based on transaction price information provided by a sample of importers and ex porters and their products.8 Imports: crude oil price drops; food up slightly The 3.7-percent drop in crude oil import prices in 1982 was a major factor in the decline in the all-import price index. The crude oil surplus on world oil markets throughout the year, combined with a reduction in de mand due to the slump in economic activity in the United States and other major industrialized nations, created downward pressure on prices. (See table 4.) As a result, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries ( o p e c ) cartel lost market share to non-OPEC producers such as Britain, Norway, and Mexico. At the same time, OPEC posted prices were continually under cut by both member and nonmember nations. Domestic consumption of petroleum products fell 4.9 percent in volume from the preceding year, with the drop falling primarily on imports.9 Deregulation spurred exploration and drilling activities boosted domestic pro duction, and imports of crude oil dropped to 3.5 million barrels per day, off 21.4 percent from 1981.10 Demand for residual fuel fell in 1982, as utilities (which use 40 percent of all residual fuel in the United States) contin ued to switch to such nonoil fuel sources as coal and nuclear power.11 Domestic gasoline consumption fell 0.6 percent in 1982, as improved vehicle efficiency, the in21 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • U.S. Import-Export Indexes in 1982 crease in the diesel fleet, the economic recession, and continued conservation dampened consumption.12 Retail competition among vendors of petroleum products in the U.S. market caused the average pump price of major brand gasoline to fall 7.2 cents per gallon in 1982 to $1,281 per gallon, from $1,353 per gallon in 1981.13 This competition in a weak market placed pressure on refiners and others to reduce prices paid for crude oil. As a result, those OPEC nations which held to the official posted prices, such as Saudi Arabia, shipped much smaller volumes of crude. Most OPEC nations, in particular, Iran, Libya, and Nigeria, offered discounts from the posted prices. Also, oil was available on the spot market throughout the year at prices below those officially posted. The United States imported a larger percentage of crude from non-OPEC sources in 1982 than in previous years. Mexican and British crude prices dropped signifi cantly, and Mexico moved ahead of Saudi Arabia as the leading foreign crude supplier to the United States, at 660,000 barrels per day. Saudi Arabia was next at 552,000, with Nigeria third at 538,000, and Britain fourth at 420,000.14 Food and beverages. Imported food prices rose 0.2 per cent in 1982, while imported beverage prices rose 2.6 Table 2. percent. The food index is one of the most volatile com ponents of the all-import index because of the uncertainties associated with food production, the vary ing impact of weather conditions, and the great ship ping distances for many food products imported into the U.S. market. Imported meat prices fell 0.3 percent. International meat production declined, as livestock producers re sponded to the low profits that existed from m id-1979 to 1981 by reducing breeding herds and grain feeding fewer animals for slaughter. Beef and veal prices fell 3.5 percent in 1982, as U.S. consumers shifted to less costly substitutes. Pork was in abundant supply, as producers sought to provide a less expensive alternative to higher priced beef and veal. Imported fish prices rose 1.7 percent: prices for fish in airtight containers fell 13.4 percent and shellfish rose 14.2 percent. The price of fish in airtight containers fell consistently during the year because of lower beef prices which reduced demand for such popular import prod ucts as canned tuna and anchovies, and lower operating costs (for example, price of fuel for boats). Price in creases for such shellfish as lobster and shrimp were due to the relatively inelastic demand for these items and the traditional low supply levels. The index for sugar, which was first published in the Change in selected export price indexes in 1982 and proportion of trade value Commodity Share of total 1980 trade value Total First Second Third change quarter quarter quarter Fourth quarter ...................................... Wheat ............................... Hard winter ordinary w h e a t........................ Barley ............................... Yellow corn ...................... 8.341 2.943 -7.3 -8.4 -3.4 -7.2 -0.8 -6.1 -5.8 .7 2.7 4.4 1.243 .094 3.956 -9.8 -17.6 -5.9 -8.1 5.7 .5 -8.8 -2.3 2.0 4.0 -17.3 -10.0 3.3 -3.7 2.0 C ru d e m a t e r i a l s ' ...................... 10.948 ( 2) <2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) G ra in ' Oilseeds and oleaginous fruit ............................... Soybeans .................. Raw hides and skin s ......... Cork and w ood.................. Crude fertilizers ............... 3.024 2.716 .482 1.417 .234 -9.5 -10.5 -7.7 -9.1 -12.1 -2.5 -3.3 -2.4 4.9 -7.8 .4 .4 .3 -8.4 .5 -8.4 -7.4 -1.8 -3.7 -6.4 1.0 - .6 -4.1 -1.7 1.4 10.544 .200 -1.8 -12.9 -.1 -2.8 -2.4 -4.5 -.3 -2.4 1.0 -3 .8 1.300 .998 -5.7 -8.6 .2 -.4 -3 .0 -4.1 -1.6 -2.2 -1.4 -2.1 .442 -21.3 -5.3 -7.9 -6.2 -4.0 1.038 0.109 2.280 .772 .204 ( 2) 11.2 -4.3 12.7 -1.6 ( 2) 3.9 -2.7 -5.9 - .6 ( 2) 2.6 -9.6 -19.7 -4.2 ( 2) 3.2 2.0 12.7 .3 <2) 1.0 6.7 32.3 3.0 35.261 3.9 1.5 1.4 .6 .4 In te r m e d ia te m a n u fa c tu r e d ............................. Leather and furskins......... Paper and paperboard products........................ Paper and paperboard Kraft paper and paperboard......... Non-metallic mineral manufacturers ............. Glassware ............... Nonferrous metals ........... S ilve r............................. Copper........................... p r o d u c ts ' M a c h in e ry a n d tr a n sp o r t ........................... Power generating machinery and equipment e q u ip m e n t' 3.943 4.8 1.9 1.1 1.7 Commodity Internal combustion piston engines, p a rts ........... Road vehicles and parts .. Motor vehicle parts . . . . Other transport equipment, excluding military and commercial aircraft . . . . Aircraft and spacecraft parts ........................ Office machines and automatic data processing equipment . . Share of total 1980 trade value 1.697 6.726 3.499 Total change 6.7 6.1 6.3 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 2.0 2.1 2.6 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.9 1.3 1.1 .5 .8 -.1 1.0 2.0 2.718 11.0 4.0 3.5 1.641 11.9 3.9 5.2 1.0 1.2 3.990 -3 .6 -.8 -.8 -.7 1.3 M isc e lla n e o u s m a n u fa c tu r e d a r t i c l e s ' ............................. Measuring and controlling instruments and apparatus...................... Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches and clocks . . . . Miscellaneous manufactured articles, not elsewhere specified........................ Toys, games, and sporting goods ......... 7.397 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 2.067 8.6 5.4 1.187 3.3 3.6 2.730 ( 2) ( 2) 1.6 - .3 ( 2) 1.2 .3 .1 .0 ( 2) ( 2) .470 5.2 1.1 1.8 .8 1.4 F u e ls a n d r e la te d p r o d u c ts ' ... Bituminous coal ............... 3.691 2.088 ( 2) 1.5 ( 2) 2.8 ( 2) .3 ( 2) .1 ( 2) -1 .9 C h e m ic a ls ' ............................... 9.578 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) Hydrocarbons and their derivatives .................... ( 2) .799 -11.7 -2.5 -2.5 -6.1 -1.3 .0 1This category includes indexes other than those shown here. For all of the indexes available in each category, see U .S . Im p o rt a n d E x p o r t P ric e In d e x e s , USDL-83-77 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 3. Foreign exchange rate changes of currencies of selected U.S. trading partners Country and currency Australia/dollar......................................................................... Belgium/franc ......................................................................... Brazil/cruzeiro......................................................................... Canada/dollar ......................................................................... France/franc ........................................................................... Germany/deutschemark.......................................................... Hong Kong/dollar..................................................................... Ireland/pound........................................................................... Italy/lira.................................................................................... Japan/yen ................................................................................ Malaysia/ringgit ....................................................................... Mexico/peso ........................................................................... Norway/krone ......................................................................... Singapore/dollar ..................................................................... United Kingdom/pound............................................................ Percent change relative to dollar in 1982’ 14.6 24.0 100.5 4.5 20.0 7.1 16.1 12.5 15.9 10.5 4.7 465.2 21.7 4.8 15.1 1A positive change indicates that the dollar has strengthened (appreciated) versus the foreign currency, while a negative change means that the dollar has weakened (depreciated) against the foreign currency. N o te : Figures are derived from averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. S ource : F e d e ra l R e s e r v e B u lle tin (Washington, D.C., Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System), January 1983, p. A68., and June 1982, p. A68. second quarter of 1982, rose by 12.8 percent for the last 9 months of the year. Underlying this increase was a 17.3-percent price decline in the second quarter, and a 36.6-percent rise in the third quarter. The fall was the result of plentiful inventories on world markets, and the inelasticity of demand by U.S. consumers of sugar. However, in late May, the U.S. Government imposed a sugar quota system apportioned by country of origin, discontinuing the combination of duty and import fee that had been levied on sugar imports. The quotas were followed by a runup in prices of raw sugar delivered to the United States in the third quarter, as the import fee was discontinued and exporting nations which pos sessed a quota allocation to ship to the United States raised their prices to new equilibrium levels. The index for coffee, tea, and cocoa fell by 0.8 per cent in 1982. Cocoa prices fell continuously over the year, as abundant supplies from other countries, espe cially the Ivory Coast, were available on the world mar ket. Coffee prices rose 6 percent during the year, rising during the first and last quarters, and declining during the second and third, or warmer quarters. This is a nor mal pattern because coffee consumption declines during hot weather. Tea prices rose 4.6 percent for the year, with prices higher in the summer months when demand for tea is greatest. The small rise in the beverages index resulted from slight rises for imported beer (1.7 percent) and distilled alcoholic beverages (2.4 percent). Difficult year for imported machine tools The 1.3-percent decline in the machinery and trans port equipment index occurred primarily during the sec ond half of 1982; the index increased slightly in the first half. The decline in domestic business fixed investment15 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and reduced production levels in basic industries, along with the strong dollar, depressed prices. Many consumer end-use products are included in this index: autos, motorcycles, and household appliances, for exam ple. Also included are many important components of manufacturing processes: electric motors, air pumps, compressors, valves, and roller bearings. These products were particularly affected by the 1982 downturn in U.S. business investment. Prices for imported autos declined 0.1 percent in 1982, the net result of two nearly offsetting factors. The first was the competition which resulted from the dra matic slump in new car sales in the United States. In addition to the decline in consumer spending, high fi nancing costs also contributed to the reduction in sales of new cars to 8 million, the lowest level since 1961.16 These factors tended to lower prices. In the meantime, Japan, which accounted for 22.6 percent of all new car sales in the United States, continued the voluntary selfrestraint quotas on cars it exports to the United States. This voluntary quota limited Japan to exports of 1.68 million cars to the United States during 1982. These cars were sold, indicating that the quotas were effective in limiting sales and, therefore, were a source of upward pressure on import prices of Japanese cars. Total import penetration of the U.S. auto market was 36.1 percent in 1982 (including imports from Canada under the U.S.Canada Auto Parts Trade Agreement), up from 33.3 percent in 1981.17 During 1982, numerous coproduction agreements were entered into between U.S. and foreign auto manufacturers, and between foreign manufacturers. These agreements involved the production of autos for the U.S. market using production facilities located in the United States and other countries. The index for metalworking machinery declined 5.1 percent in 1982. The U.S. economic downturn, which cut business investment, and the strong appreciation of Table 4. Imported crude oil as a percent of total U.S. crude oil supply [Millions of barrels per day] Year 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. Total supply Crude oil imports Domestic crude oil production Imports as a percent of total supply 10.50 10.71 11.22 12.02 11.86 12.11 13.07 14.48 14.71 14.70 13.47 12.97 12.13 1.32 1.68 2.22 3.24 3.48 4.10 5.29 6.61 6.36 6.52 5.26 4.40 3.46 9.18 9.03 9.00 8.78 8.38 8.01 7.78 7.87 8.35 8.18 8.21 8.57 8.67 12.6 15.7 19.8 27.0 29.3 33.8 40.5 45.6 43.2 44.4 39.0 33.9 28.5 S ource : A n n u a l R e p o r t to C o n g re s s, Vol. Il (Washington, D.C., Energy Information Ad ministration, 1981), p. 51, and M o n th ly E n e r g y R e v ie w (Washington, D.C., U.S, Department of Energy, February 1983), p. 34. 23 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • U.S. Import-Export Indexes in 1982 the dollar against the yen were major factors behind the price drop. The year was difficult for the machine tool industry. Because of the downturn in investment, new orders for metalcutting and metalforming machine tools declined 49.1 percent from the $2.9 billion level established in 1981.18 Imports of metalworking machinery declined in absolute terms, but gained a larger share of a smaller market, as import penetration (in dollar value) reached a record 27 percent in the first 9 months of 1982.19 Im port penetration was 16.7 percent in 1977 and 21.7 per cent in 1978; by 1981, it had reached 26.5 percent. Of the import market, the share accounted for by Japan in creased from 27 percent in 1977 to 46.4 percent in 1981, and declined slightly to 42.2 percent in a weak ened market in 1982.20 For the year, imports of prod ucts in metalworking machinery were approximately double the value of U.S. exports, as the U.S. trade defi cit in this area continued to widen. Japanese manufacturers have steadily narrowed the U.S. lead in machine tool technology, and in the imple mentation of cost-reducing measures and policies. D ur ing 1982, large U.S. machine tool makers entered licensing agreements or joint ventures with foreign con cerns in an effort to recapture their technological lead in several product lines. Also, in response to the downturn in the industry, several less profitable smaller machine tool firms merged with larger firms.21 The price index for imports of electrical machinery dropped 2.9 percent in 1982, as the downturn in domes tic construction activity and the slump in capital invest ment dampened demand for these products. The decline in residential construction reduced demand for electric appliances, while the decrease in commercial construc tion reduced demand for transformers. The decline in capital spending reduced demand for such important electric products as rectifiers, inductors, circuit switch ing equipment, and various types of integrated circuits and electronic components. In addition, lower costs for such important inputs as copper, aluminum, steel, and tantalum helped in lower ing production costs, while the dollar’s strong apprecia tion against the currencies of major producing nations in the Far East and Western Europe helped exporters in those areas to lower the prices of their exports to the United States. Prices fell across the entire spectrum of products in the telecommunications equipment index, as competi tion for U.S. sales among manufacturers in the Far East spurred the 6.8-percent decline in this index. Loud speaker prices led the decline, as Taiwanese firms sought to gain greater U.S. market share and slashed prices to compete with Japanese firms. As a result, an increasing number of loudspeakers were imported from Taiwan. Prices of stereos declined because of slack de 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis mand; sales of videotape recorders continued to in crease, as consumers purchased videotape recorders rather than stereos. Foreign producers also cut prices of color televisions, as they competed heavily for sales in the U.S. market. The fact that the dollar appreciated significantly against the currencies of Taiwan and Japan helped these two largest suppliers of telecommunica tions equipment to the United States to lower their prices here. Quota on steel from European Community Intermediate manufactured articles. Steep declines in prices for imported steel and nonferrous metals led the 7.5-percent decline in intermediate manufactured prod ucts. These products include metals, cork, wood, tex tiles, glassware, paper, paperboard, and other basic inputs into manufacturing processes. Import prices for iron and steel fell 12.6 percent in 1982, as a sharp drop in demand and the removal of the “trigger price mechanism” (which set minimum prices on imported steel) in January 1982 placed down ward pressure on prices. Demand for steel is closely re lated to the overall level of production in the general economy; hence, when industrial output declined during the economic downturn, steel mills experienced a slow year. By December 1982, U.S. mills were operating at 29.8 percent of capacity.22 Import penetration of the U.S. market was 21.8 percent in 1982, and U.S. produc ers sold steel at discounts of up to $100 per ton off list prices to compete with imported steel for available busi ness.23 (See table 5.) The trigger price mechanism set minimum prices on imported steel based on production costs in Japan. Steel sold below this “trigger price” was presumed to be sold at less than cost, triggering an investigation by the U.S. Table 5. Domestic steel production and import penetration Year Raw steel production by U.S. manufacturers (thousands of net tons) Import penetration (percent)1 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................... ........................... ........................... .......................... ........................... ........................... 131,514 120,443 133,241 157,099 145,720 116,642 13.8 17.9 16.6 12.4 13.4 13.5 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 ........................... ........................... ........................... .......................... .......................... ........................... ........................... 128,000 125,333 137,031 136,341 111,835 120,828 74,577 14.1 17.8 18.1 15.2 16.3 19.1 21.8 1Calculated as follows: Steel imports Import penetration = ---------------------Apparent supply where: Domestic shipments + Steel Imports + Exports = Apparent supply S ource : A m e r ic a n Iro n a n d S te e l In s titu te A n n u a l S ta tis tic a l R e p o r t American Iron and Steel Institute, 1982) p. 8. (Washington, D.C., Department of Commerce. It the investigation deter mined that steel was being sold below cost, counter vailing duties could be imposed. With the trigger price mechanism withdrawn in January 1982, the price floor for steel imports was removed, and steelmakers in other countries sold their products in the United States at prices below the discounted prices offered by domestic producers. Seven U.S. steelmakers charged that produc ers in 11 countries were selling subsidized steel in the United States. The Commerce Department then shifted from monitoring the trigger price mechanism to investi gating specific charges. The investigation resulted in an agreement in October which placed quotas on imports from the European Community nations. No major trade complaints were made against other major steelmaking nations such as Japan, Brazil, and Korea. For nonferrous metals producers worldwide, 1982 was a difficult year. Import prices of nonferrous metals dropped 14 percent in 1982— a sharp drop of 12.6 per cent in the first half was followed by a modest 1.6-percent decline in the second half. Sharply rising silver prices in the second half helped to slow the fall in im port prices for the nonferrous metals group as a whole. Demand for nonferrous metals is closely related to the demand for the finished products of which these metals are a basic input. Thus, reduced levels of pro duction in such industries as construction, autos, and machine tools, combined with abundant inventories of nonferrous metals, led to price declines for most of 1982. For copper, lead, and nickel, market prices were lower in real terms in 1982 than they were during the Great Depression, and were lower than production costs for many world producers.24 The rise in silver prices in the second half was due to speculation and lower financing costs. The index for silver and platinum products, which accounts for 33.2 percent of the weight of the nonferrous metals index, rose 26.6 percent in the second half of 1982. Other nonferrous prices (most no tably copper) began to firm during the last quarter of the year, as inventories shrank and financing costs de creased. Imported textile prices declined 5.6 percent in 1982, a result of lowered world demand and excess production capacity. Woven cotton fabrics declined 6.7 percent; woven fabrics of manmade fibers, 6.8 percent. The over capacity problem was exacerbated during the year as the People’s Republic of China and the Eastern Europe an nations added capacity for manmade fiber produc tion. Falling petroleum feedstock prices also contributed to the price declines for manmade fibers. Technology spurs fall in watch prices The miscellaneous manufactured articles index rose 0.3 percent in 1982. This index includes many products with im portant end uses for consumers and industry, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis such as clothing, furniture, quartz watches, medical in struments, and sporting goods. Rising prices for gold and silver coins in the second half placed substantial upward price pressure on the index for miscellaneous manufactures. However, several key index components posted price declines: the index for footwear fell by 2.3 percent, and watches and clocks fell by 13.0 percent. Watch and clock prices declined steadily, as new technologies like computer chip control and quartz os cillation were engineered into mass-produced products, with resulting lower unit costs. In addition, U.S. consumers curtailed spending on such discretionary items as watches and clocks, keeping competitive pres sure on importers. The decline in the footwear index was the result of lower prices for petro-chemical and leather inputs, and the decrease in demand for running shoes. In addition, the appreciation of the dollar against the currencies of the major producing nations in the Far East also helped lower prices. Finally, low labor costs in the nations of the Far East and the highly competitive U.S. footwear market placed additional downward pressure on prices. Exports: record grain production, lower demand U.S. grain export prices fell 7.3 percent in 1982. This drop and the 8-percent decline in grain quantities exported represented a double blow to 1982 U.S. farm income. Prices fell in this index for the first three quar ters, and then rose 2.7 percent in the last quarter. The 1982 decline in the grain index was led by drops in its two largest components, wheat and yellow corn, which fell by 8.4 and 5.9 percent. The drop in U.S. grain ex port prices resulted from historically high domestic in ventories, back-to-back record U.S. wheat and feed grain harvests, and lower levels of world demand for U.S. grain products. As a result of the imbalance be tween demand and supply for U.S. grain, grain exports declined to 51 percent of total world grain trade, down from 54 percent in 1981 and 58 percent before the 1980 grain embargo. (See table 6.) U.S. grain production set a record for the second consecutive year, largely due to U.S. Government pro grams which tend to stabilize prices by withholding ex cess production from the market, loaning the farmer part of the expected proceeds until prices rise sufficient ly to warrant release for sale. This system resulted in excessive domestic reserve grain stockpiles in 1982. In addition, 1982 world grain production set a record for the second consecutive year.25 Canada, the European Community, the People’s Republic of China, Turkey, and Argentina produced abundant wheat crops in 1982. The United States and Eastern Europe had record feed grain crops, and production improved from the previous year in the U.S.S.R. and the European Community. The most important factor limiting demand for U.S. 25 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • U.S. Import-Export Indexes in 1982 Table 6. trade Summary of world and U.S. grain production and [Millions of metric tons] July 1978 to June 1979 July 1979 to June 1980 July 1980 to June 1981 World production:......... Wheat ...................... Coarse...................... 1200.3 446.7 753.6 1164.1 422.8 741.3 1169.9 440.6 729.3 1212.0 447.2 764.8 1259.9 471.4 788.5 U.S. production: ........... Wheat ...................... Coarse...................... 270.4 48.3 222.1 296.8 58.1 238.7 263.0 64.6 198.4 325.2 76.2 249.0 331.9 76.4 255.5 World trad e:.................. Wheat ...................... Coarse...................... 162.2 72.0 90.2 186.9 86.0 100.9 199.7 94.2 105.5 205.5 101.8 103.6 197.0 101.9 95.1 U.S. exports: ................ Wheat ...................... Coarse...................... 89.2 32.3 56.9 108.8 37.2 71.6 114.3 41.9 72.4 110.5 49.1 61.4 101.3 43.5 57.8 U.S. exports as a percent of world trade: .. Wheat .................. C o arse.................. 55.0 44.9 63.1 58.2 43.3 71.0 57.2 44.5 68.6 53.8 48.2 59.3 51.4 42.7 60.8 U.S. exports as a per cent of U.S. produc tion: ........................... Wheat .................. C o arse.................. 33.0 66.9 25.6 36.7 64.0 30.0 43.5 64.9 36.5 34.0 64.4 24.7 30.5 56.9 22.6 Item July 1981 July 1982 to to June 1982 June 1983’ 1Data for January to June 1983 are estimated. S o urce : F o re ig n A g ric u ltu ra l C irc u la r (Washington, D.C., U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, Jan. 17,1983), pp. 22-23. grain exports was the decline in sales to the Soviets. Since the 1980 embargo, the Soviets have purchased much less U.S. grain, buying only the minimum re quired amount under the recently renewed Long-Term Agreement. To meet their needs, the Soviets have in creased purchases from Canada, the European Commu nity, Australia, and Argentina. Another factor limiting demand was that many Third World nations (especially those which were debt-affected) could not afford to pur chase grain in 1982 because of economic difficulties. Finally, many traditional importers of U.S. grain im proved their grain production, and as a result, bought less from the United States. Demand off for exported crude materials Most major components of the crude materials prod uct category showed sizable declines in 1982. Demand for these products, which are used in the early stages of production processes, was sharply curtailed by the worldwide slump in industrial production. Key indexes which posted declines were raw hides and skins ( —7.7 percent), cork and wood ( —9.1 percent), crude fertil izers ( —12.1 percent), and soybeans ( —10.5 percent). The 10.5-percent drop in soybean prices in 1982 was paced by a 7.4-percent decline in the third quarter. World soybean production was up 9.8 percent in 1982, while the United States, which accounts for two-thirds of world production, increased soybean output 14 per cent above 1981 levels.26 U.S. exports of soybeans in creased 21 percent in 1982. 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prices for raw hides and skins fell 7.7 percent in 1982, as European import barriers and the economic slowdown there cut demand sharply in this major mar ket. U.S. producers faced strong competition for avail able business from Argentinian firms, which sold hides and skins on the world market at low prices in order to gain foreign exchange for the debt-affected Argentine economy. Another factor depressing prices of raw hides was the 14 percent rise in U.S. cattle slaughter, which contributed to plentiful supplies. Cork and wood prices fell in the last three quarters after rising 4.9 percent in the first quarter. The large domestic timber surplus was the major factor in the 9.1-percent price decline for the year. Domestic timber producers generally sell most of their output on the U.S. market; wood is exported primarily when demand is weak in the United States. With U.S. construction ac tivity depressed in 1982, U.S. wood producers sold their products to buyers in the major markets of Japan and Western Europe. Demand was down in Japan because of low levels of housing starts: the economic downturn in Western Europe reduced demand there. The demand for high-priced wood for furniture and cabinets in Italy, a major producer of these products, was also slack. As a result, U.S. producers had to cut prices in order to sell wood. Crude fertilizer prices fell 12.1 percent, a result of foreign competition and reduced demand from the agri cultural sector. Crude fertilizers are used extensively on feed grains to enhance quality and aid in early maturity of crops. Because of abundant world grain supplies, de mand for crude fertilizers fell. Competition from such major phosphate producers as Morocco and the U.S.S.R. also provided downward pressure on fertilizer prices. Prices up for machinery, transport equipment Machinery and transport equipment accounts for 35.3 percent of the value of all U.S. merchandise ex ports. Overall, this export price index rose 3.9 percent in 1982, increasing 2.9 percent in the first half. Because many of the products in this index require a high degree of technical sophistication, the United States has tradi tionally been a major exporter of products in this cate gory. In 1982, the strong dollar and competition for sales during the worldwide economic downturn placed considerable moderating pressure on machinery and transport equipment prices. Im portant components which increased were internal combustion piston en gines (6.7 percent), motor vehicle parts (6.3 percent), and parts for aircraft and spacecraft (11.9 percent). The index for office machines and automatic data processing equipment declined 3.6 percent in 1982. Strong demand for aircraft engines and parts was an important factor in the increase in the index for internal combustion piston engines. Demand for these aircraft products, especially parts, is inelastic because of the specialized nature of aircraft equipment. Prices for auto motive and marine engines increased only marginally for the year, as demand by automobile manufacturers for these engines plummeted. Sales of m otor vehicle parts normally flourish during economic downturns, which helps to explain the 6.3-percent increase in this index in 1982 Replacement parts demand is inversely related to new car sales; thus, as world car demand fell in 1982, replacement parts supply business improved. The trend toward interna tionalization of design and sourcing of aulo components continued in 1982. U.S. parts shipments to Mexico have increased substantially since 1977, and U.S. firms have traditionally exported large amounts of parts to Cana da. Most of the rise occurred during the first half, as the index rose 2.6 percent in the first quarter and 2.4 percent in the second. The 11.9-percent rise in the index for parts for air craft and spacecraft consists of a 9.5-percent increase in the first half and a 2.3-percent increase in the second half. The overall increase was due to high demand lev els and the high price inelasticity of demand for U.S. production. The smaller increase in the second half of the year was due to the dollar’s moderating effect on export prices. A trend which grew in 1982 in the aero space industry was counterpurchasing (also called off set), in which U.S. suppliers are sometimes required to buy back products from their customers, either for the suppliers’ own use or for sale to others. This is required because the sale of aircraft and parts represent signifi cant items in many countries’ balance of payments ac counts. The 3.6-percent drop in prices for office machines and automatic data processing equipment followed a 4.9percent price rise in 1981. The decreases were the result of efforts by U.S. firms to maintain competitive pricing, as the strong dollar pushed up prices of U.S. exports in foreign markets, and to increased production efficiencies in the United States. Manufactured products’ prices mixed Intermediate manufactures. Export prices for intermedi ate manufactured products fell 1.8 percent in 1982, led by declines in the indexes for nonferrous metals ( —4.3 percent), leather and furskins ( —12.9 percent), and pa per and paperboard ( —5.7 percent). Moderating influ ences were exerted by the indexes for glassware, up 11.2 percent, and the index for silver, up 12.7 percent. The slumping world economy, competition from South American producers, and import barriers in for eign markets were major factors in the large decline in the price level of the leather and furskins index. U.S. manufacturers are vitally dependent on the export mar ket, as there are few U.S. markets for leather manufac https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tures, other than the footwear industry. A bright note for exporters was the increase in leather exports in the form of wet blues that are further worked prior to being made into a finished product. Exporters of paper and paperboard products faced stiff- foreign competition and a lack of demand in Japan and Western Europe, the major markets for these prod ucts. The products in this index are closely tied to con ditions in the packaging industry. In turn, the sales of the packaging industry are closely linked to gross na tional product growth. The decline in the export price index for paper and paperboard products was led by a 21.3-percent decline in export prices for Kraft paper and paperboard. Kraft is a heavy-duty paper which in unbleached form is used for shopping bags and many other applications. The Scandinavian nations and Cana da, also major suppliers of Kraft products, competed intensely with U.S. exporters for the limited business in the major markets. The 11.2-percent rise in the glassware index was the result of higher export prices for kitchen, decorative, laboratory, and pharmaceutical glass products. U.S. firms have a reputation for quality in the manufacture of higher-priced pharmaceutical and laboratory glass ware. The 3.9-percent rise in the glassware index in the first quarter was due to the fact that many U.S. firms make one annual price adjustment on the first of the year. U.S. nonferrous metals producers sustained large losses in 1982, as reduced sales led to excessive invento ries and reduced prices. Exports fell for most metals as lack of demand in basic industries and high financing costs drove prices steadily downward for most of the year. The nonferrous index fell 12 percent in the first half, and rose 8.8 percent in the second half. The sharp runup in silver prices in the second half of 1982 was the key factor moderating the fall in export prices for the nonferrous metals group as a whole. World prices during most of 1982 were below U.S. production costs for aluminum, copper, molybdenum, and lead. Many U.S. nonferrous producers shut down production operations for all or part of the year because of the low prices and high inventory levels. The silver index, which has 34 percent of the weight of the nonfer rous metals index, rose 12.7 percent in the third quarter and 32.3 percent in the fourth, as lower interest rates and speculation fueled higher world prices. These third and fourth quarter increases followed a 24.4-percent price drop in the first half of the year. In the second half, copper prices began to stabilize. Miscellaneous manufactures. Prices for the major compo nents in the miscellaneous manufactured articles catego ry rose in 1982. U.S. firms have a technological edge in the manufacture of many of the products in this index, 27 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • US. Import-Export Indexes in 1982 world markets ended. The international popularity of golf grew in 1982, and golf equipment prices rose. Exer cise equipment prices also were up in 1982. and were often able to pass through price increases. In creases were led by prices for measuring and con trolling instruments and apparatus (8.6 percent), prices for photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and clocks (3.3 percent), and prices for toys, games, and sporting goods (5.2 percent). Prices in the index for measuring and controlling in struments and apparatus rose 5.4 percent in the first quarter, and then rose by much smaller amounts in succeeding quarters. The industry practice is to raise prices at the beginning of the year. The price increase for the year is a reflection of the technological efficiency that these devices bring to the industrial workplace, and the consequent high level of demand for them. Export price rises were restrained slightly by the worldwide slowdown in industrial investment and capital forma tion and the strong dollar. Film, cameras, and related photographic equipment account for the bulk of the weight in the index for photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and clocks. Most producers of photographic supplies adjust their prices in the beginning of the year. Viewed in this light, the 3.6-percent rise in the index in the first quarter was marginal. It was followed by a small net decrease during the last three quarters of 1982, reflecting slack worldwide demand and the strong dollar. The index for toys, games, and sporting goods rose 2.9 percent in the first half and 2.2 percent in the sec ond half. The increase resulted from the traditional U.S. technological lead in the manufacture of most sporting equipment,27 and a comparative advantage in software technology for video games, both of which helped U.S. firms to raise prices in a period of high demand for these products. Video game export prices rose in the first half, as new models were introduced with foreign language audio. In the second half of the year, video game prices remained unchanged. Baseball and softball equipment prices rose in 1982, as the oversupply on Coal demand off; chemicals down The index for bituminous coal rose in the first three quarters, followed by a decrease of 1.9 percent in the last quarter, for a net increase of 1.5 percent for the year. The small annual price rise reflected a disappoint ing year for U.S. coal exporters. The year had opened with high expectations, as foreign customers were lined up at U.S. ports to load coal. However, with the world wide recession and a growing number of suppliers creat ing a coal surplus, U.S. coal exports fell 4.5 percent in volume in 1982, as compared with 1981. Poland reen tered the coal market in 1982, and South Africa and Australia used larger ships to lower unit shipment charges to make up for the longer distances to the ma jor markets. U.S. firms have historically been the highest cost shippers of coal, depending on reliability and the capacity to deliver additional tonnages to gain orders. However, in 1982, a buyers’ market existed, and U.S. firms competed more heavily on price. The index for hydrocarbons and their derivatives fell 11.7 percent in 1982, with 6.1 percent of the drop oc curring in the third quarter. A major contributor to this decline was lower prices for petroleum feedstocks, which are an im portant cost element for chemical prod ucts. Moreover, projections of increasing demand had led U.S. and foreign firms to build extensive new capac ity in the last 10 years. Much of the new capacity came on line just as worldwide demand by the construction and auto sectors began to decline. Because chemical plants are highly capital intensive, production, even at slim profits or slight loss levels, is important in the short run to cover high fixed costs. Because chemicals of the same specifications are virtually identical regard less of source, lower prices were used to maintain vol ume in 1982. □ FOOTNOTES ' In this article, the “all-import index” refers to the all-commodities import price index, excluding chemicals. This measure accounts for 96.5 percent of the value of all imports. A new all-import index which includes chemicals and covers 100 percent of the value of all imports is now available, starting with fourth quarter 1982 data. 2For details on the value of the U.S. dollar against currencies of other nations, see F e d e r a l R e s e rv e B u lle tin (Washington, Federal Re serve Board, January 1983), p. A68. 1 Information on U.S. trade deficits is from U .S. D e p a r tm e n t C o m m e r c e N e w s, No. 83-06 (Washington, U.S. Department of Com merce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Feb. 3, 1983), p. 5. 4 Eileen Powell, “U.S. Trade Gap for Last Year Was $8.09 Billion,” T h e W a ll S tr e e t J o u r n a l, Mar. 18, 1983, p. 4. 5The share of final goods production that is accounted for by gross trade (merchandise imports plus merchandise exports) is calculated as follows: 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Merchandise Imports + Merchandise Exports w ——— X 100 Final Goods + Merchandise Imports + Merchandise Exports of Computed using data from S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u sin e ss (Washington, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis), vari ous issues. 6 Data are from Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Com merce. 7For a detailed look at import-export price movements in the first half of 1982, see Mark J. Johnson, “U.S. import and export price in dexes show declines during first half,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , January 1983, pp. 17-23. 8Import price indexes are weighted by 1980 import values and are published on an f.o.b. (free-on-board) foreign port or c.i.f. (cost, in surance, and freight) U.S. port basis. Export price indexes are weight- ed by 1980 U.S. merchandise export trade values and are published on an f.o.b. factory or f.a.s. (free-alongside-ship) U.S. port basis. See “International Price Program” (Washington, Bureau of Labor Statis tics). Robert J. Beck, “Demand, Imports to Rise in 1983; Production to Slip,” O il a n d G a s J o u rn a l, Jan. 31, 1983, p. 71. 10A n n u a l R e p o r t to C on gress, Vol. I I (Washington, Energy Informa tion Administration, 1981), p. 51, and M o n th ly E n e r g y R e v ie w (Wash ington, U.S. Department of Energy, February 1983), p. 34. " Beck, op. c it., p. 76. 12 I b id ., p. 74. See “Gasoline Average Prices Per Gallon, U.S. City Averages Index,” in C o n s u m e r P rices: E n e r g y a n d F ood, USDL-83-35 (Washing ton, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, JanuaryDecember 1982). 14 Beck, op. c it., p. 73. 15 Fixed business investment by U.S. businesses declined during 1982 from 1981 levels, and ended the year at a lower level than it had begun: F ix e d bu sin e ss in v e s tm e n t 1981: I II III IV 1982: I II III IV ................ ................ ................ ................ 169.7 170.1 173.9 174.2 172.0 166.7 163.4 160.9 (All figures are in billions of 1972 dollars, seasonally adjusted at an nual rates.) See S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u sin e ss (Washington, U.S. Depart ment of Commerce, February 1983). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16 A u to m o tiv e N e w s, Jan. 10, 1983, p. 46. 1 I b id ., and E S I R e p o r t (Detroit, Mich., Motor Vehicle Manufac turers’ Association, Feb. 7, 1983), p. 1. ’ Gerry Khermouch, “Machine Tool Orders in December Jump 38% But Lag December, 1981,” A m e r ic a n M e ta l M a r k e t/M e ta lw o r k in g N e w s E d itio n , Jan. 31, 1983, p. 4. ' The National Machine Tool Builders’ Association calculates the percentages based on data contained in Bureau of the Census, “Cur rent Industrial Report for Metalworking Machinery,” MQ-35W; and IM146; EM522. This is the most conservative way of calculating the figure because imports are valued at the foreign port; these figures do not include shipping costs, duties, or commissions. 20Cynthia Jabs, “Japanese gain growing slice of market,” A m e ric a n M e ta l M a r k e t/M e t a lw o r k in g N e w s E d itio n , June 15, 1981, p. 14-15A, and N a tio n a l M a c h in e T o o l B u ild e r s ' A sso c ia tio n : U.S. F o reig n T r a d e in M a c h in e T o o ls— S ta tis tic a l R e p o r ts (Mclean, Va., Machine Tool Build ers Association), various issues, 1977-82. 21 “The vise tightens on toolmakers,” B u sin e ss W eek , Dec. 6, 1982, pp. 63-64; and “Machine Tools and Accessories,” U.S. I n d u s tr ia l O u tlo o k 1 9 8 3 , p. 20-1 to 20-8. “Steel: The Prospect of Major Bankruptcies,” B u sin e ss W eek , Jan. 17, 1983, p. 64. 21 “Steel Recovery Appears to Have Started But May Trail Earlier, Weak Forecasts,” T h e W a ll S tr e e t J o u rn a l, Feb. 10, 1983, p. 16. 24 “The Crisis That Endangers Phelps Dodge,” 26, 1982, p. 59. B u sin e ss W eek , July 25 F oreign A g r ic u ltu r e C ir c u la r — G ra in s (Washington, U.S. Depart ment of Agriculture, Jan. 17, 1983), p. 2. W o rld A g r ic u ltu r a l S u p p ly a n d D e m a n d E s tim a te s (Washington, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Feb. 14, 1983), pp. 3-4. 2 S u m m a r y o f T r a d e a n d T a r if f I n f o r m a tio n — S p o r tin g G o o d s (Washington, International Trade Commission, June 1981), pp. 23, 31. 29 Technical Note Using a leading employment index to forecast unemployment in 1983 G eoffrey H. M oore Year-to-year changes in the unemployment rate may be forecast with moderate accuracy using the leading em ployment index constructed by the Center for Interna tional Business Cycle Research at Rutgers University. The index consists of five components that typically lead, or move in advance of, changes in employment and unemployment. The components are the average workweek and overtime hours in manufacturing indus tries; the number of initial claims for unemployment in surance; the layoff rate for all workers; and the ratio of the numbers of voluntary to involuntary part-time em ployees. Because each of these factors reflects employ ment decisions that are usually made early in the process that results in a larger or smaller number of un employed, the index is relevant to the future movements in unemployment. Table 1 demonstrates the ability of the index to fore cast changes in unemployment for the year ahead. For this purpose, the growth rate in the index was calculat ed by taking the ratio of the current m onth’s index to the average index over the preceding 12 months and expressing this as an annual rate. This growth rate is called the “6-month smoothed rate” because the inter val covered is approximately the previous 6 months. It is less subject to erratic movements than the ordinary 6-month change because the 12-month average used as the base is more stable than the single-month figure 6 months earlier. Column 3 in the table shows the 6-month smoothed growth rate for each October from 1969 through 1983. These rates are available as of the first Friday in No vember, when the October index is computed. Columns 4 and 5 give the rates for November and December. Geoffrey H. Moore, a former Commissioner of Labor Statistics, is di rector of the Center for International Business Cycle Research at Rutgers University. 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis These figures provide the basis for forecasts that can be made early in November, December, or January for the year ahead. The information from 1969 to 1982 was used to esti mate the average relationship between the leading index growth rates and the percentage-point change in the un employment rate for the year ahead. The relationship is, of course, inverse: when the leading index rises rapidly, unemployment can be expected to decline. Roughly speaking, the change in unemployment is about onefourth to one-fifth as large as the leading index growth rate. Columns 6 through 8 of table 1 give the estimated changes in unemployment based upon regression analy sis; columns 9 through 11 measure the errors in these forecasts. For forecasts made using the October index, the average error was 0.5 percentage point. With No vember indexes, the average error was 0.4 of a percent age point, and likewise with December indexes. Chart 1 compares the November forecast changes with the actu al changes. For 1982, the average annual unemployment rate was 9.7 percent, 2.1 points higher than the 1981 average. This compares with a forecast increase of 1.7 points based on the October 1981 leading index growth rate. The November forecast came a bit closer, 1.9 points, and the December forecast actually hit the target, 2.1 points. For 1983, the December 1982 leading index yields a forecast increase in the unemployment rate of 0.6 per centage point. This would put the average unemploy ment rate for 1983 at 10.3 percent, slightly below the December 1982 level, 10.8 percent. Because all forecasts are subject to error, it would be advisable to place this within a range based upon the average error, + 0 .4 points. On this basis, the 1983 figure is likely to lie within the range 9.9 percent to 10.7 percent. Can the leading index forecast the year-to-year change in unemployment any better than can the unem ployment rate itself? To test this, the 6-month smoothed change in the unemployment rate as of October, No vember, or December can be used to forecast the next year’s annual change. Regressions were constructed along these lines for the period 1969-81, and the results Table 1. Forecast changes in the unemployment rate, using changes in the leading employment index, 196^83 Year Level (1) 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 ................................... ................................... ................................... .................................... .................................... ................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... 3.5 4.9 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... 5.8 7.1 7.6 9.7 - Change from preceding year (2) Nov. (4) Dec. (5) Oct. (6) Nov. (7) Dec. (8) Oct. (9) Nov. (10) Dec. (11) 1.4 1.0 -0.3 -0.7 0.7 2.9 -0.8 -0.6 -1 .0 -2.3 -8.5 1.2 4.2 0.9 -6.7 3.1 2.5 -1.8 -7.4 1.2 4.6 -0.7 -11.1 5.9 0.2 3.1 -2.5 -5.8 2.9 4.0 -3.1 -11.9 7.8 0.2 2.3 0.8 2.4 -0.1 -0.9 0.0 1.9 -0.6 0.2 -0.5 0.6 1.8 -0.1 -0.8 0.4 2.7 -1.1 0.2 -0.5 0.7 1.4 -0.4 -0.6 0.8 2.6 -1.4 0.2 -0.3 -0.6 1.4 0.2 -0.2 -0.8 -1 .0 0.2 0.8 0.5 -0.8 0.8 0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 0.8 0.5 -0.7 0.4 -0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.3 -0.6 0.8 0.7 -0.3 1.3 0.5 2.1 - 1.5 -2.7 -2.2 -5.8 -5.5 0.8 -3.8 0.8 -7.7 -3.8 0.2 -3.8 1.6 -9.3 -2.1 -0.2 0.9 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.0 1.0 0.2 1.0 -0.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.4 0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.2 0.5 -0.3 -0.6 0.0 ~ 0.0 were compared with corresponding estimates based on the leading employment index: Leading employment index base r2 0.71 .84 .84 Mean absolute error 0.5 .4 .4 Unemployment rate base r2 0.39 .51 .68 Mean absolute error 0.8 .7 .5 The r2’s based on the unemployment rate are smaller than those based on the leading jndex, and the mean er rors are larger. The growth rate in unemployment for December 1982 was 2.4 percentage points, and this yields a forecast increase of 1.9 percentage points for 1982-83, or an unemployment rate averaging 11.6 per cent for 1983 as a whole. This is considerably higher than the 10.3-percent forecast for 1983 based on the leading index for December. It remains to be seen which will be closer to the mark, but if experience is any guide, the leading index forecast will be more accu rate because it takes into account changes in the em ployment situation that are reflected in the unemploy ment rate only with a lag. Another standard of comparison against which to assess the accuracy of the leading index forecasts is the record of other forecasters. The comparison cannot be precise, for several reasons. One is that the errors obtained by fitting an equation to historical data are likely to be smaller than those that would have been obtained on an ex ante basis, which is what the fore casters’ records show. Another is that the available records generally show quarterly rather than annual https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Error in forecast, as of — Oct. (3) 1As derived from regression equations based on 13 observations, 1970-82, as follows: Change in unemployment rate = 0.2 - (0.26) (Leading index growth rate, October); Change in unemployment rate = 0.2 - (0.22) (Leading index growth rate, November); Change in unemployment rate = 0.2 - (0.20) (Leading index growth rate, December). Reference month October . . . . November . . . December . . . Forecast year-to-year change in unemployment rate,1 as of — Leading employment index, 6 month smoothed percent change, as of preceding — Unemployment rate N ote : 0.0 1.9 1.0 The leading Index used in this table is the index without the target trend adjustment. for International Business Cycle Research, Rutgers University, Newark, S ource : Center n .J., j an to, 1983. forecasts. Still another point is that the average error of a group of forecasts is generally smaller than those of most of the individuals in the group, or those based on a single method of forecasting. Nevertheless, the com parison is of some interest, and one such set of records is shown in table 2. The errors in forecasts of unemployment for one quarter ahead are generally smaller, averaging about two-tenths of a percentage point, than those for two, three, or four quarters ahead, which average about fourtenths of a point. In view of the problems of compara bility mentioned above, about all one can say is that the errors in the leading index forecasts are of the same or der of magnitude as those made by forecasters using other methods. Table 2. Average absolute error in selected forecasts of the unemployment rate, 1976-80 [In percentage points] Forecast horizon (number of quarters) Time of forecast and group represented 1 2 3 4 0.2 .2 0.4 .4 0.4 .4 0.4 .4 .............................................. .2 .4 .5 .5 Late quarter: Three forecasters ............................................ .1 .3 .4 .4 Early quarter: ASA-NBER....................................................... Six forecasters ................................................. Mid-quarter: Five forecasters N ote : The early quarter forecasts are those based on preliminary estimates of the last quarter’s GNP; mid-quarter forecasts are based on the first GNP revision; and late-quarter forecasts are those made near the end of the quarter. Entries for the American Statistical Association-National Bureau of Economic Research (ASA-NBER) are errors In the median forecasts of about 40 forecasters, while the other entries are median errors. S ource : Stephen K. McNees, “ The Recent Record of Thirteen Forecasters,” N e w E n g la n d September-October 1981, pp. 5-21. E c o n o m ic R e v ie w , 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Technical Notes Chart 1. Year-to-year percentage-point change in the unemployment rate, actual and as forecast using the leading employment index, 1969-83 Percent Note: Forecasts are based on the 6-month smoothed growth rate in the leading employment index for November of the preceding year. Source: Center for International Business Cycle Research, Rutgers University, Newark, N.J. FOOTNOTE ACKNOWLEDGMENT: The author would like to thank Richard Conger, Theodore Joyce, Chantal Dubrin, Joyce Geiger, and Philip Goodman of the Center for International Business Cycle Research staff for their participation in the work underlying this report. ' The index used for the purpose of forecasting unemployment is a variant of the one regularly published by the Center for International Business Cycle Research. The published index includes a target trend adjustment to make its long-run growth trend consistent with that of 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the U.S. Department of Commerce leading index, namely 3.3 percent per year. The index used here has virtually no long-run trend. It leads the unemployment rate on average by 4 months at unemployment peaks and by 6 months at unemployment troughs for the years 1948 to 1982. For a discussion of both indexes and their uses, see Geoffrey H. Moore, “A new leading index of employment,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e view, June 1981, pp. 44—47. Since that report was written, an addi tional component — the layoff rate for all workers — has been included in both indexes. Industry diffusion indexes for average weekly hours R i c h a r d E sp o s it o and K enneth S h ip p The Bureau of Labor Statistics has developed diffusion indexes of average weekly hours of production workers on private nonagricultural payrolls. The indexes cover both nonmanufacturing and manufacturing industries at more detailed industry levels than the 20-industry in dexes produced currently by the Department of Com merce. The new indexes measure the dispersion of increase in hours. The Average Weekly Hours Diffusion Index indi cates the percentage of industries which had gains in their monthly average weekly hours series. For example, a diffusion index of 25.0 means that 25 percent of the industries covered by the index had increased average weekly hours for the month. The indexes were computed for time spans of 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months. Each is centered on the midpoint of the span, or as close to it as possible. Thus, a 3-month diffusion index measures the percentage of industries with hours rising based on the middle month. A 6-month index is centered on the third month. Onemonth indexes measure the gain in hours from the pre vious to the current month. (See table 1, pp. 34-35.) Data for average weekly hours are based on the week including the 12th day of the month. Each index was computed using the following algorithm: A + B + C where: A = The number of industries which have an in crease in their average weekly hours for the specified period; B = The number of industries which have no chang es in their average weekly hours for the speci fied period; and C = The number of industries which have declining average weekly hours for the specified period. For the 1-, 3-, 6-, and 9-month span indexes, the av erage weekly hours data have been seasonally adjusted before computation of the index. Average weekly hours Richard Esposito and Kenneth Shipp are economists in the Division of Federal / State Monthly Surveys, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis are calculated to tenths of an hour; thus, a change from 40.0 to 40.1 hours is an increase. Of the industries with no change in their average weekly hours, half are con sidered to have risen and half to have fallen. The 12-month span index uses unadjusted data. The Bureau has expanded the number of industries covered by the current diffusion index, so as to include nonmanufacturing industries, as well as changing to a more detailed unit within manufacturing. The current index produced by the Commerce Department has 2- digit Standard Industrial Classification (sic) industries in manufacturing only. The new detail includes all 3- digit SIC categories in the manufacturing sector and 2-digit SIC categories in the nonmanufacturing sector. The result of the expansion is the use of 186 indus tries to compute the indexes. Forty-nine of these indus tries are in the nonmanufacturing sector and the remaining 137 industries are in the manufacturing sec tor. The diffusion indexes, which contain both manufac turing and nonmanufacturing, are still heavily weighted toward the former. Historical diffusion indexes, particularly those prior to 1972, reflect the industry detail available, and there fore cover fewer industries, as shown in the following tabulation: Industries Period Manufacturing Feb. 1958 to Dec. 1963 Jan. 1964 to Dec. 1971 . Jan. 1972 to present . . . 90 91 137 Nonmanufacturing 14 17 49 There is some overlap for the different indexes, due to the time lag necessary to produce an index. No attempt was made to produce an index prior to 1958 because of the lack of data. Clear cyclical patterns can be discerned for the 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month indexes. Turning points in the diffu sion indexes were tentatively determined using methods developed by Bry and Boschan1. Table 2 on page 36 compares these turning points with peaks and troughs designated by the National Bureau of Economic Re search ( n b e r ). The data in table 2 suggest that the Average Weekly Hours Diffusion Index is an indicator which precedes, or leads, the NBER reference dates. However, in the pe riod since 1958, many additional peaks and troughs were also identified. These extra cycles make analysis of the Average Weekly Hours Diffusion Index somewhat ambiguous. We suggest that several other economic phenomena be observed in conjunction with the index’s cyclical movements when predicting economic move ment. To determine industry bias, diffusion indexes were 33 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Technical Notes Table 1. spari Diffusion indexes of average weekly hours in manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors by month, year, and 1-month span Year Jan. _ Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 1958 ........... 1959 ........... 1960 ........... 60.6 43.3 37.5 66.3 24.5 48.6 56.7 48.1 26.9 71.6 36.5 48.1 45.2 70.2 69.2 46.6 27.4 64.4 38.9 51.4 75.5 51.4 42.8 83.7 48.1 23.1 45.2 45.7 61.1 72.6 38.9 26.0 62.5 72.6 11.5 196 1........... 1962 ........... 1963 ........... 1964 ........... 1965 ........... 88.5 25.5 66.8 21.2 64.8 66.3 61.1 42.3 81.0 52.8 40.9 70.7 54.8 38.0 64.8 67.8 70.7 34.6 72.7 22.7 47.6 32.7 77.9 37.0 76.9 74.5 44.2 58.7 56.9 41.2 66.8 45.2 45.7 63.9 51.4 61.5 46.2 50.0 53.7 58.8 50.5 71.2 64.9 28.2 47.2 73.6 14.4 51.0 68.1 69.4 68.3 54.8 31.7 60.6 60.6 41.3 43.3 63.0 65.7 64.8 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 51.4 67.6 22.7 58.3 36.6 75.5 13.4 80.1 30.6 32.9 33.3 50.9 26.4 77.3 39.4 48.1 63.9 17.6 49.1 30.1 46.8 30.6 83.8 44.0 32.9 39.4 50.5 56.5 41.7 48.1 33.3 66.7 38.9 39.8 63.0 59.7 50.9 51.9 50.0 32.9 42.1 56.0 69.4 61.6 21.3 48.6 41.2 40.3 30.1 70.4 33.3 69.9 36.1 41.7 51.9 30.1 33.8 39.8 60.2 55.6 1971........... 1972 ........... 1973 ........... 1974 ........... 1975 ........... 62.5 56.0 44.9 51.9 55.4 40.7 51.3 71.2 37.6 22.8 62.0 53.0 58.1 47.3 43.5 45.8 63.7 50.0 19.9 69.4 24.7 31.7 80.4 45.4 52.3 55.9 40.6 41.7 61.3 62.0 46.5 56.7 38.4 57.0 41.2 53.0 35.2 45.7 75.0 37.0 46.5 63.2 29.3 62.9 65.3 60.5 36.8 34.7 56.5 70.4 54.0 66.7 27.7 56.2 62.0 36.3 40.9 40.3 72.8 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 72.8 27.7 21.8 58.9 60.8 31.5 81.7 58.1 34.1 29.6 34.7 34.7 83.1 62.4 26.9 68.8 34.7 63.2 71.8 17.7 50.3 72.8 45.2 19.9 75.8 29.3 28.0 58.9 60.5 54.6 40.1 58.6 36.3 51.1 50.8 42.2 32.0 47.3 39.8 45.7 67.7 36.3 49.5 50.5 56.7 65.1 59.4 61.3 43.0 37.9 54.3 52.2 40.6 52.7 57.0 58.1 57.0 41.9 43.8 48.4 57.5 1981........... 1982 ........... 1983 ........... 69.9 12.4 74.5 18.3 87.9 "18.3 55.1 28.5 "75.0 63.2 51.6 — 66.4 56.7 — 33.1 49.7 — 50.5 50.3 — 42.7 41.1 — 23.4 36.8 — 59.9 47.0 — 34.4 49.2 — 36.3 55.4 — 36.5 62.0 51.4 57.2 59.6 38.0 74.0 38.5 52.9 83.2 39.9 35.1 84.6 31.7 28.8 78.4 42.3 31.3 86.5 34.1 19.7 72.1 57.2 9.6 78.8 57.7 29.8 3-month span 1958 ........... 1959 ........... 1960 ........... 84.1 37.5 68.3 24.0 28.4 72.1 25.5 196 1........... 1962 ........... 1963 ........... 1964 ........... 1965 ........... 59.1 30.8 55.3 63.0 69.0 87.0 54.3 62.0 45.7 73.1 65.9 83.7 35.1 82.9 33.8 46.2 72.1 61.1 48.1 55.6 78.4 50.5 70.2 62.0 32.9 75.5 29.3 74.5 47.2 67.1 80.8 38.5 50.0 83.0 40.3 60.1 49.0 62.0 38.0 47.7 77.4 24.5 66.8 51.4 65.3 81.3 37.0 47.6 57.4 65.7 74.5 24.0 48.6 75.9 75.0 43.3 63.0 25.5 72.2 63.9 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 82.9 14.8 52.8 32.4 32.9 64.4 20.8 49.1 63.0 22.7 59.7 17.1 35.2 51.4 21.3 34.7 42.1 37.5 70.8 19.9 36.1 46.8 63.9 38.4 22.2 32.9 46.3 76.9 32.4 42.1 37.5 65.3 48.1 32.9 41.7 38.0 66.7 60.2 47.2 24.5 45.4 46.8 63.4 40.3 21.8 31.9 56.0 47.2 37.5 38.4 26.4 41.2 26.9 36.6 60.6 32.4 30.6 41.2 42.6 63.4 1971........... 1972 ........... 1973 ........... 1974 ........... 1975 ........... 48.1 73.6 54.3 33.3 22.8 57.4 65.3 67.7 34.7 28.8 50.9 60.5 69.9 19.9 39.5 73.1 50.5 43.3 43.3 57.0 66.2 50.5 31.7 39.2 66.4 72.7 36.0 40.9 69.9 55.6 56.0 52.7 40.1 33.1 75.8 44.9 50.5 57.0 25.5 80.1 50.9 56.5 34.9 27.4 76.1 67.1 53.2 62.9 18.5 61.8 75.9 46.0 44.4 21.8 73.1 76.4 39.2 53.8 31.2 80.9 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 72.8 69.1 28.0 41.1 41.1 41.9 61.8 63.2 56.7 25.8 23.1 81.7 86.3 22.0 26.1 48.9 46.2 73.1 41.1 24.2 48.4 62.6 50.5 34.4 28.0 68.0 40.6 38.7 75.8 28.8 29.0 42.7 49.5 50.5 47.8 31.7 35.8 47.8 48.4 66.1 31.7 56.2 40.9 40.3 79.3 49.2 51.6 44.4 49.7 69.9 64.0 45.7 41.1 49.5 67.2 34.4 16.9 51.9 64.8 79.6 1981........... 1982 ........... 1983 ........... 47.0 54.6 "49.2 42.7 43.5 "64.8 34.4 78.5 — 72.0 42.5 — 60.2 57.5 — 49.7 56.5 — 33.6 45.4 — 22.8 34.1 — 25.5 33.3 — 22.0 41.4 — 42.7 54.6 — 12.4 76.9 — 1958 ........... 1959 ........... 1960 ........... — 91.3 35.6 — - 77.4 38.5 68.8 19.2 46.6 59.1 26.9 72.1 51.0 38.9 81.3 44.2 26.4 78.8 32.7 48.1 91.3 29.3 11.5 89.4 51.0 7.7 93.3 47.6 28.8 93.3 26.4 37.5 81.7 30.3 51.0 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ......... ........... ........... ........... ........... 48.1 67.8 47.1 52.4 53.7 64.4 51.0 61.5 60.1 70.4 91.8 56.7 74.0 51.9 53.2 76.0 67.8 63.0 82.4 48.1 70.2 57.2 63.9 62.5 49.5 74.0 58.7 71.2 45.4 36.1 84.1 24.0 80.3 47.7 75.0 88.5 30.3 51.4 64.8 61.1 76.4 31.3 53.8 77.3 69.9 59.6 40.9 31.3 71.8 74.5 62.5 40.9 63.5 72.7 85.2 75.5 35.1 41.3 84.7 79.6 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 71.3 15.7 25.5 42.1 26.4 63.9 13.4 41.2 52.8 19.4 49.5 18.1 63.0 53.7 14.8 35.6 21.8 72.7 36.1 23.1 26.9 54.6 39.4 63.0 21.3 28.7 56.9 70.8 37.5 18.5 35.2 39.8 80.6 25.5 25.5 29.2 65.7 42.6 29.6 35.6 22.7 56.5 35.6 37.5 38.9 39.8 31.5 44.9 35.2 34.3 13.0 62.5 32.9 30.6 38.4 16.2 41.2 39.4 22.7 66.7 — — 6-month span See note at end of table. 