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February 2005 M O N U.S. Department of Labor https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T H L Y L A B O R U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics U.S. Department of Labor Elaine L. Chao, Secretary Bureau of Labor Statistics Kathleen P. Utgoff, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review (USPS 987-800) is published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Depanment of Labor. The Review welcomes anicles on the labor force , labor-management relations , bu siness conditions , industry productivity, compensation , occupational safety and health, demographic trends, and other economic developments. Papers should be factual and analytical, not polemical in tone. Potential articles, as well as communications on editorial matters, should be submitted to: Editor-in-Chief Monthly Labor Review Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, oc 20212 Telephone: (202) 691 -5900 Fax: (202) 691-5899 E-mail: mlr@bls.gov Inquiries on subscriptions and circulation, including address changes, should be sent to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office , Washington, oc 20402. Telephone: (202) 5 I 2-1800. Subscription price per year- $49 domestic; $68.60 foreign. Single copy-$15 domestic; $21 foreign . Make checks payable to the Superintendent of Documents. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-1818) and other government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Depanment. Periodicals postage paid at Washington, oc, and at additional mailing addresses. Unless stated otherwise, articles appearing in this publication are in the public domain and may be reprinted without express permission from the Editor-in-Chief. Please cite the specific issue of the Monthly Labor Review as the source. Information is available to sensory impaired individuals upon request: Voice phone: (202) 691 - 5200 Federal Relay Service: l-8©-877-8339. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Monthly Labor Review, U.S. Government Printing Office , Washington, oc 20402-000 I . Cover designed by Bruce Boyd https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW __________~_·e_rs~_ Volume 128, Number 2 February 2005 25 years of the National Longitudinal Survey-Youth Cohort NLSY: 1979 cohort at 25 3 Charles Pierret Antecedents and predecessors 8 James R. Walker Educational data in the NLSY79 15 Kenneth I. Wolpin The transition from school to work 21 Julie A. Yates Job mobility and wage growth 33 Audrey Light Self-employment and entrepreneurship 40 Robert W. Fair lie Worker training 48 Harley J. Frazis and James R . Spletzer Children of the NLSY79 59 Lawrence L. Wu and Jui-Chung Allen Li The problem of respondent attrition 63 Randall J. Olsen Departments Labor month in review Precis Book reviews Publications received Current labor statistics 2 71 72 72 75 Editor-in-Chief: William Parks II • Executive Editor: Richard M. Devens • Managing Editor: Anna Huffman Hill • Editors: Bri a n I. Baker, Kristy S. Christiansen, Richard Hamilton, Leslie Bro wn Joyner • Book Reviews: Richard Hamilton • Design and Layout: Catherine D. Bowman , Edith W. Peters • Contributor: Mary Kokoski https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The February Review This special issue commemorates the 25th year that the National Longitudinal Survey-Youth Cohort (NLSY79) has been in the field. Charles Pierret, the BLS program manager for the survey, does a far more thorough job of summarizing the articles in this issue than would normally have appeared in this space. The articles themselves cover a wide range of topics from some of the unique issues of longitudinal methodology to some of the more interesting questions in labor economics. James Walker, Kenneth Wolpin, Julie Yates, Audrey Light, Robert Fairlie, James Spletzer and Harley Frazis, Lawrence Wu and JuiChung Allen Li, and Randall Olsen made contributions to this collection. Union membership In 2004, 12.5 percent of wage and salary workers were union members, down from 12.9 percent in 2003. The union membership rate has steadily declined from a high of 20.1 percent in 1983, the first year for which comparable unionmembership data are available. /\mcng private industry workers, the 2004 union membership rate was 7.9 percent, about half what it had been in 1983. Among major private industries, transportation and utilities had the highest union membership rate in 2004, at 24.9 percent. Construction, information industries, and manufacturing also had higher-than-average rates. Financial activities had the lowest unionization rate in 2004-2.0 percent. About 36 percent of government workers were union members in 2004. Two groups-education, training, and library occupations and protective service occupations-had the highest 2 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February unionization rates, at about 37 percent each. Protective service occupations include firefighters and police officers. Find out more in "Union Members in 2004," news release USDL0S-112. Ad agents profiled Selling advertising space is the job of advertising sales agents, who are often called account executives or advertising sales representatives. Most employers pay an advertising sales agent using a combination of salary, commissions, and bonuses. Salary varies by geographic location but is generally no more than half of a sales agent's total compensation. Commissions are usually based on a percentage of the agent's sales. Bonuses are lump-sum financial awards based on individual performance, the performance of all sales agents in a group, or the firm's overall performance. Median annual earnings for all advertising sales agents were $38,640 in May 2003, including commissions and bonuses. The lowest paid 10 percent earned less than $19,920, and the highest paid 10 percent earned more than $87,360 per year. In addition to earnings, advertising sales agents usually get reimbursed for expenses associated with making sales visits, such as transportation costs and meals. For more information about this occupation, see "Sellers for the sellers: Advertising sales agents" by Gregory Niemesh, Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 2004. State unemployment trends December 2004 unemployment rates were lower than a year earlier in 43 2005 States, higher in 5 States and the District of Columbia, and unchanged in 2 States. Kentucky and Washington reported the largest rate decreases from a year ago, down 1.5 percentage points each, followed by Hawaii, New Jersey, and Oklahoma, all down 1.4 points. Nine additional States registered rate decreases of at least 1.0 percentage point. Mississippi reported the largest overthe-year unemployment rate increase, 0.8 percentage point. No other State had a rate increase greater than 0.4 percentage point. See "Regional and State Employment and Unemployment:December 2004," news release USDL 05-109. Price trends in 2004 For the 12-month period ended in December 2004, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 3.3 percent. This compares with an increase of 1.9 percent in all of 2003. From December 2003 to December 2004, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods prices increased 4.1 percent, after climbing 4.0 percent during 2003. Import prices were up 6.9 percent over the year ended in December 2004, compared with a more modest 2.4-percent increase for the year ended in December 2003. The price index for overall exports rose 4.1 percent over the course of 2004. Errata Three rows of data were misaligned in table 4 of the article, "Work-related multiple-fatality incidents," in the October issue. A revised version of page 33 is available at: http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2004/ 10/art2full. pdf. □ The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth: 1979 cohort at 25 The 1979 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth has been a font of information for researchers of all stripes; the Monthly Labor Review brings together the results of research on topics ranging from employment, to attrition in the survey, to data on education, to the children of survey respondents is issue of the Monthly Labor Review economics and demography journals contain at elebrates the 25th anniversary of the least one article that uses NLSY79 data. The main product of the NLS program, unlike National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, of most other BLS programs, is the actual that 1979 Cohort (NLSY79). The National Longitudinal generated by the surveys. For each microdata Surveys (NLS) program, of which the NLSY79 is researchers can access a record that respondent, the flagship survey, is a bit of an anomaly among her responses to every question in or his details the Bureau of Labor Statistics many data collecwith summary and supporting along survey, the tion efforts. None of the Bureau's key economic this record is stripped of course, Of information. indicators relies on NLS data. Only a couple of identify the individual could that information all ·the the more than one hundred press releases 1 of data currently rounds 20 With respondent. colBureau publishes each year involve data an enormous become has NLSY79 the available, lected by the NLS program. It is doubtful that variables 75,000 than more comprising set, data financial markets ever will react strongly to the 500 about requiring and respondent each for release of NLS data. And unlike the current provides NLSY79 The storage. its for megabytes employment statistics, the inflation statistics, or the unemployment rate, measures from the researchers with data from a nationally representative sample of 12,686 individuals who have NLSY79 are not likely to be discussed in everyday participated in up to 21 hour-long interviews over conversation or even in the business news. the last 25 years. 2 These individuals were 14 to influential. Yet, the NLSY79 has been extremely Over the last 25 years, it has provided the data 22 years old when they were first surveyed in for thousands of Ph.D. dissertations, working 1979; they are now in their forties. By observing papers, journal articles, and books that have their lives over the 25-year period, researchers shaped theory and knowledge in disciplines such can study the life course of a large sample of as economics, sociology, education, psychology, American men and women born at the end of the and health sciences. The survey's primary con- baby boom (1957 to 1964) as they navigate the stituency includes hundreds of researchers years between adolescence or young adulthood Pierret Is Charles Director of National within universities, think tanks, and government and middle age. Longitudinal Surveys, Although the primary focus of the survey is Office of Employment agencies both in the United States and abroad. force behavior, the content of the survey is labor thoroughand breadth, and Unemployment Because of its quality, Statistics, Bureau of broader. The NLSY79 contains an considerably most the probably ness, the NLSY79 has become Labor Statistics. questions ranging from childcare of set expansive social the in set data analyzed longitudinal E-mail: For example, the survey receipt. welfare to costs labor leading of issue every Almost sciences. plerret.charles@bls.gov Charles Pierret https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis T: Monthly Labor Review February 2005 3 The NLSY79 at 25 includes detailed questions on educational attainment, investment in training, income and assets, health conditions, workplace injuries, insurance coverage, alcohol and substance abuse, sexual activity, and marital and fertility histories. This wide array of subject matter is certainly one key to the survey's broad utilization for academic research. Recognizing that decisions made in one realm of life often affect and are affected by events in other realms, the NLSY79 questionnaire tries to get a comprehensive view of the lives of survey respondents. For example, health, childcare, and family constraints are important inputs to any labor market choices. By collecting information in many domains, the NLSY79 gives researchers the ability to simultaneously examine and control for multiple correlates of complex phenomena. The NLSY79 also benefits from the inclusion of information collected outside of the main survey. For example, scores on the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery, a series of 10 tests measuring knowledge and skill in areas from paragraph comprehension to electronics, are available for 94 percent of sample respondents. The Armed Forces Qualifying Test score, a composite of the scores on four of these tests, is one of the most popular variables in the survey, in that it can be used to control for differences in cognitive development prior to the start of the survey. Other ancillary data include a survey of the secondary schools attended by NLSY79 respondents and detailed information from the respondents' high school transcripts. The breadth of the content in the survey is complemented by the longitudinal design, a second key to the success of the NLSY79. Not only can researchers correlate behavior in multiple domains, but they can do so over long periods; for example, they can investigate how family structure or educational experiences as a teenager affect employment decisions in a person's twenties and thirties. To facilitate this type of analysis, much of the information in the NLSY79 is gathered in event history format, in which dates are collected for the beginning and ending of important life events. Data on respondents' labor market status, marital status, fertility, and participation in government assistance programs such as unemployment insurance and Aid to Families with Dependent Children are all collected in this manner. The event history format allows researchers to sequence key events so that a first attempt at establishing causality can be made: only if A precedes B can we postulate that A caused B. But the real advantage of longitudinal data in terms of studying causality is the existence of multiple observations of the same person. A classic econometric problem is the existence of unobserved personal characteristics that may be correlated with both the dependent variable of interest and an independent variable that is hypothesized to cause the dependent variable. For example, consider the wage premium associated with marriage among men. 3 4 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 With cross-sectional data, one might compare the wages of married nien with those of unmarried men to calculate the wage premium. Even after controlling for all observable characteristics, though, one might suspect that there are some differences that are not easily measurable (for example, interpersonal skills or ambitiousness), but that might make one both more likely to be married and more likely to earn higher-than-average wages. With longitudinal data, the standard technique is to analyze changes either directly, by regressing the change in wages on the change in marital status, or indirectly, by using a fixed-effects framework. In this way, longitudinal data give us the ability to control for individual effects by using multiple observations of the same individual. A final key to the NLSY79's success is the high quality of its data. The fundamental measure of quality in longitudinal data is the retention rate-the percentage of initial respondents who respond in later rounds. Among social science surveys, the NLSY79 is the undisputed leader in this regard. In 1994, after 15 rounds of interviewing, more than 90 percent of the survey's eligible initial respondents were still being interviewed. 4 While attrition has picked up since that time, more than 80 percent of living initial respondents were interviewed in the 2002 survey. Other dimensions of data quality are also high in the NLSY79. Nonresponse to individual questions (either refusals or "don't know" responses) is quite low; only a handful of questions have nonresponse rates above 1 percent. Because of the longitudinal design of the survey, missing data can often be recaptured in subsequent interviews. As Randall J. Olsen explains, this approach can lead to effective sample sizes larger than the response rate would imply. 5 Given the size of the NLSY79 data set, using the data is relatively easy. 6 Researchers can download the entire data set, along with extraction software to pull off particular variables on their own computer, or they can use the extraction software at the Web site and download smaller data sets. Typically, researchers then use statistical software such as SAS, SPSS, or STATA to process the data and perform their analyses. This accessibility can be combined with the richness of the data to study many topics across myriad disciplines. The remaining articles in this issue of the Review highlight the contributions of the NLSY79 to research, with special emphasis on issues in the area of labor economics. James A. Walker points out that the introduction of nationally representative longitudinal microdata sets, combined with ever-increasing computing power, has created a revolution in social science research over the last few decades. 7 Previously, researchers had to rely on aggregate statistics to grasp the workings of large complex systems. Now they can study individual actors to build an understanding of social structure based upon those micro- foundations. Before, analysts were forced to use small, potentially unrepresentative samples to infer "normal" behavior. Now, iarge surveys give them access to thousands of individuals to study at very low cost. The combination of massive amounts of data and growing computing power led to the development of new statistical methods to exploit this new source of information. The first of these data sets, including the original NLS, failed to fully exploit their longitudinal design. Instead, they tended to ask questions as if the survey were cross sectional, concentrating on the situation at the time of the interview. The genius of the NLSY79 was that it attempted to capture information about what was happening between interviews. Now events of short duration-jobs, marriages, spells of unemployment or public assistance, and the like-were captured, and events across different domains could be sequenced. Analysts now knew, for example, whether the job change happened before or after the marriage, so issues of causality could be addressed. A second major improvement in the NLSY79 over previous surveys using longitudinal data sets was the NLSY79 's strong emphasis on reducing attrition and the effects of attrition on the data. Even seemingly modest attrition can lead to sharp declines in sample size. If participants who do not respond in a particular round are never recontacted, and if 3 percent of the remaining sample declines to participate in every round, only slightly more than one-half of the initial sample will be left after 20 rounds. The NLSY79's retention rate has required interviewing an average of 99 percent of the number of the previous round 's respondents every round. As Olsen's article shows, this task involved increased efforts in terms of both survey design and field operations. All respondents were recontacted every round, regardless of how long it had been since they were last interviewed. A surprising number were reinterviewed after missing one or several rounds. In addition, questions were written to recapture data that had not been retrieved in interviews that had been missed. Respondents were asked about events that had occurred since the last interview, not those which were ongoing or had happened in the past year. Of course, even the highest-quality data are worthless if they are unrelated to any valuable or interesting content. The other six articles in this edition focus on particular content areas. Kenneth I. Wolpin's article on education data in the NLSY79 details a large number of correlates of educational attainment that can be found in the survey's database.8 Not only do more educated individuals earn more money, on average, but they work more hours, are less likely to be unemployed or receive welfare payments, have better health and less obesity, drink less, wait longer to have children and have fewer of them, and, among women in the survey, bear children who weigh more at birth and score higher on cognitive tests. These findings hint at the richness of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NLSY79 data, among which associations like these can be explored in great depth. In her article on early career job churning, Julie A. Yates also touches on the richness of the education data in the NLSY79. 9 She shows that the concept of educational attainment is not at all static: people leave school and return, sometimes getting new educational credentials, sometimes not. This ever-present activity adds significantly to the level of education in the United States. Indeed, only 11 percent of those born between 1961 and 1964 had a college degree when they first left school, but more than 25 percent had a degree by their 35th birthday. The main focus of Yates 's article, though, is the length of time required after leaving school to acquire a job that will last 1, 3, or 5 years. She finds that, by age 35, about 60 percent of those who left school with a high school degree or greater have worked at a job for at least 5 years. For high school dropouts, however, the figure is only 36 percent. Interestingly, the route high school graduates take to acquire a job of this duration is different from that taken by college graduates: the median high school graduate takes 10.1 years and 5 shorter jobs before finding the job that will last 5 years, whereas a college graduate requires only 3.5 years and 2 jobs. Audrey Light also uses the work history data of the NLSY79 to study employment dynamics-specifical ly job mobility and wage growth. 10 She asks whether wage growth is greater for those who stay in one job or those who change employers frequently. The answer she arrives at depends at least partially on the reasons for mobility. Those who change jobs voluntarily have wage growth of the same magnitude as those who stay in jobs; those who change jobs involuntarily have lower wage growth. Light admits that her analysis is "cursory." Given the complexities underlying her questionincluding the role of spells out of the labor force and their interactions with education and gender-it is not surprising that there is no simple answer to the question of how job mobility affects wage growth. But by providing longitudinal employment data along with comprehensive contextual data, the NLSY79 will continue to play a key role in our growing understanding of employment dynamics. The NLSY79, states Robert W. Fairlie, has many features that make it attractive for the study of self-employment: 11 a large, nationally representative sample; detailed financial information; dara on family and educational background; and measures of cognitive and psychological suitability. But the survey's strongest asset is its comprehensive work history, which tracks transitions into and out of self-employment as well as wage and salary employment. A great deal of selfemployment, at least among the young, is episodic, with workers moving often between employment states. But as workers age, their participation in self-employment grows and becomes more stable. Only 5 percent of 22-year-old men are self-employed; by age 42, 12 percent of men are self-employed. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 5 The NLSY79 at 25 The NLSY79, because of its longitudinal design, is ideal for investigating the dynamics of self-employment. Since the 1950 's, the reigning paradigm of labor economics has been human capital theory, in which workers invest in productive skills in order to earn higher wages. The study of human capital has divided skills acquisition into two components: education-in which general knowledge is acquired largely prior to the start of one's working career; and training-in which more specific, job-related skills are acquired, often during one's career. As Harley J. Frazis and James R. Spletzer assert, empirical labor economics research on training has lagged behind research on education because research on training placed much greater demands on the data. 12 Again, the NLSY79 has been a key data set in this literature, not only because it captures details about training, but because it contains a complete history of employment and thousands cf other contextual variables. 'rhe final article in this volume introduces an additional dimension of the NLSY79. In a unique collaboration between Federal Government agencies with complementary interests, the NLS program, with the financial support of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, has been surveying the children of all women respondents to the NLSY79 every 2 years since 1986. Jn their article, Lawrence L. Wu and Jui-Chung Allen Li describe this survey, called the Children of the NLSY79. 13 Mothers are asked about pregnancy, prenatal care, and childcare, as well as the early development of their children. Young children are given cognitive and developmental assessments from the age of 4 to the age of 14. Children between ages 10 and 14 are interviewed briefly about school and family life. Those older than 15 years are given an interview that is similar to the NLSY79 interview. What emerges is a unique data set with a complete developmental history from birth and a comprehensive background of the mother, starting many years before birth. Over time, the sample size has grown to rival that of the NLSY79 itself. At its inception in 1986, the Children of the NLSY79 survey comprised 4,971 children. In 2002, 7,467 children were assessed or interviewed, ranging in age from 2 to 30 years. These articles only scratch the surface of what is available in the NLSY79. Space limitations and the customary focus of the Monthly Labor Review dictate a concentration on employment, education, and training. But there is much more. The NLS program tracks research using NLS data in the NLS bibliography. 14 Among other topics that have been the subject of at least 100 papers using NLSY79 data are income and earnings, marriage, maternal employment, adolescent fertility, alcohol and substance use, childcare, family structure, and government assistance programs. Smaller numbers of papers have used NLSY79 data to examine topics as diverse as job satisfaction, depression, migration, breast- 6 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 feeding, parental leave, savings, and the involvement of fathers in raising children. There truly are few topics in social science that have not seen a contribution from NLSY79 data. The success of the NLSY79 also led the Bureau of Labor Statistics to introduce a new cohort to its own longitudinal survey program. The NLSY97 is a survey of 8,984 youths who were born between 1980 and 1984 and who were 12 to 17 years of age when first interviewed in 1997. While the basic design of this survey is quite similar to that of the NLSY79, several changes were introduced because of the NLS program's experience with earlier surveys. The most important change was that NLSY97 respondents were younger when first interviewed than were those in the NLSY79. It was felt that respondents should be observed while still in school and still in the parental home, so that all transitions to the world of work and to independent living could be recorded. Also, starting with a younger sample allowed the survey to collect more background on the respondents' introduction to the labor market. Information on informal jobs such as babysitting and yard work was collected for those as young as 12 years. 15 In another attempt to understand initial conditions, the NLSY97 interviewed a parent for each respondent. These interviews focused on the child's family, health, and schooling background, as well as the resources available to the child in the parental home. The eighth annual interview of the NLSY97 is currently in the field, and the respondents are now in their twenties. Already, a number of articles using these data have been published on a wide array of topics. It appears that the NLSY97 is poised to emulate the success of the NLSY79. Many people have contributed to the success of the NLSY79 program, which is managed and funded by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Since the survey's inception, the Center for Human Resource Research at the Ohio State University has directed survey operations under contract to the Department of Labor. The Center is responsible for survey development, data processing, and user support. In turn, the actual interviewing has been performed under subcontract by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. Designing, preparing, fielding, processing, and disseminating a survey of the complexity of the NLSY79 requires many dedicated professionals. The success of the survey is a tribute to their hard work and dedication. The contributions of two groups are especially noteworthy. Over the last 25 years, the field-interviewing staff at the National Opinion Research Center has consistently exceeded response rate targets by locating elusive respondents, convincing reluctant respondents to participate, and maintaining high levels of data quality. Still, the most important group in the success of the NLSY79 is the respondents. For 25 years, the members of this group have endured thousands of sometimes difficult and intrusive questions for little more than the knowledge that they are involved in an important research project. Their assistance has added immensely to academic and policy research across a wide array of disciplines, helping those involved to increase their knowledge,elaborate new theory, and develop new ways of understanding critical □ issues in the social sciences. Notes Under special arrangement, researchers can access certain geographic information about respondents in order to link environmenta l variables to the records of those respondents . Personally identifying information, however, is never available to researchers ; it is protected by law through the Confidential Information Protection and Statistical Efficiency Act. 1 Much of the summary information that follows can be found on Web site at http://www.bls.gov/nls/nlsy79.htm or in the NLSY79 User 's Guide (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2001) . 2 the NLSY7 9 3 For a more thorough discussion of this issue, see Harry A. Krashinsky, " Do Marital Status and Computer Usage Really Change the Wage Structure?" Journal of Human Resources, summer 2004, pp. 774-91. 4 Two subsamples comprising roughly 3,000 respondents were dropped from the sample in 1985 and 1991 to reduce costs . The current sample size is 9,964 initial respondents, of which 346 were deceased at the time of the 2002 survey. 5 Randall J. Olsen, "The problem of respondent attrition: survey methodology is key," this issue, pp. 63- 70. The data are available at no c0st on the Internet at http:// www.bls.gov/nls/nls_y79.htm . 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 James A. Walker, "Antecedents and predecessors of the paving the course," this issue, pp. 8-14. 8 Kenneth I. Wolpin , " Education data in the research tool," this issue, pp. 15-20. NLSY79: NLSY79: a premiere 9 Julie A. Yates, "The transition from school to work : education and work experiences," this issue, pp. 21 - 32. 10 Audrey Light, "Job mobility and wage growth: evidence from the this issue, pp . 33-39. NLSY79," 11 Robert W. Fairlie, "Self-employment, entrepreneurship, and the this issue, pp. 40-47. NLSY79," 12 Harley J. Frazis and James R. Spletzer, " Worker training: what we've learned from the NLSY79," this issue, pp. 48- 58. 13 Lawrence L. Wu and Jui-Chung Allen Li, "Children of the a unique data resource," this issue, pp. 59---62. 14 NLSY79: On the Internet at http://www.chrr.ohio-state.edu/nls -bib/. See, for example, " Employment of Teenagers during the School Year and Summer," news release 04-217, on the Internet at http:// www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/nls yth.pdf. 15 Monthly Labor Review February 2005 7 Antecedents and predecessors of NLSV79: paving the course A historical view of the NLSY79 development stages highlights lessons learned during an era filled with new concepts and innovations in sociology, economics, and computer science James R. Walker I n 1965, at the prompting of the Assistant Secretary of Labor, Daniel Patrick Moynihan, individuals from the Department of Labor (DOL) and Ohio State University designed the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience. At the time, the participants did not realize that they were creating one of the premier, large scale national longitudinal surveys in the United States. Initially funded for 5 years by the Department of Labor, the "Parnes" data, as the Original Cohorts were called, continued for 37 years, with the last scheduled fielding of the women samples in 2003. 1 The success of the Original Cohorts led to the creation of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79). James R. Walker is professor of economics in the Department of Economics, University of WisconsinMadison. E-mail: walker@ssc.wisc.edu. This article explores antecedents and predecessors of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979. 2 Longitudinal data are now so plentiful that it is difficult to imagine the world in which they did not exist. Yet, in the mid- I 960s, the large scale longitudinal household surveys that came to dominate areas of sociology, demography, and labor economics did not exist. Analyses that are now commonplace were either not possible or inference was restricted to small or specialized samples. Yet to suggest that there were no longitudinal data sources prior to 1965 is wrong; several longitudinal surveys predate the NLS. Two well- 8 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 known studies reflect the nature of longitudinal data available before the start of the NLS. The Glueck study of juvenile delinquents from the Boston area followed 1,000 adolescents (500 juvenile delinquents and 500 non-delinquents) into adulthood to examine criminal behavior and contact with the justice system. 3 Sheldon and Eleanor Glueck started interviewing at the end of 1938, completing the first wave of interviews in 1948. Two more waves of interviews followed as the youth were interviewed at ages 25 and 32. Interviews continued until 1965. The other study available before the NLS, and perhaps more visible to economists, is the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)-Thorndike sample, collected from Air Force volunteers during WWII. In 1955, R. Thorndike and E. Hagen randomly selected 17,000 of the 75,000 Air Force volunteers who took the Aviation Cadet Qualifying Test in the second half of 1943 (a test similar in function to the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) tests that NLSY79 respondents took to set a norm in recruiting standards for the Department of Defense). In 1969, with funding from the NBER, Paul Taubman and his colleagues reinterviewed about 5,000 of the original 17,000 members of the Thorndike sample, obtaining information on current and retrospective earnings, education, and occupation. These data have been widely used to study the determinants of earnings, ability bias, and the return to schooling (that is, benefits associated with higher levels of schooling). 4 A number of other specialized longitudinal studies were launched in the decade prior to the NLS. These efforts surveyed teen mothers, drug users, gifted children, and children from privileged and underprivileged backgrounds. 5 These studies shared features like the Gluecks' study and the NEER-Thorndike study in that they were local in character with limited or irregular longitudinal followups. However, several studies are impressive and cover a long arc of their respondents' lives. 6 Antecedents Scientific frontiers. Two critical elements came together in the 1960s supporting the development of large, household surveys. First, the social science field had developed the conceptual foundation supporting the use of longitudinal data. Within the fields of psychology and sociology, researchers and scientists fostered the life course perspective, viewing human development as following a sequence of stages. 7 And second, in the economics field, human capital b~came the organizing conceptual framework. In his 1960 Presidential Address to the American Economics Association, T.W. Schultz presented his influential thoughts on human capital. 8 The human capital theory quickly became a central concept for understanding the determinants of wages, the structure of earnings, and more generally, the distribution of economic opportunities. Labor economists sought to measure the return to schooling, labor market experience, and tenure with an employer. Social scientists sought to understand schooling decisions, both in terms of quantity (the amount of schooling obtained) and in terms of quality (types of post secondary schooling). Intervention and experiments. The intellectual primacy of measuring education and training fueled and was fueled by the era of big social science and policy interventionism of the mid-1960s. In 1964, the Johnson Administration am1ounced the War on Poverty. Education and training programs were among the most important anti-poverty programs proposed. Thus, measuring and understanding the determinants and consequences of poverty required the collection of new, longitudinal household level data. The Department of Labor, Office of Economic Opportunity initiated a survey of the same name in 1967, followed by the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), conducted by the Census Bureau in 1968. The mid-1960s also witnessed the negative income tax experiments in Gary, New Jersey; Seattle, Washington; and Denver, Colorado. These experiments varied in size and focus, but each was large with sizable treatment and control groups. And, unlike the NLS and PSID surveys, which "only" collected https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis information on the respondents, the experiments were more ambitious, comprising both an important experimental design component and an extensive data collection component. Also, the experiments generated another source of longitudinal data and provided additional demands for their analysis and interpretation. Yet, conducting the social experiments reflected certain optimism (as it only makes sense to investigate the source of the disease if remedies are available). Indeed, demand for these new forms of data were perhaps driven by the belief in the effectiveness of interventionist economic policies, and particularly labor market policies to enhance human capital. In 1962, Congress passed the Manpower Development and Training Act, which generated an array of training programs targeted to the low-skilled, unemployed, and underemployed population. The Comprehensive Training Act of 1973 attempted to unify the existing Federal programs, and initiated programs to additional groups (for example, welfare recipients). The quasi-experimental designs of the 1960s and 1970s called for longitudinal data that could be used to compare labor market outcomes for treatment groups and control groups. These outcomes were matched with observable personal characteristics for at least two points in time (for the treatment group, before and after training). The need for individual longitudinal data is transparent. Indeed, a primary motivation for the NLSY79 cohort was "to permit a replication of the analysis of the 1960s Young Men and Young Women cohorts and to assist in the evaluation of the expanded employment and training programs for youth legislated in the 1977 amendments to the Comprehensive Training Act of 1973.''9 The analysis gap. Analyses of longitudinal data started appearing in the major journals about 10 years after data collection. To prove this, Frank Stafford assessed empirical practices within labor economics according to the content and practices of labor papers published in the top economics journals. 10 For example, Stafford reports that more than half of the papers published in the six major journals in the first half of the 1960s on labor market topics were theoretical, with no empirical analyses. Of those reporting empirical analyses, (national) time series data or aggregate (say, to the State or metropolitan area) cross section data comprised the vast majority of published work. Nearly one-fifth of the empirical papers of the time period reported on tabulations and data summaries published elsewhere (Stafford's term for secondary analyses). Not surprisingly, given the (virtual) absence of panel data, no papers during this period were published using panel data. And, only one paper using panel data appeared in the top economics journals in the second half of the 1960s. The top journals witnessed a small but Monthly Labor Review February 2005 9 Antecedents of NLSY79 steady stream of papers using longitudinal data in the early 1970s; 11 a stream that turned into a river in the second half of the 1970s and early 1980s. Joshua Angrist and Alan Krueger update Stafford's tabulations into the late l 990s. 12 By this time, microdata, cross sectional, and longitudinal analyses have increased their dominance- now fully 85 percent of empirical papers in the top economics journals on labor market topics use microdata. The micro-files of the Current Population Survey (especially the March Income Supplement) was the most popular cross sectional source of data; and the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics and the NLS cohorts dominate the longitudinal-based studies. 13 However, the dominance of the PSID and NLS as longitudinal data sources weakened as economists increasingly (if not frequently) frame and collect their own longitudina l data sources. The value of longitudinal data used to address particular questions is evident from the variety of longitudinal data collected. The computer revolution. Implicit in Stafford's and Angrist and Kreuger 's tabulations is that there is a 10-year lag between the start of a panel and widespread use of the data. This lag is surprisingly constant, though the reasons behind it vary with each cohort. For the original cohorts of the NLS and the PSID, longitudinal data were new and analytically and physically cumbersome to use. Computing power in the midl 960s was a fraction of what it is today. Computing was done in centralized locations, using mainframe computers maintained by specialized staff. Commonly used equipment, such as keypunch machines, card readers, magnetic tape drives, and impact line printers can now be found only in museums. The personal computer revolution was a solid 15 years in the future. Disk drives and other convenient large scale storage devices did not exist. Tabulations easily produced in a matter of seconds on a desktop computer today required "spinning tapes" on the mainframe, assistance from the tape machine operator, and literally hours of computer time. Empirical researchers acquired nocturnal habits, as all sigmficant computing was done at night. Notions of the solitary scholar are almost always wrong, but certainly did not apply to the early pioneers analyzing microdata. It is also true that the profession had to develop the statistical procedures and analytical skills for working with the longitudinal data. With a few notable exceptions, most of the initial statistical procedures for panel data were developed after 1965. The increased computational capacity of the computer revolution was also necessary to support the new statistical procedures. 14 Longitudina l versus household data. Besides acquiring statistical techniques, researchers had to appreciate the advantages and disadvantag es of longitudina l data. 10 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 Arguably, we continue to relearn these lessons. The chapters by Stafford and Angrist and Krueger are informative on this dimension and on the contemporar y research frontier. Stafford's chapter enumerates the advantages and disadvantage s of longitudinal data, and compares data collected by household surveys versus those collected by program or social experiments. In Angrist and Krueger, the comparative advantage of panel data is presumed, and the discussion focuses on empirical and modeling strategies for recovering causal effects. The original cohorts From this intellectual and policy context, the original four cohorts of the National Longitudina l Surveys of Labor Market Experience were designed to represent the U.S. civilian noninstitutional population at the time of the initial survey. The surveys were funded by the Office of Manpower, Automation , and Training (now, the Employmen t and Training Administration) of the Department of Labor, and conducted by the Center for Human Resource Research of Ohio State University. Specifically, the original cohorts are: Older Men Ages 45-59 in 1966; Mature Women ages 30-44 in 1966, and two cohorts of youth, Young Men ages 14-24 in 1966; and Young Women 14-24 in 1968. Initially, each cohort was to be interviewed annually for 5 years for a total of six interviews), with about 5,000 individuals per cohort. However, cost considerations after the first wave of interviews changed these plans. As a result, the older cohorts were interviewed biennially, with the Mature Women interviewed in both 1971 and 1972 to place an interview year at the end of the 5-year period. Because of high retention rates and widespread use by the research community, the surveys secured another 5 years of funding in 1972, and again in 1977 when the decision 15 was made to start a new youth cohort, the NLSY79. As previously noted, a fundamental purpose of the NLS has been to provide relevant information on a variety of issues to assist the research of economists, sociologists, and other analysts. This mission motivated the selection of the original cohorts. For example, the first cohort of Older Men (45-59 in 1966) was selected to study factors associated with declining labor force participation, such as skill obsolescence, health problems, and age discrimination. The Young Men's Cohort (14-24 in 1966) and Young Women's Cohorts (14-24in 1968) were selected because of the problems associated with the preparation for, initial entry into, and adjustment to the labor force. 16 Problems of the youth labor market generated concern and added to contemporary debate on topics such as teen unemployment, family effects on youth employment, the effect of minimum wages, and barriers impeding the transition from school to work. 17 Increased labor force participation by married women and women with children is one of the great social changes of the second half of the twentieth century. 18 The Mature Women's Cohort (age 30-44, in 1967) was intended to enable researchers to study women who were reentering the workforce and balancing the roles of homemaker, mother, and labor force participant. 19 Wea!!h of information. The initial survey instruments focused on labor market activity. Instruments included the Current Population Survey (CPS) questionnaire to summarize current labor force status and a longer set of questions on work experiences and attitudes to work. Attention was given to collecting information on the respondent's current job (at the interview date) and if not working, on the longest job held since the prior interview. In addition, information on the number of weeks worked in the last calendar year and the reasons for not working are now collected. Information on education is also concentrated on the status at the time of the interview. Information on the current high school or college is collected, if the respondent has dropped out of school, why, or if the respondent returned to school, and reasons for the return. Even in the focused instruments of the early round:.;, the surveys exhibited an eclectic mix of questions on employment and (for the youth) education. Yet, the instrument also obtained information on health, training, assets and income, and family background. It did not take many years for the content of the instrument to broaden significantly and attain the breadth of coverage now associated with the NLS. As James Sweet, noted, this breadth is natural because of the diverse and competent set of scholars consulted about the instrument's content, and more importantly, that virtually every phase of life is and will be associated with some aspect ofwork. 20 The original cohorts had a tremendous impact on policy and on research. In October, 1977 the Social Science Research Council held a 3-day conferenc(. to review the NLS. The council's review was so extensive that it required five volumes of papers to summarize and evaluate the research contribution of the Original Cohorts. To give a flavor of the topics, exhibit 1 lists the table of contents to the report on the behaviors studied using the NLS Original Cohorts. Exhibit 2 lists some of the policy findings from individual assessments done in the early 1980s. The NLS Youth cohorts could be used, like the NBERThorndike sample, to study the return to schooling while controlling for ability bias. One of the early uses of the NLS was to estimate returns to schooling. Microdata are needed to obtain information on the many background and contextual variables that would confound the analysis. The primary problem in estimating the return to schooling is controlling for ability bias-are there person-spec ific unobserved https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis variables (for example, motivation, parental support, intelligence) that affects both the amount of education and labor market earnings. Gary Chamberlain and Zvi Griliches wrote an influential set of papers using the Young Men's Cohort to articulate the issues involved and to provide initial 21 estimates of the return education controlling for ability bias. convenience Now, instead of using the NBER-Thorndike sample, researchers could estimate the return to schooling using a nationally representative sample. Research on the return to schooling uncovered the weak-nesses of the pointin-time measuremen t of the educational attainment. The NLSY79 schooling section was substantially extended and 22 provided researchers with a wealth of in-formation. More issues from the panel. In the late 1970s, as economists focused on life cycle events, they recognized the value of panel data to distinguish between outcomes generated by "state dependence;" that is, the true effects of the dynamic path experienced or of "unobserved " heterogenei ty-fixed, but unobserved personal characteristics that may contribute to a set of outcomes. State dependence/unobserved heterogeneity debates arose in many literatures. A critical example at the time was whether unemployment "scarred" workers: did a long spell of unemployment damage the worker to make them less employable in the future? Or were workers with the longest spells of unemployment those with the lowest level Table of contents from Social Science Research Council report, 1977 Labor supply Female labor supply and fertility expectations; Child care and welfare; Marital instability; Male labor supply Labor demand Dual and segmented labor markets; Racial discrimination in the labor market; Sex discrimination in the labor market; Unionization and labor market differentials; Labor demand and structural factors - further considerations Human capital and status attainment models Human capital; Sociology of education status attainment Unemployment Job separation; Job search Social psychological factors Aging Methodolo gical research using the NLS SouRCE: William Bielby, Clifford Hawley, and David Bills "Research Uses of the National Longitudinal Surveys," A Research Agenda for the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience, part V (Washington, oc, Social Science Research Council, Center for Coordination of Research on Social Indicators, 1978). Monthly Labor Review February 2005 11 Antecedents of Exhibit 2. NLSY79 Topics of the NLS Cohorts before 1979 Young Men and Young Women School to work transitions; Effects of minimum wage; Returns to schooling and ability bias; Impact of early employment on later success; Consequences of early childbearing among teenagers; Effects of unemployment insurance benefits Effect of discontinuous work experience on earnings and labor supply; Balancing family and work demands; Market availability of child care and women's employment; Effect of income tax on labor supply of married women Older Men Retirement decisions of older men; Effects of unemployment insurance benefits; General issues relating to the aging of the population; Relationship between health and employment; Broad range of socio-economic considerations of the elderly; Analysis of age discrimination in employment SouRcE: Center for Human Resource Research, 'The National Longitudinal Surveys and Public Policy" (Columbus, Ohio. The Ohio State University, no date ); Duane Leigh, "The National Longitudinal Surveys: A Selective Survey of Recent Evidence," paper presented at the American Economic Association Meetings (Washington, DC, Dec. 28, 1981 ); and June O'Neill, "Review of the National Longitudinal Surveys," unpublished paper (Washington, DC, The Urban Institute, 1982). Review prepared for the Office of Research and Evaluation, Employment and Training Administration, Department of Labor. of skills that made them susceptible to more and longer spells in the future? As is well known, answers to these questions determine the type of appropriate policy response. For example, in the unemployment case, if scarring is present, policies targeted at eliminating long employment spells may be effective, but such policies would be ineffective if the long spells are primarily generated by unobserved individual characteristics. After nearly 30 years of professional experience in thinking about these issues (and with many applications supported by the NLS79), some researchers might view the early literature as na'ive and simplistic, yet, there is no denying the authors' intellectual excitement and vigor in these early papers. The authors were aware that they were breaking new ground and were excited about the analytical promises held by longitudinal data. 23 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The success of the Original Cohorts paved the way for the NLSY79. The promise of longitudinal data and the policy issues of the mid- to late 1970s called for another youth cohort. Given a chance to field another cohort, the research community had an opportunity to correct some of the deficiencies of the original cohorts and to collect data on new topics. The participants of the Social Science Research Council review panel of 1977 were charged to: • Mature Women 12 Impact of the original cohorts February 2005 • • • Provide a comprehensive review of research based on the NLS Identify new directions Suggest analytical strategies Comment on survey content Conference attendees took their job seriously and provided thoughtful and broad perspectives of the NLS. Indeed, participants developed several critical suggestions that shaped the design of NLSY79. Most notably, the panel advocated collection of more extensive labor market experience data. A methodological paper by Burton Singer illustrated the analytical advantages of collecting event histories (that is, a full enumeration of the start and stop dates of all jobs held since the last interview). 24 The state dependence/unobserved heterogeneity analyses of the original cohorts highlighted the need for precise timing information to construct the correct temporal sequence of education, marriage, employment and fertility decisions and outcomes. The event histories collected in the NLSY79 is one of its innovations. 25 As noted, the Social Science Research Council review committee also recommended improved information on schooling. Here, the interest was to gain improved information on the type and nature of post secondary schooling, and especially on vocational training. At the time of the recommendation on schooling, the NLS program was housed within the Employment and Training Administration ofDOL. Lessons learned. The Social Science Research Council recommended that the definition of the sampling universe be refined from the noninstitutionalized population. The Census Bureau did the field work and gained expertise in following the noninstitutionalized population. Yet, as the review panel notes, this practice induced bias in the construction of the Original Youth cohorts. For example, for the Young Men's cohort, men in jail or in the military were defined out of scope and excluded (at the height of the Vietnam War). The definition also reflects the survey's point-in-time structure and the cross sectional thinking behind it-persons incarcerated and persons in the military at the time of the interview would have little employment activity to report and presumably could be excluded at little cost. An equally pernicious fielding decision generated by the same cross sectional mindset was to drop follow-up respondents who missed two consecutive interviews. This could be view as simply a mistake of adolescence-we did not know better then. Indeed, it took the NLSY79 to teach us about the possibility of retention and the significance of respondent continuity. Not all of the recommendations from the review committee were accepted. As previously mentioned, one of the primary motivations for the NLSY79 was to assist in the evaluation of youth employment and training programs under the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act of 1973 (CETA). The Employment and Training Administration had front-line responsibility for evaluating the programs. Yet, the Social Science Research Council committee argued against designing the survey for program evaluation: Significant changes in study designs have been made for the new youth cohorts [i.e., men and women of the NLSY79]. These include adding questions about participation in youthjob training programs, collecting supplemental data by matching to program records on respondents who have participated in such programs, and excluding from the panel those over age 21 (rather than 24 as in the previous youth panels or 25, which would be required to cover young people not covered in existing [NLS] panels). The conferees were nearly unanimous in perceiving these changes as motivated by an intention to use the NLS as a vehicle for the evaluation of these training programs. They present strong arguments both for the impossibility of evaluating programs under the proposed design, and for the danger of drawing evaluative conclusions from the data produced by this design. 26 Conferees questioned whether respondents would be able to provide sufficiently accurate program information to allow researchers to identify their training program and specifically their exact "treatment." Their concerns were well founded; an encyclopedic review of the evaluation literature shows that the NLS (and other large scale surveys) have been little used for the evaluation of training programs. 27 This panel of experts earned their honorariums. Many of their recommendations were incorporated into the design of the NLSY79 Cohort. Indeed, the survey's continuous and detailed recording of events related to the transition from school to work, from adolescence into adulthood, and now into middle age have made it the analytical workhorse within several social science disciplines. The NLSY79 is viewed by □ many to be the crown jewel of the NLS program. Notes This article was presented as a paper for the ACKNOWLEDGMENT: Twenty-Fifth Anniversary Celebration of the NLSY79, organized by the National Longitudinal Studies Program at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The author thanks Frank Mott, Randy Olsen, Pat Rhoton, and Ken Wolpin for comments, Amanda McClain, and Leslie Brown Joyner for editorial assistance. 1 "Parnes" data are named after one of the designers of the NLS, Herb Parnes, from Ohio State University. Fnnk L. Mott, "Looking Backward: Post Hoc Reflections on Longitudinal Surveys," in Erin Phelps, Frank F. Furstenberg, and Anne Colby, eds., Looking at Lives: American Longitudinal Studies of the Twentieth Century (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 2002 ). This offers another perspective on the history of the NLS program. 2 3 The Gluecks initiated a survey design that is difficult to match today. They interviewed the youth, their families, employers, school teachers, neighbors and justice officials. And they supplemented and validated the interview data with administrative data obtained from social welfare agencies. See Robert J. Sampson and John H. Laub, Crime in the Making: Pathways and Turning Points Through Life (Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1995), p. 90. See Paul Taubman and Terence Wales, "Higher Education, Mental Ability and Screening," Journal of Political Economy, 81 (Jan. - Feb., 1973) pp. 28-55, for a description of the NEER-Thorndike sample. 4 5 Europe initiated a number of early longitudinal studies as well. Erin Phelps and others, Looking at Lives: American Longitudinal Studies of the Twentieth Century (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2002), lists a few of the most noteworthy. 6 The Terman study of children with high ability followed a group of 672 high-ability children from California for more than 65 years, with an attrition rate of less than IO percent of the original respondents (excluding those who died or became invalids)! See George E. Vaillant, "The Study of Adult Development," in Erin Phelps and others, eds., Looking at Lives: American Longitudinal Studies of the Twentieth Century (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 2002), pp. I 16--132. 7 See Janet Zollinger Giele, "Longitudinal Studies and Life Course Research: Innovation, Investigators, and Policy Ideas," in Erin Phelps and others, eds., Looking at Lives: American Longitudinal Studies of the Twentieth Century (New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 2002). Giele discusses the synthesis in developmental psychology, sociology, and history after World War II that led to a new conceptual framework for understanding the forces and behavioral processes as people age. 8 See Theodore W. Schultz, "Investment in Human Capital," American Economic Review, March 1961, pp. 1-17. 9 NLSY79 User's Guide (Columbus, Research) p. 4. OH, Center for Human Resource ° 1 Frank Stafford, "Forestalling the Demise of Empirical Economics: The Role of Microdata in Labor Economics Research," in Orley Ashenfelter and Richard Layard, eds., Handbook of Labor Economics, vol. I (New York, North Holland, 1986). 11 However, about 20 percent of these papers using a longitudinal data source, used the data as a cross section. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 13 Antecedents of NLSY79 12 Joshua D. Angrist and Alan B. Krueger, "Empirical Strategies in Labor Economics," in Orley C. Ashenfelter and David Card, eds., Handbook of Labor Economics, vol. 3A (New York, North Holland, 1986) . 13 With a small edge in papers to the original cohorts of the NLS! See for example, Stafford, "Forestalling the Demise of Empirical Economics," 1986. 14 One of the first codifications of panel data techniques appeared in a special volume in the Journal of Econometrics in 1982. Also see Gary Chamberlain, "Panel Data," in Z. Griliches and M. D. Intriligator, eds., Handbook of Econometrics, vol. 2 (Amsterdam, North Holland, 1994). Chamberlain is considered a highly influential chapter on panel data. Also see C. Hsiao, Analysis of Panel Data (Cambridge, MA, Cambridge University Press, 1986), a readable gem from the Econometric Society; and Jeffrey Wooidridge, Econometric Analysis for Cross and Panel Data (Cambridge, MA. MIT Press, 2002). Wooldridge's elegant text provides a unified treatment of what is now an extensive literature. 15 Retention rates at the end of the first six interviews: Older Men 83 percent, Mature Women 88 percent, Young Men 76 percent, Young Women 86 percent. Please see the NLS Handbook or NLS User Guide for each Cohort for additional information. 16 Social Science Research Council, "A Research Agenda for the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience,'' Parts iIV. A Report on the Social Science Research Council's Conference on the National Longitudinal Surveys. Prepared for the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor, October 1977 NBER volume. 17 See, for example, Richard B. Freeman and David A. Wise, eds., The Youth Labor Market Problems: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1982). 18 See Richard B. Freeman, "The Evolution of the American Labor Market 1948-1980," in Martin Feldstein, ed., The American Economy in Transition (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1980). As Freeman notes, "In the early part of the post-wwn period, most of the increase occurred among older women, many of whom were returning to work as their children reached school age. Nearly 80 percent of the growth in the female work force between 1947 and 1965 resulted from increased numbers of women aged 35 and over, whose labor force participation rate rcse sharply." 14 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 19 Frank Mott, "Looking Backward: Post Hoc Reflections on Longitudinal Surveys," 2002, p. 67. Mott notes the strong policy motivation supporting the cohorts, but also recognizes the Mature Women's Cohort was "created in part because of internal pressures applied within the Department of Labor by individuals in the department's Women's Bureau." 20 James Sweet, remarks to a review of the NLS program by the Social Service Research Council in 1977. See William Bielby, Clifford Hawley, and David Bills, "Research Uses of the National Longitudinal Surveys," A Research Agenda for the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience, Part V. (Washington, oc, Social Science Reserach Council, Center for Coordination of Research on Social Indicators, 1978). 21 See Gary Chamberlain and Zvi Griliches "Unobservables with a Varianve-Components Structure: Ability, Schooling, and the Economic Success of Brothers," International Economic Review, 1975, vol. 16, pp. 422-50. 22 For a summary of its influence, see Kenneth I. Wolpin, "Educational data in the NLSY79: a premiere research tool," Monthly Labor Review, February 2005, pp. 15-20. 23 See David Ellwood, "Teenage Unemployment: Permanent Scars or Temporary Blemishes," in Richard B. Freeman and David A. Wise, eds., The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes and Consequences (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1981 ); and James J. Heckman, "Heterogeneity and State Dependence," in Sherwin Rosen, ed., Studies in Labor Markets (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1981 ). 24 See Bielby and others, "Research Uses of the National Longitudinal Surveys," 1978. 25 For a discussion of event histories and other methodological contributions of the NLSY79, see Randy Olsen, "The problem of respondent attrition: survey methodology is key," Monthly Labor Review, February 2005, pp. 63-67. 26 Social Science Research Council, A Research Agenda for the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience, I 977, p. 31. 27 James J. Heckman, Robert LaLonde, and Jeffrey Smith, "Something on Evaluation Literature," in David Card and Orley Ashenfelter, eds., Handbook of Labor Economics, vol. 3a (New York, North Holland, 1999), p. 1994. Education data in the NLSY79: a premiere research tool Social science researchers widely use the NLSY79 schooling data because of its longitudinal nature and range of content Kenneth I. Wolpin Kenneth I. Wolpin is a professor at the University of Pennsylvania Department of Economics. E-mail: wolpink@ssc.upenn.edu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rhaps the most widely used data in social science research are those related to measures of education; among such measures, years of schooling is the most ubiquitous. A search of the National Longitudinal Survey (NLS) Annotated Bibliography yields 1,803 articles, book chapters, dissertations, and so forth , in which either the word "education" or "schooling" appears in the title, abstract, or as a keyword. 1 Of those, more than 1,000 were based on the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth , 1979 (NLSY79) data. 2 Researchers' use of education measures found in the NLSY79 spans several social science disciplines, particularly economics and sociology, and, to a lesser extent, psychology. A large number of articles using NLSY79 education measures have appeared in major general audience and specialty journals. (See table 1.) 3 In economics, there were ~ such journals, totaling 78 published articles, and in sociology, 6 journals with 47 articles. In psychology, one journal specializing in child development published five articles, and one medical science journal also published five. 4 The topics covered in these articles vary widely, as is evident from looking at the titles of the journals. These articles can be classified into two broad categories: (i) articles that study schooling decisions themselves (for example, how much schooling to complete, whether to drop out of high school, or choice of college major), and (ii) articles that study the "effect" P of schooling on some other decision or outcome (for example, on wages, fertility, or alcohol consumption). In both cases, the NLSY79 data is chosen for its omnibus nature (that is, the data include information other than schooling), and because the data are longitudinal. Although the NLSY79 was a pathbreaking survey in many ways, the collection of schooling data has been relatively standard. The education section in 1979, the first year of the survey, contained a total of just 25 questions (excluding interviewer check items), although respon dents were attending school levels ranging from junior high through college. 5 In the first follow-up survey in 1980, respondents were asked just 16 questions, primarily to update the baseline schooling information obtained in the 1979 survey round. Essentially, the same questions were asked in the second follow-up in 1981, with the important addition of a monthly attendance record obtained retrospectively back to January 1980. This addition was in keeping with the event history format of the NLSY79 with respect to the collection of employment data and was continued throughout all subsequent rounds. The schooling section was unchanged until 1984, when an extensive set of questions was added to obtain information on colleges attended by respondents. Again, in keeping with the overall format of the survey, the aim was to obtain an event history of college attendance. The rostering of colleges attended continued prospectively through 1990, when the youngMonthly Labor Review February 2005 15 NLSY79 Education Data Number of articles pl.lblished since 1990 with "education" or "schooling" as a keyword in the title or in the abstract: journals with five or more articles by field Field / journal Economics: American Economic Review ... ... ...... ....... ....... ...... Economics of Education Review .. .................. .... . Industrial and Labor Relations Review ..... ......... .. Journal of Human Resources ...... .... ..... .. .... ... ..... . Journal of Labor Economics ....... ........... .... ..... .... . Journal of Political Economy ..... ..... ........ .......... ... Monthly Labor Review .......... .... ..... ... ................... Review of Economics and Statistics ....... ... ....... ... Number of articles 10 7 11 18 7 5 10 13 Sociology, demography : American Sociological Review ......... ................ .. . Dernography .. ..... .. ...... .... ....... .... ........... .... ......... .. . Family Planning Perspective .... ..... ... .... ....... ...... .. Journal of Family Issues ......... ....... ... ....... ... ..... ... . Journal of Marriage and the Family ... ........... ... .... Social Forces ...... ...... .... ..... ....... .. ....... ....... ...... .... . 6 10 9 Psychology: Child Development ..... ..... ... ... ........ ..... ......... ... ...... 5 Others: Pediatrics .. ........... .... .. ...... ..... ... .. .... .... ... .... .......... . 5 6 8 8 est respondents were age 25. The major elements of the schooling data in the main survey include current school enrollment status, highest grade attended and completed, high school curriculum, major field of study in college, degrees obtained, names and locations of colleges attended, college loans, and the schooling of household members. Along with the main survey, there are several supplemental data collections pertinent to schooling. The School Survey, given in 1980, collected information from school administrators on school characteristics. The High School Transcript Survey collected and coded high school transcripts for almost 9,000 of the respondents. Finally, the Children of the NLSY79, begun in 1986, collected child development data for all children born to the women of the NLSY79. It is beyond the scope of this article to summarize the findings from the studies cited above; instead, some data are presented that fit with the purpose of this special issue, that of celebrating the 25th anniversary of the NLSY79. In that vein, the data presented illustrate the aforementioned two most important features of the survey, the longitudinal nature and the range of content. These features are highlighted by documenting differences among completed schooling groups in a wide array of behaviorally-rel ated characteristics. (See table 2.) Cumulative differences are shown for many characteristics over a substantial post-schooling age range. The table makes clear the rationale for the intensive study of schooling by social scientists, and for the popularity of using the NLSY79 data. 16 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 In the table, schooling is based on completed years of schooling as of age 25 and is divided into five categories: high school dropouts (completed years of schooling reported to be less than 12) who have not received a GED, high school dropouts who have received a GED, high school graduates (completed years of schooling exactly 12, no GED), those with some college (completed years of schooling between 13 and 15), and college graduates (completed years of schooling 16 or more). The table, based on data through the 2000 survey, considers differences in earnings, welfare takeup and payments, unemployment, hours worked, financial asset holdings, health status, obesity, alcohol consumption, fertility, and birth weight and test scores of the first-born child. About 20 percent of males and 17 percent of females in this cohort did not complete high school with a regular diploma; of those, about a third received a GED. Notice that counting a person with a GED as a high school graduate makes a nontrivial difference to the calculation of the dropout rate. 6 A little less than 40 percent graduated high school with a diploma and did not complete any further schooling. The rest, about 40 percent of the cohort, went on to college, and about half of those graduated. The cumulative figures in the table span ages from 25 through 39. However, many of the variables are not available in every year. Thus, cumulative variables, such as total earnings or weeks of unemployment, would be understated. Averaging available data and multiplying by 15 would provide an unbiased estimate except that missing values tend to occur more frequently at the older ages, both because of attrition and because the survey became biannual after 1994, and many of the variables are age-trended. To obtain an estimate of the cumulative values, averages of three 5-year age intervals (ages 25-29, 30-34, and 35-39) were calculated, each average was multiplied by 5, and then the three totals were added together. As long as the age trends are not severe within each of the 5-year age intervals, this procedure should provide a reasonable estimate. The most striking feature of the table is how different high school dropouts, particularly those without GED 's, and college graduates are relative to the rest. Following is a breakdown of each characteristic in turn. Earnings. There are two sources of information on earnings in the NLSY79: a global question on the amount of wage and salary income in the previous calendar year, and earnings obtained from the event history on reported jobs. The figures in the table come from the former source and are in 1996 dollars. 7 Over the 15-year period between the ages of 25 and 39, a male high school dropout without a GED earned, on average, $273 ,250, about $30,000 less than a high school dropout with a GED, and $150,000 less than a high school graduate with a regular diploma. On the other end of the edu- 11•1•n=--- Selected characteristics by completed schooling Females Males Characteristic High school dropout No GED GED High school graduate Some college High Some College High school dropout school college graduate No GED GED graduate College graduate Percent ..... .................. 13.7 6.2 37.9 20.4 21 .8 11 .5 5.4 39.7 23.2 20.3 Cumulative earnings 1 .".ge 25-39 .... ...... .. .. $273,250 $305 ,041 $429 ,813 $486,619 $775,206 $113,521 $187 ,214 $207,738 $284,859 $426,855 Cumulative welfare payments 1 Age 25-39 ......... .. $7 ,004 $7,185 $2,447 $1,216 $346 $28,032 $16,477 $8,198 $4 ,285 $271 Percent of years receiving welfare Age 25-39 .... .. .. ... 13.3 10.6 4.5 2.8 .5 31 .0 19.7 10.7 5.4 .7 Cumulative weeks unemployed Age 25-39 ... ... ... .. 71 .9 60.3 36.5 31 .0 11 .3 53.3 47.8 33.7 24.0 12 .2 Cumulative hours worked : full-time {2 ,080 hours) year equivalents Age 25-39 .. ... ...... 13.1 12.7 15.6 15.3 16.6 7.3 9.6 10.4 11.2 12.2 Change in financial assets between 1985 and 2000 10th percentile .... 50th percentile .... 90th percentile .... -543 0 4,671 -814 0 7,865 -1 ,357 977 31,805 -2,360 1,928 55,119 -2,474 19,347 268,212 -87 0 3,661 -679 0 8,517 -1 ,368 467 20 ,642 -2,035 1,868 67,953 -950 12,927 178,281 36.4 32 .2 21 .1 18.4 9.0 51.6 36.1 36.0 31.7 21 .1 7.4 8.1 3.1 3.2 1.0 10.1 9.8 4.4 4.8 1.9 35.7 25.8 33.2 29.7 18.7 39.3 30.7 32 .2 27.5 17.8 16.3 12.2 17.8 16.2 8.2 26.1 18.7 17.1 14.7 6.2 Number of days per month having had six or more alcoholic drinks Age 18-24 ........... Age 25-34 .... .. .... . 1.97 1.21 1.78 .86 1.70 .98 1.40 .93 1.39 .61 .80 .39 .59 .55 .46 .27 .40 .17 .54 .14 Number of children ever born , greater than or equal to age 35 .. ..... 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.5 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.6 Percent at first birth, less than or equal to age 19 ....... ... ... .... 23.9 23.7 8.8 4.2 1.1 68.4 55.6 26.1 11.1 .7 Birth weight of first born (ounces) ......... 113.2 115.4 117.0 116.4 117.9 PPVT percentile score of first born .... .... .... . 30 41 43 49 63 Percent reporting health limitation , age 25-39 At least once ....... At least 50 percent of the years ...... Percent obese (BMI greater than or equal to 30), age25-39 At least once .. .... . At least 50 percent of the years ...... 1 1996 dollars https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE : All figures use the 1979 sample weights. Dash indicates data not available. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 17 NLSY79 Education Data cation spectrum, a male college graduate earned $775,206, almost $300,000 more than a male who completed some college. Female differences by education are smaller in absolute value, in part because they work less (see below). Nevertheless, a female high school graduate earned about $90,000 more than a dropout without a GED, and about $75,000 less than what a female who completed some college earned. A female college graduate earned $426,855, about $140,000 more than a female with some college. (female) college graduates spent only 11 (12) weeks unemployed over the 15 years. With respect to the amount of time spent working, measured in full-time year equivalents (2,080 hours), on average male dropouts (those with and without a GED) worked about 13 of the 15 years, while male college graduates worked more than full-time, 16.6 years or about 2,300 hours per year. In contrast, female dropouts without a GED worked less than one-half of the years, while college graduates worked four-fifths of the years. Welfare payments and takeup. The NLSY79 collects data on takeup and payments for several welfare programs. The figures in the table aggregate respondent information about the Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC), Food Stamp, and Supplemental Security Income (ss1) programs. Because of AFDC, aggregate welfare payments and takeup arc much larger for females than for males. Over the 15 years, female high school dropouts without a GED received welfare on average in about 30 percent of the years, totaling $28,032. In contrast, high school dropouts with a GED received welfare in about 20 percent of the years, totaling $16,477. Comparable figures for high school graduates were about 11 percent of the years and $8,198, and for those with some college, 5 percent of the years and $4,285. Female college graduates, on average, essentially received no welfare. Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, as seen in the table, even female high school dropouts without a GED had considerably more market earnings over the period than they received in welfare. In fact, only 35 percent of these women reported receiving more in welfare payments than they earned over the period. In contrast, 16 percent of high school dropouts with a GED, 10 percent of high school graduates, and 4 percent of those with some college received more welfare over the 15 years than they earned. The takeup rates and average payments for males are, as noted, considerably smaller than for females; for example, male high school dropouts without a GED received some welfare in only 13 percent of the years, about the same as those with a GED. Welfare payments over the entire 15-year period were, on average, only about $7,000 for high school dropouts regardless of GED status, and only 7 percent of dropouts without a GED received more in welfare benefits than they earned. Financial asset accumulation. The NLSY79 began collecting asset data in 1985. Table 2 presents statistics on the amount of financial assets accumulated from the first report (when respondents were 20 to 28 years of age) to the 2000 report (when respondents were 35 to 43). 9 Differences in financial savings by schooling are large, although the relationship is quite skewed. Median financial savings are zero for high school dropouts of both sexes, slightly negative at the 10th percentile, and less than $10,000 at the 90th percentile. Median savings is less than $2,000 for those with some college, but savings increase to $55,000 for males and $68,000 for females at the 90th percentile. College graduates are again different than other schooling groups in terms of their financial savings. Median financial savings of males is almost $20,000, but more than $250,000 at the 90th percentile; for females, the median is about $13,000 and the 90th percentile, $178,000. Labor force status (unemployment and hours worked). Male high school dropouts without a GED were unemployed 72 weeks, and similar female dropouts were unemployed 53 weeks, cumulatively over the 15-year age period. 8 These figures are slightly higher than for dropouts with a GED. Those who graduated from high school or completed some college had significantly fewer cumulative weeks of unemployment. However, as with earnings and welfare, college graduates were distinctly different than the other schooling groups; male 18 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 Health. In each round of the NLSY79, respondents were asked separately about whether their health limited the amount or the kind of work they could perform. Table 2 presents data on the distribution of the number of times between the ages of 25 and 39 that the respondent answered affirmatively to either question. 10 The first row reports on the percent who gave an affirmative response at least once, and the second row, on the percent who gave an affirmative response in at least 50 percent of the years. High school dropouts without a GED are the most prone to report a health limitation affecting work at least once; more than a third of the men and more than half of the women reported ever having a limitation. At the other extreme, only 9 percent of male college graduates, and 21 percent of female college graduates, reported such an occurrence at least once. Chronic health conditions, as measured by having reported a health limitation in at least half of the years, are much less prevalent in all schooling groups, but non-negligible for high school dropouts. Between 7 percent and 8 percent of male high school dropouts, and about 10 percent of female high school dropouts, have a persistent health condition, while this is true of only 1 percent of male and 2 percent of female college graduates. Obesity. The NLSY79 collected self-reported information on a respondent's height and weight in 1981, 1982, and 1985, and on the respondent's weight in all rounds since 1986, except 1987 and 1991. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated in each year using the latest height information that was available.11 As with health limitations, table 2 reports the distribution of the number of times over the 15-year age period, 2539, that respondents have a BMI of 30 or more, indicating obesity, again by schooling groups for each sex. Although there is some prevalence of obesity among males with schooling below college completion, it is not large. Among males with some college, 30 percent were obese in at least 1 year, and 16 percent were obese in at least one-half of the years. The same figures for high school dropouts are 36 percent and 16 percent. Differences are larger for females, with 28 percent of those with some college, and 39 percent of high schoo! dropouts without a GED, being obese in at least 1 year. College graduates again are substantially different from all of the other groups. For both sexes, less than 20 percent were obese in any year, and less than 10 percent in at least half of the years. Alcohol consumption. In several years (1982, 1983, 1984, and 1994), the NLSY79 has included a section of questions, funded by the National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA), on alcohol use. A common question in those rounds has been the number of days in the last month that the respondent consumed six or more drinks. Table 2 shows the average number of days over all of the observations in those years for two age intervals, 18-24 and 25-34, by schooling and sex. In all of the schooling groups, for both males and females, alcohol consumption measured in this way fell substantially with age. Male high school dropouts without a GED averaged just less than 2 days a month between the ages of 18 and 24, but 30 percent less between 25 and 34. Females within that schooling group averaged only .8 days at the earlier age, but that fell in half at the later age. College graduates are less of an outlier in terms of alcohol consumption at the earlier age, although their consumption falls proportionately more at the later age. Fertility. Differences by schooling in the number of children ever born by age 35 are large. Female high school dropouts who have not earned a GED have had 2.6 children on average by age 35, .3 more than their counterparts with a GED, .7 more than those with a high school diploma, .9 more than those with some college, and a full child more than those with a college degree. Males at all schooling levels report having had fewer children, and this is particularly pronounced for high school dropouts. Even so, those male respondents with some college report having fathered half a child less than those who were high school dropouts. Schooling differences in fertility are even more striking in terms of the prevalence of teenage childbearing. More than https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis two-thirds of female high school dropouts without a GED, and more than one-half of those with a GED, gave birth to a child as a teen. This figure drops to one-quarter for high school graduates, to about 10 percent for those with some college, and to less than 1 percent for college graduates. Birth weight of children. Starting with the 1982 survey round, with funding from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), the NLSY79 collected information about the pregnancy outcomes of the female respondents. 12 Table 2 compares mean birth weight of first-born children across the schooling groups. 13 The differences observed among the respondent's own outcomes, such as earnings and health, also emerge among the children of the respondents. High school dropouts without a GED have the lowest birth weight of children, almost 5 ounces less than the first births of the college graduates. Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test (PPVT) scores of children. The Children of the NLSY79 survey was started in I 986 and obtains information about the children born to the women of the NLSY79, including cognitive test scores. Table 2 reports the mean percentile scores (age adjusted) of first-born children by mother's schooling. As seen repeatedly in the table, the lowest and highest schooling groups, high school dropouts without a GED and college graduates, appear to be outliers. Children of the former group have mean scores that fall in the 30th percentile, while those of the latter fall in the 63rd percentile. The other three schooling groups fall in between and differ only slightly from each other. analyzes the contributions of the NLSY79 to the study of issues related to education. Space limitations, combined with the vastness of the literature, precluded a critical assessment of the scientific contributions of the research based on NLSY79 schooling data. Instead, this article demonstrates why the schooling data has played such an important role in making the NLSY79 one of the premiere research inD struments in the social sciences. THIS OVERVIEW Notes 1 Education alone yields 1,600 matches, schooling alone 588, with 385 matches using both. A search for the words "earnings" or .. wages" yielded 1,437 matches, and for '•income," 1,027 matches. All of these figures are somewhat overstatements because of duplications that arise when papers appear in multiple forms, for example, as a working paper and later as a journal publication. 2 When referring to the NLSY79, I include the Children of the NLSY79. Recall also that the NLS consists of five additional cohorts, four begun between 1966 and I 968, and the latest begun in I 997. 3 I thank Terry Fahey at the Center for Human Resource Research (CHRR) for performing the specialized search of the Bibliography 's data- Monthly Labor Review February 2005 19 NLSY79 Education Data base on which these figures are based. 4 This is the only psychology journal publishing at least five such articles. There are about a dozen other psychology journals that have published fewer than five, though most have published only one article. 5 In the NLSY97, on the other hand, the schooling section contained several hundred questions in the first round. Schooling data in the 1997 survey are obtained as a dated event history similar to the employment data . 6 The Current Population Survey (CPS) counts both those with a and those with a regular diploma as a high school graduate. GED 7 The samples for the earnings and welfare statistics are both based on respondent-years in which there is no missing information either on earnings or on welfare benefits. In addition, the sample is restricted to those who had at least one report in each 5-year age interval. 8 As with earnings and welfare, the sample is restricted to those who have a valid report in at least I year of each 5-year age interval. 9 Financial assets consist of moneys in savings or checking accounts, money market funds, credit unions, U.S. savings bonds, individual retirement accounts, 401 K or pre-tax annuities, certificates of deposits, per- 20 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 sonal loans to others or mortgages held, stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and rights to an estate or investment trust. 10 The sample is based on respondent-years in which there is no missing information on the health limitation question. The average numbers of years over the 25-39 age range in which these data are reported for each schooling category are: 10.3, 10.0, 10.5, 10.4, and 10.3 for males, and 10.9, 10.6, 10.7, 10.8, and 10.7 for females. 11 More specifically, the 1985 height report was used whenever available (about 90 percent of the cases). If that was missing, the 1982 height report was used, and if both were missing, the 1981 height report was used. Differences in reported height in the 3 years are small; mean reported height in 1981 is .17 inches less than in 1985 for those that report both. The BMI is defined as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters. Obesity is defined as having a BMI of 30 or more. 12 Information was also collected on maternal behaviors during each pregnancy, such as prenatal care, smoking, drug use, and drinking. 13 Looking at first-born children avoids differences that might arise if birth weight is related to birth order, given that less educated women have more children as shown above. A similar comment applies to the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test scores addressed in the following section. Data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 found that the average worker, approximately 5 years after leaving school for the first time, starts a job that will last 3 years; however, there was considerable variation by education Julie A Yates Julie A Yates is a research economist, Employment Research and Program Development Staff, in the Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. E-mail : Yates .J ulie@bls.gov https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ouths experience different trajectories in their transition from school to work. Some youths jump from job to job and do not develop a steady employment relationship until many years after leaving school, if at all. Others settle into a longer-term employment relationship soon after leaving school. Some policymakers and educators express concern that many new entrants to the job market tend to experience periods of churning, moving from one low paying job to another, without settling into a longer-term relationship.' This argument posits that the time, sometimes many years, spent moving from one short-term job to another is nonproductive and steps should be taken to eliminate it. Other analysts see this period of short employmeP.t spells in a more positive light. They argue that early job mobility represents "job shopping" where young workers learn about different work environments and their own skills and interests. 2 As youths acquire different work experiences, they are able to move into jobs that better match their skills and interests, often with higher wages. In this light, the job-shopping phase can be beneficial for both workers and their employers. Education is clearly linked to these employment processes. In high school, youths learn mainly general skills. These include not only hard skills such as literacy and numeracy, but soft skills such as punctuality, dependability, and following directions. Because of their youth, those seeking jobs just after high school may know less about the world of work and be less committed to a par- Y ticular occupation. Likewise, employers of these youths have less information about their skills. Both employer and employee may look at entrylevel jobs as a learning process by which each can evaluate the long-term potential of their "match." College graduates, on the other hand, invest more in specific skills and may acquire a greater knowledge of the job market within their field. They can match their interests to skills and reject potential career paths before entering the labor market. Employers of new college graduates have potentially greater knowledge of the particular skills of their new hires, and, because of the higher wages they must pay, more incentive to find a good match. For these reasons, matches between new college graduates and their employers may be expected to last longer than those between new high school graduates and employers. Youths who have left school without a high school degree are doubly disadvantaged; they lack both general and job-specific skills, and they face employers who have low expectations and little incentive to invest in their matches. Consequently, schooling choices may dictate the speed and ease of the school-to-work transition. This article documents the transition from school to work for a nationally representative sample of men and women from the time they first left school for a year or more until age 35. The tables in this article describe the duration of employment relationships and time since leaving school until holding a job for a specific number of years. This will help to answer a number of questions about the transition from school to work, Monthly Labor Review February 2005 21 School-to-Work Transition such as: how does job changing evolve as individuals age; how does job mobility behavior vary by education level and other demographic characteristics; and finally, how long does it take an average individual to settle into a longer-term job. Other researchers have used the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) to study job changes, mostly focusing on men. Some of the articles have been more descriptive like this one, although for earlier time periods. 3 Others engage in detailed empirical analysis, and generally try to examine the causes and consequences of early job changes. 4 In this article, we use data through 2002, which allows us to trace individuals' careers until age 35. Thus we can show individuals' job transitions from the end of school into the workforce and up until mid-career. Data and methods The data. To adequately measure the path an individual takes from the completion of schooling to stable employment, one needs longitudinal data that track respondents over their working lives. In this article, the education and employment histories are examined using NLSY79 data. These data describe a sample of men and women who were ages 14 to 22 in 1979 and 37 to 44 when interviewed in 2002. In 2002, the sample-which includes an overrepresentation of blacks and Hispanics-had 7,724 respondents. This article defines the transition from school to work to occur at the point when the individual leaves school for 12 months or more. However, work histories in the NLSY79 data generally begin in January 1, 1978, or the respondent's 16th birthday, whichever is later. Thus, in order to view the complete school-to-work transition without oversampling those with higher education, only respondents born between January 1, 1961, and December 31, 1964-that is, the last four birth cohorts of the NLSY79-are used. 5 After dropping respondents with incomplete data, there were a total of 3,845 respondents. In all computations, weights are used to adjust for different sampling rates and nonresponse rates so that the data are a nationally representative sample of all youths born between 1961 and 1964 and living in the United States in 1979. A key feature of the NLSY79 data set is that it records much of the information as event histories; thus, the dates of transitions are documented and updated with each interview. In the event history of employment, or work history, the "start" and " stop" dates of each job the respondent has held are recorded, as well as dates of nonwork (such as maternity leave or layoff) within each job. This allows various job-related measures, such as the number of jobs held, weeks worked, and job tenure, to be calculated. In addition, because the dates of these job-related 22 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 behaviors are recorded for each individual, these variables can be calculated for a specific period-for example, the number of jobs each worker held during the 2 years before the start date of a certain job can be determined. Using the NLSY79 work history data, it is possible to construct and link monthly records of school attendance or nonattendance with employment. Defining school leaving groups. In this analysis, individuals are grouped based on their education level when they first left school. Individuals were assigned to a school-leaving group based on the highest degree, if any, they reported earning as of the time they first left school for 12 months or longer. 6 Thus, if an individual dropped out of school but subsequently returned to finish high school within a 12month period, they would be classified as a high school graduate and not a dropout. Similarly, individuals who completed high school and went to work full time, but within the 12-month period began taking night classes, would continue to be viewed as 'in school,' despite their work schedule, until they were no longer taking classes. Once determined that an individual had left school for 12 months, even if the person later returned to school and received a degree, the initial school-leaving group to which they were assigned was not changed. 7 Table 1 describes the sample used in this article by educational category as well as the average age respondents first left school. 8 Twelve percent of the sample first left school at approximately age 17 before attaining a high school degree and are assigned to the category of dropouts. Approximately 55 percent of the sample first left school for at least 12 months after attaining a high school degree; these respondents left school approximately 1 year later (age 18) than dropouts. Individuals with some college but who did not attain a bachelor's degree before first leaving school make up 22 percent of our sample, while 11 percent are those who attained a college degree before first leaving school. The educational outcomes of men were more dispersed than those of women; men were both more likely to drop out and more likely to complete college. 