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MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW J.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics March 1982 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Employment in 1981 i '■ '• ; i . % ; >si ' • 3 % h T; %<• :/ -»V;- , v. ' ; ' »- * ; ~ . ■ is**» wiU.L*_it mék<I'M m ■ U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $23 domestic; $28.75 foreign. Single copy $3.50 Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid Laurel, Md. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I Boston: Paul V. Muikem 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III Philadelphia: Alvin ! Marguhs 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881-4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V Chicago: William E. Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming March cover: "Men Lifting,” a plaster sculpture by Aaron Goodelman (1890-1977), courtesy National Museum of American Art. Cover design by Richard L. Mathews, Division of Audio-Visual Communications, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington i& K t & v * * v* mnl* h MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW w ¡■#4H*s4“‘' '« MARCH 1982 VOLUME 105, NUMBER 3 L IB R A R V Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor m 91m R o b e rt W . B e d n a rz ik an d o th e rs 3 The employment situation in 1981: new recession takes its toll By yearend, joblessness had surged, propelled by cutbacks in housing, auto, and related industries; the number of discouraged workers reached a new high S h irle y J. S m ith 15 New worklife estimates reflect changing profile of labor force The working life expectancy of men continued to level off during 1970-77; however, that of women increased, especially among those 25 to 34 years old J. P. G o ld b e rg , W . T. M o y e 21 The AFL and a national BLS: labor’s role is crystallized From the labor federation’s first convention in 1881 to the establishment of the Labor Department in 1913, interests of the AFL and BLS often converged J a m e s D. Y o rk 30 Nonwool yarp mills experience slow gains in productivity Although new equipment and techniques aided productivity growth in 1958-79, the 2.3-percent rate of increase was less than for manufacturing as a whole REPORTS D a w n E. D o u g h e rty R ic h a rd W . R iche F ra n cis W . H o rv a th https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 34 37 40 L a b o r a nd m a te ria l re q u ire m e n ts fo r h o sp ita l c o n s tru c tio n Im p a c t o f n e w e le c tro n ic te c h n o lo g y F o rg o tte n u n e m p lo y m e n t: re c a ll bia s in re tro s p e c tiv e d a ta DEPARTM ENTS 2 34 40 45 47 49 57 L a b o r m o n th in re vie w P ro d u c tiv ity re p o rts R e s e a rc h s u m m a rie s M a jo r a g re e m e n ts e xp irin g n e x t m onth D e v e lo p m e n ts in in d u stria l re la tio n s B o o k re v ie w s C u rre n t la b o r s ta tis tic s Labor M onth In Review ECONOMIC HARDSHIP. To what ex tent has the link between unemployment and economic hardship been weakened? A new Bureau of Labor Statistics study sheds some light on that question. Data for the study are drawn from the March 1980 Current Population Survey. Ex cerpts: Economic and social changes over the past 40 years have altered the relation ship between a worker’s experience of unemployment and the family’s income position. Unemployment compensation and other forms of social insurance have helped to offset at least part of the reduction in family income resulting from the loss of a job. In addition, the growth of two-earner families has made family income less sensitive to fluctua tions in the earnings of a single family member. Poverty-jobless link. If it is an over simplification to say that unemployment always means hardship for families, it is equally an oversimplification to say that the connection between the two has been broken. The data confirm that today poverty does not always accompany unemploy ment. Of the 18 million workers who ex perienced some spells of unemployment during 1979, only 14 percent belonged to families whose incomes were below the poverty level. Similarly, about 13 per cent of the workers who worked part time involuntarily belonged to families in poverty. Even for fully employed workers whose hourly earnings were at or near the minimum wage, the tie be tween the earnings level of individual workers and the income of their families was not a tight one. Approximately 4.8 million workers had annual earnings that implied that they were working at or near the minimum wage; less than onequarter of these (1.1 million) were in families of households below the pover ty level. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Family make-up link. On the other hand, a more intensive examination of the data suggests that the overall numbers hide important relationships. The links between a worker’s low earn ings, or an interruption in those earn ings, and family income depend greatly on the composition of the family to which the worker belongs. For workers other than husbands in married-couple families (these workers include wives and “others,” mostly youth), low earn ings or interruptions in earnings occa sioned by unemployment or part-time work are not, in the vast majority of cases, associated with family income that falls below the poverty level. However, the contrary is the case for workers who do not reside in a marriedperson household and who experience low earnings, unemployment, or parttime work. For example, the poverty rate reaches 51 percent for families maintained by women who could only find part-time work, and nearly one-half of the families of unemployed women who maintain families are below the poverty level. Much the same picture emerges for unrelated individuals (per sons who do not maintain families) and, to a somewhat lesser extent, for men who maintain families. Thus, the analysis suggests that, for many families, poverty is not a direct and inevitable result of unemployment, short workweeks, or low earnings ex perienced by one or more family mem bers. But it is primarily in marriedcouple households having two or more earners that the traditional relationship between labor market status and the economic condition of the family is broken. For other types of households—men and women who maintain families and persons who live by themselves outside of family units—low earnings, unemployment, short workweeks, and part-year work are linked fairly closely with economic hardship. Qualification. These conclusions must be qualified in the sense that there are many cases which cannot be thoroughly explored from the data available. For ex ample, when a middle-income worker is laid off from a well paying job, the fami ly may have sufficient resources to avoid falling all the way to the poverty level; nevertheless, possible consequences such as foreclosures or mounting debt can en tail substantial economic hardship, even if not as extreme as a decline to poverty status. In addition, there are many cases where the interruption of labor income means severe economic distress which cannot be evaluated with existing data. For example, it is known that the unemployment rate for wives whose husbands are unemployed is much higher than that of wives whose husbands are employed. When two workers in a married-couple household are unemployed, the implications for family income are undoubtedly severe, but the present data are not detailed enough to analyze these cases. Data include, in addition to normal wage and salary income, cash payments from such sources as unemployment compensation and other forms of social insurance. Not included are noncash forms of assistance (such as food stamps) to which a low-income family may be entitled. They are, however, the most comprehensive data on family in come yet assembled that can be related to the labor force status and activities of individual family members. The 58-page study also analyzes other aspects of insufficient employment and links these individual employment pro blems to family income and poverty. Unking Employment Problems to Economic Status, BLS Bulletin 2123, is available from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Of fice, Washington, D.C. 20402, and from BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cover. Price $4.50. □ The employment situation in 1981: new recession takes its toll By y earend, joblessness had surged, propelled by cutbacks in housing, auto, and related industries; employment was back to its year-ago level; the employment-population ratio was at a 4-year low; and the number o f discouraged workers and involuntary part-timers topped previous records R o b e r t W . B e d n a r z ik , M and M ic h a e l A. U a r il l y n A. H ew so n , rquhart The labor market turned sour in mid-1981 as the econo my entered its eighth postwar recession following a rather weak and brief recovery. High interest rates con tinued to plague the housing and automobile industries, which never totally recovered from 1980, and the weak ness of these two critical industries had begun to spread to related industries as 1981 unfolded. Product orders were reduced, leading to increased inventories, sharp cutbacks in production, and eventually to increased layoffs and other job losses. The labor market, which received its second jolt in as many years, was experiencing precipitous declines by the final quarter of 1981. The number of unemployed reached 9.6 million— 8.8 percent of the work force— by the end of the year. There were also large increases in the number of persons reporting discouragement over job prospects and the number still employed but report ing reduced workweeks. Robert W. Bednarzik and Michael A. Urquhart are economists in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, and Marillyn A. Hewson is an economist in the Division of Monthly Industry Em ployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Although by the end of 1981 total employment was near its year ago level, the pattern during the year was one of growth through spring, stagnation in the sum mer, and pronounced cutbacks at the end of the year. The percentage of the population employed was at a 4-year low by December.1 Unemployment rises sharply at yearend The recovery from the 1980 recession had only a marginal impact on the Nation’s unemployment rate, which never dipped below the 7.2-percent mark (season ally adjusted) during 1981. Despite an increase in total employment of 1.8 million between the second quarters of 1980 and 1981, the growth was insufficient to have a marked improvement on joblessness, as the unemploy ment rate only dropped from the 1980 high of 7.8 per cent to 7.2 percent in July 1981. As economic activity declined in the second half, the number of jobless per sons jumped by nearly 2 million from July to Decem ber, and the overall unemployment rate reached 8.8 percent, very close to the post-World War II high of 9.0 percent recorded in May 1975. Given the persistently high rates of unemployment 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 since mid-1980, the fourth quarter surge pushed the un employment rates for many worker groups beyond those reached during the 1980 recession and, in some cases, exceeded the postwar records of the 1973-75 re cession. The following tabulation shows the peak monthly jobless rates (seasonally adjusted) for major demographic groups in 1975, 1980, and 1981: 1975 9.0 (May) All workers . . Men, age 20 and over .................. 7.3 (May) Women, age 20 and over .................. 8.5 (Apr.) Teenagers............. 20.9 (June) W hite.................... 8.4 (May) Blacks .................. 15.4 (Sept.) 1980 7.8 (July) 1981 8.8 (Dec.) 6.7 (July) 7.9 (Dec.) 6.7 (July) 19.1 (July) 6.9 (July) 15.2 (July) 7.4 (Dec.) 21.5 (Dec.) 7.7 (Dec.) 17.3 (Dec.) Joblessness among men (20 years and over), which had shown some improvement early in the recent recov ery period, increased 2.2 percentage points between July and December 1981 to 7.9 percent, exceeding the post war high reached in 1975. The rate for women showed virtually no improvement in the recovery period, re maining at about 6.7 percent before rising to 7.4 per cent by December. While this was more than half a point above the 1980 high for women, it was still more than a point below the 1975 record. The greater in crease in unemployment among men was primarily due to their predominance in industries experiencing exten sive job cutbacks. In December, the rate for men actu ally exceeded that for women, an unusual labor market occurrence. The employment situation for teenagers continued to worsen; their unemployment rate has shown a step-like pattern of deterioration since mid-1979. By the end of 1981, the teenage rate of 21.5 percent was the highest ever recorded, more than half a point above that reached in 1975. Joblessness among women who main tain families followed a similar pattern, rising from 8.1 to 9.1 percent between the third quarters of 1979 and 1980 before leaping to 10.7 percent in the third quarter of 1981, about a point above their 1975 peak. The rise in unemployment among blacks2 affected both adults and teenagers and occurred earlier in the year than was the case for white workers. Indeed, un employment among blacks showed virtually no recovery from the 1980 recession and their jobless rate was hit ting new records by summer. Their overall rate was 17.3 percent by December. The black share of total un employment was 21 percent in 1981, double their labor force share. This was little changed from 1980, but higher than their share during the early 1970’s. Unem ployment for Hispanic workers seesawed over the year, ending the year at slightly above 11 percent, about a point higher than a year ago. Most of the increase was accounted for by women age 20 and over. Persons of Digitized4for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Puerto Rican origin experienced the highest rate of job lessness in 1981, averaging 13.6 percent for the year; the unemployment rate for persons of Mexican origin aver aged 10.5 percent and those of Cuban origin, 9 percent. Industry and occupation. Substantial fourth quarter in creases pushed joblessness among workers in most major industry groups above 1980 recession rates by yearend.3 (See table 1.) Attention during the year was focused on those industries directly affected by contin ued high interest rates, most notably housing construc tion, automobile manufacturing, and related industries. There was some slight improvement in the unemploy ment rate for workers in the construction industry from the third quarter of 1980 to the first quarter of 1981. The rate moved steadily higher, as the year progressed, reaching 18.1 percent in December. The patterns for the housing-related lumber and wood products, furniture and fixtures, and stone, clay and glass industries were similar. Two of the three detailed manufacturing indus tries whose 1981 peak jobless rates exceeded those reached in both 1980 and in 1975 were housing related; the other, food processing, has undergone several tech nological changes in recent years to better insulate itself against inflationary pressures. The following tabulation show peak monthly unemployment rates in selected manufacturing industries: 1975 1980 1981 Lumber and wood products......... 16.0 (May) 17.0 (June) 22.0 (Dec.) Stone, clay and glass................ 11.8 (Apr.) 10.7 (May) 12.7 (Dec.) Food processing .. 11.5 (June) 10.4 (Dec.) 12.1 (Dec.) Except for furniture and fixtures, the manufacturing industries whose 1981 peak jobless rates exceeded those attained in 1980, but not those in 1975, were auto relat ed: 1975 Furniture and fixtures................ Textiles ............. Chemicals........... Rubber and plas tics .................. 1980 1981 16.4 (Feb.) 11.3 (Sep.) 17.9 (Jan.) 11.9 (Oct.) 7.9 (May) 5.3 (Aug.) 13.2 (Dec.) 14.1 (Dec.) 6.2 (Dec.) 15.5 (Mar.) 12.9 (July) 15.1 (Jan.) December unemployment rates for workers in prima ry and fabricated metals, machinery, and electrical equipment, while up from earlier in the year, were still below 1980 highs. Joblessness among workers in the automobile indus try showed improvement between the third quarter of 1980 and the second quarter of 1981, dropping from 22.4 percent to 11.8 percent, but hit 21.7 percent in De cember. Most of the reduction was due to workers find ing jobs elsewhere (although some auto workers were Table 1. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1980-81 [Unemployment rates] 1981 1980 C a te g o ry I II III IV I II III IV Total, 16 years and over ........................................ Men, 20 years and over ..................................................... Women, 20 years and o v e r ................................................. Both sexes, 16 to 19 y e a r s ................................................. 6.3 4.9 5.8 16.4 7.3 6.2 6.4 17.9 7.6 6.6 6.5 18.7 7.5 6.3 6.7 18.2 7.4 6.0 6.6 19.1 7.4 6.1 6.7 19.2 7.4 6.0 6.7 19.1 8.3 7.2 7.2 21.1 W hite.................................................................................... B lack..................................................................................... Hispanic origin ..................................................................... 5.5 12.8 9.1 6.5 14.3 10.1 6.8 15.0 10.9 6.6 15.1 10.1 6.5 14.6 11.0 6.5 15.1 9.8 6.4 15.8 9.8 7.3 17.0 11.1 Married men, spouse present ............................................ Married women, spouse present ........................................ Women who maintain families ............................................ 3.4 5.3 8.8 4.4 5.9 8.7 4.8 6.1 9.1 4.4 5.9 10.1 4.1 5.9 9.9 4.0 5.8 10.3 4.1 5.7 10.7 5.2 6.4 10.6 Full-time workers ................................................................. Part-time w orkers................................................................. 5.9 8.7 7.0 8.9 7.5 8.7 7.3 8.7 7.1 9.1 7.1 9.3 7.0 9.5 8.1 9.6 White-collar w orkers............................................................ Blue-collar workers.............................................................. Service w o rkers................................................................... Farmworkers ....................................................................... 3.4 8.2 7.2 4.3 3.7 10.5 8.0 4.8 3.8 11.1 8.3 4.9 3.9 10.6 8.2 4.3 3.9 10.1 8.4 5.0 4.0 9.8 9.0 5.1 4.0 9.7 8.6 4.7 4.3 11.8 9.5 6.3 Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers’ ............. Construction..................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durable goods ............................................................ Nondurable go o d s........................................................ Transportation and public utilities ................................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ............................................... Finance and service industries........................................ Government workers .......................................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers................................. 6.3 12.0 6.8 6.7 6.9 4.2 6.6 4.8 4.0 10.0 7.7 15.3 9.0 9.8 8.0 4.9 7.5 5.4 4.0 11.4 7.9 16.1 9.4 10.1 8.3 5.6 7.7 5.6 4.2 11.7 7.7 14.2 9.0 9.2 8.6 5.2 7.9 5.6 4.3 10.8 7.5 14.0 8.4 8.4 8.4 5.7 7.7 5.8 4.4 11.8 7.4 15.4 7.6 7.3 8.1 5.4 7.8 5.8 4.7 11.2 7.4 15.9 7.4 7.1 7.9 4.4 8.1 5.8 4.6 11.3 8.5 17.8 9.7 10.0 9.2 5.5 8.6 6.2 5.0 14.1 'Includes mining, not shown separately. recalled to their jobs), because employment growth in the industry was essentially nonexistent after mid-1979. The dramatic yearend surge in joblessness brought the jobless rate for all factory workers to 11.0 percent in December, 11.8 percent for those in durables and 9.6 percent for nondurables. Among the major occupational groups, the jobless pattern showed generally little or no improvement for the first three quarters followed by a surge in the fourth, especially among blue-collar workers. Their job less rate was up to 12.7 percent by December, as craftworkers, operatives, and nonfarm laborers all re corded increases. White-collar unemployment was also up in December to 4.5 percent, with the sharpest in crease occurring among professional and technical workers, whose December rate of 3.4 percent almost equaled its previous high in 1975. Unemployment among clerical workers was also up at yearend. Reasons for unemployment. In the household survey, jobless persons are categorized according to whether they lost their last job (due to either a layoff or a per manent separation), voluntarily left a job, entered the labor force for the first time, or began to search for work after a period of absence from the labor market. The distribution of total unemployment by these groups changes over the business cycle. During economic con tractions, there, of course, are sharp increases in jobloss unemployment, especially in that due to layoff. In https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis contrast, there is normally a decline in the number of persons who began looking for work because they quit their last job. As a result of the weak recovery from the 1980 reces sion, job losers’ share of total unemployment remained high throughout the year. (See table 2.) The first quar ter level of 4 million, the low for the year, was still more than a million above pre-1980 recession levels. While historically the percentage of job losers usually drops to around 40 percent during recoveries, in 1981 they represented about 50 percent of total unemploy ment through the third quarter. At 56 percent in De cember, the percentage of job losers was very close to the 58-percent high reached in the 1973-75 recession. The number of persons on layoff, a very sensitive cy clical measure, did show a decline of a half million be tween the third quarters of 1980 and 1981, before rising sharply in the final quarter. At 2 million in December, the number on layoff was at the peak level reached in the 1975 recession. Duration o f unemployment. An important consideration in the evaluation of overall unemployment is the aver age duration of joblessness. Short spells of unemploy ment are often considered to be only a result of frictions in the labor market, as workers move from job to job and labor supply adjusts to changes in demand. The longer a period of unemployment, the greater the economic hardship that is normally associated with it. 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 Table 2. Reason for and duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1980-81 [Numbers in thousands] 1980 1981 R e as o n a n d d uration I II III IV 1 II III IV 100.0 47.4 16.9 30.4 12.6 27.6 12.5 100.0 52.4 21.6 30.7 12.0 24.9 10.8 100.0 54.2 21.9 32.4 11.0 23.7 11.1 100.0 53.2 19.0 34.2 11.0 24.6 11.2 100.0 50.4 16.5 33.9 11.5 25.8 12.4 100.0 50.5 16.5 34.1 11.6 25.7 12.1 100.0 51.3 16.3 34.9 11.3 25.5 11.9 100.0 54.1 20.1 34.0 10.3 24.7 11.0 Less than 5 w e e k s .............................................................. 5-14 w e e k s ......................................................................... 15 weeks and o v e r.............................................................. 15-26 weeks ................................................................... 27 weeks and o v e r .......................................................... 3,132 2,163 1,385 825 560 3,498 2,636 1,745 1,012 733 3,351 2,685 2,146 1,229 917 3,196 2,455 2,347 1,235 1,113 3,278 2,370 2,327 1,084 1,243 3,290 2,500 2,260 1,112 1,148 3,393 2,455 2,212 1,107 1,105 3,865 2,861 2,343 1,195 1,148 Median duration, in w e e ks................................................... Average (mean) duration, in weeks .................................... 5.7 10.7 6.1 11.2 7.3 12.4 7.4 13.4 7.2 14.1 7.2 13.8 7.0 14.0 6.8 13.2 R e as o n Percent distribution.............................................................. Lost last jo b ......................................................................... On layoff ......................................................................... O th e r................................................................................ Left last j o b ......................................................................... Reentered labor fo rc e .......................................................... Seeking first j o b ................................................................... D u ratio n The two average measures of unemployment duration — the mean and the median— differ in regard to their sensitivity to changes in the number of persons experi encing either short- or long-term joblessness, the medi an being less sensitive to extreme values. While both generally move in the same direction as the overall un employment rate, there is a definite lagged response at economic turning points. For example, during the 1980 recession, very long-term unemployment (27 weeks or longer) continued to increase—from 915,000 in the third quarter of 1980 to more than 1.2 million in the first quarter of 1981. (See table 2.) Due to the brevity of the recovery, such joblessness declined only slightly in the subsequent two quarters before increasing again in the last quarter. The lag in the response of long-term joblessness to an economic upturn has different implications for the mean and median duration figures. For example, although the rate of unemployment in the 1980 recession never exceeded the 7.8-percent figure attained in July, the mean duration of unemployment continued upward through the first quarter of 1981. In economic down turns, the mean duration will frequently decline for a few months, as the newly unemployed enter the jobless stream. Thus, in 1981, mean duration actually fell in the fourth quarter. The median duration measure, by contrast, usually responds much faster to changing eco nomic conditions and moves more in tandem with over all unemployment, because it is dominated by the movement of the shorter-term duration groups. During the 1980 recession, for example, the increase in the me dian generally followed that of the overall rate, though lagging somewhat in the recovery phase. In 1981, how ever, the yearend rise in unemployment was so steep that median duration also declined a bit in the fourth quarter. Both measures can be expected to increase in the months ahead. 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Shortened workweeks and discouragement Just as the health of the economy influences unem ployment, it similarly influences the number of people who report that they want a job but are not looking for one because they believe no work is available— socalled “discouraged workers.” In addition, as the Na tion enters a recession, employers frequently reduce hours where possible before laying off employees. Per sons on such shortened workweeks are termed involun tary part-time workers. They, along with discouraged workers, are not reflected in the official count of unem ployment, although information on both groups is im portant in achieving a full appreciation of the nature and magnitude of the underutilization of human re sources. Nonagriculturai workers involuntarily on part-time schedules totaled more than 5 million, or 5.6 percent of the nonfarm “at-work” population, in the fourth quar ter of 1981. This was the highest level recorded since collection of the data began in 1955. Slack work, the most cyclical component of involuntary part-time work, accounted for half of this total. The following tabula tion shows the distribution of involuntary part-time workers (seasonally adjusted quarterly averages):4 1980: I II III IV 1981: I II III IV Part time due to— Slack Could find work only part time Number Percent 3,546 4,171 4,290 4,216 3.9 4.6 4.8 4.7 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 4,323 4,166 4,460 5,108 4.7 4.6 4.9 5.6 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.3 The number of persons on shortened workweeks had remained high during the recovery period between the 1980 and 1981 recessions, perhaps an indication of the general sluggishness and weakness in the labor market that prevailed at that time. There has been a growing tendency in recent years for employers to keep workers on a shortened workweek for a longer spell than in ear lier years.5 Also, as shown above, the proportion of in voluntary part-timers who reported they could only find part-time work has continued to grow in recent years, as it has for the last decade. Thus, just as the job pic ture is now characterized by higher overall average un employment, it is also characterized by a higher proportion of involuntary part-time work. Discouraged workers have neither worked nor have they looked for work during the 4-week period prior to enumeration. Historically, the number of such workers tends to move in tandem with overall unemployment.6 Given the generally weak economy and higher than av erage unemployment during 1981, the number of dis couraged workers remained above the million mark throughout the year. (See table 3.) Even the deep 1973— 75 recession did not result in such consistently high lev els. The increase in the number of discouraged workers in the fourth quarter of 1981 brought the level to 1.2 million, slightly above the previous high recorded in the third quarter of 1975 and about 140,000 above the level of a year earlier. Nearly three-fourths of the recently discouraged cited job market factors as the reason for not looking for work, the component which gives discouragement its cyclical nature. Most of the 1981 in crease occurred in the last quarter. Women and blacks are disproportionately represented among the discour aged. They made up 64 and 30 percent of these workers Table 4. Table 3. Discouraged workers, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1980-81 [In thousands] 1981 1980 C a te g o ry I II III IV I II III IV 948 955 1,006 1,063 1,093 1,043 1,094 1,199 Job-market factors . Personal factors . . . 601 347 648 307 687 319 720 343 849 244 718 325 801 293 883 316 Men ...................... W om en.................. 358 591 332 623 382 624 361 702 375 718 414 630 383 711 435 764 White .................... Black and other . . . 670 301 640 309 699 310 684 356 744 387 708 326 744 351 807 364 T o ta l...................... in the last quarter of 1981, compared with 43 and 12 percent of the labor force. The employment picture With strong growth during the first half of 1981, to tal employment, as measured by the survey of house holds, appeared to have regained much of the momentum lost during the 1980 downturn. The number of persons employed rose by 2.1 million between June’s 1980 low and July 1981, reaching the 100.9-million mark in July. As the economy turned downward again in the third quarter, however, it was evident that a new recession was at hand. Especially sharp declines in the fourth quarter resulted in cutbacks totaling 1.3 million between July and December. Table 4 traces these devel opments on a quarterly basis for a number of worker groups. The employment-population ratio, which measures the proportion of the population that is employed, is a useful statistic for putting these changes into perspec tive.7 It is particularly helpful in discerning the cyclical Employed persons by selected categories, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1980-81 [In thousands] 1981 1980 S e le c te d c a te g o rie s 1 Total, 16 years and o v e r .......................................... Men, 20 years and o v e r ........................................................ Women, 20 years and over ................................................. Both sexes, 16 to 19 ye a rs ................................................... Professional and technical workers ................................. Managers and administrators, except fa rm ...................... Farmworkers......................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis II III IV I II III IV 99,784 53,478 38,351 7,955 98,953 52,887 38,349 7,717 99,006 52,849 38,564 7,593 99,498 53,211 38,714 7,573 100,125 53,448 39,202 7,476 100,784 53,767 39,677 7,341 100,654 53,786 39,692 7,176 100,043 53,327 39,802 6,914 88,183 9,370 5,028 87,466 9,267 5,066 87,388 9,305 5,156 87,846 9,312 5,257 88,381 9,387 5,277 89,039 9,419 5,336 89,006 9,308 5,349 88,414 9,304 5,431 51,408 15,738 10,954 6,363 18,353 32,397 13,029 10,875 3,650 4,844 13,247 2,756 51,680 15,967 11,067 6,162 18,485 31,325 12,759 10,507 52,177 16,015 11,255 6,329 18,578 30,860 12,653 10,343 3,463 4,401 13,253 2,720 52,280 16,161 11,287 6,357 18,475 31,297 12,724 10,540 3,484 52,754 16,225 11,638 6,384 18,506 31,211 12,710 10,556 3,439 4,505 13,358 2,748 52,943 16,227 11,505 6,455 18,756 31,673 12,828 10,703 3,481 4,661 13,384 2,761 52,985 16,528 11,524 6,435 18,499 31,486 12,675 10,634 3,521 4,656 13,400 2,741 53,123 16,704 11,500 6,423 18,496 30,660 12,434 10,266 3,462 4,497 13,611 2,744 3,529 4,529 13,213 2,712 4,549 13,209 2,793 7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 Chart 1. Employment-population ratios for selected workers, 1979-81 Percent (seasonally adjusted) N o te : S h aded a re a in d ic a te s th e 1980 re c e s s io n . 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis impact of an economic downturn on workers. Because the population is continually growing for most worker groups, a decline in the overall employment population ratio, even while employment is showing some growth, clearly reflects the inability of the economy to generate enough jobs. From a record high of 59.4 percent in late 1979, the ratio dropped to 58.3 percent by the end of 1980, re flecting the recession and an initially weak recovery. Some improvement occurred in the first half of 1981 — as the ratio inched up to 58.8 percent— but with the precipitous decline of the economy in the second half, the ratio was down to 57.5 percent by December, its lowest level in more than 4 years. During the second half, declines in the ratio were heavy among men and teenagers, while the proportion of women who were employed dipped slightly.8(See chart 1.) During the first half of 1981, strong job growth was evident among men, as they regained the job losses ex perienced during the 1980 downturn. By midyear, this group had registered a 550,000 advance in employment. However, employment rose only marginally during the third quarter, and then dropped by more than 400,000 in the closing months of 1981. These developments, when coupled with an increase in population, caused the employment-population ratio for men to decrease by 1.1 percentage points over the year, to 71.5 percent, a new low for this group. As industrial production de clined in response to an involuntary build-up in inven tories, the demand for labor in the goods-producing sector slackened accordingly. Because roughly 7 of 10 workers in the goods-producing sector are adult men, it is not surprising that they were severely affected by pro duction cutbacks. By contrast, women increased their employment over the year despite the recession. Their jobs are concen trated in the service-producing sector, which historically has been less responsive to cyclical movements in the economy than the goods sector. However, employment among women grew very little in the second half of the year as the downturn became more broadly based. By the fourth quarter, employment among women stood at 39.8 million, up 1.1 million from its year-earlier level. The employment-population ratio for women reached a new high of 48.7 percent in the second quarter and then slipped a bit in the last half of the year to 48.4 percent. However, this figure was still above the year-earlier lev el, as the percentage of employed working-age women continued its secular uptrend. Employment among teenagers declined throughout 1981, as it has every quarter since the end of 1979. These reductions stem largely from a diminishing popu lation, but they also reflect a marked vulnerability to cyclical fluctuations. Being less skilled and lacking the work experience of adults, teenagers suffer greater em ployment declines in economic downturns than the oth- er major age-sex groups. (See chart 1.) By the end of 1981, the teenage employment-population ratio had fall en nearly 3 percentage points from the fourth quarter 1980 level and more than 5 percentage points over the 2-year period. Employment of black workers, at 9.3 million in the fourth quarter, was unchanged from a year earlier and, in fact, has fluctuated within the narrow range of 9.2 to 9.5 million since the last quarter of 1978, while the pop ulation for this group has continued to grow. As a re sult, the employment-population ratio for blacks de clined 3 percentage points over the last 2 years, to 50.7 percent. Inadequate job growth has also affected whites, especially men, although to a considerably lesser extent. At 58.8 percent, the ratio for all whites was down slightly over the year, while their employment rose by 600,000. The situation facing black teenagers grew bleaker in 1981, as their employment declined by 60,000 over the year to 480,000 in the last quarter. The result was a fur ther decline in their employment-population ratio, from 23 to about 21 percent between the fourth quarters of 1980 and 1981. The ratio had been 25 percent in the late 1970’s.9In contrast, almost half of all white teenag T a b le 5 . ers were working in the last quarter of 1981. Hispanic employment increased gradually over the year and by the fourth quarter was about 175,000 above the level of a year earlier. Gains were about equally split among men and women, while teenage em ployment was down slightly. However, these gains did not keep pace with the growth of the Hispanic popula tion and their employment-population ratio declined 0.7 point during the year, to 56.9 in the last quarter. Industry employment. During the first half of 1981, non farm payroll employment showed some improvement from the recessionary levels of 1980. However, employ ment growth slowed markedly during the third quarter. By the fourth quarter, the weakness which had been visible all year in the housing and automobile industries had clearly spread, and nonfarm employment dropped by almost half a million. (See table 5.) The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ diffusion index of private nonagricultural payroll employment provides further evidence of the pervasiveness of the 1981 decline10. In the last quar ter, job gains were registered in only one-third of the 172 industries included in the index, compared to more than three-fifths a year earlier. N o n a g r ic u ltu r a l p a y r o ll e m p lo y m e n t, s e a s o n a lly a d ju s t e d q u a r t e r ly a v e r a g e s , 1 9 8 0 -8 1 fNumbers in thousands! 1981 1980 Industry Total nonagricultural payroll employment............... 1 90,808 II 90,450 III 90,213 IV 90,820 I 91,232 II III 'Vp 91,546 91.938 91,483 25,399 1,170 4,226 20,003 11,925 635 472 633 1,088 1,545 2,520 2,119 1,777 719 417 8,078 1,673 70 823 1,248 686 1,301 1,105 210 733 229 66,084 5,141 20,826 5,353 15,473 5,361 18,825 15,931 2,748 13,183 Goods-produclng Industries................................................. Mining .............................................................................. Construction..................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................... Durable goods ............................................................ Lumber and wood products .................................... Furniture and fixture s............................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ............................. Primary metal industries.......................................... Fabricated metal products ...................................... Machinery, except electrical .................................... Electric and electronic equipment ........................... Transportation equipment........................................ Instruments and related products ........................... Miscellaneous manufacturing industries .................. Nondurable g oo ds....................................................... Food and kindred products...................................... Tobacco manufactures............................................ Textile mill products................................................. Apparel and other textile products........................... Paper and allied products........................................ Printing and publishing ............................................ Chemicals and allied products ............................... Petroleum and coal products ................................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ......... Leather and leather products ................................. 26,329 999 4,527 20,803 12,603 738 487 694 1,217 1,682 2,533 2,141 1,968 708 436 8,201 1,721 68 874 1.285 706 1,256 1,115 176 761 238 25,678 1,017 4,381 20,280 12,165 672 471 663 1,156 1,612 2,510 2,106 1,845 708 423 8,115 1,704 70 855 1,266 694 1,256 1,112 194 731 233 25,306 1,012 4,319 19,976 11,911 671 455 651 1,080 1,562 2,460 2,072 1,841 708 412 8,064 1,713 69 838 1,259 686 1,257 1,099 208 706 229 25,594 1,051 4,385 20,158 12,060 683 463 656 1,124 1,580 2,487 2,095 1,854 711 407 8,098 1,706 70 844 1,253 692 1,265 1,103 209 725 231 25,670 1,091 4,398 20,181 12,086 691 466 653 1,139 1,579 2,483 2,112 1,841 712 410 8,095 1,697 72 839 1,243 690 1,272 1,108 210 732 231 25,741 1,006 4,345 20,390 12,246 704 483 657 1.144 1,601 2,508 2,142 1,879 716 414 8.144 1,691 71 844 1,257 693 1,282 1,109 212 751 232 25,933 1,148 4.273 20,512 12,325 688 487 658 1,142 1,610 2,542 2,164 1,888 726 421 8,187 1,676 72 851 1.274 699 1,295 1,109 212 761 237 Service-producing industries ............................................... Transportation and public utilities .................................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ............................................... Wholesale trade .......................................................... Retail tra d e ................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................... Services............................................................................ Government..................................................................... Federal......................................................................... State and local ............................................................ 64,479 5,178 20,370 5.285 15,085 5,104 17,656 16,170 2,832 13,338 64,772 5,153 20,303 5,269 15,034 5,142 17,796 16,377 3,004 13,373 64,907 5,123 20,406 5,275 15,131 5,189 17,988 16,201 2,828 13,373 65,227 5,120 20,465 5,297 15,168 5,237 18,162 16,242 2,797 13,445 65,562 5,133 20,588 5,311 15,277 5,281 18,338 16,222 2,792 13,431 65,805 5,153 20,689 5,343 15,346 5,324 18,525 16,114 2,776 13,338 66,005 5,174 20,843 5,368 15,475 5,355 18,694 15.938 2,771 13,167 p = preliminary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 The economy’s slow recovery from the recession of 1980, which halted before all industries had rebounded fully, was largely due to the extremely high interest rates prevailing throughout most of 1981. The major victims of the 1980 recession were concentrated in the goods-producing sector— primarily in construction and automobile manufacturing and supplier industries tied to these two industries. As the cost of borrowing re mained high, these highly interest-rate sensitive indus tries, after showing slightly higher employment in the first part of 1981, fell to more depressed levels than those experienced in 1980. The major source of employ ment strength during the year was generally in indus tries less sensitive to rising interest rates, such as services and mining. However, in the closing months of the year, the recession had begun to adversely affect vir tually all industries. The goods-producing sector was clearly the hardest hit, notably manufacturing and con struction. (See chart 2.) But even the service-producing sector felt the impact of the recession, as reflected in the considerably reduced pace of employment growth for some industries and sizable declines in the usually ro bust retail trade industry as the year drew to a close. Employment in construction deteriorated significantly in 1981, following steady growth in the last half of 1980 and a modest increase in the first quarter. Mortgage in terest rates remained high throughout most of the year, and the resulting sharp contraction in residential con struction activity gave rise to steep job declines in con struction employment. Housing starts, falling below 900.000 units in the last quarter, were the lowest since 1966; building permits, which provide an indication of future construction activity, declined steadily from April to November. By the third quarter of 1981, em ployment in the industry had plummeted to a level that was below its July 1980 recession low, and an addition al 47,000 jobs were lost in the last quarter. The job loss totaled 192,000 from April’s employment high. More over, the situation would have been worse were it not for relative continued strength in heavy construction. After rising 350,000 in the first three quarters of 1981, the number of jobs in manufacturing declined by 500.000 in the final quarter to 20 million, almost 1.2 million below the all-time high reached in July 1979. More than two-thirds of this decrease was in durable goods, where every industry experienced a decline in employment in the fourth quarter. By December, dura ble goods manufacturing employment was 11.7 million, a level below its 1980 recession low. The hardest hit manufacturing industry was transpor tation equipment, where the deterioration in the job sit uation has continued for nearly 3 years. After reaching a high of more than 2 million workers in early 1979, more than 330,000 jobs were lost by the end of 1981. The small recovery which took place in the first part of 10 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 was due to automobile buyer and dealer incentive programs such as rebates, discounts, and low-interest fi nancing that served to temporarily boost sales; however, automobile sales virtually collapsed in the fourth quar ter, forcing automobile manufacturers to slash produc tion and layoff workers. As a result, automobile em ployment fell by more than 50,000 in the final quarter. These declines, in turn, meant a drop in orders for a number of other manufacturing industries, ranging from primary and fabricated metals to textiles and rubber and plastics. With reduced orders and rising inventories, sharp cutbacks in industrial production were soon evi dent throughout durable goods manufacturing and among nondurable goods industries as well. With the prolonged slump in housing activity, there were also sizable cutbacks in industries heavily depen dent upon construction activity. Most notably, employ ment in lumber and wood products slipped significantly during the year, falling to a level 24,000 below its June 1980 recession low. Stone, clay and glass and major ap pliances— which are closely tied to construction activity — also witnessed significant declines over the year. (See table 5.) Employment in nondurable goods manufacturing rose in the first 3 quarters of 1981 but then dropped sharply in the final quarter. The largest cutback occurred in food processing, which has been following a long-term downtrend. Conversely, the only major nondurable in dustry to post a significant increase for the year was printing and publishing; this industry had also been largely unaffected by the 1980 downturn, possibly be cause of its strong ties with the less-cyclically vulnerable service-producing sector. In marked contrast to the job declines registered in construction and manufacturing, mining grew rapidly in 1981, sustaining the pattern of growth that began in the aftermath of the 1973 oil embargo. While representing slightly more than half of the employment in the indus try division, the oil and gas extraction industry accounted for more than 90 percent of the job gains during the year, a reflection of the rapid expansion in exploration and development activity. Despite a slight drop in employment in the second quarter, relating to temporary losses that stemmed from a coal strike, min ing industry employment rose at a faster rate than any other nonfarm industry, climbing 11.3 percent in 1981. (See chart 2.) Employment in the service-producing sector expand ed throughout 1981, more than offsetting the employ ment decline in the goods sector. However, as evidence that the sector is not totally immune to recessions, the rate of increase was significantly below that witnessed during the few years just prior to the 1980 and 1981 re cessions. The number of jobs rose by 860,000 from the fourth-quarter 1980 level to 66.1 million at the end of Chart 2. Nonfarm payroll employment by selected industries, 1979-81 Thousands (seasonally adjusted) M 0 N ote: D ata fo r N o v e m b e r and D e c e m b e r 1981 are p re lim in a ry . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 1981. The advance was dominated by increases in the division comprising such diverse industries as legal, health, business, and educational services, hotels and other lodging, amusement and recreation, and auto re pair. This amalgam of service industries posted a gain of 660,000 jobs. The increases were concentrated in the fast-growing health and business service industries. Jobs in wholesale and retail trade, after sustaining growth through the first three quarters, tapered off near yearend, as pre-Christmas hiring in 1981 was less than normal. Employment in transportation, public utilities, and finance, insurance, and real estate followed a simi lar pattern. These three divisions posted gains for the year, however. In contrast, government employment dropped by more than 300,000 in 1981, to 15.9 million, as a result of stringent budgets and severe staffing limi tations, particularly in primary and secondary educa tion. State and local government had the largest decline, falling 260,000 over the year to 13.2 million, while Fed eral government employment dropped almost 50,000. The varied impact of the weak recovery and subse quent economic contraction are summarized in table 6. As can be seen, the goods-oriented industries were the principal job losers in 1981. For example, job losses amounted to at least 7 percent in the automobile manu facturing and lumber industries. Government— State and local as well as Federal— was the only service-pro ducing area to register over-the-year job losses. Among job gainers, the fast-growing mining industry experi enced the largest relative increase, while the other gain ers were concentrated in the service-producing sector. Hours. One of the earliest signs of the stifled recovery and subsequent downturn in economic activity was the manufacturing workweek, which began decreasing rap idly from its May 1981 peak of 40.3 hours. By the fourth quarter, the factory workweek had fallen to 39.3 Table 6. Major payroll employment changes, by industry, fourth quarter 1980 to fourth quarter 1981 [Numbers in thousands] Industry Job losers: Construction............................. Residential building construction . . . Lumber and wood products .. Stone, clay, and glass products........... Primary metal industries ............... Fabricated metal industries ............. Transportation equipment .................... Motor vehicles and equipment . . . . Food and kindred products ........... Textile mill products ............. State and local government........... Job gainers: Mining ........................ Printing and publishing............................... Retail trade ........................ .. Finance, insurance, and real estate ............... Services............................. 12for FRASER Digitized https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number Percent -159 -3 2 -4 8 -2 3 -3 6 -3 5 -7 7 -55 -3 3 -21 -2 6 2 -3 .6 -5 .3 -7 .0 -3.5 -3 .2 2.2 -4.2 -7.4 -1.9 -2.5 -1 .9 119 36 305 124 663 11.3 2.8 2.0 2.4 3.7 hours, only 0.1 hour above its 1980 recession low. Fac tory overtime hours, which were largely responsible for the decline in the manufacturing workweek, had de clined by 0.7 hour to 2.5 hours by the end of the year. As a further indication of the weakening economic environment, the index of aggregate weekly hours for production or nonsupervisory workers, which reflects changes in both employment and the workweek, peaked in July and declined steadily throughout the remainder of the year.11 Likewise, the manufacturing hours index began falling at midyear and continued to decline so that by yearend, it was at its lowest level in more than 5 years. Occupations. Because employment in the goods indus tries is more vulnerable to cyclical contractions, it fol lows that the occupations which are concentrated in these industries— blue-collar—are also more adversely affected by economic downturns. Exhibiting a decline of nearly 1.9 million between the third quarters of 1979 and 1980, the number of blue-collar workers increased by only 800,000 during the short recovery through mid-1981. Subsequently, the economic situation wors ened and blue-collar employment dropped 1.0 million by the end of the year. At 30.7 million in the last quar ter, employment of blue-collar workers was 200,000 be low the fhird-quarter 1980 level and 600,000 below the same quarter a year before. (See table 4.) All of the major blue-collar occupational groups reg istered declines from their second quarter 1981 levels. Because 80 percent of the workers who are operatives (excluding transport) are employed in the goods-producing sector, it is not surprising that this group showed the largest decline when employment turned downward in the second half of the year. Among the other major groups, the larger the share of their em ployment that was in the goods sector—craft workers (60 percent), nonfarm laborers (40 percent), and trans port equipment operatives (30 percent)— the greater the extent of their decline. Employment growth in white-collar occupations was sustained through the second quarter of 1981 but slowed markedly in the last half of the year, as the eco nomic deterioration which set in for blue-collar workers at midyear spread. The 850,000-million job gain be tween the fourth quarters of 1980 and 1981 occurred al most exclusively among persons in the professional and technical and managerial fields, as salesworkers and clerical workers together accounted for only about 10 percent of the total increase in white-collar employ ment. Among the other occupational categories, the number of service workers increased by 400,000 above the fourth quarter 1980 level, while the number of farmworkers, which had been on a slow downtrend throughout the postwar period until the late 1970’s, showed little movement. Table 7. Labor force participation rates for selected demographic groups, annual averages, 1951-81 1951 1961 1971 1981 T o ta l.......................................... 59.3 59.3 60.2 63.9 Teenagers, 16-19 years ...................... 52.2 46.9 49.7 55.4 Men, 20 years and o v e r........................ 20-24 years ...................................... 25-34 years ...................................... 35-54 years ...................................... 55-64 years ...................................... 65 years and o v e r ............................. 88.2 88.4 96.9 96.8 87.2 44.9 85.7 87.8 97.5 96.6 87.3 31.7 82.1 83.0 95.9 95.2 82.1 25.5 79.0 85.5 94.9 93.5 70.6 18.4 Women, 20 years and o v e r .................. 20-24 years ...................................... 25-34 years ...................................... 35-54 years ...................................... 55-64 years ...................................... 65 years and o v e r ............................. 34.0 46.5 35.4 39.7 27.6 8.9 38.0 47.0 36.4 46.8 37.9 10.7 43.3 57.7 45.6 52.9 42.9 9.5 52.1 69.6 66.7 64.2 41.4 8.0 The labor force The civilian labor force grew at a slower pace in 1981 than in the late 1970’s. Between the fourth quarters of 1980 and 1981, the labor force was up by 1.6 million, slightly above the increase of the previous year but down from increases of about 3 million or more in the years following the 1973-75 recession. Diminished growth has not been altogether unexpected, however. The number of persons reaching labor force age has been smaller in recent years because the baby-boom generation, now aged 20 to 30, was followed by a “baby-bust” generation. The growth in the number of women in the labor force continued, although it did slow considerably in the latter half of the year. Such growth still accounted for two-thirds of the total labor force increase. At 6.9 million in the last quarter, women accounted for about 43 percent of the work force. Overall, the percentage of the working-age population employed or unemployed— the labor force participation rate— was up slightly in 1981 to 63.9 percent. (See ta ble 7.) The participation of women has increased from rates slightly above 30 percent in the late 1940’s to more than 52 percent in 1981, while the rates for men declined. Early postwar increases were concentrated among older women, those who had largely completed the time-consuming portion of their child-rearing re sponsibilities. But in the past two decades, the greatest labor force increases have occurred among women un der age 35. Many of these women delayed marriage, and childbearing, to pursue careers. Even when they had children, many retained their jobs rather than leave the labor force, as in earlier times. The trend may have gotten an added push in the 1970’s by a desire to main tain family buying power in the face of inflationary pressures. The labor force participation rate for women near normal retirement ages has recently turned down ward, joining a long-standing trend for men. The participation rate for men, down slightly to 79.0 1Data on labor force, total employment, and unemployment are de rived from the Current Population Survey (CPS), a sample survey of households conducted and tabulated by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Statistics on nonagricultural payroll employment and hours from the Current Employment Statistics Pro gram (CES) are collected by State agencies from employer reports of payroll records and are tabulated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A description of the two surveys appears in the Bureau of Labor Statis tics monthly publication, Em ploym ent and Earnings. 2The proportion of blacks in the “black and other” group has been declining; it was 83 percent in 1980. This has resulted from a gradual influx of Asians, particularly Vietnamese, into the U.S. labor force in the 1970’s. For this reason, and because of the availability and in creased reliability of data for blacks, it is not as necessary as in the past to use data for “black and other” when discussing black work https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis percent between 1980 and 1981, has declined fairly steadily over the postwar years, primarily a result of the continued early labor force withdrawal among older men. For example, there was an especially large decline among those 55 to 64 years in the past decade, indica tive of an improved financial ability to retire. Participa tion rates have actually increased for young adults, and they remained quite high (and little changed) for men in the prime working ages. The rate for teenagers had in creased steadily since 1965, reaching a high of 57.9 per cent in 1979, before declining in the last 2 years. As 1981 ENDED, the country was mired in a recession, the eighth in the post-World War II era. All recessions are separate and distinct in terms of magnitude, dura tion and breadth. However, this episode is unique from the previous seven by the fact that there was a rather limited recovery from its 1980 predecessor, and that two key industries— notably construction and automo bile— were essentially in a continued depressed state through the recovery period. While, as of this writing, it is too early to see the end of the tunnel, it was clear at yearend that most leading economic indicators were pointing toward further deterioration and that industri al production was still heading downward. □ ers. Thus, unless otherwise stated, the term black in this article refers exclusively to the “black only” population and not to the “black and other” category, which, in addition to blacks, includes American Indians, Alaskan Natives, and Asian and Pacific Islanders. 3Because of movement between industries and into and out of the labor force, unemployment rates by detailed industry are difficult to interpret. For example, a decline in joblessness among workers in a particular industry does not necessarily indicate the reemployment of laid-off workers. It could mean that these workers have found work elsewhere or simply left the labor force. 4 Data do not include the small number of workers on shortened workweeks because of material shortages and those who began or ended a job during the survey week. 5See Robert W. Bednarzik, “Worksharing in the U.S.: its preva13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The Employment Situation in 1981 lence and duration,” M onthly Labor Review, July 1980, pp. 3-12. 6For futher detail on this subject, see Paul O. Flaim, “Discouraged workers and changes in unemployment,” Monthly Labor Review, March 1973, pp. 8-16, and Carol M. Ondeck, “Discouraged workers’ link to jobless rate reaffirmed,” M onthly Labor Review, October 1978, pp. 40-42. 7For a discussion of the employment-population ratio as a cyclical indicator, see Carol Boyd Leon, “The employment-population ratio: its value in labor force analysis,” M onthly Labor Review, February 1981, pp. 36-45, and Julius Shiskin, “Employment and unemploy ment: the doughnut or the hole?” M onthly Labor Review, February 1976, pp. 3-10. 8For a discussion of the relative impact of recessions on different 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis demographic groups, see Norman Bowers, “Have employment pat terns in recessions changed?” M onthly Labor Review, February 1981, pp. 15-28. ’ The employment-population ratio for black and other youth was down about 13 points over the past quarter century. 10For a detailed discussion of indexes of diffusion of changes in the number of employees on nonagricultural payrolls, see John F. Early, “Introduction of Diffusion Indexes,” Em ploym ent and Earnings, De cember 1974, pp. 7-11. 11Aggregate hours is a joint measure of the change in both hours and employment. For basic industries, aggregate hours are the prod uct of average weekly hours and production-worker or nonsupervisory-worker employment. The role of apprenticeship Apprenticeship is only one of the many ways in which a vocational aptitude may be gained. In most occupations, training is acquired on the job, in trade or vocational schools, in the Armed Forces, or in Federal or State training courses, or principally by ‘picking up the trade’— that is, working with journeymen on a variety of jobs until proficiency is achieved. Only about one-fourth of all unions actually participate in apprenticeship regulation. Moreover, most employees who do work in apprenticeable trades have learned their trade with out having served an apprenticeship. Thus, studies have estimated that as many as 80 percent of all carpenters and 30 percent of all electricians became journeymen without serving apprenticeships. These studies also show that it is more difficult to become a journey man in the electrical, mechanical, and plumbing trades without formal training than in the carpentry, painting, and trowel trades (bricklay ing, cement finishing, and so on). — G o r d o n F. B loom and H erbert R. N orthrup Economics of Labor Relations, 9th ed. (Homewood, 111., Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1981), p. 228. New worklife estimates reflect changing profile of labor force The worklife expectancy of men continued to level off between 1970 and 1977, while that of women increased significantly S h ir l e y J. S m it h The Bureau of Labor Statistics has developed a new set of working life tables based on labor force patterns ob served in 1977. On the basis of these patterns, the Bu reau estimates that the average man 16 years of age can expect to spend 38.5 years in the labor force while a typical woman of that age can expect 27.7 years of la bor force involvement. Patterns of lifetime labor force attachment for both men and women are constantly changing. Comparisons of labor force participation rates from year to year sug gest evolving patterns of labor force entry and with drawal, as well as significant changes in economic activity at midlife. However, it is difficult to identify the current “lifetime pattern of labor force involvement” from these rates alone. Working life tables were developed to isolate such lifetime patterns. The results of the model are synthetic. That is, they summarize the behavior of all age groups in the population during a given year, rather than trace the history of any one group through its lifetime. The tables estimate how frequently members of a population would enter and leave the labor force, and how long the average person would remain economically active, if Shirley J. Smith is a demographic statistician in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rates of behavior remained as they were in the reference year. Recent participation trends affect methodology Of course, these rates do not remain constant over time. In fact, activity rates of men and women have changed substantially since 1970, the reference year of the Bureau’s previous working life tables. Between 1970 and 1977, the entire cross-sectional profile of participa tion for both sexes changed. (See table 1.) Persons age 16 to 24 became increasingly active; those above age 55 showed a weakening attachment to the labor force. The participation rates of younger women showed the most remarkable change, increasing by more than one per centage point per year. The rate for those 25 to 34 in creased by 14.5 percentage points in just 7 years. At the same time, rates of older persons were dropping, with that of men 60 to 64 declining by 12.1 percentage points. In the prime working ages, the labor force attach ment of men slackened somewhat, while that of women increased substantially. The net effect was a decline in the mean age of labor force members, reinforcing the drop related to the age structure of the population it self. The magnitude and character of these changes have rendered the 1970 worklife estimates obsolete. 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • New Worklife Estimates Table 1. Civilian labor force participation rates by sex and age, annual averages, 1970 and 1977 Men C h an g e W om en Change Age 16-19 20-24 25 34 35 44 ............. ............. ............. ............. 45-54 55-59 60-64 65 and ............. ............. ............. over . . . 