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Continued — Diffusion indexes of average weekly hours in manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors by month, year, and span 6-month span Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 60.2 84.3 56.5 22.3 31.5 64.4 69.4 49.7 31.2 37.4 68.5 64.8 52.4 35.5 48.4 64.4 50.5 62.9 30.6 43.3 68.5 50.0 35.8 31.7 67.7 53.2 48.1 39.2 27.7 73.1 66.2 42.2 31.7 54.8 67.7 66.2 57.0 52.7 14.8 75.8 69.0 45.4 49.5 20.4 82.8 67.6 42.5 44.9 23.4 87.9 75.5 57.8 49.5 12.1 76.6 81.5 60.5 34.1 13.4 63.7 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 48.9 65.9 64.2 19.6 37.1 66.7 66.7 50.3 33.9 19.4 41.9 65.6 60.5 42.2 16.4 34.7 77.7 78.2 36.6 18.8 36.8 43.3 71.2 45.7 24.7 34.9 52.7 45.7 39.0 44.1 58.6 51.9 28.5 70.4 49.7 33.1 48.9 50.3 51.3 59.9 47.8 37.1 41.4 46.0 75.3 23.9 19.1 45.2 52.4 83.9 66.1 26.3 38.4 41.4 64.0 69.4 57.0 51.1 30.6 62.6 1981 ......... 1982 ......... 67.2 37.1 69.4 44.9 49.7 50.3 34.7 79.6 53.5 36.3 29.3 46.5 28.2 38.2 20.7 31.5 25.8 37.4 12.4 58.1 31.5 p 35.2 41.7 p 63.7 1958 ......... 1959 ......... 1960 ......... — — — — — 92.3 30.3 79.8 23.6 76.9 33.7 70.2 33.7 55.8 14.4 72.6 50.5 23.6 84.6 37.0 28.8 88.0 56.3 12.0 91.3 38.5 35.6 93.3 25.5 27.4 94.2 26.9 29.8 93.8 30.8 40.9 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 37.5 76.4 50.5 59.1 73.1 71.6 70.7 49.5 51.4 75.0 64.9 58.7 73.6 56.3 70.4 76.4 34.1 65.4 74.5 62.5 87.5 56.3 73.6 39.4 53.2 82.2 53.8 70.7 78.7 56.5 81.7 50.0 60.1 65.7 59.3 83.2 29.8 65.4 79.6 63.0 66.8 27.9 47.1 69.9 79.6 82.2 32.2 62.5 78.7 80.1 81.3 37.5 49.5 81.0 79.2 77.9 31.3 69.7 49.5 76.9 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 73.1 9.3 55.1 53.7 18.5 67.6 17.6 59.3 37.5 13.4 48.6 15.7 59.3 32.9 25.9 54.2 24.5 45.4 42.1 19.0 42.1 33.3 67.1 52.3 14.4 39.4 24.5 76.4 32.9 13.9 22.2 54.2 40.7 56.5 23.1 14.8 49.5 48.1 30.6 25.9 30.6 32.9 79.6 24.5 36.6 11.1 67.1 34.7 18.1 38.0 11.1 56.9 46.3 22.7 50.9 13.0 25.5 55.1 27.8 34.3 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 56.0 71.8 50.8 40.1 18.0 70.4 75.5 44.4 30.1 25.5 70.4 73.6 50.8 31.2 33.6 64.4 69.9 37.4 24.2 52.4 60.6 61.1 54.0 22.6 58.3 65.7 54.8 51.1 20.7 59.1 74.5 54.8 48.4 16.7 69.9 73.6 47.8 34.7 19.9 79.0 79.2 34.4 38.4 43.0 80.6 76.4 61.3 37.6 9.4 83.3 79.2 58.6 40.9 10.8 78.2 81.0 59.4 20.2 18.8 62.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 71.0 64.8 53.2 32.8 26.6 59.7 72.6 57.5 37.9 20.2 64.5 63.4 52.2 40.9 23.9 53.5 64.0 53.5 38.4 25.0 33.6 57.5 55.4 47.6 26.3 25.8 77.4 76.1 34.4 28.0 33.9 46.2 68.0 48.1 38.2 47.0 50.5 42.7 42.7 57.3 45.2 21.2 36.3 71.2 66.1 51.3 25.5 42.7 43.3 57.5 51.9 49.7 49.5 33.3 72.6 51.1 68.5 19.9 37.4 77.2 1981 ......... 1982 ......... 77.2 27.2 65.1 46.8 60.5 40.3 55.4 40.1 25.8 41.9 17.5 69.9 33.6 30.4 23.4 43.3 9.1 64.5 27.2 p 35.5 25.3 p54.8 25.0 1958 ......... 1959 ......... 1960 ......... — — — — — — 88.9 29.8 89.9 26.9 71.6 18.8 69.2 30.3 55.8 20.2 67.3 8.2 83.7 56.7 18.8 90.4 32.2 32.7 91.8 30.3 31.3 91.8 29.3 45.7 93.3 31.3 28.8 88 5 24 0 55.3 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 63.9 71.6 49.0 63.5 62.5 61.1 66.8 49.5 68.8 64.8 72.6 74.0 56.7 39.9 74.5 74.0 44.2 76.4 51.0 72.7 88.5 33.2 63.5 72.6 75.9 91.8 35.6 69.7 78.8 71.8 67.3 63.5 34.6 83.8 69.4 72.6 49.0 67.3 71.8 78.2 88.9 42.3 58.7 80.6 71.3 85.1 24.5 79.3 44.9 80.6 89.4 44.7 56.7 78.7 67.6 78 4 46 2 58 7 71 3 72.2 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 60.6 19.9 56.5 37.5 26.4 60.6 16.2 50.5 39.8 14.4 62.0 23.6 59.7 32.9 12.0 53.7 16.7 65.7 29.2 15.3 49.1 31.0 42.1 39.4 18.1 29.2 31.9 52.3 42.6 15.3 36.6 15.7 70.8 29.2 27.3 8.3 58.3 31.9 41.7 23.1 11.1 50.9 63.0 20.8 32.9 15.7 29.2 78.2 19.4 36.6 7.9 63.9 46.8 11.1 57.4 11 6 71 3 45 4 148 53.7 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 51.4 67.1 54.0 27.4 20.7 56.0 79.6 40.3 33.1 31.5 66.7 81.0 49.2 22.8 43.0 66.2 75.0 41.1 23.1 42.7 68.5 69.4 48.4 14.5 59.4 73.6 62.0 54.3 20.7 65.1 71.3 47.3 59.1 21.5 75.8 78.2 55.6 39.0 12.9 80.4 73.6 61.6 29.3 13.2 79.6 86.1 53.8 24.5 35.5 64.5 72.7 57.3 35.5 15.3 78.0 74 5 46 8 34 7 177 73.9 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 71.2 44.4 54.6 30.1 23.7 57.8 59.1 50.0 34.9 26.9 44.6 66.4 49.7 35.5 25.8 54.0 64.5 39.2 40.3 37.4 56.5 62.4 53.8 45.4 37.9 43.5 55.6 53.8 45.7 42.7 21.0 48.9 76.9 48.1 50.5 50.0 29.0 61.6 43.8 38.4 54.0 60.8 49.7 27.4 51.1 62.5 66.7 18.3 61.8 53.8 48.7 50.8 37.4 30.9 70.7 63 2 46 5 30 9 23 4 69.4 1981 ......... 1982 ......... 70.7 28.5 69.4 23.1 39.2 33.9 43.5 23.4 33.3 32.5 24.5 43.0 5.6 80.9 40.9 p30.4 25.0 »60.5 21.2 21.0 — 25 0 - 9-month span 12-month span N ote : Indexes are computed using seasonally adjusted data, except for the 12-month index. Three-digit SIC categories are included in the manufacturing sector, and 2-digit ones In nonmanufacturing. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p=preliminary. 35 M O N T H L Y L A B O R REVIEW May 1983 • Technical Notes Table 2. Diffusion index peaks and troughs and those of the business cycle1 Diffusion index peaks NBER1 reference peaks 1 month 3 months 6 months 9 months 12 months Sept. 1958 June 1961 May 1965 Feb. 1968 Nov. 1971 Aug. 1975 Mar. 1978 — — Oct. 1958 Oct. 1961 Jan. 1966 June 1968 Dec. 1971 Dec. 1975 Mar. 1977 Dec. 1980 — Nov. 1958 Aug. 1961 Nov, 1965 July 1968 Jan. 1972 Oct. 1975 Apr. 1977 Oct. 1980 Apr. 1982 — May 1961 Oct. 1965 Sept. 1968 Dec. 1971 Oct. 1975 June 1977 Jan. 1981 — — Nov. 1961 Oct. 1965 Dec. 1967 Oct. 1971 Aug. 1975 Mar. 1977 Jan. 1981 — Aug. 1957 Apr. 1960 — — Dec. 1969 Nov. 1973 — Jan. 1980 July 1981 — 1 month 3 months 6 months 9 months 12 months troughs Dec. 1960 Oct. 1962 Feb. 1967 Sept. 1970 Feb. 1975 June 1976 — Jan. 1982 Nov. 1960 Nov. 1962 Jan. 1967 Apr. 1970 Oct. 1974 July 1976 Apr. 1980 Dec. 1981 Sept. 1960 July 1962 Nov. 1966 Mar. 1970 Nov. 1974 Aug. 1976 Mar. 1980 Oct. 1981 Aug. 1960 Sept. 1962 Jan. 1967 Feb. 1970 Oct. 1974 June 1976 Feb. 1980 Sept. 1981 June 1960 Oct. 1962 Nov. 1966 Mar. 1970 Aug. 1974 July 1976 Dec. 1979 July 1981 NBER1 Diffusion index troughs 1Designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research. 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Apr. 1958 Feb. 1961 — — Nov. 1970 Mar. 1975 — July 1980 _ com puted, as a test, for both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors using the same procedures described earlier. The nonmanufacturing index indicates less volatile changes than that of manufacturing. This is particularly true in the 9- and 12-month spans where trend curves and cyclical m ovem ent are more easily identified. A lthough we did not pursue this further, the new indexes will be som ewhat affected by the subdued behavior of the nonmanufacturing industries. We hope that these indexes will be useful to the econ om ist w ho attem pts to forecast future econom ic activi ty. Perhaps they will provide a stronger analytical framework for developing business, labor, and govern ment policies. □ --------- F O O T N O T E ---------1Gerhard Bry and Charlotte Boschan, C y c lic a l A n a ly sis o f T im e S e ries: S e le c te d P r o c e d u re s a n d C o m p u te r P r o g ra m s, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1971, Columbia University Press, New York and London. Research Summaries a The origins and operations of area labor-management committees R ic h a r d D. Leone and M ic h a e l F. E leey Labor-management cooperation is not a new develop ment. Throughout the twentieth century, and especially during wartime or when specific industries experienced crisis, labor and management have, on occasion, set up joint committees to address issues not readily resolved through traditional collective bargaining mechanisms.1 Never viewed as substitutes for the bargaining process, but rather as complementary to it, these committees attempted to resolve problems confronting particular plants or industries in a nonadversarial manner. Area labor-management committees, most of which emerged in the 1970’s, have a somewhat different focus. They bring together the chief spokespersons of local la bor unions and business organizations in an effort to re solve problems affecting the economic well-being of an entire community, rather than a particular worksite or industry. Their focus is usually on job retention and creation. This report reviews the highlights of some re cent research on four main aspects of area labor-man agement committees: (1) where and why area committees have been formed, (2) how they are developed and sustained, (3) how they are structured and what pro grams they have carried out, and (4) what role the Fed eral Government has played in the process.2 Born of hard times Most of the area labor-management committees established to date are found in the Northeast and Mid west. (See exhibit 1.) Although the communities in which they have developed vary in size, political struc ture, and industrial mix, they are all places in which un employment is high, companies and unions are perceived as having poor labor-management relations, the popula tion and the labor force are declining, there is a high Richard D. Leone, professor of industrial relations and organizational behavior, is director of the Center for Labor and Human Resource Studies, Temple University. Michael F. Eleey is assistant director. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis degree of unionization, and the local economic base is deteriorating. Obviously these interrelated problems do not arise overnight, but rather grow out of corporate and union decisions rooted in the past. Nevertheless, it is usually an immediate crisis, such as a plant closing or a prolonged labor dispute, which finally impels local leaders to take action. The Jamestown, N.Y., experience was typical of how and why area labor-management committees were formed.3 In the early 1950’s, Jamestown began to lose jobs in manufacturing. The decline accelerated in the 1960’s when the wood furniture industry, the basis of Jamestown’s manufacturing employment, moved South. In 1971, nearly 1,000 workers were affected by employ er bankruptcies and plant closings. An additional 2,800 jobs were threatened, and unemployment was already at 10 percent, almost twice the national average. The city’s population and labor force were declining, many young educated people were leaving the area, and attempts to attract new businesses were failing. These converging forces prompted five prominent in dividuals to begin the search for a solution. The local federal mediator, a local labor lawyer, and an official of the Jamestown Manufacturers’ Association began to meet informally. After several discussions, they ap proached Mayor Stanley Lundine and discovered that he and the city ombudsman, a former labor leader, had also begun to explore how the loss of jobs might be stemmed. All five agreed that poor labor-management relations were at the heart of the problem. The mayor took the lead. At first, he met with lead ers of local businesses and labor unions separately, hav ing been advised by the others not to bring them together in the same room. Subsequently, he called the labor and business leaders together, in sessions which were unavoidably acrimonious. Over the course of a se ries of dinners and luncheons, however, the barriers be tween the parties gradually disintegrated. Once both sides realized they had mutual interests, a spirit of trust began to emerge. As a result of candid dialogue with each other and some fresh ideas and perspectives suggested by outside speakers, the two sides decided to adopt a joint committee structure, in order to maintain the new spirit of cooperation and to begin addressing issues which affected the community as a whole. 37 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Research Summaries Not only was the Jamestown experience typical of the development of most area committees, but through a combination of support from the Federal Government, coverage by the national press, and its own geographic centrality (in the Northeast-Midwest quadrant of the United States), the Jamestown committee became a model which could be studied by other communities with similar problems. As a result, many of its structur al features and programs were adopted in other locali ties.4 Exhibit 1. Area labor-management committees in the United States Year established Problems with representation and funding Prior to the 1970’s, when most of the current areawide committees were established, many U.S. com munities had experimented, at one time or another, with labor-management cooperation on an areawide level, largely in an attempt to minimize strikes. But these ef forts usually failed because they were dominated by ei ther labor or management, and because the communities lacked funding to hire a staff and maintain programs. These two hazards continue to pose a threat to the exist ence of area committees, even today. To maintain a sense of balance, area labor-manage ment committees consist of an equal number of repre sentatives from labor and business, with each group selecting a spokesperson to serve as cochairperson. The representatives from both sides must feel that the ac tions taken by the committee are to their mutual bene fit, and because they do not usually have a formal mandate from their respective union and management organizations, they must be certain that decisions reached by the committee will be viewed favorably by their constituents. Most area labor-management committees publish statements of their goals, which tend to focus on labormanagement relations in the community, human re sources development and training, local economic devel opment, and increased productivity. But inasmuch as the members serve voluntarily and have other commit ments, area committees cannot pursue these goals with concrete programs unless they can secure and maintain a staff. Thus, to a large extent, a committee’s history re flects its ongoing search for funds. Again, the James town experience is significant, and typifies the funding and organizational patterns of most other committees, at least since the mid-1970’s. Although the city of Jamestown provided the seed money in early 1973, a grant from the Economic Devel opment Administration marked the first time that Fed eral dollars were awarded to support an area committee. These funds enabled the Jamestown committee to hire a full-time executive director, and in the process, signalled the institutionalization of the areawide committee con cept. From 1973 to 1982, the Jamestown committee re ceived $1.1 million from various sources, with the city providing slightly more than one-fourth of these funds. 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1S Location P opulatio n1 1945 Toledo, Ohio 354,635 1946 Louisville, Kentucky 298,451 1953 Chattanooga, Tennessee 169,565 1958 Jackson, Michigan 39,734 1963 South Bend, Indiana 1965 Green Bay, Wisconsin 78,899 1970 Appleton, Wisconsin Marquette, Michigan 59,032 23,289 1972 Jamestown, New York Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 35,775 424,205 1975 Buffalo, New York Cumberland, Maryland Dunkirk-Fredonia, New York Evansville, Indiana Lock Haven, Pennsylvania Youngstown, Ohio 357,870 25,933 26,636 130,496 9,617 115,436 1976 Elmira, New York Springfield, Ohio 1977 Muskegon, Michigan Riverside-San Bernardino, California St. Louis, Missouri Stevens Point, Wisconsin 40,823 288,933 453,085 22,970 1979 Beaumont, Texas Duluth, Minnesota Paducah, Kentucky Portsmouth, Ohio Scranton-Avoca, Pennsylvania Sioux City, Iowa 118,102 92,811 29,315 25,943 87,378 82,003 1980 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1982 Kankakee, Illinois Lansing, Michigan ource : 109,727 35,327 72,563 1,688,210 30,141 130,414 1980 Census. Most area committees, however, do not receive this lev el of local government support. On average, they have received about 18 percent of their funds from city and county governments. The bulk of funds for area committees have come from three Federal agencies: the Economic Development Administration, the Appalachian Regional Commission, and the Department of Labor, under provisions of the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act. Promot ing labor-management cooperation was not part of the explicit mission of any of these three agencies, but their award of funds to area committees was justified on the grounds that the committees would increase productivi ty, promote job retention and creation, and be active in manpower training— all of which were high priorities of the agencies. The three agencies, however, gradually withdrew their support. Today, the only source of Fed eral funding is the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, acting pursuant to the Labor-Management Co operation Act of 1978. As a result of continuing budget pressures, area la bor-management committees have been compelled to devote, on average, between 30 and 40 percent of their efforts to fund-raising— a burden which is not likely to decrease in the absence of a broader government funding program. Historically, area committees have not been able to develop other major sources of income. Despite extensive efforts, they have only been able to generate about 11 percent of their total funds from non governmental sources, such as dues from member orga nizations, private grants, and fees from workshops and seminars. Funding interruptions and discontinuations tend to take a toll on any organization, and in the ab sence of more stable financing, the true effectiveness of an area committee cannot be fully ascertained. Structure and programs Committee membership divides roughly into two groups. The core group consists of those leaders who were involved in establishing the committee. It includes the labor and management cochairpersons, the commit tee’s executive director, and perhaps one or two addi tional key individuals. All other members constitute what might be termed the support group, who are somewhat less actively involved in the operation of the committee. Support group members usually attend meetings and are present for most public events spon sored by the committee. A moderate degree of turnover among the committee’s support group appears to help maintain a flow of new ideas and perspectives. Turnover among the core group, however, is quite a different m at ter. Frequent or sudden changes among top committee leaders have usually caused serious problems for the or ganization as a whole. The individual qualities of its key personnel are cen tral to the success of an area committee. To maintain its effectiveness, a committee must attract members from the top echelon of local business and labor leaders. The leadership capabilities of its two cochairpersons have a vital impact on the committee’s ability to develop a consensus regarding its programs and policies and on its ability to interact effectively with other power cen ters within the community. The executive director’s role requires communications skills and administrative abili ty; furthermore, it demands an individual who is per ceived as neutral in labor-management issues and has a solid reputation in the local labor relations community. How often a committee meets is not as important as the way in which it reaches its decisions. The process adopted by most area committees can be characterized as group consensus. Full agreement from both sides is a necessary requirement of decisionmaking, and most committees take very few, if any, formal votes. Committees generally agree to move toward their goals by supporting activities in one or more of four broad program areas. First, they sponsor events such as dinners, conferences, and seminars which are not only educational in nature, but which also improve commu nication between labor and management. Second, they https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis promote labor-management committees to increase pro ductivity and enhance the quality of worklife at local worksites. Third, they occasionally serve as informal mediators in labor disputes. And, fourth, they involve themselves, directly or indirectly, in local economic de velopment. Improved communications. As noted previously, dinners and luncheons serve to reduce tension and promote trust between the parties in the early stages of a com mittee’s formation. Once the committees have become established, they continue to sponsor such events throughout their existence. Many of these social events are also open to nonmembers, especially other union and management leaders. Many committees have also hosted annual confer ences on such topics as employee participation and quality of worklife. These conferences serve several functions. First, they provide a forum where exponents of labor-management cooperation can exchange ideas with one another and with those unfamiliar with the concept. Second, these conferences communicate— not only to the people in the community where they are held, but also to the broader, national public— the fact that the leadership in the local area believes cooperation through participation in an area labor-management committee can coexist with collective bargaining. In addition, committees support workshops and semi nars on topics such as job sharing, employee ownership, problem solving, productivity, worksite committees, grievance administration, economic development, and labor relations in general. These workshops are usually designed to attract local foremen, shop stewards, man agers, and employees, who are able to bring back to their home bases new ideas and approaches to worklife issues and problems. Those who attend these dinners, conferences, and seminars attest to their efficacy in promoting trust, un derstanding, and mutual respect. There is ample evi dence in the communities we studied that few, if any, of these events would have taken place had the area com mittee not existed. Worksite committees. Employee participation at the plant or worksite has recently come to be subsumed un der the rubric, “quality of worklife,” or q w l . In the early 1970’s, q w l programs began to gain acceptance in nonunion settings and in several large unionized compa nies, quite independently of the area-committee move ment. In 1973, Eric Trist, a leader in the development of employee participation programs in Europe and the United States, became a consultant to the Jamestown Committee. He recommended that as part of its overall program the committee support the development of em ployee participation, in the form of labor-management committees at local worksites. 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Research Summaries Through these worksite committees, employees re ceive detailed management information about plant op erations, and at the same time share their own knowl edge with supervisory personnel. The committees consider such issues as skills development, plant layout, productivity, gain-sharing, job redesign, health and safe ty, retention of workers in a layoff situation, and work rules not covered in a collective bargaining agreement. Because these problems can develop rapidly, committees tend to meet on a frequent schedule. Many of the businesses located in the communities are of small or medium size. Unlike larger companies, they do not have specialized staff to implement a worksite committee program, nor can they afford to hire outside consultants, as many large firms have been compelled to do. The basic role of an area committee vis-a-vis worksite committees, therefore, has been to pro vide this technical assistance. In fulfilling this role, many committees have had substantial impact in their communities. The vast majority of worksite committees in the communities we studied would not have been es tablished without the area committee’s interest and sup port. There are two basic policies that area committees follow in their relationships with worksite committees. At some area committees, a staff member remains per manently associated with the worksite committee. The advantages of this are that (1) technical expertise is con tinuously available to the committee, and (2) the con tinuing presence of a third party helps to maintain the group’s focus on essential issues and prevent irrelevant ones from burdening or destroying the problem-solving process. Other area committees require their staff to withdraw from active participation in the worksite com mittee some 6 to 9 months after it has been established, although some informal contact is usually maintained. The justification given for this approach is that, with limited area committee resources, it increases the num ber of worksite committees that can be established. In sum, an area labor-management committee can promote the local development of worksite committees in several ways. It can act as a resource center, provid ing information and hands-on assistance in quality-ofworklife techniques and labor-management cooperation. It can serve as the hub of a network through which lo cal unions and companies can share ideas and experi ences. And an area committee can provide those inter ested in q w l with the opportunity to explore with their peers the pros and cons of forming a worksite commit tee, without needing to commit themselves pre maturely. Facilitating collective bargaining. An issue which arises early in the development of an area labor-management committee is how it will deal with problems involving 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis collective bargaining relationships or the administration of labor contracts. While committee participants ac knowledge that collective bargaining’s limitations have contributed to some of the community’s problems, they also realize that labor and management view the bar gaining process as their private forum. Thus, commit tees usually make a formal declaration that none of their programs will disturb the delicate balance of rela tionships established over time through collective bar gaining, nor otherwise affect the terms of any collective bargaining agreements.5 At first glance, this public position may seem ex treme, especially because in most communities where committees have been formed, long or bitter strikes have contributed to a poor labor-relations climate. But because of the sanctity of bargaining, this official stance is a prerequisite for encouraging committee participa tion. In practice, however, many committee programs do touch on collective bargaining relationships, though they fall short of intervening in the bargaining process itself. Consistent with the general goal of “improving the labor-management climate,” executive directors and members of area committees have often been called upon by the principal parties to serve as mediators in contract negotiations or other labor disputes. Most executive directors have had previous experience in me diation. Over time, they become familiar with the bargaining relationships in the local area and gain re spect as a neutral party. In addition to the executive di rector, members of the committee itself may facilitate the bargaining process. In some cases, members have served as personal messengers or go-betweens, transmit ting to the parties the relative positions taken by the other side. Committees have also been called upon to study the positions of the parties and make impartial recommendations. In other cases, they have recom mended that the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service assume responsibility. In the final analysis, whatever mediation role an area committee selects, its participation must be very informal and conducted with the utmost discretion. Supporting local economic development. Local economic development activities are aimed at encouraging existing employers to maintain or expand their operations in the area, and at persuading other firms to move into the area. To the degree that worksite committees and an area committee’s mediation roles may diffuse hostility in labor-management relations, employers that otherwise would move will be encouraged to remain in the area. But encouraging new firms to locate in the area requires a more active posture on the part of an area committee. Most localities have one or more agencies designated to promote economic development. Almost all area committees have among their members a representative from the local economic development community. This liaison keeps local leaders informed about efforts at im proving the local economy, brings a broader spectrum of perspectives to the development process, and commu nicates a sense of community cohesion. Local economic development efforts are often politicized, fragmented, and counterproductive because of jurisdictional strug gles. Among other things, area committees have helped to bridge these gulfs which sometimes separate compet ing local agencies. Numerous factors influence a company’s decision to locate in one place versus another, and in many cases the labor relations climate is an im portant consider ation. The fact that labor and management are interacting within the context of an area committee projects a more positive image for the local community. Furthermore, the cochairpersons and the executive di rector of a committee can communicate directly with potential employers, and in some cases these individuals have been very effective in making the case for the broad range of potential benefits associated with locat ing in the area. The role of the Federal Government In 1976, Congressman Stanley Lundine, former may or of Jamestown and a leading proponent of labormanagement cooperation, introduced the Human Re source Development Act, which contained provisions advocating Federal support for labor-management co operation. But because much of the rest of the act was similar to the Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act, Lundine’s proposal was not reported out of com mittee. In 1977, he introduced a second version of the Human Resource Development Act, and, in 1978, the labor-management cooperation provisions of the bill were added as a rider to the Comprehensive Employ ment and Training Act. The stated objectives of this self-contained legislation, the Labor-Management Coop eration Act of 1978, reflected many of the principles and practices of area committees, such as improving communications and working relationships between la bor and management, providing workers and employers with opportunities to explore joint approaches to prob lems not amenable to resolution by collective bargaining, and developing ways of increasing produc tivity and promoting economic development. Further more, the act provided for Federal assistance in the formation of labor-management committees at the worksite, industry, and areawide levels.6 The Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service was charged with implementing the provisions of the LaborManagement Cooperation Act of 1978. Although the act authorized funding levels for 1979 and 1980, appro priations were not approved until the spring of 1981, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and then only after extensive lobbying efforts. The regu lations subsequently adopted by the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service concerning areawide commit tees provided that grants to existing committees could be for up to 2 years, and grants to new ones could be for 3. To date, the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service has funded seven committees which were al ready in operation, and an equal number of new ones. Other than these, no new committees have been formed. Meanwhile, as noted earlier, the three traditional sources of Federal funds— the Economic Development Agency, the Appalachian Regional Commission, and the Department of Labor— have all terminated their fi nancial support. It is as yet too soon to determine if the committees receiving funds under the Labor-Management Coopera tion Act will become self-sufficient, as the Federal Me diation and Conciliation Service regulations assume they should. There is strong evidence, however, that without further Federal financing, new committees will not be established and, as they seek alternative funding, those already operating will risk jeopardizing their indepen dence and flexibility— two essential elements of the area labor-management committee concept. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------' See Selig Perlman and Philip Taft, H is to r y o f L a b o r in th e U n ite d (New York, Macmillan, 1935); Dorothea de Schweinitz, L a b o r a n d M a n a g e m e n t in a C o m m o n E n te rp r is e (Cambridge, Mass., Har vard University Press, 1949); and William Gomberg, “Special Study Committees,” in John T. Dunlop and Neil W. Chamberlain, eds., F ro n tie rs o f C o lle c tiv e B a rg a in in g (New York, Harper and Row, 1967). 2This article is based largely on the findings of a national study of area labor-management committees conducted in 1980-1982 by the Center for Labor and Human Resource Studies, Temple University, under contract from the U.S. Department of Labor. The purpose of the project was to assess the origins, structure, and function of these unique institutional forms. The study used a comparative case method and focused on eight representative sites: Buffalo and Jamestown, N.Y.; Scranton, Pittsburgh, and Clinton County, Pa; Cumberland, Md.; Paducah, Ky.; and Evansville, Ind. More than 100 area commit tee participants and staff members were interviewed at length, and nu merous other individuals and agencies were contacted. For the detailed findings, see Richard D. Leone, Michael F. Eleey, David W. Watkins, and Joel E. Gershenfeld, O p e ra tio n o f A r e a L a b o r -M a n a g e m e n t C o m m itte e s (Washington, U.S. Department of Labor, LaborManagement Services Administration, 1982). 3See Charlene Gorda Costanzo and Joel E. Gershenfeld, A D e c a d e S ta te s o f C h a n g e: T h e Ten Y e a r R e p o r t o f th e J a m e s to w n A r e a L a b o r - M a n a g e m e n t C o m m itte e (Jamestown, N.Y., Jamestown Areawide Labor- Management Committee, 1982). 4 Presently there are over 30 area labor-management committees in the United States, all but nine of which were established after James town’s. For a comprehensive listing, see R e s o u r c e G u id e to L a b o r M a n a g e m e n t C o o p era tio n (Washington, U.S. Department of Labor, Labor-Management Services Administration, 1982), pp. 190-2. 5The Toledo, Ohio, area labor-management committee is an excep tion to this pattern of official non-involvement in collective bargaining. Since its inception in 1945, the Toledo committee has served as the city’s official mediation agency. 6F e d e r a l R e g is te r (General Services Administration), Dec. 11, 1981, p. 60645. 41 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Research Summaries Number of occupational deaths remained essentially unchanged in 1981 Ja n e t M a c o n Bureau of Labor Statistics survey results show that the number of work-related deaths in private-sector estab lishments employing 11 or more workers, was 4,370 in 1981, compared with 4,400 in 1980 (table l).1 The cor responding fatality rate was essentially the same— 7.6 per 100,000 full-time workers in 1981 and 7.7 in 1980. (Overall the number of employees on the job and the hours they worked changed only slightly between 1980 and 1981.) Employers participating in the Annual Survey of Oc cupational Injuries and Illnesses were asked to supply specific information about all deaths caused by hazards in the work environment, that is, the object or event most closely associated with the circumstances of the fa tality. Estimates of the percentage of fatalities by cause represent the 2-year average for the 1980 and 1981 sur veys. Percentages were calculated for the 2 years com bined rather than for each year separately as large sampling errors at the industry division level preclude precise comparisons based on year-to-year changes. The 4,370 fatalities represent all deaths reported re sulting from a job-related injury or illness in 1981, re gardless of the length of time between the injury and death or the length of illness resulting in death. Of these, about 460 were related to illness. The percentage of fatalities in wholesale and retail trade increased from 13 percent of the total in 1980 to 17 percent in 1981. The construction industry account ed for 18 percent of fatalities, which continued to be more than three times the industry’s share of employ ment (5 percent), and the mining industry had 11 per cent of the fatalities— about six times its share of employment (2 percent). Manufacturing continued to have the largest number of fatalities among the industry divisions, but the percentage of the total dropped from 25 in 1980 to 23 in 1981. Analysis by cause Falls contributed to about 11 percent of the deaths. About half occurred in the construction industry, which had only 5 percent of total employment. Heart attacks, which were about 11 percent of the total, occurred at a slightly higher frequency in the con struction and transportation and public utilities indus tries when compared with employment percentages. Accidents involving industrial vehicles or equipment caused about 10 percent of the fatal cases; nearly onethird occurred in construction. About one-sixth of these fatalities occurred in the oil and gas extraction industry, which is unusually high, because this industry had less than 1 percent of total employment. About 6 percent of the deaths were by electrocutions; nearly one-third occurred in construction. About threefifths of the gunshot fatalities took place in wholesale and retail trade, an industry with 24 percent of total private-sector employment. One-fifth of the deaths from aircraft crashes were in the oil and gas extraction sector of the mining industry. Manufacturing, which had 31 percent of employment, incurred 56 percent of total deaths caused by fire, 83 percent of deaths caused by plant machinery operation, 46 percent of deaths caused by explosions, and 57 per cent of deaths caused by gas inhalation. Analysis by industry Agriculture, forestry, and fishing. Nearly half of all deaths in this industry were caused by over-the-road motor vehicles (23 percent) and industrial types of vehi cles or equipment (25 percent). Heart attacks were the cause of death in 14 percent of the cases and electrocu tions in 12 percent. Mining— oil and gas extraction only. Accidents with over-the-road motor vehicles and equipment combined accounted for nearly 3 of every 5 deaths in this segment of the mining industry. Falls and aircraft crashes each contributed 9 percent of the fatalities. Construction. As in previous years, falls were the major cause of death in the construction industry, accounting for 29 percent of all cases. Accidents involving over-theroad motor vehicles caused 15 percent of all fatalities and industrial vehicles or equipment caused 16 percent. Ten percent of all cases were due to electrocution. Four major causes of death were over-the-road motor vehicles, falls, heart attacks, and industrial vehicles or equipment, accounting for more than 60 percent of all cases (table 2). Accidents with over-the-road m otor vehicles caused about 30 percent of the deaths, about one-third occur ring in transportation and public utilities industries, which had only 7 percent of total employment (table 3). Manufacturing. Accidents attributable to over-the-road motor vehicles were the major cause of death in this in dustry accounting for 1 of every 5 cases. Heart attacks, industrial vehicles or equipment, falls, and plant ma chinery operations accounted for 40 percent of all cases. Janet Macon is a statistician in the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Transportation and public utilities. Over half of all cases were attributable to accidents involving over-the-road 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Occupational injury and illness fatalities and employment for employers with 11 employees or more by industry, 1980 and 1981 Fatalities Annual average employment1 1980 Industry division 1981 1980 1981 Percent Number (thousands) Percent Number Percent Number Percent 62,263 100 62,981 100 4,400 100 4,370 100 806 949 3,103 19,616 4,667 15,293 4,071 13,758 1 2 5 32 7 24 7 22 845 1,047 2,982 19,507 4,677 15,475 4,183 14,265 1 2 5 31 7 24 7 23 140 460 830 1,080 810 580 150 350 3 10 19 25 18 13 3 8 130 500 800 990 750 730 120 350 3 11 18 23 17 17 3 8 Number (thousands) Private sector ............................................... Agriculture, forestry, and fishing............................... Mining ....................................................................... Construction.............................................................. Manufacturing .......................................................... Transportation and public utilities............................. Wholesale and retail trad e........................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate ........................ Services .................................................................. posite of data from State unemployment insurance programs and an average quarterly esti mate of hired farmworkers engaged in agricultural production from the Department of Agriculture. The estimate Is adjusted to exclude employment on farms with fewer than 11 em ployees. 1 Annual average employment for nonagricultural industries is based on the employment and earnings survey conducted by BLS, in cooperation with State agencies. The employ ment estimate for the services division is adjusted to exclude the nonfarm portion of agricul tural services and nondassifiable establishments. Employment estimates have been adjusted based on County Business Patterns to exclude establishments with fewer than 11 employ ees. Annual average employment for the agriculture, forestery, and fishing division is a com N ote : Because of rounding, components may not add to totals. Services. Accidents involving over-the-road motor vehi cles were the cause of 37 percent of all fatalities in this industry and heart attacks were the cause of 15 percent. Twelve percent of all cases were caused by objects or events not specified in the table. These come under “all other” causes and include, for example, contact with toxic substances, drowning, and freezing or extreme cold. m otor vehicles. Heart attacks and electrocutions con tributed 9 percent each. Wholesale and retail trade. The major cause of death in this industry was accidents involving over-the-road mo tor vehicles (33 percent). Gunshot injuries (mainly as a result of robberies) and heart attacks each contributed 16 percent of the fatalities. Background of survey Finance, insurance, and real estate. Nearly three of every 4 cases in this industry involved either over-the-road m otor vehicle accidents (49 percent) or heart attacks (24 percent). The Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses is a Federal and State program in which re ports are received and processed by State agencies par- Table 2. Distribution by industry division: causes of fatalities resulting from occupational injury and illness in units with 11 employees or more, private sector, 1980 and 19811 [In percent] Cause2 Total3 Mining — Agriculture, oil and gas forestry, extraction Construction and fishing only Manufacturing Transportation Wholesale and and public retail utilities4 trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services T o ta l....................................................................................... 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Over-the-road motor vehicles .......................................................... Falls .................................................................................................. Heart a tta cks .................................................................................... Industrial vehicles or equipment....................................................... Struck by objects other than vehicles or equipment........................ Electrocutions .................................................................................. Gunshots........................................................................................... Aircraft crashes ................................................................................ Caught in, under, or between objects other than vehicles or equipment ..................................................................................... Fires .................................................................................................. Plant machinery operations.............................................................. Explosions......................................................................................... Gas Inhalations.................................................................................. All oth e r............................................................................................. 30 11 11 10 7 6 4 3 23 5 14 25 1 12 4 4 29 9 4 29 5 6 0 9 15 29 7 16 21 10 10 10 37 9 15 ( 5) 8 8 10 6 2 2 33 4 16 2 12 2 16 1 49 3 24 8 55 5 9 4 3 9 2 3 0 0 1 3 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 1 5 1 3 4 1 ( 5) ( 6) 3 6 10 1 3 1 3 4 4 4 4 ( 5) 2 <5) 4 11t is Impossible to estimate year-to-year changes precisely because at the Industry division level sampling errors are large. Therefore, the results are for both years rather than a compari- 4 Excludes railroads, 5 Less than 1 percent. son between them. 2 Cause is defined as the object or event associated with the fatality. 3 Excludes coal, metal and nonmetal mining, and railroads, for which data are not available. N ote : https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ( 5) 3 ( 5) 2 1 4 6 1 1 1 1 3 ( 5) 5 16 2 0 0 0 ( 5) 1 2 1 ( 5) 1 12 Because of rounding, percentages may not add to 100. 43 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Research Summaries Table 3. Distribution by cause: fatalities resulting from occupational injury and illness in units with 11 employees or more, private sector, by industry division, 1980 and 19811 [In percent] Cause2 Over-the-road motor vehicles......................................................... F a lls .................................................................................................. Heart attacks .................................................................................. Industrial vehicles or equipment ..................................................... Struck by objects other than vehicles or equipment ...................... Electrocutions .................................................................................. Gunshots ......................................................................................... Aircraft crashes................................................................................ Caught in, under, or between objects other than vehicles or equipm ent.................................................................................... F ire s.................................................................................................. Plant machinery operations.............................................................. Explosions......................................................................................... Gas inhalation .................................................................................. All other ........................................................................................... Total3 Mining — Agriculture, oil and gas forestry, extraction and fishing only Transportation Wholesale and and retail public trade utilities4 Finance, insurance, and real estate Services 3 2 5 9 1 7 4 5 6 5 2 17 5 6 0 20 10 50 13 31 24 31 ( 5) 11 18 24 25 26 33 24 11 23 32 7 14 6 8 25 10 20 17 5 23 4 28 5 63 6 ( 5) 5 10 7 11 7 1 3 11 11 100 100 100 100 100 100 2 4 2 2 3 4 2 6 1 2 1 6 24 6 3 27 15 12 24 56 83 46 57 27 4 14 2 15 10 15 26 6 6 7 10 12 15 2 0 0 0 ( 5) 4 5 3 2 4 24 ticipating with BLS. The occupational fatality data re ported are based on the records which employers maintain under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. Excluded from coverage under the act are working conditions which are covered by other Federal safety and health laws. The survey covers units in private industries. Exclud ed are the self-employed; farmers with fewer than 11 employees; private households; and employees in Feder al, State, and local government agencies. In a separate reporting system, agencies of the Federal Government are filing reports comparable with those of private in dustry with the Secretary of Labor. The 1981 survey, to which response was mandatory, involved a sample of 220,000 units with 11 or more em ployees. Estimates based on a sample may differ from figures that would have been obtained had a complete https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Manufacturing 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1It is impossible to estimate year-to-year changes precisely because at the industry division level sampling errors are large. Therefore, the results are for both years rather than a compari son between them. 2 Cause is defined as the object or event associated with the fatality. 3 Excludes coal, metal and nonmetal mining, and railroads, for which data are not available. 44 Construction 5 1 7 ( 5) 0 0 4 Excludes railroads. 5 Less than 1 percent. N ote : Because of rounding, percentages may not add to 100. census of establishments been possible using the same schedules and procedures. Relative standard errors are calculated for the estimates generated from the Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses and are made available to the public. □ --------- F O O T N O T E ---------1Since 1977, the fatality data have been published only for units with 11 employees or more because the reductions of the survey sam ples affected primarily employers with fewer than 11 employees. The reductions were in response to presidential directives on reducing the paperwork burden of employers selected to participate in statistical surveys. Data for occupational fatalities in coal, metal and nonmetal mining, and railroads were provided by the Mine Safety and Health Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor and by the Federal Railroad Administration of the U.S. Department of Transportation; however, data were not provided on the objects or events which re sulted in on-the-job deaths for these industrial activities. See “Occupational deaths declined in 1980, BLS survey finds,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , January 1982, pp. 49-52. M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of selected collective bargaining agreements expiring in June is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. E m p lo y e r an d lo c a tio n L a b o r o r g a n iz a tio n 1 I n d u str y N u m ber of w orkers 1,650 1,750 1,000 1,300 1,400 1,000 Acme Markets, Inc. (Pennsylvania)...................................................................... Affiliated Hospitals of San Francisco (California) ........................................... Allis-Chalmers Corp. (Pennsylvania)................................................................... Aluminum Co. of America (Interstate) .............................................................. Amax, Inc., United States Metals Refining Co. (New Jersey) ..................... AM F Harley-Davidson Motor Co., Inc. (W isco n sin )...................................... Associated General Contractors of America, Inc. California-Northern Chapters, 4 agreements ................................................ Retail trade ................................ H o s p ita ls ...................................... Machinery ................................... Primary metals ........................... Primary m e t a ls ........................... Transportation equipment . . . . Food and Commercial W o r k e rs........... American Nurses Association ............. Machinists ................................................ Auto W orkers........................................... Steelworkers .............................................. Allied Industrial Workers ..................... Construction................................ Georgia Chapter (Atlanta, G a . ) ........................................................................ Oklahoma Chapter................................................................................................. Rhode Island Chapter ......................................................................................... San Diego Chapter (California) ......................................................................... Seattle and Tacoma Chapters (W ashington)................................................... Southern California Chapters, 6 agreements (California) ........................... Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ Association of Steel Erectors and Heavy Equipment Operators, Inc. (Georgia) Avco Corp., Aerostructures Division (Nashville, T e n n .)................................ Avco Corp., Lycoming Division (Williamsport, Pa.) ..................................... Construction................................ Laborers; Operating Engineers; Plaster ers and Cement Masons; and Teamsters (Ind.) L aborers...................................................... Operating E ngineers................................ Carpenters ................................................ Operating E ngineers................................ Iron Workers ........................................... Carpenters; Laborers; Operating Engi neers; Plumbers; and Teamsters (Ind.) Iron Workers ........................................... Transportation equipment . . . . Transportation equipment . . . . Machinists ................................................ Auto W ork ers........................................... 2,100 1,150 Boise Cascade Corp. (Rumford, Me.) ................................................................ Paper .............................................. Paperworkers ........................................... 1,200 Carrier Corp., Elliott Co. Division (Pennsylvania)........................................... Celanese Corp., 2 agreements (South Carolina and V irg in ia )........................ Central Hudson Gas and Electric Corp. (New Y o r k )...................................... Clark Equipment Co. (Michigan) ......................................................................... Consolidated Edison Co. of New York, Inc. (New York, N .Y .) ................... Container Corp. of America (Interstate).............................................................. Contracting Plasterers Association of Southern California, Inc. (California) CPC International, Inc., Corn Products (Interstate)........................................ Machinery ................................... Chem icals...................................... Utilities ........................................ Transportation equipment . . . . Utilities ........................................ P ap er.............................................. Construction................................ Food products ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. Clothing and Textile Workers ............. Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Auto W ork ers........................................... Utility W ork ers........................................ Paperworkers and Operating Engineers Plasterers and Cement M ason s............. Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers . . 1,100 3,650 1,000 1,000 16,700 2,500 2,000 1,800 Dan River, Inc., Danville Division (Virginia) ................................................... Textiles ........................................ Textile W orkers........................................ 7,000 Foster Wheeler Energy Corp. (Dansville, N .Y .)................................................ Fabricated metal products Machinists ................................................ 1,050 Georgia Power Co. (G eo rg ia )................................................................................. Georgia-Pacific Corp., Crossett Division-Paper (Crossett, A r k .)................... Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound (Seattle, Wash.) ........................ Utilities ........................................ P ap er.............................................. H o s p ita ls ..................................... Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Paperworkers ........................................... American Nurses Association ............. 5,450 1,350 1,200 Iron Worker Employers of California and Nevada (California and Nevada) Construction................................ Iron Workers ........................................... 5,500 J. I. Case Co. (Interstate)......................................................................................... Machinery ................................... Auto W ork ers........................................... 7,600 Kennecott Copper Corp., Utah Copper Division, 2 agreements (Utah) . . . Primary metals ........................... Steelworkers .............................................. 2,400 League of New York Theatres, Inc. (New Y o r k ).............................................. A m usem ents................................ Actors ........................................................ 1,500 Magnavox Consumer Electronics Co. (Greeneville, Tenn.) ........................... Master Lock Co. (Milwaukee, Wis.) ................................................................... Maytag Co. (I o w a )................................................................................................... Mechanical Contractors Association of Northern California, Inc. (California) Manufacturers of Illumination Products, Inc. (Interstate)............................. Motor Wheel Corp. (Lansing, Mich.) ................................................................ Electrical products..................... Fabricated metal products . . . Electrical products..................... Construction................................ Electrical Workers (IUE) ...................... Auto W orkers........................................... Auto W orkers........................................... Plumbers ................................................... 2,600 1,250 1,950 1,450 Electrical products..................... Transportation equipment . . . . Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Allied Industrial Workers ..................... 1,150 2,500 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . . . 24,800 1,600 1,200 1,500 3,500 5,000 79,000 1,300 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Continued— Major Agreements Expiring Next Month E m p lo y e r an d lo c a tio n I n d u str y L a b o r o r g a n iz a t io n ' N u m ber of w orkers New York Electrical Contractors Association, Inc., and 2 others (New York) New York State Electric and Gas Corp. (New Y o r k )...................................... Northern California Home Builders Conference, Master Agreement (California) Construction................................ Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... 9,600 Utilities ........................................ Construction................................ Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Carpenters ................................................ 2,900 12,000 Pacific Coast Shipbuilding and Repair (Interstate)2 ........................................ Pacific Coast Shipbuilding and Repair (Interstate)2 ........................................ Painting and Decorating Contractors Association Central Coast Counties, Inc. and 1 other (C alifornia)................................ Oregon Council and 2 Associations (Interstate)........................................... (San Francisco, C a lif .) ......................................................................................... Phelps Dodge Corp., Morenci Branch (A r iz o n a ).............................................. Plumbing-Heating and Piping Industry Council (C aliforn ia)........................ Transportation equipment . . . . Transportation equipment . . . . Carpenters ................................................ Metal Trades C o u n c il.............................. 1,700 35,000 Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ Primary metals ........................... Construction................................ Painters ...................................................... Painters ...................................................... Painters ...................................................... Steelworkers .............................................. Plumbers ................................................... 2,000 1,200 1,700 1,000 9,000 Reliance Electric Co. (O h io )................................................................................... Rush-Presbyterian-St. Lukes Medical Center (Chicago, 111.) ........................ Electrical products..................... H o s p ita ls ...................................... Electrical Workers (IUE) ..................... Professional and Technical; Service Em ployees; and Teamsters (Ind.) 1,200 1,000 Seattle Area Hospital Council (Seattle, Wash.) ................................................ Sheet Metal Heating and Air Conditioning Contractors (California)........... South Central Employers Field Construction (Interstate)2 .............................. Southern California General Contractors (California)2 ................................... H o sp ita ls...................................... Construction................................ Construction................................ Construction................................ American Nurses Association ............. Sheet Metal Workers ............................. Boilerm akers.............................................. Plasterers and Cement M ason s............. 3,000 1,100 2,900 5,000 Tecumseh Products Co., Lauson Engine Division (W isconsin)..................... Teledyne Continental Motors, General Products Division (Michigan) . . . . Machinery ................................... Machinery ................................... Machinists ................................................ Auto W ork ers........................................... 2,000 1,100 Underground Contractors Association (Interstate)........................................... Union Electric Co., 2 agreements (In tersta te)................................................... Union Electric Co. (Interstate).............................................................................. Construction................................ Utilities ........................................ Utilities ........................................ L aborers...................................................... Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... Operating E ngineers................................ 1,200 2,650 1,650 Wagner Castings Co. (Decatur, 111.) ................................................................... Western Steel Council (California) ...................................................................... Primary metals ........................... Fabricated metal products . . . Allied Industrial Workers ..................... Iron Workers ........................................... 1,200 2,200 American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees National Education A ssociation ........... American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees 42,550 Government activity Florida: Human Services, Professional, and Operational S e r v ic es................ M ultidepartment........................ Maryland: Baltimore County Board of Education, Professional Employees Michigan: Detroit Municipal Employees ........................................................... E ducation...................................... M ultidepartm ent........................ Minnesota: Multidepartment ................................................................................. M ultidepartm ent........................ 1Affiliated with AFL-CIO except where noted as independent. (Ind.). 2Industry area (group of companies signing same contract). 