9 Ethnic and racial differences in initial educational attainment are quite pronounced. Whites were more likely than either blacks or Hispanics or Latinos to have either gone to college or earned a college degree and less likely to drop out. While the date first left school is a useful point to measure the school-to-work transition, it does not always indicate the final degree earned. Many individuals return to school, either by combining work and schooling or by leaving the labor force altogether. Table 2 shows that a large number of individuals return to school at some point before they be- Degree and age when first left school for 12 months or longer and degree when completed schooling, by school-leaving group Original school-leaving group and characteristic Degree when first left school Average age when first left school for 12 months or longer High school dropouts .... ... .... ... ..... ... ..... ..... ........ .................... ........... ... High school graduates .......... .. ...................... .... .. ... ...... .... ... ............... . Some college .. ............. .. ...................... ................ ....................... .. ... ... . College graduates ......... ............... ................. ..... ............................... .. 12.1 54.6 22.0 11 .3 17.0 17.9 21.4 23.8 7.1 42.8 23.7 26.5 19.6 12.6 19.3 17.1 18.0 21.6 24.0 7.4 44.4 21.1 26.1 Less than a high school diploma ......... ........................................... . High school graduates, no college ..... ... .... .... ..................... ........... .. Less than a bachelor's degree .......... ..... ... .. .... ........ ... ................ ... .. Bachelor's degree or more .................................. ...................... ... ... . 10.6 55.0 24.5 9.9 19.2 16.9 17.9 21 .3 23.6 6.1 40.8 26.3 26.7 White (non-Hispanic) .......... .......................... .... ... ..... .... ... ..... ............. .. Less than a high school diploma .... ....... ......... ..... .... .................... ... . High school graduates, no college ... ...... ..... ........ ...... .................... .. Less than a bachelor's degree ............................................... .... ... .. Bachelor's degree or more ... ... ... .. ....... ... ... ..................... ........ ....... . .. 10.2 54.0 23.0 12.7 19.4 16.9 17.9 21.5 23.7 5.8 41.4 22.4 30.4 Black (non-Hispanic) ....................................... .... ........... .................... . Less than a high school diploma ..... ................................... ........... .. High school graduates, no college .......................... .......... ........... .. . Less than a bachelor's degree ..... .... .. .. ..... ................... .... ... .... .... ... . Bachelor's degree or more .......... .... ............. ....... .... .... ...... ...... ....... .. 17.0 58.7 19.1 5.1 18.9 17.4 18.1 21 .3 24.2 10.0 49.0 28.9 12.1 Hispanic or Latino ..... ....... .... .......... ................ ..................................... Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college ..... ...... ... ...... ...... ...... ............ .. .. .. Less than a bachelor's degree ... ... ..... ........ ..... ...... ..... .... ................ . Bachelor's degree or more ... ............... .................... ..... ........ .... ....... . 22.7 54.2 16.9 6.1 18.7 16.9 18.0 21 .3 25.3 15.4 45.3 26.9 12.4 NorE: Educational attainment is defined as of the time they first left school for 12 consecutive months. Our sample is 51 percent men; 49 percent women; 77 percent non-Hispanic whites; 15 percent non-Hispanic blacks; and 7 percent Hispanics or Latinos. come age 35; however, not everyone who returned to school eventually received a degree. Fifty-three percent of high school dropouts returned to school, as did 42 percent of high school graduates. While 58 percent of initial dropouts never received a high school diploma or GED (general equivalency diploma) , 28 percent of dropouts did eventually earn a high school diploma; an additional 10 percent received some college education; and 4 percent went on to receive a college degree or more. Again, ethnic and racial differences are quite striking in this regard. When retut ning to school, whites in all education categories were more likely to complete their college degree. As already noted, whites generally had more education when they first left school. Thus, the process of returning to school to complete unfinished degrees did not close the racial gap in educational attainment, but instead seemed to widen it. As seen in the last column of table 1, by age 35, whites are significantly less likely to have less than a high school diploma or GED and twice as likely to have completed college. Only 6 percent of whites had not received a high school de- gree or GED by their 35th birthday compared with 10 percent of blacks and 15 percent of Hispanics or Latinos. In contrast, more than 30 percent of whites had received a college degree compared with only 12 percent of blacks and Hispanics or Latinos. In contrast, the gender gap in educational attainment is small; at 35, women have only slightly more education than men. Men .............. ..... .................. ... .. .. ...................................... .. .......... ..... .. . Less than a high school diploma ..... ........ .. ............................ ........ .. High school graduates, no college ................. .............. .... ...... ..... .... Less than a bachelor's degree ...... ......... ... .................. ............ ....... . Bact,elor's degree or more ............... .................. .. ........................... . 12.6 54.2 Women .. ... ...... ............. ... ............... ... ...................... ..... ..... ... ..... ........... . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Degree when completed schooling The school-to-work transition Duration of employment. The longitudinal nature and event history data collection of the NLSY79 make the data set ideal for studying job duration. A job-shopping model would suggest that the quality of job matches would increase with each subsequent job. Thus the probability that one would find a better match and switch jobs would decrease over time. This tendency is reinforced by the development of job-specific skills, which may not be valued by another employer. Theoretically, then, a successful transition to the labor market should be characterized by increasing job tenure. Therefore, Monthly Labor Review February 2005 23 School-to-Work Transition Distribution of completed schooling, by school-leaving group Ever returned to school High school dropouts .. ............. ..... ........ .......... .... ...... High school graduates .... ....... ........ .... ..... .... .. ........... . Some college .. .. ... ........................ .................... ......... . College graduates ............ ....... ... ........ ............. ....... ... Highest degree ever reported receiving High school dropout High school graduates (or GEO) Some college College graduates 53.2 42.1 54.6 41.0 58.3 28.2 72.1 9 .7 22.9 45.5 3.7 5.0 54.5 100.0 50.1 37.2 54.8 34.5 58.8 27.7 75.5 9 .1 20.3 45.6 4.4 4.2 54.4 100.0 57.4 47.1 54.5 49.7 57.7 28.8 68.6 10.7 25.6 45.5 2 .8 5 .8 54.6 100.0 50.4 42 .1 53.4 41.2 56.8 27.5 71 .5 10.9 22.6 39 .5 4 .9 5 .9 60.5 100.0 61 .8 42.3 58.7 26.5 58.6 31 .5 74.3 8.4 23.6 71 .2 1.5 2 .1 28.8 100.0 49.9 39 .9 38.6 67.8 23.3 73.7 7.2 23.8 1.8 2 .5 100.0 Men High school dropouts ... ..... ... ..... .. ......... ...... .... ....... ... . High school graduates ... ....... ......... ......... ... ....... .... .. .. Some college .... ...... .. .. ...... ....... ................. ...... .......... . College graduates ...... ... .. ....... ....... ......... ..... ...... ...... .. Women High school dropouts .... ......... ........ ......... ...... ... .. ....... High school graduates ... ..... ....... .......... ....... ... ..... .. ... . Some college .... .......... ..... .. .......... ......................... .... . College graduates ... ... ............. .. ........ .. ....... ............ .. . White (non-Hispanic) High school dropouts .. ....... ... ...... .. ......... .................. . High school graduates ... ........ .... ... ... .. .. ........... .... ..... . Some college ...... ............. ... ............................... ....... . College graduates ...... ........... .. ........ ...... ..... ..... ....... ... Black (non-Hispanic) High school dropouts .. ..... .............. .......... ....... ... ...... . High school graduates .......... ..... .... ..... ... ........ .... ..... .. Some college ......... .... ....... ... .... ... .. ......... .. .............. .. .. College graduates .. ... .... .. ... ............. .. ............ ... ..... ... . Hispanic or Latino High school dropouts .......... ....... ....... ..................... .. . High school graduates ... .... ... ...... .... .. .... .............. ..... . College graduates ..... ... .......... .... .. .. ....... ....... ....... ... ... NorE : Educational attainment is defined as of the time they first left school for 12 consecutive months. tenure of the longest job ever held can be used as an indicator of the successful transition from school to work and into a stable employment relationship. Table 3 shows the duration of the longest job held. Youths with a high school degree or less can learn about interests and gain job-specific skills while on the job, and those with some post high school education can gain jobspecific skills in the classroom. If these schooling choices are equally suited for preparing youths for stable employment, then the duration of their longest job by age 35 should be similar. A period of churning or job shopping would be expected from those who do not yet know their skills and preferences. However, high school dropouts and graduates should eventually obtain job- or employer-specific skills; finct a compatible career path; and settle into long-term jobs. From that point on they would, theoretically, have labor market behavior similar to youths who sperit that time gaining those skills in a classroom. Again, the data disprove this . Even though high school dropouts 24 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Feoruary 2005 left school the earliest, were in the labor market for the longest time-and therefore had the most time to start down a career path-they are the least likely to have had stable employment relationships lasting more than 2 years. At age 20, 14 percent of dropouts have never held a job and 58 percent had yet to hold a job for more than 1 year. At age 35, approximately 18 years after leaving school for the first time, 2 percent of dropouts have never held a job; 9 percent of dropouts have never held a job for more than a year; and an additional 15 percent have never held a job for 2 years or longer. Only 36 percent of high school dropouts had held a job for 5 years or more by age 35. In contrast, those with at least some college or a bachelor's degree make the transition to stable employment-that is, a job lasting more than 2 years-the faste st. By age 30, nearly 86 percent of those with some college and 82 percent with a bachelor's degree or more have held a job for more than 2 years. And by age 35, about 95 percent of individuals in these two education categories have n•r•n:...,.. Duration of employment relationship with a single employer, for longest held job from first time left school to age 35, by age and eduational attainment Duration of longest employment relationship Age and characteristic No job Less than 1 year More than 1 year but less than 2 years More than 2 years but less than5years 5 years or more Through age 20 ... ........... ... ....... ..... ....... ........ ....... ... ... Less than a high school diploma ............. ....... .... ... High school graduates, no college .... .... ... ....... ... .. . Less than a bachelor's degree ... ..... .. .... .............. .. Bachelor's degree or more ... ... ........ .......... .. .... ....... 10.3 14.2 9.4 12.7 (2) 57.4 58.1 56.4 84.1 (2) 27.8 21.8 30.4 3.2 (2) 4.4 6.0 4.2 (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) Through age 25 .... ..... .... .. .... .. ...... ......... ..... .......... .... . Less than a high school diploma ... .. ......... ... ......... . High school graduates, no college ...... ..... ........ ..... Less than a bachelor's degree ... ........ ....... .. ..... .... . Bachelor's degree or more ....... ... ... .... ...... .. ............ 2.2 4.2 1.7 1.5 2.2 19.6 28.2 15.5 18.3 37.6 28.8 24.5 24.4 36.2 45.0 41 .3 36.7 45.4 43.4 15.2 8.3 6.4 12.9 .6 (1) Through age 30 .. ..... ..... ....... .... .. ...................... ... ...... . Less than a high school diploma ... .... ... .. .. .. .... ....... High school graduates, no college ............ .... ...... .. Less than a bachelor's degree ... .... ................. ..... . Bach8lor's degree or more .. .... ... ... ....... ... ....... .. ..... . 1.0 2.2 1.0 6.2 15.9 5.7 3.5 3 .6 13.8 18.7 14.2 10.6 12.5 44.3 41.9 42.2 46.0 53.7 34.6 21.3 36.9 39.6 28.4 Through age 35 .... ...................... .. ...... ... ...... .. ...... ...... Less than a high school diploma ........ ......... .......... High school graduates, no college ... ...... ...... ... ... ... Less than a bachelor's degree .. ....... .... ..... ....... .... . Bachelor's degree or more ... ........ ......................... . .7 1.8 2 .9 9.1 2 .6 1.5 .4 6.9 14.5 7.4 3.1 4.1 33.1 39.0 33.7 28.8 31.8 56.4 35.7 55.7 66.4 62.5 .2 1.7 .6 .1 1.1 1 Estimates are not presented for these categories because most sample members had not been out of school long enough to hold a job of this length . done so. At age 35, 66 percent of those with some college and 63 percent of those with a college degree had held a job for 5 years or more . Women in the labor market. During the last several decades , the "working mother" has become the norm rather than the exception. 10 While women no longer automatically withdraw from the labor force upon marrying or after having a child, it remains common for women with young children to interrupt their careers for both childbearing and childrearing. Women may also choose more intermittent or seasonal work that correlates with school or other childrearing activities. It is reasonable to expect that their work trajectory will be different from men. However, much of the difference between the school-to-work trajectory of men and women-at least in the measures presented here-appears to stem from the variability of work experience in female dropouts. Table 4 breaks down the duration of longest held employment relationship by sex as well as age. At all ages, female high school dropouts are significantly more likely to have never held a job, and helJ jobs for less time. At age 20, 21 percent of female dropouts had never held a job, while approximately 13 percent had held a job for between 1 and 2 years. Only 9 percent of male dropouts, in comparison, had never been employed, and 28 percent had held their longest job between I and 2 years. While the differ- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Estimates are not presented because most sample members in this education category are not yet out of school. ence in employment duration shrinks with age, it never equalizes. At their 35th birthday, 4 percent of female dropouts had never held a job and only a quarter had held a job more than 5 years. In comparison, nearly 44 percent of male dropouts had held a job more than 5 years by age 35, and almost all had held a job. The work experiences of dropouts contrasts to the employment histories of those with more education. At age 25, women with some college or a college degree are more likely to have held a job since leaving school for the first time, and were equally and often more likely to have held a job of a specific duration as similarly educated men. However, differences emerged with age. These differences are probably due to the fact that some women leave and re-enter the workforce due to household responsibilities as they age. At age 35, only 1 percent of male or female co11ege graduates had never held a job, but 68 percent of the men had held a job for more than 5 years, compared with 55 percent of the women. Only 3 percent of male co11ege graduates had never held a job for 2 or more years, compared with 9 percent of women with a college degree. Racial differences. Table 5 examines the duration of employment relationships for the longest held job by race and ethnicity. Compared with similarly educated whites or Hispanics, blacks consistently have less tenure. However, blacks in particular benefit from increases in education. At Monthly Labor Review February 2005 25 School-to-Work Transition ■ r.1.,,,---.,- Duration of employment relationship with a single employer, for longest held job from first time left school to age 35-by sex, age, and eduational attainment Duration of longest employment relationship No job Age and characteristic Less than 1 year More than 1 year but less than 2 years 2 years but less than 5 years 5 years or more More than Men only through age 20 .......................................... Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... 9.8 8.7 10.1 (1) (2) 58.0 57.6 57.7 (1) (2) 28.7 28.3 29.1 (1) (2) 3.5 5.4 3.1 (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) Women only through age 20 ..................................... Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree ........................ ...... Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... 10.9 21.2 8.7 13.3 (2) 56.9 58.6 55.1 85.4 (2) 27.0 13.3 31.0 1.3 (2) 5.3 6.8 5.2 (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) Men only through age 25 ............................ ............. Less than a high school diploma .............. ... .......... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree ........... ................... Bachelor's degree or more ....................... .......... .... 1.7 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.4 19.4 20.7 15.1 21.9 38.6 28.3 24.6 24.3 35.9 41.5 42.5 47.0 46.5 39.7 17.4 8.1 6.5 12.5 .4 (2) Women only through age 25 .................................... Less than a high school diploma ................. .......... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... 2.3 8.3 1.8 1.1 2.0 19.9 38.1 16.0 15.2 36.3 29.4 24.4 24.6 36.4 49.1 40.0 23.0 44.3 46.5 12.6 8.4 6.2 13.3 .7 (2) Men through age 30 ...................................... ............ Less than a high school diploma ...................... ..... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree .......................... .. .. Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... .8 .1 .9 .4 1.6 5.0 11.1 4.0 3.4 5.1 11.9 15.7 12.6 10.1 7.7 45.2 47.1 42.8 45.3 53.9 37.1 25.9 39.7 40.9 31.7 Women through age 30 ............................................. Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree ... ..... .... .................. Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... 1.3 4.9 1.0 .1 1.9 7.5 22.2 7.5 3.5 1.5 15.7 22.6 15.9 11.0 18.9 43.3 35.1 41.6 46.7 53.6 32.1 15.2 34.0 38.0 24.1 Men through age 35 ................................................. Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ............ ........ ................. .5 .1 .6 .1 1.4 2.3 7.3 1.9 1.7 .0 5.0 10.0 5.8 2.0 1.1 31.2 39.0 31.9 25.0 29.4 60.9 43.5 59.8 71.1 68.1 Women through age 35 ............................................. Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college .................... .... Less than a bachelor's degree ... ........................... Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... .8 4.0 .6 .1 .7 3.5 11 .5 3.3 1.4 1.0 8.9 20.4 9.1 4.0 8.1 35.0 38.9 35.6 32.0 35.1 51.7 25.3 51.4 62.5 55.1 1 Estimates are not presented for these categories because most sample members had not been out of school long enough to hold a job of this length . 26 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 2 Estimates are not presented because mcst sample members in this education category are not yet out of school. ll•l•U:.a.._ Duration of employment relationship with a single employer, for longest held job from first time left school to age 35-by age, race, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, and educational attainment Duration of longest employment relationship Age and characteristic No job Less than 1 year More than 1 year but less than 2 years More than 2 years but less than5years S years or more Through age 20 White (non-Hispanic) ....... ............ ........... ........... ........ Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college .... .... ...... ... ....... Less than a bachelor's degree .. ... ..... ... ... ... .... ... .... Bachelor's degree or more ...... ... ..... .. .... .. .... ....... .... 6.7 10.5 6.0 (2) (2) 56.9 58.3 55.5 (2) (2) 31 .5 25.2 33.6 (2) (2) 4.9 6.1 4.9 (2) (2) (1) (') (') (2) (2) Black (non-Hispanic) ........ ..... ... ................................. Less than a high school diploma ..... ... .. ... .... .......... High school graduates, no college ............... ... ... ... Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ..... .. ....................... ....... 25.1 25.7 24.6 (2) (2) 58.4 56.7 58.6 (2) (2) 14.3 13.2 15.1 (2) (2) 2.2 4.4 1.7 (2) (2) (') (') (') (2) (2) Hispanic or Latino ... .. ....... .................. .... .... ..... .......... Less than a high school diploma ......................... .. High school graduates, no college ........................ Less than a bachelor's degree ......... .... ........ ..... ... . Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... 12 .7 16.0 10.9 (2) (3) 60.9 56.0 62.3 (2) (3) 22.3 19.5 24.4 (2) (3) 4.2 8.5 2.4 (2) (3) (') (') (') (2) (3) White (non-Hispanic) ....................................... .......... Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates , no college .. ... .. ................. Les~ than a bachelor's degree ... ... ... .. ...... .... .... .. ... Bachelor's degree or more ......... .... ....... .... ... ... ... .... 1.3 2.3 1.0 2.3 2.4 17.6 23.3 13.4 16.5 37.9 29 .1 26.5 23.5 37.5 43.4 43.2 41.7 47.6 44.6 16.2 8.8 6.2 14.4 .4 (2) Black (non-Hispanic) ........................... .. .. .... .... .......... Less than a high school diploma .... ......... ..... ...... .. . High school graduates, no college ..... .. ...... ..... .... .. Less than a bachelor's degree ..... ....... ... .... ... .... .... Bachelor's degree or more .. ... .................... ... ..... .... 5.7 11 .0 4.6 5.2 (3) 27.5 37.8 23.6 26.9 (3) 30.2 23.3 29.9 33.8 (3) 31.0 21.5 34.9 32.3 (3) 5.7 6.5 7.0 1.8 (3) Hispanic or Latino ........... ................ .... ...................... Less than a high school diploma ........ .. .......... .. ... .. High school graduates, no college .................. ... ... Less than a bachelor's degree .......... ....... ............. Bachelor's degree or more .... .... ...... ........ ........ ....... 2.2 3.2 1.6 2.2 (3) 22.3 32.5 19.1 18.2 (3) 24.7 18.0 33.0 28.9 (3) 43.6 38.7 45.5 50.8 (3) 7.4 7.7 9.8 .0 (3) White (non-Hispanic) .................................... ...... ....... Less than a high school diploma ....... ..... .. ... ... ....... High school graduates, no college .. ... ... ......... ....... Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... .5 .8 .4 .9 1.7 4.5 11.5 4.3 2.6 3.5 13.0 17.6 13.4 10.0 12.9 45.2 47.8 42.4 46.4 52.3 36 .8 22.2 39.5 41.0 29.7 Black (non-Hispanic) ................................................. Less than a high school diploma .. ........ ... ......... ..... High school graduates, no college .... .. ........ .. ...... .. Less than a bachelor's degree ......... ....... ... ......... .. Bachelor's degree or more ..... ... .. ... ................. ... .... 3.1 6.5 28 1.4 ·1.7 12.7 25.3 11.1 9.3 2.2 18.3 23.3 19.3 12.8 10.2 40.3 27.0 41.5 44.6 55.0 25.6 18.0 25.3 31.9 30.9 Hispanic or Latino ..................................................... Less than a high school diploma ... ... ................ ..... High school graduates, no college ..... .. .. ... ...... ...... Less than a bachelor's degree ....... ...... ... .. .......... .. Bachelor's degree or more ...... ........ ....... ... .. .. ...... ... 1.8 2.5 1.3 1.2 (3) 9.1 18.7 7.6 .4 (3) 13.5 15.8 12.8 12.0 (3) 44.2 39.6 43.7 47.1 (3) 31.4 23.4 34.5 39.3 (3) .4 .6 .5 .5 1.2 1.9 6.0 2.0 1.4 .1 5.7 13.9 5.8 2.6 3.8 32.6 29.7 31 .6 31.3 31 .8 59.4 29.7 60.0 64.2 62.4 Through age 25 Through age 30 Through age 35 White (non-Hispanic) .. ... .. ........ .... .. ....... .. .. ...... ......... .. Less than a high school diploma ... .. ....... ............... High school graduates, no college ...... ..... .. ... ..... ... Less than a bachelor's degree .. .. ..... .... ..... ...... .. .... Bachelor's degree or more .. .... ... ... ..... ...... ..... ..... .... See notes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 27 School-to-Work Transition 11•1•n=--- Continued Duration of employment relationship with a single employer, for longest held job from first time left school to age 35-by age, race, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, and educational attainment Duration of longest employment relationship No job Age and characteristic Less than 1 year More than 1 year but less than 2 years More than 2 years but less than5years 5 years or more Black (non-Hispanic) ................................................. Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college ...................... .. Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ... .... .... .......................... 1.7 4.6 1.5 .0 .0 7.1 18.0 5.5 4.2 .0 13.8 18.9 15.2 7.3 4.5 34.0 34.7 35.0 29.4 37.6 43.4 23.9 42.7 59.1 58.0 Hispanic or Latino .. ....... .. .... ...................................... Less than a high school diploma ........................... High school graduates, no college .................. .. .... Less than a bachelor's degree .............................. Bachelor's degree or more ...... ............................. .. 1.5 2.5 4.4 9.6 4.1 .4 (3) 6.7 12.0 6.1 3.0 (3) 34.5 39.5 33.0 31 .8 (3) 52 .9 36.4 55.7 63.2 (3) 1.1 2.0 (3) 1 Estimates are not presented for these categories because most sample members had not been out of school long enough to hold a job of this length . their 20th birthday, 27 percent of black dropouts and 24 _ percent of blacks with a high school degree had never held a job. By their 25th birthday, 11 percent of black dropouts had yet to hold a job, compared with 6 percent of blacks with a high school degree. By their 35th birthday, 4 percent of black dropouts had still never held a job, and less than a quarter had ever held a job for 5 years or more. On the other hand, less than 2 percent of black high school graduates had never held a job, and 43 percent had held a job for 5 years or longer. Moreover, at age 35 nearly all blacks with some college or those with college degrees had held jobs, and approximately 60 percent had held jobs for 5 years or more. A second way to use job duration to study the schoolto-work transition is to look at the tenure of all jobs ever held, not just the longest job. Table 6 presents a measure of job mobility or churning by averaging the tenure across all jobs held since first leaving school. At their 25th birthday, 55 percent of the sample changed jobs, on average, at least once a year, while approximately 7 percent had an average tenure of 3 years or more. However, even at age 35, nearly a quarter of the sample had average tenure of less than a year, meaning a nontrivial portion of the sample continued to have a relatively large number of short-duration jobs as they approached middle age. What is striking is that at age 35, half of all dropouts have an average tenure across all jobs that is 1 year or less, while only 10 percent have average tenure of 3 years or more. While table 3 shows 28 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 2 Estimates are not presented because most sample members in this education category are not yet out of school. 3 Estimates are not presented because cell size is less than 50. that the majority of dropouts at some point have held a job that lasted more than 2 years, table 6 indicates that for most dropouts, jobs of long duration are accompanied by many more jobs of short duration. Again, the differences in the employment histories of men and women became apparent with age. At age 25, the average tenure across all jobs for men and women is roughly the same: 55 percent of men and 56 percent of women had average tenure less than 1 year, while 6 percent of men and 7 percent of women had average tenure of more than 3 years. By age 35, approximately 22 percent of men had average tenure of less than 1 year, compared with 27 percent of women-and 28 percent of men had average tenure of more than 3 years, compared with 22 percent of women. More importantly, this difference holds true for all education categories. Even female college graduates consistently have less average tenure than similarly educated men. While 3 percent of college-educated men have average tenure of less than 1 year, 13 percent of college-educated women have the same. Moreover, 47 percent of these men have average tenure of more than 3 years, compared with only 30 percent of college-educated women. Years or jobs until 'stable employment. ' As already demonstrated, individuals have a great deal of job mobility in their first years out of school. Brief and intermittent periods of employment are common among many young workers, especially those with low levels of education. The 11•1•ir-.-.w Percentage of individuals who have average tenure across all jobs less than a specific duration Percent of people with average tenure lenght of: To 25th birthday Characteristic 1 year or less More than 1 year but less than To 35th birthday To 30th birthday 3 years or more 1 year or less Morethan 1 year 3 years or but less more than 1 year or more 3 years 3 years Morethan 1 year 3 years or but less more than 3 years Total .... ............ ..... ... .......... ..... ...... ....... ... ..... Less than a high school diploma ..... ....... High school graduates, no college ... ...... Less than a bachelor's degree .. ... .......... Bachelor's degree or more ... .............. ..... 55.3 70.1 52.0 52.2 64.5 38.0 25.9 39.2 42.6 35.0 6.7 4.0 8.8 5.2 .5 35.4 61 .5 38.1 21 .7 21.4 48.5 31 .7 46.9 57.3 56.6 16.1 6.8 15.1 21 .0 22.0 24.2 50.4 26.6 12.9 7.2 50.3 40.0 50.5 54.2 53.2 25.4 9.7 22.9 32.9 39.6 Men ... .. ... .. .... ... ..... .... .... ........... ........ ...... .. .... Less than a high school diploma ..... ....... High school graduates, no college ......... Less than a bachelor's degree ........... .... Bachelor's degree or more .. .. ...... ...... ..... 55.1 65.2 52.1 52.2 64.5 38.6 30.4 40.3 41 .6 34.6 6.3 4.4 7.7 6.2 1.0 33.7 56.9 36.7 20.0 16.5 48.9 35.9 48.0 55.0 57.4 17.4 7.2 15.3 25.0 26.0 22.0 43.5 25.0 11.2 2.8 49.7 45.9 50.5 49.9 50.2 28.3 10.5 24.6 38.9 47.0 Women ........ ..... .. .. .... .... .. ... .... .. .... .... .... Less than a high school diploma ............ High school graduates, no college ...... ... Less than a bachelor's degree .. .. .. .... .. .. . Bachelor's degree or more .... ....... ... ... .... . 55.6 77.1 51.9 52.1 64.5 37.3 19.5 38.2 43.4 35.5 7.1 3.4 9.9 4.5 .0 37.2 67.8 39.5 23.1 27.9 48.0 26.0 45.7 59.2 55.5 14.8 6.2 14.8 17.6 16.6 26.5 59.8 28.2 14.3 13.0 51 .0 31.8 50.5 57.9 57.1 22.4 8.5 21.3 27.9 29.9 White (non-Hispanic) ... .... ......... .... .............. Less than a high school diploma ... ......... High school graduates, no college ... ..... . Less than a bachelor's degree .... ..... ..... . Bachelor's degree or more ...................... 53.2 68.4 49.1 51.8 64.2 40.1 28.6 41 .6 43.7 35.3 6.7 3.0 9.3 4.5 .6 32.6 58.3 35.8 20.0 21.0 49.7 34.8 47.4 58.4 56.0 17.7 6.9 16.8 21.6 22.9 21.5 46.6 24.0 12.2 7.4 50.8 42.7 50.9 53.6 51.9 27.8 10.7 25.2 34.3 40.7 Black (non-Hispanic) .... ................ ........ ...... Less than a high school diploma .... ........ High school graduates, no college .... ..... Less than a bachelor's degree ....... ... ... .. Bachelor's degree or more ...... .. ...... .... .. .. 65.4 74.2 64.5 59.7 (1) 28.0 19.3 29.0 32.5 (1) 6.5 6.5 6.5 7.8 (1) 47.4 68.6 49.2 30.7 22.6 41.9 23.7 42.2 52.6 57.2 10.7 7.7 8.7 16.7 20.2 36.3 59.3 38.5 17.6 9.1 47.3 32.0 47.3 57.7 57.7 16.4 8.7 14.3 24.7 33.2 Hispanic or Latino .. .. ... .. ..... ..... .... ....... ... .. ... Less than a high school diploma .... .. .... .. High school graduates, no college ......... Less than a bachelor's degree .... .. .. ....... Bachelor's degree or more ... .. ... .............. 57.4 70.1 56.4 39.9 (1) 34.6 24.4 35.3 48.2 (1) 8.0 5.5 8.3 11 .9 (1) 40.9 64.0 38.7 20.0 (1) 49.0 30.9 51.5 58.0 (1) 11 .2 5.1 9.7 22.0 (1) 27.8 51.9 26.5 9.1 (1) 52.5 41 .5 54.8 53.4 (1) 19.7 6.6 18.7 37.5 (1) 1 Estimates are not presented because cell size is less than 50. question remains: how long does it take for young workers to find stable employment or a longer-term employment relationship? Table 7 presents the median number of years from first leaving school until a worker holds a job for either 1, 3, or 5 years. Comparing the four school-leaving groups, it is apparent that the transition from school to work was quicker as education increased. For example, the median high school dropout took more than 3 years to start a job that would last a full year, and nearly 11 years before they started a job that would last 3 years. Because less than 50 percent of the high school dropout sample had yet to hold a job for 5 years at age 35, we cannot determine the median number of years. In comparison, the median high school graduate took 6 years to start a job that would last 3 years and IO years to start one lasting 5 years. Those with a college degree settled into stable https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis employment much more quickly; within a year and a half they started a job that would last 3 years-and less than 4 years to start a job that would last 5 years. In other words, the median high school dropout started a job that would last 3 years at age 29; the median high school graduate, at age 24; and the median college graduate, age 26. In addition, the median high school dropout had yet to hold a job lasting 5 years by age 35, while a high school graduate started one at age 28. A college graduate started a job lasting 5 years at age 27. It appears that high school graduates are able to use the general skills gained in high school to obtain additional on-the-job skills. While this article does not analyze the wage potential of jobs and cannot determine if the career paths are similar, the median high school graduate started jobs of a significant duration-5 years-at approximately the same age as the median college graduate. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 29 School-to-Work Transition Median number of years between leaving school for the first time and starting a job that lasts a set amount of time, to age 35, 1978-2002 Median number of years between leaving school for the first time and starting a job that will last at least: Characteristic 1 year 3 years 5 years or more Total ..................................................................................................... Less than a high school diploma .. .................... ........................... .. High school graduates, no college .................................................. Less than a bachelor's degree .. ..................... ................. ............... . Bachelor's degree or more ............................................................... .9 3.3 1.3 .5 .2 4.6 10.8 5.8 2.7 1.3 9.2 (1) 10.1 5.0 3.5 Men ...................................................................................................... Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more ........................... .. ................. ... ............. . .8 2.3 1.2 .4 .1 4.1 7.6 5.4 2.5 1.0 8.0 (1) 9.1 4.1 2.3 Women ................................................................................................. Less than a high school diploma ................................................... .. High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . 1.0 5.9 1.3 .5 .2 5.3 14.9 6.4 3.0 2.5 10.9 (1) 11 .7 5.9 5.4 White (non-Hispanic) ............... ....... .................... ................ ............... .. Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college .................................................. Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . .8 2.9 1.0 .4 .1 4.1 8.7 5.3 2.6 1.3 8.1 (1) 9.2 4.7 3.3 Black (non-Hispanic) ........................................................................... Less than a high school diploma ..................................................... High school graduates, no college ................................................. . LP.ss ttian a bachelor's degree ...... ................................ ................. . Bachelor's degree or more ..... .. ....................................................... . 2.3 6.2 3.1 .9 .3 8.0 (1) 9.1 3.8 1.9 (1) (1) (1) 6.5 3.2 Hispanic or Latino ............................................................................... Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college .. .............. .. .......... ..................... . Less than a bachelor's degree ........................................................ Bachelor's degree or more .............................................. ................ . 1.5 4.0 1.8 .2 (2) 5.7 10.5 6.2 .2 (2) 10.5 (1) 10.3 4.9 (2) 1 Estimates are not presented because less than 50 percent of the sample had held a job of this length. Female dropouts took longer to find stable employment than male dropouts. It took the median female dropout approximately twice as long to hold jobs lasting 1 or 3 years than male dropouts; 5.9 years versus 2.3 years before starting a job that would last 1 year; and 14.9 years versus 7.6 years before starting a job that would last 3 years. While women with a college education started a job that lasted at least 1 year at the same time as similarly educated men, it took them significantly longer to start a job that lasted 5 years (5.4 years versus 2.3 years). Compared with whites and Hispanics or Latinos, blacks fared poorly in the labor market. At their 35th birthday, more than 50 percent of both black high school dropouts and graduates had never held a job for 5 years or more, and more than 50 percent of black dropouts had never held a job lasting at least 3 years. It took white dropouts nearly 9 years to start a job that would last 3 years, while Hispanic or Latino dropouts took more than 10 years. In comparison, white college graduates started a job that would last 3 years approximately 1 year 30 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 2 Estimates are not presented because cell size is less than 50 . after leaving school; blacks with a college degree took approximately 1 extra year-but started a job lasting at least 3 years the same time as whites did. Similar patterns existed for the median number of jobs held from time first left school until workers settled into stable employment. (See table 8.) In all cases, measuring number of jobs held from first leaving school until starting a job that lasted 1, 3, or 5 years, college graduates made the transition to stable employment with the least amount of churning or job shopping. A high school dropout, on the other hand, seems to do a fair amount of churning. The median high school dropout held two jobs before starting a job that lasted 1 year and held five jobs before starting a job that lasted 3 years. A high school graduate, in comparison, held one job before holding a job for 1 year and five jobs before holding a job for 5 years. Finally, those with a college degree or more found a long-lasting job with relatively little job shopping or churning. College graduates held only two jobs before starting a job that lasted 5 years or more. 11•1•n~:• Median number of jobs held between leaving school for the first time and starting a job that will last a set amount of time, to age 35, 1978-2002 Median number of jobs held between leaving school for the first time and starting a job that will last at least: Characteristic 1 year 3 years 5 years or more Total ..................................................................................................... Less than a high school diploma .............................. ...................... . High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more ..................................... ......................... . 1 2 1 1 0 3 5 4 2 1 5 (1) 5 Men ..................................................................................... .. .............. . Less than a high school diploma ................................................ .. ... High school graduates, no college .................................................. Less than a bachelor's degree ........................................................ Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . 1 2 1 1 0 3 5 4 2 4 (1) 5 Women ................................................................................................ . 1 3 4 6 4 3 2 5 (1) 5 4 3 6 4 2 4 (1) 5 3 2 Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree .................................... ................... . Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . 1 1 0 3 2 3 2 1 3 White (non-Hispanic) ........................................................................... Less than a high school diploma ..................................................... High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . 1 0 Black (non-Hispanic) .......................................................................... . Less than a high school diploma .................................................... . High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more ............................................................... 2 2 2 1 1 4 (1) 4 3 2 (1) (1) (1) Hispanic ................................................................. .................... ......... . Less than a high school diploma ..................................................... High school graduates, no college ................................................. . Less than a bachelor's degree ....................................................... . Bachelor's degree or more .............................................................. . 1 3 2 0 (2) 4 5 4 2 (2) 5 (1) 5 1 Estimates are not presented because less than 50 percent of the sample had held a job of this length. IT TAKES APPROXIMATELY 5 YEARS after leaving school for the first time before the average worker starts a job that will last 3 years. However, college graduates found stable, long-term employment almost immediately, while high school dropouts continued to have many short-term jobs 15 years after leaving school. By age 35, more than 62 percent of college graduates had held a job for more than 5 years; at the median, this group had started their career job less than 4 years after leaving school. In contrast, most high school dropouts took many years to overcome their 1 3 1 2 1 3 2 3 (2) Estimates are not presented because cell size is less than 50. lack of skills: at age 35, only 36 percent of them had held a job for more than 5 years, and more than 50 percent had an average tenure of 1 year or less. The data also show significant differences by sex and race in the work experiences of individuals between the end of schooling and age 35. While many of the racial differences become insignificant with increases in education, the disparity between men and women often remain. Across both genders and all races, increases in education smooth the transition from school to work. D Notes 1 See, for example, Report by the Commission on the skills of the American Workforce, 1990. 2 See, for example, Robert H. Topel and Michael P. Ward, "Job Mobility and the Careers of Young Men," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 1992, pp . 439-479; Boyan Jovanovic, ''Job Match- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ing and the Theory of Turnover," Journal of Political Economy, May 1979, pp. 972-990; William R. Johnson, "The Theory of Job Shopping," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 1978, pp. 261-278. 3 Jacob Alex Klerman and Lynn A. Karoly, "Young Men and the Transition to Stable Employment," Monthly Labor Review, August 1994, Monthly Labor Review February 2005 31 School-to-Work Transition pp. 31-48; Jonathan R. Veum and Andrea B. Weiss, '·Education and the Work Histories of Young Adults," Monthly Labor Review, Ap1il 1994, pp. 11 - 20. 4 Rosella Gareecki and David B. Neumark, "Order from Chaos? The Effects of Early Labor Market Experiences on Adult Labor Market Outcomes," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, January 1998, pp. 299-322; and Audry Light, Kathleen McGarry, " Job Change Patterns and the Wages of Young Men," The Review of Economics and Statistics, May 1998, pp. 276-286. 5 If we do not restrict the sample to these birth cohorts, only individuais who had not exited school before 1978 would be included in the 1957 to 1960 sample . As a result , the sample including all cohorts would have a much higher percentage of college graduates and a lower percentage of high school dropouts. 6 An individual must be out of school for 12 consecutive months before their education status is determined. However, once that 12month period has been reached, jobs and duration are measured retroac- 32 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 tively from the beginning of the 12 months, that is, from the very first week they left school. 7 To account for individuals who initially overstate their educational attainment, the highest degrees are compared to questions , asked in 1998 and afterwards, of highest degree ever earned and the date these degrees were obtained. Approximately 100 individuals were reassigned to lower categories based on their answers to this question. 8 Approximately 3 percent of the sample was still attending school at their 35th birthday. However, much of this schooling appears to be a use of leisure time as compared to the pursuit of a degree. These individuals are characterized by intermittent school attendance, taking only a few credits, and never completing any additional degree. 9 10 All comparisons are statistically significant. According to the Current Population Survey (CPS) at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 64 percent of women with children under age 6 were in the civilian labor force in 2003, as were 72 percent of women with children under age 18. Job mobility and wage growth: evidence from the NLSV79 Data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth provide an unusually complete history of employment experiences; analyses of why workers separate from their employers, frequencies of these separations, and job mobility's impact on earnings reveal that today's labor markets are far more dynamic than previously realized Audrey Light Audrey Light is an associate professor in the Department of Economics and Center for Human Resource Research, Ohio State University, E-mail: light.20@osu.edu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ongitudinal data have contributed immeasurably to our understanding of individuals' labor market activities, especially when it comes to analyzing job mobility and wage growth. Without the ability to "see" workers move from employer to employer, we would know very little about why workers separate from their employers, how often separations occur, and how job mobility affects earnings. 1 Analyses of these issues have revealed labor markets to be far more dynamic than was previously realized. One phenomenon that has received considerable scrutiny is the persistent, voluntary job mobility of young workers. In the mid 1970s, economists began using search-theoretic models to explain why information costs compel workers to systematically "shop" for a better job. 2 The idea is that workers cannot immediately locate firms where their skills are valued the most highly, so upon accepting a job offer they continue to search for an even better 0utside opportunity. Workers might also learn over time that their current job is not as productive as they initially predicted. New information regarding outside offers or the current job is predicted to lead to a workerinitiated job separation. Empirical researchers have used longitudinal data to determine which theoretical models are supported by the data and to identify the contribution of "job shopping" to life-cycle wage growth. A related issue of long-standing concern is the effect of job immobility on wage growth. Human capital models predict that wages rise with job seniority when workers "lock in" and L invest in firm-specific skills. Because these skills cannot be transferred to a new job if a separation occurs, workers and firms agree to share the costs and benefits of the investment-and the worker's return on the shared investment takes the form of within-job wage growth above and beyond any gains due to the acquisition of general (transferable) skills. A variety of agency models provide alternative explanations for upward sloping wage-tenure profiles. In these models, employers defer wages as a means of discouraging workers from quitting or shirking; stated differently, they require workers to "post a bond" as an incentive to sustain the employment relationship. 3 Longitudinal data have proved to be essential for assessing the merits of these theoretical models and identifying the effect of tenure on wages. Know ledge of the relative contributions of job mobility and immobility to life-cycle wage growth is fundamental to a number of important policy issues. For example, the well-being of low-skill labor market entrants is highly dependent on whether they are consigned to a lifetime of lowwage jobs, or whether they can advance in the wage distribution via life-cycle wage growth. As a result, policymakers might ask what can be done to enhance workers' wage growth. If job-specific skill investments are an important source of wage growth, then policies that promote on-the-job training might be useful to the low-wage population. If "job shopping" provides the lion's share of wage growth, then programs that provide jobsearch assistance might be warranted. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 33 Job Mobility and Wage Growth Of course, not all job separations are worker-initiated quits, so it is equally important to focus attention on issues related to involuntary job displacements. Researchers have relied on longitudinal data to determine which workers are particularly vulnerable to layoffs; which industries are the most volatile; and how wages are affected in both the short run and the long run when workers are displaced from their jobs. Advantages of NLSY79 data Analysts have been studying job mobility and wage growth for decades, but they gained an important new data source when the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) was launched. The NLSY79 plays a central role in this type of r~search because it provides an unusually complete history of each respondent's employment experiences, inc1uJing a record of virtually every job held. In this section, the key attributes of these data are highlighted; additional details can be found in the NLSY79 User's Guide. 4 During each interview, NLSY79 respondents report information on every job currently in progress or held since the last interview. When the first interview was conducted in 1979, respondents who were older than 18 retrospectively identified each job held since age 18. (The 12,686 respondents ranged in age from 14 to 22 at that time; 43 percent were older than 18.) For the younger respondents, the job history begins between ages 15 and 17. As a result of this sampling and data collection strategy, analysts can initialize respondents' careers at a uniform point in the life cycle (the 18th birthday, the first exit from school, and so forth) and obtain a remarkably complete record of jobs held from that point forward for a large sample of individuals. While the advantage of sampling young people is that complete histories (without left-censoring) are obtained, NLSY79based research has necessarily been limited to early-career activities. The NLSY79 has taken a back seat to other longitudinal surveys-most notably, the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID )-for the study of job mobility and wage growth among prime-age workers. Now that the youngest respondents (those born in 1964) have entered their 40s, however, the NLSY79 will be increasingly useful for the analysis of job mobility in the mid-career. The NLSY79 provides much more than a simple tally of cumulative jobs held over the career. At each interview, respondents report the start date and stop date of any job that began and/or "permanently" ended since the last interview. Because the recall period is relatively short and respondents report dates rather than time elapsed since the job began or ended (which would invite them to "round" their responses), analysts obtain high-quality data. Measurement error is inevitable in all survey data, but the NLSY79 is acknowledged to identify job durations and job tenure more cleanly than other surveys. 5 34 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 In addition to start and stop dates, such job characteristics as industry, occupation, class of employer, rate of pay, and weekly hours are identified for most jobs. These characteristics are usually known for as many as five unique jobs held between each interview, although some characteristics are identified only when the job lasts at least 9 weeks and the respondent works at least 10 hours per week. When jobs last long enough to span interviews, multiple reports of these characteristics are recorded. For example, if a job begins 3 months before the 1980 interview and ends 3 months after the 1983 interview, the respondent reports his current wage, occupation, hours worked, and so forth during the 1980, 1981, 1982 and 1983 interviews; the stop date is then identified in 1984. When respondents report that a job has ended, they are asked to provide their reason for leaving and whether a new job was lined up before they left. Analysts must contend with missing data, ambiguous responses (especially when reasons are recorded as "other"), and the possibility of misclassification, but they can make considerable progress in distinguishing between involuntary separations (layoffs, firings) and voluntary "quits." In combination with job start and stop dates, these data also allow analysts to classify job exits as "job to job" or "job to nonemployment." The survey also identifies temporary nonwork spells within jobs-specifically, the start and stop date of each "within-job gap" lasting at least 1 week, along with the reason for not working. This information allows analysts to identify nonwork spells due to strikes, temporary layoffs, health-related leaves of absence, and so forth that do not lead to the permanent termination of the employment relationship. Moreover, the detailed information on work and nonwork spells collected at each interview is used to create three weekly "work history" arrays. One array identifies each respondent's labor market status (working, out of the labor force, active military service, and so forth) during each week from January 1, 1978, onward. Another array identifies the usual hours worked on all jobs held during each week, and the third array identifies the number of jobs held during each week. These variables allow analysts to construct extraordinarily detailed measures of cumulative labor market experience and job tenure, and to identify transitions between employment, unemployment, and nonemployment spells, as well as transitions into and out of jobs. As discussed in other articles in this issue, the NLSY79 also contains detailed data on schooling attainment and enrollment, job training, geographic location, household composition, family formation, and much more. These data provide a rich set of controls for models of job durations, job exit probabilities, and wages, and they allow researchers to study the interdependence of job mobility and other events such as school completion, migration, and marriage. Overview of NLSY79-based research Given the range of substantive issues that compel analysts to study job mobility and the advantages of using NLSY79 data for this purpose, it should come as no surprise that the existing NLSY79-based literature is very large. Rather than attempt a comprehensive survey of the literature, this article describes a dozen studies that, as a group, illustrate the ways in which NLSY79 data have been used to explore mobility- and wagerelated issues. In the first set of studies, analysts identify the determinants of job mobility by estimating models of job durations or separation probabilities. Studies of this nature include those by Henry S. Farber, Derek Neal, Anne Beeson Royalty, and Madeline Zavodny. 6 Farber focuses on the timing of job separations and the extent to which observationally equivalent workers differ in their separation probabilities. He finds, among other things, that the hazard rate rises with job tenure for about 3 months and declines thereafter-a pattern that is consistent with the view that agents gather information before deciding that a separation is optimal. Subsequent research has distinguished between different types of job separations. For example, Neal considers both "simple" job changes, where workers perform the same type of work on both jobs, and "complex" job changes that entail a change of career as well as a change of employer. His analysis lends support to the idea that workers first search for a suitable career and then concentrate on finding the best employer match within that career. Royalty reconsiders the conventional wisdom that women are more likely than men to leave their employers for nonemploymenc, but perhaps less likely to quit for a better job. By distinguishing between job-to-job and job-to-nonemployme~t tr~nsitions and estimating separation models for workers m distinct gender-schooling groups, she learns that this pattern only applies to less educated workers; men and women with more than 12 years of schooling prove to have similar separation patterns. Zavodny asks whether technology-intensive industries (measured by computer usage, the fraction of workers in science and engineering, and so forth) have more or less job stability than other industries. She finds that overall separation rates are lower in "high tech" industries than in "low tech" industries, but that the difference is entirely due to lower quit rates in the technology-intensive industries; among less educated workers, involuntary separations may be more likely in technology-intensive industries than in other sectors. Wages are the outcome of interest in the next set of studies discussed. To maintain the focus on mobility-related research, studies that model wages as a function of past job mobility and/or current tenure, among other factors, are considered. 7 Pamela J. Loprest, Kristen Keith, and Abagail McWilliams conduct gender comparisons of the contemporaneous wage change associated with a change of employer. Loprest finds https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that men receive more wage growth than women over a 4-year period, and that this premium is largely due to a higher return to mobility. Keith and Mc Williams find that between-job wage gains are greater for workers (both men and women) who engage in formal job search prior to their separation, but that men are more likely than women to conduct such activities. Audrey Light and Kathleen McGarry ask how "overall" mobility (defined as the number of job separations in the first 8 years of the career) affects both the level and slope of men's wage paths. They find that immobile workers have the highest and steepest wage paths, followed by moderately mobile men whose mobility appears to conform to "job shopping," while highly mobile workers fare the worse in terms of both wage levels and wage growth. Turning to studies that focus on the wage-tenure relationship, Bernt Bratsberg and Dek Terrell assess race differences in the returns to tenure, using various instrumental variables to contend with the fact that tenure is endogenous to the wage-generating process. They find that estimated tenure slopes are sensitive to the estimation method, but are roughly similar for black and nonblack workers (all of whom are terminal high school graduates in their sample). However, blacks receive significantly lower returns than nonblacks to general labor market experience. The human capital interpretation of these findings is that blacks invest less intensively than whites in skills that are transferable across jobs, but receive similar returns to investments in firm-specific skills. The role affirmspecific skill investments is given a closer look by Daniel Parent, who estimates wage models that include measures of both job tenure (time with the current employer) and industry tenure (time with the current industry). He finds that tenure effects virtually disappear when industry tenure is included as a control, which suggests that workers are investing in skills that are specific to their industry rather than their current job. Randall J. Olsen's study is distinguished by the fact that he jointly estimates models of wages and job mobility. His unified, structural approach to assessing the relationship between job mobility on wages suggests that cumulative work experience (general skill acquisition) and job mobility are more important sources of early-career wage growth than is tenure (firm-specific skill acquisition). Empirical patterns In this section, some of the basic relationships between job mobility and wage growth seen in the NLSY79 are highlightedspecifically, the distribution of cumulative jobs held by NLSY79 respondents in the first 8 years of their careers, and the unconditional relationships between job mobility and both cumulative and year-to-year wage growth. The first step of the analysis is to define a career start datethat is, the date when individuals make a transition from school Monthly Labor Review February 2005 35 Job Mobility and Wage Growth to work. Many NLSY79 respondents are observed combining school and work or cycling between the two activities, so a judgment call is needed to determine when their work lives begin. Therefore, careers are initialized at the start of the first school exit that lasts at least 12 months. 8 A total of 5,321 respondents, not enrolled in school at the time of their 1979 interview, are eliminated from the sample. Reported school enrollment data are used to determine career start dates for the 7,365 remaining respondents. This date falls between April 1979 and June 1990 for all respondents, and precedes May 1983 for 75 percent of the sample. In order to track job mobility and wages over a reasonably long period of time (but not so long that right-censoring affects a significant number of careers), respondents are required to be observed for 8 years beyond the start of the careef. This selection rule eliminates 51 individuals who drop out of the survey before their 8-year window ends. To avoid having to contend with missing data, respondents who miss one or more interviews during the 8-year observation period are also eliminated. This leaves a final sample of 5,654 respondents. Table 1 summarizes the number of jobs held by these 5,654 resrondents between the beginning and end of the 8-year observation period. The cumulative job count includes jobs that are in progress at the start of the career, as well as any job whose start date precedes the end of the 8-year window. Table . 1 shows that men are slightly more mobile than women during the first 8 years of their career: the mean job count is 4.8 for -••leH-11' men and only 4.3 for women, and a higher proportion of men than women (25 percent versus 20 percent) hold seven or more jobs. At the other extreme, 11-12 percent of women and men hold no jobs or a single job during the period of observation. In contrast to these relatively small gender differences, table 1 reveals that job mobility varies dramatically across schooling levels. To assess the relationship between mobility and schooling, the men are classified into a "high school" subsample (those whose highest grade completed at the career start date is no greater than 12) and a "college" subsample. The high school sample averages 5.2 jobs during the 8-year window, which is almost one job more than the mean for the college sample. Almost one-third of high school educated men holds seven or more jobs, versus only 18 percent of the college sample. In table 2, the cumulative job count over the 8-year observation period is linked to cumulative wage growth. For this exercise, attention is confined to 4,189 respondents for whom a "valid" wage (an average, hourly wage between $1 and $1,000) is reported to have been earned within 9 months of the career start date and the career end date. Each average hourly wage is divided by the gross domestic product (GDP) implicit price deflator, and the 8-year difference in log-wages is used as the measure of cumulative wage growth. Table 2 reveals that, on average, overall wage growth declines with mobility for both men and women. Among women who hold a single job in 8 years, the average change in log- Distribution of number of jobs held during first 8 years of career Women Number of jobs All schooling levels Number 0 1 2 3 Percent of sample Number 87 265 423 446 442 370 283 218 132 96 117 3.0 9.2 14.7 15.5 15.4 12.9 9.8 7.6 4 .6 3.3 4.1 58 241 353 374 408 325 313 240 173 94 196 2.1 8.7 12.7 13.5 14.7 11 .7 11.3 8.7 6.2 3.4 7.1 42 106 180 193 240 198 194 164 132 72 136 2.5 6.4 10.9 11.7 14.5 12.0 11.7 9.9 8.0 4.4 8.2 16 135 173 181 168 127 119 76 41 22 60 1.4 12.1 15.5 16.2 15.0 11.4 10.6 6.8 3.7 2.0 5.4 2 ,879 4.3 2.6 17 100.0 2,775 4.8 2.9 19 100.0 1,657 5.2 2.9 19 100.0 1,118 4.3 2.7 15 100.0 6 ······················· ·· ···· .. .. ........... ....... .... ... ' 8 ····························· 9 ........ .. ......... .......... 10 or more .............. 36 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Schooling greater than grade 12 Number 4 ········· ········· ···· ······· 5 ............................. Mean ....................... Standard deviation .. Maximum .. .. ............ Schooling less than or equal to grade 12 All schooling levels Percent of sample ..... ... ......... ....... ... .. ............................. .......... ......... .. .. ...... ............................. All ..... ..................... .. Men - February 2005 - Percent of sample - Number Percent of sample - • 1 •1•n:__.- Wage growth during first 8 years of career by number of jobs held Women Number of jobs Men All schooling levels Number of observetions 123 557 836 491 2,007 1 ·············" 2-3 .. ......... 4--6 .... .. ... .. 7 or more .. All ... ... ... .... Schooling less than or equal to grade 12 All schooling levels Mean Standard deviations .59 .57 .46 .40 .49 .56 .68 .63 .68 .66 Number of observetions Mean 137 562 858 625 2,182 Standard deviation .66 .68 .51 .47 .55 .71 .69 .63 .77 .70 Number of observetions 42 257 489 435 1,223 Schooling greater than grade 12 Mean Standard deviation Number of observetion .40 .58 .43 .45 .46 .44 .64 .60 .77 .67 95 305 369 190 959 Mean Standard deviation .77 .77 .63 .51 .66 .77 .71 .65 .76 .71 observation period. Sample sizes are smaller than in table 1 because of missing wages . NOTE: Wage growth is defined as ln(W 8 )-ln(W 1), where W 1 and W 8 are average hourly wages reported at the beginning and end of the 8-year IJ·••ir=--- Percent of weeks employed during first 8 years of career by number of jobs held Number of jobs Women Men All schooling levels Schooling less than or equal to grade 12 Number of observetions 1 ·· ··· ·········· 2-3 ....... ... . 4-6 .. .... .. ... 7 or more .. All ... .. ........ 123 557 836 491 2,007 Mean 90.0 83.6 77.4 74.8 79.2 All schooling levels Standard deviation 22 .0 23.5 23.1 19.0 22.7 Number of observetions 137 562 858 625 2,182 Mean I 94.4 87.1 80.4 77.2 82.0 Standard deviation 16.2 23.0 21 .6 18.3 21.4 Number of observetions 42 257 489 435 1,223 Mean 87.6 78.9 74.4 73.6 75.5 Schooling greater than grade 12 Standard deviation 22.2 28.7 23.5 18.7 23.4 Number of observetions 95 305 369 190 959 Mean Standard deviation 97.3 94.0 83.3 85.2 90.4 11.7 13.5 15.6 14.7 14.9 I NOTE : The work history "status array" is used to identify the cumulative number of weeks worked (excluding within-job employment gaps) during the wage is 0.59. The average wage gain is virtually the same among women who hold 1-2 jobs, but it is considerably smaller (0.40--0.46) among the more mobile women. A similar pattern is seen among the men, although their average wage growth is markedly higher than the women's. However, when the sample of men is broken down by schooling attainment, the negative correlation between overall mobility and overall wage growth holds only for the more highly schooled men. Among the high school sample, the average change in log-wage is 0.58 for those who hold 2-3 jobs, but only 0.40-0.46 for men in any other mobility category, including those who hold a single job in 8 years. What are the explanations for the patterns seen in table 2? To the extent that "job shopping" dominates early-career mobility (that is, to the extent that workers move to jobs where their skills are more highly valued), it should be associated with wage growth. However, high mobility can also go hand in hand with a high frequency of involuntary discharges and/or https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8-year observation period. Only respondents who report wages at the beginning and end of this period are included in each sample. a tenuous attachment to the workforce. Workers who are frequently fired or have frequent non work spells are not expected to receive substantial amounts of wage growth. To explore some of these issues, the work history "status array" is used to identify the number of weeks in which respondents are known to be working during the 8-year window. In table 3, sample means for this employment measure (expressed as a percentage of total weeks) are reported for the same sample of workers used for table 2. Table 3 reveals that the average percentage of weeks worked declines with job mobility for each group of workers. In the "all schooling levels" groups, the average worker (male or female) who holds only one job in 8 years works at least 90 percent of the time, while average work effort falls to around 75 percent for workers who hold seven or more jobs. Clearly, the negative relationship between overall mobility and overall wage growth seen in table 2 reflects the fact that highly mobile workers tend to be nonemployed for a substantial portion of their Monthly Labor Review February 2005 37 Job Mobility and Wage Growth - ■ elelr-..-•- Annual wage growth for job movers and job stayers Women Men All schooling levels Number jobs Job stayer ... Job mover ... Voluntary job mover ....... Schooling less than or equal to grade 12 All schooling levels .:,: Number of observetions Mean Standard deviation 13,085 3,637 .048 .027 .44 .62 2,959 .044 .61 Number of observetions Schooling greater than grade 12 Mean Standard deviation Number of observetions Mean Standard deviation 14,265 3,755 .050 .046 .44 .69 7,173 2,277 .045 .042 .40 .60 7,092 1,478 .054 .052 .48 .81 3,210 .060 .70 1,869 .055 .61 1,341 .068 .80 NOTE: Wage growth is defined as the 1-year change in log average hourly wages (or one-half the 2-year change) during the 8-year observation period. Job movers change employers between wage reports; the subsample early careers. Workers who change jobs less often are much more likely to work continuously-and, perhaps, to engage in productive "job shopping." Whether the above-average wage growth of workers who undergo moderate mobility is due to work continuity, job mobility, or a combination of the two cannot be determined from tables 2 and 3. Rather than look exclusively at cumulative wage growth, the analysis concludes with an examination of year-to-year changes in employers and log-wages. Beginning with each worker's entire sequence ofreported wages during the 8-year observation period, the change in log-wages for each successive pair of wages is computed and confined to those differences where the elapsed time between wages is approximately I year (10-14 months) or 2 years (20-28 months); the 2-year differences are divided in half. 9 Each year-to-year change in log-wages is then classified according to whether the two wages were earned on the same job or on different jobs. Table 4 reports the mean log-wage changes for job stayers and job movers. Among women, the average wage change is quite a bit higher (0.048) for job stayers than for job movers (0.027), while for each sample of men these two means are almost identical. The bottom row of table 4 reports mean changes in log-wages for a subsample of movers who make voluntary job changes-defined as any change not reported as a layoff, discharge, plant closing, or end of temporary work; all quits and all separations for which the reason is "other" or Number of observetions Mean Standard deviation of voluntary movers excludes those who report that they moved because of a layoff, discharge , end of temporary job, or plant closing. unknown are considered to be voluntary. By crudely narrowing the sample to job changes that might be voluntary, much larger mean changes in log-wages are obtained. Women receive an average, annual boost in log-wages of 0.044-0.048 regardless of whether they maintain their current job or undergo a voluntary job transition. For men, the average wage boost associated with a voluntary job change is about 0.01 log points higher than the average wage change for job stayers, although the difference in means is not always statistically significant at conventional levels. Nonetheless, table 4 suggests that the average wage gain associated with a voluntary job change is quite substantial for all groups of workers. THIS BRIEF ANALYSIS HAS DEMONSTRATED that the typical worker holds about five jobs in the first 8 years of the career, but that workers vary considerably in their mobility rates. Highly mobile workers receive less cumulative wage growth, on average, than their less mobile counterparts-a difference that is at least partially attributable to the fact that employment continuity is negatively correlated with mobility. Finally, there is cursory evidence that workers who change jobs voluntarily receive significant contemporaneous wage boosts that, on average, are at least as large as the wage gains received by job stayers. Each of these patterns has been explored in greater detail in other studies, and the NLSY79 will undoubtedly reveal much more about these relationships in the future. D Notes 1 Throughout this article, job mobility refers to a change of employer, and not to an intra-firm change in position, rank, or work assignment. ' Examples of such models include Kenneth Burdett, '·A Theory of Employee Job Search and Quit Rates," American Economic Review, Vol. 38 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 68, no. 1, 1978, pp . 212-220; and Boyan Jovanovic, " Job Matching and the Theory of Turnover," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 87, No. 5, part 1, 1979, pp. 972-990. 3 For a model of firm-specific human capital, see Gary Becker, ··Investment in Human Capital: A Theoretical Analysis," Journal of Politi- cal Economy, Vol. 70, No. I, pp. 9-49. Agency models include Edward Lazear, " Why is There Mandatory Retirement?" Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 87, No. 6, 1979, pp. 1261-84; and Joanne Salop and Steven Salop, "Self-Selection and Turnover in the Labor Market," Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 90, No. 4, 1976, pp. 619-627. 4 The NLSY79 User's Guide is available at http://www.bls.gov/nls/ 79guide/nls79usg.htm. 5 In contrast, the PSID makes it considerably more difficult to identify unique jobs and to measure tenure on each job. See James N. Brown and Audrey Light, "Interpreting Panel Data on Job Tenure," Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. IO, No. 3, 1992, pp. 219-257. 6 See Henry S. Farber, "The Analysis of Interfirm Worker Mobility," Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 12, No. 4, 1994, pp. 554-593; Derek Neal, "The Complexity of Job Mobility Among Young Men," Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 17, No. 2, 1999, pp. 237-261; Anne Beeson Royalty, "Job-to-Job and Job-to-Nonemployment Turnover hy Gender and Education Level," Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 16, No. 2, 1998, pp. 392-443; and Madeline Zavodny, "Technology and Job Separation Among Young Adults," Economic Inquiry, Vol. 41, No. 2, 2003, pp. 264-278. 7 Studies that control for past job separations include Kristen Keith and Abagail McWilliams, "The Returns to Mobility and Job Search by Gender," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 52, No. 3, 1999, pp. 460-477; Audrey Light and Kathleen McGarry, "Job Change Pat- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis terns and the Wages of Young Men," Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 80, .No. 2, 1998, pp. 276-286; and Pamela J. Loprest, "Gender Differences in Wage Growth and Job Mobility," American Economic Review, Vol. 82, No. 2, 1992, pp. 526-532. Studies that focus on the wage-tenure relationship include Bernt Bratsberg and Dek Terrell , "Experience, Tenure, and Wage Growth of Young Black and White Men," The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 33, No. 3, 1998, pp. 658-682; Daniel Parent, "Industry-Specific Capital and the Wage Profile: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics," Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 18, No. 2, 2000, pp. 306-323; and Randall J. Olsen, "Job Switching, Earnings Growth and the Rate of Return to Tenure," Ohio State University working paper, November 2001. 8 For a discussion of the ambiguity in career start dates, see Audrey Light, "Estimating Returns to Schooling: When Does the Career Begin?" Economics of Education Review, Vol. 17, No. I, pp. 31-45. 9 Because interviews were conducted annually from 1979 to 1994, and the 8-year observation period ends well before 1996 for most respondents, the majority of successive wage reports are approximately l year apart. One-half the 2-year differences is used to avoid discarding wage data for those respondents whose 8-year period extends in the mid- l 990s; these are invariably younger respondents who stay in school a relatively long time. For this exercise, the dependent variable is again the average hourly wages divided by the GDP implicit price deflator. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 39 Self-employment, entrepreneurship, and the NLSY79 Researchers have used the rich data from the 1979 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to investigate the relationship between self-employment and various job and earnings outcomes; future inquiry may afford valuable insights into other interesting consequences of self-employment Robert W. Fairlie Robert W. Fairlie is associate professor and director of the M.S. Program in Applied Economics and Finance, Department of Economics, University of California, Santa Cruz, California . E-mail: fairlie@ucsc.edu elatively small, but growing, body of terature uses microdata from the 1979 ational Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) to study self-employment _ and entrepreneur,hip among young adults. The topics covered in these studies include, but are not limited to, the determinants of entrepreneurship, earnings growth among entrepreneurs, the returns to self-employment, the relationship between criminal activities and self-employment, and job satisfaction among the self-employed. The NLSY79 is a nationally representative sample of 12,686 men and women who were between the ages of 14 and 22 when they were first interviewed in 1979. 1 Survey respondents were interviewed annually from 1979 to 1994 and biannually starting in 1996. Most previous studies using this survey exclude the sample of 1,280 youths designed to represent the population enlisted in the four branches of the military as of September 30, 1978, but retain the supplemental sample of 5,295 civilian black, Hispanic, and economically disadvantaged nonblack, nonHispanic youth. The NLSY79 contains a wealth of information on the demographic, economic, family background, educational, and psychological characteristics of respondents. Detailed measures of the group's labor market and life experiences from early adulthood to the midforties can also be created for survey respondents. The NLSY79 is an excellent source of data for conducting research on self-employment and 40 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 entrepreneurship. The wealth of information available in the survey allows one to build rich empirical models of the entrepreneurial process. Measures of previous wage and salary, selfemployment, and unemployment experience can be created, and the NLSY79 contains several uncommon variables, such as those associated with detailed asset categories, family background information, data on criminal activities, Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT) scores, and psychological characteristics. Furthermore, a plethora of measures of the dynamics of selfemployment may be extracted from the longitudinal data in the survey. For example, measures of transitions to and from self-employment, number of years of self-employment, and whether an individual ever tries self-employment can easily be created. Finally, the returns to selfemployment, measured as earnings, job satisfaction, net worth, or other outcomes, can be estimated. Changes over time in labor market status can be used to identify the effects of self-employment, potentially removing biases created by unobserved heterogeneity across individuals. Given these advantages, it is somewhat surprising that more researchers have not used the NLSY79 to study self-employment. In the sections that follow, this article presents estimates of self-employment from the NLSY79, reviews findings from previous studies that used the survey, and discusses some of the merits of the data sets making up the survey. Self-employment in the NLSY79 In most previous studies using the NLSY79, self-employed workers are defined as those individuals who identify themselves as self-employed in their own business, professional practice, or farm in response to the class-of-worker question relating to the current or most recent job. Unpaid family workers are not counted as self-employed. Individuals who report being enrolled in school and workers who report working fewer than 300 hours in the previous calendar year are often excluded. The hours restriction rules out very small scale business activities. Self-employment rates increase rapidly as the NLSY79 cohort ages. (See chart 1.) The self-employment rate is defined as the fraction of workers that is self-employed. At age 22, only 5.1 percent of men and 2.6 percent of women are selfemployed. By age 42, however, 12.1 percent of men and 9.8 percent of women are self-employed. The following tabulation shows that self-employment rates also differ substantially by race and its ethnicity: NLSY79 data Women Men Race or ethnicity Black .................. Hispanic ............ White ................. SelfSelfemployment Sample employment rate rate size (percent) (percent) 5.3 7.4 10.1 14,448 10,153 31,803 3.2 4.9 6.9 Sample size 13,469 8,404 29,006 As in previous studies, blacks and Hispanics are much less likely to be self-employed than are whites. 2 Only 5.3 percent of black men are self-employed, compared with 10.1 percent of white men. The Hispanic male rate of 7.4 percent is also lower than the white rate, but higher than the black rate. Among women, the black-white and Hispanic-white selfemployment rate ratios are similar to those for men. The main difference is that women's self-employment rates are lower than men's for all three racial and ethnic groups. The determinants of self-employment. A few patterns are beginning to emerge in the young and expanding literature on self-employment. The empirical studies in this literature generally find that being male, white, older, married, and an immigrant and having a self-employed parent, more assets, and more education increase self-employment. In contrast, theoretical models of self-employment posit that attitudes toward risk, entrepreneurial ability, and preferences for autonomy are central to the individual's decision to become self-employed or engage in wage and salary work. 3 Perhaps not surprisingly, there is very little empirical evidence on the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis importance of these unobservable characteristics in the selfemployment decision. One article that uses the NLSY79 offers indirect evidence by examining the relationship between drug dealing and legitimate self-employment: 4 a review of ethnographic studies in the criminology literature indicates that drug dealing may serve as a useful proxy for a low aversion to risk, entrepreneurial ability, and a preference for autonomy. The 1980 wave of the NLSY contains a special section on participation in illegal activities, including questions on selling marijuana and other "hard" drugs. The answers to these questions, together with data from subsequent years of the survey, are used to examine the relationship between drug dealing as a youth and legitimate self-employment in later years. Using various definitions of drug dealing and specifications of the econometric model, the survey finds drug dealers to be 11 percent to 21 percent more likely than those who are not drug dealers to choose self-employment, all else being equal. After ruling out a few alternative explanations, this article interprets these results as providing indirect evidence that aversion to risk, entrepreneurial ability, and preferences for autonomy are important determinants of self-employment. In addition to offering detailed information on criminal activities in the 1980 wave, the NLSY79 includes information on whether respondents were interviewed in jail or prison in each year. This information is useful because convictions and incarcerations may have different effects on current and future wage and salary and self-employment earnings. In particular, ex-offenders who choose self-employment do not face discrimination, either pure or statistical, by employers in the labor market, but may face other forms of discrimination, such as that by consumers or lending institutions. Using the NLSY79, the aforementioned study by Robert Fairlie provides evidence on the relationship between incarceration and selfemployment. 5 Estimates from probit regressions indicate that having a previous incarceration increases the probability of self-employment by 0.36 percentage point to 0.39 percentage point, or 5.2 percent to 5.9 percent. Thus, self-employment may provide an important alternative to wage and salary work for at least some ex-convicts. Another finding reported in Fairlie is that AFQT scores have a small and insignificant effect in prob it regressions for the probability of self-employment. 6 Interestingly, previous research using the NLSY79 finds that AFQT scores have a large positive effect on earnings. The general argument is that the scores represent a measure of basic skills that help predict job performance. Although youths who have low levels of these basic skills may have limited opportunities in the wage and salary sector, that barrier does not translate into higher probabilities of selfemployment. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 41 Self-Employment , Entrepreneurship Self-employm ent rates by age, NLSY ( 1979-2002) Percent Percent 15 15 Men 12 12 9 9 6 6 3 3 0 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 0 Age The longitudinal nature of the NLSY79 also allows one to explore the effects of previous labor market experience on current self-employment. Ellen Rissman analyzes one aspect of the dynamic relationship between unemployment and selfemployment among men. 7 She finds that the probability of being self-employed in the current year increases significantly if the person was unemployed in the previous year. Stratifying her sample by race, she also finds a positive and significant effect for whites, but not for nonwhites. The dynamics ofself-employment. Previous research on selfem ploy men t generally takes a point-in-time focus; longitudinal data in the NLSY79, however, allow for numerous dynamic measures of the concept. For example, Rissman finds that 3.4 percent of wage and salary workers in any given year become self-employed the following year and, conversely, 36.9 percent of the self-employed during a given year make the transition to wage and salary work the next year. 8 Also, Marianne A. Ferber and Jane Waldfogel find that 24.8 percent of men and 16.5 percent of women in their sample from the NLSY79 report ever being self-employed. 9 By contrast, they find current self-employment rates of 8.8 percent and 5.5 percent for men and women, respectively. Finally, Donald Williams finds that, by 1987, just 3 .1 percent of NLSY79 42 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 respondents had 2 or more years of self-employmen t experience and only 1.2 percent of respondents had 3 or more years of self-employment experience. 10 Although numerous possibilities exist for measuring selfemployment dynamics, most previous research has focused on annual transitions to and from self-employment. Estimates for transition matrices that include wage and salary employment, self-employment, and nonemployment are reported in table 1. 11 One-year transition matrices are reported for the 1979-94 period, and 2-year transitions are reported for the 1994-2002 period. Estimates from 1979-94 indicate that 3.4 percent of young men who were wage and salary workers became self-employed the following year. The entry rate for the nonemployed is 2.2 percent. Estimates for 2-year transitions from 1994-2002 indicate a lower self-employment rate from wage and salary work and a higher entry rate from nonemployment. For men, the exit rates from self-employment are 31.6 percent and 24.9 percent for the earlier and later periods, respectively. Self-employment entry rates are generally lower, and exit rates higher, for young women. Overall, the estimates indicate that substantial mobility exists between sectors and into and out of employment among young workers. The importance of assets has taken center stage in the literature on the determinants of self-employment. Several Labor market transition matrices, National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979-2002 [In percent] Gender, category, and year t Nonemployment, 12 t+1/t+2 Wage and salary employment, 2 t+1/t+2 Selfemployment,2 t+1/t+2 72.1 1.0 .7 25.7 95.5 30.8 2.3 3.4 68.4 7.0 85.1 7.9 3,675 33,917 2,661 65.6 2.8 2.0 29.1% 94.0 22.8 5.3 3.1 75.1 6.9 83.6 9.5 1,284 11,249 1,112 75.4 3.7 4.6 21.4 94.1 29.0 3.3 2.2 66.5 19.1 76.1 4.8 9,584 31,452 1,641 68.7 6.1 10.2 28.1 91.5 28.6 3.2 2.4 61.2 18.8% 75.0% 6.2% 2,844 10,585 727 Share of total, year t N Men 1979-94, year t: Non employment ............................... Wage and salary employment ......... Self-employment ............................. 1994-2002, year t: ............... .............. Nonemployment ............................... Wage and salary employment ......... Self-employment ........... .................. Women 1979-94, year t: Non employment ....... .... .. .................. Wage and salary employment ......... Self-employment ............................. 1994-2002, year t: Non employment ............................... Wage and salary employment ......... Self-employment ... .... ............. ... ...... Those unemployed and not in the labor force. Measured in year t + 1 for 1979-94 and year t + 2 for 1994-2002. NorE: The sample consists of youths aged 22 to 45 years who are not 1 2 recent studies explore this issue by modeling the decision of wage and salary workers or other nonbusiness owners to switch into self-employment over a fixed period. 12 The focus on transitions to self-employment attempts to avoid the endogeneity problem of including assets in a static model of self-employment. The problem is that a positive relationship found in a cross-sectional analysis may simply reflect the possibility that business owners accumulate more wealth instead of wealth increasing the likelihood of owning a business. Although individuals may save in anticipation of becoming self-employed, a measure of assets in year t - 1 should be more exogenous to the entrepreneurial decision than a contemporaneous measure of assets. Fairlie follows this approach, using net worth data from the NLSY79. 13 Specifically, he estimates probit regressions for the probability of entry into self-employment from wage and salary work that include a measure of net worth. The NLSY did not collect information on assets prior to 1985 and in 1991. For other years, a measure of net worth can be created from the detailed NLSY questions on assets. 14 The coefficients on net worth and its square are statistically significant and indicate a concave relationship. Evaluated at the mean level of net worth (which equals $36,900), the coefficients imply that increasing net worth by $10,000 raises the probability of a transition into self-employment by 0.00044. This percentage represents only 1.5 percent of the sample's entry rate into self-employment. Thus, the estimates of the coefficients pro- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis enrolled in school. All estimates are calculated with the use of annual sample weights provided by the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. vide some evidence that young men face liquidity constraints, but these constraints do not appear to be overly restrictive. Creating detailed measures of previous work experience to include in her regressions, Hiromi Taniguchi examines the determinants of transitions from nonemployment to selfemployment and to wage and salary employment among women in the NLSY79. 15 Her results indicate that both cumulative work experience and the number of jobs ever held increase the rate of entry into self-employment and wage/ salary employment. She also finds that previous selfemployment increases the rate of entry into self-employment and has a negative effect on entry into wage and salary employment. Self-employment earnings in the NLSY79 Although self-employment income can be identified in the NLSY79, earnings among self-employed business owners are typically measured as total annual earnings, which are calculated by summing the responses to questions on military income, wage and salary income, and business or farm income (after expenses) in the previous calendar year. The income from all three sources is added because more than half of the self-employed with positive earnings in the NLSY79 report 16 wage and salary income, but do not report business income. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 43 Self-Employm ent, Entrepreneurship This is partly due to incorporated business owners reporting their income as wage and salary income, as roughly 50 percent of unincorpora ted business owners with positive total earnings report zero business income. As suggested by Zagorsky, it may also be due to the ordering of questions on the questionnaire. 17 Respondents were asked, ( 1) "How much money did you get from the military?"; (2) "Excluding military pay, how much money did you get from wages, salary, commissions, or tips?"; and (3) "Excluding anything you already mentioned, did you receive any business income?" Thus, some of the self-employed may have reported their income in the second question and did not correct their mistake. Another possibility is that the self-employed report only their labor income from the business under wage and salary income. The following tabulation shows the mean, median, and standard deviation of total annual earnings for self-employed and wage and salary workers: Men Women SelfWage and employed salary Mean ..................... $52,300 Median .................. 38,000 Standard deviation . 48,159 Sample size ........... 3,725 Selfemployed Wage and salary $38,258 33,021 25,769 $28,217 20,029 30,040 $27,131 23,407 17,794 43,852 1,570 35,367 Only full-time workers, defined here as those working at least 1,400 hours in the previous calendar year, are included, in order to control for differences in hours worked. Earnings observations in all years are inflated to 2002 dollars. The responses for each of the three sources of income (the selfempioyed, wage and salary workers, and the military) are top coded at $75,000 from 1979 to 1984, $100,000 from 1985 to 1994, and the top 2 percent for more recent years. Instead of these top codes, however, the 1994 top code, in 2002 dollars, which equals $121,390, is used for all years in what follows. 18 As is customary, all top-coded values are set to $150,000. For men, the self-employed earn substantially more, on average, than do wage and salary workers. Men's average earnings are $14,042 higher among the self-employed, and median earnings are $4,979 higher. For women, average earnings among the self-employed are slightly higher than average earnings among wage and salary workers, but median earnings are lower. For both men and women, the standard deviation of self-employment income is substantially greater than that of wage and salary income. Returns to capital. One issue that arises in comparing selfemployment earnings with wage and salary earnings from survey data is the treatment of returns to capital. In the NLSY, the question regarding self-employment income asks, "How 44 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 much did you receive after expenses?" from your farm or business in the past calendar year. Although some uncertainty is involved in answering this question, respondents are likely to interpret the question to include both the returns to labor and the returns to capital. As noted earlier, however, most of the self-employed report their earnings as wage and salary income and not business income. In the case of the respondent who does report self-employm ent income as business income, it would be preferable to remove the returns to capital before making comparisons with the earnings of wage and salary workers. Unlike most other data sets, the NLSY79 contains detailedenough information on assets to enable researchers to conduct a careful analysis of the issue of how returns to capital are treated. The NLSY79 contains data on the market value of the individual's farm, business, and other real estate and the total amount of debt owed on those assets. This information can be used to calculate the opportunity cost of capital and remove it from business income. With Standard & Poor's 500 as the alternative investment, adjusted self-employment earnings are 5.2 percent lower than unadjusted selfemployment earnings for white men and 4.0 percent lower for white women. 19 Simple adjustments for the opportunity cost of capital also have a small effect on self-employment earnings for blacks and Latinos. Overall, estimates from the NLSY79 suggest that unadjusted self-employm ent earnings from survey data may provide reasonably accurate measures of the returns to labor. Earnings regressions. As mentioned earlier, the NLSY79 contains detailed information on individual characteristics such as age, race, education, AFQT scores, and various measures of previous work experience. Earnings regressions that include these observable controls can be used to estimate the between self-employment earnings and wage and salary earnings. Unobserved differences, however, such as entrepreneurial ability and aversion to risk, may also exist between self-employed business owners and wage and salary workers. To address this issue, fixed-effects earnings regressions can be estimated with the longitudinal data in the NLSY79. The individual-level fixed effects control for all observable and unobservable characteristics that do not change over time. Because, over time, individuals make transitions between self-employment, on the one hand, and wage and salary work, on the other, comparisons of self-employment earnings with wage and salary earnings for the same individual in different years contribute to identifying the associated coefficients. Estimating fixed-effects earnings regressions for young men from disadvantaged families yields some evidence that self-employed business owners earn more than do wage and salary workers. 20 Estimates for young women, however, provide some evidence oflower earnings among self-employed business owners than among wage and salary workers. The results from these earnings comparisons are somewhat sensitive to the use of different measures of income and diffcrent econometric models. In a related study, Justin van der Sluis, Mirjam van Praag and Arjen van Witteloostuijn (2004) estimate the returns to education for entrepreneurs and for wage and salary workers. 21 Using instrumental-variable regressions, they find that the returns to education are 14 percent for the selfemployed, much higher than the 10-percent estimated return for wage and salary workers. The detailed data available in the NLSY79 allow these researchers to control for ability and to use family background characteristics, including the mother's and father's education, the presence of library cards in the household at age 14, and magazines present in the household at age 14, as instrumental variables for education. Earnings profiles. The longitudinal nature of the NLSY79 enables one to compare earnings profiles for self-employed workers and wage and salary workers. Charts 2 and 3 display earnings-age profiles for full-time self-employed and wage and salary workers. For men (chart 2), average self-employment earnings are always higher and appear to grow at a rate similar to that of wage and salary earnings. For women, average self-employment earnings start out lower than wage ancl ~::J.lary earnings, but then grow at a faster rate. To investigate the question of whether the self-employed experience faster earnings growth than do wage and salary workers, the NLSY79 allows fixed-effects regressions that include interactions between self-employment, on the one hand, and experience, potential experience, or tenure, on the other, to be estimated. Estimating fixed-effects regressions for hourly earnings for a sample of white, non-Hispanic men, Daiji Kawaguchi finds flatter earnings-experience/tenure profiles for self-employed workers than for wage and salary workers. 22 At 10 years of experience and job tenure, selfemployed business owners earn 18 percent less than wage and salary workers. An earlier work by Fairlie compares men's and women's earnings profiles for whites, blacks, and Hispanics. 