1970 1977 1 9 7 0 -7 7 1970 1977 1 9 7 0 -7 7 56.1 83.3 96.4 96.9 94.2 89.5 75.0 26.8 61.0 85.7 4.9 2.4 -1 .0 -1 .2 -3 .0 -6 .3 -12.1 -6 .7 44.0 57.7 45.0 51.1 54.4 49.0 36.1 9.7 51.4 66.5 59.5 59.6 55.8 48.0 32.9 8.1 7.4 8.8 14.5 8.5 1.4 -1 .0 -3 .2 -1 .6 95.4 95.7 91.2 83.2 62.9 20.1 Moreover, there is now much evidence that adults, particularly women, move in and out of the labor force repeatedly during their lifetimes. This movement contra dicts a basic assumption of conventional worklife meth odology, that workers remain in the labor force continuously from age of entry to age of final withdraw al. The growing conflict between model and reality ap pears to have adversely affected estimates published for the years 1950-70. The new worklife estimates for 1977 are drawn from a dynamic new model known as the increment-decre ment working life table. This model is markedly differ ent from the original (or conventional) worklife tech nique used to produce the estimates previously pub lished by the Bureau. The new values are not entirely comparable with previously published figures,1 because they reflect not only changes in the behavior of Ameri can adults, but also several fundamental changes in modeling procedures.2 The key feature of this model is that it rests on ob served probabilities of movement into and out of the la bor force—a flow variable, rather than labor force participation rates, which are a measure of stocks. In the new tables, persons are assumed to pass through life, at each age facing the “probabilities of transition” observed for that age group in the base population dur ing the reference year. Worklife expectancies summarize the length of time the average adult would spend in the labor force during his or her lifetime, if these probabili ties did not change. Rates of labor force accession and separation summarize the volume of labor turnover which would occur within each age group if mobility patterns remained constant. Unlike previously published estimates for women, the new tables do not spell out expectancies separately by marital or parental status. Such tables imply a fixed sta tus for life. Instead, the new model presents a summary table for all women. The transition probabilities under lying this table reflect the impact of normal life cycle changes on labor force attachment at each age. For purposes of comparison, 1970 estimates have been reestimated using the new increment-decrement 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis methodology. Selected revised values are included in this report. New estimates and trends in worklife expectancy Tables of working life for 1977, estimated by the in crement-decrement method, indicate that given a con tinuation of mortality and labor force behavior observed at that time, a boy born in 1977 was likely to spend 37.9 years in the labor force and a girl, 27.5 years. (See table 2.) Those surviving to age 16 would have slightly higher average worklife expectancies— 38.5 and 27.7 years, respectively. At age 50, the average man could anticipate 11.7 more years of labor force involvement, the average woman, 7.5 years. Within any age group, persons currently active have a higher worklife expectancy than those not in the labor force. Although previous studies have hinted at this re lationship, the new estimates for the first time spell out the magnitude of the differential. Among teenagers it is relatively small; most are likely to enter and leave the labor force repeatedly before settling into adult roles. However, at midlife the active and inactive groups are no longer so similar. For those not in the labor force, the probability of reentry declines with age. At age 45 the active group is expected to work about 4 years longer than its inactive counterpart. Historic comparisons of the worklife index are imped ed by the fact that patterns of labor force attachment have changed, forcing a revision in methodology. Dur ing the first half of this century, when worklives tended to be more continuous, the conventional model gave rel atively unbiased estimates of their duration. However, as work patterns became increasingly irregular after World War II, the quality of the estimates declined. The problem was greatest for groups having high rates of labor turnover. For such groups, the conventional model tended to underestimate the size of the labor force, and to overstate the average worklife duration. Estimates for women workers were especially tenuous, Table 2. Worklife expectancies of the population and of active and inactive persons by age and sex, 1977 [In years] M en W om en Age T o ta l At b irth ............. 16 .................... 2 0 .................... 25 .................... 30 .................... 35 .................... 40 .................... 45 .................... 50 .................... 5 5 .................... 60 .................... 65 .................... 7 0 .................... 37.9 38.5 36.8 33.4 29.2 24.7 20.3 15.9 11.7 7.8 4.3 1.9 .9 A c tiv e In ac tiv e Total A c tiv e In ac tiv e 39.6 37.3 33.7 29.3 24.9 20.4 16.2 12.2 8.5 5.2 3.4 2.6 37.9 38.1 35.9 32.0 27.2 21.7 16.9 12.0 7.2 3.6 1.9 1.1 .6 27.5 27.7 26.0 23.0 19.9 16.8 13.7 10.5 7.5 4.8 2.5 1.1 .5 28.8 26.7 23.7 20.9 17.9 14.9 11.9 9.3 6.8 4.4 3.1 2.4 27.5 27.4 25.2 21.7 18.2 14.8 11.4 8.0 4.9 2.5 1.2 .6 .2 Table 3. Changes in life and worklife expectancies, by sex, 1900-77 R atio o f W o rk life e x p e c ta n c y Life e x p e c ta n c y In ac tiv e y ea rs P e rc e n t o f fe m a le to (to ta l popu latio n ) lifes p a n a c tiv e m a le w o rk life e x p e c ta n c ie s W o rk life m o d el, s ex , a n d y e a r W o rk e rs All p e rso n s At A t ag e birth 20 A t age From From birth a g e 20 birth a g e 20 39.4 41.3 43.1 42.9 41.5 14.2 23.1 24.0 25.7 27.0 4.4 7.1 7.5 8.7 10.2 69.3 62.3 63.4 61.5 59.8 89.6 84.8 84.7 82.5 79.4 At A t ag e A t ag e birth 20 20 32.1 38.1 41.5 41.1 40.1 37.8 39.7 41.4 40.9 39.4 20 M en Conventional model: 1900 ..................................................................... 1940 ..................................................................... 1950 ..................................................................... 1960 ..................................................................... 1970 ..................................................................... 46.3 61.2 65.5 66.8 67.1 42.2 48.6 48.9 49.6 49.6 Increment-decrement model: 1970 ..................................................................... 1977 ..................................................................... 67.1 69.3 49.6 51.3 37.8 37.9 37.3 36.8 38.0 37.3 29.4 31.5 12.3 14.5 56.3 54.7 75.2 71.7 (’ ( l) Change: 1900-772 .............................................................. 1970-773 ............................................................ 23.0 2.2 9.1 1.7 5.7 0.1 -1 .0 -0 .5 -2.1 -0.7 17.3 2.1 10.1 2.2 -14.8 -1 .7 -17.9 —3.5 (') Conventional model: 1900 ................................................................... 1940 ..................................................................... 1950 ..................................................................... 1960 ..................................................................... 1970 ..................................................................... 48.3 65.7 71.0 73.1 74.8 43.8 50.4 53.7 55.7 56.7 6.3 12.1 15.1 20.1 22.9 11.9 14.5 18.6 22.0 37.3 40.6 42.0 53.6 55.9 53.0 51.9 38.5 39.2 37.1 34.7 13.0 18.4 21.3 27.5 30.6 13.7 23.6 27.0 33.4 38.8 30.0 35.0 45.0 55.8 Increment-decrement model: 1970 ..................................................................... 1977 ..................................................................... 74.8 77.1 56.7 58.6 22.3 27.5 21.3 26.0 22.1 26.7 52.4 49.7 35.4 32.6 29.8 35.7 37.6 44.4 57.1 70.7 Change: 1900-77" .............................................................. 1970-773 ............................................................ 28.8 2.3 14.8 1.9 21.1 5.0 (3) (3 ) 4.6 7.7 -2 .7 ( 3) 4.7 -2 .8 22.5 5.6 30.7 6.8 13.6 . (') ( 1) (') (’) ( 1) n W om en n ( 4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 'Not applicable. "Based on conventional model estimates for 1900 and Increment-decrement model estimates for 1977. "Based on the increment-decrement model. 4Data not available. growing increasingly biased from 1950 to 1970. Only the 1970 values have been reestimated using the incre ment-decrement model. Conventional estimates for 1950 through 1970 seriously overstate work durations for women in the labor force during that period. When these data are excluded, however, the results of previous models give a credible picture of the evolution of labor force attachments in this century. (See table 3.) In 1900, the life and worklife expectancies of men were very similar. At age 20, the average man could ex pect to spend only 4.4 years outside of the labor force. During the next 77 years, men’s life span increased by 23 years, with the bulk of the increase—about 17 years — going into nonlabor force activities. The growth in worklife expectancy was less than 6 years. Between 1970 and 1977, virtually the entire increase in life ex pectancy (2.2 years) went to nonlabor force activities. At the turn of the century, the average man spent 69 percent of his lifetime in the labor force, but by 1977, this figure had dropped to about 55 percent. In contrast, the formal worklife of women has in creased dramatically during this century. In 1900, wom en averaged little more than 6 years of formal labor force involvement. Over the next 77 years, their average https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis life span increased by almost 29 years, of which 21 were allocated to labor market activities. The shift has been especially pronounced in recent years. Between 1970 and 1977, worklife durations rose by 5 years, while life expectancy increased by only 2.3 years. This was ac complished by a reallocation of time—nearly 3 years per woman—from home to labor market activities. At the turn of the century, women spent an average of 13 percent of their lifetimes in the labor force, compared to nearly 36 percent in 1977. Because of these countervailing trends, the worklife durations of men and women have been converging. It is estimated that in 1940, the average expectation of working life for young women was just 30 percent of that for men. By 1970, it was 57 percent and by 1977, it represented 71 percent that for men. While these fig ures do not take account of differences in hours worked, an important distinction, they do illustrate how funda mentally the roles of men and women have changed. Measures of labor force mobility A second function of the working life table is to quantify movements into and out of the labor force. The conventional model derived aggregate estimates of 17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • New Worklife Estimates these flows from age-to-age comparisons of labor force participation rates. The results, taken to describe net flows, gave little insight into the process of labor turn over. The new model rests on observed probabilities of labor force entry and exit at each age. It estimates both net and gross rates of mobility, and provides informa tion on the frequency and timing of these movements in the average person’s life. The new estimates indicate that most people establish their first contact with the labor force as teenagers. In the 1977 life table population, half of all young men had become members of the labor force by age 16.4. (See table 4.) The median age of first entry for women was marginally higher, 16.6 years. Because entries and reentries occur at all ages, the mean age of male labor force entrants was 26.9 years, and that of female en trants was even higher, 28.7 years. Given a continuation of the work life patterns ob served in 1977, it is estimated that the average man would enter the labor force 3 times in his lifetime. The average woman would do so 4.5 times. Men are likely to complete the phase of intermittent work more quick ly than women. At age 25, they would anticipate an av erage of just 1.1 more labor force entries, while women could look forward to 2.7 additional entries. According to the 1977 tables, men would average 12.6 years of labor force involvement for every entry Table 4. Selected indexes of working life by sex, 1970 and 1977 M en W o rk life m e a s u re W om en 1970 1977 1970 Median age at first labor force entry ................................................. 16.5 16.4 16.8 16.6 Mean age of all first and repeat labor force entrants........................... 26.6 26.9 29.2 28.7 Worklife expectancy (in years): At b irth .......................................... At age 2 5 ...................................... 37.8 34.4 37.9 33.4 22.3 19.0 27.5 23.0 Number of labor force entries per: Person born ................................. Person age 25 ............................. 2.9 1.2 3.0 1.1 4.6 2.8 Expected duration in labor force per entry remaining (in years): At b irth .......................................... At age 2 5 ...................................... 13.0 29.4 12.6 29.1 4.8 6.8 6.1 8.6 Number of voluntary exits from labor force per: Person born ................................. Person age 25 ........................... 2.6 1.9 2.7 2.0 4.5 3.3 4.4 3.3 Percent of workers expected to die while in the labor fo rc e ............... 36.3 27.0 10.8 9.5 Mean age of all persons leaving the labor force: Total first and repeat e x its ........... Voluntary withdrawals...................... Deaths of w orkers........................ 38.7 36.1 57.3 38.7 37.0 55.6 33.5 32.9 58.1 33.9 33.4 56.3 Median age of persons leaving labor force at age 50 and above ............................................... 65.0 63.4 61.4 60.6 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1977 4.5 2.7 Table 5. Population-based rates of labor force accession and separation by age and sex, 1977 [Per 1,000 persons in the stationary population] A c ce s sio n s S ep a ra tio n s N et flo w Age M en 16-19 10-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45 49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 211.6 136.3 54.4 23.8 14.9 15.5 16.4 17.1 19.1 30.8 44.5 35.7 W om en 207.2 158.3 109.6 88.4 75.2 66.3 57.9 46.8 37.4 32.0 27.8 16.1 M en 124.3 93.9 38.6 23.0 17.6 21.6 28.2 37.1 59.3 113.1 92.9 56.3 W om en 127.9 142.0 116.0 84.1 73.5 69.0 68.1 63.7 66.2 77.8 52.2 27.1 M en W om en 87.3 42.5 15.8 0.8 -2.7 -6.1 -11.8 -20.0 -40.2 -82.3 -48.4 -20.6 79.3 16.2 -6.5 4.3 1.7 -2 .7 -10.2 -16.9 -28.8 -45.8 -24.4 -11.1 during their lifetime. The average duration per entry for women was expected to be less than half this figure, or 6.1 years. Because most men were firmly attached to the job market by age 25, they would spend an average of 29.1 years in the labor force for every entry beyond that age, but the typical woman would engage in several shorter periods of activity, averaging just 8.6 years per entry. Working life tables show two forms of labor force withdrawal: voluntary separation and death. Given the work and mortality patterns of 1977, the average young man could expect to leave the labor market voluntarily 2.7 times. About 27 percent of men would die before reaching retirement. The average young woman was likely to leave the labor force voluntarily 4.4 times, and fewer than 1 in 10 were likely to die before retiring. Because the age distribution of labor force withdraw als is bimodal, with heavy outflows at both ends of the age spectrum, the mean age of all exits (38.7 years for men and 33.9 years for women) tells us little about final retirement. It is very difficult to identify retirement norms, because the retiree can and often does reenter the labor force. However, the 1977 tables indicate that among persons leaving the labor market at or beyond the age of 50, the life table median age of exit was 63.4 years for men, and 60.6 years for women. It appears that the age at retirement has dropped for both sexes since 1970. This may help to explain the concurrent drop in proportions likely to die as members of the la bor force. At the aggregate level, the new tables show a much greater volume of movement in and out of the labor force than has been quantified in the past. Although men and women in their teens have roughly comparable rates of labor force entry and withdrawal, the retention of young men exceeds that of women in this age group. (See table 5.) The pace of labor force entries for both sexes slows by age 20. However, as men begin to settle into their role as workers—as evidenced by a drop in their separation rate—female labor force exits actually rise. By age 25, the share of all men in the labor force substantially exceeds that of all women. Because a larg er proportion of the female population remains outside the job market but may enter at any time, the accession rates of women are greater than those of men through out midlife. Net retirements peak between the ages of 60 and 64. Thereafter, men are more likely than women to reenter the labor force. The rise in male entry rates at age 60 highlights the fact that retirement is often a temporary state. The separation rates shown in table 5 are expressed as a ratio of withdrawals to population. A more com mon form is the ratio of withdrawals to labor force members. (See table 6.) Changing the denominator in this way has little effect on the rates of separation for prime working-age men, because most members of this population are also in the labor force. However, because of the disparity between population and labor force counts for other groups, the change to a labor force base inflates the rates of these other groups. This gives a better illustration of their relative propensities to leave the job market. Among persons working in the prime ages, women are as much as five times more likely than men to withdraw from economic activity. Only at age 65 and above do working men show a greater propensi ty to retire. Trends in mobility rates The pace of net labor force entries for young people increased markedly between 1970 and 1977. (See table 7.) Although the gross accession rates of teenagers rose slightly during this period, they had less bearing on the net influx than did the drop in labor force withdrawals. As young people showed increasing reluctance to leave the job market, the process of labor force expansion with age became more efficient. At the same time, the pace of net labor force withdrawals among persons age 45 and older accelerated. The separation rates of men 45 to 64 increased sufficiently to outweigh (and perhaps to have caused) slight increases in labor force entries. Table 6. Labor force based rates of separation by age and sex, 1977 [Per 1,000 workers in the stationary labor force] Age 1 6 -1 9 ................................................................... 20-24 ................................................................... 25 29 ................................................................... 30-34 ................................................................... 35-39 ................................................................... 40-44 ................................................................... 45-49 ................................................................... 50 54 ................................................................... 55 59 ................................................................... 60-64 ................................................................... 65-69 ................................................................... 70-74 ................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis M en 254.7 125.0 42.7 24.3 18.5 22.9 30.5 42.1 74.6 209.7 376.2 441.9 W om en 290.5 226.3 182.9 134.7 112.8 105.3 107.7 110.8 136.2 251.9 369.7 388.7 Table 7. Comparison of labor force mobility rates by age and sex, 1970 and 1977 [Life table rates per 1,000] S ex and a g e A c c e s s io n s in S e p a ra tio n s in N e t flo w s in population lab o r fo rc e p o pula tio n 1970 1977 1970 1977 1970 1977 Men: 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 191.9 145.7 72.0 27.6 14.8 13.5 14.6 14.5 18.8 32.2 38.2 36.7 211.6 136.3 54.4 23.8 14.9 15.5 16.4 17.1 19.1 30.8 44.5 35.7 299.0 160.6 47.1 20.5 20.6 24.3 27.6 35.3 58.7 137.5 264.2 343.1 254.7 125.0 42.7 24.3 18.5 22.9 30.5 42.1 74.6 209.7 376.2 441.9 66.9 41.7 32.4 8.0 -5.1 -9 .5 -11.0 -17.3 -31.1 -64.9 -75.1 -38.1 87.3 42.5 15.8 0.8 -2 .7 -6.1 -11.8 -20.0 -40.2 -82.3 -48.4 -20.6 Women: 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 204.1 164.6 102.2 90.7 83.7 72.3 60.3 49.7 43.3 38.9 29.4 16.0 207.2 158.3 109.6 88.4 75.2 66.3 57.9 46.8 37.4 32.0 27.8 16.1 455.7 321.0 231.2 206.3 162.6 132.7 121.9 115.4 131.5 200.8 308.9 402.8 290.5 226.3 182.9 134.7 112.8 105.3 107.7 110.8 136.2 251.9 369.7 388.7 54.3 14.5 -7 .6 -1.1 7.2 4.7 -2 .9 -8 .7 -17.4 -33.0 -33.4 -19.9 79.3 16.2 -6 .5 4.3 1.7 -2 .7 -10.2 -16.9 -28.8 -45.8 -24.4 -11.1 The increased frequency of retirement in these age groups contributed to a drop in participation rates. The situation for women was more complex. They too showed a rise in net labor force separations between the ages of 45 and 64. However, the increased net out flow of those 45 to 54 was evidence of a tightening, rather than a loosening of female labor force attach ments. Below the age of 55, working women showed a drop in propensity to leave the job market. The slow down of youthful separations limited the size of the la bor reserve from which to draw older entrants. Hence, entries at midlife also declined. The decrease in labor turnover led to higher participation rates for women 45 to 54. Nonetheless, the share of women attached to the labor force, and at risk of leaving, had increased. Be tween 1970 and 1977, the ratio of withdrawals to popu lation increased, and with it net labor force losses for women in this age range. Only among women over 55 is there evidence that intentions to retire were becoming stronger. Within this group, an increase in separation rates was accompanied by a drop in rates of labor force reentry. worklife expectancies of men and women in the United States have been converging since the end of World War II. This trend accelerated between 1970 and 1977, primarily because of the strengthening of female labor force attachments. Although the average worklife duration of men remained nearly constant, that for women increased by about 12 years. There remained T he 19 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • New Worklife Estimates significant differences in time allocation by sex; women were far more likely than men to withdraw from and reenter the labor force at midlife. Nevertheless, by 1977, women spent an average of 70 percent as many years in the labor force as did men. The new worklife model quantifies a substantial flow of persons into and out of the labor force for both sexes at every age. The pace of entries for teenagers increased between 1970 and 1977. For men 20 to 34, and for most women above age 20, entries actually slowed. However, a greater drop in withdrawals brought about the net expansion of the labor force seen as increased participation rates for many age groups during this period. The complete increment-decrement working life tables for men and women, 1970 and 1977, are available upon request from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and will ap pear in reprints of this article. □ ' Previous BLS publications on this subject include Howard N Ful lerton, Jr. and Janies J. Byrne, “Length of working life for men and women, 1970,” Monthly Labor Review, Feburary 1976, pp. 31-35; Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “A new type of working life table for men,” M onthly Labor Review, July 1972, pp. 20-27; Howard N Fullerton, Jr., “A table of expected working life for men, 1968,” M onthly Labor Review, June 1971, pp. 49-55; Stuart H. Garfinkle, Work life expec tancy and training needs o f women, Manpower Report No. 12 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1967); Stuart H. Garfinkle, “Table of working life for men, 1960,” M onthly Labor Review, July 1963, pp. 820-23; Stuart H. Garfinkle, The length o f working life fo r males, 1900-60, Manpow er Report No. 8 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1963); Stuart H. Garfinkle, Tables o f working life fo r women, 1950, Bulletin 1204 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1957); and Seymour L. Wolfbein and Harold Wool, Tables o f working life: the length o f work life fo r men, Bulletin 1001 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1950). 2They are comparable with estimates published by Robert Schoen and Karen Woodrow in “Labor Force Status Life Tables for the United States, 1972,” Demography, August 1980, pp. 297-322. The technical details of the increment-decrement model are described in a forthcoming BLS report. For other discussions of multistate working life tables, see Jan Hoem and Monica Fong, “A Markov Chain Model of Working Life Tables,” Working Paper 2 (Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics, University of Copenhagen, 1976), and Frans Willekens, “Multistate Analysis: Tables of Working Life,” Environment and Planning, Vol. 12, pp. 563-88. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. A centennial view The AFL and a national BLS: labor’s role is crystallized From the labor federation \s first convention in 1881 to the establishment of the Labor Department in 1913, relations between the union movement and the BLS often were influenced by the needs o f the times and by the personalities o f Samuel Gompers, and Commissioners Carroll Wright and Charles Neill Joseph P. G oldberg and William T. M oye The American trade union movement, which last year celebrated the centennial of its founding, and the Bu reau of Labor Statistics, which soon will observe its own 100th anniversary, grew up together, sometimes in confrontation, but more often in mutual— though dis tant— respect. The relationship between the American Federation of Labor and the Bureau was affected both by the needs of the times and by the personalities of the leaders, AFL President Samuel Gompers and BLS Com missioners Carroll D. Wright and Charles P. Neill. This article reports on some of the common and di vergent interests of the two organizations, from their beginnings until 1913, when BLS became part of the present Department of Labor. Campaign for a bureau The convention in 1881 of the Federation of Orga nized Trades and Labor Unions of the United States Joseph P. Goldberg is special assistant to the Commissioner of Labor Statistics. William T. Moye is a historian in the Office of Publications. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Canada, which marks the centennial beginning of the AFL-ciO, included in its statement of principles and action a call for a national Bureau of Labor Statistics: “. . . we recognize the wholesome effects of a Bureau of Labor Statistics as created in several States, and we urge upon the Congress the passage of an act establishing a national Bureau of Labor Statistics, and recommend for its management the appointment of a proper person identified with the laboring classes of the country.”1 Earlier, the short-lived National Labor Union had called for a Department of Labor in 1867. By 1878, when the Knights of Labor called for national and ad ditional State bureaus of labor statistics, Massachusetts (1869), Pennsylvania (1872), Missouri (1876), and Ohio (1877) had established such bureaus.2 The efforts of the labor organizations, and the grow ing awareness of the national political parties of the po tential governmental influence of labor and the socio21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The AFL and a National BLS economic effects of industrial growth, culminated in the establishment of a Bureau of Labor within the Depart ment of Interior in 1884. The uncertainty of Federal policies during this period resulted in metamorphoses of the agency as an autonomous, but non-Cabinet-level Department of Labor from 1888 to 1903; combination with other agencies in the new Cabinet-level Depart ment of Commerce and Labor in 1903; and ultimately transference to the new Department of Labor in 1913. Samuel Gompers, along with other union officials, strongly supported the establishment of a national Bu reau in the Senate hearings on Capital and Labor in 1883. He felt that there had been excessive pleading of ignorance by Congress of workers’ conditions to justify Congressional inaction on labor matters. A national Bu reau “would give our legislators an opportunity to know, not from mere conjecture, but actually, the con dition of our industries, our production, and our con sumption, and what could be done by law to improve both [sic].” He cited the useful role of existing State statistical agencies as exemplified by a recent investiga tion of factory working conditions by the Massachusetts Bureau of Labor under the direction of Carroll D. Wright.3 Wright also appeared as an expert witness at the hearings, providing a look at such a bureau’s role, which largely paralleled Gompers’ view. He had admin istered the State bureau “as a scientific office, not as a Bureau of agitation or propaganda, but I always take the opportunity to make such recommendations and draw such conclusions from our investigations as the facts warrant.” He stressed the need for Federal “inves tigations into all conditions which affect the people, whether in a moral, sanitary, educational, or economic sense,” and thus “add to the educational forces of the country a sure and efficient auxiliary.” He saw the re sultant statistical progress of the Nation as indicating “its great progress in all other matters.”4 This back ground and philosophy were major factors in Wright’s subsequent appointment as U.S. Commissioner of La bor. In 1884, backed by the then powerful Knights of La bor and the newly organized Federation, the estab lishment of a national Bureau was part of both parties’ platform.5 In that same year, overwhelming majorities in both houses of Congress voted to establish the Bu reau of Labor in the Department of the Interior. Ap proved by President Chester Arthur on June 27, the action provided for a Commissioner of Labor ap pointed by the President for a 4-year term. The Com missioner’s mission was to “collect information upon the subject of labor, its relation to capital, the hours of labor and the earnings of laboring men and women, and the means of promoting their material, social, in tellectual and moral prosperity.” After considering sev Digitized22 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis eral candidates, President Arthur finally appointed Wright, whom the Senate confirmed about 6 months after the act’s passage.6 Wright swiftly established professionalism and impar tiality in the national Bureau, as he had in Massachu setts. Striving to obtain labor interest, he invited Gom pers and other delegates to visit the Bureau during the 1885 Federation convention. Gompers had known Wright for years, and had long been actively interested in the role of government labor agencies. The two men had previously discussed the plans and methods of the newly established New York State Bureau of Labor Sta tistics. Their meeting left mutual favorable impressions.7 The Bureau’s value was further confirmed by the Com missioner’s first annual report, a comprehensive treat ment of the causes of the depression of 1882-86. The study was included in Gompers’ periodic references to the intensification of the displacement of manual labor by machinery over the years.8 While the report noted the advantages of mechanization, it also asserted that the effect of the temporary displacement of labor was to assist “in crippling the consuming power of the commu nity.”9 Among the remedies suggested for coping with the depression, Wright included some general proposals suggesting that capital and labor “each shall treat with the other through representatives” in disputes, and that “the party which declines resort to conciliatory methods of arbitration [is] morally responsible for all ill effects growing out of the contest.” 10 The growing status of the Bureau, and a campaign by the still powerful Knights of Labor resulted in the transformation of the Bureau in 1888 into an indepen dent Department of Labor, without Cabinet status. Re flecting Wright’s concerns, the enabling act specifically called for studies of: the domestic and foreign costs of production of dutiable goods for the ongoing tariff de bates, national trade and industrial production, the causes and circumstances of strikes, and other special topics. The basic functions of the agency had not changed, but for 15 years it was more independent. Moreover, Congress, in a separate statute relating solely to railroad disputes (Arbitration Act of 1888), had au thorized the President to designate the Commissioner of Labor, with two other ad hoc commissioners, to act as a board of inquiry in such disputes. This investigatory provision was used only once— during the aftermath of the Pullman strike of 1894.11 Gompers and Wright Although the AFL had not pressed for an independent labor department, it maintained a keen interest in the work of the agency. Gompers’ thoughts on the develop ment and expansion of information on the status of workers, labor-management relations, and the statistical supports for these developments, were expressed regu- larly during Wright’s stewardship. He requested studies that would explore “the influence of the labor organiza tions upon the moral and national welfare of the wage earners in particular, and the whole community in gen eral.” Increased contact between the Department of La bor and State bureaus, according to Gompers, would achieve greater uniformity, simultaneous investigation, and assistance by the States.12 Asked to comment on the forthcoming 1890 census, Gompers called for inclusion of the number of unem ployed, and the duration of their unemployment.13 Gompers endorsed the establishment of a permanent Census Bureau in the Department of Labor, citing Wright’s performance in Massachusetts.14 By 1893, there were a national Department of Labor and 32 State Departments of Labor and Bureaus of La bor Statistics, with factory inspectors in 19. Gompers could cite these as the results of successful labor efforts in obtaining measures which “a few years ago were re garded as chimerical and useless expenditures of public money [which] have come to be looked upon as a prime necessity to the proper conduct of governmental af fairs.” He also suggested that the men appointed as ad ministrators should be sympathetic to the laws enacted and should not be subject to political change. Further more, he proposed that the U S. Department of Labor follow the example of its British counterpart, by pub lishing a regular journal or bulletin which would pro vide information on existing industrial and other working conditions.15 (In 1895, the Bureau began pub lishing a bimonthly Bulletin, a forerunner of the Month ly Labor Review.) Congress was soon to authorize the establishment of the Bulletin of the Department of Labor in response to an AFL proposal, which drew conditional support from Wright. By endorsing the proposal he obtained congres sional approval for departmental independence from Congress in the preparation and publication, and the opportunity to deal with current issues of vital impor tance, “rather than theoretical or debatable matters.”16 Direct requests from labor organizations to the De partment of Labor were infrequent. However, proposals which Wright circulated to the unions did cause Gom pers to react. He advised the Department to conduct a study of the padrone system, publish abstracts of gov ernment contracts so that unions could check on en forcement of the 8-hour law, and he opposed a proposal for a census of unions.17These suggestions were met ex peditiously.18 Gompers duly noted Commissioner Wright’s response at the annual AFL convention.19 While opposed to a census of unions, Gompers had only limited success in persuading the affiliated unions to provide information to the AFL which could be used to reflect the status of membership, finances, and sup port recognition for the AFL. This only made him more https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis alert to Department of Labor reports on the subject, as he responded quickly to the release of the 10th Annual Report on strikes, “which sets forth clearly that in those States or localities, the industries in which the workers were organized, the largest numbers of successes were secured and concessions granted.”20 When Wright found that unions did not always cooper ate in investigations and studies, Gompers urged coop eration. “Let there be light,” he wrote, “confident that impartial investigations create numberless sympathizers in our great cause.”21 Labor-management disputes Wright and Gompers played prominent roles in two landmark labor-management disputes during this peri od. The investigative reports and recommendations on the Pullman dispute in 1894 and the anthracite coal strike in 1902 bore the imprint of Wright’s evolving awareness of the importance of labor organization and its capacity to balance employer domination and achieve stability and continuity through agreement. Gompers could appreciate the fair treatment accorded the labor position in these reports, trailblazing in an era of employer opposition to incipient union organization. But he was against the recommendations for legislation for government involvement in strikes. During the Pullman dispute, marked by Presidential use of Federal troops and injunction, the U.S. Strike Commission, with Wright as chairperson, was established by President Grover Cleveland. This was only after the failure of the strike by the American Railway Union led by Eugene Debs. The commission was established as an investigative body under the Act of 1888. Gompers, along with Debs and others, ap peared before the commission. During the hearings, Wright asked Gompers whether sympathetic strike ac tion such as that of the Pullman strike was justifiable when it could “paralyze, to any degree, the commercial industry of the country.” Gompers replied, “I believe that labor has the right— the natural as well as the in herent right to endeavor to improve its condition . . . If industry or commerce is incidentally injured it is not their fault; the better course and the most reasonable course would be for employers to grant the reasonable requests that labor usually makes and thus avert the di saster of commerce or industry that you have men tioned.” The social losses of widespread unemployment, both persistent and intermittent, were greater than dis advantages from strikes, he insisted, citing Wright’s ear lier reports. To Wright’s queries regarding legislation for arbitration, Gompers expressed opposition, fearing it would lead to compulsory arbitration, with labor at a disadvantage.22 The recommendations of the Wright-chaired commis sion cited the quasi-public nature of railroad corpora23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The AFL and a National BLS tions as permitting the exercise of congressional authority over strikes in protecting the public. It urged employers to recognize unions, stressing that their inter ests were reciprocal, though not identical. A permanent commission was proposed to investigate and make rec ommendations in disputes having a major impact on the public, with enforcement by the courts. It was ad vised that yellow dog contracts be outlawed.23 Gompers eloquently praised the commission’s report, although he implicitly disagreed about special legisla tion for mediation and arbitration in the railroad indus try. He wrote, “Whatever may be the ultimate result of U.S. interference between the railroad managers and the railroad laborers of this country, we have confidence that none today will refuse to bestow a generous meed of praise on Carroll D. Wright and his companion com missioners for their lucid and conscientious report on the Chicago strike of 1894.”24 The commission’s recommendations became the basis for the consideration of legislation to deal with disputes having a major impact on the public. Ultimately, the re sult was to revise the 1888 statute by the Erdman Act of 1898, applicable to the railroads, providing for medi ation, and for arbitration on request. The Commissioner of Labor and the Chairman of the Interstate Commerce Commission were designated as mediators. Yellow dog contracts were prohibited, but this provision was later voided by judicial decision.25 President Theodore Roosevelt’s handling of the an thracite coal strike of 1902 contrasted with the Pullman situation. Wright and Gompers helped to ensure impar tiality on the part of the Federal Government in the in vestigation of the ongoing strike, the dispute resolving machinery, and the resultant findings and recommenda tions. At the President’s request, Wright personally investi gated the dispute. He also acted as intermediary between Roosevelt and Gompers as to means of settling the dispute. Wright prepared a well-received report. Subsequently, with the United Mine Workers willing to accept arbitration, Roosevelt prevailed on the mine op erators to cooperate, and a commission was appointed. Wright was a member and recorder of the commission, and his earlier recommendations were apparent in the commission’s award, which settled the strike. A side ef fect of the commission’s role was abortive congressional consideration of a so-called national arbitration bill, which Gompers feared would lay the groundwork for compulsory arbitration. As he stated before the 1902 a f l Convention, Gompers believed that “the men of or ganized labor want arbitration, but only arbitration as a last resort after conciliation has absolutely failed, and then arbitration only, voluntarily entered into by both the organized workers and employers, the award volun tarily and faithfully adhered to by both sides.”26 Digitized 24 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Department of Commerce and Labor The labor effort to obtain a Cabinet-level Department of Labor was not a primary concern of the AFL for much of Wright’s stewardship. This issue was only ar ticulated as the pressure for a Department of Commerce and Industry representing business needs intensified in the late 1890’s. Raising the Department of Labor to Cabinet-level status was proposed in a bill in 1894, and discussed in an article in the American Federationist en titled “Should the Commissioner of Labor be Made a Cabinet Officer?” The writer, who responded to Wright’s opposition to the bill on the grounds that it would politicize the office, called attention to the growth in the importance of labor and labor-manage ment developments as warranting such action.27 In 1897, Gompers expressed his opposition to a proposal for a Department of Commerce and Industries to ab sorb the autonomous Department of Labor “introduced by a U.S. Senator, generally known for his hostility to labor’s interests,” and instead supported a bill for a De partment of Labor with a seat in the Cabinet. The need was reasserted in 1901.28 President Roosevelt’s enthusiasm for a Department of Commerce and Industries, with Republican control of the Congress, made the matter a foregone conclusion. But the Democratic minority fought hard. The propo nents of the bill, including Senator Mark Hanna of Ohio, prominent in the National Civic Federation, which included Gompers along with leading industrial ists, saw no conflict in the interests of capital and labor, and insisted that the interests of labor would be well represented in such a department. Wright was praised on all sides in the congressional debate, and it was urged that his role and that of his agency would only gain if transferred to the new department. The AFL and the unaifiliated railroad unions opposed the merger, supporting the establishment of a Cabinet Department of Labor. Only the near defunct Knights of Labor fa vored the merger.29 The controversy was resolved by altering the name to the Department of Commerce and Labor, which was established in 1903.30There was ambivalence in the AFL reaction to the new agency. Shortly thereafter, Gompers expressed some hope in that: “while there is cause for regret that the Department of Labor has been deprived of its independent existence, we yet have the assurance of the Honorable George B. Cortelyou, Secretary of the Department of Commerce and Labor, that it is his pur pose to have the Department serve the best interests of labor.”31 AFL interest in a separate Department of Labor waxed during the following decade, as its political inter ests and influence grew. But the AFL relations with Wright and his successor in 1905, Charles P. Neill, in- creased and were generally constructive. This was en hanced by President Roosevelt’s concern with labormanagement relations and the important role he assigned to Wright, and later, to Neill. Roosevelt wrote that the anthracite strike brought him “into contact with more than one man who was afterward a valued friend and fellow worker. On the suggestion of Carroll Wright, I appointed Charles P. Neill as assistant re corder to the Commission, whom I afterward made la bor commissioner, to succeed Wright himself.”32 As Gompers sized it up, Neill was recognized by labor officials “as the man in the administration closest to the President.” Neill was regularly present when the President discussed major matters with union officials. Gompers’ own respect for Neill was reflected in his as sessment of the steel industry study, saying that “Dr. Neill performed a very comprehensive and valuable piece of work which caused the officials of the steel cor poration to ‘cuss him’ and gnash their teeth.”33 Compulsory investigation The role of Government in the 1902 anthracite strike settlement was an augury of the Roosevelt policy of seeking to reduce the impact of strikes on the Nation, recognizing the right of unions to organize, and urging the need for public airing of labor dispute issues. Roo sevelt’s message to Congress in 1904 cited the positive role of Government in labor matters “merely by giving publicity to certain conditions,” and praised the Bureau of Labor for doing excellent work of this kind. He asked that the Department of Commerce and Labor’s Labor Bureau provide Congress with information on the labor laws of the various States, and be given “the means to investigate and report to the Congress upon the labor conditions in the manufacturing and mining regions throughout the country, both as to wages and hours of labor, as to the labor of women and children, and as to the effect on the various labor centers of im migration from abroad.”34 All of these subjects were concerns of the AFL, and their study was to be ef fectuated by the Bureau in the next few years. Subsequently, Roosevelt proposed the compulsory in vestigation of disputes by the Federal Government, as a means of reducing the incidence of strikes.35 In the hear ings on proposed legislation, Commissioner Neill testi fied in support of this proposal, but only for controver sies which became “sufficiently large and sufficiently troublesome to the public as to be a grave menace.”36 Although legislation was not enacted, the Bureau was called upon by the President and Congress to make in vestigations of several difficult situations. Although the AFL did not support labor dispute-handling legislation, the Bureau’s investigative reports generally were cited with approbation. After the anthracite coal report there was a series of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis landmark investigations of labor-management relations. They covered the background, origin, and points of view of labor organizations and management. President Roosevelt called for publication of the Bureau’s report on the labor disturbance in a Colorado gold field, and coal mines in 1903-04, which contained an account of the violations of civil law and constitutional rights of the State’s striking miners. While unaffiliated with the AFL, the Western Federation of Miners received the Federation’s support. Wright, in his introduction to the lengthy report, referred to the public attention given to the deportation of striking miners by State militia, pointing to similar actions by citizens committees over a 25-year period.37 Under Neill’s stewardship, the demands on the Bu reau for investigative reports became more frequent. Neill’s personal involvement in dispute situations was also compounded by the activation of the Erdman Act mediation provisions on the railroads from 1906 for ward, and by his participation in mediation efforts in other situations as a member of the National Civic Fed eration. A threatened strike of telegraphers against the Postal Telegraph and Western Union Companies was referred to Neill by Roosevelt. Neill, Gompers, and Ralph Easley of the National Civic Federation failed in their effort to mediate the dispute. Subsequently, an in tensive study of the telegraph companies, their methods of handling public business, and their labor relations and working conditions was prepared by the Bureau at the request of Congress. Among the findings regarding the situation after the unsuccessful 1907 strike, was that the Postal Telegraph Company formed “an organization of its own employees . . . restricted to employees of the Postal Company, and each employee desiring member ship is required to agree not to retain membership or accept membership in any union while in the employ of the company.”38 A strike in the Nevada gold field dis trict in 1907 resulted in Roosevelt’s sending Federal troops in response to the Governor’s appeal, but follow ing this up promptly with an investigating commission which included Neill. Within 5 days, the commission re ported that there was no insurrection when the troops were called, and that there, was no statutory basis for such action; Roosevelt withdrew the troops.39 A series of strikes among immigrant workers in unor ganized or partially organized situations involved Neill and the Bureau of Labor, with AFL activity and interest affected by the varying circumstances. A strike at the Pressed Steel Car Company of McKees Rock, Pa., where immigrant workers protested the failure to post rates of pay, was investigated by Neill, and cited by Gompers as evidence of the need for legislative provi sions for better regulation of immigration.40 The steel industry became the focus of strike activity in 1909-10, and the AFL was forced to draw on both 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The AFL and a National BLS economic and political actions, as union organization faltered. In June 1909, U.S. Steel Corp. announced that it would henceforth operate completely on an openshop basis, provoking a walkout by the Amalgamated Association of Iron, Steel and Tin Workers. During the unsuccessful strike which persisted for a year, the AFL provided support through organizers, and presented grievances against U.S. Steel at a meeting with Presi dent William H. Taft. Conditions in the steel industry were again highlighted when a widely publicized strike of several thousand unorganized workers occurred at Bethlehem Steel in February 1910. The Senate passed a resolution, supported by the AFL, authorizing the Bureau of Labor to investigate the strike.41 Authorized in March, with daily findings released almost immediately, and a final report published in May, the investigation had much impact. Conducted under the direction of Ethelbert Stewart, later Commissioner of Labor Statistics, the re port pointed to the company’s widespread practice of a 12-hour workday, 7-day workweek. U.S. Steel was not ed as abolishing most Sunday work, as the Bethlehem study got underway.42 When Charles Schwab of Bethle hem Steel protested that the report was unfair in failing to clarify that these conditions existed throughout the American steel industry, Commissioner Neill did issue such a statement.43 Gompers commented that the re ported conditions emphasized the physical hazards of overwork.44 A month after the publication of the Bethlehem re port, the Senate authorized the Bureau to examine working conditions in the iron and steel industry. The resultant study, published within a year, was based on personal visits to plants with about 90 percent of the in dustry’s employees. Wages, hours of work, and acci dents were covered in the report. Its four volumes showed continued 6- and 7-day workweeks with 12hour days, and questioned the need for Sunday work in view of U.S. Steel’s workweek adjustment. The majority of the labor force was found to consist of recent immi grants who had come from rural backgrounds, were un skilled, and could neither speak nor understand the language of supervisors and skilled workers. Attention was called to the dilution of skills in the industry as mechanical developments spread, adding further to the large proportion of unskilled workers.45 Gompers cited excerpts from the report to reply to “public opinion” that labor was well-treated in the industry.46 Gompers had occasion to analyze the findings of the Bureau of Labor concerning the Lawrence, Mass., strike of textile workers in 1912. He commented on the low wages of women employed in the mills, and the “out burst of unorganized workers” over the unannounced pro rata reduction of earnings because of the statutory Digitized26 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reduction in hours of work for women and children, from 56 to 54 hours per week. The Bureau commented on the onset of the strike “started by a few unskilled, non-English speaking employees, which developed into an organized strike of more than 20,000 employees, with increases obtained.”47 Field of work expands The basic statistical work of the Bureau grew during its residence in the Department of Commerce and La bor. Despite the extensive demands on Commissioner Neill and the Bureau for special studies, new continuous statistical series were developed. The food price collec tion in 150 cities was continued from Wright’s time. The annual collection of union wage scales in many cit ies was begun in 1907, and a regular strike statistics se ries was launched. Special studies and reports were directed at particular industrial situations.48 The involvement of Commissioner Neill and the Bu reau of Labor in other matters of direct concern to the AFL was prominent and regular. During the Roosevelt and Taft administrations, labor’s political influence grew, despite the opposition by much of industry to dealings with the unions. The Bureau was more actively sought as an avenue to enlightenment on a variety of is sues and as an administrative agent to the enforcement of the Government’s 8-hour law. The presentation of Labor’s Bill of Grievances to President Roosevelt in March 1906 produced prompt presidential concern for the negligence of the executive departments in enforcing the 8-hour law on Govern ment contracts which had been on the statute books for a long time. Neill was immediately requested to investi gate the charges. He found that there were violations of work laws, but enforcing them was difficult. Neill made recommendations which were followed by the President in an executive order. The next year, Gompers reported that there were fewer violations with the Bureau serving as a clearinghouse for complaints which were investigat ed and rectified.49 The immigration issue The subject of immigration figured prominently among labor’s grievances, and Neill was called upon by President Roosevelt to play a role. The Immigration Act of 1903, while making it unlawful to pay for the trans portation or to encourage the importation of aliens or to advertise for them in foreign countries, did not apply to State agencies. Subsequently, South Carolina’s establish ment of a Department of Agriculture, Commerce, and Immigration to encourage immigration, with agents maintained abroad, was upheld by the attorney general.50 Roosevelt called on Secretary of Commerce Oscar Straus to review the matter thoroughly, because “a great deal of feeling has arisen over the decision and many of the people most affected sincerely believe that it is the end of any effort to stop the importation of la borers under contract in the Southern States, and that this means further damage to laborers in the Northern States.” Roosevelt also consulted with Neill because he had “exceptional advantages in the way of keeping in touch with the labor people and of knowing their feel ings as well as their interests.”51 The Immigration Act of 1907 subsequently closed the loophole. A provision in the new act setting up a Bu reau of Information was originally viewed by the AFL as permitting “workmen lawfully coming to the United States . . . a more intelligent choice in which to seek employment and if administered fairly is calculated to be of least injury to labor.”52 Within a year, widespread domestic unemployment and the promotional activities of the Bureau of Information, headed by Terence Powderly, precipitated criticism of the Bureau. Secretary Straus called a conference of labor union officials attended by Gompers and Commissioner Neill. Straus and Powderly proposed extending the Bureau’s activi ties to aid the domestic unemployed. The AFL position was that strengthening the Bureau would only make for more immigration, and that the Department of Com merce and Labor should devote its energies solely to meeting the problem of the domestic unemployed. Neill also spoke out on aid to the domestic unem ployed. He cited the deplorable wages and hours of work in the steel industry as largely caused by the con stant stream of immigrants, who replaced other workers at lower wages. Further dissemination of information abroad would only increase the flow of immigrants, and there would be opposition to any information by the di vision to discourage immigration into any part of the country.53 Industrial education Special reports were also prepared at the initiation of the AFL, with participation from other public interest groups. The Bureau had covered U.S. industrial educa tion in 1892 and 1902 reports; but there was growing and intensified interest from the AFL, which correspond ed with educators, academicians, and social work groups on the subject in 1908. In that year a committee was formed, which included Neill, union officials, and public interest representatives. Industrial education, along with the raising of the age limit of child employ ees and compulsory school attendance were basic prin ciples of labor, and as Gompers expressed it, “working methods of manufacturing with their division and sub division and specialization have, to a large extent, ren dered nearly superfluous and therefore largely eliminated the all-around skilled worker. Some so-called https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis modern apprenticeship systems are narrow, producing a line of trained specialists.”54At the committee’s request, the Bureau of Labor conducted a study of industrial ed ucation in 1910.55 The AFL termed the resultant report the “most comprehensive inquiry ever made on the sub ject in the United States.” The study provided support for legislative proposals by the AFL for Federal aid to the States for industrial education on the basis that, as Gompers expressed it, “the fact that industrial educa tion, like academic education [has] become a public function and . . . that it should be paid for by public funds, is fast gaining supporters.”56 Success on the legis lative front was finally achieved in 1917. Women and children at work A historic study of the conditions of working women and children, conducted by the Bureau over a 5-year period beginning in 1907, came after much encourage ment by the AFL and welfare reform organizations to do so. The complementary interests of the Bureau and the AFL were reflected in a 1903 symposium in the Ameri can Federationist on employment of women and chil dren. An article by Ethelbert Stewart called attention to results of the 1900 census, which showed the 10-year rates of growth of industrial employment were largest among children under age 16 and greater for women than for men more than 16 years old.57When Roosevelt asked for a sociological investigation with Commission er Neill’s support, Gompers and other union officials encouraged Congressional approval of the study, urging that it was necessary, and was not covered by the sta tistical records and work of the Census Bureau.58 As signment of the study to the Commissioner met with approval. The AFL and representatives of welfare orga nizations agreed at a conference to “cooperate with the Commissioner of Labor in the investigation, if neces sary, to ascertain all the facts obtainable with a view to such cooperative action as shall at an early date free our country and our people from the stigma of exploiting young people for profit.”59 As the investiga tion proceeded, AFL representatives met with Neill to set up a division in the Bureau of Labor to deal with the conditions of working women and children.60 The 19 volumes of the study appeared over a 3-year period. Personal inspections and interviews, along with the analysis of published and establishment data, were used by Bureau staff and outside experts from universi ties, welfare organizations, and medical facilities in the conduct of the study. Among the subjects covered were the working and living conditions of workers in such in dustries as cotton textiles, men’s clothing, glass, silk, re tail trade, metal trades, and laundries; State legislation on child labor; causes of school leaving; the effect of employment on juvenile delinquency, on infant mortali27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • The AFL and a National BLS ty and on criminality of women; family budgets of cot ton mill workers; causes of death among female and child cotton mill operatives; and women in trade unions.61 Gompers claimed that the results of the study had “fully justified the action of the AFL in behalf of such an inquiry being made.” Calling specific attention to the findings on accidents in metal trades, which showed ha zards for women equal to those of men, hazards for children rare and decreasing, and that the most frequent accidents were largely preventable, Gompers went on to say: “what more can be said other than to extend a creditable recognition to the public officials who will make such a faithful, honest report.”62 The scope and probing character of such a sensitive type of study made some adverse reaction inevitable. Compounded by public accusations by two disaffected Bureau employees, controversy arose in the Senate. Sev eral southern members charged that the report over stepped the bounds of governmental investigations.63 Al though the study received resounding support from many sources, Neill was confronted with opposition which delayed his reappointment by President Taft. Appointed by Woodrow Wilson and confirmed shortly after the establishment of the new Department of Labor, in which the Bureau was to be lodged as the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Neill resigned soon afterward for finan cial reasons.64 r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n the a f l and the Bureau during the pre-Department of Labor period was one of mutual awareness and generally high regard. The AFL, and notably Gompers, followed the work of the Bureau, and used it in organizational, political, and educational activities. The Bureau’s broad-gauge projects were selfdetermined, with substantial support from Presidents and Congress. These shed light on socioeconomic devel opments, national and international labor news, and in dustrial characteristics, reflecting the needs of the time for growing comprehension of the status of labor. While Gompers differed with Wright and Neill over the role of Government in handling strikes with a national impact, the commissioners’ fair and balanced analyses of major disputes was accepted as a tempering influence on possi bly more stringent approaches. With its growing politi cal influence, the AFL pressed for and achieved a Cabi net-level Department of Labor. Although the Bureau then became one of several bureaus in the new Depart ment of Labor, that did not obscure its unique role in furnishing a major foundation for the new agency. □ The FO O TN O TES ' Samuel Gompers, Seventy Years o f Life and Labor (New York, E. P. Dutton, 1925), vol. 1, p. 224; and Federation o f Organized Trades and Labor Unions, Proceedings, 1881, p. 4. For a contemporary account of the 1881 convention see Stuart Bruce Kaufman, “Birth of a federation: Gompers strives ‘not to build a bubble’,” M onthly Labor Review, November 1981, pp. 23-26. 2Terence V. Powderly, Thirty Years o f Labor (Philadelphia, Excelsi or Press, 1890), pp. 158-63. Senate Com m ittee on Labor and Education, Hearing on Capital and Labor, 1883, vol. 1, pp. 271, 382. 4Ibid, vol. 2, pp. 278-80. 5Federation o f Organized Trades and Labor Unions, Proceedings, 1883, pp. 10-11. 'Arthur had received assurances from President-elect Cleveland that Wright would continue in office after March 4. See John Lombardi, Labor s Voice in the Cabinet: A History o f the Department o f Labor from Its Origins to 1921 (New York, Columbia, 1942), pp. 31 -35. Federation o f Organized Trades and Labor Unions, Proceedings, 1885; and Gompers, Seventy Years, vol. 1, p. 229. 8American Federation o f Labor, Proceedings, 1887, p. 9; Ibid, Pro ceedings, 1888, p. 9. 9 Commissioner o f Labor, First Annual Report, Causes o f Depression 1886, p. 76. 10Ibid, pp. 290-93. " Lombardi, Labor's Voice, p. 43. 2AFL, Proceedings, 10th Convention, 1890, pp. 16, 18. 13 Ibid, 9th Convention, 1889, p. 16 14Ibid, Proceedings, 11th Convention, 1891, p. 17. 15 Ibid, Proceedings, 13th Convention, 1893, p. 15. Carroll D. Wright, to the National Association of Officials of Bu reau of Labor Statistics, Proceedings, 1895; Carroll D. Wright, The Digitized 28 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working o f the United States Bureau o f Labor, Bulletin of the Bureau of Labor, No. 54, September 1904, pp. 975-76. James Leiby, Carroll Wright and Labor Reform (Cambridge, Mass., Harvard, 1960), pp. 103-04. In Department of Labor Bulletin 6, Recent Governmental Con tracts, September 1896, pp. 690-91; Ibid, Bulletin 9, The Padrone Sys tem an d Padrone Banks, March 1897, pp. 113-29. AFL, Proceedings, 15th Convention, 1896, p. 18. Convention, 1895, p. 38; Ibid, 16th 20 Ibid, 1896, p. 20. 21 American Federationist, vol. IV, no. 4, June 1897, p. 76. 22 US. Strike Commission o f 1894, Report, 1895, pp. 194-201. 23 Ibid, p. 52. 24American Federationist, vol. 1, no. 10, 1894, pp. 231-33. 25The AFL opposed the legislation, and, as Gompers later stated, when the unaffiliated railway brotherhoods continued to support the legislation, the AFL considered itself successful in eliminating any possible application but to the railway unions. American Federationist, vol. V, no. 3, May 1898. pp. 70-1; Ibid, vol. IX, no. 6, June 1902; In dustrial Commission, 1901, vol. XVII, pp. cv-cvi; AFL, Proceedings 16th Convention, 1906, pp. 28-29; Gompers, Seventy Years, vol. 2, p. 137. 26Gompers, Seventy Years, vol. 2, p. 120; AFL, Proceedings o f 22nd Annual Convention, 1902, pp. 12—13; House Committee on Labor, Hearings National Arbitration Bill, 1904, p. 63. Geo. 95-96. L. McMurphy, American Federationist, vol. 1, no. 4, pp 28AFL, Proceedings, 17th Convention, 1897, p. 22; AFL, Proceedings, 21st Convention, 1901. Organization o f the Departm ent o f Commerce and Labor, 1904, pp 478-79, 520-22. 30 Ibid, p. 499. 31 AFL, Proceedings, 23rd Convention, 1903, p. 24, 173. 32Theodore Roosevelt, Autobiography, Works, vol. XX, 1925, p. 460. 33 Gompers, Seventy Y ears, vol. 1, pp. 530-32, vol. 2, pp. 129-30. 34American Federationist, vol. XIII, no. 1, January 1905. 35 Message to the Congress, 59th Cong., 2nd sess., Dec. 3, 1906 in The Works o f Theodore Roosevelt, vol. V, pp. 924—26; Message to the Congress, 60th Cong., 1st sess., Dec. 3, 1907 in The Works o f Theodore Roosevelt, vol. VI, pp. 152-55. 