The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics March 1981 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A special section on safety and health ■» 4» U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523 1327. Subscription price per year $18 domestic; $22.50 foreign. Single copy $2.50. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid at Riverdale, MD., and at additional mailing offices. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 > t*-r Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I Boston: Wendell D. Macdonald 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III Philadelphia: Alvin I. Margulis 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596 -11 54 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881 - 4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V Chicago: William £ Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 3 5 3 -18 80 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767 -6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374 2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming March cover: Philip Hays' painting for Images of Labor, a book of 32 original works illustrating quotations from labor history, commissioned by District 1199, National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees, as part of its Bread and Roses cultural program. The book, including works by Milton Glaser, Judy Chicago, Jacob Lawrence, Alice Neel, and Ralph Fasanella, will be published next month by The Pilgrim Press. An exhibition of the 32 works of art opens next month at Gallery 1199 in New York City, prior to a 2-year national tour sponsored by Smithsonian Institution Traveling Exhibition Service. The National En dowment for the Humanities provided major funding for the project. Cover design by Richard L. Mathews, Division of Audio-Visual Communication Services, U S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556 -4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington 1 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW MARCH 1981 VOLUME 104, NUMBER 3 Library Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor SÄR 2 4 t98ì Norman Bowers 3 Youth labor force activity: alternative surveys compared Studies of youth labor force activity often yield apparently conflicting results; survey variations may be an important factor, but questions still remain A SPECIAL SECTION: JOB-RELATED INJURY AND ILLNESS Judson MacLaury 18 The job safety law of 1970: its passage was perilous The Occupational Safety and Health Act, designed to provide protection for most American workers, cleared Congress only after an intense struggle Harvey J. Hilaski 25 Understanding statistics on occupational illnesses The data are better understood if one is aware of recordkeeping pecularities and the problems of recognizing and reporting occupational illnesses Norman Root 30 Injuries at work are fewer among older employees Previous studies offer conflicting results in determining age groups more prone to accidents; new data show young workers are hurt more, but often not as seriously David P. McCaffrey 35 Work-related amputations by type and prevalence Based on workers’ compensation cases, new supplement to annual BLS survey of injuries yields an estimate of 21,000 cases in 1977, most involving the loss of a finger Philip Workman 42 Using statistics to manage a State safety and health program Estimates of occupational toll have proved important to Ohio’s program of accident prevention; companies in need of services are identified M. W. Elson, J. F. Burton, Jr. 45 Workers’ compensation insurance: recent trends in costs Costs of insuring against work-related injuries and diseases have escalated rapidly since 1972, with growing variation in premiums among States LaVerne C. Tinsley 51 Workers’ compensation in 1980: major enactments Broader coverage and levels of benefits received the most attention; several States set new standards for measuring loss of hearing r epo rts Janet L. Norwood Lawrence J. Fulco Daniel E. Taylor https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 58 60 66 68 Two Consumer Price Index issues: weighting and homeownership Indexing Federal programs: the CPI and other indexes Long nonfarm productivity slide ends during the third quarter Absences from work among full-time employees DEPARTMENTS 2 58 66 68 71 73 76 81 Labor month in review Anatomy of price change Productivity reports Special labor force reports— summaries Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review RELEASE POLICY. The Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards announced adoption of Statistical Policy Directive No. 3, governing compilation and release of Federal economic in dicator statistics produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other Federal agencies. The new directive, which replaces and revises two earlier direc tives, sets policy for timely compilation and release of important economic in formation and for preventing premature release. Excerpts: Prompt release. The shortest practicable interval should exist between the date or period to which the data refer and the date when compilation is completed. Prompt public release of the figures should be made after compilation. The goal is to accomplish compilation and release to the public within 20 working days or less for series that are issued quarterly or more frequently. Release schedule. Agencies should schedule release dates for series that are issued quarterly or more frequently that can be met and that will also insure prompt release of the series as specified in this directive. The schedule of release dates established by agencies will be issued each month by the Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards and will appear in the Office’s publica tion, Statistical Reporter. Agencies should establish and main tain one or two designated times of day for the release of their principal economic indicators. Each indicator should be released consistently at one of the designated times and changes to a new designated release time should be announced 30 days in advance. Release procedure. Initial release of principal economic indicators should be made by the statistical agency in a press release or other type of printed report. A press release should be issued if it would speed up the release of data. A news 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis conference may be scheduled to permit discussion of important technical, features of the data being released. Except for authorized distribution of principal economic indicators described in this paragraph, there shall be no pro vision of information or data estimates to o fficial public release. The President will receive pre-released infor mation when available through the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers. Principal economic indicators information should be made available to principal economic policymakers at the same time a press release is provided to the press. The principal economic policymakers who may receive the infor mation are the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Director of the Of fice of Management and Budget, the Director of the Council on Wage and Price Stability, the Secretary of the Treasury, the Secretary of Commerce, and the Secretary of Labor. Each statistical agency is responsible for establishing procedures to assure that there will be no premature release of information or data estimates during the period of time required for preparation and duplication of materials used for the public release. This includes the protec tion of public use data banks which should not receive data until officially released. All employees of the Executive Branch who receive pre-release distribu tion of information and data estimates as authorized above are responsible to assure that there will be no release prior to the public release. Employees of the Executive Branch should also observe a 1-hour period after the release of data by the statistical agency before making public commentary, except for necessary technical explanation by appropriate staff of the issuing Department. Preliminary estimates and revisions. Decisions on the release of principal economic indicators may require balanc ing timeliness against accuracy and also controlling frequency of revisions. It is not intended that vital information im portant for making current policy deci sions be withheld merely to reduce fre quency of revisions, nor that stringent accuracy considerations result in delay ing the issuance of important statistical information. In general, not more than two estimates for a principal economic in dicator should be issued within 60 days after the end of the reference period. Preliminary estimates for series that represent principal aggregates should not be issued until the agency is con fident that the difference between preliminary and final figures will be small relative to average period-toperiod change. Full text of the directive appears in the Federal Register for January 14, 1981, pages 3253-54. □ Publications awards The Monthly Labor Review’s special issue on immigration (October 1980) has won an award of merit in the 1980 competition sponsored by the Washington, D.C., chapter of the Society for Technical Communication. More than 250 publications of Government agencies, associations, and cor porations were entered in the contest. Another b l s periodical, Occupational Outlook Quarterly, also received a merit award in the competition, while the new b l s vocational counseling publication, Exploring Careers, won an award of excellence and automatic entry in the Society for Technical Communication’s international competition this spring. Youth labor force activity: alternative surveys compared Studies o f youth labor force activity often yield apparently conflicting results; variations in survey concepts, methodology, and other factors may explain some of the differences, but questions still remain N orman Bow ers It is generally perceived that a serious youth employ ment problem exists in this country, especially among young blacks. Quite often this assessment has been based on data from the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS), conducted for the Bureau of Labor Statis tics by the Census Bureau. The CPS uses a national probability sample composed of rotating groups totaling approximately 65,000 house holds per month. Census Bureau enumerators contact the households in the sample each month and ask a se ries of structured questions about the labor force status of each member 16 years of age and over during the preceding (or reference) week. The CPS comprises eight independent panels or rotation groups. Each household is interviewed for 4 consecutive months, dropped from the sample for 8 months, interviewed again for 4 Norman Bowers is an economist in the Office of Current Employment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Robert Mclntire and Bernard Altschuler of the same office provided portions of the data presented in this article. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis months, and finally dropped entirely from the sample. Any responsible household member may supply the CPS labor force information for other eligible persons in the household. And, except for the first and fifth rotation groups, for which a personal visit is the predominant form of data collection, telephone interviews are used extensively. The overall sample size is approximately 135,000 persons, of which about 30,000 are youth age 16 to 24. Over the past 15 years, additional data from three longitudinal surveys of the labor force status and work experience of youth have become available to analysts. The three youth-specific surveys: the first National Lon gitudinal Survey, which collected a wide range of data beginning in 1966; the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972; and, finally, a new series of National Longitudinal Surveys begun in 1979. As a result of these surveys, particularly the 1966-based sur vey, a large body of information on the employment problems of young people has been developed. While much of the longitudinal research has simply 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity confirmed analyses of data from the CPS, some differ ences between survey measures of current labor force status have also been noted. Among recent studies that called attention to the apparent survey differences are those of Michael Borus, Frank Mott, and Gilbert Nestel; Richard Freeman and James Medoff; and Rob ert Myer and David Wise.1Data from all three longitu dinal surveys suggest that youth employment-popu lation ratios are higher than the CPS indicates. Estimates of the unemployment rates for men tend to be little dif ferent between the 1966-based longitudinal survey and the CPS; in the class of 1972 survey, estimated unem ployment is lower than in the CPS; and unemployment rates for the 1979-based longitudinal survey are much higher than CPS estimates. These inter-survey discrepan cies appear to be especially concentrated among youth age 16 to 17, and among those whose major activity is going to school. Many researchers have suggested that any significant differences between the CPS and the longitudinal studies arise from the fact that the CPS gathers its information from any responsible household member, while the oth er surveys have relied on the self-response of the young person. As we will see, this hypothesis may be some what simplistic. In fact, wherever inter-survey variations appear to be of some importance, they seem to be due to factors other than, or in addition to, the identity of the respondent. measures are widely at odds with each other. Aggrega tion of data into larger groups of individuals is one way to offset this problem; for example, we might compare employment-population ratios for those age 16 to 24 rather than for more narrowly defined age groups. How ever, such aggregation frequently obscures the very areas in which the survey differences are most pro nounced. Statistical significance cannot be considered the sole item of interest in survey comparisons. Findings which are not statistically significant might still be important because they suggest a different set of hypotheses about the youth labor market. However, this article touches only briefly on the formidable issue of the substantive nature of the survey differences. To keep the following analysis manageable, discus sion will be limited to employment-population ratios and unemployment rates. We will not address the sub ject of labor force participation (the ratio of the sum of employment and unemployment to population) or the numbers employed or unemployed. However, it should be noted that because the longitudinal surveys estimate a higher labor force participation than the CPS in all in stances, even if there were no differences in unemploy ment rates between surveys, the estimated number of unemployed youth would still be substantially higher in the longitudinal surveys. Analysts might justifiably at tach importance to this fact. Limitations of the comparisons The class of 1972 A major purpose of this article is to uncover method ological, design, or questionnaire differences among the surveys which may account for the discrepancies in em ployment and unemployment measures. But even if all the inter-survey differences could be reconciled on meth odological grounds, it does not necessarily follow that any particular survey presents the most accurate picture of youth employment. Further, given that one expects some difference in results among surveys, it is important to determine whether the discrepancies are statistically significant. If differences among surveys are frequently not statistically significant, one’s confidence in the accu mulated body of data might be strengthened. Comparing labor force estimates from alternative sur veys is subject to additional important limitations. For example, the longitudinal surveys were not designed with the intent to test directly the validity of CPS esti mates; it is only as a by-product of the surveys that the issue has been raised. Furthermore, the statistical signifi cance of differences among surveys is a function of the magnitude of the differences and the standard errors of the labor force measures. Because standard errors de pend in part upon the size of the survey sample, it be comes difficult to detect statistically significant differ ences between relatively small samples unless the survey The survey of 1972 high school graduates, supported by the National Center for Education Statistics with data collection and sample design by the Research Tri angle Institute, is different in important respects from other data sources on youth. The primary purpose of the survey was to collect data on the educational and vocational activities, aspirations, and attitudes of young people after leaving high school.2 This purpose in itself may introduce nontrivial methodological differences be tween the class of 1972 survey and the CPS. The class of 1972 survey was a stratified two-stage probability sample; high schools were the first-stage units and students, the second-stage units. The initial design called for 1,200 sample schools— with an oversampling of schools in areas with relatively high concentrations of minorities and in low income areas— and up to 18 randomly selected students per school (plus five alternates). The base-year survey, which did not collect labor force information, was conducted in April and May of 1972, with an initial school nonresponse rate of 17 percent. Nonresponding schools were recontacted in 1973, resulting in students from 1,153 of the 1,200 sample schools being selected as po tential sample members for the first follow-up survey. The overall sample consisted of about 23,000 persons, 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis although the analysis presented here is based on a sub set of that sample. The first follow-up survey was conducted largely by a mail questionnaire in late 1973 and early 1974. Subse quent follow-up questionnaires were mailed to sample members in October 1974 and October 1976. Each questionnaire contained a series of questions about the respondent’s labor force status; the 1973 and 1976 in stallments also requested information on labor force ac tivity in October 1972 and October 1975. The use of mail data collection is an important methodological di vergence from the CPS, which is based on interviews. The first class of 1972 follow-up questionnaire (1973) consisted of five major sections. Civilian work experi ence information was elicited following a series of ques tions probing respondents’ future expectations and aspirations and past and current education and training experience. The CPS, in contrast, is primarily concerned with collecting data on current labor force status; only a few basic demographic and income questions are asked before determining labor force status. Again, such variations in survey purpose and questionnaire design alone may result in different responses to seemingly equivalent questions. A recent analysis has shown that the addition of sup plemental questions to the main questionnaire of a sur vey, and often-subtle differences in interview techniques each had a rather significant impact on the results. For example, analysis of data on crime victimization rates from the National Crime Survey showed that the addi tion of a series of attitudinal questions— opinions of po lice, crime trends, and so forth— asked of respondents before eliciting responses to victimization questions led to significantly higher estimates of victimization rates than if the supplemental questions had not been posed.3 According to the authors of this report, if the explana tion for this result is that the additional questions stim ulate both recall and the respondents’ desire to be accommodating and responsive to what they perceive to be the goal of the survey, incidents— both real and fab ricated— may be reported that do not fall within the survey reference period. This leads to an undesirable re sponse bias. Obviously, survey analysts cannot ignore the interaction of questions on respondents when ac counting for differences in survey results. All of the class of 1972 survey data were gathered retrospectively and, in fact, the bulk of the data relating to 1972 were collected between October 1973 and April 1974. This might lead one to suspect that respondents would have some difficulty in remembering their 1972 activities after a year or more had elapsed. Although the potential for recall error in the measure of labor force activity for October 1972 seems obvious, the di rection of the error is not clear a priori. However, con siderable evidence from a CPS Methods Test conducted https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis between July 1966 and February 1967 indicated that re call biases in labor force classification were “quite high, and at an unacceptable level of quality,”4 and that they generally resulted in higher estimates of employment and lower estimates of unemployment. Moreover, test results suggested that errors in labor force classification due to recall problems were far more serious than any errors due to nonself reporting. In addition to procedural differences, there were also important conceptual differences in the labor force ques tions asked in the 1972-based survey and the CPS. First, the class of 1972 questions were retrospective. Second, the 1972 information referred to an entire month, the CPS examines a reference week. And third, the class of 1972 job-search question did not ask about specific job seeking activities or about availability for work, unlike the CPS. Such differences might contribute to differing results between the two studies. The class of 1972 data for 1973 and 1974 were col lected over a somewhat shorter period. The labor force questions were also different in that they referred only to the first week in October. Because of fewer recall problems and the use of a specific reference week, one might expect the labor force estimates for 1973 and 1974 to show less divergence from the CPS. A comparison of CPS measures with the unweighted counts from the 1972-based survey data for males not in school or in the military appeared in a recent paper by Robert Myer and David Wise. (See table 1.) For 1972, the class of 1972 data show both more employ ment and less unemployment than the CPS, which is to be expected, given possible recall problems and the month-long reference period. Differences by race— espe cially in employment-population ratios— are reasonably similar. Moreover, the survey differences in 1972 are Table 1. The labor force activity of male high school graduates: a comparison of the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972 and the CPS by race, October 1972-74 Year and survey Category 1972 NLS72 CPS 1973 NLS72 CPS 1974 NLS72 CPS White men Labor force participation rate . Employment-population ratio .. Unemployment rate ............... 92.9 88.0 5.4 91.6 ’ 81.5 111.0 94.6 91.4 3.5 192.2 186.8 5.9 96.9 91.6 7.9 96.0 186.6 9.8 Black and other men Labor force participation rate . Employment-population ratio .. Unemployment rate ............... 90.2 78.4 13.0 88.0 68.0 22.7 92.8 86.0 7.3 94.0 78.3 16.7 96.5 84.0 15.5 94.7 80.5 15.0 1NLS72-CPS difference is statistically significant at the 95-percent confidence level. N ote : Data refer to those not currently enrolled in school and not in the military. Class of 1972 data are from Robert H. Myer and David A. Wise, "High School Preparation and Early Labor Market Experience,” paper presented at the National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Youth Joblessness, May 17 and 18,1979, table 1, p. 9. CPS data for 1972 are from Employment o f High School Graduates and Dropouts, October 1972, Special Labor Force Report 155, (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1973). CPS data for 1973 and 1974 are based on unpublished tabulations from the October surveys. S ource : 5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity statistically significant only for the employment ratio and unemployment rate of white males.5The survey dif ferences are less— considerably so among black men— in the subsequent 2 years. However, class of 1972 esti mates of employment-population ratios are in all cases qualitatively higher than in the CPS. Myer and Wise, as well as others, have attributed the discrepancy between the surveys to the fact that youth responded for themselves in the class of 1972 survey, whereas any responsible household member (typically an adult) responds to CPS questions.6 The implication is that substantially more accurate information is obtained from self-respondents. However, there is very little evi dence to support this proposition. The fact that the dif ferences, at least for minorities, narrowed over time it self raises questions about the relative importance of the self-response hypothesis. And, previously cited results from the 1966-67 CPS Methods Test also suggest that errors in labor force classification due to respondent re call problems might be far more serious than those caused by nonself reporting. More likely explanations for the discrepancies lie in the important methodological and conceptual differ ences between the two surveys: different sampling tech niques; the long 1972-based survey mail questionnaire; and the fact that class of 1972 observations for 1972 re lied on retrospective questions which referred to an entire month rather than a specific week. Comparisons of class of 1972 measures of youth labor force activity with those from the CPS may in fact be unwarranted; at the very least, great caution is necessary given the large method ological differences between the surveys, and the proba ble effect of recall bias on 1972-based survey results. The first National Longitudinal Survey .Survey design. The 1966 National Longitudinal Survey ( n l s ) survey included roughly 5,000 individuals in each of four age cohorts: young men 14 to 24 in 1966; young women 14 to 24 in 1968; women 30 to 44 in 1967; and men 45 to 59 in 1966. The original samples were drawn by the Census Bureau in a multi-stage screening proce dure, with blacks oversampled to ensure a sufficient sample size for analysis. Personal interviews were con ducted between 1966 and 1971, and telephone inter views were generally used after 1971. The data underlying the following analysis relate to 1966-73. The standard set of CPS current labor force status questions was used to determine whether individuals were employed, unemployed, or not in the labor force. Like the class of 1972 study, however, the 1966 survey was designed to obtain information about a much wider range of subjects, including education and training, goals, and knowledge of the world of work. Labor force questions were asked following those on education, and training and educational goals. Again, such design pe 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis culiarities may well affect respondents’ answers; in par ticular, the earlier questions could increase recall of la bor force experience, although to what degree is uncertain. In the 1966-based survey, each individual described her or his own labor force status. As in the case of the class of 1972-CPS discrepancies, it has been argued that “a very substantial portion of the CPS-NLS differences in the estimated probability that a teenage male is employed seems to be explicable by the fact that the CPS relies on proxy respondents while the NLS does not.”7 However, other differences between the two surveys should also be noted. First, the 1966-based survey— properly weighted— was an unbiased sample of the population only at the time of the first interview. Be cause of attrition, the “best” comparisons with the CPS may be for the first year that data were collected.8 Sec ond, young people in the Armed Forces or institutional ized at the time the NLS sample was drawn were excluded from the sample forever, but this is not true of the CPS. Third, the earliest NLS relied on personal inter views, whereas telephone interviewing is used extensive ly in the CPS. And finally, the interviewers for each survey may have had varying experience and training. Observed measurement differences. Table 2 presents comparable measures of youth labor force activity from the CPS and the first NLS. Both the NLS and CPS data are weighted to national population counts. The raw data in table 2 have been cited as evidence that there is significantly higher work activity among all youth, and that racial differences among men in the probability of being employed are much smaller than previously estimated in the CPS. Inter-survey variations in male unemployment rates follow no clear pattern, and in all but two instances the differences are not sta tistically significant.9 The 1966-based unemployment rates for women are usually higher than the CPS esti mates, but rarely are the differences statistically signifi cant. Because the discrepancies between unemployment rates generally do not appear to be meaningful, subse quent analysis concentrates on employment figures. (As noted previously, however, because the NLS estimated labor force participation rate is higher than that from the CPS, the NLS estimated number unemployed also is greater.) Examination of the employment-population ratios in table 2 confirms the fact that the 1966-based measures are always higher than those calculated from the CPS. In fact, over the entire set of years for which data for men are available, the average differences are statistical ly significant. The same is true for women, except for whites 18 to 19 years of age and blacks age 20 to 24. Some importance might well be attached to these dif- Table 2. 1966-based NLS and CPS employment-population ratios and unemployment rates by race, sex, and age, 1966-73 Category Employmentpopulation ratio NLS White men 16 to 17 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... Average..................................................... 18 to 19 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... Average..................................................... 20 to 24 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... Average ..................................................... Black and other men 16 to 17 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... Average ..................................................... 18 to 19 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... Average..................................................... 20 to 24 years: 1966 ......................................................... 1967 ......................................................... 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... Average..................................................... CPS Unemployment rate Category NLS CPS 48.4 45.6 47.0 137.6 '36.7 ’ 37.1 18.6 18.7 18.6 '10.0 14.4 '12.2 64.1 62.8 64.6 61.2 63.1 '55.1 56.7 ’ 55.7 56.8 '55.2 9.1 10.3 7.9 12.5 10.0 8.8 10.6 7.5 7.6 8.6 83.1 81.8 79.7 80.8 78.2 80.5 80.5 79.1 78.0 76.5 ’ 76.7 75.0 '74.1 '76.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 4.6 7.4 8.0 5.2 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.5 8.8 9.3 6.0 43.0 40.6 41.7 '28.2 '26.2 '27.2 26.2 29.8 28.0 19.8 28.8 24.4 58.5 59.7 61.7 59.0 59.6 47.7 '47.0 '45.6 52.6 '48.4 20.9 19.4 13.5 16.9 17.8 16.5 21.7 20.3 19.0 19.4 89.9 84.8 84.5 78.1 75.1 75.3 80.6 82.3 '76.9 79.0 78.2 69.0 69.5 '75.2 3.5 7.8 3.7 8.7 14.6 13.2 9.1 7.3 10.3 6.7 7.7 15.0 13.0 10.1 1NLS-CPS difference is statistically significant at the 95-percent confidence level. Data for men refer to November of each year. Data for women refer to February of each year, except In 1969 when the data refer to January. N ote : S ource : The 1966-based NLS data for men are from Richard Freeman and James Medoff, ferences in employment ratio estimates between the two surveys. When the individual yearly observations are com pared, only about one-half of the differences are statisti cally significant at the 95-percent confidence level.10 Such results again suggest that analysts should be cautious about drawing conclusions based on raw dif ferences in labor force measures across surveys. Howev er, the differences for both men and women in the youngest age group are statistically significant and quite large, a pattern we shall also see repeated in the 1979-based NLS. Reporting accuracy. Could CPS nonself reporting be the cause of NLS-CPS differences? Among white men and black men, where data exist for all three age groups, the survey differences appear to narrow by age: in 1966, the differences ( n l s minus c p s ) among whites were 10.8 percentage points for ages 16 to 17, 9.0 points for ages 18 to 19, and 4.0 points for ages 20 to 24. For blacks, the differences were 14.8, 10.8, and 7.6 points, respec tively. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis White women 16 to 17 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... Average ..................................................... 18 to 19 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... A verage..................................................... 20 to 24 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... 1972 ......................................................... 1973 ......................................................... A verage..................................................... Black and other women 16 to 17 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... Average..................................................... 18 to 19 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... Average ..................................................... 20 to 24 years: 1968 ......................................................... 1969 ......................................................... 1970 ......................................................... 1971 ......................................................... 1972 ......................................................... 1973 ......................................................... Average..................................................... Employmentpopulation ratio Unemployment rate NLS CPS NLS CPS 31.6 36.3 34.0 '24.4 124.2 '24.3 22.0 19.7 20.8 14.2 '8.5 '11.5 47.0 49.2 45.8 50.2 48.1 46.0 43.9 41.1 45.2 45.2 13.5 11.5 17.9 14.8 14.5 10.3 8.8 '10.4 14.4 11.1 52.8 55.7 59.2 56.3 57.0 61.0 57.1 50.0 '51.6 '53.4 '51.9 '53.0 '56.2 '52.8 9.6 7.7 8.1 8.8 9.7 7.0 8.5 7.1 5.9 7.2 8.8 8.1 7.1 7.4 24.9 21.3 23.0 '12.3 '12.4 '12.3 26.7 40.4 33.7 32.5 33.6 31.7 44.3 42.2 38.6 34.5 39.7 34.4 '31.4 29.1 '21.6 '28.9 24.9 25.2 29.2 33.9 26.5 21.4 24.7 25.1 36.1 26.2 52.6 55.0 52.9 51.0 50.6 52.2 52.3 46.8 53.3 49.1 45.9 49.9 46.4 47.8 17.3 12.8 15.4 17.7 18.9 15.7 16.4 11.4 7.8 14.0 18.3 16.4 18.3 14.6 “ Why Does the Rate of Youth Labor Force Activity Differ Across Surveys?” in The Youth Un employment Problem: It’s Nature, Causes, and Consequences, (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, forthcoming). Data for women were provided by Michael Borus of the Center for Fluman Resource Research, Ohio State University. Why do the differences in survey observations narrow by age, when CPS proxy respondents might be expected to know less about the activities of their older sons as they begin to break away from the family? It might be argued that the probability of male self-response in the CPS increases with age, but there is no evidence that this is the case; indeed, the higher employment ratios of older men imply a lower probability of self-response, because they are less likely to be at home at the time of the interview.11 Among black women the survey discrep ancies also narrow by age. In 1968, for example, the dif ferences were 12.6 percentage points, 9.9 points, and 5.8 points, respectively, for the three age groups. This is consistent with the self-response hypothesis because the likelihood of women responding for themselves in the CPS is not only higher than that for men, but also great er for older women, who are less likely to be in school, than for women age 16 to 19. However, the fact that there is no consistent reduction in the survey differences by age among white women seems difficult to reconcile with the self-response explanation. Given that the survey differences seem to be especial7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity ly pronounced among those age 16 to 17, it is tempting to hypothesize that their employment activity and job seeking behavior is so casual, intermittent, and marginal that their parents, who are likely to be the CPS respon dents, may be unaware of it. In both the CPS and the 1966-based NLS, weekly hours worked by those age 16 to 17 are substantially lower than the hours worked by older youth. However, while the hypothesis that youth labor mar ket activity is casual, and hence not likely to be known to or considered important by a parent, may have some relevance for job search data, it is more difficult to rec oncile with the facts about youth employment. In both the NLS and CPS, weekly hours worked averaged about 20 for men and 15 for women. While this is not an ex tensive average workweek, one must wonder if parents would be completely unaware of that level of employ ment activity on the part of their children.12 The problem may not be lack of parental knowledge. Instead, there could be honest differences between youths’ and parents’ perceptions of what constitutes employment. Adults, accustomed to the concept of a “9 to 5” job, may overlook the sporadic casual jobs held by their children. However, such perceptions may not be confined to adults; some young people may have similar beliefs about what a real job is. While there is currently no solid proof for either proposition, it would be hazardous to neglect the possi bility. Thus, the critical question does not simply in volve self versus nonself reporting, but also the perceptions held by proxy respondents about the activi ties of their children; how these perceptions interact with the wording and design of the labor force ques tions; and the “correctness” of these perceptions in ac curately accounting for labor market activity. Similar questions must, of course, be raised concerning the youths’ responses. In the context of the hypothesis about lack of paren tal knowledge, it is possible that the distribution of re ported hours worked in the two surveys is such that a large part of the difference might be found among those with very few hours worked. Currently, however, there is no evidence for or against this proposition. More de tailed information is required concerning respondents’ interpretations of labor force questions and especially about their perceptions of what it means to be “legiti mately” employed. Again, the reasons for significant in ter-survey differences may be substantially more com plex than the simple self-response hypothesis suggests. The “parental lack of knowledge” hypothesis should most closely fit the data for those age 18 to 19, because the CPS counts unmarried persons living away from home while attending college as members of their par ents’ households. The labor force data for these youth are obtained from their parents who may simply be un 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis aware of their children’s labor force activity. However, among 16- and 17-year-olds— where inter-survey differ ences are more apparent— this should not be a factor, these youth being less likely to attend school away from home. Diminishing differences. Within a few of the age groups, the differences in male employment ratios between the two surveys decline, often considerably, over time. For example, among black men age 18 to 19, the differences go from 12.7 to 6.4 percentage points between 1967 and 1969, and the difference in 1969 is not statistically sig nificant. While it is hazardous to speak of trends in these measures, this apparent narrowing of differences is interesting. To provide robust support for the simple self-response hypothesis as a major explanation for in ter-survey differences, one would have to show that the probability of self-response in the CPS increased for young people (especially those age 18 to 19) over these periods. Alternatively, one might argue that the knowl edge of proxy respondents about young people’s labor force activity had increased. There is no evidence for or against either of these positions. The results may reflect the well-known phenomenon of respondent conditioning as a result of repeated NLS yearly interviews. But it should be noted again that the 1966-based NLS is an un biased sample of the population only in the first year, and attrition and other problems make strong conclu sions based on later estimates difficult. The data for women reveal a somewhat different story. Especially among whites, the survey discrepancies do not decline over time; in fact, they show some ten dency to increase moderately. This is not readily ex plicable. There is no evidence that the probability of self-response in the CPS declined for young white wom en between 1968 and 1973. However, the secular in crease in female employment since the late 1960’s might be cited as indirect evidence of a decline in the proba bility of self-response, employed women being less likely to be at home when the CPS enumerator calls. Current ly, there are no data available to support or reject this possibility. The narrowing of inter-survey differences is most ap parent when youths are followed as they mature. If one traces the NLS-CPS differences for 16- to 17-year-olds in 1967, 18- to 19-year-olds in 1969, and 20- to 24-yearolds in 1970 and 1971, the decline in the survey dif ferences is more visible. Among black men, for example, the differences range from 14.4 percentage points in 1967, to 6.4 points in 1969, and to 5.9 points in 1971. And among white women, the discrepancies fall from 7.2 percentage points (1968), to 4.7 points (1970), and finally to 4.0 points (1972). This pattern is consistent with what little we under stand about the conditioning effect of repeated inter- views on people’s responses to questions, but a range of alternative explanations exists. For example, it is possi ble that, as youths mature, their employment experience tends to be less marginal and less intermittent. Thus, they have more activity to report, and other family members know more about the activity or attach more weight to it. A test of this hypothesis would require very detailed information not only about the work expe rience and job-seeking activities of youth, but also about the objective knowledge and subjective percep tions family members have about the labor market ac tivity of their sons and daughters. If this “marginality” hypothesis is valid, however, it does raise the question of the importance of the survey differences. Would mea suring a bit more marginal activity warrant a major réévaluation of current analyses of youth employment problems? Better match with some CPS panels. We have seen that some aspects of the data are difficult to reconcile with the self-response hypothesis, and have presented other explanations which, while plausible, are difficult to test. One methodological factor which may have unduly complicated the analysis is that, up to this point, the CPS data have been based on the full rotation panel— each household is in the sample 4 months, out for 8 months, and back in for 4 months. Theoretically, each CPS rotation panel is a representa tive sample of the population, and, therefore, should have the same general labor force characteristics. The fact that each monthly panel consistently yields different labor force estimates— with the reported incidence of employment and unemployment higher in the first and fifth panels than in the others— has been attributed to “rotation group bias,” a feature of all panel surveys.13 The causes of this “bias” are thought to be several, in cluding the effects of respondent conditioning from re peated monthly interviews, possible change in demo graphic composition of the sample across rotation groups,14 and the fact that the household respondent may differ from month to month. Because the NLS is based on yearly interviews, it may be more appropriate to analyze inter-survey differences using data from the CPS first- and fifth-month-in-sample panels. Like the 1966-based NLS, labor force informa tion from the CPS first and fifth rotation panels is obtained primarily by personal visit, which controls for another possible methodological difference between the surveys. A disadvantage is that the sample sizes are re duced considerably. And, of course, this does not neces sarily imply that the first and fifth CPS panels yield the most accurate labor force data. Table 3 presents employment-population ratios and unemployment rates for selected age groups from the CPS first and fifth rotation groups. (Rotation group data https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis by race are not available.) Especially among men age 18 to 19, the NLS-CPS employment differences narrowed considerably. In fact, the NLS-CPS differences in employment-popu lation ratios among men are statistically significant only twice in the first rotation panel and three times in the fifth group. For men age 18 to 24, the average survey differences in employment estimates using the first rota tion panel are insignificant; for the fifth panel the aver age differences are marginally significant only for men age 20 to 24. However, among men age 16 to 17, the employment ratio differences remain statistically signifi cant. Unemployment rates are never much different. Among women age 18 to 19, the employment-popula tion estimates also tend to be somewhat higher in the first and fifth rotation group compared to the full CPS. And for this age group there are no significant differ ences between the surveys. Among women age 20 to 24, however, the survey differences in employment are not reduced when one examines specific rotation groups. Again, for women age 16 to 17, the survey discrepan cies remain quite large and statistically significant. Table 3. Employment-population ratios and unemployment rates by sex and age: a comparison of the 1966-based NLS with the CPS first-month and fifth-month panels, and the full CPS, 1967-73 Unemployment rate Employment-population ratio NLS CPS firstmonth panel CPS fifthmonth panel Full CPS NLS CPS firstmonth panel CPS fifthmonth panel 44.9 134.3 38.1 ’ 35.2 20.3 24.6 13.3 '11.1 62.3 64.2 60.9 62.5 57.0 60.3 61.3 59.5 52.9 50.9 60.3 54.8 ’ 52.3 ’ 54.3 56.3 ’ 54.3 11.6 8.7 13.1 11.1 9.2 10.9 8.3 9.5 16.2 11.1 9.1 12.1 12.1 9.2 9.2 10.1 82.1 80.3 80.4 77.9 79.9 80.0 77.6 75.5 80.1 76.2 ’ 73.1 76.4 80.2 ’ 73.8 80.4 73.0 ’ 70.9 ’ 75.4 77.8 76.8 76.9 74.3 '73.5 '75.7 3.8 3.5 5.1 8.3 8.6 6.1 5.1 5.0 4.0 9.9 10.5 7.1 3.5 8.6 3.7 9.8 11.1 7.5 4.8 4.4 4.9 9.5 9.8 6.9 30.6 34.2 32.3 24.5 122.8 '23.7 24.3 ’ 22.8 '23.5 ’ 22.7 ' 22.6 '22.6 22.6 22.0 22.2 29.9 18.3 25.0 17.9 17.6 18.0 15.9 '11.0 '13.4 46.6 48.2 44.8 48.0 46.9 43.6 40.6 47.3 46.5 44.4 45.5 44.8 45.5 43.0 44.7 44.4 42.2 43.6 41.9 43.0 15.1 13.4 19.4 17.2 16.3 17.9 13.8 18.0 14.9 16.2 10.9 12.6 '10.7 16.2 12.9 11.6 10.7 ’ 12.0 16.4 ’ 12.8 52.8 55.6 58.4 55.6 56.2 59.8 56.5 50.9 51.1 ’ 52.5 50.0 51.4 153.3 '51.6 51.2 55.5 '51.2 ’ 48.9 53.6 '54.5 52.6 49.6 51.8 ’ 52.8 ’ 51.1 '52.1 '54.8 152.2 10.6 8.4 9.0 10.0 10.9 8.1 9.5 10.0 9.8 8.4 12.7 11.9 11.0 10.7 7.7 8.2 9.1 11.5 7.8 10.8 9.2 7.6 6.1 8.1 10.0 9.1 8.5 8.3 Category Men 16 to 17 years: 1967 ............. 18 to 19 years: 1967 ............. 1968 ............. 1969 ............. Average ......... 20 to 24 years: 1967 ............. 1968 ............. 1969 ............. 1970 ............. 1971 ............. A verage......... Women 16 to 17 years: 1968 ............. 1969 ............. Average ......... 18 to 19 years: 1968 ............. 1969 ............. 1970 ............. 1971 ............. Average ......... 20 to 24 years: 1968 ............. 1969 ............. 1970 ............. 1971 ............. 1972 ............. 1973 ............. A verage......... Full CPS 1NLS-CPS difference is statistically significant at the 95-percent confidence level. : CPS data for men refer to November of each year. CPS data for women refer to February of each year, except in 1969 when the data refer to January. N ote 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity The largest “rotation group” effect for women is, quite clearly, on estimates of unemployment. In fact, the unemployment rates for the first-month panel are not only quite a bit higher than those for the full CPS, but are often greater than the NLS measures; none of the NLS-CPS differences is statistically significant. On aver age, the unemployment rate differences for women 16 to 19 are significant when comparisons are made between the 1966-based NLS and the full CPS, but are not signifi cant when comparisons are limited to the first and fifth CPS panels. The data in table 3, which reflect an attempt to con trol for some of the methodological differences between the surveys (except for the self-response difference), do challenge strong conclusions about the relative impor tance of self versus proxy response in the collection of youth labor force data. A number of other factors of equal or greater importance may be involved, including the effects of rotation group bias on CPS measurements of current labor force status. Major activity affects comparisons. Table 4 shows data for youth age 16 to 21 in 1967 or 1968 by their “major activity,” race, and sex. These data suggest that the in ter-survey variations in employment-population ratios for young men are substantially dependent upon their major activity. Even though the employment ratio dif ferences are also statistically significant for men whose major activity is “other,” the absolute magnitude of the discrepancies is much less than among those in school. Consistent with previous observations, unemployment rates among the men are less likely to be statistically different. The fact that measured unemployment is gen erally higher than CPS estimates in the NLS “school” group and lower in the “other” group is not readily ex plicable. Again, it may be that parents do not know about the job search activity of their children in school, or do not think it relevant. Interestingly, the inter-sur vey differences in female employment-population ratios tend to be a little different regardless of major activity classification. From their analysis of the data for men, Richard Freeman and James Medoff concluded that “much of the differences between the surveys occur among those who are going to school and those who have a more marginal commitment to the work force.”15 Data from table 4 appear to support this conclusion. CPS measures also show that young men in school work substantially fewer hours than others. In 1979, average hours worked were 16.5 for those attending school, versus 35.5 for those whose major activity was “other.” However, con firmation that the labor force status of the very young is marginal and therefore more difficult to measure pre cisely in a monthly survey like the CPS which relies on a household respondent would require more detailed in 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. 1966-based NLS and CPS employmentpopulation ratios, and unemployment rates of youth age 16 to 21 by race, sex, and major activity, 1967 or 1968 Category Employment-popula tion ratio Unemployment rate NLS CPS NLS CPS Men Major activity: School 1967 ........................................ Other 1967 ........................................ 44.2 89.3 ’ 31.7 '82.1 17.1 . 4.8 13.1 ’ 10.2 White men Major activity: School 1967 ........................................ Other 1967 ........................................ 46.2 89.0 ’ 33.0 ’ 83.8 15.4 3.9 11.9 '8.5 Black and other men Major activity: School 1967 ........................................ Other 1967 ........................................ 37.0 83.1 ’ 21.6 '73.1 31.7 9.9 25.2 '18.9 Women Major activity: School 1968 ........................................ Other 1968 ........................................ 28.3 56.1 23.8 55.1 19.7 13.4 12.2 11.4 White women Major activity: School 1968 ........................................ Other 1968 ........................................ 27.9 60.1 25.4 56.7 19.4 12.0 '10.9 10.3 Black and other women Major activity: School 1968 ........................................ Other 1968 ........................................ 25.4 48.0 ' 11.8 45.4 24.3 24.1 28.4 19.4 1NLS-CPS difference is statistically significant at the 95-percent confidencehlevel. N ote : Data refer to November for men and February for women. This table was derived from data presented in Michael Borus and others, "Counting Youth: A Comparison of Youth Labor Force Statistics in the Current Population Survey and the National Longitudinal Survey," in Conference Report on Youth Unemploy ment: Its Measurement and Meaning (U.S. Department of Labor, 1978), tables 3 and 4, and unpublished data on the proportion of the NLS sample whose major activity is “ school’' and “ other” provided by Gilbert Nestel of the Center for Human Resource Research at Ohio State University. S ource : formation on the kinds of jobs the young men held, their hours worked, and wages. In fact, some might ask how parents may truly be unaware that their sons are working 16 hours per week. It is possible, of course, that the distribution of hours worked is such that the inter-survey differences are greatest among those youth who work very few hours (less than 10, for example) at odd jobs, but we have no direct information about this. If hours worked per week are minimal, parents may honestly be unaware of their sons’ activity or even less inclined to view it as “real” work. However, testing such a proposition would be very difficult. Among women, the survey differences for employ ment are much smaller than for men and are statistical ly significant but once. According to Camilla Brooks and Barbara Bailar, women have a much higher proba bility of being interviewed for themselves in the CPS. They also note, however, that “groups which are largely responded for by proxies are . . . young men and wom en in school.”16 Thus, support for the self versus proxy response hypothesis is not so clear-cut. Unemployment rates for white women whose major activity is school are significantly higher in the 1966-based NLS. This ob- servation is consistent with some versions of the self-re sponse hypothesis which have as components the knowledge and perceptions of parents concerning youth job search, but once again there may be alternative ex planations. Table 5, which is taken from a paper by Freeman and MedofF, compares the labor force activity of men age 20 to 24 by family status, to test the contention that a survey based on self-response will provide a more accurate— or, at least, a different— measure of the ac tivity of those who are probably most likely to be mar ginally attached to the labor market. According to the authors, if this hypothesis is true, differences between the surveys should be greater among other household members than among those who maintain families. The data do not provide any solid evidence for these conjec tures. None of the survey differences is statistically sig nificant, although the raw differences are somewhat larger for other household members. A corollary hypothesis is that the labor force activity of male “household heads” in the CPS is more likely to be self-reported, which would presumably account for the small measurement differences among men who maintain families. There exists no direct evidence for or against this explanation either. Indeed, the probability of self-response by men who maintain families might be less than for others; because they are more likely to be working, such persons are often not at home when the CPS enumerator calls. Of course, if the activity of other household members is marginal, while that of “house hold heads” is substantive, there may be a greater likeli hood that the labor market activity of “heads” is considered work by everyone in the family. This would account for the somewhat smaller raw differences ob served for those who maintain families, but again this conjecture is not supported empirically, and goes con siderably beyond the issue of who responds to a struc tured set of labor force questions. Tentative conclusions. This examination of the 1966based NLS and CPS leads to certain tentative con clusions. First, focusing on raw differences between sur veys is inadequate; in many instances the differences are not statistically significant, especially when the more ap propriate first and fifth CPS rotation panels are com pared to the NLS data. However, because of small sample sizes, the test for statistical significance must it self be carefully interpreted. And the fact that the NLS employment estimates are consistently higher than CPS measures lends some weight to the survey differences. Second, the largest inter-survey differences occur among the very young and those whose major activity is attending school. This may mean that the NLS mea sures slightly more marginal labor force activity than does the CPS. However, at the level of aggregation of this analysis, this is but a tentative conjecture. Third, while the self-response hypothesis of inter-sur vey variations cannot be rejected out of hand, explana tions for any real differences in the survey measures appear to be much more complicated. In particular, we must admit the possibility of differing perceptions be tween parents and their children about what constitutes “real” work and account for the interaction of these perceptions with the content and interpretation of labor force questions. Therefore, unless one is content with a “proxy” explanation, it is necessary to look beyond the identity of survey respondents for the reasons underly ing inter-survey differences. Fourth, the discrepancies between surveys do not appear to be of such substan tive importance that they warrant a major reassessment of the employment problems of youth, especially black youth. Any conclusion to the contrary would necessi tate a leap of faith from aggregate data to causal infer ence— almost certainly an unwarranted jump. And fi nally, there are differences between the surveys other than type of respondent, such as overall questionnaire design and length, which cannot be overlooked. The newest Table 5. The 1966-based NLS and CPS estimates of the labor force activity of men age 20 to 24 by family status Category NLS CPS Men who maintain families Labor force'participation r a te ............................. Employment-population r a tio ............................. Unemployment rate .......................................... 93.2 91.9 1.3 94.0 91.3 2.7 Other men Labor force participation r a te ............................. Employment-population r a tio ............................. Unemployment rate . . , ................................... 73.0 68.3 4.7 68.5 63.0 5.5 N ote : Although the NLS sample was weighted for age in order to facilitate comparisons with the CPS data, there is still a difference between the two sets of figures. Whereas both sets of data refer to the survey week, the NLS data refer to the fall of 1968, and the CPS data refer to March 1969. S ource : Richard Freeman and James Medoff, “ Why .Does the Rate of Youth Labor Force Activity Differ Across Surveys?" in The Youth Unemployment Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, forthcoming). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n ls Recently a new 5-year youth-specific longitudinal sur vey was undertaken. The 1979-based n l s is a sample study of about 12,700 youth (including a military sub sample), bom in calendar years 1957 through 1964. The sample design and data collection are conducted by the National Opinion Research, Center at the University of Chicago, and the questionnaire design and data analysis are the responsibility of the Center for Human Re source Research at Ohio State. This NLS sample repre sents a basic cross-section of the Nation’s youth, aug mented by independently drawn subsamples of black, Hispanic, and non-black, non-Hispanic poor youth. The information elicited ranges from current labor force status (the usual CPS labor force questions) to edu cational and work experience, earnings, family back11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity ground, aspirations and expectations, and so forth. As a result, the questionnaire is quite long (22 sections in all), and the current labor force status questions follow those concerning family background, schooling, knowl edge of and experience in the world of work, and oth ers. All interviews are conducted directly with the youth by personal visit. Thus, in many methodological respects, the newest NLS is similar to the 1966-based NLS. Preliminary data for the first year of the study have been released.17 But because analysis of the weighting procedures and estimates of standard errors are still be ing developed, the following discussion of inter-survey variations is necessarily qualitative and brief, and does not provide information about the statistical significance of any differences.18 The great majority of 1979-based interviews occurred between February and May 1979, with the modal month— March— accounting for about 44 percent of the contacts. Therefore, most of the tables presented here compare results of the full CPS for March with NLS data from interviews conducted between February and May. Employment. A quick perusal of the employment data in tables 6 and 7 suggests the following: First, employ ment-population ratios are always higher in the NLS than in the CPS. Second, variations between the surveys are slightly larger for men than for women. Third, in ter-survey differences narrow considerably by age for all groups. And finally, when youth are classified by major activity, the differences occur almost entirely among those whose major activity is attending school. In many respects, these comparisons are similar to those between the 1966-based NLS and the CPS. Howev er, there are also some notable differences. For example, among black men age 16 to 19, the magnitude of the in ter-survey employment variation is somewhat less in 1979 (table 6) than in 1967 (table 2), especially for those age 18 to 19 (12.7 percentage points in 1967 ver sus 6.5 points in 1979). For white men and all men, the magnitudes of the discrepancies are fairly similar be tween the 2 years. More perspective may be gleaned by comparing ta bles 4 and 7. Except for white women, the employment differences for the “major activity-school” group— the area in which the most pronounced inter-survey discrep ancies had existed— are considerably less in 1979. This apparent narrowing of the differences raises disconcert ing questions, in particular concerning the relative im portance of the self-response hypothesis, because there is no evidence that the probability of self-response in the CPS has increased over time for these groups of young people. More information than is currently avail able would be required to address this issue. 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 6. The 1979-based NLS and CPS employmentpopulation ratios and unemployment rates for youth age 16 to 21 by race, sex, and age, March 1979 Category Employmentpopulation ratio Unemployment rate NLS CPS NLS CPS Men 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 45.6 65.3 74.1 36.7 58.4 69.2 28.3 15.5 10.4 21.9 14.3 10.8 White men1 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 48.5 68.0 75.3 40.4 61.3 70.9 24.6 12.8 8.7 19.6 12.6 8.9 Black men2 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 27.4 47.4 62.8 16.5 40.9 58.2 53.8 34.6 23.4 43.5 27.0 23.2 Women 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 41.5 56.4 61.4 34.5 51.6 59.3 29.6 20.9 14.8 18.1 13.0 10.5 White women1 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 44.6 59.4 63.8 38.4 55.5 62.3 26.5 18.0 12.2 16.2 11.4 8.5 Black women2 16 to 17 y e a rs ........................................ 18 to 19 y e a rs ........................................ 20 to 21 y e a rs ........................................ 21.6 38.1 45.9 14.5 30.9 43.1 54.9 40.3 32.5 37.1 26.0 24.2 1The NLS includes Hispanics and other races in the white category. The CPS includes about 96 percent of Hispanics, but not other races, in the white category. 2The NLS excludes other races from the black category. The CPS Includes other races and about 4 percent of Hispanics in the black category. S ource : Michael Borus and others, “ Pathways to the Future: A Longitudinal Study of Young Americans,” Preliminary Report: Youth and the Labor M arket— 1979 (U.S. Depart ment of Labor, 1980), tables 2.2 and 2.6. Unemployment. The 1979-based NLS unemployment rates are higher— often considerably so— among young men and for all the female age groups than in the CPS. While the inter-survey differences for men age 18 to 21 are very small, NLS unemployment rates for those whose major activity is school tend to be much larger than CPS estimates. The rates for men whose major activity is not school are similar, while there are still some dispari ties for women. These results differ substantially from the 1966-based NLS-CPS comparisons, in which unemployment rates, particularly among men, tended to be little different. One appealing hypothesis for some of the 1979-based NLS differences is that CPS data refer to March, whereas the newest NLS includes information gathered between February and May. In May, a large number of youth begin looking for work, although the peak labor force activity does not occur until July. It might be thought, therefore, that this seasonal factor is responsible for some of the results. However, this is not the case; a rel atively small number of the 1979 NLS interviews were conducted in May, and respondents counted as unem ployed were not concentrated in this month.19 Why are unemployment rate differences between the 1966-based NLS and the CPS small and seldom significant, and the 1979 NLS-CPS differences very often quite large? Two sub stantive hypotheses for this apparent anomaly come to mind. First, many students might have been looking for summer or post-graduation jobs during the 1979 NLS in terview period (spring 1979). They would have met the CPS job-search criterion for being classified as unem ployed, but it is not clear whether they would have met the second criterion, current availability for work. The second hypothesis takes note of the fact that the 1966-based NLS comparisons with the CPS reflected the more favorable job markets of the late 1960’s; during that time it was easier to find a job, so that the relative ly larger NLS labor force was “allocated” more to em ployment than unemployment. But by 1979, secular developments had made it more difficult to find accept able employment; thus, the higher NLS labor force par ticipation was more concentrated in unemployment. Unfortunately, each of these hypotheses is difficult to test in the absence of very detailed information on the job search activity and other characteristics of unem ployed youth. And finally, there are also a few method ological differences between the two NLS surveys that could produce the observed results; for example, differ ent organizations were in charge of survey design and data collection, and interviewers may not have had comparable training. Table 7. The 1979-based NLS and CPS employmentpopulation ratios and unemployment rates for youth age 16 to 21 by race, sex, and major activity, March 1979 Category Employmentpopulation ratio Unemployment rate NLS CPS NLS CPS Men Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................. 38.2 80.8 29.9 79.2 28.0 12.3 20.9 12.3 White men' Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................. 40.7 83.2 32.9 81.7 23.7 10.5 18.5 10.6 Black men2 Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................ 22.5 64.6 13.8 63.4 56.6 26.1 42.8 24.1 Women Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................ 36.3 65.4 30.4 64.9 31.3 16.3 17.0 11.6 White women1 Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................. 38.9 68.1 33.5 68.7 27.7 14.0 15.8 9.5 Black women2 Major activity: S ch ool.............................................. O th e r................................................ 21.7 47.0 v 14.0 44.0 54.1 33.7 30.0 26.4 1See footnote 1, table 6. 2 See footnote 2, table 6. S ource : Michael Borus and others, “ Pathways to the Future: A Longitudinal Study of Young Americans,” Preliminary Report: Youth and the Labor M arket— 1979 (U.S. Depart ment of Labor, 1980), table 2.7. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis CPS panels compared. As previously noted, NLS results are probably most appropriately compared with firstmonth-in-sample CPS data to minimize problems of re spondent conditioning and other factors contributing to “rotation group bias.” Table 8 presents some limited data for men and women age 16 to 19. As expected, the CPS employment-population ratios for men are higher in the first rotation group and 1979 NLS-CPS discrepancies are considerably smaller than when comparisons are made with the full CPS. Among women, however, the first-month-in-sample employment comparisons result in an increase in the inter-survey variations. Unemploy ment rate differences tend to narrow substantially, par ticularly for women, when comparisons are made with the first rotation panel. By no means does this re finement entirely account for the differences between survey measures, but it is clear that rotation group bias cannot be ignored when comparing data across surveys. Participation questions may affect data. A slight portion of the 1979 NLS-CPS unemployment rate discrepancies may also result from an important inter-survey differ ence in the labor force questions. The 1979-based NLS asked the complete battery of labor force questions, in cluding those intended to identify the reasons for per sons’ nonparticipation in the labor force. The CPS first rotation panel is not asked these questions; rather the probing not-in-the-labor-force questions are posed only to the fourth and eighth panels. Evidence from the CPS indicates that it makes quite a bit of difference whether the questions about current de sire for work are asked in the first CPS interview or in subsequent months.20 For example, between January 1967 and December 1969, the not-in-the-labor-force questions were posed to the first and fifth month panels; the “first month bias” during this time was substantial ly higher than before or subsequently, especially for re ported unemployment and part-time employment among youth. Indeed, during the 1967-69 period, there was an average 20-percent drop between the firstmonth-to-entire-sample ratio and the corresponding ra tio for the second month. Since January 1970, the notin-the-labor-force questions have been asked only of the fourth and eighth rotation groups. Census Bureau research strongly supports the hy pothesis that inclusion of these questions has a large ef fect on reported unemployment by rotation group. Fol lowing the January 1970 switch, the incidence of unemployment for the first and fifth month in sample fell relative to the other “months in sample,” and that for the fourth and eighth months increased. That is, it was found that persons in the latter panels were being reported as unemployed who would have been classified as not in the labor force had they not been asked about current desire for a job and future job-search activity. 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity Two explanations for this phenomenon have been advanced. First, the probing nature of the not-in-the-labor-force questions may elicit information that conflicts with or is not obtained from the basic CPS questions, and the enumerators consequently change the original responses. And second, CPS household respondents may be conditioned by the additional questions and provide information for other family members differently than if the not-in-the-labor-force questions had not been asked. Thus, the 1979 NLS battery of labor force questions is somewhat different from that faced by the CPS firstmonth group. It is unclear what effect these inter-survey design variations might have on NLS estimates, especial ly because that survey should not reflect any respondent conditioning. However, by making certain very rough assumptions, we may attempt to estimate their impact on the CPS. The tabulation below shows the observed 1979 annu al average unemployment rate for the first rotation group, and a recalculated 1979 unemployment rate which is based on the 1968 “rotation group index.” (A rotation group index is simply the value for one rota tion group divided by the average value for all rotation groups and multiplied by 100. A rotation group labor force index of 110.0 means that a group’s labor force was 10 percent greater than the average.) If it is as sumed that any differences between the 1968 and 1979 rotation group indexes are due solely to the procedural change for not-in-the-labor-force questions, the follow ing is an estimate of what the 1979 CPS unemployment rate would have been had the change not been imple mented: Average unemployment rate during 1979 for first-month CPS panel Adjusted by 1968 Reported rotation group indexes Men: 16 to 17 years 18 to 19 years 19.6 14.3 21.0 15.7 Women: 16 to 17 y e a rs .......... 18 to 19 y e a rs .......... 23.3 16.2 24.3 17.2 In each case the unemployment rate calculated using the 1968 indexes is higher by at least 1 percentage point. Although this revision procedure is admittedly crude and intended only for illustration, it does show that the possibility of a slight bias in the 1979-based NLS data because of the inclusion of the not-in-the-labor-force questions cannot be ruled out. In summary, there are some similarities between the 1979 NLS-CPS comparisons and the disparities previously noted between the 1966-based NLS and CPS surveys, but there also appears to have been a shift in the magnitude 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 8. Employment-population ratios and unemployment rates for youth age 16 to 19 by sex and age: a comparison of the 1979-based NLS and the full CPS with the CPS first-month panel and the weighted average of the CPS first-month panel Employment-population ratio Category Unemployment rate Weighted CPS average firstof CPS NLS month first-month panel panel Weighted CPS average firstof CPS month first-month panel panel NLS Full CPS Men 16 to 17 years . . . 18 to 19 years . . . 45.6 65.3 36.7 58.4 39.3 59.6 41.8 61.6 28.3 15.5 21.9 14.3 23.4 17.0 21.2 15.0 Women 16 to 17 years . . . 18 to 19 years . . . 41.5 56.4 34.5 51.6 32.0 47.0 33.7 50.5 29.6 20.9 18.1 13.0 22.9 18.5 22.8 15.9 Full CPS N ote : The NLS data are based on interviews conducted between February and May 1979. About one-half of the interviews took place in March. Full CPS and CPS first-month panel data relate to March. The weighted average of the CPS first-month panel relates to the period February through May for the first-month-in-sample; the weights attached to each month are based on the proportion of NLS interviews conducted in each month. of the differences. In particular there was a slight reduc tion in employment differences and a large increase in unemployment differences between the two studies for which no empirically verified explanation currently ex ists. In the future, rigorous examination of the evidence suggested above for the unemployment differences, rota tion group bias problems, and interactions of questions on respondents may reveal that the inter-survey differ ences are slightly narrower than previously thought. An overview of the findings A number of findings from this comparative analysis merit emphasis. First, all three longitudinal surveys re veal higher estimates of labor force participation ratios and employment-population ratios than does the CPS. Second, with the important exception of the newest NLS, unemployment rates are little different between studies. Third, raw inter-survey differences are, in many in stances, not statistically significant. (However, it should be kept in mind that none of the other surveys was con structed to test CPS youth labor force measures and that because of the relatively small sample sizes large dis crepancies must exist between survey measures for sta tistical significance to be detected.) Fourth, comparisons of the full CPS with other one-time or yearly surveys ig nore the problem of rotation group bias, a factor which certainly accounts for some of the inter-survey differ ences. Fifth, the discrepancies, especially between the CPS and the 1966 and 1979 NLS data, appear to be con centrated among young teenagers and those whose ma jor activity is attending school, perhaps because of the marginal nature of their labor force activity. Again, however, the evidence for this proposition is only sug gestive. Sixth, the focus on self versus proxy response as the cause of inter-survey variations probably obscures a number of other important influences that may be pro- ducing the differences. Finally, there are important methodological varia tions between the surveys that almost certainly account for some of the discrepancies. The class of 1972 survey, for example, was undoubtedly subject to serious recall bias, and the differences between the CPS and the 1972-based study narrowed when the length of recall was subsequently reduced. Other critical differences among the surveys include questionnaire design, length, and content. The interaction of these factors with re spondents’ memory and desire to be accommodative may simply produce an unwanted response bias rather than “better” data, if analysis of results from other sur veys is a reliable guide. And the fact that longitudinal surveys are different in purpose from the CPS probably contributes to even more subtle variations in the result ing data. In this context, it is important to reiterate the distinc tion between the accuracy of a survey and the reconcili ation of inter-survey differences. None of the surveys analyzed in this article has any a priori claim to accura cy. And, while we have resolved some aspects of the in ter-study discrepancies on methodological and other grounds, unexplained differences remain. □ FOOTNOTES A c k n o w l e d g m e n t : The author thanks the following persons for many helpful comments: Gregory Russell and Gary Shapiro of the Census Bureau; Wesley Mellow of the Office of Research and Evalua tion, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John Bregger and Deborah Klein of the Office of Current Employment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statis tics; Robert Lerman, formerly of the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy Evaluation and Research, U.S. Department of Labor; and Michael Borus of the Center for Human Resource Research, Ohio State University. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own, and do not necessarily represent those of any of the persons named above. 1Michael Borus and others, “Counting Youth: A Comparison of Youth Labor Force Statistics in the Current Population Survey and the National Longitudinal Surveys,” in Conference Report on Youth Unemployment: Its Measurement and Meaning (U.S. Department of Labor, 1978), pp. 15-34; Michael Borus and others in “Pathways to the Future: A Longitudinal Study of Young Americans,” Preliminary Report: Youth and the Labor M arket-1979 (U.S. Department of Labor, 1980); Richard Freeman and James Medoff, “Why Does the Rate of Youth Labor Force Activity Differ Across Surveys?” and Robert H. Myer and David A. Wise, “High School Preparation and Early Labor Market Experience,” in The Youth Unemployment Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, forthcoming). 2The basic analysis of labor market data from the survey is found in Robert H. Myer and David A. Wise, “High School Preparation.” A complete discussion of the class of 1972 survey is contained in Jay Levensohn and others, National Longitudinal Study Base Year, First, Second, and Third Follow-up Data File Users Manual, Vol. 1 (Wash ington, National Center for Education Statistics, 1978). 3See Christina O. Gibson and others, “Interaction of Survey Ques tions as It Relates to Interviewer-Respondent Bias,” Proceedings o f the Survey Research M ethods Section, American Statistical Association, 1978, pp. 251-56. 4 See Louis E. Williams, “Methods Test Phase III: First Report on the Accuracy of Retrospective Interviewing and Effects of Nonself Response on Labor Force Status,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, June 24, 1969, p. 4; Charles Jones and Robert Aquilino, “Methods Test Phase III: Second Report . . . ,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Jan. 29, 1970? and Robert Aquilino, “Methods Test Phase III: Third Re port . . . ,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Apr. 2, 1979. 5Information to calculate standard errors for the CPS data is con tained in Em ploym ent o f High School Graduates and Dropouts, October 1972, Special Labor Force Report 155 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1973), table 2; Em ploym ent o f High School Graduates and Dropouts, October 1973, Special Labor Force Report 168 (Bureau of Labor Sta tistics, 1974), table 2; and Students, Graduates, and Dropouts in the Labor Market, October 1974, Special Labor Force Report 180 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1975), table 2. Standard errors for the class of 1972 survey were calculated as follows: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis where cr equals the approximate standard error, P equals the unem ployment rate or employment-population ratio, N equals the sample size, and 1.16 is the estimated design effect resulting from decrease in the efficiency of the 1972-based survey due to the clustering of the sample. The sample size and labor force information is from Robert H. Myer and David A. Wise, “High School Preparation.” The hypothesis that the survey differences are statistically signifi cant is tested according to the following formula: DIFF X : , VV + ^ 2 where DIFF equals the difference between the survey measures, and cr is the approximate standard error. In this study, inter-survey differ ences are considered statistically significant if X is greater than or equal to 2, which roughly represents the 95-percent confidence inter val. 6 In the CPS, about 20 percent of all the men and 55 percent of all the women are self-respondents. Information on working men and young people in school is largely derived from proxy respondents. See Camilla Brooks and Barbara Bailar, “An Error Profile: Employment as Measured by the Current Population Survey,” report prepared for the Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology, Subcommittee on Nonsampling Errors, 1978. 7Freeman and Medoff, “Why Does,” p. 18. 8However, results of a recent study indicate that attrition from the 1966-based NLS sample may not be of substantial importance. See Michael Borus and others, “Counting Youth,” pp. 18-19. 9It is difficult to assess any trends in the survey differences, save perhaps among youth age 20 to 24, where, it should be noted, racial differences in unemployment rates do not seem to differ across sur veys. 10Information to calculate standard errors is contained in “CPS Variances-New Standard Errors for Monthly Estimates of Levels, Per centages and Participation Rates for the CPS Labor Force Data for the 461 Area Design” (Bureau of the Census, 1977); and Career Thresholds, Volume 3, Manpower Research Monograph 16, (U.S. De partment of Labor, 1971), pp. 129-40. The formula to test the hypothesis that the differences are statistically significant is: DIFF where DIFF equals the differences between the surveys, and cr is the approximate standard error. (See footnote 5 for the interpretation of X.) The base used to calculate the standard error in both surveys is the CPS estimate of the civilian noninstitutional population. " See Brooks and Bailar, “An Error Profile,” pp. 17-18. 