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https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Ann McLaughlin, Secretary Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner Region I—Boston: Anthony J. Ferrara Kennedy Federal Building, Suite 1603 Boston, MA 02203 Phone: (617) 565-2327 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, DC 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Region II—New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 201 Varick Street, Room 808, New York, NY 10014 Phone (212) 337-2400 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Subscription price per year—$16 domestic; $20 foreign. Single copy, $4.75 domestic; $5.94 foreign. 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Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, GA 30367 Phone: (404) 347-4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V—Chicago: Lois L. Orr 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street Chicago, IL 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI—Dallas: Bryan Richey Federal Building, Room 221 525 Griffin Street, Dallas, TX 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII—Kansas City: Gunnar Engen 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, MO 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming March cover: "Head of a Woman," a 1929 bronze sculpture by Henri Laurens; Courtesy Hirshhorn Museum and Sculpture Garden, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC Cover design by Melvin B. Moxley https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X—San Francisco: Sam M. Hirabayashi 71 Stevenson Street, P.O. Box 3766 San Francisco, CA 94119 Phone: (415) 995-5602 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington RESEARCH l ib r a r y Federai Reserve B an k of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW MARCH 1988 VOLUME 111, NUMBER 3 APR 1 4 1988 Susan E. Shank Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor 3 Women and the labor market: the link grows stronger Today, 7 of 10 women aged 25 to 54 are members of the labor force, as are the majority of mothers—even mothers of very young children Diana Runner 9 Changes in unemployment insurance legislation during 1987 Illinois, Minnesota, and Wisconsin made extensive modifications to their laws; among the States in general, tax rates were increased and eligibility restricted LABOR PRODUCTIVITY IN FOUR INDUSTRIES Brian L. Friedman 17 Productivity trends in department stores, 1967-86 The domination of large chains and accompanying increased use of computers helped the industry achieve above-average productivity John G. Olsen, Richard B. Carnes 22 Productivity shows a decline in automotive repair shops Output per hour of persons employed in these shops fell at an annual rate of 1.2 percent during 1972-86, reflecting a larger rise in hours than in output J. W. Ferris, V. L. Klarquist 27 Productivity lukewarm in nonelectric heating equipment Annual increase in output per hour, aided by new technology in metalworking but moderated by stagnant demand, averaged only 1.6 percent during 1972-85 Horst Brand, Ziaul Z. Ahmed 33 Productivity in industrial inorganic chemicals https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Output per hour remained unchanged during 1972-85, as neither output of the industry nor employee hours showed significant change REPORTS John M. Rogers 41 Expenditures of urban and rural consumers, 1972-73 to 1985 DEPARTMENTS 2 41 47 48 51 53 Labor month in review Research summaries Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor Month In Review REBASING. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ price indexes shifted to new reference bases. The shifts are in accordance with a longstanding government policy of periodically updating index bases because it is more relevant to compare changes with a more recent base period than with a more remote one. Producer Price Indexes (P P l). Beginning with publication of the January 1988 data, many important Producer Price Indexes have been changed to a new reference base year: 1982 = 100. Previously, the standard index base was 1967 = 100. Prior to rebasing, the December 1987 value of the Finished Goods Index on the 1967 = 100 base was 296.8. Thus, prices received by producers of finished goods in December 1987 were nearly three times higher than they were 20 years earlier. The value of this same index in 1967, converted to a 1982 = 100 base, is 35.6. In December 1987, this index was 105.7, also showing that prices received by producers have risen nearly three times since 1967. The conversion of the base year makes the num bers less cumbersome without altering the relationship between indexes for various periods. In January 1988, the index for finished goods was 106.2, indicating that these prices in January were only about 6 percent higher than they were in 1982. The shift in the base period affects all indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groups, individual items, and durability-of-product groupings previously expressed on a base of 1967 = 100 or another base through December 1981. Indexes with a base later than December 1981, as well as 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis indexes for the net output of industries and their products, are not affected. Tables of rebased historical data from January 1967 through December 1987 for most stage-of-processing groupings and some im portant commodity groupings appeared in the January 1988 issue of the monthly periodical, Producer Price Indexes. Tables of historical data for particular ppi series rebased to 1982 = 100 are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer Price Indexes (CPI). As in the case of the p p i , Consumer Price Indexes for January 1988 (published in February 1988) shifted to a new reference base year. All indexes currently expressed on a base of 1967 = 100, or any other base through December 1981, were rebased to 1982-84 = 100. Only indexes with a base later than December 1981 have continued their current bases. This base change was reviewed by the Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards, Office of Management and Budget, and is in keeping with the government’s longstanding policy on updating index bases. Selection of the 1982-84 period was made to coincide with the updated expenditure weights, which are based upon data tabulated from the Consumer Expenditure Survey for 1982, 1983, and 1984. The last previous rebasing of CPI data occurred in February 1971, when the current 1967 base was substituted for the former 1957-59 base. Historical data for each CPI series on the new base are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For the convenience of users, the Bureau will continue to publish all-items indexes for the U.S. city average, and for the individual local areas for which CPI’s are published, on their former official reference base (1967 = 100 in most cases) as well as on the new base. C onversion factors and an accompanying Fact Sheet on rebasing are available from the Bureau. Dividing by one of these factors will rebase the related index series from its current 1982-84 base to its previous reference base. (Users should note that because of rounding effects, there may be occasional minor differences between the final rebased index and the result obtained using the conversion factor.) International Price Indexes. Beginning with the release of the data for the first quarter of 1988, the weighting structure of import and export price indexes will be updated to reflect U.S. international trading patterns as of 1985. In addition, the official reference base will be changed from June 1977 = 100 to 1985 = 100. Additional information. More detailed information on the rebasing of the price indexes is available in Press Release u s d l 88-65 (PPI), u s d l 88-92 ( cpi ), and the upcoming release on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes scheduled for April 28, 1988. The monthly periodicals, Producer Price Indexes and the CPI Detailed Report also contain discussions of the rebasing and display the rebased indexes. For $60, payable in advance, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will provide an electronic data tape containing the complete PPI database for users requiring a large number of rebased historical tables. Order from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Division of Planning and Financial Management, Room 1077, 441 G Street, NW., Washington, DC 20212. □ Women and the labor market: the link grows stronger Today, 7 of 10 women age 25 to 54 are members of the labor force, as are the majority of mothers even mothers of very young children — S u sa n E. S h a n k Women’s attachment to the labor market has increased dra matically since the end of World War II—especially for those between age 25 and 54. More than 7 of 10 women in this age group are now in the labor force, up from about 3 of 10 four decades earlier. The rise in women’s attachment to market work is clearly both a product and a cause of many profound social and economic changes that have occurred in the United States over the last 40 years. One result of this surge has been a narrowing of the gap between male and female participation rates. Also, women today display a pattern of labor force participation by age group that is very different from that evident 15 years ago. Until the mid-1970’s, female participation rates by age formed an “M” shape, dipping between the early twenties and the main child-bearing years of 25 to 34. That pattern has now shifted to an inverted “U” and thus is very similar to that for men. (See chart 1.) Another result is that labor market activity has become the norm for most women today. This is true for women in each 10-year group in the 25 to 54 age bracket, for whites, for blacks, and for all marital status groups. Moreover, the majority of mothers are in the labor force today— even mothers of infants and toddlers. As recently as 1975, a Bureau of Labor Statistics study found sharp differences in participation rates of women by marital status and presence and age of children.1 Such differences have been reduced very substantially over the ensuing decade. Finally, women today work more hours per week and more weeks per year than they did 10 or 20 years ago. The Women in the United States have been entering the labor market in increasing numbers over the past century, but, until the advent of the Second World War, the changes were small and gradual. However, between 1940 and 1944, the number of women in the labor force jumped by 5 million— or more than one-third.2 Over the same period, about 10 million men entered the Armed Forces and, as their number in the civilian work force plummeted, women moved in and took their places. This pattern was reversed in the following two years. As the gi’s returned home, the number of men in the civilian labor force rebounded, while millions of women withdrew from the work force. However, fewer women left at the end of World War II than had entered during the war years, and many of those who exited in the 1944-46 period returned a few years later. Susan E. Shank is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Statistics, Bureau o f Labor Statistics. Age. Women in the 45 to 54 age group led the influx into the labor force in the postwar period. Participation rates for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis majority of 25- to 54-year-old women who worked in 1986 did so full time, year round. This article focuses on women 25 to 54, the age group where job market links are especially strong. Most people in these “prime working ages” have completed school and not yet started to withdraw (permanently) from the labor force. Women in these ages increased their labor market participa tion throughout the post-World War II period, and the rate of increase accelerated in the mid-1960’s. Labor force par ticipation rates of women are projected to continue rising to the year 2000, although at a slower pace than during the past two decades. Historical trends 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Women’s Link to Labor Market Grows Stronger this older cohort soared from just over 30 percent in 1946 to 50 percent in 1960. (See chart 2.) In contrast, rates rose more moderately for the 35- to 44-year-olds and hardly increased at all for 25- to 34-year-olds. These were the postwar baby-boom years, and most married women re mained outside the labor force because of their child and family responsibilities. The different timing of labor force increases by age mirrored public attitudes about women working outside the home. Attitudes shifted first for older women, who generally did not have young children at home. Chart 1. Civilian labor force participation rates by sex and age, selected years Percent In the early 1960’s, however, women of childbearing age began to enter the labor market in large numbers. The rate of increase picked up in the mid-1960’s and accelerated even more during the 1970’s. (See chart 2.) A very sharp decline in the birth rate in the 1960’s was a major contribut ing factor. At the same time, total employment was rising strongly, with much of the growth occurring in services and the public sector (especially education), where large num bers of women are employed. Increasing levels of education and rapidly changing views about the home and work roles of women were also factors in the tremendous jump in women’s labor market activity during the 1960’s and 1970’s.3 The flood of 25- to 34-year-olds into the labor market during the last 20 years changed the long-standing pattern of female participation rates by age. The historical “M” shape was replaced by an inverted “ U,” as the dip in female partic ipation that had been evident between the 20 to 24 and 25 to 34 age groups almost disappeared. Also, after the mid1970’s, women 45 to 54 no longer had the highest rates among the three groups within the prime working-age bracket. In 1987, the rate for the 45 to 54 age group averaged 67 percent, compared to 74 percent for 35- to 44-year-olds, and 72 percent for 25- to 34-year-olds. The unprecedented changes discussed above can be seen clearly in the participation rates of women in the same birth cohort as they move from their early to late twenties. As the following tabulation shows, almost half of the women who were 20 to 24 in 1960 were in the labor force, but the proportion dropped substantially when these women entered the peak childbearing ages of 25 to 29: Age 20-24— Age 25-29— Year bom: 1936-40 ..................... in 1960 46.1 in 1965 38.9 1946-50 ..................... in 1970 57.7 in 1975 57.3 1956-60 ..................... in 1980 68.9 in 1985 71.4 The first of the baby-boom generation, bom only 10 years later, displayed markedly different patterns. Their participa tion rates were much higher than those of women bom 10 years earlier, and participation rates did not drop between their early and late twenties. Women bom in the latter part' of the 1950’s showed further remarkable changes. Not only were their participation rates higher again, but the rates actually rose as these women moved from their early to late twenties— a reversal of the pattern just 20 years earlier. 19 24 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 34 44 54 64 plus Race!ethnic group. Throughout most of the postwar pe riod, black women had much higher activity rates than did white women.4 However, the gap has narrowed greatly, especially since the mid-1960’s, when the rates for white Chart 2. Civilian labor force participation rates for women, by age 1946-87 Percent Percent women skyrocketed. As shown in the following tabulation, by 1987, participation rates for both white and black women in the 25 to 54 age group were similar:5 1954 1967 1977 1987 ..................... ................... ........................................ ........................................ ..................... ................... White Nonwhite 37.0 45.7 57.7 71.8 53.4 59.3 63.7 72.1 Black _ — 64.4 73.6 Hispanic women, however, were much less likely than either white or black women to be in the labor force. Their lower participation rate (61 percent in 1987) is related to a number of factors, including a high birth rate, generally low educational attainment, and cultural factors that emphasize women’s home and family roles.6 Marital status. Most married women did not work outside the home in the postwar years. In 1957, for example, only about 33 percent of married women 25 to 54 were in the labor force, compared with approximately 80 percent of single women and 65 percent of widowed, divorced, and separated women combined. These differences shrank dra matically in the following three decades. Between 1957 and 1987, married women entered the labor market in record numbers and their participation rate more than doubled— to 68 percent, while the rate for single women remained around 80 percent, and that for widowed, divorced, or sep arated women rose to 79 percent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis At the same time that differences in labor force activity rates narrowed across marital status groups, the number of single and divorced women rose substantially. The follow ing tabulation shows that the proportion of divorced women in the prime working-age population increased fourfold, and the proportion of single women also jumped: Never married .................................. Married, spouse present ................. Married, spouse a b s e n t................... Widowed .......................................... Divorced .......................................... ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. 1957 1987 7.5 80.5 4.3 4.6 3.0 12.9 68.2 4.9 2.2 11.8 In 1987, divorced and never-married women together ac counted for 1 of 4 prime working-age women— up from about 1 of 10 in 1957. The marked expansion in these groups, which have high labor force activity rates, was matched by contraction in the married and widowed groups, where rates are somewhat lower. Work attachment The phenomenal rise in female labor force activity has been accompanied by major changes in the nature and extent of women’s connection to market work. Not only are most women currently in the labor market, but the vast majority are full-time, career-oriented workers. This applies across virtually all age, race, and marital status groups. It applies 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Women’s Link to Labor Market Grows Stronger whether or not women have children at home and even for those with very young children. Only in the last few years have women decided to remain in the labor force for a large part of their adult years and to work even when they have young children at home. As recently as 20 years ago, it was more typical for women to work for a few years after they finished school and then leave the labor force when their first child was bom. In many cases, these women did not return to market work at all or did so only after an absence of several years. Marital status and children. Labor market activity is now the norm for women, and high participation rates are evident in nearly all demographic groups. For example, in March 1987, rates ranged from 85 percent among divorced women to 66 percent for widows. (See table 1.) Women 35 to 44 generally had the highest activity rates of the three 10-year groups of the prime working ages. However, this was not the case among the single women group, where 25- to 34year-olds registered the highest participation rate. More over, the rate was nearly 90 percent for women in this younger age group who did not have children. The presence of children, especially very young children, tends to moderate the labor force participation of women, but this effect is much less marked today than it was 20 years ago. In 1987, 79 percent of women with no children under age 18 were in the labor force, compared to 67 percent for women with children. Activity rates for mothers fell steadily in line with the age of their youngest child— from about 75 percent for mothers of high school age children (none younger) to 55 percent for mothers with children under the age of 3. The fact that more than half of all mothers with toddlers were in the labor market in 1987 indicates the magnitude of social and economic change in recent years. As recently as 1967, less than one-fourth of mothers with children under age 3 were in the labor force. Table 1. Civilian labor force participation rates of women, by age, marital status, and presence and age of children, March 1987 Age Age Age Age 2 5 -5 4 2 5 -3 4 3 5 -4 4 4 5 -5 4 81.5 68.1 70.9 65.7 84.7 82.9 67.5 68.2 52.7 83.3 81.8 71.7 76.0 68.7 87.3 68.5 64.0 67.6 66.5 82.7 No own children under age 18 ..................... 79.0 89.0 82.1 68.1 Own children under age 18 ......................... Age of youngest child: 14 to 17 ............................................ 6 to 13 .............................................. 3 to 5 ................................................ Under age 3 ....................................... 66.7 63.1 71.7 63.8 74.8 72.0 62.4 55.2 82.4 72.9 63.1 55.2 78.7 73.8 61.1 55.9 67.8 58.7 52.7 (D C h a r a c t e r is t ic M a r it a l s t a t u s Never married ........................................... Married, husband present............................ Married, husband absent ............................ Widowed .................................................. Divorced .................................................. P resen ce and age o f o w n c h ild r e n 1Participation rate not shown where population is less than 75,000. 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Hours per week. The number of hours worked per week or per year is a measure of the intensity of a person’s con nection to the labor market. Despite a common impression to the contrary, most employed women work full time, that is, 35 hours or more per week. In 1986, for example, 78 percent of all employed women ages 25 to 54 worked full time; an additional 5 percent worked fewer than 35 hours but wanted full-time jobs; and only 17 percent worked part time voluntarily. The proportion of women who work full time has been essentially stable for the past two decades. How ever, among those working part time, the proportion doing so voluntarily has declined, while the fraction wanting full time jobs has increased. Even though most women work full time, they tend to work fewer hours per week than do men. In 1986, prime working-age women employed in nonagricultural industries averaged about 37 hours per week, compared with 44 hours for men in the same age group. (See table 2.) Employed women are heavily concentrated in the retail trade and serv ice industries in which part-time work is common. Approx imately 6 of 10 prime working-age women were in these two industries in 1987, in contrast to only 3 of 10 prime working-age men. As might be expected, differences in hours by gender are greatest at the extremes— the less than 30 hours or the more than 48 hours per week categories. (See table 2.) However, over the past two decades there has been some convergence in the work schedules of men and women, largely because the proportion of women working 49 hours or more rose substantially, and the proportion of men working fewer than 30 hours increased. As a result, the differences in the aver age workweek by gender shrank from 9 hours in 1968 to about 7 hours in 1987. Weeks per year. In addition to hours per week, labor force attachment can also be viewed in terms of weeks worked per year. During 1986, 68 percent of women 25 to 54 who worked did so for a full year, and an additional 10 percent worked 40 to 49 weeks.7 At the other extreme, only about 15 percent of these women worked for less than half the year. (See table 3.) Women’s year-round employment rose substantially between 1966 and 1986, especially in the 25 to 34 age group. Over these two decades, the fraction of these younger women who worked full year jumped from 45 to 65 percent, while the proportion who worked only 1 to 13 weeks dropped from 18 to l \ percent. Combining weeks worked per year with usual hours per week offers additional insights into the degree of workers’ job attachment. Persons who work full time 50 to 52 weeks per year clearly have a strong work commitment. In 1986, 57 percent of all employed women 25 to 54 were in this year-round, full-time category; the comparable proportion for men was 78 percent. As was true of hours per week, work patterns over the calendar year have been converging for men and women of prime working age. Two decades earlier, 46 percent of the employed women and about 84 percent of employed men were year-round, full-time workers. Younger women have followed the lead of their older counterparts in moving toward year-round, full-time em ployment, as they did in entering the labor force. By 1986, fully 55 percent of employed women 25 to 34 were yearround, full-time workers, up from 39 percent in 1966. The proportion of women in this age group working full year but part time also rose considerably. This latter pattern— full-year work on a part-time basis— was the second most common schedule (after year round, full time) for women in the prime working-age group in 1986. Table 3. Women with work experience in 1966 and 1986 by age, full-time or part-time job, and weeks worked [Percent distribution] A ge 2 5 -5 4 A ge 2 5 -3 4 A ge 3 5 -4 4 A g e 4 5 -5 4 W o r k e x p e r ie n c e 1986 1966 1986 1966 1986 1966 1986 1966 Worked at full-time job: 50-52 weeks ......... 40-49 weeks ......... 27-39 weeks ......... 14-26 weeks ......... 1-13 weeks ......... 57.1 6.5 4.2 4.2 2.8 45.5 8.3 6.5 6.5 6.1 55.1 7.2 4.6 5.1 3.3 38.6 8.8 7.6 9.2 9.6 57.8 6.0 4.2 3.8 2.5 45.2 8.2 6.2 6.3 5.4 59.8 6.0 3.3 3.4 2.2 51.7 7.8 5.8 4.4 3.8 Worked at part-time job: 50-52 weeks ......... 40-49 weeks ......... 27-39 weeks ......... 14-26 weeks ......... 1-13 weeks ......... 11.4 3.3 2.8 4.0 3.8 9.8 2.9 3.1 4.5 6.9 10.3 3.3 2.7 4.2 4.2 6.8 2.5 2.7 5.7 8.4 12.0 3.1 2.9 4.1 3.7 10.9 3.0 3.4 4.1 7.3 12.7 3.3 2.6 3.5 3.1 11.2 3.0 3.0 3.8 5.2 Future outlook Will women continue to enter the labor force in greater numbers? How high will their participation rates go? How large will the proportion of women who work year round, full time become? While there are no definite answers to these and some other questions about women’s labor market behavior in the future, bls recently introduced projections to the year 2000 which describe some probable scenarios.8 The projections presume a continued increase in female labor force participation, but at a much slower rate than during the preceding two decades. Slower increases. Between 1986 and 2000, the labor force participation rate for women in the prime working-age group is projected to increase 10 percentage points, from about 71 percent to 81 percent (assuming the “middle growth” scenario). While very large by most standards, this would by only half the size of the increase that took place in the previous 14 years, when the rate jumped from 51 percent to 71 percent. The primary reason for the projected slower rate of in crease is that the huge gains of the past have brought female participation rates to relatively high levels. There is simply much less room to grow from a 70-percent participation rate than there was from a 40- or 50-percent rate. A second reason is that the projections assume that participation rates for prime working-age women will not exceed those for Table 2. Hours at work for 25- to 54-year-old women and men in nonagriculturai industries, annual averages, 1968 and 1986 [Percent distribution] W om en M en H o u rs o f w o rk 1986 Average hours.................................. Total hours ....................................... Under 30 hours.................................. 30-34 hours.............................. 35-39 hours..................................... 40 hours.................................... 41-48 hours.................................. 49 hours and over .................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1968 1986 men. This constraining assumption is built into the projec tion methodology. A third reason for the projected slowing is that most of the population growth will take place in the oldest 10-year group in this study (45- to 54-year-olds), where participation is lower. During the 1990’s, this group will account for virtually all of the population growth in the prime working-age group— as the first of the baby-boom generation moves into their mid-forties and early fifties. While some slowing in the pace of women’s labor force increases is almost inevitable in future years, the precise timing and extent of such slowing are matters of judgment. In this connection, it should be noted that bls projections of women’s labor force participation have come closer to the mark in recent years. Between 1959 and 1976, bls produced six projections of the future size of the labor force, and all six underestimated actual growth in the female labor force.9 The phenomenal increases in participation rates for prime working-age women that started in the mid-1960’s surprised almost all analysts. However, bls projections introduced in 1978 and the early 1980’s assumed that such growth will continue, although not necessarily at the same rapid pace.10 Gender differences shrink. While participation rates for women are expected to continue rising through the end of the century, those for men are projected to edge further down. As a result, the longstanding gap between male and female rates will shrink even more. The following tabula tion shows that the difference in the prime working-age group, which was about 60 percentage points in 1950 (and 23 points in 1986), will narrow to 12 points by the year 2000. For 25- to 34-year-olds, the gender difference is ex pected to shrink to only 10 points. 1968 36.8 35.7 43.9 44.7 100.0 19.5 9.4 9.7 42.1 8.9 10.4 100.0 21.5 9.6 11.0 42.0 9.3 6.5 100.0 5.7 4.8 4.0 44.4 13.2 27.7 100.0 4.4 4.7 3.9 43.4 17.3 26.3 Actual, 1950 25 to 54 24-34 35-44 45-54 years ........ y e a r s ........ y e a r s ........ y e a r s ........ ........ ........ ........ ........ Projected, 2000 Women Men Women Men 36.8 34.0 39.1 37.9 96.5 96.0 97.8 95.8 80.8 82.3 84.2 75.4 92.6 93.6 93.9 90.1 7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Women’s Link to Labor Market Grows Stronger groups— the right side of their inverted “U” shifts to the left and thus becomes more like that for women. Moreover, as the gap between male and female rates continues to narrow, the outline traced by these rates over the life cycle is expected to become increasingly unisex. In the year 2000, activity rates of women are projected to rise steadily from the teen years to a peak in the 35 to 44 age group, then to decline in the 45 to 54 age group before dropping off sharply for those 55 and over. Chart 1 notes the similarity between this pattern and that for men in the year 2000. The shift in the outline of women’s participation rates from the “M” shape to an inverted “U ,” which started in the 1970’s, will be even more prominent by 2000. In fact, women’s participation rates (in terms of both level and pat tern by age) are projected to be more similar to those for men than to women’s rates in 1960 or 1970. Moreover, as male rates decline over time—especially in the older age b e t w e e n l a b o r m a r k e t b e h a v io r of men and women shrank dramatically in the four decades following World War II. This was due largely to a tremendous in crease in labor market activity by women. Over the past 40 years, the proportion of 25- to 54-year-old women in the labor force jumped from one-third to more than 70 percent. Furthermore, among employed women, 3 of 4 worked full time in 1986, and well over half of them worked year round and full time, b l s projections to the year 2 0 0 0 call for continued increases in market activity of women, and as a result, further convergence in male and female labor force patterns over the life cycle. 1 See Deborah Pisetzner Klein, “Women in the labor force: the middle years,” Monthly Labor Review , November 1975, pp. 10-16. The 1977 and 1987 data show that there is little difference between the participation rates of black women and nonwhite women age 25 to 54. 2 These are Current Population Survey ( cps ) data for persons 14 years and over. When the lower age boundary for labor force statistics was raised to 16 years, historical data were revised, but only back to 1948. The CPS is a monthly household survey, conducted for the b ls by the Census Bureau. 6 Rosemary Santana Cooney and Vilma Ortiz, “Nativity, National Origin, and Hispanic Female Participation in the Labor Force,” Social Science Quarterly , September 1983, pp. 510-23. 3 For an excellent interpretation of changing work-leisure patterns for women, men, and teenagers in the 1950-75 period, see Robert W. Bednarzik and Deborah P. Klein, “Labor force trends: a synthesis and analy sis,” Monthly Labor Review , October 1977, pp. 3-1 5 . When reprinted as Special Labor Force Report 208, this article included an annotated bibliog raphy of selected literature on trends in labor force participation. Also, see Lois B. Shaw, “Determinants of the Increasing Work Attach ment of Married W omen,” Work and Occupations, May 1983. 4 Historically, the higher rates for nonwhite women reflected many fac tors, such as greater economic need, lower marriage and higher fertility rates, and a larger proportion of extended families, which meant additional relatives to assist with child care. 5 Labor force data for blacks only are not available prior to 1972; rates for non whites (persons o f black and other races) are shown for earlier years. 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D if f e r e n c e s 7 These data are from the March 1987 work experience supplement to the Current Population Survey. This supplement (conducted in March of each year) obtains labor force information for each week of the previous calen dar year. 8 Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “Labor force projections: 1986 to 2000,” Monthly Labor Review , September 1987, pp. 19-29. 9 Paul M. Ryscavage, “ b ls labor force projections: a review of methods and results,” Monthly Labor Review , April 1979, pp. 15-22. 10 See Paul O. Flaim and Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “Labor force projec tions to 1990: three possible paths,” Monthly Labor Review , December 1978, pp. 25-35; Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “The 1995 labor force: a first look,” Monthly Labor Review , December 1980, pp. 11-21; and Howard N Fullerton, Jr. and John Tschetter, “The 1995 labor force: a second look,” Monthly Labor Review , November 1983, pp. 1-8. Changes in unemployment insurance legislation during 1987 Illinois, Minnesota, and Wisconsin made extensive modifications to their laws; among the States generally, changes involved raising tax rates, restricting eligibility, and increasing qualifying requirements D ia n a R u n n e r During 1987, State legislatures took very little action on unemployment insurance matters except in Illinois, Minne sota, and Wisconsin where extensive changes were made. Weekly benefit amounts were increased in seven States, and eight States amended their qualifying wage requirements. Financing provisions were amended in several States and most raised the maximum tax rates or made provision for extra assessments, or both, to strengthen their trust funds. In Arkansas Benefits. An individual will not be liable for repayment of benefits if he or she re ceived a backpay award that was reduced by the amount of benefits received for the same period, if the director of the State agency is furnished a signed copy of the award. In this instance, the employer will be liable to pay the unemployment in surance fund the reduced amount of back pay and have his account credited with the amount paid. The term “week” was rede fined in the law as a 7-consecutive-day pe riod beginning on Sunday at 12:01 a.m. and ending at midnight the following Satur day. The percentage used in determining the minimum weekly benefit amount was lowered from 15 percent to 12 percent of the State average weekly wage. Louisiana, Texas, and West Virginia, the laws were amended to provide for the issuance of bonds for the financ ing and repayment of Federal advances to the State funds. Wyoming provided for State interfund borrowing for the payment of benefits or repayment of Federal advances. Following is a summary of significant changes in State unemployment insurance laws during 1987. Disqualification. Payment of benefits during short-term layoffs is now prohibited under certain conditions. An individual will not be considered “unavailable for work” during a week if he or she has to withdraw from the labor market for less than 4 days in that week due to a com pelling personal emergency. If an individ ual is suspended from work for misconduct connected with the work, he or she will be disqualified for the duration of the suspen sion or for 8 weeks, whichever is less. If an individual, while on layoff, voluntarily re moves his or her name from a recall list maintained by the base-period employer, that individual will be disqualified unless he or she is employed elsewhere full time or has a compelling reason for removing the name. California Diana Runner is an unemployment insurance program specialist in the Office of Legislation and Actuarial Services, Employment and Train ing Administration, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Coverage. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by a full time student in the employ of an organized camp, if certain conditions are met. Financing. An employer’s unemploy ment insurance account will not be charged with benefits paid to an individual who was discharged, or who quit, as a result of an irresistible compulsion to use or consume intoxicants. Benefits. The retraining benefits program established in 1981 was extended to Janu ary 1, 1993. Disqualification. A disqualification of 52 weeks for misrepresentation to obtain bene fits will no longer apply to an individual convicted of the violation. Colorado Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to January 1, 1993. The definition of political subdivision (local governmental entity) was amended to include an Indian tribe organized according to the Federal In dian Reorganization Act of 1934. 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Benefits. For purposes of the extended benefits program, the weekly benefit amount and the total benefit amount will be reduced by the amount of any reduction mandated by the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (hereafter termed Gramm-RudmanHollings). Claimants in an internship pro gram (as defined in the “Disqualification” section below) will receive stipends along with their benefits. In addition, internship stipends will not be considered wages for the purpose of calculating weekly benefit amounts. Disqualification. Lump-sum retirement payments received by an individual will no longer be deductible from unemployment compensation if certain conditions are met. The law was changed so that training with the approval of the Colorado Department of Employment and Labor now includes par ticipation in internship programs estab lished by employment offices under contract with the State of Colorado in coop eration with service delivery areas estab lished under the Job Training Partnership Act of 1983. Connecticut Financing. Taxable wages reported to the State agency on or before September 30 will be used in determining the employer’s tax rate for a year. Administration. An appeal now may be deemed timely if the filing party can show good cause for filing after the 21-day pe riod otherwise mandated by the law. The State employment security board was given the responsibility for establishing a defini tion for good cause in relation to timeliness in the filing of motions or appeals. Delaware Financing. Regardless of the contribu tion rate established for the industry in which he or she operates, no new employer may have a contribution rate of less than 1.0 percent. Deleted was the requirement that no new employer could have a reduced rate if he or she had no employment for five or more consecutive calendar quarters. Therefore, an employer may have a re duced rate based on actual experience even if there has been a break in employment. Until December 31, 1987, all employers are charged a 1.5-percent supplemental assessment, regardless of their basic rate. Beginning in calendar year 1988, an em ployer’s tax rate will be increased when ever the trust fund balance is more than $90 million. The supplemental assessment rate will be based on the employer’s earned basic assessment. For example, if the basic 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unemployment Insurance Legislation in 1987 assessment ranges from 0.1 percent to 3.9 percent of taxable wages, the supplemental assessment will be 1.1 percent. If the basic assessment is 8.0 percent, the supplemental assessment will be 1.5 percent. If the trust fund balance is less than $90 million, each employer’s basic rate will be increased by a supplemental assessment of from 1.5 per cent to 2.5 percent, depending on the basic rate. Benefits. The maximum and minimum weekly benefit amounts ($205 and $20, re spectively) were frozen for the period July 1 through December 31, 1987. The require ment for computing the maximum weekly benefit amount as 66§ percent of the statewide average weekly wage was deleted. Beginning January 1, 1988, an in dividual’s weekly benefit amount will be computed as ^ of the wages in the two highest quarters of the base period if the trust fund balance is equal to or greater than $90 million, or as ^ of the wages in the two highest quarters of the base period if the trust fund balance is less than $90 million. However, in both instances, the minimum weekly benefit amount may not be less than $20, nor the maximum weekly benefit amount more than $205. Disqualification. All dismissal payments will be considered wages, and therefore de ductible from the weekly benefit amount. Florida Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to December 31, 1992. Begin ning January 1, 1988, coverage of agricul tural labor will pertain to all employers with at least 5 (currently 10) employees in each of 20 weeks, or with at least $10,000 (currently $20,000) in payrolls in any cal endar quarter. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount was increased from $175 to $200. Georgia Financing. For the period April 1, 1987, through March 31, 1992, there will be an administrative assessment equal to 0.06 percent of taxable wages for all employers except: (1) nonprofit organizations and governmental entities that are authorized to either pay contributions or elect to make payments in lieu of contributions; or (2) employers assigned either the minimum rate of 0.06 percent or the maximum rate of 8.64 percent. New employers also will be subject to the assessment. For the same pe riod, new employers will pay 2.64 percent and experience-rated employers will pay rates ranging from 0.04 percent to 5.4 per cent, reflecting a reduction of the otherwise mandated tax rates by the 0.06-percent ad ministrative assessment. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount was increased from $145 to $155, and the minimum amount from $27 to $37. Effective July 2, 1988, the maximum weekly benefit will increase to $165. How ever, the $115 maximum will still apply if the program trust fund level is less than $175 million. Disqualification. The discharge for mis conduct disqualification was changed from a variable 4 to 11 weeks to a duration dis qualification or until the individual earns eight times the weekly benefit amount. An individual will be disqualified for gross misconduct until he or she earns insured wages equal to at least 12 times the weekly benefit amount if the discharge was for (1) intentional conduct on the job that results in injury to the employer, fellow employees, customers, patients, bystanders, or the eventual consumer of products; or (2) in tentional conduct that results in the em ployee being discharged for theft valued at $100 or less. Also, an individual may be disqualified for gross misconduct until he or she earns 16 times the weekly benefit amount when the discharge was for inten tional conduct resulting in property loss or damages of at least $2,000; theft of prop erty, goods, or money valued at over $100; sabotage; or embezzlement. An individual will not be disqualified for misconduct if (1) the individual made a good faith effort to perform the duties for which hired, but was simply unable to do so; (2) the individ ual did not intentionally fail or consciously neglect to perform the duties; (3) the dis charge occurred because of absenteeism caused by illness of the claimant or a family member, unless the claimant failed, with out justification, to notify the employer; (4) the discharge occurred as the result of the violation of an employer rule of which the claimant was not informed; or (5) ex cept for activity requiring disqualification because of a labor dispute, the employee was exercising a protected right to protest against wages, hours, working conditions, or job safety under the National Labor Re lations Act or other laws. Hawaii Financing. For calendar year 1988, wages, for tax purposes, will not include remuneration paid which exceeds (1) 100 percent of the State average annual wage, if the ratio of the current reserve fund to the adequate reserve fund is equal to or less than 0.8; or (2) 75 percent, if the ratio is greater than 0.8 but less than 1.2; or (3) 50 percent, if the ratio is equal to or more than 1.2. A special unemployment insurance ad ministration fund was created which will consist of all fines, interests, and penalties collected. ing on June 30 of the year immediately preceding the year for which a rate is being determined, divided by the net revenues for the 3-year period ending on September 30 of the same year, adjusted to the nearest multiple of 1 percent. The adjusted State experience factor will be 111 percent for Idaho 1988; not less than 75 percent or more than Financing. For calendar years 1987 and 135 percent for 1989 through 1992, during 1988, positive-balance employers will pay which period it may not be lowered by contributions ranging from 1.7 percent to more than 5 percent (absolute) from the 3.5 percent of taxable wages, and negativeState experience factor for the preceding balance employers will pay from 4.0 per year; and 123 percent beginning in calendar cent to 5.6 percent. New employers will year 1993. pay 3.7 percent. Beginning July 1, 1989, an employer’s experience rate will depend, in part, on Benefits. The base-period qualifying benefit charges rather than on benefit wages were changed from \ \ to 1^ times the wages. Beginning in 1991, the benefit ratio wages earned in the high quarter of the base of each eligible employer will be a percent period. The minimum high-quarter wage age computed using a benefit conversion requirement of $1,144.01 still applies. The factor that takes into account previously ratio of base-period wages to high-quarter paid benefit wages and benefit charges. An wages for determining duration of benefits employer’s maximum contribution rate for was changed from 1.25 for a minimum of 1988 through 1992 will be the greater of 10 weeks to 3.25 for a maximum of 26 6.4 percent or the product of 6.4 percent weeks. and the adjusted State experience factor for the year. An employer’s maximum contri Illinois bution rate for 1993 and subsequent years Coverage. A new enactment excludes will be 6.7 percent. The minimum rate will from coverage services performed by an continue to be the greater of 0.2 percent or individual as a direct seller, if certain con the product obtained by multiplying 0.2 ditions are met. percent by the adjusted State experience factor. No employer with total wages in Financing. The taxable wage base for any quarter (during 1988 and thereafter) of calendar years 1988 through 1992 will be less than $50,000 shall pay contributions $9,000 and, beginning January 1, 1993, which exceed 5 percent in 1988 and 5.4 $8,500. Provisions of law requiring a new percent in 1989 and thereafter. employer to pay contributions equal to the Beginning in 1989 and ending December greatest of 2.7 percent, 2.7 percent multi 31, 1992, a surcharge of 0.2 percent will be plied by the current State adjusted experi added to each employer’s tax rate when the ence factor, or the average contribution rate trust fund on May 15 is less than $80 mil for the employer’s major industry classifi lion. This surcharge is increased by 0.2 cation, which were to expire at the end of percent for each subsequent year in which 1987, were permanently extended. Special the trust fund balance is below $80 million. contribution conditions will apply in calen For calendar years 1988 through 1992, a dar years 1989 and 1990 to new employers fund-building rate equal to 0.4 percent will who have had experience with the risk of be added to each employer’s basic rate. The unemployment for at least 13 consecutive fund-building rate will increase to 0.6 per months ending June 30 of the preceding cent in 1993 and subsequent years. The year. For benefit years beginning on and provision for an emergency contribution after July 1, 1989, benefits will be charged rate when the State’s account in the Federal to the last employer for whom the individ unemployment trust fund was less than ual worked in covered employment and $100 million was repealed. earned wages on each of 30 days. (Cur rently, benefits are charged proportionately Benefits. For the period January 3, 1988, to the base-period employers.) to January 1, 1993, a weekly benefit The tax system will be converted from a amount will be computed as 49 percent of benefit-wage ratio (proportion of employer the claimant’s average weekly wage, up to payroll paid to workers receiving unem 49 percent of the State average weekly ployment benefits) system to a benefit ratio wage. For the same period, the formula for (ratio of benefits paid to total employer dependents’ allowances shall be 8 percent payroll) system over calendar years 1988— of the claimant’s prior average weekly 92. In calendar year 1988, the State experi wage (not to exceed 57 percent of the State ence factor will be the sum of all regular average weekly wage) for a nonworking benefits paid plus the benefit reserve for spouse, or 15 percent of the claimant’s fund building during the 3-year period end prior average weekly wage (not to exceed https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 64 percent of the State average weekly wage) for other dependents. Beginning January 1, 1993, a weekly benefit amount will be computed as 48 percent of the claimant’s average weekly wage up to 48 percent of the State average weekly wage; dependents’ allowances will be 7 percent of the claimant’s prior average weekly wage (not to exceed 55 percent of the State aver age weekly wage) for a nonworking spouse, or 14.4 percent (not to exceed 62.4 percent of the State average weekly wage) for dependents. For calendar years 1988, 1989, and 1990, the statewide average weekly wage will be $359, $381, and $406, respectively. Beginning with calendar year 1993, the av erage weekly wage will be $350. For calen dar years 1991 and 1992, the average weekly wage will be the previous calendar year’s average weekly wage plus (or minus) an amount equal to the percentage change in the average weekly wage be tween the two immediately preceding bene fit periods, multiplied by the previous cal endar year’s statewide average weekly wage. For benefit periods between January 1, 1991, and December 31, 1992, the statewide average weekly wage will be the average weekly wage in effect for the pre vious benefit period if two of the following three factors occur: (1) the average contri bution rate of employers for the calendar year 2 years prior to the base period as a ratio of total contributions to total wages was 0.2 percent greater than the national average of this ratio; or (2) the trust fund balance was less than $250 million on March 31 of the prior year; or (3) the num ber of first payments of initial claims on June 30 of the prior year had increased more than 25 percent over the average dur ing a 5-year period ending on the same June 30. Also, if all the conditions above occur, the statewide average weekly wage shall decrease 10 percent. The base period may be extended after receipt of temporary total disability benefits under any workers’ com pensation or occupational disease act. Disqualification. A labor dispute dis qualification will exclude individuals af fected by a lockout if (1) an employer re fuses to meet under reasonable conditions with the union representative to discuss the lockout; or (2) there is a final adjudication under the National Labor Relations Act that, during the lockout, the employer re fused to bargain in good faith with the union representative over the lockout is sues; or (3) the lockout violated the existing union agreement. Also, an individual’s total or partial unemployment resulting from any reduction in operations, reduction in force, or layoff of employees by an em ployer in anticipation of collective bargain- 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • ing negotiations will not be considered as being due to a stoppage of work which ex ists because of a labor dispute until the ac tual commencement of a strike or lockout. A definition of misconduct was added to cover the deliberate and willful violation of an employer’s reasonable rule or policy governing the individual’s behavior in the performance of work, provided the viola tion has harmed the employer or employee or has been repeated despite a warning or other explicit instruction from the em ployer. Also, if an individual disqualified for misconduct is reinstated by the em ployer, the requalifying requirement will be deemed satisfied. Administration. A $2 million program was established to pay lawyers to represent small businesses and claimants at unem ployment insurance hearings. The program will be funded from the existing Special Administrative Account. Indiana Administration. The State Employment Security Division was replaced with the Department of Employment and Training Services, which shall be administered by an executive director. The Indiana Unemploy ment Insurance Board was established to replace the employment security board, which was responsible for the unemploy ment insurance program. The employment security advisory council has been abol ished and its duties have been transferred to the Indiana State Job Training Coordinat ing Council. Benefits. The definition of dependent was amended to include a person who is less than 23 years old (formerly 18) and is enrolled in and regularly attending a sec ondary school or who is a full-time student at an accredited college or university. Iowa Financing. Beginning in 1988, the tax able wage base will be 66§ percent of the statewide average weekly wage multiplied by 52, and rounded to the next higher mul tiple of $100. The provision increasing the wage base by $1,600 for 1986 and subse quent calendar years was repealed. The provision allowing noncharging to former employer(s) of benefits to be paid to an individual who failed without good cause to return to his or her customary selfemployment was repealed. Employers (ex cluding governmental entities and non profit organizations) will be required to pay an administrative contribution surcharge equal to 0.1 percent of Federal taxable wages. The surcharge will be deposited in the newly created Administrative Contribu 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unemployment Insurance Legislation in 1987 tion Surcharge Fund. Money in the fund will be used only for personnel and nonper sonnel costs of rural and satellite job serv ice offices in population centers of less than 20,000. This provision will be repealed July 1, 1990, and thus will not affect con tribution rates for calendar year 1991. The following provisions will apply for calendar year 1988 only. Eight new rate tables have been established based on the relationship of the reserve fund ratio to the highest benefit-cost ratio. The least favor able schedule of rates ranges from 0.0 per cent to 9.0 percent (in 1989, it reverts to 0.5 percent to 7.0 percent), and the most favorable schedule ranges from 0.0 percent to 5.4 percent (in 1989, it reverts to 0.0 percent to 4.0 percent). Negative-balance employers are not required to pay the addi tional 1.0-percent surcharge, which is cu mulative from year to year and which is required for other years. The following were suspended: (1) the provision allowing an employer to avoid payment of contribu tions for a year if the employer’s percent age of excess (total employer contributions divided by total benefits charged) is 7.5 percent or greater; and (2) provisions al lowing such an employer to qualify for a reduced rate in the year after that in which he or she paid no contributions because of a percentage of excess of 7.5 percent or more. Also suspended were provisions al lowing an employer to make voluntary con tributions in an amount sufficient to lower his or her rate to that for the next lower percentage-of-excess rank. A new con tributing employer who is not in the con struction industry will pay contributions at a rate specified at the 12th benefit-ratio rank (0.3 percent to 3.1 percent), but not less than 1.0 percent. Beginning in 1989, a new nonconstruc tion contributing employer will pay at the 9th percentage-of-excess rank (0.2 percent to 2.3 percent), but not less than 1.8 per cent. A new contributing employer in the construction industry will pay contributions at a rate specified in the 21st benefit-ratio rank (5.4 percent to 9.0 percent) for 1988. Beginning in 1989, a new construction con tributing employer will pay at a rate in the 21st benefit-ratio rank (4.0 percent to 7.0 percent), depending on the rate schedule in effect. Benefits. The provision for a 1-week waiting period before benefits are paid was repealed. Kansas Coverage. Services performed for less than 14 days in a calendar year by an extra for a motion picture or television produc tion will be excluded from coverage. Disqualification. The between-terms de nial of benefits was amended to apply to services performed as driver of a schoolbus or other motor vehicle while employed by a private contractor to transport pupils, stu dents, and school personnel to or from school-related functions or activities for an educational institution. However, an indi vidual will not be disqualified if the serv ices as a bus driver are performed for a nonschool-related function or activity. Also added was a between-terms disqualifi cation based on services for an educational institution in any capacity while in the em ploy of a governmental entity or nonprofit organization. Louisiana Coverage. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by an individual as a direct seller, if certain con ditions are met. Financing. A new enactment provided for the issuance of State bonds for financ ing and payment of Federal advances to the State fund, the restructuring and funding of unemployment benefits, and the financing of the State’s account in the Federal Unem ployment Trust Fund. A special assessment on taxable employers was added to service the bonds. For the period July 1 to Decem ber 31, 1987, the special assessment will be 1.4 percent of the first $7,500 in taxable wages paid to each employee. The taxable wage base was increased from $7,000 to $8,500. The provision for the noncharging of benefits paid to an individual who per forms services for a temporary help service on an on-call basis and who earns less than $350 was repealed. The period needed for an employer to qualify for experience rating was reduced from 3 to 2 years. The contribution rate for new employers will be the average rate for employers in the same 2-digit industrial classification, but not less than 1.0 percent. A solvency tax, not to exceed 30 percent of the employer’s contributions for the quar ter, will be assessed if the State fund ad ministrator projects that the balance of the fund is expected to fall below $100 million. Benefits. The weekly benefit amount will be decreased by 7 percent beginning Janu ary 4, 1988. This means that the maximum weekly benefit amount will be reduced from $205 to $191. The minimum weekly benefit amount will remain $10. Disqualification. An individual who is discharged for the use of illegal drugs will be disqualified for the duration of unem ployment and until he or she is reemployed and earns wages of 10 times the weekly benefit amount. Maine Coverage. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by a full time student in the employ of an organized camp, if certain conditions are met. Benefits. Employment with a variety store or trading post which operates for a period of less than 26 weeks per year will be considered seasonal employment. Maryland Benefits. The weekly dependency allow ance was increased from $4 to $6 per de pendent, up to four dependents. Financing. An employer’s account will not be charged for benefits paid to an indi vidual who left work voluntarily with good cause to enter approved training. Administration. The State Department of Economic and Employment Development was established to administer the unem ployment insurance program under the di rection of the Secretary of Economic and Employment Development. Minnesota Financing. The special taxable wage base of $8,000 for employers paying the minimum rate of 0.1 percent was repealed. The least favorable schedule, which applies when the fund level is less than $200 mil lion, calls for a minimum employer contri bution rate of 0.8 percent for 1988, 0.7 percent for 1989, and 0.6 percent for 1990. The most favorable schedule calls for a fund level of $300 million with a minimum employer contribution rate of 0.1 percent. The maximum rate in both schedules will be 8.0 percent in 1988, 8.5 percent in 1989, and 9.0 percent in 1990 and thereafter. All contributing employers will pay a solvency assessment based on State unem ployment insurance trust fund balances. Benefits may be noncharged to the em ployer if an individual refused an offer of reemployment while in approved training. Benefits. The base period will be the first four of the last five completed calendar quarters. However, if an individual has in sufficient wage credits to establish a valid claim, the alternate base period will be the last four completed calendar quarters. The base period may be extended up to four quarters depending on the length of time an individual receives workers’ compensation for temporary disability or receives com pensation due to an illness from another source. An individual’s benefit year will be 53 weeks, beginning with the week a valid claim is filed. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis To qualify for benefits, an individual must have (1) wage credits in two or more quarters of the base period; (2) minimum total base-period wage credits equal to wages earned in the high quarter of the base period multiplied by 1.25; (3) high-quarter wage credits of $1,000; and (4) effective July 1, 1989, base-period wage credits in 15 or more weeks. Previously, the qualify ing requirement was at least 15 weeks of employment with wages equal to 30 per cent of the State average weekly wage. To qualify for benefits in a second bene fit year, an individual must have earned 10 times the weekly benefit amount. An indi vidual’s weekly benefit amount will be computed as ^ of high-quarter wages. The maximum weekly benefit amount will be computed as a percentage of the State aver age weekly wage, ranging from 60 percent to 66§ percent, depending on the balance in the State fund. An individual’s duration of benefits will be determined as | of total base-period wages, up to 26 weeks. The earnings disregarded in computing the weekly benefit amount for partial unem ployment have been changed from $25 to the greater of $25 or 25 percent of the earn ings from work other than service in the National Guard. To qualify for benefits on the basis of seasonal employment, an individual must have wage credits in 15 or more weeks equal to or in excess of 30 times the weekly benefit amount from nonseasonal work, in addition to any seasonal wage credits. An additional benefits program was added to the State law, whereby claimants may re ceive up to 6 weeks of additional benefits if they meet certain eligibility conditions. Disqualification. The disqualification for voluntary leaving, discharge for miscon duct, and refusal of suitable work has been changed to the duration of unemployment and until the individual has 4 weeks of work and wages equal to eight (previously four) times the weekly benefit amount. An individual will not be disqualified for vol untary leaving or discharge for misconduct if separated from employment due to a col lective bargaining agreement under which the individual has vested discretionary au thority in another to act on his or her behalf. Holiday pay in excess of $25 will be dis qualifying income. If an individual is awarded backpay which has been reduced by benefits paid, the amount withheld must be paid by the employer into the State un employment fund. Penalties. The penalty for an individ ual’s fraudulent misrepresentation to obtain or increase benefits was changed from a misdemeanor to theft. A gross misde meanor penalty for an individual’s fraudu lent misrepresentation to prevent or reduce benefit payments will not apply if the underpayment of benefits, contributions, or other payment(s) involved exceeds $250, in which case the person will be guilty of a felony. Missouri Benefits. A temporary worksharing pro gram, under which individuals working shortened schedules to avert layoffs may collect benefits, was established, to expire January 1, 1991. Montana Coverage. An individual will be consid ered an independent contractor if he or she is free from direction and control and is engaged in an independently established trade, occupation, profession, or business. Benefits. To qualify for benefits, an indi vidual’s total base-period wages must be equal to or greater than 7 percent of the State average annual wage, in addition to being $1,000 or more. The requirement that the individual have 20 weeks of work at $50 a week still applies. Disqualification. The disqualification for failure to apply for or to accept suitable work was changed to a duration disqualifi cation or until the individual earns wages equal to six times the weekly benefit amount. The change also calls for an equal reduction of benefits. Administration. The period during which an individual may appeal a referee deci sion, or apply for reconsideration of or ap peal from an initial claim determination was changed to 10 days after mailing of the notification to the individual’s last known address. Penalty. If an individual fraudulently re ceives benefits, he or she must pay 18percent interest on the amount fraudulently obtained. Nebraska Benefits. The minimum and maximum weekly benefit amounts were increased to $20 and $134, respectively. The qualifying wages were doubled to $1,200 in the base period, of which $400 must have been earned in each of two quarters. To qualify for benefits in a second benefit year, an individual must earn at least four times the weekly benefit amount. Nevada Disqualification. The special disqualifi cation for an individual who voluntarily 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • leaves work to enter self-employment has been repealed. New Hampshire Benefits. The minimum and maximum weekly benefit amounts were increased to $39 and $156, respectively. Annual earn ings required to qualify for the minimum and maximum weekly benefit amounts were increased to $2,800 and $23,500, re spectively. Disqualification. The requalifying re quirement for purging a disqualification for voluntary leaving, discharge for miscon duct, leaving self-employment, or failing to apply for or accept suitable work was amended to require the individual to earn at least 120 percent of the weekly benefit amount in any 5 weeks. The pension offset requirement was amended to provide that no offset will apply if the base-period or chargeable employer does not contribute to the fund from which the retirement pay ments are made. Also, no offset will apply if an individual contributed 50 percent or more to the retirement pay. Administration. The “sunset” provision reauthorizing the Department of Employ ment Security was extended to July 1, 1993. The period during which a programrelated decision may be appealed to the State supreme court was increased to 30 days. New Jersey Benefits. To qualify for benefits in a sec ond benefit year, an individual must earn at least six times the weekly benefit amount and have 4 weeks of employment since the beginning of the preceding benefit year. New Mexico Financing. A nonprofit organization electing to reimburse the State fund for benefits paid must execute and file a bond within 30 days of the election. Disqualification. An individual will be considered available for work and actively seeking work if he or she is temporarily laid off for no more than 4 weeks or if he or she has an offer in writing for full-time work that will begin within 4 weeks. Individuals, other than those in approved training, who are attending classes during the hours of 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. are disqualified from ben efits. An individual’s extended benefit amount and total benefit amount will be reduced by the percentage of the GrammRudman-Hollings reduction in the Federal share of extended benefits. 