36 Neill expressed the view that: “the employers’ side generally has the advantage in getting a hearing before the public,” and compulsory investigation and a public report would force “both sides to show up the actual things that were being done, and the actual merits of their claims.” House Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, Hearing, Investigation o f Controversies Affecting Interstate Commerce, 1906, pp. 6, 11. 37 Senate Document 122, 58th Cong., 3d sess., Labor Disturbances in the State o f Colorado, 1880 to 1904; 1905; pp. 31-34; 278-80. 38 The New York Times, June 17, 1907, p. 1; July 13, 1907; p. 2; Aug. 12, 1907, p. 2; National Civic Federation Review, September 1907, p. 17; Senate Document No. 725, 60th Cong., 2nd sess.; Investi gation o f Western Union and Postal Telegraph Cable Cos., 1909, pp. 39 -42. 39 Edward Berman, Labor Disputes and the President o f the United States (New York, Columbia University Press, 1924), pp. 64-65. 40 The New York Times, Sept. 7, 1909; Sept. 11, 1909; AFL, Pro ceedings o f 29th Convention, 1909, p. 30. 41AFL, Report o f Proceedings o f 30th Convention, 1910, pp. 20-21; American Federationist, vol. XVII, no. 2, February 1910, pp. 113-15. 42Senate Document No. 521, 61st Cong., 2nd sess., Report on Strike a t Bethlehem Steel Works, 1910, pp. 70, 128. 43 The New York Times, May 12, 1910, p. 9. 44American Federationist, vol. XVII, no. 6, June 1910. 45 Senate Document No. 110, 62nd Cong., 1st sess., Report on the Iron an d Steel Industry, 1911, vol. 1, pp. XIV-XVI; vol. 3, 1913, pp. 13-15. 46American Federationist, vol. XIX, no. 2, February 1912, pp. 101— 14. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 47 Senate Document No. 870, 62nd Cong., 2nd sess., Report o f the Strike o f Textile Workers in Lawrence, Massachusetts, 1913, p. 17. 48 Ewan Clague, The Bureau o f Labor Statistics (New York, Freder ick Praeger, 1968), p. 13. 49AFL, Proceedings, 27th Convention, 1907, pp. 38-39. 50 Richard G. Balfe, “Charles P. Neill and the United States Bureau of Labor,” Ph. D. diss. (University of Notre Dame, 1956), p. 112. 51 Oscar S. Straus Papers; Correspondence from Roosevelt to Straus, Jan. 18, 1907. 52AFL, Proceedings, 27th Convention, 1907, p. 40. 53 Department of Labor and Commerce, Labor Conference, 1909, pp. 11, 29, 31, 46, 80-81; AFL, Proceedings, 29th Convention, 1909, pp. 34—35. 54AFL, Proceedings, 29th Convention, 1909, p. 35. 55 Commissioner of Labor, 25th Annual Report, Industrial Education in the United States, 1910, 1911. 56AFL, Proceedings, 30th Convention, 1910, pp. 41-43; AFL, Pro ceedings, 32nd Convention, 1912, pp. 137-39; 269-76. 57American Federationist, vol. X, no. 5, May 1903, p. 354. 58AFL, Proceedings, 26th Convention, 1906, p. 30-31. 59AFL, Proceedings, 27th Convention, 1907, p. 28. 60 Legislation was also pending calling for the establishment of a Children’s Bureau in the Department of Commerce and Labor. AFL, Proceedings, 30th Convention, 1910, pp. 124, 224—25. 61 Senate Document No. 645, 61st Cong., 2nd sess., Report on the Condition o f Women and Child Wage-Earners in the United States, vols. 1-19, issued between 1910 and 1913. 62AFL, Proceedings, 31st Convention, 1911, p. 35. 63 Daniel J. B. Mitchell, “A furor over working children and the Bureau of Labor,” M onthly Labor Review, October 1975, pp. 34-36; and Judson McLaury, “A senator’s reaction to report on working women and children,” pp. 36-38. 64 Balfe, “Neill and the Bureau of Labor,” pp. 139-40: See also Jon athan Grossman, “The origin of the U.S. Department of Labor,” M onthly Labor Review, March 1973, pp. 3-7. 29 Nonwool yarn mills experience slow gains in productivity During 1958-80, new equipment and techniques aided productivity growth; although the 2.3-percent rate o f increase was less than for manufacturing as a whole, it accelerated during the last 8 years o f the period J ames D. Y ork As measured by output per employee hour, productivity in the nonwool yarn mill industry increased at an aver age of 2.3 percent during 1958-80, somewhat below the 2.8-percent rate for all manufacturing.1 (See table 1.) Output increased at an average annual rate of 4.5 per cent while employee hours advanced at a rate of 2.1 percent. For the most recent period, 1973-80, produc tivity has risen at a faster annual rate—averaging 3.0 percent. Improved preparatory and spinning equipment have contributed to these gains. Growth varied over the period of study. From 1958 to 1965, productivity increased every year, rising at an average annual rate of 5.2 percent. The largest jump oc curred in 1961 with a rise of 9.3 percent. The 5.2-per cent average gain in productivity reflected an average annual growth of 6.7 percent in output and 1.5 percent in employee hours. Since 1965, productivity gains have slowed considerably. During 1965-73, output per em ployee hour grew at an average annual rate of only 1.2 percent. Output increased at a 4.6-percent rate—just slightly faster than that of 3.4 percent for employee hours. Productivity movements displayed much year-toyear fluctuation during this time. There were increases in only 5 of 9 years, with the largest— 7.1 percent— oc curring in 1971. In contrast to productivity movements for most in dustries, the growth in this industry accelerated during James D. York is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 30 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1973-80, rising at an average annual rate of 3.0 percent. Output grew at a rate of 2.6 percent, while employee hours declined at a rate of 0.4 percent. Recessionary conditions in the economy in 1974 and 1975 had a strong impact on the trends in output and employee hours. In 1974, the yarn industry began sharp reduc tions in employee hours, as output fell 3.5 percent. The more than proportional drop in employee hours of 7.9 percent led to a 4.8-percent rise in productivity. In 1975, output posted a further decline of 4.2 percent. In the face of this continuing deterioration in output, em ployee hours experienced their largest single-year de cline in the entire 1958-80 period, 15.7 percent. The resulting productivity increase, 13.6 percent, was the largest of the two-decade period. Employment and plant size Total employment in the spun yarn industry in creased by more than 28 percent between 1958 and 1980, rising at an average annual rate of 2.1 percent. There were 67,800 employees in 1958, but by 1980 the total had risen to 86,900. However, the increase in em ployment was not steady; cyclical patterns were evident throughout the period, which were related to trends in the overall economy. The establishments which produce yarn vary in size but, generally, are rather large. According to the 1977 Census of Manufactures, nearly 40 percent of all estab lishments employ 100 to 249 employees and these ac count for more than 30 percent of industry value of Table 1. Productivity and related indexes for nonwool yarn mills, 1958-80 [1977=100] O u tp ut p er Y ea r e m p lo y e e h our O utput E m p lo ye e hours E m p lo ye es 1958 ................ 1959 ................ 1960 ................ 59.5 62.3 65.3 39.4 44.8 42.5 66.2 71.9 65.1 72.9 72.9 68.6 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 71.4 74.7 76.3 80.6 84.6 45.1 48.7 50.3 57.4 66.5 63.2 65.2 65.9 71.2 78.6 65.6 66.3 66.3 69.1 73.8 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 81.8 77.5 80.2 84.5 84.3 66.7 61.7 68.2 74.4 70.9 81.5 79.6 85.0 88.0 84.1 78.0 80.1 83.3 89.3 86.3 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 90.3 91.0 85.0 89.1 101.2 82.0 91.2 88.9 85.8 82.2 90.8 100.2 104.6 96.3 81.2 89.2 96.4 102.7 101.2 87.7 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ............... ................ ............... ............... ............... 93.5 100.0 104.2 103.9 106.1 89.7 100.0 103.8 99.0 97.5 95.9 100.0 99.6 95.3 91.9 97.7 100.0 100.3 95.8 93.4 A v e ra g e annual ra te s o f c h a n g e (in p e rc e n t) 1958-80 ......... 1975-80 ......... 2.3 1.7 4.5 3.4 2.1 1.7 2.1 0.7 shipments. Of the 456 establishments in the industry, almost 20 percent employ 250 to 499 employees and also account for more than 30 percent of total value of shipments. Only about 7 percent of all establishments employ 500 to 999 employees but these produce more than 20 percent of industry value of shipments. Production workers have always represented a high proportion of total industry employment and that pro portion has changed very little over time. In 1958, they accounted for slightly more than 94 percent of total em ployment and in 1980 their share was still about 92 per cent. The proportion of female employees has increased in recent years, rising from approximately 44 percent of the work force in 1972 to 46 percent in 1980. Average hourly earnings in the spun yarn industry have remained well below those of all manufacturing. In 1972, the first year for which such data are available, average hourly earnings were $2.53, significantly less than the $3.82 for all manufacturing. By 1980, average hourly earnings in the industry had risen about 89 per cent to $4.78. However, this was still well below the av erage for all manufacturing, which was up to $7.27. Diverse industry markets Spun yarn is used for the manufacture of the great majority of textile products; household items which contain yarn include carpets and rugs, bedspreads, draperies, and towels. Its demand can be influenced by https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis population changes, housing starts, changes in lifestyle or consumer tastes, and general economic conditions. Non wool yarn is purchased by many different manu facturers. Broad woven fabric mills are major users of spun yarn. These mills produce goods made from cot ton, synthetic fibers, and silk, such as sheets, pillow cases, draperies, and towels. The firms which use synthetic fibers and silk are the largest purchasers of spun yarn. From 1963 to 1977, purchases by nonwool spinning mills increased nearly 90 percent, but those by broad woven cotton mills changed very little.2 Mills which produce knit fabric also account for a large proportion of total spun yarn purchases. These mills knit tubular or flat fabric and dye or finish knit fabric; their output increased rapidly from 1963 for ward. This increase in output translated into rising yarn purchases by these mills. It is estimated that between 1963 and 1967, purchases of spun yarn by both circular and warp knit fabric mills increased by approximately 136 percent. Other types of knitting mills also use spun yarn, in cluding knit outerwear and underwear mills and hosiery mills. The first type manufactures products such as suits, slacks, shirts, neckties, and skirts. Although com plete information is not available for all years, estimates indicate that purchases of spun yarn by knit outerwear mills decreased during the 1963-77 period. Exports have historically accounted for a negligible portion of the total market. In 1979 and 1980, although exports increased rapidly, they only accounted for ap proximately 2 percent of yarn shipments. Imports have had little impact on the domestic market, making up less than 1 percent of apparent consumption in recent years.3 Advances in technology The production of spun yarn involves a number of dif ferent operations. Improvements in technology have taken place at different stages of the production process and have contributed to the industry’s overall growth. Much of the advance has resulted from gradual im provements in the equipment over time. The raw material arrives at the mill as bales. The adoption of automatic bale opening and blending equip ment, which eliminates the need for manual perfor mance of this operation, has led to greater efficiency in this initial stage of the production process. Likewise, improvements have occurred in the carding operation. In it, the fibers of the raw material are made parallel to each other and most of the foreign matter is removed. The fibers emerge in a form known as sliver. Formerly, the yarn entered a picker which formed it into a roll before being fed into the carding machine. However, the introduction of the automatic chute feed which permits the blended fibers to be fed directly into 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Productivity in Nonwool Yarn Mills the carding machine, has eliminated the need for a pick er. The carding machinery itself has increased in speed, further contributing to productivity gains. The drawing and roving operations follow the carding process. The drawing operation makes the sliv ers more uniform. In the roving process, a twist is imparted to the sliver by the roving frame. This results in greater strength. The product that emerges is known as roving and is wound onto bobbins which are taken up when full. The adoption of larger bobbins has re duced the amount of tending necessary because they do not have to be removed as often. Improved roving equipment has been introduced which is faster and eliminates the need to remove the flyers (which insert twist into the fibers) for doffing (removal of the bob bins). After the roving operation, the roving bobbin pro ceeds to the spinning operation. The spinning drafts (draws out) the fibers to size the yarn and puts the de sired twist into it, providing necessary strength. Yarn is spun onto bobbins; the use of larger ones on spinning machines has reduced the frequency with which bobbins have to be removed. The introduction of automatic doff ing equipment—equipment which removes the full bob bins and replaces them with empty ones—has also im proved productivity. Increased operating speed of the spinning equipment itself has also contributed to pro ductivity gains. After spinning, the yarn is taken to the winding de partment. Here, winding machines remove the yarn from the spinning bobbins and wind it onto cones for direct customer shipment or onto tubes for dyeing. Au tomation in winding equipment has taken place and has increased productivity growth immensely.4 A number of plants have introduced open-end spin ning, which has also aided productivity. This combines into one process the three separate operations of roving, spinning, and winding, thus eliminating the need for a separate roving and winding operation. Open-end spin ning can wind the yarn onto a package rather than a spinning bobbin; thus, a separate winding operation to transfer the yarn from the spinning bobbin to a cone is no longer needed.5 Capital spending Rises in labor productivity are frequently linked to increases in capital formation. Data available through 1979 indicate that, over 1958-79 as a whole, currentdollar new capital expenditures rose at an average annu al rate of 9.4 percent. However, the advances were not uniform throughout the period, and the most rapid ones took place in the earlier years. From 1958 to 1966, new capital expenditures increased at a 22.1-percent rate. This acceleration in capital spending coincided with Digitized32 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rapid productivity growth. During 1958-66, the rate of increase in output per employee hour was 4.6 percent. Both productivity and capital expenditures posted in creases in all but one year of the 1958-66 subperiod. The tremendous growth in capital expenditures dur ing this time caused the ratio of capital expenditures per employee to go up far more rapidly than for all manu facturing. In 1958, capital spending per employee was only $229 in the spun yarn industry, compared with $619 for all manufacturing. However, by 1966, capital spending per employee in the industry had risen to $1,368, compared with $1,112 for all manufacturing. From 1966-79, the trends in both capital expendi tures and productivity were quite different from the pre ceding years. The rate of increase in capital expend itures declined to 4.9 percent. There were even substantial decreases in a number of years. Productivity growth likewise experienced a slowdown, dropping to an average annual rate of increase of 2.2 percent. As in the case of capital expenditures, there were declines in some years. The decline in the growth rate of capital ex penditures caused the rate of increase in the ratio of capital expenditures per employee to fall behind that of all manufacturing. From 1966-79, capital spending per employee in the spun yarn industry advanced at an av erage annual rate of only 3.0 percent, compared with a rate of 9.2 percent for all manufacturing. Consequently, capital spending per employee was only $1,607 in 1979, compared with $3,118 for all manufacturing. P roductivity should continue to increase as im provements in production equipment take place and as more manufacturers take advantage of these. Some of the newer equipment, which embodies more advanced technologies than past models, is capable of producing better quality yarn with fewer imperfections and weak spots. This top quality is increasingly demanded by cus tomers as they adopt higher speed weaving and knitting machinery.6 This is accelerating the adoption of more modern production equipment by nonwool yarn mills. Some industry officials expect labor market condi tions to provide added stimulus for use of improved production equipment.7Relocation of the manufacturing operations of many industries into major textile produc ing areas exerts additional pressure on existing labor and wages. This, in turn, is impelling more yarn manu facturers to utilize the equipment and techniques which provide the greatest levels of output per employee hour. Open-end spinning will continue to contribute to pro ductivity gains as it becomes more widely adopted. This form of spinning has a particularly favorable effect on production efficiency because, as noted earlier, it com bines the separate operations of roving, spinning, and winding into a single process. □ FOOTNOTES 1The nonwool yam mill industry consists of establishments primar ily engaged in spinning yarn wholly or chiefly by weight of cotton, synthetic fibers, or silk. It is designated as industry 2281 in the 1972 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Manual. All average annual rates of change are based on the linear least squares trend of the loga rithms of the index numbers. Extension of the indexes will appear in the annual BLS Bulletin, Productivity Measures f o r Selected Industries. 2 The discussion of yam purchases from nonwool yarn mills by the consuming industries is based on constant-dollar estimates. 3 U.S. Industrial Outlook (U.S. Department of Commerce, 1981), p. 402. 4 See McAllister Isaacs III, “Winding a 138 Percent Boost in Oper ator Pounds,” Textile World, February 1980, pp. 79-82. 5 See Brenda V. Lloyd, “Meeting the Challenges of Modernization,” Textile Industries, September 1979, pp. 114-17. Also, see McAllister Isaacs III, “Avondale Open-End Cuts Labor, Ups Output,” Textile World, May 1980, pp. 63-66. 6W. Bud Newcomb, “U.S. Sales-Yarn Firms Are Poised For Fu ture Growth,” Textile World, September 1980, p. 203. 7 See Douglas A. Bowen, “Linn-Corriher: Yam Making Pioneer,” Textile Industries, March 1980, p. 50. Also, see Joseph L. Lanier Jr., “Plants and Equipment,” America's Textiles, June 1976, p. 21. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee hour measure chang es in the relation between the output of an industry and employee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an in dex of output by an index of industry employee hours. The preferred output index for manufacturing indus tries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods produced by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee hours required to produce one unit of each good in some specified base period. Thus, those goods which require more labor time to produce are given more importance in the index. In the absence of adequate physical quantity data, the output index for this industry was constructed by a deflated value technique. The value of shipments of the various product classes were adjusted for price changes by appropriate Producer Price Indexes to derive real https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis output measures. These, in turn, were combined with employee hour weights to derive the overall output measure. The result is a final output index that is con ceptually close to the preferred output measure. Employment and employee hour indexes were derived from data published by the Bureau of the Census be cause BLS data were not available. Employees and em ployee hours are each considered homogeneous and additive, and thus do not reflect changes in the qualita tive aspects of labor, such as skill and experience. The indexes of output per employee hour do not meas ure any specific contributions, such as that of labor or capital. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of factors such as changes in technology, capital investment, ca pacity utilization, plant design and layout, skill and ef fort of the work force, managerial ability, and labormanagement relations. 33 D awn E. D ougherty In 1980, each $1,000 of contract cost for hospital con struction generated an estimated 51.4 hours of work, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics survey.1This means that each $1 billion spent on hospital construc tion in 1980 would have created 27,129 jobs— 12,850 in the construction industry and 14,279 in industries which produce and deliver the materials, equipment, and supplies used in construction. The 1975 survey in dicated that each $1 billion of hospital construction would have provided 21,528 jobs in construction and 24,256 in related industries.2 The survey covered hospital and nursing home con struction. However, this summary presents data for hos pitals only; a detailed report covering both hospital and nursing home construction is being prepared. This was the third survey for hospitals and the second for nurs ing homes. It measured employee hours per $1,000 of contract cost and per 100 square feet of construction. A sample of 34 hospitals and 8 nursing homes completed in 1976 was drawn to represent a universe of 90 hospi tals and 16 nursing homes. All projects were funded under the former Department of Health, Education, and Welfare’s Hill-Burton program. Data for onsite em ployee hours, material and labor costs, and project characteristics were obtained through visits to general and special trade contractors. Employee hours For each $1,000 of contract cost for hospitals com pleted in 1976, 87.7 employee hours were required. The following tabulation shows the distribution of employee hours per thousand current dollars for hospitals con structed in 1975, and estimates for 1980. Dawn E. Dougherty is an economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Digitized34 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Onsite Offsite ...................................... Manufacturing ............................. Trade, transportation, and services . Mining and all other industries . . . 34.7 4.5 29.3 15.1 4.1 20.7 2.7 16.5 9.1 2.4 Nearly 89 percent of the hours required in the con struction industry in 1975 were spent onsite. The re maining hours represent builders’ offsite administrative, office, and warehousing duties.3 The employee-hour re quirements in other industries, which were greater than construction employee hours, composed 55 percent of all hours.4 Manufacturing accounted for the largest number of these indirect hours with 60 percent. Onsite hours. Onsite employee-hour requirements per $1,000 of contract cost decreased between each of the three studies. Hospitals surveyed in 1960 and 1966 re quired 88.8 and 76.1 onsite hours, respectively, com pared with 34.7 in 1975.5 In constant (1972) dollars, 46.7 employee hours were required in 1975, compared with 52.7 in 1960 and 49.9 in 1966. This means that onsite hours declined at an average annual rate of 0.8 percent between 1960 and 1975 and 0.7 percent between 1966 and 1975. Factors contributing to the decline in clude improvements in construction methods, changes in the types of materials used, differences in individual project characteristics, and increases in productivity. Although onsite hours cannot be used as an exact mea sure of productivity, changes in onsite hours give an in dication of productivity trends in the construction industry. By occupation. Skilled workers contributed 68.6 percent of all onsite hours in 1975 (table 1). In 1960, skilled workers accounted for 67.8 percent of all hours and in 1966, 70.3 percent. Plumbers (including pipefitters and steamfitters), carpenters, and electricians accounted for the largest proportion of skilled employee hours in all three studies. The proportion of hours contributed by electricians increased with each study, reflecting a grow ing sophistication and complexity in the electrical equipment and lighting systems used by hospitals. Semiskilled and unskilled workers accounted for 22.4 percent of all onsite hours in 1975; in 1960 and 1966, they represented 28.4 percent and 26.4 percent, respec tively. The proportion of hours contributed by profes sional, clerical, and supervisory workers, which was 3.9 percent in 1960 and 3.2 percent in 1966, increased to 8.6 percent in 1975. Supervisory workers’ hours ac counted for most of this increase. By type of contractor. General contractors accounted for the greatest proportion in onsite hours with 26.6 per cent. In comparison, general contractors contributed 39.1 percent in 1960 and 36.5 percent in 1966. This de cline indicates that general contractors are subcon tracting more of their onsite duties to special trade con tractors. Plumbing and heating, ventilating, and airconditioning contractors had the second highest propor tion of onsite hours, reflecting the extensive amount of plumbing done in hospital construction. Electrical con tractors made up the third largest group. This was true for both of the earlier studies, although the proportion contributed by electrical contractors increased between the studies. Project characteristics Hospitals completed in 1976 were larger and cost more to build than those previously studied (table 2). Table 1. Onsite labor requirements per $1,000 of contract cost, by occupation and type of contractor, 1975 ______ Occupation All occupations ........... Skilled workers........................ Brickmasons........................ Carpenters........................... Concrete finishers............... Drywall installers.................. Electricians........................... Elevator Installers ............... Glaziers ............................... Insulation w o rkers............... Lathers................................. Operating engineers ........... Painters ............................... Pipefitters and steamfitters .. Plasterers............................. Plumbers ............................. Reinforcing ironworkers . . . . Roofers ............................... Sheet metal w o rke rs........... Structural metal and ornamental ironworkers ......... Tile setters, h a rd .................. Other skilled workers........... Semiskilled and unskilled workers ............................... Laborers ........................... Helpers ........................... Truck drivers and other semiskilled or unskilled workers........................ Supervisory, professional, technical, and clerical w orkers... N ote: Percent 100.0 68.6 3.5 12.5 2.5 1.0 11.9 0.7 0.5 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.6 6.0 1.5 6.6 1.6 0.6 5.4 2.6 0.6 3.1 Type of contractor Total ........................... 100.0 General contractors............... 26.6 Special trade contractors . . . . Plumbing, heating and airconditioning .................... Electrical............................. Plastering and lathing......... Masonry ............................. Concrete w o rk .................... Roofing and sheet metal work ............................... Ornamental and structural metal work .................... Wallboard ........................... Painting and wallpapering .. Terrazzo and tile work . . . . Carpentry .......................... Excavations, foundations, footings, and grading . . . Elevators............................. Insulating............................. All other ty p e s .................... 73.4 22.4 19.0 1.6 1.8 8.6 Detail may not add to totals due to rounding. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Percent 23.8 13.0 6.5 5.5 4.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 4.6 Table 2. Selected project characteristics for hospital construction, 1960, 1966, and 1975 _________________ C h a ra c te ris tic Number of projects............................... Floor space (1,000 square fe e t) ........... Average total c o s t................................. Cost per square fo o t ............................. Number of beds per proje ct.................. Cost per bed ........................................ Proportion of average total cost for— Onsite wages and salaries................ Materials, built-in equipment, and supplies ........................................ Construction equipment.................... Residual............................................. 1960 1966 1975 46 56.5 $1,463,723 $25.93 86 $16,947 61 63.5 $1,811,459 $28.51 82 $22,172 90 163.6 $8,097,826 $49.48 128 $63,448 28.2 29.6 27.7 53.2 1.2 17.4 50.4 1.3 18.7 42.2 2.4 27.7 Additions to existing hospitals continued to outnumber new hospital buildings. The proportion of additions in creased from 57.4 percent of all projects in 1966 to 81.9 percent in 1975, which may help to explain the large in crease in project cost between the two studies. Cost per square foot is generally higher for additions than for new hospitals, because extensive alterations to the origi nal building are often required before new construction can begin. Between the earliest and latest studies, the average number of square feet per project increased twice as much as the number of beds. This suggests that the newer hospitals contain more space for equipment and special purpose areas (such as diagnostic and therapy rooms, laboratories, and x-ray rooms) than the hospi tals in the earlier studies. Costs Components o f cost. The proportion of total hospital contract cost for onsite wages and salaries declined be tween 1966 and 1975, after increasing between the first and second studies (table 2). Materials, built-in equip ment, and supplies showed a large decrease, from 53.2 percent of total contract cost in 1960 to 42.2 percent in 1975. The proportion of total cost for contractor’s equipment increased slightly between the first and most recent studies. Profit and overhead (which includes in terest expenses, salaries of offsite workers, supplementa ry wage benefits, office and other overhead expenses, and profit) jumped from 17.4 percent in 1960 to 27.7 percent in 1975. Higher interest rates and increases in salaries and supplementary benefits were the major fac tors contributing to this rise. Materials costs. Materials, built-in equipment, and supplies accounted for the largest proportion of con tract cost. Of the types of materials used, fabricated metal products had the highest cost per $1,000 of con struction value (table 3). Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products were next, followed by electrical machinery and equipment. These three product groups accounted for more than half of all the materials used in hospital 35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Productivity Reports construction in 1975. The proportion of total material cost for electrical products increased between 1966 and 1975, replacing built-in equipment and nonelectrical machinery as the third most important product group. Regional data Project characteristics. Data compiled by region6 reflect differences in project design, size, and cost (table 4). On average, the largest projects were in the South. Hospi tals built in the South had the highest average cost, the most floor space, and took longer to build than those in all other regions. Hospitals in the Northeast were the smallest and the most expensive (per square foot). The majority of projects in the Northeast were small addi tions to existing hospitals; they contained relatively lit tle floor space, and several included extensive re habilitation work. Fewer hospitals were built in the West than in any of the other regions; thus, the differ ence between the proportion of additions and new buildings for that region and the United States as a whole. Hours and wages. The South had both the lowest aver age hourly wage and the smallest ratio of wages to total contract cost. Onsite employee-hour requirements per $1,000 were highest in the South, which suggests that the relatively low wage rates in the region encouraged the use of labor intensive construction methods. Thus, the low wage rate is thought to be responsible for the South having the smallest ratio of wages to total con tract cost, even though employee-hour requirements were highest. The North Central region had the highest average hourly wage, and was tied with the West for the largest ratio of wages to total cost. Employee-hour requirements were lowest in the Northeast, where the Table 3. Cost of materials, equipment, and supplies used in hospital construction, 1975 C o s t pe r T y p e o f m a terial $1,0 00 o f P e rc e n t c o n tra c t c o s t All materials, equipment, and supplies............... $442.24 100.0 Materials, built-in equipment, supplies.................. Agricultural products........................................ Mining of nonmetallic minerals, except fuels ............. Textile mill products ........... Lumber and wood products, except furniture............. Furniture and fixtures .................. Paper and allied products ............. Chemicals and allied products............. Petroleum refining and related products . Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products .. Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products . . . Primary metal products........................... Fabricated metal products................................. Machinery, except electrical............................... Electrical machinery, equipment, and supplies........... Measuring, analyzing, and controlling instruments . . . Other materials and supplies.................... Construction equipment.................. 417.84 .40 1.44 1.06 13.18 10.06 1.73 4.48 4.96 4.65 81.90 43.73 105.26 58.77 66.74 15.11 4.36 24.40 95.5 .1 .3 .2 3.0 2.3 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.0 18.5 9.9 23.8 13.3 15.1 3.4 1.0 5.5 Note: Detail may not add to totals due to.rounding. Digitized36 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Selected project characteristics for hospital construction, by region, 1975 P ro je c t c h a ra c te ris tic U nited S ta te s N o rth ea st N orth C entral South W est Average number of square feet per project (100 sq. 1,636.4 859.5 ft.) ................................. 1,798.9 2,091.1 990.0 Average cost per project.. $8,097,826 $6,400,883 $7,963,530 $10,009,634 $5,435,938 Average cost per square foot ............................... $49.48 $74.48 $44.27 $47.87 $54.91 Average number of weeks of construction ............. 154 145 149 174 121 Additions as a percent of all projects ........................ 81.9 87.7 85.7 84.3 49.5 New buildings as a percent of all projects ............... 18.2 12.3 14.6 15.7 49.5 Percent of projects in metro politan a re a s .................. 49.9 62.6 44.5 48.9 49.5 Percent of projects in nonmetropolitan areas ......... 50.1 37.4 55.5 51.1 49.5 Employee hours per $1,000 of contract c o s t............. 34.7 32.0 33.8 36.3 35.4 Average hourly wage . . . . $7.99 $8.60 $8.70 $7.18 $8.29 Wages as a percent of total contract c o s t.................. 27.7 27.5 29.4 26.1 29.4 majority of projects were located in metropolitan areas. Because hourly wages and the availability of skilled workers are usually greater in metropolitan areas, em ployee-hour requirements tend to be lower for projects built in metropolitan rather than nonmetropolitan areas. q --------- FOOTNOTES ---------' Employee-hour estimates for 1980 were based on 1975 onsite em ployee-hour data, adjusted for price and productivity change. The de flator used to adjust the onsite hours for price change was the Bureau of the Census’ cost index for nonresidential buildings: 1965-66— 65.6; 1974-75— 134.65; 1980— 217. Productivity change was calculated by adjusting the change in onsite hours for prices between the 1966 study and the latest study. The average annual rate of change was 0.7 percent. Although most of the projects in the latest survey were com pleted in 1976, most of the construction value was put in place during 1974-75. 2Employment estimates were derived using 1,800 hours per year for onsite construction; 2,000 for offsite construction; 2,068 for manufac turing; 1,779 for trade, transportation, and services; and 2,025 for mining and all others. 3Offsite employee hours were estimated using the ratio of nonconstruction employees to total employees for special trade con tractors in the contract construction industry, as reported in Em ploy m ent and Earnings, Bulletin 1312-11 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1979). This ratio was applied to the onsite hours obtained in the sur vey, which had been adjusted for the hours worked by administrative and clerical employees. 4 Indirect employee hours were calculated using inter-industry growth models. Data on materials and equipment were grouped by type, and the dollar amounts for each group were adjusted by the ap propriate producer price index. The data were then processed through the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ input-output model to determine the number of employee hours required per $1,000 of construction for each industry group. 'The first two surveys are referred to as the 1960 and 1966 studies; however, most of the construction occurred during 1959-60 and 1965 -66, respectively. See Labor Requirements fo r Hospital Construction, Bulletin 1340 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1962); Herman J. Rothberg, “Labor requirements for hospital construction, 1959-60,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1962, pp. 1120-24; Labor and M aterial R e quirements fo r Hospital an d Nursing H om e Construction, Bulletin 1691 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1971); and Martha Farnsworth Riche, “Man-hour requirements decline in hospital construction,” Monthly Labor Review, November 1970, p. 48. 6 Data were provided for the continental United States and four broad geographic regions. The States included in each region were: Northeast — Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont; North Central — Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wis consin; South — Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and West Virginia; and West— Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wy oming. Impact of new electronic technology R ic h a r d W . R ic h e The steady stream of technological progress that has characterized our society in America has resulted in higher productivity, elimination of many menial and dangerous jobs, higher wages and shorter hours, and a continuous flow of new products and services which have resulted in a higher standard of living. New indus tries employing thousands of workers have been formed to manufacture computers, electronic products, and technologies to provide energy and control the environ ment. To be sure, innovation in industries such as longshoring, agriculture, and printing, to name a few, has eliminated jobs and required workers to acquire the un familiar skills associated with new technology. For some, the adjustment has been painful. But on balance, there is general agreement that the benefits of new tech nology far outweigh the disadvantages, and that innova tion has led to economic progress, new job oppor tunities, and a more prosperous society. At this point, early in the decade of the 1980’s, there is widespread agreement that the pace of diffusion of technologies which incorporate advanced electronics will be accelerated over the next few years. The experi ence in the United States suggests that as long as the economy is growing, the introduction of innovations with potential for productivity gains can be compatible with rising employment. When computers were first in troduced for office data applications, for example, freRichard W. Riche is an economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, Bureau of Labor Statistics. This report was adapted from his presentation at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s Second Special Session on Information Technologies, Productivity, and Employment, held in Paris, France, Oct. 19-21, 1981. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis quently predictions were made that large numbers of clerical and kindred workers would be displaced and that job opportunities for millions would be curtailed. What actually did happen was quite different. In 1960, clerical workers in the United States numbered about 10 million and accounted for about 15 percent of total employment. By 1980, there were more than 18 million clerical workers and they accounted for about 19 per cent of the total. Thus, instead of decreasing as had been predicted, clerical employment increased about 85 percent. And, it is projected to grow significantly to 1990. Why did clerical employment increase instead of de creasing as predicted? First, normal growth in the vol ume of clerical work exceeded jobs eliminated by the computer. Second, computers made possible work that was previously impractical because it would have been too costly and too time consuming. Using computers, managers can now prepare reports and analyses that previously were desirable but too costly. In addition to creating employment by expanding the scope of activities for many industries, the computer re quired new occupations such as systems analysts, pro grammers, keypunch operators, console operators, and tape librarians. And new industries were established to manufacture computers and related equipment, creating a variety of occupations and employing thousands. Technological change can cause job displacement, es pecially when the industry is concentrated in a particu lar region or locality. Sometimes the employment impact is direct, as in the case of agriculture. In most cases, however, the effect is less obvious. Output does not advance at the same rate as productivity in all in dustries or plants, and consequently some industries register employment declines while others register in creases. Regardless of the reason, displacements are costly for both the individual and the Nation. This report examines four major technological chang es under way in the United States and discusses pros pects for their further diffusion. The four areas are microelectronics, industrial robots, telecommunications, and office automation. The development of microprocessors and microcomput ers in the early 1970’s, and their widespread diffusion as we enter the 1980’s, is a major innovation in electron ics. Over the past three decades, the transistor that re placed the bulky vacuum tube was a first step in the development of miniaturized semiconductor integrated circuits which provide more power and reliability in a significantly smaller package. A microprocessor unit contains thousands of electronic components and com plex circuits on a silicon chip less than one centimeter square. The unit can be combined with memory and in put-output capability to build a microcomputer. The use of microelectronics has had a significant im37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Productivity Reports pact on American consumers, workers, and manu facturing operations. A vast array of products—calcu lators, digital watches, video games, TV sets, and mi crowave ovens, to name a few—incorporate micro processors and microcomputers. But behind the scenes in American manufacturing plants, production technol ogies and manufacturing methods are undergoing equal ly dramatic changes. Microelectronics are being incorporated in systems which control key production equipment, such as industrial robots and numericallycontrolled machine tools. Moreover, microelectronic de vices increase the processing capability of word proces sors, computers, data transmission and copying devices, automatic checkout counters, and other such equipment used by banks, insurance companies, and retail and wholesale establishments. The industrial robot is a second major technological innovation capturing current attention. The Robot In stitute of America defines a robot as “a repro grammable multifunctional manipulator designed to move material, parts, tools, or specialized devices through variable programmed motions for the perfor mance of a variety of tasks.” According to the institute, about 4,000 robots are in use in U.S. establishments, with a large share in automobile manufacturing plants. They perform tasks such as material transfer, die cast ing, spot welding, spray painting, and limited assembly. Although U.S. industry is increasing its use of robots, Japan leads the world in robot use with more than tri ple the number of installations in the United States. There is little information on the impact of robots on productivity and employment. However, evidence sug gests that, following installation of robots, productivity is increased, unit labor requirements frequently are low ered, and quality control is improved. At one large manufacturer of refrigerators, for example, a robot sprays paint on refrigerator liners twice as fast as the two-person crew that it replaced.1The future impact of robots on productivity and employment will depend on the extent of development and diffusion of new genera tions of robots that can “see and feel.” Technological changes in telecommunications are un derway in all major segments of the industry. These innovations are boosting productivity and changing the type of labor required in the two basic processes of tele phone communication— call switching and signal trans mission. The electronic computer is used extensively in both processes, as well as in other operational tasks and in management and accounting functions. In call switching, electronic switching systems use high speed computers to handle local and long-distance calls. A growing share of calls is handled by electronic switching systems; total conversion is anticipated by the year 2000. These systems can handle three to four times more calls than electromechanical systems. Digitized 38 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sharp gains in long-distance volume have led to two innovative and important technologies in signal trans mission— the millimeter waveguide and fiber optic ca bles. Both have far greater call-handling capabilities than the existing coaxial cables and microwave relays. The millimeter waveguide is essentially an underground tube through which signal-carrying waves are transmit ted. It is designed for use on high density communica tion routes. Currently, this technology is being tested; future diffusion will depend on call volume growth. Fiber optic cables for signal transmission are expected to become a major transmission medium in the 1980’s. In this technology, glass fiber cables are combined with semiconductor light sources for very high capacity transmission. The fiber cables are com pact, resist electrical interference, and interface well with digital switching and transmission techniques. Other major changes anticipated for the telecommu nications industry include further expansion of satellite communication, digital transmission, computerized sys tems for maintenance and testing, and automation of switching and billing tasks. Experts also foresee nontraditional uses of the communications network for electronic funds transfer in banking, electronic postal service functions, and data systems for the home which will combine communications and data processing capa bilities. Office data handling and communication is a fourth area where major technological change has occurred. A large segment of the Nation’s work force, including more than 18 million clerical workers, is engaged in producing and processing data. Historically, capital in vestment in the office has lagged that of other opera tions, with investment per office worker amounting to less than $2,000, compared with about $25,000 per fac tory worker.2 This “investment gap” may be closed in the years ahead. Investment in office technologies will likely ac celerate during the 1980’s, as managers turn to modern data handling technologies to reduce labor, material, and related expenses. The largest share of office costs are deemed to be labor-related— a strong incentive for further mechanization. Specific technologies to be diffused more widely in clude more powerful electronic computers; advanced model word processors; new equipment and techniques to store, retrieve, and transmit data on microfilm; and electronic mail networks. Increasingly, paper will be re placed by electronic images on a screen which can be transmitted by telecommunication methods. General impact of innovations Following are conclusions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ research on the implications of technological change for the work force. • While all industries are experiencing technological change, the pace varies among and within industries. Each industry has its own story and it is not always in terms of computer technology and advanced auto mation. But even conventional changes, such as mate rials handling mechanization or the installation of larger capacity equipment or machines with faster speeds, are often major developments requiring work ers to obtain new skills. • The size of investment required, the rate of capacity utilization, and institutional arrangements are some of the factors that act as an “economic governor” on the speed of diffusion of technological change and, in turn, possible employment implications. • Industries with greater application of technological advances generally experience larger increases in pro ductivity (examples, air transportation and telephone communication); industries lagging in application of technological advances generally experience smaller or negative changes in productivity (examples, foot wear and wood household furniture). • The content of jobs and the qualities required of workers are being modified by technological changes. There is less demand for manual dexterity, physical strength for material handling, and for traditional craftsmanship. In contrast, employers are placing more emphasis on formal knowledge, precision, and perceptual aptitudes. As many manual tasks are https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis mechanized, unskilled workers become monitors of very expensive equipment. The reduction in repetitive tasks that are so dissatisfying to the industrial worker may be welcomed, but the isolation and constant monitoring associated with advanced technology can create new stresses. • Higher educational achievement of workers is becom ing essential. The ability to read and write at a func tional level is mandatory to interpret operating instructions of complex equipment, and to be re trained for the new skills demanded by changing technology. • Many new occupations created by new technologies can be filled by retraining employees. Most retraining is accomplished in-plant and includes on-the-job and classroom instruction. • In general, relatively few employees have been laid off because of technological change. This is due, in part, to the use of various techniques by the private sector to minimize adverse effects to the worker— tech niques such as providing advance notice, retraining, and reassigning displaced employees to new jobs. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------' “Robots Join the Labor Force,” Business Week, June 9, 1980, pp. 62-76. 2 Philip H. Dorn, “The Automated Office— The Road to Disaster?” Datamation, Nov. 15, 1978, pp. 154-62. 39 Research Summaries Forgotten unemployment: recall bias in retrospective data F r a n c is W . H o r v a t h It is a well documented fact that the ordering and speci fic wording of a survey questionnaire can produce dif ferent “readings” of the same underlying event. Dif ferences can also arise when the same general question is asked of individuals at different times. One area in which such discrepancies have been found is in comparisons of unemployment data collect ed on a monthly basis with those obtained from a onceyearly survey. The source of the monthly unemploy ment figures is the Current Population Survey ( c p s ), conducted by the Census Bureau for the Bureau of La bor Statistics. Each month, representatives of approxi mately 60,000 households are asked questions about their labor force activity and that of other household members during a given reference week. Annual unem ployment estimates are constructed by averaging monthly data for the year. Annual unemployment data are also obtained, on a retrospective basis, from the Work Experience Supple ment to the Current Population Survey in March of each year. Persons responding to the supplement ques tions are asked to recall events which occurred from January through December of the previous year. These respondents are asked to aggregate the year’s labor force activities into summary figures. That is, they are asked questions such as: “How many weeks was (house hold member’s name) looking for work?” and “How many weeks was (household member’s name) working?” However, no attempt is made to ascertain the months in which these events took place. The supplement data reflect the number of persons with unemployment at any time during the previous year; a person experiencing two or more spells of unem ployment is counted only once. Recently, this estimate has been about 18 to 21 million persons a year. In conFrancis W. Horvath is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a trast, the annual average of the unemployment data col lected monthly— simply the sum of the 12 monthly es timates (unadjusted for seasonality), divided by 12— represents the mean number of persons unemployed during a “typical” week of the year. This figure was about 5 to 7 million during 1975-79. On the surface, these two figures appear unconnected. However, be cause the Work Experience Supplement also includes questions on the duration of unemployment in the pre vious year, it is possible to directly relate the retrospec tive supplement information to the annual averages of the monthly data. The basic method, developed by Daniel Suits and Richard Morgenstem,1 derives the total number of weeks of unemployment occurring in the labor force during the full year from the Work Experience Supple ment. Specifically, persons are grouped according to the supplement information into “duration of unemploy ment” intervals. Multiplying the number of persons in each group by the midpoint (in weeks) of the duration interval yields an estimate of the total weeks of unem ployment occurring to persons within that particular cell. The sum over all cells provides an estimate of the total weeks of unemployment occurring in the labor force over the year. Dividing this total by 52 gives the adjusted supplement estimate of a typical week’s unem ployment, roughly comparable to the results from the monthly studies. Exhibit 1 shows this basic relationship, using hypo thetical data. Over a given year, there are 155 individu als reporting some unemployment. Suppose that most of these are unemployed in 1 month only, and during all other months they are either employed or not in the labor force. However, assume that 25 of the 155 report unemployment in 2 consecutive months. In the monthly survey, then, the total reported instances of unemploy ment would be 180; annual average unemployment would be 180 divided by 12, or 15 individuals. With an accurate annual retrospective survey, the number of per sons reporting some unemployment during the entire year would be 155— 180 less the 25 who were unem ployed over a 2-month period. Dividing reported weeks of total unemployment by 52 yields the “adjusted” ret rospective estimate, which is exactly equal to the annual which took place long ago than for that which occurred in the recent past. Two studies on underreporting of past unemployment form the basis for this hypothesis. During 1969-71, the Census Bureau conducted a special reinterview program in which the same respondents were asked labor force questions in 2 consecutive months.3 The second month’s survey included a retrospective interview on events oc curring in the first month. Analysis of the results re vealed that people did not consistently place themselves in the same labor force categories they had earlier. In particular, unemployment in the first month was under stated significantly in the second interview. Analysts not ed that: “biases in labor force status due to recall are quite high and at an unacceptable level of quality.” A follow-up study found the same pattern among both men and women. Apparently, recall errors are a serious problem even over as brief an interval as 1 month. The question of “recall bias” has also been the sub ject of an inquiry by Statistics Canada in relation to its retrospective Annual Work Patterns Survey.4 During January of each year since 1978, the Canadian statisti cal agency has conducted this supplemental survey, in which respondents are asked labor force questions per taining to the previous calendar year. The Canadian survey differs from the U. S. Work Experience Supple ment in that persons are asked to describe their labor force activities in each of the 12 preceding months. For example, the Canadian respondent actually identifies “July” as a month in which he or she worked or. looked for work. When Canadian analysts compared the an swers to these retrospective questions to their ongoing monthly labor force surveys, they found a “substantial, systematic recall bias.” In the early months of the year, Exhibit 1. Derivation of annual average unemployment from the monthly CPS and from the annual Work Experience Survey Based on monthly measurements: « . 180 reports Hc • Annual average = ----------— = 15 unemployment 12 months Based on retrospective annual survey: • Of 155 persons with any unemployment, 130 were unemployed for 1 month (4.33 weeks) and 25 were unemployed for 2 months (8.67 weeks). • Annual average unemployment = (130 persons x 4.33 weeks) + (25 persons x 8.67 weeks) _ 52 weeks per year average from the monthly survey. It has previously been noted that these adjusted Work Experience Supplement estimates are usually less than the comparable annual average figures, particularly among women and youth.2However, the reasons offered for the overall understatement have been largely conjec tural. One plausible reason for the difference between the two sets of estimates is that respondents to the supple ment forget events which took place further in the past. Unless very recent or relatively long, a spell of unem ployment might be forgotten by the person who en countered it, and it is even more likely to be overlooked by another household member who may be answering the work experience questions for the entire household. This forgetting should be greater for unemployment Table 1. Comparison of adjusted Work Experience Survey unemployment with annual average of monthly unemployment from the c p s , 1967-79 [Numbers in thousands] Annual u n e m p lo y m e n t d a ta fro m W o rk E x p e rie n c e S u rve y Y ear T o ta l w ith u n e m p lo ym e n t A v e ra g e du ratio n o f A d ju s te d e s tim a te o f d uring th e y e a r u n e m p lo y m e n t (in w e e k s ) w e e k ly u n e m p lo y m e n t1 (D (2) (3 ) Annual a v e ra g e o f C P S u n e m p lo ym e n t P e rc e n t u n d e rs ta te m e n t2 fo r a ty p ica l w e e k (5 ) (4) 1967 ............................................................................ 1968 ............................................................................ 1969 ............................................................................ 11,561 11,372 11,741 10.05 9.55 9.73 2,234 2,088 2,197 2,976 2,817 2,832 24.9 25.9 22.4 1970 ............................................................................ 197 1............................................................................ 1972 ............................................................................ 1973 ............................................................................ 1974 ............................................................................ 1975 ............................................................................ 1976 ............................................................................ 1977 ............................................................................ 1978 ............................................................................ 1979 ............................................................................ 14,565 15,852 15,280 14,499 18,535 21,101 20,447 19,512 17,758 17,972 12.33 14.06 13.41 11.99 13.04 16.27 15.82 14.64 13.73 13.27 3,453 4,286 3,941 3,343 4,647 6,601 6,221 5,495 4,682 4,585 4,088 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7,830 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 15.5 14.2 18.6 22.3 8.5 15.7 14.6 19.8 22.6 23.1 Average ..................................................................... 16,167 12.91 4,136 5,069 19.1 1(Column 1xColumn 2J/52. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2(Column 3-Column 4)/Column 4. 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Research Summaries Table 2. Half-year averages of monthly unemployment from the cps, 1967-79 [Numbers in thousands] To al Men Women Year January through June July through December January through June July through December January through June July through December 1967 ............... 1968 ............... 1969 ............... 3,008 2,950 2,798 2,944 2,683 2,865 1,602 1,555 1,419 1,413 1,284 1,387 1,406 1,395 1,379 1,531 1,400 1,478 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ................ ................ ................ ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... 3,756 5,101 5,090 4,476 4,788 8,143 7,430 7,281 6,264 6,022 4,421 4,885 4,590 4,134 5,364 7,516 7,146 6,430 5,830 5,905 2,092 2,927 2,916 2,438 2,600 4,676 4,195 3,993 3,302 3,129 2,379 2,625 2,355 2,043 2,735 4,093 3,742 3,183 2,800 2,907 1,664 2,174 2,175 2,037 2,188 3,467 3,235 3,288 2,962 2,893 2,042 2,260 2,236 2,091 2,628 3,423 3,404 3,247 3,030 2,998 Average........... 5,162 4,978 2,834 2,534 2,328 2,447 unemployment is seriously understated, with the bias de clining and then reversing towards the end of the year. That is, some of the unemployment in January of the previous year is “forgotten,” while recent unemploy ment in December is overstated. Because the U. S. Work Experience Supplement relies on recall of events which took place as much as 15 months earlier, it seems logical to expect the forgetting of past unemployment to affect this survey as well. The following discussion illustrates one method with which this intuitive expectation can be tested. A new look at retrospective bias Table 1 lists annual averages from the monthly sur veys and the adjusted supplement estimates for the years 1967-79. As previously indicated, the retrospec tive unemployment figures from the supplement are consistently less than the annual averages from monthly data. For the labor force as a whole, the degree of un derstatement ranged from about 9 to 25 percent and av eraged 19.1 percent over the period.5 The understate ment appeared to be smaller during periods of increasing unemployment, such as 1974-75. The annual averages in table 1 treat each month equally, in the sense that each month constitutes onetwelfth of the average. If the Work Experience survey provided completely parallel estimates of both the inci dence and total duration of unemployment, figures from the supplement and from the monthly surveys should be exactly equal. Because the annual averages weight each month equally, it is perfectly acceptable to com bine the monthly data into two sets—January through June, and July through December—and treat them each as contributing one-half the annual average. While this treatment is nothing more than a mathematical identity, it provides a convenient tool which may be used to examine the retrospective bias of the March Digitized for 42 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis supplement. That is, each half year average of monthly information can be examined for correspondence with the Work Experience data. Table 2 shows the 6-month averages of monthly un employment figures for the total, and by sex, for the 1967-79 period. In general, total unemployment has been greater during the 6 six months of the year. Note, however, that this does not hold for women, who report higher levels of unemployment during the last 6 months. Because the corresponding adjusted supplement fig ures (not shown) all fall below these half-year averages, a simple comparison of the data would make it appear that the 6-month period with lower observed unemploy ment is “closer” to the Work Experience estimates. For men, the second half of the year is “more similar” to the supplement figures, while the first-half averages are closer for women. Obviously, each of the 6-month averages contributes one-half to the annual average. If the adjusted supple ment count is exactly analogous to the annual average of monthly data, then it too should be a composite of the two periods. That is, given: (1) Annual average = (0.5) January-June + (0.5) July-December unemployment 6-month average 6-month average and (2) Annual average = Adjusted Work Experience unemployment unemployment then (3) Adjusted Work = (0.5) January-June + (0.5) July-December Experience 6-month average 6-month average unemployment A simple test is proposed to examine this relation ship. The adjusted Work Experience figure, W , is re- gressed on the two 6-month averages as: We = a + b, (JJAV) + b2 (JDAV) + u where a is a constant term, JJAV is the 6-month aver age of the unemployment counts for January through June, JDAV is the average for July through December, and u is the disturbance term, assumed to be indepen dently distributed, with a zero mean and constant vari ance. Because both halves of the year should figure equally into the cumulative total, we should expect b, = b2. More specifically, if the adjusted supplement unemploy ment were an exact measure of the incidence and the length of unemployment, we should find a = 0, and b, = b2 = 0.5. That is, there would be no understate ment, and each half of the year would count equally to wards the cumulative total. This should hold regardless of any size differences in unemployment between the two halves of the year. Table 3 shows the coefficients obtained when the rela tionship was tested on total, male, and female unem ployment. The differences between expectations and the results of this simple test are stunning. In each case, the second half of the year appears to have much more weight in the adjusted supplement es timates than the first half. The coefficients for the sec ond half of the year are all greater than 0.5, and are significantly related to the degree of unemployment re ported in the Work Experience Supplement. On the oth er hand, the coefficients for the first half of the year indicate little relationship at all; no estimate of b t was significantly different from zero at a 90-percent confi dence level. All of the second-half coefficients are at least four times as great as those of the first half. These results seem to support the contention that un employment in the first half of the year is “forgotten” in the Work Experience Supplement relative to the more recent second half, which is closer to the week in March when supplement questions are asked. The Work Experience data still unexplainably understate the un- Table 3. Regression of adjusted Work Experience unemployment on half-year averages of monthly unemployment from the c p s , 1967-79 [t-statistics in parentheses] E stim a te s o f — A d ju s te d J a n u a ry -J u n e J u ly -D e c e m b e r c o e ffic ie n t c o e ffic ie n t », »3 -416.30 (-2.20) 0.07 (0.53) 0.84 (5.34) 0.98 -107.28 (-1.17) .18 (1.64) .81 (6.26) .98 -222.93 (-1.78) .06 (0.25) .73 (2.95) .96 W o rk E x p e rie n c e u n e m p lo y m e n t Total ............. M en.................... Women ............. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a R2 — — — employment of certain demographic groups by differen tial amounts. However, the foregoing analysis indicates that recall bias does play an important part in the gen eral shortfall, which appears strongly in evidence even when the data are disaggregated by sex. □ --------- FOOTNOTES ---------1Daniel B. Suits and Richard D. Morgenstern, “Duration as a Di mension of Unemployment,” Paper presented at the Econometric So ciety Meetings, Washington, December 1967. 2 Richard D. Morgenstern and Nancy S. Barrett, “The Retro spective Bias in Unemployment Reporting by Sex, Race and Age,” Journal o f the American Statistical Association, June 1974, pp. 355-57; and Wayne Vroman, “Measuring Annual Unemployment,” Unpub lished paper (Washington, The Urban Institute, 1979). 3See Louis E. Williams, “Methods Tests Phase III, First Report on the Accuracy of Retrospective Interviewing and Effects of Nonself Response on Labor Force Status,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, June 24, 1969; Charles Jones and Robert Aquilino, “Methods Tests Phase III, Second Report . . .,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Jan. 29, 1970; and Robert Aquilino, “Methods Tests Phase III, Third Report . . .,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Apr. 2 1971. These special studies should not be confused with the regular CPS reinterview program, in which a percentage of households are reinterviewed as a quality check on the data. The special program allowed separate study of proxy re sponse versus self-response, as well as “recall” bias. 4 For a description of the Canadian Annual Work Patterns Surveys and selected data from them, see Patterns o f Full- and Part-Year E m ploym ent and Unemployment: Results From the Annual Work Patterns Surveys fo r 1977 to 1980 (Statistics Canada, Catalog No. 71-531, forthcoming). 5These figures are slightly higher than estimates provided by Barrett and Morgenstern, and Vroman. One reason for the difference is that this study used unpublished Work Experience data which shows finer detail for duration-of-employment intervals. The mid points of the most detailed interval size available were used for all years. For the open-ended interval, “40 weeks or more” of unemploy ment, 44 weeks was used as the midpoint, rather than 46. The proce dure indicated was used by Morgenstern and Barrett in the original article on unemployment underreporting. Unpublished information on persons unemployed 27-39 weeks was also used. Easing the hardship of plant shutdowns The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ 1980-81 study of major collective bargaining agreements found that companies are providing more protection for covered employees af fected by plant shutdowns and movements, greater op portunities for interplant transfers, and more frequent relocation allowances. The study reviewed 1,593 agree ments, each covering 1,000 workers or more in private industry, excluding railroads and airlines. Among a sample of 522 of the contracts, 36 percent placed some restriction on management’s right to close or relocate plants—up from 22 percent in a 1966-67 study. Although the majority of the sample agreements were in the nonmanufacturing sector, more than twothirds of the contracts imposing restrictions were in manufacturing. 43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Research Summaries Interplant transfer provisions were included in 552, or 35 percent, of the 1,593 contracts surveyed. Such clauses appeared in 37 percent of the manufacturing agreements, and 33 percent of those in nonman ufacturing. When a similar study was conducted 13 years earlier, 32 percent of all agreements dealt with in terplant transfers. In 1980-81, provisions that required a company to pay all or part of an employee’s relocation expenses were found in 41 percent of the agreements having in Digitized 44 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis terplant transfer clauses, compared with 34 percent in 1966-67. In manufacturing, 36 percent of the contracts specified these payments, compared with 46 percent in nonmanufacturing. The detailed report on the study, Major collective bargaining agreements: plant movement, interplant trans fer, and relocation allowances, BLS Bulletin 1425-20, is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $4.75. □ Bilateral protection The mutual accommodations and adjustments to the hard issues of collective bargaining that the parties have displayed in regard to wages, employee benefits, and institutional issues is no less in evidence when one inspects the current status of the administrative issues in our labor-relations system. Management has increasingly recognized the job-protection and working-condition problems of the industrial employee and has made important concessions in these areas. At the same time, however, there has been reciprocal recognition on the part of unions that the protection of the employee cannot be at the ex pense of the destruction of the business firm. The axiom that employ ees cannot receive any protection from a business that has ceased to exist appears to have been fully appreciated by all but the extreme re calcitrants of the labor movement, and workable compromises have been possible with respect to the areas of seniority, discipline, and the various other dimensions discussed no less than in the case of previ ous topics. — A rthur A . Sl o a n e and F r e d W it n e y Labor Relations, 4th ed. (Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1981), p. 442. M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in April is based on contracts on file in the Bu reau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Employer and location Number of workers U nion1 Industry A ll-Steel, Inc. (Aurora, 111.) ......................................................................................... American Can Co. (W is c o n s in )................................................................................... A ssociated General Contractors of America, Inc.: Baton R ouge Chapter, 2 a g r e e m e n ts .................................................................. C hattanooga Chapter (Interstate) ........................................................................ East Tennessee K noxville Chapter, 2 a g re em en ts........................................... Furniture ........................................ P a p e r ................................................. Boilermakers ................................................. P a p erw o rk ers................................................. 1,300 1,650 C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. 4,500 2,500 3,600 Florida W est Coast C h a p te r ................................................................................... Lake Charles C h a p t e r ............................................................................................... Michigan C h a p te r .............................................. ......................................................... M id-Florida C h a p te r .................................................................................................. N ortheast Florida C h a p te r ...................................................................................... O hio Chapter, 2 a g r e e m e n ts.................................................................................... W isconsin C h a p t e r ..................................................................................................... A ssociated Producers & Packers, Inc. (W a sh in g to n )........................................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. Food p r o d u c ts ................................ Operating Engineers; C a rp en ters............ C a rp en ters....................................................... Operating Engineers; Laborers; Teamsters (Ind.) L a b o r e r s ......................................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... L a b o r e r s ......................................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... Laborers; C a rp en ters................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... B.F. Goodrich Co. (Interstate) .................................................................................... Bloom ingdale Brothers, Inc. (N ew York, N . Y . ) .................................................... R u b b e r .............................................. Retail t r a d e ..................................... 9,350 5,600 Building Trades Employers A ssociation and 1 other, 2 agreements (N ew York) Building Trades Employers A ssociation, 2 agreements (Interstate) .............. C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... Rubber W o rk er s........................................... Bloom ingdale D epartm ent Store Em ployees Union; D istributive Workers U nion (Ind.) Laborers; C a rp en ters.................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. Carpenters; Bricklayers ............................. 6,300 California Conference of M ason Contractors A ssociation, Inc........................... Carpenters Contractors A ssociation of Cleveland and 2 others (Ohio) . . . . Carpenters General Contracting Agreement (Georgia and Florida)2 ............ Central M aine Power Co. (A ugusta, M aine) ......................................................... Chicago Bear W holesalers A ssociation ( I llin o is ).................................................... Cleveland Plumbing Contractors A ssociation (Ohio) ........................................ C olt Industries, Inc., Firearms D ivision (Connecticut) ...................................... C onsolidated Papers, Inc. and Consow eld Corp. (W is c o n s in ).......................... Construction Employers A ssociation and 3 others, 2 agreements (Ohio and K entucky) Construction Employers A ssociation, Inc., and 2 others (K e n tu c k y )............ Contractors A ssociation of W estchester, Putnam and D utchess Counties, Inc. (N ew York) C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. U tilities ........................................... W holesale t r a d e ............................. C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... M iscellaneous m anufacturing . . P a p e r ................................................. C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... Bricklayers .................................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... Electrical Workers (IBEW ) .................... Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... P lu m b e r s ......................................................... A uto Workers ( I n d . ) .................................. P ap erw o rk ers................................................. L a b o r e r s .......................................................... 4,000 5,000 1,500 1,100 1,350 1,300 1,300 2,700 5,100 C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. L a b o r e r s ......................................................... Operating Engineers ................................... 2,100 1,250 Emhart Industries, Inc., Berlin Plant Hardware D ivision (Connecticut) . . . Fabricated metal products . . . . M a c h in ists ....................................................... 1,900 Firestone Tire & Rubber C o., Master Agreem ent (In te rsta te).......................... R u b b e r .............................................. Rubber W o r k e r s........................................... 15,250 General Foods Corp., Food Products D ivision (W oodbum , O r e g .) .............. General Telephone Co. of Indiana, Inc....................................................................... G oodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (I n te r s ta te )............................................................... G T E A utom atic Electric, Inc., 2 agreements (I llin o is ) ........................................ Food p r o d u c t s ................................ C o m m u n ic a tio n ............................. R u b b e r .............................................. Electrical p r o d u c t s ....................... Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... C om m unications Workers ....................... Rubber W o r k e r s ........................................... Machinists; Electrical Workers (IBEW ) 1,400 2,200 22,300 4,500 Hawaiian Telephone C o.................................................................................................... C o m m u n ic a tio n ............................. Electrical Workers (IBEW ) .................... 3,700 Ingersoll-R and Co. (Painted Post, N . Y . ) .................................................................. Iow a Beef Processors, Inc. (D akota City, N ebr.) ................................................. M a c h in e ry ........................................ Food p r o d u c t s ................................ Electrical Workers (U E ) .......................... Food and Commercial Workers ........... 1,600 2,300 Johns-M anville Sales Corp. (Waukegan, 1 1 1 .).......................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products. . Chemical W orkers K eystone Building Contractors A ssociation and Central Pennsylvania Subcontractors A ssociation (Pennsylvania) Lynchburg Foundry C o., 2 agreements (V irg in ia )................................................. 1,400 1,900 1,000 1,700 1,200 4,000 2,400 1,500 5,800 ...................................... 1,000 C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... C a rp en ters....................................................... 4,000 Primary m etals Steelworkers 3,200 ............................. ................................................. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 45 Continued— Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Employer and location Industry Number of workers U nion1 M agnavox Co., M agnavox Government & Industrial Electronics Co. (Ft. Wayne, Ind.) Mason Contractors A ssociation (Cleveland, O h i o ) .............................................. M eat Industry Independent Shops in C hicago (Illinois)2 ................................... M echanical Contractor’s A ssociation of Cleveland, Inc. (Ohio) .................... M ilton Bradley Co. (Springfield and East Long M eadow , M a s s . ) ................. Electrical p r o d u c t s ....................... Allied Industrial Workers ....................... 1,200 C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... Food p r o d u c ts ................................ C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... M iscellaneous manufacturing 1,950 2,950 1,700 1,800 N ational Electrical Contractors A ssociation, 2 agreements (M innesota and Ohio) Norris Industries, Price Pfister Brass M anufacturing Co., Inc. (California) Northeastern Florida Construction M anagement N egotiating Council . . . . N orthwestern M utual Life Insurance Co. (M ilwaukee, W is.) .......................... C o n s tr u c tio n ................................... Bricklayers ................................................... Food and Commercial Workers ............ P lu m b e r s ......................................................... Retail, W holesale, and Department Store Electrical Workers (IBEW ) .................... Fabricated metal products . . . . Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... 1,200 C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. Insurance ........................................ Operating Engineers .................................. Office and Professional Em ployees . . . . 1,000 1,500 Ohio Contractors A ssociation (I n te r s ta te )............................................................... Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corp. (South C a ro lin a )................................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. Stone, clay, and glass products . C a rp en ters...................................................... G lass Bottle B lo w e r s .................................. 1,400 1,400 Pan American W orld Airlines (Interstate)3 ............................................................ Public Service Electric & G as Co. (N ew J e r s e y ).................................................... Air transportation ....................... U tilities ........................................... Airline P i l o t s ................................................. Electric Workers ( I B E W ) .......................... 2,300 4,100 Quaker C ity Lumber Products A ssociation (Pennsylvania) Lumber ............................. 2,900 ........................................... C a rp en ters...................................................... 1,500 R alston Purina Co., Van Camp Sea Food Co. (D e la w a r e )................................ Food p r o d u c t s ................................ Real estate ..................................... Retail t r a d e ..................................... T e x tile s .............................................. M ining and q u a r ry in g ................. The Congress of Industrial U nions of Puerto R ico (Ind.) Service Em ployees ..................................... Food and Commercial Workers ........... C lothing and Textile W o r k e r s................. Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... 1,850 R ealty A dvisory Board on Labor R elations, Inc. (N ew Y o r k ) ....................... Retail Meat Cutters Contract (Kansas and M issouri)2 ..................................... R ock Hill Printing & Finishing Co. (South C a r o lin a )........................................ R ock Products & R eady M ixed Concrete Employers of Southern California Schiffli Lace & Embroidery Manufacturers A ssociation, Inc. (N ew Jersey) Southwestern Michigan Contractors A ssociation and 1 o t h e r .......................... Steel & Iron Contractors A ssociation (Cleveland, Ohio) ................................... Apparel Textile Workers ........................................... 1,000 C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. C o n s tr u c tio n .................................. L a b o r e r s ......................................................... Iron W o r k e r s ................................................. 1,450 2,100 Truck Owners A ssociation of Seattle, Inc. (W a s h in g to n )................................... T r u c k in g ........................................... Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... 1,000 Uniroyal, Inc., Production & Maintenance Employees (Interstate) .............. U nited Parcel Service, Inc., 8 agreements ( I n te r s ta te ) ........................................ U pholstered Furniture Manufacturers A ssociation of Southern California R u b b e r .............................................. T r u c k in g ........................................... Furniture ........................................ Rubber W o rk er s........................................... Teamsters ( I n d . ) ........................................... Upholsterers ................................................. 8,300 43,600 1,550 W agner Electric Corp. and 1 other (St. Louis, M o . ) ........................................... W aldbaum Inc., Food Mart D ivision (Connecticut and Western M assachusetts) Warner Lambert & Co. (M ichigan) ........................................................................... Electrical p r o d u c t s ....................... Retail t r a d e ..................................... Electrical Workers ( I U E ) .......................... Food and Commercial Workers ............ 1,700 1,500 C h e m ic a ls ........................................ Oil, Chemical and A tom ic W orkers . . . 1,100 1Affiliated with AFL-CIO except where noted as independent (Ind.). 2Industry area (group of companies signing same contract). 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ........................................... 3Information is from newspaper reports. 20,000 1,200 1,250 5,000 Developments in Industrial Relations Second round of concessions at Uniroyal The 4,200 Uniroyal, Inc., employees represented by the Rubber Workers have agreed to a second round of wage and benefit concessions expected to save the com pany $54.9 million. The first round, in July 1980, to taled $40 million. (See Monthly Labor Review, September 1980, p. 60.) Although Uniroyal earned a profit of $38.7 million during the first 9 months of 1981, compared with a $12.5 million loss during the first months of 1980, the company said the latest con cessions were needed to further its “long-term plan for financial viability.” Uniroyal also said the concessions will reduce the possibility that it will have to sell any of its operations to obtain money to strengthen its “core” operations. Under the new concession accord, the union agreed to accept the same new contracts as the union negoti ates with other major rubber companies when current agreements expire on April 20, 1982, modified to pro vide for up to $10 million a year less in wage and bene fit improvements. They also agreed to continue the suspension of 69 cents an hour in cost-of-living adjust ments that was initiated as part of the 1980 concession settlement (this amounts to about $8.3 million dollars a year, including the impact on those benefits that change when wages change). There was speculation that the action would lead the other companies to press the union for concessions to maintain their competitive position relative to Uniroyal, even though their compensation costs are reportedly about $5 an hour less than Uniroyal’s. These companies have won concessions at a few plants but not on a companywide basis as at Uniroyal. In return for the union concessions, Uniroyal agreed to— • Study its work force to determine if it has too many salaried employees. • Establish a joint council to discuss mutual problems. • Permit union president Milan Stone to make annual “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben and other members of the staff of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis presentations to the company’s board of directors. • Open its financial records to the union. • Establish a profit-sharing plan. • Seek comparable wage and benefits concessions from other unions that represent some of its employees and to impose cuts on nonunion employees. Gulf contract sets pattern for petroleum industry Gulf Oil Corp. and the Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers ( o c a w ) negotiated a 2-year contract which set a pattern for the petroleum refining, pipeline, and petro chemical industries. The terms covered more than 50,000 workers at 400 facilities owned by 100 compa nies. The only work stoppages were at the Texaco, Inc., and American Petrofina refineries in Port Arthur, Tex., where the companies declined to extend the current agreements on a day-by-day basis, pending completion of negotiations. The Texaco negotiations were further complicated by company efforts to reduce the lump-sum amount employees may choose to receive at retirement in lieu of receiving regular monthly pensions. The Gulf accord provided for a 9-percent wage in crease in January 1982 and for a 90-cent-an-hour in crease in January 1983 that will average about 7.1 percent. The union did not win its demand for a no layoff clause to protect workers from the recent job cut backs that have hit the industry. According to union president Robert F. Goss, the companies have closed 50 facilities since 1980, eliminating 5,000 jobs in OCAW bargaining units. The industry is currently operating at about 70 percent of capacity. The contracts also provide for the employers to raise their obligation for family health benefits by $17.50 a month in the first year and $13.50 in the second, bring ing the total to $151.50 at Gulf. Gulf employees, who had been paying $30 a month, will pay the full amount of any increase in premium above $151.50. Gulf’s obli gation for single employees’ health benefits also was raised, by $6 a month in the first year and $4 in the second. Gulf previously paid $47 a month, which cov ered the full premium cost fdr these employees. The agreements also call for the companies that have instituted pension improvements for nonunion employ ees to extend those improvements to unionized employ47 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Developments in Industrial Relations ees. Among the companies that settled were Cities Service, Exxon, Shell, and Arco. Shipyard employees paid for settling early After 3 months of negotiations, General Dynamics Corp.’s Electric Boat Division and 11 unions agreed on a 3-year contract that supersedes the balance of a con tract scheduled to expire July 1, 1982. In return for set tling early, the 12,000 covered employees at the Groton, Conn., shipyard received a 25-cent-an-hour wage in crease effective January 3. On July 1, 1982, they will re ceive an increase ranging from 20 cents an hour for those in the lowest pay grade to 75 cents for those in the highest grade, followed by a 30- to 65-cent increase July 1, 1983, and a 30- to 60-cent increase on July 1, 1984. All employees will also receive a 10-cent cost-ofliving adjustment on November 27, 1983, and Decem ber 2, 1984, regardless of the movement of the Consumer Price Index. Prior to the settlement, pay rates ranged from $4.75 for certain accounting clerks to $10.83 for some skilled trades workers, with about 70 percent of the workers clustered at the $8.97 rate for first class mechanics. The agreement also provided for each employee to re ceive a $100 payment in settlement of several thousand grievances they had filed over job assignments; a $2 in crease in the pension rate, raising the amount to $14 a month for each year of credited service; adoption of a “magic 85“ pension clause permitting workers to retire when their age and years of service total 85; and a change in the investment plan permitting employees to invest 10 percent of their earnings, instead of the previ ous 4 percent, with the company continuing to match half the amount. compared with $56 million in 1980. In conjunction with the settlement, McLouth an nounced a 27.5-percent reduction in its nonunion work force. A 10-percent pay reduction and a cut in paid va cation also were imposed on the retained nonunion em ployees. Many of McLouth’s problems resulted because the severe decline in automobile sales in the last few years has reduced the demand for flat-rolled steel, the compa ny’s major product. Court bans withdrawal from multiemployer talks In a 5 to 4 decision, the Supreme Court held that a contract bargaining stalemate does not justify employer withdrawal from a multiemployer collective bargaining association. The ruling validated the position of the Na tional Labor Relations Board, which permits employers to withdraw before contract bargaining begins, but per mits withdrawal only in “unusual circumstances” dur ing the talks. Generally, the board has held that bargaining impasses and strikes are not unusual circum stances. The court’s ruling was in accord with the position of most unions, which view the prohibition of employer withdrawals as vital to the collective bargaining process. On the other hand, employers generally contend that the prohibition gives unions an unfair advantage and will reduce the number of firms joining multiemployer units. The case arose in 1975 when Charles D. Bonanno Linen Service, Inc. of Medford, Mass., attempted to withdraw from an association of linen supply companies after bargaining with a Teamsters local reached an im passe, leading to a strike against the Bonanno company and a lockout of employees by the other companies. Employee concessions aid steel company McLouth Steel Corp.’s efforts to reorganize its opera tions under protection of Federal bankruptcy laws were aided when its 3,000 employees represented by the Steelworkers agreed to give up a 15- to 47-cent an hour wage increase scheduled for October 1982, all of the quarterly cost-of-living adjustments that would normal ly be effective in 1982, and $1.45 in wage increases that had gone into effect in the last 5 months of 1981. They also voted to give up 3 of the 11 holidays scheduled for 1982, and a week of vacation. McLouth estimated that the changes would save about $14 million in labor costs in 1982. The settlement provides for restoration of wages and benefits to the proper level at the end of 1982— subject to court approval—if McLouth resumes dividend pay ments. The company lost about $40 million in 1981, 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Plumbers accept lower pay In the Portland, Oreg., area, members of Plumbers Local 51 agreed to lower compensation for residential and repair work to counter a 38-percent unemployment rate for the local’s 900 members. The manager of one plumbing company said the action will enable him to compete more effectively with nonunion companies by reducing the cost for a service call to $35-$40, from the $48.90 “break even” rate previously charged. The new $14.39-an-hour compensation level the local negotiated with the Plumbing, Heating and Contractors Association consists of $12.25 in pay and $2.14 in em ployer payments for various benefits. The previous $23.74-an-hour level ($20.08 in pay and $3.66 for bene fits) continues to apply to commercial work. □ Book Reviews Jevons, labor, and the state, 100 years later— a centennial essay H. M. D outy W. Stanley Jevons’ The State in Relation to Labour1ap peared in 1882, the year of his death by drowning at the age of 46 off the south coast of England. Milton R. Konvitz, then professor of industrial and labor relations and of law at Cornell University, observed in 1948 that this book, together with some related lectures, “ . . . will always have significance for persons concerned with principles of social legislation and the theoretical as pects of labor relations.”2 The appearance of Jevons’ book was one indication, among many, that the final quarter of the 19th century, and perhaps the 1880’s in particular, marked ideological and institutional turning points for labor in the econo mies of both Great Britain and the United States.3 In essence, the book provided a case for limited govern ment intervention in the labor market within the con fines of a generally competitive economic system. It also contained analyses of particular issues, such as arbitra tion and conciliation in labor disputes, that have not lost their force. Such general observations as, “All clas ses of society are trade-unionist at heart, and differ chiefly in the boldness, ability, and secrecy with which they push their respective interests” have a distinct air of modernity. In his preface, Jevons acknowledges in debtedness to two Americans, Joseph D. Weeks and Francis A. Walker, and there is a text citation to a study coauthored by Carroll D. Wright, then chief of the Massachusetts Bureau of Labor Statistics, and later the first U.S. Commissioner of Labor Statistics. Jevons was well known in academic circles in the United States, and The State in Relation to Labour circulated here. Jevons was a man of extraordinary ability. He occupies a secure position in the history of economic doctrine through the development in his Theory of PolitH. M. Douty is a former Assistant Commissioner for Wages and In dustrial Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ical Economy (1871) of the marginal utility theory of value. But his interest also extended to a wide range of economic and social problems of his day. His first sub stantial publication (1865) dealt with the extent to which British industrial power rested on the exhaustible resource of coal. His investigations of problems of cur rency and finance, and of seasonal and cyclical move ments in business activity, were inductive studies representing an immense achievement at a time when statistical data were hand-tabulated. In his monetary studies, Jevons solved virtually all the basic problems in the construction of price indexes. Early in life, Jevons evidenced an interest in the working poor. His Letters and Journals (edited by his wife, 1886) indicate that Jevons, during his first years at University College in the early 1850’s, took long walks through the poorest parts of London in an effort to gain practical insight into their condition. He continued to take such walks in Sidney, Australia, where, from 1853 to 1858, he worked as assayer at the mint, after the bankruptcy of his father’s firm interrupted his for mal education. Among his early projects, of which ap parently only fragments were completed, were social studies of London and Sidney. More than a quarter of a century was to elapse before the appearance of his only major work relating directly to labor. In The State in Relation to Labour, Jevons begins with a chapter on the principles of industrial legislation. A firm believer in individual liberty, he nevertheless suggests that a difficult question arises “whether, out of respect to some supposed principle of individual liberty, the state ought to allow men to go on working and liv ing in the midst of needless risks.” He concludes that “the first step must be to rid our minds of the idea that there are any such things as abstract rights, absolute principles, indefeasible laws, inalterable rules, or any thing whatever of an eternal and inflexible nature.” He draws a useful distinction between science, as embodied in general economic principles, and the adaptations and exceptions to principles that may be necessary for the practical betterment of society. As a Benthamite, Jevons argues that the state is justi fied in passing any law “which, without ulterior conse quences, adds to the sum of total happiness.” Social 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Book Reviews legislation “becomes a complex calculus of good and evil. All is a question of probability and degree.” Jevons warns that legislation should be approached cautiously in an effort to anticipate its consequences. It should be rooted in experience and, if possible, based upon direct experiment. He cites the Poor Law Reform of 1834 as an instance of legislation based upon much empirical evidence, and Robert Owen’s humane treat ment of the workers in his cotton mills in New Lanark as an experiment that greatly contributed to the origin of the Factories Acts. Surely Jevons would have ap proved of recent experiments in this country with in come maintenance programs.4 Other “experiments” relating to proposed labor legislation can be imagined. After legislation has been enacted, Jevons holds that “the common practice of . . . remedying its mistakes, oversights, omitted cases, inconveniences, or unforeseen wrongs in successive amendment acts is really an appli cation of the tentative or experimental method.” Jevons points to the need, in effect, for cost-benefit analysis in the enactment of social legislation. It is nec essary not only to show, by evidence or direct experi ment, that a measure will add to the sum of happiness within the community, but that there will not be an equivalent or greater subtraction of happiness. He be lieves this second factor is the more difficult to deter mine, but something for which science may offer some general guidance to the legislator, who “must gather to a focus the complex calculus of probabilities, the data of which are supplied by separate investigators.” In the case of social legislation, the science primarily involved is economics, but the legislator should not “attribute exclusive value to the economic probabilities, and over look moral, sanitary, political, and other probabilities.” After a discussion of general principles, Jevons con siders the practical application of legislation as it relates to the liberty of the citizen. He begins with legislation for the inspection of certain commodities such as butter and meat, for weights and measures, and for sanitation. In these cases, the general criterion is the ability of the purchaser or consumer to make an informed judgment. Where this ability is poor or lacking altogether, there is room for government intervention, which, if judiciously undertaken, may increase rather than diminish the liber ty of the individual. A similar effect may result from state intervention in the labor market. Jevons notes that in England prior to the 19th century, “Legislation with regard to labour has almost always been class legislation . . . the effort of some dominant body to keep down a lower class, which had begun to show inconvenient aspirations.” The Fac tories Acts, which had their origin in 1802, were differ ent. He terms their consolidation in 1878 “one of the brightest achievements of legislation in this or any other country.” This legislation had gradually improved the Digitized50 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hours of work of children, young people, and women in manufacturing employment. Jevons justifies this legisla tion on the pragmatic grounds that its effects on health, the education of children, and the family enhanced gen eral social well-being. He argues further that the princi ple of individual liberty would not preclude state imposition of labor standards on behalf of men, where, as in factory employment, workers must conform, in terms of working conditions, to the wishes of the ma jority, the will of the employers, or the customs of the trade “if it could be clearly shown that the existing cus toms are injurious to health, and that there is no other possible remedy.” Jevons presented a case, in light of 19th century con ditions, for the prohibition of factory employment of married women, especially those with young children. Out of such work, he wrote, “arises a considerable part of the shocking infantile mortality prevailing in many parts of the manufacturing districts, accompanied by much immorality and intemperance not unnaturally produced by the destruction of home influences.” He cites at some length a report on this subject issued in 1875 by the Massachusetts Bureau of Labor Statistics. Jevons’ discussion of trade union legislation is preced ed by an analysis of the economics of wage determina tion, drawing in part upon the work of the American economist, Francis A. Walker. He concludes that “the rate of wages which workmen can demand will depend upon the relation of supply to demand of [each] partic ular kind of labour. The demand depends upon the expected value of the produce.” He explicitly rejects the wages fund doctrine. There is certainly a foretaste of current human capital theory in his observation that one can argue, “In his education and training a skilled operative expends no small amount of capital, which re mains invested in him, to be repaid by an annuity of higher wages during his available working life.” But he rejects this argument when it involves restrictions on entry to employment, except where necessary in the public interest to ensure adequate worker training. His general view is that “whosoever tries to raise his own wages by preventing other persons from working at his trade, and thus makes his own kind of labour scarce, attempts to levy contributions from other people. It is simply a case of private taxation.” One might suppose that Jevons, in light of his general position on the adverse effects of trade restraint, would be sympathetic to state action to curb trade union inter vention in the labor market. But, for two reasons, he re jects any return to the Combination Laws, which were intended for this purpose, and which had been effective ly repealed many years earlier. The first reason was practical— “Our grandfathers and great-grandfathers, not to speak of earlier ancestors, did their best to crush all societies of working men, and ignominious was their failure. Are we likely to succeed better when the work ing-class order has become immensely increased in numbers, and increased almost equally in intelligence, organization, wealth, and general resources?” The sec ond reason was that the prohibition of trade unionism, even if possible, “would suppress with much evil many germs of good.” Jevons expresses approval of legisla tion, enacted in 1871 and 1876, that enabled British unions to register as friendly societies and thus secure protection of their funds and other property.5 At the same time, in a brief but interesting analysis, he assigned a minor role to strikes as a factor in wage advance, citing other causes, including changes in tech nology and in the capital-labor ratio, that had influ enced the upward movement in wages in Great Britain in recent years. He pointed out that the rise in wages had been general, and had extended to mercantile and bank clerks, government employees, and other unorga nized groups of workers. The law of supply and de mand had even operated advantageously for “domestic servants, an exceedingly numerous class of persons quite devoid of organization, and often of an age and character little suited, it might be thought, to enforce concessions.” Jevons’ book concludes with chapters on the law of industrial conspiracy, which considers the implications of the substantial repeal, in 1875, of the old common law doctrine regarding industrial disputes; on coopera tion and industrial partnership, where profit-sharing is suggested as the ultimate solution to labor-management conflict; and on arbitration and conciliation. On arbitra tion, Jevons comes out strongly for grievance or rights arbitration, as now found almost universally in labormanagement contracts in the United States but not in Britain. However, he argues against interest arbitration, because in the settlement of new contract terms, “There can be no certainty that the arbitrator knows better than the other parties.” He sees, however, an important role for conciliation, and remarks that “a trade dispute, especially when it has reached the acute phase of a strike, has little or nothing to do with economics . . . and there is no theoretic reason why conciliators should not be called in, if experience shows that they are usual ly able to compose matters.” He cites an 1879 report on arbitration and conciliation in England by an Ameri can, Joseph D. Weeks, as “probably the most valuable document published on the subject, describing both the successes and failures of the system,” and an 1881 re port on the same subject, also by Weeks, relating to New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Jevons’ final sug gestion is that “in all probability success will best be obtained in the settlement of trade disputes by keeping lawyers and laws as much at a distance as possible.” Jevons wrote with admirable clarity. His small book on the role of the state in labor standards and labor re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lations was intended primarily for the lay reader. It presented a case for legislative intervention in the indus trial relations process, based upon the careful accumula tion and evaluation of evidence and, if possible, the use of experimentation, and divorced, to use John Stuart Mill’s terminology when he repudiated the wages fund doctrine, from the unbending necessities of political economy. As such, it helped usher in the modern era in industrial relations in both Great Britain and the Unit ed States. In this country, it was cited as late as 1905 as supplementary reading in the admirable text on labor problems by Thomas Adams and Helen Sumner.6 And after 100 years it can still be read with interest and profit. D --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1W. Stanley Jevons, The State in Relation to Labour (London: Mac millan, 1882). The book went through four editions, the most recent in 1910. 2See Milton R. Konvitz, “An Empirical Theory of the Labor Movement: W. Stanley Jevons,” The Philosophical Review, January 1948, p. 60. 3In terms of ideology, a major development was the attack on and gradual abandonment among economists of the wages fund doctrine in both Great Britain and the United States. Institutionally, a relative ly stable trade union movement had been created by 1880 in Great Britain through “new model” unions mainly of skilled workers, fea turing high dues, sickness and other benefits, and apprenticeship pro grams. Union legal disabilities had been removed, and protective legislation for women and children in factory employment had been consolidated and improved. In the United States, the 1880’s witnessed the meteoric rise and fall of the Knights of Labor, the establishment of the American Federation of Labor as a permanent trade union cen ter, and the growth of labor statistics through State agencies and a Federal bureau. 4 Robert A. Moffitt, “The negative income tax: would it discourage work?” M onthly Labor Review, April 1981, pp. 23-27. 5Jevons’ views on trade unionism were also set forth in an address to the Trades Unionists’ Political Association, Manchester, in 1868. The address was published after his death by his wife in a collection of papers entitled M ethods o f Social Reform (London, Macmillan, 1883), pp. 101-21. 6Thomas Sewall Adams and Helen L. Sumner, Labor Problems (New York, Macmillan, 1905), p. 501. Probing labor market dualism Dualism and Discontinuity in Industrial Societies. By Suzanne Berger and Michael J. Piore. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1980. 159 pp. $17.95. In this work, Michael Piore continues to develop the theory of labor market dualism which he was among the first to articulate in the late 1960’s and early 1970’s. Here he identifies the sources of dualism as located in the division of labor, the instability of market econo mies, and the rigidities of large-scale production. Suzanne Berger lends a political dimension to the analy sis: a dual labor force is fostered not only by economic conditions requiring cheap labor or the performance of 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Book Reviews “undesirable” jobs. It is also associated with the surviv al of “traditional” social classes or strata of small entre preneurs. The authors in effect reject conventional (that is, neoclassical) approaches to labor market theory. They hold that the segmentation of labor markets, exempli fied by the “internal” labor markets of corporate and government bureaucracies, or by the relegation of racial and national minorities to the less desirable and less stable jobs, cannot be explained by the assumption that individuals seek to maximize their personal well-being in a presumptively competitive society. “In our perspec tive,” they write, “the variations in human behavior and values are explained as responses elicited by different in stitutions, not as differences intrinsic to the persons who manifest them.” Thus, they approach labor market analysis from the demand side. The reactions of work ers to their labor market situation are never ignored— Piore devotes long chapters to them in his other recent work, Birds of Passage, in which he deals with migrant and immigrant workers, the prime examples of the work force that populates secondary labor markets. Yet, the authors see the dominant force in labor markets as orig inating among those who organize and control the pro duction process, and in whose interest it is to secure a “variable” labor force so as to complement their “fixed” capital. True, labor, by means of collective bargaining, can to some extent impose the requirement of stable employment. But the persistence, even expansion, of dual labor markets demonstrates the resistance of own ers of capital to accept labor as a “fixed” factor. The fragmentation of jobs incident to the division of labor in the workplace represents an added source of demand for “variable” labor: although meant to raise efficiency, the capacity demand for which such fragmentation is ultimately designed cannot be sustained over the busi ness cycle. Labor’s struggle for job tenure and job in tegrity thus tends to be rendered ineffective when it is not repressed. The assumption of a harmony of interests between labor and capital, implied by neoclassical labor market theory, is vitiated. The dual labor market theory and the conflicts it pos tulates is akin to aspects of Marxism. Yet, the authors reject the relevant Marxist teachings of struggle be tween broadly defined classes, inasmuch as their own concerns— the differentiation within both the class of workers and the class of capitalists—are not central to Marxism. In fact, the persistence of the “traditional” sector of small, often still craft-based entrepreneurs and, more generally, of a large self-employed middle class in all industrial and industrializing countries has been a puzzle to scholars who accept Marxism as paradigmatic social science. They have conventionally assumed that this strata of capitalist society is doomed to disappear. Berger and Piore in contrast believe that small entrepre Digitized for 52 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis neurs constitute a permanent feature of industrial soci ety, essential to its survival. Cleavages, whether they in volve racial and national minorities; the traditional and the modern sector; secondary or primary workers; small business or large corporations—cleavages transcend, so the authors argue, the “unitary” forces in importance. Hence they reject the idea of modernization— that is, the notion that social structures in time adapt to the modes of large-scale production and distribution. Like wise, the authors dismiss the idea that industrial societ ies tend to converge, that is, become similar in structure, for the cleavages mentioned— and they are major themes of the work reviewed here—extend his torically across all these societies, and create profound differences in the ways the problems of industrialization are dealt with. Now these are interesting propositions, but they are not consistently argued. The authors indeed recognize the universality of the sources of labor market dualism, yet they insist that the operation of dual labor markets, and the ways by which they resolve the problems that give rise to them in the first place, are specific to indi vidual societies, hence differ from one society to the other, since value systems and the status of the tradi tional sector (or its equivalent in such countries as the United States where no traditional sector exists) have undergone different historical evolutions. But why do those problems— uncertainty, cyclical instability, frag mentation of work— occur and recur everywhere, not withstanding the supposed historical individuality of given societies and social processes? Whence the univer sality of dual labor markets (or, more generally, of wage labor—a phenomenon that stamps like no other the capitalistic or, to use a more aseptic term, the mod ern character of industrial societies)? Isn’t the historical individuality of the various industrial societies dimin ished by the supersession of the universal processes, of which dual labor markets are one manifestation? True, Marx was not much concerned about the diver sity and segmented nature of labor markets; nor were any of his contemporaries. However, he established the centrality of wage labor to industrial society and its de velopment. This development stems from the accumula tion of capital. The accumulation of capital is essentially intolerant of national borders and cultural barriers to its expansion. It is a process that subordi nates “cleavages,” rather than being subordinate to them. As Piore and Berger themselves show, labor mar ket segmentation and secondary labor markets represent decidedly subordinate processes; they arise from the re current need to deal with the rigidities and uncertainties generated by the industrial system. It is not precluded that the progressive cheapening of the supply of labor that is associated with the spread of dualism will gradu ally undermine some of the foundations of industrialism (for example, consumer durables manufacture). But if as this happens, the primary labor force should shrink, and the secondary labor force come to dominate the la bor market, which would thus lose its “dual” character, a new epoch in the evolution of the labor market would emerge. Both authors cite the events in Italy in 1969, when widespread industrial protests and strikes transformed labor-management relations. These could no longer be confined to wage issues, they now began to involve broadranging negotiations which, for the first time, con cerned work discipline, promotion and discharge, work allocation, as well as work content and technology, as matters bearing upon job satisfaction. All this spelled a shift of power to the workers and their organizations, and a corresponding loss of management control over the production process. For example, management was rendered unable to discipline workers for infractions of work rules or tardiness, or to institute layoffs when de mand slowed. “The response of management to this rigidification has been an effort to restore its flexibility by transferring productive activity to a secondary sec tor.” In time, this meant what Berger calls a “massive decentralization of industrial production.” What effects this shift had upon the primary work force, Piore and Berger do not discuss, but it surely weakened it gravely. Management’s ability to weaken the primary work force which it employs is often noted by Piore. It un dermines his argument bearing on the cleavage within the working class and raises questions about the validi ty of the entire dual labor market theory. At the risk of repeating some thoughts alluded to earlier, I quote from Piore’s Birds o f Passage, where he comments upon la bor’s unceasing effort to impose “upon the system the obligation to treat it . . . like a fixed factor” — so that it cannot be used to compensate for market-caused instabilities in demand, nor for efficiency-related chang es in the workplace. But management resists this effort and labor remains unable to dominate the process of production so as to safeguard its interests. Where it does begin to succeed, the burden of rigidity and uncer tainty may be shifted to a secondary work force (the role assumed by migrants and immigrants in Birds of Passage, but by broader strata in the book here re viewed). It may well be that organized labor often helps promote this shift so as to secure the tenure of its mem bers. But its primary position is not necessarily assured thereby. This, Piore himself confirms, pointing to such management practices as avoidance of permanent hiring by using temporary help; subcontracting; long proba tion periods; locating of plants in nonunion areas; and hiring of youths and women, who appear to have a low er propensity than men to join unions. The status of the primary work force is thus, if not uniformly threatened, certainly at risk. The differentiation between a primary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and secondary work force—already made less sharp by Piore’s dividing the primary work force into two or three segments characterized by a hierarchy of intellec tual skills—loses force. Piore also theorizes on the technological foundations of dual labor markets. There are many interesting ob servations in the pertinent chapter, but his argument is not clear; a case for the existence of a “dualistic” tech nology is not convincingly set forth. As I understand it, the argument briefly runs as follows: Adam Smith relat ed the division of labor in the workplace— and there fore productivity— to the expansion of the market. That is, the division of labor would become ever more re fined, and productivity would rise, as the market expanded. The worker would innovate labor-saving ap paratus as he became more specialized, permitting fur ther increases in productivity. Smith’s theory did not leave room for demand uncertainty and instability. The large-scale enterprise, which the extent of the market eventually permitted and required, adjusts to demand uncertainty by attuning its output to only the stable segment of the market, leaving the unstable segment to smaller firms. The “technological base for duality” re sides in the declining average cost curves of the large firm and the traditional U-shaped average cost curves of the smaller firm. There is much evidence for the validity of the proposition that there are stable and unstable segments of demand, and I will not dwell upon this question. However, it is not at all clear how this tech nological dualism is related to the duality of the labor market. Insofar as the concepts of the primary and the sec ondary labor market have anything to do with skill hi erarchies, one could, in fact, argue the opposite of what is implied by Piore— namely that the rise of manufac tures signified the rise of a “secondary” work force that gradually displaced the “primary” work force of arti sans and craftsmen. Smith’s famous example of the pin factory demonstrates what the division of labor meant in terms of simplifying and thus deskilling the task of the worker. Yet, this became the dominant trend in manufacturing, a trend that was accentuated as machin ery was introduced, which the great mass of workers tended and only a minority of workers and engineers built. The introduction of assembly lines simply contin ued the trend toward simplification of tasks. Job spe cialization and task simplification have been pervasive tendencies in all commercialized industrial and service activities; they do not appear to be related to labor market dualism. Nor is size of enterprise necessarily a characteristic of such dualism: until perhaps the mid-1940’s, ladies’ garment workers would have had to be counted among “primary” workers despite the small size of the firms for which they worked, thanks chiefly to the strength of their union and the ethnic homogene53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Book Reviews ity of its membership. The evolution of the ladies’ gar ment work force and of its conditions does, however, il lustrate another aspect of Piore’s theory: the industry’s average hourly wage declined from above 100 percent of the total nondurables average in the 1940’s to 75 per cent in the mid-1970’s, as plants located in areas where the union was weak or could not organize. The conception of labor market dualism originated in a search to explain low wages and job instability among minorities in the late 1960’s and early 1970’s. Workers in the primary sector appeared then to be much more secure in their tenure than today. The theory could not likely have been formulated in the 1930’s when unem ployment, job instability, and low pay was the lot of a very large proportion of workers. The line between pri mary and secondary labor markets will probably again blur, as workers in the primary sector—for example, in automotive and steel manufacturing— are drawn into the maelstrom of insecurity. — H orst B rand Office of Productivity and Technology Bureau of Labor Statistics Publications received Economic and social statistics Lutz, Mark A., “Stagflation as an Institutional Problem,” Journal of Economic Issues, September 1981, pp. 745-68. Industrial relations Barrett, Jerome T. and Lucretia Dewey Tanner, “The FM CS Role in Age Discrimination Complaints: New Uses of Me diation,” Labor Law Journal, November 1981, pp. 74554. Feldman, Roger and Richard Scheffler, “The Union Impact on Hospital Wages and Fringe Benefits,” Industrial Rela tions Review, January 1982, pp. 196-206. Freeman, Richard B., Union Wage Practices and Wage Disper sion Within Establishments. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 35 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 752.) $1.50. Gacek, Stanley A., “The Employer’s Duty to Bargain on Ter mination of Unit Work,” Labor Law Journal, November 1981, pp. 699-724. Hendricks, Wallace E. and Lawrence M. Kahn, “The Deter minants of Bargaining Structure in U.S. Manufacturing Industries,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Janu ary 1982, pp. 181-95. Hogler, Raymond L., “Equal Pay, Equal Work, and the Unit ed States Supreme Court,” Labor Law Journal, Nov ember 1981, pp. 737-44. Jacobs, James B., “The Role of Military Forces in Public Sec tor Labor Relations,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1982, pp. 163-80. Medoff, James L. and Katharine G. Abraham, Involuntary Terminations Under Explicit and Implicit Employment Contracts. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1981, 58 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 634.) $1.50. Neufeld, Maurice F., “The Persistence of Ideas in the Ameri can Labor Movement: The Heritage of the 1830s,” Indus trial and Labor Relations Review, January 1982, pp. 207- Drazen, Allan, Daniel S. Hamermesh, Norman P. Obst, Quantity and Elasticity Spillovers Onto the Labor market: Theory and Evidence of Sluggishness. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 29 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 676.) $1.50. Hausman, Jerry A., Stochastic Problems in the Simulation of Labor Supply. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 33 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 788.) $1.50. Phelps, Edmund S., “Okun’s Micro-Macro System: A Review Article,” Journal of Economic Literature, September 1981, pp. 1065-73. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Measurement of Subjective Phe nomena. Edited by Denis F. Johnston. Washington, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1981, 193 pp. (Special Demographic Analyses cds -80-3.) Stock No. 003-024-03167-1. $5.50, Superintendent of Docu ments, Washington 20402. U.S. Department of Transportation, National Transportation Statistics: Annual Report. Cambridge, Mass., U.S. Depart ment of Transportation, Research and Special Programs Administration, Transportation Systems Center, Trans portation Information Management Division, 1981, 220 pp. Stock No. 050-000-00213-6. $7, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Industry and government organization Caves, Douglas W., Laurits R. Christensen, Joseph A. Swanson, “Economic Performance in Regulated and Unregulated Environments: A Comparison of U.S. and Canadian Railroads,” The Quarterly Journal of Econom ics, November 1981, pp. 559-81. “Industry Outlooks, 1982,” Business Week, Jan. 11, 1982, be ginning on p. 61. Sloan, Frank A. “Regulation and the Rising Cost of Hospital Care,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, November 1981, pp. 479-87. Economic growth and development Bell, Daniel and Irving Kristol, eds., The Crisis in Economic Theory. New York, Basic Books, Inc., Publishers, 1981, 226 pp. $15.50, cloth; $6, paper. International economics Ball, Robert, “Europe’s Durable Unemployment Woes,” For tune, Jan. 11, 1982, beginning on p. 66. 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20. Silverman, Lewis H. and Michael J. Soltis, “Weingarten: An Old Trumpet Plays the Labor Circuit,” Labor Law Jour nal, November 1981, pp. 725-36. Weiler, Paul C. and others, Mega Projects: The Collective Bargaining Dimension. Ottawa, Ontario, Canadian Con struction Association, 1981, 595 pp. Bertrand, O., J. Timar, F. Achio, “The Planning of Training in the Third World,” International Labour Review, September-October 1981, pp. 531-44. Lipsey, Robert E. and Merle Yahr Weiss, “Foreign Produc tion and Exports in Manufacturing Industries,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, November 1981, pp. 488-94. Smith, E. Owen, ed., Trade Unions in the Developed Econo mies. New York, St. Martin’s Press, Inc., 1981, 218 pp. $32.50. “The 67th Session of the International Labour Conference, June 1981, International Labour Review, November-December 1981, pp. 667-92. Watanabe, Susumu, “Multinational Enterprises, Employment and Technology Adaptations,” International Labour Re view, November-December 1981, pp. 693-710. Labor and economic history Pursell, Carroll. “Women Inventors in America,” Technology and Culture, July 1981, pp. 545-49. Sinclair, Bruce with James P. Hull, A Centennial History of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 1880-1980. Buffalo, N.Y., 1980, 256 pp. $15, University of Toronto Press, Buffalo, N.Y. Wright, Gavin, “Cheap Labor and Southern Textiles, 1880— 1930.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 1981, pp. 605-29. Labor force Brown, Charles, Curtis Gilroy, Andrew Kohen, Time-Series Evidence of the Effect of the Minimum Wage on Youth Employment and Unemployment. Cambridge, Mass., Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 41 pp. $1.50. Grant, James H. and Daniel S. Hamermesh, Labor Market Competition Among Youths, White Women and Others. Reprinted from The Review of Economics and Statistics, August 1981, pp. 354-60. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981. ( n b e r Reprint, 204.) Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier, “The Impact of Wages and Unemployment on Youth Enrollment and La bor Supply,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, No vember 1981, pp. 553-60. Lundberg, Shelly, The Added Worker Effect: A Reappraisal. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1981, 40 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 706.) $1.50. McCarthy, Maureen E. and Gail S. Rosenberg, with Gary Lefkowitz, Work Sharing: Case Studies. Kalamazoo, Mich., W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Re search, Inc., 1981, 277 pp., bibliography. $9.95, cloth; $7.95, paper. Medoff, James L. and Katharine G. Abraham, Unemployment, Unsatisfied Demand for Labor, and Compensation Growth in the United States, 1956-1980. Cambridge, Mass., Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 48 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 781.) $1.50. Princeton University, Employee Absenteeism. Prepared by Kevin Barry. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University, In https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dustrial Relations Section, November 1981, 4 pp. (Select ed References, 208.) 50 cents. Schlottmann, Alan M. and Henry W. Herzog, Jr., “Employment Status and the Decision to Migrate,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, November 1981, pp. 590-98. Scotland, Manpower Services Commission, Shetland Manpow er Studies. Edinburgh, Manpower Services Commission, Office for Scotland, 1981, 80 pp. Standing, Guy, “The Notion of Voluntary Unemployment,” International Labour Review, September-October 1981, pp. 563-79. Management and organization theory Baron, Alma S. and Ken Abrahamsen, “Will He—Or Won’t He—Work With a Female Manager?” Management Re view, November 1981, pp. 48-53. Bolt, James F. and Geary A. Rummler, “How to Close the Gap in Human Performance,” Management Review, Janu ary 1982, pp. 38-44. Cameron, Kim S. and David A. Whetten, “Perceptions of Or ganizational Effectiveness Over Organizational Life Cycles,” Administrative Science Quarterly, December 1981, pp. 525-44. Clegg, Stewart, “Organization and Control,” Administrative Science Quarterly, December 1981, pp. 545-62. Gehrman, Douglas B., “Objective Based Human Resources Planning,” Personnel Journal, December 1981, pp. 94246. Hoy, Frank W., Wray Buchanan, Bobby C. Vaught, “Are Your Management Development Programs Working?” Personnel Journal, December 1981, pp. 953-57. Littlejohn, Robert F., “Team Management “A How-to-Approach to Improved Productivity, Higher Morale, and Longer Lasting Job Satisfaction,” Management Review, January 1982, pp. 23-28. Machovec, Frank M. and Howard R. Smith, “Fear Makes the World Go Round: The ‘Dark’ Side of Management,” Management Review, January 1982, pp. 8-17. Novick, Harold J., “How to Keep Managerial Mistakes from Turning Into Organizational Failures,” Management Re view, November 1981, pp. 56-61. Rowe, David L., “How Westinghouse Measures White Collar Productivity,” Management Review, November 1981, pp. 42-47. Staw, Barry M., Lance E. Sandelands, Jane E. Dutton, “Threat-Rigidity Effects in Organizational Behavior: A Multilevel Analysis,” Administrative Science Quarterly, December 1981, pp. 501-24. Weihrich, Heinz, “A Hierarchy and Network of Aims: Get ting More Out of m b o , ” Management Review, January 1982, pp. 47-54. Monetary and fiscal policy Cacy, J. A., “Monetary Policy in 1981 and 1982,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, December 1981, pp. 3-14. 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Book Renews Johnson, Terry R. and John H. Pencavel, “Forecasting the Effects of a Negative Income Tax Program,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1982, pp. 221-34. Mintz, Jack M., “Some Additional Results on Investment, Risk Taking, and Full Loss Offset Corporate Taxation with Interest Deductibility,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 1981, pp. 631-42. Pakes, Ariel, Patents, R&D, and the Stock Market Rate of Re turn. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 45 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 786.) $1.50. Productivity and technological change Bernhardt, Irwin, “Sources of Productivity Differences Among Canadian Manufacturing Industries,” The Review of Eco nomics and Statistics, November 1981, pp. 503-12. Berndt, E. R. and G. C. Watkins, Energy Prices and Productivi ty Trends in the Canadian Manufacturing Sector, 195776. Ottawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Canada, 1981, 42 pp., bibliography. $4.95, Canada; $5.95, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publish ing Center, Supply and Services Canada, Ottawa. Kahaner, Larry, “How Technology Is Changing Journalism,” Washington Journalism Review, December 1981, pp. lb21 . Moomaw, Ronald L., “Productivity and City Size: A Critique of the Evidence,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 1982, pp. 675-88. Nelson, Richard R., “Research on Productivity Growth and Productivity Differences: Dead Ends and New Depar tures,” Journal of Economic Literature, September 1981, pp. 1029-64. Stokes, H. Kemble, Jr., “An Examination of the Productivity Decline in the Construction Industry,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, November 1981, pp. 495-502. Wages and compensation Boschen, John F. and Herschel I. Grossman, Employment Ef fects of the Federal Minimum Wage. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 38 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 812.) $1.50. Chelius, James R., “The Influence of Workers’ Compensation on Safety Incentives,” Industrial and Labor Relations Re view, January 1982, pp. 235-42. Ehrenberg, Ronald G. and Paul L. Schumann, Compliance with the Overtime Pay Provisions of the Fair Labor Stan dards Act. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1981, 39 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 815.) $1.50. Hamermesh, Daniel S., The Interaction Between Research and Public Policy: The Case of Unemployment Insurance. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1981, 12 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 771.) $1.50. Lindroth, Joan, “Inflation, Taxes and Perks: How Compensa tion Is Changing,” Personnel Journal, pp. 934-40. Nollen, Stanley D., New Work Schedules in Practice: Manag ing Time in a Changing Society. New York, Van Nostrand Reinhold Co., 1982, 281 pp. (Work in America Institute Series.) $18.95. Digitized 56 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ohio Bureau of Employment Services, Annual Salaries of Sal aried State Legislators, 1981. Columbus, Ohio Bureau of Employment Services, Division of Research and Statis tics, 1981, 10 pp. Pencavel, John H. The Effects of Incomes Policies on the Fre quency and Size of Wage Changes. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 24 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 778.) $1.50. Schonberger, Richard J., and Harry W. Hennessey, Jr., “Is Equal Pay for Comparable Work Fair?” Personnel Jour nal, December 1981, pp. 964-68. Starr, Gerald, “Minimum Wage Fixing: International Experi ence With Alternative Roles,” International Labour Review, September-October 1981, pp. 545-62. Swaigen, John Z., Compensation of Pollution Victims in Cana da. Ottawa, Ontario, Economic Council of Canada, 1981, 91 pp., bibliography. $7.95, Canada: $9.55, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publish ing Center, Supply and Services Canada, Ottawa. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Area Wage Surveys: Boston, Massachusetts, Metropolitan Area, August 1981 (Bulletin 3010-48, 52 pp., $3.25); Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York, Metropolitan Area, September 1981 (Bulletin 301049, 30 pp., $2.50); Trenton, New Jersey, Metropolitan Area, September 1981 (Bulletin 3010-50, 39 pp., $3). Washington, 1981, Available from the Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402, g p o bookstores, or b l s regional offices. Work in America Institute, New Work Schedules for a Chang ing Society: A Work in America Institute Policy Study and Executive Summary. Scarsdale, N.Y., Work in America Institute, 1981, 128 and 55 pp., respectively. Welfare programs and social insurance Burtless, Gary and Jerry A. Hausman, “Double-Dipping”: The Combined Effects of Social Security and Civil Service Pen sions on Employee Retirement. Cambridge, Mass., Nation al Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1981, 30 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 800.) $1.50. Danziger, Sheldon, Robert Haveman, Robert Plotnick, “How Income Transfer Programs Affect Work, Savings, and the Income Distribution: A Critical Review,” Journal of Eco nomic Literature, September 1981, pp. 975-1028. Freeman, Roger A., The Wayward Welfare State. Stanford, Calif., Stanford University, Hoover Institution Press, 1981, 528 pp. (Hoover Press Publication, 249.) $35. Jenkins, Michael, “Social Security Trends in the EnglishSpeaking Caribbean,” International Labour Review, Sep tember-October 1981, pp. 631-43. Morrison, Malcolm H., ed., Economics of Aging: The Future of Retirement. New York, Van Nostrand Reinhold Co., 1982, 294 pp. $24. Worker training and development Doeringer, Peter B. and Bruce Vereulen, eds., Jobs and Train ing in the 1980s: Vocational Policy and the Labor Market. Boston, Martinus Nijhoff Publishing, 1981, 206 pp. $21. Evans, Richard and Robert Weinstein, “Ranking Occupations as Risky Income Prospects,” Industrial and Labor Rela tions Review, January 1982, pp. 252-59. □ Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics .................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-81 Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ..................... Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................... Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ................................... Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ............................. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted . . Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ............................................. Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Employment by industry, 1951-80 ..................................................................................................................................... Employment by State ............................................................................................................................................................. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group ............................................................................. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ..................................... Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date ..................................................................................................... Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group ................................................................................ Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1950-80 ........................................................................................................ W e e k ly h o u r s, b y in d u s tr y d iv is io n a n d m a jo r m a n u fa c tu r in g g r o u p ............................................................................................ Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ..................................................................... Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division, seasonally adjusted ............................................................................. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ..................................................................... Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1961 to date ................................................... 59 59 60 61 62 63 63 63 64 65 65 66 67 68 68 69 70 71 72 72 73 74 Unemployment insurance data. Definitions ............... 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations Price data. Definitions and notes ..................................................... 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. Consumer Price Index, 1967-80 ............................................................................. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items Consumer Price Index, cross classification of region and population size class Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ............................................. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ................................ Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................ Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ................... 76 77 77 83 84 85 86 88 88 88 Productivity data. Definitions and notes ..................................................................................... 31. 32. 33. 34. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-81 ................ Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 ........................................... Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ................... Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . Labor-management data. Definitions ................................................... 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date . 36. Effective wage rate adjustments in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date ........................................................................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 57 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2-7 are revised in the March 1982 issue of the Review to reflect experience through 1981. The original estimates have also been revised to 1970 to reflect 1980 census population controls. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifi cations in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -11 method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in The X - l l ARIM A Seasonal Adjustm ent M ethod by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, Feb ruary 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data in tables 11, 13, 16, and 18 begins with the August 1980 issue using the X -ll ARIM A seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal fac tors for productivity data in tables 33 and 34 are usually intro duced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The B L S H andbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2070, provides mote detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the M onthly Labor Review. More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in Em ploym ent and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau, and in two comprehensive data books issued annually— Em ploym ent and Earnings, United States and Em ploym ent and Earnings, States and Areas. More detailed informa tion on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the CPI Detailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Senes Release date Period covered March 1 4th quarter March 5 February Release date Period covered April 29 1st quarter April 2 March 1-11 MLR table number Productivity and costs: Nonfinancial corporations ............................. Nonfarm business and manufacturing Employment s itu a tio n ........................... ................. 31-34 31-34 Producer Price Index ........................ March 12 February April 9 March Consumer Price Index ............................... 26-30 March 23 February April 23 March .............................................. 22-25 March 23 February April 23 March 14-20 Real earnings 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EM PLO YM ENT DATA FRO M THE H O U SE H O L D SURVEY d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households beginning in May 1981, selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. E m plo ym en t Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Em ploym ent and Earnings. Data in tables 2-7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-81 [Numbers in thousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total non institutional population Unemployed Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 106,645 63,858 59.9 62,208 58,918 7,160 51,758 3,288 5.3 42,787 1955 112,732 68,072 60.4 65,023 62,170 6,450 55,722 2,852 4.4 44,660 1960 119,759 72,142 60.2 69,628 65,778 5,458 60,318 3,852 5.5 47,617 64,782 3,786 5.2 51,394 1964 127,224 75,830 59.6 73,091 69,305 4,523 1965 129,236 77,178 59.7 74,455 71,088 4,361 66,726 3,366 4.5 52,058 1966 131,180 78,893 60.1 75,770 72,895 3,979 68,915 2,875 3.8 52,288 1967 133,319 80,793 60.6 77,347 74,372 3,844 70,527 2,975 3.8 52,527 1968 135,562 82,272 60.7 78,737 75,920 3,817 72,103 2,817 3.6 53,291 1969 137,841 84,240 61.1 80,734 77,902 3,606 74,296 2,832 3.5 53,602 1970 140,272 85,959 61.3 82,771 78,678 3,463 75,215 4,093 4.9 54,315 1971 143,033 87,198 61.0 84,382 79,367 3,394 75,972 5,016 5.9 55,834 1972 146,574 89,484 87,034 78,669 4,882 5.6 149,423 89,429 82,153 85,064 3,484 1973 61.1 61.4 3,470 81,594 4,365 4.9 57,091 57,667 86,794 3,515 83,279 5,156 5.6 58,171 91,756 1974 152,349 94,179 61.8 91,949 1975 155,333 95,955 61.8 93,775 85,846 3,408 82,438 7,929 8.5 59,377 1976 158,294 98,302 62.1 96,158 88,752 3,331 85,421 7,406 7.7 59,991 1977 161,166 101,142 62.8 99,009 92,017 3,283 88,734 6,991 7.1 60,025 1978 164,027 104,368 63.6 102,251 96,048 3,387 92,661 6,202 6.1 59,659 1979 166,951 107,050 64.1 104,962 98,824 3,347 95,477 6,137 5.8 59,900 106,940 99,303 3,364 95,938 7,637 7.1 60,806 108,670 100,397 3,368 97,030 8,273 7.6 61,460 1980 169,848 109,042 64.2 1981 172,272 110,812 64.3 Note: Data for 1970-81 have been revised to reflect 1980 census population controls. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted [N u m b e rs in th o u sa n d s] Annual average 1981 Employment status 1980 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. TOTAL Total noninstitutional population' ........................ Total labor force .................................. Civilian noninstitutional population1 ........................... Civilian labor force Employed ........................ ........................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural Industries Unemployed .......... .................................. Unemployment rate 169,848 172,272 171,229 171,400 171,581 171,770 109,042 110,812 110,048 110,155 110,492 110,906 111,420 110,565 110,827 110,978 110,659 111,170 111,430 111,348 111,038 167,745 170,130 169,104 169,280 169,453 169,641 169,829 170,042 170,246 170,399 170,593 170,809 170,996 171,166 171,335 106,940 108,670 107,923 108,034 108,364 108,777 109,293 108,434 108,688 108,818 108,494 109,012 109,272 109,184 108,879 99,303 100,397 99,901 100,069 100,406 100,878 101,045 100,430 100,864 100,840 100,258 100,343 100,172 99,613 99,581 3,364 3,368 3,445 3,346 3,343 3,470 3,405 3,348 3,342 3,404 3,358 3,378 3,372 3,209 3,411 95,938 97,030 96,456 96,723 97,063 97,408 97,640 97,082 97,522 97,436 96,900 96,965 96,800 96,404 96,170 7,637 8,273 8,022 7,965 7,958 7,899 8,248 8,004 7,824 7,978 8,236 8,669 9,100 9,571 9,298 171,956 172,172 172,385 172,559 172,758 172,966 173,155 173,330 173,495 .......................... 7.1 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.3 Not in labor force ....................................... 8.8 8.5 60,806 61,460 61,181 61,246 61,089 60,864 60,536 61,608 61,558 61,581 62,099 61,797 61,724 61,982 62,456 71,138 72,419 71,850 71,951 72,037 72,142 72,251 72,359 73,020 73,120 56,455 57,197 56,803 56,816 57,028 57,157 57,479 57,094 57,172 57,250 57,262 57,355 57,459 57,665 57,368 53,101 53,582 53,342 53,383 53,618 53,820 53,884 53,597 53,874 53,791 53,693 53,504 53,354 53,122 53,047 2,396 2,384 2,409 2,349 2,352 2,419 2,390 2,379 2,383 2,422 2,383 2,413 2,382 2,311 2,390 50,706 51,199 50,933 51,034 51,266 51,401 51,494 51,218 51,491 51,369 51,310 51,091 50,972 50,811 50,657 3,353 3,615 3,461 3,433 3,410 3,337 3,595 3,497 3,298 3,459 3,569 3,851 4,105 4,543 Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population' ........................ Civilian labor force ......................................... Employed .................................. Agriculture ........................................... Nonagricultural industries Unemployed ................... ......................................... Unemployment rate .................................... 72,472 72,559 72,670 72,795 72,921 4,322 5.9 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.8 6.3 6.1 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.7 7.1 7.9 7.5 14,683 15,222 15,047 15,135 15,009 14,985 14,772 15,265 15,300 15,309 15,408 15,440 15,462 15,355 15,752 ........................ 80,065 81,497 80,856 81,076 81,193 81,308 81,434 81,561 81,671 81,792 81,920 ............................................ 41,106 42,485 41,833 41,974 42,152 42,332 42,608 42,581 42,682 42,666 42,344 42,831 42,987 42,888 42,868 38,492 39,590 39,029 39,211 39,365 39,536 39,737 39,757 39,810 39,841 39,426 39,814 39,878 39,713 39,764 ........................................... 584 604 626 616 610 609 605 585 590 609 608 596 635 572 649 Nonagricultural industries ................... 38,818 39,218 39,243 39,141 39,115 Not in labor force ....................................... Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population' Civilian labor force Employed ............................... Agriculture 80,966 82,038 82,151 82,260 37,907 38,986 38,403 38,595 38,755 38,927 39,132 39,172 39,220 39,232 ................................................ 2,615 2,895 2,804 2,763 2,787 2,796 2,871 2,824 2,872 2,825 Unemployment rate .................................... Not in labor force ................................................ 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.2 39,012 39,023 38,992 6.6 38,924 6.6 38,959 38,861 38,700 38,853 38,879 39,005 39,448 39,089 39,051 39,263 39,392 16,543 16,214 16,397 16,363 16,341 16,305 16,270 16,249 16,213 16,169 16,131 16,093 16,037 15,995 15,955 Unemployed 2,918 3,017 3,109 3,175 3,104 Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population' Civilian labor force ........................ .............................................. 9,378 8,988 9,287 9,244 9,184 9,288 9,206 8,759 8,834 8,902 8,888 8,826 8,826 8,631 8,643 7,710 7,225 7,530 7,475 7,423 7,522 7,424 7,076 7,180 7,208 7,139 7,025 6,940 ........................................... 6,778 6,771 385 380 410 381 381 442 410 384 369 373 367 369 355 326 373 Nonagricultural industries ................... Unemployed ................................................ 7,325 6,845 7,120 7,094 7,042 7,080 7,014 6,692 6,811 6,835 6,772 6,656 6,585 6,452 6,398 1,669 1,763 1,757 1,769 1,761 1,766 1,782 1,683 1,654 Employed .............................................. Agriculture Unemployment rate Not in labor force .................................... ........................................... 1,694 1,749 1,801 1,886 1,853 1,872 17.8 19.6 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.0 19.4 19.2 18.7 19.0 19.7 20.4 21.4 21.5 21.7 7,165 7,226 7,110 7,119 7,157 7,017 7,064 7,490 7,379 7,267 7,243 7,267 7,211 7,364 7,312 146,122 147,908 146,976 147,132 147,335 147,539 147,670 147,804 147,976 148,144 148,370 148,562 148,631 148,755 148,842 93,600 95,052 94,332 94,552 94,756 95,199 95,666 94,887 95,126 95,163 94,884 95,365 95,535 95,329 95,120 87,715 88,709 88,101 88,388 88,653 89,080 89,237 88,799 89,170 89,221 88,628 88,734 88,498 88,010 87,955 5,884 6,343 6,231 6,164 6,103 6,119 6,429 6,088 5,956 5,942 6,256 6,631 7,037 7,319 7,165 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.6 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.5 52,522 52,856 52,644 52,580 52,579 52,340 52,004 52,917 52,850 52,981 53,486 53,197 53,096 53,426 53,722 White Civilian noninstitutional population' Civilian labor force Employed .......................... .................................. ........................................... Unemployed .................................... Unemployment rate .......................... Not In labor force ............................. Black Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ............................... Employed ........................................... Unemployed .................................... 18,219 18,045 18,076 18,105 18,137 18,170 18,206 18,239 18,266 18,297 18,333 18,362 18,392 18,423 11,086 10,998 10,951 11,036 11,126 11,126 11,033 10,971 11,069 11,134 11,188 11,207 11,226 11,188 9,313 9,355 9,428 9,350 9,383 9,488 9,460 9,310 9,338 9,267 9,319 9,313 9,321 9,279 9,314 1,666 1,723 1,633 1,802 1,815 1,875 1,886 1,947 1,874 1,553 1,731 1,570 1,601 1,653 1,638 ........................ 14.3 15.6 14.3 14.6 15.0 14.7 15.0 15.6 14.9 16.3 16.3 .................................... 16.8 16.8 17.3 16.8 6,959 7,133 7,047 7,125 7,069 7,011 7,044 7,173 7,268 7,197 7,163 7,145 7,155 7,166 7,235 Unemployment rate Not in labor force 17,824 10,865 'A s in table 1, population figures are not seasonally adjusted. Note: Effective with January 1982 data, population counts derived from the 1980 census are incorporated into the estimation procedures used in the Current Population Survey. Data for Digitized 60 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1970-81 have been revised. Also, seasonally adjusted data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1980 1981 1982 1981 Selected categories Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. CHARACTERISTIC 99,613 99,581 Total employed, 16 years and over .......................... 99,303 100,397 99,901 100,069 100,406 100,878 101,045 100,430 100,864 100,840 100,258 100,343 100,172 ........................................................................ 57,186 57,397 57,323 57,331 57,531 57,792 57,793 57,279 57,640 57,551 57,471 57,266 57,051 56,725 56,629 42,952 Men W o m e n .................................................................... 42,117 43,000 42,578 42,738 42,875 43,086 43,252 43,151 43,224 43,289 42,787 43,077 43,121 42,888 39,120 38,930 38,961 38,961 38,855 38,746 38,553 38,342 38,234 Married men, spouse present ............................. 39,004 38,882 38,959 38,944 39,036 39,186 Married women, spouse p r e s e n t........................ 23,532 23,915 23,806 23,824 23,920 23,979 24,192 24,106 24,159 24,043 23,626 23,874 23,820 23,691 23,744 51,882 52,949 52,662 52,739 52,860 52,855 53,016 52,957 52,907 53,141 52,908 53,199 53,086 53,084 52,836 15,968 16,420 16,270 16,185 16,219 16,178 16,093 16,410 16,364 16,621 16,598 16,681 16,657 16,774 16,803 11,616 11,488 11,411 11,578 11,460 11,533 11,616 11,461 11,424 11,091 OCCUPATION W hite-collar w o r k e r s ..................................................... Professional and technical .................................. Managers and administrators, except farm .................................................................... 11,138 11,540 11,561 11,629 11,725 S a le sw o rke rs.......................................................... 6,303 6,425 6,384 6,397 6,372 6,290 6,562 6,513 6,373 6,490 6,441 6,400 6,418 6,450 6,520 Clerical w o rk e rs ..................................................... 18,473 18,564 18,447 18,528 18,544 18,771 18,873 18,623 18,592 18,570 18,336 18,502 18,550 18,436 18,423 Blue-collar w o rk e rs ....................................................... 31,452 31,261 31,151 31,193 31,288 31,685 31,796 31,538 31,580 31,611 31,266 30,953 30,683 30,344 30,203 .................................. 12,787 12,662 12,621 12,684 12,826 12,825 12,911 12,749 12,787 12,724 12,514 12,446 12,411 12,446 12,370 Operatives, except tra n s p o rt............................... 10,565 10,540 10,586 10,618 10,464 10,691 10,716 10,703 10,719 10,658 10,524 10,410 10,220 10,169 9,966 ........................ 3,531 3,476 3,425 3,446 3,447 3,483 3,466 3,493 3,526 3,530 3,506 3,580 3,438 3,368 3,415 C raft and kindred workers Transport equipment operatives Nonfarm la b o re rs ................................................... 4,567 4,583 4,519 4,445 4,551 4,686 4,703 4,593 4,548 4,699 4,722 4,517 4,614 4,361 4,451 Service w o r k e r s ............................................................ 13,228 13,438 13,250 13,347 13,478 13,468 13,470 13,214 13,526 13,282 13,391 13,525 13,670 13,639 13,709 Farmworkers ................................................................. 2,741 2,749 2,786 2,728 2,730 2,826 2,748 2,710 2,727 2,753 2,743 2,770 2,802 2,660 2,817 W age and salary w o rk e rs .................................... 1,425 1,464 1,505 1,389 1,391 1,560 1,499 1,437 1,495 1,501 1,461 1,502 1,436 1,352 1,377 Self-employed w o rk e rs ......................................... 1,642 1,638 1,650 1,637 1,638 1,661 1,654 1,664 1,593 1,638 1,643 1,631 1,641 1,602 1,674 297 266 284 306 299 286 235 263 244 256 256 261 321 228 380 Wage and salary w o rk e rs .................................... 88,525 89,543 89,104 89,592 90,402 89,508 89,995 89,376 Government ................................................... 15,912 15,689 15,988 15,875 15,930 15,885 15,776 15,707 15,637 15,526 15,475 15,491 15,397 15,585 15,578 73,853 73,017 73,229 73,662 74,028 74,626 73,801 74,334 74,469 73,901 73,969 73,841 73,406 73,181 MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Unpaid family workers ......................................... Nonagricultural industries: Private in d u s trie s ........................................... 72,612 89,005 89,913 89,971 89,460 89,238 88,991 88,759 Private households ............................... 1,192 1,208 1,214 1,190 1,242 1,249 1,192 1,177 1,216 1,259 1,102 1,162 1,204 1,291 1,248 .................................... 71,420 72,645 71,803 72,039 72,420 72,779 73,434 72,624 73,118 73,210 72,799 72,807 72,637 72,115 71,932 7,057 6,971 410 410 Other industries Self-employed w o rk e rs ......................................... Unpaid family workers ......................................... 7,000 7,097 7,028 7,080 7,065 7,150 6,966 7,128 7,071 7,103 7,217 7,152 7,141 413 390 421 384 374 325 356 376 389 387 399 451 425 PERSONS AT WORK1 ........................................... 90,209 91,377 91,322 91,287 91,405 91,094 91,745 91,500 92,532 91,569 90,878 91,384 91,323 90,922 90,125 Full-time schedules .............................................. Part time for economic re a s o n s .......................... 73,590 4,064 74,339 4,499 74,387 4,451 74,482 4,227 74,453 4,290 74,259 4,200 74,871 4,264 74,693 4,033 75,620 4,374 74,467 4,350 73,794 73,886 5,009 73,915 5,026 73,360 5,288 72,803 5,071 Nonagricultural industries 4,656 Usually work full t im e .................................... 1,714 1,738 1,688 1,650 1,660 1,593 1,657 1,465 1,680 1,729 1,759 2,006 1,945 2,121 1,783 Usually work part t i m e .................................. 2,350 2,761 2,763 2,577 2,630 2,607 2,607 2,568 2,694 2,621 2,897 3,003 3,081 3,167 3,287 Part time for noneconomic re a s o n s ................... 12,555 12,539 12,484 12,578 12,662 12,635 12,610 12,774 12,538 12,752 12,428 12,489 12,382 12,274 12,251 'Excludes persons "w ith a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as Note: Effective with https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis January census are incorporated into the estimation procedures used in the Current Population Survey. Data for 1970-81 have been revised. Also, seasonally adjusted data have been revised based on the seasonal vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. 1982 data, population counts derived from the 1980 experience through December 1981. 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] Annual average 1981 1982 Selected categories 1980 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. CHARACTERISTIC Total, 16 years and o v e r .............................................. 7.1 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.3 8.3 8.8 Men, 20 years and o v e r ....................................... 5.9 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.8 6.3 6.1 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.7 7.1 7.9 7.5 Women, 20 years and o v e r .................................. 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 7.3 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.2 Both sexes, 16 to 19 y e a r s .................................. 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.0 19,4 19.2 18.7 19.0 19.7 20.4 21.4 21.5 21.7 6.5 6,4 6.4 7.6 8.0 8.5 17.8 19.6 ............................................................ 6.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.2 7.7 7.5 Men, 20 years and o v e r ............................... 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.6 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.4 6.9 6.6 Women, 20 years and over ........................ 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.3 1.5.5 17.3 16.6 17.2 16.8 17.0 17.5 16.8 16.4 16.1 17.2 17.7 19.0 19.0 19.6 White, total Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Black, total ........................ 6.6 6.6 7.0 7.4 ............................................................ 14.3 15.6 14.3 14.6 15.0 14.7 15.0 15.6 14.9 16.3 16.3 16.8 16.8 17.3 Men, 20 years and o v e r ............................... 12.4 13.5 11.5 12.0 12.1 12.1 13.0 13.7 12.7 13.6 14.5 14.7 15.5 16.5 16.3 Women, 20 years and over ........................ 11.9 13.4 12.3 13.2 13.6 12.9 13.1 13.3 13.1 13.8 14.0 13.9 13.6 14.1 13.3 Both sexes, 16 to 19 years 41.2 16.8 ........................ 38.5 41.4 39.7 38.3 39.7 40.2 36.9 40.9 40.0 49.0 40.8 45.6 44.1 42.2 Married men, spouse present ............................. 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.8 4.0 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.7 5.3 Married women, spouse p r e s e n t........................ 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.5 6.0 6.1 6.5 6.6 6.2 Women who maintain fa m ilie s ............................. 9.2 10.4 10.3 9.9 10.4 10.7 11.2 10.1 10.7 10.6 10.8 9.8 9.6 10.5 10.4 Full-time w o r k e r s ................................................... 6.9 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.1 6.9 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.7 8.4 Part-time w o rk e rs ................................................... 8.8 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.6 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.5 10.2 9.2 9.6 Unemployed 15 weeks and o v e r ........................ 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 Labor force time lost' 7.9 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.6 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.5 10.1 10.0 ......................................... OCCUPATION White-collar w o r k e r s ..................................................... Professional and technical .................................. 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.2 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.7 3.4 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.6 / 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.7 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.6 4.3 4.9 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.7 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.3 10.2 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.9 9.8 9.5 9.5 10.2 10.9 11.8 12.7 12.5 6.9 7.1 7.1 6.8 7.2 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.7 8.3 8.5 9.3 9.0 12.2 12.1 11.7 11.6 11.8 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.6 12.8 14.1 15.5 15.4 Managers and administrators, except farm .................................................................... 2.4 2.7 2.5 S a le sw o rke rs.......................................................... 4.4 4.6 4.3 Clerical w o rk e rs ..................................................... 5.3 5.7 5.6 Blue-collar w o rk e rs ....................................................... 10.0 10.3 .................................. 6.6 7.5 Operatives, except tra n s p o rt............................... 12.2 12.2 Craft and kindred workers Transport equipment operatives 4.5 ........................ 8.8 8.7 9.1 8.6 9.1 8.1 8.2 8.1 7.3 8.0 8.7 8.0 10.4 10.5 10.2 Nonfarm la b o re rs ................................................... 14.6 14.7 14.8 14.9 14.2 14.0 13.5 14.7 14.4 13.2 14.6 15.6 16.0 16.9 16.9 Service w o r k e r s ............................................................ 7.9 8.9 8.2 8.7 8.3 8.5 9.4 8.9 8.0 8.9 9.0 9.3 9.7 9.6 9.2 Farmworkers ................................................................. 4.6 5.3 5.0 4.9 5.2 3.9 5.2 6.2 4.8 5.4 4.0 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.9 INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary w orkers2 7.4 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.4 .......................................................... 14.1 15.6 13.7 13.7 14.7 14.5 15.7 16.1 15.2 16.2 16.3 17.6 17.8 18.1 18.7 Manufacturing ........................................................ 8.5 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.8 7.4 7.3 7.0 7.9 8.6 9.4 11.0 10.4 11.0 Construction Durable goods 9.1 8.8 .............................................. 8.9 8.2 8.4 8.7 8.0 7.5 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.5 7.7 8.6 9.5 11.8 Nondurable g o o d s ......................................... 7.9 8.4 8.5 8.3 8.3 7.8 8.6 7.9 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 9.3 9.6 Transportation and public u tilitie s ........................ 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.4 6.1 5.5 5.7 4.9 4.1 4.8 4.2 4.8 5.5 6.0 6.4 Wholesale and retail trade 7.4 8.1 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.5 8.3 7.7 7.9 7.9 8.5 8.4 8.6 8.9 8.7 .................................. Finance and service in d u strie s............................. Government workers 5.3 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.1 6.4 9.5 5.9 ................................................... 4.1 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.0 4.8 Agricultural wage and salary w o rk e rs ........................ 11.0 12.1 11.5 11.9 12.1 9.4 11.0 13.3 10.7 12.0 11.0 13.4 14.1 14.8 16.2 'A g g re g a te hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Digitized62 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note: Effective with January 1982 data, population counts derived from the 1980 census are incorporated into the estimation procedures used in the Current Population Survey. Data for 1970-81 have '3een revise(i- Also, seasonally adjusted data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted 1980 1981 1982 1981 Annual average Sex and age Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July June Aug. Sept Nov. Oct Jan. Dec. Total, 16 years and o v e r .............................................. 7.1 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.3 8.8 8.5 16 to 19 y e a r s ........................................................ 17.8 19.6 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.0 19.4 19.2 18.7 19.0 19.7 20.4 21.4 21.5 21.7 16 to 17 y e a r s ................................................ 20.0 21.4 20.9 21.3 21.4 21.6 21.3 22.6 19.8 20.8 21.4 21.5 22.6 21.9 21.9 18 to 19 y e a r s ................................................ 16.2 18.4 17.4 17.7 17.6 17.2 17.7 17.5 17.8 17.6 18.5 20.0 20.5 21.2 21.3 20 to 24 y e a r s ........................................................ 11.5 12.3 11.9 11.9 11.8 12.0 12.6 12.1 11.5 12.1 12.3 12.7 13.0 13.5 13.5 5.2 5.4 5.7 6.0 6.5 6.3 6.7 25 years and over ................................................ 5.1 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.2 25 to 54 y e a r s ................................................ 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.9 55 years and o v e r ......................................... 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.2 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.7 8.3 9.0 8.6 Men, 16 years and o v e r ....................................... 16 to 19 y e a rs ................................................ 7.4 6.9 7.3 20.1 20.0 20.0 19.8 19.5 20.0 20.0 18.8 19.8 19.9 20.1 21.8 22.3 22.1 22.0 22.5 22.1 21.7 22.5 22.3 24.0 19.9 21.5 21.5 21.1 22.7 22.6 23.0 7.2 7.2 7.1 16 to 17 years ....................................... 18 to 19 years ....................................... 16.7 18.8 18.3 18.5 18.5 17.4 18.0 18.2 17.9 18.3 18.7 19.3 21.0 22.2 21.4 20 to 24 y e a r s ................................................ 12.5 13.2 12.9 12.9 13.0 13.0 13.8 12.9 11.6 12.9 13.1 13.8 14.4 14.8 14.9 4.8 4.6 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.5 5.8 6.5 6.3 5.1 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.3 6.9 6.7 25 years and o v e r ......................................... 4.8 5.1 4.9 4.9 25 to 54 years ....................................... 5.1 5.5 5.2 5.2 55 years and o v e r .................................. 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 4.4 4.3 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.8 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.4 20.5 7.9 7.7 16 to 19 y e a r s ................................................ 17.2 19.0 17.7 18.2 18.5 18.4 18.7 18.4 18.6 18.2 19.5 20.7 20.9 16 to 17 years ....................................... 19.6 20.7 19.1 20.3 21.2 20.5 20.2 21.1 19.7 20.0 21.2 21.9 22.5 21.1 20.6 18.3 20.6 19.9 20.0 21.1 11.9 Women, 16 years and o v e r .................................. 7.4 21.2 18 to 19 years ....................................... 15.6 17.9 16.3 16.8 16.6 17.1 17.4 16.8 17.7 16.9 20 to 24 y e a rs ................................................ 10.4 11.2 10.9 10.9 10.5 10.9 11.2 11.2 11.3 11.1 11.4 11.5 11.3 12.0 25 years and o v e r ......................................... 5.5 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.3 25 to 54 years ....................................... 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.0 6.2 6.1 6.4 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.8 6.9 6.7 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.7 4.1 Dec. Jan. 5,205 55 years and o v e r .................................. 6. 7.2 6.9 18.3 20.4 3.2 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.5 Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [N u m b e rs in th o u sa n d s] 1982 1981 Reason for unemployment Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Lost last j o b .......................................................................................................... 3,982 4,050 3,989 3,958 4,032 4,173 3,867 4,106 4,426 4,573 4,905 5,343 On la y o ff........................................................................................................ 1,305 1,312 1,323 1,303 1,357 1,302 1,225 1,276 1,452 1,631 1,826 2,042 1,860 Other job lo s e rs ............................................................................................ 2,677 2,738 2,666 2,655 2,675 2,871 2,642 2,830 2,974 2,942 3,079 3,301 3,345 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Left last job .......................................................................................................... 923 911 901 903 1,004 896 926 879 921 976 916 923 835 Reentered labor f o r c e ......................................................................................... 2,051 2,020 2,069 2,044 2,106 2,039 2,078 2,034 2,058 2,178 2,339 2,244 2,079 956 973 940 971 977 1,002 996 1,021 1,055 100.0 Seeking first j o b ................................................................................................... 1,015 943 988 988 PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total u n e m p lo y e d ................................................................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Job losers ............................................................................................................. 50.0 51.1 50.2 50.1 49.8 51.6 49.5 51.4 52.8 52.4 53.6 56.1 On la y o ff........................................................................................................ 16.4 16.6 16.6 16.5 16.8 16.1 15.7 16.0 17.3 18.7 19.9 21.4 20.3 35.5 33.8 35.4 35.5 33.7 33.6 34.6 36.5 Other job lo s e r s ............................................................................................ 33.6 34.6 33.5 33.6 33.0 56.7 .......................................................................................................... 11.6 11.5 11.3 11.4 12.4 11.1 11.9 11.0 11.0 11.2 10.0 9.7 9.1 R e e n tra n ts ............................................................................................................. 25.7 25.5 26.0 25.9 26.0 25.2 26.6 25.5 24.6 25.0 25.5 23.5 22.7 11.5 4.8 Job leavers New entrants ........................................................................................................ 12.7 11.9 12.4 12.5 11.8 12.0 12.0 12.2 11.7 11.5 10.9 10.7 UNEMPLOYED AS A PERCENT OF THE CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers ............................................................................................................. 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.9 Job leavers .......................................................................................................... .9 .8 .8 .8 .9 .8 .9 .8 .8 .9 .8 .8 R e e n tra n ts ............................................................................................................. 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 1.0 New entranjs ........................................................................................................ 7. .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 .8 Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [N u m b e rs in th o u sa n d s] 1980 1982 1981 Annual average Weeks of unemployment 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. Less than 5 weeks ........................................................ 3,295 3,449 3,290 3,267 3,277 3,189 3,378 3,303 3,323 3,326 3,529 3,707 3,852 4,037 3,852 5 to 14 weeks ............................................................... 2,470 2,539 2,324 2,379 2,408 2,472 2,606 2,423 2,312 2,469 2,585 2,686 2,882 • 3,016 3,068 15 weeks and o v e r ........................................................ 1,871 2,285 2,391 2,322 2,269 2,187 2,231 2,363 2,170 2,217 2,248 2,292 2,364 2,372 2,399 15 to 26 weeks ..................................................... 1,052 1,122 1,123 1,072 1,057 1,048 1,061 1,227 1,096 1,078 1,146 1,166 1,229 1,189 1,210 1,135 1,183 1,190 13.1 12.8 13.5 27 weeks and o v e r ................................................ Average (mean) duration, in weeks Note: ........................... 820 11.9 1,162 13.7 1,268 14.4 1,250 14.1 1,212 1,139 1,170 1,136 1,074 1,139 1,102 1,126 13.9 13.7 13.3 14.3 14.1 14.3 13.7 13.6 Effective with January 1982 data, population counts derived from the 1980 census are incorporated into the estimation procedures used in the Current Population Survey. Data for 1970-81 have been revised. Also, seasonally adjusted data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1981. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 63 EM PLO YM ENT, H O U R S, A N D EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISH M ENT SURVEYS E m p l o y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n i n g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 166,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. L a b o r t u r n o v e r d a t a in this section are compiled from per sonnel records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies. A sample of 40,000 establishments represents all industries in the manufacturing and mining sectors of the economy. Bureau of Labor Statistics computes spendable earnings from gross weekly earnings for only two illustrative cases: (1) a worker with no dependents and (2) a married worker with three dependents. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Labor turnover is the movement of all wage and salary workers from one employment status to another. Accession rates indicate the average number of persons added to a payroll in a given period per 100 employees; separation rates indicate the average number dropped from a payroll per 100 employees. Although month-to-month changes in employment can be calculated from the labor turnover data, the re sults are not comparable with employment data from the employment and payroll survey. The labor turnover survey measures changes dur ing the calendar month while the employment and payroll survey measures changes from midmonth to midmonth. Notes on the data Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 14-20 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities, in wholesale and retail trade, in finance, in surance, and real estate, and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to eliminate the effects of price change. The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from aver age hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Spendable earnings are earnings from which estimat ed social security and Federal income taxes have been deducted. The Digitized for 64FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of June 1981 data, published in the August 1981 issue of the R e view. Consequently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through March 1981 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through March 1981) and in Em ploym ent and Earnings, United States, 1909-78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). Data on recalls were shown for the first time in tables 12 and 13 in the January 1978 issue of the Review. For a detailed discussion of the recalls series, along with historical data, see “New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Survey,” Em ploym ent an d Earnings, Decem ber 1977, pp. 10-19. A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M onthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also BLS Handbook o f Methods fo r Surveys an d Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). The formulas used to construct the spendable average weekly earn ings series reflect the latest provisions of the Federal income tax and social security tax laws. For the spendable average weekly earnings formulas for the years 1979-81, see Em ploym ent an d Earnings, November 1981, pp. 7-8. Real earnings data are adjusted using the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). 8. Employment by industry, 1951-80 [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] Year Total Mining Construc tion Manufac turing Trans portation and public utilities Whole sale and retail trade Wholesale trade Retail trade Government Finance, insur ance, and real estate Services Total Federal State and local ...................................................................... 47,819 929 2,637 16,393 4,226 9,742 2,727 7,015 1,956 5,547 6,389 2,302 4,087 1952 ...................................................................... 48,793 898 2,668 16,632 4,248 10,004 2,812 7,192 2,035 5,699 6,609 2,420 4,188 1953 ...................................................................... 50,202 866 2,659 17,549 4,290 10,247 2,854 7,393 2,111 5,835 6,645 2,305 1954 .................................................................... 48,990 791 2,646 16,314 4,084 10,235 2,867 7,368 2,200 5,969 6,751 2,188 4,563 1955 ...................................................................... 50,641 4,727 5,069 1951 792 2,839 16,882 4,141 10,535 2,926 7,610 2,298 6,240 6,914 2,187 4,244 10,858 3,018 7,840 2,389 6,497 4,340 1956 ...................................................................... 52,369 822 3,039 17,243 7,278 2,209 1957 ...................................................................... 52,853 828 2,962 17,174 4,241 10,886 3,028 7,858 2,438 6,708 7,616 2,217 5,399 1958 51,324 751 2,817 15,945 3,976 10,750 2,980 7,770 2,481 6,765 7,839 2,191 5,648 8,045 2,549 7,087 8,083 2,233 5,850 ................................................................. ............................................................ 53,268 732 3,004 16,675 4,011 11,127 3,082 I9 6 0 ...................................................................... 54,189 712 2,926 16,796 4,004 11,391 3,143 8,248 2,629 7,378 8,353 2,270 6,083 6,315 19591 1961 .................................................................... 53,999 672 2,859 16,326 3,903 11,337 3,133 8,204 2,688 7,620 8,594 2,279 1962 ................................................................. 55,549 650 2,948 16,853 3,906 11,566 3,198 8,368 2,754 7,982 8,890 2,340 6,550 1963 ................................................................. 56,653 635 3,010 16,995 3,903 11,778 3,248 8,530 2,830 8,277 9,225 2,358 6,868 1964 .................................................................... 58,283 634 3,097 17,274 3,951 12,160 3,337 8,823 2,911 8,660 9,596 2,348 7,248 1965 ...................................................................... 60,765 632 3,232 18,062 4,036 12,716 3,466 9,250 2,977 9,036 10,074 2,378 7,696 1966 ............................................................ 63,901 627 3,317 19,214 4,158 13,245 3,597 9,648 3,058 9,498 10,784 2,564 8,220 1967 .................................................................... 65,803 613 3,248 19,447 4,268 13,606 3,689 9,917 3,185 10,045 11,391 2,719 1968 ................................................................. 67,897 606 3,350 19,781 4,318 14,099 3,779 10,320 3,337 10,567 11,839 2,737 9,102 3,512 11,169 12,195 2,758 9,437 3,645 11,548 12,554 2,731 9,823 3,772 11,797 12,881 2,696 10,185 .................................................................... 70,384 619 3,575 20,167 4,442 14,705 3,907 10,798 1970 ...................................................................... 70,880 623 3,588 19,367 4,515 15,040 3,993 11,047 18,623 4,476 1969 8,672 .................................................................... 71,214 609 3,704 15,352 4,001 11,351 1972 ...................................................................... 73,675 628 3,889 19,151 4,541 15,949 4,113 11,836 3,908 12,276 13,334 2,684 10,649 4,656 16,607 4,277 12,329 4,046 12,857 13,732 2,663 11,068 11,446 1971 1973 ...................................................................... 76,790 642 4,097 20,154 1974 ................................................................. 78,265 697 4,020 20,077 4,725 16,987 4,433 12,554 4,148 13,441 14,170 2,724 1975 ...................................................................... 76,945 752 3,525 18,323 4,542 17,060 4,415 12,645 4,165 13,892 14,686 2,748 11,937 18,997 4,582 17,755 4,546 13,209 4,271 14,551 14,871 2,733 12,138 13,808 1976 ...................................................................... 79,382 779 3,576 1977 ................................................................. 82,471 813 3,851 19,682 4,713 18,516 4,708 4,467 15,303 15,127 1978 ............................................................ 86,697 851 4,229 20,505 4,923 19,542 4,969 14,573 4,724 16,252 15,672 2,753 12,919 4,975 17,112 15,947 2,773 13,147 5,168 17,901 16,249 2,866 13,383 1979 ............................................................... 1980 ...................................................................... 89,823 90,564 958 1,020 4,463 21,040 5,136 20,192 5,204 14,989 4,399 20,300 5,143 20,386 5,281 15,104 2,727 12,399 'D a ta include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State C a lifo rn ia ..................................................................................... Colorado ..................................................................................... F lo rid a .......................................................................................... In d ia n a ......................................................................................... Maine ......................................................................................... State 1,366.9 1,349.2 1,348.3 M on ta n a ................................................................................ 280.7 284.3 285.1 163.9 179.0 176.1 N e b ra s k a ............................................................................. 634.1 636.2 634.0 403.5 423.2 420.8 391.5 389.3 390.3 3,096.3 1,028.6 1,028.7 1,033.5 749.7 746.9 742.9 Nevada ................................................................................ New Hampshire ................................................................. 9,967.3 10,016.1 10,032.4 New Jersey ......................................................................... 3,074.8 3,105.7 1,277.0 1,297.6 1,298.5 New M e x ic o ........................................................................ 462.8 468.4 469.4 1,443.6 1,432.3 1,435.0 New Y o r k ............................................................................. 7,269.9 7,290.0 7,295.4 2,407.6 2,393.6 257.1 260.3 North Carolina .................................................................... 247.1 255.0 253.3 4,380.0 4,341.9 ........................................................................... 1,159.6 1,199.2 1,204.5 ................................................................................ 1,027.8 1,001.4 990.1 4,765.0 4,682.4 4,649.9 606.1 607.0 3,711.6 3,826.2 3,868.4 2,176.2 2,166.4 2,165.4 407.7 403.3 406.9 Oregon 332.0 325.3 323.1 Pennsylvania ...................................................................... Ohio 2,416.1 4,420.1 North Dakota ...................................................................... 616.5 .................................................................................... Oklahoma 4,879.4 4,851.9 4,828.2 Rhode Island ...................................................................... 404.3 404.9 402.3 2,145.1 2,106.6 2,085.5 South Carolina .................................................................... 1,195.5 1,189.8 1,189.7 1,097.0 1,078.1 1,071.8 South D a k o ta ...................................................................... 237.2 953.0 954.9 953.8 Tennessee ........................................................................... 1,736.8 1,719.3 1,706.3 6,273.9 568.1 1,227.0 1,191.8 1,187.1 1,616.9 1,649.9 1,652.7 421.2 413.9 411.9 237.1 235.8 6,027.2 6,251.5 .................................................................................... 557.4 569.3 V e rm o n t................................................................................ 203.9 201.9 203.4 2,174.7 2,176.9 1,561.6 Texas Utah .................................................................................. V irg in ia .................................................................................. 2,150.4 2,677.5 2,685.0 2,690.5 Washington ......................................................................... 1,608.6 1,571.8 3,514.2 3,447.4 3,385.0 West Virginia ...................................................................... 650.1 632.2 628.0 1,769.7 1,770.4 1,765.1 W isconsin............................................................................. 1,959.3 1,957.9 1,940.0 216.2 214.3 35.4 3b.7 1,694.6 1,696.8 Mississippi .................................................................................. 838.8 821.2 821.1 Wyoming ............................................................................. 213.4 M is s o u ri....................................................................................... 1,965.1 1,976.1 1,966.4 Virgin Islands ...................................................................... 36.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec. 1981 P Dec. 1981 » 1,716.8 M assa ch u se tts........................................................................... Nov. 1981 Nov. 1981 263.2 District of C olum bia.................................................................... Dec. 1980 Dec. 1980 65 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual average 1981 Industry division and group TOTAL .................................... MINING .............. CONSTRUCTION ........................ MANUFACTURING ........................................ Production w o r k e r s ......................................... Durable goods .................................... Production w o r k e r s .................................. Lumber and wood products ............... 1982 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p 89,823 90,564 89,988 90,138 90,720 91,337 91,848 92,481 91,600 91,598 92,159 92,424 92,293 91,915 89,781 958 1,020 1,066 1,071 1,084 941 957 1,132 1,155 1,169 1,169 1,164 1,170 1,167 1,154 4,463 4,399 3,995 3,901 4,048 4,246 4,356 4,477 4,554 4,579 4,516 4,493 4,369 4,153 3,691 21,040 20,300 20,075 20,065 20,160 20,253 20,342 20,531 20,337 20,473 20,600 20,368 20,122 19,818 19,449 15,068 14,223 13,975 13,971 14,049 14,127 14,195 14,325 14,108 14,230 14,376 14,147 13,904 13,601 13,295 12,760 12,181 12,072 12,042 12,120 12,197 12,235 12,334 12,198 12,188 12,292 12,163 11,999 11,799 11,582 9,110 8,438 8,305 8,279 8,345 8,412 8,438 8,500 8,347 8,323 8,440 8,313 8,153 7,953 7,774 766.9 690.3 674.6 674.5 678.3 686.9 703.4 711.0 708.6 701.5 691.0 664.5 638.7 618.2 592.8 Furniture and fix tu re s ...................... 497.8 483.5 Stone, clay, and glass products . . . . 476.5 472.2 461.8 708.7 665.6 635.0 630.6 639.5 652.6 659.7 671.0 666.7 669.1 664.5 652.8 641.2 618.4 590.7 1,253.9 1,144.1 1,136.7 1,137.7 1,141.3 1,149.9 1,147.5 1,155.5 1,135.5 1,140.3 1,138.8 1,109.3 Primary metal in d u s trie s ................... 468.8 469.6 471.7 472.1 478.0 479.0 480.5 472.0 480.6 484.7 1,087.8 1,060.6 1,048.2 Fabricated metal products ................... 1,717.7 1,609.0 1,580.2 1,578.1 1,585.4 1,593.7 1,596.1 1,606.8 1,584.5 1,590.9 1,607.5 1,584.2 Machinery, except e le c tric a l.................................. 1,563.5 1,530.9 1,495.7 2,484.8 2,497.0 2,496.9 2,498.4 2,504.3 2,506.1 2,508.6 2,531.3 2,517.4 2,511.4 2,540.7 2,528.4 2,512.3 Electric and electronic e q u ip m e n t........................ 2,497,8 2,473.9 2,116.9 2,103.2 2,114.0 2,112.3 2,119.5 2,129.7 2,134.7 Transportation e q u ip m e n t.................................... 2,152.7 2,138.9 2,146.1 2,164.8 2,158.3 2,131.3 2,102.2 2,082.8 2,077.2 1,875.3 1,854.9 1,824.8 1,860.4 1,874.3 1,877.4 1,882.7 1,840.3 1,799.6 1,848.3 1,832.3 1,803.0 Instruments and related products ........................ 1,766.9 1,732 7 691.2 708.5 712.4 710.1 712.1 714.4 715.2 723.2 722.1 726.2 723.1 720.0 718.6 717.3 Miscellaneous manufacturing ............................... 711 7 444.8 419.3 398.0 403.3 406.7 411.3 413.4 419.5 412.3 421.8 428.7 429.9 426.2 414.2 391.9 Nondurable goods Production w o r k e r s ....................................... Food and kindred p ro d u c ts ............................... Tobacco manufactures ........................ .. Textile mill p ro d u c ts ...................... Apparel and other textile products Paper and allied products ...................... .................................... 8,280 8,118 8,003 8,023 8,040 8,056 8,107 8,197 8,139 8,285 8,308 8,205 8,123 8,019 7,867 5,958 5,786 5,670 5,692 5,704 5,715 5,757 5,825 5,761 5,907 5,936 5,834 5,751 5,648 5,521 1,732.5 1,710.8 1,645.2 1,639.2 1,632.5 1,631.0 1,648,1 1,673.4 1,714.8 1,773.2 1,776.1 1,729.0 1,689.2 1,657.5 1,6149 70.0 69.2 72.0 70.6 68.3 66.2 65.2 66.4 66.3 75.6 77.7 77.0 74.9 72.8 885.1 852.7 841.0 841.1 840.9 841.6 844.3 851.0 836.5 847.3 850.2 826.8 817.8 795.7 1,304.3 1,265.8 1,222.8 1,238.7 1,250.2 1,255.2 1,265.9 1,283.9 1,231.1 1,276.8 1,287.3 834.3 1,274.1 1,259.5 1,223.9 1,185 1 71.7 706.8 694.0 687.7 687.7 688.6 690.9 693.1 701.0 696.4 700.3 702.0 Printing and p u b lis h in g ......................................... 1,235.1 1,258.3 1,269.0 1,273.6 1,278.2 1,280.4 1,281.8 1,286.2 1,286.5 1,289.4 1,294.1 1,299.7 1,305.1 Chemicals and allied products ............................. 1,310.7 1,301 8 1,109.3 1,107.4 1,100.1 1,102.9 1,106.8 1,106.2 1,110.3 1,121.1 1,116.6 1,112.0 1,110^5 1,104.4 1,100.2 1,098.2 1,092 0 212.7 691.4 686.4 682.1 675.3 Petroleum and coal products ...................... 209.8 196.6 206.5 205.7 207.0 209.5 212.9 215.4 216.1 215.4 210.4 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products . . . 207.2 781.6 730.7 731.8 734.2 737.2 743.5 749.2 759.0 747.0 756.8 760.8 748.2 Leather and leather products .......................... 738.6 726.6 718.5 245.7 232.6 226.9 229.5 230.4 231.7 235.9 239.1 227.5 238.6 237.0 235.7 232.1 222.3 212.3 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . 5,136 5,143 5,063 5,076 5,095 5,120 5,148 5,195 5,177 5,175 5,222 5,204 5,183 5,140 5,047 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE...................... 20,192 20,386 20,366 20,196 20,290 20,513 20,672 20,795 20,735 20,811 20,919 20,999 21,148 21,403 20,726 5,204 5,281 5,276 5,273 5,293 5,317 5,335 5,381 5,376 5,386 5,370 5,381 5,379 5,353 5,304 14,989 15,104 15,090 14,923 14,997 15,196 15,337 15,414 15,359 15,425 15,549 15,618 15,769 16,050 15,422 4,975 5,168 5,235 5,245 5,263 5,295 5,326 5,384 5,408 5,408 5,361 5,349 5,344 5,351 5,327 SERVICES ............................ 17,112 17,901 17,972 18,126 18,287 18,512 18,633 18,764 18,847 18,835 18,812 18,826 18,800 18,754 18,503 GOVERNMENT .................................. 15,947 16,249 16,216 16,458 16,493 16,457 15,148 15,560 16,157 16,129 2,773 2,866 2,773 2,774 2,769 2,773 2,782 2,825 2,833 2,803 2,735 2,737 2,729 2,726 2,708 13,174 13,383 13,443 13,684 13,724 13,684 13,632 13,378 12,554 12,345 12,825 13,284 13,428 13,403 13,176 WHOLESALE TRADE .......................... RETAIL TRADE.......................... FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . . F e d e ra l........................................................ State and local ................................................ Digitized for 66 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16,414 16,203 15,387 211.4 16,021 199 2 15,884 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [N o n a g ric u ltu ra l p a y ro ll da ta , in th ousands] 1982 1981 Industry division and group TOTAL ........................................................................................ Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec." Jan.p 91,091 91,258 91,347 91,458 91,564 91,615 91,880 91,901 92,033 91,832 91,522 91,096 90,859 1,151 1,162 1,162 1,172 1,176 1,172 4,275 4,272 4,259 4,229 4,191 4,052 20,241 20,017 19,750 19,537 MINING .............................................................................................. 1,083 1,091 1,098 950 957 1,110 1,132 CONSTRUCTION ................................................................................ 4,390 4,389 4,416 4,418 4,334 4,284 4,272 MANUFACTURING.............................................................................. Production workers ............................................................................. Production workers ............................................................................. 20,174 20,177 20,191 20,332 20,414 20,424 20,535 20,505 20,496 14,053 14,053 14,074 14,187 14,247 14,245 14,327 14,294 14,281 14,030 13,797 13,532 13,366 12,084 12,074 12,099 12,207 12,254 12,278 12,333 12,332 12,311 12,115 11,932 11,727 11,588 8,306 8,297 8,325 8,412 8,442 8,455 8,491 8,485 8,465 8,267 8,083 7,880 7,772 Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ......................................................................... 689 691 692 702 710 699 702 686 677 652 634 618 606 Furniture and fixtures 464 466 467 478 484 486 488 487 485 480 470 465 456 .................................................................................. Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts ................................................................. 654 654 651 656 658 658 658 660 655 644 634 621 608 Primary metal industries ............................................................................. 1,137 1,140 1,141 1,145 1,142 1,144 1,140 1,148 1,139 1,114 1,090 1,061 1,048. 1,514 1,494 Fabricated metal p ro d u c ts ........................................................................... 1,579 1,577 1,581 1,595 1,604 1,604 1,614 1,610 1,606 1,575 1,546 Machinery, except electrical ...................................................................... 2,487 2,481 2,480 2,491 2,511 2,521 2,533 2,542 2,551 2,549 2,522 2,490 2,464 2,077 Electric and electronic e q u ip m e n t............................................................... 2,110 2,110 2,117 2,134 2,143 2,148 2,163 2,166 2,163 2,150 2,119 2,088 Transportation equipment ........................................................................... 1,840 1,833 1,849 1,878 1,872 1,886 1,886 1,889 1,889 1,811 1,783 1,736 1,719 Instruments and related p ro d u c ts ............................................................... 713 711 712 714 716 717 723 727 727 723 719 716 712 Miscellaneous m a n u fa ctu ring...................................................................... 411 411 409 414 414 415 426 417 419 417 415 418 404 8,202 8,173 8,185 8,126 8,085 8,023 7,949 5,836 5,809 5,816 5,763 5,714 5,652 5,594 1,665 Nondurable goods.......................................................................... Production workers ............................................................................. 8,090 8,103 8,092 8,125 8,160 8,146 5,747 5,756 5,749 5,775 5,805 5,790 Food and kindred products ......................................................................... 1,696 1,705 1,691 1,697 1,703 1,673 1,691 1,668 1,669 1,675 1,676 1,669 Tobacco manufactures ................................................................................ 71 72 72 72 71 71 71 73 71 70 70 69 71 Textile mill products ..................................................................................... 841 839 838 842 843 846 856 849 849 833 823 814 795 Apparel and other textile p r o d u c ts ............................................................ 