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Youth Labor Force Activity 12 Note that we are concerned with current activity. Freeman and Medoff note in “Why Does” that males in the NLS sample report working more weeks over the past year than is reported for them by their mothers. The problems with retrospective questions are well known, and the authors’ regression results so inconclusive that this is a very poor test of the objective knowledge of respondents. 13 See Brooks and Bailar, “An Error Profile,” pp. 61-65; The Cur rent Population Survey: Design and Methodology, Technical Paper 40 (Bureau of the Census, 1978), pp. 82-85; and W. H. Williams and C. L. Mallows, “Systematic Biases in Panel Surveys Due to Differen tial Nonresponse,” Journal o f the American Statistical Association, Sep tember 1970, pp. 1338-49. 14For instance, in the May 1978 CPS the first rotation group is 21.7 percent black and has a mean age of 35.66 years. For the eighth rota tion group the comparable figures are 20.4 percent and 36.72 years. 15 Freeman and Medoff, “Why Does,” p. 16. 16Brooks and Bailar, “An Error Profile,” p. 17. 17 See Boras, “Pathways to the Future.” This report presents a wealth of information about youth; included is an appendix that out lines the sample design and weighting procedures. 18 Because the newest NLS oversampled young blacks and youth from low income families, the employment and unemployment esti mates may be more sensitive to the weighting procedure than is the CPS, which is self-weighting. For example, as a result of this oversampling, there is a group of youth with a higher probability of not being in school and a higher probability of being unemployed. Therefore, if the weights are not entirely appropriate, it could result in a higher estimate of unemployment and labor force participation. Un der the same scenario, estimates of employment would be lower. Until this issue is resolved, some care must be used in interpreting the sig nificance of the survey differences. '’ Gilbert Nestel of the Center for Human Resource Research at Ohio State University was kind enough to provide us with this infor mation. 20 Evidence for the information in this paragraph can be found in: Louis E. Williams, “Effect of Item 24 on Rotation Group Bias,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Aug. 17, 1970; Louis E. Williams, “The Effect of Item 24 on Rotation Group Bias for Unemployment in the CPS,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Apr. 7, 1972; and Morton Boisen, “Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Request for Additional Analysis on the Effect of Item 24 on the Level of the Composite and Noncomposite Estimate in CPS,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, June 18, 1975. APPENDIX: Other measures of youth labor force activity National crime survey The NCS covers about 72,000 households which are visited twice a year for 3 years, with new units replac ing expired ones at the end of the period. About 10,000 households are interviewed by Census Bureau enumera tors each month. The basic methodological differences between the NCS and CPS are that the NCS is 90 to 95 percent self-response, and most NCS interviews are per sonal visits rather than telephone contacts. Although the NCS is chiefly a crime survey and does not contain a complete battery of labor force questions, certain questions are similar enough to those in the CPS to facilitate a test of the self-response hypothesis. More over, NCS labor force questions are asked before eliciting information about crime victimization, eliminating one previously cited source of response bias. To minimize another methodological difference be tween NCS and CPS, table A - l compares 1977 annual average employment-population ratios and unemploy ment rates only for the first-month-in-sample respon dents. The results, though not conclusive, raise additional questions concerning the relative importance of self-re sponse in the measurement of youth labor force activity. The CPS estimates of employment-population ratios tend to be slightly larger than those from the NCS, al though the differences are usually not statistically signif icant. In any case, the extent of the inter-survey employment differences is less than when similar com parisons are made between the CPS and the youth-specif ic surveys. Interestingly, employment-population ratios from the CPS are higher than NCS measures for men 16 to 19, but lower for those age 20 to 24. This pattern is the exact reverse of the NLS-CPS relationship in which the survey differences were found to narrow by age. Also, subject to the analytical limitations imposed by 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relatively small samples, variations in the employmentpopulation ratios are statistically significant in only 4 out of 12 observations, and in one-half of those, the CPS yielded the higher ratio. Finally, the CPS-measured un employment rate is always greater than that from the NCS. Even considering the different emphasis of each sur vey and the abridged version of the NCS labor force questions, one cannot simply dismiss the results of this test of the self-response hypothesis— findings which seem to contradict observations from the NLS-CPS com parisons. If nothing else, the NCS-CPS comparisons Table A-1. Employment-population ratios and unemployment rates for youth age 16 to 24 by sex: a comparison of the National Crime Survey 1977 average for incoming respondents and the 1977 average CPS first-month panels, weighted to population estimates Employment-population ratio Category 16 to 18 to 20 to 22 to Total 17 y e a rs ............. 19 y e a rs ............. 21 y e a rs ............. 24 y e a rs ............. Unemployment rate NCS firstmonth panel CPS firstmonth panel Difference NCS firstmonth panel CPS firstmonth panel Difference 38.9 56.5 66.6 68.9 40.5 57.8 63.8 71.1 1.6 1.3 1 -2.8 12.2 18.4 13.7 10.0 8.1 21.7 17.5 13.8 11.1 13.3 13.8 13.8 '3.0 42.6 61.6 75.1 80.5 44.7 63.2 69.9 80.6 2.1 2.1 1 -5 .2 .1 18.3 12.3 9.4 7.4 20.4 16.3 13.6 10.5 2.1 14.0 14.2 13.1 35.1 52.2 58.8 58.4 36.2 52.6 58.1 62.2 1.1 .4 -.7 '3.8 18.5 15.2 10.6 8.8 23.2 18.9 14.1 11.9 14.7 ’ 3.7 '3.5 ’ 3.1 Men 16 to 18 to 20 to 22 to 17 y e a rs ............. 19 y e a rs ............. 21 y e a rs ............. 24 y e a rs ............. Women 16 to 18 to 20 to 22 to 17 19 21 24 y e a rs ............. y e a rs ............. y e a rs ............. y e a rs ............. 1NCS-CPS difference is statistically significant at the 95-percent confidence level. should warn analysts against making hasty judgements about the source— and possible significance— of differ ences between any two surveys. The Census Bureau has also performed some compar isons of NCS labor force estimates with those from the CPS. Results of these studies may be found in Martin Boisen, “Comparison of NCS and CPS Labor Force Data,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Nov. 14, 1975; John Bushery, “Update of Comparisons of NCS and CPS Labor Force Data— Addendum 1,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, Mar. 14, 1978; and Henry Woltman and John Bushery, “NCS Labor Force Reinterview Study,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, June 8, 1978. Methods development survey The MDS is a research project designed to test the po tential impact of alternative data collection methods and concepts on the CPS. Phase I of the study compared alternative data collection procedures, including the use of self versus proxy response. MDS data should be used carefully, because the sample size for youth is particu larly small and because there are some methodological interactions— for example, between type of respondent, contact (telephone or personal interview), and interview er (same or different enumerator each month)— that are not controlled. Also, the MDS is not a national proba bility sample, but rather, during Phase I, was limited to four areas of the country. However, there is no evidence that these areas are atypical in terms of self versus household response. Results from Phase I were used to calculate employ ment-population ratios for those age 16 to 21 by type of respondent. (See table A -2 .) “Household respondent” refers to the usual responsible person in the CPS, and “self-response” to the individual reports of each eligible household member. (For more detail, see Anthony Ro man, “MDS Phase I Results for the 16-21 Age Group,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, May 16, 1980; and Gary Shapiro, “Effect of Survey Methodology on Teen-Age Employment to Population Ratios,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, June 1, 1980.) MDS-CPS comparisons do not provide robust support for the hypothesis that proxy response is a major cause of differences in the measurement of youth employment between surveys. Even among those age 16 to 17— where previous comparisons suggested the most pro nounced differences— the only clearcut support for the hypothesis is found among men. Interestingly, it is those age 20 to 21 who provide the best evidence for the effect of self-response, but it is precisely these older youth for which CPS-other survey differences have been noticeably smaller. One possible reason for this finding is that the MDS did not personally contact unmarried college students who were living away from home but were considered to be part of their parents’ households. In short, the comparisons again suggest that other rea sons discussed throughout the preceding article may be much more important components of inter-survey varia tion than self versus proxy response. In fact, self-re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table A-2. MDS employment-population ratios by type of respondent, sex, age, and race, cumulative figures from June 1978 to September 1979 Estimated Self respondent standard error of the difference Category Household respondent Total 16 to 21 y e a rs ............................. 16 to 19 years ........................ 16 to 17 years .................... 18 to 19 years .................... 20 to 21 years ........................ 55.7 52.2 40.5 63.9 63.9 54.5 48.5 39.8 58.3 69.1 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.6 Men 16 to 21 y e a rs ............................. 16 to 19 years ........................ 16 to 17 years .................... 18 to 19 years .................... 20 to 21 years ........................ 57.9 54.0 40.0 69.3 68.5 61.7 54.0 46.5 63.1 80.5 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 Women 16 to 21 y e a rs ............................. 16 to 19 years ........................ 16 to 17 years .................... 18 to 19 years .................... 20 to 21 years ........................ 53.7 50.4 41.1 58.9 60.5 47.7 43.4 33.0 54.1 58.3 ' 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 White 16 to 21 y e a rs ............................. 16 to 19 years ........................ 16 to 17 years .................... 18 to 19 years .................... 20 to 21 years ........................ 59.5 55.7 42.8 68.0 68.2 59.1 53.0 46.2 59.9 74.6 1.6 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.6 Black and other 16 to 21 y e a rs ............................. 16 to 19 years ........................ 16 to 17 years .................... 18 to 19 years .................... 20 to 21 years ........................ 34.9 33.3 29.0 38.5 39.0 35.9 29.0 17.8 48.6 49.8 3.3 3.9 4.6 6.4 6.2 S ource : Anthony Roman, “ MDS Phase 1 Results for the 16-21 Age Group,” Memo, Bureau of the Census, May 16,1980. sponse in the MDS results in a smaller estimate of em ployment-population ratios, except for men age 16 to 17 and minorities age 18 to 19, where self-response yields a moderately higher figure. In addition to the information previously analyzed, youth-specific data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Income and Education (sie) were also compared with CPS measures. Results of this comparison will not be discussed here in detail, but it was found that CPS esti mates of youth labor force activity were little different from those in the SIE. (A complete description of the SIE may be found in Household Money Income in 1975 by Housing Tenure and Residence for the United States, Regions, Divisions, and States, Current Population Re ports, Series P -60, No. 108 (Bureau of the Census, 1977)). CPS data on the effect of rotation group bias on youth labor force estimates were also examined. The results of this study showed that youth are more likely to be classified as employed or unemployed the first month they are in the sample than in later months. It was also found that youth exhibit rotation group patterns that are not identical to those for adults. A more complete discussion of the results of the SIECPS comparisons and the investigation of youth rotation group bias is available from the author upon request. 17 The job safety law of 1970: its passage was perilous Just over a decade ago Congress enacted the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970 to help protect the Nation ’s workers on the job, following a 3-year legislative struggle JUDSON M A C LA U R Y On December 29, 1970, President Richard Nixon signed into law the Williams-Steiger Occupational Safety and Health Act, which gave the Federal Government the authority to set and enforce safety and health standards for most of the country’s workers.1This act was the re sult of a hard-fought legislative battle which began in 1968 when President Lyndon Johnson unsuccessfully sought a similar measure. However, the roots of govern ment regulation of workplace hazards date back to the late 19th century. State factory laws In the factories that sprang up after the Civil War, chemicals, dusts, dangerous machines, and a confusing jumble of belts, pulleys, and gears confronted inexperi enced, often very young workers. The reports of State labor bureaus in the 1870’s and 1880’s were full of trag edies that too often struck the unwary or the unlucky. The Massachusetts report of 1872 described some par ticularly grisly accidents. These tragedies and the indus trial accident statistics that State labor bureaus collected, spurred social reformers and the budding la bor movement to call for State factory safety and health laws. In 1870, the Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics of Labor urged legislation to deal with “the peril to health from lack of ventilation.” In 1877, Massachusetts passed the Nation’s first factory inspection law. It reJudson MacLaury is a historian in the U.S. Department of Labor. 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis quired guarding of belts, shafts, and gears, protection on elevators, and adequate fire exits.2 Its passage prompted a flurry of State factory acts. By 1890, nine States provided for factory inspectors, 13 required ma chine guarding, and 21 made limited provision for health hazards. The labyrinth of State job safety and health legisla tion covered a wide range of workplace hazards but was badly flawed. There were too many holes in the piece meal system and numerous hazards were left uncon trolled. The laws had to be amended often to cover new hazards. Many legislatures failed to provide adequate funds for enforcement. Inspectors, who were often polit ical appointees, were not always given the legal right to enter workplaces. States with strong safety and health laws tended to lose industry to those with less stringent ones, which made States competitive and limited their legislative efforts. The Progressive Era and the growth of mass circula tion newspapers and national magazines helped forge a national movement for workers’ safety and health. In 1907, 362 coal miners were killed at Monongah, W. Va., in the worst U.S. mine disaster. This widely publi cized tragedy shocked the Nation and led to the cre ation in 1910 of the U.S. Bureau of Mines to promote mine safety. That same year William B. Hard, a muckraking jour nalist, published an article in Everybody's Magazine ti tled, “Making Steel and Killing Men,” based on his firsthand investigations of a Chicago mill.3 Hard estimated that every year, out of a work force of 10,000 workers, 1,200 were killed or seriously injured. He urged the steel industry to use its technical knowledge to reduce this casualty rate. U.S. Steel, spurred by mounting accident tolls, had already begun to collect accident statistics. Safety programs in subsidiaries dated back to the 1890’s. In 1908, U.S. Steel formed a safety committee with instructions from the company presi dent, Judge Elbert Gary, to cut the accident rate as much as possible. A highly successful “safety first” movement developed from this which spilled over to other industries and led to the creation of the National Safety Council in 1915.4 The “Pittsburgh Survey,” a detailed study of living and working conditions in Allegheny County, Pa., done in 1907-08, had a special impact on job safety and health.5 One of the major topics of the investigation, which was sponsored by the Russell Sage Foundation, was industrial accidents. The survey found that the in jured workers and the survivors of those killed on the job bore the economic brunt of accidents, even though most were the employers’ fault. The authors of the sur vey agreed that, for reasons of social equity, employers should bear a substantial share of the economic burden, giving them more incentive to eliminate the causes. Workers’ compensation started Years before the Pittsburgh Survey, the idea of com pensating injured workers from an insurance fund to which employers would contribute had gained a foot hold in this country, though it was not at first promot ed as a preventive measure. Prince Otto von Bismarck had initiated the first workers’ compensation program in Germany in 1884, and the idea soon spread through out Europe. In the United States, a few States tried to establish early compensation systems. Organized labor successfully opposed the concept, precisely because it was intended as a palliative, not a preventive measure. In 1908, Congress passed, with President Theodore Roosevelt’s support, a limited workers’ compensation law for Federal employees. Encouraged by this example, several States appointed study commissions. However, until the Pittsburgh Survey, compensation was treated mainly as a humanitarian measure. The survey’s call for an economic incentive to encourage accident prevention struck a responsive chord. It quickly became a key part of the rationale for workers’ compensation. This seemed to tip the scales. Both labor and business rallied in support.6 In 1911, Wisconsin became the first State to successfully estab lish a workers’ compensation program. Within 1 year it was joined by nine other States and by 1921 most States had followed suit. Ironically, it was as a preventive measure that work https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ers’ compensation accomplished the least. The general level of this type of insurance premium was already so low that there was no real incentive for a company to invest heavily in safety improvements to be eligible for the slightly lower rates offered firms with good safety records. Very few States included compensation for dis ease, although much was already known about occupa tional illness. Still, insurance company safety experts helped improve their clients’ safety programs and the establishment of compensation gave the safety move ment a moral boost.7 An idea that developed alongside of workers’ com pensation probably produced more significant long-run results. If the States would create industrial commis sions with authority to establish specific safety and health regulations, it would not be necessary to go back to the legislatures and amend the factory laws in order to cover new hazards or change requirements. A work ers’ compensation advocate, John R. Commons of the University of Wisconsin, found this system in use in Europe and urged its adoption in the United States. Wisconsin, in another pioneering move, created the first permanent State industrial commission which developed and enforced safety and health regulations, after hearing comments from labor, management, and others.8 This idea was widely accepted and became a guide for future State and Federal regulation of occupational safety and health. Early Federal action The Federal Government was relatively inactive, though not dormant, on safety and health until the era of workers’ compensation. In 1790, the First Congress passed an ineffective merchant seamen’s act which gave the crew of a ship at sea the right to order the vessel into the nearest port if a majority of the seamen plus the first mate believed it was unseaworthy.9 In 1887, Congress created the Interstate Commerce Commission partly because of the large numbers of railroad workers killed or injured in train wrecks. In 1893, at the urging of the commission and the railroad unions, Congress passed the “coupler bill” which banned the notoriously dangerous link-and-pin method of coupling cars. Industrial disease studied. After the turn of the century, the Federal Government quietly began investigation into industrial diseases. In 1903, the U.S. Bureau of La bor began publishing graphically detailed studies of death and disease in the dusty trades, as well as other safety and health topics. In 1910, the Bureau published a study by a labor law advocate, John B. Andrews, on the horrors of phosphorus necrosis (“phossy jaw”), a disfiguring and sometimes fatal disease of the jawbone suffered by workers in the white phosphorus match in dustry.10 This shocking study jolted the Nation to de19 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Job Safety Law of 1970 mand action. In 1912, Congress passed the Esch Act, which placed a prohibitive tax on white phosphorus matches. The Diamond Match Co. agreed to release its patented substitute for general use. By a lucky stroke, U.S. Commissioner of Labor Charles Neill met Dr. Alice Hamilton (now considered the founder of industrial medicine in America) at a 1910 European conference on occupational accidents and diseases. Hamilton, at the time just beginning her career, was in the midst of pioneering investigations into the lead trades as director of the Illinois Occupa tional Disease Commission. Neill invited her to work as a special investigator for the Bureau of Labor. She ac cepted and until 1921 traveled around the country visit ing lead smelters, storage battery plants, and other hazardous workplaces. In 1911, she published a study of the white lead industry that was the first of a series of Bureau of Labor reports known as the “Federal sur vey.” Hamilton had a free hand but lacked authority to enter plants other than by moral suasion. She found many examples of foul conditions and gross neglect and some “remarkable instances of wise and humane em ployers.”11 Department of Labor formed. In 1913, Congress created the Department of Labor and one of its main purposes was “to improve working conditions.” A Senate resolu tion specifically called on the newly appointed Secretary of Labor, William B. Wilson, to report on industrial diseases and accidents.12 Wilson, an ex-coal miner and mine union official, needed no prodding. A “miner” poet, Wilson described the horror of a mine disaster in this excerpt from “The Explosion,” originally written in 1903: Stalwart men were but as feathers Driven with a cyclone’s fire. Fast their flesh and sinews shriveled,13 Scorched and roasted with the fire. Under Wilson, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (formerly the U.S. Bureau of Labor) started compiling regular ac cident statistics in the iron and steel industry and grad ually included other industries. Wilson sought to establish the principle that, instead of feeding men “into the maw of unhealthy occupations . . . the thing to do is to make the unhealthy occupations healthy.”14 Working Conditions Service created. The entry of the United States into World War I precipitated a crisis in health and safety and conditions in the hard-pressed war production industries. To meet this challenge, Con gress initiated the Working Conditions Service. The ser vice inspected war production sites, advised companies on reducing hazards, and helped States develop and en force safety and health standards. When the war ended, 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the service was allowed to expire, but the Labor De partment ordered its records saved for the time “when public and legislative opinion again shall have become focused upon the necessity for a constructive organiza tion of this character.”15 Labor standards Frances Perkins appointed. In 1933, President Franklin D. Roosevelt selected Frances Perkins as Secretary of Labor and first woman Cabinet member. She brought to the Labor Department long experience in occupa tional safety and health with the State of New York. To help assure that workplaces would be “as safe as sci ence and law can make them,” Perkins created a Bureau of Labor Standards in 1934 as a rallying point for those interested in job safety and health.16 This was the first permanent Federal agency established primarily to pro mote safety and health for the entire work force. The Bureau helped State governments improve their admin istration of job safety and health laws and raise the lev el of their protective legislation. Congress enacted three laws as part of Roosevelt’s New Deal which augmented the Federal Government’s role in protecting people on the job. The Social Security Act of 1935 allowed the U.S. Public Health Service to fund industrial health programs run by State health de partments. This made the Public Health Service, which had begun doing industrial health studies in 1914, the national leader in this field. The Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938, which set a minimum wage and banned exploitative child labor, gave the Labor Department the power to bar workers under age 18 from dangerous oc cupations. The Walsh-Healey Public Contracts Act of 1936 allowed the department to ban contract work done under hazardous conditions. Maritime rules. By the late 1950’s, the Federal-State partnership which Frances Perkins had cultivated was no longer adequate to deal with growing threats to workers’ safety and health, so gradually the Federal Government took a more prominent role. In 1958, Con gress passed a seemingly minor amendment to the Longshoremen’s and Harbor Workers’ Compensation Act. It gave the Labor Department authority to set safety and health standards for the very small work force covered under this law. In addition to protecting workers in one of the Nation’s most hazardous indus tries, the amendment closed “the last remaining ‘no man’s land’ ” in safety enforcement. The Secretary of Labor was authorized to seek penalties against willful violators, but not against those who only carelessly broke the rules. After holding public hearings, the de partment began enforcing standards in 1960. Compli ance was good, and the high accident rates declined sharply.17 In December 1960, shortly after the congressionally ordered maritime rules became effective, the department issued on its own a set of mandatory safety and health standards under the Walsh-Healey Act. The department had previously issued most of these standards in a “Green Book” of informal guidelines to aid Federal and State inspectors. States had been encouraged to inspect Federal contractors and enforce their own rules. Now they were barred from applying their standards and had to enforce the Federal rules instead. For the first time, the Federal occupational safety and health requirements were applied to the whole range of industry.18 The new rules were not popular. Because there had been no hearings or prior announcement, labor and in dustry were caught by surprise and miffed that they had not been consulted. Business protested strongly to the Labor Department against making the rules mandatory. The National Safety Council deplored this “monumen tal set of rigid regulations.”19 The department took the criticisms to heart, and in October 1963 it announced proposed revisions, with hearings held in March 1964. Business opposition had been building up for 3 years and reached a peak at the hearings.20 They ran for 2 weeks, and the transcript filled 1,347 typed pages. More than 100 witnesses appeared, mostly from industry. Business felt that the new rules were not only illegal, but also technically deficient and would inhibit innova tion. By substituting Federal for State regulations, the Labor Department generally undermined State safety programs, it was argued. Business also felt that the new policy weakened its own long-established pattern of vol untary safety efforts. Coordination of programs. The powerful wave of criti cism that climaxed at the 1964 hearings prodded the Department of Labor into a serious examination of all its safety programs in order to develop a more coordi nated safety and health policy. A study by an outside consultant found in the department a fragmented collec tion of safety programs and laws. It recommended con solidation of all these safety programs under a single agency, which was done somewhat in 1966.21 A movement to protect the natural environment from the ravages of mankind and technology began growing while the Labor Department was seeking to improve and expand its protection of workers’ safety and health. Large-scale Federal air and water pollution control pro grams were developed, helping to increase awareness and concern about the occupational environment. Spurred by this movement, in 1965 the Public Health Service produced a report, “Protecting the Health of Eighty Million Americans,” which outlined some of the recently found technological dangers. It noted that a new chemical entered the workplace every 20 minutes, that evidence now showed a strong link between cancer https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and the workplace, and that old problems were far from being eliminated. The report called for a major national occupational health effort centered in the Public Health Service. The A FL-C IO urged President Lyndon Johnson to support the report’s recommendations. On May 23, 1966, Johnson told a meeting of labor reporters that “the time has . . . come to do something about the ef fects of a workingman’s job on his health.” The Depart ments of Labor and Health, Education and Welfare promptly set about to develop legislation for such a program. A joint task force was then to combine both departments’ ideas and submit a proposal to the Presi dent. However, Labor and HEW could not agree on which department would control a national program and by late 1966 the task force was deadlocked.22 Mining tragedy breaks deadlock. In 1967, it was re vealed that almost a hundred uranium miners, an ab normally high number, had died of lung cancer since the 1940’s. Up to a thousand more such deaths were expected. In 1947, when large-scale uranium mining was getting underway, the Atomic Energy Commission dis covered that radiation levels in these mines were dan gerously high. The Commission, in cooperation with the Public Health Service, began a long-term health study of the miners. A number of Federal agencies had limit ed jurisdiction over uranium mines, but none had clear responsibility for them, and there was very little en forcement. The lack of action took on tragic overtones with the revelations of 1967, and public attention focused on the Federal Radiation Council. Created in 1959 to advise the President on protective measures to take against all types of radiation hazards, the council was composed of representatives from concerned agencies. In 1967, it had just completed a study of the uranium mines and was expected to recommend a standard shortly. However, when the council met on May 4, 1967, it became deadlocked between a standard that the Atomic Energy Commission recommended and a tougher one preferred by the Labor Department.23 The next day, Secretary of Labor Willard Wirtz, im patient with inaction, announced a bold step. Pre viously, Wirtz had been reluctant to act because he felt that uranium mining was not properly a Department of Labor area. However, without holding public hearings, Wirtz adopted under the Walsh-Healey Act the stan dard he had unsuccessfully advocated before the Feder al Radiation Council.24 This move had a decisive impact on the shaping of a national job safety and health program in 1967, as the Departments of Labor and HEW promoted their com peting proposals. The Bureau of the Budget accepted the Department of Labor’s recommendations.25 21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Job Safety Law of 1970 Johnson bill fails In January 1968, President Johnson called on Con gress to enact a job safety and health program virtually identical to that developed by the Labor Department. Johnson said it was “the shame of a modern industrial nation” that each year more than 14,000 workers were killed and 2.2 million injured on the job. Citing inade quate standards, lagging research, poor enforcement of laws, shortages of safety and health personnel, and a patchwork of ineffective Federal laws, Johnson argued that a comprehensive new law was needed.26 The Johnson proposal, quickly introduced as legisla tion, gave the Secretary of Labor the responsibility of setting and enforcing standards to protect 50 million workers. The bill also had a general duty clause requir ing employers to “furnish employment and place of em ployment which are safe and healthful.” It gave inspectors legal authority to enter workplaces without management’s permission or prior notice. Violators could be fined or jailed, and the Secretary could black list transgressors who held government contracts. The Labor Department would help interested States to de velop their own programs in lieu of the Federal one. The Department of HEW would provide the Labor De partment with scientific material for new safety and health standards. Congressional committee hearings on the Johnson proposal began in February 1968.27 Secretary of Labor Wirtz, who led off the hearings, cited two casualty lists facing America at that time: the military toll in Viet nam— and the industrial toll at home. Wirtz claimed that 3 of 4 teenagers entering the work force would probably suffer one minor disabling injury or more dur ing their worklife. He also displayed shocking photo graphs of gory industrial accident scenes. Wirtz felt that the main issue was “whether the Congress is going to act to stop a carnage” which continues because people “can’t see the blood on the food that they eat, on the things that they buy, and on the services they get.”28 The proposal aroused opposite strong reactions. Or ganized labor supported the bill. George Meany, AFLCIO president, headed a long list of union witnesses at the congressional hearings. A noted occupational health researcher, Irving R. Selikoff, of the Mt. Sinai School of Medicine, and consumers’ advocate Ralph Nader added their voices in support. However, industry, led by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, vehemently opposed the broad powers which would be given to the Secretary of Labor. Industry campaigned hard against a “crash pro gram” that would undermine the rightful role of the States. Ironically, the Labor Department itself may have hurt the bill’s chances. In March 1968, it published the booklet, “On the Job Slaughter,” containing gory pho 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tographs similar to those Secretary Wirtz had displayed when testifying. When industry found out that many of the pictures were 20 to 30 years old, it accused the La bor Department of deception. The Johnson proposal failed in 1968. President John son’s decision not to run for re-election, domestic violence in the inner cities, demonstrations against the Vietnam War— these and many other events diverted congressional and national attention from dealing with workers’ safety and health. The bill never came to a vote in Congress. Safety and health board proposed By 1969, the idea of a general job safety and health law had taken hold. Beginning in 1965, Congress passed several laws protecting various groups of work ers. The Service Contracts Act of 1965 and the Federal Construction Safety and Health Act of 1969 provided missing links in the protection of Government contrac tor employees. The 1966 Metal and Non-metallic Mine Safety Act protected noncoal miners. A mine explosion in 1968 causing 78 deaths in Farmington, W. Va., spurred Congress to pass the Coal Mine Health and Safety Act of 1969. In this context of Federal action, President Richard Nixon presented his version of a comprehensive job safety and health program to Congress in August 1969. After his inauguration, he had called on his Cabinet de partments to sift through his campaign speeches for election-year promises. They were to report to him on what they were doing to meet these pledges. Under Sec retary of Labor James D. Hodgson,29 who was particu larly interested in workers’ safety and health, was “delighted” to find that in a speech in Cincinnati, the Presidential candidate had called for Federal action on that problem. The White House asked Hodgson to pre pare a bill, and he began work immediately, consulting extensively with labor and management.30 The Nixon Administration’s proposal bypassed the question of whether Labor or HEW should have control and offered instead a five-person board that would set and enforce job safety and health standards. The Labor Department would be limited to inspecting workplaces and HEW would do research. Nixon emphasized use of existing efforts by private industry and State govern ments. The main Federal concern would be with health research and education and training, and only second arily with direct regulation.31 r Legislation embodying the Nixon proposal was intro duced in Congress and for the second consecutive year hearings began on a national job safety and health pro gram. Hundreds of witnesses from labor, industry, gov ernment, and the safety and health community gave thousands of pages of oral and written testimony. In addition to hearings in Washington, there were field hearings around the country at which rank-and-file workers in steel mills, automobile plants, and other in dustries testified.32 Secretary of Labor George Shultz emphasized at the hearings that the Nixon bill was part of a continuous historical process. Secretary Shultz believed that a con sensus had finally evolved on both the need for a Feder al law and its general form. He exhorted Congress to “work out our differences and get something done.”33 Labor opposes, business applauds This turned out to be easier said than done. Demo cratic Congressmen, and some Republicans, raised strong objections to the bill. Many felt that, with two departments already involved, a safety board would cre ate administrative confusion. Labor union supporters opposed any such board and wanted the programs lodged in the Labor Department. The proposed enforce ment scheme came under fire because it only penalized willful, flagrant violators. Critics felt that this would take away much of the deterrent effect, because employ ers would be tempted to ignore Federal safety and health standards until after they were inspected. Exemp tions of small employers, a 3-year delay in the bill’s ef fective date, and a reliance on “consensus” standards devised by industry groups also drew Democratic oppo sition. Organized labor had enthusiastically backed the John son bill, but it completely opposed the Nixon proposal. It agreed with congressional critics that the Labor De partment was the proper locus of authority over safety and health. Unions felt that strong action was needed to deal with the hazards of the workplace, especially alarming new chemical dangers. As Anthony Mazzocchi of the Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers union put it: “The mad rush of science has propelled us into a strange and uncharted environment . . . . We grope in the dark and we can light only a few candles.”34 Buried in the battle of witnesses for and against the Nixon proposal were some thought-provoking com ments by Irving SelikofF. He described the suffering of construction workers who succumbed to asbestosis from applying asbestos insulation in buildings. Refusing to blame any one group, he asked rhetorically, “Who killed Cock Robin?” Selikoff’s answer was: “No one . . . . His has been an impersonal, technological death . . . . We have all failed.”35 In a crucial switch, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which had led the fight against the Johnson proposal, came out in favor of the Nixon bill. The National Asso ciation of Manufacturers and other industry groups added their support. The main reason for the chamber’s switch was President Nixon’s proposal to put a special safety and health board in charge of the Federal pro gram, instead of giving the Labor Department that https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis duty, as the Johnson proposal would have done. Busi ness also was impressed with the fact that the Adminis tration had listened to industry’s views in drafting the legislation. Behind the change of heart was acceptance by business that, while the idea of Government regula tion of conditions in the workplace was distasteful, some kind of safety and health law was inevitable. A seesaw battle Early in 1969, two Democrats, Representative James G. O’Hara of Michigan and Senator Harrison Williams, Jr., of New Jersey had presented bills that were similar to the Johnson proposal of 1968. Despite Republican ef forts in 1970 to bottle up the bills in committee, they— and not the Nixon bill— were introduced on the floors of the House and Senate shortly before the congression al elections. Opponents succeeded in delaying consider ation of these labor-backed measures until after the election, in hopes that it would prevent passage. The strategy was partially successful. In the Senate, the first to act in the post-election “lameduck” session, Republicans offered an amendment substituting the Nixon proposal for the Democratic measures and came just two votes short of succeeding. With the division this close, compromise seemed likely. Senator Jacob Javits, New York Republican, offered an amendment under which the Secretary of Labor would set safety and health standards, and a separate commission would oversee Labor Department enforcement, serving as a kind of court of appeals for parties who disagreed with the Secretary’s decisions. Senate Democrats and the Nixon Administration supported the compromise and the Senate passed it. In the House, a grassroots effort which the Chamber of Commerce waged against the Democratic proposal during the election campaign drained off some support. Republican William R. Steiger of Wisconsin offered an Administration-backed bill to substitute for the O’Hara bill introduced earlier in the year. In a major defeat for labor, which had stoutly resisted any efforts at compro mise, the Steiger amendment passed easily and a HouseSenate conference committee met to hammer out the differences between the two bills. However, the odds were now stacked in labor’s favor. The conference committee members reflected the liberal views of the Democratic House and Senate committee chairmen who selected them. When the conferees met in December, they adopted the more liberal Senate bill al most unchanged. The only significant point on which the Senate yielded was deletion of a provision allowing the Secretary of Labor to close down a plant under conditions of imminent danger. The Senate immediately approved the measure and sent it on to the House. When Secretary of Labor Hodgson announced that President Nixon approved of the bill, Republican oppo23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Job Safety Law of 1970 nents in the House abandoned plans to fight the confer ence committee version, and it passed easily. ALL SIDES PRAISED the final bill. President Nixon lauded it as a significant piece of social legislation. Al though he disagreed with specific provisions, he believed that it would help attain “the goal we all want to achieve”— the protection of Americans on the job. The Chamber of Commerce termed it “a substantial victo ry” for those in industry seeking a fair yet effective law. AFL-CIO President George Meany called it “a long step . . . toward a safe and healthy workplace.”36 President Nixon signed the milestone Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970 in a ceremony at the La bor Department. George Meany and other labor figures, leaders in the business community, and prominent members of Congress were present. The ceremony end ed the bitter 3-year legislative struggle on a note of har mony and bipartisanship. It marked the culmination of a historical movement that first found expression in the Massachusetts factory act of 1877. □ FOO TNOTES 1Employees protected by other Federal occupational safety and health laws are excluded from coverage, as are State and local govern ment employees, but participating States provide comparable cover age. These States and territories are South Carolina, Oregon, Utah, Washington, North Carolina, California, Minnesota, Maryland, Ten nessee, Iowa, Kentucky, Alaska, Virgin Islands, Michigan, Vermont, Hawaii, Nevada, Indiana, Wyoming, Arizona, New Mexico, Virginia, Puerto Rico, and Connecticut. 2Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics of Labor, Annual Report, 1872, pp. 421-25; Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics of Labor, Annual R e port, 1870, p. 197; and John R. Commons and John B. Andrews, Principles o f Labor Legislation (New York, Harper and Brothers, 1916), pp. 327-28. 3William B. Hard, “Making Steel and Killing Men,” Everybody's Magazine, November 1907. 4 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bulletin, 428, “Proceedings of the Industrial Accident Prevention Conference,” 1926, pp. 35-36; David S. Beyer, “Safety Provisions in the United States Steel Corporation,” in Crystal Eastman, ed., Work Accidents and the Law (New York, Charities Publication Committee, 1910), pp. 244-45; David Brody, Steelworkers in America, the Nonunion Era (New York, Harper and Row, 1969), pp. 166-68. 5Eastman, Work Accidents and the Law. 6 Roy Lubove, “Workmen’s Compensation and the Prerogatives of Voluntarism,” Labor History, Fall 1967. James Weinstein, “Big Busi ness and the Origins of Workmen’s Compensation,” Labor History, Spring 1967, pp. 162-70. 7Lubove, pp. 278-79; Robert Asher, “Radicalism and Reform: Workmen’s Compensation in Minnesota, 1910-1930,” Labor History, Winter 1973, p. 36; Herman M. and Anne R. Somers, Workmen's Compensation: Prevention, Insurance, and Rehabilitation o f Occupation al Disability (New York, John Wiley & Sons, 1954), pp. 333-35. 8Commons and Andrews, Principles o f Labor, pp. 430-36; Gordon M. Haferbecker, Wisconsin Labor Laws (Madison, University of Wis consin Press, 1958), pp. 20-23. 4Henry W. Farnam, Chapters in the History o f Social Legislation in the United States to 1860 (Washington, Carnegie Institution, 1938), pp. 242-46. 10C. F. W. Doehring, “Factory Sanitation and Labor Protection,” U.S. Bureau of Labor Bulletin 44, 1903; John B. Andrews, “Phospho rus Poisoning in the Match Industry in the United States,” U.S. Bu reau of Labor Bulletin 86, 1910. " Alice Hamilton, Exploring the Dangerous Trades (Boston, Little, Brown and Co., 1943), pp. 7, 121-29. 12S. Res. 68, 63d Cong., Congressional Record, Vol. 51, p. 11395. 13 New York H erald Tribune, Dec. 28, 1913. 14Letter, William B. Wilson to John B. Andrews, Nov. 13, 1914, Secretary of Labor files, National Archives. 15U.S. Department of Labor, Annual Report, 1919, pp. 198-204. 16Frances Perkins, People at Work (New York, John Day Co., 1934), p. 50; Arthur W. MacMahon and John D. Millett, Federal A d ministrators (New York, Columbia University Press, 1939), p. 372. 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17Assistant Secretary of Labor, John J. Gilhooley, Mar. 20, 1958, in U.S. Cong., Senate Committee on Labor and Public Welfare, Hear ings on “Amending Longshoremen’s and Harbor Workers’ Compen sation Act” (Washington, 1958), pp. 13-17; U.S. Department of Labor, Annual Report, 1960, p. 192; U.S. Department of Labor, “Maritime Safety Program, Five Year Report, 1960- 64.” 18U.S. Department of Labor, “Walsh-Healey Public Contracts Act, Basic Safety and Health Requirements,” Mar. 2, 1942 (Washington, 1943); Federal Register, Dec. 28, 1960, pp. 13809-25. 14Letters from Walter Reuther to Secretary of Labor Arthur Gold berg, Dec. 21, 1961, John B. Olverson, Jan. 26, 1961, and G. C. Stewart, Oct. 9, 1961, Secretary of Labor files, National Archives. 20 U.S. Department of Labor, Public Hearing on Proposed Revision of Safety and Health Standards for Federal Supply Contracts,” Mar. 17-27, 1964, Department of Labor Library. 21 Thomas A. Chittenden, “A Study of Occupational Safety Respon sibility of the Department of Labor” (Washington 1964), pp. 1, 2, 53-58; Secretary of Labor’s Order 12-66, July 19, 1966. 22 “White House, 1967 Legislation (Task Force on Occupational Health and Safety),” folder, Secretary of Labor files, National Ar chives. 23 Federal Radiation Council Meeting, May 4, 1967, Secretary of Labor files, National Archives. 24 Department of Labor Press Releases, May 5, May 9, 1967, De partmental Historian’s Office. 25 Letter, David Swankin to Assistant Secretary of Labor Esther Pe terson, Nov. 3, 1967, Secretary of Labor files, National Archives. 26 Lyndon Johnson, “President’s Message to Congress on Manpower and Occupational Safety and Health Programs,” Jan. 23, 1968, Weekly Compilation o f Presidential Documents, Vol. 4, No. 4, pp. 110-11. 27U.S. Cong., House Committee on Education and Labor, Hearings on “Occupational Safety and Health” (Washington, 1968); U.S. Cong., Senate Committee on Labor and Public Welfare, Hearings on “Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1968” (Washington, 1968). 28 1968 Senate Hearings, p. 62. 24James D. Hodgson was Under Secretary while George P. Shultz served as Secretary of Labor from 1969 to mid-1970. When Shultz left, Hodgson was appointed Secretary and served until 1973. “ James D. Hodgson, interview with author, June 12, 1979. 31 Richard Nixon, “Occupational Safety and Health Message to Congress,” Aug. 6, 1969, Weekly Compilation o f Presidential Docu ments, Vol. 5, No. 32. 32U.S. Cong., House Committee on Education and Labor, Hearings on “Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1969,” (Washington, 1970); U.S. Cong., Senate Committee on Labor and Public Welfare, Hearings on “Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970” (Wash ington, 1970). 33 1969 House Hearings, pp. 312-413. 34 Ibid., pp. 1181, 1194. 35 1970 Senate Hearings, pp. 1078-79. 36 The New York Times, Dec. 18, 1970. Understanding statistics on occupational illnesses The reliability, validity, and use of data on work-related illnesses are better understood if one is aware of the peculiarities of the recordkeeping regulations and problems of recognizing and reporting occupational diseases H a r v e y J. H i l a s k i Of major importance to the American worker was the explicit declaration in the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970 of congressional intent “ . . . to as sure so far as possible every working man and woman in the Nation safe and healthful working conditions and to preserve our human resources.” An important first step in providing such an environment is developing statistics which capture the incidence of illness and inju ry in the United States. How well do the presently col lected statistics do this? What obstacles does the process of collecting good statistics face? Under the act, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been delegated responsibility for the collection, compila tion, and analysis of occupational safety and health sta tistics. Pursuant to that authority, the BLS, in cooper ation and consultation with the Occupational Safety and Health Administration ( o s h a ), the American Na tional Standards Institute, Labor and Business Research Advisory Committees, and a Federal interagency work ing group, developed an occupational injury and illness recordkeeping system. Final recordkeeping regulations were adopted on July 2, 1971. Several modifications to the regulations have been made, but the basic structure has remained intact. Before OSHA was established, the work-injury pro gram of the BLS was based on the American National Harvey J. Hilaski is an economist in the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Standard Method of Measuring and Recording Work Injury Experience, commonly referred to as the Z16.1 standard. This standard, for all practical purposes, was limited to the measurement of work injuries; seldom were occupational illnesses reported. It was believed that the Occupational Safety and Health Act, with equal emphasis on occupational health, would provide a true and statistically confirmed picture of the incidence of occupational illnesses and diseases. But, what has emerged is a count of occupational illnesses and dis eases which is superior to that of previous programs, but which is viewed as a gross underestimate of actual experience. This article examines the concepts of the statistical system which produces estimates of occupational illnesses and diseases in the United States,1 discusses some of the reasons for an undercount in those esti mates, and evaluates the statistical system in its present form. Measurement peculiarities Three Federal Government agencies manage record keeping and reporting systems which measure occupa tional illnesses in the private sector: the Bureau of La bor Statistics and the Mine Safety and Health Administration, both of the U.S. Department of Labor, and the Federal Railroad Administration of the Depart ment of Transportation.2 The BLS, on behalf of OSHA, administers a statistical program covering most of the 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Understanding Occupational Illness Statistics pijvate sector economy. The exclusions are coal and metal and nonmetal mining industries which are cov ered by the Mine Safety and Health Administration, and the railroads which are under the Federal Railroad Administration’s jurisdiction. However, these establish ments maintain data consistent with OSHA’s work inju ry and illness definitions and concepts. Each year, Mine Safety and Health Administration and the Federal Rail road Administration injury and illness data are com bined with the BLS data to provide a measure of health and safety conditions in the total private sector. Several aspects peculiar to the recordkeeping and re porting of occupational illnesses under these systems warrant discussion because of their impact on the reli ability, validity, and use of the data. First, reporting by employers under each system is governed by regulation. The mandatory nature of reporting together with the uniform definitions help ensure the reliability of the in formation.3 However, nonsampling biases can occur and problems unique to occupational illness statistics can impose other serious difficulties, some of which are dis cussed later. Second, whether an illness is occupational and, therefore, recordable is determined by the employ er or representative physician or nurse. Unless the cause-effect relationship is direct and apparent, the ill ness is not likely to be recorded. Third, the survey cov ers a stated calendar year; hence, only new illnesses occurring during that year are recordable. The OSHA regulations require only that employers record illnesses at the time of diagnosis. Occupational illnesses which persist are not counted in subsequent years. The stan dard measurement used for comparative trend evalua tion is the incidence of occupational illnesses, expressed as a rate per 100 workers. Prevalence of illnesses (the proportion of employees occupationally ill, regardless of when the condition arose), is not used in the reporting or dissemination of the data. Fourth, seven categories of illnesses are distinguished in employer reports: (1) skin diseases or disorders; (2) dust diseases of the lungs; (3) respiratory conditions due to toxic agents; (4) poison ing; (5) disorders due to physical agents; (6) disorders associated with repeated trauma; and (7) all other occu pational illnesses. Incidence rates are developed by ma jor industry division for each of these categories. Fifth, employers are not required to report illnesses by age, sex, race, or occupation, although employers have infor mation on most of these variables. Sixth, regulations specifically require that employers record “bodily harm including adverse health effects resulting from a one time exposure event” as an occupational injury and not as an illness. Incidence of illnesses understated Is the measurement of occupational illnesses a num bers game? A review of historical data lends perspective 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 1. Occupational illnesses as a proportion of total injuries and illnesses in the private sector, 1972-78 Total injuries and illnesses1 Year 19723 . . . . 1973 . . . . 1974 . . . . 19755 . . . . 19765 . . . . 19775 . . . . 19785 . . . . Number (in thousands) 5,657 6,079 5,916 4,992 5,164 5,460 5,799 Illnesses only1 Rate2 Number (in thousands) Rate2 10.9 11.0 10.4 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 211 201 4 200 164 168 162 144 .40 .40 4.40 .30 .30 .28 .20 Illnesses as a percent of total injuries and illnesses .037 .033 .034 .033 .033 .030 .025 ’ Includes fatalities. 2The incidence rate represents the number of injuries and/or illnesses per 100 full-time workers and is calculated as follows: (N/EH) x 200,000, where: N = number of injuries and/or illnesses EH = total hours worked by all employees during the calendar year 200,000 = base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year). 3 Excludes railroads and mine activities, except oil and gas extraction. 4 Excludes illness data for Mine Safety and Health Administration covered industries. 5 Excludes firms with fewer than 11 employees. to this query. Throughout the 1972-78 period, the pro portion of illnesses to total injuries and illnesses in the private sector was relatively fixed at 3 percent. (See ta ble 1.) Over the period, the number of illnesses declined by nearly one-third, from 210,500 to 143,500, and the overall incidence rate was halved. By comparison, the total injury and illness rate dropped 15 percent. This number and trend are contrary to the widespread belief regarding actual conditions in the Nation’s workplaces. The bottom line of this common but unsubstantiated belief is that there are about 390,000 new illness cases annually.4 Over the 1972-78 period, declines occurred in every illness category, except “respiratory conditions due to toxic agents.” (See table 2.) The largest decline (about 62 percent) was for “all other occupational illnesses.” Throughout the period, “occupational skin diseases or disorders” accounted for two-fifths or more of all occu pational illnesses, indicating that illnesses likely to be recorded are those that are highly visible, have little or no latency, and are less controversial. Employers and employee awareness of the toxicity of chemicals might be inferred from the relatively steady increase in report ed cases of “respiratory conditions due to toxic agents.” Although the proportion of these cases nearly doubled over the period, its relative ranking remained the same. In sharp contrast to the much publicized and fre quently quoted occupational illness death estimate of 100,000 annually,5 BLS data indicate that over the 1972— 78 period, deaths from occupational illnesses ranged from 300 (in 1972, 1973, and 1976) to 700 in 1974. This is plausible, considering the criteria for recording occu pational illnesses and the types of nonfatal illnesses re ported. Table 2. Occupational illnesses in the private sector, by category of illness, 1972-78 Number (in thousands) Percent Category of illness Total illnesses1 ................................... Occupational skin diseases or disorders . . . . Dust diseases of the lu n g s ............................. Respiratory conditions due to toxic agents . . . Poisoning ....................................................... Disorders due to physical agents .................. Disorders associated with repeated trauma .. All other occupational illnesses...................... 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 2 210.5 86.5 1.4 10.2 6.4 30.1 23.8 52.1 200.5 89.2 1.5 11.5 6.7 27.5 23.6 40.5 3 200.4 89.4 1.7 12.7 7.4 27.1 24.6 37.4 4163.8 74.4 1.0 11.9 6.2 21.2 23.7 24.9 4167.9 71.6 1.2 13.1 6.1 24.2 23.0 28.8 4161.9 73.0 2.0 13.1 5.7 23.6 23.4 21.1 4143.5 65.9 1.6 13.6 5.6 16.7 20.2 19.9 100.0 41.1 0.7 4.8 3.0 14.3 11.3 24.8 100.0 44.5 0.7 5.7 3.3 13.7 11.8 20.2 100.0 44.6 0.8 6.3 3.7 13.5 12.3 18.7 100.0 45.6 0.6 7.3 3.8 13.0 14.5 15.2 100.0 42.6 0.7 7.8 3.6 14.4 13.7 17.2 100.0 45.1 1.2 8.1 3.5 14.6 14.5 13.0 100.0 45.9 1.1 9.5 3.9 11.6 14.1 13.9 1Includes fatalities. Because of rounding, components may not add to totals. 2 Excludes railroad and mine activities, except oil and gas extraction. So vastly divergent are actual estimates of occu pational illnesses obtained through direct survey of em ployers from those based on other indirect estimating methods that a review of the problems associated with measuring occupational illnesses is warranted. Because of the complexity of the issues involved, this review is likely to create uncertainties about the validity of any count of occupational illnesses; but, it should lend some credence to the widespread assumption that the current national statistics understate the incidence of occupa tional illnesses. Cause-effect relationship elusive 3 Excludes illness data for Mine Safety and Health Administration covered industries. 4 Excludes firms with fewer than 11 employees. to carcinogenic agents in the work environment has occurred, “the lack of histological or biological markers of cancer of specific organs has made it difficult to dif ferentiate occupational cancer from cancer from other causes.”6 Harmful exposure can occur on and off the job; while it would be ideal to be able to assign a factor to the degree of influence of occupational and nonoc cupational exposures, this is not yet possible. The cause of occupational disease is further clouded by lack of knowledge of “dose-response” relationships. The effects of toxic substances are based primarily on animal tests, the results of which are not easily extrapolated to hu man populations. Epidemiological study can also aid in establishing a hypothesis of the causes of occupational diseases but cannot lead to direct cause-effect associa tion. Occupation can be related to disease in three basic ways: as a cause; as a contributing factor; or as an ag gravating factor. Except in very rare disease cases, such as mesothelioma from asbestos exposure and angiosar coma from exposure to vinyl chloride, a cause-effect re lationship between the disease and the work environ ment is not so uniquely evident. Generally, the relationship of an illness to an occupation is elusive because most occupational diseases are clinically indis tinguishable from general, chronic-type diseases of nonoccupational origin. Even when occupation is con sidered to be contributory or aggravating, it is difficult to determine the extent of job influence because, in most cases, the causes of the disease cannot be fully traced; a multiplicity of factors may be involved, includ ing the age of the worker, diet and nutrition, smoking, and general life style, to name a few. There are numerous and complex issues surrounding the identification and recognition of occupational dis eases. A brief description of some of the major prob lems can provide deeper insight into why current occupational illness statistics are often assessed as understating the true health and safety conditions of the workplace. Symptoms. The relationship between occupation and disease is unlikely to be inferred from a study of a work er’s symptoms. Although a worker may have one or more symptoms that suggest an occupational relation ship, there is a reluctance to declare the disease as occu pational in origin for lack of solid evidence. On the other hand, symptoms may point to a specific disease, but the disease onset and the present condition of the worker may be obscured by other factors, especially in respiratory disease cases. It would be unrealistic to ex pect employers to accept responsibility for a disease condition which is also affected by the general environ ment and nonwork-related factors, unless the evidence overwhelmingly points to the work environment as the source. Even in cases properly diagnosed as occupationally related, the employer may be reluctant or refuse to accept liability, because the disease may have originated in the past under a different employer. The time lags be tween exposure, onset, and diagnosis will generally pres ent serious problems regarding proper accountability. Etiology. Determining the cause or causes of disease is not always easy and is even more difficult when the dis ease is suspected of originating in the work environ ment. Even for cancer cases where undisputed exposure Latency. The long latent periods of certain diseases obscure the cause-effect relationship and also impede timely recognition of the disease for recordkeeping pur poses. For example, occupational cancer may be https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Understanding Occupational Illness Statistics detected only after the worker has left the hazardous work environment or has retired; if after retirement, it is unlikely to be attributed to a past occupation. Under these circumstances, a legitimate occupational disease case would not be included in the statistics because of the restrictive recordability criteria. The latent periods of disease have important implica tions for conducting epidemiological studies of mor bidity and mortality, the results of which may identify populations at excess risk of specific diseases. Adequate follow-up of retirees, living and deceased, is required to avoid drawing false conclusions. Diagnostic problems. Lack of medical expertise is a gen uine obstacle to detection and recognition of occupa tional disease. Most doctors engaged in the practice of occupational medicine (particularly those outside the in dustrial setting) are not sufficiently trained to qualify for certification. Presently about 15 universities and medical centers offer programs in occupational medicine or occupation al health nursing, or both. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health has incorporated 12 in stitutions into a special program of accelerated training in occupational health and safety, called the Education al Resource Centers Program.7These centers are located throughout the United States and provide academic and continuing educational programs in four core occupa tional safety and health disciplines— occupational medi cine, occupational health nursing, occupational safety, and industrial hygiene. With the extensive worker and establishment coverage under the act and the large po tential for unhealthful exposure due to the thousands of chemicals manufactured or in use in industry today, quick remedy for the shortage of expertise should not be expected. Unfortunately, there are no reliable data on the num ber of occupational doctors, but fragmentary evidence suggests about 1,000 to 2,500. Occupational doctors working in an industrial setting are in a unique position to monitor the health of workers, if they have access to pertinent records, including information on chemical sub stances in use, measurement results of exposure levels, and inplant laboratory analyses of industrial hygienists. On the other hand, few doctors in private practice have a background in occupational medicine and are much less likely to be aware of the influence of a job on a worker’s health. Even if private practitioners did have such training, they may not know precisely what unhealthful exposures their patients encounter in the workplace. Also, the number of patients seeking treat ment from an identical place of employment and with the same symptoms may be too small for the doctor to make an occupational connection. Finally, the doctor 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relies on the patient’s account of the condition, and, as a result, occupational relationship is likely to be over looked. Another factor limiting a doctor’s ability to identify and recognize an occupational relationship of an illness is use of rather standard diagnostic techniques when, in fact, different techniques may be warranted. An estimat ed 63,000 chemicals are believed to be in use in the United States and about 1,000 new chemicals are added each year, most without having been tested for their health effects before manufacture or use.8Therefore, it is not surprising that a lag in appropriate diagnostic tech niques is existent and real. In addition, incomplete or carelessly taken medical and job histories of ill workers can lead to wrong impressions concerning the workers’ health status and origin of symptoms or disease. Employee awareness. Lack of awareness among employ ees regarding hazardous exposures inhibits their identi fying and recognizing a disease as occupational. This is especially true in cases where the doctor relies on the patients’ account of the work environment. Failure to mention possible influences of the workplace, for what ever reason, would seldom induce an independent probe on the doctor’s part. In injury cases, the treating doctor is very likely to ask probing questions relating to the in jury event; in the case of an illness, the same doctor is likely to ask only questions related to the patient’s symptoms. The importance of this factor depends to a large extent on employer training of workers in general safety and health matters, employer notification of workers about the harmful properties of substances to which they are exposed, and employer training of the exposed group in the proper methods of handling and use of those substances. Susceptibility. Individuals vary as to their susceptibility to disease. One worker may contract a disease at rela tively low levels of exposure, while another worker may not, even if exposed to high levels of the identical sub stance. This confounds the cause-effect occupational re lationship of diseases and indicates that even nonoccupational factors may operate in such cases. Tolerance levels are based not only on the workers’ genetic makeup but also on physiological characteris tics, age, sex, nutrition, and other factors. Because of these influences, rates of absorption, distribution, me tabolism, and excretion of toxic substances in the body vary among individuals. Even in the same individual, specific body organs are affected differently by toxins. While susceptibility does not directly inhibit detection and recognition of occupational disease, it has impor tant implications for evaluating dose-response relation ships, particularly in terms of health standards setting. Multiple exposure. Cause-effect relationship is almost to tally obscured when a worker is exposed to two or more hazardous substances on the job. Toxicological studies can determine probable effects of exposure to a specific substance; however, there has been little assess ment of the effect of multiple exposures. The interaction of toxic chemicals can produce unsuspected harmful effects. These synergistic and even potentiating ill effects make it difficult to determine the prime etiological agent. In fact, the chemical interaction may produce a totally new kind of toxic agent which requires special analysis for its debilitating effects. Improvement needed After considering the recordkeeping criteria and the factors inhibiting detection and recognition of occupa tional disease, one can better understand why the BLS estimates of occupational illnesses are suspected of be ing seriously understated. However, in this regard, three points must be emphasized. (1) Other widely publicized and quoted estimates of occupational diseases are not based on rigorous statistical techniques and fall far short of being accurate and valid descriptions of occu pational illness incidence. (2) It cannot be stressed too much that mere association of an occupation with the illness of a worker is not causation; at most, it indicates areas where further research may be warranted. There fore, studies based on such sources as the Social Securi ty Administration’s disability files or the National Center for Health Statistics’ Health Interview Survey cannot establish an unequivocal causal relationship of a disability or impairment to occupation, even though the disabled or impaired person’s occupation is identified in the statistics. (3) In terms of the recording and report 1Occupational illness and disease are used interchangeably in this article and include all incidents which meet the following definition: “Any abnormal condition or disorder, other than one resulting from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to environmental factors associated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or diseases which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, ingestion, or direct contact.” 2These agencies also collect occupational injury information for de velopment of injury estimates covering the total private sector. How ever, occupational injury occurrence is obvious both to the employee and employer and the statistics resulting are not seriously questioned, compared with occupational illness data. Hence, the focus of this arti cle is on occupational illnesses. Omitted from discussion are illness data covering Federal, State and local government workers. 3In terms of actual data collection, one major difference between the three agencies is that the Mine Safety and Health Administration and the Federal Railroad Administration cover the universe of em ployers under their respective jurisdictions, while BLS uses a random probability sample survey to collect data from Occupational Safety and Health Administration covered employers. 4The 390,000 count first appeared in The President's Report on Oc cupational Safety and H ealth— M ay 1972. Since then, it has repeated https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ing of occupational illnesses, the statistics generated through the BLS annual survey are a reliable measure of real-world experience. However, in terms of statistical validity, the data may be wanting because chronic and long latent diseases, although not totally excluded, are largely beyond the scope of the system. The current sys tem captures only disease cases that are unequivocably visible. The problems associated with occupational disease detection and recognition are largely exogenous to the national occupational disease statistical program in ef fect and cannot be solved by government alone. Im provement of occupational disease statistics will require the cooperation of all affected parties. Because of the complexities involved in the occupational disease area, including medico-legal, political, economic, and privacy issues, expectations for a quick or easy solution are un realistic as is a solution without some compromise among the affected principals— employers, workers, unions, government, and the medical profession. To the extent that the annual survey excludes chronic and long latent diseases of occupational origin, an undercount does exist. There is as yet no reliable mea sure of that undercount. The only other comprehensive source of occupational disease statistics lies in State workers’ compensation records. However, the same dif ficulties in establishing an occupational link apply to workers’ compensation cases. Perhaps the more important aspect of the controversy over occupational illness statistics concerns the useful ness of the present data, given the fact that, within the context of current regulations and procedures, they inculpably constitute a weak measure of the “suspect ed” total national experience. □ ly been cited in numerous publications and at congressional hearings. This estimate was based on a study of occupational diseases in Cali fornia in 1970, through a manipulative process which was never fully documented. 5The 100,000 occupational death figure also appeared in The Presi dent's Report. According to the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, the data source for this figure was the 1951 Regis trar General’s Occupational Mortality Report for England and Wales in which excess deaths (observed versus expected) summed up over all occupations yielded an occupational disease death ratio which was ap plied to the U.S. workforce. 6Thomas F. Mancuso, Occupational Cancer and M edical Causality, a paper presented at the 65th Annual Convention of the International Association of Industrial Accident Boards and Commissions, Sept. 10, 1979. 7Directory o f Academic Programs in Occupational Safety and Health, Department of Health and Human Services, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, 1979, Publication No. 79-126. ‘ A Scientific Framework fo r Establishing a Consistent Federal Policy on the Evaluation o f Substances as Potential H uman Carcinogens, Draft Staff Discussion Paper, Office of Science and Technology Policy, Oct. 20, 1978. 29 Injuries at work are fewer among older employees Previous studies offer conflicting results in determining the age groups more prone to accidents on the job; but new data show young workers are hurt more, although often not as seriously N orman R oot There are several contradictory interpretations of the re lationship between age and injuries at work.1 Some in vestigators have found no significant differences in incidence of injury among the various age groups. Oth ers have found a higher accident rate for both younger and older groups of workers compared with those in the middle age groups. Two other researchers arrived at an opposite conclusion— workers in the intermediate groups, those age 28-47, had the highest accident rates. Still others concluded that accident frequency declined steadily with age for workers older than 25.2 These differing interpretations of the relationship be tween work injury and age have been augmented by equally contradictory reasoning. Older workers have lower accident rates because they are experienced, ma ture, and are mindful of workplace hazards; conversely, older workers have higher accident rates because of growing carelessness in the workplace— familiarity breeds contempt— and declining reflexes, hearing, and vision. On the other side, younger workers have higher accident rates because they are reckless, green to workplace hazards, and have the dangerous jobs; by contrast, younger workers have lower accident rates be cause of superior reflexes and less exposure to the more dangerous jobs requiring greater experience. Inability to collect uniform data about exposure and Norman Root is a division chief in the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis incidents on any homogeneous groups of workers, either by industry or occupation, had been considered the most important reason for the divergence of these views. Sources and summary of findings Based on data collected in the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics Supplementary Data System ( s d s ), this article an alyzes information from more than a million workers compensation records from agencies in 30 States that participated in the SDS program during 1977. It exam ines the age distribution of injured workers relative to their exposure by industry and occupation, and looks at injury characteristics and costs associated with the age of the injured worker. Two categories of cases are used in the system: closed and current. A closed case is one in which, by the end of the reference year, all compensation and medical pay ments due for the injury were awarded or received by the worker, regardless of the year in which the accident occurred or was reported. In a current case the injury either occurred or was reported during the reference year, depending upon the State. Most States submitted current case data; a few, only closed case data; and three States, Idaho, Montana, and Wisconsin, submitted both kinds. The data indicate that occupational injuries occur at a lower rate to older workers than to younger ones. It appears that the frequency of occupational injuries de- dines steadily up to age 64 and then drops even more sharply for workers age 65 and over. The data indicate the positive effect of experience in avoiding injuries and should encourage training for new workers, to reduce the occurrence of injuries in the workplace. However, older workers do get hurt, and although in most instances their injuries generally reflect workplace hazards common to all, there are some notable dif ferences that apparently reflect physical declines consis tent with increasing years. For example, declining bodi ly coordination among older workers likely contributed to increasing numbers of injuries from falls on working surfaces. Moreover, a traumatic injury to an older worker would more likely result in a fractured bone than it would if the same blow were experienced by a younger worker and would result in greater severity of injury and higher cost.3 New methodology and data The work injury ratios used in this article are based on the percentages of work injuries and employment within each universe: an industry or occupation. A ratio of 1.0 indicates that the percentages of injuries and em ployment are equal. Ratios greater than 1.0 indicate that the percentage of injuries is greater than that of employment, and ratios less than 1.0 indicate the oppo site. Relative comparisons are necessary, as opposed to numerical estimates or rates, because of limitations in age-specific industry and occupational employment data, and because of differences in State workers’ com pensation data. Employment data are from the 1977 Current Population Survey and may be overstated in that they include workers not covered under some State workers’ compensation systems.4 The injury data may be understated in that a comparable universe of cases is not reported in each State whose data are in this article. The 26 States providing current case data accounted for 40 percent of national wage and salary employment during 1977 and are geographically and industrially fairly representative of the Nation.5 Despite the limitations, the data permit the first com prehensive examination of age as it relates to injuries at work. Among employees age 16 and over in 1977, the larg est proportion of work-related injuries, 30.3 percent, oc curred to workers age 25-34, the same group with the largest percentage of the total number of workers, 26.4 percent. Workers age 16-24 accounted for nearly the same share of injuries, 29.7 percent, but only 23.7 per cent of total employment. Of this group, workers age 20-24, comprised 6 of 10 employed and 7 of 10 in jured. For age 35 and over, the proportions of injuries for each age group were less than the proportions of employment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Based on age-specific ratios of work injury to em ployment, work-injury rates apparently would be highest for workers age 20-24 and lowest for those age 65 and over. (See table 1.) The pattern is similar for all industry divisions except finance; insurance; and real estate; and for services where the percentages of injuries are less than those of employment among workers age 25-34, but higher for workers age 55-64. These are the only industries in which the injury ratios are above 1.0 for this older age group. (See table 2.) The overall age and injury employment pattern, al though similar for the occupational groups, has a few notable differences. For the age group 16-24, the injury to employment ratios did not exceed 1.0 among trans port operatives, probably because of age and experience requirements. The ratios for 16-24 year-olds also did not exceed 1.0 among nonfarm laborers, farm laborers and foremen, and service workers. This probably indi cates that many of these jobs, particularly for young workers, are frequently casual, part time, or in small es tablishments, factors that are the basis for exemption from workers’ compensation coverage in many States. Age and length of service The age of an injured worker is strongly correlated with length of service. More than 40 percent of injuries to workers under age 35 occurred among those in the first year of employment.6 Other researchers have noted the same relationship in studies of specific industries, occupations, or work activ ities. For example, one study found that in accidents arising from manual handling in the construction indus try, “ . . . in 60 percent of the cases the incidents oc curred during the first year of employment.”7 Workers under age 35 accounted for 60 percent of the injuries and 50 percent of employment, and likely accounted for the largest numbers of new entrants on the job in any one year. Thus, high injury rates for this Table 1. Work-injury ratios by ag e1 Age 16-17 ............................... 