23 For white men, the point estimates from these earnings regressions indicate that the self-employed initially experience slower earnings growth than do wage and salary workers. After several years, the trend reverses, and selfemployed persons experience faster earnings growth and higher earnings. For Hispanic men, the relative self-employment earnings coefficients suggest that the self-employed start at much lower earnings levels than do wage and salary workers, but experience faster growth rates. For white women, relative self-employment earnings start out positive and then become negative. Relative self-employment earnings coefficients are not statistically significant for black men, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis black women, or Hispanic women, possibly due to small sample sizes. Self-employment and other outcomes. The detailed information available in the NLSY79 also allows for the analysis of the relationship between self-employment and other outcomes, such as future wage and salary income, job satisfaction, and net worth. One possibility is to examine the relationship between early-career self-employment experience and future labor market outcomes. The NLSY79 is an excellent instrument for this type of analysis because it follows individuals from ages 14 to 22 in 1979 to 37 to 45 in 2002. A previously mentioned work by Fairlie examines the earnings patterns of less educated individuals who are selfemployed early in their careers and makes comparisons with young, less educated wage and salary workers. 24 Selfemployment status is determined between ages 22 and 26, and earnings are measured starting at age 27. Estimates from fixed-effects regressions indicate that the self-employed experience faster earnings growth, on average, than do wage and salary workers after a few initial years of slower growth. In a similar vein, Williams examines the relationship between self-employment at ages 16 to 20 and outcomes at ages 25 and 27. 25 He finds that self-employment as a youth is associated with a substantially higher probability of being self-employed in early adulthood (age 27), but also is associated with lower earnings at that age. Another interesting question that can be answered with the NLSY79 is whether self-employment experience is rewarded in the wage and salary sector. Do self-employment spells limit opportunities for acquiring valuable labor market experience, especially firm- and sector-specific human capital, or do they provide workers with skills that are rewarded in the wage and salary sector? Again using data from the NLSY79, as well as data from the National Longitudinal Survey (NLS) of Young Women, Williams examines the effects of selfemployment experience on future wage and salary earnings of men and women. 26 His estimates indicate a negative return for women and little or no return for men. Most of the focus in the self-employment literature is on earnings, but other outcomes also are of interest. In particular, lower hourly earnings among the self-employed with high levels of tenure may be explained by nonpecuniary factors of the job, such as being one's own boss. Kawaguchi uses the NLSY79 to investigate whether self-employment is associated with higher levels of job satisfaction. 27 He finds that 65 percent of the self-employed report liking their job "very much," whereas only 45 percent of wage and salary workers report that level of job satisfaction. Estimates from regression models which control for individual heterogeneity confirm that the self-employed have higher levels of job satisfaction than wage and salary workers have. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 45 Self-Emplo yment, Entrepreneurship Average annual earnings by age for men, NLSY (1979-2002) Earnings Earnings $70,000 ~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - . : 7 0 , o o o 60,000 60,000 50,000 .-· -- -· ..- •• ••• - -----· •• •• .. 50,000 •• 40,000 ••• - •• •• • 30,000 -- •• -· .-----\·· 40,000 •• .•• 30,000 Wage/salary 20,000 .___.__ _ _.....___ ___.__ _ _.......__ ___.__ _ __.___ ___.__ _ _.....__ ___.__ _ _....__ ___.__. 20,000 22-23 24-25 26-27 28-29 30-31 32-33 34-35 36-37 38-39 40-41 42-43 Age Average annual earnings by age for women, NLSY ( 1979-2002) Earnings Earnings $45,000 , - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - , $ 4 5 , 0 0 0 40,000 Self-employed 40,000 35,000 30,000 Wage~/sa lary 25,000 20,000 15,000 ----------·· "" , "" •• •• .- -· 24-25 •• •• •• 25,000 20,000 26-27 28-29 30-31 32-33 Age 46 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30,000 •• L - J . . - - - ' - -_ _....____ __.__ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___._ 22-23 -----· 35,000 February 2005 _ _.......__ _.......__ _____.__ ____.__ _ _..__, 34-35 36-37 38-39 40-41 42-43 15,000 has undoubtedly improved our understanding of the determinants of entrepreneurship, the dynamic process of self-employment, and self-employent earnings patterns. Although the relationship between selfemployment and a few outcomes, such as future wage and salary earnings and job satisfaction, has been explored with the exceptionally rich data avaiiable in the NLSY79, more RESEARCH USING THE NLSY79 research may provide valuable insights into the consequences of self-employment. For example, the detailed data available in the survey allow one to explore the causal relationship between self-employment and several outcomes of interest, such as net worth, business net worth, health insurance and other fringe benefits, and public assistance programs. □ Notes 1 See Center for Human Resource Research, NLSY79 Users' Guide (Columbus, OH , The Ohio State University, 1999) , for a detailed description of the NLSY79. 2 Estimates from the NLSY79 are comparable to those from 1990 census microdata using a similar age group. See Robert W. Fairlie, "Does Business Ownership Provide a Source of Upward Mobtlity for Blacks and Hispanics?" in Douglas Holtz-Eakin, ed., Entrepreneurship and Public Policy (Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 2004), pp. 634--59 . The census shows slightly lower rates, but the relative differences between the races are similar. 3 See, for example, Richard Kihlstrom and Jean-Jacques Laffont, " A General Equilibrium Entrepreneurial Theory of Firm Formation Based on Risk Aversion," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 87, no. 4, 1979, pp. 719-48; Robert E. Lucas,"On the Size Distribution of Firm s, " Bell Journal of Economics, vol. 9, no. 2, 1978, pp. 508-23; Boyan Jovanovic, " Selection and the Evolution of Industry," Econometrica , vol. 50, no. 3, 1982, pp . 649-70; and David Evans and Boyan Jovanovic, "An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints ," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 97, no. 4, 1989, pp. 808-27. 4 Robert W. Fairlie , "Drug Dealing and Legitimate SelfEmployment,"Journal of Labor Economics, vol. 20, no. 3, 2002, pp. 538 - 67. 5 Ibid. 6 Ibid. Ellen R. Rissman, "Self-Employment as an Alternative to Unemployment," working paper no . 2003-34 (Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 2003) . 7 8 Ibid. 9 Marianne A. Ferber and Jane Waldfogel , " The long-term consequences of nontraditional employment," Monthly Labor Review, May 1998, pp. 3-12. 10 Donald R. Williams, "Youth Self-Employment: Its Nature and Consequences," Small Business Economics, vol. 23, no. 4, 2004, pp. 323-36. All estimates are calculated with annual sample weights provided by the NLSY. "Nonemployment" denotes those not in the labor force. 11 See, for example , Evans and Jovanovic , "Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice"; David Evans and Linda Leighton, " Some Empirical Aspects of Entrepreneurship," American Economic Review, vol. 79 , no . 3, 1989, pp. 519-35; Douglas Holtz-Eakin, David Joulfaian, and Harvey Rosen, "Entrepreneurial Decisions and Liquidity Constraints," Rand Journal of Economics, vol. 23, no . 2, 1994 pp. 334-47; Thomas A. Dunn and Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin, " Financial Capital, Human Capital, and the Transition to Self-Employment: Evidence from Intergenerational Links," Journal of Labor Economics, vol. 18, no. 2, 2000, pp. 82-305; Robert W. Fairlie,"The Absence of the African-American Owned Business: An Analysis of the Dynamics of Self-Employment," Journal of Labor Economics , vol. 17, no . I, 1999, pp. 80-108; and Erik Hurst and Annamaria Lusardi, "Liquidity Constraints, Household Wealth, and Entrepreneurship," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 112, no. 2, 2004, pp. 319- 47 . 13 Fairlie, "Drug Dealing." The variable having to do with assets is not available in the publicuse data, but can be obtained from Jay L. Zagorsky at the Center for Human Resource Research. See Jay L. Zagorsky, "Young Baby Boomers' Wealth," working paper (Columbus, OH , Center for Human Resource Research, 1998), for more details on the construction of this variable. 14 15 Hiromi Taniguchi, "Determinants of Women 's Entry into SelfEmployment, "Social Science Quarterly, vol. 83, no . 3, 2002, pp. 875 - 93. 16 Fairlie, "Does Business Ownership Provide a Source of Upward Mobility for Blacks and Hispanics?" 17 18 Especially problematic is the fact that 36 individuals have topcoded wage and salary income of more than $4 million each in 1996. 19 Fairlie, "Earnings Growth." Robert W. Fairlie, "Entrepreneurship and Earnings among Young Adults from Disadvantaged Families," Small Business Economics , forthcoming. 20 21 Justin Van der Sluis, Mirjam van Praag, and Arjen van Witteloostuijn, " Comparing the Returns to Education for Entrepreneurs and Employees ," working paper (Amsterdam, University of Amsterdam, 2004). 22 Daiji Kawaguchi, " Positive, Non -Earnings Aspects of SelfEmployment: Evidence from Job Satisfaction Scores," working paper (Tsukuba City, University of Tsukuba, Institute of Policy and Planning Sciences, 2004). 23 Fairlie, "Does Business Ownership Provide a Source of Upward Mobility for Blacks and Hispanics?" 24 Fairlie, "Earnings Growth ." 25 Williams, "Youth Self-Employment." 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Telephone conversation, August 1999 . Donald R. Williams, "Consequences of Self-Employment for Women and Men in the United States," Labour Economics, vol. 7, no. 5, 2000 , pp. 665-87. 26 27 Kawaguchi, "Aspects of Self-Employment." Monthly Labor Review February 2005 47 Worker training: what we've learned from the NLSY79 The 1979 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth has been a wellspring of knowledge about worker training and a valuable means of empirically testing human-capital theory Harley J. Frazis and James R. Spletzer Harley J. Frazis and James R. Spletzer are research economists on the Employment Research and Program Development Staff, Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. E-mail: frazis .harley@bls.gov or spletzer.j im@bls.gov 48 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis H w individuals obtain their skills and every additional year of schooling they have how they are paid for the use of those completed. 2 Kenneth I. Wolpin's article on edukills are concepts that are fundamental cation in this special edition of the Monthly to the field of labor economics. Productive skills Labor Review shows that, over the 15-year are often referred to as "human capital." The period between ages 25 and 39, a male college basic idea of human-capital theory is that graduate earns 80 percent more than a male high workers invest in their own skills in order to school graduate without any college, and a male earn higher wages, much as persons invest in high school graduate earns 57 percent more than financial or physical assets to earn income. a high school dropout. Although this idea goes back at least to Adam However, empirical research on training-the Smith, modern human-capital research was other key component of human capital-has originated in the late 1950s by economists lagged research on the economics of education. Theodore Schultz, Jacob Mincer, and Gary The human-capital model yields straightforward Becker. Their ideas, focusing on investments predictions about the relationship of on-the-job in and returns to education and training, have training to wages, wage growth, and job mobility; provided the theoretical and empirical basis for still, as will become clear, testing these predictions decades of ensuing research. 1 requires good longitudinal microdata. Much of the empirical research on the topic The need for high-quality longitudinal microof human capital has analyzed the relationship data with detailed information about wages, between education and wages. This focus on mobility, and on-the-job training has led reeducation is due to the abundance of high- searchers to the National Longitudinal Surveys quality data sources with information on both for empirical analyses of training. This article education and wages. For example, analysts both provides a brief summary of the humanusing cross-sectional data from the Current capital model as it relates to on-the-job training Population Survey (CPS) have found that indi- and summarizes the empirical training literature, viduals in the United States receive earnings with a special focus on the contributions that that are approximately 10 percent higher for analyses of the data from the 1979 cohort of the February 2005 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) have made to that literature. The human-capital model Models of competitive labor markets imply that wages paid to wrn kers reflect their productivity. For example, if education makes workers more productive, then higher wages are paid to more highly educated persons. Similarly, if on-the-job training makes workers more productive, then trained workers should receive higher wages than workers with no training. But education and on-the-job training differ in one key aspect: most workers finish their schooling before entering the labor market, whereas most on-the-job training occurs during a worker's tenure with an employer. While education and onthe-job training are both productivity-enhanci ng investments, they potentially differ with regard to whether the worker or the employer pays the costs. Any investment in human capital involves current costs and future benefits. The costs associated with on-the-job training involve both direct costs, such as the salaries of the persons doing the training and any costs of materials, and indirect costs, such as the cost of taking trainees away from their current productive tasks. The benefits of on-the-job training accrue to both the firm providing the training and the worker receiving the training: because the worker is more productive after the training, the firm benefits from higher productivity and greater output, and the worker benefits from his m her higher productivity in the form of higher wages. One key theoretical issue regarding on-the-job training concerns the division of these costs and returns between the firm and the worker. Gary Becker made progress on this cost-sharing issue by defining two types of training: general training and specific training. Completely general on-the-job training is training that provides the worker with skills that are productive at firms other than his or her current employer. Examples of completely general training are learning to use a wordprocessing or data-processing computer program that is available for purchase by any firm, pilots learning to fly a type of jet airplane that is in the fleet of several airlines, and doctors learning a new surgical technique that could be conducted at any hospital. By contrast, completely specific on-the-job training is training that enhances the productivity of the worker at only the firm providing the training. Examples of completely specific training are astronaut training (presumably specific to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration), learning to drive a tank (presumably specific to the U.S. Military), and learning to operate a machine that was developed and is used by only one manufacturing firm to produce its product. In the real world, almost all training involves a combination of both general and specific skills. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In a competitive labor market, workers are paid for the skills they possess. Becker reasoned that, because general training provides skills which are useful at all firms, the firm offering the general training will need to pay the trained worker a wage that reflects these skills; otherwise the worker will leave the firm to receive a higher wage at a different firm. Anticipating this possibility, a profit-maximizing firm will not pay any of the costs of general training because it cannot extract any of the returns from the training. In that case, the worker will pay all the costs of the general training-not just the direct costs, but also the indirect costs that reflect the worker's lost productivity to the firm. Human-capital theory thus predicts that, relative to workers who do not receive training, workers who receive general training will be paid lower wages while receiving the training and higher wages after the training is complete. This hypothesis is depicted in exhibit 1, which compares the wage profile of a worker who receives no training with that of a worker who receives general training. Sharing the costs and returns of specific training is more complicated. On the one hand, assume, for the moment, that, as with general training, a worker pays all the costs and receives all the benefits of specific training. In such a case, a worker who might be fired or laid off after receiving the training would receive no future returns from his or her investment in specific training; thus, the worker would have less incentive to pay for the training, because the decision to lay the worker off is made by the firm. On the other hand, assume that a firm pays all the costs and receives all the benefits of specific training. In this case, the firm would receive no future returns from the investment if the trained worker quit for another job; thus, the firm would have less incentive to pay for the training, because the decision to quit is made by the worker. The solution to this dilemma is for the worker and the firm to share the costs and returns of specific training, with the exact division of the returns depending upon the wage elasticity of the worker's propensity to quit and the firm's propensity to lay the worker off. 3 This sharing is portrayed in exhibit 1: the wage profile of a worker who receives specific training shows the worker paying some (but not all) of the costs and receiving some (but not all) of the returns. The sharing of the costs and returns to training has implications for worker mobility. Workers who have received specific training have higher productivity at their current employer than at other employers, and their wage at the current employer is higher than the wage they could obtain from other employers. This asymmetry results in workers with specific training having lower probabilities of quitting than workers with no specific training. Similarly, because the productivity of workers with specific training exceeds their wage, the employer is less likely to lay off workers with Monthly Labor Review February 2005 49 Worker Training Wage profiles Wages General training Specific training 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - L - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - No training Time specific training relative to workers with no specific training. By contrast, because workers with general training have the same productivity at the current employer as at other employers, and because the wage they receive from their current employer equals the wage they would expect from other employers, the provision of general training does not lower expected probabilities of quitting. Similarly, in the simple model presented here, firms could replace a worker with completely general training without loss of any productivity, so the provision of general training does not lower expected probabilities of layoffs. In sum, this simple, yet elegant, human-capital model has several testable predictions. First, training lowers the starting wage: during training, a worker accepts a lower wage relative to a worker not receiving training, all other things being equal. Second, training raises future wages at the employer providing the training: a worker who has received on-the-job training should receive higher wages relative to a worker with no training-again , all other things being equal. Third, by definition from the preceding two predictions, training raises wage growth at the employer providing the training. Fourth, the foregoing three prediction~ vary in magnitude as a function of whether the training is specific or general. Finally, specific training lowers worker mobility, whereas general 50 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 training has no effect on worker mobility, all other things being equal. These testable predictions provide the framework for empirical analysis. It is obvious that several demands are being placed on the data. First and foremost, there needs to be information on training and individuals' wages. Furthermore, longitudinal microdata are necessary for analyzing wage growth and mobility. Finally, the information needs to be quite detailed in order to distinguish general training from specific training. The NLSY79 data satisfy all these criteria and make up one of the few data sets that provide detailed longitudinal information on all the necessary analytical variables. It is not surprising, then, that much of what we know about on-the-job training has come from analyses of the NLSY79 data. Before we turn to the empirical findings, the importance of the phrase "all other things being equal" needs to be mentioned. A common finding from all data sets with training information is that individuals who receive training are not a random sample from the population of all workers. For example, those who are college educated and those with higher ability are more likely to receive training. 4 This nonrandom selection affects how we interpret the empirical analysis that follows. (This issue is more fully explained later in the article.) Questions about training, NLSY79, 1988-2000 1 Mean 2 Question Since [date of the last interview] did you attend any training program or any on-the-job training designed to help people find a job, improve job skills, or learn a new job? Continue to 20 .......................................................... .......................................................... ................ .. Yes : Skip to next section of questionnaire ............................................................ ............................................ . No: .158 .842 Which category on this card best describes where you received this training? [Code one only] Business school ................................................................................................................................................................. .. Apprenticeship program ....... ............. ............. ............ ..................... ....... ........... ...... ........ ....... ...... ............ ... ..... ........ .. ..... . A vocational or technical institute ................................................................................................................................. . A correspondence course ........................ .... .. .................. ..................... ............ ................................................................ .. Formal company training run by employer or military training ............................................................................... . Seminars or training program at work run by someone other than employer ....................................................... .. Seminars or training programs outside of work ................................................................................................................. . Vocational rehabilitation center ........................ ........................................................................ .......... .......... ................ .. Other (Specify: __________ ) ....................................................................................................................................... . .030 .021 .097 .029 .375 .158 . 184 .0 13 .078 19. 20. 21. Who paid for this training program? [Code all that apply] Self or family ........................................................................................................... ............................. ... ......................... .. Employer ....................................... ................................................................................................................................... .. Job Training Partnership Act ............................................................................................................................... ... ...... .. . ........................................................................................ .. ................ ............ ............ ........ ... ..... . Trade Adjustment Act Job Corps Program ........................... ...................................................................................................................... ... ........ . Work Incentive Program ........................................................................... .. .................................................................... . Veteran's Administration ............................................................. ................ ................................................................... .. Vocation Rehabilitation ........................ ........................... ... .......... ................ ... ................................................................ .. Other (Specify _ _ _ _ ) ..................................................................... ........................................................................ .. .139 .739 .021 .001 .001 .004 .002 .011 25. Altogether, for how many weeks did you attend this training? ........................................................................ .. 5.7 31. How many hours per week (do/did) you usually spend in this training? .......................................................... .. 20.1 1 The training questions in 1988, 1996, 1998, and 2000 had a 2year reference period. The training questions in 1989-1994 had a I -year reference period. 2 All entries are unweighted tabulations from the 1988-2000 NLSY79 microdata. The sample size for question 19 is N = 91,144. Empirical findings from the early literature Early on in the development of human-capital theory, economists recognized that on-the-job training was an important source of investment in human capital. Because on-the-job training data were not available, the earliest attempts to measure such training were indirect. As has been noted, models of competitive labor markets imply that workers will be paid in accordance with their productivity. The tendency of wages to increase with labor market experience was interpreted as evidence of training-induced increases in productivity. With additional assumptions, the wage-experience relationship could be used to infer an investment path and returns to the training investment. Mincer's 1962 article attempted to estimate the amount of training by comparing the earnings path of individuals with https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis All means for questions 20, sample of respondents who for question 25 is computed training program had been view. .092 21, 25, and 31 are computed from the said "yes " to question 19. The mean from the sample of respondents whose completed by the date of the inter- different amounts of education and assuming that returns to training were the same as returns to schooling. 5 Mincer's 197 4 book was probably more influential; in it, he showed that if time spent in training increased the logarithm of wages linearly, and if the percentage of working time spent in training declined with experience in a linear manner, then wages would be well described by a quadratic function of experience. 6 The quadratic earnings function was found to be a fair approximation of earnings and won wide acceptance. 7 This evidence was clearly imperfect. Moreover, in the late 1970s, economists developed other theories to explain the tendency of wages to rise with experience, ranging from improvements in job matches through a worker's career to firms tilting their wage profiles to discourage shirking or encourage more stable workers to apply. 8 Evidently, more direct measures of on-the-job training were needed. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 51 Worker Training One such measure was included in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (Psm), a longitudinal survey administered annually since the 1960s. In 1976 and 1978, the PSID asked the question, "On a job like yours, how long would it take the avefage new person to become fully trained and qualified?" Articles by Greg J. Duncan and Saul Hoffman in 1979 and James N. Brown in 1989 used this question to identify periods of on-the-job training and adjust earnings equations accordingly. 9 The longitudinal structure of the PSID allowed Brown to directly examine the effect of training on wage increases, rather than inferring wage increases from crossperson comparisons. Both articles found a substantial effect of training on wages, providing evidence for the humancapital interpretation of wage increases. However, the PSID question clearly affords only a limited measure of on-the-job training. As Duncan and Hoffman noted, the intensity of training during the training period may vary between persons with identical answers to the question, and the type of training-form al, informal, or learning by doing-is completely unspecified. Aside from the NLSY79, other attempts to measure on-thejob training in surveys of individuals include earlier cohorts of the National Longitudinal Surveys (NLS) and supplements to the CPS i.n 1983 and 1991. Lee A. Lillard and Hong W. Tan used the 1983 CPS and the early cohorts of the NLS to examine training and its effect on labor market outcomes. 10 The CPS supplement asks what training was needed for the respondent to obtain his or her current or previous job and inquires about training to improve skills on the current job. Because the CPS is not a longitudinal survey and because the period during which the training took place is unclear, only the association of training with differences in wages between persons (which is substantial) can be examined; wage changes due to training for a given individual cannot be tracked. The training questions in the earlier cohorts of the NLS are broadly similar to, but less extensive than, those in the NLSY79 (and the employment data in the earlier cohorts are not as good). Moreover, they cover only the "longest" training event between surveys, so they do not provide a comprehensive record of formal training. Exploiting the longitudinal nature of the NLS to examine the effect of training on wages several years later, Lillard and Tan found evidence that training does depreciate. Training data in the NLSY79 This section describes several of the key training questions in the NLSY79 survey instrument. Readers interested in more docnmentation about the NLSY79 training questions may consult the NLS Users' Guide. 11 As mentioned there, the training questions in the survey changed in the mid- l 980s. The initial, 1979-86 rounds of the NLSY79 were funded by the 52 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 Employment and Training Administration (ETA) of the U.S. Department of Labor. The ETA was concerned with the efficacy of various federally funded employment and training programs in helping youths to acquire skills and secure employment. Data collection during the 1979-86 interviews was limited to only those training programs in which the respondent had been enrolled for 1 month or more; analysis of the microdata from 1988 to 2000 indicates that 66 percent of completed training spells are less than 4 weeks in duration. In 1987, when funding of the NLS shifted to the Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics, the collection of extensive information on government training ceased, and the "Other Training" section of the questionnaire was restructured. The limitation of 1 month's duration was dropped in the 1988 and later questionnaires. The 1987 survey was an abbreviated telephone interview, and only one question was asked about whether any training or assistance had been received from any government-sponsored program. The key training questions from the 1988-2000 NLSY79 surveys are listed in table 1, along with unweighted means. In each of the surveys between 1988 and 2000, the incidence of training is elicited with the question, "Since [date of the last interview] did you attend any training program or any on-the-job training designed to help people find a job, improve job skills, or learn a new job?" The statistics in table 1 tell us that 15 .8 percent of persons have received training since the date of their last interview. 12 One advantage of a longitudinal survey such as the NLSY79 is that one can examine the incidence of training over several years. Table 2 reports the cumulative incidence of training spells for the sample of individuals who responded to every interview between 1989 and 1994. Surveys for these 6 years were chosen because each has an annual reference period for the training question. Over the course of those 6 years, when individuals in the NLSY79 ranged from 24 to 37 years of age, 53.2 percent of respondents never received any training. Of those persons who did get training at least once during the 6-year period, roughly half (24.1/46.8) received Cumulative incidence of training, sample of 8,095 individuals who responded to each interview, 1989-94 Number of training spells 0 ........................................ . 1 ....................................... .. 2 ........................................ . 3 ....... ........... ........... .... ....... . 4 ....................................... .. 5 ........................................ . 6 ··································· .... . Count 4,307 1,947 994 Percent 208 99 53.2 24.1 12.3 6.4 2.6 1.2 24 .3 516 NorE: Entries are unweighted tabulations from the 1989-94 microdata. NLSY79 only one spell of training, and roughly one-quarter (12.3/46.8) received two spells of training. Individuals who answer "yes" to the question on the incidence of training are then asked where they received their training. The most frequent type of training is formal company training (37.5 percent of all training spells); noncompany seminars or training programs also are a frequent type of training (34.2 percent of all training spells, broken down into 18 .4 percent consisting of seminars or training programs outside of work, and 15.8 percent seminars or training programs at work run by someone other than the employer). Vocational or technical institutes are the fourth most-frequent type of training (9.7 percent of all training spells). As mentioned later in the article, researchers have found that this question about the type of training provides important information about the generality of training. The next question in the training sequence asks who paid for the training program. The most frequent response is "the emrl0yer," who pays for 73.9 percent of all training spells. Researchers have made several interesting points regarding this question. First, the question supplies some of the data that are necessary to analyze the interesting theoretical question of who pays for general and specific training. (The empirical literature on the subject is summarized in a later section of the article.) Second, many researchers restrict their analyses to employer-paid training spells; the human-capital model is an on-the-job training model, and deleting nonemployer paid spells of training aligns the theory with the empirical work. The duration of training is just as important as the incidence. Table 1 indicates that the mean completed training spell lasts 5.7 weeks and 20.1 hours per week. Table 3 gives statistics on the distribution of the duration of completed training spells. The distribution of weeks of training is heavily skewed to the right, with half of all completed training spells less than or equal to 1 week in duration, but 5 percent greater than 24 weeks. Total hours of training follow a similar pattern: half of all completed training spells are less than or equal to 35 total hours, but 5 percent are greater than 520 total hours. Empirical findings Wages and wage growth. Lisa Lynch's 1992 article in the American Economic Review is the most prominent early study using NLSY79 data to examine the effect of training on wages. 13 Lynch uses data from 1980 through 1983 to estimate the effect of training on 1983 wages for youths who had completed their education by 1980 with less than a college degree. (Note that 1980 is too early to have a substantial sample of college graduates from the 1979 survey.) She classifies training as on the job, off the job, and apprenticeship, and she reports descriptive statistics showing that https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -••1• =--11 Distribution of training durations, NLSY79, 1988-2000 Percentile Mean.. .. .... .. ..... 25th.................... 50th .................... 75th ...... ... ......... .. 95th ... ...... ..... .. .... 99th .................... Number of weeks Hours per week 5.7 1 1 6 24 52 20.1 6 16 40 40 65 Total hours 118.3 12 35 80 520 1,440 NorE: Entries are unweighted tabulations from the 1988-2000 NLSY79 microdata. 4.2 percent of individuals received on-the-job training for an average of 31.2 weeks, 14. 7 percent of individuals received off-the-job training for an average of 40.9 weeks, and 1.8 percent of individuals received apprenticeship training for an average of 63.5 weeks. She takes advantage of the longitudinal nature of the NLSY79 to construct measures of cumulative weeks of training in each category. Lynch estimates both an equation for 1983 wages and an equation for wage growth from 1980 to 1983. The wage growth equation is used to eliminate possible selection bias in the wage-level equation: workers who receive training may have some unobservable characteristic, such as high ability, that is positively correlated with both wages and training. In that case, because more able workers would get trained, comparing wage levels of different workers would bias wage differentials between trained and untrained workers. But examining wage changes for a given worker will correct this source of bias if ability is fixed over time for a given individual. Lynch's wage-level equation implies that off-the-job training and apprenticeship training from previous employers, and on-the-job training and apprenticeship training with the current employer, significantly raise wages. In addition, the wage growth equation implies that off-the-job training and apprenticeship training raise wages, but that on-the-job training has no effect on wages. In a later study paralleling Lynch's methods, Jonathan Veum uses data from the 1986-90 surveys to measure the impact of training on wages. 14 Unlike Lynch, Veum is able to include in his analysis all training spells, whether they were less than or greater than 1 month in duration. His 1990 wagelevel equation yields no statistically significant effect of any form of training when training is measured continuously, but does show some significant effects of company training and off-the-job seminars when training is measured in terms of its incidence. His results for wage growth between 1986 and 1990 are similar. Daniel Parent uses a specification similar to that of Lynch and Veum, with data from the 1979-91 surveys. 15 Although the wage growth equations in the earlier papers eliminate bias due to unchanging personal characteristics, Parent notes that jobs with higher wages may also have more training Monthly Labor Review February 2005 53 Worker Training irrespective of the individual. Parent gets around this problem by using information on the deviation of the stock of training from within-job means. He finds fairly substantial effects of both off-the-job and on-the-job training. His correction for job bias substantially reduces the effect of apprenticeships, although the effect of previous jobs' apprenticeship training remains statistically significant. Paul Lengermann used the NLSY79 to examine the question investigated by Lillard and Tan: How does the effect of training on wages evolve over time? 16 Unlike those researchers, Lengermann examines wage growth in contrast to wage levels, so as to avoid bias due to the differing abilities of workers. He examines both spells of training that lasted 4 weeks or longer (available throughout the sample) and spells of training ofless than 4 weeks (for which detailed information is available only after 1986). His data cover 1979-93, and his results indicate that ( 1) long spells of company training have substantial effects on wages and (2) those effects do not depreciate-indeed, they are estimated to increase from 4.4 percent in the first year to 8.2 percent after 9 years. The effect of long spells of school-based training is not statistically significant, although it also does not appear to depreciate. Short spells of training, perhaps not surprisingly, have less consistent effects. So far, this article has concentrated on whether training increases wages by a statistically significant amount, rather than discussing the economic significance of the increase. This approach reflects the emphasis in the papers presented. Another question is, "Considering training as an investment, how does the rate of return compare with that from other investments, such as schooling?" Harley Frazis and Mark Loewenstein investigate this question, using data from the 1979-2000 surveys of the NLSY79. 17 Their analysis is restricted to training at least partially paid for by the employer. (See question 21 in table 1; for years prior to 1988, Frazis and Loewenstein impute whether the employer pays for training.) Like Parent, Frazis and Loewenstein control for jobs by restricting their investigation to within-job wage changes. Frazis and Loewenstein show that estimates of the effect of training are highly dependent upon the assumed functional form of the relationship between wages and training. They find that the best-fitting functional form is one in which the logarithm of wages increases proportionately with the cube root of training. Using linear hours instead of the cube root results in a drastic underestimation of the effect of training at typical values, which may explain the insignificant effects found in some of the aforementioned papers. Frazis and Loewenstein find that, in their base specification, the median positive value of employer-financed training of 60 hours increases wages by about 5 percent, which, when annualized, implies a rate of return of 159 percent. Frazis and Loewenstein consider several explanations for 54 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 this very high estimated rate of return. Correcting for promotions (for which the NLSY79 collected data in 1988-90 and 1996-2000), direct costs of training, and heterogeneity in wage growth (as well as in wage levels) reduces estimated rates of return to 30 to 40 percent. While this estimate is still several times estimated rates of return to schooling in the literature, Frazis and Loewenstein note that returns to training appear to vary across jobs: managers and professionals have higher rates of return than do blue-collar workers, for example. In the presence of such variation, estimated rates of return can be regarded as the return of training to the trained. However, they are likely to be greater than the return that could be realized by employees who did not receive training. Frazis and Loewenstein 's research highlights the strengths of the NLSY79 data set in studying training. The large sample size, the long length of the panel, and detailed survey data about other labor market information, such as promotions, allow for relatively precise estimation of the effects of training while controlling for confounding influences. Mobility. The most prominent early article analyzing the empirical relationship between worker mobility and training was written by Lynch. 18 Using data from the 1979-83 surveys of the NLSY79, Lynch estimated the probability of leaving the first job as a function of tenure for individuals who have permanently left school. Her estimates show that young persons who received formal on-the-job training from their employer are less likely to leave their job, whereas those who participated in training obtained from for-profit proprietary institutions outside the firm are more likely to leave their job (although this latter effect is not statistically different from zero). These results are consistent with the human-capital model if one makes the straightforward assumption that onthe-job training provides firm-specific skills and off-the-job training provides general labor market skills. Further analysis of how training affects worker mobility is provided by Loewenstein and James Spletzer, who use NLSY79 data from the 1988-91 survey years. 19 After controlling for individual and job characteristics, they find that individuals who have receiv.e d company training have a job separation rate that is 8 percent lower than individuals without such training, and individuals who received school training (business school, apprenticeship, vocational or technical institute, or correspondence courses) have no differences in job separation probabilities relative to persons who did not receive school training. The mean job separation rate in Loewenstein and Spletzer's sample is 53 percent. Assuming that company training is more specific than general and that school training is more general than specific, these empirical results are consistent with the basic predictions about worker mobility from the human-capital model. Loewenstein and Spletzer use their empirical findings to build on the predictions from the human-capital model. Because the returns to specific training are lost when a job match terminates, the model predicts that specific training should be selectively provided to workers who are less likely to leave the job. (Evidence supporting this theoretical prediction is mentioned shortly). If there is uncertainty about workers' future mobility, and if information about the quality of the employer-worker match is revealed over time, it may be optimal to delay training as a means of avoiding making a costly investment in a worker who may soon leave the firm. Such a decision to delay training may be optimal even though it entails forgoing the returns to training during the early part of the employment relationship. Loewenstein and Spletzer find that the NLSY79 data show a substantial amount of delayed training; for example, their estimates show that a similar proportion of workers get their first spell of training in their second year of tenure as in their first year of tenure. As part of his research mentioned earlier, Parent found that both on-the-job and off-the-job training at the current employer reduced a worker's mobility, while training at previous employers appeared to increase mobility, although by a lesser magnitude. For workers with more than one spell of employment, it is possible to correct for bias caused by differences across workers in propensities to leave jobs. When Parent makes this correction, the effect of training at the current employer is strengthened. It is interesting to flip the training-mobility relationship around and ask whether individuals with higher expected future job separation rates receive lower amounts of company training. This is the question asked by Anne Beeson Royalty, who uses NLSY79 data from survey years 1980-86 in her analysis. 20 She finds that a higher incidence of companyprovided training is given to individuals with lower estimated probabilities of leaving the employer. Assuming that company training imparts firm-specific skills, Royalty's analysis shows that profit-maximizing employers target the provision of specific training toward those individuals who are less likely to leave. General and specific training Human-capital theory distinguishes between general human capital, which is useful at many employers, and specific human capital, which is useful only at the current firm. Researchers have associated types of training that raise wages at both current and future employers with general human capital, and types of training that raise wages only at the current employer with specific human capital. Furthermore, types of training that reduce mobility have been associated with specific training. Much of the empirical work in the training literature has taken advantage of the wealth of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis information in the NLSY79 data to explore the measurement and theoretical implications of general and specific training. The findings reviewed in this article up to now present a fairly consistent fit between the theoretical human-capital model and the empirical training results. From her wage-level estimation, Lynch finds that wages are raised by on-the-job training from the current employer, but not from previous employers, whereupon she concludes that on-the-job training is primarily specific. She also finds that off-the-job training taken before the worker's tenure on the current job does raise wages, consistent with such training being primarily general. Lynch's analysis of mobility leads her to a similar conclusion: that on-the-job training is more specific, whereas off-the-job training is more general; Loewenstein and Spletzer's analysis of worker mobility finds similar results. The one study mentioned that does not slot nicely with the theoretical model is Parent's, which finds little difference between. off-the-job and on-the-job training, with similar returns for training provided by current and previous employers (consistent with general training) and with both reducing mobility (consistent with specific training). A detailed analysis of the costs and returns to training within and across jobs was conducted by Loewenstein and Spletzer. 21 The motivation for this study was to analyze questions in the NLSY79 that ask about who pays for the training (question 21 in table 1). Recall from the discussion of the human-capital model that there are two costs to employerprovided training: the direct costs, plus an indirect cost of lower wages during training. It is assumed that asking workers who pays for the training refers to direct costs only; it is a stretch to believe that noneconomists would think of indirect costs (lower wages due to reduced productivity) when answering this survey question. Loewenstein and Spletzer find that employers pay for 96 percent of formal company training spells. This percentage is not surprising, because formal company training almost surely has a large component of specificity and the human-capital model predicts that employers will share the costs of specific training with the worker. Loewenstein and Spletzer also show that employers pay for 42 percent of training spells in the aggregate category of "business school, apprenticeship, vocational or technical institute, and correspondence course." This aggregate category, referred to as school training in the discussion that follows, should have a large component of generality, and according to the human-capital model, employers should pay the direct costs of general training only if they can pass on the costs to workers by paying them lower wages during the training. Loewenstein and Spletzer find no significant evidence that workers receiving employer-provided training-either general or specific-accept lower wages during the training period. While this finding may seem to contradict the human capital model, it is consistently found in the empirical Monthly Labor Review February 2005 55 Worker Training literature-for example, by Lynch and Parent, as well as by researchers using training data from employer surveys. 22 The most likely explanation for this anomaly is that it is due to differences between trained and untrained workers that are difficult to control for empirically. If workers who receive training have higher ability than workers who do not receive training, and if this higher ability is observable to the employer, but unobservable to the data analyst, then workers who receive training will have higher wages relative to workers who do not receive training. Even if training lowers the starting wage, as is predicted by the human-capital model, higher wages attributable to differences in ability may make a lower starting wage difficult to observe in the data when one compares wages of untrained workers with wages of workers receiving training. The human-capital model predicts that if employers are paying both the direct and indirect costs of training, as the NLSY79 data suggest, employers should also be realizing some of tl1c 1 eturns. The empirical strategy that Loewenstein and Spletzer use to test this prediction is to compare the return to training when a worker remains at the employer providing the training with the return to training when the worker moves to a new employer. Loewenstein and Spletzer find that the return to training received from a previous employer is higher relative to the return to training received from the current employer when the training is arguably more general. Lengermann reports a similar result for long spells of company training. In combination with the absence of a starting-wage effect, Loewenstein and Spletzer's analysis shows that employers pay for SOIJle of the costs of general training and receive some of the returns. This finding is at odds with the standard human-capital model, but can be reconciled with several theoretical modifications to that model. For example, minimum wages, liquidity constraints, or contract enforcement considerations can result in the employer sharing the costs and returns of general training. 23 This evidence that employers share the costs and returns of general training has led researchers to seek additional questions that measure the generality of training. In 1993, for the first and only time, the NLSY79 included the question "How ma~y of the skills that you learned in this training program do you think could be useful in doing the same kind of work for an employer DIFFERENT than [current employer]?" There are five possible responses to this question: (1) all or almost all of the skills, (2) more than half of the skills, (3) about half of the skills, (4) less than half of the skills, and (5) none or almost none of the skills. In follow-up research, Loewenstein and Spletzer analyze the 1993 NLSY79 data and find that 63 percent of workers receiving employer-provided formal training respond that "all or almost all" of the skills they learned at one employer are useful in doing the same kind of work for a different employer. 24 This finding suggests that the skills individuals are learning in their employer-provided 56 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 training have a large general component. Loewenstein and Spletzer estimate wage and mobility equations with the 1993 general and specific training data as the key explanatory variable. Their wage regressions show, first, that there is no systematic relationship between the degree of generality of the training and its wage return in the job that provided the training and, second, that the return to training received from previous jobs exceeds the return to training received at the current job, for all degrees of generality. If these results are compared with those from a similar specification using data on the type of training (question 20 in table 1) instead of on the degree of generality, then the first result holds, whereas the second result holds for school training, but not for company training. This finding leads Loewenstein and Spletzer to discuss the pros and cons of the two training measures. They hypothesize that the type of training data conveys different information than does the self-assessed generality of training data. For training to be truly general, not only must the skills be useful at other employers, but also, other employers must observe and value the generality of those skills. The generality-of-training question in the 1993 NLSY79 asks the individual's opinion about whether the skills learned in the training are useful elsewhere, but this is not equivalent to asking alternative employers about the transferability of skills. By contrast, the question on type of training not only proxies for the generality of the skills imparted by training, but also conveys information about how likely other prospective employers are to observe these skills. For example, school training might easily be certified for other employers to see its value, but it may be difficult for prospective employers to observe the usefulness of skills learned in company training. Such reasoning leads Loewenstein and Spletzer to speculate that information on the type of training may be preferable to a directly asked question as a measure of generality. However, as they suggest, the evidence for such speculation is limited, and the research community would benefit from asking the question on degree of generality in more than 1 year. HUMAN-CAPITAL THEORY GAINED ITS PRESENT PROMINENCE in labor economics more than four decades ago. The simple humancapital model has empirically testable predictions regarding the relationships among wages, mobility, and training. Testing these predictions requires microdata with detailed longitudinal information on training, individual wages, and job mobility-data that were not available at the time humancapital theory was originally developed. As we celebrate the 25th anniversary of the NLSY79 cohort, we are not surprised that much of the empirical knowledge about worker training has come from analyses of the data in that survey. But any good literature review raises as many questions as it answers, and this article has tried to highlight some of the issues that could benefit from further analysis and enhancements to the questionnaire. Three specific topics warrant mention. First, there is new theoretical and empirical research into the topic of why employers appear to pay for general training, and the NLSY79 data are likely to play an important role in the continuing development of this literature. Second, training is not always a well-defined concept, and any survey's measures of the incidence and duration of training undoubtedly contain measurement error; analyzing the amount, consequences of, and statistical remedies for measurement error is a topic that is well worth exploring. 25 Finally, any distinctions there are among formal training, informal training, and learning by doing have been ignored in this article; the NLSY79 has asked questions regarding informal training, but economists have not yet studied the responses to those questions in depth. 26 D Notes 1 See Gary Becker, "Investment in Human Capital: A Theoretical Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, October 1962, pp. 9-49, and Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Special Reference to Education (Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1964); Theodore W. Schultz, "Investment in Human Capital," American EconomiL Review, March 1961, pp. 117; and Jacob Mincer, "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, August 1958, pp. 281-302. 2 See David A. Jaeger, "Estimating the Returns to Education Using the Newest Current Population Survey Education Questions," Economics Letters, March 2003, pp. 385-94. 3 The formal mathematical model was worked out by Masanori Hashimoto in "Firm-Specific Human Capital as a Shared Investment," American Economic Review, June 1981, pp. 475-82. 4 This greater likelihood has been shown by many authors using many data sets. For example, see the analysis of the National Longitudinal Survey of the High School Class of 1972 (NLSHS72) data by Joseph G. Altonji and James R. Spletzer, "Worker Characteristics, Job Characteristics, and the Receipt of On-the-Job Training," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 1991, pp. 58-79; the analysis of Current Population Survey (cPs) data by Norman Bowers and Paul Swaim, "Recent Trends in Job Training," Contemporary Economic Poli1.,y, 1994, pp. 79-88; the analysis of Panel Study of Income Dynamics (Psm) data by Greg J. Duncan and Saul Hoffman, "On-theJob Training and Earnings Differences by Race and Sex," Review of Economics and Statistics, 1979, pp. 594-603; and the analysis of the NLSY79 data by the authors cited in the later sections of this article. 5 Jacob Mincer, "On-the-job training: Costs, returns and some implications," Journal of Political Economy, October 1962, pt. 2, pp. 50-79. 6 Jacob Mincer, Schooling, Experience, and Earnings (New York, Columbia University Press, 1974). 7 Later research found that earnings profiles were better described by a quartic function of experience; see Kevin M. Murphy and Finis Welch, "Empirical Age-Earnings Profiles," Journal. of Labor Economics, April 1990, pp. 202-29. Statistics, November 1979, pp. 594-603; and James N. Brown, "Why Do Wages Increase with Tenure? On-the-Job Training and Life-Cycle Wage Growth Observed within Firms," American Economic Review, December 1989, pp. 971-91. 10 Lee A. Lillard and Hong W. Tan, "Private Sector Training: Who Gets It and What Are Its Effects?" Research in Labor Economics, vol. 13, 1992, pp. 1-62. 11 Found at http://www.nlsinfo.org/nlsy79/docsn9htmln9texU training.htm. 12 As mentioned in footnote I of table I, the training questions in 1988, 1996, 1998, and 2000 have a 2-year reference period, whereas the training questions in 1989-94 have a I -year reference period. 13 Lisa M. Lynch, "Private Sector Training and the Earnings of Young Workers," American Economic Review, March 1992, pp. 299-312. 14 Jonathan R. Veum, ·'Sources of Training and their Impact on Wages," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, July 1995, pp. 812-26. 15 Daniel Parent, "Wages and Mobility: The Impact of EmployerProvided Training," Journal of Labor Economics, April 1999, pp. 298-317. 16 Paul A. Lengermann, "How Long Do the Benefits of Training Last? Evidence of Long Term Effects across Current and Previous Employers," Research in Labor Economics, vol. I 8, 1999, pp. 439-6 I. 17 Harley Frazis and Mark A. Loewenstein, "Reexamining the Returns to Training: Functional Form, Magnitude, and Interpretation," BLS working paper no. 367, Journal of Human Resources, forthcoming, spring 2005. 18 Lisa M. Lynch, '·The Role of Off-the-Job vs. On-the-Job Training for the Mobility of Women Workers," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 1991, pp. 151-56. 19 Mark A. Loewenstein and James R. Spletzer, "Delayed Formal On-the-Job Training," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1997, pp. 82-99. 8 See Boyan Jovanovic, "Job Matching and the Tl-ieory of Turnover," Journal of Political Economy, October 1979, pp. 97290; Edward Lazear, "Agency, Earnings Profiles, Productivity, and Hours Restrictions," American Economic Review, September 1981, pp. 606-20; and Joanne Salop and Steven Salop, "Self-Selection and Turnover in the Labor Market," Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 1976, pp. 619-27. 20 Anne Beeson Royalty, "The Effects of Job Turnover on the Training of Men and Women," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, April 1996, pp. 506-21. 9 Greg J. Duncan and Saul Hoffman, "On-The-Job Training and Earnings Differences by Race and Sex," Review of Economics and 22 See, for example, John M. Barron, Dan A. Black, and Mark A. Loewenstein, "Job Matching and On-the-Job Training," Journal of Labor https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 21 Mark A. Loewenstein and James R. Spletzer, "Dividing the Costs and Returns to General Training," Journal of Labor Economics, January I 998, pp. 142-71. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 57 Worker Training Economics, January I 989, pp. 1-19; and John M. Barron, Mark C. Berger, and Dan A. Black, "Do Workers Pay for On-the-Job Training?" The Journal of Human Resources, spring 1999, pp. 235-52. 23 For recent studies on the growing literature of why employers may share the costs of, and returns to, general training, see John Bishop, "What We Know about Employer-Provided Training: A Review of the Literature," Research in Labor Economics, vol. 16, 1997, pp. 19-87; Daron Acemoglu and Jorn-Steffen Pischke, "Why Do Firms Train? Theory and Evidence," Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 1998, pp. 79-119, and "The Structure of Wages and Investment in General Training," Journal of Political Economy, June 1999, pp. 539-72; Alison Booth and Mark Bryan, "Who Pays for General Training? New Evidence for British Men and Women," discussion paper no. 486 (Bonn, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), 2002); and Alison Booth and Gylfi Zoega, "Is Wage Compression a Necessary Condition for Firm-Financed General Training?" Oxford Economic Papers, January 2004, pp. 88-97. 58 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 24 Mark A. Loewenstein and James R. Spletzer, "General and Specific Training: Evidence and Implications," Journal of Human Resources, fall 1999, pp. 710-33. 25 For an analysis of the extent of measurement error in training in an employer data set, see John M. Barron, Mark C. Berger, and Dan A. Black, "How Well Do We Measure Training?" Journal of Labor Economics, July 1997, pt. I, pp. 507-28. For a start on the extremely complicated topic of statistical consequences of, and remedies for, measurement error, see Harley Frazis and Mark Loewenstein, "Estimating Linear Regressions with Mismeasured, Possibly Endogenous, Binary Explanatory Variables," Journal of Econometrics, November 2003, pp. 151-78, and the working-paper version of "Reexamining the Returns to Training." 26 A first pass at analyzing these responses is Mark A. Loewenstein and James R. Spletzer, "Formal and Informal Training: Evidence from the NLSY79," Research in Labor Economics, vol. 18, I 999, pp. 403-38. Children of the NLSY79: a unique data resource The survey provides a wealth of information on the education, socioeconomic background, and cognitive, social, and emotional development of children aged 14 and younger; and on the workforce participation, education, marital, and fertility behaviors of young adults aged 15 or older; the data have been heavily used by researchers across a wide range of disciplines Lawrence L. Wu and Jui-Chung Allen Li remarkable design aspect of the Naional Longitudinal Survey of Youth 979 (NLSY79) is the availability of longitudinal data on all children born to women in the original NLSY79 sample. The resulting data from the Children of the NLSY79 provide a resource that is unique in many respects. Perhaps not surprisingly, these data have been used by researchers across a wide range of disciplines, including child development, demography, economics, epidemiology, family studies, social policy, and sociology. Much of the usefulness of these data stem from two key factors: they can be linked to the rich longitudinal data for the NLSY79 mothers, and the child and young adult surveys are themselves longitudinal, covering a wide range of ages from early childhood and adolescence through the young adult years. Sample design Lawrence L. Wu is professor and chair, and Jui-Chung Allen Li is a Ph.D. candidate, in the Department of Sociology at New York University. E-mail: lawrence.wu@nyu.edu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis As noted in other articles in this issue of the Monthly Labor Review, the main respondents in the NLSY79 are a n<1.ti0nally representative sample of individuals aged 14-22 in 1979, with surveys conducted annually through 1994 and biennially since 1996. The child sample-consisting of offspring aged 14 or younger-was begun in 1986, while the young adult sample- consisting of offspring aged 15 or older-was begun in 1994, with both the child and young adult samples fielded biennially since initial data collection.' The survey instruments differ substantially in the child and young adult surveys, as reviewed below. Because of the longitudinal design of the child and young adult samples, offspring are interviewed initially in the child sample, and then in the young adult sample as they reach adolescence. Thus by design, sample sizes in the two samples will vary from wave to wave, but as of the 2002 wave, the child sample contained 11,340 children, and the young adult sample contained 4,648 young adults. These data do not provide a nationally representative sample of children or young adults, although they are appropriately regarded as representative of the population of offspring born to U.S. women who were aged 14-22 in 1979. Sample coverage of this latter population is excellent. However, the child and young adult samples do not cover children of NLSY79 women who were concealed from the survey (for example, children born to a NLSY79 woman but given up for adoption), children who died before the initial 1986 children survey, or children in NLSY79 households who were lost to the survey because they were not interviewed. The numbers of children in the latter Monthly Labor Review February 2005 59 Children of the NLSY79 category far outweigh the numbers in the other two categories, but, by current survey standards, sample attrition is modest. In the 2002 wave, for example, roughly 84 percent of NLSY79 women who had one or more births were successfully interviewed, compared with only 7 4 percent of women who had no children. many other studies (usually small-scale studies) have collected BPI data, a unique aspect of the data from the Children of the NLSY79 survey is its longitudinal nature, with BPI measures repeated every 2 years since 1986. Thus, for some children, BPI is measured at as many as six longitudinal data points. Child assessment battery Cognitive development. The major instruments evaluating the cognitive development for the NLSY79 children are three subscales of the Peabody Individual Achievement Tests (PIAT)-Mathematics, Reading Recognition, and Reading Comprehension-for children between ages 5 to 14 and the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised (PPVT-R) for children. The Memory for Digit Span subscale of the widely known Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children - Revised (wisc-R) is also included. These assessments of cognitive ability are administered in all waves since 1986. Thus, as in the case of BPI, repeated measures of cognitive ability are available for individual children, which have proven of great value to the research community. Less widely used measures of cognitive ability in these data include "body parts recognition" (for children between ages 1 to 3 years; in the 1986 and 1988 waves), "memory for locations" (for children between 8 months and 4 years of age; in the 1986 and 1988 waves), and the short-term memory of auditory stimuli subscale from the McCarthy Scales of Children's Abilities (for children between ages 3 and 7 years; in the 1986 to 1994 waves). Taken together, these multiple-repeated measures provide a comprehensive developmental portrait of early cognitive ability. A major interview component of the Children of the NLSY79 is the child assessment battery, which gauges the child's socio-emotional and cognitive development from birth to age 14 and provides measures of the home environment that are thought to be important for child development. The validity and reliability for these child assessments are high, with these measures available for roughly 90 percent of surveyed children. (An exception is the Home Observation of the Environment-Short Form (HOME-SF) (see below) for infants under age 3.) While these child assessment instruments were designed to be administered in a face-to-face interview, they are nevertheless close in quality to similar diagnostic instruments used in the clinical settings of child assessments. The battery covers multiple domains of a child's developmental trajP.ctories, as well as the home environment for the child. Home observation of the environment. The quality of a child's home environment is measured by the HOME-SF. 2 This instrument assesses the cognitive stimulation and emotional support for children under the age of 15. Examples of questions include, "How many children 's books does your child have?" and "If your child got so angry that he/she hit you, what would you do?" with the specific questions administered varying according to age suitability. These data have been widely analyzed, with the instrument adopted by other surveys (for example, the child assessment module in the New Immigrant Survey3). Socio-emotional development. Data on child temperament are obtained from mothers for children under age 3 and from interviewers for children between ages 3 and 6. This temperament scale is intended to measure the child's activity level, affective attributes, attachment styles, compliance, sociability, and more generally, how a child usually acts. It was adapted from Rothbart's Infant Behavior Questionnaire and Kagan's compliance scale. 4 The Behavior Problem Index (BPI), completed by mothers with children from age 4 to age 14, has been widely used to gauge problem behaviors in children.5 Researchers have typically distinguished between two major BPI subscales: "externalizing behaviors" measuring behaviors such as aggression, over-activity, and conflictual relations with peers; and "internalizing behaviors" measuring frustration and negative affect toward oneself. Although 60 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 Education, health, neighborhoods Educational experiences are also assessed longitudinally, including the child's participation in the Head Start program, grade retention, number of the child's friends that the parent knows (a classic measure of "social capita1"6), attendance in advanced classes, school activities, and basic school information. Researchers may request permission to view data on school characteristics, which were gathered in a 1995/ l 996 school survey, and on neighborhood characteristics, which are available from geocode information. These items, taken collectively, provide an unusually comprehensive portrait of the child 's early formal schooling experiences in ways that exceed the educational data available for the original NLSY79 respondents. 7 Various health-related questions include detailed perinatal conditions (for example, mother's smoking and drug use during pregnancy, her access to prenatal care, and child's birth weight), hospitalization history, general health conditions, specific illnesses, height, and weight. Many of these variables are available longitudinally. Young adult data Yet another extremely important design decision in the offspring data is that the young adult survey instrument-administered when offspring are aged 15 or older-in many ways mirrors the survey instrument given to their NLSY79 mothers. The young adult ages are similar to NLSY79 mothers when they were first surveyed, and the period marks when adolescents and young adults begin transitioning from school to work. Thus, behavioral domains cover the continuing educational experiences of offspring, but also their employment histories, income, and program participation. Health-related behavioral items include detailed batteries on substance use (cigarette, alcohol, marijuana, and other drugs/substance), but also items related to both general and specific mental and physical health conditions. Demographic data include information on exposure to sex education, pregnancy, and detailed fertility and marital histories. Since 1994, a series of questions on computer use has been available, reflecting the survey's continuing sensitivity to various sources of social change. 8 Advantages of the Children of the NLSY79 Several design elements of the Children of the NLSY79 make these data unique. For example, offspring data are available in the Panel Study oflncome Dynamics (Psm), which is also a nationally representative longitudinal survey of respondents in the United States. However, the PSID child supplement consists of only two waves of data to-date; hence, the PSID parent/child data consists of a long panel of data for parents but only a short panel for children. By contrast, the National Survey of Families and Households (NSFH), another national probability survey, contains longitudinal data on both parents and offspring, but limits data on offspring to a single focal child within a specific age range. In addition, the NSFH contains only three waves of data, with interviews occurring 5 or more years apart. By contrast, the NLSY child and young adult surveys are administered biennially, contain all children born to a given mother, and provide a long panel of closelyspaced longitudinal data for both mothers and offspring. As noted earlier, the major limitation of the NLSY79 data has to do with how the sample is generated. The sample cannot be regarded as a nationally representative sample of any cross-sectional population of children in the United States, but is representative of the population of children whose mothers were born between 1958 and 1965. Because children are added as they are born, the initial data in the child sample overrepresented children born to the youngest mothers, who tended to be from disadvantaged socioeconomic backgrounds. Children in the initial rounds of data were observed to do worse than other children of similar ages on a https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis variety of indicators for cognitive, physical, and socio-emotional developments. These disadvantages are likely due to their disadvantaged social and economic circumstances. However, with time, more children have been added to the child sample as the NLSY79 women have completed their childbearing; hence, what was problematic in the early history of the child sample has become much less so as the joint mother-child age distribution has "normalized." Similar issues hold for the young adult data. The research community has been sensitive to these issues, and a variety of modeling strategies can be employed to deal with them. 9 Retrospect and prospect Although the majority of published refereed research papers have been in journals specializing in the areas of the family and child development, studies using these data have also appeared in fields such as demography, economics, epidemiology, and sociology. (See table 1.) The use of these data by researchers in child psychology, pediatrics, and psychiatry is particularly noteworthy because, traditionally, these fields have not relied on analyses of national probability samples, but have rather focused beavily on smaller experimental and clinical samples. The topics examined with these data are very diverse. Published studies to-date have examined the consequences on children's well-being and cognitive and socio-emotional development of factors such as maternal employment, povArticles using data from the Children of the published in academic journals NLSY79 Number Journal name Journal of Marriage and the Family ............... .. . Child Development ........................................... . Journal of Human Resources ........................... . Demography ...................... ............................... . Pediatrics ........................................................... Social Forces .................................................... . Developmental Psychology ............................. .. Journal of Family Issues ............ .... ........... ... ..... . Perspectives on Sexual & Reproductive Health (previously, Family Planning Perspectives) .... . American Sociological Review ......................... . American Journal of Public Health ................... . Intelligence ........................... ...................... ...... . Journal of Health and Social Behavior ............ .. Archives of Pediatric & Adolescent Medicine .. . Journal of Economic Literature ........... ... .. ........ . Journal of Family and Economic Issues .......... . Journal of Health Economics ........................... . Rank of articles 31 13 12 10 9 9 8 8 9 7 10 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 NmE: Journals that have only published less than three papers are not included, but they include such flagship journals as American Journal of Sociology, Journal of Political Economy, American Economic Review, American Educational Research Journal, and Population and Development Review. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 61 Children of the NLSY79 erty and program participation (for example, the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) program and the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (w1c)), parenting practices, and parental marital history. Similarly, pediatric researchers have used these data to estimate the association of child obesity and television viewing and how parents deal with children during mealtimes. 10 Use of the young adult sample has increased over time as offspring have aged into this sample. A bibliography maintained by the NLS lists 45 journal articles, book chapters, theses and dissertations, conference papers, and working papers that have used the young adult data. 11 As noted above, early waves of the young adult data heavily overrepresented offspring born to very young mothers, but selection of offspring on mother's age has become far less problematic as offspring born to older mothers have aged into the young adult sample. As a consequence, research uses of the young adult data should continue to gain momentum as more waves of data become available and as parent/offspring characteristics become less skewed. Researchers can employ advanced statistical techniques exploiting unique design elements in these data. For example, researchers have often noted that siblings are more likely to resemble one another on a variety of behavioral outcomes than are two otherwise similar but unrelated individuals chosen randomly from the same population. Such resemblance, it is argued, may reflect characteristics of siblings-how they were raised, characteristics of their parents and home environment, and genetic influences-that are not captured by the rich array of variables available in data such as the NLSY79. To deal with this issue, researchers have increasingly used a variety of statistical modeling techniques (for example, fixed effect models) that rely on the availability of sibling data to purge out the influence of hypothesized unobserved factors. An innovative elaboration of this idea involves comparisons of siblings, cousins, and unrelated individuals, a research design that is possible with the offspring data because both siblings and cousins can be identified. A similar idea relies on the identification of half-siblings, both among the original NLSY79 respondents and in the offspring data, which has been 0 used to examine certain models of genetic similarity. Notes 1 Members of the Center for Human Resource Research (CHRR) and, in particular, Frank Mott played a crucial role in developing and designing the child and young adult surveys. Because plans to collect data on offspring were not part of the original NLSY79 data design, external funding sources were required to collect these data. As a consequence, the availability of offspring data were dependent on the foresight of Frank Mott, who in the early 1980s spearhe:ided efforts by staff at CHRR and NLS to secure external support for collecting data on the Children of the NLSY79. It is also important to recognize that at the time of initial data collection, many of the substantive issues, as well as statistical and methodological techniques appropriate for these data, were in their infancy. In these and others ways, those who envisioned these data in the early 1980s were well ahead of their time. 2 HOME-SF is a modification of the HOME inventory, see Bettye M. Caldwell and Robert H. Bradley, Home Observation for Measurement of the Environment (Little Rock, AR, University of Arkansas, Center for Child Development and Education, 1984). 3 For further information about the New Immigrant Survey, see http:// nis. princeton.edu. 4 At the time of the first child survey in 1986, there was no existing temperament scale appropriate for use in a survey setting. As a result, the temperament scale developed and fielded by NLS investigators lacked a national norm. Subsequent work has established the psychometric and measurement properties of this scale. See Frank L. Mott, Paula C. Baker, David E. Ball, Canada K. Keck, and Steven M. Lenhart, The NLSY Children 1992: Description and Evaluation (Columbus, OH, Ohio State University, Center for Human Resource Research, 1995). 5 The BPI was developed by Nicholas Zill and James L. Peterson, Behavior Problems Index (Washington, DC, Child Trends Inc., 1986) by adapting primarily the Achenbach Behavior Problems Checklist. See Tho- 62 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 mas M. Achenbach and C. S. Edelbrock, Manual for the Child Behavior Checklist and Revised Child Behavior Profile (Burlington, VT, University of Vermont, Department of Psychology, 1983). 6 See James S. Coleman, "Social Capital in the Creation of Human Capital," American Journal of Sociology 94, (The University of Chicago Press, 1988), pp.S95-S 120. 7 See Kenneth I. Wolpin, "Education data in the NLSY79: a premiere research tool," Monthly Labor Review, February 2005, 15-20. 8 Data on substance use, health conditions, sex education, and computer use are also available in the child sample. The fact that similar items are present in both the child and young adult surveys permits investigators to compare and combine data from the two samples to assess, for example, issues of reliability and stability/change in these variables. 9 See Mark R. Rosenzweig and Kenneth I. Wolpin, "Are There Increasing Returns to the Intergenerational Production of Human Capital? Maternal Schooling and Child Intellectual Achievement," Journal of Human Resources 29 (The University of Wisconsin Press, 1994), pp. 670-93. 10 See Laura K. Certain and Robert S. Kahn, "Prevalence, Correlates, and Trajectories of Television Viewing Among Infants and Toddlers," Pediatrics l 09 (American Academy of Pediatrics, 2002), pp.634-42; Myles S. Faith, Stanley Heshka, Kathleen L. Keller, Bettylou Sherry, Patty E. Matz, Angelo Pietrobelli, and David B. Allison, "Maternal-Child Feeding Patterns and Child Body Weight: Findings from a Population-Based Sample," Archives of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine 157 (American Medical Association, 2003), pp.926-32. 11 A searchable online bibliography of all sources that have used the data is on the Internet at http://www.nlsbibliography.org. NLS The problem of respondent attrition: survey methodology is key Longitudinal surveys will suffer from attrition and nothing will change that; however, years of lessons learned in the field show that straightforward survey methodology can minimize the impact of losing respondents Randall J. Olsen e central problem oflongitudinal surveys s attrition. The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth in 1979 (NLSY79), which this issue of the Monthly Labor Review features, is the gold standard for sample retention against which longitudinal surveys are usually measured. However, we cannot understand how the NLSY79 has done so well without considering what was done differently in the other cohorts of the NLS and what we have learned by formal evaluations of attrition ave1sion measures that evolved over a quarter crntury of field work. The lessons here are hard-won and, to some, unconventional. 11 Background Randall J, Olsen is professor of economics at the Ohio State University, E-mail: olsen@postoffice.chrr. ohio-state.edu. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The NLS began in 1965 at the urging of an Assistant Secretary of Labor, Daniel Patrick Moynihan. He believed that although the Current Population Survey provided crucial snapshots of the Nation's labor force and labor market, the Nation needed a data source that was more dynamic and capable of tracking the long-run evolution of careers. Tile task of starting the study went to Howard Rosen at the Department of Labor, who enlisted Herb Parnes from Ohio State University, to assemble a team, design the surveys, and analyze the data. This team comprised representatives from the Census Bureau, Ohio State University, and the Department of Labor. The original plan was to follow the cohorts for 5 years to study some of the pressing questions of the time-the shrinking labor force participation rate of older men, the problem of youth unemployment and the transition from school to work, and the growing labor force participation of women whose children were entering school, leading to steady growth in the number of working mothers. Childcare was an important issue along with the problem of how the family would pay for a college education for the children of the baby boom. Over time, the project has expanded. (Table I shows the various cohorts of the NLS, their start and stop dates, sizes, and age ranges covered.) Because the project began with a 5-year horizon, neither the Census Bureau, Ohio State, nor the Department of Labor had a plan for sample retention over the long run; after all, longitudinal surveys were still quite rare. The studies shortly proved their worth and the project became openended in terms of duration. However, the original limitations on intended duration led to some problems with attrition that conflicted with a revised plan to follow the respondents over the balance of their lives. In particular, the "following-rule" 1 that the Census Bureau used specified that when a respondent missed two consecutive interviews, the Census Bureau would drop that respondent from the study. The following-rule and the original 5-year hoMonthly Labor Review February 2005 63 Respondent Attrition Illa' Survey groups, sample sizes, interview yeors, and survey status, National Longitudinal Survey, 1966-2004 Age cohort at first interview Survey group Original sample Initial year/ latest year 4/1 /06-3/31 /21 4/1 /22-3/31 /37 4/1/41-3/31/52 1943-53 5,020 5,083 5,225 5,159 1966/1990 1967/2003 1966/1981 1968/2003 13 21 12 12,686 1979/2004 1986/2004 1994/2004 21 1997/2004 OlderMen .................... Mature Women .. .. ..... .. .. Young Men ............ ... .. .. You1 ·1g Women .............. 45-59 NLSY79 ............. . .. .......... 14-21 birth-14 15 and older 1957-64 (4) (5) (4) (5) 12-16 1980-84 8,984 NLSY79 NLSY79 Children ............ Young Adults .... 3(}-44 14-24 14-24 6 NLSY97 . .. . ... . ............ . .... . 2 1 Interviews in 1990 also were conrlucted with 2,206 widows or other family members of deceased respondents . 2 After dropping the military (in 1985) and economically disadvantaged non-black/non-Hispanic oversamples (in 1991 ), the sample contains 9,964 respondents eligible for interview. 3 The latest sample size available is from the 2002 survey. The 2004 survey is currently being fielded. 4 NLSY79 Children and young adults included by relation to NLSY79 rizon struck with the greatest force on the Young Men's cohort. In 1981, about two-thirds of the cohort responded to the survey. Some analysts believed that the rate of attrition reflected veterans' refusing to participate in a Government survey. Although the rate of attrition among black veterans was a few percentage points higher than that for nonveterans, for whites, the differential for veterans as a whole was essentially zero. Within the Young Men's cohort, blacks had the highest attrition rates. For whites, attrition in the Young Men's cohort was a bit higher than that for two women's cohorts, but male respondents have always had higher attrition than females. The two-and-out-following-rule that the Census Bureau employed had serious ramifications, given the attrition pattern for the young men, and high attrition among blacks. By 1981, the Census Bureau had stopped tracking 11 percent of the young men because they had, at some point, missed two consecutive interviews. Blacks make up 28 percent of the young men's sample, but 57 percent of the cases dropped because of the following-rule were black. Our current ruleof-thumb is that in the next round, one can obtain an interview on about 25 percent of the respondents who have missed two interviews in a row. When interviewing began for the NLSY79, performance specifications did not allow respondents to be dropped simply based on consecutive missed interviews. The original design for the surveys alternated in-person interviews with telephone and mail-out surveys, with the inperson version conducted every 5 years. 2 As a result, the content of the interview was more comprehensive every 5 64 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Number of surveys Birth year cohort February 2005 Number at last interview 1 Status 2,092 2,236 3,398 2,857 Ended Ended Ended Ended 6 7,724 3,229 3 4,238 Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 7,756 Continuing 22 10 3 3 females, not birth year. Children are still being born. 5 The size of the NLSY79 child sample depends on the number of children born to female NLSY79 respondents , attrition over time , and the gradual aging of the children into the young adult sample. The size of the young adult sample depends on the number of children who reach age 15 in each survey year. 6 In 1998 only, the young adults eligible for interview were limited to those ages 15 to 20. years, with smaller updates in between. The NLS approach to the Mature Women's cohort is emblematic of the general approach of the survey. The 1967 interview of the women ages 30-44 focused on the longest held jobs between schooling and marriage, between marriage and the birth of her first child, and after the birth of the first child. The survey sought the most important (that is, longest held) job holdings, probed for significant periods not working, and ascertained why the woman did not work. The respondent answered CPS questions about the previous week~ these questions accounted for a significant part of the interview. This approach to collecting labor force behavior data left unanswered questions about work history, especially for women with frequent job transitions and women who missed the in-person interview. There were modules that collected retrospective data about fertility and marriage, but in the 1960s, marriages ending in divorce were less frequent, compared with current divorce rates. The NLS did not attempt to collect an event history on marriage, but nonetheless, the survey probably collected most of the transitions in marital status and cohabitation for the Mature Women and Older Men's cohorts. The original cohort data collection effort frequently captured data on respondents' behavior by asking retrospective questions, sometimes at wide intervals, to capture particular data domains. For example, rather than collecting pregnancy roster data on the Young Women 's cohort as those events occurred, the NLS would ask about many years' experience all at once. As Frank Mott documents, this strategy for data collection opens the way for more measurement error. 3 '.:\.'ith the strategy used then, missing one interview can leave an important part of the data record distressingly incomplete. It is in this context that we start this article by focusing on the historical record of the completion rates for the various cohorts of the NLS and how the strategy for both data collection and the rules for continuing to follow nonrespondents generate startling impacts on the completeness of the data coming out of a longitudinal study. This article continues by describing some of the fielding techniques the NLS program has employed to offset the secular trend toward lower completion rates. The historical record The remainder of this article describes the two original women's cohorts: the NLSY79 and the NLSY97. The two original men's cohorts were cancelled in the early l 980s. 4 In 1981, the Census Bureau completed interviews of 65 percent of the original respondents for the Young Men and 52.5 percent of the Mature Men. However, corrected for mortality, the numbers are higher, with 66.8 percent completed of the respondents "-till alive for the Young Men and 74.8 percent of the Mature Men. After 15 years, the completion rate for the Mature Women was 69.7 percent (73.5 percent of those still alive), and for the Young Women it was 68.8 percent (69.4 percent of those still alive). As mentioned earlier, the lower completion rate for the Young Men reflects a following-rule that dropped blacks at an unusually high rate. The Census Bureau experience with the original cohorts was more favorable than its recent experience with respondents from the Survey of Program Dynamics (SPD). That survey continues the 1992-93 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) panel. By the end of the SIPP phase for the SPD respondents (the SIPP phase contained nine waves each 4 months apart), the completion rate was about 73.4 percent. The 1997 wave of the SPD completed 58.7 percent of the SIPP respondents, and by 2002, the completion rate stood at 53 percent of the 1992-93 SIPP respondents. The 10-year retention rate for the SIPP/SPD panel is below the 15-year retention rate for the original cohorts, whether or not one corrects the latter retention rates for mortality. A more striking contrast is the experience with the NLSY79, for which the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) does the data collection. The 15-year retention rate from 1979 to 1994 was 89.2 percent-almost 20 percentage points higher than the rate for the original cohorts. The disparity of experience with retention in longitudinal studies grows when we compare the NORC experience with the NLSY97 to their experience with the NLSY79. After seven rounds, NLSY97 retains 86.4 percent of the respondents, which is below the NORC experience in the NLSY79 after more than 19 years Even if we examine the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis records of the Census Bureau and NORC separately, we see marked variation in outcomes. The reason for this disparity is complex. Bounded interview event histories The most important feature that distinguishes the NLSY79 (and NLSY97) from the initial design of the original cohorts of the NLS is the use of event histories in the NLSY79 and NLSY97. The article by James Walker in this issue addresses this feature in more detail, but when the case for event histories in the NLSY79 was made by Burton Singer, he had in mind their analytic usefulness and not their effect on attrition. (See accompanying articles in this issue.) As it turns out, event histories in longitudinal surveys force us to rethink our views on attrition. As implemented in the NLSY79, event histories carried forward respondents' answers to questions from the previous interviews in some domain. For example, if the respondent was interviewed on July 21, 1987, and he was married, we would ask, "According to our records, when we last interviewed you on July 21, 1987, you were married. Is that correct?" If the respondent agrees, he would be asked whether his marital status has changed since that date, and if so, when that happened, what the change was, and the characteristics of that transition, such as the demographics of the new spouse, and so forth. 5 If the respondent disagrees with the data carried forward in our records, the interviewer obtains the corrected data and then carries the event history collection forward from the point of correction. 6 This approach allows one to deal with the "seam problem," namely how to deal with recollections of the same event whose timing differs across survey waves. Indeed, when the NLSY79 switched to computer-assisted interviewing and, at the same time, to collecting a true event history for education, the incidence of seam problems declined dramatically. Perhaps more importantly, the use of bounded interview event histories makes the data collection protocol less dependent on the interview date. If a respondent misses an interview, at the next round he is asked to pick up the collection of the event history on, say, marital status at the point he left off on the most recent completed interview. We recover event history data from a respondent whenever he or she returns to the survey. This approach generates a substantially more complete data history for respondents than suggested by a simple examination of completion rates. Chart I illustrates the effect of returning to respondents. The lower line is the round-by-round completion rate for the NLSY79 from the 1st through 20th rounds. The higher line shows the fraction of the data for the year preceding each of the 20 rounds that we recovered either from an interview in that or a subsequent round. Because we fill in missing data Monthly Labor Review February 2005 65 Respondent Attrition Comparison of data recovery rates from ordinary round-by-round interviews and event history with bounded interviewing, NLSY79 youths, ages 14-21 in 1979 Recovery rate 100 Recovery rate ~ -~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 Completion rate from event history ...... Ordinary completion rate 60 60 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Years from first interview NOTE: Year "0" is 1979. Author's calculations. SOURCE: for the event histories whenever we interview the respondent, analysts have well in excess of 90 percent of the data for 20 years after the initial interview. Bounded interviewing requires a sophisticated instrument, adds to interview length, and works best with salient events. With long retrospectives, accuracy may suffer, but missing data are the worst data. In the NLSY79 and NLSY97, we employ event histories for employment, marriage and cohabitation, fertility, training, education, and program recipiency. These histories are the core of the NLS. Using bounded interviewing event histories generates a more complete data record, especially when combined with a fielrl ~trategy that emphasizes returning to past nonrespondents. Charts 2 and 3 illustrate how the decision on which respondents to contact in a longitudinal survey is crucial to generating a complete data record. In the Young Women's and Mature Women's cohorts, the Census Bureau originally adopted the strategy that it would not return to any respondent who refused two straight interviews. In the mid-1980's, the Census Bureau changed that strategy. Starting in 1985, the Census Bureau returned to past nonrespondents to the Young Women's survey, and in I 986, the Census Bureau no longer dropped respondents missing two straight interviews, but did not return to past nonrespondents. Chart 2 shows that the rate of attrition slowed after the Census Bureau no longer dropped nonrespondents after they missed two straight interviews, effective in 1985. The event 66 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 history completion rate naturally shows less data loss once the Census Bureau changed their following-rules. Chart 3 illustrates the impact of the Census Bureau's decision in 1986 to return to some (but not all) of the Young Women who had been dropped from the survey roster after two straight noninterviews. The completion rate jumped up when the Census Bureau started the new following-rules, and in subsequent rounds, the completion rate dropped more slowly. The impact on the event history completion rate of former nonrespondents, (especially in contrast to chart 2 for the Mature Women), provides stark evidence that an aggressive following-rule plus bounded interviewing event histories are valuable data-collection strategies for the NLS. Next, we tum to encouraging the respondents to give us more interviews. Encouraging respondent cooperation The NLS has a life-cycle perspective; it tries to follow respondents from their first interview to the end of their life. Sometimes funding constraints limit how long it can follow a cohort, but the project tries to keep its focus on how lives of individuals evolve in their entirety. This scientific agenda requires patience and a focus on long-term cooperation. The other long-term survey best known among social scientists is the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID). That study focuses on the household rather than on the individual, so if we lose the cooperation of one reference person for the household, we seek another informant for that household. In Comparison of data recovery rates from single-round inteviewing and event history with bounded interviewing from women ages 14-24 in 1967 Recovery rate Recovery rate 100 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - , 100 ~ Bounded interview ~ Single-round interview 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 5 10 15 20 25 30 40 35 Years from first interview NOTE: Year 11 011 is 1979. SOURCE: Author's calculations. Comparison of data recovery rates between single-round inteviewing and event history bounded interviewing, women ages 30-44 in 1967 ~Gcovery rate Recovery rate 100 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- ~ 100 ..,.._.. Bounded interview ...... Single-round interview 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 NOTE: Year 11 0 11 is 1979. SOURCE: Author's calculations. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Years from first interview Monthly Labor Review February 2005 67 Respondent Attrition the case of the NLS, we only use proxy respondents for ill individuals or in other unusual cases. This puts a premium on retaining the good will of respondents. We seek the goodwill of the respondents in three major ways: informing the respondent about survey objectives and findings, using incentive payments, and employing the mode of interview that the respondent prefers. Fundamentally, to gain respondent cooperation, field staff must stress that the study is important, if not for the respondent, then for society at large. The questions have to be valid and must relate to the objectives of the study that form the basis for its societal usefulness. For the doubting respondent, the study must provide evidence that it is substantiated by findings, recommendations, or a body of research consistent with the message that it is important. Interviewers play a pivotal role in the "selling of the survey." Thus, a less appreciated corollary of convincing respondents that the study is important is that the interviewers must be convinced the study is important. What good is a salesperson who does not believe in the product? ThP NLS program mails out informative brochures to respondents and provides the interviewers with packets of materials that provide support for the central thesis that the study has societal importance. It also provides items to rebut common objections to cooperating with the survey. However, the most important tool we have is the enthusiasm and commitment of the interviewers. We communicate this in two forms-first by engaging and "seliing" the interviewers when they attend training, and second through their interaction with the field managers who have day-to-day responsibility for overseeing the field.work. Tepid and boring training sessions for interviewers are not only ineffective venues for learning, but they communicate a subliminal message to interviewers that the larger survey is equally boring and, hence, unimportant. Although we attempt to communicate the scientific importance and social utility of the survey, some respondents remain unconvinced. Respondents are not monolithic. About half the respondents are extremely cooperative and easy to work with. As of 2002, almost exactly 60 percent of the respondents in continuing sample types 7 had completed every interview. There is also a core group of very disaffected respondents for whom we have little hope they will complete the survey, although from time to time a few rejoin. For these hard-core refusers there is not much that will make a difference in their cooperativeness, at least nothing we have been able to identify and use. However, for a sizeable minority of the sample, respondent incentives, either money or in-kind, can play a useful role in securing cooperation with the survey. Small gifts that are tailored explicitly to the interests and situation of the respondent can be very effective-they say in a tangible way that we care about the respondent and pay 68 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 attention. Although incentive payments likely influenced some of the respondents who have remained with the survey throughout, incentives appear to work on a minority of respondents-a fact that needs to be integrated with any plan to use incentives in longitudinal surveys. In 2000, we conducted an experiment, with randomization of subject and treatment, investigating the effects of a $40 versus $80 incentive. With the two incentive amounts, we computed how much additional money we spent to obtain an additional interview. On the one hand, when additional incentives were offered to respondents not interviewed in 1998 (the previous round-the NLSY79 is now administered every 2 years), we made $167 in additional incentive payments, on average, for every additional interview when increasing the payment from $40 to $80. On the other hand, for respondents who had cooperated in 1998 we paid an additional $264 for each additional interview. This experiment was conducted when we had encountered strong resistance and sharply higher field costs when using an across-the-board $20 incentive. Had the experiment been mounted at the beginning of the field period, the higher payments would have been even more cost-ineffective. Across-the-board incentive payments increase response rates at a substantial monetary cost. However, one unexpected result of the experiment in 2000 was a reduction in field costs that coincided with the higher incentive payments-field costs fell in a manner we had not seen in previous rounds. The savings in field costs very nearly offset the higher respondent fee costs. Survey organizations should consider the effects of incentive fees, not only on respondent cooperation, but also on the overall cost-effectivene ss of a survey campaign. The most frequent objection to differential fees cites equity issues. This objection, together with the surprising finding in the 2000 round that higher fees reduced field costs, led us to experiment in 2002 with a strategy aimed at using higher incentives with cooperative respondents. For this experiment, called the "Early Bird," we mailed a flyer to respondents offering a higher fee if they called in to make an appointment for an interview. Because interviewers expend substantial time locating, contacting, and making an appointment with respondents, the "Early Bird" offer saves money despite the higher respondent fee involved. Once the conventional field period begins, the offered incentive payment reverts to the normal level. 8 Respondents requesting a higher fee are encouraged to participate in the Early Bird programinterviewers redirect requests for a higher payment toward enrolling the respondent in a mutually advantageous compact exchanging more cooperation for a higher fee. Although incentive payments encourage some respondents to participate, these payments cannot, within a reasonable range, convert all or even nearly all nonrespondents. Fees work for some and fail for others. In addition, for some groups of respondents, such fees can be very expensive in terms of how many cases the extra money spent produces. In short, respondent reactions to incentive fees are remarkably heterogeneous. 9 Heterogeneity also rules when it comes to the interview mode that respondents prefer. The survey choices available to respondents are via telephone, in-person interview, or, to a lesser degree, Webpage. However, the NLS surveys are too complex to encourage most respondents to take a mail survey or a Web survey-most interviewers require about 2 days of training on the survey before they are ready to administer it. Some respondents, having done the survey 20 times before, are more "experienced" with the survey than new interviewers, but there are sections of the interview where interviewer training plays an important role. For this reason, the NLS program does not routinely offer respondents the choice to do the interview over the Web, although we could offer this option. 10 When it comes to telephone versus in-person interviews , some re spondents insist on a telephone interview and others insist on in-person interviews. The initial approach to each respondent is usually over the telephone, except in unusual circumstances. At that point, respondents for the NLSY79 can choose how they want to do the interview. With the NLSY97 , the survey contains a substantial self-administered section containing sensitive questions, and interviewers emphasize in-person interviews. The latter constraint generates comments from the field staff indicating the emphasis on in-person interviewing tends to increase costs; however, if the choice is between a telephone interview and no interview, the field staff always goes for the interview. The essential point is that respondents vary in their preferences, and insisting on either telephone or in-person interviews carries substantial risk of alienating respondents. In this same vein, organizations conducting longitudinal -..,.1. surveys often question whether having the same interviewer do a case year after year encourages response. 11 Knowing whether continuity in the assigned interviewer encourages response would allow a field organization to assign cases more strategically and to make a more intelligent trade-off between reducing travel costs and reducing assignment turnover. Our ability to infer the relationship between attrition and interviewer turnover is reduced by the fact that field operations rarely employ random assignment of interviewer and respondent to a dyad. If one interviewer has trouble with a case, we assign a new interviewer and hope for better results. In short, random influences that make a respondent less likely to do an interview can also lead to a change in the assigned interviewer. Indeed, a case may have several interviewers assigned to it over the course of the field period. Because of these problems, we look at respondent attrition using variables that summarize his or her past tendency to do the survey, his or her attitude at the most recently completed interview, and respondent age. To capture the effect of interviewer continuity, we use two additional variables, whether the interviewer doing the respondent's most recent interview is still on staff and, if so, how many times that interviewer had interviewed the respondent. These two variables only measure the ability of the field staff to exploit interviewer continuity in the current round, not whether interviewer continuity held for the current round. The results, in table 2, using 202,245 observations from rounds 2 through 20 of the NLSY79, suggest that interviewer continuity is not a major factor. There is a net advantage to interviewer continuity after the respondent has been interviewed twice by the same interviewer, and after that, having the same interviewer decreases attrition by about 0.7 percent for each additional round. If an interviewer had interviewed the respondent for the previous round, having that interviewer on staff again generates no positive effect (for the Probability of respondent cooperating with current Variable NLSY79 Coefficient round Effect 1 (dP/dX) Standard error t-ratio Sample size, N=202,245 Intercept .......... ................... ..... ... ... ... ............ ... .... .. ... ..... . Respondent did round before? ..... ........... .. .. .... .............. .. Previous interviewer on staff? .... .... ... ........ .. ... ... .. ... ...... .. Previous interview by phone? ... ............ .. ... ... .. ... .. ..... .... .. Number of interviews done by previous field interviewer, previous interviewer on staff ..... .. ... Percent of previous interviews done ..... ..................... ... . Respondent hostile at previous interview? ....... ... ... ... ... . Respondent impatient, restless? ... .. .... ... .......... ... .. .. ..... .. Respondent cooperative, not interested .... .............. ..... . AgeR .......... .. ....... ....... ... ... .... .. .... .... ....... ... .... ............ ...... . Age R squared ... .................. .. ........ ... .... ................. ......... . 1 -2.4002 2.8604 - .0914 - .5067 0.212 - .007 - .037 0.2219 .0296 .0289 .0256 10.82 96.64 3.16 19.79 .0881 3.8157 -1.5691 - .9364 - .5107 .0142 - .0011 .007 .282 - .116 -.069 - .038 .000 .000 .0089 .0721 .0917 .0421 .0249 .0141 .0002 9.90 52.92 17.11 22 .24 2.51 1.01 5.50 The effect on the probability of an interview on a unit of change in the explanatory variable. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 69 Respondent Attrition if the same interviewer is available, she will most likely have any of her previous cases that are in the same geographic area). Also in table 2, the estimated model is a logit. The third column gives the effect on the probability of an interview of a unit change in the explanatory variable. The standard error is for the coefficient. Results show that it is, by far, more important to keep the respondent interested in the project and happy with how they are treated than to keep the same interviewer. Of course, interviewer continuity may make it easi~r for the field staff to remember how best to deal with a particular respondent. NLSY79, from attrition and nothing will change that. However, certain survey methodologies can minimize the impact of attrition. First, if consistent with its objectives, the survey should utiiize event histories to recover data not collected when a respondent misses a round. LONGITUDINAL SURVEYS WILL SUFFER Second, the following-rules must emphasize persistence. If a respondent refuses a round, return in the next round. When respondents miss a round, in about half the cases they will grant an interview for the next round. If they miss two straight interviews, the probability of success drops to about 25 percent, but certainly not to zero. Third, targeted incentive payments should be used because they are cost effective ways of holding attrition in check. Fourth, allow respondents to choose the interview mode. Just as differences in respondents make incentives effective only for some respondents, differences among respondents make it important to acquiesce to their preferences over interview mode (phone versus personal or even Web). Finally, longitudinal surveys must be "sold." They must be sold to the interviewers who face the job of convincing the respondent that the survey is important, and they must be sold to the respondent who, in the majority of cases, will offer their cooperation so long as the study engages their attention and they are confident that they are □ providing their time for a worthy endeavor. Notes 1 This is the rule determining to which respondents interviewers would return in the event the respondent did not complete one or more interviews . 2 Census interviewed the young men and young women ir. person for several consecutive years and then reverted to the interview pattern for the two older cohorts-personal, skip a year: telephone, skip a year, telephone, personal. In the late 1980s the women's interviews were done in person, although many cases were done over the phone when circumstances dictated. 6 The discrepancy is handled at Ohio State. This style of data collection generates fewer "seam problems" than histories that are not collected using bounded interviewing. Our current practice is to accept the date given initially and place the "seam" on the day after the date of interview. 7 The low-income, non-black, non-Hispanic oversample was nearly eliminated in 1993 and most of the military oversamples were dropped earlier. 8 See Frank Mott, "Looking Backward: Post Hoc Reflections on Longitudinal Surveys," in Erin Phelps, Frank Furstenberg, and Anne Colby, eds., Looking at Lives: American Longitudinal Studies of the Twemic;r, Century (New York, Russell Sage, 2002). Currently the normal incentive is $40. 3 4 The two original men's cohorts-NLSY79 and NLSY97 were cancelled in the early 1980s. 5 With the rise of nonmarital unions, event histories on marriage and cohabitation have become more complex. The approach of asking the retrospective question with explicit reference to the respondent's previous answers is referred to as "bounded interviewing." 70 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 9 In the past I 5 years, we have also experimented with monetary incentives to interviewers. Unfortunately, those experiments failed. At best, they simply shifted the timing of when cases were completed. 10 Our CAP! system is based entirely on Web browsers. Some interviews done over the phone utilize the Web to present the interview to the interviewer, so offering a Web interview to respondents is a minor step. 11 The other side of repeated contact is that the respondent may be more likely to give normative responses to an interviewer once they have established rapport. Measuring health As Thomas Hale wrote almost 4 years ago in this Review, measuring health or disability status in household surveys is a difficult and often frustrating task. Michael Baker, Mark Stabile, and Catherine Deri show that the difficulties and frustrations continue. A broad range of analysts, they say in a recent article in The Journal of Human Resources, recognize that subjective self reports of physical capacity can be biased as respondents may report a spurious incapacity to justify nonparticipation in the labor market. Baker, Stabile, and Deri go on to ask if self reports of "objective" health measuresthe existence of specific diseases or ailments-share any of the same weaknesses. Unfortunately, the evidence seems to suggest that such objective measures are also, as we say in the statistics trade, difficult to interpret. The authors find that there is considerable erro1, both false positives and false negatives when comparing responses to the Canadian National Population Health Survey that could be linked to the administrative records of the Ontario Heath Insurance Plan. They also find that these errors are statistically related to labor market status. Thus, they conclude that the self reports of objective health indicators "share many of the weaknesses of other measures of health commonly used in the literature." Affording gas Recent fluctuations in gas prices could make one wonder if there could soon be https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis evidence of a presumed complementary goods relationship between gasoline and low-gas-mileage passenger vehicles. William T. Gavin doubts it. In the November 2004 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis publication National Economic Trends, Gavin notes that while it was true that the amount of gas an hour of work could buy fell from a little more than 14 gallons in February 1999 to ju~t under 8 gallons in May 2004, it was imp01tant to realize that February 1999 Vias the record high point for that calculation. In his view, the subsequent rises in gas prices relative to wages served to bring gasoline affordability back to something only a little below its long-term average. Thus, he concludes, "Unless this modestly higher price persists and continues to rise in tandem with or faster than wages, we should not expect it to dent consumer demand for suvs." [Editor's note: As of the January payroll survey reference week, an hour of work was worth 8. 9 gallons of gasoline.] Raising productivity As has been the case in the past, producti ~-ity growth slowed at the beginninp: uf the 2001 recession and sped up again once the recession was over, according to a recent report in the Current Issues in Economics and Finance series published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. But, note authors Dale W. Jorgenson, Mun S. Ho, and Kevin J. Stiroh, "the drop-off in productivity in 2001 was not as large as it had been in earlier recessions and the productivity recovery was much stronger." As they are quick to point out, this created some problems for business cycle analysts who had to deal with the differing trends in output and employment growth as they sought to identify the trough of the recession. Using the standard techniques of growth accounting, Jorgenson, Ho, and Stiroh attribute much of the recent vigorous growth in productivity to accelerated capital deepening attributable to information technology and to a rebound in the rate of total factor productivity growth to about the rate that was recorded in the 1960s and very early 1970s. The rebound in total factor productivity itself reflected a disproportionate contribution from information technology: Despite accounting for only 5 percent of aggregate output, information technology producers accounted for about 35 percent of the increase in total factor productivity. The authors project a continuation of these trends through 2014. Their base-case scenario implies an annual average growth in productivity of about 2.6 percent. This can be compared to the 2.2-percent per year rate of productivity growth the same team of authors projected in a report released in 2002. The authors attribute their revision to a projected continuation of recent productivity trends, particularly in the high-tech sectors, offset only slightly by a projection of slightly higher "drag" on productivity growth from demographic trends. Jorgenson, Ho, and Stiroh conclude modestly that "there is little evidence to suggest that the technology-led productivity resurgence is over or that the U.S. economy will revert to the slower pace of productivity growth observed in the 1970s and 1980s." □ Monthly Labor Review February 2005 71 Essays on economics The Lost Art of Economics: Essays on Economics and the Economics Profession. By David Colander. Northampton, MA, Edward Flgar, 2003, 224 pp., $30/paperback. Few students of economics have managed to avoid the question of whether their chosen field qualifies as a true science. In this thought-provoking collection of essays, David Colander, a professor of economics at Middlebury College in Vermont, addresses this question with well-written, and often entertaining prose. A self-described "economic gadfly" and "slightly out of sync" economist, he steps back from the theories, practices, and educational establishment of the field to critique how this "science" is taught and done. He argues that, in the real world where economic policies are implemented, successful economic analysis must account for institutions as they exist. It must consider the complex aspects of the economy and economic behavior that cannot be easily quantified, or derived from a simplified, codified theoretical model. In short, he argues for the practice of economics as an art, where theoretical models provide background and elements of judgment, intuitive thought, and even some ad hoc empirics enter into the process before policy prescriptions are drawn. The author organizes his essays into six parts. In the first part he presents Milton Friedman's Theory of Positive Economics as the foundation for the current methodological approach of the economics field. Under this approach theoretical models are constructed, based on (necessarily) simplified assumptions, and the (presumably observable, or testable) economic implications are then derived from these models. He argues that, ironically, Friedman himself was mainly more of a practitioner of economics as an art, and that this h3s been lost to the literature on history of eco- 72 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nomic thought. In the second part, he lays out the methodology of the "art of economics," and, using monetary policy as the example, shows how academic economists are too far into the realm of abstract theory to provide many useful policy ideas for applied problems. He argues that the theoretical models should be separated from applied policy questions because, in the complex real world, one cannot really test the hypotheses of the abstract model. Instead, the model should serve as a general guide, because "the question in applied policy economics concerns whether the theory fits the application, not whether the theory is true." Taking this basic premise, he describes in the third part of his essay collection how it can be used to better educate and interest students in economics. Particularly at the introductory (or principles courses) level, he decries the attempt to combine the basic theories of economic behavior with modeling techniques as denying justice to both; it makes for economic stories that are probab1y uninteresting to students. In his fourth section are two more personal essays, one of which details his own story as an economics student and induction into the profession. The second essay provides suggestions for making a living within the academic world of economics as one with his iconoclastic views. While these essays may be of mterest mainly to those who are Ph.D students and academic economists, they do reveal the faults of a rigid "publish-or-perish" institutional structure that may discourage innovative thinking (a problem not necessarily unique to economics as a scholarly field). He argues that this structure has encouraged economists to pursue problems and policy issues that more easily yield to quantification rather than those that are more important to address and thuseconometrics has ascended from the role of toolkit to the final arbiter of which issues an economist will choose to study. February 2005 The essays in the fifth and sixth parts of the book provide a critique of the educational institution of graduate education in economics, and a speculative scenario of what the profession, and thus the graduate curriculum, may look like in the year 2050. The author proposes a second track of economics education that will appeal to the generalist inductivist student-one in which formal abstract theorem-and-proof is deemphasized, and more weight is given to interpreting and understanding the basic theory of economics and doing technical work at a more practical level. Interestingly, this appears to already be happening in other fields; some universities are now offering a professional science master's degree, combining natural and physical sciences with finance and business courses for students who will need both in a practical career (Wall Street Journal, Aug. 3, 2004). The author predicts that, by 2050, economists will have abandoned positivism and will be addressing more complex and specific problems with more emphasis on computational simulation-making use of new computation horsepower to mine data for patterns and to create data by simulation, but also combining this with more general, intuitive insight and knowledge of economic institutions in the real world. -Mary Kokoski Division of Price and Index Number Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics Publications received Economic and social statistics Aldy, Joseph E. and W. Kip Viscusi, Age Variations in Workers' Value of Statistical Life. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2003, 51 pp. (Working Paper 10199) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Clark, Robert L., Richard V. Burkhauser, Marilyn Moon, Joseph F. Quinn, and Timothy M. Smeeding, The Economics of an Aging Society. Malden, MA, Blackwell Publishing, 2004, 362 pp., $34.95/paperback. Collins, William J. and Robert A. Margo, The Labor Market Effects of the 1960s Riots. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 36 pp. (Working Paper 10243) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Dietzenbacher, Erik and Michael L. Lahr, eds., Wassily Leontief and Input-Output Economics. New York, Cambridge University Press, 2004, 396 pp., $80/hardcover. Jacobs, Eva E., ed., Handbook of U.S. Labor Statistics: Employment, Earnings, Prices, Productivity, and Other Labor Data, Seventh Edition, 2004. Lanham, MD, Beman Pre<:,;;, 2004, 471 pp., $147/hardcover. Leopold, Ronald S., A Year in the Life of a Million American Workers. New York, MetLife Group Disability, 2003, 214 pp., softcover. Wright, Daniel B., First Steps in Statistics. Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage Publications, 2002, 147 pp., $23/softcover. Economic growth and development Acs, Zoltan J., Innovation and the Growth of Cities. Northampton, MA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2002, 264 pp., $90/hardback; $35/paperback. Cahue, Pierre and Andre Zylberberg, Labor Economics. Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press, 2004, 844 pp., $90/cloth. Cameron, Samuel, The Economics of Sin: Rational Choice or No Choice At All? Northampton, MA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2002, 240 pp., $90/hardback. Colar,Jcr, David, The Lost Art of Economics: Essays on Economics and the Economics Profession. Northampton, MA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2001, 203 pp., $30/paperback. Hendry, David F. and Neil R. Ericson, eds., Understanding Economic Forecasts. Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press, 2001, 225 pp. , $17.95/paperback. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Lazear, Edward P. and Paul Oyer, Internal and External Labor Markets: A Personnel Economics Approach. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2003, 50 pp. (Working Paper 10192) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Niederle, Muriel and Alvin E. Roth, Market Culture: How Norms Governing Exploding Offers Can Affect Market Performance. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. , 2004, 57 pp. (Working Paper I 0256) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside thi:: United States. Education Hanushek, Eric A., Some Simple Analytics of School Quality. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 27 pp. (Working Paper 10229) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Industrial relations Aitchison, Will, The FMI.A: Understanding the Family and Medical Leave Act. Portland, OR, Labor Relations Information System Publications, 2003, 320 pp., $39. 95/paperback. Hogler, Raymond, Employment Relations in the United States: Law, Policy, and Practice. Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage Publications, Inc., 2004, 301 pp., $42.95 / softcover. International economics Balducchi, David E., Randall W. Eberts, and Chri-;tor:,'.1~r J. O'Leary, eds., Labor Exchange Policy in the United States. Kalamazoo, MI, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 2004, 295 pp., $45/cloth; $20/paperback. Budd, John W., Labor Relations: Striking a Balance. New York, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005, 553 pp., hardcover. Troy, Leo, The Twilight of the Old Unionism. New York, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., 2004, 200 pp., $64.95/cloth; $24.95/paperback. New Century. Cambridge, MA, The Press, 2003, 565 pp., $39.95/cloth. MIT Kugler, Adriana D., The Effect of Job Security Regulations on Labor Market Flexibility: Evidence from the Colombian Labor Market Reform. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 65 pp. (Working Paper 10215) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Labor and economic history Galenson, David W., A Portrait of the Artist as a Young or Old Innovator: Measuring the Careers of Modern Novelists. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 78 pp. (Working Paper 10213) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Hardwick, M. Jeffrey, Mall Maker: Victor Gruen, Architect ofan American Dream. Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania Press, 2004, 288 pp., $29.95/cloth. McCann Jr., Charles Robert, ed., The Elgar Dictionary of Economic Quotations. Northampton, MA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003, 315 pp., $150/hardback. Nicholson, Philip Yale, Labor's Story in the United States. Philadelphia, Temple University Press, 2004, 376 pp., $74.50/ cloth; $27.95/cloth. Quartey, Kojo A., A Critical Analysis of the Contributions of Notable Black Economists. Burlington, VT, Ashgate Publishing Company, 2003, 125 pp., $79.95/ hardback. Labor force 2003 Compendium of Regulatory Impact Assessments. London, Department of Trade and Industry, 2004, 291 pp. Labor organizations Roth, Silke, Building Movement Bridges: The Coalition of Labor Union Women. Westport, CT, Praeger Publishers, 2003, 207 pp., $64.95/hardback. Management and organization theory Industry and government organization Cnossen, Sijbren and Hans-Werner Sinn, Public Finance and Public Policy in the Bevan, Stephen, Sally Dench, Heather Harper, and Sue Hayday, Employment Relations Research Series No. 25. Lon- Monthly Labor Review February 2005 73 Book Reviews don, Department of Trade and Industry, 2004, 183 pp., spiral-bound. Carey, Dennis C. and Dayton Ogden, The Human Side ofM&A: How CEOs Leverage the Most Important Asset in Deal Making. New York, Oxford University Press, 2004, 193 pp., $27/cloth. Jackson, Kevin T., Building Reputational Capital: Strategies for Integrity and Fair Play That Improve the Bottom Line. New York, Oxford University Press, 2004, 300 pp., $30/hardcover. Jacoby, Sanford M., Employing Bureaucracy: Managers , Unions, and the Transformation of Work in the 20th Century, Revised Edition. Mahwah, NJ, Lawrence I::r!Laum Associates Publishers, 2004, 315 pp., $79.95/cloth; $34.50/paperback. Oyer, Paul and Scott Schaefer, Why Do Some Firms Give Stock Options to All Employees?: An Empirical Examination of Alternative Theories. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 41 pp. (Working Paper 10222) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Schneider, Benjamin and Susan S. White, Service Quality: Research Perspectives. Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage Publications, 2004, 200 pp., $34.95/paperback. Weiss, Donald H., Fair, Square & Legal, Fourth Edition. New York, AMACON (American Management Association), 2004, 384 pp., $35/hardcover. West, Michael, Motivate Teams, Maximize Success: Effective Strategies for Realizing Your Goals. San Francisco, Chronicle Books, 2004, 160 pp., $16.95/paperback. ing Paper 10212) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Kremp, Elizabeth and Jacques Mairesse, Knowledge Management, Innovation and Productivity: A Firm Level Exploration Based on French Manufacturing CIS3 Data. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 45 pp. (Working Paper 1023 7) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Lerner, Josh, The New New Financial Thing: The Sources of Innovation Before and After State Street. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 54 pp. (Working Paper 10223) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Social institutions and social change Lee, Sandra S., ed., Traumatic Stress and Its Aftermath. Binghamton, NY, The Haworth Press, 2004, 99 pp., $34.95/ hardcover; $19.95/softcover. Presser, Harriet B., Working in a 2417 Economy: Challenges for American Families. New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 2003, 286 pp., $39.95/cloth. Wages and compensation Appelbaum, Eileen, Annette Bernhardt, and Richard J. Murnane, eds., Low-Wage America: How Employers Are Reshaping Opportunity in the Workplace. New York, Russell Sage Foundation, 2003, 536 pp., $45/cloth. Bai, Chong-En and Chi-Wa Yuen, Technology and the New Economy. Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press, 2003, 312 pp., $32.95/cloth. Biesebroeck, Johannes Van, Wages Equal Productivity, Fact or Fiction? Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2003, 52 pp. (Working Paper 10174) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Hall, Bronwyn H., Innovation and Diffusion. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 33 pr. rwork- Connelly, Rachel, Deborah S. DeGraff, and Rachel A. Willis, Kids at Work: The Value of Employer-Sponsored On-Site Child Productivity and technological chu,1ge 74 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 Care Centers. Kalamazoo, MI, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 2004, 184 pp., $40/cloth; $17/ paperback. Oyer, Paul and Scott Schaefer, Compensating Employees Below the Executive Ranks: A Comparison of Options, Restricted Stock, and Cash. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 28 pp. (Working Paper 10221) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Welfare programs and social insurance Benitez-Silva, Hugo, Moshe Buchinsky, and John Rust, How Large Are the Classification Errors in the Social Security Disability Award Process ? Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 52 pp. (Working Paper 10219) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Chetty, Raj, Consumption Commitments, Unemployment Durations, and Local Risk Aversion. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 2004, 64 pp. (Working Paper 10211) $10 per copy, plus $10 for postage and handling outside the United States. Wolff, Edward N., Retirement Insecurity: The Income Shortfalls Awaiting the Soon-toRetire. Washington, DC, Economic Policy Institute, 2002, 95 pp., softcover. Worker training and development Giloth, Robert P., ed., Workforce Development Politics: Civic Capacity and Performance. Philadelphia, Temple University Press, 2004, 296 pp., $72.50/cloth; $24.95/paperback. Phelps, Edmund S., ed., Designing Inclusion: Tools to Raise Low-end Pay and Employment in Private Enterprise. New York, Cambridge University Press, 2004, 165 pp., $55/hardback. 0 Notes on labor statistics .............................. Comparative indicators 76 1. Labor market indicators .................................................... 89 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity ....................... 90 3. Alternative measures of wages and compensation changes ............................................... .... 90 Labor force data 4. Employment status of the population, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 91 5. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 92 6. Sekcted unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 93 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 93 8. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 94 9. Unemployment rates by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 94 10. Unemployment rates by States, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 95 11. Employment of workers by States, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 95 12. Employment of workers by industry, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 96 13. Average weekly hours by industry, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 99 14. Average hourly earnings by industry, seasonally adjusted ................................................... .. .. 100 15. Average hourly earnings by industry ................................ 101 16. Average weekly eamil)gs by industry .................... ........... 102 17. Diffusion indexes of employment change, seasonally adjusted ....................................................... 103 18. Job openings levels and rates, by industry and regions, seasonally adjusted......................................................... 104 19. Hires levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted .......................................................... l 04 20. Separations levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted .......................................................... l 05 21. Quits levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted .......................................................... I 05 22. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 10 largest counties ......................................................... 106 23. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by State.. 108 24. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by ownership ............................................. 109 25. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, establishment size and employment, by supersector ... 110 26. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area ......................................... 1 11 27. Annual data: Employment status of the population ........ 116 28. Annual data: Employment levels by industry .................. 116 29. Annual data: Average hours and earnings level, by industry ..................................................................... 117 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor compensation and collective bargaining data Employment Cost Index, compensation ............................. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries .................... Employment Cost Index, benefits, private industry ........ Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size .................... 34. Participants in benefit plans, medium and large firms ...... 35. Participants in benefits plans, small firms and government............................................................. 36. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more ........... 30. 31. 32. 33. 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 Price data 37. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity and service groups ................ 38. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and local data, all items ........................................................ 39. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, all items and major groups........................................................... 40. Producer Price Indexes by stage of processing ............ ..... 41. Producer Price Indexes for the net output of major industry groups ............................................................. 42. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes by stage of processing................................................... 43. U.S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification ..... .... .. .. ...... .. .. .. .. ... .... ..... .... ......... .. 44. U.S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification ..... .... .... .... ... ..... ... .. ........ .... .... ... .. ... 45. U.S. export price indexes by end-use category ................. 46. U.S. import price indexes by end-use category ................ 47. U.S. international price indexes for selected categories of services..................................................... 127 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 137 137 Productivity data 48. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, data seasonally adjusted ....................... 49. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity ...................... 50. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices .................................................... 5 1. Annual indexes of output per hour for select industries ... .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .... .... .... .... .. .. .... .. .. .... .... .... .......... .. 138 139 140 141 International comparisons data 52. Unemployment rates in nine countries, data seasonally adjusted ................................................. 144 53. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, 10 countries............................ 145 54. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, 15 economies.................................................................. 146 Injury and Illness data 55. Annual data: Occupational injury and illness incidence rates ................................................................. 148 56. Fatal occupational injuries by event or exposure............. 150 Monthly Labor Review February 2005 75 Notes on Current Labor Statistics This section of the Review presents the principal statistical series collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: series on labor force; employment; unemployment; labor compensation; consumer, producer, and international prices; productivity; international comparisons; and injury and illness statistics. In the notes that follow, the data in each group of tables are briefly described; key definitions are given; notes on the data are set forth; and sources of additional information are cited. Genera l notes The following notes apply to several tables in this section: Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect on the data of such factors as climatic condition s, industry productio n schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might prevent short-term evaluation of the statistical series. Tables containing data that have been adjusted are identified as "seasonally adjusted." (All other data are not seasonally adjusted.) Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of current an<l p::\st experiences. When new seasonal factors are computed each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for several preceding years. Seasonally adjusted data appear in tables 1-14, 17-21, 48, and 52. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 1 and 4-9 were revised in the February 2005 issue of the Review. Seasonally adjusted est:tblishment survey data shown in tables 1, 12-14, and 17 were revised in the March 2004 Review. A brief explanation of the seasonal adjustment methodology appears in "Notes on the data." Revisions in the productiv ity data in table 54 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All-Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data-such as the "real" earnings shown in table 14--are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current-dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price 76 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis F&bruary index number of 150, where 1982 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1982 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The $2 (or any other resulting values) are described as "real," "constant," or "1982" dollars. Sources of information Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau in a variety of sources. Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these Notes describing each set of data. For detailed descriptions of each data series, see BLS Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2490. Users also may wish to consult Major Programs of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Report 919. News releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule appearing on the back cover of this issue. More information about labor force, employment, and unemployment data and the household and establishment surveys underlying the data are available in the Bureau's monthly publicatio n, Employm ent and Earnings. Historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data from the household survey are available on the Internet: http://www.bls.gov/cps/ Historically comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data from the establishment survey also are available on the Internet: http://www.bls.gov/ces/ Additional information on labor force data for areas below the national level are provided in the BLS annual report, Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment. For a comprehensive discussion of the Employment Cost Index, see Employment Cost Indexes and Levels, 1975-95, BLS Bulletin 2466. The most recent data from the Employee Benefits Survey appear in the following Bureau of Labor Statistics bulletins: Employee Benefits in Medium and Large Firms; Employee Benefits in Small Private Establishments; and Employee Benefits in State and Local Governments. More detailed data on consumer and producer prices are published in the monthly periodicals, The CPI Detailed Report and Producer Price Indexes. For an overview of the 1998 revision of the CPI, see the December 1996 issue of the Monthly Labor Review. Additional data on international prices appear in monthly news releases. Listings of industries for which productivity indexes are available may be found on the Internet: http://www.bls.govnpd For additional information on interna2005 tional comparisons data, see International Comparis ons of Unemploy ment , Bulletin 1979. Detailed data on the occupational injury and illness series are published in Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States, by Industry, a BLS annual bulletin. Finally, the Monthly Labor Review carries analytical articles on annual and longer term developments in labor force, employment, and unemployment; employee compensation and collective bargaining; prices; productivi ty; internatio nal compariso ns; and injury and illness data. Symbols n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. n.e.s. = not elsewhere specified. p = preliminary. To increase the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availabilit y of later data, but also may reflect other adjustments. Comparative Indicators (Tables 1-3) Comparative indicators tables provide an overview and comparison of major BLS statistical series. Consequently, although many of the included series are available monthly, all measures in these comparative tables are presented quarterly and annually. Labor market indicators include employment measures from two major surveys and information on rates of change in compensation provided by the Employm ent Cost Index (ECI) program. The labor force participation rate, the employment-population ratio, and unemployment rates for major demographic groups based on the Current Population ("household") Survey are presented, while measures of employment and average weekly hours by major industry sector are given using nonfarm payroll data. The Employment Cost Index (compensation), by major sector and by bargaining status, is chosen from a variety of BLS compensa tion and wage measures because it provides a comprehe nsive measure of employer costs for hiring labor, not just outlays for wages, and it is not affected by employme nt shifts among occupatio ns and industries. Data on changes in compens ation, prices, and productivity are presented in table 2. Measures of rates of change of compensation and wages from the Employment Cost Index program are provided for all civilian nonfarm workers (excluding Federal and household workers) and for all private nonfarm workers. Measures of changes in consumer prices for all urban consumers; producer prices by stage of processing; overall prices by stage of processing; and overall export and import price indexes are given. Measures of productivity (output per hour of all persons) are provided for major sectors. Alternative measures of wage and compensation rates of change, which reflect the overall trend in labor costs, are summarized in table 3. Differences in concepts and scope, related to the specific purposes of the series, contribute to the variation in changes among the individual measures. Notes on the data Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these notes describing each set of data. Employment and Unemployment Data (Tables 1; 4--29) Household survey data not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population. Persons not in the labor force are those not classified as employed or unemployed. This group includes discouraged workers, defined as persons who want and are available for a job and who have looked for work sometime in the past 12 months (or since the end of their last job if they held one within the past 12 months), but are not currently looking, because they believe there are no jobs available or there are none for which they would qualify. The civilian noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. The civilian labor force participation rate is the proportion of the civilian noninstitutional population that is in the labor force. The employment-population ratio is employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. Notes on the data Description of the series Employment data in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population I 6 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Definitions Employed persons include (1) all those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the intercensal years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appears in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. For a discussion of changes introduced in January 2003, see "Revisions to the Current Population Survey Effective in January 2003" in the February 2003 issue of Employment and Earnings (available on the BLS Web site at: http://www.bls.gov/ cps/rvcps03.pdf). Effective in January 2003, BLS began using the X-12 ARIMA seasonal adjustment program to seasonally adjust national labor force data. This program replaced the x-11 ARIMA program which had been used since January 1980. See "Revision of Seasonally Adjusted Labor Force Series in 2003," in the February 2003 issue of Employment and Earnings (available on the BLS Web site at http:www.bls.gov/cps/cpsrs.pdf) for a discussion of the introduction of the use of ARIMA for seasonal adjustment of the labor force data and the effects that it had on the data. At the beginning of each calendar year, historical seasonally adjusted data usually are revised, and projected seasonal adjustment factors are calculated for use during the January-June period. The historical seasonally adjusted data usually are revised for only the most recent 5 years. In July, new seasonal adjustment factors, which incorporate the experience through June, are produced for the July-December period, but no revisions are made in the historical data. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on national household survey data, contact the Division of Labor Force Statistics: (202) 691-6378. X-12 Establishment survey data Description of the series Employment, hours, and earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies by about 160,000 businesses and government agencies, which represent approximately 400,000 individual worksites and represent all industries except agriculture. The active CES sample covers approximately one-third of all nonfarm payroll workers. Industries are classified in accordance with the 2002 North American Industry Classification System. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An establishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from estab1ishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Definitions An establishment is an economic unit which produces goods or services (such as a factory or store) at a single location and is engaged in one type of economic activity. Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th day of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted Monthly Labor Review February 2005 77 Current Labor Statistics in each establishment which reports them. Production workers in the goods-prod uc ing industries cover employees, up through the level of working supervisors, who engage directly in the manufacture or construction of the establishment's product. In private service-providing industries, data are collected for nonsupervisory workers, which include most employees except those in executive, managerial, and supervisory positions. Those workers mentioned in tables 11-16 include production workers in manufacturing and natural resources and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in all private service-providing industries. Production and nonsupervisory workers account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received, and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the portion of average weekly hours which was in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. The Diffusion Index represents the percent of industries in which employment was rising over the indicated period, plus onehalf of the industries with unchanged employment; 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing employment. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 1-, 3-, and 6-month spans are seasonally adjusted, while those for the 12-month span are unadjusted. Table 17 provides an index on private nonfarm employment based on 278 industries, and a manufacturing index based on 84 industries. These indexes are useful for measuring the dispersion of economic gains or losses and are also economic indicators. Establishment survey data are annually adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called "benchmarks"). The March 2003 benchmark was introduced in February 2004 with the release of data for January 2004, published in the March 2004 is- sue of the Review. With the release in June 2003, CES completed a conversion from the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and completed the transition from its original quota sample design to a probability-based sample design. The industry-coding update included reconstruction of historical estimates in order to preserve time series for data users. Normally 5 years of seasonally adjusted data are revised with each benchmark revision. However, with this release, the entire new time series history for all CES data series were re-seasonally adjusted due to the NAICS conversion, which resulted in the revision of all CES time series. Also in June 2003, the CES program introduced concurrent seasonal adjustment for the national establishment data. Under this methodology, the first preliminary estimates for the current reference month and the revised estimates for the 2 prior months will be updated with concurrent factors with each new release of data. Concurrent seasonal adjustment incorporates all available data, including first preliminary estimates for the most current month, in the adjustment process. For additional information on all of the changes introduced in June 2003, see the June 2003 issue of Employment and Earnings and "Recent changes in the national Current Employment Statistics survey," Monthly Labor Review, June 2003, pp. 3-13. Revisions in State data (table 11) occurred with the publication of January 2003 data. For information on the revisions for the State data, see the March and May 2003 issues of Employment and Earnings, and "Recent changes in the State and Metropolitan Area CES survey," Monthly Labor Review, June 2003, pp. 14-19. Beginning in June 1996, the BLS uses the X-12-ARIMA methodology to seasonally adjust establishment survey data. This procedure, developed by the Bureau of the Census, controls for the effect of varying survey intervals (also known as the 4- versus 5-week effect), thereby providing improved measurement of over-the-month changes and underlying economic trends. Revisions of data, usually for the most recent 5-year period, are made once a year coincident with the benchmark revisions. In the establishment survey, estimates for the most recent 2 months are based on incomplete returns and are published as preliminary in the tables (12-17 in the Review). When all returns have been received, the estimates are revised and published as "final" (prior to any benchmark revisions) in the 78 2005 Notes on the data Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February third month of their appearance. Thus, December data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. For the same reasons, quarterly establishment data (table l) are preliminary for the first 2 months of publication and final in the third month. Fourth-quarter data are published as preliminary in January and February and as final in March. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on establishment survey data, contact the Division of Current Employment Statistics: (202) 691-6555. Unemployment data by State Description of the series Data presented in this section are obtained from the Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) program, which is conducted in cooperation with State employment security agencies. Monthly estimates of the labor force, employment, and unemployment for States and sub-State areas are a key indicator of local economic conditions, and form the basis for determining the eligibility of an area for benefits under Federal economic assistance programs such as the Job Training Partnership Act. Seasonally adjusted unemployment rates are presented in table l 0. Insofar as possible, the concepts and definitions underlying these data are those used in the national estimates obtained from the CPS. Notes on the data Data refer to State of residence. Monthly data for all States and the District of Columbia are derived using standardized procedures established by BLS. Once a year, estimates are revised to new population controls, usually with publication of January estimates, and benchmarked to annual average CPS levels. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on data in this series, call (202) 691-6392 (table 10) or (202) 691-6559 (table 11). Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Description of the series Employment, wage, and establishment data in this section are derived from the quarterly tax reports submitted to State employment security agencies by private and State and local government employers sub- ject to State unemployment insurance (u1) laws and from Federal, agencies subject to the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (uCFE) program. Each quarter, State agencies edit and process the data and send the information to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data, also referred as ES202 data, are the most complete enumeration of employment and wage information by industry at the national, State, metropolitan area, and county levels. They have broad economic significance in evaluating labor market trends and major industry developments. Definitions In general, the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages monthly employment data represent the number of covered workers who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that included the 12th day of the month. Covered private industry employment includes most corporate officials, executives, supervisory personnel, professionals, clerical workers, wage earners, piece workers, and part-time workers. It excludes proprietors, the unincorporated self-employed, unpaid family members, and certain farm and domestic workers. Certain types of nonprofit employers, such as religious organizations, are given a choice of coverage or exclusion in a number of States. Workers in these organizations are, therefore, reported to a limited degree. Persons on paid sick leave, paid holiday, paid vacation, and the like, are included. Persons on the payroll of more than one firm during the period are counted by each u,subject employer if they meet the employment definition noted earlier. The employment count excludes workers who earned no wages during the entire applicable pay period because of work stoppages, temporary layoffs, illness, or unpaid vacations. Federal employment data are based on reports of monthly employment and quarterly wages submitted each quarter to State agencies for all Federal installations with employees covered by the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (ucFE) program, except for certain national security agencies, which are omitted for security reasons . Employment for all Federal agencies for any given month is based on the number of persons who worked during or received pay for the pay period that included the 12th of the month. An establishment is an economic unit, such as a farm, mine, factory, or store, that produces goods or provides services. It is https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis typically at a single physical location and engaged in one, or predominantly one, type of economic activity for which a single industrial classification may be applied. Occasionally, a single physical location encompasses two or more distinct and significant activities. Each activity should be reported as a separate establishment if separate records are kept and the various activities are classified under different NAICS industries. Most employers have only one establishment; thus, the establishment is the predominant reporting unit or statistical entity for reporting employment and wages data. Most employers, including State and local governments who operate more than one establishment in a State, file a Multiple Worksite Report each quarter, in addition to their quarterly u, report. The Multiple Worksite Report is used to collect separate employment and wage data for each of the employer's establishments, which are not detailed on the u, report. Some very small multi-establishment employers do not file a Multiple Worksite Report. When the total employment in an employer's secondary establishments (all establishments other than the largest) is 10 or fewer, the employer generally will file a consolidated report for all establishments. Also, some employers either cannot or will not report at the establishment level and thus aggregate establishments into one consolidated unit, or possibly several units, though not at the establishment level. For the Federal Government, the reporting unit is the installation: a single location at which a department, agency, or other government body has civilian employees. Federal agencies follow slightly different criteria than do private employers when breaking down their reports by installation. They are permitted to combine as a single statewide unit: I) all installations with 10 or fewer workers, and 2) all installations that have a combined total in the State of fewer than 50 workers. Also, when there are fewer than 25 workers in all secondary installations in a State, the secondary installations may be combined and reported with the major installation. Last, if a Federal agency has fewer than five employees in a State, the agency headquarters office (regional office, district office) serving each State may consolidate the employment and wages data for that State with the data reported to the State in which the headquarters is located. As a result of these reporting rules, the number of reporting units is always larger than the number of employers (or government agencies) but smaller than the number of actual establishments (or installations). Data reported for the first quarter are tabulated into size categories ranging from worksites of very small size to those with 1,000 employees or more. The size category is determined by the establishment's March employment level. It is important to note that each establishment of a multi-establishment firm is tabulated separately into the appropriate size category. The total employment level of the reporting multi-establishment firm is not used in the size tabulation. Covered employers in most States report total wages paid during the calendar quarter, regardless of when the services were performed. A few State laws, however, specify that wages be reported for, or based on the period during which services are performed rather than the period during which compensation is paid. Under most State laws or regulations, wages include bonuses, stock options, the cash value of meals and lodging, tips and other gratuities, and, in some States, employer contributions to certain deferred compensation plans such as 401 (k) plans. Covered employer contributions for oldage, survivors, and disability insurance (OASDI), health insurance, unemployment insurance, workers' compensation, and private pension and welfare funds are not reported as wages. Employee contributions for the same purposes, however, as well as money withheld for income taxes, union dues, and so forth, are reported even though they are deducted from the worker's gross pay. Wages of covered Federal workers represent the gross amount of all payrolls for all pay periods ending within the quarter. This includes cash allowances , the cash equivalent of any type of remuneration, severance pay, withholding taxes, and retirement deductions. Federal employee remuneration generally covers the same types of services as for workers in private industry. Average annual wage per employee for any given industry are computed by dividing total annual wages by annual average employment. A further division by 52 yields average weekly wages per employee. Annual pay data only approximate annual earnings because an individual may not be employed by the same employer all year or may work for more than one employer at a time. Average weekly or annual wage is affected by the ratio of full-time to part-time workers as well as the number of individuals in high-paying and low-paying occupations. When average pay levels between States and industries are compared, these factors should be taken into consideration. For example, industries characterized by high proportions of part-time workers will Monthly Labor Review February 2005 79 Current Labor Statistics show average wage levels appreciably less than the weekly pay levels of regular fulltime employees in these industries. The opposite effect characterizes industries with low proportions of part-time workers, or industries that typically schedule heavy weekend and overtime work. Average wage data also may be influenced by work stoppages, labor turnover rates, retroactive payments, seasonal factors, bonus payments, and so on. Beginning with the release of data for 200 l, publications presenting data from the Covered Employment and Wages program have switched to the 2002 version of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) as the basis for the assignment and tabulation of economic data by industry. NAICS is the product of a cooperative effort on the part of the statistical agencies of the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Due to difference in NAICS and Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) structures, industry data for 2001 is not comparable to the SIC-based data for earlier years. Effective January 200 l, the program began assigning Indian Tribal Councils and related establishments to local government ownership. This BLS action was in response to a change in Federal law dealing with the way Indian Tribes are treated under the Federal Unemployment Tax Act. This law requires federally recognized Indian Tribes to be treated similarly to State and local governments. In the past, the Covered Employment and Wage (CEW) pro~ram coded Indian Tribal Councils and related establishments in the private sector. As a result of the new law, CEW data reflects significant shifts in employment and wages between the private sector and local government from 2000 to 200 I. Data also reflect industry changes. Those accounts previously assigned to civic and social organizations were assigned to tribal governments. There were no required industry changes for related establishments owned by these Tribal Councils. These tribal business establishments continued to be coded according to the economic activity of that entity. To insure the highest possible quality of data, State employment security agencies verify with employers and update, if necessary, the industry, location, and ownership classification of all establishments on a 3-year cycle. Changes in establishment classification codes resulting from the verification process are introduced with the data reported for the first quarter of the year. Changes resulting from improved employer reporting also are introduced in the first quarter. For these reasons, some data, especially at more detailed geographic levels, may not be strictly comparable with earlier years. County definitions are assigned according to Federal Information Processing Standards Publications as issued by the National Institute of Standards and Technology. Areas shown as counties include those designated as independent cities in some jurisdictions and, in Alaska, those areas designated by the Census Bureau where counties have not been created. County data also are presented for the New England States for comparative purposes, even though townships are the more common designation used in New England (and New Jersey). The Office of Management and Budget (0MB) defines metropolitan areas for use in Federal statistical activities and updates these definitions as needed. Data in this table use metropolitan area criteria established by 0MB in definitions issued June 30, 1999 (0MB Bulletin No. 99-04). These definitions reflect information obtained from the 1990 Decennial Census and the 1998 U.S. Census Bureau population estimate. A complete list of metropolitan area definitions is available from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS), Document Sales, 5205 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Va. 22161, telephone 1-800-553-6847. 0MB defines metropolitan areas in terms of entire counties, except in the six New England States where they are defined in terms of cities and towns. New England data in this table, however, are based on a county concept defined by 0MB as New England County Metropolitan Areas (NECMA) because county-level data are the most detailed available from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. The NECMA is a countybased alternative to the city- and town-based metropolitan areas in New England. The NECMA for a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) include: (1) the county containing the first-named city in that MSA title (this county may include the first-named cities of other MSA, and (2) each additional county having at least half its population in the MSA in which first-named cities are in the county identified in step 1. The NECMA is officially defined areas that are meant to be used by statistical programs that cannot use the regular metropolitan area definitions in New England. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on the covered employment and wage data, contact the Division of Administrative Statistics and Labor Turnover at (202) 691-6567. 80 2005 Notes on the data Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Description of the series Data for the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) are collected and compiled from a sample of 16,000 business establishments. Each month, data are collected for total employment, job openings, hires, quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. The JOLTS program covers all private nonfarm establishments such as factories, offices, and stores, as well as Federal, State, and local government entities in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. The JOLTS sample design is a random sample drawn from a universe of more than eight million establishments compiled as part of the operations of the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, or QCEW, program. This program includes all employers subject to State unemployment insurance (UI) laws and Federal agencies subject to Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE). The sampling frame is stratified by ownership, region, industry sector, and size class. Large firms fall into the sample with virtual certainty. JOLTS total employment estimates are controlled to the employment estimates of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey. A ratio of CES to JOLTS employment is used to adjust the levels for all other JOLTS data elements. Rates then are computed from the adjusted levels. The monthly JOLTS data series begin with December 2000. Not seasonally adjusted data on job openings, hires, total separations, quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations levels and rates are available for the total nonfarm sector, 16 private industry divisions and 2 government divisions based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), and four geographic regions. Seasonally adjusted data on job openings, hires, total separations, and quits levels and rates are available for the total nonfarm sector, selected industry sectors, and four geographic regions. Definitions Establishments submit job openings information for the last business day of the reference month. A job opening requires that (1) a specific position exists and there is work available for that position; and (2) work could start within 30 days regardless of whether a suitable candidate is found; and (3) the employer is actively recruiting from outside the establishment to fill the position. Included are full-time, part-time, permanent, short-term, and seasonal openings. Active recruiting means that the establishment is taking steps to fill a position by advertising in newspapers or on the Internet, posting help-wanted signs, accepting applications, or using other similar methods. Jobs to be filled only by internal transfers, promotions, demotions, or recall from layoffs are excluded. Also excluded are jobs with start dates more than 30 days in the future, jobs for which employees have been hired but have not yet reported for work, and jobs to be filled by employees of temporary help agencies, employee leasing companies, outside contractors, or consultants. The job openings rate is computed by dividing the number of job openings by the sum of employment and job openings, and multiplying that quotient by l 00. Hires are the total number of additions to the payroll occurring at any time during the reference month, including both new and rehired employees and full-time and part-time, permanent, short-term and seasonal employees, employees recalled to the location after a layoff lasting more than 7 days, oncall or intermittent employees who returned to work after having been formally separated, and transfers from other locations. The hires count does not include transfers or promotions within the reporting site, employees returning from strike, employees of temporary help agencies or employee leasing companies, outside contractors, or consultants. The hires rate is computed by dividing the number of hires by employment, and multiplying that quotient by I00. Separations are the total number of terminations of employment occurring at any time during the reference month, and are reported by type of separation-quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Quits are voluntary separations by employees (except for retirements, which are reported as other separations). Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer and include layoffs with no intent to rehire, formal layoffs lasting or expected to last more than 7 days, discharges resulting from mergers, downsizing, or closings, firings or other discharges for cause, terminations of permanent or short-tenn employees, and terminations of seasonal employees. Other separations include retirements, transfers to other locations, deaths, and separations due to disability. Separations do not include transfers within the same location or employees on strike. The separations rate is computed by dividing the number of separations by employment, and multiplying that quotient by 100. The quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations rates are computed similarly, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dividing the number by employment and multiplying by 100. Notes on the data The JOLTS data series on job openings, hires, and separations are relatively new. The full sample is divided into panels, with one panel enrolled each month. A full complement of panels for the original data series based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system was not completely enrolled in the survey until January 2002. The supplemental panels of establishments needed to create NAICS estimates were not completely enrolled until May 2003. The data collected up until those points are from less than a full sample. Therefore, estimates from earlier months should be used with caution, as fewer sampled units were reporting data at that time. In March 2002, BLS procedures for collecting hires and separations data were revised to address possible underreporting. As a result, JOLTS hires and separations estimates for months prior to March 2002 may not be comparable with estimates for March 2002 and later. The Federal Government reorganization that involved transferring approximately 180,000 employees to the new Department of Homeland Security is not reflected in the JOLTS hires and separations estimates for the Federal Government. The Office of Personnel Management's record shows these transfers were completed in March 2003. The inclusion of transfers in the JOLTS definitions of hires and separations is intended to cover ongoing movements of workers between establishments. The Department of Homeland Security reorganization was a massive onetime event, and the inclusion of these intergovernmental transfers would distort the Federal Government time series. Data users should note that seasonal adjustment of the JOLTS series is conducted with fewer data observations than is customary. The historical data, therefore, may be subject to larger than normal revisions. Because the seasonal patterns in economic data series typically emerge over time, the standard use of moving averages as seasonal filters to capture these effects requires longer series than are currentiy available. As a result, the stable seasonal filter option is used in the seasonal adjustment of the JOLTS data. When calculating seasonal factors, this filter takes an average for each calendar month after detrending the series. The stable seasonal filter assumes that the seasonal factors are fixed; a necessary assumption until sufficient data are avail- able. When the stable seasonal filter is no longer needed, other program features also may be introduced, such as outlier adjustment and extended diagnostic testing. Additionally, it is expected that more series, such as layoffs and discharges and additional industries, may be seasonally adjusted when more data are available. JOLTS hires and separations estimates cannot be used to exactly explain net changes in payroll employment. Some reasons why it is problematic to compare changes in payroll employment with JOLTS hires and separations, especially on a monthly basis, are: (1) the reference period for payroll employment is the pay period including the 12th of the month, while the reference period for hires and separations is the calendar month; and (2) payroll employment can vary from month to month simply because part-time and oncall workers may not always work during the pay period that includes the 12th of the month. Additionally, research has found that some reporters systematically underreport separations relative to hires due to a number of factors, including the nature of their payroll systems and practices. The shortfall appears to be about 2 percent or less over a 12-month period. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, contact the Division of Administrative Statistics and Labor Turnover at (202) 961-5870. Compensation and Wage Data (Tables 1-3; 30-36) Compensation and waged data are gathered by the Bureau from business establishments, State and local governments, labor unions, collective bargaining agreements on file with the Bureau, and secondary sources. Employment Cost Index Description of the series The Employment Cost Index (EC!) is a quarterly measure of the rate of change in compensation per hour worked and includes wages, salaries, and employer costs of employee benefits. It uses a fixed market basket of labor-similar in concept to the Consumer Price Index's fixed market basket of goods and services-to measure change over time in employer costs of employing labor. Statistical series on total compensation Monthly Labor Review February 2005 81 Current Labor Statistics costs, on wages and salaries, and on benefit costs are available for private nonfarm workers excluding proprietors, the self-employed, and household workers. The total compensation costs and wages and salaries series are also available for State and local government workers and for the civilian nonfarm economy, which consists of private industry and State and local government workers combined. Federal workers are excluded. The Employment Cost Index probability sample consists of about 4,400 private nonfarm establishments providing about 23,000 occupational observations and 1,000 State and local government establishments providing 6,000 occupational observations selected to represent total employment in each sector. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data are collected each quarter for the pay period including the 12th day of March, June, September, and December. Beginning with June 1986 data, fixed employment weights from the 1980 Census of Population are used each quarter to calculate the civilian and private indexes and the index for State and local governments. (Prior to June 1986, the employment weights are from the 1970 Census of Population.) These fixed weights, also used to derive all of the industry and occupation series indexes, ensure that changes in these indexes reflect only changes in compensation, not employment shifts among industries or occupations with different le"els of wages and compensation. For the bargaining status, region, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan area series, however, employment data by industry and occupation are not available from the census. Instead, the 1980 employment weights are reallocated within these series each quarter based on the current sample. Therefore, these indexes are not strictly comparable to those for the aggregate, industry, and occupation series. benefits (such as Social Security, workers' compensation, and unemployment insurance). Excluded from wages and salaries and employee benefits are such items as payment-in-kind, free room and board, and tips. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index for changes in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm economy was published beginning in 1975. Changes in total compensation cost-wages and salaries and benefits combined-were published beginning in 1980. The series of changes in wages and salaries and for total compensation in the State and local government sector and in the civilian nonfarm economy (excluding Federal employees) were published beginning in 1981. Historical indexes (June 1981 = I 00) are available on the Internet: http://www.bls.gov/ect/ FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on the Employment Cost Index; contact the Office of Compensation Levels and Trends: (202) 691-6199. Employee Benefits Survey Description of the series Total compensation costs include wages, salaries, and the employer's costs for employee benefits. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, including production bonuses, incentive earnings, commissions, and cost-of-living adjustments. Benefits include the cost to employers for paid leave, supplemental pay (including nonproduction bonuses), insurance, retirement and savings plans, and legally required Employee benefits data are obtained from the Employee Benefits Survey, an annual survey of the incidence and provisions of selected benefits provided by employers. The survey collects data from a sample of approximately 9,000 private sector and State and local government establishments. The data are presented as a percentage of employees who participate in a certain benefit, or as an average benefit provision (for example, the average number of paid holidays provided to employees per year). Selected data from the survey are presented in table 34 for medium and large private establishments and in table 35 for small private establishments and State and local government. The survey covers paid leave benefits such as holidays and vacations, and personal, funeral, jury duty, military, family, and sick leave; short-term disability, long-term disability, and life insurance; medical, dental, and vision care plans; defined benefit and defined contribution plans; flexible benefits plans; reimbursement accounts; and unpaid family leave. Also, data are tabulated on the incidence of several other benefits, such as severance pay, child-care assistance, wellness programs, and employee assistance programs. 82 2005 Definitions Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February Definitions Employer-provided benefits are benefits that are financed either wholly or partly by the employer. They may be sponsored by a union or other third party, as long as there is some employer financing. However, some benefits that are fully paid for by the employee also are included. For example, longterm care insurance and postretirement life insurance paid entirely by the employee are included because the guarantee of insurability and availability at group premium rates are considered a benefit. Participants are workers who are covered by a benefit, whether or not they use that benefit. If the benefit plan is financed wholly by employers and requires employees to complete a minimum length of service for eligibility, the workers are considered participants whether or not they have met the requirement. If workers are required to contribute towards the cost of a plan, they are considered participants only if they elect the plan and agree to make the required contributions. Defined benefit pension plans use predetermined formulas to calculate a retirement benefit (if any), and obligate the employer to provide those benefits. Benefits are generally based on salary, years of service, or both. Defined contribution plans generally specify the level of employer and employee contributions to a plan, but not the formula for determining eventual benefits. Instead, individual accounts are set up for participants, and benefits are based on amounts credited to these accounts. Tax-deferred savings plans are a type of defined contribution plan that allow participants to contribute a portion of their salary to an employer-sponsored plan and defer income taxes until withdrawal. Flexible benefit plans allow employees to choose among several benefits, such as life insurance, medical care, and vacation days, and among several levels of coverage within a given benefit. Notes on the data Surveys of employees in medium and large establishments conducted over the 197986 period included establishments that employed at least 50, 100, or 250 workers, depending on the industry (most service industries were excluded). The survey conducted in 1987 covered only State and local governments with 50 or more employ- ees. The surveys conducted in 1988 and 1989 included medium and large establishments with 100 workers or more in private industries. All surveys conducted over the 1979-89 period excluded establishments in Alaska and Hawaii, as well as part-time employees. Beginning in 1990, surveys of State and local governments and small private establishments were conducted in even-numbered years, and surveys of medium and large establishments were conducted in oddnumbered years. The small establishment survey includes all private nonfarm establishments with fewer than 100 workers, while the State and local government survey includes all governments, regardless of the number of workers. All three surveys include full- and part-time workers, and workers in all 50 States and the District of Columbia. FOK ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on the Employee Benefits Survey, contact the Office of Compensation Levels and Trends on the Internet: http://www.bls.gov/ebs/ Notes on the data This series is not comparable with the one terminated in 1981 that covered strikes involving six workers or more. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on work stoppages data, contact the Office of Compensation and Working Conditions: (202) 691-6282, or the Internet: http:/www.bls.gov/cba/ Price Data (Tables 2; 37-47) Price data are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base periodDecember 2003 = I 00 for many Producer Price Indexes (unless otherwise noted), 198284 = 100 for many Consumer Price Indexes (unless otherwise noted), and 1990 = 100 for International Price Indexes. Consumer Price Indexes Work stoppages Description of the series Description of the series The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPI is calculated monthly for two population groups, one consisting only of urban households whose primary source of income is derived from the employment of wage earners and clerical workers, and the other consisting of all urban households. The wage earner index (CPI -W) is a continuation of the historic index that was introduced well over a halfcentury ago for use in wage negotiations. As new uses were developed for the CPI in recent years, the need for a broader and more representative index became apparent. The all-urban consumer index (CPI-U), introduced in 1978, is representative of the 1993-95 buying habits of about 87 percent of the noninstitutional population of the United States at that time, compared with 32 percent represented in the CPI-W. In addition to wage earners and clerical workers, the CPI-U covers professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors' and dentists' fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items are kept essentially unchanged be- Data on work stoppages measure the number and duration of major strikes or lockouts (involving 1,000 workers or more) occurring during the month (or year), the number of workers involved, and the amount of work time lost because of stoppage. These data are presented in table 36. Data are largely from a variety of published sources and cover only establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect of stoppages on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material shortages or lack of service. Definitions Number of stoppages: The number of strikes and lockouts involving 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Workers involved: The number of workers directly involved in the stoppage. Number of days idle: The aggregate number of workdays lost by workers involved in the stoppages. Days ofidleness as a percent of estimated working time: Aggregate workdays lost as a percent of the aggregate number of standard workdays in the period multiplied by total employment in the period. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tween major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Data collected from more than 23,000 retail establishments and 5,800 housing units in 87 urban areas across the country are used to develop the "U.S. city average." Separate estimates for 14 major urban centers are presented in table 38. The areas listed are as indicated in footnote I to the table. The area indexes measure only the average change in prices for each area since the base period, and do not indicate differences in the level of prices among cities. Notes on the data In January 1983, the Bureau changed the way in which homeownership costs are meaured for the CPI-U. A rental equivalence method replaced the asset-price approach to homeownership costs for that series. In January 1985, the same change was made in the CPI-W. The central purpose of the change was to separate shelter costs from the investment component of homeownership so that the index would reflect only the cost of shelter services provided by owner-occupied homes. An updated CPI-U and CPI-W were introduced with release of the January 1987 and January 1998 data. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION , contact the Division of Prices and Price Indexes: (202) 691-7000. Producer Price Indexes Description of the series Producer Price Indexes (PPI) measure average changes in prices received by domestic producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes currently contains about 3,200 commodities and about 80,000 quotations per month, selected to represent the movement of prices of all commodities produced in the manufacturing; agriculture, forestry, and fishing; mining; and gas and electricity and public utilities sectors. The stageof-processing structure of PP! organizes products by class of buyer and degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude materials). The traditional commodity structure of PP! organizes products by similarity of end use or material composition. The industry and product structure of PP! organizes data in accordance with the 2002 North American Industry Classification System and product codes developed by the U.S. Census Bureau. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 83 Current Labor Statistics To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a voluntary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. Since January I 992, price changes for the various commodities have been averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1987. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability-of-product groupings, and a number of special composite groups. All Producer Price Index data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, contact the Division of Industrial Prices and Price Indexes: (202) 691-7705. International Price Indexes Description of the series pleted during the first week of the month. Survey respondents are asked to indicate all discounts, allowances, and rebates applicable to t!1e reported prices, so that the price used in the calculation of the indexes is the actual price for which the product was bought or sold. In addition to general indexes of prices for U.S. exports and imports, indexes are also published for detailed product categories of exports and imports. These categories are defined according to the five-digit level of detail for the Bureau of Economic Analysis End-use Classification, the three-digit level for the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), and the four-digit level of detail for the Harmonized System. Aggregate import indexes by country or region of origin are also available. BLS publishes indexes for selected categories of internationally traded services, calculated on an international basis and on a balance-of-payments basis. Notes on the data The export and import price indexes are weighted indexes of the Laspeyres type. The trade weights currently used to compute both indexes relate to 2000. Because a price index depends on the same items being priced from period to period, it is necessary to recognize when a product's specifications or terms of transaction have been modified. For this reason, the Bureau's questionnaire requests detailed descriptions of the physical and functional characteristics of the products being priced, as well as information on the number of units bought or sold, discounts, credit terms, packaging, class of buyer or seller, and so forth. When there are changes in either the specifications or terms of transaction of a product, the dollar value of each change is deleted from the total price change to obtain the "pure" change. Once this value is determined, a linking procedure is employed which allows for the continued repricing of the item. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, contact the Division of International Prices: (202) 691-7155. The International Price Program produces monthly and quarterly export and import price indexes for nonmilitary goods and services traded between the United States and the rest of the world. The export price index provides a measure of price change for all products sold by U.S. residents to forfign buyers. ("Residents" is defined as in the national income accounts; it includes corporations, businesses, and individuals , but does not require the organizations to be U.S. owned nor the individuals to have U.S. citizenship.) The import price index provides a measure of price change for goods purchased from other countries by U.S. residents. The product universe for both the import and export indexes includes raw materials, agricultural products, semifinished manufactures, and finished manufactures, including both capital and consumer goods. Price data for these items are collected primarily by mail questionnaire. In nearly all cases, the data are collected directly from the exporter or importer, although in a few cases, prices are obtained from other sources. To the extent possible, the data gathered refer to prices at the U.S. border for exports and at either the foreign border or the U.S. border for imports. For nearly all products , the prices refer to transactions com- The productivity measures relate real out- 84 2005 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February Productivity Data (Tables 2; 48-51) Business and major sectors Description of the series put to real input. As such, they encompass a family of measures which include singlefactor input measures, such as output per hour, output per unit of labor input, or output per unit of capital input, as well as measures of multi factor productivity (output per unit of combined labor and capital inputs). The Bureau indexes show the change in output relative to changes in the various inputs. The measures cover the business, nonfarm business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Corresponding indexes of hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit nonlabor payments, and prices are also provided. Definitions Output per hour of all persons (labor productivity) is the quantity of goods and services produced per hour of labor input. Output per unit of capital services (capital productivity) is the quantity of goods and services produced per unit of capital services input. Multifactor productivity is the quantity of goods and services produced per combined inputs. For private business and private nonfarm business, inputs include labor and capital units. For manufacturing, inputs include labor, capital, energy, nonenergy materials, and purchased business services. Compensation per hour is total compensation divided by hours at work. Total compensation equals the wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans, plus an estimate of these payments for the self-employed (except for nonfinancial corporations in which there are no self-employed). Real compensation per hour is compensation per hour deflated by the change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor costs are the labor compensation costs expended in the production of a unit of output and are derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, interest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from currentdollar value of output and dividing by output. Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments per unit of output. Hours of all persons are the total hours at work of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Labor inputs are hours of all persons adjusted for the effects of changes in the education and experience of the labor force. Capital services are the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock of physical assets-equipment, structures, land, and inventories-weighted by rental prices for each type of asset. force; capital investment; level of output; changes in the utilization of capacity, energy, material, and research and development; the organization of production; managerial skill; and characteristics and efforts of the work force. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this productivity series, contact the Division of Productivity Research: (202) 691-5606. ducing that output. Combined inputs include capital, labor, and intermediate purchases. The measure of capital input represents the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock of physical assets-equipment, structures, land, and inventories. The measure of intermediate purchases is a combination of purchased materials, services, fuels, and electricity. Industry productivity measures Notes on the data Combined units of labor and capital inputs are derived by combining changes in labor and capital input with weights which represent each component's share of total cost. Combined units of labor, capital, energy, materials, and purchased business services are similarly derived by combining changes in each input with weights that represent each input's share of total costs. The indexes for each input and for combined units are based on changing weights which are averages of the shares in the current and preceding year (the Tornquist index-number formula). Notes on the data Business sector output is an annuallyweighted index constructed by excluding from real gross domestic product (GDP) the following outputs: general government, nonprofit institutions, paid employees of private households, and the rental value of owneroccupied dwellings. Nonfarrn business also excludes farming. Private business and private nonfarm business further exclude government enterprises. The measures are supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis. Annual estimates of manufacturing sectoral output are produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes from the Federal Reserve Board are adjusted to these annual output measures by the BLS. Compensation data are developed from data of the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Hours data are developed from data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The productivity and associated cost measures in tables 48-51 describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor and capital inputs involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per unit of input. _A !though these measures relate output to hours and capital services, they do not measure the contributions of labor, capital, or any other specific factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effect of many influences, including changes in technology; shifts in the composition of the labor https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Description of the series The BLS industry productivity indexes measure the relationship between output and inputs for selected industries and industry groups, and thus reflect trends in industry efficiency over time. Industry measures include labor productivity, multifactor productivity, compensation, and unit labor costs. The industry measures differ in methodology and data sources from the productivity measures for the major sectors because the industry measures are developed independently of the National Income and Product Accounts framework used for the major sector measures. The industry measures are compiled from data produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Census Bureau, with additional data supplied by other government agencies, trade associations, and other sources. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this series, contact the Division of Industry Productivity Studies: (202) 691-5618. International Comparisons (Tables 52-54) Labor force and unemployment Description of the series Definitions Output per hour is derived by dividing an index of industry output by an index of labor input. For most industries, output indexes are derived from data on the value of industry output adjusted for price change. For the remaining industries, output indexes are derived from data on the physical quantity of production. The labor input series is based on the hours of all workers or, in the case of some transportation industries, on the number of employees. For most industries, the series consists of t"he hours of all employees. For some trade and services industries, the series also includes the hours of partners, proprietors, and unpaid family workers. Unit labor costs represent the labor compensation costs per unit of output produced, and are derived by dividing an index of labor compensation by an index of output. Labor compensation includes payroll as well as supplemental payments, including both legally required expenditures and payments for voluntary programs. Multifactor productivity is derived by dividing an index of industry output by an index of combined inputs consumed in pro- Tables 52 and 53 present comparative measures of the labor force, employment, and unemployment approximating U.S. concepts for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, and six European countries. The labor force statistics published by other industrial countries are not, in most cases, comparable to U.S. concepts. Therefore, the Bureau adjusts the figures for selected countries, for all known major definitional differences, to the extent that data to prepare adjustments are available. Although precise comparability may not be achieved, these adjusted figures provide a better basis for international comparisons than the figures regularly published by each country. For further information on adj us tmen ts and comparability issues, see Constance Sorrentino, ·'International unemployment rates: how comparable are they?" Monthly Labor Review, June 2000, pp. 3-20 (available on the BLS Web site at http:// www.bls.gov/opu b/mlr/2000/06/ artlfull.pdf). Definitions For the principal U.S. definitions of the labor force, employment, and unemployment, see the Notes section on Employment and Monthly Labor Review February 2005 85 Current Labor Statistics Unemployment Data: Household survey data. The foreign country data are adjusted as closely as possible to U.S. concepts, with the exception of lower age limits and the treatment of layoffs. These adjustments include, but are not limited to: including older persons in the labor force by imposing no upper age limit, adding unemployed students to the unemployed, excluding the military and family workers working fewer than 15 hours from the employed, and excluding persons engaged in passive job search from the unemployed. Data for the United States relate to the population 16 years of age and older. The U.S. concept of the working age population has no upper age limit. The adjusted to U.S. conrepts statistics have been adapted, insofar as possible, to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country, and the Swedish statistics have been adjusted to include persons older than the Swedish upper age limit of 64 years. The adjusted statistics presented here relate to the population 16 years of age and older in France, Sweden, and the United Kingdom; 15 years of age and older in Australia, Japan, Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands. An exception to this rule is that the Canadian statistics are adjusted to cover the population I 6 years of age and older, whereas the age at which compulsory schooling ends remains at 15 years. In the labor force participation rates and employmentpopulation ratios, the denominator is the civilian noninstitutionalized working age population, except that the institutionalized working age population is included in Japan and Germany. In the United States, the unemployed include persons who are not employed and who were actively seeking work during the reference period, as well as persons on layoff. Persons waiting to start a new job who were actively seeking work during the reference period are counted as unemployed under U.S. concepts; if they were not actively seeking work, they are not counted in the labor force. In some countries, persons on layoff are classified as employed due to their strong job attachment. No adjustment is made for the countries that classify those on layoff as employed. In the United States, as inA11stralia and Japan, passive job seekers are not in the labor force; job search must be active, such as placing or answering advertisements, contacting employers directly,or registering with an employment agency (simply reading ads is not enough to qualify as active search). Canada and the European countries classify passive jobseekers as unemployed. An adjustment is made to exclude them in Canada, but not in the European countries where the phenomenon is less prevalent. Persons waiting to start a new job are counted among the unemployed for all other countries, whether or not they were actively seeking work. The figures for one or more recent years for France, Germany, and the Netherlands are calculated using adjustment factors based on labor force surveys for earlier years and are considered preliminary. The recent year measures for these countries are therefore subject to revision whenever more current labor force surveys become available. There are breaks in series for the United States (1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2003), Australia (2001), and Germany (1999). For the United States, beginning in 1994, data are not strictly comparable for prior years because of the introduction of a major redesign of the labor force survey questionnaire and collection methodology. The redesign effect has been estimated to increase the overall unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point. Other breaks noted relate to changes in population controls that had virtually no effect on unemployment rates. For a description of all the changes in the U.S. labor force survey over time and their impact, see Historical Comparability in the ·'Household Data" section of the BLS publication Employment and Earnings (available on the BLS Web site at http://www.bls.gov/ cps/eetech_methods.pdf). For Australia, the 2001 break reflects the introduction in April 2001 of a redesigned labor force survey that allowed for a closer application of International Labor Office guidelines for the definitions of labor force statistics. The Australian Bureau of Statistics revised their data so there is no break in the employment series. However, the reclassification of persons who had not actively looked for work because they were waiting to begin a new job from "not in the labor force" to "unemployed" could only be incorporated for April 2001 forward. This reclassification diverges from the U.S. definition where persons waiting to start a new job but not actively seeking work are not counted in the labor force. The impact of the reclassification was an increase in the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point in 2001. For Germany, the 1999 break reflects the incorporation of an improved method of data calculation and a change in coverage to persons living in private households only. For further qualifications and historical data, see Comparative Civilian Labor Force Statistics, Ten Countries, on the BLS Web site at http://www.bis.gov/fls/flslforc. pdf 86 2005 Notes on the data Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this series, contact the Division of Foreign Labor Statistics: (202) 691-5654 or flshelp@bls.gov Manufacturing productivity and labor costs Description of the series Table 54 presents comparative indexes of manufacturing labor productivity (output per hour), output, total hours, compensation per hour, and unit labor costs for the United States, Australia, Canada, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and nine European countries. These measures are trend comparisons-that is, series that measure changes over time-rather than level comparisons. There are greater technical problems in comparing the levels of manufacturing output among economies. BLS constructs the comparative indexes from three basic aggregate measures--output, total labor hours, and total compensation. The hours and compensation measures refer to all employed persons (wage and salary earners plus self-employed persons and unpaid family workers) with the exception ofBelguim and Taiwan, where only employees (wage and salary earners) are counted. Definitions Output, in general, refers to value added in manufacturing from the national accounts of each country. However, the output series for Japan prior to 1970 is an index of industrial production, and the national accounts measures for the United Kingdom are essentially identical to their indexes of industrial production. The output data for the United States are the gross product originating (value added) measures prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Comparable manufacturing output data currently are not available prior to 1977. U.S. data from 1998 forward are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Output is in real value-added terms using a chain-type annual-weighted method for price deflation. (For more information on the U.S. measure, see "Improved Estimates of Gross Product by Industry for 1947-98," Survey of Current Business, June 2000, and "Improved Annual Industry Accounts for 1998-2003," Survey of Current Business, June 2004). Most of the other economies now also use annual moving price weights, but earlier years were estimated using fixed price weights, with the weights typically updated every 5 or 10 years. To preserve the comparability of the U.S. measures with those for other economies, BLS uses gross product originating in manufacturing for the United States for these comparative measures. The gross product originating series differs from the manufacturing output series that BLS publishes in its news releases on quarterly measures of U.S. productivity and costs (and that underlies the measures that appear in tables 48 and 50 in this section). The quarterly measures are on a "sectoral output" basis, rather than a valueadded basis. Sectoral output is gross output less intrasector transactions. Total labor hours refers to hours worked in all economies. The measures are developed from statistics of manufacturing employment and average hours. The series used for Australia, Canada, Demark, France (from 1970 forward), Norway, and Sweden are official series published with the national accounts. For Germany, BLS uses estimates of average hours worked developed by a research institute connected to the Ministry of Labor for use with the national accounts employment figures. For the United Kingdom from 1992, an official annual index of total manufacturing hours is used. Where official total hours series are not available, the measures are developed by BLS using employment figures published with the national accounts, or other comprehensive employment series, and estimates of annual hours worked. Total compensation (labor cost) includes all payments in cash or in-kind made directly to employees plus employer expenditures for legally-required insurance programs and contractual and private benefit plans. The measures are from the national accounts of each economy, except those for Belgium, which are developed by BLS using statistics on employment, average hours, and hourly compensation. For Australia, Canada, France, and Sweden, comrensation is increased to account for other significant taxes on payroll or employment. For the United Kingdom, compensation is reduced between 1967 and 1991 to account for employment-related subsidies. Self-employed workers are included in the all-employed-persons measures by assuming that their compensation is equal to the average for wage and salary employees. mining as well. The measures for recent years may be based on current indicators of manufacturing output (such as industrial production indexes), employment, average hours, and hourly compensation until national accounts and other statistics used for the long-term measures become available. Official published data for Australia are in fiscal years that begin on July 1. The Australian Bureau of Statistics has finished calendar-year data for recent years for output and hours. For earlier years and for compensation, data are BLS estimates using 2year moving averages of fiscal year data. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on this series, contact the Division of Foreign Labor Statistics: (202) 691-5654. Occupational Injury and Illness Data (Tables 55-56) Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses Description of the series The Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses collects data from employers about their workers' job-related nonfatal injuries and illnesses. The information that employers provide is based on records that they maintain under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. Self-employed individuals, farms with fewer than 11 employees, employers regulated by other Federal safety and health laws, and Federal, State, and local government agencies are excluded from the survey. The survey is a Federal-State cooperative program with an independent sample selected for each participating State. A stratified random sample with a Neyman allocation is selected to represent all private industries in the State. The survey is stratified by Standard Industrial Classification and size of employment. Definitions Notes on the data In general, the measures relate to total manufacturing as defined by the International Standard Industrial Classification. However, the measures for France include parts of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Under the Occupational Safety and Health Act, employers maintain records of nonfatal work-related injuries and illnesses that involve one or more of the following: loss of consciousness, restriction of work or motion, transfer to another job, or medical treatment other than first aid. Occupational injury is any injury such as a cut, fracture, sprain, or amputation that results from a work-related event or a single, instantaneous exposure in the work environment. Occupational illness is an abnormal condition or disorder, other than one resulting from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to factors associated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or disease which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, ingestion, or direct contact. Lost workday injuries and illnesses are cases that involve days away from work, or days of restricted work activity, or both. Lost workdays include the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which the employee was either away from work or at work in some restricted capacity, or both, because of an occupational injury or illness. BLS measures of the number and incidence rate of lost workdays were discontinued beginning with the 1993 survey. The number of days away from work or days of restricted work activity does not include the day of injury or onset of illness or any days on which the employee would not have worked, such as a Federal holiday, even though able to work. Incidence rates are computed as the number of injuries and/or illnesses or lost work days per 100 full-time workers. Notes on the data The definitions of occupational injuries and illnesses are from Recordkeeping Guidelines for Occupational Injuries and Illnesses (U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, September 1986). Estimates are made for industries and employment size classes for total recordable cases, lost workday cases, days away from work cases, and nonfatal cases without lost workdays. These data also are shown separately for injuries. Illness data are available for seven categories: occupational skin diseases or disorders, dust diseases of the lungs, respiratory conditions due to toxic agents, poisoning (systemic effects of toxic agents), disorders due to physical agents (other than toxic materials), disorders associated with repeated trauma, and all other occupational illnesses. The survey continues to measure the number of new work-related illness cases which are recognized, diagnosed, and reported during the year. Some conditions, for example, long-term latent illnesses caused by exposure to carcinogens, often are difficult to relate to the workplace and are not adequately recog- Monthly Labor Review February 2005 87 Current Labor Statistics nized and reported. These long-term latent illnessc:; are believed to be understated in the survey's illness measure. In contrast, the overwhelming majority of the reported new illnesses are those which are easier to directly relate to workplace activity (for example, contact dermatitis and carpal tunnel syndrome). Most of the estimates are in the form of incidence rates, defined as the number of injuries and illnesses per l 00 equivale11t fulltime workers. For this purpose, 200,000 employee hours represent 100 employee years (2,000 hours per employee). Full detail on the available measures is presented in the annual bulletin, Occupational Injuries and Illnesses: Counts, Rates, and Characteristics. Comparable data for more than 40 States and territories are available from the BLS Office of Safety, Health and Working Conditions. Many of these States publish data on State and local government employees in addition to private industry data. · Mining and railroad data are furnished to BLS by the Mine Safety and Health Administration and the Federal Railroad Administration. Data from these organizations are included in both the national and State data published annually. With the 1992 survey, BLS began publishing details on serious, nonfatal incidents resulting in days away from work. Included are some major characteristics of the injured and ill workers, such as occupation, age, gender, race, and length of service, as well as the circumstances of their injuries and illness..::s (nature of the disabling condition, part of body affected, event and exposure, and the source directly producing the condition). In general, The Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries compiles a complete roster of fatal job-related injuries, including detailed data about the fatally injured workers and the fatal events. The program collects and cross checks fatality information from multiple sources, including death certificates, State and Federal workers' compensation reports, Occupational Safety and Health Administration and Mine Safety and Health Administration records, medical examiner and autopsy reports, media accounts, State motor vehicle fatality records, and follow-up questionnaires to employers. In addition to private wage and salary workers, the self-employed, family members, and Federal, State, and local government workers are covered by the program. To be included in the fatality census, the decedent must have been employed (that is working for pay, compensation, or profit) at the time of the event, engaged in a legal work activity, or present at the site of the incident as a requirement of his or her job. 88 2005 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February these data are available nationwide for detailed industries and for individual States at more aggregated industry levels. FOR ADDmONAL INFORMATION on occupational injuries and illnesses, contact the Office of Occupational Safety, Health and Working Conditions at (202) 691-6180, or access the Internet at: http://www.bls.gov/iif/ Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries Definition A fatal work injury is any intentional or unintentional wound or damage to the body resulting in death from acute exposure to energy, such as heat or electricity, or kinetic energy from a crash, or from the absence of such essentials as heat or oxygen caused by a specific event or incident or series of events within a single workday or shift. Fatalities that occur during a person's commute to or from work are excluded from the census, as well as work-related illnesses, which can be difficult to identify due to long latency periods. Notes on the data Twenty-eight data elements are collected, coded, and tabulated in the fatality program, including information about the fatally injured worker, the fatal incident, and the machinery or equipment involved. Summary worker demographic data and event characteristics are included in a national news release that is available about 8 months after the end of the reference year. The Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries was initiated in 1992 as a joint Federal-State effort. Most States issue summary information at the time of the national news release. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION on the Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries contact the BLS Office of Safety, Health, and Working Conditions at (202) 691-6175, or the Internet at: http://www.bls.gov/iif/ 1. Labor market indicators 2003 Selected Indicators 2002 2004 2003 IV II 2004 Ill IV II Ill IV Employment data Employment status of the civilian noninstitutional population (household survey) : 1 I Labor force participation rate ........ ............. .. Employment-population ratio ..... . Unemployment rate ..... Men .. 16 to 24 years ..... . 25 years and older ... Women ..... 16 to 24 years 25 years and older EmpIuy1ne11t, nonfarm (payroll data), in thousands: 66.2 62.3 66.0 62.3 66.4 66.3 66.4 62.4 62.3 66.2 62.1 66.1 62.2 66.0 62.2 66.0 62.3 66.0 62.4 66.0 62.5 6.0 5.5 5.9 5.8 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 6.3 13.4 5.6 6.1 6.1 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.7 5.7 12.6 12.5 12.8 13.9 13.7 13.0 12.6 12.9 5.6 12.5 5.6 12.6 5.0 4.4 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.1 4 .9 4.5 4.5 4.4 4 .3 5.7 5.4 5.7 11.8 5.8 11.5 5.6 10.9 5.6 11.1 5.4 10.9 5.2 11.0 5.5 11.2 5.3 11.4 5.6 11.4 10.9 10.9 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 62.4 1 Total nonfarm ........................................... . 129,931 131,481 108,664 130,047 129,878 130,002 130,367 131 ,125 131,731 132,294 108,356 109,863 108,654 108,428 108,309 108,260 108,453 108,986 109,737 110,095 110,593 Goods-producing 21,817 21,885 22,252 22,025 21,848 21,718 21,676 21,725 21,868 21,932 21,995 Manufacturing. 14,525 14,329 14,979 14,775 14,570 14,410 14,340 14,285 14,338 14,353 14,337 Service-providing 108,114 109,597 107,995 108,022 108,030 108,102 108,326 108,816 109,457 109,799 110,300 Total private. 129,820 Average hours: Total private Manufacturing . Overtime ................ .. ....... . Employment Cost lndex 33.7 33.7 33.8 33.8 33.7 33.6 33.7 33.8 33.7 33.7 33.8 40.4 4.2 40.8 4.6 40.4 4 .2 40.4 40.2 4.2 4.1 40.2 4.1 40 .6 4.4 41 .0 4 .5 40.8 4.5 40.8 4.6 40 .6 4 .5 2 Percent change in the ECI, compensation: All workers (excluding farm, household and Federal workers) Private industry workers ..... Goods-producing3 .... 3 Service-providing .. State and local government workers Workers by bargaining status (private industry): Union Nonunion 1 2 3.8 4.0 .6 1.4 .5 1.4 .9 1.0 .4 1.5 .9 1.0 .8 .5 1.7 .8 .8 1.1 .4 4.0 .9 1.8 .9 .7 .5 2.3 .9 .9 .6 4.0 .2 1.5 .8 1.1 .5 1.1 1.0 .8 .3 3.3 .9 .7 .4 1.7 .5 .7 .4 1.7 .6 4.6 .9 1.6 1.2 1.0 .7 2.8 1.5 .8 .5 3.9 ! .4 1.6 .8 1.0 .4 1.3 .8 .9 .4 .5 Quarterly data seasonally adjusted. NOTE: Annual changes are December-to-December changes. Quarterly changes are calculated controls. Nonfarm data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Beginning in January 2003, household survey data reflect revised population using the last month of each quarter. Industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) 3 system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with sic-based data. Goods-producing industries include mining, construction, and manufacturing. Service- providing industries include all other private sector industries. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dash indiates data not available Monthly Labor Review February 2005 89 Current Labor Statistics: Comparative Indicators 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity Selected measures 2002 2004 2003 2003 2004 Ill II IV II IV Ill IV 12 Compensation data ' Employment Cost Index-compensation (wages, salaries. benefits): Civilian nonfarm ................................................................. . Private nonfarm ............................................................. . Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries: Civilian nonfarm ........................ ....... ..... ........ ..... .... .. Private nonfarm ......................................... ................. .. Price data 3.8 4.0 0.6 .4 1.4 1.7 0.8 .8 1.1 1.0 0.5 .4 1.4 1.5 0.9 .9 1.0 .8 0.5 .5 2.9 3.0 .4 .3 1.0 1.1 .6 .7 .9 .8 .3 .4 .6 .7 .6 .7 .9 .9 .3 .2 1 Consumer Price Index (All Urban Consumers): All Items ...... 2.3 3.3 -.1 1.8 -.3 - .2 -.2 1.2 1.2 .2 .2 3.2 4.2 .4 4.6 25.2 4.1 4.6 2.4 9.1 18.0 -.1 -.3 .6 .1 6.5 3.7 2.4 .6 6.5 28.0 -.8 1.8 -.6 -2.1 -10.6 .3 .3 -.1 -.1 3.4 .0 .0 .0 .0 14.4 1.2 1.5 .6 2.5 6.0 1.2 1.4 .5 3.0 7.6 .0 -1.7 .4 1.9 -5.1 1.1 .9 1.6 .9 8.3 4.5 4.4 5.4 4.0 4.1 1.2 1.6 3.4 3.9 3.7 3.2 7.6 6.7 9.1 8.5 9.0 9.4 2.4 3.1 5.0 3.9 3.7 1.5 3.9 2.7 2.3 1.9 2.5 .8 Producer Price Index: Finished goods .............................................................. ..... . Finished consumer goods ............................................... . Capital equipment. ................................................. . Intermediate materials, supplies, and components ........ ... . Crude materials ................................................................... . Productivity data 3 Output per hour of all persons: Business sector .................................................................... Nonfarm business sector ..................................................... . Nonfinancial cornorations 4 .. 2 .1 3 ' Annual changes are December-to-December changes. Quarterly changes are calculated using the last month of each quarter. Compensation and price data are not seasonally adjusted, and the price data are not compounded. Annual rates of change are computed by comparing annual averages. Quarterly percent changes reflect annual rates of change in quarterly indexes. The data are seasonally adjusted. 4 Excludes Federal and private household workers. Output per hour of all employees. NOTE: Dash indicates data not available. 3. Alternative measures of wage and compensation changes Quarterly change 2003 Components Four quarters ending- 2004 II IV 2003 Ill IV 2004 II IV Ill IV 1 Average hourly compensation: All persons, business sector ......... .. ............. ............ .................... . All persons, nonfarm business sector. ......................................... . 4.0 4.4 2.8 2.0 5.2 5.9 3.8 3.5 4.2 3.1 5.3 5.4 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.6 .5 .7 .4 .5 1.4 1.5 2.8 1.3 .7 .9 .9 1.5 .8 .4 1.0 .8 .8 .9 1.7 .5 .5 .5 .4 .6 3.8 4.0 4.6 3.9 3.3 3.8 3.9 5.7 3.6 3.3 3.9 1 4.0 6.0 3.5 3.4 3.8 3.7 5.8 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.8 5.6 3.4 3.5 .3 .4 .6 .2 .4 .6 .7 .6 .7 .4 .6 .7 1.0 .6 .2 .9 .9 .8 .8 1.0 .3 .2 .4 .2 .5 2.9 3.0 2.4 3.1 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.9 2.5 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.1 Employment Cost Index-compensation: 2 Civilian nonfarm .. .............. . .. . ............... ...... .... ..•.... Private nonfarm ........................................................................ . Union ..................................................................................... . Nonunion ... .. .... ....................................................................... State and local governments .................................................... . .4 Employment Cost Index-wages and salaries: 2 Civilian nonfarm ........................................ . Private nonfarm .......................................... .............. ........... .... . Union ..................................................................................... . Nonunion ................................................................................ State and local governments .................................................... . 90 1 Seasonally adjusted. "Quarterly average" is percent change from a quarter ago, at an annual rate. 2 Excludes Federal and household workers. Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 4. Employment status of the population, by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adJusted [Numbers in thousands] Employment status 2004 Annual average 2003 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 221,168 146,510 66.2 137,736 223,357 147,401 66.0 139,252 222,509 146,808 66.0 138,409 222,161 146,785 66.1 138,481 222,357 146,529 65.9 138,334 222,550 146,737 65.9 138,408 222,757 146,788 65.9 138,645 222,967 147,018 65.9 138,846 223,196 223,422 223,677 223,941 224,192 224,422 224,640 147,386 66.0 139,158 147,823 66.2 139,639 147,676 66.0 139,658 147,531 65.9 139,527 147,893 66.0 139,827 148,313 66.1 140,293 148,203 66.0 140,1 56 TOTAL Civilian noninstitutional 1 population .. Civilian labor force ....... .... . Participation rate ... ...... Employed .. .... ...... .... ... .. Employment -pop2 ulation ratio .. . Unemployed ................... Unemployment rate ... Not in the labor force ..... 62.3 62 .3 62.2 62 .3 62.2 62 .1 62.2 62.2 62.3 62 .5 62.4 62.3 62.4 62 .5 62.4 8,774 6.0 74,658 8,149 5.5 75,956 8,399 5.7 75,701 8,303 5.7 75,377 8,195 5.6 75,828 8,330 5.7 75,812 8,143 5.6 75,969 8,172 5.6 75,950 8,228 5.6 75,809 8,184 5.5 75,599 8,018 5.4 76,001 8,005 5.5 76,410 8,066 5.4 76,299 8,020 5.5 76,109 8,047 5.4 76,437 98,272 99,476 98,927 98,866 98,966 99,065 99,170 99,279 99,396 99,512 99,642 99,776 99,904 100,017 99,476 74 ,623 75.9 70,415 75,364 75.8 71,572 75,103 75.9 71,135 75,139 76.0 71,283 74,854 75.6 71,014 75,035 75.7 71,158 74,908 75.5 71 ,158 75,095 75.6 71,226 75,631 75.8 71,575 75,567 75.9 71 ,830 75,615 75.9 71,847 75,462 75.6 71,701 75,632 75.7 71 ,895 75,866 75.9 71,134 75,754 75.7 72 ,020 71.7 71.9 3,791 5.0 24,113 71.9 71.8 3,840 5.1 24,112 71 .8 3,877 5.2 24 ,029 71 .8 3,751 5.0 24,261 72.0 71 .9 72.0 3,869 5.2 24 ,184 3,786 5.0 24,035 72.2 3,737 4.9 23,945 72.1 3,968 5.3 23,824 72.1 3,856 5.1 23,726 71 .7 4,209 5.6 23,649 3,768 5.0 24,026 3,761 5.0 24,314 3,736 4.9 24,272 72.1 3,733 4.9 24,151 3,733 4.9 24,372 106,800 107,658 107,404 107,131 107,216 107,299 107,389 107,483 107,586 107,687 107,801 107,920 108,032 108,129 107,658 64 ,716 60 .6 61,402 64,923 60 .3 61 ,773 64,743 60.3 61 ,523 64,475 60.2 61 ,237 64,636 60.3 61,456 64,723 60 .3 61,424 64 ,776 60.3 61,591 64,803 60.3 61 ,723 64,989 60 .4 61,731 65,085 60.4 61 ,902 64,909 60 .2 61 ,877 65,008 60.2 61 ,939 65,126 60 .3 62,024 65 ,244 60 .3 62,145 65,260 60 .3 62,208 Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional 1 population .. .... .. .. .......... ... Civilian labor force ... ... ....... Participation rate .... Employed ...................... Employment-pop2 ulation ratio ... Unemployed · · ···· ··· ·· Unemployment rate .... Not in the labor force .... ... 71.9 Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional 1 population .. Civilian labor force .... .... .... . Parti cipation rate ......... Employed ...................... Employment-pop2 ulation ratio ... Unemployed ......... .......... Unemployment rate .... Not in the labor force .. 57.5 57.4 57.3 57 .2 57.3 57.2 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.5 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.5 57.5 3,314 5.1 42,083 3,150 4.9 42,735 3,302 5.1 42,661 3,238 5.6 42,657 3,179 4.9 42,580 3,299 5.1 42,576 3,185 409.0 42 ,613 3,080 4.8 42,680 3,259 5.0 42,597 3,183 4.9 42 ,603 3,032 4.7 42 ,892 3,069 4.7 42 ,912 3,102 4.8 42 ,906 3,099 4.7 42 ,885 3,051 4.7 42,961 16,096 16,222 16,178 16,164 16,175 16,186 16,198 16,205 16,214 16,222 16,234 16,246 16,257 16,293 16,222 7,170 44.5 5,919 7,1 14 43.9 5,907 6,961 43.0 5,836 7,171 44.4 5,962 7,039 43.5 5,864 6,979 43.1 5,825 7,104 43.9 5,897 7,120 43.9 5,896 7,036 43.4 5,853 7,172 44.2 5,907 7,152 44.1 5,934 7,062 43.5 5,887 7,165 43.9 5,908 7,202 44.2 6,014 7,189 44.1 5,927 36.9 1,209 16.9 8,993 36.3 1,175 16.7 9,136 36.0 36.4 36.4 36.1 36.4 36.6 36.2 36.3 36 .9 1,154 16.5 9,207 1,207 17.0 9,094 1,223 17.2 9,086 1,184 16.8 9,178 1,265 17.6 9,051 1,217 17.0 9,082 1,175 16.6 9,184 1,227 17.2 9,122 1,188 16.5 9,074 36.4 1,262 17.6 9,104 Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional 1 population . . Civilian labor force ... Participation rate ... Employed ...... ........ ........ Employment-pop2 ulation ratio . .. Unemployed ....... ......... Unemployment rate .... Not in the labor force .. White 36.8 36.4 36.1 1,251 17.5 8,926 1,208 17.0 9,108 1,125 16.2 9,235 181,292 182,643 182,185 181,879 182,00, 182,121 182,252 182,384 182,531 182,676 182,846 183,022 183,188 183,340 183,483 120,546 66.5 114,235 121,686 66.3 115,239 120,703 66.3 114,626 120,743 66.2 114,771 120,590 66.3 114,615 120,598 66.2 114,500 120,713 66.2 114,779 120,997 66.3 115,006 121,212 66.4 115,199 121,383 66.4 115,610 121,278 66.3 115,526 120,995 66.1 115,318 121 ,273 66.2 115,618 121,606 66.3 115,966 121,509 66.2 115,910 63.0 6,311 5.2 60,746 63.1 5,847 4.8 61 ,558 62.9 6,077 5.0 61,482 63.1 5,972 4.9 61 ,136 63.0 5,975 5.0 61,411 62.9 6,098 5.1 61,522 63.0 5,934 4.9 61,539 63.1 5,991 5.0 61 ,387 63.1 6,013 5.0 61,319 63.3 5,773 4.8 61,293 63.2 5,752 4.7 61,568 63.0 5,677 4.7 62 ,027 63.1 5,655 4.7 61,915 63.3 5,640 4.6 61,735 63.2 5,600 4.6 61 ,973 25,686 26,065 25,894 25,827 25,900 25,932 25,967 26,002 26,040 26,078 26,120 26,163 26,204 26,239 26,273 16,526 64.3 14,739 16,638 63.8 14,909 16,362 63.2 14,697 16,603 64.2 14,875 16,427 63.4 14,825 16,603 64.0 14,917 16,505 63.6 14,893 16,480 63.4 14,837 16,521 63.4 14,825 16,775 64.3 14,937 16,721 64.0 14,972 16,711 63.9 14,981 16,820 62.4 15,012 16,728 63.8 14,913 16,713 63.6 14,907 57.5 1,728 10.4 9,264 57.3 1,598 9.7 9,473 57 .5 1,685 10.2 9,330 57.4 57.1 1,642 10.0 9,523 56.9 1,696 10.3 9,520 57.3 57.3 1,838 11.0 9,303 1,749 10.5 9,399 57.3 1,730 10.4 9,452 57 .3 1,808 10.7 9,384 56.8 1,612 9.8 9,462 1,814 10.8 9,512 56.7 1,806 10.8 9,559 3 Civilian noninst itutional 1 population .. Civilian labor force .... .... ..... Participation rate ..... Employed ................ ..... Employment-pop2 ulation ratio . .. Unemployed. .......... Unemployment rate .. Not in the labor force .. Black or African American 3 Civilian noninstitutional 1 population .. Civilian labor force .............. Participation rate .... ..... Employed ........ ......... .. .. Employment-pop2 ulation ratio Unemployed .... ... .... .. .. Unemployment rate ... Not in the labor force .... 57.4 57.2 56.8 1,787 10.8 9,161 1,729 10.4 9,4?.8 1,665 10.2 9,559 See footnotes at end of table . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 91 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 4. Continued-Employme nt status of the population, by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Annual average Employment status 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 27,551 18,813 68.3 17,372 28,109 19,272 68.6 17,930 28,116 19,051 68.7 17,794 27,619 18,849 68.2 17,476 27,705 18,702 67.f17,315 27,791 19,036 68.5 17,633 27,879 19,081 68 .4 17,724 27,968 19,297 69.0 17,959 28,059 19,302 68.8 18,013 28,150 19,432 69.0 18,102 28,243 19,463 68.9 18,128 28,338 19,444 68.6 18,079 28,431 19,524 68.7 18,213 28,520 19,552 68.6 18,238 28,608 19,544 68.3 18,252 63.1 1,441 7.7 8,738 63.8 1,342 7.0 8,837 63.3 1,257 6.6 9,065 63 .3 1,373 7.3 8,770 62 .5 1,387 7.4 9,003 63.5 1,403 7.4 8,755 63.6 1,358 7.1 8,797 64 .2 1,338 6.9 8,671 64.2 1,289 6.7 8,756 64.3 1,330 6.8 8,717 64.2 1,335 6.9 8,780 63.8 1,366 7.0 8,894 64.1 1,311 6.7 8,907 63.9 1,313 6.7 8,968 63.8 1,292 6.6 9,064 Hispanic or Latino ethnicity Civilian noninstitutional 1 oooulation . . . . . ' . . . . . . . Civilian labor force ........... Participation rate .... .... Employed ... ........... ......... Employment-pop2 ulation ratio ••••.•••••••. Unemployed ................... Unemployment rate .. . Not in the labor force ......... 1 The population figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. 3 Beginning in 2003, persons who selected this race group only; persons who selected more man one race group are not included. Prior to 2003, persons who reported more than one race were included in the group they identified as the main race. NOTE: Estimates for the above race groups (white and black or African American) do not sum to totals because data are not presented for all races . In addition, persons whose ethnicity is identified as Hispanic or Latino may be of any race and, therefore, are classified by ethnicity as well as by race. Beginning in January 2003, data reflect revised population controls used in the household survey. 5. Selected employment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted [In thousands] Selected categories Annual average 2003 2004 137,736 73,332 64,404 139,252 74,524 64,728 Married men, spouse present. ........... ..... . 44,653 Married women, spouse present ..................... 34,695 Characteristic Employed , 16 years and over .. Men ............. .................... ..... Women ... ............. .......... ... 2003 Dec. 2004 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 138,409 74,122 64 ,286 168,481 74,284 64,197 138,334 73,937 64 ,397 138,408 74,062 64,345 138,645 74,104 64,541 138,846 74,118 64,728 139,158 74,501 64,658 139,639 74,811 64,828 139,658 74,824 64 ,834 139,527 74 ,629 64 ,898 139,827 74,852 64,975 140,293 75,188 65,104 140,156 74 ,938 65,218 45,084 45,383 45,443 45 ,044 45,000 44,759 44 ,763 44,958 44 ,948 45,099 45 ,093 45 ,127 45,462 45,315 34 ,600 34,897 34,546 34,481 34 ,283 34,375 34,536 34,487 34,607 34,494 34,704 34 ,808 34,961 34,878 Persons at work part time' All industries: Part time for economic reasons ............ Slack work or business conditions .................... Could only find part-time work .......... ... .... .. Part time for noneconomic noneconomic reasons ... .. Nonagricultural industries: Part time for economic reasons ... .. .. ... .. .. ..... Slack work or business conditions ....... ............. Could only find part-time work ... ...................... Part time for noneconomic reasons ..... ....... ....... . .... 1 4,701 4,567 4,782 4,703 4,445 4,708 4,557 4,634 4,504 4,488 4,509 4,476 4,762 4,533 4,474 3,118 2,841 3 ,197 2,972 2,841 2,984 2,813 2,845 2,801 2,642 2,816 2,805 3,052 2,761 2,735 1,279 1,409 1,305 1,400 1,363 1,430 1,431 1,449 1,400 1,472 1,403 1,312 1,385 1,420 1,440 19,014 19,380 18,656 18,986 19,020 19,091 19,130 19,570 19,564 19,737 19,657 19,410 19,704 19,499 19,502 4,596 4,469 4,704 4,604 4,335 4,595 4,451 4,567 4,423 4,390 4,408 4,400 4,656 4,404 4,382 3,052 2,773 3, 149 2,894 2,768 2,899 2,747 2,801 2,753 2,580 2,722 2,750 2,971 2,685 2,682 1,272 1,405 1,350 1,415 1,425 1,458 1,382 1,484 1,388 1,320 1,363 1,396 1,397 18,416 18,711 18,775 18,791 18,844 19,145 19,123 19,327 19,204 19,061 19,288 19,141 19,176 1,264 18,658 1,399 1 19,026 Excludes persons "with a job but not at work" during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. NOTE: Beginning in January 2003, data reflect revised population controls used in the household survey. 92 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 6. Selected unemployment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] Annual average Selected categories 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Characteristic Total, 16 years and older. .. ... ... ..... ......... .... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .................... Men, 20 years and older ..... .. .... ...... ... .... Women, 20 years and older. .............. .... 6.0 17.5 5.6 5.1 5.5 17.0 5.0 4.9 5.7 16.2 5.3 5.1 5.7 16.9 5.1 5.0 5.6 16.7 5.1 4.9 5.7 16.5 5.2 5.1 5.5 17.0 5.0 4.9 5.6 17.2 5.2 4.8 5.6 16.8 5.0 5.0 5.5 17.6 4.9 4.9 5.4 17.0 5.0 4.7 5.4 16.6 5.0 4.7 5.5 17.2 4.9 4.8 5.4 16.5 4.9 4.7 5.4 17.6 4.9 4.7 Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .... ........... Men, 16 to 19 years .... .............. .... . Women, 16 to 19 years ............ ...... Men, 20 years and older. ............... ... Women, 20 years and older ....... ....... 5.2 15.2 17.1 13.3 5.0 4.4 4.8 15.0 16.3 13.6 4.4 4.2 5.0 14.7 17.0 13.3 4.7 4.3 4.9 14.1 14.0 14.2 4.5 4 .4 5.0 15.3 15.6 15.1 4.6 4.2 5.1 14.8 16.3 13.3 4.7 4.4 4.9 15.7 17.8 13.3 4.5 4.2 5.0 15.6 18.5 12.7 4.7 4.1 5.0 14.8 16.2 13.3 4.5 4 .4 4.8 14.9 15.5 14.2 4.3 4.2 4.7 15.4 15.8 15.0 4 .4 4.0 4.7 14.7 15.9 13.5 4.3 4.0 4.7 15.1 17.4 12.6 4.2 4.0 4.6 14.4 15.5 13.2 4.2 4.1 4.6 15.7 17.9 13.4 4.2 3.9 Black or African American, total 1 • • • • • • • • • Both sexes, 16 to 19 years ... .... ... .. ... Men, 16 to 19 years .. .. ... ...... .. ...... .. Women, 16 to 19 years .. ..... ........... Men, 20 years and older. .... .............. Women, 20 years and older .............. 10.8 33.0 36.0 30.3 10.3 9.2 10.4 31.7 35.6 28.2 9.9 8.9 10.2 27 .6 28.2 27.1 9.3 9.5 10.4 33.1 42 .2 25.9 9.5 9.0 9.7 25.2 29.1 22.4 9.3 8.8 10.2 30 .1 37.0 23.5 9.2 9.3 9.8 28.4 30.7 26.4 9.3 8.6 10.0 32 .3 30 .4 33.9 9.4 8.4 10.3 32.7 34.4 31 .2 9.5 9.0 11.0 37.2 37.9 36.6 10.3 9.1 10.5 29.4 34.9 24.2 10.4 8.7 10.4 28.6 35.9 21.1 10.2 8.9 10.7 34.7 37.1 32.4 10.2 8.9 10.8 32.7 38.1 27.0 10.5 9.0 10.8 30 .8 37.7 24.0 10.7 9.1 Hispanic or Latino ethnicity ....... .... .... . Married men, spouse present.. ........... .. Married women, spouse present.. ... .... . Full-time workers ... .. .. .......... ...... ... .. ...... Part-time workers .. .. ....... ....... ................ 7.7 3.8 3.7 6.1 5.5 7.0 3.1 3.5 5.6 5.3 6.6 3.4 3.8 5.8 5.3 7.3 3.3 3.7 5.7 5.4 7.4 3.4 3.6 5.7 5.2 7.4 3.2 3.7 5.8 5.4 7.1 3.1 3.7 5.6 5.3 6.9 3.1 3.3 5.7 5.2 6.7 3.2 3.7 5.6 5.5 6.8 3.2 3.5 5.6 5.2 6.9 3.1 3.5 5.5 5.2 7.0 3.0 3.1 5.5 5.0 6.7 3.0 3.1 5.4 5.5 6.7 3.1 3.4 5.4 5.4 6.6 3.1 3.4 5.4 5.4 Educational attalnment2 Less than a high school diploma .... ........... 8.8 8.5 8.1 8.8 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.3 8.2 8.9 8.2 8.0 8.3 High school graduates, no college 3 •• ••••• • •• Some college or associate degree .... .. ..... 5.5 4.8 5.0 4.2 5.5 4.4 4.9 4.5 5.0 4.3 5.3 4.7 5.2 4.1 5.0 4.0 5.1 4.2 5.0 4.2 4.9 4.1 4.8 4.0 4.9 4.2 4.9 4.3 4.9 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 White, total 1 ••• • ••• • •• • • ••• • •••• • • • • • •• •• ••••••• Bachelor's degree and higher 4 • • • • ••••••••••• • 1 Beginning in 2003, persons who selected this race group only; persons who selected more than one race group are not included. Prior to 2003, persons who reported more than one race were included in the group they identified as the main race . 2 Includes high school diploma or equivalent. Includes persons with bachelor's, master's, professional, and doctoral degrees. NOTE: Beginning in January 2003, data reflect revised population controls used in the Data refer to persons 25 years and older. household survey. 7. Duration of unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Annual average 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 2,449 2,418 3,252 1,382 1,870 2,623 2,417 3,321 1,330 1,991 2,772 2,370 2,956 1,165 1,791 2,731 2,376 3,059 1,277 1,783 2,715 2,397 3,051 1,294 1,757 2,803 2,458 2,885 1,198 1,686 2,605 2,521 2,924 1,243 1,681 20.3 10.2 19.9 10.2 19.7 9.4 19.8 9.9 19.8 10.8 18.5 8.9 19.2 9.5 Less than 5 weeks .. ........... ... .......... 5 to 14 weeks ........... .. ..... ........... ..... 15 weeks and over .... .. .................... 15 to 26 weeks .... ... ... ... ... .. ...... .. ... 27 weeks and over .... ... ......... ....... 2,785 2,612 3,378 1,442 1,936 2,696 2,382 3,072 1,293 1,779 2,595 2,453 3,389 1,496 1,893 2,623 2,402 3,339 1,447 1,89? Mean duration, in weeks ............ ..... Median duration, in weeks .............. 19.2 10.1 19.6 9.8 19.8 10.4 19.G 10.6 I Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,796 2,251 2,971 1,227 1,744 2,753 2,290 3,032 1,261 1,771 2,611 2,361 3,012 1,294 1,718 2,865 2,264 2,961 1,325 1,636 19.6 9.5 19.7 9.5 19.8 9.8 19.3 9.5 Sept. NOTE: Beginning in January 2003, data reflect revised population controls used in the household survey. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 93 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 8. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Reason for unemployment 1 Job losers ... . ....... . .... .... .... On temporary layoff. ........... ......... Not on temporary layoff ........... ..... Job leavers ...................................... Reentrants ......................... ... .. ......... New entrants ............... ... .......... .... .. Annual average 2003 2004 4,838 1,121 3,717 818 2,477 ; 641 4,191 998 3,199 858 2,408 686 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,569 1,054 3,144 759 2,387 696 4,380 1,030 3,350 807 2,514 677 4,284 1,060 3,224 835 2,421 671 4,475 1,035 3,440 845 2,419 629 4,322 993 3,329 835 2,310 650 4,190 920 3 ,270 855 2,437 723 4,117 1,009 3,108 909 2,426 642 4,228 1,068 3,160 896 2,333 686 3,978 971 3,007 885 2,440 699 4,014 919 3,094 830 2,417 697 4,074 947 3,127 829 2,411 747 4,066 941 3,124 880 2,388 723 4,108 965 3,144 898 2,361 709 Percent of unemployed 1 Job losers . ... ... .... .... ..... . .. ... .. . .. On temporary layoff ..................... Not on temporary layoff... ............. Job leavers ...................................... Reentrants ....................... ... ............ New entrants ............................... ... 55.1 12.8 42.4 9.3 28.2 7.3 51 .5 12.2 39.3 10.5 29.5 8.4 54.3 12.5 41 .8 9.0 28.4 8.3 52.3 12.3 40.0 9.6 30.9 8.1 52.2 12.9 39.3 10.2 28.4 8.2 53.5 12.4 41 .1 10.1 28.4 7.5 53.2 12.2 41.0 10.3 28.5 8.0 51.1 11.2 39.3 10.4 29.7 8.8 50.9 12.5 38.4 11 .2 30.0 7.9 51.9 13.1 38.8 11 .0 28.6 8.4 49.7 12.1 37.6 11 .1 30.5 8.7 50.4 11.6 38.9 10.4 30.4 8 .8 50.5 11 .8 38.8 10.3 29 .9 9.3 5.1 11 .7 38.8 10.9 29.6 9.0 50.9 11.9 38.9 11.1 29.2 8.8 3.3 .6 1.7 .4 2.8 .6 1.6 .5 3.1 .6 1.6 .5 3.0 .6 1.7 .5 2.9 .6 1.7 .5 3.0 .6 1.6 .4 2.9 .6 1.6 .4 2.8 .6 1.7 .5 2.8 .6 1.6 .4 2.9 .6 1.6 .5 2.7 .6 1.7 .5 2.7 .6 1.6 .5 2.8 .6 1.6 .5 2.7 .6 1.6 .5 2.8 .6 1.6 .5 Percent of civilian labor force 1 Job losers ..........• •.. .. •..••...• .. •..•• . . Job leavers ...................... .......... ...... Reentrants ....................................... New entrants .................................. 1 .1ncludes persons who completed temporary jobs. NOTE: Beginning in January 2003, data reflect revised population controls used in the household survey. 9. Unemployment rates by sex and age, monthly data seasonally adjusted [Civilian workers] Sex and age Annual a,;erage 2003 2004 2003 Dec. 2004 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. June July Aug. Sept. Total, 16 years and older .............. ... 16 to 24 years ................ ~············ 16 to 19 years ........................... 16 to 17 years ........................ 18 to 19 years ........................ 20 to 24 years ........................... 25 years and older .. ..... .......... ...... 25 to 54 years ... .................... . 55 years and older ................. 6.0 12.4 17.5 19.1 16.4 10.0 4.8 5.0 4.1 5.5 11 .8 17.0 20.2 15.0 9.4 4.4 4.6 3.7 5.7 11 .7 16.2 18.5 14.5 9.6 4.6 4.8 3.9 5.7 12.1 16.9 18.5 15.9 9.8 4.5 4.7 3.l 5.6 11.8 16.7 18.1 15.6 9.5 4.5 4.6 3.8 5.7 11.8 16.5 19.7 14.4 9.6 4.6 4.8 3.8 5.5 11 .7 17.0 20.5 14.7 9.2 4.5 4.6 3.8 5.6 12.1 17.2 21.5 14.7 9.7 4.4 4.5 3.9 5.6 12.0 16.8 20.5 14.4 9.7 4.5 4.5 3.9 5.5 11.9 17.6 20.3 16.1 9.2 4.4 4.6 3.7 5.4 11 .6 17.0 20.7 14.9 9.0 4.3 4.4 3.7 5.4 11 .8 16.6 19.6 14.9 9.5 4.3 4.4 3.7 Men , 16 years and older ................ 16 to 24 years .......................... .. 16 to 19 years ............... ... .. ..... 16 to 17 years ......... .. ........ .. . 18 to 19 years ...................... 20 to 24 years ......................... 25 years and older ............... .. .... 25 to 54 years .................. ... . 55 years and older ........... .... 6.3 13.4 19.3 20 .7 18.4 10.6 5.0 5.2 4.4 5.6 12.6 18.4 22.0 16.3 10.1 4.4 4.6 3.9 5.8 12.5 17.2 18.3 16.4 10.4 4.6 4.9 3.9 5.7 12.7 17.5 19.9 16.1 10.6 4.5 4.6 3.7 5.7 12.3 17.3 20.1 15.7 10.1 4.5 4.7 3.7 5.8 12.6 18.3 22.4 15.8 10.1 4.6 4.8 3.9 5.7 12.9 19.2 23.3 16.6 10.0 4.4 4.5 3.9 5.8 13.0 19.0 23.2 16.6 10.3 4.6 4.7 4.1 5.6 12.7 18.0 22.3 15.9 10.4 5.6 12.5 18.1 21.9 16.1 10.0 4.4 4.5 4.0 5.6 12.9 18.2 20.6 16.8 10.5 4.3 4.4 4.3 5.5 12.2 17.8 21.2 15.9 9.7 4.4 4.5 3.8 Women , 16 years and older ...... ..... 16 to 24 years ............................ 16 to 19 years ......... .... ... .... ..... 16 to 17 years ....... ...... .... .. 18 tO 19 years ................... 20 to 24 years .................... ..... 25 years and older ..................... 25 to 54 years ...................... 5.7 11.4 15.6 17.5 14.2 9.3 4.6 4.8 5.4 11 .0 15.5 18.5 13.5 8.7 4.4 4.6 5.6 10.8 15.1 18.6 12.4 8.7 4.6 4.9 5.6 11.3 16.2 17.1 15.6 8.9 4.6 4.8 5.5 11 .3 16.0 16.2 15.5 8.9 4.5 4.6 5.6 10.8 14.7 17.3 12.8 8.9 4.6 4.9 5.4 10.4 14.7 17.9 12.5 8.3 4.5 4.7 5.3 11.1 15.4 20.1 12.7 9.0 4.2 4.4 5.6 11.2 15.6 18.9 12.7 9.0 4.5 4.7 5.5 11.6 17.5 19.5 16.4 8.7 4.4 4.7 5.2 10.6 15.9 19.7 13.5 7.9 4.3 4.4 5.2 10.6 15.0 18.6 12.8 8.4 4.3 4.4 55 years and older 1 •••••••••••• 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.5 1 Data are not seasonally adjusted . NOTE: Beginning in January 2003, data reflect re:-,1ised population controls used in the household survey. 94 May Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 4.4 4.4 3.9 Nov. Dec. 5.5 12.2 17.2 20 .6 15.2 9.8 4.3 4.4 3.8 5.4 11.5 16.5 21 .2 13.5 9.2 4.3 4.4 3.7 5.4 11 .7 17.6 20.6 15.4 8.9 4.3 4.5 3.5 5.6 13.0 19.2 22 .1 17.7 10.2 4.3 4.4 4.1 5.5 12.4 18.2 23.0 14.8 9.8 4.3 4.4 3.7 5.6 12.5 20.3 24.3 17.8 9.0 4.4 4.6 3.5 5.3 11.3 15.1 19.0 12.5 9.4 4.2 5.2 10.5 14.6 19.3 12.1 8.5 4.3 4.4 5.2 10.8 14.8 17.2 12.9 8.9 4.2 4.4 3.6 3.6 Oct. 4.4 1 3.3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10. Unemployment rates by State, seasonally adjusted State Nov. Oct. Nov. 2003 2004P 2004P State Nov. Oct. Nov. 2003 2004P 2004P Alabama ............................. ................. . . Alaska ...................................................... . Ari zona .. ............................ .... ..... ...... ... . . Arkansas ... ... .... .... ... .. .............. ................. . California ................................... ...... ..... . 5.9 8.1 5.0 6.5 6.6 5.5 7.2 4.8 5.7 5.8 5.2 7.2 4.5 5.6 5.7 Missouri .. .... ... .... ........ ............. . Montana ......... ........................... ... ............ . Nebraska ... ... ....... ..... .. .. .... ... ............ ..... . Nevada ............. .... .. .................................. . New Hampshire ........... ......... ... ............. . . 5.4 4.8 4.0 4.9 4.2 5.6 4.8 3.5 3.6 3.4 5.8 4.2 3.5 3.7 3.1 Colorado ............................ .. ................... ... Connecticut... .. ........................... ........... . Delaware ................................................... District of Colum bia .. ......... ...................... . Florida ............................ .......................... . 5.9 5.4 4.4 7.0 4.9 5.0 4.6 4.0 8.5 4.6 5.0 4.7 4.0 8.8 4.3 New Jersey ................................ .. ....... .. .... New Mexico ............. ... ....... .. .. ... ... ..... .... . New York ........................ ......................... . North Carolina ....... . North Dakota .............. .. .......... .. ... . 5.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 3.8 4.7 5. 2 5.2 4.8 3.7 4.4 5. 1 4.9 5.0 3.2 Georgia ............................. .......... ......... . Hawaii .. .................................................. ... Idaho ............................. ... .......... .. .. ..... . Ill inois ................. .... .......... ............. . Indiana ................................ .... ..... ........ . 4.3 4.4 5.0 6.7 5.1 4.2 3.3 5.2 6.1 5.4 4.3 3.3 5.1 6.0 5.3 Ohi o ......... ... .... ... ................ .. .. ..... ......... . Oklahoma ... .... ......... .. .... ........................... . Oregon ............ ... .... ....... .. .. ... ............. ... . Pennsylvania .. .. ............... .. ... ... ....... .. ....... . Rhode Island ... .. ... .................. .... ..... ... ... . 6.1 5.7 7.7 5.2 5. 1 6.4 4.5 7.2 5.5 4.5 6.5 4.5 7. 1 5.4 4.4 Iowa .................. ......................... ......... . Kansas ....................... ..................... ... ... ... . Kentucky .............................. ...... ........... . Louisiana ..... ..... .. ..................................... . Mai ne ........... . 4.6 5.3 6.0 6.2 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.6 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.5 5.7 4.5 South Carolina ......... .. .. ...................... .... . South Dakota ........... .. .. ..... .. ........ ............. . Tennessee ................. ............... ..... ..... .. . Texas ........................ ... ..... ... ... .......... ... .. .. . Utah .. ... .. .. .... ......... .. .......... .. ... ...... .. ... . . 6.9 3.8 6.1 6.6 5.3 6.4 3.3 5.1 5.6 4.7 6.6 3.2 5.0 5.7 4.6 ......... .. ...... . Maryland ....... Massachu setts ......................................... . Michigan ............................ ...... ..... ....... . . Minnesota ............. .......... .................. ....... . Mississippi ................................ ... ......... . 4.4 5.7 7.6 5.1 5.7 3.9 4.7 6.6 4.3 6.3 3.9 4.6 7.0 ·4.2 6.5 Vermont... ... ... .. ... ............... .... .... ..... ..... . Virginia .............. .................. ..................... . Washington .. .. ....... ... .... .. ................. .. ... . . West Virginia .. .. .. .. ............. .. ..................... . Wisconsin .. ....... ..... ....... .. ...... ............. ... . Wyoming .............. ... .... ..... ......... ............... . 4.6 3.9 7.4 5.6 5. 4 4.3 3.1 3.3 5.6 5.1 5.0 3.8 3. 1 3.3 5.7 4.8 4.8 3.5 1 P = prelim inary 11 . Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by State, seasonally adjusted State Nov. Oct. Nov. State 2003 Alabama .................. ... ................ . 2, 163,787 Alaska ................ ... ...... .. .... ... .......... 335,373 Arizona .... .... ................. ........... ... . 2,694,191 Arkansas .................................... ... . 1,262,145 California ............... ... ................... . 17,480,211 Nov. Oct. Nov. 2003 2004P 2004P 2,162,788 347,143 2,794,442 1,331 ,533 17,750 ,890 2,160,452 347,393 2,786,387 1,329,075 17,755,732 Missouri. ........ .. ......... ....... ...... . . Montana .... ............. .......... ...... ....... . Nebraska .. ... .. .... ....................... ... . Nevada ........................... ........... .. . . New Hampshire ....... ..................... . 3,034,372 477,929 980,613 1,148,419 725 ,220 3,039,012 487,422 992,059 1,184,969 730,638 3,043,033 488,865 991 ,844 1,191 ,704 730 ,215 Colorado ..................................... ... Connecticut... ......................... ..... . Delaware ..................................... . District of Columbia .. ......... ... ......... . Florida .............. .... .. ..... .................. . 2,487,239 1,797,444 418,986 301 ,284 8,202,592 2,542 ,868 1,788,408 428,931 306,411 8,457,181 2,533,458 1,792,573 425,341 306,723 8,465,515 New Jersey ...... ........................ ..... . New Mexico ................ ... .............. . New York ....................... ......... ...... . North Carolina .. ..................... ....... . North Dakota ................ .......... . 4,379 ,881 902 ,950 9,296 ,357 4,255,896 347,043 4,414,138 912 ,006 9,312,761 4,175,865 354.440 4,411 .603 910 ,953 9,323,858 4,185,077 352 ,740 Georgia ...................... .... ....... ..... . Hawaii ..... ..... ..... ... .................... ... ... Idaho ........................... ...... ... .. .... . Illinois ... ................................ ......... . Indiana ........................................ . 4,447,384 626 ,165 694,359 6,346,042 3,1 88,742 4,430,274 632,110 710 ,594 6,443,178 3,169,584 4,424,782 635,341 710 ,111 6,424,158 3,167,246 Ohio ........... .... .... .. .. ....... ... .... . Oklahoma .. .. ................ ....... .. ........ . Oregon ................... ...... .......... .... . Pennsylvania ......................... ...... .. Rhode Island .. ........... ... ................ . 5,920 ,696 1,692,221 1,847,218 6,138,893 573,446 5,888,552 1,711 ,742 1,849,709 6,299.287 565,452 5,889 ,638 1,715,779 1,866,878 6,316 ,600 564,354 Iowa ..... .............. ... ...... ..... .......... . Kansas ..... .. .. ........ ........ .... ... ... ... ... .. Kentucky ......... ........ ..... .... ... ........ . Louisiana .. .. ... ........ ......... .. .. .. .. ... ... . Maine ........................... .... ...... .. . . 1,602 ,979 1,438,851 1,963,328 2,048,121 697,929 1,635,603 1,478,259 1,980 ,574 2,062 ,831 701,233 1,631,591 1,473,344 1,979,622 2,066,007 703,012 South Carolina .. .. .... ... .................. . South Dakota .......... ... ..... ... .......... .. Tennessee ............. .. ..... ......... .... . . Texas ... ...... .. .... ... .... ............ .......... . Utah ......... ........ .. .. ......... ... .. .. ...... . 2,014,543 426,867 2,909,970 10,963,282 1,192,257 2,080 ,923 425 ,076 2,945,699 11 ,008,283 1,218,682 2,084,162 425,338 2,942,082 11 ,020,478 1,221,511 Maryland .... ............................. .... . Massachusetts ............. ................ .. Michigan ......... .. .. ... ... ...... ........... . Minnesota ......................... ..... ....... . Mississippi ........ .................... ....... . 2,905,697 3,390 ,712 5,068,224 2,927,291 1,312 ,944 2,956,279 3,396,232 5,085,966 2,962 ,303 1,326,002 2,960,894 3,387,399 5,076,044 2,961 ,972 1,328,183 Vermont.. .............. ... .......... ...... ... . Virginia ...... ... ...... .. .. .. .... .. .... ........... . Washington ........ .... ........ ..... . West Virginia ........, .... ....... ..... ....... . Wisconsin ........................ .. ...... .... . Wyoming .... .. .. ...... ... ..... .... ......... .... . 350,859 3,784,740 3,149,726 779,611 3,084,292 281,551 351 ,563 3,861 ,265 3,203,962 803,905 3,121 ,422 280 ,256 352 ,864 3,848,497 3,242 ,826 798,955 3,128,068 279,525 P = preliminary. NOTE: some data in this table may differ from data published elsewhere because of the continual updating of the data base. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 95 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 12. Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by Industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted [In thousands] Annual average Industry 2003 2004 2003 Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P 129,931 131,481 130,035 130,194 130,277 130,630 130,954 131 ,162 131 ,258 131,343 131,541 131,660 131,972 132,109 132,266 108.356 21,817 109.863 21,885 108.491 21,668 108.667 21,696 108.738 21 ,684 109.077 21 ,778 109.382 21,822 109.618 21 ,894 109.730 21 ,891 109.771 21 ,906 109.912 21 ,939 110.008 21 ,958 110.297 22,016 110.422 22,017 110.550 22,030 571 68.5 502.3 122.9 591 67.9 523.2 123.0 570 65.9 504.3 124.6 570 65.1 505.1 126.9 572 64.2 508.1 128.9 581 65.9 514.9 130.0 585 66.7 518.5 131.0 589 65.6 523.2 132.3 587 64.5 522.7 132.0 592 64.5 527.5 132.2 591 64.6 526.6 132.7 593 64.9 527.7 132.9 592 64.2 527.5 132.7 595 63.6 531 .0 133.5 598 65.1 532.8 133.2 Mini no. exceot oil and aas ... .. Coal minina .... ... .... ........ .. .. Support activities for mining .... 202.7 207.0 202.0 200 .0 200.6 202.8 205.2 207.8 207.9 211.2 209.2 209.4 209 .0 210.7 210.6 70.4 176.8 71 .7 193.2 69 .8 177.7 69.6 178.2 70.2 178.6 70.6 182.1 71 .8 182.3 72.9 183.1 73.5 182.8 75.0 184.1 74.6 184.7 74.8 185.4 74.4 185.8 75.0 186.8 75.2 189.0 Construction .............................. 6,722 6,965 6,774 6,812 6,791 6,853 6,872 6,909 6,911 6,916 6,930 6,958 7,018 7 ,025 7,032 Construction of buildinas .. ... Heavv and civil enaineerina .... Soecialitv trade contractors .. ... Manufacturing ............................ 1.575.9 910.7 4.235.5 14,525 1.632.7 902.2 4.429.7 14,329 1.585.1 920.7 4.268.4 14,324 1.593.3 928.0 4.290.2 14,314 1.590.9 924 .0 4.276.5 14,321 1.607.6 926.8 4.318.9 14,344 1.609.8 924.7 4 .337.3 14,365 1,622.9 924.3 4.362.2 14,396 1.625.9 920.9 4.364.6 14,393 1.629.7 920.2 4.365.6 14,398 1.635.5 921 .9 4.378.9 14,412 1.648.8 922 .5 4.386.8 14,407 1.661 .6 928.4 4.427.5 14,406 1.665.1 930.9 4.428.8 14,397 1.669.3 931 .6 4.430.6 14,400 Production workers .............. Durable goods .......................... 10.200 8,970 10.083 8,922 10.044 8,868 10.035 8,869 10.038 8,882 10.058 8,889 10.085 8,924 10.123 8,946 10.128 8,955 10.141 8,955 10.162 8,986 10.150 8,979 10.150 8,985 10.141 8,979 10.143 8,979 Production workers ......... ... .. Wood oroducts ................... .. .... Nonmetallic mineral oroducts Primarv metals .......... .. ............. Fabricated metal oroducts ....... Machinerv .. .. ........ ......... . .... .. Comouter and electronic 6.157 536.1 492.6 476.7 1.478.4 1.153.5 6.137 548.4 504.8 465.8 1.141.5 1.141.5 6.079 536.6 487.5 464.6 1.471.2 1,140.4 6.081 536.3 492.7 432.2 1.471 .8 1.138.7 6.088 538.4 490 .5 462.2 1.476.6 1.141 .2 6.101 539.7 493.2 462.0 1.478.5 1.145.1 6.126 540.0 497.8 462.5 1.486.7 1.152.0 6.152 543.0 501.4 464.0 1.494.5 1.153.3 6.164 543.8 501.7 465.4 1.497.6 1.156.7 6.167 544.1 502.6 467.0 1.501.3 1.160.4 6.195 545.9 501.6 465.4 1.504.7 1.163.3 6.184 544.8 503.2 464.1 1.505.8 1.161.7 6.188 549.7 503.0 464 .5 1.508.5 1,161.4 6.180 548.5 502.9 464.6 1.507.5 1.162.0 6.182 550.3 502.7 464.3 1.508.0 1.162.0 oroducts • • ••• • ••• •• • • •• •• • •• • •• • • Comouter and oerioheral equipment.. .... .... ... ... .......... Communications equipment.. Semiconductors and electronic components ......... Electronic instruments .... .... .. Electrical equipment and appliances ..... ....... ......... ........ Transportation equipment.. .... Furniture and related products ............. .... .. ..... . Miscellaneous manufacturing 1,360.9 1,326.1 1,332.2 1,333.2 1,333.9 1,338.0 1,339.7 1,345.8 1,346.2 1,351 .9 1,353.0 1,350.7 1,348.6 1,344.6 1,342.8 225.7 157.0 212.0 150.5 217.8 153.0 219.4 154.8 219 .0 154.8 218.6 155.0 218.1 155.1 218.8 155.9 217.7 157.1 217 .2 158.2 217.9 158.5 217.1 158.1 215.6 158.0 214.4 158.6 215.4 158.7 461 .8 429.3 452.8 431 .8 451 .3 425.3 450.2 423.7 451.4 423.3 452.1 426.8 453.4 427.5 455.8 430.1 458.0 429.8 460.7 432.4 460.2 433.0 459.4 433.1 457.2 435.4 455.2 434.1 452.2 434.5 459 .9 1,775.4 446.8 1,763.3 451.2 1,762.7 449.8 1,760.6 448.6 1,766.5 446.8 1,769.1 446.5 1,768.8 447.3 1,764.4 448.6 1,765.1 449.2 1,745.9 449.6 1,774.4 449.1 1,771.7 447.3 1,774.3 447.8 1,772. 3 445.5 1,774.1 573.5 662.8 572.7 655.4 569.3 651 .9 571 .3 652.0 571.2 653.0 573.4 653.0 576.5 653.0 577.6 654.4 575.0 654.6 576 .7 655.5 574.6 653.6 573.8 653.7 573.7 654 .0 574.1 654.6 574.3 655.1 Nondurable goods................... Production workers .............. 5,555 4,043 5,407 3,946 5,456 3,965 5,445 3,954 5,439 3,950 5,445 3,957 5,441 3,959 5,450 3,971 5,438 3,964 5,443 3,974 5,426 3,967 5,428 3,966 5,421 3,962 5,418 3,961 5,421 3,961 Food manufacturing ......... ... ... .. GGverages and tobacco products ... ..... ... .... .. ... ..... ... Textile mills ............... . ..... .. . Textile product mills ............ ..... Apparel .... ... ..... ..... ... ... ... ... .. Leather and allied products .. ... Paper and paper products ... Printing and related support activities ................... .. ...... . Petroleum and coal products .. . Chemicals ...... .... ............... ... .... 1,518.7 1,497.5 1,506.3 1,500.7 1,502.4 1,504.5 1,502.7 1,507.0 1,502.8 1,508.0 1,499.6 1,502.5 1,504.5 1,506.5 1,512.9 200.6 260.3 179.8 312.7 45.2 519.0 194.3 238.6 177.8 285.0 42.9 499.1 198.3 241 .0 174.3 297.7 44.3 510 .3 197.7 239 .2 176.9 296 .1 44.6 509.8 195.9 237.3 176.6 297.1 44.8 508.0 197.2 237.1 179.7 294 .3 44.8 508.8 197.8 235.8 180.1 292.7 44.6 507.0 197.5 236.1 181.4 290.8 45.1 508.1 197.6 235.0 179.7 286.8 44.7 506.7 198.4 235.6 179.3 284.8 45.3 509.0 197.2 234.4 179.4 284.2 44.8 509.8 198.5 233.8 179.6 282.7 45.4 508.6 197.0 233.0 180.1 277.4 45.3 508.0 199.8 231.2 180.0 273.5 45.8 505.7 197.4 230.4 180.2 272.5 45.2 506.1 680.0 114.6 7.9 665.1 112.7 887.1 670 .1 112.4 895.9 667.6 114.3 893.7 665.0 112.9 894 .7 664.4 113.1 894.9 663.6 112.6 896.4 665.9 113.1 895.0 667.0 113.8 895.2 663.8 113.6 894.2 662.2 114.1 891 .9 660.3 114.3 892.7 660 .6 114.2 891.3 660. 3 114.2 890.3 661 .7 113.2 890.4 TOTAL NONFARM ......... ...... TOTAL PRIVATE................ ...... GOODS-PRODUCING ................ Natural resources and mining ................................... Logging .... .... .... .... ......... ..... .... Mining .................... .................... Oil and gas extraction ............ 1 1 Plastics and rubber products .. 815.9 806.7 805.8 804.8 803.9 806 .3 807.5 810.2 808.6 811.2 808.8 809.5 809.2 811 .1 811 .0 SERVICE-PROVIDING .................. 108,114 109,597 108,367 108,498 108,593 108,852 109,132 109,268 109,367 109,437 109,602 109,702 109,956 110,092 110,236 PRIVATE SERVICEPROVIDING ......................... 86,538 87,978 86,823 86,971 87,054 87,299 87,560 87,724 87,839 87,865 87,973 88,050 88,281 88,405 88,520 25,275 5,605.0 2,949 .2 2,002 .1 25,511 5,655.3 2,949.2 2,007.2 25,211 5,598.4 2,945.8 1,991.8 25,312 5,611.4 2,954 .9 1,993.7 25,331 5,612 .2 2,953.8 1,994.5 25,415 5,623.5 2,963.4 1,995.3 25,448 5,632.5 2,967.5 1,996.3 25,477 5,636.7 2,969.7 1,997.2 25,497 5,639.5 2,975.6 1,994.3 25,499 5,649.6 2,986.0 1,994.3 25,516 5,652.8 2,989.6 1,992.5 25,522 5,662.8 2,992.3 1,996.6 25,562 5,670.4 2,995.6 2,000.2 25,580 5,678.4 2,996.2 2,002.5 25,580 5,695.4 3,005.8 2,005.3 698.9 660 .8 662 .8 663.9 664.8 668.7 669.8 669.6 671.5 670.7 673.9 674 .6 679.7 684.3 Trade, transportation, and utilities .............................. Wholesale trade ....................... Durable goods ...... . . .. . .. . .. ... Nondurable goods ....... ··· ··· · Electronic markets and agents and brokers ............. 654 .3 Retail trade .. .......... ................... 14.911 .5 Motor vehicles and parts dealers' .. .. ... .... .... .. .. ... ... .. Automobile dealers .......... ..... Furniture and home furnishings stores .................. Electronics and appliance stores ................... .................. 15.034.4 14.876 .0 14.944 .8 14.963.0 15.013.0 15.037.1 15.047.6 15.054.9 15.038.1 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15.048.8 15.030.5 15.055.6 15.064.5 15.044.9 1,883.5 1,255.1 1,900.9 1,254.2 1,893.7 1,259.5 1,895.4 1,261 .3 1,900.9 1,262.9 1,906.9 1,263.9 1,910.9 1,264.7 1,911.4 1,263.6 1,908.5 1,262.3 1,908.1 1,259.2 1,904.9 1,256.8 1,904.8 1,253.7 1,903.4 1,251 .6 1,907.3 1,254.7 1,909.1 1,254.7 542.9 560.4 547.2 546.4 544.5 544.8 544.5 545.7 546.3 546.4 548.7 548.7 880 .0 550.8 551 .8 511 .9 514.4 511 .9 509 .3 508.2 511.7 514.1 512.6 511 .5 510.7 511 .6 512.6 517.8 519.8 515.5 See notes at end of table . 96 2004 Jan. February 2005 12. Continued-Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted [In thousands] Industry Building material and garden supply stores ..... .......... ...... Food and beverage stores .. Health and personal care stores .... .. . ... . . ... .. ... .. .... ... Gasoline stations ... ... ... ... ..... Clothing and clothing accessories stores .... Sporting goods, hobby, book, and music stores ....... General merchandise stores1. Department stores .............. Miscellaneous store retailers .. Non store retailers ... ............ .. Transportation and warehousing .......................... Air transportation .. ... ..... ...... Rail transportation ...... .......... Water transportation ...... .. ..... Truck transportation ... .. .... .... Transit and ground passenger transportation ........ .......... . Pipeline transportation ... ... .. . Scenic and sightseeing transportation ........ .. .... .... .. Support activities for transportation ....... .... .... . .... Couriers and messengers ... Warehousing and storage Utilities .......... ............................ Information ........ ................... Publishing industries, except Internet ............ .. ........ . .. .. . Motion picture and sound recording industries ....... Broadcasting, except Internet .. Internet publishing and broadcasting ....... ....... Telecommunications ............ ISPs, search portals, and data processing ... .. . Other information services .... Financial activities ............. Finance and insurance ... ....... Monetary authoritiescentral bank ...... .. .... .. ..... ... Annual average 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P 1,191 .1 2,840.9 1,226.1 2,826.4 1,209.5 2,813.9 1,221.4 2,826.3 1,231.4 2,831.3 1,243.5 2,838.9 1,247.3 2,839.9 1,248.7 2,845.3 1,245.8 2,839.7 1,246.9 2,834.5 1,251 .7 2,832.9 1,256.5 2,832.2 1,258.7 2,832.3 1,262.4 2,827.9 1,263.9 2,822.6 943.1 879.9 941 .6 87,.3 952.6 871 .1 954.1 875 .. 1 954.9 871.8 958.2 873.0 957.9 872.4 957.1 871.6 957.2 870.3 956.7 869.9 956.4 870.3 956.4 871 .8 956.3 869.6 957.5 867.1 956.8 864.7 1,296.7 1,361.8 1,301.0 1,304.3 1,311.3 1,321.8 1,328.0 1,335.5 1,346.5 1,349.0 1,355.2 1,349.9 1,353.0 1,354.8 1,353.8 645.0 2,815.2 1,618.8 934.1 427.5 639.0 2,843.2 1,612.4 918.5 424.7 633.2 2,793.4 1,601.3 924.4 424.1 635.9 2,822.7 1,603.4 929.6 424.3 636.8 2,822.5 1,602.7 924.6 424.8 636.5 2,824.4 1,604.9 926.9 427.4 635.8 636.1 2,831.0 2,830.5 16.7 1,610.9 927.9 925.7 427.4 429.8 1 635.7 2837.4 1,614.9 928.4 427.6 635.5 2825.3 1,609.9 926.2 428.9 638.4 2823.8 1,607.9 927.1 427.8 635.0 2810.9 1,599.4 924.7 427.0 636.5 2822.8 1,609.3 927.7 427.5 636.3 2828.2 1,615.3 924.0 428.4 631 .7 2822.9 1,614.5 923.1 429.0 4,176.7 527.3 215.4 52.5 1,328.0 4,250.7 515.1 224.1 57.0 1,350.9 4,157.0 512.9 215.5 50.0 1,338.7 4,175.9 510.2 215.4 50.6 1,343.6 4,175.8 511.6 215.7 48.8 1,344.1 4,197.0 512.9 216.0 49.2 1,346.4 4,196.5 513.3 216.3 50.6 1,352.2 4,209.9 514.7 216.4 51 .1 1,353.9 4220.9 513.8 217.3 51.7 1,353.9 4228.3 512.4 217.8 51 .7 1,361 .9 4232.5 511.8 217.4 50.3 1,363.7 4246.0 510.0 217.9 50.1 1,363.8 4254.4 511 .5 217.8 50.7 1,367.4 4256.0 510.0 217.1 50.2 1,366.7 4260.5 509.6 216.9 50.2 1,374.7 380.3 40.0 385.6 38.8 385.0 38.8 382.3 38.3 380.1 38.2 380.5 38.1 372.3 38.1 381.5 38.3 374.6 38.4 374.2 38.5 374.5 38.5 380.2 38.6 362.7 38.4 383.6 38.3 384.8 38.2 28.0 26.8 29.4 28.7 29.7 31.4 31.1 30.6 32.6 32.6 32 .7 32.7 31 .6 31.8 31 .3 516.3 566.6 522.3 580.8 3,198 535.8 560.8 555.7 570.1 3,138 511 .6 559.0 516.1 515.5 567.7 524.4 579.3 3,175 514.1 566.9 525.8 580.2 3,163 580.0 3,169 518.5 572.1 531.9 581.2 3,169 519.1 570.9 532.6 582.1 3,173 519.5 572.8 531.1 582.3 3,177 520.8 578.2 534.0 581.7 3,182 523.7 579.2 536.3 582.6 3,173 525.1 580.4 538.1 582.0 3,166 525.9 581 .1 541.4 582.4 3,159 528.3 580.0 546.0 581.5 3,163 531.4 581.3 545.6 580.8 3,164 535.5 576.5 542.8 579.6 3,161 926.4 909.9 917.4 914.0 915.1 915.3 916.3 916.2 916.6 914.7 914.3 913.8 913.2 914.0 913.0 376.1 327.0 389.3 326.5 385.2 329.5 379.7 329.7 382.7 331.8 381 .2 333.0 385.7 333.3 390.8 335.4 394.9 335.5 391 .0 336.4 388.7 336 .6 389.4 337.3 395.0 338.4 388.7 338.9 386.4 339.5 30.0 1,082.6 31.3 1,042.3 30.4 1,061.2 30.8 1,061.3 31.9 1,058.2 31 .9 1,055.0 32.5 1,051.9 32.5 1,047.3 33.6 1,044.8 33.6 1,042.3 34.2 1,037.5 34.5 1,030.0 35.7 1,026.4 36.4 1,032.3 36.9 1,032.5 407.5 48.1 388.2 50.9 402.6 48.2 400.1 47.8 401.1 48.0 403.7 48.6 404.0 49.6 405.1 49.6 406.5 50.0 404.9 49.8 404.3 50.0 404.7 49.6 404.9 49.0 404.6 48.7 404.1 48.6 7,974 5,920.5 8,052 5,965.7 7,981 5,916.5 7,981 5,917.1 7,989 5,924.7 8,003 5,933.0 8,015 5,947.7 8,029 5,946.0 8,049 5,960.4 8,044 5,951 .9 8,053 5,962.4 8,Q78 8,976.2 8,092 5,990.7 8,107 6,002.9 8,121 6,017.1 22.7 21.6 22.5 22.4 22.4 22.3 22.3 21.8 21.9 21.8 21.8 21.7 21.5 21.3 21.1 2,785.6 2,832 .3 2,783.3 2,785.3 2,787.2 2,793.8 2,802.1 2,800.8 2,809.9 2,804.1 2,807.3 2,818.3 2,824.6 2,838.0 2,847.2 1,752.1 1,281.1 1,761.3 1.285.4 1,757.1 1.278.9 1,758.7 1,280.4 1,762.6 1,283.5 1,762.8 1,284.1 1,765.0 1.285.0 1,765.2 1.284.2 1,768.8 1,285.9 1,766.9 1,284.0 1,768.3 1,283.0 1,772.7 1.287.5 1,776.3 1.290.1 1,781 .5 1.295.0 1,784.5 1,297.4 Credit intermediation and related activities 1 •••••• Deoositorv credit intermediation 1 •• •• ... .. . . . . . .. Commercial bankino ··· ···· "· Securities, commodity contracts, investments ......... Insurance carriers and related activities ........ .. ... Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles ...... .. . Real estate and rental and leasing ........ . Real estate ... ... ............ .. . .. Rental and leasing services .. Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets .... Professional and business services ............................... Professional and technical services' .. ...... .. ...... .. ... ... . ... Legal services .. .. .......... ...... Accounting and bookkeeping services ... .... ..... ...... ...... Architectural and engineering services .. .. ...... ... ........ ... 764.4 766.8 771.9 773.8 778.2 780.8 781 .0 782.8 787.2 787.8 791 .6 793.6 800.6 800.2 802 .7 2,266.1 2,260.3 2,258.1 2,255.8 2.2'i7.4 2,257.1 2,259.5 2,262.7 2,263.8 2,260.2 2,263.9 2,265.1 2,266.7 2,266.6 2,269.1 81.7 84.7 80.7 79.8 79.5 79.0 78.8 77.9 77.6 78.0 77 .8 77.5 77.3 76.8 77.0 2,053.6 1,384.4 640.8 2,086.1 1,416.9 643.8 2,064.0 1,395.7 638.3 2,063.6 1,397.7 636.0 2,064.5 1,400.2 634.2 2,069.5 1,405.8 634.1 2,071 .6 1,409.2 633.2 2,083.1 1,418.7 635.4 2,088.1 1,418.8 640.5 2,092.0 1,422.1 641.4 2,090.6 1,424.1 638.0 2,101 .8 1,431 .6 641.9 2,101 .6 1,433.4 639.9 2,103.8 1,437.7 637.6 2,104.3 1,437.3 638.5 28.4 25.4 30.0 29.9 30.1 29.6 29.2 29.0 28.8 28.5 28 .5 28.3 28.3 28.5 28.5 15,999 16,413 16,159 16,172 16,196 16,237 16,363 16,432 16,457 16,490 16,518 16,548 16,643 16,664 16,705 6,623.5 1,136.8 6,760.7 1,161 .7 6,669.3 1,140.5 6,657.9 1,138.7 6,658.1 1,139.2 6,679.8 1,138.4 6,701.4 1,141.9 6,708.1 1,143.3 6,732.6 1,146.3 6,739.9 i,148.2 6,762.0 1,146.2 6,783.3 1,148.4 6,817.4 1,148.5 6,835.7 1,147.1 6,864.2 1,148.7 815.6 814.0 826.6 815.2 813.3 812.8 818.5 806.3 811.6 811.9 815.3 815.7 826.3 830.3 835.3 1,228.0 1,261.0 1,235.2 1,230.9 1,240.0 1,246.4 1,254.1 1,258.3 1,261.9 1,264.4 1,269.3 1,275.1 1,284.3 1,291.3 1,298.2 See notes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 97 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 12. Continued-Employment of workers on nonfarm payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted [In thousands] Annual average Industry 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. 1,108.3 1,147.7 1,105.7 1,104.6 1,099.8 1,103.5 1,103.5 1,110.1 1,117.7 1,120.5 1,129.7 1,136.5 1,142.9 1,153.3 1,163.0 747.3 779.1 764.0 765.4 767.9 774.0 780.9 785.9 791.4 792 .2 794.3 793.9 796.7 795.4 797.9 1,675.5 1,718.0 1,670.2 1,675.1 1,675.6 1,676.6 1,679.7 1,683.3 1,684.5 1,685.9 1,682.5 1,679.1 1,678.2 1,679.3 1,678.6 7,982.3 8,040.1 8,040.0 8,064.3 8,073.0 8,085.4 8,147.2 8,148.7 8,162.5 Nov.P Dec.P Computer systems design and related services .. ....... Management and technical consulting services ........ ... Management of companies and enterprises ...... .... ..... ... Administrative and waste services .............................. 7,698.3 7,934.0 7,819.2 7,838.5 7,862.4 7,880.1 Administrative and suooort services' ...... ............... . . 73,764.0 7,608.9 7,496.3 7,517.5 7,539.6 7,556.8 7,657.0 7,715.6 7,713.0 7,738.1 7,746.6 7,759.5 7,821 .5 7,822.1 7,837.0 3,336.2 3,470.2 3,461.3 3,473.8 3,493.8 3,492.3 3,553.7 3,591 .5 3,573.4 3,606.8 3,607.8 3,633.6 3,692 .9 3,696.5 3,719.9 2.243.2 747.4 2.393.6 754 .3 2.355.3 745.1 2.344 .3 739.0 2.370.4 739.8 2.380.3 746.0 2.423.8 748.6 2.451.7 751.2 2.449.4 754.0 2.460.2 749.9 2.474 .7 751.5 2.501 .4 744.3 2.554.2 747.8 2.551.7 748.8 2.561.1 749.2 1.631.7 1.694.5 1.635.9 1.637.1 1.639.5 1.646.2 1.674.5 1.686.0 1.694.1 1.691 .5 1.691.6 1.691.7 1.688.3 1.686.2 1.677.3 321 .9 325.2 322.9 321 322.8 323.3 325.3 324 .5 327 326.2 326.4 325.9 325.7 326.6 325.5 16,577 2,688.5 16,955 2,766.4 16,731 2,728.0 16,746 2,729.3 16,764 2,727.4 16,813 2,736.0 16,854 2,740.8 16,871 2,731.1 16,897 2,727.4 16,901 2,731.2 16,965 2,746.4 16,980 2,749.6 17,049 2,773.0 17,086 2,775.9 17,133 2,787.5 13,888.0 14,188.3 14,003.2 14,017.1 14,036.8 14,077.1 14,113.1 14,140.1 14,169.8 14,169.3 14,218.3 14,230.0 14275.6 14309.8 14345.3 4,776.0 2,003.8 423.1 727.1 4,946.9 2,054 .0 446.1 773.4 4,831 .0 2,030.0 425.0 739.9 4,840.3 2,032.3 427 .8 740.2 4,855.3 2,034.4 431.1 741.5 4,868.0 2,043.5 430.3 743.8 4,883.6 2,046.1 432.2 748.4 4,896.8 2,049.6 435.1 751.7 4,909.6 2,053.9 436.0 754.2 4,920.8 2,057.5 437.6 756.8 4,935.1 2,062.1 438.0 760.1 4,938.4 2,068.1 436.9 761 .5 4,964.6 2,078.6 437.7 766.2 4,978.1 2,083.6 438.3 773.5 4,995.2 2,088.9 438.8 778.2 4,252.5 4,2'l3.6 4,283.9 4,287.8 4,284.1 4,298.0 4,305.1 4,315.4 4,318.3 4,322.0 4,330 .5 4,332.1 4,337.5 4,346.7 4,351 .6 2,784.3 1.582.8 2,075.2 760.5 12,128 2,814.9 1.575.5 2,132.8 767.2 12,479 2,793.0 1.581 .7 2,095.3 2,792.1 1.580.3 2,096.9 2,791.1 1.578.7 2,106.3 2,798.4 1.582.1 2,112.7 2,802.8 1.584.0 2,121 .6 2,806.3 1.585.3 2,121.6 2,809.0 1.586.5 2,132 .9 2,812 .0 1.586.7 2,114.5 2,814 .0 1.586.3 2,138.7 2,820.3 1.587.1 2,139.2 2,820.5 1.587.1 2,153.0 2,826.3 1.591 .4 2,158.7 2,826.9 1.590.6 2,171.6 770 12,192 766.3 12,218 772.2 12,229 773.7 12,271 777.6 12,303 777.1 12,331 786 12,339 752.1 12,344 792.7 12,341 783.3 12,353 789.9 12,362 792.4 12,387 798.2 12,399 1,833.1 1,795.2 1,801.4 1,796.7 1,798.7 1,791.1 1,793.1 1,792.0 1,791.9 1,785.6 1,793.8 1,787.6 1,783.4 1,772.3 364 .7 368.8 369.4 366.5 364 .6 361.4 358.8 359.3 357.1 356.0 360.3 361.0 359.8 357.3 117.2 113.1 113.4 113.7 114.2 114.6 115.6 116.1 116.6 116.7 116.2 115.7 115.6 114.8 1,315.1 1,318.7 1,316.6 1,318.2 1,312.9 1,317.3 1,310.9 1,308.0 1,300.2 10,511.8 105,837.9 1,758.5 1,758.'5 10,546.7 10,551.7 10,555.6 10,559.3 10,574.0 10,603.9 10,626.4 1,764.7 1,764.4 1,767.9 1,771.4 1,769.2 1,786.7 1,790.6 Employment services 1 •• Temoorarv helo services ... Business suooort services .... Services to buildinos and dwellinas ... ........ Waste management and remediation services .... ..... Edur~t:onal and health services .. ... ............. Educational services .. ....... Health care and social assistance .... .. ... .... .... .. Ambulatorv health care services' .... .... ............. .... Offices of physicians ........... Oµtpatient care centers .... Home health care services ... Hospitals ......................... ... Nursina and residential r.;:trA f;:tr.ilitiA~ 1 Nursina care facilities ... .. Social assistance 1 • •••••••• •• •••• •• Child day care services .. .. .. . Leisure and hospitality ........... Arts, entertainment, and recreation . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . 1,801 .0 Performing arts and spectator sports ..... ...... ..... 370.2 Museums. historical sites, zoos, and parks ... .... ..... .... 114.1 Amusements, gambling , and recreation ..... .. .. .. .............. 1,316.6 Accommodations and food services .... ... ........ ........ 10,324.4 Accommodations .... .. ........... . 1,765.2 Food services and drinking places ........ . ................... 8,559.2 Other services ....................... . 5,393 Repair and maintenance ....... ~ 1,236.2 Personal and laundry services 1,258.2 Membership associations and organizations ... ..... .... ......... 2,898.0 Government................................ 21 ,575 Federal ........................ .............. 2,756 Federal, except U.S. Postal Service ............. ........... ........ ... 1,947.0 U.S. Postal Service .. .. .... ....... 809.1 State ............. ............................ 5,017 Education ............................... 2,266.4 Other State government... ..... 2,750.7 Local ........ .. .......... ....... ... . ........ 13,802 Education .. .. ............ ······· 7,699.1 Other local government ... ..... 6,104.0 1,351 .1 1,313.3 1,318.6 1,316.5 1,319.9 10,645.6 10,396.3 10,416.5 10,432.3 10,742.0 1,795.6 1,763.0 1,752.1 1,754.4 1,753.4 8,849.9 5,431 1,227.5 1,273.9 8,633.3 5,374 1,228.5 1,250.2 8,664.4 5,379 1,233.5 1,251 .2 8,677.9 5,376 1,230.5 1,247.6 8,718.6 5,391 1,239.4 1,255.9 8,753.3 5,404 1,238.2 1,260.5 8,779.4 5,407 1,237.7 1,265.5 8,782.0 5,418 1,235.1 1,268.4 8,787.7 5,414 1,236.3 1,262.1 8,787.7 5,414 1,235.2 1,259.9 8,787.9 5,410 1,235.2 1,255.7 8,804.8 5,410 1,226.6 1,252.9 8,817.2 5,417 1,236.4 1,255.6 8,835.8 5,421 1,237.1 1,259.1 2,929.3 2,895.7 2,894.5 2,898.3 2,895.2 2,904.8 2,903.7 2,914 .9 2,915.9 2,919.1 2,918.8 2,920.3 2,924.5 2,924.8 21,619 2,728 21,544 2,720 21,527 2,715 21,539 2,716 21,553 2,710 21,572 2,727 21 ,544 2,712 21,528 2,716 21,572 2,710 21 ,629 2,712 21,652 2,713 21,675 2,706 21,687 2,713 21,716 2,706 1,943.3 784 .1 4,986 2,249.1 2,736.6 13,906 7,763.0 6,142.9 1,928.9 791.4 5,027 2,285.7 2,740.9 13,797 7,687.1 6,109.7 1,921.5 793.1 5,007 2,268.0 2,738.9 13,805 7,692 .2 6,112.7 1,923.8 791 .7 5,018 2,279.6 2,738.4 13,805 7,694.3 6,110.8 1,921 .1 789.1 5,023 2,283.2 2,739.7 13,820 7,704.7 6,114 .8 1,939.5 787.3 5,019 2,278.3 2,740.6 13,826 7,710.9 6,115.4 1,925.7 786.5 5,004 2,261.4 2,742.8 13,828 7,710.2 6,117.9 1,930.5 785.4 5,004 2,257.8 2,746.1 13,808 7,695.1 6,113.3 1,922.5 787.2 5,019 2,271 .1 2,747.8 13,843 7,715.7 6,116.8 1,926.3 785.3 5,035 2,285.2 2,749.4 13,882 7,758.4 6,123.2 1,927.6 784 .9 5,047 2,299.7 2,747.5 13,892 7,760.4 6,131.6 1,923.6 781 .9 5,058 2,307.0 2,751 .1 13,911 7,774.9 6,136.3 1,930.4 782.3 5,066 2,311.4 2,754.5 13,908 7,779.9 6,128.1 1,931 .5 774.6 5,076 2,317.3 2,758.7 13,934 7,793.5 6,140.8 ' Includes other industries not shown separately. p : preliminary. 98 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with sic-based data. See "Notes on the NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American industry February 2005 data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision . 13. Average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers 1 on private nonfarm payrolls, by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Industry Annual average 2003 2004 2003 Dec. 2004 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P TOTAL PRIVATE .................... .. .. ..... 33.7 33.7 33.6 33.8 33.8 33.8 33.7 33.8 33.6 33.8 33.7 33.8 33.8 33.7 33.8 GOODS-PRODUCING ........ .. ................ 39.8 40.0 39.9 40.2 40.3 40.2 40.0 40.3 40.0 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.0 39.9 39.9 Nat1Jral resources and mining ............ 43.6 44.5 43.6 44.5 44.1 44.2 44.3 44.2 43.9 44.1 44.4 44.6 44.8 44.9 44.9 Construction .................................... 38.4 38.3 38.1 38.5 38.5 38.6 38.2 38.3 38.1 38.4 38.1 38.4 38.3 38.4 38.4 Manufacturing .................................... Overtime hours ................................. 40.4 4.2 40.8 4.6 40 .6 4.5 41.0 4.5 41.0 4.6 40 .9 4.6 40.7 4.5 41.1 4.6 40.8 4.6 40.9 4.6 40.9 4.6 40 .8 4.6 40.6 4.5 40 .5 4.5 40.5 4.5 Durable goods ... ...... ... ....... ... ............ Overtime hours ................................. Wood products ................................... Nonmetallic mineral products ............. Primary metals ... .......... ............ .. ...... .. . Fabricated metal products .................. Machinery .. .......... ......... ..... ... .. ... .. Computer and electronic products .... . Electrical equipment and appliances .. Transportation equipment. .................. Furniture and related products .. ..... ... Miscellaneous manufacturing ............. 40.8 4.3 40.4 42.2 42.3 40.7 40.8 40.4 40.6 41.9 38.9 38.4 41.3 4.7 40.6 42.4 43.1 41.1 41.9 40.4 40.7 42.5 39.5 38.5 41 .2 4.7 41.0 42.3 42 .7 40.8 41.1 40.4 40.7 42 .7 39.7 38.5 41.5 4.7 40.9 42.5 43.1 41.2 41.8 40.8 41.1 42 .8 39.7 39.0 41.5 4.8 41.1 42.5 43.0 41 .2 41.8 41 .2 40.7 42.9 39.4 38.7 41.4 4.8 41.0 42.9 43.2 41 .1 41.7 40.7 40.8 42.8 39.6 38.7 41.2 4.7 41.0 42.3 43.1 41.0 41.6 40.5 40.8 42.4 39.5 38.3 41.6 4.8 41.4 42.0 43.4 41 .3 42.3 40.8 41.6 42.8 40.0 38.9 41.2 4.7 40.5 41.8 43.5 41 .0 42.0 40.5 40.8 42.3 39.7 38.4 41.3 4.7 40.7 42.1 43.3 41.2 42.0 40.9 40.8 42.4 39.4 38.5 41.3 4.7 40.9 42.3 43.3 41.2 42.1 40.5 41.0 42.5 39.5 38.5 41.2 4.7 40.3 42.4 43.1 41 .2 42.3 40.3 40.5 42.4 39.3 38.3 41.1 4.7 40.2 42 .4 43.1 41 .0 42.2 40 .2 40.4 42.4 39.1 38.3 41.0 4.6 40.0 42.4 43 .1 40.8 42.2 39.9 40 .1 42.2 39.4 38.2 41.1 4.6 40.0 42.5 43.1 40.9 42 .1 40.2 39.6 42.4 39.7 38.5 Nondurable goods ................... ............. Overtime hours ................... ... ........... Food manufacturing ............................ Beverage and tobacco products ....... .. Textile mills ....................... .. .. ... .... Textile product mills ...... ................. Apparel ................. .............................. Leather and allied products ................ Paper and paper products ....... ........ Printing and related support activities ... .. ............................... ... .. ... Petroleum and coal products ...... ...... Chemicals .................................... Plastics and rubber products ... ......... 39.8 4.1 39.3 39.1 39.1 39.6 35.6 39.3 42.1 40.0 4.4 39.3 39.3 40.2 38.9 36.0 38.4 42.1 39.9 4.2 39.1 39.1 39.7 39.8 35.8 40 .3 41.8 40.2 4.3 39.5 39.6 40.0 39.4 35.7 39.8 41.9 40.3 4.3 39.4 40.3 40.0 39.9 36.2 39.5 42.0 40.1 4.3 39.3 39.4 40.2 38.8 36.3 39.4 41.8 40.0 4.3 39.1 39.6 39.5 38.3 35.9 39.1 41.9 40.3 4.4 39.6 39.2 40.3 38.8 36.1 38.4 42.6 40.1 4.4 39.4 38.7 40.3 38.9 35.9 38.0 42.0 40.1 4.4 39.3 39.2 40.5 38.5 36.1 37.2 42.4 40.2 4.4 39.3 39.5 40 .5 38.7 36.1 37.8 42.5 40.1 4.4 39.4 39.1 40 .1 39.0 36.2 38.1 42.1 39.8 4.3 38.9 38.5 40.1 39.0 36.0 38.3 42.2 39 .7 4.3 38.9 38.5 40 .0 38.8 35.9 38.1 42.0 39.6 4.3 38.7 38.4 40.1 38.4 36.3 36.8 42 .0 38.2 44.5 42.4 40.4 38.4 45.0 42.7 40.4 38.2 44.2 42.5 40.4 38.6 43.8 42.9 40.8 38.6 44.1 43.2 40.9 38.4 43.7 43.0 40.9 38.4 43.9 43.0 40.7 38.6 45.0 42.9 40.9 38.5 45.0 42 .6 40.8 38.6 45.0 42.8 40.5 38.5 46.3 42.8 40.5 38.3 45.8 42.8 40.2 38.2 44.9 42.6 40 .0 38.3 45.4 42 .3 39.6 38.2 45.0 42.2 39.7 32.4 32.3 32.2 32.4 32.4 32.4 32.3 32.4 32.3 32.4 32.4 32.5 32.5 32.4 32.5 33.5 37.8 33.5 37 .8 30 .8 36.7 40 .8 36.2 35.3 33.6 37.9 31.0 36.9 40.8 36.2 35.7 33.7 38.0 30 .9 37.2 41 .0 36.3 35.5 33.6 38.0 30.8 36.9 41 .2 36.3 35.5 33.5 38.0 30.7 36.9 41.2 36.3 35.6 33.5 37.8 30.7 37.3 41.3 36.4 35.8 33.3 37.6 30 .5 36.9 41.1 36.5 35.5 33.4 37.8 30.6 37.1 41.0 36.4 35.6 33.5 37.6 30.7 37.2 40.9 36.4 35.5 33.6 37.8 30 .8 37.4 41.4 36.4 35.5 33.6 37.7 30 .9 36.9 41.1 36.2 35.5 33.5 37.8 30.7 37.2 41 .0 36.3 35.6 30.8 37.4 40.7 36.4 35.7 33.5 37.6 30.7 37.3 40 .5 36.4 35.6 33.5 37.6 30.8 37.2 40.6 36.4 35.8 34.1 32.3 25.6 31.4 34.2 32.4 25.7 31.0 33 .8 32.4 25.6 31 .0 34.1 32.4 25.7 31.1 34.2 32.4 25.8 31.1 34.1 32.4 25.7 31.2 34.1 32.4 25.7 31.1 34.2 32.5 25.7 31.2 33.9 32.5 25.7 31.0 34.2 32.6 25.6 31.1 34.2 32.5 25.6 31.1 34.5 32.6 25.6 31 .1 34.3 32.6 25.7 31.0 34.2 32.5 25.7 31.0 34.2 32.6 25.8 31 .0 PRIVATE SERVICEP~OVIDING .................................. Trade, transportation, and utilities.............................................. Wholesale trade ... .. .. .. ... .... .. ... ........... Retail trade ... ................ ........ ......... Transportation and warehousing ........ Utilities .......... ........ ..... ...... ... ..... ..... Information ............................ .. ... .... .. Financial activities ............................ Professional and business services ......................................... Education and health services.......... .. Leisure and hospltallty ...................... Other services ...................................... 1 Data relate to production workers in natural resources and mining and manu- facturing , construction workers in construction, and nonsupervisory workers in the service-providing industries. NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard industrial Classification (SIC) system . NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with SIC-based data. See "Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 99 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 14. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers 1 on private nonfarm payrolls, by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Annual average Industry 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P TOTAL PRIVATE Current dollars .. . . .. .. .. . . . . . ... . . .. Constant (1982) dollars .. . . . . . . . . . . . $15.35 $15.67 $15.45 $15.49 $15.52 $15.55 $15.59 $15.63 $15.66 $15.71 $15.76 $15.78 $15.82 $15.84 8.27 8.23 8.30 8.27 8.27 8.24 8.25 8.21 8.20 8.23 8.26 8.25 8.22 8.22 $15.86 8.22 GOODS-PRODUCING ........................... .. 16.80 17.19 16.97 17.00 17.06 17.08 17.13 17.13 17.16 17.19 17.24 17.30 17.33 17.35 17.38 Natural resources and mining ............. Construction ......................................... Manufacturing ....................................... Excluding overtime .......................... Durable goods .. . .. ...... ....... ... ........ .. Nondurable goods ... .... .. . .... ...... ... ... 17.58 18.95 15.74 14.96 16.46 14.63 18.06 19.23 16.14 15.29 16.82 15.05 17.91 19.04 15.93 15.09 16.64 14.81 17.95 19.11 15.94 15.11 16.63 14.85 18.01 19.18 15.99 15.14 16.68 14.89 18.10 19.17 16.01 15.16 16.69 14.93 18.08 19.20 16.08 15.24 16.75 15.00 18.10 19.20 16.08 15.23 16.75 15.02 18.24 19.19 16.13 15.27 16.78 15.08 18.15 19.22 16.16 15.30 16.81 15.12 18.12 19.25 16.23 15.37 16.90 15.15 18.11 19.27 16.29 15.42 16.98 15.19 18.19 19.33 16.29 15.43 16.99 15.16 18.32 19.34 16.30 15.44 17.00 15.18 18.34 19.34 16.36 15.50 17.07 15.20 PRIVATE SERVICEPROVIDING ..... .............. .. ... .............. .. 14.96 15.26 15.05 15.08 15.10 15.13 15.17 15.23 15.26 15.31 15.36 15.38 15.41 15.43 15.46 14.34 17.36 11 .90 16.25 24 .76 21.01 17.13 14.59 17.66 12.08 16.53 25.62 21.42 17.53 14.41 17.46 11 .95 16.33 25.13 20.99 17.30 14.45 17.53 11 .95 16.46 25.32 21 .15 17.35 14.49 17.54 11 .98 16.52 25.35 21 .24 17.32 14.50 17.54 11 .99 16.53 25.38 21 .25 17.41 14.57 17.60 12.01 16.71 25.67 21 .29 17.46 14.61 17.63 12.06 16.75 25.46 21.42 17.49 14.65 17.67 12.10 16.82 25.44 21 .30 17.50 14.70 17.71 12.12 16.89 25.57 21.45 17.55 14.73 17.70 12.16 16.99 25.54 21 .53 17.58 14.74 17.74 12.17 16.91 25.73 21 .61 17.61 14.77 17.80 12.17 16.97 25.95 21 .60 17.68 14.79 17.81 12.22 16.97 25.85 21 .58 17.65 14.82 17.84 12.23 17.04 25.95 21 .78 17.70 17.20 17.46 17.25 17.24 17.25 17.27 17.29 17.36 17.42 17.44 17.56 17.52 17.59 17.62 17.65 15.64 8.76 13.84 16.15 8.91 13.98 15.81 8.84 13.80 15.87 8.85 13.84 15.90 8.86 13.84 15.96 8.87 13.87 15.99 8.86 13.84 16.06 8.86 13.85 16.12 8.85 13.88 16.18 8.87 13.90 16.19 8.91 13.92 16.23 8.95 13.95 16.24 8.99 13.99 16.27 9.02 14.02 16.26 9.03 14.03 Trade,transportatlon, and utilities ..................... ................... Wholesale trade ... ..... ............... .. ......... Retail trade ......................... ................ Transportation and warehousing ... ... . Utilities .. .... ... ... .. .. ... .. ... .. . .. ..... .... ... Information ................ ............................ Financial activities................................ Professional and business services ............................................... Education and health services ............................................... Leisure and hospitality ........................ Other services.................. ................ ..... 1 Data relate to production workers in natural resources and mining and manufacturing , construction workers in constru ction, and nonsupervisory workers in the service-providing industries. p 100 = preliminary. Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system. NAICS based data by industry are not comparable with SIC-based data. See "Notes on th e data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision . 15. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers 1 on private nonfarm payrolls, by industry Industry TOTAL PRIVATE ............... ...... .... .. Seasonally adjusted .... .... ....... ... 2003 Annual average 2003 2004 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P $15.56 15.49 $15.60 15.52 $15.55 15.55 $15.59 15.59 $15.63 15.63 $15.57 15.66 $15.59 15.71 $15.67 15.76 $15.80 15.78 $15.83 15.82 $15.86 15.84 $15 .89 15.84 17.43 $15.35 $15.68 15.47 - $15.48 15.45 GOODS-PRODUCING ............................. 16.8 17.19 17.03 16.94 16.95 17.00 17.09 17.10 17.14 17. 18 17.28 17. 41 17.39 17.38 Natural resources and mining ... ...... .. 17.58 18.13 17.97 18.00 18.05 18.17 18.14 18.06 18.18 18.07 18.01 18.04 18.14 18.32 18.41 Construction ... ... ................................. 18.95 19.24 19.19 19.01 19.07 19.07 19.15 19.15 19.12 19.25 19.33 19.42 19.47 19.37 19.35 Manufacturing ..... ......... ............ .. ... .. 15.74 16.15 16.05 15.98 15.99 16.01 16.07 16.05 16.09 16.04 16.17 16.36 16.27 16.33 16.47 Durable goods ... ..... ...... ...... ............ Wood products .... ..... .................... .... Nonmetallic mineral products .... .. ... Primary metals ................................. Fabricated metal products ............... ~,ldGhinery .... .. ... ....... ..... .... ......... Computer and electronic products ... Electrical equipment and appliances Transportation equipment ................ Furniture and related products .. ....... Miscellaneous manufacturing .. ........ 16.46 12.71 15.77 18.13 15.01 16.30 16.68 14.35 21 .25 12.98 13.30 16.84 13.01 16.27 18.57 15.30 16.66 17.26 14.85 21 .54 13.16 13.84 16.78 12.93 15.98 18.39 15.23 16.62 16.85 14.68 21 .74 13.08 13.60 16.66 12.90 16.03 18.39 15.20 16.53 16.81 14.50 21 .38 12.95 13.68 16.68 12.91 16.00 18.36 15.18 16.50 16.92 14.58 21 .37 12.92 13.75 16.69 12.93 16.02 18.33 15.25 16.49 16.93 14.68 21.34 12.96 13.78 16.72 13.00 16.19 18.52 15.21 16.53 17.01 14.80 21 .36 13.09 13.70 16.71 13.03 16.18 18.48 15.20 16.53 17.11 14.83 21.29 13.04 13.76 16.75 12.98 16.24 18.51 15.23 16.56 17.21 14.88 21.36 13.10 13.81 16.61 13.03 16.38 18.66 15.26 16.68 17.29 14.88 20.77 13.11 13.89 16.85 13.01 16.29 18.58 15.27 16.72 17.37 14.98 21.54 13.27 13.87 17.08 13.13 16.52 18.89 15.42 16.85 17.47 15.03 21.96 13.39 13.96 16.99 13.02 16.38 18.74 15.37 16.83 17.51 15.00 21.84 13.26 13.91 17.05 13.09 16.50 18.69 15.44 16.80 17.60 15.02 21 .95 13.29 13.97 17.22 13.13 16.48 18.73 15.54 16.89 17.86 15.08 22.27 13.16 13.96 Nondurable goods .... ....... .. .. ... .. .. .... Food manufacturing ............ ... ....... .. . Beverages and tobacco products .... 14.63 12.80 17.96 15.06 12.97 19.14 14.88 12.95 18.58 14.89 12.91 18.88 14.88 12.87 18.76 14.90 12.89 19.13 15.01 12.96 19.60 14.98 12.94 19.55 15.03 13.00 19.39 15.14 13.05 19.29 15.09 12.99 19.10 15.24 13.08 19.20 15.12 12.93 19.20 15.17 12.97 18.84 15.24 13.01 18.72 Textile mills ............................... .. ..... Textile product mills ......................... Apparel ..... ................ ....................... Leather and allied products .... ....... Paper and paper products .. ........... Printing and related support activitiei Petroleum and coal products ....... .. Chemicals .... ... .... .... .... ..... .. .. ..... . Plastics and rubber products ....... .... 1.2.00 11 .24 9.56 11 .67 17.32 15.37 23.64 18.52 14.18 12.14 11 .43 9.76 11.65 17.85 15.71 24.41 19.22 14.59 12.21 11.44 9.80 11 .90 17.60 15.56 24.06 18.79 14.47 12.11 11.45 9.74 11 .94 17.63 15.53 24.13 18.83 14.43 12.13 11 .40 9.58 11 .76 17.55 15.57 24.32 18.85 14.45 12.09 11.37 9.60 11 .64 17.59 15.61 24.82 18.87 14.45 12.23 11 .33 9.71 11 .65 17.84 15.54 24.48 19.02 14.58 12.08 11 .30 9.55 11.49 17.88 15.51 24.41 19.05 14.55 12.15 11.29 9.60 11 .59 17.86 15.54 24.24 19.20 14.59 12.07 11 .48 9.74 11 .68 17.91 15.71 24.35 19.36 14.69 12.08 11.46 9.73 11 .68 17.84 15.86 24.07 19.29 14.66 12.26 11.51 9.93 11 .56 18.16 15.94 24.47 19.49 14.75 12.12 11 .44 9.97 11 .57 17.87 15.94 24.35 19.47 14.55 12.12 11 .44 10.02 11 .53 18.10 15.90 24.78 19.47 14.60 12.19 11 .68 10.02 11.74 17.99 15.86 24.56 19.76 14.73 PRIVATE SERVICEPROVIDING .. .. ................. ... ........ . .. . 14.96 15.28 15.07 15.19 15.24 15.16 15.20 15.24 15.14 15.17 15.24 15.37 15.41 15.46 15.48 Trade, transportation, and utilities .. ... .......................................... Wholesale trade .. ...... .. .. ..... ..... ...... Retail trade ...... .. ..... .. .... ...... .... ..... Transportation and warehousing .... .. Utilities ..... ... ... .. ..... .... ... ....... .. ...... . 14.34 17.36 11 .90 16.25 24.76 14.65 17.66 12.10 16.81 25.60 14.31 17.46 11.87 16.33 25.26 14.50 17.56 11.98 16.46 25.38 14.58 17.60 12.04 16.58 25.29 14.53 17.47 12.03 16.51 25.36 14.64 17.60 12.08 16.73 25.69 14.64 17.67 12.08 16.72 25.53 14.61 17.58 12.09 16.80 25.33 14.62 17.66 12.07 16.86 25.43 14.66 17.69 12.09 16.98 25.33 14.78 17.72 12.23 16.91 25.87 14.78 17.77 12.18 16.98 26.00 14.77 17.81 12.18 17.00 25.99 14.72 17.83 12.14 17.08 26.05 21.01 21.44 21.10 21.21 21 .28 21 .17 21 .24 21.41 21 .18 21 .30 21 .44 21.73 21 .69 21 .71 21 .86 17. 13 17.52 17.26 17.35 17.47 17.37 17.45 17.62 17.38 17.44 17.58 17.60 17.67 17.62 17.65 17.20 17.43 17.29 17.38 17.47 17.28 17.26 17.45 17.28 17.31 17.46 17.43 17.50 17.59 17.70 16.29 Financial activities ............................. Professional and business services ...... .. ... ....... ......... .... ... ... ... Education and health services ......... .. ..... .. .. ... ................ 15.64 16.11 15.86 15.94 15.95 15.94 15.99 16.00 16.06 16.18 16.16 16.25 16.25 16.28 Leisure and hospitality ............... ... .. 8.76 8.91 8.94 8.89 8.92 8.89 8.84 8.85 8.78 8.78 8.80 8.94 9.01 9.06 9.17 Other services..... ... . ......... ................. 13.84 13.91 13.88 13.89 13.90 13.85 13.87 13.90 13.82 13.78 13.84 13.97 13.97 14.04 14.11 1 Data relate to production workers in natural resources and mining and NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Industry manufacturing, construction workers in construction, and nonsupervisory workers in Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) the service-providing industries. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with SIC-based data. See "Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 101 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 16. Average weekly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers 1 on private nonfarm payrolls, by industry Annual average Industry 2003 TOTAL PRIVATE ........ ............ $517.36 Seasonally adjusted ········· GOODS-PRODUCING ............ ... . Natural resources and mining ...... .......... ............ 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P $528.97 $518.15 523.56 $527.28 524.58 $520.93 525.59 $522 .27 525.38 $531.42 528.29 $524.71 526.18 $528.50 531.00 $535.91 531.11 $530.88 533.36 $535.05 534.72 $534.48 533.81 $537.08 536.07 681 .70 678.47 690.84 689.03 687.20 698.11 691 .18 699.08 696.94 702.43 822.93 - - $520.13 519.12 669.23 688.85 682.90 674.21 674.61 766.83 804.90 786.98 797.66 794.53 802.31 806.85 712.88 711.31 732.29 721 .96 738.03 754.60 755.80 797.37 730.19 821 .74 755.44 831 .73 736.78 798.25 741 .11 809.01 727.11 781 .70 714.34 784.80 Construction ..................... ..... 739.93 739.17 Manufacturing ... ................. . ... 636.07 658.94 662.87 650.39 652.39 653.21 652 .44 659.66 659.69 646.41 661 .35 664.22 662.19 666.26 678.56 .............. .... 671 .53 694.90 703.08 688.06 688.88 690.97 687 .19 695.14 695.13 674.37 695.91 698.57 699.99 702.46 721.52 Wood products .. .......... ....... Nonmetallic mineral products .... Primary metals ......... ............ Fabricated metal products ........ Machinery .. ..................... ..... Computer and electronic products ........... ................ .. ... Electrical equipment and appliances ... . . ' . . . .. . . .... .. ......... . Transportation equipment . ..... Furniture and related products .. ... ........ ... ........ .. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........ ...... .......... 513.92 665.11 767.63 610.33 664.79 528.73 690.13 801 .78 628 .65 699.19 531.42 669.56 799.97 635.09 696.38 517.29 663.64 796.29 626.24 689.30 521 .56 664.00 787.64 623.90 691.35 524.96 680.85 790.02 625.25 690.93 530.40 684.84 800.06 620.27 987 .65 544.65 684.41 803.88 627.76 700.87 533.48 690.20 808.89 627.48 698.83 531 .62 694.51 791.18 621.08 692.22 538.61 700.47 798.94 627.60 697.22 521 .26 710.36 808.49 627.59 699 .28 526.01 701 .06 803.95 633.24 706.86 526.22 702.90 809.28 634.58 710.64 527.83 698.75 822.25 648.02 724.58 674.68 699.17 695.91 680.81 695.41 690.74 683.80 694.67 698.73 696.79 700.01 700.55 705.65 709.28 732.26 582.68 890.32 604.21 916.24 616.56 950.04 594.50 915.06 591 .95 916.77 596.01 917.62 599.40 905.66 613.96 915.47 611.57 912.07 599.66 841 .19 611.18 911.14 601 .20 928.91 612.00 928.20 609.81 930.68 609.23 968.75 505.23 519.66 528.43 510.23 505.17 510.62 517 .06 517.69 521 .38 515.22 529.47 519.53 515.81 524.96 548.51 510.69 533.28 533.12 532 .15 533.50 534.66 524.71 535.26 530.30 527.82 534.00 529.08 534.14 536.45 547.23 Nondurable goods .... ........ . .... ... 582.65 602.85 602.64 594.11 595.20 596.00 595.90 602 .20 604.21 602.57 606.62 611 .12 604.80 608.32 612.65 Food manufacturing ... .. .. .... .... Beverages and tobacco '""'.1L1CIS ... . ...... .... .. .... . .. .. .. . Textile mills .............. ... ..... Textile product mills ... .... .... .. Apparel.. ....... . ..... ... . . ... .. Leather and allied products ..... .. Paper and paper products .... ... Printing and related support activities .. ... ····· ···· ·· Petroleum and coal products .. .. ......... ... . . . . .. . . . ... Chemicals ..... ....... .... . ... . . .. .. Plastics and rubber products ... .. .. ......... .. .. ........ 502 .61 508.97 514.12 504.78 499.36 498.84 497 .66 511 .13 512.20 512.87 514.40 521 .89 508.15 513.61 511 .29 702.75 469.47 445.08 340.22 458.26 719.21 749 .38 487.43 444.04 352 .04 445.95 752 .38 722.76 490.84 464.46 352 .80 485.52 751.52 728.77 485.61 447.70 343.82 471 .63 738.70 737.27 486.41 450.30 345.84 464.52 731 .84 744.16 490.85 441 .16 350.40 464.44 731 .74 780.08 484.31 435.07 347.76 460.18 745 .71 774.18 486.82 436.18 346.67 441 .22 756.32 760.09 490.86 444.83 348.48 442 .74 748.33 760.03 481 .59 435.09 348.69 422.82 750.43 762.09 489.24 443.50 353.20 441 .50 754.63 764.16 489.17 445.44 352.52 430.03 771 .80 735.36 482.38 448.45 357.92 445.45 755.90 727.22 486.01 446.16 361 .72 440.45 767.44 718.85 496.13 455.52 369.74 428.51 775.37 587.42 603.66 602.17 593.25 597.89 600.99 593.63 594.03 593.63 600.12 610.61 612 .10 613.69 616.92 616.95 1,052.97 784.56 1,096.71 820.73 1,061 .05 806.09 1,068.96 804.04 1,074.94 816.21 1,079.67 811.41 1,062.43 814.06 1,091 .13 815.34 1,095 .65 819.84 1,120.10 816.99 1,097.59 823.68 1,120.73 832 .22 1,098.19 827.48 1,132.45 829.42 1,110.11 837.82 572.23 589.73 596.16 585.86 588.12 589.56 594.86 595.10 599.65 583.19 589.33 590 .00 583.46 582 .54 595.09 484.00 494.46 485.25 484.56 496.82 486.64 487.92 496.82 489.02 493.03 501.40 496.45 499.28 499.36 501 .55 490.69 480.82 477.05 488.43 482.40 486.05 493 ..37 489.44 494.46 498.44 496.61 495.13 491.84 494.59 666.52 371 .80 659.99 367.97 656.74 658.62 365.71 665.28 367.23 674.99 361 .80 670.56 368.42 372.06 661 .01 372.37 665.78 376.58 672.22 378.42 666.27 377.91 668.15 373.93 669.66 370.27 668.63 376.34 624.01 1,048.44 602.58 1,028.08 597.50 1,032.97 613.46 1,039.42 604.27 1,039.76 610.65 1,053.29 627.00 1,054.39 621.60 1,046.13 627.19 1,032.46 641 .84 1,030.93 630.74 1,073.61 635.05 1,066.00 637.50 1,060.39 638.79 1,052.42 Durable goods .... . PRIVATE SERVICEPROVIDING ............................... Trade, transportation, and utilities............ .. .... ... .. .... 481 .10 Wholesale trade .... .. ... . ... .. . ..... 657.12 Retail trade .. ......... . ............ ... 367.28 Transportation and warehousing .. .. ....... .... ........ 597 .79 Utilities ..... .. ........... .. ... . ... 1,016.94 1 2003 2004 Information ................... .......... 761.13 778.77 761.71 763.56 776 .72 760.00 764 .64 777.18 775.19 773.19 788.99 788.80 789.52 792.42 793.52 Financial activities ... ...... ... ... ... 608.87 623 .02 607.55 612.10 630.67 611.42 615.99 637.84 613.51 617.38 634.64 619.52 627.29 625.51 630.11 Professional and business services ........ . ... ..... . 586.68 595.32 582 .67 583.97 602.72 587.52 588 .57 603.77 587.52 590.27 604.12 592.62 598.50 599.82 603.57 Education and health services ... ................... 505.76 523.26 512 .28 514.86 519.97 513.27 516.48 521 .60 520.34 527.47 530.05 528 .13 528.13 529.10 529.43 Leisure and hospitality..... ....... 224.35 228.74 225.29 221 .36 230.14 225.80 224.81 229.22 227.40 230.91 234.08 226.18 230.66 230.12 233.84 Other services ...... ...... ... ....... .. 434.49 432.02 430.28 429.20 433.68 428.73 428.58 435.07 428.42 429.94 434.58 431 .67 433.07 433.84 437.41 Datc1 •elate to production workers in natural resources and mining and manufacturing, Industry Classification System (NAICS). replacing the Standard Industrial Classifification (SIC) system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with sic-based data. See "Notes on construction workers in construction, and nonsupervisory workers in th e serviceproviding industries. the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision . NOTE : Dash indicates data not available. p - preliminary. Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American 102 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17. Diffusion indexes of employment change, seasonally adjusted [In percent] Timespan and year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Private nonfarm payrolls, 278 industries Over 1-month span: 2000 .. ...... ..................................... . 2001 ......... .. ....... ......... ····· ············ · 2002 ............................................. . 2003 ......................... ......... ........... . 2004 ........... .. ... ........... .. .. .............. . Over 3-month span: 2000 .. .......... ................ .. ............... . 2001 ............................................. . 2002 ........ ... .......... .. ....................... 2003 ............................................. . 2004 ................................... .. ........ . Over 6-month span: 2000 ....................................... .. .... . 2001 ....... ... .... .. ........................ ...... 2002 ............................................. . 2003 ... ..................... ...................... 2004 ............ .. ............................... . Over 12-month span: 2000 .. ... .. .. ..................... ............... . 2001 .............................................. 2002 ................ ..... .. ... .................... 2003 ............................................. . 2004 .... .... .. ................................... . 61 .9 52.2 40.1 41.2 52.3 62.9 47.8 35.1 35.1 56.1 63.3 50.4 41.0 38.1 68.7 59.5 34.4 41 .5 41.4 67.6 46.9 41.4 41 .7 42.8 63.8 61.7 39.2 47.8 63.1 37.1 44 .1 52.5 38.8 44.1 40.1 60.6 40.5 55.2 39.7 56.3 69.2 52.7 34.0 66.2 50.4 37.4 67.8 50.4 35.1 68.3 43.5 36.2 60.1 38.8 36.7 58.1 34.9 61.5 37.9 40.8 36.5 54.0 32.6 55.2 36.3 62.8 35.1 70.0 40.5 74.5 39.4 42.6 68.7 56.3 36.2 39.9 37.4 64.6 35.4 57.2 67.3 51 .8 29.5 69 .1 50.0 30.0 75.2 51 .8 31.1 72.5 47.3 31.1 67.4 43.5 31 .7 67.8 41 .5 37.1 66.7 38.1 37.2 60.8 35.4 39.0 33.6 48.9 31.1 54.1 31.7 59.6 31.7 64.7 33.5 67.8 37.8 71.2 36.2 68.3 36.5 71.6 70 .9 59.5 33.6 34.5 69.2 59.5 31.7 31..5 69.8 48.6 30.2 36.2 54.9 70.0 43.3 32.0 70.3 43.9 31 .3 43.2 1 71.0 49.3 30.4 33.5 50.7 71 .0 45.0 29.1 37.8 1 73.2 53.4 30.2 32.9 47.3 34.4 60.3 34.7 64.0 33.1 63.8 51.5 38.3 42.8 49.3 56.8 53.4 32.4 39.0 46.0 58.3 56.8 36.7 38.7 51.1 57.4 53.8 34.9 34.5 49.1 57.6 56.5 34.7 38.7 40.1 60.6 53.2 35.3 37.1 45.5 57.7 52 .9 30.8 34.4 50 .5 58.6 56 .8 32.0 34.7 51 .1 58.1 59.0 32.2 34.7 40.5 67.1 55.0 33.1 36.5 39.4 65.1 59.7 31.5 35.3 42 .6 61.0 54.0 31.1 33.3 41.7 56.3 70.3 39.9 30.0 37.6 65.3 65.6 37.8 29.5 37.4 66.5 63.8 37.1 32.9 33.1 68.7 62.1 34.9 34.7 35.4 66.5 Manufacturing payrolls, 84 industries Over 1-month span: 2000 ........... .. .... .......... .. .. ...... ... ..... . 2001 ....... ... .. ....... .. .. ......... ............. . 2002 ............... ............... ......... ...... . 2003 ............................................. . 2004 ....................................... ....... 48.2 22.6 58.3 22.0 50.0 21.4 50.0 16.1 41.1 15.5 57.1 23.2 60.7 13.7 28.6 14.3 25.0 19.0 35.1 17.9 39.9 14.9 41.1 10.1 21.4 26.2 42 .9 18.5 15.5 55.4 23.8 22.6 60.1 35.1 13.7 66.1 29.8 26 .2 64.9 32.7 25.0 54.2 40.5 28.0 57.1 28.0 26.2 48.2 31.0 27.4 44.0 11.9 28 .6 47.6 15.5 51.2 47.6 17.9 45.8 51.2 Over 3-month span: 2000 ............................................. . 2001 ............................................ .. 2002 .............................................. 2003 ....... .. ................... ................. . 2004 .. ....... ......................... .. ... ...... . 53.6 35.7 9.5 13.7 48.8 53.6 21 .4 10.1 13.1 51.8 56.0 16.1 11 .3 16.7 59.5 54.8 14.3 17.9 10.1 66.1 44.0 13.1 17.3 13.1 71.4 44.0 13.7 51.2 11.9 47.6 8.9 19.0 14.9 65.5 28.0 16.1 65.5 22.0 16.1 51.8 32 .7 8.3 23.8 16.1 53.0 25.0 13.1 15.5 24.4 43.5 23.2 8.9 6.5 27.4 44 .6 38.7 10.1 4.8 41 .7 42 .3 Over 6-month span: 2000 ..... .. .. ..................................... 2001 ...................... ....................... . 2002 ............................... .............. . 2003 .......... .............. .................... . 2004 ............... ..... .... .. ................... . 44.0 22.0 6.5 11.3 28.6 52.4 23.8 8.9 9.5 36.9 55.4 22.0 7.7 6.0 46.4 57.7 20 .8 8.3 7.1 56.5 47.6 14.3 7.7 8.9 61 .3 51.8 13.7 14.3 56 .0 14.3 14.9 45.2 10.1 10.7 13.1 64.9 8.9 66.7 13.1 66.1 39.3 10.7 12.5 13.1 58.3 34.5 5.4 10.1 16.7 54.8 32.1 7.1 8.9 19.0 45.2 27.4 4.8 8.9 19.6 46.4 Over 12-month span: 2000 .......... ............ ............. ...... .... . 2001 ........ ...................................... 2002 .................. ........................ ... . 2003 ... ...... ..................................... 2004 ..................... .. ...... ...... ........ .. . 41.7 29.8 7.1 10.7 9.5 39.3 32.1 6.0 6.0 19.0 47.0 20.8 6.0 6.5 16.7 50.0 19.0 6.5 5.4 26.2 46.4 13.1 7.1 8.3 29.8 52.4 12.5 3.6 51.8 10.7 4.8 49.4 11 .9 6.0 9.5 40.5 9.5 50.0 9.5 50.6 46.4 11.9 4.8 10.7 52.4 40 .5 10.1 7.1 11 .9 55.4 35.1 8.3 4.8 9.5 52.4 33.3 6.0 8.3 11.3 48.2 NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment increasing plus one-half of the industries with unchanged employment, where 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing employment. See the "Definitions" in this section. See "Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Data for the two most recent Monthly Labor Review months are preliminary. February 2005 103 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 18. Job openings levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted 1 Levels (in thousands) Industry and region June Total 2 Rates 2004 July Aug. 2004 Sept. Oct. Dec.P Nov.P June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.P Dec.P 3,022 3,237 3,195 3,294 3,420 3,204 3,204 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 Total private 2 •••• . ••• ..• •••• .. ••.••...• .••.••.•• ••• 2,640 2,894 2,859 2,934 3,042 2,867 2,867 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 Construction ......................... .. .. ... .. 94 88 121 113 114 108 108 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 Manufacturing .... ............ ........... ..... 247 240 234 251 263 236 236 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 ••....•.•..... •• ...•.•...•.... . .•. ••. .. • .....•.....• Industry Trade, transportation, and utilities ... .. .. 503 567 551 591 630 551 551 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.1 Professional and business services .... 494 594 564 543 614 595 540 595 540 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.4 Education and health services ..... ...... 496 583 537 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 435 425 550 405 3.1 421 536 410 2.9 Leisure and hospitality .. .... ............ ... 385 385 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.0 Government. ..................................... . 380 343 337 350 403 335 335 1 .. 7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.5 546 1,164 545 540 562 606 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.0 2.0 1,259 1,245 1,385 523 1,214 2.1 1,280 523 1,214 2.1 South ..................... ... .. ........... .. .... 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.5 Midwest. .............. ...... ..... .. ..... .... ... 631 635 613 699 711 713 713 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 West. ..... .......................... ...... ..... . 677 738 771 790 756 750 750 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 Reglon 3 Northeast. ......... .. .................. ........ West Virginia; Midwest: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin; West: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming. NOTE: The job openings level is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month; the job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings. ' Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of the independent seasonal adj11~t..,,<:1nt of the various series. 2 Includes natural resources and mining, information , financial activities, and other services, not shown separately. Northeast: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont; South: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, = preliminary. P 19. Hires levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted 1 Levels (in thousands) Industry and region Rates 2004 June Total 2 •.•• .••••.•••.•• •• .•••.•.•.•.•.•..•.•.•.•...•.•.•.•• July Aug. Sept. 2004 Oct. Nov. Dec.P June 4,433 4,229 4,375 4,253 4,469 4,780 4,488 Total private 2 ........... ... ....... . ............... . 4,110 3,930 4,058 3,906 4,149 4,467 4,198 3.7 Construction ... .......... ..... .... ...... ...... 436 370 401 I 356 984 388 379 388 376 1,081 385 327 1,022 6.3 2.6 3.4 July 3.2 Aug Sept. Oct. Nov Dec.P 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 5.1 2.3 3.8 3.8 5.8 2.5 3.6 5.5 2.6 3.4 4.0 5.3 2.4 5.5 2.6 4.2 5.5 2.3 4.0 3.4 Industry Trade, transportation, and utilities ..... .. 945 368 352 957 864 361 333 976 3.7 3.8 3.9 Professional and business services .. .. 692 621 690 689 783 801 718 4.2 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.7 4.8 4.3 Education and health services ....... .... 418 401 782 411 769 439 2.8 2.6 803 6.2 6.1 2.4 6.3 2.4 802 2.6 6.1 2.5 760 470 760 447 Leisure and hospitality ....... ......... ..... 428 749 6.2 6.5 2.6 6.5 Government. ........ .... ........... ............. .. 328 310 322 337 321 325 287 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 745 1,635 755 1,694 793 1,799 796 1,704 2.8 2.9 3.7 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.9 3.5 3.0 3.6 3.1 3.9 3.1 3.6 Manufacturing ........... .. ............... .... Reglon 3 Northeast. ....... ..... .......... .... .. ...... ... 703 720 763 South ........................................... 1,709 1,640 1,643 Midwest .......... .......... .. ........... ..... .. 1,009 935 945 942 1,054 1,114 998 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.2 West. .. ............ ..... .. .. ....... ..... ...... ... 1,023 685 1,018 942 928 1,022 951 3.6 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.3 Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of the independent seasonal adjustment of the various series. 2 Includes natural resources and mining, information, financial activities, and other services, not shown separately. Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin; West: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming . Midwest: 3 Northeast: Connecticut, l,1aine, Massachuse.ts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont; South: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee , Texas, Virginia, West Virginia; 104 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 NOTE: The hires level is the number of hires during the entire month; the hires rate is the number of hires during the entire month as a percent of total employment. P = preliminary. 20. Total separations levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted Rates Levels' ,in thousands) June Totai2. ...... .. 2004 2004 Industry and r~gion July Sept. ALtJ. Oct Nov. Dec.P June 4,069 4,074 4,134 4,158 4,129 4,131 4,278 Total private 2 • • • ••• ••• • ••• • • • •••• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •••. 3,789 3,793 3,894 3,856 3,877 3,832 3,994 3.5 Construction ... ... ...... .... .... ... .. .... ... ... 382 364 391 350 423 360 343 5.5 Manufacturing ... ........ ...... ..... ...... .... 343 367 379 381 338 334 372 2.4 ························ ·················· Aug. July 3.1 Sept. 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.3 5.6 5.0 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 Dec.P Nov. Oct. 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.6 6.0 5.1 4.9 2.3 2.3 2.6 Industry Trade, transpo,1ation, and utilities ..... .. 927 972 951 909 922 934 1,073 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.2 h ofessional and business services .... 607 613 575 649 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.5 4.2 3.9 362 363 380 580 373 694 Education and health services .......... . 590 384 422 380 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.2 Leisure and hospitality .......... ........... . 734 694 760 756 747 692 750 5.9 5.6 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.6 6.1 Government. ............. ..... ............. .. ... .. 270 273 246 306 260 307 277 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.3 738 1,572 782 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.1 1,599 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.2 2.8 3.3 Reglon 3 Northeast. .... ... ... .. ....... ..... .. .. ......... 704 674 717 730 670 South .... .... .............. .... ... .......... .... 1,533 1,545 1,527 1,506 1,568 853 935 831 931 948 986 949 2.7 3.0 3.3 2.7 979 945 1,087 978 914 817 938 3.4 3.3 3.8 Midwest. ......... .. .. .... ...... .. .... ........ I West. ........ .. ... ... ... ... .... ..... .. .... ...... j 1 Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of the independent seasonal adjustment Midwest: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin; West: Alaska, Arizona, California, of the various series. Includes natural resources and mining, information, financial activities, and other Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon , Utah, Washington, Wyoming. services, not shown separately. 3 Northeast: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont; South: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, NOTE: The total separations level is the number of total separations during the entire District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, month; the total separations rate is the number of total separations during the entire Louisiana, Mary'.: nd, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia l ' !est Virginia; month as a percent of total employment. P = preliminary. 21. Quits levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted 1 Rates Levels (in thousands) Industry and region 2004 2004 June Totai2 ........ ..... ...... ... ............................. . July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.P June July Aug. 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.4 3.9 1.4 3.9 1.4 3.9 1.5 3.7 2.1 1.4 4.0 .5 .6 .5 .5 .6 1.7 1.7 2,283 2.0 2.0 1.9 162 2.3 1.5 2.1 182 191 1.2 1.2 1.1 515 551 553 2.1 2.2 325 240 439 296 242 476 357 258 453 356 234 498 2.0 1.3 3.9 2.0 1.6 3.6 130 122 119 127 .6 .6 1.7 Dec.P Nov. Oct Sept. 2,284 2,265 2,252 2,248 2,283 2,325 2,408 Total private 2 • • • ••• • ••••• • ••••• •••• ••••• •• ••••••• • • 2, 162 2,141 2,140 2,118 2,147 2,206 Construction .... .................... ..... ..... 156 101 147 138 161 155 Manufacturing ...... .......... ...... .......... 171 174 165 183 172 Trade, transportation, and utilities ...... . 536 559 552 536 Professional and business services ... Leisure and hospitality ...... ..... .. ........ 322 225 480 322 271 442 308 239 476 Government. .. .... ......... .... .. ......... ... ..... 123 126 116 338 901 339 325 316 355 350 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 903 910 971 995 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 Industry Education and healtn services .......... . ' Region 3 1 Northeast. ...................... ............... 334 South .... ... ...... .............................. 910 Midwest. ....... .... ............ .. .............. 485 505 8971 447 472 510 508 512 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.6 West. ..... .... ...... ............................ 573 519 566 546 539 468 519 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.8 Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of the independent st-asonal adjustment Includes natural resources and mining , information, financial activities, and other Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, California, Colorado, Hawaii , Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon , Utah, Washington, Wyoming. services, not shown separately. 3 Midwest: Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin; West: Alaska, Arizona, of the various series. Northeast: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont; South: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: The quits level is the number of quits during the entire month; the quits rate is the number of quits during the entire month as a percent of total employment. P = preliminary. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 105 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 22. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages: 10 largest counties, fourth quarter 2003. County by NAICS supersector Establishments, fourth quarter 2003 (thousands) December 2003 Percent change, December (thousands) 2002-032 Fourth quarter Percent change, fourth quarter 2003 2002-032 United States 3 •..• ..•. ..... ... ... . .•.. ...... ...•..•.••...••.•....•....•.....•.......•. .... . Private industry ......................... ....... ........ ............................ . Natural resources and mining ............................................. . Construction ......... ......... ......... ................... ......... ................. . Manufacturing ...................................................................... Trade, transportation, and utilities .. ..................................... . Information ........................................................................... Financial activities .......................... .. ...... ................ ...... .. ..... . Professional and business services .............. .............. .. ..... .. Education and health services ............................................ . Leisure and hospitality ..... ........ ..... .. ................................ ..... Other services ........................ . Government ........... .......... ................................ .. . 8,314.1 8,048.7 123.7 804.9 376.8 1,853.6 145.2 767.0 1,329.4 732.2 669.9 1,080.6 265.3 129,341.5 108,215.1 1,557.8 6,689.5 14,307.8 25,957.3 3,165.9 7,874.7 16,113.2 15,974.0 12,042.8 4,274.1 21,126.3 0.0 .0 .1 1.2 -4.2 -.3 -4.0 1.2 .6 2.1 1.7 -.1 -.2 $767 769 703 837 943 665 1,139 1,138 945 731 335 494 757 3.6 3.9 4.9 2.3 6.7 3.4 3.9 5.9 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.4 Los Angeles, CA ... ............... .......... .. ................... . Private industry ............................. .................................. ....... . Natural resources and mining .............................................. Construction ......................... .. ..... ........................... ........... ... Manufacturing ..................................................................... . Trade, transportation, and utilities ....................................... . Information .......... ................................................................. Financial activities ..... ................. ............................. .......... ... Professional and business services .................................... . Education and health services ............................................ . Leisure and hospitality ......................................................... Other services ........................................ .. ........... .... .......... ... Government ....... ......................................................... . 356.0 352.2 .6 12.9 17.8 53.9 9.2 23.0 40.1 26.6 25.6 142.1 3.8 4,075.3 3,486.3 11 .0 133.9 485.2 794.6 194.9 237.9 575.0 456.5 375.9 220.7 589.0 -.5 -.2 .7 -1.1 -7.1 -1.2 -2.0 .9 1.6 1.9 5.6 3.5 -2.3 903 898 955 883 900 735 1,627 1,258 1,043 820 766 422 930 4.2 4.2 16.9 1.7 6.5 2.7 5.2 7.0 3.7 3.9 6.5 5.0 3.3 Cook, IL .................................... .................................................... Private industry .................... ............................................ ..... .. . Natural resources and mining ............................................. . Construction .............................................. .. ....... ................ . Manufacturing ............. ............................................ ............ . Trade, transportation, and utilities ....................................... . Information ...... ...... .......... ............... ................. ... ...... ... ........ . Financial activities ......... ................................ ..... ........... ...... . Professional and business services .... ............ .................... . Education and health services ...................................... ...... . Leisure and hospitality ......................................................... Other services .............. .............. .... .......... ............ . Government ... ..................................... ................................. ... . 126.7 125.5 .1 10.5 7.9 26.7 2.5 13.8 26 .1 12.3 10.5 12.6 1.2 2,539.8 2,221 .9 1.3 96.7 265.7 499.4 66.1 219.4 405.5 350.8 217.7 95.1 317.9 -1.2 -.9 -3.6 .0 -5.1 -.8 -4.1 -.8 -1.3 1.0 2.8 -2.0 -3. 1 922 929 1,037 1,169 975 753 1,164 1,471 1,206 791 375 655 871 3.0 3.2 3.2 -.8 6.3 .4 .1 8.1 4.1 3.7 -.3 3.0 .9 New York, NY .................................... ...... .................................. .. . Private industry .............................. ..... ................................... . Natural resources and mining ...... .................................... . Construction ..... ................................. ....... ........................... . Manufacturing ................................... ...... ............................ . Trade, transportation, and utilities ..................... ........... ....... . Information ... ... ............... ................... ............ .... ... ..... .......... . Financial activities ............................................................... . Professional and ,l)usiness services .................. ........... .... . Education and health services .. ..... .. ............................ ... .... . Leisure and hospitality ...................... ................................. . Other services ......... ...... ..... ...... ......................... .. ... .... . Government .... ... ... ...... ... .... .......................................... .. 111 .9 111 .7 .0 2.2 3.5 22.1 4.3 16.7 22.6 7.8 10.1 16.0 .2 2,253.6 1,800.4 .1 30.0 46.6 247.6 130.6 352.0 439.7 273.8 188.2 82.9 453.2 -1.0 -.6 .0 -4.5 -4.9 -1.2 -5.1 -2.0 .5 2.4 .4 -1.1 -2.2 1,480 1,623 1,197 1,567 1,290 1,164 1,751 3,034 1,702 918 787 871 912 7.2 8.1 -6.5 3.4 6.4 5.5 7.9 16.1 2.6 7.6 6.1 6.1 .1 Harris, TX .................................................. ............................. . Private industry ... .... .. ............................ ............. ... ........ Natural resources and mining ..... ...... ....................... . Construction ......................... ... ................................. . Manufacturing ........................ ............................................. . Trade, transportation, and utilities ................................ ....... . Information .......................................... ..... .......... .................. Financial activities .. .......... .......... ........... .............................. . Professional and business services .................................... . Education and health services ............................................ . Leisure and hospitality ....................... ...................... ........... . Other services ........................................................... . Government .......... .... . .............................. . 89.4 89.0 1.2 6.3 4.7 21 .1 1.4 9.7 17.0 8.8 6.5 10.3 .4 1,841 .5 1,595.2 62.5 135.5 164.0 403.2 33.8 113.1 279.0 188.3 155.2 56.3 246.3 -.9 -1 .2 8.7 -5.0 -4.9 -2.1 -3.9 1.7 -1 .7 1.5 .7 -3.1 1.1 906 929 2,185 919 1,106 821 1,098 1,181 1,073 812 335 539 7!:i9 2.1 2.1 -.9 2.6 2.3 1.0 .4 4.9 3.2 1.8 -.9 .4 3.1 Maricopa, AZ. .............................................. Private industry ...... .... .... .................... .......................... ........... . Natural resources and mining ................................... . Construction ............................. ..... ......................... ... ..... ..... . Manufacturing ................................. ... .. ..... ... .. ..................... . Trade, transportation, and utilities ....................................... . Information ........................................................................... Financial activities ................................................................ Professional and business services ......... ... .... .................. .. . Education and health services .. ..... ..... ................................ . Leisure and hospitality .. ............ ....... ............................. . Other services ........ ...... ............................................ . Government ........................ ........... ........................................ . 80.9 80.5 .5 8.4 3.3 18.6 1.6 9.5 18.1 7.6 5.6 5.7 .5 1,621.2 1,401 .8 9.8 131 .7 128.0 336.4 36.6 133.3 261 .5 160.5 155.8 44.7 219.4 (4) 2.2 -2.6 5.9 -2.5 1.5 -4.1 1.5 4.2 5.6 .8 -2.6 1.6 757 755 545 779 1,050 712 872 933 776 842 364 500 766 4.0 3.9 4.4 2.1 8.2 3.2 .5 3.7 3.5 5.0 2.8 2.2 3.7 See footnotes at end of table. 106 Average weekly wage 1 Employment Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 22. Continued-Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages: 10 largest counties, fourth quarter 2003. County by NAICS supersector Establishments, fourth quarter 2003 (thousands) Average weekly wage 1 Employment December 2003 (thousands) Percent change, December Fourth quarter 2002-032 2003 Percent change, fourth quarter 2002-03 2 Dallas, TX ....................................................................... ........ ..... . Private industry .................................................................... .... Natural resources and mining ............ ................................ .. Construction ........................... .. ........ .. .............. ...... ............. . Manufacturing ... .. ......... .. .................................................... .. Trade, transportation, and utilities ...................................... .. Information ............................................... .. ........ .. ................ Financial activities ......................................................... ...... . Professional and business services .. .. .................... .. .. .. .. .... . Education and health services .......................................... .. Leisure and hospitality ............ ...... .. .. .......................... .... . Other services ........................................................ .. ........ .... Government .......... .. ... .. ............... .. .................................... .. ..... 68.6 68.2 .5 4.5 3.5 15.8 1.9 8.6 14.0 6.3 5.2 6.7 .4 1,450.8 1,294.6 6.8 73.0 144.9 326.1 64.0 140.0 237.7 131.4 127.5 40.5 156.2 -1.4 -1.4 -20.5 -2.2 -3.1 -3.3 -5.1 1.2 .0 2.4 .0 -3.4 -1 .8 $952 970 2,680 909 1,075 898 1,272 1,215 1,152 887 432 587 800 4.3 4.8 22.7 5.5 6.8 5.2 8.7 2.9 4.2 2.7 4.3 2.8 -. 1 Orange, CA ... .. ... .. .................................................................... .... Private industry ................ ....................................................... . Natural resources and mining ............................................ .. Construction .. ...................................................................... . Manufacturing ....................... .......... ..... ....... .. ...................... . Trade, transportation, and utilities .. .............. .. .. .................. .. Information ..... ............... ................... .. ... ........ .. ..................... Financial activities .. ... .. .. ..... ...... .......... .......... .... ............ .... ... . Professional and business services .. .. .. .............................. . Education and health services ........................................ .. .. . Leisure and hospitality .................. .......... ........ .. .......... .. .. .... . Other services ............. .. ..................... ....... .. ..... .. ................ . Government .......................... .......... .... .. ................................ .. . 88.8 87.4 .3 6.4 6.1 17.3 1.5 9.7 17.4 9.1 6.6 12.9 1.4 1,436.6 1,305.5 6.1 85.5 179.9 278.8 33.8 127.8 261.0 126.6 159.9 46.0 131.1 1.3 2.1 8.3 4.4 -3.0 .6 -4.4 9.9 1.0 6.1 2.5 6.3 -5.7 874 875 579 969 1,036 802 1,152 1,354 942 849 358 518 859 5.3 5.2 .2 5.9 11.4 2.7 5.3 6.2 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.0 6.0 San Diego, CA ....................... ....... .. .................... ....................... .. Private industry ..................... ... ............... .. ..... .. ... ......... .. ... .. .. .. . Natural resources and mining ............................................ .. Construction ...................... .................. .. ............... .. ..... ... .. .. .. Manufacturing ........ ................................................. ........... .. Trade, transportation, and utilities ...................................... .. Information ..... ........ ............. ....... .............. .. ......................... . Financial activities ................... ........... ....... .. ......................... Professional and business services .... .. .............................. . Education and health services ............................................ . Leisure and hospitality .............. .................... ........ .. .. ........ .. . Other services ... ......... ......................................................... . Government ...................... ............................. ........ .. ............... . 85.3 83.9 .9 6.4 3.6 14.2 1.4 8.8 14.9 7.6 6.5 19.5 1.3 1,278.2 1,060.2 11.0 81.1 105.4 220.4 36.7 81 .6 208.1 122.6 141 .5 51.6 218.0 1.3 1.5 -5.4 4.7 -4.2 2.2 -4.5 4.8 1.5 1.6 3.5 1.8 .1 815 809 491 869 1,129 655 1,582 1,058 989 778 346 449 843 2.6 2.5 1.0 .7 11.5 .9 -2.0 .4 2.8 5.7 2.4 2.7 2.9 King, WA ..... .......... ....... .. .... .. ................... .. ............. .... ....... ... ...... .. Private industry .................................. ................ .. .... .. .. ............ Natural resources and mining ............................................ .. Construction ............... .. .. ... ... .. .. ... ... .. ..... .............. ..... .. .......... Manufacturing ....... .............. ................................................ . Trade, transportation, and utilities ........................ .. ........ .. .. .. Information .. ...... .. .. .. ...................... ................................... . Financial activities .......................... .. ............ .. .. .. .......... .. .. Professional and business services .... .. ............................ .. . Education and health services ............................................ . Leisure and hospitality .......... .. .......................................... .. . Other services .... ... ............................................................. .. Government ............................................................... .. ......... .. . 81.6 81.0 .4 6.2 2.7 14.8 1.5 6.1 11.7 5.9 5.4 26.4 .6 1,100.6 945.5 2.8 53.4 101.9 225.5 69.2 77.5 158.3 108.3 100.5 48.1 155.1 .2 .1 -11.3 -.4 -8.2 1.1 .8 2.4 .7 1.5 2.9 1.2 1.0 935 944 1,109 921 1,176 804 1,829 1,114 1,160 746 390 463 882 .2 -.3 .8 1.4 -2.1 2.6 -15.7 3.5 8.4 4.8 3.7 .4 3.6 Miami-Dade, FL ............. ............... ... .. ............................... .. ......... . Private industry ...... .. .. ...... .. .......................... .. .......................... Natural resources and mining .............. .. .................... ........ .. Construction .......... ................. .. ............... ....... .. ........ ........... . Manufacturing ..................................................... .......... ....... Trade, transportation, and utilities ................ ...................... .. Information .......... ............... .................................. ........... ..... Financial activities ...................... .............. .. ......... .... ........... .. Professional and business services .. .. .. ...... .. .. ................... .. Education and health services ............................................. Leisure and hospitality ........................................................ . Other services ............... .................. .. .................................. . Government ...................... ........... .. .................... ... ........ ... .. ..... . 80.2 79.9 .5 4.9 2.8 23.2 1.7 8.2 15.9 7.8 5.3 7.5 .3 980.8 827.5 9.9 40.7 49.4 247.2 28.5 65.5 132.0 123.4 92.8 34.5 153.3 -.5 -.7 -1.8 .3 -9.8 -1 .7 -3.2 .7 -.2 1.4 2.1 -1.8 .5 765 742 421 788 695 689 990 1,062 948 748 432 450 886 3.5 3.6 4.0 2.7 5.8 4.2 1.7 -1 .1 5.2 2.3 9.9 3.0 2.8 1 Average weekly wages were calculated using unrounded data. 2 Percent changes were computed from quarterly employment and pay data adjusted for noneconomic county reclassifi cations. See Notes on Current Labor Statistics. ., Totals for the United States do not include data for Puerto Rico or the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Virgin Islands. 4 Data do not meet BLS or State agency disclosure standards. NOTE: Includes workers covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE) programs. Data are preliminary. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 107 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 23. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages: by State, fourth quarter 2003. Establishments, fourth quarter 2003 (thousands) State December 2003 (thousands) Percent change, December 2002-03 Fourth quarter 2003 Percent change, fourth quarter 2002-03 United States2 ................................... 8,314.1 129,341.5 0.0 $767 3.6 Alabama ............................................ Alaska ............................................... Arizona .............................................. Arkansas ........................................... California .......................................... . Colorado .......................................... . Connecticut .................................... .. Delaware .............................. .......... . District of Columbia .......................... . Florida .............................................. . 111.8 20.0 126.9 75.2 1,190.8 160.0 109.1 27.1 30.0 504.1 1,838.1 282.7 2,352.1 1,133.6 14,922.3 2,134.6 1,648.9 408.4 654.8 7,424.5 -.1 1.1 2.2 .5 .0 -1.1 -.7 .5 -.4 .8 657 746 710 587 869 784 992 825 1,238 685 4.0 1.1 3.8 4.1 3.8 2.0 3.8 5.0 3.9 3.8 Georgia ............................................ . Hawaii ............................................... Idaho················································· Illinois ............................................... . Indiana ............................................. . Iowa ................................................. . Kansas ................. ............................ . Kentucky .......................................... . Louisiana .......................................... . Maine ............................................... . 245.6 37.4 48.5 325.7 152.1 90.6 82.2 105.7 114.0 47.4 3,845.6 583.0 577.5 5,738.7 2,852.2 1,418.5 1,298.3 1,740.6 1,870.9 595.8 .2 1.3 .6 -1.2 -.3 .0 -.9 .3 .5 .7 734 678 579 827 675 626 631 645 628 631 2.8 3.7 1.8 3.2 3.5 4.7 2.8 3.5 2.4 4.6 Maryland .......................................... . Massachusetts ................................. . Michigan ........................................... . Minnesota ........................................ . Mississippi ........................................ . Missouri ............................................ . Montana ............................................ Nebraska ........................................... Nevada .............................................. New Hampshire ............................... . 150.4 206.6 25U 159.0 65.6 165.4 42.0 55.3 60.3 47.0 2,466.4 3,154.6 4,365.8 2,591.9 1,108.1 2,633.6 396.6 884.4 1,111.2 614.9 .7 -1.9 -1.1 -.5 .4 -.7 1.1 .6 4.4 .6 831 954 806 777 559 676 549 613 721 788 3.6 5.2 3.9 3.2 3.7 2.4 4.0 3.2 5.1 4.0 New Jersey ...................................... . New Mexico ..................................... . New York .......................................... North Carolina .................................. . North Dakota .................................... . Ohio ................................................. . Oklahoma .......................................... Oregon ............................................. . Pennsylvania .................................... . Rhode Island .................................... . 268.1 50.4 550.3 227.8 24.0 294.2 91 .6 118.8 326.9 34.7 3,912.8 757.1 8,379.2 3,759.6 317.6 5,322.4 1,423.4 1,579.8 5,524.5 480.5 .1 1.4 -.4 -.1 .9 -.7 -1.3 .2 -.2 1.2 945 612 959 679 563 713 597 694 750 738 3.4 4.1 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.8 4.2 3.3 4.7 5.1 South Carolina ................................. . South Dakota ...................... . ......... . Tennessee ........................... . Texas ............................................... . Utah ........... ...... ................................ . Vermont .. ................................... ...... . Virginia ................... .......................... . Washington ...................................... . West Virginia .................................... . Wisconsin .......................................... 108.4 28.1 128.4 505.3 73.9 24.1 202.6 222.7 47.2 157.6 1,781.0 365.4 2,648.0 9,300.1 1,066.2 300.7 3,477.5 2,654.7 685.2 2,715.4 .3 .3 .4 -.3 1.2 .3 1.2 1.0 .1 .0 623 559 689 754 630 661 786 759 587 683 3.1 4.1 4.2 3.1 2.3 5.1 5.2 1.3 2.1 4.1 Wyoming .......................................... . 22.0 241.6 1.7 616 4.1 Puerto Rico ....................................... Virgin Islands ................................... . 50.2 3.2 1,074.1 42.5 3.5 -.2 450 629 4.7 2.4 1 Average weekly wages were calculated using unrou 1cied data. 2 Totals for the United States do not include data fu: Puerto Rico or the Virgin Islands. 108 Average weekly wage 1 Employment Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Feb, ~Jry 2005 NOTE: Includes workers covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE) programs. Data are preliminary. 24. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by ownership Year Average establishments Average annual employment Total annual wages (In thousands) Average annual wage per employee Average weekly wage Total covered (UI and UCFE) 1993 ·································· ··· ············· 1994 .......................... ... ................ .... . 1995 .............. ... ...... .. ....................... .. 1996 ···· ·· ·· ·············· ·· ····················· ·· ··· 1997 ·········································· ········ 1998 ···························· ······················ 1999 .. ................... .................. ... .. .. . 2000 ·· ···· ············· ···· ··· ··· ·· ··················· 2001 ............... ....... .. ....... .................. . 2002 ············· ···· ·········· ···· ······ ···· ·· ······· 6,679,934 6,826,677 7,040,677 7,189,168 7,369,473 7,634,018 7,820,860 7,879,116 7,984,529 8,101 ,872 109,422,571 112,611,287 115,487,841 117,963,132 121,044,432 124,183,549 127,042,282 129,877,063 129,635,800 128,233,919 $2,884,472,282 3,033,676,678 3,215,921,236 3,414,514,808 3,674,031 ,718 3,967,072,423 4,235,579,204 4,587,708,584 4,695,225,123 4,714,374,741 $26,361 26,939 27,846 28,946 30,353 31,945 33,340 35,323 36,219 36,764 $507 518 536 557 584 614 641 679 697 707 $26,055 26,633 27,567 28,658 30,058 31,676 33,094 35,077 35,943 36,428 $501 512 530 551 578 609 636 675 691 701 $25,934 26,496 27,441 28,582 30,064 31,762 33,244 35,337 36,157 36 ,539 $499 510 528 550 578 611 639 680 695 703 $28,643 29,518 30,497 31,397 32 ,521 33,605 34,681 36,296 37,814 39,212 $551 568 586 604 625 646 667 698 727 754 $26,095 26,717 27,552 28,320 29,134 30,251 31,234 32,387 33,521 34,605 $502 514 530 545 560 582 601 623 645 665 $36,940 38,038 38,523 40,414 42,732 43,688 44,287 46,228 48,940 52,050 $710 731 741 777 822 840 852 889 941 1,001 UI covered 1993 ..... .......... .. .... .......... .. ................ . 1994 ..... ... .. .... ..... ...... ... .................. ... . 1995 ... .... ... ...... .. ......... .... .... .............. . 1996 ................................................. . 1997 .............................. ................... . 1998 ··· ·········· ···· ································· 1999 ······ ····· ··· ···· ···· ·········· ·········· ··· ··· ·· 2000 ·· ····· ··············· ···························· 2001 ······················· ··· ···· ··· ··· ··· ········· ·· 2002 ······ ·············· ··· ·············· "·· ········· 6,632,221 6,778,300 6,990,594 7,137,644 7,317,363 7,586,767 7,771,198 7,828,861 7,933,536 8,051 ,117 106,351,431 109,588,189 112,539,795 115,081,246 118,233,942 121,400,660 124,255,714 127,005,574 126,883,182 125,475,293 $2,771,023,411 2,918,684,128 3, 102,353,355 3,298,045,286 3,553,933,885 3,845,494,089 4,112,169,533 4,454,966 ,824 4,560,511 ,280 4,570 ,787,218 Private Industry covered 1993 ······················· ···· ······················· 1994 .................................................. 1995 ·············································· ·· ·· 1996 ................ ........... .. .. .. .... ............ . 1997 .... .. .. ............................... .... .... ... 1998 1899 2000 2001 2002 ··········· ······················ ··· ····· ·· ······· ··· ·································· ····· ·· ··· ··· ······ ··· ····· ·· ····················· ·········· ··· ·· ······················ ··· ··· ·· ··· ··············· .................... ... .... .. .............. ...... . 6,454,381 6,596,158 6,803,454 6,946,858 7,121,182 7,381,518 7,560,567 7,622,274 7,724,965 7,839 ,903 91 ,202,971 94,146,344 96 ,894,844 99,268,446 102,175,161 105,082,368 107,619,457 110,015,333 109,304,802 107,577,281 $2,365,301,493 2,494,458,555 2,658,927,216 2,837,334,217 3,071,807,287 3,337,621,699 3,577,738,557 3,887,626,769 3,952,152,1 55 3,930,767,025 State government covered 1993 ························ ·· ·· ···· ··· ··············· 1994 ........ .................. ... ..... .. .............. 1995 ···· ··· ·· ·· ···· ···· ······························· 1996 ·································· ················ 1997 .. .... ... .......... ....... .. .... ........... ... . 1998 ················· ·· ·· ················ ·· ·· ··· ····· · 1999 ············ ··· ··· ··········· ····················· 2000 ·················································· 2001 ····· ·· ··········································· 2002 ················································ ·· 59,185 60,686 60,763 62 ,146 65,352 67,347 70,538 65,096 64,583 64,447 4,088,075 4,162,944 4,201,836 4,191,726 4,214,451 4,240,779 4,296,673 4,370,160 4,452,237 4,485,071 $117,095,062 122,879,977 128,143,491 131 ,605,800 137,057,432 142,512,445 149,011,194 158,618,365 168,358,331 175,866,492 Local government covered 1993 ·· ·· ···· ···· ·· ··· ···················· ··· ·········· 1994 .......................... ...................... .. 1995 ....... .... .. ... ........... .. .................... . 1996 ............. .... ...... ... ... .. .. .. ... .... .... ... . 1997 .... ...... .. ... ..................... .. ............ 1998 ·· ···· ·········· ·································· 1999 ....... .. .............. ... .................. ... .. . 2000 ·················································· 2001 .......................................... ....... . 2002 ....................... ... ..... .. .... .. ... ..... .. . 118,626 121,425 126,342 128,640 130,829 137,902 140,083 141,491 143,989 146,767 11,059,500 11,278,080 11,442,238 11,621 ,074 11,844,330 12,077,513 12,339,584 12,620,081 13,126,143 13,412,941 $288,594,697 301,315,857 315,252 ,346 329,105,269 345,069 ,166 365,359,945 385,419,781 408,721,690 440,000,795 464,153,701 Federal Government covered (UCFE) 1993 ... .... ........................ .... .. ............ . 1994 ··· ·· ··········································· ·· 1995 .... ........ .... ........... ... ........... .. ...... . 1996 ............. ................ ................... .. 1997 ············ ·· ···· ····· ··· ······ ·· ···· ····· ···· ·· · 1998 ······ ············· ············· ················· · 1999 ················ ··· ··· ············ ···· ···· ········ 2000 ·· ·········· ···· ············ ······················ 2001 ··· ·· ·· ···· ··· ·········· ············ ·· ······ ······ 2002 ···· ·· ··· ········ ···· ··· ··· ················· ··· ··· 47 ,714 48,377 50 ,083 51,524 52,110 47,252 49,661 50,256 50,993 50,755 3,071,140 3,023,098 2,948,046 2,881,887 2,810,489 2,782,888 2,786,567 2,871,489 2,752,619 2,758,627 $113,448,871 114,992,550 113,567,881 116,469,523 120,097,833 121,578,334 123,409,672 132,741,760 134,713,843 143,587,523 NOTE: Detail may not add to totals due to rounding . Data reflect the movement of Indian Tribal Counci l establishments from private industry to the public sector. See Notes on Current Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 l 09 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 25. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, establishment size and employment, private ownership, by supersector, first quarter 2003 Size of establishments Industry, establishments, and employment Total 5 to9 workers 10 to 19 workers 20 to 49 workers 50 to 99 workers 100 to 249 workers 250 to 499 workers 500 to 999 workers 1,000 or more workers Total all industrles 2 Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 7,933,974 105,583,548 4,768,812 7,095,128 1,331,834 8,810,097 872,241 11,763,253 597,662 18,025,655 203,030 13,970,194 115,598 17,299,058 28,856 9,864,934 10,454 7,090,739 5,487 11,664,490 Natural resources and mining Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 124,527 1,526,176 72,088 110,155 23,248 153,629 14,773 198,895 9,226 275,811 2,893 198,122 1,593 241,559 501 171,063 161 108,563 44 68,379 Construction Establishments, first quarter ·················· Employment, March ······························· 795,029 6,285,841 523,747 746,296 129,201 846,521 76,215 1,021,722 46,096 1,371,071 12,837 872,274 5,604 823,846 1,006 338,107 262 172,944 61 93,060 Manufacturing Establishments, first quarter ·················· Employment, March ............................... 381,159 14,606,928 148,469 252,443 65,027 436,028 57,354 788,581 54,261 1,685,563 25,927 1,815,385 19,813 3,043,444 6,506 2,245,183 2,565 1,732,368 1,237 2,607,933 1,851,662 24,683,356 992 ,1 80 1,646,304 378,157 2,514,548 239,637 3,204,840 149,960 4,527,709 51,507 3,564,316 31,351 4,661,898 6,681 2,277,121 1,619 1,070,141 570 1,216,479 lnforn,at!on Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 147,062 3,208,667 84,906 112,409 20,744 138,076 16,130 220,618 13,539 416,670 5,920 410,513 3,773 576,674 1,223 418,113 575 399,366 252 516,228 Financial activities Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 753,064 7,753,717 480,485 788,607 135,759 892,451 76,733 1,017,662 39,003 1,162,498 11,743 801,140 6,195 934,618 1,794 620,183 883 601,549 469 935,009 Professional and business services Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 1,307,697 15,648,435 887,875 1,230,208 180,458 1,184,745 111,532 1,501,470 73,599 2,232,506 28,471 1,969,466 17,856 2,707,203 5,153 1,762,251 1,919 1,307,870 834 1,752,716 Education and health services Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 720,207 15,680,834 338,139 629,968 164,622 1,092,329 103,683 1,392,099 65,173 1,955,861 24,086 1,679,708 17,122 2,558,300 3,929 1,337,188 1,761 1,220,921 1,692 3,814,460 Leisure and hospitality Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ............................... 657,359 11,731,379 260,149 411,192 110,499 744,144 118,140 1,653,470 122,168 3,683,448 34,166 2,285,550 9,718 1,372,780 1,609 545,304 599 404,831 311 630,660 Other services Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March .. .. ................... ........ 1,057,236 4,243,633 851,231 1,037,360 116,940 761,518 56,238 740,752 24,235 703,957 5,451 371,774 2,561 376,832 454 150,421 109 71,453 17 29,566 Trade, transportation, and utilities Establishments, first quarter .................. Employment, March ······························· 110 Fewer than 5 workers 1 1 Includes establishments that reported no workers in March 2003. 2 Includes data for unclassified establishments, not shown separately. Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 NOTE : Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Data are only produced for first quarter. Data are preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26. Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area, 2001-02 Average annual wage2 Metropolitan area1 Percent change, 2001-02 2001 2002 Metropolitan areasJ .................. .. ................... .. ... ................. . $37,908 $38,423 1.4 Abilene, TX ............................................................................ . Akron, OH .............................................................................. . Albany, GA ................ ......... ......................... .... ....................... Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY ............................................. .. Albuquerque, NM ................................................................... . Alexandria, LA ... ......................................... .... ....................... . Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA ......................................... . Altoona, PA .............................................................. ... ........... . Amarillo, TX ...................... .................................................... .. Anchorage , AK ...................................................................... . 25,141 32,930 28,877 35,355 31,667 26,296 33,569 26,869 27,422 37,998 25,517 34,037 29,913 35,994 32,475 27,300 34,789 27,360 28,274 39,112 1.5 3.4 3.6 1.8 2.6 3.8 3.6 1.8 3.1 2.9 Ann Arbor, Ml ............................................... ......................... . Anniston, AL .......................................................................... . Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI ................................. ... ... .. .... . Asheville, NC ............... .. ... .. ... .................................... ............ . Athens, GA .......................... .......... ............................... .......... Atlanta, GA ........................................ .. ... .. ............................. . Atlantic-Cape May, NJ .......................................................... .. Auburn-Opelika, AL ............................................................... . Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC ......................................................... .. Austin-San Marcos, TX .......................................................... . 37,582 26,486 32,652 28,511 28,966 40,559 31,268 25,753 30,626 40,831 39,220 27,547 33,020 28,771 29,942 41,123 32 ,201 26,405 31,743 39,540 4.4 Bakersfield, CA ...................................................................... . Baltimore, MD ..................... .. .......................... .. ............. ... .... .'. Bangor, ME .................. .. ................................... ... .. ... .... .. ... .... . Barnstable-Yarmouth, MA .................................................. .. Baton Rouge, LA .............. ... ............ ..................................... .. Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX ..................................................... . Bellingham, WA ..................................................................... . Benton Harbor, Ml .......................................... ....................... . Bergen-Passaic, NJ ..................... .. ................. ................. .. .... . Billings, MT ..... .. ........... ..... ........................... .. ... ..................... . 30,106 37,495 27,850 31,025 30,321 31,798 27,724 31,140 44,701 27,889 31,192 38,718 28,446 32,028 31,366 32,577 28,284 32,627 45,185 28,553 Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS ........................................... . Binghamton, NY .................................................................... . Birmingham, AL ..................................................................... . Bismarck, ND ......................................................................... . Bloomington, IN ..................................................................... . Bloomington-Normal, IL ................................. ........................ . Boise City, ID ......................................................................... . Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brockton, MA-NH ........ . Boulder-Longmont, CO .... ......................................... ..... ........ . Brazoria, TX ........................................................................... . 28,351 31,187 34,519 27,116 28,013 35,111 31 ,624 45,766 44,310 35,655 28,515 31,832 35,940 27,993 28,855 36,133 31,955 45,685 44,037 36,253 Bremerton, WA ..................................................................... .. Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX .................................. . Bryan-College Station, TX .................................................... .. Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY ...................................................... . Burlington, VT ........... .. .......... ...... ...................... .... .. ... .... ........ . Canton-Massillon, OH .......................................................... .. Casper, WY .................. .... ......................... ... ... ...................... . Cedar Rapids, IA ................................................................... . Champaign-Urbana, IL .......................................................... . Charleston-North Charleston, SC .......................................... . 31,525 22,142 25,755 32,054 34,363 29,020 28,264 34,649 30,488 28,887 33,775 22,892 26,051 32,777 35,169 29,689 28,886 34,730 31 ,995 29,993 Charleston, WV ........... ......... ..................... .... ................. ..... .. . Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC .................................... . Charlottesville, VA ................................................................. . Chattanooga, TN-GA ............................................................. . Cheyenne, WY .................. .. ................... .......... ..................... . Chicago, IL .......................... ...... ..................... ..... ...... .......... .. Chico-Paradise, CA ............................................................... . Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN ............................................................ .. Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY ............................................. . Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH .................................................. . 31,530 37,267 32,427 29,981 27,579 42,685 26,499 36,050 25,567 35,514 32,136 38,413 33,328 30,631 28,827 43,239 27,190 37,168 26,940 36,102 Colorado Springs, CO .......................................................... .. Columbia, MO ........................................................................ . Columbia, SC ........................................................................ . Columbus, GA-AL ................................................................. .. Columbus, OH .............................. ... ......... .. ........................... . Corpus Christi, TX ................................................................ .. Corvallis, OR ... ........................ ........................ .. .................... . Cumberland, MD-WV ............................................................ . Dallas, TX ............................................................................... Danville, VA .......................................................................... .. 34,391 28,490 29,904 28,412 35,028 29,361 35,525 25,504 42,706 25,465 34,681 29,135 30,721 29,207 36,144 30,168 36,766 26,704 43,000 26,116 4.0 1.1 .9 3.4 1.4 3.0 2.5 3.6 -3.2 3.6 3.3 2.1 3.2 3.4 2.4 2.0 4.8 1.1 2.4 .6 2.1 4.1 3.2 3.0 2.9 1.0 -.2 -.6 1.7 7.1 3.4 1.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 .2 4.9 3.8 1.9 3.1 2.8 2.2 4.5 1.3 2.6 3.1 5.4 1.7 .8 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.2 2.7 3.5 4.7 .7 2.6 See footnotes at end of table . Monthly Labor Review February 2005 111 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 26. Continued-Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area, 2001-02 Average annual wage2 Metropolitan area 1 2001 2002 Percent change, 2001-02 Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL ........ .. ..................... .. .. ... Dayton-Springfield, OH .......................... .. .. ............................ . Daytona Beach, FL .................................. .. ..................... ....... . Decatur, AL ........... ... .. .... ......................................... ............... . Decatur, IL .... .. ................................................. ....................... Denver, CO ................................................................... ......... . Des Moines, IA ......................... ................ .. .. ... ...................... . Detroit, Ml ............................................................................... Dothan, AL .................................................................... ........ .. Dover, DE ............................................................................... $31,275 33,619 25,953 30,891 33,354 42,351 34,303 42,704 28,026 27,754 $32,118 34,327 26,898 30,370 33,215 42,133 35,641 43,224 29,270 29,818 2.7 2.1 3.6 -1 .7 -.4 Dubuque, IA ............................... .. ..... .. ... ............................ .... . Duluth-Superior, MN-WI ........................................................ . Dutchess County, NY ............................................................ . Eau Claire, WI ....................................................................... . El Paso, TX ............................................................................. Elkhart-Goshen, IN ................................................................ . Elmira, NY .............................................................................. Enid, OK ............................................................................. .. Erie, PA .................................................................................. Eugene-Springfield, OR ......................................................... . 28,402 29,415 38,748 27,680 25,847 30,797 28,669 24,836 29,293 28,983 29,208 30,581 38,221 28,760 26,604 32,427 29,151 25,507 29,780 29,427 2.8 4.0 -1.4 3.9 2.9 5.3 1.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY ......... ... .. .... ................. ............. . Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN ...................................................... . Fayetteville, NC ...................................................................... Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR .. ............... .................... .. Flagstaff, AZ-UT ............ ............ ............................................ . Flint, Ml ................................................................................... Florence, AL ....................................................... ................... . Florence, SC ........................................................................... Fort Collins-Loveland, CO .................................................... .. Fort Lauderdale, FL ............................................................... . 31,042 27,899 26,981 29,940 25,890 35,995 25,639 28,800 33,248 33,966 31,977 29,053 28,298 31,090 26,846 36,507 26,591 29,563 34,215 34,475 3.0 4.1 4.9 3.8 3.7 1.4 3.7 2.6 2.9 1.5 Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL .................................................... . Fort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL ................................................ . Fort Smith, AR-OK ................................................................ .. Fort Walton Beach, FL .......................................................... .. Fort Wayne, IN ..................................................................... .. Fort Worth-Arlington, TX ........................................................ . Fresno, CA ................................................. ........................... . Gadsden, AL ........................................................................... Gainesville, FL ....... ................................ .... .. ....... .... ............... . Galveston-Texas City, TX ...................................................... . 29,432 27,742 26,755 26,151 31,400 36,379 27,647 25,760 26,917 31,067 30,324 29,152 27,075 27,242 32,053 37,195 28,814 26,214 27,648 31,920 3.0 5.1 1.2 4.2 2.1 2.2 4.2 1.8 2.7 2.7 Gary, IN .................................................................................. Glens Falls, NY .. ...................................... ............................... Goldsboro, f\iG ....................................................................... . Grand Forks, ND-MN .............................................................. Grand Junction, CO ................................................................ Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, Ml .................................. .. Great Falls, MT ................................................................ ...... . Greeley, CO .. .. ... ................................... ........................... ..... . . Green Bay, WI ........................................................................ Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC ...................... .. 31,948 27,885 25,398 24,959 27,426 33,431 24,211 30,066 32,631 31,730 32,432 28,931 25,821 25,710 28,331 34,214 25,035 31,104 33,698 32,369 1.5 3.8 1.7 3.0 3.3 2.3 Greenville, NC .. ............................. ................... ..................... . Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC .... ............................. .. Hagerstown, MD ................................................................... .. Hamilton-Middletown, OH ...................................................... . Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA ........................................... . Hartford, CT .......................................................................... . Hattiesburg, MS ..................................................................... . Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC .......... ................................... . Honolulu , HI ........................................... ................................ . Houma. LA ............................. .. ............................................... 28,289 30,940 29,020 32,325 33,408 43,880 25,145 27,305 32,531 30,343 29,055 31 ,726 30,034 32,985 34,497 44,387 26,051 27,996 33,978 30,758 Houston, TX ................................... ... ................................ ... ... Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH ........................................... . Huntsville, AL .......................................................................... Indianapolis, IN ................ .. .. ........... ........ ............................ .. .. Iowa City, IA .. ......................................................................... Jackson, Ml ........................ ................................................... . Jackson, MS ......................................................................... .. Jackson, TN ............................................................................ Jacksonville, FL .. ................ .. ................................ .................. Jacksonville, NC .......................... ... ....................................... . 42,784 27,478 36,727 35,989 31 ,663 32,454 29,813 29,414 32,367 21,395 42,712 28,321 38,571 36,608 32,567 33,251 30,537 30,443 33,722 22,269 See footnotes at end of table. 112 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 -.5 3.9 1.2 4.4 7.4 3.4 3.5 3.3 2.0 2.7 2.5 3.5 2.0 3.3 1.2 3.6 2.5 4.4 1.4 -.2 3.1 5.0 1.7 2.9 2.5 2.4 3.5 4.2 4.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26. Continued-Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area, 2001-02 Average annual wage2 Metropolitan area1 2001 2002 Percent change, 2001-02 Jamestown, NY ............................. .. ...................... .... ............ . Janesville-Beloit, WI .. ... ... ............. .... ...... ........ ............. .......... . Jersey City, NJ ...................................................................... . Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol , TN-VA ................................ .. Johnstown, PA .................................. ..................................... . Jonesboro, AR ....................... .. .... ...................... .... .... ... ......... . Joplin, MO .. ................................ .. ........... ... .. .................. .. ..... . Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, Ml .................................................. . Kankakee, IL ............... ... ..... ... ............... .................... .... ......... . Kansas City, MO-KS ................................................. .... ...... ... . $25,913 31,482 47,638 28,543 25,569 25,337 26,011 32,905 29,104 35,794 $26,430 32,837 49,562 29,076 26,161 26,165 26,594 34,237 30,015 36,731 2.0 4.3 4.0 1.9 2.3 3.3 2.2 4.0 3.1 2.6 Kenosha, WI ................................ .... ... .... .................... .... .. .. ... . Killeen-Temple, TX ................................................................ . Knoxville, TN ... ......... .... ................ ................................... ... ... . Kokomo, IN ............................................................................ . La Crosse, WI-MN ................................................................. . Lafayette, LA .. ................................. .......................... ............. Lafayette, IN .......................................................................... . Lake Charles, LA ...... .......................................................... .. . . Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL .................................... ............... . Lancaster, PA ... ......... .... ... ...................... .. .. .................... ... ... .. 31,562 26,193 30,422 39,599 27,774 29,693 31,484 29,782 28,890 31,493 32,473 27,299 31,338 40,778 28,719 30,104 31,700 30,346 29,505 32,197 2.9 4.2 3.0 3.0 3.4 Lansing-East Lansing, Ml .. .... .............. .................................. . Laredo, TX .. ...................... .... ...... ...................................... ..... . Las Cruces, NM ..................................................................... . Las Vegas, NV-AZ ................................................................. . Lawrence, KS ........................................................................ . Lawton, OK ............................. .......... ................... ............. .. .. .. Lewiston-Auburn, ME ... .. .......................................... ... .......... . Lexington, KY ........................................................................ . Lima, OH .................................................. ............................. . Lincoln, NE ..................................... ........... .... ... ..................... . 34,724 24,128 24,310 32,239 25,923 24,812 27,092 31,593 29,644 29,352 35,785 24,739 25,256 33,280 26,621 25,392 28,435 32,776 30,379 30,614 3.1 2.5 3.9 3.2 2.7 2.3 5.0 3.7 2.5 4.3 Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR .................... ... ................... .. Longview-Marshall, TX ...... .. ..... ........................... .. .... ............ . Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA ............................................... . Louisville, KY-IN .................................................................... . Lubbock, TX .......................................................................... . Lynchburg, VA .................................. .... ................................ . . Macon, GA .... .. .. ................................ .. ................................... . Madison, WI ............... .... ... ..... .. ..... .......................... ...... ... .... .. . Mansfield, OH ... .................. ... .... .. ..... .... .............................. ... . McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX ... ... .. .......... .... ........................ . 30,858 28,029 40,891 33,058 26,577 28,859 30,595 34,097 28,808 22,313 31,634 28,172 41,709 33,901 27,625 29,444 31,884 35,410 30,104 23,179 2.5 Medford-Ashland, OR ............................................................ . Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL ............ ............................ . Memphis, TN-AR-MS ................................ ......... .................. . Merced, CA .......................... ................. ............. .................. . Miami, FL .. ................................ .... .. ..... ............. ..................... . Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ ..................................... . Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI ............... ... .. ................... .... ........ ... Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI ...... ........ .................................. . Missoula, MT ....................... ......................... .... .. .......... ... ...... . Mobile, AL ..................... ....................... .. ................. ............... . 27,224 32,798 34,603 25,479 34,524 49,950 35,617 40,868 26,181 28,129 28,098 33,913 35,922 26,771 35,694 50,457 36,523 41,722 27,249 28,742 3.2 3.4 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.0 2.5 2.1 4.1 2.2 Modesto, CA ..... ... ..... .............. ....... .................................. ...... . Monmouth-Ocean, NJ ................................... ........................ . Monroe, LA ............................................................................ . Montgomery, AL ......... ......... .. .. .............. ................. ... ............ . Muncie, IN ........................................ ..................................... . Myrtle Beach, SC ................................................................... . Naples, FL ............................................................................. . Nashville, TN ................................... ..................................... .. Nassau-Suffolk, NY ............................. .................... ...... ... ... .. . New Haven-Bridgeport-Stamford-Waterbury-Danbury, CT ... . 29,591 37,056 26,578 29,150 28,374 24,029 30,839 33,989 39,662 52,198 30,769 37,710 27,614 30,525 29,017 24,672 31,507 35,036 40,396 51,170 4.0 1.8 3.9 4.7 2.3 2.7 2.2 3.1 1.9 -2.0 New London-Norwich, CT ................................... .................. . New Orleans, LA ........................................................... .. ...... . New York, NY .................. .. .......... .. .................. .... .. ............... .. Newark, NJ ............................................ ...... .. .. .... .................. . Newburgh , NY-PA ... ........................ ............... ............ ........... . Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC ..................... . Oakland, CA .... ....................... ... ........................................ .... . Ocala, FL .... ................... ... ........................................... ... ....... . Odess.:i-Midland, TX ................................... ....... ........... ... ...... . Oklahoma City, OK ................................................................ . 38,505 31,089 59,097 47,715 29,827 29,875 45,920 26,012 31,278 28,915 38,650 32,407 57,708 48,781 30,920 30,823 46,877 26,628 31,295 29,850 4.2 -2.4 2.2 3.7 3.2 2.1 2.4 .1 3.2 1.4 .7 1.9 2.1 2.2 .5 2.0 2.6 3.9 2.0 4.2 3.9 4.5 3.9 .4 See footnotes at end of table. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 113 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 26. Continued-Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area, 2001-02 Average annual wage2 Metropoli\an area 1 2001 2002 Percent change, 2001-02 Olympia, WA .......................................................................... . Omaha, NE-IA ........................................................................ Orange County, CA .......................... ......... ........... ...... .. ....... .. . Orlando, FL .... .......................... .............................................. . Owensboro, KY ............... .. ................. .. ................................. . Panama City, FL .. ....... ........................................................... . Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH ................. ..... .. ... ................... . Pensacola, FL ........................................... ... .... ....... ..... .......... . Peoria-Pekin, IL ... ............. ..................................... .. .............. . Philadelphia, PA-NJ ............................................................... . $32,772 31,856 40,252 31,276 27,306 26,433 27,920 28,059 33,293 40,231 $33,765 33,107 41,219 32,461 28,196 27,448 29,529 28,189 34,261 41 ,121 Phoenix-Mesa, AZ .................. ............... ... ... ... ....................... . Pine Bluff, AR ............................... ................ ..... ... ....... .......... . Pittsburgh, PA .......................... ........ ...................................... . Pittsfield, MA .. .. ...................................................................... . Pocatello, ID .... ............... .. ........... .. ... ........ ....... ....................... Portland, ME ......................... ............ ........... ... ....................... . Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA .... ... ........ .............. ................ ... . Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI ...................................... . Provo-Orem, UT ........................... ... ...................................... . Pueblo, CO ............................................... ............ .. ... .. ........... 35,514 27,561 35,024 31,561 24,621 32,327 37,285 33,403 28,266 27,097 36,045 28,698 35,625 32,707 25,219 33,309 37,650 34,610 28,416 27,763 Punta Gorda, FL .................... .......................... ...... .............. .. . Racine, WI ........................................ .. .... .................... .. ......... . Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC ........................................... . Rapid City, SD .. ...................................... ......... ..... .......... ..... .. . Reading, PA ....................................................... ... ..... ........... . Redding, CA ............. .................... ........... ... ....... ... ...... ... ....... .. Reno, NV ... .. ..... .... ................. .. ................ ... ... ....... ... .. .. ... ... .... . Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA .................. .. ....... .. .. ............ . Richmond-Petersburg, VA ..................................................... . Riverside-San Bernardino, CA ............................. ... .... .. ........ . 25,404 33,319 38,691 25,508 32,807 28,129 34,231 33,370 35,879 30,510 26,119 34,368 39,056 26,434 33,912 28,961 34,744 35,174 36,751 31,591 Roanoke, VA ........................... .. .. ........................................ . Rochester, MN ............... ... ............. .. ...................................... . Rochester. NY ..................................................................... . Rockford, IL ........................................................................... . Rocky Mount, NC .................................... ... .. ... .. .................... . Sacramento, CA .............. ...... .. .. ... ........ ....... ................ .. ....... . . Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, Ml .. .... .. ... ................................... . St. Cloud, MN ...... .............................. ..... ......... .. ... ............... .. . St. Joseph, MO ............................... ······································ .. St. Louis, MO-IL ...................................................................... 30,330 37,753 34,327 32,104 28,770 38,016 35,429 28,263 27,734 35,928 31,775 39,036 34,827 32,827 28,893 39,354 35,444 29,535 28,507 36,712 Salem, OR .............. ... .. ..................................... ....... .............. . Salinas, CA .............. ..... ............ ............................................. . Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT ...................................................... . San Angelo, TX ................................ ... ............................. ..... . San Antonio, TX ............................. .. ................... .................. . San Diego, CA ................................................. ... ....... ............ . San Francisco, CA ...... ............................. .. .............. ............... San Jose. CA ......................................................................... . San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA .................... . Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc, CA .............................. . 28,336 31,735 31,965 26,147 30,650 38,418 59,654 65,931 29,092 33,626 29,210 32,463 32,600 26,321 31,336 39,305 56,602 63,056 29,981 34,382 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA ....................... ........................... . Santa Fe, NM .................. ........ ......... ........................... .......... . Santa Rosa, CA ........................................................... .......... . Sarasota-Bradenton. FL ... ... ...... .. ... ......................... ............. .. Savannah, GA ....................................................................... . Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleto n , PA ............. ........ ... ........... Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA ........................ ..................... ... . Sharon, PA .... .... ... .. .. ... .......... .. ...... ... ... .... ......... ...... .... ............ Sheboygan, WI ...................................................................... . Sherman-Denison, TX ....... .... ................................................ . 35,022 30,671 36,145 27,958 30,176 28,642 45,299 26,707 30,840 30,397 35,721 32,269 36,494 28,950 30,796 29,336 46,093 27,872 32,148 30,085 4.2 -1 .0 Shreveport-Bossier City, LA ........ ... ... ............... ..................... . Sioux City, IA-NE ............... ............. ... .. ... .. ............................. . Sioux Falls, SD .............. ........................................................ . South Bend, IN ................ ............................. .......... ..... ..... .. .. .. Spokane, WA ... ................ ... ... ... .......... ..... ....... ...... ..... ... ........ .. Springfield, IL .......................... ........ .. ..................................... . Springfield, MO .. .................................................................... . Springfield, MA ..................... .. ............................................... . State College, PA .................... ........... .................................. Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV .................. ................... .. .... .... . 27,856 26,755 28,962 30,769 29,310 36,061 27,338 32,801 29,939 28,483 28,769 27,543 29,975 31 ,821 30,037 37,336 27,987 33,972 30,910 29,129 3.3 2.9 3.5 3.4 2.5 3.5 2.4 3.6 3.2 2.3 See footnotes at end of table. 114 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 3.0 3.9 2.4 3.8 3.3 3.8 5.8 .5 2.9 2.2 1.5 4.1 1.7 3.6 2.4 3.0 1.0 3.6 .5 2.5 2.8 3.1 .9 3.6 3.4 3.0 1.5 5.4 2.4 3.5 4.8 3.4 1.5 2.3 .4 3.5 .0 4.5 2.8 2.2 3.1 2.3 2.0 .7 2.2 2.3 -5.1 -4.4 3.1 2.2 2.0 5.2 1.0 3.5 2.1 2.4 1.8 4.4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26. Continued-Annual data: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by metropolitan area, 2001-02 Average annual wage2 Metropolitan area 1 2002 2001 Percent change, 2001-02 Stockton-Lodi, CA .......... .................................................. ... ... . Sumter, SC ........... ......................... .............. .. ........................ . Syracuse, NY ................................... .. .... ..... ........ .................. .. Tacoma, WA ............... .............. .............................. ... ............ . Tallahassee, FL ........................................................ ...... .. .... .. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL ................ .................. . Terre Haute, IN ................ ..... ............................................. .... . Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR .............................................. . Toledo, OH ............ ................................................................ . Topeka, KS ............................................................................. $30,818 24,450 32,254 31,261 29 ,708 31,678 27,334 26,492 32 ,299 30,513 $31,958 24,982 33,752 32,507 30,895 32,458 28,415 27,717 33,513 31,707 3.7 2.2 4.6 4.0 4.0 2.5 4.0 4.6 3.8 3.9 Trenton, NJ ..................................................................... ...... .. Tucson, AZ ........................................................ ........ .......... .. . Tulsa, OK .................................. .. ........................... ................. Tuscaloosa, AL ....................................................................... Tyler, TX .............................................................................. .. . Utica-Roms, NY .......................................... .. ........................ .. Vallejo-Fai1t1 c 1d-Napa, CA ........................................... .......... . Ventura, CA ....................................................... .. ...... ....... ..... . Victoria, TX ............................................................................. Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ ........................ .................... .. 46,831 30,690 31,904 29,972 30,551 27,777 33,903 37,783 29,068 32,571 47,969 31,673 32,241 30,745 31,050 28,500 34,543 38,195 29,168 33,625 2.4 Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA ........................ ....................... .. Waco, TX ................................................................................ Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV ................................................ .. Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA ........ .............................................. .. Wausau, WI ............................................................................ West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL ....................................... .. Wheeling, WV-OH ............... ... ................ .... ...................... .... .. Wichita, KS ................................................ .. .......................... . Wichita Falls, TX .............. ..................................................... .. Williamsport, PA ................................................................... .. 24,732 28,245 47,589 29,119 29,402 35,957 26 ,282 32,983 25,557 27,801 25,650 28,885 48,430 29,916 30,292 36,550 26,693 33,429 26,387 27,988 3.7 2.3 Wilmington-Newark, DE-MD ................................................. . Wilmington , NC ..................................................................... . Yakima, WA ......................... ............... ................................... . Yolo, CA ............................................ ... ... ... .. ....................... .. York, PA ............................................................................... .. Youngstown-Warren, OH ............... ...................................... .. Yuba City, CA ............................................... ......................... . Yuma, AZ ................................................................................ 42,177 29,287 24,204 35,352 31,936 28,789 27,781 22,415 43,401 29,157 24,934 35,591 32,609 29,799 28,967 23,429 2.9 Aguadilla, PR .................. .................. ........... .. ........................ . Arecibo, PR ........................................................................... . Caguas, PR .............. ................. ............................................ . Mayaguez, PR .................... ..................... ... .......................... .. Ponce, PR ............................................................................ .. San Juan-Bayamon , PR .. .. .. .. ................................................ . 18,061 16,600 18,655 19,283 18,063 19,706 17,500 18,187 21 ,930 17,101 17,397 20,948 3.2 1.1 2.6 1.6 2.6 1.9 1.1 .3 3.2 1.8 2.7 3.0 1.6 1.6 1.4 3.2 .7 -.4 3.0 .7 2.1 3.5 4.3 4.5 6.8 8.8 5.6 2.3 4.5 4.7 1 Includes data for Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) and Primary Metropolitan Statistical Areas (PMSA) as defined by 0MB Bulletin No. 99-04 . In the New England areas, the New England County Metropolitan Area (NECMA) definitions were used. 2 Each year's total is based on the MSA definition for the specific year. differences resulting from changes in MSA definitions. 3 Annual changes include Totals do not include the six MSAs within Puerto Rico. NOTE: Includes workers covered by Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE) programs. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 115 Current Labor Statistics: Labor Force Data 27. Annual data: Employment status of the population [Numbers in thousands] 1994 1 1995 1996 199i 1998 1 1999 1 2000 1 2001 2002 2003 2004 196,814 198,584 200,591 203,133 205,220 207,753 212,577 215,092 217,570 221 ,168 223,357 131,056 132,304 133,943 136,297 137,673 139,368 142,583 146,510 147,401 66.6 66.8 67.1 67.1 67.1 67.1 143.734 66.8 144,863 66.6 66.6 66.2 66.0 Employed ...................................... . 123,060 124,900 126,708 129,558 131,463 133,488 136,891 136,933 136,485 137,736 139,252 Employment-population ratio ......... Unemployed .......... ... ... ................... 62.5 62.9 63.2 63.8 64.1 64.3 64.4 63.7 62.7 62 .3 62.3 7,996 7,404 7,236 6,739 6,210 5,880 5,692 6,801 8,378 8,774 8,149 Unemployment rate ....... ................ Not in the labor force ............................. 6.1 5.6 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.7 5.8 6.0 5.5 65,758 66,280 66,647 66,836 67,547 68,385 69,994 71,359 72,707 74,658 75,956 Employment status - - - -· Civilian noninstitutional population ........... Civilian labor force .... ... ..... .... .... .... ... .. ... Labor force participation rate .. ............ ' Not strictly comparable with prior years. 28. Annual data: Employment levels by industry [In thousands] Industry 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Total private employment... .......................... 95,016 97,866 100,169 103,113 106,021 108,686 110,996 110,707 108,828 108,356 109,863 Total nonfarm employment.. ........ .. .......... Goods-producing ..................................... Natural resources and mining ................ Construction ...................................... ... Manufacturing ....... .. .. ... .. ... .......... ... ..... . 114,291 22 ,774 659 5,095 17,021 117,298 23,156 641 5,274 17,241 119,708 23,410 637 5,536 17,237 122,770 23,886 654 5,813 17,419 125,930 24,354 645 6,1 49 17,560 128,993 24,465 598 6,545 17,322 131 ,785 24,649 599 6,787 17,263 131,826 23,873 606 6,826 16,441 130,341 22,557 583 6,716 15,259 129,931 21,817 571 6,722 14,525 131,481 21 ,885 591 6,965 14,329 72,242 23,128 5,247 .3 13,490.8 3,701 .0 689.3 2,738 6,867 12 ,174 12,807 10,100 4,428 74,710 23 ,834 5,433.1 13,896.7 3,837.8 666.2 2,843 6,827 12,844 13,289 10,501 4,572 76,759 24,239 5,522 .0 14,142.5 3,935.3 639.6 2,940 6,969 13,462 13,683 10,777 4,69C 79,227 24,700 5,663.9 14,388.9 4,026.5 620.9 3,084 7,178 14,335 14,087 11 ,018 4,825 81 ,667 25,186 5,795.2 14,609.3 4,168.0 613.4 3,218 7,462 15,147 14,446 11 ,232 4,976 84,221 25,771 5,892.5 14,970.1 4,300.3 608.5 3,419 7,648 15,957 14,798 11 ,543 5,087 86,346 26,225 5,933.2 15,279.8 4,410.3 601.3 3,631 7,687 16,666 15,109 11,862 5,168 86,834 25,983 5,772 .7 15,238.6 4,372 .0 599.4 3,629 7,807 16,476 15,645 12,036 5,258 86,271 25,497 5,652.3 15,025.1 4,223.6 596.2 3,395 7,847 15,976 16,199 11 ,986 5,372 86,538 25,275 5,605 .6 14,911 .5 4,176.7 580.8 3,198 7,974 15,997 16,577 12,125 5,393 87,978 25,511 5,655.3 15,034.4 4,250.7 570.1 3,138 8,052 16,413 16,955 12,479 5,431 Private service-providing ..... ....... ....... ....... Trade, transportation , and utilities .......... Wholesale trade .. ... ···························· Retail trade ........ .... .. ....... .. ..... ............ Transportation and warehousing ........ Utilities .......... .... ............. .. .. .... .......... Information .......................................... Financial activities ................................ Professional and business services ... .. Education and health services ............ Leisure and hospitality ...................... Other services ......................... ........ Government.. .. ... ... ...... ........................ 19,275 19,432 19,539 19,664 19,909 20,307 20,790 21,118 21 ,513 21 ,575 NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard lndustrrial Classification (SIC) system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with SIC-based data. See "Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark revision . 116 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 21,619 29. Annual data: Average hours and earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on nonfarm payrolls, by industry Industry 1995 1994 1996 1997 1999 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Private sector: Average weekly hours ... ............................ .......... .... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ....................... . Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .................. ..... 34.5 11 .32 390.73 34.3 11 .64 399.53 34.3 12.03 412.74 34.5 12.49 431.25 34.5 13.00 448.04 34.3 13.47 462.49 34.3 14.00 480.41 34.0 14.53 493.20 33.9 14.95 506.07 33.7 15.35 517.36 33.7 15.67 528.56 Goods-producing: Average weekly hours ........ ... ... .............. .. ...... .. .. .... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ............. .. ....... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ..... .. .... .......... 41 .1 12.63 519.58 40.8 12.96 528.62 40 .8 13.38 546.48 41 .1 13.82 568.43 40.8 14.23 580.99 40 .8 14.71 599.99 40.7 15.27 621 .86 39.9 15.78 630 .04 39.9 16.33 651.61 39.8 16.80 669.23 40.0 17.19 687.99 45.3 " 14.41 1 653.14 45.3 14.78 670.32 46.0 15.10 695.07 46.2 15.57 720.11 44.9 16.20 727.28 44.2 16.33 721 .74 44.4 16.55 734.92 44.6 17.00 757.92 43.2 17.19 741 .97 43.6 17.58 766.83 44.5 18.06 802.95 38.8 14.38 558.53 38.8 14.73 571 .57 38.9 15.11 588.48 38.9 15.67 609.48 38.8 16.23 629.75 39.0 16.80 655.11 39.2 17.48 685.78 38.7 18.00 695.89 38.4 18.52 711.82 38.4 18.95 727.11 38.3 19.23 735.70 41.7 12.04 502.12 41 .3 12.34 509.26 41 .3 12.75 526.55 41 .7 13.14 548.22 41 .4 13.45 557.12 41 .4 13.85 573.17 41 .3 14.32 590 .65 40.3 14.76 595.19 40 .5 15.29 618.75 40.4 15.74 636.07 40.8 16.14 658.49 32 .7 10.87 354.97 32.6 11.19 364.14 32.6 11 .57 376.72 32 .8 12.05 394.77 32.8 12.59 412.78 32.7 13.07 427.30 32 .7 13.60 445.00 32 .5 14.16 460.32 32 .5 14.56 472 .88 32.4 14.96 484.00 32.3 15.26 493.70 34.3 10.80 370.38 34.1 11 .10 378.79 34.1 11.46 390 .64 34.3 11 .90 407.57 34.2 12.39 423.30 33.9 12.82 434.31 33.8 13.31 449.88 33.5 13.70 459.53 33.6 14.02 471 .27 33.6 14.34 481 .10 33.5 14.59 488.61 38.8 12.93 501 .17 38.6 13.34 515.14 38.6 13.80 533.29 38.8 14.41 559.39 38.6 15.07 582.21 38.6 15.62 602 .77 38.8 16.28 631 .40 38.4 16.77 643.45 38.0 16.98 644.38 37 .8 17.36 657.12 37.8 17.66 666.92 30.9 8.61 501 .17 30 .8 8.85 515.14 30.7 9.21 533.29 30.9 9.59 559.39 30.9 10.05 582.21 30 .8 10.45 602.77 30 .7 10.86 631 .40 30 .7 11 .29 643.45 30.9 11.67 644.38 30 .9 11 .90 657.12 30.7 12.08 666.92 39.5 12.84 507.27 38.9 13.18 513.37 39.1 13.45 525.60 39.4 13.78 542.55 38.7 14.12 546.86 37.6 14.55 547.97 37.4 15.05 562.31 36.7 15.33 562.70 36.8 15.76 579.75 36.8 16.25 597.79 37.2 16.53 614.86 42 .3 18.66 1 789.G8 42.3 19.19 611.52 42.0 19.78 830 .74 42.0 20.59 865.26 42.0 21 .48 902.94 42 .0 22 .03 924.59 42.0 22.75 955.66 41.4 23.58 977.18 40.9 23.96 979.09 41.1 24.76 1,016.94 41 .0 25.62 1,049.10 36.0 15.32 551.28 36.0 15.68 564.98 36.4 16.30 592.68 36.3 17.14 622.40 36.6 17.67 646.52 36.7 18.40 675.32 36.8 19.07 700.89 36.9 19.80 731 .11 36.5 20.20 738.17 36.2 21.01 761.13 36.3 21.42 777.13 35.5 11 .82 419.20 35.5 12.28 436.12 35.5 12.71 451.49 35.7 13.22 472.37 36.0 13.93 500.95 35.8 14.47 517.57 35.9 14.98 537.37 35.8 15.59 558.02 35.6 16.17 575.51 35.5 17.13 608.87 35.6 17.53 623.14 34.1 12.15 414.16 34.0 12.53 426.44 34.1 13.00 442.81 34.3 13.57 465.51 34.3 14.27 490.00 34.4 14.85 510 .99 34.5 15.52 535.07 34.2 16.33 557.84 34.2 16.81 574.66 34.1 17.20 586.68 34.2 17.46 596.96 32.0 11 .50 368.14 32.0 11 .80 377.73 31 .9 12.17 388.27 32.2 12.56 404.65 32.2 13.00 418.82 32 .1 13.44 431 .35 32.2 13.95 449.29 32.3 14.64 473.39 32.4 15.21 492.74 32.3 15.64 505.76 32.4 16.15 523.95 Leisure and hospitality: Average weekly hours ..... ................................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .... .. ... .. ... .. .. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ......... ... .. .. . 26.0 6.46 168.00 25.9 6.62 171.43 25.9 6.82 176.48 26.0 7.13 185.81 26.2 7.48 195.82 26.1 7.76 202.87 26 .1 8.11 211.79 25.8 8.35 215.19 25.8 8.58 221.26 25.6 8.76 224.25 25.7 8.91 228.79 Other services: Average weekly hours ........................ ................ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ................. . Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ... ... ... ........ 32.7 10.18 332.44 32.6 10.51 342 .36 32.5 10.85 352.62 32 .7 11 .29 368.63 32.6 11.79 384.25 32 .5 12.26 398.77 32 .5 12.73 413.41 32 .3 13.27 428.64 32.0 13.72 439.76 31.4 13.84 434.49 31 .0 13.98 433.04 Natural resources and mining Average weekly hours .. .. .. ..... .. .. ............. ............... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .. ................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ........... .... ..... Construction: Average weekly hours ............................ ...... .. ....... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ..................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .................... Manufacturing: Average weekly hours ................. .......... ......... .. ..... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .... .. .... ... ...... ... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ..... ... ...... ... .. . Private service-providing: Average weekly hours ................ ....... ................... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ...................... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ..................... Trade, transportation, and utllltles: Average weekly hours .... ... .......... ... ................ .. ... .. . Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .... .. ... .... .. .. ... .. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .. ... ... ......... .. .. Wholesale trade: Average weekly hours .... .... ............. .... ... ... .... ..... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ... .......... ... .. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ... ...... ......... Retail trade: Average weekly hours ...... ........ ..... .. .......... ...... .. . Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .................. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .... ............. Transportation and warehousing : Average weekly hours ........... ............................. Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ..... .. ... ... .. .... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ........ .. ....... Utllltles: Average weekly hours .... ....... ............ ... ... ... .. .. .... Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ... ... ... ......... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) .. .. .... ....... ... Information: Average weekly hours ........................................ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .. .. .............. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ..... .. .......... Financial activities: Average weekly hours ... ..... ... ..... .. ... ........... ........ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ............... ... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ................. Professional and business services: Average weekly hours ... ... .... .. ......................... .. . Average hourly earnings (in dollars) ... ............ ... Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ...... ....... ... . Education and health services: Average weekly hours .... ... ... ...................... ........ Average hourly earnings (in dollars) .................. Average weekly earnings (in dollars) ................. I NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system. NAICS-based data by industry are not comparable with SIC-based data. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 117 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 30. Employment Cost Index, compensation, 1 by occupation and industry group [June 1989 = 100] 2002 Series Dec. 2003 Mar. June 2004 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Percent change Sept. Dec. 3 months ended 12 months ended Dec. 2004 Clvlllan workers 2 162.2 164.5 165.8 167.6 168.4 170.7 172.2 173.9 174.7 0.5 3 .7 164.3 162.4 166.7 166.1 157.5 162.2 166.7 164.1 171 .1 168.3 159.8 164.1 167.9 165.0 172.0 170.0 161 .4 165.0 169.9 167.0 174.0 171.7 162.9 166.8 170.7 168.0 174.9 172.5 163.7 167.9 172.7 170.2 175.8 175.3 166.9 169.7 174.0 171 .2 177.1 177.2 168.8 170.9 175.8 173.6 178.2 178.7 170.1 172.7 176.6 174.7 179.4 180.0 170.9 173.6 .5 .6 .7 .7 .5 .5 3.5 4.0 2.6 4 .3 4.4 3.4 Public administration .... . Nonmanufacturing ...... ....................................................... . 169.2 160.5 162.8 163.9 164.5 167.6 162.8 161 .7 162.4 163.1 164.0 165.0 165.3 166.4 169.9 163.6 163.4 164.5 164.6 165.4 166.2 166.3 167.6 170.8 164.2 164.3 165.8 165.8 166.5 168.2 168.5 169.3 173.1 166.9 167.3 167.8 166.8 167.1 169.1 169.5 170.7 174.8 167.6 168.1 168.6 170.4 171.7 170.8 171.2 173.0 176.8 168.5 170.1 170.4 171 .9 173.2 172.3 172.3 174.4 178.2 168.9 171.4 171 .8 173.4 174.9 174.0 174.5 176.7 180.5 171 .8 174.1 173.5 174.4 175.4 174.7 175.5 177.7 181.8 172.9 175.4 174.4 4 .7 5.0 3.3 3.5 4.1 4.0 3.2 4 .3 3.4 Private industry workers .... ... ........ ......................... .... . . Excluding sales occupations ... ..................................... .. 162.3 162.4 165.0 165.1 166.4 166.6 168.1 168.1 168.8 169.0 171 .4 171.6 173.0 173.2 174.4 174.6 175.2 175.6 3.8 3.9 Workers. by occupational group: White-collar workers ........................ ......... .. .... ................. . Excluding sales occupations ................... .. .................. . Professional specialty and technical occupations ......... . Executive, adminitrative. and managerial occupations .. Sales occupations .................. .................................... .. Administrative support occupations, including clerical. .. Blue-collar workers ............................................ .. ........... . Precision production, craft, and repair occupations ...... . Machine operators, assemblers. and inspectors .......... .. Transportation and material moving occupations ......... .. Handlers, equipment cleaners. helpers. and laborers .. .. 165.2 165.9 164.4 167.2 161 .9 166.7 157.3 157.8 156.7 151 .8 162.9 168.1 169.1 166.5 172.1 163.5 169.0 159.7 160.0 159.9 153.2 164.9 169.4 170.4 167.7 173.1 165.1 170.9 161.4 162.0 161 .1 155.1 166.8 171 .2 172.1 169.4 175.0 167.2 172.3 162.8 163.1 162.6 156.7 168.6 172.0 173.0 170.5 175.9 167.1 173.2 163.6 164.2 163.2 156.9 169.5 174.2 175.3 173.4 176.8 169.2 176.1 166.9 167.1 168.7 158.5 171 .7 175.7 176.7 174.7 178.1 171.2 178.1 168.8 169.1 170.5 160.6 173.2 177.3 178.3 176.8 179.2 173.1 179.4 170.1 170.2 172.2 161.8 174.3 178.1 179.5 178.1 180.2 171.4 180.7 170.8 171 .2 172.5 162.3 175.3 Service occupations ..... ..... ........................................... .. 159.8 161 .7 162.6 163.8 164.3 166.9 168.2 168.9 160.5 162.6 164.1 165.7 166.6 169.3 171.0 172.4 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing .. ..... ......... ..... ...................................... ... Excluding sales occupations ....... .. ........ ... ................ . White-collar occupations ....: .......................... .. .... .... .. .. . Excluding sales occupations ........ .. ......................... .. Blue-collar occupations .. ................................. .... .. ... .. . . Construction .......................................... ........................ . Manufacturing ...................... .. ............................... ....... .. White-collar occupations ............................................. . Excluding sales occupations .. ....................... .......... .. Blue-collar occupations ........................................... .. Durables .................... ... ..................... .. ....... ... ... ... .......... . Nondurables .. .......... .............. ..................................... .. . 160.1 159.2 164.3 162.3 157.3 157.9 160.5 163.3 160.7 158.3 160.6 160.3 163.0 162.4 167.8 166.3 159.9 159.1 164.0 167.1 165.1 161 .6 164.4 163.1 164.5 163.8 169.2 167.5 161 .5 161 .1 165.4 168.7 166.4 162.8 165.5 164.9 165.7 165.0 170.1 168.5 162.9 162.3 166.5 169.5 167.4 164.1 166.6 166.0 166.5 165.9 170.5 169.2 163.9 163.3 167.1 169.6 167.8 165.1 167.3 166.6 170.3 169.8 173.5 172.2 168.1 164.6 171.7 173.2 171.3 170.4 172.4 170.4 171.8 171 .2 174.7 173.3 169.8 165.9 173.2 174.6 172.6 172.0 174.0 171.7 173.3 172.5 176.4 174.5 171 .3 167.0 174.9 176.4 174.1 173.7 175.8 173.1 Service-producing ......................... ...... .... .. ....................... . Excluding sales occupations .................................... . White-collar occupations ................... .. ..... ................... . Excluding sales occupations ................................... .. Blue-collar occupations ............ .... .. ............................... Service occupations ... ....... .......................................... . Transportation and public utilities .... ... .. ........................ . Transportation ........................... ............................ ... .. .. Public utilities ...................................... ..... .... .......... .. .... . Communications ........................................ ... ... .......... Electric, gas, and sanitary services .......................... . Wholesale and retail trade ........................... .. .............. .. Excluding sales occupations .................................... . Wholesale trade .. ............... ................... .................... . .. Excluding sales occupations .................................... . Retail trade .. ........ ... ... ..................... .. ................ .......... . General merchandise stores ............................... ..... .. Food stores .......................................... ......... ..... ...... .. 163.1 164.0 165.1 167.0 156.9 159.3 161 .7 156.1 169.2 170.1 168.1 159.7 160.4 166.7 167.2 155.8 155.1 156.3 165.6 166.6 167.9 169.9 158.7 161.1 163.2 157.8 170.5 171 .3 169.5 161.3 161 .8 169.5 168.4 156.6 156.4 157.5 167.0 168.0 169.2 171 .3 160.8 162.0 165.4 158.9 174.2 175.5 172.6 162.5 162.7 171 .3 169.9 157.4 159.2 158.6 168.8 169.7 171.2 173.1 162.2 163.2 166.5 159.4 176.4 178.4 173.8 164.3 165.0 172.0 171 .2 159.9 161 .2 159.3 169.7 170.6 172.0 174.2 162.6 164.3 167.0 159.6 177.0 179.0 174.6 165.0 165.9 172.0 171 .3 161 .0 165.6 160.3 171 .6 172.5 174.1 176.2 164.1 166.1 169.8 162.0 180.4 182.2 178.2 166.3 167.4 173.8 173.7 162.1 165.8 162.1 173.3 174.2 175.7 177.8 166.4 167.4 172.5 164.7 183.1 183.6 182.4 168.1 168.6 175.9 174.0 163.7 166.2 163.5 174.7 175.6 177.3 179.4 167.4 168.1 173.6 166.2 183.6 183.6 183.3 169.1 169.6 177.8 175.3 164.2 168.8 163.5 ..... . . ........... ...... .... . ................ . Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers .. .... ....................... ........... .... .. ... .. ...... . . Professional specialty and technical. .............................. . [;;,;:cutive, adminitrative, and managerial. ................ .... . Administrative support, including clerical. ..................... . Blue-collar workers .................... ... .............. ..................... .. Service occupations .................................... ...................... . Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing ............................. .................................. . Manufacturing ......... .. ............................................. .......... Service-producing .. ............................................ ............... . Services ............................................. .. ............ ............... . Health services ...... ............... .. ..................... .................. . Hospitals ...................... .... .. ......................................... . Educational services ............. ... .................. .. .. .......... .. ... . 3 Production and nonsupervisory occupations 4 ........ . .5 .7 .7 .6 -1.0 .7 .4 .6 .2 .3 .6 3.5 3.8 4 .5 2.4 2.6 4 .4 4.4 4 .3 5.7 3.4 3.4 169.7 .5 2.9 173.0 .3 3.8 174.3 173.7 177.8 176.4 172.0 167.3 175.4 176.7 174.7 174.3 176.3 173.6 .6 .7 .8 1.1 4 .7 4 .7 4 .3 4.3 4.9 2 .4 5.0 4.2 4 .1 5.6 5.4 4 .2 175.3 176.5 177.8 180.4 168.1 168.9 173.5 166.2 183.4 183.5 183.3 169.1 170.4 176.6 176.3 164.7 169.5 164.0 .3 .5 .3 .6 .4 .5 .4 .2 .3 .2 .3 .3 .3 .3 - .1 .0 -.1 -.2 .0 .0 .5 - .7 .6 .3 .4 .3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.4 2.8 3.9 4.1 3.6 2.5 5.0 2.5 2.7 2.7 2 .9 2.3 2.4 2 .3 '------'---------'-----.J----'-----'-----'---..__----'---------'--------'-------- See footnotes at end of table. 118 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 30. Continued-Employment Cost Index, compensation, 1 by occupation and industry group [June 1989 = 100] 2002 Series Dec. 2003 Mar. June 2004 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Percent change Sept. Dec. 3 months 12 months ended ended Dec. 2004 Finance, insurance, and real estate ............................... 168.5 176.7 178.3 180.2 180.9 182.5 183.6 184.8 186.0 0.6 2.8 Excluding sales occupations ......... ............................ Banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies. Insurance .............. .......................... .................. .. .......... Services ................... ............................................... ....... . Business services .. ... .. ....... ..... .. ........ ... ........................ Health services ... .................. ... ............................. ........ Hospitals ...... ......... ........................................... .. ........ Educational services ................................ .. .. .............. .. Colleges and universities ................... ........................ 173.1 185.3 167.9 165.4 167.5 164.4 168.1 175.2 173.7 182.0 204.3 172.1 167.1 168.5 166.5 170.8 176.3 174.5 184.0 206.3 173.9 168.4 169.2 167.9 171 .9 177.1 175.4 1,853.0 207.6 175.1 170.4 171 .9 169.4 173.9 180.2 178.4 186.1 209.0 176.2 171.4 172.6 170.8 175.9 181 .3 179.4 186.6 207.2 177.8 173.5 174.8 173.3 178.1 183.1 181 .2 188.7 208.9 180.5 175.1 176.9 174.8 179.7 184.2 182.5 190.9 210.5 182.1 176.9 178.5 177.0 181 .8 187.0 185.2 191.2 212.3 183.6 177.9 179.1 178.0 183.2 188.5 186.2 .6 .9 .8 .6 .3 .6 .8 .8 .5 2.7 1.6 4.2 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.8 Nonmanufacturing ................................................... .. ..... 162.5 164.9 166.4 168.1 169.0 170.9 172.5 173.9 174.7 .5 3.4 White-collar workers ....... .............................................. Excluding sales occupations .................................... Blue-collar occupations ........................... .. ... ................ Service occupations .................................. ................. 165.3 167.1 155.9 159.2 168.0 170.0 157.5 161 .1 169.3 171 .4 159.7 162.0 171 .2 173.2 161.1 163.2 172.1 174.2 161.7 162.4 174.1 176.2 163.4 166.0 175.7 177.7 165.5 167.3 177.2 179.3 166.4 168.0 178.0 180.6 167.3 168.9 .5 .7 .5 .5 3.4 3.7 3.5 2.9 State and local government workers ................................... 161 .5 162.6 163.2 165.9 166.8 168.0 168.7 171 .5 172.6 .6 3.5 160.7 159.4 163.8 162.4 159.8 161.7 160.2 165.3 163.8 161.3 162.2 160.8 165.7 164.4 161 .7 164.9 163.4 168.0 167.9 163.6 165.7 164.1 169.1 168.5 165.2 166.8 165.1 170.1 170.4 166.7 167.5 165.6 171.0 171.8 167.5 170.0 168.4 172.1 174.3 169.9 171 .2 169.4 174.3 175.5 171 .0 .7 .6 1.3 .7 .6 3.3 3.2 3.1 4.2 3.5 160.9 162.8 165.5 166.2 160.3 160.7 158.8 165.8 161.7 161 .8 164.0 162.3 164.2 166.7 167.3 161.7 162.0 160.0 167.5 164.3 164.9 166.8 169.5 170.3 164.3 164.7 163.0 169.2 167.3 165.7 168.2 171.0 171 .4 165.0 165.3 163.7 170.0 168.1 166.5 169.4 172.2 172.4 165.7 166.0 164.4 170.7 170.1 166.8 170.1 172.9 173.2 165.9 166.3 164.6 171.0 171.4 169.7 173.0 175.7 176.3 168.8 169.2 168.0 172.4 174.1 170.8 173.8 176.8 177.4 169.9 170.3 169.2 173.2 175.4 .6 .5 .6 .6 .7 .7 .7 .5 .7 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.4 1.9 4.3 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ................................ ... ........................ Professional specialty and technical. ........ ........ ... ... ......... Executive, administrative, and managerial. ..... .... .... ....... Administrative support, including clerical. ........ .............. Blue-collar workers ............................................................ Workers, by industry division: Services ............................................................ .. .............. 5 Services excluding schools .... ····· ······ ···"·········· Health services ......................... ................................... . Hospitals .................... ................................................ Educational services ................................... ................. Schools ................. ........... .. ... .. .............................. ..... Elementary and secondary ............................ ......... Colleges and universities ........................................ Public administration 3 .. ........... .. ..... ..... 166.4 167.0 161 .1 161.4 159.4 167.0 163.4 1 Cost (cents per hour worked) measured in the Employment Cost Index consists of wages, salaries, and employer cost of employee benefits. 2 Consists of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 4 This series has the same industry and occupational coverage as the Hourly Earnings index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 5 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 119 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1989 = 100] 2002 2003 2004 Percent change Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 3 months ended 12 months ended Dec.2004 Civilian workers 1 157.8 159.3 160.3 161.8 162.3 163.3 164.3 165.7 166.2 0.3 2.4 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ........................ .................................. . Professional specialty and technical. .............................. . Executive, adminitrative, and managerial. ..... ............ .... . Administrative support, including clerical. ... .... .............. . Blue-collar workers .... ............... ........ ............................ ..... Service occupations ........................................... ...... ... ...... . 160.1 158.6 163.8 160.6 152.6 156.9 161.9 159.3 167.9 161 .8 153.8 158.0 162.9 160.1 169.0 163.1 154.8 158.7 164.5 161.8 170.5 164.3 155.8 159.8 165.1 162.5 171 .2 164.9 156.3 160.6 166.1 163.8 171.4 166.3 157.3 161 .2 167.1 164.4 172.4 167.5 158.4 161 .9 168.7 166.5 173.4 168.8 159.7 162.8 169.1 167.0 174.4 169.7 160.0 163.6 .2 .3 .6 .5 .2 .5 2.4 2.8 1.9 2.9 2.4 1.9 vvun<ers, by industry division : Goods-producing .... ........................................ ................... . Manufacturing .... .. ............................................ ... ... ......... . Service-producing .......................................... ................... . Services ..... .......... ................ ........................................... . Health services .............................................................. . Hospitals ..................................................................... . Educational services ....................... ... ....... .................... . 155.1 156.5 158.8 161.1 160.9 162.2 160.1 156.3 158.0 160.5 161.9 162.0 163.5 160.4 157.5 159.0 161 .4 162.8 163.2 164.4 160.7 158.3 159.7 163.0 164.7 164.7 166.3 162.7 160.6 160.1 163.6 165.4 165.9 167.7 163.2 159.9 161.3 164.6 166.5 167.7 169.0 163.6 161 .0 162.4 165.5 167.4 168.6 169.9 163.8 162.3 163.8 167.0 167.3 170.8 171.8 166.0 162.4 164.0 167.5 170.1 171.7 173.2 166.8 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.5 3.3 2.2 Public administration .. Nonmanufacturing .......... ............... ........................... .. ...... . 155.8 158.0 157.2 159.6 158.0 160.5 159.4 162.1 160.0 162.7 161 .1 163.7 161 .4 164.6 162.6 166.0 163.5 166.5 2.2 2.3 Private Industry workers ... ....................... .... .. .... ....... .. . Excluding sales occupations ......................................... . 157.5 157.9 159.3 159.4 160.4 160.5 161 .7 161 .7 162.3 162.4 163.4 163.5 164.5 164.5 165.9 165.8 166.2 166.5 2.4 2.5 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers............ .. ..... ............................ .... ...... Excluding sales occupations. ...... ............................ .. ... Professional specialty and technical occupations.......... Executive, adminitrative, and managerial occupations.. Sales occupations.. .. ... ..... .... ........ .. ............... .......... .. ... Administrative support occupations, including clerical. .. Blue-collar workers. ....... .. ................................. ....... ..... ... Precision production, craft, and repair occupations. ...... Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors............ Transportation and material moving occupations........... Handlers, equipment cleaners. helpers, and laborers.... 160.4 160.8 158.5 164.5 156.8 161 .3 152.4 152.3 153.2 146.9 157 .2 162.6 163.6 159.5 169.1 158.1 162.6 153.6 153.4 154.7 147.8 158.4 163.8 164.8 160.5 170.3 159.3 164.0 154.6 154.7 155.3 149.0 159.0 165.3 166.2 162.1 171 .8 161 .6 165.1 155.6 155.5 156.8 149.8 159.9 165.9 167.0 163.0 172.5 161 .1 165.7 156.1 156.2 156.9 149.8 160.6 167.1 168.1 164.7 172.7 162.6 167.2 157.2 157.1 158.6 150.4 161.8 168.2 169.2 165.5 173.9 163.9 168.6 158.3 158.3 159.8 151.8 162.7 169.7 170.6 167.6 174.9 165.9 169.7 159.5 159.3 161 .6 152.9 163.6 170.0 171 .4 168.0 175.7 164.0 170.8 159.9 159.7 161.6 153.3 164.5 .2 .5 .2 .5 -1 .1 .6 .3 .3 .0 .3 .6 Service occupations.... ....... ............................ ............. ... 154.4 155.5 156.1 157.1 157.8 158.4 159.3 159.8 160.6 .5 1.8 155.2 156.4 157.4 158.8 159.4 160.7 161 .7 163.1 163.4 .2 2.5 155.0 154.0 158.6 156.3 152.6 150.2 156.5 158.6 155.9 154.7 157.3 155.2 156.3 155.4 160.0 158.0 153.8 150.6 158.0 160.1 157.7 156.3 158.8 156.6 157.4 156.5 161 .4 159.2 154.8 152.4 159.0 161 .6 158.9 156.9 159.7 157.8 158.3 157.4 161.9 159.9 155.9 153.6 159.7 162.0 159.5 157.9 160.6 158.3 158.7 158.0 162.1 160.4 156.4 154.0 160.1 162.1 160.0 158.5 160.9 158.7 159.9 159.2 163.2 161 .5 157.7 155.1 161 .3 163.3 161.2 159.8 161.9 160.4 160.9 160.2 164.5 162.7 158.6 155.9 162.4 164.7 162.5 160.6 162.9 161.6 162.3 161 .2 166.0 163.6 159.8 157.1 163.8 166.1 163.5 162. 1 164.5 162.8 162.4 161 .6 165.9 164.1 160.1 157.0 164.0 166.1 163.9 162.4 164.7 162.9 .1 .2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.6 2 Production and nonsupervisory occupations 3 Workers, by industry division : Goods-producing................................ ........... ................... Excluding sales occupations...... ............................... White-collar occupations. ............. .. ... ....... .. ...... .. .......... Excluding saies occupations............... .. .................... Blue-collar occupations................................................ Construction ............................. .. .................................... Manufacturing ............ .. ........... ... ....... ............................. White-collar occupations....... .. .......... ........................ .... Excluding sales occupations.......... ............ ............... Blue-collar occupations.. .......... .................................... . Durables.. ........................................................... .. .......... Nondurables... ........................... ..................................... -.1 .3 .2 -.1 .1 .0 .2 .2 .1 .1 2.5 2.6 3.1 1.9 1.8 3.1 2.4 2.2 3.0 2.3 2.4 Service-producing. ................................................... .. ........ 158.6 160.6 163.9 161 .7 163.3 166.1 165.0 167.5 167.9 .2 2.4 Excluding sales occupations... .. ............ .. ... ............... 159.6 161 .7 165.0 162.8 164.2 167.1 166.0 168.5 169.3 .5 2.6 White-collar occupations........................ ...... ......... ........ 160.7 163.0 166.6 164.1 166.0 168.9 170.8 167.8 170.4 .2 2.5 Excluding sales occupations................... ............. ..... 162.8 166.5 168.2 165.3 169.0 171.2 170.2 172.8 173.6 .5 2.7 Blue-collar occupations........................... ..... ............ .... 152.0 153.2 155.4 154.3 155.1 157.8 159.4 156.2 158.9 .3 2.6 Service occupations..................................................... 154.1 155.1 157.4 155.6 156.6 158.8 158.0 159.4 160.2 .5 1.8 Transportation and public utilities ..................... ............. 154.1 154.8 156.5 155.6 156.0 159.1 157.6 160.4 160.5 .1 2.6 Transportation ... .. .. .... .. .......................................... ....... 150.1 150.5 150.8 150.6 150.4 153.4 155.1 151 .7 155.0 .1 2.9 Public utilities.. ........................ ........... ... ........................ 159.3 160.4 164.1 162.1 163.4 166.4 165.3 167.5 167.5 .0 2.1 Communications. ....................................................... 160.7 161 .9 165.9 163.4 165.4 167.5 167.0 168.8 168.3 - .3 1.4 Electric, gas. and sanitary services. .......................... 157.4 158.6 161.8 160.4 161.0 165.1 166.6 163.3 165.9 .4 3.0 Wholesale and retail trade. ................ ............................ 155.5 156.7 159.5 157.5 159.2 161 .6 162.1 160.3 162.5 -.2 1.6 Wholesale trade... .. .. ................................................ .... 161 .0 164.7 164.8 163.4 165.3 166.2 167.5 167.8 169.7 -1 .3 1.3 Excluding sales occupations........... ..... .......... ... ......... 163.7 163.9 166.3 167.8 165.2 165.7 167.6 168.9 168.6 1.6 .2 Retail trade.............. ........ ...... ... ................................... 152.7 153.1 153.8 156.3 156.5 158.4 157.3 159.3 158.7 1.8 .4 General merchandise stores................. .......... .. ...... ... 149.2 149.8 153.6 154.9 154.1 152.0 153.1 158.1 157.5 .4 2.9 Food stores ............................................... ................. 150.3 151.6 152.2 151 .0 152.8 154.3 153.8 155.0 154.5 1.4 .3 See footnotes at end of table. '-----'-----~---'-----'-------'----~---,.___ ___.___ _~ - - - - - - - ' - - - - - - 120 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 31. Continued-Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1989 = 100] 2002 2003 Percent change 2004 Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 3 months ended 12 months ended Dec. 2004 Finance, insurance, and real estate ............... .......... ... .. . Excluding sales occupations ..................................... Banking, savings and loan , and other credit agencies. Insurance .................................................................... .. Services .......... ............. ................................................... Business services .......... .......... ....... ... .. ............... .. .. ... .. Health services ............................................................. Hospitals .................... .......... .. ................................. ... Educational services ........................ ............................ Colleges and universities ........................................... 162.6 167.3 183.9 159.1 161.7 164.8 160.7 162.1 166.5 164.3 171.1 176.7 206.4 161 .6 162.8 165.6 161.9 163.6 167.1 164.4 172.4 178.5 208.7 163.0 164.0 166.4 163.2 164.6 167.5 165.1 174.1 179.2 209 .1 163.9 165.9 169.1 164.6 166.5 170.3 167.6 174.5 210.2 164.5 164.5 166.7 169.8 135.8 167.9 171.0 168.4 175.2 179.2 206.7 165.1 168.1 171.0 167.8 169.4 171 .9 169.5 175.3 180.5 207.6 167.2 169.3 172.7 168.8 170.5 172.6 170.0 176.5 181.8 209.5 168.9 171 .1 174.3 170.9 172.4 175.5 172.9 177.7 182.9 211.3 170.4 172.0 175.0 171 .9 173.8 176.8 173.6 0.7 .6 .9 .9 .5 .4 .6 .8 .7 .4 1.8 1.7 .5 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.1 Nonmanufacturing ............ .............................................. White-collar workers ..................................................... Excluding sales occupations .. ......... ......................... Blue-collar occupations .. ................................. ............. Service occupations ................................................... 157.5 160.5 162.5 150.2 154.0 159.4 162.8 164.9 151.1 155.0 160.5 163.9 166.1 152.4 155.5 162.1 165.7 167.7 153.4 156.5 162.6 166.3 168.5 153.8 157.3 163.7 167.5 169.7 154.7 157.9 164.8 168.6 170.7 156.1 158.7 166.2 170.1 172.3 157.1 159.2 166.6 170.5 173.1 157.5 160.1 .2 .2 .5 .3 .6 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.8 State and local government workers .......... ..... ................ 161.5 162.6 163.2 165.9 166.8 168.0 168.7 171 .5 172.6 .5 2.1 White-collar workers .............................................. ............. Professional specialty and technical. ......... ... ................... ~xecutive, administrative, and managerial. ... ...... ........... Administrative support, including clerical. ...................... Blue-collar workers .. ................ ..................... ......... .. .... ...... 158.4 158.4 160.1 156.0 155.1 158.9 158.8 160.9 156.9 156.2 159.2 159.1 161.0 157.2 156.5 161.0 161.0 162.5 159.1 157.6 161 .5 161.4 163.3 159.5 158.3 162.1 162.1 163.5 160.4 158.9 162.4 162.3 163.8 160.8 159.2 164.1 164.4 164.3 162.6 160.7 164.9 165.0 166.1 163.0 161.4 .5 .4 1.1 .2 .4 2.1 2.2 1.7 2.2 2.0 Workers, by industry division: Services ............................................................................ 159.2 159.5 159.8 161.6 162.1 162.6 162.7 164.8 165.5 .4 2.1 Services excluding schools 4. ···························· ·············· Health services ............................................ .. ... .. .......... Hospitals ........... ......... ......................... .. .................... . Educational services ............................... .................... . Schools ............................................................. ........ . Elementary and secondary ....... ............ .. ....... ......... Colleges and universities ..... .. ....................... ... ....... 160.3 162.2 162.5 158.9 159.0 158.1 161.6 161.4 162.9 163.1 159.1 159.2 158.2 162.1 161.8 163.5 163.8 159.3 159.5 158.5 162.1 163.2 165.1 165.5 161.2 161.4 160.6 163.5 164.5 166.7 166.7 161.6 161.8 160.9 164.0 165.1 167.4 167.4 162.0 162.1 161.3 164.3 165.6 167.8 167.9 162.1 162.3 161.5 164.4 167.5 169.6 169.9 164.2 164.3 163.8 165.4 168.3 170.7 171.0 164.9 165.0 164.5 166.3 .5 .6 .6 .4 .4 .4 .5 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.0 2.0 2.2 1.4 155.8 157.2 158.0 159.4 160.0 161.1 161.4 162.6 163.5 Workers, by occupational group: Public administration 2 .... .. ......... ............ ..... ....................... Consists of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 2 Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .6 3 This series has the same industry and occupation:~I coverage Earnings index, which was discontinued in January 1989. 4 as, 2.2 the Hourly Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 121 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 32. Employment Cost Index, benefits, private industry workers by occupation and industry group [June 1989 = 100] 2002 2003 2004 Percent change Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 3 months 12 months ended ended Dec .2004 Private industry workers ...................................................... 174.6 179.6 182.0 184.3 185.8 192.2 195.3 196.9 198.7 0.9 6.9 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ....................................... .................. Blue-collar workers . ................. ...................... .. .................. 178.5 167.8 183.6 172.7 185.5 176.1 187.7 178.4 189.2 179.9 194.4 188.3 197.4 191 .8 199.1 193.3 201 .1 194.9 1.0 .8 6.3 8.3 Workers, by industry division: Goods-producing ............ ..... .. ................................. .......... .. Service-producing .. ..... ....................................................... Manufacturing ..................................................................... Nonmanufacturing .............................................................. 171.0 175.9 168.9 176.3 178.0 179.9 176.9 180.3 180.2 182.3 179.0 182.8 182.3 184.7 181.1 185.1 183.8 186.2 182.3 186.7 193.7 190.6 194.4 190.9 196.2 194.1 196.9 194.3 198.1 195.5 199.2 195.7 201.2 196.5 200.4 197.6 1.6 .5 .6 1.0 9.5 5.5 9.9 5.8 122 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 33. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers by bargaining status, region, and area size [June 1989 = 100] 2002 2004 2003 Percent change Series Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 3 months 12 months ended ended Dec.2004 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status 1 Union ............................ .. .................... .... ............. . Goods-producing .................... ............................................ . Service-producing .............................................................. . Manufacturing ............... .................. ...... .............................. . Nonmanufacturing ..................... .................. .......... .. ........... . 159.5 157.8 161.1 157.9 159.9 162.1 161 .4 162.6 162.3 161 .4 164.1 163.4 164.6 163.8 163.7 165.7 164.7 166.5 165.0 165.5 166.8 165.9 167.5 166.3 166.5 171.4 172.3 170.2 175.0 168.8 173.9 174.6 172.9 177.0 171.6 175.3 176.0 174.4 178.4 173.0 176.2 176.7 175.4 178.9 174.1 0.5 .4 .6 .3 .6 5.6 6.5 4.7 7.6 4.6 Nonunion .......... .. ............................ ... ...... ................................ Goods-producing ...... ........................................................ .. . Service-producing .................................................. .......... ... Manufacturing ..................................................................... . Nonmanufacturing .... .. ........................................................ . 162.8 160.8 163.3 161 .3 162.9 165.4 163.6 165.9 164.5 165.4 166.8 164.9 167.2 165.8 166.7 168.4 166.1 169.0 166.9 168.5 169.1 166.7 169.8 167.3 139.3 171 .3 169.7 171.6 170.6 171.1 172.7 170.9 173.2 172.0 172.6 174.2 172.4 174.6 173.8 174.0 174.9 173.5 175.1 174.3 174.7 .4 .6 .3 .3 .4 3.4 4.1 3.1 4.2 3.2 161 .3 159.0 164.6 165.0 163.8 160.6 169.0 167.3 165.2 161.6 170.4 169.5 166.9 163.2 171 .7 171.4 167.9 163.9 172.5 172.2 170.2 166.4 174.7 175.3 172.3 167.9 176.2 176.8 173.7 169.5 177.6 178.1 174.2 170.6 177.9 179.0 .3 .6 .2 .5 3.8 4.1 3.1 3.9 162.5 169.8 165.2 163.5 166.6 165.0 168.3 ·166.1 169.1 166.9 171 .5 170.2 173.1 172.1 174.6 173.3 175.3 174.3 .4 .6 3.7 4.4 Union ............................ .. .... .. .......... ... ......... ........ .................... . Goods-producing .. ....................... .. ....... ..................... ... ...... . Service-producing .............................................................. . Manufacturing ................................................. ............ ........ . Non manufacturing .................................. .......................... .. 152.5 151 .2 154.1 153.1 152.1 153.3 152.4 154.6 154.6 152.5 154.3 153.9 155.1 155.9 153.5 155.3 154.8 156.3 156.7 154.6 156.2 155.4 157.3 157.1 155.6 157.2 156.3 158.5 158.1 156.6 158.7 157.5 160.3 159.2 158.4 160.0 158.7 161.7 160.5 159.6 160.6 158.9 162.6 160.7 160.4 .4 .1 .6 .1 .5 2.8 2.3 3.4 2.3 3.1 Nonunion ............................ ............. ............ ........................... . Goods-producing .. .. ...... .. .... ........................ ........................ . Service-producing .. .. ... .. ................. ... ... .. ........................ .... . Manufacturing ..... .............. ... ................................................ Nonmanufacturing .................. ... ...... ............. ... ........... ........ 158.5 156.6 159.0 157.8 158.3 160.4 157.8 161 .2 159.3 160.4 161.5 158.9 162.3 160.2 161.5 163.0 159.7 164.0 160.9 163.1 163.4 160.1 164.5 161 .3 163.7 164.6 161.4 165.6 162.6 164.7 165.6 162.4 166.6 163.7 165.7 167.0 163.8 168.0 165.2 167.1 167.3 163.9 168.4 165.3 167.5 .2 .1 .2 .1 .2 2.4 2. 4 2.4 2.5 2.3 155.7 154.6 160.2 160.1 157.3 155.3 164.1 161.3 158.4 156.1 165.0 163.1 160.0 157.4 166.1 164.7 160.9 157.9 166.5 165.2 162.0 159.1 166.9 166.8 163.6 160.1 167.7 167.9 164.9 161.6 169.2 169.1 165.0 162.3 169.2 169.5 .1 .4 .0 .2 2.5 2.8 1.6 2.6 157.9 154.8 159.6 156.8 160.7 158.0 162.2 158.9 162.7 159.5 163.8 160.8 164.9 162.1 163.3 162.1 166.6 163.8 .2 .3 2.4 2.7 Workers, by region 1 Northeast. .............................. ........ ............... ... ..................... . South .............................................................. ............... ........ . Midwest (formerly North Central) .......................................... . West. .. .. ...................... ...... .. .... ... ............................................ . Workers, by area size 1 Metropolitan areas ... .. ........................... .. ... .. ........................ ... Other areas ...................................................... ...................... . WAGES AND SALARIES Workers, by bargaining status 1 Workers, by region 1 Northeast. ........................................ .... ......... .... ... .... .............. . South ............................................................... ... ................... . Midwest (formerly North Central) ........................ .................. .. West. ....... . ..................... ....................................................... . Workers, by area size 1 Metropolitan areas ................................... ............................ .. . Other areas ... .... .............. .. .......... ...... ... .. ......................... .. ..... . : The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation , see the Monthly Labor Review Technical Note, "Estimation procedures for the Employment Cost Index," May 1982. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 123 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 34. Percent of full-time employees participating In emp!.:>yer-provlded benefit plans, and In selected features within plans, medium and large private establishments, selected ye_o..-'...;'•_1_9_8_0-_9..-7_ _ _..-------.-----,------,-----,--------,,--1980 Item Scope of survey (in OOO's) ........... ....... . Number of employees (in OOO's): With medical care .......................................... . With life insurance ......... . With defined benefit plan 1982 1984 1986 1988 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 21,352 21,043 21,013 21,303 31,059 32,428 31,163 28,728 33,374 38,409 20,711 20,498 17,936 20,412 20,201 17,676 20,383 20,172 17,231 20,238 20,451 16,190 27,953 28,574 19,567 29,834 30,482 20,430 25,865 29,293 18,386 23,519 26,175 16,015 25,546 29,078 17,417 29,340 33,495 19,202 10 27 72 26 10 26 71 26 84 3.3 97 9.2 8 9 30 67 28 80 3.3 92 10.2 29 68 26 83 3.0 91 9.4 80 3.3 89 9.1 81 3.7 89 9.3 22 3.1 21 3.3 21 3.1 22 3.3 20 3.5 Time-off plans Participants with: Paid lunch time ................ . AvGray'- ,riinutes per day ............................... . Paid rest time ......... . . Average minutes per day ... .. Paid funeral leave ......... . Average days per occurrence .. Paid holidays ................................. . Average days per year .................... ............. . Paid personal leave ......... . Average days per year ....... ... ...... .. . 10 9 9 75 25 76 25 26 73 26 99 10.0 9.8 99 10.0 24 3.8 23 3.6 25 3.7 11 29 72 26 85 3.2 96 9.4 24 3.3 100 99 99 100 98 97 96 97 96 95 62 67 67 70 69 33 16 68 37 18 67 37 26 65 60 53 58 56 84 93 88 3.2 99 10.1 20 Paid vacations ... .... .. ............ . 1 Paid sick leave ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Unpaid maternity leave ............. . ...................... . Unpaid paternity leave ........ ... .................. .... .... . Unpaid family leave ....................................... . 99 Insurance plans Participants in medical care plans .... ......... ... .. ..... . Percent of participants with coverage for: Home health care Extended care facilities Physical exam ............... . Percent of participants with employee contribution required for: Self coverage ................................ . Average monthly contribution ......................... . Family coverage .................. .. .......... ...... . . Average monthly contribution Participants in life insurance plans .................... . Percent of participants with: Accidental death and dismemberment insurance .... .... ......... ......... .. ......... . Survivor income benefits ........... . Retiree protection available ................ . Participants in long-term disability insuranr:e plans ....... . Participant:, in sickness and accident insurance plans ................................. . 97 97 97 95 90 92 83 82 77 76 58 62 46 62 8 66 70 18 76 79 28 75 80 28 81 80 30 86 82 42 78 73 56 85 78 63 36 $11.93 58 $35.93 43 $12.80 63 $41.40 44 $19.29 64 $60.07 47 $25.31 66 $72.10 51 $26.60 69 $96.97 61 $31.55 76 $107.42 67 $33.92 78 $118.33 69 $39.14 80 $130.07 26 46 51 96 96 96 96 92 94 94 91 87 87 69 72 74 78 8 49 71 7 42 71 76 77 6 5 74 6 33 64 64 72 10 59 44 41 7 37 40 43 47 48 42 45 40 41 42 43 54 51 51 49 46 43 45 44 53 55 Participants in short-term disability plans ' Retirement plans Participants in defined benefit pension plans .. ..... .. . Percent of participants with: Normal retirement prior to age 65 Early retirement available ...... ........ .. Ad hoc pension increase in last 5 years Terminal earnings formula ....... ...... . Benefit coordinated with Social Security 84 84 82 76 63 63 59 56 52 50 55 98 58 97 98 7 56 54 52 95 6 61 48 52 96 62 62 97 22 64 63 55 52 45 64 98 35 57 62 59 98 26 53 45 63 97 47 54 56 58 51 52 95 10 56 49 60 45 48 48 49 55 57 33 36 41 44 43 54 55 Participants in defined contribution plans .... .... .. ... .. . Participants in plans with tax-deferred savings arrangements ...... ... ............ .......... ... . 55 4 Other benefits Employees eligible for: Flexible benefits plans .. .... ................................. . 2 Reimbursement accounts .••••..•...... ..... • . ..•...••••• Premium conversion olans .............. .... ............. . ' The definitions for paid sick leave and short-term disability (previously sickness and 2 5 9 10 12 12 13 5 12 23 36 52 38 5 32 7 fits at less than full pay. accident insurance) were changed for the 1995 survey. Paid sick leave now includes only 2 plans that specify either a maximum number of days per year or unlimit~•c:t specifically allow medical plan participants to pay required plan premiums with pretax L!.;.yS. Short- Prior to 1995, reimbursement accounts included premium conversion plans, which terms disability now includes all insured, self-insured, and State-mandated plans available dollars. on a per-disability basis, as well as the unfunded per-disability plans previously reported as tabulated separately. Also, reimbursement accounts that were part of flexible benefit plans were sick leave. Sickness and accident insurance, reported in years prior to this survey, included only insured, self-insured, and State-mandated plans providing per-disability bene- 124 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 NOTE: Dash indicates data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 35. Percent of full-time employees participating In employer-provided benefit plans, and In selected features within plans, small private establishments and State and local governments, 1987, 1990, 1992, 1994, and 1996 State and local governments Small private establishments Item 1990 1994 1992 1987 1996 1992 1990 1994 Scope of survey (in OOO's) .... ..... ... .... . 32,466 34,360 35,910 39,816 10,321 12,972 12,466 12,907 Number of employees (in OOO's): With medical care ....... ..... ..... ......... .. .. .... ........ . With life insurance ..... ....... ..... ... .... ... ... ... ......... . With defined benefit plan .. .... ... ... .... . 22,402 20,778 6,493 24,396 21,990 7,559 23,536 21,955 5,480 25,599 24,635 5,883 9,599 8,773 9,599 12,064 11 ,415 11 ,675 11,219 11 ,095 10,845 11 ,192 11 ,194 11 ,708 11 36 56 29 63 3.7 74 10 34 53 29 65 3.7 75 Time-off plans Participants with: Paid lunch time Average minutes per day .. .. .. ... .. ... ...... ... . Paid rest time .............. ... ..... .... . . Average minutes per day ...... .. ... ... . . Paid funeral leave ..... ... ... ..... .. . Average days per occurrence ..... .. ........ ... .. . Paid holidays .. . .. ..... ..... .. .... .. ....... .. .. ..... ...... .... . 37 48 27 47 2.9 84 37 49 26 50 3.0 82 50 3.1 82 51 3 .0 80 17 34 58 29 56 3.7 81 Averaqe days per year' ... .. .. ...... .. .... ... .. .... .... .. . Paid personal leave ...... ...... .. ..... ..... .... ... .. .. ... .. . Average days per year ... .... .. ... ..... ...... ..... .. .... . Paid vacations ....... ... .. .......... ..... ...... ... .. .. .. .. . 9.5 11 2 .8 88 9.2 12 2.6 7.5 13 2.6 88 88 7 .6 14 3.0 86 10.9 38 2.7 72 13.6 39 2.9 67 14.2 38 2 .9 67 11 .5 38 3.0 66 47 53 50 50 97 95 95 94 17 18 7 57 30 51 59 44 Paid sick leave 2 . .. ..• • • • . •.•• • •• • • •• • • •• • • Unpaid leave .. Unpaid paternity leave .... ...... ..... ... . . Unpaid family leave ... ... ... .... .... . 8 8 47 48 66 64 33 62 3.7 73 93 Insurance plans 93 93 90 87 76 78 36 82 79 36 87 84 47 84 81 55 52 $42 .63 75 35 $15.74 71 38 $25.53 65 43 $28.97 72 47 $30 .20 71 $159.63 $181 .53 $71 .89 $117.59 $139.23 $149.70 61 62 85 88 89 87 79 67 1 55 67 1 45 74 1 46 64 20 77 1 13 23 20 22 31 27 28 30 26 26 14 21 22 21 93 90 87 91 89 92 87 13 99 49 69 71 79 83 26 80 84 28 42 $25.13 67 47 $36.51 73 52 $40.97 76 Average monthly contribution .... ... ..... .... .. .... ... . $109.34 $150.54 Participants in life insurance plans ...... ..... . Percent of participants with: Accidental death and dismemberment insurance ....... ... . ... ..... ....... .. ...... . Survivor income benefits ........ ... ...... . Retiree protection available .. .... .... ... ....... .. .. .. ... . Participants in long-term disability insurance plans .. .. ......... .... ....... ... . Participants in sickness and accident insurance plans ... ....... ........ ... ......... .. .... ....... .... . 64 64 78 1 19 76 1 25 19 Participants in medical care plans ... .. . Percent of participants with coverage for: Home health care ..... .. ..... ... ..... .. ...... ... ............ . . Extended care facilities .... .. .... ..... . . Physical exam ... Percent of participants with employee contribution required for: Self coverage ......... ..... .. .... ..... Average monthly contribution . Family coverage ... .. .. ......... ........ ..... . . Participants in short-term disability plans 2 2 46 29 2 Retirement plans 22 Participants in defined benefit pension plans .. ... . Percent of participants with: Normal retirement prior to age 65 ... .. ......... ...... .... Early retirement available ... .. ...... ... ... . ... . Ad hoc pension increase in last 5 years Terminal earnings formula .. ........... ... .. . Benefit coordinated with Social Security 20 54 95 7 58 49 54 46 Participants in defined contribution plans .. Participants in plans with tax-deferred savings arrangements .... .. ... ................ .... ............. ... 31 33 34 17 24 23 15 50 95 15 47 92 92 90 53 44 100 18 16 100 8 92 89 10 100 10 38 9 9 9 9 28 28 45 45 24 33 4 88 Other benefits Employees eligible for : Flexible benefits plans ..... ....... . 3 Reimbursement accounts • . ••.• • ••• • • . •• Premium conversion plans ..... .. .... ...... .... .. .... ... . 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 5 8 14 19 12 31 50 64 7 Sickness and accident insurance, reported in years prior to this survey, Methods used to calculate the average number of paid holidays were revised in 1994 to count partial days more precisely. Average holidays for 1994 are included only insured, self-insured, and State-mandated plans providing per- not comparable with those reported in 1990 and 1992. disability benefits at less than full pay. 2 The definitions for paid sick leave and short-term disability (previously sickness and accident insurance) were changed for the 1996 survey. Paid sick 3 Prior to 1996, reimbursement accounts included premium conversion plans, which specifically allow medical plan participants to pay required plan leave now includes only plans that specify either a maximum number of days premiums with pretax dollars. Also, reimbursement accounts that were part of per year or unlimited :iays. Short-term disability now includes all insured, self- flexible benefit plans were tabulated separately. insured, and State-mandated plans available on a per-disability basis, as well as the unfunded per-disability plans previously reported as sick leave. NOTE: Dash indicates data not available. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 125 Current Labor Statistics: Compensation & Industrial Relations 36. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more Measure Annual totals 2003 2003 Dec. 2004 2004P Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Aug. July Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Number of stoppages: Beginning in period ...................... ····· In effect during period .. .... ... ... ..... ····· 14 15 15 16 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 3 4 0 1 2 2 2 - 1 3 - 3 2 2 Workers involved: Beginning in period (in thousands) ... In effect during period (in thousands). 129.2 130.5 168.2 316.5 .0 70.5 .0 61.3 6.5 66.5 2.2 2.2 .0 2.2 103.0 103.0 27.6 28.6 .0 1.6 3.7 3.7 4.5 6.5 10.0 16.1 2.0 16.1 8.5 8.5 4,091.2 3,290.9 1,473.4 1,203.9 1,146.5 44.0 26.4 204.0 94.0 3.2 52.5 57.0 300.0 107.7 51.5 .01 .01 .05 .05 .05 (2) (2) .01 (2) (2) .00 (2) .01 (2) (2) Days idle: Number (in thousands) .............. ... Percent of estimated workina time 1 1 .• Agricultural and government employees are included in the total employed and total working time; private household, forestry, and fishery employees are excluded. An Monthly Labor Review. October 1968, pp.54-56. 2 Less than 0.005. explanation of the measurement of idleness as a percentage of the total time worked is found in "Total economy measures of strike idleness," 126 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February NOTE: Dash indicates data not available. P = preliminary. 2005 37. Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and ft>f Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group [1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated] Annual average Serles 2003 2004 2004 2003 Dec. Jan Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS All items. ....... .. .................. .. .... ................ .............. All items (1967 = 100) .. ·············································· 184.0 551.1 188.9 565.8 184.3 552.1 185.2 554.9 Food and beverages ...... ............ .......... ...................... 180.5 180.0 186.6 186.2 184.7 184.3 183.8 184.0 557.9 187.4 561.5 188.0 563.2 189.1 566.4 189.7 568.2 189.4 567.5 189.5 567.6 189.9 568.7 190.9 571.9 184.5 184.1 184.9 184.4 185.0 184.5 186.5 186.1 186.8 186.3 187.2 186.8 187.3 186.8 187.2 186.7 188.4 187.9 184.1 205.5 186.8 206.8 187.1 207.2 186.7 207.2 186.2 191 .0 572.2 188.6 188.2 188.1 190.3 570.1 188.9 188.5 179.4 186.2 180.0 184.1 202.8 169.3 206.0 181.7 202.9 181.1 203.9 179.9 184.0 204.4 179.7 184.3 204.8 179.5 179.2 186.6 206.1 181 .1 182.3 183.7 167.9 225.9 180.2 232.7 173.0 232.4 172.4 232.4 172.1 229.7 171 .9 230.1 174.0 228.3 185.9 231.7 188.8 226.7 187.7 224.5 139.8 140.4 164.9 163.2 139.3 163.0 161.0 140.7 162.8 163.0 141.4 163.7 140.8 165.1 139.7 165.0 169.9 165.4 139.8 162.6 162.0 157.4 157.7 179.6 160.7 178.0 163.9 162.3 178.9 163.3 166.2 180.4 162.6 166.2 180.4 163.5 169.4 178.8 167.8 179.7 165.8 162.8 171.3 180.1 180.5 110.3 110.4 109.8 109.1 109.5 111.7 110.5 110.8 110.9 182.1 187.5 184.3 184.9 185.5 185.8 186.2 186.7 Other food away from home 1.2 ... ··· •·· · ·····••·· Alcoholic beverages ..................... ............. ....... .. Housing ............. ..... ···· ················ ....... ....... •.... ... .... 121.3 187.2 125.3 192.1 122.9 188.7 123.9 189.4 124.0 189.9 124.1 190.8 124.7 191.8 124.8 191 .7 184.8 189.5 185.1 186.3 188.4 188.9 190.3 190.9 191.2 191.0 191.0 190.8 190.7 213.1 218.8 213.1 215.2 187.0 216.0 187.9 Shelter ···· ······························· ............... ............... Rent of primary residence .... ...... ... ................... Lodging away from home ....... ........ ... . ... . .. .. .. 217.8 218.4 218.7 219.2 220.0 220.3 220.2 220.6 219.9 219.8 205.5 211.0 205.5 208.3 208.8 209.2 209.7 210.2 210.7 211.2 211.9 212.4 212.8 213.2 213.9 119.3 125.9 119.3 117.2 120.0 128.1 129.1 128.2 129.1 132.2 130.6 127.2 128.0 121.9 118.7 219.9 224.9 219.9 222.6 222.9 223.3 223.9 224.3 224.7 225 .1 225.7 226 .1 226.5 226.8 227.2 Tenants' and household insurance • Fuels and utilities .. ............. ... ....•................•... Fuels ··················--···-- ....... .... .... ....... .. ............... Fuel oil and other fuels .................... .......... ..... Gas (piped) and electricity ... .... .... .... ......... .... 114.8 154.5 138.2 139.5 116.2 161.9 144.4 114.8 15~ 5 114.8 156.3 139.2 149.9 115.0 156.9 139.5 155.1 115.. 1 155.2 137.6 115.7 155.6 138.0 116.1 158.1 140.4 116.2 165.5 116.1 166.6 116.3 167.7 117.7 165.6 149.6 144.2 150.4 146.8 148.5 150.7 155.8 157.6 161.6 156.0 118.7 165.7 148.0 183.7 145.5 144.9 177.3 150.0 147.8 186.6 145.5 152.5 143.5 150.5 157.4 116.6 166.7 149.3 116.3 162.8 149.5 151.1 Household furnishings and operations ..... ........ . Apparel ...... ············ ··· ·· ····················· ................... .... Men's and boys' apparel. .. .. ........ .. .. . .. ..... ... ..... .... Women's and girls' apparel. .... ..... .... ..... ... ........ 124.8 125.0 126.1 ······· ............... ................................................ Food at home ..... ········ ····· ·· ················ .. ... .... . ... Cereals and bakery products ....... ....... ········ Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs ........ ···· ··· •· ·· · . .... Food 1 Dairy and related products Fruits and vegetables .. .. .. ....... ............................. Nonalcoholic beverages and beverage materials ................................ Other foods at home ........................... ......... ....... Sugar and sweets .............. ···············•···· Fats and oils ..... . ........................ ........ ........... Other foods ............................... ... ........ . .......... Other miscellaneous foods Food away from home 1 12 · .. Owners' equivalent rent of primary residence 3 ... 12 186.1 187.9 207.0 182.9 206.8 188.5 206.4 183.7 206.4 183.4 182.4 183.1 184.9 224.0 181.6 226.0 182.1 240.0 180.9 248.3 180.1 250.8 140.5 140.3 166.0 163.8 171.9 166.2 164.4 140.3 165.2 163.5 140.6 165.4 162.6 139.6 164.4 140.4 163.6 170.4 179.4 170.2 180.1 163.1 167.8 161 .3 167.4 180.3 169.7 180.9 178.9 178.3 109.4 111.5 110.5 109.9 110.5 110.8 187.0 187.8 188.4 188.9 189.4 189.6 189.9 124.8 192.4 125.1 192.2 125.4 192.5 125.9 193.4 126.8 193.6 126.7 194.0 127.0 193.9 145.0 160.5 150.6 138.7 139.1 145.0 126.1 125.5 124.7 125.3 125.7 125.7 125.6 125.4 125.6 156.9 125.2 120.9 118.0 113.1 120.4 117.5 113.0 119.0 118.0 110.9 115.8 115.5 105.7 118.6 117.1 110.3 123.5 119.8 117.6 124.3 120.3 118.7 123.4 120.3 116.9 120.1 117.7 112.3 115.9 115.2 106.1 116.5 113.8 107.5 121 .2 116.2 114.4 124.1 152.7 125.8 153.0 118.3 119.2 123.0 118.9 116.8 118.8 116.3 110.0 125.5 Infants' and toddlers' apparel ............ ..... .. .. ....... ............... Footwear .. Transportation ........... . . .... . .. .. . .. ....... . ....... .. ... ......... r'rivate transportation. ..... ...... ................... ........ 1 122.1 118.5 119.2 117.7 119.3 121.9 120.5 118.1 116.2 114.5 115.0 119.5 120.6 120.3 118.6 119.3 118.5 120.1 118.4 115.1 117.3 160.5 156.6 165.2 161 .5 165.7 161.9 164.0 160.0 162.9 159.1 121.8 167.2 163.6 120.3 158.8 154.9 121 .7 162.9 159.4 122.1 154.7 150.8 121.0 161 .8 157.9 120.3 163.1 159.4 115.9 157.0 153.2 117.0 . 119.6 157.6 153.6 New and used motor vehicles2 ....... .... ......... New vehicles ....... ............. . . . . .... . .. . ................. . 96.5 94.2 94.4 94.3 94.4 94.2 94.1 94.0 93.6 93.5 93.4 93.9 94.3 95.2 95.4 137.9 137.1 138.0 138.0 138.3 137.9 137.6 137.4 137.2 135.9 134.9 134.9 135.9 137.9 138.8 142.9 135.8 135.1 107.8 133.3 160.4 159.7 108.7 131.0 127.8 127.2 131.0 143.1 142.5 108.0 198.2 131.2 150.5 149.8 107.8 198.5 131 .3 155.9 155.3 107.9 198.6 131.8 170.5 169.8 107.9 199.0 130.6 173.3 172.7 108.2 199.7 132.1 165.2 164 .5 108.8 133.8 162.0 136.5 161 .2 136.7 171.9 161.2 109.0 109.5 201.7 137.3 161 .2 160.4 109.9 203.3 206.3 208.1 209.9 211.5 210.7 212.3 200.8 209.7 171 .0 109.9 202.9 205.6 200 .3 214.4 160.5 109.3 200.7 205.3 136.8 173.1 172.2 107.8 198.0 130.8 136.7 136.1 108.0 198.2 206.5 208.6 205.4 302.1 303.6 265.5 306.0 266.7 307.5 267.3 308.3 268.5 309.0 269.1 310.0 269.6 311.0 269.9 311.6 270.0 312.3 270.9 313.3 271.7 314.1 314 .9 313.8 318.4 270.8 327.3 . 1 Used cars and trucks . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . ......... ......... .. Motor fuel ··························--·· ·-- ........ ................ Gasoline (all types) .............. .. .. . . . .. . . . .. ....... .. .. . Motor vehicle parts and equipment ..... .. .. .. ... .. ... Motor vehicle maintenance and repair ........ ... ... . 195.6 209.3 200.2 209.1 Medical care . . . .. .. . .. . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . .. . . ... . . ....... .... ...... .. ... Medical care commodities ..... ..... ..... ........ .. ......... Medical care services .......... ............ ... . ......... ..... 297.1 262.8 310.1 269.3 306.0 Professional services ················· --· ·· .... ......... Hospital and related services ... .... .... ··············· 261.2 394.8 321.3 271.5 417.9 2 107.5 1 VirlP.n ;inrl >i11rlin ·2 103.6 Public transportation ......... .......... ...... .. .... ... ........ . 166.4 162.9 164.8 161.3 323.1 323.7 324.8 269.7 413.8 270.9 414.6 321.0 271.6 416.9 322 .3 262.5 409.7 319.2 270.6 413.6 319.8 261.2 407.0 316.6 268.0 412.5 27 1.2 326.0 272.3 419 .1 273.3 418.8 273.3 420.3 273.7 422.5 274.2 425.0 274.6 428.0 108.6 107.7 107.9 108.4 108.8 109.0 108.8 108.9 108.7 108.5 108.6 108.7 108.7 108.5 104.2 103.3 103.6 104.1 104.3 104.7 104.6 104.4 104.4 104.1 104.0 104.2 104.0 103.9 109.8 111.6 110.9 111.1 111.2 111 .1 110.9 110.6 110.8 110.9 111.7 112.9 112.5 112.7 112.6 Education Educational books and supplies ...... ..... ........ . .. 134.4 335.4 143.7 351.0 139.4 342.8 140.1 345.4 140.4 348.6 140.6 348.9 140.7 349.5 140.9 349.6 141.6 350.6 142.1 349.5 145.1 353.3 147.9 352.8 148.3 353.8 148.4 354.4 148.5 355.9 .......... 362.1 89.7 414.3 86.7 401.7 88.2 403.6 88.1 404 .2 88.1 404.7 404.9 405.6 86.9 409.4 86.5 418.3 86.1 427.4 86.2 428.2 85.5 428.9 87.4 407.6 86.8 428.7 87.7 85.6 85.4 87.8 84.6 86.2 86.1 86.1 85.7 85.4 84.8 84.7 84 .5 84.0 84.1 83.4 83.5 83.3 98.3 95.8 97 .2 97.0 97.1 96.7 96.5 95.9 95.8 95.6 95.0 95.3 94.6 94.5 94.8 16.1 14.8 15.3 15.3 15.2 15.2 15.0 14.9 14.9 14.8 14.7 14.7 14.5 14.3 14.2 RP.r.rP.>itinn Education and commun ication 2 .. · ... 2 Tuition, other school fees, and child care 12 Cnmm,mir.;itinn · 12 Information and information processinQ · 12 Telephone services • .. Information and information processing 14 nthP.r th;in tP.IP.nhnnP. sP.rvir.P.s • Personal computers and peripheral 12 equipment · Other goods and services .......... . . .. ... .. . . . .. ....... .. .. Tobacco and smoking products .. .. ... ..... ..... ..... Personal care 17.6 15.3 16.2 16.2 16.0 15.8 15.9 15.7 15.5 15.3 15.1 15.0 14.6 14.2 13.9 298.7 469.0 304.7 478.0 300.2 470.4 301.4 473.0 302.3 472.6 303.1 473.6 303.6 473.3 303.8 473.5 304.1 476.0 305.1 480 .5 305.5 481.6 306.3 482 .9 306.8 482.3 307.0 481 .7 307.8 484.8 183.3 178.0 181.7 179.0 179.7 180.4 180.9 181.3 181.4 181.4 181.7 181.9 182.3 182.8 83 .0 1 153.5 153.9 153.4 153.8 154.5 154.5 154.5 154.6 153.8 153.4 152.8 153.5 154.0 153.8 153.4 1 193.2 197.6 194.3 194.6 195.2 195.8 196.1 196.6 196.9 197.5 198.9 199.1 199.4 200.0 201.2 February 2005 1 Personal care products Personal care services 265.0 311.9 See fnotnotes at end of table . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review 127 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 37. Continued-Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city overage, by expenditure category and commodity or service group [1982-84 = 100 unless otherwise indicated] Annual average Series 2003 Miscellaneous personal services ... .......... ····· Commodity and service group: Commodities ..... ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ... ........ ...... Food and beverages ......................................... Commodities less food and beverages ............. Nondurables less food and beverages .......... Apparel ...... .......... ···················· ········· .. ....... Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel. ................ ................ .. ·········· Durables ............. ........... . . . . .. . .. . . . .. . ...... ... . Services ............... ··········· .............. 2004 2003 Dec. 2004 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 283.5 293.9 287.1 288.8 290.4 291 .6 292.7 293.1 293.6 294.4 295.2 295.9 296.3 296.9 297.7 151 .2 180.5 134.5 149.7 154.7 186.6 136.7 157.2 151 .1 184.3 154.3 185.0 156.0 186.5 155.8 186.8 154.9 187.2 157.1 188.4 157.2 188.6 136.9 157.2 124.3 138.6 160.9 123.4 138.2 160.5 120.1 135.6 156.1 116.5 136.7 157.8 139.4 120.4 136.0 155.3 123.5 154.5 187.2 136.1 156.7 115.9 154.2 187.3 132.6 148.4 115.8 152.3 184.5 134.2 151.4 118.6 153.7 184.9 120.9 150.4 184.1 131 .7 146.7 119.0 121.2 162.6 124.1 139.4 162.0 123.0 155.8 188.9 137.2 157.4 118.8 171.5 183.9 117.5 114.8 167.7 115.0 172.3 115.1 175.6 115.3 179.1 115.1 181.7 115.0 188.2 114.8 189.5 114.5 185.8 114.1 184.4 113.7 184.4 114.1 190.6 114.7 190.2 115.3 183.9 114.8 ............. .. 216.5 222.8 217.9 219.1 219.9 221 .0 221.5 221 .9 223.3 224.1 224.5 224.5 224.5 224.6 224.6 Rent of shelter ·········• ·• •· · · · •· • ·•·•··•··•·· Transporatation services. ........ ............ .... ..... Other services .. ....... .... .. ........... .. . . .. ... . .. . . . . .. . 221.9 216.3 227.9 220.6 261.3 224.1 218.7 258.4 224.9 219.3 259.2 226.8 219.7 259.5 227.4 254.4 222.9 217.7 257.4 220.0 259.7 227.7 220.0 259.6 228.3 220.5 260.2 229.2 221.6 260.5 229.4 220.8 261 .9 229.3 220.1 263.8 229.8 221.4 263.7 229.0 222 .8 264.2 228.9 221 .8 264.3 184.7 174.6 189.4 179.3 184.4 1 185.5 175.6 186.6 176.7 188.0 177.6 188.6 178.2 189.6 179.6 190.3 180.2 189.9 179.6 189.9 179.5 190.4 180.1 191.4 181.4 178.1 136.5 151.9 172.1 165.3 182.7 174.7 1 178.2 181 .8 138.9 182.9 140.6 183.5 140.3 183.2 138.2 183.2 183.6 138.8 184.6 141.1 191 .5 181 .9 184.7 141.4 190.6 180.9 183.9 133.8 149.2 168.8 165.4 180.1 136.3 181.3 138.8 159.3 183.8 172.2 179.1 134.7 150.8 173.0 166.4 153.7 176.1 168.1 159.3 181 .7 171.4 162.8 187.7 174.1 162.4 189.0 174.0 158.8 185.6 172.2 159.9 184.4 172.8 164.2 190.0 175.8 163.9 189.7 175.6 3 Special indexes: All items less food . .. ... .... .......... .. ... . .. ... .. ....... All items less shelter ......... .. ..........., .. . .. .... .. . . All items less medical care .... ........... ....... ...... . Commodities less food ......... .......... ....... ..... . Nondurables less food . .................... ... ... . Nondurables less food and apparel ................. Non durables ....................................... ..... ....... Services less rent of shelter3 ....... ......... Services less medical care services .... .......... Energy ............ ................................ ................ All items less energy ........................................ All items less food and energy .... ··················· Commodities less food and energy .............. t::nE<rgy commodities .. . Services less energy. ............................ ..... 138.0 157.5 179.4 170.3 137.7 158.2 184.3 171.9 226.4 233.5 228.4 229.7 230.6 230.7 231 .1 231 .7 234.2 235.0 235.6 235.9 235.1 236.4 208.7 136.5 190.6 214.5 151.4 194.4 212.7 143.1 193.7 196.1 140.3 151 .3 228.9 215.0 159.7 194.4 215.8 156.3 194.5 216.0 157.7 196.0 196.5 140.5 196.5 140.2 196.6 139.4 156.3 229.4 170.1 229.6 172.8 230.2 196.6 138.2 165.1 216.2 155.3 194.7 196.8 138.1 162.5 216.1 154.3 195.2 129.0 225.5 211.7 140.6 192.7 194.9 139.3 144.6 227.5 213.6 154.1 194.3 196.6 139.6 161.2 230.2 211.0 137.4 191.9 194.0 138.5 138.2 226.6 213.2 145.9 194.1 193.2 140.9 136.7 223.8 209.9 131 .8 191 .5 193.6 139.0 197.4 139.4 162.0 198.2 140.5 174.2 216.1 158.6 1196.0 198.1 140.6 173.6 231 .0 231.4 231.6 232.1 231 .9 179.8 535.6 184.5 549.5 179.9 536.0 180.9 538.7 181.9 182.9 183.5 184.7 185.3 184.9 185.0 185.4 186.5 186.8 541 .7 544.8 546.5 550.2 551 .9 550.8 551.0 552.4 555.7 556.3 179.9 179.4 178.5 202.8 186.2 185.7 185.4 206.0 183.8 183.3 183.2 203.8 184.0 184.4 184.5 186.0 183.5 183.2 204.4 183.8 183.5 204.9 186.4 185.9 186.1 206.7 186.8 186.3 186.9 186.4 186.8 186.2 181.8 179.9 179.7 179.6 183.9 183.3 205.5 179.1 185.6 185.8 206.0 169.2 183.6 183.1 183.3 202.4 181.0 181 .1 Dairy and related products .................. ..... Fruits and vegetables ...... ... .. ... ... ........ ........ 167.6 224.3 180.0 230.4 172.7 229.7 172.2 229.7 171 .7 227.5 171 .3 227.8 173.6 225.5 Nonalcoholic beverages and beverage materials .............. ·········· ···· ·· ···· ······ ···· ····· ... Other foods at home ................. ........... .. ... ... . Sugar and sweets ... . . ... .. . .. . .. . . .......... .......... Fats and oils ....... .. .... ... . ..... ...... ..... .. .. .. Other foods .. ... .. .... ................. .......... ........ 139.1 162.2 161 .6 157.4 179.2 139.7 164.5 162.5 167.8 180.1 138.6 162.5 160.5 157.7 180.0 140.0 162.3 162.4 160.7 178.4 140.8 163.3 163.2 162.2 179.4 140.1 164.7 162.6 139.3 159.5 185.1 173.3 236.5 216.0 153.7 195.8 197.8 139.8 163.4 231.9 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR URBAN WAGE EARNERS AND CLERICAL WORKERS All items ....... .... ... ........ ........ .... ......... .......... All items (1967 c 100) ......... .. .. .... ... . .. .. . . ....... . ..... ... . ... Food and beverages .... ... .... . ...... Food ...................... . . . . . . . . . . . . ... .. . ... .. Food at home ..... .. ..... ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......... . . . . i Cereals and bakery products .. ... .. ......... .. ...... Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs . ... .. . ..... . ... 1 Other miscellaneous Food away from home 1 12 foods · ·········•···· .. 12 Other food away from home • .. ........... Alcoholic beverages ···· ····· · ... .......... ........... .... Housing .. ..... ........... ................................ ... ..... .. Shelter ... . . . . . .. . . . . .. . .. . .. . ... . ... . . . .. . .. .. .... ....... ......... Rent of primary residence ........ ...... ... .. .... .. 166.0 180.8 187.9 188.1 187.6 187.3 186.0 554.2 188.4 187.9 187.6 206.3 186.3 186.1 185.5 187.4 187.1 182.4 207.2 183.7 207.0 183.7 206.3 183.4 206.9 183.0 206.8 182.4 186.1 228.9 189.0 224.3 187.8 222.3 184.9 222.2 181.4 223.9 181.8 238.0 180.8 246.4 179.9 248.6 139.1 164.6 161 .9 166.1 180.8 139.3 165.1 162.9 169.4 180.5 139.3 165.5 162.2 171.4 180.8 139.8 165.6 162.9 172.0 180.7 139.6 165.8 163.8 169.9 181.4 139.7 164.8 163.1 170.3 179.7 140.0 165.0 162.2 170.0 180.5 138.9 163.8 162.1 167.7 179.2 140.0 163.2 160.6 167.3 178.6 183.2 110.8 110.9 110.3 109.6 110.1 112.2 111 .0 111.2 111.4 109.7 112.0 111 .0 110.3 111 .1 111 .3 182.0 187.4 184.2 184.8 185.3 185.6 186.1 186.6 186.8 187.6 188.2 188.8 189.3 189.5 189.7 121.5 187.1 125.1 192.4 123.1 188.9 123.6 189.5 123.8 190.0 123.8 191 .2 124.3 192.1 124.6 192.0 124.7 192.7 124.9 192.2 125.2 192.8 125.8 194.0 126.8 193.9 126.8 194.2 127.0 194.2 180.4 185.0 181 .0 182.1 182.6 183.2 183.6 186.2 186.6 186.5 186.2 186.4 186.4 212.2 208.2 209.2 209.8 211.0 211.5 184.1 211.8 185.6 206.9 212.2 213.0 213.4 213.4 213.8 213.4 213.5 204.7 213.0 210.2 207.0 207.4 208.0 208.4 208.9 209.4 209.9 210.3 211.0 211 .6 212.0 212.4 119.8 126.4 113.4 118.5 121 .1 128.8 129.8 128.2 128.8 133.0 131 .6 127.7 128.3 121 .8 118.6 3 199.7 204.1 201.7 202.1 202.3 202.7 203.1 203.6 203.9 204.2 204.7 205.1 205.5 205.8 206.1 Tenants' and household Fuels and utilities ................. .................... Fuels ......... ..•....•. . ..... .. . . .• . . ···························· F1Jel oil and other fuels ...... .. . . . . ... .. . . .. . ...... Gas (piped) and electricity ...... . . .. . . . . . . . . .. .. . .. . Household furnishings and operations ..... .. Apparel ..................... ·········································· Men"s and boys' apparel. . .. .. .... ............ .. ...... Women's and girls' apparel. .... ........ ........... .... 114.7 153.9 137.0 138.7 144.1 121 .9 120.0 117.5 112.1 116.4 161.2 143.2 160.0 149.8 121.1 120.0 117.3 112.8 114.4 153.0 135.4 136.2 142.5 120.4 118.7 117.8 110.5 114.9 155.6 138.0 149.6 144.7 115.1 156.2 138.3 154.5 144.7 115.2 154.7 136.6 152.0 142.9 116.0 155.1 137.0 148.9 143.5 116.4 157.4 139.3 149.6 146.1 116.5 165.0 147.4 149.8 155.1 116.3 166.1 148.4 150.2 156.2 116.8 166.2 148.2 161.1 155.3 121.4 118.3 117.4 109.8 121.4 122.9 120.0 117.4 121.3 123.8 120.6 118.4 121 .1 122.8 120.3 116.7 121.3 119.6 117.8 112.2 120.7 115.6 115.2 106.0 116.5 161 .9 143.5 177.2 149.1 121.7 123.5 117.8 119.3 118.1 164.5 146.2 186.5 121 .0 115.7 115.6 105.5 116.5 167.2 149.3 156.8 156.8 120.4 115.9 113.3 106.9 151 .7 121.5 122.6 118.6 116.9 118.9 164.7 146.4 183.4 152.0 121 .3 118.6 115.7 110.2 124.1 119.1 156.3 121.4 117.8 152.5 149.7 120.1 115.6 154.9 125.2 118.6 158.5 155.7 123.4 119.6 159.9 157.1 118.8 119.0 163.6 160.9 117.0 164.0 161 .3 117.0 114.4 162.2 152.2 122.2 116.4 156.8 154.0 120.9 153.5 121.3 118.2 161 .5 158.8 96.0 92.8 92 .8 92 .7 92.8 92 .6 92.6 92.5 92 .1 Lodqinq away from home2 .. Owners' equivalent rent of primary residence 12 insurance · ... 1 Infants' and toddlers' apparel ....... .. ... . ........ .. . Footwear . .... ... ........... .................. ...... ......... Transportation ... ....... ···················· ...................... Private transportation ....... ...... ···-·-----· ...... New and used motor vehicles2 .... .......... .. ...L See footnotes at end of table . 128 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 120.6 120.6 115.6 114.0 122.3 121.4 120.4 161 .6 159.1 123.3 120.6 165.3 162.7 123.1 159.3 117.6 116.3 161.4 158.6 120.6 165.8 163.2 119.4 163.4 160.9 92.1 92.2 92.3 93.3 94.0 94.3 37. Continued-Consumer Price Indexes for All Urban Consumers and for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity or service group [1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated] 2004 Annual average 2003 Serles New vehicles .. . 2003 ... .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... ... ... ... 1 . Used cars and trucks . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . ... . ... . . .... . Motor fuel .. ... ...... ... ... . . .. . .. ... . . .. ... ........ .. ..... Gasoline (all types) .. ............................ .. .... Motor vehicle parts and equipment.. ...... ...... .. . Motor vehicle maintenance and repair .. .. ....... Public transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. ... . . . . 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 139.0 138.1 139.2 139.2 139.5 139.0 138.7 138.5 138.2 137.0 136.0 136.0 136.9 138.9 139.8 143.7 134.1 131.7 131 .6 131.7 132.0 132.1 132.6 131.4 133.0 134.6 137.3 137.6 137.5 138.1 136.1 160.9 128.1 137.1 143.6 150.9 156.5 171.1 173.8 165.6 162.4 161 .7 173.6 172.3 161 .7 135.5 160.2 127.6 136.6 143.0 150.3 155.8 170.4 173.2 165.0 161 .7 161 .0 172.9 171 .6 160.9 107.3 197.3 108.2 202 .0 107.3 107.6 199.9 107.6 107.4 107.5 107.5 107.8 108.2 199.8 200.1 200.3 200.4 200.8 201 .5 202.1 108.4 202.7 108.7 202.7 108.9 203.8 109.4 204 .9 205.3 109.3 206.0 207.1 203.6 204.6 206.2 208.0 209.4 208.8 210.0 212.1 208.0 203.1 204 .2 207.1 204.2 Medical care ............ .. ............ ... .. ......... .•. ... . . .. ••.. Medical care commodities .... .. .... .. . . . . . . . . .. . . ..... 296.3 309.5 302.8 305.4 308.4 309.4 310.4 311.0 311 .7 312.7 313.6 314.4 263.2 259.8 260.9 306.9 261 .5 307.7 257.4 301.4 259.4 262.5 263.3 263.8 263.7 263 .8 264.8 265.4 264.9 264 .4 Medical care services ··· ·· ···· ··· ·· · · ······ ·· ··· ···· ········ Professional services .. .. ... .. .. ....... ........ .... .. . 305.9 321 .5 311 .9 313 .8 316.8 318.6 319.4 320.0 321 .2 322.4 323.2 323 .9 32 6.3 327 .7 263.4 274.0 266 .5 267 .8 270.6 272.3 273.2 273.5 274.1 274.8 275.8 275 .9 325.0 276 .3 276.9 277.2 391.2 414.0 403.4 405.9 408.7 409.9 409.8 410.7 413.0 415 .2 414.9 416 .4 418 .5 42 1.0 424 .2 105.5 106.3 105.5 105.6 106.2 106.5 106.7 106.6 106.7 106.3 106.1 106.2 106.2 106.3 106.1 102.9 103.4 102.5 102.7 103.2 103.5 103.9 103.9 103.7 103.7 103.4 103.3 103.5 103.3 103.2 109.0 110.0 109.7 109.8 110.0 109.8 109.6 109.2 109.4 109.4 109.9 110.8 110.5 110.6 110.5 Education .. ············· ···· ••·· F'r11!:ational books and supplies .. ........ 133.8 336.5 142.5 352 .2 138.0 343.8 139.1 346.1 139.4 349.5 139.6 349.9 139.7 350.4 139.9 350.4 140.6 351.5 141 .0 350.4 143.6 354.7 146.3 354.8 146.7 355.6 146.8 356.1 147.0 357.6 Tuition, other school fees, and child care ..... 377 .3 91 .2 402 .5 390.7 392.8 394.1 89.0 394.6 88 .. 4 405 .8 414 .0 415.8 88.4 88.1 87.6 87 .8 415 .2 87 .1 415.6 89.6 393.8 89.3 398.1 89.7 393.3 89.6 396.7 88.3 87.2 87.0 89.9 86.8 88.3 88 .2 88.2 87.9 87 .5 87.0 86.9 86.7 86 .2 86 .3 85.6 85.7 85.5 98.5 96.0 97.4 97.2 97.3 96.9 96.7 96.1 96.1 95 .8 95.2 95 .5 94 .8 95.1 95.0 16.7 15.3 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.7 15.5 15.4 15.4 15.3 15.3 15.2 15.0 14.9 14.8 . Hospital and related services RP.r.rP.Hlinn ······ ·• .. .. ..... .. .. ... 2 Vir1P.n Hnrl HI Jrlin 12 · Education and communication 2 2 C:nmm, inir.Hlinn 12 · Information and information processinq 12 · .. 12 Telephone services · .. Information and information processing 14 nthP.r lhHn IP.IP.nhnnP. ~P.rvir.P.!'; • Personal computers and peripheral 12 17.3 15.0 15.9 15.8 15.7 15.5 15.6 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.9 14.8 14.3 13. 9 13.7 307.0 312 .6 308.1 309.3 310.0 310.8 311.3 311.5 311 .8 313.2 313.5 314.4 314.7 3 14.9 315.9 470.5 478.8 471.5 473.8 473.2 474.2 474.1 474.4 476.9 481 .6 482.6 483 .9 483 .0 482.5 485.7 177.0 180.4 177.8 177.4 179.1 179.7 180.1 180.2 180.0 180.3 180.5 180.9 181 .4 181 .7 181 .9 154.2 154.4 154. 2 154.3 155.0 155.0 155.1 155.1 154.3 153.9 153.1 154.0 154.3 154.3 153.8 193.9 198.2 194.9 195.1 195.7 196.3 196.6 197.1 197.5 198.1 199.5 199.7 199.9 200.6 201 .8 283.3 294.0 286.6 288.4 290.2 291 .6 292.9 293.1 293.5 294.7 295.4 296 .2 296 .6 297.5 298.4 Commodities ...... .... .. ...... ....... .. ... .. ... .... . ··· ······· .. . .. ........ ..... .... ..... Food and beverages .. 151 .8 155.4 179.9 186.2 150.7 183.6 151.5 183.8 152.7 184.0 154.1 184.4 154.8 184.5 156.7 186.0 156.6 186.4 155.2 186.8 154.9 186.9 155.7 186.8 158.0 187.9 158.1 188.1 156.6 188.4 Commodities less food and beverages ..... ....... Nondurabl es less food and beverages .... ... .... 135.8 138.1 132.5 133.5 135.2 137.0 138.0 140.0 139.6 137.5 137.1 138.2 141 .0 141 .0 138.8 152.1 160.6 149.0 151 .0 154.3 158.4 160.5 164.7 164.4 160.4 159.5 161.2 166.5 165.9 160.9 120.0 120.0 118.7 115.7 118.3 122.9 123.8 122.8 119.6 115.6 115.9 120.6 123 .5 122. 6 118.6 .......... . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . 175.6 189.6 180.2 184.1 187.0 194.5 196.0 191 .8 190.2 190.1 196.9 196.5 190.8 117.4 114.0 171.6 114.0 176.5 . 114.0 1142.0 114.0 113.9 113.9 113.5 113.2 113.1 113.7 114.3 114.8 115.1 212.6 218.6 214.2 215.3 216.0 216.7 217.1 217.6 219.0 219.7 220.2 220.3 220.0 220.4 220.5 199.2 216.2 204.3 220.9 200.6 218.0 201.4 219.1 202.0 219.7 203.2 220.0 203.7 220.2 203.9 220.3 204.4 220.7 205.1 221 .6 205 .5 221.0 205.5 220.5 205.9 222 .0 205.5 223.4 205.6 222. 7 248.5 254.1 250.9 251.8 252.6 252.9 253.0 252.7 253.3 253.5 254.4 256.0 255.9 256.3 256.5 equipment · .... Other goods and services ....... . . .. .. .. . .. .. . ... ..... Tobacco and smoking products ...... .. ...... ... . 1 Personal care ······ ···· ·· ··· ······· ···· ······· ·· ..... 1 Personal care products .... ········ · ...... 1 Personal care services ...... . ........ . .. . .• ··•·· Miscellaneous personal services ... .... ... ... Commodity and service group: Apparel . . ...... ..... ..... .... .. ........ ....... .. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .. Durables. .... ...... ... ... ... ...... ......... Services .......... ... .. .. ..... .... .. . .. .. . . . .. . . . ... .. ... ... . .. ....... .. Rent of shelter3 .. .................... ... ......... .. . ··•·· Transporatation services ... ... ... .. .... ..... ..... .. . Other services. .... .... .... . ..... .. . .. .. ... ....... ... .... Special indexes: All items less food . ........ ... .. .. ... ..... ....... ... .. ..... All items less shelter ..... ...... .. .... .... .... ..... .. All items less medical care ....... ......... ....... .. .. Co;r,,nodities less food .... .. .. ... ......... . ···•· ·· · ..... ... . ... Nondurables less food . .. ..... ... Nondurables less food and apparel ... .. ....... .. . Non durables . . . .. .. . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . . .. . . Services less rent of shelter3. ·· •··· ········· · ·•·· ·•·· Services less medical care services ....... ... ... ........ .. ... ... ...... .. .... .. Energy. ............ .. .... . All items less energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........ ... ... . All items less food and energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Commodities less food and energy Energy commodities ....... ...... ... .. .. . ........ . .... Services less energy .. 179.7 184.1 179.2 180.2 181.4 182.6 183.2 184.4 185.0 184.5 184.5 185.1 186.2 186.4 185.5 171 .9 176.4 171 .6 172.5 173.7 174.7 175.3 176.8 177.5 176.7 176.6 177.3 178.6 179.1 178.0 174.8 137.7 154.2 175.9 166.4 179.1 140.0 162.6 189.0 173.9 174.7 134.5 151.4 172.1 176.6 137.1 156.4 180.2 179.4 141 .8 166.4 193.5 180.0 141.5 166.2 194.8 179.6 139.4 162.3 191.0 179.6 139.0 161 .5 173.0 175.9 175.9 174.0 173.6 180.0 140.2 163.2 189.7 174.5 181 .1 142 .2 168.2 195.6 177.7 181.3 142.9 167.6 195.4 169.5 177.6 138.9 160.4 184.0 171 .8 178.2 139.9 162.4 186.6 166.6 175.6 135.5 153.3 176.9 167.8 177.5 180.6 140.7 162.9 190.3 175. 1 201 .3 207.4 202 .9 204.1 204.9 204.9 205.2 205.8 208.2 208.9 209.3 209.5 208.f\ 209.8 209.9 205.2 135.9 210.6 151.3 206.6 131 .1 207.6 136.9 208.2 140.2 208.8 143.0 209.2 146.0 209.7 154.5 211 .1 159.9 211 .8 156.2 212.2 155.1 212 .3 154.2 212 .0 157.8 212.3 158.5 212 .4 153.3 186.1 189.5 189.0 189.3 189.5 190.2 191 .0 191 .1 191 .0 190.1 190.4 189.3 190.4 189.3 188.3 187.9 189.1 188.7 190.6 186.9 188.0 187.2 187.9 190.3 190.3 190.5 191.4 192 .1 192.2 192.0 141 .1 139.4 141.1 138.2 139.0 140.0 140.1 139.9 139.0 138.0 138.0 139.5 140.5 140.6 139.9 136.8 161 .5 136.8 138.3 144.7 151 .5 156.7 170.7 173.3 165.5 162.8 162.3 174.5 173.7 163.4 220.2 226.2 222.1 223.1 223.9 224.9 225.3 225.5 226.0 226.7 227 .1 227.4 227.9 228.0 228.1 189.6 4 1 Not seasonally adjusted. 2 Indexes on a December 1997 3 Indexes on a December 1982 = 100 base. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis = 100 base. Indexes on a December 1988 = 100 base . Dash indicates data not available. NOTE: Index applied to a month as a whole, not to any specific date. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 129 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 38. Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all items [1982-84 = 100, unless otherwise indicated] Pricing All Urban Consumers sched- 2004 ule1 U.S. city average ........ .. .......... .. ...... .... ...... .... ........ July M 189.4 .... M 201.0 Size A-More than 1,500,000 ...... ....................... .. ........... M 203.0 Region and area size 2 Northeast urban ... .. ........... .... ........................ ............. 3 Aug. 189.5 Sept. Urban Wage Earners 2004 Oct Nov. Dec. 189.9 190.9 191 .0 201.0 201.2 202.5 202.6 201.9 203.1 203.2 204.5 204.6 204.1 190.3 July 184.9 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 185.0 185.4 186.5 186.8 197.3 197.2 197.7 199.0 200.2 198.7 198.0 198.1 198.4 199.7 120.2 199.6 186.0 M 119.2 118.9 119.2 120.1 120.1 119.2 119.1 118.7 119.2 120.1 179.8 119.4 Midwest urban ..... ... .... .. ... ... .......... ·· ····· ···· ··· ············· · Size A-More than 1,500,000 ................ .. .......... .. .. ... ....... M 183.2 183.3 183.6 184.5 184.8 183.8 178 178.2 178.6 179.5 181 .2 178.8 M 185.4 185.6 189.5 186.8 186.9 185.7 179.5 179.8 180.2 181.1 116.9 180.1 Size B/C-50,000 to 1,500,000 3 . ..... ...... .. .... ........ .. ..... Size D-Nonmetropolitan (less than 50,000) ................. M 116.3 116.5 116.8 117.4 117.7 117.3 115.5 115.7 115.9 116.6 175.2 116.4 M 177.1 176.3 176.4 177.1 177.7 177.2 173.7 173.4 173.7 174.4 180.7 174.9 South urban ... ...... ........ ..................... ......................... .. .. .... M 182.6 182.6 182.8 183.7 183.7 183.3 179.3 179.4 179.7 180.6 182.5 180.3 182.4 Si z6 8/C-50,000 to 1,500,000 ..... ... .. ..... .. ... .... . ... ...... 4 Size A-More than 1,500,000 .......................................... M 183.7 183.7 184.0 185.0 185.0 184.9 181.2 181 .2 181.4 182.5 182.5 Size B/C-50,000 to 1,500,000 3 .......................... .... . . .... .. Size D-Nonmetropolitan (less than 50,000) .... ...... ....... M 116.9 116.9 116.9 117.4 117.4 117.1 115.2 115.3 115.4 115.9 116.0 115.6 M 180.1 180.0 181.2 182.8 182.5 181.9 179.4 179.5 180.7 182.3 182.2 181.5 West urban ... .... ................................................................. M 192.9 193.0 193.8 195.0 195.1 194.2 188.0 188.0 188.8 190.0 190.2 189.4 Size A-More than 1,500,000 .. ... ..... ..... ... ... ................ .. ... M 195.4 195.5 196.4 197.5 197.6 196.5 188.9 188.9 189.9 191.0 191.2 190.2 M 117.9 118.1 118.4 119.2 119.3 119.0 117.4 117.6 117.8 118.7 118.9 118.6 M M M 173.1 117.3 181.3 173.2 117.3 181 .0 173.6 117.4 181.8 174.6 118.1 182.9 174.6 118.2 183.0 174.0 117.7 182.4 171 .3 116.2 179.0 171.4 116.2 178.8 171.8 116.5 179.7 172.8 117.2 180.8 173.0 117.3 181 .1 172.4 116.9 180.6 Chicago-Gary-Kenosha , IL-IN-WI. ... ... ... .... ... ........... .... Los Angeles-Riverside-Oran ge County, CA ....... ..... ...... .. M M 189.2 193.4 190.2 193.1 190.0 194.5 190.8 196.3 190.7 196.9 189.6 195.2 182.4 186.8 183.2 186.5 183.1 187.8 184.0 189.8 184.2 190.3 183.1 188.5 New York, NY-Northern NJ-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT-PA .. Boston-Brock1on-Nashua, MA-NH-ME-CT .................. . M 205.5 205.7 205.9 207.3 207.2 206 .8 200.1 200.3 200 .6 201 .9 202 .2 201 .8 1 208.9 209.8 - 211 .7 - 207.9 181.7 183.8 - 185.2 172.8 173.9 - - 179.4 - 119.7 - 120.4 - 180.5 120.9 - - 211 1 - 208.8 Cleveland-Akron, OH ................................ ............... .. Dallas-Ft Worth, TX .. .... ..... ..... .. ... .. .... ..... ......... .... ...... - 120.4 - 3 Size B/C- 50,000 to 1,500,000 .. ... .... ... .... .. ... .... .. .... Size classes: As .......... .......... .... ..... ............... .......... ············· . ... ...... .... 3 B/C .......... . . . .. ..... ................. .. ........ ..... . .. .... .......... ...... .. ..... 0 ........ ......... ... ....... .............. ........................................ Selected local areas 6 Washinqton-Baltimore, DC-MD-VA-WV 7 .. . ......... .... Atlanta, GA .......... .... .... ..... .. ... .. .... .. .. ... ... ........ ....... ... . Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint, Ml. ..... .. .. .. ........... .................. . Houston-Galveston-Brazoria, TX ... .... ........ ..... .... ........ . Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, FL .... ....... .... ...... ..... ... .... .. ......... Philadelphia-Wilmington-Atlantic City, PA-NJ-DE-MD ..... ~an Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA ... ....... .... .... ........ Seattle-Tacoma-Breme rton, WA. .. ....................... ...... .. 1 179.1 - 179.7 1 120.2 - 120.8 2 - 184.1 - 183.9 - 183.2 - 182.5 181.7 181.5 187.6 - 185.3 - - 186.8 - - - 181.5 - 183.0 - 180.7 169.5 - 167.7 185.1 - 186.6 2 - 169.1 2 - 185.1 2 - 199.1 2 - 198.7 2 - 194.6 Foods, fuels, and several other items priced every month in all areas; most other goods and services priced as indicated: M-Every month. 1-January, March, May, July, September, and November. 2-February, April, June, August, October, and December. Regions defined as the four Census regions. Indexes on a December 1996 = 100 base. 4 The "North Central" region has been renamed the "Midwest" region by the Census Bureau. It is composed of the same geographic entities. 3 5 = 100 base. In addition, the following metropolitan areas are published semiannually and appear in tables 34 and 39 of the January and July issues of the CPI Detailed Indexes on a December 1986 130 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 180.0 2 1 6 179.9 174.8 - - 171.8 187.0 170 - 167.4 188.6 - 182.9 200 .2 - 197.8 - 198.0 - 197.9 - 199.5 - 195.0 - 199.8 200.3 196.4 195.1 - 189.6 - 191.6 - 190.3 196.5 195.9 Report: Anchorage, AK; Cincinnatti, OH-KY-IN ; Kansas City, MO-KS; Milwaukee-Racine, WI; Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI; Pittsburgh, PA; Port-land-Salem , OR-WA; St Louis, MO-IL; San Diego, CA; Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL. 7 Indexes on a November 1996 = 100 base. NOTE: Local area CPI indexes are byproducts of the national CPI program. Each local index has a smaller sample size and is, therefore, subject to substantially more sampling and other measurement error. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the national index, although their long-term trends are similar. Therefore, the Bureau of Labor Statistics strongly urges users to consider adopting the national average CPI for use in their escalator clauses. Index applies to a month as a whole, not to any specific date. Dash indicates data not available. 39. Annual data: Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, all items and major groups (1 982-84 = 100] Series Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All items: Index ..................................................................... .. Percent change .................................................. . Food and beverages: Index ...................................................................... . Percent change .................................................. . Housing: Index .................................................................. .. Percent change .................................................. . Apparel: Index ...................................................................... . Percent change .................................................. . Transportation: Index ................ ........ ............................................. . Percent change .................................................. . Medical care: Index ..................................................................... .. Percent change .................................................. . Other goods and services: Index ..................................................................... .. Percent change .................................... . Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers: All items: Index .................................................................... . Percent change .................................................. . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2003 148.2 2.6 152.4 2.8 156.9 3.0 160.5 2.3 163.0 1.6 166.6 2.2 172.2 3.4 177.1 2.8 179.9 1.6 184.0 2.3 188.9 2.7 144.9 2.3 148.9 2.8 153.7 3.2 157.7 2.6 161 .1 2.2 164.6 2.2 168.4 2.3 173.6 3.1 176.8 1.8 180.5 2.1 186.6 3.3 144.8 2.5 148.5 2.6 152.8 2.9 156.8 2.6 160.4 2.3 163.9 2.2 169.6 3.5 176.4 4.0 180.3 2.2 184.8 2.5 189.5 2.5 133.4 - .2 132.0 -1.0 131.7 -.2 132.9 .9 133.0 .1 131.3 -1.3 129.6 -1.3 127.3 -1.8 124.0 -2.6 120.9 -2.5 120.4 -.4 134.3 3.0 139.1 3.6 143.0 2.8 144.3 0.9 141 .6 -1.9 144.4 2.0 153.3 6.2 154.3 0.7 152.9 -.9 157.6 3.1 163.1 3.5 211 .0 4.8 220.5 4.5 228.2 3.5 234.6 2.8 242.1 3.2 250.6 3.5 260.8 4.1 272.8 4.6 285.6 4.7 297.1 4.0 310.1 4.4 198.5 2.9 206.9 4.2 215.4 4.1 224.8 4.4 237.7 5.7 258.3 8.7 271.1 5.0 282.6 4.2 293.2 3.8 298.7 1.9 304.7 2.0 145.6 2.5 149.8 2.9 154.1 2.9 157.6 2.~ 159.7 1.3 163.2 2.2 168.9 3.5 173.5 2.7 175.9 1.4 179.8 2.2 188.9 5.1 Monthly Labor Review February 2005 131 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 40. Producer Price Indexes, by stag~ of processing [1982 = 100] Grouping Annual average 2003 2004 2003 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.P Oct.P Nov.P Dec.P Finished goods...................... ......... ..... Finished consumer goods ........................ Finished consumer foods ............. ......... . Finshed consumer goods excluding foods .... ................................ Nondurable goods less food ................. Durable goods ................... .. ............... .. Capital equipment. ................................. 143.3 145.3 145.9 148.5 151.6 152.6 144.5 146.7 150.3 145.4 147.8 148.1 145.3 147.8 148.4 146.3 149.0 150.7 147.3 150.4 152.7 148.9 152.5 155.5 148.7 152.0 155.0 148.5 151 .9 152.3 148.5 151.8 152.2 148.7 152.0 152.2 151 .9 155.5 154.7 151 .7 155.3 154.5 150.4 153.5 154.5 144.7 148.4 133.1 139.5 150.9 156.6 135.1 141 .5 145.0 148.2 134.3 140.2 147.4 151.7 134.3 140.5 147.3 151.6 134.2 140.2 148.0 152.4 134.7 140.5 149.1 154.3 134.4 140.6 150.9 156.7 134.8 140.8 150.5 156.0 134.9 141 .1 151.4 158.0 133.6 140.7 151.3 157.9 133.6 141.2 151 .5 158.1 133.8 141 .3 155.5 162.0 137.7 143.5 155.2 161.8 137.5 143.4 152.8 158.2 137.3 143.6 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components............... .... 133.7 142.5 134.5 136.2 137.3 138.3 140.2 142.0 142.8 Materials and components for manufacturing ..................................... Materials for food manufacturing ............. Materials for nondurable manufacturing .. Materials for durable manufacturing ........ Components for manufacturing .. ..... ... .... .. 143.5 144.8 145.3 146.2 147.2 146.7 129.7 134.4 137.2 127.9 125.9 137.9 145.0 147.6 146.6 127.4 130.9 140.7 137.9 131 .2 125.8 131 .9 138.4 140.2 132.9 125.9 133.2 139.3 141.0 137.3 126.2 134.3 141 .7 141.4 140.7 126.5 136.2 146.6 143.5 144.3 127.1 137.4 152.2 144.5 146.9 127.3 137.7 152.0 145.9 145.8 127.6 138.1 147.3 147.3 147.2 127.4 139.4 144.9 149.8 150.3 127.7 140.8 144.2 152.1 153.3 128.0 141 .2 144.2 153.5 152.8 128.2 141.8 144.0 154.9 153.3 128.4 142.8 145.1 156.8 154.8 128.6 Materials and components fnr (Y':1Struction ......................................... Processed fuels and lubricants .................. Containers .................................................. Supplies ............................... .... .................. 153.6 112.6 153.7 141 .5 166.4 124.1 159.2 146.7 155.6 111 .7 153.5 142.8 156.2 116.8 153.9 143.2 159.0 116.8 153.7 143.8 161.9 116.5 154.1 144.8 164.7 118.4 154.9 146.4 166.9 122.3 156.7 147.2 166.9 124.9 158.9 147.3 167.5 126.4 159.7 148.0 169.8 128.5 162.0 147.6 171 .1 127. 1 162.5 147.7 170.7 130.4 164.1 147.8 170.6 133.8 164.3 147.9 171 .2 127.7 165.2 148.6 Crude materials for further processing ............................ .... ........ ... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs .......................... . Crude nonfood materials ............................ 135.3 113.5 148.2 159.0 126.9 179.2 141 .1 124.7 149.5 147.8 117.1 167.3 150.1 122.2 167.3 152.9 131 .7 164.8 155.7 135.4 166.6 161.8 141.1 172.9 163.0 137.4 178.0 162.5 130.9 182.2 162.2 124.8 186.6 153.8 121 .7 174.1 159.7 119.9 186.1 171.9 119.3 208.1 166.5 121.6 196.6 Special groupings: Finished goods, excluding foods ................ Finished energy goods ............................... Finished goods less energy ....... ................ Finished consumer goods less energy ....... Finished goods less food and energy ....... .. 14?.4 102.0 149.0 153.1 150.5 147.2 113.0 152.4 157.2 152.7 142.8 101 .0 150.9 155.5 151.4 144.5 106.0 150.6 154.9 151 .8 144.3 105.7 150.5 155.0 151 .7 144.9 107.0 151.3 156.1 152.0 145.7 109.5 151 .9 156.9 152.1 147.0 113.6 152.7 158.0 152.2 Finished consumer goods less food and energy ....... .. ............ .................. .... .... 146.8 112.5 152.7 157.9 152.3 147.2 115.4 151 .7 156.5 151.9 147.3 115.0 151.9 156.6 152.2 147.5 114.9 152.1 156.8 152.5 150.9 120.9 154.4 159.1 154.7 150.7 120.3 154.3 159.1 154.6 149.1 114.5 154.4 159.1 154.7 157.9 160.3 159.0 159.4 159.4 159.7 159.8 159.9 Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy .. ........................................... 160.0 159.4 159.6 160.0 162.2 162.2 162.2 177.9 180.7 178.9 179.7 179.8 179.8 180.5 180.2 180.2 180.3 180.8 181.3 181.6 182.0 182.2 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds ................................................. Intermediate foods and feeds ..................... Intermediate energy goods ......................... Intermediate goods less en ergy ................. 134.2 125.9 111 .9 137.7 142.9 137.0 123.1 145.8 134.7 134.1 110.9 139.0 136.5 132.2 115.e 133.8 137.6 133.7 115.8 141 .1 138.4 137.0 115.6 142.4 140.2 143.2 117.3 144.4 141.9 147.7 121.1 145.7 Intermediate materials less foods and energy ......................................... ...... 142.8 144.9 123.7 146.0 143.7 142.3 125.1 146.4 145.3 136.3 127.1 147.5 146.0 133.8 126.0 148.5 147.0 131 .2 129.5 148.7 148.1 130.6 132.6 149.2 147.5 131.5 127.2 149.9 138.5 146.5 139.5 140.4 141.7 142.9 144.6 145.7 146.2 146.8 148.3 149.5 149.9 150.4 15U Crude energy materials ... ...... .. ................... Crude materials less energy ....................... Crude nonfood materials less energy ........ 147.2 123.4 152.5 174.7 143.9 192.8 141 .8 136.2 170.1 163.5 133.2 179.3 158.9 139.8 189.9 153.0 148.0 195.2 158.8 148.7 187.6 172.1 150.1 177.9 180.0 147.0 176.3 177.9 147.5 195.4 181 .9 144.6 200.8 166.3 140.9 195.4 179.5 142.0 204.6 210.1 142.3 207.0 194.7 143.2 204.3 132 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 41. Producer Price Indexes for the net output of major Industry groups [December 2003 = 100, unless otherwise indicated] 2004 NAICS Industry 211 212 213 311 312 313 315 316 321 322 323 324 325 326 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 339 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.P Oct.P Nov.P Dec.P 155.6 159.3 148.8 158.9 180.5 170.0 136.6 140.9 149.5 155.5 165.4 105.9 100.8 171 .7 108.5 101.0 188.1 107.3 101.3 198.0 108.1 102.2 196.6 110.2 103.7 202.7 110.4 105.3 182.8 111 .6 107.5 199.9 112.3 110.1 237.5 112.7 112.7 216.7 116.1 113.1 Total manufacturing Industries (December 1984:100)........................ Food manufacturing (December 1984=100) ................................... Beverage and tobacco manufacturing ................................................... Textile mills .................................................................... ............ .... ........ Apparel manufacturing .............................................. ...... ......... .. Leather and allied product manufacturing (December 1984=100) ...... ... Wood products manufacturing ............................................. ........ Paper manufacturing ............................ .. ........... ............................. ........ Printing and related support activities ............ ................ ........................ 140.3 142.4 100.7 100.2 99.8 141 .8 146.1 101.5 100.7 99.9 143.3 149.1 100.2 101 .1 100.0 142.9 148.6 101 .2 101.3 99.8 143.2 146.5 100.6 101 .5 99.7 143.7 144.6 101 .1 101 .2 99.7 144.1 143.3 101 .0 101 .2 99.9 146.5 142.9 101 .6 101.7 100.1 146.0 142.9 101 .6 102.0 100.1 144.7 144.0 101.7 101.6 100.1 143.8 105.9 99.5 100.4 143.5 108.1 100.1 100.8 143.4 110.2 101 .1 100.8 143.5 108.3 102.3 101 .0 143.7 106.8 103.2 101 .3 143.6 109.8 104.4 101 .3 143.5 110.8 104.9 102.0 143.7 107.4 105.7 101 .9 143.9 105.0 105.7 102.1 144.1 106.0 106.0 102.0 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing (December 1984= 100) .... Chemical manufacturing (December 1984= 100) ....................... ....... Plastics and rubber products manufacturing (December 1984=100) .... Primary metal manufacturing (December 1984=100) .......... ... .... ....... Fabricated metal product manufacturing (December 1984= 100) ......... Machinery manufacturing ...................... .............................. ........ Computer and electronic products manufacturina ............................ Electrical equipment. appliance, and components manufacturing ........ Transportation equipment manufacturing ............... ..... ... ........... Furniture and related product manufacturing(December 1984=100) ... . 134.3 168.8 129.6 132.3 137.5 100.9 99.3 101.8 100.4 149.0 100.8 141 .9 169.7 130.0 138.4 139.4 101.3 99.5 102.7 100.2 149.7 101 .0 152.0 170.3 130.4 142.2 140.8 101.6 99.3 103.3 100.4 151.4 100.9 144.1 171.6 130.8 142.3 141.9 101.8 99.1 103.5 100.6 151 .7 101.2 152.3 172.2 131.2 144.7 142.5 102.1 98.9 103.6 99.7 152.0 101 .2 155.6 173.8 131 .7 148.3 143.4 102.3 98.9 103.8 99.8 152.7 101.4 158.9 175.6 132.5 150.9 144.2 102.5 98.9 104.1 99.9 152.7 101 .6 176.7 177.1 134.3 152.0 144.7 103.1 98.9 104.4 103.2 153.5 101 .6 170.6 178.3 134.7 154.1 145.2 103.2 98.6 104.4 102.7 154.6 101 .6 148.5 180.2 135.9 154.9 145.5 103.5 98.4 105.0 102.8 155.0 102.1 Total mining Industries (December 1984:100)...................................... Oil and gas extraction(December 1985=100) ....................................... Mining, except oil and gas ............................................. ............. Mining support activities .......................... ... ... ............................. Miscellaneous manufacturing. ············· ··· ························· ········· ·· 441 442 443 446 447 454 Retail trade Motor vehicle and parts dealers. ... . ... .. ...... .. .... . ...... . .... .... ..... Furniture and home furnishings stores ..... ... ..... ... ..... ............. ... Electronics and appliance stores .. ............. ............. Health and personal care stores ........................................ Gasoline stations (June 2001=100) ....................... ...... ... .. ... ... ...... . Non store retailers ........................ .......................... .................. 103.2 101 .8 99.9 96.9 55.4 113.2 103.8 102.0 101.2 97.4 56.6 108.6 103.7 101.4 101.2 97.5 53.2 107.0 103.7 102.8 98.8 98.7 59.3 108.7 103.3 102.6 98.6 101 .3 48.3 103.6 103.8 102.8 98.7 105.6 48.6 102.0 103.5 103.6 101 .6 107.3 45.8 107.5 104.2 104.0 100.6 106.8 42.0 103.1 104.0 105.1 97.9 104.6 52 .0 111 .7 104.3 104.1 93.8 107.7 62.5 117.5 481 483 491 Transoortatlon and warehouslna Air transportation (December 1992=100) ............................ Water transportation ... .............................. .......... .. .......... .. ....... .. . Postal service (June 1989=100) ........ ... .................. ... ... .. 162.0 99.4 155.0 162.3 100.1 155.0 162.2 100.3 155.0 162.8 100.3 155.0 163.9 101.5 155.0 163.4 102.1 155.0 160.6 103.0 155.0 161.6 103.6 155.0 160.4 103.4 155.0 163.0 103.5 155.0 221 Utilities Utilities .... ..... ..... .... . ···· ··· ··· ····· ················· ····· ··· .... ... ............... . 101.2 101 .8 103.1 106.9 107.1 107.4 105.1 104.0 108.5 108.5 6211 6215 6216 622 6231 62321 Health care and social assistance Office of physicians (December 1996=100) ............... ... .. ...... .. ..... .. . Medical and diagnostic laboratories ..... .... ... ........................ .... ...... Home health care services (December 1996=100) ................... Hospitals (December 1992=100) ......... ........................................ . Nursing care facilities .... ........... .. .. .. ..... ..... .... ....... ... ...... ...... ..... ... Residential mental retardation facilities .......... ............ .................... 114.3 99.8 119.6 140.3 101.6 99.9 114.4 99.8 119.7 140.7 101.9 99.9 114.4 100.0 119.7 140.8 102.0 100.5 114.3 100.0 119.7 140.9 102.0 100.5 114.3 100.0 119.7 141.6 102.9 102.1 114.3 100.1 119.7 141.6 103.0 102.1 114.5 100.0 119.7 142.4 103.1 100.6 114.4 100.1 119.9 142.9 103.5 100.9 114.4 100.1 120.0 143.3 103.6 102.0 114.4 100.1 120.1 143.6 103.3 101 .9 101.3 100.3 100.2 98.4 101.7 101.4 101.6 100.1 98.5 102.3 101.3 103.1 99.9 98.9 102.4 101.4 102.7 99.9 99.0 102.7 101.5 99.6 99.8 99.0 103.2 101.5 100.9 99.9 99.0 104.1 101 .0 101.9 99.5 98.8 103.2 101 .5 103.6 99.2 98.9 104.0 102.0 105.5 99.0 98.5 105.3 101.7 104.9 98.9 98.5 106.0 99.6 100.7 101 .1 107.4 131 .7 100.8 101.0 100.8 101.3 106.0 131.8 101 .1 102.6 100.8 101.9 104.5 131.8 101.2 102.1 101.0 98.5 105.6 131.8 101.1 103.5 101.0 101.4 110.0 131.6 101 .3 104.0 101 .1 101 .0 110.8 131.5 101.4 104.7 101.0 100.7 108.2 132.3 101 .8 104.1 99.5 98.5 108.0 132.5 102.0 104.2 99.6 100.1 107.9 132.1 102.3 103.1 100.1 101 .5 108.5 132.0 102.1 126.5 99.8 113.2 98.7 100.4 100.8 124.9 126.6 99.9 113.1 98.7 100.5 101.3 124.8 126.5 99.9 113.4 98.7 100.6 101.5 124.4 126.6 99.9 113.8 97.4 101.0 101.5 125.6 127.0 100.0 114.6 95.1 101.0 101.4 126.6 127.0 100.3 114.6 94 .7 101.1 101.4 127.0 127.2 100.4 114.6 94.8 100.9 101.3 125.4 127.4 100.4 115.3 96.9 101 .5 101.4 125.4 127.3 100.7 115.2 96.4 101.3 101.4 124.7 127.4 100.6 114.1 96.1 101 .1 101.5 122.6 511 515 517 5182 523 53112 5312 5313 5321 5411 541211 5413 54181 5613 56151 56172 5621 721 Other services industries Publishing industries, except Internet ···· ·········· ···· ···· ........... ....... Broadcasting, except Internet. ........................... .... ...... ... Telecommunications .. ... .... .. .... .... .. ... .......... ..... ...... ... .. ..... .. ........ . Data processing and related services .................. .... ... ··· ·· ······· · ····· Securitv. commoditv contracts. and like activitv .. ............. ........ ....... . Lessors or nonresidental buildings (except miniwarehouse) ............... Offices of real estate agents and brokers ....... .... ..... ... ..... ... ............ Real estate support activities ............................................. ......... . Automotive equipment rental and leasing (June 2001=100) ... .. .. ........ Legal services (December 1996=100) .. ..... .... .. .. ..... ............... ........ Offices of certified public accountants .................................. .. ....... Architectural, engineering, and related services (December 1996=100) .. .... ............................ .......................... Advertising agencies ............................................ .... .... ...... ...... .. Employment services (December 1996=100) ................. ....... ........ Travel agencies ..... ......... ... .. ..... ............................. ... ... ... ........ . Janitorial services ........ ... .. ... .......... ......... .................. .... ......... .. Waste collection .... ........... .. .... .. ........... .... ........................ ... ....... Accommodation (December 1996= 100) ... .... ...................... ..... ....... NOTE: Data reflect the conversion to the 2002 version of the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), replacing the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 133 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 42. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1982 = 100] Index 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Finished goods Total. .... ........................ ........ ............ ... ..... ................. ... .. Foods ... ........................ .. ... ......... ........ .. ... .... ........ . Energy ............ ..... .... ...... ... . ....... ..... . ... ... .. .... .... .. . Other .................................................................... . 125.5 126.8 77.0 137.1 127.9 129.0 78.1 140.0 131.3 133.6 83.2 142.0 131.8 134.5 83.4 142.4 130.7 134.3 75.1 143.7 133.0 135.1 78.8 146.1 138.0 137.2 94.1 148.0 140.7 141.3 96.8 150.0 138.9 140.1 88.8 150.2 143.3 146.0 102.0 150.5 148.5 152.6 113.0 152.7 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components Total. ........... ... .. ... .. .. ...... ............................... ............ .... . Foods .... .... .. ....... .... . ...... .... .... .... ...... ... .. ... .. ..... .. . . Energy .. ............ .............. ..... .. . .... ... ...... ..... ... .... .. ... . Other .... ......... ..... ..... ...... ... ..... ... ... ......... .. .... ... .. ..... . 118.5 118.5 83.0 127.1 124.9 119.5 84.1 135.2 125.7 125.3 89.8 134.0 125.6 123.2 89.0 134.2 123.0 123.2 80.8 133.5 123.2 120.8 84.3 133.1 129.2 119.2 101.7 136.6 129.7 124.3 104.1 136.4 127.8 123.3 95.9 135.8 133.7 134.4 111.9 138.5 142.5 145.0 123.1 146.5 101.8 106.5 72.1 97.0 102.7 105.8 69.4 105.8 113.8 121.5 85.0 105.7 111.1 112.2 87.3 103.5 96.8 103.9 68.6 84.5 98.2 98.7 78.5 91.1 120.6 100.2 122.1 118.0 121 .3 106.2 122.8 101.8 108.1 99.5 102.0 101.0 135.3 113.5 147.5 116.8 159.0 126.9 174.7 149.0 Crude materials for further processing Total. .. ........ .. .... ........... ... .. ................... ............ .. .... ... ... ... Foods ... .. ...... .. ........... ...... ... ... ..... ..... .... .... .. ........ .. . Energy ..... ......... ..... .. ..... .. .... .. ... .... .... ..... ..... .. ... ... . Other ......... .... .. .... ........ ........ . .... .... ..... ......... .. ........ . 134 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 43. U.S. export price Indexes by Standard International Trade Classification [2000 = 100] 2004 2003 SITC Industry June Aug. July Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 0 Food and live animals .............................................. Meat and meat preparations .............. ................. ............ 01 Cereals and cereal preparations ...... ...... .... ........... ........ .. 04 Vegetables, fruit, and nuts, prepared fresh or dry .... ...... . 05 116.5 123.0 130.8 103.2 117.0 122.8 131.6 103.1 119.9 125.0 135.2 108.4 122.7 127.1 139.6 110.1 126.1 127.6 147.7 109.5 126.7 127.7 146.0 113.3 123.9 127.3 141.2 111 .1 119.8 123.0 128.0 110.0 116.4 126.1 120.6 113.2 117.6 124.8 122.0 119.8 118.2 126.9 115.5 130.6 118.5 125.4 113.0 136.7 119.8 124.4 116.3 138.5 2 Crude materials, inedible, except fuels ........................... Oilseeds and oleaginous fruits ... .. ...... ...... ..... ........... ..... .. 22 Cork and wood ................... ... ... .... .. ... ............ .... .......... .. 24 Pulp and waste paper ........ ..... ..... ..... .. .. .... ......... .............. 25 Textile fibers and their waste .. ... ... .... ........... ........ ........... 26 Metalliferous ores and metal scrap ......... ....... .. ........... 28 116.9 152.5 93/ 91 .7 121.2 136.6 120.2 157.2 94.5 91 .7 123.7 148.9 122.3 160.9 95.6 92 .5 122.2 156.8 129.0 181.6 96.5 94.2 121.9 171.4 132.8 197.1 97.6 98.8 115.9 176.2 132.5 199.0 98.2 100.4 114.9 170.6 125.7 168.5 98.3 100.8 108.7 167.5 132.1 184.5 98.9 100.1 102.9 190.2 118.0 117.4 98.8 99.5 101 .1 183.6 119.4 125.1 99 .1 98.7 102.1 178.5 118.2 109.1 99.1 98.1 100.2 190.4 120.1 110.3 98.4 98.2 97.5 200.4 119.0 111 .1 98.8 98.9 96.4 192.4 3 Mineral fuels, lubricants, and related products .... .......... Coal, coke, and briquettes ... ... ....... ..... ....... ........ .............. 32 Petroleum, petroleum products, and related materials ... 33 110.7 112.9 106.2 120.5 119.3 123.0 123.2 135.1 131.8 137.5 139.6 141.2 156.1 151.4 141 .3 - - - - - - - - - - - - 116.8 114.7 120.1 119.8 135.0 129.7 134.5 136.2 138.0 156.4 151.0 135.1 5 Chemicals and related products, n.e.s. .......................... Medicinal and pharmaceutical products .... ...... ........ ... ..... ::>4 Essential oils; polishing and cleaning preparations ........ . 55 Plastics in primary forms ... .. ...... .............. ..... ................. . 57 Plastics in nonprimary forms .... ... .... ...... ...... .............. .. .... 58 Chemical materials and products, n.e.s.. .... ..... ............ .. 59 101.4 105.8 100.1 96.5 97.2 102.6 102.9 105.4 104.3 98.3 96.8 105.0 104.0 105.3 104.2 100.9 97.2 105.2 104.9 105.5 104.3 102.1 97.4 104.8 105.5 105.7 104.1 102.2 96.9 104.8 105.6 105.7 104.4 102.9 96.7 104.8 105.8 105.8 104.3 103.2 96.5 104.9 107.0 107.9 104.1 104.8 97.2 104.6 108.6 108.1 105.1 107.3 97 .1 106.2 109.7 108.0 105.6 109.9 97.4 105.5 111.5 107.1 106.0 113.2 98.2 105.2 112.6 107.3 105.7 116.6 98.8 105.5 113.7 107.7 106.4 119.2 99.2 106.0 6 Manufactured goods classified chiefly by materials ..... 100.8 101 .7 103.0 104.1 105.6 106.6 107.0 108.5 109.6 110.5 111.4 111.9 112.3 Rubber manufactures. n.e.s . ...... ........... ............ ...... ....... Paoer. oaoerboard. and articles of oaoer. oulo. and oaoerboard ... ..... ... ..... ... ... .. ... .... ...... .... .. ......... Nonmetallic miner-,,I manufactures. " · ' .S ...... .......... ....... Nonferrous metals .................. ... ... ...... ......... ....... ........ ..... 109.9 110.4 110.9 110.4 110.9 110.8 111 .2 111 .8 112.0 111.4 111.6 112.4 112.9 101 .9 100.2 96.5 102.7 100.4 99.0 104.0 101 .1 99.1 103.5 101 .3 100.6 103.8 101.7 101 .5 Rev. 3 62 64 66 68 7 Machinery and transport equipment. .............................. Power generating machinery and equipment... .. ...... .... .. Machinery specialized for particular industries ...... ... .... . . General industrial machines and parts, n.e .s., and machine parts ................ .. .................. ...... ............... Computer equipment and office machines ......... .......... .. . 75 Telecommunications and sound recording and 76 reproducing apparatus and equipment... .... ........... ...... . Electrical machinery and equipment... .......... . ................ 77 Road vehicles ................. ....... ........... ...... ......................... 78 71 72 74 87 Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and apparatus ......................... ............ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 97.6 99.8 84.5 97.9 99.7 85.9 97.8 99.6 90 .9 97.9 99,7 94.1 98.7 99.7 98.1 99.0 99.5 97.6 99.2 99.9 95.4 101 .2 99.9 95.4 97.8 97.9 98.1 98.2 98.4 98.4 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.4 98.4 98.5 108.7 103.4 109.3 103.9 109.4 104.0 109.4 104.2 108.7 105.1 108.7 105.4 108.7 105.4 108.9 105.7 109.0 105.9 109.0 106.1 109.5 107.2 110.2 107.5 110.3 108.0 102.8 88.6 103.3 87 .7 103.5 88.2 104.0 88.4 104.5 88.8 104.8 88.6 104.9 87.2 105.2 86.6 105.3 86.4 105.3 86.0 106.4 85.4 106.6 84.7 106.8 84.5 92 .0 88.1 101 .5 92.6 88.0 101 .7 92.5 88.3 101.9 92.4 88.6 101.9 92.2 88.5 102.3 92.0 88.6 102.3 91.8 88.2 102.4 91.5 88.3 102.5 90.7 88.2 102.5 90.7 88.1 102.4 90.4 87.9 102.8 90.4 87.7 102.8 90.4 87.6 103.0 102.3 11)2.2 102.3 102.3 102.2 102.1 102.0 101.7 101.9 101.8 102.2 102.3 102.6 Monthly Labor Review February 2005 135 Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 44. U.S. Import price Indexes by Standard International Trade Classification = 100] (2000 SITC 2004 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 0 Food and live animals .............................................. 01 Meat and meat preparations ..... ....... .... .................... ....... 03 Fish and crustaceans, mollusks, and other 101.0 120.4 102.2 117.7 104.7 118.0 105.4 120.4 106.4 121.7 106.1 124.4 106.9 128.9 107.4 133.7 107.4 134.2 109.2 134.9 111 .0 134.1 110.9 131.8 111 .7 132.9 aquatic invertebrates .. ... .. ......... ..... .... ... .......... ....... .. Vegetables, fruit, and nuts, prepared fresh or dry ........... Coffee, tea, cocoa, spices, and manufactures thereof ... ... .... ...... ......... ..... .. .... .. .. .. .. .... ... .... ..... ..... 79.2 109.4 78.2 112.3 80.0 115.7 83.3 111.3 85.1 109.5 84.1 106.1 84.1 105.9 86.1 102.1 86.9 100.6 86.0 109.2 85.5 114.5 84.4 116.1 84.7 111.5 96.0 100.1 101.9 101.7 103.6 102.4 107.0 102.7 103.4 105.6 104.5 108.9 114.4 1 Beverages and tobacco ........................................... 11 Beverages .. ........ ... .............. ........ ........ ....... ........ .......... 104.4 104.3 104.7 104.9 105.0 105.2 105.3 105.5 105.3 105.5 105.4 105.7 105.3 105.6 105.9 106.4 106.1 106.6 106.2 106.7 106.5 106.9 106.6 107.0 107.1 107.5 2 Crude materials, inedible, except fuels ........................... 24 Cork and wood ...... ................. ......... ........ ......... ............... 25 Pulp and waste paper ............................ .............. ....... .... 28 Metalliferous ores and metal scrap .. .. .............. .............. 29 Crude animal and vegetable materials, n.e.s . ...... ........ .. 107.9 108.0 92.8 115.3 99.6 109.5 108.9 93.3 124.2 98.9 114.1 115.7 91 .9 134.6 99.5 120.0 123.3 95.4 148.0 99.7 122.9 127.8 100.8 148.2 99.3 127.3 139.0 103.4 143.5 102.1 125.8 136.1 106.5 140.4 98.0 125.7 132.1 108.0 145.3 101 .2 134.0 148.9 107.7 160.8 97.6 135.1 151 .1 105.5 162.6 98.7 125.1 126.2 99.8 166.2 96.3 121.7 117.2 98.0 167.0 96.5 125.4 124.9 99.5 167.1 98.3 3 Mineral fuels, lubricants, and related products ............ .. 33 Petroleum, petroleum products, and related materials .. .. 34 Gas, natural and manufactured ................ ... .................... 108.2 106.9 113.9 117.3 114.0 138.0 117.7 114.5 137.1 120.8 120.0 122.9 121 .1 120.3 123.3 131 .6 131 .5 129.5 131.5 130.0 140.0 133.9 133.0 134.8 144.2 144.8 136.3 146.8 149.5 121.9 161.5 165.9 124.7 158.4 156.4 168.0 141 .9 137.6 170.2 5 Chemicals and related products, n.e.s. ......................... 52 Inorganic chemicals ............................. ........................... 53 Dying, tanning, and coloring materials ........... ................. 54 Medicinal and pharmaceutical products ... ... .................... 55 Essential oils; polishing and cleaning preparations ..... .... 57 Plastics in primary forms ...................... ....................... .... 58 Plastics in nonprimary forms ............ .... .. ........... ........... ... 59 Chemical materials and products, n.e.s .................. ....... 101 .1 114.0 99.6 103.4 91.6 105.5 101 .8 93.3 103.0 119.3 99.9 107.2 92.7 104.4 102.1 94.3 103.4 120.6 99.7 107.7 93.3 105.2 102.4 94.9 103.8 120.5 99.5 108.1 93.7 106.9 102.9 95.8 103.5 115.9 100.6 107.7 93.5 105.5 102.9 95.4 103.5 117.5 100.8 107.3 93.4 105.8 102.9 95.1 103.8 119.8 100.3 107.1 93.5 104.6 102.3 95.2 104.6 122.2 98.3 107.3 93.5 107.8 103.0 94.7 105.1 123.8 98.4 107.3 93.4 108.4 103.2 94.1 106.7 124.1 98.4 106.6 93.4 109.6 103.8 94.4 108.2 125.6 98.5 106.1 93.3 110.4 104.4 94.8 108.4 126.5 98.7 106.7 93.2 113.7 105.4 95.3 108.9 126.8 98.7 108.0 93.3 116.7 105.9 95.6 6 Manufactured goods classified chiefly by materials..... 62 Rubber manufactures, n.e.s ... ................. ......... ....... ....... 64 Paper, paperboard, and articles of paper, pulp, 97.8 98.8 98.9 99.0 101.4 99.2 103.6 99.7 105.6 99.9 106.9 100.0 106.1 100.5 106.1 100.5 107.7 100.8 108.9 100.8 108.9 101 .0 109.3 101 .3 110.4 101.7 and paperboard .... ... ....... .. ....... .. ..... .. .... ... .............. Nonmetallic mineral manufactures, n.e.s ...... ................. Nonferrous metals ..... ..................... ...................... ......... .. Manufactures of metals, n.e.s . .. ........ ... ...... ....... ............. 93.7 98.1 87.7 99.5 94.1 98.5 92.3 99.7 94.5 98.9 97.0 100.3 95.0 99.0 102.6 101 .1 94.8 99.3 105.8 102.3 95.5 99.4 106.1 102.4 95.5 99.4 101.6 102.4 96.4 99.3 102.3 102.7 96.9 100.2 105.6 103.3 97.9 100.4 106.3 103.9 99.2 100.6 106.6 104.1 99.4 100.7 108.8 104.7 99.2 100.7 111.3 105.7 7 Machinery and transport equipment. .............................. 72 Machinery specialized for particular industries .... ............ 95.3 103.6 95.4 104.9 95.5 106.4 95.5 106.7 95.2 106.5 95.2 106.7 95.1 106.6 95.0 107.2 95.0 107.6 95.0 107.4 95.0 107.7 95.1 108.1 95.2 109.1 05 07 66 68 69 7,l I General industrial machines and parts, n.e.s., and machine parts ... ..... ............. ........................... ......... Computer equipment and office machines ...... .......... ...... Telecommunications and sound recording and reproducing apparatus and equipment... .................. .... Electrical machinery and equipment... ........... ..... ......... ... Road vehicles ......... ........................ ....... .......... ....... ......... 101.2 78.2 101.8 78.0 102.5 78.0 103.3 77.7 103.5 76.5 103.6 76.4 103.5 75.5 104.0 74.9 104.1 74.3 104.3 73.9 104.6 73.0 104.8 72.8 105.2 72.6 86.7 95.3 101 .6 86.4 95.4 101 .9 85.4 95.7 102.0 85.1 95.6 102.0 84.9 94.9 102.2 84.9 94.8 102.3 85 84.7 94.7 102.4 84.3 94.6 102.6 84.0 94.7 102.8 83.8 94.6 103.1 Footwear ...... ........... .... .......... .......................... ........... ... 83.5 94.4 103.6 83.5 94.6 103.8 100.1 83.2 94.8 103.9 100.5 100.5 100.6 100.6 100.6 88 100.4 100.4 100.1 Photographic apparatus, equipment, and supplies, and optical aoods n.e.s .... .......... ................................. 100.5 100.5 100.6 100.7 99.9 99 .9 100.3 100.0 99.4 99.3 99.0 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.5 99.3 75 76 77 78 136 2003 Industry Rev. 3 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 45. U.S. export price indexes by end-use category [2000"' 100) 2004 2003 Category ALL COMMODITIES .................... .............................. Feb. Jan. Dec. 100.8 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 103.0 103.7 104.1 103.4 103.9 103.4 103.8 104.4 104.7 104.9 129.1 131 .1 110.7 128.0 129.9 110.1 116.5 117.0 110.9 118.7 119.3 113.0 117.6 117.8 114.4 118.1 118.3 115.3 118.6 118.5 118.9 102.2 101.5 Foods, feeds, and beverages .................... ... ... ..... Agricultural foods, feeds, and beverages ................ Nonagricultural (fish, beverages) food products ..... 122.4 123.8 108.5 123.1 124.6 109.5 125.6 127.2 110.7 130.5 132.4 112.1 134.8 137.0 113.4 135.6 138.0 112.7 Industrial supplies and materials ...... .... .................. 102.5 105.1 106.4 108.1 109.1 110.2 109.9 112.0 113.1 114.0 116.6 117.5 117.5 113.7 110.7 109.0 108.4 109.4 108.7 107.2 107.7 132.5 128.6 120.5 Agricultural industrial supplies and materials ..... .. ... 117.5 114.8 117.2 116.6 118.6 Fuels and lubricants ............ ..... .. ........... ................ Nonagricultural supplies and materials, excluding fuel and building materials ............... .. . Selected building materials ... ................................. . 99.0 106.1 106.5 108.9 109.6 117.5 114.9 118.6 120.4 121.5 102.5 99.5 104.7 98.7 106.4 100.9 108.1 102.3 109.4 103.4 109.9 103.9 110.0 103.4 112.4 102.8 113.5 103.3 114.4 104.0 116.4 103.9 118.0 104.0 119.1 104.1 Capital goods ..... .... ..... ............ ....................... .... Electric and electrical generating equipment.. ........ Nonelectrical machinery ..... ............ ... .. .. ....... ......... 97.5 101.7 94 .1 97.5 102.0 93.9 97.8 101 .9 94.3 98.0 102.0 94.5 98.1 101.7 94.6 98.1 101.7 94.6 97.8 102.0 94.1 97.8 102.2 94.0 97.8 102.2 94 .0 97.8 102.4 93.9 98.0 103.3 93.9 98.1 103.4 93.9 98.2 103.4 93.9 Automotive vehi cles, parts, and engines ...... .. .. ....... 101 .8 101 .9 102.0 101.9 102.2 102.3 102.3 102.4 102.6 102.5 102.7 102.8 102.9 101.4 101 .3 101.1 116.6 104.0 Consumer goods, excluding automotive ... ...... ......... Nondurables, manufactured ............... ................... . Durables, manufactured ... ............ .. .................... 99.9 99 .2 100.3 100.2 99.9 100.1 100.1 99.9 100.0 100.2 99.9 100.1 100.4 100.1 100.5 100.5 100.1 100.6 100.4 100.0 100.7 100.9 100.8 100.8 101 .1 101.0 101.0 101 .0 101 .0 100.9 101.0 100.7 100.8 101.1 100.9 101.0 Agricultural commodities .......... ..... ... .. .... .............. Nonagricultural commodities ............................... .. 122.7 99 .1 123.5 99.8 125.3 100.4 129.7 100.9 133.0 101.4 133.7 101.7 127.4 101.5 126.1 102.2 115.5 102.5 117.6 102.8 116.2 103.6 116.4 103.9 46. U.S. import price indexes by end-use category [2000"' 100) 2004 2003 Category Oct. Nov. Dec. ALL COMMODITIES ..................................... ............. 97.5 99.0 99.4 100.2 100.4 101.9 101 .7 102.1 103.6 104.1 105.8 105.6 104.2 Foods, feeds, and beverages.. .............. . . . ...... ... Agricultural foods, feeds , and beverages ................ Nonagricultural (fish, beverages) food products .. ... 103.2 110.9 86.0 103.7 112.0 85.1 105.3 113.4 87.2 105.9 113.0 90.1 107.2 114.2 91.7 106.8 114.0 90 .6 106.9 114.3 90.3 107.5 114.5 91.8 107.3 114.1 92.3 108.7 116.4 91.4 110.0 118.4 91.0 110.2 119.0 90.5 111 .3 120.4 90 .7 Industrial supplies and materials ... .. ....... .... ... ..... ... . 103.6 108.5 110.0 112.7 113.9 119.7 119.3 120.6 126.6 128.5 135.0 133.6 127.2 120.2 120.1 120.6 119.9 131.0 131.2 130.9 129.7 133.2 132.7 143.4 144.4 146.2 149.2 161.1 166.1 158.0 156.7 142.4 138.7 Dec. Feb. Jan. Mar. Apr. May July June Sept. Aug. Fuels and lubricants ...................................... ...... .. Petroleum and petroleum products ................ ... 107.2 106.0 116.5 113.7 117.0 114.3 Paper and paper base stocks ... ............................. . Materials associated with nondurable supplies and materials ........ .. .. ...................... ....... Selected building materials .................................. .. . Unfinished metals associated with durable goods .. Nonmetals associated with durable goods .... .. ....... 93.9 94.1 94.2 95.6 96 .8 98.2 99.0 100.0 100.4 101 .1 101.4 101.1 101 .4 104.4 108.0 99 .2 98.2 104.7 106.8 104.5 98.5 104.8 113.7 109.5 99.2 105.4 118.4 114.9 99.3 105.1 120.2 121.7 99.3 105.4 123.6 126.2 99 .1 106.0 120.5 124.4 98.7 106.5 117.6 126.1 98.5 107.7 124.0 129.8 98.5 108.0 125.6 133.1 98.8 108.6 115.3 134.2 98.8 109.4 110.9 136.9 99.2 109.9 115.2 138.9 99.7 Capital goods ... .. ...... .................. ....................... Electric and electrical generating equipment.. .. ...... Nonelectrical machinery .. ......... ......... .. .................. 92.9 96.8 91.1 93.1 ,17.4 91 .2 93.1 97.9 91 .2 93.1 97.8 91.2 92.6 97.2 90.6 92 .6 97.1 90.5 92 .2 97.0 90.1 92.2 97.5 90.0 92.1 97.7 89.9 92.0 97.4 89.8 91.7 97.4 89.4 91.8 97.5 89.5 92.1 98.1 89.8 Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines .... ......... .... 101 .4 101.6 101.7 101 .8 102.0 102.0 102.2 102.3 102.5 102.7 103.1 103.3 103.5 Consumer goods, excluding automotive .................. Nondurables, manufactured ......... ................ .......... Durables, manufactured ....... .... .... ....... .......... ..... . Non manufactured consumer goods .. ..... .............. 98.1 100.1 96.2 96.2 98.6 101.1 96.3 95.9 98.7 101.2 96.3 96.2 98.7 101.3 96.3 96.4 98.6 101 .1 96 .3 96.4 98.5 101.0 96.0 97.3 98.5 100.9 96 .1 96.8 98.5 101.0 95.9 97.4 98.4 100.9 95.9 97 .9 98.4 100.8 95.9 97.9 98.4 100.7 96.0 97.9 98.5 100.8 96.1 98.0 98.8 101 .1 96.4 98.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I 47. U.S. international price Indexes for selected categories of services [2000 "' 100, unless indicated otherwise) Category 2004 2003 2002 Dec. Sept. June Mar. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Air freight (inbound) ....................... ..... .. .. ................... Air freight (outbound) ..... .. ................................. . .. 105.9 95.4 108.8 97.2 109.4 95.4 112.5 95.5 112.9 94.9 116.2 96.1 116.6 99.0 118.7 100.7 125.2 105.2 Inbound air passenger fares (Dec. 2003 = 100) .. ....... . Outbound air passenger fares (Dec. 2003 = 100)) ..... .. Ocean liner freight (inbound) .... .......... .... .... .............. - - - - 93.3 94.0 116.1 116.2 100.0 100.0 117.7 105.1 99.3 119.1 106.1 114.2 121.1 110.1 114.2 120.3 112.5 108.4 122.7 - NOTE: Dash indicates data not available . Monthly Labor Review February 2005 137 Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data 48. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, quarterly data seasonally adjusted [1992 = 100] 2001 Item Business Output per hour of all persons .......... ............................ Compensation per hour ..... ...... .... ..... ........ ... ....... ... Real compensation per hour ......... .. ...... ..... .. ... ....... . Unit labor costs ......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ..... ...... .. ... .................... ... .... Implicit price deflator ............................................. 2002 2003 !V I II Ill IV 120.9 141 .5 114.2 117.0 113.1 115.6 122.7 143.2 115.2 116.7 113.4 115.5 123.2 144.4 115.2 117.2 113.6 115.9 124.7 145.0 115.0 116.3 115.7 116.1 125.0 145.5 114.8 116.3 116.8 116.5 120.4 140.7 113.5 116.8 114.7 116.0 122.4 142.6 114.7 116.4 115.1 116.0 122.8 143.8 114.7 117.1 115.4 116.5 124.1 144.3 114.4 116.2 117.7 116.8 124.5 139.3 112.5 113.0 111 .9 115.7 75.5 105.0 109.6 126.8 139.9 112.6 111 .3 110.4 113.6 88.8 107.0 109.3 128.1 141.3 112.7 111.0 110.3 112.7 94.5 107.9 109.5 140.8 139.1 112.3 98.8 144.5 142.8 115.7 99.6 146.4 146.7 117.0 100.2 I 2004 II Ill IV I II Ill IV 126.21 147.4 115.3 116.8 117.7 117.1 128.6 149.6 116.8 116.4 119.0 117.3 131 .2 151 .7 117.7 115.6 120.8 117.5 132.0 153.2 118.7 116.0 120.7 117.8 133.3 154.2 118.4 115.7 122.9 118.4 134.2 156.2 118.6 116.4 124.4 119.4 135.0 157.7 119.1 116.8 124.6 119.7 135.8 159.3 119.3 117.3 125.3 120.3 124.6 144.7 114.3 116.1 118.9 117.2 125.8 146.6 114.7 116.6 119.6 117.7 127.8 148.7 116.1 116.3 120.4 117.8 130.6 150.9 117.1 115.5 122.3 118.0 131.7 152.5 118.2 115.9 121.9 118.1 132.8 153.3 117.7 115.4 124.3 118.7 134.1 155.5 118.0 115.7 125.7 119.6 134.7 156.8 118.5 116.4 126.3 120.1 135.0 158.0 118.4 117.1 126.8 120.7 129.0 142.1 112.7 110.9 110.1 112.8 95.8 108.3 109.5 129.6 142.9 112.8 110.9 110.2 112.8 102.3 110.0 110.1 130.2 144.1 112.7 111 .6 110.7 114.0 100.0 110.3 110.5 132.7 146.3 114.2 110.9 110.3 112.6 112.2 112.5 111.0 135.3 148.5 115.3 110.5 109.8 112.6 120.3 114.7 111.4 136.8 150.0 116.2 110.4 109.7 112.2 125.1 115.7 111.7 137.0 150.9 115.9 110.4 110.2 111 .1 129.9 116.1 112.2 138.1 152.9 116.1 110.9 110.7 111.4 136.3 118.1 113.2 139.4 154.4 116.6 111 .0 110.7 111 .7 136.5 118.3 113.2 - 148.7 148.3 117.6 99.7 149.7 149.6 118.1 99.9 151 .6 155.4 121.6 102.6 152.7 158.2 123.5 103.6 156.7 161.3 125.2 103.0 158.1 163.6 126.7 103.5 158.8 161.9 124.3 101.9 161.7 164.6 124.9 101.8 163.4 166.4 125.7 101.8 Nonfarm business Output per hour of all persons ....................................... Compensation per hour ... .... .......... ..... ...... ........ .. ... Real compensation per hour .... ....... ....... ................. Unit labor costs .. ............... ...... .. ... .. ... ...... ..... ............. Unit non labor payments .. ......... ...... ..... ... .. ....... ... . .... Implicit price deflator ... .... ...... ... ....... ...... ... .... .. ....... Nonfinancial corporations Output per hour of all employees .. ...... ... ... .. .. .. ....... .... .. .. Compensation per hour ......................................... Real compensation per hour ................................... Total unit costs ......................................................... Unit labor costs .................. ..................... .... .... ............. Unit nonlabor costs ................. ... .... ... ..... .. ................ ... Unit profits .... ......................... ... .. .. .................................. Unit nonlabor payments ................... ................... ..... Implicit price deflator ............ ································ - - Manufacturing Output per hour of all persons ........ .................. ............. Compensation per hour ......................................... Real compensation per hour ................................... Unit labor costs ................................ ... ... ...... .. ..... ... ... 138 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 165.6 168.8 126.5 101 .9 49. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity and related measures, selected years [1996 = 100] Item 1980 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1997 1999 1998 2000 2001 Private business Productivity: Output per hour of all persons .................. ....... .... .. ... Output per unit of capital services .. .. .. .. .... .... ...... .... Multifactor productivity ........ ........ ... .... ...... ......... ... Output. ................................... ... ..... ..... .. .. ......... ... .... Inputs: Labor input. ... ... .. ... ... ... .. ... ..... ... .. ........ .... ....... ...... ......... Capital services .... ............................................. ... Combined units of labor and capital input.. .............. Capital per hour of all persons ........................ ............ 75.8 103.3 88.8 59.4 90.2 99.7 95.5 83.6 91.3 96 .5 94.5 82.6 94.8 98.0 96.7 85.7 95.4 98.7 97.1 88.5 96.6 100.4 98.2 92.8 97.3 99.8 98.4 95.8 102.2 100.3 101.2 105.2 105.0 99.3 102.5 110.5 107.7 98.2 103.4 115.7 111 .0 96.6 105.0 120.4 112.4 92 .8 103.9 120.2 71.9 57.6 67.0 73.4 89.4 83.8 87.5 90.4 88.3 85.7 87.4 94.6 89.3 87.5 88.7 96.8 91.8 89.7 91 .1 96.6 95.6 92.5 94.6 96.2 98.0 96.0 97.3 97.5 103.5 104.9 104.0 101 .9 106.1 111 .3 107.9 105.8 109.0 117.9 110.9 109.7 110.1 124.5 114.7 114.8 109.5 129.6 115.7 121.1 77.3 107.6 91.0 59 .6 90.3 100.4 95.8 83.5 91.4 97.0 94.8 82.5 94.8 98.2 96.7 85.5 95.3 99 .0 97.2 88.4 96.5 100.4 98.2 92.6 97.5 100.0 98.6 95.8 102.0 100.0 101 .0 105.1 104.7 99.0 102.2 110.5 107.1 97.6 102.9 115.7 110.3 95.9 104.4 120.2 111.6 92 .0 103.3 120.1 70.7 55.4 65.5 71 .8 89.2 83.2 87.2 89.9 87.9 85.1 87.0 94.3 89.0 87.0 88.4 96.5 91.8 89.4 91 .0 96.3 95.4 92.2 94.3 96 .1 97 .8 95.8 97.2 97.6 103.6 105.1 104.1 101.9 106.4 111 .7 108.1 105.8 109.5 118.5 112.4 109.7 110.6 125.4 115.2 115.0 110.1 130.5 116.3 121 .3 62.0 97.2 81.2 64.3 82.2 97.5 93.3 83.2 84.1 93.6 92.4 81 .5 88.6 95.9 94.0 85.5 90.2 96.9 95.1 88.3 93.0 99.7 97.3 92.9 96.5 100.6 99.2 96 .9 103.8 101.4 103.1 105.6 108.9 101 .7 105.7 110.5 114.0 101 .7 108.7 114.7 118.3 101 .0 111 .3 117.4 119.7 95.1 110.3 112.1 103.7 66.1 86.1 63.9 65.8 79.2 101.1 85.3 93.1 77.5 84.7 89.1 96.9 87.1 93.2 78.5 84.6 88.3 96.5 89.1 93.1 83.5 92.0 90 .9 97.8 91 .1 96.6 86.5 92 .9 92.8 99.9 93.2 99.9 90 .3 96.0 95.5 100.4 96.4 102.3 93.1 100.4 97.7 101 .7 104.1 97.5 101.9 103.9 102.4 101 .5 108.7 100.6 107.5 103.1 104.6 100.7 112.8 102.9 107.9 105.4 105.5 99.2 116.2 104.3 106.9 106.5 105.5 99.6 117.9 98.9 105.5 97.7 101 .6 Private nonfarm business Productivity: Output per hour of all persons .............. .. ............ .... Output per unit of capital services .... .. .............. .. .. .. Multifactor productivity ... .. ...... ... .... .. ... ... ..... .... .... .. Output. ................................. ........ .. ............. ...... .. .... Inputs: Labor input. ... .... ... ... ... ... ... .... .. ......... ..... ................ .. .... . Capital services ......... .................... .. .. .... .. ... .. ..... .. . Combined units of labor and capital input.. .... ...... .... Capital per hour of all persons .. .................. .. ........ ... Manufacturing Productivity: Output per hour of all persons .............................. . Output per unit of capital services .. .............. .. .. .. .... Multifactor productivity .................. ......... ... .... .... ... Output. ............. ................ ...... ... .. ... .. ....... ................ Inputs: Hours of all persons .................................................. .. . Capital services .... ....... ..... ... .... .. .. ........ .... ... ... .. ... .. Energy ................ ............... ............................ .. ....... Nonenergy materials .. ... .............................................. Purchasf'd business services ... ........ .... .. ..................... Combined units of all factor inputs .. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. ....... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 139 Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data 50. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years [1992 = 100] Item 1960 1970 1980 1990 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Business Output per hour of all persons .. ....... .. .. ... ... .. ... ... .. ... ... .... Compensation per hour ..... ... ......... .. .... .. .. ... ....... ... . Real compensation per hour ....... ... ... .. .... .... ....... ..... Unit labor costs ................... .. .... ...... .. .... .... .... ... ......... Unit non labor payments ... ...... ....... ... .. ... .. ... .. .... ........ Implicit price deflator ... ..... ... .... ... .. .. ... .. ... .... ....... .... 48.9 13.9 60.9 28.4 24.9 27.1 66.2 23.6 78.8 35.6 31.4 34.1 79.2 54.2 89.2 68.4 61 .3 65.8 94.5 90.6 96.2 95.9 93.9 95.1 104.6 109.6 99.6 104.8 111.8 107.4 106.5 113.1 100.6 106.1 113.8 109.0 109.4 119.9 105.1 109.5 109.8 109.7 112.6 125.6 107.9 111.6 109.2 110.7 115.9 134.5 111 .8 116.1 107.2 112.7 118.8 140.1 113.3 118.0 109.9 114.9 123.9 144.5 115.0 116.6 114.9 116.0 129.5 150.5 117.1 116.2 119.6 117.4 134.7 156.9 118.9 116.5 124.3 119.4 Nonfarm business Output per hour of all persons .............. ..... ........... .... ..... Compensation per hour ........ ... .... ...... ... .. ..... .. ...... .. Real compensation per hour .. ... ... .. ............ ... .......... Unit labor costs ........... ........... ............. ...... ........ ... ..... Unit nonlabor payments ... .... .... ...... ... .... ......... .. ....... . Implicit price deflator .. .... ... ... ..... ... .. ........... ....... .. ... 51 .8 14.5 63.3 27.9 24.3 26.6 67.9 23.7 79.1 34.9 31.1 33.5 80.6 54.4 89.5 67.5 60.4 64.9 94.6 90.4 96.0 95.6 93.6 94.9 104.8 109.5 99.5 104.5 112.0 107.3 106.5 112.9 100.4 106.0 114.5 109.1 109.3 119.6 104.9 109.4 110.8 109.9 112.3 125.1 107.5 111.4 110.7 111 .1 115.5 134.0 111 .4 116.0 108.7 113.3 118.3 139.3 112.7 117.7 111.5 115.4 123.5 143.8 114.5 116.5 116.8 116.6 129.0 149.7 116.5 116.1 121.1 117.9 134.2 156.0 118.2 116.2 125.8 119.8 Nonfinancial corporations Output per hour of all employees .... .............. .. .............. Compensation per hour .... ..... .... ........ ...... .. .... ... ..... . Real compensation per hour .... ... .... .. ... .. ....... ... .... ... Total unit costs ........ ......... ........ ....... .... ........... ....... .... Unit labor costs .................... .. ............. ................ ......... Unit nonlabor costs ...................... ... .. ............. .. ...... ... ... Unit profits ......... ........................... .. ... .......... ................. .. Unit non labor payments ..... ..... .. ... ... .... ... .. ........ ....... . lmplii::-it !)rice deflator ... .. ... .. ... .. .. ....... ...... ........ .... ... 56.2 16.2 70.8 27.3 28.8 23.3 50 .2 30.5 29.4 69.8 25.7 85.9 35.6 36.9 32.2 44.4 35.4 36.4 80.8 57.2 94.1 69.2 70.8 64.9 66.9 65.5 69.0 95.4 91.1 96.8 96.0 95.5 97.3 96.9 97.2 96.1 107.1 108.5 98.6 100.9 101.3 100.0 150.0 113.3 105.3 109.9 111 .7 99.4 101.1 101.7 99.7 154.3 114.3 105.9 113.5 118.1 103.6 102.9 104.1 99.5 137.0 109.5 105.9 117.3 123.5 106.1 104.0 105.3 100.4 129.1 108.0 106.2 121.5 132.0 109.7 107.4 108.6 104.2 108.7 105.4 107.5 123.5 137.3 111.1 111 .6 111.2 112.6 82.2 104.5 108.9 128.7 141.5 112.7 111 .0 110.3 113.0 95.4 108.3 109.6 133.7 147.3 114.6 110.8 110.1 112.9 114.6 113.3 111.2 41.8 14.9 65.0 35.6 26.8 30.2 54.2 23.7 79.2 43.8 29.3 35.0 70.1 55.6 91.4 79.3 80.2 79.9 92.9 90.5 96.1 97.3 100.8 99.5 113.9 109.3 99.3 96.0 110.7 105.2 118.0 112.2 99.8 95.1 110.4 104.6 123.6 118.7 104.2 96.0 104.2 101.1 128.1 123.4 106.0 96.4 105.1 101.8 134.1 134.7 112.0 100.5 107.1 104.6 136.9 137.8 111 .5 100.7 105.9 103.9 147.3 147.1 117.1 99.8 154.7 159.6 124.2 103.2 - - - - - - Manufacturing Output per hour of all persons .... ... ..... ....... ........ ............ Compensation per hour ......... ... ..... ... ...... ... .. ... ....... Real compensation per hour ......... ..... ... ... .... .. ...... .. . Unit labor costs ........................ .. .... ..... ... ....... .. ....... ... Unit non labor payments ...... .... .. ........... ... ........ ..... .... Implicit price deflator .. .. .... .. .... .... ...... ... ... .. ... .. .... .... Dash indicates data not available. 140 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 162.4 165.4 125.4 101 .9 - 51. Annual indexes of output per hour for selected NAICS Industries, 1990-2002 [1997=100) NAICS Industry 21 21 1 212 2121 2122 2123 Mining ...... ............................................... .. Oil and gas extraction ............................. ... ..... Mining, except oil and gas ........... .. ... .. ........ .. .... Coal mining ........ .... ... ....... .. ...... ..................... Metal ore mining .......... .. .... .......... ...... .... ...... .. Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying ........... 2211 2212 Power generation and supply ... ................ .... .... Natural gas distribution .................................. . 3111 311 2 3113 3114 3115 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Mining 2001 2002 86.0 78.4 79.3 68.1 79.9 92.3 86.8 78.8 80.0 69.3 82 .7 89.5 95.2 81 .9 86.8 75.3 91 .7 96.1 96.2 85.1 89.9 79.9 102.2 93.6 99.6 90.3 93.0 83.9 104.1 96.9 101 .8 95.5 94.0 88.2 98.5 97.3 101 .7 98.9 96.0 94.9 95.3 97.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.4 101 .6 104.6 106.5 109.5 101 .3 111.1 107.9 105.9 110.3 112.7 101.2 109.5 115.2 106.8 115.8 124.4 96.2 107.7 11 7.4 109.0 114.4 131 .8 99 .3 112.3 119.3 111.7 112.2 143.9 103.8 71 .2 71 .4 73.8 72.7 74.2 75.8 78.7 79.8 83.0 82.1 88.6 89.0 95.5 96.1 100.0 100.0 103.8 99 .1 104.1 103.1 107.0 113.1 106.4 110.0 102.4 114.9 Animal food ... ........ ... .... .... ... .. .... .... ................ Grain and oilseed milling ........ .. .... ..... ........... ... Sugar and confectionery products ..................... Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty ....... Dairy products ...... ........... .. .... ... .. .... .. ..... .... .... 90.1 89.0 91 .0 86 .4 90.8 89.3 91.2 93.8 89.7 92 .1 90.2 91.1 90.5 90.7 95.4 90.2 93.8 92.5 93.8 93.9 87.3 94.7 94.0 94.9 95.4 94.0 99.1 94.3 97.1 98.7 87.5 91 .3 98.2 98.2 98.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 109.4 107.5 104.0 106.8 99.1 109.5 114.2 107.1 108.4 94.5 109.7 112.5 111 .9 109.8 96.0 127.2 117.3 109.9 117.0 96.2 - 3116 3117 3118 3119 3121 Animal slaughtering and processing ........ ........... Seafood product preparation and packaging ........ Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing ... ... ..... ..... .... Other food products .... .. .... ... .. .... ...... ... .... .... .. .. Beverages .... .... . .... ....... .... ... ........................ 94.5 117.5 92.6 91 .9 86 .5 96.8 112.0 92 .3 93.5 90.1 101.5 115.3 95.6 95.9 93.8 100.9 113.9 96.0 102.8 93.2 97.4 114.1 96.7 100.3 97.7 98.5 108.4 99.7 101.3 99.6 94.3 116.2 97.7 103.0 101 .1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.9 117.0 103.8 106.9 98.5 100.3 130.2 105.4 108.8 92.4 101 .9 137.6 105.3 110.2 90.6 102.7 147.3 106.3 103.2 91 .7 - 3122 3131 3132 3133 3141 Tobacco and tobacco products ................. ...... .. Fiber, yarn , and thread mills ............... .......... .. .. Fabric mills ..... ... ........ ... ... .. ... ..... ....... .. .... ..... . Textile and fabric finishing mills .. ..... ..... .. ........... Textile furnishings mills ....... .. ... ................. ...... 81.4 73.9 75.0 81 .7 88.2 77.3 74.7 77.7 80.4 88.6 79.6 80.1 81.5 83.7 93.0 73.7 84.6 85.0 86.0 93.7 89.8 87.2 91 .9 87.8 90.1 97.5 92.0 95.8 84.5 92.5 99.4 98.7 98.0 85.0 93.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.1 102.2 103.9 100.6 99.9 92.1 104.6 109.8 101 .7 101.2 98.0 102.6 110.2 104.0 106.8 100.0 110.5 109.1 109.7 106.9 - 3149 3151 3152 3159 3161 Other textile product millsv Apparel knitting mills ........ ............................... Cut and sew apparel. ........... ............. ...... ........ Accessories and other apparel. ..... ............. ..... .. Leather and hide tann ing and finishing ... .... ........ 91 .1 85.6 70 .1 100.9 60.8 90.0 88.7 72.0 97.3 56.6 92.0 93.2 73.1 98.7 76.7 90.3 102.5 76.6 99.0 83.1 94.5 104.3 80.5 104.6 75.9 95.9 109.5 85.5 112.4 78.6 96.3 121 .9 90.5 112.6 91 .5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 97.0 96.6 104.0 110.8 98.0 110.4 102.0 118.8 103.3 101 .6 110.4 110.2 127.7 104.9 110.0 105.0 108.4 131 .7 11 4.8 109.7 - 3162 3169 3211 3212 3219 Footwear ..... ......... ... ... ... ... .. .... ............ .......... Other leather products .... ... ... ... .... ... ..... .. .... ..... Sawmills and wood preservation ..................... .. Plywood and engineered wood products ............. Other wood products .............................. ........ 77.1 102.5 79.2 102.3 105.4 74.? 100.2 81 .6 107.4 104.7 83.1 97.0 86 .1 114.7 104.0 81.7 94.3 82.6 108.9 103.0 90 .4 80.0 85.1 105.8 99.3 95.6 73.2 91 .0 101 .8 100.4 103.4 79.7 96 .2 101 .2 100.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 109.2 100.8 105.6 101 .5 116.8 100.4 105.4 99 .9 105.4 124.1 107.6 106.5 100.5 104.0 142.7 114.1 109.0 105.0 104.6 - 3221 3222 3231 3241 3251 Pulp, paper, and paperboard mills ..................... Converted paper products ... .. .... .... ... ....... ........ Printing and related support activities ................. Petroleum and coal products ............. ..... ... ... .... Basic chemicals ......................... .. .... ... ... ........ 88.5 90.5 96 .6 76.7 91.4 88.1 93.5 95.4 75.8 90.1 92 .3 93.7 101 .3 78.9 89.4 92.9 96.3 100.1 84.5 89.9 97 .6 97.6 98.3 85.6 95.1 102.0 97.2 98.8 90 .1 92 .3 97.6 98.3 99.6 94 .8 90.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.1 102.7 100.5 102.1 102.5 111.4 101 .5 103.5 107.8 114.7 115.7 101 .9 104.9 113.2 118.4 117.5 101 .0 105.6 112.2 111.0 - 3252 3253 3254 3255 3256 Resin, rubber, and artificial fibers ... ... .... ....... .... . Agricultural chemicals ... ... ... .... ........................ Pharmaceuticals and medicines .................... . .. . Paints, coatings, and adhesives ........................ Soap, cleaning compounds , and toiletries ..... . .. .. 75.8 84.6 91.4 85.1 83.2 74.7 81 .0 92.6 85.9 84 .2 80.6 81 .3 88.2 87.6 83.4 83.8 85.6 88.1 90.9 86.9 93.5 87.4 92.4 94.1 88.6 95.9 90 .7 96 .3 92 .7 93.9 93.3 92 .1 99 .9 98.3 95.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.5 98.8 92.9 99 .1 96 .6 108.8 87.6 94.6 98.8 91.1 108.1 91.4 93.4 98.5 99.2 103.8 91. 1 97.4 102.1 102.7 3259 3261 3262 3271 3272 Other chemical products and preparations .......... Plastics products ............................................ Rubber products .. ..................... ............... .. .. .. Clay products and refractories ...... ......... ...... ... .. Glass and glass products .... ......... ... ........ ......... 76 .6 84 .7 83.0 89 .2 80 .0 78.0 86.3 83.8 87.5 79.1 84.7 90.3 84.9 91 .5 84.3 90.6 91 .9 90.4 91 .9 86.1 92.6 94.4 90.3 96 .6 87.5 94.4 94.5 92.8 97.4 88.8 94.2 97.0 94.4 102.6 96 .5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.4 103.5 100.5 101 .3 102.7 109.2 109.3 101.4 103.5 108.6 120.0 111.2 103.9 103.6 109.7 111 .3 113.3 104.2 97.6 105.2 - 3273 3274 3279 3311 3312 Cement and concrete products .. ............... ..... ... Lime and gypsum products ................ ... ... ..... ... Other nonmetallic mineral products ... ...... ... ..... ... Iron and steel mills and ferroalloy production ....... Steel products from purchased steel. ................. 94.8 84.1 79.8 69 .6 83.8 93.7 82.7 81.4 67.2 86.4 94.8 88.5 90.2 74.1 89.9 96.5 90.1 89.3 81 .7 95.9 95.0 87 .8 90 .5 87.2 100.0 98.2 88.8 91 .7 89.7 100.5 100.6 92.4 96.5 94.1 100.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.5 113.1 98.8 101 .7 100.3 104.1 102.7 95.5 106.5 94.2 100.4 97.0 95.6 108.5 96.4 97 .1 100.1 96.8 106.7 97.1 - 3313 3314 3315 3321 3322 Alumina and aluminum produ ction .. .. ......... ... ... .. Other nonferrous metal production .................... Foundries ........ ...... ....................................... Forging and stamping .. ... .. . .. . .. . ... .... . . .. ... .. ... ... Cutlery and hand tools ...................... .... .... ...... 91.9 95.6 85.3 88.6 85.1 93.3 95.8 84.5 86.5 85.4 96.8 98.8 85.8 91 .7 87.2 96.0 101.8 89.8 94.6 91 .7 100.3 105.1 91.4 93.7 94.4 96.8 102.9 93.1 94 .2 97.8 95.9 105.7 96.2 97 .6 104.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101 .1 111 .2 101 .6 103.7 100.0 104.3 108.9 104.9 110.9 107.8 97.8 103.1 104.0 121 .3 105.8 96.9 100.5 109.3 121 .8 110.2 - 3323 3324 3325 3326 3327 Architectural and structural metals .......... .. ......... Boilers, tanks , and shipping containers ... ... .... ..... Hardware ......... .............. .. .......... ... ............... Spring and wire products .. ..... ... ..... ......... .. .... ... Machine shops and threaded products ...... .... .... . 87.8 90.4 84.4 85.2 78.8 89.1 :!L.6 83.8 88.4 79 .8 92 .5 95.3 86.9 90.9 87.2 93.4 94.8 89.6 95.3 86.9 95.1 100.5 95.7 91.5 91 .6 93.9 97.8 97.3 99.5 98.7 94.2 100.7 102.6 102.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101 .1 101 .3 101 .0 111 .6 99.3 101 .8 98.9 106.5 112.9 103.9 101 .0 97.7 115.8 114.6 107.2 100.7 98.2 114.6 110.6 107.2 Utllltles Manufacturing https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 - - - - - - 141 Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data 51. Continued-Annual indexes of output per hour for selected NAICS Industries, 1990-2002 [1997=100] NAICS Industry 1992 1993 1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 3328 3329 3331 3332 3333 Coating, engraving, and heat treating metals ... ... Other fabricated metal products ........... ........ .. ... Agriculture, construction, and mining machinery Industrial machinery .. ... ···· ·· ······ ··· ·· ········ ········ Commercial and service industry machinery .... .. . 81 .6 86.7 82.8 80.6 91.4 78.1 85.9 77.2 81.1 89.6 86.9 90 .6 79.6 79.5 96.5 91.9 92.1 84.1 84.9 101.7 96.5 95.0 91.0 90.0 101.2 102.8 97.1 95.6 97 .9 103.0 102.9 98.9 95.9 98.8 106.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 102.3 104.2 94.4 107.5 101 .5 100.2 95.0 105.2 111 .2 105.9 100.8 101 .0 129.7 101.4 105.1 98.2 99.5 104.6 94.4 3334 3335 3336 3339 HVAC and commercial refrigeration equipment Metalworking machinery ... .. ..... .. ................ ...... Turbine and power transmission equipment.. .... .. . Other general purpose machinery ............ ......... 88.8 85.3 85.1 85.9 88.2 82.3 84 .6 85.2 90.8 89.3 81.2 85.1 93.8 89.3 84.8 89.8 97.3 94.0 93.3 91.5 96.6 99.1 92.1 94.6 97.8 98.1 97.9 95.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106.6 99.1 106.4 103.2 110.4 100.5 113.3 105.6 108.3 106.4 117.1 113.0 110.8 102.0 130.2 109.4 1990 1991 1995 2000 2001 2002 3341 Computer and peripheral equipment.. ............. ... 14.3 15.8 20.6 27.9 35.9 51.3 72.6 100.0 138.6 190.3 225.4 237.0 3342 3343 3344 3345 3346 Communications equipment.. ......... ............ ...... Audio and video equipment. .. .. . ....... .......... .. ... Semiconductors and electconic components ........ Electronic instruments ........ ..... .... ... .. .. .... ... .. .... Magnetic media manufacturing and reproduction 47.3 75.5 21.4 76.0 86.6 49.3 82.8 24.5 80 .5 91.2 59.3 92 .1 29.6 83.1 93.0 62.1 98.8 34.1 85.8 96.8 70.1 108.5 43.1 88.8 106.1 74.6 140.0 63.4 96.8 106.7 84.3 104.7 81 .8 97.7 103.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 103.1 125.2 101 .3 105.4 134.0 116.2 174.5 105.1 106.8 165.5 123.3 233.3 114.3 104.0 155.2 126.3 231.6 116.1 98.6 3351 3352 3353 3359 3361 Electric lighting equipment... . .... ...... ....... .......... Household appliances ...... ... ........ .... .... .......... .. Electrical equipment. ............................... .. ..... Other electrical equipment and components ........ Motor vehicles ... ... .. .... .. ......... .. .......... .... .. .... .. 87.3 76.4 73.6 75.3 86.0 88.5 76.4 72 .7 74 .2 82.4 93.6 82.4 78.9 81.6 91.2 90.8 88.9 85.8 86.8 89.8 94.5 95.0 89.0 89.4 90.3 92.2 92.7 98.1 92.0 88.6 95.6 93.1 100.2 96.0 91.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.8 105.1 99.8 105.5 113.3 102.5 104.3 98.9 114.8 123.3 101.9 117.5 100.6 120.5 110.4 105.4 122.6 101 .0 113.5 108.7 3362 3363 3364 3365 3366 Motor vehicle bodies and trailers .... .... ............. .. Motor vehicle parts .... .......... ..... .... .... ... ........... Aerospace products and parts ...... ····· ·· ········ · ··· Railroad rolling stock ... ...... .. ..... ..... .... .............. Ship and boat building ... ................ ..... ..... . .. .... 75.8 75.7 87.7 77.2 99.6 71.8 74 .5 92.1 80.0 92 .6 88.3 82.4 94.1 81 .1 98.5 96.3 88.5 98.2 82.3 101.3 97.7 91.8 93.8 83.1 99.0 97.3 92.3 93.7 82.0 93.1 98.4 93.1 98.1 80.9 94.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 104.8 118.5 102.9 100.3 103.1 110.4 118.0 116.0 112.2 98.4 112.7 101.0 117.7 120.1 99.4 114.8 114.7 124.7 119.8 3369 3371 3372 3379 3391 3399 Other transportation equipment.. ... .. .... ..... . ······· Household and institutional furniture ....... ........ ... Office furniture and fixtures .......... .. .. .... ............ Other furniture-related products .. ....... ...... ...... .. Medical equipment and supplies ... .. .. .. .... ..... .... . Other miscellaneous manufacturing .. .. .... ........... 62.6 87.6 80.8 88.1 81 .2 90.1 62.0 88.2 78.8 88.6 83.1 90.6 88.4 92.9 86.2 88.4 88.1 90.0 99.8 93.8 87.9 90.5 91.1 92.3 93.4 94.1 83.4 93.6 90.8 93.0 93.1 97 .1 84.3 94.5 95.0 96.0 99.8 99.5 85.6 96.7 100.0 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 110.8 102.7 100.1 107.2 108.9 101.9 113.3 103.7 98.5 102.5 109.6 105.2 130.9 102.5 100.2 100.1 114.2 112.9 146.9 106.1 97.1 105.3 119.0 110.9 4231 4232 4233 Wholesale trade Wholesale trade ...... .. .. ....... .. .. .... ... .. ... .. ... .... .. Durable goods ... .. ... .. ..... ... ........ ....... ... ...... ... .. Motor vehicles and parts ........... .... .. ... ....... ... ... Furniture and furnishings .. .. ........... ... .. .. ... ....... Lumber and construction supplies ....... ........ ...... 77.8 65.7 76.6 82.4 115.0 79.1 66.1 73.3 87.2 113.2 86.2 75.0 82 .2 92 .0 119.6 89.5 80.5 88.0 95.8 113.9 91.3 84.5 94.1 93.3 111.9 93.3 88.9 93.6 96.8 103.6 96.2 94.0 94.9 97.0 103.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 104.4 105.6 104.7 97.5 102.9 110.9 115.3 119.8 100.8 104.8 114.1 119.6 114.0 105.5 101 .7 117.1 120.3 114.1 105.4 108.6 123.6 127.7 121 .7 101.8 119.2 4234 4235 4236 4237 4238 Commercial equipment.. ... ... ..... .... ............ ... .... Metals and minerals ...... .... .. .... . ..... .. .... .. ....... Electric goods .. ... .. ..... .. .. ........ .... .. ·· ······ · ··· · · · · · Hardware and plumbing .................. ... . ·········· Machinery and supplies ...... .. ...... ..... .. .............. 33.8 101.6 46.8 88.8 78.9 37.3 102.6 47.6 86.5 74.2 48.2 109.1 51.4 95.6 79.7 56.2 111 .7 59.1 94.3 84.3 60.5 110.1 68.2 101.3 85.4 74.7 101 .2 79.3 98.0 89.7 88.4 102.7 87.8 99.1 93.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 118.2 102.4 105.9 103.5 104.2 141 .1 96.0 126.2 107.8 101.4 148.9 99.2 151.7 111 .1 104.1 164.9 102.2 148.1 102.6 102.7 189.4 102.2 161.2 107.9 100.2 4239 424 4241 4242 4243 Miscellaneous durable goods ... ....... ................. Nondurable goods ... .. ... .................. .. ... .. ........ . Paper and paper products ............... .. . ..... ... .. .. Druggists' goods ..... ..... ..... ... .. ....... .... .. ........... Apparel and piece goods ....... ... ... ............... .. ... 89.5 98.4 81 .0 81.8 103.9 96.6 99.8 85.5 86.6 103.3 112.1 103.2 96.5 91 .8 100.1 113.2 103.0 97 .2 89.3 97.7 106.1 101.8 101 .5 92.8 103.8 99.2 99.7 99.0 95.4 92.2 101 .0 99.2 96.5 98.3 99.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.8 100.4 99.6 104.1 112.6 104.1 105.5 101.7 103.5 116.7 103.5 105.5 96.8 102.7 116.1 106.9 109.0 101.2 102.4 125.5 112.6 120.2 116.0 111 .5 4244 4245 4246 4247 4248 Grocery and related products .......... ... .. ............ Farm product raw materials .................... ......... Chemicals ..... .. ...... ... ............ ......... .. ............ . Petroleum ......... ............................... .. ..... ...... Alcoholic beverages ... .. ........... ... .... ............ .... 96.4 80 .6 107.3 97.3 109.4 98.2 85.9 106.6 10/.0 111 .2 103.6 85.9 112.5 118.3 107.4 105.1 84.0 110.0 119.1 105.6 103.3 80.4 110.5 115.8 105.9 103.0 87.7 102.1 108.7 102.5 99.8 90.6 100.0 105.9 104.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.9 100.4 99.3 115.0 109.7 103.6 114.2 98.0 112.0 110.1 105.2 119.0 95.8 112.5 111.0 109.4 120.0 93.6 116.5 111 .6 111 .8 135.4 96.9 126.0 117.3 4249 425 42511 425 '12 Miscellaneous nondurable goods ................ ...... Electronic markets and agents and brokers .. ....... Business to business electronic markets .. ......... .. Wholesale trade agents and brokers .. .. .... . .... ... 107.3 70.7 70.4 70.8 98.2 73.6 72.6 74.U 93.9 81 .5 80.3 82.3 97.5 85.9 84.8 86.8 94.8 88.0 88.3 88.4 96.2 91 .1 90 .5 91 .8 98.7 95.7 95.3 96.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101 .7 104.6 103.5 104.8 99.6 114.4 121 .7 110.5 106.2 124.1 141 .3 115.7 104.2 131 .3 169.4 114.2 97.0 132.6 205.0 109.3 44-45 441 4411 4412 4413 Retail trade Retail trade ....... .... ... .. .. .. ... ...... ... ... ......... ....... Motor vehicle and parts dealers ...... .... .. ... ... ... ... Automobile dealers ... ....... .. .. ...... ....... .. .... ... ..... Other motor vehicle dealers .................. . ......... Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores ... ....... .... 83.2 89.7 92.1 69.0 85.0 83.3 88.3 90 .8 71.7 84.0 86.8 92.6 94 .8 78.3 89.1 89.4 94.0 96.0 84.1 90.6 92.8 96.9 98.0 90.2 95.4 94.7 97.0 97.2 91.0 97.9 97.7 98.8 98.9 97.7 98.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 104.3 102.7 102.7 105.9 105.7 110.3 106.4 106.4 113.0 110.0 114.2 107.2 106.6 108.6 112.0 117.4 110.0 109.1 112.6 109.3 122.7 109.7 106.0 116.4 115.8 442 4421 4422 443 444 Furniture and home furnishings stores ...... ... ... ... . Furniture stures ......... .. .. .... ........ .... ....... ....... .. Home furnishings stores .... ........... ... ... ....... ...... Electronics and appliance stores .... ..... ... ......... .. Building material and garden supply stores ... ..... .. 80.7 82.1 78.5 46.0 81 .8 81.1 83.5 77.6 49.2 80.2 88.1 89.0 86.8 56.9 84.0 88.3 89.0 87.2 65.5 88.0 90.4 88.9 92.1 77.6 93.7 94.1 92 .5 95.9 89.2 93.7 99.4 97.8 101 .3 95.0 97.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101 .7 102.1 101.3 122.9 106.7 109.6 108.2 111.4 152.2 112.3 115.7 114.8 116.8 177.7 113.1 118.5 121.1 115.6 199.1 115.8 125.1 128.6 121.4 240.0 119.9 42 42~ 142 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 51. Contlnued--Annual Indexes of output per hour for selected NAICS Industries, 1990-2002 [1997=100] 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 NAICS Industry 4441 4442 445 4451 4452 Building material and supplies dealers .... ...... ... ... Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores Food and beverage stores .. .......... ..... ... .... ....... Grocery stores .... .... .. ..... ··· · ·· · ·· · ·· · ················· Specialty food stores .... ... ... .. ... .... .. .. .... .. .... ... .. 83.2 74.5 107.1 106.5 122.9 80.7 77.5 106.6 106.6 115.0 84.7 80.2 106.9 106.7 111 .4 89.1 81.5 105.4 105.9 107.6 94.8 86.9 104.3 104.9 104.5 94.8 87.0 102.5 103.0 101 .1 97.6 97.1 100.3 100.8 95.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 107.6 101.2 99.9 100.3 95.0 4453 Beer, wine and liquor stores .. .... .. ... ... ...... ........ 100.1 100.2 101.0 94.4 92.9 96.2 103.1 100.0 446 447 448 Health and personal care stores ... .. ... .. ...... ...... .. Gasoline stations .. ... ... ............. ....... .. .. ... ...... .. Clothing and clothing accessories stores .. .. .... ... .. 92 .0 84.8 69.5 91 .6 85.7 70.5 90.7 88.5 75.3 91.9 92.8 78.9 91.8 96.8 83.3 93.0 99.7 91.2 95.7 99.4 97.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 4481 Clothing stores ...... .... .. ... .... ... ..... .. .... .. ..... ... ... 68.9 71.4 77.1 79.2 81.9 90.1 97.1 4482 4483 451 4511 4512 Shoe stores ... .... .... ... ............. ....... ....... ......... Jewelry, luggage, and leather goods stores .... ..... Sporting goods, hobby, book, and music stores ... Sporting goods and musical instrument stores .... Book, periodical, and music stores ........... ... ... ... 73.7 68.6 80.8 77.1 89.0 73.1 64.5 85.6 82.8 91 .8 78.2 65.0 83.8 79.8 92.5 79.2 77.1 84.0 80.6 91.6 88.3 85.0 87.2 83.9 94.5 93.7 94.1 93.0 92.3 94.5 452 4521 4529 453 4531 General merchandise stores ... .... ... ... ..... ...... ... . Department stores ..... .. .... ... .. .... ..... ... .... .. ... .. ... Other general merchandise stores ......... ..... .... .. . Miscellaneous store retailers ..... .. ............... .... .. Florists ..... .. ... ........................... ... .. ..... .. ....... . 75.3 84 .0 61 .4 70 .6 75.1 79.0 88.3 64.8 68.0 75.9 83.0 91.6 69.7 74.2 85.1 88.5 95.0 77.8 79.1 91.4 90.6 95.1 82.6 87.0 85.4 4532 4533 4539 454 4541 4542 4543 Office supplies, stationery and gift stores ..... ..... .. Used merchandise stores .... ... ... ... .. .... .. ...... ..... Other miscellaneous store retailers ............. .. ... .. Non store retailers ......... ...... ..... .. .. ... ........... ... . Electronic shopping and mail-order houses ... .. ... . Vending machine operators ..................... ..... ... Direct selling establishments ... .... ... .. ........ ....... . 64.6 84.9 79.6 54 .4 43.5 97.1 70.0 66.3 83.1 69.2 55.0 46.7 95.4 67.6 71.5 89.7 74.7 63.4 50.6 95.1 82.1 75.8 88.9 80.5 66.7 58.3 92.8 79.7 481 482111 48412 491 Transportation and warehousing Air transportation ... .... ... ........ ..... .. ... ....... .. ...... Line-haul railroads .. ... .............. ........ .... .. ..... ... General freight trucking, long-distance .... ... ... .. ... . U.S. Postal service .. .... ......... ....... .... .. ......... .... 77.5 69.8 88.5 96.1 78.2 75.3 92.4 95.8 81.4 82.3 97.5 96.5 5111 5112 51213 5151 5152 5171 5172 5175 Information Newspaper, book, and directory publishers ..... .. .. Software publishers ................. ....... ...... .......... Motion picture and video exhibition .. ..... .... ..... .... Radio and television broadcasting ... ............. .. ... Cable and other subscription programming ........ . Wired telecommunications carriers ... .. ...... ... ..... . Wireless telecommunications carriers ..... ... .... ... . Cable and other program distribution .. ··· ··· ····· ···· 97.4 28.6 109.4 96.1 98.8 64.8 76.3 99.1 96.1 30.6 108.9 97.8 94.3 68.4 73.8 94.3 52211 Finance and insurance Commercial banking ... ....... ... .. ... .. ... .. ... ........... 80.5 532111 53212 Real estate and rental and leasing Passenger car rental. .. ..... ... ..... .............. ..... ... . Truck, trailer and RV rental and leasing ........... .... 541213 54181 1999 2000 2001 2002 113.7 103.5 103.7 104.3 99.6 113.8 108.2 105.1 104.9 105.6 115.3 119.4 107.6 107.5 110.8 119.8 121.2 110.3 110.3 114.2 105.8 99.8 111 .1 110.4 111 .8 104.1 105.6 105.4 106.9 110.6 112.8 111.4 106.5 120.3 112.7 109.8 123.5 118.8 117.5 129.0 100.0 106.7 113.3 120.9 125.2 132.7 102.4 97.3 94.7 92.5 99.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 97 .8 107.0 108.7 112.9 101 .0 104.9 118.3 114.9 120.4 104.7 109.6 128.0 121.1 128.3 108.0 115.8 122.5 125.4 130.4 116.0 120.0 121.5 132.9 137.9 123.8 92.2 94.7 87.6 89.5 83.5 96.9 98.4 94.3 95.0 96.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.0 100.6 113.4 108.3 101.2 113.1 104.5 129.8 109.8 117.3 119.9 106.3 145.9 111 .3 116.0 124.2 104.0 162.1 108.4 108.6 130.5 104.7 177.5 115.6 120.7 87.5 87.3 89.7 73.8 62.9 94.1 89.2 90.9 90.2 90.5 80.9 71 .9 89.3 94.7 91.8 97.4 98.0 91.6 84.4 96.9 102.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 113.0 113.5 105.0 111 .3 118.2 114.1 96.2 118.0 109.8 101 .6 125.4 141 .5 118.1 96.3 124.1 115.7 99.6 142.8 159.8 127.1 104.3 125.1 115.0 93.2 146.9 110.4 98.7 140.3 121.4 92.8 169.6 209.8 113.3 110.2 84.7 85.7 95.6 99.0 90.8 88.6 98.1 98.5 95.3 92.0 95.4 98.3 98.8 98.4 95.7 96.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 97.6 102.1 99.1 101.4 98.2 105.5 102.0 102.4 98.2 114.3 105.5 104.9 91 .9 121 .9 104.2 106.1 103.2 131 .9 109.4 107.0 95.8 42.7 104.1 102.8 96.0 74.5 85.6 95.9 95.3 51 .7 104.6 101.4 93.6 79.7 94.8 93.5 93.0 64.6 103.4 106.0 92.0 85.1 97.1 91 .9 93.5 73.0 99.9 106.1 94.4 90.6 98.3 94.2 92.7 88.0 100.0 104.1 93.7 97 .5 103.0 93.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 104.5 115.9 99.9 99.1 129.3 105.5 114.2 95.7 108.5 113.0 102.0 99.4 133.2 112.7 134.3 94.5 110.1 103.9 106.5 98.4 135.7 119.9 139.0 90.4 106.4 101 .9 104.7 94.3 125.3 121.0 172.7 87.6 108.1 106.7 104.4 100.4 131.4 130.6 192.0 93.5 83.2 83.3 90.3 92 .9 96.0 99.3 100.0 98.0 101 .5 104.2 101.6 103.8 89.8 70.7 97.8 71 .7 104.4 69.5 106.1 75.8 107.9 82.0 101.1 90.3 108.9 96.7 100.0 100.0 101.2 93.7 113.1 97.8 112.0 95.9 112.1 93.6 113.3 91 .4 Professional, scientific, and technical services Tax preparation services ..... ..... .. .. .. .......... ....... . Advert1s1ng agencies .. .. ............. .. .. ... .... ....... ... .. 92.4 105.0 84.7 99.7 99.5 111.9 119.1 111.3 119.9 106.8 96.2 101.4 92.1 102.1 100.0 100.0 105.1 95.8 99.2 110.1 91.8 116.6 78.2 116./ 92.1 123.9 7211 122 7221 7222 7223 7224 Accomodatlon and food services Traveler accommodations ... .. .. ··· ····· ·· ··· ··· ··· ····· Food services and drinking places .. ... ...... ..... .. ... Full-service restaurants .... .... ...... ... ... ..... ..... ... .. Limited-service eating places ... ...... ... .. .. ....... .... t;pec1a1 food services ........ ..... ... .. .... ... ...... ... .... Drinking places, alcoholic beverages ...... ... ....... .. 82.9 102.9 99.1 103.3 107.2 125.7 85.4 102.3 98.3 103.3 106.9 121.2 92.9 101 .7 97.5 102.7 106.4 121.5 93.0 102.3 97.7 105.6 103.8 112.7 97.0 100.8 97.8 103.6 101.1 102.6 99.2 100.6 96.6 104.7 99.3 104.4 100.1 99.2 96.3 102.2 9/.6 102.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.2 100.0 102.4 102.1 100.0 103.6 101 .1 99.2 102.5 106.0 99.4 107.7 103.5 100.8 105.1 111./ 100.4 102.0 103.7 100.8 106.6 108.4 98.2 104.1 104.9 102.0 107.1 108.1 107.2 8111 81211 81221 8123 81292 Other services (except public administration) Automotive repair and maintenance .. ... ....... ....... Hair, nail and skin care services .... ...... .... ... ... ... . Funeral homes and funeral services .... .. ... ........ . Drycleaning and laundry services .. .... .... .... ... ..... Photofinishing .... .... .. ........ ... ... ........ .. ... ........... 92.8 81.6 96.1 95.6 117.3 86.5 79.8 94.3 93.2 115.6 90.0 85.6 104.7 94.9 116.2 91.2 84.3 100.4 93.8 123.6 96.7 88.7 103.6 95.9 124.9 102.9 92.4 100.4 98.8 114.7 98.9 97.1 97.9 101.6 103.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.0 102.7 103.8 105.0 99.4 106.9 103.6 100.4 109.5 106.9 108.6 103.0 94.5 113.7 107.6 109.3 109.5 93.9 121 .1 115.0 103.7 104.2 90.9 120.2 133.6 17/.b NOTE: Dash indicates data are not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monthly Labor Review February 2005 143 Current Labor Statistics: International Comparison 52. Unemployment rates, approximating U.S. concepts, in nine countries, quarterly data seasonally adjusted Annual average Country 2002 United States ... .. ... Canada ... ............ . Australia .. ..... .... .... 5.8 7.0 6.4 2003 6.0 6.9 6.1 2002 Ill 2003 IV II I 2004 Ill IV 5.7 7.0 6.3 5.9 6.9 6.2 5.8 6.7 6.2 6.1 6.9 6.2 6.1 7.2 6.1 II I 5.9 6.8 5.8 5.6 6.7 5.7 Ill 5.6 6.6 5.6 6.4 5.6 Japan ....... .. ... ... ... 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.7 France ................. 8.7 9.3 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 Germany ...... ...... .. 8.6 9.3 8.7 8.9 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.9 10.0 9.1 5.1 5.2 8.8 5.8 5.0 9.1 5.1 5.2 9.0 9.0 5.2 5.1 5.~ 8.8 5.6 5.0 8.7 5.8 5.0 8.6 6.2 4.9 8.6 6.6 4.8 ltaly 1 ••• •••••••• •••••••• Sweden 2 • •••••••••••••• United Kinadom ... .. 1 5.1 4.8 - 6.8 4.8 6.6 4.7 Quarterly rates are for the first month of the quarter. "Notes on the data" for information on breaks in series. For further Preliminary data for 2003. qualifications and historical data, see Comparative Civilian Labor Force Statistics. Ten Countries, 1959-2003 (Bureau of Labor NOTE: Quarterly figures for France and Germany are calculated Statistics, June 23, 2004), on the Internet at by applying annual adjustment factors to current published data, http://www.bls.gov/flsJhome.htm. and therefore should be viewed as less precise indicators of Monthly and quarterly unemployment rates, updated monthly, are unemployment under U.S. concepts than the annual figures. See also on this site. 144 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 53. Annual data: employment status of the working-age population, approximating U.S. concepts, 1O countries [Numbers in thousands] Emolovment status and countrv 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 131,056 14,400 132,304 14,517 133,943 14,669 136,297 14,958 137,673 15,237 139,368 15,536 142,583 15,789 143,734 144,863 16,027 146,510 16,819 Clvlllan labor force United States .. .. .. ... ... ... .... ... ........ .. ...... ..... .. .... .. . Canada ............ .. ...... ..... .... ................. ............ . Australia ............. ... .. .. ................. .. ... ... .. ... .. ..... . Japan ............ ............... ................ .... .. .. ... .... ... . 129,200 14,308 8,613 8,770 8,995 9,115 9,204 9,339 9,414 9,590 9,752 16,475 9,907 65,470 65,780 65,990 66,450 67,200 67,240 67,090 66,990 66,870 66,240 66,010 France .......... .. ........ ............................... ... .. ... . 24,480 24,670 24,760 25,010 25,130 25,460 25,790 39,102 39,074 38,980 39,142 39,415 39,754 26,350 39,459 26,590 39,413 22,570 22,450 22,460 22,570 22,680 22,960 39,375 23,130 26,070 39,302 26,730 Germany ........ ... .............................................. . Italy .... .. .. ....................................................... . Netherlands .......... ... ......... .. ...... ..... ....... ... .... .... . 23,340 23,540 23,750 23,880 8,330 Sweden ... ....... .............. ...... .... .. ... .................. . '.J,,it'ld Kingdom ...... ....... .................. .... ... .. ... ..... . Participation rate 10,092 39,276 7,010 7,150 7,210 7,300 7,540 7,620 7,850 8,150 8,340 8,300 4,444 4,418 4,460 4,459 4,418 4,402 4,430 4,489 4,530 4,544 4,567 28,165 28,149 28,157 28,260 28,417 28,479 28,769 28,930 29,053 29,288 29,490 1 United States ................................................... . Canada ....... .... .... ......... ... .. .... .. . .... .. .. .. ...... ...... . 66.3 66.6 66.6 66.8 67.1 67.1 67.1 67.1 66.8 66.6 66.2 65.5 65.2 64.9 64.7 65.0 65.4 65.8 65.9 66.0 66.8 67.3 Australia ................ .. ... .......................... ... .... ... . Japan ............ ..... .. .. .... ............. ........... .... ... ... .. . France ......... .. .................................... ............ . 63.5 63.9 64.5 64.6 64.3 64.3 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.6 63.3 63.1 62.9 63.0 63.2 62.8 64.0 62.4 62.0 61.6 60 .8 60.3 55.4 55.5 55.4 55.6 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.6 56.8 57.0 57.0 Germany .... .... ....... .. .... ... ...... .. .. ... ... .. ..... ... .... .. . Italy ..... .. ...... ... ....... .... ........ ... .... .... ............... .. . Netherlands... ... ... ....... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........ . 57 .8 57.4 57.1 57.1 57.3 57.7 56.8 56.6 56.6 56.3 56.1 47.9 47.3 47.1 47.1 47.2 47.8 48.1 48.3 48.6 48.8 57.9 64.5 58.6 58.8 64.1 59.2 64.0 60 .8 63.3 62.6 63.7 47 .6 61.1 62.8 64.5 63.8 65.8 63.7 65.0 64.0 64.6 64.0 62.7 62 .6 62.4 62.4 62.6 62.5 62.8 62 .9 62.9 62 .7 62.9 62 .9 Sweden ................... ...... ... ....... ....................... . United Kingdom .......... .......................... ........... . Employed United States .. .. .. .. ... ....... ........ . .. ... .. ... .............. . 120,259 123,060 124,900 126,708 129,558 131,463 133,488 136,891 136,933 136,485 137,736 Canada .... .. ... ... ..................... ...... ..... .. .. ... ... .... . Australia .... .. .. .. ........................................ .... ... . 12,770 13,027 13,271 13,380 13,705 14,068 14,456 14,827 14,997 15,325 15,660 7,699 7,942 8,256 8,364 8,444 8,618 8,762 8,989 9,091 9,271 9,481 Japan ......... ... ... .. .. ... ... ....... ..... .... ...... .............. . France ................................................... .. 63,810 63,860 63,890 64,200 64,900 64,450 63,920 63,790 63,470 62,650 62,510 21,710 21 ,750 21,960 22,040 22,170 22,600 23,050 23,690 24,140 24,280 24,250 Germany ...... .. .. ...... .. ... .. ........ .. ........ ... ... .. .. ...... . Italy .. ... ... .. .......... .. .... .... .. ... .. ... ..... .. . Netherlands ................................................ ..... . 35,989 35,756 35,637 35,508 36,061 36,042 36,236 36,350 20,270 19,940 35,780 19,820 19,920 19,990 20,210 20,460 20,840 21,270 36,018 21,580 21,790 35,615 6,570 6,660 6,730 6,860 7,160 7,320 7,600 7,910 8,130 8,070 8,010 4,028 3,992 4,056 4,019 3,973 4,034 4,117 4,229 4,303 4,310 25,242 25,429 25,718 25,964 26,433 26,696 27,048 27,350 27,570 27 ,768 4,303 28,011 United States .. ... ... .. ...... ... ........................ .... .... . 61 .7 62 .5 62.9 63.2 63.8 64.1 64.3 64.4 63.7 62.7 62.3 Canada .............................. .... ........................ . Australia ... .... ....... ....... .... ........ ... ... ... ............... . 58.5 59.0 57.8 59.4 59.2 59.1 59.7 60.4 61 .3 62.1 61 .9 62.4 59.3 59.0 61 .0 59.3 60.2 59.6 60.3 60.1 63.0 60.7 59.4 49.0 49.7 50 .3 59.0 51.4 58.4 52 .0 60 .3 57 .5 Sweden .... ........................... ......... .................. . United Kingdom ... ... .... .. ........... ..... ................... .. Employment-population ratio 2 56.8 61 .7 61.3 60.9 49.1 49.0 49.1 60 .9 49.0 53.2 52.6 52.4 52.0 51 .6 52 .3 52.0 52.2 Italy .............. ... .............. .. ..... .. .. ...... .. .. ...... .... . "'etherlands ... .................... ... ....... . .... ..... ........ .. Sweden .......................................................... . 43.0 42.0 41 .5 41.6 41.6 41.9 42.3 54.2 54 .6 54.9 55.7 57.8 58.7 58.5 57.6 58.3 57 .7 56.9 United Kingdom ......... ... .............. .............. ..... . . 56.2 56.5 57.0 57.4 58.2 United States ......... .. ........... ............... .. ... .. ....... . Canada ..................... ......... .. .............. .. .... .. . 8,940 7,996 7,404 7,236 1,539 1,373 1,246 1,289 Australia ................... ... ..... .............. . ............ ... . Japan .................... ...... ...... ... ... .. .. .... .............. . 914 829 739 1,660 1,920 2,770 3,113 2,300 Japan ................................................. . France .................. ...... .... .... ... ... .. ... .... ... .. ....... . Germany ........ ....... .... ..... .... .... .. .. .... .. ... ... .. ...... . 57.1 52.0 51 .7 52.2 51.5 50.9 42.9 43.6 44.1 44.6 62.6 64 .2 60.1 60.5 63.2 60.7 62 .1 57.6 60.6 58.4 58.6 59.1 59.4 59.5 59.6 59.8 6,739 6,210 5,880 5,692 6,801 8,378 8,774 1,252 1,169 1,080 962 1,031 1,150 1,159 751 759 721 652 602 661 636 611 2,100 2,250 2,300 2,790 3,170 3,200 3,400 3,590 3,500 2,920 3,318 2,510 2,800 3,200 2,640 2,970 3,505 2,650 2,960 3,907 2,690 2,870 3,693 2,750 2,740 3,333 2,670 2,380 3,065 2,500 2,210 3,110 2,270 2,310 3,396 2,160 2,480 3,661 2,100 440 490 426 2,716 480 404 370 445 1,985 300 368 1,783 250 313 1,721 240 260 1,580 210 227 1,483 230 234 2,439 440 440 2,297 320 416 2,916 1,520 4.7 6.4 5.8 7.0 6.0 60.3 Unemployed France .. .. ...... ... ... ... ...... ........ ... .. ......... .. ...... ... .. . Germany ... ....... .... .... .. ....... .... ..... .. .... . Italy ............. ....... ... ............................... .. .. .. ... . Netherlands ..................................................... . Sweden ............... .. ..... .. ..... ...... ...... .. . United Kingdom ..................................... . 264 1,479 Unemployment rate United States .......................................... . Canada .......................................................... . Australia ... .. ....... .... .......... ... .. .............. ....... ..... . Japan ... ..... ........ ... ..... .. .... .... ................. ....... ... . France ................................................. .... .. ..... . Germany .. ..... .... .. ............................................ . Italy .... .. .. .... .. .... ....... ... ........... ... ... .. ...... .......... . Netherlands ... .... .. ........................... ....... .......... . Sweden ....... ....... ..... ... ........ .... .. ...... ................ . United Kingdom .................................... . 1 6.9 6.1 5.6 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 10.8 9.5 8.6 8.8 8.4 7.7 7.0 6.1 10.6 9.4 8.2 8.2 8.3 7.7 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 2.5 2.9 3.4 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.3 11 .8 3.4 11.8 4.1 11 .3 3.2 11 .3 6.3 4.8 11.3 10.6 9.1 8.4 8.7 9.3 8.0 8.5 8.2 10.2 11.2 6.3 9.9 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.9 8.6 9.3 11 .8 9.0 11 .7 11 .9 12.0 11 .5 10.7 9.6 9.1 8.8 6.9 6.7 6.0 4.9 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.8 3.8 9.4 9.6 9.1 9.9 10.1 8.4 7.1 5.8 5.0 5.1 5.8 10.4 9.6 8.7 8.1 7.0 6.3 6.0 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.0 Labor force as a percent of the working-age population . 2 Employment as a percent .of the working-age population. NOTE: See "Notes on the data" for information on breaks in series. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 .9 6.9 For further qualifications and historical data, see Comparative Civilian Labor Force Statistics, Ten Countries, 1959-2003 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 23, 2004) , on the Internet at: http://www.bls.gov/fls/home.htm. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 145 Current Labor Statistics: International Comparison Table 54. Annual indexes of manufacturing productivity and related measures, 15 economies [1992 = 100] Measure and economy 1960 1970 1980 1990 1991 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Output per hour United States .. .. .. .... ...... ..... ...... Canada .. . ..... ................ ........ ... 37.8 0.0 54.9 70.5 72.9 69.5 63.6 97.9 95.3 96.4 99.0 91 .6 96.5 99.1 100.3 97.0 98.3 96.1 99.0 98.2 95.5 93.9 102.1 105.8 106.1 101 .7 108.5 102.8 102.5 100.2 101.0 101.8 101.2 102.0 99.6 107.3 103.8 107.3 110.8 104.9 103.3 118.2 106.7 108.4 112.6 108.9 109.6 104.8 113.1 99.6 117.8 108.0 113.8 112.4 105.8 111 .0 129.3 115.1 113.2 112.5 114.4 112.3 107.9 117.3 100.7 124.5 106.2 117.0 109.7 113.6 116.1 142.3 123.1 116.3 109.8 114.7 114.7 108.3 119.3 102.5 129.5 105.4 121 .3 113.5 115.2 121.0 160.4 129.3 125.5 118.0 121.7 120.4 110.3 121.4 102.0 141.0 106.9 126.5 115.5 118.5 121 .2 178.8 135.9 126.9 117.4 127.9 122.0 110.8 124.1 99 .9 149.5 108.4 132.8 122.1 119.9 126.7 198.9 143.4 125.5 123.1 133.0 121.4 110.6 127.0 103.6 162.7 113.6 143.5 129.3 128.0 135.9 215.8 151.0 130.8 126.6 142.5 127.0 113.5 132.7 106.6 175.5 121 .0 145.2 127.0 132.4 135.9 214 .3 160.8 132.6 127.2 148.0 127.8 114.0 132.5 109.8 170.3 125.1 160.0 130.5 136.2 139.9 235.2 170.9 141.7 131.3 155.1 131.0 112.1 135.4 111.7 185.6 127.7 171 .0 132.1 140.7 146.2 256.4 177.2 146.2 136.9 158.0 134.4 110.9 1(13.5 105.9 103.8 96.3 105.4 102.4 97.0 97.0 95.7 92.4 96.5 97 .7 101.7 101.9 101.5 111.1 114.1 109.1 94.9 116.8 108.5 101.4 107.3 100.3 95.1 102.4 104.5 104.6 117.0 106.2 118.4 119.6 108.7 98.9 129.9 114.9 104.2 112.6 104.9 95.2 107.2 108.2 107.3 131.9 107.8 121.3 119.6 112.6 103.0 138.3 120.3 105.9 107.7 104.6 92.5 105.4 108.9 110.3 136.4 108.6 127.9 127.7 115.1 106.5 145.0 128.3 112.7 115.9 109.7 95.7 108.8 111 .6 114.2 146.5 110.7 133.1 133.9 118.6 100.2 133.5 132.6 114.4 116.7 115.0 97 .7 110.7 114.9 113.7 158.3 111 .3 138.9 144.9 118.3 101.9 162.6 141.5 114.4 117.9 118.7 95.8 110.3 117.6 113.6 172.5 112.1 147.6 159.2 123.8 109.2 190.2 151 .8 119.9 121.9 124.3 100.1 113.6 122.8 112.8 188.3 115.0 139.6 153.6 123.8 105.5 194.3 143.1 120.4 121.6 128.0 99.9 113.0 121.9 112.3 183.1 113.4 142.9 158.0 128.7 103.4 209. 1 152.1 121.6 120.8 129.1 99.6 111.7 121 .0 111.5 190.6 109.9 145.4 157.3 130.2 106.7 219.1 160.9 120.9 121.4 128.5 99.8 110.2 117.6 107.3 194.4 110.3 Australia .. .... .... .... ...... ...... ....... . Japan .... .... ..... .. .. .. ....... ... ........ Korea ............... ...................... Taiwan ............. .. ..... . ..... .... ..... Belgium ...... .. .... .... ... ......... .... .. Denmark .... ........ ...... .... ... .. ... .. . France ....... ..... ... ............... ...... Germany ........ .... .... ...... ... .. .. .... Italy .............. ......... ... ... .. .. .... ... Netherlands ........... .... ..... ........ . Norway ........... .... ................... . Sweden ........... ...... ... .... ... .. .. ... United Kingdom ... .. ................... Output United States .. . ................. ..... .. Canada ..... .. .. .. ...... ..... .... .... ... .. Australia .... ... ........... ...... ......... . Japan .... .......... ......... .... .. ........ Korea ......... ...... ... ....... .. ........ .. Taiwan .... .. ..... ....... .... ..... ........ Belgium .. .......... .. ... .... .......... ... Denmark .. ...... .. .. ...... ... ..... ..... .. Fran ce ... .. ............ .... ............... Germany ............... .. . ......... ...... Italy ...... ..... .. ...... .......... .... ...... N&mer1a; •ds ... .. ... ..................... Norway ........ ..... .......... .. ........ .. Sweden ................. .. .. .. ... ...... . . United Kingdom ..... .. .. ........ ... ... . Total hours United States ....... .. ..... ...... ... .... Canada ... ..... .. ......................... Australia ..... .. ... ........ ......... ...... Japan ..... ..... .. ... ..... ........ .... ..... Korea .. ... ............... ......... ..... ... Taiwan ... ....... .. .... ...... ...... ..... ... Belgium .... ................... ...... ..... Denmark ........... .... ....... .... ..... .. France ............. ............ .......... . Germany ........... ...... .. ... .... ..... .. Italy ... ....... ...... .. .............. ....... Netherlands .. ... ... .......... .... .. ..... Norway ... ..... ............. .............. Sweden .......... ... .... .... ... .......... United Kingdom ... .... .. ... .. .......... Hourly compensation (national currency basis) United States ...... ................... .. Canada ... ... ........ ................. ... Australia .... ...... ........................ Japan ..... ........... ...... .. .... .. ... .... Korea .. ... ...... ... . ........... .... ... .... Taiwan .................... ........... ..... Belgium ...... .... ............ .. .... ..... . De;-; ~:J,i<.. .... .... .. ..... .. ..... ..... ... . France ........ .... ... .. ... ........ .. ..... . Germany ...... .......................... . Italy ...... .... ..... ... .. ... ........ ..... ... Netherlands ... ........ ...... .. .. ..... ... Norway .... ... .. .. .. .. ... ..... ........... . Sweden .................. ........... ..... United Kingdom ........... ............. See notes at end of table. - - 13.9 37.7 - - - - 18.0 25.2 19.9 29.2 24 .6 18.8 37.6 27 .3 30.0 32.S 46.3 39.0 52.0 46 .2 38.5 59.1 52.2 43.2 47.6 65.4 83.2 61 .6 77.2 78 .6 69 .1 77.9 73 .1 54.3 96.9 93.4 91.6 94.4 81 .5 88.8 96.8 98.4 93.9 99.0 96.6 98 .7 98.1 94.6 89.2 75.8 83.6 89.8 60.8 29.9 44.0 78.2 94.3 81 .6 85.3 84.4 76.9 104.9 90.7 87 .2 101.6 106.0 104.1 97.1 86.7 90.0 101.0 101.7 99.1 99.1 99.4 99.0 101 .4 110.1 105.3 98 .3 99.C 100.7 102.0 95.0 96.1 100.7 100.7 99.8 102.3 99.3 99.8 99.0 104.1 100.1 107.5 114.6 129.2 95.5 104.8 113.5 113.6 102.9 106.5 101.4 104.3 103.3 105.6 100.1 102.9 100.3 103.4 116.4 118.1 100.4 103.9 104.4 103.1 103.7 99.6 101 .5 100.5 102.9 104.1 103.3 100.8 100.8 109.0 I 101.4 100.1 97.8 94 .7 97.1 99.6 94 .7 96.7 94.7 90.8 95.4 95.8 102.1 94.9 106.6 1 97.7 103.6 103.0 103.9 91 .9 98.8 101 .7 93.6 95.2 92.1 86.8 97.7 92.4 105.0 99.4 98.4 104.0 106.4 102.8 89.1 100.4 99.8 92.0 100.1 91.7 84.8 99.4 92.3 106.6 105.9 101.5 103.6 109.0 99.1 88.7 97.2 97.7 91 .0 98.1 91.2 80.6 97.3 91.2 107.6 105.3 103.1 105.4 112.4 100.0 88.0 90.4 99.2 89.8 98.2 90.2 79.5 98.6 91.9 112.0 103.9 103.5 105.2 115.9 100.1 82 .7 74.7 97 .6 90.2 99.4 89.9 80.1 99.9 92.6 113.7 105.9 102.7 104.6 118.7 98.7 80.4 81.8 98.7 91.2 95.8 89.2 78 .9 99 .8 92.6 109.6 106.0 98 .7 102.9 123.1 96.7 80.3 88.1 100.5 91.7 96.3 87.2 78.8 100.1 92.5 105.9 107.3 95.0 96.2 120.9 93.5 77.7 90.7 89.0 90.8 95.6 86.5 78.2 99.1 92.0 102.3 107.5 90.7 89.3 121 .1 94.5 74.0 88.9 89.0 85.8 92.0 83.2 76.1 99.7 89.4 99.8 102.7 86.0 85.0 119.1 92 .5 73 .0 85.4 90.8 82.7 88.7 81 .3 74.3 99 .3 90.8 88 .3 86.3 90.6 68.6 85.2 90.1 93.5 90.9 89.4 87.6 89.8 92 .3 87.8 82 .9 95.6 95.0 94.0 96.5 86 .2 93.5 97.3 97.9 96.4 91.5 94.2 94.8 97.5 95.5 93.8 105.6 103.7 104.3 104.7 129.8 111.1 106.1 106.0 106.5 111 .8 106.8 109.0 104.4 99.8 107.3 107.9 106.0 113.2 108.3 158.3 120.2 109.2 108.1 110.4 117.6 111.3 112.1 109.2 106.8 108.8 109.4 107.0 122.8 109.1 184.3 128.2 111.1 112.8 112.2 123.3 119.0 114.4 113.6 115.2 111.4 111 .5 109.3 124.6 112.6 200.3 132.4 115.2 116.6 111 .8 125.7 123.0 117.2 118.7 121 .0 115.7 117.4 111.7 128.2 115.4 218.2 140.3 117.0 119.6 112.7 127.6 122.2 122.0 125.7 125.6 123.0 122.0 115.8 133.0 114.8 219 .4 144.3 118.5 127.3 116.6 130.6 124.2 126.0 133.0 130.3 129.9 133.2 119.6 140.0 113.7 234.2 146.6 120.6 130.2 122.8 137.4 127.8 132.0 140.5 136.8 137.6 136.3 123.7 149.5 114.6 241 .7 150.0 127.2 136.5 128.3 142.0 132.5 138.2 148.9 143.8 144.3 145.4 126.8 154.7 122.8 266.1 145.8 136.5 143.2 135.2 145.5 135.7 147.3 157.9 148.8 152.2 157.8 131.4 - - 33.4 58.9 - - 10.8 30.7 42.0 27.9 41 .5 23.0 31 .9 57.7 45.9 67.5 39.4 7.0 12.7 57.6 72.7 57.7 70.9 48.1 59.8 91.0 80.7 90.2 92.1 88.3 104.4 107.1 - - ·- 77.8 1(}1.3 - - 170.7 166.7 140.3 142.3 93.5 169.8 153.6 168.3 224.6 174.7 157.1 147.8 136.3 104.0 155.5 153.9 154.7 208.8 92.4 119.7 113.4 132.5 110.5 107.4 111.2 134.7 124.0 160.5 14.9 10.0 23.7 17.1 55.6 47.5 - - - - 4.3 16.4 58.6 - - 5.4 3.9 4.3 8.1 1.8 6.2 4.7 4.1 2.9 13.7 11.1 10.5 20.7 5.3 19.4 11 .8 10.7 6.1 146 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 29.6 52.5 45.1 41 .2 53 .6 30.4 60.5 39.0 37.3 32.0 February 2005 102.7 102.0 105.9 102.7 114.3 105.9 104.8 102.4 103.1 106.4 105.7 104.5 101.5 97.4 104.5 113.5 196.5 134.8 94 .5 98.9 81.9 123.8 290.9 146.7 150.0 139.1 148.9 140.0 164.6 154.3 160.3 Table 54. Continued-- Annual indc-xes of manufacturing productivity and related measures, 15 economies 1960 1970 1980 1990 1991 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Measure and economy Unit labor costs (national currency basis) United States .. ......................... Canada ..... .. .... ....... ................ Australia ...... ... ... ..... ........ ........ Japan ..................................... Korea ................................. .... Taiwan .......... .... ... ... ....... ..... ... . Belgium ........... .... ..... ........ ...... Denmc1rk ................ ....... .. ... .... . France ............................ ........ Germany ................ .... ....... .. .. .. Italy ...................... .... .... .......... Netherlands ............................. Norway .. .................... ............. Sweden ................... .......... .. ... United Kingdom .. ...................... Unit labor costs (U.S. dollar basis) United States ................. .......... Canada ................................... Australia ................... ............ ... Japan ..................................... Korea ...... ... ............ ..... .. ......... Taiwan .................. ............. .... - - 26.4 31 .1 - - - 31 .1 43.6 92.1 - - 23.8 41.7 23.9 26.8 39.8 11.4 50.4 20.0 20.6 14.1 62.2 80 .3 54.2 67.0 69.4 38.7 87.6 50.0 51 .0 59.0 - - 32 .9 36.0 78.8 67.4 30 .1 15.3 21.7 27.8 7.2 32.9 12.6 15.0 9.8 - - - 11.0 15.4 51.5 - - 14.9 27.0 Belgium .................................. 19.4 19.~ Denmark ...... ........... ................ 13.4 25.7 France .............. ...................... 23.4 17.1 Germany ..... ..... ................. .... .. 10.4 22.3 Italy ........ ............ ........ .... .. .. ... . 14.3 24.5 Netherlands ......... .. .............. .... 15.3 17.4 Norway ................... ...... .......... 11.0 23.1 Sweden .................................. 16.9 19.1 United Kingdom ...................... .. 15.6 NOTE: Data for Germany for years before 1991 are https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 78.8 65.2 43.4 88.3 58.1 83.9 59.6 55.7 77.5 62.9 70.2 77.6 for the 93.7 94.6 94.2 95.9 84.2 95.9 93.0 95.0 96.8 90 .3 90 .7 91.1 94.2 92 .9 93.0 100.6 97.6 96.4 99.6 99.8 97.5 101 .0 97.5 105.4 94.1 103.0 96.8 i 102.3 98.1 102.2 97.6 102.0 99.3 104.5 93.1 104.5 98.0 102.4 95.7 101.9 99.2 90.8 100.0 100.7 100.0 98.5 93.6 99.4 101 .4 109.8 104.1 97.9 94.2 97.8 102.0 101.9 96.4 104.8 84.7 99.4 98.5 100.6 97.6 93.7 82.8 105.1 90.3 98.0 98.9 92.3 103.3 100.1 125.8 115.3 91.8 83.9 106.8 102.6 100.3 93.0 99.0 98.1 91.1 89.7 94.2 95.1 92.3 89.5 95.1 89.4 92.0 92.7 93.4 95.3 94.1 93.1 98.2 98.7 87.5 87.3 77.9 81.8 97.3 93.3 93.2 96.9 90.0 87.9 92.3 89.2 95.0 93.6 64.0 67.8 91.3 96.3 85.6 86.2 100.0 93.9 former West Germany. Data for 1991 94.8 94.3 107.0 97.5 122.4 104.5 96.4 96.1 96.5 104.7 103.2 95.6 108.4 85.8 102.5 93.5 97.5 108.1 94.0 129.6 104.1 95.5 102.8 97.8 107.5 109.8 95.9 110.8 89.0 105.7 91.9 96.2 108.2 93.0 124.9 102.3 91.8 98.8 91 .9 104.5 111.4 96.5 116.4 85.8 108.2 92.8 96.7 108.2 95.2 122.0 103.2 92.2 101.9 88.1 104.6 110.3 98.3 125.7 84.0 113.5 91.9 94.9 110.9 90.6 110.3 100.7 94.4 103.4 87.6 107.6 112.3 99.1 128.4 80.1 114.3 91 .9 92.8 91 .9 93.5 94.8 77.2 78.8 84.0 86.4 83.0 97.3 92.6 109.4 115.1 107.8 101 .0 97.4 92.2 109.5 131.6 68.4 72.7 103.4 126.3 124.3 78.3 77.4 89.5 95.4 99.2 81 .6 80.2 82 .4 99.1 105.2 89.3 91 .7 90.2 107.0 103.6 75.3 79.1 83.3 101.2 102.5 91 .5 92.9 94.0 111 .6 114.2 78.2 76.2 80.6 87.7 78.0 84.3 87.2 87.0 100.0 104.8 102.2 103.5 102.1 106.6 106.4 56.4 61 .5 65.4 77.3 70.0 106.5 104.7 100.4 93.4 91.6 onward are for unified Germany. Dash indicates 2002 2003 90.9 97.2 113.5 87.8 113.1 85.3 96.4 109.0 87.2 111 .1 121 .1 92 .3 99.4 92.8 92.5 109.4 83.6 108.5 97.1 92.2 102.8 86.2 108.1 112.6 99.5 131.9 77.9 113.7 93.9 97.4 112.9 84.4 112.8 93.3 95.9 107.3 86.6 111 .2 116.2 104.3 135.6 84.4 115.4 92.8 75.2 86.5 98.4 75.3 78.1 67.8 76.7 64.2 79.7 66.2 73.3 93.0 49.5 97.6 data not 90.9 93.9 74.8 76.0 84.0 79.4 88.9 88.0 71 .0 68.5 62 .1 69.4 72 .6 68.4 83.5 77.8 66.5 62.6 79.5 83.9 72.9 66.2 82.1 74.5 110.0 93.7 48.1 47.6 101 .4 94.0 available Monthly Labor Review 108.8 141 .3 80.2 119.2 February 84.7 113.5 82.7 109.6 88.0 110.8 126.2 112.6 144.9 78.6 118.9 2005 92 .3 85.8 92.6 74.7 60.5 100.6 80.4 100.1 90.9 101.7 127.2 56.6 110.0 147 Current Labor Statistics: Injury and Illness 55. Occupational injury and Illness rates by Industry, 1 United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers3 Industry and type of case2 1989 1 1990 1991 1992 1993 4 1994 4 1995 4 1996 4 1997 4 1998 4 1999 4 2000 4 2001 4 PRIVATE SECTORS Total cases .. ... ... ... .... ... ... ... .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... ....... ...... ... ....... . Lost workday cases ......... ................ ....................... ...... .. .............. . Lost workdays ............................................................................. . 8.6 4.0 78.7 8.8 4.1 84.0 8.4 3.9 86.5 8.9 3.9 93.8 8.5 3.8 8.4 3.8 8.1 3.6 7.4 3.4 7.1 3.3 6.7 3.1 6.3 3.0 6.1 3.0 5.7 2.8 Agriculture, forestry, and fishings Total cases ........ ... ................... .................. ... ...................... . Lost workday cases ...................................................................... . Lost workdays ...... ................................. ... ........ ........... ..... ........... . 10.9 5.7 100.9 11 .6 5.9 112.2 10.8 5.4 108.3 11.6 5.4 126.9 11 .2 5.0 10.0 4.7 9.7 4 .3 8.7 3.9 8.4 4.1 7.9 3.9 7.3 3.4 7.1 3.6 7.3 3.6 Mining Total cases ......................................................................... . Lost workday cases ......................... ....................... ......... ... .......... . Lost workdays ....... .................... ....................... .. ......................... . 8.5 4.8 137.2 8.3 5.0 119.5 7.4 4.5 129.6 7.3 4.1 204.7 6.8 3.9 6.3 3.9 6.2 3.9 5.4 3.2 5.9 3.7 4.9 2.9 4.4 2.7 4.7 3.0 4.0 2.4 Construction Total cases ........ ............ ......... ........ ... ....... ... ..................... .. . Lost workday cases ...................................................................... . Lost workdays ... ... .. ... ...... .. ................ ...... ................................ .. .. . 14.3 6.8 143.3 14.2 6.7 147.9 13.0 6.1 148.1 13.1 5.8 161.9 12.2 5.5 11.8 5.5 10.6 4.9 9.9 4.5 9.5 4.4 8.8 4.0 8.6 4.2 8.3 4.1 7.9 4.0 General building contractors: Total cases .... ......................................................... .... .... .... . Lost workday cases ...... ......... ............... ..... ...... .... ..... .. ...... ............ . Lost workdays ............................................................................. . 13.9 6.5 137.3 13.4 6.4 137.6 12.0 5.5 132.0 12.2 5.4 142.7 11.5 5.1 10.9 5.1 9.8 4.4 9.0 4.0 8.5 3.7 8.4 3.9 8.0 3.7 7.8 3.9 6.9 3.5 Heavv construction . except buildina: Total cases .... ....... .... ...... ...... ..... .. ..... ....................... ... .... .... . Lost workday cases ........... .... ......... .............................................. . Lost workdays .............. ......................... ... ... ... ........................ ...... 13.8 6.5 147.11 13.8 6.3 144.6 12.8 6.0 160.1 12.1 5.4 165.8 11.1 5.1 10.2 5.0 9.9 4.8 9.0 4.3 8.7 4.3 8.2 4.1 7.8 3.8 7.6 3.7 7.8 4.0 Special trades contractors: Total cases ......................................................................... . Lost workday cases .......... ........... ...................... ........................... . Lost workdays ............ ... .................................... ... .. .... ......... ........ . 14.6 6.9 144.9 14.7 6.9 153.1 13.5 6.3 151 .3 13.8 6.1 168.3 12.8 5.8 12.5 5.8 11.1 5.0 10.4 4.8 10.0 4.7 9.1 4.1 8.9 4.4 8.6 4.3 8.2 4.1 Manufacturing Total cases .. ................ .......... .......... ...... ... ............... .. .. .... ... . Lost workday cases ... .......... ...... ............... .................................... . Lost workdays .. .... .. ..... ............................... ......................... ......... 13.1 5.8 113.0 13.2 5.8 120.7 12.7 5.6 121.5 12.5 5.4 124.6 12.1 5.3 12.2 5.5 11.6 5.3 10.6 4.9 10.3 4.8 9.7 4.7 9.2 4.6 9.0 4.5 8.1 4.1 Total cases ......................................................................... . Lost workday cases ..... ... .................. ............... .. ........................... . Lost workdays .......... .... .......... ............. ............................... ....... ... 14.1 6.0 116.5 14.2 6.0 123.3 13.6 5.7 122.9 13.4 5.5 126.7 13.1 5.4 13.5 5.7 12.8 5.6 11 .6 5.1 11 .3 5.1 10.7 5.0 10.1 4.8 Lumber and wood products: Total cases ....................................................................... . Lost workday cases .... ............................... ............................. ... . Lost workdays .......................................................................... . 18.4 9.4 177.5 18.1 8.8 172.5 16.8 8.3 172.0 16.3 7.6 165.8 15.9 7.6 15.7 7.7 14.9 7.0 14.2 6.8 13.5 6.5 13.2 6.8 13.0 6.7 12.1 6.1 10.6 5.5 16.1 7.2 16.9 7.8 15.9 7.2 14.8 6.6 128.4 14.6 6.5 15.0 7.0 13.9 6.4 12.2 5.4 12.0 5.8 11.4 5.7 11.5 5.9 11.2 5.9 11.0 5.7 Stone. clav. and alass Products: Total cases ....................................................................... . Lost workday cases ................................................................... . Lost workdays ............ ... ....................... .............................. .. .... . 15.5 7.4 149.8 15.4 7.3 160.5 14.8 6.8 156.0 13.6 6.1 152.2 13.8 6.3 13.2 6.5 12.3 5.7 12.4 6.0 11 .8 5.7 11.8 6.0 10.7 5.4 10.4 5.5 10.1 5.1 Primarv metal industries: Total cases ... .................... ....... .. .. .. ........ .. ... ... .. .. .... ..... ...... . Lost workday cases .. .............. ................ ....... .................. .... ...... . Lost workdays .......................................................................... . 18.7 8.1 168.3 19.0 8.1 180.2 17.7 7.4 169.1 17.5 7.1 175.5 17.0 7.3 16.8 7.2 16.5 7.2 15.0 6.8 15.0 7.2 14.0 7.0 12.9 6.3 12.6 6.3 10.7 5.3 11 .1 Fabricated metal products: Total cases ....................................................................... . Lost workday cases ...... ........... ..................................... ............. . Lost workdays ... ..... ... .... ........ ................................................... . 18.5 7.9 147.6 18.7 7.9 155.7 17.4 7.1 146.6 16.8 6.6 144.0 16.2 6.7 16.4 6.7 15.8 6.9 14.4 6.2 14.2 6.4 13.9 6.5 12.6 6.0 11 .9 5.5 11.1 5.3 Industrial machinery and equipment: Total cases ....... .................. .... ... .... ... .. ... ... ..... .... ..... .......... . Lost workday cases .......................... ..................... .... ...... .... ...... . Lost workdays .......... .. ............................... .... ..... ... ... ................ . 12.1 4.8 86.8 12.0 4.7 88.9 11 .2 4.4 86.6 11 .1 4.2 87.7 11 .1 4.2 11 .6 4.4 11 .2 4.4 9.9 4.0 10.0 4.1 9.5 4.0 8.5 3.7 8.2 3.6 11.0 6.0 Electronic and other electrical eauipment: Total cases ....................................................................... . Lost workday cases ......... ........... ....... .......... ......... ...... .......... ..... . Lost workdays .......... ... ...... .................. .. ................... .... ............ . 9.1 3.9 77.5 9.1 3.8 79.4 8.6 3.7 83.0 8.4 3.6 81 .2 8.3 3.5 8.3 3.6 7.6 3.3 6.8 3.1 6.6 3.1 5.9 2.8 5.7 2.8 5.7 2.9 5.0 2.5 Transportation eauipment: Total cases ..... ............. ........... .... ................ ... .... .......... .. ... . Lost workday cases ................................................................... . L"S! workdays ................................................. ......... ..... ........... . 17.7 6.8 138.6 17.8 6.9 153.7 18.3 7.0 166.1 18.7 7.1 186.6 18.5 7.1 19.6 7.8 18.6 7.9 16.3 7.0 15.4 6.6 14.6 6.6 13.7 6.4 13.7 6.3 12.6 6.0 Instruments and related Products: Total cases ....................................................................... . Lost workday cases ..... ...... .................... .... ... .... ......................... . Lost workdays ...... ......... ............................................. ........... ... . 5.6 2.5 55.4 5.9 2.7 57.8 6.0 2.7 64.4 5.9 2.7 65.3 5.6 2 .5 5.9 2.7 5.3 2.4 5.1 2.3 4.8 2.3 4.0 1.9 4.0 1.8 4.5 2.2 4.0 2.0 Miscellaneous manufacturina industries: Total cases ................................. ... ...... ... .... .. .. .. ....... .. .. ... .. . Lost workday cases ....................... ..... .... ................ ... ................ . Lost workdays .......................................................................... . 11.1 5.1 97.6 11 .3 5.1 113.1 11 .3 5.1 104.0 10.7 5.0 108.2 10.0 4.6 9.9 4.5 9.1 4.3 9.5 4.4 8.9 4.2 8.1 3.9 8.~ I 4.0 7.2 3.6 6.4 3.2 Durat-ie goods: Furniture and fixtures: Total cases .. ........ ...................... .. ..... ...... .... ... ... ................ . Lost workday cases ............ ... ......... ......... ........ ......................... . Lost workdays ............. ... .................. ........... .............................. 1 8.8 4 .3 ~--~--~--~--~--~--~--~---~--~--~--~--~--- See footnotes at end of table. 148 Monthly Labor Review https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis February 2005 1 55. Continued-Occupational inju!'}' and illness rates by industry, United States Industry and type of case Incidence rates per 100 workers 2 1989 Nondurable goods: Total cases ...... ... ... .. ..... . Lost workday cases Lost workdays .. 1 1990 1991 1992 1993 4 1994 4 1995 4 1996 4 3 1997 4 1998 4 4 1999 2000 4 2001 4 11 .6 5.5 107.8 11.7 5.6 116.9 11 .5 5.5 119.7 11 .3 5.3 121.8 10.7 5.0 10.5 5.1 9.9 4.9 9.2 4.6 8.8 4.4 8.2 4 .3 7.8 4.2 7.8 4.2 6.8 3.8 18.5 9.3 174.7 20.0 9.9 202.6 19.5 9.9 207.2 18.8 9.5 211.9 17.6 8.9 17.1 9.2 16.3 8.7 15.0 8.0 14.5 8.0 13.6 7.5 12.7 7.3 12.4 7.3 10.9 6.3 Tobacco oroducts: Total cases .. ........... ...... ............ .. ........ .. . l ost workday cases . ..... ..... .... ..... ....... .. Lost workdays.. .. .... . . . . .. . . ........ 8.7 3.4 64.2 7.7 3.2 62.3 6.4 2.8 52.0 6.0 2.4 42 .9 5.8 2.3 5.3 2.4 5.6 2.6 6.7 2.8 5.9 2.7 6.4 3.4 5.5 2.2 6.2 3.1 6.7 4.2 Textile mill oroducts: Total cases .. Lost workday cases .. Lost workdays ............. ....... . 10.3 4.2 81.4 9.6 4.0 85.1 10.1 4.4 88.3 9 .9 4. 2 87.1 9.7 4.1 8.7 4.0 8.2 4. 1 7.8 3.6 6.7 3.1 7.4 3.4 6.4 3.2 6.0 3.2 5.2 2 .7 Aooarel and other textile oroducts: Total cases . Lost workday cases .. Lost workdays ........... . 8.6 3.8 80.5 8.8 3.9 92.1 9.2 4.2 99.9 9 .5 4 .0 104.6 9.0 3.8 8.9 3.9 8.2 3.6 7.4 3.3 7.0 3.1 6.2 2.6 5.8 2.8 6.1 3.0 5.0 2.4 12.7 5.8 132.9 12.1 5.5 124.8 11.2 5.0 122.7 11.0 5.0 125.9 9.9 4.6 9.6 4.5 8.5 4.2 7.9 3.8 7.3 3.7 7.1 3.7 7.0 3.7 6.5 3.4 6.0 3.2 Printina and oublishma: Total cases .. Lost workday cases Lost workdays. 6.9 3.3 63.8 6.9 3.3 69.8 6.7 3.2 74.5 7.3 3 .2 74.8 6.9 3. 1 6.7 3.0 6.4 3.0 6.0 2.8 5.7 2.7 5.4 2.8 5.0 2.6 5.1 2.6 4.6 2.4 Chemicals and allied oroducts: ... .... ....... .......... .............. ............ .. Total cases .. Lost workday cases .. .. ........... .... . Lost workdays .... ...... ....... ........ .. 7.0 3.2 63.4 6.5 3.1 61.6 6.4 3.1 62.4 6 .0 2.8 64.2 5.9 2. 7 5.7 2.8 5.5 2.7 4.8 2.4 4.8 2.3 4.2 2.1 4.4 2.3 4.2 2.2 4.0 2.1 Petroleum and coal oroducts: Total cases ...................... ......... , Lost workday cases .. ..... ... ...... ..... Lost workdays ... ............ ... ... ... .. 6.6 3.3 68.1 6.6 3.1 77.3 6.2 2 .9 68.2 5.9 2 .8 71 .2 5.2 2.5 4.7 2.3 4.8 2. 4 4.6 2 .5 4 .3 2.2 3.9 1.8 4.1 1.8 3.7 1.9 2.9 1.4 Rubber and miscellaneous elastics oroducts: Total cases ....... .. ..... . Lost workday cases ............ ..... ..... ....... .... .. .... .. Lost workdays ... .... .. . 16.2 8.0 147.2 16.2 7.8 151 .3 15.1 7.2 150.9 14.5 6.8 153.3 13.9 6.5 14.0 6. 7 12.9 6.5 12.3 6.3 11 .9 5.8 11.2 5.8 10.1 5.5 10.7 5.8 8.7 4 .8 Leather and leather oroducts: Total cases ... ....... ..................... .. Lost workday cases ........... ......... ..... . Lost workdays ...... .... ........... ... ...... ..... .. .. ..... .... ......... . 13.6 6.5 130.4 12.1 5.9 152.3 12.5 5.9 140.8 12. 1 5.4 128.5 12.1 5.5 12.0 5.3 11.4 4.8 10.7 4.5 10.6 4.3 9.8 4.5 10.3 5.0 9.0 4 .3 8.7 4.4 Transportation and public utilities . ...... ... ..... ....... . Total cases. ...... .... ...... ... ... .. Lost workday cases .... .... ..... ..... ... ..... ...... ... .... . Lost workdays ...... .... .. . 9.2 5.3 121 .5 9.G 5.5 134.1 9.3 5.4 140.0 9 .1 5.1 144.0 9.5 5.4 9.3 5.5 9.1 5.2 8.7 5.1 8.2 4.8 7.3 4.3 7.3 4.4 6.9 4.3 6.9 4.3 Wholesale and retail trade Total cases ................................. .. ................. .... ......... .. .. .. . Lost workday cases Lost workdays 8.0 3.6 63.5 7.9 3.5 65.6 7.6 3.4 72 .0 8.4 3.5 80.1 8.1 3.4 7.9 3.4 7.5 3.2 6.8 2 .9 6.7 3.0 6.5 2.8 6.1 2. 7 5.9 2.7 6.6 2.5 Wholesale trade : Total cases . Lost workday cases. Lost workdays ....... .. .... .... 7.7 4.0 71 .9 7.4 3.7 71 .5 7.2 3.7 79.2 7.6 3.6 82.4 7.8 3.7 7. 7 3.8 7. 5 3.6 6.6 3.4 6.5 3.2 6.5 3.3 6.3 3.3 5.8 3. 1 5.3 2.8 Retail trade: --:-~!al <.,;ases .. Lost workday cases .. ... .. ...... ......... ... ............ .......... ... .... ...... . Lost workdays .. ... ....... ..... .. ... . 8.1 3.4 60.0 8.1 3.4 63.2 7.7 3.3 69.1 8.7 3.4 79.2 8.2 3.3 7.9 3.3 7.5 3.0 6.9 2.8 6.8 2.9 6.5 2.7 6 .1 2 .5 5.9 2.5 5.7 2.4 Finance, Insurance, and real estate ... ...... ..... .... ... ... .. ..... ...... ... . Total cases ....... Lost workday cases Lost workdays .. 2.0 .9 17.6 2.4 1.1 27.3 2 .4 1.1 24.1 2 .9 1.2 32. 9 2.9 1.2 2.7 1.1 2.6 1.0 2.4 2.2 .9 .7 .5 1.8 .8 1.9 .8 1.8 .9 Services Total cases .... .. Lost workday cases. Lost workdays ... .. .... .... .. .... ... . . ... ... . 5.5 2.7 51 .2 6.0 2.8 56.4 6.2 2.8 60.0 7.1 3.0 68.6 6.7 2.8 6.5 2.8 6.4 2.8 6.0 2.6 5.6 2.5 5.2 2.4 4.9 2.2 4.9 2.2 4 .6 2.2 Food and kindred products: Total cases ... ....... ....... .... .. ....... ........ . . Lost workday cases ... .. .. .. ..... ...... ...... ... ... .. Lost workdays.... .. ..... ... .... .... .... ...... ....... ..... ......................... . Paoer and allied oroducts: -:-01a· :::ases ... ........................ .. . Lost workday cases Lost workdays ....... ..... ........ ............ .. ... ........ ... ... 1 Data for 1989 and subsequent years are based on the Standard Industrial Class- N s number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays; EH - total hours worked by all employees during the calendar year; and ification Manual, 1987 Edition . For this reason, they are not strictly comparable with data for the years 1985-88, which were based on the Standard Industrial Classification 200,000 - base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks Manual , 1972 Edition, 1977 Supplement. per year). 2 Beginning with the 1992 survey, the annual survey measures only nonfatal injuries and .7 4 Beginning with the 1993 survey, lost workday estimates will not be generated. As of 1992, illnesses, while past surveys covered both fatal and nonfatal incidents. To better address BLS began generating percent distributions and the median number of days away from work fatalities, a basic element of workplace safety, BLS implemented the Census of Fatal by industry and for groups of workers sustaining similar work disabilities. 5 Occupational Injuries. 3 Excludes farms with fewer than 11 employees since 1976. The incidence rates represent the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and were calculated as (N/EH) X 200,000, where : NOTE: Dash indicates data not available. Monthly Labor Review February 2005 149 Current Labor Statistics: Injury and Illness 56. Fatal occupational injuries by event or exposure, 1997-2002 Fatalities Event or exposure 1 average Number Percent 5,915 5,524 100 Transportation Incidents.............................................................. . Highway incident. ... ... .... ... ....... ... .. .... .. .... .... ...... .. .... ....... ... ............ Collision between vehicles, mobile equipment.. ....................... Moving in same direction .......... ....... ...................... .. .. .... ....... . Moving in opposite directions, oncoming ....... . ..... .. .. ... ........ .. Moving in intersection .. .. . ... .... ... ... ... ... ...... .. .. .... .. .......... .... .... . Vehicle struck stationary object or equipment.. ...... .............. .. . Noncollision incident. ..... .. .... ... ... ................................................. Jackknifed or overturned-no collision ..... .. .. .. .. ... ... .. .... ... ... . . Nonhighway (farm, industrial premises) incident... .... ... .. ... .. .... ... .. . Overturned .. .. .. . .. .... .. ............... .. ........... ...................... ..... .. ... .. .. Aircraft. ..... .. .......... ..... ... .. .... ... .... ...... .. .. .. ........ .. .... ..... ..... . Worker struck by a vehicle .. ................ ..... ... .. ..... ... ............. . Water vehicle .. .. ... .... ... ....... .. .... .. .. .. .... ..... ... .. ... ... .. .............. .. ..... .. . Rail vehicle .. .. .... .. . ..... .... .. ................................................. . 2,593 1,421 697 126 254 148 300 369 300 368 202 248 382 99 68 2,524 1,409 727 142 257 138 297 339 273 326 158 247 383 90 62 2,381 1,372 635 155 202 145 326 373 312 322 43 25 11 3 4 3 6 7 6 6 3 3 6 Assaults and violent acts ............................................................. . Homicides ................ .... ..... ... .. ... ... .. ... ................ .. ... ... ..... .. .. ... ..... . Shooting ......... ....... . .... . ... .. .. .... .. ........ ... .. ... .. .. .... ... ... ..... . Stabbing ....... .. . .... ... ... .... .............................................. . Other, including bombing .............................. ... .... ... . ... ... . . Self-inflicted injuries ... ..... .. .... .. .... .. ........ ............. .. ... .... ..... ........ .... 964 709 567 64 78 221 908 643 509 58 76 230 840 609 469 58 82 199 Contact with objects and equipment... ..................................... . Struck by object. .. .................... ...... ...... .. .. .... ... .......... .... ... ... ... ... .. Struck by falling object... ................ .. .. ... ... ... .... .... ... ....... ... .. .... . . Struck by flying object. .... .... .. ... ... .. .... .... ... .. ... .... .... ....... .... ... ... . Caught in or compressed by equipment or objects ... ........... .. .. .. . Caught in running equipment or machinery ..... ... .. .................. . Caught in or crusherl in collapsing materials ....................... .... .. . 995 562 352 58 290 156 126 962 553 343 60 266 144 122 873 506 303 38 231 110 116 737 111 155 91 61 810 700 123 159 91 84 714 634 126 143 87 63 Exposure to harmful substances or environments........ ........ . Contact with electric current. ........... ..... .. ..................... ...... .... ..... . Contact with overhead power lines .. ....................................... . Contact with temperature extremes .... .. ... ......... .. ..... .. ... ........ ..... . Exposure to caustic, noxious, or allergenic substances .............. . Inhalation of substances ..... .. .......... ...... .. ............... .. ............... . Oxygen deficiency .. ... ... ... .. .... ............... .......... ... .. ... .. ..... ... ... ........ Drowning, submersion .. .. .... ... ...... ..... ... .. .... .. ... .. ... ........ .. ......... . 529 291 134 41 106 52 89 71 499 285 124 35 96 49 83 59 538 289 122 60 98 49 90 60 10 5 2 Fires and explosions ........ ....................................................... 197 188 165 3 Other events or exposures3 •••• • ••• •• •• • •• • •• •• ••• ••• •• • •.• . •• ...•..•.• •• ..••.......•. 21 24 13 1 Based on the 1992 BLS Occupational Injury and Illness Classification Structures. 2 The BLS news release issued Sept. 25, 2002, reported a total of 5,900 fatal work injuries for calendar year 2001 . Since 654 3 164 192 356 71 64 15 11 8 1 4 16 9 5 4 2 2 13 11 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 Totals for 2001 exclude fatalities from the September 11 terrorist attacks. 3 Includes the category "Bodily reaction and exertion." NOTE: Totals for major categories may include sub- then, an additional 15 job-related fatalities were identified, categories not shown separately. Percentages may not add bringing the total job-related fatality count for 2001 to 5,915. to totals because of rounding. Dash indicates less than 0.5 percent. Monthly Labor Review Number 6,036 Falls....................... .. ................................................................... Fall to lower level. ...... ... .... ... ... ..... .... .................... ...................... . Fall from ladder .. ... .. .... ............ .......... ... .... ...... ... ... ... ... .. .. .... .. .... Fall from roof ..... ... .. . ..... .. ...................................... .......... ..... ... . Fall from scaffold, staging .......... .. . ....... ......... ... .. ... .... ... ... ... ... .. Fall on same level. ............ ........ .. .. .. ... ... ..... .... .... .. ....................... 150 2002 2001 Total. ... ... .. . ............. ........................................................... . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 1997-2001 February 2005 Where are you publishing your research? The Monthly Labor Review welcomes articles on the ·O labor force, labor-management relations, business 1. 1 conditions, industry productivity, compensation, occupational safety and health, demographic trends and other economic developments. Papers should be factual, and analytical, not polemical in tone. Potential articles, as well as comments on material published in the Review, should be submitted to: Editor-in-Chief Monthly Labor Review Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington , DC 20212 Telephone: (202) 691-5900 E-mail : mlr@bls.gov Need more research, facts, and analysis? Subscribe to Monthly Labor Review today! 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