1,244 1,243 1,243 1,250 1,258 1,264 1,278 1,272 1,273 1,259 1,233 1,206 Paper and allied products ........................................................................... 691 691 689 691 694 695 696 698 703 691 686 682 678 1,301 1,302 1,302 1,300 1,302 1,097 Printing and publishing.................................................................................. 1,269 1,272 1,276 1,280 1,283 1,284 1,290 1,295 1,251 Chemicals and allied p ro d u c ts .................................................................... 1,106 1,109 1,108 1,107 1,109 1,111 1,110 1,106 1,112 1,108 1,104 1,102 Petroleum and coal p ro d u c ts ...................................................................... 211 210 210 211 213 212 212 212 211 210 210 209 203 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics p ro d u c ts ........................................... 730 731 734 744 753 757 760 764 760 744 733 722 716 238 236 236 234 230 223 216 Leather and leather p ro d u c ts ...................................................................... 231 231 231 231 233 232 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES ...................................... 5,124 5,135 5,139 5,161 5,148 5,149 5,167 5,170 5,186 5,168 5,147 5,109 5,108 20,796 20,862 20,872 20,916 20,838 20,725 20,893 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 20,529 20,600 20,635 20,636 20,714 20,717 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................................................... 5,305 5,313 5,316 5,333 5,346 5,349 5,360 5,375 5,370 5,360 5,363 5,337 5,331 15,368 15,436 15,487 15,502 15,556 15,475 15,388 15,562 RETAIL TRADE .................................................................................. 15,224 15,287 15,319 15,303 15,368 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ...................................... 5,268 5,283 5,293 5,316 5,326 5,331 5,344 5,354 5,366 5,360 5,355 5,367 5,359 18,475 18,540 18,560 18,642 18,667 18,774 18,788 18,838 18,848 18,842 16,170 16,131 16,040 15,992 15,926 15,930 SERVICES.......................................................................................... 18,300 18,343 18,371 GOVERNMENT .................................................................................. 16,223 16,240 16,204 2,799 2,795 2,781 2,767 2,779 2,781 2,777 2,770 2,765 2,759 2,748 2,738 2,733 13,423 13,403 13,352 13,259 13,215 13,147 13,140 13,179 13,178 13,192 13,163 State and lo c a l.............................................................................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13,424 13,445 15,917 15,905 15,938 15,896 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date [Per 100 employees] Annual average Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total accessions 1977 ........................................................ 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.8 4.6 4.9 4.3 5.3 4.6 3.9 3.1 2.4 1978 ....................................................... 4.1 3.8 3.2 3.8 4.0 4.7 4.9 4.4 5.4 4.9 4.3 3.3 2.4 1979 ....................................................... 4.0 4.0 3.4 3.8 3.9 4.7 4.8 1980 ........................................................ 3.5 1981 ........................................................ 4.3 5.0 4.1 3.0 3.8 3.3 3.5 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.8 4.5 4.3 3.6 2.7 2.2 3.4 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.5 4.0 3.6 4.0 3.5 4.5 2.8 2.4 01.7 2.2 2.1 2.6 2.7 3.5 3.7 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.2 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.6 3.9 3.3 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.6 1.7 2.2 2.2 New hires 1977 ........................................................ 2.8 1978 ........................................................ 3.1 2.5 1979 ........................................................ 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.1 1980 ........................................................ 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.3 p .8 .9 1.2 1.3 1.1 .9 .8 .8 .9 1.0 .8 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .7 .8 .8 .8 .7 .8 .9 .7 .6 .5 .5 1981 ........................................................ 3.6 3.8 3.1 3.7 1.5 Recalls 1977 ........................................................ 1978 ........................................................ .7 1979 ........................................................ .7 1980 ....................................................... 1.1 1981 ........................................................ .9 .7 .7 .7 .8 .7 .9 .9 .8 .7 1.1 .9 .9 .8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.1 .9 .8 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 .9 1.0 1.0 .9 .8 .9 0.7 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 4.3 5.1 4.9 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.8 4.1 5.3 4.9 4.1 3.5 .6 .5 Total separations 1977 ....................................................... 3.8 1978 ........................................................ 3.9 3.6 3.1 3.5 3.6 1979 ........................................................ 4.0 3.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.3 5.7 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.5 1980 ........................................................ 4.0 4.1 3.5 3.7 4.7 4.8 4.4 4.2 4.8 4.1 3.8 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.1 4.2 4.1 0 4.0 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.2 1981 ........................................................ 3.4 Quits 1977 ....................................................... 1.8 1.9 1.9 3.1 2.8 1.9 1.5 1978 ........................................................ 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 3.5 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.3 1979 ........................................................ 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.1 1980 ....................................................... 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.1 .9 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.1 1.8 1.3 .9 0.7 1981 ....................................................... Layoffs 1977 ....................................................... 1.1 1.7 1.4 1.0 .8 .8 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 1978 ....................................................... .9 1.2 .9 .9 .8 .7 .7 1.1 .8 .8 .9 1.0 1.4 1979 ....................................................... 1.1 1.1 .8 .8 .9 .7 .9 1.4 1.3 1980 ........................................................ 1.7 1981 ........................................................ 13. .9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.2 1.3 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.5 2.2 2.6 0 2.7 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group [Per 100 employees] Accession rates Major Industry group Total Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Separation rates New Hires Dec. 1981 p Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Recalls Dec. 1981 p Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Total Dec. 1981 p Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Quits Dec. 1981 p Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Layoffs Dec. 1981 p Dec. 1980 Nov. 1981 Dec. 1981 p MANUFACTURING.................................. 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 3.1 4.1 4.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.6 2.6 Seasonally a d ju s te d ................. 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 3.5 4.1 3.9 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.2 2.3 2.1 Durable goods.................................. 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.0 1.0 .7 .7 .9 .6 2.6 4.2 3.9 .7 .7 .5 1.4 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 1.6 1.3 .8 1.0 1.4 1.6 4.9 7.6 5.9 1.4 1.3 1.0 2.8 5.5 4.1 ...................... 2.8 2.3 1.6 1.7 1.5 .8 1.0 .7 .7 3.3 4.5 3.9 1.3 1.2 .8 1.3 2.7 2.5 Stone, clay, and glass products . . . 2.0 2.0 .6 Primary metal industries Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ............ Furniture and fixtures 1.4 1.1 .9 .6 .8 1.0 .7 4.7 4.8 6.4 .8 .7 3.1 3.5 ................. 2.3 2.7 1.6 .6 .4 .3 1.5 2.1 1.2 2.5 5.4 5.0 .3 .3 .3 1.6 4.4 4.3 Fabricated metal p ro d u c ts .............. 1.9 2.1 1.5 1.1 1.1 .6 .7 .8 .6 2.9 4.7 4.4 .8 .7 .6 1.6 3.2 3.3 Machinery, except e le c tric a l............ 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.1 .7 .5 .4 .3 1.7 2.7 2.3 .6 .6 .4 .6 1.6 1.4 Electric and electronic equipment . . Transportation equipment .............. 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.0 1.2 .8 .5 .5 .4 2.0 3.4 3.4 .7 .7 .6 .7 2.0 2.0 1.8 2.3 1.4 .6 .8 .5 .6 1.2 .7 2.5 4.9 4.0 .4 .5 .4 1.4 3.7 5.3 3.1 Instruments and related products . . 1.5 1.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 .8 .2 .2 .1 1.4 1.9 1.9 .7 .7 .6 .3 .7 .8 Miscellaneous m a n u fa ctu rin g.......... 2.5 3.0 2.1 1.5 2.0 1.2 .8 .8 .8 5.9 6.1 6.8 1.1 1.3 .9 4.0 3.9 5.3 1.2 1,4 .9 1.1 2.1 2.2 2.6 4.1 3.8 3.8 .5 2.8 5.3 2.7 Nondurable goods 2.5 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.1 .9 .8 3.8 4.0 4.1 1.1 ............ 3.7 3.0 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.3 6.3 5.9 5.6 1.5 Tobacco m anu fa ctu re rs................... 4.8 4.4 2.8 1.5 1.1 1.0 2.7 2.7 1.6 3.7 6.5 3.6 .4 1.4 .8 .7 2.6 3.7 3.6 1.1 1.1 .8 .9 1.9 2.3 1.3 1.2 5.3 5.6 5.9 1.6 1.8 1.2 3.2 3.1 4.0 1.7 2.0 Food and kindred products Textile mill products ........................ 2.0 2.4 1.6 1.4 1.4 .8 Apparel and other p ro d u c ts ............ 3.0 3.9 2.6 1.5 2.3 1.2 Paper and allied products ............... 1.7 1.7 1.3 .9 .9 .3 .4 .8 .5 .6 2.5 2.6 2.9 .5 .5 .4 1.4 Printing and p u blishing...................... 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.1 1.6 .5 .5 .4 3.0 2.8 2.7 1.0 .8 .8 .7 .5 .2 .2 .2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 .4 1.3 .3 .8 1.1 1.5 .4 .9 Chemicals and allied products . . . . .5 .7 ,9 8 Petroleum and coal p ro d u c ts .......... 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 .8 .9 .2 .2 .2 2.0 1.7 3.1 .4 .4 .4 1.1 .8 2.3 2.6 3.4 2.2 1.5 2.4 1.4 1.2 .8 1.0 .7 .6 3.3 4.8 4.3 1.0 .9 .7 1.7 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 6.0 5.5 9.6 1.8 2.0 1.4 3.5 2.7 7.5 .7 .7 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics p r o d u c ts ........................... Leather and leather p ro d u c ts .......... Notic e : After release of final December 1981 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 68 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3.4 data in the April issue, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will discontinue computation and publication of the data in tables 12 and 13. 14. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1950-80 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Total private Average weekly hours 1950 ...................... $53.13 39.8 $1.335 $67.16 37.9 $1.772 $69.68 37.4 $1.863 $58.32 40.5 $1.440 1951 ...................... 57.86 39.9 1.45 74.11 38.4 1.93 76.96 38.1 2.02 63.34 40.6 1.56 1952 ...................... 60.65 39.9 1.52 77.59 38.6 2.01 82.86 38.9 2.13 66.75 40.7 1953 ...................... 63.76 39.6 1.61 83.03 38.8 2.14 86.41 37.9 2.28 70.47 40.5 1.74 88.91 37.2 2.39 70.49 39.6 1.78 90.90 37.1 2.45 75.30 40.7 1.85 1954 ...................... 64.52 39.1 1.65 82.60 38.6 2.14 1955 ...................... 67.72 39.6 1.71 89.54 40.7 2.20 1.95 39.3 95.06 40.8 2.33 96.38 37.5 73.33 38.8 1.89 98.25 40.1 2.45 100.27 37.0 2.71 81.19 39.8 2.04 75.08 38.5 1.95 96.08 38.9 2.47 103.78 36.8 2.82 82.32 39.2 2.10 1.80 78.78 40.4 70.74 1957 ...................... 1958 ...................... 1956 ...................... 2.57 1.64 ................... 78.78 39.0 2.02 103.68 40.5 2.56 108.41 37.0 2.93 88.26 40.3 2.19 1960 ...................... 80.67 38.6 2.09 105.04 40.4 2.60 112.67 36.7 3.07 89.72 39.7 2.26 1 9 6 1 ...................... 82.60 38.6 2.14 106.92 40.5 2.64 118.08 36.9 3.20 92.34 39.8 2.32 1962 ...................... 85.91 38.7 2.22 110.70 41.0 2.70 122.47 37.0 3.31 96.56 40.4 2.39 99.23 40.5 1959' 41.6 2.75 127.19 37.3 3.41 2.45 1963 ...................... 88.46 38.8 2.28 114.40 1964 ...................... 91.33 38.7 2.36 117.74 41.9 2.81 132.06 37.2 3.55 102.97 40.7 2.53 42.3 2.92 138.38 37.4 3.70 107.53 41.2 2.61 3.05 146.26 37.6 3.89 112.19 41.4 2.71 1965 ...................... 95.45 38.8 2.46 123.52 1966 ...................... 98.82 38.6 2.56 130.24 42.7 1967 ...................... 101.84 38.0 2.68 135.89 42.6 3.19 154.95 37.7 4.11 114.49 40.6 2.82 3.35 164.49 37.3 4.41 122.51 40.7 3.01 1968 ...................... 107.73 37.8 2.85 142.71 42.6 1969 ...................... 114.61 37.7 3.04 154.80 43.0 3.60 181.54 37.9 4.79 129.51 40.6 3.19 1970 ...................... 119.83 37.1 3.23 164.40 42.7 3.85 195.45 37.3 5.24 133.33 39.8 3.35 1971 ...................... 127.31 36.9 3.45 172.14 42.4 4.06 211.67 37.2 5.69 142.44 39.9 3.57 1972 ...................... 136.90 37.0 3.70 189.14 42.6 4.44 221.19 36.5 6.06 154.71 40.5 3.82 1973 ...................... 145.39 36.9 3.94 201.40 42.4 4.75 235.89 36.8 6.41 166.46 40.7 4.09 1974 ...................... 154.76 36.5 4.24 219.14 41.9 5.23 249.25 36.6 6.81 176.80 40.0 4.42 1975 ...................... 163.53 36.1 4.53 249.31 41.9 5.95 266.08 36.4 7.31 190.79 39.5 4.83 1976 ...................... 175.45 36.1 4.86 273.90 42.4 6.46 283.73 36.8 7.71 209.32 1977 ...................... 189.00 36.0 5.25 301.20 43.4 6.94 295.65 36.5 8.10 228.90 40.3 5.68 8.66 249.27 40.4 6.17 35.8 5.69 318.69 36.8 219.91 35.7 6.16 365.07 43.0 8.49 342.99 37.0 9.27 269.34 40.2 6.70 1980 ...................... 235.10 35.3 6.66 396.14 43.2 9.17 367.04 37.0 9.92 288.62 39.7 7.27 203.70 Transportation and public utilities 332.88 7.67 5.22 1979 ...................... 1978 ...................... 43.4 40.1 Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services $44.55 40.5 $1.100 $50.52 37.7 $1.340 1951 47.79 40.5 1.18 54.67 37.7 1.45 1952 . . . 49.20 40.0 1.23 57.08 37.8 1.51 1953 51.35 39.5 1.30 59.57 37.7 1.58 1954 53.33 39.5 1.35 62.04 37.6 1.65 1955 5 516 39.4 1.40 63.92 37.6 1.70 39.1 1.47 65.68 36.9 1.78 1957 59.60 38.7 1.54 67.53 36.7 1.84 1958 61.76 38.6 1.60 70.12 37.1 1.89 1959' 64.41 38.8 1.66 72.74 37.3 1.95 1960 6601 38.6 1.71 75.14 37.2 2.02 1961 67.41 38.3 1.76 77.12 36.9 2.09 1962 69 91 38.2 1.83 80.94 37.3 84.38 37.5 2.25 57.48 1956 2.17 72.01 38.1 1.89 1964 ...................... $118.78 41.1 $2.89 74.66 37.9 1.97 85.79 37.3 2.30 $70.03 36.1 1965 ...................... 125.14 41.3 3.03 76.91 37.7 2.04 88.91 37.2 2.39 73.60 35.9 2.05 37.1 2.14 92.13 37.3 2.47 77.04 35.5 2.17 1963 $1.94 128.13 41.2 3.11 79.39 1967 ...................... 130.82 40.5 3.23 82.35 36.6 2.25 95.72 37.1 2.58 80.38 35.1 2.29 1968 ...................... 138.85 40.6 3.42 87.00 36.1 2.41 101.75 37.0 2.75 83.97 34.7 2.42 1969 ...................... 147.74 40.7 3.63 91.39 35.7 2.56 108.70 37.1 2.93 90.57 34.7 2.61 1970 ...................... 155.93 40.5 3.85 96.02 35.3 2.72 112.67 36.7 3.07 96.66 34.4 2.81 35.1 1966 ...................... 103.06 33.9 3.04 117.85 187.86 40.4 4.65 106.45 34.9 3.05 122.98 36.6 3.36 110.85 33.9 3.27 1973 ...................... 1974 ...................... 203.31 40.5 5.02 111.76 34.6 3.23 129.20 36.6 3.53 117.29 33.8 3.47 217.48 40.2 5.41 119.02 34.2 3.48 137.61 36.5 3.77 126.00 33.6 3.75 1975 ...................... 233.44 39.7 5.88 126.45 33.9 3.73 148.19 36.5 4.06 134.67 33.5 4.02 168.82 40.1 4.21 101.09 36.6 3.22 2.88 1972 ...................... 1971 ...................... 1976 ...................... 256.71 39.8 6.45 133.79 33.7 3.97 155.43 36.4 4.27 143.52 33.3 4.31 1977 ...................... 278.90 39.9 6.99 142.52 33.3 4.28 165.26 36.4 4.54 153.45 33.0 4.65 1978 ...................... 302.80 40.0 7.57 153.64 32.9 4.67 178.00 36.4 4.89 163.67 32.8 5.36 5.85 1979 ...................... 1980 ...................... 325.58 351.25 39.9 8.16 164.96 32.6 5.06 190.77 36.2 5.27 175.27 32.7 39.6 8.87 176.46 32.2 5.48 209.24 36.2 5.78 190.71 32.6 4.99 1 Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group [G ro s s a ve ra g e s, p ro d u c tio n o r n o n supervisory w o rke rs on private n onagricultural payro lls] Annual average 1981 Industry division and group 1982 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. 35.7 35.3 35.1 35.0 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.4 35.6 35.6 35.0 35.1 35.1 35.2 33.7 MINING 43.0 43.2 43.6 42.8 42.3 43.6 43.8 42.1 43.5 44.1 43.8 44.5 44.3 44.8 42.4 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 37.0 37.0 36.4 35.0 37.2 36.9 36.9 37.2 37.7 37.3 35.7 37.5 37.0 37.0 33.4 MANUFACTURING ............................................ 40.2 39.7 39.9 39.5 39.9 39.7 40.1 40.2 39.6 39.8 39.5 39.7 39.6 39.9 36.8 Overtime h o u r s .............................................. 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.2 40.8 40.1 40,4 39.9 40.5 40.3 40.6 40.6 39.9 40.2 39.8 40.1 40.0 40.4 37.4 3.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.0 38.2 37.6 TOTAL PRIVATE.................................. Durable goods Overtime h o u r s .............................................. Lumber and wood products ............................... 39.4 38.6 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p 38.8 38.5 Furniture and fixtures ............................................ 38.7 38.1 38.1 38.3 38.8 38.2 38.5 38.9 37.8 38.6 37.7 38.6 38.1 38.8 32.5 Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts ........................... 41.5 40.8 40.3 39.6 40.6 40.9 41.1 41.2 40.8 41.0 40.6 40.5 40.5 40.2 37.1 39.0 39.1 39.6 39.5 38.7 39.0 37.9 38.3 33.7 Primary metal in d u s trie s ....................................... 41.4 40.1 41.1 40.7 41.1 41.2 40.9 40.9 40.3 40.3 40.8 39.6 39.7 39.6 38.0 Fabricated metal products 40.7 40.4 40.4 40.0 40.6 40.2 40.7 40.8 39.9 40.3 39.6 40.1 40.0 40.5 37.8 .................................. Machinery except e le c tric a l.................................. 41.8 41.0 41.2 40.8 41.2 40.8 41.2 41.1 40.4 40.7 40.4 40.6 40.9 41.6 39.1 Electric and electronic equipment 40.3 39.8 40.1 39.6 40.2 39.8 40.1 40.2 39.7 40.0 39.7 39.9 39.8 40.4 37.6 40.8 41.4 37.2 ...................... Transportation e q u ip m e n t.................................... 41.1 40.6 40.9 40.1 41.1 41.0 41.6 41.3 40.7 40.5 39.9 40.9 Instruments and related products ...................... 40.8 40.5 40.6 40.5 40.6 39.9 40.3 40.4 39.9 40.4 40.4 40.4 40.8 40.5 38.0 ............................. 38.8 38.7 38.6 38.4 38.9 38.6 38.9 39.0 38.5 39.0 38.7 39.3 39.5 39.1 36.5 Nondurable goods ........................................ 39.3 39.0 39.2 38.9 39.1 38.9 39.4 39.5 39.1 39.4 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.3 35.8 Overtime h o u r s .............................................. 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.4 Food and kindred p ro d u c ts .................................. 39.9 39.7 40.0 39.3 39.2 39.3 39.8 39.8 39.6 40.0 39.8 39.6 39.9 40.3 38.7 Tobacco m a n u fa c tu re s......................................... Textile mill p ro d u c ts .............................................. 38.1 38.6 38.5 37.2 37.2 38.6 38.5 38.6 40.7 40.2 39.4 38.8 38.1 40.4 40.1 39.9 39.9 40.1 39.4 40.3 40.4 39.7 40.0 38.9 39.4 39.2 39.0 30.6 Apparel and other textile p ro d u c ts ...................... 35.3 35.4 35.2 35.3 35.8 35.2 36.0 36.4 36.0 36.3 35.2 35.8 35.8 35.5 29.2 Paper and allied p ro d u c ts .................................... 42.6 42.3 42.7 42.2 42.4 42.3 42.5 42.7 42.4 42.5 43.2 42.4 42.3 42.7 40.9 Printing and publishing ......................................... 37.5 37.1 37.1 36.9 37.1 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.2 37.4 37.2 37.3 38.0 36.1 41.5 40.4 Miscellaneous manufacturing 38.0 35.6 41.6 41.5 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.5 37.5 41.4 42.2 41.5 41.7 42.0 43.8 41.8 42.6 42.5 42.6 43.9 43.6 43.5 43.7 43.0 44.4 43.1 43.0 42.7 43.9 .. 40.5 40.1 41.0 40.2 40.7 40.4 40.9 40.9 40.0 40.4 39.8 40.2 39.9 40.0 37.3 ............................. 36.5 36.7 36.5 36.7 36.8 36.3 37.4 38.1 36.6 36.9 36.0 36.7 36.6 36.4 34.8 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 39.9 39.6 39.4 39.5 39.4 39.3 39.3 39.8 39.8 39.5 39.2 39.1 39.3 39.2 38.5 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 32.6 32.2 31.7 31.7 31.9 32.1 32.0 32.3 32.8 32.8 32.2 31.9 31.9 32.2 31.0 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 38.8 38.5 38.5 38.3 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.8 38.7 38.5 38.7 38.6 38.7 37.7 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 30.6 30.2 29.5 29.6 29.8 30.0 29.9 30.4 30.9 30.9 30.2 29.8 29.8 30.2 28.9 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 36.2 36.2 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.3 36.1 36.1 36.3 36.3 36.0 36.2 36.2 36.1 36.1 SERVICES................................................ 32.7 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.7 33.0 32.9 32.4 32.5 32.5 32.6 32.1 Chemicals and allied p ro d u c ts ............................. Petroleum and coal products ............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 41.9 16. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1982 1981 Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE................................................ Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.P Jan.p 35.3 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.3 35.2 35.3 35.2 34.9 35.0 35.0 34.9 34.1 39.0 36.9 MANUFACTURING .................................................. 40.1 39.8 39.9 40.2 40.3 40.1 40.0 40.0 39.3 39.5 39.3 Overtime h o u r s ..................................................... 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 Durable goods .................................................... 40.6 40.1 40.4 40.8 40.8 40.5 40.5 40.5 39.7 39.9 39.7 39.3 37.5 Overtime h o u r s ..................................................... 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 39.8 39.1 39.1 39.6 39.8 39.0 38.8 38.6 37.3 37.6 37.5 37.8 34.6 Furniture and fixtures ................................................... 38.5 38.6 38.6 38.8 39.0 38.9 38.5 38.6 37.5 38.1 37.7 37.6 32.8 Stone, clay, and glass products 41.3 40.6 40.7 41.2 41.0 40.8 40.9 40.8 40.3 40.0 40.0 39.6 38.0 40.6 39.8 39.7 39.2 38.0 Lumber and wood products ....................................... ............................... Primary metal in d u s trie s .............................................. 41.1 40.7 41.0 41.2 41.0 40.8 40.5 40.7 Fabricated metal products ......................................... 40.5 40.2 40.4 40.9 40.9 40.7 40.5 40.5 39.5 40.0 39.6 39.3 37.9 Machinery, except electrical ....................................... 41.1 40.8 40.9 41.3 41.4 41.1 41.1 41.2 40.3 40.7 40.6 40.3 39.0 Electric and electronic equipment ............................. 40.1 39.6 40.0 40.2 40.4 40.2 40.5 40.4 39.6 39.9 39.3 39.3 37.6 Transportation e q u ip m e n t............................................ 41.3 40.5 40.9 42.0 41.8 41.4 41.2 41.3 39.9 40.5 40.3 39.4 37.5 Instruments and related products 38.0 ............................. 40.6 40.5 40.5 40.1 40.4 40.4 40.5 40.8 40.5 40.4 40.3 39.7 .................................... 38.8 38.6 38.7 38.9 39.2 39.1 39.2 39.1 38.4 39.0 39.0 38.4 36.7 Nondurable goods .............................................. 39.5 39.2 39.2 39.3 39.6 39.4 39.3 39.3 38.9 39.0 38.8 38.6 36.1 Overtime h o u r s ..................................................... 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 39.0 Miscellaneous manufacturing Food and kindred p ro d u c ts ......................................... 40.3 39.9 39.7 40.1 40.0 39.8 39.4 39.4 39.2 39.6 39.7 Textile mill p r o d u c ts ..................................................... 40.0 40.0 39.9 39.8 40.5 40.2 40.4 40.3 38.9 39.3 38.8 38.2 30.7 Apparel and other textile p ro d u c ts ............................. 36.1 35.6 35.7 35.5 36.0 36.1 35.9 36.1 35.2 35.7 35.6 35.1 29.9 Paper and allied p ro d u c ts ........................................... 42.6 42.4 42.4 42.6 42.8 42.7 42.7 42.7 43.1 42.4 41.9 41.8 40.8 37.3 37.3 37.1 37.1 36.9 37.3 36.4 39.5 Printing and publishing ................................................ 37.5 37.3 37.1 37.6 37.4 Chemicals and allied p ro d u c ts .................................... 41.6 41.6 41.5 41.5 41.7 41.7 41.8 41.7 42.3 41.5 41.3 41.5 40.4 Petroleum and coal products 43.8 43.8 43.5 44.1 43.8 43.4 43.1 42.8 43.3 42.1 42.3 42.7 45.2 40.9 40.3 40.5 40.7 41.3 41.0 40.5 40.6 39.6 40.0 39.6 39.3 37.2 36.9 36.1 36.8 36.7 36.1 35.1 .................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products .......... .................................... WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 37.3 36.8 37.0 37.1 36.6 37.1 37.1 36.5 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.3 32.1 32.1 32.2 32.1 32.1 31.9 32.0 31.9 31.5 38.6 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.4 37.9 30.1 30.1 29.9 29.9 29.8 29.5 32.4 32.4 32.5 32.6 32.7 32.3 WHOLESALE TRADE .............................................. 38.8 38.6 38.6 38.6 38.5 38.5 38.7 RETAIL TRADE........................................................ 30.1 30.2 30.2 30.3 30.1 30.1 30.1 SERVICES................................................................ Note: The Industry divisions of mining; 32.7 construction; tobacco 32.8 32.8 32.8 manufactures (a major manufacturing group, nondurable goods); transportation and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate are no longer shown. This is because the seasonal component In these is https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32.7 32.5 32.5 small relative to the trend-cycle, or irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be precisely separated. 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 17. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1981 1982 Industry division and group 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p $6.16 $6.66 $7.03 $7.06 $7.10 $7.13 $7.17 $7.20 $7.24 $7.30 $7.40 $7.42 $7.46 $7.44 $7.53 MINING.................................................. 8.49 9.17 9.77 9.86 9.85 9.70 9.68 9.94 10.11 10.15 10.29 10.28 10.42 10.41 10.58 CONSTRUCTION.......................................... 9.27 9.92 10.42 10.41 10.44 10.43 10.53 10.60 10.74 10.87 11.02 11.10 11.12 11.19 11.57 MANUFACTURING ............................................ 6.70 7.27 7.73 7.75 7.80 7.88 7.92 7.97 8.02 8.02 8.15 8.15 8.20 8.25 8.38 TOTAL PRIVATE........................................ Durable goods.................................. 7.13 7.75 8.23 8.26 8.32 8.40 8.52 8.55 8.57 8.68 8.71 8.75 8.80 8.86 Lumber and wood products ........................ 6.07 6.53 6.79 6.81 6.79 6.83 6.92 7.10 7.16 7.13 7.15 7.09 7.15 7.14 7.39 Furniture and fix tu r e s .................................... 5.06 5.49 5.71 5.74 5.76 5.78 5.83 5.89 5.91 5.98 6.00 6.05 6.04 6.10 6.21 Stone, clay, and glass products ................. 6.85 8.45 7.50 7.87 7.89 7.94 8.11 8.20 8.31 8.39 8.41 8.53 8.50 8.54 8.55 8.61 Primary metal in d u s trie s............................... 8.98 9.77 10.36 10.56 10.52 10.76 10.68 10.76 10.79 10.99 11.22 10.97 11.10 11.09 11.14 Fabricated metal products ........................... 6.85 7.45 7.89 7.91 8.01 8.05 8.17 8.23 8.22 8.27 8.34 8.39 8.43 8.53 8.55 Machinery, except e le c tric a l........................ 7.32 8.00 8.53 8.56 8.62 8.67 8.75 8.81 8.85 8.86 8.98 9.05 9.10 9.19 9.18 Electric and electronic e q u ip m e n t.............. 6.32 6.95 7.43 7.47 7.51 7.55 7.60 7.69 7.76 7.79 7.84 7.86 7.92 7.96 Transportation e q u ip m e n t............................. 8.53 9.32 9.96 9.93 10.08 10.14 10.25 10.36 10.35 10.30 10.41 10.65 10.66 10.67 10.58 Instruments and related products .............. 6.17 6.80 7.19 7.20 7.23 7.25 7.31 7.34 7.44 7.56 7.60 7.61 7.70 7.72 7.75 Miscellaneous manufacturing ...................... 5.03 5.47 5.82 5.83 5.85 5.91 5.93 5.93 5.98 5.97 6.07 6.06 6.12 6.21 6.34 Nondurable goods...................................... 6.01 6.56 6.97 6.98 7.01 7.41 7.08 r.11 /.14 7.23 7.24 7.37 7.34 7.39 7.45 7.69 Food and kindred p ro d u c ts .......................... 6.27 6.86 7.21 7.24 7.29 7.37 7.43 7.43 7.47 7.50 7.58 7.53 7.63 7.71 7.83 Tobacco m a nufactures.................................. Textile mill p ro d u c ts ....................................... 6.67 4.66 7.73 5.08 8.50 8.61 5.36 8.90 5.36 9.03 5.40 9.33 5.42 9.43 5.35 8.56 5.35 8.61 5.66 8.66 5.69 8.58 5.72 8.96 5.74 8.92 5.73 9.13 5.76 Apparel and other textile products 5.51 ............ 4.23 4.57 4.89 4.87 4.94 4.96 4.98 5.00 4.94 4.98 5.06 5.07 5.06 5.04 5.17 Paper and allied p ro d u c ts ............................. 7.13 7.84 8.27 8.28 8.30 8.37 8.42 8.55 8.73 8.67 8.95 8.82 8.89 8.96 9.06 Printing and p u b lis h in g .................................. 6.94 Chemicals and allied products 7.53 7.92 7.96 8.02 8.04 8.10 8.13 8.22 8.27 8.40 8.42 8.44 8.47 8.56 ................... 7.60 8.30 8.74 8.80 8.84 8.94 8.99 9.07 9.16 9.19 9.38 9.37 9.42 9.47 9.67 Petroleum and coal products ...................... 9.36 10.09 11.06 11.33 11.23 11.40 11.28 11.29 11.41 11.31 11.53 11.46 11.57 11.52 12.05 Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ...................... 5.97 6.56 7.06 7.04 7.07 7.15 7.22 7.23 7.28 7.32 7.38 7.39 7.41 7.50 7.61 4.22 4.58 4.86 4.88 4.90 4.93 4.95 4.98 4.96 4.97 5.08 5.09 5.10 5.14 5.21 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . . 8.16 8.87 9.33 9.45 9.42 9.54 9.59 9.63 9.69 9.89 9.97 9.96 10.07 10.07 10.12 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 5.06 5.48 5.80 5.84 5.85 5.87 5.89 5.89 5.91 5.94 6.04 6.00 6.03 6.00 6.16 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 6.39 6.96 7.32 7.38 7.42 7.47 7.51 7.51 7.59 7.67 7.71 7.74 7.81 7.81 7.93 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 4.53 4.88 5.18 5.20 5.20 5.22 5.23 5.23 5.24 5.26 5.37 5.29 5.32 5.30 5.44 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 5.27 5.78 6.10 6.21 6.19 6.20 6.24 6.24 6.27 6.37 6.38 6.42 6.51 6.47 6.57 SERVICES.................................................... 5.36 5.85 6.21 6.27 6.29 6.30 6.33 6.33 6.34 6.41 6.51 6.57 6.67 6.65 6.77 18. Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [Seasonally adjusted data: 1977=100] 1981 1982 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.» Jan.p Dec. 1981 to Jan. 1982 Jan. 1981 to Jan. 1982 TOTAL PRIVATE (in current dollars) .. 133.8 135.0 135.8 136.7 137.7 138.4 139.0 140.7 141.5 141.9 143.2 143.3 144.8 1.0 8.2 M ining1 ................................................ 142.1 143.2 144.0 145.7 145.6 147.2 148.9 149.4 151.5 151.3 153.3 152.7 154.5 1.2 8.8 Construction ....................................... 127.6 128.0 128.6 129.0 129.4 130.4 131.8 132.5 132.9 134.3 135.4 136.1 140.8 3.5 10.4 .................................... 136.5 137.5 138.5 139.9 140.7 141.6 142.5 143.6 144.8 145.5 146.4 146.8 148.3 1.0 8.6 Industry Manufacturing Transportation and public utilities . . . 133.7 135.4 136.1 137.3 138.9 139.8 141.8 141.7 142.0 144.0 144.2 145.1 .7 8.5 ............... 133.7 135.0 135.8 136.4 137.4 137.8 138.4 140.0 141.2 140.5 141.5 141.4 142.0 .5 6.2 Finance, insurance, and real estate . 133.2 135.0 136.0 135.4 136.8 137.1 137.4 140.4 140.3 140.9 143:2 142.1 143.3 .9 7.6 Services 132.0 133.2 134.0 134.8 136.0 136.6 136.9 139.4 139.8 140.7 142.6 142.4 143.7 .9 8.8 92.8 92.7 92.8 93.0 93.1 92.9 92.2 92.7 92.1 92.0 92.4 92.1. (2) <2 ) (2) Wholesale and retail trade .............................................. TOTAL PRIVATE (In constant dollars) 1 This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. Digitized 72 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 139.3 2 Not available 19. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group 1982 1981 Annual average Industry division and group 1979 1980 D e c .p J an .p Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. $257.74 $259.88 $259.00 $260.44 $261.85 $261.89 $253.76 TOTAL PRIVATE.............................. $219.91 $235.10 $246.75 $247.10 $249.92 $250.98 $252.38 $254.88 MINING........................................................ 365.07 396.14 425.97 422.01 416.66 422.92 423.98 418.47 439.79 447.62 450.70 457.46 461.61 466.37 448.59 404.90 405.45 393.41 416.25 411.44 414.03 386.44 CONSTRUCTION.......................................... 342.99 367.04 379.29 364.35 388.37 384.87 388.56 394.32 MANUFACTURING ...................................... 269.34 288.62 308.43 306.13 311.22 312.84 317.59 320.39 317.59 319.20 321.93 323.56 324.72 329.18 308.38 344.51 345.46 349.27 350.00 355.52 331.36 273.46 249.04 Durable goods.......................................... Lumber and wood products.................... Furniture and fixtures ............................ Stone, clay, and glass products.............. Primary metal industries ........................ Fabricated metal products...................... Machinery except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipment............ Transportation equipment ...................... Instruments and related products............ Miscellaneous manufacturing.................. Nondurable goods Food and kindred products .................... Tobacco manufactures .......................... Textile mill products .............................. Apparel and other textile products.......... Paper and allied products ...................... Printing and publishing............................ Chemicals and allied products................ Petroleum and coal products.................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products................................ Leather and leather products.................. TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 290.90 310.78 332.49 329.57 336.96 338.52 343.07 345.91 341.15 239.16 252.06 263.45 262.19 264.81 267.05 274.03 280.45 277.09 278.07 270.99 270.84 268.84 195.82 209.17 217.55 219.84 223.49 220.80 224.46 229.12 223.40 230.83 226.20 233.53 230.12 236.68 201.83 319.43 284.28 306.00 317.16 312.44 322.36 331.70 337.02 342.37 342.31 344.81 346.32 344.25 345.87 343.71 371.77 391.78 42580 429.79 432.37 443.31 436.81 440.08 434.84 442.90 457.78 434.41 440.67 439.16 423.32 278.80 300.98 318.76 316.40 325.21 323.61 332.52 335.78 327.98 333.28 330.26 336.44 337.20 345.47 323.19 358.94 305.98 328.00 351.44 349.25 355.14 353.74 360.50 362.09 357.54 360.60 362.79 367.43 372.19 382.30 254.70 276.61 297.14 294.23 300.29 298.90 302.76 305.52 305.29 310.40 309.26 312.82 312.83 319.97 299.30 350.58 378.39 407.36 398.19 414.29 415.74 426.40 427.87 421.25 417.15 415.36 435.59 434.93 441.74 393.58 251.74 275.40 291.91 291.60 293.54 289.28 294.59 296.54 296.86 305.42 307.04 307.44 314.16 312.66 294.50 195.16 211.69 224.65 223.87 227.57 228.13 230.68 231.27 230.23 232.83 234.91 238.16 241.74 242.81 231.41 236.19 255.84 273.22 271.52 274.09 275.41 280.13 282.03 282.69 285.26 288.17 286.99 288.95 292.79 275.30 250.17 272.34 288.40 284.53 285.77 289.64 295.71 295.71 295.81 300.00 301.68 298.19 304.44 310.71 303.02 253.46 294.51 328.10 329.56 320.29 331.08 348.56 359.21 364.00 350.43 348.13 338.05 347.65 339.85 325.03 225.37 225.01 223.47 176.26 188.26 203.71 213.47 213.47 214.94 211.18 217.62 218.97 218.75 226.40 221.34 149.32 161.78 172.13 171.91 176.85 174.59 179.28 182.00 177.84 180.77 178.11 181.51 181.15 178.92 150.96 303.74 331.63 353.13 349.42 351.92 354.05 357.85 365.09 370.15 368.48 386.64 373.97 376.05 382.59 370.55 260.25 279.36 293.83 293.72 297.54 297.48 302.13 302.44 305.78 310.13 314.16 313.22 314.81 321.86 309.02 318.44 344.45 363.58 365.20 367.74 371.90 373.98 377.31 380.14 380.47 395.84 388.86 392.81 397.74 390.67 409.97 421.76 471.16 481.53 478.40 500.46 491.81 491.12 498.62 486.33 511.93 493.93 497.51 491.90 529.00 295.66 300.00 283.85 241.79 263.06 289.46 283.01 287.75 288.86 295.30 295.71 291.20 295.73 293.72 297.08 154.03 168.09 177.39 179.10 180.32 178.96 185.13 189.74 181.54 183.39 182.88 186.80 186.66 187.10 181.31 325.58 351.25 367.60 373.28 371.15 374.92 376.89 383.27 385.66 390.66 390.82 389.44 395.75 394.74 389.62 194.83 194.49 191.40 192.36 193.20 190.96 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .............. 164.96 176.46 183.86 185.13 186.62 188.43 188.48 190.25 193.85 WHOLESALE TRADE ................................ 247.93 267.96 281.82 282.65 285.67 287.60 289.14 289.89 294.49 296.83 296.84 299.54 301.47 302.25 298.96 162.17 157.64 158.54 160.06 157.22 RETAIL TRADE.......................................... 138.62 147.38 152.81 153.92 154.96 156.60 156.38 158.99 161.92 162.53 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 190.77 209.24 222.04 226.04 225.32 225.06 225.26 225.26 227.60 231.23 229.68 232.40 235.66 233.57 237.18 206.73 206.99 209.22 210.89 210.92 213.53 216.78 216.79 217.32 SERVICES.................................................. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 175.27 190.71 201.83 204.40 205.05 205.38 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 20. Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1977 dollars, 1961 to date [Averages for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Private nonagricultural workers Year and month Gross average weekly earnings Current dollars 1977 dollars Manufacturing workers Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Current dollars 1977 dollars Spendable average weekly earnings Married worker with 3 dependents Current dollars 1977 dollars weekly earnings Current dollars 1977 dollars Worker with no dependents Current dollars 1977 dollars Married worker with 3 dependents dollars 1977 dollars 1961 ................................................... $82.60 $167.21 $67.08 $135.79 $74.48 $150.77 $92.34 1962 ................................................... $186.92 $74.60 $151.01 85.91 $82.18 172.16 69.56 $166.36 139.40 76.99 154.29 96.56 1963 ................................................... 193.51 77.86 156.03 88.46 85.53 175.17 171.40 71.05 140.69 78.56 155.56 99.23 1964 ................................................... 196.50 79.51 157.45 91.33 87.25 178.38 172.77 75.04 146.56 82.57 161.27 102.97 1965 .............................................. 201.11 84.40 164.84 95.45 92.18 183.21 180 04 79.32 152.25 86.63 166.28 107.53 206.39 89.08 170.98 96.78 185.76 1966 ....................................... 98.82 184.37 81.29 151.66 88.66 165.41 112.19 1967 .................................... 209.31 91.45 170.62 101.84 99.33 184.83 185.32 83.38 151.32 90.86 164.90 114.49 1968 .............................................. 207.79 92.97 168.73 107.73 100.93 187.68 86.71 183.18 151.06 95.28 165.99 122.51 312.43 97.70 170.21 106.75 185.98 1969 .............................................. 114.61 189.44 90.96 150.35 99.99 165.27 129.51 1970 ....................................... 214.07 101.90 168.43 111.44 119.83 186.94 184 20 96.21 150.09 104.90 163.65 133.33 208.00 106.32 165.87 115.58 180.31 1971 .................................. 127.31 190.58 103.80 155.39 112.43 1972 ................................................... 136.90 124.24 198.41 185.99 112.19 162.59 121.68 176.35 154.71 1973 ................................................... 224.22 125.34 145.39 181.65 135.57 198.35 117.51 196 48 160.31 127.38 173.78 166.46 227.09 132.57 180.86 143.50 195.77 168.31 142.44 213.23 114.97 172.11 1974 ............................. 154,76 190.12 124.37 152.79 134.61 165.37 176.80 1975 .............................................. 217.20 140.19 172.22 163.53 151.56 184.16 186.19 132.49 149.20 145.65 164.02 190.79 214.85 151.61 170.73 166.29 187.26 19310 200.06 1976 .................................... 175.45 189.00 186.85 189.00 143.30 155.19 152.61 155.19 155.87 169.93 166.00 169.93 209.32 228.90 222.92 167.83 1978 .............................................. 228.90 183.80 178.73 183.80 203.70 189.31 181.32 200.06 165.39 153.71 180.71 167.95 249.27 231.66 197.40 183.46 214.87 199.69 1979 .................................... 219.91 183.41 178.00 148.46 194.82 162.49 269.34 1980 ................................................ 224.64 212.70 177.40 235.10 172.74 232.38 193 81 188.82 138.74 206.06 151.65 288.62 212.06 225.79 165.90 247.01 181.49 1981: January ............................... 246.75 171.83 195.68 138.37 213.96 149.00 308.43 F e b ru a ry............................... 247.10 170.18 195.92 134.93 214.22 147.53 306.13 M a rc h .................................. 210.83 236.08 162.59 249.92 258.70 171.06 178.17 197.88 135.44 216.34 148.08 311.22 213.02 239.37 163.84 262.38 179.59 214.78 237.6Ö 165.46 260.36 181 31 A p r i l ....................................... 250.98 170.73 198.61 M a y ....................................... 252.38 163.53 263.55 170.18 179.29 199.59 134.59 218.20 147.13 317.59 J u n e ....................................... 214.15 243.40 164.13 254.88 266.99 170.49 18003 201.32 134.66 220.08 147.21 320.39 214.31 245.18 164.00 135.11 217.14 147.71 312.84 212.82 240.39 269.01 179.94 July ....................................... 257.74 170.35 203.30 134.37 222.24 146.89 317.59 209.91 August .................................. 243.40 259.88 160.87 266.99 170.64 204.79 176.46 134.46 223.85 146.98 319.20 209.59 244.42 160.49 268.15 176 07 September .......................... 259.00 168.40 204.18 132.76 223.19 145.12 321.93 O ctober ............................... 209.32 246.15 160.05 260.44 169.01 270.13 175 64 207.07 134.37 225.23 146.16 323.56 N o v e m b e r............................. 209.97 249.93 162.19 261.85 272.84 169.48 208.07 134.67 226.30 146.47 324.72 210.17 D ecem ber15 ........................ 250.68 162.25 261.89 273.69 169.07 177.05 177 15 208.09 134.34 226.33 146.11 329.18 212.51 253.57 163.70 276.97 178.81 1982: January p ............................. 253.76 (') n [') n n 308.38 ( 1) ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) (’) 1 Not available. Note: The earnings expressed in 1977 dollars have been adjusted for changes in price level as measured by the Bureau's Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. These series are described in “ The Spendable Earnings Series: A Technical Note on its Calculation,” Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labor Force, February 1969, Digitized74 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis pp. 6-13. See also “ Spendable Earnings Formulas, 1979-81," 1981, pp. 7-8. Employment and Earnings, November N otice : After release of final December 1981 data in the April issue, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will discontinue computation and publication of the spendable earnings data. The real earnings series published here will appear with the data in the preceding table. U N EM PLO YM ENT INSURANCE DATA N a t i o n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor from monthly records of unem ployment insurance activity prepared by State agencies. Rail road unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem- 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All Items except average benefits amounts are in thousands] 1981 1980 Item Dec. Jan. Feb. Apr. Mar. May June July Sept. Aug. Oct. Dec.p Nov. All programs: 4,085 4,621 4,264 3,948 3,453 3,111 2,949 3,012 2,874 2,680 2,753 3,221 3,935 2,544 2,653 1,806 1,684 1,647 1,417 1,741 2,114 1,610 1,681 1,996 2,286 3,273 weekly v o lu m e ).................................... 3,321 3,844 3,669 3,382 2,988 2,691 2,596 2,743 2,656 2,488 2,592 3,054 3,778 ............ 3.8 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.6 4.3 Insured unemployment ........................... State unemployment insurance program :' Initial claims2 ........................................... Insured unemployment (average Rate of insured unemployment Weeks of unemployment compensated ....................................... Average weekly benefit amount 12,603 14,228 12,882 13,504 11,871 9,790 9,928 10,486 9,594 9,565 9,424 10,047 14,584 fo r total unemployment ...................... $101.43 $102.34 $101.89 $105.63 $105.96 $105.49 $99.02 $103.47 $105.94 $107.39 $108.92 $110.44 $112.89 $1,242,957 $1,416,513 $1,313,507 $1,393,612 $1,226,815 $1,006,341 $1,012,764 $1,061,899 $1,004,864 $1,001,020 $997,757 15 19 22 19 15 11 9 Total benefits paid .................................. $1,079,704 $1,592,546 Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claim s' ........................................... 21 17 19 18 16 11 Insured unemployment (average weekly v o lu m e ).................................... 55 57 54 51 46 43 42 44 44 34 26 22 19 261 257 221 234 214 183 192 203 190 153 116 91 93 $27,015 $26,646 $22,517 $24,668 $23,048 $19,965 $21,145 $22,785 $21,425 $17,144 $12,952 $10,068 $10,155 18 22 13 12 12 11 13 15 17 18 20 16 17 37 41 40 36 31 27 25 25 25 29 32 36 39 Weeks of unemployment compensated ....................................... Total benefits paid .................................. Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian em ployees:4 Initial c la im s .............................................. Insured unemployment (average weekly v o lu m e ).................................... Weeks of unemployment compensated ....................................... Total benefits paid .................................. 150 160 148 156 135 107 105 105 102 100 112 127 174 $14,184 $15,432 $14,573 $15,561 $13,701 $11,023 $10,705 $10,805 $9,543 $10,495 $11,719 $13,463 $18,891 Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications .............................................. 11 13 5 5 6 6 26 41 13 15 21 13 39 53 50 44 41 35 30 28 29 34 40 44 Insured unemployment (average weekly v o lu m e ).................................... 83 118 104 115 94 79 86 32 63 74 86 83 $212.27 $209.38 $214.56 $214.93 $201.12 $199.43 $201.06 $199.63 $202.53 $207.98 $197.26 $207.08 .................................. $18,046 $20,303 $22,049 $23,233 $19,239 $15,428 $16,206 $11,541 $7,071 15,046 15,994 $16,377 New applications and renewals ............ 4,476 871 Number of payments ............................. Average amount of benefit p a y m e n t................................................ Total benefits paid Employment service:5 Nonfarm p la c e m e n ts............................... 8,778 12,868 1,595 2,446 1 1nitial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican 4 Includes the Virgin islands. Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State programs, sugarcane workers. 5 Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly. Note: Data for Puerto Rico Included. Dashes indicate data not available. 2 Includes interstate claims for the Virgin Islands. Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis __ 75 PRICE DATA P r i c e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972—73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Digitized76for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the Standard Industrial Classification M anual 1972 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the Review, regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 24.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see Facts About the Revised Consumer Price Index, a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also The Consumer Price Index: Concepts and Content Over the Years, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stand ards of living, see the family budget data published in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, 1977, Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the CPI D etailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S Handbook o f Methods fo r Surveys an d Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the meas urement of producer price change,” M onthly Labor Review, April 1978, pp. 7-15. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M onthly Labor Review, August 1965, pp. 974-82. 22. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-80 [1 9 6 7 = 100] Food and beverages All items Year Index Percent change Index Apparel and upkeep Housing Percent change Index Percent change Percent change Index Percent change Medical care Index Percent change Other goods and services Entertainment Index Percent change Index Percent change 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Index Transportation 1967 ...................... 100.0 1968 ...................... 104.2 4.2 103.6 3.6 104.0 4.0 105.4 5.4 103.2 3.2 106.1 6.1 105.7 5.7 105.2 5.2 1969 ...................... 109.8 5.4 108.8 5.0 110.4 6.2 111.5 5.8 107.2 3.9 113.4 6.9 111.0 5.0 110.4 4.9 6.3 116.7 5.1 116.8 5.8 1970 ...................... 116.3 5.9 114.7 5.4 118.2 7.1 4.1 116.1 112.7 5.1 120.6 4.8 122.4 1971 ...................... 121.3 4.3 118.3 3.1 123.4 4.4 119.8 3.2 118.6 5.2 6.5 122.9 5.3 1972 ...................... 125.3 3.3 123.2 4.1 128.1 3.8 122.3 2.1 119.9 1.1 132.5 3.2 126.5 130.0 2.9 127.5 4.2 3.9 2.8 132.5 3.9 128.4 1973 ...................... 133.1 6.2 139.5 13.2 133.7 4.4 126.8 3.7 123.8 3.3 137.7 1974 ...................... 147.7 11.0 158.7 13.8 148.8 11.3 136.2 7.4 137.7 11.2 150.5 9.3 139.8 7.5 142.0 7.2 1975 ...................... 161.2 9.1 172.1 8.4 164.5 10.6 142.3 4.5 150.6 9.4 168.6 12.0 152.2 8.9 153.9 8.4 5.0 162.7 5.7 4.9 172.2 5.8 183.2 6.4 1976 ...................... 170.5 5.8 177.4 3.1 174.6 6.1 147.6 3.7 165.5 9.9 184.7 9.5 159.8 1977 ...................... 181.5 6.5 188.0 6.0 186.5 6.8 154.2 4.5 177.2 7.1 202.4 9.6 167.7 1978 ...................... 195.3 7.6 206.2 9.7 202.6 8.6 159.5 3.4 185.8 4.9 219.4 8.4 176.2 5.1 1979 ...................... 217.7 11.5 228.7 10.9 227.5 12.3 166.4 4.3 212.8 14.5 240.1 9.4 187.6 6.5 196.3 7.2 8.5 213.6 8.8 247.0 1980 ...................... 13.5 248.7 8.7 263.2 15.7 177.4 250.5 6.6 17.7 267.2 11.3 203.7 23. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 un le ss o th e rw is e specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary All items...................................................................................... 1981 1980 1981 1980 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. 258.4 274.4 276.5 297.3 279.9 280.7 281.5 258.7 274.6 276.5 279.1 279.7 280.4 281.1 .................................................................................. 259.3 268.9 270.1 270.7 270.3 269.9 270.5 260.5 269.4 270.6 271.0 270.7 270.3 270.8 H o u s in g .......................................................................................................... 276.9 297.0 299.7 303.7 303.5 304.2 305.2 277.1 297.0 299.6 303.6 303.3 303.8 304.7 Apparel and u p k e e p ..................................................................................... 183.9 184.7 187.4 190.7 191.5 191.3 190.5 182.9 185.5 187.9 190.5 190.6 190.5 189.4 T ra n s p o rta tio n .............................................................................................. 261.1 282.6 283.7 285.2 287.2 289.1 289.8 261.9 283.9 285.1 286.6 288.9 290.8 291.5 Food and beverages Medical care ................................................................................................. 275.8 295.6 299.3 301.7 304.8 308.2 310.2 277.6 295.4 298.6 300.9 304.0 307.1 309.1 Entertainment 212.0 221.1 222.3 224.0 225.5 226.8 227.3 210.1 218.7 219.9 221.5 223.4 224.3 224.4 245.9 246.7 223.0 232.4 233.5 239.3 241.4 242.5 243.5 .............................................................................................. Other goods and s e rv ic e s ........................................................................... 224.6 234.4 235.6 243.0 245.2 C o m m o d itie s ................................................................................................. Commodities less food and beverages ........................................... 243.8 232.9 255.0 244.7 256.2 245.8 257.7 247.6 257.9 248.0 258.0 248.3 258.4 248.7 244.3 233.1 255.7 256.9 246.7 258.2 258.4 258.5 258.8 245.5 248.4 248.7 Nondurables less food and b e v e ra g e s ......................................... 246.8 262.9 263.9 265.8 266.4 266.7 266.7 248.8 266.0 266.8 268.5 268.6 249.1 269.0 249.3 268.9 D u ra b le s ............................................................................................ 221.1 229.6 230.9 232.6 232.9 233.2 233.7 219.7 228.4 229.9 231.5 232.0 232.3 232.7 309.6 207.4 312.7 317.7 319.2 321.1 322.4 209.9 211.5 213.2 214.5 216.0 Services ........................................................................................................ 284.7 308.8 312.2 317.3 318.6 320.6 321.8 285.5 Rent, re s id e n tia l................................................................................ 199.6 207.8 210.3 211.9 213.6 215.0 216.5 199.4 ....................................................... 338.4 374.8 379.9 387.4 390.4 341.9 Transportation s e rv ic e s ................................................................... 255.8 275.0 275.7 277.7 281.0 283.2 284.2 254.7 273.8 274.3 276.3 279.9 282.3 283.6 333.7 335.7 300.0 318.5 322.1 324.7 328.3 332.0 334.0 243.6 246.6 247.2 248.0 280.1 280.7 Household services less rent 387.2 389.2 379.4 384.2 392.2 391.8 393.6 394.8 Medical care s e rv ic e s ...................................................................... 297.9 319.2 323.4 326.1 329.7 Other s e rv ic e s .................................................................................. 228.1 237.6 239.1 245.8 247.8 248.7 249.5 228.4 236.8 238.3 All items less food ....................................................................................... 255.5 272.7 274.9 278.2 279.0 280.1 280.8 255.7 273.1 275.2 All items less mortgage interest costs ..................................................... 245.9 259.3 260.9 262.9 263.6 264.2 264.9 246.7 260.0 261.5 263.3 264.0 264.6 265.2 246.3 246.6 247.0 247.2 262.9 263.0 263.4 263.3 Special indexes: Commodities less f o o d ................................................................................ Nondurables less food ................................................................................ 231.0 242.6 243.8 245.5 245.9 246.2 246.5 231.2 243.5 244.7 242.0 257.5 258.4 260.3 260.7 261.1 261.1 243.9 260.4 261.2 278.2 279.1 302.0 302.5 Nondurables less food and a p p a re l.......................................................... 274.7 297.8 298.0 299.1 299.5 300.1 300.7 276.6 299.8 300.0 301.3 301.5 Nondurables 254.1 267.1 268.1 269.5 269.5 269.5 269.8 255.6 268.7 269.7 270.7 270.7 270.7 270.9 332.6 338.3 339.7 341.6 342.9 ................................................................................................. 331.7 337.5 340.8 342.0 302.0 329.3 300.7 281.2 305.4 308.8 314.1 315.1 316.9 318.1 281.9 306.3 309.4 314.6 315.8 317.5 318.7 251.1 259.5 260.6 260.8 259.5 258.3 259.1 259.0 259.9 259.9 258.6 257.8 258.2 276.2 275.3 251.1 278.4 277.9 277.2 279.7 273.2 271.9 Services less rent 328.1 338.7 ....................................................................................... Services less medical c a r e ........................................................................ Domestically produced farm foods .......................................................... 270.7 276.5 275.5 271.9 .......................................................................................................... 370.4 415.7 416.1 417.1 414.9 414.1 414.6 373.7 418.9 418.9 420.1 417.9 417.3 417.6 All items less energy .................................................................................. 249.7 263.5 265.6 268.6 269.4 270.4 271.1 249.3 262.7 264.7 267.5 268.3 269.2 269.9 ..................................................... 244.5 259.0 261.3 264.8 267.9 243.6 263.6 264.8 265.9 211.7 219.4 220.9 222.9 265.9 223.4 267.2 Commodities less food and e n e rg y ........................................... 223.8 224.2 210.6 218.7 220.2 222.1 222.6 223.0 223.3 448.0 405.9 451.9 450.6 450.0 448.9 449.0 448.7 Selected beef c u t s ....................................................................................... Energy All items less food and energy 276.7 277.9 258.1 260.3 266.6 Energy commodities .................................................................... 404.9 451.3 449.9 449.3 448.2 448.2 Services less e n e rg y .................................................................... 282.4 304.9 308.3 313.6 315.3 317.7 318.9 283.4 305.7 308.9 314.0 316.0 318.2 319.5 $0,387 $0,364 $0,362 $0,358 $0,357 $0,356 $0,355 $0,387 $0,364 $0,362 $0,358 $0,358 $0,357 $0,356 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 - $1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ........................ 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u nless o th e rw is e sp e cified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 Dec. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 July Aug. Sept 1980 Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. FOOD AND BEVERAGES .................................................................... 259.3 268.9 270.1 270.7 270.3 269.9 270.5 260.5 269.4 270.6 271.0 270.7 270.3 270.8 Food..................................................................................................... 266.4 276.2 277.4 278.0 277.6 277.1 277.8 267.6 276.6 277.7 278.1 277.8 277.4 277.9 Food at h o m e .......................................................................................................... 263.9 271.6 272.8 273.2 272.1 271.0 271.7 263.9 271.1 272.2 272.3 271.3 270.4 270.8 ...................................................................... 258.5 272.4 272.6 274.3 275.0 276.3 277.7 259.5 271.5 272.0 273.2 274.0 275.5 276.6 Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... 140.8 149.0 149.5 150.1 150.0 149.9 151.5 142.3 150.6 151.3 151.2 151.5 152.1 152.5 Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ 139.5 139.3 138.4 137.8 134.4 141.9 142.0 141.1 140.9 140.2 138.4 Cereals and bakery products 133.5 139.5 139.6 Cereal (12/77 = ' 1 0 0 ) ................................................................. 143.8 153.4 154.6 155.7 156.1 157.4 160.2 145.0 154.8 156.4 157.2 157.9 158.9 162.1 Rice, pasta, and commeal (12/77 = 100) 143.1 151.2 151.4 151.6 151.1 149.6 151.7 145.8 153.2 153.1 152.6 152.7 153.9 152.9 135.4 142.5 142.4 143.5 144.0 144.9 145.4 135.7 141.4 141.5 142.4 142.8 143.7 144.3 226.3 236.4 235.6 238.2 238.4 241.3 241.5 226.6 237.4 ................................ Bakery products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... ................. White bread ...................................................................... 233.9 233.0 235.9 235.5 237.6 Other breads (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................................... 134.1 140.6 140.8 141.5 141.6 142.8 143.4 137.9 142.9 143.4 143.4 143.6 144.9 145.3 Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) ...................... 135.4 142.4 143.4 143.3 144.8 145.2 145.9 135.1 141.7 141.0 140.1 141.7 141.9 141.9 Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................... 135.3 142.7 142.7 144.4 143.9 145.0 144.9 134.2 141.4 141.2 142.3 141.7 143.2 143.7 Cookies (12/77 = 1 0 0 )................................................................. 134.9 143.0 143.9 145.7 146.3 147.6 136.1 142.6 144.1 144.6 146.4 146.8 148.4 Crackers, bread, and cracker products (12/77 = 100) .......... 126.9 131.6 130.6 132.0 133.2 133.1 134.2 126.5 131.2 130.9 132.2 134.0 133.4 135.6 Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) ... 135.9 143.9 143.9 143.1 144.3 144.4 144.8 145.4 136.4 142.8 143.4 144.8 144.9 145.8 147.8 ............ 137.5 147.2 147.1 148.0 148.9 149.2 149.3 134.0 140.9 141.5 142.1 142.8 143.1 143.0 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs ...................................................................... 255.7 254.1 257.7 263.4 256.4 262.2 254.2 259.2 253.7 258.4 255.0 259.2 254.1 260.5 255.5 261.8 257.5 263.2 256.0 261.7 254.0 258.8 253.1 257.7 263.4 262.5 259.6 258.7 259.3 259.7 261.3 263.3 262.1 259.3 257.9 274.9 271.5 270.5 276.8 276.5 275.3 272.2 270.9 Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) 259.9 260.7 255.8 262.2 .............................................................................................. 260.0 259.6 262.0 Beef and veal ............................................................................. Meats, poultry, and fish ......................................................................... Meats 275.3 274.5 275.9 277.1 275.9 278.3 Ground beef other than c a n n e d ........................................... 276.1 264.5 267.4 270.3 267.4 266.1 264.5 281.0 267.9 269.4 273.8 268.6 268.0 265.8 Chuck r o a s t ............................................................................. 288.5 283.5 285.3 289.4 287.8 282.6 282.2 296.0 295.5 295.5 299.9 297.2 292.6 291.5 Round r o a s t............................................................................. Round steak ........................................................................... 245.7 245.6 247.2 244.1 245.1 242.6 246.6 249.8 247.3 249.1 250.1 248.2 260.2 258.9 256.0 255.9 259.0 245.0 256.7 254.6 257.6 257.0 251.5 252.5 254.9 254.8 252.2 Sirloin s te a k ............................................................................. 267.6 284.3 282.2 281.9 273.3 262.0 260.1 269.7 285.6 279.2 281.9 275.1 260.7 260.7 162.8 239.4 161.3 159.2 159.1 239.3 235.9 233.8 245.9 Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) .................................. P o r k ................................................................ .............................. 160.4 163.5 164.9 163.4 161.1 161.0 159.2 162.4 162.6 229.1 231.5 235.3 238.1 238.6 235.6 234.3 228.2 232.6 236.5 Bacon ....................................................................................... 231.9 228.1 231.1 237.1 240.1 238.1 237.2 234.1 230.5 234.5 241.1 245.1 242.9 240.5 Chops ....................................................................................... 208.7 221.8 224.1 225.1 223.1 217.0 212.4 206.8 222.4 224.4 224.7 221.3 216.2 211.0 Ham other than canned (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. 107.8 102.0 105.3 106.8 109.4 108.9 109.1 105.7 100.4 103.7 105.6 107.5 106.6 106.3 300.7 298.7 298.1 299.1 287.2 293.4 298.6 302.3 302.1 299.2 300.0 164.3 Sausage .................................................................................. 285.6 289.7 297.2 Canned ham ........................................................................... 238.4 233.0 234.9 127.6 133.6 135.0 135.4 134.1 131.1 130.0 127.4 134.5 136.3 242.9 136.7 244.7 Other pork (12/77 = 100) ................................................... Other meats ................................................................................ 134.5 130.9 129.2 262.8 258.4 261.4 260.7 261.6 260.5 260.6 259.4 255.6 259.6 258.7 260.5 259.9 259.7 F ra n k fu rte rs ............................................................................. 259.8 256.4 261.2 259.9 260.4 259.1 262.4 260.9 260.0 239.5 241.9 243.1 244.3 242.6 234.4 238.0 247.0 247.7 264.0 251.8 261.0 263.4 251.9 .............. 149.1 145.9 147.0 147.5 147.6 146.7 146.4 145.2 144.6 145.7 144.8 146.9 145.9 Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ....................................... 129.9 129.1 130.6 131.8 131.8 132.1 132.6 127.7 126.5 128.8 129.5 130.2 130.6 130.6 Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) ............................. P o u ltry .............................................................................................. 146.6 147.6 146.8 144.4 143.4 141.7 140.7 148.5 148.9 148.3 146.0 145.0 144.6 143.9 202.7 204.8 202.0 196.6 192.3 191.7 201.1 203.1 201.2 198.1 194.7 190.6 189.5 Fresh whole c h ic k e n ............................................................... 206.9 206.9 201.4 197.3 194.0 190.9 190.1 202.2 202.9 199.6 194.0 189.9 1885 187.8 Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) .............. 131.6 133.0 131.8 130.5 129.2 127.3 128.1 132.3 133.3 131.6 130.1 129.7 126.5 126.3 Other poultry (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Fish and seafood ........................................................................... 126.6 130.0 129.7 129.9 127.2 122.2 120.7 126.2 129.3 129.9 129.6 126.1 121.5 119.8 360.8 358.9 359.6 343.1 353.5 356.4 358.6 358.6 Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) Eggs 199.7 146.3 346.9 356.9 356.8 362.6 358.2 356.6 Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................... 136.4 140.6 139.8 140.9 140.5 141.5 140.7 133.7 139.0 138.5 139.4 140.3 141.0 Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100) .......... 129.6 133.1 133.6 136.5 135.6 133.9 134.7 128.8 131.9 134.1 134.9 134.0 132.7 134.4 ........................................................................................................ 206.6 174.2 177.6 188.8 185.9 194.7 198.0 206.6 175.0 177.7 189.5 187.2 196.7 198.8 245.5 243.9 244.1 Dairy p ro d u c ts ..................................................................................... 140.2 238.0 244.2 243.8 244.3 244.6 245.0 ....................................... 131.9 134.9 134.5 134.7 134.7 134.9 135.2 132.2 134.4 134.3 134.3 134.4 134.6 134.6 Fresh whole m i l k ......................................................................... 216.2 220.7 220.2 220.0 220.2 220.8 221.2 216.5 219.9 219.8 219.4 219.5 220.1 220.2 Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) 238.8 243.9 244.2 244.7 244.9 Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 1 0 0 )........................... 131.4 Processed dairy products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. B u tte r ...................................................................... 138.2 142.5 142.5 143.0 143.3 143.5 143.9 139.2 143.1 143.3 143.4 143.6 144.0 144.2 241.0 245.8 246.2 247.1 247.2 248.0 248.7 244.1 247.7 248.5 249.9 249.7 250.2 251.3 Cheese (12/77 = 100) ............................................................ 137.0 140.7 140.8 140.8 140.9 141.1 141.0 137.4 141.3 141.5 140.9 140.7 141.1 141.3 Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 141.4 147.6 147.9 148.7 149.9 149.3 150.3 143.2 148.0 147.9 149.1 149.9 149.4 149.4 Other dairy products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................... 132.4 136.6 135.6 137.3 137.0 138.7 139.7 133.1 137.2 137.2 137.6 138.1 140.2 140.5 272.6 Fruits and vegetables ............................................................ 134.9 134.2 135.4 135.2 134.9 135.3 131.9 134.5 134.4 135.3 135.2 134.9 134.9 255.6 284.4 286.1 281.6 275.2 272.0 276.4 253.9 281.7 282.5 276.3 270.8 268.1 Fresh fruits and vegetables .......................................................... 262.0 294.0 295.8 267.8 274.9 260.2 290.2 290.4 278.2 267.2 261.9 251.8 292.1 306.9 286.9 306.4 273.5 Fresh f r u i t s .................................................................................. 291.4 276.1 269.6 248.6 285.5 298.4 293.7 279.5 266.0 260.5 A p p le s ....................................................................................... 218.8 251.9 282.1 262.9 237.0 248.7 261.2 216.9 253.1 284.6 261.8 236.5 249.1 261.2 252.8 269.4 Bananas ................................................................................ 244.1 240.6 245.2 250.7 254.9 249.4 254.9 239.2 233.8 239.9 251.3 253.3 248.3 Oranges .................................................................................. 299.3 327.8 353.7 346.2 328.5 314.0 280.6 287.0 307.0 325.1 314.6 128.6 160.4 163.5 168.4 160.9 144.7 141.0 129.2 158.9 160.5 161.5 299.9 154.7 286.0 Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 139.7 252.8 136.7 271.5 295.9 285.5 268.6 256.8 260.1 279.8 270.9 294.4 283.2 264.4 256.1 258.2 277.6 Fresh v e g e ta b le s ......................................................................... Potatoes .................................................................................. 297.7 414.9 375.1 329.1 286.3 286.8 298.0 404.2 362.8 316.8 287.7 281.5 280.0 Lettuce .................................................................................... 