18-19 ............................... 20-24 ............................... 16-24 ............................... 25-34 ............................... 35-44 ............................... 45-54 ............................... 55 - 64 ............................... 65+ ................................... Percent employment distribution2 Percent work injury distribution Work injury ratio3 3.2 5.3 15.2 23.7 26.4 18.7 17.6 11.4 2.2 1.9 6.8 21.0 29.7 30.3 16.7 13.6 8.8 0.9 .594 1.28 1.38 1.25 1.15 .89 .77 .77 .414 1Based on current cases in 26 States. Includes Illnesses. 2 Industry employment source CPS data, 1977. 3The ratio computation is column 2 divided by column 1. 4 Because of the relatively small magnitudes associated with one or both components in these ratios, the relative errors for these age groups would be larger than those for the oth er age groups. 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Fewer Injuries Among Older Workers Table 2. Ratios of work injury to employment percentages, by industry and age, 1977 Industry Total all years Total 16-24 years 16-17 years 18-19 years 20-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years 65+ years 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.25 1.53 1.14 1.61 1.15 1.58 1.03 1.18 1.17 1.38 .59 .50 .39 .50 .38 .93 .67 1.33 .88 1.25 1.28 1.65 1.03 1.79 1.13 1.79 1.03 1.20 1.27 1.39 1.38 1.53 1.27 1.66 1.21 1.59 1.23 1.14 1.19 1.39 1.15 1.14 1.24 1.15 1.20 1.14 1.26 .93 .97 1.32 .89 .94 .88 .81 .99 .82 .96 .85 .89 .97 .77 .57 .77 .68 .84 .67 .81 .99 .96 .67 .77 .56 .73 .63 .67 .65 .83 1.14 1.13 .67 .41 .45 .40 .42 .40 .33 .37 .86 .52 .43 All nonfarm industries.................................................................................. Mining.......................................................................................................... Construction ............................................................................................... Manufacturing ............................................................................................. Transportation............................................................................................. Wholesale trade ........................................................................................ Retail tra d e ................................................................................................. Finance, et al ............................................................................................. Services ...................................................................................................... Public administration .................................................................................. Source of employment data— BLS, CPS Base table 29B, December 1977. group would not be unexpected. However, despite the smaller likelihood of an older worker being a new em ployee and smaller percentages of first year injuries for such workers, the proportion of first year injuries is higher than for any other year of service even for the older workers; each succeeding year of service accounts for a lower percentage of injuries. versely, temporary disabilities were more prevalent among younger workers. Fatality ratios were higher than 1.0 for the 35-44, 55-64, and 65 and over age groups, and below 1.0 for the others. Permanent dis ability ratios were highest for workers age 35-64. How ever, temporary disability and other ratios were higher among younger workers. Average indemnity compensation and medical pay ment costs associated with occupational injuries in creased with age. Indemnity compensation for workers age 16-17 averaged $593 compared with $1,637 for workers age 65 and over. Average medical payments ranged from $318 to $609 for these respective age groups. The increase in average costs according to age explains why the total costs are greater for each age group in the 25-54 range than for age 16-24, even though the latter group accounts for a larger number of cases than any of the next three age groups. Total costs for injured workers age 55 and over are lower because of the significantly fewer cases among these age groups. The average cost patterns by extent of disability differ from the total cost patterns. Costs by severity generally peak in age group 45-54, and then decline somewhat in the next two age groups. Generally, indemnity compen sation is awarded on the basis of the number and age of dependents, wage level of the injured worker, and ex tent of disability. Teenagers and older workers are less likely to have minor dependents, and so average Severity and costs The distribution of closed cases across age groups was similar to that for all cases submitted to the work ers’ compensation agencies.8 Work injury to employ ment ratios were greater than 1.0 for workers age 18 to 34, and below 1.0 for all other ages as seen in the fol lowing tabulation: ______________ Age group_____________ 16-24 25-34 35- 44 45-54 55- 64 65+ All closed cases . Fatalities . . . . Permanent disabilities . . Temporary disabilities . . Other ............... 1.19 .77 1.05 .90 .94 1.06 .90 .86 .88 1.45 .50 2.95 .81 .90 1.09 1.15 1.24 .81 1.27 1.17 1.03 1.14 .89 .96 .86 .85 .85 .75 .45 .36 The distribution of cases, however, varied by severity. The more severe cases, fatalities and permanent dis abilities, accounted for larger proportions of the cases among older workers than among younger ones. Con Table 3. Natures of injuries to workers, by age, in percent, 26 States, 1977 Age group Total Amputation, enuceation Bum, (heat, chemical) Contusion, crushing, bruise T o ta l......... 16-17 . . . 18-19 . . . 20-24 . . . 25-34 . . . 35-44 . . . 45-54 . . . 55 - 64 , . . 6 5 + ......... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.8 1.0 1.2 .8 .6 .7 .8 .8 1.4 3.6 11.0 6.0 4.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.8 14.3 13.1 15.0 14.7 13.8 13.6 14.7 15.3 14.5 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Cut, laceration, puncture 17.3 37.9 27.7 21.0 15.9 13.4 13.4 14.1 15.7 Fracture Hernia, rupture 7.8 6.0 6.6 6.6 7.0 7.8 9.4 11.3 15.6 1.3 .4 .8 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.9 2.6 Inflammation 1.1 .3 .7 .9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 .5 Sprains, strains Multiple injuries Heart attack All other 34.4 15.7 24.3 31.7 37.4 38.9 36.1 32.2 23.8 1.4 .9 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.9 0.3 17.8 13.7 16.6 18.0 18.6 18.4 17.0 16.6 18.4 .0 .0 .1 .3 .8 1.3 1.9 Table 4. Source of injury to workers, by age, in percent, 26 States, 1977 Age group Total Bodily motion Boxes, barrens, containers Furniture, fixtures Hand tools, not powered Hand tools, powered Machines Metal items Vehicles Wood items Working surfaces Other person All other Total . . . . 16-17 .. 18-19 .. 20-24 . . 25-34 . . 35-44 . . 45-54 . . 55-64 . . 65+ . . . . 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.8 2.6 3.6 5.3 7.3 8.3 8.3 7.4 5.0 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.8 10.6 10.6 10.4 9.9 7.3 3.0 3.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.4 4.0 3.7 5.6 12.8 8.0 6.9 5.4 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.3 1.7 1.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.6 6.6 9.4 10.3 7.4 6.0 5.8 5.8 6.1 6.4 13.1 8.5 14.1 14.7 13.8 12.7 11.5 10.9 7.9 7.3 5.3 6.2 6.6 7.8 7.9 7.7 6.8 7.5 4.1 2.6 4.8 5.0 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.1 13.6 10.0 9.5 10.5 12.6 14.3 17.2 20.2 27.8 3.1 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.7 24.6 32.0 26.4 25.4 24.8 24.2 23.2 22.5 22.6 awards, particularly for fatalities and permanent dis abilities, are lower for them than for age groups in the 20-54 year range. Work-injury characteristics Although the kinds of injuries generally occur in sim ilar proportions to workers in all age groups, there are some notable differences that apparently reflect: inexpe rience, such as unfamiliarity with tools and equipment; advancing years, such as decreasing coordination and resiliency to trauma; or occupational restraints, such as being too “green” for the highly technical jobs, or being too old for the “heavy” ones. Nature of injury. The most frequently occurring injuries to all workers were: sprains and strains, cuts and lacer ations, contusions and bruises, fractures, and burns.9 (See table 3.) These five categories accounted for more than 75 percent of all injuries. The major difference among age groups was that fractures, hernias, and heart attacks were markedly more frequent for older workers than for workers as a whole. For example, fractures among workers age 55 and over accounted for 11 to 16 percent of all their injuries, but fractures to all workers accounted for 8 percent of all injuries; The proportions of hernias for workers age 45 and over ranged from 2 to 3 percent, but for all workers they represented only 1 percent. Conversely, cuts and laceration, and burns oc curred consistently less frequently with increasing age, perhaps reflecting experience as a factor in avoiding them. Table 5. Part of body affected. Back injuries accounted for 1 of 5 injuries to all workers. Workers age 65 and over and teenagers suffered back problems less frequently than all other workers. The respective percentages of backs as a proportion of all body parts injured were about 12 for both teenagers and workers age 65 and over, and 24 for workers age 35-44. These data probably primarily re flect the previously mentioned restraint that teenagers and older workers are less likely to have jobs requiring heavy lifting. However, injuries to eyes and fingers were more prevalent among younger workers than older ones. There appeared to be a consistent trend that with in creasing age, injuries to legs and body systems became more frequent. Legs as proportions of body parts in volved in work injuries ranged from 8 percent among teenage workers to 11 percent for workers age 65 and over. For body systems, the proportions of injuries ranged from 1 percent for teenage workers to 4 percent for those age 65 and over. Source of injury. As a proportion of all sources of inju ry, working surfaces accounted for the largest percent age among workers age 35 and over, and steadily increased in frequency, from the 10 percent levels expe rienced by teenage workers to 28 percent for older workers. (See table 4.) Conversely, injuries associated with nonpower hand tools were significantly higher for younger workers. The frequency declined from 13 per cent among 16-17 year-olds to 3 percent for workers age 65 and older. Types of injuries to workers, by age, in percent, 26 States, 1977 Age group T o ta l............... 16-17 ........... 18-19 ........... 20-24 ........... 25-34 ........... 35-44 ........... 45-54 ........... 55-64 ........... 65+ ............... Total Struck against Struck by Fall from elevation Fall on same level Caught in, under, between Bodily reaction Over exertion Contact with temperature extremes Motor vehicle accidents All other 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.9 20.2 14.3 11.8 10.3 9.5 9.8 9.9 9.4 20.6 25.1 25.8 23.9 20.6 18.3 17.4 17.2 17.4 6.2 4.0 4.6 5.5 6.2 6.5 7.1 7.4 9.1 9.8 8.6 7.2 7.1 8.6 10.2 13.0 16.2 22.8 7.5 9.3 11.2 9.0 6.8 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.9 2.6 3.7 5.4 7.4 8.4 8.4 7.7 5.1 21.8 8.8 15.6 20.9 23.5 24.6 22.5 20.7 13.9 2.8 9.7 4.8 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.6 2.1 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.9 2.6 11.4 10.6 11.4 11.8 11.8 11.4 10.7 10.5 10.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Fewer Injuries Among Older Workers Type of accident. Being struck by and against, and caught in, under, or between things accounted for more than 50 percent of injuries to teenage workers, but the percentage steadily declined for older workers. (See ta ble 5.) Conversely, falls, particularly falls on the same level, became an increasingly serious problem with ad vancing age. For workers age 65 and over, falls pro duced nearly one-third of injuries compared with about 13 percent for teenagers. These age-specific patterns of injury characteristics 1The terms “injury” and “accident” also refer to illness and expo sure. The single terms are used for brevity. 2These interpretations are taken from the summary of safety studies in Human Factors and Safety, Information Sheet 15, International Occupational Safety and Health Information Center (CIS), Interna tional Labour Office, Geneva, Switzerland, May 1967. 3See also the following studies: Remarques Sur Les Statistiques Technologiques D ’Accidents De Travalleurs Salaries, Paris, France, Annee 1966, and Max D. Kossoris, “Relation of Age to Industrial In juries,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1940. 4 Employment data for industry and occupation are taken from the Bureau’s Employment and Earnings reports. The industry and occu pational employment series are not comparable, but are the most reli able data available by age, on national employment. The occupational employment series also contains significant numbers of workers not covered by State workers’ compensation, such as self-employed work ers and unpaid family workers. To this extent, relative occupational employment ratios are overstated. The major factors that have a dif ferential effect on the two series are detailed in Em ploym ent and Earn ings, Vol. 25, No. 3 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 1978), pp. 139-59. 5For a discussion of differences in State coverage and reporting re quirements see Norman Root and David McCaffrey, “Providing more 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis were similar across industry and occupational groups. More data available Additional data on extent of disability by indemnity compensation and medical costs, part of body affected by injury, distribution of employment and nature of in jury by both age and industry, and ratios of work inju ry to employment percentages by occupation and age are available from the Bureau upon request. These data will be presented in future reprints of this article. □ information on work injuries and illnesses,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1978, pp. 16-21. Data from these 26 jurisdictions were used for the development of ratios and comparisons of injury characteristics: Alaska, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, South Dako ta, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virgin Islands, Wisconsin, and Wyo ming. 6This can be length of time with the employer, the occupation, or the job. More often this relates to time with the employer. See Nor man Root and Michael Hoefer, “The first work injury data available from new BLS study,” Monthly Labor Review, January 1979 pp. 7 6 80. 7P. M. Shepard, 1970, quoted by D. A. Stubbs and A. S. Nicholson in “Manual Handling and Back Injuries in the Construc tion Industry: An Investigation,” Journal o f Occupational Accidents, Vol. 2, No. 3, August 1979, pp. 179-90. 8The 1977 cost and extent of disability data used in this analysis are from 5 States providing closed case data in the SDS program: Ar kansas, Delaware, Montana, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. 9Classification of the factors associated with work injuries is based on the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) Z16.2, 1962 Standard Method of Recording Basic Facts Relating to the Nature and Occurrence of Work Injuries. Work-related amputations by type and prevalence Based on workers' compensation cases, new supplement to annual BLS survey of occupational injuries yields a 1977 estimate of 21,000 cases, most involving the loss of a finger D a v id P. M cCaffrey Each year, American workers suffer disfiguring and of ten seriously disabling amputations as a result of their jobs. This study estimates that 21,000 such accidents took place in 1977, and attempts to isolate the indus tries, occupations, and situations in which they were most likely to occur. Also included is a brief discussion of the medical and income maintenance costs incurred by State workers’ compensation systems in settling claims of injured workers. The data. This analysis is based on 1977 data from the Supplementary Data System ( s d s ), which augments the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ annual survey of occupation al injuries and illnesses.1 Each of the cases selected for study represents an individual who suffered a work-re lated “amputation” or “enucleation” (such as loss of an eye); both of these types of injuries will be referred to as “amputations” in subsequent discussion. Two categories of cases are reported by participating State workers’ compensation agencies in the SDS: “closed” and “current.” A “closed” case is one for which a worker had received all compensation and med ical payments due for the injury by the end of the refer ence year, regardless of the year in which the case occurred or was reported.2 A “current” case, on the David P. McCaffrey, currently assistant professor of public adminis tration at the State University of New York at Albany, was formerly with the Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis other hand, either occurred or was reported during the reference year, depending upon the State. For 1977, most States submitted current case data, a few only closed cases, and three States submitted both. The minimum number of lost workdays required be fore a case is reported varies by State. Some include all reported cases, and other States include cases with 1 or more lost workdays, 4 or more lost workdays, and so forth. Consequently, interstate comparisons of SDS data must be made very cautiously, and combinations of State data used in this article should not be taken as a census or reliable sample of a universe of similar cases. Data are combined here, however, because the distribu tions of cases among States do not vary greatly. Number of amputations. There is no national survey of the specific nature of occupational injuries (that is, the number or frequency of amputations, sprains, fractures, and so forth.3 However, by making certain assumptions, we can make a reasonable estimate of a national total of about 21,000 amputations in 1977. This procedure com bines the “current case” SDS information and non-inju ry-specific data from the Bureau’s annual survey of occupational injuries and illnesses.4 The estimate of the national total of amputations in 1977 (At) is obtained by summing the number of “cur rent case” amputations reported by 22 States for 1977 (An),5 dividing by the sum of lost workday cases report ed for these States in the 1977 annual survey of occupa35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Work-Related Amputations tional injuries and illnesses (LWCn), and multiplying by the total number of lost workday cases for the country that year (LWCt): / (Ai + A2 ......... a 22>______ ^ (LWCj + LWC2 .......... LWC22) \ ) Industry divisions and selected industries X’0*1 \ 866,623 J 2,203,600 = 21,311 for an estimate of about 21,000 amputations nationally. The assumptions required to justify this computation are that (1) all amputations entered in the SDS are re ported as lost workday cases in the annual survey; (2) the total industrial and labor force compositions of the participating SDS States are representative of those of nonparticipating States; and (3) the long minimum lost workday periods before a case is submitted to the SDS by some States will not screen out a significant number of amputations. The last of the foregoing assumptions is the weakest. Some amputations, particularly those af fecting the first (distal) joint of a finger, may not result in more than 2 or 3 lost workdays. These would not be reported by a State submitting only cases involving 4 or more lost workdays. For 1977, Colorado, Maryland, and Wisconsin submitted cases involving 4 or more lost workdays, Michigan reported cases involving 7 days or more, and New Mexico and Tennessee submitted those resulting in at least 8 lost workdays. Consequently, the national estimate probably understates the number of “minor” amputations. However, because so few States use the longer minimum periods, the understatement does not make the estimate implausible and, in the ab sence of comparable information, certainly does not make it valueless. Amputations by industry. Table 1 presents the distribu tion of amputations by industry division, and for select ed 3-digit SIC coded industries. Manufacturing ac counted for about 30 percent of employment, but almost 60 percent of the amputations. The 3-digit man ufacturing industries listed had 6.3 percent of the em ployment, but 18.6 percent of the amputations. These are the industries one associates with such injuries; they have many cutting, sawing, and stamping activities. Ag riculture, forestry, and fisheries, mining, and construc tion also had relatively high proportions of amputations. Method for examining cross-tabulations. Tables 2, 4, 5 and 6 show the number of cases and adjusted standardized residuals (asr ’s) for the source of injury by industry, by part of body affected, by type of acci dent, and for occupation by part of body affected. The asr ’s are indicators of the table cells which have great 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Employment1 Amputations2 .6 .9 5.3 30.7 .5 .6 .8 .7 .6 .5 .4 2.2 6.1 1.7 28.2 2.5 6.2 6.8 21.5 — 2.7 2.9 9.0 59.8 1.9 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.3 1.6 4.3 3.1 1.9 15.8 2.9 2.7 .7 5.8 .1 (LWCt ) = At Thus, ( y Table 1. Percent distribution of work-related amputations and employment by industry division and selected industries, private sector, 23 States, 1977 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries ...................... Mining .................................................................. Construction......................................................... Manufacturing....................................................... Meat products................................................... Sawmills and planing m ills ............................... Millwork, plywood, and structural members . . . Miscellaneous plastics products ...................... Fabricated structural metal products............... Metal forgings and stampings.......................... Miscellaneous fabricated metal products......... Motor vehicles and equipment ........................ Transportation and public utilities ........................ Trucking, local and long distance .................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ................................... Grocery stores ................................................ Eating and drinking places ............................... Finance, insurance, and real estate .................... Services................................................................ Unidentified ......................................................... 1Employment data were obtained from County Business Patterns, 1977 (Bureau of the Census, 1979). Employment data for Maine were obtained from County Business Patterns 1976 (Bureau of the Census, 1978). 2 Injury data are from 1977 SDS records of 8,602 "current-case” amputations. States Ineluded are Alaska, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, and Wisconsin. N ote : Due to rounding, sums of industry division percentages may not equal 100. er than expected numbers of amputations. The method by which they are calculated is presented in the appen dix to this article. The advantage of the adjusted standardized residuals is that, when the variables in the table are independent, the ASR’s are approximately normally distributed with mean equal to zero and standard deviation equal to l.6 Thus, there is only a 5-percent chance of an ASR value greater than 1.96 or less than —1.96 occurring if the observed frequency in a cell is only a random variation from the expected value. If the value is greater than 1.96 or less than —1.96, we can assume that the num ber of cases in the cell is significantly different from the expected value, and that there is an unusually strong re lationship between the two cross-classified variables. Source of injury by industry. Table 2 presents the cross classification of industry by source of injury. “Ma chines” were the leading cause of injury in every divi sion except mining and transportation and public utilities, and were nearly as important as “metal items” in mining. The adjusted standardized residuals indicate that the machines category was heavily overrepresented in manufacturing. Consequently, fewer such cases than expected appear in other industries, although the abso lute numbers are still quite high. Table 3, which shows the source-of-injury distribution in more detail, indi cates that a small group of machines accounted for 2,752 of the 4,645 machine accidents. Other notable sources of injury in specific industries were “metal items” and “hoisting apparatus” in mining Table 2. Source of injury by industry: numbers of cases and adjusted standardized residuals,11977 Industry Boxes, Buildings, Conveyors Electrical Hand tools, Hand tools, containers structures apparatus nonpowered powered Total cases . Hoisting apparatus Machines Mechanical power transmission apparatus Metal items Vehicles Miscellaneous or unknown Total cases 198 119 199 63 314 446 174 4,645 359 996 509 580 8,602 2 (1.49) 5 (1.01) 10 (2.04) 4 (1.79) 13 (1.59) 16 (1.17) 5 (.14) 95 (-4.11) 23 (4.41) 18 (-1.86) 23 (2.59) 19 (.87) 233 Mining .................... 2 (-1.61) 1 (-1.35) 13 (3.08) 4 (1.63) 18 (3.04) 7 (-1.73) 32 (12.28) 56 (-10.17) 19 (2.75) 57 (5.63) 11 (-1.03) 30 (3.36) 250 Construction........... 23 (1.32) 9 (-.54) 15 (-.71) 8 (1.04) 37 (1.78) 164 (21.11) 24 (2.25) 242 (-13.20) 19 (-2.49) 120 (3.62) 39 (-1.06) 71 (2.86) 771 Manufacturing . . . . 113 (-.81) 41 (-5.69) 134 (2.18) 29 (-2.25) 110 (-9.14) 164 (-10.21) 68 (-5.65) 3,269 (21.59) 207 (-.86) 572 (-1.65) 184 (-11.24) 257 (-7.90) 5,148 23 (6.97) 8 (2.28) 5 (-.50) 5 (2.21) 4 (-1.91) 4 (-2.77) 6 (.26) 35 (-13.66) 21 (3.05) 43 (2.32) 82 (17.40) 32 (3.45) 268 26 (-1.06) 34 (3.83) 16 (-3.05) 12 (.70) 95 (7.12) 50 (-2.75) 26 (-.33) 697 (-2.31) 36 (-3.08) 142 (-1.46) 111 (3.80) 118 (3.07) 1,363 1 (-.29) 4 (3.61) 0 (-1.18) 0 (-.66) 2 (-.08) 8 (2.97) 1 (-.16) 21 (-2.73) 5 (1.70) 7 (.12) 3 (-.24) 6 (1.10) 58 Service .................. 7 (-1.40) 17 (3.95) 6 (-1.72) 1 (-1.45) 35 (4.08) 33 (1.43) 11 (.27) 227 (-4.11) 28 (1.61) 36 (-3.19) 55 (4.91) 47 (2.40) 503 Unidentified ........... 1 (1.92) 0 (-.34) 0 (-.44) 0 ( -2 4 ) 0 (-.55) 0 (-.66) 1 (2.11) 3 (-.94) 1 (1.18) 1 (-.08) 1 (.79) 0 (-.76) 8 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries . . . . Transportation and public utilities . . . Wholesale and retail trade .................. Finance, insurance, and real estate .. 1Adjusted standardized residual explained in text. It is the second of the two figures shown for each combination of variables. and construction; “powered hand tools” in construc tion; and “vehicles” in transportation and public utili ties, wholesale and retail trade, and services. N ote : Data are based on reports of current cases for 23 States, discussed in detail in a later section.) Part o f body Source of injury by part of body affected. According to data presented in table 4, 91 percent of the amputations were of the finger(s), and 3 percent were of the toe(s). Most finger amputations (56 percent) involved ma chines. Toe amputations frequently involved metal items, vehicles, and— absolutely, if not according to the adjusted standardized residual— machines. In addition to machines, conveyors and metal items were a substantial cause of arm amputations. Convey ors, vehicles, and boxes and containers were frequent sources of leg amputations. Vehicles, besides being the largest identified cause of leg amputations, produced many amputations at the ankle and toe(s). Using 1977 data from three “closed-case” States (Ar kansas, Idaho, and North Carolina), the following tabu lation indicates the differences in compensation and medical costs for amputations of different parts of the body. Finger and toe amputations together accounted for 96.8 percent of the cases in these States, and 83.5 percent of the costs. Amputations and enucleations in volving major extremities and the eyes were 2.7 percent of the cases but 14.8 percent of the costs. (The relative costs of amputations of different parts of the body are https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis E y e ................................................. Arm .............................................. Hand, wrist .................................. Finger(s) ....................................... L e g ................................................. Ankle ............................................ T o e ................................................. Other or unclassified .................... T o t a l .................................. Percent of— Cases Cost .2 .8 1.4 94.6 .2 .1 2.2 .5 100.0 .7 5.4 7.2 81.0 .9 .6 2.5 1.6 100.0 Source of injury by type of accident. Table 5 shows that the overwhelming majority of amputations involved workers being caught in, under, or between objects (65.9 percent), striking against objects (15.9 percent), and being struck by objects (15.0 percent). Workers be ing caught in, under, or between machines, or striking against parts of machines accounted for 4,358, or al most 51 percent, of the cases; the adjusted standardized residuals for the two cells (13.36 and 15.69, respective ly) also indicate that machine cases were concentrated in these particular accident types. Other significant combinations were those involving workers being struck by metal items and being caught in mechanical power transmission apparatus and conveyors. 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Work-Related Amputations Occupation by part of body affected. Among the major occupational categories listed in table 6, “operatives, ex cept transportation” incurred the largest number of am putations— 2,918, or 34 percent of the cases. Certain specific occupations within this general category had particularly large numbers of such accidents. Assem blers (209 cases), meat cutters and butchers (128 cases), precision machine (such as drill press, grinder, lathe, or milling machine) operators (193 cases), punch and stamping press operatives (253 cases), and sawyers (171 cases) accounted for 954 of the category’s 2,918 ampu tations. Not surprisingly, because they work closely with machines and tools, these operatives suffered both absolutely and relatively high numbers of finger ampu tations. The second highest incidence of injury was among “craft and kindred workers;” 1,709 accidents— about 20 percent of the total— were reported for the category as a whole. Within this group, mechanics and repairers had 557 cases, with heavy equipment mechanics ac counting for 195. Carpenters also had 262 cases. Al though large, the number of finger amputations for craftworkers was proportionate to that for all workers. “Laborers, except farm” were the third largest group (1,340 cases or about 15 percent) with especially numer ous amputations of the toe and leg and at the ankle. Table 3. Distribution of work-related amputations by selected sources of injury, private sector, 23 States, 1977 Source T o ta l................................................... Boxes, containers.......................................... Reels, roles .......................................... Containers, n.e.c..................................... Buildings, structures ..................................... Doors, g a te s .......................................... Conveyors..................................................... Powered conveyors............................... Electrical apparatus ..................................... Motors ................................................... Hand tools, nonpowered............................... Knives ................................................... Ropes, chains........................................ Hand tools, powered..................................... Saws ..................................................... Hand tools, powered, n.e.c..................... Hoisting apparatus ........................................ Cranes, derricks ................................... Jacks ..................................................... Machines....................................................... Buffers, grinders, and similar machines . Drilling, boring machines ...................... Planers, shapers, molders .................... Presses (not printing)............................. Saws ..................................................... Shears, slitters, slicers.......................... Machines, n.e.c....................................... Mechanical transmission apparatus ............. Chains, ropes, cables .......................... Metal items ................................................... Auto parts.............................................. Metal items, n.e.c.................................... Vehicles......................................................... Highway vehicles, powered .................. Forklifts, and similar vehicles ............... Miscellaneous or unknown .......................... n.e.c.= not elsewhere classified. 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number of current cases Percent of total 8,602 198 55 54 119 92 199 163 63 25 314 120 38 446 290 64 174 55 27 4,645 191 196 231 796 711 627 1,073 359 114 996 74 700 509 204 151 580 100.0 2.3 .6 .6 1.4 1.1 2.3 1.9 .7 .3 3.7 1.4 .4 5.2 3.4 .7 2.0 .6 .3 54.0 2.2 2.3 2.7 9.3 8.3 7.3 12.5 4.2 1.3 11.6 .9 8.1 5.9 2.4 1.8 6.7 Farm laborers showed the same pattern, although for a much smaller number of cases. Transportation equip ment operatives accounted for 282 cases (199 involving truck drivers), with relatively large numbers of amputa tions of the hand or wrist, toe, and leg. The following tabulation shows that, in 1977, costs for three “closed-case” States (Arkansas, Idaho, and North Carolina) were distributed across these occupa tional categories in about the same way as the percent age of cases. Occupational category T o t a l ............................................ Professional and technical personnel . . . M anagers................................................. Salesworkers............................................ Clerical personnel .................................. Craft and kindred workers .................... Operatives, except transportation.......... Transportation equipment operatives . . Laborers, except fa rm ............................. Farm lab o rers.......................................... Service w o rkers....................................... Unidentified ............................................ Percent of— Cases Cost 100.0 .6 1.7 .3 1.0 26.1 45.8 2.8 17.9 1.1 1.8 1.0 100.0 .4 1.9 .1 .6 28.1 45.8 2.7 17.8 .8 1.1 .6 More about costs. Data on work-loss compensation and medical costs are available for some States which pro vide “closed-case” information. Such costs are, of course, only a part of the total economic and social price of work-related amputations. However, they are the most easily measured component of that price, and may give an indication of the overall relative severity of different types of injuries. The final compensable cost of an amputation to the State is influenced by a variety of factors; the part of the body involved, the time lost from work, the dura tion of payments, the level of benefits provided by the State, and occupational and personal characteristics of the worker all enter into the eventual amount paid. This means that single or bivariate (cell-type) tabulations of cost data have certain limitations. While we can assess the average costs of particular types of amputations without knowing the years in which the cases occurred, or the wages and ages of the injured workers, it would be useful to estimate the cost of particular types of am putations if all other factors were constant. The SDS obtains only some of the relevant informa tion. However, for three “closed-case” States (Arkansas, Idaho, and North Carolina) in 1977 there were, among other items, data on total compensation and medical costs, the year in which the amputation occurred, the part of the body affected, the extent of disability, and the wages and age of the injured worker. Accordingly, these data were subjected to an analysis of variance in total cost due to year of occurrence, part of body affected, extent of disability, and the weekly wage and age of the worker. The part of body affected Table 4. Source of injury by part of body affected: numbers of cases and adjusted standardized residuals,' 1977 Boxes, Buildings, Conveyors Electrical Hand tools, Hand tools, containers structures apparatus nonpowered powered Part of body Total cases . Hoisting apparatus Machines Mechanical power transmission apparatus Metal items Vehicles Miscellaneous or unknown Total cases 198 119 199 63 314 446 174 4,645 359 996 509 580 8,602 0 (-.59) 0 (-.46) 0 (-.60) 0 (-.33) 1 (.62) 0 1 (1.28) 1 (-3.68) 0 (-.81) 5 (2.64) 0 (-.97) 7 (6.17) 15 ( -9 1 ) Arm ........................ 2 (-.10) 1 (-.26) 10 (5.44) 2 (1.61) 0 (-1.89) 1 (-1.80) 2 (.09) 41 (-1.93) 5 (.58) 11 (.08) 3 (-1.11) 15 (3.63) 93 Hand, w r is t............. 4 (.41) 1 (-.70) 3 (-.16) 0 (-1.03) 5 ( -0 8 ) 6 (-.52) 1 (-1.13) 88 (1.92) 7 (.45) 9 (-1.97) 10 (.57) 8 (-.53) 142 Finger...................... 171 (-2.32) 110 (.54) 160 (-5.30) 58 (.29) 300 (2.85) 416 (1.71) 154 (-1.17) 4,411 (13.84) 340 (2.49) 866 (-4.79) 406 (-9.16) 438 (-13.53) 7,830 L e g ........................... 6 (2.17) 4 (2.00) 9 (4.05) 0 (-.92) 0 (-2.07) 1 (-2.06) 2 (-.18) 20 (-7.72) 3 (-.80) 10 (-.88) 23 (6.60) 34 (10.03) 112 Ankle ...................... 3 (1.91) 0 (-.81) 3 (1.90) 0 (-.58) 0 (-1.32) 0 (-1.59) 3 (2.17) 5 (-5.88) 0 (-1.42) 13 (3.55) 11 (5.19) 8 (2.89) 46 Toe ........................ 10 (1.79) 3 (.27) 11 (2.20) 1 (-.63) 4 (-1.77) 21 (2.29) 10 (2.23) 51 (-10.91) 3 (-2.40) 74 (8.96) 34 (5.17) 30 (3.32) 252 Other2 or unknown . 2 (-.37) 0 (-1.26) 3 (.26) 2 (1.32) 4 (-.04) 1 (-2.06) 1 (-.86) 28 (-6.20) 1 (-1.75) 8 (-1.48) 22 (6.20) 40 (12.31) 112 Eye ........................ 1Adjusted standardized residual explained in text. It is the second of the two figures shown for each combination of variables. 2 May include some cases involving previous categories which were not coded at sufficient was clearly the largest determinant of case cost; that factor had the highest F-value in each of the States. The eventual cost of an amputation was also substantially determined by its year of occurrence. Virtually all of the amputations were classified into two extent-of-disability codes— temporary disability Table 5. detail to be specifically identified. N ote : Data are based on reports of current cases for 23 States. and permanent partial disability. Except in Idaho, the extent of disability variable was not a strong explanato ry factor for the variance in cost. Similarly, neither the workers’ wages nor ages affected differences in case costs once one controlled for the preceding factors, ex cept for the effect of wages in North Carolina which, Source of injury by type of accident: numbers of cases and adjusted standardized residuals,11977 Type of accident Boxes, Buildings, Conveyors Electrical Hand tools, Hand tools, containers structures apparatus nonpowered powered Hoisting apparatus Machines Mechanical power transmission apparatus Metal items Vehicles Miscellaneous or unknown Total cases Total cases . 198 119 199 63 314 446 174 4,645 359 996 509 580 8,602 Struck against......... 21 (-2.06) 5 (-3.51) 3 (-5.62) 9 (-.35) 36 (-2.19) 141 (9.32) 3 (-5.17) 1,004 (15.69) 5 (-7.68) 68 (-8.33) 24 (-7.12) 49 (-5.08) 1,368 Struck by ............... 47 (3.48) 8 (-2.55) 6 (-4.79) 6 (-1.22) 173 (20.26) 164 (13.22) 36 (2.12) 250 (-27.08) 9 (-6.77) 350 (18.92) 87 (1.36) 155 (8.18) 1,291 Fall from elevation .. 0 (-.91) 1 (.75) 0 (-.91) 0 (-.51) 0 (-1.15) 0 (-1.39) 1 (.35) 2 (-5.74) 0 (-1.24) 1 (-1.62) 4 (1.38) 26 (15.97) 35 Fall same level . . . . 1 (-.10) 1 (.42) 0 (-1.07) 0 ( -6 0 ) 0 (-1.35) 0 (-1.62) 0 (-1.00) 8 (-5.20) 0 (-1.45) 2 (-1.61) 2 (-.52) 34 (17.76) 48 126 (-.68) 104 (4.98) 190 (8.90) 43 (.40) 86 (-14.67) 126 (-17.23) 134 (3.12) 3,354 (13.36) 344 (12.22) 558 (-6.99) 357 (2.08) 247 (-12.27) 5,669 1 (.01) 0 (-.78) 0 (-1.01) 0 ( -5 6 ) 15 (10.95) 11 (6.05) 0 (-.94) 6 (-5.28) 0 (-1.37) 6 (.49) 0 (-1.65) 4 (.67) 43 0 (-.86) 0 (-.66) 0 ( -8 6 ) 0 (-.48) 0 (-1.09) 0 (-1.30) 0 ( -8 0 ) 0 (-1.16) 0 (-2.02) 30 (21.48) 0 (-1.50) 31 (-5.68) 2 (-.43) 0 (-1.29) 0 (-1.68) 5 (4.52) 4 (-.13) 4 (-.87) 0 (-1.56) 20 (-8.06) 1 (-1.81) 11 (-.74) 5 (-.76) 65 (21.20) 117 Caught in, under, or between ............. Rubbed, abraded . . . Motor vehicle accident ............. Miscellaneous......... 1Adjusted standardized residual explained in text. It is the second of the two figures shown for each combination of variables. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Data are based on reports of current cases for 23 States, 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Work-Related Amputations ly. Toe and finger amputations, while numerous, were the least expensive. And, temporary disabilities, which presumably involve amputations with no lasting loss of working effectiveness, were relatively infrequent and much less expensive than permanent partial disabilities. Generally, then, the part of body affected is the most significant influence on cost in each State. However, even for amputations involving the same parts of body, the years in which the cases occurred and the extents of disability also strongly affect how much cases eventually cost by 1977. These several factors should be considered when interpreting the relative costs of amputations based on “closed-case” workers’ compensation data, and indicate that single or bivariate tabulations of such data should be used cautiously. Detailed results of the analysis of variance and the multiple classification analysis, upon which the preced ing general observations are based, are available from the author upon request. according to the zero-order correlation coefficient, was small but significant. A “multiple classification analysis” of the effects of selected categorical factors (year of occurrence, part of body affected, and extent of disability) on final cost was also conducted. This procedure involves adjusting the average cost for a given category as it originally appears in the data by controlling for the effects of all other variables. For example, the average unadjusted cost for a case occurring in Arkansas in 1976 was $3,480. Some of the dollar difference between this and the averages for other years is due to the fact that cases in 1976 in volved a unique distribution of parts of body affected, types of disabilities, and workers with different wages and of different ages. By controlling for the effects of these other factors, we can obtain an estimate of the av erage adjusted cost of a case which occurred in 1976 which is not affected by such inter-year variations. If we eliminate the influences of the unique combination of factors in 1976, the average adjusted cost of an Arkan sas case which occurred that year and was closed in 1977 becomes $3,535. Results of the multiple classification analysis show that, generally, the earlier a case occurred, the higher the total cost by 1977. (The 1977 cases in Idaho and 1973 cases in North Carolina are exceptions.) While the older cases could have been more serious, resulting in longer payment periods and larger totals, the more se vere recent cases may not have been closed by 1977. When other factors were controlled, amputations of the arm and wrist were generally found to be the most cost Table 6. T h e NEW Supplementary Data System can suggest in vestigation of injury causation in unprecedented detail. But the system itself is still in the developmental stages, and many gaps and inconsistencies in reporting proce dures among the participant States remain. As the sys tem is expanded and refined, further analyses such as the one presented in this article may help policymakers, employers, and workers to determine and minimize those specific combinations of circumstances most likely to result in amputations and other job-related injuries. Part of body affected by occupation: numbers of cases and adjusted standardized residuals,11977 Professional Managerial, and except farm technical Part of body Sales Clerical Craft and kindred workers Operatives, Transportation Laborers, equipment except except transportation operators farm Farmers Farm laborers Service Miscellaneous or unknown Total cases 67 200 35 89 1,709 2,918 282 1,340 3 138 391 1,430 8,602 Eye ........................ 0 ( -3 4 ) 1 (1.12) 0 (-.25) 0 ( -4 0 ) 5 (1.31) 2 (-1.69) 0 (-.71) 5 (1.90) 0 ( -0 7 ) 0 ( -4 9 ) 2 (1.64) 0 (-1.73) 15 Arm ........................ 1 (.33) 3 (.58) 1 (1.02) 0 ( -9 9 ) 12 (-1.69) 30 ( -3 4 ) 3 ( -0 3 ) 14 (-.14) 0 (-.18) 1 ( -4 1 ) 7 (1.39) 21 (1.55) 93 Hand, w r is t............. 1 (-.10) 1 (-1.29) 0 (-.77) 2 (.44) 16 (-2.59) 53 (.86) 10 (2.54) 14 (-1.89) 0 (-.22) 2 (-.19) 13 (2.66) 30 (1.45) 142 Fingers.................... 61 (.01) 176 (-1.51) 29 (-1.69) 73 (-2.99) 1,573 (1.64) 2,733 (6.13) 225 (-6.71) 1,186 (-3.51) 1 (-3.50) 112 (-4.09) 333 (-4.15) 1,328 (2.67) 7,830 L e g .......................... 1 (.14) 2 ( -3 8 ) 1 (.81) 2 (.79) 20 (-.54) 20 (-3.61) 17 (7.12) 27 (2.51) 0 (-.20) 7 (3.94) 8 (1.33) 7 (-2.97) 112 Ankle ...................... 0 (-.60) 4 (2.87) 1 (1.89) 2 (2.23) 1 (-3.02) 10 (-1.75) 1 ( -4 2 ) 12 (1.97) 0 ( -1 3 ) 3 (2.66) 2 ( -0 6 ) 10 (.93) 46 Toe ........................ 1 (-.70) 8 (.91) 1 ( -0 3 ) 6 (2.14) 44 ( -9 7 ) 47 (-5.20) 15 (2.42) 71 (5.60) 2 (6.55) 9 (2.52) 16 (1.40) 32 (-1.70) 252 Other2 or unknown . 2 (1.22) 5 (1.51) 2 (2.31) 4 (2.67) 38 (3.75) 23 (-3.01) 11 (3.91) 11 (-1.69) 0 (-.20) 4 (1.67) 10 (2.24) 2 (-4.25) 112 Total cases . 1Adjusted standardized residual explained in text. It is the second of the two figures shown r each combination of variables. 2May include some cases involving p.evious categories which were not coded at sufficient 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis detail to be specifically identified. N ote : Data are based on reports of current cases by 23 States. In some cases, SDS data also permit evaluation of the medical and other compensable costs incurred by a State in settling the claims of injured workers. Howev- er, we can never measure the more important social costs and individual losses resulting from accidents which are too often preventable. □ FOOTNOTES 1See Norman Root and David McCaffrey, “Providing more infor mation on work injury and illness,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1978, pp. 16-21, for a complete discussion of the Supplementary Data System. 2In some States, a “closed” case means a case for which, in the ref erence year, the State decided the total benefits to be paid. States re porting in this manner were excluded from the analysis. 3Because of the reporting burden that would be involved, the bls annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses does not ask firms to describe the specific physical characteristics of their employ ees’ injuries or illnesses. 4 For a report on the survey, see Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States by Industry, 1977, Bulletin 2047 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1980). 5One State (New Jersey) did not provide a 1977 estimate of lost workday cases for the annual survey. Consequently, New Jersey data are not used in obtaining the ratio of amputations to lost workday cases, although they are included in the other “current” case tables. 6 Brian S. Everitt, The Analysis o f Contingency Tables (New York, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1977), pp. 46-48; Shelby J. Haberman, “The Analysis of Residuals in Cross-Classified Tables,” Biometrics, March 1973, pp. 205-20. APPENDIX: Construction of adjusted standardized residuals As previously in d icated , ad ju sted stan d ard ized residu als ( a s r ’s) are in d icators o f the cells in a cross-tab u la tion w hich have greater than exp ected v a lu e s— values w hich probably represent a stron g correlation betw een the tw o crossed variables. ASR’s are co n stru cted as fo l low s. Chi-square (X2) values, which test whether the vari ables in the table are independent, are obtained by the formula: i = 1 j = 1 where njj refers to the observed values in the cell, and Ejj is the expected value in the cell. The expected value Ejj is the estimated value of the cell if the variables are independent. The larger the squared differences between the observed and expected values are, the larger the chisquare value becomes, and the more likely it is that the variables in the table are associated. Ey is obtained by multiplying the cell’s marginals (the total frequencies in the row Oh) and column (nj) in which the cell occurs) and dividing by the total number of cases in the table (N): The adjusted standardized residuals indicate the most marked differences between the observed and expected values. Residuals refer to the differences between observed and expected values (n;j — Ejj). These absolute differences, while useful, give an incomplete impression. For example, consider a cell where we expect 1,000 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cases, but observe 1,200, and another cell where we ex pect 100 but observe 300. In both cases the absolute re sidual is 200, but in one cell the difference is 20 percent for 1,000 cases and in the other, 200 percent for 100 cases. Safety workers undoubtedly would be interested in the cell with 1,200 cases. But the cell with a 200-percent difference between the observed and expected val ues tends to show a stronger positive relationship between the cross-classified variables. We can get a better perspective on the residuals by obtaining standardized residuals (ejj), by dividing the re siduals by the square root of the expected values: fay - Ejj) In the case above, the standardized residual for the cell with 1,200 cases would be ( 1,200- 1,000)/ 1,000, or 6.32; and for the cell with 200 cases, (300-100)/ ^100, or 20.00. The standardized residual of 20.00 supports the reasonable conclusion that getting 300 cases where 100 are expected is more surprising than getting 1,200 where we expect 1,000. The adjusted standardized residuals (djj) are obtained by dividing the standardized residuals by an estimate of their standard deviation, or square root of the variance Vjj, where: y Vij = (l - - Ü L H 1 - J ! L ) N N Therefore dij = 41 Using statistics to manage a State safety and health program Occupational injuries and illnesses statistics are important to Ohio's accident prevention program; the data identify companies most in need o f services and are the basis of safety seminars and training sessions, which can lead to significant savings in insurance costs P h ilip A. W o r k m a n In 1977, the Ohio Industrial Commission’s Division of Safety and Hygiene began a program to improve and upgrade the delivery of industrial accident prevention services to the employers and employees in the State. The use of statistics was of major importance in the 4-year program. The division sought to improve acci dent prevention services through more cost-effective management, through the development of new pro grams, and through the use of statistics to identify those companies most in need of assistance. First, the division modernized its data processing equipment. Then it developed a systematic approach to allocate its resources in a more effective manner. The specific challenge was to determine a method that would provide direction to its safety consultants. Identifying ‘needy’ companies In the past, most of the effort to allocate resources occurred on a random basis. This method was ineffec tive, as companies which did not need services were contacted while those that did were overlooked. The so lution, then, would be to identify those companies most in need of services and to provide the consultant with some background information about that company. The consultant would then have a reason for calling on a Philip A. Workman is Superintendent of the Ohio Industrial Commission’s Division of Safety and Hygiene. 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis specific company and would be better informed about the type of accidents that had occurred at that job site. Traditionally, employers needing assistance were identified through the use of “penalty-rating” criteria. Employers were grouped, according to their industrial operation, into 233 manual classifications. The expected losses resulting from occupational illnesses or injuries were determined for all employers in a particular group ing. The loss expectancies established base rates for each classification. A merit-rating provision allowed em ployers premiums to be adjusted according to their loss experience. If a company’s loss experience was greater than average, the company could be assessed additional premiums of up to 95 percent of the base rate established for that classification. The firm then became “penalty-rated.” Companies with good safety records were allowed to reduce the premiums they pay. There were several shortcomings with the use of the penalty-rating criteria to identify employers. The first was that penalty-rating was based on outdated accident information. For example, the rating period for current rates (established July 1, 1980) is based on the accident experience of employers from 1975 through 1978. Another shortcoming was that penalty-rating criteria were oversensitive to small employers who had experi enced a single severe and costly accident. Perhaps the most significant shortcoming was that merit-rated employers represented only 20 percent of the total number of employers who pay into the State insurance fund. Merit-rated employers, on the whole, represent larger companies; we needed to identify com panies not in the merit-rating system which needed our assistance. The formula adopted used information derived from lost-work time claims and from payroll data that were available from the employers. (Because of confidentiality restrictions, Ohio’s employment security agency cannot share employment figures for individual employers with other State agencies.) The occupational injuries and illnesses were coded according to specifications of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Supplementary Data System. From this information the Service Direction System was formed. This computerized system produces a list of companies most likely to benefit from the services of the division. The heart of the Service Direction System is the Service Direction Indicator, which consists of a level indicator and a trend indicator. The level indicator attempts to identify companies with an accident rate higher than the rate for the entire industry. It is developed by dividing the number of ac cidents for a company by its payroll. This ratio gives an approximation of the company’s accident rate. The level indicator, then, is the percentage deviation from the in dustry standard which shows whether a company has a better or worse than average accident rate. The trend indicator is a year-to-year safety compari son for an individual company. It has a frequency and a severity component which shows whether a company’s accident frequency or accident severity is getting better or worse. The frequency component is the difference of the ratio of injuries to payroll between two successive years. The severity component is the year-to-year differ ence of the ratio of workdays lost to payroll. The Service Direction System is developed by com bining the level and trend factors with different weights. This is done for every company in Ohio, and the priori ty list of companies in need of services is based on this indicator. Profiling accidents When safety consultants receive the names of compa nies to be visited, they also get a computer report pro filing the accidents of those companies, with special emphasis on problem areas. The consultant reviews the accident profile with company officials and recommends possible solutions. One of the recommendations may be the presentation of a “cost and statistical report”, a computer-produced report showing how accidents have affected a company. These reports, available to merit-rated employers only, are confidential and are prepared only at the request of a company’s management. They show how the compa ny’s premiums are affected by its industrial accidents. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis There are three parts to the report. The first part sum marizes the types of accidents charged against that company, along with the causes. The second part sum marizes the current accidents filed against that company that have not yet been adjudicated through the workers’ compensation system. And the third part is an analysis of how those accidents have affected that company’s premium. The way in which one company’s premium was af fected by its accident experience demonstrates the use fulness of the “cost and statistical” report. The company had a fiscal year payroll of slightly more than $4 million. At the base rate, it would have paid $62,700 in premiums in the most recent year and approximately $185,600 over the entire rating period, 1972-77. How ever, the company had a worse than average loss experi ence in FY 1977, and paid $80,800 in premiums. Because of a long history of accidents, it paid more than $288,000 in premiums during the rating period. This represents penalties of $102,671. In contrast, if this company had maintained an excellent safety record, it could have paid as little as $71,000 in total premiums for the entire 5-year period. As illustrated, the cost and statistical report summa rizes the cost information for the top management of a company. Additional data in the report allow compa nies to compare themselves to a range of possible pre miums. The report has proven to be an extremely effective tool. Other uses The accident statistics are used in a number of other areas. • Once a year, an article summarizing the lost work time resulting from injuries is published in the Moni tor, a division-produced safety magazine. The article highlights significant aspects of industrial accidents and diseases relating to the current year. • Detailed statistical reports containing cross-tabu lations of accidents and their causes are prepared for 41 industries, 233 manual classifications, and 88 counties. These reports are used to respond to re quests for general statistical information. • Statistics based on lost-time injuries and illnesses have been used for topics within other division pro grams. Quick reading pamphlets, based on these “lost work-time” statistics have been prepared for various trade meetings and training sessions. • The statistics are also used at the All-Ohio Safety Congress and Exhibit. Data for industrial classifica tions, manual classifications, and counties are pro grammed into a mini-computer for instant retrieval by participants. • Statistics are used to set priorities for the develop43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Using Statistics to Manage a Safety Program ment of specific safety training programs. For exam ple, a training module on lifting techniques was based on the statistics that showed approximately 20 per cent of all injuries involve the back. Accident prevention services The final thrust of the division’s program is to im prove and upgrade the delivery of industrial accident prevention services at the local level through decentral ization. Decentralization is the relocation of the point at which work assignments are made and the workflow is monitored. The purpose of decentralization is to im prove the timeliness of providing services at the local level by eliminating the channeling of service requests through the central office. All of Ohio’s employers are eligible to receive free ac cident prevention services. If a company is penalty-rated and does not have a safety professional who can zero in on safety problems, the division sponsors a safety direc tor to establish a safety program for that company. In addition, the division conducts workplace surveys to ascertain that working conditions meet the minimum safety requirement set by the Industrial Commission of 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ohio. These surveys are free and are consultative in na ture. Engineering services are provided to evaluate the safe ty of machines, structures and systems. Consultation is available on the design aspects for the safe operation of machines and tools, ventilation, and noise control. Industrial hygienists survey workplaces for air con taminants and other health hazards, such as dusts, fumes, mists, vapors, gases, and noise levels. The division schedules basic education courses to help workers identify and correct job hazards. The safe ty training course covers 15 subjects in 12 2-hour ses sions, and includes topics such as safety responsibility, accident investigation techniques, and job safety analy sis. “Hazard Recognition” is a series of slide and tape presentations covering 18 subjects in 25 2-hour sessions. Topics include flammable liquids, electricity, noise, trenching, ventilation, and tools. Employers of handicapped workers can request from the division safety mobility and accommodation studies to ensure a safe working environment for handicapped workers. □ Workers’ compensation insurance: recent trends in employer costs Costs of insuring against work-related injuries and diseases have escalated rapidly since 1972; growing variation in premiums among States over the same period may indicate unequal rates of improvement in workers' compensation laws M a r t in W. E lso n and Jo h n F. B u r t o n , J r . The workers’ compensation program provides cash ben efits, medical care, and rehabilitation services for per sons who experience job-related injuries and diseases. Because each State operates its own compensation pro gram, the levels of protection for workers and the asso ciated costs of the plan to employers differ considerably among jurisdictions. Variations among jurisdictions in the insurance arrangements available to employers may also affect premiums: 32 States and the District of Co lumbia allow employers to purchase insurance from pri vate carriers; six States only allow purchase from a State fund; and 12 States permit a choice between pri vate carriers and State funds. In addition, all but four States allow employers with sufficient financial ability and satisfactory records for paying past claims to selfinsure. 1 The existence of interstate differences in the cost of workers’ compensation insurance raises certain ques tions with policy implications. Are the variations in pre miums great enough to influence employers’ decisions to locate their establishments? And, do recent trends in premium levels indicate any reluctance by States to boost program benefits and costs, for fear of losing em ployers to lower cost jurisdictions? As a first step toward answering such questions, this article presents estimates of employers’ costs of insur ance purchased from private carriers or State funds in 47 jurisdictions2 as of July 1, 1978. Historical informa tion since 1950 is also provided for a smaller number of jurisdictions. The following discussion is a condensed Martin W. Elson is a law student at Case Western Reserve Universi ty. John F. Burton, Jr. is a professor of industrial and labor relations at Cornell University. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and updated version of a more comprehensive report3 that details the methodology used to derive the cost es timates. Measuring insurance costs Employers’ costs of workers’ compensation insurance may be measured in several ways. For purposes of this study, three combinations of employers that account for substantial percentages of national payroll were select ed, and the costs of workers’ compensation insurance for these groups of employers were determined for each State. This procedure makes possible an estimate of the differences in insurance costs which employers would encounter by moving among the States.4 The first combination consists of 45 types of employ ers for which workers’ compensation insurance rates are available since 1950. This group includes 13 manufac turing, seven contracting, and 25 other types of firms, and accounts for almost 57 percent of the payroll cov ered by workers’ compensation insurance.5 The second combination represents 25 types of manufacturing em ployers which comprise 10 percent of covered payroll; rates for this groups are available since 1958. The third combination, for which rates are only available since 1972, includes 30 manufacturing, 13 contracting, and 36 other types of employers; these 79 types of firms ac count for 72 percent of covered payroll.6 Insurance rates for each type of employer may be obtained from a State manual. These manual rates are given in dollars per $100 of weekly earnings for each employee. Table 1 shows the average July 1, 1978, man ual rates for the three combinations of employers in 47 jurisdictions. As indicated, the average manual rate for the 45 types of employers was $1,043 per $100 of pay45 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers’ Compensation Insurance roll in Alabama, while the same group of employers in Alaska had a mean rate of $2,149. However, estimates of average manual rates provide only a beginning toward accurate interstate compari sons of workers’ compensation costs. For many employ ers, the weekly premium is not simply the product of the manual rate and the weekly payroll. Rather, their insurance costs are influenced by premium discounts for quantity purchases, dividends received from mutual companies and participating stock companies, modifi cations of the manual rate resulting from the employer’s own accident experience, and other factors. Table 1. Consequently, the average employer in the 45 States with private insurance carriers pays an adjusted manual rate that is 18 percent less than the published manual rate.7 In Ohio and West Virginia— States with State in surance funds and no private carriers— manual rates are reduced, on average, 7.5 percent and 31.4 percent respectively to arrive at adjusted manual rates.8 The average adjusted manual rates for the three com binations of employers as of July 1, 1978, are also found in table 1. Although the average manual rate for the 45 types of employers in Alabama was $1,043 per $100 of payroll, the average adjusted manual rate for Employers’ average weekly costs of workers’ compensation insurance in 47 jurisdictions, July 1, 1978 Manual rates (per $100 of payroll) Adjusted manual rates (per $100 of payroll) 45 types of employers 25 types of manufacturing employers 79 types of employers 45 types of employers 25 types of manufacturing employers 79 types of employers Alabama ...................... Alaska .......................... Arizona ........................ Arkansas ...................... California...................... $1,043 2.149 3.055 1.576 2.604 $2,041 3.484 5.546 3.023 5.173 $1,295 2.524 3.686 1.903 3.238 $0,855 1.762 2.505 1.292 2.135 $1,674 2.857 4.548 2.479 4.241 $1,062 2.070 3.023 1.560 2.655 C olorado...................... Connecticut .................. Delaware...................... District of Columbia . . . Florida.......................... 1.475 1.650 1.742 4.271 3.221 3.159 3.434 3.544 8.063 5.733 1.812 2.140 (’ ) 5.098 3.764 1.210 1.353 1.428 3.502 2.641 2.590 2.816 2.906 6.612 4.701 G eorgia........................ H aw aii.......................... Idaho............................. Illinois ........................... Indiana........................... 1.313 2.508 1.569 1.685 .585 2.886 5.060 2.813 2.965 1.109 1.634 3.232 1.961 2.012 .713 1.077 2.057 1.287 1.382 .480 Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Kentucky...................... Louisiana...................... Maine .......................... 1.322 1.072 1.685 1.844 1.684 2.114 2.061 3.737 4.027 3.571 1.569 1.297 2.215 2.359 2.038 M aryland...................... Massachusetts............. Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Mississippi .................... 1.539 1.674 2.305 2.220 1.100 3.019 3.934 6.140 5.081 1.903 Missouri........................ Montana ...................... Nebraska...................... New Hampshire........... New J e rs e y ................. .903 1.712 .865 1.422 2.057 New M exico................. New York .................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Net costs of insurance (per employee) 25 types of manufacturing employers 79 types of employers $1.544 4.879 5.294 2.078 4.816 $3,022 7.910 9.610 3.986 9.567 $1,918 5.731 6.387 2.509 5.989 1.486 1.755 ( 1) 4.181 3.086 2.554 2.768 2.922 8.199 4.793 5.469 5.762 5.944 15.480 8.531 3.137 3.590 (’ ) 9.788 5.600 2.366 4.149 2.307 2.431 .910 1.340 2.650 1.608 1.649 .585 1.912 3.964 2.238 3.063 1.015 4.202 7.996 4.013 5.390 1.927 2.380 5.108 2.797 3.657 1.239 1.084 .879 1.382 1.512 1.380 1.734 1.690 3.064 3.302 2.929 1.286 1.064 1.816 1.934 1.671 2.190 1.659 2.781 2.909 2.581 3.502 3.190 6.166 6.354 5.476 2.599 2.008 3.655 3.721 3.125 1.861 2.166 3.040 2.800 1.336 1.262 1.373 1.890 1.821 .902 2.476 3.226 5.035 4.167 1.561 1.526 1.776 2.493 2.296 1.096 2.526 2.757 4.370 3.733 1.457 4.955 6.479 11.641 8.543 2.521 3.055 3.567 5.764 4.709 1.770 1.771 2.781 1.573 2.883 4.249 1.136 2.064 1.015 1.850 2.418 .740 1.404 .710 1.166 1.687 1.452 2.280 1.290 2.364 3.484 .932 1.692 .834 1.517 1.983 1.196 2.795 1.484 2.128 3.651 2.345 4.539 2.698 4.314 7.541 1.505 3.368 1.744 2.769 4.292 1.757 2.158 .649 1.664 1.763 3.827 4.678 1.314 2.904 4.320 2.165 2.639 .830 1.977 2.293 1.441 1.770 .532 1.550 1.446 3.138 3.836 1.077 2.697 3.542 1.775 2.164 .680 1.839 1.880 2.479 3.844 .899 3.352 2.654 5.400 8.332 1.820 5.834 6.503 3.054 4.701 1.149 3.979 3.451 Oregon ........................ Pennsylvania ............... Rhode Island ............... South C arolina............. South Dakota............... 3.558 1.431 1.589 1.020 1.027 7.841 3.125 3.978 2.094 1.725 4.600 (’ ) 2.002 1.286 1.222 2.918 1.173 1.303 .836 .842 6.430 2.563 3.262 1.717 1.414 3.772 (’ ) 1.641 1.055 1.002 6.288 2.382 2.387 1.360 1.649 13.858 5.202 5.975 2.794 2.769 8.130 (’ ) 3.007 1.716 1.962 Tennessee............. Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Vermont ...................... Virginia ........................ 1.101 2.137 1.087 1.067 1.074 2.339 4.338 2.000 1.996 1.645 1.435 2.708 1.320 1.267 1.283 .903 1.753 .892 .875 .880 1.918 3.557 1.640 1.637 1.349 1.177 2.220 1.083 1.039 1.052 1.666 3.293 1.701 1.646 1.525 3.538 6.683 3.130 3.079 2.337 2.171 4.172 2.066 1.955 1.824 West Virginia ............... Wisconsin .................... .962 .917 1.914 1.852 ( 1) 1.174 .660 .752 1.313 1.519 (’ ) .963 1.229 1.582 2.444 3.198 2.027 Jurisdiction ’ Data are not available. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 45 types of employers (’) the group was $0,855, reflecting the 18-percent reduc tion. Adjusted manual rates may be interpreted as the cost of workers’ compensation insurance as a percentage of payroll; thus, for the 45 types of Alabama employers, premiums were the equivalent of 0.855 percent of pay roll. The average weekly insurance premium per worker provides another measure of employers’ costs of work ers’ compensation. The adjusted manual rate multiplied by the State’s average weekly wage yields the approxi mate net cost of insurance to policyholders.9 Again ac cording to table 1, the average weekly net cost of insurance as of July 1, 1978, for the 45 types of employ ers in Alabama was $1,544 per employee. Historical data Information on employers’ costs of workers’ compen sation insurance is available for the 45 types of employers for selected years since 1950. Data for 20 States are available for 8 years between 1950 and 1978; data for eight more States are available for 6 years be tween 1958 and 1978; 42 jurisdictions have data for 1972, 1975, and 1978; and by 1978, 47 jurisdictions may be compared. The average adjusted manual rates for the 45-employ er group are shown in table 2. As indicated, Alabama employers expended, on average, the equivalent of 0.282 percent of payroll on workers’ compensation premiums in 1950, compared with 0.855 percent in 1978. Table 3 presents the approximate net cost to the same group of policyholders for several years between 1950 and 1978. These results show, for example, that the employers in Alabama expended a weekly average of $0,136 per worker on premiums in 1950, and $1,544 in 1978. The data in tables 2 and 3 are valuable for tracing changes in workers’ compensation costs over time in a particular State, but the volume of information makes it difficult to comprehend general developments. Tables 4 and 5 provide a compact summary of these data, per mitting evaluation of interstate trends. Table 4, for example, illustrates the changes over time in the average adjusted manual rates for the various combinations of States. Each State’s observation was weighted by the size of the State’s labor force in 1970 to provide results which are representative of the na tional experience. The mean adjusted manual rate in the 20 States was the equivalent of 0.471 percent of payroll in 1950, 0.651 percent in 1972, and 1.185 percent in 1978. Of particu lar interest is the rise in cost between 1972 and 1978, which was more than double the 1950-72 increase. The average employer in the 28- and 42-jurisdiction compar isons also experienced large increases in premiums be tween 1972 and 1978. Data for the latter combination of jurisdictions indicate that the average employer spent an amount equal to 1.461 percent of payroll on work https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 2. Average weekly adjusted manual rates per $100 of payroll for 45 types of employers in 47 jurisdictions, selected years, 1950 to 1978 Alabama ........... Alaska ............... Arizona ............. Arkansas ........... California........... Colorado ........... Connecticut . . . . Delaw are........... District of Columbia F lorida............... Georgia ............. Hawaii ............... Ida h o .................. Illinois.................. Indiana............... Iowa .................. Kansas ............... Kentucky ........... Louisiana........... Maine.................. Maryland ........... Massachusetts .. Michigan............. Minnesota ......... Mississippi ......... M issouri............. Montana............. Nebraska........... New Hampshire . New Jersey . . . . New Mexico . . . . New Y o rk ........... North Carolina .. Ohio .................. Oklahoma ......... Oregon ............. Pennsylvania . . . Rhode Island . .. South Carolina . . South Dakota . . . Tennessee ......... Texas ............... Utah .................. Verm ont............. Virginia............... West Virginia . . . Wisconsin........... N ote : 1950 1954 1958 1962 1965 $0,282 $0,310 $0,348 $0,364 $0,437 .707 .858 .812 .762 .660 .838 1972 1975 1978 $0,479 $0,599 $0,855 1.762 .832 1.721 2.505 1.385 2.178 1.292 .915 1.038 1.102 1.406 2.135 1.183 .689 .649 .697 .578 .737 .654 .827 .736 1.404 1.210 1.353 1.428 3.502 2.641 .760 1.335 1.283 1.002 .417 1.077 2.057 1.287 1.382 .480 .662 .766 1.065 .519 .437 .358 .664 .497 .363 .581 .514 .410 .582 .609 .398 .667 .624 .430 .501 .960 .865 .657 .385 .390 .369 .394 .448 .558 .451 .575 .668 .415 .398 .340 .370 .337 .520 .981 1.084 .879 1.382 1.512 1.380 .501 .600 .661 .859 .450 .653 .758 .747 1.034 .694 .692 .988 .854 1.141 .715 .738 .980 .816 1.106 .914 .854 .751 1.009 1.171 1.238 1.240 .902 1.262 1.373 1.890 1.821 .902 .476 .416 .638 .727 .590 .572 .528 .644 .474 .586 .792 .437 .531 .911 .721 .527 .495 1.054 .845 .447 .560 1.039 .948 .529 .534 1.224 1.565 .789 .746 1.233 .740 1.404 .710 1.166 1.687 .463 .858 .838 .863 .945 .512 .473 .627 .492 .813 .474 .820 .787 .864 .420 .885 1.069 .973 .433 1.109 1.052 1.441 1.770 .532 1.550 1.446 .630 .355 .831 .567 .315 1.007 .396 .834 .690 .392 .386 .842 .696 .389 1.491 .387 .767 .609 .511 2.074 .776 .899 .590 .635 2.918 1.173 1.393 .836 .842 .664 .710 .392 .829 .658 .537 .524 .398 .930 .607 .400 .545 .457 .502 .524 .422 .505 .531 .595 .503 .514 .391 .766 .588 .539 .903 1.753 .892 .875 .880 .268 .523 .345 .556 .404 .603 .428 .505 .671 .581 .660 .752 Dashes indicate data not available. ers’ compensation premiums in 1978.10 The average adjusted manual rate for any year obvi ously reflects some State data which are higher than the mean and some which are lower. For example, the mean adjusted rate for the 20 States was 0.471 percent of payroll in 1950, but the average employer in Ala bama paid only 0.282 percent of payroll for workers’ compensation insurance while his or her counterpart in Rhode Island paid 0.829 percent. A statistic providing a convenient summary of the extent of variation among the States around the mean cost is the standard devia tion.11 The larger the standard deviation, the greater the variation among the States in the percentage equivalent of payroll expended on workers’ compensation insur ance. The data in table 4 indicate that over time the 47 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers’ Compensation Insurance magnitude of such variation has increased. Table 5 traces the net cost to policyholders for the 45 types of employers between 1950 and 1978. The average employer in the 20 States spent $0,249 per week on workers’ compensation premiums for each worker in 1950, $0,945 in 1972, and $2,468 in 1978. Again, the sharp increase in costs after 1972 is evident from data for each combination of jurisdictions. In 1978, the mean weekly premium for employers in the 42 jurisdictions was just over $3.09 per worker.12 Table 5 also shows the extent of variation among the States around the net cost to policyholders. In 1950, when the average cost was $0,249 per worker per week Table 3. Average weekly net costs of insurance per employee for 45 types of employers in 47 jurisdictions, selected years, 1950 to 1978 Alabama ............. Alaska .................. Arizona ............... Arkansas ............. California............. C olorado............. Connecticut......... Delaware............. District of Columbia Florida.................. G eorgia............... H aw aii.................. Idaho.................... Illinois .................. Indiana.................. Iowa .................... Kansas ............... Kentucky............. Louisiana............. Maine .................. M aryland............. Massachusetts . . . Michigan ............. Minnesota ........... Mississippi........... 1950 1954 1958 1962 1965 $0,136 $0,183 $0,242 $0,281 $0,369 .631 .858 1.296 .627 .669 .663 .353 .253 .261 .197 .548 .396 .363 .245 .409 .443 .326 .447 .588 .357 1972 1975 $0,611 $0,938 1.627 4.127 2.066 3.985 1.040 1.447 1.755 2.746 1978 $1.544 4.879 5.293 2.078 4.816 .968 1.008 .835 1.219 1.196 1.467 1.304 2.847 2.554 2.768 2.922 8.199 4.793 .561 .660 .422 .629 1.306 1.063 1.029 .576 1.169 2.229 1.933 1.925 .766 1.912 3.964 2.238 3.063 1.016 1.159 1.253 1.856 .205 .237 .299 .380 .518 .644 .767 .949 .195 .229 .230 .286 .286 .687 1.588 2.190 1.659 2.781 2.909 2.581 .266 .390 .271 .290 .507 .660 .370 .519 .469 .639 .888 .655 .620 .671 .800 1.073 .740 .724 .729 1.154 1.569 1.493 1.237 .856 1.750 2.037 2.480 2.203 1.261 2.526 2.757 4.370 3.733 1.457 .600 .335 .363 .759 .584 .468 .385 .993 .750 .435 .477 1.072 1.330 .782 .689 1.872 ••• 1 2.695 1.430 1.179 2.312 1.196 2.795 1.484 2.128 3.651 .273 .382 Missouri............... Montana ............. Nebraska............. New Hampshire .. New J e rs e y ......... .310 .303 .250 .414 .308 .339 New M exico......... New York ........... North Carolina . . . Ohio .................... Oklahoma ........... .249 .565 .650 .722 .866 .167 .267 .291 .509 .335 .755 .354 .834 .957 1.326 .501 1.352 1.594 1.830 .634 2.077 1.673 2.479 3.844 .899 3.352 2.654 .541 .280 .586 .353 .233 .949 .346 .656 .500 .330 .369 .726 .553 .358 2.269 .554 .993 .700 .706 3.872 1.365 1.427 .832 1.077 6.288 2.382 2.387 1.360 1.649 .866 1.134 Oregon ............... Pennsylvania . . . . Rhode Island . . . . South Carolina . . . South Dakota . . . . Tennessee ........... Texas .................. Utah .................... Vermont ............. Virginia ............... .404 .284 .274 .283 .192 West Virginia . . . . Wisconsin ........... N ote : .555 .321 .250 .361 .270 .392 .365 .365 .396 .504 .511 .678 .684 .478 1.267 .963 .808 1.666 3.293 1.701 1.646 1.525 .200 .412 .279 .494 .358 .587 .563 .751 1.069 1.060 1.229 1.582 Dashes indicate data not available. 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 4. Means and standard deviations1of adjusted manual rates for 45 types of employers in various combinations of jurisdictions, selected years, 1950 to 1978 [Percent of total payroll] 20 jurisdictions2 Year Mean 1950 1954 1958 1962 1965 1972 1975 1978 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 0.471 .512 .521 .599 .623 .651 .871 1.185 28 jurisdictions3 Standard deviation 0.108 .145 .133 .150 .150 .171 .284 .446 Mean 0.587 .689 .760 .776 1.006 1.409 Standard deviation 0.172 .212 .277 .276 .302 .488 42 jurisdictions4 Mean 0.774 .995 1.461 Standard deviation 0.271 .328 .543 1Results are based on data in table 2. Weights are each jurisdiction’s total nonagricultural employment from Employment and Earnings Statistics fo r States and Areas, 1939- 70, Bul letin 1370-8, (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1971). The weighted standard deviations were calculated using a formula provided by Cornell University Professors Paul F. Velleman and Philip J. McCarthy, to whom we express our ap preciation. 