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unemployment Insurance Legislation in 1987 Administration. The name of the secondstage appeals body was changed from the Board of Review to the Secretary of Em ployment Security. New York Disqualification. A disqualification for voluntary leaving for marital obligations will only apply if the separation was due to the claimant’s marriage. Previously, the disqualification also applied to individuals who follow a spouse to a new locality. Benefits. New York has established a 3year demonstration project (expires in 1990) which allows claimants in approved training to receive additional benefits. North Carolina Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to January 1, 1993. serve is equal to or greater than the required amount, then, as of July 1 of the next year, the maximum weekly benefit amount will be computed as 62 percent of the State av erage weekly wage. If, on October 1, 1989, or any succeeding October 1, the trust fund reserve is equal to or greater than the re quired amount and the State’s average con tribution rate is below the nationwide aver age for the preceding calendar year, the maximum weekly benefit amount will be computed as 65 percent of the average weekly wage. The ratio of base-period wages to high-quarter wages used for deter mining the duration of benefits was changed to 1.5 to 3.2 or more. The ex tended benefit weekly benefit amount and total benefit amount will be decreased to reflect any Gramm-Rudman-Hollings re duction. The minimum weekly benefit amount is $43, and the provision for the annual automatic computation of the mini mum weekly benefit amount is deleted. Financing. A special tax will be imposed on employers if the State reserve fund is less than 1 percent of total taxable wages. The tax will be used for repayment of loans from the Federal trust fund and to pay inter est on Federal advances, and will be de posited in the State’s Employment Security Commission Reserve Fund. The newemployer contribution rate was decreased to 2.25 percent. Repealed was the addi tional increase of up to 40 percent of the employer’s rate when the fund ratio was less than 5.5 percent. Disqualification. An individual will not be disqualified for voluntary leaving if he or she left the most recent employment upon a physician’s advice because of an injury or illness caused or aggravated by the employment. If an individual leaves employment in anticipation of a discharge or layoff, the individual will be considered to have left employment voluntarily with out good cause attributable to the employer. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount will be computed as 63 percent of the average weekly insured wage and, be ginning August 1, 1988, as 66f percent of the average weekly insured wage. Deleted was the requirement that the benefit be cal culated as 60 percent of the average weekly wage when the fund ratio falls below 5.5 percent. Financing. The $8,000 taxable wage base was made permanent. The range of rates for the least favorable schedule will be 0.1 percent to 5.4 percent. In addition to the computed rate based on the employer’s experience, his or her contribution rate will be increased by 0.2 percent if the State fund falls below minimum safe levels. The spe cial 0.5-percent tax on employers used to repay outstanding interest-bearing ad vances from the Federal Government was deleted. North Dakota Financing. The standard rate of contribu tions will be the maximum rate in effect for a year. New employers will pay 3.25 per cent, except that new employers in an in dustry with a negative reserve balance will pay the maximum rate. Benefits. The weekly benefit amount will be computed at ^ of total wages in the two highest quarters of the base period and onehalf of the total wages during the third highest quarter. The maximum weekly benefit amount will be computed as 60 per cent (currently 67 percent) of the State av erage weekly wage. However, if, on October 1, 1989, or any succeeding October 1, the trust fund re Ohio Benefits. Ohio extended until October 1, 1988, the qualifying requirement of 20 weeks of work at 37 times the State mini mum hourly wage. An individual will not be paid benefits for a waiting week. Disqualification. Until October 1, 1988, a duration disqualification may be purged by 6 weeks of work and earnings of six times the amount required to establish a credit week. Beginning October 1, 1988, a duration disqualification may be purged by 6 weeks of work and earnings at an average weekly wage of not less than 37 times the State minimum hourly wage. Oklahoma Financing. The limitation on a rate in crease for employers with rates of 3.4 per cent or more will be 2 percent in any year. For employers with rates below 3.4 per cent, the rate may not be increased to more than 5.4 percent in any year. Disqualification. The length of the dis qualification for refusal of suitable work was changed from the week of occurrence to a period of reemployment with earnings equal to 10 times the weekly benefit amount. However, an individual who re fuses an offer of work due to illness, death of a family member, or other circumstances beyond his or her control will be disquali fied only for the week of occurrence. Oregon Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to January 1, 1993. The “age 22” limitation for the exclusion from coverage of services performed by students in a work-study program was deleted; there fore, such services are excluded, regardless of the individual’s age. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by a full-time student in the employ of an organized camp, if certain conditions are met. Benefits. The temporary State additional benefits program which was due to expire on June 27, 1987, has been extended until July 1, 1989. The pension offset provision was amended to provide that no offset will apply if an individual receives Social Secu rity pension benefits to which he or she has contributed. Rhode Island Financing. The fund balance require ments for the most favorable schedule have been reduced to 11.5 percent (previously 14 percent) of payrolls, and for the least favorable schedule to less than 5.0 percent (previously 6.5 percent) of payrolls. Benefits. The computation of the weekly benefit amount was changed to 60 percent of the claimant’s average weekly wage, up to 67 percent of the State average weekly wage. The weekly dependents’ allowance was increased to $10 per dependent or 5 percent of the individual’s benefit rate for each dependent, up to five dependents. South Dakota Financing. Benefits paid to an individual taking approved training will not be charged to the liable employer’s account. The contribution rate for the most favorable https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis schedule will range from 0.05 percent to 8.25 percent. New employers will pay a contribution rate of 2.75 percent for the first year and 1.95 percent for subsequent years until they qualify for experience rating. Administration. The period for appealing an appeal tribunal decision was increased to 14 days after the mailing of the determina tion to the concerned party. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount will increase from $129 to $140. If the amount of extended benefits reim bursed by the Federal Government is re duced or increased, the State’s share of the weekly extended benefit amount will be re duced or increased on an equal basis. Financing. Beginning January 1, 1988, the taxable wage base will be computed as 75 percent of the insured average wage for the fiscal year. The standard rate of contri butions will be the average overall contri bution rate and, for new employers, it will be the maximum overall contribution rate. An employer’s account will not be charged for benefits paid to a worker who was dis charged for nonperformance due to medical reasons. Disqualification. An individual will be considered to have good cause for leaving if employment presents a hazard to his or her health and if it has been medically ad vised and certified by a practitioner that continued employment presents a health hazard. Tennessee Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to January 1, 1993. Also ex cluded from coverage are services per formed by real estate agents, direct sellers, full-time students in the employ of orga nized camps, and individuals on fishing boats, if certain conditions are met. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount was increased from $130 to $145. Disqualification. A disqualification for participation in a labor dispute will be for the duration of the dispute. However, lock outs are excluded from the labor dispute disqualification. Texas Coverage. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by a full time student in the employ of an organized camp, if certain conditions are met. Financing. The taxable wage base was increased to $8,000 for 1988 and will increase to $9,000 in 1989. The Texas Employment Commission is authorized to issue bonds and to levy a surtax on employers of no more than 0.2 percent to fund interest payments due for any indebtedness. Benefits. The maximum weekly benefit amount will be frozen at $210 until October 1, 1989. To qualify for benefits, an individ ual must earn 37 times the weekly benefit amount and have wage credits in two quar ters of the base period. To qualify for ben efits in a second benefit year, an individual must have earned wages of six times the weekly benefit amount. Utah Benefits. Beginning January 3, 1988, the base-period wages needed to qualify for benefits will be 8 percent of the insured average wage for the preceding fiscal year, rounded to the next higher multiple of $100. The maximum weekly benefit amount will be 60 percent of the insured average weekly wage during the preceding fiscal year. Penalties. No benefits will be paid until an earlier overpayment resulting from mis representation is repaid. In cases of fraud, the claimant will be required to repay bene fits and, as a civil penalty, an amount equal to the benefits received fraudulently. Vermont Coverage. A new enactment excludes from coverage services performed by a full time student in the employ of an organized camp, if certain conditions are met. Ver mont provides for automatic coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor if the Federal Unemployment Tax Act is amended to provide for such coverage. Financing. New employers will pay con tributions at the lower of the average indus try tax rate or the percent represented by rate class 11 (2.6 percent to 4.8 percent, depending on the rate schedule in effect), but not less than 1.0 percent. Virginia Coverage. The exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agricultural labor was extended to January 1, 1993. Also ex cluded from coverage are services per formed by a full-time student in the employ of an organized camp and by an individual on a fishing boat, if certain conditions are met. Financing. The minimum contribution rate for the most favorable schedule was 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • reduced to 0.0 percent, and for the least favorable schedule, to 0.53 percent. Disqualification. The pension offset pro vision was amended to provide that the off set will apply to pension payments made under a plan maintained or contributed to by a base-period or chargeable employer. Washington Financing. The contribution rates under the most favorable schedule will range from 0.48 percent to 5.4 percent, and for the least favorable schedule, from 2.48 per cent to 5.4 percent. Benefits. The base period may be defined as the last four quarters if the first four out of the last five quarters are not used. Administration. The period during which one may appeal a benefit determination to the appeal tribunal and to the State commis sioner was increased from 10 to 30 days. West Virginia Coverage. Any services performed by a student enrolled at a nonprofit or public school in a work-study program will be ex cluded from coverage. Also, the exclusion from coverage of aliens performing agri cultural labor was extended to January 1, 1988. Financing. If the State commissioner de termines that regular employer contribu tions will be insufficient to finance the pay ment of benefits during the quarter, both employers and employees will pay an as sessment not to exceed 0.15 percent of the employee’s gross wages. Bonds or notes may be issued in amounts sufficient to pro vide money to repay Federal advances to the State fund. Benefits. The definition of wages was amended to include tips totaling $20 or more each month, which are required to be reported to the employer. Disqualification. If a discharged em ployee is reinstated and receives backpay, the individual will be required to repay ben efits received during the time for which backpay is received. Also, if an individual receives unemployment benefits and an award of backpay for the same period, the employer must withhold backpay in an amount equal to the unemployment bene fits, and repay the amount to the unemploy ment trust fund. 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unemployment Insurance Legislation in 1987 Wisconsin Coverage. The requirement for auto matic coverage of work not previously cov ered by the State of Wisconsin if subject to the Federal Unemployment Tax Act was deleted. Financing. For 1988, the State depart ment may assess a tax to pay all interest due on Federal advances to the State fund for calendar years 1988 and 1989. The rates for the least and most favorable schedules will range from 0.27 percent to 8.90 percent. Also, solvency contributions by employers will range from 0.0 to 0.9 percent, depend ing on the State’s basic rate and total pay rolls. Beginning April 2, 1989, benefits will be charged proportionately to baseperiod employers. Benefits. The following will be effective January 1, 1988: The minimum and maxi mum weekly benefit amounts will increase to $38 and $200, respectively. The qualify ing requirement will be 17 weeks of em ployment in the base period. For benefit purposes, each employer will be required to file a quarterly wage report on each employee. The following will be effective April 2, 1989: To be eligible for benefits, an indi vidual must have base-period wages of 40 times the weekly benefit amount, including combined wages outside the high quarter of at least 13 times the weekly benefit amount. The base period will be the first four of the last five completed calendar quarters preceding the benefit year. The benefit year may be extended to 53 weeks for an individual who files consecutive claims. Services performed by an individ ual for a seasonal employer engaged in can ning will be excluded if the individual earns less than 40 times the weekly benefit amount, unless the individual earned wages of $200 in other covered employment in the four most recent calendar quarters preced ing the seasonal employment. An individ ual’s weekly benefit amount will be com puted as 4 percent of base-period wages in the high quarter. The maximum number of weeks an individual may receive benefits is the lesser of 26 weeks or until the individ ual has received an amount equal to 40 percent of his or her base-period wages. Disqualification. Ineligibility due to in ability to work or unavailability for work no longer depends strictly on physical in ability or substantial unavailability. An in dividual will not be disqualified for volun tary leaving if he or she accepted work which should have been refused because of labor standards provisions and terminated the work within 10 weeks. The following will become effective April 2, 1989: The duration disqualifica tions for voluntary leaving, discharge for misconduct, and refusal of suitable work will apply until 7 weeks have elapsed since the end of the week of occurrence and the individual has earned wages equal to at least 14 times the weekly benefit amount. The disqualification for a disciplinary sus pension will apply until 5 weeks have elapsed since the end of the week of sus pension or until the suspension is termi nated. A monetary requirement will be added to the good-cause exception for vol untary leaving when accepting other work, to require an individual to earn wages equal to eight times the weekly benefit amount. An individual in a licensed occupation will be ineligible for benefits if suspended or terminated because the license was sus pended, revoked, or not renewed. The in eligibility will apply until the license is reinstated or renewed. Also, the individual will not be eligible for benefits based on employment with other employers until 5 weeks have elapsed since the week of sus pension or termination or until the license is reinstated or renewed. In addition, all wages earned with the employer that dis charged or suspended the employee are ex cluded when determining future benefits to which the employee is entitled while the suspension, revocation, or nonrenewal of the license is in effect. Wyoming Financing. For the period July 1, 1987, through January 1, 1989, State interfund borrowing of up to $20 million for the pay ment of benefits or to repay Federal ad vances is authorized when the trust fund is certified inadequate. An employer’s ac count will not be charged with benefits paid as a result of a major disaster if the benefit recipient would otherwise have been eligi ble for disaster benefits. Benefits. The benefit year was redefined as the 52-consecutive-calendar-week pe riod beginning with the first week of filing a valid claim, or the 53-consecutive-week period beginning the first week if filing a valid claim results in the overlapping of a quarter in the base period of a previously filed claim. Previously, the benefit year was the 1-year period beginning the first day of filing a valid claim. Productivity trends in department stores, 1967-86 The domination of large chains and accompanying increased use of computers, led to above-average productivity in the department store industry B r ia n L. F r ie d m a n As measured by output per employee hour, productivity in the department store industry increased at a 2.8-percent average annual rate between 1967 and 1986.1 In compari son, the rate was 1.0 percent for the nonfarm business sector of the economy during the same period. The gain in depart ment store productivity over the 19-year period reflects av erage annual increases of 3.6 percent in output and 0.8 percent in employee hours. (See table 1.) The industry’s productivity growth has been influenced by broad trends in general retailing. These trends include greater firm concentration and the resulting growth in the number of chain stores2 which invested heavily in expan sion; movement to better locations in shopping centers; and the use of computers in store operations. Improvements in store layout and design were also used to increase consumer service by helping salespersons serve customers more efficiently.3 The productivity trend can be divided into three periods: 1967-73, 1973-80, and 1980-86. During the first period, productivity rose at a 1.8-percent average annual rate. The rate increased to 2.9 percent in the middle period, and to 4.5 percent during the 1980-86 period. Types of department stores There are three basic types of department stores. National chains are very large firms, sometimes operating more than Brian L. Friedman is an economist in the Division of Industry Productivity and Technology Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,000 stores. These chains enjoy substantial economies of scale. Management is fairly centralized, and computer tech nology is well diffused. Checkout registers are available in each department. These stores use computer technology to reduce unit labor requirements. In 1982, the most recent year for which data are available, national chains accounted for 29 percent of industry sales. Discount department stores also are highly concentrated and consist of very large chains. They use their enormous buying power to offer goods at lower prices than other department stores. These stores use centralized checkout. Here, too, labor requirements are reduced through the ex tensive use of advanced technology.4 Discount department stores accounted for 39 percent of industry sales in 1982. The conventional store is the third type of department store. Some of these stores are single-unit independents (although their number has dwindled during the period of this study), others are organized into relatively small corpo rately owned regional chains. Many regional chains are owned by a national holding company. The holding com pany allows for regional chain management, yet retains control of capital for expansion and technology. The con ventional stores typically offer more service than the other types of department stores. Nevertheless, even this segment of the industry (especially chains owned by holding compa nies) has followed industry trends toward part-time labor and more electronic data processing in their need to reduce costs and compete with the discounters. Conventional stores accounted for about 22 percent of industry sales in 1982. 17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Department Stores Trends in three distinct periods 1967-73. The 1967-73 period represents the end of a trend in the department store industry which began in the 1950’s. With large segments of the population moving to suburban locations, department stores grew strongly in terms of number of stores and sales, as they followed popu lation growth. In response to competition from apparel stores, variety stores, and other retail establishments offer ing general merchandise, the industry also expanded in an attempt to obtain as many prime retail locations as possible. The 1967-73 period saw the greatest increase in the num ber of department stores during the entire 1967-86 period. The number of outlets grew by nearly 2,000 between 1967 and 1972. Industry output posted its largest gains, averaging 5.6 percent per year. The strong growth in the number of stores was accompanied by an employment gain of 4.2 percent per year and an hours gain of 3.7 percent, with a modest 1.8-percent average annual growth in productivity. Output during this period increased every year, with large gains in 1971 (9.2 percent) and 1972 (8 percent). Productiv ity increased by 6.1 percent in 1971, and declined by —1.3 percent in 1969. 1973-80. Another distinct phase began in 1973. Spurred by the oil crisis beginning in late 1973, inflation began to accelerate; in 1974 and 1975, the U.S. economy experi enced a recession. Higher interest rates, soaring energy costs, and slowed consumer spending braked the expansion of the previous period. Department store companies began to change strategies and modify or cancel expansion plans.5 During the 1973-80 period, the growth in the number of stores slowed markedly. Much of the growth that did occur was in the discount sector of the industry, which increased sales mainly by competing with lower prices. Sales during this period were hampered by shrinking disposable income available for general merchandise.6 The proportion of cur rent consumption expenditures used for food, shelter, utili ties, transportation, and health care increased during this period.7 Sales of the more discretionary items sold in depart ment stores slowed. Output which had grown at the annual rate of 5.6 percent between 1967 and 1973, slowed to a 3-percent annual rate. The industry now instituted policies aimed at fighting costs, especially labor costs.8 Employment grew only 1.3 percent a year, and hours, hardly at all (0.1 percent). Overall productivity growth of 2.9 percent per year during the 1973-80 period was marked by declines only in 1974 and 1980. Productivity advanced strongly in 1975 (5.4 percent), 1976 (5.2 percent), and 1977 (5.7 percent). 1980-86. During the 1980-86 period, the productivity rate rose to 4.5 percent per year, as output increased 4.8 percent and hours, 0.4 percent. The slowdown in store addi tions continued. More resources were expended on store 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis remodeling and redecorating which, studies showed, in creased shopper traffic and sales.9 Strong growth in retail spending10 during the period spurred industry output, which posted gains of 5.1 percent in 1981, 6.4 percent in 1983, and 9.6 percent in 1984. Output increases were boosted by the use of information gathered with point-of-sale technol ogy to eliminate slow moving items and bolster products that sold well.11 Output was also aided by income tax reduc tions, declining inflation, and the growing acceptance of third-party credit cards.12 There was only one small output decline (—0.2 percent) in 1982. An industry very focused on costs and productivity13— as reflected in the trade press— saw either very small gains or declines in hours every year, except 1984 when the gain was 3.2 percent. Productivity did not decline in any year during this period, and advanced strongly in 1981, 1983, and 1984. Industry structure highly concentrated The department store industry is the most highly concen trated U.S. retail industry. It was already mostly organized into chains by 1967; however, an increasing proportion of stores became part of chains over the study period. The chains continued to grow by adding new stores or by pur chasing existing chains and single stores. In 1967, 84 per cent of all department stores were part of chains, with 74 percent belonging to chains having 11 stores or more, and 58 percent belonging to chains having 50 stores or more. By 1982, 96 percent of stores were part of chains, of which 92 percent were in chains consisting of 10 stores or more, and 82 percent were part of chains of 50 stores or more. Table 1. Output per employee hour and related indexes in the department store industry, 1967-86 [1977=100] O u tp u t p er Year e m p lo y e e hour O u tp u t p er e m p lo y e e O u tp u t E m p lo y e e h o u rs E m p lo y e e s 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 .................... .................... .................... .................... ................... 77.9 79.3 78.3 78.2 83.0 84.6 85.1 83.1 82.3 87.3 64.6 69.1 71.1 71.9 78.5 82.9 87.1 90.8 91.9 94.6 76.4 81.2 85.6 87.4 89.9 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 .................... .................... ................... ................... ................... 84.0 87.1 85.3 89.9 94.6 88.8 91.6 88.9 92.6 96.2 84.8 90.7 87.5 87.9 93.3 100.9 104.1 102.6 97.8 98.6 95.5 99.0 98.4 94.9 97.0 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .................... .................... .................... ................... ................... 100.0 101.9 102.5 101.0 106.0 100.0 99.8 100.8 98.4 103.4 100.0 105.6 106.0 103.1 108.4 100.0 103.6 103.4 102.1 102.3 100.0 105.8 105.2 104.8 104.8 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 107.4 114.9 122.1 125.0 130.3 105.0 112.3 117.5 118.7 121.9 108.2 115.1 126.2 129.5 135.1 100.7 100.2 103.4 103.6 103.7 103.0 102.5 107.4 109.1 110.8 A v e r a g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e (p e r c e n t) 1967-86 1967-73 1973-80 1980-86 .............. .............. .............. .............. 2.8 1.8 2.9 4.5 2.0 1.3 1.7 3.8 3.6 5.6 3.0 4.8 .8 3.7 .1 .4 1.6 4.2 1.3 1.0 By their great size, the large chains can take advantage of economies of scale in distribution systems, buying prac tices, and the utilization of advertising and computer tech nology.14 In 1967, stores that were not part of a chain had sales of only $23,600 per paid employee, while chains con sisting of 4 stores or more had sales of $28,000 per paid employee, and chains of 11 stores or more had sales of $28,800 per paid employee. In 1982, stores not part of a chain had sales of $55,800 per paid employee, while chain stores had sales of $65,700 and chains of 10 stores or more had sales of $66,100. The strong expansion policies of firms in the 1960’s and 1970’s led to periods of overexpansion, followed by “shake outs” when large numbers of marginal stores went out of business.15 This was especially true in the discount sector of the industry. The lower levels of capacity utilization which accompanied overexpansion caused downward pressures on short-term productivity. At the same time, the elimination of marginal stores boosted productivity. Store location. Accessibility and exposure to shopper traf fic is a prime determinant of how well a store’s capacity and labor force are utilized. The rapid expansion in the number of malls and shopping centers in suburban locations between 1967 and 1986 probably had a positive influence on produc tivity growth. Between 1972 and 1984 alone, the number of shopping centers increased 93 percent.16 Shopping centers, more than any other type of location offer greater sales exposure for a retailer.17 Although there are no data pin pointing the type of department store by location, industry experts believe that mostly major conventional chains and national chains are the anchor stores for malls and larger shopping centers. Discount department stores often anchor smaller shopping centers.18 Technology The major technological change within the department store industry has been the widespread and increasing use of computers. Electronic data processing is used in conjunction with point-of-sale technology. Through coding of merchan dise, marketing information is gathered as a byproduct of merchandise sales. Data obtained at the point-of-sale is used for inventory control, sales audits, automatic computer generated stock purchasing, personnel planning, sales fore casts, interstore transfers, accounts receivable, and credit verification.19 Computer technology provides accurate, use ful, and readily available information for use in both the operational and merchandising aspects of the industry. Ac cording to surveys, retailers who use point-of-sale technol ogy report that it allows their stores to operate with reduced inventory while preventing out-of-stock situations. Product mix can be better targeted to customer needs with better marketing information. It also saves employee hours in marking down merchandise prices because of overstocked or slow-moving inventory.20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Large electronic data processing systems are used primar ily by large national, discount, and regional chains. Elec tronic data processing is an important aid to the vast opera tions of major chains, especially in conjunction with their regional distribution centers and central warehousing. Single-unit independent stores and smaller chains are often unable to afford such equipment, and cannot make costeffective use of it.21 In the warehouse, computer driven electronic data processing has resulted in “significant reduc tions in staff requirements.”22 Higher levels of sales per person in chains are probably linked, to some extent, to electronic data processing. Automated accounts receivable is another technological innovation that is used in the industry. The riskiest delin quent accounts are flagged and computer-typed collection notices are sent automatically. The system reduces em ployee hours in the accounts collection department.23 Other technological advances include marking systems and secu rity surveillance systems that aid in the prevention of shoplifting. Employment The number of employees in the department store indus try has increased 45 percent, from 1.4 million in 1967 to 2.0 million in 1986, an average annual increase of 1.6 percent. Employee hours rose at the slower rate of 0.8 percent, as average weekly hours declined. Average weekly hours of nonsupervisory workers declined from 32.6 in 1967 to 28.2 in 1986, a result of an increase in part-time workers (often of school age) who work during weekends and evenings. While the number of nonsupervisory workers has grown at an average annual rate of 1.8 percent from 1967 to 1986, the number of supervisory workers has declined 0.6 percent per year. (This trend accelerated after 1973, with the annual decline averaging 2.2 percent.) The decline in the supervi sory work force is related, in part, to the large number of mergers and acquisitions among existing chains in which some managerial staff became redundant. The decline also results from the replacement of skilled supervisory sales staff with lower skilled workers. Retaining experienced personnel remains a problem for all retail stores. Some studies show that retail employee turnover is as high as 60 percent per year.24 The high turnover rate among nonsupervisory workers hinders gains in industry output per hour because new employees must undergo training and are not as productive during their breaking-in period. A factor contributing to high employee turnover is the industry’s low hourly earnings. Even though average hourly earnings of nonsupervisory employees were 9 percent above the total retailing average in 1986, earnings still were 48 percent below average hourly earnings of production work ers in manufacturing industries. In addition, the trend to ward more centralized management has clustered most man agerial jobs at centralized corporate headquarters, so there 19 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Department Stores are fewer career opportunities within the stores themselves. The occupational mix is dominated by low-paying cashier, sales, and stock jobs (62 percent in 1986). For many em ployees, working in department stores is their first job, or it supplements income from other full-time employment.25 The trend to reduce the work force is not universal in the industry. Some firms are using outside and in-house training to increase transaction size. There are also firms returning to commission sales.26 A look ahead Department store productivity increases in the near future will probably continue to reflect use of computer technology and electronic data processing. Automatic scanning devices in conjunction with point-of-sale technology are beginning to be used in the industry and are expected to become more widespread among larger chains.27 The information ob tained from electronic data processing is expected to be used further to refine product mix, and contribute to a trend toward new smaller stores. Such smaller stores have exhib ited productivity improvement in terms of sales per square foot and, most likely, sales per employee hour.28 The strong demand that spurred productivity growth in the last few years is not expected to be sustained. This is especially true in the all important apparel departments as, demographically, the number of teenagers, who drive fash ion trends, is declining.29 Demand for department stores may also be limited by increased competition from apparel specialty stores, “off-price” apparel stores, wholesale ware house stores, and home shopping catalog stores. Choice new locations of department stores, which spurred productivity gains in the past, are becoming scarce because of market saturation and the slowdown in the building of new shopping centers.30 Department store chains are, there fore, becoming more conservative in terms of expansion and instead are using their resources to consolidate regional mar kets and upgrade and remodel to increase shopper traffic in existing stores.31 Recent trends toward more service in some segments of the industry are expected to continue. These services appeal to the more affluent consumers whose income have been boosted by increases in the number of working women and the number of two-worker households.32 This trend could exert downward pressure on measured productivity. Q -FOOTNOTES 1 All average annual rates of change are based on the linear least squares trends o f the logarithms o f the index numbers. The department store indus try is designated as Standard Industrial Classification 5311. It includes retail stores carrying a general line of apparel, home furnishings, and housewares. These and other merchandise lines are normally arranged in separate sections or departments with accounting on a departmentalized basis. The departments and functions are integrated under a single manage ment. The stores usually provide their own charge accounts, deliver mer chandise, and maintain open stocks. 2 A chain consists o f four or more retail stores in a firm. Larger chains consist o f 11 or more stores. In the department store industry, virtually all chains are corporately owned. 3 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U .S. Department of Commerce, 1980), p. 457. 4 Barry Bluestone, Patricia Hanna, Sarah Kuhn, and Laura Moore, The Retail Revolution (Boston, m a , Auburn House Publishing C o., 1981), p. 4. 5 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 67. 6 “Retailing,” Standard and Poor’s Industry Survey, sec. 2, July 4, 1985, p. R115. 7 Based on family expenditure data from the Survey. bls Consumer Expenditure 8 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U .S. Department of Commerce, 1975), p. 168. 9 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U .S. Department of Commerce, 1980), p. 459. 10 Total retail sales grew at an annual rate of 2.7 percent from 1980 to 1986, compared with 1 percent from 1973 to 1980. Real sales actually declined in 1981 and 1982, but grew strongly in the 1983-86 period. 11 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U .S. Department of Commerce, 1984), pp. 4 8 -4 9 . 12 “Third Party,” Stores, September 1981, pp. 4 1 -4 4 . 13 A number o f articles on cost and productivity appear in Stores, a magazine published by the National Retail Merchants Association. The 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Association also published a series of articles in Productivity in General Merchandise Retailing in 1980 stressing the importance of productivity increases. 14 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 64. 15 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 29. 16 “Retailing,” p. R116. 17 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U .S. Department of Commerce, 1972), p. 358. 18 Based on discussion with industry experts. 19 “Making it Work— Retail Technology,” Stores, November 1980, p. 35; and “Retail O ffice,” Stores, July 1980, pp. 4 9 -5 4 . 20 Randy L. Allan, C o., 1982). pos Trends in the 80’s (New York, Touche Ross and 21 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 84. 22 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 113. 23 “Managing Receivables,” Stores, April 1982, p. 72. 24 “People Business,” Stores, March 1981, p. 42. 25 Bluestone and others, Retail Revolution, p. 84. 26 “People Business;” and “Push for Productivity,” Stores, January 1981. 27 Discussion with industry experts. 28 “An Introduction to Productivity in Retailing,” in Robert E. Dewer, Productivity in General Merchandise Retailing (New York, National Retail Merchants Association, 1980), p. 9. 29 “Retailing,” pp. R 115-R 116. 30 “Retailing,” p. R121. 31 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U.S. Department of Commerce, 1987), p. 5 6 -6 . 32 “Retailing,” p. R115. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure changes in the relationship between the output of an industry and hours expended on that output. An index of output per hour is derived by dividing an index of output by an index of indus try hours. The preferred output index for retail trade industries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods sold by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee hours required to sell one unit of each good in some specified base period. This concept also embodies the services associated with moving the goods from the retail establishment to the consumer. Thus, those goods which require more retail labor are given more importance in the index. Data on the quantities of goods sold usually are not avail able for trade industries, including department stores. Therefore, real output was measured by removing the ef fects of changing price levels from the current-dollar value of sales for the line items. Because an adjustment for chang ing price levels usually lowers the dollar value, such a series is usually referred to as a deflated value measure. Output measures based on deflated value have two major character istics. First, shifts in sales within product lines can occur among products of different value which have the same unit labor requirements. Thus, a change can occur in the output per hour index even if the labor utilized to sell the merchan dise does not change. Second, the sales level, both in cur rent and constant dollars, reflects differences in unit values for identical products sold in different types of establish ments. For example, the unit values associated with a product sold in a discount department store may be lower than the unit value associated with the same product sold in a conventional department store that provides a number of sales clerks as well as delivery service. The output measure, therefore, reflects changes in the level of service provided to customers, insofar as differences in unit values reflect https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the difference in service among the various types of establishment. In addition to the deflated value technique, the output measure for department stores was compiled by combining output from the various store departments using weights relating to labor importance (employee hours). This proce dure results in an industry output index that is closer, con ceptually, to the preferred output measure. The index of hours for the department store industry is for all employees. As in all of the output per hour measures published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, hours and em ployment are each considered homogeneous and additive. Adequate data are not available to weight the various types of labor separately. The indexes of output per hour relate total output to one input— labor time. The indexes do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other single factor. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of many factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, capacity utiliza tion, store design and layout, skill and effort of the work force, managerial ability, and labor-management relations. No explicit adjustments were made to the measures to take into account increases or decreases in some services provided to the consumer. With the growth of discount department stores, there has been a trend toward more selfservice operations. This shifted some of the hours in retail ing from employee to consumer. However, data are not available to measure the effect of this change. Adjustments for changes in product quality are made to the extent that changes in quality have been accounted for in the price indexes used to deflate the current-dollar value of sales. The basic sources for the output series for this measure consist of the total sales data and sales by merchandise line reported by the U.S. Department of Commerce. The defla tors were developed using Consumer Price Indexes pub lished by b l s . The basic source for the all employee series consists of data on employment and hours published by b l s . 21 Productivity shows a decline in automotive repair shops Output per hour of persons employed in these shops fell at an annual rate of 1.2 percent between 1972 and 1986, reflecting a larger increase in employee hours than in output J o h n G. O l s e n a n d R ic h a r d B. C a r n e s Output per hour of all persons1 in the automotive repair shop industry2 decreased at an average annual rate of 1.2 percent between 1972 and 1986. During this period, productivity in the private nonfarm business sector rose at an annual rate of 0.8 percent. The overall productivity decline reflects a 3.0percent average annual increase in output and a correspond ing larger growth in all person hours of 4.3 percent. (See table 1.) Despite increased efficiency in some specialty repair shops, overall productivity for the automotive repair shop industry has declined since 1972. Factors contributing to this decline include a large influx of new establishments and workers in the industry, a shortage of adequately trained mechanics, the introduction of more complex cars and trucks, as well as the effect of several recessions in the U.S. economy during the 1972-86 period. The output per hour rates for automotive repair shops varied substantially from year to year. Since 1972, annual increases in productivity have occurred in 6 years, ranging from 0.5 to 8.7 percent. Declines in productivity occurred in 8 years, the largest in 1982 when output per hour dropped 6.3 percent. The auto repair shop industry is affected by cyclical changes in the economy. During periods of economic con traction, output in the automotive repair shop industry slows John G. Olsen and Richard B. Carnes are economists in the Division of Industry Productivity and Technology Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis or falls, and productivity tends to decline. During an eco nomic downturn, industry output may grow because of maintenance and repair expenditures on older motor vehi cles, but be offset by declines in disposable income and new motor vehicle sales. This would slow the rate of growth in industry output or lead to a decline in output. Cyclical influ ences on the automotive repair shop industry can be seen by examining subperiod trends. From 1972 to 1974, productivity in the automotive repair shop industry increased at an annual rate of 2.1 percent, as output rose 5.8 percent and all employee hours grew 3.7 percent. Reflecting a general downturn in the economy, productivity declined 5.6 percent in 1975, as output dropped 0.2 percent. Between 1975 and 1979, output per hour fell slightly, 0.6 percent per year, as hours (5.3 percent) grew faster than output (4.6 percent). The recession of 1980 and 1981-82 had a more adverse effect on the industry than the previous recession. From 1979 to 1982, productivity experi enced its largest decline, dropping 4.2 percent per year, as output fell at an annual rate of 3.1 percent. Automotive repair shops shared in the economic recovery that began in 1983. Productivity grew 2.5 percent per year between 1982 and 1986, as output rebounded at a 9.0-percent annual rate and hours increased 6.3 percent per year. Industry structure The automotive repair shop industry consists of establish ments primarily engaged in the repair of automotive tops, bodies, and interiors; repairing and retreading automotive tires; automotive painting and refinishing; general automo tive repair; and specialized automotive repair, not elsewhere classified, such as fuel service (carburetor repair), brake relining, front-end and wheel alignment, exhaust system (muffler) repair, radiator repair, and glass replacement and repair. Automotive repair shops compete in a broad service and parts market. The automotive service market is hetero geneous in its structure, ranging from new car and truck dealers and self-service fleets to gasoline service stations and independent repair shops. In addition, a large number of motor vehicle owners perform some or all of their own repairs. Automotive repair departments maintained by es tablishments engaged in the sale of new automobiles are classified in retail trade, as are gasoline service stations (where sales of merchandise, including fuel, exceed repair receipts). The automotive repair shop industry is characterized by a large number of small firms. In 1972, there were an esti mated 127,203 establishments operating in the industry. By 1982, the industry had grown to 179,093 establishments. Almost half of these establishments had payroll in 1982. The number of paid employees in establishments with pay rolls averaged 3.6 in 1972, 3.9 in 1977, and 4.1 in 1982. Many of these establishments are owned or operated by partners or sole proprietors. In 1982, partners and propri etors made up almost 80 percent of the ownership of all establishments and accounted for more than 60 percent of all persons in the industry. In 1986, the industry generated $32.0 billion in receipts with a work force of about 780,000. Small establishments accounted for the majority of industry receipts. More than 75 percent of all automotive repair shops with payrolls had sales of less than $250,000 in 1982. Output and demand In spite of several economic downturns, overall output of the automotive repair shop industry increased 3.0 percent per year between 1972 and 1986. In comparison, over the same period, output for the private nonfarm business sector increased an average of 2.5 percent per year. Industry output growth reflects, in part, increases in the number of motor vehicles in operation. Passenger cars in operation increased at an average annual rate of 2.0 percent between 1972 and 1986. The number of trucks in operation also increased over this period, growing 5.8 percent per year.3 An increase in the average age of cars and trucks also has contributed to the growth in ouput. The median age of passenger cars has grown steadily from 5.1 years in 1972 to 6.9 years in 1985. The median age of trucks grew from 6.0 years in 1972 to 7.6 years in 1985.4 The industry’s output growth generally paralleled the trend for the overall economy. Between 1972 and 1979, the industry’s output rose at an average annual rate of 3.9 per cent. Output increased in 6 of the 7 years over this period, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Indexes of output per hour of all persons and related data, automotive repair shops, 1972-86 [1977=100] O u tp u t p er Year h o u r o f a ll p e rs o n s O u tp u t p er p e rs o n O u tp u t H o u r s o f a ll A ll p e rs o n s p e rs o n s 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 103.5 104.0 107.9 101.9 104.3 104.7 107.5 111.0 103.0 105.4 83.1 88.6 93.1 92.9 98.0 80.3 85.2 86.3 91.2 94.0 79.4 82.4 83.9 90.2 93.0 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 100.0 100.9 100.4 96.0 93.6 100.0 100.5 101.2 96.1 92.2 100.0 106.0 111.9 106.8 103.0 100.0 105.1 111.4 111.2 110.0 100.0 105.5 110.6 111.1 111.7 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 87.7 86.2 88.5 96.2 94.1 86.6 85.8 87.6 95.1 93.3 102.0 108.4 119.5 138.6 139.1 116.3 125.8 135.1 144.1 147.8 117.8 126.4 136.4 145.7 149.1 1972-86 ............ 1981-86 ............ -1.2 0.9 Average annual rates of change (in percent) -1.5 1.0 3.0 7.5 4.3 6.5 4.6 6.4 falling only in 1975 with the downturn in the economy. In 1979-82, output declined an average of 3.1 percent per year. Recessionary conditions in 1980 and 1981-82 con tributed to the weak demand experienced during this period. Reflecting the general economic recovery since 1982, out put experienced a sharp turnaround, rising at a 9.0-percent annual rate from 1982 to 1986. Auto repair shops have boosted their share of the automo tive service and parts market during the last 10 years, in creasing from 25 percent in 1976 to nearly 28 percent in 1985.5 New car dealers, who have enjoyed the largest share of the service and parts market, and gasoline service stations declined during this period. The percentage of sales of the automotive service and parts market (including tire sales) during 1985 was as follows: franchised new car dealers, 33 percent; automotive repair shops, 28 percent; gasoline serv ice stations, 8 percent; tire, battery, and accessory dealers, 22 percent; mass merchandisers, 7 percent; and all others, 3 percent. Between 1972 and 1986, the number of full service gaso line stations fell from 226,459 to 120,150, a 47-percent decline.6 Self-service stations have taken their place. Large corporations, chain organizations, and franchise operations are claiming some of the business that the full-service sta tions are giving up. Specialized auto repair shops have taken a large part of the muffler and brake repair businesses. In addition, “quick lube” shops are increasing their share of the oil change market. The distribution of industry receipts by type of automo tive repair shop showed little change between 1972 and 1982. In 1982, about 44 percent of all industry receipts were generated by general automotive repair shops, more than 26 percent by top and body repair shops, and almost 30 percent by other automotive repair shops. The distribution of estab lishments by type of operation, however, experienced a 23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Automotive Repair Shops slight change over this period. General automotive repair shops accounted for 61 percent of all establishments in the industry in 1982, compared with 56 percent in 1972. How ever, this group’s share of total industry receipts declined slightly over this period, falling from 45 percent in 1972 to 44 percent in 1982. This trend reflects the continuing entry of small establishments into general automotive repair. Al though top and body repair shops and all other automotive repair shops’ share of total industry establishments dropped between 1972 and 1982, their proportion of total industry receipts increased slightly over this period. These trends reflect the growth of franchised operations among special ized auto repair shops. Employment Total employment in the automotive repair shop industry grew steadily from 415,700 in 1972 to 780,300 in 1986, at an average annual rate of 4.6 percent. In comparison, the private nonfarm business sector experienced a 2.1-percent rise in employment over the same period. The hours of all persons in the industry increased at a slightly lower annual rate of 4.3 percent because of a small drop in average weekly hours. The hours of nonsupervisory workers, for example, declined slightly from 39.9 in 1972 to 38.6 per week in 1986. Hourly earnings of nonsupervisory workers in automotive repair shops averaged $8.17 in 1986, com pared with $8.76 for the total private economy and $8.16 for the total service sector. While the number of self-employed workers remains very high, establishments with paid employees have increased since 1972. Employees accounted for almost 60 percent of all persons in the industry in 1982, compared with 59 per cent in 1977 and 56 percent in 1972. Self employed workers dropped slightly, from more than 40 percent of all persons in 1972 to less than 38 percent in 1982. There was little change in the number of unpaid family workers; they ac counted for about 3 percent of all persons in 1972, 1977, and 1982. The decline in the number of full service gasoline stations has contributed to the large growth of employment in the industry between 1972 and 1986. Since the early 1970’s, full service stations have declined in number, as oil compa nies have consolidated small stations into larger self-service facilities. As a result, the number of automotive repair shops has increased to absorb the former service station operators and repair services. The industry’s work force is dominated by persons in mechanic, installer, and repairer occupations, who made up almost 51 percent of total employment in 1984 (the latest year for which data are available).7 Within this occupational group, automotive and motorcycle mechanics represented the largest category, accounting for 27 percent of employ ment in the industry. Automotive body and related repair ers, the next largest category, accounted for more than 16 percent of the industry work force. Bus and truck mechanics 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and diesel engine specialists made up another 3 percent of employment. Factors affecting productivity One factor affecting productivity growth in the automo tive repair shop industry is the small size of many of the shops. Small firms have limited resources in capital, person nel, and materials. Although there are little data on capital investment for this industry, it is clear that the small average size of establishments in the industry makes it difficult for the average firm to invest in new capital equipment, such as computerized diagnostic equipment. Automotive repair shops also have limited access to manufacturers training programs and data services. The addition of more than 50,000 establishments and 200,000 workers to the industry between 1972 and 1982 has also influenced the movement of productivity over the pe riod studied. The apparent ease of entry and exit from the industry has led to increases in the number of establishments and workers in the industry, even during periods of general economic recession. The large growth in employment, to gether with high separation rates for some occupations, has affected the overall experience level of workers in the indus try. Garage- and service station-related occupations, which include some workers in the automotive repair shop indus try, had high separation rates, as measured by the percent of workers leaving these jobs in 1981 and 1983.8 This influx of new firms and less experienced workers has contributed to the small, average size of industry establishments and the decline in output per hour during this period. Another factor affecting productivity between 1972 and 1986 has been the introduction of more complex engineer ing in the design of cars and trucks. Automotive technology has changed significantly since the early 1970’s. During the 1970’s, advances in automotive engineering were concen trated in the areas of safety, emissions, and fuel economy. Although these changes included some improvements in serviceability, such as longer intervals between oil changes and ignition system tuneups, they have increased the com plexity of many repair jobs. The downsizing of cars to reduce fuel consumption, along with the addition of numer ous electronic components, has turned some routine mainte nance jobs into major operations. In the 1980’s, the general trend has been toward the introduction of more subsystems of increasing sophistica tion and complexity. The increasing use of computer mi croprocessors in newer vehicles to control engine perform ance, transmission, and the suspension systems has also changed the complexity of repair work. According to a recent industry study, 83 percent of the mechanics surveyed indicated that newer cars are more difficult to repair than 10 years ago because their complexity makes it more difficult to pinpoint problems.9 The skill and equipment mix gener ally found in small automotive repair shops often are ill suited for such sophisticated diagnosis and repair work. According to some automotive service industry analysts, a shortage of adequately trained mechanics also has affected industry productivity. Technological innovations have occurred so rapidly, particularly in automotive elec tronics, that it is difficult or impossible for many small repair shops to keep up with these changes. Small and medium sized repair shops often cannot afford to let me chanics take time off to learn the latest technology. As a result, worker skills are not keeping pace with new automo tive technology. Outlook for productivity Long term prospects for demand in the overall automotive service industry should be good, as the automobile contin ues to play a key role in transportation. Future output growth will reflect further increases in the number of vehicles in operation and a modest rise in vehicle miles traveled. It is unclear, however, what share of the market will belong to the automotive repair shop industry. A smaller market share will reduce any opportunity for future productivity gain, especially for smaller operations unable to purchase needed capital equipment. New automobiles are expected to continue to incorporate even more complex technology. Auto manufacturers, for example, plan to use onboard computers to chemically ana lyze oil, fuel, and radiator coolant, detect wear and tear in mechanical parts, and electronically readjust the engine to compensate. With the growth of computerized and fuel in jected motor vehicles, new cars will require more sophisti cated electronic diagnostic service. Because of the shortage of mechanics with advanced training and the need to keep up with rapid technological innovations, some industry analysts foresee a decline in the percentage of service work performed by auto repair shops and a growth in business for new car dealers and large chain stores. Some new computerized diagnostic equipment de veloped by auto manufacturers, for example, will only be available to authorized dealers. Another trend affecting in dustry output has been the lengthening of service contracts by new car dealers on new cars and trucks. These extended warranties may lower demand for some specialized auto repair shops, such as engine rebuilders. To improve produc tivity and to remain competitive, automotive repair shops need to invest in new equipment, and provide advanced training. The occupational composition of the work force for the automotive repair shop industry is not expected to change significantly during the next decade. Based on projections by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the proportion of mechan ics, installers, and repairers is expected to increase from almost 51 percent of industry employment in 1984 to about 52 percent of industry employment in 1995. Within this occupational group, automotive and motorcycle mechanics are expected to grow from about 27 percent of industry employment in 1984 to nearly 29 percent in 1995. The share of employment among automotive body and related repair ers is expected to fall slightly during this period. Adminis trative support occupations, including clerical, are projected to decline from 10 percent of industry employment in 1984, to about 9 percent of industry employment in 1995. This trend reflects, in part, a greater use of computers in the industry in the future. The availability of more affordable and more powerful personal computers has made the tech nology feasible for small shopowners. Among other func tions, computers will be used to perform recordkeeping and administrative functions formerly done manually. 1 All average rates o f change are based on the linear least squares trends o f the logarithms o f the index numbers. ciation, 1986), p. 10. 2 The automotive repair shop industry is classified as sic 753 in the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification Manual and its 1977 supplement issued by the U .S. Office o f Management and Budget. 1987, p. 123. 3 Based on statistics published in Ward’s Automotive Yearbook (Detroit, Ward’s Communications, Inc., 1987). m i, 4 Motor Vehicle Facts and Figures, 1986 (Detroit, Manufacturers Association, 1986). 5n a d a Data for 1986 (McLean, va, m i, Motor Vehicle National Auomobile Dealers Asso 6 Based on statistics published in National Petroleum News Factbook, 7 Bureau of Labor Statistics, data for 1984-95, National Industry Occu pational Matrix. 8 Occupational Projections and Training D ata , Bulletin 2206 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1984), p. 10; and Occupational Projections and Train ing Data, Bulletin 2251 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1986), p. 18. 9 “Mechanics Struggle to Keep Up With Engineering Advances,” The Washington Post, June 14, 1987, p. D7. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per hour of all persons measure the change in the relation between the output of an industry and the hours expended on that output. An index of output per hour is derived by dividing an index of output by an index of hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The preferred output index for personal service industries would be obtained from data on the quantities of services provided by the industry. The quantity of each type of ser vice provided would be weighted (multiplied) by the time required to provide one unit of each type of service in some 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Automotive Repair Shops specified base period. Thus, services that require more labor time would be given more importance in the output index than services that require less. Such data, however, are not available for the automotive repair shop industry. Real output was estimated by remov ing the effects of changing prices from the current-dollar value of industry receipts. Because an adjustment for price changes usually lowers the dollar value, such a series is referred to as a deflated value measure. The index of hours for automotive repair shops is for all persons— that is, the index represents hours for paid em ployees, partners and proprietors, and unpaid family work ers. As in all of the output-per-hour measures published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, hours and employment are considered homogeneous and additive. Adequate informa tion for weighting the various types of labor separately are not available. The indexes of output per hour do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other single factor. Rather, they reflect many interrelated influences such as changes in technology, capital investment, design and layout of workplaces, skill and effort of the work force, and managerial ability. The output measure is derived from data on annual re ceipts published by the Bureau of the Census. The allpersons-hour measures are derived from data on employ ment and hours originated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and supplemented by data reported by the Internal Revenue Service, and from special tabulations compiled for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. Exploding a myth The first specialized works on occupational disease based on the methods of modem science and medicine appeared in the 1500s, written by Philippus Aureolus Theophrastus Bombastus von Hohenheim, called Paracelsus, and Georg Bauer, known as Agricola. Paracelsus, the Basel town physician, wrote a treatise on miners’ diseases, published 27 years after his death, in which he described cases of job-related tuberculosis and the effects of “choke damp,” excessive amounts of carbon dioxide. He was one of the first to recognize clearly that certain maladies were associated with certain occupations. He should have. His own life was shortened by the heavy metal poisoning he sustained while investigating mines and metal refineries. Agricola was a town doctor in the heart of the mining center of Central Europe. He knew of mining communities in the Carpathian Mountains where women expected to be widowed half-a-dozen times during their lifetimes. Immersed in the everyday problem of staying alive in the mines, he advised workers to wear protective clothing and devised a practical ventilation system that many mines adopted. His contribution is best appre ciated by remembering that at the time, death from mine gases was still generally attributed to “a blast of breath from a subterranean demon.” —U.S. D ep a r t m e n t o f L a b o r Protecting People at Work: A Reader in Occupational Safety and Health (Washington, Superintendent of Documents, 1980), pp. 18-19. 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Productivity gains lukewarm for makers of nonelectric heating equipment Increase in output per hour, aided by new technology in metalworking but moderated by stagnant demand, averaged only 1.6 percent a year over the 1972-85 period J o h n W. F e r ris a n d V ir g in ia L. K l a r q u is t Productivity, or output per employee hour, in the nonelec tric heating equipment industry rose at an average annual rate of 1.6 percent from 1972 to 1985.1 For all manufactur ing, the rate of increase was 2.2 percent. The growth in productivity reflected a negligible decline in output of 0.1 percent per year and a decline in employee hours of 1.7 percent. (See table 1.) Contributing to the rise in productiv ity for the industry were advances in metalworking, im proved plant layout, and increases in capital expenditures per employee. The productivity trend for the 13-year period examined here was marked by much volatility, rising in 7 years and falling in 6. In general, productivity movements have been influenced by changes in output. For the 1972-76 period, productivity declined at a rate of 0.8 percent, as output dropped 7.2 percent annually. During the 1976-80 period, productivity increased dramatically, rising 2.9 percent a year, as output rebounded to a 10.8-percent annual rate of growth. Since 1980, productivity has varied with underlying movements in output while registering a slight increase of 0.1 percent per year. The following tabulation shows aver age annual rates, in percent, for periods between 1972 and 1985. John W. Ferris and Virginia L. Klarquist are economists in the Division of Industry Productivity and Technology Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Output per employee hour 1972-85 ................................................... 1.6 1972-76 ............................................... - .8 1976-80 ............................................... 2.9 1980-85 ............................................................. 