255.3 261.3 290.6 293.5 258.3 257.1 343.1 253.8 259.2 290.0 292.9 257.2 247.4 342.7 Tomatoes 206.1 194.0 209.9 193.9 207.3 206.9 204.6 204.5 195.5 211.0 191.3 206.4 209.7 207.8 ............................. 156.3 154.5 143.6 137.9 139.6 145.0 150.4 156.2 155.8 144.1 136.6 140.0 145.8 149.1 ................................................ 250.9 276.4 277.9 278.3 279.4 279.2 280.6 249.0 274.6 276.2 276.7 277.2 277.3 278.4 Processed fruits (12/77 = 100) .............................................. 129.0 143.1 143.4 143.7 144.9 145.1 145.0 129.1 142.8 143.4 143.7 144.2 144.6 144.5 Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ 120.6 144.0 143.5 143.6 144.7 144.9 142.3 119.9 142.9 142.8 142.8 143.4 144.1 141.2 Fruit juices other than frozen (12/77 = 100) ................... 131.6 146.8 147.4 147.5 148.4 148.6 149.5 132.2 146.1 147.1 147.8 147.6 147.4 148.3 Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100) ............................. 133.1 138.4 139.1 139.8 141.2 141.6 142.6 133.3 139.1 139.8 140.1 141.1 141.8 143.0 Processed vegetables (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... 123.1 134.6 135.7 135.9 135.9 135.4 136.9 121.5 133.6 134.6 134.8 134.9 134.7 135.7 Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................... 122.1 133.2 134.9 135.7 136.9 137.4 139.1 121.2 134.1 135.7 136.6 137.5 139.2 140.2 ........................................................................... Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) Processed fruits and vegetables 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 290.4 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 un le ss o th e rw is e specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1980 Sept. 1981 1980 Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. ... 124.5 136.0 137.4 Other canned and dried vegetables ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) .............. 122.9 134.6 135.4 135.6 134.6 133.1 134.8 121.0 132.8 133.7 133.8 133.3 131.8 133.2 326.4 326.0 325.6 317.8 324.2 326.1 326.2 327.1 327.0 326.4 359.1 359.3 388.9 362.8 362.7 363.1 360.2 359.0 359.3 147.3 FOOD AND BEVERAGES-Continued Food — Continued Food at h om e— Continued Fruits and vegetables— Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) 136.8 137.7 138.3 138.9 122.8 134.8 135.4 135.1 135.5 136.0 136.5 Other foods at h o m e ..................................................................................... 317.1 323.3 325.1 325.7 Sugar and s w e e ts .................................................................................. 386.3 360.0 361.3 361.4 359.9 .................................... 136.9 145.9 146.1 146.8 148.8 149.3 149.9 137.4 147.4 147.6 148.7 148.9 Sugar and artificial sweeteners ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) .......................... 230.3 164.6 164.3 163.0 157.1 155.2 153.4 231.4 166.6 165.3 164.9 158.4 157.0 154.6 133.1 141.8 142.9 143.8 144.0 143.1 144.2 Candy and chewing gum (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) 149.9 ....................................................... 133.7 142.9 145.0 145.3 145.2 144.9 146.1 ................................................................. 251.9 269.0 269.2 268.5 268.5 262.2 261.1 252.6 269.0 268.7 267.4 268.1 263.1 261.0 ....................................................................................... 253.6 255.9 258.2 256.7 256.6 255.2 255.7 254.6 256.6 255.7 254.5 255.9 254.9 254.9 Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ............ 139.6 181.0 179.8 178.5 176.5 163.0 160.1 139.9 179.4 178.8 177.2 175.2 163.0 129.1 129.4 129.6 129.2 130.3 130.4 130.1 415.2 414.7 416.0 415.2 414.2 296.6 296.1 295.7 Other sweets (12/77 -1 0 0 ) Fats and oils (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) Margarine 158.5 129.1 129.4 129.4 129.6 130.5 129.8 129.7 ...................................................................... 405.2 410.3 413.1 413.7 414.8 413.4 412.5 407.4 411.3 Cola drinks, excluding diet c o l a ................................................... 285.2 294.7 298.2 298.9 298.1 284.0 290.8 295.6 297.7 Carbonated drinks, including diet cola ( 1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) .............. 134.8 139.6 141.5 142.4 142.3 141.4 139.3 133.5 138.3 138.9 140.3 139.6 139.3 137.2 341.0 344.4 386.2 346.6 342.8 340.5 338.9 337.3 340.1 330.8 332.0 358.1 334.9 333.8 331.4 332.7 333.2 331.6 Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ................. Nonalcoholic beverages 301.1 298.8 ............................................................................. 389.7 351.4 346.0 345.1 343.1 Freeze dried and instant c o ffe e .................................................. Other noncarbonated drinks ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................... 356.5 334.3 333.3 330.8 329.9 127.5 134.2 134.9 134.9 135.6 136.4 137.0 127.7 134.0 135.0 134.6 135.5 136.4 137.1 Other prepared foods ........................................................................... 242.4 256.3 257.9 259.0 260.5 262.7 262.8 242.8 257.9 259.7 260.5 262.3 264.5 264.4 133.7 128.0 134.5 134.8 136.4 135.6 136.1 135.7 Roasted coffee Canned and packaged soup ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................... 127.2 133.2 133.6 134.9 133.1 133.4 Frozen prepared foods ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 137.6 143.7 143.5 144.8 144.1 146.5 145.9 134.8 142.3 142.5 142.7 142.8 145.1 145.3 Snacks ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) .................................................................... 138.6 147.5 148.8 149.6 152.0 152.5 152.2 140.1 150.0 151.5 152.6 155.3 155.6 154.2 134.2 148.9 148.8 142.0 144.4 144.4 146.2 133.4 141.4 142.8 142.7 144.8 147.4 147.7 133.5 142.3 142.9 143.3 143.5 145.0 144.6 136.3 144.4 145.6 145.3 145.5 146.5 146.2 ........................... 133.8 140.7 142.0 142.3 144.5 144.8 145.8 133.5 141.0 142.1 142.8 143.9 145.2 145.8 Other canned and packaged prepared foods (1 2 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) . . 130.3 139.0 139.5 139.9 140.5 141.8 142.5 130.2 139.8 140.8 141.1 141.9 143.0 143.9 Food away from h o m e ......................................................................................... 277.7 292.4 293.7 294.8 296.2 297.2 297.7 281.8 295.2 296.4 297.6 299.0 299.6 300.7 142.6 143.2 143.6 143.9 144.4 144.6 137.3 143.6 144.2 144.6 145.3 145.6 146.3 Dinner (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) .................................................................................... 135.7 134.4 141.3 141.9 142.4 143.2 143.6 144.0 136.7 143.0 143.7 144.3 144.8 145.1 145.6 Other meals and snacks ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ..................................................... 133.7 141.6 142.1 143.1 143.9 144.6 144.7 135.6 142.7 143.1 143.9 144.8 145.1 145.4 Alcoholic beverages .......................................................................... 191.6 200.5 201.4 202.5 201.4 202.3 202.7 193.7 202.8 203.8 204.6 204.3 204.6 204.9 Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) .............. Other condiments (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ................................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) Lunch (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) .................................................................................... 124.9 130.1 130.6 131.4 130.5 131.2 131.4 126.5 131.9 132.4 132.8 132.5 132.8 132.8 Beer and a l e ................................................................................................... 192.9 201.8 202.6 203.6 202.5 204.0 204.1 192.9 202.4 203.2 203.5 203.1 203.6 203.5 Whiskey .......................................................................................................... W in e ................................................................................................................. 138.9 217.6 143.7 227.5 144.7 227.4 145.4 144.0 144.7 228.2 145.0 230.0 140.2 229.7 144.8 227.5 227.2 236.9 145.6 235.5 146.2 237.6 146.4 238.1 146.2 237.4 145.9 238.0 Other alcoholic beverages ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................... 112.7 116.3 117.0 117.5 116.3 117.3 117.3 112.1 155.9 117.0 117.1 115.7 116.8 117.4 Alcoholic beverages away from home ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ....................................... 125.8 134.1 134.7 135.4 135.5 135.7 135.8 126.2 134.0 135.4 136.2 136.4 136.6 137.3 HOUSING............................................................................................ 276.9 297.0 299.7 303.7 303.5 304.2 305.2 277.1 297.0 299.6 303.6 303.3 303.8 304.7 Shelter................................................................................................ 298.5 318.5 322.0 326.9 326.6 327.2 328.0 300.4 320.2 323.6 328.6 328.1 328.5 329.3 Rent, re s id e n tia l..................................................................................................... 199.6 207.8 210.3 211.9 213.6 215.0 216.5 199.4 207.4 209.9 211.5 213.2 214.5 216.0 Other rental costs ................................................................................................ 267.7 293.6 298.5 308.1 308.7 305.3 306.3 267.3 293.3 299.0 308.0 308.4 305.0 305.3 Lodging while out of t o w n ............................................................................. 282.6 318.3 325.7 326.3 324.2 318.6 319.9 281.0 316.3 324.4 325.3 323.3 317.9 318.0 Tenants’ insurance (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ............................................................... 126.9 133.3 133.9 135.9 140.0 140.4 140.7 127.2 133.7 134.5 136.4 140.1 140.3 140.6 H om oow nership..................................................................................................... 334.2 358.0 361.8 367.8 366.7 367.2 367.8 337.5 361.2 364.8 371.0 369.7 369.8 370.4 Home p u rc h a s e .............................................................................................. 267.2 274.5 271.2 268.7 Alcoholic beverages at home ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ..................................................... 271.4 272.6 272.5 270.2 270.5 268.0 272.3 273.8 271.4 268.6 ................................................................. 429.4 480.0 488.3 501.8 501.8 505.6 506.3 436.0 486.9 495.3 509.0 508.3 511.9 512.9 Property insurance ................................................................................ 365.8 387.1 389.0 389.7 392.5 393.3 394.1 369.0 388.3 390.5 391.9 394.7 395.5 396.5 Property taxes ....................................................................................... 194.5 201.4 205.2 206.2 207.4 208.0 210.7 196.4 203.2 208.0 209.2 Contracted mortgage interest c o s t ..................................................... 555.5 630.1 641.3 662.0 661.3 666.8 666.6 558.7 632.6 643.8 664.4 662.5 667.7 668.1 239.2 240.5 245.3 245.3 319.2 319.8 321.0 Financing, taxes, and insurance 207.1 210.0 212.5 Mortgage interest ra te s ................................................................. 205.1 299.4 232.4 238.2 239.5 244.1 243.9 205.5 230.3 233.3 Maintenance and repairs ............................................................................. Maintenance and repair services ....................................................... 296.8 319.3 320.5 321.6 320.8 322.8 324.1 294.2 316.2 315.8 321.5 349.0 350.6 352.5 351.1 353.8 355.4 320.3 350.5 349.5 318.1 352.5 354.2 354.9 356.5 Maintenance and repair commodities ................................................ 239.1 249.3 249.5 248.7 249.3 249.7 250.3 236.2 242.4 243.1 244.1 244.0 244.5 244.9 equipment (1 2 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) .......................................................... 139.2 146.7 146.9 146.2 146.7 146.5 147.3 134.9 138.2 139.2 139.1 139.9 140.0 140.5 Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry ( 1 2 /7 7 - 1 0 0 ) .............. 123.2 125.0 124.2 125.0 124.4 124.1 124.3 122.9 123.0 122.0 123.2 122.3 121.8 121.6 133.1 131.5 124.9 130.1 130.6 131.7 132.1 132.4 131.6 132.5 126.3 132.5 133.3 134.3 133.7 134.2 134.7 Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling 124.8 132.7 132.0 131.2 132.4 ............ 124.2 129.2 130.5 131.2 131.7 131.6 Fuel and other utilities........................................................................ 289.9 325.1 327.8 331.1 330.1 329.8 331.8 290.7 326.4 328.7 332.3 330.9 330.9 332.7 Fuels 364.7 417.2 419.5 422.4 419.0 417.6 420.0 364.5 417.0 418.7 422.2 418.4 417.4 419.6 Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s ...................................................................... 585.3 677.9 674.6 673.4 672.7 676.1 682.5 587.0 681.1 677.9 677.0 675.9 679.3 685.5 Fuel o i l ..................................................................................................... 610.0 711.0 707.3 705.7 704.3 706.8 713.5 610.9 713.8 710.2 709.0 707.1 709.6 716.0 167.7 169.4 150.1 165.4 165.1 165.3 166.4 169.1 170.8 358.3 359.9 313.4 356.7 359.4 363.6 359.3 357.5 358.8 supplies ( 1 2 / 7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77 -1 0 0 ) ...................................................................................................................... 100) .................................................................... 148.4 164.0 163.6 163.8 165.0 Gas (piped) and electricity ........................................................................... 313.9 357.6 360.8 364.5 360.6 Other fuels (6 /7 8 - E le c tric ity ................................................................................................. 262.3 305.2 311.9 309.8 303.0 298.6 300.3 262.1 306.2 312.1 309.9 302.7 297.7 299.3 Utility (piped) gas .................................................................................. 381.5 418.6 416.2 431.7 434.5 437.0 438.2 379.7 415.8 411.2 428.5 430.8 436.0 436.4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1 9 6 7 = 100 un le ss o th e rw is e sp e cified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 Dec. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 July Aug. Sept 1980 Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. HOUSING — Continued Fuel and other utilities— Continued Other utilities and public services ........................................................................ 170.6 180.8 183.7 187.4 189.4 190.7 191.9 170.7 181.3 184.3 187.8 Telephone services ......................................................................................... 140.3 147.2 149.2 152.5 154.3 155.6 156.8 140.3 147.5 149.5 152.7 154.5 155.8 156.9 Local charges (12/77 = 100) ............................................................... 110.5 116.7 117.3 120.5 121.5 123.5 124.4 110.6 116.9 117.6 120.7 121.8 123.8 124.6 Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ........................................................ Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ................................................... Water and sewerage maintenance ..................................................... Household furnishings and operations .............................. Housefurnishings .................................................................................... 101.8 109.1 113.4 114.9 189.8 191.0 192.2 116.6 116.7 116.7 101.8 109.6 113.8 115.1 116.6 116.8 116.8 100.9 101.5 101.8 103.9 105.5 105.3 107.1 100.7 101.3 101.6 103.7 105.3 105.0 106.9 267.8 294.0 299.2 304.1 305.2 306.1 307.4 268.7 295.8 301.4 306.0 307.3 307.9 309.4 211.6 222.4 222.9 224.5 225.6 227.2 227.7 209.0 219.1 219.8 221.2 222.2 223.6 224.2 178.3 186.0 186.2 187.9 188.7 189.4 189.2 176.9 184.1 184.5 185.7 186.6 187.3 187.1 Textile housefurnishings.................................................................................. 193.2 202.9 203.4 207.7 210.4 211.7 211.2 196.6 206.2 207.3 213.0 214.1 214.7 213.9 Household linens (12/77 = 100) .......................................................... 117.2 123.3 124.6 127.7 130.1 130.8 128.8 122.7 126.0 126.8 129.7 132.0 131.9 129.9 Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . 123.8 129.8 129.1 131.4 132.2 133.1 134.7 122.4 131.5 132.1 136.3 135.2 136.1 137.4 197.0 206.0 205.4 207.7 207.9 209.2 209.7 194.4 202.3 201.4 202.7 203.8 205.3 206.0 ........................................................ 129.2 135.0 135.9 137.6 137.4 139.6 138.6 125.7 130.7 132.2 132.9 132.3 135.2 135.2 Sofas (12/77 = 100) ............................................................................. 115.3 117.6 116.0 118.6 119.3 118.7 119.4 114.7 116.2 115.0 117.4 119.0 118.8 119.5 Furniture and bedding .................................................................................... Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100) Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) .................................... 113.1 117.9 116.7 116.8 117.0 118.8 119.0 115.2 119.5 116.9 117.2 118.5 118.9 119.1 Other furniture (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................... Appliances Including TV and sound equip m e n t............................................ 127.8 142.4 136.2 147.1 135.9 147.3 137.3 147.7 137.3 147.8 137.1 148.2 138.4 147.9 124.7 142.0 132.9 146.3 132.2 146.6 132.3 146.7 133.0 147.2 133.1 147.7 134.0 147.5 Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ............................... Television ......................................................................................... 107.2 108.8 108.6 108.7 109.1 109.0 108.9 106.1 107.7 107.8 107.8 108.1 108 3 108.0 105.2 105.6 105.0 104.6 105.0 104.8 104.7 103.7 104.5 104.2 103.6 103.8 103.6 103.3 110.1 112.7 112.8 113.4 113.8 113.9 113.7 109.2 111.4 111.9 112.4 112.8 Sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ................................................ 113.4 112.9 Household a p p lia n c e s ............................................................................. 165.9 174.2 174.9 175.7 175.3 176.1 175.9 166.3 173.6 174.1 174.4 175.1 175.9 176.0 Refrigerators and home fre e z e rs ................................................... 166.5 174.2 175.8 177.5 177.0 178.7 179.9 170.9 178.1 178.9 180.6 181.6 182.7 185.3 Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100) .............................................. 123.4 128.1 129.2 129.7 130.5 130.7 130.5 121.4 128.3 129.1 128.8 129.8 130.8 130.3 Other household appliances (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................... 113.1 119.6 119.5 119.7 118.9 119.4 118.7 112.8 117.1 117.0 117.1 117.1 117.4 116.8 112.0 119.2 118.5 118.8 118.2 118.7 117.9 113.9 117.1 116.4 116.0 115.9 116.8 116.2 114.3 120.1 119.8 111.5 117.1 117.7 118.3 118.4 118.1 117.3 133.1 134.2 120.1 134.4 119.6 131.2 120.6 131.7 120.8 124.8 134.0 123.1 129.8 131.0 131.6 132.4 132.4 131.9 124.6 132.4 133.4 134.8 135.4 136.1 135.9 118.4 127.1 129.3 129.6 129.6 129.7 128.3 121.7 125.0 125.8 128.2 128.7 129.5 128.4 118.8 122.9 122.5 123.8 124.5 125.2 124.7 Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................................................ Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 1 0 0 )....................................... Other household equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 )................................................ Floor and window coverings, infants’, laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100) ............................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) ............................................................... 130.8 139.5 138.9 140.4 141.1 141.2 141.0 127.6 136.4 137.0 137.8 137.9 137.5 137.1 Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 118.7 122.7 124.0 124.5 127.2 126.9 126.3 122.3 126.7 128.8 129.2 131.2 131.6 131.5 Housekeeping s u p p lie s ............................................................................................ 257.7 271.5 272.0 273.3 274.3 275.4 277.4 256.0 267.9 268.6 270.4 271.2 271.9 274.1 Soaps and detergents .................................................................................. 254.0 266.5 267.0 268.9 269.3 269.7 271.6 252.3 263.1 263.6 265.6 265.3 265.2 268.0 Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) ............................... 127.6 134.8 134.8 135.7 136.7 137.3 138.8 127.6 133.6 134.7 135.8 136.6 137.0 Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) . . 136.1 138.8 138.4 139.9 141.8 143.6 144.5 137.6 139.0 138.7 140.4 142.4 143.9 144.4 Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) ................. 119.5 126.6 126.6 127.2 128.1 128.5 128.8 120.0 127.9 128.2 128.7 130.8 131.3 131.6 Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... 132.5 128.4 140.5 141.7 142.8 142.8 143.0 145.4 129.5 136.6 136.9 138.1 137.8 137.4 140.4 138.8 139.2 137.8 136.6 136.8 136.7 122.5 131.7 131.8 131.1 129.0 129.6 129.4 Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................. Housekeeping s e rv ic e s ................................................................................ 137.5 277.1 295.3 296.9 298.3 300.5 305.2 306.9 273.8 293.4 295.1 296.9 298.9 303.9 305.4 257.3 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 337.5 337.5 257.3 308.1 308.1 308.1 308.1 337.5 337.5 ........................................................ 134.4 143.1 143.9 144.7 145.5 147.0 147.8 131.8 142.8 143.8 144.9 145.2 146.7 147.6 Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100) ........................................... 121.4 127.8 128.5 129.0 131.3 132.2 133.0 120.6 126.4 127.2 128.3 130.5 131.2 131.6 APPAREL AND UPKEEP........................................................ 183.9 184.7 187.4 190.7 191.5 191.3 190.5 182.9 185.5 187.9 190.5 190.6 190.5 189.4 Apparel commodities........................................................ 176.0 175.1 178.0 181.4 182.1 181.8 180.7 175.3 176.6 179.0 181.6 181.5 181 5 180.1 Postage ........................................................................................................ Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100) Apparel commodities less fo o tw e a r.......................................................... 172.5 171.2 174.3 178.0 178.4 177.9 176.6 171.6 172.8 175.2 178.1 177.7 177.3 Men’s and boys’ ............................................................................. 174.3 175.6 177.6 181.1 183.6 183.6 181.6 174.4 176.9 178.4 181.4 182.9 183.2 181.7 Men's (12/77 = 100) ............................................................ 109.8 110.3 111.7 114.3 115.9 115.9 114.5 109.9 111.6 112.8 115.0 115.8 115.9 115.0 103.5 102.5 108.8 109.8 102.1 102.0 Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ........................... 105.6 109.9 106.4 97.4 99.7 Coats and jackets (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................ 99.7 96.7 97.7 101.0 102.4 102.8 101.4 101.9 100.8 102.4 106.1 104.9 105.1 104.1 Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) ........................ 123.9 129.6 129.5 132.7 134.3 133.6 134.2 120.0 124.8 125.3 128.5 130.0 129.8 130.6 Shirts (12/77 = 100) ...................................................................... 119.7 120.6 125.3 115.5 117.9 98.2 175.6 102.0 99.5 123.0 123.0 122.7 120.7 118.8 122.1 123.9 125.5 125.4 ........................ 103.4 106.5 106.6 107.8 109.2 109.8 108.5 108.1 113.2 112.5 113.5 114.7 115.5 ............................................................................. 113.1 115.1 115.8 116.4 118.1 118.0 117.2 112.6 113.6 113.8 114.8 116.4 116.5 115.4 Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) ................. 108.6 107.0 109.2 111.3 111.9 111.6 109.9 111.8 107.6 109.5 112.3 113.5 112.8 110.9 Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) Boys’ (12/77 = 100) Furnishings (12/77 = 100) ............................................................ 118.7 124.5 124.3 125.0 125.6 114.1 127.0 127.5 116.2 120.6 120.3 120.9 121.8 123.3 123.5 .......... 114.3 117.7 117.5 117.0 119.9 119.3 118.8 112.0 115.6 114.7 114.4 116.6 116.9 115.9 W omen’s and girls’ ......................................................................................... 157.4 153.5 157.8 162.9 161.2 160.6 157.9 162.7 Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) Women's (12/77 - 1 0 0 ) ........................................................................ Coats and jackets ........................................................................... 159.6 158.2 161.2 164.9 104.4 101.2 104.4 108.1 106.8 106.3 105.8 105.3 104.5 107.1 109.8 108.1 107.6 107.1 161.4 153.9 162.1 170.8 167.3 164.0 161.8 172.2 159.0 154.1 168.7 177.8 171.4 166.3 167.3 153.4 162.1 160.7 Dresses .............................................................................................. 163.8 162.2 166.9 165.0 164.0 151.5 151.9 149.5 95.1 101.1 100,4 100.7 99.1 101.1 103.3 102.3 101.9 101.3 120.0 121.2 122.8 123.0 101.1 124.1 154.3 102.4 155.5 101.4 116.8 166.2 97.4 170.8 Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. 124.8 116.6 120.1 121.0 122.7 123.4 124.0 124.5 91.9 78.6 87.0 95.4 92.4 89.5 87.7 98.2 100.6 109.8 115.0 110.2 108.5 106.0 Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................... Suits (12/77 = 1 0 0 )........................................................................ Girls' (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................................................................... 106.1 107.9 109.7 Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 1 0 0 )...................... 101.3 100.0 101.6 103.3 99.8 100.3 98.4 98.6 98.9 101.5 103.3 99.8 99.9 96.1 Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. 106.1 106.1 106.5 108.7 111.0 112.0 111.3 108.9 106.6 108.9 108.9 110.0 110.6 110.2 107.5 113.8 117.6 117.0 117.9 119.6 120.0 120.7 112.2 116.3 115.1 115.5 118.5 119.0 119.5 109.2 109.2 107.7 104.9 106.9 107.6 108.8 108.4 108.4 106.0 Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................................... 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1 9 6 7 = 100 u n less o th e rw ise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 255.4 272.9 279.3 279.8 281.6 274.1 270.6 204.4 204.8 206.1 206.0 206.2 206.1 203.2 118.3 110.0 113.6 115.3 116.4 116.3 116.4 116.2 147.5 147.4 142.3 141.0 141.4 140.9 141.1 141.0 138.4 204.2 205.4 205.7 196.7 199.2 200.8 202.3 204.1 206.2 205.9 129.3 130.3 130.7 126.0 129.5 129.8 129.7 130.3 132.3 132.5 132.1 127.8 128.7 130.4 130.7 132.2 134.0 134.8 Nov. Dec. Dec. 266.4 268.5 264.9 259.4 213.3 216.2 214.8 214.5 117.5 118.3 118.1 118.6 146.6 147.2 146.2 149.0 196.6 199.0 200.0 202.4 124.6 128.0 128.3 128.8 July Aug. Sept. Infants’ and toddlers’ .................................................................................... 250.1 259.8 263.6 Other apparel commodities 213.3 212.4 214.0 100) .................................. 110.6 115.3 100) ................................................ 149.5 .................................................................................. APPAREL AND UPKEEP July Oct. Dec. 1981 1980 1981 1980 Continued Apparel commodities — Continued Apparel commodities less footwear — Continued ........................................................................ Sewing materials and notions (12/77 Jewelry and luggage (12/77 - Men’s (12/77 - 100) ................................................................. 126.6 130.1 129.1 129.7 131.1 132.1 Women's (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................. 120.0 118.7 120.6 123.5 124.9 125.2 125.4 117.5 117.8 118.9 121.2 122.5 122.9 121.6 Apparel services ................................................................................ 243.4 258.9 260.2 262.0 263.2 264.6 266.4 242.2 256.3 258.2 260.0 262.1 262.3 264.4 Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 - 1 0 0 ) .............. 143.5 153.8 154.7 155.7 157.1 158.2 159.2 143.2 153.1 153.9 155.0 156.4 156.3 157.8 ............................................................ 130.5 136.7 137.2 138.2 137.5 137.9 139.1 129.9 135.1 136.5 137.4 138.3 138.6 139.6 TRANSPORTATION ............................................................................ 261.1 282.6 283.7 285.2 287.2 289.1 289.8 261.9 283.9 285.1 286.6 288.9 290.8 291.5 Private................................................................................................ 259.4 279.6 280.5 281.9 283.9 285.8 286.5 260.8 281.6 282.6 284.1 286.4 288.3 289.0 184.5 192.5 191.9 191.3 192.5 195.3 197.0 184.6 192.9 192.1 191.4 192.7 195.2 196.9 234.4 260.3 266.9 272.8 278.2 281.4 281.9 234.4 260.3 266.9 272.8 278.2 281.4 281.9 Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 = 100) Other apparel services (12/77 = 100) Automobile maintenance and re p a ir................................................................... Body work (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ........................................................................... 373.3 412.9 411.7 411.2 409.9 409.5 408.4 374.4 414.0 412.9 412.4 411.3 410.9 409.8 280.1 293.5 295.5 298.7 301.3 302.8 304.1 280.6 293.4 296.1 299.3 301.8 303.4 304.8 136.8 144.1 145.8 147.4 148.7 149.9 150.6 136.7 143.3 145.4 146.1 147.2 148.3 148.9 Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous 134.0 139.9 140.9 143.1 144.0 144.2 144.7 135.6 141.4 142.6 145.5 146.5 147.3 148.5 .............................................. 131.6 137.4 137.8 138.9 140.3 140.9 141.5 131.7 137.3 138.2 139.2 140.3 140.5 141.0 ............................................................ 132.7 139.9 141.2 142.6 144.0 144.9 145.6 132.2 139.1 140.5 141.9 143.5 144.7 145.1 ................................................................................ 231.0 242.9 243.0 244.2 247.5 249.5 250.6 233.2 246.0 245.6 246.9 250.6 253.0 254.2 ................................................ 203.6 208.8 212.1 212.6 212.7 213.4 214.5 205.7 210.8 213.4 215.5 216.1 216.8 216.9 100) ................... 138.8 144.8 146.8 147.7 148.0 148.5 148.7 139.0 143.4 144.1 145.3 144.8 146.7 147.2 1 0 0 ) ............................. 130.6 133.6 135.7 136.0 136.0 136.4 137.2 132.0 135.2 137.0 138.4 138.9 139.2 139.2 182.1 185.6 189.3 189.7 189.4 189.7 191.5 184.7 188.4 191.5 194.1 194.6 195.1 195.2 mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) .......................................................... Maintenance and servicing (12/77 Power plant repair (12/77 = 100) Other private transportation 100) Other private transportation commodities Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 - 132.9 133.2 134.3 134.1 133.9 ............................. 127.6 131.7 132.4 133.9 127.8 132.2 Other private transportation s e rv ic e s .......................................................... 240.6 254.3 253.6 255.0 259.1 261.5 262.6 242.9 257.7 256.6 257.7 262.2 265.1 266.6 262.0 264.6 265.4 266.0 252.0 259.6 260.1 261.8 264.3 265.0 265.5 189.9 Other parts and equipment (12/77 - 100) 132.8 133.4 134.1 Automobile insurance ........................................................................... Automobile finance charges (12/77 - 100) .................................... 252.5 259.8 260.3 159.4 180.9 177.3 178.0 184.4 188.7 190.5 157.9 179.9 176.3 176.5 183.1 187.6 Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . . 115.8 118.0 119.5 120.1 120.2 120.7 120.8 117.5 118.4 119.5 119.8 120.0 121.1 121.4 148.0 149.0 149.0 State registration ........................................................................... 146.9 147.9 Drivers’ licenses (12/77 - 100) ................................................ Vehicle inspection (12/77 - 100) .............................................. Other vehicle-related fees (12/77 100) ............................... 105.3 124.3 132.7 105.9 128.6 Public................................................................................................... 280.1 = 147.9 147.9 147.9 149.0 149.0 147.0 147.9 148.0 148.0 106.2 109.6 109.9 110.4 105.1 105.6 105.9 109.5 109.8 110.3 111.9 <’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 111.9 128.3 129.3 143.1 ( 1) 145.8 (M 145.9 ( 1) 146.5 ( 1) 148.6 129.0 149.2 136.6 ( 1) 140.0 140.9 141.2 141.3 141.6 125.1 142.0 323.1 326.5 329.1 330.8 333.2 333.8 271.8 317.7 320.9 324.5 326.6 328.2 328.6 327.4 367.3 371.4 372.5 372.0 374.5 374.7 325.7 365.6 370.0 371.8 372.9 373.1 372.8 310.1 343.5 347.5 351.4 361.3 362.2 365.2 309.8 343.6 347.3 351.7 362.1 362.9 366.1 304.4 304.6 236.5 291.0 293.9 299.2 301.3 303.6 303.9 237.1 290.7 294.0 298.6 301.7 269.7 287.1 288.1 288.6 289.3 291.3 294.7 275.9 295.7 296.7 297.1 298.1 300.4 304.1 Intercity train f a r e ................................................................................................... 270.1 304.6 304.6 305.0 315.0 319.2 319.2 270.3 304.9 305.0 305.2 314.9 318.9 318.9 MEDICAL CARE .................................................................................. 275.8 295.6 299.3 301.7 304.8 308.2 310.2 277.6 295.4 298.6 300.9 304.0 307.1 309.1 Medical care commodities.................................................................. 175.1 187.7 189.4 190.8 192.1 193.1 194.9 175.6 189.2 190.6 191.9 192.9 193.8 195.4 160.7 173.7 175.4 176.5 178.6 179.6 181.0 161.5 175.0 176.5 178.0 179.4 180.3 181.9 124.7 133.9 138.4 134.8 136.5 136.8 136.3 137.8 126.4 135.8 137.0 139.2 139.6 138.9 139.7 139.6 140.0 141.9 143.6 144.8 128.6 137.6 138.8 139.7 141.3 143.3 144.4 119.1 126.5 127.6 127.8 129.5 130.4 131.9 120.2 127.9 128.6 129.0 130.5 131.0 131.8 100) ....................................... 142.3 158.1 160.4 160.6 161.9 163.3 164.6 141.7 158.2 160.3 161.4 162.8 164.1 165.9 100) .................................... 126.9 139.1 140.2 141.7 144.1 144.9 145.9 129.6 141.8 142.7 143.8 144.2 145.4 147.3 122.4 131.8 133.1 134.1 136.8 137.5 138.1 123.1 132.5 133.9 134.6 136.1 136.8 138.0 ........................ 126.2 134.5 135.6 136.7 137.8 135.8 136.7 137.4 137.9 138.5 120.8 125.8 126.3 126.9 139.2 128.4 126.5 ........................................................................ 137.0 127.4 Intracity mass transit ............................................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................ Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .............................................. Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................ 130.2 Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription medical supplies (12/77 Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 - Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .......................................................... Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 = 100) Eyeglasses (12/77 = 100) Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ....................................... Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 1 0 0 ).......... Medical care services ........................................................................ 127.8 139.7 120.4 125.0 125.3 126.0 126.0 126.7 127.1 217.5 218.9 219.5 220.2 222.8 198.1 213.1 215.5 217.8 217.3 218.6 221.6 198.0 215.4 122.5 129.9 130.4 131.4 132.7 133.7 134.6 123.7 132.2 132.3 132.6 133.8 134.7 135.2 329.7 333.7 335.7 300.0 318.5 322.1 324.7 328.3 332.0 334.0 297.9 319.2 323.4 326.1 261.7 280.4 282.9 284.3 286.4 288.4 290.0 265.0 280.8 282.7 284.5 286.2 288.2 290.3 280.3 300.7 302.7 304.9 307.9 311.3 313.0 285.7 304.7 306.7 308.6 310.9 314.1 316.0 248.6 266.5 269.9 270.8 271.6 272.3 273.9 251.3 264.6 266.6 268.4 269.5 270.1 272.3 Other professional services (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .............................................. 128.5 136.8 137.3 137.7 138.9 139.5 140.3 126.6 132.7 133.6 134.3 134.9 136.2 137.2 Other medical care s e rv ic e s ................................................................................ 341.6 366.1 372.5 376.5 382.1 388.4 390.9 342.9 364.6 370.6 374.1 380.3 386.2 388.1 141.7 151.7 154.7 156.6 159.0 161.9 162.7 141.3 150.3 153.1 154.8 157.9 160.6 161.1 519.3 443.1 472.2 482.6 488.5 498.9 509.6 512.6 159.6 140.6 149.4 151.8 153.4 156.1 158.3 158.4 Hospital and other medical services (12/77 - 1 0 0 ) ............................... Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 1 0 0 )............... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 443.7 478.0 4894 494.6 503.0 515.4 141.4 150.4 152.9 155.0 157.2 159.2 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 1980 1981 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. ENTERTAINMENT.......................................... 212.0 221.1 222.3 224.0 225.5 226.8 227.3 210.1 218.7 219.9 221.5 223.4 224.3 224.4 Entertainment commodities.................. 215.3 225.5 226.5 227.9 228.9 230.3 230.6 210.9 221.1 222.2 224.0 224.2 225.5 225.4 Reading materials (12/77 = 1 0 G ).................................. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 128.2 136.0 136.0 138.1 138.7 139.8 139.6 127.6 135.9 135.9 137.8 138.3 Newspapers .................................... 139.3 139.1 246.2 265.0 265.5 266.3 267.1 267.6 267.7 245.5 265.0 265.4 266.2 266.9 267.5 267.6 Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. 131.5 137.3 137.2 141.1 141.9 143.9 143.5 131.5 137.4 137.1 141.2 141.9 143.7 143.4 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... 122.9 127.0 127.2 127.3 128.3 130.2 130.0 117.8 120.6 120.8 121.3 121.4 122.8 122.4 124.0 129.0 128.6 128.4 129.4 116.5 118.5 118.3 118.7 118.6 116.2 117.7 118.2 119.1 119.2 ( 1) 119.6 132.1 Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 119.9 113.4 117.0 116.7 117.2 117.3 ( 1) 118.2 B ic y c le s ................................................................. 117.9 184.7 191.0 192.2 193.2 194.4 194.3 193.9 184.9 192.1 193.5 193.9 195.9 196.3 195.2 Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. 120.4 122.7 124.1 125.0 126.6 126.7 126.2 119.3 122.9 124.9 125.8 126.2 126.9 126.3 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ).................................. 123.5 Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) .................................... 129.3 120.2 130.5 131.0 131.3 131.3 132.0 121.8 128.5 129.6 130.6 130.5 130.8 130.9 121.3 127.9 129.3 129.4 129.6 129.7 130.1 118.5 125.3 126.6 127.1 126.2 126.7 126.9 Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 )............................. 122.0 125.7 126.0 126.4 126.0 125.5 125.2 122.4 127.0 127.1 127.7 127.8 127.5 Pet supplies and expenses (12/77 = 100) ....................................... 126.3 128.4 134.5 136.2 137.2 138.3 138.3 140.2 127.6 135.1 136.6 138.8 139.9 140.1 140.9 Entertainment services .......................................... 207.8 215.2 216.7 218.9 221.0 222.3 223.0 209.7 215.8 217.0 218.3 223.3 223.4 223.9 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................... 125.7 131.6 132.0 134.3 136.4 137.3 137.6 125.9 131.6 132.4 134.0 138.9 139.1 Admissions (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .............................................. Other entertainment services (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... 139.3 123.1 119.4 125.9 121.7 128.1 121.7 128.0 122.5 128.3 123.1 128.9 123.4 129.7 123.7 124.0 121.8 125.7 123.2 126.9 123.1 127.3 122.7 128.2 124.2 128.3 124.1 128.7 124.3 Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES.............................. 224.6 234.4 235.6 243.0 245.2 245.9 246.7 223.0 232.4 233.5 239.3 241.4 242.5 243.5 Tobacco products .......................................... 210.8 219.3 219.9 221.7 225.3 226.2 226.8 210.4 218.4 219.1 220.9 224.5 225.4 225.9 C ig a re tte s ................................................................... 213.5 221.6 222.2 224.2 228.1 228.9 229.7 213.2 220.7 221.4 223.4 227.2 228.1 228.7 Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100) . . . 124.9 132.5 132.9 133.1 134.0 134.7 134.4 124.5 133.4 133.9 134.4 134.7 135.0 134.7 Personal care ........................................ 220.9 233.4 235.1 236.3 236.9 237.7 239.1 220.0 231.2 232.4 233.6 234.1 235.5 237.1 Toilet goods and personal care a p p lia nces........................................... 215.2 228.7 230.1 231.2 231.6 232.5 234.7 214.3 228.4 229.4 231.1 231.4 233.1 235.4 135.8 Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 = 100) ................... 125.2 133.9 134.1 134.1 134.9 135.4 136.5 125.3 131.7 132.5 133.3 131.8 133.3 Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) .......................... 128.4 139.0 140.0 140.0 139.8 140.5 141.2 125.4 137.1 137.6 138.0 138.0 139.3 139.8 122.6 127.7 128.9 130.7 131.2 131.8 133.2 121.4 128.3 128.9 130.4 131.6 132.2 133.7 124.8 133.0 133.9 134.2 133.7 134.3 136.0 126.8 135.9 136.4 137.4 138.2 139.1 139.1 226.8 238.4 240.3 241.5 242.3 243.1 243.9 225.8 234.4 235.7 236.3 237.1 238.1 239.2 228.7 240.5 241.9 243.0 243.9 244.8 245.2 227.5 235.1 235.7 236.1 236.7 237.8 238.8 126.4 132.7 134.4 135.3 135.6 135.9 136.8 126.0 131.8 133.3 133.9 134.5 134.9 135.7 251.5 259.2 260.4 281.5 284.6 284.9 285.1 251.7 260.1 261.7 281.8 284.8 285.6 285.9 Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup Implements (12/77 = 100) ....................................... Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) Personal care s e rv ic e s ........................................................ Beauty parlor services for w o m e n .................................. Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) Personal and educational expenses ............ Schoolbooks and supplies ............................... Personal and educational s e rv ic e s ........................... Tuition and other school fees ............................. College tuition (12/77 = 100) ............................. Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) Personal expenses (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. .......... ___ 222.1 231.3 231.4 252.1 254.5 254.6 254.5 225.8 235.2 235.2 255.9 258.3 258.3 258.5 258.2 265.8 267.2 288.5 291.7 292.1 292.3 258.1 266.4 268.4 288.5 291.6 292.5 292.8 132.2 133.5 134.2 147.4 149.0 149.1 149.1 132.4 133.7 134.7 147.7 149.3 149.4 149.4 148.3 148.3 131.5 132.9 133.1 146.1 148.1 148.1 148.1 131.5 133.0 133.2 146.3 148.2 134.4 135.3 137.8 151.5 151.6 152.0 152.0 134.3 135.4 138.7 152.1 152.2 152.7 152.7 133.4 147.9 148.7 150.0 152.3 152.8 153.4 132.2 146.6 147.6 148.5 150.4 152.1 152.7 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other p ro d u c ts .................................. Insurance and finance 368.3 407.1 405.9 405.4 404.3 403.9 402.8 369.4 408.0 406.9 406.5 405.4 405.1 404.0 364.5 402.7 408.1 417.6 419.0 422.2 423.1 364.7 402.4 407.3 416.4 417.6 Utilities and public tra n s p o rta tio n ......................................... 420.9 422.1 255.8 286.5 289.7 293.3 292.7 292.6 293.9 254.4 285.6 288.5 292.4 291.6 291.5 Housekeeping and home maintenance services ................. 292.6 308.4 332.3 334.0 335.7 335.9 339.6 341.3 306.6 322.8 333.0 335.5 337.3 339.9 341.5 ....................................... Digitized 82 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [D e c e m b e r 1977 = 1 0 0 ] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group Oct. Dec. Aug. | Oct. 1981 1981 1981 1981 Aug. Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000-385,000) Size class B (385,000-1.250 million) Aug. Dec. Oct. Dec. Aug. Oct. Dec. Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All Items ............................................................................. Food and beverages .................................................... Housing ...................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................... Transportation.............................................................. Medical care................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................. Other goods and services ............................................ 146.2 147.8 148.0 160.4 117.6 118.9 117.5 118.3 154.5 156.3 157.9 161.3 164.0 137.6 140.0 142.0 139.2 143.6 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................... Services ............................................................................ 143.5 150.7 142.1 143.8 144.2 150.5 152.3 152.9 156.2 159.2 147.7 149.2 139.4 139.7 139.6 139.9 139.9 139.6 142.3 142.6 142.8 137.6 137.4 137.0 161.4 161.9 170.4 170.1 176.3 155.2 156.6 159.3 124.8 123.1 123.5 124.8 125.9 125.7 126.5 125.4 165.4 160.5 162.0 162.7 158.3 159.7 161.8 146.6 140.8 146.5 146.3 138.9 142.3 133.2 134.3 137.5 138.5 147.2 155.3 143.0 131.8 131.9 129.1 129.6 131.0 127.8 129.5 133.7 131.7 127.2 134.6 135.4 132.2 138.0 138.7 135.8 141.5 142.0 129.5 141.0 142.1 141.8 148.6 149.6 149.6 149.1 149.8 151.1 146.0 146.4 142.0 143.7 143.2 152.7 154.3 154.5 152.3 153.1 154.9 150.0 150.7 152.1 146.0 147.3 153.6 156.5 158.0 165.4 166.7 172.5 150.5 153.5 156.1 129.3 North Central region EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................... Housing ...................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................... Transportation.............................................................. Medical care................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................. Other goods and services ............................................ COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................... Services ............................................................................ 152.3 152.6 152.6 148.1 148.8 149.2 145.4 145.9 147.4 145.3 146.7 147.6 139.4 139.7 139.8 139.2 139.3 139.3 140.8 140.3 140.7 142.4 143.3 143.4 165.9 164.4 163.3 154.7 153.6 153.8 148.5 147.5 150.0 147.0 148.3 149.1 112.9 115.5 113.7 120.2 127.2 128.0 116.9 123.4 122.4 121.6 123.1 123.6 162.3 157.6 158.6 160.1 147.7 146.9 147.7 151.2 158.9 161.2 162.9 158.4 159.5 160.8 159.3 161.2 141.3 142.8 144.6 144.5 145.6 ' 146.8 143.9 145.3 130.9 132.2 134.1 188.4 123.8 124.4 129.8 131.3 132.6 128.1 128.4 129.2 131.2 136.0 137.0 136.5 142.4 142.9 131.5 135.1 135.6 133.6 140.4 141.7 145.7 145.7 145.1 142.9 142.9 142.9 141.7 141.4 142.2 139.4 140.7 140.7 148.7 148.5 147.6 144.5 144.4 144.4 142.1 141.9 142.8 138.1 139.6 139.5 154.8 156.2 158.7 162.1 162.9 163.7 156.4 158.3 159.5 151.6 153.3 156.1 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................... Housing ...................................................................... Apparel and upkeep ............ .................................... Transportation.............................................................. Medical care................................................................ Entertainment.............................................................. Other goods and services ............................................ COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................... Services ........................ , .................................................. 148.2 150.9 152.0 151.6 153.4 155.9 147.2 149.4 150.8 140.2 141.2 141.4 141.7 141.1 141.3 141.6 141.2 141.9 143.9 144.0 143.4 155.3 154.7 159.7 150.9 153.5 156.2 115.1 118.3 118.2 108.6 111.8 110.4 160.2 162.3 148.5 149.2 152.3 154.9 158.6 160.3 160.5 162.5 166.7 121.9 124.4 123.5 120.6 122.6 123.7 158.9 160.6 161.9 160.3 162.3 164.1 158.6 159.1 160.6 161.6 138.3 141.6 143.2 141.6 145.9 147.6 145.6 148.8 153.0 149.9 156.3 160.1 132.1 132.7 134.8 138.5 136.4 139.9 138.6 138.8 138.4 134.8 139.5 140.5 125.3 135.3 127.1 139.2 127.4 139.7 132.2 134.6 133.4 139.5 137.1 139.5 143.5 145.0 145.9 144.7 145.7 147.5 143.1 143.6 145.3 143.2 144.1 145.1 144.9 146.6 147.9 146.0 147.7 150.1 143.8 144.6 146.7 143.0 144.2 145.8 154.9 159.3 160.5 161.9 164.9 168.6 156.9 157.9 163.1 153.1 157.4 159.5 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................. Food and beverages .................................................... Housing ...................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................... Transportation.............................................................. Medical care................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................. Other goods and services ............................................ COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages ........................ Services .......................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 152.4 156.3 156.1 151.2 155.0 155.1 146.4 149.2 149.4 147.7 152.1 149.1 140.3 140.3 140.8 144.6 144.9 145.4 141.2 141.4 140.1 145.2 145.5 145.8 153.8 145.6 153.9 146.1 160.6 167.1 165.5 156.6 162.6 161.6 148.9 153.5 121.2 121.8 121.9 124.5 127.6 127.1 114.6 116.5 117.1 134.4 135.9 135.6 159.3 161.8 162.9 161.1 163.5 165.0 160.8 162.1 149.4 162.8 161.0 151.1 162.5 150.4 152.8 155.7 146.1 148.1 151.3 147.0 149.9 164.6 149.2 150.5 130.2 133.0 133.6 130.1 132.5 133.9 130.8 131.4 129.4 145.4 144.4 145.6 136.4 140.1 141.0 137.3 141.4 142.8 131.3 136.1 136.8 141.0 145.5 148.0 143.4 145.1 144.9 145.2 147.0 147.2 142.6 144.4 143.7 144.5 146.2 145.5 144.7 147.1 146.6 145.5 147.8 148.0 145.6 145.1 144.2 146.5 145.4 164.3 171.2 170.9 159.4 166.0 166.0 143.2 151.7 156.1 157.5 152.5 160.9 154.6 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 25. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 un le ss o th e rw is e sp e cified] All Urban Consumers Area1 U.S. city average 2 .................................... Anchorage, Alaska (1 0 /6 7 = 1 0 0 ) 1980 1981 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 258.4 274.4 276.5 279.3 279.9 280.7 281.5 258.7 274.6 276.5 279.1 279.7 280.4 281.1 282.2 260.3 ............................. Atlanta, Ga...................................................... Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 1980 246.1 258.3 250.5 276.1 253.7 281.5 241.7 245.9 278.1 249.3 283.0 284.1 Baltimore, Md........................................ 272.5 279.9 280.7 Boston, Mass........................................... 273.7 281.6 280 9 266.3 272.8 274.2 266.5 273.6 274.3 Buffalo, N.Y.................................... 246.5 Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind...................... 260.3 Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind............................ 275.8 273.3 Cleveland, O h io .................................... 266.5 Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex................................ 269.5 Denver-Boulder, C olo.................................... Detroit, Mich............................................ 269.7 262.5 276.9 292.5 284.2 264.3 245.2 273.9 258.9 281.6 266.7 295.1 268.2 276.6 298.9 283.5 277.0 282.8 288.2 283.1 276.1 275.2 284.4 294.2 Honolulu, Hawaii ........................................... 260.3 272.7 279.6 278.3 265.5 236.1 256.6 259.3 258.3 237.0 274.8 294.7 300.0 302.7 272.1 Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas ............................... 259.1 Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, C alif................................. 258.7 Miami, Fla. (1 1 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ 274.8 146.1 Milwaukee, W is.......................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J......................... 271.3 Northeast, Pa. (S c ra n to n )......................................... 262.5 250.5 Pittsburgh, Pa............................................... 262.0 Portland, Oreg.-Wash............................................. 267.8 268.8 274.4 277.7 273.5 257.2 282.3 262.2 298.7 267.9 260.6 247.2 267.8 274.7 274.1 277.7 278.9 279.1 252.3 281.8 262.9 268.5 278.2 276.4 298 8 272 0 271 3 284.9 151.0 285.5 291.5 291.6 267.8 271.6 274.5 298.3 267.0 266.9 275.2 274.5 275.0 278.1 278.4 278.7 279.2 St. Louis, Mo.-Ill............................................................ 288.8 276.3 269.4 273.4 273.8 269.2 San Diego, Calif.................................................. 273.0 273.0 305.4 313.9 321.3 300.5 308.0 315.1 287.9 297.0 294.0 255.7 287.2 295.6 292.7 Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................ 282.3 288.6 289.2 277.8 284.3 Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va..................................... 285 7 267,1 271.8 275.5 271.4 275.7 279.3 'T h e areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated 84FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Area is used for New York and Chicago. 2 Average of 85 cities. 274.1 282.6 291.1 254.9 266.9 275.2 280.8 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif....................................... 286.1 154.7 292.1 264.0 275.1 259.3 295.9 282.9 287.0 262.3 291.0 302.8 259.1 291.8 269.0 274.9 280.2 274.4 281 ? 288.8 270.2 278.6 277 3 279.0 304.2 256.6 276.3 276.3 262.7 282 3 285.1 291.2 272.2 275.8 277.1 143.7 287.5 291.6 268.0 271.5 270.5 281.8 153.6 286.9 286.6 264.8 266.0 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J....................................................... 281.3 150.2 285.6 259.0 247.3 272.6 279.3 261.2 283.0 299.9 Houston, Tex............................................................ 272.2 274.6 276.3 297.8 281.5 259.4 271.7 26. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1 9 6 7 = 100] 1982 Annual average 1981 Jan. Feb Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Finished g o o d s .................................................................................. 269.8 260.9 263.3 266.0 268.5 269.6 270.5 271.8 271.5 r 271.5 274.0 274.5 275.3 277.4 Finished consumer g o o d s ........................................................ 271.2 262.5 265.0 268.2 270.6 271.5 272.3 273.5 273.0 '273.1 274.7 274.9 275.6 277.4 Finished consumer f o o d s ..................................................... 253.5 251.0 251.3 252.6 251.9 252.8 253.8 257.6 256.3 '256.2 253.7 252.7 253.0 256.4 256.9 '253.5 253.3 259.5 273.4 280.1 Commodity grouping 1981 FINISHED GOODS 263.6 257.9 265.6 279.7 279.3 263.1 258.9 262.7 250.6 248.4 247.9 248.1 247.4 249.8 251.3 255.0 254.2 '254.4 251.7 250.0 249.1 252.2 ........................................... 319.4 302.7 308.4 316.0 320.4 321.0 322.0 322.5 322.1 '324.2 323.8 325.0 325.9 328.1 Durable goods ...................................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy . . . . 218.5 214.9 215.1 214.0 216.6 218.1 218.2 218.1 218.3 '215.8 224.3 224.3 225.0 225.8 208.6 201.9 203.5 204.8 207.3 207.7 208.4 209.5 210.4 '211.8 213.3 213.4 216.2 Capital equipment .................................................................... 264.3 254.6 256.7 258.1 260.8 262.5 263.8 265.4 265.8 '2 65.3 212.2 271.4 272.9 274.1 276.1 Intermediate materials, supplies, and c o m p o n e n ts...................... 306.0 296.1 298.3 302.0 305.8 306.7 307.2 308.5 310.1 '3 09.7 309.3 309.0 309.6 311.3 Materials and components for m a n u fa ctu rin g ...................... 286.2 279.6 281.6 284.1 285.1 289.8 290.2 290.3 289.7 290.8 Materials for food manufacturing ....................................... 260.9 280.7 273.2 267.5 263.1 259.0 262.4 260.5 261.0 '254.6 252.7 249.2 247.3 252.9 279.4 284.3 287.0 287.7 289.2 291.0 291.2 290.8 289.7 289.5 289.4 314.4 316.0 '317.1 317.1 315.1 314.4 314.2 Nondurable goods less foods INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS 280.3 285.8 287.9 289.6 .......................... 285.9 274.0 276.5 Materials for durable m anu fa ctu rin g .................................. 312.2 306.9 305.4 306.9 310.6 311.2 310.7 Components for manufacturing 259.2 250.3 253.0 254.2 255.4 256.3 257.3 259.5 261.8 '263.8 264.7 266.3 267.7 269.7 288.0 288.5 289.6 290.4 290.7 '2 90.0 289.8 289.9 290.8 291.9 602.0 Materials for nondurable manufacturing ......................................... ........................ 287.5 279.2 280.3 282.7 Processed fuels and lubricants .............................................. 595.0 551.9 569.8 598.3 608.5 608.7 605.7 607.8 '601.4 595.1 594.2 597.7 605.7 Manufacturing industries ..................................................... 498.2 469.5 482.8 503.9 509.0 510.7 505.4 500.3 508.3 '500.5 495.6 495.4 498.6 507.7 694.3 692.0 695.6 '690.5 683.1 681.5 685.3 692.0 Materials and components for construction .............................................. 680.5 624.7 646.7 681.6 696.2 695.2 C o n ta in e rs.................................................................................. 276.2 264.6 268.2 270.9 274.3 276.4 277.2 278.8 280.3 '2 8 0 .6 281.1 280.7 280.6 282.2 258.9 262.4 264.0 264.6 266.0 266.1 266.1 267.1 267.4 268.7 269.8 261.5 262.5 Nonmanufacturing industries 257.8 257.8 Manufacturing industries ..................................................... 253.2 242.5 244.8 246.8 250.6 252.3 253.4 255.0 256.0 '2 56.8 258.9 259.5 Nonmanufacturing industries .............................................. 269.6 265.7 264.6 265.2 268.7 270.2 270.5 272.0 271.6 '271.1 271.5 271.7 272.7 273.9 215.2 263.9 Feeds .................................................................................. 230.4 252.0 237.5 231.7 239.2 242.9 235.4 232.8 229.1 '2 21.3 216.3 212.0 214.7 278.7 279.3 '2 80.7 282.5 283.9 284.4 285.8 276.4 265.6 268.3 270.6 272.9 273.8 276.3 Crude materials fo r further p ro c e s s in g ......................................... 329.1 328.0 336.5 334.2 336.3 334.4 335.4 337.3 333.0 '3 27.4 320.3 314.1 311.6 318.2 Foodstuffs and fe e d s tu ffs ........................................................ 257.4 270.7 267.1 262.1 263.5 260.6 264.3 267.2 261.8 '253.4 245.6 238.3 233.7 242.5 480.5 476.9 479.1 481.1 Other s u p p lie s ................................................................... CRUDE MATERIALS Nonfood materials .................................................................... 481.6 450.1 484.9 488.4 492.1 492.4 487.4 487.2 485.3 '486.0 418.1 413.1 413.9 Nonfood materials except fuel ........................................... 413.9 391.0 427.9 430.9 432.5 428.3 '410.2 405.5 396.4 399.7 Manufacturing in d u stries................................................... 429.6 405.1 445.5 448.6 450.2 445.5 434.2 428.7 429.6 '425.4 420.0 412.2 409.9 413.2 261.7 262.6 262.6 263.1 '2 63.6 266.7 266.7 267.1 269.6 254.8 257.2 259.2 261.5 398.5 Construction ...................................................................... 262.4 676.5 677.4 697.7 703.6 716.6 738.4 759.2 781.2 766.7 '7 88.7 779.7 792.6 814.7 810.0 Manufacturing in d u stries................................................... 865.4 771.9 798.1 805.8 821.9 850.6 877.2 902.6 883.0 '9 11.4 635.0 678.5 698.1 687.8 '704.8 944.5 725.3 936.3 662.2 899.1 698.4 915.8 645.8 Nonmanufacturing in dustries........................................... 674.3 614.9 630.6 708.4 723.6 SPECIAL GROUPINGS Finished goods excluding foods ..................................................... Finished consumer goods excluding f o o d s ........................... 273.2 262.4 265.5 268.7 272.1 273.3 274.1 274.7 274.6 '274.7 278.7 279.7 280.6 282.3 276.3 265.1 268.5 272.5 276.1 277.0 277.7 277.9 277.7 '277.9 281.3 282.0 282.8 284.4 Finished consumer goods less e n e r g y .................................. 233.9 233.8 229.5 230.2 231.8 232.8 233.4 235.0 235.0 '234.9 236.8 237.0 237.3 239.8 310.1 298.0 301.0 305.4 309.5 310.7 311.2 312.7 314.5 '3 14.6 314.5 314.3 315.1 316.6 285.2 278.3 279.1 280.5 283.7 284.7 285.5 287.2 288.5 288.7 288.9 288.6 289.0 290.1 251.1 250.2 '2 43.5 240.6 236.9 236.4 240.4 Intermediate materials less foods and fe e d s ............................... Intermediate materials less energy ....................................... 250.7 270.9 261.3 255.6 254.9 253.1 253.2 .................................. 545.8 504.0 547.6 551.8 556.0 557.5 551.3 550.6 549.1 '5 51.4 544.3 540.9 544.1 545.7 Crude materials less e n e rg y ................................................... 254.0 266.0 262.6 259.6 261.1 257.9 259.7 261.8 258.0 '2 50.4 243.6 235.9 231.6 239.2 Intermediate foods and feeds ........................................................ Crude materials less agricultural products 1 Data for September 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Not available, r=revised. MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n less o th e rw is e sp e cified] Code Commodity group and subgroup All commodities ............................ All commodities (1957-59 = 100) . . Farm products and processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities.............. Annual average 1981 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 1982 Aug. Sept. 1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 298 2 293.4 284,8 287.6 290.3 293.4 294.1 294.8 296.2 296.4 r 295.7 296.0 295.5 295 9 311.3 302.2 305.1 308.0 311.3 312.0 312.8 314.3 314.5 r 313.7 314.1 313.5 313.9 316.4 251.5 257.9 255.1 253.5 253.8 252.9 254.3 256.8 254.2 '250.3 246.1 242.7 241 2 246 2 304.1 291.5 295.7 299.6 303.5 304.7 305.1 306.2 307.2 '307.4 308.8 309.1 310.1 311.7 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS 01 01-1 Farm products ............................... 254.9 264.5 262.4 260.7 263.3 259.6 260.7 263.3 257.9 Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables . . . G ra in s ........................ '251.1 243.3 237 4 234 5 242 1 267.0 248.4 258.7 271.5 292.8 286.1 275.3 263.3 265.6 258.1 '252.8 247.9 253.2 279.8 288 3 277.7 267.5 261.8 264.7 257.7 257.1 Livestock 257.4 242.7 227.0 227.6 226.5 213.6 225.2 248.0 244.3 244.6 239.3 246.6 251.8 263.0 266.5 262.0 257.3 244.4 231.1 213.1 220.8 213.5 195.4 207.2 210.0 215.3 210.3 196.7 185.7 175.0 225.0 171 4 236.8 201.2 242.0 284.1 268.4 270.1 274.2 258.3 259.6 251.3 232.5 206.5 211.7 198.5 188.4 198.2 287.4 288.4 289.5 289.5 287.2 283.6 284.3 285.0 287.3 286.7 ............................. Live p o u ltr y ............................. 01-5 Plant and animal fib e rs ........................ Fluid milk ............................. 285.0 186 8 E g g s .......................................................................................................... 294.3 288.2 187.1 185.7 184.8 180.4 196.2 165.0 01-8 174.6 185.1 180.7 Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds 193.2 193.8 209.7 195 5 187 0 274.1 311.8 295.0 289.5 296.3 299.0 01-9 285.3 290.0 284.3 Other farm products 267.2 230.4 221.1 2188 218 4 274.3 296.1 295.1 295.9 295.9 259.7 242.7 250.2 263.9 268.9 267.8 275.8 280.2 280.1 '248.9 02 .................................... ............................... 287.6 Processed foods and f e e d s .................................. 248.7 253.3 250.2 248.5 247.6 248.2 249.9 02-1 252.2 251.2 Cereal and bakery p ro d u c ts ........................ 255.5 251.5 252.1 252.2 253.9 256.3 02-2 256.4 258.3 Meats, poultry, and fish 257.7 '258.5 256.6 257.5 255 9 256 6 246.2 248.1 243.6 242.0 239.1 245.2 248.6 257.1 254.4 '253.3 246.6 240.0 236.3 244 2 .................................... 246.6 244.7 244 0 247 4 02-3 Dairy p ro d u c ts .............................................. 02-4 02-5 Processed fruits and v e g e ta b le s ................. Sugar and confectionery ............................... 245.7 261.1 244.7 238.4 245.0 243.7 245.1 255.2 245.4 2 580 244.6 2594 245.2 262.5 245.1 265.9 245.3 267.3 '245.5 '270.0 247.4 271.3 246 9 270.1 247 2 271 4 247 7 276.8 344.6 323.7 302.0 284.5 262.8 02-6 274.8 266.0 267.3 246.8 Beverages and beverage m a te ria ls ................. Fats and o i l s ................................................... 250.0 249.0 250 9 260 8 247.5 243.0 244.8 245.4 246.0 247.6 248.1 249.4 '249.1 248.3 250.8 251.5 253.5 227.5 230.2 228.2 229.8 232.4 02-8 228.2 227.3 234.8 229.5 Miscellaneous processed foods ...................... Prepared animal f e e d s .......................... '224.3 223.6 221 7 2193 21 7 0 250.1 244.2 248.0 249.2 249.9 251.1 251.5 252.2 252.1 253.0 249.8 250.1 250.1 250 5 230.3 248.9 235.9 231.1 237.7 241.0 234.3 232.2 228.9 '222.9 218.4 214.6 217.2 217.7 200.1 203 7 02-9 249.0 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 Textile products and apparel ...................... 193.1 193.9 195.2 03-1 197.6 199.2 201.3 202.4 Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) . . . '2 02.9 203.0 203.2 203 1 156.7 146.5 147.1 148.9 151.5 156.4 03-2 157.9 159.7 161.2 Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) Gray fabrics (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ................. '1 61.0 163.5 162.5 162 4 163 7 137.8 129.8 130.3 134.6 135.0 138.6 139.3 140.3 142.0 '142.3 142.0 140.3 139 8 135 3 146.7 143.6 144.0 144.7 146.6 145.8 147.4 148.2 149.0 '149.1 147.8 147.9 147 7 148 3 03-3 03-4 03-82 04 04-4 05 Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) 199.6 .. 125.2 122.2 122.9 123.2 124.9 125.7 126.0 A p p a re l........................................... 126.8 '126.8 126.1 126.5 125.8 126.7 185.5 179.9 180.7 181.4 184.3 185.2 186.2 187.2 Textile h ousefurnishings............................. 187.8 '188.0 187.9 188 7 189 1 190 1 228.2 219.8 221.3 221.3 222.1 224.0 223.9 125.6 227.1 228.8 '232.2 237.4 237.9 238.1 241.9 261.5 258.2 257.7 261.2 263.5 263.7 261.6 261.1 261.3 '261.7 262.7 261.7 262.7 264.5 Hides, skins, leather, and related products ............ Leather .............................................. 319.5 332.6 310.0 322.5 337.8 330.0 Footwear ....................................... 321.0 319.0 313.7 '313.2 312.1 311.3 311.9 241.2 238.4 240.7 240.4 241.1 241.4 241.5 242.4 Other leather and related p ro d u c ts .............. 242.5 '2 4 2 9 241 6 241 1 241 7 320.3 241 4 243.5 230.1 236.9 238.4 238.5 244.2 244.3 242.9 245.1 ' 245.0 250.1 250.5 250.5 252.7 Fuels and related products and power ............ C o a l.............................................. 694.4 634.6 05—3 Electric p o w e r ........................ 667.5 696.5 707.2 709.0 707.6 704.9 704.3 '703.5 697.2 702.7 705.8 477.8 480.8 481.1 486.1 487.3 491.7 505.5 507.0 '5 10.2 511.1 513.1 515.6 526.1 430.1 430.1 430.1 430.1 467.9 469.7 469.7 469.7 '4 69.7 470.3 470.3 939.8 857.1 881.6 889.9 907.8 933.9 954.6 969.4 949.3 '9 76.6 964.7 470.3 981.4 1007.7 990.2 366.8 341.4 346.2 351.2 355.5 360.4 366.6 374.6 385.8 '383.8 375.9 377.6 383.8 392 5 786.0 797.9 787 4 787 4 798.3 802.9 292 7 293 4 05—61 Crude petroleum 4 ........................ 803.6 704.4 842.7 842.8 05-7 842.5 839.9 815.9 798.9 Petroleum products, refined5 ............... 796.8 '796.8 788.4 805.8 736.9 769.6 825.5 840.9 835.3 828.1 816.3 813.4 '806.1 802.0 06 06-3 Chemicals and allied p r o d u c ts ............... 06-7 07 287.8 274.3 277.6 280.4 286.0 290.5 Industrial chemicals 6 ...................... 291.3 293.3 293.3 292.8 363.8 344.5 352.1 354.5 362.4 368.5 369.7 370.4 371.5 '371.8 3694 365.6 364.6 249.9 242.9 246.6 246.6 248.1 250.0 250.0 Paint materials 250.7 250.7 '250.7 251.0 254.8 256.7 259.3 300.2 284.0 287.0 290.5 295.4 300.3 300.8 304.5 308.5 '308.0 308.0 307 4 307 9 308 7 ....................................... Drugs and pharmaceuticals 07-13 07-2 08 .................................... .............. Agricultural chemicals and chemical products Plastic resins and materials ...................... Other chemicals and allied products Rubber and plastic products 07-1 ...................... . 288.6 292.5 363 8 193.4 184.7 187.3 189.3 191.0 192.4 295.6 310.7 289.7 295.7 312.7 312.1 303.1 290.9 305.6 285.6 277.7 282 5 280 4 200 9 272 8 284.8 267.6 271.6 275.8 277.8 279.1 288.9 288.9 293.4 '292.6 292.3 295.4 294 5 295 8 193.2 195.5 195.0 '197.8 198.1 198.1 198.7 289.2 274.7 276.1 279.4 285.1 287.9 290.0 295.9 297.5 ' 296.8 297.6 290 9 297 0 293 8 254.4 244.4 245.1 248.3 255.3 254.8 256.3 254.8 257.3 '2 57.4 258.0 260.9 260.2 262.8 232.8 224.8 226.4 228.4 230.8 231.8 233.4 Rubber and rubber products . . . 232.1 234.1 '2 35.7 237.7 238.7 239 0 239 5 256.7 246.2 248.5 252.1 253.0 254.4 Crude rubber 256.8 254.7 256.9 '260.3 264.3 266.2 266.4 267.3 281.7 279.1 281.9 281.2 .......................... 279.8 283.2 285.2 284.2 284.7 Tires and t u b e s ............................... '283.1 280.5 250.9 240.9 243.5 248.6 250.7 251.2 251.2 246.8 Miscellaneous rubber p r o d u c ts .......... 249.9 256.5 257.7 257 5 255 9 256 6 252.4 238.6 240.4 243.5 243.8 245.7 250.9 251.4 253.1 '253.9 263.4 269.5 271 4 272 6 130.1 130.3 130.5 Plastic products (6/78 = 100) ................. Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ...................... L u m b e r......................................... 08-4 470.3 Prepared p a in t.................................... Fats and oils, inedible 06-5 697.5 497.3 456.5 Other wood p ro d u c ts ................. See footnotes at end of table. Digitized 86 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 278.9 280.7 281 8 128.4 125.0 125.5 126.0 128.2 128.6 129.1 128.7 129.8 '129.9 130.0 292.8 296.5 294.7 294.4 299.4 298.4 298.1 296.5 294.5 '289.3 284.4 '320.2 '271.4 312.0 308.8 309.7 310.6 271.2 272.0 273.6 276.8 283.0 285.2 285.7 325.2 331.3 326.9 326.2 333.6 332.4 329.9 273.6 273.8 275.7 276.5 336.3 274.8 335.8 273.4 272.2 273.6 272.3 245.7 251.1 251.2 248.8 256.0 248.3 251.5 247.8 245.6 '240.8 234.4 233.0 239 2 236 8 239.2 238.5 238.1 236.9 238.3 238.2 239.8 240.7 239.8 '240.5 240.0 239.7 239.5 239.4 27. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [ 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 un le ss o th e rw is e specified] Commodity group and subgroup Code 1982 Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. 283.9 1981 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES - Continued Pulp, paper, and allied p ro d u c ts ............................................................... 273.7 264.4 267.2 269.0 271.4 272.1 272.9 274.9 275.9 r 277.8 279.1 280.2 280.7 09-1 Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . . . 271.0 260.9 264.5 266.8 268 6 269.9 271.2 272.3 273.7 r 274.8 276.5 276.3 276.2 276.1 09-11 W o o d p u lp ................................................................................................. 398.1 390.2 390.2 390.2 394.1 394.2 394.2 394.2 394.2 r 394.2 404.7 417.0 417.0 412.8 143.4 135.2 09 09-12 W astepaper ............................................................................................ 175.7 191.5 186.1 185.1 184.2 182.7 182.9 182.1 182.1 178.5 165.1 144.5 09-13 Paper ........................................................................................................ 280.0 271.7 272.9 273.8 275.2 275.9 278.5 279.7 282.1 r 285.9 288.6 287.1 287.5 288.8 09-14 P a p e rb o a rd .............................................................................................. 258.2 250.2 252.8 255.1 255.7 258.8 259.2 259.4 260.6 '261.6 262.6 261.6 259.3 259.7 09-15 Converted paper and paperboard p ro d u c ts ....................................... 259.0 246.9 252.1 255.3 257.3 258.8 259.9 261.2 262.4 '262.8 263.9 263.9 263.9 263.9 231.5 227.7 233.2 303.6 09-2 Building paper and b o a r d ...................................................................... 10-1 10-13 Iron and stool 219.7 225.7 227.9 232.5 237.3 237.4 235.5 234.2 '234.2 232.5 305.1 ...................................................................... 300.4 294.0 294.0 296.4 298.8 299.1 298.4 302.0 304.1 '3 04.9 305.5 303.9 ......................................................................................... 333.8 323.0 323.2 328.2 331.0 330.4 330.1 338.8 339.9 '3 39.8 341.5 339.8 339.7 343.1 350.8 275.4 Metals and metal products 10 231.3 Steel mill p ro d u c ts .................................................................................. 337.6 322.6 322.9 328.7 331.8 331.8 332.2 344.9 344.9 345.3 348.7 348.6 348.9 282.8 287.3 '2 89.4 286.8 281.4 277.5 286.0 292.1 287.7 284.5 10-3 Metal containers ..................................................................................... 315.9 311.4 313.8 314.1 314.1 314.1 314.1 315.2 318.7 '3 18.8 319.0 318.2 318.2 323.4 10-4 H a r d w a r e ................................................................................................. 262.4 254.5 258.0 258.6 258.5 259.4 259.7 263.8 265.3 '267.8 267.5 268.9 269.4 271.3 10-5 Plumbing fixtures and brass fittin g s ..................................................... 267.4 256.7 259.2 259.5 265.3 266.2 268.9 270.9 271.2 '271.6 272.8 273.0 273.9 274.4 10-6 Heating e q u ip m e nt.................................................................................. 223.9 216.6 217.6 219.5 219.8 222.3 223.5 226.4 227.9 ' 228.5 228.4 227.6 229.2 232.2 10-7 Fabricated structural metal p ro d u c ts ................................................... 295.4 283.1 285.4 289.4 293.1 294.0 295.0 297.9 299.3 '300.0 302.2 302.2 302.7 303.1 10-8 Miscellaneous metal p ro d u c ts ............................................................... 270.8 260.5 263.1 264.7 267.2 269.7 269.4 272.0 272.9 '273.7 276.2 277.5 281.4 284.3 Machinery and equipment ........................................................................ 263.1 253.3 255.3 257.5 259.6 260.7 262.1 264.8 266.2 '268.1 268.8 270.0 271.6 273.5 Agricultural machinery and e q u ip m e n t................................................ 287.7 276.4 278.4 279.8 282.5 285.7 286.8 288.1 290.3 '2 92.8 292.1 298.7 301.3 302.2 11-2 Construction machinery and e q u ip m e n t.............................................. 320.8 305.9 310.0 312.8 317.0 318.4 320.1 323.8 325.0 '326.5 329.0 329.6 332.0 337.0 11-3 Metalworking machinery and equipment ........................................... 301.2 289.7 291.6 294.9 298.7 299.9 301.3 302.9 303.5 305.3 306.5 307.5 312.2 313.7 292.3 '293.9 294.4 295.6 297.2 299.6 310.3 '312.8 314.7 315.2 316.5 319.5 10-2 11 11-1 Nonferrous m e ta ls .................................................................................. 287.4 286.5 288.4 General purpose machinery and e q u ip m e n t....................................... 288.5 278.6 280.2 282.3 284.4 285.9 287.0 290.6 11-6 Special industry machinery and equipment 308.0 295.6 299.2 301.0 303.2 307.2 308.8 311.0 11-7 Electrical machinery and equipment ................................................... 220.1 211.9 213.7 216.0 217.4 217.5 219.2 221.1 222.8 '224.2 225.0 226.0 226.9 228.3 11-9 Miscellaneous m a c h in e ry ...................................................................... 252.3 243.3 245.2 247.0 248.5 248.8 250.1 254.0 256.0 '258.5 258.3 259.1 259.8 261.3 11-4 ....................................... .......................................................... 198.4 194.0 195.2 195.8 196.4 197.4 197.3 199.5 199.6 '2 01.0 201.4 201.6 202.2 202.7 12-1 Household furniture ................................................................................ 219.4 212.9 213.8 214.5 216.5 216.4 218.6 220.0 220.7 '222.2 224.1 225.4 227.0 228.2 12-2 Commercial fu r n itu re ............................................................................. 257.6 246.7 251.6 253.4 254.5 257.7 257.9 258.7 259.1 '2 61.6 262.5 263.2 264.1 266.6 181.5 180.8 180.7 179.6 189.5 189.7 190.2 192.0 Furniture and household durables 12 12-3 12-4 Floor c o v e rin g s ....................................................................................... Household appliances ........................................................................... 178.6 172.3 171.9 174.1 175.3 179.5 180.7 182.8 181.9 '1 81.7 188.9 182.2 183.5 184.2 185.1 185.5 186.1 188.8 189.1 '190.1 12-5 Home electronic equipment ................................................................. 89.1 91.1 91.3 91.4 90.9 90.8 86.7 87.4 87.6 87.8 88.3 88.0 87.8 87.5 12-6 Other household durable goods .......................................................... 280.8 278.9 280.8 278.1 275.3 276.7 276.4 282.1 280.9 '285.8 285.3 284.6 285.5 282.8 Nonmetallic mineral p ro d u c ts ................................................................... 309.5 296.6 297.9 300.9 310.8 312.0 313.6 314.3 314.1 '313.2 313.1 313.5 313.6 315.1 13-11 Flat glass ................................................................................................. 212.9 203.9 204.3 204.8 210.2 210.2 210.3 218.3 218.3 '218.3 218.5 218.5 218.5 216.0 13-2 Concrete ingredients ............................................................................. 296.3 290.0 291.4 292.6 297.4 297.5 297.5 297.7 298.0 '298.5 298.3 298.3 13-3 Concrete p ro d u c ts .................................................................................. 291.2 286.2 286.6 286.9 289.9 291.2 293.5 293.4 293.4 292.9 293.3 293.2 293.5 294.8 250.1 250.7 250.9 250.9 '255.3 255.6 255.9 257.1 257.1 304.0 407.4 307.1 428.5 307.1 421.9 307.1 420.9 '307.1 '4 01.6 308.8 401.3 309.8 408.9 252.9 252.4 251.3 309.8 404.2 249.7 315.4 399.7 255.3 334.7 13 13-4 Structural clay products excluding re fra c to rie s .................................. 249.7 302.5 239.5 282.6 239.8 293.5 244.6 296.1 246.0 296.4 Asphalt roofing 407.0 394.8 389.5 390.5 415.9 13-5 13-6 ....................................................................................... 298.5 305.9 250.4 13-7 Gypsum products .................................................................................. 256.2 257.3 257.6 256.8 261.1 260.7 13-8 Glass containers .................................................................................... 328.5 259.6 311.4 259.7 311.4 311.4 326.7 335.3 335.3 335.5 335.5 '335.5 334.8 334.8 334.8 13-9 Other nonmetallic m in e ra ls ................................................................... 463.9 418.7 424.7 441.7 479.1 477.6 476.8 476.2 475.3 '474.3 473.2 473.5 475.4 474.9 233.6 234.3 235.0 '231.8 244.4 246.2 246.7 248.3 235.4 227.4 14-1 Motor vehicles and equipment ............................................................ 237.5 229.0 230.9 229.5 233.9 236.0 236.7 237.4 235.9 238.4 '232.8 247.5 248.6 249.2 250.4 14-4 Railroad equipment ................................................................................ 338.2 332.5 332.5 333.9 335.7 331.2 331.4 338.1 338.7 '338.7 345.0 347.5 346.3 352.4 268.4 Transportation equipment (12/68 = 1 0 0 ) .............................................. 14 229.1 228.1 231.9 Miscellaneous p ro d u c ts ............................................................................. 265.6 264.3 264.9 264.0 266.0 266.9 266.3 263.2 262.6 '267.0 268.0 267.2 267.3 15-1 Toys, sporting goods, small arms, a m m u n itio n .................................. 212.2 208.4 210.5 211.1 211.3 211.4 211.2 213.2 212.7 '2 13.6 213.7 213.4 213.8 15-2 Tobacco products .................................................................................. 268.3 254.8 256.1 256.3 268.7 268.7 268.7 268.8 268.8 '274.5 278.0 278.0 277.9 277.9 269.7 270.5 210.3 15 219.3 15-3 N o tio n s ..................................................................................................... 259.6 227.2 247.3 247.3 248.4 267.8 268.0 267.5 267.7 267.8 267.3 269.7 15-4 Photographic equipment and supplies ................................................ 210.1 207.4 209.6 211.2 212.4 212.5 212.5 211.4 207.1 '2 08.7 209.1 209.1 209.5 (2) 346.9 153.0 153.1 155.0 '1 58.7 158.6 158.8 159.0 159.1 351.3 ( 2) 346.9 158.3 358.1 ( 2) 349.4 158.1 363.3 ( 2) 349.0 333.1 334.6 '3 45.5 346.7 343.4 343.2 341.9 15-5 Mobile homes (12/74 = 1 0 0 )............................................................... 15-9 Other miscellaneous products ............................................................ 1 Data fo r September 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 |vjot available. 3 Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Includes only domestic production. 5 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. 6 Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. 87 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 28. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n less o th e rw is e sp e cified] Annual 1981 Commodity grouping Jan. 198Í All commodities— less farm products . All foods Processed foods Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept.1 298.7 r 298.5 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 295.7 c 285.6 288.8 291.9 251.9 c 255.6 253.7 253.4 251.4 250.3 252.2 255.2 253.7 251.7 249.4 247.8 248.0 252.0 252.2 c 256.8 253.9 252.3 250.3 250.5 253.1 256.0 255.0 252.8 250.6 248.2 246.9 251 0 c 255.8 257.2 258.6 261.8 262.9 263.5 265.0 270 9 Industrial co m m o d itie s less f u e l s ........... 295.0 296.1 296.7 298.0 299.4 299.3 300.0 301.9 266.1 S e le c te d te x tile m ill p ro d u c ts (D ec. 1975 = 100) . H o s ie ry ........................................... '2 66.4 268.6 268.9 2694 135.9 131.8 132.5 132.2 134.5 135.7 135.9 136.8 137.2 M38.1 138.5 138.6 138.3 134.3 129.5 130.3 130.5 134.2 134.6 135.7 135.8 135.3 U n d e rw e a r a n d n ig h tw e a r 135.5 136.5 136.5 136.7 137 0 203.5 199.2 200.9 202.0 202.1 202.3 203.5 204.7 204.7 '204.7 C h e m ic a ls and allie d p ro d u cts, including syn th e tic rubber an d fib e rs an d y a r n s ................................... 205.0 206.0 206.6 212.4 278.6 264.8 268.3 271.0 276.1 P h a rm a ce u tica l p re p a ra tio n s 284.0 186.8 177.1 179.7 182.1 184.0 185.7 186.6 189.0 188.4 '1 91.6 192.7 1924 193 0 284 9 195 5 303.1 c 309.0 306.0 304.8 312.3 311.5 312.2 308.7 306.2 '2 98.0 290.3 287.7 290 4 ........................... ........................................ L u m b e r and w o o d p ro d u c ts , e xclu d ing m illw o r k ................ 279.0 281.2 282.3 284.0 284.4 284.2 283.8 139.3 290 2 S p e cia l m e ta ls a n d m e ta l p r o d u c t s ............................. 279.4 271.8 272.7 273.5 276.8 277.9 277.9 280.2 281.9 280.1 F a b rica te d m e ta l p r o d u c t s ..................... 286.6 286.4 286.6 288 0 280.0 c 270.0 272.5 274.7 277.0 278.5 279.0 281.7 283.1 ' 283.9 C o p p e r an d c o p p e r p ro d u c ts 285.6 286.2 287.9 2 90 0 204.0 207.4 205.0 204.8 207.7 206.6 203.7 202.5 206.2 '205.1 203.8 199.3 1959 195 1 256.7 0 247.5 249.4 250.2 253.1 254.4 255.6 257.4 258.6 '2 57.7 264.0 265.5 266.7 268.5 294.4 ............................. M a ch in e ry and m otive p ro d u cts ........................ M a ch in e ry and eq u ip m e n t, e x c e p t e le c tr ic a l................ 288.3 c 277.5 279.7 281.9 284.3 285.9 287.3 290.4 291.7 '2 93.8 A g ric u ltu ra l m a ch in e ry, including t r a c t o r s ........................ 2 958 297 8 296.2 285.0 287.3 288.3 289.6 293.7 294.8 295.6 298.2 M e ta lw o rk in g m a ch in e ry '3 01.6 300.4 309.1 312 4 313 7 329.4 c 319.2 320.5 323.5 325.9 327.1 328.3 330.1 331.4 '333.9 335.6 338.1 339 8 342 1 241.8 240.5 ................................ N u m e ric a lly co n tro lle d m a ch in e to o ls (Dec. 1971 = 100) 239.4 234.6 235.0 235.7 235.7 237.3 241.4 241.7 300 1 '241.8 242.1 242.5 242.3 324.0 305.8 311.1 311.8 316.8 322.0 322.5 325.5 327.8 '330.7 332.9 A g ric u ltu ra l m a ch in e ry and e q u ip m e n t less p a r t s .............. 340.4 3404 346 2 289.0 278.0 280.2 281.5 283.2 286.7 287.9 288.6 291.1 '294.0 F a rm and g a rd e n tra c to rs less p a r t s ................... 293.1 300.6 303 9 298.9 284.4 287.2 287.6 289.3 297.7 298.0 298.0 301.4 '3 05.5 A g ric u ltu ra l m a ch in e ry exclu d in g tra c to rs less parts . . . . In dustrial va lve s ................................ Industrial fittin g s ........................................... 305.0 3 165 3 165 305 3 318 5 285.7 300.7 287.7 305.5 289.1 310.1 290.2 314.0 290.8 314.3 292.5 315.3 293.9 314.8 302.1 317.5 295.8 319.8 '298.7 '322.7 297.0 319.0 303.3 320.0 309 3 321.9 298.6 296.0 298.9 302.7 303.0 303.0 303.0 303.0 C o n s tru c tio n m a t e r ia ls ............................................. 304.3 304.1 304.1 304 1 325 2 304 1 283.0 c 276.6 277.2 279.0 283.9 284.2 285.0 285.7 285.5 284.4 284.5 284.1 285.1 286.4 June July Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. T o ta l tra c to rs ........................................ 294.4 1 Data for September 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections r = revised, by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 29. 3100 c=corrected. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ] Commodity grouping T o ta l d u ra b le g o o d s ............................. T o ta l n o n d u ra b le g o o d s ..................... T o ta l m a n u f a c t u r e s ........................... N o n d u r a b le ................................ Annual average 1981 Jan. Feb. 269.8 262.7 312.4 302.6 1981 1982 Mar. Apr. 263.8 264.9 267.8 268.6 269.1 270.8 271.9 '2 71.8 274.9 275.2 275.9 2774 306.8 310.9 314.2 314.8 315.7 316.8 316.2 '3 1 5 .0 312.7 311.5 311.6 314.7 May Sept.1 Jan. 285.9 277.3 279.3 282.3 285.3 286.2 286.9 288.0 288.6 ' 288.3 289.7 289.6 290.0 291.8 269.6 262.3 263.4 264.4 267.2 268.2 268.9 270.6 271.7 '271.7 274.9 275.5 276.3 277.8 303.6 293.5 296.4 301.7 304.9 305.7 306.4 306.9 306.9 '306.3 305.4 304.6 304.5 306.8 334.6 334.2 335.4 337.9 335.8 323.8 329.0 T o ta l ra w o r s lig h tly p ro c e s s e d g o o d s . . . D u ra ble ............................................. 330.7 322.9 330.3 331.2 271.4 275.9 275.5 281.7 286.0 280.4 272.4 N o n d u r a b le ........................................ 271.2 275.9 '270.4 264.3 253.8 248.4 254.4 334.0 325.3 333.3 333.8 337.1 337.1 338.9 341.8 339.1 '336.3 329.7 327.3 328.3 333.4 Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. 1 Data for September 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 30. 332.7 326.2 323.2 r=revised, Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n less o th e rw ise sp e cified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual 1981* 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept.1 MINING 1011 Iron ores (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... 1092 Mercury ores (12/75 = 100) 1211 Bituminous coal and lignite ........................ .................................... 167.3 155.8 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 168.1 346.0 297.9 324.5 335.4 354.1 347.9 354.1 354.1 343.7 347 9 478.1 478.5 483.5 484.5 358.3 502.1 364.5 476.1 352.0 488.4 365.4 493.9 503.4 '5 06.0 506.6 508.2 510.7 521.3 168.1 171.3 171.3 1311 Crude petroleum and natural gas 898.8 786.5 897.9 901.7 908.6 919.7 1442 713.7 911.5 Construction sand and gravel ............................. 900.3 '9 13.6 901.0 907.4 922 6 9176 277.3 270.1 272.3 275.2 278.0 278.4 1455 278.4 278.4 278.2 Kaolin and ball clay (6 /7 6 = 1 0 0 ) .............. '2 79.2 279.6 279.6 280.4 287 0 138.7 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 137.1 143.4 143.4 143.4 147.1 ................. MANUFACTURING 2011 201 3 Meatpacking plants .......................... 243.1 244.7 237.8 243.6 245.9 252.6 250.9 '2 5 2 .7 244.3 236.9 234.5 236.6 235.3 237.2 232.9 236.1 Sausages and other prepared m e a ts ........................ Poultry dressing p la n t s ................. 241.3 230.4 227.5 230.4 201 6 238.1 246.0 254.0 '253.9 252.0 248.6 246.7 245 7 192.0 201.9 208.3 203.9 186.7 2021 196.2 198.3 Creamery b u tte r.................................... 203.6 201.2 188.8 175.5 172.8 166.7 NA 274.8 273.6 273.5 273.6 273.4 273.4 273.5 273.8 273.7 275.0 279.2 279.5 275.0 275.0 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 88 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1 9 6 7 = 100 u nless o th e rw ise specified] 1972 SIC code Annual average 1981 Industry description MANUFACTURING 1982 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. Continued 2022 Cheese, natural and processed (12/72 - 215.8 215.9 215.6 215.7 216.2 216.2 216.1 213.8 214.5 r 215.0 215.6 215.9 217.1 218.6 2024 Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 - ................. 211.9 210.1 210.6 210.6 211.4 212.4 212.4 212.7 212.7 212.7 212.5 212.5 212.8 212.8 2033 Canned fruits and v e g e ta b le s ................................................ 248.5 233.3 237.4 241.5 244.0 245.9 248.9 251.6 252.9 r 254.3 256.1 255.6 258.8 259.6 2034 Dehydrated food products (12/73 - 177.6 182.1 184.0 2041 Flour mills (12/71 - 1 0 0 ) ................. 100) 1 0 0 ) ........................... 100) ..................................................... 2044 174.1 171.3 172.9 174.2 175.3 175.0 180.5 178.7 183.4 182.3 181.6 191.0 r 195.3 190.6 191.5 189.3 191.4 284.3 268.2 247.3 235.4 215.1 205.9 r 119.6 195.9 203.8 198.4 195.1 201.5 199.4 199.3 196.5 277.2 289.6 289.6 298.0 300.9 300.3 300.3 297.4 2048 Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. 124.6 132.6 129.3 126.6 128.5 129.8 127.5 125.9 124.8 116.4 116.4 2061 Raw cane sugar ...................................................................... 273.5 418.0 367.1 318.8 275.7 224.8 263.3 272.2 254.6 212.3 219.9 224.3 230.8 247.6 r 270.7 272.2 262.1 272.4 292.5 303.2 303.2 303.2 303.2 303.3 167.2 182.3 184.9 221.5 222.6 2063 2067 Chewing gum ........................................................................... 320.6 414.5 398.1 370.7 350.5 334.4 339.7 274.1 287.5 309.8 323.0 323.0 323.1 323.1 303.1 303.1 303.1 303.2 117.5 116.6 2074 Cottonseed oil m i l l s ................................................................. 199.0 221.2 193.7 204.4 218.4 216.6 212.3 212.0 206.0 182.3 172.0 2075 Soybean oil m ills ...................................................................... 24518 272.0 252.5 253.2 259.1 258.1 248.4 253.7 245.8 '234.2 230.1 221.1 2077 Animal and marine fats and oils ........................................... 288.1 310.8 287.2 284.2 301.7 304.3 291.3 288.8 294.1 '281.2 274.1 272.3 266.6 260.3 2083 282.5 286.1 286.1 286.1 286.1 286.1 286.1 286.1 286.1 275.4 275.4 275.4 275.4 267.1 2085 Malt ............................................................................................ Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 - 100) ................... 134.7 129.2 133.9 133.9 133.9 134.3 134.6 134.6 135.5 135.5 135.5 137.9 137.9 140.1 2091 Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 - 100) ...................... 187.8 187.3 187.1 187.6 187.7 187.3 187.5 187.4 188.4 188.8 188.2 188.3 188.5 187.2 2092 Fresh or frozen packaged fish .............................................. 369.6 374.9 366.7 385.2 393.5 378.2 375.5 367.6 347.1 '3 53.5 358.4 362.3 371.1 398.3 2095 Roasted coffee (12/72 = 1 0 0 ).............................................. 238.0 238.2 238.3 238.3 238.5 238.6 238.6 236.4 235.7 '237.3 238.6 239.4 240.4 245.0 2098 Macaroni and spaghetti .......................................................... 252.0 243.6 243.6 243.6 243.6 246.6 246.6 259.5 259.5 259.5 259.5 259.5 259.5 259.5 264.2 278.3 278.3 278.3 278.3 278.3 284.2 288.4 288.4 288.4 288.4 171.6 171.6 171.6 2111 C ig a re tte s .................................................................................. 277.7 263.6 264.1 2121 Cigars ....................................................................................... 169.1 165.1 165.3 167.0 168.5 168.5 168.5 169.7 169.7 '174.5 171.6 2131 Chewing and smoking to b a c c o .............................................. 320.9 298.7 320.7 320.7 320.8 320.8 320.8 321.0 321.3 327.6 327.6 326.0 326.0 234.1 227.9 230.9 232.3 235.3 233.5 234.3 234.7 237.4 '325.3 '2 36.0 236.1 236.3 235.2 227.5 136.6 131.9 132.3 133.3 134.9 135.7 137.1 138.0 139.3 '1 39.5 139.1 139.2 139.5 115.3 115.6 2211 Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 - 2221 Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 - 100) .................................. 2251 Women's hosiery, except socks (12/75 - 100) ............................. 1 0 0 ) ................. 113.5 109.1 109.2 139.8 108.9 114.1 114.2 115.6 115.5 115.0 '1 15.0 115.2 115.2 210.0 210.0 210.7 210.8 '2 10.9 210.8 212.7 212.9 228.7 2254 Knit underwear mills ............................................................... 210.2 205.6 208.7 209.7 209.8 2257 Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 1 0 0 ) .................................. 110.8 109.3 109.6 109.1 110.8 110.5 110.4 111.0 112.0 '1 11.9 112.3 112.1 111.7 111.8 2261 Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 = 100) .................................. 144.9 142.4 144.5 144.6 146.9 147.0 146.2 146.3 146.2 '145.4 144.9 143.4 141.4 140.5 2262 Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 - 126.5 129.1 128.6 129.3 2272 Tufted carpets and r u g s .......................................................... 154.3 148.1 147.8 150.2 151.5 154.5 155.6 2281 Yam mills, except wool (12/71 - 221.8 216.9 218.1 220.7 220.9 224.1 225.8 142.7 100) ................... 100) ............................... 121.7 123.1 124.3 125.2 126.6 126.6 129.0 127.8 129.0 158.3 157.4 '157.3 157.9 156.4 156.3 155.1 225.1 225.4 '223.8 222.3 220.1 217.9 216.0 146.8 '148.0 148.0 145.5 146.0 135.3 127.1 2282 Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) ........................... 138.6 123.2 123.2 131.5 139.1 139.3 2284 Thread mills (6 /7 6 = 1 0 0 ) ..................................................... 151.4 144.1 144.3 148.4 150.8 150.9 151.1 151.1 151.1 154.8 157.0 156.9 2298 Cordage and twine (12/77 - 1 0 0 ) ....................................... 134.8 129.3 129.3 130.9 132.7 134.3 134.3 134.3 134.3 139.3 139.3 139.3 140.7 141.0 2311 Men’s and boys' suits and c o a ts ........................................... 223.9 230.7 218.2 219.7 131.3 220.1 220.3 220.4 156.8 156.8 224.6 225.9 226.2 '226.5 227.0 227.1 230.7 210.6 '2 11.5 210.2 210.4 211.2 190.9 2321 Men’s and boys' shirts and n ig h tw e a r.................................. 208.8 206.3 207.3 207.1 207.6 207.1 207.5 210.5 2322 Men's and boys’ u n d e rw e a r................................................... 230.6 224.9 229.1 231.0 231.0 231.0 230.7 230.8 230.8 '230.8 230.8 232.9 233.0 237.6 2323 Men’s and boys’ neckwear (12/75 - 100) ........................ 114.6 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 115.4 113.9 113.9 113.9 113.9 115.3 Men’s and boys' separate tro u s e rs ....................................... 186.1 185.3 185.3 185.3 186.0 186.1 186.1 186.4 186.4 113.9 186.4 113.9 2327 186.6 186.6 186.8 187.0 2328 2331 Men’s and boys' work clothing .............................................. W omen’s and misses' blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) 248.4 242.2 116.3 242.2 116.3 242.3 116.4 247.0 118.3 248.2 118.4 248.3 118.5 250.8 251.1 121.2 '251.2 '121.3 252.4 121.0 123.6 252.5 123.8 252.5 123.9 251.9 123.8 122.3 122.5 123.0 124.3 '123.5 122.5 123.6 122.5 122.6 169.2 170.5 170.6 170.6 '1 70.6 171.2 172.2 172.2 175.3 2335 W omen’s and misses’ dresses (12/77 - 2341 W omen’s and children’s underwear (12/72 - 119.8 121.1 116.5 116.9 118.5 118.4 100) .......... 169.9 165.5 167.5 168.8 169.0 1 0 0 ) ................... 139.2 139.3 140.5 145.5 2342 Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 - 100) ................. 136.8 131.7 132.8 138.8 '138.8 2361 Children's dresses and blouses (12/77 - 1 0 0 ) ................. 120.3 118.1 118.9 119.2 120.7 120.5 120.5 121.6 121.7 '1 21.7 120.9 121.3 119.6 122.0 289.1 289.1 289.1 292.1 292.1 289.2 289.2 289.2 289.2 289.2 289.2 293.8 2381 Fabric dress and work g lo v e s ................................................ 2394 Canvas and related products (12/77 - 2396 Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 - 1 0 0 )...................... 2421 Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 - 2436 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 - 2439 Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 - 1 0 0 ) ............ 289.3 284.9 134.9 135.0 136.9 135.0 138.8 '1 34.6 138.1 138.1 140.3 145.5 132.1 126.8 126.8 127.8 129.3 130.0 130.1 130.1 133.1 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 131.0 219.7 217.7 218.3 218.5 228.2 232.3 229.6 228.6 233.3 234.8 234.8 233.5 231.2 '2 25.2 1 0 0 ) ................... 142.0 149.8 149.3 147.2 152.6 145.7 148.1 143.8 139.6 '1 35.4 129.4 128.6 134.1 132.0 100) .............. 156.6 157.1 157.0 157.1 158.3 158.2 158.2 157.6 156.9 '156.6 154.6 154.7 153.0 153.2 1 0 0 )........................... 149.8 2448 W ood pallets and skids (12/75 - 1 0 0 ) ............................... 152.5 153.8 152.8 152.7 153.1 153.1 153.0 153.1 152.9 '152.8 152.0 150.7 150.2 2451 Mobile homes (12/74 - 1 0 0 )................................................ 156.8 153.1 153.2 155.0 155.8 155.9 156.1 158.1 158.3 '158.7 159.1 159.0 160.1 160.2 2492 172.8 2511 Particleboard (12/75 - 100) ................................................ W ood household furniture (12/71 - 100) ........................... 171.3 197.4 191.2 192.1 193.3 195.4 203.3 2512 Upholstered household furniture (12/71 - 1 0 0 ) ................. 174.9 169.8 170.1 170.1 171.8 2515 Mattresses and bedsprings..................................................... 193.7 186.3 188.3 189.5 190.5 2521 Wood office furniture ............................................................... 254.6 244.1 250.4 253.5 254.5 255.4 254.6 254.7 254.7 2611 Pulp mills (12/73 - 253.2 246.9 246.9 246.9 251.2 251.3 251.3 251.3 251.3 1 0 0 ) ........................................................ 163.9 170.3 172.3 180.9 182.3 179.6 173.6 '170.5 166.8 165.7 164.7 196.2 197.5 198.6 199.2 '200.1 201.6 200.9 201.9 169.7 173.9 175.1 175.1 '175.3 178.3 182.3 190.4 190.5 191.3 194.6 '1 95.2 199.4 201.8 202.2 207.5 '257.1 258.1 258.0 258.6 262.9 '251.3 257.2 265.5 265.5 260.9 159.6 159.8 161.8 184.5 184.9 184.1 2621 Paper mills, except building (12/74 - 1 0 0 ) ........................ 156.3 152.0 152.6 153.3 153.9 154.3 155.7 157.0 157.4 '158.8 159.8 2631 Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) ......................................... 151.8 148.2 149.2 150.8 151.0 152.1 152.3 151.7 152.4 '153.7 153.7 153.8 152.7 152.6 2647 Sanitary paper p ro d u c ts .......................................................... 343.8 338.3 342.5 343.0 343.2 344.3 344.4 344.2 344.3 '344.3 345.3 345.3 345.8 345.6 2654 Sanitary food containers ........................................................ Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) . . 245.3 232.0 235.2 237.9 239.2 239.2 242.2 246.0 252.9 '253.2 254.8 254.7 254.7 255.3 163.0 157.7 160.6 160.7 160.8 160.9 160.9 163.2 163.2 163.2 167.8 167.8 169.1 175.3 299.2 295.6 294.4 302.2 309.3 306.2 310.4 '3 16.0 314.5 317.0 323.9 329.3 2655 2812 Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 - 1 0 0 ) .................................... 305.3 277.9 2821 Plastics materials and resins (6 /7 6 - 1 0 0 ) ........................ 150.8 142.4 143.5 144.8 148.1 149.7 150.7 155.0 155.6 '1 56.0 155.5 152.3 155.7 154.2 2822 Synthetic rubber ...................................................................... 292.9 275.9 280.7 283.9 288.1 293.3 296.3 297.3 299.4 '2 99.3 299.9 301.1 302.7 304.0 163.6 162.5 161.9 161.0 144.4 141.3 142.4 2873 O rganic fiber, n oncellulosic..................................................... Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 - 1 0 0 ) .................................. 2874 Phosphatic fertilizers ............................................................... 2824 2875 2892 155.7 144.0 144.7 147.4 149.9 156.2 156.8 159.2 160.3 '1 60.6 142.7 135.0 138.1 141.7 147.1 148.5 143.4 143.5 143.9 '142.1 143.1 254.1 247.9 248.2 253.5 251.6 251.5 250.9 249.4 260.0 '259.4 259.0 258.9 259.0 261.4 270.2 255.8 266.8 270.0 271.1 273.6 273.1 275.3 273.0 '272.0 271.2 271.6 268.5 269.1 312.0 288.8 295.4 303.9 324.8 314.5 312.6 315.7 319.8 '316.5 318.3 316.4 318.0 315.6 294.4 268.3 279.5 299.0 306.0 304.1 302.6 299.1 297.5 295.8 294.5 293.2 293.2 293.5 196.1 196.4 196.8 197.2 2911 Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) 2951 Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ 194.3 183.1 185.4 189.1 198.1 198.8 198.4 197.1 196.3 '196.0 2952 Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75 - 1 0 0 ) ........................... 176.7 172.4 170.0 169.7 180.4 176.3 185.7 182.8 182.3 '174.3 174.2 177.6 175.5 173.5 3011 Tires and inner tubes (12/73 - .................................. 215.9 207.0 209.3 213.8 215.5 216.2 216.2 213.1 215.5 '220.6 221.3 221.2 221.5 222.0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ......................................... 100) I 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 u n less o th e rw is e sp e cified] 1972 SIC code 3021 Annual average 1981 Industry description 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 1982 Aug. Sept.1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) . . . . 184.4 182.8 183.4 183.6 183.6 184.0 184.1 185.0 185.4 3031 ' 185.3 185.0 Reclaimed rubber (12/73 =100) . . 185.0 185.2 193.4 190.4 190.4 187.6 187.7 187.7 187.7 192.9 3079 200.3 '200.3 198.1 198.1 198 1 198 1 128.8 125.4 125.4 126.3 128.7 129.6 129.2 130.2 r 130.3 130.5 130.5 130.8 130.9 150.6 157.0 145.5 151.4 158.6 129.1 154.7 148.5 3143 = 100) Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100) Men's footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100) . . '148.3 169.1 164.8 166.5 167.6 168.7 168.9 169.6 170.7 171.4 3144 '170.9 169.6 170.6 Women's footwear, except a th le tic ................... 171.5 172.6 217.8 217.8 220.2 218.7 218.7 219.3 218.5 218.9 217.8 '2 1 8 2 217.0 214.5 214.6 213.8 3111 Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 150.7 151.3 147.5 146.9 147.3 186 1 150.7 3171 W omen’s handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) 158.4 3211 158.4 158.4 158.4 Flat glass (12/71 = 100) ............ 158.4 158 4 175.6 167.1 167.5 168.1 174.5 174.5 174.6 180.0 180.0 3221 '1 80.0 180.1 Glass c o n ta in e rs ............................. 180.1 180.1 177 3 328.4 311.4 311.4 311.4 326.6 335.2 335.2 335.4 335.4 '335.4 334.7 334.7 3348 334.7 3241 Cement, h y d ra u lic ...................... 328.5 324.3 324.3 324.4 332.4 332.3 331.0 331.6 331.6 '332.0 327.2 327.2 327.2 336 4 296.9 286.6 286.1 291 4 3251 Brick and structural clay t i l e ...................... 155.5 149.5 149.5 149.7 149.7 158.4 158.4 158.4 2953 296.0 297.4 298.5 298.9 298.9 3253 '299.9 300.8 301.4 Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) 301.8 132.5 127.1 127.1 127.1 129.6 132.1 132.1 132.1 132.1 3255 '140.4 137.7 137.7 Clay re fra c to rie s ................................................ 137.8 136.8 310.4 291.5 305.2 308.1 308.6 311.0 312.2 312.3 312.3 3259 '312.5 315.7 317.0 317.1 Structural clay products, n.e.c................................ 327.0 222.7 209.5 212.8 213.0 212.7 223.9 223.9 223.9 223.9 3261 '227.5 232.2 232.2 Vitreous plumbing fixtures .......................... 254.9 244.7 248.9 249.4 252.0 252.5 255.8 258.7 259.6 3262 '259.0 258.9 259.3 Vitreous china food u te n s ils ........................... 260.1 261.1 335.0 327.4 327.4 328.0 328.2 336.6 336.6 336.6 336.6 336.8 336.8 344.7 344.7 347.7 298.6 309.6 309.6 309.6 313.3 314.4 314.4 314 5 .......... 237.0 196.4 3263 Fine earthenware food u te n sils............................................ 308.9 309.6 3269 '3 13.8 Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. 160.1 155.5 155.5 158.5 158.6 160.6 160.7 160.7 160.7 3271 '1 61.8 161.7 163.6 Concrete block and b r ic k .................................. 163.6 164 2 270.4 264.1 265.0 263.2 267.4 271.2 271.2 271.2 274.0 274.2 274.0 274.5 275.3 274.8 298.7 294.8 301.1 3273 Ready-mixed c o n c re te .............................................. 298.6 307.9 308.2 295.4 296.0 298.5 299.4 301.7 300.7 300.0 3274 '2 99.2 299.7 299.2 Lime (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ............................... 2995 172.5 165.7 171.7 172.6 172.4 172.6 173.0 173.1 173.9 '173.7 3275 173.9 173.8 Gypsum products ................................................... 174.0 179.1 257.3 259.9 257.6 257.9 257.1 261.4 260.9 261.8 258.9 3291 3297 '252.9 251.5 252.5 Abrasive products (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 250.6 250.9 232.5 185.3 222.8 172.4 221.7 177.5 223.1 178.9 232.7 178.9 233.2 186.6 234.1 189.7 235.0 189.7 235.1 189.7 '237.3 '189.7 3312 237.5 189.8 239.6 190.2 240.0 190.2 Blast furnaces and steel mills 239.9 191.1 342.8 328.7 328.9 334.0 336.7 337.3 338.2 350.1 350.0 350.3 353.1 352.9 353.2 354 9 .......................... 3313 Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) 121.8 119.9 120.0 120.0 120.8 120.6 120.7 121.2 121.5 3316 125.4 125.4 Cold finishing of steel s h a p e s ........................ Steel pipes and tubes ........................................... 125.3 125 3 316.2 302.8 303.1 306.1 308.2 308.2 309.5 325.0 325.7 326.2 326.4 326.4 326.7 327.0 341.5 315.5 316.3 326.1 333.1 334.1 336.3 348.2 350.6 3321 '350.5 362.0 362.3 Gray iron foundries (12/68 = 1 0 0 )............................. 363.1 363.8 299.5 295.2 296.1 295.6 297.0 298.4 298.4 298.8 299.9 '302.0 304.6 303.9 304.7 308.0 3333 Primary z i n c ............................................................ 326.5 300.3 300.0 299.7 311.9 332.7 335.1 335.4 353.8 '355.9 3334 332.9 337.5 Primary a lu m in u m .............................................. 327.3 308.0 333.5 331.7 332.3 332.2 332.8 334.2 332.5 334.2 334.4 '333.6 3351 335.8 Copper rolling and drawing 332.5 332.8 332.4 212.4 218.7 215.3 211.8 213.1 212.6 210.6 209.4 212.9 '214.1 212.9 209.4 208.6 205.6 3317 3353 .......... .................................... Aluminum sheet, plate, and foil (12/75 = 100) . . . . 175.9 121.4 169.3 170.7 172.1 173.8 174.4 176.1 177.3 177.4 3354 '1 78.0 180.7 179.9 180.9 181 5 Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100) . . . . 180.1 176.8 177.1 177.3 180.6 180.7 180.8 181.2 181.3 3355 181.2 181.3 181.4 181.1 180 7 159.1 155.3 157.1 157.2 157.3 157.4 157.3 157.2 3411 Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .............. Metal c a n s ......................................... 157.2 '157.7 163.3 166.2 305.3 302.1 303.0 304.7 304.7 304.7 304.7 305.5 306.7 '306.8 3425 307.2 306.6 306.6 Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100) 310.3 201.3 195.4 196.3 198.0 198.1 200.2 200.2 204.1 204.2 '204.6 204.5 204.6 205.6 211.0 270.9 ............ 166.1 166.1 3431 Metal sanitary w a r e ......................................... 265.0 256.0 256.4 258.5 262.8 264.8 265.2 269.2 269.7 '270.2 3465 267.7 270.6 272.0 Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) ............ 146.4 143.0 143.9 144.2 145.0 145.0 145.2 146.2 146.4 '146.9 147.7 149.7 153.7 154.6 3482 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) .... 160.5 157.9 157.8 157.2 157.8 157.8 157.8 157.8 159.9 '159.9 165.3 165.3 165.3 173.2 245.1 238.4 3493 Steel springs, except wire .................................. 239.2 239.5 241.2 241.7 241.9 243.7 248.9 3494 '252.4 249.6 2538 Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) .......................... 254.3 256.4 248.4 240.2 242.1 244.8 247.6 247.9 248.5 250.0 251.0 3498 '2 52.7 251.4 Fabricated pipe and fittings 251.9 361.4 335.7 335.7 338.5 358.8 359.9 361.6 364.6 3519 370.0 '375.1 379.1 378.8 253.8 379.4 Internal combustion engines, n.e.c.............................. 378.6 311.0 298.2 299.4 302.6 306.0 306.2 307.2 312.0 314.2 3531 '322.1 321.6 322.4 Construction machinery (12/76 = 100) 321.5 327.3 157.0 150.0 151.4 152.6 154.4 155.3 156.9 159.0 159.5 3532 '160.1 161.5 Mining machinery (12/72 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... 161.6 162.1 164.8 282.3 272.5 273.5 276.2 279.5 280.0 280.8 282.7 285.3 '2 86.9 3533 288.7 290.3 Oilfield machinery and e q u ipm ent........................ 291.8 293.9 395.4 367.0 374.2 378.2 401.3 406.5 '411.3 ............................... ................. 382.2 384.6 390.3 413.3 418.3 420.1 255.8 427.1 3534 Elevators and moving s ta irw a y s ........................ 253.5 250.3 250.3 250.3 251.2 251.2 251.2 252.1 3542 252.8 254.6 257.1 259.9 261.4 Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100) 268.0 306.4 297.5 298.0 301.9 303.0 304.5 305.7 307.6 309.5 312.0 312.3 312.3 313.0 313.5 148.4 245.4 148.6 148.8 148.7 149.3 153.3 '248.2 248.1 247.9 250.0 249.8 3546 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 147.1 142.6 144.9 145.2 146.4 147.0 147.1 148.2 3552 Textile machinery (12/69 = 1 0 0 ) .............. 243.4 235.7 235.0 240.0 240.4 241.2 244.4 246.2 3553 Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100) . . . 224.5 222.5 223.1 224.7 225.5 219.1 219.7 224.0 225.4 3576 '228.9 226.9 229.0 Scales and balances, excluding laboratory ............... 229.0 2294 226.2 220.5 221.1 224.2 230.2 230.2 230.3 226.6 226.6 3592 226.1 226.1 226.1 226.4 Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 1 0 0 ) ............ 228 2 177.9 168.9 170.9 171.5 172.0 172.0 176.5 180.8 181.3 3612 '182.1 185.2 Transformers ......................................... 187.0 187.1 185.0 209.7 194.9 197.1 204.3 206.0 207.8 209.6 210.7 3623 212.8 '214.5 216.2 Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 1 0 0 ) ............ 221.5 219.8 220.3 227.2 218.9 220.9 222.1 224.3 225.9 227.2 228.3 229.6 '231.6 231.8 232.4 234.7 235.9 3631 Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 1 0 0 ).. 3632 Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) 3633 Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 1 0 0 ) .............. .... 3635 Household vacuum cleaners 3636 Sewing machines (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ............................... Electric la m p s .................................. 3641 .................................... 141.1 140.1 140.5 140.7 141.0 140.5 141.5 '141.6 141.6 142.0 142 6 144 6 127.5 141.0 127.5 141.1 132.3 127.6 129.4 129.5 130.8 135.5 135.5 '136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4 138.6 174.2 169.8 170.2 170.9 173.5 173.9 173.6 174.1 174.6 '177.2 176.8 178.5 178.8 179.8 156.8 159.1 156.3 158.5 158.4 158.5 158.6 158.8 '1 58.8 154.5 154.2 154.0 158.7 146.6 130.3 130.3 131.9 131.8 153.8 153.8 153.8 153.8 '1 53.8 155.4 155.4 155.4 155.4 277.5 265.8 271.2 272.6 275.5 275.1 276.5 158.6 275.2 280.0 '283.1 285.9 286.6 282.7 282.0 250.4 233.1 236.3 240.6 242.6 242.8 251.5 253.3 253.8 '2 58.5 261.2 264.6 264.6 261 5 154.4 145.1 148.0 151.4 156.1 156.2 156.2 154.4 155.5 '1 57.6 156.8 157.3 158.4 159.9 3644 Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100) 3646 Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 = 100) 3648 Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ............................. 155.7 146.3 146.8 152.7 153.2 153.3 153.7 153.8 3671 161.3 '1 61.7 161.4 162.0 Electron tubes receiving t y p e ............................. 162.7 162.7 309.7 284.3 284.4 285.0 285.0 285.1 312.5 327.4 3674 327.5 327.5 327.6 327.8 Semiconductors and related devices ........................ 342.3 371 8 90.4 91.1 90.8 91.3 91.2 90.6 90.3 89.2 89.2 '91.4 3675 89.2 91.0 91.9 90.9 Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) ............ 170.3 170.3 171.1 173.2 168.7 168.5 171.2 171.4 178.8 '172.4 3676 172.4 169.2 168.0 166.4 Electronic resistors (1 2 /7 5 = 1 0 0 ) ................... 141.3 139.0 139.9 139.9 140.0 140.8 141.2 142.1 142.5 '142.7 142.6 142.8 142.5 142.9 3678 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) .......... 154.8 152.2 153.5 154.5 154.4 153.7 154.3 155.0 155.8 '156.5 156.3 155.8 Primary batteries, dry and w e t ...................... 156.6 157.2 3692 .. ............ 183.3 184.2 182.6 181.0 181.0 181.6 182.7 '182.7 182.7 182.7 182.7 182.1 Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100). . . 182.2 150.2 179.0 3711 145.3 145.7 144.2 148.4 149.6 150.3 150.3 150.1 '143.4 3942 158.3 158.5 158.9 Dolls (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) ......................................... 159.5 131.1 130.7 132.3 132 4 132.4 130.9 130.9 130.9 3944 '130.9 130.6 130.6 Games, toys, and children’s vehicles 130.6 134 9 220.5 213.9 220.2 221.2 221.8 221.9 220.1 220.5 221.5 225.8 Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100) . . Burial caskets (6 /7 6 = 100) ............................... 138.6 133.0 136.4 136.9 136.9 140.4 222.0 140.4 '222.2 3955 221.2 136.4 130.9 222.0 140.6 140.6 140.6 140.6 140.7 140.3 139.5 Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 1 0 0 ) .......... 151.8 135.0 148.6 135.0 148.6 138.0 148.7 138.1 151.5 138.3 151.5 138.3 151.5 138.3 153.3 140.6 153.6 143.4 153.7 143.4 153.7 143.4 153.7 142.7 153.7 142.7 155.1 3995 3996 ............................... 1 Data fo r September 1981 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r= revised. PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. The use of the term “man hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 31 through 34, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv Definitions ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 31. Notes on the data In the private business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1976 issue of the Review, tables 3134 were revised to reflect changeover to the new series— private busi ness sector and nonfarm business sector— which differ from the previously published total private economy and nonfarm sector in that output imputed for owner-occupied dwellings and the household and institutions sectors, as well as the statistical discrepancy, are omitted. For a detailed explanation, see J. R. Norsworthy and L. J. Fulco, “New sector definitions for productivity series,” M onthly Labor Review, October 1976, pages 40—42. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-81 [1977=100] 1950 Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour 1955 1960 1965 1970 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 »100.4 ............................. 50.3 58.2 65.1 78.2 86.1 92.7 94.8 97.9 100.0 99.8 99.5 99.3 ......................................... 20.0 26.3 33.9 41.7 58.2 78.0 85.5 92.9 100.0 108.4 119.3 131.5 »96.4 Real compensation per h o u r .................................. 50.4 59.6 69.4 80.0 90.8 »144.6 95.9 96.3 98.8 100.0 100.7 99.6 96.7 84.2 90.2 100.0 108.6 119.9 132.4 »144.1 Unit nonlabor payments ......................................... 43.5 47.8 50.8 57.8 63.4 78.9 90.7 94.8 94.4 100.0 105.1 110.9 118.3 P 130.0 Implicit price deflator 41.0 46.1 51.7 54.8 66.2 82.4 90.4 94.7 100.0 107.4 116.9 127.6 »139.3 93.1 95.0 98.1 100.0 99.8 99.1 98.8 »99.7 93.0 100.0 108.5 119.0 130.8 »143.9 Unit labor c o s t .......................................................... .............................................. 39.8 45.2 52.1 53.3 67.6 Nonfarm business sector: ............................. 56.2 62.7 68.2 80.4 86.7 ......................................... 21.8 28.3 35.6 42.8 58.6 78.4 86.0 Real compensation per h o u r .................................. 55.0 63.9 73.0 91.5 96.4 96.8 99.0 100.0 100.7 99.3 96.2 Unit labor c o s t .......................................................... 38.8 45.1 52.3 53.2 67.6 84.3 90.5 94.8 100.0 108.7 120.0 132.4 »144.4 64.0 76.1 88.9 94.0 100.0 103.6 108.5 117.6 »129.8 66.4 81.6 89.9 94.5 100.0 107.0 116.2 127.4 »139.6 100.4 100.4 101.0 ( 1) Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour 82.2 Unit'nonlabor payments ......................................... 42.8 47.9 50.5 58.2 Implicit price deflator 40.2 46.0 51.7 54.9 .............................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees Compensation per hour ........................ ......................................... Real compensation per h o u r .................................. Unit labor c o s t .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ......................................... Implicit price deflator .............................................. »95.9 (’ ) ( 1) 66.3 79.9 85.4 91.3 94.4 97.4 100.0 n (’ ) 36.3 43.0 58.3 77.6 85.5 92.5 100.0 108.2 118.7 130.7 (’ ) c i ( 1) 74.2 82.6 91.0 95.4 96.3 98.5 100.0 100.5 99.1 96.2 (’) <’ ) (’) 54.7 53.8 68.3 85.1 90.6 95.0 100.0 107.8 118.2 129.4 (’ ) 100.0 103.8 108.3 117.3 ( 1) ( 1) 54.6 60.8 63.1 75.7 90.9 95.0 (M ( 1) 54.7 56.2 66.5 81.8 90.7 95.0 100.0 106.4 114.8 125.2 ( 1) (’ > Manufacturing: ............................. 49.5 56.5 60.1 74.6 79.2 90.9 93.5 97.7 100.0 100.9 102.0 101.7 »104.4 ......................................... 21.5 28.8 36.7 42.9 57.6 76.4 85.5 92.4 100.0 108.2 118.8 131.6 »146.2 Real compensation per h o u r .................................. 54.1 65.2 75.1 82.3 89.9 93.9 96.3 98.3 100.0 100.5 99.2 r 96.8 »97.4 Unit labor c o s t .......................................................... 43.4 51.0 61.1 57.4 72.7 84.1 91.4 94.6 100.0 107.3 116.5 129.4 »140.0 108.7 C) 123.4 (’ ) Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour ......................................... 55.1 59.4 62.0 70.3 66.0 70.4 88.5 95.1 100.0 104.7 105.7 .............................................. 46.8 53.4 61.3 61.2 70.7 80.1 90.6 94.7 100.0 106.5 113.4 Unit nonlabor payments Implicit price deflator 1 Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r - revised. 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1982 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 32. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 Annual rate of change Year Item 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1950-81 1960-81 Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................................. 3.6 3.5 2.7 - 2 .3 2.3 3.3 2.1 -0 .2 - 0 .3 - 0 .2 »1.0 p 2.4 »2.1 Compensation per hour .............................................. 6.6 6.5 8.0 9.4 9.6 8.6 7.7 8.4 10.1 10.2 P10.0 p 6.2 »7.2 Real compensation per h o u r ....................................... 2.2 3.1 -1 .1 - 2 .9 1.7 - 1 .4 2.7 1.2 0.7 p - 0 .3 p 2.3 »1.7 Unit labor c o s t ............................................................... 2.9 2.9 5.2 11.9 7.2 5.1 5.5 8.6 10.4 10.4 p 8.9 p 3.6 »5.0 Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts .............................................. 7.6 4.5 5.9 4.4 15.0 4.1 5.9 5.1 5.5 6.6 p 9.9 »3.3 »4.5 Implicit price d e f la t o r ................................................... 4.4 3.4 5.4 9.4 9.7 4.7 5.6 7.4 8.8 9.2 p 9.2 p 3.5 »49 3.3 3.7 2.5 -2 .4 2.1 -0 .2 0.4 Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................................. Compensation per hour .............................................. 3.2 2.0 6.6 6.7 7.6 9.4 9.6 8.1 7.6 8.5 9.7 9.9 p 10.1 p 5.9 Real compensation per h o u r ....................................... »7.0 2.2 3.3 1.3 -1 .4 0.4 2.2 1.0 0.7 -1 .4 - 3 .2 p - 0 .3 »2.0 »1.5 2.8 4.9 4.7 5.5 8.7 10.4 »5.0 Unit labor c o s t ............................................................... 3.1 12.1 7.4 -0 .7 - 0 .3 p 0.9 p 2.1 »18 10.3 p 9.1 p 3.7 Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts .............................................. 7.4 3.2 1.3 5.9 16.7 5.7 6.4 3.6 4.8 8.4 p 10.4 p 3.3 »4.4 Implicit price deflator ................................................... 4.5 3.0 3.7 10.1 10.3 5.1 5.8 7.0 8.6 9.7 »9.5 »3.6 »48 -3 .4 3.4 3.2 2.7 0.6 (’ ) V) »2.1 9.7 10.1 8.2 8.1 8.2 9.7 10.1 ( 1) ( ') »6.7 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.5 - 1 .4 -3 .0 Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all e m p lo y e e s ............................. 4.8 3.0 2.6 Compensation per h o u r .............................................. 6.5 5.8 7.7 Real compensation per h o u r ....................................... 2.1 2.5 1.4 -1 .1 0.4 - 0.0 1.6 ( 1) 2.8 ( 1) 4.9 13.6 6.5 4.9 5.3 7.8 9.7 9.5 2.7 V) <1 ) »4.6 7.4 1.5 7.1 20.1 4.6 5.2 3.8 4.4 8.3 2.8 3.8 11.4 10.9 4.8 5.2 6.4 7.9 9.1 ( 1) (’) ( ') »3.8 3.5 ( 1) p43 6.1 5.0 5.3 - 2 .4 2.9 4.4 2.4 0.9 1.1 - 0 .3 p 2.7 »2.6 »2.6 Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................................. Compensation per h o u r .............................................. 6.1 5.4 7.2 10.6 11.9 8.0 8.3 8.2 9.8 10.7 p 11.1 »5.8 Real compensation per h o u r....................................... Unit labor c o s t ............................................................... 1.8 2.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 - 0 .3 2.1 3.4 - 2 .5 p 0.7 »2.0 5.7 0.5 7.3 -1 .3 13.3 2.5 8.8 1.7 0.0 8.6 11.0 p 8.2 »3.1 »4.1 Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts .............................................. 11.2 0.8 -3 .3 -1 .8 25.9 7.4 5.2 4.7 0.9 2.9 Implicit price deflator ................................................... 3.1 ( 1) 0.5 0.3 9.0 13.1 4.6 5.6 6.5 6.4 8.8 ( ') p ( 1) P( i ) p ( 1) p( i , 1 Not available. 33. »1.5 Unit labor c o s t ........................................................ Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts .............................................. Implicit price d e f la t o r ................................................... »6.9 1.4 p r = revised. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ] Item Quarterly indexes Annual average 1979 1980 1980 1981 II III IV 99.3 131.5 96.7 132.4 118.3 127.6 »100.4 »144.6 »96.4 »144.1 »130.0 »139.3 99.7 118.1 100.3 118.5 110.4 115.8 99.4 120.7 99.2 121.4 111.5 118.1 99.1 123.2 98.0 124.3 112.2 120.2 98.8 130.8 96.2 132.4 117.6 127.4 »99.7 »143.9 »95.9 »144.4 »129.8 »139.6 99.1 117.7 98.9 120.2 98.8 121.5 109.2 117.4 101.0 130.7 96.2 129.7 129.4 130.2 90.2 125.2 (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) <1) ( 1) ( 1) ( ') ( 1) 115.3 116.8 111.2 100.7 113.7 100.5 120.1 98.7 118.2 119.5 114.6 97.5 115.9 102.3 118.6 100.7 115.9 102.0 119.8 98.5 117.5 1 1981 II III IV 1 II III IV 99.5 126.4 96.7 127.0 115.2 123.0 99.1 130.1 r 96.6 131.3 116.0 126.1 99.4 133.1 96.9 133.9 119.7 129.1 99.1 135.9 96.0 r 137.1 122.7 132.2 100.3 r 139.8 96.1 139.4 127.6 135.4 r 101.2 r 143.3 '96.9 141.6 129.3 137.5 100.9 r 146.5 '96.3 r 145.2 r 132.4 r 140.9 »99.0 »148.5 »95.8 »150.0 » 130.6 »143.5 98.8 123.0 97.8 124.4 110.1 119.7 98.9 126.0 96.4 127.4 113.9 122.9 98.2 129.4 96.0 131.8 115.1 126.3 99.0 132.3 96.3 133.6 119.2 128.8 99.0 135.4 r 95.7 136.8 122.0 131.9 100.0 r 139.2 95.7 139.1 127.8 135.3 100.4 142.4 96.3 141.9 128.7 137.5 99.9 r 145.7 r 95.8 r 145.8 r 132.2 r 141.2 »98.0 »148.0 »95.5 »151.0 »130.9 »144.3 99.9 122.7 97.5 121.3 122.8 117.2 92.2 118.1 100.2 125.7 96.2 124.2 125.4 120.9 95.5 121.0 100.1 129.3 95.9 129.2 129.1 129.3 83.4 124.1 101.8 132.5 96.5 131.1 130.2 133.8 89.1 126.4 101.8 135.5 95.7 134.1 133.1 136.9 92.4 129.5 103.3 139.2 95.7 136.0 134.7 139.5 106.8 132.7 103.9 142.3 96.2 138.7 137.0 143.6 102.8 134.7 r 103.8 ' 145.5 95.6 142.2 140.2 r 147.7 r 106.7 r 138.2 ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) 102.1 122.3 97.2 119.8 102.0 125.4 r96.0 122.9 100.7 130.0 r 96.5 r 129.0 100.7 133.9 97.5 133.0 103.2 137.3 97.0 133.0 r 104.2 r 141.1 r 97.1 r 135.5 r 105.2 ' 144.8 r 97.9 r 137.6 105.5 '148.0 '97.3 '140.3 »102.4 »150.7 »97.2 »147.1 Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................................. Compensation per h o u r .............................................. Real compensation per h o u r....................................... Unit labor c o s t .......................................................... Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts ......................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................. Compensation per h o u r ............................... Real compensation per h o u r .......................... Unit labor c o s t ......................................... Unit nonlabor p a y m e n ts ............................. Implicit price d e f la t o r .................................... 100.0 118.7 107.7 115.1 Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all e m p lo y e e s ............................. Compensation per hour .................................... Real compensation per h o u r ........................ Total unit costs ......................................... Unit labor cost ......................................... Unit nonlabor c o s t s ......................................... Unit profits ............................................................ Implicit price deflator ....................................... 100.7 117.6 99.9 Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................. Compensation per h o u r ....................................... Real compensation per h o u r .......................... Unit labor c o s t ................................................... 1 Not available. Digitized92 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101.7 131.6 '96.8 129.4 »104.4 »146.2 »97.4 »140.0 r = revised n ( ') (’ ) ( 1) ( 1) 34. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ] Percent change from same quarter a year ago Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item III 1980 to IV 1980 IV 1980 to 11981 11981 to I11981 II 1981 to III 1981 III 1981 to IV 1981 I I11980 to III 1980 III 1979 to III 1980 IV 1979 to IV 1980 I 1980 to 11981 I11980 to I11981 III 1980 to III 1981 IV 1980 to IV 1981 Private business sector: ........................ 1.3 '4 .7 3.5 ' —1.1 CVJ 0.0 0.0 '0 .8 2.1 1.5 .................................... 9.5 8.6 '11.9 10.4 '9 .3 p 5.7 10.3 10.3 '1 0 .6 10.1 '10.1 »9.3 Real compensation per h o u r ............................. 1.6 -3 .8 '0 .5 3.2 '- 2 . 3 P - 1 .9 -2 .3 -2 .0 ' -0 .6 0.3 ' -0 .6 P -0 .2 »9.5 Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour -1 .1 P - 0 .1 Unit labor costs ................................................... 8.1 9.8 6.9 6.6 '1 0 .6 »14.0 10.3 10.3 9.7 7.8 '8 .5 Unit nonlabor payments .................................... 13.7 10.2 '17.1 5.3 '10.1 » -5 .3 7.4 9.3 10.8 11.5 '1 0 .6 »6.5 ......................................... 9.8 9.9 10.0 6.2 '10.4 »7.5 9.4 10.0 10.1 9.0 '9.1 »8.5 P -1 .0 Implicit price deflator 3.6 -0 .2 '4 .4 '0 .2 1.1 '2 .3 0.9 9.0 9.8 '11.7 9.6 '9 .5 »6.5 10.1 10.1 '1 0 .5 10.0 '1 0 .2 »9.3 Real compensation per h o u r ............................. 1.2 -2 .7 '0 .3 '2 .5 '- 2 . 2 P - 1 .2 - 2 .5 -2 .2 '0 .3 -0 .6 P -0 .2 Unit labor costs ................................................... 5.3 10.1 7.0 8.1 '1 1 .5 »15.2 9.9 9.9 9.2 7.6 '9 .2 P10.4 Unit nonlabor payments .................................... 15.0 9.9 20.3 3.0 '1 1 .3 » - 4 .0 9.1 10.8 12.2 11.8 '1 0 .9 »7.3 8.2 10.0 11.0 6.5 '11.4 »8.9 9.6 10.2 10.1 8.9 '9 .7 »9.4 ................... 6.7 0.0 6.3 2.2 ' -0 .5 ( 1) 1.3 1.9 3.1 3.8 '2 .0 ( 1) .................................... 10.2 9.4 11.4 9.3 '9 .2 (’ ) 10.3 10.4 10.8 10.1 9.8 <1) 2.2 -3 .1 -0 .5 0.3 Implicit price deflator ......................................... 1.4 ' —1.8 P - 7 .6 '0 .2 O Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour 1 ........................ .................................... <1 Nonfarm business sector: Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees Compensation per hour 2.1 -2 .5 (’ ) -2 .2 -1 .9 -0 .9 ( 1) 6.2 9.4 5.6 8.4 '1 0 .3 <1 ) 11.0 10.5 9.5 7.4 8.4 <’ ) .............................................. 3.2 9.4 4.8 7.0 9.7 (’ ) 8.9 8.4 7.4 6.1 7.7 (’ ) Unit nonlabor c o s t s ......................................... 14.7 9.5 7.9 12.3 '11.8 (’) 16.8 16.8 15.4 11.1 '10.4 <1) Unit p ro fits ............................................................ 30.3 15.7 77.9 -1 3 .9 '15.7 <’ ) - 8 .6 0.3 11.8 23.3 '1 9 .7 (’ ) 7.9 9.9 10.4 6.2 '1 0 .7 ( 1) 9.1 9.6 9.7 8.6 '9 .3 ( 1) '1 .2 '4 .8 » - 0 .8 Real compensation per h o u r ............................. Total unit costs ................................................... Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator ......................................... 0.0 Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons Compensation per hour ........................ .................................... '- 0 . 1 12.7 '10.3 '3 .8 4.1 P - 1 1 .3 ' —1.2 1.1 2.1 '4 .5 10.5 '1 1 .6 10.8 '9 .3 »7.5 '11.8 '1 2 .3 '1 2 .5 '11.4 '1 0 .5 » -0 .3 -1 .0 '- 0 . 2 '1.1 '1 .5 '- 0 . 2 »0.2 »21.1 13.2 10.2 6.6 '5 .5 »10.6 Real compensation per h o u r ............................. 4.5 -2 .2 ' - 0 .2 3.5 '- 2 . 4 Unit labor costs ................................................... '12.8 0.1 7.5 '6 .5 '8 .0 1 Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.0 »9.8 r=revised. 93 LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DATA M a j o r c o l l e c t i v e b a r g a i n i n g d a t a are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, direct contact with the parties, and from secondary sources. Addi tional detail is published in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. Data on work stoppages are based on confidential responses to questionnaires mailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to parties involved in work stoppages. Stoppages initially come to the attention of the Bureau from reports of Federal and State mediation agencies, newspapers, and union and industry publications. the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to total agreed-upon settlements (exclusive of potential cost-of-living escalator adjustments) expressed at an average annual rate. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings, while wage and benefit changes are expressed as a percent of total compensation. Effective wage-rate adjustments in major bargaining units measure actual changes during the reference period, whether the result of a newly negotiated increase, a deferred increase negotiated in an earlier year, or a cost-of-living adjustment. Average adjustments are affected by workers receiving no adjustment, as well as by those receiving in creases or decreases. Definitions Data on wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry agree ments covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on wage and benefit changes combined apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage settlements refer to pay changes go ing into effect within the first 12 months after the effective date of 35. Work stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving six workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date [In p e rc e n t] Annual average Quarterly average Measures and industry 1979 1977 1978 1979 1980 1980 1981 p 1981 p IV I II III IV lr IIr nr IV W age and benefit settlements, all industries: First-year settlements ......................................... 9.6 8.3 9.0 10.4 11.3 8.5 8.8 10.2 11.4 8.5 10.5 11.6 12.3 11.1 6.2 6.3 6.6 7.1 9.2 6.0 6.7 7.4 7.2 6.1 9.4 10.8 9.3 5.6 ......................................... 7.8 7.6 7.4 9.5 10.1 6.3 8.2 9.1 10.5 8.3 7.2 11.8 11.8 9.3 Annual rate over life of c o n t r a c t ........................ 5.8 6.4 6.0 7.1 8.1 5.3 6.5 7.3 7.4 6.5 6.5 9.7 9.4 5.6 First-year s e ttle m e n ts.................................... 8.4 8.3 6.9 7.4 7.3 5.6 7.2 6.7 8.4 7.8 6.7 8.1 9.4 6.0 Annual rate over life of contract 5.5 6.6 5.4 5.4 6.3 4.2 5.7 5.1 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.6 7.9 5.0 First-year s e ttle m e n ts.................................... 8.0 8.0 7.6 9.5 10.2 7.8 9.4 10.3 9.5 8.2 7.9 11.7 10.3 9.8 Annual rate over life of contract ................. 5.9 6.5 6.2 6.6 7.5 7.4 7.6 8.5 5.9 6.8 7.2 9.0 8.6 5.5 First-year se ttle m e n ts .................................... 6.3 6.5 8.8 13.6 13.5 7.5 10.8 12.2 15.4 14.3 11.4 12.9 16.4 11.4 Annual rate over life of contract 6.3 6.2 8.3 11.5 11.3 7.6 9.1 10.4 13.0 12.0 10.3 11.1 12.4 11.7 Annual rate over life of c o n tr a c t...................... W age rate settlements, all industries: First-year settlements Manufacturing: ................. Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): Construction: r=revised. 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ................. 36. Effective wage adjustments in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date [In percent] Average quarterly changes Average annual changes Measures and industry 1979 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 p 8.0 8.2 9.1 9.9 Current s e ttle m e n t.......................................................... 3.0 2.0 3.0 Prior s e ttle m e n t............................................................... 3.2 3.7 3.0 Total effective wage rate adjustment, all industries ................. 1981 p 1980 IV 1 II III IV lr II' lllr IV 9.1 1.6 1.6 3.3 3.5 1.3 1.6 3.0 3.2 1.3 3.6 2.5 1.0 1.7 .5 .4 1.1 .6 .4 3.8 .5 .4 .4 3.5 .5 1.4 1.2 .3 .6 1.3 1.5 .4 .8 .7 .6 .6 .7 1.1 .4 Change resulting from — Cost-of-living adjustm ent c la u s e .................................. Manufacturing ......................................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................................. 1.7 2.4 3.1 2.8 2.8 .7 .7 8.4 8.6 9.6 10.2 8.9 2.4 2.0 3.4 2.9 1.7 2.2 2.1 3.0 1.6 7.6 7.9 8.8 9.7 9.2 1.0 1.3 3.2 4.0 1.1 1.1 3.7 3.4 1.1 Note: Because of rounding and compounding, the sums of individual items may not equal totals. 37. r = revised. Work stoppages, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year Beginning in month or year In effect during month Days idle Workers involved Beginning in month or year (thousands) In effect during month (thousands) Number (thousands) Percent of estimated working time .3 0 1947 ................... 3 ,6 9 3 2 ,1 7 0 3 4 ,6 0 0 1948 . . . 3 ,4 1 9 1 ,9 6 0 3 4 ,1 0 0 .28 1949 . 3 ,6 0 6 3 ,0 3 0 5 0 ,5 0 0 .44 1950 . . . 4 ,8 4 3 2 ,4 1 0 3 8 ,8 0 0 .3 3 1951 . . 4 ,7 3 7 2 ,2 2 0 2 2 ,9 0 0 .18 1952 . . . 5 ,1 1 7 3 ,5 4 0 5 9 ,1 0 0 .48 1953 5 091 2 ,4 0 0 2 8 ,3 0 0 .22 .. 1954 .......................................................................................................... 3 ,4 6 8 1 ,5 3 0 2 2 ,6 0 0 .18 1955 4 ,3 2 0 2 ,6 5 0 2 8 ,2 0 0 .22 3 3 ,1 0 0 1 ,9 0 0 .24 ................................................................................................. 3 ,8 2 5 1957 .......................................................................................................... 3 ,6 7 3 1 ,3 9 0 1 6 ,5 0 0 .1 2 1958 3 ,6 9 4 2 ,0 6 0 2 3 ,9 0 0 .18 1956 1959 ........................................................................................................ 3 ,7 0 8 1 ,8 8 0 6 9 ,0 0 0 .5 0 1960 . 3 ,3 3 3 1 ,3 2 0 1 9 ,1 0 0 .14 3 ,3 6 7 3 ,6 1 4 1 ,4 5 0 1 ,2 3 0 1 6 ,3 0 0 1 8 ,6 0 0 .11 .1 3 1 9 6 1 .......................................................................................................... 1962 ........................................................................... 941 3 ,6 5 5 1 ,6 4 0 2 2 ,9 0 0 .1 5 3 ,9 6 3 1 ,5 5 0 2 3 ,3 0 0 .1 5 .1 5 1963 1 6 ,1 0 0 .11 3 ,3 6 2 1964 . . . 1965 4 ,4 0 5 1 ,9 6 0 2 5 ,4 0 0 1967 . . 4 ,5 9 5 2 ,8 7 0 4 2 ,1 0 0 .25 '9 6 8 ........................................................................................................ 5 ,0 4 5 2 ,6 4 9 4 9 ,0 1 8 .28 1966 ........................................................................................................ 1969 5 ,7 0 0 2,481 4 2 ,8 6 9 .24 1970 5 ,7 1 6 3 ,3 0 5 6 6 ,4 1 4 .37 .2 6 1971 ........................................................................................................ 5 ,1 3 8 3 ,2 8 0 4 7 ,5 8 9 1972 .. 5 ,0 1 0 1 ,7 1 4 2 7 ,0 6 6 .1 5 1973 5 ,3 5 3 2,251 2 7 ,9 4 8 .14 1974 .......................................................................................................... 6 ,0 7 4 2 ,7 7 8 .24 1975 . . . 5,031 1 ,7 4 6 4 7 ,991 3 1 ,2 3 7 3 7 ,8 5 9 .1 6 .1 9 5 ,6 4 8 2 ,4 2 0 1977 . . . 5 ,5 0 6 2 ,0 4 0 3 5 ,8 2 2 .1 7 1978 4 '2 3 0 1 ,6 2 3 3 6 ,9 2 2 .1 7 4 ,8 2 7 1 ,7 2 7 1976 .......................................................................................................... . 1979 . . . 1980* ......................................................................................... 1981p .. 1980: December ................................................................................ J u l y ............................................................................................ Note: 3 4 ,7 5 4 .1 5 3 ,8 8 5 1 ,3 6 6 3 3 ,2 8 9 .1 4 2 ,5 7 7 1 ,0 8 2 2 4 ,6 7 0 .11 90 380 19 77 1 ,2 2 8 .0 6 187 3 8 .8 9 4 2 .4 .0 5 213 4 1 .5 7 6 9 .9 .0 4 285 2 4 3 .7 1 ,6 9 7 .5 .0 8 286 8 0 .3 4 ,8 8 4 .5 .2 4 301 1 2 3 .7 5 ,3 0 7 .6 .28 302 2 4 1 .0 3,52 1 .1 .17 286 1 2 0 .5 2 ,4 7 2 .6 211 6 8 .5 1 ,7 0 4 .3 .09 225 5 8 .5 1 ,4 7 9 .3 .08 166 3 6 .0 1 ,2 0 7 .9 .0 6 82 2 1 .0 3 9 5 .2 .02 33 8 .2 2 8 7 .6 .01 .12 The preliminary data for 1981 have been revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95 How to order BLS publications PERIODICALS Order from (and m ake checks payable to) Su perintendent o f Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402. For foreign subscriptions, add 25 percent. Monthly Labor Review. The oldest and most authoritative government research journal in economics and the social sciences. 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