2The 20-jurisdiction combination consists of: Alabama, Connecticut, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Utah, and Vermont. 3The 28-jurisdiction combination includes the 20 States listed in footnote 2 plus California, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. "The 42-jurisdiction combination includes the 28 States in footnote 3 plus Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, New York, Oregon, Tennessee, and Virginia. N ote : Dashes indicate data not available. in the 20 States, the standard deviation among the States was $0,056. By 1978, however, the mean weekly cost per worker was $2.468— up almost 10-fold since 1950— while the standard deviation ($1,113 in 1978) had grown nearly 20-fold over the same period. The adjusted manual rate is probably the most useful and comprehensive measure of cost because, as pre viously noted, it may be interpreted as the percentage equivalent of payroll expended on workers’ compensa tion insurance premiums. Chart 1 shows the trend in the average adjusted manual rates for the 45 types of employers in the 20 States for which there are compara ble data since 1950. The solid line in chart 1 tracks the weighted mean of the rates for the eight observations (years) available. The surrounding light area delineates the values of the Table 5. Means and standard deviations1of net weekly costs of insurance for 45 types of employers in various combinations of jurisdictions, selected years, 1950 to 1978 20 jurisdictions Year 1950 1954 1958 1962 1965 1972 1975 1978 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... Mean Standard deviation $0,249 .330 .399 .518 .590 .945 1.563 2.468 $0,056 .092 .104 .139 .154 .311 .610 1.113 28 jurisdictions Mean Standard deviation $0,472 .625 .760 1.160 1.848 3.000 $0,153 .215 .317 .461 .643 1.197 42 jurisdictions Mean Standard deviation $1,150 1.817 3.093 $0,454 689 1.328 1Results are based on data in table 3. See footnotes to table 4 for other information per taining to this tabulation. N ote : Dashes indicate data not available. Chart 1. Means and standard deviations of adjusted manual rates for employers in 20 States, selected years, 1950 to 1978 Adjusted manual rates (as percent of total payroll) NOTE: Assuming a normal distribution, adjusted manual rates for approximately 95 percent of the States should fall within + 2 standard deviations of the mean. adjusted manual rates that are within 2 standard devia tions of the mean. This range (mean ± 2 standard devi ations) is a useful statistical measure because, assuming a normal distribution, approximately 95 percent of the individual State averages will fall within the interval. Chart 1 and tables 3 and 4 tell a consistent story: on average, employers’ premiums for workers’ compensa tion insurance have increased sharply since 1972, and at the same time, cost differences among jurisdictions have widened considerably. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis M a n y fa c to r s outside the purview of this article in fluence the level of and trend in workers’ compensation insurance premiums, including the extent of litigation, differing legal interpretations of statutory provisions, the local cost of medical and rehabilitation services for victims of job-related injuries and diseases, and the ap proach used by the State to compensate permanent par tial disabilities.13 However, recent increases in the multistate premium averages may also be explained in part by the States’ modifications of their programs in 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers Compensation Insurance response to recommendations contained in the 1972 Re port of the National Commission on State Workmen’s Compensation Laws.14 Similarly, there are several possi ble reasons for the growth of interstate variations in costs, the most controversial being differences among States in the extent of improvement in their laws since 1972.15 The National Commission unanimously advised that Federal workers’ compensation standards be enacted in 1975 if States had not adopted its 19 essential recom mendations by that time. An underlying rationale for mandated standards was to reduce interstate differences in employers’ insurance premiums. The Commission considered these variations a likely impediment to State reform of workers’ compensation programs; State legis latures might perceive the higher costs of better insur ance plans as an incentive for employers to locate in other, lower cost jurisdictions. If the growth in inter state cost differentials since 1972 is related to unequal rates of improvement in State statutes,16 the case for Federal minimum standards for workers’ compensation is considerably strengthened. □ FOO TNOTES ACKNOWLEDGMENT: The authors thank John Bickerman, Robert Hutchens, and John Worrall for helpful comments as well as other assistance. ' The enumerated insurance arrangements pertain to private sector employers which are the focus of this article. These data are from C. Arthur Williams, Jr., and Peter S. Barth, Compendium on Workmen's Compensation (Washington, Government Printing Office, 1973). Be cause information on self-insurers is limited, and such employers ac count for a small percentage of benefit payments, these firms are excluded from the analysis. 2 Programs in Nevada, North Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming allowed insurance only through a State fund, and the insurance classi fications were not comparable with those in the remaining 47 jurisdic tions. Therefore, these States were excluded from the analysis. 1John F. Burton, Jr., “Workers’ Compensation Costs for Employ ers,” Research Report o f the Interdepartmental Workers' Compensation Task Force, Vol. 3 (Washington, Government Printing Office, 1979), pp. 9-3 2 . An errata sheet for this study is available from the author. 4 Some employers provide benefits in addition to workers’ compen sation to their employees who are disabled by work-related injuries or diseases. To the extent that these benefits are integrated with workers’ compensation benefits, the changes in total costs for work-related dis ability benefits resulting from interstate movements by employers may vary from the cost differences examined in this article. There are in sufficient data to make an estimate of the interstate differences in the costs of these additional benefits. 5In five States included in this study, employers’ liability for work ers’ compensation premiums is limited to a maximum amount of an employee’s weekly earnings (“covered pay”). In Massachusetts, for ex ample, premiums are based on only the first $300 of weekly pay. Thus, in some States, payroll covered by workers’ compensation in surance is less than total payroll. 6Table 3 in Research Report o f the Task Force provides a detailed description of each of the 79 types of employers and information on the percent of payroll in 28 States accounted for by the various com binations of employers. Examples of manufacturing employers are bakeries, foundries, and furniture mills. Contracting employers include firms doing plumbing, concrete work, and street construction. “Oth er” establishments include retail stores, hospitals, and general employ ers of sales and clerical workers. The derivation of the 18-percent difference between manual rates and adjusted manual rates is provided in Section D of Research R e port o f the Task Force. The 18-percent figure is a national average based on experience in 34 jurisdictions. The actual difference will vary somewhat among States, depending on such factors as the relative im portance of mutual companies, participating stock companies, and nonparticipating stock companies. 8Section D of Research Report o f the Task Force explains the deri vation of the percentages used to reduce manual rates in order to cal culate adjusted manual rates in Ohio and West Virginia. 4As explained in Section F of Research Report o f the Task Force, the net cost to policyholders in a State (or other jurisdiction) is calcu lated by multiplying the product of the adjusted manual rate and the 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis State’s index number (which measures the State’s earnings relative to U.S. earnings in 1970) by the national average of weekly earnings for workers covered by the unemployment insurance program. For 1976 (the latest year for which data were available when the tables for this article were prepared), the latter figure was $203.88. 10The text indicates that in the 42 jurisdictions, the 45 types of em ployers spent, on average, 1.461 percent of payroll on workers’ com pensation premiums in 1978. This combination of jurisdictions and employers was chosen to provide historically comparable data. For the largest combination of employers (79) and jurisdictions (44) shown in table 1, the average employer spent the equivalent of 1.843 percent of payroll on workers’ compensation premiums in 1978, based on weighted observations. The 1.843-percent figure is close to Daniel Price’s estimate that pre mium costs nationally (including Federal and self-insurance, but ex cluding programs financed by general revenue, such as the black lung program) were 1.85 percent of payroll in 1978. Price’s estimate is in cluded in “Workers’ Compensation: 1978 Program Update,” Social Security Bulletin, October 1980, pp. 3-10. For a comparison of the estimating procedures used by Price and Burton, involving 1975 data, see Research Report o f the Task Force, footnote 35. 11 For an elementary discussion of the standard deviation, see Dan iel B. Suits, Statistics: An Introduction to Quantitative Economic R e search (Chicago, Rand McNally and Co., 1963), pp. 38-52. 12 For the largest combination of employers (79) and jurisdictions (44) shown in table 1, the average employer spent $3,915 per week per worker on workers’ compensation insurance in 1978, based on weighted observations. 13 For a discussion of some of these factors, see John F. Burton, Jr., The Significance and Causes o f the Interstate Variations in the Em ploy ers' Costs o f Workmen's Compensation (Ph.D. diss., University of Michigan, 1965). The results of a study of interstate cost differences associated with various approaches to permanent partial disability benefits may be found in John F. Burton, Jr. and Wayne Vroman, “A Report on Permanent Partial Disabilities under Workers’ Compensa tion,” Research Report o f the Interdepartm ental Workers' Compensation Task Force, Vol. 6 (Washington, Government Printing Office, forth coming). 14(Washington, Government Printing Office, 1972). 15 Laws in effect on January 1, 1980, in 52 jurisdictions (including the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico) were on average in compli ance with 12.03 of the 19 essential recommendations of the National Commission, according to information provided in January 1980 by the Division of State Workers’ Compensation Standards of the Em ployment Standards Administration, U.S. Department of Labor. The range among the jurisdictions in 1980 was considerable, with Mon tana, New Hampshire, and Ohio in compliance with at least 15.5 of the essential recommendations, while Arkansas, Mississippi, and Ten nessee were in compliance with 8.5 or fewer of the recommendations. 16The assumed relationship between cost increases and improve ments in State laws from 1972 to 1978 are being examined in an ongoing study by John F. Burton, Jr. Workers’ compensation in 1980: summary of major enactments Broader coverage and levels of benefits received the most attention among the 46 jurisdictions which met during the year, although several States did set new standards for measuring hearing loss L a V e r n e C. T in sle y All but six State legislatures convened in 1980, resulting in enactment of 136 amendments to State workers’ compensation laws.1 Twenty-three jurisdictions carried over legislation introduced from 1979 to the 1980 ses sions. Most amendments either revised coverage or in creased or supplemented weekly benefits. Twenty-two jurisdictions amended their coverage laws. California extended coverage to off-duty peace of ficers and firefighters performing work-related duties anywhere in the State. Colorado and Missouri broad ened coverage to include sheriffs and deputy sheriffs and Ohio extended coverage to jail inmates. Domestic employees employed by an employer for 240 hours or more during a calendar quarter will be covered in the District of Columbia next year. New Jer sey now requires that domestic servants and household employees be covered by homeowners’ policies. Missouri adopted a provision that excludes from mandatory coverage salaried corporate officers and pri vate employment where the total gross annual payroll is under $10,000 (except for the salaries of certain rela tives). Sole proprietors and partners may elect coverage for themselves in Minnesota, Vermont, and Virginia. In New Mexico, employers with fewer than three employ ees and who are generally exempt from occupational disease coverage may also elect coverage. By October 1980, 43 States and the District of Co lumbia had increased maximum weekly benefits for tem porary total disability, and 40 States had increased benLaVerne C. Tinsley is a workers’ compensation specialist in the Division of State Workers’ Compensation Standards, Employment Standards Administration, U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis efits for total disability and death through automatic adjustments of maximum benefit levels linked to each State’s average weekly wage. (See table 1.) The percentage of the State weekly wage on which benefits are based was raised from 100 to 150 percent in Nevada, from 60 to 100 percent in Kentucky, and from 72 to 75 percent in Kansas. The percentage of the worker’s wage for determining weekly benefits was in creased from 6 6 -2 /3 to 70 percent in New Jersey. Ef fective in 1981, maximum weekly benefits in Missouri will be based on a percentage of the State average week ly wage rather than being a statutory amount. Maxi mum benefits were also increased statutorily in five other jurisdictions. The aggregate amount of compensation for death was increased from $55,000 to $75,000 in California. Chil dren who are dependent and full-time students, in Mis sissippi, are newly entitled to receive death benefits until they are 23 years of age. The burial allowance was increased from $1,500 to $3,000 in Louisiana, and from $750 to $2,000 in New Jersey. Awards for disfigurement to the head, neck, hands, or arms were increased from $2,000 to $4,000 in Mis souri. New standards were established for occupational hearing loss compensation at frequencies ranging from 1,000 to 3,000 cycles per second in Illinois and New Jersey, and from 500 to 3,000 cycles per second in Iowa. Louisiana enacted penalty provisions to prohibit em ployers from refusing to hire an applicant or rehire an employee solely because such person had previously MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers’ Compensation in 1980 filed a workers’ compensation claim. References to “workmen’s compensation” were changed to “workers’ compensation” in Kentucky, Missouri, New Jersey, and Tennessee. Other amendments pertaining to benefits, coverage, medical care, rehabilitation, administration, and other aspects of State systems are included in the following State-by-State summary. Alaska Coverage was extended to public high school students in work-study programs while they are working outside the school. A Workers’ Compensation Study Commission was estab Table 1. lished to review the workers’ compensation law and recom mend changes to eliminate outdated and inadequate provi sions, to provide fully for the rights of workers injured in the State, and to minimize costs to employers. Arizona Definitions for “co-employee”, “heart-related or peri vascular injury, illness or death”, “mental injury, illness or condition”, and “weakness, disease or other condition of the heart or perivascular system” were added to the act. An amendment was added to the Arizona Constitution which allows persons injured while engaged in manual or me chanical labor, or in case of death, the dependents, the option to accept benefits or retain the right to sue their employers. The statute of limitations for claim filing changed so that a Jurisdictions that changed maximum weekly temporary total disability benefits during 1980 Jurisdiction Former maximum New maximum Alabam a................................................................................. Alaska .................................................................................... Arizona.................................................................................... Arkansas ............................................................................... Colorado.................................................................................. Connecticut............................................................................. $136.00 $654.30 $192.32 $112.00 $222.74 $261.00, plus $10 for each dependent under 18 years of age, not to exceed 75 percent of employee's wage $148.00 $650.00 $203.86 $126.00 $244.65 $285.00, plus $10 for each dependent under 18 years of age not to exceed 75 percent of employee’s wage Delaware ............................................................................... District of Colum bia................................................................ F'orlaa .................................................................................... Hawaii .................................................................................... idano ...................................................................................... $164.71 $426.40 $195.00 $200.00 $115.80 to $173.70 according to number of dependents, plus 7 percent of State average weekly wage for each child up to 5 $175.28 $456.24 $211.00 $215.00 $121.20 to $181.80 according to number of dependents plus 7 percent of State average weekly wage for each child up to 5 Illinois...................................................................................... Indiana .................................................................................... Io w a ........................................................................................ Kansas .................................................................................... Kentucky................................................................................. Louisiana ............................................................................... M ain e ...................................................................................... Marylanc.................................................................................. Massachusetts ....................................................................... $353.19 $130.00 $352.00 $148.00 $131.00 $149.00 $306.23 $220.00 $227.31, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed worker’s average weekly wage $358.95 $140.00 $384.00 $170.00 $217.00 $164.00 $332.16 $241.00 $245.48, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed worker’s average weekly wage Michigan.................................................................................. Minnesota............................................................................... Missouri .................................................................................. M ontana.................................................................................. Nevada .................................................................................... New Hampshire....................................................................... New Jersey............................................................................. New Mexico ........................................................................... North Carolina......................................................................... North Dakota........................................................................... $156.00 to $185.00, according to number of dependents $226.00 $125.00 $198.00 $ 2 2 8 .* $195.00 $164.00 $186.38 $194.00 $196.00, plus $5 for each dependent child; aggregate not to exceed worker’s net wage $171.00 to $200.00, according to number of dependents $244.00 $150.00 $219.00 $245.09 $213.00 $185.00 $201.04 $210.00 $213.00, plus $5 for each dependent child; aggregate not to exceed worker’s net wage O h io ........................................................................................ Oklahoma............................................................................... O regon.................................................................................... Pennsylvania........................................................................... Rhode Island........................................................................... $241.00 $141.00 $241.70 $227.00 $199.00, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed 80 percent of worker's average weekly wage $258.00 $155.00 $261.32 $242.00 $217.00, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed 80 percent of worker’s average weekly wage South Carolina ....................................................................... Tennessee ............................................................................. Texas ...................................................................................... U ta h ........................................................................................ $185.00 $107.00 $119.00 $210.00, plus $5 for dependent spouse and each dependent child up to 4, but not to exceed 100 percent of State average weekly wage $197.00 $119.00 $133.00 $230.00, plus $5 for dependent spouse and each dependent child up to 4, but not to exceed 100 percent of State average weekly wage Vermont ................................................................................. Virginia.................................................................................... Washington............................................................................. West Virginia........................................................................... Wisconsin ............................................................................... Wyoming.................................................................................. $192.00, plus $5 for each dependent under 21 years of age $199.00 $186.88 $237.00 $218.00 $292.35 $208.00, plus $5 for each dependent under 21 years of age $213.00 $221.72 $262.08 $233.00 $326.45 Note: Benefit increases are based on the applicable State’s average weekly or monthly wage, and for the District of Columbia, the national average weekly wage. However, nine states (Arizona, Arkansas, California, Georgia, Indiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, New York, and 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Tennessee) and Puerto Rico prescribe statutory amounts; six States (California, Georgia, Mississippi, Nebraska, New York, and South Dakota) and Puerto Rico are not listed because no in creases for temporary total disability were legislated during 1980. late claim can not be considered unless the claimant is deemed incompetent or justifiably relied on a “material representa tion” by the Industrial Commission, employer, or insurance carrier. The Second Injury Fund is now responsible for one-half of the compensation award above a 50-percent reduced monthly earning capacity for a second injury to a preexisting scheduled injury. The maximum amount used for computing the employee’s average monthly wage was raised from $1,250 to $1,325. Scheduled injuries will now be paid solely for fixed periods, regardless of the claimant’s earning capacity, if compensation has not been awarded for permanent partial disability. The time for requesting a hearing was extended from 60 to 90 days. California Coverage was extended to off-duty peace officers or fire fighters who are injured, killed, or disabled while engaged in the performance of their duties anywhere in the State. Em ployees of the San Luis Obispo County sheriff’s office disabled in the line of duty are entitled to 1 year of disability leave, in lieu of temporary disability benefits, if such leave is approved. Employers must post in a conspicuous place at the worksite, written notice of compensation coverage, including names of persons responsible for claims adjustment. The average weekly wage used for determining total disabil ity payments was increased from $231 to $262.50. The total maximum compensation for death was increased from $55,000 to $75,000, according to the number of dependents. The Asbestos Workers’ Account was established in the Uninsured Employer’s Fund to provide temporary disability and medical benefits to asbestos workers suffering from asbestosis when the liable employer either cannot be located or fails to provide benefits within 30 days of the disability. The director of the Department of Industrial Relations is authorized to adopt rules and regulations to implement the statutory coverage provisions relating to uninsured employers. Legal actions may now be taken against an uninsured employ er. The administrative director of the Division of Industrial Accidents no longer has authority to change regulations re garding the privacy of certain employee records. All attorneys employed as referees by the Division of In dustrial Accidents must now adhere to the California Code of Judicial Conduct. Delivery of notices in third party actions will be made by personal service or certified mail, instead of by registered mail. Claimants traveling to medical facilities for examination by a physician will be reimbursed 21 cents for each mile traveled, instead of the previous 14 cents. Colorado Municipalities can now elect coverage for unpaid appointed or elected officials. Coverage was extended to deputy sheriffs and persons who serve on posses. Tax paid by insurers into the Major Medical Insurance Fund was raised to 1.75 percent of the premiums received, from 1.25 percent. Connecticut Interlocal risk management pools (established to insure high-risk employers) now have authority to operate separate pools to cover hypertension and heart disease risks. Supplemental compensation for recipients on-the-rolls prior https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to October 1977 was changed from a one-time 25 percent in crease to an annual cost-of-living increase. Dependent children who are full-time students are eligible for benefits until age 22 (previously, the limit was 18 years). Claimants will now be reimbursed 15 cents for each mile traveled to medical treatment facilities, instead of the previous 10 cents per mile. The lung function test now applies to all foundry workers, except those who are exempted for religious reasons. District of Columbia The city council passed, and the mayor signed, a bill establishing the District of Columbia Workers’ Compensation Act of 1979, effective October 1, 1981. This action was taken to simultaneously remove private employment in the District of Columbia from the provisions of the Longshoremen’s and Harbor Workers’ Compensation Act, and to transfer adminis tration of the District of Columbia’s compensation law from the U.S. Department of Labor to the District of Columbia. However, the legality of the act is in doubt because on Sep tember 26, 1980, D.C. Superior Court Judge John F. Doyle ruled that the reform law passed by the D.C. city council vio lated the home rule charter of the city. He concluded that the city, therefore, had illegally legislated the Federal program out of existence. The council appealed Judge Doyle’s decision in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia on November 12, 1980, requesting an expedited decision. Under the new act, coverage will include only workers employed in the District of Columbia and injured or killed as a result of their employment. Domestic workers also will be covered if they worked for the same employers at least 240 hours during a calendar quarter. Compensation for illness or death resulting from a job-related disease is the responsibility of the employer where the last known exposure occurred. The same maximum will apply for both weekly disability and death benefits; however, benefits to survivors will only be allowed if death was caused by a job-related injury or illness. Minimum compensation for total disability and death is 25 percent of the maximum weekly benefit amount, rather than 50 percent of the national average weekly wage as required by the Longshoremen’s and Harbor Workers’ Compensation Act. Permanent partial disability awards can now be reviewed at any time up to 3 years after either the date of the last com pensation payment or the rejection of the claim. For those re ceiving benefits for permanent total disability or death, a supplementary benefit is provided of no more than 5 percent of the maximum weekly benefit received the preceding year. However, this provision does not become effective until the average weekly wage in the District of Columbia exceeds $396.78. Compensation for total disability will be paid at 66-2/3 percent of the employee’s average weekly wage. In case of death, compensation to all survivors is not to exceed that amount. Eighty percent of the employee’s spendable earnings will be considered as 66-2/3 percent of his or her average weekly wage. Benefits for disability or death will be offset by no more than 80 percent of disability compensation under the Social Security Act or an employee benefit plan, subject to the Employee Retirement Income Security Act. The mayor will be required to appoint a panel of physicians from which an injured employee must select an attending phy sician. Attorney fees will be limited to no more than 20 percent of the actual benefit the attorney secured for the claimant. The costs of administering the act will be met by assessing 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers’ Compensation in 1980 insurance carriers and self-insured employers based on the share of payments made by each to the total amount of all payments during the preceding fiscal year. Florida General contractors are now liable for coverage for all em ployees of a subcontractor, unless the subcontractor already provides coverage. The basis for computing temporary partial disability bene fits was changed from a “monthly” to “weekly” rate. An award must now be paid within 30 days, rather than the previous 20 days. The definition for “accident” now includes the acceleration or exaggeration of a preexisting disability. An employer must now provide at least two physicians from which the employee must select one for treatment. Changes in medical fee schedules will be determined annu ally by a panel consisting of the Secretary of Labor and Em ployment Security, the Insurance Commissioner, and the State medical consultant of the Division of Workers’ Compensation. Pharmacists were added to the list of health care providers, making them subject to evaluation by the Division to deter mine if their services are acceptable based on medically ac cepted standards and the medical fee schedules. Medical reports required from self-insurers must be filed with the Division of Workers’ Compensation within 15 days, instead of the previous 5 days. An injured employee is no longer required to notify the Di vision within 30 days of an injury. Georgia Group self-insurance will be allowed in the State next year. A requirement was enacted for both public and private cor porations to provide employee coverage. Hawaii Permanent total disability awards made before July 1, 1980, are now to be increased annually. A rehabilitation unit, in the Department of Labor and In dustrial Relations, will refer to the director employees suspect ed of having permanent disabilities and those who have permanent disabilities and who can be physically or vocation ally rehabilitated. Enrollment in a rehabilitation program will not affect a dis abled worker’s entitlement to temporary total disability compensation, if the worker earns no wages during the enroll ment period. Labor organizations are exempted from third party liability for injuries to its members on the basis of the organizations’ failure to furnish or enforce health or safety regulations. Illinois Real estate brokers, broker-salesworkers, salesworkers paid solely by commission, and volunteers in recreational programs and drug and alcohol rehabilitation programs are now exclud ed from workers’ compensation coverage. The Department of Insurance must adopt rules that will permit two or more employers with similar risks to group selfinsure. Employers may now obtain life insurance policies to cover liabilities for work-related death benefits. Maximum weekly benefit levels for permanent partial dis ability are frozen (at $269.21 or 100 percent of the State’s av erage weekly wage) from January 1, 1981, through December 31, 1983. 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The definition of “average weekly wage” was redefined to mean the actual earnings of the employee at the time of the injury during the 52 weeks ending with the pay period imme diately preceding the injury. All time periods of compensation for fractures were re duced: for skull and vertebrae fractures, from 60 to 6 weeks; for each facial bone fracture, from 20 to 2 weeks; for each transverse process, from 30 to 3 weeks; and for the loss of a kidney, spleen, or lung, from 100 to 10 weeks. New standards were established for compensation of occu pational hearing loss at frequencies of 1,000, 2,000, and 3,000 cycles per second and a causation level of 90 decibels. Em ployers are no longer responsible for cases of occupational hearing loss before July 1, 1975, and the new standards do not apply to hearing loss resulting from trauma or explosion. Attorney fees are limited to 20 percent of the amount of compensation recovered and paid, unless otherwise approved by the Industrial Commission. The Industrial Commission must publish a workers’ com pensation handbook for employers and employees. The Direc tor of Insurance is required to publish informational booklets on workers’ compensation insurance rates and the rights and obligations of employers and employees under the Workers’ Compensation and Occupational Disease Acts. Indiana Coverage was extended to participants in a township poor relief program who are satisfying assistance requirements. A wage rate was set as the basis for computing his or her work ers’ compensation benefits. Iowa New standards require determining the severity of occupa tional hearing loss based on using frequencies of 500, 1,000, 2,000, and 3,000 cycles to measure hearing levels. A maxi mum of 175 weeks of compensation can be received for hear ing loss but compensation will not be paid to an employee who fails to use hearing protective devices. Kansas Self-insurance is now permitted for cities, counties, school districts, vocational-technical schools, or community colleges. A separate reserve fund was created to pay claims, judge ments, and expenses of these entities. The director of the Division of Workers’ Compensation, now has authority to conduct hearings and determine all dis putes on medical charges and interest due. Kentucky The maximum weekly benefit levels were increased to 100 percent (formerly 60 percent) of the State average weekly wage for total disability; and, to 75 percent (formerly 60 per cent) for permanent partial disability and death. All provi sions for scheduled injuries were deleted. Payment for permanent partial disability will be determined by multiplying the weekly benefit for permanent partial disability by the per centage of disability or the wage earning capacity, whichever is greater, for a maximum period of 425 weeks. The maximum period for vocational rehabilitation was ex tended from 26 to 52 weeks. During rehabilitation, the per centage for calculating the employee’s average weekly wage will be raised from 66-2/3 percent to 80 percent times the percentage of disability. The definition of “injury” now includes any work-related harmful change in the human organism, “arising out of and in the course of employment.” Previously, communicable dis eases were not included unless the risk of contacting such dis ease increased by the nature of the employment. The Pneumoconiosis Fund was abolished and all unfunded liabilities transferred to the Special Fund. The time limit for notifying the Board of Workers’ Com pensation that a claim will be disputed was increased from 60 to 90 days. A sum of $150,000 was appropriated from the General Fund to finance a study of the State’s workers’ compensation program. The study will review the National Council on Compensation Insurance rating procedures, compare premium levels in Kentucky with other jurisdictions, and analyze the feasibility of a computer system and of a State Fund. References to “workmen’s” were changed to “workers’ ” throughout the Act. Louisiana Surviving parents are now entitled to a $20,000 lump-sum payment in death cases where there are no other legal depen dents. Burial expenses were doubled from $1,500 to $3,000. The statute of limitations for filing a claim for an occupa tional disease was extended to 6 months from the time: (1) of the initial manifestation; (2) of the disability resulting from the disease; or, (3) that the employee knew or had reason to suspect that the disease is occupationally related. For claims arising from death due to an occupational disease, the filing period was extended to 6 months from the date of death or from the date the claimant has reason to believe that the death resulted from an occupational disease. Employers are now required to conspicuously post notices regarding time limitations for filing occupational disease claims; failure to comply will allow claims to be filed against the employer for an additional 6 months. Attorney fees were raised to 20 percent of the first $10,000 of an award (formerly $5,000) and 10 percent for any addi tional amount. Employers are prohibited from refusing to hire applicants or discriminating against employees solely because they had previously filed compensation claims. For such discrimination, an employee is eligible for up to 1 year’s salary in addition to a reasonable attorney’s fee. Injured employees are now permitted to file petitions in the District Court of the parish in which either the employee or his or her dependents live. Maine A commissioner whose term has expired is now entitled to $50 per day for time spent preparing decisions in cases where all evidence was heard and no decision was made. Maryland Mandatory coverage was authorized for participants in the State’s Workfare Program and for jurors serving on State ju ries. Minimum weekly compensation for temporary total disabili ty was increased from $25 to $50. The time in which an employee must notify the employer of his or her occupational disease was extended from 30 days to 1 year after the employee knows he or she has a disease. Massachusetts Third party actions in industrial accident cases will only be enforced 7 months after the injury and after compensation is paid. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Interest on late payments of compensation awards was in creased from 6 to 10 percent. Minnesota Coverage now includes certain volunteer workers whose ser vices are accepted or contracted. The following may elect coverage for certain employed relatives: owners or partners of a business or farm, a family farm corporation, and a closely-held corporation which had fewer than 22,880 hours of payroll in the preceding year. The definition of “family farm” now includes any farming operation which pays or is obligated to pay less than $8,000 in wages to farm laborers; and, excludes from the definition of “employee,” farmers and members of their families who ex change work with other community farmers. Supplementary benefits based on the statewide average weekly wage for the preceding year will be adjusted annually on October 1. Payment of benefits was authorized for dependents of State, county, or city medical care employees who die from tubercu losis contacted by exposure to tuberculosis patients or con taminated material in the course of employment. An employee who contacts tuberculosis from work exposure is permitted to select a physician or medical care facility for treatment. Mississippi Dependent children who are full-time students are now eli gible for death benefits until age 23 (previously the limit was 18 years). Missouri Coverage was extended to sheriffs and deputy sheriffs. Exempted from coverage are salaried corporate officers and private industries with a total gross annual payroll of under $10,000 in the preceding year; wages paid to certain relatives are not included in calculating gross annual payroll. Maximum weekly benefits for total disability and death were raised from $125 to $150. On August 13, 1981, benefits will change from a statutory amount to 66-2/3 percent of the State average weekly wage. On January 1, 1981, maximum weekly benefits for permanent partial disability will change to 66-2/3 percent of 60 percent of the State average weekly wage. Awards were increased from $2,000 to $4,000 for disfigure ment to the head, neck, hands, or arms. A worker is now eligible to receive compensation for the first 3 days of an illness after a waiting period of 14 days, in stead of the previous 4 weeks. The healing period for perma nent partial disability was lengthened from 40 to 52 weeks. A surviving husband is no longer required to prove dependency for benefits. The statute of limitations for filing a claim was increased from 1 to 2 years and up to 3 years from date of injury if the employer did not file a report of injury. Interest on unpaid workers’ compensation benefits was raised from 6 to 8 percent. References to “workmen’s” were changed to “workers’ ” throughout the act. New Jersey Coverage was extended to recipients under the General Public Assistance Law. All homeowner’s or comprehensive personal liability insur ance policies must cover injuries to domestic servants and household employees. The percentage of the worker’s wage on which benefits are 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Workers’ Compensation in 1980 based for disability and, in death cases, for a spouse with chil dren was raised from 66-2/3 to 70 percent. Maximum weekly benefits for disability and death were increased from 66-2/3 to 75 percent of the State average weekly wage. Minimum weekly benefits for total disability and death were changed from $15 to 20 percent of the State average weekly wage, and from $10 to $35 for permanent partial disability. Temporary disability benefits can now be received for 400 weeks, up from the previous 300 weeks. The number of weeks of compensation for specified losses was extended as follows: loss of a hand, from 230 to 245 weeks; loss of an arm, from 300 to 330 weeks; loss of a foot, from 200 to 230 weeks; and loss of a leg from 275 to 315 weeks. In cases of non-scheduled injury, where the disability is determined as a percentage of permanent total disability, the maximum period of compensa tion increased to 600 weeks from 550 weeks. Standards for measuring occupational hearing loss were established at frequencies of 1,000, 2,000, and 3,000 Hertz. A maximum of 200 weeks of compensation is authorized for to tal loss of hearing and for partial disability for such periods as are proportionate to the relation which the calculated percent age loss bears to 100 percent hearing loss. A special adjustment of benefits was established for em ployees receiving benefits at a rate applicable before January 1, 1980. For fiscal year 1981, the adjustment rate is 35 per cent; for fiscal 1982, 75 percent; and for fiscal 1983, 100 per cent. These benefits will be offset by social security disability payments, black lung payments, or an employer’s share of dis ability pension payments. The burial allowance was increased from $750 to $2,000. Lump-sum awards are now permitted if approved by the Division of Workers’ Compensation. Either spouse is now a presumptive dependent for survivors benefits; previously, only widows were specified in the law. For occupational disease claims, the statute of limitations will not begin to run until the claimant has actual knowledge of the condition and its relation to work. Formerly, the stat ute began when the claimant first had knowledge of the dis ability. By enactment, “workmen’s” was changed to “workers’ ” throughout the law. New Mexico Employers who are generally exempt from provisions of the Occupational Diseases Disablement Law must now file notices of acceptance, rejection, or revocation of coverage with the Superintendent of Insurance. New York Either alien spouse is now entitled to compensation bene fits; previously, only widows were eligible. In the event of the death of a corporation officer, the depen dents are entitled to compensation from the Uninsured Em ployers’ Fund. The waiting period before compensation for occupational hearing loss was shortened from 6 to 3 months after removal from exposure to harmful noise. Removal from exposure may be accomplished by the use of effective ear protection devices provided by the employer. An employee’s failure to file a claim for occupational hear ing loss within the required 2-year period will not bar his or her claim, if the claim is filed within 90 days after knowledge that the loss of hearing is employment-related. An employee disabled prior to October 1, 1980, will have 6 months from such date to file a claim. 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Assets in Uninsured Employers’ Fund are now set at a maximum of $600,000, formerly $300,000. Full disclosure is required by the employer of all accidents that occur in the business operation of the employer. North Carolina Confirmed cases of brown lung disease or byssinosis will be compensable, regardless of the date of the employee’s last in jurious exposure. Ohio Coverage was extended to jail inmates and probationers in work relief programs. Employers contributing to the Disabled Workers’ Relief Fund will be assessed an additional 5 to 10 cents per $100 of payroll. The Marine Industry Fund was established to insure enrollees in the marine industry. Oklahoma Excluded from coverage is agricultural or horticultural em ployment in which the employer had a gross annual payroll of under $100,000 (previously $25,000) in the preceding year. Also exempted are licensed real estate sales associates or bro kers who are paid solely by commission, and farm employ ments with annual payrolls in the preceding year of $100,000 (formerly $25,000). Pennsylvania The definition of “employee” was broadened to include any paid firefighter who is a member of a volunteer fire company during off-duty hours. Similarly, coverage was extended to all members of volunteer ambulance corps, volunteer rescue workers, and lifesaving squads. Rhode Island Effective the first fiscal year of 1981, coverage will be com pulsory for employees of the city of Providence. Group self-in surance is now allowed for hospitals with the approval of the Director of Labor. Legislation extended the existence of the Dr. John E. Donley Rehabilitation Center, the State’s rehabilitation center, until June 30, 1983. South Carolina In cases of permanent partial disability, prostheses will be furnished as long as needed by the injured employee. Employers must report all injuries that require medical or surgical attention to the Industrial Commission within 10 days after knowledge of the injury. Employers who refuse or neglect to submit the required forms, records, or reports will be fined $50 (formerly $10) for each offense. Also, employers who willfully refuse payment of compensation will receive fines ranging from $100 to $1,000, or 30 days to 6 months imprisonment, or both. Information compiled by treatment facilities pertaining to workers’ compensation claimants must be made available, upon request, to employers, carriers, attorneys, or the Indus trial Commission. South Dakota Coverage was extended to employees of the Game, Fish, and Parks Department. The time limit in which an employer must file an accident report was shortened from 30 to 10 days. Tennessee Self-insurance is now permitted with the posting of accept able negotiable securities or a bond worth at least $125,000, and certified evidence of financial ability to pay all claims. Maximum weekly benefits for disability and death were in creased from $107 to $119; and the total maximum from $42,800 to $47,600. A lump-sum payment of $10,000 will be paid to a deceased employee’s estate, if there are no depen dents. A joint legislative committee was established to study the State’s workers’ compensation system and make recommenda tions to the 92nd General Assembly by February 1, 1981. An enactment expanded the definition of “total disability” from coal workers’ pneumoconiosis to include employees who would be entitled to benefits under the Black' Lung Benefits Act of 1972. References to “workmen’s” were changed to “workers’ ” throughout the law. Vermont The Military Department may elect coverage for employees whose salaries are paid fully or partially with Federal funds. Virginia Sole proprietors and partners may now elect coverage for themselves. The Secretary of Administration and Finance is authorized to implement a workers’ compensation program for State employees. Payment of compensation in a lump sum in lieu of periodic payments will be reduced by the disability retirement benefits a disabled worker or the worker’s surviving dependents are entitled to receive. Employers are required to furnish medical care and pros thetic appliances for loss of hearing injuries. Reimbursement was authorized for employers who pay compensation and medical and vocational rehabilitation ex penses while awaiting an award decision from the Industrial Commission. A regional peer review committee will be established in each health systems area to evaluate and determine the level, quality, duration, and cost of health care services. The Industrial Commission is authorized to order an in junction against employers who fail to comply with the work https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ers’ compensation law. The Subcommittee of the House Committee on Labor and Commerce was requested to continue its study of the factors accounting for the accelerating increases in workers’ compen sation premiums. Washington Under certain conditions, the State Fund can insure em ployers as a group. Costs of supplies and equipment are now included in the coverage of vocational rehabilitation. Wisconsin Coverage was extended to State legislators on official travel and to State legislators serving as committee members or as members of other official bodies. Maximum weekly benefits for permanent partial disability were raised from $65 to $70. The death benefit payable to parents when there are no wholly dependent survivors was in creased to $5,000, from $2,000. Interest was increased from 6 to 7 percent on late death benefits payments. It is now mandatory for the Department of Industry, Labor and Human Relations to employ a specialist in physical, med ical, and vocational rehabilitation. Requests by employers for employees to submit to medical examinations must not involve travel in excess of 100 miles from the employee’s home. Payments from the Work Injury Supplemental Benefit Fund to an employee whose claim is barred by the statute of limita tions will be supplemental to any payment under any Federal insurance benefit program. All workers’ compensation disability benefits will be reduced if the employee is also receiving social security disability. The statute of limitations for initiating a compensation ac tion was extended from 10 to 12 years. A claim for occupa tional deafness can not be filed until 14 days (formerly 2 months) after removal from the noisy employment. □ --------- FOO TNOTE ---------' Arkansas, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, and Texas did not meet in 1980. 57 The A natom y of Price Change Two Consumer Price Index issues: weighting and homeownership J a n e t L. N o r w o o d In general terms, the purpose of indexation is to adjust Federal payments for changes in the cost of living. To achieve this objective, an accurate index of living costs is required. Since the Consumer Price Index is the ma jor economic indicator designed to measure changes in family purchasing power, it has been a natural choice as the primary indexing mechanism. The CPI is a good measure of the changes in purchasing power of the av erage family represented in the index, but like any other statistical measure, the CPI is not perfect. In recent years, several questions concerning the methodology used to construct the CPI have been widely discussed. It is important that public policy decisions on indexation reflect a full understanding of these issues. The fixed market basket. The CPI is constructed by obtaining the prices, each month, of a set of goods and services purchased in the base period (currently 1972 and 1973). This market basket is based upon a survey of consumers conducted during these years. BLS practice has been to hold the weights for the mix of goods and services purchased during the base period constant until a major revision of the index occurs— about every 1012 years. The market basket is kept constant deliberate ly in order to isolate price changes from changes which may occur in living standards. In recent years, as prices have continued to climb, some people have argued that the CPI market basket does not adequately represent current experience. They contend that rational consumers shift their purchases in response to changes in relative prices and suggest that Commissioner of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood discussed the Consumer Price Index before the Senate Appropriations Committee on January 29. This report is drawn from her testimony. Digitized for58 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis th e CPI m ig h t overestim ate th e co st o f m ain tain in g cur rent livin g standards. Historically, differences in weighting patterns have not usually created large differences in price index mea sures. BLS research suggests that between CPI revisions in the past, the effect of consumption shifts on price measurement has been no more than a tenth or so of an index point per year. Of course, past experience on this question may not be conclusive, especially in the most recent years when inflation has been running at double digit rates and large changes in certain prices (energy, for example) have been experienced. Another way to gain perspective on the effect of weighting patterns on price index measurement is to ex amine the Commerce Department’s Deflator for Person al Consumption Expenditures, for this index is pub lished in alternative versions with different weights. The two most relevant versions of the PCE Deflator for 1980 differ by only 0.4 percentage points. That is, the PCE Deflator using 1972 weights and the PCE Deflator using 1979 weights both record double-digit inflation during 1980, and give very similar measures of it— 10.9 and 10.5 percent, respectively (preliminary 1980 annual data). Those are two price indexes that differ from each other only in the weights. There are many differences between the PCE Deflators and the CPI, so comparisons of re-weighted PCE Defla tors are only suggestive. However, the data I have seen on this issue suggest that the effect of weighting dif ferences on the CPI measurement is probably considera bly less than what it has been speculated to be in some parts of the press and academic circles. But even if *comparison of indexes with alternative weighting schemes indicates that use of a more current market basket would not have had as large an impact as some have suspected, it is important to recognize that this result need not continue in the future. The BLS for more than three decades has recognized the need for a continuing consumer expenditure survey. I am pleased that we were able to secure the resources required to conduct such a survey and can report to you that field collection of these data is now underway. In a few years, w hen this survey has been fully set in place, BLS w ill be able to m o n ito r th e degree to w h ich co n su m p -’ tion patterns are ch an gin g and to have at hand th e data required for future revision s o f th e CPI w eigh ts. The treatment of owner-occupied housing in the CPI. The method for measurement of owner-occupied housing in the index is a subject on which BLS has been working for many years. BLS began public discussion of the issue about 10 years ago. During the most recent revision of the CPI, BLS staff did a series of detailed analyses of the homeownership component and evaluated several alter native methods of measurement. The basic problem in designing the owner-occupied housing component is to determine just what the index should measure. The housing component of the official CPI views a house both as an asset which can be resold and as a home to live in which permits the owner to consume housing services. The present CPI homeownership component includes the month-to-month changes in prices of five expendi tures of owning a home. The weights for three of these expenditures— property taxes, insurance, and mainte nance and repairs— represent the average expenditures by all people living in their own homes during the CPI base period. Weights for two other expenditures— house prices and contracted mortgage interest costs— are based on the small group of families, roughly 6 per cent of the total, who actually purchased a home in the base period. The prices used for houses and mortgage interest components of the index are current prices, and these components of the index rise and fall each month as house prices and mortgage interest rates change. Because the weight for homeownership under this ap proach is so large (about 23 percent of the entire index) and because the index is so strongly affected by changes in interest rates, a good deal of criticism of this compo nent has been heard. To encourage public discussion, BLS began publishing several experimental measures last year. Each reflects a different conceptual theory from the official index as well as alternative measurement approaches. All of the experimental indexes would re sult in a much smaller weight for the homeownership component. , The most widely discussed of these experimental al ternatives is the “rental equivalence” (c P l-X l) index. President Carter recommended in his FY 1982 budget submission that Congress legislate the use of CPl-Xl for indexation of Federal Government programs. CPl-Xl differs from the official CPI because X l includes as the homeownership component only the cost of con suming the shelter services provided by a house. Unlike the official CPI, it excludes the investment aspects of homeownership. CPl-Xl is a rental equivalence measure, but since a true rental equivalence sample— one made https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis up of housing units of the same types and in the same locations as owned units— is not currently available CPI-Xl uses the CPI rent component as the shelter mea sure. The BLS believes that an improved rental equiva lence index is a worthwhile objective and if resources can be made available would like to do the testing re quired to determine the appropriate design of a rent sample which is more representative of the owner-occu pied housing stock. The CPI as an Aggregate Indexing Mechanism. The rate of inflation can vary across households, and the average may not represent the experience of the individual parts. In particular, these differences among households may be related to such characteristics as age and income lev el. We do not know the extent of this variation or the degree to which it is systematic. For this reason, it is possible that use of an aggregate index for adjusting payments could result in all households being equally compensated for changes in living costs, whereas some households actually gain while others lose. Even if we assume that all households experience the same change in average price level, it is possible that their need for indexation will depend on what happens to their income. The CPI measures the change in total expenditure necessary to purchase a set of goods and services. To the extent that the percentage of income provided by indexed programs varies, the degree to which households are insured against inflation by indexation will also vary. In this case, the change in liv ing standards as a result of inflation will depend on how other income sources vary with inflation. Thus, even in this very simplified case, living standards could change substantially despite escalation of benefits by an accurate index. I have raised these last two issues because they relate directly to recent suggestions that special indexes might be designed to index payments to subgroups of the pop ulation, such as the elderly. These issues are potentially just as important in designing an effective indexation program as those technical issues, like the treatment of housing, which are important for all uses of the index. We do not know whether an index for a particular group of the population would produce results that are very different from the CPI for All Urban Consumers. A whole series of important issues would have to be clari fied before any empirical testing could even be done. For example, policymakers would have to determine the exact definition of the group to be represented. And even then, it is not sufficient to construct a new index for a special group such as the elderly without consider ing the complex interrelationships among the design and accuracy of the index, the structure of the indexing mechanism and the ultimate objective of the indexation program. □ 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Anatomy of Price Change Indexing Federal programs: the CPI and other indexes Conflicts between indexing Federal entitlement pro grams and other policy objectives can be ameliorated somewhat by technical changes such as adopting a dif ferent cost-of-living index and altering the indexing ad justment mechanism in some programs, at least during periods of increasing inflation. Nevertheless, substantial conflicts between indexing and other policy goals will continue to arise in periods of rapid inflation and (or) slow growth in productivity even after desirable techni cal adjustments have been made. The likely continua tion of these conflicts in the future requires a more searching re-examination of the rationale for full index ing of real benefits. Choice of an index The objective of indexing entitlement programs is to ensure benefit increases commensurate with increases in the cost of living. The Consumer Price Index1is typical ly used for such purposes. However, the CPI has a num ber of shortcomings as a measure of the cost of living. Furthermore, as the data in table 1 indicate, the CPI has increased more rapidly in recent years than an alterna tive measure of consumers’ cost of living, the fixedweight, price index for personal consumption expendi tures ( p c e ). While there is no presumption that the PCE price index is precisely “right,” methodological prob lems with the treatment of housing in the CPI suggest that the PCE is on balance a better measure of the cost of living. Furthermore, the differential behavior of the two indexes in response to recent rising inflation calls into question the wisdom of using the CPI as a cost-ofliving index. The two indexes differ conceptually in a number of ways. For example, the PCE price index counts only cur rently produced goods while the CPI includes several im portant used items, such as used cars. More important is the difference in the treatment of housing; the CPI treats housing as a purchased good, while the PCE price index uses a rental equivalence approach. Despite these conceptual differences, the two indexes increased at roughly the same rate during the period of low inflation from 1960 to 1972. As inflation rates rose, the CPI be gan increasing more rapidly. From 1973 to 1976 the an nual difference averaged 0.7 percentage points, and by 1979 had risen to over 2Vi percentage points. The in This report is drawn from the Report on Indexing Federal Programs submitted to Congress on January 15 by the Council of Economic Advisers and the Office of Management and Budget. The 53-page re port is for sale ($3.75) by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Digitized for60 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis crease in th e CPI has been ab ou t 10.5 percent greater than th at o f th e PCE price in d ex during th e 1973 to 1980 period. While these data are only suggestive, they do indicate that the CPI may be systematically biased relative to a “true” cost-of-living measure. Over a substantial period of time, this would lead to a significant difference in the level of indexed benefits. Using the CPI for indexing en titlement programs therefore raises serious issues of eq uity and the allocation of budgetary resources. More over, even if over the long run the CPI yields the correct answer “on average,” it can distort the timing of expend iture flows and add to inflationary pressures precisely when this is least desirable from the standpoint of stabi lization policy. The construction of the CPI has been the subject of considerable scrutiny in recent years. Most attention has been devoted to the CPI’s use of a fixed and some what out-of-date market basket, its treatment of hous ing and other durable goods, and its treatment of taxes. Choice of a market basket A true cost-of-living index would attempt to compare the cost to the consumer of attaining a given level of “satisfaction” in different periods, that is, under dif ferent sets of prices. Since satisfaction cannot be meas ured, it is necessary to approximate it with something that can be measured. In the CPI and other fixed-weight indexes, this is achieved by selecting a market basket of goods and seeing how much it costs to purchase the same basket of goods in subsequent months and years. However, this procedure tends to overstate increases in the cost of living and may do so significantly. This hap pens because consumers, by purchasing less of those goods that have become relatively more expensive and more of those that have become relatively cheaper, can and do achieve greater satisfaction than they would if they spent the same amount of money on the original basket of purchases. To illustrate this point, imagine a consumer who ini tially spends $2 on 1 pound of beef and 1 pound of pork, both of which cost $1 dollar per pound. If the price of pork then doubles but the price of beef remains Table 1. Percent changes1in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and the fixed-weight Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, 1960-80 Period 1960-1972 ..................................... 1973-1976 ..................................... 1977 ................................................ 1978 ................................................ 1979 ................................................ 1 9 8 0 '................................................ 1Annual rates, fourth quarter to fourth quarter. 2 Fourth quarter 1979 to third quarter 1980. CPI-U PCE price index 2.9 8.2 6.7 8.9 12.8 12.5 2.6 7.5 6.3 8.1 10.2 10.7 the same, the original basket of purchases would cost $3.00 rather than $2.00. A fixed-weight index like the CPI would register a 50 percent increase in the “cost of living.” However, when this person consumes one pound of beef and one pound of pork, additional amounts of pork and beef are worth about the same to him. (We know this because in the original period he paid the same amount for the two meats.) Thus, al though the consumer could spend his $3.00 on the orig inal market basket, he could make himself even better off by purchasing, for example, V\ pound less pork and Vi pound more beef. That would mean that $3.00 is a higher expenditure than would be necessary to achieve his original level of satisfaction. In other words, this fixed-weight price index would overstate the increase in the consumer’s cost of living caused by the increase in the price of pork. An alternative choice of a market basket is the com mon weighting procedure that uses the current period’s expenditure weights to construct a price index. The well-known “implicit price deflators” of the national in come accounts, which are published by the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, are exam ples of indexes that use this method of weighting. The PCE implicit price deflator prices the current period’s consumption both at current market prices and at baseyear prices. The ratio of actual consumption expendi tures to the hypothetical cost of current purchases at base period prices is the implicit price deflator for that period. Because changes in the implicit price deflators from one period to the next are affected by changes in both the price and the composition of the market bas ket, they are less useful measures of price changes than are fixed-weight indexes. As a measure of changes in the cost of living, the PCE implicit price deflator has a disadvantage that is the counterpart of that of fixed-weight indexes such as the CPI or the PCE fixed-weight index. Just as these fixedweight indexes tend to overstate increases in the cost of living by taking no account of the gains in satisfaction possible through substitution, the implicit PCE deflator tends to understate cost-of-living increases by assuming that individuals give up no satisfaction as a result of changing consumption patterns through substitution. An extension of the previous example should make this clear. Suppose that after the price of pork has dou bled the consumer decides to purchase 2 pounds of beef and no pork. The cost of the current period’s consump tion ($2) is the same as it would have been at base peri od prices, so the implicit price deflator for this con sumer would register no increase. But the consumer is almost certainly worse off than he was with the previ ous set of prices. He could have afforded 2 pounds of beef and no pork in the base period as well as in the second period, but he chose instead to buy a pound of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis each. This suggests that the first period’s consumption pattern was preferred to that of the second period, rath er than equal to it, as implied by the unchanged de flator. Both a fixed-weight index with out-of-date weights and an implicit deflator have shortcomings. There is an alternative weighting procedure that is, in a sense, a compromise between the fixed-weight index and the im plicit deflator. This procedure uses fixed weights to compare price levels between each two adjacent time periods, but the weights reflect the first period’s con sumption pattern in each case. Thus, between period one and period two the index would be constructed us ing the market basket for period one, between period two and period three the market basket for period two would be used, and so forth. Such an index, called a “chain-weighted index,” has some attractive characteris tics as a measure of the cost of living. Like the fixedweight index, it constructs a fixed-weight comparison of price levels between each pair of adjacent time periods. However, the weights change between periods to reflect changing consumption patterns so that failure to con sider substitution does not become a growing problem. Unlike the case with implicit price deflators, period-toperiod changes in the index do not confound changes in price with changes in the market basket for adjacent time periods, though for longer time periods a similar problem occurs as the market basket is allowed to change. Because the chain-weighted index neither ig nores substitution nor treats it as being costless, it is not possible to identify a priori any bias in the chain in dex as a measure of the cost of living. The Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. De partment of Commerce calculates a chain-weighted price index for personal consumption expenditures par allel to its computation of the fixed-weight index and the implicit price deflator. As table 2 indicates, the chain-weighted index tends to show inflation higher than the implicit deflator and lower than the fixedweight index.2 Changes in the market basket consumers purchase are not likely to be a problem from month to month, but over a period of years the effects may be Table 2. Percent changes1in National Income Accounts price measures for personal consumption expenditures, 1960-80 Period 1960-1972 ............. 1973-1976 ............. 1977 ........................ 1978 ........................ 1979 ........................ 19802 ...................... Implicit price deflator Chain-weighted price index Fixed-weight price index 2.8 7.3 5.9 7.8 9.5 10.2 2.7 7.4 6.2 8.0 9.8 10.4 2.6 7.5 6.3 8.1 10.2 10.7 ' Annual rates, fourth quarter to fourth quarter. 2 Fourth quarter 1979 to third quarter 1980. 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Anatomy of Price Change substantial. This will especially be the case if the rela tive price of an important commodity, such as gasoline or heating oil, increases dramatically. Because the cur rently available fixed-weight indexes (both the fixedweight PCE price index and the CPi) use a market basket based on data from the early 1970’s— largely before the huge run up in oil prices— this issue is of some concern. The data in table 2 suggest that in the last 2 years a fixed-weight index may have overstated the increase in the cost of living by about 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points per year. While not dramatic, this is not inconsequential in terms of indexing entitlement programs. There is no reason in principle why the CPI or some variant of the CPI could not be constructed as a chainweighted index. But the CPI is a monthly index, and the cost of revising the relevant market basket each month would be exorbitant. A more feasible approach might be to construct the CPI as an annual chain index, using the fixed weights of the previous year’s market basket for all months during each year. A perhaps more straightforward alternative would be simply to update the market basket on a more frequent basis, although not yearly as in a chain index. Any such development must await the availability of data from the Continuing Survey of Consumer Expenditures. Prior versions of the CPI have relied on data from surveys of consumer expenditures about once per decade to deter mine the base year market basket. Data for the market basket currently used were gathered in a survey that took place during 1972-74. The Bureau of Labor Sta tistics has begun to collect data in a continuous survey that will allow more frequent and regular revisions of the market basket. Several years of data collection will be necessary before sufficient data have been collected to permit computation of revised expenditure weights, although revisions more frequent than once a decade will be possible soon thereafter. Treatment of durables Durable goods such as housing, automobiles, and washing machines are purchased in one time period but consumed over several periods. In principle, a cost-ofliving index should measure the cost in each period of a fixed flow of services provided by these goods rather than the cost of purchasing the durable good. For dura bles that are rented or leased, such as rental housing or leased cars, measurement of the cost of these services can be made easily because the relevant prices are readi ly observable. But for durables that are owned by indi viduals and for which there are no market transactions, the measurement of the cost of consumption services is considerably more difficult. In the current version of the CPI this issue is largely sidestepped by counting the cost of purchase of the durable good in the market basket. The following section examines this approach to mea 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis suring the cost of owner-occupied housing and discusses alternative measures. Housing in the CPI. The housing component is the most criticized aspect of the CPI and even the Bureau of La bor Statistics, the producer of the index, is on record as being dissatisfied with the existing treatment of housing. In fact, when the CPI was revised in 1977 BLS gave seri ous consideration to changing the treatment of housing. Table 3 compares increases in homeownership costs in the CPI with increases in all other items. Over the past 20 years the homeownership component has in creased substantially more rapidly than other compo nents of the CPI. Since the end of 1959 the homeown ership component has risen 286 percent, compared with a 167-percent rise for all other items and a 190-percent rise for the CPI as a whole. Furthermore, because it is heavily influenced by changes in mortgage interest rates, the homeownership component has been far more volatile than other major components and therefore has been a major source of volatility in the CPI. The precipitous decline in mortgage interest rates that occurred in the middle of 1980 re duced inflation in the homeownership component of the CPI from a 25-percent annual rate in the first half of 1980 to 2 percent during the next four months. This re sulted in a 6.4-percentage point reduction in the rate of inflation as measured by the CPI, although the corre sponding reduction for items other than the homeown ership component was only 0.7 points. Of course, the data in table 3 alone do not show that the treatment of housing is flawed; in recent years ener gy prices have also been highly volatile and have in creased more rapidly than the CPI as a whole. However, as discussed below, in the case of housing there are in dependent reasons to believe that the current treatment is inadequate and should be changed. The homeownership component of the CPI consists of five subcomponents, which are listed in table 4 along with their relative importance in the index as a whole. Homeownership is obviously quite important in the CPI, accounting for nearly one-quarter of the index. The last three items in table 4 are not particularly controversial; Table 3. Percent changes1in selected components of the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, 1959-80 Period 1959-1976 ..................................... 1977 ................................................ 1978 ................................................ 1979 ................................................ Dec. 1979-June 1980 .................... June 1980-Oct. 1980 ...................... All items Homeownership All other items 4.1 6.8 9.0 13.3 14.8 8.4 5.0 9.2 12.4 19.8 25.3 2.0 3.9 6.1 8.0 11.3 11.4 10.7 ' Annual rates, December to December unless otherwise noted. Table 4. Relative importance of subcomponents of the homeownership component of the Consumer Price Index, December 1979 Subcomponent Homeownership........................ Home purchase ................................... Contracted mortgage interest cost . . . . Maintenance and repairs...................... Property taxes ..................................... Property insurance............................... All items CPI Homeownership component .249 .104 .087 .036 .017 .006 1.000 .417 .347 .145 .068 .022 the problematic items are home purchase and mortgage interest costs, which account for three quarters of total homeownership costs. Home purchase. As noted, the CPI treats durables as though they are “consumed” upon purchase. Hence, the cost of purchasing a home enters the CPI just as that of any other item. As noted above, a cost-of-living index should measure the cost of a fixed flow of “shelter ser vices.” Unfortunately, however, house prices are a poor measure of the cost of shelter because a house not only provides shelter but also, as an asset, yields a return like any other investment. Consequently, the movement of house prices reflects not only the cost of shelter but also the value of the investment. Just as the CPI ex cludes, for example, changes in the prices of common stock, changes in the value of a house should be distin guished from changes in the cost of shelter; only the latter, in principle, should be included in a measure of the cost of living. The relevance of this issue is sug gested by the steady decline in rent-to-value ratios dur ing recent years as residential rents have increased much less rapidly than house prices. A part from this conceptual issue, there are also prob lems of measurem ent in the home purchase component. First, the weight for home purchase is very large. This weight is based on the purchase price of homes bought in the base period less the sales price of homes sold. One reason for the large weight of housing in the index is that the base period (1968-1973) was a fairly robust one for housing, with strong housing construction. F u r therm ore, the house price series used in the CPI is rather weak. It is based on a sample of FHA-insured housing that, as BLS states, “constitutes a small and unrepre sentative segment of the m arket.” However, because the criticism of the treatm ent of homeownership would ap ply regardless of the quality of the house price series, the problem s with the FHA series will not be addressed here. Mortgage interest costs. While the treatment of home prices in the CPI is questionable, that of mortgage inter est costs is even more troublesome. The treatment re sults in an unreasonably large weight for mortgage https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis interest costs, which in turn magnifies the volatility of the homeownership component. In essence, the CPI assumes that part of the mortgage is purchased along with the house. Those who obtain mortgages are assumed, in effect, to make a “purchase” equal to the sum of all interest payments that would be due over the first half of the life of the mortgage, which would include more than half of the interest payments. This approach mixes investment and consumption char acteristics of housing in a way that has little logical ap peal. At the very least, this treatment of mortgages seems to involve substantial overcounting. It should be noted that this treatment is not accorded all durable goods; for an appliance purchased on credit, no atten tion is paid to the contracted interest cost. The net effect of all this is that the CPI treatment sub stantially overstates the importance of homeownership. Homeownership currently accounts for about one-quar ter of the CPI, nearly five times the importance of the residential rent component. This alone suggests a prob lem, because only about two-thirds of dwelling units are owner-occupied. Further evidence is provided by the fact that, in the national income accounts, homeown ership is only about 2 Vi times as important as rental housing, far below the factor of 5 in the CPI. In view of the marked volatility of homeownership, its large weight in the CPI has unfortunate consequences. Alternative treatments of housing. The problems with the present treatment of housing in the CPI have been recog nized since the Stigler Commission Report on Price Sta tistics in 1961. Thus, it is hardly surprising that BLS has sought alternative measures. Two leading alternatives— user cost and rental equivalence— have emerged from the BLS analysis. Both these alternatives attempt to measure what a homeowner would have to pay to ac quire the shelter provided by the home he owns. The user cost approach builds up the cost of shelter services from its components. In effect, homeowners must “pay” mortgage interest on the funds they have borrowed, implicit interest on the original equity in the house (an opportunity cost since these funds could have been invested elsewhere), property taxes and insurance, and maintenance and repairs. To obtain an indirect measure of the shelter cost one would subtract from these expenditures two offsets: capital gains (or losses), net of depreciation, and savings on personal income tax es due to the favorable tax treatment of owner-occupied housing. Besides the issue of taxes, there are two serious prob lems in the construction of a user cost measure of homeownership costs. First, it is not clear what interest rate is appropriate for the calculation of the interest forgone on home equity. The second difficulty concerns the volatility of available measures of capital gains or 63 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Anatomy of Price Change losses. This makes the user cost measure of the homeownership component quite volatile, at least in the experimental measures constructed by BLS. Thus, from a practical point of view, the user cost approach does not appear to lead to a useful alternative to the CPI. There is, however, a conceptually related approach, rental equivalence, that circumvents the most glaring operational difficulties with user cost. The rental equiva lence approach uses actual market data on rental trans actions to estimate the implicit rent on owner-occupied houses. Rental equivalence assumes that the implicit “price” of the shelter services from an owned home can be approximated by actual rents paid for a similar house that is rented. BLS now publishes an experimental CPI measure (X -l) based on this approach. The rental equivalence approach is not without its own practical shortcomings. To provide a good proxy for the implicit rental cost of owned homes it is desir able to have a sample of rental housing that reflects, as closely as possible, the characteristics of owner-occupied housing with respect to, for example, size of house and the number and types of rooms. Critics of the rental equivalence approach suggest that this matching may be difficult to achieve, not so much because of house sizes but because of more intangible characteristics such as neighborhood quality. A related point is that market rents may reflect costs that are irrelevant for owner-oc cupied housing, such as a risk premium to compensate landlords for possible mistreatment of property or the average costs of turnover. Although these are valid points in principle, they do not invalidate the rental equivalence approach. Even if many intangible characteristics remain unquantifiable, this need not bias a rental index. Indeed, many of the objections pertain to differences in rental levels between different types of housing rather than rates of increase. Furthermore, even if a fully representative rent sample is not available, there are statistical techniques that may be used to correct for the fact that owner-occupied houses differ from rented houses. Table 5 presents the movement of four homeowner ship indexes: the current homeownership component in the CPI, two experimental user cost indexes (X-2 and X-3), and an experimental rental equivalence measure (X-l). In table 5 the volatility of X-2 and X-3 is readily apparent; they are even more volatile than the current homeownership component. X -l, the rental equivalence measure, displays substantially less volatility than either the user cost or the current treatment of housing costs. Table 6 presents measures of overall consum er price inflation obtained by the use of the X -l homeownership com ponent in com parison with the conventional CPI and the PCE fixed-weight deflator. Table 6 shows the CPI:X-1 has increased since 1966 at a substantially slower rate than the conventional CPI. Second, the 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 5. Percent changes1in alternative measurements of homeownership Year 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................... .......................... ........................... ........................