1 Output -0 .1 - 7 .2 10.8 - 4 .3 Industry description The nonelectric heating equipment industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in the manufacture of heating equipment, including gas, oil, and stoker coal-fired equipment for the automatic use of gaseous, liquid, and solid fuels. Included in the products of this industry are domestic heating stoves, boilers, floor and wall furnaces, solar energy collectors, and oil burners. Production is capi tal intensive and basically involves the cutting and forming of metal, as well as the welding, brazing, and soldering of components. The nonelectric heating equipment industry is made up of more than 900 establishments generally characterized as small to medium in size. In recent years, the small to medium establishments have grown in number and relative importance. In 1982, companies with fewer than 50 employees ac counted for 86 percent of all establishments, 29 percent of employment, and 25 percent of sales. In 1972, by compari27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Nonelectric Heating Equipment son, these small companies had accounted for only 70 per cent of establishments, 11 percent of employment, and 12 percent of shipments. For establishments with more than 249 employees, de clines were dramatic. From 1972 to 1982, the share of these large establishments dropped from 7 percent to 2 percent of all establishments, while employment fell from 51 to 23 percent and sales declined 49 to 30 percent. Although nonelectric heating establishments could be found in every region of the United States, the leading States in employ ment were Pennsylvania, California, New York, and Illi nois. These States accounted for approximately 35 percent of the industry’s employment. Output and demand The growth in output over the entire 1972-85 period has been negligible in the nonelectric heating equipment indus try, although output movements have varied significantly from time to time. Industry production has been primarily influenced by residential construction.2 From 1972 to 1976, output of the nonelectric heating equipment industry declined at an average annual rate of 7.2 percent. The decrease in demand in this industry was largely a result of a slump in the homebuilding industry as a down turn in housing starts led to a subsequent reduction in the demand for new heating units. Housing starts fell from 2.4 million units in 1972 to 1.5 million units in 1976. The deepest slump occurred in the multifamily homebuilding industry. Rising costs of land, labor, materials, and money, together with high equity requirements and the prospects of low returns in rents discouraged builders from adequately attempting to meet the demand for rental housing.3 The late 1970’s were years of expansion for the nonelec tric heating equipment industry. From 1976 to 1980, output grew 10.8 percent annually as the industry responded to the heating needs of newly built homes. Although failing to reach the peak level of 1972, housing starts increased in the late 1970’s and leveled off at 2.0 million units. Since 1980, production in the nonelectric heating equip ment industry has fluctuated with decreases in output in 1981, 1983, and 1985, and increases in output in 1982 and 1984. The underlying causes of the volatility in demand for heating units has been the slowdown in the homebuilding industry in the 1978-82 period, the heating needs created by a 12-percent rise in the value of new construction of nonresidential buildings in 1979 (in constant dollars), and a sharp 60-percent advance in housing starts in 1983. However, with more than three-fourths of the recent addition to the Nation’s housing stock occurring in the warm climates of the South and West, the demand for heating equipment has been weak.4 demand for heating equipment.5 Although demand varied widely for the products of the nonelectric heating equipment industry during the 13 years covered by this study, the middle 1970’s were years of growth for the indus try. Rising sales of gas-fired products, the introduction of new products, and increased spending on new plant and equipment occurred at the same time that productivity was improving. The Arab oil embargo led to a sharp rise in the price of oil in the early 1970’s. Manufacturers of floor and wall furnaces felt the change in the relative prices of oil and gas when the number of gas-fired floor and wall furnaces shipped in 1976 rose 21.8 percent over 1975, while ship ments of oil-fired floor and wall furnaces dropped 22 per cent. Although there were some conversions from oil to other fuels, it was not until 1978 and the wide availability of natural gas after a decade of curtailment that the mass conversions began.6 The market for domestic heating stoves boomed in 1979 with the shipments of gas stoves, 55.4 percent higher than the number of units delivered a year earlier. From 1977 to 1982, gas-fired cast iron boiler ship ments grew by 73.8 percent, while boilers fired by other fuels fell 30.3 percent. Depressed by high oil prices and few housing starts in the Northeast, shipments of residential oil burners tumbled 39.7 percent between 1978 and 1982. By the late 1970’s and early 1980’s, inflationary activity in oil prices was joined by rapidly rising gas and electric prices, causing consumers to look at alternative fuels such as wood, kerosene, and solar power, as ways to conserve energy. In 1972, 1.3 million domestic heating stoves (repre senting 8 percent of industry receipts) were shipped, of which 68 percent burned gas. By comparison, in 1985, manufacturers shipped 1 million stoves (representing 15 Table 1. Productivity and related indexes for the non electric heating equipment industry, 1972-85 [1977=100] O u tp u t p e r e m p lo y e e -h o u r Year A ll e m p lo y e e s P ro d u c N o n p ro tio n d u c t io n w o rk e rs w o rk e rs E m p lo y e e - h o u r s O u tp u t A ll e m p lo y e s s P ro d u c N o n p ro t io n d u c t io n w o rk e rs w o rk e rs 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........... ........... ........... ........... 85.5 85.0 78.9 80.4 86.3 85.0 81.2 85.4 83.7 85.1 73.3 69.2 103.5 109.1 94.5 86.6 121.0 128.3 119.8 107.7 120.0 128.3 116.4 101.4 123.7 128.2 129.0 125.2 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 84.5 100.0 101.6 95.8 99.7 88.3 100.0 101.6 96.8 102.6 75.4 100.0 101.5 93.2 92.4 80.0 100.0 113.2 115.9 124.2 94.7 100.0 111.4 121.0 124.6 90.6 100.0 111.4 119.7 121.1 106.1 100.0 111.5 124.4 134.4 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 94.6 102.3 93.2 102.0 97.7 103.7 114.0 100.6 110.3 102.9 76.2 79.9 77.4 84.6 85.7 96.5 100.7 93.4 95.6 92.9 102.0 98.4 100.2 93.7 95.1 93.1 88.3 92.8 86.7 90.3 126.7 126.0 120.6 113.0 108.4 1.6 -.8 2.9 .1 2.2 .5 2.7 .2 -2.2 -7.7 7.9 -4.6 -.4 -3.3 7.2 -4.1 A v e ra g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e Product mix and relative fuel prices In addition to residential construction, changes in relative fuel costs and replacement demand have also influenced the 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1972-85 1972-76 1976-80 1980-85 .... .... .... .... .3 -4.1 3.4 -.3 -.1 -7.2 10.8 -4.3 -1.7 -6.4 7.7 -4.4 percent of industry receipts), of which 62 percent burned wood, while only 17 percent used gas. Although used in Florida as early as the 1920’s, solar energy caught the interest of consumers in the middle 1970’s. In 1974, the first year for which data are available, manufacturers shipped 1.3 million square feet of solar pan eling. Increasing at an impressive average annual rate of 43.4 percent for 7 years, sales peaked at 20.1 million square feet of paneling in 1981. From 1981 to 1984, solar paneling shipments declined 6.9 percent per year. Costly repairs of heating equipment and high utility bills opened up a whole new market for the nonelectric heating equipment industry in the early 1980’s. Consumers devel oped a willingness to pay more for higher efficiency, begin ning with heating units using less energy in new homes, and subsequently, using more efficient units to replace ineffi cient ones in good working order. In recent years, an esti mated 80 percent of residential oil burners shipped have been retention head or other energy efficient units installed to replace burners using excessive amounts of energy. Much of the boiler market is also for replacement units.7 Employment and hours Employment in the nonelectric heating equipment indus try numbered 24,000 in 1985, having fallen at a rate of 1.6 percent per year, from the 1972 level of 30,900. Employee hours declined at a slightly faster 1.7-percent average an nual rate. The decrease in industry employment was larger for production workers than for nonproduction workers. Between 1972 and 1985, production worker jobs declined 25.9 percent, while nonproduction worker jobs fell 13.5 percent. Over the period studied, trends in employee hours dis played patterns of expansion and contraction similar to those noted for output. From 1972 to 1976, employee hours fell at an average annual rate of 6.4 percent. They rose sharply from 1976 to 1980, but between 1980 and 1985, employee hours again declined at an annual rate of 4.4 percent. Production workers accounted for 68 percent of the nonelectric heating equipment industry work force in 1985, compared with 71 percent in 1972. Although data on the employment of women, and the skill composition of the work force are not available for the industry, data are avail able for the plumbing and heating equipment industry to which the nonelectric heating equipment industry belongs. (The nonelectric heating equipment industry represents about one-half of the work force of the plumbing and heat ing equipment industry.)8 In the plumbing and heating equipment industry, women composed 25 percent of the industry employment in 1985, compared with 18 percent of industry employment in 1972. The proportion of female employees found in the plumbing and heating equipment industry is similar to that in the total durable goods industry. Skill composition of the work force of the plumbing and heating equipment industry differs from that for manufactur https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ing as a whole. In 1984, operatives and assemblers ac counted for 42 percent of industry employment, compared with 35 percent for all manufactuimg. Managerial, techni cal, and professional personnel composed 18 percent of the industry work force, versus 21 percent of all manufacturing employment. Craft and related workers made up 13 percent of industry employment, compared with 15 percent for all manufacturing. However, administrative, sales, and support staff accounted for 17 percent of both industry and all man ufacturing employment. Average hourly earnings in the nonelectric heating equip ment industry rose from $3.61 in 1972 to $8.52 in 1985. Hourly wages were somewhat higher in durable goods man ufacturing, registering $4.07 in 1972 and $10.10 in 1985. Investment in plant and equipment Measured in constant dollars,9 the nonelectric heating equipment industry’s capital expenditures declined slightly at an average annual rate of 0.2 percent from 1972 to 1985. In contrast, real capital spending of all manufacturing indus tries rose 2.4 percent annually between 1972 and 1985. The largest decline occurred from 1972 to 1976 when investments in plant and equipment by firms in this industry fell at an average annual rate of 17.9 percent. During the same years, all manufacturing industries increased their cap ital expenditures 4.8 percent per year. From 1976 to 1980, however, capital spending rebounded in the industry, grow ing 15.4 percent annually. After 1980, capital spending slowed throughout the manufacturing segment of the econ omy and fell 0.3 percent per year in the nonelectric heating equipment industry. While real capital expenditures declined slightly in the nonelectric heating equipment industry, there was an in crease in real capital spending per employee. Real capital expenditures per employee in the industry rose 1.4 percent per year from 1972 to 1985. For all manufacturing establish ments, the comparable figure was 2.4 percent. From 1972 to 1976, capital spending per employee by the nonelectric heating equipment industry fell at an average annual rate of 12.5 percent. From 1976 to 1980, industry capital expendi tures per employee grew at an average annual rate of 6.7 percent, faster than the 3.2-percent growth rate registered by all manufacturing industries. This was also the period of greatest productivity growth experienced by the industry. Capital spending per employee continued to rise in the 1980’s. Technology Productivity has been aided by improvements in metal working equipment which have taken place in the sheet metal operations of the nonelectric heating equipment indus try.10 The broadest improvement has occurred in metal fab rication. The straightening, cutting, and bending of rolled steel previously performed by manual labor is increasingly being done by machinery. The basic metalworking equip29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Nonelectric Heating Equipment ment is the production press which makes use of poweroperated clamps to close one or more dies at a proper speed and pressure. The dies with which a press is equipped shear or bend the sheet metal forming the desired shape. The metal is generally worked cold. The die may be single purpose, as when a workpiece is simply cut or shaped, or it may be progressive. Progressive dies, consisting of multiple work stations, subject the workpiece to several sequential strokes or punches. In such operations, the steel is usually fed automatically from coils through the multiple work sta tions as a continuous ribbon of material up to the last station of the die, where the part is sheared off. The installation of labor-saving progressive dies is just beginning to take place in the more advanced and larger shops in the industry. Manual feeding of steel remains prevalent in the smaller shops.11 However, the nonelectric heating equipment industry is characterized by a large number of small establishments, utilizing a sizable inventory of older dies.12 These older dies must be bolted into the press and transported by crane or forklift. While the small shops in the industry may not have had the resources to install progressive dies in the produc tion process, they have been able to raise labor productivity by taking advantage of more modest improvements in metalworking. Some shops have raised productivity by improving the punching of sheet metal. Previously, templates were con ventionally affixed to the punch press. Presently, computer taped instructions are fed to the press, speeding production and ensuring greater quality control in the finished shape. Another improvement has been the adoption of a multiple spindle drill by some shops. This high capacity drill is able to bore multiple holes through several planes of sheet metal in one operation. Productivity in many shops has been in creased by replacing stick welding with automatic wire-feed welding. In addition to improvements in metalworking tech nology, reorganization of floor space has boosted productiv ity in some of the establishments of the nonelectric heating equipment industry. Age of equipment Despite the technological advances described here, the nonelectric heating equipment industry retains a large in vestment in older machinery that has been rebuilt many times. According to the most recent American Machinist inventory of metalworking equipment, taken in 1983, 28 percent of the metalcutting and 16 percent of the metalform ing tools used in the plumbing and heating equipment indus try were less than 10 years old.13 In 1973, the proportion of tools under 10 years of age was 24 percent for metalcutting tools and 23 percent for metalforming tools.14 The industry has reduced the age of its metalworking equipment, increas ing the proportion of newer metalcutting tools between 1973 and 1983. Although the proportion of newer metalforming equipment has declined, two observations should be noted. 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis First of all, industry metalcutting tools outnumbered metal forming tools by more than 2 to 1 in 1973, and continued to do so in 1983. Secondly, metalforming tools tend to have a longer life than metalcutting tools. Thus, they need to be replaced less often. Included in the metalworking equipment under 10 years of age are increased numbers of numerically controlled ma chine tools. The efficiency of the plumbing and heating equipment industry’s metalworking equipment has been augmented by the rise in the number of numerically con trolled machine tools. In 1983, numerically controlled ma chine tools accounted for 7 percent of the metalcutting tools and 9 percent of the metalforming tools that were under 10 years old. In 1973, the corresponding figures were 2 percent and 2.5 percent. The percentage increase in numerically controlled tools understates the increase in the output capa bilities of these machine tools. The American Machinist cites the “vastly increased productivity of n c [numerically controlled] machines as compared with their manually con trolled equivalents.15 The higher end of the age distribution of metalworking equipment shows almost no change in the proportion of older metalworking equipment in the industry. The share of metalcutting machine tools 20 years or older rose from 41 percent in 1973 to 42 percent in 1983. The proportion of metalforming equipment 20 years or older remained un changed at 43 percent between 1973 and 1983. Further more, the older tools cannot be readily judged inefficient, because the American Machinist inventory does not take into account the retrofitting of older machines with up-todate components and control devices.16 The number of machine tools in all metalworking indus tries declined from more than 15 per 1,000 persons in the U.S. population in 1973 to less than 10 per 1,000 persons in 1983. The American Machinist states that “this represents in part the greater productivity of machine tools, in part the simplification of design of many products, so that less ma chining is required.”17 This statement also applies to the industry studied here. Between 1973 and 1983, the number of machine tools in the industry fell by more than a third, and capacity utilization rates in the nonelectric heating equipment industry delined. During this same period, the output of the nonelectric heating equipment industry re mained virtually unchanged, indicating a substantial rise in the output capability of its metalworking equipment. Outlook Equipment. Moderate improvement in productivity is in dicated for the nonelectric heating equipment industry.18 Diffusion of the more efficient metalworking machinery and metal fabrication techniques throughout the industry is far from complete. Furthermore, competition with foreign man ufacturers may force domestic producers of heating equip ment to look for ways to improve productivity. In 1972, less than 1 percent of the new supply (domestic production plus imports) of nonelectric heating equipment in the United States was imported. By 1981, the latest year for which data are available, imports had risen to more than 7 percent of the new supply of nonelectric heating equipment. During the same years, the percent of domestic production exported changed little, hovering around 6 percent.19 Numerically controlled machine tools are expected to be come more widely used in the nonelectric heating equip ment industry, either as replacements of obsolete equipment or through retrofitting of older equipment. Numerical con trol enhances managerial control by predetermining and coding every stage of machining onto a control tape. Man agers can plan more accurately such operations as machine loading and shop scheduling. Numerically controlled tools can produce parts with greater precision and uniformity, saving machine time and minimizing scrap losses. Further into the future of the industry may be the installa tion of computer numerical control machine tools. Software advances make it possible for a computer to convey numer ical data directly to a machine control unit, eliminating the problem of constant redoing of the control tape of numeri cally controlled tools. Going beyond computer numerical control tools are computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacture systems. These systems use computer-controlled methods to unite several technologies. Computers are used in develop ing designs of products, guiding workpieces among ma chines on computer controlled material handling systems, and directing numerically controlled machine tools.20 1 The nonelectric heating equipment industry is designated by the Office o f Management and Budget as sic 3433 in the Standard Industrial Classi fication Manual, 1972. This industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in the manufacturing of heating equipment including gas, oil, and stoker coal fired equipment for the automatic utilization of gaseous, liquid, and solid fuels. Products include cast iron heating boilers, cast iron radia tors, cast iron convectors, domestic heating stoves, steel heating boilers, floor furnaces, wall furnaces, and solar energy collectors. Also found among the primary products of the industry are duct furnaces, unit heaters, infrared heaters, mechanical stokers, oil burners, gas burners, heat transfer coils, range boilers, expansion tanks, hot water storage tanks supplied by separate heaters, unit ventilators, and nonelectric prefabricated metal fire places. Excluded from this industry are establishments primarily engaged in the manufacturing of electric heating equipment, warm air furnaces, cooking stoves, industrial process furnaces, industrial process ovens, in dustrial, power and marine boilers. Average annual rates shown in the text and tables are based on the linear least squares trend o f the logarithms of the index numbers. The indexes for productivity and related variables are updated annually, and published in Productivity Measures for Selected Industries and Government Services, Bulletin 2296 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, November 1987). 2 “Statistical Panorama,” published each April by the The Air Condition ing, Heating, and Refrigeration N ew s. 3 “The Homebuilders Clutch at H ope,” Business Week, February 2, 1976, pp. 14-15. 4 U .S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Construction Reports, Series C20 and C30. 5 “Statistical Panorama”. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The major reason for the lack of diffusion of the newer technologies throughout the nonelectric heating equipment industry is expected to be the low level of demand for many of the industry’s products. The overall weakness and volatil ity of demand for the industry’s products may make the risk of investment too great, particularly for the many small shops. Employment. The skill composition of the work force of the plumbing and heating equipment industry is not ex pected to change much over the next-decade. Based on Bureau of Labor Statistics projections, the proportion of craft and related workers and the proportion of operatives and assemblers are expected to remain unchanged. Manage rial, technical, and professional personnel are projected to grow from 18 percent of industry employment in 1984 to 19 percent of industry employment in 1995. The proportion of the industry work force employed as administrative, sales, and support staff is expected to fall from 17 percent in 1984 to 16 percent in 1995. Average labor costs in the industry have fallen from 33 to 27 percent of total costs during the period of this study, and this trend is expected to continue. Projections indicate that the plumbing and heating equipment industry will have an increased reliance on managers and engineers in designing and monitoring more efficient production processes.21 One industry source predicts that the machine operator of today will become a manager of several machines in the future. 6 Ibid., and industry sources. I Ibid., and industry sources. 8 Figures cited in this section are based on data developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 9 Capital expenditures were deflated by the implicit price deflator for producers’ durable equipment, as published in The Economic Report to the President, transmitted to the Congress, January 1987, p. 248, table B3. 10 Industry sources. See also Horst Brand and Clyde Huffstutler, “Productivity in making air conditioners, refrigeration equipment, and furnaces,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1984, pp. 11-17. II Industry sources. See also Horst Brand and Clyde Huffstutler, “Trends in labor productivity in metal stamping industries,” Monthly Labor Review, May 1986, pp. 13-20. 12 Industry sources. 13 “The 13th American Machinist Inventory of Metalworking Equipment 1983,” American Machinist, November 1983, pp. 113-144. 14 “The 11th American Machinist Inventory of Metalworking Equipment 1973,” American Machinist, October 29, 1973, pp. 143-166 and “Corrections to the 11th Inventory Summary,” American Machinist, November 26, 1973, p. 58. 15 “The 11th . . . Inventory of Metalworking Equipment,” p. 162. 16 Brand and Huffstutler, “Productivity in making air conditioners, re frigeration equipment, and furances,” p. 14. 17 “The 13th . . . Inventory of Metalworking Equipment,” p. 123. 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Nonelectric Heating Equipment 18 The Office o f Economic Growth and Employment Projections of the Bureau o f Labor Statistics has projected a 2.6 percent annual growth rate for productivity in the plumbing and heating equipment industry for 1985— 2000. 20 Industry sources. See also A. Elarvey Belitsky, “Technology and Labor in Metalworking Machinery,” Technology and Labor in Four Indus tries, bls Bulletin 2104 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982) and “Adopting Factory Automation,” American Machinist, December 1985, pp. 8 8 -9 0 . 19 Figures cited in this section are based on data developed by the Bureau o f Labor Statistics. 21 Figures cited in this section are based on data developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure changes in the relation between the output of an industry and the em ployee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an index of output by an index of industry employee hours. The preferred output index for manufacturing industries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods produced by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee hours required to produce one unit of each good in some specified base period. Thus, those goods which require more labor for production are given more importance in the index. Often, however, as an alternative, unit value weights are used when unit labor requirement weights are not available. Because neither unit labor nor unit value weights are available for all of the industry’s products, an alternative technique was used to derive the output index for this indus try. Therefore, real output for the industry was estimated by a “deflated” value technique. Changes in price levels were removed from current-dollar values of production by means of appropriate price indexes at various levels of subaggrega tion for a variety of products in the group. To combine segments of the output index into a total output measure, employee hour weights relating to the individual segments 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis were used, resulting in an output index that is conceptually close to the preferred output measure. The annual output index series derived from the earlier discussed deflated value technique was then adjusted (by linear interpolation) to the index levels of the “benchmark” output series. This benchmark series (also utilizing the de flated value technique) incorporates more comprehensive but less frequently collected economic census data. The indexes of output per employee hour relate total output to one input— labor. The indexes do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other single factor. Rather, they reflect the joint effects of factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, capacity uti lization, plant design and layout, skill and efforts of the the work force, managerial ability, and labor-management relations. The average annual rates of change presented in the text are based on the linear least squares trend of the logarithms of the index numbers. Extensions of the indexes will appear annually in the b l s bulletin, Productivity Measures fo r Se lected Industries and Government Services. A technical note describing the methods used to develop the indexes is avail able from the Office of Productivity and Technology, Divi sion of Industry Productivity and Technology Studies. Productivity in industrial inorganic chemicals Output per hour improvements were retarded by slack demand; economies of scale could not be fully exploited, but cutbacks of less efficient plants, together with technical advances, bolstered productivity levels H o r st B r a n d a n d Z ia u l Z. A h m ed As measured by output per hour, productivity in the inor ganic chemicals industry remained virtually unchanged be tween 1972 and 1986.1 By comparison, output per hour in manufacturing, as a whole, rose at an average annual rate of 2.7 percent over the period. Neither output of the industry nor employee hours changed significantly over the 1972-86 timespan—the long-term trends were essentially flat. The absence of any long-term improvement in productiv ity did not characterize all of the industry’s components. In the manufacture of alkalis (mostly caustic soda) and chlo rine, productivity rose 3.2 percent a year, reflecting a de cline in output and an even greater decline in employee hours. In the manufacture of inorganic pigments, productiv ity improved at an 0.9-percent annual rate; here, too, the long-term gain resulted from receding output and hours. In the largest group of inorganic chemicals— including most basic or commodity and large numbers of miscellaneous chemicals— productivity declined slightly, by 0.2 percent a year. Here, output rose, as did employee hours, if at a somewhat higher rate than output. The inorganic chemicals industry converts certain nonfuel minerals and gaseous fluids found in the atmosphere into specifically formulated mixtures, generally used as interme diates in the production of final goods. One characteristic, particularly of large plants, is continuous processing, and relatively “very little direct labor (is) used” in the industry.3 Value added per production worker has been roughly twice Inorganic chem icals.......... Alkalies and chlorine . . Inorganic pigments . . . . Other basic and miscellaneous inorganic chem icals........ 0.3 3.2 .9 1.2 .4 -1.7 0.9 7.8 4.4 -.2 2.0 -1.8 All manufacturing ............. 2.7 1.9 3.5 Horst Brand and Ziaul Z. Ahmed are economists in the Division of Produc tivity and Technology Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. N o t e : In this and the following tabulations, inorganic chemicals exclude government-owned plants and include industrial gases, not shown sepa rately. “Other” inorganic chemicals is a category “not elsewhere classi fied” by the Bureau of the Census. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that for all manufacturing, and the ratio of fixed assets to employment has been 3 to 4 times as high, bespeaking the capital intensity of the industry.4 The longer term trend in the industry’s productivity ex hibited two phases. Between 1972 and 1979, productivity grew at an average annual rate of 1.2 percent, with output rising at a rate 2\ times that of employee hours. Capacity utilization rose, hitting a high of 84 percent in 1979. How ever, from 1979 to 1986, productivity, although marked by sharp year-to-year swings, slowed to 0.9 percent a year with both output and employee hours falling slightly. Capacity utilization receded to as low as 62 percent.5 The following tabulation indicates the productivity trend and its phases for the industry as a whole and for its compo nents (see also tables 1 to 4): Average annual rates (percent) 1972-86 1972-79 1979-86 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Industrial Inorganic Chemicals As the tabulation suggests, the productivity performance of the industry was dominated by the “other basic and mis cellaneous inorganic chemicals” group, which accounted for two-thirds of total industry employment. During the 1972— 79 period, the comparatively weak showing of the alkalies and chlorine and of the industrial pigments industries con trasted with the improvement in that larger group; the re verse occurred during the subsequent timespan. Year-to-year swings in output per hour in the industry ranged widely, between a drop of 17 percent (in 1972) and a spurt of nearly 13 percent in 1984. Year-to-year losses in productivity were related to output declines accompanied by lesser declines, or even increases, in hours. This pattern was especially marked by the “other basic and miscellaneous inorganic chemicals” group, whose volatility exceeded the overall industry average. Here, year-to-year movements ranged from a drop of 21 percent (in 1980) to a gain of 12 percent (in 1984). In 1986, the industry’s productivity ran 12 percent above 1972, but had not regained the peak of 112.2 attained in 1979. The “other” group’s productivity still ran 12 percent below its 1979 high. By contrast, output per hour in inor ganic pigments had climbed 16 percent above its previous high in 1974; in alkalies and chlorine, the 1986 productivity level had soared 56 percent above the earlier (1980) peak. Demand and output Inorganic chemicals “embrace all substances, except hy drocarbons and their derivatives” (that is, petroleum, coal, and natural gas.) Petroleum and natural gas are the funda mental feedstocks of organic chemicals and of such products as plastics. Inorganic chemicals often enter as intermedi ates in the production of organic chemicals.6 The inorganic chemicals industry generally obtains its raw materials from minerals other than fuels, and from fluids (including the atmosphere and its gases). Together with many organic chemicals, inorganic chemicals are used throughout manu facturing as intermediates, the total value of their intermedi ate use being exceeded only by petroleum and natural gas, and petroleum refining.7 The end uses of the more important inorganic chemicals are listed in exhibit 1. Between 1972 and 1986, there was little change in output of inorganic chemicals, but its long-term trend, like that of productivity, displayed two distinct patterns. Between 1972 and 1979, output rose at an average annual rate of 2 percent; thereafter it declined by 0.3 percent a year, reflecting the cyclical downswing of the early 1980’s. Toward the mid1980’s, output recovered but did not reach the high levels of the late 1970’s. The “other basic and miscellaneous inor ganic chemicals” group grew strongly between 1972 and 1979 (6.4 percent annually), but their output trend reversed subsequently, with the 1979-86 span witnessing a 1.8percent annual drop. The findings are summarized in the following tabulation: 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Average annual rates (percent) 1972-86 1972-79 1979-86 Inorganic chem icals........... Alkalies and chlorine .. Inorganic pigments . . . . Other basic and miscellaneous inor ganic chem icals........ - 0.1 -2.7 - 2 .0 2.0 -6.0 -4.2 -0.3 7.9 1.0 1.4 6.4 -1.8 The break in the industry’s output trend in 1979 parallels a break in the output measures for some major selected industries which are users of inorganic chemicals, and for which the bls calculates the measures.8 For example, output of steel, a large-scale user of such industrial gases as oxy gen, and which had been stable during the earlier (1972-79) period, declined by 6 percent annually over the later one (1979-85). Soap and detergent production, an important outlet for phosphates, having risen at close to 2.0 percent per year earlier, receded by 1.6 percent later. (Phosphates in detergents were banned in some States during the survey period, which together with a shift to liquid detergents also reduced phosphate consumption.)9 Glass containers, pri mary aluminum, and organic chemicals, all heavy users of certain bulk inorganics, showed the same pattern of expand ing, then contracting output rates over the survey period. Following a similar break in the output rate for agricultural crops— from an average annual rate of 3.5 percent for 1972-79 to 0.0 percent for 1979-85— production of the intermediates providing feedstocks for fertilizers dropped from 4.9 percent a year to - 0 .8 percent. Table 1. Productivity and related indexes for industrial in organic chemicals, 1972-86 [1977=100] O u p u t p e r e m p lo y e e h o u r E m p lo y e e h o u r s P ro d u c Year A ll t io n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs N o n p ro P ro d u c O u tp u t d u c t io n w o rk e rs A ll tio n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs N o n p ro d u c t io n w o rk e rs 1972 1973 1974 1975 ... ... ... ... 97.3 102.1 104.1 86.5 94.7 97.3 101.2 88.3 103.5 113.8 110.7 82.8 90.6 96.5 105.1 87.0 93.1 94.5 101.0 100.6 95.7 99.2 103.9 98.5 87.5 84.8 94.9 105.1 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ... ... ... ... ... 94.4 100.0 102.6 112.2 94.3 96.9 100.0 102.9 112.3 98.0 89.7 100.0 101.9 112.1 87.4 95.0 100.0 105.6 108.5 95.9 100.6 100.0 102.9 96.7 101.7 98.0 100.0 102.6 96.8 97.9 105.9 100.0 103.6 96.8 109.7 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ... ... ... ... ... ... 91.4 86.3 94.2 106.0 102.6 109.1 96.0 91.8 101.0 113.5 111.0 117.2 82.8 76.6 82.4 93.1 88.2 95.4 93.7 82.7 87.8 98.4 97.5 100.3 102.5 95.8 93.2 92.8 95.0 91.9 97.6 90.1 86.9 86.7 87.8 85.6 113.1 107.9 106.5 105.7 110.5 105.1 1972-86 1980-86 0.3 4.4 1.1 4.9 -1.2 -2.1 1.4 -0.9 A v e r a g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e (p e r c e n t) -1.4 3.6 -0.1 2.7 -0.3 -1.6 Table 2. Productivity and related indexes for alkalies and chlorine, 1972-86 [1977=100] O u p u t p e r e m p lo y e e h o u r E m p lo y e e h o u r s P ro d u c Year A ll tio n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs P ro d u c N o n p ro O u tp u t d u c t io n A ll t io n e m p lo y e e s w o rk w o rk e rs e rs N o n p ro d u c t io n w o rk e rs 1972 1973 1974 1975 ... ... ... ... 102.1 102.0 113.3 90.0 96.7 95.4 107.4 87.8 117.6 121.5 129.8 95.4 114.2 116.3 133.6 109.2 111.8 114.0 117.9 121.4 118.1 121.9 124.4 124.4 97.1 95.7 102.9 114.5 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .. . ... ... ... ... 98.0 100.0 106.6 107.3 115.4 100.2 100.0 105.7 109.3 119.9 93.2 100.0 108.5 104.8 105.8 112.1 100.0 99.1 68.3 67.5 114.4 100.0 93.0 63.3 58.5 111.9 100.0 93.8 62.5 56.3 120.3 100.0 91.3 65.2 63.8 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ... ... ... ... ... ... 95.3 100.8 127.1 146.3 147.4 179.9 97.9 104.2 129.6 142.7 146.1 182.2 89.9 93.7 121.6 155.2 150.2 174.7 61.2 63.8 79.3 94.5 102.3 101.3 64.2 63.3 62.4 64.6 69.4 56.3 62.5 61.2 61.2 66.2 70.0 55.6 68.1 68.1 65.2 60.9 68.1 58.0 3.2 13.6 3.7 12.8 -6.2 -0.3 -4.7 -2.5 A v e r a g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e (p e r c e n t) 1972-86 1980-86 2.1 15.3 -2.7 12.5 -5.7 -1.0 Employment Workers employed in the inorganic chemicals industry (excluding Federal Government plants) numbered about 73,000 in 1986, 3 percent below the 1972 level, and 11 percent lower than in 1980, the last peak employment year. Employment tended to decline at an average annual rate of 0.3 percent over the study period, but all of the decline occurred over the 1979-86 span (at a 1.2-percent annual rate). Employee-hours evidenced rate-of-change patterns closely akin to employment. The proportion of production workers in the industry fell from 68 percent of total employment in 1972 to 62 percent in 1982.10 In 1986, the number of production workers ran 13 percent below the 1972 count, and 17 percent below its 1980 peak. By contrast, nonproduction worker employment, which had expanded by 20 percent between 1972 and 1986, barely retreated only 7 percent from its earlier peak. The high proportion of nonproduction workers in the industry has resulted from higher-than-average proportions of jobs in managerial and management-related positions, and in engi neering and technician occupations. According to b l s data, these three categories accounted for 24 percent of the indus try’s total employment in 1984, compared to 15 percent for manufacturing as a whole. Blue-collar occupations in the industry appear to be more highly skilled than in manufacturing generally. In 1984, 30 percent of the employees in inorganic chemicals worked as blue-collar supervisors, construction trades workers, me chanics, installers and repairers, precision production work ers, and in plant and systems occupations. The comparable proportion for manufacturing was 20 percent. Twenty per cent of all employees worked in less skilled occupations— https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis chemical equipment controllers, operators and tenders, welders, and helpers and laborers; the corresponding figure for manufacturing was 43 percent.11 Average hourly earnings in the industry rose faster than the manufacturing average— running 20 percent above the average in 1972, and 34 percent in 1985. During the survey period, female employees’ share of employment doubled, to 18 percent; in manufacturing, their employment share rose from 29 to 32 percent. Accession and separation rates per 100 workers, available only through 1981, indicate a fair degree of stability in the stability of the industry’s work force. The rates were only about two-fifths as high as for total manufacturing, and point to the industry’s ability to retain experienced workers. (Quits per 100 workers ran to only one-third of the manufacturing average.) Overtime schedules in the industry ranged within considerably nar rower bounds than in all manufacturing, probably reflect ing in part the continuous-process nature of production schedules.12 Capital investment The fixed capital assets of the inorganic chemicals indus try are high in relation to employment. As noted earlier, in 1982, the value of assets per employee ran four times higher than the comparable figure for manufacturing generally.13 In the “other and miscellaneous inorganic chemicals” group, the ratio was three times higher. However, the ratio for the industry as a whole as well as for its component industries had declined from 1972, when it had run 4 to 5 times the manufacturing average. The decline possibly reflected the considerably greater reduction in new capital expenditures by the industry than by manufacturers generally after 1977. Table 3. Productivity and related indexes for industrial pigments, 1972-86 [1977=100] O u p u t p e r e m p lo y e e h o u r E m p lo y e e h o u r s P ro d u c Year A ll t io n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs N o n p ro P ro d u c O u tp u t d u c t io n w o rk e rs A ll tio n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs N o n p ro d u c t io n w o rk e rs 1972 1973 1974 1975 ... ... .. . ... 113.2 114.6 115.4 104.2 108.7 106.0 110.3 105.5 124.8 140.4 129.2 101.6 121.3 130.6 154.7 108.7 107.2 114.0 134.0 104.3 111.6 123.2 140.2 103.0 97.2 93.0 119.7 107.0 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ... ... ... .. . .. . 100.9 100.0 104.8 105.0 102.2 102.2 100.0 104.1 104.4 108.6 98.0 100.0 106.6 106.5 89.9 109.1 100.0 106.6 100.5 101.3 108.1 100.0 101.7 95.7 99.1 106.7 100.0 102.4 96.3 93.3 111.3 100.0 100.0 94.4 112.7 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ... ... .. . ... ... ... 105.1 96.7 104.0 125.7 132.7 133.5 113.0 108.0 113.8 134.8 144.3 147.1 90.4 77.7 86.9 108.7 111.9 110.3 101.9 87.6 93.0 97.9 105.6 110.3 97.0 90.6 89.4 77.9 79.6 82.6 90.2 81.1 81.7 72.6 73.2 75.0 112.7 112.7 107.0 90.1 94.4 100.0 -3.9 -3.8 -0.3 -3.6 A v e r a g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e (p e rc e n t) 1972-86 1980-86 0.9 6.9 2.1 7.0 -1.7 6.8 -2.0 2.9 -2.8 -3.7 35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Industrial Inorganic Chemicals The comparison, derived from constant-dollar data, reads as follows14: Average annual rates (percent) Inorganic chemicals Manufacturing 1972-85 .......... 1972-77 . . .. 1977-85 .. .. 0.2 16.0 - 5 .4 2.6 5.1 0.0 Levels of real capital outlays— which in this industry are overwhelmingly for equipment, rather than for structures— peaked in 1977, then fell precipitously; in 1983, they stood 47 percent below their 1977 high. They recovered there after, but in 1985, capital outlays still were less than in 8 of the 13 years reviewed here. As the tabulation shows, the amplitudes of the swings in outlays by far exceeded those for all manufacturing. The large increase in the industry’s real capital expendi tures during much of the 1970’s was to an extent fueled by relatively high capacity utilization rates; their subsequent retreat was occasioned in large part by contracting utiliza tion. Between 1975 and 1980, the ratio of actual to “preferred” or full capacity utilization averaged 77 percent; between 1981 and 1985, it averaged 65 percent.15 (The pattern was similar but much less accentuated for manufac turing as a whole.) However, the earlier increases in the industry’s real capital outlays have been said also to have arisen from erroneous assumptions about longer term demand growth, leading to overexpansion in productive ca pacity. According to a Brookings Institution study, “Be cause of the several year-long planning and construction periods for new chemical plants, large scale state-of-the-art plants, designed to achieve economies of scale and maintain or increase market share, continued to be brought on line even when company officials recognized that demand had fallen. These plants were then operated below capacity and thus very inefficiently, production worker requirements in such plants being almost independent of output levels.”16 Research and development The National Science Foundation has categorized the in organic chemicals industry as technology-intensive on the basis of the high ratio of its r &d to value added.17 That ratio fluctuated between 2.6 and 3.5 percent annually over the survey period.18 (The all-manufacturing average ranged from 1.9 to 2.6 percent.) It is difficult to evaluate the focus of the industry’s r &d effort, largely because existing survey data encompass the entire chemical industry, except pharmaceuticals.19 The data are nonetheless suggestive. According to the survey, the annual number of productivity-enhancing process inno vations of “major importance” or representing “significant improvement” doubled between the two periods, 1974-79 and 1980-82. Energy-related process innovations rose 34 percent between the two periods. Environment-related proc 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ess innovations, whose number was lower than those for the two other innovation categories combined, increased by 14 percent. It is noteworthy that when compared with 1967— 73, for which the survey also features data, figures for the 1974-79 span represent declines while the 1980-82 period witnessed a recovery in the average annual data (even though the levels remained well below 1967-73). The innovations were linked to new chemical products, whose annual number rose substantially between 1974-79 and 1980-82; and they were embodied in new equipment and instrumentation. The annual number of pertinent inno vations nearly doubled for the former, and tripled for the latter.20 That these improvements occurred in the face of lagging demand for industrial chemicals may be partially ascribed to such factors as the large component of scientists and engineers employed in industrial chemicals, whose ef forts focus on problem-solving, including problems gener ated by the imbalances brought about by the new product and process innovations.21 The intensity of R&D may also be gauged by the annual rate of chemistry articles published in scientific and technical periodicals, which rose 21 percent between the two periods, 1973-80 and 1981-82;22 the rise in the so-called citation ratios for these articles;23 and by the high proportion of articles published in the chemical engi neering field (the United States accounted for 50 percent of the world’s total, although U.S. employment in the chemi cal industry represents but one-third of the total of major chemicals-producing countries outside the Soviet bloc).24 However, the number of patents granted by the United States to resident inventors in the area of inorganic and organic chemistry dropped 19 percent between 1975 and 1981 (yet the number of patents in this area granted to foreign inventors dropped by nearly one-half).25 Table 4. Productivity and related indexes for industrial in organic chemicals, not elsewhere classified, 1972-86 [1977=100] O u p u t p e r e m p lo y e e h o u r E m p lo y e e h o u r s P ro d u c Year A ll tio n e m p lo y e e s w o rk e rs P ro d u c N o n p ro O u tp u t d u c t io n A ll t io n e m p lo y e e s w o rk w o rk e rs e rs N o n p ro d u c t io n w o rk e rs 1972 1973 1974 1975 ... ... ... ... 92.9 90.5 102.1 84.0 89.2 96.1 100.2 86.7 101.9 104.0 106.1 78.9 74.9 80.7 88.8 77.6 80.6 81.9 87.0 94.4 84.0 84.0 88.6 89.5 73.5 77.6 83.7 98.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ... ... ... ... . .'. 93.9 100.0 101.4 114.6 90.3 97.0 100.0 101.9 114.7 93.8 87.8 100.0 100.4 114.5 83.7 88.7 100.0 106.8 120.3 101.1 94.5 100.0 105.3 105.0 112.0 91.4 100.0 104.8 104.9 107.8 101.0 100.0 106.4 105.1 120.8 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ... ... ... ... ... ... 89.3 80.8 86.9 97.5 95.3 101.4 93.8 85.7 93.0 105.5 104.0 107.1 81.2 72.1 76.4 84.3 81.3 91.6 99.1 83.6 87.2 98.3 96.3 100.1 111.0 103.5 100.4 100.8 101.0 98.7 105.7 97.5 93.8 93.2 92.6 93.5 122.0 116.0 114.1 116.6 118.5 109.3 A v e r a g e a n n u a l ra te s o f c h a n g e (p e r c e n t) 1972-86 1980-86 -0.2 3.6 .6 4.0 -1.7 3.1 1.4 1.7 1.5 -1.9 0.8 -2.2 3.1 -1.3 Exhibit 1. Selected inorganic chemicals and their chief end uses C h e m ic a l End use Aluminum oxide................................ Abrasives Refractories Ceramics Electrical insulators Fluxes Spark plugs Aluminum sulfate.............................. Pulp and papermaking Treatment of water Ammonia, anhydrous......................... Fertilizers Refrigerant Fuel cells and rocket fuel Synethetic fibers Explosives Chemical intermediate Calcium chloride .............................. C h e m ic a l Dust control Highway deicing Industrial processing Concrete treatment Calcium phosphate ........................... Animal feed supplements Food supplements Dough conditioner Fertilizers Dyeing of textiles Caustic soda .................................... Acid neutralizer Pulp and paper making Petroleum refining Soaps and detergents Chlorine........................................... Chemical intermediate Water purification Food processing Hydrochloric acid.............................. Activation of petroleum wells Boiler scale removal Pickling and metal cleaning Acidizing Ore reduction End use Lime .............................................. Pollution control Stack gas scrubbers Sewage treatment Acid neutralizer Water treatment Phosphates ..................................... (in sodium compound) Insecticidal chemicals Scouring soaps and powders water softeners Phosphoric acid................................ Fertilizers Soap and detergents Rust-proofing Phosphorus ..................................... Detergents Beverages Food additives Potash............................................ Fertilizers Silicates........................................... Impregnation of wood and porous metals Oil reclamation Synethetic detergents Textile processing Water treatment Soda ash ......................................... Glassmaking Pulp and papermaking Water and sewage Sulfuric acid..................................... Fertilizers Petroleum refining Pigments Iron and steel pickling Titanium oxide.................................. Surface coatings Plastics Paper coatings and fillings . Sources: The C o n d e n s e d C h e m ica l D ic tio n a ry , 10th ed. (New York, Van Nostrand-Reinhold Co., 1981); C h e m ic a l O rig in s a n d M a rk e ts , 5th ed. Stanford Research Institute, 1977; and Bureau of Labor Statistics. Technological advances Technological advancement in the inorganic chemicals industry has to an extent been identified with increases in the scale of operations. Scale enlargement reduces capital costs as well as labor and utility costs per unit of output. Quintup ling of sulfuric acid production, for example, by simply increasing the size of pressure vessels, pipes, storage tanks, and so forth, can reduce operating costs by 33 percent.26 Although effluent problems intensified during the 1970’s, and costs of losing business from breakdowns or other inter ruptions are said to have become less tolerable,27 there is evidence, in addition to the capital spending boosts already noted for the 1970’s, that the scale of operations of chemical plants increased then. Between 1972 and 1982, the number of plants with 1,000 employees or more in the “other basic and miscellaneous inorganic chemicals” group rose 27 per cent, and the proportion of employment in the group that these plants accounted for rose from 41 to 48 percent. (The number of small establishments nearly doubled in 1982, accounting for 80 percent of all establishments in the indus try . But their share of employment, 14 percent that year, had barely changed from 13 percent a decade earlier.) Further https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis more, the average number of employees per large plant rose by 19 percent, to 2,821 in 1982, indicating that existing large plants added to their employment as they expanded their scale of production.28 The industry also modernized existing facilities by retrofitting with updated, largely computerized equipment and instrumentation.29 Computers, programmable controls, computerized sensors for temperature, pressure, flow rate, liquid levels, materials analyzers, and other process vari ables have been increasingly diffused. Pneumatic controls have been more and more replaced by electronic signals and their apparatus (except in the processing of flammable mate rials). Reasons for installing computers in chemical process ing are succinctly stated in the following passage: Sensitive reactions, novel equipment arrangements, or usually complex control schemes represent systems so complex that it is essentially impossible for the human mind to conceive or calculate the process be havior during startup or after disturbance away from steady state. The ease with which the computer can be programed by the engineer, its speed and accuracy in solving differential equations, and the insight it pro37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Industrial Inorganic Chemicals vides as to the nature of process behavior are three main reasons for the success of the analog computer in the processing industries.30 In the mid-1970’s, chemical process firms began to use minicomputers and placed less emphasis on mainframe computers.31 Prices of computers continued to decline. Mi croprocessors for “small” control problems and for batch sequencing spread through processing installations. Perti nent software and laboratory management systems became more widely available. Computers in laboratories— a work ing part of all the larger processing facilities— not only aided in making experiments but also suggested them (for example, in modeling molecular constellations). Also, socalled audit trails have been greatly facilitated by comput ers, making it possible to trace efficiently, and to record, when, how, and by whom test samples were drawn, thus helping to satisfy government and company regulations.32 Computers have also become indispensable in chemical engineering. They enable the prediction of the properties of chemicals with new molecular structures. They are vital in designing process equipment. They permit the simulation of process control. And they help in managing resources.33 Large amounts of engineering time are thus economized. Some complex problems which reportedly required up to 500 hours for their solution can now be tackled in less than half an hour.34 Gradual improvements in older technologies relating to established engineering practices have of course also contin ued. One such practice is “de-bottlenecking.” The retrofit ting of existing plants with updated equipment and instru ments, noted already, often creates imbalances or bottlenecks in chemical processing. Hence, the importance of “de-bottlenecking” appears to have increased over the review period.35 One technique of coping with bottlenecks has been to install better pumps and valves. That usually spells improved flow, less corrosion, thus also reducing maintenance labor. Among higher speed pumps innovated during the 1970’s have been drum pumps that would empty 55-gallon drums within 2 minutes.36 Relatively few important innovations or technological changes occurred during the survey period that were specific to the products manufactured by the industry, while at the same time significantly reducing labor requirements per unit of output. Here, two developments may be cited in the chlor-alkali segment of the industry, which, probably con tributed to this segment’s productivity improvement be tween 1972 and 1985. (See table 2). One was the replace ment of older plants operating at an electrical capacity of 20,000 to 50,000 amperes, with plants capable of 100,000 amperes. (Chlorine is produced by electrolysis, usually of sodium chloride brine.) The increase in electrolytical capac ity barely changed in unit labor requirements.37 The other development was a switch in production technology from (electrolytical) mercury cells— entailing the risk of escaping 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis mercury polluting streams—to one based on diaphragms and, subsequently, membranes. The switch saved between 20 and 35 percent in electrical (electrolytical) energy.38 A shift from synthetically produced soda ash to natural soda ash mined in open pits (mostly in Wyoming and Cali fornia) and treated by the so-called Trona process was has tened during the 1970’s. This stepped-up activity solved the problem of disposing of the calcium chloride generated by the Solvay process of manufacturing soda ash, and the brine that process generates which would be discharged into— and pollute— streams. Labor requirements per unit of output are lower with Trona mining than with the Solvay process (transport costs may partially offset the savings).39 Outlook It is likely that, beyond cyclical swings, there will be improvement in the productivity of the inorganic chemicals industry over the long term. Such long-term gains may well be associated with continued small overall increases in out put being accompanied by still smaller increases— or losses— in employment. Among technological or organiza tional factors likely to spur productivity are more centralized technical controls of plant complexes, facilitated by com paratively low-cost computer networks. Also probable is the more closely and efficiently scheduled use of processing equipment, and the growing versatility in the processing of cognate chemical products of which such equipment would be capable.40 Following steep cuts in the productive capacity of such basic chemicals as sulfuric acid— estimated by some ob servers to one-third of 1981 levels,41 and as much as 25 percent of that of phosphoric acid42— older equipment has evidently been rapidly phased out in recent years, and it seems probable that such phasing-out will continue for some time. This alone would gradually improve capacity utiliza tion rates, and therefore labor productivity, as more up-todate processing equipment and instrumentation supplant ob solescent facilities. The question of whether pollution abatement technology can be increasingly adapted to enhance the efficiency of chemical processing, technologies— or whether it will con tinue to be embodied in the pollution abatement efforts and services of the industry (many of which, however, are con ducted outside the industry proper although it bears the costs)— cannot be assayed here. Only a relatively small portion of the industry’s pollution abatement costs appear to have been recaptured by merging processing and abatement technologies. It remains, however, that “Every major chem ical company has a formidable array of environmental engineers committed to (a) retrofitting existing facilities to meet pollution abatement requirements; and (b) designing new facilities that incorporate the most cost-effective pollu tion control equipment, usually in anticipation of future requirements.”43 According to b l s projections, employment in the inor ganic chemicals industry will rise 6 percent between 1984 and 1995 if it follows a “moderate” (rather than a “low” or “high”) path. Among the industry’s major occupational groups, those of engineers, chemists, and engineering and science technicians are anticipated to expand more rapidly than other groups. Although these three groups together accounted for but 14 percent of the industry’s total employ ment in 1984, their share of employment growth will be 37 percent. Likewise, the growth and share of managerial and management related occupations will be roughly twice their 1984 employment proportion of 12 percent. Much slower increases are expected for blue-collar jobs. These jobs ac counted for almost one-half of total industry employment in 1984, but will make up little more than two-fifths of em ployment growth by 1995. Large job losses are projected to occur in administrative support occupations, particularly among clerical personnel.44 -FOOTNOTES1 Industrial inorganic chemicals are classified as No. 281 in the Standard Industrial Classification Manual of the Office of Management and Budget, sic 281 is composed of four 4-digit industries— sic 2812, Alkalies and Chlorine, consisting of establishments manufacturing these two chemicals and such other related chemicals as soda ash and caustic soda; sic 2813, Industrial Gases, with establishments manufacturing such gases as acetylene, carbon dioxide, oxygen, and others; sic 2816, Inorganic Pig ments, with establishments manufacturing pigments destined mostly for industrial paints, such as used for automobiles and household appliances; and sic 2819, Industrial Inorganic Chemicals, not elsewhere classified, with establishments manufacturing a wide variety of bulk or commodity chemicals, such as acids, phosphates, potassiums, sulfurs, sodiums (salts), metallic compounds, and catalysts. sic 2819 includes government-owned establishments; the output and employment o f this part of the industry are excluded from the productivity and related measures offered here. The productivity and related measures for sic 2813, Industrial Gases, are not published separately but are included in the measured for sic 281. Average annual rates of change presented in this article are based on linear least squares of the logarithms of the index numbers. The indexes will be updated annually and will appear in the annual b ls Bulletin, Pro Organic c h e m ic a ls................................ Petroleum refin in g ................................ 3 Martin Neil Baily and Alok K. Chakrabarti. “Innovation and Produc tivity in U .S. Industry,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity , 2:1985, p. 624. 4 Bureau o f the Census data. The data for government-owned establish ments are excluded here. 5 Baily and Chakrabarti write that excess capacity in the industry “brings about a substantial drop in productivity performance,” p. 615. 6 The Condensed Chemical Dictionary (New York, Van NostrandReinhold Co. 1981). 7 U .S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, The Detailed Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy , 1977, Vol. I (Wash ington, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1984). Average annual rates of change (percent) Steel .................................................... Paints and allied p rod u cts.............. Paper, paperboard, and p u lp ......... Soap and detergents ....................... Miscellaneous p la stic s.................... Glass containers................................ Primary nonferrous metals ........... Primary alum inum ........................... Aluminum rolling and drawing . . Agricultural chemicals .................. Prepared f e e d s .................................. Motor v e h ic le s.................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .. .. .. .. - 2 .1 - 2 .2 10 Refers to production workers in the industry’s privately owned estab lishment as do all other employment as well as output and productivity data in this article. 1 ’The high skill composition of labor in the industry is emphasized in the following: “The conduct of chemical plants requires, as a rule, skilled labor, with a limited requirement for ordinary backbreaking work. Most o f the help needed is for workers who can repair, maintain, and control the various pieces of equipment and instruments necessary to carry out chemical con versions and physical operations. ...(The) chemical industry, by virtue of a wider use of instruments and a greater complexity of equipment, requires more and more skilled labor,” Chemical Process Industries, p. 20. 12 Following are overtime hours in industrial inorganic chemicals and manufacturing, 1972-85. Industrial inorganic chemicals Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................................. 94 ..................................106 .................................. I l l .................................. 86 ..................................100 .................................. .................................. .................................. .................................. .................................. .................................. Manufacturing 95 103 89 70 84 100 103 86 91 86 83 94 94 95 76 76 59 81 92 89 13 Data and discussion exlude government-owned establishments. 8 Output o f selected industries using inorganic chemicals on a large scale are shown below: 1972-85 -3 .3 .7 1.8 1.2 5.7 - 1 .1 - 4 .2 - .3 .9 3.5 2.6 1.4 5.8 - 3 .2 9 Chemical and Engineering News, Jan. 26, 1987. ductivity Measures for Selected Industries. 2 R. Norris Shreve and Jospeh A. Brink, Jr., Chemical Process Indus tries (New York, McGraw-Hill Book C o., 1977), ch. 1. 1.8 .0 1972-79 0.0 1.9 1.7 1.8 6.6 1.1 - 2 .7 2.5 2.6 4.9 2.4 4.4 1979-85 - 6 .1 .4 1.8 - 1 .1 6.2 - 3 .2 - 6 .2 - 4 .7 .1 - .8 2.5 5.2 14 Deflator from table B-3, Economic Report of the President, January 1987 (implicit price deflator, total nonresidential gross private domestic investment). 15 U .S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Survey of Plant Capacity, 1985 and earlier years. 16 Baily and Chakrabarti, p. 624. 17 National Science Board, Science Indicators - The 1985 Report (Wash ington, U .S. Gopvemment Printing Office, 1985), p. 197. 18 National Science Foundation, Research and Development in Industry, 1984 (Washington, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1985), p. 34. 19 However, “other” chemical industries, including sic 284,5 and 2 8 7 -9 are much less research-intensive than industrial chemicals. See footnote 18. 20 Baily and Chakrabarti, p. 616. 21 See Richard C. Levin, “Technical Change and Optimal Scale: Some Evidence and Implications,” Southern Economic Journal, October 1977, 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Productivity in Industrial Inorganic Chemicals p. 208. The author also writes: “The technology itself generates concrete identifiable problems upon which engineers and applied scientists focus their innovative efforts” (p. 219). Also: “Efforts to reduce machine ‘down time’ focus upon design considerations to hasten servicing when necessary, and to lengthen the intervals between servicing. 33 Chemical Engineering N ews, Oct. 1, 1983, p. 31. 34 Chemical Engineering N ews , Aug. 12, 1985, p. 7ff. 35 Industry information and Chemical Engineering News, May 14, 1987. 22 Science Indicators, p. 193. 36 Chemical Engineering, Apr. 1, 1985, p. 14. 23 Science Indicators, p. 195. 37 Industry information. 24 Eurostat, Employment and Unemployment: Yearbook of Labor Statis tics, 1982. (Tokyo, Japan, Ministry of Labor, 1985). 38 Chemical and Engineering News, Mar. 20, 1978, p. 20ff.; February 8, 1982, p. 105; Oct. 29, 1984. 39 Industry information; Chemical and Engineering News, Sept. 8, 1986, p. 17; p. 211. 25 Science Indicators, p. 25. 26 Levin, p. 213. 40 Chemical and Engineering News, Dec. 7, 1981, p. 19. 27 Chemical and Engineering News, Mar. 6, 1978, p. 24. 28 The data do not indicate enlargement of scale of government-owned establishments in the industry. 29 Chemical and Engineering News, Dec. 7, 1981. p. 15ff. 30 Quoted in Chemical Process Industries, p. 12. 31 Chemical Engineering News, Sept. 16, 1974, p. 52ff. 32 Chemical Engineering News, Aug. 19, 1985, p. 21ff. 41 Industry information. 42 Chemical and Engineering News, Oct. 11, 1982, p. 16. 43 U .S. Environmental Protection Agency, Voluntary Environmental Ac tivities of Large Chemical Companies to Assess and Control Industrial Chemicals, Sept. 1976, p. 7. 44 See Occupational Outlook Handbook, reau of Labor Statistics, 1987), p. 269ff. 1986-87, Bulletin 2250 (Bu APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure changes in the relation between the output of an industry and the em ployee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an index of output by an index of industry employee hours. Real output was calculated in terms of the deflated value of shipments (adjusted for inventory change) for each product group. Changes in prices were removed from the current-dollar values by means of appropriate price indexes at various levels of subaggregation for a variety of products in each group. In order to combine the output segments to a total output index, employee hour weights relating to the individual segments were applied. 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Complete output data are available only in years for which a Census of Manufactures is taken (such as 1972, 1977, 1982). For the intercensal years, the data are based on samples, and are not quite so complete. Therefore, these data are benchmarked to census year data. The indexes of output per employee hour relate total output to one input— labor. The indexes do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other single factor. Rather, they reflect the joint effects of factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, capacity uti lization, plant design and layout, skill and efforts of the work force, managerial ability, and other factors. Research Summaries Expenditures of urban and rural consumers, 1972-73 to 1985 J ohn M . R ogers Social and economic comparisons of urban and rural popu lations have long been of interest to public policymakers. The migration of families between urban and rural areas, the financial problems of the American farmer, and the inci dence of poverty by type of area are but a few of the urban versus rural topics that have received much attention.1 This report focuses on another socioeconomic aspect of the urban and rural populations, namely, how the expenditure patterns of the two populations compare.2 Expenditures, income, and family characteristics are compared for 1985, and changes in expenditure levels and expenditure shares be tween 1972-73 and 1985 are discussed using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure (c e ) Survey. Method o f the expenditure survey. Both urban and rural consumer units were sampled when the current, ongoing c e Survey began in 1980.3 However, because of Federal bud get reductions, the rural portion of the sample was dropped in 1981-83. In January 1984, the Bureau reintroduced the rural portion of the population in the survey sample. Now that data for both the urban and rural populations are again available, it is possible to compare the expenditures, in come, and family characteristics of the two population groups. It also affords the opportunity of comparing recent urban versus rural data with earlier data. The c e Survey consists of two separate components, each with its own questionnaire and sample: 1) a quarterly Inter view survey in which expenditures and income of consumer units are obtained in five interviews conducted every 3 months and, 2) a Diary or recordkeeping survey completed by consumer units for two consecutive 1-week periods. The Interview survey is designed to obtain data on the types of expenditures which respondents can recall for a period of 3 months or longer. In general, these include relatively large expenditures, such as automobile purchases, and those that occur on a regular basis, such as rent or utility payments. Including “global estimates” of spending for food, about 95 John M. Rogers is an economist in the Office of Prices and Living Condi tions, Bureau o f Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis percent of expenditures are covered in the Interview survey. The Diary survey obtains data on small, frequently pur chased items which normally are difficult for respondents to recall, such as detailed food expenses. Data cited in this report are from the Interview survey. Differences in expend itures and expenditure shares discussed here are based on population estimates rather than sample estimates. Urban versus rural, 1985. Income and demographic data collected in the expenditure survey show differences be tween the urban and rural populations that help explain some of the differences in expenditures of the two groups. Table 1 shows estimates for 1985, the most recent period for which data are available from the current survey, and for 1972-73, the reference period of the last expenditure survey prior to the start of the current, continuing survey. Percent changes in expenditures between the two periods are presented, and a column showing changes in the bls Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (cp i -u ) also is included so that changes in expenditures and prices can be compared. Com parisons for 1985 are discussed below while changes from 1972-73 to 1985 are examined in the following sections. Rural consumer units accounted for about 16 percent of the total in 1985. However, the portion of the consumer units classified as rural varied substantially by region of the country. Almost 22 percent of the units in the South were rural, compared with only 9 percent of the units in the West. About 19 percent of units in the Midwest region and 12 percent in the Northeast were in rural areas. The data also show that urban consumer units averaged higher incomes in 1985 than did their rural counterparts. Urban consumer units had slightly fewer members and were headed by persons about 2 years younger than heads of rural units. The num bers of earners, children under age 18, and persons over 65 were about the same for the two groups. Rural consumer units owned more vehicles per unit and were more likely to own their own homes. Total expenditures accounted for a larger proportion of total income of rural units than of urban units. Expenditure levels of the two population groups showed substantial differences across expenditure components. As might be expected from their higher average incomes, urban consumer units had higher levels of total expenditures— they spent about $3,600 more on average than did rural units in 1985. Higher food, housing, and apparel expenditures accounted for much of the difference. However, despite 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Research Summaries lower average incomes, rural consumer units spent more for transportation, health care, tobacco, and life and other per sonal insurance than did urban units. Results show that, in 1985, urban consumer units spent more for housing than did their rural counterparts, and the amount spent accounted for a larger share of total expendi tures than that of rural units. Expenditure shares, the percent of total expenditures spent on each component, are shown in table 2. Urban consumer units spent an average of $7,005, or 31 percent of their total expenditures, on housing com pared to an average of $5,064, or 26 percent of the total, spent by rural units. A higher percentage of rural consumer units were homeowners and rural homeowners were more likely to have paid off their mortgages— 38 percent having done so versus 21 percent of urban units. Despite lower total housing expenditures, rural units spent almost as much on fuels and utilities as urban units, $1,579 compared to $1,661. These costs accounted for a larger share of rural consumers’ housing costs than of urban consumers’— 31 percent versus 24 percent. The higher share spent by rural consumer units may be partially explained by the fact that renter families frequently do not pay directly for fuels and utilities— payments are included in the rent— and a higher proportion of urban families are renter families. Rural consumers spent a larger share of their total unit expenditures on transportation, 25 percent versus 20 percent spent by urban consumers, due largely to higher expendi tures for vehicles and gasoline. This is as expected, because rural consumers own more vehicles than do urban con sumers— 2.4 per consumer unit compared to 1.8 owned by urban consumers. Also, rural consumers probably drive longer distances than do urban consumers. Rural consumers also spent more per unit on health care than did urban consumers— $1,168 versus $1,011. This ac counted for about 6 percent of rural consumers’ total unit expenditures versus 4 percent of urban consumers’ total. Higher health care expenditures by rural consumers can be attributed to their being older, on average, than urban con sumers. Also, data from the survey show that rural con sumer units more frequently paid the full cost of their health insurance policies while employers more frequently paid the costs of policies for urban consumers. Table 1. Trends in selected characteristics and average annual expenditures of urban and rural consumer units and in the - , 1972-73 to 1985 c p i u Urban Item Rural CPI-U percent change2 1972-73 1985 Percent change 58,948 76,524 29.8 12,272 15,040 22.6 — $12,349 2.8 47.1 $26,241 2.5 46.4 112.5 $10,039 3.1 50.3 $19,708 2.8 48.5 96.3 — 56 44 59 41 — 73 27 76 24 Average annual expenditures................................................................................................ Food ............................................................................................................................. Alcoholic beverages ......................................................................................................... Housing ......................................................................................................................... Shelter ....................................................................................................................... Owned dwellings ....................................................................................................... Rented dwellings....................................................................................... ................ Other lodging............................................................................................................. Fuels and utilities ......................................................................................................... Household operations .................................................................................................... Housefurnishings and equipment..................................................................................... $ 9,420 1,675 89 2,638 1,507 746 651 117 581 138 411 $22,810 3,473 297 7,005 4,083 2,352 1,308 423 1,661 366 895 142.1 107.3 233.7 165.5 170.9 215.3 100.9 261.5 185.9 165.2 117.8 $ 7,760 1,513 49 1,902 890 555 251 86 586 85 341 $19,197 2,996 215 5,064 2,602 1,830 540 232 1,579 242 641 147.4 98.0 338.8 166.2 192.4 229.7 115.1 169.8 169.5 184.7 88.0 133.8 89.5 — — _ 117.2 211.9 218.7 143.8 74.5 Apparel and services ....................................................................................................... Transportation ................................................................................................................ Vehicles ..................................................................................................................... Gasoline and motor oil.................................................................................................... Other vehicle expenses.................................................................................................. Public transportation ..................................................................................................... 732 1,762 709 404 540 110 1,224 4,508 1,969 1,010 1,227 302 67.2 155.8 177.7 150.0 127.2 174.5 529 1,706 746 446 482 31 839 4,794 2,418 1,157 1,127 92 58.6 181.0 224.1 159.4 133.8 196.8 65.3 163.3 167.3 224.7 132.0 179.5 Health care..................................................................................................................... Entertainment.................................................................................................................. Personal care.................................................................................................................. Reading......................................................................................................................... Education....................................................................................................................... Tobacco ......................................................................................................................... Miscellaneous.................................................................................................................. Cash contributions ........................................................................................................... Personal insurance and pensions ....................................................................................... Life and other personal insurance .................................................................................... Retirement, pensions, and Social Security......................................................................... 432 389 106 50 126 131 100 372 818 367 451 1,011 1,122 209 145 323 210 360 857 2,067 270 1,797 134.0 188.4 97.2 190.0 156.3 60.3 260.0 130.4 152.7 -26.4 298.4 448 299 80 40 76 118 74 293 633 283 350 1,168 895 142 120 208 241 217 542 1,755 320 1,435 160.7 199.3 77.5 200.0 173.7 104.2 193.2 85.0 177.3 13.1 310.0 198.4 96.4 125.6 _ 183.4 143.0 — _ Number of consumer units (thousands).................................................................................... Consumer unit characteristics: Income before taxes1 ....................................................................................................... Persons in consumer unit .................................................................................................. Age of reference person .................................................................................................... Housing tenure (percent): Homeowner ................................................................................................................ Renter......................................................................................................................... 11ncome values are derived from “complete income reporters” only. The distinction between complete and incomplete income reporters is based in general on whether the respondent provided values of major sources of income, such as wages and salaries, self-employment income, and Social Security income. 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — — — 1972-73 1985 Percent change — — — — — — - - _ _ _ — 2cpi's f0r some components are not conceptually comparable to the ce data and are not shown, For some components, there may not be a direct correspondence between the ce and cpi, and for those components the change for the most comparable component, or a weighted average change of more than one component, is shown. Table 2. Expenditure shares of urban and rural consumer units, Interview Survey, 1972-73,1980, and 19851 [In percent] U rb a n R u ra l S i g n if ic a n c e Ite m 1 9 7 2 -7 3 1980 1985 1 9 7 2 -7 3 1980 1985 Total expenditures: Average (in dollars)................................................................................................ Percent of total ..................................................................................................... $9,420 100.0 $16,723 100.0 $22,810 100.0 $ 7,760 100.0 $13,663 100.0 $19,197 100.0 Food ..................................................................................................................... Food at home ....................................................................................................... Food away ........................................................................................................... Alcoholic beverages .................................................................................................. Housing .................................................................................................................. Shelter ................................................................................................................ Owned dwellings ................................................................................................ Rented dwellings................................................................................................ Other lodging..................................................................................................... Fuels and utilities .................................................................................................. Household operations............................................................................................ Housefurnishings and equipment.............................................................................. 17.8 (3) (3) .9 28.0 16.0 7.9 6.9 1.2 6.2 1.5 4.4 19.0 14.3 4.7 1.7 29.3 16.3 9.5 5.3 1.5 7.1 1.6 4.3 15.2 10.3 5.0 1.3 30.7 17.9 10.3 5.7 1.9 7.3 1.6 3.9 19.5 (3) (3) .6 24.5 11.5 7.2 3.2 1.1 7.6 1.1 4.4 20.4 16.6 3.8 1.4 25.2 11.8 8.4 2.1 1.2 8.4 1.2 3.2 15.6 11.5 4.2 1.1 26.4 13.6 9.5 2.8 1.2 8.2 1.3 3.3 Apparel and services ................................................................................................ Transportation ......................................................................................................... Vehicles .............................................................................................................. Gasoline and motor oil............................................................................................ Other vehicle expenses........................................................................................... Public transportation .............................................................................................. 7.8 18.7 7.5 4.3 5.7 1.2 5.4 20.4 7.0 7.1 5.1 1.3 5.4 19.8 8.6 4.4 5.4 1.3 6.8 22.0 9.6 5.7 6.2 .4 4.5 24.7 9.4 9.4 5.7 .5 4.4 25.0 12.6 6.0 5.9 .5 Health care.............................................................................................................. Entertainment........................................................................................................... Personal care........................................................................................................... Reading.................................................................................................................. Education................................................................................................................ Tobacco .................................................................................................................. Miscellaneous........................................................................................................... Cash contributions .................................................................................................... Personal insurance and pensions ................................................................................ Life and other personal insurance ............................................................................ Retirement, pensions, and Social Security.................................................................. 4.6 4.1 1.1 .5 1.3 1.4 1.1 3.9 8.7 3.9 4.8 4.4 4.3 .9 .7 1.2 1.0 1.5 2.9 7.2 1.5 5.7 4.4 4.9 .9 .6 1.4 .9 1.6 3.8 9.1 1.2 7.9 5.8 3.9 1.0 .5 1.0 1.5 1.0 3.8 8.2 3.6 4.5 5.2 4.1 .8 .6 .7 1.3 1.5 2.5 7.0 1.8 5.2 6.1 4.7 .7 .6 1.1 1.3 1.1 2.8 9.1 1.7 7.5 1 Expenditure shares are the percent of total expenditures spent on each component. 2 A chi-square test of the significance of the difference between proportions was used to test whether the difference between urban and rural shares in 1985 was significant at the 5-psrcent Changes from 1972-73 to 1985. There was little change between 1972-73 and 1985 in the proportion of the total population that was rural. The average size of the consumer unit and the average age of the consumer unit head de creased slightly for both urban and rural consumers over the period. Increased expenditures for housing and transportation were primarily responsible for the overall increase in spend ing between 1972-73 and 1985 for both urban and rural consumer units. (See table 1.) Expenditures for some other components increased at a faster rate, but housing and trans portation accounted for much of the increase because they were a larger share of consumers’ total spending and they rose faster than the average. Among the housing subcompo nents, expenditures on owned dwellings rose faster than average total expenditures for both urban and rural con sumer units, while expenditures on rented dwellings rose at a slower rate than the total. Among the transportation sub components, expenditures on vehicles increased at a faster rate than total expenditures and somewhat more for rural than for urban units. Gasoline and motor oil expenditures increased at a slightly faster rate than total expenditures for both urban and rural consumers. Gasoline price increases that contributed to sharp increases in expenditures in the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis te s t2 — __ * — * * * * * ★ ★ * * * * * _ — * * * * — * - level. Those components for which the difference was significant are marked by an asterisk. 3 Data not available, 1970’s were offset by subsequent price decreases and by conservation measures. Prices for motor fuel, motor oil, coolant, and other products rose 241 percent between 1973 and 1981 as measured by the c p i , then dropped about 9 percent between 1981 and 1985; the net change from 1973 to 1985 was 211 percent. Also, average fuel consumption per automobile dropped by 24 percent from 1973 to 1984 while the average mileage per gallon for automobiles im proved 28 percent over that period.4 Expenditures on some components, such as vehicles mentioned previously, rose at different rates for urban consumers than they did for rural consumers. Expenditures for alcoholic beverages rose at a faster rate for rural consumer units than for urban units between 1972-73 and 1985. However, this component is historically un derreported so that changes may reflect better reporting rather than actual increases alone. Expenditures for other lodging (which include expenses for vacation homes and lodging while out of town) rose faster for urban than for rural units, as did expenditures for miscellaneous goods and services (which include bank fees, legal and accounting fees, funerals, cemetery lots, union dues, occupational ex penses, and finance charges other than for mortgages and vehicles). 43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Research Summaries Changes in expenditure shares. Changes in the shares of total expenditures spent on different components are used to show how consumers’ expenditure patterns change over time. Increases or decreases in shares show changes in the way consumer units allocate their expenditures on individ ual components relative to the change in total expenditures. Changes in shares can take place gradually over a period of years as consumers alter their expenditures in response to changes in tastes, preferences, or lifestyle, or in response to sudden economic changes. For example, the share of the food dollar spent on food at home has been declining over time and can be attributed in part to the increase in the number of two-earner households. Families have had to adjust their schedules to meet job requirements, which has resulted in multiple-earner families taking more meals out side the home. An example of a more sudden change was the sharp increase in expenditures on gasoline in the 1970’s as a result of the 1973-74 oil embargo that depleted supplies and forced up prices. Data in table 2 show how expenditure shares for urban and rural consumer units changed between 1972-73 and 1985. Shares are also shown for 1980 because, for some components such as food and gasoline, the shares over the entire period from 1972-73 to 1985 were not steadily in creasing or decreasing. Food expenditure shares for urban and rural consumer units each increased about 1 percentage point between 1972-73 and 1980. Subsquently, food ex penditure increases slowed relative to increases in expendi tures for other goods and services, and this is reflected in the drop in food expenditure shares between 1980 and 1985: Food expenditure shares (percent o f total expenditures) Urban Rural Housing expenditure shares increased steadily from 1972—73 to 1985 for both urban and rural consumer units; the share that urban units spent on housing rose about 3 percentage points, from 28 percent in 1972-73 to 31 percent in 1985, while rural units’ share rose about 2 percentage points, from 25 percent to 27 percent over the period. The percentage of units that were homeowners rose about 3 percentage points for both urban and rural consumers. Transportation expenditure shares rose over the period 1972-73 to 1985, but more for rural than for urban con sumer units. Shares rose from 22 to 25 percent for rural units compared to an increase from 19 to 20 percent for their urban counterparts. The sharp increase in gasoline prices contributed to a rise in gasoline expenditure shares from 1972-73 to 1980. However, the subsequent decline in prices, coupled with conservation measures, resulted in gasoline shares dropping to about the same level as in 1972— 73 by 1985. Increases in expenditures on vehicles were responsible for the larger increases in the overall transporta tion component for rural consumers than for urban con sumers. Vehicle shares dropped slightly from 1972-73 to 1980 for both urban and rural consumer units. However, they then rose sharply from 1980 to 1985 and more rapidly for rural than for urban units. Other transportation compo nents accounted for about the same share of total expendi tures in 1985 as in 1972-73. Expenditure shares for retirement, pensions, and Social Security also increased from 1972-73 to 1985. Shares rose about 3 percentage points for both urban and rural consumer units, with much of the increase occurring between 1980 and 1985. Over that period, the annual maximum taxable earnings for Social Security rose from $25,900 to $39,600 and the employee contribution rate rose from 6.13 percent to 7.05 percent.5 1972-73 1980 1985 1972-73 1980 1985 Food, total............. Food at home . . Food away......... 17.8 * * 19.0 14.3 4.7 15.2 10.3 5.0 19.5 * * 20.4 15.6 16.6 11.5 3.8 4.2 *Data not available. Food expenditure shares dropped for both urban and rural consumer units, but more for rural units than urban. In 1972-73, food accounted for a larger share of rural con sumers’ total unit expenditures than of urban consumers’— 20 percent versus 18 percent— but, by 1985, this difference had almost disappeared. The decline in food expenditure shares from 1980 to 1985 was accounted for entirely by the drop in the food at home component, as expenditure shares for food away from home actually increased slightly over the period. As a result, food away from home accounted for an increasing portion of overall food expenditures. The drop in expenditure shares for food at home corresponds to the slower price rise of food at home items relative to the price increases of all goods and services. From 1980 to 1985, food at home prices as measured by the cp i -u rose only 18 percent compared to a 31-percent increase in the AllItems CPI-U. 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T his r epo rt sh o w s that there are differences in the way that urban and rural consumers allocate their expenditure bud gets. Also, the differences in expenditure shares between the two groups are not static, but rather fluctuate in response to socioeconomic changes. As more data become available, analysts will have the opportunity to compare and follow changes in expenditure patterns of the two groups. The data provided by the Consumer Expenditure Survey can be of help in developing economic programs specific to each of the two different population groups. --------- FOOTNOTES--------1 See Kathleen K. Scholl, “Income and Poverty Rates: Farm and Non farm Residence ,” Family Economics Review, no. 1, 1983, pp. 16-19; and Kathleen K. Scholl, “Economic Outlook for Farm Families: 1986,” in U.S. Department of Agriculture, Outlook '86: Proceedings, Agricultural Out look Conference, Dec. 4, 1985, pp. 279-88. 2 Urban, as defined in this survey, includes the rural population within metropolitan areas. 3 A consumer unit comprises: 1) all members of a particular household related by blood, marriage, adoption, or other legal arrangements; 2) a person living alone or sharing a household with others or living as a roomer in a private home or lodging house or in permanent living quarters in a hotel or motel but who is financially independent; or 3) two or more persons living together who pool their income to make joint expenditure decisions. For the purposes o f this report, consumers and consumer units may be used interchangeably. 4 Data on fuel consumption are from Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1987 (Bureau of the Census, 1987), p. 590, table 1032, “Domestic Motor Fuel Consumption, By Type of Vehicle: 1970 to 1984.” Table 1. Average hourly earnings1 in glass container and other pressed or blown glassware manufacturing, selected occupations, June 1986 and May 1980 J u n e 1986 D e p a rtm e n t a n d o c c u p a t io n A Bureau of Labor Statistics study of the pressed or blown glass and glassware industry in June 1986 found that wages in glass container manufacturing averaged $9.89 an hour— a 29-percent increase over the $7.66 average reported in May 1980.1 Average straight-time earnings of workers in other types of glassware plants (for example, those making table ware) rose 48 percent— from $6.40 an hour to $9.47.2 Be cause of smaller pay gains over the 6-year period, glass container workers saw their pay advantage over workers in the other glassware plants narrow from 20 percent in 1980 to 4 percent in 1986.3 Between 1980 and 1986, glass containers have met with strong competition from metal cans and plastic bottles, con tributing to 6 straight years of declining shipments of glass containers.4 The industry has reacted, in part, through smaller wage settlements, closing marginal plants, and downsizing staff at the remaining locations. The Bureau’s 1986 survey estimates that there were 91 glass container plants employing about 39,000 production workers— an av erage plant size of 425 workers; the 1980 survey reported 104 plants with 54,500 production workers— an average plant size of about 525 workers.5 The sharp employment declines have more than offset lowered container output, substantially raising the industry’s productivity (output per hour) to an average annual rate of 4.8 percent between 1980 and 1985 (the latest year available).6 The narrowing pay gap affected a large majority of the production occupations covered in the 1980 and 1986 sur veys. Table 1 presents average hourly earnings of surveyed jobs common to both industries. It shows that by 1986, little or no pay advantage was reported in glass container firms for batch mixers, mold polishers, final inspectors, selectors, pipefitters, assemblers, janitors, and material handling la borers. In fact, furnace operators had an 8-percent disadvan tage relative to the same occupation in other glassware fac tories, whereas they had an 11-percent advantage in 1980. In contrast, forming-machine upkeepers and watchmen, re spectively, the highest and lowest paying jobs studied for glass container workers, maintained a substantial pay ad https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis con t a in e r s 5 Data are from Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1987 , p. 348, table 586, “Social Security ( o a s d h i ) — Contribution Rates: 1970 to 1990.” Glass container wage gains trail those in other glassware plants G la s s All production workers2 ......... $ 9.89 Batch house and furnaces: Batch mixers . . . . Batch-and-furnace operators ....... Cullet handlers ... Furnace operators 9.21 10.12 9.16 9.70 12.35 O th e r M ay 1980 Con Con t a in e r s t a in e r s as g la s s p e rc e n t w a re o f o th e r in d u s t r y g la s s con ta in e r s O th e r as g la s s p e rc e n t w a re o f o th e r in d u s t r y g la s s w a re w a re a v e ra g e a v e ra g e 104 $ 7.66 9.11 101 7.25 6.34 114 8.68 8.60 10.53 117 107 92 7.46 7.09 7.54 6.19 6.05 6.79 121 117 111 10.79 114 10.02 8.04 125 13.43 9.90 9.85 9.86 136 100 10.85 7.19 7.85 5.83 138 123 Annealing: Lehr tenders....... 9.79 8.71 112 7.33 6.24 117 Decorating: Decorating-machine operators ....... 9.64 8.43 114 7.25 5.83 124 Mold shop: Mold makers, metal ............ 12.64 12.08 105 9.93 8.95 111 Selecting and inspecting: Inspectors, final .. Selectors ........... 9.19 8.75 9.08 8.80 101 99 7.10 6.74 6.15 5.78 115 117 Maintenance: Electricians......... Machinists ......... Mechanics ......... Pipefitters........... 12.50 12.69 12.40 11.90 11.72 12.09 11.55 11.79 107 105 107 101 9.93 10.06 9.90 9.52 8.18 8.62 8.12 8.17 121 117 122 117 8.94 8.74 8.90 8.63 100 101 6.87 6.58 5.86 5.90 117 112 9.14 9.49 8.50 9.07 9.03 6.25 101 105 136 6.99 7.22 6.76 5.62 6.23 5.25 124 116 129 Machine forming: Forming-machine operators ....... Forming-machine upkeepers....... Mold polishers ... Miscellaneous: Assemblers, carton Janitors ............ Laborers, material handling ......... Power truckers ... Watchmen ......... $ 9.47 G la s s $ 6.40 120 1Earnings data exclude premium pay for overtime and for work on weekends, holidays, and late shifts. Incentive payments, such as those resulting from piecework or production bonus systems, and cost-of-living pay increases (but not bonuses) were included as part of the work ers’ regular pay. Excluded are performance bonuses and lump-sum payments, as well as profit-sharing payments, attendance bonuses, Christmas or yearend bonuses, and other non production bonuses. 2 Includes data for workers in occupations in addition to those shown separately. vantage (36 percent) over the 6-year period. In addition to similar pay levels, the glassware industries also shared a broad mix of skill requirements which pro vided for substantial differences in pay between the highest and lowest paid occupational groups studied. For example, the top earners in glass container firms (forming-machine upkeepers at $13.43 an hour) averaged 58 percent more than the lowest paid (watchmen at $8.50 an hour). In other glass ware plants, the corresponding differential was even 45 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Research Summaries greater— a 93-percent spread between hourly pay levels for maintenance machinists ($12.09) and watchmen ($6.25). About nine-tenths of the workers in the two industries were paid time rates, usually under formal systems provid ing single rates for specified occupations. Forming-machine operators and upkeepers, two exceptions, were commonly paid on an incentive basis; in glass containers, they typically averaged 15 to 20 percent more in hourly earnings than their time-rated counterparts. Nearly all establishments in the survey operated under labor-management contracts covering all or a majority of their production workers. The American Flint Glass Work ers Union of North America ( a f l -c io ) usually represented workers in the mold-making departments in both industries and other production workers in the pressed or blown glass ware (except containers) industry. The Glass, Pottery, Plas tics, and Allied Workers International Union typically had contracts covering production workers outside the mold making departments of glass container plants. Bargaining is generally conducted on a company-by-company basis. Virtually all establishments in the 1986 survey provided paid holidays, usually 12 per year, and paid vacations, typ ically 1 to 6 weeks per year depending on years of service. Other widespread provisions for paid time off included sick ness and accident insurance or sick leave, or both; funeral leave; and jury-duty leave. Retirement pension plans and various insurance plans— including life, accidental death and dismemberment, hospitalization, surgical, basic and major medical, and dental coverage— also were available to a large majority of the workers. Employers typically paid the entire cost of these benefits. For each of the two industries, separate reports for regions of industry concentration are available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics or any of its regional offices. A comprehen 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis sive report, Industry Wage Survey: Pressed or Blown Glass and Glassware, June 1986, Bulletin 2286, may be pur chased from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Publication Sales Center, p.o. Box 2145, Chicago, il 60690, or the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. The bulletin provides addi tional information on occupational pay, by region and by size of establishment, and on the incidence of employee benefits, nationwide and by region. ---------- FOOTNOTES---------1 For an account of the 1980 study, see “Container plant workers win largest gains in glassware manufacturing,” Monthly Labor Review , De cember 1981, pp. 5 4-55. Earnings data exclude premium pay for overtime and for work on week ends, holidays, and late shifts. Incentive payments, such as those resulting from piecework or production bonus systems, and cost-of-living pay in creases (but not bonuses) were included as part of the workers’ regular pay. Excluded are performance bonuses and lump-sum payments of the type negotiated in the auto and aerospace industries, as well as profit-sharing payments, attendance bonuses, Christmas or yearend bonuses, and other nonproduction bonuses. 2 The wage and salary component of the Bureau’s Employment Cost Index for durable goods manufacturing rose 40 percent between the second quarter of 1980 and June 1986. 3 The gap narrowed in part because container employees gave up a 31-cent-per-hour scheduled increase in 1985 when their employers were experiencing financial problems. Still, even if one counts the 31 cents which was later restored by several companies in August 1986, the gap was less than half that reported in 1980. 4 For a discussion of the rigid containers industries, see 1987 U.S. Industrial Outlook (International Trade Administration, 1987), ch. 6 -1 through 6 -6 . 5 A minimum size for survey establishments was 100 workers in both the 1980 and 1986 studies. 6 See Productivity Measures for Selected Industries, 1958-85 , Bulletin 2277 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1987), p. 139. Major Agreements Expiring Next Month T h is list o f se lected co llectiv e b a rg a in in g ag reem en ts ex p irin g in A p ril is b ased on in form ation co llected by the B u r e a u ’s O ffice o f C o m p en sa tio n an d W ork in g C on d itio n s. T h e list in clu d es a g reem en ts c o v erin g 1 ,0 0 0 w o rk ers o r m o re. P riv a te in d u stry is arran ged in o rd er o f S tan d ard In d u stria l C la ssific a tio n . I n d u str y o r a c tiv ity E m p lo y e r a n d lo c a tio n N u m b er o f w ork ers L a b o r o r g a n iz a tio n 1 P r iv a te C o n s tr u c t io n .............................................. F o o d p ro d u c ts C h e m ic a ls ......................................... ................................................. R u b b e r ......................................................... B u ild e rs A sso c ia tio n o f M is so u ri (K a n sa s C ity , MO) .................................... L a b o r e r s ........................................................ 4 ,0 0 0 S o u th e rn Illin o is B u ild e rs A sso c ia tio n (Illin o is) .............................................. L a b o r e r s ........................................................ 1 ,9 0 0 W e st V irg in ia C o n tra c to rs B a rg a in in g A sso c ia tio n (W e st V irg in ia ) S te e lw o rk e rs .............................................. 2 ,0 0 0 A g rip a c , In c. ( O r e g o n ) ................................................................................................. T e a m s t e r s ...................................................... 3 ,5 0 0 R o c k w e ll In te rn a tio n a l C o r p ., H a n fo rd O p e ra tio n s (R ic h la n d , w a ) H an fo rd M eta l T ra d e s C o u n c i l .......... 2 ,0 0 0 F ire sto n e T ire an d R u b b e r C o . (In te rsta te ) R u b b e r W o rk e rs ...................................... 8 ,5 0 0 1 ,200 ........................................................ F ire s to n e T ire an d R u b b e r C o . (O k la h o m a C ity , ok) .................................... R u b b e r W o rk e rs ...................................... B . F . G o o d ric h C o . (In te rsta te ) ................................................................................ R u b b e r W o rk e rs ...................................... G o o d y e a r T ire an d R u b b e r C o . ( I n t e r s t a t e ) ........................................................ R u b b e r W o rk e rs ...................................... U n iro y a l, In c. ( I n t e r s t a t e ) ............................................................................................ R u b b e r W o rk e rs ...................................... 4 ,2 0 0 ................................. U n ite d A irlin e s (In te rsta te ) .......................................................................................... A ir L in e P ilo ts A s s o c i a ti o n .................. 4 ,9 0 0 C o m m u n ic a tio n ....................................... G e n e ra l T e le p h o n e C o . o f In d ia n a ( I n d i a n a ) ...................................................... C o m m u n ic a tio n s W o r k e r s ..................... 1 ,3 0 0 U tilitie s C in c in n a ti G a s a n d E le c tric C o . ( O h i o ) ................................................................ E le c tric a l W o rk e rs ( ib e w ) ..................... 1 ,9 0 0 N o rth e rn M in n e s o ta a n d N o rth e rn W isc o n sin fo o d m e rc h a n ts (M in n e s o ta a n d W isc o n sin ) F o o d an d C o m m e rc ia l W o rk e rs .... 1 ,3 0 0 ........................................................... F o o d a n d C o m m e rc ia l W o rk e rs .... 4 ,0 0 0 ........................................................................ F o o d a n d C o m m e rc ia l W o rk e rs .... 1 ,000 ................................. 3 0 ,0 0 0 A ir tra n sp o rta tio n ...................................................... R e ta il tra d e .............................................. G ia n t E a g le F o o d S to re s (P ittsb u rg h , p a ) M a g ru d e rs F o o d S to re s (In te rsta te ) R e a l e s ta te ................................................. 1 Affiliated with AFL-Cio https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis R e a lty A d v is o ry B o a rd o n L a b o r R e la tio n s, a p a rtm e n t a g re e m e n t (N ew Y o rk , n y ) S erv ic e E m p lo y e e s 7 ,2 0 0 1 6 ,0 0 0 except where noted as independent (Ind.). 47 Developments in Industrial Relations New contract for gas and electric workers the new approach, the unions will hold joint meetings to formulate their bargaining goals, which presumably will result in more-or-less identical contract terms for the 155,000 employees represented by the Communications Workers, and the 41,000 represented by the Electrical Workers. The move toward common bargaining would contrast with that in 1986 when the Electrical Workers settled peace fully with a t &t , but the Communications Workers’ settle ment was preceded by a work stoppage. Contract terms were, however, similar for both units. About 13,000 operations and maintenance employees of Pacific Gas and Electric Co. in Northern California were covered by a 3-year agreement negotiated by Local 1245 of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers. Bar gaining was continuing for 4,000 clerical employees repre sented by the same union. Another union, the Engineers and Scientists of California (an affiliate of the Marine Engi neers), settled for 1,700 engineers, designers, and drafting employees. The Electrical Workers’ contract provided for 2.75percent pay increases in January of 1988 and 1989, and for reopening wage bargaining in 1990. In moves to control labor costs, the parties agreed to a 12.5-percent cut in starting pay rates for new employees, who will, however, continue to progress to the same top rates as other employees; to suspend certain work rules when the company is attempting to develop more efficient operating methods; and to study ways to broaden job duties to enable work crews to perform both gas and electric work. The accord for the engineers, designers, and drafting employees provided for two 2.75-percent specified pay in creases. Other terms included a reopening on wages and pensions in the third year; termination of an automatic costof-living pay adjustment provision (the Electrical Workers did not have such a provision); revision of the Blue Cross plan to include a substance abuse program and a requirement that employees use designated preferred organizations to be eligible for full payment of charges (employees using other service providers will be covered at 90 percent of the cost of usual, customary, and necessary care); and formation of committees to study cross-training of gas and electric per sonnel and ways to increase employee job satisfaction and productivity. At American Airlines, members of the Association of Professional Flight Attendants were covered by a 5-year contract that begins to merge the two-tiered pay scale. Under the system, “B” scale employees hired in 1983 or later were paid at about half the rate of “A” scale employees hired earlier. Reportedly, about half of the 12,000 flight attendants were on the B scale, earning an average of $12,000 a year, compared with $25,000 to $27,000 to those on the A scale. Under the settlement, the pay scale for first-year em ployees was raised 15.7 percent, and B scale employees will move to the A scale in their eighth year of service. This shift will result in pay increases up to 45.8 percent for some employees over the contract term. Pay rates were not changed for A scale employees, but they will receive $600 lump-sum payments in each contract year. The settlement, which averted a planned 2-day work stop page by the attendants, also provided for increased normal pensions and for a new early retirement option for attendants age 45 to 55 with 20 years’ service; and for changes in pay rules for nonflight duty hours. Unions to coordinate 1989 bargaining with Graphics contract calls for rehiring strikers a t &t The first move toward the 1989 round of bargaining in telephone communications occurred when the Communica tions Workers and the International Brotherhood of Electri cal Workers agreed to coordinate their national bargaining with American Telephone and Telegraph Co. ( a t &t ). Under “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division o f Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Two-tier pay to merge for flight attendants One of the longest union-management disputes in U.S. history ended with a settlement between Areata Graphics— formerly the Kingsport Press— and the Aluminum, Brick and Glass Workers. The dispute began in 1963, when the Kingsport Press and five printing unions reached a bargain ing impasse, leading to a work stoppage, the hiring of re placement workers, and the ouster of the unions as bargain ing representatives in a 1967 election. (See Monthly Labor Review, October 1987, p. 49.) Key issues in the dispute were wages, vacations, equipment staffing, seniority, and subcontracting work to other companies. Under the settlement, Areata agreed to rehire 80 percent of the terminated employees as permanent workers or as extras to be utilized during peak production periods. Other terms of the 3-year contract included— • Lump-sum payments of $600 in the first year and $500 in the second year, and 2.5-percent pay increases in the second and third years. • Company-financed health, life, and dental insurance. • Sickness and accident benefits up to $190 a week for up to 26 weeks. • A defined benefit pension plan, with participants re ceiving past service credits. • Ten paid holidays. • A reduction in the paid-vacation requirement to 1,400 hours worked in a year. • A 10-cent-an-hour increase in the shift differentials. Pineapple workers get compensation increase In Hawaii, a settlement between pineapple producers and Local 142 of the Longshoremen’s and Warehousemen’s union provided for three annual 1.5-percent pay increases and quarterly lump-sum payments. Each lump-sum payment will equal 1.5 percent of employee earnings, including over time and premium pay, during the preceding 3 months. Prior to the settlement, pay rates ranged from $7.42 to $10.91 an hour. Benefit terms for the 4,000 employees included a $300 increase in the annual cap on dental benefits for a family and a $1 increase in the basic pension rate, to $9.50 a month for each year of credited service to 35 years. As before, each year of service beyond 35 years is rewarded at 50 percent of the basic monthly pension rate. The companies involved in the settlement were Dole C o., Del Monte Corp., and Maui Land and Pineapple Co. Columbus gives police officers wage increase In Columbus, o h , 1,250 police officers were covered by a 3-year contract that called for wage increases, and for changes in other provisions intended to control labor costs. The wage increases are 4.5 percent at the beginning of the second and third contract years. Under the prior contract, pay ranged from $16,848 for new officers to $27,788 after 2\ years’ service. After the third-year increase in the new contract, pay will range from $19,408 for new officers to $32,014 after years’ service. In addition to the lengthening of the pay progression schedule, the union agreed that officers who report for a court case will now receive only 1 hour’s pay if the case is dismissed or continued. As before, they will receive 3 hours’ pay if the case is tried. In addition to an expected $600,000 annual cost savings https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis from the new court appearance rules, city officials expect $300,000 annual savings from new health care costcontainment rules, such as higher deductibles and a secondopinion requirement before elective surgery. The settlement also called for increased longevity pay and uniform al lowances. The city agreed to hire 105 officers a year, a net gain of 70 jobs because about 35 jobs must be filled each year due to attrition. New Orleans teachers, related workers, settle In Louisiana, the Orleans Parish School Board and the United Teachers of New Orleans negotiated a 3-year con tract for 6,000 teachers, social workers, counselors, and clerical workers that provided no significant changes in wages or benefits. Union officials said they reluctantly ac cepted the terms because tax revenue was not available to finance increases in compensation, but they would work to get citizen approval of a property tax increase in New Or leans to finance future improvements. In September 1986, voters had rejected a property tax increase, influenced, to some extent, by the State’s projected $300 million budget deficit which stemmed, in part, from cutbacks in petroleum output. In mid-1986, the University of New Orleans reported that the average teacher salary in New Orleans was between $15,000 and $17,000 a year. Concessions allow steel plant to modernize Armco Inc. began a $100 million modernization of its steel slab casting plant in Ashland, k y , after the Steelwork ers agreed to a cut in compensation totaling $22.5 million over 3 years. The cuts, approved by the members of local union 1865 in July, were approved by the Steelworkers’ national leaders in November, after Armco agreed to repay the cuts plus 7 percent interest in four installments. The first installment will be made when shipments of steel resulting from the improved process total one million tons. The temporary aid from the 3,200 employees is com posed of a 69-cent-an-hour cut in wages, which had aver aged $11.05; elimination of two paid holidays; and a cut to double-time pay, from double-time and one-half, for work ing holidays. Local union president John Blankenship said the financial aid to Armco was considered an investment in the future of the plant, rather than a concession. He said the plant had lost money during 34 of the last 36 months and that the hourly paid work force would have been cut to 800 employees if the union had not agreed to aid in the modernization. Stock workers improve early retirement benefits Adoption of improvements in early retirement benefits ended a bargaining dispute between Local 153 of the Office and Professional Employees and the New York Stock Ex change and the Securities Industry Automation Corp., 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Developments in Industrial Relations which is partly owned by the Exchange and operates its computer system. The settlement came a few days after the union had ended a 3-day work stoppage and resumed nego tiations. The stoppage was the first at the exchange in 40 years. Under the new pension provisions, employees retiring at age 55 will receive 86 percent of the normal benefit rate, compared with 75 percent under the agreement that expired on October 31. A union official said that the change was vital to employees because the stock exchange’s trading floor is a “madhouse, and we have people who have been working there 25 to 30 years. They’re burned out, but until now they couldn’t affort to retire.” The 3-year accord, covering 1,400 employees, also pro vides for 5-percent salary increases in each year. New York issues guidelines for v d t operators Employee concerns over possible adverse physical effects from operating video display terminals ( vdt ) were ad dressed in a new policy negotiated by the State of New York and the Civil Service Employees Association, a unit of the State, County and Municipal Employees. The new policy, which guides State agencies in improving working condi tions, calls for— • work-station furniture and layout to meet the require ments of individual employees; • reduced noise and greater control of temperature and humidity; • special lighting and use of hoods, screens, and proper window shades to reduce glare and eyestrain; • breaks and job shifts for vdt operators; and Master contract at Blue Cross-Blue Shield • training for em p lo y ees and supervisors on ergonom ic design and safe use o f v d t ’s . A 3-month work stoppage involving Blue Cross-Blue Shield operations in various Michigan locations ended when four United Auto Workers local unions agreed to a 3-year master contract. In previous years, the locals had negotiated separate but essentially identical contracts for the 4,000 clerical employees. The settlement provided for an immediate $1,500 lump sum payment and a 3-percent pay increase in the second year and a 4-percent increase in the final year. All workers meeting job performance requirements will also receive 3percent merit pay increases in each year. The accord also put all workers under a single seniority system; allowed workers to file grievances over classifica tion of their jobs; increased health benefit options; expanded the counseling program to cover more than substance abuse; and expanded employee training in new technology. The company, which continued to operate during the stoppage by assigning 2,000 supervisors and technicians to lengthened work schedules, also agreed to rehire workers it had fired during the stoppage. The new policy declares that “there is presently no con clusive scientific data to support” the union’s demand for protective equipment and devices. The policy also does not require the State to finance eye examinations and glasses for vdt operators. Elsewhere, the World Health Organization reported that visual discomfort is common among vdt operators, but there is no evidence of permanent vision impairment. To reduce the discomfort from vdt use, the report recommends that employers give extra attention to the design of equip ment, workplace, work environment, and work practices. According to the report, musculoskeletal discomfort is common among vdt operators, but further research is nec essary to determine if this is an indicator or precursor of injury. The report, prepared by Ulf Ove Bergqvist and Bergt Knave of the Swedish National Board of Occupational Health and Safety, is based on the 1985 findings of a Work ing Group on v d t ’s sponsored by the World Health Organi zation. 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Book Reviews Two approaches to labor theory Economics o f Labor in Industrial Society. Edited by Clark Kerr and Paul D. Staudohar. San Francisco, c a , Jossey-Bass, Inc., Publishers, 1986. 420 pp. $29.95. Industrial Relations in a New Age: Economic, Social, and Managerial Perspectives. Edited by Clark Kerr and Paul D. Staudohar. San Francisco, CA, Jossey-Bass, Inc., Publishers, 1986. 417 pp. $29.95. Where conflicting interpretations of facts must be exam ined, two types of reading collections are in use. First are collections of chapters authored by individual experts who summarize the views of others. Second are those which allow the proponents of contrasting views to speak for them selves by presenting material from original sources. Com mentaries and analysis are often provided in both types. The quality of each type can vary, of course, depending on the objectivity of the editors and the breadth of their experience and scholarship. The volumes reviewed here demonstrate that the second type is preferable. Professors Clark Kerr and Paul D. Staudohar have extracted the essen tial meaning of complex concepts in a fashion permitting challenge and encouraging further study. In these two volumes, readers may enjoy the product of two generations of expertise in labor economics and indus trial relations. Both editors are undoubtedly acquainted with the entire scope of writings in, for example, the economic role of unions. But it is this splendid collaboration which guarantees that the reader will benefit from interpretations as varied as those of Henry Simons or Richard B. Freeman and James L. Medoff. Two other features of these volumes enhance their value as texts for classroom use: each chapter closes with ques tions for discussion and additional relevant readings for students wishing to explore the subject further. The economics text begins with segments devoted to eco nomic history and the evolution from serfdom to the factory system. There is a discussion of the Wisconsin school’s view of American exceptionalism as well as some of the revisionist interpretations of American labor history. The authors discuss a series of economic issues which should be read by those interested in modem labormanagement relations: the nature and role of the labor force and of management; productivity problems; the labor mar ket; income, wages, and stagflation; the welfare state; and industrial policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Two final chapters serve as a more direct introduction to industrial relations: one on the economic role of unions and the other on alternative research perspectives. It is here that Kerr urges labor economists to concentrate their research on observation and understanding, rather than on that which can be quantified: Much of the econometric work . . . has deteriorated into a study of trivia: into more and more analyses of smaller bits and pieces of data . . . little concern is paid to expanding the pools of information and little concern is expressed for the comparative intellectual value of the results. This can lead, if carried too far and too long, to creeping sterility. The companion volume, Industrial Relations in a New A g e, has a similar format and is just as successful in its coverage of this more modem field. It should be pointed out that this volume is not restricted to the nuts and bolts of collective bargaining. Rather, it focuses on the different perspectives of industrial relations and extends to the histor ical, philosophical, political, and sociological elements which go into the practice of industrial relations. The collection begins by leading us from the basic matter dealt with in the first volume, to the newer area of industrial relations, with a historical overview of the meaning of work, beginning with Marx and Engels and carefully tracing the contributions of the sociologists. This is followed by an analysis of changes taking place in the work force. Before embarking on the discussion of collective bargain ing, the editors present the insights of a variety of experts on job satisfaction and dissatisfaction; quality of worklife; the various forms of workers’ participation in management; and the public policies which establish the rules of the game. The three chapters on collective bargaining, industrial conflict, and labor political action are among the best in these volumes. However, placing them between two sepa rate chapters on comparative industrial relations systems may confuse the reader, especially because Great Britain, Japan, and West Germany are each covered in both compar ative treatments. The final two chapters present the entire range of opinion on the forces determining industrial societies in general as well as the essential nature of our own industrial relations system. The latter contains Kerr’s analysis of the various forms of “convergence” which can be envisaged for future industrial societies. Each will determine its own industrial relations system, says Kerr, introducing the reader to his thoughtful closing contribution to this excellent com pendium. Then, after describing the contrasting ideological 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Book Reviews goals of East and West, he points to forces for convergence and diversity in these goals. He concludes: Fuss, Melvyn A., H eteroskedasticity-C onsistent Estimation o f the . . . that the forces for convergence generally tend to become stronger and . . . those for continuing diversity become weaker. . . . But there is no prospective solution to the conflict of irreconcilable sets of goals, each with its strong adherents. This, in my opinion, is the greatest barrier to full conver gence. . . . Additionally, full convergence is greatly im peded by the ability of elites to perpetuate themselves and to continue in power. Inc., 1987, 10 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2401.) $2, paper. A fitting close to a set of volumes designed to give readers the whole gamut of views on complex matters and to mo tivate them to thoughtful analysis before reaching firm conclusions. —Morris Weisz International Labor Specialist Bethesda, md V ariance-Covariance M atrix fo r the Alm ost Ideal D em and Sys tem. Cambridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Gibson, Campbell, “The Population in Large Urban Concentra tions in the United States, 1790-1980: A Delineation Using Highly Urbanized Counties,” D e m ograph y , November 1987, pp. 601-14. Haub, Carl, U nderstanding Population P rojections. Washington, Population Reference Bureau, Inc., 1987, 44 pp. (Population Bulletin, Vol. 42, No. 4.) International Labour Office, Statistical Sources and M ethods: Vol. 2, Em ploym ent, W ages and Hours o f Work (E stablishm ent Sur veys). Geneva, International Labour Office, 1987, 241 pp. Available in the United States from the Washington branch of ILO. O ’Hare, William P., “How to Evaluate Population Estimates,” Am erican D em o g ra p h ics , January 1988, pp. 50-52. Raymondo, James C., “ Who’s On First? More than Half of the Fastest Growing Counties in the Country Are In Texas, Florida, and Georgia,” Am erican D em o g ra p h ics , November 1987, be ginning on p. 38. Agriculture and natural resources Rosen, Sherwin, Transactions C osts and Internal L abor M arkets. Cambridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1987, 26 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2407.) $2, paper. Drabenstott, Mark and Alan Barkema, “U.S. Agriculture on the Mend,” Econom ic R e view , Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, December 1987, pp. 28-41. Ross, Christine, Sheldon Danziger, Eugene Smolensky, “The Level and Trend of Poverty in the United States, 1939-1979,” D e m o g ra p h y , November 1987, pp. 587-600. Farmers and Agricultural Policies: The Cost of OverSupply,” The O E C D O b server, August-September 1987, pp. 4 9. Schmidt, Peter and Ann Dryden Witte, Predicting Crim inal R e cidivism Using “Split Population” Survival Time M odels. Cam bridge, m a , National Bureau o f Economic Research, Inc., 1987, 27 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2445.) $2, paper. Publications received “OECD Economic and social statistics ment and the M odern Union: A ssessing the Link Between P re m arital C ohabitation and Subsequent M arital Stability. Cam Schroeder, Esther C., “Testing Local Level Labor Force and Un employment Projections,” D e m o g ra p h y , November 1987, pp. 649-61. bridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research Inc., 1987. (Working Paper Series, 2416.) $2, paper. Schwartz, Joe, “Hispanics in the Eighties,” Am erican D em ograph i c s , January 1988, pp. 42-45. Blackburn, McKinley L. and David E. Bloom, “Regional Roulette,” Am erican D em o g ra p h ics , January 1988, pp. 32-36. The Japan Institute of Labour, Japanese Working Life Profile: Statistical A spects. Tokyo, Japan, 1987, 80 pp. Bennett, Neil G., Ann Klimas Blanc, David E. Bloom, Com m it Blank, Rebecca M., D isaggregating the Effect o f the Business C ycle on the D istribution o f Income. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1987, 29 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2397.) $2, paper. Cockbum, Iain and Zvi Griliches, Industry Effects and A ppropri ability M easures in the Stock M arket’s Valuation o f R& D and P atents. Cambridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Re Economic growth and development Cacy, J. A. and Richard Roberts, “The U.S. Economy in 1987 and 1988, ” Econom ic R e view , Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, December 1987, pp. 3-15. search, Inc., 1987, 30 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2465.) $2, paper. Can Econom ic P olicy M anage the Econom y? Tenth A nniversary C onvocation o f the Frank M. Engle Lecture in Econom ic Secu rity held M ay 6, 1 9 8 7 , Bryn Mawr, pa The American College, Cotton, Jeremiah, “Discrimination and Favoritism in the U.S. Labor Market: The Cost to a Wage Earner of Being Female and Black and the Benefit of Being Male and White,” Am erican Journal o f E conom ics and S o c io lo g y , January 1988, pp. 15-28. Gaude, J. and others, “Rural Development and Labour-Intensive Schemes: Impact Studies of Some Pilot Programs,” Interna tional L abour R e v ie w , July-August 1987, pp. 423-46. Dickens, William T. and Kevin Lang, A G oodness o f F it Test o f D ual L abor M arket Theory. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1987, 9 pp. (Working Paper Series, 2350.) $2, paper. Edmondson, Brad, “Inside the Empty Nest,” Am erican D em o gra p h ics, November 1987, pp. 24-29. 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1987, 57 pp. Ofer, Gur, “Soviet Economic Growth: 1928-1985,” Journal o f E conom ic L itera tu re , December 1987, pp. 1767-1833. Smith, Tim R., Mark Drabenstott, Lynn Gibson, “The Role of Universities In Economic Development,” Econom ic R eview , Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, November 1987, pp. 3-21. Q ©, Current Labor Statistics S c h e d u le o f r e le a s e d a te s fo r m a jo r N o te s o n C u r r e n t L a b o r S ta tis tic s bls s ta tis tic a l s e r ie s ......................................................................................................54 ................................................................................................................................................................ 55 C o m p a r a tiv e in d ic a to r s 1. Labor market indicators................................................................................................................................................................................................. 64 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, andproductivity .......................................................................................... 65 3. Alternative measures o f wage and compensation changes ......................................................................................................................................65 L a b o r fo r c e d a ta 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. Employment status of the total population, data seasonally ad ju sted ................................................................................................................. Employment status of the civilian population, data seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................... Selected employment indicators, data seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................................................... Selected unemployment indicators, data seasonally adjusted ............................................................................................................................... Unemployment rates by sex and age, data seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................................... Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, data seasonally a d ju sted ................................................................................................... Duration o f unemployment, data seasonally adjusted ............................................................................................................................................ Unemployment rates of civilian workers, by State ................................................................................................................................................. Employment of workers by State ............................................................................................................................................................................... Employment of workers by industry, data seasonally adjusted....................................... Average weekly hours by industry, data seasonally adjusted .............................................................................................................................. Average hourly ¿amings by industry ......................................................................................................................................................................... Average weekly earnings by industry......................................................................................................................................................................... Hourly Earnings Index by industry............................................................................................................................................................................. Indexes of diffusion: proportion of industries in which employment increased, seasonally adjusted ...................................................... Annual data: Employment status of the noninstitutional population ........................................................................................................ Annual data: Employment levels by industry .......................................................................................................................................................... Annual data: Average hours and earnings levels by industry.............................................................................................................................. 66 67 68 69 70 70 70 71 71 72 73 74 75 75 76 76 76 77 L a b o r c o m p e n s a tio n a n d c o lle c tiv e b a r g a in in g d a ta 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. Employment Cost Index, compensation, by occupation and industry group .................................................................................................. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry g r o u p .................................................................. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area s i z e .............................................................. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, situations covering 1,000 workers or more .............................................................................................................................................................. Average specified compensation and wage adjustments, bargaining situationscovering 1,000 workers or m o r e ................................... Average effective wage adjustments, bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more ...................................................................... Specified compensation and wage adjustments, State and local government bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more .............................................................................................................................................................. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more ................................................................................................................................................ 78 79 80 81 81 82 82 82 P r ic e d a ta 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. Consumer Price Index: U .S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity and service g ro u p s................................................ Consumer Price Index: U .S. city average and local data, all ite m s.................................................................................................................... Annual data: Consumer Price Index, all items and major groups ..................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes by stage of processing ....................................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................................................... Annual data: Producer Price Indexes by stage of p ro cessin g ............................................................................................................................... U .S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade C lassification........................................................................................................ U .S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification........................................................................................................ U .S. export price indexes by end-use category ........................................................................................................................................................ U .S. import price indexes by end-use c a teg o ry ........................................................................................................................................................ U .S. export price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification .......................................................................................................................... U.S. import price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification ........................................................................................................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 86 87 gg g9 g9 90 91 92 92 92 93 53 MONTHLY LABOR March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics Contents— Continued Productivity data 42. Indexes o f productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, data seasonally adjusted ...................... 93 43. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity ................................................................................................. 94 44. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and p r ic e s............................................................................................... 95 International comparisons 45. Unemployment rates in nine countries, data seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................................................ 46. Annual data: Employment status of civilian working-age population, ten countries ................................................................................. 47. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, twelve countries ............................. 95 95 97 Injury and illness data 48. Annual data: Occupational injury and illness incidence r a te s.............................................................................................................................. Schedule of release dates for b l s 98 statistical series R e le a s e P e r io d R e le a s e P e r io d R e le a s e P e r io d MLR t a b le d a te c o v e re d d a te c o v e re d d a te c o v e re d num ber May 2 1st quarter Nonfinancial corporations.................. March 3 4th quarter Employment situation ......................... March 4 February April 1 May 6 April Producer Price Index.......................... March 11 February April 15 March May 13 April 2:33-35 Consumer Price Index......................... March 23 February April 20 March May 20 April 2; 30-32 Real earnings................................... March 23 February May 20 April 14-17 S e r ie s Productivity and costs: Nonfarm business and manufacturing .. 2; 42-44 2: 42-44 March 1; 4-21 April 20 March Major collective bargaining settlements .................................... April 26 1st quarter 3; 25-28 Employment Cost Index ..................... April 26 1st quarter 1-3; 22-24 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes.................................. April 28 1st quarter 36-41 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section o f the Review presents the principal statistical series collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: series on labor force, employment, unemployment, collective bargaining settlements, consumer, producer, and international prices, productivity, international comparisons, and injury and illness statistics. In the notes that follow, the data in each group o f tables are briefly described, key definitions are given, notes on the data are set forth, and sources of additional information are cited. Adjustments for price changes. Some data— such as the Hourly Earnings Index in table 17— are adjusted to eliminate the effect o f changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate o f $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1977 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1977 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The $2 (or any other resulting values) are described as “real,” “constant,” or “1977” dollars. General notes Additional information The following notes apply to several tables in this section: Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect on the data of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might prevent short-term evaluation of the statistical series. Tables containing data that have been adjusted are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” (All other data are not seasonally adjusted.) Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are computed each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for several preceding years. (Season ally adjusted data appear in tables 1 -3 , 4 -1 0 , 13, 14, 17, and 18.) Begin ning in January 1980, the bls introduced two major modifications in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are seasonally adjusted with a procedure called x -n arima, which was devel oped at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard x-n method previously used by bls . A detailed description of the procedure appears in The x -n a r im a Seasonal Adjustment Method by Estela Bee Dagum (Statis tics Canada, Catalogue No. 12-564E, February 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at midyear for the July-December period. However, revisions of historical data con tinue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 1 and 4 -1 0 were revised in the February 1988 issue of the Review, to reflect experience through 1987. Annual revisions of the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 13, 14, and 18 were made in the July 1987 Review using the x - n arima seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in table 42 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items cpi. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau in a variety of sources. News releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule preceding these general notes. More information about labor force, employment, and unemployment data and the household and establishment surveys underlying the data are available in Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. More data from the household survey are published in the two-volume data book— Labor Force Statistics Derived From the Current Population Sur vey, Bulletin 2096. More data from the establishment survey appear in two data books— Employment, Hours, and Earnings, United States, and Em ployment, Hours, and Earnings, States and Areas, and the annual supple ments to these data books. More detailed information on employee com pensation and collective bargaining settlements is published in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. More detailed data on consumer and producer prices are published in the monthly periodicals, The c p i Detailed Report, and Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Detailed data on all of the series in this section are provided in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, which is published biennally by the Bureau, b ls bulletins are issued covering productivity, injury and illness, and other data in this section. Finally, the Monthly Labor Review carries analytical articles on annual and longer term developments in labor force, employment, and unemployment; employee compensation and collective bargaining; prices; productivity; international comparisons; and injury and illness data. Symbols p = preliminary. To increase the timeliness of some series, prelim inary figures are issued based on representative but incom plete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability o f later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified, n.e.s. = not elsewhere specified. COMPARATIVE INDICATORS (Tables 1-3) Comparative indicators tables provide an overview and comparison of major bls statistical series. Consequently, although many of the included series are available monthly, all measures in these comparative tables are presented quarterly and annually. Labor market indicators include employment measures from two ma jor surveys and information on rates of change in compensation provided by the Employment Cost Index (eci) program. The labor force participation rate, the employment-to-population ratio, and unemployment rates for major demographic groups based on the Current Population (“household ”) Survey are presented, while measures of employment and average weekly hours by major industry sector are given using nonagricultural payroll data. The Employment Cost Index (compensation), by major sector and by https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis bargaining status, is chosen from a variety of bls compensation and wage measures because it provides a comprehensive measure of employer costs for hiring labor, not just outlays for wages, and it is not affected by employment shifts among occupations and industries. Data on changes in compensation, prices, and productivity are pre sented in table 2. Measures of rates of change of compensation and wages from the Employment Cost Index program are provided for all civilian nonfarm workers (excluding Federal and household workers) and for all private nonfarm workers. Measures of changes in: consumer prices for all urban consumers; producer prices by stage of processing; and the overall export and import price indexes are given. Measures of productivity (output per hour of all persons) are provided for major sectors. 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics Alternative measures of wage and compensation rates of change, which reflect the overall trend in labor costs, are summarized in table 3. Differences in concepts and scope, related to the specific purposes of the series, contribute to the variation in changes among the individual mea sures. N o te s o n th e d a ta Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these notes describing each set of data. For detailed descriptions of each data series, see bls Handbook of Methods, Volumes I and II, Bulletins 2134-1 and 2 1 34-2 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982 and 1984, respectively), as well as the additional bulletins, articles, and other publi cations noted in the separate sections of the Review's “Current Labor Statistics Notes.” Historical data for many series are provided in the Hand book o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). Users may also wish to consult Major Programs, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, Report 718 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT DATA ( T a b le s 1; 4 - 2 1 ) Household survey data the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 59,500 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths o f the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Data in tables 4 -1 0 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1987. employment data D e f in it io n s Employed persons include (1) all civilians who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. Members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are also included in the employed total. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The overall unem ployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the labor force, including the resident Armed Forces. The civilian unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The labor force consists of all employed or unemployed civilians plus members o f the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Persons not in the labor force are those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons who are retired, those engaged in their own house work, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because o f long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because o f personal or job-market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy, and members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. The labor force participation rate is the proportion o f the noninstitutional population that is in the labor force. The employment-population ratio is total employment (including the resident Armed Forces) as a percent of the noninstitutional population. N o te s o n th e d a ta From time to time, and especially after £ decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparabil ity o f historical data. A description of these adjustments and their effect on 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For detailed explanations of the data, see bls Handbook of Methods , Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 1, and for additional data, Handbook of Labor Statistics , Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). A detailed description of the Current Population Survey as well as additional data are available in the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics periodical, Employment and Earnings. Historical data from 1948 to 1981 are available in Labor Force Statistics Derived from the Current Population Survey: A Databook, Vols. I and II, Bulletin 2096 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . E s t a b lis h m e n t s u r v e y d a t a D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Employment, hours, and earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies by more than 290,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most indus tries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An establishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or ware house.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from estab lishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. D e f in it io n s An establishment is an economic unit which produces goods or services (such as a factory or store) at a single location and is engaged in one type of economic activity. Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th o f the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establishment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include working supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 12-17 include production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and non supervisory workers in the following industries: transportation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employ ment on private nonagricutural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers re ceive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (cpi- w). The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from average hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects o f changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and low-wage industries. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervi sory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the portion of average weekly hours which was in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. The Diffusion Index, introduced in the May 1983 Review , represents the percent o f 185 nonagricultural industries in which employment was rising over the indicated period. One-half of the industries with unchanged employment are counted as rising. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 1-, 3-, and 6-month spans are seasonally adjusted, while those for the 12-month span are unadjusted. The diffusion index is useful for measur ing the dispersion of economic gains or losses and is also an economic indicator. N o te s o n th e d a ta Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are peri odically adjusted to com prehensive counts o f em ploym ent (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the release o f May 1987 data, published in the July 1987 issue of the Review. Conse quently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Unadjusted data have been revised back to April 1985; seasonally adjusted data have been revised back to January 1982. These revisions were published in the Supplement to Employment and Earnings (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1987). Unadjusted data from April 1986 forward, and seasonally adjusted data from January 1983 for ward are subject to revision in future benchmarks. In the establishment survey, estimates for the 2 most recent months are based on incomplete returns and are published as preliminary in the tables (13 to 18 in the Review). When all returns have been received, the esti mates are revised and published as final in the third month of their appear ance. Thus, August data are published as preliminary in October and November and as final in December. For the same reason, quarterly estab lishment data (table 1) are preliminary for the first 2 months of publication and final in the third month. Thus, second-quarter data are published as preliminary in August and September and as final in October. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n Detailed national data from the establishment survey are published monthly in the bls periodical, Employment and Earnings. Earlier compara ble unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in Employment, Hours, and Earnings, United States, 1909-84, Bulletin 1312-12 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985) and its annual supplement. For a detailed discus sion of the methodology of the survey, see bls Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 2. For addi tional data, see Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . Unemployment data by State D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Data presented in this section are obtained from two major sources— the Current Population Survey (CPS) and the Local Area Unemployment Statis tics ( laus) program, which is conducted in cooperation with State employ ment security agencies. Monthly estimates of the labor force, employment, and unemployment for States and sub-State areas are a key indicator of local economic condi tions and form the basis for determining the eligibility of an area for benefits under Federal economic assistance programs such as the Job Train ing Partnership Act and the Public Works and Economic Development Act. Insofar as possible, the concepts and definitions underlying these data are those used in the national estimates obtained from the cps. N o te s o n th e d a ta Data refer to State of residence. Monthly data for 11 States— California, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas— are obtained directly from the CPS, because the size of the sample is large enough to meet bls standards of reliability. Data for the remaining 39 States and the District o f Columbia are derived using standardized procedures established by bls . Once a year, estimates for the 11 States are revised to new population controls. For the remaining States and the District of Columbia, data are benchmarked to annual average cps levels. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n Information on the concepts, definitions, and technical procedures used to develop labor force data for States and sub-State areas as well as addi tional data on sub-States are provided in the monthly Bureau o f Labor Statistics periodical, Employment and Earnings, and the annual report, Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment (Bureau of Labor Statistics). See also bls Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 4. COMPENSATION AND WAGE DATA ( T a b le s 1 - 3 ; 2 2 - 2 9 ) Compensation and wage data are gathered by the Bureau from business establishments, State and local governments, labor unions, collective bar gaining agreements on file with the Bureau, and secondary sources. Employment Cost Index D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s The Employment Cost Index (eci) is a quarterly measure of the rate of change in compensation per hour worked and includes wages, salaries, and employer costs o f employee benefits. It uses a fixed market basket of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis labor— similar in concept to the Consumer Price Index’s fixed market basket of goods and services— to measure change over time in employer costs of employing labor. The index is not seasonally adjusted. Statistical series on total compensation costs and on wages and salaries are available for private nonfarm workers excluding proprietors, the selfemployed, and household workers. Both series are also available for State and local government workers and for the civilian nonfarm economy, which consists of private industry and State and local government workers combined. Federal workers are excluded. The Employment Cost Index probability sample consists o f about 2,200 private nonfarm establishments providing about 12,000 occupational ob servations and 700 State and local government establishments providing 57 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics 3,500 occupational observations selected to represent total employment in each sector. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensa tion information on five well-specified occupations. Data are collected each quarter for the pay period including the 12th day of March, June, Septem ber, and December. Beginning with June 1986 data, fixed employment weights from the 1980 Census o f Population are used each quarter to calculate the indexes for civilian, private, and State and local governments. (Prior to June 1986, the employment weights are from the 1970 Census of Population.) These fixed weights, also used to derive all of the industry and occupation series indexes, ensure that changes in these indexes reflect only changes in com pensation, not employment shifts among industries or occupations with different levels o f wages and compensation. For the bargaining status, region, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan area series, however, employ ment data by industry and occupation are not available from the census. Instead, the 1980 employment weights are reallocated within these series each quarter based on the current sample. Therefore, these indexes are not strictly comparable to those for the aggregate, industry, and occupation series. D e f in it io n s Total compensation costs include wages, salaries, and the employer’s costs for employee benefits. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, in cluding production bonuses, incentive earnings, commissions, and cost-ofliving adjustments. Benefits include the cost to employers for paid leave, supplemental pay (including nonproduction bonuses), insurance, retirement and savings plans, and legally required benefits (such as Social Security, workers’ compensation, and unemployment insurance). Excluded from wages and salaries and employee benefits are such items as payment-in-kind, free room and board, and tips. N o t e s o n t h e d a ta The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quarter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee benefits were in cluded in 1980 to produce, when combined with the wages and salaries series, a measure o f the percent change in employer costs for employee total compensation. State and local government units were added to the eci coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian nonfarm economy (excluding Federal employees). Historical in dexes (June 1981 = 100) o f the quarterly rates of change are presented in the May issue of the BLS monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For a more detailed discussion of the Employment Cost Index, see the Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 11, and the fo llo w in g M onthly L abor R eview articles: “Employment Cost Index: a measure of change in the ‘price o f labor’,” July 1975; “How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost In dex,” January 1978; “Estimation procedures for the Employment Cost Index,” May 1982; and “Introducing new weights for the Employment Cost Index,” June 1985. Data on the eci are also available in bls quarterly press releases issued in the month following the reference months of March, June, September, and December; and from the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1985). Collective bargaining settlements (wage and benefit costs) and wages alone, quarterly for private industry and semiannually for State and local government. Compensation measures cover all collective bargaining situations involving 5,000 workers or more and wage measures cover all situations involving 1,000 workers or more. These data, covering private nonagricultural industries and State and local governments, are calculated using information obtained from bargaining agreements on file with the Bureau, parties to the agreements, and second ary sources, such as newspaper accounts. The data are not seasonally adjusted. Settlement data are measured in terms of future specified adjustments: those that will occur within 12 months after contract ratification— firstyear— and all adjustments that will occur over the life of the contract expressed as an average annual rate. Adjustments are worker weighted. Both first-year and over-the-life measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living clauses that are triggered by future movements in the Consumer Price Index. Effective wage adjustments measure all adjustments occurring in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. Included are changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from con tracts negotiated in earlier periods, and changes under cost-of-living adjust ment clauses. Each wage change is worker weighted. The changes are prorated over all workers under agreements during the reference period yielding the average adjustment. D e f in it io n s Wage rate changes are calculated by dividing newly negotiated wages by the average hourly earnings, excluding overtime, at the time the agree ment is reached. Compensation changes are calculated by dividing the change in the value of the newly negotiated wage and benefit package by existing average hourly compensation, which includes the cost of previ ously negotiated benefits, legally required social insurance programs, and average hourly earnings. Compensation changes are calculated by placing a value on the benefit portion of the settlements at the time they are reached. The cost estimates are based on the assumption that conditions existing at the time of settle ment (for example, methods of financing pensions or composition o f labor force) will remain constant. The data, therefore, are measures of negotiated changes and not of total changes in employer cost. Contract duration runs from the effective date of the agreement to the expiration date or first wage reopening date, if applicable. Average annual percent changes over the contract term take account of the compounding of successive changes. N o te s o n th e d a ta Care should be exercised in comparing the size and nature of the settle ments in State and local government with those in the private sector because of differences in bargaining practices and settlement characteristics. A principal difference is the incidence of cost-of-living adjustment (cola) clauses which cover only about 2 percent of workers under a few local government settlements, but cover 50 percent of workers under private sector settlements. Agreements without cola’s tend to provide larger speci fied wage increases than those with cola’s . Another difference is that State and local government bargaining frequently excludes pension benefits which are often prescribed by law. In the private sector, in contrast, pensions are typically a bargaining issue. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s For a more detailed discussion on the series, see the bls Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 10. Collective bargaining settlements data provide statistical measures of negotiated adjustments (increases, decreases, and freezes) in compensation Comprehensive data are published in press releases issued quarterly (in January, April, July, and October) for private industry, and semi- 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis annually (in February and August) for State and local government. Histor ical data and additional detailed tabulations for the prior calendar year appear in the April issue of the bls monthly periodical, Current Wage monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. Historical data appear in the bls Handbook of Labor Statistics. Developments. Other compensation data Work stoppages D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Data on work stoppages measure the number and duration of major strikes or lockouts (involving 1,000 workers or more) occurring during the month (or year), the number of workers involved, and the amount of time lost because o f stoppage. Data are largely from newspaper accounts and cover only establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or second ary effect o f stoppages on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material shortages or lack of service. D e f in it io n s Number of stoppages: The number of strikes and lockouts involving 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Workers involved: The number of workers directly involved in the stoppage. Number of days idle: The aggregate number of workdays lost by workers involved in the stoppages. Days of idleness as a percent of estimated working time: Aggregate workdays lost as a percent of the aggregate number of standard workdays in the period multiplied by total employment in the period. N o te s o n th e d a ta This series is not comparable with the one terminated in 1981 that covered strikes involving six workers or more. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n Data for each calendar year are reported in a bls press release issued in the first quarter o f the following year. Monthly data appear in the bls Other bls data on pay and benefits, not included in the Current Labor Statistics section of the Monthly Labor Review, appear in and consist o f the following: Industry Wage Surveys provide data for specific occupations selected to represent an industry’s wage structure and the types of activities performed by its workers. The Bureau collects information on weekly work schedules, shift operations and pay differentials, paid holiday and vacation practices, and information on incidence of health, insurance, and retirement plans. Reports are issued throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summaries of the data and special analyses also appear in the Monthly Labor Review. Area Wage Surveys annually provide data for selected office, clerical, professional, technical, maintenance, toolroom, powerplant, material movement, and custodial occupations common to a wide variety o f indus tries in the areas (labor markets) surveyed. Reports are issued throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summaries of the data and special analyses also appear in the Review. The National Survey of Professional, Administrative, Technical, and Clerical Pay provides detailed information annually on salary levels and distributions for the types of jobs mentioned in the survey’s title in private employment. Although the definitions of the jobs surveyed reflect the duties and responsibilities in private industry, they are designed to match specific pay grades of Federal white-collar employees under the General Schedule pay system. Accordingly, this survey provides the legally re quired information for comparing the pay of salaried employees in the Federal civil service with pay in private industry. (See Federal Pay Com parability Act of 1970, 5 u.s.c. 5305.) Data are published in a bls news release issued in the summer and in a bulletin each fall; summaries and analytical articles also appear in the Review. Employee Benefits Survey provides nationwide information on the inci dence and characteristics of employee benefit plans in medium and large establishments in the United States, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. Data are published in an annual bls news release and bulletin, as well as in special articles appearing in the Review. PRICE DATA ( T a b le s 2 ; 3 0 - 4 1 ) Price data are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1982 = 100 or 1982-84 = 100 unless otherwise noted). Consumer Price Indexes D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s The Consumer Price Index (cpi) is a measure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The cpi is calculated monthly for two population groups, one consisting only o f urban households whose primary source of income is derived from the employment o f wage earners and clerical workers, and the other consisting o f all urban households. The wage earner index ( cpi- w) is a continuation o f the historic index that was introduced well over a halfcentury ago for use in wage negotiations. As new uses were developed for the CPI in recent years, the need for a broader and more representative index became apparent. The all urban consumer index ( cpi- u), introduced in 1978, is representative of the 1982-84 buying habits of about 80 percent o f the noninstitutional population of the United States at that time, com pared with 32 percent represented in the cpi- w . In addition to wage earners https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and clerical workers, the cpi- u covers professional, managerial, and tech nical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, trans portation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality o f these items are kept essentially unchanged between major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Data collected from more than 21,000 retail establishments and 60,000 housing units in 91 urban areas across the country are used to develop the “U .S. city average.” Separate estimates for 27 major urban centers are presented in table 31. The areas listed are as indicated in footnote 1 to the table. The area indexes measure only the average change in prices for each area since the base period, and do not indicate differences in the level of prices among cities. N o te s o n th e d a ta In January 1983, the Bureau changed the way in which homeownership costs are measured for the cpi- u . A rental equivalence method replaced the 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics asset-price approach to homeownership costs for that series. In January 1985, the same change was made in the cpi- w . The central purpose of the change was to separate shelter costs from the investment component of homeownership so that the index would reflect only the cost o f shelter services provided by owner-occupied homes. An updated cpi-u and cpi-w were introduced with release of the January 1987 data. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For a discussion o f the general method for computing the cpi, see bls Handbook of Methods, Volume II, The Consumer Price Index, Bulletin 2 1 3 4 -2 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1984). The recent change in the mea surement o f homeownership costs is discussed in Robert Gillingham and Walter Lane, “Changing the treatment of shelter costs for homeowners in the CPI,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1982, pp. 9 -1 4 . An overview of the recently introduced revised cpi, reflecting 1982-84 expenditure patterns, is contained in The Consumer Price Index: 1987 Revision , Report 736 (Bu reau o f Labor Statistics, 1987). Additional detailed cpi data and regular analyses of consumer price changes are provided in the cpi Detailed Report, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Historical data for the overall cpi and for selected groupings may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics , Bulletin 2217 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1985). Producer Price Indexes D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Producer Price Indexes (ppi) measure average changes in prices re ceived in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodi ties in all stages o f processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes currently contains about 3,100 commodities and about 75,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all commodities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The stage of proc essing structure o f Producer Price Indexes organizes products by class of buyer and degree o f fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude materials). The traditional commodity structure of PPI organizes products by similarity o f end use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are ob tained directly from producing companies on a voluntary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day o f the month. Since January 1987, price changes for the various commodities have been averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1982. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability-of-product groupings, and a number o f special composite groups. All Producer Price Index data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. N o t e s o n t h e d a ta Beginning with the January 1986 issue, the Review is no longer present ing tables o f Producer Price Indexes for commodity groupings, special composite groups, or sic industries. However, these data will continue to be presented in the Bureau’s monthly publication Producer Price Indexes. The Bureau has completed the first major stage of its comprehensive overhaul o f the theory, methods, and procedures used to construct the Producer Price Indexes. Changes include the replacement of judgment sampling with probability sampling techniques; expansion to systematic 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis coverage o f the net output o f virtually all industries in the mining and manufacturing sectors; a shift from a commodity to an industry orientation; the exclusion of imports from, and the inclusion of exports in, the survey universe; and the respecification of commodities priced to conform to Bureau o f the Census definitions. These and other changes have been phased in gradually since 1978. The resu ltis a system of indexes that is easier to use in conjunction with data on wages, productivity, and employ ment and other series that are organized in terms of the Standard Industrial Classification and the Census product class designations. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For a discussion of the methodology for computing Producer Price In dexes, see bls Handbook of Methods , Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 7. Additional detailed data and analyses o f price changes are provided monthly in Producer Price Indexes. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). International Price Indexes D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s The bls International Price Program produces quarterly export and import price indexes for nonmilitary goods traded between the United States and the rest of the world. The export price index provides a measure of price change for all products sold by U.S. residents to foreign buyers. (“Residents” is defined as in the national income accounts: it includes corporations, businesses, and individuals but does not require the organiza tions to be U .S. owned nor the individuals to have U .S. citizenship.) The import price index provides a measure of price change for goods purchased from other countries by U .S. residents. With publication of an all-import index in February 1983 and an all-export index in February 1984, all U .S. merchandise imports and exports now are represented in these indexes. The reference period for the indexes is 1977 = 100, unless otherwise indicated. The product universe for both the import and export indexes includes raw materials, agricultural products, semifinished manufactures, and finished manufactures, including both capital and consumer goods. Price data for these items are collected quarterly by mail questionnaire. In nearly all cases, the data are collected directly from the exporter or importer, al though in a few cases, prices are obtained from other sources. To the extent possible, the data gathered refer to prices at the U .S. border for exports and at either the foreign border or the U .S. border for imports. For nearly all products, the prices refer to transactions completed during the first 2 weeks of the third month of each calendar quarter— March, June, September, and December. Survey respondents are asked to indicate all discounts, allowances, and rebates applicable to the reported prices, so that the price used in the calculation of the indexes is the actual price for which the product was bought or sold. In addition to general indexes o f prices for U .S. exports and imports, indexes are also published for detailed product categories of exports and imports. These categories are defined by the 4- and 5-digit level of detail of the Standard Industrial Trade Classification System (su e). The calcula tion of indexes by SITC category facilitates the comparison of U .S. price trends and sector production with similar data for other countries. Detailed indexes are also computed and published on a Standard Industrial Classifi cation (sic-based) basis, as well as by end-use class. N o te s o n th e d a ta The export and import price indexes are weighted indexes of the Laspeyres type. Price relatives are assigned equal importance within each weight category and are then aggregated to the sitc level. The values assigned to each weight category are based on trade value figures compiled by the Bureau o f the Census. The trade weights currently used to compute both indexes relate to 1980. Because a price index depends on the same items being priced from period to period, it is necessary to recognize when a product’s specifica tions or terms o f transaction have been modified. For this reason, the Bureau’s quarterly questionnaire requests detailed descriptions of the phys ical and functional characteristics o f the products being priced, as well as information on the number o f units bought or sold, discounts, credit terms, packaging, class o f buyer or seller, and so forth. When there are changes in either the specifications or terms of transaction o f a product, the dollar value o f each change is deleted from the total price change to obtain the “pure” change. Once this value is determined, a linking procedure is employed which allows for the continued repricing of the item. For the export price indexes, the preferred pricing basis is f.a.s. (free alongside ship) U .S. port of exportation. When firms report export prices f.o.b. (free on board), production point information is collected which enables the Bureau to calculate a shipment cost to the port o f exportation. An attempt is made to collect two prices for imports. The first is the import price f.o.b. at the foreign port of exportation, which is consistent with the basis for valuation of imports in the national accounts. The second is the import price c.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) at the U .S. port o f impor tation, which also includes the other costs associated with bringing the product to the U .S. border. It does not, however, include duty charges. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For a discussion of the general method of computing International Price Indexes, see bls Handbook of Methods , Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 8 . Additional detailed data and analyses o f international price develop ments are presented in the Bureau’s quarterly publication U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes and in occasional Monthly Labor Review articles prepared by bls analysts. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). PRODUCTIVITY DATA (Tables 2; 42-47) U. S. productivity and related data D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s The productivity measures relate real physical output to real input. As such, they encompass a family o f measures which include single factor input measures, such as output per unit of labor input (output per hour) or output per unit o f capital input, as well as measures of multifactor produc tivity (output per unit of labor and capital inputs combined). The Bureau indexes show the change in output relative to changes in the various inputs. The measures cover the business, nonfarm business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Corresponding indexes of hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit nonlabor payments, and prices are also provided. Unit profits include corporate profits and the value of inventory adjust ments per unit of output. Hours of all persons are the total hours paid of payroll workers, selfemployed persons, and unpaid family workers. Capital services is the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock o f physical assets— equipment, structures, land, and inventories— weighted by rental prices for each type of asset. Labor and capital inputs combined are derived by combining changes in labor and capital inputs with weights which represent each component’s share of total output. The indexes for capital services and combined units of labor and capital are based on changing weights which are averages of the shares in the current and preceding year (the Tomquist index-number formula). N o te s o n th e d a ta D e f in it io n s Output per hour of all persons (labor productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant prices produced per hour of labor input. Output per unit of capital services (capital productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant dollars produced per unit of capital services input. Multifactor productivity is the ratio output per unit of labor and capital inputs combined. Changes in this measure reflect changes in a number of factors which affect the production process such as changes in technology, shifts in the composition of the labor force, changes in capacity utilization, research and development, skill and efforts of the work force, manage ment, and so forth. Changes in the output per hour measures reflect the impact o f these factors as well as the substitution of capital for labor. Compensation per hour is the wages and salaries of employees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans, and the wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed (except for nonfinancial corporations in which there are no selfemployed)— the sum divided by hours paid for. Real compensation per hour is compensation per hour deflated by the change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor costs are the labor compensation costs expended in the production o f a unit o f output and are derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, interest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation o f all persons from current dollar value o f output and divid ing by output. Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Output measures for the business sector and the nonfarm businesss sector exclude the constant dollar value of owner-occupied housing, rest o f world, households and institutions, and general government output from the con stant dollar value of gross national product. The measures are derived from data supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U .S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing out put indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual esti mates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are developed from data o f the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The productivity and associated cost measures in tables 4 2 -4 4 describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor time and capital services involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per unit o f input. Although these measures relate output to hours and capital services, they do not measure the contributions of labor, capital, or any other specific factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of many influ ences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level o f output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of produc tion; managerial skill; and the characteristics and efforts of the work force. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n Descriptions of methodology underlying the measurement of output per hour and multifactor productivity are found in the bls Handbook of Meth ods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 13. His torical data for selected industries are provided in the Bureau’s Handbook of Labor Statistics, 1985, Bulletin 2217. 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS (Tables 45-47) L a b o r f o r c e a n d u n e m p lo y m e n t D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Tables 45 and 46 present comparative measures of the labor force, employment, and unemployment— approximating U .S. concepts— for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, and six European countries. The unemployment statistics (and, to a lesser extent, employment statistics) published by other industrial countries are not, in most cases, comparable to U .S. unemployment statistics. Therefore, the Bureau adjusts the figures for selected countries, where necessary, for all known major definitional differences. Although precise comparability may not be achieved, these adjusted figures provide a better basis for international comparisons than the figures regularly published by each country. D e f in it io n s For the principal U .S. definitions of the labor force, employment, and unemployment, see the Notes section on EMPLOYMENT DATA: House hold Survey Data. N o t e s o n t h e d a ta The adjusted statistics have been adapted to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country, rather than to the U .S. standard of 16 years o f age and over. Therefore, the adjusted statistics relate to the population age 16 and over in France, Sweden, and from 1973 onward, the United Kingdom; 16 and over in Canada, Australia, Japan, Germany, the Nether lands, and prior to 1973, the United Kingdom; and 14 and over in Italy. The institutional population is included in the denominator of the labor force participation rates and employment-population ratios for Japan and Ger many; it is excluded for the United States and the other countries. In the U .S. labor force survey, persons on layoff who are awaiting recall to their job are classified as unemployed. European and Japanese layoff practices are quite different in nature from those in the United States; therefore, strict application of the U .S. definition has not been made on this point. For further information, see Monthly Labor Review, December 1981, pp. 8 -1 1 . The figures for one or more recent years for France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom are calculated using adjustment factors based on labor force surveys for earlier years and are considered preliminary. The recent-year measures for these countries are, therefore, subject to revision whenever data from more current labor force surveys become available. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For further information, see International Comparisons of Unemploy ment, Bulletin 1979 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1978), Appendix B and unpublished Supplements to Appendix B available on request. The statis tics are also analyzed periodically in the Monthly Labor Review . Additional historical data, generally beginning with 1959, are published in the Hand book of Labor Statistics and are available in unpublished statistical supple ments to Bulletin 1979. M a n u f a c t u r in g p r o d u c t iv it y a n d l a b o r c o s t s D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s Table 47 presents comparative measures of manufacturing labor produc tivity, hourly compensation costs, and unit labor costs for the United 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis States, Canada, Japan, and nine European countries. These measures are limited to trend comparisons— that is, intercountry series of changes over time— rather than level comparisons because reliable international com parisons of the levels of manufacturing output are unavailable. D e f in it io n s Output is constant value output (value added), generally taken from the national accounts of each country. While the national accounting methods for measuring real output differ considerably among the 12 countries, the use of different procedures does not, in itself, connote lack of comparabil ity— rather, it reflects differences among countries in the availability and reliability of underlying data series. Hours refer to all employed persons including the self-employed in the United States and Canada; to all wage and salary employees in the other countries. The U .S. hours measure is hours paid; the hours measures for the other countries are hours worked. Compensation (labor cost) includes all payments in cash or kind made directly to employees plus employer expenditures for legally required in surance programs and contractual and private benefit plans. In addition, for some countries, compensation is adjusted for other significant taxes on payrolls or employment (or reduced to reflect subsidies), even if they are not for the direct benefit o f workers, because such taxes are regarded as labor costs. However, compensation does not include all items o f labor cost. The costs of recruitment, employee training, and plant facilities and services— such as cafeterias and medical clinics— are not covered because data are not available for most countries. Self-employed workers are in cluded in the U .S. and Canadian compensation figures by assuming that their hourly compensation is equal to the average for wage and salary employees. N o te s o n th e d a ta For most of the countries, the measures refer to total manufacturing as defined by the International Standard Industrial Classification. However, the measures for France (beginning 1959), Italy (beginning 1970), and the United Kingdom (beginning 1971), refer to manufacturing and mining less energy-related products and the figures for the Netherlands exclude petroleum refining from 1969 to 1976. For all countries, manufacturing includes the activities of government enterprises. The figures for one or more recent years are generally based on current indicators of manufacturing output, employment, hours, and hourly com pensation and are considered preliminary until the national accounts and other statistics used for the long-term measures become available. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n For additional information, see the b l s Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 16 and periodic Monthly Labor Review articles. Historical data are provided in the Bureau’s Hand book of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217, 1985. The statistics are issued twice per year— in a news release (generally in May) and in a Monthly Labor Review article (generally in December). OCCUPATIONAL INJURY AND ILLNESS DATA ( T a b le 4 8 ) D e s c r ip t io n o f t h e s e r ie s The Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses is designed to collect data on injuries and illnesses based on records which employers in the following industries maintain under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970: agriculture, forestry, and fishing; oil and gas extraction; construction; manufacturing; transportation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. Excluded from the survey are self-employed individuals, farmers with fewer than 11 employees, employers regulated by other Federal safety and health laws, and Federal, State, and local government agencies. Because the survey is a Federal-State cooperative program and the data must meet the needs of participating State agencies, an independent sam ple is selected for each State. The sample is selected to represent all pri vate industries in the States and territories. The sample size for the survey is dependent upon ( 1) the characteristics for which estimates are needed; (2) the industries for which estimates are desired; (3) the charac teristics o f the population being sampled; (4) the target reliability of the estimates; and (5) the survey design employed. While there are many characteristics upon which the sample design could be based, the total recorded case incidence rate is used because it is one of the most important characteristics and the least variable; therefore, it re quires the smallest sample size. The survey is based on stratified random sampling with a Neyman allocation and a ratio estimator. The characteristics used to stratify the establishments are the Standard Industrial Classification (sic) code and size o f employment. D e f in it io n s Recordable occupational injuries and illnesses are: (1) occupational deaths, regardless o f the time between injury and death, or the length of the illness; or (2) nonfatal occupational illnesses; or (3) nonfatal occupational injuries which involve one or more of the following: loss of consciousness, restriction o f work or motion, transfer to another job, or medical treatment (other than first aid). Occupational injury is any injury such as a cut, fracture, sprain, ampu tation, and so forth, which results from a work accident or from exposure involving a single incident in the work environment. Occupational illness is an abnormal condition or disorder, other than one resulting from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to environ mental factors associated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or disease which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, inges tion, or direct contact. Lost workday cases are cases which involve days away from work, or days of restricted work activity, or both. Lost workday cases involving restricted work activity are those cases which result in restricted work activity only. Lost workdays away from work are the number of workdays (consec utive or not) on which the employee would have worked but could not because of occupational injury or illness. Lost workdays— restricted work activity are the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which, because of injury or illness: ( 1) the em ployee was assigned to another job on a temporary basis; or (2) the em https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ployee worked at a permanent job less than full time; or (3) the employee worked at a permanently assigned job but could not perform all duties normally connected with it. The number of days away from work or days of restricted work activity does not include the day of injury or onset of illness or any days on which the employee would not have worked even though able to work. Incidence rates represent the number of injuries and/or illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers. N o te s o n th e d a ta Estimates are made for industries and employment-size classes and for severity classification: fatalities, lost workday cases, and nonfatal cases without lost workdays. Lost workday cases are separated into those where the employee would have worked but could not and those in which work activity was restricted. Estimates of the number of cases and the number of days lost are made for both categories. Most of the estimates are in the form of incidence rates, defined as the number of injuries and illnesses, or lost workdays, per 100 full-time em ployees. For this purpose, 200,000 employee hours represent 100 em ployee years (2,000 hours per employee). Only a few of the available measures are included in the Handbook of Labor Statistics. Full detail is presented in the annual bulletin, Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States, by Industry. Comparable data for individual States are available from the bls Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics. Mining and railroad data are furnished to bls by the Mine Safety and Health Administration and the Federal Railroad Administration, respec tively. Data from these organizations are included in bls and State publica tions. Federal employee experience is compiled and published by the Occu pational Safety and Health Administration. Data on State and local government employees are collected by about half of the States and territo ries; these data are not compiled nationally. A d d it io n a l s o u r c e s o f in f o r m a t io n The Supplementary Data System provides detailed information describ ing various factors associated with work-related injuries and illnesses. These data are obtained from information reported by employers to State workers’ compensation agencies. The Work Injury Report program exam ines selected types of accidents through an employee survey which focuses on the circumstances surrounding the injury. These data are not included in the Handbook of Labor Statistics but are available from the bls Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics. The definitions of occupational injuries and illnesses and lost workdays are from Recordkeeping Requirements under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. For additional data, see Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States, by Industry, annual Bureau o f Labor Statistics bulletin; bls Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 17; Handbook of Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985), pp. 411-14; annual reports in the Monthly Labor Review, and annual U .S. Department of Labor press releases. 63 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 1. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Comparative Indicators Labor market indicators 1987 1986 Selected indicators 1987 1986 I III II IV I II IV III Employment data Employment status of the civilian noninstitutionalized population (household survey)1 Labor force participation rate........................................................ Employment-population ratio......................................................... Unemployment rate ....................................................................... M en ............................................................................................. 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and over.................................................................... Women ........................................................................................ 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and over.................................................................... Unemployment rate, 15 weeks and over.................................... 65.3 60.7 7.0 6.9 13.7 5.4 7.1 12.8 5.5 1.9 65.6 61.5 6.2 6.2 12.6 4.8 6.2 11.7 4.8 1.7 65.0 60.5 7.0 6.8 13.4 5.3 7.2 13.1 5.6 1.9 65.2 60.6 7.2 7.0 14.1 5.4 7.3 13.1 5.7 1.9 65.4 60.8 7.0 7.0 13.9 5.4 7.0 12.7 5.4 1.9 65.4 60.9 6.8 6.9 13.4 5.4 6.8 12.5 5.3 1.9 65.5 61.1 6.6 6.6 13.3 5.1 6.6 12.5 5.0 1.8 65.5 61.4 6.3 6.3 12.9 4.9 6.2 11.8 4.7 1.7 65.6 61.7 6.0 5.9 12.2 4.6 6.1 11.4 4.7 1.6 65.7 61.9 5.9 5.8 11.9 4.4 6.0 11.1 4.7 1.5 Total ................................................................................................. Private sector ................................................................................ Goods-producing............................................................................ Manufacturing .............................................................................. Service-producing .......................................................................... 99,610 82,900 24,681 18,994 74,930 102,110 85,047 24,884 19,112 77,226 98,901 82,299 24,767 19,086 74,134 99,321 82,670 24,702 19,003 74,619 99,804 83,119 24,629 18,939 75,175 100,397 83,498 24,624 18,953 75,773 101,133 84,183 24,733 18,979 76,399 101,708 84,675 24,757 19,015 76,951 102,278 85,240 24,884 19,134 77,394 103,288 86,063 25,164 19,320 78,124 Average hours: Private sector ................................................................................ Manufacturing ........................................................................... Overtime.................................................................................. 34.8 40.7 3.4 34.8 41.0 3.7 34.9 40.7 3.4 34.8 40.7 3.4 34.7 40.7 3.5 34.7 40.8 3.5 34.8 41.0 3.6 34.8 40.9 3.7 34.8 40.9 3.7 34.8 41.2 3.9 Percent change in the ECI, compensation: All workers (excluding farm, household, and Federal workers) ...... Private industry workers ............................................................... Goods-producing2 ..................................................................... Service-producing2 ................................................................... State and local government workers........................................... 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.2 5.2 3.6 3.3 3.1 3.7 4.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 .7 .8 .9 .6 .6 1.1 .7 .6 .8 2.8 .6 .6 .5 .6 .8 .9 1.0 .5 1.3 .8 .7 .7 .7 .7 .3 1.2 1.0 .8 1.0 2.3 .8 .7 1.0 .5 .9 Workers by bargaining status (private industry): Union............................................................................................. Nonunion ...................................................................................... 2.1 3.6 2.8 3.6 1.0 1.2 .2 .9 .5 .8 .3 .7 .5 1.1 .5 .7 .6 1.1 1.1 .6 Employment, nonagricultural (payroll data), in thousands:’ Employment Cost Index 1 Quarterly data seasonally adjusted. 2 Goods-producing industries include mining, construction, and manufacturing. Service- 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis producing industries include all other private sector industries. 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity 1986 Selected measures 1986 1987 1987 I III II IV I II III IV Compensation data 1, 2 Employment Cost Index-compensation (wages, salaries, benefits): Civilian nonfarm .................................................................... Private nonfarm ................................................................... Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries Civilian nonfarm .................................................................... Private nonfarm ................................................................... 3.6 3.2 3.6 3.3 1.1 1.1 0.7 .8 1.1 .7 0.6 .6 0.9 1.0 0.7 .7 1.2 1.0 0.8 .7 3.5 3.1 3.5 3.3 1.0 1.0 .8 .9 1.1 .7 .6 .5 1.0 1.0 .5 .7 1.3 1.0 .7 .6 .6 .3 1.4 1.2 1.3 Price data’ Consumer Price Index (All urban consumers): All items...... 1.1 Producer Price Index: Finished goods..................................................................... Finished consumer goods................................................... Capital equipment ............................................................... Intermediate materials, supplies, components .................... Crude materials.................................................................... -2.3 -3.5 2.1 -4.4 -8.9 -.5 4.4 2.1 2.5 1.3 5.5 8.8 .6 -3.1 -4.0 .2 -3.0 -7.6 .5 .4 .6 -.9 -1.5 -.7 -.7 -.8 -.2 -.6 1.1 .8 2.1 -.3 .6 .8 .9 .1 1.3 4.2 1.2 1.6 .3 1.9 5.3 .3 .2 .3 -.2 1.2 .6 .0 -.3 1.1 1.0 -1.5 Productivity data3 Output per hour of all persons: Business sector................................................................... Nonfarm business sector.................................................... Nonfinancial corporations 4 ................................................. 1.9 1.6 1.6 .9 .8 ” ' Annual changes are December-to-December change. Quarterly changes are calculated using the last month of each quarter. Compensation and price data are not seasonally adjusted and the price data are not compounded. 2 Excludes Federal and private household workers. 3 Annual rates of change are computed by comparing annual averages. 3. 2.8 2.3 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.1 .7 1.5 1.5 1.5 .4 .3 .2 .2 -.1 0 1.6 1.5 .8 1.4 1.4 - Quarterly percent changes reflect annual rates of change in quarterly in dexes. The data are seasonally adjusted. 4 Output per hour of all employees. - Data not available. Alternative measures of wage and compensation changes Quarterly average III Average hourly compensation:' All persons, business sector.................................................................. All employees, nonfarm business sector.............................................. Employment Cost Index-compensation: Civilian nonfarm 2 ................................................................................... Private nonfarm ................................................................................... Union................................................................................................. Nonunion........................................................................................... State and local governments.............................................................. Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries: Civilian nonfarm2 .................................................................................... Private nonfarm ................................................................................... Union ................................................................................................. Nonunion........................................................................................... State and local governments............................................................... Total effective wage adjustments3 ............................................................... From current settlements....................................................................... From prior settlements.......................................................................... From cost-of-living provision.................................................................. Negotiated wage adjustments from settlements:3 First-year adjustments ........................................................................... Annual rate over life of contract........................................................... Negotiated wage and benefit adjustments from settlements:5 First-year adjustment............................................................................. Annual rate over life of contract........................................................... IV I II 1986 III IV III 1987 IV I II III IV 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.8 3.6 4.0 1.4 1.1 3.3 3.0 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.4 1.1 .7 .5 .8 2.8 .6 .6 .3 .7 .8 .9 1.0 .5 1.1 .8 .7 .7 .5 .7 .3 1.2 1.0 .6 1.1 2.3 .8 .7 1.1 .6 .9 3.6 3.2 2.3 3.5 5.2 3.6 3.2 2.1 3.6 5.2 3.4 3.1 1.6 3.6 5.0 3.3 3.0 1.9 3.4 4.7 3.4 3.3 2.0 3.7 4.2 3.6 3.3 2.8 3.6 4.4 1.1 .7 .6 .7 3.2 .5 .1 .5 (4) .6 .5 .2 .7 .7 .5 .2 .2 .1 1.0 1.0 .4 1.2 .8 .4 .3 .1 .5 .7 .5 .8 .2 1.0 .2 .7 .2 1.3 1.0 .6 1.1 2.3 .9 .2 .6 .1 .7 .6 1.1 .5 .9 .8 .3 .3 .2 3.5 3.1 2.3 3.4 5.4 2.3 .5 1.6 .2 3.5 3.1 2.0 3.5 5.4 2.3 .5 1.7 .2 3.5 3.2 1.7 3.5 5.2 2.0 .4 1.5 .1 3.2 3.0 1.7 3.3 5.0 2.2 .3 1.6 .3 3.4 3.3 1.7 3.8 4.1 2.6 .5 1.7 .4 3.5 3.3 2.6 3.6 4.2 3.1 .7 1.8 .5 .8 1.5 2.0 2.1 1.2 1.8 2.6 2.9 2.1 2.0 2.4 1.8 1.2 1.7 1.2 1.8 1.2 1.8 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 .7 1.2 2.7 2.4 1.7 2.4 4.1 3.9 2.5 2.1 3.4 2.4 .9 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.8 2.6 3.1 2.6 1 Seasonally adjusted. 2 Excludes Federal and household workers. 3 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 1,000 workers or more. The most recent data are preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1987 1986 Components Four quarters ended- n 4 Data round to zero. 5 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 5,000 workers or more. The most recent data are preliminary. 65 1 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 4. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Employment status of the total population, by sex, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1987 1988 Employment status 1986 1987 182,293 119,540 65.6 111,303 184,490 121,602 65.9 114,177 61.1 1,706 109,597 3,163 106,434 8,237 6.9 62,752 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 183,575 120,726 65.8 112,762 183,738 120,970 65.8 113,084 183,915 120,982 65.8 113,191 184,079 121,098 65.8 113,541 184,259 121,633 66.0 114,060 184,421 121,326 65.8 114,018 184,605 121,610 65.9 114,359 184,738 122,042 66.1 114,786 184,904 121,706 65.8 114,615 185,052 122,128 66.0 114,951 185,225 122,349 66.1 115,259 185,370 122,472 66.1 115,494 185,571 122,924 66.2 115,878 61.9 1,737 112,440 3,208 109,232 7,425 6.1 62,888 61.4 1,748 111,014 3,174 107,840 7,964 6.6 62,849 61.5 1,740 111,344 3,225 108,119 7,886 6.5 62,768 61.5 1,736 111,455 3,237 108,218 7,791 6.4 62,933 61.7 1,735 111,806 3,250 108,556 7,557 6.2 62,981 61.9 1,726 112,334 3,269 109,065 7,573 6.2 62,626 61.8 1,718 112,300 3,192 109,108 7,308 6.0 63,095 61.9 1,720 112,639 3,212 109,427 7,251 6.0 62,995 62.1 1,736 113,050 3,143 109,907 7,256 5.9 62,696 62.0 1,743 112,872 3,184 109,688 7,091 5.8 63,198 62.1 1,741 113,210 3,249 109,961 7,177 5.9 62,924 62.2 1,755 113,504 3,172 110,332 7,090 5.8 62,876 62.3 1,750 113,744 3,215 110,529 6,978 5.7 62,898 62.4 1,749 114,129 3,293 110,836 7,046 5.7 62,647 87,349 66,973 76.7 62,443 88,476 67,784 76.6 63,684 88,020 67,602 76.8 63,153 88,099 67,655 76.8 63,281 88,186 67,590 76.6 63,263 88,271 67,604 76.6 63,390 88,361 67,802 76.7 63,543 88,442 67,623 76.5 63,543 88,534 67,671 76.4 63,711 88,598 67,937 76.7 63,916 88,683 67,776 76.4 63,949 88,756 67,947 76.6 64,048 88,849 68,019 76.6 64,174 88,924 68,030 76.5 64,245 89,033 68,243 76.6 64,396 71.5 1,551 60,892 4,530 6.8 72.0 1,577 62,107 4,101 6.1 71.7 1,591 61,562 4,449 6.6 71.8 1,584 61,697 4,374 6.5 71.7 1,575 61,688 4,327 6.4 71.8 1,575 61,815 4,214 6.2 71.9 1,566 61,977 4,259 6.3 71.8 1,559 61,984 4,080 6.0 72.0 1,561 62,150 3,960 5.9 72.1 1,575 62,341 4,021 5.9 72.1 1,581 62,368 3,827 5.6 72.2 1,580 62,468 3,899 5.7 72.2 1,593 62,581 3,845 5.7 72.2 1,589 62,656 3,785 5.6 72.3 1,588 62,808 3,847 5.6 94,944 52,568 55.4 48,861 96,013 53,818 56.1 50,494 95,556 53,124 55.6 49,609 95,639 53,315 55.7 49,803 95,729 53,392 55.8 49,928 95,808 53,494 55.8 50,151 95,898 53,831 56.1 50,517 95,979 53,703 56.0 50,475 96,071 53,939 56.1 50,648 96,140 54,105 56.3 50,870 96,221 53,930 56.0 50,666 96,295 54,181 56.3 50,903 96,376 54,330 56.4 51,085 96,446 54,442 56.4 51,249 96,538 54,681 56.6 51,482 51.5 155 48,706 3,707 7.1 52.6 160 50,334 3,324 6.2 51.9 157 49,452 3,515 6.6 52.1 156 49,647 3,512 6.6 52.2 161 49,767 3,464 6.5 52.3 160 49,991 3,343 6.2 52.7 160 50,357 3,314 6.2 52.6 159 50,316 3,228 6.0 52.7 159 50,489 3,291 6.1 52.9 161 50,709 3,235 6.0 52.7 162 50,504 3,264 6.1 52.9 161 50,742 3,278 6.1 53.0 162 50,923 3,245 6.0 53.1 161 51,088 3,193 5.9 53.3 161 51,321 3,200 5.9 Nov. Dec. Jan. TOTAL Noninstitutional population \ 2 ....... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed 2 ....................... Employment-population ratio 4 ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ...... Civilian employed .................... Agriculture ............................ Nonagricultural industries..... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... Not in labor force ........................ Men, 16 years and over Noninstitutional population \ 2 ....... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed 2 ........................ Employment-population ratio 4 ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ....... Civilian employed .................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... Women, 16 years and over Noninstitutional population 2 ....... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed2 ........................ Employment-population ratio 4 ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ....... Civilian employed .................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... The population and Armed Forces figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation. Includes members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Labor force as a percent of the noninstitutional population. 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Total employed as a percent of the noninstitutional population. 5 Unemployment as a percent of the labor force (including Forces). the resident Armed 5. Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1987 1988 Employment status 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 180,587 117,834 65.3 109,597 182,753 119,865 65.6 112,440 181,827 118,978 65.4 111,014 181,998 119,230 65.5 111,344 182,179 119,246 65.5 111,455 182,344 119,363 65.5 111,806 182,533 119,907 65.7 112,334 182,703 119,608 65.5 112,300 182,885 119,890 65.6 112,639 183,002 120,306 65.7 113,050 183,161 119,963 65.5 112,872 183,311 120,387 65.7 113,210 183,470 120,594 65.7 113,504 183,620 120,722 65.7 113,744 183,822 121,175 65.9 114,129 60.7 8,237 7.0 62,752 61.5 7,425 6.2 62,888 61.1 7,964 6.7 62,849 61.2 7,886 6.6 62,768 61.2 7,791 6.5 62,933 61.3 7,557 6.3 62,981 61.5 7,573 6.3 62,626 61.5 7,308 6.1 63,095 61.6 7,251 6.0 62,995 61.8 7,256 6.0 62,696 61.6 7,091 5.9 63,198 61.8 7,177 6.0 62,924 61.9 7,090 5.9 62,876 61.9 6,978 5.8 62,898 62.1 7,046 5.8 62,647 78,523 61,320 78.1 57,569 79,565 62,095 78.0 58,726 79,132 61,911 78.2 58,220 79,216 61,930 78.2 58,324 79,303 61,933 58,380 79,387 61,970 78.1 58,516 79,474 62,129 78.2 58,673 79,536 62,054 78.0 58,632 79,625 62,106 78.0 58,783 79,668 62,083 77.9 58,825 79,740 62,085 77.9 58,967 79,807 62,211 78.0 59,037 79,885 62,299 78.0 59,164 80,002 62,248 77.8 59,185 80,120 62,440 77.9 59,287 73.3 2,292 55,277 3,751 6.1 73.8 2,329 56,397 3,369 5.4 73.6 2,287 55,933 3,691 6.0 73.6 2,317 56,007 3,606 5.8 73.6 2,361 56,019 3,553 5.7 73.7 2,378 56,138 3,454 5.6 73.8 2,383 56,290 3,456 5.6 73.7 2,316 56,316 3,422 5.5 73.8 2,333 56,450 3,323 5.4 73.8 2,289 56,536 3,258 5.2 73.9 2,345 56,622 3,118 5.0 74.0 2,343 56,694 3,174 5.1 74.1 2,297 56,867 3,135 5.0 74.0 2,298 56,887 3,063 4.9 74.0 2,323 56,964 3,154 5.1 87,567 48,589 55.5 45,556 88,583 49,783 56.2 47,074 88,150 49,167 55.8 46,290 88,237 49,343 55.9 46,485 88,321 49,414 55.9 46,582 88,395 49,494 56.0 46,761 88,464 49,728 56.2 47,028 88,546 49,722 56.2 47,088 88,632 49,886 56.3 47,206 88,685 49,969 56.3 47,308 88,785 49,922 56.2 47,251 88,843 50,095 56.4 47,480 88,923 50,254 56.5 47,634 89,010 50,361 56.6 47,750 89,110 50,558 56.7 47,977 52.0 614 44,943 3,032 6.2 53.1 622 46,453 2,709 5.4 52.5 625 45,665 2,877 5.9 52.7 634 45,851 2,858 5.8 52.7 602 45,980 2,832 5.7 52.9 603 46,158 2,733 5.5 53.2 629 46,399 2,700 5.4 53.2 619 46,469 2,634 5.3 53.3 620 46,586 2,680 5.4 53.3 609 46,699 2,661 5.3 53.2 600 46,651 2,671 5.4 53.4 636 46,844 2,615 5.2 53.6 636 46,998 2,620 5.2 53.6 643 47,107 2,611 5.2 53.8 646 47,331 2,581 5.1 14,496 7,926 54.7 6,472 14,606 7,988 54.7 6,640 14,545 7,900 54.3 6,504 14,546 7,957 54.7 6,535 14,555 7,899 54.3 6,493 14,562 7,899 54.2 6,529 14,595 8,050 55.2 6,633 14,621 7,832 53.6 6,580 14,628 7,898 54.0 6,650 14,649 8,254 56.3 6,917 14,637 7,956 54.4 6,654 14,661 8,081 55.1 6,693 14,663 8,041 54.8 6,706 14,609 8,113 55.5 6,809 14,592 8,177 56.0 6,865 44.6 258 6,215 1,454 18.3 45.5 258 6,382 1,347 16.9 44.7 262 6,242 1,396 17.7 44.9 274 6,261 1,422 17.9 44.6 274 6,219 1,406 17.8 44.8 269 6,260 1,370 17.3 45.4 257 6,376 1,417 17.6 45.0 257 6,323 1,252 16.0 45.5 259 6,391 1,248 15.8 47.2 245 6,672 1,337 16.2 45.5 239 6,415 1,302 16.4 45.7 270 6,423 1,388 17.2 45.7 239 6,467 1,335 16.6 46.6 274 6,535 1,304 16.1 47.0 323 6,542 1,312 16.0 155,432 101,801 65.5 95,660 156,958 103,290 65.8 97,789 156,313 102,669 65.7 96,749 156,431 102,825 65.7 97,001 156,561 102,836 65.7 97,074 156,676 102,972 65.7 97,338 156,811 103,416 65.9 97,829 156,930 103,150 65.7 97,698 157,058 103,248 65.7 97,917 157,134 103,516 65.9 98,181 157,242 103,357 65.7 98,069 157,342 103,669 65.9 98,317 157,449 103,731 65.9 98,492 157,552 103,907 66.0 98,779 157,676 104,252 66.1 99,044 61.5 6,140 6.0 62.3 5,501 5.3 61.9 5,920 5.8 62.0 5,824 5.7 62.0 5,762 5.6 62.1 5,634 5.5 62.4 5,587 5.4 62.3 5,452 5.3 62.3 5,331 5.2 62.5 5,335 5.2 62.4 5,288 5.1 62.5 5,352 5.2 62.6 5,239 5.1 62.7 5,128 4.9 62.8 5,208 5.0 19,989 12,654 63.3 10,814 20,352 12,993 63.8 11,309 20,187 12,807 63.4 10,995 20,218 12,894 63.8 11,086 20,249 12,853 63.5 11,072 20,279 12,778 63.0 11,114 20,312 12,889 63.5 11,129 20,341 12,892 63.4 11,238 20,373 13,039 64.0 11,381 20,396 13,150 64.5 11,513 20,426 13,028 63.8 11,421 20,453 13,152 64.3 11,556 20,482 13,193 64.4 11,589 20,508 13,215 64.4 11,605 20,539 13,222 64.4 11,608 54.1 1,840 14.5 55.6 1,684 13.0 54.5 1,812 14.1 54.8 1,808 14.0 54.7 1,781 13.9 54.8 1,664 13.0 54.8 1,760 13.7 55.2 1,654 12.8 55.9 1,658 12.7 56.4 1,637 12.4 55.9 1,607 12.3 56.5 1,596 12.1 56.6 1,604 12.2 56.6 1,610 12.2 56.5 1,614 12.2 TOTAL Civilian noninstitutional population1................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate ................. Employed .................................. Employment-population ratio2 ................................... Unemployed.............................. Unemployment rate............. Not in labor force ....................... Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture ............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. 78.1 Women, 20 years ond over Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor force........................ Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture ............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture ............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. White Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ............................ Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. Black Civilian noninstitutional population1.................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed..................... Unemployment rate.............. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 67 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 5. Continued— Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1987 Annual average 1988 Employment status 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 12,344 8,076 65.4 7,219 12,867 8,541 66.4 7,790 12,653 8,387 66.3 7,533 12,692 8,423 66.4 7,614 12,732 8,395 65.9 7,632 12,770 8,468 66.3 7,686 12,809 8,549 66.7 7,797 12,848 8,468 65.9 7,738 12,887 8,447 65.5 7,762 12,925 8,549 66.1 7,856 12,965 8,581 66.2 7,877 13,003 8,654 66.6 7,935 13,043 8,763 67.2 7,978 13,082 8,772 67.1 8,058 13,115 8,879 67.7 8,238 58.5 857 10.6 60.5 751 8.8 59.5 854 10.2 60.0 809 9.6 59.9 763 9.1 60.2 782 9.2 60.9 752 8.8 60.2 730 8.6 60.2 685 8.1 60.8 693 8.1 60.8 704 8.2 61.0 719 8.3 61.2 785 9.0 61.6 714 8.1 62.8 642 7.2 Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. 1 The population figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. NOTE: Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals 6. because data for the “other races” groups are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. Selected employment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 1987 Annual average 1988 Selected categories 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. CHARACTERISTIC Civilian employed, 16 years and over............................................. 109,597 60,892 M en .......................................... 48,706 Women .................................... 39,658 Married men, spouse present .. Married women, spouse 27,144 present.................................... 5,837 Women who maintain families . 112,440 62,107 50,334 40,265 111,014 61,562 49,452 40,047 111,344 61,697 49,647 39,958 111,455 61,688 49,767 40,054 111,806 61,815 49,991 40,021 112,334 61,977 50,357 40,075 112,300 61,984 50,316 40,120 112,639 62,150 50,489 40,262 113,050 62,341 50,709 40,308 112,872 62,368 50,504 40,404 113,210 62,468 50,742 40,556 113,504 62,581 50,923 40,645 113,744 62,656 51,088 40,711 114,129 62,808 51,321 40,404 28,107 6,060 27,713 5,958 27,837 5,925 27,966 5,946 28,130 5,971 28,314 5,963 28,282 6,011 28,283 6,033 28,189 6,107 28,069 6,151 28,099 6,178 28,175 6,237 28,249 6,227 28,441 6,168 1,547 1,447 169 1,632 1,423 153 1,635 1,392 143 1,640 1,440 132 1,689 1,416 152 1,599 1,488 170 1,672 1,429 165 1,622 1,403 162 1,625 1,424 153 1,591 1,393 155 1,624 1,415 139 1,705 1,430 140 1,595 1,407 155 1,599 1,450 156 1,666 1,454 138 98,299 16,342 81,957 1,235 80,722 7,881 255 100,771 16,800 83,970 1,208 82,762 8,201 260 99,557 16,492 83,065 1,245 81,820 8,136 245 99,772 16,553 83,219 1,213 82,006 8,166 254 99,863 16,594 83,269 1,227 82,042 8,082 270 100,106 16,518 83,588 1,234 82,354 8,139 268 100,634 16,708 83,926 1,240 82,686 8,157 276 100,510 16,920 83,590 1,163 82,427 8,293 274 100,825 16,876 83,949 1,212 82,737 8,216 266 101,241 16,794 84,447 1,175 83,272 8,214 248 101,282 16,928 84,354 1,100 83,254 8,204 297 101,522 17,033 84,489 1,222 83,267 8,274 242 101,943 17,118 84,825 1,286 83,539 8,222 235 101,997 17,064 84,933 1,200 83,733 8,280 248 102,507 17,197 85,310 1,147 84,163 8,150 237 5,588 2,456 2,800 13,935 5,401 2,385 2,672 14,395 5,508 2,467 2,721 14,147 5,766 2,501 2,773 14,110 5,459 2,438 2,707 14,201 5,394 2,345 2,725 13,940 5,333 2,292 2,677 14,498 5,254 2,345 2,623 14,836 5,428 2,429 2,683 14,437 5,283 2,468 2,526 14,573 5,261 2,213 2,683 14,415 5,353 2,377 2,655 14,488 5,534 2,408 2,696 14,523 5,262 2,284 2,638 14,711 5,367 2,396 2,640 14,571 5,345 2,305 2,719 13,502 5,122 2,201 2,587 13,928 5,211 2,279 2,631 13,706 5,458 2,315 2,682 13,635 5,180 2,234 2,612 13,717 5,104 2,163 2,648 13,544 5,058 2,126 2,603 13,995 4,979 2,176 2,530 14,334 5,154 2,261 2,599 13,953 5,016 2,265 2,463 14,099 4,986 2,034 2,603 13,987 5,067 2,196 2,557 14,011 5,241 2,209 2,597 14,064 5,004 2,111 2,552 14,222 5,145 2,260 2,566 14,096 MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers....... Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family workers............. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers ....... Government .......................... Private industries................... Private households............. Other................................... Self-employed workers............ Unpaid family workers............. PERSONS AT WORK PART TIME' All industries: Part time for economic reasons Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time ..................... Nonagricultural industries: Part time for economic reasons Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time ..................... 1 Excludes persons “with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7. Selected unemployment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Unemployment rates) 1988 1987 Annual average Selected categories Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Total, all civilian workers......................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years................................ Men, 20 years and over.................................... Women, 20 years and over................................ 7.0 18.3 6.1 6.2 6.2 16.9 5.4 5.4 6.7 17.7 6.0 5.9 6.6 17.9 5.8 5.8 6.5 17.8 5.7 5.7 6.3 17.3 5.6 5.5 6.3 17.6 5.6 5.4 6.1 16.0 5.5 5.3 6.0 15.8 5.4 5.4 6.0 16.2 5.2 5.3 5.9 16.4 5.0 5.4 6.0 17.2 5.1 5.2 5.9 16.6 5.0 5.2 5.8 16.1 4.9 5.2 5.8 16.0 5.1 5.1 White, total ......................................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 years ................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and over............................. 6.0 15.6 16.3 14.9 5.3 5.4 5.3 14.4 15.5 13.4 4.8 4.6 5.8 15.1 16.1 14.0 5.2 5.0 5.7 15.1 16.0 14.1 5.1 4.8 5.6 15.3 16.8 13.7 5.0 4.7 5.5 14.8 16.3 13.3 4.9 4.6 5.4 15.2 17.0 13.3 4.8 4.5 5.3 13.9 14.8 13.0 4.9 4.4 5.2 13.3 13.5 13.1 4.7 4.5 5.2 14.1 15.2 12.9 4.6 4.4 5.1 14.3 15.1 13.4 4.4 4.5 5.2 14.5 15.1 13.8 4.6 4.3 5.1 14.1 14.8 13.3 4.4 4.4 4.9 13.6 14.9 12.3 4.3 4.4 5.0 14.0 14.4 13.6 4.4 4.2 Black, total ........................................... .............. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................. Men, 16 to 19 years ................................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over .................................. Women, 20 years and over............................. 14.5 39.3 39.3 39.2 12.9 12.4 13.0 34.7 34.4 34.9 11.1 11.6 14.1 39.2 36.5 42.3 12.1 12.6 14.0 38.0 37.9 38.0 11.9 12.6 13.9 37.0 36.1 38.0 11.6 12.7 13.0 37.1 37.8 36.3 11.0 11.6 13.7 37.5 38.3 36.6 12.3 11.6 12.8 33.4 31.4 35.4 11.4 11.3 12.7 32.7 32.4 33.1 11.2 11.4 12.4 30.6 33.7 27.1 10.7 11.3 12.3 30.8 31.5 30.0 10.1 11.7 12.1 33.8 32.5 35.2 9.8 11.0 12.2 33.9 32.2 35.8 10.2 10.8 12.2 33.4 33.5 33.4 10.1 10.9 12.2 35.0 35.1 34.9 10.1 11.1 Hispanic origin, total........................................... 10.6 8.8 10.2 9.6 9.1 9.2 8.8 8.6 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 9.0 8.1 7.2 Married men, spouse present............................ Married women, spouse present....................... Women who maintain families........................... Full-time workers ................................................ Part-time workers ............................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over....................... Labor force time lost1 ........................................ 4.4 5.2 9.8 6.6 9.1 1.9 7.9 3.9 4.3 9.2 5.8 8.4 1.7 7.1 4.2 4.7 9.8 6.3 8.9 1.8 7.6 4.1 4.8 9.6 6.2 8.8 1.8 7.5 4.1 4.5 9.7 6.1 9.1 1.7 7.4 4.1 4.4 9.4 5.9 8.6 1.7 7.3 4.0 4.2 9.5 5.9 8.7 1.7 7.2 4.0 4.0 9.5 5.9 7.3 1.7 7.1 3.8 4.2 9.3 5.7 8.1 1.6 6.9 3.7 4.3 9.0 5.6 8.2 1.6 6.9 3.7 4.2 8.8 5.5 8.4 1.6 6.8 3.7 4.2 8.9 5.6 8.3 1.5 6.8 3.5 4.2 8.5 5.5 8.2 1.5 6.8 3.4 4.3 8.4 5.4 8.0 1.5 6.6 3.6 4.2 8.9 5.4 8.3 1.4 6.6 7.0 13.5 13.1 7.1 6.9 7.4 5.1 7.6 5.5 3.6 12.5 6.2 10.0 11.6 6.0 5.8 6.3 4.5 6.9 4.9 3.5 10.5 6.7 14.1 12.5 6.8 6.8 6.7 4.7 7.4 5.2 3.5 11.4 6.6 13.0 11.7 6.8 6.7 6.9 4.1 7.2 5.2 3.6 11.0 6.5 9.5 12.4 6.7 6.6 7.0 4.5 7.3 4.9 3.5 10.8 6.3 11.2 12.0 6.3 6.2 6.4 4.7 7.1 4.8 3.5 9.5 6.3 13.0 12.1 6.3 6.2 6.5 4.4 7.0 4.9 3.4 9.4 6.1 9.5 11.7 5.7 5.4 6.1 4.8 7.1 4.9 3.4 9.3 6.1 7.9 10.8 6.0 6.0 5.9 4.4 6.8 5.1 3.4 10.9 6.0 8.6 11.3 5.6 5.5 5.8 4.4 7.0 4.7 3.7 10.6 5.9 7.4 11.9 5.6 5.4 5.9 4.1 6.4 4.8 3.4 8.6 5.9 8.3 11.2 5.7 5.2 6.5 4.4 6.5 4.7 3.3 10.6 5.8 7.0 10.6 5.3 4.8 5.9 4.5 6.8 4.8 3.4 11.1 5.7 8.0 10.6 5.1 4.8 5.6 4.6 6.2 4.8 3.2 10.9 5.8 7.7 12.2 5.6 5.5 5.8 3.6 6.1 4.9 3.0 11.5 CHARACTERISTIC INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers .... Mining.................................................................. Construction ....................................................... Manufacturing ..................................................... Durable goods.................................................. Nondurable goods ........................................... Transportation and public utilities ..................... Wholesale and retail trade................................. Finance and service industries.......................... Government workers ............................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers ..................... 1 Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 8. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Unemployment rates by sex and age, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Civilian workers) Annual average Sex and age 1986 1988 1987 1987 Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. June May July Sept. Aug. Oct. Nov. Jan. Dec. Total, 16 years and over................................................................. 16 to 24 years............................................................................... 16 to 19 years ............................................................................. 16 to 17 years .......................................................................... 18 to 19 years .......................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................. 25 years and over.......................................................................... 25 to 54 years .......................................................................... 55 years and over.................................................................... 7.0 13.3 18.3 20.2 17.0 10.7 5.4 5.7 3.9 6.2 12.2 16.9 19.1 15.2 9.7 4.8 5.0 3.3 6.7 13.0 17.7 19.9 16.2 10.7 5.2 5.5 3.3 6.6 13.0 17.9 19.8 16.4 10.4 5.1 5.5 3.1 6.5 12.8 17.8 19.9 16.2 10.2 5.0 5.3 3.4 6.3 12.6 17.3 18.9 15.9 10.1 4.8 5.1 3.4 6.3 12.5 17.6 21.0 15.2 9.8 4.8 5.1 3.6 6.1 12.1 16.0 18.8 14.5 10.0 4.7 4.9 3.2 6.0 11.8 15.8 17.5 13.9 9.7 4.7 5.0 3.1 6.0 11.8 16.2 18.3 14.7 9.4 4.7 4.9 3.2 5.9 11.8 16.4 18.3 15.2 9.4 4.6 4.8 3.3 6.0 11.8 17.2 20.4 14.7 8.8 4.6 4.8 3.1 5.9 11.6 16.6 19.2 14.8 8.9 4.5 4.7 3.4 5.8 11.2 16.1 17.8 14.7 8.5 4.5 4.8 3.2 5.8 11.6 16.0 18.7 14.5 9.1 4.5 4.7 3.5 Men, 16 years and over.............................................................. 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 16 to 19 years........................................................................ 16 to 17 years..................................................................... 18 to 19 years..................................................................... 20 to 24 years........................................................................ 25 years and over.................................................................... 25 to 54 years..................................................................... 55 years and over................................................................ 6.9 13.7 19.0 20.8 17.7 11.0 5.4 5.6 4.1 6.2 12.6 17.8 20.2 16.0 9.9 4.8 5.0 3.5 6.7 13.4 18.5 21.1 17.1 10.8 5.2 5.6 3.7 6.6 13.5 18.5 20.5 17.1 10.9 5.1 5.4 3.4 6.6 13.2 19.0 20.3 17.9 10.2 5.1 5.3 3.6 6.4 13.1 18.7 21.0 17.1 10.3 4.9 5.1 3.7 6.4 13.2 19.6 22.7 17.2 9.9 4.9 5.1 3.9 6.2 12.4 16.4 19.1 15.4 10.4 4.8 5.0 3.4 6.0 11.9 15.9 17.1 13.7 9.9 4.7 4.9 3.4 6.1 12.5 17.8 20.5 15.9 9.6 4.7 4.9 3.4 5.8 12.1 17.3 19.7 15.9 9.3 4.5 4.7 3.2 5.9 12.1 17.4 20.9 14.8 9.2 4.5 4.8 3.1 5.8 12.0 17.2 20.4 14.8 9.2 4.4 4.6 3.5 5.7 11.7 17.2 19.3 15.3 8.7 4.4 4.6 3.2 5.8 12.2 16.4 19.4 14.9 9.9 4.4 4.5 4.0 Women, 16 years and over....................................................... 16 to 24 years......................................................................... 16 to 19 years ...................................................................... 16 to 17 years ................................................................... 18 to 19 years ................................................................... 20 to 24 years ...................................................................... 25 years and over................................................................... 25 to 54 years ................................................................... 55 years and over.............................................................. 7.1 12.8 17.6 19.6 16.3 10.3 5.5 5.9 3.6 6.2 11.7 15.9 18.0 14.3 9.4 4.8 5.1 3.0 6.6 12.7 16.8 18.6 15.3 10.5 5.1 5.5 2.8 6.6 12.4 17.1 19.0 15.7 9.9 5.1 5.5 2.7 6.5 12.4 16.6 19.6 14.3 10.1 5.0 5.3 3.0 6.3 12.0 15.9 16.6 14.7 10.0 4.8 5.1 2.9 6.2 11.8 15.6 19.1 13.1 9.7 4.7 5.0 3.0 6.0 11.7 15.5 18.4 13.6 9.6 4.5 4.9 2.8 6.1 11.7 15.7 18.0 14.1 9.5 4.7 5.0 2.6 6.0 11.0 14.4 16.0 13.4 9.0 4.7 5.0 2.9 6.1 11.5 15.4 16.9 14.4 9.4 4.7 4.9 3.5 6.1 11.5 16.9 19.9 14.6 8.5 4.7 4.9 3.1 6.0 11.2 16.0 17.9 14.7 8.6 4.7 4.9 3.2 5.9 10.7 14.8 16.2 14.1 8.4 4.7 4.9 3.3 5.9 10.9 15.6 17.9 14.1 8.2 4.6 4.9 2.8 9. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 1986 Job losers ............................................ On layoff............................................ Other job losers................................. Job leavers .......................................... Reentrants ........................................... New entrants ....................................... 1987 1988 1987 Annual average Reason for unemployment Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July June Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan. Dec. 4,033 1,090 2,943 1,015 2,160 1,029 3,566 943 2,623 965 1,974 920 3,971 1,087 2,884 909 2,059 1,048 3,835 1,001 2,834 1,033 2,038 1,007 3,791 1,003 2,788 996 2,078 952 3,705 963 2,742 955 1,965 918 3,612 924 2,688 931 1,995 999 3,554 919 2,635 959 1,980 854 3,529 916 2,613 989 1,930 844 3,389 874 2,515 992 1,969 855 3,313 820 2,493 981 1,908 882 3,388 944 2,444 960 1,845 914 3,307 878 2,429 926 1,974 855. 3,200 856 2,344 946 1,945 909 3,209 48.9 13.2 35.7 12.3 26.2 12.5 48.0 12.7 35.3 13.0 26.6 12.4 49.7 13.6 36.1 11.4 25.8 13.1 48.5 12.7 35.8 13.1 25.8 12.7 48.5 12.8 35.7 12.7 26.6 12.2 49.1 12.8 36.4 12.7 26.1 12.2 47.9 12.3 35.7 12.4 26.5 13.3 48.4 12.5 35.9 13.1 26.9 11.6 48.4 12.6 35.8 13.6 26.5 11.6 47.0 12.1 34.9 13.8 27.3 11.9 46.8 11.6 35.2 13.8 26.9 12.5 47.7 13.3 34.4 13.5 26.0 12.9 46.8 12.4 34.4 13.1 28.0 12.1 45.7 12.2 33.5 13.5 27.8 13.0 45.2 12.5 32.7 15.3 27.0 12.5 3.3 .8 1.7 .9 3.2 .9 1.7 .8 3.2 .8 1.7 .8 3.1 .8 1.6 .8 3.0 .8 1.7 .8 3.0 .8 1.7 .7 2.9 .8 1.6 .7 2.8 .8 1.6 .7 2.8 .8 1.6 .7 2.8 .8 1.5 .8 2.7 .8 1.6 .7 2.7 2.6 .8 .9 1.6 .7 888 2,320 1,082 1,917 885 PERCENT OF UNEMPLOYED Job losers......................................... On layoff........................................ Other job losers............................. Job leavers....................................... Reentrants........................................ New entrants .................................... PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers ........................................... Job leavers ......................................... Reentrants .......................................... New entrants ...................................... 10. 1.6 .8 Duration of unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1988 1987 Annual average Weeks of unemployment July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 3,448 2,557 2,232 1,045 1,187 3,246 2,196 1,983 943 1,040 3,365 2,489 2,187 1,023 1,164 3,343 2,444 2,129 1,004 1,125 3,352 2,411 2,055 944 1,111 3,195 2,256 2,060 984 1,076 3,308 2,165 2,067 974 1,093 3,138 2,151 2,029 973 1,056 3,186 2,144 1,920 945 975 3,203 2,142 1,896 834 1,062 3,220 1,949 1,904 917 987 3,223 2,093 1,801 844 957 3,218 2,029 1,834 899 935 3,229 1,968 1,791 892 899 3,089 2,263 1,733 839 894 15.0 6.9 14.5 6.5 15.0 7.0 14.8 6.7 14.9 6.7 14.8 6.9 14.8 6.6 14.7 6.6 14.2 6.6 14.3 6.4 14.2 ' 5.8 14.1 6.2 14.0 6.1 14.2 6.0 14.4 6.4 11. Unemployment rates of civilian workers by State, data not seasonally adjusted State Dec. 1986 Dec. 1987 A la b a m a ............................................................. Alaska ................................................................ A riz o n a ............................................................... A rka n s a s ............................................................ C a lifornia............................................................ 9.6 11.2 6.7 9.1 6.3 7.1 9.7 5.5 7.9 4.9 Colorado ............................................................ Connecticut ....................................................... D elaw are............................................................ District of C o lum bia ......................................... Florida ................................................................ 7.7 3.4 3.7 7.3 4.6 6.8 3.1 2.9 6.0 5.0 Georgia .............................................................. H a w aii................................................................. Idaho .................................................................. Illinois ................................................................. Indiana ............................................................... 5.7 4.2 8.6 7.0 6.4 5.4 3.7 7.9 6.9 5.9 State Dec. 1986 r New Jersey ...................................................... Ohio .................................................................. n 60 2.5 67 2.2 3.9 93 3.6 81 6.6 5.8 7.9 79 6.1 3.7 3.5 South C a ro lin a ................................................ South D a k o ta .................................................. 5.9 5.0 4.8 4.7 Texas ................................................................ Utah .................................................................. 8.7 6.0 6.8 5.8 4.5 3.5 7.7 Io w a .............................................................. Kansas ............................................................... K e n tu c k y ............................................................ Louisiana............................................................ M a in e .................................................................. 6.4 5.4 8.5 13.4 4.3 5.7 5.1 7.3 10.9 3.5 Maryland ............................................................ Massachusetts ................................................. M ichigan...................................................... M in n e s o ta .......................................................... M ississippi.......................................................... M issouri.............................................................. 4.2 3.1 7.6 4.2 2.6 8.3 8.3 11 6 5.5 6.1 9.7 6.3 7.1 6.2 9.7 7.7 V e rm o n t........................................................ 11.7 6.1 NOTE: Some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere because of the continual updating of the 12. Dec. 1987 Washington ...................................................... database, Employment of workers on nonagricultural payrolls by State, data not seasonally adjusted (In thousands) State Arkansas...................................................... Colorado ....................................................... Connecticut .................................................. Dec. 1986 1,474.0 211.4 1,378.7 824.0 11,526.0 Nov. 1987 1,503.3 206.4 1,397.1 853.7 11,887.9 District of Columbia...................................... Florida .......................................................... 1,405.2 1,644.6 313.2 647.0 4,739.3 1,405.8 1,673.8 322.2 652.3 4,902.9 Idaho ............................................................ Illinois ........................................................... Indiana ......................................................... 2,746.5 448.1 339.1 4,843.9 2,277.5 2,779.5 459.4 343.2 4,934.2 2,363.9 Iowa.............................................................. Kansas ......................................................... Kentucky...................................................... Louisiana...................................................... Maine............................................................ 1,092.0 990.5 1,309.8 1,509.4 486.7 1,130.5 1,019.1 1,328.7 1,510.9 509.8 Maryland ...................................................... 1,998.6 3,045.7 3,699.4 1,919.6 859.8 2,145.5 275.6 2,006.0 3,096.9 3,754.6 1,996.2 879.1 2,190.5 276.2 Minnesota..................................................... Mississippi..................................................... Missouri........................................................ Montana....................................................... Dec. 1987» New Mexico ................................................ 1,415.5 New York..................................................... 1,684.5 323.9 656.0 4,952.9 Oklahoma.................................................... 2,784.2 461.9 341.6 4,932.9 2,358.0 South Carolina............................................ South Dakota.............................................. 1,125.4 Tennessee .................................................. 1,017.6 Texas .......................................................... 1,333.1 1,512.0 512.2 Virginia........................................................ 2,011.9 3,109.1 3,750.6 1,989.8 879.7 Wyoming..................................................... 2,184.8 274.2 p = preliminary NOTE: Some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis State 1,507.3 203.4 1,402.9 854.1 11,939.7 Dec. 1986 Nov. 1987 Dec. 1987p 663.2 481 4 499.6 679 7 511 2 517 2 677 8 512 6 521.9 3,549 7 535.3 8,074.3 2,796.8 249 7 3,633 3 539.7 8,254.2 2,890 6 255.5 3 637 0 542.1 8,272.9 4,569.4 T 142.8 1 072 8 4 876 5 452 2 4,675 8 11132.8 1 121 9 5 028 2 456.4 4 678 4 1,133.1 1 118 3 5 031 2 454.6 1,357.9 252.3 1,982.5 6,538.8 644 0 1,409.5 257.7 2,049.4 6,580.5 650 1 1,412.9 256.5 2,048.6 6,587.7 651.4 241 5 2,626.5 1,791 6 599 6 2,042.8 242 4 2,682.1 1 875 3 609 2 2,103.7 2,693.0 1 874 3 607 7 2,099.1 191.2 734 4 37 9 190.2 750 0 38 7 188.7 757 3 39.0 254.5 because of the continual updating of the database. 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 13. Employment of workers on nonagricultural payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 1987 Annual average 1988 Industry 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p TOTAL .......................................... PRIVATE SECTOR ........................ 99,610 82,900 102,110 85,047 100,919 83,983 101,150 84,215 101,329 84,352 101,598 84,560 101,708 84,677 101,818 84,787 102,126 85,106 102,275 85,229 102,434 85,386 102,983 85,795 103,285 86,072 103,596 86,322 103,703 86,496 GOODS-PRODUCING ..................... Mining ............................................... 24,681 783 457 24,884 742 425 24,708 718 405 24,743 719 406 24,749 722 408 24,759 729 416 24,752 735 420 24,761 738 425 24,850 744 430 24,886 751 434 24,917 759 439 25,064 764 443 25,169 759 439 25,258 759 437 25,219 745 426 4,904 1,293 5,031 1,279 5,034 1,311 5,038 1,309 5,032 1,291 5,019 1,272 4,999 1,267 5,008 1,266 5,002 1,261 5,006 1,262 4,989 1,260 5,053 1,279 5,074 1,280 5,122 1,292 5,072 1,299 18,994 12,895 19,112 13,021 18,956 12,884 18,986 12,916 18,995 12,925 19,011 12,939 19,018 12,946 19,015 12,958 19,104 13,020 19,129 13,038 19,169 13,072 19,247 13,129 19,336 13,197 19,377 13,237 19,402 13,249 11,244 7,432 11,236 7,457 11,157 7,370 11,179 7,398 11,176 7,399 11,175 7,406 11,175 7,409 11,176 7,421 11,195 7,425 11,248 7,475 11,268 7,494 11,319 7,530 11,367 7,568 11,401 7,596 11,413 7,594 711 497 586 753 739 514 585 751 731 500 586 726 733 501 588 733 734 502 586 739 736 504 586 743 738 509 584 742 735 510 582 746 740 518 582 750 736 518 582 754 740 520 581 764 741 524 583 768 750 526 588 771 754 529 590 772 755 533 584 766 275 1,431 275 1,428 254 1,422 261 1,419 266 1,419 272 1,423 272 1,420 275 1,424 277 1,424 278 1,425 283 1,429 286 1,438 287 1,446 285 1,451 283 1,454 Machinery, except electrical........ Electrical and electronic equipment.................................... Transportation equipment............ Motor vehicles and equipment .... Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries ..................................... 2,060 2,039 2,007 2,018 2,015 2,022 2,025 2,028 2,033 2,044 2,053 2,064 2,074 2,085 2,098 2,123 2,015 865 707 2,101 2,015 841 696 2,111 2,014 851 697 2,106 2,022 859 695 2,099 2,022 854 694 2,092 2,011 847 694 2,087 2,011 843 693 2,080 2,010 842 693 2,088 1,995 814 695 2,095 2,028 848 695 2,096 2,018 837 695 2,111 2,019 838 697 2,118 2,016 835 701 2,128 2,016 831 700 2,136 2,008 823 700 362 369 363 364 366 364 366 368 370 371 372 374 377 376 379 Nondurable g o o d s ......................... 7,750 5,463 7,875 5,564 7,799 5,514 7,807 5,518 7,819 5,526 7,836 5,533 7,843 5,537 7,839 5,537 7,909 5,595 7,881 5,563 7,901 5,578 7,928 5,599 7,969 5,629 7,976 5,641 7,989 5,655 Food and kindred products......... Tobacco manufactures ................ Textile mill products..................... Apparel and other textile products...................................... Paper and allied products ........... 1,617 59 705 1,636 57 730 1,628 58 718 1,630 58 722 1,635 57 725 1,642 56 724 1,633 57 727 1,634 57 729 1,644 57 736 1,632 56 732 1,631 55 735 1,635 55 736 1,645 56 738 1,644 56 738 1,659 55 735 1,106 674 1,113 678 1,106 678 1,101 679 1,103 678 1,104 677 1,107 677 1,108 676 1,130 678 1,110 677 1,117 681 1,123 678 1,128 680 1,121 681 1,114 682 Printing and publishing................. Chemicals and allied products..... Petroleum and coal products...... Rubber and misc. plastics products...................................... Leather and leather products ..... 1,457 1,023 169 1,501 1,027 165 1,479 1,018 164 1,483 1,018 164 1,485 1,017 164 1,493 1,018 164 1,497 1,022 164 1,498 1,014 164 1,504 1,026 164 1,508 1,031 164 1,509 1,031 166 1,514 1,035 167 1,522 1,041 167 1,525 1,047 167 1,531 1,049 165 790 151 818 151 803 147 805 147 807 148 809 149 809 150 810 149 815 155 819 152 824 152 833 152 840 152 845 152 846 153 SERVICE-PRODUCING ................... Transportation and public u tilities............................................. 74,930 77,226 76,211 76,407 76,580 76,839 76,956 77,057 77,276 77,389 77,517 77,919 78,116 78,338 78,484 5,244 3,041 5,377 3,149 5,304 3,089 5,315 3,097 5,333 3,112 5,348 3,124 5,344 3,120 5,350 3,128 5,363 3,133 5,377 3,147 5,416 3,183 5,436 3,198 5,459 3,218 5,468 3,227 5,476 3,228 2,203 2,228 2,215 2,218 2,221 2,224 2,224 2,222 2,230 2,230 2,233 2,238 2,241 2,241 2,248 5,735 3,383 2,351 5,797 3,419 2,379 5,741 3,386 2,355 5,757 3,391 2,366 5,766 3,397 2,369 5,772 3,397 2,375 5,775 3,401 2,374 5,781 3,405 2,376 5,797 3,418 2,379 5,807 3,422 2,385 5,815 3,431 2,384 5,831 3,444 2,387 5,851 3,456 2,395 5,873 3,475 2,398 5,892 3,487 2,405 17,845 2,363 2,873 18,262 2,404 2,959 18,080 2,358 2,929 18,140 2,373 2,940 18,136 2,380 2,944 18,197 2,385 2,953 18,205 2,390 2,956 18,226 2,387 2,960 18,274 2,407 2,959 18,256 2,411 2,962 18,314 2,415 2,958 18,408 2,459 2,969 18,443 2,454 2,982 18,433 2,427 2,994 18,587 2,457 3,019 1,943 5,879 1,987 5,994 1,978 5,946 1,979 5,956 1,979 5,964 1,978 5,962 1,978 5,976 1,983 5,982 1,985 5,985 1,985 5,992 1,988 6,018 2,000 6,032 2,003 6,047 2,011 6,063 2,027 6,082 6,297 3,152 1,945 1,200 6,589 3,278 2,044 1,267 6,480 3,235 2,012 1,233 6,501 3,243 2,016 1,242 6,526 3,256 2,022 1,248 6,558 3,272 2,032 1,254 6,576 3,276 2,037 1,263 6,586 3,280 2,037 1,269 6,608 3,291 2,043 1,274 6,624 3,293 2,050 1,281 6,629 3,292 2,054 1,283 6,650 3,296 2,068 1,286 6,657 3,301 2,069 1,287 6,667 3,303 2,082 1,282 6,671 3,308 2,083 1,280 23,099 4,781 6,551 24,138 5,097 6,880 23,670 4,950 6,721 23,759 4,984 6,748 23,842 5,020 6,773 23,926 5,044 6,800 24,025 5,083 6,822 24,083 5,086 6,853 24,214 5,105 6,887 24,279 5,133 6,923 24,295 5,152 6,943 24,406 5,194 6,987 24,493 5,195 7,023 24,623 5,222 7,065 24,651 5,220 7,102 16,711 17,063 2,899 2,943 3,888 3,952 9,923 , 10,168 16,936 2,912 3,929 10,095 16,935 2,916 3,927 10,092 16,977 2,922 3,930 10,125 17,038 2,933 3,943 10,162 17,031 2,935 3,947 10,149 17,031 2,935 3,932 10,164 17,020 2,936 3,952 10,132 17,046 2,940 3,964 10,142 17,048 2,962 3,957 10,129 17,188 2,965 3,973 10,250 17,213 2,977 3,978 10,258 17,274 2,979 3,994 10,301 17,207 2,981 3,971 10,255 Oil and gas extraction ................ Construction ................................... General building contractors...... M anufacturing................................. Production workers .................... Durable g o o d s ............................... Production workers..................... Lumber and wood products ........ Furniture and fixtures................... Stone, clay, and glass products ... Primary metal industries .............. Blast furnaces and basic steel products...................................... Fabricated metal products........... Production workers...................... Transportation.............................. Communication and public utilities......................................... Wholesale t r a d e ............................. Durable goods.............................. Nondurable goods....................... Retail tra d e ...................................... General merchandise stores....... Food stores.................................. Automotive dealers and service stations....................................... Eating and drinking places.......... Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................................... Finance ........................................ Insurance ..................................... Real estate................................... Services............................................ Business services........................ Health services............................ Government .................................... Federal......................................... State............................................. Local............................................. p = preliminary NOTE: See notes on the data for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14. Average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Industry Annual average 1986 1987 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1988 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p PRIVATE SECTOR .............................................. 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.9 34.8 34.7 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.9 34.6 34.9 34.9 34.7 34.7 MANUFACTURING.................................................... 40.7 3.4 41.0 3.7 40.9 3.6 41.1 3.6 40.9 3.6 40.6 3.5 41.0 3.8 41.0 3.7 41.0 3.8 41.0 3.8 40.6 3.6 41.3 4.0 41.2 3.9 41.0 3.9 41.1 3.9 Overtime hours............................................... Lumber and wood products................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products......................... Primary metal industries ..................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... Fabricated metal products .................................. 41.3 3.5 40.3 39.8 42.2 41.9 41.7 41.3 41.5 3.8 40.6 39.9 42.3 43.1 43.6 41.5 41.6 3.7 40.8 40.2 42.5 42.6 42.7 41.6 41.7 3.7 41.3 40.2 42.8 42.6 42.3 41.6 41.5 3.7 40.9 40.0 42.5 42.6 42.3 41.5 41.2 3.6 40.6 39.1 41.9 42.3 42.4 41.2 41.6 3.9 41.0 39.9 42.3 43.1 43.3 41.6 41.5 3.8 40.6 40.0 42.0 43.1 43.5 41.5 41.6 3.8 40.6 40.0 42.2 43.4 44.1 41.4 41.6 4.0 40.4 40.1 42.1 43.5 44.0 41.5 41.0 3.7 39.4 39.3 41.9 43.4 45.2 40.8 41.9 4.1 40.4 40.0 42.6 43.7 44.3 42.0 41.9 4.0 40.8 40.0 42.5 43.7 44.0 42.1 41.6 4.0 40.5 39.7 42.6 43.5 44.1 41.8 41.6 4.0 39.7 39.4 42.2 43.5 44.2 41.8 Machinery except electrical ................................ Electrical and electronic equipment..................... Transportation equipment.................................... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments and related products ...................... 41.6 41.0 42.3 42.6 41.0 42.2 40.9 42.1 42.3 41.4 42.0 41.0 42.3 42.9 41.2 42.2 41.1 42.5 43.0 41.3 42.0 40.9 42.3 42.9 41.3 41.8 40.6 41.9 42.1 41.0 42.2 40.8 42.2 42.5 41.5 42.2 41.1 41.9 42.0 41.5 42.4 41.1 41.7 41.9 41.6 42.2 41.0 41.9 41.9 41.7 41.6 40.4 41.3 41.3 41.1 42.6 41.1 42.5 43.0 42.1 42.7 41.0 42.4 43.1 41.7 42.5 40.8 41.6 41.4 41.5 42.8 41.2 42.0 41.9 41.6 Nondurable g o o d s .................................................. Overtime hours............................................... Food and kindred products................................. Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products..................... Paper and allied products ................................... 39.9 3.3 40.0 41.1 36.7 43.2 40.2 3.6 40.2 41.9 37.1 43.4 40.1 3.5 40.0 41.6 37.0 43.4 40.3 3.5 40.1 42.0 37.4 43.3 40.1 3.5 40.0 42.1 37.0 43.0 39.7 3.3 39.8 I 41.4 36.1 43.0 40.2 3.7 40.1 42.0 37.2 43.5 40.2 3.6 40.1 42.1 37.1 43.3 40.3 3.7 39.9 42.4 37.3 43.5 40.3 3.7 40.3 42.1 37.4 43.4 40.1 3.6 40.2 41.3 36.3 43.8 40.5 3.8 40.5 41.9 37.4 43.7 40.4 3.8 40.6 41.8 37.1 43.5 40.3 3.7 40.6 41.7 37.2 43.2 40.3 3.8 40.5 41.3 37.1 43.6 Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products............................ Petroleum and coal products.............................. 38.0 41.9 43.8 38.0 42.3 43.9 37.9 42.2 44.6 38.1 42.2 44.0 37.9 42.0 44.1 37.7 42.2 43.9 37.9 42.1 44.3 38.1 42.0 43.3 38.1 42.2 44.4 37.9 42.4 43.3 38.2 42.8 43.2 38.0 42.7 43.5 38.0 42.7 43.6 37.9 42.8 44.5 37.9 42.7 44.5 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC U T ILITIE S .... 39.2 39.1 39.0 39.2 39.0 39.0 39.2 38.8 39.2 39.3 39.1 39.3 39.1 39.0 39.3 Overtime hours............................................... Durable g o o d s .......................................................... WHOLESALE T R A D E ............................................... 37.7 37.5 38.3 38.3 38.1 38.2 38.3 38.2 38.1 38.3 38.0 38.4 38.3 38.1 38.3 RETAIL TRADE .......................................................... 29.2 29.3 29.0 29.3 29.3 29.5 29.4 29.2 29.3 29.6 29.6 29.3 29.2 28.8 28.9 SERVICES ................................................................... 32.5 32.5 32.4 32.6 32.5 32.4 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.6 32.5 32.7 p = preliminary NOTE: See “Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis benchmark adjustment. 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 15. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry Industry Annual average 1987 1988 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Seasonally adjusted ......................................... $8.76 - $8.98 - $8.90 8.86 $8.92 8.88 $8.92 8.91 $8.91 8.91 $8.93 8.95 $8.92 8.94 $8.91 8.96 $8.94 9.02 $9.06 9.02 $9.09 9.08 $9.14 9.12 $9.12 9.10 $9.18 9.14 M IN IN G ......................................................................... 12.44 12.45 12.66 12.56 12.51 12.43 12.42 12.44 12.31 12.32 12.43 12.34 12.47 12.49 12.61 CO NSTRU CTIO N........................................................ 12.47 12.66 12.58 12.51 12.59 12.55 12.60 12.61 12.57 12.67 12.77 12.79 12.80 12.78 12.90 9.73 9.91 9.84 9.84 9.85 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.86 10.00 9.95 10.01 10.08 10.09 10.29 Lumber and wood products................................ 8.33 Furniture and fixtures.......................................... 7.46 Stone, clay, and glass products......................... 10.05 Primary metal industries ..................................... 11.86 Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... 13.73 Fabricated metal products .................................. 9.89 10.45 8.40 7.67 10.27 11.98 13.84 10.03 10.38 8.27 7.61 10.17 11.76 13.55 9.98 10.39 8.31 7.58 10.15 11.78 13.59 9.99 10.39 8.28 7.58 10.13 11.82 13.66 9.99 10.39 8.34 7.58 10.23 11.96 13.84 9.98 10.40 8.37 7.64 10.26 11.96 13.80 9.97 10.42 8.44 7.66 10.29 11.97 13.83 10.00 10.40 8.46 7.67 10.33 11.97 13.70 9.95 10.42 8.49 7.74 10.31 11.98 13.81 9.97 10.53 8.48 7.75 10.40 12.24 14.17 10.04 10.51 8.44 7.73 10.31 12.05 13.97 10.11 10.57 8.49 7.73 10.34 12.08 13.97 10.15 10.63 8.45 7.79 10.34 12.16 14.07 10.23 10.63 8.55 7.79 10.34 12.14 13.98 10.18 Machinery, except electrical ............................... 10.59 Electrical and electronic equipment.................... 9.65 Transportation equipment.................................... 12.81 Motor vehicles and equipment......................... 13.45 9.47 Instruments and related products ...................... 7.54 Miscellaneous manufacturing.............................. 10.77 9.90 12.96 13.57 9.75 7.73 10.64 9.84 12.93 13.58 9.64 7.69 10.68 9.84 12.88 13.49 9.67 7.68 10.72 9.84 12.86 13.49 9.67 7.66 10.70 9.82 12.80 13.40 9.67 7.67 10.70 9.83 12.85 13.42 9.69 7.72 10.76 9.84 12.88 13.47 9.70 7.74 10.74 9.89 12.83 13.36 9.74 7.72 10.76 9.90 12.90 13.43 9.78 7.70 10.81 9.98 13.07 13.69 9.80 7.76 10.86 9.95 13.09 13.73 9.81 7.77 10.89 10.00 13.18 13.82 9.87 7.81 10.97 10.07 13.26 13.92 9.89 7.87 10.95 10.05 13.22 13.96 9.99 7.95 8.94 Food and kindred products................................. 8.74 Tobacco manufactures....................................... 12.85 Textile mill products............................................ 6.93 Apparel and other textile products..................... 5.84 Paper and allied products ................................... 11.18 9.16 8.92 13.82 7.18 5.95 11.42 9.09 8.90 12.97 7.10 5.94 11.26 9.08 8.91 13.44 7.11 5.93 11.26 9.09 8.93 13.80 7.12 5.93 11.27 9.14 8.95 14.28 7.12 5.94 11.37 9.13 8.96 14.53 7.13 5.89 11.40 9.11 8.91 15.57 7.15 5.91 11.41 9.16 8.88 14.85 7.14 5.89 11.48 9.12 8.80 14.20 7.16 5.90 11.41 9.28 8.92 12.89 7.23 6.01 11.67 9.18 8.86 12.77 7.24 5.99 11.48 9.24 8.96 13.44 7.31 6.00 11.50 9.31 9.05 13.68 7.32 6.02 11.56 9.33 9.10 14.12 7.37 6.04 11.53 Printing and publishing........................................ 9.99 Chemicals and allied products............................ 11.98 Petroleum and coal products.............................. 14.18 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products..... 8.73 5.92 Leather and leather products ............................. 10.28 12.37 14.57 8.89 6.06 10.14 12.18 14.57 8.83 6.04 10.16 12.21 14.51 8.79 6.01 10.17 12.24 14.50 8.80 6.06 10.14 12.30 14.50 8.82 6.12 10.19 12.31 14.52 8.84 6.05 10.19 12.27 14.43 8.87 6.04 10.25 12.37 14.48 8.93 5.98 10.31 12.34 14.52 8.90 6.01 10.48 12.56 14.71 8.98 6.09 10.42 12.52 14.66 8.91 6.09 10.39 12.56 14.75 8.93 6.11 10.44 12.61 14.70 9.01 6.10 10.38 12.62 14.75 9.00 6.12 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC U T ILITIE S .... 11.70 12.00 11.89 11.93 11.90 11.94 11.95 11.91 12.00 12.04 12.09 12.09 12.17 12.12 12.10 WHOLESALE T R A D E ............................................... 9.35 9.60 9.49 9.55 9.53 9.53 9.57 9.57 9.57 9.62 9.67 9.67 9.74 9.74 9.81 PRIVATE S E C T O R .................................................... M ANUFACTURING.................................................... Durable goods ........................................................... Nondurable goods .................................................... Dec.p Jan.p RETAIL TRADE .......................................................... 6.03 6.11 6.09 6.09 6.08 6.09 6.09 6.08 6.07 6.06 6.20 6.16 6.19 6.17 6.23 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ES TA T E .... 8.35 8.76 8.60 8.75 8.72 8.71 8.72 8.68 8.69 8.81 8.79 8.81 8.94 8.85 8.93 SERVICES ................................................................... 8.16 8.47 8.37 8.43 8.41 8.40 8.38 8.35 8.33 8.40 8.55 8.61 8.71 8.72 8.80 - Data not available. p = preliminary 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: See “Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 16. Average weekly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry Annual average 1987 1988 Industry 1986 1987 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p PRIVATE SECTOR Current dollars.................................................. $304.85 $312.50 $306.16 $307.74 $308.63 $308.29 $310.76 $312.20 $312.74 $315.58 $314.38 $317.24 $318.07 $318.29 $315.79 Seasonally adjusted....................................... 307.44 309.91 310.07 309.18 312.36 311.11 311.81 314.80 312.09 316.89 318.29 315.77 317.16 Constant (1977) dollars ................................... 171.07 169.28 169.52 169.74 169.48 168.28 169.17 169.21 169.14 169.76 168.30 169.38 169.64 169.85 M IN IN G ......................................................................... 524.97 526.64 538.05 527.52 522.92 519.57 526.61 527.46 518.25 522.37 523.30 526.92 527.48 537.07 532.14 CO NSTRUCTIO N........................................................ 466.38 477.28 467.98 460.37 470.87 469.37 485.10 480.44 485.20 489.06 464.83 496.25 474.88 480.53 464.40 Current dollars................................................... Constant (1977) dollars..................................... 396.01 222.23 406.31 220.10 401.47 222.30 401.47 221.44 402.87 221.24 398.75 217.78 403.68 219.75 405.66 219.87 400.72 216.72 403.27 216.93 408.00 218.42 410.94 219.40 414.41 221.02 421.34 224.83 413.69 - Durable goods ........................................................... Lumber and wood products................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products......................... Primary metal industries ..................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel products......... Fabricated metal products .................................. 424.98 335.70 296.91 424.11 496.93 572.54 408.46 433.68 341.04 306.03 434.42 516.34 603.42 416.25 430.77 331.63 302.88 421.04 500.98 575.88 414.17 431.19 337.39 299.41 423.26 503.01 577.58 413.59 432.22 337.00 301.68 425.46 505.90 581.92 414.59 427.03 338.60 294.10 430.68 508.30 593.74 408.18 431.60 345.68 301.78 439.13 514.28 598.92 412.76 434.51 348.57 306.40 437.33 517.10 605.75 417.00 426.40 341.78 300.66 439.03 514.71 602.80 405.96 430.35 345.54 311.92 439.21 515.14 600.74 411.76 432.78 338.35 308.45 442.00 531.22 639.07 410.64 439.32 342.66 313.84 443.33 522.97 610.49 424.62 443.94 343.00 312.29 438.42 529.10 613.28 429.35 451.78 342.23 318.61 437.38 536.26 624.71 437.84 441.15 334.31 303.81 424.97 528.09 615.12 424.51 Machinery, except electrical ............................... Electrical and electronic equipment.................... Transportation equipment.................................... Motor vehicles and equipment......................... Instruments and related products ...................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.............................. 440.54 395.65 541.86 572.97 388.27 298.58 454.49 404.91 545.62 574.01 403.65 303.79 446.88 404.42 549.53 585.30 397.17 303.76 449.63 402.46 546.11 577.37 399.37 301.06 452.38 402.46 547.84 582.77 401.31 301.04 445.12 395.75 536.32 566.82 394.54 297.60 449.40 399.10 542.27 571.69 399.23 302.62 455.15 404.42 539.67 567.09 402.55 304.18 447.86 399.56 526.03 549.10 398.37 299.54 449.77 403.92 530.19 547.94 403.91 303.38 449.70 404.19 538.48 562.66 402.78 302.64 460.46 408.95 553.71 586.27 410.06 310.80 467.18 414.00 561.47 594.26 414.54 309.28 478.29 421.93 568.85 597.17 421.31 313.23 468.66 415.07 557.88 589.11 415.58 309.26 Nondurable goods ................................................... 356.71 349.60 480.59 284.82 214.33 482.98 368.23 358.58 532.07 300.84 220.75 495.63 362.69 354.22 481.19 293.94 218.59 488.68 362.29 351.05 486.53 295.78 220.00 484.18 363.60 352.74 525.78 299.04 219.41 483.48 361.03 351.74 536.93 291.21 212.65 486.64 366.11 359.30 571.03 298.75 219.11 493.62 367.13 357.29 624.36 303.16 221.03 494.05 366.40 354.31 527.18 297.02 217.93 495.94 368.45 358.16 512.62 302.87 220.66 492.91 374.91 363.94 501.42 301.49 218.16 514.65 371.79 360.60 526.12 305.53 224.63 501.68 375.14 365.57 551.04 308.48 224.40 502.55 381.71 371.96 555.41 309.64 226.35 509.80 375.07 366.73 539.38 302.91 222.88 502.71 379.62 501.96 621.08 390.64 523.25 639.62 381.26 514.00 645.45 384.05 514.04 629.73 386.46 515.30 636.55 381.26 519.06 635.10 384.16 518.25 637.43 384.16 516.57 624:82 387.45 518.30 645.81 392.81 519.51 631.62 403.48 537.57 644.30 397.00 530.85 642.11 397.94 537.57 646.05 404.03 546.01 654.15 390.29 538.87 651.95 360.55 218.45 369.82 230.89 367.33 225.29 364.79 223.57 365.20 227.25 360.74 224.60 366.86 233.53 370.77 237.37 366.13 230.83 368.46 233.79 371.77 229.59 373.33 235.68 375.95 234.01 382.02 234.85 378.00 235.01 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC U T IL IT IE S ................................................................... 458.64 469.20 457.77 465.27 462.91 463.27 466.05 465.68 472.80 476.78 473.93 475.14 477.06 475.10 469.48 WHOLESALE T R A D E ............................................... 359.04 366.72 361.57 361.95 361.19 363.09 366.53 367.49 366.53 369.41 368.43 371.33 373.04 373.04 373.76 RETAIL TRADE .......................................................... 176.08 179.02 172.35 174.78 175.71 177.83 178.44 179.97 182.10 183.62 183.52 179.87 179.51 180.78 176.31 MANUFACTURING Food and kindred products................................. Tobacco manufactures....................................... Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products..................... Paper and allied products................................... Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products............................ Petroleum and coal products.............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products............................................... Leather and leather products ............................. FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ...................................................................... 303.94 317.99 312.18 318.50 316.54 316.17 316.54 315.95 314.58 320.68 316.44 318.92 324.52 319.49 324.16 SERVICES ................................................................... 265.20 275.28 269.51 273.13 272.48 271.32 271.51 272.21 273.22 276.36 277.02 279.83 283.08 283.40 286.00 - Data not available. p = preliminary NOTE: See "Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 17. The Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry Not seasonally adjusted Industry Jan. 1987 Nov. 1987 PRIVATE SECTOR (In current d o lla rs )............................ 171.7 Mining1 .......................................................................... Construction................................................................. Manufacturing ............................................................... Transportation and public utilities................................ Wholesale trade1 .......................................................... Retail trade .................................................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate’ ........................... Services........................................................................ PRIVATE SECTOR [In constant (1977) dollars] ........... Jan. 1988p 176.0 176.0 176.7 182.6 152.8 174.0 174.0 175.0 159.0 184.7 178.4 184.1 156.1 176.5 178.4 179.6 162.3 192.1 185.8 183.5 155.5 177.3 177.9 179.6 161.8 190.7 185.9 183.0 156.5 177.9 176.9 180.7 162.6 192.1 187.4 95.0 93.8 93.9 - 1 This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Seasonally adjusted Dec. 1987p Jan. 1987 Sept. 1987 Oct. 1987 Nov. 1987 Dec. 1987p Jan. 1988p 171.2 174.6 174.9 175.8 175.4 176.3 152.8 173.4 173.6 154.0 176.7 176.6 154.7 176.3 176.9 156.6 176.6 177.1 154.5 177.0 176.7 156.7 177.3 176.5 - - - - _ _ 158.9 162.7 162.2 162.3 161.9 _ - - _ 162.6 - 177.5 182.3 183.9 185.2 184.8 186.4 94.7 93.8 93.7 93.8 93.6 - _ p = preliminary, NOTE: See “Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 18. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Indexes of diffusion: industries in which employment increased, data seasonally adjusted (In percent) Time span and year Over 1986 1987 1988 Jan. 1-month span: ....................... ....................... ....................... Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 53.2 53.5 59.2 48.1 56.8 48.1 58.6 53.5 58.4 52.4 58.6 46.8 55.7 52.4 68.6 56.2 54.6 55.1 65.4 53.2 65.4 59.7 71.9 59.7 62.2 Over 3-month span: 1986 ...................... 1987 ....................... 1988 ....................... 49.7 58.6 44.9 59.5 45.7 61.1 48.4 61.6 47.6 61.4 45.4 67.3 48.4 66.2 55.1 75.1 55.9 69.7 58.1 77.8 58.6 74.6 60.3 68.4 Over 1986 1987 1988 6-month span: ...................... ....................... ....................... 47.6 61.9 47.6 62.7 43.0 58.9 43.2 67.3 45.4 67.6 48.4 71.1 47.3 76.2 53.0 78.6 59.2 79.5 58.9 73.2 57.8 58.9 Over 1986 1987 1988 12-month span: ........................ ......................... ......................... 43.2 62.2 44.1 63.5 46.2 67.3 45.7 68.9 47.8 73.8 49.5 71.9 49.5 76.5 51.6 54.9 52.2 55.1 56.5 - Data not available. NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the 19. spans. Data for the 2 most recent months shown in each span are preliminary. See the "Definitions" in this section. See “Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Annual data: Employment status of the noninstitutional population (Numbers in thousands) Employment status 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Noninstitutional population.................................... 166,460 169,349 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 Labor force: Total (number)................................................... Percent of population....................................... 106,559 64.0 108,544 64.1 110,315 64.2 111,872 64.3 113,226 64.4 115,241 64.7 117,167 65.1 119,540 65.6 121,602 65.9 100,421 60.3 1,597 100,907 59.6 1,604 102,042 59.4 1,645 101,194 58.2 1,668 102,510 58.3 1,676 106,702 59.9 1,697 108,856 60.5 1,706 111,303 61.1 1,706 114,177 61.9 1,737 98,824 3,347 95,477 99,303 3,364 95,938 100,397 3,368 97,030 99,526 3,401 96,125 100,834 3,383 97,450 105,005 3,321 101,685 107,150 3,179 103,971 109,597 3,163 106,434 112,440 3,208 109,232 Unemployed: Total (number)............................................ Percent of labor force................................ 6,137 5.8 7,637 7.0 8,273 7.5 10,678 9.5 10,717 9.5 8,539 7.4 8,312 7.1 8,237 6.9 7,425 6.1 Not in labor force (number) ................................ 59,900 60,806 61,460 62,067 62,665 62,839 62,744 62,752 62,888 Employed: Total (number) ............................................. Percent of population .................................. Resident Armed Forces............................ Civilian Total ....................................................... Agriculture............................................ Nonagricultural industries..................... 20. Annual data: Employment levels by industry (Numbers in thousands) P Industry 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Total employment.................................................................... Private sector......................................................................... Goods-producing ................................................................. Mining............................................................................. Construction ................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................. 89,823 73,876 26,461 958 4,463 21,040 90,406 74,166 25,658 1,027 4,346 20,285 91,156 75,126 25,497 1,139 4,188 20,170 89,566 73,729 23,813 1,128 3,905 18,781 90,200 74,330 23,334 952 3,948 18,434 94,496 78,472 24,727 966 4,383 19,378 97,519 81,125 24,859 927 4,673 19,260 99,610 82,900 24,681 783 4,904 18,994 102,110 85,047 24,884 742 5,031 19,112 Service-producing................................................................ Transportation and public utilities................................... Wholesale trade .............................................................. Retail trade ..................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................... Services........................................................................... 63,363 5,136 5,204 14,989 4,975 17,112 64,748 5,146 5,275 15,035 5,160 17,890 65,659 5,165 5,358 15,189 5,298 18,619 65,753 5,082 5,278 15,179 5,341 19,036 66,866 4,954 5,268 15,613 5,468 19,694 69,769 5,159 5,555 16,545 5,689 20,797 72,660 5,238 5,717 17,356 5,955 22,000 74,930 5,244 5,735 17,845 6,297 23,099 77,226 5,377 5,797 18,262 6,589 24,138 Government................................................................... Federal...................................................................... State .......................................................................... Local ......................................................................... 15,947 2,773 3,541 9,633 16,241 2,866 3,610 9,765 16,031 2,772 3,640 9,619 15,837 2,739 3,640 9,458 15,869 2,774 3,662 9,434 16,024 2,807 3,734 9,482 16,394 2,875 3,832 9,687 16,711 2,899 3,888 9,923 17,063 2,943 3,952 10,168 NOTE: 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis See “Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 21. Annual data: Average hours and earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls, by industry Industry 1979 1980 35.7 6.16 219.91 1981 1982 235.10 35.2 7.25 255.20 34.8 7.68 267.26 43.0 8.49 365.07 43.3 9.17 397.06 43.7 10.04 438.75 37.0 9.27 342.99 37.0 9.94 367.78 40.2 6.70 269.34 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 P 280.70 35.2 8.32 292.86 34.9 8.57 299.09 34.8 8.76 304.85 34.8 8.98 312.50 42.7 10.77 459.88 42.5 11.28 479.40 43.3 11.63 503.58 43.4 11.98 519.93 42.2 12.44 524.97 42.3 12.45 526.64 36.9 10.82 399.26 36.7 11.63 426.82 37.1 11.94 442.97 37.8 12.13 458.51 37.7 12.32 464.46 37.4 12.47 466.38 477.28 39.7 7.27 288.62 39.8 7.99 318.00 38.9 8.49 330.26 40.1 8.83 354.08 40.7 9.19 374.03 40.5 9.54 386.37 40.7 9.73 396.01 41.0 9.91 406.31 39.9 8.16 325.58 39.6 8.87 351.25 39.4 9.70 382.18 39.0 10.32 402.48 39.0 10.79 420.81 39.4 1 1 .1 2 39.2 11.70 458.64 1 2 .0 0 438.13 39.5 11.40 450.30 469.20 38.8 6.39 247.93 38.5 6.96 267.96 38.5 7.56 291.06 38.3 8.09 309.85 38.5 8.55 329.18 38.5 8.89 342.27 38.4 9.16 351.74 38.4 9.35 359.04 38.2 9.60 366.72 30.6 4.53 138.62 30.2 4.88 147.38 30.1 5.25 158.03 29.9 5.48 163.85 29.8 5.74 171.05 29.8 5.85 174.33 29.4 5.94 174.64 29.2 6.03 176.08 179.02 36.2 5.27 190.77 36.2 5.79 209.60 36.3 6.31 229.05 36.2 6.78 245.44 36.2 7.29 263.90 36.5 7.63 278.50 36.4 7.94 289.02 36.4 8.35 303.94 36.3 8.76 317.99 32.7 5.36 175.27 32.6 5.85 190.71 32.6 6.41 208.97 32.6 6.92 225.59 32.7 7.31 239.04 32.6 7.59 247.43 32.5 7.90 256.75 32.5 8.16 265.20 32.5 8.47 275.28 Private sector Average weekly hours.......................................................... Average hourly earnings (In dollars)..................................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ................................... 35.3 6 .6 6 35.0 8 .0 2 Mining Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... Construction Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... 37.7 1 2 .6 6 Manufacturing Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... Transportation and public utilities Average weekly hours ................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars)................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... 39.1 Wholesale trade Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... Retail trade Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... 29.3 6.11 Finance, insurance, and real estate Average weekly hours ..................................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... Services Average weekly hours ....................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................................ Average weekly earnings (in dollars)............................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 22. March 1988 • Compensation and Industrial Relations Data Employment Cost Index, compensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1981=100) 1985 1986 1987 Percent change Series Dec. Mar. June 129.2 130.6 131.5 131.6 124.9 131.8 133.1 126.2 133.1 125.5 126.0 131.5 137.1 134.8 130.6 Sept. 3 months ended 12 months ended Dec. Mar. June 133.0 133.8 135.0 135.9 137.5 138.6 0 .8 3.6 134.2 126.8 133.7 136.0 127.8 135.4 136.9 128.4 136.6 138.5 129.1 138.0 139.3 130.1 138.5 141.2 131.3 139.9 142.2 132.5 140.8 .7 .9 .6 3.9 3.2 3.1 126.9 127.7 132.9 138.8 136.8 131.9 128.1 128.7 133.7 139.4 138.0 132.8 128.8 129.3 135.6 142.4 140.6 134.6 129.5 130.1 136.5 143.6 141.6 135.4 130.2 130.7 138.1 145.2 144.1 136.9 131.1 131.5 138.9 145.8 144.7 137.8 132.2 132.7 140.8 149.2 146.4 139.6 133.5 134.1 141.7 150.6 148.1 140.5 127.5 128.9 129.9 130.8 131.6 132.9 133.8 135.1 129.8 - 131.3 - 132.5 - 133.5 - 134.3 - 136.1 - 137.0 - 124.4 129.5 125.7 130.9 126.3 131.1 127.2 132.3 127.8 133.5 128.4 134.7 125.3 126.0 - 126.7 127.7 - 127.8 128.7 - - - - 129.4 - 130.8 - 131.6 - 128.6 129.3 132.7 - 129.2 130.1 133.5 - - - - - - - - - - - _ _ Sept. Dec. Dec. 1987 Civilian workers 2 ................................................................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ........................................................... Blue-collar workers.............................................................. Service occupations............................................................ Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing.................................................................. Manufacturing ..................................................................... Service-producing ................................................................ Services.............................................................................. Health services................................................................ Hospitals.......................................................................... Public administration 3 ....................................................... Nonmanufacturing................................................................. Private industry workers.................................................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers......................................................... Professional specialty and technical occupations......... Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations Sales occupations........................................................... Administrative support occupations, including clerical ............................................................................ Blue-collar workers........................................................... Precision production, craft, and repair occupation........ Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors........... Transportation and material moving occupations.......... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers .... Service occupations......................................................... Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing................................................................ Construction..................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durables .......................................................................... Nondurables....... ............................................................. Service-producing .............................................................. Transportation and public utilities.................................... Transportation.................................................................. Public utilities.................................................................. Wholesale and retail trade............................................... Wholesale trade.............................................................. Retail trade ..................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate................................. Service.............................................................................. Health services................................................................ Hospitals ........................................................................ .6 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.9 4.4 4.8 4.6 3.8 136.0 .7 3.3 138.5 - 139.3 - .6 .9 .5 -.3 3.7 4.1 4.4 129.5 135.2 130.6 135.9 131.8 136.7 129.9 130.7 130.8 131.5 131.9 132.7 133.2 134.1 - - - - 135.3 - 136.3 - - 137.7 _ 138.4 _ - - - - - - _ 1.2 1.0 1.1 .6 .9 1.2 1.2 1.2 .9 .9 .8 1.3 .6 1 .2 4.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 2.9 1.1 2 .8 .6 2.4 1.0 .1 3.1 3.7 3.1 2.7 3.8 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.3 3.0 4.0 2.5 .1 2 .0 1.0 .7 1.1 1.0 1.2 .5 .4 .2 .6 .2 .7 - - - - - - - - - 1.3 5.2 4.3 4.9 Nonmanufacturing ............................................................ 128.4 129.7 130.6 131.7 132.4 134.1 135.1 136.4 137.1 .5 3.5 State and local government workers ............................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers......................................................... Blue-collar workers........................................................... Workers, by industry division: Services ............................................................................ Hospitals and other services4 ....................................... Health services............................................................. Schools .......................................................................... Elementary and secondary......................................... Public administration3 ....................................................... 137.5 138.9 139.7 143.6 144.7 145.9 146.3 149.7 151.1 .9 4.4 138.6 132.7 140.0 134.7 140.5 136.3 145.0 138.5 146.0 139.5 147.2 140.8 147.5 141.3 151.2 143.3 152.7 144.3 1.0 4.6 3.4 139.1 135.2 140.3 142.0 134.8 140.4 136.8 141.5 143.0 136.8 140.8 137.9 141.7 143.2 138.0 145.5 139.4 147.6 149.4 140.6 146.6 141.1 148.4 150.3 141.6 147.3 142.5 148.9 150.5 144.1 147.6 143.3 149.1 150.7 144.7 151.8 145.1 154.1 156.5 146.4 153.1 146.3 155.5 157.8 148.1 1 Cost (cents per hour worked) measured in the Employment Cost Index consists of wages, salaries, and employer cost of employee benefits. 2 Consist of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .7 .9 .8 1.1 .9 .8 1.2 3 Consist of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory 4 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. - Data not available. 4.4 3.7 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.6 activities. 23. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1981=100) 1985 1986 1987 Percent change Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 3 months ended 12 months ended Dec. 1987 Civilian workers 1 ................................................................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers .......................................................... Blue-collar workers............................................................. Service occupations............................................................ Workers, by industry division Goods-producing.................................................................. Manufacturing ..................................................................... Service-producing .......................................................... Services............................................................................ Health services.......................................................... Hospitals.................................................................... Public administration 2 ..................................................... Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... Private industry workers.................................................. Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers...................................................... Professional specialty and technical occupations...... Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations ................................................................ Sales occupations....................................................... Administrative support occupations, including clerical................................................................ Blue-collar workers........................................................ Precision production, craft, and repair occupations.............................................................. Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors....... Transportation and material moving occupations....... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers.................................................................. Service occupations ...................................................... Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing............................................................. Construction ............................................................... Manufacturing............................................................... Durables.................................................................... Nondurables................................................................. Service-producing....................................................... Transportation and public utilities............................... Transportation............................................................ Public utilities.......................................................... Wholesale and retail trade.......................................... Wholesale trade ....................................................... Retail trade............................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate........................... Services...................................................... Health services.......................................................... Hospitals.................................................................... Nonmanufacturing.......................................................... State and local government workers............................. Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers.......................................... Blue-collar workers.................................................. Workers, by industry division Services ...................................................... Hospitals and other services 3 .................................... Health services .......................................................... Schools................................................................... Elementary and secondary................................... Public administration 2 .................................................. 127.0 128.3 129.3 130.7 131.5 132.8 133.5 135.2 136.1 0.7 3.5 129.8 122.3 128.6 131.2 123.4 129.8 132.4 124.1 130.0 134.1 125.0 131.7 135.0 125.6 132.8 136.6 126.2 134.2 137.3 127.1 134.7 139.4 128.3 136.0 140.2 129.4 136.6 .6 3.9 3.0 2.9 123.1 123.8 129.4 134.8 124.4 125.3 130.7 136.4 125.6 126.5 131.5 137.0 126.3 127.2 133.4 139.9 127.0 127.9 134.2 141.1 _ 128.5 129.5 136.5 143.4 _ _ 141.0 135.2 129.8 130.8 138.5 146.8 131.0 132.2 139.2 148.2 _ 142.6 137.1 143.8 137.8 .5 3.1 3.4 3.7 5.0 4.6 5.0 4.1 3.6 132.0 128.4 133.8 129.6 134.6 130.4 137.5 132.2 138.1 133.0 127.8 128.7 135.8 142.7 _ 140.5 134.5 125.6 126.8 127.9 128.8 129.5 130.8 131.7 133.0 133.8 .6 3.3 128.3 131.5 129.6 132.7 131.1 134.0 132.0 135.4 132.7 136.4 134.6 138.4 135.4 139.1 137.0 141.2 137.6 142.6 .4 1.0 3.7 4.5 128.4 122.5 130.5 122.4 132.1 124.3 132.4 125.2 133.5 124.9 135.6 126.7 136.4 127.1 138.6 127.0 139.2 126.1 .4 -.7 4.3 127.9 129.6 130.8 131.7 132.7 134.3 135.5 137.1 138.1 .7 4.1 - - - - - - - - https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - _ _ _ .9 1.1 .5 1.0 1.1 1.2 .8 1 .0 1 2 2 .0 123.1 123.7 124.5 125.1 125.6 126.6 127.7 128.9 .9 3.0 123.8 125.3 125.7 123.6 118.9 126.7 124.1 119.8 127.4 124.9 120.1 127.9 125.5 120.5 128.8 126.7 121.5 130.2 127.5 122.3 131.1 129.2 122.9 .7 1.3 .5 2.9 3.4 2.3 121.4 130.1 121.9 131.4 1 2 2 .6 123.7 132.6 125.0 133.2 1.1 131.9 3.0 2.4 126.8 127.5 121.7 128.7 127.7 130.5 133.4 128.1 128.3 122.7 129.5 128.7 131.0 134.3 129.3 129.6 123.8 130.8 129.7 132.8 135.7 130.0 130.8 124.7 132.2 131.1 134.1 136.2 130.2 .9 .7 1 2 1 .6 1 2 2 .6 117.8 118.0 119.8 126.6 1 2 0 .0 128.0 120.3 128.0 120.9 128.9 122.9 117.9 123.8 123.4 124.6 127.8 125.2 124.2 118.3 125.3 124.8 126.1 129.0 126.3 125.4 119.8 126.5 125.8 127.9 129.9 126.6 126.1 120.5 127.2 126.4 128.5 130.9 127.3 1 2 0 .8 127.9 127.2 129.3 131.6 127.5 - - - _ _ _ - - - - _ _ 123.7 128.3 121.9 126.5 134.1 124.5 129.7 122.5 126.6 136.2 125.8 131.2 123.7 128.0 136.9 126.5 131.8 124.4 129.0 138.2 126.9 133.1 124.5 130.0 139.5 127.9 ,34.8 125.2 133.5 141.8 _ 129.9 137.2 127.1 131.5 142.8 _ 130.6 137.8 127.8 131.8 145.9 - - - - _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - 126.6 127.7 128.7 129.7 _ 130.7 138.5 127.7 131.6 147.1 .5 -.1 1.7 2 .6 -.2 1 .2 .8 134.2 134.8 .4 3.4 .9 4.2 141.4 142.5 142.8 146.1 147.4 142.8 135.1 143.9 136.3 144.1 136.9 147.7 139.0 149.3 139.6 135.6 130.9 136.8 132.4 137.1 133.3 142.1 135.8 143.3 137.3 143.9 138.6 144.2 139.4 148.2 141.2 149.5 142.2 144.1 145.7 137.5 3.0 4.1 132.8 140.4 138.2 139.4 134.6 .1 131.9 141.8 134.5 138.0 139.4 133.8 2 .6 130.4 136.0 137.0 138.5 132.0 2.1 .6 1.1 137.0 131.9 _ .4 .2 -.2 1.2 135.5 - 1.1 1.0 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.7 3.5 - 136.6 130.4 - 1.1 _ 134.2 - .5 5.4 4.6 5.1 135.3 128.4 1 Consists of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 2 .9 .4 _ 145.1 146.4 138.1 _ 145.5 146.5 140.5 _ 145.6 146.6 141.0 1.1 .4 .9 .7 1.0 150.3 152.0 142.6 151.8 153.4 143.8 3 Includes, for example, library, social and health services, - Data not available. 1.0 .9 .8 4.6 3.3 4.3 3.6 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.1 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Compensation and Industrial Relations Data 24. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size (June 1981 = 100) 1985 1987 1986 Percent change 3 months ended Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 12 months ended Dec. 1987 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status1 Union ..................................................................................... Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing ..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 127.1 125.2 130.2 125.5 128.6 128.4 126.4 131.6 127.0 129.7 128.7 126.7 131.9 126.9 130.4 129.4 127.3 132.8 127.5 131.2 129.8 127.5 133.4 127.9 131.5 130.5 128.0 134.4 128.0 132.6 131.2 128.7 135.2 128.7 133.5 132.0 129.5 135.9 129.5 134.3 133.4 131.3 136.7 131.5 135.1 Nonunion................................................................................ Goods-producing ................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing ..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing............................................................... 127.5 125.1 129.0 126.3 128.1 129.0 126.7 130.4 128.1 129.5 130.2 128.2 131.4 129.7 130.4 131.2 129.1 132.5 130.4 131.6 132.1 130.0 133.4 131.4 132.5 133.6 130.8 135.3 132.2 134.3 134.6 131.8 136.4 133.2 135.3 136.1 133.1 137.9 134.6 136.8 136.9 134.1 138.6 135.6 137.5 129.9 127.2 124.6 129.8 131.6 128.7 125.9 130.8 133.3 129.6 126.2 131.6 134.2 130.7 127.3 132.1 135.2 131.4 128.1 132.8 137.4 132.1 129.1 134.1 138.6 133.2 130.2 134.2 140.3 134.2 131.2 135.8 141.9 135.4 131.7 136.3 128.1 123.9 129.5 125.5 130.5 126.4 131.4 127.2 132.2 127.9 133.5 129.0 134.4 130.2 135.8 131.3 136.7 132.0 Union ..................................................................................... Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing ..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing ............................................................... 124.7 122.7 127.8 123.3 125.9 125.6 123.4 129.0 124.2 126.9 126.1 124.1 129.3 124.6 127.4 126.9 124.5 130.5 125.0 128.5 127.2 124.8 130.9 125.5 128.7 127.7 125.0 131.7 125.6 129.5 128.3 125.8 132.2 126.2 130.1 129.1 126.5 132.9 127.0 130.8 130.5 128.5 133.6 129.3 131.5 Nonunion................................................................................ Goods-producing................................................................. Service-producing................................................................ Manufacturing ..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing ............................................................... 125.9 123.0 127.7 124.4 126.6 127.3 124.5 128.9 126.1 127.8 128.5 126.1 129.9 127.7 128.9 129.4 127.0 130.8 128.5 129.8 130.3 127.8 131.7 129.5 130.6 131.8 128.8 133.6 130.6 132.4 132.8 129.6 134.6 131.5 133.4 134.3 131.1 136.2 133.0 134.9 135.0 132.1 136.7 133.9 135.4 128.1 125.4 122.9 127.1 129.2 126.8 124.2 128.1 131.3 127.8 124.4 128.9 132.3 128.8 125.3 129.3 133.1 129.4 126.2 130.1 135.4 130.1 127.4 131.2 136.6 131.1 128.5 131.1 138.3 132.1 129.6 133.1 126.3 127.4 123.6 128.5 124.5 129.4 125.0 130.2 125.6 131.6 126.6 132.4 127.8 133.7 129.1 1.1 2 .8 1.4 3.0 2.5 .6 1.5 2 .8 .6 2.7 .6 3.6 3.2 3.9 3.2 3.8 .8 .5 .7 .5 Workers, by region 1 Northeast................................................................................ South ..................................................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central).......................................... West....................................................................................... 1.1 .9 .4 .4 5.0 3.0 2 .8 2 .6 Workers, by area size 1 Metropolitan areas................................................................. Other areas............................................................................ .7 .5 3.4 3.2 WAGES AND SALARIES Workers, by bargaining status 1 1.1 2 .6 1 .6 3.0 .5 2.1 1 .8 3.0 .5 2 .2 .5 .4 .7 .4 3.6 3.4 3.8 3.4 3.7 139.7 133.0 129.9 133.5 1 .0 5.0 134.6 129.8 .8 Workers, by region 1 Northeast................................................................................ South ..................................................................................... Midwest (formerly North Central).......................................... West....................................................................................... .7 2 .8 .2 2.9 .3 2 .6 .7 .5 3.4 3.3 Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan areas................................................................. Other areas............................................................................ 1 2 2 .0 1 The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see the 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor R eview Technical Employment Cost Index,” May 1982. M onthly Note, “Estimation procedures for the 25. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Annual average Quarterly average Measure 1986 1985 1987 1986 I II III IV I 2.7 2.4 1.7 2.4 IP IVp IIP Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustments, covering 5,000 workers or more: 2 settlements First year of contract ........................................... Annual rate over life of contract......................... Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: First year of contract ........................................... Annual rate over life of contract ......................... 2 .6 1.1 0 .6 0.7 0.7 2.7 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.2 2.3 2.7 1.2 .8 1.3 .8 2 .0 1.2 1.8 1.5 2 .0 1.5 2.1 1.8 3.3 .7 2.3 .5 .4 1.0 .9 .8 .2 .2 .3 1.8 1.7 .4 .7 .2 .2 4.1 3.9 2.5 2.1 3.4 2.4 2 .6 2.1 2.4 2.9 2 .0 1 .8 Effective adjustments: Total effective wage adjustment 3 ......................... From settlements reached in period ................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier periods................................................................. From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses............. .6 (4) .7 .5 .5 .2 .1 .2 .5 .2 .3 .7 .6 .3 .1 .1 .2 .1 .2 .6 (4) 1 Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers’ cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases, and no changes in compensation or wages. (4) (4) Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts, Between -0.05 and 0.05 percent. p = preliminary, 3 4 26. Average specified compensation and wage adjustments, major collective bargaining settlements in private industry situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) Average for four quarters endingMeasure 1986 I II 1987 III IV I IIP IVP IIP Specified total compensation adjustments, settlements covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract......................................................... Annual rate over life of contract............................................. 2.3 2.5 1.4 2 .0 0.9 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.9 2 .8 3.1 1.6 1.7 2.1 2 .6 2 .6 2 .2 Specified wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: All industries First year of contract ............................................ Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ................................................... Annual rate over life of contract ................................................. Contracts with COLA clauses......................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ..................................... Manufacturing First year of contract .............................................................. Contracts with COLA clauses..................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ................................................... Annual rate over life of contract ................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses....................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ................................................... Nonmanufacturing First year of contract ................................................................. Contracts with COLA clauses........................................................ Contracts without COLA clauses ................................................... Annual rate over life of contract ................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses......................................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ................................................... Construction First year of contract ........................................................................ Contracts with COLA clauses.......................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ............................................. Annual rate over life of contract...................................................... Contracts with COLA clauses....................................... Contracts without COLA clauses ........................................... 1 2 Data do not meet publication standards. Between -0.05 and 0.05 percent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.6 1.8 2 .2 1.8 2.1 1.5 .8 1.9 .9 2 .0 2 .2 .9 1.4 2.1 2 .2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 .2 1.7 1.8 1.8 2 .0 2 .2 2.1 2.5 2 .0 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 2 .2 2 .6 2 .6 .8 .1 - 1.0 2.1 1.1 -1.5 1.3 -3.5 1.1 1.3 -2.7 .3 2.1 -.1 1.8 .7 -.4 1.4 - 1.2 1.3 - 2 .8 -.8 .8 2.4 1.3 1.3 2.1 2 .0 .9 - 2 .0 .3 .2 .9 (2) 2.3 1.0 2 .0 1.1 .8 .8 1.0 1.0 1.5 .9 -.1 -.2 -.6 -.2 1.2 2.1 2 .8 2 .6 2.1 2 .0 2 .2 2.3 2.5 3.5 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.4 2.4 2.1 2 .2 2.1 2.1 3.3 2.7 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.7 2 .8 2 .6 1.6 2.3 2 .2 2.4 2.5 2 .8 (1) (') 1.1 (1) (’) p 2 .0 2 .2 2.4 2.7 2.3 2.4 2 .6 2 .8 2.1 2 .2 2 .2 2 .2 2.4 2 .6 2 .8 2.4 3.0 2.3 1.4 2.4 2 .2 2.4 2.7 3.7 2.7 2.9 3.8 2.9 1.4 2.3 2.5 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.5 1.4 2 .6 2 .6 2.5 2 .6 2 .6 2 .8 3.0 (’) O 2.9 (1) (') 3.2 (’) 0 3.1 (1) (’) = preliminary. 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Compensation and Industrial Relations Data 27. Average effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) Average for four quarters ending1987 1986 Effective wage adjustment II III IV I IF IIIP |Vp 2.9 .5 1.8 .7 2.3 .5 1.6 .2 2.3 .5 1.7 .2 2.0 .4 1.5 .1 2.2 .3 1.6 .3 2.6 .5 1.7 .4 3.1 .7 1.8 .5 3.8 2.5 3.4 2.0 3.1 1.7 3.8 1.0 2.8 1.6 3.9 1.0 2.5 1.2 3.7 .6 2.8 1.0 3.5 1.8 3.2 1.9 3.3 2.3 3.6 2.9 3.3 2.6 For all workers:1 Total...................................................................................................... From settlements reached in period ................................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period ....................... From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses........................................... For workers receiving changes: Total...................................................................................................... From settlements reached in period ................................................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period ....................... From cost-of-living-adjustments clauses........................................... ’ Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts. p = preliminary. 28. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, State and local government collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Annual average Measure 1985 1986 1987 4.2 5.1 6.2 6.0 4.9 4.8 4.6 5.4 5.7 5.7 4.9 5.1 5.7 4.1 1.6 (4) 5.5 2.4 3.0 (4) 4.9 2.6 2.2 (4) Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustments, 2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: Effective adjustments: ' Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers’ cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases, and no changes in compensation or wages. 3 Because of rounding, total may not equal sum of parts, 4 Less than 0.05 percent. 29. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more 1987 Annual totals 1988P Measure 1986 Number of stoppages: Beginning in period.................... In effect during period................ Workers involved: Beginning in period (in thousands)................................. In effect during period (in thousands)................................. Days idle: Number (in thousands)............... Percent of estimated working time1 .......................................... 69 72 1987 46 51 Jan. Mar. Feb. 2 7 5 7 Apr. 3 5 2 5 82 June 3 7 8 12 July Sept. Aug. 6 14 Nov. Oct. 3 11 7 15 1 12 Jan. Dec. 6 11 0 5 2 5 533.0 174.4 7.3 37.6 12.2 2.7 7.0 16.1 8.4 18.4 45.9 1.3 11.8 .0 6.2 899.5 377.7 47.6 41.6 16.2 8.9 13.9 25.8 14.1 36.0 71.9 53.7 22.2 8.9 9.8 1,186.1 4,480.8 828.6 194.1 104.4 151.3 201.2 278.0 471.0 361.4 1,155.1 353.3 222.9 159.4 87.0 .05 .02 .04 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .02 .05 .02 .01 .01 .4 ' Agricultural and government employees are included in the total employed and total working time: private household, forestry, and fishery employees are excluded. An explanation of the measurement of idleness as a percentage of the total time worked is found in “'Total economy’ measure of strike idleness,” M onthly Labor Review, October 1968, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May pp. 54-56. p = preliminary 30. Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Annual 1987 1988 Series Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 113,6 340.4 111.2 333.1 111.6 334.4 112.1 335.9 112.7 337.7 113.1 338.7 113.5 340.1 113.8 340.8 114.^ 342.7 115.C 344.4 115.C 345.C 115.4 345.6 115.4 345.7 115.7 346.7 109.1 109.C 107.3 110.9 104.5 103.3 109.4 109.4 109.0 106.5 110.4 109.2 112.5 111.1 113.5 113.5 111.9 114.8 110.5 105.9 119.1 110.5 111.0 108.1 107.5 113.8 117.0 114.1 112.1 112.1 110.7 112.9 109.9 105.3 114.6 110.9 110.3 108.5 111.4 111.5 115.2 112.4 112.5 112.5 111.2 113.3 108.8 105.9 118.3 111.3 110.3 107.4 111.3 112.9 115.5 112.8 112.5 112.5 110.9 113.4 108.9 105.4 117.4 110.8 110.7 109.0 109.8 112.6 115.9 112.9 112.8 112.8 111.3 114.3 108.6 105.3 120.1 110.6 110.7 108.0 108.5 113.3 116.1 113.3 113.3 113.3 112.0 114.6 109.6 105.7 121.8 110.5 110.8 108.5 108.0 113.4 116.4 113.6 113.8 113.8 112.6 114.7 110.4 105.5 124.1 110.2 111.2 107.8 106.8 113.7 116.8 114.0 113.7 113.7 112.1 115.2 111.4 105.3 119:6 110.0 111.1 108.4 105.9 114.1 117.2 114.4 113.8 113.8 112.1 115.C 111.9 105.7 117.4 110.4 111.3 108.3 105.9 114.8 117.5 114.7 114.2 114.1 112.4 115.4 112.7 106.4 117.4 110.3 111.6 107.8 105.8 114.6 118.0 114.9 114.C 114.C 112.4 115.6 112.C 106.9 117.8 110.6 111.6 107.4 106.7 114.7 118.3 115.2 114.3 114.2 112.1 116.2 111.2 106.9 117.4 110.2 111.4 108.0 105.0 115.1 118.6 115.4 114.8 114.7 112.8 116.8 110.3 106.7 123.4 110.0 111.0 107.7 104.8 115.0 118.9 115.4 115.7 115.7 114.1 118.1 111.0 107.4 126.4 111.3 112.2 108.5 106.9 115.9 119.3 115.8 Housing .................................... Shelter ............................................ Renters'costs (12/82=100).................................................. Rent, residential....................................... Other renters' costs ............................. Homeowners' costs (12/8 2=1 0 0 )................... Owners' equivalent rent (12/82 = 100) ..................... Household insurance (12/82 = 100)................... Maintenance and repairs............................. Maintenance and repair services .......................... Maintenance and repair commodities......................... Fuel and other utilities.................................... Fuels ................................................. Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ............................................... Gas (piped) and electricity .................................................... Other utilities and public services ............................................ Household furnishings and operations....................................... Housefurnishings ....................................... Housekeeping supplies.................................... Housekeeping services.................................... 110.9 115.8 121.9 118.3 118.6 119.4 119.4 119.2 107.9 111,2 103.7 104.1 99.2 77.6 105.7 117.9 105.2 102.2 108.2 108,5 114.2 121.3 128.1 123.1 127.4 124.8 124.8 124.0 111.8 114.8 107.8 103.0 97.3 77.9 103.8 120.1 107.1 103.6 111.5 110.6 112.0 118.5 125.3 121.3 122.1 122.0 122.0 121.8 110.3 112.9 106.8 101.1 95.0 75.5 101.5 118.7 106.3 103.2 109.9 109.5 112.4 119.0 125.8 121.7 122.8 122.5 122.5 122.0 110.2 112.5 107.2 101.4 95.3 77.9 101.5 119.1 106.5 103.3 110.1 109.8 112.8 119.6 126.4 121.8 125.0 123.0 123.0 122.2 110.7 113.4 107.1 101.5 95.2 77.5 101.5 119.3 106.8 103.6 110.9 109.9 113.2 120.2 127.1 122.0 127.1 123.6 123.6 122.4 110.3 112.8 107.2 101.3 94.7 77.5 100.8 119.7 107.2 104.0 111.1 110.3 113.6 120.5 127.3 122.3 127.1 124.0 124.1 123.0 110.2 112.3 107.5 102.2 96.1 77.1 102.5 119.8 107.1 103.5 111.7 110.6 114.3 120.8 127.9 122.3 129.1 124.2 124.2 123.6 111.1 113.7 107.8 104.9 100.8 77.2 108.1 119.4 107.1 103.5 111.9 110.5 114.7 121.3 129.3 123.0 132.8 124.4 124.4 124.5 113.2 116.8 108.4 105.0 100.4 77.1 107.6 120.5 107.2 103.6 111.7 110.8 115.4 122.2 130.1 123.8 133.3 125.4 125.4 125.1 112.9 116.5 108.2 105.9 101.4 77.8 108.7 121.1 107.3 103.8 111.5 110.9 115.6 122.5 129.8 124.4 130.5 126.0 126.0 125.5 112.7 116.3 107.8 105.5 101.0 77.6 108.2 120.8 107.5 103.9 111.8 111.0 115.5 123.2 129.4 124.8 127.7 127.1 127.2 125.8 112.8 116.4 108.1 103.2 96.9 78.5 103.3 121.2 107.4 103.6 112.3 111.2 115.5 123.4 129.2 124.8 126.7 127.4 127.5 125.9 113.5 116.9 108.9 102.4 95.5 80.3 101.4 121.3 107.4 103.6 112.4 111.2 115.6 123.7 129.1 125.6 124.1 128.0 128.0 126.2 113.3 116.6 109.1 102.0 95.1 80.5 100.9 120.9 107.3 103.3 112.5 111.4 116.2 124.6 130.8 126.0 129.4 128.5 128.6 126.9 113.7 117.4 108.7 102.4 95.6 80 8 101.5 121.3 107.5 103.5 113.1 111.5 Apparel and upkeep............................... Apparel commodities .............................. Men s and boys' apparel.......................................................... Women s and girls' apparel ..................................................... Infants and toddlers' apparel.................................................. Other apparel commodities...................................................... Apparel services.............................. 105.9 104.2 106.2 104.0 111.8 101.9 101.7 115.1 110.6 108.9 109.1 110.4 112.1 105.1 108.0 119.6 105.6 103.7 105.7 103.1 107.9 101.3 104.2 117.9 106.2 104.3 106.1 103.9 108.9 101.8 105.5 118.1 109.7 108.1 108.0 109.6 114.3 104.5 106.1 118.6 111.5 110.0 109.2 112.8 114.1 105.8 105.9 118.6 111.1 109.5 109.9 111.2 113.1 106.5 105.8 119.3 109.3 107.6 109.0 107.6 110.1 105.6 107.6 119.5 107.3 105.3 107.8 104.2 107.7 103.4 108.2 120.0 109.4 107.6 108.3 108.4 109.0 104.2 109.3 119.8 113.3 111.8 110.6 115.3 112.1 105.7 110.3 119.9 115.4 114.0 112.0 118.3 116.2 107.3 110.7 120.8 115.4 114.0 112.5 117.7 116.7 108.0 110.7 121.1 112.7 111.0 110.7 112.6 114.5 107.2 111.3 121.4 110.4 108.6 109.0 108.2 113.6 106.1 112.9 121.6 Transportation ..................................... Private transportation............................. New vehicles.................................... New cars...................................... Used cars ............................................. Motor fuel ...................................... Gasoline.......................................... Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation ..................................................... Other private transportation commodities.................... Other private transportation services......................... Public transportation .................................. 102.3 101.2 110.6 110.6 108.8 77.1 77.0 110.3 115.1 96.3 118.8 117.0 105.4 104.2 114.4 114.6 113.1 80.2 80.1 114.8 120.8 96.9 125.6 121.1 102.6 101.3 114.7 114.8 106.2 72.8 72.7 112.8 119.3 96.6 123.7 120.4 103.1 101.8' 113.5 113.5 106.9 76.0 75.9 113.3 118.9 96.4 123.4 120.6 103.3 102.0 113.1 113.1 108.7 76.6 76.4 113.3 119.1 96.7 123.5 121.1 104.2 103.0 113.5 113.6 111.3 78.5 78.4 114.3 119.4 96.0 124.0 120.9 104.7 103.5 113.8 114.0 113.4 79.1 79.0 114.3 119.7 96.7 124.2 120.6 105.4 104.3 114.1 114.3 114.7 80.8 80.7 114.4 120.3 96.7 125.0 120.2 106.0 104.9 114.4 114.7 115.4 82.2 82.1 114.5 120.8 96.3 125.7 120.2 106.5 105.4 114.0 114.4 115.5 84.3 84.3 115.1 120.7 96.8 125.5 121.5 106.6 105.4 113.8 114.1 116.0 84.0 84.0 115.7 121.1 97.6 125.8 122.1 107.1 106.0 115.0 115.2 116.2 83.2 83.1 116.1 122.8 98.0 127.8 121.2 107.8 106.8 116.3 116.6 116.5 83.2 83.1 116.5 123.8 97.6 129.2 122.0 107.6 106.5 116.4 116.6 116.3 82.0 81.8 116.9 123.8 97.5 129.2 122.1 107.1 106.0 116.1 116.2 116.0 79.7 79.5 117.2 124.7 98 2 130.1 121.8 Medical care....................................... Medical care commodities......................... Medical care services.............................. Professional services............................. Hospital and related services ...................... 122.0 122.8 121.9 120.8 123.1 130.1 131.0 130.0 128.8 131.6 126.6 126.7 126.6 124.8 127.9 127.4 127.4 127.4 125.8 1 2 8 .6 128.1 128.5 128.0 126.6 129.1 128.7 129.0 128.7 127.5 129.7 129.2 129.9 129.0 127.9 130.1 129.9 130.8 129.6 128.8 130.6 130.7 131.6 130.4 129.5 132.0 131.2 132.2 131.0 130.0 133.0 131.7 132.7 131.5 130.7 133.3 132.3 133.5 132.0 131.2 134.2 132.8 134.2 132.5 131.5 135.4 133.1 134.9 132.7 131.8 135.9 134.4 135.4 134.1 133.2 137.6 Entertainment ........................................ Entertainment commodities ...................... Entertainment services........................ 111.6 107.9 116.8 115.3 110.5 122.0 113.3 108.8 119.6 113.5 108.8 120.0 113.9 109.6 120.1 114.5 109.9 121.0 114.8 110.3 121.2 114.9 110.3 121.4 115.4 110.7 122.0 115.6 110.6 122.5 116.1 110.7 123.5 116.9 111.2 124.5 117.3 112.2 124.3 117.4 112.6 124.3 118.1 112.9 125.4 Other goods and services ................................. Tobacco products........................................ Personal care........................................ Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services .............................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies......................... Personal and educational services.......................................... 121.4 124.7 111.9 111.3 112.5 128.6 128.1 128.7 128.5 133.6 115.1 113.9 116.2 138.5 138.1 138.7 125.5 129.6 113.6 112.6 114.5 135.2 135.0 135.4 126.1 130.8 113.9 112.9 114.7 135.6 135.9 135.8 126.3 131.3 113.9 112.9 114.8 135.8 136.0 136.0 126.6 131.6 114.2 113.2 115.1 136.1 136.2 136.3 126.9 131.8 114.9 113.7 116.0 136.3 136.4 136.5 127.2 132.4 114.9 113.7 116.1 136.7 136.5 136.8 128.0 135.0 115.3 114.3 116.2 136.9 136.5 137.2 128.5 135.3 115.6 114.3 116.8 137.7 136.7 137.9 131.1 135.9 116.0 114.7 117.2 142.1 141.3 142.3 131.6 136.3 116.2 114.9 117.4 142.8 142.3 143.1 131.8 136.5 116.3 115.0 117.5 143.1 142.3 143.4 132.1 137.0 116.5 115.0 117.9 143.4 142.4 143.6 133.4 140.8 117.3 116.1 118.4 143.9 144.6 144.0 1986 1987 All Items....................................... All items (1967 =100) ...................................................................... 109.6 328.4 Food and beverages ................................... Food................................................................ Food at home..................................................... Cereals and bakery products................................................ Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs............................................... Dairy products.................................................. Fruits and vegetables................................... Other foods at home..................................... Sugar and sweets....................................... Fats and oils....................................... Nonalcoholic beverages..................................................... Other prepared foods......................................................... Food away from home ...................... Alcoholic beverages................................... CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS: See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 30. Continued—Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Series Annual average 1987 1988 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 113.6 107.7 113.5 104.0 101.1 108.9 99.5 108.2 111.2 105.3 112.1 101.0 96.5 103.7 95.1 107.4 111.6 105.8 112.5 101.6 97.9 104.3 96.8 107.0 112.1 106.4 112.5 102.6 99.4 108.1 97.3 107.2 112.7 107.2 112.8 103.6 100.7 110.0 98.3 107.7 113.1 107.5 113.3 103.7 100.9 109.5 98.7 107.9 113.5 107.7 113.8 103.8 100.7 107.6 99.6 108.2 113.8 107.6 113.7 103.8 100.6 105.3 100.5 108.4 114.4 108.2 113.8 104.6 102.0 107.6 101.5 108.3 115.4 120.2 112.8 116.3 121.9 119.4 120.2 125.9 113.1 121.9 130.0 125.7 117.7 123.1 111.3 120.3 126.6 123.1 118.1 123.6 111.5 120.3 127.4 123.4 118.5 124.1 111.5 120.4 128.0 123.7 118.9 124.8 111.4 120.9 128.7 124.1 119.3 125.1 112.3 120.9 129.0 124.4 120.1 125.4 114.8 121.3 129.6 124.7 120.5 126.0 115.1 121.7 130.4 125.1 Special indexes: All items less food ...................................................................... All items less shelter .................................................................. All items less homeowners’ costs (1 2 /8 2 -1 0 0 )....................... All items less medical care......................................................... Commodities less food................................................................ Nondurables less food ................................................................ Nondurables less food and apparel ........................................... Nondurables................................................................................ Services less rent of shelter (12/82 = 100) ............................... Services less medical care......................................................... Energy.......................................................................................... All items less energy .................................................................. All items less food and energy .................................................. Commodities less food and energy............................................ Energy commodities ................................................................... Services less energy................................................................... 109.8 108.0 111.2 108.8 101.7 98.5 96.9 103.5 118.7 114.6 88.2 112.6 113.5 108.6 77.2 116.5 113.6 111.6 115.1 112.6 104.3 101.8 100.3 107.5 123.1 119.1 88.6 117.2 118.2 111.8 80.2 122.0 111.0 109.3 112.7 110.2 101.4 97.4 96.2 104.4 120.8 116.7 83.9 115.0 115.8 109.5 73.3 119.5 111.4 109.7 113.1 110.6 102.0 98.6 97.7 105.3 121.1 117.0 85.6 115.3 116.1 109.6 76.4 119.9 112.0 110.2 113.6 111.1 102.9 100.1 98.2 106.1 121.3 117.4 85.8 115.8 116.8 110.7 76.9 120.3 112.7 110.8 114.2 111.7 103.9 101.3 99.1 106.9 121.6 117.8 86.4 116.4 117.4 111.5 78.5 120.9 113.0 111.1 114.6 112.1 104.0 101.4 99.5 107.2 122.1 118.2 87.4 116.7 117.6 111.7 79.1 121.2 113.5 111.7 115.1 112.5 104.1 101.4 100.3 107.4 123.2 119.0 90.7 116.9 117.7 111.4 80.6 121.4 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982-84 = $1.00 .......................................................................... 1967 = $1.00 ................................................................................ 91.3 30.5 88.0 29.4 89.9 30.0 89.5 29.9 89.1 29.8 88.6 29.6 88.4 29.5 All items ......................................................................................... All items (1967 = 100) ..................................................................... 108.6 323.4 112.5 335.0 110.0 327.7 110.5 329.0 111.0 330.5 111.6 332.3 Food and beverages ..................................................................... Food............................................................................................. Food at home ........................................................................... Cereals and bakery products................................................. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs................................................ Dairy products........................................................................ Fruits and vegetables............................................................. Other foods at home.............................................................. Sugar and sweets................................................................ Fats and oils........................................................................ Nonalcoholic beverages...................................................... Other prepared foods.......................................................... Food away from home ............................................................. Alcoholic beverages.................................................................... 108.9 108.8 107.1 110.9 104.4 103.2 109.4 109.1 109.0 106.4 110.0 109.0 112.5 111.1 113.3 113.3 111.7 114.8 110.4 105.7 118.8 110.4 110.9 107.9 107.5 113.6 116.9 113.9 111.9 111.9 110.5 112.9 109.8 105.1 114.3 110.7 110.1 108.3 111.3 111.3 115.2 112.4 112.3 112.3 110.9 113.3 108.7 105.8 117.7 111.0 110.1 107.3 111.0 112.6 115.5 112.8 112.3 112.3 110.7 113.4 108.7 105.3 116.9 110.7 110.5 108.8 109.7 112.4 115.8 112.9 Housing .......................................................................................... Shelter ......................................................................................... Renters’ costs (12/84 = 100).................................................. Rent, residential..................................................................... Other renters’ costs ............................................................... Homeowners’ costs (12/84 —100)........................................... Owners' equivalent rent (12/84 = 100) .................................. Household insurance (12/84 = 100)...................................... Maintenance and repairs.......................................................... Maintenance and repair services .......................................... Maintenance and repair commodities.................................... Fuel and other utilities................................................................. Fuels ......................................................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ............................................... Gas (piped) and electricity .................................................... Other utilities and public services ............................................ Household furnishings and operations....................................... Housefurnishings...................................................................... Housekeeping supplies............................................................. Housekeeping services............................................................. 109.7 113.5 109.5 118.2 119.1 108.8 108.8 109.4 107.7 110.5 103.1 103.9 99.2 77.8 105.7 117.7 105.0 101.9 108.5 109.1 112.8 118.8 114.6 122.9 128.2 113.8 113.7 114.1 111.3 114.7 106.0 102.7 97.1 77.6 103.6 120.1 106.7 103.1 111.8 110.9 110.7 116.1 112.3 121.2 121.6 111.1 111.1 111.9 110.0 112.9 105.1 100.8 94.9 75.5 101.4 118.6 106.0 102.7 110.2 110.1 111.0 116.6 112.7 121.5 122.4 111.6 111.5 112.1 109.9 112.4 105.4 101.1 95.1 77.7 101.3 119.0 106.2 102.8 110.6 110.3 Apparel and upkeep ...................................................................... 105.8 110.4 105.4 106.0 1986 1987 All items ........................................................................................... Commodities.................................................................................. Food and beverages ................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages...................................... Nondurables less food and beverages .................................... Apparel commodities............................................................. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .................. Durables.................................................................................... 109.6 104.4 109.1 101.4 97.8 104.2 95.9 106.6 Services.......................................................................................... Rent of shelter (12/82 = 100)..................................................... Household services less rent of shelter (12/82 = 100)............. Transportation services............................................................... Medical care services................................................................. Other services ............................................................................. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 115.0 108.9 114.2 105.5 103.5 111.8 101.6 108.3 115.3 109.3 114.3 106.1 104.2 114.0 101.5 108.8 115.4 109.5 114.3 106.5 104.3 114.0 101.8 109.6 115.4 109.3 114.8 105.7 103.1 111.0 101.5 109.5 115.7 109.2 115.7 105.1 102.1 108.6 101.2 109.4 121.2 126.9 115.8 122.0 131.0 125.6 121.7 127.2 115.5 122.5 131.5 127.9 121.9 128.0 113.5 123.4 132.0 128.7 122.0 128.1 112.6 124.5 132.5 128.8 122.2 128.5 112.3 124.6 132.7 129.0 122.9 129.4 112.7 125.1 134.1 129.6 113.8 111.8 115.3 112.7 104.1 101.3 101.1 107.3 123.7 119.4 91.1 117.1 118.0 111.2 81.8 122.0 114.5 112.3 115.9 113.3 104.9 102.6 102.0 108.1 124.2 120.1 92.7 117.6 118.6 111.8 83.8 122.7 115.1 113.0 116.5 113.9 105.7 104.0 102.2 109.0 124.9 120.6 92.3 118.3 119.4 112.9 83.5 123.2 115.5 113.2 116.6 114.2 106.3 104.6 102.1 109.4 124.6 120.8 89.8 118.9 120.1 113.7 82.9 123.9 115.7 113.3 116.8 114.4 106.7 104.8 102.4 109.5 124.6 120.8 89.0 119.2 120.5 114.1 83.1 124.2 115.5 113.2 116.6 114.3 106.0 103.7 102.1 109.1 124.6 121.0 88.3 119.2 120.4 113.5 82.0 124.4 115.7 113.3 116.9 114.6 105.5 102.8 101.9 109.1 125.3 121.7 87.4 119.7 120.8 113.2 80.0 125.2 88.0 29.4 87.8 29.3 87.3 29.2 86.9 29.0 86.7 29.0 86.5 28.9 86.6 28.9 86.4 28.8 111.9 333.4 112.4 334.9 112.7 335.6 113.3 337.4 113.8 339.1 114.1 340.0 114.3 340.4 114.2 340.2 114.5 341.0 112.6 112.5 111.0 114.3 108.5 105.1 119.5 110.4 110.5 107.9 108.4 113.1 116.0 113.2 113.1 113.1 111.7 114.5 109.5 105.6 121.1 110.4 110.7 108.3 108.1 113.2 116.2 113.5 113.6 113.6 112.3 114.8 110.4 105.3 123.9 110.1 111.1 107.6 106.8 113.5 116.7 113.9 113.5 113.5 111.9 115.2 111.3 105.1 119.6 109.9 111.0 108.2 105.9 113.9 117.0 114.2 113.6 113.6 111.9 115.3 111.8 105.5 117.3 110.3 111.3 108.1 106.0 114.6 117.4 114.4 114.0 114.0 112.2 115.4 112.7 106.2 117.1 110.2 111.5 107.6 106.0 114.4 117.9 114.6 114.1 114.1 112.2 115.7 112.0 106.7 117.5 110.5 111.6 107.3 106.9 114.5 118.2 114.9 114.1 114.0 111.9 116.2 111.2 106.7 117.4 110.1 111.2 107.9 105.2 114.9 118.5 115.2 114.5 114.5 412.5 116.9 110.1 106.4 123.0 109.8 110.9 107.6 104.9 114.8 118.8 115.1 115.4 115.4 113.7 118.1 110.8 107.1 125.7 111.3 112.1 108.4 107.2 115.7 119.1 115.6 111.4 117.1 113.3 121.7 125.6 112.1 112.1 112.4 110.3 113.5 105.2 101.2 95.0 77.3 101.3 119.3 106.5 103.1 111.3 110.4 111.8 117.7 113.8 121.9 128.3 112.7 112.7 112.5 110.2 113.2 105.2 101.0 94.4 77.3 100.6 119.6 106.9 103.4 111.5 110.7 112.2 118.1 114.0 122.1 128.6 113.1 113.1 113.1 110.2 112.5 106.0 101.8 95.8 76.8 102.2 119.7 106.7 103.0 112.0 110.9 112.9 118.2 114.2 122.2 129.7 113.2 113.2 113.8 111.0 113.9 106.3 104.6 100.7 77.0 108.0 119.4 106.7 102.9 112.1 110.9 113.2 118.8 115.3 122.8 133.6 113.4 113.4 114.6 112.6 116.9 106.3 104.7 100.2 76.9 107.4 120.4 106.8 103.1 112.1 111.1 114.0 119.6 116.0 123.6 134.2 114.3 114.3 115.1 112.4 116.6 106.2 105.6 101.3 77.5 108.6 121.0 106.9 103.3 111.9 111.2 114.1 120.0 116.2 124.2 132.2 114.8 114.8 115.5 112.1 116.4 105.8 105.2 100.8 77.3 108.1 •120.7 107.1 103.4 112.2 111.3 114.0 120.7 116.0 124.5 129.3 115.9 115.9 115.8 112.2 116.0 106.3 102.8 96.5 78.2 103.0 121.1 107.0 103.1 112.7 111.4 113.9 120.9 115.9 124.6 128.1 116.2 116.2 115.9 112.7 116.5 106.9 102.0 95.1 80.1 101.1 121.2 107.0 103.1 112.8 111.4 114.1 121.2 115.9 125.3 124.5 116.6 116.6 116.1 112.5 115.9 107.1 101.7 94.8 80.2 100.7 120.9 106.9 102.9 112.9 111.6 114.6 121.9 116.9 125.7 129.2 117.1 117.1 116.7 113.0 117.1 106.9 102.0 95.2 80.4 101.2 121.2 107.1 103.0 113.5 111.7 109.5 111.4 110.9 109.1 107.1 109.1 112.9 115.2 115.2 112.6 110.3 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR URBAN WAGE EARNERS AND CLERICAL WORKERS: See footnotes at end of table. 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued—Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group (1982-84=100, unless otherwise indicated) Series 1988 1987 Annual average Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 111.5 109.8 115.2 113.9 106.0 109.8 119.4 113.9 111.5 118.2 118.6 107.9 110.4 120.3 113.9 112.0 117.6 118.7 108.6 110.5 120.7 111.1 110.4 112.6 116.4 108.0 110.6 120.9 108.6 108.6 108.2 115.2 106.8 112.2 121.1 106.3 105.5 113.5 114.0 115.5 84.5 84.4 115.4 118.7 96.7 123.1 120.8 106.4 105.5 113.3 113.8 115.9 84.1 84.1 116.0 119.1 97.3 123.4 121.4 106.9 106.1 114.5 114.9 116.1 83.3 83.2 116.3 121.0 97.7 125.8 120.7 107.6 106.7 115.9 116.2 116.4 83.3 83.2 116.7 122.0 97.2 127.1 121.2 107.3 106.4 116.1 116.3 116.2 82.0 81.9 117.0 122.0 97.4 127.1 121.3 106.8 105.9 115.8 115.9 115.9 79.7 79.5 117.4 122.9 98.1 128.0 121.2 130.8 130.9 130.8 129.6 131.4 131.4 131.3 131.4 130.2 132.4 132.0 131.9 132.0 130.9 132.8 132.6 132.6 132.6 131.4 133.7 133.0 133.4 133.0 131.7 134.9 133.4 134.1 133.2 132.0 135.4 134.6 134.7 134.6 133.4 136.9 114.5 110.5 121.2 115.0 110.9 121.8 115.1 110.8 122.2 115.6 110.9 123.2 116.3 111.3 124.3 116.7 112.2 124.1 116.9 112.6 124.0 117.4 112.8 124.9 126.2 131.8 114.7 113.6 115.9 136.1 136.3 136.3 126.6 132.5 114.8 113.6 116.0 136.4 136.4 136.7 127.5 135.1 115.1 114.1 116.2 136.7 136.4 137.0 128.0 135.4 115.4 114.3 116.7 137.4 136.6 137.7 130.3 136.0 115.8 114.6 117.1 141.8 140.7 142.1 130.8 136.5 116.1 115.0 117.3 142.4 141.8 142.7 131.0 136.7 116.2 115.0 117.4 142.8 141.8 143.1 131.3 137.2 116.4 115.1 117.8 143.0 141.9 143.3 132.7 141.0 117.1 116.0 118.3 143.4 143.9 143.6 111.6 106.7 112.6 103.0 100.2 109.9 97.9 106.0 111.9 107.0 113.1 103.3 100.4 109.4 98.4 106.4 112.4 107.3 113.6 103.4 100.4 107.4 99.3 106.6 112.7 107.3 113.5 103.5 100.4 105.3 100.3 106.9 113.3 107.9 113.6 104.3 101.8 107.4 101.4 106.8 113.8 108.5 114.0 105.1 103.1 111.5 101.5 106.9 114.1 108.9 114.1 105.7 103.8 113.9 101.3 107.4 114.3 109.1 114.1 106.0 104.0 113.9 101.6 108.0 114.2 108.9 114.5 105.4 102.8 111.1 101.2 108.0 114.5 108.8 115.4 104.7 101.7 108.6 100.8 107.9 117.7 112.5 102.5 119.2 128.1 122.7 118.1 113.0 102.4 119.7 128.9 123.2 118.5 113.4 103.2 119.8 129.3 123.5 119.3 113.5 105.7 120.2 130.0 123.7 119.7 114.0 105.9 120.6 130.8 124.1 120.4 114.9 106.6 120.7 131.4 124.6 120.9 115.2 106.3 121.2 132.0 126.9 121.1 115.9 104.2 122.5 132.6 127.7 121.2 116.1 103.4 123.5 133.0 127.8 121.3 116.4 103.1 123.6 133.2 127.9 122.0 117.1 103.5 124.1 134.6 128.5 110.0 109.0 104.5 109.5 101.4 98.2 97.4 105.1 109.0 116.2 84.9 114.1 114.7 108.5 76.5 119.1 110.6 109.5 104.9 110.0 102.3 99.6 97.8 105.8 109.2 116.5 85.1 114.7 115.3 109.6 76.9 119.6 111.3 110.1 105.5 110.6 103.3 100.8 98.7 106.6 109.5 116.9 85.8 115.3 116.0 110.5 78.6 120.1 111.6 110.5 105.9 111.0 103.6 101.0 99.2 106.9 109.9 117.4 86.8 115.6 116.3 110.7 79.2 120.4 112.1 111.1 106.4 111.5 103.7 101.0 100.0 107.2 111.1 118.1 90.1 115.7 116.3 110.5 80.7 120.6 112.4 111.2 106.6 111.7 103.8 101.1 101.0 107.2 111.5 118.5 90.5 115.9 116.6 110.3 82.0 121.1 113.1 111.8 107.1 112.3 104.6 102.4 101.9 107.9 112.0 119.2 92.2 116.4 117.2 110.8 84.1 121.8 113.7 112.4 107.7 112.9 105.4 103.6 102.0 108.8 112.5 119.7 91.8 117.1 117.9 111.8 83.8 122.4 114.0 112.6 107.8 113.1 105.9 104.2 101.9 109.2 112.2 119.9 89.3 117.7 118.7 112.7 83.0 123.1 114.3 112.7 108.0 113.3 106.3 104.4 102.2 109.2 112.2 119.9 88.6 118.0 119.1 113.1 83.2 123.4 114.1 112.5 107.8 113.2 105.6 103.3 101.8 108.8 112.2 120.1 87.8 118.0 119.0 112.6 82.1 123.7 114.2 112.7 108.0 113.4 105.0 102.4 101.5 108.8 112.8 120.7 86.8 118.5 119.3 112.3 80.0 124.3 90.5 30.4 90.1 30.3 89.6 30.1 89.3 30.0 88.9 29.9 88.7 29.8 88.2 29.6 87.8 29.5 87.6 29.4 87.4 29.4 87.5 29.4 87.3 29.3 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 108.8 108.5 110.3 114.0 105.5 107.4 119.2 103.6 105.3 103.0 110.0 101.8 103.6 117.7 104.2 105.4 103.7 111.0 102.4 104.6 118.0 107.9 107.0 109.4 116.2 105.0 105.6 118.4 109.9 108.3 113.0 115.9 106.1 105.5 118.4 109.4 109.0 111.4 115.3 106.7 105.1 118.9 107.4 108.2 107.7 111.7 105.8 107.0 119.1 105.3 106.9 104.4 109.7 103.9 107.3 119.5 107.4 107.7 108.2 110.6 104.7 108.2 119.3 101.7 100.9 110.4 110.4 108.8 77.1 76.9 110.6 113.8 96.3 117.1 116.8 105.1 104.1 114.0 114.3 113.1 80.3 80.2 115.1 119.0 96.7 123.4 120.4 101.9 100.9 114.3 114.6 106.2 73.0 72.9 113.2 117.7 96.5 121.8 119.7 102.5 101.5 113.2 113.2 106.9 76.1 -76.0 113.7 117.3 96.4 121.3 119.8 102.8 101.8 112.9 112.8 108.7 76.6 76.5 113.7 117.4 96.5 121.4 120.2 103.8 102.8 113.2 113.3 111.3 78.5 78.5 114.6 117.5 95.7 121.8 120.3 104.4 103.4 113.5 113.7 113.4 79.2 79.1 114.6 117.8 96.4 122.0 120.3 105.1 104.3 113.7 114.0 114.7 80.9 80.8 114.7 118.5 96.6 122.8 119.7 105.8 104.9 113.9 114.4 115.4 82.3 82.2 114.9 118.9 96.3 123.4 119.7 Medical care .................................................................................. Medical care commodities .......................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Professional services................................................................ Hospital and related services .................................................. 122.0 122.2 122.0 120.9 122.6 130.2 130.2 130.3 129.0 131.1 126.5 126.0 126.5 124.8 127.3 127.3 126.8 127.4 125.8 128.1 128.1 127.7 128.1 126.7 128.5 128.8 128.2 128.9 127.6 129.1 129.3 129.1 129.3 128.1 129.5 130.0 130.1 130.0 128.9 130.0 Entertainment ................................................................................. Entertainment commodities ........................................................ Entertainment services................................................................ 111.0 107.8 116.5 114.8 110.6 121.8 112.8 108.9 119.2 113.0 109.0 119.7 113.4 109.6 119.8 114.0 110.0 120.8 114.4 110.5 121.1 Other goods and services ............................................................. Tobacco products ....................................................................... Personal care............................................................................... Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services ............................................................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies...................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................... 120.9 124.8 111.9 111.2 112.6 128.5 127.8 128.6 127.8 133.7 115.0 113.9 116.1 138.2 137.9 138.4 124.8 129.8 113.5 112.5 114.5 134.8 135.0 135.1 125.4 131.0 113.9 113.0 114.8 135.3 135.9 135.5 125.6 131.4 113.8 112.8 114.8 135.5 136.0 135.7 125.9 131.7 114.1 113.1 115.0 135.9 136.2 136.1 All items............................................................................................ Commodities.................................................................................. Food and beverages................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages...................................... Nondurables less food and beverages .................................... Apparel commodities.............................................................. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .................. Durables.................................................................................... 108.6 103.9 108.9 100.8 97.3 104.2 95.3 104.9 112.5 107.3 113.3 103.6 100.8 108.8 99.2 106.6 110.0 104.8 111.9 100.3 96.0 103.6 94.6 105.4 110.5 105.3 112.3 101.0 97.4 104.2 96.4 105.1 111.0 105.9 112.3 102.0 98.9 107.9 96.8 105.4 Services.......................................................................................... Rent of shelter (12/84 —100)..................................................... Household services less rent of shelter (12/84 = 100).............. Transportation services............................................................... Medical care services................................................................. Other services ............................................................................. 114.7 109.0 103.9 115.4 122.0 118.7 119.4 114.0 104.0 120.8 130.3 124.7 116.9 111.5 102.3 119.2 126.5 122.1 117.3 111.9 102.5 119.1 127.4 122.5 Special indexes: All items less food ...................................................................... All items less shelter .................................................................. All items less homeowners’ costs (12/84 —100)....................... All Items less medical care......................................................... Commodities less food................................................................ Nondurables less food ............................................................... Nondurables less food and apparel ........................................... Nondurables................................................................................ Services less rent of shelter (12/84 = 100)................................ Services less medical care......................................................... Energy.......................................................................................... All items less energy .................................................................. All items less food and energy .................................................. Commodities less food and energy............................................ Energy commodities ................................................................... Services less energy................................................................... 108.5 107.4 102.8 107.8 101.2 98.0 96.4 103.3 107.1 113.9 87.4 111.5 112.3 107.6 77.2 115.8 112.2 111.0 106.4 111.5 103.9 101.4 100.0 107.2 110.8 118.2 88.0 116.0 116.8 110.8 80.3 121.2 109.5 108.6 104.0 109.1 100.7 96.9 95.8 104.2 108.8 115.9 83.2 113.8 114.4 108.4 73.4 118.7 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1982 84-$1.00 .................................................:....................... 1967-$1.00 ................................................................................ 92.0 30.9 89.0 29.9 90.9 30.5 1986 1987 Apparel commodities.................................................................. Men's and boys apparel.......................................................... Women's and girls’ apparel ..................................................... Infants’ and toddlers' apparel.................................................. Footwear................................................................................... Other apparel commodities...................................................... Apparel services.......................................................................... 104.2 105.9 103.8 113.5 102.1 101.6 115.0 Transportation ................................................................................ Private transportation................................................................... New vehicles............................................................................. New cars................................................................................ Used cars................................................................................. Motor fuel ................................................................................. Gasoline................................................................................. Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation..................................................... Other private transportation commodities............................. Other private transportation services.................................... Public transportation................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 31. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all items (1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Urban Wage Earners All Urban Consumers Area' Pricing Other sche Index dule2 base 1987 Jan. U.S. city average.................. M Feb. Sept. 1988 1987 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 115.4 115.7 Jan. 110.0 Feb. 1988 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 113.8 114.1 114.3 114.2 114.5 Sept. 111.2 111.6 115.0 115.3 115.4 M 113.3 113.6 117.5 118.1 118.3 118.3 118.9 112.3 112.7 116.6 117.1 117.4 117.4 117.9 M 113.9 114.4 118.8 119.2 119.3 119.4 120.0 112.3 112.7 117.1 117.6 117.7 117.8 118.1 M 111.5 111.3 113.9 115.4 116.1 115.6 116.2 110.4 110.4 112.9 114.3 115.0 114.5 115.1 M M - 112.7 109.6 112.9 109.7 115.8 113.6 115.9 113.5 116.0 113.5 116.2 113.3 117.1 113.4 115.1 107.8 115.3 107.8 118.5 111.7 118.6 111.6 118.6 111.7 118.8 111.4 119.6 111.5 M . 110.3 110.5 114.6 114.2 114.4 113.9 114.1 107.9 108.0 112.1 111.7 111.8 111.4 111.6 109.6 109.6 112.9 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.3 107.2 107.2 110.4 110.7 110.7 110.7 110.9 113.6 113.4 108.3 108.1 112.3 112.8 112.8 112.6 112.4 - 110.5 Region and area size3 Northeast urban..................... Size A - More than 1,200,000 ............................. Size B - 500,000 to 1,200,000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 500,000 ................................ North Central urban ............... Size A - More than 1,200,000 ............................. Size B - 360,000 to 1,200,000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 360,000 ................................ Size D - Nonmetro politan (less than 50,0000 ....................... South urban............................ Size A - More than 1,200,000 ............................. Size B - 450,000 to 1,200,000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 450,000 ................................ Size D - Nonmetro politan (less than 50,000) ........................ West urban............................. Size A - More than 1,250,000 ............................. Size B - 330,000 to 1,250,000 ............................. Size C - 50,000 to 330,000 ................................ Size classes: A ........................................... B ........................................... C .......................................... D .......................................... M M M M - M 109.2 109.0 113.5 113.9 113.9 107.6 110.2 107.9 110.7 110.2 113.5 110.5 113.8 110.5 114.1 110.9 114.0 110.6 114.1 107.2 109.6 107.5 110.1 110.1 113.0 110.4 113.4 110.5 113.6 110.7 113.5 110.4 113.6 110.6 111.2 114.4 114.8 115.2 114.9 114.9 109.7 110.3 113.7 114.1 114.4 114.2 114.1 M _ 110.8 111.3 114.1 114.4 114.5 114.5 114.8 108.9 109.5 112.4 112.6 112.7 112.7 112.9 M . 109.7 110.3 112.5 112.8 113.1 112.8 113.3 109.9 110.6 113.0 113.3 113.5 113.3 113.6 M M - 109.3 111.7 109.2 112.6 111.5 115.5 112.2 115.9 112.6 116.0 112.6 116.2 112.8 116.7 109.9 110.6 109.9 111.5 112.4 114.3 113.0 114.8 113.4 114.8 113.3 115.0 113.5 115.5 M . 112.6 113.6 116.7 117.1 117.0 117.2 117.9 110.2 111.3 114.2 114.6 114.5 114.8 115.3 110.5 111.0 114.2 115.0 114.8 115.0 115.8 110.8 111.2 114.4 115.2 115.0 115.2 116.0 M - 112.1 112.7 114.7 115.1 115.9 116.0 116.0 111.4 112.0 114.1 114.5 115.3 115.4 115.3 M M M M 12/86 - 100.6 110.6 110.5 109.2 101.1 110.9 110.9 109.4 104.4 113.8 113.8 111.8 104.6 114.4 114.1 112.3 104.8 114.6 114.3 112.6 104.7 114.5 114.2 112.7 105.0 115.0 114.5 112.9 100.6 109.3 110.8 109.3 100.1 109.6 111.1 109.6 104.5 112.5 114.1 112.2 104.7 113.1 114.4 112.6 104.8 113.3 114.7 113.0 104.7 113.2 114.6 113.1 105.0 113.6 114.8 113.2 M 111.9 111.9 117.1 115.1 115.7 115.7 115.3 108.7 108.6 113.6 111.7 112.2 112.2 111.9 M 113.4 114.7 118.0 118.6 118.2 118.5 118.9 110.8 112.1 115.2 115.8 115.4 115.7 115.9 - 114.7 113.4 115.3 113.9 119.8 118.7 120.2 119.1 120.5 118.6 120.6 118.9 121.3 119.3 113.2 113.3 113.8 113.6 118.5 118.5 118.8 119.0 119.1 118.6 119.1 119.0 119.6 119.3 - 112.5 113.4 116.6 117.1 117.3 117.4 118.4 111.3 112.4 115.4 116.0 116.2 116.4 117.5 M Selected local areas Chicago, ILNorthwestern IN .................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, C A ........... New York, NYNortheastern N J .................... Philadelphia, PA-NJ................ San FranciscoOakland, C A .......................... M M M _ _ Baltimore, MD ........................ Boston, MA ............................ Cleveland, O H ........................ Miami, F L ................................ St. Louis, MO-IL..................... Washington, DC-MD-VA ........ 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 111.7 114.6 110.1 109.9 110.0 113.7 - Dallas-Ft. Worth, T X ............... Detroit, M l............................... Houston, TX ........................... Pittsburgh, PA ........................ 2 2 2 2 - “ _ - - 115.7 119.5 114.7 112.5 114.3 117.8 110.9 110.2 104.4 109.8 _ “ 114.9 114.1 108.0 112.8 - 1 Area is the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area (CMSA), exclu sive of farms and military. Area definitions are those established by the Of fice of Management and Budget In 1983, except for Boston-Lawrence-Salem, MA-NH Area (excludes Monroe County); and Milwaukee, Wl Area (in cludes only the Milwaukee MSA). Definitions do not Include revisions made since 1983. 2 Foods, fuels, and several other items priced every month In all areas; most other goods and services priced as indicated:. M - Every month. 1 - January, March, May, July, September, and November. 2 - February, April, June, August, October, and December. 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 115.7 119.9 114.5 113.8 113.1 118.5 _ - _ 113.9 112.6 107.3 113.0 116.8 120.1 113.9 114.5 113.4 118.3 111.1 114.5 105.6 109.3 109.4 112.7 - _ - - _ 110.6 107.5 104.3 105.7 115.5 119.5 109.9 111.8 114.1 117.1 _ " _ 114.7 111.3 108.1 108.3 115.3 119.9 109.9 113.1 112.7 117.9 _ - _ - 116.2 120.2 109.3 113.8 113.0 117.6 113.8 109.8 107.4 108.6 - - _ 3 Regions are defined as the four Census regions. - Data not available. NOTE: Local area CPI indexes are byproducts of the national CPI pro gram. Because each local index is a small subset of the national index, it has a smaller sample size and Is, therefore, subject to substantially more sampling and other measurement error than the national index. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the national Index, although their long-term trends are quite similar. Therefore, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics strongly urges users to consider adopting the national average CPI for use in escalator clauses. 32. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, all items and major groups (1982-84=100) Series Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All items: Index...................................... Percent change................................ Food and beverages: Index................................................ Percent change......................................... Housing: Index................................................... Percent change................................... Apparel and upkeep: Index....................................... Percent change...................................... T ransportation: Index............................................... Percent change.......................................... Medical care: Index................................................. Percent change................................... Entertainment: Index......................................... Percent change............................................. Other goods and services: Index....................................... Percent change............................................ Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: All items: Index.................................. Percent change....................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 72.6 11.3 82.4 13.5 90.9 10.3 96.5 6.2 99.6 3.2 103.9 4.3 107.6 3.6 109.6 1.9 113.6 3.6 79.9 10.7 86.7 8.5 93.5 7.8 97.3 4.1 99.5 2.3 103.2 3.7 105.6 2.3 109.1 3.3 113.5 4.0 70.1 12.3 81.1 15.7 90.4 11.5 96.9 7.2 99.5 2.7 103.6 4.1 107.7 4.0 110.9 3.0 114.2 3.0 84.9 4.3 90.9 7.1 95.3 4.8 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 2.5 1.9 2.8 105.9 .9 110.6 70.5 14.3 83.1 17.9 93.2 97.0 4.1 99.3 2.4 103.7 4.4 106.4 102.3 -3.9 105.4 3.0 67.5 9.2 74.9 11.0 82.9 10.7 92.5 106.8 6.2 113.5 6.3 122.0 130.1 7.5 6.6 76.7 6.7 83.6 9.0 90.1 7.8 96.0 6.5 100.6 8.8 100.1 4.3 103.8 3.7 107.9 3.9 111.6 115.3 3.3 68.9 7.2 75.2 9.1 82.6 9.8 91.1 10.3 101.1 11.0 107.9 6.7 114.5 121.4 128.5 5.8 73.1 11.4 82.9 13.4 91.4 10.3 96.9 99.8 3.0 103.3 3.5 106.9 3.5 108.6 112.5 3.6 12.2 2.6 11.6 6.0 2.6 6.1 3.4 6.0 1.6 4.4 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 33. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing (1982=100) 1988 1987 Annual average Grouping Finished goods .............................................. Finished consumer goods ........................ Finished consumer foods....................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods ..................................................... Nondurable goods less food ............... Durable goods ..................................... Capital equipment..................................... Intermediate materials, supplies, and com ponents................................................... Materials and components for manufacturing .......................................... Materials for food manufacturing........... Materials for nondurable manufacturing . Materials for durable manufacturing...... Components for manufacturing.............. Materials and components for construction.............................................. Processed fuels and lubricants................. Containers................................................. Supplies..................................................... Crude materials for further processing ... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs ....................... Crude nonfood materials......................... 1986 1987 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 103.2 101.4 107.3 105.4 103.6 109.5 104.1 104.3 102.3 108.1 105.1 103.2 109.2 105.4 103.7 105.5 103.9 106.0 104.4 110.9 105.9 104.3 109.5 105.7 104.2 110.5 106.3 104.5 109.6 106.2 104.5 109.9 105.7 103.9 108.8 106.2 104.3 98.5 93.3 108.9 109.7 100.7 94.8 111.5 111.7 99.1 93.1 100.3 94.3 111.4 100.3 94.4 101.2 101.8 102.0 101.8 95.7 111.3 95.8 113.6 112.6 95.8 112.9 112.5 101.4 95.6 110.6 111.2 99.5 93.6 110.5 112.4 101.3 95.3 112.5 112.7 99.1 101.5 99.5 99.6 102.2 105.3 103.1 98.7 99.5 108.1 103.4 98.2 99.8 102.5 108.4 108.2 70.7 113.3 106.4 98.4 98.1 100.8 107.5 102.3 106.2 108.8 108.1 72.7 110.3 105.6 109.8 73.4 114.5 107.7 101.2 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds ........................................................... Intermediate foods and feeds..................... Intermediate energy goods ......................... Intermediate goods less energy.................. Intermediate materials less foods and energy......................................................... Crude energy materials................................ Crude materials less energy ....................... Crude nonfood materials less energy......... 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 108.3 102.0 110.6 110.6 100.6 94.8 111.2 110.6 111.4 111.6 96.6 110.9 111.7 101.1 96.1 110.0 111.2 100.9 101.5 102.1 102.5 102.7 103.1 103.5 103.7 104.2 105.1 102.3 102.5 104.9 108.5 105.5 102.7 105.8 101.5 102.9 107.1 108.8 106.3 107.2 101.7 104.7 107.6 100.3 105.2 110.9 109.6 108.2 99.8 105.4 112.9 109.8 109.3 100.9 103.3 108.4 104.6 102.7 101.3 104.5 108.5 107.0 114.4 110.3 108.5 70.3 113.8 106.4 108.7 71.2 114.0 106.7 108.9 72.5 114.0 107.3 109.3 74.5 114.2 107.6 109.8 76.0 114.2 107.8 110.2 112.5 73.3 116.1 113.5 71.2 116.7 94.8 95.1 99.7 86.4 103.7 61.6 112.4 111.1 111.6 111.2 111.6 100.2 104.0 100.1 102.6 102.8 112.2 102.0 103.4 108.1 109.0 110.0 110.7 75.9 115.4 108.2 111.3 74.7 115.9 108.7 111.8 77.3 114.4 107.8 88.0 96.0 98.4 90.3 96.5 97.1 91.8 95.7 96.6 90.8 95.2 95.9 90.5 94.6 95.2 90.0 94.3 95.8 89.1 93.4 96.9 87.1 104.3 63.4 112.7 113.1 113.3 104.7 64.9 112.3 104.2 63.4 112.4 113.4 113.1 105.2 62.5 113.2 113.4 114.6 105.0 62.4 113.2 113.4 114.4 104.7 60.9 112.9 113.1 114.5 104.7 59.0 113.8 114.2 115.0 106.2 108.7 109.3 74.9 116.3 109.4 110.1 110.6 87.7 93.2 81.6 93.6 96.2 87.9 89.9 92.8 84.1 90.3 92.7 84.8 92.4 96.9 85.5 101.9 63.0 109.7 109.7 104.0 61.8 112.3 112.5 113.3 102.8 59.5 111.3 111.3 112.4 103.0 60.2 111.3 111.3 112.5 103.7 61.7 112.9 113.0 103.9 62.5 112.3 112.7 112.9 114.2 113.0 113.2 113.7 113.7 113.7 114.2 114.3 114.1 115.7 115.5 115.6 116.3 113.1 116.3 114.9 115.3 115.5 115.6 115.7 116.5 116.9 117.3 117.3 117.5 118.3 119.2 99.3 96.2 72.6 104.5 101.7 99.2 73.1 107.3 99.7 96.1 70.5 105.4 99.9 95.1 70.1 105.6 100.4 96.9 71.0 106.1 100.9 100.4 72.2 106.7 101.6 102.2 100.7 75.7 107.4 102.7 99.6 77.0 107.7 102.8 101.0 75.6 108.3 103.3 100.5 74.4 108.9 103.7 100.7 74.1 107.1 103.8 101.9 73.0 110.0 104.2 103.1 70.9 110.9 104.9 107.8 105.9 106.2 106.6 107.0 107.5 107.9 108.2 108.7 109.6 110.1 110.7 111.7 73.6 95.9 106.8 74.1 99.4 108.1 74.5 103.5 110.5 75.6 77.8 102.4 115.7 78.9 102.3 118.7 76.7 103.0 122.9 75.5 103.3 126.0 74.6 103.0 126.7 73.5 103.5 127.0 70.7 104.8 128.6 Special groupings Finished goods, excluding foods................. Finished energy goods ................................ Finished goods less energy........................ Finished consumer goods less energy....... Finished goods less food and energy ........ Finished consumer goods less food and energy......................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy......................................................... 102.2 Sept. 110.6 111.1 71.8 95.4 103.1 75.0 100.8 115.6 72.9 95.9 106.2 112.0 112.1 101.6 112.6 102.8 113.5 112.6 112.8 101.1 74.6 109.4 34. Producer Price indexes, by durability of product (1982 = 100) Annual average 1987 1988 Grouping 1986 1987 Feb. Mar. Apr. May Total durable goods..................................... Total nondurable goods............................... 107.5 94.8 109.9 97.5 108.5 95.4 108.7 95.5 109.1 96.5 109.2 97.6 Total manufactures...................................... Durable...................................................... Nondurable ................................................ 101.7 107.5 96.0 104.4 109.6 99.2 102.7 108.5 97.1 102.8 103.5 109.0 98.1 Total raw or slightly processed goods ....... Durable...................................................... Nondurable ................................................ 92.3 107.8 91.5 94.2 122.4 92.9 111.6 91.7 92.4 111.7 91.4 93.1 35. 90.7 108.7 96.9 112.1 92.2 June July Aug. 109.3 98.2 109.7 98.8 110.0 110.2 99.0 104.0 109.1 98.9 104.3 109.1 99.5 104.8 109.4 94.8 114.6 93.8 95.4 118.6 94.2 100.1 96.2 121.8 95.0 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 111.7 98.6 112.0 112.6 98.8 111.4 98.5 98.3 98.5 105.1 109.7 100.5 105.1 109.7 100.4 105.8 110.9 100.7 106.0 100.9 105.9 111.5 100.5 112.0 101.0 96.2 125.7 94.7 95.9 130.9 94.3 94.8 136.3 92.9 94.7 137.8 92.7 94.5 137.8 92.4 94.1 139.5 92.0 111.1 106.5 Annual data: Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing (1982 = 100) Index 1978 1979 Finished goods: Total .................................................................... Consumer goods............................................. Capital equipment ........................................... 69.8 69.4 71.3 77.6 77.5 77.5 1980 88.0 88.6 85.8 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 96.1 96.6 94.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 101.6 102.8 103.7 103.3 105.2 104.7 103.8 107.5 103.2 101.4 109.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 101.2 102.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.3 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components: Total .................................................................... Materials and components for manufacturing................................................. Materials and components for construction .... Processed fuels and lubricants ...................... Containers....................................................... Supplies........................................................... 69.5 78.4 90.3 98.6 72.0 76.5 49.9 71.0 72.9 80.9 84.2 61.6 79.4 80.2 91.7 91.3 85.0 89.1 89.9 98.7 97.9 100.6 85.9 95.3 104.6 84.6 69.4 101.8 96.7 96.9 95.4 100.4 101.8 103.1 102.7 99.1 104.1 105.6 95.7 105.9 104.1 103.3 107.3 92.8 109.0 104.4 102.2 108.1 72.7 110.3 105.6 103.5 104.7 95.8 94.8 96.9 102.7 87.7 93.2 81.6 92.2 Crude materials for further processing: Total .................................................................... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs ............................... Nonfood materials except fuel ....................... Fuel .................................................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73.4 87.3 57.5 48.2 100.0 69.6 57.3 103.0 103.9 84.8 101.8 100.7 105.1 102.2 105.1 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 36. U.S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (June 1977 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Category 1974 SITC ALL COMMODITIES (9/83 = 100)............................................................... 1985 June Sept. 1986 Dec. Mar. 1987 June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 97.5 96.5 96.7 97.0 96.7 95.1 96.2 97.2 99.9 100.2 102.8 0 01 03 04 05 08 09 94.0 104.7 103.6 90.3 120.2 68.6 109.2 90.2 106.1 102.6 82.6 126.9 75.7 108.1 93.6 112.2 101.8 87.1 118.9 83.4 107.7 90.5 111.5 102.2 82.1 115.3 88.5 106.0 89.5 114.7 106.2 79.1 125.8 85.5 104.7 77.2 122.0 111.2 59.0 131.4 90.2 106.6 81.2 122.6 116.9 64.8 131.9 87.4 108.2 79.8 123.4 118.5 62.9 130.8 85.7 108.6 83.4 129.0 122.9 66.5 130.8 93.7 110.0 79.6 127.9 126.3 62.1 124.4 92.4 109.4 88.5 117.8 135.4 72.3 125.4 111.5 109.3 1 11 12 100.1 105.3 99.6 99.7 101.8 99.5 98.6 100.9 98.4 95.6 101.9 95.1 96.5 103.0 95.9 96.3 102.2 95.8 101.6 102.9 101.4 101.7 104.7 101.4 104.0 104.8 104.0 104.4 104.4 104.5 105.7 105.6 105.7 Raw hides and skins (6/80 = 100) ............................................................ Oilseeds and oleaginous fruit (9 /7 7 = 10 0 )............................................... Crude rubber (including synthetic and reclaimed) (9/83 = 100)............... Wood.......................................................................................................... Pulp and waste paper (6/83 = 100) .......................................................... Textile fibers............................................................................................... Crude fertilizers and minerals................................................................... Metalliferous ores and metal scrap .......................................................... 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 96.8 126.2 71.2 106.3 125.7 96.1 105.8 167.9 82.0 93.3 129.0 64.2 107.1 124.5 93.8 103.6 169.4 80.1 92.5 139.9 63.9 106.0 128.1 92.7 97.7 165.5 78.7 95.8 138.9 66.9 106.0 128.7 98.8 101.6 168.0 83.4 95.6 148.9 65.8 106.1 128.7 109.7 98.6 166.1 80.5 92.3 138.0 64.5 105.3 129.7 119.8 74.7 164.3 84.6 94.8 148.3 62.9 104.4 135.5 121.2 92.2 162.8 80.7 97.1 168.8 60.4 106.2 139.0 133.0 99.7 155.6 82.2 106.3 191.2 68.6 107.5 146.2 138.7 115.0 155.1 90.7 109.1 189.1 64.3 109.0 174.0 142.6 119.2 149.8 99.7 114.4 200.3 73.6 112.9 179.9 146.6 114.4 149.8 103.8 Mineral fu e ls ......................................................................................................... 3 99.2 97.6 96.6 91.9 86.7 85.7 84.7 85.6 84.4 85.6 84.7 Animal and vegetables oils, fats, and w a x e s ............................................. 4 42 144.5 164.8 114.5 128.8 101.4 108.7 90.8 95.4 84.4 95.3 76.5 80.8 86.8 87.0 88.9 89.1 94.5 94.7 94.1 94.3 98.4 100.4 5 51 56 96.8 96.5 87.9 97.1 97.1 89.8 96.6 95.4 90.0 96.5 93.5 88.6 95.4 89.3 84.0 93.1 88.0 77.4 92.2 89.4 68.7 96.6 99.5 75.4 103.1 114.3 80.4 104.1 111.1 88.0 108.6 115.8 93.9 6 61 62 64 67 68 69 99.2 79.2 149.0 151.6 95.3 79.6 105.2 99.2 75.9 148.3 149.6 95.9 79.8 105.4 99.1 78.5 148.7 148.2 98.2 78.2 104.4 100.3 77.8 151.0 152.2 98.4 80.2 105.3 101.2 82.5 150.0 158.7 99.4 79.1 105.5 102.2 84.2 150.4 165.3 100.2 79.4 105.6 102.7 88.0 151.3 167.9 100.1 78.8 105.7 104.4 96.3 152.1 174.4 101.5 80.3 105.7 106.8 101.1 153.9 177.7 101.5 90.1 105.6 108.5 99.7 155.2 182.3 102.4 94.6 106.2 109.6 97.2 155.6 184.6 104.5 95.3 106.7 7 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 142.9 167.4 155.7 155.1 152.0 100.0 133.3 116.1 133.9 196.6 143.1 167.1 156.0 ,156.3 152.4 99.9 134.1 115.3 133.8 199.3 143.3 167.5 156.2 158.4 152.2 99.4 134.5 113.8 135.0 200.7 144.0 169.1 155.5 159.0 152.3 99.9 136.5 115.1 135.5 203.3 144.2 169.2 154.7 158.9 153.3 99.2 137.0 114.2 136.4 206.8 144.6 169.5 155.0 160.4 154.4 98.9 137.8 114.4 136.5 207.4 145.5 171.4 155.7 161.8 155.3 98.1 139.7 114.9 137.9 209.7 146.2 173.0 154.7 165.0 157.7 96.1 141.3 117.0 138.0 211.4 146.7 171.7 155.9 165.8 157.8 96.0 140.8 117.4 138.5 214.7 147.2 173.4 156.5 167.8 157.9 95.5 141.2 117.6 138.9 215.7 148.0 174.3 157.1 168.3 159.3 95.4 142.1 119.1 139.1 218.7 Food (3 /8 3 -1 0 0 )........................................................................................ Meat (3 /8 3 -1 0 0 )...................................................................................... Fish (3/83-100) ....................................................................................... Grain and grain preparations (3/80=100) ............................................... Vegetables and fruit (3/83=100) ............................................................. Feedstuffs for animals (3/83=100).......................................................... Misc. food products (3/83 = 100).............................................................. Beverages and tobacco (6/83 = 100)....................................................... Beverages (9/83 = 100)............................................................................. Tobacco and tobacco products (6 /8 3 = 1 0 0 )........................................... Crude materials (6 /8 3 -1 0 0 )..................................................................... Fixed vegetable oils and fats (6/83 —100) ............................................... Chemicals (3/83 = 1 00)............................................................................... Organic chemicals (12/83 = 100) .............................................................. Fertilizers, manufactured (3/83 —100)...................................................... Intermediate manufactured products (9/81—100)................................. Leather and furskins (9 /7 9 = 10 0 )............................................................. Rubber manufactures ................................................................................ Paper and paperboard products (6 /7 8 = 1 0 0 ).......................................... Iron and steel (3/82 = 100) ....................................................................... Nonferrous metals (9/81 =100) ................................................................ Metal manufactures, n.e.s. (3/82 = 100) ................................................... Machinery and transport equipment, excluding military and commercial aircraft (12/78=100) .................................................... Power generating machinery and equipment (12/78 = 100) .................... Machinery specialized for particular industries (9/78=100) .................... Metalworking machinery (6/78=100) ...................................................... General industrial machines and parts n.e.s. 9 /7 8 = 1 0 0 )....................... Office machines and automatic data processing equipment ................... Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing equipment....... Electrical machinery and equipment......................................................... Road vehicles and parts (3 /8 0 = 1 0 0 )................................................ Other transport equipment, excl. military and commercial aviation ....... Other manufactured articles ................................................................. 8 84 87 100.4 104.7 178.3 100.3 105.0 178.7 100.3 105.3 178.8 102.6 _ 103.4 _ 104.1 Apparel (9/83 = 100)................................................................. Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and apparatus........ Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches and clocks (12/77=100)........................................................................... _ 107.3 _ 107.7 _ 108.4 183.8 183.8 104.3 110.0 184.8 105.3 182.1 186.4 188.5 190.2 191.9 88 129.1 127.5 128.5 131.6 132.9 132.7 132.0 133.4 133.1 129.5 128.2 Miscellaneous manufactured articles, n.e.s............................................... 89 93.1 93.1 92.4 95.6 95.6 97.6 97.7 98.1 102.1 103.0 103.8 971 75.4 77.4 77.5 81.8 82.2 97.5 94.5 98.2 108.4 110.0 117.1 Gold, non-monetary ( 6 / 8 3 - 1 0 0 ) ........................................................ - Data not available. 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ 37. U.S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (June 1977 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Category 1974 SITC Meat ........................................................................................................... Dairy products and eggs (6/81 = 100) .................................................... Fish............................................................................................................. Bakery goods, pasta products, grain and grain preparations (9/77=100) .............................................................................................. Fruits and vegetables ............................................................................... Sugar, sugar preparations, and honey (3 /8 2 -1 0 0 )................................. Coffee, tea, cocoa..................................................................................... Beverages and tobacco ................................................................................... Beverages ................................................................................................. Crude materials ................................................................................................... Crude rubber (inc. synthetic & reclaimed) (3/84 = 100)........................... Wood (9/81=100) .................................................................................... Pulp and waste paper (1 2 /8 1 -1 0 0 )........................................................ Crude fertilizers and crude minerals (12/83 = 100) .................................. Metalliferous ores and metal scrap (3/84 = 100)..................................... Crude vegetable and animal materials, n.e.s............................................. Fuels and related products (6/82 = 100).................................................. Petroleum and petroleum products (6/82=100) ...................................... Fats and oils (9/83 = 100) .......................................................................... Vegetable oils (9/83 = 100)....................................................................... Chemicals (9/82 = 100) ............................................................................... Medicinal and pharmaceutical products (3/84 = 100) .............................. Manufactured fertilizers (3/84 = 100)........................................................ Chemical materials and products, n.e.s. (9/84 = 100).............................. Intermediate manufactured products (12/77=100) .............................. Leather and furskins ................................................................................. Rubber manufactures, n.e.s....................................................................... Cork and wood manufactures .................................................................. Paper and paperboard products ............................................................... Textiles....................................................................................................... Nonmetallic mineral manufactures, n.e.s................................................... Iron and steel (9/78 = 100) ....................................................................... Nonferrous metals (12/81 = 100) .............................................................. Metal manufactures, n.e.s.......................................................................... Machinery and transport equipment ( 6 /8 1 - 1 0 0 ) .................................... Machinery specialized for particular industries (9/78 = 100) .................... Metalworking machinery (3/80-100) ...................................................... General industrial machinery and parts, n.e.s. (6/81 = 100) ................... Office machines and automatic data processing equipment (3 /8 0 -1 0 0 )............................................................................................. Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing apparatus (3/80 = 100)............................................................................................. Electrical machinery and equipment (12/81 = 100) .................................. Road vehicles and parts (6/81 = 1 0 0 )...................................................... Mise, manufactured articles (3/80 = 100)................................................. Dec. 1986 Mar. 1987 June Sept. June Sept. 94.2 88.5 83.2 83.9 86.0 91.6 95.3 96.8 98.7 0 01 02 03 102.8 131.2 100.5 132.7 113.4 122.7 106.7 139.3 104.7 118.5 107.1 144.8 109.1 126.9 109.4 149.6 105.3 134.4 111.5 157.1 100.2 132.1 116.8 161.6 102.0 135.9 119.6 167.4 102.8 142.9 118.9 174.4 105.5 142.0 122.3 175.2 04 05 06 07 141.9 131.3 111.9 64.6 146.9 119.4 124.6 85.9 149.2 119.4 121.6 69.2 154.0 127.1 123.9 71.8 155.3 125.5 124.3 61.0 161.0 120.5 126.0 50.9 165.2 125.4 128.6 49.3 161.2 124.5 128.0 48.3 168.3 131.2 125.3 51.5 1 11 162.1 159.1 163.2 161.8 165.5 163.9 165.8 165.5 168.0 168.2 170.8 171.5 174.1 174.6 174.4 175.6 175.9 177.8 2 23 24 25 27 28 29 91.2 73.2 99.4 75.8 102.1 90.1 102.5 94.2 78.8 104.3 74.9 101.5 94.5 103.6 95.3 75.5 106.3 79.9 100.0 95.6 104.4 98.1 76.9 109.4 86.0 100.4 98.2 104.8 98.5 78.5 107.2 92.8 100.2 95.4 104.7 103.1 79.1 115.0 100.5 99.5 98.0 113.4 105.6 84.5 112.0 104.6 98.5 100.0 120.3 108.6 89.4 119.2 105.9 97.3 102.9 113.6 112.7 97.8 111.2 111.9 98.7 113.3 118.5 3 33 79.1 80.1 55.3 54.7 37.5 36.1 33.6 32.1 38.4 37.9 49.7 49.9 54.8 55.2 56.4 57.3 55.2 56.2 4 42 50.6 48.9 41.4 39.3 39.3 37.4 35.5 33.5 51.6 50.0 50.8 49.2 54.5 52.6 61.3 59.4 64.5 62.5 5 54 56 59 94.2 96.7 78.5 97.8 94.6 102.9 79.2 99.9 93.3 104.9 79.7 100.3 93.4 110.0 77.4 101.0 93.2 110.1 79.7 102.8 95.9 116.2 81.8 104.3 98.7 120.3 83.6 105.0 99.5 118.8 98.8 108.2 104.4 123.3 124.2 110.1 6 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 133.4 141.3 138.1 124.0 156.5 128.1 162.2 118.3 80.4 121.6 134.0 141.6 136.5 130.8 157.1 131.2 164.2 117.3 79.4 124.4 135.6 143.0 137.7 134.3 157.1 132.9 169.6 118.1 78.9 127.8 138.8 147.4 138.1 137.4 157.5 135.1 178.2 119.0 83.5 129.1 139.4 143.3 138.1 142.7 164.8 135.3 180.2 118.5 81.6 129.1 142.2 149.5 140.8 144.3 165.2 138.8 183.1 122.3 82.4 133.4 147.4 156.6 140.5 151.6 165.0 140.4 190.3 127.1 90.9 134.5 152.8 159.6 138.0 156.3 174.6 142.8 195.1 132.1 97.5 136.0 157.9 167.5 139.8 157.6 177.7 147.6 199.3 138.9 101.9 139.4 7 72 73 74 107.2 104.9 98.1 98.0 111.5 112.1 105.0 103.8 115.3 115.4 107.7 109.0 118.1 120.1 110.7 112.8 120.2 121.0 115.7 113.9 123.9 127.5 122.4 120.5 126.1 130.0 126.1 123.3 126.4 130.0 129.8 122.4 129.4 136.9 135.0 128.7 75 93.7 96.9 101.3 102.5 102.4 103.2 106.4 106.8 109.1 76 77 78 88.6 83.1 117.8 89.4 84.5 123.4 91.6 87.5 127.1 93.7 89.5 129.8 93.9 91.7 133.2 94.6 93.6 137.0 95.5 94.8 139.2 95.9 94.2 139.6 97.3 96.5 141.7 8 81 82 84 85 100.8 115.0 142.7 134.5 142.7 103.3 120.1 147.0 133.4 147.0 104.8 123.5 142.2 135.3 142.2 109.5 125.5 145.8 137.8 145.8 109.6 125.5 146.9 139.1 146.9 114.3 125.5 148.9 145.5 148.9 118.1 130.6 153.3 150.9 153.3 119.8 131.1 156.1 153.8 156.1 123.8 137.5 161.2 154.5 161.2 ALL COMMODITIES (9 /8 2 -1 0 0 )............................................................... Food (9/77 = 100)........................................................................................ 1985 Dec. Mar. Dec. Plumbing, heating, and lighting fixtures (6/80-100) ............................... Furniture and parts (6/80* =100) ............................................................... Clothing (9/77=100) ................................................................................ Footwear.................................................................................................... Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and apparatus (12/79=100)........................................................................... Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and clocks (3/80 = 100).................................................................................. Mise, manufactured articles, n.e.s. (6/82 —100)...................................... 87 102.4 106.4 112.5 118.3 118.0 125.6 129.5 127.0 132.4 88 89 94.5 97.9 99.3 102.1 103.2 103.4 106.9 112.3 107.6 111.0 111.8 116.9 114.4 121.8 113.2 124.6 116.9 132.2 Gold, non-monetary ( 6 /8 2 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................... 971 101.0 106.7 107.3 126.9 123.3 128.0 141.5 143.5 152.8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 38. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data U.S. export price indexes by end-use category (September 1983 = 100 unless otherwise indicated) Category 39. 77.5 95.9 97.9 91.0 106.6 109.2 101.4 99.5 103.3 Sept. June Mar. Dec. 16.294 30.696 21.327 9.368 30.186 7.483 7.467 3.965 3.501 Foods, feeds, and beverages ....................................................... Raw materials................................................................................ Raw materials, nondurable ......................................................... Raw materials, durable............................................................... Capital goods (12/82 —100).......................................................... Automotive vehicles, parts and engines (12/82 —100) ................ Consumer goods............................................................................ Durables ...................................................................................... Nondurables................................................................................ 1987 1986 1985 Percentage of 1980 trade value 68.4 94.8 95.4 93.2 108.3 111.8 105.7 102.7 108.5 66.0 93.3 93.7 92.5 107.7 110.8 104.5 102.1 106.9 74.7 94.9 96.1 91.9 107.5 110.4 104.5 101.8 107.2 75.5 96.0 97.5 92.5 107.4 109.5 103.7 101.8 105.5 Mar. Dec. Sept. June 68.0 105.9 106.1 105.3 109.8 112.5 107.5 104.3 110.5 71.3 103.1 104.7 99.2 109.4 112.1 107.1 103.6 110.5 67.1 98.2 99.4 95.1 108.9 111.9 106.9 103.9 109.8 Dec. 75.6 108.1 108.4 107.3 110.7 112.6 108.1 105.3 110.9 U.S. import price indexes by end-use category (December 1982 = 100) Category Per centage of 1980 trade value Foods, feeds, and beverages ....................................................... Petroleum and petroleum products, excl. natural g a s .................. Raw materials, excluding petroleum ............................................. Raw materials, nondurable ......................................................... Raw materials, durable............................................................... Capital goods................................................................................. Automotive vehicles, parts and engines....................................... Consumer goods............................................................................ Durable ........................................................................................ Nondurable.................................................................................. 40. 1985 1986 Dec. 7.477 31.108 19.205 9.391 9.814 13.164 11.750 14.250 5.507 8.743 Mar. 106.0 80.5 93.9 91.8 96.2 100.0 111.4 102.4 100.7 104.7 June 115.8 55.4 94.5 91.1 98.1 102.8 115.6 104.5 103.4 106.0 1987 Sept. 108.2 36.8 94.0 89.7 98.7 106.7 119.0 106.5 106.5 106.6 Dec. 112.3 32.6 95.3 89.5 101.4 109.4 121.0 110.1 111.2 108.6 Mar. 109.2 38.3 94.9 89.7 100.3 110.7 123.9 110.6 111.6 109.2 June 104.7 50.5 96.9 91.8 102.3 115.3 126.2 114.3 114.8 113.7 Sept. 106.6 55.8 100.5 94.5 106.8 117.9 128.0 117.5 117.5 117.6 Dec. 107.5 57.9 103.5 95.4 112.0 118.2 127.9 119.1 119.0 119.3 U.S. export price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification 1 1985 1986 1987 Industry group Dec. Manufacturing: Food and kindred products (6/83 = 100) .......................... Lumber and wood products, except furniture (6/83 = 100) ..................................................................... Furniture and fixtures (9/83 = 100) .................................... Paper and allied products (3/81 = 100)............................. Chemicals and allied products (12/84 = 100).................... Petroleum and coal products (12/83 = 100)...................... Primary metal products (3/82 = 100) ................................. Machinery, except electrical (9/78 = 100)......................... Electrical machinery (12/80 = 100) .................................... Transportation equipment (12/78 = 100) ........................... Scientific instruments; optical goods; clocks (6/77 = 100)..................................................................... 1 SIC - based classification. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 98.1 97.0 95.0 95.2 97.6 99.0 104.1 103.6 113.4 101.2 108.4 92.1 99.2 99.1 87.9 140.5 111.2 164.1 101.5 109.2 95.7 98.9 93.5 89.8 140.6 112.6 165.1 101.2 109.7 101.5 98.3 83.1 89.8 140.3 112.3 167.1 102.1 110.1 106.1 96.2 83.1 90.7 140.5 112.6 167.4 105.7 110.4 108.7 95.9 82.2 89.9 140.7 113.6 169.4 109.8 113.4 113.7 100.1 83.5 91.7 141.0 115.2 170.0 113.0 114.0 116.7 106.3 86.8 97.4 141.2 115.3 171.2 133.1 114.1 120.3 107.6 87.1 100.1 141.4 115.8 172.3 137.2 116.9 123.2 112.6 85.8 101.0 142.0 116.8 173.9 156.7 159.7 161.2 161.5 162.3 163.3 164.6 164.7 165.4 109.9 56.8 106.7 97.9 116.1 122.3 129.7 122.1 122.2 121.9 41. U.S. import price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification ' 1985 1986 1987 Industry group Dec. Manufacturing: Food and kindred products (6/77 —100) ................................. Textile mill products (9/82 —100)............................................. Apparel and related products (6/77 —100).............................. Lumber and wood products, except furniture (6/77 = 100) ............................................................................ Furniture and fixtures (6 /8 0 =10 0 )........................................... Paper and allied products (6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ).................................... Chemicals and allied products (9/82 —100) ............................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products (1 2 /8 0 -1 0 0 ).......................................................................... Leather and leather products .................................................. Primary metal products (6/81=100) ....................................... Fabricated metal products (12/84 = 100)................................. Machinery, except electrical (3/80=100) ................................ Electrical machinery (9/84 —100)............................................. Transportation equipment (6/81=100) ................................... Scientific instruments; optical goods; clocks (12/79 = 100) .......................................................................... Miscellaneous manufactured commodities (9/82 = 100) ............................................................................ Mar. June Sept. Mar. Dec. June Sept. Dec. 115.1 101.8 134.4 117.7 104.7 133.4 115.6 106.4 135.1 118.0 107.1 137.8 122.4 108.0 139.3 122.7 111.7 146.0 125.9 113.6 150.9 128.5 116.2 153.9 129.8 120.8 154.5 115.8 98.2 137.4 95.8 122.1 101.2 137.6 98.6 124.8 103.5 139.4 102.1 127.9 105.4 142.2 103.8 127.9 105.6 150.3 102.4 134.5 109.6 154.0 104.7 135.0 110.2 155.7 105.7 141.3 111.5 162.9 106.1 136.3 113.1 167.6 110.8 97.5 144.0 82.6 102.6 100.0 95.8 119.6 100.9 145.8 82.0 104.9 105.5 97.0 123.9 100.6 144.6 82.4 108.5 109.0 100.2 128.0 101.9 147.7 84.9 110.3 112.5 102.6 130.4 102.1 148.7 84.0 111.1 114.2 104.0 133.2 104.4 151.8 85.4 115.5 119.1 105.7 136.5 105.8 156.2 91.3 116.2 122.2 106.9 138.4 104.9 159.8 96.0 118.1 122.6 106.6 138.7 108.8 164.0 100.3 119.9 128.1 108.7 141.2 98.8 103.9 109.1 113.7 113.7 119.1 122.1 120.4 124.6 98.7 99.9 101.7 106.9 108.1 110.3 113.8 116.4 118.8 1 SIC - based classification. 42. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, quarterly data seasonally adjusted (1977 = 100) Quarterly Indexes Item 1985 II 1986 III IV I II 1987 III IV I II III IV 110.1 187.3 100.3 170.2 168.6 169.6 111.3 189.1 100.3 169.8 172.2 170.7 111.1 190.5 100.2 171.4 171.2 171.3 107.6 184.9 100.2 171.8 167.4 170.3 108.0 186.3 99.7 172.5 169.2 171.4 109.1 187.9 99.6 172.2 173.0 172.5 109.0 189.5 99.6 173.8 171.9 173.1 110.5 181.0 99.3 168.7 163.8 183.2 127.7 163.7 163.8 109.7 180.8 98.0 169.7 164.8 184.1 132.2 165.9 165.2 109.9 182.0 97.4 170.9 165.6 186.6 132.9 167.8 166.3 110.8 183.3 97.2 171.0 165.5 187.3 142.1 171.4 167.5 - 129.8 184.3 101.2 142.0 130.8 183.9 99.6 140.5 132.9 184.8 98.9 139.0 134.1 185.4 98.3 138.2 Business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour................................... Real compensation per hour........................... Unit labor costs ......................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator .................................... 107.2 174.6 98.6 162.8 160.4 162.0 108.2 177.0 99.4 163.6 161.8 163.0 107.9 179.3 99.7 166.1 160.2 164.0 109.5 180.7 100.1 165.0 163.1 164.3 109.7 182.2 101.3 166.2 163.9 165.4 109.6 183.6 101.4 167.5 165.7 166.9 109.6 185.2 101.6 169.0 162.4 166.7 109.7 185.8 100.7 169.4 166.0 168.2 Nonfarm business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour..................................... Real compensation per hour ................................ Unit labor costs ................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ......................................... 105.7 174.1 98.3 164.7 161.5 163.6 106.4 176.2 98.9 165.7 163.4 164.9 105.9 178.3 99.2 168.3 160.8 165.7 107.7 180.0 99.7 167.2 164.7 166.4 107.7 181.3 100.8 168.4 165.2 167.3 107.5 182.6 100.9 169.8 167.0 168.8 107.5 184.4 101.2 171.5 163.9 168.8 Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs......................................... Unit labor costs .............................. Unit nonlabor costs............................................ Unit profits.......................................... Unit nonlabor payments ................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. 107.7 171.8 97.0 164.3 159.5 178.7 132.2 162.5 160.5 109.2 173.8 97.6 163.7 159.1 177.5 142.5 165.2 161.2 108.9 175.7 97.7 166.0 161.4 179.4 128.7 161.6 161.5 109.8 177.2 98.2 166.3 161.5 180.7 129.7 162.8 161.9 109.7 178.4 99.1 167.2 162.6 180.6 129.5 162.7 162.7 109.9 179.5 99.2 168.5 163.2 184.2 130.6 165.4 164.0 Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor costs .............................. 124.1 176.1 99.5 142.0 125.3 178.0 99.9 142.1 126.1 180.2 100.2 142.9 127.6 181.0 100.3 141.9 128.4 182.1 101.2 141.8 129.3 183.1 101.2 141.7 _ 134.1 186.3 97.9 138.9 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data 43. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity and related measures, selected years (1977 = 100) Item 1960 1970 1973 1976 1978 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Private business Productivity: Output per hour of all persons.......................... Output per unit of capital services.................... Multifactor productivity....................................... Output................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons........................................... Capital services .................................................. Combined units of labor and capital input........ Capital per hour of all persons............................. 67.3 102.1 78.1 55.3 88.4 101.9 92.9 80.2 95.9 105.3 99.1 93.0 98.4 97.2 98.0 94.5 100.8 102.0 101.2 105.8 99.2 94.2 97.4 106.6 100.6 92.4 97.7 108.9 100.3 86.7 95.3 105.4 103.1 88.4 97.7 109.9 105.7 92.8 101.0 119.2 107.6 92.8 102.2 124.0 109.7 92.8 103.4 128.1 82.2 54.2 70.8 65.9 90.8 78.7 86.3 86.7 96.9 88.3 93.8 91.1 96.1 97.2 96.5 101.2 105.0 103.8 104.5 98.8 107.5 113.1 109.4 105.3 108.2 117.8 111.5 108.8 105.2 121.7 110.7 115.7 106.7 124.4 112.6 116.6 112.8 128.5 118.1 113.9 115.2 133.6 121.3 116.0 116.8 138.0 123.8 118.2 70.7 103.6 80.9 54.4 89.2 102.8 93.7 79.9 96.4 106.0 99.6 92.9 98.5 97.3 98.1 94.4 100.8 101.9 101.2 106.0 98.7 93.4 96.9 106.6 99.6 91.1 96.7 108.4 99.1 85.1 94.1 104.8 102.5 87.3 97.0 110.1 104.7 91.3 99.9 119.3 105.9 90.8 100.5 123.7 107.6 90.5 101.4 127.6 77.0 52.5 67.3 68.2 89.6 77.8 85.3 86.8 96.3 87.6 93.3 91.0 95.8 97.0 96.2 101.3 105.1 104.0 104.7 98.9 108.0 114.1 110.0 105.6 108.8 119.0 112.2 109.4 105.7 123.2 111.4 116.5 107.4 126.1 113.5 117.4 114.0 130.6 119.4 114.6 116.8 136.3 123.1 116.7 118.5 141.0 125.8 119.0 62.2 102.5 71.9 52.5 80.8 98.6 85.2 78.6 93.4 111.4 97.9 96.3 97.1 96.2 96.8 93.1 101.5 102.1 101.7 106.0 101.4 91.2 98.7 103.2 103.6 89.2 99.8 104.8 105.9 81.8 99.2 98.4 112.0 86.9 105.1 104.7 118.1 95.7 112.2 117.5 124.2 97.8 117.0 122.5 128.8 99.3 120.6 125.9 84.4 51.2 73.0 60.7 97.3 79.7 92.2 82.0 103.1 86.4 98.4 83.8 95.9 96.7 96.1 100.9 104.4 103.7 104.2 99.4 101.7 113.1 104.5 111.2 101.1 117.5 105.0 116.2 92.9 120.3 99.2 129.4 93.5 120.6 99.7 129.0 99.5 122.8 104.7 123.5 98.7 125.3 104.8 127.0 97.8 126.8 104.4 129.7 Private nonfarm business Productivity: Output per hour of all persons .......................... Output per unit of capital services.................... Multifactor productivity....................................... Output................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons........................................... Capital services ................................................. Combined units of labor and capital input........ Capital per hour of all persons............................. Manufacturing Productivity: Output per hour of all persons .......................... Output per unit of capital services.................... Multifactor productivity....................................... Output................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons........................................... Capital services .................................................. Combined units of labor and capital inputs...... Capital per hour of all persons............................. 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 44. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years (1977 = 100) Item 1960 1970 1973 1976 1978 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 67.6 33.6 68.9 49.7 46.4 48.5 88.4 57.8 90.2 65.4 59.4 63.2 95.9 70.9 96.7 73.9 72.5 73.4 98.3 92.8 98.7 94.3 93.3 94.0 100.8 108.5 100.8 107.6 106.7 107.3 99.3 131.5 96.7 132.5 118.7 127.6 100.7 143.7 95.7 142.7 134.6 139.8 100.3 154.9 97.3 154.5 136.6 148.1 103.0 161.5 98.2 156.7 146.4 153.0 105.6 168.0 98.0 159.1 156.5 158.2 107.5 175.9 99.1 163.6 160.3 162.4 109.5 182.8 101.0 166.9 163.8 165.8 110.5 188.2 100.3 170.2 169.5 170.0 71.0 35.3 72.3 49.7 46.3 48.5 89.3 58.2 90.8 65.2 60.0 63.4 96.4 71.2 97.1 73.9 69.3 72.3 98.5 92.8 98.8 94.3 93.0 93.8 100.8 108.6 100.9 107.7 105.6 107.0 98.8 131.3 96.6 132.9 118.5 127.8 99.8 143.6 95.7 144.0 133.5 140.3 99.2 154.8 97.2 156.0 136.5 149.2 102.5 161.5 98.2 157.6 148.3 154.3 104.6 167.8 97.9 160.4 156.4 159.0 105.8 175.2 98.7 165.6 161.3 164.1 107.5 182.0 100.6 169.3 165.2 167.8 108.4 187.1 99.8 172.6 170.4 171.8 73.4 36.9 75.5 49.4 50.2 47.0 59.8 51.5 50.7 91.1 59.2 92.4 64.8 65.0 64.2 52.3 60.1 63.3 97.5 71.6 97.6 72.7 73.4 70.7 65.6 68.9 71.9 98.4 92.9 98.9 94.8 94.3 96.2 89.4 93.8 94.2 100.6 108.4 100.7 107.3 107.8 105.7 102.0 104.4 106.6 99.1 131.1 96.4 133.4 132.3 136.7 85.2 118.6 127.6 99.6 143.3 95.5 147.7 143.8 159.1 98.1 137.8 141.7 100.4 154.3 96.9 159.5 153.8 176.4 78.5 142.1 149.8 103.5 159.9 97.3 159.5 154.5 174.3 110.9 152.1 153.7 106.0 165.8 96.7 160.8 156.5 173.6 136.5 160.6 157.9 108.2 172.8 97.4 164.4 159.7 178.3 133.9 162.7 160.7 109.9 178.9 98.9 167.7 162.8 182.2 129.3 163.7 163.1 62.2 36.5 74.8 58.7 60.0 59.1 80.8 57.4 89.5 71.0 64.1 69.0 93.4 68.8 93.8 73.7 70.7 72.8 97.1 92.1 98.1 94.9 93.5 94.5 101.5 108.2 100.5 106.6 101.9 105.2 101.4 132.4 97.4 130.6 97.8 121.0 103.6 145.2 96.7 140.1 111.8 131.8 105.9 157.5 98.9 148.7 114.0 138.6 112.0 162.4 98.8 145.0 128.5 140.2 118.1 168.0 98.0 142.2 138.6 141.2 124.2 176.9 99.6 142.4 134.7 140.2 128.8 182.7 100.9 141.8 137.9 140.7 Business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per hour ................................ Unit labor costs .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ Nonfarm business: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor costs .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs..................................................... Unit labor costs .................................................. Unit nonlabor costs............................................ Unit profits............................................................. Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ - - Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons............................. Compensation per hour........................................ Real compensation per hour ................................ Unit labor costs .................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ....................................... Implicit price deflator ............................................ - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 45. Unemployment rates, approximating U.S. concepts, in nine countries, quarterly data seasonally adjusted Annual average 1986 1987 Country 1986 1987 II III IV I II III IV Total labor force basis United S ta te s ............................... C a n a d a ........................................... Australia ................................ Japan ............................................. France ................................................... G erm any................................................ Italy ', .................................................. Sweden ................................................. United Kingdom .................................... 2 6.9 9.5 8.0 2.8 10.4 7.1 6.2 2.6 11.1 6.1 - _ - - 7.1 9.5 7.7 2.8 6.9 9.6 8.2 2.9 6.8 9.4 8.3 2.9 6.5 9.6 8.3 3.0 6.2 9.0 8.1 3.1 8.8 8.0 2.8 - 10.4 7.2 6.2 2.6 11.2 10.6 7.0 5.9 2.6 11.1 10.6 6.9 6.5 2.6 10.9 11.0 7.0 6.6 2.0 10.6 11.0 7.1 6.6 1.9 10.2 10.9 7.1 6.6 1.8 9.7 - 7.2 9.6 7.8 2.8 7.0 9.7 8.3 2.9 6.8 9.4 2.9 6.6 9.6 8.3 3.0 6.3 9.1 8.2 3.1 6.0 8.8 8.0 2.8 - 10.7 7.3 10.8 7.2 6.0 2.6 11.2 10.8 7.0 6.6 2.6 10.9 11.2 7.1 6.7 2.0 10.7 11.3 7.2 6.7 1.9 10.3 11.2 7.3 6.8 1.9 9.8 - 5.9 5.8 Civilian labor force basis United S ta te s ............................... Canada ............................................ Australia ......................................... Japan .................................... 7.0 9.6 8.1 2.8 France .................................... G erm any................................... Italy1, 2 ................................. Sweden ................................. United Kingdom .............................. 10.7 7.2 6.3 2.7 11.1 6.2 - - ” 1 Quarterly rates are for the first month of the quarter. 2 Major changes in the Italian labor force survey, intro duced in 1977, resulted in a large increase in persons enu merated as unemployed. However, many persons reported that they had not actively sought work in the past 30 days, and they have been provisionally excluded for comparability with U.S. concepts. Inclusion of such persons would about 6.3 2.6 11.2 8.4 5.9 double the Italian unemployment rate shown. - Data not available. NOTE: Quarterly figures for France, Germany, and the United Kingdom are calculated by applying annual adjust ment factors to current published data and therefore should be viewed as less precise indicators of unemployment under U.S. concepts than the annual figures. 133.0 185.1 98.7 139.1 - MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: International Comparison Data 46. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, approximating U.S. concepts, 10 countries (Numbers in thousands) Employment status and country 1986 1982 1983 1984 1985 108,670 11,904 6,810 56,320 22,930 26,650 21,320 5,520 4,327 26,590 110,204 11,958 6,910 56,980 23,160 26,700 21,410 5,570 4,350 26,740 111,550 12,183 6,997 58,110 23,130 26,650 21,590 5,600 4,369 26,790 113,544 12,399 7,133 58,480 23,290 26,760 21,670 5,620 4,385 27,180 115,461 12,639 7,272 58,820 23,340 26,980 21,800 5,710 4,418 27,370 117,834 12,870 7,562 59,410 23,480 27,180 21,990 5,760 4,437 27,460 63.8 64.1 62.1 62.6 57.2 53.2 48.2 50.2 66.9 62.5 63.9 64.8 61.9 62.6 57.1 52.9 48.3 51.4 66.8 62.2 64.0 64.1 61.7 62.7 57.1 52.6 47.7 51.2 66.8 62.3 64.0 64.4 61.4 63.1 56.6 52.3 47.5 50.9 66.7 62.1 64.4 64.8 61.5 62.7 56.6 52.4 47.3 50.5 66.6 62.6 64.8 65.2 61.8 62.3 56.2 52.6 47.2 50.7 66.9 62.7 65.3 65.7 63.0 62.1 56.2 53.0 47.5 50.8 67.2 62.5 98,824 10,395 6,111 54,040 21,300 25,470 19,930 4,830 4,174 24,940 99,303 10,708 6,284 54,600 21,330 25,750 20,200 4,980 4,226 24,670 100,397 11,006 6,416 55,060 21,200 25,560 20,280 5,010 4,219 23,800 99,526 10,644 6,415 55,620 21,240 25,140 20,250 4,980 4,213 23,710 100,834 10,734 6,300 56,550 21,170 24,750 20,320 4,890 4,218 23,600 105,005 11,000 6,490 56,870 20,980 24,790 20,390 4,930 4,249 24,000 107,150 11,311 6,670 57,260 20,900 24,950 20,490 5,110 4,293 24,300 109,597 11,634 6,952 57,740 20,970 25,210 20,610 5,200 4,319 24,400 59.3 57.5 58.0 61.3 54.4 51.5 45.9 46.3 64.6 58.8 59.9 58.7 57.8 61.4 54.0 51.7 45.9 46.4 65.3 59.2 59.2 59.3 58.3 61.3 53.5 51.7 46.1 47.0 65.6 58.1 59.0 59.9 58.4 61.2 52.8 50.8 45.9 46.6 65.1 55.7 57.8 57.0 57.3 61.2 52.3 49.6 45.2 45.8 64.7 55.3 57.9 56.7 55.3 61.4 51.8 48.6 44.7 44.5 64.4 54.7 59.5 57.4 56.0 61.0 51.0 48.5 44.5 44.3 64.5 55.3 60.1 58.4 56.6 60.6 50.4 48.7 44.4 45.4 65.0 55.7 60.7 59.4 57.9 60.4 50.2 49.1 44.6 45.9 65.4 55.6 6,202 908 405 1,240 1,210 870 850 260 94 1,650 6,137 836 408 1,170 1,370 780 920 270 88 1,420 7,637 865 409 1,140 1,470 770 920 330 86 1,850 8,273 898 394 1,260 1,730 1,090 1,040 510 108 2,790 10,678 1,314 495 1,360 1,920 1,560 1,160 590 137 3,030 10,717 1,448 697 1,560 1,960 1,900 1,270 710 151 3,190 8,539 1,399 642 1,610 2,310 1,970 1,280 690 136 3,180 8,312 1,328 602 1,560 2,440 2,030 1,310 600 125 3,070 8,237 1,236 610 1,670 2,510 1,970 1,380 560 118 3,060 6.1 8.3 6.3 2.3 5.4 3.3 4.1 5.2 2.2 6.3 5.8 7.4 6.3 2.1 6.0 3.0 4.4 5.3 2.1 5.4 7.1 7.5 6.1 2.0 6.4 2.9 4.4 6.2 2.0 7.0 7.6 7.5 5.8 2.2 7.5 4.1 4.9 9.2 2.5 10.5 9.7 11.0 7.2 2.4 8.3 5.8 5.4 10.6 3.1 11.3 9.6 11.9 10.0 2.7 8.5 7.1 5.9 12.7 3.5 11.9 7.5 11.3 9.0 2.8 9.9 7.4 5.9 12.3 3.1 11.7 7.2 10.5 8.3 2.6 10.4 7.5 6.0 10.5 2.8 11.2 7.0 9.6 8.1 2.8 10.7 7.2 6.3 9.7 2.7 11.1 1978 1979 1980 102,251 10,895 6,443 54,610 22,460 26,000 20,570 5,010 4,203 26,260 104,962 11,231 6,519 55,210 22,670 26,250 20,850 5,100 4,262 26,350 106,940 11,573 6,693 55,740 22,800 26,520 21,120 5,310 4,312 26,520 63.2 62.7 61.9 62.8 57.5 53.3 47.8 48.8 66.1 62.8 63.7 63.4 61.6 62.7 57.5 53.3 48.0 49.0 66.6 62.6 96,048 9,987 6,038 53,370 21,250 25,130 19,720 4,750 4,109 24,610 1981 Labor force United States........................................................ Canada ................................................................. Australia................................................................ Japan .................................................................... France ................................................................... Germany ............................................................... Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Participation rate1 United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Australia................................................................. Japan .................................................................... France ................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Employed United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Australia................................................................. Japan .................................................................... France ................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Employment-population ratio2 United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Australia................................................................. Japan .................................................................... France................................................................... Germany ................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Unemployed United States ........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Australia................................................................. Japan .................................................................... France................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Unemployment rate United States ........................................................ Canada ................................................................. Australia................................................................. Japan .................................................................... France................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... 1 Labor force as a percent of the civilian working-age population. 2 Employment as a percent of the civilian working-age population. 96 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 47. Annual indexes of manufacturing productivity and related measures, 12 countries (1977 = 100) Item and country 1960 1970 1973 1975 1976 1977 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 62.2 50.7 23.2 33.0 37.2 36.4 40.3 35.4 32.4 54.6 42.3 55.9 80.8 75.6 64.8 60.4 65.6 69.6 71.2 72.7 64.3 81.7 80.7 80.4 93.4 90.3 83.1 78.8 83.3 82.3 84.0 90.9 81.5 94.6 94.8 95.5 92.9 88.6 87.7 86.5 94.6 88.5 90.1 91.1 86.2 96.8 100.2 94.9 97.1 94.8 94.3 95.3 98.2 95.1 96.5 98.9 95.8 99.7 101.7 99.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 102.0 114.8 111.9 106.5 109.7 108.2 110.5 112.3 107.1 110.9 102.5 101.4 98.2 122.7 119.2 112.3 110.6 108.6 116.9 113.9 106.7 112.7 101.8 103.6 102.9 127.2 127.6 114.2 114.0 111.0 124.8 116.9 107.0 113.2 107.0 105.9 98.3 135.0 135.2 114.6 122.0 112.6 129.6 119.4 109.8 116.5 113.5 112.0 105.4 142.3 148.2 120.2 125.2 119.2 135.7 127.5 117.2 125.5 123.2 118.1 116.8 152.5 154.4 118.6 129.0 123.6 144.4 140.5 123.9 131.0 129.8 124.2 119.7 163.7 159.0 118.3 133.0 128.7 146.6 145.1 125.2 136.1 134.7 128.8 119.4 168.2 163.1 119.9 135.6 130.6 148.3 144.7 124.4 136.4 139.5 52.5 41.3 19.2 41.9 49.2 35.4 50.0 36.4 44.8 55.1 52.6 71.2 78.6 73.5 69.9 78.6 82.0 73.3 86.6 78.0 84.4 86.9 92.5 95.0 96.3 93.5 91.9 96.4 95.9 88.6 96.1 90.5 95.8 99.5 100.3 104.8 84.9 89.9 86.2 92.7 95.0 90.0 91.0 86.9 92.7 101.0 106.1 96.3 93.1 96.5 94.8 99.7 99.6 96.1 98.0 97.9 99.0 101.4 106.1 98.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 108.1 108.5 113.9 104.1 105.4 105.3 106.6 108.6 106.1 100.3 103.6 100.5 103.2 103.6 124.1 106.8 110.1 104.6 106.6 115.4 106.6 98.8 104.0 91.7 104.8 107.4 129.8 105.7 106.6 102.9 104.9 115.1 106.7 97.7 100.6 86.2 98.4 93.6 137.3 110.1 108.3 104.0 102.4 113.4 105.0 97.4 100.1 86.4 104.7 99.6 148.2 114.8 115.6 103.8 103.6 111.5 107.0 97.2 105.2 88.9 117.5 114.9 165.4 117.5 119.7 104.0 106.4 116.2 113.3 102.6 111.5 92.5 122.5 121.2 179.3 119.9 123.4 103.3 110.1 118.0 116.0 105.2 115.3 95.2 125.9 123.9 182.1 122.0 126.7 103.0 112.8 121.9 117.3 107.0 115.2 96.2 84.4 81.4 82.7 127.1 132.4 97.2 123.8 102.8 138.4 101.0 124.4 127.3 97.3 97.2 107.9 130.2 125.1 105.3 121.7 107.4 131.2 106.4 114.6 118.1 103.1 103.6 110.7 122.3 115.2 107.7 114.4 99.6 117.6 105.1 105.7 109.8 91.4 101.5 98.2 107.1 100.4 101.7 101.0 95.4 107:6 104.3 105.9 101.5 95.9 101.8 100.6 104.6 101.4 101.2 101.6 99.0 103.3 101.7 104.3 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106.5 106.3 99.3 93.0 99.0 95.9 98.5 98.2 94.4 93.6 93.4 98.0 101.7 105.5 101.2 89.6 98.0 94.6 98.1 98.7 93.6 92.6 92.3 90.1 101.1 104.3 102.0 82.8 93.4 90.3 94.6 92.2 91.2 91.3 88.9 80.6 92.9 95.2 101.7 81.4 94.5 85.2 91.0 87.5 88.0 88.6 85.9 76.2 93.5 94.5 104.2 77.5 96.2 82.9 86.9 82.2 83.9 82.9 83.9 72.2 99.5 98.3 108.5 76.1 100.9 80.6 86.1 80.5 80.6 82.8 85.1 71.2 98.7 101.2 109.6 75.4 104.3 77.7 85.6 80.5 79.9 84.0 84.7 70.7 97.8 103.8 108.3 74.8 105.7 75.9 86.4 82.2 81.1 86.0 84.5 69.0 36.5 27.5 8.9 13.8 12.6 15.1 18.8 8.4 12.5 15.8 14.7 15.1 57.4 47.9 33.9 34.9 36.3 36.5 48.0 26.1 39.0 37.9 38.5 31.3 68.8 60.0 55.1 53.5 56.1 52.1 67.5 43.7 60.5 54.5 54.2 47.5 85.1 78.9 84.2 79.0 81.0 76.5 84.5 70.2 82.2 77.2 77.3 76.0 92.1 90.3 90.7 89.5 90.4 88.7 91.3 84.2 91.9 88.8 91.5 88.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 118.6 118.6 113.4 117.5 123.1 128.4 116.1 134.7 117.0 116.0 120.1 137.4 132.4 131.3 120.7 130.4 135.9 148.5 125.6 160.2 123.6 128.0 133.6 167.4 145.2 151.1 129.8 144.5 149.7 172.0 134.5 198.4 129.1 142.8 148.1 193.9 157.5 167.0 136.6 150.7 162.9 203.9 141.0 238.3 137.5 156.0 158.9 209.3 162.4 177.2 140.7 159.7 174.2 225.2 148.3 282.8 144.0 173.5 173.3 224.4 168.0 185.5 144.9 173.0 184.4 247.3 155.5 314.5 150.0 188.3 189.7 238.8 176.9 194.7 152.0 184.9 196.1 267.3 164.9 347.3 157.7 204.8 212.4 254.6 182.7 202.3 157.3 191.8 207.7 279.2 172.5 362.1 161.5 224.6 228.1 273.5 58.7 54.2 38.4 41.7 33.8 41.5 46.6 23.7 38.5 29.0 34.8 27.1 71.0 63.4 52.3 57.8 55.4 52.5 67.4 36.0 60.7 46.4 47.7 38.9 73.7 66.5 66.4 67.9 67.4 63.4 80.3 48.1 74.3 57.6 57.2 49.8 91.7 89.1 96.0 91.2 85.6 86.5 93.8 77.1 95.4 79.7 77.1 80.2 94.9 95.3 96.2 93.9 92.1 93.3 94.6 85.1 96.0 89.1 90.0 89.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 117.0 116.2 98.8 105.0 115.7 117.0 107.3 121.9 104.1 108.2 108.3 134.1 130.6 133.7 98.4 109.4 121.0 134.3 115.7 137.0 108.5 120.0 118.6 164.5 140.1 146.7 102.0 113.2 131.1 151.0 121.2 158.9 110.4 133.4 130.9 181.2 148.7 170.0 101.2 111.4 142.2 167.2 125.2 184.0 115.2 142.1 136.3 184.4 145.0 168.1 98.9 107.8 144.9 179.9 124.4 208.4 113.0 148.0 138.1 182.2 142.2 158.8 95.0 112.1 155.4 191.6 125.8 217.8 106.8 152.0 144.8 183.9 142.4 162.6 92.9 116.3 165.7 200.9 128.1 236.9 108.7 163.5 156.1 189.0 141.8 169.4 93.5 117.6 173.2 205.9 132.1 244.1 111.6 180.5 167.3 196.1 58.7 59.4 28.5 30.0 29.5 41.6 25.9 33.7 25.1 21.7 30.1 43.6 71.0 64.5 39.1 41.7 44.4 46.7 42.9 50.6 41.2 34.5 41.1 53.5 73.7 70.6 65.6 62.7 67.2 70.2 70.4 73.1 65.6 53.4 58.7 70.0 91.7 93.1 86.7 89.1 89.6 99.3 88.7 104.3 92.8 81.4 83.2 102.0 94.9 102.7 86.9 87.2 91.5 96.1 87.3 90.5 89.1 86.9 92.3 92.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 117.0 105.4 121.3 128.3 132.0 135.2 135.9 129.5 127.4 113.8 112.9 163.1 130.6 121.5 116.8 134.3 129.0 156.4 147.9 141.4 134.1 129.3 125.3 219.2 140.1 130.0 123.8 109.6 110.3 136.4 124.9 123.2 108.9 123.6 115.4 210.2 148.7 146.3 108.8 87.2 102.3 124.9 119.7 119.9 105.8 117.1 96.9 184.8 145.0 144.9 111.5 75.5 95.1 116.1 113.1 121.1 97.1 107.9 80.4 158.3 142.2 130.3 107.2 69.5 90.1 107.8 102.6 109.5 81.6 99.1 78.2 140.9 142.4 126.5 104.3 70.2 93.9 110.0 101.1 109.6 80.4 101.3 81.1 140.5 141.8 129.5 148.7 94.3 128.4 146.2 141.3 144.5 111.9 129.8 104.9 164.9 Output per hour United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark................................................................ France ................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway................................................................... Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom .................................................... Output United States ........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark ................................................................ France................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway................................................................... Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom..................................................... Total hours United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark................................................................ France ................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway.................................................................. Sweden.................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Compensation per hour United States........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark ................................................................ France................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway................................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Unit labor costs: National currency basis United States ........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark ................................................................ France................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway................................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... Unit labor costs: U S. dollar basis United States ........................................................ Canada .................................................................. Japan .................................................................... Belgium.................................................................. Denmark ................................................................ France ................................................................... Germany................................................................ Italy........................................................................ Netherlands........................................................... Norway................................................................... Sweden................................................................. United Kingdom.................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 48. March 1988 • Current Labor Statistics: Illness and Injury Data Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 Industry and type of case1 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 PRIVATE SECTOR3 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays........................................................................................... 9.4 4.1 63.5 9.5 4.3 67.7 8.7 4.0 65.2 8.3 3.8 61.7 7.7 3.5 58.7 7.6 3.4 58.5 8.0 3.7 63.4 7.9 3.6 64.9 7.9 3.6 65.8 11.6 5.4 80.7 11.7 5.7 83.7 11.9 5.8 82.7 12.3 5.9 82.8 11.8 5.9 86.0 11.9 6.1 90.8 12.0 6.1 90.7 11.4 5.7 91.3 11.2 5.6 93.6 11.5 6.4 143.2 11.4 6.8 150.5 11.2 6.5 163.6 11.6 6.2 146.4 10.5 5.4 137.3 8.4 4.5 125.1 9.7 5.3 160.2 8.4 4.8 145.3 7.4 4.1 125.9 16.0 6.4 109.4 16.2 6.8 120.4 15.7 6.5 117.0 15.1 6.3 113.1 14.6 6.0 115.7 14.8 6.3 118.2 15.5 6.9 128.1 15.2 6.8 128.9 15.2 6.9 134.5 15.9 6.3 105.3 16.3 6.8 111.2 15.5 6.5 113.0 15.1 6.1 107.1 14.1 5.9 112.0 14.4 6.2 113.0 15.4 6.9 121.3 15.2 6.8 120.4 14.9 6.6 122.7 16.6 6.2 110.9 16.6 6.7 123.1 16.3 6.3 117.6 14.9 6.0 106.0 15.1 5.8 113.1 15.4 6.2 122.4 14.9 6.4 131.7 14.5 6.3 127.3 14.7 6.3 132.9 15.8 6.6 111.0 16.0 6.9 124.3 15.5 6.7 118.9 15.2 6.6 119.3 14.7 6.2 118.6 14.8 6.4 119.0 15.8 7.1 130.1 15.4 7.0 133.3 15.6 7.2 140.4 13.2 5.6 84.9 13.3 5.9 90.2 12.2 5.4 86.7 11.5 5.1 82.0 10.2 4.4 75.0 10.0 4.3 73.5 10.6 4.7 77.9 10.4 4.6 80.2 10.6 4.7 85.2 22.6 11.1 178.8 20.7 10.8 175.9 18.6 9.5 171.8 17.6 9.0 158.4 16.9 8.3 153.3 18.3 9.2 163.5 19.6 9.9 172.0 18.5 9.3 171.4 18.9 9.7 177.2 17.5 6.9 95.9 17.6 7.1 99.6 16.0 6.6 97.6 15.1 6.2 91.9 13.9 5.5 85.6 14.1 5.7 83.0 15.3 6.4 101.5 15.0 6.3 100.4 15.2 6.3 103.0 16.8 7.8 126.3 16.8 8.0 133.7 15.0 7.1 128.1 14.1 6.9 122.2 13.0 6.1 112.2 13.1 6.0 112.0 13.6 6.6 120.8 13.9 6.7 127.8 13.6 6.5 126.0 17.0 7.5 123.6 17.3 8.1 134.7 15.2 7.1 128.3 14.4 6.7 121.3 12.4 5.4 101.6 12.4 5.4 103.4 13.3 6.1 115.3 12.6 5.7 113.8 13.6 6.1 125.5 19.3 8.0 112.4 19.9 8.7 124.2 18.5 8.0 118.4 17.5 7.5 109.9 15.3 6.4 102.5 15.1 6.1 96.5 16.1 6.7 104.9 16.3 6.9 110.1 16.0 6.8 115.5 14.4 5.4 75.1 14.7 5.9 83.6 13.7 5.5 81.3 12.9 5.1 74.9 10.7 4.2 66.0 9.8 3.6 58.1 10.7 4.1 65.8 10.8 4.2 69.3 10.7 4.2 72.0 8.7 3.3 50.3 8.6 3.4 51.9 8.0 3.3 51.8 7.4 3.1 48.4 6.5 2.7 42.2 6.3 2.6 41.4 6.8 2.8 45.0 6.4 2.7 45.7 6.4 2.7 49.8 11.5 5.1 78.0 11.6 5.5 85.9 10.6 4.9 82.4 9.8 4.6 78.1 9.2 4.0 72.2 8.4 3.6 64.5 9.3 4.2 68.8 9.0 3.9 71.6 9.6 4.1 79.1 6.9 2.6 37.0 7.2 2.8 40.0 6.8 2.7 41.8 6.5 2.7 39.2 5.6 2.3 37.0 5.2 2.1 35.6 5.4 2.2 37.5 5.2 2.2 37.9 5.3 2.3 42.2 11.8 4.5 66.4 11.7 4.7 67.7 10.9 4.4 67.9 10.7 4.4 68.3 9.9 4.1 69.9 9.9 4.0 66.3 10.5 4.3 70.2 9.7 4.2 73.2 10.2 4.3 70.9 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing3 Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Mining Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Construction Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ General building contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Heavy construction contractors: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Special trade contractors: Total cases................................................................................................. Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Manufacturing Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Durable goods Lumber and wood products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Furniture and fixtures: Total cases................................................................................................. Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Stone, clay, and glass products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Primary metal Industries: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Fabricated metal products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Machinery, except electrical: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Electric and electronic equipment: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Transportation equipment: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Instruments and related products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Miscellaneous manufacturing industries: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases .................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ See footnotes at end of table. 98 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 48. Continued— Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Tobacco manufacturing: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Textile mill products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Apparel and other textile products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Paper and allied products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Printing and publishing: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Chemicals and allied products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Petroleum and coal products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Leather and leather products: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 19.4 8.9 132.2 19.9 9.5 141.8 18.7 9.0 136.8 17.8 8.6 130.7 16.7 8.0 129.3 16.5 7.9 131.2 16.7 8.1 131.6 16.7 8.1 138.0 16.5 8.0 137.8 8.7 4.0 58.6 9.3 4.2 64.8 8.1 3.8 45.8 8.2 3.9 56.8 7.2 3.2 44.6 6.5 3.0 42.8 7.7 3.2 51.7 7.3 3.0 51.7 6.7 2.5 45.6 10.2 3.4 61.5 9.7 3.4 61.3 9.1 3.3 62.8 8.8 3.2 59.2 7.6 2.8 53.8 7.4 2.8 51.4 8.0 3.0 54.0 7.5 3.0 57.4 7.8 3.1 59.3 6.5 2.2 32.4 6.5 2.2 34.1 6.4 2.2 34.9 6.3 2.2 35.0 6.0 2.1 36.4 6.4 2.4 40.6 6.7 2.5 40.9 6.7 2.6 44.1 6.7 2.7 49.4 13.5 5.7 103.3 13.5 6.0 108.4 12.7 5.8 112.3 11.6 5.4 103.6 10.6 4.9 99.1 10.0 4.5 90.3 10.4 4.7 93.8 10.2 4.7 94.6 10.5 4.7 99.5 7.0 2.9 43.8 7.1 3.1 45.1 6.9 3.1 46.5 6.7 3.0 47.4 6.6 2.8 45.7 6.6 2.9 44.6 6.5 2.9 46.0 6.3 2.9 49.2 6.5 2.9 50.8 7.8 3.3 50.9 7.7 3.5 54.9 6.8 3.1 50.3 6.6 3.0 48.1 5.7 2.5 39.4 5.5 2.5 42.3 5.3 2.4 40.8 5.1 2.3 38.8 6.3 2.7 49.4 7.9 3.4 58.3 7.7 3.6 62.0 7.2 3.5 59.1 6.7 2.9 51.2 5.3 2.5 46.4 5.5 2.4 46.8 5.1 2.4 53.5 5.1 2.4 49.9 7.1 3.2 67.5 17.1 8.1 125.5 17.1 8.2 127.1 15.5 7.4 118.6 14.6 7.2 117.4 12.7 6.0 100.9 13.0 6.2 101.4 13.6 6.4 104.3 13.4 6.3 107.4 14.0 6.6 118.2 11.7 4.7 72.5 11.5 4.9 76.2 11.7 5.0 82.7 11.5 5.1 82.6 9.9 4.5 86.5 10.0 4.4 87.3 10.5 4.7 94.4 10.3 4.6 88.3 10.5 4.8 83.4 10.1 5.7 102.3 10.0 5.9 107.0 9.4 5.5 104.5 9.0 5.3 100.6 8.5 4.9 96.7 8.2 4.7 94.9 8.8 5.2 105.1 8.6 5.0 107.1 8.2 4.8 102.1 7.9 3.2 44.9 8.0 3.4 49.0 7.4 3.2 48.7 7.3 3.1 45.3 7.2 3.1 45.5 7.2 3.1 47.8 7.4 3.3 50.5 7.4 3.2 50.7 7.7 3.3 54.0 8.9 3.9 57.5 8.8 4.1 59.1 8.2 3.9 58.2 7.7 3.6 54.7 7.1 3.4 52.1 7.0 3.2 50.6 7.2 3.5 55.5 7.2 3.5 59.8 7.2 3.6 62.5 7.5 2.8 39.7 7.7 3.1 44.7 7.1 2.9 44.5 7.1 2.9 41.1 7.2 2.9 42.6 7.3 3.0 46.7 7.5 3.2 48.4 7.5 3.1 47.0 7.8 3.2 50.5 2.1 .8 12.5 2.1 .9 13.3 2.0 .8 12.2 1.9 .8 11.6 2.0 .9 13.2 2.0 .9 12.8 1.9 .9 13.6 2.0 .9 15.4 2.0 .9 17.1 5.5 2.4 36.2 5.5 2.5 38.1 5.2 2.3 35.8 5.0 2.3 35.9 4.9 2.3 35.8 5.1 2.4 37.0 5.2 2.5 41.1 5.4 2.6 45.4 5.3 2.5 43.0 Transportation and public utilities Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays .......................................................................................... Wholesale and retail trade Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Wholesale trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Retail trade: Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ Services Total cases................................................................................................ Lost workday cases.................................................................................. Lost workdays............................................................................................ 1 Total cases include fatalities. 2 The incidence rates represent the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers and were calculated as: (N/EH) X 200,000, where: N = number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EH = total hours worked by all employees during calendar year. 200,000 = base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year.) 3 Excludes farms with fewer thari 11 employees since 1976. Employment and Wages Annual Averages 1986 U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics Bulletin 2297 A comprehensive portrait of American business by State Data available • Number of reporting units, employment, total annual wages, and average weekly wages for 1,005 industries Coverage • 99 percent of American wage and salary workers Source of data • Quarterly tax reports submitted to State agencies by employers subject to unem ployment insurance laws Uses • Marketing research and analysis • Economic forecasting • Business investment decisions • Government policymaking and regulation Publications are available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402, or the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Publications Sales Center P.O. Box 2145 Chicago, IL. 60690 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Order Form Please send------- copies of Employment and Wages, Annual Averages 1986, Bulletin 2297, Stock No. 029-001-02940-3, $25 each, for a total of $ _________ _ □ Enclosed is a check or money order payable to Superintendent of Documents. □ Charge to GPO deposit account n o ._____________________ _ Order No_____ □ Charge to □ Credit Card No. Total charge $ Name Address City, State, Zip Code I_I Expiration date Where To Find PPI Information M onthly Periodical: Most comprehensive report available. Order Producer Price Index from Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, W ashington, D.C. 20402. Includes text, statistical tables, and technical notes. Electronic News Release: Quickest. Accessible electronically immediately at release time through BLS news release service. Write the Office of Publications, Bureau of Labor Statistics, W ashington, D.C. 20212, or call (202) 523-1913. D ata Diskettes: Selected commodity groupings by stage of processing are available on diskettes for the most recent 13 months. For inform ation call the Office of Publications, Bureau of Labor Statistics, (202) 523-1090. Telephone: Quick summary on 24-hour recorded message. Key p p i num bers, plus other b l s indicators and upcoming release dates. Call (202) 523-1765. C om puter Tapes: For users who need PPI data in machine-readable form. From the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Division of Financial Planning and M anagement, W ashington, D.C. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20212. M onthly Labor Review: pp i included in monthly 47-page summary of b l s data and in analytical articles. 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