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6,300 8,000 17,000 Developments in Industrial Relations Steel accord gives employers cost relief The problems of the steel industry’s employers and employees were eased when the Coordinating Commit tee Steel Companies and the Steelworkers union negoti ated a 41-month contract calling for labor cost cuts in return for improved job security and more aid for laidoff workers. Union vice president Joseph Odorcich said the settlement “sent a message to a lot of our detrac tors,” referring to the criticism the union had drawn for turning down two earlier concessionary proposals the industry had made to help counter lagging sales attrib uted to the recession, increased foreign competition, and plant obsolescence. (See Monthly Labor Review, March 1983, p. 43.) The domestic steel industry lost $3.3 bil lion in 1982. Chief industry negotiator J. Bruce Johnston, a vice president of U.S. Steel Corp., praised the union’s re sponse to “their own and the industry’s severe competi tive disadvantage.” He said that the accord will give the industry badly needed “interim relief” but is not “a per manent answer” to its problems. The union’s Basic Steel Industry Conference— a body of local union leaders which has the final decision on proposed settlements in the industry— approved the terms by a 169 to 63 vote. One apparent reason for the approval was that the local leaders viewed these conces sions as less extensive than those proposed in Novem ber 1982. Also, most of the wage and benefits cuts will be restored prior to the contract’s July 31, 1976, termi nation date. In fact, one industry official estimated that at the end of the contract the employers’ labor costs will be 11 percent higher than the 1982 average of $23.78 an hour, based on the automatic cost-of-living pay adjustments triggered by an estimated 7-percent an nual rise in consumer prices. The major union concession was a $1.31 an hour pay cut that included elimination of a 6-cent cost-of-living allowance accumulated since November 1982 under provisions of the superseded 3-year agreement, which “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis had been scheduled to run through July 1983. (Cost-ofliving adjustments totaled $1.73 under the 1980 agree ment, but $1.67 was automatically incorporated into base pay rates, leaving 6 cents in the allowance at the time of the 1983 settlement.) For workers paid on an incentive basis, the pay reduction was somewhat more than $1.31 because it included a 62.5-cent reduction in their incentive calculation rate and a 62.5-cent reduction in their “hourly additive.” In any case, the cuts of $1.25 will be restored: for employees paid on a straight hourly basis; 40 cents will be restored on February 1 of 1984 and 1985, and the remaining 45 cents on February 1, 1986; for incentive employees, 20 cents will be restored to both the incentive calculation rates and the hourly additive on February 1 of 1984 and 1985, followed by a 22.5-cent restoration to the additive and the incentive calculation rates on February 1, 1986. In addition to giving up the 6-cent cost-of-living al lowance, the employees will not receive the May 1983 cost-of-living adjustment scheduled under the previous accord, or the four quarterly adjustments that would have been effective during the August 1983-July 1984 portion of the new contract. After July 1984, employees will receive quarterly adjustments calculated at the existing rate of 1 cent an hour for each 0.3-point move ment in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967=100), but payable only to the extent that any index rise from March 1984 to March 1985 exceeds 4 percent. Similarly, in the final 12 months of the contract, the first two adjustments will be paid only to the extent that the index rises more than 1.5 percent from March 1985. The final two ad justments (in February and May of 1986) will not be subject to any such offset. The union estimated that the workers would receive a total of 70 cents in adjust ments over the term of the contract if the index rises at a 7-percent annual rate during the last 2 years of the agreement. In another pay concession, the premium rate for reg ularly scheduled nonovertime work on Sunday was re duced to time and one-quarter from time and one-half, beginning March 1, 1983, to May 1, 1986, when it will be restored to time and one-half. The Extended Vacation Plan was eliminated. Under this plan, employees in the top half of the seniority roll 47 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations received 13 weeks off (including regular annual vaca tion) every 5 years, and junior employees received 3 weeks plus their regular annual vacation. All employees eligible for at least 2 weeks of annual vacation will lose 1 week in 1983, but that week will be restored for subsequent years. The parties also eliminat ed the vacation bonus, an amount that employees had received in addition to regular vacation pay to encour age them to take time off in periods other than the sum mer months. The bonus was $30, $50, or $75 a week, depending on when the vacation was taken. Also eliminated was the Savings and Vacation Plan that had been established in 1962 to provide retirement, savings, and supplemental vacation benefits. At the time of the 1983 settlement, the companies were financing the plan at the rate of about 15 cents per hour worked by covered employees. The final change in paid time off was elimination of United Nations Day as an annual paid holiday, reduc ing paid time off to 10 days. One of the union’s major demands was met when the industry agreed to special incentives to induce some older workers to retire early and open jobs for laid-off employees. To be eligible for the early-out, employees must be at least age 60, have at least 30 years of ser vice, and retire before May 1, 1983. The $400-a-month supplement to the regular pension begins in the fourth month of retirement and continues for at least 12 months or until age 62, whichever come later. The union estimated that 10,000 employees were eligible for this benefit. The steel companies agreed to raise their financing of Supplemental Unemployment Benefits from 17.5 cents an hour to 67.5 cents. After February 1, 1986, the rate will be reduced to 42.5 cents. In addition, the compa nies agreed to new short-term and long-term guarantees of weekly benefits to laid-oif workers, regardless of the condition of the SUB fund. Under the short-term aspect, effective from March 1, 1983 to May 31, 1983, laid-off workers with 2 to 19 years of service were guaranteed payments equal to at least 30 percent of the amount they would receive if the fund was at the maximum lev el. (Laid-off employees with 20 years of service already were guaranteed full normal benefits for 2 years, regard less of fund level.) Under the long-term provision, laidoff employees with 10 to 20 years of service were guar anteed that payments for lost weeks including May 31, 1983, and ending prior to January 1, 1984, will be at least 30 percent of normal benefits. For lost weeks fall ing between January 1, 1984, and February 1, 1986, the guarantee will stay at 30 percent for laid-off workers with 10 but less than 15 years of service and increase to 60 percent for those with 15 but less than 20 years of service. A major issue in the negotiations was resolved when 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the employers agreed to “apply the savings received from the moderations contained in this agreement ex clusively to the needs of the existing facilities covered by this agreement.” The unions considered this provi sion vital because some union members were concerned that management might use cost savings for operations outside of steel production. The union did not gain its demand for guarantees that the companies would not shut down steelmaking facilities. The rejected November 1982 proposal had called for a 1-year moratorium on plant closings, but some union members criticized it because it would not preclude partial shutdowns or layoffs. A major factor in the negotiations that had a varying cost impact on the seven companies was their success in settling local issues, which were negotiated on a compa ny-by-company basis. In local talks, the companies sought to reduce labor costs by modifying work rules that restricted output. As expected, the parties did not renew the Experi mental Negotiating Agreement, which they had allowed to lapse in 1980. Had it been in effect, employees would have been assured a 3-percent annual rise in compensa tion, continuation of the cost-of-living adjustment clause, and a $150 bonus payment in exchange for giv ing up the right to strike over national economic issues. The demise of the agreement apparently resulted from management’s concern that the wages and benefits guar anteed by the agreement was exceeding the cost savings resulting from more stable production. The new wage-and-benefit terms covered about 265.000 active and laid-off employees of the seven com panies and are expected to set a pattern for Steelwork ers’ settlements for 100,000 employees of other com panies. The seven Coordinating Committee Steel Companies are: U.S. Steel Corp., Bethlehem Steel Corp., Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp., Republic Steel Corp., Inland Steel Corp., National Steel Corp., and Armco, Inc. In February, Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corp. left the association. No wage changes in can contracts After the steel settlement, the Steelworkers negotiated 3-year contracts with four can companies. These con tracts did not provide for any wage changes (other than possible automatic cost-of-living adjustments) or chang es in benefits. The companies involved in the settlement were American Can Co., Continental Group Inc., Na tional Can Co., and Crown Cork and Seal Co. The new contracts run to February 16, 1986, super seding the balance of agreements that had been scheduled to expire in February 1984. Continuation of the cost-of-living clause means that the pay of the 17.000 workers will continue to be adjusted quarterly by 1 cent an hour for each 0.3-point movement in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967=100). Under the superseded agreement, cost-of-living pay increases had totaled $1.35 an hour. There was one change in the cost-of-living pro vision: the accrued allowance will be incorporated into base pay rate annually (beginning in February 1984), rather than quarterly. This will save the employers some money because it will result in less frequent in creases in those benefits that are linked to base pay rates. An official of American Can Co., speaking for all of the firms, said the agreement represents a “major step toward a labor-management recognition of the common problems affecting the companies and our workers alike. Independent can makers are faced with a mature, slowgrowth industry that is undergoing rapid technological change and encountering growing competition from nonunion can makers and alternative packaging mate rials.” Robert J. Petris, the official who led the union’s bargaining team, said, “Basically we agreed to extend our current contracts another two years to help these can companies stay competitive, but we didn’t give up anything.” Apparently, the members of the union’s Container Industry Conference also viewed the settle ment favorably— particularly in comparison with the steel accord— as they gave it final approval by a 65 to 31 vote. Nine glass container companies settle In the glass container industry, nine companies set tled with the Glass, Pottery and Plastics Workers on 3-year contracts that were expected to set a pattern for four other companies. The bargaining at the 13 compa nies covered 50,000 employees. The contracts provided for general wage increases of 25 cents an hour in April 1983, 20 cents in September 1983, and 30 cents in April of 1984 and 1985. Employ ees in all areas except the West Coast will receive an additional 1-cent-an-hour increase on each of the dates to reduce a geographic pay disparity. Skilled employees at all locations will receive an additional 28 cents in the first contract year. Improvements in job security included 90 days of pay if the employer does not give a 90-day advance notice of a shutdown; a 5-year recall right for laid-off workers (previously 2 years); 6 months of insurance continuation for laid-off workers; and a provision for negotiation of severance benefits in the event of plant closings. Insurance changes included a $3,000 increase in life coverage, bringing the range to $16,000-$ 18,000; a $30 a week increase in sickness and accident benefits to a range of $160-$ 180; and improved dental coverage. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Union president James E. Hatfield said the settlement terms prove that “labor can win a good contract despite a faltering economy.” The largest of the companies that settled was OwensIllinois Inc., with 12,000 workers covered at about 25 locations. Other companies were Brockway Glass Corp., Midland Glass Co., Thatcher Glass Manufacturing Co., Foster-Forbes Division of National Can Co., Glass Container Corp., Ball Corp., Kerr Glass Manufacturing Co., and Indian Head, Inc. The companies still bar gaining were Anchor Hocking Glass Corp., Diamond Glass Co., Glenshaw Glass Co., and Chattanooga Glass Co. Dow contract eliminates cost-of-living clause In Midland, Mich., Dow Chemical Co. and Steel workers’ local 12075 negotiated a 3-year contract that provided for specified wage increases, but eliminated the automatic cost-of-living pay adjustment clause and made other changes beneficial to the company. The con tract for the 2,600 employees deferred the date of the initial 4-percent specified wage increase to October 17, to be followed by a 3-percent increase on August 13, 1984, and another 4-percent increase on February 11, 1985. Dow gained the right to reduce starting pay rates by $2.50-$4 an hour for employees hired into the four lowest labor grades. A company official said the pur pose “was to make it possible for us to make greater use of summer jobs for students,” most of whom are sons and daughters of Dow employees. To some extent, the termination of the provision for automatic quarterly cost-of-living pay adjustments could be offset by a new provision permitting the union to reopen wage negotiations prior to February 11, 1985, if the Consumer Price Index rises more than 6 percent from December 1983 to December 1984. Similarly, Dow can initiate talks if the index rises less than 2 per cent. The agreement also provided for changes in work rules and practices that the company said, “will help us do our job better and go a long way towards strength ening the jobs of our employees;” the hiring of contrac tors for some work, subject to some restrictions, during periods of slack business; changes in the health insur ance to help contain costs; and expansion and broaden ing of apprenticeship training to better prepare workers for the “multi-craftsman” job category established 6 years earlier to increase the scope of job assignments. Construction unions give employers cost relief Continued high unemployment in the construction in dustry led unions in several areas to agree to wage cuts and freezes, changes in work rules, and changes in 49 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations bargaining approaches. A major factor in the unions’ decisions was the increasing inroads of nonunion contractors which caused high unemployment among unionized construction workers, along with the general economic condition of the construction industry. In Oregon and southwest Washington, 270 builders and four unions (Carpenters, Teamsters, Laborers, and Cement Finishers) representing more than 20,000 employees negotiated a 39-month contract that freezes wages for the first 27 months. During the final 12 months, wages will be adjusted based on the movement of consumer prices, and up to 90 cents an hour will be used to maintain existing health and welfare benefits. In a move to improve the contractors ability to bid on projects, the Carpenters, Teamsters, and Laborers unions agreed to new pay rates for light commercial projects 20 percent lower than the previous uniform rate for all commercial work. In eastern Washington, and northern Idaho, more than 6,000 construction workers represented by five unions agreed to a number of changes in work rules and a 1-year freeze to aid their employers. William N. Sarver, the head of the unions’ bargaining team, said the aid was necessary because union construction workers had lost 40 percent of the regions’ construction to nonunion shops over the past 5 years. The 3-year accord does not provide for a wage in crease during the first contract year, which begins when the existing contract expires on June 1, 1983. It does provide for possible wage changes in the second and third years, depending on the movement of the C P I . Other terms included: a 25-cent-an-hour increase in the employer payment to health and welfare funds in June 1983 for maintaining benefit levels (additional fi nancing will also become available in June of 1984 and 1985); a 20-percent pay cut for most work on commer cial buildings costing $2 million or less, and on private utility projects regardless of value; 1 or 2 hours “show- 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis up” pay, rather than 4 hours; time and one-half pay for all overtime work, rather than the double-time pay called for in some contracts; elimination of “me-too” clauses under which any advantage gained by a union at a building site was automatically extended to all other unions at the location; greater employer leeway in scheduling lunch periods; and establishment of a 45mile “free zone” for travel. The unions involved in the settlement were the Teamsters, Carpenters, Cement Masons, Laborers, and Operating Engineers. The employers involved comprise the Inland Empire Chapter of the Associated General Contractors Association. In Rockford, 111., seven construction unions moved to reduce work stoppages by agreeing on a single multi trade contract. Previously, each trade negotiated separate agreements which expired at various times, increasing the possibility of strikes or lockouts. Several more unions are expected to join the multitrade contract when their current agreements expire. The new 3-year agreement with the Northern Illinois Building Contractors Association provides for a wage freeze during the first year. In the second and third year, employees will receive wage increases contingent on the movement of the Consumer Price Index. The agreement provided for continuation of nonuniform pay rates for all of the trades, but the possible second and third year pay increases will be uniform. In addition to the multitrade bargaining approach, the parties also adopted another tactic used elsewhere when they agreed on a common effort to increase their share of the available work. The effort, called “Project First Rate” will be financed by the 170-member contractors in the area, and is designed to increase the public’s awareness of construction activity; improve productivity of union workers; and attain better working relationship with government agencies and construction users. □ Book Reviews Labor in international waters Labor Relations in Advanced Industrial Societies: Issues and Problems. Edited by Benjamin Martin and Ev erett M. Kassalow. Washington, Carnegie Endow ment for International Peace, 1980. 206 pp. $10. The OECD Guidelines fo r Multinational Enterprises and Labor Relations, 1976-79: Experience and Review. By Roger Blanpain. Deventer, The Netherlands, Kluwer, 1979. 309 pp. Distributed in the United States by Kluwer Law and Taxation Publishers, Hingham, Mass. These two volumes make useful contributions to our understanding of comparative industrial relations. The book edited by Benjamin Martin and Everett M. Kassalow is a collection of essays focusing on four cur rent labor problems confronting all democratic ad vanced industrialized nations: the labor impact of multinational corporations, the problem of industrial conflict, the press for worker participation in manage ment, and humanization of work in industry. Duane Kujawa’s essay on the labor relations prac tices of U.S. multinationals abroad shows that their foreign affiliates have considerable authority in making im portant industrial relations decisions. However, cor porate parents have considerable influence on subsidiary labor relations, although this varies depending on the issue and technological or market conditions in the country concerned. Without exception, multinationals are reluctant to bargain or consult with unions on in vestment decisions, and their management expertise and technological and economic resources are important sources of bargaining power. However, the ability of multinationals to shift production from one subsidiary to another, either as a shortrun bargaining tactic or as a longer term strategy, is less significant than suggested by most union rhetoric. The Kujawa essay also uses the product life-cycle theory of foreign trade and investment in seeking to ex plain labor relations differences between American mul tinationals operating abroad and foreign multinationals with American subsidiaries. Typically, U.S. multination als have transferred production technologies to foreign subsidiaries. This has resulted in greater parent involve ment in labor relations, in part, because of the Ameri https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis can labor relations norms and practices embodied in these technologies. Foreign multinationals have im ported technologies from U.S. subsidiaries and conse quently, there is less parent involvement in subsidiary labor relations practices. This analysis supplies an inter esting explanation of differences in labor relations man agement styles but, obviously, needs to be validated by a detailed assessment of the experience of individual firms. The essays on industrial conflict are both provocative and insightful. Everett Kassalow argues that the gener ally higher incidence of industrial conflict in North America in comparison to Western Europe is character istic of the different social and economic environment. These conditions include the absence of a successful So cialist party in the United States forcing collective bargaining to be the major forum to resolve complex social issues; the important role of industrywide bar gaining and employers’ organizations in Europe, making disagreement more costly to the parties, thus encourag ing accommodation; and the more vigorous opposition to unionization by American employers. While the essay does not explore the underlying reasons for these dif ferent institutional traditions, clearly they have had an important influence on industrial conflict. The essay by Solomon Levine and Koji Taira challen ges the typical view of Japan as a conflict-free society, largely as a result of the importance of cultural values emphasizing harmony and order. Japan holds a middle position in the international table of industrial conflict and has experienced a rising number of strikes. Data show an inverse relationship between labor turnover and strike incidence in larger firms. Employment stabili ty is manifested in the Japanese concept of lifetime job tenure. Paradoxically, it appears to have increased con flict. Workers with tenure are encouraged to support strike action to improve their circumstances within the firm, rather than to give up the benefits of long-term employment by “voting with their feet” to escape unac ceptable employment conditions. The essay makes a generally persuasive case that Japanese industrial confl ict patterns are more the result of generally applicable industrial and political variables rather than the key characteristics of Japanese culture. Walter Korpi’s essay critiques the “pluralistic indus trialism” perspective on industrial conflict in Sweden. 51 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Book Renews This view suggests that as industrialism and technologi cal advances evolve, conflict initially rises, but ultimate ly declines as union strength grows. Union recognition is granted by employers and institutions and the means to resolve industrial conflict are established, that is, ma ture collective bargaining systems (usually industry wide), state mediation procedures, and a legal frame work for the resolution of disputes. Conflict is managed and minimized by parties with roughly equal bargaining power. Using Sweden as a test case of this model, Korpi shows that industrial conflict was high for more than a decade following the establishment of this kind of institutional framework. He makes a persuasive case that a change in the distribution of political power is the most im portant cause of the low level of industrial conflict which Sweden has experienced since the late 1930’s. The emergence of the Social Democrats as the majority government in the 1930’s forced Swedish em ployers to reach an accommodation with the Confedera tion of Swedish Trade Unions ( l o ) and provided the labor movement the political muscle to implement so cial legislation. In fact, the evolution of a “mature in dustrial relations system” has had less influence on the level of industrial conflict in Sweden than changes in the distribution of political power in the wider society. In dealing with worker participation in management, Rudolph Meidner’s interesting essay on the Swedish proposal for capital formation through employee invest ment funds notes the distinctive basis for the Swedish trade union movement’s support of this program. It fol lows from labor’s solidarity wage policy, which seeks to equalize pay across industry to ensure that wage differ ences result only from distinctive job content character istics. This policy’s success has meant that the most efficient firms do not grant pay increases in accordance with full capacity to pay, thereby increasing profits and creating a source of wage drift. Increased profits result in continued income inequality, and wage drift negates the goals of the solidarity wage policy. In the mid1970’s, the Swedish LO proposed that 20 percent of a company’s pretax profit should be transferred to an em ployee fund. This money would not be allowed to leave the firm but would remain as collectively owned capital administered by employee representatives. In general, the concept also was supported by the Swedish whitecollar unions. As Meidner notes, the proposal generated considerable debate in the 1976 Swedish general elec tion and, in fact, may have been a factor in the Social Democratic Party’s first electoral defeat in more than 40 years. The wage earner fund concept has been debated with vigor in Sweden since 1976, but even with the reelection of a social democratic government in 1982, quick implementation does not appear likely. Swedish employers have vigorously opposed the scheme, arguing that it ultimately would result in trade union 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis control of Swedish industry. Meidner contends that the wage earner fund is another social policy which, in time, will be incorporated within the framework of the Swedish welfare state. However, the ongoing debate suggests it is a “nonreformist reform” in industrial rela tions and, therefore, likely to be a source of continuing controversy. The essays on the humanization of work in industry are the weakest in the volume. The piece by Harold Sheppard generally describes the efforts to improve the quality of worklife in a number of American firms. French experience, which has largely been the result of legislative and other governmental initiatives, is docu mented by Yves Delamotte. Jack Barbash’s essay, the strongest of the group, describes the U.S. and European experience with work humanization by identifying com mon ingredients of work reform, including improve ments in work environment, and codetermination, that is, worker participation in enterprise decisionmaking. In the United States, most work reform initiatives have been proposed by management and American unions believe that these programs are threats to the integrity of the collective bargaining process. The attitudes of the European unions are variable, but they are more sup portive of codetermination, which has increased worker influence on management decisionmaking, expanded the scope of collective bargaining, and improved the quality of worklife. In spite of these different attitudes, Barbash argues that work humanization programs will be an im portant topic in the future agendas of labor movements in Europe and North America. Roger Blanpain’s volume evaluates the experience with the guidelines developed for multinational corpora tions and adopted in 1976 by the Organization for Eco nomic Cooperation and Development. The OECD guide lines cover a range of multinational activities, including disclosure of information, competition, financing, tax ation, and science and technology. The guidelines address various topics in the field of industrial relations and employment, including employment security, union recognition and collective bargaining, disclosure of in formation, and access to corporate centers of decision making. The criteria are not laws but moral obligations requiring publicity and monitoring to ensure obser vance. The volume is not easy reading because of its heavy reliance on direct quotation or summarization, or both, of reports, by member governments and union and business groups. However, it does provide detailed in formation on the structure of OECD, the trade union and business advisory groups, and the OECD’s Commit tee on International Investment and Multinational En terprises, which sought to clarify the guidelines during 1976-79. Blanpain notes that the multinationals accepted the criteria as encouraging “national treatment” by member countries in accordance with national laws and regula tions. Their support for these rules also may have been a result of fears that a more stringent set of guidelines might be established by union pressure. Member countries supported the guidelines to provide a set of rules for multinational behavior, although proposals for tighter restrictions were resisted by several member countries, including the United States. The international trade union movement was the most vigorous supporter of more strict and enforceable guidelines in its quest to curb alleged excesses of multinational behavior and to increase its bargaining power vis-a-vis these internation al corporate giants. The book’s centerpiece focuses on the Committee’s review of guidelines. Within this process, the Committee received comments from both business and trade union groups and on a number of occasions from governments of member countries. Specifically, the trade unions pre sented a number of cases of alleged multinational mis behavior in the field of industrial relations to generate publicity and to encourage the Committee to become a monitor and interpreter of the guidelines in particular cases, and cases Blanpain describes and comments on 16 cases sub mitted by trade union groups for review by the Interna tional Investment Committee. These cases included a variety of topics: the coresponsibility of a parent com pany for an affiliate’s financial affairs, union access to “real” corporate decisionmakers, the propriety of a mul tinational corporation in closing down a marginally profitable subsidiary, the right of employees to be repre s e n te d , p r o v is io n o f in fo r m a tio n to e m p lo y e e s , r e a s o n able notice in the case of major changes in enterprise operations, the obligation of a multinational to observe comparable standards of employment, transfer of em ployees between affiliates in the case of a labor dispute, and the definition of a multinational enterprise. The International Investment Committee only clari fied guidelines and did not make judgments on the be havior of companies in particular cases. In cases concerning the definition of a multinational enterprise and the bargaining role of international trade secretari ats, the Committee did not take a precise position. In the case of coresponsibility of a multinational parent for its subsidiary’s financial affairs, the Committee only gave qualified endorsement to this principle, although there is reason to believe that publicity resulting from the Committee’s investigation in this case which in volved the Belgian subsidiary of a U.S. corporation, en couraged more liberal treatment for the laid-off employ ees than would otherwise have been the case. Another case also involved a U.S. company. It had transferred employees to a Danish subsidiary from other European affiliates during a strike. The Committee recommended https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a change in the guidelines, subsequently approved, to preclude the “transfer (of) employees from the enter prises’ component entities in other countries in order to influence unfairly these negotiations or to hinder the ex ercise of a right to organize.” Clearly, the Committee has not become a factfinding body to adjudicate particular cases identified by the trade unions. However, its 1979 report, which was adopted by the OECD, requires followup reports during the next 5 years on two situations experienced by mem ber governments, with a mid-term report to be published by the Committee in 1982 and another full review of the guidelines by 1984. Previous experience in dicates that the role of trade unions and business groups in commenting on particular issues and concerns is now part of the review process. Blanpain notes that the activities of the Committee have resulted in a clarification of perspectives concern ing multinational behavior in member countries. Fur ther, the OECD’s 1979 decision has institutionalized the Committee’s role and the guidelines’ continued existence is accepted by member governments. Trade unions still propose a more active role for the committee as a factfinding adjudicative body, while business advisory groups take pains to stress the independence of multina tionals within the framework of national laws, customs, and practices. In spite of these disagreements, Blanpain argues persuasively that the Committee is likely to re main an important and influential forum for clarifying and studying the experience of the OECD guidelines. Po litical realities, undoubtedly, will limit dramatic change, but the OECD review process should encourage a contin u a tio n o f th e g u id e lin e s and their m o r e d e ta ile d a p p lic a tion as standards o f behavior for multinational corpora tions operating within the member countries. — R o b e r t F. B a n k s Assistant Provost for Academic Personnel Administration Michigan State University Publications received Economic growth and development Brady, Eugene A., “The National Economic Outlook for 1983,” Indiana Business Review, November-December 1982, pp. 2-5. Buvinic, Mayra, Margaret A. Lycette, William Paul McGreevey, eds., Women and Poverty in the Third World. Baltimore, Md., The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1983, 329 pp. Hsieh, Ching-Yao and Stephen L. Mangum, A Search for Syn thesis: Contemporary Re-Interpretations of Classicism, the ‘Neoclassical Synthesis, ’ and Post-Keynesian Economics. 53 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R EV IEW M ay 1983 • Book Reviews Salt Lake City, Utah, Olympus Publishing Co., 1983, 300 pp. $10.95, paper. Loup, Jacques, Can the Third World Survive? Baltimore, Md., The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1983, 244 pp. $25, cloth; $8.95, paper. Economic and social statistics Freeman, Richard B., Elasticities of Demand for Educated La bor and Elasticities of Supply of Educated Labor. Cam bridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 12 pp. (NBER Working Paper Series, 1042.) $1.50. Fuchs, Victor R., How We Live: An Economic Perspective on Americans from Birth to Death. Cambridge, Mass., Har vard University Press, 1983, 293 pp. $17.50. Kuhn, Peter, Malfeasance in Long Term Employment Con tracts: A New General Model with An Application to Unionism. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1982, 31 pp. (NBER Working Pa per Series, 1045.) $1.50 Russell, Cheryl, “The News About Hispanics,” American Demographics, March 1983, pp. 14-25. Health and safety Freeland, Mark S. and Carol Ellen Schendler, “National Health Expenditure Growth in the 1980’s: An Aging Population, New Technologies, and Increasing Competi tion,” Health Care Financing Review, March 1983, pp. 158. Levit, Katharine R., “Personal Health Care Expenditures by State, Selected Years, 1966-1978,” Health Care Financing Review, December 1982, pp. 1-45. Sloan, Frank A., “Effects of Health Insurance on Physicians’ Fees,” The Journal of Human Resources, Fall 1982, pp. 533-57. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Work-related Hand Injuries and Upper Extremity Amputations. Washington, 1982, 38 pp. (Bulletin 2160.) $4.50, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Industrial relations Andes, John, “A Decade of Development in Higher Educa tion Collective Bargaining: Changes in Contract Con tent,” Journal of Collective Negotiations in the Public Sector, Vol. 11, No. 4, 1982, pp. 285-96. Bosanac, Paul, “Concession Bargaining, Work Transfers, and Midcontract Modification: Los Angeles Marine Hardware Company,” Labor Law Journal, February 1983, pp. 7279. Brod, Gail Frommer, “The NLRB Changes Its Policy on the Legality of an Employer’s Discharge of a Disloyal Super visor,” Labor Law Journal, January 1983, pp. 13-19. Casey, Ichniowski, “Have Angels Done More? The Steel In dustry Consent Decree,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1983, pp. 182-98. Christensen, Sandra and Dennis Maki, “The Wage Effect of Compulsory Union Membership,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1983, pp. 230-38. Cowan, Mark D., “Regulatory Reform: An OSHA Case Study,” Labor Law Journal, December 1982, pp. 763-70. 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Douglas, Joel M., “Distinguishing Yeshiva: A Troubling Task for the NLRB,” Labor Law Journal, February 1983, pp. 104-18. Ehrenberg, Ronald G., Daniel R. Sherman, Joshua L. Schwarz, “Unions and Productivity in the Public Sector: A Study of Municipal Libraries,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1983, pp. 199-213. Hoffman, Robert B., “The Trend Away from Multiemployer Bargaining,” Labor Law Journal, February 1983, pp. 8093. Hogler, Raymond L., “Employee Discipline and Due Process Rights: Is There an Appropriate Remedy?” Labor Law Journal, December 1982, pp. 783-97. Horn, Robert N. and Joseph H. Tomkiewicz, “A Case Study of Labor Law in the Public Sector,” Journal of Collective Negotiations in the Public Sector, Vol. 11, No. 4, 1982, pp. 275-84. Klaper, Martin J., “The Right to Relocate Work During the Term of an Existing Collective Bargaining Agreement,” Labor Law Journal, February 1983, pp. 94—103. Levinson, Daniel R., Personal Liability of Managers and Su pervisors for Corporate EEO Policies and Decisions. Wash ington, Equal Employment Advisory Council, 1982, 52 pp. (Monograph Series, 1.) $5.95, members; $6.95, nonmembers. McMurray, Kay, “The Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service: Serving Labor-Management Relations in the Eighties,” Labor Law Journal, February 1983, pp. 67-71. Munchus, George III, “Collective Bargaining and the Future of the Federal Merit System of Human Resource Admin istration,” Journal of Collective Negotiations in the Public Sector, Vol. 11, No. 4, 1982, pp. 297-303. Navarro, Peter, “Union Bargaining Power in the Coal Indus try, 1945-1981,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1983, pp. 214—29. Northrup, Herbert R., “The New Employee-Relations Cli mate in Airlines,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1983, pp. 167-81. Payne, William J. and Donald F. Sileo, “Self-Enforcement Under the National Labor Relations Act: Disavowals of Unfair Labor Practice Conduct,” Labor Law Journal, De cember 1982, pp. 771-82. Thomas, Clarence, “Pay Equity and Comparable Worth,” La bor Law Journal, January 1983, pp. 3-12. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bargaining Calendar, 1983. Washington, 1983, 61 pp. (Bulletin 2165.) $5, Superinten dent of Documents, Washington 20402. Wrong, Elaine Gale, “Arbitrators, the Law, and Women’s Job Bids,” Labor Law Journal, December 1982, pp. 798-808. Zager, Robert and Michael P. Rosow, eds., The Innovative Organization: Productivity Programs in Action. New York, Pergamon Press, Inc., 1982, 359 pp. $27.50. Industry and government organization Lave, Lester B., ed. Quantitative Risk Assessment in Regula tion. Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1982, 264 pp., bibliography. $26.95, cloth; $10.95, paper. Levy, S Jay and David A. Levy, Profits and the Future of American Society. New York, Harper & Row, Publish ers, Inc., 1983, 223 pp. $15.95. Labor and economic history Blaug, Mark and Paul Sturges, eds., Who's Who in Economics: A Biographical Dictionary of Major Economists, 17001980. Cambridge, Mass., The MIT Press, 1983, 435 pp. $65. Lichtenstein, Nelson, Labor's War at Home: The CIO in World War II. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1982, 319 pp., bibliography. $29.95. Schmidt, Warren H. and Barry Z. Posner, Managerial Values and Expectations: The Silent Power in Personal and Orga nizational Life. New York, American Management Asso ciations, Membership Publications Division, 1982, 60 pp. $10, AMA members; $13.50, nonmembers. Sherwood, John J., Susan N. Faux, Donald C. King, Manage ment Development Strategies. Scarsdale, N.Y., Work in America Institute, Inc., 1983, 29 pp. (Work in America Institute Studies in Productivity: Highlights of the Litera ture, Vol. 29.) $35, paper, Pergamon Press, Inc., New York. Mason, Edward S., “The Harvard Department of Economics from the Beginning to World War II,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 1982, pp. 383-433. Smith, Craig, “Open Forum: A Report on Quality Circles,” California Public Employee Relations, December 1982, pp. 9-12. Winter, Jay, ed., The Working Class in Modern British History: Essays in Honour of Henry Pelling. New York, Cam bridge University Press, 1983, 315 pp. $39.95. Stimac, Michele, “Strategies for Resolving Conflict: Their Functional and Dysfunctional Sides,” Personnel, November-December 1982, pp. 54—64. Labor force Borus, Michael E., “Willingness to Work Among Youth,” The Journal of Human Resources, Fall 1982, pp. 581-93. Butler, Richard J., “Estimating Wage Discrimination in the Labor Market,” The Journal of Human Resources, Fall 1982, pp. 606-21. Burris, Beverly H., No Room at the Top: Underemployment and Alienation in the Corporation. New York, Praeger Publishers, 1983, 331 pp., bibliography. $32.50. Freeman, Richard B., Crime and the Labor market. Cam bridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 34 pp. (NBER Working Paper Series, 1031.) $1.50. Woronoff, John, Japan's Wasted Workers. Totowa, N.J., Allenheld Osmun & Co., Publishers, Inc., 1983, 296 pp., bibliography. $19.95; cloth; $10.95, paper. Urban affairs Carroll, Glenn R. and John W. Meyer, “Capital Cities in the American Urban System: The Impact of State Expan sion,” American Journal of Sociology, November 1982, pp. 565-78. Young, Arthur F. and F. John Devaney, “What the 1980 Census Shows About Housing,” American Demographics, January 1983, pp. 16-23. Wages and compensation Great Britain, Department of Employment, “A Changing La bour Force: Constants and Variables,” Employment Ga zette, February 1983, pp. 49-54. Drabicki, John Z. and Akira Takayama, “Minimum Wage Regulation and Economic Growth,” Journal of Econom ics and Business, Vol. 34, No. 3, 1982, pp. 231-40. Ginsburg, Helen, Full Employment and Public Policy: The United States and Sweden. Lexington, Mass., D.C. Heath and Co., Lexington Books, 1983, 235 pp. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Industry Wage Survey: Ho siery, August 1981. Prepared by Harry B. Williams. Washington, 1982, 37 pp. (Bulletin 2151.) $4.50, Superin tendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Halsey, Harlan L, “The Taxation of Transfer Income,” The Journal of Human Resources, Fall 1982, pp. 558-80. “Left Out: The Human Cost of the Collapse of Industrial America,” Newsweek, Mar. 21, 1983, pp. 26-35. National Council on Employment Policy, What's Happening to American Labor Force and Productivity Measurement. Kalamazoo, Mich., The W. E. Upjohn Institute for Em ployment Research, 1983, 134 pp. $11.95, paper. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, A Guide to Seasonal Adjust ment of Labor Force Data. Prepared by John F. Stinson, Jr. Washington, 1982, 9 pp. (Bulletin 2114.) Stock No. 029-001-02643-9. $2, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Management and organization theory Albrecht, Karl, Organization Development: A Total Systems Approach to Positive Change in Any Business Organization. Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1983, 254 pp., bibliography. $18.95. Punch, Maurice, ed., Control in the Police Organization. Cam bridge, Mass., The MIT Press, 1983, 346 pp., bibliogra phy. $30. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis --------- Industry Wage Survey: Nursing and Personal Care Fa cilities, May 1981. Prepared by Harry B. Williams. Washington, 1982, 65 pp. (Bulletin 2142.) $5, Superinten dent of Documents, Washington 20402. --------- Industry Wage Survey: Petroleum Refining, May 1981. Prepared by Jonathan W. Kelinson. Washington, 1982, 38 pp. (Bulletin 2143.) $4.50, Superintendent of Docu ments, Washington 20402. --------- Industry Wage Survey: Shipbuilding and Repairing, Sep tember 1981. Prepared by Jonathan W. Kelinson. Washington, 1983, 34 pp. (Bulletin 2161.) $4.50, Superin tendent of Documents, Washington 20402. --------- Industry Wage Survey: Synthetic Fibers, August 1981. Prepared by Carl F. Prieser. Washington, 1982, 17 pp. (Bulletin 2150.) $3.25, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. --------- Industry Wage Survey: Corrugated and Solid Fiber Boxes, May 1981. Prepared by Norma W. Carlson. Wash ington, 1982, 59 pp. (Bulletin 2138.) Stock No. 029-00102725-7. $5, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. 55 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Book Reviews --------- Area Wage Surveys: Boston, Massachusetts, Metropoli tan Area, August 1982 (Bulletin 3015-55, 42 pp., $4.50); Buffalo, New York, Metropolitan Area, October 1982 (Bul letin 3015-56, 38 pp., $4.50); Hartford, Connecticut, Met ropolitan Area, July 1982 (Bulletin 3015-57, 27 pp., $3.50); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania-New Jersey, Metropoli tan Area, November 1982 (Bulletin 3015-58, 56 pp., $4.75); Saginaw, Michigan, Metropolitan Area, November 1982 (Bulletin 3015-59, 34 pp., $4.50); Gary— Hammond — East Chicago, Indiana, Metropolitan Area, November 1982 (Bulletin 3015-61, 40 pp., $4.50); Los Angeles-Long Beach, California, Metropolitan Area, October 1982 (Bulle tin 3015-62, 41 pp., $4.50); Salt Lake City-Ogden, Utah, Metropolitan Area, November 1982 (Bulletin 3015-63, 32 pp., $3.75); Jacksonville, Florida, Metropolitan Area, De cember 1982 (Bulletin 3015-64, 41 pp., $4.50); DallasFort Worth, Texas, Metropolitan Area, December 1982 (Bulletin 3015-65, 39 pp., $4.50). Available from the Su perintendent of Documents, Washington 20402, GPO bookstores, or BLS regional offices. Eden, Benjamin, “Competitive Price Adjustment to Changes in the Money Supply,” The Quarterly Journal of Econom ics, August 1982, pp. 499-517. Welfare programs and social insurance “Report of the National Commission on Social Security Re form,” Social Security Bulletin, February 1983, pp. 3-38. Aaron, Henry J., Economic Effects of Social Security. Wash ington, The Brookings Institution, 1982, 84 pp. $12.95, cloth; $5.95, paper. Dalrymple, Robert, Susan Grad, Duke Wilson, “Civil Service Retirement System Annuitants and Social Security,” So cial Security Bulletin, February 1983, pp. 39-59. Danziger, Sheldon and others, “Work and Welfare as Deter minants of Female Poverty and Household Headship,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 1982, pp. 519-34. 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier, Retirement Flows. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1983, 30 pp. (NBER Working Paper Se ries, 1069.) $1.50. “Health and Early Retirement Decision Debate: I— Why Do People Retire from Work Early,” by Robert J. Myers; “II— Critique of Early Retirement Study Disputed,” by Eric R. Kingson, Aging and Work, Vol. 5, No. 2, 1982, pp. 83-110. Kamerman, Shelia B. and Alfred J. Kahn, “Income Transfers, Work and the Economic Well-Being of Families with Children: A Comparative Study,” International Social Se curity Review, March 1982, pp. 345-82. Paltiel, Freda L., “Women and Pensions in Canada,” Interna tional Social Security Review, March 1982, pp. 333-44. Rosen, Benson and Thomas H. Jerdee, “Effects of Employee Financial Status Adjustment on Employers’ Reten tion/Retirement Recommendations,” Aging and Work, Vol. 5, No. 2, 1982, pp. 111-18. “Social Security and Family Policy,” International Social Se curity Review, March 1982, pp. 275-88. Watson, Harry, “Saving, Social Security, and Uncertainty,” Southern Economic Journal, October 1982, pp. 330-41. Q Current Labor Statistics N o te s o n C u rren t L a b o r S ta tis tic s ....................................................................................................................................... S c h e d u le o f r e le a s e d a te s fo r m a jo r B L S s t a t is t ic a l s e r ie s 58 ............................................................................. 58 E m p lo y m e n t d a ta fr o m h o u s e h o ld s u r v e y . D e f in it io n s a n d n o te s ............................................................... 1. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-82 ........................................................... 2. Employment status of the population, including Armed Forces in the United States, by sex,seasonally adjusted . 3. Employment status of the civilian population by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin,seasonally adjusted ............. 4. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................... 5. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... 6. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................ 7. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................ 8. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted .................................................................................................................. 59 59 60 61 62 63 64 64 64 E m p lo y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n in g s d a ta fr o m e s t a b lis h m e n t s u r v e y s . D e f in it io n s a n d n o t e s . 9. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 ................................................................................................................ 10. Employment by State .................................................................................................................................................................. 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted .......................................... 12. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 ................................................................................... 13. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ 14. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ 15. Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division ........................................................................................................................ 16. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ 17. Indexes of diffusion: industries in which employment increased ........................................................................................ 65 66 66 67 68 69 70 70 71 71 U n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e d a ta . D e f in it io n s .................................................................................................................. 18. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations .......................................................................................... 72 72 P r ic e d a ta . D e fin itio n s a n d n o te s .......................................................................................................................................... 19. Consumer Price Index, 1967-82 ................................................................................................................................................ 20. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selecteditems ............................................................ 21. Consumer Price Index, cross-classification of region and population sizeclass ............................................................... 22. Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................................................................................... 23. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ..................................................................................................................... 24. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ................................................................................................................ 25. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ................................................................................................ 26. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................ 27. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ..................................................................................... 73 P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s a n d n o t e s .......................................................................................................................... 28. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years,1950-82 ...................... 29. Annual changes inproductivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1972-82 ............................................... 30. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ...................... 31. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . 87 87 88 88 89 W a g e a n d c o m p e n s a t i o n d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s a n d n o t e s ............................................................................................. 32. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry g r o u p ........................................................ 33. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry grou p ........................................................... 34. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area s i z e ................................. 35. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1978 to date ............................................. 36. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1978 to d a te ................ 90 91 92 93 94 94 W o r k s t o p p a g e d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n ............................................................................................................................................... 37. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date ..................................................................................... 95 95 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 74 74 80 81 82 83 85 85 86 57 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying .periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 3-8 were revised in the February 1983 issue of the R e v ie w , to reflect experience through 1982. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifi cations in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -ll method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in T h e X - l l A R I M A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, Feb ruary 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-Decembei period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 11, 13, and 15 were made in August 1981 using the X -ll ARIM A seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in tables 29 and 30 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. More information from house hold and establishment surveys is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n ings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Comparable household in formation is published in a two-volume data book- L a b o r F o rce S ta tis tic s D e r iv e d F ro m th e C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n S u rv e y , Bulletin 2096. Comparable establishment information appears in two data booksE m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta te s , and E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n ings, S ta te s a n d A re a s, and their annual supplements. More detailed information on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining ap pears in the monthly periodical, C u r r e n t W a g e D e ve lo p m e n ts . More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P ric e I n d e x es. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Release date E m p lo y m e n t C o s t In d e x E m p lo y m e n t s itu a tio n Period covered Release date Period covered Release date Period covered MLR table number ......................................... ................................................ M ay 6 A p ril June 3 M ay J u ly 8 June 1 -1 1 P r o d u c e r P r ic e I n d e x ................................................... M a y 13 A p ril J u n e 10 M ay J u ly 1 5 June 2 3 -2 7 C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x ................................................ M ay 24 A p ril June 22 M ay J u ly 2 2 June 1 9 -2 2 R e a l e a r n i n g s ......................................................... M ay 24 A p ril J u n e 22 M ay J u ly 2 2 June 1 2 -1 6 J u ly 2 9 2 n d q u a rte r M ay 26 1 s t q u a rte r J u ly 2 8 1 s t h a lf P r o d u c t iv ity a n d c o s t s : N o n fin a n c ia l c o r p o r a t io n s ............................. N o n f a r m b u s in e s s a n d m a n u f a c t u r in g M a jo r c o lle c t iv e b a r g a in in g s e t t le m e n t s Digitized for 58 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ... ... 2 8 -3 1 3 5 -3 7 EM PLOYM ENT DATA FROM TH E H O U SEH O LD SURVEY d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. employed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The labor force consists of all employed or unemployed civilians plus members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Persons not in the labor force are those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy, and members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. The labor force participation rate is the proportion of the noninstitutional population that is in the labor force. The employment-population ratio is total employment (including the resident Armed Forces) as a percent of the noninstitutional population. E m plo ym en t Definitions Employed persons include (1) all civilians who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. Members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are also included in the employed total. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The overall unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the labor force, including the resident Armed Forces. The unemployment rate for all civilian workers represents the number un 1. a n d E a rn in g s. Data in tables 2-8 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1982. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-82 [Numbers in thousands] Labor force Employed Year Noninsti tutional population Number Percent of population Unemployed Civilian Total Percent of population Resident Armed Forces Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industies Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 .......... 1955 .......... 1960 .......... 106,164 111,747 119,106 63,377 67,087 71,489 59.7 60.0 60.0 60,087 64,234 67,639 56.6 57.5 56.8 1,169 2,064 1,861 58,918 62,170 65,778 7,160 6,450 5,458 51,758 55,722 60,318 3,288 2,852 3,852 5.2 4.3 5.4 42,787 44,660 47,617 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 128,459 130,180 132,092 134,281 136,573 76,401 77,892 79,565 80,990 82,972 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.3 60.8 73,034 75,017 76,590 78,173 80,140 56.9 57.6 58.0 58.2 58.7 1,946 2,122 2,218 2,253 2,238 71,088 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 4,361 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 66,726 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 3,366 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4.4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 52,058 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 139,203 142,189 145,939 148,870 151,841 84,889 86,355 88,847 91,203 93,670 61.0 60.7 60.9 61.3 61.7 80,796 81,340 83,966 86,838 88,515 58.0 57.2 57.5 58.3 58.3 2,118 1,973 1,813 1,774 1,721 78,678 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 3,463 3,394 3,484 3,470 3,515 75,215 75,972 78,669 81,594 83,279 4,093 5,016 4,882 4,365 5,156 4.8 5.8 5.5 4.8 5.5 54,315 55,834 57,091 57,667 58,171 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 154,831 157,818 160,689 163,541 166,460 95,453 97,826 100,665 103,882 106,559 61.6 62.0 62.6 63.5 64.0 87,524 90,420 93,673 97,679 100,421 56.5 57.3 58.3 59.7 60.3 1,678 1,668 1,656 1,631 1,597 85,846 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 3,408 3,331 3,283 3,387 3,347 82,438 85,421 88,734 92,661 95,477 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 8.3 7.6 6.9 6.0 5.8 59,377 59,991 60,025 59,659 59,900 1980 .......... 1981 .......... 1982 .......... 169,349 171,775 173,939 108,544 110,315 111,872 64.1 64.2 64.3 100,907 102,042 101,194 59.6 59.4 58.2 1,604 1,645 1,668 99,303 100,397 99,526 3,364 3,368 3,401 95,938 97,030 96,125 7,637 8,273 10,678 7.0 7.5 9.5 60,806 61,460 62,067 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status of the population, including Armed Forces in the United States, by sex, seasonally adjusted [ N u m b e r s in t h o u s a n d s ] 1983 1982 A nnual a v erag e E m p lo y m e n t s ta tu s a n d s e x 1982 1981 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. T o ta l ................................... 1 7 1 ,7 7 5 1 7 3 ,9 3 9 1 7 3 ,3 3 8 1 7 3 ,5 1 2 1 7 3 ,6 9 1 1 7 3 ,8 5 4 1 7 4 ,0 3 8 1 7 4 ,2 0 0 1 7 4 ,3 6 0 1 7 4 ,5 4 9 1 7 4 ,7 1 8 1 7 4 ,8 6 4 1 7 5 ,0 2 1 1 7 5 ,1 6 9 1 7 5 ,3 2 0 ................................................................... 1 1 0 ,3 1 5 1 1 1 ,8 7 2 1 1 1 ,1 4 9 1 1 1 ,4 0 8 1 1 2 ,0 4 3 1 1 1 ,8 1 1 1 1 2 ,0 9 0 1 1 2 ,3 0 3 1 1 2 ,5 2 8 1 1 2 ,4 2 0 1 1 2 ,7 0 2 1 1 2 ,7 9 4 1 1 2 ,2 1 5 1 1 2 ,2 1 7 1 1 2 ,1 4 8 6 4 .5 6 4 .5 6 4 .4 6 4 .5 6 4 .5 6 4 .1 6 4 .1 6 4 .0 1 0 1 ,3 7 2 1 0 1 ,2 1 3 1 0 0 ,8 4 4 1 0 0 ,7 9 6 1 0 0 ,7 5 8 1 0 0 ,7 7 0 1 0 0 ,7 2 7 1 0 0 ,7 6 7 N o n in s titu tio n a l p o p u l a t i o n 1 2 L a bo r fo rc e 2 ................................... 6 4 .2 6 4 .3 6 4 .1 6 4 .2 6 4 .5 6 4 .3 6 4 .4 ................................................... 1 0 2 ,0 4 2 1 0 1 ,1 9 4 1 0 1 ,2 6 8 1 0 1 ,1 5 2 1 0 1 ,6 5 9 1 0 1 ,3 4 5 1 0 1 ,2 6 2 P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e 3 T o t a l e m p lo y e d 2 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t i o 4 . . . . R e s id e n t A r m e d F o r c e s 1 ......................... C iv ilia n e m p l o y e d ............................................. 5 7 .6 5 7 .6 5 7 .5 5 7 .5 582 5 8 .4 5 8 .3 5 8 .5 5 8 .3 5 8 .2 5 8 .2 5 8 .0 1 ,6 6 8 1 ,6 7 1 1 ,6 6 8 1 ,6 6 5 1 ,6 6 4 1 ,6 7 4 1 ,6 8 9 1 ,6 7 0 1 ,6 6 8 1 ,6 6 0 1 ,6 6 5 1 ,6 6 7 1 ,6 6 4 1 ,6 6 4 9 9 ,5 4 3 9 9 ,1 7 6 9 9 ,1 3 6 9 9 ,0 9 3 9 9 ,1 0 3 9 9 ,0 6 3 9 9 ,1 0 3 1 0 0 ,3 9 7 9 9 ,5 2 6 9 9 ,5 9 7 9 9 ,4 8 4 9 9 ,9 9 4 9 9 ,6 8 1 9 9 ,5 8 8 9 9 ,6 8 3 5 7 .8 5 7 .7 5 9 .4 1 ,6 4 5 A g r i c u l t u r e ...................................................... 3 ,3 6 8 3 ,4 0 1 3 ,3 6 7 3 ,3 5 6 3 ,4 4 6 3 ,3 7 1 3 ,4 4 5 3 ,4 2 9 3 ,3 6 3 3 ,4 1 3 3 ,4 6 6 3 ,4 1 1 3 ,4 1 2 3 ,3 9 3 3 ,3 7 5 ................... 9 7 ,0 3 0 9 6 ,1 2 5 9 6 ,2 3 0 9 6 ,1 2 8 9 6 ,5 4 8 9 6 ,3 1 0 9 6 ,1 4 3 9 6 ,2 5 4 9 6 ,1 8 0 9 5 ,7 6 3 9 5 ,6 7 0 9 5 ,6 8 2 9 5 ,6 9 1 9 5 ,6 7 0 9 5 ,7 2 9 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l in d u s tr ie s U n e m p lo y e d ............................................................ 8 ,2 7 3 1 0 ,6 7 8 9 ,8 8 1 1 0 ,2 5 6 1 0 ,3 8 4 1 0 ,4 6 6 1 0 ,8 2 8 1 0 ,9 3 1 1 1 ,3 1 5 1 1 ,5 7 6 1 1 ,9 0 6 1 2 ,0 3 6 1 1 ,4 4 6 1 1 ,4 9 0 1 1 ,3 8 1 1 0 .6 1 0 .7 1 0 .2 1 0 .2 10 .1 6 2 ,0 1 6 6 2 ,0 7 0 6 2 ,8 0 6 6 2 ,9 5 2 6 3 ,1 7 2 8 3 ,3 2 3 8 3 ,4 0 2 8 3 ,5 8 1 8 3 ,6 5 2 8 3 ,7 2 0 8 3 ,7 8 9 6 4 ,3 0 0 6 4 ,4 1 4 6 4 ,3 8 4 6 3 ,9 1 6 6 3 ,9 9 6 6 3 ,9 5 7 1 0 .3 ' ............................. 7 .5 9 .5 8 .9 9 .2 9 .3 9 .4 9 .7 9 .7 10 .1 N o t in la b o r f o r c e ......................................................... 6 1 ,4 6 0 6 2 ,0 6 7 6 2 ,1 8 9 6 2 ,1 0 4 6 1 ,6 4 8 6 2 ,0 4 3 6 1 ,9 4 8 6 1 ,8 9 7 6 1 ,8 3 2 6 2 ,1 2 9 ................................... 8 2 ,0 2 3 8 3 ,0 5 2 8 2 ,7 6 3 8 2 ,8 4 4 8 2 ,9 2 9 8 3 ,0 0 6 8 3 ,0 9 7 8 3 ,1 7 3 8 3 ,2 3 1 ................................................................... 6 3 ,4 8 6 6 3 ,9 7 9 6 3 ,6 9 3 6 3 ,8 2 9 6 4 ,1 7 2 6 3 ,8 5 1 6 3 ,8 9 8 6 4 ,0 5 5 6 4 ,3 0 1 U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e 5 M e n , 16 y e a r s a n d o v e r N o n in s titu tio n a l p o p u l a t i o n L a b o r fo rc e 2 12 ................................... 7 7 .4 7 7 .0 7 7 .0 7 7 .0 7 7 .4 7 6 .9 7 6 .9 7 7 .0 7 7 .3 7 7 .2 7 7 .2 7 7 .0 7 6 .4 7 6 .4 7 6 .3 ................................................... 5 8 ,9 0 9 5 7 ,8 0 0 5 8 ,0 3 1 5 7 ,9 7 3 5 8 ,2 5 1 5 7 ,7 7 5 5 7 ,6 6 4 5 7 ,7 1 0 5 7 ,5 9 8 5 7 ,4 5 6 5 7 ,4 0 8 5 7 ,3 3 8 5 7 ,2 8 3 5 7 ,2 3 4 5 7 ,3 0 0 7 1 .8 6 9 .6 7 0 .1 7 0 .0 7 0 .2 6 9 .6 6 9 .4 6 9 .4 6 9 .2 6 9 .0 6 8 .8 6 8 .6 6 8 .5 6 8 .4 6 8 .4 P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e 3 T o t a l e m p lo y e d 2 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t i o 4 . . . . ......................... 1 ,5 1 2 1 ,5 2 7 1 ,5 3 2 1 ,5 2 9 1 ,5 2 7 1 ,5 2 6 1 ,5 3 7 1 ,5 5 1 1 ,5 2 6 1 ,5 2 4 1 ,5 1 6 1 ,5 2 9 1 ,5 3 1 1 ,5 2 8 1 ,5 2 8 C iv ilia n e m p l o y e d ............................................ 5 7 ,3 9 7 5 6 ,2 7 1 5 6 ,4 9 9 5 6 ,4 4 4 5 6 ,7 2 4 5 6 ,2 4 9 5 6 ,1 2 7 5 6 ,1 5 9 5 6 ,0 7 2 5 5 ,9 3 2 5 5 ,8 9 2 5 5 ,8 0 9 5 5 ,7 5 2 5 5 ,7 0 6 5 5 ,7 7 2 ............................................................ 4 ,5 7 7 6 ,1 7 9 5 ,6 6 2 5 ,8 5 6 5 ,9 2 1 6 ,0 7 6 6 ,2 3 4 6 ,3 4 5 6 ,7 0 3 6 ,8 4 4 7 ,0 0 6 7 ,0 4 6 6 ,6 3 3 6 ,7 6 2 6 ,6 5 7 7 .2 9 .7 8 .9 9 .2 9 .2 9 .5 9 .8 9 .9 1 0 .4 1 0 .6 1 0 .9 1 0 .9 1 0 .4 1 0 .6 1 0 .4 R e s id e n t A r m e d F o r c e s 1 U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e 5 ............................. W o m en , 16 y e a rs and o v e r ................................... 8 9 ,7 5 1 9 0 ,8 8 7 9 0 ,5 7 6 9 0 ,6 6 8 9 0 ,7 6 2 9 0 ,8 4 8 9 0 ,9 4 1 9 1 ,0 2 7 9 1 ,1 2 9 9 1 ,2 2 6 9 1 ,3 1 6 9 1 ,2 8 3 9 1 ,3 6 9 9 1 ,4 4 9 9 1 ,5 3 2 ............................................................. 4 6 ,8 2 9 4 7 ,8 9 4 4 7 ,4 5 6 4 7 ,5 7 9 4 7 ,8 7 1 4 7 ,9 6 0 4 8 ,1 9 2 4 8 ,2 4 8 4 8 ,2 2 7 4 8 ,1 2 0 4 8 ,2 8 8 4 8 ,4 1 0 4 8 ,2 9 9 4 8 ,2 2 0 4 8 ,1 9 1 N o n in s titu tio n a l p o p u l a t i o n 1 2 L a b o r fo rc e 2 ................................... 5 2 .2 5 2 .7 5 2 .4 5 2 .5 5 2 .7 5 2 .8 5 3 .0 5 3 .0 5 2 .9 5 2 .7 5 2 .9 5 3 .0 5 2 .9 5 2 .7 5 2 .6 ................................................... 4 3 ,1 3 3 4 3 ,3 9 5 4 3 ,2 3 7 4 3 ,1 7 9 4 3 ,4 0 8 4 3 ,5 7 0 4 3 ,5 9 8 4 3 ,6 6 2 4 3 ,6 1 5 4 3 ,3 8 8 4 3 ,3 8 8 4 3 ,4 2 0 4 3 ,4 8 6 4 3 ,4 9 3 4 3 ,4 6 7 4 8 .1 4 7 .7 4 7 .7 4 7 .6 4 7 .8 4 8 .0 4 7 .9 4 8 .0 4 7 .9 4 7 .6 4 7 .5 4 7 .6 4 7 .6 4 7 .6 4 7 .5 ......................... 133 139 139 139 138 138 137 138 144 144 144 136 136 136 136 C iv ilia n e m p l o y e d ............................................ 4 3 ,0 0 0 4 3 ,2 5 6 4 3 ,0 9 8 4 3 ,0 4 0 4 3 ,2 7 0 4 3 ,4 3 2 4 3 ,4 6 1 4 3 ,5 2 4 4 3 ,4 7 1 4 3 ,2 4 4 4 3 ,2 4 4 4 3 ,2 8 4 4 3 ,3 5 0 4 3 ,3 5 7 4 3 ,3 3 1 4 ,9 0 0 4 ,9 9 0 4 ,8 1 3 4 ,7 2 7 4 ,7 2 4 10 .1 1 0 .3 1 0 .0 9 .8 9 .8 P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e 3 T o t a l e m p lo y e d 2 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t i o 4 . . . . R e s id e n t A r m e d F o r c e s 1 U n e m p lo y e d ............................................................ U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e 5 ............................. 3 ,6 9 6 4 ,4 9 9 4 ,2 1 9 4 ,4 0 0 4 ,4 6 3 4 ,3 9 0 4 ,5 9 4 4 ,5 8 6 4 ,6 1 2 4 ,7 3 2 7 .9 9 .4 8 .9 9 .2 9 .3 9 .2 9 .5 9 .5 9 .6 9 .8 1 T h e p o p u la tio n a n d A r m e d F o r c e s fig u r e s a r e n o t a d ju s t e d f o r s e a s o n a l v a r ia t io n . 4 T o t a l e m p lo y e d a s a p e r c e n t o f th e n o n in s tltu t io n a l p o p u la tio n . 2 In c lu d e s m e m b e r s o f th e A r m e d F o r c e s s t a t io n e d in t h e U n ite d S t a te s . 5 U n e m p lo y m e n t a s a p e r c e n t o f t h e la b o r f o r c e ( in c lu d in g t h e r e s id e n t A r m e d F o r c e s ) . 3 L a b o r f o r c e a s a p e r c e n t o f th e n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la tio n . 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3. Employment status of the civilian population by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1983 1982 A nnual a v erag e E m p lo y m e n t s ta tu s 1981 1982 M ar. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. TOTAL ............................. 1 7 0 ,1 3 0 1 7 2 ,2 7 1 1 7 1 ,6 6 7 1 7 1 ,8 4 4 1 7 2 ,0 2 6 1 7 2 ,1 9 0 1 7 2 ,3 6 4 1 7 2 ,5 1 1 1 7 2 ,6 9 0 1 7 2 ,8 8 1 1 7 3 ,0 5 8 1 7 3 ,1 9 9 1 7 3 ,3 5 4 1 7 3 ,5 0 5 1 7 3 ,6 5 6 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e ............................................................. 1 0 8 ,6 7 0 1 1 0 ,2 0 4 1 0 9 ,4 7 8 1 0 9 ,7 4 0 1 1 0 ,3 7 8 1 1 0 ,1 4 7 1 1 0 ,4 1 6 1 1 0 ,6 1 4 1 1 0 ,8 5 8 1 1 0 ,7 5 2 1 1 1 ,0 4 2 1 1 1 ,1 2 9 1 1 0 ,5 4 8 1 1 0 ,5 5 3 1 1 0 ,4 8 4 C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 ............................................ 6 3 .9 6 4 .0 6 3 .8 6 3 .9 6 4 .2 6 4 .0 6 4 .1 6 4 .1 6 4 .2 6 4 .1 6 4 .2 6 4 .2 6 3 .8 6 3 .7 6 3 .6 ......................................................................... 1 0 0 ,3 9 7 9 9 ,5 2 6 9 9 ,5 9 7 9 9 ,4 8 4 9 9 ,9 9 4 9 9 ,6 8 1 9 9 ,5 8 8 9 9 ,6 8 3 9 9 ,5 4 3 9 9 ,1 7 6 9 9 ,1 3 6 9 9 ,0 9 3 9 9 ,1 0 3 9 9 ,0 6 3 9 9 ,1 0 3 5 7 .3 5 7 .2 5 7 .2 5 7 .1 5 7 .1 P a r t ic ip a t io n r a t e E m p lo y e d 5 9 .0 5 7 .8 5 8 .0 5 7 .9 5 8 .1 5 7 .9 5 7 .8 5 7 .8 5 7 .6 5 7 .4 3 ,3 6 8 3 ,4 0 1 3 ,3 6 7 3 ,3 5 6 3 ,4 4 6 3 ,3 7 1 3 ,4 4 5 3 ,4 2 9 3 ,3 6 3 3 ,4 1 3 3 ,4 6 6 3 ,4 1 1 3 ,4 1 2 3 ,3 9 3 3 ,3 /b ................................ 9 7 ,0 3 0 9 6 ,1 2 5 9 6 ,2 3 0 9 6 ,1 2 8 9 6 ,5 4 8 9 6 ,3 1 0 9 6 ,1 4 3 9 6 ,2 5 4 9 6 ,1 8 0 9 5 ,7 6 3 9 5 ,6 7 0 9 5 ,6 8 2 9 5 ,6 9 1 9 5 ,6 7 0 9 5 ,7 2 9 ................................................................... 8 ,2 7 3 1 0 ,6 7 8 9 ,8 8 1 1 0 ,2 5 6 1 0 ,3 8 4 1 0 ,4 6 6 1 0 ,8 2 8 1 0 ,9 3 1 1 1 ,3 1 5 1 1 ,5 7 6 1 1 ,9 0 6 1 2 ,0 3 6 1 1 ,4 4 6 1 1 ,4 9 0 1 0 .8 1 0 .4 1 0 .4 1 0 .3 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a tio 2 ....... A g r i c u l t u r e ................................................................... N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l in d u s tr ie s U n e m p lo y e d 1 1 ,3 8 1 ...................................... 7 .6 9 .7 9 .0 9 .3 9 .4 9 .5 9 .8 9 .9 1 0 .2 1 0 .5 1 0 .7 N o t in la b o r f o r c e ................................................................ 6 1 ,4 6 0 6 2 ,0 6 7 6 2 ,1 8 9 6 2 ,1 0 4 6 1 ,6 4 8 6 2 ,0 4 3 6 1 ,9 4 8 6 1 ,8 9 7 6 1 ,8 3 2 6 2 ,1 2 9 6 2 ,0 1 6 6 2 ,0 7 0 6 2 ,8 0 6 6 2 ,9 5 2 6 3 ,1 7 2 ............................. 7 2 ,4 1 9 7 3 ,6 4 4 7 3 ,2 8 7 7 3 ,3 9 2 7 3 ,4 9 9 7 3 ,5 8 5 7 3 ,6 8 5 7 3 ,7 7 4 7 3 ,8 6 7 7 3 ,9 8 4 7 4 ,0 9 4 7 4 ,2 3 6 7 4 ,3 3 9 7 4 ,4 3 4 7 4 ,5 2 8 ......................................................... 5 7 ,1 9 7 5 7 ,9 8 0 5 7 ,6 3 3 5 7 ,7 9 4 5 8 ,0 0 8 5 7 ,9 5 9 5 8 ,0 5 5 5 8 ,0 6 4 5 8 ,3 5 4 5 8 ,3 6 3 5 8 ,4 5 4 5 8 ,4 4 3 5 8 ,0 4 8 5 8 ,1 7 7 5 8 ,1 7 0 7 9 .0 7 8 .7 7 8 .6 7 8 .7 7 8 .9 7 8 .8 7 8 .8 7 8 .7 7 9 .0 7 8 .9 7 8 .9 7 8 .7 7 8 .1 7 8 .2 7 8 .1 5 2 ,4 5 2 5 2 ,4 2 8 5 2 ,5 8 9 U n e m p lo y m e n t r a te M en, 20 ye ars an d o ve r C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e E m p lo y e d ............................................ ......................................................................... 5 3 ,5 8 2 5 2 ,8 9 1 5 3 ,0 2 6 5 3 ,0 2 4 5 3 ,1 9 0 5 2 ,9 4 3 5 2 ,9 0 5 5 2 ,8 3 2 5 2 ,7 7 6 5 2 ,6 4 9 5 2 ,5 8 9 5 2 ,5 3 4 7 2 .4 7 2 .2 7 2 .4 7 1 .9 7 1 .8 7 1 .6 7 1 .4 7 1 .2 7 1 .0 7 0 .8 7 0 .6 7 0 .4 7 0 .6 ................ 7 4 .0 7 1 .8 A g r i c u l t u r e ................................................................... 2 ,3 8 4 2 ,4 2 2 2 ,3 9 2 2 ,4 1 7 2 ,4 4 6 2 ,4 2 4 2 ,4 6 2 2 ,4 3 3 2 ,4 3 6 2 ,4 4 4 2 ,4 3 4 2 ,3 8 9 2 ,4 2 6 2 ,3 7 4 2 ,4 2 0 ................................ 5 1 ,1 9 9 5 0 ,4 6 9 5 0 ,6 3 4 5 0 ,6 0 7 5 0 ,7 4 4 5 0 ,5 1 9 5 0 ,4 4 3 5 0 ,3 9 9 5 0 ,3 4 0 5 0 ,2 0 5 5 0 ,1 5 5 5 0 ,1 4 5 5 0 ,0 2 5 5 0 ,0 5 4 5 0 ,1 6 9 ................................................................... 3 ,6 1 5 5 ,0 8 9 4 ,6 0 7 4 ,7 7 0 4 ,8 1 8 5 ,0 1 6 5 ,1 5 0 5 ,2 3 2 5 ,5 7 8 5 ,7 1 4 5 ,8 6 5 5 ,9 0 9 5 ,5 9 7 5 ,7 4 9 5 ,5 .8 1 8 .8 8 .0 8 .3 8 .3 8 .7 8 .9 9 .0 9 .6 9 .8 1 0 .0 10 .1 9 .6 9 .9 9 .6 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a tio 2 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l in d u s tr ie s U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ...................................... 6 .3 W om en , 20 years and o ve r ............................. 8 1 ,4 9 7 8 2 ,8 6 4 8 2 ,4 7 8 8 2 ,5 9 1 8 2 ,7 0 7 8 2 ,8 1 1 8 2 ,9 2 6 8 3 ,0 3 5 8 3 ,1 5 2 8 3 ,2 7 1 8 3 ,3 8 5 8 3 ,3 8 3 8 3 ,4 9 0 8 3 ,5 9 3 8 3 ,6 9 9 ......................................................... 4 2 ,4 8 5 4 3 ,6 9 9 4 3 ,2 8 5 4 3 ,3 5 5 4 3 ,6 3 2 4 3 ,8 1 9 4 3 ,9 8 3 4 4 ,0 3 9 4 3 ,9 9 6 4 3 ,9 3 6 4 4 ,1 1 2 4 4 ,2 8 6 4 4 ,2 0 1 4 4 ,2 1 6 4 4 ,1 6 6 C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e ............................................ 5 2 .1 5 2 .7 5 2 .5 5 2 .5 5 2 .8 5 2 .9 5 3 .0 5 3 .0 5 2 .9 5 2 .8 5 2 .9 5 3 .1 5 2 .9 5 2 .9 5 2 .8 ......................................................................... 3 9 ,5 9 0 4 0 ,0 8 6 3 9 ,8 8 3 3 9 ,8 2 7 4 0 ,0 6 4 4 0 ,2 5 4 4 0 ,3 1 1 4 0 ,3 6 8 4 0 ,2 8 6 4 0 ,1 1 2 4 0 ,1 2 3 4 0 ,2 1 5 4 0 ,2 3 8 4 0 ,2 9 1 4 0 ,2 7 7 4 8 .6 4 8 .6 4 8 .6 4 8 .4 4 8 .2 4 8 .1 4 8 .2 4 8 .2 4 8 .2 4 8 .1 P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e E m p lo y e d ................ 4 8 .6 4 8 .4 4 8 .4 4 8 .2 4 8 .4 A g r i c u l t u r e ................................................................... 604 601 625 600 614 586 598 590 588 578 590 628 625 c 657 647 3 8 ,9 8 6 3 9 ,4 8 5 3 9 ,2 5 8 3 9 ,2 2 7 3 9 ,4 5 0 3 9 ,6 6 8 3 9 ,7 1 3 3 9 ,7 7 8 3 9 ,6 9 8 3 9 ,5 3 4 3 9 ,5 3 3 3 9 ,5 8 7 3 9 ,6 1 3 3 9 ,6 3 4 3 9 ,6 3 0 3 ,9 2 5 3 ,8 8 9 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t io 2 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l In d u s tr ie s U n e m p lo y e d ................................ 2 ,8 9 5 3 ,6 1 3 3 ,4 0 2 3 ,5 2 8 3 ,5 6 8 3 ,5 6 5 3 ,6 7 2 3 ,6 7 1 3 ,7 1 0 3 ,8 2 4 3 ,9 8 9 4 ,0 7 1 3 ,9 6 3 6 .8 8 .3 7 .9 8.1 8 .2 8.1 8 .3 8 .3 8 .4 8 .7 9 .0 9 .2 9 .0 8 .9 8 .8 ............................. 1 6 ,2 1 4 1 5 ,7 6 3 1 5 ,9 0 2 1 5 ,8 6 1 1 5 ,8 2 0 1 5 ,7 9 4 1 5 ,7 5 3 1 5 ,7 0 2 1 5 ,6 7 1 1 5 ,6 2 5 1 5 ,5 7 9 1 5 ,5 8 0 1 5 ,5 2 5 1 5 ,4 7 8 1 5 ,4 2 9 ............................................................ 8 ,9 8 8 8 ,5 2 6 8 ,5 6 0 8 ,5 9 1 8 ,7 3 8 8 ,3 6 9 8 ,3 7 8 8 ,5 1 1 8 ,5 0 8 8 ,4 5 3 8 ,4 7 6 8 ,4 0 0 8 ,2 9 9 8 ,1 6 0 5 5 .4 5 4 .1 5 3 .8 5 4 .2 5 5 .2 5 3 .0 5 3 .2 5 4 .2 5 4 .3 5 4 .1 5 4 .4 5 3 .9 5 3 .5 5 2 .7 5 2 .8 ................................................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ...................................... B o th s e x e s , 1 6 t o 19 y e a r s C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 C iv ilia n l a b o r f o r c e P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e E m p lo y e d ............................................ ......................................................................... 7 ,2 2 5 6 ,5 4 9 6 ,6 8 8 6 ,6 3 3 6 ,7 4 0 8 ,1 4 8 6 ,4 8 4 6 ,3 7 2 6 ,4 8 3 6 ,4 8 1 6 ,4 1 5 6 ,4 2 4 6 ,3 4 4 6 ,4 1 3 6 ,3 4 5 6 ,2 3 7 4 1 .3 4 1 .4 4 1 .1 4 1 .2 4 0 ,7 4 1 .3 4 1 .0 4 0 .4 ................ 4 4 .6 4 1 .5 4 2 .1 4 1 .8 4 2 .6 4 1 .1 4 0 .4 A g r i c u l t u r e ................................................................... 380 378 350 339 386 361 385 406 339 391 442 394 361 362 308 ................................ 6 ,8 4 5 6 ,1 7 1 6 ,3 3 8 6 ,2 9 4 6 ,3 5 4 6 ,1 2 3 5 ,9 8 7 6 ,0 7 7 6 ,1 4 2 6 ,0 2 4 5 ,9 8 2 5 ,9 5 0 6 ,0 5 2 5 ,9 8 3 5 ,9 2 9 ................................................................... 1 ,7 6 3 1 ,9 7 7 1 ,8 7 2 1 ,9 5 8 1 ,9 9 8 1 ,8 8 5 2 ,0 0 6 2 ,0 2 8 2 ,0 2 7 2 ,0 3 8 2 ,0 5 2 2 ,0 5 6 1 ,8 8 6 1 ,8 1 5 1 ,9 1 1 1 9 .6 2 3 .2 2 1 .9 2 2 .8 2 2 .9 2 2 .5 2 3 .9 2 3 .8 2 3 .8 2 4 .1 2 4 .2 2 4 .5 2 2 .7 2 2 .2 2 3 .5 ............................. 1 4 7 ,9 0 8 1 4 9 ,4 4 1 1 4 9 ,1 3 2 1 4 9 ,2 4 9 1 4 9 ,2 5 0 1 4 9 ,4 2 9 1 4 9 ,5 6 9 1 4 9 ,5 3 6 1 4 9 ,6 5 2 1 4 9 ,8 3 8 1 4 9 ,8 8 7 1 5 0 ,0 5 6 1 5 0 ,1 2 9 1 5 0 ,1 8 7 1 5 0 ,3 8 2 ......................................................... 9 5 ,0 5 2 9 6 ,1 4 3 9 5 ,6 0 2 9 5 ,9 4 1 9 6 ,4 0 5 9 6 ,1 6 5 9 6 ,3 8 5 9 6 ,3 7 5 9 6 ,6 4 0 9 6 ,4 5 3 9 6 ,7 1 9 9 6 ,8 6 4 9 6 ,1 7 6 9 5 ,9 8 7 6 4 .3 6 4 .3 6 4 .1 6 4 .3 6 4 .6 6 4 .4 6 4 .4 6 4 .4 6 4 .6 6 4 .4 6 4 .5 6 4 .6 6 4 .1 6 3 .9 6 3 .8 8 7 ,4 7 7 8 7 ,4 3 5 8 7 ,4 4 3 8 7 ,4 6 6 8 7 ,1 9 4 8 7 ,3 2 4 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a tio 2 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l in d u s tr ie s U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ...................................... W h ite C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e E m p lo y e d ............................................. 9 5 ,9 9 6 ......................................................................... 8 8 ,7 0 9 8 7 ,9 0 3 8 8 ,0 3 3 8 8 ,0 1 1 8 8 ,3 5 0 8 8 ,0 8 9 8 8 ,0 2 1 8 7 ,9 7 9 8 7 ,8 7 2 ................ 6 0 .0 5 8 .8 5 9 .0 5 9 .0 5 9 .2 5 9 .0 5 8 .8 5 8 .8 5 8 .7 5 8 .4 5 8 .3 5 8 .3 5 8 .3 5 8 .1 5 8 .1 ................................................................... 6 ,3 4 3 8 ,2 4 1 7 ,5 6 9 7 ,9 3 0 8 ,0 5 5 8 ,0 7 6 8 ,3 6 4 8 ,3 9 6 8 ,7 6 8 8 ,9 7 6 9 ,2 8 4 9 ,4 2 1 8 ,7 1 1 8 ,7 9 3 8 ,6 7 2 6 .7 8 .6 7 .9 8 .3 8 .4 8 .4 8 .7 8 .7 9.1 9 .3 9 .6 9 .7 9.1 9 .2 9 .0 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t io 2 U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ...................................... B la c k ............................. 1 8 ,2 1 9 1 8 ,5 8 4 1 8 ,4 8 0 1 8 ,5 1 1 1 8 ,5 4 2 1 8 ,5 7 0 1 8 ,6 0 0 1 8 ,6 2 6 1 8 ,6 5 9 1 8 ,6 9 2 1 8 ,7 2 3 1 8 ,7 4 0 1 8 ,7 6 8 1 8 ,7 9 6 1 8 ,8 2 3 ......................................................... 1 1 ,0 8 6 1 1 ,3 3 1 1 1 ,2 2 8 1 1 ,2 0 1 1 1 ,3 1 8 1 1 ,2 6 7 1 1 ,3 4 1 1 1 ,4 0 0 1 1 ,4 4 3 1 1 ,3 9 8 1 1 ,4 7 5 1 1 ,5 2 2 1 1 ,5 4 2 1 1 ,5 4 8 1 1 ,5 5 4 6 0 .8 6 1 .0 6 0 .8 6 0 .5 6 1 .0 6 0 .7 6 1 .0 6 1 .2 6 1 .3 6 1 .0 6 1 .3 6 1 .5 6 1 .5 6 1 .4 6 1 .4 9 ,3 5 5 9 ,1 8 9 9 ,2 0 9 9 ,1 3 5 9 ,2 0 9 9 ,1 7 1 9 ,2 1 1 9 ,2 2 0 9 ,1 7 2 9 ,1 0 2 9 ,1 5 9 9 ,1 2 7 9 ,1 4 2 9 ,2 7 6 9 ,2 5 3 4 9 .2 C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e P a r t ic ip a tio n r a te E m p lo y e d ............................................. ......................................................................... ................ 5 1 .3 4 9 .4 4 9 .8 4 9 .3 4 9 .7 4 9 .4 4 9 .5 4 9 .5 4 9 .2 4 8 .7 4 8 .9 4 8 .7 4 8 .7 4 9 .4 ................................................................... 1 ,7 3 1 2 ,1 4 2 2 ,0 1 9 2 ,0 6 6 2 ,1 0 9 2 ,0 9 6 2 ,1 3 0 2 ,1 8 0 2 ,2 7 1 2 ,2 9 6 2 ,3 1 6 2 ,3 9 5 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,2 7 1 2 ,3 0 2 ...................................... 1 5 .6 1 8 .9 1 8 .0 1 8 .4 1 8 .6 1 8 .6 1 8 .8 19 ,1 1 9 .8 2 0 .1 202 2 0 .8 2 0 .8 1 9 .7 1 9 .9 E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t io 2 U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e H is p a n ic o r ig in ............................. 9 ,3 1 0 9 ,4 0 0 9 ,2 9 7 9 ,2 3 5 9 ,2 9 7 9 ,4 2 8 9 ,5 2 1 9 ,6 8 9 9 ,4 6 4 9 ,4 7 4 9 ,3 5 5 9 ,3 0 1 9 ,3 2 8 9 ,3 6 8 9 ,5 5 1 C iv ilia n la b o r f o r c e ............................................................. 5 ,9 7 2 5 ,9 8 3 6 ,0 1 5 5 ,9 6 6 6 ,0 0 4 5 ,9 6 5 5 ,9 7 2 6 ,0 4 5 5 ,9 6 1 5 ,9 7 3 5 ,9 2 3 5 ,8 9 8 5 ,9 8 1 5 ,9 9 2 6 ,0 7 4 6 3 .0 6 3 .0 6 3 .3 6 3 .4 6 4 .1 6 4 .0 6 3 .6 C iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la t io n 1 ............................................. 6 4 .1 6 3 .6 6 4 .7 6 4 .6 6 4 .6 6 3 .3 6 2 .7 6 2 .4 ......................................................................... 5 ,3 4 8 5 ,1 5 8 5 ,2 5 3 5 ,2 1 1 5 ,1 8 2 5 ,1 5 5 5 ,1 3 6 5 ,1 6 2 5 ,0 9 7 5 ,0 7 5 5 ,0 1 2 4 ,9 9 8 5 ,0 5 3 5 ,0 4 2 5 ,0 8 8 ................ 5 7 .4 5 4 .9 5 6 .5 5 6 .4 5 5 .7 5 4 .7 5 3 .9 5 3 .3 5 3 .9 5 3 .6 5 3 .6 5 3 .7 5 4 .2 5 3 .8 5 3 .3 ................................................................... 624 825 762 755 822 810 836 883 864 898 911 900 929 950 986 1 4 .0 1 4 .6 1 4 .5 1 5 .0 1 5 .4 1 5 .3 1 5 .5 1 5 .8 1 6 .2 P a r t ic ip a tio n r a t e E m p lo y e d E m p lo y m e n t - p o p u la t io n r a t io 2 U n e m p lo y e d U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e ...................................... 1 0 .4 1 3 .8 1 T h e p o p u la tio n fig u r e s a r e n o t s e a s o n a lly a d ju s t e d . 1 2 .7 1 2 .7 1 3 .7 1 3 .6 N ote : D e ta il f o r th e a b o v e r a c e a n d H is p a n ic - o r ig in g r o u p s w ill n o t s u m t o t o t a ls b e c a u s e d a t a for th e 2 C iv ilia n e m p lo y m e n t a s a p e r c e n t o f th e c iv ilia n n o n in s titu t io n a l p o p u la tio n . " o t h e r r a c e s ” g r o u p s a r e n o t p r e s e n t e d a n d H is p a n ic s a r e in c lu d e d in b o th th e w h ite a n d b la c k p o p u la tio n c = c o r re c te d . g ro u p s . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ N u m b e r s in t h o u s a n d s ] A nnual av erag e 1982 1983 S e le c t e d c a t e g o r ie s 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly A ug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. 9 9 ,1 0 3 C H A R A C T E R IS T IC C iv ilia n e m p lo y e d , 1 6 y e a r s a n d o v e r ................................ 1 0 0 ,3 9 7 9 9 ,5 2 6 9 9 ,5 9 7 9 9 ,4 8 4 9 9 ,9 9 4 9 9 ,6 8 1 9 9 ,5 8 8 9 9 ,6 8 3 9 9 ,5 4 3 9 9 ,1 7 6 9 9 ,1 3 6 9 9 ,0 9 3 9 9 ,1 0 3 9 9 ,0 6 3 ............................................................................................... 5 7 ,3 9 7 5 6 ,2 7 1 5 6 ,4 9 9 5 6 ,4 4 4 5 6 ,7 2 4 5 6 ,2 4 9 5 6 ,1 2 7 5 6 ,1 5 9 5 6 ,0 7 3 5 5 ,9 3 2 5 5 ,8 9 2 5 5 ,8 0 9 5 5 ,7 5 2 5 5 ,7 0 6 5 5 ,7 7 2 W o m e n ......................................................................................... 4 3 ,0 0 0 4 3 ,2 5 6 4 3 ,0 9 8 4 3 ,0 4 0 4 3 ,2 7 0 4 3 ,4 3 2 4 3 ,4 6 1 4 3 ,5 2 4 4 3 ,4 7 1 4 3 ,2 4 4 4 3 ,2 4 4 4 3 ,2 8 4 4 3 ,3 5 0 4 3 ,3 5 7 4 3 ,3 3 1 M a r r ie d m e n , s p o u s e p r e s e n t ...................................... 3 8 ,8 8 2 3 8 ,0 7 4 3 8 ,2 2 7 3 8 ,2 1 2 3 8 ,2 7 4 3 8 ,2 5 4 3 8 ,1 7 7 3 8 ,1 2 1 3 7 ,9 9 8 3 7 ,8 5 2 3 7 ,6 4 1 3 7 ,5 0 7 3 7 ,4 5 0 3 7 ,4 2 8 3 7 ,4 5 2 M a r r ie d w o m e n , s p o u s e p r e s e n t ................................ 2 3 ,9 1 5 2 4 ,0 5 3 2 3 ,9 3 3 2 3 ,8 9 1 2 4 ,1 1 2 2 4 ,3 3 1 2 4 ,1 7 3 2 4 ,2 3 5 2 4 ,1 5 9 2 4 ,0 8 1 2 3 ,9 8 5 2 4 ,1 5 5 2 4 ,2 0 5 2 4 ,0 7 0 2 4 ,1 7 1 W o m e n w h o m a in t a in f a m i l i e s ...................................... 4 ,9 9 8 5 ,0 9 9 5 ,0 9 4 5 ,0 9 3 4 ,9 9 1 5 ,1 2 0 5 ,2 0 0 5 ,2 0 8 5 ,1 1 8 5 ,1 0 7 5 ,0 2 5 4 ,9 8 5 5 ,0 3 8 5 ,0 5 0 5 ,0 9 7 M en M A J O R IN D U S T R Y A N D C L A S S OF W ORKER A g r ic u ltu r e : W a g e a n d s a la r y w o r k e r s ................................................ 1 ,4 6 4 1 ,5 0 5 1 ,4 2 8 1 ,4 4 2 1 ,5 3 0 1 ,4 5 7 1 ,5 2 3 1 ,5 4 8 1 ,5 3 7 1 ,5 7 6 1 ,5 8 4 1 ,5 4 7 1 ,6 3 7 1 ,6 2 4 1 ,5 1 5 S e lf - e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s ...................................................... 1 ,6 3 8 1 ,6 3 6 1 ,6 4 5 1 ,6 5 6 1 ,6 7 9 1 ,6 6 1 1 ,6 5 5 1 ,6 2 0 1 ,5 6 9 1 ,6 2 1 1 ,6 2 8 1 ,6 2 7 1 ,5 8 7 1 ,5 4 1 1 ,5 8 5 ...................................................... 266 261 270 266 251 254 254 255 254 229 241 224 231 223 260 W a g e a n d s a la r y w o r k e r s ................................................ 8 9 ,5 4 3 8 8 ,4 6 2 8 8 ,6 2 0 8 8 ,4 5 4 8 8 ,8 7 2 8 8 ,5 4 8 8 8 ,4 9 1 8 8 ,5 7 6 8 8 ,5 6 2 8 8 ,0 6 4 8 7 ,9 3 6 8 7 ,9 7 6 8 7 ,8 1 3 8 7 ,7 9 4 8 7 ,9 1 2 U n p a id f a m ily w o r k e r s N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l in d u s tr ie s : ................................................................... 1 5 ,6 8 9 1 5 ,5 1 6 1 5 ,4 9 1 1 5 ,4 6 4 1 5 ,4 5 4 1 5 ,6 1 4 1 5 ,4 7 1 1 5 ,5 6 2 1 5 ,6 8 1 1 5 ,4 3 6 1 5 ,5 1 4 1 5 ,4 7 7 1 5 ,3 8 6 1 5 ,5 0 1 1 5 ,4 5 2 P r iv a t e i n d u s t r i e s ......................................................... G o v e rn m e n t 7 3 ,8 5 3 7 2 ,9 4 5 7 3 ,1 2 9 7 2 ,9 9 0 7 3 ,4 1 8 7 2 ,9 3 4 7 3 ,0 2 0 7 3 ,0 1 4 7 2 ,8 8 1 7 2 ,6 2 8 7 2 ,4 2 2 7 2 ,4 9 9 7 2 ,4 2 7 7 2 ,2 9 3 7 2 ,4 5 9 ......................................... 1 ,2 0 8 1 ,2 0 7 1 ,2 1 8 1 ,1 9 6 1 ,2 0 4 1 ,2 0 5 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,2 2 7 1 ,2 2 0 1 ,2 1 6 1 ,2 2 1 1 ,1 6 3 1 ,1 6 2 1 ,2 3 2 1 ,2 3 5 O t h e r ......................................................................... 7 2 ,6 4 5 7 1 ,7 3 8 7 1 ,9 1 1 7 1 ,7 9 4 7 2 ,2 1 4 7 1 ,7 2 9 7 1 ,8 2 0 7 1 ,7 8 7 7 1 ,6 6 1 7 1 ,4 1 2 7 1 ,2 0 1 7 1 ,3 3 6 7 1 ,2 6 5 7 1 ,0 6 1 7 1 ,2 2 5 S e lf - e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s ...................................................... P r iv a t e h o u s e h o ld s 7 ,0 9 7 7 ,2 6 2 7 ,1 5 0 7 ,2 4 6 7 ,2 6 2 7 ,3 0 1 7 ,2 8 6 7 ,3 3 8 7 ,4 2 2 7 ,3 3 2 7 ,3 4 9 7 ,3 3 5 7 ,4 6 5 7 ,3 8 5 7 ,4 5 3 390 401 431 410 392 398 393 408 378 403 382 383 380 353 342 U n p a id f a m ily w o r k e r s ...................................................... PERSONS AT W O R K 1 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l In d u s tr ie s ......................................................... 9 1 ,3 7 7 9 0 ,5 5 2 9 0 ,5 7 9 9 0 ,7 5 5 9 1 ,0 8 2 9 0 ,9 1 7 9 0 ,4 1 4 9 0 ,4 8 6 9 0 ,8 8 4 9 0 ,2 3 2 9 0 ,2 3 8 9 0 ,2 1 9 9 0 ,9 0 3 9 0 ,2 0 7 9 0 ,2 7 1 ............................................................ 7 4 ,3 3 9 7 2 ,2 4 5 7 2 ,6 9 9 7 2 ,5 6 2 7 2 ,8 6 9 7 2 ,5 4 5 7 2 ,2 8 8 7 2 ,0 4 5 7 1 ,7 2 3 7 1 ,3 9 4 7 1 ,4 4 2 7 1 ,4 9 9 7 1 ,7 8 6 7 1 ,5 6 4 7 1 ,8 7 8 P a r t t im e f o r e c o n o m ic r e a s o n s ................................... 4 ,4 9 9 5 ,8 5 2 5 ,6 1 1 5 ,5 6 1 6 ,4 8 1 6 ,2 0 2 F u ll- tim e s c h e d u le s 5 ,7 5 0 5 ,7 3 1 5 ,5 7 7 5 ,8 2 0 6 ,4 9 5 6 ,9 0 3 6 ,4 1 1 6 ,4 2 5 6 ,8 4 5 U s u a lly w o r k fu ll t i m e ................................................ 1 ,7 3 8 2 ,1 6 9 2 ,1 8 7 2 ,1 9 7 2 ,1 9 5 2 ,1 2 6 2 ,0 4 7 2 ,1 0 0 2 ,5 1 9 2 ,3 8 1 2 ,2 2 8 2 ,1 5 3 2 ,2 0 0 2 ,0 9 7 1 ,9 2 7 U s u a lly w o r k p a r t t i m e ............................................ 2 ,7 6 1 3 ,6 8 3 3 ,4 2 4 3 ,5 5 3 3 ,5 3 6 3 ,4 3 5 3 ,5 3 0 3 ,7 2 0 3 ,9 7 6 4 ,0 2 2 4 ,1 8 3 4 ,2 7 2 4 ,6 4 5 4 ,3 8 4 4 ,2 7 5 P a r t tim e f o r n o n e c o n o m ic r e a s o n s .......................... 1 2 ,5 3 9 1 2 ,4 5 5 1 2 ,2 6 9 1 2 ,4 4 3 1 2 ,4 8 2 1 2 ,8 1 1 1 2 ,5 4 9 1 2 ,6 2 1 1 2 ,6 6 6 1 2 ,4 3 5 1 2 ,3 8 5 1 2 ,2 9 5 1 2 ,2 7 1 1 2 ,1 6 2 1 2 ,1 9 1 ’ E x c lu d e s p e r s o n s " w i t h a jo b b u t n o t a t w o r k ” d u r in g th e s u r v e y p e r io d f o r s u c h r e a s o n s a s v a c a tio n , illn e s s , o r In d u s tr ia l d is p u te s . 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ U n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e s ] A nnual av erag e 1983 1982 S e le c t e d c a t e g o r ie s 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. D ec. Jan. Feb. M ar. C H A R A C T E R IS T IC T o t a l, a ll c iv ilia n w o r k e r s ............................................................ 7 .6 9 .7 9 .0 9 .3 9 .4 9 .5 9 .8 9 .9 1 0 .2 1 0 .4 1 0 .7 1 0 .8 1 0 .4 1 0 .4 1 0 .3 ......................................... 1 9 .6 2 3 .2 2 1 .9 2 2 .8 2 2 .9 2 2 .5 2 3 .9 2 3 .8 2 3 .8 2 4 .1 2 4 .2 2 4 .5 2 2 .7 2 2 .2 2 3 .5 M e n , 2 0 y e a r s a n d o v e r ................................................... 6 .3 8 .8 8 .0 8 .3 8 .3 8 .7 8 .9 9 .0 9 .6 9 .8 1 0 .0 10 .1 9 .6 9 .9 9 .6 W o m e n , 2 0 y e a rs a n d o v e r 6 .8 8 .3 7 .9 8.1 8 .2 8.1 8 .3 8 .3 8 .4 8 .7 9 .0 9 .2 9 .0 8 .9 8 .8 B o th s e x e s , 1 6 t o 1 9 y e a r s ......................................... ............................................................................... 6 .7 8 .6 7 .9 8 .3 8 .4 8 .7 9 .3 9 .6 9 .7 9 .2 9 .0 ................................ 1 7 .3 2 0 .4 1 9 .2 2 0 .4 1 9 .9 1 9 .7 2 0 .9 2 0 .8 2 0 .7 2 1 .5 2 1 .2 2 1 .6 2 0 .0 1 9 .7 2 1 .4 M e n , 1 6 t o 1 9 y e a r s ...................................... 1 7 .9 2 1 .7 2 0 .4 2 1 .9 2 0 .9 2 1 .2 2 2 .5 2 2 .5 2 2 .2 2 3 .0 2 2 .6 2 2 .8 2 1 .2 2 1 .1 2 2 .9 ............................. 1 6 .6 1 9 .0 1 7 .9 1 8 .8 1 8 .7 1 8 .0 19 .1 1 8 .9 19 .1 1 9 .9 1 9 .8 2 0 .4 1 8 .7 1 8 .2 1 9 .7 ...................................... 5 .6 7 .8 7 .0 7 .3 7 .5 7 .7 7 .9 8 .0 8 .6 8 .8 9.1 9 .2 8 .4 8 .7 8 .5 5 .9 7 .3 6 .8 7.1 7 .2 7.1 7 .3 7 .2 7 .5 7 .6 8 .0 8.1 7 .8 7 .7 7 .4 1 5 .6 1 8 .9 1 8 .0 1 8 .4 1 8 .6 1 8 .6 1 8 .8 19 .1 1 9 .8 2 0 .1 2 0 .2 2 0 .8 2 0 .8 1 9 .7 1 9 .9 W h ite , to t a l B o th s e x e s , 1 6 to 1 9 y e a r s W o m e n , 16 to 19 y e a rs M en , 2 0 y e a rs a n d o v e r W o m e n , 2 0 y e a r s a n d o v e r ................................ B la c k , to t a l ................................................................................ B o th s e x e s , 1 6 t o 1 9 y e a r s 4 8 .0 4 6 .3 4 8 .0 4 9 .4 5 1 .2 4 8 .6 9.1 4 7 .7 4 9 .8 4 9 .5 4 5 .7 4 5 .4 4 3 .5 4 0 .7 4 8 .9 4 7 .6 4 8 .4 4 9 .7 5 5 .7 4 8 .9 5 0 .5 5 1 .0 4 9 .2 5 3 .0 5 2 .5 4 5 .9 4 5 .3 4 4 .5 4 2 .2 4 7 .1 4 4 .9 4 7 .7 4 9 .1 4 6 .0 4 9 .7 5 2 .1 4 5 .9 4 5 .9 4 6 .2 4 6 .2 4 5 .5 4 5 .4 4 2 .3 5 1 .2 4 9 .3 9.1 M e n , 1 6 t o 1 9 y e a r s ...................................... ............................. 4 1 .4 8 .7 W o m e n , 1 6 to 19 y e a rs M en , 2 0 y e a rs a n d o v e r ................................ 8 .4 ...................................... 1 3 .5 1 7 .8 1 6 .3 1 7 .0 17 .1 1 7 .3 1 7 .4 1 7 .6 1 9 .2 1 9 .6 1 9 .2 2 0 .5 1 9 .7 1 8 .7 1 8 .8 W o m e n , 2 0 y e a r s a n d o v e r ................................ 1 3 .4 1 5 .4 15.1 1 5 .4 1 5 .3 15 .1 1 5 .5 1 5 .4 1 5 .7 1 6 .2 1 6 .5 1 6 .5 1 8 .2 1 7 .0 1 7 .7 ......................................................... 1 0 .4 1 3 .8 1 2 .7 1 2 .7 1 3 .7 1 3 .6 1 4 .0 1 4 .6 1 4 .5 1 5 .0 1 5 .4 1 5 .3 1 5 .5 1 5 .8 1 6 .2 H is p a n ic o r ig in , t o t a l M a r r ie d m e n , s p o u s e p r e s e n t ...................................... 4 .3 6 .5 5 .6 6 .0 6.1 6 .4 6 .6 6 .8 7 .2 7 .5 7 .6 7 .8 7.1 7 .2 7.1 M a r r ie d w o m e n , s p o u s e p r e s e n t ................................ 6 .0 7 .4 7 .0 7 .6 7 .3 7.1 7 .4 7 .3 7 .6 7 .9 8 .2 8 .2 7 .8 7 .6 7 .5 W o m e n w h o m a in t a in f a m i l i e s ...................................... 1 0 .4 1 1 .7 1 0 .8 1 1 .5 1 1 .9 12 .1 1 2 .0 1 1 .7 1 2 .4 1 1 .3 1 2 .5 1 3 .2 1 3 .2 1 3 .0 1 3 .5 F u ll- t im e w o r k e r s ................................................................... 7 .3 9 .6 8 .9 9.1 9 .2 9 .4 9 .6 9 .7 1 0 .2 1 0 .5 1 0 .6 1 0 .8 1 0 .3 1 0 .4 1 0 .3 ................................................................ 9 .4 1 0 .5 1 0 .0 1 0 .8 1 0 .5 1 0 .0 1 1 .2 1 0 .4 1 0 .6 1 0 .3 1 1 .3 11 .1 1 0 .6 10 .1 1 0 .5 U n e m p lo y e d 1 5 w e e k s a n d o v e r ................................ 2.1 3 .2 2 .7 2 .8 3 .0 3 .2 3 .2 3 .3 3 .5 3 .8 4.1 4 .3 4 .2 4 .2 4 .2 L a b o r f o r c e tim e l o s t 1 8 .5 1 1 .0 1 0 .3 1 0 .4 1 0 .7 1 0 .4 1 0 .7 1 0 .9 1 1 .7 1 2 .0 1 2 .4 1 2 .7 1 1 .7 1 2 .0 1 1 .8 P a r t - t im e w o r k e r s ...................................................... IN D U S T R Y .. 7 .7 10.1 9 .4 9 .8 9 .8 1 0 .0 1 0 .2 1 0 .2 1 1 .0 1 1 .0 1 1 .4 1 1 .6 1 0 .8 1 0 .8 1 0 .8 ......................................................................................... 6 .0 1 3 .4 9 .3 1 0 .6 12 .1 1 4 .0 1 5 .8 1 6 .0 1 8 .5 1 7 .9 18.1 18.1 17 .1 1 8 .4 1 8 .6 1 5 .6 2 0 .0 2 0 .4 2 1 .8 1 9 .7 2 0 .3 N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l p r iv a t e w a g e a n d s a la r y w o r k e r s M in in g C o n s t r u c t io n ............................................................................ M a n u f a c t u r i n g ......................................................................... D u r a b le g o o d s ............................................................. N o n d u r a b le g o o d s ...................................................... 2 0 .3 2 2 .3 2 2 .3 2 2 .0 2 0 .0 1 0 .7 1 1 .3 1 1 .5 1 2 .2 12 .1 1 2 .4 14 .1 14 .1 1 4 .8 1 4 .8 1 3 .0 1 3 .3 1 2 .8 1 0 .8 1 8 .2 1 1 .9 1 9 .3 1 2 .2 13 .1 1 2 .8 1 3 .3 1 6 .0 1 6 .0 1 7 .0 1 7 .1 1 4 .7 1 4 .7 14 .1 8 .4 1 0 .8 1 1 .0 1 1 .0 1 1 .2 1 1 .2 1 1 .4 1 1 .4 1 0 .6 1 0 .6 1 0 .4 11 .1 ............................. 5 .2 6 .8 5 .7 6 .7 6 .4 6 .8 6 .6 7.1 7 .9 7 .9 8 .3 8 .0 7 .8 8 .0 7 .8 8.1 1 0 .0 10.1 9 .9 1 0 .2 9 .7 1 0 .3 1 0 .0 1 0 .4 1 0 .4 1 0 .6 1 1 .0 1 0 .8 1 0 .9 1 1 .2 ................................... 5 .9 6 .9 6 .8 7 .0 6 .8 6 .9 7 .0 7 .0 7.1 7.1 7 .7 7 .9 7 .6 7 .3 7 .2 ................................................................... 4 .7 4 .9 4 .8 5 .2 4 .9 4 .7 4 .7 4 .7 4 .9 4 .9 5.1 5.1 5 .7 6 .0 5 .9 12 .1 1 4 .7 1 4 .0 1 4 .6 18 .1 1 5 .0 14.1 1 4 .2 1 3 .3 1 3 .3 1 5 .6 1 6 .5 1 6 .0 1 6 ,4 1 6 .3 F in a n c e a n d s e r v ic e in d u s tr ie s A g r ic u lt u r a l w a g e a n d s a l a r y w o r k e r s 1 A g g re g a te h o u rs 1 9 .5 1 2 .3 1 3 .3 ............................................ T r a n s p o r t a t io n a n d p u b lic u t ilitie s W h o le s a le a n d r e ta il t r a d e G o v e rn m e n t w o rk e rs 1 8 .9 8 .3 8 .2 lo s t b y th e ............................. u n e m p lo y e d a n d p e rs o n s on p a r t tim e f o r e c o n o m ic 1 0 .5 1 1 .4 11 .1 re a s o n s a s a p e r c e n t o f p o t e n t ia lly a v a ila b le l a b o r f o r c e h o u r s . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 63 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 6. Unemployment rates by sex and age, seasonally adjusted [ C iv ilia n w o r k e r s ] A nnual a v erag e 1983 1982 Sex and age 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p l. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. 1 0 .4 Feb. 1 0 .4 M ar. T o t a l, 1 6 y e a r s a n d o v e r ............................................................ 7 .6 9 .7 9 .0 9 .3 9 .4 9 .5 9 .8 9 .9 1 0 .2 1 0 .5 1 0 .7 1 0 .8 ............................................................................ 1 4 .9 1 7 .8 1 6 .9 1 7 .4 1 7 .4 1 7 .3 1 7 .9 1 8 .2 1 8 .3 1 8 .7 1 9 .0 1 8 .9 1 8 .3 1 8 .3 18.1 2 2 .2 2 3 .5 16 to 24 y e a rs 1 6 to 19 y e a rs ...................................................................... 16 to 17 y e a rs ................................................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs 1 9 .6 2 3 .2 2 1 .9 2 2 .8 2 2 .9 2 2 .5 2 3 .9 2 3 .8 2 3 .8 2 4 .2 2 4 .5 2 2 .7 2 1 .4 2 4 .9 2 3 .2 2 4 .4 2 5 .1 2 3 .6 2 5 .8 2 5 .8 2 6 .5 2 6 .1 2 6 .3 2 7 .4 2 4 .1 2 3 .4 2 5 .1 ................................................................ 1 8 .4 2 2 .1 2 1 .3 2 1 .8 2 1 .4 2 2 .0 2 2 .6 2 2 .5 2 2 .0 2 2 .9 2 2 .8 2 2 .7 2 1 .7 2 1 .5 2 2 .7 ...................................................................... 1 2 .3 1 4 .9 14 .1 1 4 .5 1 4 .5 1 4 .5 1 4 .7 1 5 .3 1 5 .3 1 5 .8 1 6 .3 1 6 .0 16 .1 1 6 .3 1 5 .4 ................................................................... 5 .4 7 .4 6 .8 7 .0 7.1 7 .3 7 .5 7 .5 7 .9 8.1 8 .3 8 .6 8.1 8 .2 8.1 ............................................................... 5 .8 7 .9 7 .2 7 .4 7 .6 7 .7 8 .0 8 .0 8 .6 8 .7 8 .9 9.1 8 .7 8 .7 8 .7 5 5 y e a r s a n d o v e r ......................................................... 3 .6 5 .0 4 .6 4 .9 4 .9 5.1 5 .3 5 .2 5 .2 5 .5 5 .7 5 .8 5 .4 5 .4 5 .4 2 0 to 2 4 y e a r s 2 5 y e a rs a n d o v e r 2 5 to 54 y e a rs 1 0 .2 1 0 .7 1 0 .9 11 .1 1 1 .2 ............................................................... 1 5 .7 19 .1 1 8 .2 1 8 .7 1 8 .6 1 8 .7 1 9 .2 1 9 .5 2 0 .0 2 0 .2 2 0 .6 20 .'5 1 9 .7 1 9 .8 1 9 .5 ......................................................... 2 0 .1 2 4 .4 2 3 .3 2 4 .1 2 3 .8 2 4 .3 2 5 .2 2 5 .1 2 5 .4 2 5 .6 2 5 .7 2 5 .8 2 3 .9 2 3 ,6 2 5 .3 M en, 16 y e a rs a n d o v e r 16 to 2 4 y e a rs 16 to 19 y e a rs ............................................... 7 .4 9 .9 9.1 9 .4 9 .5 9 .7 1 0 .0 1 0 .6 1 0 .8 1 0 .7 2 2 .0 2 6 .4 2 4 .5 2 4 .8 2 6 .3 2 5 .4 2 7 .7 2 7 .4 2 9 .0 2 8 .8 2 8 .2 2 9 .0 2 4 .4 2 3 .6 2 6 .0 ................................................... 1 8 .8 2 3 .1 2 2 .6 2 3 .7 2 2 .2 2 3 .7 2 3 .4 2 3 .4 2 3 .0 2 3 .4 2 4 .1 2 4 .0 2 3 .5 2 3 .4 2 4 .8 ......................................................... 1 3 .2 1 6 .4 1 5 .6 1 5 .9 1 5 .8 1 5 .9 1 6 .2 1 6 .6 1 7 .3 1 7 .4 1 8 .0 1 7 .8 1 7 .6 1 7 .8 1 6 .6 2 5 y e a r s a n d o v e r ......................................................... 5.1 7 .5 6 .7 6 .9 7 .0 7 .4 7 .5 7 .7 8 .2 8 .5 8 .6 8 .8 8 .2 8 .5 8 .4 ................................................... 5 .5 8 .0 7.1 7 .3 7 .5 7 .9 8.1 8 .2 9 .0 9.1 9 .2 9 .4 8 .7 9.1 9 .0 5 5 y e a r s a n d o v e r ............................................ 3 .5 5.1 4 .7 5 .0 4 .7 4 .9 4 .9 5 .5 5 .5 6 .0 6 .2 6 .3 5 .8 5 .7 5 .8 W o m e n , 1 6 y e a r s a n d o v e r ......................................... 7 .9 9 .4 8 .9 9 .3 9 .3 9 .2 9 .6 9 .5 9 .6 9 .9 1 0 .2 1 0 .3 1 0 .0 9 .8 9 .8 1 4 .0 1 6 .2 1 5 .2 1 6 .0 1 6 .0 1 5 .6 1 6 .4 1 6 .8 1 6 .3 1 7 .0 1 7 .2 17 .1 1 6 .7 1 6 .6 1 6 .6 1 9 .0 2 1 .8 2 2 .1 2 2 .5 2 2 .6 2 1 .5 1 6 to 1 7 y e a r s ................................................... 18 to 19 y e a rs 2 0 to 2 4 y e a rs 2 5 to 5 4 y e a rs 16 to 2 4 y e a rs 2 1 .9 2 0 .3 2 1 .3 2 0 .6 2 2 .6 2 3 .0 2 1 .5 2 0 .7 16 to 17 y e a rs ................................................... 2 0 .7 2 3 .2 2 1 .7 2 4 .0 2 3 .6 2 1 .6 2 3 .8 2 3 .9 2 3 .8 2 2 .9 2 4 .2 2 5 .6 2 3 .7 2 3 .2 2 4 .2 18 to 19 y e a rs ................................................... 1 7 .9 2 1 .0 1 9 .9 1 9 .8 2 0 .6 2 0 .2 2 1 .9 2 1 .5 2 0 .9 2 2 .3 2 1 .4 2 1 .3 1 9 .8 1 9 .3 2 0 .5 ......................................................... 1 1 .2 1 3 .2 1 2 .5 1 3 .0 1 2 .9 1 3 .0 13 .1 1 3 .7 13 .1 1 4 .0 1 4 .4 1 4 .0 1 4 .2 1 4 .5 14 .1 16 to 19 y e a rs 2 0 to 2 4 y e a rs ......................................................... 2 2 .5 5 .9 7 .3 6 .9 7.1 7 .3 7 .2 7 .4 7.1 7 .5 7 .6 7 .9 8 .2 7 .9 7 .7 7 .7 ................................................... 6 .3 7 .7 7 .4 7 .5 7 .8 7 .5 7 .7 7 .7 8 .0 8 .2 8 .5 8 .8 8 .7 8 .2 8 .3 5 5 y e a r s a n d o v e r ............................................ 3 .8 4 .8 4 ,7 4 .7 5 .0 5 .4 5 .8 4 .8 4 .8 4 .8 4 .9 5.1 4 .8 4 .9 4 .7 O c t. N ov. Jan. Feb. 2 5 y e a r s a n d o v e r ......................................................... 2 5 to 5 4 y e a r s 7. 1 0 .3 2 4 .1 Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [ N u m b e r s in t h o u s a n d s ] 1983 1982 A nnual av e ra g e R e a s o n fo r u n e m p lo y m e n t 1981 1982 4 ,2 6 7 6 ,2 6 8 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. Dec. M a r. NUM BER OF UNEM PLOYED J o b lo s e r s ............................................................................................ O n la y o f f ................................................................................... O t h e r j o b lo s e r s ................................................................... 5 ,6 2 8 5 ,8 8 9 5 ,9 3 8 6 ,1 8 1 6 ,4 4 6 6 ,3 2 3 6 ,9 7 9 7 ,3 2 5 7 ,3 6 9 7 ,2 9 5 6 ,7 0 4 6 ,8 0 9 6 ,8 2 3 1 ,4 3 0 2 ,1 2 7 1 ,8 5 8 1 ,9 6 7 1 ,9 5 6 2 ,0 9 7 2 ,1 2 6 2 ,2 1 8 2 ,6 2 5 2 ,5 1 9 2 ,5 3 1 2 ,4 6 8 2 ,1 3 1 2 ,0 2 4 1 ,9 4 5 2 ,8 3 7 4 ,1 4 1 3 ,7 7 0 3 ,9 2 2 3 ,9 8 2 4 ,0 8 4 4 ,1 9 7 4 ,2 2 8 4 ,3 5 4 4 ,8 0 6 4 ,8 3 8 4 ,8 2 7 4 ,5 7 3 4 ,7 8 4 4 ,8 7 8 ......................................................................................... 923 840 885 901 864 826 819 814 786 803 794 826 839 848 901 R e e n t r a n t s ............................................................................................ 2 ,1 0 2 2 ,3 8 4 2 ,2 6 1 2 ,3 4 2 2 ,3 9 3 2 ,3 7 8 2 ,4 7 8 2 ,4 4 0 2 ,4 3 7 2 ,3 2 2 2 ,5 4 6 2 ,6 2 9 2 ,6 2 3 2 ,4 9 1 2 ,4 2 6 981 1 ,1 8 5 1 ,0 6 1 1 ,0 9 6 1 ,1 5 9 1 ,0 9 1 1 ,2 3 0 1 ,3 0 4 1 ,3 0 3 1 ,2 9 6 1 ,2 4 4 1 ,2 8 8 1 ,1 7 4 1 ,1 6 1 1 ,1 5 5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 5 1 .6 5 8 .7 5 7 .2 5 7 .6 5 7 .3 5 9 .0 5 8 .3 5 8 .6 6 0 .7 6 2 .4 6 1 .6 6 0 .6 5 9 .1 6 0 .2 6 0 .4 1 7 .3 1 9 .9 1 8 .9 1 9 .2 1 8 .9 2 0 .0 1 9 .6 2 0 .2 2 2 .8 2 1 .4 2 1 .2 2 0 .5 1 8 .8 1 7 .9 1 7 .2 4 3 .1 J o b -e a v e rs N e w e n tra n ts ...................................................................................... P E R C E N T D IS T R IB U T IO N T o t a l u n e m p l o y e d ............................................................................ j o b lo s e r s ............................................................................................ O n la y o f f ................................................................................... ................................................................... 3 4 .3 3 8 .8 3 8 .3 383 3 8 .5 3 9 .0 3 8 .7 3 8 .4 3 7 .8 4 0 .9 4 0 .5 4 0 .1 4 0 .3 4 2 .3 ......................................................................................... 1 1 .2 7 .9 9 .0 8 .8 8 .3 7 .9 7 .5 7 .4 6 .8 6 .8 6 .6 6 .9 7 .4 7 .5 8 .0 R e e n t r a n t s ............................................................................................ 2 5 .4 2 2 .3 2 3 .0 2 2 .9 2 3 .1 2 2 .7 2 2 .8 2 2 .2 2 1 .2 1 9 .8 2 1 .3 2 1 .8 2 3 .1 2 2 .0 2 1 .5 N e w e n tra n ts 1 1 .9 11 .1 1 0 .8 1 0 .7 1 1 .2 1 0 .4 1 1 .3 1 1 .9 1 1 .3 1 1 .0 1 0 .4 1 0 .7 1 0 .4 1 0 .3 1 0 .2 O t h e r j o b lo s e r s Job e a v e rs ...................................................................................... PERCENT OF C IV IL IA N L A B O R F O R C E J o b lo s e r s ............................................................................................ 3 .9 5 .7 5.1 5 .4 5 .4 5 .6 5 .7 5 .8 6 .3 6 .6 6 .6 6 .6 6.1 6 .2 6 .2 ......................................................................................... .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .8 .8 .8 R e e n t r a n t s ............................................................................................ 1 .9 2 .2 2.1 2.1 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2.1 2 .3 2 .4 2 .4 2 .3 2 .2 9 1.1 1 .0 1 .0 1.1 1 .0 1.1 1 .2 1 .2 1 .2 1.1 1 .2 1.1 1.1 1 .0 J u ly Aug. S e p t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. 3 ,4 4 0 J o b le a v e r s N e w e n tra n ts 8. ...................................................................................... Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [ N u m b e r s in t h o u s a n d s ] 1983 1982 A nnual averag e W e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June O c t. ......................................................................... 3 ,4 4 9 3 ,8 8 3 3 ,8 3 1 3 ,9 3 0 3 ,8 7 1 3 ,6 0 5 3 ,9 5 9 3 ,9 3 3 4 ,0 0 4 3 ,9 3 0 3 ,9 6 3 4 ,0 1 9 3 ,5 3 6 3 ,7 3 1 ................................................................................... 2 ,5 3 9 3 ,3 1 1 3 ,0 9 8 3 ,2 5 5 3 ,2 8 1 3 ,3 9 8 3 ,2 4 9 3 ,3 4 6 3 ,5 4 9 3 ,5 1 1 3 ,5 4 9 3 ,4 6 0 3 ,3 2 8 3 ,1 0 6 3 ,1 4 0 1 5 w e e k s a n d o v e r ......................................................................... 2 ,2 8 5 3 ,4 8 5 2 ,9 6 2 3 ,0 8 0 3 ,2 6 7 3 ,5 1 7 3 ,5 6 9 3 ,6 3 7 3 ,8 5 6 4 ,1 6 7 4 ,5 2 4 4 ,7 3 2 4 ,6 3 4 4 ,6 1 8 4 ,6 1 5 1 5 t o 2 6 w e e k s ...................................................................... 1 ,1 2 2 1 ,7 0 8 1 ,6 0 5 1 ,5 8 2 1 ,6 3 3 1 ,6 8 3 1 ,7 8 0 1 ,8 0 8 1 ,8 3 0 1 ,9 5 1 2 ,1 9 1 2 ,1 2 5 1 ,9 2 8 1 ,9 2 8 1 ,8 7 5 2 7 w e e k s a n d o v e r ............................................................. 1 ,1 6 2 1 ,7 7 6 1 ,3 5 7 1 ,4 9 8 1 ,6 3 4 1 ,8 3 4 1 ,7 8 9 1 ,8 2 9 2 ,0 2 6 2 ,2 1 6 2 ,3 3 3 2 ,6 0 7 2 ,7 0 6 2 ,6 8 9 2 ,7 4 0 ............................................................ 1 3 .7 1 5 .6 1 3 .9 1 4 .3 1 4 .9 1 6 .3 1 5 .6 16 .1 1 6 .6 17 .1 1 7 .3 1 8 .0 1 9 .4 1 9 .0 19 .1 M e d ia n d u r a tio n , in w e e k s ......................................................... 6 .9 8 .7 7 .7 8 .3 8 .6 9 .8 8 .3 8 .3 9 .4 9 .6 1 0 .0 10.1 1 1 .5 9 .6 1 0 .3 L e s s th a n 5 w e e k s 5 to 1 4 w e e k s M e a n d u r a t io n , in w e e k s 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EM PLOYM ENT, HOU RS, AND EARNINGS DATA FRO M ESTABLISHM ENT SURVEYS E m p l o y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n i n g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 177,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 12-17 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities; in wholesale and retail trade; in finance, in surance, and real estate; and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from av erage hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. The Diffusion Index, introduced in table 17 of the May issue, repre sents the percent of 186 nonagricultural industries in which employ ment was rising over the indicated period. One-half of the industries with unchanged employment are counted as» rising. In line with Bu reau practice, data for the 3-, 6-, and 9-month spans are seasonally adjusted, while that for the 12-month span is unadjusted. The diffu sion index is useful for measuring the dispersion of economic gains or losses and is also an economic indicator. Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of May 1982 data, published in the July 1982 issue of the R eview . Consequently, data published in the R e v ie w prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Earlier comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s (unadjusted data from April 1977 through Feb ruary 1982 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through February 1982) and in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta tes, 1 9 0 9 78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). 65 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 9. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-82 [N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l p a y r o ll d a t a , in t h o u s a n d s ] S e rv ic e -p ro d u c in g G o o d s -p ro d u c in g T ra n s p o rYear T o ta l P riv a te F in a n c e , ta tio n s e c to r T o ta l M in in g C o n s tru c M a n u fa c t io n t u r in g T o ta l W h o le and p u b lic G o v e rn m e n t W h o le s a le a n d r e ta il t r a d e T o ta l s a le in s u r a n c e , R e ta il tra d e tra d e u t ilit ie s S ta te S e rv ic e s a n d re a l T o ta l F e d e ra l e s ta te and lo c a l 1950 ................................................ 4 5 ,1 9 7 3 9 ,1 7 0 1 8 ,5 0 6 901 2 ,3 6 4 1 5 ,2 4 1 2 6 ,6 9 1 4 ,0 3 4 9 ,3 8 6 2 ,6 3 5 6 ,7 5 1 1 ,8 8 8 5 ,3 5 7 6 ,0 2 6 1 ,9 2 8 4 ,0 9 8 1955 ................................................ 5 0 ,6 4 1 4 3 ,7 2 7 2 0 ,5 1 3 792 2 ,8 3 9 1 6 ,8 8 2 3 0 ,1 2 8 4 ,1 4 1 1 0 ,5 3 5 2 ,9 2 6 7 ,6 1 0 2 ,2 9 8 6 ,2 4 0 6 ,9 1 4 2 ,1 8 7 4 ,7 2 7 I 9 6 0 1 ............................................. 5 4 ,1 8 9 4 5 ,8 3 6 2 0 ,4 3 4 712 2 ,9 2 6 1 6 ,7 9 6 3 3 ,7 5 5 4 ,0 0 4 1 1 ,3 9 1 3 ,1 4 3 8 ,2 4 8 2 ,6 2 9 7 ,3 7 8 8 ,3 5 3 2 ,2 7 0 6 ,0 8 3 1964 ................................................ 5 8 ,2 8 3 4 8 ,6 8 6 2 1 ,0 0 5 634 3 ,0 9 7 1 7 ,2 7 4 3 7 ,2 7 8 3 ,9 5 1 1 2 ,1 6 0 3 ,3 3 7 8 ,8 2 3 2 ,9 1 1 8 ,6 6 0 9 ,5 9 6 2 ,3 4 8 7 ,2 4 8 1965 ................................................ 6 0 ,7 6 5 5 0 ,6 8 9 2 1 ,9 2 6 632 3 ,2 3 2 1 8 ,0 6 2 3 8 ,8 3 9 4 ,0 3 6 1 2 ,7 1 6 3 ,4 6 6 9 ,2 5 0 2 ,9 7 7 9 ,0 3 6 1 0 ,0 7 4 2 ,3 7 8 7 ,6 9 6 1966 ................................................ 6 3 ,9 0 1 5 3 ,1 1 6 2 3 ,1 5 8 627 3 ,3 1 7 1 9 ,2 1 4 4 0 ,7 4 3 4 ,1 5 8 1 3 ,2 4 5 3 ,5 9 7 9 ,6 4 8 3 ,0 5 8 9 ,4 9 8 1 0 ,7 8 4 2 ,5 6 4 8 ,2 2 0 1967 ................................................ 6 5 ,8 0 3 5 4 ,4 1 3 2 3 ,3 0 8 613 3 ,2 4 8 1 9 ,4 4 7 4 2 ,4 9 5 4 ,2 6 8 1 3 ,6 0 6 3 ,6 8 9 9 ,9 1 7 3 ,1 8 5 1 0 ,0 4 5 1 1 ,3 9 1 2 ,7 1 9 1968 ................................................ 6 7 ,8 9 7 5 6 ,0 5 8 2 3 ,7 3 7 606 3 ,3 5 0 1 9 ,7 8 1 4 4 ,1 6 0 4 ,3 1 8 1 4 ,0 9 9 3 ,7 7 9 1 0 ,3 2 0 3 ,3 3 7 1 0 ,5 6 7 1 1 ,8 3 9 2 ,7 3 7 9 ,1 0 2 1969 ................................................ 7 0 ,3 8 4 5 8 ,1 8 9 2 4 ,3 6 1 619 3 ,5 7 5 2 0 ,1 6 7 4 6 ,0 2 3 4 ,4 4 2 1 4 ,7 0 5 3 ,9 0 7 1 0 ,7 9 8 3 ,5 1 2 1 1 ,1 6 9 1 2 ,1 9 5 2 ,7 5 8 9 ,4 3 7 8 ,6 7 2 1970 ................................................ 7 0 ,8 8 0 5 8 ,3 2 5 2 3 ,5 7 8 623 3 ,5 8 8 1 9 ,3 6 7 4 7 ,3 0 2 4 ,5 1 5 1 5 ,0 4 0 3 ,9 9 3 1 1 ,0 4 7 3 ,6 4 5 1 1 ,5 4 8 1 2 ,5 5 4 2 ,7 3 1 9 ,8 2 3 1971 ................................................ 7 1 ,2 1 4 5 8 ,3 3 1 2 2 ,9 3 5 609 3 ,7 0 4 1 8 ,6 2 3 4 8 ,2 7 8 4 ,4 7 6 1 5 ,3 5 2 4 ,0 0 1 1 1 ,3 5 1 3 ,7 7 2 1 1 ,7 9 7 1 2 ,8 8 1 2 ,6 9 6 1 0 ,1 8 5 1972 ................................................ 7 3 ,6 7 5 6 0 ,3 4 1 2 3 ,6 6 8 628 3 ,8 8 9 1 9 ,1 5 1 5 0 ,0 0 7 4 ,5 4 1 1 5 ,9 4 9 4 ,1 1 3 1 1 ,8 3 6 3 ,9 0 8 1 2 ,2 7 6 1 3 ,3 3 4 2 ,6 8 4 1 0 ,6 4 9 1973 ................................................ 7 6 ,7 9 0 6 3 ,0 5 8 2 4 ,8 9 3 642 4 ,0 9 7 2 0 ,1 5 4 5 1 ,8 9 7 4 ,6 5 6 1 6 ,6 0 7 4 ,2 7 7 1 2 ,3 2 9 4 ,0 4 6 1 2 ,8 5 7 1 3 ,7 3 2 2 ,6 6 3 1 1 ,0 6 8 1974 ................................................ 7 8 ,2 6 5 6 4 ,0 9 5 2 4 ,7 9 4 697 4 ,0 2 0 2 0 ,0 7 7 5 3 ,4 7 1 4 ,7 2 5 1 6 ,9 8 7 4 ,4 3 3 1 2 ,5 5 4 4 ,1 4 8 1 3 ,4 4 1 1 4 ,1 7 0 2 ,7 2 4 1 1 ,4 4 6 1975 ................................................ 7 6 ,9 4 5 6 2 ,2 5 9 2 2 ,6 0 0 752 3 ,5 2 5 1 8 ,3 2 3 5 4 ,3 4 5 4 ,5 4 2 1 7 ,0 6 0 4 ,4 1 5 1 2 ,6 4 5 4 ,1 6 5 1 3 ,8 9 2 1 4 ,6 8 6 2 ,7 4 8 1 1 ,9 3 7 3 ,5 7 6 1 8 ,9 9 7 5 6 ,0 3 0 4 ,5 8 2 1 7 ,7 5 5 4 ,5 4 6 1 3 ,2 0 9 4 ,2 7 1 1 4 ,5 5 1 1 4 ,8 7 1 2 ,7 3 3 1 2 ,1 3 8 1976 ................................................ 7 9 ,3 8 2 6 4 ,5 1 1 2 3 ,3 5 2 779 1977 ................................................ 8 2 ,4 7 1 6 7 ,3 4 4 2 4 ,3 4 6 813 3 ,8 5 1 1 9 ,6 8 2 5 8 ,1 2 5 4 ,7 1 3 1 8 ,5 1 6 4 ,7 0 8 1 3 ,8 0 8 4 ,4 6 7 1 5 ,3 0 3 1 5 ,1 2 7 2 ,7 2 7 1 2 ,3 9 9 1978 ................................................ 8 6 ,6 9 7 7 1 ,0 2 6 2 5 ,5 8 5 851 4 ,2 2 9 2 0 ,5 0 5 6 1 ,1 1 3 4 ,9 2 3 1 9 ,5 4 2 4 ,9 6 9 1 4 ,5 7 3 4 ,7 2 4 1 6 ,2 5 2 1 5 ,6 7 2 2 ,7 5 3 1 2 ,9 1 9 1979 ................................................ 8 9 ,8 2 3 7 3 ,8 7 6 2 6 ,4 6 1 958 4 ,4 6 3 2 1 ,0 4 0 6 3 ,3 6 3 5 ,1 3 6 2 0 ,1 9 2 5 ,2 0 4 1 4 ,9 8 9 4 ,9 7 5 1 7 ,1 1 2 1 5 ,9 4 7 2 ,7 7 3 1 3 ,1 4 7 1980 ................................................ 9 0 ,4 0 6 7 4 ,1 6 6 2 5 ,6 5 8 1 ,0 2 7 4 ,3 4 6 2 0 ,2 8 5 6 4 ,7 4 8 5 ,1 4 6 2 0 ,3 1 0 5 ,2 7 5 1 5 ,0 3 5 5 ,1 6 0 1 7 ,8 9 0 1 6 ,2 4 1 2 ,8 6 6 1 3 ,3 7 5 1981 ................................................ 9 1 ,1 0 5 7 5 ,0 8 1 2 5 ,4 8 1 1 ,1 3 2 4 ,1 7 6 2 0 ,1 7 3 6 5 ,6 2 5 5 ,1 5 7 2 0 ,5 5 1 5 ,3 5 9 1 5 ,1 9 2 5 ,3 0 1 1 8 ,5 9 2 1 6 ,0 2 4 2 ,7 7 2 1 3 ,2 5 3 1982 ................................................ 8 9 ,6 3 0 7 3 ,8 4 2 2 3 ,8 8 2 1 ,1 2 1 3 ,9 1 3 1 8 ,8 4 8 6 5 ,7 4 8 5 ,0 5 8 2 0 ,5 5 1 5 ,2 9 4 1 5 ,2 5 8 5 ,3 5 0 1 9 ,0 0 1 1 5 ,7 8 8 2 ,7 3 9 1 3 ,0 5 0 ’ D a ta In c lu d e A la s k a a n d H a w a ii b e g in n in g in 1 9 5 9 . 10. E m p lo y m e n t b y S ta te [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State February 1982 January 1983 Alabama................................................ Alaska .................................................. Arizona.................................................. Arkansas ................................................ California................................................ 1,316.1 177.9 1,037.6 713.5 9,835.9 1,301.6 191.7 1,027.2 709.2 9,680.3 Colorado................................................ Connecticut............................................ Delaware .............................................. District of Columbia ................................ Florida .................................................. 1,305.6 1,412.4 249.7 591.7 3,788.9 Georgia.................................................. Hawaii.................................................... idano .................................................... Illinois .................................................... Indiana .................................................. State February 1982 January 1983 February 1983 p 1,302.4 192.9 1,037.2 712.9 9,688.9 Montana.................................................. Nebraska ................................................ Nevada .................................................... New Hampshire ...................................... New Jersey ............................................ 264.3 601.0 401.0 385.4 3,020.7 267.8 579.4 399.1 383.5 3,016.2 265.0 577.3 400.2 382.4 3,012.6 1,301.6 1,404.8 253.0 585.0 3,817.6 1,303.6 1,402.8 252.3 587.4 3,859.3 New Mexico ............................................ New Y o rk................................................ North Carolina.......................................... North Dakota .......................................... Ohio........................................................ 469.2 7,157.7 2,339.0 243.5 4,115.0 468.7 7,088.5 2,309.7 245.9 4,012.3 470.1 7,100.4 2,310.6 246.5 4,015.8 2,170.6 401.4 305.3 4,614.3 2,010.0 2,195.8 396.2 303.8 4,447.8 1,941.6 2,197.7 399.4 306.3 4,448.9 1,942.0 Oklahoma................................................ Oregon .................................................... Pennsylvania............................................ Rhode Island............................................ South Carolina ........................................ 1,227.0 953.8 4,568.1 385.5 1,161.6 1,198.0 931.8 4,381.9 383.4 1,142.2 1,186.8 933.7 4,371.6 383.9 1,146.8 Iowa ...................................................... Kansas .................................................. Kentucky................................................ Louisiana................................................ Maine .................................................... 1,034.8 926.6 1,151.0 1,622.6 398.9 994.2 890.5 1,150.0 1,585.5 397.4 997.2 892.0 1,141.8 1,588.0 396.9 South Dakota .......................................... Tennessee .............................................. Texas ...................................................... Utah........................................................ Vermont.................................................. 224.6 1,684.0 6,302.3 554.4 201.3 223.2 1,638.9 6,162.8 551.7 199.6 223.6 1,641.8 6,158.4 552.8 201.2 Maryland................................................ Massachusetts........................................ Michigan ................................................ Minnesota .............................................. Mississippi.............................................. Missouri ................................................ 1,644.3 2,595.2 3,196.7 1,698.5 792.7 1,885.7 1,628.0 2,552.4 3,110.3 1,648.8 779.7 1,867.5 1,622.4 2,567.9 3,125.2 1,651.9 779.9 1,869.5 Virginia.................................................... Washington.............................................. West Virginia............................................ Wisconsin................................................ Wyoming ................................................ 2,104.3 1,554.4 607.6 1,859.1 212.8 2,106.5 1,545.2 585.5 1,798.4 205.9 2,102.7 1,548.5 582.3 1,800.9 204.7 Virgin Islands............................................ 37.3 35.5 35.9 1 Data not available. 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 1983 p= preliminary. 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [N o n a g r ic u lt u r a l p a y r o ll d a ta , In t h o u s a n d s ] 1983 1982 A nnual averag e In d u s try d iv is io n a n d g ro u p TO TAL ............................................................................................ P R IV A T E S E C T O R G O O D S -P R O D U C IN G M in in g C o n s tr u c tio n M a n u f a c t u r in g P r o d u c t io n w o r k e r s ...................................................... D u r a b le g o o d s P r o d u c t io n w o r k e r s ...................................................... Jan. F e b .p M a r .p 8 8 ,9 2 0 8 8 ,7 3 5 8 8 ,8 5 4 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. 9 1 ,1 0 5 8 9 ,6 3 0 9 0 ,3 0 4 9 0 ,0 8 3 9 0 ,1 6 6 8 9 ,8 3 9 8 9 ,5 3 5 8 9 ,3 1 3 8 9 ,2 6 4 8 8 ,8 7 7 8 8 ,7 5 0 8 8 ,5 6 5 7 5 ,0 8 1 7 3 ,8 4 2 7 4 ,4 4 5 7 4 ,2 3 1 7 4 ,3 1 3 7 4 ,0 0 7 7 3 ,9 0 0 7 3 ,6 4 0 7 3 ,5 0 4 7 3 ,1 1 8 7 2 ,9 9 6 7 2 ,8 1 0 7 3 ,1 8 2 7 2 ,9 9 8 7 3 ,1 3 7 2 4 ,2 5 5 2 3 ,9 9 4 2 3 ,8 4 0 2 3 ,6 5 7 2 3 ,5 3 0 2 3 ,2 3 9 2 3 ,0 8 1 2 2 ,9 8 6 2 3 ,1 6 2 2 3 ,0 1 8 2 3 ,0 2 5 1 ,1 5 2 1 ,1 2 4 1 ,1 0 0 1 ,0 8 6 1 ,0 7 5 1 ,0 5 8 1 ,0 4 6 1 ,0 3 7 1 ,0 2 7 1 ,0 0 5 994 3 ,9 2 7 3 ,8 9 9 3 ,8 8 3 3 ,8 5 6 3 ,8 5 4 3 .8 1 8 3 ,9 2 7 3 ,7 8 9 3 ,7 6 8 2 5 ,4 8 1 2 3 ,8 8 2 2 4 ,4 5 0 2 4 ,2 8 9 1 ,1 3 2 1 ,1 2 1 1 ,1 9 7 1 ,1 8 2 4 ,1 7 6 3 ,9 1 3 3 ,9 3 4 3 ,9 3 8 3 ,9 8 8 3 ,9 4 0 2 0 ,1 7 3 1 8 ,8 4 8 1 9 ,3 1 9 1 9 ,1 6 9 1 9 ,1 1 5 1 8 ,9 3 0 1 8 ,8 1 3 1 8 ,6 7 2 1 8 ,5 7 2 1 8 ,3 2 5 1 8 ,1 8 1 1 8 ,1 3 1 1 8 ,2 0 8 1 8 .2 2 4 1 8 ,2 6 3 1 4 ,0 2 1 1 2 ,7 8 2 1 3 ,1 7 9 1 3 ,0 4 2 1 3 .0 0 8 1 2 ,8 5 2 1 2 ,7 6 0 1 2 ,6 4 7 1 2 ,5 6 6 1 2 ,3 3 5 1 2 ,2 0 3 1 2 ,1 7 2 1 2 ,2 4 6 1 2 ,2 6 8 1 2 ,3 1 6 1 2 ,1 1 7 1 1 ,1 1 2 1 1 ,4 9 0 1 1 ,3 7 5 1 1 ,3 3 2 1 1 ,2 0 3 1 1 ,1 3 3 1 0 ,9 9 3 1 0 ,9 0 0 1 0 ,6 6 6 1 0 ,5 5 0 1 0 ,5 1 9 1 0 ,5 7 6 1 0 ,6 0 9 1 0 ,6 3 2 8 ,3 0 1 7 ,3 6 4 7 ,6 8 5 7 ,5 7 6 7 ,5 5 3 7 ,4 4 3 7 ,3 8 8 7 ,2 7 2 7 ,1 9 1 6 ,9 7 9 6 ,8 7 4 6 ,8 5 3 6 ,9 1 3 6 ,9 4 3 6 ,9 7 7 614 616 614 616 621 633 641 646 444 ............................................. 6 6 8 ,7 6 1 3 .9 607 615 617 615 614 F u r n itu r e a n d f i x t u r e s ............................................................. 4 6 7 .3 4 4 1 .7 446 443 443 442 439 443 439 434 435 436 436 435 S t o n e , c la y , a n d g la s s p r o d u c t s ................................... 6 3 8 .2 5 7 7 .2 590 584 586 580 579 574 571 565 556 552 554 554 P r im a r y m e t a l i n d u s t r i e s ...................................................... 1 ,1 2 1 .1 9 1 8 .5 1 ,0 0 7 976 945 926 906 889 865 831 813 803 815 806 816 1 ,3 5 8 1 ,3 6 8 1 ,3 7 0 1 ,3 7 3 L u m b e r a n d w o o d p ro d u c ts 555 ................................................ 1 ,5 9 2 .4 1 , 4 4 2 .6 1 ,4 9 6 1 ,4 8 1 1 ,4 7 2 1 ,4 5 2 1 ,4 4 6 1 ,4 2 7 1 ,4 1 4 1 ,3 8 1 1 ,3 6 5 M a c h in e r y , e x c e p t e l e c t r i c a l ............................................ 2 , 5 0 7 .0 2 ,2 8 8 7 2 ,4 1 9 2 ,3 8 9 2 ,3 7 7 2 ,3 2 2 2 ,2 7 4 2 ,2 3 0 2 ,2 0 8 2 ,1 4 2 2 ,1 0 8 2 ,0 8 6 2 ,0 6 7 2 ,0 6 5 2 ,0 6 6 E le c t r ic a n d e l e c t r o n ic e q u i p m e n t ................................ 2 , 0 9 2 .2 2 , 0 1 1 .2 2 ,0 3 8 2 ,0 3 4 2 ,0 3 4 2 ,0 2 6 2 ,0 1 8 2 ,0 1 1 1 ,9 9 5 1 ,9 6 9 1 ,9 6 3 1 ,9 4 6 1 ,9 6 4 1 ,9 7 1 1 ,9 7 7 1 ,6 9 4 682 F a b r ic a t e d m e ta l p r o d u c t s 1 ,8 9 2 .6 1 , 7 2 6 .0 1 ,7 7 4 1 ,7 4 8 1 ,7 5 5 1 ,7 4 5 1 ,7 5 9 1 ,7 1 9 1 ,7 0 9 1 ,6 5 8 1 ,6 3 1 1 ,6 6 2 1 ,6 7 9 1 ,7 0 8 ................................ 7 2 6 .8 7 0 5 .2 716 713 713 708 708 702 701 694 689 682 684 682 ......................................... 4 1 0 .7 3 8 7 .3 397 392 390 387 390 384 382 378 374 373 376 377 379 7 ,6 3 2 7 ,6 1 5 7 ,6 3 1 T r a n s p o r t a t io n e q u i p m e n t ................................................... In s t r u m e n t s a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s M is c e lla n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r in g 8 ,0 5 6 7 ,7 3 6 7 ,8 2 9 7 ,7 9 4 7 ,7 8 3 7 ,7 2 7 7 ,6 8 0 7 ,6 7 9 7 ,6 7 2 7 ,6 5 9 7 ,6 3 1 7 ,6 1 2 P r o d u c t io n w o r k e r s ...................................................... 5 ,7 2 1 5 ,4 1 8 5 ,4 9 4 5 ,4 6 6 5 ,4 5 5 5 ,4 0 9 5 ,3 7 2 5 ,3 7 5 5 ,3 7 5 5 ,3 5 6 5 ,3 2 9 5 ,3 1 9 5 ,3 3 3 5 ,3 2 5 5 ,3 3 9 F o o d a n d k in d r e d p r o d u c t s ................................................ 1 , 6 7 4 .3 1 , 6 4 4 .0 1 ,6 5 8 1 ,6 4 3 1 ,6 5 2 1 ,6 3 7 1 ,6 4 3 1 ,6 2 8 1 ,6 2 9 1 ,6 4 4 1 ,6 4 4 1 ,6 3 6 1 ,6 3 7 1 ,6 2 6 1 ,6 3 1 N o n d u r a b le g o o d s ...................................................... 6 9 .8 6 5 .6 68 67 67 67 65 65 63 63 61 66 67 65 65 T e x t ile m ill p r o d u c t s ................................................................ 8 2 2 .5 7 4 8 .9 760 773 759 741 741 737 735 735 726 725 723 723 724 1 ,1 3 1 T o b a c c o m a n u fa c tu re s ............................. 1 , 2 4 4 .0 1 ,1 5 8 .3 1 ,1 8 6 1 ,1 6 5 1 ,1 6 5 1 ,1 6 1 1 ,1 2 6 1 ,1 4 5 1 ,1 4 3 1 ,1 4 1 1 ,1 3 4 1 ,1 3 1 1 ,1 4 5 1 ,1 4 0 ................................................ 6 8 7 .8 6 5 9 .5 668 664 661 658 657 653 657 650 652 650 650 649 650 P r in tin g a n d p u b l i s h i n g ......................................................... 1 ,2 6 5 .8 1 , 2 7 0 .7 1 ,2 7 8 1 ,2 7 4 1 ,2 7 4 1 ,2 6 9 1 ,2 6 7 1 ,2 6 9 1 ,2 6 9 1 ,2 6 8 1 ,2 6 6 1 ,2 6 5 1 ,2 7 0 1 ,2 6 9 1 ,2 7 3 C h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ...................................... 1 , 1 0 7 .3 1 , 0 7 4 .0 1 ,0 8 8 1 ,0 8 2 1 ,0 7 9 1 ,0 7 3 1 ,0 6 8 1 ,0 7 0 1 ,0 6 6 1 ,0 6 1 1 ,0 5 9 1 ,0 5 4 1 ,0 5 2 1 ,0 5 2 1 ,0 5 2 ......................................... 2 1 5 .6 2 0 6 .8 207 206 207 205 205 205 209 208 206 206 207 206 207 695 A p p a r e l a n d o t h e r t e x t ile p r o d u c t s P a p e r a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s P e t r o le u m a n d c o a l p r o d u c t s 7 3 6 .1 6 9 7 .8 703 706 708 704 700 699 694 684 678 678 680 684 ......................................... 2 3 3 .0 2 1 0 .1 213 214 211 212 208 208 207 205 205 201 201 201 203 ................................................................ 6 5 ,6 2 5 6 5 ,7 4 8 6 5 ,8 5 4 6 5 ,7 9 4 6 5 ,9 1 1 6 5 ,8 4 5 6 5 ,6 9 5 6 5 ,6 5 6 6 5 ,7 3 4 6 5 ,6 3 8 6 5 ,6 6 9 6 5 ,5 7 9 6 5 ,7 5 8 6 5 ,7 1 7 6 5 ,8 2 9 5 ,0 5 8 5 ,1 0 0 5 ,0 9 4 5 ,1 0 1 5 ,0 7 8 5 ,0 4 4 5 ,0 2 5 5 ,0 3 1 5 ,0 0 7 4 ,9 9 2 4 ,9 8 3 4 ,9 4 9 4 ,9 3 7 4 ,9 3 3 2 0 ,5 5 1 2 0 ,5 5 1 2 0 ,6 5 5 2 0 ,5 8 4 2 0 ,6 5 2 2 0 ,5 9 5 2 0 ,6 1 5 2 0 ,5 5 0 2 0 ,4 9 2 2 0 ,4 4 1 2 0 ,4 2 5 2 0 ,3 1 6 2 0 ,4 8 7 2 0 ,4 3 5 2 0 ,4 7 6 5 ,3 5 9 5 ,2 9 4 5 ,3 3 6 5 ,3 2 3 5 ,3 3 1 5 ,3 0 7 5 ,2 9 9 5 ,2 7 8 5 ,2 7 2 5 ,2 5 4 5 ,2 2 8 5 ,2 0 5 5 ,1 9 7 5 ,1 8 7 5 ,1 9 8 1 5 ,1 9 2 1 5 ,2 5 8 1 5 ,3 1 9 1 5 ,2 6 1 1 5 ,3 2 1 1 5 ,2 8 8 1 5 ,3 1 6 1 5 ,2 7 2 1 5 ,2 2 0 1 5 ,1 8 7 1 5 ,1 9 7 1 5 ,1 1 1 1 5 ,2 9 0 1 5 ,2 4 8 1 5 ,2 7 8 5 ,3 0 1 5 ,3 5 0 5 ,3 3 6 5 ,3 3 5 5 ,3 4 2 5 ,3 5 2 5 ,3 5 9 5 ,3 6 0 5 ,3 6 7 5 ,3 5 7 5 ,3 6 3 5 ,3 7 7 5 ,3 8 4 5 ,4 0 3 5 ,4 1 0 1 9 ,2 9 3 1 5 ,7 1 7 R u b b e r a n d m is c e lla n e o u s p la s t ic s p r o d u c t s L e a t h e r a n d le a t h e r p r o d u c t s S E R V IC E -P R O D U C IN G T r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d p u b lic u t ilit ie s ., , ................................... W h o l e s a l e a n d r e t a il t r a d e W h o l e s a l e t r a d e ............................................................................... R e ta il t r a d e F i n a n c e , in s u r a n c e , a n d r e a l e s t a t e 5 ,1 5 7 V S e r v i c e s ................................................................................................... 1 8 ,5 9 2 1 9 .0 0 1 1 8 ,9 0 4 1 8 ,9 2 9 1 8 ,9 6 3 1 8 ,9 8 8 1 9 ,0 4 2 1 9 ,0 4 8 1 9 ,0 8 4 1 9 ,0 7 4 1 9 ,1 3 5 1 9 ,1 4 8 1 9 ,2 0 0 1 9 ,2 0 5 G o v e rn m e n t 1 6 ,0 2 4 1 5 ,7 8 8 1 5 ,8 5 9 1 5 ,8 5 2 1 5 ,8 5 3 1 5 ,8 3 2 1 5 ,6 3 5 1 5 ,6 7 3 1 5 ,7 6 0 1 5 ,7 5 9 1 5 ,7 5 4 1 5 ,7 5 5 1 5 ,7 3 8 1 5 ,7 3 7 2 ,7 7 2 2 ,7 3 9 2 ,7 3 6 2 ,7 3 0 2 ,7 2 8 2 ,7 3 9 2 ,7 3 7 2 ,7 4 0 2 ,7 3 1 2 ,7 4 0 2 ,7 4 5 2 ,7 6 1 2 ,7 4 9 2 ,7 5 1 2 ,7 4 8 1 3 ,0 2 9 1 3 ,0 1 9 1 3 ,0 0 9 1 2 ,9 9 4 1 2 ,9 8 9 1 2 ,9 8 6 1 2 ,9 6 9 F e d e r a l ............................................................................................. S t a t e a n d lo c a l ......................................................................... 1 3 ,2 5 3 1 3 ,0 5 0 1 3 ,1 2 3 1 3 ,1 2 2 1 3 ,1 2 5 1 3 ,0 9 3 1 2 ,8 9 8 1 2 ,9 3 3 p = p r e l im i n a r y . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 67 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-82 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Y ear A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e A v e ra g e w e e k ly w e e k ly h o u r ly w e e k ly w e e k ly h o u r ly w e e k ly w e e k ly h o u r ly w e e k ly w e e k ly h o u r ly e a r n in g s h o u rs e a r n in g s e a r n in g s h o u rs e a r n in g s e a r n in g s h o u rs e a r n in g s e a r n in g s h o u rs e a r n in g s A v e ra g e P riv a te s e c to r A v e ra g e M in in g A v e ra g e C o n s tru c tio n A v e ra g e M a n u f a c t u r in g 1950 ............................. $ 5 3 .1 3 3 9 .8 $ 1 .3 3 5 $ 6 7 .1 6 3 7 .9 $ 1 .7 7 2 $ 6 9 .6 8 1955 ............................. 6 7 .7 2 3 9 .6 1.71 8 9 .5 4 4 0 .7 2 .2 0 9 0 .9 0 3 7 .1 2 .4 5 7 5 .3 0 4 0 .7 1 .8 5 ......................... 8 0 .6 7 3 8 .6 2 .0 9 1 0 5 .0 4 4 0 .4 2 .6 0 1 1 2 .6 7 3 6 .7 3 .0 7 8 9 .7 2 3 9 .7 2 .2 6 I9 6 0 ’ 3 7 .4 $ 1 .8 6 3 $ 5 8 .3 2 4 0 .5 $ 1 .4 4 0 1964 ............................. 9 1 .3 3 3 8 .7 2 .3 6 1 1 7 .7 4 4 1 .9 2 .8 1 1 3 2 .0 6 3 7 .2 3 .5 5 1 0 2 .9 7 4 0 .7 2 .5 3 1965 ............................. 9 5 .4 5 3 8 .8 2 .4 6 1 2 3 .5 2 4 2 .3 2 .9 2 1 3 8 .3 8 3 7 .4 3 .7 0 1 0 7 .5 3 4 1 .2 2 .6 1 1966 ............................. 9 8 .8 2 3 8 .6 2 .5 6 1 3 0 .2 4 4 2 .7 3 .0 5 1 4 6 .2 6 3 7 .6 3 .8 9 1 1 2 .1 9 4 1 .4 2 .7 1 4 0 .6 2 .8 2 1967 ............................. 1 0 1 .8 4 3 8 .0 2 .6 8 135 89 4 2 .6 3 .1 9 1 5 4 .9 5 3 7 .7 4 .1 1 1 1 4 .4 9 1968 ............................. 1 0 7 .7 3 3 7 .8 2 .8 5 1 4 2 .7 1 4 2 .6 3 .3 5 1 6 4 .4 9 3 7 .3 4 .4 1 1 2 2 .5 1 1969 ............................. 1 1 4 .6 1 3 7 .7 3 .0 4 1 5 4 .8 0 4 3 .0 3 .6 0 1 8 1 .5 4 3 7 .9 4 .7 9 1 2 9 .5 1 4 0 .6 3 .1 9 1970 ............................. 1 1 9 .8 3 3 7 .1 3 .2 3 1 6 4 .4 0 4 2 .7 3 .8 5 1 9 5 .4 5 3 7 .3 5 .2 4 1 3 3 .3 3 3 9 .8 3 .3 5 4 0 .7 3 .0 1 1971 ............................. 1 2 7 .3 1 3 6 .9 3 .4 5 1 7 2 .1 4 4 2 .4 4 .0 6 2 1 1 .6 7 3 7 .2 5 .6 9 1 4 2 .4 4 3 9 .9 3 .5 7 1972 ............................. 1 3 6 .9 0 3 7 .0 3 .7 0 1 8 9 .1 4 4 2 .6 4 .4 4 2 2 1 .1 9 3 6 .5 6 .0 6 1 5 4 .7 1 4 0 .5 3 .8 2 1973 ............................. 1 4 5 .3 9 3 6 .9 3 .9 4 2 0 1 .4 0 4 2 .4 4 .7 5 2 3 5 .8 9 3 6 .8 6 .4 1 1 6 6 .4 6 4 0 .7 4 .0 9 1974 ............................. 1 5 4 .7 6 3 6 .5 4 .2 4 2 1 9 .1 4 4 1 .9 5 .2 3 2 4 9 .2 5 3 6 .6 6 .8 1 1 7 6 .8 0 4 0 .0 4 .4 2 1975 ............................. 1 6 3 .5 3 3 6 .1 4 .5 3 2 4 9 .3 1 4 1 .9 5 .9 5 2 6 6 .0 8 3 6 .4 7 .3 1 1 9 0 .7 9 3 9 .5 4 .8 3 1976 ............................. 1 7 5 .4 5 3 6 .1 4 .8 6 2 7 3 .9 0 4 2 .4 6 .4 6 2 8 3 .7 3 3 6 .8 7 .7 1 2 0 9 .3 2 4 0 .1 5 .2 2 1977 ............................. 1 8 9 .0 0 3 6 .0 5 .2 5 3 0 1 .2 0 4 3 .4 6 .9 4 2 9 5 .6 5 3 6 .5 8 .1 0 2 2 8 .9 0 4 0 .3 5 .6 8 1978 ............................. 2 0 3 .7 0 3 5 .8 5 .6 9 3 3 2 .8 8 4 3 .4 7 .6 7 3 1 8 .6 9 3 6 .8 8 .6 6 2 4 9 .2 7 4 0 .4 6 .1 7 1979 ............................. 2 1 9 .9 1 3 5 .7 6 .1 6 3 6 5 .0 7 4 3 .0 8 .4 9 3 4 2 .9 9 3 7 .0 9 .2 7 2 6 9 .3 4 4 0 .2 6 .7 0 1980 ............................. 2 3 5 .1 0 3 5 .3 6 .6 6 3 9 7 .0 6 4 3 .3 9 .1 7 3 6 7 .7 8 3 7 .0 9 .9 4 2 8 8 .6 2 3 9 .7 7 .2 7 1981 ............................. 2 5 5 .2 0 3 5 .2 7 .2 5 4 3 9 .1 9 4 3 .7 1 0 .0 5 3 9 8 .5 2 3 6 .9 1 0 .8 0 3 1 8 .0 0 3 9 .8 7 .9 9 1982 ............................. 2 6 6 .9 2 3 4 .8 7 .6 7 4 6 0 .9 3 4 2 .6 1 0 .8 2 4 2 5 .4 1 3 6 .8 1 1 .5 6 3 3 0 .6 5 3 8 .9 8 .5 0 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d p u b lic F i n a n c e , in s u r a n c e , a n d W h o l e s a l e a n d r e t a il t r a d e u t ilit ie s S e rv ic e s re a l e s ta te 1950 ............................. $ 4 4 .5 5 4 0 .5 $ 1 .1 0 0 $ 5 0 52 3 7 .7 1955 ............................. 5 5 .1 6 39 4 1 .4 0 63 92 37 6 1 70 I 9 6 0 1 ......................... 6 6 .0 1 3 8 .6 1.71 7 5 14 37 2 2 02 $1 3 4 0 1964 ............................. $ 1 1 8 .7 8 4 1 .1 $ 2 .8 9 7 4 .6 6 3 7 .9 1 .9 7 8 5 .7 9 3 7 .3 2 .3 0 $ 7 0 .0 3 3 6 .1 1965 ............................. 1 2 5 .1 4 4 1 .3 3 .0 3 7 6 .9 1 3 7 .7 2 .0 4 8 8 .9 1 3 7 .2 2 .3 9 7 3 .6 0 3 5 .9 2 .0 5 1966 ............................. 1 2 8 .1 3 4 1 .2 3 .1 1 7 9 .3 9 3 7 .1 2 .1 4 9 2 .1 3 3 7 .3 2 .4 7 7 7 .0 4 3 5 .5 2 .1 7 1967 ............................. 1 3 0 .8 2 4 0 .5 3 .2 3 8 2 .3 5 $ 1 .9 4 3 6 .6 2 .2 5 9 5 .7 2 3 7 .1 2 .5 8 8 0 .3 8 3 5 .1 2 .2 9 1968 ............................. 1 3 8 .8 5 4 0 .6 3 .4 2 8 7 .0 0 3 6 .1 2 .4 1 1 0 1 .7 5 3 7 .0 2 .7 5 8 3 .9 7 3 4 .7 2 .4 2 1969 ............................. 1 4 7 .7 4 4 0 .7 3 .6 3 9 1 .3 9 3 5 .7 2 .5 6 1 0 8 .7 0 3 7 .1 2 .9 3 9 0 .5 7 3 4 .7 2 .6 1 1970 ............................. 1 5 5 .9 3 4 0 .5 3 .8 5 9 6 .0 2 3 5 .3 2 .7 2 1 1 2 .6 7 3 6 .7 3 .0 7 9 6 .6 6 3 4 .4 2 .8 1 4 .2 1 1 0 1 .0 9 2 .8 8 1 1 7 .8 5 3 .0 4 1971 ............................. 1 6 8 .8 2 4 0 .1 3 5 .1 3 6 .6 3 .2 2 1 0 3 .0 6 3 3 .9 1972 ............................. 1 8 7 .8 6 4 0 .4 4 .6 5 1 0 6 .4 5 3 4 .9 3 .0 5 1 2 2 .9 8 3 6 .6 3 .3 6 1 1 0 .8 5 3 3 .9 1973 ............................. 2 0 3 .3 1 4 0 .5 5 .0 2 1 1 1 .7 6 3 4 .6 3 .2 3 1 2 9 .2 0 3 6 .6 3 .5 3 1 1 7 .2 9 3 3 .8 3 .4 7 1974 ............................. 2 1 7 .4 8 4 0 .2 5 .4 1 1 1 9 .0 2 3 4 .2 3 .4 8 1 3 7 .6 1 3 6 .5 3 .7 7 1 2 6 .0 0 3 3 .6 3 .7 5 1975 ............................. 2 3 3 .4 4 3 9 .7 5 .8 8 1 2 6 .4 5 3 3 .9 3 .7 3 1 4 8 .1 9 3 6 .5 4 .0 6 1 3 4 .6 7 3 3 .5 402 1976 ............................. 2 5 6 .7 1 3 9 .8 6 .4 5 1 3 3 .7 9 3 3 .7 3 .9 7 1 5 5 .4 3 3 6 .4 4 .2 7 1 4 3 .5 2 3 3 .3 4 .3 1 1977 ............................. 2 7 8 .9 0 3 .2 7 3 9 .9 6 .9 9 1978 ............................. 3 0 2 .8 0 4 0 .0 7 .5 7 1 5 3 .6 4 3 2 .9 4 .6 7 1 7 8 .0 0 3 6 .4 4 .8 9 1 6 3 .6 7 3 2 .8 4 .9 9 1979 ............................. 3 2 5 .5 8 3 9 .9 8 .1 6 1 6 4 .9 6 3 2 .6 5 .0 6 1 9 0 .7 7 3 6 .2 5 .2 7 1 7 5 .2 7 3 2 .7 5 .3 6 3 2 .6 5 .8 5 1 4 2 .5 2 3 3 .3 4 .2 8 1 6 5 .2 6 3 6 .4 4 .5 4 1 5 3 .4 5 3 3 .0 4 .6 5 1980 ............................. 3 5 1 .2 5 3 9 .6 8 .8 7 1 7 6 .4 6 3 2 .2 5 .4 8 2 0 9 .6 0 3 6 .2 5 .7 9 1 9 0 .7 1 1981 ............................. 3 8 2 .1 8 3 9 .4 9 .7 0 1 9 0 .9 5 3 2 .2 5 .9 3 2 2 9 .0 5 3 6 .3 6 .3 1 2 0 8 .9 7 3 2 .6 6 .4 1 1982 ............................. 4 0 2 .0 9 3 9 .0 1 0 .3 1 1 9 8 .4 2 3 1 .9 6 .2 2 2 4 5 .4 4 3 6 .2 6 .7 8 2 2 5 .2 7 3 2 .6 6 .9 1 1 D a t a in c lu d e A la s k a a n d H a w a ii b e g in n in g in 1 9 5 9 . 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [ G r o s s a v e r a g e s , p r o d u c t io n o r n o n s u p e r v is o r y w o r k e r s o n p r iv a t e n o n a g r ic u lt u r a l p a y r o lls ] 1983 1982 A nnual av erag e In d u s tr y d iv is io n a n d g ro u p 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. F e b .» M a r .” ............................................................ 3 5 ,2 3 4 .8 3 4 .9 3 4 .9 3 5 .0 3 4 .9 3 4 .9 3 4 .8 3 4 .8 3 4 .7 3 4 .7 3 4 .8 3 5 .1 3 4 .4 3 4 .9 ...................................................................... 3 9 .8 3 8 .9 3 9 .0 3 9 .0 3 9 .1 3 9 .2 3 9 .2 3 9 .0 3 8 .8 3 8 .8 3 8 .9 3 8 .9 3 9 .8 3 9 .1 3 9 .6 O v e r t im e h o u r s ............................................................ 2 .8 2 .3 2 .3 2 .4 2 .3 2 .4 2 .4 2 .4 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .3 2 .6 3 9 .6 3 9 .7 3 9 .7 3 9 .4 3 8 .9 3 9 .0 3 9 .2 3 9 .2 4 0 .2 3 9 .5 4 0 .1 2 .2 2 .3 2 .2 2 .2 2.1 2 .0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2 .2 2 .5 P R IV A T E S E C T O R M A N U F A C T U R IN G D u r a b le g o o d s O v e r t im e h o u r s ............................................................ 4 0 .2 3 9 .3 3 9 .5 3 9 .5 2 .8 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 ......................................... 3 8 .7 3 8 .0 3 8 .6 3 8 .2 3 8 .0 3 8 .5 3 8 .5 4 0 .8 3 9 .4 3 9 .8 ......................................................... 3 8 .4 3 7 .3 3 7 .3 3 7 .4 3 7 .5 3 7 .8 3 7 .6 3 7 .9 3 7 .4 3 7 .5 3 7 .6 3 7 .7 3 8 .8 3 7 .7 3 8 .0 S t o n e , c la y , a n d g la s s p r o d u c t s ................................... 4 0 .6 4 0 .1 4 0 .0 4 0 .0 4 0 .2 4 0 .4 4 0 .6 4 0 .3 4 0 .2 4 0 .2 4 0 .2 4 0 .0 4 1 .6 4 0 .2 4 0 .6 L u m b e r a n d w o o d p ro d u c ts F u r n itu r e a n d fix t u r e s 3 7 .6 3 7 .6 3 8 .5 3 8 .7 3 8 .5 P r im a r y m e ta l i n d u s t r i e s ................................................... 4 0 .5 3 8 .6 3 8 .8 3 8 .5 3 8 .5 3 8 .9 3 8 .9 388 3 7 .8 3 8 .0 3 8 .2 3 8 .9 3 8 .9 3 8 .9 3 9 .5 F a b r ic a t e d m e ta l p r o d u c t s ............................................. 4 0 .3 3 9 .2 3 9 .5 3 9 .4 3 9 .5 3 9 .4 3 9 .5 3 9 .2 3 8 .8 3 8 .9 3 9 .0 3 9 .1 3 9 .8 3 9 .8 4 0 .2 ......................................... 4 0 .9 3 9 .6 4 0 .2 4 0 .1 3 9 .8 3 9 .6 3 9 .8 3 9 .5 3 9 .0 3 9 .2 3 9 .2 3 9 .3 3 9 .7 3 9 .3 3 9 .7 ............................. 3 9 .9 3 9 .3 3 9 .4 3 9 .3 3 9 .4 3 9 .5 3 9 .8 3 9 .3 3 8 .8 3 9 .0 3 9 .2 3 9 .3 3 9 .9 3 9 .3 T r a n s p o r t a t io n e q u i p m e n t ................................................ 4 0 .9 4 0 .5 4 0 .4 4 1 .1 4 1 .1 4 1 .6 4 1 .0 4 0 .5 3 9 .8 4 0 .1 4 0 .8 3 9 .9 4 1 .7 4 1 .0 4 1 .5 4 0 .6 3 9 .4 4 0 .2 M a c h in e r y , e x c e p t e le c t r ic a l E le c t r ic a n d e le c t r o n ic e q u ip m e n t 4 0 .0 ............................. 4 0 .4 3 9 .8 3 9 .9 3 9 .9 4 0 .2 4 0 .2 4 0 .1 4 0 .1 3 9 .8 3 9 .4 3 9 .2 3 9 .6 ...................................... 3 8 .8 3 8 .5 3 8 .6 3 8 .5 3 8 .7 386 3 8 .7 3 8 .6 3 8 .3 3 8 .6 3 8 .6 3 8 .4 3 9 .4 3 7 .9 3 9 .0 ................................................................ 3 9 .1 3 8 .4 3 8 .5 3 8 .4 3 8 .5 3 8 .6 3 8 .6 3 8 .5 3 8 .6 3 8 .5 3 8 .5 3 8 .5 3 9 .3 3 8 .5 3 9 .0 O v e r t im e h o u r s ............................................................ 2 .8 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .5 2 .5 2 .6 2 .6 2 .6 2 .6 2 .5 2 .5 2 .5 2 .5 2 .8 In s tr u m e n ts a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s M is c e lla n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r in g N o n d u r a b le g o o d s 3 9 .4 3 9 .0 3 8 .9 F o o d a n d k in d r e d p r o d u c t s ............................................. 3 9 .7 3 9 .5 3 9 .5 3 9 .4 3 9 .4 3 9 .5 3 9 .5 3 9 .1 3 9 .4 3 9 .7 3 9 .4 3 9 .2 T e x t ile m ill p r o d u c t s ............................................................. 3 9 .6 3 7 .5 3 7 .6 3 7 .7 3 7 .9 3 7 .8 3 7 .7 3 8 .2 3 8 .1 3 8 .2 3 8 .6 3 8 .4 4 0 .3 3 9 .0 3 9 .4 3 4 .9 3 5 .5 4 1 .3 4 1 .8 A p p a r e l a n d o t h e r t e x t ile p r o d u c t s ............................. 3 5 .7 3 4 .7 3 5 .0 3 4 .7 3 4 .8 3 5 .1 3 5 .2 3 5 .0 3 5 .2 3 5 .0 3 5 .1 3 5 .0 3 6 .9 P a p e r a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ................................................ 4 2 .5 4 1 .8 4 1 .8 4 2 .1 4 1 .8 4 2 .0 4 1 .9 4 1 .7 4 1 .5 4 1 .7 4 1 .6 4 1 .6 4 1 .7 P r in tin g a n d p u b lis h in g ...................................................... 3 7 .3 3 7 .0 3 7 .1 3 7 .1 3 6 .8 3 7 .1 3 7 .0 3 6 .8 3 7 .0 3 6 .9 3 7 .1 3 7 .1 3 7 .6 3 7 .0 3 7 .6 C h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ...................................... 4 1 .6 4 0 .9 4 0 .7 4 0 .7 4 1 .0 4 1 .0 4 0 .9 4 0 .9 4 1 .2 4 0 .8 4 0 .6 4 0 .9 4 1 .1 4 1 .0 4 1 .5 4 4 .1 4 3 .3 4 3 .9 4 4 .0 4 3 .3 4 3 .9 4 4 .4 4 4 .6 4 4 .6 4 4 .8 4 0 .7 P e tr o le u m a n d c o a l p r o d u c t s 4 3 .2 4 3 .9 4 3 .5 4 4 .0 4 4 .1 .. 4 0 .3 3 9 .6 3 9 .6 3 9 .8 3 9 .9 4 0 .1 4 0 .2 3 9 .7 3 9 .6 3 9 .0 3 9 .3 3 9 .6 4 0 .2 3 9 .7 ...................................... 3 6 .8 3 5 .6 3 5 .8 3 5 .6 3 5 .6 3 5 .7 3 6 .1 3 6 .0 3 5 .7 3 5 .2 3 5 .9 3 5 .8 3 6 .7 3 4 .9 3 6 .4 3 1 .9 3 1 .9 3 2 .1 3 1 .9 3 1 .8 3 2 .1 3 2 .0 3 1 .3 3 2 .1 ...................................... R u b b e r a n d m is c e lla n e o u s p la s t ic s p r o d u c t s L e a th e r a n d le a th e r p ro d u c ts W H O L E S A L E A N D R E T A IL T R A D E 3 2 .2 3 1 .9 3 1 .9 3 1 .8 3 2 .0 3 1 .9 W H O L E S A L E T R A D E ................................................................... 3 8 .6 3 8 .4 3 8 .4 3 8 .3 3 8 .5 3 8 .6 3 8 .5 3 8 .5 3 8 .4 3 8 .3 3 8 .4 3 8 .4 3 8 .7 3 8 .2 3 8 .4 2 9 .9 2 9 .9 3 0 .1 2 9 .9 2 9 .8 3 0 .2 3 0 .0 2 9 .2 3 0 .2 3 2 .6 3 2 .6 3 2 .8 3 2 .6 3 2 .6 3 2 .7 3 2 .8 3 2 .5 3 2 .7 R E T A IL T R A D E 3 0 .1 2 9 .9 2 9 .8 2 9 .8 3 0 .0 2 9 .8 S E R V I C E S ............................................................................................ 3 2 .6 3 2 .6 3 2 .6 3 2 .7 3 2 .7 3 2 .7 p = p r e l im i n a r y . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 14. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] A nnual av erag e 1982 1983 I n d u s t r y d iv is i o n a n d g r o u p 1981 P R IV A T E S E C T O R 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. F e b .” M a r .p $ 7 .6 7 $ 7 .5 5 $ 7 .5 8 $ 7 .6 3 $ 7 .6 4 $ 7 .6 7 $ 7 .7 0 $ 7 .7 6 $ 7 .7 9 $ 7 .8 1 $ 7 .8 2 $ 7 .9 0 $ 7 .9 1 $ 7 .8 9 7 .5 4 7 .5 9 7 .6 5 7 .6 7 7 .7 1 7 .7 4 7 .7 2 7 .7 7 7 .7 9 7 .8 2 7 .8 7 7 .8 9 7 .8 8 ............................................................. $ 7 .2 5 Seasonally adjusted .............................. ( ’ ) M I N I N G ................................................................................................... 1 0 .0 5 1 0 .8 2 1 0 .6 2 1 0 .6 5 1 0 .6 6 1 0 .8 2 1 0 .9 1 1 0 .9 3 1 1 .0 4 1 1 .0 2 1 1 .0 6 1 1 .0 8 1 1 .2 7 1 1 .3 1 1 1 .1 8 C O N S T R U C T I O N ............................................................................ 1 0 .8 0 1 1 .5 6 1 1 .3 3 1 1 .3 2 1 1 .4 6 1 1 .4 1 1 1 .5 3 1 1 .6 0 1 1 .6 8 1 1 .8 2 1 1 .6 6 1 1 .9 0 1 1 .8 9 1 1 .9 4 1 1 .8 6 8 .5 0 8 .3 7 8 .4 2 8 .4 5 8 .5 0 8 .5 5 8 .5 1 8 .5 9 8 .5 6 8 .6 1 8 .6 9 8 .7 1 8 .7 4 8 .7 5 9 .3 0 M A N U F A C T U R IN G ...................................................................... 7 .9 9 n D u r a b l e g o o d s ...................................................................... 8 .5 3 9 .0 5 8 .9 1 8 .9 4 9 .0 1 9 .0 6 9 .1 1 9 .0 9 9 .1 6 9 .1 3 9 .1 7 9 .2 3 9 .2 6 9 .3 0 Lumber and wood products .................... Furniture and fixtures.............................. Stone, clay, and glass products .............. Primary metal industries.......................... Fabricated metal products ...................... 7 .0 0 7 .5 0 7 .2 8 7 .2 4 7 .4 1 7 .5 9 7 .6 4 7 .6 1 7 .7 0 7 .6 1 7 .6 3 7 .5 9 7 .7 2 7 .7 6 7 .6 9 5 .9 1 6 .3 2 6 .2 1 6 .2 1 6 .2 3 6 .3 0 6 .3 4 6 .3 9 6 .4 1 6 .4 1 6 .4 4 6 .4 7 6 .5 0 6 .5 1 6 .5 2 8 .2 7 8 .8 7 8 .6 5 8 .7 2 8 .8 0 8 .8 6 8 .9 3 8 .9 3 9 .0 3 9 .0 4 9 .0 4 9 .0 8 9 .1 2 9 .1 1 9 .1 3 1 0 .8 1 1 1 .3 3 1 1 .1 5 1 1 .2 4 1 1 .2 3 1 1 .3 1 1 1 .3 7 1 1 .4 9 1 1 .5 4 1 1 .4 2 1 1 .4 9 1 1 .4 9 1 1 .5 7 1 1 .5 1 1 1 .5 1 8 .2 0 8 .7 8 8 .6 4 8 .6 9 8 .7 9 8 .8 3 8 .8 5 8 .8 5 8 .9 0 8 .8 5 8 .9 0 8 .9 7 8 .9 8 9 .0 3 9 .0 2 8 .8 1 9 .2 8 9 .1 8 9 .2 4 9 .2 6 9 .2 7 9 .3 0 9 .3 3 9 .4 0 9 .3 4 9 .3 6 9 .4 1 9 .3 8 9 .4 1 9 .4 4 Machinery, except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipment............ Transportation equipment........................ Instruments and related products ............ Miscellaneous manufacturing .................. 7 .6 2 1 0 .3 9 N o n d u r a b le g o o d s Food and kindred products...................... Tobacco manufactures............................ Textile mill products................................ Apparel and other textile products .......... Paper and allied products........................ Printing and publishing............................ Chemicals and allied products ................ Petroleum and coal products .................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products .................. T R A N S P O R T A T I O N A N D P U B L IC U T IL IT IE S W H O L E S A L E A N D R E T A IL T R A D E . ................................ W H O LESA LE TR A D E R E T A IL T R A D E F IN A N C E , IN S U R A N C E , A N D R E A L E S T A T E . . S E R V I C E S ............................................................................................ 8 .1 7 8 .0 1 8 .0 3 8 .0 5 8 .0 9 8 .1 8 8 .2 4 8 .3 1 8 .3 4 8 .3 8 8 .4 5 8 .4 8 8 .5 2 8 .5 1 1 1 .1 2 1 0 .8 9 1 0 .8 9 1 1 .0 8 1 1 .2 1 1 1 .2 5 1 1 .1 8 1 1 .2 4 1 1 .3 0 1 1 .3 5 1 1 .4 4 1 1 .4 1 1 1 .4 8 1 1 .5 2 7 .4 3 8 .2 6 8 .0 0 8 .0 7 8 .1 6 8 .2 3 8 .3 1 8 .4 0 8 .4 4 8 .4 8 8 .5 7 8 .6 6 8 .7 5 8 .7 7 8 .7 7 5 .9 6 6 .4 2 6 .3 2 6 .3 5 6 .3 8 6 .4 1 6 .4 0 6 .3 9 6 .4 9 6 .5 0 6 .5 6 6 .6 6 6 .7 1 6 .7 2 6 .7 3 7 .1 8 7 .7 3 7 .5 7 7 .7 7 7 .7 4 7 .8 4 7 .8 1 7 .8 8 7 .9 6 7 .9 8 7 .9 9 7 .6 5 7 .6 6 7 .4 3 7 .8 9 7 .7 9 7 .9 0 7 .9 2 7 .9 0 7 .8 8 7 .8 5 7 .9 1 7 .8 8 8 .0 0 8 .0 6 8 .0 8 8 .0 9 8 .1 2 8 .8 8 9 .7 8 9 .7 2 1 0 .0 5 9 .9 3 1 0 .3 5 1 0 .4 2 9 .5 3 9 .5 7 9 .5 0 1 0 .1 6 9 .6 3 9 .8 7 9 .9 5 1 0 .2 7 5 .5 2 5 .8 3 5 .7 6 5 .7 9 5 .7 9 5 .7 9 5 .8 1 5 .8 2 5 .8 6 5 .8 7 5 .9 2 6 .0 3 6 .0 8 6 .1 0 6 .1 0 4 .9 6 5 .1 8 5 .1 5 5 .1 8 5 .1 6 5 .1 8 5 .1 7 5 .1 8 5 .2 0 5 .1 9 5 .2 2 5 .2 6 5 .3 1 5 .3 2 5 .3 1 8 .6 0 9 .3 2 9 .0 3 9 .1 1 9 .1 4 9 .2 8 9 .4 1 9 .4 5 9 .6 3 9 .5 4 9 .6 0 9 .6 6 9 .6 6 9 .6 5 9 .6 6 8 .1 8 9 .1 2 1 1 .3 8 8 .7 3 8 .5 9 8 .5 9 7 .7 0 8 .6 1 8 .6 6 8 .7 4 8 .7 9 8 .9 0 8 .8 7 8 .9 1 8 .9 9 8 .9 6 8 .9 8 9 .0 4 9 .9 8 9 .7 1 9 .8 1 9 .8 3 9 .9 5 1 0 .0 2 1 0 .0 3 1 0 .2 0 1 0 .2 4 1 0 .2 8 1 0 .3 4 1 0 .3 5 1 0 .4 4 1 0 .4 4 1 2 .4 6 1 2 .3 2 1 2 .5 0 1 2 .5 2 1 2 .5 3 1 2 .4 2 1 2 .4 2 1 2 .6 2 1 2 .5 7 1 2 .6 9 1 2 .7 2 1 3 .1 7 1 3 .2 4 1 3 .2 2 7 .1 6 7 .6 3 7 .4 5 7 .5 2 7 .5 6 7 .6 4 7 .6 5 7 .6 4 7 .7 6 7 .7 2 7 .7 9 7 .8 9 7 .8 9 7 .8 9 7 .8 9 4 .9 9 5 .3 3 5 .2 4 5 .3 2 5 .3 2 5 .3 6 5 .3 0 5 .3 3 5 .4 1 5 .3 9 5 .4 1 5 .4 4 5 .5 1 5 .5 1 5 .5 4 9 .7 0 1 0 .3 1 1 0 .0 7 1 0 .1 4 1 0 .1 7 1 0 .2 0 1 0 .2 9 1 0 .4 3 1 0 .4 6 1 0 .4 8 1 0 .5 9 1 0 .6 2 1 0 ,6 9 1 0 .6 7 1 0 .6 5 5 .9 3 6 .2 2 6 .1 6 6 .1 8 6 .2 0 6 .2 0 6 .2 1 6 .2 2 6 .2 6 6 .3 0 6 .3 2 6 .2 9 6 .4 4 6 .4 7 6 .4 2 7 .5 7 8 .0 6 7 .9 3 7 .9 7 8 .0 3 8 .0 1 8 .0 7 8 .1 1 8 .1 4 8 .1 7 8 .1 8 8 .2 4 8 .3 4 8 .3 2 8 .2 9 5 .2 5 5 .4 9 5 .4 3 5 .4 4 5 .4 7 5 .4 7 5 .4 8 5 .4 8 5 .5 2 5 .5 4 5 .5 8 5 .5 6 5 .6 7 5 .7 1 5 .6 8 6 .3 1 6 .7 8 6 .5 9 6 .6 4 6 .7 7 6 .7 1 6 .7 8 6 .8 7 6 .9 0 6 .9 7 7 .0 1 7 .0 1 7 .2 3 7 .2 4 7 .2 3 6 .4 1 6 .9 1 6 .7 7 6 .8 1 6 .8 5 6 .8 4 6 .8 7 6 .9 0 6 .9 9 7 .0 5 7 .0 8 7 .1 2 7 .1 9 7 .1 8 7 .1 7 1 Not available. 15. 8 .0 1 p=preliminary. Hourly Earnings Index, for production workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry [1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ] N o t s e a s o n a lly a d ju s te d S e a s o n a lly a d ju s te d P e rc e n t P R I V A T E S E C T O R ( in c u r r e n t d o lla r s ) Mining.................................................. Construction ........................................ Manufacturing ...................................... Transportation and public utilities............ Wholesale and retail trade .................... Finance, insurance, and real estate........ Services .............................................. P R I V A T E S E C T O R ( in c o n s t a n t d o lla r s ) M ar. Jan. Feb. 1982 1983 1983 p M a r. 1983 p https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis change fro m : M ar. N ov. Dec. Jan. M a r. 1 9 82 1982 1982 1982 1983 Feb. 1983 M ar. 1983 fro m : Feb. 1983 to to M a r. 1 9 83 M a r. 19 83 1 4 5 .5 1 5 3 .5 1 5 3 .7 1 5 3 .5 5 .5 1 4 5 .4 1 5 1 .2 1 5 2 .1 1 5 2 .8 1 5 6 .0 1 6 5 .2 1 6 5 .5 1 6 4 .2 5 .3 ( ’ ) (’ ) (' ) ( 1) 1 5 3 .2 f ) 1 5 3 .4 0.1 (’) ( ’ ) 1 3 6 .8 1 4 3 .5 1 4 3 .9 1 4 3 .2 4 .7 1 3 8 .1 1 4 9 .8 1 5 7 .0 1 5 7 .3 1 5 7 .2 4 .9 1 4 9 .9 1 5 5 .3 1 5 5 .6 1 5 6 .6 1 5 7 .3 1 5 7 .3 1 4 5 .4 1 5 5 .5 1 5 5 .4 1 5 5 .0 6 .6 1 4 6 .3 1 5 2 .3 1 5 3 .4 1 5 5 .1 1 5 5 .0 1 5 5 .9 .6 1 4 3 .5 1 4 9 .8 1 5 0 .2 1 5 0 .4 4 .8 1 4 2 .8 1 4 8 .1 1 4 8 .6 1 4 8 .9 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .7 .2 1 4 4 .2 1 5 7 .5 1 5 7 .9 1 5 7 .8 9 .4 1 4 3 .8 1 5 2 .7 1 5 3 .7 1 5 6 ,9 1 5 6 .2 1 5 7 .3 .7 1 4 4 .6 1 5 3 .5 1 5 3 .2 1 5 3 .1 5 .9 1 4 3 ,9 1 5 0 .9 1 5 2 .4 1 5 2 .2 1 5 2 .0 1 5 2 .4 9 3 .5 9 5 .4 9 5 .5 (2) (2) 9 3 .5 9 3 .5 9 4 .3 9 4 .8 9 5 .2 1This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. 70 P e rc e n t change In d u s t r y 2Not available, p = preliminary, 1 4 1 .0 1 4 3 .8 1 4 3 .8 1 4 5 .4 1 4 4 .5 (2) -.6 .0 .2 (2) 16. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [G r o s s a v e r a g e s , p r o d u c t io n o r n o n s u p e r v is o r y w o r k e r s o n p r iv a t e n o n a g r ic u lt u r a l p a y r o lls ] A nnual av erag e 1982 1983 In d u s t r y d iv is i o n a n d g r o u p 1981 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. F e b .p M a r .p P R IV A T E S E C T O R C u r r e n t d o l l a r s ................................................................... S e a s o n a lly a d j u s t e d ................................................... C o n s t a n t ( 1 9 7 7 ) d o l l a r s ............................................... M IN IN G ..................................................................................... C O N S T R U C T IO N $ 2 6 1 .9 9 $ 2 6 2 .2 7 $ 2 6 5 .5 2 $ 2 6 7 .4 0 $ 2 6 9 .9 8 $ 2 7 1 .0 4 $ 2 7 0 .0 5 $ 2 7 0 .3 1 $ 2 7 1 ,0 1 $ 2 7 4 .4 8 $ 2 7 3 .3 4 $ 2 7 0 .5 2 $ 2 7 4 .5 7 ( 1) $ 2 6 6 .9 2 ( ') 2 6 3 .1 5 2 6 4 .8 9 2 6 7 .7 5 2 6 7 .6 8 2 6 9 .0 8 2 6 9 .3 5 2 6 8 .6 6 2 6 9 .6 2 2 7 0 .3 1 2 7 2 .1 4 2 7 6 .2 4 2 7 1 .4 2 2 7 5 .0 1 1 7 0 .1 3 1 6 7 .8 7 1 6 8 .3 7 1 6 7 .8 0 1 6 8 .1 6 1 6 7 .3 3 1 6 7 .9 0 1 6 8 .2 4 1 6 7 .4 2 1 6 7 .0 6 1 6 7 .8 1 1 7 0 .5 9 1 6 9 .8 8 1 6 8 .0 2 ( 1) 4 3 9 .1 9 4 6 0 .9 3 4 6 5 .1 6 4 5 4 .7 6 4 5 4 .1 2 4 6 3 .1 0 4 6 3 .6 8 4 6 3 .4 3 4 6 2 .5 8 4 6 1 .7 4 4 6 0 .1 0 4 6 7 .5 8 4 7 8 .9 8 4 6 7 .1 0 $ 4 5 9 .5 0 3 9 8 .5 2 4 2 5 .4 1 4 1 9 .2 1 4 1 5 .4 4 4 2 9 .7 5 4 2 7 .8 8 4 3 8 .1 4 4 3 6 .1 6 4 3 0 .9 9 4 3 8 .5 2 4 2 0 .9 3 4 3 7 .9 2 4 3 7 .5 5 4 2 2 .6 8 4 3 1 .7 0 3 4 6 .5 0 $ 2 5 5 .2 0 M A N U F A C T U R IN G C u r r e n t d o l l a r s ................................................................... 3 1 8 .0 0 3 3 0 .6 5 3 2 7 .2 7 3 2 5 .8 5 3 2 9 .5 5 3 3 4 .0 5 3 3 2 .6 0 3 3 1 .8 9 3 3 4 .1 5 3 3 3 .8 4 3 3 8 .3 7 3 4 4 .9 9 3 4 1 .4 3 3 3 9 .1 1 C o n s t a n t ( 1 9 7 7 ) d o l l a r s ................................................ 2 1 2 .0 0 2 0 7 .9 6 2 1 0 .3 3 2 0 8 .4 8 2 0 8 .7 1 2 0 9 .0 4 2 0 6 .8 4 2 0 6 .4 0 2 0 7 .1 6 2 0 6 .3 3 2 0 9 .5 2 2 1 4 .4 1 2 1 2 .2 0 2 1 0 .6 3 (’ ) 3 4 2 .9 1 3 5 5 .6 7 3 5 2 .8 4 3 5 0 .4 5 3 5 5 .9 0 3 6 0 .5 9 3 5 7 .1 1 3 5 6 .3 3 3 5 7 .2 4 3 5 7 .9 0 3 6 3 .1 3 3 7 0 .1 2 3 6 7 .6 2 3 6 6 .4 2 $ 3 7 2 .9 3 D u r a b le g o o d s L u m b e r a n d w o o d p r o d u c t s ...................................... 2 7 0 .9 0 2 8 5 .0 0 2 7 3 .7 3 2 7 0 .0 5 28529 2 9 7 .5 3 2 9 4 .9 0 2 9 5 .2 7 2 9 8 .7 6 2 9 2 .2 2 2 9 3 .7 6 2 9 5 .2 5 3 0 2 .6 2 3 0 1 .8 6 3 0 5 .2 9 F u r n itu r e a n d fix t u r e s ................................................... 2 2 6 .9 4 2 3 5 .7 4 2 3 3 .5 0 2 3 0 .3 9 2 3 1 .7 6 2 3 8 .7 7 2 3 3 .3 1 2 4 3 .4 6 2 4 1 .6 6 2 4 4 .2 2 2 4 5 .3 6 2 5 0 .3 9 2 4 3 .7 5 2 4 3 .4 7 2 4 9 .7 2 S t o n e , c la y , a n d g la s s p r o d u c t s ............................. 3 3 5 .7 6 3 5 5 .6 9 3 4 4 .2 7 3 4 7 .9 3 3 5 5 .5 2 3 6 1 .4 9 3 6 2 .5 6 3 6 2 .5 6 3 6 5 .7 2 3 6 7 .0 2 3 6 7 .0 2 3 6 6 .8 3 3 6 7 .5 4 3 5 8 .0 2 P r im a r y m e ta l in d u s tr ie s ............................................ 4 3 7 .8 1 4 3 7 .3 4 4 3 4 .8 5 4 3 4 .9 9 4 3 0 .1 1 4 3 9 .9 6 4 3 7 .7 5 4 4 0 .0 7 4 3 8 .5 2 4 3 1 .6 8 4 4 0 .0 7 4 5 0 .4 1 4 5 1 .2 3 4 5 0 .0 4 4 5 6 .9 5 F a b r ic a t e d m e ta l p r o d u c t s ......................................... 3 3 0 .4 6 3 4 4 ,1 8 3 4 2 .1 4 3 3 8 .9 1 3 4 6 .3 3 3 4 9 .6 7 3 4 4 .2 7 3 4 6 .0 4 3 4 6 .2 1 3 4 6 .0 4 3 5 0 .6 6 3 5 9 .7 0 3 5 4 .7 1 3 5 6 .6 9 3 6 3 .5 1 3 6 8 .8 5 M a c h in e r y e x c e p t e l e c t r i c a l ...................................... 3 6 0 .3 3 3 6 7 .4 9 3 7 0 .8 7 3 6 7 .7 5 3 6 7 .6 2 3 6 7 .0 9 3 6 3 .6 3 3 6 4 .8 0 3 6 7 .5 4 3 6 5 .1 9 3 7 0 .6 6 3 8 0 .1 6 3 7 1 .4 5 3 6 9 .8 1 3 7 6 .6 6 E le c t r ic a n d e l e c t r o n ic e q u i p m e n t .......................... 3 0 4 .0 4 3 2 1 .0 8 3 1 6 .4 0 3 1 3 .1 7 3 1 5 .5 6 3 1 9 .5 6 3 1 9 .8 4 3 2 2 .1 8 3 2 2 .4 3 3 2 6 .0 9 3 3 1 .8 5 3 3 9 .6 9 3 3 6 .6 6 3 3 4 .8 4 3 4 1 .2 5 ......................................... 4 2 4 .9 5 4 5 0 .3 6 4 3 9 .9 6 4 4 1 .0 5 4 5 5 .3 9 4 6 6 .3 4 4 5 6 ,7 5 4 4 7 .2 0 4 4 3 .9 8 4 5 7 .6 5 4 6 7 .6 2 4 7 4 .7 6 4 6 8 .9 5 4 6 9 .5 3 4 7 8 .0 8 In s t r u m e n t s a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s .......................... 3 0 0 .1 7 3 2 8 .7 5 3 2 0 .8 0 3 1 8 .7 7 3 2 7 .2 2 3 3 0 .8 5 3 2 8 .2 5 3 3 5 .1 6 3 3 5 .9 1 3 3 4 ,9 6 3 4 1 .0 9 3 4 9 .8 6 3 5 1 .7 5 3 4 6 .4 2 3 5 4 .3 1 M is c e lla n e o u s m a n u f a c t u r i n g ................................... 2 3 1 .2 5 2 4 7 .1 7 2 4 4 .5 8 2 4 2 .5 7 2 4 5 .6 3 2 4 7 .4 3 2 4 4 .4 8 2 4 6 .6 5 2 5 0 .5 1 2 5 3 .5 0 2 5 6 .5 0 2 5 9 .7 4 2 5 9 .6 8 2 5 3 .3 4 2 6 3 .1 4 3 0 4 ,4 2 3 1 1 .5 9 T r a n s p o r t a t io n e q u ip m e n t N o n d u ra b le g o o d s 2 8 0 .7 4 2 9 6 .8 3 2 8 9 .9 3 2 9 1 .4 7 2 9 4 .1 4 2 9 7 .9 9 2 9 9 .1 5 2 9 9 .5 4 3 0 4 .1 9 3 0 2 .2 5 3 0 6 .5 3 3 1 1 .2 4 3 0 8 .0 3 ...................................... 2 9 4 .9 7 3 1 1 .6 6 3 0 3 .8 1 3 0 6 .5 2 3 1 2 .0 5 3 1 2 .0 5 3 1 2 .0 5 3 1 0 .8 6 3 1 5 .6 1 3 1 2 .8 4 3 1 7 .6 0 3 1 9 .9 8 3 1 5 .1 2 3 1 1 .4 7 3 1 2 .6 2 ................................................ 3 4 4 .5 4 3 6 9 .6 8 3 6 2 .5 6 3 6 7 .8 3 3 6 9 .4 0 3 9 7 .4 4 3 8 3 .4 6 3 6 3 .0 9 3 7 9 .9 3 3 7 0 .5 0 3 8 6 .0 8 3 6 4 .9 8 3 6 0 .2 6 3 4 0 .2 9 3 7 2 .8 0 ...................................................... 2 1 8 .5 9 2 1 8 .6 3 2 1 7 .1 5 2 1 5 .3 9 2 1 9 .4 4 2 2 0 .6 0 2 1 6 .1 3 2 2 2 .9 1 2 2 3 .8 5 2 2 7 .1 7 F o o d a n d k in d r e d p r o d u c t s T o b a c c o m a n u fa c tu re s T e x t ile m ill p r o d u c t s P a p e r a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s 2 3 1 .4 7 2 3 6 .3 8 2 3 6 .5 1 2 3 6 ,6 8 2 4 0 .9 5 ...................... 1 7 7 .0 7 1 7 9 .7 5 1 8 0 .7 7 1 7 8 .1 9 1 8 0 .0 8 1 8 3 .8 9 1 8 3 .0 2 1 8 3 .3 7 1 8 2 .5 2 1 8 3 .2 1 1 8 4 .7 9 1 8 6 .2 0 1 8 7 .4 4 1 8 4 .0 7 1 8 9 .0 4 ......................................... 3 6 5 .5 0 3 8 9 .5 8 3 7 6 .5 5 3 8 0 .8 0 3 7 9 .3 1 3 8 9 .7 6 3 9 1 .4 6 3 9 3 .1 2 4 0 1 .5 7 3 9 7 .8 2 4 0 2 .2 4 4 1 0 .5 5 4 0 2 .8 2 3 9 6 .6 2 4 0 2 .8 2 A p p a r e l a n d o t h e r t e x t ile p r o d u c t s P r in tin g a n d p u b l i s h in g ................................................... 3 0 5 .1 1 3 2 3 .0 1 3 1 8 .6 9 3 1 6 .1 1 3 1 5 .9 9 3 1 9 .5 5 3 2 2 .5 1 3 2 6 .1 1 3 3 1 .0 8 3 2 8 .1 9 3 3 2 .3 4 3 4 0 .7 2 3 3 2 .4 2 3 2 9 .5 7 3 3 9 .9 0 C h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ................................ 3 7 9 .3 9 4 0 8 .1 8 3 9 5 .2 0 3 9 9 .2 7 4 0 1 .0 6 4 0 6 .9 6 4 0 7 .8 1 4 0 8 .2 2 4 2 0 .2 4 4 1 7 .7 9 4 2 1 .4 8 4 2 8 .0 8 4 2 3 .3 2 4 2 7 .0 0 4 3 3 .2 6 P e tr o le u m a n d c o a l p r o d u c t s ................................... 4 9 1 .6 2 5 4 6 .9 9 5 2 2 .3 7 5 5 0 .0 0 5 4 9 .6 3 5 5 3 .8 3 5 4 6 .4 8 5 4 6 .4 8 5 7 2 .9 5 5 5 5 .5 9 5 6 4 .7 1 5 6 3 .5 0 5 7 2 .9 0 5 7 3 .2 9 5 7 6 .3 9 p la s tic s p r o d u c t s ......................................................... 2 8 8 .5 5 3 0 2 .1 5 2 9 5 .7 7 2 9 7 .0 4 3 0 0 .1 3 3 0 6 .3 6 3 0 2 .9 4 3 0 3 .3 1 3 0 7 .4 0 3 0 3 .4 0 3 0 8 .4 8 3 1 7 .9 7 3 1 6 .3 9 3 1 2 .4 4 3 2 1 .9 1 L e a t h e r a n d le a t h e r p r o d u c t s ................................... 1 8 3 .6 3 1 8 9 .7 5 1 8 6 .5 4 1 8 7 .2 6 1 9 1 .5 2 1 9 6 .7 1 1 9 1 .3 3 1 9 2 .9 5 1 9 2 .0 6 1 9 0 .2 7 1 9 4 .7 6 1 9 6 .3 8 1 9 7 .2 6 1 9 1 .2 0 2 0 0 .5 5 3 8 2 .1 8 4 0 2 .0 9 3 9 2 .7 3 3 9 3 .4 3 3 9 4 .6 0 3 9 9 .8 4 4 0 3 .3 7 4 0 9 .9 0 4 0 5 .8 5 4 0 6 .6 2 4 1 3 .0 1 4 1 5 .2 4 4 0 9 .4 3 4 0 8 .6 6 4 1 1 .0 9 R u b b e r a n d m is c e lla n e o u s T R A N S P O R T A T I O N A N D P U B L IC U T I L IT IE S W H O L E S A L E A N D R E T A IL T R A D E 1 9 0 .9 5 1 9 8 .4 2 1 9 4 .6 6 1 9 5 .9 1 1 9 7 .7 8 1 9 9 .0 2 2 0 2 .4 5 2 0 2 .7 7 2 0 0 .9 5 2 0 0 .9 7 2 0 0 .3 4 2 0 3 .8 0 2 0 2 .2 2 1 9 9 .9 2 2 0 4 .1 6 W HO LESA LE TR A D E 2 9 2 .2 0 3 0 9 .5 0 3 0 3 .7 2 3 0 4 .4 5 3 0 8 .3 5 3 0 9 .1 9 3 1 2 .3 1 3 1 3 .0 5 3 1 2 .5 8 3 1 4 .5 5 3 1 4 .9 3 3 1 8 .8 9 3 2 0 .2 6 3 1 5 .3 3 3 1 7 .5 1 ............................................................ R E T A IL T R A D E 1 5 8 .0 3 1 6 4 .1 5 1 5 9 .6 4 1 6 1 .0 2 1 6 3 .0 1 1 6 4 .6 5 1 6 8 .2 4 1 6 8 .2 4 1 6 6 .7 0 1 6 5 ,0 9 1 6 5 .7 3 1 7 0 .1 4 1 6 6 .1 3 1 6 3 .8 8 1 6 9 .2 6 F IN A N C E , I N S U R A N C E , A N D R E A L E S T A T E 2 2 9 .0 5 2 4 5 .4 4 2 3 9 .2 2 2 4 0 .3 7 2 4 5 .7 5 2 4 2 .2 3 2 4 5 .4 4 2 4 9 .3 8 2 4 9 .0 9 2 5 2 .3 1 2 5 3 .7 6 2 5 4 .4 6 2 6 3 .9 0 2 6 0 .6 4 2 5 9 .5 6 S E R V IC E S 2 0 8 .9 7 2 2 5 .2 7 2 2 0 .0 3 2 2 1 .3 3 2 2 2 .6 3 2 2 4 .3 5 2 2 7 .4 0 2 2 7 .7 0 2 2 8 .5 7 2 2 9 .1 3 2 3 0 .1 0 2 3 2 .8 2 2 3 4 .3 9 2 3 2 .6 3 2 3 3 .7 4 1 N o t a v a ila b le . 17. p = p r e lim in a r y . Indexes of diffusion: industries in which employment increased [In p e r c e n t ] T im e Year Jan. Feb. M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N ov. D ec. span O ver 1981 .. . . 5 6 .7 4 8 .7 5 1 .1 6 8 .3 6 5 .3 5 4 .0 5 9 .9 5 0 .3 5 0 .3 3 4 .7 2 8 .2 3 1 .2 1 - m o n th 1982 .. . . 3 2 .5 4 2 .5 3 5 .8 4 0 .9 5 1 .1 3 2 .0 4 3 .5 3 7 .6 4 3 .0 2 6 .1 3 4 .9 3 9 .0 span 1983 .. . . 5 4 .8 » 4 1 .4 » 5 8 .6 O ver 1981 .. . . 5 3 .5 5 2 .2 6 0 .2 7 0 .2 7 0 .4 6 5 .9 5 9 .4 5 7 .0 4 0 .1 3 0 .6 2 6 .3 2 3 .4 3 - m o n th 1982 .. . . 2 8 .0 3 1 .2 3 3 .6 3 7 .1 3 5 .8 3 5 .8 2 7 .7 3 1 .7 2 7 .7 2 8 .0 2 3 .9 3 8 .2 span 1983 .. . . p 4 1 .4 p 5 1 .3 O ver 1981 .. . . 6 4 .8 6 5 .9 6 7 .2 6 7 .7 6 7 .2 6 7 .5 5 1 .3 3 9 .0 3 3 .9 3 0 .1 2 7 .7 2 4 .2 6 - m o n th 1982 ... . 2 1 .8 2 7 .4 2 7 .4 2 9 .8 2 8 .8 3 0 .1 2 4 .2 2 1 .0 2 4 .7 2 8 .2 » 2 9 .3 » 3 3 .3 span 1983 .. . . O ver 1981 .. . . 7 3 .9 7 1 .0 7 0 .4 6 2 .1 5 0 .0 4 3 .3 3 5 .2 3 3 .6 3 1 .5 2 7 .2 2 7 .7 2 5 .8 1 2 - m o n th 1982 .. . . 2 3 .1 2 3 .1 2 1 .2 1 8 .8 1 8 .0 2 1 .0 2 4 .7 » 2 2 .8 » 2 7 .2 span 1983 .. . . p = Note : p r e lim in a r y F ig u r e s a re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c o m p o n e n t s a r e c o u n t e d a s r is in g .) D a ta a r e c e n t e r e d w ith in th e s p a n s . S e e th e “ D e fin itio n s ” th e p e rc e n t of in d u s tr ie s w ith e m p lo y m e n t r is in g . ( H a lf of th e unchanged in th is s e c t io n . 71 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA N a t i o n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor from monthly reports of unem ployment insurance activity prepared by State agencies. Rail road unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 18 . Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [A ll ite m s e x c e p t a v e r a g e b e n e f it s a m o u n t s a r e in th o u s a n d s ] 1982 1983 It e m Feb. M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly A ug. S e p t. N ov. O c t. Dec. Jan. F e b .» A ll p r o g r a m s : In s u r e d u n e m p l o y m e n t ...................................... 4 ,7 2 3 4 ,8 9 2 4 ,7 6 0 4 ,3 8 8 4 ,3 2 7 4 ,4 9 5 4 ,3 9 8 4 ,2 8 3 4 ,3 9 1 4 ,6 3 5 5 ,0 7 4 5 ,4 5 9 5 ,4 3 6 S t a t e u n e m p lo y m e n t I n s u r a n c e p r o g r a m : 1 In itia l c l a i m s 2 ............................................................. 2 ,2 7 2 2 ,4 1 8 2 ,3 4 7 1 ,9 8 9 2 ,3 9 9 2 ,6 5 5 2 ,3 5 8 2 ,3 4 2 2 ,4 4 3 2 ,6 6 1 3 ,0 8 0 3 ,1 4 3 2 ,1 4 2 ................................................ 4 ,3 7 6 4 ,2 8 2 4 ,0 6 7 3 ,7 2 9 3 ,7 0 7 3 ,9 1 2 3 ,8 3 1 3 ,7 1 2 3 ,8 2 8 4 ,1 5 6 4 ,5 8 1 4 ,9 2 3 4 ,7 5 9 ................... 5 .0 4 .9 4 .6 4 .3 4 .3 4 .6 4 .4 4 .2 4 .4 4 .7 5 .2 5 .6 5 .5 1 5 ,6 3 1 1 8 ,1 4 4 1 6 ,1 5 8 1 3 ,6 7 9 1 4 ,6 4 8 1 4 ,6 5 5 1 5 ,0 1 5 1 4 ,5 4 7 1 3 ,7 8 6 r 1 5 ,1 7 0 1 7 ,8 7 3 1 7 ,0 9 7 1 6 ,0 1 5 $ 1 1 8 .6 4 $ 1 1 7 .2 8 $ 1 1 8 .9 7 $ 1 2 0 .7 8 r $ 1 2 2 .8 1 '$ 1 2 3 . 4 3 $ 1 2 3 .4 2 $ 1 2 5 .9 3 $ 1 2 6 .4 4 $ 1 , 6 9 2 , 1 5 0 $ 1 ,6 7 9 ,3 7 8 $ 1 ,7 4 6 ,1 9 5 $ 1 ,7 1 0 ,5 7 3 $ 1 ,6 4 7 ,3 4 3 '$ 1 , 8 2 0 , 0 1 9 $ 2 , 1 3 5 ,3 0 2 $ 2 ,0 8 7 ,8 1 9 $ 1 , 9 7 0 ,4 8 4 I n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ( a v e r a g e w e e k ly v o lu m e ) R a te o f in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t W e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t e d . A v e r a g e w e e k ly b e n e f it a m o u n t f o r to t a l u n e m p l o y m e n t ................................ T o t a l b e n e f it s p a id ................................................ $ 1 1 6 .9 5 $ 1 1 7 .1 0 $ 1 1 7 .6 1 $ 1 1 8 ,0 8 $ 1 ,7 8 1 ,8 3 0 $ 2 ,0 7 2 ,6 4 2 $ 1 ,8 4 9 ,8 8 1 $ 1 , 5 7 3 ,4 4 4 S t a t e u n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e p r o g r a m : 1 ( S e a s o n a lly a d ju s t e d d a ta ) In itia l c l a i m s 2 ............................................................ 2 ,3 5 4 2 ,5 2 1 2 ,4 4 2 2 ,3 7 9 2 ,5 2 8 2 ,3 1 7 2 ,8 1 4 2 ,9 0 2 2 ,6 8 8 2 ,6 8 0 2 ,5 8 6 2 ,1 8 7 2 ,2 1 7 3 ,6 4 4 3 ,7 7 7 3 ,9 3 9 3 ,9 2 5 3 ,9 9 5 3 ,9 5 9 4 ,1 3 7 4 ,4 4 6 4 ,6 8 0 4 ,6 1 8 4 ,3 5 5 3 ,9 8 0 3 ,9 7 9 4 .2 4 .3 4 .5 4 .5 4 .6 4 .5 4 .7 5.1 5 .3 5 .3 5 .0 4 .6 4 .6 In s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ( a v e r a g e w e e k ly v o lu m e ) ................................................ R a t e o f in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ................... U n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t io n f o r e x s e r v ic e m e n :3 In itia l c l a i m s 1 ............................................................ 8 10 9 8 10 10 11 11 10 17 24 21 16 13 11 10 9 8 7 7 8 9 14 26 37 37 In s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ( a v e r a g e w e e k ly v o lu m e ) ................................................ W e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t e d T o t a l b e n e f it s p a id . 49 48 37 31 29 25 24 25 28 33 90 126 136 ................................................ $ 5 ,3 0 4 $ 5 ,1 4 1 $ 4 ,0 1 3 $ 3 ,3 9 5 $ 3 ,3 1 4 $ 2 ,8 2 1 $ 2 ,7 9 3 $ 2 ,9 0 0 r $ 3 ,3 6 6 '$ 4 , 0 0 6 $ 1 1 ,1 9 1 $ 1 5 ,8 6 1 $ 1 7 ,1 5 1 16 10 U n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t io n f o r F e d e r a l c iv ilia n e m p lo y e e s : 4 In itia l c l a i m s ................................................................ 12 13 13 11 14 13 12 13 16 14 15 40 38 33 29 28 29 27 26 28 31 33 In s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ( a v e r a g e w e e k ly v o lu m e ) ................................................ W e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t e d T o t a l b e n e f it s p a id 35 33 . 154 172 146 120 123 120 118 111 r 110 126 146 135 125 ................................................ $ 1 7 ,5 1 7 $ 1 9 ,6 7 7 $ 1 6 ,8 0 6 $ 1 3 ,5 2 6 $ 1 3 ,9 2 2 $ 1 3 ,4 4 5 $ 1 3 ,1 4 0 $ 1 2 ,3 0 3 r $ 1 2 ,1 4 4 $ 1 4 ,0 2 3 $ 1 6 ,1 1 4 $ 1 5 ,3 8 1 $ 1 4 ,5 2 8 11 9 5 5 36 68 68 14 20 17 17 20 7 R a ilr o a d u n e m p lo y m e n t in s u ra n c e : A p p l i c a t i o n s ................................................................ I n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ( a v e r a g e w e e k ly v o lu m e ) ................................................ N u m b e r o f p a y m e n ts T o t a l b e n e f it s p a id 67 ......................................... A v e r a g e a m o u n t o f b e n e fit p a y m e n t ... ................................................ 65 57 44 44 55 55 61 82 81 83 102 72 140 154 130 95 93 100 100 137 159 162 172 219 158 $ 2 1 4 .0 7 $ 2 1 5 .7 1 $ 2 0 9 .4 8 $ 2 0 0 .7 5 $ 1 9 9 .1 5 $ 2 0 2 .5 4 $ 2 0 2 .5 4 $ 2 1 6 .1 4 $ 2 1 2 .3 5 $ 2 1 6 .5 5 $ 2 1 7 .0 0 $ 2 2 0 .3 2 $ 2 1 4 .5 4 $ 2 8 ,0 1 1 $ 3 3 ,8 5 3 $ 2 6 ,2 6 2 $ 1 9 ,1 1 0 $ 1 8 ,5 7 4 $ 1 7 ,9 9 8 $ 1 7 ,9 9 8 $ 3 1 ,1 2 3 $ 3 1 ,6 3 8 $ 3 5 ,0 6 1 $ 3 9 ,5 0 0 $ 4 4 ,5 1 4 $ 3 3 ,1 0 0 E m p lo y m e n t s e r v i c e : 5 N e w a p p lic a t io n s a n d r e n e w a l s ................... 7 ,4 3 9 1 0 ,9 6 5 1 4 ,3 2 0 N o n fa rm p la c e m e n ts 1 ,2 3 2 1 ,9 0 2 2 ,8 0 4 ......................................... ' In itia l c la im s a n d S t a t e in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t in c lu d e d a t a u n d e r th e p r o g r a m f o r P u e r to R ic a n ja r c a n e w o rk e rs . 5 C u m u la t iv e to t a l f o r f is c a l y e a r ( O c t o b e r 1 - S e p t e m b e r 3 0 ). D a ta c o m p u t e d q u a r te r ly , Note : Data f o r p u e r l0 2 E x c lu d e s t r a n s it io n c la im s u n d e r S t a t e p r o g r a m s . p= p r e lim in a r y . 3 E x c lu d e s d a t a o n c la im s a n d p a y m e n t s m a d e j o in t ly w ith o t h e r p r o g r a m s . r= r e v is e d . 4 E x c lu d e s d a t a o n c la im s a n d p a y m e n t s m a d e j o in t ly w ith S t a t e p r o g r a m s . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 72 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r ic o a n (j v ir g in Is la n d s in c lu d e d . D a s h e s in d ic a te d a t a n o t a v a ila b le . PRICE DATA P r i c e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. It in troduced a CPI for All Urban Consumers, covering 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population, and revised the CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covering about half the new in dex population. The All Urban Consumers index covers in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, managerial, and tech nical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged belween major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Data are collected from more than 24,000 retail establishments and 24,000 tenants in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expenditures of two population groups in 1972— 73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Regional CPI’s cross classified by population size were introduced in the May 1978 R e v ie w . These indexes enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropriate population size class mea sure for their region. The cross-classified indexes are published bi monthly. (See table 21.) For details concerning the 1978 revision of the CPI, see T h e C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x : C o n c ep ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Y ears, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). As of January 1976, the Producer Price Index incorporated a re vised weighting structure reflecting 1972 values of shipments. Additional data and analyses of price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P r ic e I n d e x es, both monthly publications of the Bureau. For a discussion of the general method of computing producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M eth o d s, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 7. For consumer prices, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s (1976), chapter 13. See also John F. Early, “Improving the measurement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , April 1978. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “Industry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , August 1965. Beginning with the January 1983 data, tables 20 through 22 introduce a new treatment of homeownership costs into the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) will not be af fected by this change until 1985. For an explanation of the change, see “Changing the treatment of shelter costs for homeowners in the CPI” by Robert Gillingham and Walter Lane in the June 1982 issue of the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w and “Labor Month in the Review” in the March 1983 issue. Additional information appears in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t, January 1983. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 19. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-82 [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ] F ood and A ll i t e m s A p p a re l an d H o u s in g b e v e ra g e s T ra n s p o rta tio n M e d ic a l c a r e O th e r g o o d s E n t e r t a in m e n t upkeep a n d s e r v ic e s Y ear P e rc e n t In d e x 1967 ............................. 1 0 0 .0 1968 ............................. 1 0 4 .2 4 .2 P e rc e n t In d e x change change 1 0 0 .0 change 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .6 3 .6 P e rc e n t P e rc e n t In d e x In d e x change 1 0 0 .0 P e rc e n t In d e x change 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .0 4 .0 1 0 5 .4 5 .4 1 0 3 .2 P e rc e n t In d e x change 1 0 0 .0 3 .2 1 0 6 .1 P e rc e n t In d e x change 1 0 0 .0 6.1 P e rc e n t In d e x change 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .7 5 .7 1 0 5 .2 5 .2 1969 ............................. 1 0 9 .8 5 .4 1 0 8 .8 5 .0 1 1 0 .4 6 .2 1 1 1 .5 5 .8 1 0 7 .2 3 .9 1 1 3 .4 6 .9 1 1 1 .0 5 .0 1 1 0 .4 4 .9 1970 ............................. 1 1 6 .3 5 .9 1 1 4 .7 5 .4 1 1 8 .2 7.1 1 1 6 .1 4.1 1 1 2 .7 5.1 1 2 0 .6 6 .3 1 1 6 .7 5.1 1 1 6 .8 5 .8 4 .3 3.1 1 2 3 .4 4 .8 1971 ............................. 1 2 1 .3 5 .3 1 2 2 .4 1972 ............................. 1 2 5 .3 3 .3 1 2 3 .2 4.1 1 2 8 .1 3 .8 1 2 2 .3 2.1 1 1 9 .9 1.1 1 3 2 .5 3 .2 1 2 6 .5 2 .9 1 2 7 .5 1973 ............................. 1 3 3 .1 6 .2 1 3 9 .5 1 3 .2 1 3 3 .7 4 .4 1 2 6 .8 3 .7 1 2 3 .8 3 .3 1 3 7 .7 3 .9 1 3 0 .0 2 .8 1 3 2 .5 3 .9 1974 ............................. 1 4 7 .7 1 1 .0 1 5 8 .7 1 3 .8 1 4 8 .8 1 1 .3 1 3 6 .2 7 .4 1 3 7 .7 1 1 .2 1 5 0 .5 9 .3 1 3 9 .8 7 .5 1 4 2 .0 7 .2 1975 ............................. 1 6 1 .2 9.1 1 7 2 .1 8 .4 1 6 4 .5 1 0 .6 1 4 2 .3 4 .5 1 5 0 .6 9 .4 1 6 8 .6 1 2 .0 1 5 2 .2 8 .9 1 5 3 .9 8 .4 1976 ............................. 1 7 0 .5 5 .8 1 7 7 .4 3.1 1 7 4 .6 6.1 1 4 7 .6 3 .7 1 6 5 .5 9 .9 1 8 4 .7 9 .5 1 5 9 .8 5 .0 1 6 2 .7 1977 ............................. 1 8 1 .5 6 .5 1 8 8 .0 6 .0 1 8 6 .5 6 .8 1 5 4 .2 4 .5 1 7 7 .2 7.1 2 0 2 .4 9 .6 1 6 7 .7 4 .9 1 7 2 .2 5 .8 1978 ............................. 1 9 5 .3 7 .6 2 0 6 .2 9 .7 2 0 2 .6 8 .6 1 5 9 .5 3 .4 1 8 5 .8 4 .9 2 1 9 .4 8 .4 1 7 6 .2 5.1 1 8 3 .2 6 .4 7 .2 1 1 8 .3 4 .4 1 1 9 .8 3 .2 1 1 8 .6 5 .2 1 2 8 .4 6 .5 1 2 2 .9 4 .2 5 .7 1979 ............................. 2 1 7 .7 1 1 .5 2 2 8 .7 1 0 .9 2 2 7 .5 1 2 .3 1 6 6 .4 4 .3 2 1 2 .8 1 4 .5 2 4 0 .1 9 .4 1 8 7 .6 6 .5 1 9 6 .3 1980 ............................. 2 4 7 .0 1 3 .5 2 4 8 .7 8 .7 2 6 3 .2 1 5 .7 1 7 7 .4 6 .6 2 5 0 .5 1 7 .7 2 6 7 .2 1 1 .3 2 0 3 .7 8 .5 2 1 3 .6 8 .8 1981 ............................. 2 7 2 .3 1 0 .2 2 6 7 .8 7 .7 2 9 3 .2 1 1 .4 1 8 6 .6 5 .2 2 8 1 .3 1 2 .3 2 9 5 .1 1 0 .4 2 1 9 .0 7 .5 2 3 3 .3 9 .2 1982 ............................. 2 8 8 .6 6 .0 2 7 8 .5 4 .0 3 1 4 .7 7 .3 1 9 0 .9 2 .3 2 9 3 .1 4 .2 3 2 6 .9 1 0 .8 2 3 2 .4 6.1 2 5 7 .0 1 0 .2 20. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry U rb a n W a g e E a rn e rs a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s 1982 1983 1982 1983 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. D ec. Jan. Feb. Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. A ll i t e m s ......................................................................................................................................... 2 8 3 .4 2 9 3 .3 2 9 4 .1 2 9 3 .6 2 9 2 .4 2 9 3 .1 2 9 3 .2 2 8 2 .9 2 9 2 .8 2 9 3 .6 2 9 3 .2 2 9 2 .0 c 2 9 2 .1 2 9 2 .3 F o o d a n d b e v e ra g e s ............................................................................................................ 2 7 5 .8 2 8 0 .1 2 7 9 .6 2 7 9 .1 2 7 9 .1 2 8 0 .7 2 8 1 .6 2 7 6 .0 2 8 0 .4 2 7 9 .9 2 7 9 .4 2 7 9 .6 2 8 1 .1 2 8 2 .1 Jan. Feb. H o u s i n g ............................................................................................................................................ 3 0 7 .3 3 1 9 .7 3 2 0 .7 3 1 9 .0 3 1 6 .3 3 1 7 .9 3 1 8 .5 3 0 6 .7 3 2 0 .0 3 2 1 .2 3 1 9 .6 3 1 6 .8 3 1 7 .0 A p p a r e l a n d u p k e e p ............................................................................................................... 1 8 8 .0 1 9 4 .9 1 9 5 .5 1 9 5 .4 1 9 3 .6 1 9 1 .0 1 9 2 .0 1 8 7 .3 1 8 4 .1 1 9 4 .6 1 9 4 .4 1 9 2 .8 1 9 0 .0 1 9 1 .0 T r a n s p o r t a t io n 2 8 8 .0 2 9 5 .3 2 9 5 .5 2 9 5 .8 2 9 4 .8 2 9 3 .0 2 8 9 .9 2 8 9 .6 2 9 6 .9 2 9 7 .0 2 9 7 .3 2 9 6 .3 2 9 4 .3 2 9 1 .1 M e d ic a l c a r e ............................................................................................................................ ............................................................................................................................... E n t e r t a in m e n t 3 1 6 .2 3 3 6 .0 3 3 8 .7 3 4 2 .2 3 4 4 .3 3 4 7 .8 3 5 1 .3 3 1 4 .9 3 3 3 .9 3 3 6 .5 3 3 9 .8 3 4 1 .8 3 4 5 .3 3 1 7 .6 3 4 8 .9 ............................................................................................................................ 2 3 1 .2 2 3 8 .3 2 4 0 .3 2 3 9 .9 2 4 0 .1 2 4 1 .5 2 4 3 .1 2 2 8 .1 2 3 4 .8 2 3 6 .5 2 3 6 .1 2 3 6 .5 2 3 7 .7 2 3 9 .5 O t h e r g o o d s a n d s e r v i c e s .................................................................................................. 2 5 0 .3 2 6 6 .6 2 7 1 .2 2 7 3 .8 2 7 6 .6 2 7 9 .9 2 8 1 .6 2 4 7 .1 2 6 2 .8 2 6 7 .8 2 7 0 .9 2 7 4 .0 2 7 7 .8 2 7 9 .6 C o m m o d i t i e s ............................................................................................................................... 2 6 7 .8 2 6 7 .7 2 6 7 .2 2 6 6 .7 2 5 9 .9 2 6 7 .0 2 6 7 .9 2 5 9 .5 2 6 6 .6 2 6 7 .5 2 6 8 .2 2 6 8 .2 2 6 8 .0 2 6 7 .8 ......................................................... 2 4 8 .1 2 5 6 .1 2 5 7 .6 2 5 8 .2 2 5 8 .0 2 5 6 .5 2 5 5 .2 2 4 8 .6 2 5 6 .8 2 5 8 .3 2 5 8 .9 2 5 8 .8 2 5 7 .8 2 5 7 .1 N o n d u r a b le s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s ...................................................... 2 6 5 .3 2 6 9 .9 2 7 1 .0 2 7 1 .4 2 7 0 .0 2 6 7 .4 2 6 5 .2 2 6 7 .5 2 7 1 .8 2 7 2 .9 2 7 3 .3 2 7 1 .9 2 6 9 .3 2 6 6 .9 D u r a b le s 2 3 3 .7 2 4 4 .1 2 4 6 .0 2 4 6 .6 2 4 7 .3 2 4 7 .3 2 4 7 .1 2 3 2 .5 2 4 3 .6 2 4 5 .4 2 4 6 .2 2 4 7 .0 2 4 7 .3 2 4 7 .8 3 3 8 .9 3 2 5 .5 3 4 0 .5 3 4 1 .2 3 3 9 .3 3 3 6 .2 3 3 6 .9 3 3 7 .8 2 1 8 .1 2 2 6 .4 2 2 8 .4 2 2 9 .7 2 3 0 .2 2 3 1 .7 2 3 2 .5 C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s S e r v ic e s ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................................... 3 2 5 .3 3 3 9 .7 3 4 0 .3 3 3 8 .6 3 3 5 .6 3 3 7 .9 R e n t, r e s i d e n t i a l ......................................................................................................... 2 1 8 .6 2 2 6 .9 2 2 8 .9 2 3 0 .2 2 3 0 .8 2 3 2 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 H o u s e h o ld s e r v ic e s le s s r e n t o f s h e lt e r ( 1 2 / 8 2 = 100) ................ T r a n s p o r t a t io n s e r v i c e s ......................................................................................... 2 8 7 .6 2 9 8 .7 3 0 0 .5 1 0 1 .0 2 9 9 .9 2 9 9 .4 3 0 0 .1 2 9 9 .9 M e d ic a l c a r e s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................ 3 4 2 .4 3 6 4 .0 3 6 6 .9 3 7 1 .0 3 7 3 .4 3 7 7 .4 3 8 1 .5 3 4 0 .6 3 6 1 .1 3 6 3 .9 3 6 7 .7 3 7 0 .1 3 7 4 .0 3 7 8 .2 O t h e r s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................ 2 5 3 .0 2 6 6 .3 2 6 8 .4 2 6 9 .2 2 7 0 .0 2 7 1 .5 2 7 2 .6 2 5 1 .3 2 8 6 .7 2 6 4 .0 2 6 6 .1 2 6 6 .8 2 6 7 .5 2 6 9 .1 2 7 0 .2 2 9 2 .6 2 9 2 .6 2 9 6 .0 2 9 8 .4 2 9 7 .5 2 9 6 .7 2 9 7 .1 2 9 6 .9 S p e c ia l in d e x e s : A ll ite m s le s s f o o d ................................................................................................................... A ll ite m s le s s m o r t g a g e in t e r e s t c o s t s ...................................................................... C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d ......................................................................................................... N o n d u r a b le s le s s f o o d 2 8 2 .1 2 9 2 .9 2 9 4 .0 2 9 3 .6 2 9 2 .1 2 6 7 .1 2 7 6 .7 2 7 8 .0 2 7 8 .2 2 7 8 .4 2 4 6 .0 2 5 3 .9 2 5 5 .4 2 5 6 .0 2 5 5 .8 2 5 4 .4 2 5 3 .2 2 8 1 .7 2 9 2 .8 2 9 3 .9 2 9 3 .5 2 9 2 .1 2 9 1 .9 2 9 1 .9 2 6 7 .2 2 7 6 .7 2 7 7 .9 2 7 8 .1 2 7 8 .3 c 2 7 8 .9 2 7 9 .0 2 4 6 .6 2 5 4 .7 2 5 6 .1 2 5 6 .7 2 5 6 .6 2 5 5 .7 2 5 5 .0 ......................................................................................................... 2 6 0 .1 2 6 4 .6 2 6 5 .7 2 6 6 .1 2 6 4 .7 2 6 2 .4 2 6 0 .5 2 6 2 .2 2 6 6 .5 2 6 7 .5 2 6 7 .9 2 6 6 .6 2 6 4 .2 2 6 2 .2 N o n d u r a b le s le s s f o o d a n d a p p a r e l ............................................................................ 3 0 0 .5 3 0 4 .2 3 0 5 .5 3 0 6 .2 3 0 5 .2 3 0 3 .1 2 9 9 .9 3 0 2 .0 3 0 5 .6 3 0 6 .9 3 0 7 .5 3 0 6 .5 3 0 4 .4 3 0 1 .1 2 7 5 .2 2 7 4 .6 2 7 2 .8 2 7 7 .2 2 7 7 .4 2 7 7 .4 2 7 6 .8 2 7 6 .2 2 7 5 .6 N o n d u r a b le s ............................................................................................................................... 2 7 1 .7 2 7 6 .2 2 7 6 .5 2 7 6 .4 2 7 5 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .7 1 0 1 .0 3 2 1 .1 3348 3 3 5 .1 3 3 2 .9 3 2 9 .3 3 3 1 .4 3 3 2 .2 3 3 5 .8 3 3 6 .3 3 3 4 .0 3 3 0 .4 3 3 0 .7 3 3 1 .2 ............................................................................ 2 6 5 .1 2 6 8 .0 2 6 6 .6 2 6 5 .3 2 6 4 .8 2 6 5 .7 2 6 6 .6 2 6 4 .0 2 6 7 .0 2 6 5 .5 2 6 4 .4 2 6 4 .0 2 6 5 .0 2 6 6 .0 S e le c t e d b e e f c u t s ................................................................................................................... 2 7 1 .7 2 7 9 .3 2 7 2 .0 2 7 1 .9 2 7 0 .0 2 7 1 .2 2 7 2 .0 2 7 3 .1 2 8 0 .7 2 7 3 .2 2 7 3 .2 2 7 1 .2 2 7 2 .5 S e r v ic e s le s s r e n t o f s h e lt e r ( 1 2 / 8 2 = 100) ......................................................... S e r v ic e s le s s m e d ic a l c a r e ................................................................................................ D o m e s t ic a lly p r o d u c e d f a r m f o o d s E n e rg y 1 3 2 1 .6 2 7 3 .5 ......................................................................................................................................... 4 1 3 .0 4 2 4 .2 4 2 5 .0 4 2 2 .6 4 1 9 .9 4 1 4 .5 4 0 6 .7 4 1 5 .4 4 2 5 .6 4 2 6 .0 4 2 3 .7 4 2 0 .8 4 1 5 .1 4 0 6 .9 E n e r g y c o m m o d i t i e s 1 ...................................................................................................... 4 4 0 .1 4 3 3 .3 4 3 1 .9 4 3 1 .6 4 2 5 .4 4 1 4 .9 4 0 1 .6 4 4 0 .7 4 3 3 .8 c 4 3 2 .3 4 3 1 .8 4 2 5 .6 c 4 1 5 .2 4 0 1 .9 A ll ite m s le s s e n e r g y ............................................................................................................ A ll ite m s le s s f o o d a n d e n e r g y ...................................................................... 2 7 3 .4 2 8 3 .1 2 8 4 .0 2 8 3 .6 2 8 2 .5 2 8 3 .8 2 8 4 .7 2 7 2 .1 2 8 1 .9 2 8 2 .8 2 8 2 .5 0 2 8 2 .2 c 2 8 2 .2 2 8 3 .0 2 6 9 .5 2 8 0 .4 2 8 1 .5 2 8 1 .2 2 7 9 .9 2 8 1 .1 2 8 2 .0 2 6 8 .0 2 7 9 .2 2 8 0 .4 2 8 0 .2 2 7 9 .0 c 2 7 9 .3 2 8 0 .2 C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d e n e r g y ......................................................... 2 2 4 .5 2 3 4 .1 2 3 6 .0 2 3 6 .6 2 3 7 .1 2 3 7 .1 2 3 7 .9 2 2 3 .6 2 3 3 .6 2 3 5 .4 2 3 6 .2 2 3 6 .8 c 2 3 7 .1 2 3 9 .9 S e r v ic e s le s s e n e r g y ......................................................................................... 3 2 1 .9 3 3 4 .4 3 3 4 .4 3 3 3 .1 3 2 9 .6 3 3 1 .8 3 3 2 .9 3 2 2 .2 3 3 4 .8 3 3 5 .2 3 3 3 .7 3 3 0 .1 3 3 0 .5 3 3 1 .4 $ 0 ,3 5 3 0 .3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 4 0 $ 0 ,3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 4 2 $ 0 ,3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 5 3 $ 0 ,3 4 2 $ 0 ,3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 4 1 $ 0 ,3 4 2 $ 0 ,3 4 2 $ 0 ,3 4 2 P u r c h a s in g p o w e r o f th e c o n s u m e r d o lla r , 1 9 6 7 = S e e f o o t n o t e s a t e n d o f t a b le . 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis $1 ................................ 20. Continued— Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] U r b a n W a g e E a r n e r s a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry FO O D A N D B EVER AG ES 1982 ............................................................................................................... 1983 1982 1983 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 2 7 5 .8 2 8 0 .1 2 7 9 .6 2 7 9 .1 2 7 9 .1 2 8 0 .7 2 8 1 .6 2 7 6 .0 2 8 0 .4 2 7 9 .9 2 7 9 .4 2 7 9 .6 2 8 1 .1 2 8 2 .1 2 8 3 .3 2 8 7 .6 2 8 7 .0 2 8 6 .4 2 8 6 .5 2 8 8 .1 2 8 9 .0 2 8 3 .4 2 8 7 .7 2 8 7 .2 2 8 6 .6 2 8 6 .7 2 8 8 .4 2 8 9 .3 ............................................................................................................................................ 2 7 8 .0 2 8 0 .6 2 7 9 .4 2 7 8 .3 2 7 7 .8 2 7 9 .3 2 8 0 .3 2 7 7 .0 2 7 9 .7 2 7 8 .5 2 7 7 .4 2 7 7 .1 2 7 8 .6 2 7 9 .7 C e r e a ls a n d b a k e r y p r o d u c t s ............................................................................................... 2 8 0 .9 2 8 4 .6 2 8 5 .0 2 8 5 .5 2 8 6 .3 2 8 7 .8 2 8 8 .7 2 7 9 .8 2 8 3 .4 2 8 3 .7 2 8 4 .1 2 8 4 .9 2 8 6 .4 2 8 7 .4 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .3 1 5 4 .0 1 5 3 .2 1 5 3 .4 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .0 1 5 5 .0 1 5 5 .2 1 5 4 .9 1 5 4 .1 1 5 4 .2 1 5 4 .8 1 5 4 .7 Food ............................................................................................................................................................... Food at hom e C e r e a ls a n d c e r e a l p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................... 1 0 0 ) ................................... 1 3 9 .1 1 4 1 .4 1 3 9 .9 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .5 1 4 0 .3 1 3 9 .8 1 3 9 .6 1 4 1 .8 1 4 0 .3 1 3 9 .5 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .1 ......................................................................................... 1 6 4 .8 1 6 6 .9 1 6 7 .5 1 6 7 .2 1 6 8 .0 1 6 8 .1 1 6 9 .2 1 6 6 .8 1 6 9 .0 1 6 9 .7 1 6 9 .4 1 7 0 .1 1 7 0 .3 1 7 1 .4 1 5 2 .4 1 4 8 .2 1 4 7 .6 1 4 6 .1 1 4 5 .3 1 4 6 .5 1 4 5 .3 1 5 3 .6 1 4 9 .4 1 4 8 .7 1 4 7 .3 1 4 6 .5 1 4 7 .6 1 4 6 .3 F lo u r a n d p r e p a r e d f lo u r m ix e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 C e re a l (1 2 /7 7 - 100) R ic e , p a s ta , a n d c o r n m e a l ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ............................................ ............................................................................ 1 4 6 .8 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .7 1 5 0 .3 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .7 1 5 2 .4 1 4 5 .7 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 ,6 1 4 9 .1 1 4 9 .6 1 5 0 .5 1 5 1 .2 W h ite b r e a d .................................................................................................................. 2 4 3 .8 2 4 6 .1 2 4 6 .7 2 4 6 .8 2 4 8 .1 2 4 8 .9 2 4 9 .8 2 4 0 .0 2 4 1 .9 2 4 2 .6 2 4 2 .6 2 4 3 .9 2 4 4 .6 2 4 5 .7 O th e r b re a d s ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 4 3 .7 1 4 7 .1 1 4 6 .5 1 4 7 .3 1 4 7 .6 1 4 7 .7 1 4 8 .7 1 4 5 .5 1 4 9 .0 1 4 8 .4 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .6 1 4 9 .7 1 5 0 .6 1 4 6 .4 1 4 9 .5 1 5 1 .0 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .6 1 5 2 .6 1 5 3 .1 1 4 2 .8 1 4 5 .6 1 4 7 .1 1 4 6 .9 1 4 7 .6 1 4 8 .6 1 4 9 .1 1 5 0 .1 B a k e ry p ro d u c ts ( 1 2 /7 7 - 100) 100) ......................................................................... F r e s h b is c u its , r o lls , a n d m u ff in s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - ......................................... 1 4 7 .0 1 5 0 .3 1 5 0 .5 1 5 1 .5 1 5 3 .1 1 5 4 .0 1 4 5 .8 1 4 8 .7 1 4 8 .5 1 4 8 .8 1 4 9 .7 1 5 1 .3 1 5 2 .2 ...................................................................................... 1 4 9 .2 1 5 0 .9 1 5 2 .2 1 5 3 .6 1 5 3 .7 1 5 3 .6 1 5 3 .7 1 5 0 .1 1 5 2 .1 1 5 3 .2 1 5 4 .5 1 5 4 .6 1 5 4 .6 1 5 4 .6 1 0 0 ) ................ 1 3 5 .4 1 4 0 .8 1 4 1 .9 1 4 3 .3 14 4 .1 1 4 4 .9 1 4 6 .5 1 3 6 .8 1 4 2 .3 1 4 3 .3 1 4 4 .6 1 4 5 .5 1 4 6 .4 1 4 7 .9 1 4 7 .0 1 4 9 .2 1 4 8 .7 1 4 9 .6 1 5 0 .4 1 5 2 .3 1 5 4 .2 1 4 9 .3 1 5 1 .8 1 5 1 .4 1 5 2 .3 1 5 2 .9 1 5 4 .9 1 5 6 .8 F re s h c a k e s a n d c u p c a k e s (1 2 /7 7 C o o k ie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 1 0 0 ) ................................ 100) C ra c k e rs , b re a d , a n d c r a c k e r p ro d u c ts ( 1 2 /7 7 - F r e s h s w e e t r o lls , c o f f e e c a k e , a n d d o n u t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) .. . . F r o z e n a n d r e f r ig e r a t e d b a k e r y p r o d u c t s ................... 1 5 1 .5 1 5 4 .7 1 5 4 .4 1 5 5 .8 1 5 5 .2 1 5 6 .8 1 5 5 .7 1 4 4 .8 1 4 8 .1 1 4 7 .6 1 4 8 .6 1 4 8 .4 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .0 M e a ts , p o u lt r y , fis h , a n d e g g s ............................................................................................... 2 5 6 .8 2 6 7 .8 2 6 5 .1 2 6 3 .6 2 6 1 .6 2 6 3 .0 2 6 4 .0 2 5 6 .4 2 6 7 .7 2 6 5 .0 2 6 3 .5 2 6 1 .5 2 6 2 .8 2 6 3 .9 M e a ts , p o u lt r y , a n d f i s h .................................................................................................. 2 6 1 .2 2 7 5 .3 2 7 2 .4 2 7 0 .8 2 6 8 .8 2 7 0 .3 2 7 1 .7 2 6 0 .7 2 7 5 .1 2 7 2 .1 2 7 0 .6 2 6 8 .6 2 7 0 .0 2 7 1 .4 2 6 0 .2 2 7 8 .4 2 7 4 .9 2 7 3 .6 2 7 1 .1 2 7 2 .2 2 7 3 .2 2 5 9 .7 2 7 7 .9 2 7 4 .6 2 7 3 .2 2 7 0 .8 2 7 1 .8 2 7 2 .9 2 7 9 .8 2 7 2 .7 2 7 2 .5 2 7 0 .6 2 7 1 .8 2 7 2 .9 a n d fr e s h p ie s , ta r t s , a n d t u r n o v e r s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - M e a ts 100) ............................................................................................................................... 2 7 2 .0 2 7 0 .2 2 7 1 .3 2 7 2 .2 2 7 2 .2 2 7 9 .1 2 6 5 .0 2 6 5 .4 2 6 2 .4 2 6 3 .0 2 6 1 .7 2 6 2 .7 2 6 1 .8 2 6 6 .3 2 6 7 .0 2 6 3 .7 2 6 4 .2 2 6 2 .7 2 6 3 .7 2 6 3 .0 ..................................................................................................... 2 8 5 .8 2 8 6 .9 2 8 1 .9 2 8 1 .7 2 8 1 .0 2 8 1 .7 2 8 6 .9 2 9 5 .0 2 9 5 .9 2 9 0 .4 2 9 0 .3 2 8 9 .6 2 9 0 .4 2 9 5 .9 R o u n d ro a s t ..................................................................................................... 2 4 5 .3 2 4 1 .4 2 4 3 .0 G r o u n d b e e f o t h e r th a n c a n n e d 2 4 5 .4 2 3 7 .9 2 4 2 .6 2 4 8 .9 2 4 4 .3 2 4 6 .4 R o u n d s te a k ..................................................................................................... 2 5 6 .1 2 6 2 .0 2 5 3 .4 2 5 7 .1 2 5 3 .5 2 5 5 .1 2 5 9 .8 2 5 4 .4 2606 2 5 1 .0 2 5 5 .1 2 5 1 .3 2 5 3 .0 2 5 8 .0 S ir lo in s t e a k ..................................................................................................... 2 5 7 .1 2 8 5 .2 2 6 6 .3 2 5 9 .8 2 5 3 .0 2 5 3 .1 2 6 0 .3 2 5 7 .8 2 8 6 .7 2 6 8 .0 2 6 0 .6 2 5 2 .7 2 5 4 .5 2 6 1 .7 2 4 3 .3 2 4 9 .2 2 4 0 .5 2 4 6 .6 2 4 5 .3 ................................................ 1 6 1 .4 1 6 9 .3 1 6 4 .9 1 6 4 .1 1 6 2 .8 1 6 3 .7 1 6 3 .5 1 6 3 .4 1 6 2 .4 1 6 1 .2 1 6 2 .1 16 2 .1 P o r k ............................................................................................................................... 2 3 8 .9 2 7 7 .1 2 7 7 .9 2 7 4 .2 2 7 0 .1 2 7 2 .0 2 7 3 .6 2 3 8 .5 2 7 6 .3 2 7 7 .0 2 7 3 .4 2 6 9 .5 2 7 1 .4 2 7 2 .9 2 9 8 .7 3 2 0 .7 3 1 7 .7 3 0 4 .0 2 9 6 .1 2 9 5 .5 2 9 9 .5 2 5 0 .3 O th e r b e e f a n d v e a l ( 1 2 /7 7 - 100) 1 5 9 .7 1 6 7 .6 B a c o n ..................................................................................................................... 2 4 5 .6 3 1 5 .5 3 1 2 .4 2 9 0 .8 2 9 0 .8 2 9 4 .5 2 4 9 .3 C h o p s ..................................................................................................................... 2 2 2 .1 2 5 2 .5 2 5 2 .3 2 4 9 .0 2 4 2 .4 2 4 5 .6 2 5 2 .1 2 2 0 .2 2 5 0 .6 2 5 0 .0 2 4 7 .0 2 4 0 .8 2 4 3 .9 H a m o th e r th a n c a n n e d ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 1 0 7 .0 1 2 2 .1 1 2 6 .5 1 2 7 .3 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 .2 1 2 5 .0 1 0 4 .7 1 1 9 .1 1 2 3 .4 1 2 4 .2 1 2 6 .4 1 2 6 .0 ............................................................................................................... 3 0 0 .0 3 4 1 .2 3 4 2 .1 3 3 7 .7 3 3 2 .0 3 3 3 .6 3 3 3 .9 3 0 1 .0 3 4 2 .5 3 4 3 .2 3 3 8 .5 3 3 2 .5 3 3 5 .0 3 3 4 .8 2 6 3 .5 2 7 1 .4 2 7 5 .0 2 7 6 .9 2 7 9 .7 2 8 0 .6 Sausage C a n n e d h a m ..................................................................................................... 2 4 6 .1 2 5 9 .7 2 6 7 .2 2 7 0 .5 2 7 2 .4 2 7 5 .2 2 7 6 .2 2 4 9 .9 1 2 1 .7 1 0 0 ) ...................................................................... 1 3 3 .8 1 5 3 .8 1 5 1 .3 1 4 9 .6 1 4 5 .6 1 4 7 .9 1 5 0 .4 1 3 3 .1 1 5 3 .0 1 5 0 .5 1 4 8 .6 1 4 4 .9 1 4 7 .1 1 4 9 .5 O t h e r m e a t s ............................................................................................................ 2 5 8 .1 2 7 2 .1 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .6 2 6 9 .7 2 6 9 .3 2 6 9 .2 2 5 7 .4 2 7 1 .7 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .5 2 6 9 .8 2 6 8 .7 2 6 9 .0 2 5 8 .0 2 7 5 .3 2 7 4 .8 2 7 4 .4 2 6 8 .9 2 6 9 .7 2 6 9 .4 2 5 7 .1 2 7 4 .7 2 6 8 .4 2 6 8 .5 2 6 8 .6 O th e r p o rk ( 1 2 /7 7 = 2 7 4 .0 2 7 3 .8 ...................... 1 4 6 .1 1 5 6 .6 1 5 8 .5 1 5 6 .6 1 5 5 .3 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .5 1 4 6 .2 1 5 6 .6 1 5 8 .5 1 5 6 .4 1 5 5 .1 1 5 3 .9 1 5 4 .5 1 0 0 ) ...................................................... 1 3 1 .7 1 3 8 .9 1 4 0 .1 1 4 1 .3 1 4 1 .8 1 3 9 .9 1 3 9 .7 1 2 9 .7 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .9 1 3 9 .1 1 3 9 .8 1 3 7 .7 1 3 7 .8 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 1 3 7 .7 1 4 0 .5 1 3 7 .0 1 3 5 .4 1 3 4 .3 1 3 7 .4 1 3 7 .2 1 4 1 .0 1 4 3 .6 1 4 0 .6 1 3 8 .5 1 3 7 .5 1 4 0 .3 1 4 0 .1 ............................................................................................................................ 1 9 5 .7 1 9 6 .2 1 9 5 .4 1 9 2 .0 1 9 0 .4 1 9 1 .3 1 9 4 .0 1 9 3 .8 1 9 4 .2 1 9 3 .2 1 9 0 .0 1 8 8 .4 1 8 9 .4 1 9 1 .9 F ra n k fu rte rs ..................................................................................................... B o lo g n a , liv e r w u r s t , a n d s a la m i ( 1 2 / 7 7 = O t h e r lu n c h m e a t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = L a m b a n d o rg a n m e a ts ( 1 2 /7 7 = P o u lt r y 100) 1 9 6 .3 1 9 4 .8 1 9 2 .6 1 8 9 .3 1 8 5 .4 1 8 6 .8 1 9 0 .6 1 9 4 .4 1 9 2 .5 1 9 0 .3 1 8 7 .4 1 8 3 .5 1 8 5 .0 1 8 8 .4 ...................... 1 2 8 .9 1 2 7 .1 1 2 6 .8 1 2 5 .3 1 2 4 .8 1 2 5 .0 1 2 6 .2 1 2 7 .1 1 2 5 .4 1 2 4 .9 1 2 3 .5 1 2 3 .1 1 2 3 .5 1 2 4 .6 ............................................................... 1 2 3 .2 1 2 7 .9 1 2 8 .5 1 2 5 .4 1 2 6 .0 1 2 6 .3 1 2 7 .7 1 2 2 .6 1 2 7 .4 1 2 8 .0 1 2 4 .6 1 2 5 .3 1 2 5 ,7 1 2 7 .1 ..................................................................................................... 3 7 3 .8 3 6 9 .4 3 6 7 .1 3 6 6 .6 3 6 9 .6 3 7 6 .7 3 7 9 .2 3 7 3 .2 3 6 8 .4 3 6 6 .0 3 6 5 .3 3 6 8 .2 3 7 5 .1 3 7 7 .5 1 3 8 .7 1 3 8 .1 1 3 8 .4 1 3 8 .2 1 3 9 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 4 1 .3 1 4 0 .2 1 3 9 .6 1 4 1 .5 1 4 5 .0 1 4 7 .1 F r e s h w h o le c h ic k e n .................................................................................. F r e s h a n d fr o z e n c h ic k e n p a r t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = O t h e r p o u lt r y ( 1 2 / 7 7 = F is h a n d s e a f o o d 100) 100) 1 4 0 .9 1 3 9 .3 1 3 8 .6 1 3 9 .0 1 3 8 .9 1 4 0 .2 1 3 9 .1 1 4 0 .4 1 0 0 ) ................ 1 4 3 .2 1 4 1 .5 1 4 0 .5 1 4 0 .0 1 4 1 .9 1 4 5 .4 1 4 7 .6 1 4 3 .2 ............................................................................................................................................ 2 0 5 .1 1 7 5 .2 1 7 5 .8 1 7 5 .0 1 7 2 .5 1 7 2 .9 1 6 9 .3 2 0 6 .1 1 7 6 .1 1 7 6 .7 1 7 6 .2 1 7 3 .3 1 7 3 .7 1 7 0 .0 2 4 6 .5 2 4 7 .0 2 4 7 .1 2 4 7 .4 2 4 7 .8 2 4 9 .5 2 4 9 .7 2 4 5 .8 2 4 6 .3 2 4 6 .4 2 4 6 .7 2 4 7 .1 2 4 8 .9 2 4 9 .1 1 0 0 ) ...................................... C a n n e d fis h a n d s e a f o o d ( 1 2 / 7 7 = F r e s h a n d f r o z e n fis h a n d s e a f o o d ( 1 2 / 7 7 = Eggs 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .5 ......................................................... C h u c k ro a s t B e e f a n d v e a l ......................................................................................................... D a ir y p r o d u c t s ..................................................................................................................... ...................................................... 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .1 1 3 5 .0 1 3 5 .1 1 3 5 .5 1 3 6 .7 1 3 6 .7 1 3 4 .9 1 3 4 .5 1 3 4 .5 1 3 4 .6 1 3 5 .0 1 3 6 .2 1 3 6 .2 F r e s h w h o le m i l k .................................................................................................. 2 2 1 .5 2 2 0 .8 2 2 0 .8 2 2 0 .9 2 2 1 .9 2 2 3 .7 2 2 3 .4 2 2 0 .5 2 1 9 .9 2 2 0 .0 2 2 0 .1 2 2 1 .1 2 2 2 .9 2 2 2 .6 F r e s h m ilk a n d c r e a m ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) O t h e r fr e s h m ilk a n d c r e a m ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ................................... 1 3 5 .8 1 3 5 .6 1 3 5 .3 1 3 5 .4 1 3 5 .2 1 3 6 .9 1 3 7 .3 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .0 1 3 4 .7 1 3 4 .9 1 3 4 .7 1 3 6 .3 1 3 6 .8 1 0 0 ) ............................................... 1 4 4 .8 1 4 6 .1 1 4 6 .2 1 4 6 .6 1 4 6 .6 1 4 7 .1 1 4 7 .4 1 4 5 .1 1 4 6 .3 1 4 6 .5 1 4 6 .9 1 4 6 .9 1 4 7 .4 1 4 7 .7 B u t t e r ............................................................................................................................ 2 4 8 .9 2 5 2 .2 2 5 2 .6 2 5 2 .5 2 5 2 .1 2 5 3 .4 2 5 3 .6 2 5 1 .4 2 5 4 .7 2 5 5 .1 2 5 5 .1 2 5 4 .5 2 5 5 .9 2 5 6 .2 1 4 4 .8 1 4 4 .9 1 4 5 .5 P r o c e s s e d d a ir y p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 4 5 .8 1 4 4 .9 1 4 4 .7 1 4 4 .6 1 4 5 .2 1 4 5 .2 1 4 5 .0 1 0 0 ) ............................. 1 5 0 .0 1 4 9 .3 1 5 0 .4 1 5 2 .4 1 5 1 .8 1 5 2 .5 1 5 3 .1 1 4 9 .1 1 4 8 .4 1 4 9 .6 1 5 1 .5 1 5 0 .8 1 5 1 .6 1 5 2 .2 ................................................... 1 4 0 .0 1 4 1 .1 1 4 1 .0 1 4 0 .9 1 4 1 .7 1 4 1 .6 1 4 1 .6 1 4 0 .8 1 4 1 .8 1 4 1 .7 1 4 1 .5 1 4 2 .4 1 4 2 .3 1 4 2 .3 ..................................................................................................... C h e e s e ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................. Ic e c r e a m a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = O t h e r d a ir y p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 4 2 .8 1 4 4 .5 1 4 5 .5 1 4 3 .1 3 0 1 .5 2 8 4 .1 2 8 0 .7 2 7 6 .1 2 7 8 .1 2 9 7 .4 2 7 1 .3 2 7 3 .6 2 7 2 .6 2 7 4 .5 F r e s h f r u its a n d v e g e t a b l e s ............................................................................... 3 1 9 .6 2 8 3 .5 2 7 7 .4 2 6 8 .3 2 7 2 .3 2 6 9 .2 2 7 2 .0 3 1 3 .4 2 7 5 .2 2 6 8 .4 2 6 1 .0 2 6 6 .6 2 6 4 .3 2 6 7 .1 F r e s h f r u i t s ............................................................................................................... 2 9 1 .2 3 2 9 .0 3 1 7 .1 2 8 8 .9 2 7 3 .9 2 6 8 .3 2 7 0 .5 2 8 0 .1 3 1 3 .6 3 0 0 .4 2 7 5 .4 2 6 2 .5 2 5 8 .9 2 6 1 .0 2 7 9 .5 2 8 5 .5 2 5 0 .7 2 3 9 .4 2 4 3 .7 2 4 4 .2 2 4 4 .0 2 7 9 .9 2 8 6 .6 2 5 1 .9 2 3 9 .9 2 4 3 .7 2 4 4 .8 2 4 3 .9 F r u its a n d v e g e t a b le s A p p le s .................................................................................................................. 2 7 7 .6 2 7 6 .2 2 7 8 .8 2 7 5 .0 ............................................................................................................... 2 5 1 .0 2 4 0 .7 2 2 7 .8 2 4 3 .7 2 4 2 .6 2 4 1 .3 2 5 4 .0 2 4 7 .9 2 3 8 .5 2 2 6 .7 2 4 1 .9 2 4 2 .0 2 3 9 .9 2 5 0 .9 O r a n g e s ............................................................................................................... 3 1 3 .1 5 1 6 .3 5 2 0 .8 3 9 9 .6 3 1 3 .0 2 9 2 .2 2 8 6 .3 2 8 1 .1 4 6 6 .8 4 6 5 .7 3 6 0 .4 2 8 3 .0 2 6 7 .5 2 6 3 .1 O t h e r fr e s h f r u its ( 1 2 / 7 7 = ...................................................... 1 5 4 .5 1 5 2 .1 1 4 8 .0 1 4 3 .3 1 4 4 .8 1 4 3 .1 1 4 5 .1 1 4 9 .0 1 4 6 .4 1 4 2 .4 1 3 7 .5 1 3 8 .7 1 3 8 .0 1 3 9 .8 ............................................................................................... 3 4 6 .2 2 4 1 .0 2 4 0 .2 2 4 9 .1 2 7 0 .8 2 7 0 .0 2 7 3 .4 3 4 3 .5 2 4 0 .6 2 3 9 .7 2 4 8 .1 2 7 0 .4 2 6 9 .2 2 7 2 .7 2 3 7 .5 2 3 1 .5 Bananas F r e s h v e g e t a b le s 100) 2 7 2 .4 2 9 1 .5 2 6 9 .6 4 0 8 .9 2 3 6 .1 2 5 9 .2 2 5 9 .2 3 3 4 .6 3 0 1 .3 2 4 9 .0 4 0 8 .0 2 3 7 .9 2 6 0 .9 2 5 9 .8 3 3 6 .0 3 0 3 .4 2 5 0 .0 2 8 8 .5 1 8 4 .9 2 1 0 .5 2 4 2 .9 2 7 2 .8 2 3 6 .8 2 6 5 .0 2 9 3 .2 1 8 7 .9 2 1 3 .7 2 4 6 .6 2 7 8 .4 2 4 1 .5 2 6 9 .0 P o t a t o e s ............................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................ P r o c e s s e d f r u it s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 2 3 6 .2 2 4 0 .6 2 3 5 .9 1 9 9 .1 1 3 4 .0 1 3 1 .5 1 3 7 .6 1 4 2 .2 1 5 6 .0 1 6 5 .6 1 9 7 .2 1 3 3 .5 1 3 1 .0 1 3 7 .1 1 4 1 .5 1 5 5 .3 1 6 5 .2 ................................................................... 2 8 7 .4 2 8 6 .8 2 8 7 .3 2 8 6 .0 2 8 6 .6 2 8 7 .4 2 8 2 .0 2 8 5 .3 2 8 4 .6 2 8 5 .1 2 8 3 .8 2 8 4 .3 2 8 5 .1 1 4 7 .9 1 4 9 ,0 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .7 1 4 9 .5 1 5 0 .1 1 5 0 .8 1 4 7 .4 1 4 8 .6 1 4 8 .8 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .8 1 4 7 .8 1 4 4 .1 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .6 1 4 3 .6 1 4 4 .7 1 4 4 .6 1 4 6 .6 1 4 3 .2 1 4 4 .0 1 4 4 .7 1 4 2 .6 1 4 3 .8 1 4 3 .7 1 5 4 .4 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... 100) 1 5 0 .5 1 0 0 ) ............................. 1 5 1 .5 1 5 2 .0 1 5 2 .5 1 5 3 .4 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .1 1 5 5 .3 1 5 1 .0 1 5 1 .4 1 5 3 .1 1 5 3 .1 1 4 4 .3 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .1 1 4 9 .6 1 5 0 .4 1 5 1 .0 1 4 4 .8 1 5 0 .4 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .7 1 5 0 .2 1 5 1 .1 1 5 1 .7 1 3 7 .7 1 3 9 .8 1 3 9 .1 1 3 9 .0 1 3 8 .0 1 3 7 .9 1 3 8 .1 1 3 6 .6 1 3 8 .6 1 3 7 .9 1 3 7 .8 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .7 1 3 6 .9 1 4 1 .7 1 4 8 .1 1 4 7 .7 1 4 9 .0 1 4 7 .5 1 4 9 .7 1 5 1 .2 1 4 3 .1 1 4 9 .5 1 4 8 .8 1 5 0 .4 1 4 8 .9 1 5 1 .2 1 5 2 .7 100) 100) ................................ 1 0 0 ) ......................................... F r u it j u ic e s o t h e r t h a n fr o z e n ( 1 2 / 7 7 = C a n n e d a n d d r ie d f r u it s ( 1 2 / 7 7 P r o c e s s e d v e g e t a b le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 4 1 .3 2 8 4 .2 100) F r o z e n f r u it a n d fr u it ju ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = F r o z e n v e g e t a b le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 2 4 0 .8 ......................................... O t h e r fr e s h v e g e t a b le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - P r o c e s s e d f r u it s a n d v e g e t a b le s 2 4 3 .8 2 4 0 .5 2 3 6 .5 2 9 7 .4 L e t t u c e .................................................................................................................. T o m a to e s ............................................... ................................................... 1 5 0 .3 1 5 2 .6 75 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. Continued — Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry U r b a n W a g e E a r n e r s a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s 1982 1983 1982 1983 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 1 3 6 .2 F O O D A N D B E V E R A G E S - C o n t in u e d F o o d — C o n tin u e d F o o d a t h o m e — C o n tin u e d F r u its a n d v e g e t a b le s — C o n tin u e d .. . . 1 4 0 .7 1 4 1 .3 1 4 0 .8 1 4 0 .8 1 4 0 .3 1 3 9 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .3 1 3 8 .8 1 3 8 .4 1 3 8 .4 1 3 7 .8 1 3 7 .0 O t h e r c a n n e d a n d d r ie d v e g e t a b le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... C u t c o r n a n d c a n n e d b e a n s e x c e p t lim a ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 1 3 4 .1 1 3 4 .8 1 3 3 .9 1 3 3 .0 1 3 2 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .1 1 3 2 .6 1 3 3 .3 1 3 2 .4 1 3 1 .6 1 3 0 .5 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 ,8 O t h e r fo o d s a t h o m e ................................................................................................................... 3 3 0 .7 3 3 3 .6 3 3 4 .8 3 3 4 .3 3 3 3 .7 3 3 7 .1 3382 3 3 1 .5 3 3 4 .5 3 3 5 .7 3 3 5 .1 3 3 4 .6 3 3 7 .9 3 3 9 .1 S u g a r a n d s w e e t s ............................................................................................................... 3 6 4 .2 3 7 1 .2 3 7 0 .6 3 7 1 .5 3 7 0 .7 3 6 4 .1 3 7 1 .3 3 7 0 .6 3 7 0 .1 3 6 9 .1 3 7 1 .4 3 7 0 .6 3 7 0 .3 3 6 9 .2 ................................................... 1 5 0 .0 1 4 9 .7 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .6 1 4 9 .5 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .6 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .5 1 4 9 .6 1 4 9 .8 1 4 9 .6 S u g a r a n d a r t if ic ia l s w e e t e n e r s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................................... 1 6 0 .0 1 6 7 .5 1 6 7 .3 1 6 5 .2 1 6 4 .3 1 6 7 .0 1 6 5 .9 1 6 1 .3 1 6 9 .0 1 6 8 .8 1 6 6 .6 1 6 5 .6 1 6 8 .5 1 6 7 .1 C a n d y a n d c h e w in g g u m ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) O th e r s w e e ts ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) M a r g a r in e ............................................................................ 2 5 8 .4 2 5 8 .4 2 5 8 .6 2 5 8 .6 2 5 9 .3 2 5 8 .0 2 6 0 .6 2 5 8 .3 2 5 8 .4 2 5 8 .5 2 5 8 .7 2 5 9 .3 2 5 8 .1 2 5 9 .3 2 5 8 .4 2 5 7 .5 2 5 6 .5 2 5 9 .4 2 5 5 .9 2 5 6 .1 2 5 8 .5 2 5 7 .8 2 5 6 .8 2 5 5 .4 2 5 8 .5 2 5 5 .3 N o n d a ir y s u b s t it u t e s a n d p e a n u t b u t t e r ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 1 5 2 .5 1 5 1 .7 1 5 2 .0 1 5 2 .3 1 4 8 .9 1 4 8 .9 1 5 0 .2 1 4 9 .4 1 5 1 .1 2 6 0 .5 2 5 6 .7 O t h e r fa t s , o ils , a n d s a la d d r e s s in g s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 1 5 1 .0 1 4 5 .1 1 4 6 .9 ......................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................... F a t s a n d o ils ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) 1 4 9 .8 1 5 0 .2 1 5 7 .8 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .2 1 5 2 .0 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .6 1 5 1 .8 1 5 6 .3 1 4 9 .5 1 4 9 .5 1 5 0 .3 1 5 0 .2 1 5 0 .0 1 5 0 .1 ......................... 1 2 9 .8 1 2 9 .4 1 2 9 .7 1 2 9 .8 1 3 0 .3 1 3 0 .2 1 2 9 .8 1 3 0 .2 1 3 0 .0 1 3 0 .2 1 3 0 .3 1 3 0 .8 1 3 0 .7 1 3 0 .3 ............................................................................................... 4 2 3 .4 4 2 4 .2 4 2 7 .5 4 2 6 .2 4 2 4 .3 4 3 1 .1 4 3 2 .2 4 2 5 .0 4 2 5 .9 4 2 9 .2 4 2 7 .9 4 2 6 .1 4 3 2 .8 4 3 3 .9 C o la d r in k s , e x c lu d in g d ie t c o l a ...................................................................... 3 0 4 .6 3 0 5 .0 3 0 8 .9 3 0 8 .8 3 0 7 .2 3 1 2 .9 3 1 2 .5 3 0 2 .0 3 0 2 .8 3 0 6 .2 3 0 6 .2 3 0 4 .8 3 1 0 .3 3 1 0 .0 C a r b o n a t e d d r in k s , in c lu d in g d ie t c o la ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 4 3 .8 1 4 4 .6 1 4 6 .2 1 4 4 ,8 1 4 2 .4 1 4 5 .2 1 4 7 .4 1 4 1 .7 1 4 2 .3 1 4 4 .0 1 4 2 .4 1 4 0 .2 1 4 2 .8 1 4 4 .9 R o a s te d c o ffe e ......................................................................................................... 3 6 4 .4 3 6 2 .9 3 6 2 .0 3 6 0 .0 3 6 1 .4 3 6 5 .0 3 6 5 .9 3 5 9 .9 3 5 7 .9 3 5 7 .2 3 5 4 .8 3 5 6 .2 3 5 9 .9 3 6 0 .5 F r e e z e d r ie d a n d in s ta n t c o f f e e ...................................................................... 3 4 2 .8 3 4 3 .1 3 4 3 .6 3 4 4 .2 3 4 6 .1 3 4 8 .2 3 4 9 .3 3 4 2 .5 3 4 2 .5 3 4 3 .2 3 4 3 .7 3 4 5 .6 3 4 7 .8 3 4 9 .0 N o n a lc o h o lic b e v e r a g e s O t h e r n o n c a r b o n a t e d d r in k s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................. 1 3 8 .4 1 3 8 .8 1 3 9 .1 1 3 8 .8 1 3 9 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 0 .6 1 3 8 .6 1 3 9 .0 1 3 9 .3 1 3 9 .1 1 3 9 .2 1 4 1 .3 1 4 0 .8 ...................................................................................................... 2 6 5 .3 2 6 9 .9 2 7 0 .5 2 7 0 .2 2 7 0 .7 2 7 2 .6 2 7 5 .1 2 6 6 .9 2 7 1 .7 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .9 2 7 2 .4 2 7 4 .2 2 7 6 .8 C a n n e d a n d p a c k a g e d s o u p ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................ 1 3 5 .9 1 3 7 .4 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .9 1 3 8 .1 1 3 7 .9 1 3 9 .5 1 3 8 .7 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .9 1 4 0 .1 1 4 1 .1 F r o z e n p r e p a r e d f o o d s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................................... 1 4 6 .2 1 4 8 .9 1 4 8 .5 1 4 9 .7 1 4 9 .0 1 5 0 .6 1 5 2 .0 1 4 5 .6 1 4 8 .4 1 4 7 .9 1 4 9 .2 1 4 8 .5 1 5 0 .0 1 5 1 .3 S n a c k s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................ 1 5 3 .4 1 5 3 .0 1 5 3 .3 1 5 3 .1 1 5 2 .7 1 5 4 .0 1 5 7 .6 1 5 5 .2 1 5 5 .0 1 5 5 .4 1 5 5 .2 1 5 4 .8 1 5 6 .0 1 5 9 .6 S e a s o n in g s , o liv e s , p ic k le s , a n d r e lis h ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 5 1 .3 1 5 5 .3 1 5 6 .5 1 5 7 .1 1 5 7 .4 1 5 9 .5 1 6 1 .1 1 5 0 .3 1 5 4 .4 1 5 5 .6 1 5 6 .2 1 5 6 .4 1 5 8 .5 1 6 0 .1 O t h e r p r e p a r e d fo o d s O t h e r c o n d im e n t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... 1 4 6 .9 1 5 2 .2 1 5 2 .1 1 5 1 .7 1 5 2 .6 1 5 3 .8 1 3 9 .0 1 5 4 .9 1 4 8 .4 1 5 4 .0 1 5 3 .9 1 5 3 .4 1 5 4 .4 1 5 5 .6 1 5 6 .8 ...................................... 1 4 7 .0 1 4 9 .7 1 5 1 .4 1 5 0 .2 1 5 1 .0 1 5 1 .1 1 5 1 .5 1 4 7 .1 1 4 9 .9 1 5 1 .6 1 5 0 .3 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .4 1 5 1 .7 O t h e r c a n n e d a n d p a c k a g e d p r e p a r e d fo o d s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) . . . 1 4 3 .0 1 4 5 .9 1 4 5 .8 1 4 5 .0 1 4 6 .1 1 4 6 .1 1 4 6 .4 1 4 4 .5 1 4 7 ,3 1 4 7 .2 1 4 6 .4 1 4 7 .3 1 4 7 .3 1 4 7 .7 F o o d a w a y f r o m h o m e ......................................................................................................................... M is c e lla n e o u s p r e p a r e d f o o d s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 3 0 1 .2 3 0 9 .8 3 1 0 .7 3 1 1 .4 3 1 2 .6 3 1 4 .5 3 1 5 .2 3 0 4 .2 3 1 2 .9 3 1 3 .8 3 1 4 .6 3 1 5 .8 3 1 7 .7 3 1 8 .4 Lu n ch (1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................................................... 1 4 6 .6 1 5 0 .7 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .6 1 5 2 .2 1 5 3 .1 1 5 3 .3 1 4 8 .2 1 5 2 .3 1 5 2 .8 1 5 3 .2 1 5 3 .8 1 5 4 .8 1 5 5 .0 D in n e r ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................................................... 1 4 5 .2 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .5 1 4 9 .7 1 5 0 .4 1 5 1 .3 1 5 1 .7 1 4 6 .8 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .4 1 5 2 .1 1 5 3 .0 1 5 3 .4 O t h e r m e a ls a n d s n a c k s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................... 1 4 6 .9 1 5 1 .5 1 5 2 .1 1 5 2 .7 1 5 3 .0 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .5 1 4 7 .6 1 5 2 .1 1 5 2 .7 1 5 3 .3 1 5 3 .7 1 5 4 .6 1 5 5 .1 2 0 5 .6 2 1 0 .1 2 1 0 .6 2 1 0 .9 2 1 0 ,9 2 1 1 .6 2 1 3 .3 2 0 7 .6 2 1 2 .2 2 1 2 .8 2 1 3 .0 2 1 3 .0 2 1 3 .7 2 1 5 .6 A lc o h o lic b e v e r a g e s A lc o h o lic b e v e r a g e s a t h o m e ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................... 1 3 3 .3 1 3 5 .9 1 3 6 .2 1 3 6 .2 1 3 6 .1 1 3 6 .5 1 3 7 .7 1 3 4 .6 1 3 7 .2 1 3 7 .6 1 3 7 .5 1 3 7 .4 1 3 7 .8 1 3 9 .2 B e e r a n d a l e ..................................................................................................................................... 2 0 7 .4 2 1 1 .4 2 1 2 .7 2 1 2 .5 2 1 2 .6 2 1 3 .3 2 1 7 .4 2 0 6 .5 2 1 0 .5 2 1 1 .8 2 1 1 .7 2 1 1 .7 2 1 2 .5 2 1 6 .4 W h is k e y ............................................................................................................................................... 1 4 6 .8 1 4 9 .8 1 5 0 .0 1 5 0 .7 1 5 0 .2 1 5 0 .5 1 5 0 .9 1 4 7 .7 1 5 0 .5 1 5 0 .7 1 5 1 .2 1 5 0 .7 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .6 W i n e ......................................................................................................................................................... 2 3 4 .2 2 3 7 .5 2 3 6 .4 2 3 5 .9 2 3 5 .6 2 3 5 .6 2 3 4 .7 2 4 1 .6 2 4 6 .2 2 4 4 .8 2 4 3 .7 2 4 3 .3 2 4 3 .0 2 4 1 .8 O t h e r a lc o h o lic b e v e r a g e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ...................................................................... 1 1 7 .8 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .2 1 2 0 .6 1 2 0 .7 1 1 7 .8 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .1 1 2 0 .6 1 2 0 .5 A lc o h o lic b e v e r a g e s a w a y f r o m h o m e ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................................................... 1 3 7 .6 1 4 2 .5 1 4 2 .7 1 4 3 .6 1 4 4 .2 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .4 1 3 9 .1 1 4 3 .9 1 4 4 .0 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .3 1 4 6 .0 1 4 6 .6 H O U S I N G ..................................................................................................................................................... 3 0 7 .3 3 1 9 .7 3 2 0 .7 3 1 9 .0 3 1 6 .3 3 1 7 .9 3 1 8 .5 3 0 6 .7 3 2 0 .0 3 2 1 .2 3 1 9 .6 3 1 6 .0 3 1 7 .0 3 1 7 .6 S h e l t e r ( C P I - U ) ........................................................................................................................................ 3 2 9 .5 3 4 2 .6 3 4 2 .8 3 4 0 .7 3 3 5 .9 3 3 8 .3 3 3 9 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .8 1 0 1 .2 R e n t e r s ’ c o s t s ............................................................................................................................................ R e n t, r e s id e n t ia l ............................................................................................................................ 2 1 8 .6 2 2 6 .9 2 2 8 .9 2 3 0 .2 2 3 0 .8 2 3 2 .2 2 3 3 .1 O t h e r r e n t e r s ' c o s t s ...................................................................................................................... 3 1 6 .9 3 4 3 .0 3 4 1 .6 3 3 7 .8 3 3 3 .0 3 3 9 .2 3 4 0 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .7 1 0 0 .9 O w n e r s ’ e q u iv a le n t r e n t ............................................................................................................ 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .7 1 0 0 .9 H o u s e h o ld i n s u r a n c e ................................................................................................................... 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 1 0 0 .9 3 4 2 .9 3 3 9 .4 M a in t e n a n c e a n d r e p a ir s ................................................................................................................... M a in t e n a n c e a n d r e p a ir s e r v i c e s ......................................................................................... S h e lt e r (C P I-W ) 3 3 9 .4 3 3 9 .0 3 5 9 .4 3 7 2 .5 3 7 4 .1 3 7 3 .4 3 7 1 .4 3 8 0 .6 3 7 3 .6 2 5 4 .6 3 2 8 .2 2 5 7 .7 3 3 8 .4 2 5 7 .3 2 5 7 .8 3 3 7 .8 2 5 8 .5 2 5 9 .4 2 5 9 .3 ..................................................................................................................................... 3 3 0 .3 3 4 4 .7 3 4 5 .2 3 4 3 .0 3 3 8 .0 3 3 7 .9 3 3 8 .8 R e n t, r e s i d e n t i a l ......................................................................................................................................... 2 1 8 .1 2 2 6 .4 2 2 8 .4 2 2 9 .7 2 3 0 .3 2 3 1 .7 2 3 2 .5 O t h e r r e n t e r s ’ c o s t s ............................................................................................................................... 3 1 5 .6 3 4 1 .1 3 3 9 .5 3 3 5 .6 3 3 0 .7 3 3 7 .3 3 3 9 .0 L o d g in g w h ile o u t o f t o w n ......................................................................................................... 3 3 3 .0 3 6 0 .7 3 5 5 .6 3 4 9 .3 3 4 1 .4 3 5 0 .8 3 5 3 .6 T e n a n ts ' in s u ra n c e ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 1 4 3 .6 1 4 6 .3 1 4 8 .3 1 4 9 .1 1 4 9 .3 1 5 1 .5 1 5 1 .5 ...................................................................................... H o m e o w n e r s h i p ......................................................................................................................................... 3 7 0 .8 3 8 7 .0 3 8 7 .1 3 8 3 .7 3 7 6 .8 3 7 5 .9 3 7 6 .9 H o m e p u r c h a s e ............................................................................................................................... 2 6 8 .3 2 8 6 .4 2 8 9 .7 2 9 0 .4 2 9 0 .9 2 9 1 .9 2 9 3 .7 F in a n c in g , t a x e s , a n d in s u r a n c e 5 1 3 .2 5 2 8 .9 5 2 4 .3 5 1 4 .6 4 9 5 .7 4 9 0 .2 4 9 1 .3 4 1 2 .1 4 1 4 .5 4 1 7 .9 ......................................................................................... ............................................................................................................ 3 9 6 .0 4 0 7 .4 4 0 8 .5 4 0 9 .7 ...................................................................................................................... 2 1 7 .2 2 2 5 .6 2 2 6 .4 2 2 7 .5 C o n t r a c t e d m o r t g a g e in t e r e s t c o s t ......................................................................... 6 6 6 .6 6 8 6 ,3 6 7 8 .8 6 6 3 .4 6 3 3 .5 6 2 4 .0 6 2 5 .1 2 4 5 .4 2 3 7 .5 2 3 2 .4 2 2 6 .6 2 1 5 .9 2 1 2 .0 2 1 1 .1 3 3 4 .6 337 8 336 2 P r o p e r t y in s u r a n c e P ro p e rty ta x e s 3 2 4 .6 M a in t e n a n c e a n d r e p a ir s e r v ic e s ............................................................................ M a in t e n a n c e a n d r e p a ir c o m m o d it ie s ................................................................... 2 2 8 .8 2 3 0 .6 2 3 1 .4 3 3 5 .4 334 9 333 7 3 6 0 .1 3 7 3 .4 3 7 4 .9 3 7 4 .0 3 7 1 .7 3 7 7 .3 3 7 4 .5 2 4 8 .2 2 5 1 .8 2 5 1 .2 2 5 1 .6 2 5 2 .3 2 5 3 .6 2 5 4 .5 P a in t a n d w a llp a p e r , s u p p lie s , t o o ls , a n d ............................................................................... 1 4 3 .7 1 4 5 .9 1 4 5 .7 1 4 5 .9 1 4 6 .5 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 .0 L u m b e r , a w n in g s , g la s s , a n d m a s o n r y ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 2 1 .7 1 2 1 .3 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .8 1 2 1 .3 1 2 0 .5 1 2 2 .2 1 3 3 .4 1 3 5 .3 1 3 4 .6 1 3 5 .3 1 3 6 .2 1 3 7 .3 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .9 1 4 1 .2 1 4 1 .8 1 4 1 .6 1 4 1 .2 1 4 1 .3 1 4 2 .2 e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) P lu m b in g , e le c t r ic a l, h e a t in g , a n d c o o lin g s u p p lie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................................................................................... M is c e lla n e o u s s u p p lie s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ................... 20. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] U rb a n W a g e E a r n e r s a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry F u e l a n d o t h e r u t ilit ie s ...................................................................................................................... F u e l s .................................................................................................................................................................. S e p t. O c t. 1983 N ov. D ec. Jan. Feb. Jan. 3 6 2 .2 3 6 4 .1 3 6 5 .4 3 6 4 .6 3 3 7 .9 3 6 1 .0 3 6 4 .7 3 6 3 .6 3 6 5 .5 3 6 6 .8 3 6 5 .9 4 6 1 .9 4 6 4 .0 4 6 3 .5 4 6 1 .5 4 2 6 .8 4 5 8 .4 4 6 4 .0 4 6 1 .7 4 6 3 .9 4 6 3 .3 4 6 1 .2 O c t. N ov. 3 3 7 .1 3 5 9 .5 3 6 3 .4 4 2 7 .6 4 5 8 .5 4 6 4 .5 Feb. Feb. Dec. S e p t. Feb. 1982 1983 1982 ............................................................................................... 6 8 3 .1 6 6 2 .8 6 7 7 .2 6 9 1 .3 6 8 8 .5 6 7 .1 .1 6 5 4 .0 6 8 6 .0 6 6 5 .4 6 7 9 .7 6937 6 9 0 .8 6 7 3 .4 6 5 6 .0 F u e l o i l ......................................................................................................................................... 7 1 3 .8 6 8 5 .9 6 9 9 .1 7 1 2 .8 7 0 8 .7 6 8 9 .3 6 6 9 .7 7 1 6 .3 6 8 8 .1 c 7 0 1 .2 7 1 4 .7 7 1 0 .6 6 9 1 .2 6 7 1 .3 1 8 8 .1 F u e l o il, c o a l, a n d b o t t le d g a s O t h e r fu e ls ( 6 / 7 8 - ............................................................................................ 1 7 0 .0 1 7 6 .8 1 8 3 .7 1 8 9 .0 1 9 0 .4 1 8 8 .4 1 8 7 .1 1 7 1 .4 1 7 8 .0 1 8 4 .8 1 9 0 .3 1 9 1 .6 1 8 9 .5 ...................................................................................................... 3 6 8 .7 4 0 9 .2 4 1 3 .4 4 0 7 .6 4 1 0 .6 4 1 3 .5 4 1 4 .5 3 6 7 .3 4 0 8 .6 4 1 2 .4 4 0 6 .9 4 1 0 .0 4 1 2 .8 4 1 3 .8 100) G a s ( p ip e d ) a n d e l e c t r ic it y .................................................................................................................................. 3 0 6 .8 3 3 2 .5 3 2 7 .0 3 1 8 .4 3 1 9 .6 3 1 9 .2 3 2 0 .1 3 0 5 .5 3 3 2 .5 3 2 6 .3 3 1 7 .3 3 1 8 .7 3 1 8 .3 3 1 9 .4 U t ilit y ( p ip e d ) g a s .................................................................................................................. 4 5 0 .8 5 1 7 .6 5 4 2 .0 5 4 3 .1 5 4 9 .6 5 5 9 .1 5 6 0 .1 4 4 8 .7 5 1 4 .5 5 3 8 .8 5 4 1 .6 5 4 7 .6 5 5 6 .9 5 5 7 .6 E le c t r ic it y H O U S IN G F u e l a n d o t h e r u t ilit ie s O t h e r u t ilitie s a n d p u b lic s e r v i c e s .................................................................................................. T e le p h o n e s e r v ic e s ..................................................................................................................... L o c a l c h a rg e s (1 2 /7 7 - 100) I n t e r s t a t e to ll c a lls ( 1 2 / 7 7 - .................................................................................. 100) ......................................................................... 1 9 3 .9 2 0 3 .6 2 0 4 .5 2 0 5 .1 2066 2 1 0 .1 2 1 0 .9 1 9 4 .3 2 0 4 .3 2 0 5 .3 2 0 5 .9 2 0 7 .3 2 1 0 .9 2 1 1 .6 1 5 7 .9 1 6 5 .5 1 6 6 .2 1 6 6 .6 1 6 8 .2 1 7 1 .4 1 7 1 .7 1 5 8 .0 1 6 5 .9 1 6 6 .6 1 6 7 .0 1 6 8 .6 1 7 1 .7 1 7 2 .1 1 2 5 .3 1 3 4 .3 1 3 5 .2 1 3 5 .4 1 3 7 .8 1 4 0 .6 1 3 9 .9 1 2 5 .4 1 3 4 .8 1 3 5 .7 1 3 5 .9 1 3 8 .1 1 4 0 .8 1 4 0 .2 1 1 6 .6 1 1 9 .7 1 1 9 .7 1 1 9 .7 1 1 9 .7 1 2 1 .0 1 2 1 .8 1 1 6 .7 1 2 0 .1 1 2 0 .2 1 2 0 .2 1 2 0 .2 1 2 1 .5 1 1 5 .9 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .7 1 1 0 .1 1 1 0 .9 1 1 1 .3 1 1 3 .9 1 1 5 .8 1 2 2 .2 ......................................................................... 1 0 9 .1 1 1 0 .1 1 1 0 .4 1 1 1 .1 1 1 1 .5 1 1 4 .0 .................................................................................. 3 1 3 .3 3 3 2 .4 3 3 4 .1 3 3 5 .1 3 3 5 .8 3 4 1 .6 3 4 3 .9 3 1 5 .7 3 3 5 .4 3 3 7 .1 3 3 8 .2 3 3 8 .9 3 4 4 .8 3 4 7 .2 H o u s e h o l d f u r n i s h i n g s a n d o p e r a t i o n s ............................................................................... 2 3 0 .2 2 3 4 .2 2 3 5 .4 2 3 5 .1 2 3 5 .7 2 3 5 .8 2 3 6 .7 2 2 6 .7 2 3 1 .0 2 3 2 .3 2 3 1 .8 2 3 2 .3 2 3 2 .6 2 3 3 .4 H o u s e fu r n is h in g s 1 9 1 .4 1 9 4 .3 1 9 5 .9 1 9 5 .1 1 9 5 .3 1 9 4 .9 1 9 5 .9 1 8 9 .3 1 9 2 .4 1 9 3 .9 1 9 3 .0 1 9 3 .2 1 9 3 .0 1 9 3 .8 2 1 6 .0 2 2 2 .1 2 2 3 .2 2 2 2 .6 2 2 2 .0 2 2 1 .9 2 2 8 .2 2 1 8 .5 2 2 5 .0 2 2 6 .4 2 2 5 .8 2 2 4 .9 2 2 4 .5 2 3 2 .2 I n t r a s t a t e to ll c a lls ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) W a t e r a n d s e w e r a g e m a in t e n a n c e ..................................................................................................................................... T e x t ile h o u s e fu r n is h in g s ............................................................................................................ H o u s e h o ld lin e n s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 1 3 1 .0 ............................................................................ 1 3 5 .4 1 3 6 .4 1 3 3 .8 1 3 2 .7 1 3 1 .5 1 3 9 .0 1 3 2 .1 1 3 6 .4 1 3 7 .6 1 3 5 .0 1 3 4 .0 1 3 2 .6 1 4 0 .7 . 1 3 8 .5 1 4 1 .6 1 4 2 .0 1 4 4 .0 1 4 4 .4 1 4 5 .6 1 4 5 .7 1 4 1 .0 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .3 1 4 7 .5 1 4 7 .6 1 4 8 .6 1 4 9 .5 F u r n itu r e a n d b e d d i n g ............................................................................................................................ 2 0 9 .4 2 1 3 .3 2 1 5 .8 2 1 4 .1 2 1 5 .4 2 1 3 .9 2 1 3 .8 2 0 5 .5 2 1 0 .3 2 1 2 .3 2 1 0 .3 2 1 1 .6 2 1 0 .4 2 1 0 .2 1 4 6 .6 1 3 7 .1 1 4 2 .1 1 4 3 .5 C u r ta in s , d r a p e s , s lip c o v e r s , a n d s e w in g m a t e r ia ls ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................ 1 4 0 .5 1 4 5 .5 1 4 6 .7 1 4 6 .2 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .7 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................................................... 1 1 6 .4 1 1 7 .2 1 1 9 .4 1 1 6 .4 1 1 8 .2 1 1 7 .3 1 1 6 .5 1 1 6 .5 1 1 7 .7 1 1 9 .6 1 1 7 .0 1 1 8 .8 1 1 7 .9 1 1 7 .1 1 2 1 .6 1 2 1 .0 1 1 8 .8 1 2 3 .4 1 2 2 .9 1 2 2 .5 1 2 2 .5 1 2 2 .0 1 2 1 .5 1 3 9 .8 1 3 3 .4 1 3 4 .1 1 3 6 .0 1 3 5 .3 1 3 5 .6 1 3 4 .6 1 3 5 .1 1 5 1 .9 1 5 1 .5 B e d r o o m f u r n it u r e ( 1 2 / 7 7 S o fa s ( 1 2 /7 7 - 100) 1 4 7 .4 1 4 6 .1 1 4 2 .1 1 4 3 .4 ................................................ 1 1 8 .6 1 2 3 .1 1 2 2 .6 1 2 2 .1 1 2 2 .2 ................................................................................... 1 3 8 .1 1 3 7 .8 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .1 1 4 0 .4 1 3 9 .4 A p p lia n c e s in c lu d in g T V a n d s o u n d e q u i p m e n t ......................................................... 1 4 9 .9 1 5 1 .5 1 5 2 .0 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .5 1 5 1 .9 1 5 1 .5 1 4 9 .6 1 0 9 .2 1 0 8 .2 1 0 8 .5 1 0 8 .1 1 0 7 .2 1 0 7 .0 1 0 7 .1 1 0 8 .4 1 0 7 .4 1 0 7 .6 1 0 7 .3 1 0 6 .3 1 0 6 .1 1 0 6 .1 1 0 2 .1 1 0 1 .7 1 0 1 .4 1 0 1 .1 1 0 0 .5 L iv in g r o o m c h a ir s a n d t a b le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 O t h e r f u r n it u r e ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 100) T e le v is io n a n d s o u n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ......................................... 1 5 1 .4 1 5 1 .4 1 5 1 .8 1 5 1 .3 T e l e v i s i o n ........................................................................................................................ 1 0 4 .5 1 0 3 .7 1 0 3 .5 1 0 2 .9 1 0 2 .6 1 0 2 .3 1 0 1 .9 1 0 3 .3 1 0 2 .6 S o u n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... 1 1 4 .5 1 1 3 .2 1 1 4 .1 1 1 3 .9 1 1 2 .4 1 1 2 .2 1 1 2 .8 1 1 3 .8 1 1 2 .5 1 1 3 .3 1 1 3 .1 1 1 1 .4 1 1 1 .3 1 1 1 .8 ..................................................................................................... 1 7 9 .7 1 8 4 .7 1 8 5 .4 1 8 5 .2 1 8 6 .1 1 8 7 .6 1 8 6 .3 1 7 9 .9 1 8 5 .1 1 8 5 .9 1 8 5 .6 1 8 6 .7 1 8 7 .9 1 8 6 .7 1 8 2 .6 1 9 0 .2 1 9 1 .1 1 9 2 .7 1 9 3 .3 1 9 3 .2 1 9 2 .2 1 8 7 .9 1 9 6 .1 1 9 6 .9 1 9 8 .4 1 9 9 .1 1 9 9 .2 1 9 8 .1 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .3 1 4 1 .4 1 4 2 .1 1 4 2 .3 1 2 1 .7 1 2 0 .7 1 2 1 .5 1 2 2 .8 1 2 1 .5 H o u s e h o ld a p p lia n c e s R e f r ig e r a t o r s a n d h o m e f r e e z e r s L a u n d r y e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 - .................................................................. 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... O t h e r h o u s e h o ld a p p lia n c e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ......................................... 1 3 3 .5 1 3 7 .6 1 4 0 .0 1 4 0 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .5 1 4 1 .8 1 3 3 .8 1 3 7 .9 1 2 1 .6 1 2 4 .0 1 2 3 .5 1 2 2 .7 1 2 3 .2 1 2 4 .7 1 2 3 .6 1 1 9 .7 1 2 2 .0 S t o v e s , d is h w a s h e r s , v a c u u m s , a n d s e w in g m a c h in e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 1 2 1 .0 1 2 3 .4 1 2 2 .9 1 2 0 .7 1 2 1 .5 1 2 3 .7 1 2 2 .3 1 1 8 .9 1 2 1 .5 1 2 1 .4 1 1 9 .2 1 2 0 .1 1 2 1 .9 1 2 0 .2 ................................................... 1 2 2 .4 1 2 4 .6 1 2 4 .0 1 2 4 .7 1 2 5 .1 1 2 5 .8 1 2 5 .1 1 2 0 .5 1 2 2 .5 1 2 2 .0 1 2 2 .4 1 2 3 .0 1 2 3 .8 1 2 2 .9 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .8 1 3 9 .6 1 3 9 .1 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .1 1 4 0 .2 1 3 4 .7 1 3 5 .6 1 3 7 .6 1 3 7 .1 1 3 7 .1 1 3 7 .0 1 3 7 .9 1 4 1 .2 1 4 3 .3 1 3 1 .0 1 3 5 .9 1 3 6 .0 1 3 4 .5 1 3 4 .3 1 3 3 .2 1 3 4 .9 1 3 0 .8 1 3 2 .4 1 2 6 .0 1 2 4 .9 1 2 6 .4 1 2 6 .8 1 2 6 .6 1 2 6 .1 1 2 7 .3 1 4 1 .8 ......................................................................... O f f ic e m a c h in e s , s m a ll e le c t r ic a p p lia n c e s , a n d a ir c o n d it io n e r s ( 1 2 / 7 7 O t h e r h o u s e h o ld e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) F lo o r a n d w in d o w c o v e r in g s , i n f a n t s ’, la u n d r y , ................................... 1 3 9 .1 1 4 3 .3 1 4 3 .4 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .7 1 0 0 ) ............................................ 1 2 9 .8 1 2 9 .7 1 3 1 .3 1 3 1 .3 1 3 1 .0 c le a n in g , a n d o u t d o o r e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 C lo c k s , la m p s , a n d d e c o r ite m s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) T a b le w a r e , s e r v in g p ie c e s , a n d n o n e le c t r ic k itc h e n w a r e ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) .................................................................................. L a w n e q u ip m e n t , p o w e r t o o ls , a n d o t h e r h a r d w a r e ( 1 2 / 7 7 = H o u s e k e e p in g s u p p lie s 100) . ......................................................................................................................... S o a p s a n d d e te rg e n ts ............................................................................................................... O t h e r l a u n d r y a n d c le a n in g p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ......................................... C le a n s in g a n d t o ile t t is s u e , p a p e r t o w e l s a n d n a p k in s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = .. 1 4 1 .6 1 4 5 .1 1 4 4 .6 1 4 5 .1 1 4 5 .9 1 4 5 .7 1 3 9 .5 1 3 7 .6 1 4 1 .3 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .2 1 3 0 .3 1 3 3 .4 1 3 4 .8 1 3 4 .2 1 3 4 .1 1 3 4 .1 1 3 5 .4 1 3 5 .5 1 3 8 .8 1 4 0 .1 1 3 9 .5 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .3 1 4 0 .6 2 8 2 .4 2 8 9 .2 2 9 0 .1 2 9 0 .3 2 9 2 .3 2 9 4 .0 2 9 4 .8 2 7 8 .8 2 8 5 .7 2 8 6 .7 2 8 7 .1 2 8 8 .8 2 9 0 .7 2 9 1 .6 2 7 8 .0 2 8 2 .8 2 8 3 .5 2 8 3 .5 2 8 5 .3 2 8 8 .9 2 9 0 .1 2 7 4 .4 2 7 8 .9 2 7 9 .7 2 7 9 .9 2 8 1 .5 2 8 5 .0 2 8 6 .1 1 4 1 .0 1 4 5 .6 1 4 6 .8 1 4 7 .3 1 4 8 .0 1 4 9 .0 1 4 9 .1 1 3 9 .8 1 4 4 .5 1 4 5 .7 1 4 6 .2 1 4 6 .9 1 4 7 .7 1 4 7 .9 1 4 5 .7 1 4 8 .0 1 4 8 .9 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 .6 1 5 0 .2 1 5 0 .4 1 4 5 .6 1 4 7 .9 1 4 8 .9 1 4 8 .1 1 4 8 .5 1 5 0 .3 1 5 0 .5 1 0 0 ) ......................... 1 3 0 .4 1 3 6 .8 1 3 7 .6 1 3 8 .3 1 3 7 .9 1 3 8 .1 1 3 8 .6 1 3 3 .4 1 4 0 .0 1 4 0 .7 1 4 1 .4 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .1 1 4 1 .7 ................................................ 1 4 6 .9 1 5 0 .2 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .6 1 5 2 .3 1 5 3 .5 1 5 4 .3 1 4 1 .8 1 4 5 .0 1 4 5 .6 1 4 6 .2 1 4 6 .9 1 4 8 .3 1 4 9 .1 1 0 0 ) .................................................................. 1 4 1 .8 1 4 3 .8 1 4 2 .3 1 4 1 .9 1 4 5 .7 1 4 4 .3 1 4 4 .4 1 3 4 .1 1 3 6 .4 1 3 5 .1 1 3 4 .9 1 3 8 .5 1 3 7 .0 1 3 7 .4 S t a t io n e r y , s ta t io n e r y s u p p lie s , a n d g i f t w r a p ( 1 2 / 7 7 M is c e lla n e o u s h o u s e h o ld p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 L a w n a n d g a r d e n s u p p lie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 1 4 3 .3 1 4 1 .9 100) H o u s e k e e p in g s e r v i c e s ......................................................................................................................... 3 0 8 .1 3 1 3 .4 3 1 3 .8 3 1 4 .3 3 1 5 .0 3 1 5 .4 3 1 5 .9 3 0 6 .8 3 1 2 .7 3 1 3 .2 3 1 3 .7 3 1 4 .5 3 1 5 .0 3 1 5 .6 P o s t a g e .................................................................................................................................................. 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .5 M o v in g , s t o r a g e , fr e ig h t , h o u s e h o ld la u n d r y , a n d 1 4 9 .4 1 5 6 .6 1 5 7 .0 1 5 7 .7 1 5 8 .6 1 5 9 .3 1 5 9 .8 1 4 9 .1 1 5 6 .8 1 5 7 .2 1 5 7 .8 1 5 8 .7 1 5 9 .5 1 6 0 .0 1 0 0 ) ............................................................ 1 3 4 .2 1 3 8 .3 1 3 9 .0 1 3 9 .5 1 4 0 .2 1 4 0 .4 1 4 1 .2 1 3 2 .8 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .4 1 3 7 .9 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .7 1 3 9 .5 A P P A R E L A N D U P K E E P .................................................................................................................. 1 8 8 .0 1 9 4 .9 1 9 5 .5 1 9 5 .4 1 9 3 .6 1 9 1 .0 1 9 2 .0 1 8 7 .3 1 9 4 .1 1 9 4 .6 1 9 4 .4 1 9 2 .8 1 9 0 .0 1 9 1 .0 1 8 4 .1 1 8 3 .8 1 8 1 .9 1 7 8 .7 1 7 9 .7 d r y c le a n in g s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................ A p p lia n c e a n d fu r n it u r e r e p a ir ( 1 2 / 7 7 - ........................................................................................................................ 1 7 7 .6 1 8 4 .1 1 8 4 .6 1 8 4 .3 1 8 2 .3 1 7 9 .2 1 8 0 .2 1 7 7 .4 1 8 3 .8 A p p a r e l c o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o t w e a r ................................................................................... 1 7 3 .4 1 8 0 .4 1 8 0 .9 1 8 0 .6 1 7 8 .4 1 7 5 .0 1 7 6 .0 1 7 3 .4 1 7 9 .9 1 7 9 .8 1 7 7 .8 M e n ’s a n d b o y s ' 1 7 9 .3 1 8 6 .5 1 8 8 .6 1 8 9 .0 1 8 7 .4 1 8 4 .9 1 8 4 .4 1 7 9 .4 1 8 6 .6 1 8 8 .6 1 8 8 .9 1 8 7 .6 1 8 5 .2 1 8 4 .8 1 1 8 .2 1 1 9 .4 1 1 9 .7 1 1 8 .8 1 1 7 .4 1 1 6 .9 1 0 0 .2 A p p a r e l c o m m o d itie s ............................................................................................................................ M e n ’s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 100) 1 7 5 .3 1 1 3 .0 1 1 7 .7 1 1 8 .3 1 1 6 .8 1 1 6 .2 ................................... 1 0 4 .8 1 1 0 .6 1 1 1 .6 1 1 1 .5 1 0 8 .7 1 0 6 .5 1 0 6 .7 9 8 .2 1 0 3 .5 1 0 4 .3 1 0 4 .2 1 0 1 .7 9 9 .9 9 5 .8 1 0 3 .7 1 0 3 .7 1 0 3 .4 1 0 3 .2 9 8 .8 9 8 .1 9 7 .2 1 0 6 .4 1 0 6 .4 1 0 5 .4 1 0 5 .5 1 0 0 .5 1 3 4 .7 1 3 8 .6 1 4 1 .0 1 4 2 .4 1 4 1 .5 k 1 4 2 .2 1 4 2 .6 1 3 1 .1 1 3 5 .8 1 3 7 .7 1 3 9 .1 1 3 7 .9 1 3 8 .7 1 3 9 .1 1 2 2 .0 1 2 1 .8 1 2 6 .2 1 2 8 .1 1 2 8 .7 1 2 9 .2 1 2 7 .5 1 2 5 .0 F u r n is h in g s a n d s p e c ia l c lo t h in g ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 100) ................................ 1 1 9 .0 1 1 9 .3 9 9 .9 1 1 9 .3 1 2 3 .8 1 2 5 .2 1 2 5 .8 1 2 6 .5 1 2 4 .5 1 0 0 ) ................................... 1 0 8 .6 1 1 1 .4 1 1 2 .4 1 1 2 .6 1 1 1 .9 1 1 1 .0 1 1 0 .5 1 1 4 ,1 1 1 6 .9 1 1 8 .0 1 1 8 .1 1 1 7 .5 1 1 6 .5 1 1 6 .1 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................................................... 1 1 6 .0 1 2 0 .2 1 2 1 .7 1 2 1 .6 1 2 0 .7 1 1 8 .9 1 1 9 .3 1 1 4 .3 1 1 8 .3 1 1 9 .8 1 1 9 .7 1 1 9 .0 1 1 7 .2 1 1 7 .7 1 0 9 .3 1 2 8 .4 S h ir ts ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ............................................................................................ D u n g a r e e s , je a n s , a n d tr o u s e r s ( 1 2 / 7 7 B o y s ' ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 7 4 .3 ............................................................... ..................................................................................................... S u its , s p o r t c o a t s , a n d j a c k e t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 C o a ts a n d ja c k e ts ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 8 0 .2 1 1 3 .5 ...................... 1 0 5 .9 1 1 3 .7 1 1 4 .5 1 1 3 .7 1 1 2 .2 1 0 8 .9 1 0 8 .1 1 0 6 .3 1 1 4 .6 1 1 5 .3 1 1 4 .6 1 1 3 .3 1 1 0 .4 ............................................................................... 1 2 8 .2 1 3 2 .6 1 3 3 .6 1 3 2 .6 1 3 2 .4 1 3 2 .0 1 3 2 .5 1 2 4 .2 1 2 8 .6 1 2 9 .5 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .3 1 2 8 .0 1 0 0 ) ................ 1 1 9 .1 1 2 0 .3 1 2 2 .7 1 2 3 .4 1 2 2 .8 1 2 1 .5 1 2 2 .9 1 1 6 .7 1 1 7 .3 1 1 9 .7 1 2 0 .5 1 2 0 .0 1 1 8 .6 W o m e n 's a n d g i r l s ’ ......................................................................................................................... 1 5 4 .7 1 6 3 .6 1 6 3 .0 1 6 2 .2 1 5 9 .6 1 5 3 .9 1 5 5 .7 1 5 7 .1 1 6 5 .7 1 6 4 .7 1 6 3 .8 1 6 1 .3 1 5 5 .4 1 5 7 .2 C o a ts , j a c k e t s , s w e a t e r s , a n d s h ir t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 F u r n is h in g s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) 100) S u its , t r o u s e r s , s p o r t c o a ts , a n d j a c k e t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - W o m e n ’s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................... 1 0 2 .9 1 0 8 .7 1 0 8 .1 1 0 7 .3 1 0 5 .5 1 0 1 .8 1 0 3 .2 1 0 4 .8 1 1 0 .5 1 0 9 .8 1 0 8 .8 1 0 6 .8 1 0 2 .9 1 6 6 .3 1 5 8 .1 1 6 0 .9 1 6 3 .1 1 7 6 .9 1 7 6 .8 1 7 3 .2 1 7 1 .0 1 6 1 .4 1 6 5 .5 1 5 9 .0 1 5 2 .9 1 5 4 .9 1 4 0 .9 1 5 1 .2 1 4 9 .2 1 4 7 .7 1 4 4 .9 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .6 C o a t s a n d j a c k e t s ...................................................................................................... 1 5 6 .4 1 6 9 .7 1 7 0 .5 1 6 9 .5 D re s s e s 1 5 2 .8 1 6 5 .1 1 6 2 .6 1 6 1 .4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ............................................................................................................................ 1 2 0 .2 1 0 4 .4 77 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry APPAREL AND UPKEEP - U r b a n W a g e E a r n e r s a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s 1982 1983 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. 1982 Feb. Feb. S e p t. O c t. 9 6 .8 1 0 2 .6 1 0 2 .9 1983 N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. C o n t in u e d A p p a r e l c o m m o d itie s — C o n tin u e d A p p a r e l c o m m o d it ie s le s s fo o t w e a r — C o n tin u e d S e p a ra te s a n d s p o rts w e a r ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................ 9 6 .3 1 0 1 .4 1 0 2 .0 1 0 0 .1 9 7 .1 9 3 .7 9 4 .6 1 0 0 .9 9 7 .8 9 4 .4 9 5 .3 1 0 0 ) ......................... 1 2 6 .2 1 2 9 .7 1 2 9 .9 1 3 0 .6 1 3 0 .8 1 2 8 .8 1 3 0 .0 1 2 6 .0 1 2 9 .4 1 2 9 .6 1 3 0 .2 1 0 3 .5 1 2 8 .4 1 2 9 .7 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................... 8 7 .0 9 2 .7 8 8 .6 8 7 .4 8 2 .8 7 6 .9 7 9 .7 1 0 5 .6 1 1 1 .9 1 0 6 .7 1 0 5 .8 9 9 .7 9 1 .8 9 5 .6 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................................................... 1 0 2 .7 1 0 9 .6 1 0 9 .9 1 1 0 .4 1 0 9 .5 1 0 5 .1 1 0 5 .1 1 0 3 .1 0 8 .9 1 0 8 .7 1 0 9 .6 1 0 9 .2 1 0 5 .0 1 0 4 .9 U n d e r w e a r , n ig h tw e a r , a n d h o s ie r y ( 1 2 / 7 7 = S u its ( 1 2 / 7 7 = G ir ls ' ( 1 2 / 7 7 = C o a t s , j a c k e t s , d r e s s e s , a n d s u its ( 1 2 / 7 7 = S e p a ra te s a n d s p o rts w e a r ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. 9 2 .6 1 0 2 .5 1 0 4 .5 1 0 3 .9 1 0 3 .7 9 5 .8 9 6 .5 9 1 .5 1 0 0 .5 1 0 2 .3 1 0 2 .2 1 0 2 .0 9 5 .2 9 5 .8 1 0 0 ) ............................................ 1 0 3 .4 1 0 7 .8 1 0 6 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 0 4 .1 1 0 2 .1 1 0 1 .5 1 0 6 .0 1 0 8 .5 1 0 5 .2 1 0 5 .1 1 0 5 .1 1 0 2 .9 1 0 2 .0 U n d e r w e a r , n ig h t w e a r , h o s ie r y , a n d 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................... 1 1 8 .0 1 2 4 .4 1 2 6 .0 1 2 9 .3 1 2 9 .1 1 2 5 .7 1 2 5 .8 1 1 7 .0 1 2 3 .5 1 2 5 .1 1 2 8 .1 1 2 8 .0 1 2 4 .9 In f a n t s ’ a n d t o d d l e r s ' .................................................................................................................. 2 6 2 .2 2 7 6 .8 2 7 5 .8 2 7 4 .2 2 7 3 .1 2 7 7 .1 2 7 8 .8 2 7 1 .4 2 8 8 .1 2 8 6 .8 2 8 5 .5 2 8 4 .2 2 8 7 .5 2 8 9 .5 O t h e r a p p a r e l c o m m o d it ie s 2 1 4 .3 2 1 2 .6 2 1 3 .1 2 1 2 .7 2 1 0 .1 2 1 1 .5 2 1 3 .4 2 0 2 .8 2 0 1 .2 2 0 1 .7 2 0 1 .4 1 9 9 .2 2 0 0 .1 2 0 1 .7 a c c e s s o r ie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = .................................................................................................. 1 2 4 .9 ................................................ 1 1 7 .6 1 2 1 .9 1 1 9 .3 1 2 0 .0 1 2 0 .8 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .5 1 1 5 .9 1 2 0 .0 1 1 7 .7 1 1 8 .2 1 1 8 .5 1 1 8 .5 1 1 8 .5 ................................................................... 1 4 7 .4 1 4 4 .1 1 4 5 .6 1 4 4 .9 1 4 2 .2 1 4 3 .7 1 4 5 .4 1 3 8 .1 1 3 4 .7 1 3 6 .2 1 3 5 .7 1 3 3 .5 1 3 4 .4 1 3 5 .9 F o o t w e a r ........................................................................................................................................................ 2 0 2 .8 2 0 6 .2 2 0 6 .8 2 0 6 .9 2 0 5 .9 2 0 4 .8 2 0 5 .6 2 0 3 .3 2 0 5 .9 2 0 6 .7 2 0 6 .7 2 0 5 .8 2 0 4 .6 2 0 5 .2 S e w in g m a t e r ia ls a n d n o tio n s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = J e w e l r y a n d lu g g a g e ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 3 0 .7 1 3 2 .4 1 3 3 .2 1 3 2 .5 1 3 2 .0 1 3 1 .4 1 3 2 .2 1 3 2 .6 1 3 4 .1 1 3 5 .0 1 3 4 .2 1 3 3 .7 1 3 3 .0 ......................................................................................... 1 2 9 .5 1 2 9 .4 1 2 9 .5 1 2 9 .3 1 2 9 .0 1 3 0 .4 1 3 1 .2 1 3 2 .3 1 3 1 .9 1 3 2 .1 1 3 1 .8 1 3 1 .5 1 3 2 .9 1 3 3 .4 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................................................... 1 2 2 .7 1 2 6 .5 1 2 6 .9 1 2 7 .6 1 2 6 .8 1 2 4 .5 1 2 4 .6 1 1 9 .0 1 2 2 .4 1 2 2 .8 1 2 3 .6 1 2 2 .9 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .4 .................................................................................................................................. 2 6 9 .4 2 7 9 .2 2 8 1 .3 2 8 2 .0 2 8 2 .8 2 8 3 .9 2 8 5 .4 2 6 7 .2 2 7 7 .2 2 7 9 .7 2 8 0 .3 2 8 1 .1 2 8 2 .2 2 8 3 .6 M e n ’s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ............................................................................................................... B o y s ’ a n d g ir ls ’ ( 1 2 /7 7 = W o m e n 's ( 1 2 / 7 7 = A p p a r e l s e r v ic e s 100) 100) 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 6 1 .4 1 6 6 .7 1 6 7 .2 1 6 7 .9 1 6 8 .9 1 6 9 .6 1 7 0 .3 1 5 9 .9 1 6 5 .2 1 6 5 .8 1 6 6 .4 1 6 7 .5 1 6 8 .1 1 6 8 .8 .................................................................................. 1 3 9 .8 1 4 5 .9 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 .1 1 4 7 .7 1 4 8 .3 1 4 9 .1 1 4 0 .3 1 4 6 .6 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .2 1 4 8 .8 1 4 9 .4 1 5 0 .3 L a u n d r y a n d d r y c le a n in g o t h e r t h a n c o in o p e r a t e d ( 1 2 / 7 7 = O t h e r a p p a r e l s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 3 3 .9 ............................................................................................................................ 2 8 8 .0 2 9 5 .3 2 9 5 .5 2 9 5 .8 2 9 4 .8 2 9 3 .0 2 8 9 .9 2 8 9 .6 2 9 6 .9 2 9 7 .0 2 9 7 .3 2 9 6 .3 2 9 4 .3 2 9 1 .1 P r i v a t e ........................................................................................................................................................... 2 8 4 .5 2 9 1 .1 2 9 1 .1 2 9 1 .4 2 9 0 .4 2 8 8 .4 2 8 5 .2 2 8 6 .9 2 9 3 .8 2 9 3 .8 2 9 4 .1 2 9 3 .1 2 9 0 .9 2 8 7 .6 T R A N S P O R T A T IO N N e w c a rs ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 9 5 .5 1 9 7 .7 1 9 7 .7 1 9 9 .0 2 0 0 .1 2 0 1 .0 2 0 1 .3 1 9 5 .3 1 9 7 .5 1 9 7 .4 1 9 8 .7 1 9 9 .9 2 0 0 .8 2 0 1 .0 ..................................................................................................................................................... 2 7 9 .7 3 0 4 .6 3 0 6 .7 3 1 0 .5 3 1 2 .6 3 1 1 .0 3 0 9 .1 2 7 9 .7 3 0 4 .6 3 0 6 .7 3 1 0 .5 3 1 2 .6 3 1 1 .1 3 0 9 .1 ........................................................................................................................................................ 3 9 9 .1 3 9 4 .2 3 9 0 .6 3 8 8 .1 3 8 1 .3 3 7 1 .9 3 5 9 .4 4 0 0 .6 3 9 5 .5 3 9 1 .9 3 8 9 .5 3 8 3 .0 3 7 3 .6 3 6 1 .2 A u t o m o b ile m a in t e n a n c e a n d r e p a i r ............................................................................................ 3 0 7 .7 3 2 0 .6 3 2 1 .9 3 2 2 .3 3 2 3 .1 3 2 4 .4 3 2 5 .9 3 0 8 .4 3 2 1 .3 3 2 2 .6 3 2 3 .1 3 2 3 .8 3 2 5 .2 3 2 6 .6 1 5 3 .? 1 5 9 .4 1 6 0 .4 1 6 1 .0 1 6 1 .4 1 6 2 .2 1 6 2 .7 1 5 2 .1 1 5 8 .1 1 5 9 .4 1 5 9 .8 1 6 0 .2 1 6 1 .1 1 6 1 .5 1 4 6 .5 1 5 3 .1 1 5 3 .2 1 5 3 .7 1 5 4 .3 1 5 5 .4 1 5 6 .1 1 5 0 .2 1 5 7 .1 1 5 7 .2 1 5 7 .8 1 5 8 .3 1 5 9 .4 1 6 0 .1 U se d c a rs G a s o lin e B o d y w o rk ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ..................................................................................................... A u t o m o b ile d r iv e tr a in , b r a k e , a n d m is c e lla n e o u s m e c h a n ic a l r e p a ir ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ............................................................................... M a in t e n a n c e a n d s e r v ic in g ( 1 2 / 7 7 = O t h e r p r iv a t e tr a n s p o r t a t io n 100) ................................................................ 1 4 2 .7 1 4 8 .9 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .9 1 5 0 .5 1 5 1 .1 1 4 2 .3 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 .6 1 4 8 .6 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .9 1 5 0 .5 ................................................................................... 1 4 7 .3 1 5 3 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 4 .4 1 5 4 .2 1 5 4 .4 1 5 5 .4 1 4 6 .8 1 5 2 .8 1 5 3 .8 1 5 3 .9 1 5 3 .7 1 5 3 .9 1 5 4 .8 ............................................................................................................ 2 5 3 .4 2 6 0 .0 2 6 1 .4 2 6 0 .7 2 5 9 .6 2 5 9 .9 2 5 9 .7 2 5 6 .8 2 6 3 .0 2 6 4 .1 2 6 2 .9 2 6 1 .6 2 6 1 .5 2 6 1 .1 2 1 7 .4 P o w e r p la n t r e p a ir ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 2 1 4 .8 2 1 3 .9 2 1 4 .4 2 1 5 .1 2 1 4 .3 2 1 5 .6 2 1 5 .0 2 1 7 .3 2 1 6 .3 2 1 6 .9 2 1 7 .7 2 1 6 .9 2 1 8 .0 ............................. 1 4 9 .3 1 5 2 .5 1 5 1 .9 1 5 3 .3 1 5 3 .3 1 5 3 .9 1 5 4 .8 1 4 7 .8 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .0 1 5 2 .3 1 5 2 .3 1 5 3 .0 1 5 3 .8 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 1 3 7 .4 1 3 6 .3 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .0 1 3 6 .5 1 3 7 .3 1 3 6 .7 1 3 9 .4 1 3 8 .1 1 3 8 .6 1 3 9 .0 1 3 8 .4 1 3 9 .1 1 3 8 .5 T i r e s .................................................................................................................................. 1 9 1 .3 1 8 8 .5 1 8 9 .6 1 9 0 .4 1 9 0 .0 1 9 1 .3 1 9 0 .6 1 9 5 .1 1 9 2 .1 1 9 3 .2 1 9 4 .0 1 9 3 .7 1 9 4 .9 1 9 4 .1 O t h e r p a r t s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = ......................................... 1 3 4 .6 1 3 5 .8 1 3 5 .4 1 3 5 .1 1 3 3 .8 1 3 4 .3 1 3 3 .7 1 3 4 .9 1 3 5 .8 1 3 5 .4 1 3 5 .4 1 3 3 .9 1 3 4 .3 1 3 3 .6 O t h e r p r iv a t e tr a n s p o r t a t io n s e r v i c e s ............................................................................... 2 6 6 .1 2 7 4 .7 2 7 6 .4 2 7 5 .3 2 7 4 .2 2 7 4 .2 2 7 4 .1 2 6 9 .8 2 7 7 .9 2 7 9 .1 2 7 7 .5 2 7 6 .0 2 7 5 .6 2 7 5 .2 2 6 8 .1 2 7 6 .9 2 8 3 .9 2 8 6 .9 2 8 8 .8 2 9 2 .0 2 9 5 .6 2 6 8 .0 2 7 6 .3 2 8 3 .2 2 8 6 .1 2 8 8 .2 2 9 1 .3 2 9 4 .9 O t h e r p r iv a t e tr a n s p o r t a t io n c o m m o d it ie s ................................................................... M o t o r o il, c o o la n t , a n d o t h e r p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = A u t o m o b ile p a r t s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = A u t o m o b ile in s u r a n c e 100) 100) ..................................................................................................... A u t o m o b ile fin a n c e c h a r g e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ................................................... A u t o m o b ile r e n ta l, r e g is t r a tio n , a n d o t h e r f e e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = S t a t e r e g is t r a t io n 100) .. 100) 100) 1 8 9 .6 1 8 5 .2 1 7 8 .9 1 7 3 .8 1 6 9 .6 1 6 5 .0 1 8 8 .3 1 8 8 .9 1 8 4 .6 1 7 8 .1 1 7 3 .0 1 6 8 .7 1 6 4 .0 1 3 8 .9 1 3 8 .8 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .3 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .1 1 2 9 .5 1 4 0 .0 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .0 1 4 0 .1 1 4 0 .5 1 4 0 .8 1 6 7 .1 1 8 3 .7 1 8 3 .7 1 8 3 .8 1 8 3 .8 1 8 4 .6 1 8 4 .9 1 6 6 .5 ................................................................... 1 2 1 .7 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .8 1 3 3 .5 1 2 1 .7 1 3 3 .1 1 3 3 .1 1 3 3 .1 1 3 3 .1 1 3 3 .1 1 3 3 .7 ................................................................ 1 2 9 .3 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .6 1 2 8 .6 1 3 0 .6 1 2 9 .9 1 2 9 .9 1 2 9 .8 1 2 9 .8 1 2 9 .9 1 2 9 .9 ..................................................................................................... D r iv e r s ’ lic e n s e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = V e h ic le in s p e c tio n ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 8 8 .9 1 2 8 .9 1 8 3 .3 1 8 3 .2 1 8 3 .4 1 8 3 .4 1 8 4 .0 1 8 4 .3 1 4 4 .8 1 5 4 .5 1 5 4 .2 1 5 5 .0 1 5 5 .2 1 5 5 .8 1 5 6 .2 1 5 2 .4 1 6 3 .0 1 6 2 .7 1 6 2 .9 1 6 3 .2 1 6 3 .9 1 6 4 .1 P u b l i c ..................................................................................................................................................... 3 3 6 .8 3 5 3 .3 3 5 6 .3 3 5 6 .0 3 5 5 .6 3 5 7 .7 3 5 5 .2 3 3 1 .0 3 4 5 .4 3 4 8 .2 3 4 8 .2 3 4 8 .0 3 4 9 .8 3 4 7 .7 A ir lin e f a r e ............................................................................................ 3 7 9 .3 4 0 9 .5 4 1 3 .7 4 1 1 .6 4 0 8 .8 4 1 2 .3 4 0 5 .5 3 7 6 .3 4 0 7 .0 4 1 1 .1 4 0 8 .8 4 0 5 .9 4 0 9 .8 4 0 1 .5 In t e r c it y b u s f a r e 3 6 5 .7 3 6 8 .9 3 7 0 .6 3 7 3 .8 3 7 7 .7 3 8 1 .8 3 8 3 .8 3 6 7 .4 3 7 1 .0 3 7 2 .5 3 7 5 .7 3 7 9 .3 3 8 3 .3 3 8 5 .4 3 1 6 .1 3 1 7 .7 3 1 8 .5 3 1 9 .4 3 0 5 .8 3 1 2 .1 3 1 4 .7 3 1 5 .7 3 1 6 .7 3 1 7 .4 3 1 8 .3 O t h e r v e h ic le - r e la t e d fe e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ............................................ ............................................................................................................................ 3 0 6 .7 3 1 2 .6 3 1 5 .2 2 9 6 .7 2 9 9 .8 3 0 0 .2 3 0 0 .5 3 0 0 .8 3 0 0 .9 3 0 1 .2 3 0 6 .1 3 0 9 .3 3 0 9 .9 3 1 0 .1 3 1 0 .5 3 1 0 .5 3 1 0 .8 In t e r c it y tr a in f a r e ............................................................................................................................ 3 1 4 .0 3 3 8 .4 3 3 8 .4 3 4 8 .3 3 5 1 .3 3 5 1 .8 3 5 1 .8 3 1 4 .5 3 3 8 .4 3 3 8 .4 3 4 9 .3 3 5 1 .9 3 5 2 .3 3 5 2 .2 M E D IC A L C A R E 3 1 6 .2 3 3 6 .0 3 3 8 .7 3 4 2 .2 3 4 4 .3 3 4 7 .8 3 5 1 .3 3 1 4 .9 3 3 3 .9 3 3 6 .5 3 3 9 .8 3 4 1 .8 3 4 5 .3 3 4 8 .9 1 9 7 .7 2 0 9 .9 2 1 1 .6 2 1 2 .9 2 1 3 .7 2 1 5 .3 2 1 6 .7 1 9 8 .3 2 1 0 .5 2 1 2 .1 2 1 3 .4 2 1 4 .0 2 1 5 .9 2 1 7 .2 1 9 9 .4 1 9 8 .2 2 0 0 .5 2 0 2 .1 2 0 3 .9 2 0 5 .3 2 0 7 .1 In t r a c it y m a s s tr a n s it T a x i fa re ............................................................................... ..................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................... M e d i c a l c a r e c o m m o d i t i e s ............................................................................................................ P r e s c r ip t io n d r u g s 1 9 7 .2 2 0 1 .0 2 0 2 .8 2 0 4 .1 2 0 5 .9 1 4 7 .5 1 4 9 .1 1 5 0 .1 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .4 1 5 3 .3 1 4 0 .4 1 4 9 .2 1 5 1 .2 1 5 2 .3 1 5 3 .1 1 5 3 .5 1 4 6 .8 1 5 8 .8 1 6 1 .5 1 6 3 .5 1 6 5 .8 1 6 6 .6 1 6 8 .2 1 4 6 .5 1 5 8 .6 1 6 1 .1 1 6 3 .2 1 6 5 .5 1 6 6 .4 1 6 7 .9 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... 1 3 4 .0 1 4 1 .5 1 4 3 .0 1 4 4 .0 1 4 4 .9 1 4 5 .9 1 4 7 .2 1 3 4 .0 1 4 1 .3 1 4 2 .8 1 4 3 .9 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .8 1 4 7 .2 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................... C ir c u la t o r ie s a n d d iu r e t ic s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 8 3 .7 1 3 8 .4 ................................................................ .................................................................................................................................. A n t i- in f e c t iv e d r u g s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = T r a n q u iliz e r s a n d s e d a t iv e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 8 4 .7 1 5 5 .5 H o r m o n e s , d ia b e t ic d r u g s , b io lo g ic a ls , a n d p r e s c r ip t io n m e d ic a l s u p p lie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = P a in a n d s y m p t o m c o n t r o l d r u g s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ...................................................... 1 6 8 .4 1 8 2 .3 1 8 3 .5 1 8 3 .9 1 8 5 .5 1 8 6 .5 1 8 9 .0 1 6 9 .7 1 8 3 .8 1 8 5 .1 1 8 5 .2 1 8 7 .0 1 8 8 .0 1 9 0 .8 ................................................ 1 4 8 .8 1 5 9 .5 1 6 1 .7 1 6 4 .0 1 6 6 .2 1 6 7 .7 1 6 8 .6 1 5 0 .3 1 6 1 .4 1 6 3 .6 1 6 6 .0 1 6 8 .0 1 6 9 .5 1 7 0 .3 1 3 9 .9 1 5 0 .8 1 5 2 .3 1 5 3 .4 1 5 4 .2 1 5 5 .8 1 5 6 .4 1 3 9 .9 1 5 0 .9 1 5 2 .4 1 5 3 .6 1 5 4 .5 1 5 6 .2 1 5 6 .7 1 4 1 .1 1 4 8 .4 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .9 1 4 9 .7 1 5 1 .0 1 5 1 .6 1 4 1 .6 1 4 9 .1 1 4 9 .8 1 5 0 .5 1 5 0 .3 1 5 1 .8 1 5 2 .4 100) S u p p le m e n t s , c o u g h a n d c o ld p r e p a r a t io n s , a n d r e s p ir a t o r y a g e n t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................... N o n p r e s c r ip t io n d r u g s a n d m e d ic a l s u p p lie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ................................... 1 2 8 .9 1 3 1 .9 1 3 2 .6 1 3 2 .9 1 3 3 .0 1 3 3 .9 1 3 4 .6 1 2 7 .6 1 3 0 .5 1 3 1 .4 1 3 1 .6 1 3 1 .8 1 3 2 .6 1 3 3 .4 2 2 5 .1 2 3 9 .3 2 4 0 .7 2 4 1 .9 2 4 1 .3 2 4 4 .3 2 4 5 .1 2 2 6 .4 2 4 0 .6 2 4 1 .9 2 4 3 .0 2 4 2 .2 2 4 5 .7 2 4 6 .4 1 0 0 ) ................ 1 3 7 .1 1 4 3 .5 1 4 4 .1 1 4 5 .2 1 4 5 .2 1 4 5 .3 1 4 6 .1 1 3 7 .7 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .1 1 4 6 .2 1 4 6 .3 1 4 6 .3 1 4 7 .4 ..................................................................................................................... 3 4 2 .4 3 6 4 .0 3669 3 7 1 .0 3 7 3 .4 3 7 7 .4 3 8 1 .5 3 4 0 .6 3 6 1 .1 3 6 3 .9 3 6 7 .7 3 7 0 .1 3 7 4 .0 3 7 8 .2 ............................................................................................................................ 2 9 4 .2 3 0 5 .9 3 0 6 .6 3 0 8 .3 3 0 9 .4 3 1 2 .5 3 1 5 .4 2 9 4 .3 3 0 6 .1 3 0 6 .9 3 0 8 .4 3 0 9 .5 3 1 2 .7 3 1 5 .7 3 1 8 .8 3 3 2 .3 3 3 4 .2 3 3 5 .3 3 3 6 .6 3 4 1 .3 3 4 4 .8 3 2 1 .7 3 3 5 .4 3 3 7 .4 3 3 8 .6 3 3 9 .9 3 4 4 .6 3 4 8 .2 E y e g la s s e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) .................................................................................................. In te r n a l a n d r e s p ir a t o r y o v e r - t h e - c o u n t e r d r u g s ...................................................... N o n p r e s c r ip t io n m e d ic a l e q u ip m e n t a n d s u p p lie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = M e d ic a l c a r e s e r v ic e s P r o f e s s io n a l s e r v ic e s P h y s ic ia n s ' s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................... 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s G e n e ra l s u m m a ry U r b a n W a g e E a r n e r s a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s 1982 1983 1982 1983 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. Dec. Jan. Feb. D e n ta l s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................................... 2 7 6 .8 2 8 7 .7 2 8 7 .0 2 8 9 .2 2 9 0 .1 2 9 1 .6 2 9 4 .0 2 7 4 .9 2 8 5 .7 2 8 5 .0 2 8 7 .0 2 8 8 .0 2 8 9 .3 2 9 1 .8 O t h e r p r o f e s s io n a l s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... 1 4 1 .5 1 4 5 .9 1 4 6 .1 1 4 7 .2 1 4 7 .6 1 4 9 .1 1 5 0 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 4 2 .7 1 4 3 .0 1 4 3 .9 1 4 4 .4 1 4 5 .7 1 4 7 .2 O t h e r m e d ic a l c a r e s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................ 4 0 0 .8 4 3 4 .1 4 3 9 .8 4 4 6 .8 4 5 0 .8 4 5 5 .9 4 6 1 .3 3 9 8 .0 4 2 9 .9 4 3 5 .6 4 4 2 .3 4 4 6 .3 4 5 1 .3 4 5 7 .0 M E D I C A L C A R E — C o n t in u e d M e d i c a l c a r e s e r v i c e — C o n t in u e d P r o f e s s io n a l s e r v i c e s — C o n tin u e d ................................................ 1 6 7 .1 1 7 8 .3 1 8 0 .0 1 8 2 .6 1 8 3 .2 1 8 5 .1 1 8 8 .6 1 6 5 .7 1 7 6 .5 1 7 8 .3 1 8 0 .7 1 8 1 .5 1 8 3 .4 1 8 7 .0 .................................................................................................................................. 5 3 3 .8 5 7 0 .1 5 7 6 .8 5 8 6 .6 5 8 8 .5 5 9 4 .6 6 0 4 .1 5 2 7 .0 5 6 2 .1 5 6 9 .1 5 7 8 .7 5 8 1 .5 5 8 7 .1 5 9 6 .7 H o s p ita l a n d o t h e r m e d ic a l s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = H o s p it a l r o o m 100) 1 0 0 ) ................................ 1 6 3 .8 1 7 4 .7 1 7 6 .0 1 7 6 .0 1 7 8 .7 1 8 0 .6 1 8 4 .5 1 6 3 .0 1 7 3 .3 1 7 4 .7 1 7 6 .7 1 7 7 .5 1 7 9 .4 1 8 3 .3 E N T E R T A I N M E N T .................................................................................................................................. 2 3 1 .2 2 3 8 .3 2 4 0 .3 2 3 9 .9 2 4 0 .1 2 4 1 .5 2 4 3 .1 2 2 8 .1 2 3 4 .8 2 3 6 .5 2 3 6 .1 2 3 6 .5 2 3 7 .7 2 3 9 .5 E n t e r t a i n m e n t c o m m o d i t i e s ......................................................................................................... 2 3 4 .3 2 4 0 .8 2 4 2 .9 2 4 1 .4 2 4 1 .8 2 4 2 .6 2 4 4 .5 2 2 8 .9 2 3 5 .0 2 3 6 .6 2 3 5 .4 2 3 6 .0 2 3 6 .7 2 3 8 .8 R e a d in g m a t e r ia ls ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................... 1 4 4 .1 1 5 0 .1 1 5 3 .1 1 5 3 .4 1 5 4 .3 1 5 6 .1 1 5 6 .1 1 4 3 .3 1 4 9 .6 1 5 2 .4 1 5 2 .7 1 5 3 .8 1 5 5 .5 1 5 5 .5 ..................................................................................................................................... 2 7 3 .1 2 8 8 .5 2 9 0 .4 2 9 0 .9 2 9 4 .7 2 9 5 .7 2 9 6 .5 2 7 2 .8 2 8 8 .2 2 9 0 .1 2 9 0 .5 2 9 4 .8 2 9 5 .6 2 9 6 .4 1 0 0 ) ................................................ 1 4 9 .9 1 5 3 .9 1 5 9 .2 1 5 9 .6 1 5 9 .3 1 6 2 .6 1 6 2 .2 1 4 9 .7 1 5 3 .8 1 5 9 .2 1 5 9 .6 1 5 9 .2 1 6 2 .6 1 6 2 .1 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... 1 3 1 .5 1 3 2 .9 1 3 4 .3 1 3 2 .1 1 3 1 .6 1 3 1 .5 1 3 3 .4 1 2 3 .9 1 2 5 .0 1 2 5 .8 1 2 4 .7 1 2 4 .3 1 2 4 .4 1 2 7 .0 1 2 2 .0 O t h e r h o s p ita l a n d m e d ic a l c a r e s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = N e w s p a p e rs M a g a z in e s , p e r io d ic a ls , a n d b o o k s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = S p o r t in g g o o d s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = S p o r t v e h ic le s ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 100) ............................................................................................ 1 3 3 .9 1 3 5 .3 1 3 7 .1 1 3 3 .8 1 3 3 .3 1 3 6 .1 1 2 1 .9 1 2 2 .2 1 2 2 .0 1 0 0 ) ............................. 1 1 9 .6 1 2 0 .5 1 2 0 .6 1 1 9 .9 1 2 0 .0 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .5 1 1 7 .7 1 1 8 .1 1 1 8 .3 1 1 7 .6 1 1 7 .7 1 1 7 .0 1 1 7 .9 ............................................................................................................................................... 1 9 7 .3 1 9 9 .0 1 9 8 .7 1 9 8 .3 1 9 7 .1 1 9 7 .3 1 9 6 .7 1 9 8 .9 2 0 0 .0 1 9 9 .9 1 9 9 .5 1 9 8 .5 1 9 8 .4 1 9 7 .7 ......................................... 1 2 7 .0 1 2 9 .4 1 3 1 .9 1 3 1 .5 1 3 0 .6 1 3 1 .4 1 3 2 .1 1 2 7 .4 1 2 9 .8 1 3 2 .1 1 3 1 .3 1 3 0 .0 1 3 0 .9 1 3 1 .9 1 0 0 ) ................................................ 1 3 3 .2 In d o o r a n d w a r m w e a t h e r s p o r t e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = B ic y c le s O t h e r s p o r tin g g o o d s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = T o y s , h o b b ie s , a n d o t h e r e n t e r t a in m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = T o y s , h o b b ie s , a n d m u s ic e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 2 6 .0 1 3 7 .1 1 3 7 .1 1 3 6 .4 1 3 6 .8 1 3 8 .0 1 3 2 .3 1 3 6 .0 1 3 6 .1 1 3 5 .2 1 3 5 .6 1 3 5 .6 1 3 6 .7 ......................................... 1 3 1 .7 1 3 6 .4 1 3 6 .4 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .5 1 3 6 .9 1 2 8 .6 1 3 2 .9 1 3 3 .0 1 3 1 .8 1 3 2 .0 1 3 1 .9 1 3 3 .0 1 2 6 .9 1 3 0 .1 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 .0 1 2 9 .7 1 2 9 .9 1 3 1 .2 1 2 7 .9 1 3 1 .3 1 3 0 .6 1 3 0 .1 1 3 0 .8 1 3 1 .0 1 3 2 .3 1 4 4 ,6 1 4 5 .0 1 4 4 .5 1 4 5 .1 1 4 5 .1 1 4 5 .9 1 3 6 .8 ............................................................... 1 4 0 .6 1 4 3 .4 1 4 3 .9 1 4 3 .4 1 4 4 .2 1 4 4 .2 1 4 4 .9 1 4 1 .6 2 2 7 .1 2 3 5 .2 2 3 7 .2 2 3 8 .2 2 3 8 .2 2 4 0 .5 2 4 1 .6 2 2 7 .8 2 3 5 .8 2 3 7 .6 2 3 8 .4 2 3 8 .5 2 4 0 .8 2 4 1 .8 1 4 0 .9 1 4 6 .0 1 4 8 .0 1 4 9 .0 1 4 8 .9 1 5 0 .0 1 5 0 .6 1 4 2 .5 1 4 7 .4 1 4 9 .4 1 5 0 .1 1 5 0 .0 1 5 1 .2 1 5 1 .7 F e e s f o r p a r t ic ip a n t s p o r t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = A d m is s io n s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 2 3 .6 .................................................................................................................. P e t s u p p lie s a n d e x p e n s e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = E n te r ta in m e n t s e r v ic e s 1 2 2 .8 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 100) P h o t o g r a p h ic s u p p lie s a n d e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 3 2 .9 100) 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................ 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................................... O t h e r e n t e r t a in m e n t s e r v ic e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................................................................... 1 3 1 .6 1 3 6 .4 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .9 1 3 7 .3 1 3 9 .9 1 4 0 .9 1 3 0 .6 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .6 1 3 5 .9 1 3 6 .4 1 3 8 .8 1 3 9 .8 1 2 5 .0 1 2 8 .8 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 .8 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 .8 1 3 0 .3 1 2 5 .9 1 2 9 .6 1 3 0 .5 1 3 0 .7 1 3 0 .6 1 3 0 .6 1 3 1 .2 2 7 4 .0 2 7 7 .8 2 7 9 .6 O T H E R G O O D S A N D S E R V I C E S ............................................................................................... 2 5 0 .3 2 6 6 .6 2 7 1 .2 2 7 3 .8 2 7 6 .6 2 7 9 .9 2 8 1 .6 2 4 7 .1 2 6 2 .8 2 6 7 .8 2 7 0 .9 T o b a c c o p ro d u c ts ............................................................................................................................... 2 3 0 .7 2 4 6 .8 2 5 7 .3 2 6 4 .0 2 7 2 .3 2 8 0 .3 2 8 2 .8 2 2 9 .8 2 4 6 .1 2 5 6 .6 2 6 3 .4 2 7 1 .9 2 7 9 .9 2 8 2 .2 C i g a r e t t e s ..................................................................................................................................................... 2 3 3 .6 2 5 0 .6 2 6 2 .3 2 6 9 .8 2 7 9 .0 2 8 7 .6 2 9 0 .0 2 3 2 .7 2 4 9 .8 2 6 1 .4 2 6 8 .8 2 7 8 .0 2 8 6 .5 2 8 8 .8 O t h e r t o b a c c o p r o d u c t s a n d s m o k in g a c c e s s o r ie s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 3 6 .8 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .9 1 4 2 .8 1 4 3 .8 1 4 5 .8 1 4 7 .8 1 3 6 .9 1 4 2 .8 1 4 3 .1 1 4 3 .0 1 4 3 .9 1 4 5 .8 1 4 7 .7 ........................................................................................................................................ 2 4 2 .3 2 5 1 .1 2 5 2 .9 2 5 4 .2 2 5 4 .8 2 5 6 .1 2 5 7 .8 2 4 0 .4 2 4 9 .3 2 5 0 .9 2 5 2 .1 2 5 2 .5 2 5 3 .9 2 5 5 .5 T o ile t g o o d s a n d p e r s o n a l c a r e a p p l i a n c e s ............................................................................ P e rs o n a l c a re 2 3 8 .5 2 4 9 .1 2 5 1 .5 2 5 3 .5 2 5 2 .2 2 5 3 .9 2 5 6 .0 2 3 9 .2 2 5 0 .0 2 5 2 .1 2 5 4 .1 2 5 3 .1 2 5 4 .8 2 5 6 .8 1 0 0 ) ................................ 1 3 8 .4 1 4 4 .6 1 4 7 .8 1 4 8 .3 1 4 6 .8 1 4 7 .1 1 4 8 .1 1 3 7 .8 1 4 4 .0 1 4 6 .9 1 4 7 .3 1 4 6 .2 1 4 6 .5 1 4 7 .4 ............................................................ 1 4 5 .6 1 5 3 .3 1 5 5 .2 1 5 7 .2 1 5 6 .2 1 5 7 .6 1 5 9 .3 1 4 4 .2 1 5 1 .8 1 5 3 .5 1 5 5 .4 1 5 4 .6 1 5 5 .9 1 5 7 .8 P r o d u c t s f o r t h e h a ir, h a ir p ie c e s , a n d w ig s ( 1 2 / 7 7 D e n ta l a n d s h a v in g p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) C o s m e t ic s , b a th a n d n a il p r e p a r a tio n s , m a n ic u r e a n d e y e m a k e u p im p le m e n t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) ...................................................... O t h e r to ile t g o o d s a n d s m a ll p e r s o n a l c a r e a p p lia n c e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 100) 1 3 5 .0 1 4 0 .7 1 4 1 .4 1 4 1 .7 1 4 2 .2 1 4 4 .0 1 4 5 .6 1 3 5 .8 1 4 1 .4 1 4 2 .1 1 4 2 .3 1 4 3 .0 1 4 4 .8 1 4 6 .4 1 3 7 .0 1 4 2 .4 1 4 2 .2 1 4 4 .7 1 4 3 .2 1 4 3 .6 1 4 4 .1 1 4 0 .2 1 4 6 .2 1 4 5 .8 1 4 8 .4 1 4 7 .0 1 4 7 .3 1 4 7 .7 P e r s o n a l c a r e s e r v i c e s ........................................................................................................................ 2 4 6 .5 2 5 3 .8 2 5 5 .1 2 5 5 .8 2 5 8 .0 2 5 9 .0 2 6 0 .4 2 4 1 .8 2 4 8 .9 2 5 0 .0 2 5 0 .6 2 5 2 .4 2 5 3 .4 2 5 4 .7 B e a u ty p a r lo r s e r v ic e s f o r w o m e n ...................................................................................... 2 4 7 .7 2 5 6 .3 2 5 8 .3 2 5 8 .9 2 6 2 .1 2 6 3 .3 2 6 4 .4 2 4 1 .3 2 4 9 .8 2 5 1 .6 2 5 2 .1 2 5 4 .7 2 5 5 .8 2 5 6 .8 H a ir c u t s a n d o t h e r b a r b e r s h o p s e r v ic e s f o r m e n ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 3 8 .4 1 4 1 .1 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .4 1 4 1 .6 1 4 2 .0 1 4 3 .1 1 3 7 .2 1 3 9 .9 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .3 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .8 1 4 1 .9 P e r s o n a l a n d e d u c a tio n a l e x p e n s e s 100) ............. .................................................................................. 2 8 9 .2 3 1 6 .1 3 1 9 .3 3 2 0 .0 3 2 0 .5 3 2 2 .1 3 2 3 .3 2 9 0 .2 3 1 7 .4 3 2 0 .4 3 2 1 .3 3 2 1 .7 3 2 3 .6 3 2 5 .0 ............................................................................................................... 2 6 2 .9 2 8 0 .5 2 8 3 .0 2 8 3 .1 2 8 3 .3 2 8 8 .4 2 9 2 .0 2 6 7 .1 2 8 4 .3 2 8 6 .8 2 8 6 .8 2 8 7 .0 2 9 2 .4 2 9 6 .0 P e r s o n a l a n d e d u c a t io n a l s e r v i c e s ............................................................................................... 3 2 8 .6 3 2 9 .1 3 3 0 .2 3 3 1 .0 2 9 6 .3 3 2 5 .6 3 2 8 .7 3 2 9 .8 3 3 0 .3 3 3 1 .5 3 3 2 .5 S c h o o lb o o k s a n d s u p p lie s T u itio n a n d o t h e r s c h o o l f e e s C o lle g e t u it io n ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 2 9 5 .8 3 2 4 .4 3 2 7 .7 ............................................................................................... 1 5 0 .6 1 6 5 .6 1 6 7 .2 1 6 7 .2 1 6 7 .2 1 6 7 .3 1 6 7 .4 1 5 0 .9 1 6 6 .2 1 6 7 .7 1 6 7 .7 1 6 7 .7 1 6 7 .7 1 6 7 .9 100) 1 5 0 .1 1 6 4 .9 1 6 6 .8 1 6 6 .8 1 6 6 .8 1 6 6 .9 1 6 7 .0 1 4 9 .8 1 6 5 .0 1 6 6 .9 1 6 6 .9 1 6 6 .9 1 6 7 .0 1 6 7 .1 ................................... 1 5 2 .2 1 6 8 .7 1 6 8 .6 1 6 8 .7 1 6 8 .7 1 6 8 .7 1 6 8 .8 1 5 2 .9 1 6 9 .6 1 6 9 .6 1 6 9 .7 1 6 9 .7 1 6 9 .7 1 6 9 .8 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................... 1 5 6 .1 1 6 9 .4 1 7 1 .9 1 7 4 .1 1 7 5 .4 1 7 8 .8 1 7 9 .6 1 5 5 .3 1 6 9 .6 1 7 1 .7 1 7 4 .0 1 7 5 .2 1 7 7 .9 1 7 9 .5 ................................................................................... E le m e n t a r y a n d h ig h s c h o o l t u it io n ( 1 2 / 7 7 = P e rs o n a l e x p e n s e s ( 1 2 /7 7 = 100) S p e c ia l in d e x e s : G a s o lin e , m o t o r o il, c o o la n t , a n d o t h e r p r o d u c t s ................................................................ 3 6 7 .9 3 5 5 .8 3 9 5 .3 3 6 9 .4 3 5 7 .3 ......................................................................................................................... 4 2 4 .8 4 3 6 .0 4 3 2 .9 4 2 6 .2 4 1 3 .4 4 2 3 .5 4 3 6 .3 4 3 3 .9 4 2 7 .2 4 1 4 .7 4 1 1 .1 4 1 1 .6 U tilit ie s a n d p u b lic t r a n s p o r t a t i o n .................................................................................................. 2 9 9 .1 3 2 3 .8 3 2 6 .5 3 2 4 .1 3 2 6 .0 3 2 9 .1 3 2 9 .4 2 9 7 .7 3 2 2 .8 3 2 5 .4 3 2 3 .2 3 2 5 .1 3 2 8 .1 3 2 8 .5 H o u s e k e e p in g a n d h o m e m a in t e n a n c e s e r v ic e s 3 4 4 .0 3 5 3 .8 3 5 5 .0 3 5 4 .8 3 5 4 .0 3 5 5 .3 3 5 5 .1 3 4 4 .2 3 5 4 .6 3 5 5 .7 3 5 5 .4 3 5 4 .4 3 5 7 .9 3 5 6 .5 In s u r a n c e a n d f in a n c e ................................................................ 1 E x c lu d e s m o t o r o il, c o o la n t , a n d o t h e r p r o d u c t s a s o f J a n u a r y 1 9 8 3 . 3 9 3 .9 3 8 9 .2 3 8 5 .7 3 8 3 .5 c = 3 7 7 .0 3 9 0 .3 3 8 6 .9 3 8 4 .8 3 7 8 .5 c o rre c te d . 2 S e e b o x w ith “ P r ic e D a t a . ” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 21. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [D e c e m b e r 1 9 7 7 = 100] S iz e c la s s A S iz e c la s s B S iz e c la s s C S iz e c la s s D ( 1 . 2 5 m il lio n o r m o r e ) ( 3 8 5 , 0 0 0 - 1 . 2 5 0 m il lio n ) (7 5 ,0 0 0 -3 8 5 ,0 0 0 ) ( 7 5 ,0 0 0 o r le s s ) C a te g o ry a n d g ro u p 1982 O c t. Dec. 1982 Feb. O c t. Dec. 1982 1982 Feb. O c t. Dec. Feb. O c t. Dec. Feb. N o rth e a s t E X P E N D IT U R E C A T E G O R Y 1 5 1 .8 1 5 6 .6 1 5 7 .1 1 5 8 .2 1 6 0 .7 1 6 2 .3 1 5 5 .8 1 5 6 .3 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 4 5 .1 1 4 4 .4 1 4 6 .0 1 4 2 .4 1 4 2 .1 1 4 4 .2 1 4 7 .0 1 4 7 .4 1 4 9 .8 1 4 1 .9 1 4 2 .0 1 4 4 .0 .................................................................................................................................................................. 1 5 7 .7 1 5 5 .9 1 5 6 .7 1 6 4 .9 1 6 6 .5 1 6 8 .8 1 7 2 .9 1 7 5 .2 1 7 6 .2 1 6 3 .0 1 6 3 .2 1 6 3 .1 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 2 2 .2 1 1 9 .8 1 2 0 .3 1 2 7 .0 1 2 4 .9 1 2 1 .9 1 2 8 .5 1 2 9 .1 1 2 6 .6 1 3 1 .4 1 3 1 .1 1 2 4 .3 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 6 0 .7 1 6 1 .0 1 5 9 .1 1 6 6 .6 1 6 6 .7 1 6 4 .8 1 6 5 .2 1 6 6 .2 1 6 4 .2 1 6 4 .6 1 6 4 .5 1 6 2 .5 A ll ite m s ........................................................................................................................................................................... F o o d a n d b e v e ra g e s H o u s in g A p o a re l a n d u p k e e p 1 5 1 .8 1 5 1 .0 1 6 2 .9 1 5 6 .1 M e d ic a l c a r e ........................................................................................................................................................ 1 5 1 .4 1 5 8 .1 1 6 0 .6 1 6 1 .6 1 6 1 .5 1 6 3 .6 1 5 7 .0 1 5 9 .8 E n t e r t a in m e n t 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .2 1 4 1 .6 1 3 9 .9 1 3 5 .9 1 3 9 .1 1 3 8 .1 1 3 9 .2 1 4 0 .0 1 4 4 .8 1 4 5 .0 1 4 7 .2 1 5 0 .0 1 5 2 .8 1 5 4 .4 1 5 1 .4 1 5 3 .9 1 5 7 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 7 .8 1 6 0 .4 1 5 3 .4 1 5 8 .7 1 5 9 .4 1 5 0 .2 ..................................................................................................................................................... O t h e r g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s ........................................................................................................................ 1 5 3 .6 1 5 8 .1 1 6 5 .5 1 6 4 .1 C O M M O D I T Y A N D S E R V IC E G R O U P 1 4 7 .7 1 4 7 .5 1 4 7 .6 1 5 2 .4 1 5 3 .5 1 5 3 .1 1 5 2 .0 1 5 3 .7 1 5 3 .3 1 5 0 .9 1 5 1 .7 ............................................................................................ 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .4 1 4 8 .4 1 5 7 .2 1 5 9 .0 1 5 7 .1 1 5 4 .3 1 5 6 .6 1 5 4 .5 1 5 5 .2 1 5 6 .3 1 5 2 .7 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 1 5 7 .1 1 5 5 .6 1 5 7 .1 1 6 3 .3 1 6 2 .9 1 6 6 .1 1 7 5 .0 1 7 6 .4 1 7 8 .3 1 6 3 .5 1 6 3 .4 1 6 5 .1 C o m m o d i t i e s .................................................................................................................................................................. C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s S e r v ic e s N o r t h C e n t r a l R e g io n E X P E N D IT U R E C A T E G O R Y A ll ite m s ........................................................................................................................................................................... F o o d a n d b e v e ra g e s ..................................................................................................................................... 1 6 3 .1 1 6 2 .0 1 6 2 .4 1 5 8 .9 1 5 9 .3 1 5 9 .6 1 5 5 .9 1 5 6 .2 1 5 5 .8 1 5 9 .0 1 5 6 .8 1 5 6 .6 1 4 3 .5 1 4 3 .3 1 4 4 .7 1 4 2 .6 1 4 1 .9 1 4 3 .4 1 4 3 .8 1 4 3 .4 1 4 3 .8 1 4 9 .2 1 4 9 .1 1 4 9 .1 1 7 9 .1 1 8 0 .2 1 6 8 .5 1 6 9 .1 1 7 0 .2 1 6 2 .6 1 6 2 .8 1 6 3 .2 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 1 8 .8 1 1 6 .4 1 1 5 .4 1 2 8 .7 1 2 9 .4 1 2 4 .4 1 2 7 .8 1 2 6 .1 1 2 4 .1 1 2 1 .9 1 2 1 .4 1 2 2 .0 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 6 4 .5 1 6 3 .8 1 6 0 .7 1 6 4 .1 1 6 4 .5 1 6 2 .1 1 6 5 .0 1 6 5 .2 1 6 2 .0 1 6 3 .1 1 6 3 .8 1 6 0 .6 H o u s in g .................................................................................................................................................................. A p p a re l a n d u p k e e p 1 8 1 .2 1 6 7 .8 1 6 1 .9 1 6 2 .2 M e d ic a l c a r e ........................................................................................................................................................ 1 5 7 .9 1 6 0 .3 1 6 4 .2 1 6 2 .7 1 6 4 .0 1 6 7 .7 1 6 2 .9 1 6 4 .7 1 6 3 .7 1 6 6 .5 1 7 1 .0 E n t e r t a in m e n t 1 4 0 .7 1 4 0 .2 1 4 1 .3 1 3 3 .5 1 3 4 .1 1 3 5 .9 1 4 2 .5 1 4 3 .7 1 4 4 .3 1 3 3 .3 1 3 4 .5 1 3 5 .2 1 5 0 .5 1 5 2 .8 1 5 5 .4 1 6 1 .4 1 6 3 .8 1 6 7 .5 1 4 8 .1 1 5 0 .6 1 5 2 .9 1 5 7 .3 1 6 0 .3 1 6 3 .3 ..................................................................................................................................................... O t h e r g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s ........................................................................................................................ 1 6 0 .9 C O M M O D I T Y A N D S E R V IC E G R O U P 1 5 1 .9 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .2 1 4 9 .7 1 5 0 .8 1 4 9 .7 1 4 8 .2 1 4 8 .7 1 4 7 .2 1 4 7 .6 1 4 8 .4 1 4 7 .2 ............................................................................................ 1 5 5 .8 1 5 5 .7 1 5 3 .9 1 5 2 .6 1 5 4 .5 1 5 2 .0 1 5 0 .1 1 5 0 .9 1 4 8 .4 1 4 7 .0 1 4 8 .1 1 4 6 .2 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 1 7 9 .7 1 7 7 .3 1 7 8 .8 1 7 3 .7 1 7 3 .1 1 7 5 .3 1 6 8 .6 1 6 8 .4 1 6 9 .6 1 7 7 .0 1 7 0 .1 1 7 1 .5 C o m m o d i t i e s .................................................................................................................................................................. C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s S e r v ic e s S o u th E X P E N D IT U R E C A T E G O R Y A ll ite m s 1 5 8 .1 1 5 7 .5 1 5 8 .0 1 5 9 .6 1 5 9 .3 1 5 9 .5 1 5 9 .1 1 5 8 .8 1 5 9 .0 1 5 9 .8 1 5 9 .1 1 5 9 .5 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 4 6 .8 1 4 7 .0 1 4 8 .7 1 4 6 .4 1 4 6 .4 1 4 7 .3 1 4 5 .6 1 4 5 .4 1 4 6 .1 1 4 7 .5 1 4 7 .3 1 4 7 .7 .................................................................................................................................................................. 1 6 6 .1 ........................................................................................................................................................................... F o o d a n d b e v e ra g e s 1 6 7 .3 1 6 9 .7 1 6 8 .2 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 2 7 .5 1 2 8 .0 1 2 7 .6 1 2 5 .3 1 2 4 .7 1 2 4 .0 1 2 3 .7 1 2 2 .6 1 2 0 .1 1 1 2 .4 1 1 1 .1 1 0 8 .3 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 6 4 .7 1 6 4 .6 1 6 2 .1 1 6 7 .7 1 6 8 .0 1 6 5 .0 1 6 6 .0 1 6 6 .8 1 6 3 .8 1 6 4 .5 1 6 3 .5 1 6 1 .3 H o u s in g A p p a re l a n d u p k e e p 1 6 4 .3 1 6 4 .9 1 6 7 .5 1 6 6 .0 1 6 6 .1 1 6 7 .3 1 6 9 .9 M e d ic a l c a r e ........................................................................................................................................................ 1 6 0 .9 1 6 4 .0 1 6 7 .1 1 6 1 .3 1 7 9 .4 1 8 2 .5 E n t e r t a in m e n t 1 3 5 .5 1 3 5 .0 1 3 7 .5 1 4 7 .3 1 4 8 .5 1 5 1 .0 1 4 4 .5 1 4 4 .4 1 4 5 .9 1 4 9 .7 1 4 3 .8 1 4 5 .4 1 5 2 .5 1 5 8 .1 1 6 3 .2 1 5 3 .3 1 5 4 .9 1 5 7 .8 1 5 3 .2 1 5 5 .8 1 6 0 .3 ..................................................................................................................................................... O t h e r g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s ........................................................................................................................ 1 5 2 .9 1 5 5 .0 1 5 7 .5 1 5 0 .1 1 5 0 .9 1 5 0 .9 1 6 3 .5 1 6 9 .4 1 6 6 .0 1 6 7 .2 1 7 3 .5 1 7 6 .8 1 7 3 .9 C O M M O D I T Y A N D S E R V IC E G R O U P C o m m o d i t i e s .................................................................................................................................................................. 1 5 1 .7 1 5 2 .3 1 5 1 .7 1 4 9 .9 1 5 0 .2 1 4 9 .2 1 5 0 .6 1 5 0 .6 1 4 9 .2 ............................................................................................ 1 5 1 .6 1 5 2 .6 1 5 1 .5 1 5 4 .0 1 5 4 .8 1 5 3 .2 1 5 1 .8 1 5 2 .3 1 5 0 .2 1 5 2 .0 1 5 1 .9 1 4 9 .6 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 1 6 9 .2 1 6 6 .9 1 6 7 .9 1 7 1 .5 1 6 9 .9 1 7 1 .1 1 7 3 .2 1 7 2 .1 1 7 3 .9 1 7 3 .6 1 7 2 .1 1 7 4 .9 C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s S e r v ic e s W est E X P E N D IT U R E C A T E G O R Y A ll ite m s 1 6 0 .3 1 5 6 .9 1 5 7 .8 1 6 0 .1 1 5 7 .9 1 5 8 .3 1 5 2 .6 1 5 0 .1 1 5 1 .0 1 5 8 .1 1 5 7 .8 1 5 7 .9 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 4 8 .3 1 4 7 .8 1 4 9 .3 1 4 8 .6 1 4 9 .2 1 5 0 .6 1 4 5 .7 1 4 4 .8 1 4 6 .0 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .7 1 5 0 .6 .................................................................................................................................................................. 1 6 6 .9 1 6 0 .7 ........................................................................................................................................................................... F o o d a n d b e v e ra g e s 1 6 3 .2 1 6 6 .0 1 6 1 .2 1 6 2 .2 1 5 3 .4 1 4 8 .3 1 5 0 .1 1 5 8 .7 1 5 8 .3 1 5 9 .3 ..................................................................................................................................... 1 2 0 .7 1 1 9 .9 1 2 0 .1 1 2 6 .5 1 2 5 .8 1 2 5 .1 1 2 3 .8 1 2 3 .4 1 2 2 .4 1 3 8 .6 1 3 6 .9 1 3 9 .7 T r a n s p o r t a t i o n ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 6 9 .4 1 6 6 .3 1 6 2 .8 1 6 9 .8 1 6 8 .1 1 6 5 .3 1 6 6 .0 1 6 5 .1 1 6 1 .0 1 6 5 .7 1 6 5 .2 1 6 2 .0 M e d ic a l c a r e ........................................................................................................................................................ 1 6 8 .9 1 7 1 .1 1 7 4 .4 1 6 5 .1 1 6 8 .4 1 7 0 .5 1 6 8 .8 1 7 0 .7 1 7 4 .2 1 6 9 .6 1 7 1 .5 1 7 3 .3 H o u s in g A p p a re l a n d u p k e e p E n t e r t a in m e n t ..................................................................................................................................................... O t h e r g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s ........................................................................................................................ 1 3 6 .6 1 3 7 .8 1 3 9 .2 1 4 2 .4 1 4 2 .5 1 4 4 .7 1 3 6 .2 1 3 7 .2 1 4 3 .3 1 5 4 .9 1 5 4 .3 1 5 5 .2 1 5 5 .4 1 5 9 .3 1 6 2 .9 1 5 5 .0 1 5 8 .9 1 6 1 .7 1 4 8 .0 1 5 3 .0 1 5 5 .9 1 6 4 .2 1 6 5 .2 1 6 8 .8 1 5 0 .5 1 5 0 .6 C O M M O D I T Y A N D S E R V IC E G R O U P 1 4 7 .7 1 4 8 .9 1 4 8 .0 ............................................................................................ 1 4 9 .9 1 4 8 .3 1 4 7 .0 1 5 2 .9 1 5 1 .3 1 5 0 .1 1 5 2 .6 1 5 0 .7 1 4 8 .6 1 4 6 .4 1 4 8 .1 1 4 6 .8 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 1 7 4 .8 1 6 8 .5 1 7 0 .7 1 7 1 .8 1 6 7 .9 1 6 9 .0 1 5 5 .4 1 5 1 .7 1 5 4 .0 1 7 3 .4 1 7 1 .0 1 7 2 .5 C o m m o d i t i e s .................................................................................................................................................................. C o m m o d it ie s le s s f o o d a n d b e v e r a g e s S e r v ic e s 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 4 9 .4 1 4 8 .1 1 4 8 .0 1 5 1 .6 1 5 0 .7 1 4 9 .0 1 4 8 .5 22. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] U rb a n W a g e E a rn e rs a n d C le r ic a l W o r k e r s (r e v is e d ) A ll U r b a n C o n s u m e r s A re a 1 Feb. U .S . c it y a v e r a g e 2 ................................................................................................... A n c h o r a g e , A la s k a ( 1 0 / 6 7 - 1 0 0 ) 2 8 3 .4 O c t. N ov. 2 9 3 .3 2 9 4 .1 2 9 3 .6 2 6 3 .4 ................................................................ A t la n t a , G a ....................................................................................................................... S e p t. 2 5 9 .9 C h ic a g o , l l l. - N o r t h w e s t e r n In d ............................................................................. 2 7 4 .9 2 7 7 .1 2 9 4 .0 2 9 4 .4 2 9 4 .3 Feb. S e p t. O c t. N ov. 2 9 3 .2 2 8 2 .9 2 9 2 .8 2 9 3 .6 2 9 3 .2 2 9 5 .1 2 8 2 .7 2 9 3 .1 2 9 4 .0 2 9 3 .7 2 7 5 .4 2 9 2 .9 2 9 3 .2 2 9 7 .0 2 8 3 .9 2 7 6 .5 2 7 5 .0 2 9 3 .1 2 9 1 .8 2 9 2 .8 2 9 1 .4 3 0 5 .2 3 0 7 .1 3 0 2 .8 3 0 6 .0 2 5 0 .6 2 8 9 .7 2 8 4 .4 2 7 4 .3 Feb. 2 9 2 .3 2 8 9 .7 2 8 2 .7 2 5 8 .0 Jan. 2 9 7 .8 2 9 8 .7 2 8 8 .8 2 8 0 .3 Dec. 2 5 4 .4 2589 2 8 6 .2 2 7 7 .8 3 0 4 .2 3 0 0 .2 C in c in n a t i, O h io - K y . - I n d ........................................................................................... Feb. 2 9 1 .4 2 8 5 .0 2 8 2 .9 B o s to n , M a s s .................................................................................................................. B u ffa lo , N . Y ..................................................................................................................... 2 9 6 .1 2 9 0 .1 2 8 9 .2 Jan. 2 5 7 .6 2 5 7 .2 2 9 7 .8 2 7 9 .8 B a ltim o r e , M d ................................................................................................................. D ec. 1983 1982 1983 1982 C le v e la n d , O h i o ......................................................................................................... 2 8 5 .9 3 1 6 .6 3 1 7 .6 3199 2 8 5 .0 3 1 4 .1 3 1 5 .0 3 1 3 .7 D a lla s - F t. W o r t h , T e x ................................................................................................ 2 9 3 .6 3 0 6 .7 3 0 3 .3 3 0 4 .5 2 8 9 .8 3 0 2 .5 2 9 9 ,4 2 9 8 .1 2 9 4 .9 2952 2 9 6 .0 3 3 1 .3 3 2 7 .5 3 2 6 .2 3 2 4 .5 D e n v e r - B o u ld e r , C o l o ............................................................................................... 2 9 2 .6 2 9 2 .6 2 9 2 .3 2 7 4 .8 2 7 0 .4 2 6 3 .0 D e tr o it , M ic h .................................................................................................................... 2 7 7 .8 H o n o lu lu , H a w a ii 2 6 2 .0 2 7 5 .2 H o u s t o n , T e x .................................................................................................................. 3 0 4 .1 3 1 7 .6 3 1 8 .1 3 1 7 .3 K a n s a s C ity , M o - K a n s a s ................................................................................... 2 7 6 .0 2 8 9 .3 2 9 0 .6 2 9 2 .3 L o s A n g e le s - L o n g B e a c h , A n a h e im , C a l i f .................................................. 2854 2 8 6 .8 2 8 9 .2 ...................................................................................................... M ia m i, F la . ( 1 1 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................... N e w Y o r k , N .Y . - N o r t h e a s t e r n N . J .................................................................... 2 8 9 .5 3 0 2 .4 2 8 0 .7 2 8 4 .5 P h ila d e lp h ia , P a .- N . J ................................................................................................. 2 7 5 .5 P itt s b u r g h , P a ................................................................................................................. 2 7 8 .6 2 6 3 .0 2 8 1 .8 2 8 5 .6 2 8 3 .6 2 8 1 .8 2 8 2 .9 2 8 1 .6 2 8 2 .1 3 1 4 .9 3 1 6 .1 3 1 7 .4 2 8 7 .3 2 8 8 .6 2 9 1 .7 2 9 2 .8 2 7 8 .9 2 8 2 .0 2 7 5 .1 3 0 4 .8 2 8 0 .0 2 8 2 .1 2 8 1 .2 2 8 2 .0 2 8 0 .3 3 0 9 .0 2 8 0 .8 2 8 1 .0 2 8 2 .5 S t. L o u is , M o . - I ll............................................................................................................ 2 9 4 .1 2 9 0 .0 2 9 1 .1 2 9 3 .1 2 8 8 .9 2 8 5 .3 S a n D ie g o , C a l i f ........................................................................................................... 3 2 5 .6 3 2 1 .7 3 2 4 .9 3 2 1 .1 3 1 8 .2 3 1 3 .6 3 0 2 .4 2958 2 9 7 .3 2 9 3 .9 2 9 3 .9 2 9 3 .6 3 0 1 .3 2 9 4 .9 S e a t t e - E v e r e t t . W a s h .............................................................................................. 3 0 2 .2 2 9 7 .5 2 9 7 .5 2 9 8 .3 2 9 4 .1 2 9 1 .4 W a s h in g to n , D .C . - M d . - V a ....................................................................................... 2 8 6 .5 2 8 6 .3 2 8 9 .0 2 9 1 .9 2 9 1 .6 2929 'T h e a r e a s lis te d in c lu d e n o t o n ly th e c e n t r a l c ity b u t th e e n t ir e p o r tio n o f th e S t a n d a r d M e tr o p o lita n S t a t is t ic a l A r e a , a s d e f in e d f o r t h e 1 9 7 0 C e n s u s o f P o p u la tio n , e x c e p t t h a t th e S t a n d a r d C o n s o lid a te d https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 8 3 .3 2 9 6 .6 2 8 1 .7 2 8 3 .5 2 8 5 .6 S a n F r a n c is c o - O a k la n d , C a lif ............................................................................. 2 7 9 .6 2 8 2 .6 3 0 1 .7 3 0 0 .3 2 9 0 .1 3 0 3 .5 3 0 6 .1 2 8 1 .9 2 8 0 .6 2 8 5 .8 2 8 9 .0 2 8 8 .0 1 5 9 .2 3 0 6 .9 2 8 2 .7 2 7 7 .1 2 8 6 .6 2 8 8 .0 1 5 8 .6 3 0 7 .6 3 0 5 .3 2 6 7 .8 2 9 1 .6 2 8 8 .2 P o r t la n d , O r e g . - W a s h ............................................................................................... 2 8 7 .1 3 0 0 .3 2 7 8 .9 3 0 2 .1 3 0 0 .7 2 8 8 .7 2 7 4 .1 3 0 6 .3 2 8 3 .2 2 9 2 .1 2 7 4 .8 1 5 7 .5 3 0 5 .8 2826 2 9 1 .2 2 7 1 .0 3 0 5 .0 3 0 6 .1 2 9 1 .2 3 2 3 .9 2 8 8 .0 2 7 4 .7 1 5 7 .9 2 7 9 .4 2 7 6 .0 N o r t h e a s t , P a . ( S c r a n t o n ) ................................................................................... 2 8 5 .3 3 0 3 .1 3 0 7 .7 3 0 6 .0 2 6 9 .0 2 8 8 .5 1 5 6 .8 1 5 6 .1 M ilw a u k e e , W is ............................................................................................................. M in n e a p o lis - S t. P a u l, M in n . - W ls ......................................................................... 2 8 8 .2 2 6 9 .9 3 3 2 .5 A r e a is u s e d f o r N e w Y o r k a n d C h ic a g o . 2 A v e r a g e o f 8 5 c itie s . 81 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 23. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Annual C o m m o d it y g r o u p in g 1982 1983 av e ra g e M a r. A p r. M ay 280.6 277.3 277.3 280.9 259.3 252.5 257.7 333.5 226.7 223.6 279.6 277.7 257.1 263.3 254.5 328.8 223.9 220.5 275.8 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components........... 310.4 Materials and components for manufacturing........... Materials for food manufacturing ........................... Materials for nondurable manufacturing ............... Materials for durable manufacturing ...................... Components for manufacturing ............................. Materials and components for construction June J u ly Aug. 277.8 279.9 281.7 282.3 281.2 284.1 284.9 285.1 283.6 283.7 283.4 277.3 260.0 266.6 257.3 325.7 224.1 222.3 277.2 277.7 262.3 259.9 260.3 324.3 225.0 223.1 278.1 280.1 263.4 254.7 262.0 328.7 225.9 223.5 279.2 282.1 260.6 241.0 260.2 335.3 226.7 223.7 280.2 282.8 259.7 239.2 259.4 337.2 227.5 224.3 280.7 281.9 259.9 228.2 260.6 338.3 223.0 225.5 278.7 284.3 257.7 232.4 257.9 340.0 231.0 227.8 283.2 r 285.3 r 257.4 r 236.1 r 257.2 '342.5 '231.2 '228.4 '283.8 285.1 258.2 247.2 257.1 341.4 231.5 228.3 285.1 283.0 258.3 232.6 258.4 335.2 231.9 227.4 285.7 283.0 259.9 240.4 259.5 332.5 233.5 227.7 286.2 282.5 260.8 247.5 259.9 330.6 233.1 228.1 286.5 310.6 309.9 309.8 309.9 311.1 310.8 310.5 309.9 '309.9 310.2 309.9 310.5 309.2 289.9 255.2 284.5 310.1 274.0 290.4 252.0 288.8 310.9 271.8 290.6 254.4 287.6 311.0 272.6 291.4 260.0 287.6 311.0 273.6 289.8 260.7 285.4 307.5 273.6 289.2 259.7 283.1 308.0 273.9 288.7 258.0 282.6 306.5 274.3 289.9 257.3 281.7 310.5 275.8 289.4 254.2 280.4 309.8 276.7 '288.7 '251.0 '279.2 '309.3 '276.9 288.7 250.1 278.2 309.8 277.7 289.0 250.9 277.4 312.1 277.4 291.3 253.0 277.4 319.1 278.1 290.3 252.5 277.0 315.0 279.0 ............. 293.5 293.3 294.0 293.7 294.5 294.3 293.5 294.2 293.7 '293.6 294.5 296.2 298.6 299.4 Processed fuels and lubricants ................................. Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. , 591.8 497.9 674.4 593.0 496.1 678.3 579.9 487.5 661.1 570.9 481.4 649.5 581.1 491.7 659.5 600.7 506.9 683.0 603.8 510.7 685.5 592.3 496.4 676.9 590.0 496.6 672.1 '593.0 '500.4 '674.2 593.6 500.4 675.5 583.5 493.2 662.7 571.1 483.5 647.8 557.9 471.8 633.4 1982 S e p t. O c t. N o v .1 D ec. Jan. Feb. M a r. F IN IS H E D G O O D S Finished goods ................................................... Finished consumer g o o d s .......................................... Finished consumer fo o d s ........................................ C ru d e ................................................................... Processec ............................................................ Nondurable goods less fo o d s................................. Durable goods ........................................................ Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy Capital equipment ..................................................... IN T E R M E D IA T E M A T E R IA L S Containers................................................................... 285.5 286.3 287.0 287.0 286.5 286.3 285.4 285.3 285.1 '284.9 284.6 284.9 285.1 285.3 Supplies ..................................................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. Feeds .................................................................. Other supplies..................................................... 272.2 266.0 275.7 207.1 289.9 270.6 264.5 274.1 208.1 287.9 272.1 265.3 276.0 213.1 288.9 273.4 266.7 277.2 214.2 290.1 273.4 266.7 277.1 213.1 290.4 273.1 266.8 276.7 210.3 290.5 272.6 266.5 276.0 203.1 291.1 272.2 266.7 275.3 198.1 291.3 272.0 266.9 274.9 192.9 291.9 '272.8 '266.9 '276.1 '199.8 '291.9 273.2 267.4 276.5 204.9 291.3 273.6 268.0 276.8 206.9 291.3 274.2 268.7 277.3 207.6 291.8 274.5 268.9 277.6 207.8 292.1 Crude materials for further processing............................. 319.5 320.0 322.6 328.3 325.6 323.4 319.8 316.1 312.0 '313.2 312.6 313.7 321.0 322.1 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.......................................... 247.8 247.9 254.4 262.6 259.9 255.5 249.6 242.9 236.3 236.3 237.0 239.6 249.3 249.1 Nonfood materials ..................................................... 474.0 475.2 469.9 470.2 467.7 469.8 471.0 473.7 474.8 '478.6 475.0 473.0 475.5 479.4 Nonfood materials except fuel ............................... Manufacturing industries...................................... Construction ........................................................ 376.9 387.2 270.7 387.1 398.4 273.2 378.8 389.0 273.3 376.6 386.3 274.5 370.0 378.9 274.2 369.2 378.4 271.4 369.5 378.9 270.3 369.5 379.1 268.8 371.9 382.2 266.3 '369.2 '379.2 '265.6 366.0 375.0 269.4 368.1 377.5 268.9 366.6 375.5 270.8 367.1 376.2 270.2 Crude ‘ ue1 .............................................................. Manufacturing industries...................................... Nonmanufacturing industries............................... 886.3 1,034.8 782.7 839.7 974.7 746.6 851.2 989.1 755.8 864.8 1006.7 766.4 883.9 901.3 1,032.0 1,053.9 780.5 794.5 906.9 1,061.1 798.9 923.5 1,083.6 810.7 917.2 '954.7 1,075.3 '1,124.5 805.9 '834.2 949.5 1,117.0 830.9 926.3 1,088.2 812.0 949.1 1,118.7 828.8 970.0 1,144.8 845.7 Finished goods excluding fo o d s...................................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods ............... Finished consumer goods less e n e rg y ...................... 285.7 287.8 251.2 281.9 284.0 241.3 281.1 282.3 243.0 281.0 281.8 244.3 283.4 284.8 245.1 286.7 288.8 244.5 287.9 290.2 244.7 286.3 288.9 243.9 290.8 293.3 246.5 '292.0 '294.8 '246.7 292.0 294.3 247.0 289.9 291.1 246.9 289.6 290.3 248.0 288.8 289.1 248.4 Intermediate materials less foods and fe e d s.................... Intermediate materials less energy ........................... 315.7 290.5 316.0 290.5 315.1 291.0 314.6 291.6 314.7 290.8 316.1 290.4 316.0 289.7 315.9 290.5 315.5 290.1 '315.5 '289.8 315.7 290.2 315.3 290.7 315.9 292.6 314.5 292.3 Intermediate foods and feeds ........................... 239.5 237.7 240.9 245.0 245.1 243.6 240.2 238.1 234.4 '234.4 235.4 236.5 238.2 237.9 Crude materials less agricultural products .................... Crude materials less en e rg y............................... 536.5 240.4 538.4 242.8 531.6 247.3 531.5 252.8 529.1 248.7 531.5 245.1 532.0 240.7 535.5 235.6 537.2 230.0 '541.9 '229.2 537.0 229.9 534.8 232.6 537.5 241.6 541.7 242.8 C R U D E M A T E R IA L S S P E C IA L G R O U P IN G S 1Data for November 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r=revised. 24. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A nnual Code 1982 1983 C o m m o d ity g r o u p a n d s u b g ro u p M a r. A p r. 2 9 9 .3 2 9 8 .0 2 9 8 .0 2 9 8 .6 2 9 9 .3 3 0 0 .4 3 0 0 .2 2 9 9 .3 2 9 9 .8 r 3 0 0 .3 3 0 0 .6 3 1 7 .6 3 1 6 .2 3 1 6 .2 3 1 6 .8 3 1 7 .6 3 1 8 .7 3 1 8 .5 3 1 7 .6 3 1 8 .1 '3 1 8 . 6 3 1 8 .9 F a rm p ro d u c ts a n d p ro c e s s e d fo o d s an d fe e d s 2 4 8 .9 2 4 7 .5 2 5 1 .6 2 5 5 .8 2 5 5 .3 2 5 2 .4 2 4 9 .6 2 4 7 .4 2 4 3 .8 '2 4 3 . 9 I n d u s t r ia l c o m m o d i t i e s 3 1 2 .3 3 1 1 .0 3 0 9 .9 3 0 9 .6 3 1 0 .6 3 1 2 .8 3 1 3 .2 3 1 2 .7 3 1 4 .3 '3 1 5 . 0 1982 A ll c o m m o d i t i e s A ll c o m m o d i t i e s ( 1 9 5 7 - 5 9 = 100) M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N o v .1 Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. 3 0 0 .0 3 0 1 .2 3 0 0 .5 3 1 8 .3 3 1 9 .6 3 1 8 .8 2 4 4 .8 2 4 5 .9 2 4 9 .9 2 5 0 .4 3 1 5 .0 3 1 4 .0 3 1 4 .4 3 1 3 .4 FARM PR O D U C TS A N D PR O C ES SE D FO O D S A N D FEEDS 01 F a rm p r o d u c ts ................................................................ 2 4 2 .3 2 4 4 .7 2 5 0 .6 2 5 6 .5 2 5 2 .7 2 4 6 .6 2 4 0 .8 2 3 4 .5 2 9 9 .2 '2 3 0 . 7 2 3 2 .5 2 3 3 .1 2 4 0 .8 2 4 1 .4 0 1 -1 F r e s h a n d d r ie d fr u it s a n d v e g e t a b le s 2 5 3 .4 2 5 7 .3 2 6 7 .6 2 7 1 .5 2 6 4 .5 2 3 9 .1 2 3 8 .6 2 2 1 .0 2 2 3 .0 '2 3 3 . 4 2 4 8 .1 2 2 7 .0 2 2 7 .2 2 3 4 .3 0 1 -2 G r a i n s ............................................................................................ 2 1 0 .9 2 2 0 .9 2 2 6 .0 2 2 8 .2 2 2 5 .7 2 1 2 .8 1 9 7 .2 1 8 7 .3 1 8 3 .2 1 9 8 .6 2 0 2 .3 2 0 6 .3 2 2 2 .4 2 2 7 .4 0 1 -3 L iv e s to c k 2 5 7 .8 2 5 5 .6 2 6 7 .6 2 8 2 .9 2 7 7 .5 2 7 0 .3 2 6 8 .4 2 5 9 .0 2 4 8 .5 2 3 9 .1 2 3 7 .2 2 4 2 .3 2 5 1 .1 0 1 -4 L iv e p o u l t r y ............................................................................ 1 9 1 .9 1 9 7 .7 1 8 6 .2 1 9 2 .7 2 0 7 .2 2 1 2 .5 1 8 9 .3 1 9 6 .5 1 7 7 .1 1 8 1 .6 1 7 7 .8 1 7 7 .1 2 0 0 .1 1 7 7 .8 0 1 -5 P la n t a n d a n im a l f i b e r s ............................................................. 2 0 2 .9 1 9 9 .5 2 0 7 .4 2 1 4 .1 2 0 3 .1 2 2 0 .8 2 0 7 .5 1 9 6 .8 1 9 8 .1 1 9 5 .3 2 0 0 .6 2 0 1 .7 2 0 6 .4 2 1 7 .0 0 1 -6 F lu id m ilk 2 8 2 .5 2 8 2 .5 2 8 1 .9 2 8 5 .0 0 1 -7 E g g s ............................................................................................................................................ 1 7 8 .7 2 0 4 .0 1 9 2 .1 1 6 4 .3 1 5 9 .3 1 7 1 .7 1 7 1 .7 1 7 3 .3 1 7 7 .9 1 7 2 .5 1 7 0 .0 1 7 0 .0 1 7 0 .0 1 7 0 .0 0 1 -8 H a y , h a y s e e d s , a n d o ils e e d s 2 1 2 .8 2 1 3 .7 2 2 2 .8 2 2 7 .3 2 1 9 .3 2 2 0 .0 2 0 4 .5 2 0 1 .8 1 9 4 .3 2 0 4 .8 2 0 9 .0 2 1 2 .4 2 1 7 .9 2 1 7 .8 0 1 -9 O th e r fa rm p ro d u c ts 2 7 4 .5 2 7 3 .0 2 7 4 .2 2 7 3 .9 2 7 1 .8 2 6 5 .5 2 7 4 .4 2 7 6 .8 2 7 4 .0 2 7 6 .3 2 8 0 .1 2 7 9 .9 2 8 2 .0 2 8 0 .3 02 ............................. ......................................................................... ................................................ ................................................ ............................................................ P r o c e s s e d f o o d s a n d f e e d s ......................................................... 2 8 0 .3 2 7 8 .8 2 7 8 .9 2 7 9 .0 2 7 8 .8 2 8 5 .9 2 8 5 .5 2 8 4 .5 2 8 4 .5 2 5 1 .4 2 8 2 .9 2 5 1 .5 2 4 8 .1 2 5 1 .1 2 5 4 .4 2 5 5 .8 2 5 4 .6 2 5 3 .5 2 5 3 .5 2 5 0 .8 '2 5 0 . 2 2 5 0 .6 2 5 1 .8 0 2 -1 C e r e a l a n d b a k e r y p r o d u c t s ................................................ 2 5 3 .9 2 5 3 .3 2 5 3 .5 2 5 2 .8 2 5 2 .7 2 5 3 .0 2 5 2 .7 2 5 4 .0 2 5 3 .0 '2 5 4 . 2 2 5 6 .6 2 5 6 .9 2 5 7 .3 2 5 7 .4 0 2 -2 M e a ts , p o u lt r y , a n d f is h 2 5 7 .6 2 5 0 .0 2 5 8 .2 2 6 7 .6 2 7 1 .2 2 6 6 .0 2 6 2 .2 2 6 5 .7 2 5 6 .9 '2 5 1 . 6 2 4 9 .9 2 5 2 .2 2 5 7 .7 2 6 0 .1 2 4 8 .4 2 4 8 .5 2 4 8 .7 2 4 8 .6 2 4 8 .8 2 4 9 .1 ................................................................... 2 5 3 .9 2 5 4 .3 0 2 -3 D a r y p r o d u c t s ...................................................................................... 2 4 8 .9 2 4 8 .0 2 4 9 .8 2 5 0 .2 2 5 0 .7 2 5 1 .0 0 2 -4 P r o c e s s e d fr u it s a n d v e g e t a b l e s ................................... 2 7 4 .3 2 7 5 .9 2 7 5 .2 2 7 3 .8 2 7 5 .8 2 7 4 .4 2 7 4 .1 2 7 2 .8 2 7 3 .4 '2 7 2 . 8 2 7 3 .0 2 7 4 .6 2 7 3 .9 272 9 0 2 -5 S u g a r a n d c o n f e c t io n e r y 2 6 9 .9 2 5 5 .0 2 5 6 .0 2 6 5 .3 2 6 9 .1 2 7 5 .7 2 8 5 .5 2 7 8 .5 2 7 6 .3 '2 8 0 . 4 2 8 0 .8 2 8 1 .8 2 8 6 .4 2 8 3 .7 0 2 -6 ................................................ 2 5 0 .8 2 5 0 .7 B e v e r a g e s a n d b e v e r a g e m a t e r i a l s ......................................... 2 5 6 .9 2 5 6 .4 2 5 6 .6 2 5 6 .5 2 5 6 .7 2 5 6 .9 2 5 8 .0 2 5 7 .1 2 5 7 .9 '2 5 8 . 4 2 5 9 .0 2 6 0 .9 2 6 1 .6 2 6 1 .8 0 2 -7 F a t s a n d o i l s ......................................................................... 2 1 5 .5 2 1 3 .7 2 1 8 .1 2 2 2 .3 2 2 1 .8 2 2 1 .3 2 1 5 .6 2 1 1 .4 2 1 3 .8 '2 0 7 . 2 2 0 4 .3 2 0 3 .6 2 0 5 .6 2 0 5 .0 0 2 -8 M is c e lla n e o u s p r o c e s s e d fo o d s 2 4 8 .6 2 4 9 .5 2 4 9 .6 2 4 8 .0 2 4 8 .6 2 4 8 .1 2 4 5 .9 2 4 7 .0 2 4 7 .9 '2 4 7 . 8 2 4 8 .6 2 4 8 .9 2 4 8 .9 2 4 8 .5 0 2 -9 P r e p a r e d a n im a l f e e d s ...................................................... 2 1 1 .3 2 1 1 .4 2 1 6 .3 2 1 7 .4 2 1 6 .4 2 1 3 .9 2 0 7 .5 2 0 4 .3 1 9 9 .8 '2 0 6 . 0 2 1 0 .5 2 1 2 .1 2 1 2 .4 2 1 2 .5 2 0 4 .3 2 0 5 .0 2 0 5 .4 2 0 5 .4 2 0 5 .0 2 0 4 .1 2 0 4 .2 2 0 4 .3 2 0 4 .1 '2 0 3 . 9 2 0 2 .4 2026 2 0 2 .4 2 0 3 .2 1 6 2 .4 1 6 1 .3 1 6 3 .0 1 6 3 .4 1 6 2 .8 1 6 1 .5 1 6 2 .2 1 6 2 .5 1 6 1 .1 '1 6 1 . 2 1 6 0 .6 1 5 8 .4 1 5 5 .4 1 5 6 .3 1 3 7 .7 1 4 0 .5 1 4 0 .4 1 4 1 .0 1 3 9 .4 1 3 5 .9 1 3 5 .9 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .5 1 3 6 .7 1 3 6 .7 1 3 5 .1 1 3 5 .4 1 3 5 .9 1 4 5 .3 1 4 6 .6 1 4 6 .3 1 4 5 .9 1 4 6 .0 1 4 4 .9 1 4 4 .6 1 4 3 .6 1 4 3 .7 ......................... IN D U S T R IA L C O M M O D IT IE S 03 T e x t ile p r o d u c t s a n d a p p a r e l ............................................................ 0 3 -1 S y n t h e t ic f ib e r s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 0 3 -2 P ro c e s s e d y a rn s a n d th re a d s ( 1 2 /7 5 = 0 3 -3 G r a y f a b r ic s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................ 100) .. . . 1 0 0 ) ................................... 0 3 -4 F in is h e d f a b r ic s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 0 3 -8 1 A p p a r e l ...................................................................................... 0 3 -8 2 T e x t ile h o u s e f u r n i s h i n g s ................................................... 04 100) .......................... H id e s , s k in s , le a th e r , a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s ................................ ' 1 4 3 .1 1 4 3 .3 1 4 4 .8 1 4 4 .4 1 4 5 .0 1 2 4 .6 1 2 5 .6 1 2 5 .4 1 2 5 .2 1 2 4 .0 1 2 3 .8 1 2 4 .3 1 2 3 .7 1 2 3 .2 '1 2 3 . 0 1 2 2 .9 1 2 2 .3 1 2 2 .4 1 2 2 .5 1 9 3 .8 1 9 3 .4 1 9 4 .1 1 9 4 .5 1 9 5 .0 1 9 4 .8 1 9 5 .1 1 9 5 .4 1 9 5 .7 '1 9 5 . 4 1 9 1 .7 1 9 2 .9 1 9 3 .3 1 9 4 .6 2 4 0 .0 2 4 1 .4 2 4 1 .8 2 3 9 .5 2 3 9 .7 2 3 8 .2 2 3 6 .4 2 3 8 .2 2 3 6 .2 '2 3 6 . 2 2 4 0 .5 2 4 0 .8 2 3 8 .7 2 3 8 .5 2 6 3 .0 2 6 0 .6 2 6 3 .4 2 6 3 .2 2 6 1 .8 2 6 3 .1 2 6 2 .0 2 6 3 .5 2 6 3 .2 '2 6 3 . 2 2 6 5 .2 2 6 5 .6 2 6 5 .0 2 6 5 .9 3 1 0 .6 3 0 9 .8 3 0 7 .7 3 0 7 .4 3 0 4 .9 3 0 9 .2 3 0 9 .5 3 1 2 .8 3 1 4 .3 3 1 4 .9 3 1 2 .7 3 1 6 .0 2 4 8 .2 2 4 7 .5 2 4 6 .9 2 4 8 .0 0 4 -2 L e a t h e r ................................................................... 3 1 1 .3 3 1 3 .3 0 4 -3 F o o tw e a r 2 4 5 .0 2 3 9 .8 2 4 4 .8 2 4 4 .5 2 4 4 .2 2 4 7 .3 2 4 7 .7 2 4 8 .3 2 4 8 .0 2 4 9 .1 0 4 -4 O t h e r le a t h e r a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s ...................................... 2 4 8 .9 2 4 8 .1 2 4 8 .1 2 4 8 .1 2 4 5 .6 2 4 6 .9 2 4 4 .9 2 4 7 .7 2 4 7 .2 '2 4 7 . 1 2 5 3 .1 2 5 4 .6 2 5 5 .0 2 5 4 .5 6 9 3 .4 6 8 9 .7 6 7 0 .6 6 6 2 .2 6 7 7 .3 7 0 1 .1 7 0 5 .6 7 0 0 .4 6 9 8 .8 '7 0 6 . 1 7 0 2 .6 6 8 6 .3 6 7 3 .5 6 6 2 .3 05 ............................................................................ F u e ls a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s a n d p o w e r 0 5 -1 C o a l ................................................................... 0 5 -2 C oke 0 5 -3 G a s fu e ls 2 0 5 -4 .......................... 5 3 5 .3 ............................................................................... 5 2 9 .6 5 3 2 .6 5 3 4 .0 5 3 3 .6 5 3 8 .0 5 3 9 .0 5 3 8 .5 5 3 8 .1 '5 3 9 .6 5 4 0 .3 5 3 2 .3 5 3 4 .6 5 4 0 .0 4 6 1 .8 4 6 7 .5 4 6 7 .5 4 6 7 .5 4 6 2 .0 4 6 0 .3 4 5 9 .1 4 6 0 .0 4 5 2 .3 4 5 2 .3 4 5 2 .3 4 5 0 .9 4 5 0 .9 4 4 7 .3 1 , 0 6 1 .2 9 9 0 .5 9 9 2 .7 1 , 0 0 1 .2 1 ,0 2 7 .5 1 , 0 5 4 .3 1 , 0 7 4 .6 1 ,1 1 2 .2 1 ,1 3 0 .1 '1 , 1 9 0 . 0 1 ,1 7 7 .4 1 ,1 4 3 .5 1 ,1 6 9 .2 1 ,1 9 0 .5 E le c t r ic p o w e r ......................................................... 4 0 6 .6 4 0 3 .7 4 0 6 .3 4 0 7 .1 4 0 5 .7 4 1 6 .0 4 1 4 .9 4 1 5 .0 4 0 8 .7 '4 0 4 . 9 4 1 0 .3 4 1 1 .2 4 1 1 .2 4 1 1 .7 0 5 -6 1 C r u d e p e t r o le u m 3 7 3 3 .5 7 4 4 .8 7 1 7 .9 7 1 7 .8 7 1 8 .2 7 1 8 .4 7 1 8 .4 7 1 8 .3 7 3 5 .3 '7 3 3 . 6 7 2 0 .4 7 2 0 .1 6 9 3 .3 6 7 8 .5 0 5 -7 P e t r o le u m p r o d u c t s , r e f i n e d 4 7 6 1 .5 7 7 0 .6 7 3 3 .5 7 1 3 .2 7 3 9 .4 7 7 6 .5 7 8 1 .7 7 6 1 .6 7 5 4 .6 '7 5 8 . 0 7 5 3 .0 7 2 7 .1 6 9 9 .2 6 7 2 .7 2 9 2 .4 2 9 4 .6 2 9 4 .3 06 ...................................................................................... ................................................... ................................... C h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ................................................... 2 9 5 .0 2 9 3 .3 0 6 -1 In d u s tr ia l c h e m ic a ls 5 3 5 3 .0 3 6 1 .4 3 5 7 .8 3 5 7 .1 3 5 1 .2 3 4 9 .1 3 4 9 .1 3 4 6 .5 3 4 5 .8 '3 4 5 . 2 3 4 2 .9 3 3 9 .9 3 4 1 .0 3 3 9 .4 0 6 -2 1 P r e p a r e d p a i n t ............................................................................................ 2 6 2 .9 2 5 8 .9 2 5 8 .9 2 6 4 .7 2 6 4 .7 2 6 4 .7 2 6 4 .7 2 6 4 .7 2 6 4 .7 '2 6 4 . 7 2 6 5 .1 2 6 5 .1 2 6 5 .1 2 6 5 .1 0 6 -2 2 P a in t m a t e r ia ls 3 0 4 .6 3 0 6 .8 3 0 6 .7 3 0 6 .9 3 0 4 .9 3 0 4 .5 3 0 2 .5 3 0 3 .0 3 0 3 .0 '3 0 2 . 4 3 0 1 .5 3 0 1 .3 2 9 9 .3 2 9 8 .1 '2 1 5 . 5 ......................................................... ................................................................................ 0 6 -3 D r u g s a n d p h a r m a c e u t ic a ls 0 6 -4 F a t s a n d o ils , in e d ib le 0 6 -5 A g r ic u lt u r a l c h e m ic a ls a n d c h e m ic a l p r o d u c t s 0 6 -6 P la s t ic r e s in s a n d m a t e r ia ls 0 6 -7 O t h e r c h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ................................................ 07 ...................................................................... ......................................................................... R u b b e r a n d p la s t ic p r o d u c t s ............................. ............................................................. ............................................................................ 2 1 0 .1 2 0 5 .9 2 9 1 .6 2 9 1 .6 2 9 0 .7 2 8 9 .9 2 9 0 .5 2 8 9 .3 2 8 9 .2 2 9 0 .6 2 9 0 .1 2 0 8 .9 2 0 9 .9 2 0 9 .7 2 1 0 .0 2 1 1 .2 2 1 2 .4 2 1 4 .9 2 1 6 .0 2 1 8 .3 2 6 7 .1 2 9 0 .1 2 8 2 .6 2 8 8 .4 2 8 7 .5 2 7 8 .2 2 5 4 .2 2 5 4 .1 2 4 2 .3 2 3 9 .6 2 4 0 .8 2 4 1 .9 2 5 3 .4 2 6 2 .0 2 9 2 .7 2 9 7 .1 2 9 5 .8 2 9 4 .8 2 9 4 .1 2 9 1 .5 2 9 0 .8 2 8 9 .9 2 8 8 .8 '2 8 6 . 5 2 8 6 .2 2 8 2 .8 2 8 2 .5 2 8 4 .0 2 8 3 .3 2 8 5 .5 2 8 6 .0 2 8 3 .2 2 8 2 .1 2 8 0 .9 2 8 2 .2 2 8 1 .6 2 8 1 .3 '2 8 2 . 2 2 8 1 .4 2 8 2 .8 2 8 2 .3 2 8 2 .8 2 6 9 .8 2 6 8 .5 2 7 0 .0 2 7 2 .7 2 7 3 .8 2 7 1 .1 2 7 2 .3 2 7 1 .2 2 6 8 .6 '2 7 2 . 3 2 7 0 .2 2 7 2 .6 2 7 4 .8 2 7 2 .2 2 4 1 .6 2 4 0 .8 2 4 1 .1 2 4 2 .1 2 4 2 .5 2 4 2 .0 2 4 2 .6 2 4 2 .5 2 4 2 .2 '2 4 1 . 7 2 4 3 .0 2 4 4 .5 2 4 2 .8 2 4 3 .1 2 2 1 .3 2 2 2 .7 0 7 -1 R u b b e r a n d r u b b e r p r o d u c t s ................................................ 2 6 6 .7 2 6 6 .6 2 7 0 .1 2 6 9 .5 2 7 0 .5 2 7 3 .9 2 7 0 .0 2 7 1 .1 0 7 -1 1 C ru d e ru b b e r 2 7 8 .9 2 8 3 .5 2 8 3 .3 2 8 3 .7 2 8 2 .5 2 8 0 .3 2 7 8 .7 2 7 6 .6 2 7 2 .5 '2 7 0 . 9 2 7 1 .0 2 7 1 .0 2 7 4 .2 2 8 1 .1 0 7 -1 2 T ir e s a n d t u b e s ...................................................................................... 2 5 5 .2 2 5 3 .7 2 5 3 .4 2 5 4 .9 2 5 5 .3 2 5 5 .0 2 5 7 .8 2 5 5 .6 2 5 5 .7 '2 5 4 .5 2 5 6 .2 2 5 9 .1 2 5 0 .4 2 5 0 .1 0 7 -1 3 M is c e lla n e o u s r u b b e r p r o d u c t s ............................................................. 2 7 8 .8 2 7 4 .3 2 7 4 .7 2 7 8 .8 2 7 9 .5 2 7 9 .4 2 7 9 .7 2 8 1 .6 2 8 1 .4 '2 8 0 .7 2 8 5 .5 2 9 0 .7 2 9 0 .8 2 9 1 .9 0 7 -2 P la s t ic p r o d u c t s ( 6 / 7 8 = 1 3 2 .2 1 3 2 .3 1 3 2 .6 1 3 2 .5 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .5 1 3 2 .5 1 3 2 .7 1 3 2 .7 '1 3 2 . 7 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .6 1 3 2 .8 1 3 2 .6 2 8 4 .7 2 8 5 .3 2 8 6 .5 2 8 4 .6 2 8 9 .0 2 8 8 .6 2 8 4 .2 2 8 3 .0 2 7 9 .4 2 7 9 ,9 2 8 4 .8 2 9 2 .1 3 0 2 .7 3 0 5 .0 08 ................................................................................................... 100) ............................................................................ L u m b e r a n d w o o d p r o d u c t s ................................................................... 0 8 -1 L u m b e r ................................................................................... 2 6 8 .5 3 1 0 .8 3 0 8 .2 3 1 2 .4 2 6 9 .0 3 1 0 .5 2 6 9 .3 3 1 5 .8 2 6 8 .8 2 6 8 .9 '2 6 7 . 9 3 1 9 .2 3 1 1 .6 3 1 0 .3 3 0 5 .6 3 0 5 .1 3 1 1 .0 3 2 4 .2 3 4 3 .6 3 4 8 .2 0 8 -2 M illw o r k ................................................................................... 2 7 9 .4 2 7 6 .5 2 7 6 .6 2 7 6 .3 2 8 0 .5 2 8 2 .3 2 8 0 .2 2 7 9 .5 2 7 8 .6 2 8 0 .3 2 8 6 .1 2 9 3 ,7 3 0 0 .5 3 0 4 .0 0 8 -3 P ly w o o d ................................................................ 2 3 2 .1 2 3 6 .5 2 3 4 .0 2 3 0 .5 2 3 9 .2 2 3 2 .4 2 2 9 .0 2 2 8 .5 2 2 4 .0 2 2 7 .8 2 3 1 .2 2 3 4 .4 2 3 9 .3 2 3 8 .8 0 8 -4 O t h e r w o o d p r o d u c t s ...................................................................................... 2 3 6 .2 2 3 8 .6 2 3 7 .7 2 3 7 .4 2 3 6 .0 2 3 6 .0 2 3 5 .8 2 3 5 .6 2 3 5 .8 '2 3 3 . 0 2 3 1 .3 2 3 2 .0 2 3 3 .2 2 3 1 .6 S e e f o o t n o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 24. Continued — Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A nnual Code C o m m o d ity g r o u p a n d s u b g ro u p 1982 IN D U S T R IA L C O M M O D IT IE S 09 M ar. A p r. M ay June J u ly 1983 Aug. S e p t. O c t. N o v .’ Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. C o n tin u e d P u lp , p a p e r , a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s ................................................................ 0 9 -1 P u lp , p a p e r , a n d p r o d u c ts , e x c lu d in g b u ild in g p a p e r a n d b o a r d 0 9 -1 1 W o o d p u l p ............................................................................................................ 0 9 -1 2 W a s te p a p e r 0 9 -1 3 P a p e r ......................................................................................... 0 9 -1 4 1982 av erag e 2 8 8 .6 ... ............................................................................... P a p e r b o a r d ................................................................................... 2 8 7 .4 2 8 8 .5 2 8 9 .6 2 8 9 .5 2 8 9 .1 2 8 9 .4 2 8 9 .8 '2 8 9 . 8 2 8 9 .5 2 9 1 .1 2 9 3 .3 2 9 3 .8 2 7 3 .3 2 7 6 ,6 2 7 5 .3 2 7 4 .8 2 7 4 .1 2 7 2 .6 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .5 2 7 0 .3 '2 6 9 . 4 2 6 9 .1 2 6 9 .1 2 6 9 .0 2 6 9 .1 3 7 9 .8 4 1 1 .6 3 8 9 .9 3 9 3 .3 3 8 8 .0 3 6 8 .3 3 6 7 .0 2 8 9 .3 3 6 5 .0 3 5 0 .4 '3 4 7 ,3 3 4 9 .3 3 5 0 .5 3 4 9 .5 3 4 6 .7 1 2 1 .1 1 2 9 .2 1 2 8 .1 1 2 1 .5 1 1 5 .2 1 1 5 .6 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 1 1 6 .0 2 8 6 .6 2 8 9 .6 2 8 9 .4 2 8 8 .2 2 8 7 .8 2 8 6 .3 2 8 5 .3 2 8 5 .3 2 8 5 .4 '2 8 0 .6 2 8 0 .0 2 7 9 .8 2 7 9 .1 2 7 8 .6 2 5 4 .9 2 6 1 .1 2 6 1 .2 2 5 8 .8 2 5 5 .9 2 5 5 .0 2 5 5 .4 2 5 0 .7 2 4 8 .0 2 4 7 .6 2 4 4 .5 2 4 3 .6 2 4 4 .0 2 4 6 .6 0 9 -1 5 C o n v e rte d p a p e r a n d p a p e rb o a rd p ro d u c ts ................................................... 2 6 4 .4 2 6 4 .5 2 6 4 .3 2 6 4 .3 2 6 4 .5 2 6 4 .4 2 6 4 .3 2 6 4 .2 2 6 4 .0 '2 6 4 . 7 2 6 4 .9 2 6 5 .0 2 6 5 .1 2 6 5 .2 0 9 -2 B u ild in g p a p e r a n d b o a r d ............................................................................................ 2 3 9 .3 2 3 9 .6 2 3 6 .3 2 4 0 .2 2 4 0 .0 2 3 9 .8 2 4 4 .4 2 4 3 .4 2 4 2 .1 '2 4 1 .0 2 4 1 .4 2 4 0 .5 2 4 0 .8 2 4 3 .3 ............................................................................................ 3 0 1 .8 3 0 2 .9 3 0 3 .1 3 0 2 .8 2 9 9 .3 2 9 9 .5 2 9 9 .2 3 0 1 .8 3 0 1 .6 '3 0 0 . 5 3 0 0 .9 3 0 1 .7 3 0 6 .1 3 0 5 .4 ..................................................................................................................... 3 3 9 .1 10 M e t a ls a n d m e ta l p r o d u c t s 1 0 -1 Ir o n a n d s t e e l 3 4 2 .5 3 4 2 .8 3 4 1 .3 3 3 8 .3 3 3 7 .5 3 3 7 .1 3 3 6 .5 3 3 7 .6 '3 3 5 . 9 3 3 3 .3 3 3 3 .2 3 4 0 .3 3 4 1 .8 1 0 -1 7 S t e e l m ill p r o d u c t s .................................................................................................. 3 4 9 .7 3 5 0 .5 3 5 2 .2 3 5 2 .1 3 4 9 .9 3 4 9 .0 3 4 8 .6 3 4 8 .2 3 4 9 .8 '3 4 8 . 6 3 4 5 .5 3 4 3 .7 3 5 1 .8 3 5 0 .1 1 0 -2 N o n f e r r o u s m e t a l s .................................................................................................. 2 6 3 .6 2 6 7 .2 2 6 6 .1 2 6 3 .6 2 5 3 .4 2 5 6 .4 2 5 5 .7 2 6 5 .1 2 6 2 .9 '2 6 1 . 7 2 6 4 .0 2 6 7 .6 2 7 5 .5 2 6 8 .8 1 0 -3 M e ta l c o n t a in e r s 3 2 8 .1 3 2 7 .2 3 3 0 .0 3 3 0 .2 3 2 9 .9 3 3 0 .0 3 2 8 .8 3 2 8 .8 3 2 9 .7 '3 2 9 . 0 3 2 5 .7 3 2 7 .0 3 3 0 .3 3 3 1 .6 1 0 -4 H a rd w a re .................................................................................................. ............................................................................................................... 2 7 9 .5 2 7 8 .2 2 7 8 .5 2 7 8 .9 2 8 0 .3 2 8 1 .2 2 8 2 .6 1 0 -5 P lu m b in g fix t u r e s a n d b r a s s f i t t i n g s ................................................... 2 7 8 .7 2 7 9 .1 2 8 0 .3 2 8 1 .0 2 8 2 .6 2 8 3 .3 2 7 4 .6 2 7 7 .1 2 7 7 .8 '2 7 8 . 3 2 7 9 .1 2 8 0 .6 2 8 3 .4 2 8 5 .5 1 0 -6 H e a tin g e q u i p m e n t ......................................................................................................... 2 3 7 .3 2 3 5 .4 2 3 6 .0 2 3 7 .2 2 3 8 .5 2 3 8 .9 2 3 8 .4 2 3 9 .1 2 3 8 .4 '2 3 8 . 8 2 3 9 .3 2 4 0 .1 2 4 0 .8 2 4 1 .1 2 8 2 .7 2 8 3 .0 '2 8 3 . 1 2 8 3 .5 2 8 4 .9 2 8 5 .6 2 8 5 .9 1 0 -7 F a b r ic a t e d s t r u c t u r a l m e ta l p r o d u c t s ................................................................... 3 0 4 .2 3 0 4 .5 3 0 5 .2 3 0 4 .9 3 0 5 .3 3 0 3 .9 3 0 4 .3 3 0 6 .4 3 0 5 .9 '3 0 5 . 3 3 0 4 .6 3 0 3 .3 3 0 2 .5 3 0 3 .7 1 0 -8 M is c e lla n e o u s m e ta l p r o d u c t s ...................................................... 2 8 4 .1 2 7 9 .0 2 7 9 .7 2 8 4 .5 2 8 3 .9 2832 2 8 3 .3 2 8 3 .8 2 8 4 .1 '2 8 3 . 4 2 8 8 .7 2 8 8 .6 2 8 8 .6 2 8 9 .8 2 7 8 .7 2 7 6 .2 2 7 7 .6 2 7 8 .2 2 7 8 .6 2 7 9 .6 279 9 2 8 0 .2 2 8 1 .1 '2 8 1 . 8 2 8 1 .8 2 8 2 .7 2 8 3 .6 2 8 4 .0 3 1 0 .9 3 0 6 .4 3 0 6 .8 3 0 8 .2 3 0 9 .7 3 1 1 .0 3 1 2 .2 3 1 4 .1 3 1 7 .5 '3 1 8 . 7 3 1 9 .9 3 2 1 .4 3 2 2 .5 3 2 2 .8 3 4 1 .5 3 4 3 .5 3 4 3 .9 3 4 7 .5 3 4 7 .9 3 4 8 .1 3 4 9 .6 11 M a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t ................................................................................... 1 1 -1 A g r ic u lt u r a l m a c h in e r y a n d e q u i p m e n t ................................................................ 1 1 -2 C o n s t r u c t io n m a c h in e r y a n d e q u i p m e n t ............................................................. 3 4 3 .8 3 3 9 .2 3 4 7 .6 '3 4 7 , 9 1 1 -3 M e ta lw o r k in g m a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t ......................................................... 3 2 0 .7 3 1 7 .8 3 1 9 .6 3 2 0 .7 3 2 1 .2 3 2 2 .5 3 2 2 .8 3 2 3 .1 3 2 3 .1 '3 2 3 . 5 3 2 3 .1 3 2 3 .7 3 2 4 .5 11=1 G e n e r a l p u r p o s e m a c h in e r y a n d e q u i p m e n t ................................................... 3 0 3 .9 3 0 2 .0 3 0 3 .4 3 0 3 .8 3 0 3 .5 3 0 4 .8 3 0 4 .9 3 0 5 .0 3 0 5 .9 '3 0 6 . 4 3 0 6 .6 3 0 6 .9 3 0 7 .5 3 0 7 .3 1 1 -6 S p e c ia l in d u s tr y m a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t 3 2 5 .2 3 2 1 .3 3 2 2 .9 3 2 3 .9 3 2 5 .0 3 2 7 .1 3 2 6 .7 3 2 6 .8 3 2 7 .8 3 2 9 .1 3 3 0 .1 3 3 1 .7 3 3 2 .9 3 3 3 .7 ................................................... 3 4 6 .1 3 4 6 .5 3 4 8 .6 3 2 4 .8 1 1 -7 E le c t r ic a l m a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t ................................................................... 2 3 1 .5 2 3 0 .3 2 3 1 .7 2 3 1 .3 2 3 1 .5 2 3 1 .6 2 3 1 .8 2 3 1 .7 2 3 2 ,6 '2 3 3 . 7 2 3 3 .3 2 3 4 .3 2 3 5 .8 2 3 6 .1 1 1 -9 M is c e lla n e o u s m a c h i n e r y ............................................................................................ 2 6 8 .2 2 6 4 .9 2 6 6 .1 2 6 7 .9 2 6 8 .5 2 6 9 .5 2 7 0 .9 2 7 1 .5 2 7 1 .6 '2 7 2 . 0 2 7 2 .0 2 7 2 .5 2 7 2 .5 2 7 3 .5 12 F u r n itu r e a n d h o u s e h o ld d u r a b le s ............................................................................ 2 0 6 .8 2 0 5 .5 2 0 6 .0 2 0 6 .5 2 0 7 .0 2 0 6 .8 2 0 8 .1 2 0 8 .3 2 0 8 .9 '2 0 8 . 9 2 0 8 .6 2 1 0 .1 2 1 1 .7 1 2 -1 H o u s e h o ld f u r n i t u r e ......................................................................................................... 2 2 9 .9 2 2 7 .6 2 2 9 .7 2 3 0 .0 2 3 0 .2 2 3 0 .0 2 3 0 .4 2 3 0 .7 2 3 1 .2 '2 3 1 . 4 2 3 1 .8 2 3 1 .5 2 3 1 .6 2 3 2 .9 1 2 -2 C o m m e r c ia l fu r n it u r e 2 7 5 .7 2 7 3 .6 2 7 4 .2 2 7 5 .2 2 7 6 .0 2 7 7 .4 2 7 8 .1 2 7 8 .2 2 7 8 .3 '2 7 8 . 6 2 7 9 .0 2 8 1 .6 2 8 2 .6 2 8 5 .4 1 2 -3 F lo o r c o v e r in g s 1 8 0 ,7 1 8 0 .6 1 8 1 .1 1 8 1 .3 1 8 1 .9 1 8 1 .2 1 8 1 .0 1 8 1 .5 1 8 1 .6 '1 8 1 . 3 1 8 0 .1 1 8 1 .0 1 8 1 .2 1 8 1 .0 12=1 H o u s e h o ld a p p lia n c e s 1 9 8 .8 1 9 7 .3 1 9 7 .8 1 9 8 .9 1 9 9 .6 2 0 0 .2 2 0 1 .0 2 0 1 .2 2 0 1 .3 '2 0 1 . 2 2 0 0 .7 2 0 2 .1 2 0 3 .2 2 0 3 .4 1 2 -5 H o m e e le c t r o n ic e q u ip m e n t 8 8 .1 8 9 .1 8 7 .9 8 8 .0 8 8 .4 8 7 .2 8 8 .0 8 7 .4 8 7 .8 '8 7 . 0 8 7 .2 8 7 .6 8 7 .2 8 7 .2 1 2 -6 O t h e r h o u s e h o ld d u r a b le g o o d s 2 8 8 .2 2 8 5 .0 2 8 5 .9 2 8 5 .4 2 8 6 .1 2 8 5 .1 2 9 1 .8 2 9 3 .4 2 9 6 .5 '2 9 7 . 2 2 9 5 .4 3 0 2 .0 3 1 3 .9 3 1 1 .7 3 2 1 .2 3 2 0 .9 13 ............................................................................... .................................................................................................................. .................................................................................................. ............................................................... ............................................................. N o n m e t a llic m in e r a l p r o d u c t s ...................................................................... 1 3 -1 1 F la t g a s s 1 3 -2 C o n c r e t e in g r e d ie n ts ............................................................................................................ ...................................................... 1 3 -3 C o n c r e t e p r o d u c t s ......................................................................................... 1 3 -4 S t r u c t u r a l c la y p r o d u c ts , e x c lu d in g r e f r a c t o r ie s 1 3 -5 R e fr a c t o r ie s 1 3 -6 A s p h a lt r o o fin g 1 3 -7 G y p s u m p ro d u c ts 1 3 -8 G la s s c o n t a in e r s 1 3 -9 O t h e r n o n m e t a llic m i n e r a l s ............................................................................ 14 ............................................................... ......................................................................... ............................................................................................ T r a n s p o r t a t io n e q u ip m e n t ( 1 2 / 6 8 = 1 4 -1 M o t o r v e h ic le s a n d e q u ip m e n t 14=1 R a ilr o a d e q u ip m e n t 15 ................................ ......................................................................................... 1 0 0 ) ............................................. ............................................ ......................................................................... M is c e lla n e o u s p r o d u c t s ................................................................ 2 1 2 .1 3 2 0 .2 3 1 9 .9 2 2 1 .5 2 1 6 .2 2 1 6 .2 2 2 6 .4 2 2 6 .4 2 2 6 .1 2 2 1 .1 2 2 1 .1 2 2 1 .1 2 2 5 .3 2 2 5 .3 2 2 9 .7 2 2 9 .7 2 2 9 .7 3 1 0 .5 3 0 9 .8 3 0 9 .5 3 1 2 .5 3 1 2 .7 3 1 1 .8 3 1 1 .2 3 1 0 .8 3 0 9 .9 '3 1 0 . 0 3 0 9 .3 3 0 8 .1 3 0 9 .6 3 0 9 .0 2 9 7 .8 2 9 6 .3 2 9 7 .7 2 9 8 .2 2 9 8 .5 3 2 0 .2 3 2 1 .1 3 2 0 .5 3 2 1 .2 3 2 1 .1 '3 2 1 . 2 3 2 0 .9 3 2 1 .5 3 2 1 .9 3 2 1 .9 2 9 8 .8 2 9 9 .0 2 9 8 .7 2 9 8 .6 '2 9 8 .2 2 9 8 .5 2 9 8 .6 2 9 9 .5 3 0 0 .1 2 5 9 .9 2 5 7 .7 2 5 8 .1 2 5 8 .6 2 5 8 .9 2 5 9 .3 2 6 3 .9 2 6 4 .0 2 6 4 .0 '2 6 4 . 8 2 6 4 .3 2 6 4 .4 2 6 4 .4 2 7 0 .9 3 3 7 .3 3 3 7 .4 3 3 8 .7 3 3 9 .5 3 4 0 .4 3 4 0 .4 3 4 0 .7 3 4 0 .8 3 4 0 .8 '3 3 7 . 2 3 3 7 .7 3 3 8 .2 3 3 8 .2 3 3 8 .2 3 9 6 .9 3 9 4 .4 3 8 6 .7 3 8 5 .5 3 9 6 .4 3 9 9 .8 4 0 0 .1 4 1 3 .4 4 0 6 .7 '3 9 9 . 0 3 9 5 .4 3 9 2 .2 3 7 8 .9 3 7 3 .2 2 5 6 .0 2 6 0 .7 2 6 3 .2 2 5 9 .4 2 5 6 .4 2 5 5 .8 2 5 3 .9 2 5 3 .9 2 5 5 .1 '2 5 5 .0 2 5 3 .9 2 5 9 .7 2 6 3 .4 2 6 3 .4 '3 5 7 . 8 3 5 8 .5 3 5 8 .2 3 5 5 .8 3 5 4 .1 3 5 5 .6 3 5 6 .0 3 5 8 .1 3 5 8 .1 3 5 8 .1 3 5 8 .1 3 5 8 .0 3 5 8 .6 3 5 8 .5 4 7 1 .6 4 7 9 .6 4 7 9 .1 4 7 1 .3 4 6 5 .2 4 6 6 .6 4 6 6 .0 4 6 7 .7 4 7 0 .4 4 7 1 .3 4 7 0 .6 4 7 1 .8 4 7 6 .1 4 7 6 .3 2 4 9 .7 2 4 5 .2 2 4 5 .8 2 4 7 .5 2 4 9 .1 2 4 9 .8 2 5 0 .6 2 4 4 .5 2 5 6 .0 '2 5 6 . 3 2 5 7 .5 2 5 7 .1 2 5 7 .3 2 5 7 .1 2 5 1 .3 2 4 6 .8 2 4 7 .2 2 4 9 .2 2 5 1 .1 2 5 2 .0 2 5 2 .8 2 4 4 .6 2 5 7 .8 '2 5 7 . 8 2 5 7 .9 2 5 7 .8 2 5 8 .1 2 5 7 .7 3 4 8 .7 3 4 6 .3 3 4 3 .5 3 4 2 .8 3 4 2 .8 3 4 2 .6 3 4 7 .7 3 4 8 .0 3 5 0 .8 '3 5 0 . 8 3 5 7 .5 3 5 7 .6 3 5 7 .3 3 5 7 .4 2 7 6 .6 2 7 2 .7 2 7 3 .2 2 7 2 .2 2 7 1 .5 2 7 3 .4 2 7 2 .0 2 7 9 .5 2 8 5 .4 '2 8 5 . 2 2 9 0 .3 2 8 4 .7 2 8 5 .7 2 8 4 .4 1 5 -1 T o y s , s p o r t in g g o o d s , s m a ll a r m s , a m m u n i t i o n ............................................ 2 2 5 .6 2 2 6 .2 1 5 -2 T o b a c c o p r o d u c ts 3 2 3 .2 3 0 6 .6 3 0 6 .7 3 0 7 .0 3 0 7 .0 3 1 1 .5 3 1 1 .5 3 2 9 .1 3 6 5 .4 '3 6 4 . 5 3 8 3 .5 3 5 0 .9 3 3 8 .1 3 3 5 .1 1 5 -3 N o t i o n s ......................................................................... 2 7 7 .1 2 7 1 .5 2 7 1 .5 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .1 '2 7 9 . 8 2 8 0 .1 2 8 0 .5 2 8 0 .6 2 8 0 .6 1 5 -4 P h o t o g r a p h ic e q u ip m e n t a n d s u p p lie s 2 1 0 .7 2 1 2 .1 2 1 4 .2 2 1 0 .6 2 1 0 .4 2 0 8 .9 2 0 8 .9 2 0 9 .9 2 0 9 .7 '2 0 9 . 7 2 1 0 .3 2 1 0 .3 2 1 2 .1 2 1 6 .9 1 5 -5 M o b ile h o m e s ( 1 2 / 7 4 1 5 -9 O t h e r m is c e lla n e o u s p r o d u c t s ............................................................................... = ......................................................... 1 0 0 ) ................... ......................................... 2 2 2 .1 2 2 0 .7 2 P r ic e s f o r n a tu r a l g a s a r e la g g e d 1 m o n th . 3 In c lu d e s o n ly d o m e s t ic p r o d u c tio n . 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 2 1 .8 2 2 1 .9 2 2 2 .0 2 2 3 .5 2 2 1 .8 2 2 1 .2 '2 2 1 . 3 2 2 3 .2 2 2 3 .7 1 6 1 .7 1 6 1 .9 1 6 2 .2 1 6 2 .5 1 6 2 .4 1 6 2 .6 1 6 2 .8 1 6 2 .9 1 6 2 .6 '1 6 1 .6 1 6 1 .5 1 6 1 .3 1 6 1 .3 1 6 3 .3 3 3 8 .1 3 3 4 .5 3 3 4 .1 3 3 1 .3 3 2 8 .6 3 3 3 .7 3 2 7 .0 3 4 5 .2 3 4 5 .2 '3 4 5 . 1 3 5 1 .0 3 5 0 .3 3 5 9 .2 3 4 9 .9 1 D a ta f o r N o v e m b e r 1 9 8 2 h a v e b e e n r e v is e d t o r e f le c t th e a v a ila b ilit y o f la t e r e p o r t s a n d c o r r e c t io n s b y r e s p o n d e n ts . A ll d a t a a r e s u b je c t t o r e v is io n 4 m o n th s a f t e r o r ig in a l p u b lic a tio n . 2 2 1 .0 4 M o s t p r ic e s f o r r e fin e d p e t r o le u m p r o d u c t s a r e la g g e d 1 m o n th , 5 S o m e p r ic e s f o r in d u s tr ia l c h e m ic a ls a r e la g g e d 1 m o n th . r = r e v is e d . MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 25. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] Annual C o m m o d i t y g r o u p in g 1983 1982 av erag e 1982 M ar. A p r. M ay June J u ly A ug. S e p t. O c t. N o v .' Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. 3 0 4 .4 A ll c o m m o d i t i e s — l e s s f a r m p r o d u c t s 3 0 3 .0 3 0 1 .4 3 0 0 .9 3 0 1 .2 3 0 2 .2 3 0 3 .9 3 0 4 .1 3 0 3 .7 3 0 4 .7 '3 0 5 . 1 3 0 5 .2 3 0 4 .6 3 0 5 .2 A ll f o o d s 2 5 4 .5 2 5 1 .6 2 5 4 .7 2 5 7 .9 2 5 9 .0 2 5 6 .6 2 5 5 .8 2 5 5 .3 2 5 2 .8 '2 5 1 . 9 2 5 2 .7 2 5 2 .4 2 5 4 .7 P ro c e s s e d fo o d s 2 5 6 .1 2 5 2 .1 2 5 5 .1 2 5 9 .0 2 6 0 .8 2 5 9 .5 2 5 8 .7 2 5 9 .2 2 5 6 .2 '2 5 4 . 7 2 5 4 .8 2 5 5 .8 2 5 8 .2 2 5 8 .6 2 7 7 .0 2 7 7 .0 2 5 5 .5 2 7 2 .6 2 7 2 .5 2 7 4 .4 2 7 4 .4 2 7 4 .8 2 7 5 .4 ............................. 1 3 8 .2 1 3 9 .0 1 3 9 .0 1 3 8 .7 1 3 8 .2 1 3 7 .6 1 3 7 .8 1 3 7 .8 1 3 7 .4 1 3 7 .1 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .1 ............................................................................................................................ 1 3 8 .3 1 3 7 .5 1 3 8 .0 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .5 1 3 8 .7 1 3 8 .7 1 3 9 .7 1 3 9 .7 1 4 1 .7 1 4 4 .5 1 4 4 .5 U n d e r w e a r a n d n i g h t w e a r ................................................................................... 2 1 7 .4 2 1 5 .9 2 1 5 .9 2 1 5 .9 2 1 7 .4 2 1 8 .6 2 1 8 .6 2 1 9 .6 2 2 0 .1 '2 1 9 . 7 2 1 9 .5 2 2 3 .1 2 2 2 .3 2 2 3 .8 2 8 4 .5 2 8 2 .9 2 8 3 .3 2 8 2 .5 2 8 1 .8 '2 8 2 .3 2 8 1 .2 2 8 0 .8 2 8 1 .6 2 8 1 .1 In d u s tr ia l c o m m o d it ie s le s s f u e ls ................................................................... S e le c t e d t e x t ile m ill p r o d u c t s ( D e c . 1 9 7 5 H o s ie r y 100) 2 7 2 .8 2 7 1 .7 2 7 2 .3 2 7 2 .8 2 7 2 .4 2 7 2 .5 C h e m ic a ls a n d a llie d p r o d u c t s , in c lu d in g s y n t h e t ic r u b b e r 2 8 3 .9 2 8 5 .6 2 8 5 .6 2 8 6 .1 ............................................................................ 2 0 6 .0 2 0 1 .1 2 0 4 .5 2 0 5 .8 2 0 5 .4 2 0 5 .9 2 0 7 .4 2 0 9 .0 2 1 1 .7 2 1 2 .3 2 1 3 .0 2 1 5 .5 2 1 8 .4 2 2 0 .0 L u m b e r a n d w o o d p r o d u c ts , e x c lu d in g m l l l w o r k ................................... 2 8 8 .8 2 8 8 .5 2 9 0 .5 2 8 8 .1 2 9 4 .5 2 9 4 .6 2 8 8 .3 2 8 7 .2 2 8 2 .5 '2 8 3 . 4 2 8 8 .6 2 9 8 .7 3 1 3 .5 3 1 6 .4 3 4 9 .9 3 4 8 .4 3 4 8 .1 3 4 7 .8 3 4 9 .1 3 4 8 .5 3 4 4 .8 3 4 3 .1 3 5 0 .5 3 4 8 .8 a n d fib e r s a n d y a r n s ......................................................................................... P h a r m a c e u t ic a l p r e p a r a t io n s S t e e l m ill p r o d u c ts , in c lu d in g f a b r ic a t e d w ir e p r o d u c t s ................... 3 4 9 .4 3 5 0 .5 3 5 2 .2 3 5 2 .1 3 4 8 .4 3 4 9 .2 3 5 1 .0 3 5 0 .9 3 4 8 .6 3 4 7 .7 3 4 7 .3 3 4 6 .9 3 4 8 .6 3 4 8 .0 3 4 4 .0 3 4 2 .1 3 5 0 .5 3 4 8 .7 3 4 8 .6 3 4 7 .0 3 4 6 .7 3 4 6 .3 3 4 7 .8 3 4 7 .2 3 4 3 .3 3 4 1 .5 3 4 9 .1 3 4 7 .4 F in is h e d s t e e l m ill p r o d u c t s , e x c lu d in g f a b r ic a t e d w ir e p r o d u c t s ..................................................................................................................... F in is h e d s te e l m ill p r o d u c ts , in c lu d in g f a b r ic a t e d w ir e 3 4 8 .1 3 4 9 .2 3 5 1 .0 3 5 0 .9 ............................................................ 2 8 6 .7 2 8 5 .3 2 8 5 .6 2 8 6 .3 2 8 5 .2 2 8 5 .7 2 8 5 .8 2 8 4 .0 2 8 9 .5 '2 8 8 . 9 2 8 9 .2 2 8 9 .7 2 9 2 .3 2 9 1 .8 F a b r ic a t e d m e ta l p r o d u c t s ................................................................................... 2 9 2 .0 2 8 9 .9 2 9 0 .8 2 9 2 .6 2 9 2 .8 2 9 2 .0 2 9 1 .9 2 9 2 .9 2 9 3 .0 '2 9 2 . 5 2 9 4 .0 2 9 3 .9 2 9 4 .2 2 9 5 .3 1 7 9 .8 1 8 1 .0 1 7 8 .8 '1 8 1 . 2 1 8 2 .1 1 9 0 .5 2 0 1 .6 1 9 9 .0 2 7 3 .3 2 7 0 .7 2 7 6 .4 '2 7 7 . 0 2 7 7 .6 2 7 7 .9 2 7 8 .5 2 7 8 .6 p ro d u c t s ..................................................................................................................... S p e c ia l m e t a ls a n d m e ta l p r o d u c t s C o p p e r a n d c o p p e r p r o d u c t s ............................................................................ 1 8 5 .6 1 9 0 .8 1 9 1 .6 1 9 3 .0 1 7 9 .7 1 7 9 .2 M a c h in e r y a n d m o t iv e p r o d u c t s ...................................................................... 2 7 2 .1 2 6 8 .5 2 6 9 .6 2 7 0 .7 2 7 1 .7 2 7 2 .8 M a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t , e x c e p t e l e c t r ic a l 3 0 6 .3 3 0 3 .1 3 0 4 .6 3 0 5 .7 3 0 6 .2 3 0 7 .6 3 0 8 .1 3 0 8 .6 3 0 9 .4 '3 1 0 . 0 3 1 0 .3 3 1 1 .1 3 1 1 .6 3 1 2 .1 3 2 2 .8 3 2 5 .5 3 3 0 .6 '3 3 2 . 2 3 3 3 .7 3 3 6 .0 3 3 7 .1 3 3 7 .4 13 5 5 ./ ......................................... 3 2 2 .8 3 1 8 .4 3 2 1 .3 3 2 1 .8 3 5 0 .4 3 4 6 .4 3 4 8 .8 3 4 9 .3 3 5 0 .1 3 5 2 .6 3 5 3 .1 3 5 3 .5 3 5 4 .1 '3 5 4 . 2 3 5 4 .2 3 5 4 .8 3 5 5 .9 .. . . 2 3 9 .8 2 3 9 .9 2 3 9 .9 2 3 9 .9 2 4 0 .0 2 3 9 .2 2 3 9 .2 2 3 9 .4 2 3 9 .4 '2 3 9 . 4 2 3 9 .8 2 3 8 .0 2 3 8 .7 ............................................................................................................... 3 5 4 .7 3 4 9 .1 3 5 2 .4 3 5 3 .6 3 5 4 .1 3 5 4 .8 3 5 5 .5 3 5 9 .6 3 6 1 .4 '3 6 1 . 4 3 6 3 .2 3 6 5 .3 3 6 5 .6 3 6 5 .7 3 2 0 .1 '3 2 1 . 5 3 2 3 .1 3 2 5 .1 3 2 6 .1 3 2 6 .4 3 3 9 .1 3 4 2 .2 3 4 2 .2 A g r ic u lt u r a l m a c h in e r y , in c lu d in g t r a c t o r s M e t a lw o r k in g m a c h in e r y ................................................ ...................................................................................... N u m e r ic a lly c o n t r o lle d m a c h in e t o o ls ( D e c . 1 9 7 1 T o ta l tr a c to r s = 100) 3 1 9 .0 3 1 9 .9 2 3 6 .8 A g r ic u lt u r a l m a c h in e r y a n d e q u ip m e n t le s s p a r t s ................................ 3 1 3 .5 3 0 9 .7 3 1 0 .3 3 1 1 .0 3 1 2 .2 3 1 2 .8 3 1 3 .6 3 1 5 .8 F a r m a n d g a r d e n tr a c t o r s le s s p a r t s 3 2 7 .4 3 2 3 .5 3 2 3 .5 3 2 5 .0 3 2 5 .8 3 2 5 .4 3 2 6 .0 3 3 3 .0 3 3 6 .1 '3 3 6 . 1 3 1 9 .3 3 1 4 .6 3 1 5 .6 3 1 6 .1 3 1 7 .9 3 1 9 .1 3 2 0 .4 3 1 9 .6 3 2 6 .4 '3 2 9 . 3 3 2 9 .6 3 3 1 .2 3 3 3 .3 3 3 3 .7 2 8 8 .3 2 8 8 .4 2 8 8 .0 '2 8 7 . 8 2 8 8 .3 2 9 0 .0 2 9 4 .4 2 9 4 .9 Aug. S e p t. O c t. N o v .’ Dec. Jan. Feb. ......................................................... A g r ic u lt u r a l m a c h in e r y , e x c lu d in g tr a c t o r s le s s p a r t s ...................... C o n s t r u c t io n m a t e r i a l s ............................................................................................ 2 8 8 .0 2 8 7 .5 2 8 8 .2 2 8 8 .2 2 8 9 .5 1 D a t a f o r N o v e m b e r 1 9 8 2 h a v e b e e n r e v is e d t o r e f le c t th e a v a ila b ilit y o f la t e r e p o r t s a n d c o r r e c t io n s 2 8 9 .2 3 4 2 .2 r = r e v is e d , b y r e s p o n d e n ts . A ll d a t a a r e s u b je c t t o r e v is io n 4 m o n th s a f t e r o r ig in a l p u b lic a tio n . 26. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ] 1983 1982 A nnual C o m m o d i t y g r o u p in g av erag e 1982 M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly M ar. 2 8 5 .1 2 7 9 .0 2 7 7 .4 2 7 8 .1 2 7 8 .5 2 7 8 .3 2 7 8 .9 2 7 8 .8 2 7 8 .6 2 8 1 .2 2 8 1 .2 2 8 2 .0 2 8 2 .8 2 8 5 .2 ................................... 3 1 5 .3 3 1 4 .2 3 1 3 .6 3 1 4 .5 3 1 6 .0 3 1 7 .6 3 1 7 .1 3 1 5 .7 3 1 4 .3 '3 1 5 . 3 3 1 5 .1 3 1 3 .4 3 1 3 .5 3 1 2 .4 T o t a l n o n d u r a b le g o o d s ............................. '2 9 3 . 9 2 9 4 .1 2 9 3 .7 2 9 4 .1 2 9 3 .0 T o t a l d u r a b le g o o d s T o ta l m a n u fa c tu re s D u r a b le ...................................... ...................................................... N o n d u r a b le ............................................ T o t a l r a w o r s lig h t ly p r o c e s s e d g o o d s D u r a b le ...................................................... N o n d u r a b le ............................................ 2 9 2 .7 2 9 1 .4 2 9 1 .3 2 9 2 .4 2 9 2 .9 2 9 3 .8 2 7 9 .9 2 7 7 .8 2 7 8 .7 2 7 9 .2 2 7 9 .3 2 7 9 .9 2 7 9 .8 2 7 9 .6 2 8 2 .3 2 8 2 .4 2 8 3 .2 2 8 3 .9 2 8 6 .1 2 8 5 .8 3 0 6 .4 3 0 5 .9 3 0 4 .1 3 0 4 .0 3 0 6 .3 3 0 8 .5 3 0 8 .6 3 0 7 .1 3 0 6 .0 '3 0 6 . 1 3 0 5 .6 3 0 3 .9 3 0 2 .3 3 0 0 .5 2 9 1 .1 2 9 3 .7 2 9 3 .8 3 3 1 .3 3 2 9 .7 3 3 1 .9 3 3 5 .1 3 3 3 .4 3 3 3 .2 3 3 1 .1 3 2 9 .9 3 2 7 .9 '3 3 0 . 9 3 3 1 .5 3 3 0 .3 3 3 6 .2 3 3 8 .1 2 3 4 .1 2 5 0 .1 2 4 5 .3 2 3 9 .7 2 2 5 .4 2 2 5 .3 2 2 5 .0 2 2 6 .2 2 2 4 .2 '2 1 9 . 2 2 1 8 .2 2 2 5 .2 2 3 6 .3 2 4 4 .3 3 3 7 .4 3 3 4 .5 3 3 7 .2 3 4 1 .1 3 4 0 .3 3 4 0 .1 3 3 7 .9 3 3 6 .5 3 3 4 .5 '3 3 8 . 1 3 3 8 .8 3 3 7 .0 3 4 2 .5 3 4 3 .9 1 D a ta f o r N o v e m b e r 1 9 8 2 h a v e b e e n r e v is e d t o r e f le c t t h e a v a ila b ilit y o f la t e r e p o r t s a n d c o r r e c t io n s r = r e v is e d , b y r e s p o n d e n ts . A ll d a t a a r e s u b je c t t o r e v is io n 4 m o n t h s a f t e r o r ig in a l p u b lic a tio n . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. [1 9 6 7 = Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries 1 0 0 u n le s s o t h e r w is e s p e c ifie d ] A nnual 1972 1983 1982 In d u s t r y d e s c r i p t i o n S IC 1982 code M a r. A p r. M ay June J u ly Aug. S e p t. O c t. N o v .1 Dec. Jan. Feb. M a r. M IN IN G 10 1 1 Ir o n o r e s ( 1 2 / 7 5 - 1 0 0 ) ......................................................................... 1092 M e rc u ry o re s (1 2 /7 5 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 1 7 5 .2 1 7 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 7 .1 1 7 7 .1 3 1 2 .2 3 2 5 .0 3 2 7 .0 3 0 8 .3 3 0 7 .5 3 0 6 .2 2 8 7 .5 2 8 9 .5 3 1 2 .5 3 0 8 .3 3 1 2 .5 3 0 6 .2 2 8 9 .5 2 8 5 .4 9 2 6 .7 9 3 7 .6 r 9 4 5 .9 9 6 9 .0 9 5 6 .0 9 4 2 .8 9 3 8 .4 9 3 9 .5 1311 C r u d e p e t r o le u m a n d n a tu r a l g a s ...................................................... 9 2 5 .7 9 0 5 .4 8 9 3 .3 9 0 1 .2 9 1 4 .3 9 2 4 .3 1455 K a o lin a n d b a ll c l a y ( 6 / 7 6 = 1 5 1 .2 1 4 9 .6 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 1 .7 1 5 3 .6 1 5 6 .3 1 5 8 .4 2021 C r e a m e r y b u t t e r ............................................................................................ 2 7 6 .0 2 7 6 .8 2 7 5 .3 2 7 4 .9 2 7 4 .9 2 7 5 .0 2 7 6 .3 2 7 6 .8 2 7 6 .8 2 7 6 .5 2 7 7 .8 2 7 5 .5 2 7 5 .6 2 7 5 .6 2024 Ic e c r e a m a n d f r o z e n d e s s e r t s ( 1 2 / 7 2 = ...................... 2 1 4 .4 2 1 0 .9 2 1 4 .2 2 1 4 .2 2 1 4 .2 2 1 3 .6 2 1 3 .6 2 1 6 .5 2 1 6 .5 2 1 6 .5 2 1 6 .5 2 1 6 .5 2 1 7 .7 2 1 7 .7 2041 F lo u r m ills ( 1 2 / 7 1 1 0 0 ) ...................................................................... 1 8 6 .2 1 8 7 .3 1 9 2 .5 1 8 8 .4 1 8 9 .1 1 8 5 .5 1 8 0 .2 1 8 2 .2 1 7 9 .6 1 8 4 .8 1 8 5 .5 1 8 2 .6 1 8 1 .7 1 7 5 .2 1 9 6 .1 1 9 1 .3 1 8 3 .0 1 8 3 .0 3 0 6 .0 3 0 6 .1 3 2 6 .0 3 2 6 .0 3 2 6 .1 100) .................................................. M A N U F A C T U R IN G - 100) 1 8 3 .8 2044 R ic e m i l l i n g ......................................................................................................... 1 8 5 .1 1 8 3 .5 1 7 7 .9 1 8 3 .0 1 8 0 .3 1 7 7 .6 1 8 3 .0 1 8 3 .0 1 8 3 .0 2067 C h e w in g g u m .................................................................................................. 3 0 4 .1 3 0 3 .3 3 0 3 .4 3 0 3 .4 3 0 3 .4 3 0 3 .3 3 0 4 .7 3 0 4 .7 3 0 4 .8 2074 C o t t o n s e e d o il m i l l s ...................................................................................... 1 6 8 .3 1 5 8 .1 1 6 4 .7 1 6 7 .9 1 7 0 .2 1 7 4 .6 1 7 3 .1 1 6 4 ,4 1 5 7 .6 '1 6 4 . 1 1 6 9 .4 1 5 7 .5 1 6 0 .4 1 5 3 .8 2083 M a l t ......................................................................................................................... 2 5 6 .9 2 6 7 .1 2 5 9 .1 2 5 9 .8 2 5 9 .8 2 5 9 .8 2 5 9 .8 2 5 1 .2 2 5 1 .2 2 4 0 .6 2 4 0 .6 2 3 2 .6 2 3 2 .6 2 3 2 .6 1 4 1 .3 2085 D is tille d liq u o r , e x c e p t b r a n d y ( 1 2 / 7 5 - 1 0 0 ) .......................... 1 4 0 .1 1 4 0 .2 1 4 0 .2 1 3 9 .8 1 3 9 .8 1 3 9 .8 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .4 1 4 1 .3 1 4 1 .3 1 4 1 .3 1 4 1 .3 2091 C a n n e d a n d c u re d s e a fo o d s ( 1 2 /7 3 - 1 0 0 ) ............................ 1 8 7 .0 1 8 7 .7 1 8 8 .2 1 8 8 .0 1 8 8 .4 1 8 7 .8 1 8 4 .3 1 8 6 .2 1 8 6 .3 1 8 6 .4 1 8 6 .6 1 8 2 .8 1 7 9 .2 1 7 7 .9 2098 M a c a r o n i a n d s p a g h e t t i ............................................................................ 2 5 8 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 9 .5 2 5 5 .5 2 5 5 .5 2 5 5 .5 2 5 5 .5 2 5 5 .5 2 5 5 .5 2251 W o m e n ’s h o s ie r y , e x c e p t s o c k s ( 1 2 / 7 5 - ................... 1 1 6 .8 1 1 6 .1 1 1 6 .2 1 1 6 .9 1 1 6 .9 1 1 6 .8 1 1 6 .9 1 1 6 .9 '1 1 8 . 5 1 1 8 .4 1 1 8 .6 1 2 2 .7 2261 F in is h in g p la n ts , c o t t o n ( 6 / 7 6 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................ 1 3 9 .5 1 4 0 .8 1 4 1 .6 1 4 1 .5 1 4 1 .4 1 4 0 .3 1 3 9 .8 1 3 8 .5 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .2 1 3 6 .1 1 3 5 .3 1 3 6 .0 1 3 6 .1 1 0 0 ) ......................... 1 2 8 .2 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .5 1 2 8 .4 1 2 7 .6 1 2 6 .8 1 2 9 .0 1 2 8 .2 '1 2 7 .5 '1 2 7 . 8 1 2 7 .2 1 2 5 .6 1 2 5 .5 1 2 5 .0 ................................................................... 1 5 7 .2 1 5 6 .8 1 5 6 .7 1 5 6 .6 1 5 6 .6 1 5 6 .5 1 5 8 .0 1 5 8 .0 1 5 7 .9 '1 5 7 .9 1 5 7 .8 1 5 7 .9 1 6 1 .9 1 6 5 .6 100) '1 1 6 . 9 1 2 2 .8 2262 F in is h in g p la n ts , s y n t h e tic s , s ilk ( 6 / 7 6 - 2284 T h r e a d m ills ( 6 / 7 6 - 2298 C o r d a g e a n d tw in e ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................... 1 4 1 .5 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 1 .0 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .6 1 4 2 .7 1 4 2 .8 2321 M e n 's a n d b o y s ' s h ir t s a n d n i g h t w e a r ............................................ 2 1 4 .6 2 1 6 .9 2 1 7 .3 2 1 7 .5 2 1 7 .8 2 1 8 .1 2 1 8 .2 2 2 1 .5 '2 2 1 . 6 '2 2 1 . 6 2 2 0 .4 2 2 3 .4 2 2 3 .5 2 2 2 .5 100) 1 1 9 .5 1 1 7 .3 1 1 7 .3 1 1 7 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 5 .8 1 2 6 .5 1 2 6 .5 1 2 6 .5 1 2 6 .6 1 2 6 .4 1 2 6 .7 1 2 6 .6 '1 2 6 . 7 '1 2 8 . 5 1 2 4 .8 1 2 4 .8 1 2 4 .7 1 2 5 .3 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1 2 0 .6 1 2 3 .2 1 2 2 .2 1 2 2 .2 1 2 2 .2 1 1 9 .4 1 2 0 .3 1 1 8 .6 1 1 8 .6 1 1 7 .0 1 1 7 .0 1 1 7 .0 1 1 7 .0 1 1 5 .5 ............................................................ 2 9 2 .1 2 9 5 .5 2 9 5 .5 2 9 5 .5 2 9 4 .5 2 9 4 .5 2 8 8 .2 2 8 8 .2 2 8 7 .4 2 8 7 .4 2 8 7 .4 2 8 8 .8 2 8 8 .8 2 8 8 .8 1 4 6 .8 2323 M e n ’s a n d b o y s ’ n e c k w e a r ( 1 2 / 7 5 - 2331 W o m e n ’s a n d m is s e s ’ b lo u s e s a n d w a is t s ( 6 / 7 8 = 2361 C h ild r e n ’s d r e s s e s a n d b lo u s e s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................ 2381 F a b r ic d r e s s a n d w o r k g lo v e s 2394 C a n v a s a n d r e la t e d p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 2396 A u t o m o t iv e a n d a p p a r e l tr im m in g s ( 1 2 / 7 7 = 2448 W o o d p a lle t s a n d s k id s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = . ......................... 1 4 5 .6 1 4 7 .2 1 4 5 .7 1 4 5 .9 1 4 3 .1 1 4 3 .1 1 4 3 .1 1 4 4 .8 '1 4 7 . 3 '1 4 7 . 3 1 4 8 .0 1 4 9 .4 1 4 9 .4 1 0 0 ) ................ 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 1 .0 ...................................... 1 4 5 .5 1 4 8 .2 1 4 5 .9 1 4 4 .7 1 4 4 .2 1 4 4 .1 1 4 3 .9 1 4 3 .8 1 4 4 .3 '1 4 4 . 2 1 4 4 .5 1 4 4 .5 1 4 5 .1 1 4 5 .6 2 0 8 .7 2 0 8 .7 2 0 8 .7 2 7 8 .7 100) 100) 100) • 1 3 1 .0 2515 M a t t r e s s e s a n d b e d s p r in g s ................................................................... 2 0 7 .2 2 0 5 .6 2 0 5 .7 2 0 5 .9 2 0 5 .9 2 0 5 .7 2 0 5 .9 2 0 6 .0 '2 0 6 .0 '2 0 6 . 0 2 1 0 .3 2521 W o o d o f f ic e f u r n i t u r e .................................................................................. 2 7 0 .6 2 7 0 .8 2 7 0 .8 2 7 0 .8 2 7 0 .8 2 7 0 .9 2 7 1 .3 2 7 1 .3 '2 7 1 . 4 '2 7 1 . 4 2 7 2 .4 2 7 2 .5 2 7 2 .5 '3 5 1 . 8 '3 5 7 . 8 3 5 6 .6 3 5 6 .9 3 5 9 .6 3 5 9 .6 '2 6 1 . 7 '2 6 1 . 7 2 6 3 .2 2 6 3 .2 2 6 3 .1 2 6 6 .7 2647 S a n it a r y p a p e r p r o d u c t s ......................................................................... 3 4 8 .4 3 4 4 .5 3 4 4 .5 3 4 3 .6 3 4 6 .2 3 4 6 .9 3 5 1 .5 3 5 2 .3 2654 S a n it a r y f o o d c o n t a in e r s ......................................................................... 2 6 0 .2 2 6 0 .0 2 5 9 .9 2 5 9 .9 2 5 9 .9 2 5 9 .9 2 5 9 .9 2 6 0 .8 2655 F ib e r c a n s , d r u m s , a n d s im ila r p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 2911 P e t r o le u m r e fin in g ( 6 / 7 6 - 100) 100) . . 1 7 7 .8 1 7 6 .5 1 7 6 .5 1 7 6 .7 1 7 6 .7 1 7 6 .7 1 7 7 .5 1 7 7 .5 1 8 0 .7 1 8 3 .8 1 8 3 .8 1 8 3 .8 1 8 3 .8 ...................................................... 2 7 8 .4 2 8 1 .7 2 6 7 .4 2 5 9 .2 2 6 7 .9 2 8 1 .5 2 8 3 .7 2 7 9 .6 '2 7 8 . 3 '2 8 0 . 1 2 7 8 .4 2 6 8 .3 2 5 8 .5 2 4 9 .7 1 8 0 .4 '1 7 7 . 2 '1 7 3 . 7 1 7 2 .3 1 7 0 .8 1 6 5 .1 1 6 2 .6 '1 7 7 . 9 2952 A s p h a lt f e lt s a n d c o a tin g ( 1 2 / 7 5 = ................................... 1 7 2 .9 1 7 1 .2 1 6 8 .1 1 6 8 .4 1 7 3 .1 1 7 4 .7 1 7 4 .4 3031 R e c la im e d r u b b e r ( 1 2 / 7 3 - ...................................................... 2 0 7 .1 2 0 7 .2 2 0 9 .2 2 0 9 .5 2 1 0 .7 2 0 9 .9 2 0 9 .7 2 0 9 .8 '2 0 9 . 8 '2 0 9 . 3 2 0 6 .5 2 0 7 .1 2 0 7 .4 2 0 7 .0 3251 B r ic k a n d s t r u c t u r a l c la y t i l e ................................................................... 3 0 6 .6 2 9 9 .4 3 0 3 .4 3 0 4 .5 3 0 5 .0 3 0 5 .9 3 1 3 .8 3 1 4 .0 '3 1 4 . 0 '3 1 5 . 5 3 1 6 .9 3 1 7 .1 3 1 7 .1 3 2 9 .8 3253 C e r a m ic w a ll a n d f l o o r tile ( 1 2 / 7 5 = ................................ 1 3 9 .7 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .7 1 4 0 .7 '1 4 0 . 7 '1 4 0 . 7 1 3 8 .0 1 3 8 .0 1 3 8 .0 1 3 8 .1 3255 C la y r e f r a c t o r i e s ............................................................................................ 3 5 3 .1 3 5 5 .6 3 5 5 .2 3 5 5 .5 3 5 6 .2 3 5 6 .3 3 5 6 .8 3 5 6 .9 '3 5 7 . 0 '3 5 0 . 3 3 5 1 .2 3 5 2 .0 3 5 2 .0 3 5 2 .1 2 1 9 .4 100) 100) 100) 3259 S t r u c t u r a l c la y p r o d u c ts , n . e . c ................................................................ 2 1 9 .8 2 2 5 .9 2 1 5 .9 2 1 5 .8 2 1 5 .9 2 1 5 .9 2 1 9 .0 2 1 9 .0 '2 1 9 . 0 '2 1 8 . 9 2 1 9 .5 2 1 9 .5 2 1 9 .5 3261 V it r e o u s p lu m b in g fix t u r e s ...................................................................... 2 6 5 .0 2 6 0 .8 2 6 1 .8 2 6 5 .4 2 6 5 .5 2 6 4 .2 2 6 3 .9 2 6 7 .2 2 6 9 .1 2 7 0 .3 2 6 9 .7 2 7 2 .1 2 7 3 .3 3262 V it r e o u s c h in a f o o d u t e n s i l s ................................................................... 3 5 4 .3 3 4 7 .3 3 4 6 .5 3 5 5 .5 3 6 0 .2 3 6 0 .2 3 6 0 .2 3 6 0 .2 '3 6 0 . 8 '3 7 0 .2 3 6 6 .8 3 6 9 .2 3 6 9 .2 3 6 9 .2 3 1 6 .9 3 1 6 .9 '3 2 3 . 5 '3 2 4 . 8 3 2 3 .7 3 6 3 .5 3 6 3 .5 3 6 3 .5 1 8 3 .8 2 7 5 .1 3263 F in e e a r t h e n w a r e f o o d u t e n s i l s ............................................................ 3 1 7 .5 3 1 5 .0 3 1 4 .9 3 1 6 .2 3 1 6 .9 3 1 6 .9 3269 P o t t e r y p r o d u c ts , n .e .c . ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 1 6 6 .4 1 6 4 .2 1 6 4 .0 1 6 6 .3 1 6 7 .4 1 6 7 .4 1 6 7 .4 1 6 7 .4 '1 6 9 .6 '1 7 1 . 9 1 7 0 .9 1 8 3 .8 1 8 3 .8 3274 L im e ( 1 2 / 7 5 - 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................. 1 8 6 .4 1 8 5 .7 1 8 6 .3 1 8 8 .0 1 8 8 .3 1 8 8 .0 1 8 8 .0 1 8 7 .8 '1 8 7 .7 '1 8 7 . 5 1 8 6 .0 1 8 7 .5 1 8 5 .8 1 8 5 .4 3297 N o n c la y r e f r a c t o r ie s ( 1 2 / 7 4 = 2 0 1 .8 2 0 0 .4 2 0 2 .3 2 0 3 .2 2 0 3 .8 2 0 3 .8 2 0 3 .8 2 0 3 .8 2 0 3 .8 2 0 3 .7 2 0 3 .6 2 0 3 .7 2 0 3 .6 2 0 3 .6 3313 E le c tr o m e t a llu r g ic a l p r o d u c t s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................... 3425 H a n d s a w s a n d s a w b la d e s ( 1 2 / 7 2 = 3482 S m a ll a r m s a m m u n itio n ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 3623 W e ld in g a p p a r a t u s , e l e c t r ic ( 1 2 / 7 2 = ......................... 1 2 1 .4 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .3 1 2 0 .4 1 2 0 .4 1 2 1 .4 1 2 1 .4 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 1 .2 1 2 1 .1 1 2 1 .2 1 2 1 .1 ............................. 2 1 8 .9 2 1 4 .9 2 1 5 .3 2 2 1 .3 2 2 1 .4 2 2 1 .5 2 2 1 .6 2 2 1 .6 '2 2 1 .6 '2 2 1 . 8 2 2 1 .2 2 2 1 .4 2 2 6 .0 2 2 5 .9 ...................................... 1 7 0 .7 1 6 7 .5 1 6 6 .3 1 6 6 .3 1 7 0 .3 1 7 0 .3 1 7 0 .3 1 4 9 .0 '1 5 0 . 1 '1 5 0 .6 1 7 4 .8 1 8 0 .9 1 8 0 .9 1 8 7 .7 1 0 0 ) ................................ 2 3 7 .9 2 3 2 .3 2 3 7 .6 2 3 7 .6 2 3 7 .8 2 4 1 .6 2 4 2 .4 2 4 2 .8 '2 4 3 . 0 '2 4 3 .3 2 3 8 .3 2 3 8 .5 2 3 8 .9 2 3 8 .3 100) 100) 100) 3636 S e w in g m a c h in e s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ...................................................... 1 5 4 .3 1 5 5 .8 1 5 4 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 3 .6 1 5 3 .6 '1 5 4 . 2 '1 5 4 .2 1 5 3 .6 1 5 3 .6 1 5 3 .8 1 5 4 .4 3641 E l e c t . 'c l a m p s .................................................................................................. 2 9 4 .0 2 8 3 .6 2 9 6 .6 2 9 4 .5 2 9 3 .9 2 9 1 .8 2 9 3 .7 2 9 6 .3 3 0 2 .9 3 0 3 .0 3 0 3 .4 3 0 5 .6 3 1 1 .1 3 1 1 .4 3648 L ig h tin g e q u ip m e n t , n .e .c . ( 1 2 / 7 5 = '1 7 1 . 3 3671 E le c t r o n t u b e s , r e c e iv in g t y p e 3942 D o lls ( 1 2 / 7 5 = ................................... 1 7 0 .0 1 6 8 .8 1 7 0 .9 1 7 1 .2 1 7 1 .1 1 7 1 .1 1 7 1 .2 1 7 1 .2 '1 7 1 . 3 1 7 1 .5 1 7 1 .5 1 7 1 .7 1 7 1 .7 ............................................................ 3 8 2 .3 3 7 4 .4 3 7 4 .5 3 7 4 .4 3 7 4 .5 3 7 5 .4 3 7 5 .4 3 8 0 .2 '3 8 0 . 3 '4 1 4 . 0 4 1 4 .5 4 3 1 .6 4 3 2 .0 4 3 1 .9 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .6 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .8 '1 3 6 . 8 '1 3 6 . 8 1 3 6 .5 1 3 6 .8 1 3 6 .5 1 3 6 .5 2 3 8 .6 2 3 7 .4 100) 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................. 2 3 4 .3 2 3 4 .4 2 3 4 .8 1 4 0 .3 1 4 0 .3 1 4 0 .5 1 4 0 .6 1 4 0 .4 1 4 0 .5 1 3 9 .3 1 3 9 .3 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .4 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .2 1 3 9 .2 1 4 3 .8 1 4 5 .3 1 4 9 .3 1 4 9 .3 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .8 1 5 0 .8 1 4 7 .0 1 5 2 .1 1 5 2 .1 1 5 5 .9 1 5 6 .1 1 5 6 .1 1 5 6 .3 1 5 4 .3 1 5 5 .0 1 5 5 .7 1 5 6 .9 1 5 6 .9 1 5 6 .9 1 5 6 .8 1 5 9 .2 1 5 9 .2 1 5 9 .2 B u ria l c a s k e t s ( 6 / 7 6 - ............................................ 3996 H a r d s u r f a c e f lo o r c o v e r in g s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. 2 3 3 .1 2 3 4 .1 1 D a t a f o r N o v e m b e r 1 9 8 2 h a v e b e e n r e v is e d to r e f le c t th e a v a ila b ility o f la t e r e p o r t s a n d c o r r e c t io n s b y r e s p o n d e n t s . A ll d a t a a r e s u b je c t to r e v is io n 4 m o n th s a f t e r o r ig in a l p u b lic a tio n . Digitized for 86 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 3 4 .4 N ote : '2 3 5 .3 '2 3 5 . 5 2 3 2 .7 2 3 4 .3 1 4 0 .0 1 4 8 .4 G a m e s , to y s , a n d c h ild r e n ’s v e h ic le s C a r b o n p a p e r a n d in k e d r ib b o n s ( 1 2 / 7 5 = 3995 100) 2 3 2 .8 2 3 4 .1 1 0 0 ) ................... ............................................................... 3944 3955 I n d e x e s w h ic h w e r e d e le t e d in t h e M a r c h is s u e m a y n o w b e f o u n d in T a b le 4 o f th e B L S m o n th ly r e p o r t, r = r e v is e d . Producer Prices and Price Indexes. PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 28. The use of the term “man hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 28 through 31, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm propri etor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1982 issue of the R ev ie w , all of the productivity and cost measures contained in these tables are based on revised output and compensation measures released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis in July as part of the regular revision cycle of the National Income and Product Accounts. Measures of labor input have been revised to reflect results of the 1980 census, and seasonal factors have been recomputed for use in the preparation of quarterly measures. The word “private” is no longer being used as part of the series title of one of the two business sector measures prepared by BLS; no change has been made in the definition or content of the measures as a result of this change. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-82 [1977=100] Ite m 1950 v 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 B u s in e s s s e c t o r : ...................................... 5 0 .4 5 8 .3 9 4 .5 9 7 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .6 9 9 .6 9 8 .9 1 0 0 .7 1 0 1 .0 ...................................................... 2 0 .0 2 6 .4 3 3 .9 4 1 .7 5 8 .2 8 5 .5 9 2 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 8 .6 1 1 9 .1 1 3 1 .4 1 4 4 .1 1 5 4 .5 6 9 .5 8 0 .1 9 0 .8 9 6 .3 9 8 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 9 9 .4 9 6 .7 9 6 .0 9 7 .0 O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r 6 5 .2 7 8 .3 8 6 .2 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................. 5 0 .5 5 9 .6 U n it la b o r c o s t ............................................................................ 3 9 .7 4 5 .2 5 2 .0 5 3 .3 6 7 .5 9 0 .5 9 5 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 8 .0 1 1 9 .5 1 3 2 .9 1 4 3 .1 1 5 2 .9 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ...................................................... 4 3 .4 4 7 .6 5 0 .6 5 7 .6 6 3 .2 9 0 .4 9 4 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .7 1 1 2 .8 1 1 9 .3 1 3 5 .2 1 3 8 .7 ............................................................ 4 1 .0 4 6 .0 5 1 .6 5 4 .7 6 6 .0 9 0 .5 9 4 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 7 .5 1 1 7 .2 1 2 8 .3 1 4 0 .4 14 8 .1 I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r N o n f a r m b u s in e s s s e c t o r : ...................................... 5 6 .3 6 2 .8 6 8 .3 8 0 .5 8 6 .8 9 4 .7 9 7 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .6 9 9 .3 9 8 .5 9 9 .9 1 0 0 .0 ...................................................... 2 1 .8 2 8 .3 3 5 .7 4 2 .8 5 8 .7 8 6 .0 9 3 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 8 .6 1 1 8 .8 1 3 0 .9 1 4 3 .6 1 5 4 .0 9 9 .2 9 6 .3 9 5 .7 9 6 .7 O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................. 5 5 .0 6 4 .0 7 3 .0 8 2 .2 9 1 .5 9 6 .8 9 9 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 U n it l a b o r c o s t ............................................................................ 3 8 .8 4 5 .0 5 2 .2 5 3 .2 6 7 .6 9 0 .8 9 5 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 8 .0 1 1 9 .6 1 3 3 .0 1 4 3 .8 1 5 4 .0 ...................................................... 4 2 .7 4 7 .8 5 0 .4 5 8 .0 6 3 .7 8 8 .5 9 3 .5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .3 1 1 0 .3 1 1 9 .1 1 3 4 .8 1 3 9 .0 ............................................................ 4 0 .1 4 6 .0 5 1 .6 5 4 .8 6 6 .3 9 0 .0 9 4 .6 1 0 0 .0 10 7 .1 1 1 6 .5 1 2 8 .3 1 4 0 .8 1 4 9 .0 ( ’ ) 6 8 .0 8 1 .9 8 7 .4 9 5 .5 9 8 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 1 0 0 .7 1 0 0 .3 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .0 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r N o n fin a n c ia l c o r p o r a t io n s : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll e m p lo y e e s ................................ ( ’ ) 1 1 8 .7 1 3 0 .9 1 4 3 .5 1 5 4 .1 ( ’ ) 4 3 .9 5 9 .4 ( ’ ) 7 5 .8 8 4 .3 9 2 .7 9 6 .9 9 8 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .8 9 9 .1 9 6 .2 9 5 .6 9 6 .8 ( 1) 5 4 .4 5 3 .5 6 8 .0 9 0 .2 9 4 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 7 .5 1 1 7 .8 1 3 0 .5 1 4 0 .6 1 4 9 .6 5 4 .6 6 0 .8 6 3 .1 9 0 .8 9 5 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .2 1 0 6 .9 1 1 7 .7 1 3 4 .8 1 4 0 .5 1 4 6 .5 U n it la b o r c o s t ............................................................................ U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ...................................................... ( ’ ) 9 2 .9 1 0 8 .5 ( ') ( ’ ) 3 7 .0 8 6 .1 1 0 0 .0 ...................................................... R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................. C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ( 1) ( ') ( ') ( 1) 5 4 .5 5 6 .1 6 6 .3 9 0 .4 9 4 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .4 1 1 4 .1 1 2 6 .1 1 3 8 .6 ...................................... 4 9 .4 5 6 .4 6 0 .0 7 4 .5 7 9 .1 9 3 .4 9 7 .5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .9 1 0 1 .5 1 0 1 .7 1 0 4 .5 1 0 3 .5 ...................................................... 2 1 .5 2 8 .8 3 6 .7 4 2 .8 5 7 .6 8 5 .4 9 2 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 8 .3 1 1 8 .9 1 3 2 .8 1 4 6 .4 1 5 8 .8 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................. 5 4 .0 6 5 .1 7 5 .1 8 2 .3 8 9 .8 9 6 .2 9 8 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .6 9 9 .2 9 7 .7 9 7 .5 9 9 .7 U n it la b o r c o s t ............................................................................. 4 3 .4 5 1 .0 6 1 .1 5 7 .5 7 2 .7 9 1 .5 9 4 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 7 .4 1 1 7 .1 1 3 0 .6 1 4 0 .0 1 5 3 .4 6 9 .3 6 5 .0 8 7 .3 9 3 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .5 9 9 .9 9 7 .1 1 0 8 .8 C ) 6 1 .0 7 0 .5 9 0 .3 9 4 .4 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 1 2 .0 1 2 0 .8 1 3 0 .8 ( ’ ) I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r ............................................................. M a n u fa c tu r in g : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ...................................................... 5 4 .3 5 8 .5 6 1 .1 ............................................................. 4 6 .6 5 3 .2 6 1 .1 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s I m p lic it p r ic e d e f l a t o r 1 N o t a v a ila b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 29. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1972-82 A n n u a l ra te Year o f change Ite m 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 -0 .9 -0 .7 1981 1982 1 9 5 0 -8 2 1 9 7 2 -8 2 B u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s ............................................. -2 .4 3 .5 2 .6 3 .3 2 .4 0 .6 1.8 0 .4 C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................................. 6 .5 8 .0 9 .4 9 .6 8 .6 7 .7 8 .6 9 .7 1 0 .4 9 .6 7 .3 r 6 .6 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 3.1 1 .6 -1 .4 0 .5 2 .6 1 .2 0 .9 -1 .4 -2 .8 -0 .7 1.1 r 2.1 0.1 U n it la b o r c o s t ................................................................................... 2 .9 5 .3 12.1 7 .3 5.1 5.1 8 .0 1 0 .7 1 1 .2 7 .7 6 .9 '4 . 3 '7 . 9 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................. 4 .5 5 .9 4 .4 15 .1 4 .0 6 .4 6 .7 5 .7 5 .8 1 3 .3 r 2 .6 3 .7 '6 . 9 I m p lic it p r ic e d e f l a t o r 3 .4 5 .5 9 .5 9 ,8 4 .7 5 .6 7 .5 9 .0 9 .4 9 .5 5 .5 4.1 » 7 .6 ............................................ 3 .7 2 .4 -2 .5 2 .0 3 .2 2 .2 0 .6 -1 .3 -0 .9 1.4 0.1 r 1 .8 '0 . 7 ............................................................ 6 .7 7 .6 9 .4 9 .6 8.1 7 .5 8 .6 9 .3 1 0 .2 9 .7 7 .2 r 6 .3 » 8 .7 - 1 .4 - 0 .7 ................................................................... 2 .2 r 2 .2 '0 . 9 '8 . 9 N o n f a r m b u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r 0.0 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 3 .3 1 .3 1 .0 0 .9 -1 .7 -2 .9 1 .0 r 1.8 U n it la b o r c o s t .................................................................................. 2 .9 5 .0 1 2 .2 7 .5 4 .7 5 .2 8 .0 1 0 .7 1 1 .2 8.1 7.1 ' 4 .4 » 7 .9 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................ 3 .2 1.3 5 .9 1 6 .7 5 .7 6 .9 5 .3 4 .7 8 .0 13 .1 3 .2 3 .7 » 7 .0 I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r 5 .8 r 4 .2 » 7 .6 ................................................................... 0 .4 2 .2 3 .0 3 .8 1 0 .2 1 0 .3 5 .0 5 .7 7.1 8 .8 1 0 .2 9 .7 ...................................... 2 .9 2 .4 -3 .7 2 .9 2 .9 1 .8 0 .9 -0 .2 -0 .4 1 .7 1 .0 ............................................................ 5 .7 7 .5 9 .4 9 .6 7 .9 7 .6 8 .5 9 .4 1 0 .3 9 .6 7 .4 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 2 .4 1 .2 - 1 .5 0 .4 2 .0 1.1 0 .8 -1 .7 -2 .9 - 0 .7 1 .2 (') (’ ) <’ > 6 .4 ( 1) N o n fin a n c ia l c o r p o r a t io n s : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll e m p lo y e e s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r '0 . 9 '8 . 7 0.0 U n it la b o r c o s t .................................................................................. 2 .8 4 .9 1 3 .6 6 .5 4 .9 5 .7 7 .5 9 .6 1 0 .7 7 .8 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................ 2 .7 1 .5 7.1 2 0 .1 4 .6 5 .3 4 .2 2 .6 10 .1 1 4 .6 4 .2 C ) Im p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r 2 .8 3 .8 1 1 .4 1 0 .9 4 .8 5 .6 6 .4 7 .2 1 0 .5 1 0 .0 5 .7 <1) 7 .6 2 .8 '1 . 6 ................................................................... 7 .7 '7 . 3 M a n u fa c tu r in g : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s -2 .4 2 .9 4 .4 2 .5 0 .9 - 1 .0 r 2 .3 ............................................................ 5 .4 7 .2 1 0 .6 1 1 .9 8 .0 8 .3 8 .3 9 .7 1 1 .8 1 0 .2 8 .5 r 6 .5 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 2 .0 0 .9 -0 .3 2 .5 2.1 1 .8 0 .6 -1 .4 - 1 .6 - 0 .2 2 .2 1 .9 '0 . 7 U n it la b o r c o s t ................................................................................... 0 .3 1 .7 1 3 .3 8 .8 3 .4 5 .7 7 .4 9 .0 1 1 .6 7 .2 9 .6 '4 . 0 » 7 .7 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................ 0 .8 -3 .3 -1 .8 2 5 .9 7 .4 6 .7 2 .5 -2 .6 - 2 .7 1 2 .0 ( 1) I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r 0 .5 0 .3 9 .0 13 .1 4 .6 6 .0 6 .0 5 .7 7 .8 8 .4 (') (’ ) (’ ) III IV C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................. ................................................................... 5 .4 5 .0 ' N o t a v a ila b le . r= 30. p= 0 .7 0 .2 (') (') 9 .5 p r e lim in a r y . r e v is e d . Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ] Q u a rte rly in d e x e s A nnual av erag e It e m 1980 1981 1982 1981 1982 ............................................ 1 0 0 .7 1 0 1 .0 9 8 .2 9 8 .9 9 9 .3 1 0 0 .7 1 0 0 .7 1 0 1 .0 1 0 0 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .3 1 0 1 .2 1 0 2 .2 ............................................................ 1 4 4 .1 1 5 4 .6 1 3 0 .0 1 3 3 .1 1 3 6 .1 1 4 0 .0 1 4 2 .5 1 4 5 .6 1 4 8 .2 1 5 0 .9 1 5 3 .4 1 5 5 .7 '1 5 7 . 8 II III IV I II III IV I II B u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 9 6 .0 9 7 .0 9 6 .4 9 6 .9 9 6 .2 9 6 .2 9 6 .4 9 5 .7 9 5 .6 9 6 .5 9 7 .1 9 6 .8 9 7 .5 U n it la b o r c o s t ................................................................................... 1 4 3 .1 1 5 2 .9 1 3 2 .3 1 3 4 .7 1 3 7 .0 1 3 9 .0 1 4 1 .5 1 4 4 .2 1 4 7 .9 1 5 0 .9 1 5 2 .9 1 5 3 .8 1 5 4 .4 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................ 1 3 5 .2 1 3 8 .7 1 1 6 .2 1 2 0 .6 1 2 4 .6 1 3 1 .8 1 3 3 .4 1 3 7 .4 1 3 8 .3 1 3 6 .4 1 3 7 .0 1 4 0 .0 1 4 1 .8 I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r ................................................................... 1 4 0 .4 1 4 8 .1 1 2 6 .9 1 2 9 .9 1 3 2 .8 1 3 6 .5 1 3 8 .8 1 4 1 .9 1 4 4 .6 1 4 6 .0 1 4 7 .5 1 4 9 .1 1 5 0 .1 ............................................ 9 9 .9 1 0 0 .0 9 7 .6 9 8 .4 9 9 .2 1 0 0 .4 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 ,0 9 9 .1 9 9 .2 9 9 .4 1 0 0 .3 1 0 0 .8 1 5 7 .2 N o n f a r m b u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................................ 1 4 3 .6 1 5 4 .0 1 2 9 .3 1 3 2 .6 1 3 5 .7 1 3 9 .5 1 4 2 .0 1 4 5 .1 1 4 7 .7 1 5 0 .4 1 5 2 .7 1 5 5 .1 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 9 5 .7 9 6 .7 9 6 .0 9 6 .5 9 5 .9 9 6 .0 9 6 .0 9 5 .4 9 5 .3 9 6 .3 9 6 .6 9 6 .4 9 7 .1 U n it l a b o r c o s t ................................................................................... 1 4 3 .8 1 5 4 .0 1 3 2 .5 1 3 4 .7 1 3 6 .8 1 3 9 .0 1 4 1 .9 1 4 5 .1 1 4 9 .0 1 5 1 .6 1 5 3 .5 1 5 4 .7 1 5 6 .1 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s ............................................................ 1 3 4 .8 1 3 9 .0 1 1 6 .7 1 2 0 .3 1 2 4 .4 1 3 1 .5 1 3 2 .8 1 3 6 .7 1 3 8 .4 1 3 6 .7 1 3 7 .2 1 4 0 .1 1 4 2 .2 I m p lic it p r ic e d e f l a t o r 1 4 9 ,0 1 2 7 .2 1 2 9 .9 1 3 2 .7 1 3 6 .5 1 3 8 .9 1 4 2 .3 1 4 5 .5 1 4 6 .6 1 4 8 .1 1 4 9 .8 1 5 1 .4 (’) (’ ) (’ ) ................................................................... 1 4 0 .8 O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll e m p l o y e e s ...................................... 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .0 9 9 .3 1 0 0 .6 1 0 1 .1 1 0 2 .3 1 0 2 .2 1 0 2 .2 1 0 1 .6 1 0 1 .6 1 0 2 .3 1 0 3 .5 C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ............................................................ 1 4 3 .5 1 5 4 .1 1 2 9 .3 1 3 2 .6 1 3 5 .6 1 3 9 .6 1 4 1 .9 1 4 4 .8 1 4 7 .7 1 5 0 .7 1 5 3 .0 1 5 5 .2 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 9 5 .6 9 6 .8 9 5 .9 9 6 .6 9 5 .8 9 6 .0 9 6 .0 9 5 .2 9 5 .3 9 6 .5 9 6 .8 9 6 .4 N o n fin a n c ia l c o r p o r a t io n s : T o t a l u n it c o s t s ............................................................................... 1 4 3 .4 1 5 4 .8 (’ ) ...................................................................... 1 4 0 .6 1 4 9 .6 1 3 0 .2 1 3 1 .9 1 3 4 .1 1 3 6 .5 1 3 8 .9 1 4 1 .7 1 4 5 .4 1 4 8 .3 1 4 9 .5 1 5 0 .0 (’) U n it n o n la b o r c o s t s ............................................................. 1 5 1 .4 1 6 7 .0 1 3 1 .0 1 3 5 .7 1 4 0 .7 1 4 3 .4 1 4 9 .6 1 5 3 .1 1 5 9 ,6 1 6 1 .8 1 6 6 .0 1 6 8 .3 U n it la b o r c o s t U n it p r o f it s ......................................................................................... I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r 1 5 4 .2 1 3 0 .4 1 3 2 .9 1 3 5 .8 1 3 8 .3 1 4 1 .7 1 4 4 .7 14 9 .1 1 5 1 .8 1 5 3 .8 ( ’ ) 1 0 1 .6 8 7 .2 8 1 .9 8 7 .8 9 0 .5 1 0 4 .7 9 8 .8 1 0 5 .2 9 7 .6 8 6 .1 8 2 .3 8 9 .6 1 3 8 .6 1 4 6 .5 1 2 4 .8 1 2 7 .7 1 3 0 .6 1 3 4 .5 1 3 6 .8 1 4 0 .2 1 4 3 .2 1 4 4 .3 1 4 5 .6 1 4 7 .3 ( ') ............................................ 1 0 4 .5 1 0 3 .5 1 0 0 .4 1 0 0 .3 1 0 3 .6 1 0 5 .2 1 0 5 .0 1 0 5 .0 1 0 2 .8 1 0 2 .1 1 0 2 .3 1 0 4 .1 1 0 4 .3 ............................................................ 1 4 6 .4 1 5 8 .8 1 3 0 .9 1 3 5 .2 1 3 8 .4 1 4 2 .6 1 4 4 .9 1 4 7 .3 1 5 0 .7 1 5 4 .7 1 5 7 .6 1 6 0 .0 1 6 1 .8 ................................................................... ( ’ ) M a n u fa c tu r in g : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ................................................... 9 7 .5 9 9 .7 9 7 .1 9 8 .5 9 7 .8 9 8 .0 9 7 .9 9 6 .8 9 7 .2 9 9 .0 9 9 .7 9 9 .4 9 9 .9 U n it la b o r c o s t .................................................................................. 1 4 0 .0 1 5 3 .4 1 3 0 .3 1 3 4 .9 1 3 3 .6 1 3 5 .5 1 3 8 .0 1 4 0 .3 1 4 6 .6 1 5 1 .5 1 5 4 .0 1 5 3 .6 1 5 5 .1 ' N o t a v a ila b le . 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r= r e v is e d . 31. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ] Q u a rte rly p e r c e n t c h a n g e a t a n n u a l ra te II 1 9 8 1 It e m III 1 9 8 1 P e rc e n t c h a n g e fro m s a m e q u a rte r a y e a r a g o IV 1 9 8 1 1 1982 II 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 0 IV 1 9 8 0 I 1981 II 1 9 8 1 III 1 9 8 1 to to to to to to to to to to to to III 1 9 8 1 IV 1 9 8 1 I 1982 II 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 1 IV 1 9 8 1 I 1982 II 1 9 8 2 III 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 2 IV 1 9 8 1 B u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s ................................ 1.1 -2 .9 -1 .0 1 .4 3 .6 4.1 2 .2 0 .9 - 0 .7 -0 .4 0 .2 2 .0 ................................................ 9 .0 7 .4 7 .3 6 .9 6.1 5 .6 9 .4 8 .9 7 .8 7 .6 6 .9 '6 . 5 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ...................................... -2 .6 -0 .4 3 .9 2 .2 -1 .4 2 .9 -1 .3 -0 .6 0 .3 0 .8 1.1 1 .9 8 .6 8.1 6 .7 4 .4 C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r U n it la b o r c o s t s ................................................................... 7 .8 1 0 .6 8 .4 5 .5 2 .4 1 .4 7.1 7 .9 ................................................ 1 2 .5 2 .9 -5 .4 1 .7 8 .9 5 .4 1 3 .9 1 1 .0 3 .5 2 .7 1 .9 2 .5 ...................................................... 9 .3 8 .0 3 .8 4 .3 4 .4 2 .7 9 .2 8 .9 6 .9 6 .3 5.1 3 .8 U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s I m p lic it p r ic e d e f la t o r N o n f a r m b u s in e s s s e c t o r : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s ................................ -0 .3 -3 .5 0 .6 0 .8 3 .5 2 .0 -0 .6 0 .3 1 .7 ................................................ 9 .0 7 .3 7 .7 6.1 6 .6 5 .6 9 .4 8 .8 7 .8 7 .5 6 .9 6 .5 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ...................................... -2 .6 -0 .5 4 .3 1.4 -0 .9 2 .9 -1 .2 -0 .6 0 .3 0 .6 1.1 1 .9 9 .3 1 1 .2 7.1 5 .2 3.1 3 .5 7 .7 8 .9 9 .0 8 .2 6 .6 4 .7 C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r U n it la b o r c o s t s ................................................................... U n it n o n la b o r p a y m e n t s I m p lic it p r ic e d e f l a t o r 1 .6 -0 .1 -1 .1 ................................................ 12 .1 5.1 -4 .6 1 .3 8 .9 6.1 1 3 .6 1 1 .2 4 .0 3 .3 2 .6 2 .8 ...................................................... 1 0 .2 9 .2 3 .3 4 .0 4 .9 4 .3 9 .6 9 .6 7 .4 6 .6 5 .3 4.1 0 .2 - 2 .4 N o n fin a n c ia l c o r p o r a t io n s : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll e m p lo y e e s C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ......................... ................................................ R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ...................................... 8 .4 -3 .1 0 .3 2 .7 4 .6 ( 1) 1 .6 0 .5 -0 .6 0 .2 1 .3 8 .2 8 .4 6 .2 5 .9 ( 1) 9 .2 8 .9 8 .0 7 .8 7 .2 ( ') 0 .3 5 .0 1 .6 - 1 .6 -1 .4 -0 .5 0 .5 0 .9 1 .3 ( ') 1 2 .8 7 .4 5 .4 2 .5 8 .9 9 .8 9 .7 8 .5 7 .0 ( ') 7 .5 8 .4 8 .6 7 .6 5 .8 ( 1) 1 2 .9 1 3 .4 1 2 .8 1 0 .9 9 .9 (’ ) 1 9 .7 7 .9 - 1 7 .8 -1 6 .7 - 1 4 .8 ( ') 9 .7 9 .6 7 .3 6 .4 5.1 (’ ) 4 .7 ............................................................. 8 .2 1 0 .9 8.1 3 .4 1 .2 U n it n o n la b o r c o s t s ...................................................... 9 .8 1 7 .8 5 .7 1 0 .7 5 .9 (') {') (') (') U n it p r o f i t s ............................................................................... 2 8 .4 -2 5 .9 -3 9 .4 -1 6 .7 4 0 .8 (’ > I m p lic it p r ic e d e f l a t o r 1 0 .2 8 .9 3 .0 3 .8 4 .7 T o t a l u n it c o s t s ................................................................... U n it l a b o r c o s t s ...................................................... 8 .6 ( ') O M a n u fa c tu r in g : O u t p u t p e r h o u r o f a ll p e r s o n s ................................ -0 .1 - 8 .2 -2 .4 0 .8 7 .3 0 .5 -0 .8 - 2 .9 -2 .5 -0 .8 1 .5 ................................................ 6 .8 9 .6 11 .1 7 .8 6 .2 4 .5 8 .9 8 .9 8 .5 8 .8 8 .7 7 .4 R e a l c o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r ...................................... - 4 .6 1 .6 7 .6 3.1 - 1 .3 1 .9 -1 .7 -0 .6 1 .0 1 .8 2 .7 2 .8 6 .8 1 9 .4 1 3 .9 6 .9 - 1 .0 3 .9 4 .0 9 .8 1 1 .7 1 1 .6 9 .5 5 .8 C o m p e n s a t io n p e r h o u r U n it l a b o r c o s t s 1 N o t a v a ila b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ................................................................... r= r e v is e d . 89 WAGE AND COMPENSATION DATA F O R t h e e m p l o y m e n t c o s t i n d e x are reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics by a sample of 2,000 private non farm establishments and 750 State and local government units selected to represent total employment in those sectors. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. d a t a Data on negotiated wage and benefit changes are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau, direct contact with the parties, and secondary sources. Definitions The Employment Cost Index (ECI) is a quarterly measure of the average change in the cost of employing labor. The rate of total com pensation, which comprises wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits, is collected for workers performing specified tasks. Employment in each occupation is held constant over time for all se ries produced in the ECI, except those by region, bargaining status, and area. As a consequence, only changes in compensation are meas ured. Industry and occupational employment data from the 1970 Cen sus of Population are used in deriving constant weights for the ECI. While holding total industry and occupational employment fixed, in the estimation of indexes by region, bargaining status, and area, the employment in those measures is allowed to vary over time in accord with changes in the sample. The rate of change (in percent) is avail able for wages and salaries, as well as for total compensation. Data are collected for the pay period including the 12th day of the survey months of March, June, September, and December. The statistics are neither annualized nor adjusted for seasonal influence. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, excluding premium pay for overtime, work on weekends and holidays, and shift differentials. Production bonuses, incentive earnings, com missions, and cost-of-living adjustments are included; nonproduction bonuses are included with other supplemental pay items in the bene fits category; and payments-in-kind, free room and board, and tips are excluded. B e n e fits include supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings plans, and hours-related and legally required benefits. Data on negotiated wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry collective bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on compensation changes apply only to those agreements cover ing 5,000 workers or more. F ir s t-y e a r wage or compensation changes refer to average negotiated changes for workers covered by settle ments reached in the period and implemented within the first 12 months after the effective date of the agreement. C h a n g e s o v e r th e life 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis o f th e a g r e e m e n t refer to all adjustments specified in the contract, expressed as an average annual rate. These measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living adjustment clauses, that are triggered by movements in the Consumer Price Index. W a g e-ra te c h a n g e s are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings; c o m p e n sa tio n c h a n g e s are expressed as a percent of total wages and benefits. Effective wage adjustments reflect all negotiated changes imple mented in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. They include changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from contracts negotiated in an earlier period, and cost-ofliving adjustments. The data also reflect contracts providing for no wage adjustment in the period. Effective adjustments and each of their components are prorated over all workers in bargaining units with at least 1,000 workers. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quar ter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee bene fits were included in 1980, to produce a measure of the percent change in employers’ cost for employees’ total compensation. State and local government units were added to the ECI coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian non farm economy. Data for the broad white-collar, blue-collar, and service worker groups, and the manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and service indus try groups are presented in the ECI. Additional occupation and in dustry detail are provided for the wages and salaries component of total compensation in the private nonfarm sector. For State and local government units, additional industry detail is shown for both total compensation and its wages and salaries component. Historical indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quarterly rates of chang es presented in the ECI are also available. For a more detailed discussion of the ECI, see chapter 11, “The Employment Cost Index,” of the BLS H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s (Bulletin 2134-1), and the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w articles: “Employment Cost Index: a measure of change in the ‘price of labor,”’ July 1975; “How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost Index,” Janu ary 1978; and “The Employment Cost Index: recent trends and ex pansion,” May 1982. Additional data for the ECI and other measures of wage and com pensation changes appear in C u r re n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts , a monthly publication of the Bureau. 32. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry group [J u n e 1 9 8 1 = 1 0 0 ] P e rc e n t ch a n g e 1980 1981 1982 3 m o n th s 12 m o n th s ended ended S e r ie s Dec. M a rc h 1 0 0 .0 C iv i lia n n o n f a r m w o r k e r s ’ ................................................................................... June S e p t, 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .6 Dec. D e c e m b e r 1982 Dec. M a rc h June S e p t. 1 0 4 .5 1 0 6 .3 1 0 7 .5 1 1 0 .1 1 1 1 .4 1 .2 1 0 6 .5 6.Ô W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p ...................................................................................... — — 1 0 2 .7 1 0 4 .9 1 0 7 .7 1 1 0 .7 1 1 1 .9 1.1 ......................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .3 1 0 4 .1 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .1 1 0 9 .2 1 1 0 .5 1.2 6.1 ............................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .8 1 0 4 .2 1 0 7 .2 1 0 8 .3 1 1 0 .8 1 1 2 .4 1.4 7 .9 1 .0 6 .2 W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s B l u e - c o lla r w o r k e r s S e r v ic e w o r k e r s 6 .7 W o r k e r s , b y I n d u s tr y d iv is io n — M a n u f a c t u r i n g ...................................................................................................... — 1 0 4 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 0 9 .3 1 1 0 .4 N o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g ............................................................................................ — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .8 1 0 4 .8 1 0 6 .4 1 0 7 .7 1 1 0 .5 1 1 1 .8 1 .2 6 .7 S e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................ — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .4 1 0 7 ,1 1 0 8 .2 1 0 9 .2 1 1 3 .5 1 1 5 .0 1 .3 7 .4 P u b lic a d m in is t r a t io n 2 — - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .3 1 0 6 .0 1 0 8 .1 1 0 9 .1 1 1 2 .8 1 1 3 .6 .7 7 .2 ............................................................................ P r i v a t e n o n f a r m w o r k e r s ............................................................................... 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 7 .2 9 4 .7 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .8 1 0 7 .2 1 0 9 .3 1107 1.3 6 .4 ............................................................................... 9 4 .5 9 8 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .8 1 0 7 .2 1 0 9 .5 1 1 0 .8 1.2 6 .5 ................................................................................... 9 4 .9 9 7 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .2 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .6 1 0 7 .0 1 0 9 .0 1 1 0 .3 1 .2 6.1 ......................................................................................... 9 4 .3 993 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .9 1 0 3 .1 1 0 6 .7 1 0 7 .9 1 0 9 .6 1 1 1 .8 2 .0 8 .4 W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s B lu e - c o lla r w o r k e r s S e r v ic e w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y i n d u s t r y d iv is io n M a n u f a c t u r i n g ............................................................................................... 9 4 .7 9 8 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 0 7 .2 1 0 9 .3 1 1 0 .4 1 .0 6 .2 N o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g ...................................................................................... 9 4 .7 9 8 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .9 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .1 1 0 9 .3 1 1 0 .8 1.4 6 .6 — - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .3 1 0 7 .4 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .3 1 1 4 .3 1 1 5 .1 .7 7 .2 ............................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .8 1 0 9 .1 1 0 9 .5 1 1 4 .9 1 1 5 .8 .8 7 .4 ................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .2 1 0 5 .9 1 0 8 .2 1 0 8 .9 1 1 2 .7 1 1 3 .0 .3 6 .7 — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .8 1 0 7 .9 1 0 9 .0 1 0 9 .4 1 1 4 .9 1 1 5 .9 .9 7 .4 ...................................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 0 7 .9 1 0 8 .9 1 0 9 .1 1 1 4 .8 1 1 5 .8 .9 7 .3 E le m e n t a r y a n d s e c o n d a r y ...................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .3 1 0 8 .3 1 0 9 .3 1 0 9 .5 1 1 5 .6 1 1 6 .6 .9 7 .7 H o s p ita ls a n d o t h e r s e r v ic e s 3 ...................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .0 1 0 7 .8 1 0 9 .5 1 1 0 .3 1 1 5 .3 1 1 6 .0 .6 7 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .3 1 0 6 .0 1 0 8 .1 1 0 9 .1 1 1 2 .8 1 1 3 .6 .7 7 .2 S ta t e a n d lo c a l g o v e r n m e n t w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s B lu e - c o lla r w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y i n d u s t r y d iv is io n S e r v i c e s ............................................................................................................ S c h o o ls P u b lic a d m in is t r a t io n 2 ............................................................................ 'E x c lu d e s h o u s e h o ld a n d F e d e r a l w o r k e r s . i n c l u d e s , f o r e x a m p le , lib r a r y , s o c ia l, a n d h e a lth s e r v ic e s . C o n s i s t s o f le g is la tiv e , ju d ic ia l, a d m in is t r a t iv e , a n d r e g u la t o r y a c t iv itie s . N ote : https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D a s h e s In d ic a t e d a t a n o t a v a ila b le . 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage and Compensation Data 33. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [J u n e 1 9 8 1 = 1 0 0 ] P e rc e n t ch a n g e 1982 1981 1980 S e r ie s C iv i lia n n o n f a r m w o r k e r s ' ................................................................................... Dec. M a rc h June S e p t. Dec. M a rc h June S e p t. Dec. - - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .5 1 0 4 .4 106 3 1 0 7 .3 1 0 9 .7 1 1 0 .9 3 m o n th s 12 m o n th s ended ended D e c e m b e r 1982 1.1 6 .2 6 .4 W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p ...................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .6 1 0 4 .7 1 0 6 .7 1 0 7 .6 1 1 0 .4 1 1 1 ,4 .9 ......................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .4 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .5 1 0 6 .7 1 0 8 .6 1 0 9 .8 1.1 5 .6 S e r v ic e w o r k e r s .................................................................................................. — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .5 1 0 3 .6 1 0 6 .8 1 0 7 .9 1 1 0 .1 1 1 1 .8 1 .5 7 .9 W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s B l u e - c o lla r w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y in d u s t r y d iv is io n M a n u f a c t u r in g ...................................................................................................... N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g S e r v ic e s ............................................................................................ ............................................................................................................ P u b lic a d m in i s t r a t i o n 2 ............................................................................... — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .9 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .8 — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .7 1 0 4 .5 1 0 6 .5 1 0 7 .5 1 1 0 .1 1 1 1 .3 1.1 6 .5 — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .4 1 0 6 .6 1 0 8 .6 1 0 9 .5 1 1 3 .2 1 1 4 .4 1.1 7 .3 - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .8 1 0 5 .5 1 0 7 .5 1 0 8 .4 1 1 1 .9 1 1 2 .6 .6 6 .7 — - 1 0 7 .0 .9 5 .6 9 5 .4 9 8 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .8 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .1 1 0 9 .0 1 1 0 .3 1 .2 6 .3 9 5 .2 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 3 .9 1 0 6 .2 1 0 7 .3 1 0 9 .4 1 1 0 .6 1.1 6 .4 ......................................... 9 5 .3 9 8 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .3 1 0 5 ,5 1 0 8 .0 1 0 9 .4 1 1 1 .8 1 1 2 .9 1 .0 7 .0 ...................................................... 9 4 .7 9 8 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .6 1 0 2 .8 1 0 5 .8 1 0 7 .2 1 0 8 .5 1 0 9 .3 .7 6 .3 4 .2 P riv a te n o n fa rm w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s ............................................................................... P r o f e s s io n a l a n d te c h n ic a l w o r k e r s M a n a g e r s a n d a d m in is t r a t o r s S a e s w o ' k e r s ............................................................................................ 9 4 .8 9 6 .2 1 0 0 .0 9 8 .0 1 0 1 .9 1 0 2 .2 1 0 1 .8 1 0 4 .5 1 0 6 .2 1 .6 C le r ic a l w o r k e r s ...................................................................................... 9 5 .7 9 8 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .7 1 0 4 .2 1 0 7 .0 1 0 8 .3 1 1 0 .3 1 1 1 .6 1 .2 7.1 5 .6 9 5 .7 9 7 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .3 1 0 3 .9 1 0 5 .4 1 0 6 .6 1 0 8 .5 1 0 9 .7 1.1 ............................................................ 9 6 .1 9 7 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .9 1 0 4 .3 1 0 6 .2 1 0 7 .6 1 0 9 .6 1 1 1 .2 1 .5 6 ,6 O p e r a t iv e s , e x c e p t t r a n s p o r t ......................................................... 9 5 .5 9 7 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .1 1 0 5 .4 1 0 6 .6 1 0 8 .3 1 0 9 .3 .9 5 .0 T r a n s p o r t e q u ip m e n t o p e r a t iv e s ................................................ 9 5 .3 9 6 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .0 1 0 2 .7 1 0 3 .2 1 0 4 .1 1 0 6 .0 1 0 6 .9 .8 4.1 N o n f a r m l a b o r e r s ................................................................................... 9 5 .7 9 7 .5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .5 1 0 3 .3 1 0 4 .1 1 0 5 .1 1 0 6 .5 1 0 7 .8 1 .2 4 .4 S e r v ic e w o ' k e ' S ............................................................................................ 9 4 .8 9 9 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 2 .7 1 0 6 .7 1 0 7 .9 1 0 9 .3 1 1 1 .4 1 .9 8 .5 9 5 .7 9 7 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .0 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .8 .9 5 .6 1 0 7 .4 B lu e - c o lla r w o r k e r s ................................................................................... C r a f t a n d k in d r e d w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y In d u s tr y d iv is io n M a n u f a c t u r in g ............................................................................................... 1 0 9 .0 1 1 0 .3 1 .2 5 .6 D u r a b l e s ...................................................................................................... 9 5 .7 9 7 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 4 .5 1 0 6 .3 N o n d u r a b le s 9 5 .7 9 7 .8 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .1 1 0 5 .3 1 0 6 .3 1 0 8 .5 1 0 9 .1 .6 5 .8 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .8 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .1 1 0 9 .1 1 1 0 .5 1 .3 6 .5 ............................................................................................ 1 0 2 .1 ...................................................................................... 9 5 .2 ............................................................................................ 9 5 .9 9 7 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .0 1 0 4 .3 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .3 1 0 9 .1 1 0 9 .7 .6 5 .2 T r a n s p o r t a t io n a n d p u b lic u t i l i t i e s ................................................ 9 5 .6 9 7 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .6 1 0 5 .7 1 0 6 .9 1 0 9 .5 1 1 1 .1 1 .5 7 .2 4 .8 N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g C o n s tr u c t o n ............................................................ 9 5 .1 9 8 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .3 1 0 2 .3 1 0 3 .9 1 0 5 .8 1 0 6 .5 1 0 7 .2 .7 W h o le s a le t r a d e ............................................................................... 9 5 .9 9 8 .5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .0 1 0 3 .4 1 0 6 .3 1 0 8 .9 1 0 9 .0 1 0 9 .8 .7 6 .2 R e ta il t r a d e 9 4 .8 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 ,0 1 0 1 .9 1 0 3 .0 1 0 4 .5 1 0 5 .5 1 0 6 .1 ,6 4.1 ......................................... 9 3 .1 9 5 .7 1 0 0 .0 9 8 .3 1 0 2 .3 1 0 3 .7 1 0 2 .4 1 0 6 .1 1 0 9 .0 2 .7 6 .5 ...................................................................................................... 9 5 .7 9 9 .6 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .6 1 0 5 .8 1 0 8 .8 1 1 0 .0 1 1 2 .5 1 1 4 .3 1 .6 8 .0 - - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .0 1 0 7 .0 1 0 8 .2 1 0 8 .7 1 1 3 .5 1 1 4 .0 .4 6 .5 1 1 4 .6 .4 6 .6 1 1 2 .0 .4 6 .2 W h o le s a le a n d r e ta il t r a d e ......................................................................................... F in a n c e , in s u r a n c e , a n d r e a l e s t a t e S e rv c e s S ta t e a n d lo c a l g o v e r n m e n t w o r k e r s W o r k e r s , b y o c c u p a t io n a l g r o u p W h it e - c o lla r w o r k e r s B lu e - c o lla r w o r k e r s ............................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .4 1 0 7 .5 1 0 8 .5 1 0 8 .9 1 1 4 .2 ................................................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .9 1 0 5 .5 1 0 7 .5 1 0 7 .9 1 1 1 .5 W o r k e r s , b y In d u s tr y d iv is io n 1 0 8 .4 1 0 8 .8 .4 6 .5 S c h o o l s ......................................................................................................... — - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .7 1 0 8 .3 1 0 8 .5 1 1 4 .2 1 1 4 .5 .3 6 .3 E le m e n t a r y a n d s e c o n d a r y ...................................................... — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 6 .0 1 0 7 .9 1 0 8 .7 1 0 8 .8 1 1 4 .9 1 1 5 .1 .2 6 .7 — — 1 0 4 .6 1 0 7 .3 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .5 1 1 4 .3 1 1 4 .9 .5 7.1 _ 1 0 0 .0 — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .8 1 0 5 .5 1 0 7 .5 1 0 8 .4 1 1 1 .9 1 1 2 .6 .6 6 .7 1 0 0 .0 H o s p it a ls a n d o t h e r s e r v ic e s 3 ............................................................. P u b lic a d m in is t r a t io n 2 ............................................................................... 1 0 5 .5 1 0 7 .6 1 1 4 .2 'E x c lu d e s h o u s e h o ld a n d F e d e r a l w o r k e r s . 3 In c lu d e s , f o r e x a m p le , lib r a r y , s o c ia l, a n d h e a lt h s e r v ic e s . 2 C o n s is t s o f le g is la tiv e , ju d ic ia l, a d m in is tr a tiv e , a n d r e g u la t o r y a c t iv itie s . N ote : 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D a s h e s in d ic a te d a t a n o t a v a ila b le . 1 1 4 .6 34. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size [J u n e 1 9 8 1 = 100] P e rc e n t c h a n g e 1982 1981 1980 S e r ie s Dec. M a rc h 9 4 .7 9 7 .6 June S e p t. Dec. M a rc h June S e p t. D ec. 3 m o n th s 12 m o n th s ended ended D ec em b e r 1982 C O M P E N S A T IO N W o r k e r s , b y b a r g a in in g s t a t u s 1 M a n u f a c t u r in g ...................................................................................................... N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g M a n u f a c t u r in g ............................................................................................ ...................................................................................................... N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g ............................................................................................ 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .5 1 0 4 .8 1 0 6 .5 1 0 8 .4 1 1 0 .6 1 1 2 .3 1 .5 7 .2 — - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .3 1 0 4 .6 1 0 6 .3 1 0 8 .0 1 1 0 .3 1 1 1 .8 1.4 6 .9 — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .7 1 0 5 .0 1 0 6 .8 1 0 8 .7 1 1 1 .0 1 1 2 .8 1 .6 9 4 .6 9 8 .4 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .7 1 0 3 .5 1 0 5 .3 1 0 6 .5 1 0 8 .5 1 0 9 .7 1.1 6 .0 — — 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 3 .5 1 0 5 .7 1 0 6 .6 1 0 8 .4 1 0 9 .2 .7 5 .5 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .7 1 0 3 .5 1 0 5 .2 1 0 6 .4 1 0 8 .6 1 0 9 .9 1 .2 _ W o r k e r s , b y a r e a s iz e 1 M e t r o p o lit a n a r e a s .................................................................................................. 9 4 .7 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .1 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .2 1 0 9 .4 1 1 0 .9 1 .4 O t h e r a r e a s .................................................................................................................. 9 4 .2 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 3 .2 1 0 6 .2 1 0 7 .0 1 0 8 .6 1 0 9 .1 .5 6 .5 W A G E S A N D S A L A R IE S W o r k e r s , b y b a r g a in in g s t a t u s 1 M a n u f a c t u r in g ...................................................................................................... N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g ............................................................................................ 1 0 6 .5 1 0 8 .1 1 1 0 .3 1 1 1 .8 1 .4 9 5 .8 9 7 .4 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .7 1 0 5 .0 9 6 .1 9 7 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .6 1 0 4 .7 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .3 1 0 9 .5 1 1 0 .8 1 .2 1 0 5 .2 1 0 7 .0 1 0 8 .8 1 1 1 .1 1 1 2 .7 1 .4 9 5 .5 9 7 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .8 5 .8 9 5 .1 9 8 .2 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .6 1 0 3 .2 1 0 5 .6 1 0 6 .5 1 0 8 .3 1 0 9 .5 1.1 6.1 9 5 .4 9 7 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .7 1 0 3 .3 1 0 5 .9 1 0 6 .7 1 0 8 .2 1 0 9 .1 .8 5 .6 ............................................................................................ 9 5 .0 9 8 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .6 1 0 3 .2 1 0 5 .5 1 0 6 .4 1 0 8 .3 1 0 9 .6 1.2 ...................................................................................................................... 9 6 .0 9 8 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .7 1 0 4 .4 1 0 6 .1 1 0 6 .7 1 0 9 .7 1 1 1 .5 1 .6 9 4 .9 9 8 .0 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .9 1 0 2 .8 1 0 5 .7 1 0 7 .4 1 0 8 .8 1 0 9 .8 ,9 6 .8 9 5 .3 9 8 .1 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .6 1 0 3 .3 1 0 4 .7 1 0 6 .1 1 0 7 .6 1 0 8 .6 .9 5.1 N o r th C e r t r a l ............................................................................................................... W e s t .................................................................................................................................. 9 5 .3 9 7 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 3 .2 1 0 5 .1 1 0 7 .9 1 0 8 .6 1 1 0 .7 1 1 2 .0 1 .2 N o n u n i o n ......................................................................................................................... M a n u f a c t u r in g ...................................................................................................... N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g W o r k e r s , b y r e g io n 1 N o rth e a s t W o r k e r s , b y a r e a s iz e 1 M e tr o p o lit a n a r e a s ................................................................................................... 9 5 .4 9 7 .9 1 0 0 .0 1 0 2 .1 1 0 4 .0 1 0 5 .9 1 0 7 .1 1 0 9 .1 1 1 0 .5 1 .3 O t h e r a r e a s .................................................................................................................. 9 5 .1 9 8 .3 1 0 0 .0 1 0 1 .8 1 0 3 .1 1 0 6 .0 1 0 6 .8 1 0 8 .3 1 0 8 .8 .5 1 T h e in d e x e s a r e c a lc u la t e d d if f e r e n t ly fr o m t h o s e f o r t h e o c c u p a t io n a n d in d u s tr y g r o u p s d e t a ile d d e s c r ip t io n o f th e in d e x c a lc u la t io n , s e e B L S https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Handbook o f Methods, For a B u lle tin 1 9 1 0 . 93 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW May 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage and Compensation Data 35. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1978 to date [In p e r c e n t ] Q u a r te r ly a v e r a g e M e a s u re 1981 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 I 1982 II III IV I II III IV T o t a l c o m p e n s a tio n c h a n g e s c o v e r in g 5 , 0 0 0 w o r k e r s o r m o r e , a ll in d u s tr ie s : F ir s t y e a r o f c o n t r a c t ............................. 8 .3 9 .0 1 0 .4 1 0 .2 3 .2 7 .7 1 1 .6 1 0 .5 1 1 .0 1 .9 2 .6 6 .2 3 .0 A n n u a l r a t e o v e r life o f c o n t r a c t 6 .3 6 .6 7.1 8 .3 2 .7 7 .2 1 0 .8 8.1 5 .8 1 .2 2 .0 4 .7 4 .9 .. W a g e r a t e c h a n g e s c o v e r in g a t le a s t 1 , 0 0 0 w o r k e r s , a ll in d u s tr ie s : F ir s t y e a r o f c o n t r a c t ............................. 7 .6 7 .4 9 .5 9 .8 3 .8 7.1 1 1 .8 1 0 .8 9 .0 3 .0 3 .4 5 .4 3 .8 A n n u a l r a t e o v e r life o f c o n t r a c t .. 6 .4 6 .0 7.1 7 .9 3 .6 6 .2 9 .7 8 .7 5 .7 2 .8 3 .2 4 .5 4 .8 F ir s t y e a r o f c o n t r a c t ............................. 8 .3 6 .9 7 .4 7 .2 2 .8 6 .4 8 .2 9 .0 6 .6 2 .5 1 .8 5.1 4.1 A n n u a l r a t e o v e r life o f c o n t r a c t .. 6 .6 5 .4 5 .4 6.1 2 .6 5 .5 6 .7 7 .5 5 .4 2 .7 1 .7 3 .9 4 .5 F ir s t y e a r o f c o n t r a c t ............................. 8 .0 7 .6 9 .5 9 .8 4 .3 8 .0 1 1 .8 8 .6 9 .6 2 .7 6 .6 5 .5 3 .6 A n n u a l r a t e o v e r life o f c o n t r a c t 6 .5 6 .2 6 .6 7 .3 4.1 7 .3 9.1 7 .2 5 .6 2.1 6.1 4 .8 5 .2 M a n u fa c tu r in g : N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g ( e x c lu d in g c o n s tr u c t io n ) : .. C o n s tr u c tio n : F ir s t y e a r o f c o n t r a c t ............................. 6 .5 8 .8 1 3 .6 1 3 .5 6 .5 1 1 .4 1 2 .9 1 6 .4 1 1 .4 8 .6 6 .2 6 .3 3 .4 A n n u a l r a t e o v e r life o f c o n t r a c t 6 .2 8 .3 1 1 .5 1 1 .3 6 .3 1 0 .3 11 .1 1 2 .4 1 1 .7 8 .2 6 .3 5 .9 2 .9 36. .. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1978 to date Year Y e a r a n d q u a rte r 1981 M e a s u re 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1982 I II III IV I II III IV A v e r a g e p e r c e n t a d ju s t m e n t ( in c lu d in g n o c h a n g e ) : A ll i n d u s t r i e s ................................................................................... 8 .2 9.1 9 .9 9 .5 6 .8 1 .7 3 .2 3 .3 1 .5 2 .4 1 .3 M a n u f a c t u r i n g ......................................................................... 8 .6 9 .6 1 0 .2 9 .4 5 .2 2 .3 2 .4 3.1 1 .9 .9 1 .0 1 .7 1 .5 N o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g ............................................................... 7 .9 8 .8 9 .7 9 .5 7 .9 1 .2 3 .8 3 .4 1.1 1.1 2 .7 2 .9 1 .2 ............................. 2 .0 3 .0 3 .6 2 .5 1 .7 .4 1.1 .2 .4 .5 D e f e r r e d f r o m s e t t le m e n t s r e a c h e d in e a r lie r p e r io d 3 .7 3 .0 3 .5 3 .8 3 .6 .5 1.4 1 .5 .4 .6 1 .4 1 .3 .4 F r o m c o s t - o f - liv in g c l a u s e s ................................................... 2 .4 3.1 2 .8 3 .2 1 .4 .7 .7 1 .2 .6 .3 .2 .6 .3 F r o m s e t t le m e n t s r e a c h e d in p e r io d .5 .4 1 .0 2 .0 .6 T o t a l n u m b e r o f w o r k e r s r e c e iv in g w a g e c h a n g e (in th o js a r d s ) ' ................................................................................... — — — 8 ,6 4 8 7 ,8 5 2 3 ,8 5 5 4 ,7 0 1 4 ,3 6 4 3 ,2 2 5 2 ,8 7 8 3 ,4 2 3 3 ,7 6 0 3 ,4 4 1 - - - 2 ,2 7 0 1 ,9 0 7 579 909 540 604 204 511 620 825 — — — 6 ,2 6 7 4 ,8 4 6 888 2 ,0 5 5 3 ,0 2 3 882 1,0 0 1 1 ,5 9 4 2 ,4 0 0 860 4 ,5 9 3 3 ,8 3 0 2 ,6 3 9 2 ,6 6 9 2 ,9 3 4 2 ,1 7 9 1 ,9 2 0 1 ,5 6 8 2 ,2 5 1 1 ,9 7 0 145 483 4 ,9 3 7 4 ,0 9 2 4 ,4 2 8 5 ,5 6 8 5 ,4 5 7 4 ,9 1 2 4 ,5 7 5 4 ,8 9 5 F r o m s e t t le m e n t s r e a c h e d in p e r i o d ...................................................................................... D e f e r r e d f r o m s e t t le m e n t s r e a c h e d in e a r lie r p e r io d ................................................ F r o m c o s t - o f - liv in g c l a u s e s ................................................... N u m b e r o f w o r k e r s r e c e iv in g n o a d ju s t m e n t s (in th o u s a n d s ) ...................................................................................... _ 1 T h e to t a l n u m b e r o f w o r k e r s w h o r e c e iv e d a d ju s t m e n t s d o e s n o t e q u a l th e s u m o f w o r k e r s th a t r e c e iv e d e a c h t y p e o f a d ju s t m e n t , b e c a u s e s o m e w o r k e r s r e c e iv e d m o r e t h a n o n e t y p e o f a d ju s t m e n t d u r in g th e 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p e r io d . WORK STOPPAGE DATA Estim ates of days idle as a percent of estim ated working tim e measures only the im pact of larger strikes (1,000 workers or more). Form erly, these estim ates measured the impact of strikes involving 6 workers or more; that is, the im pact of vir tually a l l strikes. D ue to budget stringencies, collection of data on strikes involving 6 workers or m ore was discontinued with the D ecem ber 1981 data. s t o p p a g e s include all known strikes or lockouts involv ing 1,000 workers or m ore and lasting a full shift or longer. D ata are based largely on newspaper accounts and cover all workers idle one shift or m ore in establishm ents directly in volved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or sec ondary effect on other establishm ents w hose em ployees are idle ow ing to material or service shortages. W ORK 37. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date M o n th a n d y e a r In e f f e c t d u r in g m o n t h In e f f e c t m o n th o r y e a r d u r in g m o n t h (in t h o u s a n d s ) (in t h o u s a n d s ) N um ber (in t h o u s a n d s ) P e rc e n t o f e s tim a te d w o r k i n g t im e 2 5 ,7 2 0 270 1 ,6 2 9 245 1 ,4 3 5 2 6 ,1 2 7 .2 2 ............................................................................................................................................ 262 2 ,5 3 7 4 3 ,4 2 0 .3 8 1 ,6 9 8 3 0 ,3 9 0 .2 6 .1 2 1948 . . . . 1950 ............................................................ 424 ............................................................................................................... 415 1 ,4 6 2 1 5 ,0 7 0 ............................................................................................................................................ 470 2 ,7 4 6 4 8 ,8 2 0 1 8 ,1 3 0 .1 4 .1 3 1951 1952 B e g in n in g in m o n th o r y e a r B e g in n in g in ............................................................................................... 1947 1949 D a y s id le W o r k e r s in v o l v e d N u m b e r o f s to p p a g e s . .3 8 437 1 ,6 2 3 1954 265 1 ,0 7 5 1 6 ,6 3 0 1955 363 2 ,0 5 5 2 1 ,1 8 0 .1 6 1 ,3 7 0 2 6 ,8 4 0 .2 0 1953 ............................................................................................................................................ 287 1956 1957 ................................................................... 279 887 1 0 ,3 4 0 .0 7 1958 ................................................................... 332 1 ,5 8 7 1 7 ,9 0 0 .1 3 1959 ............................................................................................................... 245 1 ,3 8 1 6 0 ,8 5 0 .4 3 I9 6 0 ............................................................................... 222 896 1 3 ,2 6 0 .0 9 195 1 ,0 3 1 1 0 ,1 4 0 .0 7 ............................................................................................................................................ 211 793 1 1 ,7 6 0 .0 8 1961 1962 ................................................................................... 181 512 1 0 ,0 2 0 .0 7 1964 ...................................................................................................................... 246 1 ,1 8 3 1 6 ,2 2 0 .11 1965 ............................................................................................................................................ 268 999 1 5 ,1 4 0 .1 0 1963 321 1 ,3 0 0 1 6 ,0 0 0 381 2 ,1 9 2 3 1 ,3 2 0 .1 8 1968 392 1 ,8 5 5 3 5 ,5 6 7 .2 0 1969 412 1 ,5 7 6 2 9 ,3 9 7 .1 6 1970 38 1 2 ,4 6 8 5 2 ,7 6 1 .2 9 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ............................................................................................................................................ .1 0 1971 ............................................................................................................................................ 298 2 ,5 1 6 3 5 ,5 3 8 .1 9 1972 ......................................................................................................................................... 250 975 1 6 ,7 6 4 .0 9 317 1 ,4 0 0 1 6 ,2 6 0 .0 8 424 1 ,7 9 6 3 1 ,8 0 9 .1 6 235 965 1 7 ,5 6 3 .0 9 2 3 ,9 6 2 .1 2 1973 1974 1975 1976 . ... ......................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................ 1 ,5 1 9 23 1 1977 298 1 ,2 1 2 2 1 ,2 5 8 .1 0 1978 219 1 ,0 0 6 2 3 ,7 7 4 .11 235 1 ,0 2 1 2 0 ,4 0 9 .0 9 187 795 2 0 ,8 4 4 .0 9 1979 . . . 1980 145 729 1 6 ,9 0 8 .0 7 1982 ............................................................................................................................................ 96 656 9 ,0 6 1 .0 4 1982 J a n u a r y ......................................................................................................... 2 4 6.1 1 1 .4 2 0 2 .8 .01 F e b r u a r y ...................................................................................................... 3 7 3 .9 1 5 .3 2 4 1 .1 .01 M a rc h ............................................................................................................ 4 9 1 3 .3 2 6 .1 3 5 7 .0 .0 2 J a n j a r y ......................................................................................................... 1 3 1 .6 3 8 .0 7 9 4 .8 .0 4 '1 4 . 0 '5 0 . 4 '8 4 4 . 4 .0 5 2 .0 4 6 .4 9 9 1 .6 .0 5 1981 1983p ...................................................................................................... r5 ............................................................................................................ 2 F e b ru a ry M a rc h p = p r e l im i n a r y . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis '7 7 r = r e v is e d . 95 Published by BLS in March SALES PUBLICATIONS BLS Bulletins Bargaining Calendar, 1983. Bulletin 2165, 61 pp. $5 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02748-6). Presents information on anticipated labor-management contract developments in 1983. The infor m ation-identified by company and union—relates to major bargaining situations (covering at least 1,000 workers) in which contracts expire or are subject to reopening, deferred wage changes come due, or wages are subject to change under cost-ofliving adjustment clauses. Includes an analysis o f 1983 bargain ing that first appeared in the January 1983 issue o f the M o n t h l y L a b o r R e v ie w . Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States by In dustry, 1981. Bulletin 2164, 48 pp., $4.75 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02746-0). Contains 1980 and 1981 data by industry on occupational injuries, illnesses, and fatalities in private, non farm establishments. Area Wage Survey Bulletins These bulletins cover office, professional, technical, maintenance, custodial,and material movement occupations in major metropolitan areas. The annual series of 70 is available by subscription for $115 per year. Individual area bulletins are also available separately. The following were published in March: Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove, California, Metropolitan Area, October 1982. Bulletin 3015-69, 36 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90190-9). Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas, Metropolitan Area, December 1982. B ulletin 3015-65, 39 p p ., $4.50 (GPO Stock N o. 029-001-90186-1). Denver-Boulder, Colorado, Metropolitan Area, December 1982. B ulletin 3015-68, 39 p p ., $4.50 (GPO Stock N o. 029-001-90189-5). Jackson, Mississippi, Metropolitan Area, January 1983. Bulletin 3020-2, 28 pp., $3.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90193-3). Jacksonville, Florida, Metropolitan Area, December B ulletin 3015-64, 41 p p ., $4.50 (GPO Stock 029-001-90185-2). 1982. N o. report on price movements for the month, an analysis o f con sumer price changes in 1982, a description of the change in the CPI homeownership component to rental equivalence, statistical tables, charts, and technical notes. 180 pp., $5 ($28 per year). Current Wage Developments. February issue includes employee wage and benefit changes and collective bargaining settlements in January, an index o f 1982 wage and benefit changes, major agreements expiring in March, and statistics on work stoppages and compensation changes. 59 pp., $4.50 ($23 per year). Employment and Earnings. March issue covers employment and unemployment developments in February, 1982 annual average for all national industry series, a comparison o f nonagricultural employment estimates from two surveys, historical monthly and annual data for new series including the resident Armed Forces, by sex, 1950-82, plus regular statistical tables on national, State, and area employment, unemployment, hours, and earnings. 160 pp., $6 ($39 per year). Producer Prices and Price Indexes. January issue includes a com prehensive report on price movements for the month, an analysis o f producer price trends in 1982, and provides informa tion on the addition of data from the Producer Price Index revi sion, recalculation of seasonal adjustment factors, and the phase-out of Industry Sector Price Indexes, plus regular tables and technical notes. 134 pp. $5 ($34 per year). Mailgram Service Consumer price index data summary by mailgram within 24 hours of the CPI release. Provides unadjusted and seasonally adjusted U.S. City Average data for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). (NTISUB/158). $125 in contiguous United States. FREE PUBLICATIONS Area Wage Survey Summaries Memphis, Tennessee-Arkansas-Mississippi, Metropolitan Area, November 1982. Bulletin 3015-60, 42 pp., $4.50, (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90181-0). Augusta, G a.-S.C., January 1983. 6 pp. Cedar Rapids, Iowa, January 1983. 3 pp. Maine, December 1982. 3 pp. Melbourne-Titusville-Cocoa, Fla., November 1982. 6 pp. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota-Wisconsin, Metropolitan Area, January 1983. Bulletin 3020-1, 41 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-90192-5). To order: Salt Lake City-Ogden, Utah, Metropolitan Area, November 1982. Bulletin 3015-63, 32 p p ., $3.75 (GPO Sfock N o. 029-001-90184-4). Industry Wage Survey Bulletins These studies include results from the latest BLS survey o f wages and supplemental benefits, with detailed occupational data for the Nation, regions, and selected areas (where available). Data are useful for wage and salary administration, union contract negotiation, arbitration, and Government policy considerations. Shipbuilding and Repairing, September 1981. Bulletin 2161, 34 pp., $4.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02747-8). Periodicals CPI Detailed Report. January issue provides a comprehensive https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Order from BLS regional offices (see inside front cover), or the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Govern ment Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20212. Order by title and GPO stock number. Subscriptions available o n l y from the Superintendent o f Documents. Orders can be charged to a deposit account number or checks can be made payable to the Superintend ent o f Documents. 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