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... CPI-U component Rental equivalence (X -1) User cost (X -2) 7.6 10.2 10.2 2.7 4.1 7.7 13.3 7.9 3.8 9.2 12.4 19.8 2.8 3.8 4.5 3.8 3.5 4.9 5.4 5.2 5.5 6.5 7.3 7.9 11.0 7.1 4.2 -12.1 2.4 23.0 16.9 2.8 -1.1 2.5 5.7 28.2 User cost (X -3) 8.0 3.5 1.7 -8.9 3.2 18.9 12.9 3.4 1.9 0.4 -1.1 20.5 112 months ended in December. CPI:X-1 and the PCE fixed-weight deflator give quite similar results. (Given that the deflator uses the BLS rent index, this similarity is perhaps not surprising.) While the CPI based on X -l is a considerable im provement over the current treatment of homeowner ship costs, further refinements of the rental equivalence approach could be undertaken. As now constructed, the experimental X -l index is based on the CPI rent index that measures actual rental costs for a typical rental dwelling. That is, no correction is made for differences in the characteristics of rented and owned dwellings— a correction that is desirable in principle. The BLS staff has done some research on this topic suggesting that such an approach should eventually prove practicable. Our review of this research suggests that the approach used in X -l currently provides a representative cost-ofliving index. Hence, even as presently constituted, the CPI based upon X -l offers a serviceable measure of the cost of living. Alternatives At present, there are three main options for indexing entitlement programs: the current CPI; one of the Per sonal Consumption Expenditure price indexes from the Table 6. Percent changes1in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, the same index with homeownership component based upon rental equivalence (X-1), and the Personal Consumption Expenditures fixed-weight index, 1960-80 [In percent] Period 1960-72 ............... 1973-76 ............... 1977 ...................... 1978 ...................... 1979 ...................... 19802 .................... CPI-U CPI-U based on X-1 PCE fixed-weight price Index 2.9 8.2 6.7 8.9 12.8 12.5 2.6 7.7 6.4 7.8 10.7 10.9 2.6 7.5 6.3 8.1 10.2 10.7 1Annual rates, fourth quarter to fourth quarter. 2 Fourth quarter 1979 to third quarter 1980. National Income Accounts; or a modified version of the which incorporates one of the alternative measures of shelter costs. The advantages of continuing to use the current CPI is that it is very well known, has achieved a high level of public acceptance, and is extensively used for private contracts. However, the CPI has very serious shortcom ings as a measure of the cost of living. It would be possible to adopt one of the Personal Consumption Expenditure price indexes for indexing en titlement programs. It might be most acceptable to use the fixed-weight or chain-weighted price index because the Implicit Price Deflator tends to understate increases in the cost of living. However, the consumption expen diture indexes have several important drawbacks. First, they were not designed to measure the cost of living or even consumer prices, but rather to measure the cost of The final alternative is to use a cost-of-living index obtained by modifying the CPI to change the inappropri ate treatment of housing. This would eliminate the ma jor problem with the current CPI — its treatment of housing— and would provide a sounder basis for index ing entitlement programs. Over the longer run, further improvements could be made. For example, when the continuing Survey of Consumer Expenditures becomes available, it would be possible to update the market basket of this cost-of-living index on a more timely ba sis. In short, the CPI based on X -l offers an index with significant immediate advantages over the current CPI as well as a framework for incorporating further improve ments in measuring the cost of living. □ ' In this report, CPI refers to the Consumer Price Index for All Ur ban Consumers (CPI-U), which covers approximately 80 percent of urban consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also publishes the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). It covers about 40 percent of urban consumers. Because 1972 is the base year used, the fixed-weight index rises less rapidly than the Implicit Price Deflator prior to 1972 and more rapidly after 1972. In all periods, the increase in the chain-weighted index is between those of the fixed-weight index and the Implicit Price Deflator. CPI https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis current p rod u ction for co n su m p tio n . In ad d ition , the w eigh ts for th e fixed -w eigh t in d ex are ju st as ou td ated as the CPI’s w eigh ts. 65 Productivity Reports Long nonfarm productivity slide ends during the third quarter The following tabulation shows the third-quarter annualized rates of change in productivity, output, and hours paid for by major sector.2 Sector L a w r e n c e J. F u lco Productivity advanced in the private business and non farm business sectors in the third quarter of 1980. These gains were immediately reflected in slower growth of unit labor costs, which are important cost items to most employers. Manufacturing productivity continued to slip in the third quarter, although the declines in out put and hours were much smaller than those during the second quarter. In the private business sector, productivity increased 1.5 percent in the third quarter. The third-quarter in crease reflected a 1.1-percent increase in output and a 0.4-percent decline in hours of all persons. One quarter earlier, productivity declined 1.9 percent as output fell at a 11.5-percent annual rate, equaling the most severe single-quarter output decline in the series, which oc curred in the first quarter of 1975. In the nonfarm business sector, productivity in creased 3.7 percent in the third quarter, compared with a 3.0-percent decline one quarter earlier. This was the largest gain in more than 3 years. In this sector, the pe riod of no productivity growth began in the second quarter of 1978*. In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity ad vanced 6.8 percent in the third quarter, as output in creased at a 3.4-percent annual rate, while employeehours declined 3.2 percent. This substantial productivity increase was the largest in 5 years. In manufacturing, productivity declined 0.7 percent in the third quarter, reflecting the drop in durable goods. Nondurable productivity increased in the third quarter. In the sector as a whole, output dropped 7.3 percent and hours of all persons declined 6.6 percent. This was the fourth consecutive quarter of falling out put and hours in manufacturing. Lawrence J. Fulco is an economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Digitized for 66 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Private business................. Nonfarm business ............ Nonfinancial corporations . Manufacturing ................. Durables ........................... Nondurables...................... Productivity 1.5 3.7 6.8 -0 .7 -3 .4 2.9 Output Hours 1.1 2.9 3.4 -7 .3 -1 0 .9 -1 .9 -0 .4 - 0 .9 -3 .2 -6 .6 -7 .8 -4 .7 Compensation, labor cost, and profits Hourly compensation rose 9.7 percent in the private business sector in the third quarter of 1980, compared with a 12.2-percent increase during the second quarter. Compensation costs include wages and salaries as well as fringe benefits—paid leave and health plans, and employer-paid taxes—unemployment insurance, and social security. Because productivity rose somewhat in the third quarter, the increase in unit labor cost was smaller than the gain in hourly compensation in the private business sector. The 8.1-percent gain in unit labor cost was sub stantially smaller than the 14.4-percent rise which oc curred in the second quarter when productivity de clined. During the 8-quarter period of no productivity growth which was interrupted by the third quarter gains in the nonfarm business sector, unit labor cost in creased 22.9 percent. The increase reflected a 20.4-per cent gain in hourly compensation coupled with a 2.0-percent decline in output per hour over the span. Real hourly compensation—compensation per hour adjusted by the seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price In dex for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U)—increased 2.4 percent in the private business sector in the third quarter, the first increase in this series since the first quarter of 1979. In the nonfarm business sector, hourly compensation increased 9.2 percent in the third quarter, and unit la bor cost rose 5.3 percent. One quarter earlier, the gains were 11.2 percent for hourly compensation and 14.6 percent for unit labor cost. Real hourly compensation increased 2.0 percent, after showing no growth during preceding 9 quarters. Table 1. Components of the implicit price deflator for nonfinancial corporations, 1967-79 [Indexes, 1977=100] Year 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... Implicit Price Deflator Unit Labor Cost Unit Nonlabor Payments Unit Nonlabor Cost Unit Profit 59.2 61.1 63.7 66.5 68.8 70.7 73.4 81.8 90.7 95.0 100.0 106.4 114.8 58.2 60.4 64.2 68.3 69.4 71.3 74.9 85.1 90.6 95.0 100.0 107.8 118.2 61.0 62.6 62.8 63.1 67.8 69.6 70.7 75.7 90.9 95.0 100.0 103.8 108.3 51.9 54.3 59.0 66.7 70.2 70.5 71.9 84.7 96.8 97.0 100.0 104.1 112.7 80.2 80.0 70.7 55.6 62.7 67.8 68.0 56.8 78.4 91.0 100.0 103.0 99.0 Hourly compensation in manufacturing increased 12.7 percent in the third quarter (5.2 percent after ad justing for the rise in the CPl-u) and unit labor cost went up 13.6 percent. One quarter earlier, these costs rose 20.5 percent. Hourly compensation outlays in nonfinancial corpora tion increased 10.3 percent in the third quarter, and unit labor cost rose 3.2 percent (annual rates). One quarter earlier, hourly compensation increased 12.0 per cent and unit labor cost rose 12.6 percent. Real hourly compensation increased 3.0 percent in the third quarter. Profits of nonfinancial corporations increased at a 34.7-percent annual rate in the third quarter, and profit Table 2. Trends in hours in the private business sector, third quarter 1980 Worker category Percent change in hours Category Contribution share to trend of hours T o ta l..................................................... -0.41 1.000 -0.41 Manufacturing ................................................. Durable ....................................................... Nondurable................................................... Transportation, communication, and public utilities ..................................................... Transportation ............................................ Communications.......................................... Public utilities .............................................. Finance, insurance, and real estate ............... Services ............. « . ....................................... Mining .............................................................. Construction..................................................... Wholesale tra d e .............................................. Retail trade ..................................................... Farm employees ............................................ Farm unpaid family workers .......................... Farm proprietors.............................................. Nonfarm proprietors ........................................ Nonfarm unpaid family w o rke rs ...................... Government enterprises ................................. -7.24 -9.07 -4.37 0.275 0.167 0.108 -1.99 -1.51 -0.47 -2.33 -7.01 1.84 7.60 2.56 4.59 -7.83 -4.64 -1.70 1.60 -5.42 37.49 16.50 9.36 6.74 -0.30 0.070 0.040 0.018 0.012 0.064 0.127 0.015 0.056 0.069 0.157 0.014 0.004 0.024 0.098 0.005 0.022 -0.16 -0.28 0.03 0.09 0.16 0.58 -0.12 -0.26 -0.12 0.25 -0.07 0.14 0.39 0.91 0.03 -0.01 -0.17 1A measure of how much of the total private business change results from the joint effect of individual worker category movements. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis per unit of output rose 30.3 percent. Both profit series had shown declines in each quarter of 1979. Unit profits are quite volatile, but are only about 12 percent as large as unit labor cost. Since 1967, profits have grown 76 percent (unit profits went up 11 percent) while compen sation outlays increased more than three and one-half times and unit labor cost increased 123 percent. The implicit price deflator is influenced by changes in unit labor cost, unit nonlabor payments, and unit pro fits. Table 1 shows how these measures have interacted to determine the change in prices in the nonfinancial corporations since 1967. E>uring the third quarter of 1980, the deflator for the nonfinancial corporate sector advanced 7.9 percent, compared with a 10.5-percent rise during the second quarter. Employment and hours Hours paid for of all persons in the private business sector declined 0.4 percent in the third quarter, re flecting a 0.3-percent decline in employment and a 0.1percent reduction in the length of the average workweek. This was the second consecutive drop in employment, but the second-quarter drop was much larger—5.4 percent. As can be seen in table 2, the largest contribution to the decline in hours occurred in the manufacturing sector, which accounts for 28 percent of the private business sector. In the nonfarm business sector, hours declined 0.9 percent in the third quarter, compared with a 9.4-per cent decline during the second quarter. Employment was down 0.4 percent, and average weekly hours off 0.5 percent. Nonfarm business employment stands at 76.8 million and 2.8 million others are engaged in the farm sector. In manufacturing, hours declined 6.6 percent in the third quarter, compared with a 17.6-percent drop dur ing the second quarter. Employment was off 6.6 percent — to about 20.3 million— and average weekly hours in creased 0.1 percent. About 53.9 million employees work for nonfinancial corporations. During the third quarter of 1980, hours paid for of these employees declined at a 3.2-percent an nual rate, reflecting a 2.7-percent decline in employment and a 0.6-percent drop in average weekly hours. □ --------- FOOTNOTES ---------1The longest period of declining productivity in the private business sector began in the second quarter of 1973. Productivity growth re sumed in the first quarter of 1975, 7 quarters later. 2More complete information may be found in tables 3 1 -3 4 of the Current Labor Statistics section. 67 Special Labor Force Reports—Summaries Absences from work among full-time employees D a n ie l E. T a y l o r American workers with full-time wage and salary jobs lost about 95 million hours a week in May 1979 as a re sult of illnesses, injuries, and miscellaneous personal reasons. About one employee in 15 reported at least one absence during the week; the total hours lost represent ed about 3.4 percent of the hours usually worked. In recent years, the overall level of absence has shown no trend. (See table 1.) The percent of time lost (inactivity rate) fluctuated narrowly between 3.3 and 3.5 percent from 1973 to 1979, while the percent of workers absent (incidence rate) moved between 6.1 and 6.7 per cent.' Both measures registered their lowest levels dur ing the recession of 1974-75. The data series reported here are based on in formation collected once a year in May from the Current Population Survey ( c p s ), a national sample sur vey consisting of 56,000 households in 1979.2 Absences are classified into two categories: those resulting from workers’ illnesses or injuries and those resulting from various personal reasons, including the sickness or death of family members, civic or legal obligations (such as jury duty and military reserve service), and transportation problems. Absences resulting from vaca tions, holidays, industrial disputes, or weather condi tions are excluded. The universe consists of nonfarm wage and salary workers who hold one job and usually work full time (35 hours or more per week).3 Absence rates are shown for men and women, by marital status and by race, as well as by occupation, industry, and union coverage. Industry and occupation Time lost from work was a substantially higher pro portion of usual worktime in the goods-producing secDaniel E. Taylor is an economist in the Office of Current Employ ment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Digitized for68 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tor than in the service-producing sector (3.9 versus 3.2 percent of the usual hours worked in May 1979). This was largely because of a relatively high rate of absence in manufacturing, which makes up more than threefourths of the goods-producing sector. (See table 2.) Absences were even higher in mining, but this had little effect on rates for the entire goods-producing sec tor, as the number of mining workers is relatively small. The proportion of time lost in the construction industry was no higher than the average for all industries. With in the service-producing sector, the proportion of time lost differed widely by industry. Absences of factory operatives resulting from illnesses and injuries (shown in table 3) were a major factor in the relatively high proportion of time lost in manufac turing. Similarly, high rates for transportation equip ment operatives and low rates for sales workers affected rates in transportation and trade industries in which these workers represented an important segment of the workforce.4 Personal characteristics Women lost 4.3 percent of their usual weekly hours in May 1979; men lost 3.0 percent. The rates of inci dence were 8.6 for women and 5.5 percent for men. Ab sence rates by sex vary with age and family status. The male-female difference in inactivity rates, for example, is higher for persons age 25 to 44 years than for those in their twenties, probably, in part, because family respon sibilities increase absences for women, but not for men. Rates tended to be higher for older workers of both sexes, reflecting an increase in health-related problems. Time lost by blacks tended to be higher than for whites (5.2 percent versus 3.2 percent).5 Although nu merous factors are involved, the differences are attribut able, in part, to the greater concentration of blacks in occupations which are characterized by high levels of absence. Seven of 10 white workers, compared with 5 of 10 black workers, were in occupations with absence rates below the average. The following tabulation shows the proportion of time lost by race, sex, and marital status in May 1979. Table 1. Rate of absence for nonfarm wage and salary workers who usually work full time, by reason, May 1973-79 [Numbers in thousands] Number of workers Inactivity rate (Percent of time lost) Incidence rate (Percent of workers absent) Hours Year 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ........................................ ........................................ ........................................ ........................................ ........................................ ........................................ ........................................ N ote : Employed Absent Usually worked Lost Total Illness and injury Miscellaneous reasons Total Illness and injury Miscellaneous reasons 55,283 56,248 54,700 56,414 58,422 60,153 64,810 3,614 3,499 3,332 3,630 3,802 3,966 4,336 2,344,970 2,382,300 2,303,410 2,374,910 2,473,740 2,549,220 2,745,060 81,549 79,706 78,873 82,222 87,487 89,888 94,641 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 4.1 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.1 3.9 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.8 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 Because of rounding, individual items may not equal totals. Table 2. Inactivity rate (percent of time lost) for nonfarm wage and salary workers who usually' work full time, by selected industries, May 1979 and average May 1977-79 [Numbers in thousands] Total Illness anil injury Miscellaneous reasons Number of workers May 1979 1979 Average 1977 - 79 1979 Average 1977 - 79 1979 Average 1977 - 79 All industries1 ............................................................................................. Goods-producing industries1 .................................................................................. M ining................................................................................................................. Construction ...................................................................................................... Manufacturing ................................................................................................... Durable goods1 ............................................................................................. Metal manufacturing .................................................................................. Machines, except electrical ....................................................................... Transportation equipment ......................................................................... Nondurable goods1 ...................................................................................... Food .......................................................................................................... Apparel ...................................................................................................... Printing........................................................................................................ Chemicals ................................................................................................. 64,810 24,364 757 4,230 19,073 11,789 2,395 2,338 2,148 7,284 1,475 1,161 1,032 1,079 3.4 3.9 6.7 3.2 3.9 3.8 4.3 3.2 5.5 4.1 3.8 6.1 2.8 4.2 3.5 4.0 5.7 3.1 4.1 4.2 4.4 3.8 5.0 4.0 3.7 5.4 2.7 3.7 2.2 2.7 2.1 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.3 4.3 2.7 2.3 4.4 1.9 2.7 2.3 2.8 1.9 2.0 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.8 3.8 2.9 2.5 3.9 2.0 2.6 1.2 1.2 4.5 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 .9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 .9 1.5 1.2 1.2 3.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.5 .7 1.1 Service-producing industries ' ............................................................................... Transportation and public utilities....................................................................... Transportation ............................................................................................... Public utilities................................................................................................. Trade ................................................................................................................. Wholesale ...................................................................................................... Retail.............................................................................................................. Eatng ........................................................................................................ O th e r.......................................................................................................... Finance, Insurance, and real estate ' ................................................................ Banking.......................................................................................................... Insurance........................................................................................................ Services ’ .......................................................................................................... Business ........................................................................................................ Personal ........................................................................................................ Professional1 ................................................................................................. Medical ...................................................................................................... Educational................................................................................................. Public administration.......................................................................................... Feaeral .......................................................................................................... Postal ........................................................................................................ Other Federal............................................................................................. S ta te .............................................................................................................. L o ca l.............................................................................................................. 40,447 4,996 2,658 2,339 10,951 3,028 7,923 1,685 6,238 4,057 1,771 1,394 16,111 1,320 1,398 12,240 4,499 5,243 4,232 2,000 572 1,428 751 1,481 3.2 4.0 5.5 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.5 3.6 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.8 3.3 2.3 3.4 3.4 4.3 3.1 4.1 4.4 4.0 4.5 4.8 3.4 3.2 4.3 5.3 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.8 3.7 2.6 2.7 2.3 3.2 3.3 2.9 3.3 3.3 4.2 2.9 3.5 3.6 4.3 3.2 3.6 3.3 2.0 2.3 2.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.6 1.8 2.4 2.4 3.1 2.2 2.8 2.1 2.0 2.6 3.1 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.8 1.7 2.3 2.3 3.6 1.8 2.4 2.2 1.2 1.7 2.5 .7 .8 .6 .8 1.5 .6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 .9 2.3 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.6 2.2 .9 .9 .7 1.0 1.4 .9 1.3 .9 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 .8 1.5 1.2 1.0 Industry ’Total includes industries not shown separately. N ote : Total Married, spouse present Never married 3.0 4.3 3.0 4.5 3.0 3.4 2.8 4.0 2.9 4.3 2.8 3.0 4.6 6.0 4.3 6.3 5.0 6.3 Total: Men ............ Women . . . . White: Men ............ Women . . . . Black: Men ............ Women . . . . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Because of rounding, Individual items may not equal totals As noted earlier, white women who were married had higher absence rates than never-married women. In con trast, rates among black women were the same for mar ried and never-married women. This, in part, may be because single black womein are more likely than their white counterparts to have child-care responsibilities.6 Union status Workers represented by unions generally reported higher absences resulting from illnesses and injuries (but not for miscellaneous personal reasons) than other 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Special Labor Force Reports— Summaries Table 3. Inactivity rate (percent of time lost) for nonfarm wage and salary workers who usually work full time, by selected occupations, May 1979 and average May 1977-79 [Numbers in thousands] Occupation All occupations ’ ........................................................................................ Professional and technical ’ .................................................................................. Engineers .......................................................................................................... Health workers ................................................................................................. Teachers............................................................................................................ Managers and administrators ............................................................................... Saies workers ’ ...................................................................................................... W holesale.......................................................................................................... Retail ................................................................................................................. Clerical' ................................................................................................................. Bookkeeper ........................................................................................................ Secretary .......................................................................................................... Craft and kindred workers1 .................................................................................. Construction ...................................................................................................... Mechanics.......................................................................................................... Operatives, except transport1 ............................................................................... Assemblers........................................................................................................ Welders ............................................................................................................ Transport equipment operatives1 ......................................................................... Truck d rive rs...................................................................................................... Nonfarm laborers................................................................................................... Service workers1 ................................................................................................... Cleaning ............................................................................................................ F o o d ................................................................................................................... Protective .......................................................................................................... Number of workers May 1979 64,810 10,886 1,323 1,646 2,767 7,515 3,182 703 1,280 12,124 1,100 2,886 10,033 2,711 2,755 9,003 1,175 660 2,697 1,595 3,103 6,266 1,524 1,717 1,023 ’ Total includes occupations not shown separately. Total (in percent) Manufacturing Trade 1979 Average 1977 - 79 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.9 3.1 1.9 2.3 .8 2.7 3.3 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.3 2.7 5.4 5.0 4.3 3.9 3.8 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.8 3.8 3.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 2.7 2.0 2.7 1.2 3.2 3.3 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.1 5.7 5.7 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.4 3.4 N ote : workers. However, in some industry groups, nonunion members lost about the same or larger proportions of time because of illnesses and injuries than workers rep resented by unions for May 1979, as shown in the fol lowing tabulation: Union Nonunion 3.0 3.9 3.1 1.8 2.1 1.5 Illness and injury Total Miscellaneous reasons 1979 Average 1977 - 79 1979 Average 1977-79 2.2 1.3 .7 1.7 1.5 1.0 1.4 .5 2.2 2.2 1.0 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.0 3.7 3.9 3.7 2.3 2.4 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.0 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.3 2.2 1.3 1.2 1.7 .9 2.3 2.1 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.2 4.0 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.5 2.8 2.6 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.6 .9 .9 .4 .6 1.1 1.5 .9 .9 1.0 .7 1.8 1.1 .7 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 .8 1.0 .4 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 .9 1.7 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 .5 Because of rounding, individual items may not equal totals. Finance, insurance, real estate Educational services Medical services Federal public administration .7 1.7 3.8 3.2 1.4 2.0 2.2 1.8 The generally higher rate of absence for workers repre sented by a union may result in part from differences in occupational mix as well as a higher proportion of the union group being eligible for paid sick leave. □ FOOTNOTES The inactivity rate is defined as Number of hours absent Number of hours usually worked X 100. For example, the overall inactivity rate in May 1979 was calculated as than the increase for all wage and salary workers on full-time sched ules, and resulted from a repositioning of the question on usual hours that reduced the nonresponse rate and from the allocation of certain remaining nonresponses. The larger universe probably had a minimal effect on rates of absence. 4 For a description of some of the environmental and personal fac tors influencing absence and some company programs designed to re duce absence from work, see Reducing Worker Absenteeism, pro ceedings of a University of Michigan Workshop sponsored by the The incidence rate is defined as Graduate School of Business Administration and the Industrial De Number of workers absent velopment Division, Institute of Science and Technology, The Univer X 100. sity of Michigan, 1979. Total employed 5Black workers lose more time and are absent more frequently than For example, the overall incidence rate in May 1979 was calculated as white workers, particularly for illnesses and injuries. In May of 1979, the only year for which absence data are available by race, the inci 4,336,000 absent workers X 100 = 6.7 percent. dence rate for blacks was 9.6 percent versus 6.3 percent for whites 64,810,000 workers employed (for illnesses and injuries the figures were 6.0 for blacks and 3.6 per : The CPS is conducted for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the cent for whites). These data seem to contradict other findings that Bureau of the Census. Data derived from the survey underestimate nonwhite workers are absent less frequently than white workers. See Steven G. Allen, Absenteeism and the Labor Market, prepared under a absences of workers on full-time schedules because information on ab sence is available only for those who were at work fewer than 35 grant from the Employment and Training Administration, U.S. De partment of Labor, p. 168. hours. No information is available for workers on part-time schedules. 6Unpublished Bureau of Labor Statistics data on the marital and 3 The universe in the year en Jed May 1979 grew from 60.2 million family status of workers, March 1980. to 64.8 million or nearly 8 percent. This was substantially greater 94,641,000 hours 2,745,060,000 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis X 100 = 3.4 percent. hours M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in April is based on contracts on file in the Bu reau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. E m p lo y e r a n d lo c a t i o n U n io n 1 In d u stry N um ber of w orkers ......................................... 2 ,7 5 0 2 ,5 0 0 3 ,8 5 0 1,100 7 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,2 0 0 T e x tile s ................................................ C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... L a b o r e r s ................................................................ O p e r a tin g E n g i n e e r s ...................................... L a b o r e r s ................................................................ O p e r a tin g E n g in e e rs a n d L a b o r e r s . . . O p e r a tin g E n g in e e rs ; B ric k la y e rs ; P la s te re rs a n d C e m e n t M a s o n s; C a r p e n te r s ; L a b o re rs ; a n d I r o n W o rk e rs T e x tile W o rk e rs U n i o n ................................ C a r p e n te r s ......................................................... B e rg e n -P a s s a ic B u ild in g C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n (N e w J e rs e y ) ...................... B o ise C a s c a d e C o r p . ( I n te rn a tio n a l F a lls , M in n .) ................................................... B u c k e y e I n te r n a tio n a l, I n c ., B u c k e y e S tee l C a s tin g C o . D iv is io n ( C o lu m b u s , O h io ) B u ild e rs E x c h a n g e o f R o c h e s te r (N e w Y o r k ) ............................................................ C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... P a p e r ...................................................... P r im a r y m e ta ls ................................ C a r p e n te r s ......................................................... W o o d w o r k e r s ................................................... S te e lw o rk e rs ...................................................... 1,200 1,100 1,600 C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... L a b o r e r s ................................................................ 1,800 C a r r ie r C o r p ., B D P C o . D iv is io n (I n d ia n a p o lis , I n d . ) ............................................. C o lo r a d o B u ild in g C o n s tr u c tio n , I n d e p e n d e n t E m p lo y e rs ( C o lo r a d o ) 2 . . . C o n s tr u c tio n C o n tr a c to r s C o u n c il, I n c ., 4 A g re e m e n ts ( M a r y la n d , D .C ., a n d V irg in ia ) C o n s tr u c tio n I n d u s tr ie s o f M a s s a c h u s e t t s ...................................................................... C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n o f E a s te r n P e n n s y lv a n ia , 4 A g r e e m e n t s ................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... S te e lw o rk e rs ...................................................... C a r p e n te r s ......................................................... L a b o r e r s ................................................................ 1,000 1,600 10,500 C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... 1,000 6 ,4 0 0 C o n tr a c to r s o f E a s te r n P e n n s y lv a n ia a n d D e la w a r e 2 ............................................ C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... O p e r a tin g E n g i n e e r s ...................................... P la s te r e r s a n d C e m e n t M a s o n s; L a b o re rs ; C a r p e n te r s a n d T e a m s te rs ( In d .) O p e r a tin g E n g i n e e r s ...................................... D a n ly M a c h in e C o r p . (C ic e ro , 111.) .............................................................. D a y & Z im m e r m a n , I n c ., L o n e S ta r D iv is io n (T e x a r k a n a , T e x .) ................... M a c h in e ry ......................................... O r d n a n c e ............................................ S te e lw o rk e rs ...................................................... C h e m ic a l W o rk e rs ......................................... 1,400 1,050 E . I. d u P o n t d e N e m o u r s a n d C o ., T e x tile F ib e rs D e p a r tm e n t (W a y n e s b o ro , V a .) C h e m i c a l s ............................................ U n ite d W o rk e rs , In c . ( I n d . ) ...................... 1,500 F e d d e r s C o r p ., N o r g e C o . D iv is io n ( H e r r in , 111.) ................................................... F o o d F a ir S to re s , In c . o f M ia m i ( F lo r id a ) ................................................................... F o o d to w n S u p e r m a r k e ts (N e w Y o r k a n d N e w J e r s e y ) ......................................... F o u n d a tio n - M a r in e C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n o f N e w E n g la n d , In c. ( I n te r s t a te ) .................................................................................................................................. E le c tric a l p r o d u c t s ......................... R e ta il tr a d e ...................................... R e ta il tr a d e ...................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... M a c h in is ts ......................................................... F o o d a n d C o m m e rc ia l W o r k e r s ............. F o o d a n d C o m m e rc ia l W o r k e r s ............. O p e r a tin g E n g i n e e r s ...................................... 1,200 1,500 3 ,000 1,000 G e n e ra l B u ild in g C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n (P h ila d e lp h ia , P a .) .......................... G e n e ra l D y n a m ic s , C o n v a ir D iv is io n ( C a lifo rn ia a n d F l o r i d a ) ......................... G e n e ra l P o r tla n d , In c . ( I n te r s t a te ) .................................................................................. G e n e ra l P u b lic U tilitie s C o r p ., M e tr o p o lita n E d is o n C o . ( P e n n s y lv a n ia ) . . G r a n d U n io n C o ., W e s te rn D iv is io n (N e w J e r s e y ) ................................................... G r a p h ic A r ts A s s o c ia tio n ( D is tr ic t o f C o l u m b i a ) ...................................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... O r d n a n c e ............................................ S to n e , c la y , a n d g la ss p r o d u c ts U tilitie s ................................................ R e ta il tr a d e ...................................... P r in tin g a n d p u b lis h in g ............. L a b o r e r s ................................................................ M a c h in is ts ......................................................... C e m e n t W o rk e rs ............................................ E le c tric a l W o rk e rs (IB E W ) ...................... F o o d a n d C o m m e rc ia l W o r k e r s ............. G r a p h ic A r t s ...................................................... 8 ,0 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 1,000 1,600 1,850 1,800 Id e a l B asic I n d u s tr ie s , In c . ( I n te r s t a te ) ......................................................................... I n d u s tr ia l C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n o f B a to n R o u g e a n d V ic in ity , In c . ( L o u is ia n a ) S to n e , c la y , a n d g la ss p r o d u c ts C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C e m e n t W o rk e rs ............................................. P lu m b e r s ............................................................ 1,750 5 ,0 0 0 J e ffb o a t, In c . (Je ffe rs o n v ille , I n d . ) ...................................................................................... T r a n s p o r t a tio n e q u ip m e n t . . . . T e a m s te r s ( I n d .) 1,250 L a d ie s H a n d b a g s & L e a th e r N o v e ltie s (N e w Y o r k , N .Y .) 2 ................................ L u m b e r & M ill E m p lo y e rs A s s o c ia tio n ( C a l i f o r n i a ) ................................................ L e a th e r ................................................ L u m b e r ................................................ L e a th e r , P la s tic a n d N o v e lty W o rk e rs . C a r p e n te r s ......................................................... 3 ,0 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 M e c h a n ic a l C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n o f C e n tr a l P e n n s y lv a n ia ......................... M e c h a n ic a l C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n o f E a s te r n P e n n s y lv a n ia , 2 A g re e m e n ts C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... P lu m b e r s P lu m b e r s 1,000 4 ,2 0 0 H e a lth se rv ic e s A ffilia te d H o s p ita ls o f S an F r a n c is c o (C a lifo rn ia ) ................................................... A s s o c ia te d G e n e ra l C o n tr a c to r s o f A m e ric a , In c .: B a to n R o u g e C h a p t e r ( L o u is ia n a ) ............................................................................... C o lo r a d o B u ild in g C h a p t e r ............................................................................................... L a k e C h a r le s C h a p t e r ( L o u is ia n a ) ............................................................................... M a s s a c h u s e tts C h a p te r , 2 A g re e m e n ts ...................................................................... M in n e s o ta C h a p te r , 8 A g r e e m e n t s ............................................................................... C C C C C A m e ric a n T h r e a d C o . (W illim a n tic , C o n n .) ................................................................ A s s o c ia te d C o n tr a c to r s o f N e w J e rs e y a n d 1 o th e r (N e w J e r s e y ) ................... ................................ o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... S erv ic e E m p lo y e e s ............................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 1,100 1,700 6 ,6 0 0 S ee fo o tn o te s a t e n d o f ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Continued— Major Agreements Expiring Next Month N um ber of U n io n 1 In d u stry E m p lo y e r an d lo c a tio n w orkers ............................................ 3 ,2 50 ......................................... 1,000 F o o d p r o d u c t s ................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... A llie d W o rk e rs ............................................... E le c tric a l W o rk e rs (IB E W ) ...................... 1,000 2 ,0 0 0 C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... E le c tric a l W o rk e rs ( IB E W ) ...................... 1,700 L e a th e r L e a th e r W o rk e rs ............................................. 2 ,7 5 0 C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... L a b o r e r s a n d C a r p e n t e r s ............................. 6 ,1 0 0 S to n e , c la y , a n d g la ss p r o d u c ts B u ild in g a n d C o n s tr u c tio n T r a d e s C o u n c il 1,300 P a n A m e ric a n W o rld A irw a y s , In c . ( I n te r s t a te ) 3 ...................................................... P a in tin g & D e c o r a tin g C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n , M in n e s o ta C h a p te r , In c . ( M in n e s o ta ) P a th m a r k & S h o p - R ite S u p e r m a r k e ts ( I n te r s t a te ) ................................................... P lu m b in g H e a tin g & A ir C o n d itio n in g C o n tr a c to r s (P e n n s y lv a n ia ) ............. P u b lic S erv ic e C o . o f I n d ia n a , In c . ( I n d i a n a ) ................................................................ P u llm a n , I n c ., P u llm a n - S ta n d a r d ( I n te r s ta te ) ............................................................ A ir t r a n s p o r t a ti o n .......................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... A ir L in e P i l o t s ................................................... P a in te r s ................................................................ 4 ,5 0 0 1,200 R e ta il t r a d e .......................................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... U tilitie s ................................................ T r a n s p o r t a tio n e q u ip m e n t . . . . F o o d a n d C o m m e ric a l W o rk e rs ............. P l u m b e r s ............................................................... E le c tric a l W o rk e rs (IB E W ) ...................... S te e lw o rk e rs ...................................................... 1 0 ,750 1,200 2 ,1 0 0 8 ,800 S h eet M e ta l & A ir C o n d itio n in g C o n tr a c to r s N a tio n a l A s s o c ia tio n ( D is tr ic t o f C o lu m b ia , V irg in ia , a n d M a r y la n d ) S ta n d a r d O il C o . o f C a lifo rn ia , W e s te rn O p e r a tio n s (C a lifo rn ia ) ................... C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... S h e e t M e ta l W o rk e rs ................................... 1,400 P e t r o l e u m ............................................. S e a fa re rs ................................................................ 1,600 C h e m i c a l s ............................................. A to m ic W o rk e rs C h e m i c a l s ............................................. C h e m ic a l W o rk e rs N a tio n a l D is tille rs & C h e m ic a l C o rp . ( I n te r s t a te ) ................................................... N a tio n a l E le c tric a l C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n , In c ., N a s s a u & S u ffo lk C h a p t e r (N e w Y o rk ) N a tio n a l E le c tric a l C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n , P h ila d e lp h ia D iv is io n P e n n -D e l-J e rs e y C h a p t e r ( I n te r s ta te ) N e w Y o rk I n d u s tr ia l C o u n c il o f th e N a tio n a l H a n d b a g A s s o c ia tio n (N e w Y o rk , N .Y .) N o r th T e x a s C o n tr a c to r s A s s o c ia tio n , 2 A g re e m e n ts ( T e x a s ) ............................. O w e n s -C o rn in g F ib e r g la s C o rp . ( K a n s a s C ity , K a n s .) M e rc k & C o ., I n c ., L o c a l S u p p le m e n ta l A g r e e m e n t ( N e w J e rs e y a n d N e w Y o rk ) M o n s a n to C o ., J o h n F . Q u e e n y P la n t (S t. L o u is, M o . ) ......................................... ......................................... ................................................ 1,300 M is c e lla n e o u s m a n u f a c tu r in g . . W e s t T e n n e s se e B a rg a in in g G r o u p , In c . (M e m p h is , T e n n .) ................................ 1Affiliated with A FL-C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.) 2Industry area (group of companies signing same contract). 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis C o n s t r u c t i o n ...................................... C a r p e n te r s ......................................................... inform ation from newspaper source. 1,500 Developments in Industrial Relations Chrysler cuts costs further to get additional loan The financially troubled Chrysler Corp. again moved close to bankruptcy before it qualified for an additional $400 million in Federal loan guarantees. The Chrysler Loan Guarantee Board approved the company’s surviv al plan after unions, suppliers, and lenders acceded to the board’s demands and accepted more severe cost concessions than those in the original proposal. The board then said that Chrysler had met its obligation to submit an operating plan “for the 1980 fiscal year and the next three fiscal years demonstrating the ability of the corporation to continue as a going concern in the automobile business, and after December 31, 1983, to continue without additional guarantees or other Federal assistance.” Last year, Chrysler received $800 million of the $1.5 billion in loan guarantees permitted by the Chrysler Corporation Loan Guarantee Act of 1979. (See Monthly Labor Review, March 1980, p. 56.) The United Auto Workers agreed to reduce by $622 million the wage and benefit improvements scheduled under its existing 3-year contract, which expires in Sep tember 1982. This was in addition to the $466 million in reductions (from the General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co. settlement pattern) the union had accepted to help Chrysler win the earlier loan guarantee. The latest concessions agreed to by the Auto Work ers were elimination of the 3-percent deferred wage in creases scheduled for March 1981 and 1982; elimination of the $1.15 an hour cost-of-living allowance and the provision for future quarterly adjustments in the allow ance (employees would receive the scheduled March 1981 lump-sum payment for covered hours from De cember 1980 through February 1981); elimination of two scheduled increases in pensions and deferral of a third increase; elimination of three paid personal holi days, which would have become effective in the fourth quarter of 1982; and elimination of a scheduled 5-minute increase in paid lunch periods for employees in plants that operate 24 hours a day. The accord covered 64,000 active employees represented by the United Auto Workers; 40,000 others were on layoff. “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben and other members of the staff of the Division of Trends in Employee Compensation, Bureau of Labor Statistics and is largely based on in formation from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Seven other unions, representing 4,000 employees agreed to similar wage and benefit concessions. The concessions by these unions, combined with those im posed by the company for its nonunion employees, to taled $161 million. The unions also agreed 1o consider in the 1982 round of contract bargaining “the company’s financial condi tion, the necessity for the company to be economically viable and the assumptions in the company’s operating and financial plans.” Auto Workers’ President Douglas A. Fraser de scribed the settlement as the “worst . . . we’ve ever made, and the only thing that is worse is the alternative . . . no jobs for Chrysler workers.” However, the unions did win a commitment from Chrysler to negotiate a profit-sharing plan in the next few months (“contingent on adequate levels of future company performance”), access to company financial records, more employee involvement in management (Fraser presently is a company director), and certain commitments regarding the ratio of supervisors to workers and future plant closings. Other aspects of the survival plan required (1) Chrysler to cancel or postpone introduction of new models, which was expected to cut expenditures $1.9 billion during the next 4 years; (2) lenders to accept preferred stock in exchange for nearly half of Chrysler’s $1.1 billion debt, with the balance subject to payment at 30 cents on the dollar, if warranted by Chrysler’s fu ture financial condition; and (3) suppliers to maintain their January 1 price levels on sales to Chrysler and give the company a 5-percent discount on purchases during the first quarter. The discount was expected to total $36 million, with Chrysler also required to press the suppliers for another $36 million in discounts dur ing the year. Chrysler’s financial condition also was improved by the State of Illinois’ decision to lend the company $20 million. One of the conditions of the loan was that Chrysler could not reduce: its permanent work force in Illinois by more than 40 percent during the loan term. Since the beginning of 1980, Chrysler also has obtained loans from some of the oi:her States where it has facili ties, including Michigan ($150 million), Indiana ($32 million), and Delaware ($5 million). Other States were still considering loan requests. 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Developments in Industrial Relations Firestone cuts labor costs at two plants The continuing financial problems of the rubber in dustry were indicated by developments at Firestone Tire and Rubber Co., as workers at Memphis, Tenn., and Noblesville, Ind., plants agreed to company proposals for labor cost concessions. Firestone officials at the Memphis plant said the con cessions were necessary because the plant, which makes bias-ply tires, was operating at a loss. They forecast that, without the changes, the facility would have lost $7 million in 1981. The settlement was worked out by a Joint LaborManagement Survival Committee. A major aspect called for a “restructuring” of jobs by mid-1981. All employees would be assured of their present pay level and incentive workers (about 25 percent of the 1,450 employees) will actually have higher “earnings expec tancy.” If the job evaluation for the nonincentive em ployees results in a finding that a particular job should be paid at a lower rate, affected employees would con tinue to receive their current pay but would not receive wage increases until the future increases total more than the difference between the two pay rates. Maintenance workers can now be required to perform certain func tions outside their normal trade and are assured of higher pay rates when they attain proficiency in the new skills. Also, the plant will switch to a 7-day-a-week op eration, with all weekend premium pay abolished and all work under 40 hours a week compensated at straight-time rates. The affected workers are represented by Local 186 of the Rubber Workers. The union concessions for Memphis workers were embodied in a supplement to the master agreement be tween the Rubber Workers and Firestone. Memphis workers will receive the remaining quarterly cost-of-liv ing adjustments and the April 1981 wage increase of 20 cents an hour provided in the master agreement, which expires in April 1982. About 650 workers are involved in the concessions at Noblesville, which included a $ 1.40-an-hour wage cut; a reduction in paid holidays (from 11 to 9 days a year); a 1 week reduction in vacation after 30 years of service (to 5 weeks); a 10-cent-an-hour reduction in the night shift differential; reversion to the hospital-medical-surgi cal benefits that applied in 1976; termination of the SUB plan; and a cut in sickness and accident benefits to $110 a week for up to 26 weeks (was $140 a week for up to 52 weeks). The workers will receive a 30-cent-an-hour wage in crease in January 1983 and automatic cost-of-living ad justments in July 1984 and January 1985, calculated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.5-point movement in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967=100). However, the two ad 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis justments are limited to a combined total increase of 35 cents. The concessions for the Noblesville workers will con tinue for the duration of the master contract the Rub ber Workers will negotiate with Firestone in 1982. In addition, the Noblesville workers will not receive any wage and benefit improvements provided by that con tract. Firestone officials said the concessions were neces sary to bring labor costs into line with competitors. The plant manufactures rubber shock absorbers, air suspen sion systems, and other products and is the only “nontire” plant covered by the master contract. International Harvester announces pay freeze International Harvester Co. moved to minimize labor costs by announcing an “indefinite” freeze on the sala ries of 30,000 nonunion office workers. Salaries of the company’s 26 corporate officers were cut 20 percent. Hourly paid workers, who are represented by the Unit ed Auto Workers, were not affected by the freeze. The company lost $400 million in the last fiscal year and of ficials attributed the need for a salary freeze to high in terest rates and reduced demand for its farm and construction equipment. U.S. soccer players get first contract The North American Soccer League Players Associa tion’s and the soccer league negotiated their first collec tive bargaining agreement. The association began its organizing efforts in the league about 3 years ago and won representation rights for U.S. teams. However, ne gotiations did not begin until the fall of 1980, after the National Labor Relations Board ordered the league to bargain. A union official said that the six Canadian soc cer teams would sign a separate but identical contract. Terms of the 3-year accord for the 500 U.S. and Ca nadian players included minimum salaries of $18,000 for rookies, $19,200 for second-year players, and $22,800 for third-year players; a guarantee of at least the minimum salary for players dropped from the team during the season; a guarantee that an injured player will receive at least the minimum salary through the fol lowing year, as well as a $25,000-payment if the injury ends his career; provision for binding arbitration of dis putes; and establishment of employer-financed jointly administered insurance benefits for active players and future retirees. The parties also agreed to require each team to have at least four North American players beginning in 1982; the current minimum is two players. In addition, the parties agreed to develop a “reserve league” of Ameri can players. The North American Soccer League Players Associa- tion is a branch of the Federation of Professional Ath letes chartered by the AFL-CIO in 1979. Joy elected head of Utility Workers James Joy, Jr., was elected president of the Utility Workers, succeeding Valentine P. Murphy, who re signed to assume the lighter duties of the executive vice president post Joy had held since 1979. Joy will fill the 3 years remaining of the presidential term of office. He also is a vice president of the New York State AFL-CIO, and holds other posts in organized labor. months. A company official said that the hourly work force currently stood at 133,000 and that 50,000 work ers were on layoff. Ford denied any violation of the 1964 Civil Rights Act, saying that it had agreed to the terms of the settle ment “to eliminate various longstanding areas of dis agreement” between Ford and the commission and “to avoid the possibility of prolonged litigation.” This was the second largest out-of-court settlement in the com mission’s history, exceeded only by a $29.4-million set tlement with the General Electric Co. in 1978. Firm to pay $5 million in 1956 plant closing Two maritime unions merge The 500-member American Radio Association merged into the Masters, Mates, and Pilots union. American Radio President William R. Steinberg became a vice president of the Master, Mates, and Pilots and will represent the new Communications and Electronics Group on the union’s executive board. In addition to welcoming the American Radio Asso ciation, the executive board formally installed Masters, Mates, and Pilots officers for a 2-year term, based on the results of a mail referendum. The union, an affiliate of the International Longshoremen’s Association, has been headed by Robert J. Lowen since 1978. Ford settles job discrimination case A nationwide 7-year job discrimination action against the Ford Motor Co. ended when the company and the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission reached an out-of-court settlement. The settlement calls for Ford to pay a total of $13 million to some 14,000 wom en and members of minority groups who were denied jobs or promotions. The amount consists of $8 million to be paid to unsuccessful applicants for hourly rated jobs in the early 1970’s, $3.5 million to salaried minori ty and female employees hired before 1975, and $1.5 million to women in hourly paid jobs hired prior to 1972. An additional $10 million will be used for up ward mobility purposes. Ford agreed to fill more than 20 percent of produc tion supervisory jobs and more than 15 percent of general supervisory jobs with minorities, and to hire women for production jobs at an average yearly rate of 30 percent. However, the new hiring policy will not be gin until either January 1, 1982, or shortly after the number of hourly employees recalled from layoff brings Ford’s hourly payroll to 170,000 for 2 consecutive https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis One of the longest labor-management disputes in U.S. history ended when former employees of a Darlington, S.C., textile plant approved a plan to distribute $5 million among themselves and heirs of workers who died after the plant closed in 1956. The shutdown by the Deering Milliken Co. came shortly af ter the Textile Workers Union of America won a repre sentation election, leading to union charges that the action had been taken to thwart organizing efforts. In the following years, the case moved through a number of appearances before the National Labor Relations Board and the Federal courts, including two appeals to the Supreme Court. The final determination was that the company had engaged in unfair labor practices. According to an official of the Amalgamated Cloth ing and Textile Workers, the settlement provides for in dividual payments ranging from $50 to $36,000. The Amalgamated Clothing and Textile Workers resulted from the 1976 merger of the Textile Workers and the Amalgamated Clothing Workers. Agreement ends 3-week strike at Hershey The first strike since 1953 against the Hershey Choc olate Co. of Pennsylvania ended when members of the Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers ratified a 3-year contract. The 3-week strike began when the pre vious contract expired. The new agreement covered 2,900 workers and pro vided for wage increases of 55 cents an hour effective immediately, 5 cents in May 1981, 5 percent in Novem ber 1981, and 4 percent in November 1982, and for continuation of the wage escalator clause. Benefit changes included an immediate $25-a-month increase in the normal pension for 215-year workers, bringing it to $425, and a $25-increase in the third contract year. A paid holiday also was added, bringing the total to 10. □ 75 Book Reviews The Post-Keynesian-neoclassicist split A Guide to Post-Keynesian Economics. Edited by Alfred S. Eichner. White Plains, N.Y., M. E. Sharpe, Inc., 1979. 202 pp. $12.95. The battlelines have been drawn, the encampments have been put in place, skirmishes occur frequently, and occasionally an (apparently) ineffectual pitched battle is waged. The opponents are two of several factions that form the confraternity of economic theorists. There are the “neoclassicists” or successors to Walras and his dis tinguished line of marginalists and the “Post-Keynes ians whom Alfred S. Eichner defines as “members of several dissident traditions within economics— that of the American institutionalists and the continental Marxists, as well as that of Keynes’ closest associates.” The student of economics may see this as simply anoth er instance of the continuing disagreement between the “microeconomic” theorists (read marginalists) and the “macroeconomic” theorists (read income theorists). The Post-Keynesians are well aware that the neoclas sicists have, in the form of marginal analysis and sup ply-demand analysis, an explanatory theoretical eco nomic paradigm. However, they appear to disregard or discount its normative character, disagree with its em phasis on the (relative) pricing mechanism and the re sulting substitution effects, and maintain that it is out of touch with reality. Eichner holds neoclassical theory responsible for the “debacle over the problem of in flation. Consequently, the Post-Keynesians are erecting an alternative paradigm, one that is more realistic and meaningful. The general outline of this paradigm was summarized in a “state of the arts” article. (Alfred S. Eichner and J. A. Kregel, “An Essay on Post-Keynesian Theory: A New Paradigm in Economics,” The Journal of Econom ic Literature, December 1975, pp. 1293-1314.) Al though aware that “establishment” views die hard, Eichner was disappointed with the unenthusiastic recep tion. In an attempt to reach a wider audience, he col laborated with the editor of Challenge in publishing a series of articles on various aspects of Post-Keynes ianism. The present volume includes 10 articles which were published in various issues of Challenge. These articles cover a wide variety of topics: macrodynamics, pricing, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis income distribution, tax incidence, production theory, the Sraffian contribution, the labor market, monetary factors, the international dimension, and natural re sources. Each analysis presents the Post-Keynesian ex planation, the neoclassical doctrine’s weaknesses, and concludes with statements on policy. In the foreword, Joan Robinson establishes and describes the theoretical underpinnings of Post-Keynesianism. Her attacks on the neoclassical position are centered on its equilibrium tendencies and on the use of a national production function. She states that the economy does not tend to an equilibrium, and that the very heterogeneity of its capital structure can only result in a “pseudo-produc tion function” of dubious value. Eichner’s introductory chapter is a useful historical summary of the recent par allel developments of Post-Keynesianism and neoclassi cal theory. The final chapter, also by Eichner, is a recapitulation of the book’s virtues; policy implications of Post-Keynesianism are also discussed. Unfortunately, both optimism and pessimism are expressed and the book ends on the nontheoretical note that our political institutions are yet immature. Of special interest are the chapters on “Pricing” and “The Labor Market.” Regarding price theory, the PostKeynesians admit that their analysis is still in an em bryonic state of development. Briefly, they dichotomize the economy. One sector, that of small firms, is charac terized by conditions approaching pure competition. The other sector, that of oligopolistic industries, is char acterized by a lack of price competition. In this latter sector, firms simply mark up their prices to generate sufficient profits for investment and labor costs. In any event, relative prices are unimportant. An important source of price competition is assumed nonexistent. Yet, it is difficult to concur that there do not exist significant and competitive price interrelationships between com peting products, such as steel and aluminum, or be tween competing industries, such as the U.S. auto industry and foreign automobile manufacturers. For the labor market, there is no price-clearing mechanism (in the form of supply and demand). The demand for labor is a function of institutional characteristics, the prevail ing technology and pricing decisions of firms with mar ket power. The demand is not related to the marginal product of labor. The Post-Keynesians claim that oligopolies are relatively insensitive to capital-labor ra tios because firms’ cost curves are relatively constant over varying output at a given point in time. However, they appear to disregard the variability over time of cost functions. Further, if the price of labor is relatively inconsequential, they do not explain the continuous shift into capital intensity regardless of demand require ments. The attempt by Post-Keynesians to introduce institu tional factors as explanatory reasons is certainly laudable, and, of course, not restricted to them. The fol lowing is an interesting hypothesis. They contend that the larger oligopolistic firms are characterized by high capital to labor ratios, sophisticated technology, high wages, a need for a relatively highly skilled labor force, and considerable unionization. These firms make up the “primary sector” which is characterized by relatively low, or at least lower, unemployment rates. All other firms contain the “secondary sector” characterized by generally less skilled labor and relatively high, or at least higher, unemployment rates. As an approximation, this reviewer examined the 1975 relationship between industry concentration and unemployment rates. (The economy was divided into 17 industries, and for each were noted: (a) the percent of the industry’s assets accounted for by firms of asset-size of $250 million and over, and (b) the industry’s unemployment rate.) The resulting somewhat significant negative rank correlation coefficient indicates that an inverse relationship between industry concentration and unemployment (rates) appears to exist. One can conclude that the PostKeynesians’ contention is not groundless and merits confirmation (or refutation). Such an analysis should also shed interesting light on the configuration of unem ployment. One may find this book controversial. One may be moan the authors’ lavish use of the very marginalist concepts they eschew. Yet, one cannot help but find it thought-provoking. — A r t h u r J. G a r t a g a n is Office of Economic Growth and Employment Projections Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor history in black and white History of the Labor Movement in the United States: Vol. V, The AFL in the Progressive Era, 1910-1915. By Philip S. Foner. New York, International Publish ers, 1980. 293 pp. $15, cloth; $4.95, paper. In the 1940’s and 1950’s, one of the most popular forms of entertainment was the western movie. The es sence of these horse operas was the quintessential battle https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis between the forces of good and evil. The heroes were identified by their white hats, the villains were starkly contrasted in black 10-gallon chapeaus. Although based on actual events (for example, The Gunfight at the O.K. Corral), these tales of the Old West often project ed a less than accurate picture. This book, by Philip Foner, reminds me of those: old western movies. To Foner, the rank-and-file union members, the radi cal militants, and other assorted members of the prole tariat wore the white hats, while employers, foremen, government officials, and the more conservative labor leaders— called “class collaborationists” — wore the black ones. Quite often, the alleged villain deserved his black hat status, but in too many instances the opposite was true; the author apparently holds the awarding of grey hats as heretical. Foner recognized contributions made to the labor movement by blacks, women, immigrants, and other minorities long before it became popular to do so. Un fortunately, his ideological bent— he makes no secret of his Marxist sympathies— triumphs over historical ob jectivity. This volume of The History of the Labor Move ment in the United States is no exception and that is a pity for it limits the usefulness of this otherwise fasci nating study, the most comprehensive research on the labor movement since Commons and Associates wrote the History of Labour in the United States in 1918. This volume is, like its ¡predecessors, not for general reading. The slanted opinions of the author would probably be undetected by the casual reader, and they may even slip by the novice student of the labor move ment. For example, Foner constantly blames the fail ures, and near failures, of the American Federation of Labor on its president, Samuel Gompers. The criticism is progressively subtle and quite often without docu mentation. Chapter five provides a good illustration. The AFL leader wanted to impress on President Woodrow Wil son that organized labor would not support him, by en dorsement or otherwise, unless the Administration worked to exempt labor from the despised Sherman An titrust Act of 1890— the act had commonly been used by the judiciary against labor during work stoppages. Foner commented that, “regardless of whether or not Gompers would have carried out his threat to break with the Wilson Administration there was not to be any need for a fight” (p. 124). The subtle inference to Gom pers’ strength of character may, at first, seem innocu ous, but Foner continues hurling such barbs throughout the book (pp. 44, 47, 63, 88, 90, 99, 102, and 136, among others). The AFL in the Time of Gompers, by Philip Taft— the dean of labor historians— covers much of the same ma terial as this fifth volume of the history of the labor movement; however, by comparison, it seems alien. 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Book Renews Gompers, in turn, would have to be two different peo ple to accomodate both authors. Another method which Foner utilizes to prove his own conclusions is the omission of contradictory mate rial. For example, he claims that President Theodore Roosevelt made no gestures of good faith towards orga nized labor (pp. 110-11). Specifically, he states: “ . . . organized labor felt that Roosevelt was not really sym pathetic to organized labor’s fundamental right to orga nize.” He adds, “he (Roosevelt) had done nothing to halt the use of injunctions in labor disputes . . . . ” Jonathan Grossman’s article, “ The coal strike of 1902—turning point in U.S. policy” (Monthly Labor Review, October 1975) states otherwise. Grossman com ments that in ameliorating differences in the Anthracite Coal Strike, Roosevelt’s efforts “marked the turn of the U.S. Government from strikebreaker to peacemaker in industrial disputes.” The public papers of Roosevelt, edited by Elting Morison (vol. 6, pp. 338, 342, 346), also illustrate that the President, while not always sym pathetic to labor, was not always against it, as shown by his opposition to the use of injunctions under the Sherman Antitrust Act. There are numerous errors in this book, another lega cy from previous volumes. On page 120, for example, Foner incorrectly states: Agitation for a Department of Labor was begun soon after the Civil War by William H. Silvus. The movement was taken up by the Knights of Labor, and that effort led to the establishment in 1888 of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In “The origin of the U.S. Department of Labor,” (Monthly Labor Review, March 1973), Jonathan Grossman, correctly states that agitation by organized labor for a Federal department led to the establishment of a Bureau of Labor Statistics in 1884, followed by a Department of Labor without Cabinet rank in 1888. On page 96, Foner writes that in the “Danbury Hatters” controversy, organized labor opposed the practices of the “Lowe Co.” The correct spelling of that company is “Loewe & Co.” Such errors are, in light of the abundant resources at Foner’s command, unnecessary and disappointing. He has a virtual cornucopia of bibliographic material to choose from, including public and private papers of many key figures of the period, local and national news papers and periodicals, standard and little utilized sec ondary sources, and a host of unpublished dissertations. Chapter 8 provides a good illustration of his abun dant sources. This chapter deals with industrial warfare in the coal fields of West Virginia, 1912-13. Foner uti lizes the correspondence between Mary “Mother” Jones, labor organizer and ubiquitous figure in many mining disputes, and key government officials, including the Secretary of Labor. He also cites several Socialist 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and labor publications— United Mine Workers Journal, New York Call, International Socialist Review— as well as the standard newspapers, The New York Tribune and The New York Times. As an overall analysis, Foner re fers to David Corbin’s award-winning article “Betrayal in the West Virginia Coal Fields” (pp. 193-94). With such fine sources, and considering the intensity and indefatigability with which Foner works, it is a shame the book is biased, for it is a fascinating study. Foner whets the reader’s appetite with an opening ac count of the trial of the McNamara Brothers in 1910; a cause celebre amongst the ranks of organized labor and a major controversy in the early part of the century. He then devotes several chapters to an overall survey of la bor in general, and the AFL, in particular, before con centrating on more specific events in the last seven chapters. Among these specific topics are: The Phila delphia General Strike of 1910; Revolt of the Colorado Miners, 1913-14, including a graphic account of the in famous “Ludlow Massacre”; and The Shopmen’s Strike on the Harriman Railroad System. The expressive and captivating style, the abundant documentation and the natural drama of the events themselves should have made this book, and its com panion books in the overall history, the bible of labor history. Distortion of fact prevents that from happen ing. Philip Foner should not have played “heroes and villains” with such an important work. — H e n r y P. G u z d a Historian U.S. Department of Labor Publications received Economic growth and development Economic Council of Canada, A Climate o f Uncertainty: Sev enteenth Annual Review. Hull, Quebec, Economic Council of Canada, 1980, 169 pp. $8.75, Canada; $10.50, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publish ing Center, Supply and Services, Canada, Hull, Quebec. Rima, Ingrid H., Labor Markets, Wages and Employment. New York, W. W. Norton & Co., Inc., 1981, 399 pp. $14.95. Sandler, Todd and John T. Tschirhart, “The Economic Theo ry of Clubs: An Evaluative Survey,” Journal o f Economic Literature, December 1980, pp. 1481-1521. Stone, Richard, “Whittling Away at the Residual: Some Thoughts on Denison’s Growth Accounting: A Review Article,” Journal o f Economic Literature, December 1980, pp. 39-43. Industrial relations Cunningham, Richard M., “Labor-Management Relations in the Federal Sector: Democracy or Paternalism?” Labor Law Journal, October 1980, pp. 636-44. Edes, Nik B., “Compensation for Occupational Diseases,” La bor Law Journal, October 1980, pp. 595-601. Frank, Nancy K., “A Question of Equity: Workers’ ‘Right to Refuse’ Under O S H A Compared to the Criminal Necessity Defense,” Labor Law Journal, October 1980, pp. 617-26. Kollins, Thomas K., How to Cost Your Labor Contract. Ar lington, Va., Graphic Arts Union Employers of America, 1979, 88 pp. Kumar, Pradeep, Professionalism in the Canadian P/IR Func tion: Report o f a Survey o f Education, Training and Expe rience of Personnel and Industrial Relations Practitioners. Kingston, Ontario, Canada, Queen’s University at Kings ton, Industrial Relations Center, 1980, 68 pp. (Research and Current Issues Series, 39.) $5, paper. Lane, Marc J., Legal Handbook for Nonprofit Organizations. New York, a m a c o m , A division of American Manage ment Associations, 1980, 294 pp. $17.95. Leap, Terry L., William H. Holley, Jr., Hubert S. Feild, “Equal Employment Opportunity and Its Implications for Personnel Practices in the 1980’s,” Labor Law Jour nal, November 1980, pp. 669-82. Levine, Marvin J., “The Status of State ‘Sunshine Bargaining’ Laws,” Labor Law Journal, November 1980, pp. 709-13. Industry and government organization States. Westport, Conn., Greenwood Press, 1980, 309 pp., bibliography. $27.50. Jensen, Joan M., With These Hands: Women Working on the Land. Old Westbury, N.Y., The Feminist Press, 1981, 295 pp. $6.95, paper. Kessler-Harris, Alice, Women Have Always Worked: A Histori cal Overview. Old Westbury, N.Y., The Feminist Press, 1981, 193 pp. $5.95, paper. McNulty, Paul J., The Origins and Development of Labor Eco nomics: A Chapter in the History of Social Thought. Cam bridge, Mass., The M I T Press, 1980, 248 pp. $17.50. Labor force Jilek, T. S. and R. E. Temple-Smith, “Additional Workers — Concepts, Measurement and Policy,” Australian Econom ic Papers, June 1980, pp. 219-23. Raelin, Joseph A., Building a Career: The Effect of Initial Job Experiences and Related Work Attitudes on Later Employ ment. Kalamazoo, Mich., The W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1980, 178 pp. $7, cloth; $4.50, paper. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Migration to Nonmetropolitan Areas: Appraising the Trends and Reasons for Moving. By Larry H. Long and Diana DeAre. Washington, U.S. De partment of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 29 pp. $2, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Waite, Linda J., “Working Wives and the Family Life Cycle,” American Journal of Sociology, September 1980, pp. 27294. Langford, Thomas W. and C. Vincent Manoogian, The Eco nomic Impacts o f Proposed Regulations for Mandatory Deposits on Beverage Containers in Illinois, R71-24 and R75-14. Chicago, 111., Institute of Natural Resources, Environmental Management Division, 1980, 239 pp., bib liography. Wilson, Kenneth L. and Alejandro Portes, “Immigrant En claves: An Analysis of the Labor Market Experiences of Cubans in Miami,” American Journal of Sociology, Sep tember 1980, pp. 295-319. Vogel, David, “A Funny Thing Happened to the Down-withBig-Business Movements,” Across the Board, December Management and organization theory 1980, pp. 4 5 - 5 2 . International economics Crockett, Andrew D. and Owen J. Evans, “Demand for Mon ey in Middle Eastern Countries,” International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1980, pp. 543-77. Fiebig, D. G., “The Casual Relationship Between Money and Income in Australia,” Austrailian Economic Papers, June 1980, pp. 78-90. Ghosh, Sukesh K., “Unemployment and Optimum Balance of Payments Deficit,” Australian Economic Papers, June 1980, pp. 203-10. Keller, Peter M„ “Implications of Credit Policies for Output and the Balance of Payments,” International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1980, pp. 451-77. Khatkhate, Deena R. and Klaus-Walter Riechel, “Multipur pose Banking: Its Nature, Scope, and Relevance for Less Developed Countries,” International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1980, pp. 478-516. Labor and economic history Corbin, Richard H. and R. Donald Gamache, Creating Pro fitable New Products and Markets. New York, a m a c o m , A division of American Management Associations, 1980, 53 pp., bibliography. $5, A M A members; $7.50, non members. Ellis, Daryl J. and Peter P. Pekar, Jr., Planning for Nonplanners: Planning Basics for Managers. New York, a m a c o m , A division of American Management Associa tions, 1980, 152 pp. $12.95. Frank, Michael R., The Effective EDP Manager. New York, a m a c o m , A division of American Management Associa tions, 1980, 197 pp. $17.95. Freiman, David J., “Smart Marketing in a Time of Economic Crisis, S.A.M. Advanced Management Journal, Autumn 1980, pp. 21-34. Gruenberg, Barry, “The Happy Worker: An Analysis of Edu cational and Occupational Differences in Determinants of Job Satisfaction,” American Journal of Sociology, Septem ber 1980, pp. 247-71. Wages and compensation “Canada,” Current History, November 1980, pp. 113-38. Margolick, David, “The Lonely World of Night Work,” For tune, Dec. 15, 1980, pp. 108-14. Greenwald, Maurine Weiner, Women, War, and Work: The Impact of World War I on Women Workers in the United Rao, B. Bhaskara, “Inflationary and Efficiency Effects of Rel ative Wage Distortions: The Australian Case,” Australian https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Book Reviews Economic Papers, June 1980, pp. 68-77. Ronen, Simcha, Flexible Working Hours: An Innovation in the Quality of Work Life. New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., Inc., 1981, 353 pp. $18.95. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Industry Wage Survey: Drug Manufacturing, September 1978. Washington, 1980, 43 pp. (Bulletin 2077.) $3.25, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Worker training and development Beaumont, Andre G., Alva C. Cooper, Raymond H. Stockard, A Model Career Counseling and Placement Pro gram. 3d ed. Bethlehem, Pa., College Placement Services, Inc., 1980, 376 pp. $12.50, paper. Holder, Todd, “Job Finding and Career Planning: A Course Outline,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1980, pp. 28-31. Mangum, Garth and others, Job Market Futurity: Planning and Managing Local Manpower Programs. Salt Lake City, Utah, Olympus Publishing Co., 1979, 398 pp. Martin, Gail M., “A Guide to Setting Up a Career Resource Center,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1980, pp. 12-17. ---------“The Job Hunter’s Guide to the Library,” Occupation al Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1980, pp. 6-11. 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mirengoff, William and others, The New ceta : Effect on Pub lic Service Employment Programs Final Report. Washing ton, The National Research Council, Assembly of Behavioral and Social Sciences, Committee on Evaluation of Employment and Training Programs, 1980, 185 pp. Available from National Academy Press, Washington. Rudney, Shirley, “Writers and Editors: Or Oh Ye Scribes and Scholiasts,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1980, pp. 18-21. Sexton, Robert F., Barriers to the Older Student: The Limits of Federal Financial Aid Benefits. Washington, National In stitute for Work and Learning, 1980, 27 pp. Shaw, Lois B., A Profile of Women Potentially Eligible for the Displaced Homemaker Program Under the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act of 1978. Columbus, The Ohio State University, College of Administrative Science, Center for Human Resource Research, 1979, 19 pp. 80 cents. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, A Counselor's Guide to Occu pational Information. Washington, 1980, 60 pp. (Bulletin 2042.) Stock No. 029-001-02490-8. $3.50, Superinten dent of Documents, Washington 20402. U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration, Training Requirements in OSHA Standards, Rev. ed. Washington, U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational Safety and Health Administration, 1979, 62 pp. Single copy free. □ Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics j ..................................................................................................................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series .......................................................................... Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ............................................................. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-79 ................................................................ Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................ Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................................ Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................ Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................... Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................... Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Employment by industry, 1950-79 ........................................................................................................................................ Employment by State ............................................................................................................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group ................................................................................ Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date ........................................................................................................ Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group ................................................................................... Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1949-79 .................. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing g r o u p .............................................................................. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ...................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division, seasonally adjusted ...................................................................... . . . Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date ..................................................... Unemployment insurance data. Definitions and notes 83 83 84 85 86 87 87 87 88 89 89 90 91 92 92 93 94 95 96 96 97 98 99 99 .......................................................................................................................................... Consumer Price Index, 1967-79 ............................................................................................................................................. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items .......................................................... Consumer Price Index, cross classification of region and population size class ................................................. . . . Consumer Price Index, selected areas ..................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ............................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ............................................................................................................. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................ Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries .............................................. 100 Price data. Definitions and notes Productivity data. Definitions and notes 31. 32. 33. 34. 82 ........................................................................................ ....................................................... 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 82 ....................................................................................................................... Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,1950-79 ............................................ Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1969-79 ............................................. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices,seasonally adjusted .................... Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . Labor-management data. Definitions and notes ........................................................................................................ 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date ........................................................ 36. Effective wage rate adjustments going into effect in major collective bargainingunits, 1975 to d a t e ....................... 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date ............................................................................................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101 101 107 108 109 110 112 112 112 115 115 116 116 117 118 118 119 119 81 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2 - 7 were revised in the February 1981 issue of the Review to reflect the preceding year’s experience. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifications in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new proce dure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -ll method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in The X - l l AR1MA Seasonal Adjustment M ethod by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, February 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data in tables 11, 13, 16, and 18 begins with the August 1980 issue using the X -ll ARIMA seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal fac tors for productivity data in tables 33 and 34 are usually intro duced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The Handbook o f Labor Statis tics 1978, Bulletin 2000, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the Monthly Labor Review. More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in Em ploym ent and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau, and in two comprehensive data books issued annually— Em ploym ent and Earnings, United States and Em ploym ent and Earnings, States and Areas. More detailed informa tion on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the CPI D etailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Title and frequency (monthly except where indicated) Employment situation.................................................................. Producer Price Index .................................................................. Consumer Price Index ................................................................ Real earnings ............................................................................ Labor turnover in manufacturing .................................................. Work stoppages.......................................................................... Major collective bargaining settlements (quarterly) ........................ Productivity and costs: Nonfarm business and manfacturing ........................................ 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release date March 6 March 6 March 24 March 24 March 27 March 31 Period covered Release date February February February February February February April 3 April 3 April 23 April 23 April 29 April 29 April 27 March March March March March March 1st quarter 1-11 26-30 22-25 14-20 12-13 37 35-36 April 27 1st quarter 31-34 Period covered MLR table number EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY E m p l o y m e n t d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 65,000 households beginning in January 1980, selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of longterm illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. Data in tables 2 - 7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 198(1. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-80 [Numbers in thousands] Total labor force Year Total noninstitutional population Civilian labor force Unemployed Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industrie;. Number Percent of labor force Notin labor force 1950 1955 1960 1964 1965 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 106,645 112,732 119,759 127,224 129,236 63,858 68,072 72,142 75,830 77,178 59.9 60.4 60.2 59.6 59.7 62,208 65,023 69,628 73,091 74,455 58,918 62,170 65,778 69,305 71,088 7,160 6,450 5,458 4,523 4,361 51,758 55,722 60,318 64,782 66,726 3,288 2,852 3,852 3,786 3,366 5.3 4.4 5.5 5.2 4.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 51,394 52,058 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 140,182 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 85,903 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 61.3 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 82,715 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 78,627 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 3,462 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 75,165 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4,088 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 4.9 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 54,280 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 142,596 145,775 148,263 150,827 153,449 86,929 88,991 91,040 93,240 94,793 61.0 61.0 61.4 61.8 61.8 84,113 86,542 88,714 91,011 92,613 79,120 81,702 84,409 83,935 84,783 3,387 3,472 3,452 3,492 3,380 75,732 78,230 80,957 82,443 81,403 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7,830 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 55,666 56,785 57,222 57,587 58,655 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 156,048 158,559 161,058 163,620 166,246 96,917 99,534 102,537 104,996 106,821 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.2 64.3 94,773 97,401 100,420 102,908 104,719 87,485 90,546 94,373 96,945 97,270 3,297 3,244 3,342 3,297 3,310 84,188 87,302 91,031 93,648 93,960 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7,448 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.8 7.1 59,130 59,025 58,521 58,623 59,425 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Employment status Annual average 1980 1981 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 163,620 104,996 161,532 102,908 96,945 3,297 93,648 5,963 5.8 58,623 166,246 106,821 164,143 104,719 97,270 3,310 93,960 7,448 7.1 59,425 165,101 106,289 163,020 104,208 97,708 3,287 94,421 6,500 6.2 58,812 165,298 106,357 163,211 104,271 97,817 3,329 94,488 6,454 6.2 58,940 165,506 106,261 163,416 104,171 97,628 3,337 94,291 6,543 6.3 59,245 165,693 106,519 163,601 104,427 97,225 3,262 93,963 7,202 6.9 59,174 165,886 107,148 163,799 105,060 97,116 3,352 93,764 7,944 7.6 58,739 166,105 106,683 164,013 104,591 96,780 3,232 93,548 7,811 7.5 59,422 166,391 107,119 164,293 105,020 96,999 3,267 93,732 8,021 7.6 59,273 166,578 107,059 164,464 104,945 97,003 3,210 93,793 7,942 7.6 59,519 166,789 107,101 164,667 104,980 97,180 3,399 93,781 7,800 7.4 59,687 167,005 107,288 164,884 105,167 97,206 3,319 93,887 7,961 7.6 59,717 167,201 107,404 165,082 105,285 97,339 3,340 93,999 7,946 7.5 59,797 167,396 107,191 165,272 105,067 97,282 3,394 93,888 7,785 7.4 60,205 167,585 2,125 165,460 105,543 97,696 3,403 94,294 7,847 7.4 59,917 68,293 54,486 52,264 2,350 49,913 2,223 4.1 13,807 69,607 55,234 51,972 2,355 49,617 3,261 5.9 14,373 69,047 54,892 52,263 2,401 49,862 2,629 4.8 14,155 69,140 55,017 52,436 2,418 50,018 2,581 4.7 14,123 69,238 54,966 52,230 2,386 49,844 2,736 5.0 14,272 69,329 55,127 51,935 2,334 49,601 3,192 5.8 14,202 69,428 55,440 51,871 2,337 49,494 3,569 6.4 13,988 69,532 55,182 51,624 2,301 49,323 3,558 6.4 14,350 69,664 55,344 51,714 2,306 49,408 3,630 6.6 14,320 69,756 55,403 51,791 2,301 49,490 3,612 6.5 14,353 69,864 55,475 51,823 2,389 49,434 3,652 6.6 14,389 69,987 55,495 51,963 2,351 49,612 3,532 6.4 14,492 70,095 55,539 52,007 2,372 49,635 3,532 6.4 14,556 70,198 55,470 52,045 2,331 49,714 3,425 6.2 14,728 70,320 55,443 52,091 2,378 49,713 3,352 6.0 14,877 76,860 38,910 36,698 591 36,107 2,213 5.7 37,949 78,295 40,243 37,696 575 37,120 2,547 6.3 38,052 77,656 39,852 37,538 543 36,995 2,314 5.8 37,804 77,766 39,871 37,560 568 36,992 2,311 5.8 37,895 77,876 39,845 37,550« 557 36,973 2,295 5.8 38,031 77,981 40,098 37,597 560 37,037 2,501 6.2 37,883 78,090 40,193 37,600 598 37,002 2,593 6.5 37,897 78,211 40,182 37,613 550 37,063 2,569 6.4 38,029 78,360 40,383 37,728 564 37,164 2,655 6.6 37,977 78,473 40,523 37,890 555 37,335 2,633 6.5 37,950 78,598 40,317 37,804 592 37,212 2,513 6.2 38,281 78,723 40,486 37,754 576 37,178 2,732 6.7 38,237 78,842 40,629 37,909 574 37,335 2,720 6.7 38,213 78,959 40,570 37,820 665 37,155 2,750 6.8 38,389 79,071 40,942 38,191 621 37,570 2,750 6.7 38,129 16,379 9,512 7,984 356 7,628 1,528 16.1 6,867 16,242 9,242 7,603 380 7,223 1,640 17.7 7,000 16,317 9,464 7,907 343 7,564 1,557 16.5 6,853 16,305 9,383 7,821 343 7,478 1,562 16.6 6,922 16,302 9,360 7,848 374 7,474 1,512 16.2 6,942 16,291 9,202 7,693 368 7,325 1,509 16.4 7,089 16,281 9,427 7,645 377 7,268 1,782 18.9 6,854 16,271 9,227 7,543 381 7,162 1,684 18.3 7,044 16,268 9,293 7,557 397 7,160 1,736 18.7 6,975 16,235 9,019 7,322 354 6,968 1,697 18.8 7,216 16,205 9,188 7,553 418 7,135 1,635 17.8 7,017 16,174 9,186 7,489 392 7,097 1,697 18.5 6,988 16,145 9,117 7,423 394 7,029 1,694 18.6 7,028 16,114 9,027 7,417 398 7,019 1,610 17.8 7,087 16,069 9,158 7,414 404 7,010 1,744 19.0 6,911 141,614 90,602 86,025 4,577 5.1 51,011 143,657 92,171 86,380 5,790 6.3 51,486 142,806 91,783 86,760 5,023 5.5 51,023 142,951 143,115 91,873 91,802 86,869 86,723 5,004 5,079 5.4 5.5 51,078 51,313 143,254 92,044 86,389 5,655 6.1 51,210 143,403 92,501 86,251 6,250 6.8 50,902 143,565 92,134 86,007 6,127 6.7 51,431 143,770 143,900 92,335 92,288 86,075 86,067 6,260 6,221 6.8 6.7 51,435 51,612 144,051 92,317 86,307 6,010 6.5 51,734 144,211 92,516 86,371 6,145 6.6 51,695 144,359 144,500 92,562 92,383 86,409 86,377 6,153 6,006 6.6 6.5 51,797 52,117 144,651 92,832 86,620 6,213 6.7 51,819 19,918 12,306 10,920 1,386 11.3 7,612 20,486 12,548 10,890 1,658 13.2 7,938 20,214 12,453 10,974 1,479 11.9 7,761 20,346 12,401 10,838 1,563 12.6 7,945 20,395 12,546 10,842 1,704 13.6 7,849 20,448 12,491 10,809 1,682 13.5 7,957 20,617 12,677 10,894 1,783 14.1 7,940 20,673 12,686 10,884 1,802 14.2 7,987 20,771 12,668 10,895 1,773 14.0 8,103 20,809 12,684 11,051 1,634 12.9 8,125 TOTAL Total noninstitutional population' .......................... Total labor force ...................................... Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ................................ Employed ...................................... Agriculture .............................. Nonagricultural industries ........ Unemployed .................................. Unemployment rate ........................ Not in labor force .................................. Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Both sexes, 16 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ White Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employee ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Black and other Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ 20,261 12,395 10,945 1,450 11.7 7,866 20,301 12,320 10,856 1,464 11.9 7,981 'As in table 1, population figures are not seasonally adjusted. NOTE: The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1980. 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20,523 12,661 10,902 1,759 13.9 7,862 20,564 12,630 10,902 1,728 13.7 7,934 20,723 12,706 10,922 1,784 14.0 8,017 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [In thousands] Annual average Selected categories 1981 1980 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 96,945 56,499 40,446 39,090 22,724 97,270 55,988 41,283 38,302 23,097 97,708 56,458 41,250 38,714 23,104 97,817 56,631 41,186 38,827 23,150 97,628 56,489 41,139 38,706 23,171 97,225 56,054 41,171 38,373 23,094 97,116 55,914 41,202 38,197 23,145 96,780 55,597 41,183 38,220 23,131 96,999 55,678 41,321 38,049 23,118 97,003 55,589 41,414 37,987 23,126 97,180 55,754 41,426 38,027 23,027 97,206 55,881 41,325 38,142 22,993 97,339 55,897 ci1,442 38,167 23,065 97,282 55,920 41,362 38,231 23,063 97,696 56,012 41,684 38,182 23,352 49,342 15,050 50,809 15,613 60,307 15,353 50,447 15,423 50,336 15,408 50,465 15,528 50,627 15,540 50,836 15,682 51,023 15,717 51,307 15,751 51,074 15,540 51,101 15,780 51,148 15,863 51,065 15,810 51,594 15,965 10,516 6,163 17,613 32,066 12,880 10,909 3,612 4,665 12,834 2,703 10,919 6,172 18,105 30,800 12,529 10,346 3,468 4,456 12,958 2,704 10,638 6,383 17,933 31,770 12,806 10,691 3,591 4,682 12,968 2,648 10,953 6,179 17,892 31,669 12,722 10,648 3,557 4,742 13,005 2,745 10,765 6,132 18,031 31,568 12,740 10,556 3,551 4,721 12,982 2,718 10,773 6,048 18,116 31,120 12,713 10,450 3,495 4,462 13,009 2,682 10,877 6,072 18,138 30,800 12,551 10,379 3,458 4,412 12,947 2,730 10,901 6,046 18,207 30,443 12,357 10,233 3,429 4,424 12,941 2,625 10,999 6,130 18,177 30,276 12,403 10,189 3,354 4,330 13,017 2,694 11,109 6,140 18,307 30,232 12,346 10,147 3,478 4,261 12,928 2,620 11,007 6,316 18,211 30,436 12,490 10,202 3,434 4,310 12,943 2,757 10,979 6,277 18,065 30,521 12,485 10,210 3,443 4,383 12,891 2,735 11,016 6,155 18,114 30,550 12,424 10,247 3,429 4,450 12,888 2,729 11,009 6,175 18,071 30,373 12,337 10,194 3,402 4,440 12,982 2,804 11,363 6,265 18,001 30,338 12,306 10,331 3,322 4,380 12,946 2,737 1,413 1,580 304 1,384 1,628 297 1,421 1,563 294 1,411 1,636 293 1,429 1,612 295 1,377 1,602 287 1,396 1,642 292 1,369 1,606 278 1,360 1,631 295 1,282 1,640 280 1,417 1,688 309 1,363 1,640 325 1,417 1,612 324 1,411 1,655 305 1,465 1,615 284 86,540 15,369 71,171 1,240 69,931 6,652 455 86,706 15,624 71,081 1,166 69,915 6,850 404 87,377 15,457 71,920 1,159 70,761 6,751 390 87,192 15,539 71,653 1,181 70,472 6,841 400 87,110 15,605 71,505 1,140 70,365 6,807 385 86,789 15,635 71,154 1,151 70,003 6,804 363 86,722 15,720 71,002 1,197 69,805 6,698 406 86,370 15,817 70,553 1,204 69,349 6,728 445 86,432 15,718 70,714 1,230 69,484 6,801 426 86,490 15,531 70,959 1,196 69,763 6,881 403 86,395 15,575 70,820 1,125 69,695 6,977 416 86,587 15,597 70,990 1,144 69,846 7,005 417 86,643 15,651 70,992 1,148 69,844 5,943 405 86,513 15,653 70,860 1,110 69,750 6,973 396 87,125 15,738 71,387 1,197 70,190 6,839 422 88,133 72,647 3,281 1,325 1,956 12,205 88,325 72,022 3,965 1,669 2,296 12,338 89,109 72,963 3,549 1,562 1,987 12,597 88,830 72,937 3,454 1,415 2,039 12,439 88,505 72,618 3,470 1,481 1,989 12,417 88,041 71,986 3,803 1,680 2,123 12,252 87,974 71,501 4,276 1,998 2,278 12,197 87,994 71,454 3,969 1,734 2,235 12,571 87,431 70,825 4,086 1,794 2,292 12,520 88,195 71,526 4,143 1,709 2,434 12,526 88,246 71,929 4,183 1,701 2,482 12,134 88,488 72,071 4,220 1,685 2,535 12,197 83,694 72,265 4,176 1,620 2,556 12,253 88,468 72,131 4,218 1,647 2,571 12,119 89,499 72,807 4,474 1,698 2,776 12,218 CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over ...................... Men ............................................................ W om er........................................................ Married men, spouse present ........................ Married women, spouse present .................... OCCUPATION White-collar workers............................................ Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ........................................................ Salesworkers................................................ Clerical workers............................................ Blue-collar workers.............................................. Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport.......................... Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers.......................................... Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers ...................................................... MAJOR INDUSTRYANDCLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers.............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers.............................. Government .......................................... Private industries.................................... Private households .......................... Other industries .............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. PERSONS AT WORK1 Nonagricultural industries .................................... Full-time schedules ...................................... Part time for economic reasons...................... Usually work full time.............................. Usually work part tim e............................ Part time for noneconomic reasons................ 'Excludes persons “with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1980. 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] Selected categories 1981 1980 Annual average 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Total, 16 years and over...................................... Men, 20 years and over................................ Women, 20 years and over .......................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ............................ 5.8 4.1 5.7 16.1 7.1 5.9 6.3 17.7 6.2 4.8 5.8 16.5 6.2 4.7 5.8 16.6 6.3 5.0 5.8 16.2 6.9 5.8 6.2 16.4 7.6 6.4 6.5 18.9 7.5 6.4 6.4 18.3 7.6 6.6 6.6 18.7 7.6 6.5 6.5 18.8 7.4 6.6 6.2 17.8 7.6 6.4 6.7 18.5 7.5 6.4 6.7 18.6 7.4 6.2 6.8 17.8 7.4 6.0 6.7 19.0 White, to ta l.................................................. Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 5.1 3.6 5.0 13.9 6.3 5.2 5.6 14.8 5.5 4.2 5.1 14.2 5.4 4.1 5.2 14.2 5.5 4.5 5.0 14.1 6.1 5.2 5.5 14.8 6.8 5.8 5.7 17.1 6.7 5.7 5.7 16.1 6.8 5.8 5.8 16.5 6.7 5.8 5.8 16.6 6.5 5.8 5.5 15.1 6.6 5.7 5.8 16.0 6.6 5.7 5.8 16.4 6.5 5.5 5.9 15.4 6.7 5.5 6.0 16.8 Black and other, total.................................... Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 11.3 8.4 10.1 33.5 13.2 11.4 11.1 35.8 11.9 9.7 10.1 34.4 11.7 9.5 9.3 36.9 11.9 9.5 10.5 33.7 12.6 10.8 11.1 31.8 13.6 11.7 11.6 35.3 13.5 12.2 10.9 34.8 13.9 12.5 11.3 35.9 13.7 12.5 10.9 37.6 14.1 13.2 10.6 37.8 14.2 12.1 12.3 37.4 14.0 12.0 12.2 36.6 14.0 11.6 12.3 37.5 12.9 10.5 11.0 36.5 Married men, spouse present........................ Married women, spouse present.................... Women who head families............................ Full-time workers.......................................... Part-time workers ........................................ Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost’ .................................. 2.7 5.1 8.3 5.3 8.7 T:2 6.3 4.2 5.8 9.1 6.8 8.7 1.7 7.9 3.4 5.3 9.0 5.8 8.7 1.3 6.7 3.2 5.4 8.5 5.8 8.8 1.2 6.6 3.4 5.4 8.6 5.9 8.4 1.3 6.8 4.0 5.7 9.0 6.5 8.8 1.5 7.6 4.6 6.1 8.3 7.3 9.0 1.6 8.6 4.6 6.0 8.5 7.2 8.8 1.7 8.1 4.9 6.1 8.8 7.4 8.8 1.8 8.4 4.8 6.0 9.0 7.3 8.7 2.0 8.3 4.7 5.7 9.0 7.3 8.7 2.2 8.2 4.6 6.0 10.2 7.3 9.1 2.2 8.4 4.4 5.9 9.9 7.4 8.6 2.2 8.3 4.3 5.8 10.4 7.3 8.2 2.3 8.2 4.2 6.2 10.5 7.1 9.2 2.2 8.2 3.3 2.4 3.7 2.5 3.4 2.3 3.4 2.3 3.4 2.3 3.7 2.4 3.8 2.6 3.7 2.5 3.7 2.4 3.7 2.4 3.8 2.5 3.9 2.6 3.9 2.5 4.0 2.6 3.9 2.8 1.9 3.9 4.6 6.9 4.5 8.4 5.4 10.8 7.1 3.8 2.4 4.4 5.3 10.0 6.6 12.2 8.8 14.6 7.9 4.4 1.9 4.3 4.8 8.1 5.1 10.0 6.9 12.7 6.9 4.5 2.2 4.3 4.7 7.9 5.1 9.3 6.8 12.5 7.0 3.9 2.4 4.0 4.8 8.2 5.5 9.4 6.9 13.3 7.2 4.2 2.6 4.5 5.1 9.6 6.5 11.6 8.4 14.1 7.8 4.8 2.6 4.4 5.3 10.9 7.5 13.7 8.7 14.9 8.2 4.7 2.5 4.4 5.2 11.1 7.5 13.4 10.0 15.7 8.1 4.5 2.6 4.2 5.4 11.3 7.2 14.4 10.0 15.8 8.3 4.6 2.5 4.2 5.4 11.1 7.6 13.3 9.8 16.1 8.5 5.5 2.4 4.3 5.4 10.8 7.4 13.0 10.4 15.2 8.1 4.3 2.5 4.6 5.6 10.8 7.1 13.2 10.6 15.3 8.3 4.4 2.4 4.8 5.6 10.7 7.1 13.0 10.6 15.0 8.3 4.0 2.5 4.7 5.8 10.5 7.1 12.9 8.8 14.8 7.8 4.0 2.4 4.4 5.7 10.2 6.8 12.1 9.1 15.0 8.0 5.0 5.7 10.2 5.5 5.0 6.4 3.7 6.5 4.9 3.7 9.1 7.4 14.2 8.5 8.9 7.9 4.9 7.4 5.3 4.1 10.8 6.2 11.4 6.7 6.7 6.8 4.4 6.6 4.7 3.8 10.4 6.2 10.9 6.7 6.5 6.9 4.5 6.6 4.7 4.0 9.5 6.3 13.1 6.6 6.5 6.8 3.9 6.4 4.9 4.1 10.3 7.0 14.5 7.9 8.3 7.3 4.7 7.0 5.1 4.3 11.7 8.0 16.6 9.7 10.4 8.6 5.0 7.5 5.6 4.2 11.4 8.0 15.6 9.7 10.9 7.9 5.1 7.7 5.6 3.5 10.4 8.0 15.8 9.8 10.7 8.5 5.6 7.6 5.6 4.1 10.8 8.0 17.3 9.3 10.1 8.0 5.6 7.7 5.5 4.0 13.2 7.8 15.9 9.2 10.0 7.9 5.3 7.7 5.4 4.1 10.7 7.8 14.6 9.2 9.5 8.9 5.3 7.8 5.6 4.4 11.1 7.8 14.8 8.9 9.0 8.6 4.9 8.2 5.5 4.2 10.1 7.7 13.8 8.8 9.0 8.5 4.9 8.3 5.5 4.1 10.6 7.5 13.3 8.4 8.3 8.5 5.8 7.6 5.8 4.4 11.5 CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers .......................................... Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ........................................................ Salesworkers .............................................. Clerical workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................ Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................ Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers ........................................ Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers...................................................... INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers2 Construction ................................................ Manufacturing.............................................. Durable goods ...................................... Nondurable goods.................................. Transportation and public utilities .................. Wholesale and retail trade ............................ Finance and service industries ...................... Government workers .......................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers .................. 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: The monthly data in this table have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1980. 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted Sex and age 1981 1980 Annual average 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Total, 16 years and over...................................... 16 to 19 years ............................................ 16 to 17 years ...................................... 18 to 19 years ...................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................ 25 years and over........................................ 25 to 54 years ...................................... 55 years and over .................................. 5.8 16.1 18.1 14.6 9.0 3.9 4.1 3.0 7.1 17.7 20.0 16.1 11.5 5.0 5.4 3.3 6.2 16.5 19.0 14.3 10.2 4.3 4.5 3.4 6.2 16.6 18.8 15.2 9.9 4.2 4.6 2.8 6.3 16.2 17.7 15.1 9.9 4.4 4.8 2.8 6.9 16.4 19.0 14.5 11.3 5.0 5.3 3.3 7.6 18.9 21.2 17.4 12.5 5.3 5.6 3.4 7.5 18.3 20.0 17.6 12.1 5.4 5.8 3.3 7.6 18.7 20.5 17.4 12.1 5.5 5.9 3.4 7.6 18.8 22.1 16.5 12.0 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.4 17.8 20.1 16.0 12.0 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.6 18.5 20.9 16.7 12.3 5.4 5.9 3.4 7.5 18.6 21.4 16.5 12.1 5.4 5.9 3.3 7.4 17.8 19.9 16.4 11.7 5.3 5.8 3.5 7.4 19.0 21.0 17.5 11.9 5.3 5.7 3.5 Men, 16 years and over................................ 16 to 19 years ...................................... 16 to 17 years................................ 18 to 19 years................................ 20 to 24 years ...................................... 25 years and over .................................. 25 to 54 years................................ 55 years and over .......................... 5.1 15.8 17.9 14.2 8.6 3.3 3.4 2.9 6.9 18.2 20.4 16.7 12.5 4.7 5.1 3.3 5.8 16.3 19.0 14.2 10.5 3.8 3.9 3.4 5.6 16.0 18.2 14.5 10.3 3.7 3.9 2.8 5.8 15.2 16.5 14.5 10.7 4.0 4.3 2.8 6.7 16.3 18.8 14.4 12.3 4.7 4.9 3.3 7.5 19.4 21.5 17.6 13.5 5.1 5.4 3.4 7.5 19.1 21.5 18.8 13.4 5.2 5.6 3.6 7.6 19.5 20.9 18.4 13.2 5.4 5.8 3.6 7.6 19.9 23.7 17.1 13.6 5.3 5.7 3.6 7.6 18.9 21.2 16.9 13.5 5.4 6.0 3.5 7.4 19.8 21.8 18.1 13.8 5.1 5.6 3.3 7.4 19.8 22.3 17.8 13.2 5.1 5.6 3.3 7.2 19.0 20.5 17.8 12.5 4.9 5.4 3.3 7.2 20.3 23.0 18.5 12.8 4.9 5.2 3.4 Women, 16 years and over .......................... 16 to 19 years ...................................... 16 to 17 years................................ 18 to 19 years................................ 20 to 24 years ...................................... 25 years and over .................................. 25 to 54 years................................ 55 years and over .......................... 6.8 16.4 18.3 15.0 9.6 4.8 5.2 3.2 7.4 17.2 19.5 15.6 10.3 5.5 5.9 3.2 6.9 16.6 19.1 14.5 9.8 4.9 5.3 3.3 6.9 17.4 19.4 16.1 9.4 5.0 5.4 2.9 6.9 17.2 19.2 15.8 9.0 5.1 5.5 2.9 7.2 16.5 19.3 14.8 10.1 5.4 5.8 3.3 7.6 18.3 20.9 17.2 11.3 5.5 6.0 3.3 7.4 17.3 18.3 16.3 10.6 5.5 6.0 2.9 7.7 17.7 20.1 16.2 10.9 5.7 6.1 3.1 7.6 17.6 20.2 15.9 10.2 5.7 6.2 3.1 7.2 16.6 18.8 15.1 10.2 5.4 5.9 3.3 7.7 17.0 19.8 15.1 10.6 5.9 6.4 3.4 7.7 17.2 20.3 15.1 10.8 5.8 6.2 3.4 7.7 16.5 19.3 14.8 10.8 5.9 6.3 3.9 7.7 17.5 18.7 16.4 10.8 5.8 6.3 3.6 6. Nov. Dec. Jan. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1981 Jan. 3,038 1,072 1,966 807 1,808 814 2,979 1,087 1,892 831 1,797 825 3,102 1,135 1,967 804 1,812 815 3,581 1,422 2,159 905 1,909 752 4,164 1,771 2,393 930 1,975 871 4,468 1,954 2,514 887 1,834 872 4,364 1,832 2,532 866 1,868 893 4,319 1,699 2,620 890 1,883 870 '■,387 1,744 2,643 855 1,844 862 4,240 1,692 2,548 870 2,013 880 4,229 1,453 2,776 897 1,896 390 4,226 1,470 2,756 813 1,869 868 3,847 1,258 2,590 907 2,039 1,000 100.0 47.0 16.6 30.4 12.5 28.0 12.6 100.0 46.3 16.9 29.4 12.9 27.9 12.8 100.0 47.5 17.4 30.1 12.3 27.7 12.5 100.0 50.1 19.9 30.2 12.7 26.7 10.5 100.0 52.4 22.3 30.1 11.7 24.9 11.0 100.0 55.4 24.2 31.2 11.0 22.8 10.8 100.0 54.6 22.9 31.7 10.8 23.4 11.2 100.0 54.2 21.3 32.9 11.2 23.6 10.9 100.0 55.2 21.9 33.3 10.8 23.2 10.8 100.0 53.0 21.1 31.8 10.9 25.2 11.0 100.0 53.5 18.4 35.1 11.3 24.0 11.2 100.0 54.3 18.9 35.4 10.5 24.0 11.2 100.0 49.4 16.1 33.2 11.6 26.2 12.8 2.9 .8 1.7 .8 2.9 .8 1.7 .8 3.0 .8 1.7 .8 3.4 .9 1.8 .7 4.0 .9 1.9 .8 4.3 .8 1.8 .8 4.2 .8 1.8 .9 4.1 .8 1.8 .8 4.2 .8 1.8 .8 4.0 .8 1.9 .8 4.0 .9 1.8 .8 4.0 .8 1.8 .8 3.6 .9 1.9 .9 1980 Reason for unemployment NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last job ...................................................................................... On layoff .................................................................................... Other job losers .......................................................................... Left last jo b ........................................................................................ Reentered labor force ........................................................................ Seeking first jo b .................................................................................. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed .............................................................................. Job losers.......................................................................................... On layoff .................................................................................... Other job losers .......................................................................... Job leavers........................................................................................ Reentrants ........................................................................................ New entrants...................................................................................... UNEMPLOYEDAS APERCENT OF THE CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job osers .......................................................................................... Job leavers........................................................................................ Reentrants ........................................................................................ New entrants...................................................................................... 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks.............................................. 5 to 14 weeks .................................................... 15 weeks and over ............................................ 15 to 26 weeks............................................ 27 weeks and over ...................................... Average (mean) duration, in weeks ...................... 1981 1980 Annual average 1979 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 2,869 1,892 1,202 684 518 10.9 3,208 2,411 1,829 1,028 802 11.9 3,163 1,994 1,319 776 543 10.6 3,049 2,134 1,299 794 505 10.7 3,005 2,207 1,391 796 595 11.0 3,258 2,373 1,599 931 668 11.2 3,714 2,589 1,686 980 706 10.6 3,281 2,812 1,777 1,024 753 11.7 3,317 2,649 1,935 1,093 842 11.8 3,255 2,533 2,150 1,239 911 12.5 3,042 2,586 2,295 1,366 929 13.0 3,186 2,500 2,292 1,256 1,036 13.3 3,108 2,524 2,329 1,213 1,116 13.6 3,115 2,217 2,378 1,231 1,147 13.5 3,259 2,264 2,358 1,079 1,279 14.4 NOTE: The monthly data in these tables have been revised to reflect seasonal experience through 1980. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS E m p l o y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n i n g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 166,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. L a b o r t u r n o v e r d a t a in this section are compiled from per sonnel records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies. A sample of 40,000 establishments represents all industries in the manufacturing and mining sectors of the economy. Bureau of Labor Statistics computes spendable earnings from gross weekly earnings for only two illustrative cases: (1) a worker with no dependents and (2) a married worker with three dependents. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Labor turnover is the movement of all wage and salary workers from one employment status to another. Accession rates indicate the average number of persons added to a payroll in a given period per 100 employees; separation rates indicate the average number dropped from a payroll per 100 employees. Although month-to-month changes in employment can be calculated from the labor turnover data, the re sults are not comparable with employment data from the employment and payroll survey. The labor turnover survey measures changes dur ing the calendar month while the employment and payroll survey measures changes from midmonth to midmonth. Notes on the data Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 14-20 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities, in wholesale and retail trade, in finance, in surance, and real estate, and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to eliminate the effects of price change. The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from aver age hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Spendable earnings are earnings from which estimat ed social security and Federal income taxes have been deducted. The 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of June 1980 data, published in the August 1980 issue of the Re view. Consequently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete comparable historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through March 1980 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through March 1980) and in Em ploym ent and Earnings, United States, 1909-78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). Data on recalls were shown for the first time in tables 12 and 13 in the January 1978 issue of the Review. For a detailed discussion of the recalls series, along with historical data, see “New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Survey,” Em ploym ent and Earnings, Decem ber 1977, pp. 10-19. A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M onthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9-2 0 . See also B L S Handbook o f M ethods fo r Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1976). The formulas used to construct the spendable average weekly earn ings series reflect the latest provisions of the Federal income tax and social security tax laws. For the spendable average weekly earnings formulas for the years 1978-80, see Em ploym ent and Earnings, March 1980, pp. 10-11. Real earnings data are adjusted using the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). 8. Employment by industry, 1950-79 [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] Year Total Mining Government Construc tion Manufac turing Trans portation and public utilities Whole sale and retail trade Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, in st ance, and real estate Services Total Federal State and local 1950 .......................................................... 45,197 901 2,364 15,241 4,034 9,386 2,635 6,751 1,883 5,357 6,026 1,928 4,098 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 47,819 48,793 50,202 48,990 50,641 929 898 866 791 792 2,637 2,668 2,659 2,646 2,839 16,393 16,632 17,549 16,314 16,882 4,226 4,248 4,290 4,084 4,141 9,742 10,004 10,247 10,235 10,535 2,727 2,812 2,854 2,867 2,926 7,015 7,192 7,393 7,368 7,610 1,953 2,03) 2,111 2,20) 2,298 5,547 5,699 5,835 5,969 6,240 6,38!) 6,60!) 6,645 6,751 6,914 2,302 2,420 2,305 2,188 2,187 4,087 4,188 4,340 4,563 4,727 1956 1957 1958 1959' 1960 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... ........................................................ .......................................................... 52,369 52,853 51,324 53,268 54,189 822 828 751 732 712 3,039 2,962 2,817 3,004 2,926 17,243 17,174 15,945 16,675 16,796 4,244 4,241 3,976 4,011 4,004 10,858 10,886 10,750 11,127 11,391 3,018 3,028 2,980 3,082 3,143 7,840 7,858 7,770 8,045 8,248 2,38!) 2,431) 2,481 2,54!) 2,62!) 6,497 6,708 6,765 7,087 7,378 7,278 7,616 7,831) 8,083 8,353 2,209 2,217 2,191 2,233 2,270 5,069 5,399 5,648 5,850 6,083 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 53,999 55,549 56,653 58,283 60,765 672 650 635 634 632 2,859 2,948 3,010 3,097 3,232 16,326 16,853 16,995 17,274 18,062 3,903 3,906 3,903 3,951 4,036 11,337 11,566 11,778 12,160 12,716 3,133 3,198 3,248 3,337 3,466 8,204 8,368 8,530 8,823 9,250 2,681) 2,754 2,830 2,911 2,977 7,620 7,982 8,277 8,660 9,036 8,594 8,890 9,225 9,596 10,074 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,378 6,315 6,550 6,868 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,050 3,180 3,337 3,511! 3,640 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,7841 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,771! 3,900 4,040 4,140 4.16Í 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,680 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... .......................................................... 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,886 779 813 851 960 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,483 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,062 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,141 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,269 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 13,209 13,808 14,573 15,066 4,271 4,46/ 4,724 4,974 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,078 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,920 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 'Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980» State Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980" Alaska .......................................................................... Anzona ........................................................................ Arkansas ...................................................................... California...................................................................... 1,378.2 163.6 1,010.7 757.8 9,886.9 1,348.2 171.3 1,016.5 755.0 9,824.2 1,352.4 167.8 1,021.0 755.4 9,874.0 Nebraska' .............................................................. Nevada .................................................................. New Hampshire ...................................................... New Jersey ............................................................ 285 3 641.3 394.7 380.7 3,073.1 282.8 633.2 405.0 385.1 3,052.2 282.0 632.3 400.8 384.3 3,061.4 Florida.......................................................................... 1,247.5 1,432.0 261.8 624.1 3,503.5 1.265.2 1.411.2 261.2 617.0 3,585.4 1,266.5 1,419.0 262.0 620.0 3,623.6 Ohio ...................................................................... 471.5 7,271.6 2,422.7 248.1 4,534.3 470.1 7,216.0 2,447.1 249.7 4,453.9 470.5 7,223.0 2,450.0 247.6 4,445.5 Georgia ........................................................................ Hawaii.......................................................................... Idaho............................................................................ Illinois .......................................................................... Indiana.......................................................................... 2,147.3 407.4 338.9 4,866.6 2,219.9 2,162.3 405.1 335.6 4,798.2 2,244.6 2,168.7 407.9 331.5 4,796.5 2,239.4 Oklahoma .............................................................. Oregon' ................................................................ Pennsylvania .......................................................... Rhode Island .......................................................... South Carolina........................................................ 1,122.1 4,892.9 404.7 1,198.7 1,151.1 1,036.2 4,798.9 398.2 1,188.7 1,155.0 1,027.0 4,788.7 400.9 1,191.9 Kentucky ...................................................................... Maine .......................................................................... 1,145.4 968.1 1,262.5 1,525.8 418.7 1,100.8 956.3 1,219.6 1,576.2 417.8 1,097.6 956.8 1,215.6 1,581.6 415.9 Texas .................................................................... Utah1 .................................................................... Vermont.................................................................. 242.8 1,810.6 5,754.9 558.0 202.7 235.7 1,773.9 5,919.5 564.8 202.9 234.7 1,773.5 5,934.3 5642 203.8 Maryland ...................................................................... Massachusetts.............................................................. Michigan ...................................................................... Minnesota .................................................................... Mississippi .................................................................... Missouri........................................................................ 1,717.5 2,658.9 3,626.3 1,807.4 850.3 2,014.0 1,706.7 2,694.8 3,534.9 1,790.2 831.9 1,985.7 1,715.2 2,696.9 Virginia.................................................................... Washington ............................................................ West Virginia .......................................................... Wisconsin................................................................ Wyoming ................................................................ 2,128.1 1,616.0 659.7 2,011.7 205.0 2,142.8 1,615.4 636.3 2,010.4 207.9 2,148.2 1,613.9 635.0 2,005.0 208.7 Virgin Islands .......................................................... 36.6 36.1 36.7 Connecticut .................................................................. Delaware...................................................................... 1,784.9 833.2 1,980.4 New York................................................................ North Carolina ........................................................ 1Revised series; not strictly comparable with previously published data. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] 1981 1980 Annual average industry division and group TOTAL ........................................................ 1978 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. 86,697 89,886 89,630 89,781 90,316 Apr. May June July Aug. 90,761 90,849 91,049 89,820 90,072 Sept. Oct Nov. Dec.p Jan.p 90,729 91,332 91,693 91,839 90,089 MINING ............................................................ 851 960 982 987 996 1,006 1,024 1,049 1,030 1,029 1,035 1,039 1,055 1,062 1,065 CONSTRUCTION .............................................. 4,229 4,483 4,194 4,109 4,150 4,311 4,471 4,611 4,633 4,712 4,690 4,700 4,618 4,430 4,082 MANUFACTURING............................................ Production workers................................ 20,505 14,734 21,062 15,085 20,777 14,738 20,730 14,678 20,793 14,727 20,533 14,466 20,250 14,172 20,201 14,093 19,754 13,657 20,044 13,947 20,269 14,182 20,302 14,204 20,368 14,260 20,332 14,215 20,164 14,076 Durable goods .............................................. Production workers................................ 12,274 8,805 12,772 9,120 12,600 8,885 12,599 8,869 12,647 8,909 12,414 8,672 12,150 8,409 12,065 8,307 11,774 8,025 11,827 8,075 12,028 8,281 12,100 8,343 12,195 8,430 12,195 8,421 12,123 8,358 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures.................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ Machinery, except electrical.......................... Electric and electronic equipment.................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 754.7 494.1 698.2 1,214.9 1,672.6 2,325.5 2,006.1 2,002.8 653.1 451.5 766.1 499.3 709.7 1,250.2 1,723.7 2,481.6 2,124.3 2,082.8 688.9 445.6 717.4 498.0 678.2 1,207.2 1,696.8 2,538.5 2,162.9 1,975.8 697.7 427.7 718.9 494.6 674.7 1,205.1 1,699.4 2,536.5 2,157.7 1,983.1 700.5 428.8 716.9 494.1 679.0 1,203.7 1,703.8 2,539.9 2,167.7 2,005.6 703.6 432.9 678.4 488.7 675.5 1,193.8 1,671.4 2,523.5 2,156.2 1,891.1 702.2 433.0 654.8 469.1 668.1 1,149.8 1,619.8 2,509.3 2,120.2 1,835.1 699.4 424.6 668.0 460.8 666.2 1,112.9 1,598.6 2,486.1 2,102.2 1,847.0 702.9 420.1 666.8 438.1 656.0 1,055.5 1,538.4 2,440.2 2,066.5 1,810.2 698.3 404.0 683.0 454.6 663.2 1,059.6 1,567.6 2,417.8 2,080.7 1,785.4 697.8 417.6 689.2 466.6 667.4 1,081.8 1,594.5 2,449.6 2,103.5 1,857.9 695.5 422.2 686.9 470.3 665.5 1,093.1 1,604.6 2,456.7 2,119.3 1,885.7 695.9 422.1 682.8 473.8 667.2 1,111.9 1,615.6 2,475.2 2,134.9 1,912.2 700.6 421.2 676.5 476.4 655.1 1,120.9 1,615.3 2,501.7 2,144.4 1,891.9 704.0 408.8 666.4 472.0 638.6 1,116.6 1,604.2 2,505.2 2,142.7 1,872.4 703.2 401.9 Nondurable goods ........................................ Production workers................................ 8,231 5,929 8,290 5,965 8,177 5,853 8,131 5,809 8,146 5,818 8,119 5,794 8,100 5,763 8,136 5,786 7,980 5,632 8,217 5,872 8,241 5,901 8,202 5,861 8.173 5,830 8,137 5,794 8,041 5,718 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures ................................ Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products ................ Paper and allied products ............................ Printing and publishing.................................. Chemicals and allied products ...................... Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 1,724.1 70.6 899.1 1,332.3 698.7 1,192.0 1,095.5 207.7 754.5 256.8 1,728.1 69.9 888.5 1,312.5 706.7 1,239.5 1,110.7 210.0 775.6 248.0 1,659.9 69.1 884.0 1,282.0 703.5 1,266.3 1,113.1 208.6 750.3 240.3 1,644.1 67.1 884.6 1,305.8 701.9 1,270.4 1,112.1 155.9 746.3 242.6 1,641.1 64.4 886.9 1,318.4 701.8 1,272.1 1,118.1 153.1 746.5 243.4 1,626.2 62.9 882.1 1,304.2 698.8 1,270.4 1,120.6 173.6 737.2 243.3 1,638.5 62.7 870.6 1,299.0 692.4 1,267.8 1,119.5 203.4 702.4 243.2 1,676.8 64.6 853.2 1,310.5 695.0 1,271.3 1,122.2 209.1 688.5 244.7 1,709.5 63.9 820.6 1,236.9 682.3 1,264.5 1,112.0 212.0 659.3 218.9 1,795.3 71.3 854.1 1,299.9 688.7 1,264.3 1,108.4 212.4 680.4 242.6 1,790.5 75.5 854.7 1,309.2 688.6 1,267.9 1,106.3 210.9 695.8 241.1 1,738.8 76.4 856.8 1,307.5 690.7 1,272.2 1,104.9 210.4 703.4 240.6 1,696.6 75.6 859.4 1,302.3 691.6 1,281.0 1,106.1 210.2 708.3 241.5 1,668.0 73.6 859.6 1,283.2 693.0 1,294.0 1,108.6 207.5 711.1 238.7 1,619.2 70.4 856.2 1,262.8 690.4 1,281.5 1,105.7 210.0 708.5 236.7 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . . . 4,923 5,141 5,136 5,130 5,143 5,147 5,167 5,185 5,145 5,144 5,170 5,178 5,158 5,156 5,082 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE.................... 19,542 20,269 20,325 20,155 20,226 20,373 20,497 20,562 20,506 20,579 20,692 20,708 20,937 21,314 20,550 WHOLESALE TRADE ........................................ 4,969 5,204 5,241 5,250 5,269 5,265 5,263 5,287 5,278 5,284 5,291 5,313 5,313 5,315 5,273 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 14,573 15,066 15,084 14,905 14,957 15,108 15,234 15,275 15,228 15,295 15,401 15,395 15,624 15,999 15,277 5,232 5,194 5,204 5,215 5,227 5,223 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE SERVICES GOVERNMENT .................................................. Federal........................................................ State and local ............................................ 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4,724 4,974 5,052 5,061 5,085 5,104 5,137 5,201 5,229 16,252 17,078 17,135 17,317 17,478 17,636 17,747 17,846 17,973 17,966 17,915 17,949 17,951 17,962 17,779 16,556 2,963 13,593 16,394 2,995 13,399 15,550 2,949 12,601 15,366 2,862 12,504 15,764 2,754 13,010 16,252 2,774 13,478 16,391 2,776 13,615 16,356 2,789 13,567 16,144 2,772 13,372 15,672 2,753 12,919 15,920 2,773 13,147 16,029 2,763 13,266 16,292 2,803 13,489 16,445 2,869 13,576 16,651 3,103 13,548 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] 1980 Industry division and group 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec.p Jan.p 91,031 91,186 91,144 90,951 90,468 90,047 89,867 90,142 90,384 90,710 90,961 91,116 91,490 999 1,007 1,009 1,012 1,023 1,029 1,013 1,013 1,028 1,037 1,054 1,069 1,082 4,745 4,659 4,529 4,467 4,436 4,379 4,322 4,359 4,404 4,442 4,475 4,507 4,612 20,971 14,911 20,957 14,871 20,938 14,850 20,642 14,550 20,286 14,186 20,014 13,931 19,828 13,759 19,940 13,872 20,044 13,972 20,157 14,065 20,282 14,179 20,328 14,207 20,357 14,247 Durable goods.............................................................................. Production workers ................................................................ 12,681 8,953 12,715 8,967 12,707 8,961 12,442 8,686 12,140 8,386 11,947 8,205 11,819 8,084 11,860 8,123 11,955 8,212 12,043 8,288 12,146 8,381 12,169 8,391 12,202 8,425 Lumber and wood products.......................................................... Furniture and fixtures .................................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................................................... Primary metal industries ................................................................ Fabricated metal products.............................................................. Machinery, except electrical .......................................................... Electric and electronic equipment.................................................... Transportation equipment .............................................................. Instruments and related products.................................................... Miscellaneous manufacturing.......................................................... 743 497 705 1,215 1,707 2,532 2,169 1,970 699 444 745 495 705 1,214 1,711 2,529 2,168 2,006 702 440 737 494 700 1,209 1,711 2,530 2,176 2,006 705 439 689 491 680 1,193 1,678 2,518 2,167 1,885 703 438 654 472 663 1,144 1,620 2,517 2,127 1,819 700 424 648 461 647 1,096 1,584 2,476 2,094 1,831 696 414 650 449 641 1,049 1,551 2,448 2,079 1,839 698 415 662 456 648 1,059 1,569 2,437 2,083 1,840 697 409 674 464 655 1,074 1,587 2,452 2,091 1,851 697 410 677 466 656 1,096 1,595 2,469 2,107 1,873 697 407 683 469 661 1,119 1,606 2,475 2,120 1,901 701 411 685 472 661 1,129 1,609 2,489 2,136 1,871 703 414 691 472 665 1,124 1,614 2,498 2,149 1,867 705 417 Nondurable goods........................................................ Production workers ................................................................ 8,290 5,958 8,242 5,904 8,231 5,889 8,200 5,864 8,146 5,800 8,067 5,726 8,009 5,675 8,080 5,749 8,089 5,760 8,114 5,777 8,136 5,798 8,159 5,816 8,155 5,822 Food and kindred products ............................................................ Tobacco manufactures .................................................................. Textile mill products ...................................................................... Apparel and other textile products.................................................. Paper and allied products .............................................................. Printing and publishing.................................................................... Chemicals and allied products........................................................ Petroleum and coal products.......................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................................... Leather and leather products.......................................................... 1,716 67 888 1,305 710 1,269 1,121 214 755 245 1,713 68 888 1,313 709 1,273 1,121 161 751 245 1,704 68 888 1,316 708 1,274 1,123 157 749 244 1,690 69 884 1,302 702 1,272 1,123 175 740 243 1,691 70 869 1,291 692 1,268 1,120 203 703 239 1,677 71 843 1,287 685 1,269 1,112 205 681 237 1,683 69 833 1,276 680 1,266 1,103 207 663 229 1,690 67 851 1,296 682 1,266 1,100 208 680 240 1,672 68 851 1,299 686 1,269 1,104 208 692 240 1,682 69 856 1,292 690 1,272 1,105 209 699 240 1,686 71 856 1,291 692 1,278 1,108 209 705 240 1,685 69 859 1,292 694 1,286 1,113 210 712 239 1,674 69 861 1,286 697 1,284 1,115 215 713 241 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES ...................................... 5,202 5,198 5,202 5,178 5,167 5,134 5,114 5,129 5,124 5,147 5,132 5,130 5,149 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ................................................ 20,529 20,637 20,610 20,531 20,487 20,459 20,506 20,589 20,620 20,641 20,660 20,638 20,757 WHOLESALE TRADE.................................................................... 5,278 5,302 5,301 5,286 5,268 5,245 5,247 5,263 5,280 5,292 5,297 5,299 5,310 RETAIL TRADE .............................................................................. 15,251 15,335 15,309 15,245 15,219 15,214 15,259 15,326 15,340 15,349 15,363 15,339 15,447 5,091 5,101 5,115 5,119 5,137 5,150 5,167 5,180 5,194 5,214 5,225 5,243 5,265 SERVICES.......................................................................... 17,462 17,540 17,580 17,618 17,659 17,652 17,760 17,788 17,861 17,913 17,969 18,052 18,123 GOVERNMENT .................................................. Federal ...................................................................... State and local.......................................................................... 16,032 2,791 13,241 16,087 2,826 13,261 16,161 2,886 13,275 16,384 3,115 13,269 16,273 2,960 13,313 16,230 2,951 13,279 16,157 2,893 13,264 16,144 2,828 13,316 16,109 2,765 13,344 16,159 2,788 13,371 16,164 2,790 13,374 16,149 2,796 13,353 16,145 2,800 13,345 TOTAL .................................................................................. MINING .................................................................... CONSTRUCTION .............................................................. MANUFACTURING...................................................................... Production workers ............................................................ FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ...................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1977 to date [Per 100 employees] Year Annual average Jan. Feb. Apr. Mar. June May July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. 4.3 4.4 4.3 3.8 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.6 4.9 4.5 4.3 3.9 4.3 4.1 3.6 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.2 p2.2 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 2.5 3.5 3.9 3.4 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.1 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 "1.2 .9 .8 .9 1.4 1.0 .9 .9 1.7 .8 .7 .8 1.4 .6 .6 .7 1.1 .6 .5 .5 .9 .6 .5 .5 0.8 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.2 5.1 5.3 5.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 p3.2 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.4 3.1 3.5 3.3 2.2 2.8 3.1 2.7 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 ».9 1.5 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.0 .8 1.3 1.7 1.1 .8 1.1 1.4 1.1 .9 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 p1.7 Total accessions 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.1 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.5 4.9 4.9 4.8 3.9 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.4 New hires 3.7 3.9 3.8 2.4 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.1 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.1 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .9 .7 .7 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.3 .7 .7 .9 1.1 .8 .7 .9 .9 .8 .7 .8 .8 .8 .8 1.0 3.8 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.7 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.8 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.5 Recalls .8 .7 .7 1.2 Total separations 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.4 Quits 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.1 1.4 Layoffs 1977 1978 1979 1980 13. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.4 .9 .8 1.2 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.1 .9 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 1.3 .8 .7 .9 2.2 .8 .7 .7 2.5 .9 .8 .9 2.3 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group [Per 100 employees] Separation rates Accession rates Layoffs Quits Total Recalls New hires Total Major industry group Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980 p Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980p Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980p Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980 p Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980 p Dec. 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. 1980 p MANUFACTURING.................................. Seasonally adjusted.............. 2.2 3.9 2.7 3.6 2.2 3.6 1.5 2.9 1.6 2.1 1.2 2.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 3.5 4.0 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.4 1.1 1.9 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.2 Durable goods.................................. Lumber and wood products.......... Furniture and fixtures .................. Stone, clay, and glass products .. Primary metal industries .............. Fabricated metal products............ Machinery, except electrical.......... Electric and electronic equipment .. Transportation equipment ............ Instruments and related products .. Miscellaneous manufacturing........ 1.9 2.4 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.1 2.4 3.3 2.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 1.8 3.3 2.0 2.8 2.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.6 2.0 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.2 .7 1.6 1.3 1.4 .7 1.5 1.7 1.4 2.4 2.2 1.4 .7 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.4 2.3 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.1 .5 1.0 .9 1.1 .5 .6 .6 .5 .9 .5 .3 .3 .6 .1 .5 .9 .8 .7 .8 2.3 1.0 .6 .6 1.3 .2 .8 .7 1.1 1.1 .8 1.4 .7 .5 .5 3.2 6.0 3.5 4.7 3.2 3.4 1.9 2.2 3.6 1.9 6.6 2.6 4.4 2.9 3.6 2.1 3.2 1.8 2.2 2.3 1.6 5.5 2.8 6.0 3.7 4.7 2.3 2.8 1.7 2.2 .9 1.8 1.6 1.1 .5 1.1 .7 .9 .5 .9 1.4 .8 1.7 1.4 .9 .4 1.0 .7 .8 .6 .8 1.5 .7 2.4 1.3 .7 .3 .7 .5 .7 1.6 3.3 1.2 3.0 2.0 1.6 .6 .7 2.4 1.5 4.5 1.1 1.9 .9 2.0 1.2 1.6 .6 .7 1.1 .4 3.1 1.4 2.8 1.7 3.2 1.5 1.6 .6 .8 Nondurable goods............................ Food and kindred products .......... Tobacco manufacturers................ Textile mill products .................... Apparel and other products.......... Paper and allied products ............ Printing and publishing.................. Chemicals and allied products . . . . Petroleum and coal products........ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products...................... Leather and leather products........ 2.6 3.4 4.7 2.4 3.1 1.7 2.7 1.1 1.2 3.0 3.9 3.1 2.7 4.0 2.0 2.8 1.2 1.5 2.5 3.5 2.0 2.4 .9 2.0 2.4 1.2 2.2 .8 1.3 1.5 1.8 .8 1.3 1.8 .4 1.4 .6 .6 .2 .1 3.7 6.0 5.4 3.1 5.1 2.4 2.6 1.2 1.9 1.4 1.9 .6 1.5 2.0 .7 1.4 .4 .5 1.1 1.5 .5 1.4 .5 .4 1.9 3.4 2.2 1.1 3.0 1.3 .7 .4 1.1 1.7 3.3 4.1 .8 2.4 1.2 .6 .4 .9 2.1 3.9 2.7 5.4 1.9 2.9 1.5 1.9 1.5 2.0 .6 1.6 1.8 .7 1.6 .5 .6 1.1 1.4 .4 1.5 .6 .5 .2 .1 4.0 6.2 3.3 3.4 5.4 2.6 2.8 1.3 2.1 3.8 6.0 1.4 1.5 .9 1.8 .8 1.1 .7 1.0 1.0 .3" 1.1 .5 .4 .2 .1 .9 1.5 2.0 3.1 1.7 2.5 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.3 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.0 2.1 .8 1.0 2.7 3.8 3.3 4.2 2.5 3.4 1.6 2.6 2.0 3.0 1.3 2.4 .8 1.0 .9 1.0 1.0 .9 4.5 6.0 3.3 5.8 3.4 7.2 1.6 2.4 1.4 2.4 1.0 1.8 2.1 2.8 1.2 2.7 1.7 4.6 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.5 2.7 1.1 1.6 .2 .9 1.4 5.5 .7 1.1 .2 3.6 1.0 3.4 .9 1.0 .5 1.0 14. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1949-79 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Total private 1949 .................. 1950 .................. Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Mining Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Construction Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing $50.24 53.13 39.4 39.8 $1.275 1.335 $62.33 67.16 36.3 37.9 $1.717 1.772 $67.56 69.68 37.7 37.4 $1.792 1.863 $53.88 58.32 39.1 40.5 $1.378 1.440 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 57.86 60.65 63.76 64.52 67.72 39.9 399 39.6 39.1 39.6 1.45 1.52 1.61 1.65 1.71 74.11 77.59 83.03 82.60 89.54 38.4 38.6 38.8 38.6 40.7 1.93 2.01 2.14 2.14 2.20 76.96 82.86 86.41 88.91 90.90 38.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 37.1 2.02 2.13 2.28 2.39 2.45 63.34 66.75 70.47 70.49 75.30 40.6 40.7 40.5 39.6 40.7 1.56 1.64 1.74 1.78 1.85 1956 .................. 1957 .................. 1958 .................. 1959’ ................ 1960 .................. 70.74 73.33 75.08 78.78 80.67 39.3 38.8 38.5 39.0 38.6 1.80 1.89 1.95 2.02 2.09 95.06 98.25 96.08 103.68 105.04 40.8 40.1 38.9 40.5 40.4 2.33 2.45 2.47 2.56 2.60 96.38 100.27 103.78 108.41 112.67 37.5 37.0 36.8 37.0 36.7 2.57 2.71 2.82 2.93 3.07 78.78 81.19 82.32 88 26 89.72 40.4 39.8 39.2 40.3 39.7 1.95 2.04 2.10 2.19 2.26 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 38.6 38.7 38.8 38.7 38.8 2.14 2.22 2.28 2.36 2.46 106.92 110.70 114.40 117.74 123.52 40.5 41.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 2.64 2.70 2.75 2.81 2.92 118.08 122.47 127.19 132.06 138.38 36.9 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.4 3.20 3.31 3.41 3.55 3.70 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 2.32 2.39 2.45 2.53 2.61 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 479 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971.................. 1972 .................. 1973 .................. 1974 .................. 1975 .................. 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 361 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 1977 1978 1979 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.30 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.6 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.50 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.50 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 209.32 228.90 249.27 268.94 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.69 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .................. .................. .................. .................. Transportation and public utilities Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services 1949 .................. 1950 .................. $42.93 44.55 40.5 40.5 $1.060 1.100 $47.63 50.52 37 8 37.7 $1.260 1 340 1951.................. 1952 .................. 1953 .................. 1954 .................. 1955 .................. 47.79 49.20 51.35 53.33 55.16 40.5 40.0 39.5 39.5 39.4 1.18 1.23 1.30 1.35 1.40 54 67 57.08 59.57 62 04 63.92 37 7 37.8 37.7 37.6 37 6 1.45 1 51 1 58 1 65 1 70 1956 .................. 1957 .................. 1958 .................. 1959’ ................ 1960 .................. 57.48 59.60 61.76 64.41 66.01 39.1 38.7 38.6 38.8 38.6 1.47 1.54 1.60 1.66 1.71 65 68 67 53 7012 72.74 75 14 36 9 36 7 37.1 37.3 37.2 1 78 1.84 1 89 1.95 2 02 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 67.41 69.91 72.01 74.66 76.91 38.3 38.2 38.1 37.9 37.7 1.76 1.83 1.89 1.97 2.04 77.12 80.94 84.38 85.79 88.91 36 9 37 3 37 5 37.3 37.2 2 09 2 17 2 25 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5,88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 1977 1978 1979 .................. .................. .................. .................. 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.98 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.17 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 ' Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1980 1981 Industry division and group 1978 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p Jan.p TOTAL PRIVATE.......................................... 35.8 35.6 35.1 35.1 35.2 35.0 35.0 35.3 35.3 35.5 35.3 35.3 35.3 35.6 35.0 MINING.............................................................. 43.4 43.0 43.4 43.2 43.4 42.8 42.7 43.2 41.9 43.1 43,5 43.5 43.5 44.0 43.4 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 36.8 37.0 35.3 35.7 36.2 36.7 36.9 37.9 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.9 36.8 37.2 36.3 MANUFACTURING ............................................ Overtime hours...................................... 40.4 3.6 40.2 3.3 39.8 3.0 39.8 2.9 39.8 3.0 39.4 2.7 39.3 2.5 39.4 2.5 38.8 2.4 39.3 2.7 39.7 3.0 39.8 2.9 40.2 3.1 40.9 3.3 399 2.9 Durable goods .............................................. Overtime hours...................................... 41.1 3.8 40.8 3.5 40.3 3.1 40.3 3.0 40.3 3.1 39.9 2.7 39.7 2.5 39.8 2.4 39.1 2.3 39.7 2.6 40.2 2.9 40.3 2.9 40.7 3.1 41.6 3.4 40.5 2.9 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 39.8 39.3 41.6 41,8 41.0 39.4 38.7 41.5 41.4 40.7 38.1 38.4 40.1 40.7 40.6 38.5 38.4 40.1 40.7 40.4 38.3 38.5 40.7 40.7 40.6 37.1 37.9 40.4 40.6 40.2 37.6 37.3 40.6 39.3 39.9 38.4 37.3 41.0 39.1 40.1 38.2 36.2 40.3 38.6 39.2 39.2 37.6 40.7 39.0 40.0 39.3 38.3 41.1 39.9 40.5 39.2 38.5 41.3 39.9 40.5 39.2 38.4 41.4 40.8 40.9 39.6 39.5 41.5 41.7 41.7 38.3 38.2 40.3 41.2 40.6 Machinery except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 42.1 40.3 42.2 40.9 38.8 41.8 40.3 41.1 40.8 38.8 41.5 40.2 40.0 41.0 38.8 41.5 40.2 40.4 40.8 38.6 41.5 40.0 40.4 40.6 38.8 41.1 39.6 39.8 40.4 38.4 40.8 39.3 39.9 40.3 38.2 40.8 39.4 39.9 40.5 38.3 40.0 38.5 39.5 39.6 37.8 40.4 39.2 40.0 39.9 38.5 41.0 39.7 40.7 40.1 39.1 40.7 39.9 41.1 40.3 38.9 41.3 40.4 41.7 40.9 39.1 42.2 41.1 43.4 41.3 39.6 41.4 40.1 41.3 40.7 38.4 Nondurable goods Overtime hours...................................... 39.4 3.2 39.3 3.1 39.0 2.9 38.9 2.8 38.9 2.9 38.7 2.7 38.7 2.5 38.8 2.5 38.5 2.6 38.9 2.9 39.1 3.0 39.1 2.9 39.3 3.0 39.8 3.1 39.1 2.9 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures.................................. Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 39.7 38.1 40.4 35.6 42.9 39.9 38.0 40.4 35.3 42.6 39.5 37.3 40.9 35.2 42.7 39.1 36.9 40.8 35.4 42.4 39.0 37.7 40.9 35.4 42.4 38.9 38.2 39.9 35.3 42.2 39.7 38.7 39.8 35.3 41.6 39.6 38.3 39.6 35.6 41.7 39.9 36.5 38.5 35.3 41.4 40.3 36.8 39.2 35.4 41.8 40.3 38.2 39.8 35.2 42.4 39.7 40.1 39.9 35.4 42.2 40.1 40.0 40.3 35.4 42.8 40.3 38.4 40.9 36.0 43.6 40.0 38.9 39.9 35.0 42.7 Printing and publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 37.6 41.9 43.6 40.9 37.1 37.5 41.9 43.8 40.5 36.5 37.2 41.7 36.2 40.3 36.7 37.0 41.6 39.7 39.9 36.8 37.2 41.7 39.4 40.0 36.4 36.8 41.6 41.1 39.7 36.7 36.9 41.3 42.3 39.0 37.0 36.7 41.2 42.3 39.3 37.4 36.8 40.7 42.7 38.6 36.4 37.2 40.9 42.2 40.0 36.6 37.3 41.3 43.4 40.3 36.2 37.2 41.4 43.7 40.7 36.5 37.2 42.0 43.6 41.1 36.3 38.1 42.1 43.1 41.5 37.0 37.3 41.2 42.6 40.9 36.8 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 40.0 39.9 39.5 39.4 39.5 39.5 39.3 39.6 39.9 39.7 39.7 39.8 39.7 39.7 39.5 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 32.9 32.6 31.9 31.9 32.0 31.8 31.9 32.3 32.5 32.7 32.1 32.1 32.0 32.5 31.7 WHOLESALE TRADE 38.8 38.8 38.5 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.5 38.2 38.2 38.4 38.5 38.7 38.6 38.9 38.5 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 31.0 30.6 29.8 29.8 29.9 29.7 29.9 30.4 30.7 30.9 30.1 30.0 30.0 30.5 29.6 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .......................................................... 36.4 36.2 36.2 36.3 36.3 36.2 36.1 36.4 36.2 36.3 36.1 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.1 SERVICES.......................................................... 32.8 32.7 32.5 32.5 32.5 32.4 32.3 32.8 33.1 33.1 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.3 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1981 1980 Industry division and group Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov Dec." Jan.p TOTAL PRIVATE .............................................. 35.6 35.5 35.4 35.3 35.1 35.0 34.9 35.1 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.4 35.5 MINING .................................................................. 43.4 43.2 43.4 42.8 42.7 43.2 41.9 43.1 43.5 43.5 43.5 44.0 43.4 CONSTRUCTION .................................................... 37.3 37.1 36.6 36.7 36.8 37.1 36.8 36.5 37.4 37.0 37.2 37.2 38.4 MANUFACTURING Overtime hours............................................ 40.3 3.2 40.1 3.0 39.8 3.1 39.8 3.0 39.3 2.6 39.1 2.4 39.0 2.5 39.4 2.7 39.6 2.7 39.7 2.8 39.9 2.9 40.1 3.1 40.4 3.1 Durable goods Overtime hours............................................ 40.8 3.3 40.6 3.1 40.3 3.2 40.3 3.0 39.7 2.5 39.5 2.4 39.4 2.4 39.9 2.6 40.1 2.7 40.1 2.8 40.5 3.0 40.7 3.2 41.0 3.1 Lumber and wood products ................................ Furniture and fixtures.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .......................... Primary metal industries...................................... Fabricated metal products .................................. 394 39.2 41.4 40.8 40.9 39.1 39.0 41.2 40.8 40.8 38.7 38.5 40.9 40.7 40.7 37.3 38.5 40.6 40.6 40.8 37.5 37.6 40.3 39.2 39.9 37.6 37.0 40.4 38.8 39.7 38.1 36.6 40.2 38.6 39.6 38.9 37.4 40.3 39.2 40.1 38.8 38.0 40.9 39.7 40.4 38.7 38.0 40.9 40.1 40.4 39.3 38.0 41.1 40.9 40.6 39.4 38.5 41.2 41.5 40.7 39.6 39.0 41.5 41.3 40.9 Machinery, except electrical................................ Electric and electronic equipment........................ Transportation equipment.................................... Instruments and related products ........................ Miscellaneous manufacturing .............................. 41.6 40.5 40.9 41.4 39.2 41.5 40.3 40.8 40.9 39.1 41.3 40.0 40.4 40.4 38.6 41.5 39.9 40.5 40.7 38.5 41.0 39.5 39.7 40.3 38.3 40.7 39.2 39.5 40.4 38.2 40.6 39.0 39.6 40.1 38.3 40.8 39.4 40.9 40.1 38.6 40.9 39.5 40.6 40.1 38.9 40.7 39.9 40.8 40.2 38.7 41.0 40.0 41.4 40.5 38.6 41.0 40.3 41.6 40.6 39.1 41.5 40.4 42.3 41.1 38.8 Nondurable goods Overtime hours............................................ 39.5 3.1 39.4 2.9 39.0 3.0 39.1 3.0 38.9 2.6 38.6 2.5 38.5 2.6 38.7 2.8 38.8 2.7 39.0 2.8 39.0 2.9 39.3 3.0 39.6 3.1 Food and kindred products.................................. Tobacco manufactures ...................................... Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products ...................... Paper and allied products .................................. 39.8 38.5 41.5 36.0 43.0 39.7 37.9 41.1 35.9 42.9 39.3 37.7 40.8 35.3 42.6 39.6 38.2 40.3 35.8 42.5 39.9 38.2 39.7 35.3 41.7 39.6 37.3 39.1 35.2 41.4 39.7 38.5 38.8 35.1 41.4 39.8 37.3 39.2 35.1 41.8 39.7 37.5 39.7 35.1 42.2 39.6 39.5 39.9 35.3 42.2 39.8 38.9 40.0 35.0 42.6 39.8 37.5 40.4 35.7 42.9 40.3 40.1 40.5 35.8 43.0 Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products ............................ Petroleum and coal products .............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ........ Leather and leather products .............................. 37.8 42.0 36.9 40.7 37.2 37.4 41.9 40.7 40.0 37.2 37.2 41.8 39.7 39.9 36.9 37.2 41.5 41.1 40.1 37.3 37.1 41.3 42.5 39.3 36.7 36.8 41.1 42.3 39.2 36.7 36.9 40.8 42.2 39.0 36.1 37.1 41.0 42.2 40.2 36.5 36.9 41.3 42.7 40.1 36.2 37.1 41.4 43.1 40.4 36.5 36.8 41.7 43.2 40.8 36.2 37.4 41.7 43.0 40.8 36.7 37.9 41.5 43.4 41.3 37.3 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES .......... 39.5 39.4 39.5 39.5 39.3 39.6 39.9 39.7 39.7 39.8 39.7 39.7 39.5 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 32.6 32.4 32.3 32.0 32.1 31.9 31.8 32.0 32.1 32.2 32.2 32.1 32.3 WHOLESALE TRADE .............................................. 38.9 38.8 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.0 38.0 38.2 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.7 38.8 RETAIL TRADE........................................................ 30.6 30.4 3.0.3 30.0 30.1 30.0 29.8 30.1 30.1 30.2 30.2 30.0 30.3 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .............................................................. 36.2 36.3 36.3 36.2 36.1 36.4 36.2 36.3 36.1 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.1 SERVICES .............................................................. 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.7 32.6 32.5 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 17. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average Industry division and group 1980 1981 1978 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec.» Jan.P TOTAL PRIVATE.................................................. $5.69 $6.16 $6.42 $6.46 $6.51 $6.53 $6.57 $6.61 $6.64 $6.68 $6.80 $6.86 MINING...................................................................... 7.67 8.50 8.88 8.90 8.95 9.10 9.08 9.16 9.08 9.18 9.32 9.37 $6.93 $6.93 $7.03 9.51 9.57 9.77 CONSTRUCTION........................................................ 8.66 9.27 9.49 9.61 9.68 9.69 9.77 9.81 9.91 10.05 10.19 10.25 10.25 10.35 10.44 MANUFACTURING .................................................... 6.17 6.69 6.96 7.00 7.06 7.09 7.13 7.20 7.29 7.30 7.42 7.49 7.59 7.69 7.73 Durable goods Lumber and wood products ............................ Furniture and fixtures...................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................... Primary metal industries.................................. Fabricated metal products .............................. 6.58 5.60 468 6.33 8.20 6.35 7.13 6.08 5.06 6.85 8.97 6.84 7.39 6.21 5.27 7.06 9.30 7.09 7.46 6.33 5.32 7.14 9.44 7.14 7.54 6.35 5.37 7.27 9.45 7.24 7.56 6.28 5.39 7.34 9.53 7.27 7.60 6.40 5.42 7.45 9.61 7.32 7.69 6.56 5.49 7.53 9.65 7.42 7.77 6.72 5.52 7.60 9.82 7.42 7.78 6.76 5.54 7.64 9.84 7.48 7.93 6.80 5.58 7.69 9.95 7.62 8.02 6.76 5.59 7.74 10.09 7.68 8.13 6.79 5.62 7.82 10.28 7.75 8.24 6.76 5.70 7.83 10.40 7.85 8.26 6.84 5.73 7.85 10.44 7.87 Machinery, except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment.................... Transportation equipment................................ Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................... 6.78 5.82 7.91 5.71 4.69 7.32 6.32 8.54 6.17 5.03 7.66 6.67 8.81 6.57 5.28 7.69 6.71 8.86 6.59 5.30 7.76 6.78 9.04 6.63 5.34 7.81 6.79 9.04 6.63 5.37 7.91 6.78 9.06 6.72 5.40 7.97 6.87 9.24 6.80 5.42 8.05 6.96 9.34 6.86 5.46 8.07 7.02 9.35 6.86 5.46 8.28 7.14 9.56 6.92 5.51 8.36 7.20 9.77 6.95 5.55 8.44 7.29 9.89 7.02 5.60 8.54 7.39 10.10 7.12 5.72 8.58 7.45 10.02 7.16 5.81 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products.............................. Tobacco manufactures.................................... Textile mill products........................................ Apparel and other textile products .................. Paper and allied products................................ 5.53 5.80 6.13 4.30 3.94 6.52 6.00 6.27 6.65 4.66 4.23 7.13 6.28 6.61 7.08 4.90 4.44 7.49 6.27 6.64 7.36 4.90 4.45 7.52 6.30 6.68 7.57 4.92 4.49 7.55 6.36 6.75 7.79 4.91 4.46 7.63 6.42 6.82 7.64 4.90 4.45 7.65 6.48 6.84 7.97 4.93 4.51 7.79 6.60 6.89 8.06 5.06 4.50 7.97 6.62 6.90 7.74 5.19 4.60 7.99 6.69 6.93 7.42 5.24 4.70 8.06 6.72 6.95 7.56 5.26 4.73 8.09 6.80 7.09 7.74 5.30 4.75 8.18 6.86 7.12 8.05 5.32 4.82 8.28 6.93 7.21 8.51 5.35 4.91 8.26 6.51 7.02 8.63 5.52 3.89 6.95 7.60 9.36 5.96 4.22 7.24 7.97 9.46 6.25 4.45 7.29 8.01 9.37 6.25 4.47 7.34 8.05 9.29 6.27 4.51 7.34 8.12 9.83 6.30 4.52 7.44 8.17 10.07 6.34 4.53 7.46 8.24 10.22 6.39 4.54 7.53 8.35 10.25 6.48 4.54 7.63 8.39 10.22 6.57 4.59 7.73 8.46 10.33 6.63 4.61 7.75 8.52 10.39 6.70 4.64 7.79 8.59 10.52 6.79 4.68 7.86 8.67 10.38 6.88 4.72 7.91 8.67 11.13 6.89 4.81 Printing and publishing.................................... Chemicals and allied products ........................ Petroleum and coal products .......................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .. . Leather and leather products .......................... TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES.............. 7.57 8.17 8.55 8.58 8.62 8.71 8.72 8.75 8.90 8.95 9.04 9.20 9.28 9.31 9.34 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ............................ 4.67 5.06 5.34 5.36 5.40 5.40 5.42 5.43 5.48 5.48 5.56 5.59 5.64 5.60 5.79 WHOLESALE TRADE.................................................. 5.88 6.39 6.72 6.77 6.83 6.87 6.89 6.95 6.99 7.01 7.08 7.10 7.20 7.24 7.35 RETAIL TRADE .......................................................... 4.20 4.53 4.78 4.78 4.81 4.80 4.82 4.83 4.88 4.89 4.95 4.98 5.02 4.97 5.16 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .................................................................. 4.89 5.27 5.53 5.60 5.68 5.68 5.70 5.77 5.77 5.82 5.87 5.91 6.01 6.00 6.12 SERVICES.................................................................. 4.99 5.36 5.65 5.70 5.75 5.75 5.79 5.81 5.79 5.81 5.93 6.00 6.10 6.10 6.20 18. Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [Seasonally adjusted data: 1967=100] 1980 1981 Industry Dec. 1980 to Jan. 1981 Jan. 1980 to Jan. 1981 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. TOTAL PRIVATE (in current dollars) . 240.3 242.4 245.2 246.2 248.3 250.9 252.1 254.0 255.4 257.9 260.9 261.6 264.3 1.0 10.0 Mining.......................................... Construction ................................ Manufacturing .............................. Transportation and public utilities . . . Wholesale and retail trade ............ Finance, insurance, and real estate Services ...................................... 277.0 225.8 245.2 260.8 234.2 218.4 237.7 278.5 229.8 247.8 262.4 235.2 221.1 239.7 280.9 232.2 250.2 265.9 237.8 225.7 242.7 283.7 233.0 252.4 267.2 238.0 224.9 243.0 284.2 234.2 255.0 268.7 239.8 226.3 245.7 286.3 235.3 258.3 270.6 241.8 230.2 248.4 285.3 236.7 260.6 272.8 243.5 229.0 247.6 288.9 239.0 262.4 273.2 245.3 232.7 249.8 290.4 239.3 264.5 274.0 246.5 233.1 251.7 294.4 241.6 266.6 280.2 247.7 234.8 254.2 298.7 243.0 268.9 283.4 250.9 239.3 258.5 302.0 245.3 270.2 284.6 250.2 238.2 258.8 306.8 248.1 272.9 285.7 254.1 240.9 260.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 .4 1.6 1.1 .7 10.8 9.9 11.3 9.5 8.5 10.3 9.7 102.7 102.2 102.0 101.4 101.4 101.5 102.0 102.0 101.5 101.5 101.7 100.8 TOTAL PRIVATE (In constant dollars) 96 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1981 1980 Annual average Industry division and group 1978 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. TOTAL PRIVATE.................................. $203.70 $219.30 $225.34 $226.75 $229.15 MINING............................................................ 332.88 365.50 385.39 384.48 388.43 June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec." Jan. p $228.55 $229.95 $233.33 $234.39 $237.14 $240.04 $242.16 $244.63 $246.71 $246,05. 387.72 395.71 380.45 395.66 405.42 407.60 413.69 421.08 424.02 Apr. 389.48 May CONSTRUCTION.............................................. 318.69 342.99 335.00 343.08 350.42 355.62 360.51 371.80 373.61 374.87 386.20 388.48 377.20 385.02 378.97 MANUFACTURING 249.27 268.94 277.01 278.60 280.99 279.35 280.21 283.68 282.85 286.89 294.57 298.10 305.12 314.52 308.43 270.44 290.90 222.88 ■ 239.55 195.82 183.92 263.33 284.28 342.76 371.36 278.39 260.35 297.82 236.60 202.37 283.11 378.51 287.85 300.64 243.71 204.29 286.31 384.21 288.46 303.86 243.21 206.75 295.89 384.62 293.94 301.64 232.99 204.28 296.54 386.92 292.25 301.72 240.64 202.17 302.47 377.67 292.07 306.06 251.90 204.78 308.73 377.32 297.54 303.81 256.70 199.82 306.28 379.05 290.86 308.87 264.99 208.30 310.95 383.76 299.20 318.79 267.24 213.71 316.06 397.01 308.61 323.21 264.99 215.22 319.66 402.59 311.04 330.89 266.17 215.81 323.75 419.42 316.98 342.78 267.70 225.15 324.95 433.68 327.35 334.53 261.97 218.89 316.36 430.13 319.52 Machinery except electrical........................ Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment .......................... Instruments and related products................ Miscellaneous manufacturing...................... 285.44 234.55 333.80 233.54 181.97 305.98 254.70 350.99 251.74 195.16 317.89 268.13 352.40 269.37 204.86 319.14 269.74 357.94 268.87 204.58 322.04 271.20 365.22 269.18 207.19 320.21 268.88 359.79 267.85 206.21 322.73 266.45 361.49 270.82 206.28 325.18 270.68 368.68 275.40 207.59 322.00 267.96 368.93 271.66 206.39 326.03 275.18 374.00 273.71 210.21 339.48 283.46 389.09 277.49 215.44 340.25 287.28 401.55 280.09 215.90 348.57 294.52 412.41 287.12 218.96 360.39 303.73 438.34 294.06 226.51 355.21 298.75 413.83 291.41 223.10 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products ........................ Tobacco manufactures .............................. Textile mill products .................................. Apparel and other textile products.............. Paper and allied products .......................... 217.88 230.26 233.55 173.72 140.26 279.71 235.80 250.17 252.70 188.26 149.32 303.74 244.92 261.10 264.08 200.41 156.29 319.82 243.90 259.62 271.58 199.92 157.53 318.85 245.07 260.52 285.39 201.23 158.95 320.12 246.13 262.58 297.58 195.91 157.44 321.99 248.45 270.75 295.67 195.02 157.09 318.24 251.42 270.86 305.25 195.23 160.56 324.84 254.10 274.91 294.19 194.81 158.85 329.96 257.52 278.07 284.83 203.45 162.84 333.98 261.58 279.28 283.44 208.55 165.44 341.74 262.75 275.92 303 16 209.87 167.44 341.40 267.24 284.31 309.60 213.59 168.15 350.10 273.03 286.94 309.12 217.59 173.52 361.01 270.96 288.40 331.04 213.47 171.85 352.70 Printing and publishing................................ Chemicals and allied products.................... Petroleum and coal products...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................................... Leather and leather products...................... 244.78 294.14 376.27 260.63 318.44 409.97 269.33 332.35 342.45 269.73 333.22 371.99 273.05 335.69 366.03 270.11 337.79 404.01 274.54 337.42 425.96 273.78 339.49 432.31 277.10 339.85 437.68 283.84 343.15 431.28 288.33 349.40 448.32 288.30 352.73 454.04 289.79 360.78 458.67 299.47 365.01 447.38 295.04 357.20 474.14 225.77 144.32 241.38 154.03 251.88 163.32 249.38 164.50 250.80 164.16 250.11 165.88 247.26 167.61 251.13 169.80 250.13 165.26 262.80 167.99 267.19 166.88 272.69 169.36 279.07 169 88 285.52 174.64 281.80 177.01 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 302.80 325.98 337.73 338.05 340.49 344.05 342.70 346.50 355.11 355.32 358.89 366.16 368.42 369.61 368.93 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 153.64 164.96 170.35 170.98 172.80 171.72 172.90 175.39 178.10 179.20 178.48 179.44 180.48 182.00 183.54 WHOLESALE TRADE 228.14 247.93 258.72 259.97 262.27 263.81 265.27 265.49 267.02 269.18 272.58 274.77 277.92 281.64 282.98 151.59 152.74 Durable goods Lumber and wood products........................ Furniture and fixtures ................................ Stone, clay, and glass products.................. Primary metal industries ............................ Fabricated metal products.......................... RETAIL TRADE 130.20 138.62 142.44 142.44 143.82 142.56 144.12 146.83 149.82 151.10 149.00 149.40 150.60 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 178.00 190.77 200.19 203.28 206.18 205.62 205.77 210.03 208.87 211.27 211.91 214.53 218.16 217.80 220.93 192.73 195.60 198.86 198.86 200.26 SERVICES https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 163.67 175.27 183.63 185.25 186.88 186.30 187.02 190.57 191.65 192.31 97 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 20. Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date [Averages for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Private nonagricultural workers Year and month 1960 .......................................... Gross average weekly earnings Manufacturing workers Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars $101.15 $72.57 $81.82 $80.11 $90.32 74.60 77.86 79.51 84.40 89.08 83.26 85.94 86.71 90.85 94.26 82.18 85.53 87.25 92.18 96.78 91.72 94.40 95.15 99.22 102.41 $80.67 $90.95 $65.59 $73.95 $72.96 $82.25 $89.72 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 92.19 94.82 96.47 98.31 101.01 67.08 69.56 71.05 75.04 79.32 74.87 76.78 77.48 80.78 83.94 74.48 76.99 78.56 82.57 86.63 83.13 84.98 85.67 88.88 91.67 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 103.06 106.58 108.21 110.84 113.79 ' 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 101.67 101.84 103.39 104.38 103.04 81.29 83.38 86.71 90.96 96.21 83.63 83.38 83.21 82.84 82.73 88.66 90.86 95.28 99.99 104.90 91.21 90.86 91.44 91.07 90.20 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 115.42 114.49 117.57 117.95 114.64 91.45 92.97 97.70 101.90 106.32 94.08 92.97 93.76 92.81 91.42 99.33 100.93 106.75 111.44 115.58 102.19 100.93 102.45 101.49 99.38 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 104.95 109.26 109.23 104.78 101.45 103.80 112.19 117.51 124.37 132.49 85.57 89.54 88.29 84.20 82.19 112.43 121.68 127.38 134.61 145.65 92.69 97.11 95.70 91.14 90.35 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 117.43 123.47 125.06 119.70 118.36 114.97 125.34 132.57 140.19 151.61 94.78 100.03 99.60 94.92 94.05 124.24 135.57 143.50 151.56 166.29 102.42 108.20 107.81 102.61 103.16 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.30 102.90 104.13 104.30 100.73 143.30 155.19 165.39 177.55 84.05 85.50 84.69 81.56 155.87 169.93 180.71 194.35 91.42 93.63 92.53 89.27 209.32 228.90 249.27 268.94 122.77 126.12 127.63 123.54 167.83 183.80 197.40 212.43 98.43 101.27 101.08 97.58 181.32 200.06 214.87 232.07 106.35 110.23 110.02 106.60 1980: January............................ February.......................... March.............................. 225.34 226.75 229.15 96.59 95.88 95.52 181.96 182.98 184.67 77.99 77.37 76.98 199.00 200.07 201.89 85.30 84.60 84.16 277.01 278.60 280.99 118.74 117.80 117.13 217.91 218.99 220.61 93.40 92.60 91.96 238.20 239.40 241.22 102.10 101.23 100.55 April ................................ May ................................ June ................................ 228.55 229.95 233.33 94.21 93.82 94.16 184.25 185.23 187.59 75.95 75.57 75.70 201.43 202.49 205.06 83.03 82.62 82.75 279.35 280.21 283.68 115.15 114.32 114.48 219.49 220.08 222.43 90.47 89.79 89.76 239.97 240.63 243.26 98.92 98.18 98.17 July.................................. August ............................ September ...................... October............................ November........................ Decemberp ...................... 1981: Januaryp .......................... 234.39 237.14 240.04 242.16 244.63 246.71 246.05 94.51 95.01 95.29 95.30 95.41 95.37 ( ') 188.33 190.25 192.28 193.76 195.48 196.94 195.20 75.94 76.22 76.33 76.25 76.24 76.13 205.86 207.95 210.15 211.76 213.63 215.21 213.43 83.01 83.31 83.43 83.34 83.32 83.19 (’ ) 282.85 286.89 294.57 298.10 305.12 314.52 308.43 114.05 114.94 116.94 117.32 119.00 121.58 (’ ) 221.87 224.61 229.82 232.22 236.90 243.09 237.60 89.46 89.99 91.23 91.39 92.43 93.97 (’ ) 242.63 245.69 251.52 254.20 259.52 266.40 260.36 97.83 98.43 99.85 100.04 101.22 102.98 ( 1) (’ > 'Not available. NOTE: The earnings expressed in 1967 dollars have been adjusted for changes in price level as measured by the Bureau’s Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. These series are described in “The Spendable Earnings Series: A Technical Note on its Cal- 98 Gross average weekly earnings https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis eolation,'' Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labor Force, February 1969, ®-13 also Spendable Earnings Formulas, 1978 - 80, Employment and Earnings, March 1980, PP-10-11 ■ UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA U n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. De partment of Labor from records of State and Federal unem ployment insurance claims filed and benefits paid. Railroad unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Rail road Retirement Board. ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about onethird of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. Definitions Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All items except average benefits amounts are in thousands] 1980 1979 Item All programs: Insured unemployment...................... State unemployment insurance program:' Initial claims2 .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Rate of insured unemployment .......... Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment.................. Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claims' .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Jan. Dec. Feb. 3,047 3,740 Mar. 3,730 Apr. 3,652 May June Aug. July 3,629 3,680 3,790 4,140 Sept. 3,911 3,961 Nov. Oct. 3,661 Dec. 3,726 2,263 2,837 1,818 1,705 2,190 2,248 2,319 2,737 1,829 1,702 1,808 1,673 2,864 3.4 3,537 4.1 3,518 4.1 3,356 3.9 3,278 3.8 3,343 3.9 3,455 4.0 3,692 4.3 3,408 3.9 3,087 3.6 2,903 33 2,983 3.4 9,171 13,792 12,801 13,170 12,689 12,302 12,441 14,398 12,786 11,689 11,443 9,514 4,085 3,321 3.8 $102.00 $96.41 $99.88 $98.75 $99.68 $99.86 $92.32 $94.54 $98.39 $99.15 $99.52 $99.55 $843,869 $1,283,946 $1,229,877 $1,218,231 $1,232,173 $1,196,836 $1,213,595 $1,397,508 $1,249,782 $1,144,885 $1,125,416 $1,054,506 24 25 21 21 21 20 23 27 23 25 23 17 56 60 58 63 52 50 45 58 55 56 56 54 233 $23,093 299 $29,635 255 $25,308 249 $24,928 246 $24,518 220 $22,025 122 $11,761 331 $33,342 244 $24,560 245 $24,804 255 $25,880 216 $21,047 55 15 19 11 12 11 12 14 17 15 19 21 14 31 34 32 30 25 22 20 26 25 29 32 35 118 $11,047 150 $14,118 129 $12,226 123 $11,901 108 $10,323 88 $8,280 50 $4,665 124 $11,296 93 $8,707 105 $9,699 130 $11,917 118 $11,366 11 22 7 5 4 6 24 44 13 10 9 7 11 37 Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Number of payments ........................ Average amount of benefit payment........................................ Total benefits paid ............................ 19 41 40 80 39 71 30 68 27 62 23 54 27 55 44 66 39 86 40 89 38 84 38 70 39 83 $197.22 $8,085 $199.01 $14,967 $208.73 $14,573 $210.79 $13,884 $201.87 $13,002 $193.44 $9,953 $199.06 $10,140 $207.08 $13,320 $211.87 $17,336 $211.99 $18,809 $208.49 $17,739 $209.00 $14,269 $212.27 $18,046 Employment service:5 New applications and renewals.......... Nonfarm placements ........................ 4,378 1,044 5,980 1,314 7,285 1,561 8,708 1,853 10,021 2,143 11,446 2,413 12,864 2,730 14,249 3,105 15,431 3,445 11nitial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program tor Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2 Includes interstate claims for the Virgin Islands. Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Includes the Virgin islands. Exludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State pro grams. 5Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1 - September 30). NOTE: Date for Puerto Rico included. Dashes Indicate data not available. 99 PRICE DATA P r i c e d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it mea sures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 100 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the Standard Industrial Classification M anual 1972 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the Review, regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 24.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see Facts About the Revised Consumer Price Index, a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also The Consumer Price Index: Concepts and Content Over the Years. Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stan dards of living, see the family budget data published in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, 1977, Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the CPI Detailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S Handbook o f Methods fo r Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the mea surement of producer price change,” Monthly Labor Review, April 1978, pp. 7 -1 5 . For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” Monthly Labor Review, August 1965, pp. 974-82. 22. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-79 [1967 = 100] Food and beverages All items Year Index Percent change Index Percent change Apparel and upkeep Housing Index Percent change Index Transportation Percent change Index Percent change Index Percent change Other goods and services Entertainment Medical care Index Percent change Index Percent change .................. .................. .................. .................. 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 61 69 63 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971.................. 1972 .................. 1973 .................. 1974 .................. 1975 .................. 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 65 32 39 93 120 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 3.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 .................. .................. .................. .................. 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 3.1 6.0 9.7 10.9 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 95 96 84 94 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 1967 1968 1969 1970 1976 1977 1978 1979 23. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wsige Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 19B0 1979 1980 1979 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. All items...................................................................................... 229.9 247.8 249.4 251.7 253.9 256.2 258.4 230.0 248.0 249.6 251.9 254.1 256.4 258.7 Food and beverages .................................................................... Housing........................................................................................ Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Transportation .............................................................................. Medical care ................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services.............................................................. 235.5 243.6 172.2 227.7 250.7 193.4 204.0 248.3 265.1 176.2 251.0 266.6 206.6 213.5 252.0 265.8 178.6 252.7 268.4 208.0 214.5 254.2 267.7 182.2 254.7 270.6 209.8 220.6 255.5 271.1 183.9 256.1 272.8 210.9 221.5 257.4 273.8 184.8 259.0 274.5 211.2 222.8 259.3 276.9 183.9 261.1 275.8 212.0 224.6 235.7 243.6 171.4 228.3 251.7 192.3 203.0 249.1 265.1 175.4 251.9 267.1) 204.4 212.9 252.5 265.8 177.9 253.5 270.0 205.6 214.0 255.1 267.6 181.4 255.2 272.2 208.1 219.0 256.6 271.0 182.8 256.6 274.3 209.2 219.9 258.7 273.7 183.3 259.7 276.3 209.9 221.0 260.5 277.1 182.9 261.9 277.6 210.1 223.0 Commodities................................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .................................... Nondurables less food and beverages.................................. Durables ............................................................................ 219.4 208.8 219.0 199.8 234.1 224.0 241.4 209.8 236.7 226.0 242.6 212.4 239.0 228.4 244.1 215.3 240.7 230.2 244.4 218.1 242.5 232.0 245.3 220.6 243.8 232.9 246.8 221.1 219.4 208.7 220.5 198.2 234.4 224.2 243.5 208.0 236.9 226.2 244.8 210.5 239.2 228.4 246.0 213.5 240.8 230.0 246.1 216.3 242.9 232.0 247.1 218.9 244.3 233.1 248.8 219.7 Services ...................................................................................... Rent, residential.................................................................. Household services less rent .............................................. Transportation services........................................................ Medical care services.......................................................... Other services.................................................................... 249.3 182.9 289.2 224.2 270.7 207.1 272.4 192.1 323.3 243.8 288.0 218.1 272.5 193.2 321.5 246.4 289.8 219.2 274.8 195.1 322.6 249.4 292.3 225.3 277.9 197.1 327.4 250.8 294.8 226.7 280.9 198.3 331.9 253.3 296.6 227.2 284.7 199.6 338.4 255.8 297.9 228.1 249.6 182.7 291.1 224.0 271.8 207.4 273.1 191.0 325.9 243.9 289.3 218.5 273.3 193.0 324.2 246.3 291.7 219.5 275.4 194.8 325.3 248.2 294.3 225.4 278.6 196.8 330.3 249.6 296.6 227.4 281.5 198.0 334.8 252.2 298.7 227.9 285.5 199.4 341.9 254.7 300.0 228.4 All items less food ........................................................................ All items less mortgage interest costs ............................................ Commodities less food.................................................................. Nondurables less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food and apparel................................................ Nondurables ................................................................................ Services less rent ........................................................................ Services less medical care............................................................ Domestically produced farm foods ................................................ Selectod beef cuts........................................................................ Energy ........................................................................................ All items less energy .................................................................... All items less food and energy ............................................ Commodities less food and energy.................................... Energy commodities ........................................................ Services less energy........................................................ 226.4 221.7 207.2 215.2 240.1 228.2 261.6 245.3 227.5 263.2 313.7 223.6 218.1 192.6 340.0 247.6 245.1 236.8 222.2 236.6 270.3 245.9 287.6 268.9 238.5 269.2 370.4 238.3 233.1 202.0 404.8 269.1 246.3 239.0 224.2 237.8 270.9 248.3 287.4 268.7 243.5 274.5 370.7 240.0 234.3 204.3 404.2 269.0 248.6 241.5 226.6 239.3 271.3 250.2 289.8 271.0 246.2 278.8 370.1 242.5 236.9 207.2 401.7 271.3 250.9 243.0 228.3 239.6 271.1 251.0 293.2 274.2 247.3 276.8 368.0 245.1 239.7 209.4 399.1 274.9 253.2 244.5 230.0 240.5 272.1 252.4 296.4 277.2 249.2 278.9 366.1 247.7 242.4 211.2 400.2 278.6 255.5 245.9 231.0 242.0 274.7 254.1 300.7 281.2 251.1 276.2 370.4 249.7 244.5 211.7 404.9 282.4 226.4 222.0 207.1 216.7 241.5 229.0 262.1 245.5 227.5 265.2 317.0 223.0 217.3 191.4 341.5 248.0 245.3 237.1 222.4 2387 272.2 247.2 288.5 269.4 238.4 271.2 373.9 237.6 232.1 200.6 406.1 269.8 246.6 239.6 224.4 239.9 272.9 249.6 288.6 269.4 242.9 275.9 374.2 239.4 233.4 202.9 405.5 269.9 248.7 242.0 226.5 241.1 273.0 251.5 290.7 271.4 246.1 280.8 373.1 242.0 235.9 205.7 402.7 271.9 251.0 243.5 228.2 241.3 272.8 252.3 294.2 274.7 247.0 279.0 371.1 244.5 238.7 207.8 400.3 275.6 253.4 245.1 230.1 242.2 273.9 253.8 297.4 277.7 249.1 280.7 369.5 247.2 241.5 209.9 401.3 279.3 255.7 246.7 231.2 243.9 276.6 255.6 302.0 281.9 251.1 278.4 373.7 249.3 243.6 210.6 405.9 283.4 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 - $1 .................... $0,435 $0,404 $0,401 $0,397 $0,394 $0,390 $0,387 $0,435 $0,403 $0,401 $0,397 $0,394 $0,390 $0,387 Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 Dec. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 July Aug. Sept. 1979 Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. FOOD AND BEVERAGES .................................................................... 235.5 248.3 252.0 254.2 255.5 257.4 259.3 235.7 249.1 252.5 255.1 256.6 258.7 260.5 Food .................................................................................................. 241.7 254.8 258.7 261.1 262.4 264.5 266.4 241.8 255.5 259.2 261.9 263.4 265.7 267.6 Food at home ...................................................................................... Cereals and bakery products.......................................................... Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100).............................. Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100).................... Cereal (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) .......................... Bakery products (12/77 = 100) .............................................. White bread...................................................................... Other breads (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100).................. Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100) ........................ Cookies (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Crackers and bread and cracker products (12/77 = 100) .. Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) . . . Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) .......... 238.7 231.6 122.9 123.8 122.8 122.2 122.4 207.4 123.3 123.1 120.3 117.8 116.2 121.5 251.5 247.8 135.0 132.9 135.5 136.2 129.8 218.4 129.4 129.2 127.9 127.1 125.5 129.5 256.3 249.2 136.3 133.6 137.6 136.8 130.4 217.9 129.7 130.0 129.8 128.7 124.6 131.4 258.9 250.3 137.1 133.3 138.5 138.4 130.9 219.6 130.9 129.2 129.5 129.9 124.2 131.6 260.0 253.7 137.5 133.2 139.3 138.9 133.1 222.7 132.5 133.4 132.5 131.0 126.4 133.4 262.1 255.8 138.7 132.9 141.1 140.5 134.3 224.9 133.1 134.6 133.4 133.1 125.6 135.3 263.9 258.5 140.8 133.5 143.8 143.1 135.4 226.3 134.1 135.4 135.3 134.9 126.9 135.9 238.3 232.3 123.8 125.1 122.9 123.9 122.7 206.6 126.0 122.3 120.1 119.6 116.3 123.4 251.1 248.0 135.5 132.8 135.5 137.9 129.8 217.5 132.3 128.1 127.3 128.3 125.7 130.0 255.6 249.6 136.8 133.9 137.7 138.4 130.5 217.2 133.3 128.9 129.4 130.1 124.7 131.6 258.6 251.1 137.8 134.1 138.6 140.2 131.2 219.3 134.3 128.1 129.7 131.7 124.5 132.0 259.7 254.3 138.5 133.8 139.3 141.6 133.3 222.6 135.8 132.1 132.6 132.5 126.5 134.1 262.0 256.8 139.7 133.6 141.5 142.7 134.7 225.2 137.0 134.1 133.1 134.5 125.7 136.1 263.9 259.5 142.3 134.4 145.0 145.8 135.7 226.6 137.9 135.1 134.2 136.1 126.5 136.4 124.8 131.5 131.4 132.1 135.3 136.2 137.5 121.4 129.6 129.2 129.9 130.9 132.4 134.0 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs.......................................................... Meats, poultry, and fis h ............................................................ Meats .............................................................................. Beef and veal................................................................ Ground beef other than canned .................................. Chuck roast .............................................................. Round roast .............................................................. Round steak .............................................................. Sirloin steak .............................................................. Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ............................ Pork.............................................................................. Bacon ........................................................................ Pork chops ................................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100)........................ Sausage .................................................................... Canned ham .............................................................. Other pork (12/77 = 100).......................................... Other meats.................................................................. Frankfurters .............................................................. Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) ............ Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100)................................ Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100)........................ Poultry ............................................................................ Fresh whole chicken .................................................. Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) ............ Other poultry (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Fish and seafood .............................................................. Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)...................... Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)........ Eggs.......................................................................... 235.5 239.8 242.3 262.2 271.2 268.1 238.1 247.5 250.8 150.2 205.0 193.6 187.8 102.5 256.5 218.9 112.6 243.0 239.3 134.4 121.5 140.0 176.2 175.2 112.3 116.9 312.6 117.1 120.2 185.9 236.7 243.4 243.3 267.9 266.6 277.7 243.2 253.2 270.2 155.9 200.3 186.3 193.1 92.1 249.2 208.6 115.1 239.1 229.1 135.1 120.6 137.2 187.9 193.6 120.9 117.0 330.1 129.2 123.7 154.2 245.4 251.0 251.1 273.1 272.9 279.8 248.8 258.0 274.1 159.0 212.0 201.5 199.9 98.4 262.5 217.0 123.1 247.8 245.8 138.5 123.7 140.4 197.5 205.3 127.8 120.3 331.8 131.2 123.6 178.3 251.8 257.7 257.8 277.5 276.8 287.7 248.0 260.7 280.9 161.8 222.7 220.1 206.2 102.2 277.9 225.1 128.6 254.9 256.1 143.5 125.7 143.8 205.2 214.0 134.0 122.9 335.8 133.2 124.8 179.9 252.6 259.0 258.7 275.8 275.8 284.4 250.6 258.9 270.7 161.0 225.8 224.7 207.8 105.5 282.4 232.5 127 6 259.4 260.9 146.5 127.8 146.1 209.1 216.7 134.7 128.7 336.6 133.9 124.8 175.3 254.9 260.7 261.1 277.9 277.1 291.7 251.2 263.8 271.8 161.8 228.6 229.5 208.5 107.9 283.5 237.7 128.4 261.8 262.6 148.4 129.7 146.1 204.1 208.7 131.8 128.0 343.0 136.0 127.5 185.2 255.7 259.9 260.0 275.3 276.1 288.5 245.7 260.2 267.6 160.4 229.1 231.9 208.7 107.8 285.6 238.4 127.6 262.8 264.0 149.1 129.9 146.6 202.7 206.9 131.6 126.6 346.9 136.4 129.6 206.6 235.1 239.2 241.8 263.7 273.0 274.2 240.5 246.2 253.5 149.9 205.6 195.8 189.1 100.9 258.3 219.1 112.7 239.5 238.7 130.8 119.4 141.7 173.9 169.8 111.8 117.4 309.1 116.5 118.5 186.6 236.1 242.8 242.8 269.6 268.7 285.3 246.2 253.6 274.2 155.2 200.7 189.1 193.3 90.5 252.0 207.6 114.9 236.5 231.5 131.4 118.8 138.2 186.0 189.1 120.8 116.6 326.4 127.3 122.5 153.5 244.3 249.8 250.0 274.1 275.6 287.9 248.2 256.4 278.8 157.6 212.0 205.6 198.5 96.3 263.6 219.1 122.7 244.1 245.9 134.5 121.5 140.8 195.1 199.9 128.1 119.1 327.3 129.3 121.8 177.1 251.2 257.1 257.2 279.1 279.9 295.4 249.0 261.4 282.2 161.2 222.8 223.0 205.0 100.7 280.0 225.9 128.5 251.5 254.3 141.2 123.5 145.0 203.3 209.6 134.1 122.0 333.4 131.0 124.5 178.4 251.8 258.1 258.1 277.4 278.9 294.0 251.1 257.9 272.8 160.3 225.8 226.0 207.3 103.5 283.2 235.2 127.9 255.8 260.3 143.6 125.5 146.5 205.4 210.5 133.5 127.1 333.8 131.2 124.6 174.4 254.2 259.9 260.3 279.1 280.4 301.9 249.9 261.8 274.9 160.3 228.5 232.3 204.8 106.0 285.9 242.2 128.8 259.0 262.6 145.7 127.5 147.7 201.4 203.5 131.6 126.5 340.0 133.5 127.0 185.7 255.0 259.2 259.3 276.8 281.0 296.0 246.6 257.6 269.7 159.2 228.8 234.1 206.8 105.7 287.2 242.6 127.4 259.4 2634 145.2 127.7 148.5 201.1 202.2 132.3 126.2 343.1 133.7 128 8 206.6 Dairy products ........................................................................ Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fresh whole milk............................................................ Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) .................... Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)............................ Butter............................................................................ Cheese (12/77 = 100).................................................. Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)................ Other dairy products (12/77 = 100) .............................. 216.9 122.7 201.2 122.0 122.5 214.0 122.6 122.6 117.9 228.6 127.7 209.4 126.9 131.4 226.9 130.0 134.6 127.5 2297 127.9 2098 127.1 132.5 231.2 130.4 137.0 128.3 230.6 128.0 209.7 127.7 133.6 236.2 132.3 135.7 128.9 232.7 129.1 211.3 129.1 134.9 238.9 133.4 138.0 129.0 235.4 130.4 213.3 130.5 136.9 241.5 135.9 139.1 130.6 238.0 131.9 216.2 131.4 138.2 241.0 137.0 141.4 132.4 217.4 122.6 200.9 122.2 123.3 216.6 122.7 124.3 118.3 229.2 128.0 209.8 127.5 131.9 229.7 130.1 135.5 127.7 229.9 128.0 209.7 127.6 132.9 233.7 130.9 136.1 128.8 230.9 128.2 209.8 128.3 134.1 238.8 132.7 135.4 129.3 233.1 129.1 211.0 129.5 135.8 242.5 133.8 139.1 129.4 235.9 130.4 213.0 131.0 137.9 244.4 136.2 140.9 131.9 238.8 132.2 216.5 131.9 139.2 244.1 137.4 143.2 133.1 Fruits and vegetables .............................................................. Fresh fruits and vegetables................................................ Fresh fruits.................................................................... Apples ...................................................................... Bananas .................................................................... Oranges .................................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fresh vegetables .......................................................... Potatoes ...................................................................... Lettuce...................................................................... Tomatoes .................................................................. Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) ........................ 230.2 230.1 234.9 221.8 225.2 256.7 121.1 225.7 207.0 227.5 227.9 128.0 253.9 265.8 282.7 316.6 232.6 273.9 147.5 250.1 310.5 205.9 209.2 137.1 258.4 273.0 302.3 340.8 234.0 297.1 158.5 245.6 327.1 213.1 205.4 126.2 257.4 269.6 286.3 295.2 238.0 296.5 150.8 253.9 313.2 265.9 214.2 127.1 254.2 262.3 272.9 242.2 233.4 312.9 145.4 252.4 295.6 249.1 237.3 129.7 253.3 258.3 258.6 213.5 235.7 316.6 134.9 258.0 293.0 273.5 192.2 139.6 255.6 262.0 251.8 218.8 244.1 299.3 128.6 271.5 297.7 255.3 206.1 156.3 228.3 228.5 233.3 220.2 222.0 249.5 121.6 224.2 199.6 231.3 224.8 128.1 253.0 265.2 282.3 318.7 228.7 261.5 148.7 249.8 3094 200.6 210.8 138.0 256.6 270.8 300.1 342.2 228.0 285.5 157.9 244.4 325.4 209.3 199.6 127.0 255.8 267.8 284.9 295.3 234.3 284.2 151.9 252.4 309.2 262.5 210.8 127.6 252.3 259.6 270.4 243.7 230.2 301.5 145.6 249.9 292.0 241.3 235.6 129.6 251.4 255.7 255.5 213.0 232.0 300.4 136.4 256.0 289.9 267.2 188.9 140.0 253.9. 260.2 248.6 216.9 239.2 287.0 129.2 270.9 298.0 253.8 204.5 156.2 Processed fruits and vegetables ........................................ Processed fruits (12/77 = 100)...................................... Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100) .................. Fruit juices and other than frozen (12/77 = 100).......... Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100)........................ Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100) ............................ Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100) .............................. 232.3 121.8 116.8 123.6 124.2 111.7 110.6 243.0 126.6 118.5 130.6 129.0 117.6 118.4 244.5 126.9 119.2 130.1 130.0 118.8 119.6 246.3 127.4 119.3 130.8 130.7 120.1 119.7 247.5 127.8 118.8 131.0 132.0 120.8 120.3 250.1 129.1 120.5 131.9 133.3 122.2 121.8 250.9 129.0 120.6 131.6 133.1 123.1 122.1 230.0 121.3 115.9 123.4 123.5 110.5 110.8 241.5 126.8 117.8 130.9 129.5 116.6 118.2 242.9 127.2 118.1 130.7 130.7 117.5 119.2 244.6 127.6 118.5 131.0 131.5 118.7 119.4 246.4 128.5 118.8 131.9 132.7 119.6 120.3 248.8 129.4 120.7 132.3 133.5 121.0 121.7 249.0 129.1 119.9 132.2 133.3 121.5 121.2 102 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1980 1979 1980 1979 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Fruits and vegetables— Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) . . . Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77=100)............ Other foods at home...................................................................... Sugar and sweets.......................................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77-100) .................................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77-100)...................... Other sweets (12/77-100) .............................................. Fats and oils (12/77-100) ...................................................... Margarine ........................................................................ Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77-100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77 -100) .............. Nonalcoholic beverages .......................................................... Cola drinks, excluding diet c o la .......................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77-100)............ Roastec coffee ................................................................ Freeze dried and instant coffee.......................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77-100).......................... Other prepared foods .............................................................. Canned and packaged soup (12/77-100).......................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77-100).................................. Snacks (12/77-100)........................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77=100)............ Other condiments (12/77—100) ........................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77-100) ...................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) .. 114.4 110.9 281.1 284.6 120.1 117.2 117.5 233.0 247.7 115.7 121.1 375.4 247.2 118.7 440.7 374.3 116.3 217.4 115.9 125.6 121.3 120.1 119.5 118.9 118.6 118.1 117.0 304.3 353.1 131.6 194.2 127.2 239.3 247.0 123.6 124.6 397.4 268.4 129.2 435.3 381.0 122.1 232.3 123.3 132.4 128.3 128.0 130.2 129.3 126.0 119.4 118.0 307.8 355.1 132.6 194.6 128.3 242.0 249.3 124.7 126.2 402.8 275.2 131.3 433.9 380.3 123.1 234.9 123.7 134.6 129.3 129.4 131.8 130.9 127.5 121.4 119.6 309.2 361.1 134.2 200.2 129.2 243.6 249.2 125.8 127.4 403.9 276.7 132.5 426.1 376.1 124.5 235.2 123.8 133.9 129.8 130.7 133.0 130.6 126.9 122.5 120.3 311.5 369.0 134.7 209.4 131.5 246.0 254.2 125.6 128.5 404.9 280.4 133.9 411.8 368.1 125.8 236.6 124.1 133.9 130.6 131.9 133.4 132.0 127.9 124.1 121.5 314.8 381.3 135.7 225.9 132.5 247.4 254.9 127.4 129.0 405.5 284.0 133.8 399.2 364.9 126.7 239.9 125.1 136.6 135.2 133.5 133.3 133.5 128.6 124.5 122.9 317.1 3863 136.9 230.3 133.7 251.9 253.6 139.6 129.1 405.2 285.2 134.8 389.7 356.5 127.5 242.4 127.2 137.6 138.6 134.2 133.5 133.8 130.3 113.0 109.1 279.9 284.1 119.9 117.6 116.6 233.7 247.8 115.8 121.5 372.3 243.4 116.4 435.3 372.9 115.5 217.2 116.3 123.9 122.2 119.0 120.2 118.7 118.6 117.0 115.6 303.7 354.6 137.0 194.5 126.5 240.6 246.6 124.0 126.0 396.2 265.6 127.4 432.3 379.2 121.1 232.1 123.5 131.3 123.5 127.3 131.6 123.9 125.4 118.1 116.4 307.4 356.6 133.2 195.1 126.9 242.4 251.5 124.8 125.7 403.0 274.7 128.8 430.4 379.7 122.3 234.2 124.2 131.7 129.9 127.8 133.4 130.2 126.8 119.6 117.9 309.1 361.8 134.7 199.7 127.7 244.6 251.8 125.8 127.4 403.6 274.9 130.2 423.1 374.8 123.8 235.6 124.7 131.6 130.4 129.5 135.0 131.1 127.2 120.9 118.5 311.7 369.8 135.4 209.5 129.2 247.0 256.6 125.5 128.7 405.8 279.6 131.8 409.3 366.3 125.3 236.9 124.9 131.9 131.0 132.2 135.3 131.7 128.2 121.8 120.3 315.7 383.9 136.8 225.9 131.9 248.2 256.9 128.0 128.8 407.8 283.6 133.2 395.5 364.0 126.2 240.4 125.6 133.5 136.1 132.8 136.5 133.8 128.9 122.8 121.0 317.8 388.9 137.4 231.4 133.1 252.6 254.6 139.9 129.1 407.4 284.0 133.5 386.2 358.1 127.7 242.8 128.0 134.8 140.1 133.4 136.3 133.5 130.2 Food away from home.......................................................................... Lunch (12/77-100) ...................................................................... Dinner (12/77-100) ...................................................................... Other meals and snacks (12/77-100) ............................................ 253.4 123.3 123.4 121.4 267.8 130.0 130.1 129.3 269.5 131.2 130.7 130.0 271.4 132.1 131.9 130.4 273.1 132.9 132.4 131.8 275.3 134.3 133.4 132.5 277.7 135.7 134.4 133.7 255.1 124.0 124.2 122.5 271.2 131.1 132.0 131.6 272.8 131.8 132.8 132.3 274.9 132.9 133.8 133.3 277.4 134.4 135.1 133.9 279.5 135.7 136.1 134.5 281.8 137.3 136.7 135.6 Alcoholic beverages 178.0 187.2 188.7 189.6 190.4 190.9 191.6 178.7 183.2 190.6 191.7 192.5 192.8 193.7 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77-100)............................................ Beer and a le .................................................................................. Whiskey ........................................................................................ Wine.............................................................................................. Other alcoholic beverages (12/77-100).......................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77-100)................................ 116.0 122.1 177.8 189.2 130.8 135.2 199.1 212.6 106.9 - 109.6 122.5 116.8 123.1 190.1 136.9 213.9 111.2 123.5 123.6 190.8 137.6 214.7 111.7 124.5 124.0 191.7 137.7 215.4 112.5 125.1 124.4 192.0 138.9 215.2 112.9 125.3 124.9 192.9 138.9 217.6 112.7 125.8 117.0 177.6 132.0 204.0 106.4 115.2 123.6 183.7 135.6 217.4 103.6 122.9 124.6 191.1 137.8 218.1 111.1 123.6 125.1 191.9 138.5 219.8 111.2 124.8 125.6 192.0 139.0 224.2 111.6 125.3 125.9 192.2 139.8 224.0 112.0 125.5 126.5 192.9 140.2 227.2 112.1 126.2 HOUSING............................................................................................ 243.6 265.1 265.8 267.7 271.1 273.8 276.9 243.6 265.1 265.8 267.6 271.0 273.7 277.1 Shelter................................................................................................ 259.4 282.9 283.3 285.3 290.4 294.7 298.5 260.4 284.3 284.8 286.8 292.0 296.4 300.4 Rent, residential.................................................................................... 182.9 192.1 193.2 195.1 197.1 198.3 199.6 182.7 191.8 193.0 194.8 196.8 198.0 199.4 Other rental costs ................................................................................ Lodging while out of town................................................................ Tenants’ insurance (12/77-100) .................................................... 244.9 258.4 115.1 265.7 283.8 123.1 267.5 286.4 122.2 268.9 287.0 124.7 268.8 286.0 125.4 268.3 284.2 126.5 267.7 282.6 126.9 244.4 256.9 115.5 265.5 282.3 123.3 267.3 285.1 122.7 268.6 285.6 125.2 268.8 284.9 126.0 268.4 283.3 126.8 267.3 281.0 127.2 Homeownership.................................................................................... Home purchase.............................................................................. Financing, taxes, and insurance ...................................................... Property insurance .................................................................. Property taxes ........................................................................ Contracted mortgage interest c o s t............................ ............ 'Mortgage interest rates...................................................... Maintenance and repairs ................................................................ Maintenance and repair services .............................................. Maintenance and repair commodities ........................................ Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) ................................................ Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77-100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77-100).................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77-100) .......... 286.9 239.9 348.3 323.1 186.0 435.3 178.3 268.3 290.4 216.6 315.4 253.9 399.6 355.5 188.3 512.2 199.0 287.6 312.1 230.3 315.4 258.1 393.6 355.9 190.3 501.8 192.0 288.5 312.4 232.7 317.6 261.5 393.5 359.8 191.2 500.9 188.9 291.6 315.9 234.9 323.8 265.5 404.7 362.0 192.0 518.1 192.6 292.8 317.0 236.3 329.4 267.3 416.9 364.5 192.8 536.7 198.0 294.2 318.6 237.1 334.2 267.2 429.4 365.8 194.5 555.5 205.1 296.8 321.5 239.1 288.7 240.2 351.6 324.5 187.4 436.1 178.4 268.9 292.8 215.8 317.9 254.3 4C5.0 357.2 1S0.0 514.6 1S9.6 265.1 3C9.0 231.3 318.1 258.6 398.8 357.9 192.0 504.2 192.5 287.7 312.1 233.2 320.2 262.1 398.9 362.9 193.0 503.6 189.5 290.3 315.6 233.9 326.7 266.4 410.8 365.3 193.8 521.2 193.0 290.4 315.1 235.0 332.3 268.2 423.1 367.8 194.7 539.7 198.4 291.1 315.9 235.6 337.5 268.0 436.0 369.0 196.4 558.7 205.5 294.2 320.3 236.2 121.6 115.4 133.4 119.1 134.4 120.1 135.6 122.2 136.9 122.4 137.4 122.3 139.2 123.2 120.3 118.1 132.2 119.3 133.1 120.4 132.7 121.8 133.1 122.5 134.7 122.0 134.9 122.9 114.7 114.3 121.1 120.1 122.7 122.1 123.2 122.7 123.8 123.3 124.2 123.7 124.8 124.2 114.5 112.3 125.9 172.5 126.6 123,9 126.1 125.2 126.6 125.9 124.6 126.4 124.9 126.3 Fuel and other utilities........................................................................ 255.1 285.5 286.8 288.2 287.6 2857 289.9 255.7 266.1 287.4 288.7 288.0 2863 290.7 Fuels .................................................................................................. Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.......................................................... Fuel o il.................................................................................... Other fuels (6/78 - 100) ........................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity .............................................................. Electricity................................................................................ Utility (piped) gas .................................................................... 311.8 488.0 507.3 126.0 270.8 224.7 332.6 360.8 560.4 585.1 140.4 314.3 267.4 371.8 362.5 561.5 586.1 140.8 316.1 268.3 375.2 364.5 561.5 585.4 142.1 318.4 269.2 380.2 362.8 558.7 581.5 143.1 317.1 265.3 384.6 358.7 567.0 589.8 145.7 310.5 258.7 379.0 364.7 585.3 610.0 148.4 313.9 262.3 381.5 311.8 489.0 508.1 126.6 270.7 224.9 331.1 360.3 561.9 585.6 142.1 3‘ 3.5 267.6 368.6 362.1 562.7 586.4 142.5 315.4 268.6 372.0 363.8 562.9 585.9 143.8 317.4 269.6 376.1 362.1 559.9 581.8 144.8 316.0 265.3 380.9 358.2 568.3 590.3 147.3 309.8 258.4 376.7 364.5 587.0 610.9 150.1 313.4 262.1 379.7 FOOD AND BEVERAGES Continued Food — Continued Food at home — Continued https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 103 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary HOUSING 1979 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 1979 1980 Dec. July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. 161.9 134.3 103.2 98.4 101.5 247.2 165.9 136.3 105.4 101.6 99.5 261.3 166.5 136.5 105.4 101.9 99.9 263.5 167.1 137.0 106.0 102.1 100.1 264.5 167.8 137.5 106.6 102.1 100.1 266.2 169.0 138.7 108.3 101.7 100.6 267.0 170.6 140.3 110.5 101.8 100.9 267.8 161.8 134.2 103.2 98.4 101.3 247.3 165.9 136.1 105.2 101.6 99.3 262.4 166.4 136.4 105.2 101.9 99.7 264.5 167.1 136.9 105.9 102.1 100.0 265.5 167.8 137.4 106.5 102.1 99.9 267.3 169.1 138.7 108.3 101.8 100.5 268.0 170.7 140.3 110.6 101.8 100.7 268.7 Continued Fuel and other utilities — Continued Other utilities and public services ............................................................ Telephone services .......................................................................... Local charges (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Water and sewerage maintenance .................................................... Household furnishings and operations ................................................ 195.8 206.2 207.2 209.2 210.1 211.0 211.6 193.9 203.5 204.5 206.0 206.8 208.1 209.0 Housefumishings .................................................................................... Textile housefumishings.................................................................... Household linens (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding ...................................................................... Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Sofas (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) .............................. Other furniture (12/77 = 100).................................................... Appliances including TV and sound equipment.................................... Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... Television .......................................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Household appliances................................................................ Refrigerators and home freezer............................................ Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Other household appliances (12/77 = 100).......................... Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100).............................................. Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100)................................ Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)........................................ Floor and window coverings, infants’ laundry cleaning and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) ...................... Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100) .......................... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 166.9 178.6 108.3 114.6 182.8 118.3 108.2 108.1 117.1 137.5 105.3 103.6 107.8 157.9 156.7 113.6 109.9 174.7 188.2 114.6 120.2 192.8 125.4 112.2 110.7 126.6 140.5 105.8 104.4 108.2 163.7 163.6 119.6 112.6 175.2 189.1 114.1 121.9 192.6 125.8 111.3 111.6 125.7 141.4 106.6 105.0 109.1 164.6 164.4 120.2 113.3 177.3 194.1 118.4 123.6 195.7 127.9 112.7 114.1 127.5 142.0 107.0 105.0 109.8 165.5 164.8 120.9 114.2 177.9 195.9 119.5 124.9 195.2 127.4 113.8 113.0 127.0 142.3 107.1 104.7 110.3 166.0 165.8 121.5 114.2 178.1 192.4 117.3 122.7 196.5 128.6 114.2 113.3 127.9 142.6 107.4 105.1 110.6 166.2 166.1 122.0 114.2 178.3 193.2 117.2 123.8 197.0 129.2 115.3 113.1 127.8 142.4 107.2 105.2 110.1 165.9 166.5 123.4 113.1 165.9 177.3 107.2 114.4 182.7 116.0 111.6 109.2 115.9 136.9 104.8 102.2 108.0 157.1 159.0 112.8 108.2 172.9 188.7 114.8 121.0 189.7 122.6 111.7 111.3 123.0 140.1 105.0 102.7 108.0 163.8 166.4 118.7 112.1 173.5 189.6 114.7 122.4 189.9 123.6 110.4 112.3 122.5 140.6 105.2 103.3 107.9 164.5 168.0 120.1 112.0 175.0 192.5 117.7 122.7 192.0 124.5 111.1 115.1 123.6 141.2 105.7 103.2 108.8 165.2 169.1 120.0 112.5 175.6 195.1 119.5 124.1 192.5 124.6 113.0 114.4 123.6 141.2 105.6 103.2 108.7 165.3 169.4 120.2 112.5 176.4 195.7 122.6 121.2 193.9 125.5 113.6 115.6 124.6 141.4 106.1 103.8 109.1 165.2 169.2 120.2 112.4 176.9 196.6 122.7 122.4 194.4 125.7 114.7 115.2 124.7 142.0 106.1 103.7 109.2 166.3 170.9 121.4 112.8 108.6 111.6 111.8 111.8 112.4 113.0 112.0 108.1 112.8 111.4 111.8 112.1 112.6 113.9 111.4 113.0 113.8 121.3 115.1 121.7 117.0 123.0 116.2 124.1 115.5 124.6 114.3 124.8 108.3 111.8 111.3 119.7 112.6 120.5 113.4 121.6 113.0 122.2 112.1 123.2 111.5 123.1 111.7 110.1 120.8 119.0 121.7 119.8 123.0 120.6 123.3 121.6 124.3 121.4 124.6 121.7 107.4 107.3 114.7 116.6 115.3 117.1 116.8 118.2 118.2 119.4 119.0 119.2 118.4 118.8 117.2 110.3 126.4 115.9 125.8 117.1 128.2 117.2 130.0 117.9 130.6 118.4 130.8 118.7 115.2 112.5 124.0 118.7 125.1 119.6 126.3 120.3 126.3 120.9 127.4 122.3 127.6 122.3 Housekeeping supplies............................................................................ Soaps and detergents ...................................................................... Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) .......................... Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) .............. Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100).............................. Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100).......................................... 229.2 221.2 114.7 120.5 111.9 116.9 112.5 247.3 237.2 122.3 130.2 117.6 125.4 127.6 249.9 240.1 124.4 132.2 117.4 127.7 127.5 252.0 243.7 125.6 133.8 118.0 129.0 127.1 253.6 248.7 125.7 134.2 118.6 129.5 126.9 256.0 252.4 126.7 135.6 118.3 131.1 128.0 257.7 254.0 127.6 136.1 119.5 132.5 128.4 227.2 219.7 114.5 120.9 109.3 114.7 109.9 245.2 234.4 122.3 132.7 117.9 123.5 120.7 247.8 236.8 123.9 135.1 117.4 125.5 121.4 249.6 241.1 125.0 135.8 116.9 126.6 120.5 251.2 245.6 125.1 136.2 118.2 126.7 121.0 253.5 248.2 126.2 136.6 118.8 128.4 122.5 256.0 252.3 127.6 137.6 120.0 129.5 122.5 Housekeeping services............................................................................ Postage .......................................................................................... Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100) .............................................. Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100) .................................... 258.3 257.3 270.4 257.3 271.6 257.3 273.3 257.3 274.5 257.3 276.1 257.3 277.1 257.3 257.5 257.2 268.1 257.3 269.0 253.7 270.2 257.3 271.0 257.3 272.5 257.3 273.8 257.3 121.2 113.4 131.0 118.7 131.3 119.4 132.8 119.8 133.3 120.3 134.6 120.7 134.4 121.4 122.3 113.4 129.7 117.8 129.7 118.3 130.3 118.7 130.2 119.2 131.4 119.7 131.8 120.6 APPAREL AND UPKEEP........................................................................ 172.2 176.2 178.6 182.2 183.9 184.8 183.9 171.4 175.4 177.9 181.4 182.8 183.3 182.9 Apparel commodities............................................................................ 166.1 168.5 171.0 174.9 176.4 177.2 176.0 165.7 168.0 170.7 174.4 175.6 176.0 175.3 Apparel commodities less footwear.................................................... Men’s and boys’ .............................................................................. Men’s (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ...................... Coats and jackets (12/77 - 100)........................................ Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) .................... Shirts (12/77 = 100) .......................................................... Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) .................... Boys’ (12/77 = 100) ................................................................ Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) .............. Furnishings (12/77 = 100).................................................. Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) ........ Women's and girls' .......................................................................... Women’s (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Coats and jackets ..,.......................................................... Dresses .............................................................................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100)................ Suits (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Girls (12/77 = 100) .................................................................. Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100).................. Separates and sportswear (12/77 - 100)............................ Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100).............................................. 163.0 165.4 104.3 100.9 98.0 112.3 110.5 100.4 106.6 102.4 111.9 107.8 154.6 102.8 170.0 165.3 98.6 108.2 95.8 102.8 100.3 102.6 165.0 165.9 103.9 97.1 96.0 118.4 110.7 99.2 110.0 104.4 114.7 112.6 150.6 99.8 158.8 153.9 96.8 113.2 85.5 102.0 98.9 99.7 167.8 167.9 105.6 99.2 96.7 119.3 114.9 99.5 109.5 106.0 114.6 110.3 101.7 164.0 158.3 98.5 114.2 86.5 104.5 103.4 102.0 171.8 171.7 108.1 103.2 99.9 120.8 116.9 101.2 111.4 108.1 116.6 111.9 159.0 105.7 168.9 168.5 102.2 114.6 95.4 105.8 102.1 105.3 173.1 173.9 109.5 104.3 100.4 122.9 118.3 102.6 113.0 109.2 118.1 113.9 159.7 106.1 167.0 170.0 101.6 114.9 98.2 107.0 103.2 106.7 173.9 174.8 110.1 104.7 100.5 123.3 119.6 103.5 113.3 109.4 118.4 114.3 159.9 106.3 164.7 168.1 102.9 116.7 97.4 106.5 102.7 105.9 172.5 174.3 109.8 103.5 99.7 123.9 119.7 103.4 113.1 108.6 118.7 114.3 157.4 104.4 161.4 163.8 101.4 116.8 91.9 106.1 101.3 106.1 162.6 165.0 104.2 96.8 99.1 109.9 111.5 103.4 105.8 103.1 110.2 106.2 153.5 102.3 167.9 155.7 99.5 109.3 98.1 101.4 97.7 102.9 164.4 167.2 104.7 93.2 97.1 115.7 111.2 104.8 110.0 107.4 113.3 110.9 149.9 99.6 157.5 146.2 97.1 112.8 90.1 100.0 95.6 98.2 167.3 168.4 106.1 95.2 98.0 116.3 115.1 105.0 108.6 107.1 112.9 108.2 154.1 102.5 170.2 151.1 99.7 114.3 91.3 102.3 99.5 100.7 171.1 171.6 108.3 98.3 100.0 117.5 117.4 107.1 110.2 109.6 113.7 109.4 159.8 107.0 177.0 156.8 104.6 114.8 105.7 103.3 97.3 104.2 172.2 173.8 109.5 99.7 101.3 118.8 118.5 108.3 112.0 111.2 115.1 111.5 160.3 107.0 176.5 157.5 103.6 115.3 106.8 105.1 99.0 106.3 172.5 174.8 110.2 99.4 101.9 119.7 120.4 108.7 112.7 112.5 115.2 111.9 159.9 106.6 175.5 157.7 102.8 116.4 102.8 105.3 99.1 106.8 171.6 174.4 109.9 98.2 101.9 120.0 120.7 108.1 112.6 111.8 116.2 112.0 158.2 105.3 172.2 154.3 98.2 116.6 98.2 104.9 98.6 106.6 107.3 111.4 111.2 113.0 113.8 114.0 113.8 Tl . 104.4 110.4 109.6 111.3 112.8 112.6 112.2 104 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 153.7 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 19110 1979 1980 1979 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Apparel commodities less footwear — Continued Infants’ and toddlers’ ...................................................................... Other apparel commodities ............................................................ Sewing materials and notions (12/77 - 100) ............................ Jewelry and luggage (12/77 - 100) ........................................ 227.1 180.9 102.4 123.1 243.0 205.5 109.3 142.8 243.9 209.9 110.2 146.5 242.4 210.5 110.9 146.8 244.1 211.8 111.9 147.5 248.9 213.7 110.3 149.9 250.1 213.3 110.6 149.5 230.5 182.9 100.8 126.2 249.2 200.3 108.3 139.4 252.6 204.1 110.0 142.0 248.3 204.4 110.7 142.0 249.2 204.1 112.0 141.1 254.0 204.0 110.2 141.8 255.4 204.4 110.0 142.3 Footwear.............................................................................................. Men’s (12/77 - 100) .................................................................... Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 - 100) ...................................................... Womens'(12/77 - 100)................................................................ 184.3 117.3 115.8 113.8 189.5 121.1 123.5 113.8 190.3 121.3 122.8 115.4 193.2 123.6 123.3 117.7 196.1 124.7 125.8 119.6 196.5 125.4 126.2 119.4 196.6 124.6 126.6 120.0 183.8 119.4 114.7 111.8 189.3 123.2 123.1 111.3 190.0 123.4 123.9 111.7 193.3 124.9 124.6 115.1 195.6 125.8 126.9 116.3 196.4 126.7 127.4 116.5 196.7 126.0 127.8 117.5 Apparel services Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100)............ Other apparel services (12/77 - 100) .................................................. 216.6 127.1 117.0 234.4 137.7 126.3 235.4 138.3 126.9 237.3 140.0 126.9 240.0 141.1 129.2 241.9 142.4 130.0 243.4 143.5 130.5 213.4 126.6 113.7 232.5 137.5 124.7 233.7 138.4 125.0 234.5 139.1 125.1 238.1 140.9 127.4 239.9 141.6 129.1 242.2 143.2 129.9 261.1 228.3 251.9 253.5 255.2 • 256.6 259.7 261.9 251.5 252.7 254.1 255.5 258.6 260.8 APPAREL AND UPKEEP-Continued Apparel commodities Continued TRANSPORTATION ............................................................................ 227.7 251.0 252.7 254.7 256.1 259.0 Private................................................................................................ 227.5 250.5 251.6 253.2 254.5 257.4 259.4 228.2 184.5 234.4 373.3 280.1 136.8 171.7 198.3 315.6 253.4 123.1 1800 203 4 377 8 269 7 131 3 181.9 206.4 377.1 272.2 132.4 182.3 214.6 373.9 273.9 133.0 182.0 222.7 371.7 276.6 134.6 184.5 230.8 371.7 278.9 135.9 184.6 234.4 374.4 280.6 136.7 134.0 131.6 132.7 231.0 203.6 138.8 130.6 182.1 127.6 240.6 252.5 159.4 115.8 146.9 105.3 124.3 132.7 121.8 119.3 119.6 208.4 186.4 119.3 120.6 165.7 122.4 216.3 235.2 126.5 109.2 144.0 104.2 118.3 122.2 129 9 127 2 1266 226 7 2001 135.5 128.4 178.9 125.7 236.0 248.7 149.1 114.7 146.5 104.6 123.3 134.6 131.5 128.4 127.5 226.8 2006 136.1 128.7 179.9 125.2 236.0 249.9 147.5 115.4 146.5 104.6 123.5 136.6 131.8 129.5 128.5 227.6 201.9 135.6 129.8 181.5 125.8 236.7 250.9 147.5 115.8 146.5 104.6 123.5 137.8 133.9 130.2 129.6 228.0 201.4 135.4 129.4 180.8 125.7 237.3 251.2 148.3 116.3 146.5 104.7 123.6 139.1 135.0 131.1 130.8 230.6 203.4 137.3 130.6 182.5 126.9 240.1 251.5 153.2 116.7 146.6 104.7 123.9 140.0 135.6 131.7 132.2 233.2 205.7 139.0 132.0 184.7 127.8 242.9 252.0 157.9 117.5 147.0 105.1 125.1 142.0 New cars ............................................................................................ Used cars ............................................................................................ Gasoline .............................................................................................. Automobile maintenance and repair........................................................ Body work (12/77 - 100).............................................................. Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 - 100) ................................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Power plant repair (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Other private transportation .................................................................. Other private transportation commodities ........................................ Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 - 100) ................ Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 - 100)........................ T r e s ................................................................................ Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ Other private transportation services................................................ Automobile insurance .............................................................. Automobile finance charges (12/77 - 100) .............................. Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . . State registration .............................................................. Drivers’ license (12/77 - 100) .......................................... Vehicle inspection (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Other vehicle related fees (12/77 - 100) .......................... 171.7 198.2 313.9 252.6 123.3 179.2 203.4 376.7 269.0 131.8 181.1 206.4 375.9 271.1 133.0 181.7 214.6 373.0 273.8 133.8 181.9 222.7 370.5 276.0 135.0 184.3 230.8 370.5 278.4 136.1 120.6 119.2 119.2 207.5 185.6 118.1 120.3 163.8 124.4 215.3 235.3 127.2 108.5 144.1 104.5 117.5 117.6 128.1 127.3 126.4 224.5 197.7 136.3 126.6 174.9 126.6 233.8 249.1 149.7 113.3 146.4 104.9 122.6 126.8 129.0 128.4 127.3 224.7 198.3 136.3 127.0 175.9 126.2 233.9 250.2 148.2 114.0 146.5 104.9 122.8 128.3 130.9 129.4 128.7 226.0 200.9 137.5 128.8 178.8 127.3 234.9 251.3 148.6 114.5 146.5 104.9 122.8 129.8 132.7 130.0 129.8 226.5 200.9 136.5 128.9 179.2 126.9 235.6 251.5 149.9 114.6 146.5 104.9 122.9 130.0 133.6 131.0 131.3 228.8 203.1 137.8 130.3 181.7 127.3 237.9 251.9 154.4 115.0 146.6 105.0 123.2 130.7 Public.................................................................................................. 223.0 250.5 261.5 271.0 273.6 277.0 280.1 219.1 24E.8 256.9 264.4 266.5 269.2 271.8 Airline fare............................................................................................ Intercity bus fare .................................................................................. Intracity mass transit ............................................................................ Tax* fare .............................................................................................. Intercity train fare.................................................................................. 245.5 282.2 196.4 238.5 236.3 276.9 294.2 222.6 263.3 255.3 289.8 297.9 234.1 266.2 255.4 310.3 304.7 234.8 266.8 255.5 315.0 307.1 235.6 267.9 255.6 321.8 308.0 236.1 269.2 255.6 327.4 310.1 237.1 269.7 270.1 245.8 282.3 195.7 2439 236.6 275.5 293.9 221.8 269.2 255.4 287.9 2980 233.8 273.0 255.6 308.6 304.5 234.4 273.6 255.6 313.0 306.9 235.2 274.7 255.7 319.8 308.0 235.6 275.6 255.7 325.7 309.8 236.5 275.9 270.3 MEDICAL CARE .................................................................................. 250.7 266.6 268.4 270.6 272.8 274.5 275.8 251.7 267.8 270.0 272.2 274.3 276.3 277.6 Medical care commodities 159.2 169.1 170.2 171.3 172.5 173.8 175.1 159.9 169.7 170.8 171.8 173.0 174.1 175.6 Prescription drugs ................................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 - 100).................................................. Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 - 100)........................................ Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription and supplies (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 - 100) .............................. Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 - 100)................................................ 146.4 114.6 118.4 111.4 155.6 121.2 125.5 115.4 156.4 120.5 126.1 116.0 157.5 122.4 126.3 116.9 158.5 124.1 127.1 117.3 159.6 124.6 128.9 118.3 160.7 124.7 130.2 119.1 147.4 116.8 118.3 112.3 150.6 122.3 124.7 117.6 157.4 121.6 125.4 118.2 158.5 123.4 125.4 118.9 159.5 125.1 126.2 119.3 160.2 125.6 127.7 119.9 161.5 126.4 128.6 120.2 123.8 117.8 135.5 124.5 138.2 125.2 138.9 125.6 139.6 126.3 140.4 126.7 142.3 126.9 123.1 118.2 134.8 123.1 137.0 127.6 138.1 128.1 138.8 128.7 139.6 128.3 141.7 129.6 112.1 119.3 119.9 120.5 120.4 121.2 122.4 113.7 120.9 121.2 121.8 122.1 122.3 123.1 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 - 100) .................... Eyeglasses (12/77 - 100) ............................................................ Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ................................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 - 100)........ 114.6 110.9 177.9 113.1 121.7 118.7 189.1 119.1 122.6 119.9 190.4 119.9 123.3 120.5 191.2 120.8 124.4 121.0 193.5 121.3 125.3 121.2 195.8 121.5 126.2 120.8 198.1 122.5 115.1 110.5 178.5 114.2 122.0 112.8 193.1 113.0 122.9 118.4 191.6 119.9 123.6 119.0 192.4 121.2 124.4 119.6 194.0 121.8 125.5 120.2 195.8 123.0 126.5 120.4 198.0 123.7 Medical care services 270.7 288.0 289.8 292.3 294.8 296.6 297.9 271.8 283.3 291.7 294.3 296.6 298.7 300.0 261.7 280.3 248.6 128.5 238.3 256.5 2261 114.8 256.1 275.4 243.0 123.6 257.8 277.6 244.5 123.9 260.4 280.5 247.3 124.5 261.9 281.8 249.0 125.1 263.8 283.8 250.4 126.7 265.0 285.7 251.3 126.6 341.6 141.7 443.7 141.4 313.0 123.2 388.7 122.1 329.8 132.6 414.9 132.3 333.3 134.9 422.4 134.4 335.6 136.4 427.2 136.0 339.2 138.9 435.3 138.4 341.6 140.5 439.8 140.2 342.9 141.3 443.1 140.6 Professional services ............................................................................ Physicians’ services........................................................................ Dental services.............................................................................. Other professional services (12/77 - 100)...................................... 235.9 252.5 224.5 115.1 253.5 270.9 241.1 125.0 254.7 272.2 242.2 126.0 257.3 274.2 245.8 126.7 259.0 276.0 247.5 127.6 260.4 278.0 248.0 128.5 Other medical care services.................................................................. Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100).......................... Hospital room.......................................................................... Other hospital and medical care services.................................. 312.8 123.8 389.4 122.9 329.7 133.4 418.2 132.8 332.3 135.4 424.0 135.1 334.7 137.1 428.4 137.0 338.0 139.3 435.8 139.0 340.5 141.1 441.0 140.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 105 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 Dec. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 July Aug. Sept. 1979 Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. ENTERTAINMENT.............................................................................. 193.4 206.6 208.0 209.8 210.9 211.2 212.0 192.3 204.4 205.6 208.1 209.2 209.9 210.1 Entertainment commodities 195.2 209.3 210.8 212.8 213.7 214.5 215.3 192.4 204.8 206.4 208.6 209.0 210.2 210.9 Reading materials (12/77 = 100).......................................................... Newspapers .................................................................................. Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100)............................ 115.1 223.5 116.8 123.0 240.0 124.1 123.2 240.7 124.0 126.1 242.3 129.3 127.0 245.3 129.6 127.6 245.6 130.7 128.2 246.2 131.5 114.8 223.3 116.6 122.5 239.3 123.7 122.7 239.9 123.7 125.5 241.5 129.3 126.6 244.6 129.6 127.1 244.9 130.8 127.6 245.5 131.5 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................................ Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) ........................................................ Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100)................ Bicycles ........................................................................................ Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ 112.2 112.9 107.5 167.1 111.0 119.5 120.7 112.4 181.6 115.0 120.9 122.2 113.5 183.6 116.5 121.1 NA 113.8 184.7 117.2 121.8 NA 114.5 185.3 118.2 122.8 NA 114.7 185.7 119.9 122.9 NA 116.2 184.7 120.4 107.7 105.8 106.3 167.0 111.3 114.2 112.5 110.6 181.4 116.1 115.3 113.5 111.7 183.2 116.9 115.8 NA 112.1 184.9 117.4 116.3 NA 112.5 185.4 117.8 117.0 NA 112.2 185.8 119.1 117.8 NA 113.4 184.9 119.3 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100)............................ Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................ Pet supplies and expense (12/77 = 100) ........................................ 112.1 111.2 109.7 115.5 121.0 119.0 122.8 123.2 121.8 120.4 122.5 123.9 122.6 121.4 123.1 124.4 122.8 120.9 123.1 125.8 122.8 120.7 121.8 127.3 123.5 121.3 122.0 128.4 111.8 109.9 110.1 116.1 119.1 115.9 122.4 122.9 120.3 117.8 121.7 123.8 121.3 119.0 121.8 125.2 120.9 117.4 122.3 126.4 121.6 118.4 122.7 126.8 121.8 118.5 122.4 127.6 Entertainment services ...................................................................... 191.1 203.1 204.3 206.1 207.2 206.9 207.8 193.0 204.8 205.2 208.4 210.6 210.5 209.7 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100).............................................. Admissions (12/77 = 100).................................................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100).......................................... 113.8 116.6 108.6 122.1 121.3 117.4 123.2 122.1 117.4 124.5 122.6 118.3 125.5 122.7 119.0 125.2 122.6 118.7 125.7 123.1 119.4 115.0 117.8 109.0 121.9 123.2 118.8 121.8 124.2 119.1 124.7 124.1 120.8 127.0 124.2 121.6 126.7 124.3 121.6 125.9 124.0 121.8 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES.......................................................... 204.0 213.5 214.5 220.6 221.5 222.8 224.6 203.0 212.9 214.0 219.0 219.9 221.0 223.0 Tobacco products .............................................................................. 192.1 203.8 204.5 204.5 204.5 207.3 210.8 192.1 204.0 204.4 204.3 204.3 206.8 210.4 Cigarettes............................................................................................ Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100)............ 194.7 113.2 206.4 120.7 207.0 122.0 206.8 122.8 206.8 123.2 209.6 124.3 213.5 124.9 194.8 112.7 206.8 120.3 207.0 121.7 206.8 122.7 206.7 123.1 209.3 123.9 213.2 124.5 Personal care .................................................................................... 203.0 214.4 215.4 216.7 217.8 219.0 220.9 202.3 213.1 214.7 216.6 218.0 218.5 220.0 Toilet goods and personal care appliances.............................................. Products for the hair, hairpieces and wigs (12/77 = 100).................. Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 100) .................................... Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup Implements (12/77 = 100) ................................ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 195.8 113.0 117.3 207.9 121.4 124.0 209.0 121.7 125.2 210.3 121.8 125.3 211.8 124.5 126.0 212.4 124.5 127.2 215.2 125.2 128.4 194.5 112.4 114.7 206.6 120.5 122.0 208.8 122.5 123.6 210.4 123.6 124.0 212.1 123.6 125.3 212.7 123.2 125.9 214.3 125.3 125.4 113.0 112.1 119.1 119.4 119.6 119.9 121.3 120.8 121.3 120.8 120.8 122.2 122.6 124.8 112.1 113.1 117.9 120.4 118.5 121.5 119.7 122.1 121.1 123.6 121.0 125.3 121.4 126.8 Personal care services.......................................................................... Beauty parlor services for women.................................................... Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) . . . . 210.0 212.1 116.8 220.9 222.1 123.9 221.7 222.5 124.8 223.1 224.5 124.8 223.8 225.2 125.3 225.5 227.5 125.6 226.8 228.7 126.4 210.2 212.0 117.1 219.8 221.0 123.0 220.7 222.0 123.4 222.9 225.0 123.9 224.0 225.6 125.0 224.4 226.1 125.2 225.8 227.5 126.0 Personal and educational expenses .................................................. 224.6 229.9 231.4 249.5 251.1 251.3 251.5 224.8 230.3 231.8 249.8 251.2 251.4 251.7 School books and supplies.................................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................................... Tuition and other school fees .......................................................... College tuition (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) .................... Personal expenses (12/77 = 100).................................................. 202.5 229.9 118.1 117.3 120.9 117.3 207.2 235.5 118.7 118.0 120.9 129.5 207.7 237.1 119.4 118.7 122.0 130.7 221.0 256.2 131.6 130.7 134.4 130.5 221.9 257.8 132.2 131.5 134.4 132.4 221.9 258.1 132.2 131.5 134.4 133.0 222.1 258.2 132.2 131.5 134.4 133.4 206.0 229.7 118.2 117.3 120.7 116.3 210.9 235.4 118.8 118.0 120.7 127.4 211.5 237.1 119.5 118.7 121.8 128.5 224,8 256.1 131.8 130.7 134.3 129.7 225.6 257.5 132.4 131.5 134.3 131.0 225.6 257.8 132.4 131.5 134.3 131.6 225.8 258.1 132.4 131.5 134.3 132.2 309.7 302.1 223.5 282.2 371.5 342.3 249.1 300.1 370.7 338.3 251.9 300.8 367.9 338.6 254.8 303.6 365.5 346.4 254.9 304.7 365.5 355.3 253.1 306.4 368.3 364.5 255.8 308.4 311.4 301.6 223.0 283.4 372.5 342.6 248.4 297.5 371.8 338.7 251.2 299.7 368.7 339.0 253.6 302.3 366.6 346.7 253.5 302.4 366.7 355.6 251.6 303.5 369.4 3647 254.4 306.6 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products...................................... Insurance and finance .......................................................................... Utilities and public transportation............................................................ Housekeeping and home maintenance services ...................................... 106 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group Oct. Dec. Aug. Oct. 1980 1980 1980 1980 Aug. Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000 - 385,000) Size class B (385,000 -1.250 million) Dec. Aug. Oct. Dec. Aug. Oct. Dec. Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 129.1 129.5 131.2 112.0 138.0 125.1 118.3 117.2 130.5 131.0 131.8 116.2 139.4 126.3 120.0 121.2 132.8 132.8 135.2 114.8 141.9 128.0 120.7 122.7 134.8 131.0 139.7 113.1 143.5 124.4 121.1 120.0 137.2 133.7 141.9 116.2 145.3 127.2 122.7 124.0 139.8 135.8 144.6 116.8 149.4 129.3 123.2 127.5 138.3 133.4 148.4 113.9 140.3 125.0 118.9 123.3 141.2 134.7 151.0 124.6 142.8 129.1 120.1 127.8 143.8 137.7 153.7 124.8 146.5 130.1 120.4 130.3 134.1 130.4 138.7 115.0 141.4 125.2 124.4 118.3 135.6 131.5 139.9 118.6 143.1 126.9 125.2 122.0 137.8 132.8 142.0 120.3 146.5 130.7 126.7 124.4 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 130.4 131.0 127.4 131.8 132.3 128.8 133.7 134.3 131.6 136.1 138.5 132.8 138.3 140.5 135.4 140.8 143.2 138.3 136.9 138.6 140.4 139.9 142.3 143.4 142.1 144.1 146.7 135.1 137.3 132.5 136.6 139.1 134.0 138.1 140.7 137.3 Food and beverages .................................................................................... North Central EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 136.8 131.5 145.4 109.0 141.0 127.8 122.4 118.6 140.8 133.1 151.9 112.1 143.2 129.1 124.5 122.6 143.3 135.0 155.3 110.8 146.4 130.5 125.1 124.2 134.7 129.8 139.4 112.9 141.3 128.8 118.6 124.4 137.6 130.8 143.7 118.2 143.0 129.6 121.1 128.4 140.0 132.9 146.0 118.8 146.8 131.4 121.3 130.3 132.9 131.8 135.3 112.0 141.6 129.1 122.7 118.8 135.1 133.7 137.9 115.3 142.9 130.6 124.3 122.5 136.6 135.1 139.1 114.8 146.2 132.4 124.0 123.9 131.7 133.9 131.5 113.6 140.4 133.7 116.9 122.9 134.6 135.8 135.3 115.5 142.2 133.3 121.1 128.4 136.2 139.1 135.9 116.2 145.4 134.6 120.8 129.8 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 134.5 135.9 140.3 138.1 140.4 144.9 139.9 142.3 148.4 132.4 133.4 138.4 135.0 136.8 141.8 136.5 138.0 145.6 131.9 131.9 134.5 133.9 134.0 137.1 135.2 135.3 138 9 129.8 128.0 134.8 132.6 131.2 137.7 133.4 130.9 140.6 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 134.8 132.3 138.2 116.7 143.5 125.4 119.5 122.3 136.7 134.6 139.8 119.9 145.0 126.8 120.2 126.4 139.0 136.8 143.1 120.0 146.8 127.9 120.4 128.1 135.4 131.3 140.5 114.1 142.0 127.5 124.0 121.3 138.1 133.0 143.5 116.4 144.5 130.9 125.3 126.8 140.9 135.4 146.7 117.3 147.9 132.1 127.9 128.8 133.7 132.8 137.1 109.4 141.1 128.8 122.0 121.6 136.1 134.8 139.7 111.8 143.0 132.7 125.0 124.7 138.6 137.2 142.5 114.1 145.7 133.7 127.5 126.7 131.9 132.4 132.4 105.6 140.4 133.9 130.5 125.1 134.1 134.5 133.7 110.5 142.2 140.2 132.4 128.2 136.5 136.9 137.5 108.9 144.8 140.7 130.7 129.9 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 133.1 133.5 137.1 135.4 135.8 138.4 137.2 137.3 141.5 132.7 133.3 139.5 135.2 136.1 142.6 137.5 138.3 146.1 131.9 131.5 136.4 134.1 133.8 139.2 136.3 135.9 142.3 131.3 130.9 132.7 133.4 133.0 135.0 135.6 135.0 138.0 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 135.5 130.5 139.2 116.4 142.8 130.6 120.8 122.8 137.7 132.7 141.6 117.9 144.9 133.0 122.3 126.2 140.7 134.3 146.0 117.9 146.7 134.3 123.8 127.7 136.8 133.1 140.9 119.5 142.4 129.0 125.9 125.7 139.5 135.0 144.7 121.5 144.3 130.7 125.7 128.1 141.4 136.5 146.7 123.8 146.6 133.1 125.0 129.0 134.2 129.5 137.2 108.5 143.6 132.2 125.2 120.2 136.3 131.7 139.4 111.2 145.9 133.3 126.9 122.3 138.4 132.7 142.1 112.0 148.5 134.5 126.3 125.2 135.4 132.9 135.6 126.3 143.5 134.1 131.5 124.5 136.9 135.6 136.2 129.1 145.9 134.9 131.2 128.1 139.8 137.3 140.6 129.0 148.0 136.6 133.5 130.4 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities................................................ .................................................. Commodities less food and beverage ............................................................ Services ............................................................................................................ 132.3 133.1 139.7 134.2 134.8 142.5 135.3 135.7 147.8 134.6 135.2 140.0 136.3 136.8 144.0 137.5 138.0 146.7 132.2 133.3 137.1 134.1 135.1 139.5 135.2 136.2 142.9 134.1 134.6 137.3 135.7 135.7 138.7 137.2 137.1 143.8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 107 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 25. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers Area’ U.S. city average 2 .............................................................. Anchorage, Alaska (10/67=100) ........................................ Atlanta, Ga........................................................................... Baltimore, Me....................................................................... Boston. Mass....................................................................... Buffalo, N.Y.......................................................................... Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind................................................ Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind......................................................... Cleveland, Ohio.................................................................. Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex............................................................ Denver-Boulder, Colo............................................................ Detroit, Mich........................................................................ Honolulu, Hawaii ................................................................ Houstor. Tex....................................................................... Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas .................................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif............................... Miami, Fla. (11/77=100) .................................................... Milwaukee, Wis.................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis............................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J.......................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).................................................... 1979 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 229.9 247.8 249.4 251.7 253.9 256.2 258.4 230.0 248.0 249.6 251.9 254.1 256.4 258.7 258.3 227.0 228.4 223.3 221.2 228.4 230.9 246.5 252.4 240.9 246.8 256.7 245.2 San Franclsco-Oakland, Calif................................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va...................................................... 230.2 250.1 259.9 253.9 258.5 253.7 248.7 238.9 239.8 244.1 259.5 246.0 250.7 259.9 262.1 249.6 241.8 243.1 247.2 266.4 255.5 247.9 256.3 244.7 247.0 249.2 'The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated Area Is used for New York and Chicago. 269.7 236.1 274.8 259.1 258.7 232.2 215.5 246.0 232.4 229.9 259.0 247.3 234.8 222.4 250.5 262.0 224.6 229.7 235.5 247.0 259.1 245.4 251.5 238.4 243.2 245.3 2 Average of 85 cities. 257.7 252.0 247.3 251.2 241.5 246.9 248.3 251.6 248.7 258.9 236.5 263.6 258.4 265.5 237.0 272.1 257.2 262.2 135.6 267.5 256.6 242.6 249.5 257.6 244.2 249.5 251.1 260.6 247.2 252.3 262.9 260.7 254.2 275.1 252.6 254.6 251.8 258.9 266.7 268.2 276.7 261.4 233.5 269.4 253.0 254.9 255.4 252.7 267.7 251.4 229.0 252.8 245.2 264.2 262.9 134.9 263.2 250.6 240.7 252.2 245.9 265.7 254.9 249.5 261.7 270.9 253.8 229.5 265.6 249.3 250.1 134.7 255.9 262.6 253.6 238.2 254.4 257.4 252.1 260.3 257.4 249.2 253.2 244.5 265.8 261.9 253.8 279.1 251.9 258.1 249.2 227.8 233.2 233.3 133.9 262.1 255.5 243.1 256.9 252.4 271.8 251.0 260.3 266.5 269.5 271.9 264.3 234.6 272.3 254.8 252.6 133.1 258.4 250.1 240.8 252.7 245.0 269.9 255.1 247.2 253.7 220.7 232.0 252.4 249.7 250.8 240.9 246.5 264.6 264.9 266.6 255.1 230.1 268.6 250.8 247.3 133.6 251.6 234.0 222.9 239.6 226.7 224.8 258.4 248.8 255.0 244.4 261.6 233.2 214.8 248.7 233.7 228.0 236.5 250.2 236.8 232.5 234.1 223.7 229.2 108 1979 Dec. Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J............................................................. Pittsburgh, Pa....................................................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash........................................................... St. Louis, Mo.-lll.................................................................... San Diego, Calif................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1980 255.7 259.4 255.7 26. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb Mar. 246.8 234.4 237.7 248.8 239.4 237.1 237.7 283.9 205.9. 192.1 239.5 235.8 231.8 225.9 230.4 260.4 200.1 203.4 229.1 239.7 232.1 221.2 231.2 268.6 202.6 205.7 230.5 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components.................. 280.1 266.2 Materials and components for manufacturing.................. Materials for food manufacturing................................ Materials for nondurable manufacturing ...................... Materials for durable manufacturing............................ Components for manufacturing .................................. 265.5 263.7 259.5 301.0 231.4 255.3 232.3 245.4 304.8 219.7 Commodity grouping 1981 1980 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 251.4 251.4 254.7 255.6 256.9 259.8 254.1 246.5 247.0 244.4 290.0 208.1 215.9 241.9 254.1 247.4 259.8 244.3 290.9 206.2 216.6 241.8 256.5 247.4 237.5 246.3 291.5 213.0 217.7 248.1 257.4 248.5 250.4 246.3 293.8 212.3 219.1 248.9 258.6 248.8 254.6 246.3 296.0 213.0 219.9 25Q.8 261.4 250.6 257.3 247.9 301.1 213.8 223.2 253.9 281.6 284.3 285.3 286.9 288.6 291.7 295.5 264.3 259.7 261.0 297.0 230.3 265.6 264.4 261.7 297.3 232.4 268.9 277.9 263.4 299.2 235.6 269.5 275.8 263.2 300.5 237.0 272.1 292.7 264.4 304.3 236.4 273.5 296.2 266.9 304.1 237.4 275.5 277.0 268.4 304.2 246.4 278.7 277.9 273.4 306.9 249.0 Apr. May June July Aug. 240.0 242.1 243.4 244.9 249.3 242.2 233.6 230.6 232.0 275.6 200.8 207.4 232.2 243.7 230.1 224.1 228.8 281.5 202.3 209.9 236.2 245.2 231.9 229.1 230.3 284.2 201.9 211.1 236.7 246.8 233.0 224.5 231.8 285.9 204.1 212.7 237.8 251.7 241.6 240.9 239.7 288.4 207.5 214.7 240.6 271.9 274.3 275.7 277.0 278.8 259.6 248.1 248.6 308.4 222.4 259.6 243.8 252.4 302.3 224.7 260.6 241.5 258.1 296.1 227.6 262.5 255.3 260.4 294.1 229.0 FINISHED GOODS Finished goods.................................................................... Finished consumer goods.............................................. Finished consumer foods .......................................... Crude .................................................................. Processed ............................................................ Nondurable goods less foods .................................... Durable goods.......................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy . . . . Capital equipment ........................................................ INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS Materials and components for construction .................... 268.2 258.0 262.5 265.9 265.5 265.2 266.9 269.6 271.4 271.7 272.0 273.7 276.4 279.2 Processed fuels and lubricants...................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... 502.7 425.3 570.7 450.0 385.4 508.0 471.1 399.2 534.5 489.8 411.2 557.9 496.6 415.2 566.7 498.2 420.9 565.9 502.0 425.4 569.6 514.2 431.0 586.1 517.4 436.0 588.4 519.5 440.8 588.9 515.9 440.2 583.3 519.8 442.4 588.5 538.7 456.8 610.9 551.4 468.8 624.2 Containers .................................................................. 254.5 244.8 245.7 247.4 253.2 254.4 256.2 257.0 257.4 257.9 259.6 259.6 261.1 264.7 254.9 239.5 262.8 251.8 262.1 257.3 242.2 265.1 252.2 264.9 321.3 244.5 231.8 251.1 229.2 253.5 230.9 220.6 236.3 221.9 236.9 237.3 222.8 244.8 222.2 247.5 239.4 225.5 246.6 218.8 250.7 239.7 229.0 245.4 205.2 253.0 240.0 230.5 245.0 207.5 251.9 241.2 232.8 245.7 205.1 253.4 245.3 234.2 251.1 225.2 254.7 247.7 235.4 254.1 234.7 255.8 250.3 236.1 257.6 246.8 256.9 252.1 237.3 259.8 250.8 258.6 254.9 238.4 263.5 259.6 260.8 Crude materials for further processing.................................. 304.2 287.8 298.5 293.6 286.2 289.3 288.4 304.3 317.0 319.3 322.6 323.2 320.8 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.............................................. 259.1 243.6 253.1 246.5 235.8 243.0 243.0 263.4 276.8 276.6 279.0 277.3 271.6 270.6 425.2 428.7 Supplies...................................................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... Feeds .................................................................. Other supplies ...................................................... CRUDE MATERIALS Nonfood materials........................................................ 399.9 381.6 394.7 393.8 393.4 387.5 384.6 390.8 401.9 409.8 414.7 420.3 Nonfood materials except fuel.................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Construction.......................................................... 344.5 355.8 237.2 334.9 346.3 226.0 346.0 358.3 228.7 344.9 356.9 229.9 342.0 353.5 232.4 333.3 343.8 232.8 328.9 338.9 234.1 333.9 343.9 239.1 344.8 355.4 243.7 351.4 362.6 244.8 355.1 366.6 245.3 358.4 370.0 247.5 363.1 375.1 247.8 365.8 377.5 254.3 Crude fu e l................................................................ Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries .................................. 614.9 690.2 566.9 559.0 616.7 524.3 579.8 645.0 539.5 579.8 644.3 540.0 591.4 659.0 549.3 600.0 670.3 555.9 604.0 675.7 558.8 615.1 690.5 567.1 626.3 705.4 575.5 639.1 722.0 585.4 649.5 736.1 592.8 665.1 755.9 605.4 670.3 763.0 609.1 677.6 772.2 614.9 Finished goods excluding foods............................................ Finished consumer goods excluding foods...................... Finished consumer goods less energy............................ 247.7 248.5 216.9 233.7 232.5 211.8 238.0 238.1 213.4 240.6 241.0 213.9 244.5 244.9 214.0 245.6 246.2 214.9 247.3 248.1 216.5 250.2 251.0 221.2 251.4 252.2 223.5 251.1 251.8 223.5 255.5 255.2 226.0 256.3 256.1 226.6 258.0 257.6 227.2 261.2 260.9 229.3 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds.......................... Intermediate materials less energy ................................ 281.3 265.8 268.1 255.0 273.4 259.3 276.3 260.3 278.3 261.1 278.8 262.3 280.6 263.9 282.9 265.9 285.0 268.7 285.8 269.5 286.6 271.7 288.1 273.3 292.5 275.1 296.6 278.1 Intermediate foods and feeds .............................................. 252.2 228.3 239.3 235.3 229.5 239.7 242.0 251.4 263.7 265.9 278.8 283.9 268.3 269.0 Crude materials less agricultural products ............................ Crude materials less energy.......................................... 480.3 256.7 398.5 246.9 411.4 257.7 411.1 251.5 409.8 241.3 402.7 243.7 401.2 241.6 406.9 258.9 418.5 271.4 425.1 272.8 433.2 275.2 438.3 274.7 442.1 270.4 447.5 268.8 SPECIAL GROUPINGS 1Data for August 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Not available. r=revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: Figures in this table may differ from hose previously reported because stage-of-processing indexes from January 1976 through December 1980 have been revised to reflect 1972 input-output relationships. 109 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.’ Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. All commodities ........................................................................ All commodities (1957 - 59 = 100) ............................................ 268.6 285.0 254.9 270.2 260.2 275.6 261.9 277.4 262.8 278.8 264.2 280.3 265.6 281.8 270.4 286.9 273.8 290.5 '274.6 '291.4 277.0 293.9 278.4 295.4 280.3 297.4 283.5 300.8 Farm products and processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities 244.6 274.5 231.9 260.6 237.0 265.9 234.9 268.6 229.3 271.3 233.8 271.9 234.3 273.5 246.6 276.2 255.1 278.2 '256.5 '278.8 258.8 281.2 260.1 282.7 256.5 286.1 257.3 289.9 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS Farm products ............................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ........................................ Grains...................................................................................... Livestock ................................................................................ Live poultry.............................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.............................................................. Fluid milk ................................................................................ Eggs. . .................................................................................... Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds .................................................... Other farm products ................................................................ 249.3 238.5 239.0 252.7 202.1 271.1 271.2 171.0 247.1 298.1 236.4 219.0 214.6 247.8 195.2 239.0 262.3 165.6 218.1 301.1 242.3 220.6 223.3 257.2 184.6 269.5 263.8 150.4 224.7 304.7 239.3 218.5 217.9 251.8 180.1 254.9 263.1 184.2 215.9 311.5 228.9 223.2 210.8 230.5 171.9 266.9 265.4 • 153.3 205.1 304.8 233.5 244.0 219.0 233.3 171.3 272.7 265.4 140.5 206.9 311.0 233.4 233.5 215.3 240.0 166.6 247.0 265.5 146.8 207.4 309.4 254.3 252.0 244.8 260.5 227.2 267.0 265.8 159.3 251.4 292.4 263.8 254.0 256.5 275.7 224.5 280.8 271.6 176.9 261.5 282.7 '267.0 '266.2 260.6 266.8 241.0 295.2 275.5 188.4 280.7 '292.0 263.4 240.4 269.2 263.0 222.9 278.5 280.9 175.2 284.4 282.9 264.9 246.4 270.9 254.8 221.0 287.2 284.7 194.0 298.3 296.6 265.3 244.7 265.2 251.4 218.9 294.1 290.5 217.5 310.2 296.0 264.4 257.7 277.7 244.3 213.1 284.1 288.4 185.7 311.8 296.1 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds.......................................................... Cereal and bakery products...................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Dairy products.......................................................................... Processed fruits and vegetables................................................ Sugar and confectionery .......................................................... Beverages and beverage materials............................................ Fats and o ils ............................................................................ Miscellaneous processed foods ................................................ Manufactured animal feeds ...................................................... 241.0 235.9 243.0 230.7 228.9 321.2 232.4 226.8 227.2 226.9 228.5 225.4 239.6 221.0 222.9 235.0 224.0 225.1 225.4 219.7 233.1 229.9 239.6 220.8 223.3 287.5 224.8 226.4 223.5 219.8 231.6 231.8 239.2 223.0 223.7 264.1 225.9 222.6 224.7 216.6 228.6 232.4 226.0 227.5 224.6 275.0 227.9 214.5 225.1 205.0 233.1 234.7 224.5 228.5 225.4 327.8 231.2 212.0 223.7 207.2 233.9 233.2 226.6 229.5 227.2 325.4 234.3 212.8 223.4 205.0 241.5 234.7 248.5 230.1 229.8 313.5 234.6 226.9 223.5 223.9 249.4 235.8 259.9 232.6 230.7 347.1 237.1 240.2 224.0 232.4 249.8 '238.3 '257.8 '233.7 '231.3 341.4 '236.1 '238.3 '226.8 '243.4 255.4 241.3 255.8 238.4 234.5 399.9 236.7 231.1 230.6 247.2 256.5 245.4 250.8 240.6 235.2 403.4 238.1 237.9 235.0 254.9 250.8 248.5 248.0 242.7 237.1 334.6 238.1 234.3 240.5 247.3 252.4 250.8 248.8 245.2 237.4 338.6 240.4 230.4 244.2 247.9 Code Commodity group and subgroup 1980 1979 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ........................................................ Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).................................................. Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) ............................ Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)...................................................... Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ................................................ Apparei.................................................................................... Textile housefumishlngs............................................................ 183.4 134.8 122.2 137.7 115.7 172.2 208.3 175.2 127.0 114.6 132.7 110.5 165.5 199.0 176.5 127.2 118.0 132.3 111.1 166.8 199.7 179.3 129.1 119.3 136.8 113.2 168.0 201.3 181.2 130.4 122.1 137.0 114.5 170.0 201.6 182.0 133.2 124.2 136.5 115.3 170.2 202.6 183.0 134.5 122.8 134.8 115.8 172.7 202.7 184.7 136.0 122.4 135.7 116.6 174.4 210.7 185.6 137.5 123.2 137.5 116.8 175.1 211.0 '186.6 '139.5 '124.3 '141.0 '117.0 '175.0 '212.9 187.8 140.9 124.2 142.5 118.2 175.5 218.0 189.3 141.4 124.9 144.3 119.0 176.0 218.0 190.2 141.5 127.6 143.3 120.0 177.0 218.5 192.4 147.3 129.2 142.8 121.5 178.6 223.9 04 04-1 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .................................... Hides and skins........................................................................ Leather.................................................................................... Footwear ................................................................................ Other leather and related products............................................ 248.6 370.9 311.6 233.2 218.1 255.7 468.8 347.6 229.1 213.1 250.9 404.8 340.3 228.0 214.8 246.8 348.7 311.0 231.8 217.8 243.5 328.6 297.6 231.9 216.2 240.7 289.7 290.4 231.9 217.4 240.9 315.7 284.4 231.9 215.9 245.1 356.6 292.2 232.7 217.5 251.3 3984 314.2 233.7 218.7 247.8 '356.1 '298.1 '235.5 '218.8 247.3 381.5 272.5 236.8 221.9 255.5 409.1 317.3 237.7 222.6 256.6 392.8 332.4 237.1 223.5 258.5 377.8 332.6 238.6 230.7 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power .......................................... Coal........................................................................................ Coke ...................................................................................... Gas fuels' .............................................................................. Electric power.......................................................................... Crude petroleum 2 .................................................................... Petroleum products, refined3 .................................................... 573.4 467.5 430.6 160.4 321.6 551.7 674.4 5080 459.3 430.6 677.5 290.5 513.6 583.3 532.7 459.6 430.6 716.6 299.3 515.1 620.4 553.5 461.7 430.6 716.6 305.5 522.8 659.0 566.6 465.2 430.6 730.1 310.1 533.9 678.0 572.1 466.5 430.6 745.1 316.5 540.1 680.9 576.5 466.6 430.6 749.2 326.0 549.0 681.7 585.5 467.5 430.6 762.1 331.1 551.4 693.9 590.6 468.7 430.6 772.6 333.6 566.8 697.6 '593.5 '471.3 430.6 '786.2 '338.3 '571.3 ' 696.4 592.5 471.0 430.6 801.1 337.6 579.6 689.6 597.6 475.7 430.6 826.5 332.0 580.7 696.8 611.7 475.7 430.6 841.8 337.9 596.0 716.3 625.9 477.5 430.6 857.9 341.7 615.2 736.0 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products...................................................... Industrial chemicals4 ................................................................ Prepared paint.......................................................................... Paint materials ........................................................................ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ...................................................... Fats and oils, inedible .............................................................. Agricultural chemicals and chemical products ............................ Plastic resins and materials ...................................................... Other chemicals and allied products.......................................... 260.2 323.8 235.4 273.8 174.4 297.9 256.9 279.4 224.6 246.0 302.9 223.3 259.9 166.5 325.6 241.9 270.4 209.4 248.7 307.9 223.3 263.4 167.6 302.2 248.0 272.1 211.3 252.8 313.3 228.7 267.5 168.9 299.9 256.1 274.5 215.0 259.8 322.1 231.5 272.1 172.6 298.2 258.5 287.6 223.1 262.5 328.5 238.8 273.9 172.8 294.7 258.5 288.4 224.8 262.8 329.5 238.8 275.0 174.4 255.8 257.6 287.6 226.9 263.3 328.7 238.8 277.2 175.7 260.0 258.7 285.7 228.5 264.4 330.0 238.8 278.4 176.1 307.6 260.0 281.5 229.0 '263.4 '327.5 '239.3 278.9 '176.8 304.5 '260.6 '276.5 '229.1 264.6 329.0 239.6 279.5 178.3 302.0 260.0 276.7 231.3 266.9 333.4 241.7 279.5 181.1 308.2 260.4 277.1 232.6 267.9 334.6 241.7 280.9 181.8 316.0 262.8 274.4 234.2 273.6 342.8 243.3 283.1 184.7 310.6 265.8 275.2 244.1 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products ........................................................ Rubber and rubber products...................................................... Crude rubber .......................................................................... Tires and tubes........................................................................ Miscellaneous rubber products.................................................. Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .................................................. 217.3 237.7 263.9 236.6 227.6 120.9 207.8 226.1 252.7 225.1 215.9 116.3 210.7 231.5 263.9 231.6 217.8 116.7 212.7 231.5 255.8 231.6 220.6 119.0 214.1 233.4 264.7 231.8 222.1 119.7 215.0 234.7 263.9 233.2 224.0 119.9 217.3 236.8 264.1 235.6 226.4 121.4 218.8 239.0 263.4 238.0 229.3 122.0 220.5 240.2 264.3 238.0 232.0 123.2 '222.0 '242.6 '267.3 '242.1 '232.1 '123.7 222.7 245.4 270.7 244.7 234.8 123.0 223.0 245.8 270.0 244.7 236.1 123.1 223.5 245.9 267.5 244.7 237.1 123.6 224.9 246.9 278.0 240.5 241.1 124.7 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products.......................................................... Lumber.................................................................................... MiHwo'k .................................................................................. Plywood .................................................................................. Other wood products................................................................ 288.8 325.6 260.5 246.6 239.1 290.0 336.3 254.1 238.2 242.2 294.7 341.4 258.0 243.4 243.4 294.9 340.6 262.2 240.0 243.1 275.6 310.1 257.5 219.8 241.7 272.1 301.4 251.8 230.6 240.7 279.8 313.0 253.0 241.7 238.7 289.2 327.2 255.9 252.8 236.9 296.1 333.7 260.3 266.0 236.2 '292.2 '328.0 264.5 '252.6 236.8 288.7 319.2 265.4 253.1 236.7 293.4 325.0 270.0 256.6 236.6 299.4 333.0 273.3 263.5 236.2 296.6 331.6 273.6 251.1 238.5 See footnotes at end of table. 110 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 27. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1981 1980 Commodity group and subgroup 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES - Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products.................................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . . . Woodpulp................................................................................ Wastepaper ............................................................................ Paper ...................................................................................... Paperboard.............................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products................................ Building paper and board.......................................................... 249.3 250.7 381.1 208.5 256.9 235.0 238.6 206.0 237.4 239.2 356.6 222.9 245.5 221.8 227.7 186.2 239.2 240.8 356.4 223.4 247.2 223.7 229.5 191.7 242.6 244.1 356.8 224.9 250.3 227.4 233.0 198.7 247.8 249.4 385.6 242.5 253.5 232.1 236.7 201.3 249.2 250.6 385.6 226.1 256.1 235.5 237.6 206.8 251.1 252.4 3877 206.6 257.9 238.9 239.8 208.9 251.7 252.9 388.3 194.0 258.2 237.1 241.2 211.8 2E2.4 253.8 388.3 193.8 258.6 258.4 242.3 210.3 '252.8 254.1 r 388.2 192.5 r 258.7 r 239.5 r 242.7 '210.2 254.4 255.8 392.1 192.8 262.5 241.0 243.4 212.1 255.5 256.7 392.6 191.7 264.4 243.2 243.8 215.6 257.4 258.6 392.6 190.8 269.8 241.1 245.2 219.1 262.0 261.0 392.6 191.5 271.0 251.0 247.0 219.1 10 10-1 10-13 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products .......................................................... iron and steel .......................................................................... Steel mill products.................................................................... Nonferrous metals.................................................................... Metal containers ...................................................................... Hardware ................................................................................ Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings............................................ Heating equipment.................................................................... Fabricated structural metal products.......................................... Miscellaneous metal products.................................................... 286.2 305.1 302.7 304.2 298 6 240.1 246.6 206.2 270.4 250.2 284.6 297.4 293.6 326.3 283.3 228.2 232.8 199.5 258.9 240.6 288.9 300.3 294.2 337.7 284.4 230.4 236.7 202.6 259.7 241.6 286.8 301.8 295.5 321.4 288.5 231.5 242.4 202.6 265.1 244.2 284.4 307.2 304.1 298.3 304.1 237.3 243.8 204.2 269 1 246.1 281.8 304.8 305.5 289.7 302.7 238.4 247.5 204.0 269.9 246.7 281.9 303.4 305.8 288.8 302.7 240.5 248.6 205.0 270.1 250.4 282.5 300.6 301.0 292.6 303.0 242.6 249.7 296.2 272.2 251.1 285.1 302.6 301.0 298.4 303.2 2r.3.3 25.0.4 208.0 273.0 253.2 '287.3 '304.5 301.0 '302.2 303.2 '245.9 '250.6 208.8 '274.1 '255.0 290.4 310.4 307.5 303.9 304.4 245.8 250.6 210.0 276.2 257.1 290.7 312.5 309.5 301.0 303.3 247.9 251.8 211.2 277.6 257.7 290.7 316.0 313.4 294.4 303.3 249.6 254.4 212.6 279.2 258.4 293.6 322.8 322.7 290.6 311.4 252.5 255.5 215.4 283.0 261.3 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 Machinery and equipment ............................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment........................................ Construction machinery and equipment...................................... Metalworking machinery and equipment .................................... General purpose machinery and equipment................................ Special industry machinery and equipment ................................ Electrical machinery and equipment .......................................... Miscellaneous machinery.......................................................... 239.6 258.1 289.2 274.3 264.3 275.9 201.7 229.8 227.6 248.4 276.0 258.9 251.0 260.6 190.6 220.3 230.2 249.9 278.3 261.8 253.3 263.2 194.3 221.1 232.5 252.0 279.5 264.1 256.7 265.5 196.5 223.2 236.4 254.4 284.2 270.2 261.1 271.9 198.9 227.2 237.6 256.4 285.9 272.9 262.8 273.0 199.9 227.3 239.2 257.1 287.6 275.4 264.8 274.3 201.6 228.2 241.5 258.6 291.5 278.0 266.1 276.7 203.7 231.1 242.6 269.9 293.4 278.8 267.0 277.1 205.0 232.1 '244.7 '263.9 '295.7 280.2 '270.0 '283.0 206.0 '233.6 246.4 262.8 298.4 282.2 271.9 286.2 207.0 236.1 247.7 266.1 299.7 283.7 273.2 287.9 207.4 238.1 249.5 269.5 301.1 285.6 275.2 291.2 208.9 239.2 252.7 273.5 304.9 289.3 278.2 295.3 211.9 241.8 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ................................................ Household furniture .................................................................. Commercial furniture................................................................ Floor coverings ........................................................................ Household appliances .............................................................. Home electronic equipment ...................................................... Other household durable goods ................................................ 187.3 204.2 235.9 163.0 173.8 91.0 277.7 183.4 197.4 226.9 159.0 166.5 91.0 287.4 185.6 198.5 231.4 158.5 168.9 91.2 295.3 185.7 198.9 232.8 160.8 169.9 91.3 288.3 184.4 200.3 233.6 162.2 171.1 91.4 267.3 185.4 203.0 233.9 161.9 173.2 92.0 265.6 186.5 204.0 235.5 162.1 175.5 91.8 266.5 188.0 206.5 237.2 163.2 175.8 91.7 271.5 168.9 208.0 237.3 163.8 176.3 01.3 275.9 '189.5 '208.5 '237.8 163.9 '177.2 '91.6 '276.2 189.1 207.7 241.2 164.5 176.6 88.9 277.8 190.4 209.1 241.5 165.7 177.2 91.1 278.4 192.3 210.4 242.4 170.2 178.2 91.0 285.1 193.2 211.3 246.1 172.3 181.0 91.0 278.3 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products........................................................ Flat glass ................................................................................ Concrete ingredients ................................................................ Concrete products.................................................................... Structural clay products excluding refractories............................ Refractories ............................................................................ Asphalt roofing ........................................................................ Gypsum products .................................................................... Glass containers ...................................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals........................................................ 282.8 196.5 273.4 273.9 231.5 264.9 396.7 256.3 292.7 394.0 268.4 191.0 265.0 265.4 229.6 248.5 356.6 255.4 274.3 351.8 274.0 191.0 266.6 266.7 231.0 251.1 372.5 262.2 274.3 381.7 276.5 191.4 267.5 269.1 231.4 253.9 388.8 267.6 274.3 387.0 283.7 195.3 271.7 272.9 235.0 261.7 408.9 264.0 294.3 399.6 284.0 195.3 272.4 275.2 230.0 264.4 401.1 256.5 294.3 400.7 283.4 193.6 273.2 275.8 230.1 265.8 400.9 257.1 294.3 394.8 284.8 194.3 275.9 275.9 230.1 268.7 413.8 253.1 294.3 396.9 266.0 109.5 2/8.6 276.0 229.7 270.6 411.2 251.8 294.3 397.1 '286.8 199.7 '278.9 '277.3 '230.1 '270.6 '407.9 251.8 294.6 400.7 287.8 200.7 277.8 276.9 233.4 274.1 408,4 249.5 305.0 400.6 288.4 203.1 278.5 277.6 233.6 274.1 396.9 253.3 306.5 402.0 290.7 203.0 278.7 277.8 234.1 274.1 394.5 252.7 311.5 415.7 296.3 203.9 287.5 285.6 240.0 283.5 404.1 259.6 311.5 417.9 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 - 100)...................................... Motor vehicles and equipment .................................................. Railroad equipment .................................................................. 206.6 208.7 313.0 198.7 200.7 297.5 198.2 200.1 299.3 198.8 200.7 302.1 203.2 205.4 309.9 202.5 204.5 310.5 203.1 205.2 312.2 206.2 208.6 316.4 298.8 211.7 318.0 '204.4 '205.6 '320.0 215.8 217.8 323.3 216.0 218.0 323.6 224.1 225.9 323.6 226.4 228.5 327.8 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-51 15-9 Miscellaneous products................................................................ Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition............................ Tobacco products .................................................................... Notions.................................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies ........................................ Mobile homes (12/74 - 100).................................................... Other miscellaneous products .................................................. 258.7 198.4 245.5 217.2 203.0 149,9 363.3 242.9 190.9 236.6 203.1 165.9 144.7 351.6 262.9 193.5 237.2 203.2 218.6 146.8 378.3 256.1 194.5 237.3 207.2 219.1 147.1 351.3 252.8 195.4 238.1 216.8 212.3 149.4 340.9 251.7 196.0 247.7 217.0 199.6 150.4 340.2 258.0 197.5 248.1 217.0 201.7 150.6 360.2 261.7 200.2 248.2 221.7 201.6 151.2 370.9 250.1 201.3 248.2 223.8 200.9 151.4 364.6 '265.1 '202.3 '248.2 223.9 '200.9 '151.7 '381.9 265.0 202.0 248.9 224.0 201.2 152.0 381.0 263.8 202.8 253.9 224.1 207.1 152.0 368.2 265.4 205.6 254.2 225.0 207.0 152.4 371.5 263.0 207.8 254.3 227.0 207.3 152.3 359.5 1Data for September 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. 3 Includes only domestic production. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. 5 Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. \ 111 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 28. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept’ Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. All commodities — less farm products........................ All foods ......................................................................... Processed fo o d s ............................................................ Industrial commodities less fu e ls ..................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 1 0 0 ) ........... Hosiery............................................................................. Underwear and nightwear................................................ Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and manmade fibers and yarns ................................... Pharmaceutical preparations............................................ Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork and other wood products..................................................... Special metals and metal products ................................. Fabricated metal products .............................................. Copper and copper products .......................................... Machinery and motive products........................................ 269.4 244.5 246.6 243.4 124.4 123.3 185.5 255.7 231.2 233.3 234.7 118.9 119.2 175.3 260.9 235.8 238.6 238.0 119.3 119.4 177.4 262.9 234.8 236.9 238.9 121.3 120.3 182.1 264.8 231.9 234.1 240.5 122.2 121.1 182.4 265.9 237.3 239.0 240.6 122.9 121.5 182.8 267.5 237.7 239.9 242.0 123.7 122.2 187.1 270.9 245.9 247.3 243.9 125.5 123.5 188.3 273.8 254.1 255.7 245.6 126.0 125.9 189.3 '274.3 '254.3 '254.9 '246.0 '126.6 '126.4 '189.5 277.3 258.3 261.2 248.8 127.9 126.4 189.9 278.7 259.3 261.4 249.8 128.5 126.7 190.5 280.7 253.9 255.1 252.2 129.6 126.7 190.9 284.2 255.1 256.4 255.0 131.8 129.2 199.5 250.7 167.1 236.3 159.2 239.2 160.3 243.2 161.7 250.0 165.6 252.8 165.9 253.8 167.6 254.2 168.1 254.7 168.4 '254.0 168.8 255.3 170.8 257.3 173.7 258.2 174.6 264.2 177.1 303.8 258.3 258.2 222.1 230.1 308.6 253.7 247.2 227.7 219.7 313.9 256.0 248.4 260.7 220.9 312.2 255.1 252.0 240.9 222.5 284.7 255.8 255.9 222.0 226.7 282.0 254.0 256.8 212.2 227.1 293.5 254.4 258.6 208.5 228.3 306.9 256.2 259.9 214.5 231.0 315.5 259.0 261.2 220.4 232.9 '307.4 '257.8 '262.6 214.1 '232.1 301.4 264.6 264.2 216.9 238.1 306.5 265.0 265.2 216.9 239.0 314.2 268.4 266.3 210.9 243.8 309.2 271.3 270.0 207.8 246.7 Machinery and equipment, except electrical.................... Agricultural machinery, including tra c to rs ........................ Metalworking machinery................................................... Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) Total tractors.................................................................... Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts ........... Farm and garden tractors less parts ............................... Agricultural machinery excluding tractors less parts . . . . Industrial valves................................................................ Industrial fittings................................................................ Abrasive grinding wheels ................................................ Construction materials ..................................................... 261.8 266.2 299.5 225.6 286.5 260.2 268.0 265.0 287.1 291.8 249.1 256.1 281.9 213.1 273.0 250.0 256.0 256.4 271.0 276.8 239.0 259.3 251.1 257.2 284.4 215.4 275.1 251.5 257.5 257.3 273.5 280.4 244.0 262.6 253.5 260.0 287.5 216.7 276.6 254.1 261.5 258.9 280.0 282.8 244.0 265 1 258.2 261.9 293.6 223.8 280.8 256.2 263.7 260.7 287.8 289.9 261.4 262.3 259.6 263.9 296.8 226.9 282.9 258.0 264.7 263.6 288.4 291.5 261.3 261.8 261.2 264.7 299.7 228.5 284.0 258.7 264.8 265.0 290.1 295.9 261.3 264.2 263.7 266.3 303.3 228.7 288.3 260.8 267.2 265.9 291.1 296.1 261.5 267.0 264.6 268.1 304.5 229.3 291.1 262.2 270.3 266.6 291.3 296.1 261.5 269.6 '270.2 ' 272.9 306.5 230.0 '295.8 '266.5 '277.3 '269.7 '292.4 '296.1 261.3 '269.3 269.4 271.1 309.4 231.7 296.4 264.9 276.3 267.0 291.8 298.4 268.4 269.4 271.3 275.4 311.4 232.4 296.8 268.8 276.9 274.5 293.7 298.6 273.0 271.8 273.3 279.1 314.4 230.9 299.4 272.2 280.8 277.9 296.3 298.6 273.8 273.9 276.6 283.3 318.9 235.0 304.8 276.3 283.6 283.3 297.9 298.6 NA 276.7 Commodity grouping 266.3 1980 1981 1Data for September 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 29. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967 = 100] Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept ’ Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. Total durable g o o d s....................................................... Total nondurable goods ................................................ 251.2 282.3 243.8 263.2 247.1 270.2 247.0 273.4 247.7 274.4 247.1 277.6 248.7 278.8 251.2 285.6 253.1 290.3 '253.7 '291.2 257.2 292.7 257.8 294.8 260.8 295.8 261.9 300.7 Total manufactures ....................................................... Durable.................................................................... Nondurable .............................................................. 261.4 250.5 272.9 248.4 242.9 253.9 253.2 245.7 260.8 255.2 245.6 265.2 257.0 246.7 267.9 258.3 246.7 270.7 259.8 248.5 271.7 263.0 251.0 275.9 265.7 252.7 279.5 ' 265.8 '253.1 '279.5 268.8 256.5 281.8 270.1 257.1 283.9 271.9 260.2 284.2 276.4 261.5 292.5 Totaf raw or slightly processed goods .......................... Durable.................................................................... Nondurable .............................................................. 305.4 278.0 306.4 287.6 282.8 286.9 295.9 305.3 294.2 295.4 303.4 293.8 290.4 286.0 289.8 292.7 262.2 294.0 293.8 249.9 296.1 307.7 255.2 310.6 315.7 265.8 318.4 '319.9 '274.9 '322.2 319.5 282.7 321.1 321.8 285.9 323.3 324.3 284.1 326.2 318.6 275.7 320.7 Commodity grouping 1980 1981 1Data for September 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 30. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept’ Oct Nov. Dec. Jan. 152.9 331.2 466.8 640.2 252.0 136.0 142.0 308.3 459.2 582.7 238.8 136.6 147.3 335.4 459.6 598.0 243.2 136.6 152.6 330.0 461.7 600.6 243.9 136.6 152.6 337.5 464.6 612.5 248.6 136.6 152.6 337.5 466.0 619.6 249.3 136.6 152.6 322.9 466.0 631.5 250.0 136.6 155.8 331.2 466.9 638.0 254.8 136.6 155.8 329.1 467.9 656.7 255.8 136.6 155.8 335.4 '470.3 '667.6 '258.5 136.6 155.8 338.7 470.0 680.6 261.4 137.2 155.8 343.7 474.5 690.6 263.5 132.1 155.8 325.0 474.3 705.5 263.4 133.7 155.8 297.9 475.8 722.9 269.0 137.1 244.3 219.9 191.9 258.5 240.8 211.9 186.1 241.8 240.1 207.8 178.2 242.8 238.9 209.4 173.5 243.4 225.6 197.9 164.5 252.7 227.2 193.3 164.7 253.7 230.0 190.9 164.2 255.7 249.1 213.7 214.2 256.3 265.3 233.0 212.1 268.5 257.1 '240.0 226.0 265.8 257.9 246.4 211.3 273.2 251.3 249.0 205.9 273.3 248.9 246.8 201.8 274.8 245.8 235.3 201.9 273.7 1980 1981 MINING 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 - 100)................................................ Mercury ores (12/75 = 100).......................................... Bituminous coal and lignite ............................................ Crude petroleum and natural gas.................................... Construction sand and gravel ........................................ Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100) .................................. 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meatpacking plants........................................................ Sausages and other prepared meats .............................. Poultry dressing plants .................................................. Creamery butter............................................................ MANUFACTURING See footnote at end of table. Digitized for112 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued — Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1980 1981 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 MANUFACTURING - Continued Cheese natural and processed (12/72 = 100) .............. Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) .............. Canned fruits and vegetables........................................ Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100)...................... Flour mills (12/71 =100) ............................................ Rice milling.................................................................. Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................ Raw cane sugar .......................................................... Beet sugar .................................................................. Chewing gum .............................................................. 205.0 193.3 221.7 160.2 189.1 243.4 124.3 414.1 349.6 290.7 195.4 180.9 213.4 157.6 181.7 217.5 122.0 260.5 224.6 262.3 192.9 181.5 213.6 159.0 183.6 233.0 122.6 374.9 293.2 262.3 195.7 1850 214.7 156.4 181.6 258.0 121.5 276.0 305.7 281.9 201.9 191.3 216.3 157.5 175.0 260.4 116.5 320.2 296.6 282.0 201.9 192.1 217.3 156.4 182.3 254.5 116.9 456.1 339.9 282.0 202.5 195.2 219.9 156.3 180.8 236.0 116.2 402.4 348.0 282.0 203.4 195.2 222.9 157.7 188.6 225.3 122.2 381.8 342.3 282.4 206.8 195.5 223.4 159.6 193.1 219.9 126.6 484.0 365.5 282.4 r 208.0 196.1 r 224.3 159.9 196.1 225.9 '129.6 458.9 r 384.5 302.4 215.5 199.5 228.5 162.6 201.5 237.2 129.5 588.2 429.4 322.4 216.8 199.8 231.8 168.7 205.1 265.8 133.6 563.8 476.2 322.9 217.9 207.5 232.8 170.5 199.5 287.2 134.2 402.9 389.6 322.9 217.8 210.1 233.7 172.9 203.4 289.6 132.9 418.0 375.6 323.0 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil m ills...................................................... Soybean oil m ills.......................................................... Animal and marine fats and oils .................................... Malt ............................................................................ Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 = 100) ................ Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) .................. Fresh or frozen packaged fish ...................................... Roasted coffee (12/72 = 100)...................................... Macaroni and spaghetti ................................................ Cigarettes.................................................................... 192.9 244.2 290.1 249.9 123.0 174.0 367.1 269.3 233.8 254.6 182.4 235.1 298.1 244.1 118.6 160.9 389.7 281.3 227.7 245.8 184.4 230.4 292.6 244.1 118.7 164.0 385.5 273.9 227.7 245.9 170.4 222.3 297.4 244.1 118.7 165.7 391.6 274.0 227.7 246.0 154.7 211.9 274.0 244.1 118.7 170.2 370.5 273.9 230.5 246.3 150.4 212.9 262.9 244.1 118.9 173.1 360.0 273.9 230.5 257.3 155.1 208.6 238.9 244.1 120.5 175.3 361.2 283.1 230.5 257.4 191.3 37.4 274.5 244.1 121.0 175.9 363.7 274.5 230.5 257.4 215.1 256.9 297.4 244.1 127.7 177.5 365.2 274.7 230.5 257.4 232.9 r 275.2 307.0 244.1 127.7 178.6 r 355.0263.9 239.3 1257.4 218.7 278.5 311.0 267.4 127.9 180.0 354.3 257.0 243.6 257.6 231.7 290.5 317.2 267.4 128.5 183.1 353.8 252.5 243.6 263.4 228.0 270.2 310.8 267.4 129.2 183.4 354.4 248.5 243.6 263.5 221.2 272.0 310.8 286.1 129.2 187.0 3754 238.2 243.6 263.5 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ........................................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco...................................... Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 = 100) ............................ Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) ........................ Women’s hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100).............. Knit underwear mills .................................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 100)............................ Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 = 100) ............................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ................ 157.7 278.2 215.6 124.5 106.4 190.0 104.5 135.1 113.6 151.2 260.9 204.4 118.1 103.3 1825 99.3 128.7 110.3 154.2 265.1 206.9 118.3 103.3 184.1 100.4 129.6 109.4 154.4 267.3 209.5 122.7 104.3 186.5 103 4 131.9 110.4 155.3 279.2 211.3 123.0 105.0 186.8 104.0 132.4 110.7 155.3 278.6 212.9 122.4 105.4 187.1 104.4 134.5 111.8 159.8 278.6 212.9 121.2 105.4 190.4 105.0 134.6 112.1 159.9 279.5 217.7 123.0 105.4 192.6 105.4 137.2 113.8 159.9 279.7 219.0 124.9 108.8 192.9 105.7 137.3 114.1 r 159.9 r 279.7 '221.9 '127.7 108.8 '194.1 ' 105.8 '136.9 '115.3 161.0 290.1 223.0 129.9 108.9 194.1 106.4 139.0 117.3 161.3 290.2 223.9 132.5 109.0 194.6 106.8 139.3 117.9 162.4 294.0 224.8 132.0 109.0 195.0 107.2 140.1 120.4 163.6 294.2 227.2 131.5 109.1 205.5 107.9 142.4 121.6 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs................................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 - 100) .......................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 = 100) ...................... Thread mills (6/76 = 100)............................................ Cordage and twine (12/77 = 100)................................ Men’s and boys’ suits and coats.................................... Men’s and boys’ shirts and nightwear ............................ Men’s and boys’ underwear.......................................... Men’s and boys' neckwear (12/75 = 100) .................... Men’s and boys' separate trousers................................ 138.1 203.5 114.8 139.1 123.6 212.5 204.1 208.0 112.6 174.5 134.7 188.0 110.1 128.7 115.0 209.0 197.7 199.8 112.4 164.2 134.5 197.8 110.6 129.2 117.2 208.1 196.2 202.0 112.4 174.2 137.0 199.5 112.0 130.0 118.5 208.3 199.3 204.0 112.4 174.3 137.3 203.7 114.8 134.6 123.6 209.7 204.0 204.2 112.4 174.9 137.1 204.5 118.1 143.0 123.8 210.9 203.7 204.3 112.4 174.9 137.4 202.8 115.8 142.9 125.0 211.6 205.1 208.5 112.4 175.1 137.7 202.9 115.0 143.0 125.0 214.9 206.5 211.1 112.4 175.3 138.3 204.3 115.8 143.1 125.0 214.9 206.7 211.2 112.4 175.3 138.3 '206.2 '117.2 143.1 125.0 214.9 '207.7 212.8 112.4 175.3 139.0 207.8 115.8 143.8 127.1 215.9 206.9 212.8 112.4 175.3 140.3 209.9 116.0 143.9 129.2 215.9 207.5 212.8 112.4 175.3 145.3 215.2 118.4 143.9 129.3 216.1 208.4 212.8 115.4 180.3 148.1 217.0 121.5 144.1 129.3 218.1 203.1 224.8 115.4 180.4 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men’s and boys’ work clothing ...................................... Women’s and misses' blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women’s and misses' dresses (12/77 = 100)................ Women’s and children’s underwear (12/72 = 100) ........ Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) .............. Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100).............. Fabric dress and work gloves........................................ Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100).................. Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100).......... Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 = 100)...................... 240.4 110.0 114.7 154.5 126.6 109.8 268.6 124.0 122.4 227.5 225.1 107.1 112.9 149.4 119.7 105.3 257.7 122.1 114.3 234.8 233.6 106.6 113.8 150.0 122.9 105.3 261.7 122.8 114.3 239.5 235.4 106.7 113.8 153.1 124.9 105.5 265.0 123.4 122.3 239.1 241.2 107.6 113.9 153.1 125.4 106.3 267.5 123.4 122.3 215.8 241.8 107.6 113.9 153.2 125.4 105.6 271.1 123.4 122.3 209.4 242.6 107.8 114.0 155.0 126.6 108.0 271.1 123.4 122.3 218.1 244.8 111.4 114.0 155.4 127.8 112.7 271.1 123.4 122.3 228.9 244.1 112.6 115.4 156.9 129.0 112.7 271.1 123.4 122.3 234.2 '243.9 112.6 115.4 155.4 '129.0 '112.2 271.1 '123.9 122.3 '229.0 243.9 112.8 116.3 156.0 129.4 112.3 271.1 125.6 122.3 222.1 243.9 112.8 116.3 157.1 129.5 114.8 272.1 125.6 131.0 226.8 244.3 114.0 116.3 158.7 129.5 117.0 272.1 126.6 131.0 233.5 241.6 114.8 116.4 166.1 132.1 117.1 284.9 127.4 131.0 232.4 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100)................ Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100) ............ Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).......................... Mobile homes (12/74 = 100)........................................ Particleboard (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Wood household furniture (12/71 =100) ...................... Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 1 0 0 ).............. Mattresses and bedsprings............................................ Wood office furniture.................................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100).............................................. 144.6 155.8 160.1 150.0 161.1 183.6 162.6 179.0 235.3 240.8 138.5 158.2 169.8 144.8 136.9 177.5 155.9 169.9 226.2 225.2 143.7 158.2 167.0 146.9 150.7 178.2 158.7 170.5 233.8 225.1 139.8 158.3 166.3 147.2 158.9 178.9 158.7 170.5 233.8 225.5 121.9 158.2 164.6 149.5 161.9 180.0 160.9 172.8 233.9 243.8 130.3 152.1 162.8 150.5 167.3 182.2 161.1 176.0 233.9 243.9 140.5 152.1 159.7 150.7 171.7 183.5 162.5 176.0 234.0 243.9 150.4 152.1 157.1 151.3 168.7 185.1 166.1 180.8 235.5 244.5 160.7 152.2 156.0 151.4 169.4 186.4 166.2 186.4 235.5 244.5 '149.6 155.5 154.9 '151.8 '163.7 '187.7 '166.2 ' 186.4 '235.5 '244.4 149.2 158 9 154.6 152.1 158.6 187.0 164.9 186.3 240.3 248.3 152.3 157.0 154.7 152.1 161.6 188.6 165.8 186.4 239.6 249.0 158.2 157.1 154.1 152.4 164.7 189.8 167.6 186.4 240.8 249.1 149.8 157.1 153.8 152.4 162.7 191.2 166.9 186.2 244.0 249.1 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100).................... Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) .................................. Sanitary paper products................................................ Sanitary food containers .............................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100).............................. Plastics materials and resins (6/76 - 100).................... Synthetic rubber .......................................................... Organic fiber, noncellulosic............................................ Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 = 100) ............................ 145.6 139.1 322.3 216.4 151.0 249.3 143.1 255.5 132.6 124.1 139.0 131.3 295.8 202.6 143.2 220.4 138.5 240.9 124.1 114.3 139.8 132.3 303.9 204.8 143.2 226.5 139.7 244.2 124.7 119.8 142.5 134.6 311.7 208.9 143.3 233.7 140.8 244.7 126.9 122.1 145.0 137.9 316.7 212.9 146.6 241.2 146.4 256.8 128.5 123.6 145.8 139.5 319.3 215.5 148.7 246.5 147.3 259.3 131.7 124.5 146.2 141.2 321.2 217.2 150.6 250.0 146.9 259.6 132.8 123.4 146.4 140.3 327.4 218.2 155.2 251.9 146.1 259.8 133.4 122.6 146.7 141.1 331.1 220.3 155.2 257.3 144.4 260.5 134.9 123.7 '146.7 '141.7 '331.1 '222.3 155.2 '257.2 '141.5 '260.1 '137.1 '127.2 148.5 142.5 333.6 223.4 155.5 262.8 141.8 259.9 138.6 130.3 149.5 143.7 335.6 223.4 155.5 272.3 142.0 259.3 139.3 130.0 151.0 142.8 339.2 226.5 159.4 267.8 141.1 261.5 139.6 131.8 152.0 148.3 339.2 233.2 157.7 282.5 142.7 2746 144.8 135.1 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers .................................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .................................................. Explosives .................................................................. Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) .................................. Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100).................... Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75) = 100) .................... Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) ............................ 237.1 246.6 269.7 248.5 171.5 173.3 202.9 229.2 233.2 253.6 213.9 150.0 156.1 193.0 233.2 239.8 255.2 228.4 161.5 162.7 198.7 235.0 242.5 260.2 242.3 167.9 169.9 198.8 237.2 245.2 271.4 250.5 172.7 178.2 199.1 236.3 248.5 272.8 253.0 172.7 174.8 200.1 235.7 249.0 273.7 253.3 172.6 175.0 202.2 234.8 249.8 273.8 255.9 174.7 180.9 204.1 240.6 249.3 273.4 256.9 175.1 179.8 204.1 '240.8 '250.2 '273.3 '256.4 '176.0 '178.3 '207.4 239.2 249.3 273.4 254.5 176.5 178.5 209.5 239.2 251.7 272.8 256.1 176.5 173.5 209.5 244.9 251.8 282.7 261.2 181.5 172.5 209.7 247.5 255.9 288.7 268.1 182.1 176.5 206.6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 113 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 30. Continued — Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.1 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1980 1981 3021 3031 3079 3111 3142 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... Reclaimed rubber (12/73 = 100) ...................., ........................... Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100) .................................. Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100).................................... House slippers (12/75 = 100)........................................................ Men’s footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100)................................ Women’s footwear, except athletic.................................................. Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) .............................. Flat glass (12/71 =100) .............................................................. Glass containers............................................................................ 178.0 184.0 121.5 147.1 149.6 159.9 213.5 137.9 161.3 292.6 173.5 179.7 116.6 164.3 143.5 160.3 205.6 131.9 157.6 274.3 173.6 180.0 117.0 160.8 145.4 157.9 206.3 131.9 157.6 274.3 173.6 184.9 119.1 146.7 145.4 158.5 213.5 132.1 157.9 274.3 173.7 185.9 120.3 140.8 145.4 158.5 213.8 132.1 160.8 294.2 173.7 186.5 120.5 137.9 145.4 158.5 213.8 140.8 160.8 294.2 173.8 186.5 122.2 134.6 145.4 158.5 213.8 140.9 158.9 294.2 181.8 186.5 122.7 137.7 151.1 158.5 214.2 140.9 159.5 294.2 181.9 185.9 123.9 147.9 151.1 159.5 214.3 140.0 162.6 294.2 r 182.0 r 185.9 r 124.4 '140.0 '151.1 ' 161.5 215.2 140.9 162.8 '294.2 182.7 182.0 123.7 129.1 154.9 161.7 217.1 140.9 163.8 304.9 183.1 182.0 123.8 149.3 159.7 162.4 217.1 140.9 166.4 306.4 183.0 184.7 124.2 156.6 154.9 162.4 217.2 140.9 166.3 311.4 183.2 188.3 125.1 157.0 NA 164.7 217.9 149.5 167.1 311.4 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic........................................................................ Brick and structural clay tile ............................................................ Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) ............................ Clay refractories............................................................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c.......................................................... Vitreous plumbing fixtures .............................................................. Vitreous china food utensils............................................................ Fine earthenware food utensils........................................................ Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................................ Concrete block and brick................................................................ 309.8 277.3 122.5 274.1 202.8 234.8 317.3 295.4 152.6 257.3 305.7 268.3 130.4 255.1 196.3 219.2 308.2 294.3 150.1 249.5 305.9 270.4 130.4 259.4 198.1 224.6 308.2 294.3 150.1 250.6 306.3 271.9 130.4 263.7 196.4 226.7 308.2 294.3 150.1 252.3 312.6 276.4 130.4 273.9 203.1 227.6 313.4 295.1 151.4 259.3 313.8 278.5 117.6 275.6 204.1 236.1 313.4 293.9 151.5 259.4 313.8 278.5 117.6 275.9 204.4 235.8 318.6 294.7 152.7 259.4 313.3 278.5 117.6 279.2 204.7 237.2 318.3 294.6 152.7 259.5 313.1 277.6 117.6 279.5 205.0 240.4 318.3 294.6 152.7 259.5 '312.3 278.5 117.6 '279.7 '204.8 241.1 318.7 '296.4 '153.3 '260.5 309.0 282.6 120.1 281.6 205.3 241.5 327.4 297.6 155.4 259.3 307.6 283.0 120.1 282.1 205.4 242.6 327.4 297.6 155.4 259.4 307.6 283.8 120.1 282.1 205.6 245.0 327.4 297.6 155.4 259.4 319.2 287.5 127.1 293.1 209.9 244.7 327.4 298.3 155.4 264.1 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete.................................................................... Lime (12/75 = 100) ...................................................................... Gypsum products .......................................................................... Abrasive products (12/71 = 100) .................................................. Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100)................................................ Blast furnaces and steel mills ........................................................ Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) .................................. Cold finishing of steel shapes.......................................................... Steel pipes and tubes .................................................................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 = 100).................................................. 279.9 157.8 256.7 212.6 161.2 310.4 117.7 283.9 291.0 282.0 270.8 149.5 255.9 199.4 152.6 302.4 117.8 274.1 280.5 273.7 272.6 153.5 262.8 203.3 153.3 302.9 117.8 277.1 281.0 276.9 275.5 155.6 268.1 203.9 154.2 304.1 118.0 277.2 283.2 277.2 278.8 157.1 264.6 212.0 157.4 312.0 118.7 285.9 286.8 279.8 281.5 157.3 257.0 211.8 159.7 313.3 118.6 288.1 286.9 280.5 282.5 157.7 257.5 213.5 161.2 313.5 118.7 288.2 290.4 282.5 282.6 159.6 253.5 215.2 162.8 308.6 117.1 282.2 292.4 283.0 282.6 160.2 252.3 215.7 164.9 308.5 117.1 282.3 292.6 283.2 '283.6 158.8 252.2 '217.1 '164.8 '308.6 117.2 282.3 292.6 '283.3 282.8 160.9 250.0 218.8 167.9 314.8 117.3 288.1 294.3 288.2 282.8 161.0 253.7 220.2 167.6 316.6 117.3 288.5 302.4 288.6 283.3 162.0 253.1 220.6 167.6 320.0 117.3 293.0 308.5 289.2 294.0 165.8 259.9 222.7 172.4 328.7 119.9 302.8 315.0 291.9 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary z in c.................................................................................. Primary aluminum.......................................................................... Copper rolling and drawing ............................................................ Aluminum sheet plate and foil (12/75 = 100).................................. Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100).................................... Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .............................. Meta cans.................................................................................... Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100) .................................... Metal sanitary ware........................................................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) ............................................ 269.9 298.3 227.6 158.2 167.7 146.2 291.6 182.0 248.3 137.0 266.1 267.0 231.0 153.2 158.8 140.7 276.6 173.1 237.8 132.4 272.4 267.0 253.1 153.5 158.9 141.0 277.3 174.6 242.1 132.4 279.6 267.8 238.6 155.5 160.9 141.1 279.9 176.4 243.1 132.7 274.3 276.0 227.4 157.8 167.7 143.8 295.1 178.0 245.5 133.5 268.2 287.0 222.8 157.6 167.7 145.2 295.2 181.5 249.7 133.8 268.6 290.1 220.2 157.8 167.7 146.7 294.9 181.9 249.9 137.8 255.9 312.1 222.8 158.2 168.3 147.4 295.6 183.5 250.9 137.8 255.9 312.2 226.2 157.6 168.4 147.6 295.9 185.4 251.4 139.8 '264.0 '313.0 220.2 157.6 '168.2 '147.5 296.1 '185.8 '251.4 '140.1 269.9 327.6 222.2 161.4 173.1 150.5 297.9 186.6 251.5 140.5 279.3 329.9 223.1 163.3 176.3 151.3 297.2 186.9 252.1 141.2 287.5 329.4 223.1 165.1 176.4 151.2 297.4 190.2 253.7 141.5 289.4 333.9 221.9 169.3 176.8 155.5 302.1 195.0 255.9 143.3 3482, 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) .......................................... Steel springs, except wire .............................................................. Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 = 1 0 0 )............................................ Fabricated pipe and fittings ............................................................ Internal combustion engines, n.e.c..................................................... Construction machinery (12/76 = 100) .......................................... Mining machinery (12/72 = 100).................................................... Oilfield machinery and equipment.................................................... Elevators and moving stairways...................................................... Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100) .......................... 146.8 230.2 229.7 315.5 274.9 140.9 258.3 337.7 239.2 279.6 143.2 226.1 216.9 301.7 260.5 134.6 245.8 314.2 225.6 266.1 143.2 226.6 219.6 301.8 261.8 135.7 247.1 316.2 226.1 268.1 142.6 228.6 223.1 303.5 266.1 136.3 247.8 318.9 229.1 269.4 141.7 229.2 229.4 313.0 270.6 138.6 256.0 329.8 232.6 274.3 141.4 229.2 229.9 313.1 271.6 139.5 257.3 333.1 234.1 275.1 144.6 230.3 231.8 313.8 271.7 140.3 258.2 337.4 242.8 279.2 145.1 230.3 232.5 317.2 276.8 141.8 259.4 342.6 244.2 284.3 147.3 230.8 232.7 317.2 278.6 142.7 262.0 345.7 243.8 285.3 '145.3 '231.9 '233.3 319.9 ' 283.2 '143.8 '264.1 '347.3 246.4 '285.6 150.6 232.8 234.7 325.0 283.8 145.1 265.2 350.8 248.3 287.1 151.1 232.9 235.6 329.9 287.1 145.8 267.9 357.8 248.4 287.9 161.3 233.9 237.6 329.9 288.5 146.7 269.6 360.9 249.5 292.5 158.2 238.2 239.0 335.7 293.0 148.9 271.9 366.5 250.3 298.1 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 100)........................................ Textile machinery (12/69 = 100)........................................ Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100).......................................... Scales and balances, excluding laboratory ...................................... Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100).............................. Transformers ................................................................................ Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100)...................................... Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100).................................. Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) .............................. Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100).................................. 132.0 216.6 212.6 212.7 156.5 185.0 209.7 133.0 1209 162.0 126.3 202.6 201.2 204.2 147.5 172.9 201.3 128.7 117.0 154.0 126.6 205.2 201.6 205.8 147.8 176.6 203.3 129.3 118.5 156.6 127.4 207.0 205.1 206.6 148.6 177.5 206.0 129.4 118.6 158.3 129.0 213.4 212.3 207.5 152.6 180.5 207.0 129.7 119.3 160.3 131.2 213.6 212.1 208.2 153.0 181.5 209.2 133.1 119.4 161.7 131.1 217.0 213.7 208.6 153.5 182.9 211.0 134.7 122.0 162.3 133.5 221.7 215.9 215.4 158.6 186.0 212.1 134.9 122.2 161.2 134.5 222.1 216.0 226.2 159.3 190.6 212.1 134.4 122.2 163.6 '135.3 '222.3 '216.0 '226.2 '160.1 '190.7 '211.7 '134.7 '123.3 165.5 136.3 223.7 217.4 217.1 164.7 194.0 213.8 134.7 122.8 166.1 136.4 224.5 218.1 217.7 165.0 192.8 214.2 134.9 123.7 166.6 137.6 226.0 221.9 218.0 167.4 193.4 215.5 137.1 123.8 167.3 141.7 231.1 222.9 219.8 168.7 195.2 218.3 140.1 126.2 169.7 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners .......................................................... Sewing machines (12/75 = 100).................................................... Electric lamps................................................................................ Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100) .......................... Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 = 100) .................................... Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Electron tubes receiving type.......................................................... Semiconductors and related devices .............................................. Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) .............................................. Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100).................................................. 152.2 128.9 260.1 220.3 139.3 139.9 251.8 90.6 162.6 134.1 146.1 122.6 248.5 212.9 133.4 133.0 229.1 86.8 147.7 127.4 149.7 129.2 252.4 215.2 134.3 133.2 229.4 88.5 149.1 128.8 151.3 129.2 251.8 215.3 136.2 134.6 229.7 89,3 151.3 131.8 148.6 129.2 252.3 217.4 138.0 139.4 254.0 90.4 157.0 131.9 149.3 129.2 251.3 218.2 138.5 140.2 254.7 91.2 160.7 133.0 155.8 129.2 258.1 220.4 139.2 140.7 255.2 92.0 160.5 135.2 158.4 130.0 266.3 220.3 139.2 140.7 255.5 92.1 168.6 135.3 158.5 130.0 268.1 220.7 140.4 140.9 255.6 91.8 172.6 136.3 '158.6 '130.0 '269.2 '220.9 '142.3 '143.2 255.7 '92.0 '174.0 136.9 152.2 129.7 268.9 223.8 142.3 143.4 264.6 91.7 170.0 137.7 152.2 129.7 269.3 225.0 143.4 144.5 264.8 91.1 170.1 137.7 152.5 129.7 266.2 231.2 145.0 144.9 272.7 91.1 170.1 137.8 152.6 129.7 265.9 235.3 145.6 146.3 284.3 90.6 170.3 138.1 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100)............................................. Primary batteries, dry and w e t........................................................ Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100).................................. Dolls (12/75 = 100)...................................................................... Games, toys, and children’s vehicles .............................................. Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100) .............................. Burial caskets (6/76 = 100) .......................................................... Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100).................................... 148.2 176.5 136.6 126.8 204.5 132.9 131.2 143.7 145.1 174.2 132.7 122.7 198.7 126.2 128.3 138.6 146.4 176.5 131.6 125.4 203.8 128.2 128.3 138.7 146.7 176.6 131.8 125.6 204.0 128.3 128.3 138.7 146.5 176.8 135.5 127.7 205.0 131.5 128.4 143.2 146.8 176.4 134.5 128.4 205.3 133.3 130.3 143.3 148.7 176.4 134.6 128.4 205.9 136.4 132.2 143.3 148.9 176.4 137.3 128.4 206.0 135.0 132.2 146.1 149.1 176.7 137.9 128.4 206.0 135.0 132.2 146.6 '149.6 176.8 '131.4 '128.4 '206.6 '135.0 132.9 146.6 150.0 176.9 144.0 126.6 204.7 135.0 132.9 146.6 150.0 176.9 144.1 126.6 205.2 135.0 132.9 146.6 150.1 176.9 143.6 126.6 205.4 135.0 135.0 146.6 152.6 179.0 145.0 129.0 210.4 133.1 135.0 148.6 ’ Data for September 1980 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 114 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r=revised, PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 31. The use of the term “man-hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 31 through 34, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the private business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1976 issue of the Review, tables 3 1 34 were revised to reflect changeover to the new series— private busi ness sector and nonfarm business sector— which differ from the previously published total private economy and nonfarm sector in that output imputed for owner-occupied dwellings and the household and institutions sectors, as well as the statistical discrepancy, are omitted. For a detailed explanation, see J. R. Norsworthy and L. J. Fulco, “New sector definitions for productivity series,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1976, pages 40-42. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1950-80 [1967 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees .................... Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 50.3 20.0 50.4 39.8 43.5 41.0 58.2 26.3 59.6 45.2 47.8 46.1 65.1 33.9 69.4 52.1 50.8 51.7 78.2 41.7 80.0 53.3 57.8 54.8 86.1 58.2 90.8 67.6 63.4 66.2 94.8 71.3 97.3 75.2 75.6 75.3 92.7 78.0 95.9 84.2 78.9 82.4 94.8 85.5 96.3 90.2 90.7 90.4 97.9 92.9 98.8 94.8 94.4 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.8 108.4 100.7 108.6 105.1 107.4 99.4 119.2 99.5 119.9 110.9 116.9 99.0 131.1 96.4 132.4 118.3 127.6 56.2 21.8 55.0 38.8 42.8 40.2 62.7 28.3 63.9 45.1 47.9 46.0 68.2 35.6 73.0 52.3 50.5 51.7 80.4 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.2 54.9 86.7 58.6 91.5 67.6 64.0 66.4 95.3 71.7 97.7 75.2 71.9 74.1 93.1 78.4 96.4 84.3 76.1 81.6 95.0 86.0 96.8 90.5 88.9 89.9 981 93.0 99.0 94.8 94.0 94.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.8 108.5 100.7 108.7 103.6 107.0 99.0 118.8 99.2 120.0 108.5 116.2 98.5 130.4 95.9 132.4 117.6 127.5 ( 1) (’ ) ( ') <1) (’ ) (' ) ( 1) ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) ( ) (’ ) 66.3 36 3 74.2 54.7 54.6 54.7 79.9 43.0 82.6 53.8 60.8 56.2 85.4 58.3 91.0 68.3 63.1 66.5 94.5 70.8 96.5 74.9 70.7 73.4 91.3 77.6 95.4 85.1 75.7 81.8 94.4 85.5 96.3 90.6 90.9 90.7 97.4 92.5 98.5 95.0 95.0 95.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.4 108.2 100.5 107.8 103.8 106.4 100.2 118.5 99.0 118.2 108.3 114.8 n ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') ( ') 51.5 21.5 54.1 41.7 55.8 45.6 58.8 28.8 65.2 49.0 60.0 52.1 62.5 36.7 75.1 58.7 62.5 59.8 77.1 42.9 82.3 55.6 69.9 59.6 82.2 57.6 89.9 70.1 64.9 68.6 93.1 69.1 94.2 74.1 71.6 73.4 88.5 76.4 93.9 86.3 70.5 81.9 93.0 85.5 96.3 91.9 86.1 90.3 97.1 92.4 98.3 95.1 94.3 94.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.4 108.2 100.5 107.8 103.0 106.5 101.3 118.7 99.1 117.2 103.1 113.2 101.3 131.2 96.5 129.5 120.8 127.1 1 1980 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 115 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW March 1981 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 32. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1969-80 Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Annual rate of change Year Item 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 0.9 7.4 1.4 6.4 0.7 4.5 3.6 6.6 2.2 2.9 7.6 4.4 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 2.7 8.0 1.7 5.2 5.9 5.4 -2.3 9.4 -1.4 11.9 4.4 9.4 2.3 9.6 0.4 7.2 15.0 9.7 3.3 8.6 2.7 5.1 4.1 4.7 2.1 7.7 1.2 5.5 5.9 5.6 -0.2 8.4 0.7 8.6 5.1 7.4 -0.4 9.9 -1.2 10.4 5.5 8.8 -0.3 10.0 -3.1 10.4 6.6 9.2 2.5 6.0 2.4 3.5 3.2 3.4 2.2 7.1 1.9 4.8 4.4 4.7 0.3 7.0 1.0 6.6 1.1 4.8 3.3 6.6 2.2 3.1 7.4 4.5 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.5 7.6 1.3 4.9 1.3 3.7 -2.4 9.4 -1.4 12.1 5.9 10.1 2.1 9.6 0.4 7.4 16.7 10.3 3.2 8.1 2.2 4.7 5.7 5.1 2.0 7.6 1.0 5.5 6.4 5.8 -0.2 8.5 0.7 8.7 3.6 7.0 -0.8 9.6 -1.5 10.4 4.8 8.6 -0.5 9.8 -3.3 10.3 8.4 9.7 2.1 5.7 2.1 3.5 3.1 ' 3.4 1.9 6.8 1.6 4.8 4.2 4.6 0.4 6.8 0.8 6.3 0.5 4.4 4.8 6.5 2.1 1.6 7.4 3.5 3.0 5.8 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.6 7.7 1.4 4.9 1.5 3.8 -3.4 9.7 -1.1 13.6 7.1 11.4 3.4 10.1 0.9 6.5 20.1 10.9 3.2 8.2 2.3 4.9 4.6 4.8 2.7 8.1 1.5 5.3 5.2 5.2 0.4 8.2 0.5 7.8 3.8 6.4 -0.2 9.5 -1.6 9.7 4.4 7.9 ( ') ( ') (’ ) ( ') ( ') ( 1) V) n (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) -0.1 6.8 0.8 6.9 -2.5 4.2 5.2 6.1 1.8 0.8 9.5 3.1 4.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 1.9 1.0 2.7 7.2 0.9 4.4 -1.1 2.8 -5.0 10.6 -0.3 16.4 -1.6 11.5 5.1 11.9 2.5 6.5 22.0 10.2 4.4 8.0 2.1 3.5 9.6 5.1 3.0 8.3 1.7 5.1 6.0 5.4 0.4 8.2 0.5 7.8 3.0 6.5 0.9 9.7 -1.4 8.7 0.1 6.3 10.5 -2.7 10.5 17.1 12.2 1950-80 0.0 1960-80 n (’ ) (’ ) <1) ( ') ( ') 2.5 5.6 2.0 3.1 4.6 4.5 2.4 6.7 1.5 4.1 8.4 7.6 1Not available. 33. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1967=100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs .................................................. Unit labor cost ............................................ Unit nonlabor costs...................................... Unit profits ........................................................ Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... r = revised. 116 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Quarterly indexes Annual average 1978 1979 1980 1979 1980 II III IV I II III IV I II III IV 99.4 119.2 99.5 119.9 110.9 116.9 99.0 131.1 96.4 132.4 118.3 127.6 99.9 107.1 100.5 107.3 104.8 106.4 100.0 109.4 100.5 109.4 106.7 108.5 99.9 111.9 100.5 112.1 109.1 111.1 99.7 115.0 100.5 115.4 109.6 113.4 99.6 118.0 100.1 118.5 110.4 115.8 99.2 120.5 99.0 121.4 111.5 118.1 99.0 123.0 97.9 124.2 112.3 120.2 99.3 126.0 96.5 127.0 115.3 123.0 98.8 129.7 96.2 131.3 116.0 126.1 99.2 132.8 96.8 133.9 119.8 129.1 98.7 135.5 95.9 137.3 122.7 132.4 99.0 118.8 99.2 120.0 108.5 116.2 98.5 130.4 95.9 132.4 117.6 127.5 99.9 107.2 100.6 107.3 103.2 105.9 99.9 109.4 100.5 109.5 105.1 108.0 99.8 111.9 100.5 112.2 107.0 110.5 99.5 114.9 100.4 115.4 107.1 112.6 99.1 117.6 99.8 118.7 107.7 115.1 98.7 119.9 98.6 121.5 109.3 117.4 98.6 122.7 97.7 124.4 110.2 119.7 98.6 125.6 96.2 127.4 114.0 122.9 97.9 129.0 95.7 131.8 115.2 126.3 98.8 131.9 96.1 133.5 119.2 128.8 98.5 135.0 95.6 137.0 122.2 132.1 100.2 118.5 99.0 116.8 118.2 112.7 99.0 114.8 (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') 100.4 109.2 100.2 107.6 108.7 104.4 105.9 107.4 100.5 111.5 100.1 109.6 111.0 106.0 108.9 109.6 100.5 114.4 100.0 112.2 113.8 107.8 105.6 111.5 100.5 117.4 99.6 115.3 116.8 111.2 100.7 13.7 100.2 119.8 98.4 118.2 119.5 114.6 97.5 115.9 99.6 122.3 97.4 121.3 122.8 117.2 92.2 118.1 100.0 125.3 96.0 124.2 125.4 120.9 95.5 121.0 99.8 128.9 95.6 129.2 129.1 129.3 83.4 124.1 101.5 132.1 96.3 131.1 130.2 133.8 89.1 126.4 (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') (’ ) ( 1) (’ > n 100.8 107.1 100.5 105.4 106.2 103.0 105.5 105.4 <1) ( ') 101.3 118.7 99.1 117.2 101.3 131.2 96.5 129.5 100.2 106.9 100.3 106.7 101.1 109.1 100.2 107.9 101.3 111.5 100.1 110.1 100.8 114.5 100.1 113.7 101.7 118.5 100.5 116.6 101.4 119.7 98.4 118.1 101.5 122.0 97.2 120.2 101.5 125.0 95.7 123.2 100.4 129.6 96.1 129.1 100.2 133.5 97.3 133.2 102.8 136.8 96.8 133.1 n 1Not available n 34. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1967 = 100] Percent change from same quarter a year ago Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor co st............................................ Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor co st............................................ Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor costs ...................................... Unit nonlabor costs.................................. Unit profits.................................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ r = revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I11979 to III 1979 III 1979 to IV 1979 IV 1979 to I 1980 1 1980 to II 1980 II 1980 to III 1980 III 1980 to IV 1980 III 1978 to III 1979 IV 1978 to IV 1979 1 1979 to I 1980 I11979 to II 1980 III 1979 to III 1980 IV 1979 to IV 1980 -1.5 8.5 -4.4 10.1 4.2 8.2 -1.1 8.6 -4.4 9.8 2.6 7.4 1.3 10.4 -5.6 9.0 11.3 9.7 -1.9 12.2 -1.3 14.4 2.6 10.5 1.5 9.7 2.4 8.1 13.6 9.8 -1.9 8.5 -3.4 10.6 10.1 10.4 -0.7 10.1 -1.5 10.9 4.6 8.8 -0.9 9.9 -2.5 10.9 2.9 8.2 -0.4 9.6 -4.0 10.0 5.2 8.4 -0.8 9.9 -3.9 10.8 5.1 9.0 0.0 10.2 -2.3 10.3 7.4 9.4 -0.3 10.2 -2.0 10.5 9.3 10.1 -1.4 8.1 -4.7 9.7 5.9 8.5 -0.3 9.6 -3.5 9.9 3.3 7.8 0.0 9.9 -6.0 9.9 14.6 11.3 -3.0 11.2 -2.2 14.6 4.2 11.3 3.7 9.2 2.0 5.3 14.9 8.2 -1.1 9.6 -2.3 10.9 10.2 10.7 -1.2 9.6 -1.9 10.9 4.0 8.7 -1.1 9.6 -2.7 10.9 3.0 8.3 -0.9 9.4 -4.2 10.4 6.4 9.1 -1.2 9.7 -4.1 11.0 6.9 9.7 0.1 10.0 -2.5 9.9 9.1 9.6 -0.1 10.0 -2.2 10.1 10.9 10.4 -1.1 8.2 -4.6 10.3 9.5 12.8 -12.0 7.9 -2.5 8.9 -4.1 11.0 11.6 9.3 -20.2 7.8 1.4 10.1 -5.8 9.8 8.6 13.5 15.3 10.3 -0.5 12.0 -1.5 17.0 12.6 30.6 -41.9 10.5 6.8 10.3 3.0 6.2 3.2 14.7 30.3 7.9 ( 1) ( ') (’ ) <’ ) ( 1) (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) -0.2 9.7 -1.8 9.9 9.9 9.8 -7.9 7.9 -0.9 9.7 -2.7 10.7 10.7 10.6 -15.4 7.8 -0.5 9.5 -4.1 10.6 10.1 12.2 -9.5 8.5 -0.7 9.8' -4.0 12.0 10.5 16.3 -17.2 9.1 1.3 10.3 -2.2 11.0 8.9 16.8 -8.6 9.1 (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') ( ') (’ ) ( ') -1.2 3.9 -8.4 5.2 0.6 8.1 -4.8 7.5 0.0 10.1 -5.9 10.1 -4.1 15.5 1.6 20.5 -0.7 12.7 5.2 13.6 10.6 10.1 -1.9 -0.4 0.3 9.7 -1.8 9.4 0.2 9.4 -2.9 9.3 -0.7 9.1 -4.4 8.4 -1.2 9.3 -4.4 -10.7 -1.1 11.6 -1.1 12.8 1.3 12.1 -0.3 10.7 1Not available. 117 LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DATA M a j o r c o l l e c t iv e b a r g a i n i n g d a t a are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, direct contact with the parties, and from secondary sources. Addi tional detail is published in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. Data on work stoppages are based on confidential responses to questionnaires mailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to parties involved in work stoppages. Stoppages initially come to the attention of the Bureau from reports of Federal and State mediation agencies, newspapers, and union and industry publications. the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to total agreed upon settlements (exclusive of potential cost-of-living escalator adjustments) expressed at an average annual rate. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings, while wage and benefit changes are expressed as a percent of total compensation. Effective wage-rate adjustments going into effect in major bargaining units measure changes actually placed into effect during the reference period, whether the result of a newly negotiated increase, a deferred increase negotiated in an earlier year, or as a result of a costof-living escalator adjustment. Average adjustments are affected by workers receiving no adjustment, as well as by those receiving in creases or decreases. Definitions Work stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving six workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. Data on wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry agree ments covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on wage and benefit changes combined apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage settlements refer to pay changes go ing into effect within the first 12 months after the effective date of 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1976 to date [In percent] Annual average Quarterly average Sector and measure 1979 1976 Wage and benefit settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract ...................... 1977 1978 1979 1980 p 1980p I II III IV I II III IV 8.5 6.6 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.0 2.8 5.3 10.5 7.8 9.0 6.1 8.5 6.0 8.6 6.4 10.1 6.8 11.6 7.3 8.3 5.9 8.4 6.4 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 5.7 6.6 8.9 7.2 6.8 5.1 6.3 5.3 7.8 6.3 8.7 6.8 10.7 7.4 8.4 6.5 Manufacturing: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 8.9 6.0 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.3 5.4 8.7 7.7 9.7 8.1 6.3 4.7 5.6 4.2 7.0 5.6 6.6 4.9 8.7 5.5 7.6 5.7 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 8.6 7.2 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.6 6.6 3.2 5.6 8.5 5.8 9.4 6.5 7.8 7.4 9.1 7.1 10.4 8.6 9.4 5.8 8.9 7.4 Construction: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 9.7 8.2 8.7 8.3 9.7 8.5 7.5 7.6 9.6 9.3 12.7 10.3 15.7 13.3 14.3 12.0 Wage rate settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract ...................... Digitized for 118 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36. Effective wage adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date [In percent] Average quarterly changes Average annual changes Sector and measure 1979 1978 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 p Total effective wage rate adjustment, all industries .............. Change resulting from — Current settlement.............................. .................. Prior settlement.................................................... Escalator provision .............................................. 8.1 3.2 3.2 1.6 8.0 8.2 9.1 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 Manufacturing ............................................................ Nonmanufacturing ...................................................... 8.5 7.7 8.4 7.6 8.6 7.9 9.6 8.8 1980 p IV 1 II III IV 1 II III IV 9.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 3.3 1.6 1.5 3.2 3.4 1.2 3.6 3.1 2.6 .4 .5 .5 .2 .6 .6 1.1 1.0 .5 1.0 1.0 1.2 .5 .4 .7 .4 .5 .6 1.1 1.2 .8 1.6 1.1 .7 .5 .3 .5 9.7 9.0 1.9 1.1 1.5 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.4 1.0 1.9 1.3 3.4 3.0 2.9 3.7 1.6 1.0 NOTE: Because of rounding and compounding, the sums of individual items may not equal totals. 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year Beginning in month or year In effect during month Workers involved Beginning in month or year (thousands) In effect during month (thousands) Dsiys idle Number housands) Percent of estimated working time 1947 1948 1949 1950 ........................................................................................ .......................................................................... ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 3,693 3,419 3,606 4,843 2170 1 960 3,030 2,410 34,600 34,100 50,500 38,800 .30 .28 .44 .33 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 4,737 5,117 5,091 3 468 4,320 2,220 3,540 2,400 1,530 2,650 22,900 59,100 28,300 22,600 28,200 .18 .48 .22 .18 .22 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 3 825 3,673 3,694 3,708 3,333 1 900 1,390 2,060 1,880 1,320 33,100 16,500 23,900 69,000 19,100 .24 .12 .18 .50 .14 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 3,367 3,614 3,362 3,655 3,963 1,450 1,230 941 1,640 1,550 16,300 18,600 16,100 22,900 23,300 .11 .13 .11 .15 .15 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 4,405 4,595 5,045 5,700 5,716 1,960 2,870 2 649 2,481 3,305 25,400 42,100 49,018 42,869 66,414 .15 .25 .28 .24 .37 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 5,138 5,010 5,353 6,074 5,031 3,280 1,714 2,251 2 778 1 746 47,589 27,066 27,948 47,991 31,237 .26 .15 .14 .24 .16 1976 1977 1978 1979 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 5 648 5,506 4,230 4,827 2 420 2,040 1 623 1 727 37,859 35,822 36,922 34,754 .19 .17 .17 .15 149 45 2,424 .13 304 332 326 357 388 385 414 374 420 347 169 6 77 4 98.4 98 1 116.2 173 1 241.1 79 8 125.7 89.6 51 9 17.5 3,222 3,131 3,230 2,579 2,099 2,441 3,954 3,079 3,407 2,195 1,110 617 .17 .19 .16 .14 .10 .13 .21 .15 .20 .11 .06 .03 J u ly ............................................................................ 201 66 pr=preliminary revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 119 How to order BLS publications PERIODICALS Order from (and m ake checks payable to) Su perintendent o f Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402. For foreign subscriptions, add 25 percent. Monthly Labor Review. The oldest and most authoritative government research journal in economics and the social sciences. Current statistics, analysis, developments in industrial relations, court decisions, book reviews. $18 a year, single copy, $2.50. Employment and Earnings. A comprehensive monthly report on employment, hours, earn ings, and labor turnover by industry, area, occupation, et cetera, $22 a year, single copy $2.75. Occupational Outlook Quarterly. A popular periodical designed to help high school stu dents and guidance counselors assess career opportunities. $6 for four issues, single copy $1.75. Current Wage Developments. A monthly re port about collective bargaining settlements and unilateral management decisions about wages and benefits; statistical summaries. $13 a year, single copy $2.25. Producer Prices and Price Indexes. A com prehensive monthly report on price move ments of both farm and industrial commodi ties, by industry and stage of processing. $17 a year, single copy $2.25. CPI Detailed Report. A monthly periodical featuring detailed data and charts on the Consumer Price Index. $15 a year, single copy $2.25. PRESS RELEASES The Bureau’s statistical series are made avail able to news media through press releases is sued in Washington. Many of the releases also are available to the public upon request. Write: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washing ton, D.C. 20212. Regional. Each of the Bureau’s eight regional offices publishes reports and press releases dealing with regional data. Single copies available free from the issuing regional office. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BULLETINS AND HANDBOOKS About 140 bulletins and handbooks published each year are fo r sale by regional offices o f the Bureau o f Labor Statistics (see inside fron t cover) and by the Su perintendent o f Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402. Orders can be charged to a deposit account number or checks can be made payable to the Superintendent o f Documents. Visa and MasterCard are also accepted; include card number and expiration date. Among the bulletins and handbooks currently in print: Occupational Outlook Handbook, 1980-81 Edition. Bulletin 2075. A useful resource supplying valuable assistance to all persons seeking satis fying and productive employment. $8, paperback; $11 cloth cover. BLS Handbook of Labor Statistics 1979. Bulletin 2070, December 1980. A 490-page volume of historical data on the major BLS statistical series. $9.50. Handbook of Methods. Bulletin 1910. Brief technical account of each major statistical program of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. $3.50. BLS Measures of Compensation. Bulletin 1941. An introduction to the various measures of employee compensation; describes each series, the manner in which it is developed, its uses and limitations. $2.75. Occupational Projections and Training Data. Bulletin 2052. Presents both general and detailed information on the relationship between occu pational requirements and training needs. (Updates Bulletin 2020 published in 1979.) $4.75. Exploring Careers. Bulletin 2001. A new career guidance resource designed for junior high school students but useful for older students as well. Includes occupational narratives, evaluative questions, suggested ac tivities, career games, and photographs. $10. Profile of the Teenage Worker. Bulletin 2039. Focuses on the labor mar ket experience of 16- to 19-year-olds. Based on data from the Current Population Survey, the bulletin reviews past trends and explores the problems of youth unemployment and the transition from school to work. $3.25. Profiles of Occupational Pay: A Chartbook. Bulletin 2037. A graphic il lustration of some of the factors that affect workers’ earnings. This threepart presentation looks at wage variations among and within occupations and portrays characteristics of high- and low-paying urban areas and manufacturing industries. $3.50. REPORTS AND PAMPHLETS Single copies available free from the B L S regional offices or from the Bureau o f Labor Statistics, U.S. Department o f Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. Major Programs of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Report 552. A sum mary of the Bureau’s principal programs, including data available, sources, uses, and publications. Employment in Perspective: Working Women. A quarterly report series presenting highlights of current data on women in the labor force. Employment in Perspective: Minority Workers. A quarterly report series presenting highlights of current data on blacks and persons of Hispanic origin in the labor force. Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment, 1979. Report 619. Latest report in a series presenting geographic labor force data from the Current Population Survey. Provides 1979 annual average demo graphic and economic characteristics of the labor force for States and similar data for 30 large smsa’ s and 11 large cities. The New Handbook of Labor Statistics Bulletin 2070 Makes available in one 490-page volume historical data (through 1979 in most cases) on the major statistical series produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Contains 190 tables with data on: Labor force characteristics I Employment and unemployment Features regrouped tables placing together data collected from the same survey or source Hours and earnings Provides technical notes for each major group of tables Wage and benefit changes Includes related series from other government agencies and foreign countries Productivity and unit labor costs Prices and living conditions Unions and industrial relations Occupational injuries and illnesses Foreign labor statistics General economic data The B L S regional office nearest you will expedite your order. You may also send your order directly to: 1603 JFK Federal Bldg. Boston, Mass. 02203 Superintendent of Docum ents U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 Suite 540 1371 Peachtree St., N.E. Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Suite 3400 1515 Broadway New York, N,Y. 10036 9th Floor 230 South Dearborn St. Chicago, III. 60604 P.O. Box 13309 Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Room 221 555 Griffin Sq. Bldg. Dallas, Tex. 75202 911 Walnut St. Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Box 36017 450 Golden Gate Ave. San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Make checks payable to the Superintendent of Documents Please send---------------------- copies of H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , Bulletin 2070, G PO Stock No. 029-001 -02194-1, at $9.50 per copy. Name Organization (if applicable) Street address City, state, ZIP https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis