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/IVI / 1 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Stat sties February 1986 In this issuer # ' A special section on employment Wk * >‘ ii « * r* https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR William E. Brock, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S Department of Labor Communications on editorial matters should b'e addressed to the Editor-in-Chief Monthly Labor Review Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington. DC 20212. Phone. 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Mathews https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X— San Francisco: Sam Vf Hirabayashi 450 Golden Gate Avenue. Box 36017 San Francisco, Calif 94102 Phone (415)556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific 'Siands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington ml / WAR 0 5 1 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 1986 FEBRUARY 1986 VOLUME 109, NUMBER 2 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor A SPECIAL SECTION ON EMPLOYMENT S. E. Shank, P. M. Getz 3 Employment and unemployment: developments in 1985 Last year, the economy completed its third year of strong postrecession growth, but the expansion has not dropped most jobless rates to the lows of late 1970’s Thomas J. Nardone 13 Part-time workers: who are they? A new definition of part-timers, utilizing data from the Current Population Survey, yields a more accurate estimate of the number of these workers in the labor force E. F. Mellor, S. E. Haugen 20 Hourly paid workers: who they are and what they earn More than half of the wage and salary workers were paid hourly in 1984; their median earnings were $5.95, but varied among groups of workers J. A. Alio, M. C. Harris 27 Employment lessons from the electronics industry The industry’s less skilled workers are the group most likely to lose jobs because of technology, imports, or the offshore manufacture of products REPORTS Shirley J. Smith Howard Hayghe C. J. Hobson, J. B. Dworkin https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 37 43 46 Work experience profile, 1984: the effects of recovery continue Rise in mothers’ labor force activity includes those with infants West German labor unrest: are unions losing out to worker councils? DEPARTMENTS 2 37 46 49 51 53 57 Labor month in review Research summaries Foreign labor developments Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review SEX SEGREGATION. The National Academy of Sciences published a study examining the cause, the extent, and the future direction of sex segregation in the workplace. The study, sponsored by the U.S. Departments of Labor and Educa tion and the Carnegie Corporation, was conducted for the Academy by a 14-member committee of academic and business experts, chaired by Alice S. Ilchman, president of Sarah Lawrence College. Excerpts: Measuring sex segregation. During the past decade, women’s occupational op tions have unquestionably expanded. Their participation has increased sharply in several occupations previously predominantly male by tradition or policy: for example, lawyers, bank managers, insurance adjusters, postal clerks, bus drivers, and janitors, among others. In other occupations, women’s representation is small but increasing rapidly, for example: coal miners, police officers, and engineers. The overall in dex of occupational sex segregation declined by nearly 10 percent between 1972 and 1981, more than it had during any previous decade in this century. Much of this decline was due to women’s increased participation in many occupations that were 20 to 60 percent female in 1970 as well as to the decline in the size of some femaledominated occupations, rather than to the entry of women (or men) into the most atypical jobs for their sex. Nevertheless, sex segregation con tinues to characterize the American workplace, despite the changes that have occurred in some occupations. Millions of women continue to work in a small number of almost totally female clerical and service occupations, and men con tinue to make up the majority of workers in the majority of occupations. Explaining sex segregation. Several ex planations have been proposed to ac count for the persistence of sex segrega tion in the workplace; they emphasize Digitized for 2FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis different factors and differ strongly in the interventions they imply. Not sur prisingly, the evidence neither provides full confirmation nor warrants full rejec tion of any single explanation. However, reviewed scientific evidence fails to sup port the argument that women’s occupa tional outcomes result primarily from free choices that they make in an open market. It suggests rather that women face discrimination and institutional bar riers in their education, training, and employment. Often the opportunities that women encounter in the labor market and in premarket training and education constrain their choices to a narrow set of alternatives. The weight of scientific evidence in dicates that discrimination has played a significant role in maintaining a sexsegregated work force. That women believe they face discrimination is evidenced by the thousands of sex discrimination complaints filed under Ti tle VII of the 1964 Civil Rights Act (which prohibits sex discrimination in many employment practices). A number of statistical studies of large employers show, that equally qualified men and women are often assigned different jobs, with long-term effects on their subse quent careers. Case studies of some employers against which complaints have been filed and of certain industries provide corroborative evidence of the occurrence of sex discrimination in employment practices. Responsibility for the daily care of family members, which women bear more than men, also undoubtedly af fects labor market outcomes in many ways, but its link specifically to sexsegregated occupations is less clear. One hypothesis, based on human capital theory, is that women choose femaledominated occupations because those occupations are more compatible with child-rearing (by penalizing work inter ruptions less than male-dominated oc cupations); this hypothesis has found equivocal empirical support. Further research is warranted on connections between employment opportunities and family responsibilities for both sexes. Reducing sex segregation. Laws and regulations of the 1960’s and 1970’s pro hibit sex discrimination in employment and apprenticeship programs and man date sex equity in federally funded job training programs and vocational and general education. Women have made substantial progress in entering some predominantly male occupations and training and educational programs. Definitively establishing that women’s gains were caused directly by interven tions is quite difficult, however. On one hand, the very existence of anti-dis crimination laws or regulations may con tribute to change. According to one theory underlying law enforcement, most change occurs through voluntary compliance by establishments against which no action has been taken, either out of the desire to avoid sanctions or because laws help to reshape employers’ opinions about acceptable behavior. At the same time, laws encourage women to believe that they will not face discrimina tion and hence to train for and pursue sex-atypical occupations. On the other hand, important changes—including women’s heightened consciousness of their rights and possibilities, prompted by the feminist movement—occurred during the period in which most in terventions were implemented and were an important force for their enactment. Obviously, disentangling such cultural changes is difficult. Some of the studies that attempt to demonstrate the impact of specific laws or regulations are im perfect. Taken together, however, the case studies and statistical research pre sent a compelling case for the long-term effectiveness of legislative remedies. The 173-page report, Women’s Work, M en’s Work: Sex Segregation on the Job, is available ($15.50) from National Academy Press, 2101 Constitution Ave., N.W., Washington, DC 20418. □ Employment and unemployment: developments in 1985 Last year, the economy completed its third year of strong postrecession growth; however, the expansion has not been sufficient to return factory employment to its prerecession level or to drop most jobless rates to the lows of the late 1970’s S usan E. S hank and Patricia M. Getz Employment continued to increase in 1985, as the economy completed its third year of recovery from the 1981-82 re cession. However, job growth slowed from the rapid pace recorded in the previous 2 years— a moderation that is typ ical in the third year after a business cycle trough.1 Con struction, as well as most industries in the service-producing sector, showed robust job gains throughout the year. In contrast, manufacturing employment, which had rebounded during 1983 and most of 1984, decreased in 1985— espe cially in the durable goods industries. The civilian unemployment rate edged down in the sec ond half of the year to 7.0 percent in the fourth quarter. The jobless rate had declined sharply in the first year and a half of recovery, then leveled off at about 7.3 percent from mid-1984 to mid-1985. By the fourth quarter of 1985, job less rates for most worker groups had fallen to or below those of the July 1981 prerecession peak but remained above those in 1979— the last year that the unemployment rate had averaged less than 6 percent. All of the decline in unemploy ment during 1985 took place among adult workers. This article describes labor market developments in 1985 for major age-sex, race-ethnic, industrial, and occupational groups. It also examines the performance of key employ ment and unemployment indicators in cyclical terms and evaluates selected developments from a secular perspective. Data discussed in this article come from two sources: house- Susan E. Shank and Patricia M. Getz are economists in the Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hold interviews and reports from employers.2 Unless other wise noted, over-the-year changes are based on fourth quarter-to-fourth quarter movements, and all data are sea sonally adjusted. Total employment Civilian employment rose by 2.0 million in 1985 to 108 million at yearend. The increase took place entirely among adults— about 1.4 million women and 700,000 men. (See table 1.) The number of persons employed in agricul ture decreased to approximately 3.1 million in the second half of 1985, after holding in the 3.3 to 3.4 million range over the previous decade. High levels of production world wide contributed to sharply lower prices for U.S. farm prod ucts in 1985.3 The unexpected deflation put many farmers in a severe credit squeeze and led to a large number of foreclo sures on farm properties. Employment fell by similar amounts (about 100,000 persons) for both hired farmwork ers and self-employed farmers. Over the entire 3-year expansion (fourth-quarter 1982 to fourth-quarter 1985), civilian employment rose by almost 9 million, or 8.9 percent. The increase for adult men (about 8 percent) was the largest recorded in any 3-year recovery period since World War II; this reflected both the severity of the 1979-82 employment drop and the strength of the subse quent rebound. Employment rose even more rapidly for women (11 percent) during the 3 years of expansion. How ever, in contrast to the pattern for men, employment among women had continued to rise throughout the early 1980’s, 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment and Unemployment in 1985 Table 1. Selected labor force indicators by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1982-85 [Numbers in thousands] 1982 1983 1984 IV IV IV Characteristic 1985 1 II III IV Total Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ......... Employed................. Agriculture............. Nonagriculture___ Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate 110,926 112,142 114,235 115,024 115,206 115,468 116,158 64.1 64.1 64.5 64.7 64.8 64.7 64.9 99,135 102,600 105,959 106,618 106,804 107,200 107,996 3,475 3,308 3,325 3,319 3,259 3,077 3,093 95,660 99,292 102,634 103,298 103,545 104,123 104,903 57.3 11,791 10.6 58.6 9,541 8.5 59.8 8,276 7.2 60.1 8,406 7.3 60.0 8,402 7.3 60.1 8,268 7.2 60.4 8,162 7.0 58,340 59,026 59,981 60,063 60,217 60,278 60,542 78.7 52,552 78.4 54,427 78.2 56,234 78.2 56,305 78.1 56,439 78.0 56,597 78.0 56,909 70.9 5,788 9.9 72.3 4,599 7.8 73.4 3,747 6.2 73.3 3,757 6.3 73.2 3,778 6.3 73.2 3,681 6.1 73.4 3,633 6.0 44,115 45,057 46,366 46,900 47,123 47,363 47,749 52.9 40,139 53.3 41,761 54.0 43,280 54.5 43,744 54.6 43,947 54.7 44,210 54.9 44,716 48.2 3,976 9.0 49.4 3,296 7.3 50.4 3,086 6.7 50.8 3,156 6.7 50.9 3,176 6.7 51.0 3,153 6.7 51.5 3,033 6.4 8,471 8,059 7,888 8,061 7,866 7,828 7,867 54.3 6,445 53.5 6,412 54.1 6,445 55.2 6,568 54.2 6,418 54.2 6,393 54.4 6,371 41.3 2,027 23.9 42.5 1,647 20.4 44.2 1,443 18.3 45.0 1,493 18.5 44.2 1,448 18.4 44.2 1,434 18.3 44.0 1,496 19.0 96,604 97,662 98,798 99,611 99,672 99,900 100,515 64.4 87,466 64.5 90,471 64.7 92,622 65.0 93,357 64.9 93,392 64.9 93,706 65.2 94,487 58.3 9,138 9.5 59.8 7,192 7.4 60.7 6,175 6.3 60.9 6,254 6.3 60.8 6,280 6.3 60.9 6,195 6.2 61.3 6,028 6.0 11,500 11,617 12,242 12,299 12,351 12,340 12,464 61.4 9,150 61.0 9,550 62.8 10,393 62.9 10,402 63.0 10,498 62.6 10,520 63.0 10,580 48.9 2,350 20.4 50.1 2,067 17.8 53.3 1,849 15.1 53.2 1,897 15.4 53.5 1,853 15.0 53.4 1,821 14.8 53.5 1,883 15.1 6,723 6,982 7,392 7,341 7,383 7,525 7,538 63.6 5,693 63.9 6,142 65.4 6,619 64.4 6,587 64.3 6,603 65.0 6,729 64.6 6,730 53.9 1,030 15.3 56.2 839 12.0 58.6 772 10.4 57.8 755 10.3 57.5 779 10.6 58.1 796 10.6 57.7 808 10.7 Men, 20 years and over Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ......... Em ployed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate Women, 20 years and over Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ......... Employed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ......... Employed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate White Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ......... Employed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate Black Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ........ Employed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate Hispanic origin Civilian labor force . . . . Percent of population ........ Employed................. Employmentpopulation ratio.. Unemployed............. Unemployment rate Note: Detail for race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis despite the occurrence of back-to-back recessions in 1980 and 1981-82. Employment-population ratios. The proportions of the civiliar 'oninstitutional population that are employed have moved «.. fferently for men, women, and teenagers in the first half of the 1980’s. As the tabulation below shows, the long-term decline in the ratio for men accelerated during the recessions of the early 1980’s. The ratio only partially re bounded in 1983 and 1984, and then showed little change in 1985. Men Women Teenagers 1979 annual average .. . 76.5 47.7 48.5 Fourth-quarter: 1982 ............................ 70.9 48.2 41.3 1983 ............................ . 72.3 49.4 42.5 1984 ............................ . 73.4 50.4 44.2 1985 ............................ . 73.4 51.5 44.0 In contrast, the employment-population ratio for women continued the steady increase that has been evident since the mid-1950’s. The increases slowed somewhat during reces sions— as was the case in the early 1980’s— and then re sumed a strong uptrend in recoveries. The ratio for teenagers followed a pattern similar to that for men in the 1980’s, but has not shown a consistent long-term trend. Employment-population ratios for whites, blacks, and persons of Hispanic origin all declined during the recessions of the early 1980’s and then rebounded in the 1983-85 period. However, as the following tabulation shows, only the ratio for whites stood above its 1979 level by late 1985. 1979 annual average .. Fourth-quarter: 1982 ............................ 1983 ............................ 1984 ............................ 1985 ............................ White . . 60.6 Black 53.8 Hispanic 58.3 .. .. .. .. 48.9 50.1 53.3 53.5 53.9 56.2 58.6 57.7 58.3 59.8 60.7 61.3 The ratio for whites reached an all-time high in the fourth quarter of 1985, while that for blacks was slightly below the 1979 high. The stonger performance of the ratio for white women in the 1980’s was a major factor in the overall difference; it also reversed the long-term pattern of higher ratios for black than for white women. In 1979, the ratio for black women (49 percent) exceeded that for their white counterparts (47 percent), but by the 1981-82 recession trough, the black ratio had declined to 47 percent, while that for whites had edged up to 48 percent. Both ratios increased to about 51 percent by late 1985. In contrast, the wide gap between the employment-population ratios of black and white teenagers narrowed very little in the 1980’s. Only 1 out of 4 blacks aged 16 to 19 was employed in 1985, com pared to about 1 out of 2 white teenagers. The employment-population ratio for persons of Hispanic origin has remained between those of whites and blacks over the last decade. As the above tabulation shows, the Hispanic ratio, like that for blacks, fell sharply during the recession years of the early 1980’s. The greater drop and subsequent rebound for minorities reflects, among other things, their heavier concentration in cyclically sensitive manual occupations. Occupational changes. Employment growth between 1984 and 1985 was greatest for office workers, particularly highly skilled executives, administrators, and managers. The service occupations and technical, sales, and adminis trative support positions grew at a slightly faster pace than total employment. However, as the tabulation below shows, there was an over-the-year decrease for operators, fabrica tors, and laborers, as well as a sharp drop in farming, forestry, and fishing occupations. Percent change Fourth quarter Fourth quarter 1984-85 1983-84 2.0 3.3 T o ta l........................................ 4.3 5.1 Managerial and professional.......... 2.7 3.2 Technical, sales, and administrative 2.6 .9 Service occupations........................ Precision production, craft, and repair.......................... Operators, fabricators, and laborers. Farming, forestry, and fishing . . . . 3.5 3.1 .8 1.4 -1 .0 -7 .9 While slower employment growth was evident in most major occupational groups from 1984 to 1985, the change was especially marked for nonfarm manual workers at all skill levels. In 1984, when construction and manufacturing rebounded strongly, job gains for skilled craft workers and for medium and low-skilled manual workers equaled the rise in total employment; in 1985, however, the increase slowed sharply for the former group and turned to a decrease for the latter. In fact, employment fell by about 3 percent over the year for machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors, most of whom are employed in manufacturing. Only man agerial and professional occupations registered aboveaverage employment increases in both 1984 and 1985. Nonfarm payroll employment Total nonagricultural payroll employment, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics business survey, also con tinued to post substantial gains throughout 1985. This marked the third straight year of strong growth, which has resulted in an increase of 10 million jobs during the current recovery.4 At 98.8 million in the fourth quarter of 1985, nonfarm employment had increased by about 3 million over the year. (See table 2.) However, even a quick look beyond the total figure re veals marked differences among industries. All of the major divisions which make up the service-producing sector posted employment increases, with the largest gains coming in retail trade and services. Among the goods-producing industries, only construction produced a gain in employ ment. Significant and pervasive declines in employment characterized both mining and manufacturing. (See chart 1.) The widespread declines in manufacturing, which were con https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis centrated in the first three quarters of 1985, reversed the strong growth trend of the previous 2 years. Chart 2 illustrates the relative strength of the serviceproducing versus the goods-producing sector over the long term. Employment in the service-producing sector has been on an almost continuous upward climb for the past 40 years. Even during recessionary periods, growth slowed only tem porarily, and there were no significant or prolonged declines in service-related employment during the postwar years. In marked contrast, the goods-producing sector showed only moderate overall employment growth throughout the post war period, and each of the industries within the sector was substantially affected by recessions. Over the entire 194585 period, the service-producing sector gained approxi mately 51 million jobs, compared to l \ million jobs in the goods-producing sector. As a result, service-producing em ployment grew from 57 to 75 percent of total payroll em ployment. Viewed from a cyclical perspective, employment gains during the past 3 years were among the strongest in any comparable postwar period. The current expansion has al ready lasted longer than 3 of the 7 previous recoveries, and the growth in total nonfarm employment has outpaced that in 2 of the other 4 recoveries. (See table 3.) This has been the strongest recovery in the postwar period for construction and for most industries in the service-producing sector. For manufacturing, however, the recovery has been relatively modest, much of its earlier strength having dissipated in 1985. Service-producing industries. In 1985, service-producing industries continued to add jobs at about the same rapid pace as during the first 2 years of the recovery, with employment in the sector increasing by 2.8 million. The services division showed the largest increase, gaining well over a million jobs in 1985, with business services leading the way. Within business services, the “temporary help supply services” industry has been the strongest gainer, although there has been some moderation from the phenom enal growth rates evidenced earlier in the recovery. Health services employment continued its strong secular growth trend in 1985, and large increases were also registered in personal services and in amusement and recreation. Retail trade also showed marked growth in 1985, as retail sales remained strong. Eating and drinking places and food stores continued their long-term uptrends, with sizable gains in each quarter. Auto dealers and service stations, which have had a strong cyclical recovery, also grew throughout 1985. Although small in terms of employment level, “radio, television, and music stores” posted the largest percentage increase— about 15 percent. This is linked to the rapidly increasing demand for video cassette recorders and the ser vices of video clubs. Wholesale trade employment continued to grow during 1985, particularly among wholesalers of machinery, equip5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment and Unemployment in 1985 ment, and supplies. Employment in this industry grew de spite declines in machinery and electrical equipment manu facturing jobs. Some of this strength can be attributed to the industry’s strong ties to the construction industry and to large volumes of imports. Finance, insurance, and real estate continued the healthy growth pace shown throughout the recovery. While the in creases were not as spectacular as in retail trade and ser Table 2. vices, they have been very steady— between 40,000 and 80,000 jobs each quarter. One of the fastest-growing indus tries within this division has been “credit agencies other than banks,” that is, savings and loan institutions, credit unions, and the like. This growth is tied to recent banking deregula tion which has lowered barriers to entry and encouraged growth and competition in the savings and lending industry. Transportation and public utilities employment increased Employees on nonagricultural payrolls by industry, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1982-85 [In thousands] 1982 1983 1984 IV IV IV I II III T o ta l...................................................................................................................................................... 88,721 91,804 95,849 96,640 97,338 97,933 98,786 Total p riva te ............................................................................................................................................. 72,891 75,932 79,745 80,522 81,143 81,578 82,295 Goods-producing ................................................................................................................................... 22,982 23,938 24,973 25,077 25,055 24,983 25,088 Mining ................................................................................................................................................................. Oil and gas extraction ..................................................................................................................................... 1,029 651 955 596 977 624 976 620 979 622 965 616 955 606 Construction........................................................................................................................................................ General building contractors .......................................................................................................................... 3,836 959 4,098 1,084 4,432 1,180 4,537 1,219 4,646 1,230 4,690 1,241 4,755 1,267 Industry 1985 IV1 Manufacturing...................................................................................................................................................... 18,117 18,885 19,564 19,564 19,430 19,328 19,378 Durable goods.................................................................................................................................................. Lumber and wood products ........................................................................................................................ Furniture and fixture s................................................................................................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .................................................................................................................. Primary metal industries.............................................................................................................................. Blast furnaces and basic steel products................................................................................................... Fabricated metal products .......................................................................................................................... Machinery, except electrical ........................................................................................................................ Electrical and electronic equipment............................................................................................................. Transportation equipment............................................................................................................................ Motor vehicles and equipment.................................................................................................................. Instruments and related products ............................................................................................................... Miscellaneous manufacturing ...................................................................................................................... 10,485 596 425 558 825 344 1,349 2,050 1,954 1,663 660 699 367 11,082 692 469 584 860 350 1,410 2,088 2,089 1,815 815 698 377 11,673 709 494 599 848 318 1,486 2,232 2,250 1,947 877 722 386 11,676 705 499 601 839 313 1,483 2,224 2,248 1,972 878 725 382 11,585 695 495 599 819 305 1,476 2,200 2,215 1,984 875 725 377 11,491 700 496 599 799 294 1,465 2,161 2,186 1,987 865 724 373 11,508 712 497 602 801 296 1,464 2,140 2,182 2,013 869 724 373 Nondurable g o o d s........................................................................................................................................... Food and kindred products.......................................................................................................................... Tobacco manufactures................................................................................................................................. Textile mill products..................................................................................................................................... Apparel and other textile products............................................................................................................... Paper and allied products............................................................................................................................ Printing and publishing................................................................................................................................. Chemicals and allied products .................................................................................................................... Petroleum and coal products ...................................................................................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.............................................................................................. Leather and leather products ...................................................................................................................... 7,631 1,627 68 729 1,140 654 1,271 1,055 200 679 209 7,803 1,615 65 757 1,191 670 1,324 1,041 192 743 204 7,891 1,622 66 726 1,182 683 1,395 1,052 187 796 182 7,888 1,635 66 713 1,175 682 1,405 1,052 184 798 177 7,846 1,636 66 702 1,153 682 1,415 1,045 181 792 174 7,838 1,634 65 696 1,156 683 1,427 1,039 175 790 175 7,869 1,640 64 699 1,163 686 1,438 1,034 170 800 174 Service-producing ................................................................................................................................ 65,740 67,866 70,876 71,563 72,283 72,950 73,698 Transportation and public utilities........................................................................................................................ Transportation.................................................................................................................................................. Communications and public utilities ............................................................................................................... 5,023 2,736 2,288 5,040 2,782 2,258 5,233 2,995 2,238 5,267 3,024 2,243 5,291 3,049 2,243 5,301 3,059 2,242 5,342 3,104 2,238 Wholesale trade .................................................................................................................................................. Durable goods.................................................................................................................................................. Nondurable g o o d s........................................................................................................................................... 5,214 3,034 2,179 5,362 3,142 2,220 5,649 3,334 2,315 5,699 3,367 2,332 5,750 3,401 2,348 5,789 3,433 2,355 5,840 3,464 2,376 Retail tra d e .......................................................................................................................................................... General merchandise stores .......................................................................................................................... Food stores...................................................................................................................................................... Automotive dealers and service stations......................................................................................................... Eating and drinking places.............................................................................................................................. 15,183 2,140 2,509 1,633 4,870 15,942 2,195 2,581 1,718 5,169 16,960 2,330 2,726 1,846 5,513 17,166 2,344 2,772 1,864 5,587 17,366 2,360 2,816 1,890 5,665 17,501 2,353 2,847 1,901 5,731 17,626 2,344 2,869 1,917 5,778 Finance, insurance, and real estate.................................................................................................................... Finance............................................................................................................................................................. Insurance ........................................................................................................................................................ Real estate ...................................................................................................................................................... 5,356 2,664 1,715 978 5,554 2,792 1,724 1,038 5,756 2,892 1,775 1,089 5,811 2,921 1,788 1,103 5,884 2,955 1,807 1,122 5,959 2,998 1,825 1,136 6,041 3,039 1,845 1,157 S ervices............................................................................................................................................................... Business services ........................................................................................................................................... Health services ................................................................................................................................................ 19,133 3,289 5,891 20,096 3,755 6,044 21,174 4,233 6,139 21,502 4,332 6,186 21,797 4,422 6,234 22,045 4,479 6,285 22,358 4,578 6,362 Government ........................................................................................................................................................ Federal ............................................................................................................................................................ S ta te ................................................................................................................................................................. Local................................................................................................................................................................. 15,831 2,745 3,642 9,444 15,872 2,781 3,674 9,417 16,104 2,830 3,727 9,547 16,118 2,840 3,736 9,542 16,195 2,868 3,758 9,569 16,355 2,886 3,792 9,677 16,491 2,894 3,834 9,763 1 Data are preliminary. 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in 1985, though at a considerably slower pace than in the year before. Within transportation, railroads continued their long-term secular decline, while airlines and trucking con tinued to post gains. Employment in communications and other public utilities was about unchanged over the year, as declines in communications were offset by slight growth in the other public utilities. Increased competition in the tele phone industry drove companies to streamline operations, in part by reducing labor costs through job cuts. Government employment also rose in 1985, as Federal, State, and local governments each showed increases. Some of the growth in local government may be related to in creases in employment in public education resulting from moves to improve the quality of education, and legislation mandating education of handicapped children. Goods-producing industries. Employment trends for 1985 were mixed in the goods-producing sector; construc tion continued to advance sharply but mining and manufac turing lost jobs. Construction employment rose by about 300,000 or 7 percent during the year, matching the growth rate in each of the 2 previous years. The greatest strength was among special trade contractors, which have increased their share of total construction employment from approximately 50 to 57 percent over the past 5 years. This category spans the entire spectrum of construction trades, from painting and papering to plumbing, electrical work, stone masonry, and roofing. Special trade contractors may be employed in new construction, renovation, or maintenance and in both resi dential and nonresidential construction. Residential construction employment rose moderately, helped by relatively low mortgage interest rates in 1985. Demographic trends continued to be favorable for the indus try, as the last of the baby-boom generation entered the prime age group for first-time home buying. Nonresidential construction remained strong in 1985. Despite increasing office vacancy rates, incentives such as tax shelters and the perceived security of real estate investment continued to make nonresidential construction investment attractive. Mining is the only major division in which employment at the end of 1985 was below the 1982 recession trough level. The last strong period for mining employment was 1981 through the first quarter of 1982, when increases in oil and gas extraction associated with energy shortages fueled job growth. Since then, a worldwide oil glut and resultant price declines have had dampening effects on employment. The year brought a reversal in employment trends in manufacturing. What had been a relatively strong cyclical recovery collapsed in the face of increasing import competi tion and a slump in the computer-related industries. In the fourth quarter, factory jobs stood at 19.4 million, 190,000 below the year-earlier level. Employment had increased by 1.4 million in the first 2 years of the recovery, but the 1985 weakness was pervasive, particularly during the first three https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis quarters. By the fourth quarter, most of the declines had flattened out and total manufacturing employment showed a small increase. A sharp turnaround in the nonelectrical machinery and electrical and electronic equipment industries contributed the most to manufacturing’s over-the-year decline. These two industries showed considerable strength during the first 2 years of the recovery, gaining 185,000 and 300,000 jobs, respectively. During 1985, however, nonelectrical machin ery lost 90,000 jobs and electrical and electronic equipment, 70,000. The biggest reductions were registered in computerrelated industries, particularly electronic computing equip ment and electronic components including semiconductors. The computer industry has recently begun to face serious import competition, particularly in the semiconductor mar ket. In addition, earlier overprojections of product demand, particularly in the personal computer market, were reflected in production and employment cutbacks. Two other indus tries, fabricated metals and miscellaneous manufacturing, also had gained jobs earlier in the recovery but suffered declines in 1985. Six other industries had job losses in 1985— primary metals, textiles, apparel, chemicals, petroleum, and leather. With the exception of apparel, these industries had fewer jobs at the end of 1985 than at the trough of the 1981-82 recession. Their continuing weakness is largely a reflection of long-term structural adjustment problems, aggravated in recent years by increased import competition. These six industries had a combined loss of 140,000 jobs over the year. Three manufacturing industries showed job gains over the year— transportation equipment (70,000), printing and pub lishing (40,000), and food processing (20,000). The growth in transportation equipment was due mainly to increases in aircraft, guided missiles, and spacecraft manufacturing. Au tomobile employment, which advanced very strongly in 1983 and 1984, held about steady during 1985. Job levels in the remaining manufacturing industries were also little changed over the year. Other economic indicators reflect the 1985 slump in man ufacturing. Following growth during the first 1^ years of the recovery, the index of industrial production has essentially been at a standstill since mid-1984. Capacity utilization also peaked in mid-1984 after steady increases during the first 2 years of recovery, and has since declined. Hours of work The workweek of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls remained in the narrow range of 35.0-35.2 hours throughout 1985. Following a modest decline during the recession, hours had peaked at 35.4 in early 1984, but declined slightly later that year before stabilizing in 1985. Average weekly hours have shown a long-term secular downtrend over the entire post war period, declining nearly 5 hours between 1945 and 7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment and Unemployment in 1985 1985. This has largely been due to increasing percentages of employment concentrated in retail trade and services, indus tries which have large— and growing— numbers of parttime employees. Average weekly hours in manufacturing declined slightly in the first half of 1985. That trend was reversed in the second half, and the factory workweek rose to a very high 40.8 hours by yearend. Factory overtime followed the same general pattern and reached 3.5 hours in the fourth quarter. In 1985, the index of aggregate weekly hours, a more comprehensive measure which takes into account both the number of production workers and their average hours, rose for the third straight year. Spurred by the strong employ ment growth, it stood at 117.7 (1977 = 100) in the last quarter, its highest level ever recorded. The aggregate hours index for manufacturing fell slightly between the fourth quarters of 1984 and 1985, reflecting the decline in employment. Unemployment The number of unemployed persons declined in the sec ond half of 1985 to about 8 million in December. Similarly, the jobless rate, which had remained little changed from late 1984 through the first half of 1985, dipped to 7.0 percent in the fourth quarter, down sharply from the recession high of 10.6 percent in late 1982. During the past 3 years of eco nomic expansion, jobless rates for all civilians and for most major labor force groups fell back to or below prerecession peak (July 1981) levels. Despite these declines, jobless rates for virtually all worker groups at year’s end were still above those prevailing just before the onset of the 1980 recession. As the tabulation below shows, the unemployment rate in crease over the period was sharpest for men— especially those in the 25-54 age group. Fourth-quarter Total, 16 years and over . . . 1979 5.9 1982 10.6 1985 7.0 Men: 16-24 years ............................ 25-54 years ............................ 55 years and o v er.................... 11.6 3.6 2.8 20.3 9.1 5.8 14.0 5.4 4.0 Women: 16-24 years ............................ . 25-54 years ............................ 55 years and o v er.................... 12.5 5.1 3.1 17.0 8.5 5.0 13.1 5.8 3.7 The back-to-back recessions in 1980 and 1981-82 hit the goods-producing industries extremely hard. In effect, the sector experienced one deep and prolonged downturn, as employment fell by about million between the fourth quarters of 1979 and 1982. Despite 3 full years of expan sion, goods-related employment had recovered only about 80 percent of the jobs lost by the end of 1985. Weak em- Chart 1. Employment changes by major industry division, fourth-quarter 1984-1985 Digitized for 8FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thousands _250 0 250 500 Thousands 750 1,000 1,250 Chart 2. Employment In the service-producing and goods-producing sectors, seasonally adjusted, 1945-85 In millions In millions ployment demand in this sector thus far in the 1980’s has had its most adverse effect on men of prime working age. As the above tabulation shows, their jobless rate jumped from 3.6 percent in 1979 to 9.1 percent in 1982 before it began to recover. However, with an incomplete recovery in goodsproducing employment, their rate was about l£ times higher in 1985 than in 1979. At the same time that employment weakened in goodsproducing industries, the supply of 25- to 44-year-old work ers (both men and women) expanded rapidly. As the babyboom generation moved into adulthood in the 1980’s, the work force aged 25 to 44 jumped by 12 million. In contrast, the labor force of younger workers declined and that of persons aged 45 and over was little changed between 1979 and 1985. The decrease (approximately 2 million over the period) in the number of 16- to 24-year-olds in the labor force helped to moderate unemployment problems for these younger workers. Women of prime working age were much less affected by the cyclical swings of the 1980’s than were men, because women’s employment is concentrated in the steadily ex panding service-producing sector. The low proportion of females employed in the goods-producing sector (20 percent versus 43 percent for men) is a major reason that jobless rates for 25- to 54-year-old women increased much less than https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis those of their male counterparts in the early 1980’s. By 1985, the jobless rate for these women had decreased to a level only moderately above the 1979 level. Whites, blacks, and Hispanics. The longstanding dispar ity between white and black labor market success did not change appreciably during the recessions of the early 1980’s or the subsequent strong recovery. The black jobless rate was about 15 percent at the end of 1985; the rate for whites was 6 percent. Although both rates in 1985 were substan tially below their 1982 highs, neither was back to its 1979 level— about 12 percent for black workers and 5 percent for whites. Adult men of both races accounted for most of the unem ployment rate increases in the early 1980’s. Their 1985 rates were still more than one-third higher than in 1979. In con trast, jobless rates for black and white women in 1985 were less than one-fourth above those of 1979. The rate for black teenagers, which had been as high as 50 percent during much of 1982 and 1983, declined to approximately 40 per cent in 1985— marginally above that in 1979. For white teenagers, the 1985 rate (16 percent) was also slightly above the 1979 level. The labor market experience for persons of Hispanic origin essentially followed the business cycle swings during 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment and Unemployment in 1985 the 1980’s. Their unemployment rate rose from about 9 percent in 1979 to more than 15 percent in 1982 and then decreased to the 10.5- to 11-percent range in 1984 and 1985. The Hispanic population grew substantially in 1985 (more than 3 percent on an annual basis), and their employment also showed a large gain. Industry and occupation. Between 1983 and 1984, unem ployment rates for workers in all major industry groups had declined, with the goods-producing sector showing the sharpest drop.5 However, while moderate declines contin ued in most service-producing industries during 1985, the jobless rate for workers in the goods-producing industries was unchanged. The rate for factory workers, which had fallen from 8.9 to 7.3 percent between 1983 and 1984, edged up to 7.5 percent by the end of 1985— with all of the increase occuring in durable goods industries. For wage and salary workers in the service-producing sector, jobless rate declines were most notable in services and government. Unemployment rates for all major occupational groups had dropped between 1983 and 1984, but showed little further improvement in 1985.6 Among managerial and pro fessional workers, where employment growth was strong, the jobless rate declined from 2.4 to 2.2 percent between 1984 and 1985. Small declines also took place for adminis trative support workers and skilled craft workers in the con struction trades. However, the unemployment rate was vir tually unchanged for machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors, most of whom work in manufacturing. Duration and reasons. Total unemployment declined only slightly in 1985, but the average duration of unemploy ment dropped from about 17 to 15j weeks. Despite consid erable improvement over the recession high of 21 weeks, the average length of an ongoing unemployment spell was still 5 weeks longer than in 1979. Long-term (15 weeks or more) and very long-term unemployment (27 weeks or more), which tend to lag cyclical changes, continued to fall during 1985, while the number of persons jobless for less than 5 weeks rose slightly. However, in spite of sharp decreases since 1983, the numbers of long-term and very long-term unemployed in late 1985, at 2.2 and 1.2 million, respec tively, remained very high by historical standards. • Changes in the number of persons unemployed for differ ent reasons were also comparatively small between 1984 and 1985. The most highly cyclical group— persons seeking work because they had lost their last jobs— continued to decline, although much more moderately than earlier in the recovery. Their proportion of total unemployment dropped from 61 percent at the 1982 recession trough to just below 50 percent at the end of 1985. There were small increases in the number of persons unemployed because they had left their last jobs or had reentered the labor market after a period of absence. Chart 3. Number of persons working part time involuntarily by major reason, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1965-85 Mi||i° ns NOTE: Shaded areas indicate recessions as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Digitized for10 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Millions T ab le 3. P ercent change in n on ag ricu ltu ral payroll employment from trough to 37 months after trough, five postwar recessions Industry 1982 1975 1954 1961 1949 trough trough trough trough trough Total nonagricultural......................................... Mining .......................................................... Construction................................................. Manufacturing............................................... 16.1 49.8 21.3 23.3 8.4 5.7 13.4 5.9 8.1 -6.7 9.0 6.6 12.6 17.9 19.8 11.8 11.7 -7.4 24.0 7.4 Transportation and public utilities ............... Wholesale tra d e ........................................... Retail trad e................................................... 11.5 8.5 10.3 4.0 6.2 6.7 0.4 5.7 7.0 7.2 11.9 15.1 6.7 12.3 16.5 Finance, insurance, and real estate............. Services........................................................ Government................................................. 11.9 8.8 14.4 11.2 13.1 13.2 8.6 13.7 12.0 12.8 17.1 7.1 13.2 17.4 4.4 Note: Data are seasonally adjusted. Short workweeks and discouragement About million persons worked part time but wanted full-time work in 1985, down slightly from 1984. However, the number of these economic (or involuntary) part-time workers in 1985 was still 1 million above the prerecession low and 2 million above the 1979 level. (See chart 3.) The two major components of part-time employment for economic reasons— slack work and inability to find full time work— have behaved differently over the last several years. Slack work, which refers to an employer-initiated curtailment of hours, is highly cyclical and generally leads changes in overall economic activity because employers tend to reduce hours before laying off employees. Similarly, as the economy recovers, employers tend to restore hours before rehiring laid-off workers.7 As the chart shows, the number on short workweeks because of slack work began to rise before the start of the last three recessions. It also led the recovery from the 1981-82 recession, falling from 3.7 mil lion in September 1982 to 2.3 million by mid-1984. How ever, since the second quarter of 1984, it has fluctuated between 2.3 and 2.6 million. Economic part-time employment stemming from an in ability to find full-time work is less cyclical than slack work. In addition to the general state of the economy, this “failure to find work” series also reflects the experience, skills, and training of jobseekers and the availability of work schedules desired by workers. The number of persons who could only find part-time employment rose from early 1980 through mid-1983 and declined only slightly over the next 2\ years. At 2.9 million in 1985, the failure-to-find component of involuntary part-time employment was double the 1979 level and four times as high as in the late 1960’s. Despite 3 years of strong economic expansion, the num ber of discouraged workers— persons who report that they want to work but are not looking for a job because they believe they could not find one— has remained about un changed since mid-1984. The number of discouraged work ers rose from about 800,000 in 1979 to 1.8 million at the recession trough in fourth-quarter 1982. However, after dropping to 1.2 million by the third quarter of 1984, it has https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shown no further sustained improvement. As was true for economic part-timers, the number of discouraged workers in 1985 exceeded the 1981 prerecession peak and was substan tially above the 1979 level. Most discouraged workers cite job market factors— rather than personal factors, such as age or lack of skills, educa tion, or training— as their reason for not seeking work. The number of persons citing job market factors, which tracks closely with business cycle swings, dropped from 1.4 mil lion in late 1982 and early 1983 to just below 900,000 in the third quarter of 1984, and declined to 800,000 by the fourth quarter of 1985. The smaller group citing personal factors has fluctuated between 325,000 and 425,000 for the past 3 years. Labor force The civilian labor force rose by about 2 million, or 1.7 percent, in both 1984 and 1985. These increases, while larger than those which had occurred during the recession years between 1980 and 1983, were well below the 2.7percent annual average gain during the 1970’s. The slower pace of labor force growth thus far in the 1980’s reflects both demographic changes and cyclical effects. The civilian noninstitutional population aged 16 and over had jumped by 3 million per year during the 1970’s, as most of the baby-boom generation reached working age. How ever, during the 1980’s, the population increase eased to an average of 2.2 million, a slowdown that reflects the sharp decline in birth rates beginning in the mid-1960’s. This falloff in the potential labor supply in the early 1980’s, of course, coincided with a period of very weak employment demand. And as indicated earlier, the impact of 3 consecu tive bad years was greatest in the cyclically sensitive goodsproducing industries, in which men are more likely to be employed. During the recessions of the early 1980’s, male labor force participation rates decreased, after holding steady dur ing the late 1970’s. Table 4 shows that annual average participation rates for men and women moved differently in the 1980’s, as had been the case throughout the postwar period. The long-term decline in labor force participation Table 4. Annual average labor force participation rates by sex, selected years, 1950-85 Men Women 1950 ................................................. 1960 ................................................. 1970 ................................................. 86.4 83.3 79.7 33.9 37.7 43.3 1976 1977 1978 1979 ................................................. ................................................. ................................................. ................................................. 77.5 77.7 77.9 77.8 47.3 48.4 50.0 50.9 1980 ................................................. 19 8 1 ................................................. 1982 ................................................. 1983 ................................................. 1984 ................................................. 1985 ................................................. 77.4 77.0 76.6 76.4 76.4 76.3 51.5 52.1 52.6 52.9 53.6 54.5 Year 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment and Unemployment in 1985 for men has been concentrated in the older age groups, reflecting a movement toward early retirement. However, this trend was interrupted in the late 1970’s, then resumed during the 1980-82 downturn, and there was no rebound at all during the 1983-85 expansion. The participation rate for women continued its secular uptrend into the 1980’s, al though the rate of growth moderated somewhat during the recession years. As the economic recovery continued into its second and third years, female participation accelerated, reaching 54.5 percent by 1985. T h e l a b o r m a r k e t e x p e r i e n c e in the 1980’s can be viewed in terms of two sharply distinct periods. The first 3 years of the decade were characterized by severe and protracted labor market problems— especially in the goodsproducing industries and for adult men. The 1983-85 recov ery and expansion has been strong and widespread: Em ployment recorded very large gains over these 3 years, and unemployment fell more than in any 3-year recovery period since the mid-1950’s. However, despite sustained improve ments in overall labor market measures, certain areas, such as manufacturing, remain weak. Factory employment in late 1985 was about 1 million below its 1981 prerecession peak and 2 million below its 1979 high. Moreover, while jobless rates for most worker groups fell substantially over the 1983-85 period, they had not yet returned to the lows that prevailed in the late 1970’s. □ FOOTNOTES 1 Business cycle peaks and troughs are designated by the National Bu reau o f Economic Research. The three most recent recessions extended from the following peak-to-trough dates: November 1973-March 1975, January 1980-July 1980, and July 1981-November 1982. shown more employment growth during the current recovery period, partic ularly between 1984 and 1985. Although the precise reasons for this diver gence are unclear, there are several factors which can contribute to different survey results, including differences in definitions and coverage. 2 The Current Population Survey gathers data monthly from a sample of about 60,000 households and provides information on the labor force, employment, and unemployment by demographic and economic character istics. The Current Employment Statistics program is a monthly survey of approximately 280,000 nonagricultural establishments and provides infor mation on the number o f persons on business payrolls, as well as on average hours and earnings. 5 Unemployed persons are classified according to the industry and occu pation o f their last full-time job lasting 2 weeks or more. 3 The Producer Price Index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs dropped an average o f 2 percent per month in the first 9 months of 1985. 4 The long-term movements o f employment from the Current Population Survey and the Current Employment Statistics survey are very similar. Differences in short-run changes, especially over the course of a business cycle, are not unusual. The Current Employment Statistics survey has 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 Comparisons are based on unadjusted data averaged for the fourth quarters. Beginning in January 1983, occupational data from the Current Population Survey were coded and published according to the 1980 Census system, which evolved from the Standard Occupational Classification sys tem. Seasonal adjustment of data based on the new classification system will not be possible until at least 5 years of data are available. For further information on the change in occupational classification, see “Revisions in the Current Population Survey Beginning in January 1983,” Employment and Earnings, February 1983, pp. 7 -1 5 . 7 See Robert W. Bednarzik, “Short workweeks during economic down turns,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1983, pp. 3 -1 1 . Part-time workers: who are they? , A new definition of part-timers utilizing existing data from the Current Population Survey, gives a more accurate estimate of the number of part-time workers Thom as J. N ardone Although typically pictured as working 40 hours a week, the American work force includes a substantial number of per sons who put in far fewer hours. Young people working while attending school, parents juggling childrearing and career responsibilities, those in retirement wishing to remain partly active in the work force, and workers whose hours have been reduced because of economic conditions are ex amples of persons who either choose or have to settle for part-time employment. Because of the variety of situations found in the work place, labor market analysts who study part-time employ ment have sometimes found it a difficult concept to define. Although the official government definition of part-time work is clear, estimating the number of part-time workers is more complex. It depends on exactly what is being meas ured— the total number of persons who worked part-time hours during the survey reference week, the number who choose to work part-time hours, or the number who typically work part time. Each month the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes data on the number of hours worked by persons during the survey reference week and considerable detail about persons who work less than 35 hours a week— the official boundary between full- and part-time employment.1 The data col lected include both the reasons people work less than 35 hours as well as their usual full- or part-time status. Thomas J. Nardone is an economist in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis To reflect the diversity of the workplace, BLS disaggregates the data about people at work less than 35 hours into three subgroups: (1) those voluntarily at work part time, (2) those working part time for economic reasons, and (3) those who usually work full time but worked less than 35 hours during the reference week because of holiday, illness, vacation, or similar reasons. These data are com bined with information on several other groupings— persons at work more than 35 hours (full-time workers), employed persons who were not at work during the survey reference week, and unemployed persons— to yield estimates of the full- and part-time labor forces. These categories are useful for a variety of analyses. The number of persons at work part time for economic reasons, for example, is of interest as a measure of underutilization of human resources and also is an important indicator of the cyclical movements in the labor market.2 Data about the full- and part-time labor forces are used for unemployment rate calculations and to develop several of the alternative measures of unemploy ment that enhance our understanding of the labor market.3 Despite their usefulness, none of these groupings actually provides an estimate of the number of people who usually work part time. For example, the concept of voluntary parttime employment excludes persons who want full-time work but settle for a part-time job. The “at work” concept ex cludes the people who have part-time jobs but were away from their jobs during the survey reference week because of vacation, illness, or other reasons. The labor force cate gories classify some people according to the type of job they 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Part-Time Workers want, not necessarily the type they have. This article discusses available BLS data about part-time workers, describing what information is published, and sug gests a new combination of the data— all persons who usu ally work part time— which would provide a more accurate estimate of part-time employment. The data are based on the Current Population Survey (C P S), a monthly sample survey of about 60,000 households nationwide, which provides information on the employment and unemployment status and related characteristics of the civilian population 16 years of age and over. Defining full and part time When defining the full- and part-time status of workers, the first consideration is the number of hours worked during the survey reference week. As mentioned previously, 35 hours is the boundary between full- and part-time em ployment. Part-time work is defined as less than 35 hours a week. Working less than 35 hours during the survey week, however, is not a sufficient condition for classifying a per son as a part-time worker. The worker’s usual schedule and reason for working less than 35 hours a week also must be considered.4 In addition to workers’ preference, reasons for part-time hours can be economic— slack work, material shortages, beginning or ending a job, or because only a part-time job could be found— or noneconomic— holiday, vacation, illness, or bad weather. Based on their usual schedule and their reason for working a part-time schedule, persons at work less than 35 hours a week are allocated according to the pattern shown in table 1. Those who usually work full time but during the survey reference week worked less than 35 hours for noneconomic reasons— 5.6 million in 1985— are combined with those who worked more than 35 hours during the survey week under the label “full-time schedules.” In terms of “labor force” classification, persons at work on “full-time sched T a b le 1 . P e rs o n s a t w o rk 1 to 3 4 h o u rs b y re a s o n fo r w o r k i n g le s s t h a n 3 5 h o u r s , a n d u s u a l s t a t u s , 1 9 8 5 a n n u a l a v e ra g e s [In thousands] Reason fo r w o rking less than 35 hours Total Usually w o rk fu ll tim e Usually w ork part tim e Total, 16 years and o ld e r ................... 24,682 7,342 17,340 Economic reasons ......................................... Slack work ................................................. Material shortages or repairs to plant and equipment ...................................... New job started during w e e k ..................... Job terminated during week ..................... Could find only part-time w o rk ................... 5,590 2,430 1,739 1,398 3,851 1,032 62 190 90 2,819 62 190 90 — Other reasons ............................................... Does not want, or unavailable for, full-time w o rk ........................................... Vacation...................................................... Illness.......................................................... Bad weather............................................... Industrial dispute......................................... Legal or religious holiday............................ Full time for this jo b .................................... All other reasons......................................... 19,092 5,603 11,217 1,360 1,539 674 8 682 1,545 2,066 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — 1,360 1,395 674 8 682 — 1,484 — — — 2,819 13,489 11,217 — 144 _ — — 1,545 582 ules” are combined with persons who are not at work during the reference week but usually work more than 35 hours, those working “part time for economic reasons,” and unem ployed workers seeking full-time jobs to form the “full-time labor force.” (See box.) Components of the full- and part-time labor forces Full-time labor force: • Employed persons on full-time schedules • Employed persons working part time for economic reasons • Employed persons not at work, who usually work full time • Unemployed persons seeking full-time work Part-time labor force: • Employed persons working part time voluntarily • Employed persons not at work, who usually work part time • Unemployed persons seeking part-time work The workers who usually work part time for noneconomic reasons— 13.5 million in 1985— are classified as the “voluntary part-time employed,” a group that has been the focus of several studies in recent years.5 They clearly are part-timers. The vast majority of these workers do not want or are unavailable for jobs which call for 35 hours or more of work per week. The voluntary part-time group plus those employed persons not at work during the reference week who usually work less than 35 hours a week and unem ployed workers who are seeking part-time jobs form the “part-time labor force.” (See box.) As stated above, workers who put in less than 35 hours a week because of slack work, the inability to find full-time work, or similar reasons— the 5.6 million workers on part time for economic reasons in 1985— are included in the full-time labor force. However, by treating them as a single group, the usual full-time/part-time work status of such workers is not readily identified. And, the two main compo nents of the group— persons on slack work and persons who could only find part-time jobs— are quite dissimilar in terms of their usual work status. Most of the workers on “part time for economic reasons” due to “slack work” usually work full time, while all who “could only find part-time work” usually work part time. Persons who worked less than 35 hours during the reference week because of slack work, but who usually work full time, are workers who have full-time jobs but are on a reduced work schedule temporarily because of low demand. This group expects to return to a full-time schedule when economic conditions improve, and thus it seems reasonable to view such persons as full-time workers. Those who worked less than 35 hours because they “could only find part-time work,” however, present a somewhat different situation. Despite their desire for full-time work, these per sons only have part-time jobs. Their part-time status may or may not change as economic conditions improve, because they would have to find another job in order to become full-time workers. Therefore, to arrive at a more accurate estimate of the number of persons who typically work part time, it is necessary to disaggregate those working part time for economic reasons into two groups according to their usual full- or part-time schedule. Several characteristics of those working part time for economic reasons illustrate the differences between the usual full-time and usual part-time workers. The data sug gest that those who normally work full time resemble work ers on “full-time schedules,” whereas persons who normally work part time are more like voluntary part-time workers. One example is the number of hours worked. The following tabulation shows the percent of workers on part-time sched ules for economic reasons and those on voluntary part time by the number of hours worked, 1985: Part time for economic reasons Usually Usually full time part time T o tal................................ 100.0 100.0 1 to 4 h o u rs....................... 1.3 3.5 5 to 14 h o u rs...................... 10.9 17.2 42.9 54.8 15 to 29 h o u rs......................... 30 to 34 h o u rs......................... 44.9 24.5 Voluntary Part time 100.0 4.4 22.8 54.2 18.6 While close to half (45 percent) of the usual full-timers worked 30 to 34 hours a week, only a quarter of the usual part-timers did. More than half of the usual part-timers worked the number of hours— 15 to 29 a week— typical for the “voluntary part time.” Another characteristic by which the two groups differ is the distribution by sex. As is true for people on full-time schedules, the majority of persons working part time invol untarily who usually work full time are men. In contrast, the majority of those who usually work part time— voluntarily or involuntarily— are women. Persons who usually work part time are also like volun tary part-timers in their industrial and occupational distribu tion. The services and retail trade industries account for the vast majority of workers in both groups. The following tabulation shows the distribution, by industry, of nonagricultural wage and salary workers on part time for economic reasons and those on voluntary part time, 1985: Part time for economic reasons T o tal........................ Retail trade ................ Services ...................... Other industries.......... Usually full time 100.0 19.0 22.4 58.6 Usually part time 100.0 40.3 35.4 24.3 Voluntary part time Characteristics of part-time workers 100.0 37.0 42.6 20.4 Among those part time for economic reasons who usually https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis work full time, a sizable proportion are in the manufacturing and construction industries. The occupational distributions reflect these industry differences. “Sales” and “service” oc cupations accounted for the largest part of both voluntary and involuntary usual part-timers. In contrast, “precision production, craft, and repair” and “operator, fabricator, and laborer” occupations accounted for about half the economic part-timers who usually are full time. The inclusion of all persons usually working part time for voluntary and economic reasons in the count of persons employed part time also helps reconcile recent trends in part-time employment and industry growth, and highlights the importance of part-time workers in the labor market. Between 1979 and 1985, employment in retail trade and services increased by 7 million. Because firms in those industries make extensive use of part-time workers, a signif icant rise in part-time employment also should have occurred during that period. Voluntary part-time employ ment— the traditional measure of part-time employment— increased by only 596,000. If all persons who usually work part time are tallied, however, the increase for the period would have been 2.4 million. This is more in line with the growth in retail trade and service employment. Further, the part-time employed measure shows that during the 1970’s and early 1980’s, part-time employment grew more rapidly than full-time employment. (See chart 1.) The rapid growth of part-time employment has led to some restructuring of the work force. Between 1968 and 1980, the proportion of employed persons who work part time edged up from 14 to 17 percent. The proportion reached 18 percent in 1982 as the recession forced more workers to settle for part-time em ployment. However, as the economy recovered during the 1983-85 period, the percentage returned to 17 percent. Based on the findings presented above, it would seem that the most simple, straightforward answer to the question “How many part-time workers are there?” is a tally of the number of workers who usually work part time, regardless of the reason for their short hours. It would more accurately estimate the number of part-time workers according to the kinds of jobs they typically have.6 Beginning with data for January 1986, the Bureau is revising table A -9 in its monthly periodical Employment and Earnings, to show em ployment by usual full- and part-time status in line with the concepts discussed in this article. Table 2 presents 1985 annual average data displayed by the format for the revised monthly table. Historical data are presented in table 3. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted data series will be available in April 1986. Younger (ages 16 to 24) and older (65 and over) workers account for a much higher proportion of the part- than full time employed. (See table 4.) A part-time schedule allows young people to attend school while working. The connec tion between part-time work and school attendance is shown 15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Part-Time Workers ployed full time. This reflects the fact that female teenagers are more likely to be part-timers. While most women who are employed part time are mar ried, most men are single. Men who work part time are three times as likely as those employed full time to be single. This difference results from the high proportion of very young men working part time. As shown in the tabulation below, a slightly higher pro portion of whites than blacks were employed part time in 1985— 18 versus 16 percent. This difference was greater among women than men. Women accounted for about twothirds of those usually employed part time among each racial group. (Also see table 4.) in the new BLS series on employment status by school en rollment. In October 1985, 6.3 million people between the ages of 16 and 24 were in school and employed. About fourfifths of these worked part time. By comparison, of the 13.8 million in that age group who worked but were not enrolled in school, fewer than 15 percent were part-timers.7 Part-time schedules are attractive to older workers, who use them to ease the transition into retirement. These jobs also provide supplementary retirement income. While age differences between part- and full-time work ers occur among both sexes, differences are more pro nounced among men. Nearly two-thirds of male part-timers are 16 to 24 years old or 65 years and older, compared with only one-third of their female counterparts. Women make up the majority of the part-time em ployed— two-thirds of the total in 1985. (See table 4.) While full-time employment is the norm for both sexes, about 27 percent of the women are employed part time, compared with 10 percent of the men. This difference prob ably reflects the higher proportion of women who also han dle household and childrearing responsibilities and therefore need flexibility in their work schedules. About 6 of 10 women employed part time are married with their spouse present, about the same proportion as women who are employed full time. About 3 of 10 have never been married, a higher ratio than among women em- Percent of employed persons usually working: White .......................................... Men ................................... W omen.................................... Full time 82.4 90.2 72.4 Part time 17.6 9.8 27.6 Black .......................................... Men ........................................ W omen.................................... 84.0 88.1 79.9 16.0 11.9 20.1 Industry and occupational distribution Part-time workers are more apt than their full-time coun terparts to hold jobs in retail trade and services industries. Chart 1. Index of full- and part-time employment and part-time employment as a proportion of total employment, 1968-85 Percent Percent 1968 Percent Digitized for16 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 85 Percent Table 2. Employed and unemployed full- and part-time workers by sex, age, and race, 1985 annual averages [In thousands] Unemployed Employed Part time Full time Voluntary1 Part time for economic reasons, usually work part time Looking for full-time work Looking for part-time work 18,615 3,927 2,053 1,875 14,688 2,999 11,689 8,405 3,284 14,740 3,278 1,830 1,449 11,486 2,163 9,323 6,447 2,876 3,851 649 223 426 3,202 836 2,366 1,958 408 6,793 777 198 579 6,015 1,493 4,522 4,056 466 1,519 690 463 227 829 245 584 439 145 1,030 80 950 183 766 650 116 6,028 1,891 4,137 1,261 2,876 1,568 1,308 4,486 1,574 2,912 872 2,040 878 1,162 1,542 317 1,225 389 836 690 146 3,925 446 3,479 857 2,622 2,329 292 596 360 236 87 149 79 70 33,963 1,017 32,946 4,788 28,158 24,375 3,782 709 52 658 115 543 463 80 12,587 2,036 10,550 1,738 8,812 6,837 1,976 10,278 1,704 8,574 1,291 7,283 5,569 1,715 2,309 332 1,976 447 1,529 1,268 261 2,868 331 2,536 636 1,900 1,727 173 923 330 593 158 434 359 75 47,824 1,298 46,526 5,371 41,155 34,682 6,473 46,953 1,229 45,724 5,213 40,511 34,137 6,374 871 69 802 158 644 545 99 5,222 1,686 3,536 1,057 2,480 1,283 1,197 4,009 1,421 2,588 759 1,829 752 1,077 1,213 265 948 298 651 531 120 2,961 318 2,642 624 2,019 1,778 241 465 274 192 70 122 63 59 29,441 953 28,488 4,290 24,197 20,811 3,386 28,859 907 27,952 4,198 23,753 20,438 3,315 582 46 536 92 444 373 71 11,249 1,831 9,418 1,517 7,901 6,182 1,719 9,383 1,548 7,835 1,153 6,682 5,168 1,514 1,866 283 1,583 364 1,219 1,014 205 2,027 230 1,797 420 1,377 1,235 142 738 252 486 121 365 301 65 Men, 16 years and over ............................................................................. 16 to 19 years ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... 4,641 118 4,524 567 3,957 3,429 528 4,506 108 4,399 546 3,853 3,341 512 135 10 125 21 104 88 16 629 161 468 159 310 221 89 341 115 226 75 152 85 67 288 46 242 84 158 136 22 839 119 719 209 510 465 45 112 74 38 15 23 14 9 Women, 16 years and o v e r......................................................................... 16 to 19 y e a rs ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... 4,180 92 4,086 501 3,585 3,200 385 4,073 87 3,985 481 3,504 3,125 379 107 5 101 20 81 75 6 1,051 161 890 171 720 499 221 665 117 548 95 453 281 172 386 44 342 76 267 218 49 757 95 662 199 445 435 10 156 69 87 32 55 45 10 Total Full-time schedules1 Part time for economic reasons, usually work full time Total Total, 16 years and o v e r............................................................................. 16 to 19 y e a rs ................................................................................................ 16 to 17 years ............................................................................................ 18 to 19 years ............................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... 88,535 2,507 440 2,066 86,029 10,981 75,047 64,044 11,003 86,795 2,375 412 1,962 84,421 10,683 73,737 62,931 10,806 1,740 132 28 104 1,608 298 1,310 1,113 197 Men, 16 years and over ............................................................................. 16 to 19 y e a rs ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... 53,862 1,437 52,425 6,078 46,346 39,207 7,139 52,832 1,357 51,475 5,895 45,580 38,557 7,032 Women, 16 years and o v e r......................................................................... 16 to 19 years ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... 34,672 1,069 33,604 4,903 28,701 24,838 3,862 Men, 16 years and over ............................................................................. 16 to 19 y e a rs ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... Women, 16 years and o v e r......................................................................... 16 to 19 years ................................................................................................ 20 years and over .......................................................................................... 20 to 24 years ............................................................................................ 25 years and over ...................................................................................... 25 to 54 years.......................................................................................... 55 years and o v e r.................................................................................... Sex, age, and race Total White Black 1 Employed persons with a job but not at work are distributed according to whether they usually work full or part time. Note: Detail may not add to totals because of rounding. Together, these industries accounted for 79 percent of the part-time nonagricultural wage and salary workers. This concentration is mirrored in the occupational distribution; nearly half of all part-timers are in sales or service jobs. The high concentration of part-time workers in retail trade and services reflects their importance in these industries. A third o f the wage and salary workers in retail trade and a fifth https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of those in services are employed part time. The extensive use of part-time workers in these industries results from the need of such businesses to offer services to customers during evenings and other times that are not readily staffed by full-timers. In goods-producing industries where operations generally are conducted in one 8-hour shift or more, the usefulness of part-time workers is limited. As a result, these 17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW Table 3. February 1986 Part-Time Workers • Employed full- and part-time workers by sex and age, 1968-85 annual averages [In thousands] Men, 20 years and over Total Year Total Full time Part time Women, 20 years and over Total Full time Part time Total Full time Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Part time Total Full time Part time 1968 ............................................................................... 1969 ............................................................................... 1970 ............................................................................... 75,920 77,902 78,678 65,276 66,596 66,752 10,643 11,306 11,924 44,859 45,388 45,581 42,720 43,100 43,138 2,139 2,288 2,444 25,281 26,397 26,952 19,600 20,454 20,654 5,681 5,944 6,297 5,781 6,117 6,144 2,956 3,042 2,960 2,823 3,074 3,183 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 85,846 66,973 69,213 71,803 73,091 71,585 12,394 12,938 13,262 13,702 14,260 45,912 47,130 48,310 48,922 48,018 43,322 44,475 45,637 46,157 45,051 2,591 2,654 2,673 2,764 2,966 27,246 28,276 29,484 30,424 30,726 20,769 21,536 22,494 23,181 23,242 6,477 6,741 6,990 7,243 7,484 6,208 6,746 7,271 7,448 7,104 2,882 3,202 3,672 3,753 3,292 3,326 3,543 3,599 3,695 3,810 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 99,303 73,965 76,626 80,195 82,654 82,564 14,788 15,393 15,855 16,171 16,742 49,190 50,555 52,143 53,308 53,101 46,175 47,403 49,007 50,174 49,699 3,016 3,152 3,136 3,134 3,403 32,226 33,775 35,836 37,434 38,492 24,406 25,587 27,326 28,622 29,391 7,819 8,187 8,511 8,812 9,102 7,336 7,688 8,070 8,083 7,710 3,384 3,636 3,862 3,858 3,474 3,953 4,054 4,208 4,225 4,237 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... ............................................................................... 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 83,242 81,419 82,322 86,544 88,535 17,154 18,106 18,511 18,461 18,615 53,582 52,891 53,487 55,769 56,562 50,092 48,895 49,264 51,624 52,425 3,490 3,996 4,223 4,145 4,137 39,590 40,086 41,004 42,793 44,154 30,040 30,007 30,680 32,404 33,604 9,549 10,079 10,324 10,388 10,550 7,225 6,549 6,342 6,444 6,434 3,110 2,517 2,378 2,516 2,507 4,115 4,031 3,964 3,928 3,927 Note : Detail may not add to totals because of rounding. Table 4. Employed persons by usual status and age, sex, and race, 1985 [In percent] Employed Characteristic Usually full time Usually part time 88,535 2.8 0.5 2.3 97.2 12.4 31.1 24.7 16.6 10.9 6.8 4.1 1.5 18,615 21.1 11.0 10.1 78.9 16.1 19.8 15.5 9.8 9.9 4.9 5.0 7.8 Total (in thousands)..................................................................... Men .......................................................................................... Women .................................................................................... 88,535 60.8 39.2 18,615 32.4 67.6 White .................................................................................... M en.................................................................................... Women ............................................................................. 100.0 61.9 38.1 100.0 31.7 68.3 Black .................................................................................... M e n .................................................................................... Women ............................................................................. 100.0 52.6 47.4 100.0 37.4 62.6 Age 16 years and over (in thousands)............................................... 16 to 19 .................................................................................... 16 and 1 7 ............................................................................. 18 and 1 9 ............................................................................. 20 and over ............................................................................. 20 to 24 ............................................................................... 25 to 34 ............................................................................... 35 to 44 ............................................................................... 45 to 54 ............................................................................... 55 to 64 ............................................................................... 55 to 5 9 ............................................................................. 60 to 6 4 ............................................................................. 65 and o ve r........................................................................... Sex and race 1 This definition has been in effect since 1947. Over the years some labor market analysts have suggested this cutoff be revised, arguing that overall hours o f work have declined over the long run, and thus the 40-hour standard workweek, upon which the definition of the full-time workweek is based, may no longer be the norm. The National Commission on Em ployment and Unemployment Statistics addressed the issue in their report, Counting the Labor Force. They found no evidence of a significant change from the 40-hour standard and thus recommended that 35 hours continue to be used as the dividing line between part- and full-time work. See Counting the Labor Force, National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statistics (Washington, Government Printing Office, 1979), pp. 5 4 -5 5 . 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis industries have very low percentages of part-time workers. And, the occupations that are concentrated in those indus tries such as precision production, craft, and repair and operators, fabricators, and laborers have a very low percent age of part-time workers. As expected, another occupational group that typically has a low percentage of part-timers is executive, administrative, and managerial.8 A n a l t e r n a t i v e w a y of combining existing data to esti mate the number of part-time workers has been presented in this article. Counting as “part-time employed” all persons who usually work less than 35 hours a week appears to reflect existing labor market conditions. However, there are limitations to this estimate. To the extent that some workers hold a full-time as well as a part-time job or combine two separate part-time jobs in order to work more than 35 hours a week, the suggested “part-time employed” figure underes timates the number of part-time jobs. This problem occurs because, in the CPS, multiple job-holders are counted only once. Nevertheless, the CPS data are the only source of current information about workers on part-time schedules, and defining the part-time employed as suggested in this article appears to be an accurate way to answer the oftenasked question: How many part-time workers are there? □ 2 For a discussion of the cyclical sensitivity of this measure and its component parts, see Robert W. Bednarzik, “Short workweeks during eco nomic downturns,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1983, pp. 3 -1 1 . 3 Each month in the news release, “The Employment Situation,” BLS publishes a set of alternative measures of unemployment. These measures, labeled u - i through u -7 , are designed to reflect a wide range o f assumptions about unemployment. Three of the alternatives involve the full-time/parttime concepts. U-4 is defined as unemployed full-time jobseekers as a percent of the full-time labor force, u -6 is defined as total full-time job seekers plus half of the part-time jobseekers plus half of the total working part time for economic reasons as a percent of the civilian labor force less half o f the part-time labor force, u -7 is the same as u -6 with the number of discouraged workers added to the count of jobseekers and the civilian labor force. time workers: a growing part of the labor force,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1978, pp. 3 -1 0 . The latter article dealt only with nonagricultural employment. 4 Employed persons with a job but not at work during the survey refer ence week are classified as full- or part-time workers according to whether they usually work 35 hours or more. This group averaged 5.8 million in 1985, and ranged from a low of 3.9 million in November to a high of 11.8 million in July. 6 In terms of the existing classifications, a count of the part-time em ployed would include voluntary part-timers, the part-timers for economic reasons who usually work part time, and persons with a job but not at work who usually work less than 35 hours a week. 5 See Carol Leon and Robert W. Bednarzik, “A profile of women on part-time schedules,” Monthly Labor Review, October 1978, pp. 3-12; and William V. Deutermann, Jr. and Scott Campbell Brown, “Voluntary part- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 See Anne McDougall Young, “New monthly data series on school age youth,” Monthly Labor Review, July 1985, pp. 4 9 -5 0 . 8 Janice Neipert Hedges, “Job commitment in America: is it waxing or waning?” Monthly Labor Review, July 1983, pp. 17-24. Tenements house some hard numbers During the winter of 1914-15 the Committee on Unemployment formed by Mayor John P. Mitchell called upon the Bureau of Labor Statistics for a series of field surveys of unemployment in New York City. The commit tee had collected data from employers on the number employed in a week of December 1914 and for the corresponding week of December 1913. At about the same time, the Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, in cooper ation with the Mayor’s Committee, had surveyed its industrial policyhold ers in Greater New York. At the request of the committee, with personnel borrowed from the U.S. Immigration Bureau and the New York City Tenement House Inspection Service, the Bureau covered over 100 city blocks and some 3,700 individual tenement houses in January and February 1915. It found an unemployment rate of 16.2 percent, which approximated the 18-percent rate reported by Metropolitan. The results were published by the Bureau in Unemployment in New York City, New York. [BLS Commissioner] Meeker then contracted with Metropolitan for stud ies in 16 cities in the East and Middle West and in 12 Rocky Mountain and Pacific Coast cities. In August and September 1915, at the urging of the Mayor’s Committee, both the Bureau and Metropolitan conducted surveys in New York City for a second time. The results of this work were pre sented in 1916 in a Bureau publication, Unemployment in the United States. — Joseph P. Goldberg and W illiam T. Moye The First Hundred Years of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Bulletin 2235 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). 19 Hourly paid workers: who they are and what they earn More than half of all wage and salary workers were paid by the hour during 1984; median earnings were $5.95 per hour, but a closer look reveals many variations among groups Earl F. M ellor and Steven E. Haugen The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes several different data series on the hourly earnings of workers, each high lighting different worker and job-related characteristics. All but one of these series are based on surveys of payroll and other records of business establishments. Data from these series contain considerable industrial detail. In contrast, the remaining earnings series is based on a nationwide sample survey of households, and provides detailed information on hourly earnings by the demographic and social characteris tics of the wage earners.1 (See the appendix on page 26.) Moreover, the earnings obtained in the Current Population Survey (CPS) of households represent only hourly wages paid to the employee— stripped of any effects of tips, premium pay for overtime, bonuses, and commissions. More than half of all wage and salary workers are in this category. Earl F. Mellor and Steven E. Haugen are economists in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Who is paid by the hour Altogether, 92 million American workers were paid wages or salaries in 1984, and 54 million of them were paid at hourly rates. The method of remuneration received by workers is closely linked to the nature of jobs held. For example, 80 percent of all part-time workers were paid by the hour, compared with 54 percent of the full-time workers. The fact that women were more likely than men to work part time is reflected in the larger proportion of women who were paid by the hour— 62 percent versus 56 percent (table 1). The same explanation applies to younger versus older workers. The proportion paid hourly rates was highest for teenagers— 89 percent— and lowest for those in the central prime age groups, comprising the 35 to 49 population. Even for those aged 70 and over, the proportion was far below that for teenagers and young adults. The high proportion of young workers paid by the hour reflects their tendency to work both part time and part year, and in occupations less likely to be salaried even when they are employed all year in full-time jobs. Table 1. Employed wage and salary workers paid hourly rates by selected characteristics, 1984 annual averages [Numbers in thousands] Workers paid hourly rates All wage and salary workers Characteristic As a percent of all workers Number Total Men Women Total Men Women Total Men Women Race and Hispanic origin 92,194 80,071 9,699 5,271 50,022 43,932 4,819 3,067 42,172 36,139 4,880 2,204 54,143 46,098 6,623 3,643 28,140 24,084 3,346 2,165 26,003 22,014 3,277 1,479 58.7 57.6 68.3 69.1 56.3 54.8 69.4 70.6 61.7 60.9 67.2 67.1 19 years................................................................................................................................ 24 years................................................................................................................................ 29 years................................................................................................................................ 34 years................................................................................................................................ 39 years................................................................................................................................ 44 years................................................................................................................................ 6,243 13,661 14,559 12,917 11,222 8,917 3,171 7,189 8,021 7,164 6,107 4,811 3,072 6,472 6,539 5,754 5,115 4,107 5,552 10,092 8,667 6,898 5,658 4,535 2,787 5,442 4,756 3,744 2,838 2,214 2,765 4,650 3,911 3,154 2,820 2,321 88.9 73.9 59.5 53.4 50.4 50.9 87.9 75.7 59.3 52.3 46.5 46.0 90.0 71.8 59.8 54.8 55.1 56.5 45 to 49 years................................................................................................................................ 50 to 54 years................................................................................................................................ 55 to 59 years................................................................................................................................ 60 to 64 years................................................................................................................................ 65 to 69 years................................................................................................................................ 70 years and o v e r.......................................................................................................................... 7,097 6,391 5,694 3,599 1,148 743 3,887 3,561 3,176 1,947 591 398 3,211 2,832 2,517 1,652 557 345 3,586 3,302 2,954 1,894 606 398 1,766 1,687 1,506 935 267 198 1,820 1,615 1,448 959 340 200 50.5 51.7 51.9 52.6 52.8 53.6 45.4 47.4 47.4 48.0 45.2 49.7 56.7 57.0 57.5 58.1 61.0 58.0 17,282 5,368 11,914 13,880 4,243 9,637 80.3 79.0 80.9 16,366 2,599 12,667 279 475 270 76 53.7 54.4 59.7 54.6 41.2 27.6 19.7 53.5 55.6 61.0 55.4 43.3 29.1 20.1 54.1 53.8 57.9 53.1 35.1 21.8 17.7 Total, 16 years and o v e r................................................................................................................... White ............................................................................................................................................. Black ............................................................................................................................................. Hispanic origin .............................................................................................................................. Age 16 to 20 to 25 to 30 to 35 to 40 to Hours usually worked Part-time workers .......................................................................................................................... 74,912 6,961 52,307 1,517 5,327 6,076 2,723 44,654 2,132 30,426 992 3,972 4,838 2,294 30,258 4,829 21,882 525 1,355 1,238 429 40,262 3,784 31,238 829 2,195 1,678 537 23,896 1,185 18,571 550 1,721 1,409 461 Managerial and professional specialty.......................................................................................... Executive, administrative, and managerial ............................................................................... Professional specialty ............................................................................................................... 20,817 9,314 11,504 11,412 5,879 5,533 9,404 3,434 5,970 4,641 1,670 2,972 1,636 755 881 3,005 914 2,091 22.3 17.9 25.8 14.3 12.8 15.9 32.0 26.6 35.0 Technical, sales, and administrative support ............................................................................... Technicians and related support .............................................................................................. Sales occupations...................................................................................................................... Administrative support, including clerical ................................................................................. 29,135 3,090 9,916 16,130 9,689 1,578 4,806 3,305 19,446 1,510 5,111 12,825 16,373 1,763 5,220 9,390 4,157 766 1,439 1,952 12,217 998 3,781 7,438 56.2 57.1 52.6 58.2 42.9 48.5 29.9 59.1 62.8 66.1 74.0 58.0 Service occupations ...................................................................................................................... Private household ...................................................................................................................... Protective service ...................................................................................................................... Service, except private household and protective.................................................................... 13,066 1,008 1,659 10,398 5,249 39 1,438 3,772 7,817 970 220 6,626 9,899 511 892 8,496 3,804 25 756 3,023 6,095 486 137 5,473 75.8 50.7 53.8 81.7 72.5 (1) 52.6 80.1 78.0 50.1 62.3 82.6 Full-time workers .......................................................................................................................... 35 to 39 ho u rs............................................................................................................................ 40 hours ..................................................................................................................................... 41 to 44 hou rs............................................................................................................................ 45 to 48 ho u rs............................................................................................................................ 49 to 59 ho u rs............................................................................................................................ 60 hours or m ore........................................................................................................................ Occupation Precision production, craft, and repair .......................................................................................... 11,188 10,224 964 8,521 7,742 778 76.2 75.7 80.7 Operators, fabricators, and laborers.............................................................................................. Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors ...................................................................... Transportation and material moving occupations .................................................................... Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers .............................................................. 16,213 7,798 4,122 4,294 11,908 4,563 3,771 3,574 4,305 3,235 351 720 13,667 6,942 2,854 3,872 9,921 4,109 2,597 3,215 3,746 2,833 257 657 84.3 89.0 69.2 90.2 83.3 90.1 68.9 90.0 87.0 87.6 73.2 91.3 1,776 1,540 236 1,041 879 162 58.6 57.1 68.6 Farming, forestry, and fishing ....................................................................................................... 'Data not shown where base is less than 50,000. Note: Detail for the above race and Hispanic origin groups will not sum to totals because Among white workers, women were more likely than men to be paid hourly rates, while the reverse was true— albeit to a lesser extent— for blacks and Hispanics. The following tabulation shows, however, that the situation is quite different when numbers are reported for full- and parttime workers. P e rc e n t p a id h o u rly ra te s F u ll tim e W h ite ............................... . . . . B lack ............................... . . . . H isp an ic origin .......... . . . . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P a r t tim e M en W om en M en W om en 5 2 .0 6 8 .3 6 9 .4 5 2 .5 6 4 .3 6 1 .6 7 9 .1 7 7 .5 8 0 .3 8 1 .2 7 7 .3 8 4 .7 data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. For full-time employees, the more hours people work, the more likely they are to be in a salaried rather than in an hourly paid position. About three-fifths of the men who usually worked exactly 40 hours a week were paid hourly, compared with just over two-fifths for those working 45 to 48 hours and one-fifth for those working 60 hours or more. This pattern was similar for women working full time. The occupational distribution of hourly paid workers sheds further light on this relationship. As shown in table 1, fewer than one-fifth of workers in executive, administrative, and managerial occupations and about one-fourth of those in professional specialty occupations were paid hourly rates. A substantial number of employees in these occupations put in 21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Hourly Paid Workers long workweeks, with one-quarter of the two groups (com bined) working 49 hours or more a week.2 In contrast, about nine-tenths of workers employed as machine operators, as semblers, and inspectors, and as handlers, equipment clean Table 2. Median hourly earnings of workers paid hourly rates by selected characteristics, 1984 annual averages Median hourly earnings Characteristic Total Men Women $5.95 6.02 5.43 5.39 $7.27 7.39 6.28 6.17 $5.08 5.09 4.99 4.73 ............................................... ............................................... ............................................... ............................................... ............................................... ............................................... 3.64 4.94 6.52 7.23 7.37 7.17 3.80 5.31 7.50 8.63 9.48 9.75 3.50 4.43 5.52 5.81 5.81 5.51 45 to 49 years ............................................... 50 to 54 years ............................................... 55 to 59 years ............................................... 60 to 64 years ............................................... 65 to 69 years ............................................... 70 years and o v e r........................................... 7.23 7.20 6.85 6.45 4.95 4.38 9.96 9.65 9.15 8.68 5.23 4.82 5.46 5.63 5.40 5.30 4.71 4.21 Race and Hispanic origin Total, 16 years and o ve r.................................... White .............................................................. Black .............................................................. Hispanic origin ............................................... Age 16 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years Hours usually worked Part-time w o rkers........................................... 4.04 3.92 4.10 Full-time workers ........................................... 35 to 39 hours............................................. 40 h o u rs ...................................................... 41 to 44 hours............................................. 45 to 48 hours............................................. 49 to 59 hours............................................. 60 hours or m ore......................................... 6.80 5.20 6.95 7.35 7.40 7.45 7.14 8.03 6.04 8.12 8.32 8.05 7.84 7.38 5.59 5.04 5.74 5.94 5.91 5.91 4.96 Managerial and protessional specialty............... Executive, administrative, and managerial . . . Protessional specialty.................................... 8.62 7.25 9.42 9.64 8.48 10.34 8.25 6.59 9.16 Technical, sales, and administrative support . . . Technicians and related supp ort................... Sales occupations ......................................... Administrative support, including c le ric a l___ 5.45 7.79 4.18 5.95 6.85 9.29 4.99 7.62 5.26 7.15 4.01 5.71 Service occupations........................................... Private household........................................... Protective service........................................... Service, except private household and protective ................................................... 4.08 3.25 6.20 4.50 (1) 6.52 3.88 3.23 4.98 4.01 4.25 3.91 Precision production, craft, and repair............... 8.84 9.23 5.75 Operators, fabricators, and la borers................. Machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors................................................... Transportation and material moving occupations................................................. Handlers, equipment cleaners, helpers, and laborers ..................................................... 6.38 7.20 5.15 6.59 8.04 5.18 7.51 7.77 6.01 5.28 5.39 4.74 4.35 4.40 4.07 Total, 25 years and ove r.................................... 6.96 8.67 5.51 Less than 4 years of high school................... Elementary, 8 years or le s s ........................ High school, 1 to 3 ye a rs............................ 5.79 5.43 6.04 7.22 6.46 7.91 4.55 4.34 4.71 High school, 4 years or more ........................ High school, 4 years .................................. College, 1 to 3 y e a rs .................................. College, 4 years or m o re ............................ College, 4 years....................................... College, 5 years or more ........................ 7.30 6.97 7.80 8.37 8.18 9.14 9.28 9.17 9.52 9.44 9.34 9.90 5.91 5.41 6.47 7.68 7.38 8.48 Occupation Farming, forestry, and fish in g ............................ Years of school completed 'Data not shown where base is less than 50,000. Note : Data refer to persons 16 years and over, except years of school completed, which refers to the population 25 years and over. Digitized for 22 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ers, helpers, and laborers were paid hourly wages, but fewer than one-tenth put in 49 or more hours a week. The data illustrate the inverse relationship between the number of hours usually worked and the likelihood of being paid at an hourly rate. It is beyond the scope of this article, however, to fully explain the nature of this relationship, because information is not collected in the CPS on several of the factors which may be involved. These include data on the overtime provisions of the Fair Labor Standards Act, the provisions of collective bargaining agreements, the extent of nonpecuniary compensation derived from a job, and productivity. Median hourly earnings Median hourly earnings for people who were actually paid hourly rates in 1984 were $5.95— $7.27 for men and $5.08 for women. (See table 2.) It is important to under stand the significance of what these data represent: Hourly earnings data are commonly calculated for all workers (wage and salary) based on information on their weekly or annual earnings. These figures will be typically higher than would be the case for those whose pay rate is hourly. For example, the median weekly earnings of all workers putting in exactly 40 hours a week— a majority of all workers— was $312 in 1984; when divided by 40, this turns out to be $7.80 an hour. The median hourly wage among workers actually paid by the hour and reported as usually working 40 hours a week was $6.95. This difference is to be expected, be cause the weekly earnings data include components of earn ings beyond straight-time wages and many higher-paying jobs are salaried. The overall female-to-male earnings ratio for full-time workers paid hourly rates— 70 percent— is 5 percentage points higher than that associated with the medians in the weekly earnings series for all full-time workers (65 per cent). This finding may be explained by the more homoge neous universe for the hourly earnings data mentioned above; that is, male-dominated higher-paying occupations are more likely to be salaried. Between 1979 and 1984, the female-to-male earnings ratio for hourly paid workers rose considerably for whites, blacks, and Hispanics, whereas the black-to-white and the Hispanic-to-white earnings ratios were virtually unchanged. (See table 3.) Regardless of race or ethnicity, the hourly earnings of men rose by about 25 percent over the period and those of women about 40 percent; the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 43 percent. Among age groups, median hourly earnings ranged from $3.64 for teenagers to highs in the $7.17-$7.37 range for age groups within the 30- to 54-year bracket in 1984. Men’s wages peaked at about $10 an hour for those between 40 and 54 years of age, while the peak for women— $5.81— was not only much less, but also occurred at a younger age— among those in their thirties. The female-to-male earnings ratio, at about 90 percent for teenagers, declined with age to the 45-to-49 group, and rose thereafter. The higher ratios at both ends of the age spectrum may stem from the fact that higher proportions of wage earners in these age groups are paid at or near the minimum wage. Hourly pay is wide-ranging among occupational and in dustry groups. Median hourly pay ranged from $4.08 for all service jobs to $9.42 among the professional specialty jobs. In the latter group, the median for men was a little more than a dollar higher per hour than that for women, a gap much closer than the overall difference. Among the major industrial groups, median hourly wages of both men and women were highest in mining, construction, durable goods manufacturing, and the transportation and public utilities group. Wages were lowest in retail trade, private house holds, personal services, entertainment and recreation, so cial services, and agriculture. Earnings distribution Clearly, median earnings do not tell the whole story. The median for two different groups could be similar; yet the distribution of earnings of one group may be tightly clus tered around the median, while that for another group may be dispersed. Therefore, it is useful to look at distributions as well. Table 4 shows the percent distribution of hourly wages for major demographic groups. Regardless of the median, each demographic group has some people with earnings of less than $3 an hour and others with as much as $15 or more. (It should be noted that for some population groups, the extremes of the distribution may contain only a small number of sample observations.) The following dis cussion focuses briefly on the likelihood of wage earners receiving $12 an hour or more, the figure that is roughly twice the overall median of $5.95, and on those earning at or below the prevailing minimum wage of $3.35, which is a little more than half the median. Each of these high-paying and low-paying categories accounts for roughly one-tenth of all hourly paid workers. Receiving $12 or more per hour. The likelihood of earn ing at least $12 an hour in 1984 was over 5 times as great for men (about 17 percent) as for women (3 percent). The proportion for white men was about half again as high as that for black men; among women, both whites and blacks were about equally as likely to earn this amount (each about 3 percent). Fewer than 2 percent of the workers under age 25 were in this higher paying category. Among workers 25 and over, the proportion rose from 6 percent for those with only an elementary school education to 23 percent for those completing 4 or more years of college. At each level of schooling completed, men were more likely than women to earn $12 an hour or more. However, the disparity narrowed at successively higher educational levels, as men not com pleting high school were more than 10 times as likely as women to earn this amount. Among those with 4 years of high school or more, men were 5 times as likely as women to earn $12 per hour or more (26 versus 5 percent). The ratio was 2 to 1 among college graduates (31 versus 16 percent). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 3. Median hourly earnings of workers paid hourly rates by sex, race, and Hispanic origin, 1979-84 annual averages 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Total ..................................................... Men ................................................... Women ............................................. $4.48 5.73 3.66 $4.91 6.28 4.01 $5.27 6.72 4.35 $5.46 6.99 4.65 $5.66 7.06 4.89 $5.95 7.27 5.08 W h ite ................................................. Men ............................................... W om en........................................... 4.55 5.89 3.66 4.97 6.42 4.02 5.30 6.84 4.36 5.51 7.14 4.66 5.74 7.21 4.89 6.02 7.39 5.09 Black ................................................. Men ............................................... Women ........................................... 4.20 5.03 3.60 4.49 5.30 3.94 5.01 5.93 4.27 5.17 6.11 4.52 5.27 6.09 4.79 5.43 6.28 4.99 Hispanic origin .................................. Men ............................................... W om en........................................... 4.16 4.88 3.45 4.48 5.14 3.84 4.90 5.45 4.15 5.13 5.80 4.41 5.23 5.92 4.46 5.39 6.17 4.73 Female-to-male ................................ White ............................................. Black ............................................. Hispanic origin .............................. 63.9 62.1 71.6 70.7 63.9 62.6 74.3 74.7 64.7 63.7 72.0 76.1 66.5 65.3 74.0 76.0 69.3 67.8 78.7 75.3 69.9 68.9 79.5 76.7 Black-to-white.................................... Men ............................................... W om en........................................... 92.3 85.4 98.4 90.3 82.6 98.0 94.5 86.7 97.9 93.8 85.6 97.0 91.8 84.5 98.0 90.2 85.0 98.0 Hispanic origin-to-white..................... Men ............................................... W om en........................................... 91.4 82.9 94.3 90.1 80.1 95.5 92.5 79.7 95.2 93.1 81.2 94.6 91.1 82.1 91.2 89.5 83.5 92.9 Characteristic Median hourly earnings Earnings ratios (percent) About 13 percent of full-time wage earners made at least $12— 19 percent of the men and 4 percent of the women— but fewer than 3 percent of part-time workers earned this amount. Among workers putting in more than 40 hours a week, the proportion was 15 percent— 18 percent for men and 6 percent for women. Among the major occupational groups, 25 percent of both professional specialty workers and those in the precision production, craft, and repair group earned $12 an hour or more in 1984. At the lower extreme, 2 percent or fewer of those in sales; service (except protective service); and farm ing, forestry, and fishery jobs earned this much. Minimum and subminimum wage workers. The prevailing minimum wage, which has been $3.35 per hour since Janu ary 1981, was established by the 1977 revisions to the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) of 1938. About 4.1 million workers were reported as earning exactly $3.35 an hour in 1984, and 1.8 million were reported as earning less than this amount. Together, these workers constituted about 11 per cent of all hourly paid workers. It is important to note at the outset that the presence of a sizable group of hourly paid workers receiving less than the minimum wage does not necessarily indicate widespread violations of the FLSA, as there are a number of exemptions to its minimum wage provisions. These exemptions are wide-ranging and include employees in outside sales work, low volume retail trade and service firms, and seasonal amusement establishments.3 For the most part, those earning $3.35 and hour or less tend to be young. About 60 percent of those with these low earnings were under age 25— one-third were teenagers. 23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Hourly Paid Workers Among teenagers alone, nearly 40 percent earned $3.35 or less. Persons 65 and over— while representing only 3 per cent of the total number of minimum wage earners— also had a relatively high probability of earning at or below $3.35, as nearly 1 out of 5 hourly paid persons in this age group earned this amount. (See table 5.) Nearly 15 percent of all women who were paid hourly rates earned the prevailing minimum wage or below, which was double the proportion for men. These percentages, however, differed greatly according to whether the em ployee usually worked full or part time, as shown in the following tabulation: time. Given the fact that women made up a disproportionate share of part-time workers paid hourly rates (69 percent), those working part time accounted for almost 45 percent of all low-wage workers in 1984; men working part time ac counted for about 21 percent. An examination of minimum wage workers by race and ethnicity shows that only a slightly higher proportion of blacks than whites and Hispanics earned $3.35 or less. Nearly 14 percent of the black population were in this earn ings group, compared with 11 percent of both Hispanics and whites. Given the direct correlation of educational attainment and earnings, the likelihood that a person had hourly earnings at or below $3.35 per hour diminished with increased school ing. Among hourly paid workers aged 25 years and over with less than 4 years of high school, 10 percent were low wage earners, compared with 6 percent who finished 4 years of high school, and less than 4 percent of those with 4 years or more of college. Of the four major regions in the United States, the largest proportion of those at or below the minimum wage lived in the South (40 percent). Overall, 13 percent of all hourly paid Percent at or below $3.35 T o tal.................................... Part-time workers .......... Full-time workers .......... 35 to 39 h o u rs ............ 40 h o u rs...................... 41 hours or m o re........ Both sexes 11.0 28.0 5.2 12.1 4.6 3.7 Men 7.5 30.2 3.5 10.5 3.3 2.4 Women 14.8 27.0 7.6 12.8 6.5 8.5 The number of part-time workers earning $3.35 or less, at 3.9 million, was nearly twice the number working full Table 4. Percent distribution of hourly earnings of workers paid hourly rates by selected characteristics, 1984 annual averages Characteristic Number of workers (in thou sands) Percent distribution Total Under $3.00 $3.00 to $3.99 $4.00 to $4.99 $5.00 to $5.99 $6.00 to $6.99 $7.00 to $7.99 $8.00 to $9.99 $10.00 to $11.99 $12.00 to $14.99 $15.00 or more Median hourly earnings Sex and age Total, 16 years and o ve r.................................. 16 to 24 years ............................................. 25 years and o v e r......................................... 54,143 15,644 38,499 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.2 4.4 1.3 18.9 37.2 11.4 15.3 21.6 12.7 14.1 14.9 13.7 10.2 8.1 11.1 8.2 5.1 9.4 11.7 4.9 14.4 9.4 2.3 12.2 7.0 1.1 9.4 3.2 .5 4.3 $5.95 4.30 6.96 Men, 16 years and over .............................. 16 to 24 ye a rs........................................... 25 years and o v e r .................................... 28,140 8,228 19,911 100.0 100.0 100.0 .8 1.8 .4 13.5 32.1 5.8 11.3 21.0 7.3 11.8 16.3 10.0 9.5 9.5 9.5 8.7 6.9 9.5 14.4 6.6 17.7 13.2 3.3 17.3 11.3 1.7 15.3 5.3 .7 7.2 7.27 4.66 8.67 Women, 16 years and o v e r.......................... 16 to 24 ye a rs........................................... 25 years and o v e r .................................... 26,003 7,416 18,587 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.7 7.2 2.3 24.7 42.8 17.4 19.6 22.3 18.5 16.5 13.3 17.7 10.9 6.4 12.7 7.5 3.2 9.2 8.7 3.0 10.9 5.2 1.3 6.8 2.4 .3 3.2 .9 .2 1.2 5.08 3.99 5.51 W h ite ............................................................ Men .......................................................... W om en..................................................... 46,098 24,084 22,014 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.4 .8 4.0 18.2 12.8 24.1 15.1 11.0 19.6 13.9 11.5 16.5 10.2 9.5 10.9 8.3 8.9 7.6 11.8 14.6 8.8 9.6 13.6 5.3 7.3 11.8 2.3 3.3 5.6 .8 6.02 7.39 5.09 Black ............................................................ Men .......................................................... Women ..................................................... 6,623 3,346 3,277 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.2 .7 1.7 23.5 18.4 28.8 16.2 13.0 19.5 15.2 14.2 16.3 10.1 9.5 10.7 7.6 8.3 6.8 11.0 13.9 8.0 8.2 11.2 5.0 5.2 8.0 2.3 1.9 2.7 .9 5.43 6.28 4.99 Hispanic origin ............................................. Men .......................................................... W om en..................................................... 3,643 2,165 1,479 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.3 .6 2.3 21.6 16.2 29.7 18.5 16.1 21.9 15.6 14.5 17.3 11.0 11.0 10.9 8.0 8.9 6.6 9.7 12.1 6.1 6.3 8.4 3.2 5.7 8.6 1.6 2.4 3.6 .5 5.39 6.17 4.73 Full-time workers ......................................... Men .......................................................... W om en...................................................... 40,262 23,896 16,366 100.0 100.0 100.0 .9 .3 1.8 10.6 7.2 15.6 13.8 10.0 19.4 14.7 11.9 18.6 11.6 10.3 13.4 9.7 9.8 9.6 14.3 16.4 11.3 11.6 15.1 6.4 8.9 13.0 2.9 3.9 5.9 .9 6.80 8.03 5.59 Part-time w o rkers......................................... Men .......................................................... Women ...................................................... 13,880 4,243 9,637 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.0 3.6 7.0 42.8 48.9 40.1 19.5 18.6 19.9 12.3 11.3 12.8 6.2 5.2 6.6 3.6 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 4.1 3.0 2.5 3.2 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.7 .9 4.04 3.92 4.10 Race, Hispanic origin, and sex Full- or part-time status and sex Note: Detail for the above race and Hispanic origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. Digitized for 24FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 5. Workers paid hourly rates with earnings at or below the prevailing minimum wage by selected characteristics, 1984 annual averages Number of workers (in thousands) Characteristic Total paid hourly rates Percent of all workers paid hourly rates Percent distribution At or below $3.35 Total At $3.35 Below $3.35 Total paid hourly rates At or below $3.35 At or below $3.35 Total At $3.35 Below $3.35 Total At $3.35 Below $3.35 Sex and age Total, 16 years and ov e r........................................... 16 to 24 years ..................................................... 25 years and o v e r................................................. 54,143 15,644 38,499 5,963 3,582 2,381 4,125 2,539 1,586 1,838 1,043 795 100.0 28.9 71.1 100.0 60.1 39.9 100.0 61.6 38.4 100.0 56.7 43.3 11.0 22.9 6.2 7.6 16.2 4.1 3.4 6.7 2.1 Men, 16 years and over ....................................... 16 to 24 ye a rs................................................... 25 years and o v e r ............................................. 28,140 8,228 19,911 2,116 1,492 623 1,626 1,166 460 490 326 163 52.0 15.2 36.8 35.5 25.0 10.4 39.4 28.3 11.2 26.7 17.7 8.9 7.5 18.1 3.1 5.8 14.2 2.3 1.7 4.0 .8 Women, 16 years and o v e r.................................. 16 to 24 ye a rs................................................... 25 years and o v e r ............................................. 26,003 7,416 18,587 3,847 2,089 1,758 2,499 1,373 1,126 1,348 716 632 48.0 13.7 34.3 64.5 35.0 29.5 60.6 33.3 27.3 73.3 39.0 34.4 14.8 28.2 9.5 9.6 18.5 6.1 5.2 9.7 3.4 W h ite ..................................................................... Men .................................................................. W om en.............................................................. 46,098 24,084 22,014 4,923 1,684 3,239 3,293 1,273 2,020 1,630 411 1,219 85.1 44.5 40.7 82.6 28.2 54.3 79.8 30.9 49.0 88.7 22.4 66.3 10.7 7.0 14.7 7.1 5.3 9.2 3.5 1.7 5.5 Black ..................................................................... Men .................................................................. Women .............................................................. 6,623 3,346 3,277 896 375 521 737 315 422 159 60 99 12.2 6.2 6.1 15.0 6.3 8.7 17.9 7.6 10.2 8.7 3.3 5.4 13.5 11.2 15.9 11.1 9.4 12.9 2.4 1.8 3.0 Hispanic origin ...................................................... Men .................................................................. W om en.............................................................. 3,643 2,165 1,479 415 179 236 314 143 171 101 36 65 6.7 4.0 2.7 7.0 3.0 4.0 7.6 3.5 4.1 5.5 2.0 3.5 11.4 8.3 16.0 8.6 6.6 11.6 2.8 1.7 4.4 Full-time workers ................................................. Men .................................................................. W om en.............................................................. 40,262 23,896 16,366 2,079 835 1,244 1,497 657 840 582 178 404 74.4 44.1 30.2 34.9 14.0 20.9 36.3 15.9 20.4 31.7 9.7 22.0 5.2 3.5 7.6 3.7 2.7 5.1 1.4 .7 2.5 Part-time w o rkers................................................. Men .................................................................. W om en.............................................................. 13,880 4,243 9,637 3,883 1,280 2,602 2,627 969 1,658 1,256 311 944 25.6 7.8 17.8 65.1 21.5 43.6 63.7 23.5 40.2 68.3 16.9 51.4 28.0 30.2 27.0 18.9 22.8 17.2 9.0 7.3 9.8 Race, Hispanic origin, and sex Full- or part-time status and sex Note: Detail for the above race and Hispanic origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. workers in the South earned the minimum or less, compared with 12 percent in the North Central region, 9 percent in the Northeast, and 8 percent in the West. Nearly half of all minimum wage workers held servicetype jobs in 1984. Service occupations with the highest concentrations of low-paying jobs included private house hold work, food services, and cleaning and building serv ices. It is notable that persons employed as food service workers accounted for 31 percent of all workers at or below the minimum wage; of that number, roughly half worked at the minimum of $3.35 and half worked below this level. Another area in which there was a large proportion of per sons working at or below $3.35 was in sales occupations, particularly in retail sales, in which nearly 1 out of every 4 employees earned the minimum or less. It should be re membered, however, that for many working in sales and food service occupations, tips and commissions supplement (to varying degrees) the hourly wages received. t h i s a r t i c l e has focused on earnings as a pure wage paid to the employee— stripped of any effects of tips, premium pay for overtime, bonuses, and commissions. As the find ings have suggested, the wealth of information available from the Current Population Survey helps provide a founda tion for further studies which can shed more light on the conditions of workers paid hourly rates. □ FOOTNOTES 1 See bls Measures o f Compensation, Bulletin 2239 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1986), for a complete description of all b l s earnings series. Among these are the Current Employment Statistics Survey, Area Wage Surveys, and Industry Wage Surveys. hours usually worked. In the case of workers with two or more jobs, the data are tabulated according to the occupation at which the employee works the most hours. 2 Data on workweeks by occupation refer to hours actually worked during each month’s survey reference week rather than to the number of 3 See Report o f the Minimum Wage Study Commission, Volume 1, p. 107, for a more complete list of full and partial exemptions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 APPENDIX: • Hourly Paid Workers Hourly earnings data from the CPS The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a monthly sample survey conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, totaling about 59,500 house holds, in 50 States and the District of Columbia. Data on hourly earnings are collected from one-quarter of each month’s CPS sample through questions 25B and 25C, which read: 25B. Is . . . paid by the hour on this job? 25C. How much does . . . earn per hour? Although data are collected monthly, the numbers are aggregated into quarterly and annual averages to increase their statistical reliability. On a quarterly basis, the data are tabulated by sex, race, Hispanic origin, age, marital status, major occupation and industry groups, and usual full- or part-time status. Annual average data are also tabulated by region of residence, number of hours usually worked, years of school completed, and more occupational and industrial detail. While both the quarterly and annual average tabula tions provide distributional data (for example, the number of workers earning between $5 and $5.99 per hour), the latter show more wage categories, as well as data for minimum wage workers. Between 1973 and 1978, hourly earnings data were col lected only once a year as part of a supplement to each May’s CPS. Comparability between these and more recent data is affected by changes in questionnaire design, the coverage of the wage and salary worker universe, and the handling of survey nonresponses. As a result, whereas esti mates of the proportion of all workers paid hourly rates between 1973 and 1978 ranged between 49 and 51 percent, changes introduced in 1979 caused the proportion to jump to 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 percent, where it has remained. In 1983, there were changes to the entire occupational classification system which preclude occupational comparisons with previous years. In addition, a change in the method of estimating medians introduced the same year affects the comparability of any medians under $3.00 or over $5.99 per hour. As is the case with estimates from any sample survey, the results can vary by chance because a sample, rather than the entire population, is surveyed. A measure of this variation is called the standard error. If samples are repeatedly drawn and estimates are computed from each sample, in approxi mately 68 out of 100 samples the actual population value will differ from the sample estimate by less than one stand ard error. In approximately 90 out of 100 samples, the population value will differ from the sample estimate by less than 1.6 times the standard error. All statements of compari son appearing in this article are significant at the 90-percent level or higher. Users are cautioned against drawing conclu sions from small differences among numbers for small pop ulation groups because of the relatively large sampling errors associated with estimates based on small sample sizes. In addition, results are subject to errors of response and nonreporting— errors possible even in a complete cen sus. These can result from differences in the interpretation of questions, the inability or unwillingness of respondents to provide correct answers, the rounding of figures, errors of processing, and errors made in estimating values for missing data. For more information regarding the collec tion, processing, merits, and limitations of CPS data on earn ings, see Earl F. Mellor, Technical Description of the Quar terly Data on Weekly Earnings from the Current Population Survey, Bulletin 2113 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). Employment lessons from the electronics industry ‘ ’ , Semiskilled and unskilled workers in semiconductors computer manufacturing and consumer electronics industries are more likely than other workers to lose jobs because of technology imports and offshore production; advances in technology create jobs for skilled workers , , , John A. A lic and M artha Caldwell Harris In the U .S. electronics industry, competition— domestic as well as international— has led to increases in labor produc tivity through changes in product design and automation and to transfers of manufacturing operations to low-wage devel oping countries. For example, in the consumer electronics industry, annual output of color television sets per produc tion worker in the United States increased from 150 in 1971 to 560 in 1981. Total output nearly doubled, from 5.4 million sets to 10.5 million. At the same time, domestic employment in color television manufacture dropped by half— a result of greater foreign value-added, redesigned televisions with fewer parts and less need for assembly labor, and automation. The example is not atypical, the implications are clear: new technology can cut into job op portunities even though output rises substantially. In two other sectors of the electronics industry— mi croelectronics (which includes semiconductors) and com puters— employment has grown rapidly. (The 1985 layoffs will, as in earlier business slumps, prove temporary.) Mi croelectronics technology made redesigned color television sets possible, and far more Americans now work for semi conductor manufacturers than were ever employed in con sumer electronics. Skilled and professional jobs predomi nate in microelectronics, accounting for nearly 60 percent of employment, compared with about 30 percent in consumer John A. Alic and Martha Caldwell Harris are staff members of the Office o f Technology Assessment, U .S. Congress. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis electronics. Similar patterns exist elsewhere in high technol ogy electronics: continuing advances in both products and processes leave relatively fewer openings for unskilled and semiskilled workers. Indeed, jobs for production workers in U.S. computer firms declined slightly during 1984, al though overall employment in the computer sector rose. American consumer electronics firms have faced stiff for eign competition since the latter part of the 1960’s. But only in the last few years have U.S.-based microelectronics and computer manufacturers found competitors from Japan able to match their product offerings. Given declining advan tages in product technology, and Japan’s proven capabilities in process technology, American manufacturing companies have been forced to change their priorities. Within any man ufacturing organization, quality and productivity, hence costs and competitiveness, depend on the integration of workers and machines into an efficient and effective produc tion system. Highly automated plants will demand new ways of using skills, resolving conflicts, and making deci sions. The emphasis on shared responsibility and decision making in Japanese organizations appears to give them a head start in integrated production systems. Japan’s manu facturers are more adept at utilizing the skills and capabili ties of their work force, and are further along at integrating workers and machines— an important source of competitive advantage. In a given industry, job opportunities change with de mand for the industry’s products, with shifting patterns of international competition, and with increases in labor 27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 Employment in Electronics • productivity. The latter stem not only from automation and work reorganization, but from products redesigned for eas ier, cheaper manufacture. Rising worldwide demand for the output of a given industry will create new jobs only if demand rises more rapidly than productivity. From the per spective of a national economy, net job creation also de pends on trends in imports and exports and on foreign and domestic investments. Imports may displace domestic pro duction; overseas investment by domestic companies may do the same. In any economy, new jobs are continually being created, old jobs eliminated. At the level of the firms, jobs are created as companies are established or expand, and jobs disappear as companies atrophy and die or move production overseas. Over time, automation, work redesign, and orga nizational change help fewer workers produce more. If a firm cannot sell enough of the additional output, it may have to reduce its labor force. Even if it can increase sales, improvements in efficiency necessarily cut into future job opportunities. Aggregate economic growth provides the gross context for job creation and job destruction; the organization of work within the enterprise creates the fine structure. This article discusses factors which affect employment in two components of the U.S. electronics industry1— consumer electronics (SIC 3651) and microelectronics (SIC 3674), touching briefly on computer manufacturing (SIC 3573).2 Employment trends in electronics Employment in U.S. manufacturing has been essentially static since the late 1960’s, but declined relatively over the 1974-84 period from 26 to 21 percent of the nonagricultural work force. However, in electronics, employment expanded rapidly over the period— although not in all parts of the industry. Employment has nearly doubled in microelectron ics and has increased even faster in computers, while the consumer electronics category (which includes many types of products other than television sets) has shrunk. The fol lowing tabulation shows the number of employees and the percent of production workers in consumer electronics, mi croelectronics, and computer and peripherals industries, 1974, 1984, and the first 6 months of 1985: Number of employees Industry 1974 1984 1985, first half C o n s u m e r e le c t r o n ic s 1 1 3 ,6 0 0 7 1 ,8 0 0 6 8 ,4 0 0 M ic r o e le c tr o n ic s 1 4 8 ,3 0 0 2 7 3 ,0 0 0 4 6 0 ,9 0 0 2 8 3 ,3 0 0 4 5 6 ,9 0 0 .............. . ......................... . C o m p u te r s an d p e r ip h e r a ls . . . 2 1 7 ,0 0 0 Percent production workers 1974 1985, first half .............. 74 68 66 ......................... 51 43 41 39 37 35 C o n su m e r e le c t r o n ic s M ic r o e le c tr o n ic s 1984 C o m p u te r s an d p e r ip h e r a ls 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .. By mid-1985, the 808,600 workers in consumer electron ics, microelectronics, and computer firms accounted for more than 4 percent of the U.S. manufacturing labor force. Although these firms make up only a portion of the electron ics industry, they employ more than twice as many workers as the steel industry.3 Chart 1 compares trends in labor productivity and produc tion employment over the past decade for each of the three categories discussed in this article. (Productivity is plotted as value-added per production worker hour in inflationadjusted terms.) Value-added productivity growth in con sumer electronics— where employment declined— has roughly paralleled the all-manufacturing average. In con trast, computer manufacture shows a rapid rise in employ ment, with productivity rising almost as fast until the mid-1970’s. Many jobs have also been created in microelec tronics, where productivity gains were again substantially above the all-manufacturing average. With both computers and microelectronics suffering from business slowdowns during 1985, layoffs have been common and total employ ment has dropped.4 No doubt these declines will prove tem porary, with employment levels rebounding once the slump has passed, as occurred twice during the 1970’s for both the microelectronics and computer sectors. Over the long term, however, employment prospects in the U.S. computer in dustry appear far better than those in microelectronics. Productivity trends are seldom unambiguous. Their sig nificance can be questioned when technological change is as rapid as it has been in computers and peripherals and in microelectronics. In these sectors, product performance has advanced rapidly; today’s dollar buys far more capability than it did a few years ago.5 In color television manufacture, technical change has been much slower, with intense price competition depressing value-added productivity measures compared with other U.S. industries over the 1965-82 pe riod; the retail price index for color television sets increased by less than 5 percent, while that for all consumer durables more than doubled. Productivity on a unit output basis for color television manufacture has, however, risen far more rapidly than on a value-added basis. As chart 1 demonstrates, the portions of the electronics industry with the highest rates of value-added productivity growth (microelectronics and computers) also experienced the highest rates of employment growth. Rapid increases in productivity were associated with the creation of jobs, not their elimination. The reasons are straightforward: spurred by technological changes opening vast new markets, export as well as domestic, output in microelectronics and comput ers has for many years grown at rates in the vicinity of 15 percent annually, far higher than the rate for all manufac turing. In contrast, the domestic market for consumer elec tronics grew less than half as fast, exports were small, and import penetration was severe; the value-added productivity measures for consumer electronics reflect the plight of an Chart 1. Trends in productivity and production worker employment in consumer electronics, microelectronics, and computers, 1965-82 Productivity1 C o n su m er ele ctro n ic s Employment (thousands) 1Value-added productivity per production worker hour (in 1972 dollars). SOURCE: 1977 and 1982 Census of Manufactures. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment in Electronics industry hard pressed by foreign competition and striving to make relatively standard products more cheaply. The examples of microelectronics and computers show that when technological change is rapid, rates of productiv ity increase may be high while employment nonetheless rises. Similar correlations sometimes follow at the aggregate level; rates of unemployment may drop nationwide while productivity climbs, particularly if coupled with high invest ment and the introduction of new technology. Consumer electronics In many respects, the manufacture of television sets, ac counting for about half of U .S. consumer electronics em ployment, can stand for the sector as a whole. Domestic employment in television manufacturing has been falling since the mid-1960’s. (See chart 2.) Jobs for production workers dropped by half between 1971 and 1981, despite a near doubling of output, from 5.4 million to 10.5 million television sets. During this period, a dozen U .S. manufac turers either merged with Japanese or European producers or left the business; General Electric’s departure, announced late in 1985, will leave only two major U.S. firms. The U.S. industry now includes more than 10 foreign-owned compa nies. While contributing to the employment totals in the chart, U.S. production by foreign-owned companies such as Sony or Gold Star tends to reflect higher fractions of foreign value-added than the output of American-owned firms such as Zenith or RCA. As television sales grew, apparent productivity on a unit output basis (measured as annual output divided by the number of production workers) jumped from 150 sets per worker in 1971 to 560 in 1981. In terms of value-added per production worker, productivity was up by about 40 per cent— a trend similar to that for consumer electronics as a whole.6 The productivity improvements came from multiple sources. As color television sets replaced black-and-white receivers, manufacturers introduced more highly automated production processes. Somewhat later, reductions in the number of parts— resulting from solid-state chassis de signs— meant reduced labor content. Only 6 percent of the color television sets made in the United States were solidstate models in 1970, but by 1976 essentially all had been redesigned around transistors. The number of parts dropped by half or more— for example, from 1,023 components for a Panasonic color model in 1972 to 488 in 1976.7 Often, component insertion was mechanized at the same time. A good deal of the productivity growth during the 1970’s resulted from these interrelated changes in chassis design and manufacturing methods. Clearly, the causes of the em ployment declines in television manufacturing extend well beyond import penetration or offshore assembly; the spread Chart 2. U.S. employment in television manufacturing, 1966-81 Employment (thousands) Employment (thousands) 60 50 40 30 20 10 NOTE: Data for the 1966-75 period are for all television employment; data for 1976-81 are for color television only. SOURCE: I n t e r n a t i o n a l C o m p e t i t i v e n e s s in E l e c t r o n i c s 1983), p. 354. Digitized for30 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Washington,dc, Office of Technology Assessment, November of solid-state chassis designs and automated manufacturing dramatically reduced labor requirements in this sector of the electronics industry. Import competition did have the effect of speeding the changes. Over the same period, American consumer electronics firms relocated many of their manufacturing operations to low-wage developing countries. While there are no precise numbers on foreign workers employed in these plants, the U.S. Department of Labor believes there may be more than 30,000— a greater number than now employed in domestic television manufacture. As a result, the proportion of do mestic value-added dropped during the 1970’s; more parts and subassemblies were produced overseas for final assem bly in the United States, whether by American- or foreignowned companies. Given these trends, simply dividing the total output of television sets by the number of employees overstates productivity gains (although value-added produc tivity adjusts for this). By 1980, the United States imported more than $1 billion worth of circuit boards and picture tubes for color television sets, about one-third of the total value of domestic output. Two basic causes, then, account for the employment decline in television manufacture: greater labor productivity, achieved through product re designs as well as automation; and transfers of laborintensive operations overseas. Intense competitive pres sures, centered on manufacturing costs, drove both trends. Improvements in productivity and manufacturing effi ciency may eliminate jobs in the short term, but help to slow down job losses over the longer term. In 1974, for example, Matsushita, a Japanese company, bought Motorola’s money losing Quasar television operations. Matsushita invested heavily in automated manufacturing (some of it in Mexico); redesigned Quasar’s product line; and reorganized shopfloor operations, with particular emphasis on quality control and employee participation programs. Greater labor productiv ity and higher quality— stemming from new capital equip ment and redesigned products as well as work reorganiza tion— helped save the jobs of several thousand American workers. At the same time, the production process was more automated, cutting into job opportunities. Quasar’s invest ments in Mexico also came at the expense of job opportuni ties for Americans. But without these steps, Quasar’s U.S. plants might have closed— at the cost of many more jobs. In the Quasar example, impacts on manufacturing effi ciency had many sources; it is impossible to isolate and account with any precision for each. As chart 2 and the Quasar example illustrate, rationalization of production may improve manufacturing efficiency and keep some people at work while making others redundant. Prospects for avoiding displacement are far better in U .S. industries that are more technologically dynamic and are expanding more rapidly than consumer electronics. But nowhere can the tradeoffs between productivity and job opportunities be avoided. In general, productivity must rise to improve competitiveness. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unless output expands at least as fast, some jobs will vanish. Import and offshore production: How important? The U.S. consumer electronics industry has faced strong exter nal competition since the late 1960’s, largely from produc ers in the Far East. Half the U.S. consumer electronics market has been taken by imports; most products still assem bled in the United States contain many imported compo nents. Penetration of consumer electronics markets coin cided with employment decline. For example, imports of black-and-white television sets rose from one-quarter to three-quarters of U.S. sales over the 1967-77 period. Im ports of color television sets peaked in 1976 at a level nearly 10 times greater than in 1967, then dropped because of quotas termed Orderly Marketing Agreements negotiated with Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.8 The quotas cut imports roughly in half. To what extent have imports cost U.S. jobs? First, we must determine the causes of import penetration. Imports may rise because demand exceeds domestic capacity or be cause consumer preference shifts to foreign-made goods (perhaps they are judged better values). In the first case— exemplified by video cassette recorders, where U.S. capac ity is zero— jobs may not be lost directly but the rate of increase in job opportunities may slow. In the second case, typified by imports of Japanese cars and to a lesser extent by sales of television sets, immediate decreases in employment are likely. Nor are the consequences of offshore production straight forward. Today, the remaining American-owned television manufacturers all operate overseas production facilities. In addition to the attraction of low-wage labor, the U.S. tariff schedules serve to encourage offshore assembly. (Items 806.30 and 807 permit re-imports with duties computed only on foreign value-added.) All wages and salaries paid overseas could be viewed as a loss to American labor and the U.S. gross domestic product. But what if American firms can only lower their costs and maintain or expand their markets by moving abroad? In some cases, American firms may seek offshore production to take advantage of low-cost labor. In other cases (computer plants in Western Europe, for example), U.S. manufacturers may wish to manufacture near their overseas customers. It is oversimple to argue that the total number of foreign workers engaged in production for shipment to the United States— whether employed by U.S. or foreign firms— rep resents domestic employment loss. In most cases, U.S. con sumer electronics firms had little choice concerning offshore production. Movement abroad was a defensive reaction, not a strategy aimed at expanding markets and improving prof itability. To assume that jobs overseas substitute directly for U.S. employment is tantamount to assuming a stable com petitive environment— not at all the case. Rather, employ ment declines followed losses in competitiveness. American firms had higher costs than their rivals. They pursued the 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment in Electronics obvious route: increases in automation to raise productivity at home, combined with transfers of labor-intensive opera tions offshore. Only some companies survived; the others left the industry or were purchased by more successful man ufacturers. In this complex chain of events, then, import competition must be counted as the primary cause of job losses in the U.S. consumer electronics industry. Microelectronics Since the mid-1950’s, U.S. employment in semiconduc tor manufacture has increased rapidly, from a few thousand when production of transistors was just beginning, to more than 280,000 by the first half of 1985. (See chart 3.) In addition to merchant firms selling on the open market, the totals in the chart include captive production by vertically integrated manufacturers such as IBM and AT&T. During two periods, 1969-71 and 1974-75, employment dropped sharply as a result of recession. Since late 1984, total em ployment in semiconductors has again been dropping, with the number of production workers falling more sharply. These recent declines come when the economy is not in recession; given the new strength of Japanese competition, it appears that the microelectronics sector has entered a new phase in its evolution. The proportion of production workers in the U .S. mi croelectronics industry dropped from 66 percent of the total work force in 1963 to slightly more than 40 percent in 1985. American semiconductor manufacturers, particularly the merchant firms, have been moving labor-intensive assembly operations offshore for years; technological advance has contributed to the shift toward skilled and professional jobs in the United States. Demand for technicians and other nonproduction workers has risen with each succeeding gen eration of more sophisticated (and expensive) fabrication equipment. With movement through large-scale and now very large-scale integration, design and development of new circuits has become far more complex and time consuming; the ranks of engineering and R&D personnel have grown much faster than those of unskilled and semiskilled produc tion employees. Imports and offshore manufacturing. In comparing cur rent layoffs, particularly for production workers, with those in previous downturns, one major difference is this: Japanese competition was not a factor during the 1970’s. Today, Japanese firms account for substantial fractions of world market share for some types of devices, holding 8 5 90 percent of the burgeoning worldwide merchant market for 256 k RAM memory chips. (Note, however, that this percentage excludes devices produced by such companies as AT&T for internal use.) Furthermore, huge investments by Japanese semiconductor manufacturers over the last few years have created a great deal of overcapacity. This excess Chart 3. U.S. employment in semiconductors and related devices, 1963-84 Employment (thousands) SOURCES: Employment (thousands) I n t e r n a t i o n a l C o m p e t i t i v e n e s s in E l e c t r o n i c s 1983), p. 356; Bureau of Labor Statistics. Digitized for32 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Washington, do, Office of Technology Assessment, November capacity, as much as 30 or 40 percent for some types of chips, aggravated the price cutting that has been endemic in the industry. After informal complaints against the Japanese going back a number of years, U.S. semiconductor manu facturers filed three major trade-related complaints with the Federal Government over a 4-month period in 1985. Partly in consequence, Japanese firms have been cutting back on shipments to the United States, while also accelerating their investments here— paralleling their earlier investments in consumer electronics. Imports are not new to this sector. In 1971, the United States exported twice as many semiconductors as it im ported, but by 1982 imports exceeded exports. Do the trends now visible portend job losses? Will employment suffer here as in consumer electronics? The answer is no, at least not over the next decade. There are two reasons. First, despite the current sales slump, worldwide demand for mi croelectronic devices will continue to grow over the longer term. Although the Japanese have made substantial inroads, American firms retain more than half of worldwide sales, and are still in a position of technical leadership in some if not all varieties of integrated circuits. Second, U.S. semi conductor firms have exported much more agressively than consumer electronics manufacturers. Moreover, about three-quarters of all U.S. imports of microelectronic devices consist of intra-corporate transfers by American-owned firms— that is, re-imports after offshore processing. Off shore employment may continue to rise, and perhaps con tinue to increase faster than domestic employment, but U.S. jobs in microelectronics should rise as well. Nonetheless, total employment in the sector could continue to grow while the number of production jobs declines. American semiconductor firms transferred labor-intensive “back-end” operations overseas— primarily assembly steps such as wire bonding and encapsulation— at a rapid pace beginning in the 1960’s. During that decade alone, U.S. companies established more than 50 foreign manufacturing plants.9 Wafers, fabricated domestically, were shipped to low-wage sites, mostly in Asia, for the final stages in proc essing, then returned to the United States or sent on to other markets. In recent years, U.S. merchant manufacturers have carried out perhaps 90 percent of all assembly work over seas.10 The reason is simple. Typical estimates for the 1970’s indicated that production costs could be cut in half through offshore assembly.11 Given these potential savings, cost/price competition became the primary motive for such investments; American semiconductor firms moved off shore to reduce costs and expand markets. Once the first U.S. manufacturer invested in low-wage countries, others followed. With questionable prospects for automation dur ing the 1960’s and early 1970’s, and a rate of technological advance that threatened to render investments in automated equipment obsolete, the choice was plain: move offshore or be undersold. In contrast to consumer electronics, the com https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis petitors in microelectronics were American firms almost exclusively; large-scale foreign investments by U.S. manu facturers predated Japanese thrusts in microelectronics by more than a decade. If in the case of consumer electronics, offshore manufacturing was a reaction to import competi tion, in microelectronics the motives were offensive. Because most offshore jobs are filled by assembly work ers, overseas manufacturing has contributed to the declining fraction of production employees in the United States. U.S. firms employ perhaps three-quarters as many people in their foreign operations as they do here; but, while only 40 per cent of the domestic jobs are in production, the figure is more than 80 percent for offshore plants.12 As a result, American companies employ many more production work ers overseas than at home— roughly 150,000, compared with about 115,000. Although domestic jobs more than doubled during the 1970’s, offshore employment grew even faster. To what extent do foreign workers employed in the over seas operations of U.S. firms, or the employees of foreignowned companies which export to the United States, stand for job opportunities lost to Americans? In contrast to off shore facilities, most of which are in Asia, point-of-sale plants in industrialized countries have been established largely for strategic reasons: market access, customer li aison, and, sometimes, the avoidance of import barriers. While these point-of-sale plants have arguably small conse quences for U.S. employment, offshore investments driven by lower wages directly displace American workers, just as in consumer electronics. Periodically, speculation arises that advances in automated production equipment will mean that American firms can return back-end processing to the United States. With more automation, the labor cost advan tages of offshore sites diminish, although they may not vanish. But even when costs remain lower overseas, strate gic advantages— similar to those for point-of-sale plants in other industrialized countries— may mean that American companies will bring some of their production back home.13 If they do (keeping in mind that it is automation that would make this possible), the result is not likely to be an in crease in jobs for production workers. Employment is far more likely to increase for engineers, technicians, and supervisors. The production system. The picture outlined above is not quite so simple as it might seem. Generalizations about the microelectronics industry conceal a good deal of diversity within. Low production costs are far more important for some firms than for others. Companies that depend on product leadership must develop manufacturing systems geared to device technologies pushing the state of the art. Those with broad product lines will place greater stress on costs and quality. Needless to say, no microelectronics man ufacturer can neglect costs or quality; the question is one of priorities. Still, unique product designs— for example, a 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment in Electronics microprocessor with capabilities outstripping those of the rest of the industry— will generate competitive advantages almost irrespective of manufacturing costs. Nonetheless, in microelectronics as in any industry, uni que products remain the exception; generally, manufactur ing capabilities are critical for competitive success. Mi croelectronics, first of all, is an industry where product and process knowhow interact more closely than in perhaps any other. As an example, in mid-1984, Trilogy Systems aban doned its attempts to achieve wafer-scale integration, which would have increased scale and complexity by factors of 100 or more— companies must be able not only to design but to build new types of devices. More than this, quality has become, since the end of the 1970’s, central to competitive dynamics. As in many other industries, Japanese manufac turers made quality and reliability a major element in their export strategies. This helped Japanese semiconductor firms penetrate U.S. markets. They concentrated on standard devices such as memory chips, meeting or undercutting the prices of American manufacturers while offering better quality, hence better value. What does it take to achieve high quality in the production of integrated circuits? Certainly it takes good manufacturing equipment. Japanese semiconductor firms purchased most of their equipment from the same vendors that supplied the U.S. industry; hence they had no advantage on the factory floor as far as equipment was concerned. Integrated circuits from different manufacturers do differ in design, even when functionally identical. Design details influence costs and quality; Japanese firms made design choices aimed at qual ity and reliability, sometimes at the expense of cost or per formance. But more than this, Japan’s factory system as a whole— plant layout, integration of people into the produc tion process, task allocations, management style, and inter nal training and retraining programs— leads to high quality as well as low costs. From a systems perspective, their production processes helped Japan’s semiconductor manu facturers to penetrate world markets, competing success fully with American firms that had the lead— and still do— in many functional aspects of circuit design. Do imports, technology cost U.S. jobs? Import competition, automation, and offshore investment take place in a context of global shifts in market structure, with long-term consequences for jobs and job opportunities in a national economy, as well as immediate impacts on workers, firms, and industries. In expanding markets, a firm that can respond quickly to new opportunities anywhere in the world may be able to increase exports and consolidate its position. During the 1970’s, for example, American semi conductor manufacturers capitalized on the shift toward metal-oxide-semiconductor integrated circuits ahead of their foreign rivals. In doing so, they created many new job opportunities for Americans, unskilled as well as skilled. 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In consumer electronics, particularly television manufac ture, the dynamic has been far different. Much of the technology is conventional, accessible to firms in many parts of the world. Markets grow more slowly. In the United States, competition at the retail level has been fierce, with prices declining relative to other consumer durables. As productivity increased, employment declined. Overall, then, while employment in the U.S. electronics industry has grown, the increases have been far from uniform. Few of the workers who once made vacuum tubes found work in microelectronics. Of course, growth and technological change in electron ics also exert influences far beyond this industry. Computer manufacturing, where U.S. competitiveness remains high, has seen rapid employment increase with simultaneous pro ductivity improvements. At the same time, advances in computer systems have created and destroyed vast numbers of jobs in other industries. Chart 4 illustrates employment growth in computer man ufacture, including peripherals. Even more than in mi croelectronics, the trend has been away from production employees and toward more skilled workers and profession als. Unlike either semiconductors or consumer electronics, neither imports nor offshore production has as yet affected employment greatly. American computer firms have in vested heavily overseas, but foreign plants generally serve foreign markets. As in microelectronics, some foreign pro duction may substitute for exports from the United States. But in industrialized (and some developing) countries, American firms often must invest in manufacturing facilities if they expect to sell in volume, limiting the extent to which point-of-sale plants can be viewed as displacing domestic workers. Imports of peripherals and components have been more important; many disc drives and terminals now come from overseas. In computers, competitive threats lie well in the future.14 But in consumer electronics, U.S. competitiveness began to slip 20 years ago. Employment typically falls when indus tries lose ground in either domestic or international markets. Even if aggregate economic growth brings greater demand, only the more efficient companies can take full advantage; firms seldom have any choice but to adopt new technolo gies, process as well as product, if they wish to remain competitive. Those that move quickly (but not too quickly) may be able to gain an edge over their rivals through effi ciency improvements or differentiated product designs. Companies may be forced to automate or pursue alternative routes to lower costs and greater productivity simply to survive. Such strategies have enabled Zenith and RCA, the two largest American color television manufacturers, to maintain their approximate market shares, but to do so, they had to cut their payrolls. If modernizing production facilities and moving offshore costs U.S. jobs in the short term, such strategies may help maintain the total market for Americanmade products over the longer term. Chart 4. U.S. employment in computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, 1955-84 Employment (thousands) Employment (thousands) 470 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 SOURCES: I n t e r n a t i o n a l C o m p e t i t i v e n e s s in E l e c t r o n i c s (Washington, dc, Office of Technology Assessment, November 1983), p. 359; Bureau of Labor Statistics. Like all technical change, then, advances in electronics will continue to bring a mix of positive and negative out comes. Firms manufacturing electronics products will, for some years, continue to create substantial numbers of new jobs. In U.S. manufacturing as a whole, however, jobs— at least for production workers— may go down in absolute terms. A major source of decline in employment opportuni ties will be redesigned production systems utilizing comput ers and computer networks along with other tools for im proving organizational efficiency. For firms determined to maintain their competitiveness in world markets while retaining a production base in highwage economies, computer-assisted automation will be nec essary but not, by itself, sufficient. To be successful, these companies will have to redesign their product lines with greater manufacturing efficiency as a primary goal. Product engineers will have to work more closely with manufactur ing engineers. Technical staffs will have to work effectively with shopfloor employees— learning from them during the design stage and, at later stages, helping production em ployees operate the system in something approximating op timal fashion. In the recent past, Japanese companies have done a better job at this than American (or European) firms. Some Japanese firms have nearly erased the interface be tween design and manufacturing, while building corporate organizations that effectively utilize available human re https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis sources, including the capabilities of “unskilled” workers. This has been a major source of Japanese competitiveness in consumer electronics and microelectronics.15 While we prefer to stress similarities rather than differences between Japanese and Western management styles, it seems clear that the Japanese are well ahead in introducing more highly integrated production systems. A major reason is decision making processes that lend themselves to conflict resolution and the development of shared values, necessary attributes of integrated systems. Designing products for manufactur: ing efficiency will be one of the keys to competitive success for American firms over the next few decades. So will integration of workers— at all levels, but particularly on the shop floor— into the production process. Only by using labor effectively and efficiently— which often means changes both in product design and in the production system— can firms in high-wage economies maintain their international competitiveness. Not all firms will be successful. Some workers, companies, industries, and regions will lose out. Unskilled and semiskilled manu facturing workers are in the greatest jeopardy. How can the negative impacts be minimized, while capi talizing on the potentials of new technology? The relation ships between technical change, employment, and interna tional competition may be complex, but from the standpoint of public policy, many of the negative effects are quite 35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Employment in Electronics predictable. Adjustment problems cannot be avoided, but governments can prepare for them, both to ease the in evitable shifts and to help maintain the competitive ability of domestic industries. Because shifts in industrial structure bring new jobs with new skill requirements, it may be time to rethink both public and private programs of training, retraining, and education. With jobs and job opportuni ties for production workers declining, it may be time to rethink the meaning of work in advanced industrial societie □ -FOOTNOTES1 This article is based in part on International Competitiveness in Elec tronics (Washington, DC, Office o f Technology Assessment, U .S. Con gress, November 1983), Chapter 9. An earlier version was presented at the 2nd International Conference on Human Factors in Manufacturing, Stutt gart, Federal Republic o f Germany, June 1 1-13, 1985. The authors thank Philip A. Mundo for assistance with the statistical data. 2 These industries are categorized under the following Standard Indus trial Classification (sic) codes as published in the Office of Management and Budget’s Standard Industrial Classification Manual, 1972: consumer electronics— sic 3651, “Radio and Television Receiving Sets, Except Communication Types;” microelectronics— SIC 3674, “Semiconductors and Related Devices;” and computer manufacturing— sic 3573, “Electronic Computing Equipment.” 3 Including communications equipment and components other than semi conductors would double the total, to more than 1.7 million workers, while employment in the American steel industry fell to about 330,000 during 1984. 4 Both sectors’ troubles have been widely reported. See, for example, “Those Vanishing High-Tech Jobs,” Business W eek, July 15, 1985, p. 30. Although the averages for 1984 and the first half o f 1985 do not yet show the decline in microelectronics, employment fell each month during 1985 through June in both microelectronics and computers. 5 See International Competitiveness in Electronics, p. 89. 6 1977 Census o f Manufactures: Communication Equipment, Including Radio and TV, M C 7 7 -I-3 6 D (Department o f Commerce, June 1980), Digitized for 36 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p. 3 6 D -5 ; 1982 U.S. Industrial Outlook (Department o f C om m erce, Janu ary 1982), p. 343. 7 International Competitiveness in Electronics, p. 223. 8 See International Competitiveness in Electronics, pp. 1 1 2 -1 3 and 4 4 6 -4 9 . 9 A Report on the U.S. Semiconductor Industry (Department o f C om m erce, Septem ber 1979), p. 84. 10 J.R . Lineback, “Autom ation M ay Erase O ffshore E d ge,” Electronics, Apr. 2 1 , 1982, p. 94. 11 W .F . Finan, “The International Transfer o f Sem iconductor T echnol ogy Through U .S .-B a se d F irm s,” W orking Paper N o. 118 (National B u reau o f E conom ic R esearch, D ecem ber 1975), p. 60. 12 Summary o f Trade and Tariff Information: Semiconductors (U .S . International Trade C om m ission Publication 8 41, July 1982), p. 8. 13 S e e , for exam ple, S .P . Galante, “U .S . Sem iconductor M akers A uto m ate, Cut Chip Production in Southeast A s ia ,” The Wall Street Journal, A ug. 2 1 , 1985, p. 28. 14 J.A . A lie and R .R . M iller, “Export Strategies in the Computer Indus try: Japan and the U nited States,” in P. Edwards and R. G ordon, e d s., Strategic Computing: Defense Research and Computer Technology (forthcom ing). 15 International Competitiveness in Electronics , Chapter 8. Research Summaries Work experience profile, 1984: the effects of recovery continue S h ir l e y J. S m it h The number of persons holding jobs during all or part of the year rose to 121.1 million during 1984, up 3.6 million from 1983. This was the largest single-year increase in 35 years. As the economy continued to improve in the wake of the recession of 1981-82, there were also indications that the work year of those employed had lengthened, the preva lence of unemployment had diminished, and its average duration had lessened. These findings were derived from the work experience survey, conducted each March as a supplement to the Cur rent Population Survey, the monthly nationwide household survey which measures the changes in the size of the labor force, employment, and unemployment. While the monthly measurements permit officials to closely monitor the pulse of the American economy, the March supplement provides a different perspective. Its retrospective questions covering the entire previous calendar year provide unique information on the labor force behavior of the population, on the extent to which each member, age 16 and over, worked or sought work during the year, and on income derived from employ ment and other sources. The work experience profile is particularly informative in describing the labor force activity of groups whose work patterns are discontinuous or habitually irregular. Given the large movements in and out of the labor force each month, the March supplement normally identifies a much larger “economically active population” than does the monthly count. For example, 121.1 million adults were identified in the March 1985 survey as having worked for some period during 1984, while the average of the 12 monthly measure ments was just 105.0 million. The total number of persons shown by the March supplement to have been unemployed for some portion of 1984 was 2.5 times as large as was the number encountering unemployment in the average month (that is, 21.5 million versus 8.5 million). During 1984, the economic recovery took an irregular Shirley J. Smith is a demographic statistician in the Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis path. The first half of the year was characterized by a strong surge of employment and corresponding declines in unem ployment, both of which slowed during the summer months. During the final quarter, there was a modest upswing in employment, but it was not matched by proportionate de clines in joblessness.1 In light of these developments, it is particularly useful to examine the year’s work experience profile for the many persons who entered or left the eco nomic arena. Population and employment growth Although by early 1984 the economy had already under gone a full year of recovery, it continued to grow rapidly. Workers appeared to be making up for lost time, both in terms of net entries into the job market and also through shifts to longer work hours. The continuing influx of women into the economic arena, and pressures of population growth, combined with the strong economic recovery to accelerate labor force growth. The adult population (aged 16 and over) grew by about 1 percent during the year, the pace being roughly four times as great for Hispanics and about twice as fast for blacks as for whites. The following tabulation shows the 1983-84 percent increases in the population aged 16 and over, per sons employed at all during the year, and those employed year round, full time, by selected characteristics: Civilian noninstitutional . . rpopulation K _ , total Employment „ „ . Full time, , ,, full year only, T o t a l .......................................... 1 .0 3 .0 5 .5 M e n ....................................... 1 .1 W o m e n ............................... 0 . 9 2 .2 4 .0 5 .7 5 .2 W h ite .................................. 0 .8 2 .5 5 .1 B la c k .....................................1 .7 6 .1 7 .4 H i s p a n i c ............................ 3 .3 5 .5 6 .9 The character of population growth within each group dif fered, affecting its potential contribution to the work force. The growth of the white population was concentrated in the age range 25 and above, and was offset to a large degree by a contraction of the group 16-24 years of age. The number of black teenagers also declined, but of blacks aged 20 and above, the population increased. The population of Hispanic origin, whose expansion results as much from immigration of adults as from natural increase, registered gains at all ages 16 and over. Hence, the pool from which potential entrants were likely to be drawn was somewhat older for whites than 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Research Summaries for the other two groups. Each demographic group ex panded most rapidly within the age range 2 5 -4 4 , where baby-boom cohorts and recent immigrants are concentrated. It is in this age range that life cycle pressures to obtain and hold employment are normally most acute. As the health of the economy continued to improve, the share of the working-age population holding jobs during the year rose from less than 67 to more than 68 percent, with the pace of growth for women nearly twice that for men. (See table 1.) Nonetheless, because the labor force activity of men has been decreasing in the recent past, even the small increase shown in 1984 is noteworthy. The number of black and Hispanic workers with full- or part-year jobs was sharply higher in 1984 than in the previ ous year, reflecting both the very rapid growth of their population and a greater potential for recovery from the recent recession.2 Whereas the number of whites who were in the labor force at some time during the year grew by 2.5 percent, that of blacks increased by 6.1 percent and Hispanics, by 5.5 percent. Looked at another way, the growth of the economically “active” population (persons working or looking for work Table 1. during the year) exceeded that of the total working-age population aged 16 and over, for all groups except men. (See table 2.) The size of the expansion of the year’s female work force was more than twice the increase of their entire working-age population. The number of persons who held no job at all during the year declined across the board. Only one group of “inactives,” men not looking for work (more than half of whom were retired), showed even minor growth. Work schedules A record number of men (43.8 million) and women (26.6 million) held year-round, full-time jobs (50 weeks or more per year, usually at 35 hours or more per week) during 1984. The growth rate of such employment was slightly more rapid for men than for women, and was considerably greater for blacks and Hispanics— with low initial representation in this category— than it was for whites. Men accounted for about 54 percent of the growth in employment between the last quarter of 1983 and the last quarter of 1984. However, because the work patterns of women are less regular, and their role in the labor force has Work experience of the population during the year by extent of employment for men and women, 1983- 84 [Numbers in thousands] Total Extent of employment 1983 Men 1984 1983 Women 1984 1983 1984 Civilian noninstitutional population .............................................................. 175,881 177,661 83,285 84,206 92,596 93,455 Total who worked or looked for w o rk ........................................................ Percent of the population....................................................................... 121,503 69.1 124,117 69.9 66,350 79.7 67,234 79.8 55,153 59.6 56,883 60.9 Total who worked during the year1 .......................................................... Percent of the population....................................................................... 117,575 66.8 121,148 68.2 64,512 77.5 65,960 78.3 53,063 57.3 55,188 59.1 Fulltime2 .............................................................................................. 50 to 52 weeks ................................................................................. 48 to 49 weeks ................................................................................. 40 to 47 weeks ................................................................................. 27 to 39 weeks ................................................................................. 14 to 26 weeks ................................................................................. 1 to 13 weeks ................................................................................. 90,606 66,744 2,278 5,133 5,633 5,901 4,918 94,312 70,419 2,451 5,502 5,617 5,635 4,689 55,132 41,469 1,361 2,999 3,285 3,290 2,728 56,928 43,833 1,408 3,046 3,095 3,081 2,464 35,474 25,275 916 2,134 2,349 2,611 2,190 37,384 26,585 1,043 2,456 2,522 2,554 2,224 Part time3 .............................................................................................. 50 to 52 weeks ................................................................................. 48 to 49 weeks ................................................................................. 40 to 47 weeks ................................................................................. 27 to 39 weeks ................................................................................. 14 to 26 weeks ......................................................................... 1 to 13 weeks ................................................................................. 26,969 10,297 762 2,339 3,103 4,513 5,953 26,836 9,832 861 2,380 3,129 4,733 5,900 9,380 3,210 231 738 1,049 1,759 2,394 9,032 3,099 272 793 1,000 1,704 2,164 17,588 7,087 531 1,602 2,055 2,754 3,559 17,804 6,734 589 1,587 2,129 3,029 3,736 Total who worked during the year1 (percent)........................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Full time 2 .............................................................................................. 50 to 52 weeks ................................................................................. 48 to 49 weeks ................................................................................. 40 to 47 weeks ................................................................................. 27 to 39 weeks ................................................................................. 14 to 26 weeks ................................................................................. 1 to 13 weeks ................................................................................. 77.1 56.8 1.9 4.4 4.8 5.0 4.2 77.8 58.1 2.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 3.9 85.5 64.3 2.1 4.6 5.1 5.1 4.2 86.3 66.5 2.1 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.7 66.9 47.6 1.7 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.1 67.7 48.2 1.9 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.0 Part time3 .............................................................................................. 50 to 52 weeks ................................................................................. 48 to 49 weeks ................................................................................. 40 to 47 weeks ................................................................................. 27 to 39 weeks ................................................................................. 14 to 26 weeks ................................................................................. 1 to 13 weeks ................................................................................. 22.9 8.8 0.6 2.0 2.6 3.8 5.1 22.2 8.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 3.9 4.9 14.5 5.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.7 3.7 13.7 4.7 0.4 1.2 1.5 2.6 3.3 33.1 13.4 1.0 3.0 3.9 5.2 6.7 32.3 12.2 1.1 2.9 3.9 5.5 6.8 1Time worked includes paid vacation and sick leave. 2Usually worked 35 hours or more per week. 3Usually worked 1 to 34 hours per week. 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis No t e : These data reflect revised estimation procedures and are not comparable to data for prior years. Data for 1983 have been retabulated and differ from data previously published in the December 1984 issue. Table 2. Net changes between 1983 and 1984 by work pat tern, sex, race, and Hispanic origin [Numbers in thousands] Net change, 1983-84 Work pattern Total Men Women White Black Hispanic1 Population aged 16 years and ove r..................... 1,780 921 859 1,242 259 368 Persons who worked or looked for w o rk .......................... 2,614 884 1,730 1,879 434 -386 Total who worked during the year....................................... Full year (50 to 52 weeks) . . . Full tim e .......................... Part time ........................ Part year (1 to 49 weeks) . . . F u lltim e .......................... Part time ....................... Total full-time w o rkers........... Total part-time workers ........ 3,573 3,210 3,675 -465 364 31 333 3,706 -133 1,448 2,253 2,364 -111 -805 -569 -236 1,796 -348 2,125 957 1,310 -353 1,169 600 569 1,910 216 2,575 2,523 2,996 -473 53 -141 194 2,855 -279 690 444 466 -2 2 246 137 109 603 87 390 282 269 13 108 65 43 334 56 -1,793 -527 -1,267 -395 -959 -564 -834 37 -871 -1,334 -697 -637 -431 -255 -176 -2 2 -4 -1 8 Total nonworkers.......................... Looked for work ................... Did not look for w o rk ............. 1 Persons of Hispanic origin include whites, blacks, and others (not shown). This ethnic classification is not mutually exclusive from the racial breakdown shown. been changing more rapidly than that of men, the record of work experience during the year gives quite a different pic ture of their relative contributions to growth. Nearly 60 percent of the additional 3.6 million persons holding jobs at some time during the year were women. (See table 2.) The proportion of all women reporting jobs rose from 57 percent in 1983 to 59 percent in 1984. The reviving economy also drew an additional 1.4 million men into the work force, raising the proportion of men with jobs to 78 percent. Most of the year’s entrants are, by definition, classed as part-year workers, as few of them manage to work 50 weeks or more. Thus, in a year with large employment increases, one would expect a large increase in the number of part-year workers. The fact that this classification declined by 800,000 for men and grew by less than 1.2 million for women suggests that several million workers with part-year jobs in 1983 had moved on to full-year positions during 1984. Indeed, 2.4 million additional men and 1.3 million additional women reported full-year, full-time work in 1984. Other evidence of the lengthening work year included a net decline in the representation of men in all less-intense work schedules, and a marked decline in the extent of yearround, part-time employment, especially for women. The modest increase in total part-time employment for women was more than offset by the withdrawal of men from this schedule, resulting in a contraction of the part-time work force. At the same time, full-time employment rose sharply, by more than 3.7 million persons, during the year. More than half (1.9 million) of this net increase was attributable to women. During 1984, 6 of 10 net entrants to the work force and more than half of the net additions to the full-time work force were women. Yet women contributed only about a third to the increase in year-round employment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Components of change in employment The work experience survey adds additional perspective to our understanding of the components of change. It illus trates, for instance, which groups experience disproportion ate gains within each work schedule category. For example, whites comprised 70 percent of the growth in the working age population between 1983 and 1984.3 They supplied 72 percent of the total net growth in employment and were responsible for 77 percent of the growth in full-time employ ment, 79 percent of the growth in year-round jobs, and 82 percent of the increase in year-round, full-time work. By contrast, blacks made up about 15 percent of the growth in the working age population but accounted for more than two-thirds of the growth in part-year work: a reflection of their continued high unemployment and labor force entry and exit rates, as well as their relatively youthful population. Hispanics (an ethnic group including blacks, whites, and others) accounted for 21 percent of the growth in popula tion. They contributed just 11 percent to overall growth in employment during the year but 30 percent to the part-year work force. The proportion of men holding jobs during part or all of 1984 was roughly 8 of 10 for both whites and Hispanics, but just 7 of 10 for blacks. Proportionately more white than black women held jobs during the year (59 versus 57 per cent). However, black women were more likely than white women to hold year-round, full-time jobs if they did work (54 versus 47 percent). (See table 3.) Given the secular trend toward early retirement, it was not clear how responsive the elderly workers would be to im provements in overall labor demand. As table 4 indicates, women aged 60 and over showed no greater inclination to hold jobs in 1984 than they had in 1983. There was a modest increase in employment among men aged 60 to 61, but job holding at older ages continued to drop. Yet among those older persons who continued to work, there appeared to be some lengthening of the average work year, with a rise in the proportion of “active” men 55 to 64 and of “active” women 60 to 64 holding year-round, full-time jobs. Not surprisingly, younger workers— who had experi enced the sharpest job cutbacks in the early 1980’s— regis tered significant gains in work experience in 1984, as well as in full-year, full-time employment. Persons 35 to 59, the groups registering the least expansion in these areas in 1984, had experienced the least job loss during the recession. The unemployment picture About 21.5 million persons, or 17 percent of all who worked or looked for work during 1984, experienced some unemployment. (See table 5.) This was a marked decline from the peak figure (22 percent) registered in 1982, but still higher than that registered in the 1978-79 period (less than 16 percent). The proportions encountering some unemploy ment during the year were 18.1 percent for men and 16.5 percent for women. When the added effect of racial dispar39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Research Summaries ities is considered, the figures range from about 15 percent for white women to 29 percent for black men. (See table 6.) Values for the Hispanic community, which includes whites, blacks, and others, fell within this range. Overall, about 16 percent of all whites, nearly 27 percent of all blacks, and about 23 percent of all Hispanics experi enced one or more spells of joblessness during 1984. For each group, this was the lowest level recorded since 1979. The incidence of unemployment during 1984 varied con siderably by industry, as the figures below for wage and salary workers show: In d u stry P e rc e n t w ith u n em p lo ym en t T o ta l............................................................... 15.9 Agriculture.............................................................. Mining .................................................................... Construction............................................................ Manufacturing ........................................................ Durable goods .................................................... Nondurable goods .............................................. Transportation and public utilities ........................ Wholesale and retail trade .................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate ...................... Services ............. Public administration.............................................. 28.8 23.6 35.1 17.2 16.6 18.2 11.4 17.9 9.2 12.6 7.5 More than a third of all construction workers and nearly 3 of 10 persons in agriculture reported spells of joblessness, once again establishing these as the industries in which workers are most prone to encounter some unemployment. The decline in unemployment since the recession has been most notable in durable goods manufacturing, where 16.6 percent of the workers encountered some unemployment during 1984, down from 27.6 percent in 1982. The corre sponding 2-year decline for construction workers was less than 6 percentage points, and for agriculture, less than 2. Agriculture was the only industry to register an absolute decline in employment between 1983 and 1984. The extent of unemployment obviously affects the share of the total labor force able to work year round, and this is most apparent when one looks at the data by occupation. As table 7 illustrates, a low unemployment figure (such as was reported by executive, administrative, and managerial occu pations, or by farm operators and managers) is likely to be associated with high proportions of year-round, full-time workers. However, the high unemployment occupations (such as the construction trades, operators, fabricators, and laborers) show a greater concentration of workers in partyear schedules. At most, 4 of 5 workers in any occupational group shown held year-round, full-time jobs. In several occupations, in cluding services (except for the protective services), con struction trades, handlers, equipment cleaners and helpers, farmworkers and related occupations, and forestry and fish ing occupations, fewer than half worked full time for the entire year. Most of these occupations were characterized by unusually high turnover and high unemployment. Digitized for40 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Duration of unemployment. Of those experiencing some unemployment during the year, about 14 percent held no job whatsoever during that period. However, the figure for blacks was nearly 27 percent, reflecting the difficulties which blacks— especially the younger ones— face in find ing jobs. (See table 6.) For the most part, spells of unemployment during 1984 were somewhat shorter than those reported in 1983. The median length of time spent in search of a job (including multiple spells) dropped by 1.4 weeks, to 12.8 weeks. Whites and Hispanics each experienced a 1.6-week reduc- Table 3. Work experience of the population during the year by race, Hispanic origin, and sex, 1983-84 [Numbers in thousands] Extent of employment, race, and Hispanic origin Total 1983 Men 1984 1983 1984 Women 1983 1984 White Civilian noninstitutional population .. Total who worked or looked for w o rk ............................................. Percent of the population........... Total who worked during the year1 Percent of the population........... 152,047 153,289 72,546 73,180 79,501 80,109 105,870 107,749 58,520 59,144 47,351 48,605 69.6 70.3 80.7 80.8 59.6 60.7 103,243 105,818 57,274 58,324 45,969 47,494 67.9 69.0 78.9 79.7 57.8 59.3 Total who worked during the year1 Fulltime2 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... Part time3 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... 100.0 77.0 56.8 11.2 8.9 23.0 8.9 5.4 8.8 100.0 77.8 58.3 11.2 8.3 22.2 8.2 5.4 8.6 100.0 85.8 64.9 12.0 8.9 14.2 5.0 3.1 6.1 100.0 86.8 67.3 11.4 8.1 13.2 4.6 3.1 5.5 100.0 66.0 46.8 10.2 9.0 34.0 13.7 8.3 12.0 100.0 66.8 47.3 10.9 8.6 33.2 12.6 8.1 12.5 Black Civilian noninstitutional population .. Total who worked or looked for w o rk ............................................. Percent of the population........... Total who worked during the year1 Percent of the population........... 19,290 19,549 8,612 8,727 10,678 10,822 12,560 65.1 11,383 59.0 12,994 66.5 12,073 61.8 6,234 72.4 5,705 66.2 6,297 72.2 5,893 67.5 6,326 59.2 5,678 53.2 6,697 61.9 6,179 57.1 Total who worked during the year1 Full time2 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... Part time3 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... 100.0 77.5 55.4 10.8 11.3 22.5 7.9 4.6 10.0 100.0 78.1 56.1 11.8 10.2 21.9 7.3 4.3 10.3 100.0 82.2 57.6 11.5 13.1 17.8 5.0 3.7 9.2 100.0 82.4 58.6 12.5 11.4 17.6 5.3 2.9 9.4 100.0 72.8 53.2 10.2 9.5 27.2 10.9 5.4 10.8 100.0 73.9 53.7 11.1 9.2 26.1 9.2 5.6 11.3 Civilian noninstitutional population .. Total who worked or looked for w o rk ............................................. Percent of the population........... Total who worked during the year1 Percent of the population........... 11,061 11,429 5,403 5,605 5,657 5,823 7,409 67.0 7,153 64.7 7,795 68.2 7,543 66.0 4,378 81.0 4,246 78.6 4,567 81.5 4,436 79.1 3,030 53.6 2,907 51.4 3,228 55.4 3,106 53.3 Total who worked during the year1 Fulltime2 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... Part time3 .................................. 50 to 52 weeks ..................... 27 to 49 weeks ..................... 1 to 26 weeks ..................... 100.0 80.5 54.6 13.5 12.3 19.5 7.2 4.3 8.1 100.0 80.8 55.4 13.6 11.7 19.2 7.0 4.4 7.9 100.0 85.7 59.4 15.0 11.3 14.3 5.2 2.9 6.1 100.0 87.5 61.1 14.0 12.5 12.5 4.5 2.8 5.2 100.0 72.8 47.6 11.3 13.9 27.2 10.1 6.2 10.9 100.0 71.1 47.3 13.2 10.7 28.9 10.5 6.6 11.8 Hispanic origin Tim e worked includes paid vacation and sick leave. 2Usually worked 35 hours or more per week. 3Usually worked 1 to 34 hours per week. Note: These data reflect revised estimation procedures and are not comparable to data for prior years. Data for 1983 have been retabulated and differ from data previously published in the December 1984 issue. Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the "other races" group are not presented and Hispanics are included In both the white and black population groups. Table 4. 1984 Extent of employment by sex and age, 1983 and Age (in years) Percent of population 16 and over who worked during the year Men Percent of year’s work force with year-round, full time jobs Women Men Women households maintained by women were classified as being in poverty. Where some unemployment had occurred during the year more than half qualified as being “in poverty.” Even among married-couple households, where the general incidence of poverty is relatively low, the families with some unemployment during the year were much more likely to be in poverty than those reporting no unemployment. 1983 1984 1983 1984 1983 1984 1983 1984 Total ............... 77.5 78.3 57.3 59.1 64.3 66.5 47.6 48.2 16 to 1 7 ..................... 18 to 1 9 ..................... 46.2 73.8 49.7 77.3 40.4 66.4 46.8 70.9 1.6 13.1 2.2 14.4 0.5 12.0 1.0 11.8 Nonworkers 20 to 25 to 35 to 45 to 55 to 2 4 ..................... 3 4 ..................... 4 4 ..................... 5 4 ..................... 5 9 ..................... 86.8 92.4 94.0 90.5 81.9 88.1 94.2 94.1 90.7 81.8 76.0 73.6 73.2 66.4 53.6 78.1 75.5 74.3 69.0 55.8 41.0 69.5 79.2 81.5 77.0 43.1 73.0 81.7 81.3 79.3 37.3 53.6 55.1 58.4 55.9 37.6 54.4 55.3 59.5 55.9 60 to 6 1 ..................... 62 to 6 4 ..................... 65 to 5 9 ..................... 70 and o v e r ............... 72.1 60.1 33.1 15.6 73.4 58.1 32.9 15.1 47.4 34.6 18.6 6.4 47.2 34.8 18.3 6.7 70.4 61.4 38.5 26.9 74.2 62.4 38.6 26.6 51.4 46.4 27.0 18.9 54.7 48.7 24.8 14.6 To round out the picture of economic activity during 1984, it is interesting to consider the segment of the adult population which held no job at all during the year. There were 56.5 million such persons, of which slightly more than two-thirds (68 percent) were women. Only 5 percent of the nonworkers were reported as having made any attempt to find employment during the year. Overall, 3 of 10 nonwork ers reported that they were retired, a figure which is proba- tion in the median duration of unemployment. Blacks con tinued to report the longest spells, and the decline in their median length of unemployment amounted to just one-half week. This apparent stagnation masked the contradictory experiences among men and women. While the median spell for black women diminished by 3.4 weeks, and was the most impressive improvement registered, that for black men actually rose by 1.7 weeks, the only duration figure to rise during 1984. Unemployment and family income. The following text tabulation shows the median income (exclusive of noncash transfers) for various types of families, by presence or ab sence of unemployment during the year: N o m em b er u n em p lo yed F a m ily stru ctu re M e d ia n f a m ily in co m e Married-couple families. $33,960 Families maintained by: W omen...................... 17,225 M en............................ 27,083 Persons not living in families ........ 16,320 A t le a s t one m em b er w ith so m e u n em ploym en t P e rc e n t in p o v e r ty M e d ia n f a m ily in com e 4.1 $25,713 12.0 17.8 6.0 10,427 17,173 41.6 21.9 9.3 8,157 P e rc e n t in p o v e r ty 32.7 It should be noted that these groups are far from homoge neous: each has its own age and racial makeup. A dispropor tionate share of married-couple families are white, whereas families maintained by women are disproportionately black. In general, persons living alone are relatively young or old. And of course, unearned income (such as unemployment compensation, disability, military and Social Security bene fits, and earnings on investments) affect each group’s me dian differently. Still, certain patterns are unmistakable. Within any given group, households are at least twice as likely to be classed as having income below the poverty line if some member experiences unemployment during the year. For example, in the absence of unemployment, less than 18 percent of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 5. 1983-84 Extent of unemployment during the year by sex, Extent of unemployment Total 1983 Men 1984 1983 Women 1984 1983 1984 Numbers (in thousands) Total who worked or looked for w ork. Percent with unemployment ........ 121,503 124,117 66,350 67,234 55,153 56,833 17.4 19.6 21.0 18.1 17.8 16.5 Total with unemployment ............. Did not work but looked for work 1 to 14 weeks ....................... 15 weeks or more ................. 23,762 3,928 1,643 2,285 21,535 13,919 12,174 2,969 1,838 1,274 1,355 508 375 1,615 1,330 898 9,842 2,091 1,135 956 9,361 1,696 979 716 Worked during the y e a r............. Median weeks of unemployment for all workers ........ Year-round workers' with 1 or 2 weeks of unemployment .. Part-year workers2 with unemployment..................... 1 to 4 w eeks....................... 5 to 10 weeks..................... 11 to 14 weeks................... 15 to 26 weeks................... 27 weeks or m ore............... 19,833 18,565 12,083 10,900 7,752 7,665 18,916 3,356 3,594 2,544 4,965 4,457 With 2 spells or more of unemployment..................... 2 spells .............................. 3 spells or m o re ................. 6,428 3,305 3,123 6,147 3,000 3,147 Did not work but looked for work 1 to 14 weeks..................... 15 weeks or m ore............... 100.0 41.8 58.2 100.0 45.6 54.4 100.0 27.6 72.4 Worked during the y e a r............. Year-round workers' with 1 or 2 weeks of unemployment .. Part-year workers2 with unemployment..................... 1 to 4 weeks....................... 5 to 10 weeks..................... 11 to 14 weeks................... 15 to 26 w eeks................... 27 weeks or m ore............... 100.0 100.0 4.6 4.8 95.4 16.9 18.1 12.8 25.0 22.5 32.4 16.7 15.7 14.2 12.8 15.2 14.1 12.6 10.7 917 898 611 539 307 359 17,668 11,471 10,362 3,702 1,709 1,750 3,628 2,063 2,033 2,351 1,581 1,443 4,377 3,232 2,759 3,610 2,885 2,376 7,445 1,647 1,530 963 1,733 1,572 7,306 1,952 1,594 907 1,618 1,234 2,173 1,232 941 2,120 1,169 952 100.0 29.5 70.5 100.0 54.3 45.7 100.0 57.8 42.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.1 4.9 4.0 4.7 95.2 19.9 19.5 12.7 23.6 19.4 94.9 14.1 17.1 13.1 26.7 23.9 95.1 16.1 18.7 13.2 25.3 21.8 96.0 21.2 19.7 12.4 22.4 20.3 95.3 25.5 20.8 11.8 21.1 16.1 33.1 16.2 17.0 35.2 17.2 18.1 36.9 16.8 20.1 28.0 15.9 12.1 27.7 15.2 12.4 4,255 2,073 2,182 4,027 1,831 2,196 Percent distribution With 2 spells or more of unemployment..................... 2 spells .............................. 3 spells or m o re ................. 'Worked 50 or 51 weeks. 2Worked less than 50 weeks. Note: These data reflect revised estimation procedures and are not comparable to data for prior years. Data for 1983 have been retabulated and differ from data previously published in the December 1984 issue. 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 Research Summaries • bly understated because retired women often report them selves as homemakers. Retirees made up at least a third of the nonworking white population, but were much less prevalent in the black and Hispanic groups. Table 6. Extent of unemployment during the year by race, Hispanic origin, and sex, 1983-84 [Numbers in thousands]_________ Extent of unemployment, race, and Hispanic origin Total 1983 Men 1984 1983 Women 1984 1983 1984 White Total who worked or looked for work . Percent with unemployment ........ Total with unemployment ............. Did not work but looked for work Worked during the y e a r............. Median weeks of unemployment for all workers . . . . Total who worked during the year (percent) ............................ Year-round workers' with 1 or 2 weeks of unemployment ........ Part-year workers2 with unemployment.......................... 1 to 4 weeks .......................... 5 to 14 weeks ........................ 15 weeks or more ................. With 2 spells or more of unemployment.......................... 105,870 107,749 58,520 59,144 47,351 48,605 18.5 16.2 19.8 16.9 16.8 15.3 19,549 2,627 16,922 17,461 11,614 10,008 1,930 1,246 819 15,531 10,369 9,188 7,935 1,381 6,553 7,454 1,111 6,343 13.8 12.2 14.8 13.4 12.0 10.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.8 95.1 17.5 31.6 45.9 94.9 20.9 33.3 40.8 94.7 14.6 30.8 49.3 94.7 16.6 33.7 44.4 95.7 22.2 32.8 40.6 95.2 27.0 32.6 35.6 31.9 32.7 34.8 36.7 27.3 27.0 The single most frequently cited reason for refraining from work was home responsibilities. These were cited by nearly 2 of 3 of the Hispanic women, slightly more than half of the white women, and slightly more than a third of the black women who did not hold jobs. Roughly a quarter of all inactive black and Hispanic men explained their nonpar ticipation in terms of illness or disability; fewer than 20 percent of white men cited these reasons. Because of their relative youth, blacks and Hispanics were more likely than whites to cite school attendance or inability to find work as the primary cause of their inactivity. During 1984, there was record growth in the work force, as women, blacks, and Hispanics established stronger foot ing within the economic arena. However, white men made the most significant gains, especially with regard to yearround, full-time employment. There was ample evidence of a lengthened work year, both with respect to numbers of weeks worked and a decline Table 7. Incidence of unemployment, and proportion of w o rk e rs o n v a rio u s w o rk s c h e d u le s , by o c c u p a tio n of longest job in 1984 Occupation longest held Black Total who worked or looked for work . Percent with unemployment ........ 12,560 29.0 12,994 26.7 6,234 32.0 6,297 29.3 6,326 26.0 6,697 24.3 Total with unemployment ............. Did not work but looked for work Worked during the y e a r............. Median weeks of unemployment for all w o rkers............. 3,640 1,177 2,462 3,473 922 2,551 1,992 529 1,463 1,847 404 1,443 1,648 648 1,000 1,626 518 1,108 Total who worked during the year (percent).............................. Year-round workers' with 1 or 2 weeks of unemployment ........ Part-year workers2 with unemployment......................... 1 to 4 weeks .......................... 5 to 14 weeks ........................ 15 weeks or more ................. With 2 spells or more of unemployment.................................. 18.0 17.4 18.5 20.2 17.3 13.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.6 3.6 3.0 2.8 2.0 4.6 97.4 12.9 27.5 57.1 96.4 14.5 26.6 37.3 97.0 11.2 27.4 58.4 97.8 12.5 22.5 37.3 98.0 15.2 27.6 55.1 95.4 17.2 31.8 37.3 36.3 35.2 37.9 39.1 33.9 30.3 Total who worked or looked for work . Percent with unemployment ........ 7,409 24.7 7,795 22.8 4,378 26.3 4,567 25.0 3,030 22.4 3,228 19.7 Total with unemployment ............. Did not work but looked for work Worked during the y e a r............. Median weeks of unemployment for all w o rkers............. 1,830 256 1,575 1,778 252 1,526 1,151 132 1,019 1,144 131 1,013 680 124 556 634 121 513 16.1 14.5 16.7 14.9 14.9 14.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Hispanic origin Total who worked during the year (percent).............................. Year-round workers' with 1 or 2 weeks of unemployment ........ Part-year workers2 with unemployment......................... 1 to 4 weeks .......................... 5 to 14 weeks ....................... 15 weeks or more ................. 3.7 3.1 3.5 3.0 4.1 3.2 96.3 15.7 28.1 52.5 96.9 16.1 32.6 48.2 96.5 14.2 28.3 54.0 97.0 14.6 32.8 49.5 95.9 18.4 27.8 49.7 96.8 19.3 32.0 45.4 34.9 35.4 37.6 38.6 30.0 29.2 Total .................................... Managerial, professional specialty occupations.................................... Executive, administrators, m anagerial................................ Professional specialty occupations .............................. Technical, sales, and administrative support ......................................... Technicians and related support...................................... Sales occupations ..................... Administrative support, including clerical....................... Service occupations....................... Private household........................ Protective services..................... Service, except private household ................................ Precision production, craft, and repair............................................. Mechanics and repairers............. Construction trades..................... Other precision production, craft, and repair ....................... Operators, fabricators, and laborers......................................... Machine operators, assemblers, inspectors.................................. Transportation and material m oving....................................... Handlers, equipment cleaners, and helpers .............................. Full year1 Part year2 Experienced some unemployment Full time Part time Full time Part time 15.3 58.1 8.1 19.7 14.0 6.8 73.7 5.2 13.2 7.8 6.5 80.7 4.0 11.7 3.6 7.0 67.6 6.3 14.7 11.4 11.8 58.0 10.7 15.9 15.3 10.0 13.2 70.0 52.9 8.0 12.1 14.2 14.5 7.8 20.6 11.1 59.5 10.2 17.4 12.9 18.1 13.1 11.1 36.5 13.0 67.3 15.2 23.9 4.3 18.7 13.6 16.8 29.7 49.5 11.6 19.4 34.8 15.7 19.4 30.2 21.2 12.9 34.5 65.7 75.7 49.2 2.8 3.2 2.7 25.3 17.3 37.6 6.2 3.7 10.5 14.4 74.6 2.6 19.2 3.7 26.0 53.8 4.8 30.9 10.5 24.9 60.9 2.8 31.0 5.4 23.2 58.5 4.3 27.9 9.3 30.3 37.7 8.7 33.4 20.2 19.1 2.5 44.7 78.0 8.2 11.0 26.6 6.7 20.5 4.4 26.2 29.6 7.3 34.3 28.8 'Worked 50 weeks or more. Farming, forestry, and fis h in g ......... Farm operators and managers .. Farmworkers and related occupations .............................. Forestry and fishing occupations .............................. 29.4 34.6 1.4 51.4 12.6 2Worked less than 50 weeks. Armed forces occupations3 ............. 36.4 43.5 0.5 52.2 3.8 With 2 spells or more of unemployment.................................. Note : These data reflect revised estimation procedures and are not comparable to data for prior years. Data for 1983 have been retabulated and differ from data previously published in the December 1984 issue. Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the “other races” group are not presented and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis '50 to 52 weeks. 2Less than 50 weeks. 3Because these data exclude persons living on military bases and include those recently discharged from the military, they are not fully representative of the armed forces population. in usual part-time schedules. Most demographic groups shared in the year’s gains, but black men continued to report very serious unemployment problems. □ ---------- FOOTNOTES--------'See Richard M. Devens, Jr., Carol Boyd Leon, and Debbie L. Sprinkle, “Employment and unemployment in 1984: a second year of strong growth in jobs,” Monthly Labor Review, February 1985, pp. 3 -1 5 . 2During 1984, the proportion of whites with some employment during the year rose to within half a percentage point of the level registered in 1979. The proportion of blacks with jobs during all or part of the year was a full percentage point below, and for Hispanics, 2.3 percentage points below the figure reported in 1979. 3In reality, the population weights and estimates, and age references from the March survey correspond with survivors to that month, rather than all persons alive during the previous year. Thus, year-to-year population growth is measured from March 1984 to March 1985. Rise in mothers’ labor force activity includes those with infants How ard Hayghe The notion that mothers of preschool-aged children, espe cially infants, usually stay out of the labor force at least until their youngest child has entered elementary school has changed rapidly during the 1980’s. At mid-decade, nearly half of the mothers are either entering or reentering the work force soon after giving birth. By the time their youngest child is 4 years of age, 60 percent are in the work force. This report introduces a newly expanded series of statistics that traces some of the profound changes that have occurred in the labor force participation rates of the mothers of young children.1 Married mothers In March 1985, nearly half of all wives (husband present) with infant children 1 year old or under were in the labor force, compared with only 31 percent in 1975. The propor tion rises significantly until the youngest child reaches school age. Fifty-four percent of the mothers of 2-year-olds were working or looking for work in March, as were 62 percent of those with 5-year-olds. For mothers of school-age children the proportion ranged between 64 and 71 percent.2 (See table 1.) Altogether, about 25 million children— over half in married-couple families— are in families where the mother is absent from the home for part of the workday on a regular basis; almost all of these children have a working father (91 percent).3 This latter fact, when linked to information on the full- or part-time employment status of wives, helps provide some insight into the extent and nature of the demand for child care. In 1985, 65 percent of the employed mothers with children under age 3 worked full time, as did 67 per cent of those with children 3 to 5 years old (none younger) and 70 percent of those whose youngest child was 6 to 17.4 Race . The labor force participation rates of black married mothers were considerably higher than those of white mar ried mothers, especially when the youngest child was a preschooler. At 64 percent, the participation rate for black mothers with infant children (1 year or under) was 15 per centage points higher than the rate for whites. For the most part, this difference showed few signs of narrowing until the youngest child was 7 years or older. Even among mothers of older children, blacks maintained higher labor force par ticipation rates. Reasons underlying the higher participation rates of black mothers with very young children are both historical and economic. Black wives have a long history of participating in the labor market to a much greater extent than their white counterparts, impelled in part by the relatively greater labor force difficulties of black than white husbands. In March 1985, for instance, the unemployment rate for black fathers with preschool children was 10.2 percent, compared with 5 percent for the white fathers; for those whose youngest child was of school age, the unemployment rates were 6.3 percent for black fathers and 4.2 percent for white fathers. In addition, median usual weekly earnings of black hus bands who were full-time wage and salary earners in the third quarter of 1985 were $353, or 77 percent of the $459 for white husbands.5 Along with their generally higher labor force participation rates, employed black mothers usually work more weeks each year than white mothers, and a substantially larger proportion work all year at full-time jobs. This is true for mothers of preschoolers as well as school-age children; among those with children under age 3, 47 percent of the blacks worked year round, full time in 1984, compared with 31 percent of the whites. The proportions were 65 percent (for blacks) and 35 percent (for whites) for those with 3- to 5-year-olds. As a consequence of these marked differences, median earnings of black wives with preschoolers were $10,480 overall in 1984, compared with $7,020 for whites; for wives with school-age children, the earnings were $12,010 (for blacks) and $8,800 (for whites).6 However, the higher earnings of black mothers do not translate into higher total family income because of the sig nificant difference between the earnings of black husbands and white husbands. The 1984 median income of black married-couple families with preschool children was $22,480, compared with $27,800 for whites.7 Single-parent mothers Howard Hayghe is an economist in the Division of Employment and Unem ployment Analysis, Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau o f Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Because single-parent mothers are often the sole support of themselves and their children, they are far more likely to 43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Research Summaries be in the labor force than married mothers. But, when labor force participation rates are disaggregated by year of age of youngest child, there is not much difference between the Table 1. 1985 participation rates of the single parents and married mothers when their youngest child is 4 years of age or under, except among those with infants. (See table 2.) However, the dif- Labor force status of wives, husband present, by presence and single year of age of youngest child and race, March Presence and age of child Civilian noninstitutional population (in thousands) Civilian labor force (in thousands) Labor force participation rate Total White Black Total White Black Wives, to ta l............... 50,395 45,668 3,487 27,386 24,402 2,239 54.3 53.4 64.2 No children under 18 ............. With children under 1 8 ........... 26,170 24,225 24,097 21,571 1,655 1,831 12,620 14,766 11,452 12,950 928 1,310 48.2 61.0 47.5 60.0 56.1 71.5 Under 6 years, to ta l............. Under 3 years, to ta l........ 2 years .......................... 11,728 7,306 5,185 2,121 10,408 6,549 4,652 1,897 892 492 339 153 6,298 3,707 2,562 1,145 5,445 3.259 2,260 999 618 323 216 107 53.7 50.7 49.4 54.0 52.3 49.8 48.6 52.7 69.3 65.7 63.7 69.9 3 to 5 years, to ta l............... 3 years .......................... 4 years .......................... 5 years .......................... 4,422 1,728 1,433 1,261 3,859 1,496 1,260 1,103 400 159 126 115 2,591 952 856 783 2,186 789 736 661 295 115 89 91 58.6 55.1 59.7 62.1 56.6 52.7 58.4 59.9 73.8 72.3 70.6 79.1 6 to 17 years, to ta l............... 6 to 13 years, to ta l............. 6 years .......................... 7 years .......................... 8 years .......................... 9 years .......................... 12,498 8,387 1,165 1,147 995 1,003 11,164 7,439 1,024 997 891 912 939 649 97 105 73 63 8,469 5,713 751 772 689 664 7,505 5,034 648 663 609 601 692 477 77 78 60 47 67.8 68.1 64.5 67.3 69.2 66.2 67.2 67.7 63.3 66.5 68.4 65.9 73.7 73.5 79.4 74.3 (1) (1) 10 years.......................... 1,008 959 1,031 1,079 886 872 906 951 79 62 86 84 687 664 736 750 605 608 636 664 56 39 69 51 68.2 69.2 71.4 69.5 68.3 69.7 70.2 69.8 70.9 (1) 80.2 60.7 4,111 1,137 1,115 949 910 3,725 1,025 1,014 865 821 290 79 77 65 69 2,756 799 757 609 591 2,471 709 691 541 530 215 63 49 52 51 67.0 70.3 67.9 64.2 64.9 66.3 69.2 68.1 62.5 64.6 74.1 79.7 63.6 (1) (1) 13 years.......................... 14 to 17 years, to ta l........... 14 years.......................... 16 years.......................... 1 Rate not shown where base is less than 75,000. Note: Due to rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Children are de Total White Black dren, and adopted children. Excluded are other related children such as nieces, nephews, or grandchildren, and unrelated children. fined as “own” children of householder and include never-married sons, daughters, stepchil 19856 2 Lab° r f° rCe status of women maintaining families, by presence and single year of age of youngest child and race, March Presence and age of child Civilian noninstitutional population (in thousands) Total White Black 10,524 7,257 4,179 6,345 3,067 4,190 2,390 1,146 728 418 to 5 years, to ta l........................... 3 years ........................................... 4 years ........................................... 5 years ........................................... White Black Total White 3,029 6,419 4,574 1,705 61.0 63.0 56.3 1,027 2,002 2,117 4,302 1,592 2,982 479 1,226 50.7 67.8 51.9 71.2 46.6 61.2 1,457 698 426 272 887 423 284 139 1,271 510 277 233 809 319 167 152 444 184 109 75 53.2 44.5 38.0 55.7 55.5 45.7 39.2 55.9 50.1 43.5 38.4 54.0 1,244 423 380 441 759 247 236 276 464 171 138 155 761 232 235 294 490 136 156 198 260 94 74 92 61.2 54.8 61.8 66.7 64.6 55.1 66.1 71.7 56.0 55.0 53.6 59.4 to 17 years, to ta l............................ 6 to 13 years, to ta l.............................. 6 years ............................................ 7 years ............................................. 8 years ............................................. 9 years ............................................. 3,955 2,609 358 339 295 312 2,733 1,756 232 226 201 215 1,116 784 123 103 89 86 3,031 1,975 272 256 206 246 2,173 1,371 178 167 148 177 783 556 90 81 57 61 76.6 75.7 76.0 75.5 69.8 78.8 79.5 78.1 76.7 73.9 73.6 82.3 70.2 70.9 73.2 78.6 64.0 70.9 10 years............................................. 11 years............................................. 12 years............................................. 13 years............................................. 328 303 351 323 223 204 232 223 102 82 108 91 261 221 265 248 184 157 184 176 75 52 71 69 79.6 72.9 75.5 76.8 82.5 77.0 79.3 78.9 73.5 63.4 65.7 75.8 14 to 17 years, to ta l......................... 14 years............................................. 15 years............................................. 16 years............................................. 17 years............................................. 1,346 374 328 302 342 977 264 231 226 256 332 100 84 72 1,056 294 241 245 276 802 221 174 196 211 227 68 55 48 56 78.5 78.6 73.5 81.1 80.7 82.1 83.7 75.3 86.7 82.4 68.4 68.0 65.5 No children under 18 ................................ With children under 1 8 .............................. Under 6 years, total................................ Under 3 years, to ta l............................ 1 year or under .............................. 2 years ........................................... 3 1 Rate not shown where base is less than 75,000. Note: Due to rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Children are de fined as “own” children of householder and include never-married sons, daughters, stepchil 44 Labor force participation rate Total Women maintaining families, total 6 Civilian labor force (in thousands) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 76 Black ID 73.7 dren, and adopted children. Excluded are other related children such as nieces, nephews, or grandchildren, and unrelated children. ferences begin to widen when the youngest child is 5 years old, and for the most part, remain large among mothers of older children. In addition to having higher labor force participation rates than married mothers, single-parent mothers are also more likely to be full-time workers. About 82 percent of em ployed single-parent mothers worked 35 hours or more a week in March 1985, compared with 68 percent of married mothers. Proportions of single-parent mothers working full time ranged from 79 percent of those with children under 3 years, to 84 percent of those whose youngest child was age 6 to 17. The relationship between the participation rates of whites and blacks among single-parent mothers is the reverse of that among married mothers. That is, white single parents are somewhat more likely than their black counterparts to be working or looking for work. However, until the youngest child enters his or her teens, the difference between partici pation rates for white single parents and black single parents is not nearly as great as among married mothers. Trends since 1970 As table 3 shows, labor force participation rates of all wives by single year of age of youngest child increased between 1970 and 1985 whatever the child’s age, though to differing degrees. Overall, labor force participation rates of married mothers grew faster during 1975 to 1980 than in either the 1970-75 or 1980-85 periods. The most rapid increase from 1970 to 1985 was among mothers of very young children. Participation rates of moth ers of infants age 1 year or under about doubled, followed Table 3. Labor force participation rates of wives, husband present, by age of youngest child, March of selected years, 1970-85 Presence and age of child 1970 1975 1980 1985 Wives, to ta l........................................................ 40.8 44.5 50.2 54.3 No children under 18 ..................................................... With children under 18 ................................................... 42.2 39.8 44.0 44.9 46.0 54.3 48.2 61.0 Under 6 years, total...................................................... Under 3 years, to ta l................................................. 1 year or under ................................................... 2 years ................................................................ 30.3 25.8 24.0 30.5 36.8 32.6 30.8 37.1 45.3 41.5 39.0 48.1 53.7 50.7 49.4 54.0 3 to 5 years, to ta l..................................................... 3 years ................................................................ 4 years ................................................................ 5 years ................................................................ 36.9 34.5 39.4 36.9 42.2 41.2 41.2 44.4 51.7 51.5 51.4 52.4 58.6 55.1 59.7 62.1 6 to 17 years, total ..................................................... 6 to 13, years, total ................................................. 6 years ................................................................ 7 years ................................................................ 8 years ................................................................ 9 years ................................................................ 49.2 47.0 44.0 44.7 44.6 48.5 52.4 51.8 46.7 51.1 51.5 52.4 62.0 62.6 58.5 61.7 62.3 60.8 67.8 68.1 64.5 67.3 69.2 66.2 10 years................................................................ 11 years................................................................ 12 years................................................................ 13 years................................................................ 48.7 47.6 51.8 51.8 56.6 52.8 50.0 54.0 65.1 65.1 65.7 64.6 68.2 69.2 71.4 69.5 14 to 17 years, to ta l................................................. 14 years................................................................ 15 years................................................................ 16 years................................................................ 17 years................................................................ 54.8 56.9 52.8 54.3 55.1 53.8 52.4 54.7 55.0 52.7 60.5 62.6 60.8 62.3 55.6 67.0 70.3 67.9 64.2 64.9 Note: Children are defined as “own” children of householder and include never-married sons, daughters, stepchildren, and adopted children. Excluded are other related children such as nieces, nephews, or grandchildren, and unrelated children. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis by a 77-percent jump for those with 2-year-olds and a 60percent rise for mothers of 3-year-olds. In contrast, the already high participation rates of mothers of older children grew less rapidly. For instance, the rates for mothers of 6to 13-year-olds rose by 45 percent with the more rapid growth (increases in the 50-percent-plus range) occurring among mothers of 6-, 7-, and 8-year-olds. Mothers of 14- to 17-year-olds showed the least gain in participation rates— about one-fifth. The result of these differing rates of change has been a convergence of participation rates and a blurring of the correlation between mothers’ labor force activity and age of youngest child. For instance, in 1970, the highest participa tion rate (57 percent for mothers of 14-year-olds) was more than twice the lowest rate (24 percent for those with infants). By 1985, the highest rate (71 percent for mothers of 12year-olds) was less than half again larger than the lowest rate (49 percent for mothers of infants). s t a t i s t i c s point to some of the striking changes in the economic role of mothers over the last decade and a half. Families have increasingly become solely or partly depen dent on a mother’s earnings. Using this newly expanded data series by single year of age of children, researchers will be better able to monitor changing labor force trends and thus provide important insights regarding family economic structure and the demand for family services such as child care. □ T h ese ---------- FOOTNOTES----------1 Labor force participation rates were previously disaggregated by the age group of the youngest child of the working mother; however, now they are also disaggregated by the single year of age of the youngest child. The data in this research summary are derived from information col lected each March in the Current Population Survey ( cps ). The cps is a monthly household survey (presently including 59,500 households) con ducted for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. Information obtained from this survey relates to the employment status of the noninstitutional population 16 years old and over. Because it is a sample survey, estimates derived from the cps may differ from the actual counts that could be obtained from a complete census. Therefore, small estimates or small differences between estimates should be interpreted with caution. For a more detailed explanation, see the Ex planatory Note in Families at Work: The Jobs and the P a y , Bulletin 2209 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1984), pp. 3 0-34. 2 Labor force statistics on mothers o f school-age children may partly reflect the fact that they are collected in March when school is in session. However, participation rates based on March data are not substantially higher than those based on information collected in the summer. For exam ple, the June to August 1985 average participation rate for married mothers with school-age children was 65 percent; in March 1985, the rate was 68 percent. Thus, the opening of school does not appear to provide a major incentive for mothers to participate in the labor force. 3 See News Release, U .S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, u s d l 8 5 -3 8 , “Labor force activity of mothers of young children continues at record pace,” table 3. 4 I b id ., table 1. 5 For further discussion of black-white male differences in labor force participation see Howard Hayghe, “Married couples: work and income patterns,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1983, pp. 11 and 12. 6 Unpublished data, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 7 Ibid. 45 Foreign Labor Developments West German labor unrest: are unions losing ground to worker councils? C h a r l e s J. H o b s o n and Ja m e s B . D w o r k i n In the years following World War II, West Germany has emerged as one of the world’s strongest industrial powers. Traditionally, the German economy has enjoyed a strong rate of economic growth and high levels of productivity, coupled with low inflation and unemployment. A great deal of the credit for this “economic miracle” has often been attributed to the cooperative labor relations sys tem in West Germany. Rejecting the adversarial industrial relations framework which has evolved in the United States, the Germans have relied on a cooperative partnership be tween government, labor unions, and employers to foster a strong shared commitment to economic growth. Labor con flicts have been minimized and days lost to strike activity are among the lowest in the world. Components of the system By law, industrial relations in West Germany is practiced within the framework of two separate sub-systems. On the one hand, national legislation has provided for a compre hensive and participatory structure for representing worker interests at the company or plant level, which is specifically referred to as codetermination and uniquely characterizes the German approach. At the industry level, on the other hand, a system of collective bargaining exists which is sim ilar yet reduced in scope to that found in the United States.1 The legislated codetermination structure provides for rep resentation of worker interest at three distinct levels: worker councils, labor directors, and worker-elected members on the board of directors. In practice, the German system func tions as follows. Worker councils are required in all plants having five employees or more, with the size of the council based upon the number of employees. These councils have rather broad, far-reaching powers, which include an equal say with management in (1) job evaluation, (2) overtime, breaks, and holiday schedules, (3) recruitment, selection, and dismissal, and (4) training and safety. Strikes over Charles J. Hobson is an assistant professor of management at the Division o f Business and Economics, Indiana University Northwest, and James B. Dworkin is an associate professor of industrial relations at the Krannert Graduate School o f Management, Purdue University. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis these matters are prohibited by law, and disputes are usually resolved through binding arbitration. The second level of the codetermination structure in volves the labor director who, as a member of the com pany’s management team, is in charge of day-to-day opera tions. As a representative of the interests of the workers, the labor director is responsible for the personnel and social policies and practices of the company. Finally, the third level of representation in the codetermi nation structure consists of worker-elected members of the company’s board of directors. In many instances, boards are made up of an equal number of worker and stockholder representatives. Boards are charged with electing a chair person who, in the event of a tie, votes twice. If the board is deadlocked on the choice of a chairperson, a simple ma jority of the stockholders’ representatives is sufficient for election. Thus, while parity board representation is often championed as an important feature of the German system, the provisions for electing a chairperson and breaking ties effectively ensure that stockholders’ interests will prevail even when the board as a whole is deadlocked. The second major component of the German industrial relations framework is the collective bargaining system, which takes place primarily at the state and national or industry-wide level. Labor-management negotiations are concerned exclusively with two issues, wage levels and a rather nebulous area called “general conditions of employ ment.” Only for disputes relating directly to these two nego tiable issues can strikes legally be called. While relatively influential at the national level, German unions are by com parison very weak at the plant level. In fact, unions have no legal right to represent workers locally and thus defer power and control over plant issues to worker councils. In summary, in terms of formal structure, industrial rela tions in West Germany is conducted in two seemingly sep arate spheres, with unions playing a far less influential role than they do in the United States. However, in practice, there is substantial overlap and coordination between the codetermination components and the collective bargaining system. For instance, more than 80 percent of all worker council representatives are union members. Therefore, unions tend to play a more important role in the industrial relations framework than is evident on the basis of the for mal structure of the system. Recent developments. The strong economy and rela tive labor peace experienced in West Germany have been seriously threatened by the recent worldwide recession. The economy has been confronted with a dramatic decrease in the growth of gross national product, higher inflation, and an unsettling increase in unemployment. Labor unions were forced to accept minimal wage in creases and modest programs to guarantee job security to senior workers. The general conciliatory stance of German labor changed dramatically in the summer of 1984, when I G Metall, the country’s largest union with more than 2.5 million members, staged a bitter and protracted 8-week strike in an effort to win a 35-hour workweek with no decrease in pay. The stated union objective was to reduce national unemployment by 1 percentage point to 8 percent of the labor force. The strike was resolved with a reduction of 1.5 hours in the workweek and no corresponding reduction in pay. How ever, the long strike had a devastating impact on the German economy. Involving more than 350,000 workers, the strike cost German auto companies more than $75 million per day in lost production and reduced gross national product by an estimated 2 percent. A number of firms laid off other work ers in an effort to cut costs and make up for sagging produc tivity rates. Finally, the union’s action generated a great deal of adverse public opinion. Why had I G Metall broken with past tradition and bar gained in an uncharacteristically antagonistic and unyielding manner? Surely, the projected economic costs of the im pending strike were known to union leaders prior to their action. Why then did they risk upsetting the fledgling Ger man economic recovery from the recent recession? A glimpse into the possible dynamics of this scenario can be obtained by addressing the perceptions of German work ers as to the relative usefulness and necessity of the union and codetermination components in representing labor inter ests. A comparison of the perceptions of these institutions could shed light on the secondary position occupied by German unions as they begin to lose their influence among German workers. Scope of the study The present study is part of a larger research effort which involved three major components: (1) questionnaire devel opment, (2) questionnaire administration, and (3) ques tionnaire analysis.2 The development of the questionnaire was a collaborative, cross-cultural effort involving both the German and American members of the research team. It was designed to collect the following information from German workers: (1) basic biographical data, (2) job satisfaction indices, and (3) attitudinal/perceptual measures concern ing the various components or participants in the codetermi nation system— unions, management, worker councils, labor directors, and worker representatives on corporate boards. Questionnaire administration was a coordinated effort in volving the German labor unions, company managements, worker council representatives, and the German member of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the research team. Questionnaires were distributed to five large firms in the automobile and metal industries in the Munich area of West Germany. Responses were entirely voluntary and a total of 135 completed questionnaires were collected, for a response rate of 40 percent. The questionnaire responses were analyzed from the per spective of implications for German unions in particular and the national labor relations system in general. Specifically, mean responses to the items comprising the union scale were computed and compared with similar items on the three scales representing the codetermination structure— worker councils, labor directors, and worker representatives on cor porate boards. In this manner, the psychological perceptions of employees as to the relative usefulness and merits of the various components representing worker interests in the German industrial relations system can be examined. The findings ■ The results of this study are summarized in tables 1 and 2. In table 1, the individual items on the four scales measuring worker attitudes towards the union, worker council, super visory board members, and the labor director are presented. All items were measured on a 1 to 5 scale, from “strongly disagree” to “strongly agree.” Item means and standard de viations are also provided in table 1. The data in table 1 indicate that German workers place relatively little value on the labor director component of Table 1. Attitudinal measures of German workers toward unions and three codetermination components Item Response rating1 Standard deviation 4.25 3.91 3.91 2.59 1.13 1.12 1.22 1.49 3.72 1.39 4.47 0.93 4.13 1.08 4.18 1.13 Union: The union is essential in representing worker interests . . . The union is concerned with the worker's welfare ............. The union has done a lot to help workers in this company . I participated often in union activities.................................. To better promote worker interests, it would be a good idea to increase the power of the union .......................... Worker council: Worker councils are essential in representing worker interests............................................................................. Worker councils have done a lot to help workers in this company ........................................................................... To better promote worker interests, it would be a good idea to increase the power of worker councils ........................ Supervisory board members: The worker members on the supervisory board are essential In representing worker interests....................... The worker members on the supervisory board have done a lot to help workers in this company .............................. To better promote worker interests, it would be a good idea to increase the power of the worker members on the supervisory board ............................................................ 4.11 1.09 3.16 1.20 4.00 1.21 3.40 1.43 2.40 1.95 2.70 1.49 Labor director: The labor director is essential in representing worker interests............................................................................. The labor director has done a lot to help workers in this company ........................................................................... To better promote worker Interests, it would be a good idea to increase the power of the labor director ..................... 'The response format for all items was: “1” = “2” = “3” = “4" = “5” = Strongly disagree Disagree somewhat Neither agree nor disagree Agree somewhat Strongly agree 47 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Foreign Labor Developments Table 2. Means differences and f-tests of worker percep tions by issue Union mean Worker councils mean Degrees of freedom This institution is essen tial in representing worker interests . . . . 4.25 4.47 133 2.93 p. <01 This institution has done a lot to help workers in my company ........... 3.91 4.13 129 2.12 p. < 0 5 To better promote work er interests, it would be a good idea to in crease the power of this institution........... 3.72 4.18 133 4.95 p. <01 Issue1 t value Probability 1 For the exact wording of these issues on the union and worker councils subscales, see table 1. The issues were measured using a 1- 5 scale in which: “1” = Strongly disagree “2” = Disagree somewhat “3” = Neither agree nor disagree “4” = Agree somewhat “5” = Strongly agree their industrial relations system. In contrast, a higher posi tive value is associated with unions, worker councils, and supervisory board members. Interestingly, however, in terms of best representing and promoting worker interests, worker councils are perceived as more valuable and effec tive than unions. Table 2 provides a direct comparison of means on three similar issues from the union and worker council scales. Correlated t -tests of the differences between these means are also provided, along with the associated degrees of free dom and probability levels. The data indicate that in each of the three cases, the worker council is viewed as significantly more essential and useful than the union. The results of this study are suggestive of a hypothesis which warrants further investigation— namely, the assertion that German labor unions are responding to an erosion of support among rank and file members by bargaining more aggressively and antagonistically in an effort to justify their existence. From the perspective of German workers sur veyed in this study, the worker council emerges as the most important institution representing worker interests, with unions occupying a secondary position. Digitized for48 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ironically, the situation which has developed in Germany is not unlike that which has evolved in the United States over the last few years. During the 1980-82 recessionary period, the trend towards union “givebacks” and conces sionary contracts led to increasing disillusionment among union members. This in turn has significantly contributed to an increase in the number of decertification elections and the percentage won by management. In West Germany, no formal legal procedures exist to certify or decertify a union. However, the right to organize is guaranteed in the constitution, and it is assumed that company management will negotiate with an existing em ployees’ union over the mandatory bargaining issues. Individual workers are free to join or not join a company union and thus an “open shop” is required throughout the country. In addition, all company workers, including both union and nonunion employees, are covered by the terms of an existing labor contract. Given these conditions and the standard union dues rates of 2 percent of total wages, it is not surprising to find that total union membership in West Germany is declining. It should be noted that this study is cross-sectional in nature and is further limited by the relatively small sample size of 135. Thus, generalizations based upon the obtained results should be made cautiously. Furthermore, in the nota ble absence of comparable, scientifically collected historical data,3 it is not possible to delineate a trend towards growing disillusionment with labor unions in West Germany. Future research should focus on the collection of longitudinal data which would allow for the identification and charting of general trends in worker perceptions and attitudes. □ -------- FOOTNOTES-------1 For an overview of the German system, see J. Schregle, “Codetermi nation in the Federal Republic of Germany: A Comparative V iew ,” Inter national Labor Review, Vol. 117, 1978, pp. 8 1-98. 2 For a more complete description o f the methodology, see J.B. Dworkin and others, “How German Workers View Their Jobs,” The Columbia Journal o f W orld Business, Vol. XVIII(2), 1983, pp. 4 8 -5 4 . 3 B. Wilpert, “Research on Industrial Democracy: The German Case,” Industrial Relations Journal, June 1975, pp. 5 3-64. M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of selected collective bargaining agreements expiring in March is based on information from the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Private industry is arranged in order of Standard Industrial Classification. Employer and location Private industry Labor organization1 Number of workers Associated General Contractors, South Florida Chapter (Miami, fl) . . . Associated General Contractors, Houston Chapter and Construction Employers’ Association of Texas (Texas) Builders Association of Missouri (Kansas City, mo) ............................. Associated Building Contractors of Northwestern Ohio (Ohio) ............ Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Operating Engineers ........................ Iron Workers .................................... 1,500 2,700 Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Laborers........................................... Carpenters ....................................... 1,300 1,200 Associated General Contractors and others (Houston, tx) .................... Builders Association of Missouri (Central and Eastern Missouri) ........ Associated Contractors of Westchester, Inc. (New York) .................... Heavy Constructors Association of the Greater Kansas City Area (Missouri) Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Bricklayers........................................ Laborers............................................ Operating Engineers ........................ Laborers............................................ 1,200 1,200 1,300 3,100 Heavy Constructors Association of the Greater Kansas City Area (Missouri) Heavy Contractors Association, Inc. (Omaha, ne) ................................ Michigan Distribution Contractors Association (Michigan) .................. Gulf Coast Contractors and others (Beaumont, tx) .............................. Construction.................................... Operating Engineers ........................ 1,750 Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Laborers........................................... Laborers............................................ Plumbers ......................................... 1,500 2,500 4,000 Houston Mechanical Contractors Association (Texas) .......................... Mechanical Contractors Association (Albuquerque, nm ) ...................... H.J. Heinz Co. (Interstate)..................................................................... Dairy Industry Industrial Relations Association (Southern California) .. Loew’s Theatres, Inc., Lorillard division (North Carolina) .................. Construction.................................... Construction.................................... Food products ................................ Food products ................................ Tobacco ......................................... Sheet Metal Workers........................ Plumbers ......................................... Food and Commercial Workers . . . . Teamsters (Ind.) .............................. Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers 1,500 1,100 2,800 3,500 2,050 Printing Industry of Metropolitan New York, Printers League section (New York) Printing Industry of Metropolitan New York (New York) .................... North American Rayon Corp. (Tennessee) ............................................ Rockwell International Corp. (Richland, wa ) .......................................... Printing and publishing.................. Graphic Communications ................ 3,000 Printing and publishing.................. Chemicals ...................................... Chemicals ...................................... Graphic Communications ................ Textile W orkers................................ Hanford Atomic Metal Trades Council 2,000 1,000 1,650 Exxon Co., USA division Exxon Corp. (Baton Rouge, Petroleum........................................ 2,000 ... ... ... ... Baton Rouge Oil and Chemical Workers (Ind.) Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. 8,600 3,800 4,000 7,000 la ) ................. Owens-Illinois Inc. (Interstate)............................................................... Anchor Hocking Corp. (Interstate)......................................................... Thatcher Glass Co. (Interstate)............................................................... Brockway Glass Co. (Interstate) ........................................................... Stone, Stone, Stone, Stone, clay, clay, clay, clay, and and and and glass glass glass glass products products products products Chattanooga Glass Manufacturing Co. (Interstate) ................................ Indian Head Glass Co. (Interstate)......................................................... Glass Containers Corp. (Interstate) ....................................................... American Can Co. (Interstate) ............................................................... Continental Can Corp. (Interstate)......................................................... Stone, clay, and Stone, clay, and Stone, clay, and Fabricated metal Fabricated metal glass products . . . glass products . . . glass products . . . products.............. products.............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Glass, Pottery and Plastics .............. Machinists ....................................... Machinists ........................................ 1,700 3,000 3,600 1,800 1,800 Wyman-Gordon Co. Inc. (Worcester, ma ) ............................................ Rockwell International Corp., Collins Radio Group (Richardson, tx) . Rockwell International Corp., Collins Radio Group (Cedar Rapids, ia) Rockwell International Corp., Collins Radio Group (Newport Beach, ca) Magic Chef Inc., Admiral division (Galesburg, il) ................................ Fabricated metal products.............. Electrical products.......................... Electrical products.......................... Electrical products.......................... Steelworkers .................................... Electrical Workers (iue) .................... Electrical Workers (ibew) ................. Electrical Workers (ibew) ................. 1,000 2,100 3,600 1,400 Electrical products.......................... Machinists ........................................ 1,700 Volkswagen of America, Inc. (Pennsylvania)........................................ Xerox Corp. (Rochester, ny ) ................................................................. Moving and storage industry of New York (New York, ny ) ................ General Telephone Co. of California (California).................................. Virginia Electric and Power Co. (Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina) Transportation equipment .............. Instruments ................................... Trucking.......................................... Communications ............................ Utilities ......................................... Auto Workers .................................. Clothing and Textile Workers ........ Teamsters (Ind.) .............................. Communications W orkers................ Electrical Workers (ibew) ................ 3,500 3,250 1,100 21,000 4,600 See footnote at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ? 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • M a jo r A g reem en ts E xpirin g N ex t M onth Continued—Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Employer and location Private industry Labor organization1 Cincinnati Gas and Electric Co. (O hio)............................ Southern California Gas Co. (California) ........................ Retail Joint Council, Philadelphia area (Interstate).......... Chain and independent food stores (Minneapolis, mn) . . . Chain and independent food stores (St. Paul, mn) ........... Hyatt Hotels (California) .................................................. Utilities .. Utilities .. Retail trade Retail trade Retail trade Restaurants . Independent Utilities Union (Ind.) Utility Workers ............................ Food and Commercial Workers .. Food and Commercial Workers .. Food and Commercial Workers .. Hotel Employees and Restaurant Employees Bronx Realty Advisory Board (New York, ny) ............... Yosemite Park and Curry Co. (Yosemite, ca) .................... Greater New York Health Care Facilities Association, Inc. (New York, ny) Health Employers Inc., service and maintenance ............ Appalachian Regional Hospitals, Inc. (Interstate)............ Real estate . H otels........ Hospitals .. Service Employees Service Employees Service Employees Hospitals .. Hospitals .. Service Employees Steelworkers ........ Government activity Massachusetts: Labor organization1 Number of workers 1,200 7,100 1,800 7,500 2,600 1,000 3,300 1,200 15.000 4,400 2.000 Number of workers Commonwealth units 2, 4, 8, 10 Multidepartments Wrentham State Mental and Physical Handicap School, professionals Education.......... State, County and Municipal Employees, Service Employees State, County and Municipal Employees Michigan: Michigan State University, graduate student teachers Education.......... Teachers 1,600 Pennsylvania: Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority Transportation .. Transport Workers 5,000 Wisconsin: Milwaukee City School District Education.......... State, County and Municipal Employees 1.950 1Affiliated with afl- cio except where noted as independent (Ind.). Digitized 50 for FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 28,000 1.950 Developments in Industrial Relations General Dynamics workers end 2-month strike Production of armored vehicles resumed at General Dy namics Corp. plants in three States after members of the United Auto Workers union narrowly approved a 31-month agreement, ending a 2-month strike. The low margin of approval (53.4 to 46.6 percent) was attributed to employee dissatisfaction because the accord did not bring them to wage parity with employees of Chrysler Corp., which had owned the plants until 1982. Reportedly, they will remain about $1.50 an hour behind the Chrysler workers and could fall farther behind because their cost-of-living pay adjust ment formula is less liberal than that at Chrysler. According to a union official, the General Dynamics workers averaged about $11.92 an hour under the old contract. Wage terms included a $2,000 lump-sum payment; a 2.25-percent wage increase effective immediately; a lump sum payment in June 1986 equal to 2.25 percent of earnings during the previous 12 months; and a 3-percent wage in crease in June 1987. Quarterly cost-of-living adjustments will continue, calculated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.3-point movement in the CPI-W (1967 = 100), compared with 1 cent for each 0.26-point at Chrysler. In another difference, newly hired workers at General Dynamics will receive only the adjustments in the cost-of-living allowance that occur after they start work. The new hires will continue to start at 60 percent of the standard rate for their job, and then receive 8-percent pro gression increases every 6 months until they attain the stand ard rate after 2\ years of service. Previously, new employees received 6.5-percent step increases each 6 months, attaining the standard rate after 3 years. The agreement, scheduled to expire on June 15, 1988, also provided for a $2.25 increase, to $19.75, in the monthly pension rate for each year of credited service; and for continuation of the health insurance plan without any increases in co-insurance and deductible payments by em ployees. Carrier contract features cost-reduction changes Carrier Corp. of Syracuse, N Y , and the Sheet Metal Workers negotated a number of cuts in labor costs because “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division o f Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of the “very competitive market” in the heating, air condi tioning, and ventilating industry, according to company vice president Joseph P. Matturro. Although Carrier was operat ing at a profit prior to the cuts, Local 27 president Richard Burke said the employees accepted the reductions “to save our jobs.” At the time, 2,000 members of the local were employed and 800 were on layoff. Pay, which reportedly averaged about $13 an hour, was cut by $1.88 to $2.88, varying by job classification. The 3-year contract did not provide for any specified wage in creases, but the employees will receive a $3,500 lump-sum payment in January 1986. Carrier guaranteed that if any plant shutdowns occur, affected employees will receive a payment equal to the earnings they gave up, less the $3,500. The cost-of-living provision was revised to provide that quarterly adjustments will be paid only if the CPI rises more than 3 percent, and each adjustment will be limited to 8 cents an hour. The other cost reduction changes included 6 percent (maximum 85 cents an hour) shift differential pay, instead of the previous 10 percent with no hourly limit; about 125 job classifications, instead of more than 400; 22 companypaid union representatives, instead of 75; a shortened grievance procedure, involving fewer people; authority for the company to operate on a 7-day-a-week schedule, with no premium pay for weekend work and to require employees to work up to 18 Saturdays a year; and a health care cost containment plan including increased deductible payments by employees. Other terms included a $2 increase (to $19) in the monthly pension rate for each year of credited service; a plan that will give employees 50 percent of cost savings resulting from productivity improvements; an employee savings plan with Carrier matching half of employee contributions of $2 to $10 a week; an $1,800 tutition allowance for retraining laid-off workers with at least 5 years of service; and a $1,100 relocation allowance for laid-off workers with 2 years of service. Pennsylvania mine workers settle After 3^ months of difficult negotiations and selective strikes, members of District 25 of the United Mine Workers settled with the Anthracite Coal Operators Association for mines located in Northeastern Pennsylvania. About 1,000 workers were involved. Separate bargaining continued for 51 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Developments in Industrial Relations 350 employees of Bethlehem Mines Corp., who had been on strike since mid-July. The 4-year accord with the Association, which followed the employees’ rejection of two earlier offers, provided for a 30-cent-an-hour specified wage increase retroactive to September 20, and 20-cent increases in September of 1986, 1987, 1988, and for a cost-of-living adjustment of up to 5 cents in September 1988. Prior to the settlement, pay rates ranged from $10.10 to $12 an hour. One of the major issues in the talks was resolved when the parties agreed to continue a 7-hour workday (excluding lunch time). The operators had been seeking to add an hour at straight-time pay. Benefit changes included adoption of a dental plan, with no deductibles; $180 a week sickness and accident pay (for merly, $150); $75,000 major medical coverage (formerly, $50,000); $10,000 life insurance (formerly, $7,500); and $750 pay for the miner’s annual 2-week vacation (formerly, $685). Boston hotel and restaurant workers settle A scheduled strike by 4,000 employees was averted when the Greater Boston Hotel Association and the Hotel Em ployees and Restaurant Employees settled on a 3-year con tract. Pay, which reportedly averaged $3.10 an hour for tipped employees and $5.10 for nontipped employees, was raised by 6 percent at the beginning of each contract year. Other changes included a 25-percent increase in the hotels’ contribution to the health and welfare trust fund to permit continuation of current benefits without an increase in the employee contribution; adoption of legal services and eye care plans; an additional paid holiday; a fourth day of sick leave per year; a $20 a week increase, to $120, in long-term disability benefits; a 2-cent-an-hour increase, to 18 cents, in the employees’ contribution to the pension plan; and a revi sion of the paid vacation schedule to provide 3 weeks after 7 years of service (was 10), 4 weeks after 17 years (was 20), and a fifth week after 25 years. The agreement also provides for a stronger antidiscrimi nation policy, changes to assure more promotions from within the bargaining unit, and for employers to hold annual seminars for supervisors and employees on sexual harassment. The settlement covered the nine hotels comprising the Association but, based on past practice, five other hotels were expected to agree on similar terms. Textile workers give company 2-year ‘loan’ The expected closing of the Nation’s largest rayon mill was averted when Local 3 7 IT of the Clothing and Textile Workers and Avtex Fibers agreed on a 2-year contract calling for a cut in labor costs. Avtex contended that the cut was necessary to enable it to compete more effectively 52 FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis against lower cost foreign producers. A company official said the concessions by the 1,500 employees make the Front Royal, V A , plant, “very, very competitive in cost.” The 2-year agreement provided for an immediate wage reduction of $1 an hour and reductions in cost-of-living payments and paid vacations. According to the union, the average worker, who earned $8.14 an hour prior to the settlement, will give up about $4,000 over the contract’s term. In a departure from the usual practice when pay is cut, the concession is in the form of a loan. Avtex guarantees to repay the money, plus 8 percent interest, within 2 years after the contract expires, even if the plant is sold or closed. At the time of the settlement, the plant was operating at about 70 percent of capacity. At its peak, in the 1940’s and early 1950’s, the plant employed more than 4,500 people. Earlier in 1985, Avtex had closed a rayon plant in Meadville, PA, that had 600 employees. The company main tained that the plant was modem and efficient but that “imports absolutely chewed us up.” Philadelphia newspaper strike ends In Philadelphia, a 6^-week strike by 4,500 workers against the Daily News and Inquirer newspapers ended when the last of nine unions ratified their 4-year agreements. The major issues in the dispute were the size of the eco nomic package and management’s desire to introduce auto mated machines for inserting extra sections into the paper, replacing the hand insertion process performed by mailers. The accord provides for economic improvements averag ing $150 a week over the term, with the allocation between wages and benefits varying by union. Prior to the settle ment, weekly pay rates for experienced employees were $671 for reporters, $510 for press operators, $494 for mail ers, $470 for delivery drivers, and $283 for messengers. On the automation issue, management and the Mailers union agreed to study the staffing needs of the new equip ment for 17 months while it is being installed. Management will then submit a staffing plan. If the union is not satisfied with the plan, it can force the issue into binding arbitration. Employees accept pay cut for company stock Financial difficulties continued at some trucking compa nies, as 85 percent of the 11,000 employees of Ryder/PIE Nationwide Inc. agreed to a 15-percent pay cut to last for 5 years. In exchange for the cut, which is expected to save the company about $255 million, the workers will receive shares of company stock that could rise to 49 percent of the total shares if all employees decide to participate. Before making the offer to the individual workers the company discussed it with the Teamsters and other unions that repre sent the employees. □ Book Reviews Bringing East and West together Partners in Prosperity. By Julian Gresser. New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1984. 379 pp. $15.95. In this book, Julian Gresser, an attorney with experience in Japan and the United States, attempts to do several things. He argues that the United States needs an industrial policy, because future economic growth will depend extensively on the development of strategic industries. He suggests that industrial policy played an instrumental role in Japanese growth during the period of rapid expansion, and that it provides a model for U.S. policy. He proposes a “trigger” method, based on his own consulting work, for the identifi cation of strategic industries and their cooperative encour agement by public and private authorities. Although he sees the Japanese and U.S. relationship caught up in a zero-sum mentality, he believes it should be converted to one of cooperation— hence the book’s title. The key to understanding the book is found in the author’s views on national industrial policy. Gresser believes that the key to economic growth is not found in mundane areas of increased capital and labor resources. Rather, he believes that it lies in technological innovations which give rise to leading or strategic industries, which in turn become the engines of future growth. In his opinion, this is the essential explanation for Japan’s rapid growth in the postwar years. Yet, he argues, industrial policies designed to do for the United States what the Ministry of International Trade and Industry did for Japan cannot be expected to work because of bureaucracy and a failure to develop the cooperation of the essential parties. What is needed is an approach derived from the trigger method. The trigger method identifies strategic industries in terms of their boundaries in time and space. They are industries with high rates of growth in exports, employment, and product gains. They have substantial commitments to re search, capital investment, and innovation, and can be ex pected to have sharply increasing economies of scale. They significantly affect in a positive way the output levels of other industries, for example, English coal in the early days of the Industrial Revolution. The trigger method also forms the basis for planning without planning, essentially a proc ess of negotiating with the various interested parties an investment strategy for new strategic sectors. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Two chapters deal with issues of Japanese-American con flict and the possibility for cooperation. The United States is described as having a policy of cooperation and equality at high national levels and a much less generous approach when it comes to specific issues. The author reasons that Japanese policy is based on a refusal to view the needs of others as genuine, and on a mercantilist approach to gaining power. The attitudes of the two countries, he believes, lead to a zero-sum game whose results can only be unfortunate for both countries. Because the author believes that cooper ation will result in greater growth and wealth for both coun tries, he suggests ways that this result might be achieved. How should the book be evaluated? There are three cen tral questions. Are strategic industries the key to growth? Can one identify and nurture the new ones along? Would joint nurturing by Japan and the United States be a wise policy? My difficulty with the emphasis on strategic industries and the trigger method is that these concepts seem to be more effective in looking backward than forward. The auto mobile industry is listed as a strategic industry. But when did it become one? Was it in the mid-19th century or not until the 20th century? Clearly later, but when? At that time, would there have been agreement that automobiles had achieved the status of a strategic industry? Even the Japanese Ministry of International Trade and Industry did not recognize automobiles as a strategic industry. Although the Ministry of International Trade and Industry played an important role in Japanese growth, the author, along with others, gives too much credit to the Ministry. In addition, he does not adequately count the costs of errors by the Min istry. (See Kozo Yamamura, ed., Policy and Trade of the Japanese Economy: American and Japanese Perspectives.) Chapter 9 on “planning without planning,” in which the emphasis is on trying to bring competing industries with potential for conflict together to find a basis for cooperation, contains an interesting discussion and can be recommended independently of the book as a whole. Similarly, the chapter in which cooperation rather than conflict is proposed for future Japanese and American relations can be commended both for its spirit and for some of its ideas. On balance, the book contains many interesting facts on specific industries and practices. The interpretation of events seems too much patterned by the idea of a lawyer’s 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Book Reviews brief which tries to make a case, while too little attention is given to alternative and competing explanations. The range of facts is interesting, though at times there is a jumbled quality about them. For example, two pages contain major paragraphs discussing microprocessor designs, the ratio of debt to equity in the financing of Japanese corporations, and the role of city banks in the Japanese banking system. This book is recommended to those interested in the eco nomic relationship between Japan and the United States. Undue reliance, however, should not be placed on its expla nations and interpretations of events. Lastly, there are some useful suggestions for the development of U.S. economic policy, though the central message in favor of a form of planning based on strategic industries leaves me uncon vinced. There are some discrepancies between the text and the tabulations. For example, the figures do not show that the proportion of families in Puerto Rico headed by a female householder with no husband present is nearly identical to that of the U.S. white population (p. 699); that the labor force participation rates of Cuban men and women in the United States are about average for all men and women (p. 493); or that married women with no children have slightly higher labor force participation rates than mothers with children under age 6 (p. 499). (Actually, some of these statements reflect the situation in earlier years.) It is disappointing that this beautifully produced volume is marred by such inaccuracies. — Ellen Sehgal Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics Bureau of Labor Statistics — Robert Evans , Jr . Atran Professor of Economics Brandeis University A mix of encyclopedia and commentary The Population of the United States: Historical Trends and Future Projections. By Donald J. Bogue. New York, The Free Press, 1985. 728 pp. $70. This is a well written but expensive reference book on the population of the United States. Donald J. Bogue provides historical perspective, covering the U.S. population over the past two centuries, but he concentrates his analyses on the past two decades, with particular emphasis on the early 1980’s. He also discusses future populations trends. The book is divided into five sections: (1) an overview of the U.S. population; (2) dynamics of population change, such as marital status and migration; (3) social characteristics, for example, ethnicity and educational at tainment; (4) economic characteristics, for example, labor force participation, income, occupation, and industry; and (5) special topics, specifically, chapters on poverty, housing, religion, politics, and the population of Puerto Rico. Each chapter of the volume includes a bibliography, and, where appropriate, definitions of terms and technical appendices. Bogue notes in his preface that work of this type “should select the most cogent information from all available sources, summarize it in easy-to-use statistical tables, and provide a comprehensive exposition of the fundamental de tails.” Overall, Bogue’s volume does that. However, there are some inaccuracies in the book. Following are a few examples: In the chapter on internal and international migration, Bogue states, “World War II caused many millions of peo ple to be ‘transferred’ from one nation to another. For exam ple, millions of Jews fled from Germany before the war . . . ” (p. 356). In fact, there were 550,000 Jews in Germany in the years prior to World War II. (About one-third were later killed by the Nazis.) 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Publications received Agriculture and natural resources Ball, V. Eldon, “Output, Input, and Productivity Measurement in U.S. Agriculture, 1948-79,” American Journal of Agricul tural Economics, August 1985, pp. 475-86. Drabenstott, Mark, “U.S. Agriculture: The International Dimen sion,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, November 1985, pp. 3-8. Economic and social statistics Bums, Michael E. and William F. Mitchell, “Real Wages, Unem ployment and Economic Policy in Australia,” Australian Eco nomic Papers, June 1985, pp. 12-23. Caravatt, Paul J.,. Jr., “Videocassettes Explore the Demograph ics,” American Demographics, December 1985, beginning on p. 30. Edmondson, Brad, “How Big is the Baby Market?” American Demographics, December 1985, beginning on p. 23. Heckman, James J. and Burton Singer, eds., Longitudinal Analy sis of Labor Market Data. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1985, 410 pp. (Econometric Society Monographs, No. 10.) $49.50. Wiegard, R. Bruce, “Counting the Homeless,” American Demo graphics, December 1985, pp. 34-37. Industrial relations Aaron, Benjamin, “The n l r b , Labor Courts, and Industrial Tri bunals: A Selective Comparison,” Industrial and Labor Rela tions Review, October 1985, pp. 35-45. Bazerman, Max H. and Henry S. Farber, “Arbitrator Decision Making: When Are Final Offers Important?” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 76-89. Berry, Robert C., William B. Gould IV, Paul D. Staudohar, Labor Relations in Professional Sports. Dover, MA, Auburn House Publishing Co., 1986, 289 pp. $35. Cappelli, Peter, “Competitive Pressures and Labor Relations in the Airline Industry,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 316-38. ---------“Plant-Level Concession Bargaining,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 90-104. Carson, Brent, “Increased Risk of Disease from Hazardous Waste: A Proposal for Judicial Relief,” Washington Law Review, June 1985, pp. 635-52. Cooke, William N., “The Rising Toll of Discrimination Against Union Activists,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 421-42. Delaney, John Thomas, David Lewin, Donna Sockell, “The n l r a at Fifty: A Research Appraisal and Agenda,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 46-75. Ehrenberg, Ronald G., Workers’ Rights: Rethinking Protective Labor Legislation. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Eco nomic Research, Inc., 1985, 54 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1754.) $2. Flaherty, Diane, “Labor Control in the British Boot and Shoe Industry,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 339-59. Gross, James A., “Conflicting Statutory Purposes: Another Look at Fifty Years of NLRB Law Making,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 7-18. Katz, Harry C. and Charles F. Sabel, “Industrial Relations and Industrial Adjustment in the Car Industry,” Industrial Rela tions, Fall 1985, pp. 295-315. Lawler, John J. and Robin West, “Impact of Union-Avoidance Strategy in Representation Elections,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 406-20. Leonard, Jonathan S., “The Effect of Unions on the Employment of Blacks, Hispanics, and Women,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 115-32. Lichtenstein, Nelson, “ u a w Bargaining Strategy and ShopFloor Conflict: 1946-1970,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 360-81. O’Connell, Edward J., “Union Affiliations and Rights of Nonunion Employees,” Fordham Law Review, May 1985, pp. 1443-59. Schuster, Michael, “Models of Cooperation and Change in Union Settings,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 382-94. Tomlins, Christopher L., “The New Deal, Collective Bargaining, and the Triumph of Industrial Pluralism,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1985, pp. 19-34. Verma, Anil, “Relative Flow of Capital to Union and Nonunion Plants Within a Firm,” Industrial Relations, Fall 1985, pp. 395-405. Wheeler, Hoyt N., Industrial Conflict: An Integrative Theory. Columbia, sc, University of South Carolina Press, 1985, 293 pp. $24.95. Williams, Robert E., NLRB Regulation of Election Conduct. Rev. ed. Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Industrial Research Unit, 1985, 539 pp. (Labor Rela tions and Public Policy Series, No. 8.) $27.50. International economics Agarwal, J. P., “Intra-LDCs Foreign Direct Investment: A Compar ative Analysis of Third World Multinationals,” The Develop ing Economies, September 1985, pp. 236-53. Edwards, Sebastian, “Commodity Export Boom and the Real Ex change Rate: The Money-Inflation Link. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 29 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1741.) $2. Kader, Ahmad A., “Development Patterns among Countries Re examined,” The Developing Economies, September 1985, pp. 199-220. Klein, Philip A. and Geoffrey H. Moore, Monitoring Growth Cycles in Market-Oriented Countries: Developing and Using International Economic Indicators. Cambridge, MA, Ballinger Publishing Co., 1985, 416 pp. $35. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor and economic history Soldon, Norbert C., ed., The World of Women’s Trade Unionism: Comparative Historical Essays. Westport, CT, Greenwood Press, 1985, 253 pp. (Contributions in Women’s Studies, No. 52.) $35. Steel, Edward M., ed., The Correspondence of Mother Jones. Pittsburgh, PA, University of Pittsburgh Press, 1985, 360 pp. $34.95. Monetary and fiscal policy Downs, Anthony, The Revolution in Real Estate Finance. Wash ington, The Brookings Institution, 1985, 345 pp. $31.95, cloth; $11.95, paper. Hafer, R. W. and Scott E. Hein, “On the Accuracy of Time-Series, Interest Rate, and Survey Forecasts of Inflation,” The Journal of Business, October 1985, pp. 377-98. Kahn, George A., “Investment in Recession and Recovery: Les sons from the 1980’s,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, November 1985, pp. 25-39. Lawrence, Colin and Aloysius Siow, “Interest Rates and Invest ment Spending: Some Empirical Evidence for Postwar U.S. Producer Equipment, 1947-1980,” The Journal of Business, October 1985, pp. 359-75. Steuerle, C. Eugene, Taxes, Loans, and Inflation: How The Na tion’s Wealth Becomes Misallocated. Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1985, 205 pp. $26.95, cloth; $9.95, paper. Productivity and technological change Appelbaum, Eileen, “Technology and Work Organization in the Insurance Industry,” ilr Report, Fall 1985, pp. 21-26. Barley, Stephen R. and Lawrence K. Williams, “Could a Funny Thing Happen on the Way to the Office of the Future?” ilr Report, Fall 1985, pp. 11-20. Fuss, Melvyn and Leonard Waverman, Productivity Growth in the Automobile Industry, 1970-1980: A Comparison of Canada, Japan and the United States. Cambridge, m a , National Bu reau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 50 pp. ( n b e r Work ing Paper Series, 1735.) $2. Helliwell, John F., Peter H. Sturm, and Gérard Salou, “Interna tional Comparisons of the Sources of Productivity Slowdown, 1973-1982,” European Economic Review, June-July 1985, pp. 157-91. Welfare programs and social insurance Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., Primer on ERISA [the Employee Retirement Income Security Act o f1974 ]. By Barbara J. Cole man. Washington, 1985, 150 pp. $18, paper. Ell wood, David T. and Lawrence H. Summers, Poverty in Amer ica: Is Welfare the Answer or the Problem? Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 34 pp., bibliography, ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1711.) $2, paper. Gewirtz, Paul A. and Richard Ostuw, “Retiree Welfare Benefits: A Financial Time Bomb,” Compensation Review, Second Quarter, 1985, pp. 32-39. Goldman, Barbara and others, Findings from the San Diego Job Search and Work Experience Demonstration. New York, Manpower Demonstration Research Corp., 1985, 280 pp. $7.50, paper. Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier, The 1983 Social Security Reforms and Labor Supply Adjustments of Older Individuals in the Long Run. Reprinted from the Journal of Labor Economics, April 1985, pp. 237-53. Cambridge, MA, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985. ( n b e r Reprint, 604.) $2, paper. Halpem, Janice and Jerry Hausman, Choice Under Uncertainty: A Model of Applications for the Social Security Disability 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Book Reviews Insurance Program. Cambridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 46 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1690.) $2, paper. Price, Marilyn and others, Interim Findings from the Virginia Employment Services Program. New York, Manpower Demonstration Research Corp., 1985, 142 pp. $7.50, paper. Sjöberg, Björn, “Reforming the Swedish Social Security System,” International Labour Review, January-February 1985, pp. 61-72. Stemp, Peter J ., “The Effects on the Economy of Changing Unem ployment Benefits and Pensions,” Australian Economic Papers, June 1985, pp. 127-40. Wages and compensation Altonji, Joseph and Robert Shakotko, Do Wages Rise with Job Seniority? Cambridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 67 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1616.) $2, paper. Baldry, J. C., “Wage Indexation in a Two-Sector Economy: A Generalization,” Australian Economic Papers, December 1985, pp. 219-34. Beadle, Carson E., “Taxing Employee Benefits: The Impact on Employers and Employees,” Compensation Review, Second Quarter, 1985, pp. 12-19. 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Council on Employment Policy, Comparable Worth and the Equal Employment of Women: A Policy Statement. Wash ington, 1985, 15 pp. Stonebraker, Peter W., “Flexible and Incentive Benefits: A Guide to Program Development,” Compensation Review, Second Quarter, 1985, pp. 40-53. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employee Benefits in Medium and Large Firms, 1984. Washington, 1985, 69 pp. (Bulletin 2237.) Stock No. 029-001-02852-1. $2.75, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Venti, Steven F., Wages in the Federal and Private Sectors. Cam bridge, m a , National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1985, 47 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1641.) $2, paper. Worker training and development Amevale, Anthony Patrick, Jobs for the Nation: Challenges for a Society Based on Work. Alexandria, v a , American Society for Training and Development, 1985, 269 pp., bibliography. $16, a s t d members; $21.75, nonmembers. Available from As t d Publishing Service, P.O. Box 4856, Hampden Station, Baltimore, MD 21211. Hahn, Andrew and Robert Lerman, What Works in Youth Employ ment Policy? Washington, National Planning Association, 1985, 111 pp. ( n p a Report 215.) $9.50, paper. A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supplement, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and analytical, not po lemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-inChief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. Current Labor Statistics N o t e s o n C u r r e n t L a b o r S t a t i s t i c s .............................................................................................................................................................................. 59 S c h e d u l e o f r e l e a s e d a t e s f o r m a j o r B L S s t a t i s t i c a l s e r i e s ........................................................................................................................ 58 C o m p a r a tiv e in d ic a to r s 1. Labor market in d ica to rs............................................................................................................................................................................................ 68 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in wages, prices, and p r o d u c tiv ity ............................................................................................... 69 3. Alternative measures o f wage and com pensation changes ............................................................................................................................. 69 L a b o r f o r c e d a ta 4. Em ploym ent status o f the total population, data seasonally ad ju sted ........................................................................................................ 70 5. Em ploym ent status o f the civilian population, data seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................. 71 6 . Selected em ploym ent indicators, data seasonally a d ju ste d ............................................................................................................................. 72 7. Selected unem ploym ent indicators, data seasonally ad ju sted ........................................................................................................................ 73 8 . Unem ploym ent rates by sex and age, data seasonally a d ju s te d ..................................................................................................................... 9. 10 . 11. 12 . U nem ployed persons by reason for unem ploym ent, data seasonally a d ju ste d .......................................................................................... Duration o f unem ploym ent, data seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................................................... Unem ploym ent rates o f civilian workers, by S ta te.............................................................................................................................................. Em ploym ent o f workers by S ta te .............................................................................................................................................................................. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. Em ploym ent o f workers by industry, data seasonally a d ju s te d ..................................................................................................................... Average weekly hours by industry, data seasonally a d ju s te d .......................................................................................................................... Average hourly earnings by in d u stry ....................................................................................................................................................................... Average weekly earnings by in d ustry....................................................................................................................................................................... H ourly Earnings Index by in d u str y ........................................................................................................................................................................ Indexes o f diffusion: proportion o f industries in which em ploym ent increased, seasonally a d ju s te d ............................................. Annual data: Em ploym ent status o f the noninstitutional p o p u la tio n .......................................................................................................... Annual data: Em ploym ent levels by in d u stry....................................................................................................................................................... Annual data: Average hours and earnings levels by in d u str y .......................................................................................................................... 74 74 74 75 75 76 77 78 79 79 80 80 80 81 L a b o r c o m p e n s a t io n a n d c o lle c t iv e b a r g a in in g d a ta 22. 23. 24. 25. Em ploym ent C ost Index, com pensation, by occupation and industry g r o u p ............................................................................................ 82 Em ploym ent Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry g r o u p ................................................................................... 83 Em ploym ent Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area siz e ........................................................ 84 Specified com pensation and wage adjustm ents from contract settlem ents, and effective wage adjustm ents, situations covering 1,0 0 0 workers or m o r e .......................................................................................................................................................... 84 26. Average specified com pensation and wage adjustm ents, bargaining situation covering 1,000 workers or m o r e ........................... 27. Average effective wage adjustm ents, bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or m o r e ............................................................... 28. Specified com pensation and wage adjustm ents, State and local governm ent bargaining situations covering 1 ,000 workers or m o r e .......................................................................................................................................................... 29. W ork stoppages involving 1,000 workers or m o r e ............................................................................................................................................ 85 85 86 86 P r ic e d a ta 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. Consum er Price Index: U .S . City average, by expenditure category and com m odity and service g r o u p s ........................................ Consum er Price Index: U .S . City average and local data, all it e m s .............................................................................................................. Annual data: Consum er Price Index, all items and m ajor g r o u p s ................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes by stage o f p ro cessin g ..................................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by durability o f p r o d u c t .............................................................................................................................................. Annual data: Producer Price Indexes by stage o f p r o c e ssin g .......................................................................................................................... 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. U .S . U .S . U .S . U .S . U .S . U .S . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis export price indexes by Standard International Trade C la ssific a tio n ................................................................................................. import price indexes by Standard International Trade C lassification ................................................................................................. export price indexes by end use c a t e g o r y ..................................................................................................................................................... import price indexes by end use c a te g o r y ..................................................................................................................................................... export price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification ................................................................................................................... import price indexes by Standard Industrial C la ssific a tio n ................................................................................................................... 87 90 91 92 93 93 94 95 96 96 96 97 57 Contents—Continued Productivity data 42. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, data seasonally adjusted............................................................ 97 43. Annual indexes of multifactor productivity...................................................................................................................... 98 44. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices..................................................................... 99 International comparisons 45. Unemployment rates in nine countries, data seasonally adjusted........................................................................................ 99 46. Annual data: Employment status of civilian working-age population, ten countries .......................................................... 100 47. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, twelve countries..............................................................................101 Injury and illness data 48. Annual data: occupational injury illness incidence rates.................................................................................................... 102 Schedule of release dates for BLS statistical series Series Employment situation ............................ Producer Price Index.............................. Consumer Price In d e x............................ Real earnings.......................................... Productivity and costs: Period coverd Release date Period covered Release date 7 14 25 25 January January January January March March March March February February February February April April April April February 27 4th qtr. Release date February February February February 7 14 25 25 4 11 22 22 Period covered March March March March MLR table number 1; 4-21 2; 33-35 2; 30-32 14-17 2; 42-44 Nonfarm business and April 24 1st qtr. 2; 42-44 April 25 April 29 1st qtr. 1st qtr. 3; 25-28 1-3; 22-24 Major collective bargaining Employment Cost Index.......................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section o f the Review presents the principal statistical series collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: series on labor force, employment, unemployment, collective bargaining settlements, consumer, producer, and international prices, productivity, international comparisons, and injury and illness statistics. In the notes that follow, the data in each group o f tables is briefly described, key definitions are given, notes on the data are set forth, and sources of additional information are cited. A d ju stm en ts for price c h a n g es. Some data— such as the Hourly Earnings Index in table 17— are adjusted to eliminate the effect o f changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate o f $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 x 100 = $2). The $2 (or any other resulting values) are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. General notes Additional information The following notes apply to several tables in this section: Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect on the data of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might prevent short-term evaluation o f the statistical series. Tables containing data that have been adjusted are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” (All other data are not seasonally adjusted.) Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are computed each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for several preceding years. (Season ally adjusted data appear in tables 1-3, 4 -1 0 , 13, 14, and 18.) Beginning in January 1980, the bls introduced two major modifications in the sea sonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X - l 1/arima, which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X-11 method previously used by bls. A detailed description of the procedure appears in The x - l 1 a r im a Seasonal Adjustment M ethod by Estla Bee Dagum (Statis tics Canada, Catalogue No. 12-564E, January 1983). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months o f the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. However, revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 1 and 4 -1 0 were revised in the February 1986 issue of the Review to reflect experience through 1985. Annual revisions o f the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 13, 14, and 18 were made in July 1985 using the x—11 arima seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in table 42 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items cpi. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are avail able for this series. S ea so n a l a d ju stm en t. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule preceding these general notes. More information about labor force, employment, and unemployment data and the household and establishment surveys underlying the data are available in Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. More data from the household survey is published in the two-volume data book— Labor Force Statistics D erived From the Current Population Survey, Bul letin 2096. More data from the establishment survey appear in two data books— Employment, Hours, and Earnings, United States, and Employ ment, Hours, and Earnings, States and Areas, and the annual supplements to these data books. More detailed information on employee compensation and collective bargaining settlements is published in the monthly periodi cal, Current Wage Developments. More detailed data on consumer and producer prices are published in the monthly periodicals, The c p i D etailed Report, and Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Detailed data on all of the series in this section are provided in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, which is published biennally by the Bureau, bls bulletins are issued cover ing productivity, injury and illness, and other data in this section. Finally, the Monthly Labor Review carries analytical articles on annual and longer term developments in labor force, employment and unemployment; em ployee compensation and collective bargaining; prices; productivity; inter national comparisons; and injury and illness data. Symbols p = preliminary. To increase the timeliness of some series, prelim inary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability o f later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified, n.e.s. = not elsew h ere sp e cifie d . COMPARATIVE INDICATORS (Tables 1-3) Comparative indicators tables provide an overview and comparison of major bls statistical series. Consequently, although many of the included series are available monthly, all measures in these comparative tables are presented quarterly and annually. L a b o r m a rk et in d ica to rs include employment measures from two ma jor surveys and information on rates of change in compensation provided by the Employment Cost Index (eci) program. The labor force participation rate, the employment-to-population ratio, and unemployment rates for major demographic groups based on the Current Population (“household ”) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Survey are presented, while measures of employment and average weekly hours by major industry sector are given using nonagricultural payroll data. The Employment Cost Index (compensation), by major sector and by bargaining status, is chosen from a variety of bls compensation and wage measures because it provides a comprehensive measure of employer costs for hiring labor, not just outlays for wages, and it is not affected by employment shifts among occupations and industries. Data on ch a n g es in co m p e n sa tio n , p rices, and p rod u ctivity are pre sented in table 2. Measures of rates of change of compensation and wages 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics from the Employment Cost Index program are provided for all civilian nonfarm workers (excluding Federal and household workers) and for all private nonfarm workers. Measures of changes in consumer prices for all urban consumers; producer prices by stage of processing; and the overall export and import price indexes are given. Measures of productivity (output per hour o f all persons) are provided for major sectors. A ltern a tiv e m ea su res o f w age and co m p en sa tio n ra tes o f ch a n g e, which reflect the overall trend in labor costs, are summarized in table 3. Differences in concepts and scope, related to the specific purposes of the series, contribute to the variation in changes among the individual mea sures. Notes on the data Definitions of each series and notes on the data are contained in later sections of these notes describing each set o f data. For detailed descriptions of each data series, see bls Handbook o f Methods, Volumes I and II, Bulletins 2134-1 and 2134-2 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982 and 1984, respectively), as well as the additional bulletins, articles, and other publi cations noted in the separate sections of the R eview 's “Current Labor Statistics Notes.” Historical data for many series are provided in the Hand book o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). Users may also wish to consult M ajor Programs, Bureau o f Labor Statis tics, Report 718 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). EMPLOYMENT DATA (Tables 1; 4 -2 1 ) Household Survey Data Description of the series EMPLOYMENT DATA in this section are obtained from the Current Popula tion Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 59,500 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. Definitions E m p lo y ed p erso n s include (1) all civilians who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12 th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2 ) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. Members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are also included in the employed total. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. U n em p lo y ed p erso n s are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The o v era ll u n em p loym en t rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the labor force, including the resident Armed Forces. The civ ilia n u n em p lo ym en t rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The la b o r force consists of all employed or unemployed civilians plus members o f the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Persons not in th e la b o r force are those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons who are retired, those engaged in their own house work, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because o f long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because o f personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The n on in stitu tio n a l p o p u la tio n comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy, and members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. The la b o r force p a rticip a tio n rate is the proportion o f the noninstitutional populaton that is in the labor force. The e m p lo y m en t-p o p u la tio n ra tio is total employment (including the resident Armed Forces) as a percent of the noninstitutional population. Notes on the data are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparabil ity of historical data. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Employment and Earnings. Data in tables 4 -1 0 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. Additional sources of information For detailed explanations of the data, see bls Handbook o f M ethods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982) and for additional data, Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). A detailed description of the Current Population Survey as well as additional data are available in the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics periodical, Employment and Earnings. Historical data from 1948 to 1982 are available in Labor Force Statistics D erived from the Current Popula tion Survey: A D atabook, Vols. I and II, Bulletin 2096 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . Establishment Survey Data Description of the series E mployment, hours, and earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies by more than 200,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most indus tries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An establishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or ware house.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from estab lishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Definitions An e sta b lish m e n t is an economic unit which produces goods or services (such as a factory or store) at a single location and is engaged in one type of economic activity. From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis E m p loyed person s are all persons who received pay (including holiday and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12 th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 percent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establishment which reports them. P ro d u ctio n w o rk ers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker super visors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 12-16 include production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construc tion; and for nonsupervisory workers in the following industries: trans portation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricutural payrolls. E a rn in g s are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers re ceive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. R eal ea rn in g s are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earner and Clerical Workers (cpi- w). The H o u rly E a rn in g In d ex is calculated from average hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects o f changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and low-wage industries. H o u rs represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervi sory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. O v ertim e h o u rs represent the portion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. T h e D iffu sio n In d ex , introduced in table 17 of the May 1983 issue, represents the percent of 185 nonagricultural industries in which employ ment was rising over the indicated period. One-half of the industries with unchanged employment are counted as rising. In line with Bureau practice, data for the 1-, 3-, and 6 -month spans are seasonally adjusted, while those for the 12-month span are unadjusted. The diffusion index is useful for measuring the dispersion o f economic gains or losses and is also an eco nomic indicator. Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are peri od ically adjusted to com prehensive counts o f em ploym ent (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the release o f May 1985 data, published in the July 1985 issue of the Review. Conse quently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Unadjusted data have been revised back to April 1983; seasonally adjusted data have been revised back to January 1980. These revisions were published in the Supplement to Employment and Earnings (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). Unadjusted data from April 1984 forward, and seasonally adjusted data from January 1981 for ward are subject to revision in future benchmarks. Additional sources of information Detailed data from the establishment survey are published monthly in the BLS periodical. Employment and Earnings. Earlier comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in Employment, Hours, and Earnings, United States, 1 9 0 9 -8 4 , Bulletin 1312-12 and its annual supplement (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). For a detailed discussion of the methodology of the survey, see bls Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2143-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). For additional data, see Hand book o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll surveys,” Monthly Labor Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . Unemployment Data By State Description of the series Data presented in this section are obtained from two major sources— the Current Population Survey (cps) and the Local Area Unemployment Statis tics ( laus) program, which is conducted in cooperation with State employ ment security agencies. Monthly estimates of the labor force, employment, and unemployment for States and sub-State areas are a key indicator of local economic condi tions and form the basis for determining the eligibility o f an area for benefits under Federal economic assistance programs such as the Job Train ing Partnership Act and the Public Works and Economic Development Act. Insofar as possible, the concepts and definitions underlying these data are those used in the national estimates obtained from the cps . Notes on the data Data refer to State of residence. Monthly data for 11 States—California, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas—are obtained directly from the CPS because the size of the sample is large enough to meet BLS standards of reliabil ity. Data for the remaining 39 States and the District of Columbia are derived us ing standardized procedures established by BLS. Once a year, estimates for the 11 States are revised to new population controls. For the remaining States and the District of Columbia, data are benchmarked to annual average CPS levels. Additional sources of information Information on the concepts, definitions, and technical procedures used to develop labor force data for States and sub-State areas as well as addi tional data on sub-States are provided in the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics periodical, Employment and Earnings, and the annual report, Geographic Profile o f Employment and Unemployment (Bureau o f Labor Statistics). See also bls Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). COMPENSATION AND WAGE DATA (Tables 22-29) C ompensation and wage data are gathered by the Bureau from business establishments, State and local governments, labor unions, collective bar gaining agreements on file with the Bureau, and secondary sources. Employment Cost Index Description of the series The E m p lo y m en t C o st In d ex (eci) is a quarterly measure of the rate of change in compensation per hour worked and includes wages, salaries, and employer costs o f employee benefits. It uses a fixed market basket of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis labor— similar in concept to the Consumer Price Index’s fixed market basket of goods and services— to measure change over time in employer costs of employing labor. The index is not seasonally adjusted. Statistical series on total compensation costs and on wages and salaries are available for private nonfarm workers excluding proprietors, the selfemployed, and household workers. Both series are also available for State and local government workers and for the civilian nonfarm economy, which consists of private industry and State and local government workers combined. Federal workers are excluded. The Employment Cost Index probability sample consists of about 2,200 private nonfarm establishments providing about 12,000 occupational ob servations and 700 State and local government establishments providing 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics 3,500 occupational observations selected to represent total employment in each sector. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensa tion information on five well-specified occupations. Data are collected each quarter for the pay period including the 12th day of March, June, Septem ber, and December. Fixed employment weights from the 1970 Census of Population are used each quarter to calculate the indexes for civilian, private, and State and local governments. These fixed weights, also used to derive all of the industry and occupation series indexes, ensure that changes in these in dexes reflect only changes in compensation, not employment shifts among industries or occupations with different levels of wages and compensation. For the bargaining status, region, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan area series, however, employment data by industry and occupation are not available from the census. Instead, the 1970 employment weights are reallocated within these series each quarter based on the current sample. Therefore, these indexes are not strictly comparable to those for the aggre gate, industry, and occupation series. Definitions T ota l co m p en sa tio n costs include wages, salaries, and the employer costs for employee benefits. W ag es a nd sa la ries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, in cluding production bonuses, incentive earnings, commissions, and cost-ofliving adjustments. B en efits include the cost to employers for paid leave, supplemental pay (including nonproduction bonuses), insurance, retirement and savings plans, and legally required benefits (such as social security, workers’ compensation, and unemployment insurance). Excluded from wages and salaries and employee benefits are such items as payment-in-kind, free room and board, and tips. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quarter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee benefits were in cluded in 1980 to produce, when combined with the wages and salaries series, a measure o f the percent change in employer costs for employee total compensation. State and local government units were added to the eci coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian nonfarm economy (excluding Federal employees). Historical in dexes (June 1981 = 100) o f the quarterly rates of change are presented in the May issue of the bls monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. (wages and benefits costs) and wages alone, quarterly for private industry and semiannually for State and local government. Compensation measures cover all collective bargaining situations involving 5,000 workers or more and wage measures cover all situations involving 1,000 workers or more. These data, covering private nonagricultural industries and State and local governments, are calculated using information obtained from bargaining agreements on file with the Bureau, parties to the agreements, and second ary sources, such as newspaper accounts. The data are not seasonally adjusted. Settlement data are measured in terms of future specified adjustments: those that will occur within 12 months after contract ratification— first year— and all adjustments that will occur over the life of the contract expressed as an average annual rate. Adjustments are worker weighted. Both first-year and over-the-life measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living clauses that are triggered by future movements in the Consumer Price Index. E ffective w age a d ju stm en ts measure all adjustments occurring in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. Included are changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from con tracts negotiated in earlier periods, and changes under cost-of-living adjust ment clauses. Each wage change is worker weighted. The changes are prorated over all workers under agreements during the reference period yielding the average adjustment. Definitions W age rate ch an ges are calculated by dividing newly negotiated wages by the average hourly earnings, excluding overtime, at the time the agree ment is reached. Compensation changes are calculated by dividing the change in the value of the newly negotiated wage and benefit package by existing average hourly compensation, which includes the cost of previ ously negotiated benefits, legally required social insurance programs, and average hourly earnings. C om p en sa tio n ch a n g es are calculated by placing a value on the benefit portion of the settlements at the time they are reached. The cost estimates are based on the assumption that conditions existing at the time of settle ment (for example, methods of financing pensions or composition o f labor force) will remain constant. The data, therefore, are measures of negotiated changes and not of total changes in employer cost. C on tract d u ration runs from the effective date of the agreement to the expiration date or first wage reopening date, if applicable. Average annual percent changes over the contract term take account of the compounding of successive changes. Additional sources of information Notes on the data For a more detailed discussion of the Employment Cost Index, see Chapter 11, “The Employment Cost Index,” in the Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), and the following Monthly Labor Review articles: “Employment Cost Index: a measure of change in the ‘price o f labor’,” July 1975; “How benefits will be incorpo rated into the Employment Cost Index,” January 1978; “Estimation proce dures for the Employment Cost Index,” May 1982; and “Introducing new weights for the Employment Cost Index,” June 1985. Data on the ECI are also available in bls quarterly press releases issued in the month following the reference months of March, June, September, and December; and from the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 Care should be exercised in comparing the size and nature of the settle ments in State and local government with those in the private sector because of differences in bargaining practices and settlement characteristics. A principal difference is the incidence of cost-of-living adjustment (cola) clauses which cover only about 2 percent of workers under a few local government settlements but cover 50 percent of workers under private sector settlements. Agreements without cola’s tend to provide larger speci fied wage increases than those with cola ’s . Another difference is that State and local government bargaining frequently excludes pension benefits which are often prescribed by law. In the private sector, in contrast, pensions are typically a bargaining issue. (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1985). Collective bargaining settlements Description of the series C ollectiv e b a rg a in in g settlem en ts data provide statistical measures of negotiated adjustments (increases, decreases, and freezes) in compensation 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Additional sources of information For a more detailed discussion on the series, see chapter 10, “Negotiated Wage and Benefit Changes,” of the bls Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 2134-1. Comprehensive data are published in press releases issued quar terly (in January, April, July, and October) for private industry, and semi- annually (in February and August) for State and local government. Histor ical data and additional detailed tabulations for the prior calendar year appear in the April issue of the bls monthly periodical, Current Wage D evelopm ents. monthly periodical, Current Wage D evelopm ents. Historical data appear in the bls Handbook o f Labor Statistics. Work stoppages Other bls data on pay and benefits, not included in the Current Labor Statistics section of the Monthly Labor Review, appear in and consist o f the following: Description of the series Data on w o rk sto p p a g es measure the number and duration of major strikes or lockouts (involving 1,000 workers or more) occurring during the month (or year), the number of workers involved, and the amount o f time lost because o f stoppage. Data are largely from newspaper accounts and cover only establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or second ary effect o f stoppages on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material shortages or lack of service. Definitions The number of strikes and lockouts involving or more and lasting a full shift or longer. W o rk ers involved : The number of workers directly involved in the stoppage. N u m b er o f d a y s idle: The aggregate number of work days lost by workers involved in the stoppages: D a y s o f id len ess as a p ercen t o f estim a ted w o rk in g tim e: Aggregate work days lost as a percent of the aggregate number o f standard work days in the period multiplied by total employment in the period. N u m b er o f sto p p a g es: 1,000 workers Notes on the data This series is not comparable with the one terminated in 1981 that covered strikes involving six workers or more. Additional sources of information Data for each calendar year are reported in a bls press release issued in the first quarter o f the following year. Monthly data appear in the bls Other compensation data Industry Wage Surveys provide data for specific occupations selected to represent an industry’s wage structure and the types of activities performed by its workers. The Bureau collects information on weekly work schedules, shift operations and pay differentials, paid holiday and vacation practices, and information on incidence of health, insurance, and retirement plans. Reports are issued' throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summaries o f the data and special analyses also appear in the M onthly Labor R eview . Area Wage Surveys annually provide data for selected office, clerical, professional, technical, maintenance, toolroom, powerplant, material movement, and custodial occupations common to a wide variety o f indus tries in the areas (labor markets) surveyed. Reports are issued throughout the year as the surveys are completed. Summaries of the data and special analyses also appear in the Review. The National Survey o f Professional, Administrative, Technical, and Clerical Pay provides detailed information annually on salary levels and distributions for the types of jobs mentioned in the survey’s title in private employment. Although the definitions o f the jobs surveyed reflect the duties and responsibilities in private industry, they are designed to match specific pay grades of Federal white-collar employees under the General Schedule pay system. Accordingly, this survey provides the legally re quired information for comparing the pay of salaried employees in the Federal civil service with pay in private industry. (See Federal Pay Com parability Act o f 1970, 5 u.s.c. 5305.) Data are published in a bls news release issued in the summer and in a bulletin each fall; summaries and analytical articles also appear in the Review. Employee Benefits Survey provides nationwide information on the inci dence and characteristics of employee benefit plans in medium and large establishments in the United States, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. Data are published in an annual bls news release and bulletin, as well as in special articles appearing in the Review. PRICE DATA (Tables 30-41) PRICE DATA are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Consumer Price Indexes Description of the series The C o n su m er P rice In d ex (cpi) is a measure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The cpi is calculated monthly for two population groups, one consisting only o f urban households whose primary source o f income is derived from the employment of wage earners and clerical workers, and the other consisting o f all urban households. The wage earner index (cpi- w) is a continuation o f the historic index that was introduced well over a halfcentury ago for use in wage negotiations. As new uses were developed for the cpi in recent years, the need for a broader and more representative index became apparent. The all urban consumer index (cpi- u) introduced in 1978 is representative o f the 1972-73 buying habits o f about 80 percent of the noninstitutional population of the United States at that time, compared with 40 percent represented in the cpi- w . In addition to wage earners and clerical https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis workers, the cpi- u covers professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and oth ers not in the labor force. The cpi is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, trans portation fares, doctors’ and dentists’ fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality o f these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Data collected from more than 24,000 retail establishments and 24,000 tenants in 85 urban areas across the country are used to develop the “U.S. city average.” Separate estimates for 28 major urban centers are presented in table 31. The areas listed are as indicated in footnote 1 to the table. The area indexes measure only the average change in prices for each area since the base period, and do not indicate differences in the level of prices among cities. Notes on the data In January 1983, the Bureau changed the way in which homeownership costs are measured for the cpi- u . A rental equivalence method replaced the 63 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics asset-price approach to homeownership costs for that series. In January 1985, the same change was made in the cpi- w . The central purpose of the change was to separate shelter costs from the investment component of homeownership so that the index would reflect only the cost of shelter services provided by owner-occupied homes. Additional sources of information For a discussion o f the general method for computing the cpi, see b l s Handbook o f Methods, Volume II, The Consumer Price Index, Bulletin 2 1 3 4 -2 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, April 1984). The recent change in the measurement of homeownership costs is discussed in Robert Gillingham and Walter Lane, “Changing the treatment of shelter costs for homeowners in the CPI,” Monthly Labor Review, June 1982, pp. 9 -1 4 . Additional detailed cpi data and regular analyses of consumer price changes are provided in the c p i D etailed Report, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Historical data for the overall cpi and for selected groupings may be found in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, June 1985). Producer Price Indexes Description of the series P ro d u cer P rice In d ex es (ppi) measure average changes in prices re ceived in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodi ties in all stages o f processing. The sample used for calculating these indexes currently contains about 3,200 commodities and about 60,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all commodities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The stage of proc essing structure o f Producer Price Indexes organizes products by class of buyer and degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude materials). The traditional commodity structure of ppi organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price Indexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the United States from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. Most prices are ob tained directly from producing companies on a voluntary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day o f the month. Since January 1976, price changes for the various commodities have been averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all commodities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain indexes for stage-of-processing groupings, commodity groupings, durability-of-product groupings, and a number o f special composite groups. All Producer Price Index data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. Notes on the data Beginning with the January 1986 issue, the Review is no longer present ing tables o f Producer Price Indexes for commodity groupings, special composite groups, or sic industries. However, these data will continue to be presented in the Bureau’s monthly publication Producer Price Indexes. Series on the net output o f major mining and manufacturing industry groups will appear in the Review starting with data for July 1986. The Bureau has completed the first major stage of its comprehensive overhaul o f the theory, methods, and procedures used to construct the Producer Price Indexes. Changes include the replacement of judgment sampling with probability sampling techniques; expansion to systematic coverage o f the net output of virtually all industries in the mining and Digitized for64 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis manufacturing sectors; a shift from a commodity to an industry orientation; the exclusion of imports from, and the inclusion of exports in, the survey universe; and the respecification of commodities priced to conform to Bureau of the Census definitions. These and other changes have been phased in gradually since 1978. The result is a system of indexes that is easier to use in conjunction with data on wages, productivity, and employ ment and other series that are organized in terms of the Standard Industrial Classification and the Census product class designations. Additional sources of information For a discussion of the methodology for computing Producer Price In dexes, see b l s Handbook o f M ethods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 7. Additional detailed data and analyses of price changes are provided monthly in Producer Price Indexes. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 1985). International Price Indexes Description of the series The bls In tern ation al P rice P ro g ra m produces quarterly export and import price indexes for nonmilitary goods traded between the United States and the rest of the world. The export price index provides a measure of price change for all products sold by U .S. residents to foreign buyers. (“Residents” is defined as in the national income accounts: it includes corporations, businesses, and individuals but does not require the organiza tions to be U .S. owned nor the individuals to have U .S. citizenship.) The import price index provides a measure of price change for goods purchased from other countries by U .S. residents. With publication of an all-import index in February 1983 and an all-export index in February 1984, all U.S. merchandise imports and exports now are represented in these indexes. The reference period for the indexes is 1977 = 100, unless otherwise indicated. The product universe for both the import and export indexes includes raw materials, agricultural products, semifinished manufactures, and finished manufactures, including both capital and consumer goods. Price data for these items are collected quarterly by mail questionnaire. In nearly all cases, the data are collected directly from the exporter or importer, al though in a few cases, prices are obtained from other sources. To the extent possible, the data gathered refer to prices at the U .S. border for exports and at either the foreign border or the U .S. border for imports. For nearly all products, the prices refer to transactions completed during the first 2 weeks of the third month of each calendar quarter— March, June, September, and December. Survey respondents are asked to indicate all discounts, allowances, and rebates applicable to the reported prices, so that the price used in the calculation of the indexes is the actual price for which the product was bought or sold. In addition to general indexes of prices for U.S. exports and imports, indexes are also published for detailed product categories of exports and imports. These categories are defined by the 4- and 5-digit level of detail of the Standard Industrial Trade Classification System (sitc). The calcula tion of indexes by sitc category facilitates the comparison of U .S. price trends and sector production with similar data for other countries. Detailed indexes are also computed and published on a Standard Industrial Classifi cation (sic-based) basis, as well as by end-use class. Notes on the data The export and import price indexes are weighted indexes o f the Laspeyeres type. Price relatives are assigned equal importance within each weight category and are then aggregated to the sitc level. The values assigned to each weight category are based on trade value figures compiled by the Bureau of the Census. The trade weights currently used to compute both indexes relate to 1980. Because a price index depends on the same items being priced from period to period, it is necessary to recognize when a product’s specifica tions or terms o f transaction have been modified. For this reason, the Bureau’s quarterly questionnaire requests detailed descriptions of the phys ical and functional characteristics of the products being priced, as well as information on the number o f units bought or sold, discounts, credit terms, packaging, class of buyer or seller, and so forth. When there are changes in either the specifications or terms of transaction of a product, the dollar value o f each change is deleted from the total price change to obtain the “pure” change. Once this value is determined, a linking procedure is employed which allows for the continued repricing of the item. For the export price indexes, the preferred pricing basis is f.a.s. (free alongside ship) U.S. port of exportation. When firms report export prices f.o.b. (free on board), production point information is collected which enables the Bureau to calculate a shipment cost to the port of exportation. An attempt is made to collect two prices for imports. The first is the import price f.o.b. at the foreign port of exportation, which is consistent with the basis for valuation of imports in the national accounts. The second is the import price c.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) at the U .S. port of impor tation, which also includes the other costs associated with bringing the product to the U .S. border. It does not, however, include duty charges. Additional sources of information For a discussion of the general method of computing International Price Indexes, see b l s Handbook o f M ethods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau o f Labor Statistics, 1982), chapter 8. Additional detailed data and analyses of international price develop ments are presented in the Bureau’s quarterly publication U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes and in occasional Monthly Labor Review articles prepared by b l s analysts. Selected historical data may be found in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 1985). PRODUCTIVITY DATA (Tables 42-47) U. S. productivity and related data Description of the series The productivity measures relate real physical output to real input. As such they encompass a family of measures which include single factor input measures, such as output per unit of labor input (output per hour) or output per unit o f capital input, as well as measures of multifactor productivity (output per unit o f labor and capital inputs combined). The Bureau indexes show the change in output relative to changes in the various inputs. The measures cover the business, nonfarm business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Corresponding indexes of hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit nonlabor payments, and prices are also provided. U n it p rofits include corporate profits and the value of inventory adjust ments per unit of output. H ou rs o f all p erson s are the total hours paid of payroll workers, selfemployed persons, and unpaid family workers. C ap ital services is the flow of services from the capital stock used in production. It is developed from measures of the net stock of physical assets— equipment, structures, land, and inventories— weighted by rental prices for each type of asset. L ab or an d cap ital in p u ts combined are derived by combining changes in labor and capital inputs with weights which represent each component’s share of total output. The indexes for capital services and combined units of labor and capital are based on changing weights which are averages of the shares in the current and preceding year (the Tomquist index-number formula). Notes on the data Definitions O u tp u t per h o u r o f all p erson s (labor productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant prices produced per hour of labor input. O u tp u t per u n it o f ca p ita l serv ices (capital productivity) is the value of goods and services in constant dollars produced per unit of capital services input. M u ltifa cto r p ro d u ctiv ity is the ratio output per unit of labor and capital inputs combined. Changes in this measure reflect changes in a number of factors which affect the production process such as changes in technology, shifts in the composition of the labor force, changes in capacity utilization, research and development, skill and efforts of the work force, manage ment, and so forth. Changes in the output per hour measures reflect the impact o f these factors as well as the substitution of capital for labor. Compensation per hour is th e w ages an d salaries o f e m p lo y ees plu s e m p lo y e r s’ c o n tr ib u tio n s fo r so cia l in su ra n ce an d private b e n e fit p la n s, an d th e w a g e s, sa la ries, a n d su p p lem en ta ry p a y m en ts fo r th e se lf-e m p lo y e d (ex cep t fo r n o n fin a n cia l c o rp o ra tio n s in w h ich th ere are n o self-e m p lo y e d )— th e sum d iv id ed b y h o u rs p a id fo r . Real compen sation per hour is c o m p e n sa tio n per h o u r d e fla ted b y th e ch a n g e in th e Output measures for the business sector and the nonfarm businesss sector exclude the constant dollar value of owner-occupied housing, rest of world, households and institutions, and general government output from the con stant dollar value of gross national product. The measures are derived from data supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U .S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing out put indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual esti mates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are developed from data o f the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The productivity and associated cost measures in tables 4 2 -4 4 describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor time and capital services involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per unit o f input. Although these measures relate output to hours and capital services, they do not measure the contributions of labor, capital, or any other specific factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effect o f many influ ences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level o f output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization o f produc tion; managerial skill; and the characteristics and efforts of the work force. C o n su m er P rice In d ex fo r A ll U rb a n C o n su m ers. U n it la b o r co sts is the labor compensation costs expended in the produc tion o f a unit o f output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. U n it n o n la b o r p a y m en ts include profits, depreciation, interest, and indi rect taxes per unit o f output. They are computed by subtracting compensa tion o f all persons from current dollar value of output and dividing by output. U n it n o n la b o r co sts contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Additional sources of information Descriptions of methodology underlying the measurement o f output per hour and multifactor productivity are found in the BLS Handbook o f Meth ods , Bulletin 2134, Vol. 1, Chapter 13 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982). Historical data for selected industries are provided in the Bureau’s Hand book o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217, 1985. 65 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics International comparisons Description of the series Comparative measures o f labor force, employment, and unemployment' (tables 45 and 46) are prepared regularly for the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, the Netherlands, and Sweden. Unemployment rates, approximating U.S. concepts, are pre pared monthly for most o f the countries; the other measures, annually. The Bureau o f Labor Statistics also prepares international comparisons o f manufacturing labor productivity and labor costs (table 47) that cover the United States and 11 foreign countries— those listed above plus Belgium and Norway. These measures are limited to trend comparisons; that is, intercountry series o f changes over time, rather than level comparisons because reliable international comparisons of the levels of manufacturing are unavailable. The U.S. measures are described in the notes on U.S. productivity measurement; the measures for foreign countries are compiled from various national and international data sources. Definitions O u tp u t measures are constant value output (value added) from the national accounts o f each country, except for those for Japan prior to 1970 and for the Netherlands for 1969 forward, which are indexes of industrial production. The national accounting methods for measuring real output differ considerably among the 12 countries, but the use of different proce dures does not, in itself, connote lack of comparability— rather, it reflects differences among countries in the availability and reliability of underlying data series. H ou rs a n d co m p en sa tio n measures refer to all employed persons in cluding the self-employed in the United States and Canada, and to all wage and salary employees in the other countries. Hours refer to hours paid in the United States, hours worked in the other countries. Compensation (labor costs) includes not only all payments made directly to employees and employer expenditures for social insurance and private benefit plans, but changes in significant employment or payroll taxes that are not compen sation to employees but are labor costs to employers (France, Sweden, and the United Kingdom). Self-employed workers are included in the U.S. and Canadian figures by assuming that their hourly compensation is equal to the average for wage and salary employees. Notes on the data The data for the foreign countries in tables 45 and 46 have been adjusted, where necessary, for greater comparability with U.S. definitions of em ployment and unemployment. The adjusted statistics have been adapted to the age at which compulsory schooling ends in each country. Therefore, the adjusted statistics relate to the civilian population age 16 and over in the United States, France, and Sweden, and from 1973 onward, Great Britain; 15 and over in Canada, Australia, Japan, Germany, and the Netherlands; and 14 and over in Italy. Prior to 1973, the data for Great Britain related to persons age 15 and over. The institutional population is included in the denominator of the labor force participation rates and employmentpopulation rates for Japan and Germany. For most of the countries in table 47, the measures refer to total manu facturing as defined by the International Standard Industrial Classification. However, the measures for France (beginning 1959), Italy (beginning 1970), and the United Kingdom (beginning 1976) refer to manufacturing and mining less energy-related products. For all countries, manufacturing includes the activities of government enterprises. In addition, for all countries, preliminary estimates for recent years are generally based on current indicators of manufacturing output, employment and hours, and hourly compensation until national accounts and other statistics used for the long-term measures become available. Additional sources of information For further information, see International Comparisons o f Unemploy m en t, Bulletin 1979 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1978), Appendix B and Supplements to Appendix B. Additional detail is also found in the bls Handbook o f M ethods, Bulletin 2134, Vol. 1, Chapter 16. Additional international comparison statistics are available in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics (bls Bulletin 2217, 1985). The most recent statistics are pre sented and analyzed annually in the Monthly Labor R eview , typically in the December issue (for the previous year) and in February. OCCUPATIONAL INJURY AND ILLNESS DATA (Table 48) Description of the series The Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses is designed to collect data on injuries and illnesses based on records which employers in the following industries maintain under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970: agriculture, forestry, and fishing; oil and gas extraction; construction; manufacturing; transportation and public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; and services. Excluded from the survey are self-employed individuals, farmers with fewer than 11 employees, employers regulated by other Federal safety and health laws, and Federal, State, and local government agencies. Because the survey is a Federal-State cooperative program and the data must meet the needs o f participating State agencies, an independent sample is selected for each State. The sample is selected to represent all private industries in the States and territories. The sample size for the survey is dependent upon (1) the characteristics for which estimates are needed; (2) the industries for which estimates are desired; (3) the charac teristics o f the population being sampled; (4) the target reliability of the estimates; and (5) the survey design employed. While there are many characteristics upon which the sample design could be based, the total recorded case incidence rate is used because it is one of the most important characteristics and the least variable; therefore, it re quires the smallest sample size. The survey is based on stratified random sampling with a Neyman Digitized for66 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis allocation and a ratio estimator. The characteristics used to stratify the establishments are the Standard Industrial Classification (sic) code and size of employment. Definitions R ecord ab le o ccu p ation al in ju ries an d illn esses are: (1) occupational deaths, regardless of the time between injury and death, or the length o f the illness; or (2) nonfatal occupational illnesses; or (3) nonfatal occupational injuries which involve one or more of the following: loss of consciousness, restriction of work or motion, transfer to another job, or medical treatment (other than first aid). O ccu p ation al in ju ry is any injury such as a cut, fracture, sprain, ampu tation, etc., which results from a work accident or from exposure involving a single incident in the work environment. O ccu p a tio n a l illn ess is an abnormal condition or disorder, other than one resulting from an occupational injury, caused by exposure to environ mental factors associated with employment. It includes acute and chronic illnesses or disease which may be caused by inhalation, absorption, inges tion, or direct contact. L ost w ork d ay ca ses are cases which involve days away from work, or days of restricted work activity, or both. L ost w ork d ay ca ses in volvin g restricted w ork a c tivity are those cases which result in restricted work activity only. L ost w ork d ays aw ay from w ork are the number of workdays (consec utive or not) on which the employee would have worked but could not because o f occupational injury or illness. L ost w o r k d a y s— restricted w o rk a c tiv ity are the number of workdays (consecutive or not) on which, because of injury or illness: (1) the em ployee was assigned to another job on a temporary basis; or (2) the em ployee worked at a permanent job less than full time; or (3) the employee worked at a permanently assigned job but could not perform all duties normally connected with it. T h e n u m b er o f d a y s aw a y from w ork or d a y s o f restricted w ork of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics. Mining and railroad data are furnished to bls by the Mine Safety and Health Administration and the Federal Railroad Administration, respec tively. Data from these organizations are included in bls and State publica tions. Federal employee experience is compiled and published by the Occu pational Safety and Health Administration. Data on State and local government employees are collected by about half of the States and territo ries; these data are not compiled nationally. a ctiv ity does not include the day of injury or onset of illness or any days on which the employee would not have worked even though able to work. In cid en ce ra tes represent the number of injuries and/or illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers. Notes on the data Estimates are made for industries and employment-size classes and for severity classification: fatalities, lost workday cases, and nonfatal cases without lost workdays. Lost workday cases are separated into those where the employee would have worked but could not and those in which work activity was restricted. Estimates of the number of cases and the number of days lost are made for both categories. Most o f the estimates are in the form of incidence rates, defined as the number o f injuries and illnesses, or lost workdays, per 100 full-time em ployees. For this purpose, 200,000 employee hours represent 100 em ployee years (2,000 hours per employee). Only a few of the available measures are included in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics. Full detail is presented in the annual bulletin, Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States, by Industry. Comparable data for individual States are available from the bls Office https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Additional sources of information The Supplementary Data System provides detailed information describ ing various factors associated with work-related injuries and illnesses. These data are obtained from information reported by employers to State workers’ compensation agencies. The Work Injury Report program exam ines selected types of accidents through an employee survey which focuses on the circumstances surrounding the injury. These data are not included in the Handbook o f Labor Statistics but are available from the bls Office of Occupational Safety and Health Statistics. The definitions of occupational injuries and illnesses and lost workdays are from Recordkeeping Requirements under the Occupational Safety and Health Act o f 1970. For additional data, see Occupational Injuries and Illnesses in the United States, by Industry, annual Bureau of Labor Statis tics bulletin; BLS Handbook o f M ethods, Bulletin 2134-1 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), ch. 17; Handbook o f Labor Statistics, Bulletin 2217 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1985), pp. 411-14; annual reports in the Monthly Labor R eview, and annual U .S. Department of Labor press re leases. 67 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 1. • Currrent Labor Statistics: Comparative Indicators February 1986 Labor market indicators 1983 Selected indicators 1983 1984 1985 1984 IV I II III IV I II III Employment data Employment status of the civilian noninstitutionalized population (household survey)' Labor Force participation ra te ....................................................... Employment-population ra tio ......................................................... Unemployment rate ....................................................................... Men ........................................................................................... 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and o v e r.................................................................... Women ................................................................................... 16 to 24 years .......................................................................... 25 years and o v e r.................................................................... Unemployment rate, 15 weeks and o ver................................... 64.0 64.4 64.1 64.1 64.5 _64.4 _64.5 64.8 64.7 64.7 9.6 9.9 18.4 7.8 9.2 15.8 7.2 3.8 7.5 7.4 14.4 5.7 7.6 13.3 6.0 2.4 8.5 8.7 19.6 6.8 8.3 16.4 6.4 3.1 7.9 7.9 15.5 6.1 7.9 13.9 6.1 2.7 7.5 7.4 14.6 5.7 7.6 13.8 5.9 2.5 7.4 7.3 14.7 5.5 7.6 14.0 6.0 2.3 7.2 7.1 15.1 5.4 7.5 14.0 5.9 2.1 7.3 7.1 13.9 5.4 7.6 13.2 6.0 2.0 7.3 7.1 14.3 5.4 7.5 13.0 6.0 2.0 7.2 7.0 13.9 5.3 7.4 13.1 5.9 2.0 Total ................................................................................................. Private sector ............................................................................... Goods-producing ......................................................................... Manufacturing .............................................................................. Service-producing ........................................................................ 90,196 74,330 23,334 18,434 66,862 94,461 78,477 24,730 19,412 69,731 91,804 75,932 23,938 18,885 67,866 93,035 77,153 24,402 19,182 68,633 94,013 78,082 24,680 19,394 69,333 94,915 78,898 24,861 19,509 70,055 95,849 79,745 24,973 19,564 70,876 96,640 80,522 25,077 19,564 71,563 97,338 81,143 25,055 19,430 72,283 97,967 81 588 24 986 19^331 72,981 Average hours Private sector .............................................................................. Manufacturing ........................................................................... Overtime................................................................................ 35.0 40.1 3.0 35.3 40.7 3.4 35.2 40.6 3.3 35.3 40.9 3.5 35.3 40.8 3.5 35.3 40.5 3.3 35.2 40.5 3.4 35.1 40.4 3.3 35.1 40.3 3.2 35.1 40.5 3.3 1.1 1.2 .9 1.5 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.6 .8 .9 .9 1.0 .4 1.3 .8 .9 .7 3.5 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.2 .7 .8 .7 1.0 .2 1.6 1.3 .6 1.8 3.4 .8 1.3 1.5 1.8 .9 1.0 .7 .9 1.1 1.3 .7 1.6 .6 1.0 .8 1.4 - - _ _ _ Employment, nonagricultural (payroll data):' Employment Cost Index Percent change in the ECI, compensation:2 All workers (excluding farm, household, and Federal workers) ...... Private industry workers ............................................................... Goods-producing3 ..................................................................... Servicing-producing3 ................................................................. State and local government workers........................................... - - - - Workers by bargaining status (private industry) Union..................................................................... Nonunion ....................................................................... - - “ “ - - - - - - Quarterly data seasonally adjusted. 2 Annual changes are December-to-December change. Quarterly changes calculated using the last month of each quarter. 3 Goods-producing industries include mining, construction, and manufacturing. Service- 68FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis producing industries include all other private sector industries. - Data not available. Note: Q uarterly household em plo ym en t data have been revised to re fle ct the seasonal e perience thro ugh D ecem ber 1985. 2. Annual and quarterly percent changes in compensation, prices, and productivity 1983 Selected measures 1983 1984 IV Compensation data: 1985 1984 I II III IV I II III 2 Employment Cost Index-Compensation (wages, salaries, benefits) Civilian nonfarm .......................................................................... Private no n fa rm ........................................................................ Employment Cost Index-Wages and Salaries Civilian nonfarm .......................................................................... Private no n fa rm ........................................................................ - - - - - - - - 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.7 0.8 .9 1.3 .8 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.7 .8 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 .8 .9 1.3 .8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 .9 1.1 1.7 1.3 Price data1 Consumer Price Index (All urban consumers): All ite m s ...... 298.4 311.1 295.5 305.2 306.6 307.3 308.8 316.1 317.4 318.8 Producer Price Index Finished g o o d s ........................................................................ Finished consumer g o o d s ........................................................ Capital equipment ..................................................................... Intermediate materials, supplies, components ...................... Crude m ate rials........................................................................... 285.2 284.6 287.2 312.3 252.2 291.1 290.3 294.0 320.0 259.5 283.1 282.3 286.2 308.7 256.8 289.5 288.9 291.6 316.3 264.0 290.6 290.1 292.3 317.6 260.5 291.4 291.1 292.3 319.7 269.9 291.2 290.3 294.5 320.3 269.7 292.1 290.6 297.4 319.5 250.7 292.6 290.7 299.2 318.7 250.0 292.1 290.1 299.3 318.6 242.9 86.7 100.0 86.4 101.9 86.7 102.5 86.2 105.2 84.0 108.1 82.1 107.7 82.0 105.8 80.3 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.5 3.5 4.0 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.1 3.2 2.4 1.6 1.1 .8 .3 -.2 -.7 1.1 .6 1.0 U.S. Export Price In d e x ............................................................... U.S. Import Price In d e x ............................................................... . - “ Productivity data Output per hour of all persons: Business S e c to r........................................................................ Nonfarm business s e c to r......................................................... Nonfinancial corporations 3 ...................................................... 2.7 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.3 3.3 1 Annual changes are December-to-December change. Quarterly changes are calculated using the last month of each quarter. 2 Excludes Federal and private household workers. 3. .9 - 3 Output per hour of all employees, - Data not available. Alternative measures of wage and compensation changes Quarterly average1984 Components II Average hourly compensation:1 All persons, business sector................................................................. All employees, nonfarm business sector.............................................. Hourly earnings index:2 All private nonfarm................................................................................ Employment Cost Index-compensation: Civilian nonfarm 3 .................................................................................. Private nonfarm .................................................................................. U nion................................................................................................ Nonunion........................................................................................... State and local governments.............................................................. Employment cost index-wages and salaries: Civilian nonfarm3 ................................................................................... Private nonfarm .................................................................................. Union ................................................................................................ Nonunion.......................................................................................... State and local governments............................................................... Total effective wage adjustments4 ............................................................... From current settlements...................................................................... From prior settlements .......................................................................... From cost-of-living provision................................................................. Negotiated wage adjustments from settlements4 First-year adjustments ........................................................................... Annual rate over life of contract ........................................................... Negotiated wage and benefit adjustments from settlements:5 First-year adjustment ............................................................................. Annual rate over life of contract........................................................... 1 2 3 4 III IV - - - - - - - 0.8 .9 .9 1.0 .4 1.3 .8 .7 .9 3.5 .8 .9 .8 .9 .3 .9 .1 .7 1.3 .8 .7 .8 3.4 1.2 .2 .7 .2 .3 .2 .2 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.6 3.5 3.2 2.7 3.1 Seasonally adjusted. Production or nonsupervisory workers. Excludes Federal and household workers. Limited to major collective bargaining units of 1,000 or more workers. The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Four quarters ended in 1985 I 1984 1985 II III II III IV - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.2 .7 1.6 1.2 0.7 .8 .6 1.0 .2 1.6 1.3 .8 1.4 3.4 5.5 5.4 4.9 5.7 6.2 5.1 4.8 4.1 5.2 6.6 1.2 1.2 .9 1.3 .8 .7 .3 1.2 1.2 .7 1.4 1.0 .8 .1 .6 .1 .9 1.1 1.1 1.1 .2 .8 .2 4.8 4.7 4.2 5.0 5.4 4.3 1.0 .5 1.7 1.3 .9 1.5 3.5 1.2 .2 .6 .1 .4 2.3 1.5 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.8 3.7 2.0 3.6 2.7 3.5 3.4 II III - - - - - - - 5.2 4.9 4.3 5.2 6.6 4.8 4.4 3.5 4.9 6.3 4.6 4.2 3.1 4.9 6.1 4.9 4.7 3.2 5.4 6.0 4.5 4.1 3.4 4.5 5.9 3.7 .8 2.0 4.4 4.1 3.0 4.6 5.6 3.6 .7 1.1 4.3 4.1 3.3 4.5 5.8 4.2 1.0 2.1 1.2 .9 .7 4.5 4.3 3.4 4.8 5.5 3.5 .9 1.9 .7 5.0 4.8 3.6 5.4 5.6 3.5 .9 1.8 .8 2.0 3.1 3.5 3.1 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.0 3.0 4.7 3.5 4.2 3.2 3.6 2.8 3.4 2.6 3.5 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.2 I 2.2 most recent data are preliminary. 5 Limited to major collective bargaining units of 5,000 or more workers. The most recent data are preliminary. - Data not available. MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 4. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Employment status of the total population, by sex, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Number in thousands) Annual average 1984 1984 Dec. 1985 Employment status 1985 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. TOTAL Noninstitutional population \ 2 ....... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed 2 ....................... Employment-population ratio * ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ....... Civilian employed .................... Agriculture ............................ Nonagricultural industries..... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... Not in labor force ........................ 178,080 115,241 64.7 106,702 179,912 117,167 65.1 108,856 179,004 116,202 64.9 107,946 179,081 116,451 65.0 108,012 179,219 116,685 65.1 108,290 179,368 117,036 65.2 108,652 179,501 116,958 65.2 108,574 179,649 117,044 65.2 108,644 179,798 116,726 64.9 108,303 179,967 116,976 65.0 108,575 180,131 117,069 65.0 108,936 180,304 117,522 65.2 109,251 180,470 117,814 65.3 109,513 180,642 180,810 117,832 117,927 65.2 65.2 109,671 109,904 59.9 1,697 105,005 3,321 101,685 8,539 7.4 62,839 60.5 1,706 107,150 3,179 103,971 8,312 7.1 62,744 60.3 1,698 106,248 3,387 102,861 8,256 7.1 62,802 60.3 1,697 106,315 3,319 102,996 8,439 7.2 62,630 60.4 1,703 106,587 3,325 103,262 8,395 7.2 62,534 60.6 1,701 106,951 3,314 103,637 8,384 7.2 62,332 60.5 1,702 106,872 3,353 103,519 8,384 7.2 62,543 60.5 1,705 106,939 3,284 103,655 8,400 7.2 62,605 60.2 1,702 106,601 3,140 103,461 8,423 7.2 63,072 60.3 1,704 106,871 3,120 103,751 8,401 7.2 62,991 60.5 1,726 107,210 3,095 104,115 8,133 6.9 63,062 60.6 1,732 107,519 3,017 104,502 8,271 7.0 62,782 60.7 1,700 107,813 3,058 104,755 8,301 7.0 62,656 60.7 1,702 107,969 3,070 104,899 8,161 6.9 62,810 60.8 1,698 108,206 3,151 105,055 8,023 6.8 62,883 85,156 65,386 76.8 60,642 86,025 65,967 76.7 61,447 85,607 65,821 76.9 61,238 85,629 65,737 76.8 61,163 85,692 65,782 76.8 61,207 85,764 65,898 76.8 61,381 85,827 65,929 76.8 61,373 85,898 66,012 76.8 61,498 85,970 65,808 76.5 61,175 86,052 65,884 76.6 61,273 86,132 65,945 76.6 61,510 86,217 66,074 76.6 61,629 86,293 66,227 76.7 61,656 86,374 66,176 76.6 61,731 86,459 66,139 76.5 61,793 71.2 1,551 59,091 4,744 7.3 71.4 1,556 59,891 4,521 6.9 71.5 1,550 59,688 4,583 7.0 71.4 1,549 59,614 4,574 7.0 71.4 1,554 59,653 4,575 7.0 71.6 1,553 59,828 4,517 6.9 71.5 1,553 59,820 4,556 6.9 71.6 1,556 59,942 4,514 6.8 71.2 1,552 59,623 4,633 7.0 71.2 1,554 59,719 4,611 7.0 71.4 1,574 59,936 4,435 6.7 71.5 1,580 60,049 4,445 6.7 71.4 1,551 60,105 4,571 6.9 71.5 1,552 60,179 4,445 6.7 71.5 1,549 60,244 4,346 6.6 92,924 49,855 53.7 46,061 93,886 51,200 54.5 47,409 93,397 50,381 53.9 46,708 93,452 50,714 54.3 46,849 93,527 50,903 54.4 47,083 93,603 51,138 54.6 47,271 93,674 51,029 54.5 47,201 93,751 51,032 54.4 47,146 93,828 50,918 54.3 47,128 93,915 51,092 54.4 47,302 93,999 51,124 54.4 47,426 94,087 51,448 54.7 47,622 94,177 51,587 54.8 47,857 94,266 51,655 54.8 47,939 94,351 51,788 54.9 48,111 49.S 146 45,915 3,794 7.6 50.5 150 47,259 3,791 7.4 50.0 148 46,560 3,673 7.3 50.1 148 46,701 3,865 7.6 50.3 149 46,934 3,820 7.5 50.5 148 47,123 3,867 7.6 50.4 149 47,052 3,828 7.5 50.3 149 46,997 3,886 7.6 50.2 150 46,978 3,790 7.4 50.4 150 47,152 3,790 7.4 50.5 152 47,274 3,698 7.2 50.6 152 47,470 3,826 7.4 50.8 149 47,708 3,730 7.2 50.9 149 47,790 3,716 7.2 51.0 149 47,962 3,677 7.1 Men, 16 years and over Noninstitutional population \ 2 ....... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed 2 ....................... Employment-population ratio * ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ....... Civilian employed .................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... Women, 16 years and over Noninstitutional population 2 ...... Labor force2 .................................. Participation rate 3 ................ Total employed2 ........................ Employment-population ratio 4 ................................... Resident Armed Forces 1 ....... Civilian employed .................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate 5 ........... 1 2 3 * 70 The population and Armed Forces figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation. Includes members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States. Labor force as a percent of the noninstitutional population. Total employed as a percent of the noninstitutional population. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 Unemployment as a percent of the labor force (including the resident Armed Forces). NOTE: Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. 5. Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1984 1984 1985 Dec. 176,383 113,544 64.4 105,005 178,206 115,461 64.8 107,150 177,306 114,504 64.6 106,248 177,384 114,754 64.7 106,315 177,516 114,982 64.8 106,587 177,667 115,335 64.9 106,951 177,799 115,256 64.8 106,872 177,944 115,339 64.8 106,939 178,096 115,024 64.6 106,601 178,263 115,272 64.7 106,871 178,405 115,343 64.7 107,210 178,572 115,790 64.8 107,519 178,770 116,114 65.0 107,813 178,940 116,130 64.9 107,969 179,112 116,229 64.9 108,206 59.5 8,539 7.5 62,839 60.1 8,312 7.2 62,744 59.9 8,256 7.2 62,802 59.9 8,439 7.4 62,630 60.0 8,395 7.3 62,534 60.2 8,384 7.3 62,332 60.1 8,384 7.3 62,543 60.1 8,400 7.3 62,605 59.9 8,423 7.3 63,072 60.0 8,401 7.3 62,991 60.1 8,133 7.1 63,062 60.2 8,271 7.1 62,782 60.3 8,301 7.1 62,656 60.3 8,161 7.0 62,810 60.4 8,023 6.9 62,883 76,219 59,701 78.3 55,769 77,195 60,277 78.1 56,562 76,753 60,106 78.3 56,331 76,760 59,997 78.2 56,231 76,829 60,037 78.1 56,274 76,904 60,154 78.2 56,411 76,988 60,165 78.1 56,390 77,068 60,240 78.2 56,544 77,135 60,246 78.1 56,384 77,243 60,158 77.9 56,403 77,306 60,269 78.0 56,636 77,389 60,407 78.1 56,751 77,498 60,526 78.1 56,849 77,566 60,553 78.1 56,897 77,651 60,548 78.0 56,982 73.2 2,418 53,351 3,932 6.6 73.3 2,278 54,284 3,715 6.2 73.4 2,486 53,845 3,775 6.3 73.3 2,409 53,822 3,766 6.3 73.2 2,368 53,906 3,763 6.3 73.4 2,329 54,082 3,743 6.2 73.2 2,358 54,032 3,775 6.3 73.4 2,352 54,192 3,696 6.1 73.1 2,260 54,124 3,862 6.4 73.0 2,230 54,173 3,755 6.2 73.3 2,231 54,405 3,633 6.0 73.3 2,171 54,580 3,656 6.1 73.4 2,188 54,661 3,677 6.1 73.4 2,210 54,687 3,656 6.0 73.4 2,278 54,704 3,566 5.9 85,429 45,900 53.7 42,793 86,506 47,283 54.7 44,154 85,995 46,477 54.0 43,475 86,015 46,753 54.4 43,593 86,086 46,853 54.4 43,713 86,181 47,095 54.6 43,927 86,274 47,103 54.6 43,925 86,380 47,082 54.5 43,883 86,477 47,185 54.6 44,033 86,575 47,190 54.5 44,070 86,652 47,340 54.6 44,197 86,727 47,558 54.8 44,363 86,810 47,663 54.9 44,609 86,901 47,713 54.9 44,656 86,988 47,870 55.0 44,882 50.1 595 42,198 3,107 6.8 51.0 596 43,558 3,129 6.6 50.6 590 42,885 3,002 6.5 50.7 593 43,000 3,160 6.8 50.8 606 43,107 3,140 6.7 51.0 630 43,297 3,168 6.7 50.9 633 43,292 3,178 6.7 50.8 600 43,283 3,199 6.8 50.9 572 43,461 3,152 6.7 50.9 596 43,474 3,120 6.6 51.0 581 43,616 3,143 6.6 51.2 557 43,806 3,195 6.7 51.4 609 44,000 3,054 6.4 51.4 591 44,065 3,057 6.4 51.6 597 44,285 2,988 6.2 14,735 7,943 53.9 6,444 14,506 7,901 54.5 6,434 14,557 7,921 54.4 6,442 14,610 8,004 54.8 6,491 14,600 8,092 55.4 6,600 14,582 8,086 55.5 6,613 14,538 7,988 54.9 6,557 14,496 8,017 55.3 6,512 14,483 7,593 52.4 6,184 14,445 7,924 54.9 6,398 14,448 7,734 53.5 6,377 14,456 7,825 54.1 6,405 14,463 7,925 54.8 6,355 14,472 7,864 54.3 6,416 14,474 7,811 54.0 6,342 43.7 309 6,135 1,499 18.9 44.4 305 6,129 1,468 18.6 44.3 311 6,131 1,479 18.7 44.4 317 6,174 1,513 18.9 45.2 351 6,249 1,492 18.4 45.4 355 6,258 1,473 18.2 45.1 362 6,195 1,431 17.9 44.9 332 6,180 1,505 18.8 42.7 308 5,876 1,409 18.6 44.3 294 6,104 1,526 19.3 44.1 283 6,094 1,357 17.5 44.3 289 6,116 1,420 18.1 43.9 261 6,094 1,570 19.8 44.3 269 6,147 1,448 18.4 43.8 276 6,066 1,469 18.8 152,347 98,492 64.6 92,120 153,679 99,926 65.0 93,736 152,734 99,044 64.8 92,871 153,103 99,358 64.9 93,040 153,191 99,612 65.0 93,414 153,296 99,862 65.1 93,617 153,388 99,718 65.0 93,470 153,489 99,771 65.0 93,574 153,597 99,527 64.8 93,132 153,717 99,705 64.9 93,378 153,819 99,817 64.9 93,684 153,938 100,179 65.1 94,055 154,082 100,533 65.2 94,369 154,203 100,478 65.2 94,507 154,327 100,533 65.1 94,585 60.5 6,372 6.5 61.0 6,191 6.2 60.8 6,173 6.2 60.8 6,318 6.4 61.0 6,198 6.2 61.1 6,245 6.3 60.9 6,248 6.3 61.0 6,197 6.2 60.6 6,395 6.4 60.7 6,327 6.3 60.9 6,133 6.1 61.1 6,124 6.1 61.2 6,164 6.1 61.3 5,971 5.9 61.3 5,948 5.9 19,348 12,033 62.2 10,119 19,664 12,364 62.9 10,501 19,513 12,263 62.8 10,410 19,518 12,305 63.0 10,451 19,542 12,299 62.9 10,333 19,569 12,294 62.8 10,422 19,594 12,364 63.1 10,489 19,620 12,372 63.1 10,466 19,646 12,317 62.7 10,538 19,675 12,354 62.8 10,499 19,700 12,289 62.4 10,560 19,728 12,378 62.7 10,500 19,761 12,412 62.8 10,566 19,790 12,457 62.9 10,518 19,819 12,522 63.2 10,657 52.3 1,914 15.9 53.4 1,864 15.1 53.3 1,853 15.1 53.5 1,854 15.1 52.9 1,966 16.0 53.3 1,872 15.2 53.5 1,875 15.2 53.3 1,906 15.4 53.6 1,779 14.4 53.4 1,855 15.0 53.6 1,729 14.1 53.2 1,878 15.2 53.5 1,846 14.9 53.1 1,939 15.6 53.8 1,865 14.9 1985 Employment status Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. TOTAL Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Not in labor force ........................ Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 ................................... Agriculture............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Women, 20 years ond over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 ................................... Agriculture ............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed ................................... Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Agriculture ............................... Nonagricultural industries....... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. White Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed .................................. Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment rate.............. Black Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor fo rce ....................... Participation rate .................. Employed .................................. Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data February 1986 5. Continued— Employment status of the civilian population, by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1984 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 11,164 7,247 64.9 6,469 11,528 7,448 64.6 6,664 11,332 7,467 65.9 6,693 11,363 7,289 64.1 6,519 11,394 7,355 64.6 6,620 11,425 7,380 64.6 6,621 11,457 7,360 64.2 6,594 11,485 7,371 64.2 6,586 11,514 7,417 64.4 6,630 11,544 7,462 64.6 6,644 11,573 7,529 65.1 6,748 11,601 7,584 65.4 6,794 11,630 7,589 65.3 6,745 11,660 7,519 64.5 6,719 11,690 7,506 64.2 6,725 57.9 778 10.7 57.8 785 10.5 59.1 774 10.4 57.4 770 10.6 58.1 735 10.0 58.0 759 10.3 57.6 766 10.4 57.3 785 10.6 57.6 787 10.6 57.6 818 11.0 58.3 781 10.4 58.6 790 10.4 58.0 844 11.1 57.6 800 10.6 57.5 781 10.4 1985 Employment status Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................................... Civilian labor force....................... Participation rate .................. Employed .................................. Employment-population ratio2 .................................... Unemployed............................... Unemployment ra te .............. ' "[he population figures are not seasonally adjusted. Civilian employment as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population. NOTE: Detail for the above race and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals 6. because data for the “ other races” groups are not presented and Hispanics are included ¡n both the White and black population groups. Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. Selected employment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Annual average Selected categories 1984 1985 Dec. 105,005 59,091 45,915 39,056 107,150 59,891 47,259 39,248 106,248 59,688 46,560 39,399 106,315 59,614 46,701 39,402 106,587 59,653 46,934 39,324 25,636 5,465 26,336 5,597 26,047 5,409 25,970 5,567 1,555 1,553 213 1,535 1,458 185 1,699 1,474 223 1,598 1,523 93,565 15,770 77,794 1,238 76,556 7,785 335 95,871 16,031 79,841 1,249 78,592 7,811 289 5,744 2,430 2,948 13,169 5,512 2,291 Jan. Apr. May 106,951 59,828 47,123 39,467 106,872 59,820 47,052 39,362 106,939 59,942 46,997 39,260 106,601 59,623 46,978 38,966 106,871 59,719 47,152 39,096 107,210 59,936 47,274 39,142 107,519 60,049 47,470 39,103 107,813 60,105 47,708 39,272 107,969 60,179 47,790 39,314 108,206 60,244 47,962 39,278 26,079 5,533 26,163 5,600 26,087 5,603 26,036 5,626 26,174 5,643 26,316 5,607 26,392 5,627 26,531 5,556 26,702 5,514 26,721 5,605 26,804 5,693 222 1,597 1,508 229 1,596 1,502 223 1,653 1,493 219 1,582 1,498 196 1,530 1,451 159 1,479 1,474 170 1,456 1,444 176 1,438 1,414 179 1,465 1,436 172 1,537 1,361 158 1,572 1,409 164 94,740 15,858 78,882 1,266 77,616 7,789 340 95,086 15,820 79,266 1,364 77,902 7,753 336 95,235 15,957 79,278 1,288 77,990 7,694 336 95,606 15,969 79,637 1,225 78,412 7,764 321 95,493 15,955 79,538 1,218 78,320 7,717 305 95,660 15,936 79,724 1,255 78,469 7,711 290 95.391 16,000 79.391 1,228 78,163 7,728 292 95,523 15,949 79,574 1,251 78,323 7,724 277 95,791 16,075 79,716 1,295 78,421 7,874 303 96,546 16,145 80,401 1,266 79,135 7,846 266 96,530 16,213 80,317 1,271 79,046 7,991 248 96,676 16,157 80,519 1,197 79,322 8,013 249 96,921 16,194 80,727 1,131 79,596 7,903 250 5,590 2,430 2,819 13,489 5,790 2,599 2,851 13,293 5,638 2,473 2,830 13,343 5,356 2,244 2,817 13,524 5,682 2,585 2,763 13,517 5,690 2,567 2,767 13,356 5,876 2,607 2,871 13,078 5,544 2,524 2,751 13,439 5,596 2,414 2,766 13,634 5,680 2,480 2,835 13,622 5,554 2,433 2,815 13,496 5,475 2,251 2,897 13,713 5,498 2,306 2,883 13,645 5,494 2,303 2,864 13,556 5,334 2,273 2,730 13,038 5,611 2,496 2,767 12,831 5,392 2,320 2,735 12,859 5,098 2,073 2,732 13,057 5,421 2,397 2,670 13,016 5,402 2,380 2,679 12,926 5,550 2,418 2,785 12,612 5,278 2,334 2,675 12,995 5,328 2,251 5,413 2,319 2,740 13,179 5,299 2,292 2,730 13,053 5,241 2,115 2,801 13,277 5,295 2,196 2,784 13,194 5,294 2,195 2,760 13,122 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Dec. CHARACTERISTICS Civilian employed, 16 years and o v e r.............................................. M en.......................................... Women ..................................... Married men, spouse present .. Married women, spouse present.................................... Women who maintain families . MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers Self-employed workers .... Unpaid family workers.... Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers Government ................. Private industries......... Private households.... O th e r......................... Self-employed workers .... Unpaid family workers.... PERSONS AT WORK PART TIME1 All industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time ..................... Nonagricultural industries: Part time for economic reasons . Slack work ............................... Could only find part-time work Voluntary part time .................... 2,866 12,704 1 Excludes persons “ with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. 72FRASER Digitized for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2,686 13,235 Note: Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. 7. Selected unemployment indicators, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Unemployment rates) Annual average 1984 1985 Selected categories 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Total, all civilian workers........................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years............................... Men, 20 years and over ..................................... Women, 20 years and over............................... 7.5 18.9 6.6 6.8 7.2 18.6 6.2 6.6 7.2 18.7 6.3 6.5 7.4 18.9 6.3 6.8 7.3 18.4 6.3 6.7 7.3 18.2 6.2 6.7 7.3 17.9 6.3 6.7 7.3 18.8 6.1 6.8 7.3 18.6 6.4 6.7 7.3 19.3 6.2 6.6 White, total ........................................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years..................... Men, 16 to 19 years ........................... Women, 16 to 19 years.............................. Men, 20 years and over ................................. Women, 20 years and o ve r............................ 6.5 16.0 16.8 15.2 5.7 5.8 6.2 15.7 16.5 14.8 5.4 5.7 6.2 15.8 16.3 15.2 5.5 5.6 6.4 15.7 16.1 15.3 5.5 5.9 6.2 15.4 16.8 14.0 5.4 5.7 6.3 15.1 15.6 14.7 5.4 5.9 6.3 15.2 15.7 14.5 5.4 5.8 6.2 16.0 16.7 15.1 5.2 5.8 6.4 16.0 16.7 15.2 5.7 5.8 6.3 16.1 17.1 15.0 5.6 5.7 6.1 15.2 17.2 13.0 5.3 5.7 Black, total ..................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years..................... Men, 16 to 19 years ........................ Women, 16 to 19 years.......................... Men, 20 years and over ................................ Women, 20 years and o ver.................. 15.9 42.7 42.7 42.6 14.3 13.5 15.1 40.2 41.0 39.2 13.2 13.1 15.1 41.4 43.5 38.9 13.4 13.0 15.1 41.5 43.9 38.9 12.9 13.0 16.0 42.1 40.9 43.3 14.2 13.7 15.2 41.5 41.1 41.9 13.3 13.0 15.2 39.3 39.4 39.3 13.3 13.2 15.4 40.4 39.3 41.5 13.4 13.5 14.4 39.5 41.0 37.8 12.5 12.7 15.0 41.2 43.1 39.0 12.8 13.1 14.1 35.3 34.9 35.9 11.9 13.1 15.2 38.8 41.1 36.1 13.3 13.5 Hispanic origin, total ................................... 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.6 10.0 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.6 11.0 Married men, spouse present.......................... Married women, spouse present........... Women who maintain families........................... Full-time workers ................................ Part-time workers .................................... Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost2 .................................. 4.6 5.7 10.3 7.2 9.3 2.4 8.6 4.3 5.6 10.4 6.8 9.3 2.0 8.1 4.4 5.5 9.9 6.9 9.0 2.1 8.3 4.5 5.7 10.2 7.0 9.3 2.0 8.3 4.4 5.4 10.9 7.0 8.8 2.1 8.2 4.3 5.8 10.3 6.9 9.5 2.1 8.2 4.3 5.8 10.7 6.9 9.7 2.1 8.2 4.0 5.7 10.8 6.9 10.0 2.0 8.3 4.6 5.8 9.9 6.9 9.5 2.0 8.2 4.4 5.7 10.3 7.0 94 20 8.2 7.4 10.0 14.3 7.5 7.2 7.8 5.5 8.0 5.9 4.5 13.5 7.2 9.5 13.1 7.7 7.6 7.8 5.1 7.6 5.6 3.9 13.2 7.2 10.2 13.6 7.3 7.3 7.5 5.1 7.5 5.9 4.3 12.7 7.3 10.3 13.5 7.6 7.2 8.0 5.1 7.7 5.9 4.1 15.4 7.3 10.8 13.4 7.6 7.3 8.0 5.4 7.7 5.7 4.0 13.6 7.2 10.9 13.3 7.7 7.5 8.1 4.7 7.5 5.7 4.0 12.5 7.3 10.6 13.3 7.9 7.7 8.2 5.4 7.4 5.7 3.9 13.2 7.2 7.5 11.0 7.8 7.8 7.8 5.2 7.8 6.1 3.9 11.9 7.3 10.9 13.5 7.7 7.9 7.5 5.3 7.7 57 3.9 12.5 7.3 9.9 13.4 79 7.9 79 5.7 76 56 40 14.0 Oct. Nov. Dec. 7.1 19.8 6.1 6.4 7.0 18.4 6.0 6.9 18.8 5.9 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 15.3 16.2 14.4 5.2 5.7 17.0 18.5 15.3 5.2 5.5 5.9 15.5 15.8 15.1 5.2 5.4 5.9 15.9 16.2 15.5 5.1 5.4 14.9 39.7 41.0 38.2 13.7 12.1 15.6 40.8 45.2 36.0 13.7 13.6 14.9 41.6 41.0 42.3 13.1 12.6 CHARACTERISTIC 7.1 17.5 7.1 18.1 6.0 6.6 6.1 6.7 10.4 4.1 5.4 10.8 6.8 9.0 2.0 8.1 10.6 4.3 5.6 11.3 4.2 5.3 10.4 6.8 6.8 4.3 5.5 10.0 6.7 9.3 2.0 9.6 8.8 2.0 8.1 7.9 1.9 7.9 4.3 5.3 9.4 6.6 9.0 1.9 7.8 7.2 8.9 13.6 7.7 7.7 7.8 5.3 7.8 5.5 3.8 13.3 7.1 7.7 13.5 7.5 7.3 7.8 5.1 7.7 5.4 3.9 12.9 7.0 7.3 13.4 7.7 7.6 7.8 5.1 7.5 5.4 3.6 12.5 6.9 10.3 12.6 7.3 7.3 7.3 5.0 7.6 5.3 3.8 10.6 INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers .... Mining.............................. Construction ....................................................... Manufacturing .................................................... Durable goods.................................................. Nondurable goods ........................... Transportation and public utilities ...................... Wholesale and retail tra d e ................................. Finance and service industries.......................... Government workers ............... Agricultural wage and salary workers ................... oa- - a — M i iv m p w jw u «1 IU OUI IO reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.1 8.6 13.1 7.8 7.9 7.6 4.5 7.7 5.5 3.9 14.0 NOTE: Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. 73 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 8. • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data February 1986 Unemployment rates by sex and age, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Civilian workers) Anríual ave age Sex and age 1984 1984 1985 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total, 16 years and o v e r .......... 16 to 24 y e a rs ..................... 16 to 19 y e a rs ....................... 16 to 17 years ................... 18 to 19 years ............... 20 to 24 y e a rs ....................... 25 years and o v e r................... 25 to 54 years ................... 55 years and o v e r ............. 7.5 13.9 18.9 21.2 17.4 11.5 5.8 6.1 4.5 7.2 13.6 18.6 21.0 17.0 11.1 5.6 5.8 4.1 7.2 13.6 18.7 20.9 17.5 11.1 5.5 5.8 4.1 7.4 13.6 18.9 21.0 17.3 10.9 5.7 6.0 4.2 7.3 13.7 18.4 20.4 17.4 11.2 5.6 5.9 4.0 7.3 13.5 18.2 20.6 16.5 11.1 5.6 6.0 4.0 7.3 13.4 17.9 20.8 16.3 11.1 5.7 6.1 4.1 7.3 14.0 18.8 21.2 17.1 11.6 5.5 5.8 4.3 7.3 13.6 18.6 21.6 16.4 11.2 5.8 6.0 4.3 7.3 13.9 19.3 21.7 17.3 11.2 5.6 5.9 4.4 7.1 13.0 17.5 19.1 16.8 10.8 5.5 5.8 4.1 7.1 13.3 18.1 20.3 16.7 10.9 5.6 5.8 4.1 7.1 13.9 19.8 22.7 17.8 10.9 5.4 5.7 3.9 7.0 13.5 18.4 21.4 16.9 11.0 5.4 5.6 3.8 6.9 13.3 18.8 21.1 17.5 10.6 5.3 5.5 3.9 Men, 16 years and o v e r ...... 16 to 24 years ................... 16 to 19 y e a rs ................. 16 to 17 y e a rs .............. 18 to 19 y e a rs .............. 20 to 24 y e a rs ................. 25 years and o v e r ............. 25 to 54 y e a rs .............. 55 years and o v e r........ 7.4 14.4 19.6 21.9 18.3 11.9 5.7 5.9 4.6 7.0 14.1 19.5 21.9 17.9 11.4 5.3 5.6 4.1 7.1 14.2 19.4 20.3 19.1 11.6 5.4 5.6 4.4 7.1 13.9 19.3 21.3 18.0 11.3 5.5 5.7 4.3 7.1 14.3 19.4 21.3 18.4 11.8 5.4 5.6 4.1 7.0 13.9 18.5 21.7 16.1 11.7 5.3 5.6 3.9 7.1 13.8 18.5 21.4 16.8 11.4 5.5 5.8 \ 4.0 7.0 14.7 19.4 22.2 17.6 12.3 5.1 5.3 4.1 7.2 14.2 19.2 23.2 16.4 11.7 5.6 5.8 4.4 7.2 14.6 20.5 22.1 18.7 11.6 5.4 5.6 4.6 6.9 13.8 19.6 21.9 18.1 10.9 5.3 5.6 3.8 6.9 13.8 19.3 20.7 18.3 11.0 5.3 5.5 4.0 7.1 14.6 21.5 24.0 19.9 11.1 5.3 5.5 4.1 6.9 13.9 19.4 20.9 18.7 11.2 5.2 5.4 4.0 6.7 13.5 19.3 21.6 18.0 10.6 5.1 5.4 3.9 Women, 16 years and over 16 to 24 y e a rs .................. 16 to 19 years ............... 16 to 17 years ............ 18 to 19 years ............ 20 to 24 years ............... 25 years and o v e r............ 25 to 54 years ............ 55 years and o v e r ...... 7.6 13.3 18.0 20.4 16.6 10.9 6.0 6.3 4.2 7.4 13.0 17.6 20.0 16.0 10.7 5.9 6.2 4.1 7.3 12.9 17.9 21.5 15.7 10.4 5.7 6.0 3.7 7.6 13.2 18.5 20.7 16.5 10.6 6.0 6.4 4.1 7.5 13.0 17.4 19.4 16.3 10.6 6.0 6.3 3.9 7.6 13.1 17.9 19.3 16.9 10.5 6.0 6.4 4.2 7.5 12.9 17.2 20.0 15.7 10.7 6.0 6.3 4.2 7.6 13.3 18.1 20.1 16.5 10.8 6.1 6.4 4.4 7.5 12.9 17.8 19.9 16.4 10.6 6.0 6.3 4.1 7.4 13.1 17.9 21.2 15.7 10.7 5.9 6.2 4.2 7.3 12.2 15.3 15.8 15.3 10.7 5.8 6.1 4.5 7.5 12.9 16.9 19.8 14.9 10.9 6.0 6.2 4.2 7.3 13.1 17.9 21.2 15.5 10.7 5.6 5.9 3.7 7.2 13.1 17.4 22.0 15.1 10.8 5.6 5.9 3.6 7.1 13.2 18.3 20.6 16.9 10.6 5.4 5.7 3.9 NOTE: Monthly data have revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. 9. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1984 1985 Reason for unemployment 1984 Job losers ................................................................ On layoff................................................................ Other job losers.................................................... Job leavers .............................................................. Reentrants ............................................................... New entrants ........................................................ 1985 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 4,421 1,171 3,250 823 2,184 1,110 4,139 1,157 2,982 877 2,256 1,039 Dec. 4,196 1,095 3,101 856 2,240 1,015 4,271 1,216 3,055 877 2,240 1,045 4,236 1,203 3,033 868 2,238 1,056 4,177 1,155 3,022 861 2,301 1,074 4,229 1,182 3,047 852 2,283 1,051 3,994 1,068 2,926 870 2,378 1,142 4,167 1,135 3,032 983 2,233 1,018 4,206 1,134 3,072 894 2,184 1,098 4,144 1,112 3,032 875 2,191 941 4,142 1,167 2,975 852 2,335 918 4,040 1,161 2,879 911 2,237 1,045 4,081 1,175 2,906 808 2,226 1,055 3,933 1,132 2,801 876 2,225 1,033 51.8 13.7 38.1 9.6 25.6 13.0 49.8 13.9 35.9 10.6 27.1 12.5 50.5 13.2 37.3 10.3 27.0 12.2 50.6 14.4 36.2 10.4 26.6 12.4 50.4 14.3 36.1 10.3 26.6 12.6 49.6 13.7 35.9 10.2 27.4 12.8 50.3 14.0 36.2 10.1 27.1 12.5 47.6 12.7 34.9 10.4 28.4 13.6 49.6 13.5 36.1 11.7 26.6 12.1 50.2 13.5 36.6 10.7 26.1 13.1 50.8 13.6 37.2 10.7 26.9 11.5 50.2 14.2 36.1 10.3 28.3 11.1 49.1 14.1 35.0 11.1 27.2 12.7 50.0 14.4 35.6 9.9 27.2 12.9 48.8 14.0 34.7 10.9 27.6 12.8 3.9 .7 1.9 1.0 3.6 .8 2.0 .9 3.7 .7 2.0 .9 3.7 .8 2.0 .9 3.7 .8 1.9 .9 3.6 .7 2.0 .9 3.7 .7 2.0 .9 3.5 .8 2.1 1.0 3.6 .9 1.9 .9 3.6 .8 1.9 1.0 3.6 .8 1.9 .8 3.6 .7 2.0 .8 3.5 .8 1.9 .9 3.5 .7 1.9 .9 3.4 .8 1.9 .9 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. PERCENT OF UNEMPLOYED Job losers.............................................................. On layo ff............................................................. Other job losers.................................................. Job leavers............................................................ Reentrants............................................................. New entrants ........................................................ PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers ................................................................ Job leavers ............................................................ Reentrants ............................................................ New entrants........................................................... NOTE: Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. 10. Duration of unemployment, monthly data seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) Annual average 1984 1985 Weeks of unemployment 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Less than 5 weeks ......... 5 to 14 weeks ................ 15 weeks and o ve r......... 15 to 26 weeks ............ 27 weeks and over ...... 3,350 2,451 2,737 1,104 1,634 3,498 2,509 2,305 1,025 1,280 3,352 2,524 2,384 983 1,401 3,627 2,540 2,247 932 1,315 3,501 2,488 2,413 1,065 1,348 3,556 2,487 2,400 1,061 1,339 3,528 2,516 2,374 1,031 1,343 3,607 2,594 2,274 1,063 1,211 3,466 2,536 2,328 1,033 1,295 3,525 2,514 2,329 1,078 1,251 3,422 2,508 2,274 1,047 1,227 3,484 2,505 2,307 1,035 1,272 3,430 2,536 2,277 1,057 1,220 3,465 2,448 2,205 894 1,311 3,374 2,460 2,188 973 1,215 Mean duration in weeks ... Median duration in weeks 18.2 7.9 15.6 6.8 17.1 7.3 15.9 6.8 16.0 7.1 15.9 7.0 16.1 6.8 15.0 6.7 15.5 6.8 15.5 7.1 15.5 7.2 15.5 6.9 15.4 7.0 15.7 6.9 15.4 6.9 NOTE: Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1985. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 74 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Unemployment rates of civilian workers by State, data not seasonally adjusted State Oct. 1984 Oct. 1985 Alabama....................................................... Alaska .......................................................... Arizona......................................................... Arkansas...................................................... California...................................................... 10.5 9.0 4.4 8.3 7.0 7.9 9.2 6.4 87 7.2 Colorado ...................................................... Connecticut .................................................. Delaware...................................................... District of Columbia..................................... Florida .......................................................... 5.3 4.0 4.9 8.7 7.0 5.5 4.6 43 8.7 5.3 Georgia ........................................................ Hawaii........................................................... Idaho ............................................................ Illinois ................................................ Indiana ......................................................... 5.8 6.0 5.4 8.8 7.8 67 5.5 6.2 9.2 6.8 Iow a.............................................................. Kansas ......................................................... Kentucky...................................................... Louisiana...................................................... Maine............................................................ 6.0 5.0 8.5 9.5 5.0 6.5 4.6 9.2 10.9 3.9 Maryland ..................................................... Massachusetts............................................. Michigan....................................................... Minnesota.................................................... Mississippi.................................................... Missouri........................................................ 5.0 3.4 10.1 5.1 9.9 6.4 4.4 3.3 9.6 5.3 9.4 5.8 Oct. 1984 Oct. 1985 61 38 72 3.2 68 50 75 2.6 New Jersey ................................................. 5.1 71 71 64 4.1 5.5 86 66 46 5.1 Ohio ............................................................ 9.1 66 83 8.2 4.2 9.0 68 67 7.1 3.8 6.9 4.2 79 5.3 6.0 7.2 4.5 70 7.6 5.3 4.1 48 86 15 4 6.4 3.9 53 74 1? 5 6.2 5.0 6.1 State Pennsylvania............................................... South Carolina............................................ South Dakota................................... Texas .......................................................... Utah ............................................................ Vermont...................................................... 12. Employment of workers on nonagricultural payrolls by State, data not seasonally adjusted (In thousands) State Nov., 1984 Oct., 1985 A la b a m a .................. Alaska ..................... Arizona .................... A rkansa s................. C a lifornia................. 1,400.4 224.2 1,234.2 796.8 10,743.9 1,405.6 234.5 1,280.2 806.3 10,978.1 Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. D elaw are................. District of Columbia F lo rid a ...................... 1,409.8 1,564.2 288.9 615.4 4,328.8 1,431.0 1,583.5 295.2 626.9 4,490.4 Georgia .................... H a w aii....................... Id a h o ....................... . Illinois ....................... Indiana .................... 2,548.9 415.1 330.2 4,710.1 2,173.0 2,633.3 420.1 343.1 4,715.2 2,258.5 Io w a ......................... K a n s a s ..................... K e n tu cky.................. Louisiana................. M a in e ....................... 1,077.8 980.9 1,231.2 1,610.9 450.4 1,072.1 991.8 1,259.7 1,598.7 464.3 Maryland ................. M assachusetts...... . M ichigan.................. M in n e so ta ............... M ississippi............... M issouri................... M o n ta n a .................. 1,848.9 2,924.5 3,400.6 1,881.3 840.5 2,041.8 285.9 1,904.9 3,013.7 3,506.6 1,911.5 856.1 2,051.0 282.3 p = preliminary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nov., 1985p 1,409.8 227.4 1,288.6 803.6 10,991.0 State Nov., 1984 Oct., 1985 Nov., 1985p Nebraska .................................................... Nevada ....................................................... New Hampshire.......................................... 645.7 440.7 453.0 653.1 450.8 484.0 652.6 450.0 483.5 New Jersey ................................................. New Mexico ................................................ 1,431.9 New York.................................................... 1,590.8 North Carolina ............................................ 296.7 North Dakota ..................................... 630.2 4,534.0 Ohio ............................................................ Oklahoma................................................... 2,643.4| Oregon........................................................ 424.0 Pennsylvania............................................... 340.6 Rhode Island............................................... 4,714.2 2,259.1 South Carolina............................................ South Dakota.............................................. 1,069.0 Tennessee .................................................. 994.9 Texas .......................................................... 1,246.0 Utah ............................................................ 1,594.5 459.1 Vermont...................................................... Virginia........................................................ 1,919.3 Washington ............................................ 3,016.3 West Virginia............................................... 3,504.8 Wisconsin ............................................. 1,905.6 857.9 Wyoming..................................................... 2,044.1 Puerto R ic o ................................................. 280.6 Virgin Islands .............................................. 3,397.8 514.1 7,687.5 2,621.5 256.6 3,490.5 522.2 7,793.5 2,665.0 255.4 3,493.8 522.7 7,832.9 2,673.3 254.0 4,330.2 1,192.2 1,020.5 4,737.9 418.9 4,436.6 1,185.5 1,050.5 4,788.1 422.0 4,452.8 1,182.0 1,042.9 4,798.8 422.4 1,301.1 247.6 1,842.0 6,514.9 620.6 1,349.7 245.5 1,896.8 6,642.3 635.0 1,349.4 243.0 1,902.0 6,649.9 637.1 218.7 2,374.6 1,670.2 599.3 1,991.2 230.4 2,466.1 1,721.6 594.4 2,020.2 226.9 2,473.9 1,713.3 593.3 2,015.7 195.8 692.3 35.8 201.7 676.3 34.9 197.4 685.7 35.5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 13. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Employment of workers on nonagricultural payrolls by Industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Annual average 1984 1985 Industry 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p TOTAL ...................................... PRIVATE SECTOR..................... 94,461 78,477 97,692 81,397 96,092 80,010 96,419 80,319 96,591 80,480 96,910 80,767 97,120 80,962 17,421 81,208 97,473 81,260 97,707 81,366 97,977 81,634 98,217 81,765 98,559 82,073 98,739 82,276 99,059 82,536 GOODS PRODUCING.................... Mining ........................................... 24,730 974 613 25,054 969 616 25,045 973 624 25,112 974 621 25,062 976 620 25,056 977 618 25,090 982 623 25,066 982 624 25,010 974 619 24,980 969 619 25,015 965 615 24,962 962 615 25,051 960 610 25,076 953 605 25,136 952 603 4,345 1,158 4,661 1,239 4,469 1,190 4,534 1,219 4,525 1,214 4,553 1,223 4,641 1,233 4,658 1,234 4,638 1,223 4,660 1,228 4,688 1,242 4,721 1,252 4,753 1,262 4,748 1,268 4,764 1,270 19,412 13,310 19,424 13,214 19,603 13,409 19,604 13,399 19,561 13,347 19,526 13,309 19,467 13,249 19,426 13,203 19,398 13,169 19,351 13,137 19,362 13,145 19,279 13,087 19,338 13,140 19,375 13,167 19,420 13,221 11,522 7,749 11,565 7,692 11,701 7,855 11,702 7,843 11,675 7,806 11,651 7,776 11,608 7,730 11,586 7,704 11,560 7,671 11,509 7,630 11,519 7,638 11,449 7,586 11,493 7,627 11,507 7,636 11,525 7,653 707 487 595 858 703 497 600 815 711 497 601 844 709 499 602 844 704 498 600 840 701 499 601 832 694 497 600 823 697 493 599 819 694 494 598 815 697 494 599 806 700 499 601 798 701 494 598 795 708 496 600 799 712 496 601 803 716 498 604 802 334 1,464 302 1,472 316 1,489 315 1,486 313 1,483 311 1,480 306 1,479 305 1,477 304 1,472 302 1,467 289 1,467 291 1,462 292 1,465 298 1,465 299 1,462 Machinery, except e lectrica l......... Electrical and electronic equipm ent....................................... Transportation equipm ent............. Motor vehicles and equipment .... Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing in dustries........................................ 2,197 2,181 2,232 2,228 2,224 2,220 2,207 2,203 2,191 2,175 2,167 2,143 2,143 2,138 2,138 2,208 1,906 860 714 2,208 1,989 872 724 2,253 1,965 888 723 2,252 1,974 891 723 2,248 1,972 876 725 2,243 1,969 867 727 2,223 1,982 876 726 2,216 1,981 873 723 2,205 1,990 875 725 2,190 1,985 868 724 2,194 1,995 868 725 2,175 1,986 861 722 2,179 2,008 872 722 2,179 2,015 867 725 2,188 2,017 869 726 384 376 386 385 381 379 377 378 376 372 373 373 373 373 374 Nondurable goods...................... 7,890 5,561 7,859 5,522 7,902 5,554 7,902 5,556 7,886 5,541 7,875 5,533 7,859 5,519 7,840 5,499 7,838 5,498 7,842 5,507 7,843 5,507 7,830 5,501 7,845 5,513 7,868 5,531 7,895 5,568 Food and kindred p ro d u cts.......... Tobacco m anufactures.................. Textile mill p ro d u c ts ....................... Apparel and other textile p roducts.......................................... Paper and allied products ............ 1,619 65 746 1,636 65 703 1,630 66 722 1,633 67 720 1,633 66 712 1,638 66 706 1,630 66 707 1,634 66 701 1,644 66 699 1,630 65 696 1,638 64 697 1,633 65 695 1,636 64 698 1,637 65 700 1,648 62 700 1,197 681 1,162 683 1,184 683 1,182 683 1,175 682 1,167 682 1,164 681 1,153 682 1,142 684 1,160 684 1,152 683 1,155 681 1,158 682 1,161 688 1,171 688 Printing and publishing.................. Chemicals and allied products..... Petroleum and coal p roducts....... Rubber and misc. plastics products.......................................... Leather and leather products ...... 1,372 1,048 189 1,421 1,042 177 1,397 1,054 186 1,403 1,052 185 1,406 1,052 184 1,407 1,052 183 1,411 1,049 182 1,414 1,044 181 1,419 1,042 180 1,426 1,040 178 1,429 1,038 176 1,427 1,040 170 1,431 1,036 170 1,442 1,033 169 1,442 1,034 171 782 192 795 175 799 181 798 179 799 177 798 176 795 174 791 174 789 173 787 176 792 174 790 174 795 175 800 173 804 175 SERVICE-PRODUCING ................. Transportation and public utilities......................................... 69,731 72,638 71,047 71,307 71,529 71,854 72,030 72,355 72,463 72,727 72,962 73,255 73,508 73,663 73,923 5,171 2,929 5,301 3,059 5,246 3,009 5,259 3,015 5,272 3,029 5,269 3,028 5,278 3,037 5,301 3,057 5,295 3,052 5,302 3,060 5,282 3,038 5,317 3,078 5,327 3,087 5,341 3,105 5,358 3,119 2,242 2,242 2,237 2,244 2,243 2,241 2,241 2,244 2,243 2,242 2,244 2,239 2,240 2,236 2,239 5,550 3,272 2,278 5,770 3,417 2,353 5,665 3,347 2,318 5,686 3,358 2,328 5,697 3,367 2,330 5,714 3,377 2,337 5,733 3,388 2,345 5,748 3,402 2,346 5,768 3,414 2,354 5,773 3,426 2,347 5,791 3,434 2,357 5,805 3,442 2,363 5,830 3,454 2,376 5,834 3,463 2,371 5,855 3,475 2,380 16,584 2,278 2,655 17,418 2,349 2,826 17,026 2,323 2,745 17,090 2,341 2,753 17,160 2,343 2,773 17,249 2,349 2,790 17,280 2,348 2,794 17,392 2,371 2,823 17,425 2,361 2,831 17,453 2,344 2,842 17,514 2,354 2,849 17,539 2,356 2,852 17,610 2,365 2,869 17,621 2,349 2,860 17,648 2,317 2,877 1,802 5,403 1,893 5,692 1,851 5,535 1,855 5,559 1,865 5,588 1,873 5,615 1,884 5,642 1,890 5,660 1,895 5,692 1,895 5,728 1,902 5,725 1,906 5,740 1,912 5,758 1,916 5,773 1,922 5,803 5,682 2,855 1,753 1,074 5,924 2,978 1,816 1,130 5,776 2,902 1,780 1,094 5,790 2,910 1,783 1,097 5,809 2,919 1,789 1,101 5,835 2,933 1,792 1,110 5,858 2,941 1,799 1,118 5,888 2,956 1,808 1,124 5,906 2,968 1,814 1,124 5,932 2,984 1,817 1,131 5,959 2,998 1,827 1,134 5,987 3,011 1,831 1,145 6,011 3,023 1,837 1,151 6,046 3,038 1,847 1,161 6,066 3,055 1,851 1,160 20,761 4,076 6,104 21,931 4,454 6,267 21,252 4,259 6,154 21,382 4,295 6,169 21,480 4,324 6,186 21,644 4,377 6,204 21,723 4,402 6,218 21,813 4,424 6,240 21,856 4,441 6,243 21,926 4,446 6,260 22,073 4,489 6,291 22,155 4,504 6,308 22,244 4,539 6,333 22,358 4,573 6,362 22,473 4,622 6,392 15,984 2,807 3,712 9,465 16,294 2,873 3,781 9,640 16,082 2,836 3,722 9,524 16,100 2,836 3,730 9,534 16,111 2,834 3,733 9,544 16,143 2,850 3,744 9,549 16,158 2,859 3,749 9,550 16,213 2,873 3,759 9,581 16,213 2,872 3,765 9,576 16,341 2,878 3,788 9,675 16,343 2,886 3,789 9,668 16,452 2,904 3,818 9,730 16,486 2,892 3,827 9,767 16,463 2,892 3,833 9,738 16,523 2,899 3,841 9,783 Oil and gas extraction .................. Construction ................................ General building contractors....... Manufacturing.............................. Production workers ....................... Durable goods............................ Production workers ....................... Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ......... Furniture and fix tu re s ..................... Stone, clay, and glass products ... Primary metal industries ............... Blast furnaces and basic steel products ........................................ Fabricated metal pro d u cts ......... Production w o rkers......................... Transportation................................. Communication and public u tilitie s ............................................. Wholesale tra d e .......................... Durable g o o d s ................................. Nondurable g o o d s .......................... Retail trad e .................................. General merchandise s to re s ........ Food s to re s ..................................... Automotive dealers and service s ta tio n s ........................................... Eating and drinking p la c e s ........... Finance, insurance, and real estate ........................................... Finance ............................................ In surance......................................... Real e s ta te ...................................... Services........................................ Business se rvice s........................... Health s e rv ic e s ............................... Government ................................. F e d e ra l............................................. S ta te .................................................. L o c a l.................................................. p = preliminary NOTE: See “ N ote on the d a ta ” fo r a d e s c rip tio n o f the m ost recent ben chm a rk revision. 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14. Average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry, monthly data seasonally adjusted Industry Annual average 1964 1985 1984 1985 Dec.p Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 35.2 35.0 35.1 35.1 35.0 Aug. 35.1 Sept. 35.1 Oct. 35.1 Nov.p 35.0 Dec.p 35.1 PRIVATE SECTOR................................................ 35.3 35.1 35.2 35.1 35.1 CONSTRUCTION.................................................. 37.7 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.8 38.1 38.0 37.6 37.2 37.6 37.5 37.9 37.9 37.5 37.2 40.4 3.2 40.2 3.4 40.4 3.1 40.4 3.2 40.3 3.2 40.6 3.3 40.7 3.3 40.7 3.4 40.7 3.4 41.0 3.6 40.7 3.4 40.5 3.3 40.6 3.4 40.6 3.4 40.1 3.3 Overtime h o u rs ................................................... Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ................................... Furniture and fix tu re s .............................................. Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts ............................ Primary metal in d u strie s......................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel p ro d u c ts .......... Fabricated metal products ..................................... 41.4 3.6 39.9 39.7 42.0 41.7 40.6 41.4 41.2 3.5 39.8 39.4 41.9 41.5 41.1 41.3 41.3 3.6 39.8 39.6 41.8 41.2 39.8 41.4 41.3 3.6 39.7 40.4 41.7 41.0 39.9 41.4 40.7 3.5 38.9 39.5 41.6 40.9 40.5 40.9 41.1 3.5 39.6 39.5 42.0 41.1 40.5 41.1 40.9 3.6 39.5 39.3 42.0 41.0 40.2 41.1 41.1 3.2 39.8 38.9 42.1 41.2 40.7 41.1 41.2 3.3 40.1 38.9 41.9 41.6 41.2 41.3 41.0 3.3 39.7 38.8 42.0 41.4 41.2 41.3 41.3 3.4 40.0 39.2 42.0 41.7 41.8 41.4 41.3 3.5 40.1 39.4 42.0 41.5 41.0 41.6 41.3 3.5 40.3 39.4 42.1 41.8 41.7 41.5 41.3 3.6 40.0 39.5 41.7 41.8 42.0 41.4 41.7 3.8 40.1 39.9 42.0 42.5 42.6 41.7 Machinery except electrical ................................... Electrical and electronic equ ipm ent...................... Transportation equipm ent....................................... Motor vehicles and equipm ent............................ Instruments and related products ......................... Miscellaneous m anufacturing................................. 41.9 41.0 42.7 43.8 41.3 39.4 41.5 40.6 42.6 43.5 41.0 39.4 41.7 41.0 42.8 44.0 41.8 39.3 41.7 40.8 43.1 44.3 41.2 39.2 41.1 40.2 41.9 42.4 40.7 39.0 41.6 40.7 42.5 43.2 41.0 39.1 41.2 40.2 42.3 43.3 40.7 39.0 41.4 40.4 42.6 43.5 40.9 39.3 41.6 40.6 42.3 42.7 41.1 39.4 41.3 40.3 42.5 43.3 40.7 39.0 41.6 40.7 42.9 43.8 40.7 39.3 41.6 40.5 42.9 43.8 40.9 39.8 41.6 40.6 42.8 43.8 40.8 39.9 41.6 41.0 42.7 43.7 41.1 39.6 41.9 41.2 42.9 44.1 42.3 39.9 Nondurable goods.............................................. Overtime h o u rs ................................................... Food and kindred p ro d u c ts.................................... Tobacco m a n u fa c tu re s .......................................... Textile mill p ro d u c ts ................................................ Apparel and other textile products........................ Paper and allied p ro d u c ts ...................................... 39.6 3.1 39.8 38.9 39.9 36.4 43.1 39.6 3.1 39.9 37.1 39.8 36.3 43.1 39.6 3.0 40.1 38.8 39.2 36.3 43.1 39.5 3.0 39.8 38.3 39.2 36.2 43.0 39.3 2.9 39.7 39.2 38.8 35.9 42.9 39.4 2.9 39.8 38.9 39.1 36.1 42.9 39.1 3.0 39.6 35.4 38.8 35.6 43.0 39.4 2.9 40.1 37.0 38.9 36.2 43.0 39.4 3.0 39.6 36.6 39.4 36.3 42.9 39.4 3.0 40.0 34.6 39.1 36.3 42.7 39.6 3.1 39.9 36.8 40.0 36.4 43.0 39.8 3.1 40.2 36.9 40.7 36.5 43.1 39.9 3.2 40.3 38.2 40.7 36.6 43.3 39.8 3.2 39.9 35.1 41.1 36.8 43.2 40.2 3.4 40.3 37.1 41.6 37.3 43.7 Printing and publishing............................................ Chemicals and allied products............................... Petroleum and coal p roducts................................. Leather and leather products ................................ 37.9 41.9 43.7 36.8 37.7 41.9 43.1 37.2 37.7 41.9 43.0 36.9 37.8 42.0 43.2 36.8 37.7 41.9 43.1 36.4 37.6 42.1 43.3 37.1 37.6 41.9 42.0 37.0 37.4 41.9 41.7 37.1 37.5 42.0 42.6 37.0 37.5 41.8 42.9 37.0 37.9 41.8 43.3 37.3 38.0 41.6 43.4 37.8 37.9 41.7 44.3 37.9 37.8 41.9 43.2 37.6 38.3 41.8 44.3 37.7 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES.... 39.4 39.5 39.3 39.3 39.4 39.5 39.4 39.5 39.5 39.2 39.6 39.5 39.5 39.4 39.7 WHOLESALE TRADE........................................... 38.6 38.7 38.6 38.6 38.6 38.7 38.6 38.7 38.8 38.6 38.6 38.7 38.6 38.6 38.8 29.8 29.8 29.7 29.9 29.9 29.7 29.6 29.6 29.5 29.5 29.3 32.8 32.8 32.7 32.8 32.8 32.7 32.8 32.8 32.9 32.7 32.9 MANUFACTURING................................................ Overtime h o u rs ................................................... Durable goods.................................................... RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 30.0 29.7 29.9 29.8 SERVICES ............................................................. 32.8 32.8 32.9 32.7 p = preliminary. NOTE: See “ N otes on th e d a ta ” fo r a d e s c rip tio n o f th e m ost recent benchm ark adjustm en t. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data 15. Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls by industry Annual average Industry 1985 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p Seasonally adjusted ............................................. $8.33 - $8.58 - $8.46 8.47 $8.50 8.44 $8.52 8.49 $8.52 8.52 $8.54 8.54 $8.53 8.55 $8.56 8.59 $8.54 8.57 $8.54 8.60 $8.68 8.65 $8.65 8.64 $8.68 8.67 $8.73 8.75 MINING.................................................................. 11.63 11.95 11.70 11.86 11.90 11.91 11.93 11.86 11.99 11.88 11.95 12.00 11.95 12.00 12.13 CONSTRUCTION....................................... 1 PRIVATE SECTOR............................................... «P 1984 .... 12.12 12.26 12.26 12.30 12.33 12.22 12.21 12.19 12.12 12.16 12.22 12.40 12.36 12.20 12.39 MANUFACTURING................................................ 9.18 9.52 9.40 9.43 9.43 9.45 9.48 9.48 9.50 9.53 9.48 9.55 9.54 9.61 9.71 Durable goods ..................................................... 9.74 8.03 6.85 9.57 11.47 12.99 9.38 10.09 8.19 7.19 9.83 11.68 13.35 9.66 9.96 8.09 6.99 9.68 11.49 12.95 9.58 9.99 8.10 7.01 9.70 11.55 13.07 9.59 9.99 8.09 7.01 9.73 11.69 13.42 9.59 10.01 8.06 7.07 9.71 11.66 13.27 9.62 10.03 8.04 7.08 9.80 11.64 13.32 9.64 10.04 8.12 7.11 9.80 11.64 13.31 9.63 10.08 8.24 7.18 9.84 11.65 13.29 9.65 10.10 8.20 7.22 9.89 11.78 13.51 9.66 10.05 8.26 7.22 9.87 11.63 13.37 9.61 10.15 8.31 7.29 9.90 11.69 13.45 9.70 10.14 8.29 7.31 9.86 11.64 13.34 9.68 10.21 8.27 7.34 9.90 11.80 13.45 9.72 10.31 8.24 7.41 9.93 11.78 13.45 9.87 9.96 Machinery, except electrical .................................. Electrical and electronic equipm ent...................... 9.04 Transportation equipm ent....................................... 12.22 Motor vehicles and equipm ent............................ 12.74 Instruments and related products ......................... 8.85 7.04 Miscellaneous m anufacturing................................. 10.29 9.47 12.71 13.44 9.19 7.28 10.16 9.32 12.62 13.27 9.03 7.16 10.13 9.33 12.67 13.41 9.00 7.23 10.14 9.33 12.63 13.35 9.11 7.19 10.15 9.39 12.59 13.29 9.10 7.20 10.17 9.40 12.63 13.40 9.11 7.22 10.22 9.39 12.63 13.38 9.13 7.28 10.28 9.46 12.66 13.39 9.15 7.28 10.31 9.47 12.65 13.38 9.20 7.30 10.27 9.50 12.65 13.34 9.22 7.26 10.39 9.55 12.78 13.51 9.28 7.30 10.41 9.56 12.77 13.46 9.27 7.30 10.48 9.61 12.82 13.54 9.30 7.33 10.60 9.67 13.01 13.80 9.35 7.44 8.37 Food and kindred p ro d u cts.................................... 8.38 Tobacco m anufactures........................................... 11.27 6.46 Textile mill p ro d u c ts ................................................ Apparel and other textile products........................ 5.55 Paper and allied products ...................................... 10.41 8.68 8.54 12.08 6.71 5.72 10.82 8.55 8.45 11.17 6.57 5.68 10.66 8.59 8.48 11.39 6.59 5.73 10.63 8.60 8.51 11.80 6.60 5.70 10.64 8.61 8.53 12.00 6.64 5.73 10.64 8.67 8.59 12.16 6.70 5.74 10.72 8.64 8.58 12.65 6.68 5.69 10.75 8.65 8.55 12.83 6.69 5.70 10.79 8.72 8.54 12.91 6.69 5.70 10.91 8.67 8.47 12.44 6.72 5.68 10.86 8.70 8.51 11.47 6.75 5.75 10.90 8.69 8.49 11.45 6.76 5.73 10.91 8.75 8.59 12.07 6.80 5.75 10.98 8.84 8.69 12.28 6.85 5.78 11.04 9.40 11.08 13.43 8.29 5.70 9.69 11.58 14.04 8.53 5.82 9.57 11.34 13.62 8.44 5.80 9.58 11.39 13.96 8.49 5.82 9.60 11.39 13.99 8.48 5.79 9.61 11.37 14.06 8.46 5.82 9.60 11.48 14.18 8.48 5.84 9.60 11.46 14.00 8.45 5.83 9.61 11.52 13.97 8.50 5.83 9.67 11.60 14.03 8.54 5.83 9.73 11.62 13.99 8.51 5.80 9.79 11.67 14.07 8.55 5.82 9.75 11.72 13.97 8.53 5.76 9.80 11.82 14.02 8.61 5.83 9.87 11.94 14.23 8.70 5.81 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES.... 11.11 11.38 11.28 11.26 11.27 11.24 11.27 11.24 11.32 11.35 11.40 11.52 11.46 11.56 11.60 .1 Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ................................... Furniture and fix tu re s .............................................. Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts ............................ Primary metal industries ......................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel p ro d u c ts .......... Fabricated metal products ..................................... Nondurable go ods............................................... Printing and publishing............................................ Chemicals and allied products............................... Petroleum and coal p roducts................................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics p ro d u c ts ..... Leather and leather products ................................ V •35 - ^ WHOLESALE TRADE........................................... 8.96 9.27 9.19 9.16 9.22 9.19 9.24 9.24 9.28 9.27 9.25 9.33 9.25 9.33 9.44 RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 5.88 5.97 5.89 5.97 5.99 5.97 5.96 5.97 5.94 5.93 5.91 5.99 5.97 6.00 5.99 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE.... 7.62 7.94 7.78 7.77 7.87 7.87 7.85 7.83 7.95 7.87 7.90 8.03 8.00 8.09 8.19 SERVICES ............................................................. 7.64 7.95 ______ 7.84 7.84 7.87 7.87 7.89 7.88 7.91 7.86 7.87 8.04 8.04 8.11 8.20 1* - Data not available. p = preliminary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 16. Average weekly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagriculturai payrolls by industry Annual average 1985 1984 Industry 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June Aug. July Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p PRIVATE SECTOR Current d o lla rs ........................................................ $294.05 $301.16 $300.33 $294.95 $294.79 $298.20 $298.05 $298.55 $303.02 $301.46 $302.32 $305.54 $303.62 $302.93 $309.04 298.14 296.24 298.00 299.90 298.90 300.11 301.51 299.95 301.86 303.62 303.26 303.45 307.13 Seasonally adjusted........................................... 173.48 174.61 171.28 170.50 171.68 170.80 170.50 172.56 171.48 171.68 173.01 171.54 170.47 Constant (1977) dollars ....................................... - _ MINING................................................................... 503.58 518.63 515.97 508.79 514.08 519.28 516.57 515.91 523.96 509.65 517.44 524.40 516.24 519.60 533.72 CONSTRUCTION.................................................. 456.92 462.20 460.98 447.72 451.28 460.69 461.54 464.44 461.77 469.38 468.03 477.40 472.15 448.96 458.43 Current d o lla rs ......................................................... Constant (1977) d o lla rs ......................................... 373.63 220.43 385.56 387.28 225.16 380.03 220.69 374.37 216.52 381.78 219.79 380.15 217.85 382.04 218.18 385.70 219.65 382.15 217.38 382.99 217.48 389.64 220.63 388.28 219.37 393.05 221.19 403.94 Durable goods ..................................................... Lumber and wood p ro d u c ts ................................... Furniture and fix tu re s .............................................. Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts ............................ Primary metal industries ......................................... Blast furnaces and basic steel p ro d u c ts .......... Fabricated metal products ..................................... 403.24 320.40 271.95 401.94 478.30 527.39 388.33 415.71 325.96 283.29 411.88 484.72 548.69 398.96 419.32 321.98 283.79 404.62 477.98 516.71 405.23 410.59 315.90 276.19 392.85 473.55 517.57 395.11 403.60 309.85 270.59 393.09 478.12 544.85 387.44 412.41 317.56 277.85 404.91 481.56 540.09 396.34 410.23 317.58 276.83 411.60 480.73 547.45 395.24 411.64 325.61 275.16 415.52 479.57 543.05 395.79 417.31 336.19 281.46 418.20 486.97 552.86 400.48 410.06 325.54 276.53 418.35 485.34 559.31 394.13 412.05 333.70 285.19 418.49 480.32 550.84 395.93 420.21 337.39 290.14 420.75 487.47 554.14 403.52 418.78 334.92 292.40 418.06 481.90 545.61 401.72 423.72 327.49 292.87 414.81 493.24 558.18 404.35 437.14 330.42 303.07 417.06 505.36 574.32 421.45 Machinery, except electrical .................................. Electrical and electronic equipm ent...................... Transportation equipm ent....................................... Motor vehicles and equipm ent............................ Instruments and related products ......................... Miscellaneous m anufacturing................................. 417.32 370.64 521.79 558.01 365.51 277.38 427.04 384.48 541.45 584.64 376.79 286.83 434.85 389.58 554.02 597.15 382.87 285.68 422.42 379.73 546.08 594.06 369.90 279.08 415.74 373.20 524.15 559.37 369.87 276.82 424.27 383.11 537.59 576.79 374.01 282.24 417.99 376.00 538.04 586.92 368.96 280.86 421.06 377.48 539.30 587.38 372.50 285.38 427.65 385.02 539.32 579.79 376.07 286.10 420.65 376.91 531.30 574.00 370.76 281.78 422.10 383.80 531.30 566.95 373.41 284.59 432.22 387.73 544.43 586.33 381.41 292.00 430.97 388.14 545.28 586.86 377.29 294.19 438.06 396.89 551.26 590.34 384.09 293.93 454.74 406.14 572.44 623.76 401.12 301.32 Nondurable goods............................................... 331.45 333.52 438.40 257.75 202.02 448.67 343.73 340.75 448.17 267.06 207.64 466.34 342.00 342.23 433.40 258.86 206.75 466.91 336.73 334.96 424.85 257.01 205.13 456.03 333.68 331.89 442.50 254.10 202.35 451.14 338.37 335.23 452.40 258.96 206.85 454.33 337.26 336.73 424.38 257.28 203.20 458.82 339.55 343.20 469.32 260.52 205.98 460.10 342.54 340.29 483.69 266.93 209.19 463.97 341.82 341.60 437.65 258.23 206.34 465.86 344.20 341.34 461.52 270.14 207.32 465.89 348.00 347.21 438.15 275.40 209.88 473.06 346.73 343.00 448.84 276.48 210.86 472.40 350.00 345.32 438.14 280.84 212.18 476.53 358.90 353.68 455.59 286.33 216.17 490.18 356.26 464.25 586.89 365.31 485.20 605.12 366.53 480.82 584.30 359.25 477.24 597.49 358.08 476.10 594.58 362.30 478.68 601.77 360.00 481.01 595.56 358.08 480.17 583.80 358.45 484.99 596.52 360.69 482.56 606.10 369.74 483.39 605.77 373.98 487.81 620.49 369.53 486.38 620.27 373.38 496.44 609.87 383.94 505.06 630.39 345.69 209.76 349.73 216.50 355.32 215.18 352.34 211.85 343.44 207.28 347.71 212.43 346.83 215.50 345.61 218.04 350.20 221.54 346.72 218.63 346.36 216.92 351.41 219.41 350.58 216.58 354.73 219.21 363.66 220.20 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES............................................................. 437.73 449.51 445.56 438.01 440.66 441.73 441.78 441.73 449.40 448.33 454.86 457.34 452.67 456.62 462.84 WHOLESALE TRADE........................................... 345.86 358.75 357.49 351.74 352.20 353.82 354.82 357.59 360.99 359.68 358.90 362.00 357.98 361.07 369.10 RETAIL TRADE .................................................... 176.40 177.31 179.65 173.73 174.31 175.52 175.22 177.91 179.39 180.27 179.07 177.90 175.52 175.80 179.10 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE ................................................................ 278.13 289.02 285.53 282.83 286.47 286.47 285.74 284.23 291.77 285.68 286.77 292.29 290.40 292.86 301.39 SERVICES ............................................................. 250.59 260.76 257.94 254.80 256.56 256.56 257.21 257.68 261.03 260.17 260.50 263.71 263.71 264.39 269.78 MANUFACTURING Food and kindred pro d u c ts.................................... Tobacco m anufactures........................................... Textile mill p ro d u c ts ................................................ Apparel and other textile products........................ Paper and allied products ...................................... Printing and publishing............................................ Chemicals and allied products............................... Petroleum and coal p roducts................................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics pro d u cts ................................................... Leather and leather products ................................ - - Data not available. p = preliminary - NOTE: See "Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. 17. The Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagriculturai payrolls by industry Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Industry PRIVATE SECTOR (In current dollars)......................... Nov. 1985p Oct. 1985 163.5 166.5 167.3 168.5 176.9 149.2 165.8 164.7 169.8 154.3 168.6 166.9 178.7 151.2 169.3 167.5 171.0 156.3 173.0 171.1 179.8 148.8 170.2 168.9 172.4 156.8 174.6 172.4 181.2 150.6 171.1 169.7 174.3 156.9 176.9 174.4 95.0 94.1 94.1 1 This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dec. 1985p Dec. 1984 Sept. 1985 Oct. 1985 Nov. 1985 Dec. 1984 Aug. 1985 Dec. 1985p 163.3 165.7 166.7 166.4 167.1 168.4 148.9 165.4 164.1 149.3 169.3 166.1 150.0 169.1 167.3 149.4 169.4 167.0 148.6 170.1 167.7 150.1 170.6 169.0 155.6 155.8 157.2 156.7 157.2 158.1 166.7 169.6 171.5 171.1 172.1 174.2 94.9 94.3 94.7 94.3 94.1 _ p = preliminary. NOTE: See “ N otes on the d a ta ” fo r a d e s c rip tio n o f the recent benchm ark revi sion. Due to the LABSTAT rounding system , a few indexes may d iffe r by .1 from data pub lish ed elsewhere. 79 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 18. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Employment Data Indexes of diffusion: industries in which employment increased, data seasonally adjusted (In percent) Time span and year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Over 1983 1984 1985 1-month span ......................... ......................... ......................... 52.2 67.3 57.6 45.9 72.7 50.3 59.7 66.8 55.9 70.0 67.3 44.6 68.9 60.5 50.3 63.0 64.3 47.0 72.7 65.7 54.9 69.5 58.1 56.8 73.2 48.4 1 43.5 74.1 66.5 1 63.8 66.8 55.1 68.9 63.5 Over 1983 1984 1985 3-month span .......................... .......................... .......................... 46.2 78.1 58.6 53.2 75.9 54.1 63.0 77.6 46.8 73.5 68.9 45.9 71.9 69.7 44.1 73.8 67.0 49.7 72.7 65.4 50.5 80.3 60.3 1 48.9 80.8 60.0 1 52.4 78.6 56.5 - 74.6 67.0 74.3 60.0 Over 1983 1984 1985 6-month span .......................... .......................... .......................... 50.0 79.2 52.2 62.4 77.8 49.5 65.7 77.3 44.3 67.8 75.4 44.6 74.3 69.2 44.3 78.4 64.9 1 41.4 79.7 63.2 ' 47.3 79.5 64.1 78.9 67.0 “ 79.2 59.7 - 79.7 57.6 78.4 60.3 Over 1983 1984 1985 12-month span ........................... ........................... ............................ 48.6 81.9 50.8 55.1 78.4 48.4 61.4 76.8 ' 48.9 68.6 75.1 1 46.8 72.4 72.7 75.1 73.0 77.0 70.0 79.7 65.7 - 78.4 63.5 80.8 60.5 81.6 1 55.4 81.1 51.6 1 Preliminary data. - Data not available. NOTE: Figures are the percent of industries with employment rising. (Half of 19. ” the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans. See the “ Definitions” in this section. See “ Notes on the data” for a description of the most recent benchmark revision. Annual data: Employment status of the noninstitutional population (Number in thousands) Employment status 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Noninstitutional pop ulation ........................................ 160,689 163,541 166,460 169,349 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 100,665 62.6 103,882 63.5 106,559 64.0 108,544 64.1 110,315 64.2 111,872 64.3 113,226 64.4 115,241 64.7 117,167 65.1 93,673 97,679 100,421 100,907 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 Labor force Total (num ber).................................... Percent of pop ulation.................................... Employed Total (number) ........................................ Percent of population .................................... Resident Armed F orces.............................. Total ......................................................... A g riculture................................................ Nonagricultural industries....................... Unemployed Total (num ber)....................................... Percent of labor fo r c e ................................ Not in labor force (number) ............................. - 20. - - _ 1656 1631 1597 _ _ 1604 1668 1676 1697 1706 92,017 3,283 88,734 96,048 3,387 92,661 98,824 3,347 95,477 99,303 3,364 95,938 100,397 3,368 97,030 99,526 3,401 96,125 100,834 3,383 97,450 105,005 3,321 101,685 107,150 3,179 103^971 6,991 6.9 6,202 6.0 6,137 5.8 7,637 7.0 8,273 7.5 10,678 9.5 10,717 9.5 8,539 7.4 8,312 7.1 60,025 59,659 59,900 60,806 61,460 62,067 62,665 62,839 62,744 1645 Data not available. Annual data: Employment levels by industry (Number in thousands) Industry Total em plo ym en t............................ Private se c to r................................. G oods-producing........................ M in in g ..................................... Construction .......................... M anufacturing........................ Service-producing.................................. Transportation and public utilities ... Wholesale trade ................................ Retail trade ........................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate S e rvices.............................................. Government F ed era l... State ...... Local ..... 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985» 82,471 67,344 24,346 813 3,851 19,682 86,697 71,026 25,585 851 4,229 20,505 89,823 73,876 26,461 958 4,463 21,040 90,406 74,166 25,658 1,027 4,346 20,285 91,156 75,126 25,497 1,139 4,188 20,170 89,566 73,729 23,813 1,128 3,905 18,781 90,196 74,330 23,334 952 3,948 18,434 94,461 78,477 24,730 974 4,345 19,412 97,692 81,397 25,054 969 4,661 19,424 58,125 4,713 4,708 13,808 4,467 15,303 61,113 4,923 4,969 14,573 4,724 16,252 63,363 5,136 5,204 14,989 4,975 17,112 64,748 5,146 5,275 15,035 5,160 17,890 65,659 5,165 5,358 15,189 5,298 18,619 65,753 5,082 5,278 15,179 5,341 19,036 66,862 4,954 5,268 15,613 5,468 19,694 69,731 5,171 5,550 16,584 5,682 20,761 72,638 5,301 5,770 17,418 5,924 21,931 15,127 2,727 3,377 9,023 15,672 2,753 3,474 9,446 15,947 2,773 3,541 9,633 16,241 16,031 2,772 3,640 9,619 15,837 2,739 3,640 9,458 15,869 2,774 3,662 9,434 15,984 2,807 3,712 9,465 16,294 2,873 3,781 9,640 NOTE: Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. See "Notes on the data" for a description of the most recent benchmark Digitized for 80 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2,866 3,610 9,765 revision. p = p relim inary 21. Annual data: Average hours and earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls, by Industry 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985» Private sector Average weekly h o u rs ................................................................. Average hourly earnings ............................................................. Average weekly e arnings............................................................ 36.0 5.25 189.00 35.8 5.69 203.70 35.7 6.16 219.91 35.3 6.66 235.10 35.2 7.25 255.20 34.8 7.68 267.26 35.0 8.02 280.70 35.3 8.33 294.05 35.1 8.58 301.16 Mining Average weekly hours .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 43.4 6.94 301.20 43.4 7.67 332.88 43.0 8.49 365.07 43.3 9.17 397.06 43.7 10.04 438.75 42.7 10.77 459.88 42.5 11.28 479.40 43.3 11.63 503.58 43.4 11.95 518.63 Construction Average weekly h o u rs .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 36.5 8.10 295.65 36.8 8.66 318.69 37.0 9.27 342.99 37.0 9.94 367.78 36.9 10.82 399.26 36.7 11.63 426.82 37.1 11.94 442.97 37.7 12.12 456.92 37.7 12.26 462.20 Manufacturing Average weekly hours .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 40.3 5.68 228.90 40.4 6.17 249.27 40.2 6.70 269.34 39.7 7.27 288.62 39.8 7.99 318.00 38.9 8.49 330.26 40.1 8.83 354.08 40.7 9.18 373.63 40.5 9.52 385.56 Transportation and public utilities Average weekly h o u rs .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly earnings ......................................................... 39.9 6.99 278.90 40.0 7.57 302.80 39.9 8.16 325.58 39.6 8.87 351.25 39.4 9.70 382.18 39.0 10.32 402.48 39.0 10.79 420.81 39.4 11.11 437.73 39.5 11.38 449.51 Wholesale trade Average weekly hours .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 38.8 5.39 209.13 38.8 5.88 228.14 38.8 6.39 247.93 38.5 6.96 267.96 38.5 7.56 291.06 38.3 8.09 309.85 38.5 8.55 329.18 38.6 8.96 345.86 38.7 9.27 358.75 Retail trade Average weekly h o u rs .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 31.6 3.85 121.66 31.0 4.20 130.20 30.6 4.53 138.62 30.2 4.88 147.38 30.1 5.25 158.03 29.9 5.48 163.85 29.8 5.74 171.05 30.0 5.88 176.40 29.7 5.97 177.31 Finance, insurance, and real estate Average weekly hours .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly e a rn in g s ......................................................... 36.4 4.54 165.26 36.4 4.89 178.00 36.2 5.27 190.77 36.2 5.79 209.60 36.3 6.31 229.05 36.2 6.78 245.44 36.2 7.29 263.90 36.5 7.62 278.13 36.4 7.94 289.02 Services Average weekly hours .............................................................. Average hourly earnings........................................................... Average weekly earnings ......................................................... 33.0 4.65 153.45 32.8 4.99 163.67 32.7 5.36 175.27 32.6 5.85 190.71 32.6 6.41 208.97 32.6 6.92 225.59 32.7 7.31 239.04 32.8 7.64 250.59 32.8 7.95 260.76 Industry p = preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 22. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Compensation and Industrial Relations Data Employment Cost Index, compensation,1 by occupation and industry group (June 1981=100) 1Ê83 1984 1985 Percent change Series Sept. Dec. Mar. June 116.5 117.8 119.8 120.8 122.4 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 3 months ended 12 months ended Sept., 1985 Civilian workers 2 ....................... Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ................. Blue-collar w o rkers.................... Service w o rk e rs ......................... Workers, by industry division: M anufacturing............................ Nonm anufacturing..................... S e rv ic e s ................................... Public administration 3 .......... 123.9 125.5 126.4 128.4 1.6 117.6 114.8 116.7 118.9 115.8 119.1 120.9 117.7 122.0 122.1 118.6 122.1 124.0 119.6 124.6 125.5 120.9 126.8 127.3 122.2 127.8 128.3 123.1 128.0 130.7 124.4 130.9 1.9 2.3 115.0 117.2 121.1 119.8 116.0 118.6 122.6 121.4 117.9 120.7 125.0 122.9 119.1 121.6 125.5 123.7 120.4 123.3 128.8 126.9 122.0 124.8 130.9 128.6 123.9 126.2 131.9 130.1 124.6 127.2 132.6 130.3 125.5 129.7 136.4 134.2 2.9 3.0 Private Industry workers........... 115.6 117.0 119.0 120.1 121.1 122.7 124.2 125.2 126.8 116.5 114.6 115.1 117.9 115.7 117.9 119.9 117.5 121.5 121.4 118.4 121.2 122.4 119.3 123.2 123.9 120.6 125.7 125.8 121.9 126.3 127.1 122.8 126.5 128.8 124.0 128.8 5.2 3.9 4.5 115.0 116.0 116.0 117.5 117.9 119.6 119.1 120.7 120.4 121.6 122.0 123.1 123.9 124.4 124.6 125.6 125.5 127.6 4.2 4.9 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar w o rkers.................. Blue-collar w o rke rs.................... Service w o rk e rs ......................... Workers, by industry division: M anufacturing............................. Nonmanufacturing ..................... State and local government workers Workers, by occupational group: White-collar w o rkers............................ Blue-collar w o rke rs.............................. Workers, by industry division: S e rvice s................................................. Schools .............................................. Elementary and secon dary........... Hospitals and other services4 ........ Public administration3 ........................... ------- -------nwmou; 11ioqouicu hi .7 2.0 5.4 4.0 5.1 4.2 5.2 5.9 5.8 120.8 122.0 123.9 124.4 128.8 130.1 131.7 132.0 136.5 3.4 6.0 121.5 118.0 122.6 119.2 124.5 121.9 125.0 122.3 129.7 125.0 131.1 125.9 132.5 128.1 132.9 128.5 137.6 131.9 3.5 6.1 2.6 5.5 121.7 121.9 123.3 121.1 119.8 122.6 122.6 123.9 122.6 121.4 124.5 124.5 125.4 124.4 122.9 125.0 124.7 125.7 125.7 123.7 129.9 130.6 132.1 127.9 126.9 131.3 132.0 133.5 129.2 128.6 132.8 133.4 134.4 131.1 130.1 133.2 133.7 134.6 131.5 130.3 137.9 139.1 140.9 134.1 134.2 3.5 4.0 4.7 2.0 3.0 6.2 6.5 6.7 4.8 5.8 uit; employment Lrosx inaex consists of wages, salaries and employer cost of employee benefits. 2 Consist of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.1 and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. 3 Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 4 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. 23. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group (June 1981=100) Percent change 1985 1984 1983 Series Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 3 months ended 12 months ended Sept., 1985 Civilian workers 1................................................................... 115.3 116.5 117.9 118.8 120.3 121.7 123.1 124.2 126.3 1.7 5.0 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar workers ................................................................. Blue-collar w o rkers.................................................................... Service w o rk e rs ................................................ ........................ 116.7 113.1 115.1 117.9 114.0 117.4 119.3 115.3 120.0 120.4 116.1 119.8 122.2 117.0 122.3 123.5 118.2 124.3 125.2 119.3 124.8 126.4 120.5 125.3 128.8 122.0 128.0 1.9 1.2 2.2 5.4 4.3 4.7 Workers, by industry division Manufacturing ............................................................................ Nonmanufacturing ..................................................................... Services ................................................................................... Public administration 2 ........................................................... 113.3 116.1 120.1 118.2 114.5 117.4 121.3 119.4 115.7 118.9 123.3 120.4 116.8 119.7 123.8 121.3 118.0 121.3 127.2 124.4 119.5 122.6 128.9 125.7 121.0 123.9 129.7 127.0 122.3 125.0 130.5 127.2 123.2 127.6 134.2 131.4 .7 2.1 2.8 3.3 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.6 Private Industry workers................................................. 114.5 115.8 117.2 118.2 119.2 120.6 122.0 123.3 124.9 1.3 4.8 Workers, by occupational group: White-collar w o rke rs ............................................................ Professional and te chnical.............................................. Managers and adm inistrators......................................... S alesw orke rs..................................................................... Clerical w o rke rs ................................................................. 115.9 119.9 114.8 108.4 116.7 117.2 120.4 115.7 111.2 118.3 118.5 122.2 118.0 110.2 119.8 119.9 123.8 119.2 111.9 120.7 120.9 125.2 121.0 110.5 122.0 122.3 127.3 122.2 111.6 122.9 124.0 127.7 123.8 116.3 124.7 125.5 128.7 126.5 117.4 125.6 127.3 131.2 127.7 119.3 127.1 1.4 1.9 .9 1.6 1.2 5.3 4.8 5.5 8.0 4.2 Blue-collar w o rk e rs .............................................................. Craft and kindred w o rk e rs .............................................. Operatives, except tra n s p o rt.......................................... Transport equipment o p e ra tiv e s.................................... Nonfarm laborers .............................................................. Service workers ................................................................... 112.9 114.3 112.3 110.7 110.8 113.7 113.9 115.4 113.6 110.2 112.1 116.5 115.1 116.5 114.9 111.7 112.9 119.8 115.9 117.3 115.8 112.7 114.1 119.3 116.7 118.0 116.6 113.4 114.7 121.2 118.0 119.4 117.9 114.0 115.9 123.7 119.1 120.8 118.9 114.5 116.7 123.8 120.3 122.0 120.1 115.7 118.5 124.4 121.7 123.7 121.1 117.7 118.6 126.3 1.2 1.4 .8 1.7 .1 1.5 4.3 4.8 3.9 3.8 3.4 4.2 Workers, by industry division: M anufacturing....................................................................... D u ra b le s............................................................................. N ondurables....................................................................... 113.3 112.9 113.9 114.5 114.4 114.6 115.7 115.7 115.8 116.8 116.6 117.1 118.0 117.7 118.6 119.5 119.1 120.2 121.0 120.6 121.6 122.3 122.0 122.6 123.2 122.7 124.0 .7 .6 1.1 4.4 4.2 4.6 Nonm anufacturing................................................................ C onstruction....................................................................... Transportation and public u tilitie s .................................. Wholesale and retail tra d e .............................................. Wholesale trade ............................................................. Retail tra d e ...................................................................... Finance, insurance, and real e s ta te .............................. S e rvices.............................................................................. 115.2 112.2 115.7 111.5 115,7 109.9 113.5 120.4 116.5 112.9 116.8 112.3 116.5 110.6 116.9 121.9 118.0 113.3 118.5 114.3 118.2 112.8 116.1 124.2 119.0 114.0 119.3 116.0 120.0 114.4 116.9 124.7 119.9 114.3 119.9 116.5 120.7 114.9 115.3 127.1 121.2 114.4 120.7 118.1 122.9 116.2 115.8 129.5 122.6 115.5 121.7 118.8 123.7 116.9 122.0 129.9 123.9 116.6 122.8 121.1 126.8 118.9 121.7 131.0 125.9 117.3 124.8 122.7 127.7 120.8 124.1 133.9 1.6 .6 1.6 1.3 .7 1.6 2.0 2.2 5.0 2.6 4.1 5.3 5.8 5.1 7.6 5.4 State and local government workers............................. 119.2 120.0 121.6 122.0 126.1 127.1 128.4 128.7 133.2 3.5 5.6 128.C 122.5 129.3 124.2 129.6 124.5 134.2 127.9 3.6 2.7 5.7 4.9 128.1 128.7 130.2 125.9 125.7 129.4 129.9 130.8 127.7 127.0 129.7 130.2 131.1 128.0 127.2 134.5 135.8 137.5 130.2 131.4 3.7 4.3 4.9 1.7 3.3 5.7 6.3 6.3 4.1 5.6 Workers, by occupational group 119.8 116.4 120.6 116.9 122.2 119.1 122.5 119.6 127.1 121.9 119.8 119.9 121.1 119.7 118.2 120.6 120.6 121.7 120.6 119.4 122.2 122.2 122.9 121.9 120.4 122.5 122.3 123.0 123.1 121.3 127.2 127.8 129.3 125.1 124.4 Workers, by industry division Elementary and secondary ......................................... Hospitals and other services 3 ...................................... Public administration 2 ........................................................ 1 Consist of private industry workers (excluding farm and household workers) and State and local government (excluding Federal Government) workers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Consist of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory 3 Includes, for example, library, social and health services. activities, MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 24. • Current Labor Statistics: Compensation and Industrial Relations Data February 1986 Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size (June 1981=100) CO CO 19 1984 1985 Percent change Series Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 3 months ended 12 months ended Sept., 1985 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status1 Union ............................................................ Manufacturing .................................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................ 117.8 116.3 119.2 118.8 117.2 120.4 120.6 119.3 121.9 121.7 120.5 122.8 122.6 121.6 123.6 123.9 123.2 124.5 124.8 124.2 125.3 125.5 124.2 126.6 126.5 125.0 127.8 0.8 .6 .9 3.2 2.8 3.4 N o n u n io n ......................................................... Manufacturing ................................................. N onm anufacturing.............................................................. 114.4 113.8 114.7 115.9 114.9 116.4 118.0 116.6 118.6 119.2 117.9 119.8 120.3 119.3 120.7 121.9 120.8 122.4 123.8 123.6 123.9 125.0 124.8 125.1 126.8 125.7 127.3 1.4 .7 1.8 5.4 5.4 5.5 116.0 115.6 113.9 118.0 117.5 117.1 114.7 120.0 118.9 119.7 117.2 121.0 120.7 120.7 117.9 122.2 122.4 120.7 119.7 122.5 123.8 122.2 120.8 124.9 125.1 124.2 122.0 126.8 126.4 125.2 122.7 127.9 128.8 126.5 124.2 129.1 1.9 1.0 1.2 .9 5.2 4.8 3.8 5.4 116.0 113.4 117.4 114.5 119.4 116.7 120.6 117.4 121.5 119.0 123.2 119.8 124.7 121.4 125.7 122.5 127.3 123.9 1.3 1.1 4.8 4.1 Union .............................................................. Manufacturing ................................................. Nonmanufacturing .................................................................... 116.0 113.7 118.3 116.9 114.8 118.9 118.1 116.1 120.1 119.0 117.1 120.7 119.8 118.1 121.3 120.9 119.5 122.1 121.7 120.4 122.8 123.0 121.7 124.1 124.1 122.8 125.3 .9 .9 1.0 3.6 4.0 3.3 N o nunion.............................................................. Manufacturing .................................................... Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... 113.7 113.0 114.0 115.2 114.2 115.6 116.7 115.4 117.2 117.8 116.5 118.3 118.8 117.9 119.2 120.4 119.5 120.7 122.1 121.5 122.3 123.4 122.8 123.6 125.2 123.7 125.9 1.5 .7 1.9 5.4 4.9 5.6 115.3 114.3 112.8 116.5 116.6 115.7 113.6 118.5 117.4 117.9 115.5 118.8 118.9 119.0 116.0 119.6 120.5 119.0 117.8 120.0 121.9 120.2 118.7 122.5 123.0 122.3 119.6 124.0 124.6 123.4 121.1 125.1 126.8 124.8 122.5 126.6 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 5.2 4.9 4.0 5.5 114.9 112.3 116.2 113.4 117.6 115.1 118.6 116.0 119.5 117.5 121.0 118.3 122.4 119.6 123.8 120.6 125.5 121.9 1.4 1.1 5.0 3.7 Workers, by region 1 N o rtheast.............................................................. South ................................................................ Midwest (formerly North C e ntral).................................. W e s t................................................................... Workers, by area size 1 Metropolitan a re a s ............................................................ Other a re a s ..................................................... WAGES AND SALARIES Workers, by bargaining status 1 Workers, by region 1 N o rtheast............................................................... South ...................................................... Midwest (formerly North C e ntral)..................................... W e s t..................................................................... Workers, by area size1 Metropolitan a re a s ........................................................ Other a re a s ................................................... 1 The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see the Monthly Labor Review Technical Employment Cost Index,” May 1982. Note, "Estim ation procedures for the 25. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Annual average Measure Quarterly average 1983 1983 1984 1985 1984 IV I II III IV lp 3.5 3.2 2.7 3.1 3.7 2.0 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.7 2.9 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.6 2.3 1.5 3.4 3.2 2.5 2.9 1.7 2.9 .9 .1 1.2 .2 .7 .3 .7 .1 .8 .2 1.2 .2 .7 .2 .7 .3 .2 .2 .6 .1 .5 .1 .6 .4 II» III» Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustm ents,2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: First year of contract ............................ Annual rate over life of c o n tra c t......... Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: First year of contract .................... Annual rate over life of contract ... 3.4 3.0 3.6 2.8 3.1 2.6 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.8 40 .8 3.7 .8 1.1 .6 2.5 .6 2.0 .9 .2 3.3 Effective adjustments: Total effective wage adjustm ent3 ........................ From settlements reached In period .... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier p erio ds................................ From cost-of-living-adjustments c la u s e s ....... * ---------- w ----- a — i — u mp i u j o i o uuoi ui o m p iu y e e benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases and no changes in 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .3 compensation or wages. 3 Because of rounding total may not equal sum of parts. p = preliminary. 26. Average specified compensation and wage adjustments, major collective bargaining settlements in private industry situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) Average for four quarters endingMeasure 1985 1984 1983 I IV III II IP IV IIP HIP Specified total compensation adjustments, settlements covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: 3.4 3.0 4.8 3.6 4.7 3.5 4.2 3.2 3.6 2.8 3.4 2.7 3.5 2.8 3.1 2.8 2.6 1.9 3.3 2.8 2.0 3.7 3.5 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.6 3.4 3.5 4.6 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.2 3.2 4.5 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.9 2.1 2.4 1.8 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.3 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 1.6 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.6 2.4 1.8 2.9 .4 -.7 3.2 2.1 1.4 3.9 2.6 2.4 2.9 2.8 2.2 3.7 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.1 2.8 3.6 2.6 1.5 3.7 2.8 1.8 3.8 2.3 2.1 2.9 1.5 1.0 3.3 2.1 2.0 2.5 1.4 .9 3.2 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.4 1.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.4 2.4 3.8 4.4 3.3 3.2 2.6 3.7 3.8 49 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.3 3.7 5.2 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.3 5.4 2.1 2.8 3.1 2.6 2.5 5.5 2.0 2.9 4.8 2.6 2.6 5.1 2.4 2.8 4.0 2.7 2.7 4.3 2.5 2.9 3.8 2.8 3.1 4.0 2.9 3.2 3.9 3.1 1.5 -.6 1.9 2.4 .9 2.6 1.2 .1 1.4 2.0 .7 2.2 .8 -.4 .9 1.7 .0 1.8 .9 4.0 .9 1.4 1.4 1.4 .5 4.0 .4 1.0 1.4 1.0 .9 4.6 .8 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 9.2 1.0 1.8 4.6 1.7 Specified wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: All industries First year of contract ................................................................................ Manufacturing First year of contract ................................................................................ Nonmanufacturing First year of c o n tra c t................................................................................ Construction First year of contract ................................................................................ 1 Data do not meet publication standards. p = preliminary. 27. Average effective wage adjustments, private industry collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more during 4-quarter periods (in percent) Average for four quarters ending1985 1984 Effective wage adjustment I II III IV IP IIP IMP 4.7 1.2 2.5 1.0 4.3 1.0 2.2 1.1 4.2 1.0 2.1 1.2 3.7 .8 2.0 .9 3.6 .7 2.2 .7 3.5 .9 1.9 .7 3.4 .8 1.8 .8 5.5 4.2 5.5 3.6 5.3 3.6 4.9 4.0 5.0 3.7 4.2 3.2 4.4 3.0 4.0 2.7 4.5 2.9 4.2 2.3 4.2 2.9 3.9 2.3 4.3 2.8 3.7 2.8 For all workers:1 T o ta l................................................................................................................ From settlements reached in period ..................................................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period .......................... From cost-of-living-adjustments c la u s e s ............................................... For workers receiving changes: T o ta l................................................................................................................ From settlements reached in period ...................................................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier p e rio d .......................... From cost-of-living-adjustments c la u s e s ............................................... Because of rounding total may not equal sum of parts. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis = preliminary. 1.0 (1) (’ ) 1.7 (1) (’ ) MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 28. Specified compensation and wage adjustments from contract settlements, and effective wage adjustments, State and local government collective bargaining situations covering 1,000 workers or more (in percent) Annual average First 6 months 1985p Measure 1983 1984 5.2 5.4 4.9 - 5.1 5.1 16 - 5.0 19 3.1 .0 Specified adjustments: Total compensation 1 adjustments, 2 settlements covering 5,000 workers or more: First year of contract .................................................. Annual rate over life of contract ...................................... Wage adjustments, settlements covering 1,000 workers or more: First year of contract ...................................................... Annual rate over life of contract ............................... Effective adjustments: Total effective wage adjustment 3 ...................................................... From settlements reached in p erio d........................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier periods .............. From cost-of-living-adjustment c la u s e s .............................. 1 Compensation includes wages, salaries, and employers’ cost of employee benefits when contract is negotiated. 2 Adjustments are the net result of increases, decreases and no changes in compensation or wages. 29. 8 .0 3 Because of rounding total may not equal sum of parts. - Data not available. p = preliminary. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more Annual totals 1984 1985 Measure 1984 Number of stoppages: Beginning in p e rio d ....................... In effect during p e rio d ................. Workers involved: Beginning in period (in thousands).................................... In effect during period (in thousands).................................... Days idle: Number (in thousands)................ Percent of estimated working tim e1 .............................................. 62 68 ” 376.0 391.0 - 8,499.0 .04 ' Agricultural and government employees working time: private household, forestry, explanation of the measurement of idleness found in “ Total Economy’ Measure of Strike 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1985 - Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June JulyP Aug.p Sept.p Oct.p Nov.p Dec.p 3 13 2 9 4 13 4 12 3 8 2 8 2 8 9 13 6 18 11 20 4 18 42.5 4.7 29.3 15.2 6.2 6.9 15.7 52.3 15.3 69.5 74.6 25.0 8.2 59.0 16.0 43.9 48.2 14.1 14.8 28.5 60.2 66.8 93.9 117.3 64.6 38.1 655.8 278.3 259.3 698.5 229.5 203.3 454.3 500.2 869.7 931.4 1,433.0 651.2 665.4 .04 .01 .01 .03 .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .04 .06 .03 .03 are included in the total employed and total and fishery employees are excluded. An as a percentage of the total time worked is idleness.” Monthly Labor Review, October 1968, pp. 54-56. - Data not available. p = preliminary. 2 11 2 8 30. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity service group; and CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers, All Items (1967-100, unless otherwise indicated) Series Annual average 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 322.2 374.7 315.5 367.0 316.1 367.6 317.4 369.1 318.8 370.7 320.1 372.3 321.3 373.7 322.3 374.8 322.8 375.5 323.5 376.2 295.1 302.9 292.6 305.3 266.6 253.2 317.4 352.2 389.1 288.0 443.0 284.9 333.4 222.1 302.0 309.8 296.8 317.0 263.4 258.0 325.7 361.1 398.8 294.4 451.7 294.2 346.6 229.5 297.2 305.1 293.2 310.7 265.9 258.4 309.7 354.6 391.7 293.7 443.4 287.7 339.2 223.9 299.3 307.3 296.1 312.4 266.6 258.8 320.8 358.0 394.5 295.9 449.4 289.6 339.9 224.3 301.4 309.5 298.6 313.7 267.0 259.2 333.0 359.8 394.8 295.1 452.7 291.5 341.4 225.8 301.6 309.7 298.4 314.4 266.1 258.9 332.1 360.5 394.8 294.9 454.0 292.2 342.6 226.5 301.6 309.6 297.7 314.8 263.6 258.3 333.2 360.8 396.1 294.0 454.0 292.8 343.9 226.7 301.0 308.9 296.2 315.9 259.8 258.4 330.3 361.3 397.6 294.0 454.1 293.4 345.1 227.7 301.4 309.3 296.0 317.3 259.8 257.8 329.0 360.8 398.3 296.0 451.5 293.4 346.9 227.8 301.6 309.5 296.2 317.3 260.5 257.8 328.9 360.6 400.2 297.8 448.2 294.5 347.3 227.8 Housing ................................................................................................... Shelter .................................................................................................. Renters’ costs ( 1 2 /8 2 = 1 0 0 )........................................................ Rent, reside ntial............................................................................ Other renters’ costs ..................................................................... Homeowners’ costs (12/82 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................... Owners’ equivalent rent (12/82 = 100) ..................................... Household insurance (12/82 = 1 0 0 ).......................................... Maintenance and re p a irs ................................................................ Maintenance and repair services .............................................. Maintenance and repair com m odities....................................... Fuel and other u tilitie s ....................................................................... Fuels .................................................................................................. Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g a s .................................................... Gas (piped) and electricity .......................................................... Other utilities and public s e rv ic e s ................................................ Household furnishings and ope ratio ns........................................... Housefurnishings ............................................................................. Housekeeping supp lie s................................................................... Housekeeping services................................................................... 336.5 361.7 108.6 249.3 373.4 107.3 107.3 107.5 359.2 409.7 262.7 387.3 485.5 641.8 445.2 230.2 242.5 199.1 303.2 327.5 349.9 382.0 115.4 264.6 398.4 113.1 113.2 112.4 368.9 421.1 269.6 393.6 488.1 619.5 452.7 240.7 247.2 200.1 313.6 338.9 341.2 370.1 111.3 256.1 375.1 109.8 109.8 108.9 364.4 414.2 267.7 386.0 480.2 625.9 442.2 234.1 244.2 199.7 307.5 330.6 342.0 371.2 111.8 257.1 378.5 110.0 110.0 109.0 366.0 414.7 269.9 387.2 481.2 621.6 444.1 235.3 244.2 198.8 309.9 331.3 343.6 373.3 112.4 258.4 381.9 110.7 110.7 109.5 366.8 415.8 270.5 386.5 480.8 623.4 443.3 234.3 246.2 200.7 311.5 333.9 344.7 374.3 112.9 259.2 386.1 110.8 110.9 110.4 370.0 422.2 270.6 388.2 482.2 620.8 445.5 236.3 246.9 200.6 311.8 337.4 345.9 375.9 113.5 260.4 390.9 111.3 111.3 111.4 368.0 418.2 270.4 388.7 483.0 623.5 445.9 236.4 247.9 201.7 312.6 337.9 348.5 379.5 114.5 262.6 396.5 112.4 112.5 112.0 366.2 416.0 269.2 393.0 490.0 620.8 454.7 236.8 247.6 201.2 312.9 338.0 350.4 381.0 115.1 263.6 401.6 112.8 112.8 112.7 367.6 423.2 265.7 399.4 497.7 612.0 465.6 241.1 247.1 200.0 313.6 338.3 Apparel and upkeep ............................................................................. Apparel com m o dities......................................................................... Men’s and boys’ a p p a re l................................................................ W omen’s and girls' apparel ........................................................... Infants’ and toddlers’ a p p a re l........................................................ F ootw ear............................................................................................ Other apparel com m odities............................................................ Apparel se rvice s ................................................................................. 200.2 187.0 192.4 163.6 287.0 209.5 216.4 305.0 206.0 191.6 197.9 169.5 299.7 212.1 215.5 320.9 203.2 189.6 196.0 167.2 291.9 211.4 213.3 311.5 199.8 185.7 193.2 161.3 290.3 208.6 212.2 312.5 201.8 187.5 192.8 164.1 298.8 210.1 215.5 316.0 205.3 191.3 195.2 169.9 302.1 213.1 216.9 317.1 205.9 191.8 197.4 170.0 295.3 213.2 215.8 318.4 205.3 191.0 197.8 168.0 298.3 213.2 215.1 319.4 Transportation ........................................................................................ Private transportation......................................................................... New ve h icle s .................................................................................... New c a rs ......................................................................................... Used c a r s .......................................................................................... Motor fuel .......................................................................................... G a soline.......................................................................................... Maintenance and re p a ir.................................................................. Other private tran sportation........................................................... Other private transportation com m o dities................................ Other private transportation se rvice s........................................ Public tran sportation.......................................................................... 311.7 306.6 208.0 208.5 375.7 370.7 370.2 341.5 273.3 201.5 295.0 385.2 319.9 314.2 214.9 215.2 379.7 373.8 373.3 351.4 287.6 202.6 312.8 402.8 315.8 310.4 211.6 212.0 382.7 366.4 365.7 346.2 282.3 202.2 306.2 392.8 314.7 309.1 212.7 213.1 382.8 357.6 356.8 346.9 283.9 202.0 308.3 394.5 314.3 308.7 213.6 213.9 384.6 352.4 351.6 348.2 284.4 203.8 308.5 394.4 316.7 311.0 213.8 214.1 386.1 360.6 360.0 348.5 284.5 201.9 309.1 397.3 320.0 314.6 213.9 214.1 386.4 374.2 373.8 348.2 285.8 202.8 310.5 398.0 Medical c a r e ........................................................................................... Medical care com m o dities................................................................ Medical care se rvice s........................................................................ Professional se rv ic e s ...................................................................... Other medical care se rv ic e s .......................................................... 379.5 239.7 410.3 346.1 488.0 403.1 256.7 435.1 367.3 517.0 388.5 247.3 419.3 354.0 498.2 391.1 248.2 422.4 356.8 501.7 393.8 249.8 425.3 359.3 505.2 396.5 251.9 428.1 361.9 508.0 Entertainment ......................................................................................... Entertainment commodities .............................................................. Entertainment se rvice s...................................................................... 255.1 253.3 258.3 265.0 260.6 271.8 260.1 256.8 265.5 261.0 257.1 267.0 261.3 257.9 266.7 Other goods and services ................................................................... Tobacco products .............................................................................. Personal c a re ...................................................................................... Toilet goods and personal care appliances................................ Personal care services ................................................................... Personal and educational expenses............................................... School books and supp lie s............................................................ Personal and educational s e rv ic e s .............................................. 307.7 310.0 271.4 269.6 274.1 365.7 322.8 375.6 326.6 328.5 281.9 278.5 286.0 397.1 350.8 407.7 316.7 314.6 276.6 273.5 280.4 384.3 334.0 395.5 319.1 321.0 277.2 274.0 281.1 385.6 340.7 395.9 320.5 323.2 278.2 275.4 281.7 386.9 343.8 396.9 1984 1985 All items ..................................................................................................... All items (1 9 5 7 -5 9 -1 0 0 )........................................................................ 311.1 361.9 Food and beverages ............................................................................ F o o d ...................................................................................................... Food at home .................................................................................. Cereals and bakery p ro d u c ts ...................................................... Meats, poultry, fish, and e g g s ..................................................... Dairy p ro d u c ts ............................................................................... Fruits and vegetables................................................................... Other foods at h o m e .................................................................... Sugar and s w e e ts ...................................................................... Fats and o ils ............................................................................... Nonalcoholic beverages............................................................ Other prepared fo o d s ................................................................ Food away from home ................................................................... Alcoholic beverages........................................................................... Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 324.5 377.4 325.5 378.5 326.6 379.9 327.4 380.8 301.8 309.7 295.9 318.5 259.7 257.4 326.3 361.7 401.8 297.1 449.6 295.8 348.4 228.9 302.1 309.9 295.6 319.2 260.6 258.0 319.9 362.6 401.1 294.8 452.8 296.3 349.9 229.3 302.5 309.8 295.3 318.9 261.1 257.1 317.1 363.0 402.6 291.2 454.1 296.8 350.3 236.4 303.6 311.0 296.6 319.9 266.1 257.1 314.3 362.2 401.4 292.1 451.7 296.8 351.3 236.2 305.6 313.2 299.3 321.9 269.9 256.9 323.9 361.3 402.2 290.3 448.8 297.3 352.1 236.2 351.6 383.2 115.8 265.0 405.1 113.5 113.5 112.7 367.8 421.1 267.8 399.9 497.3 601.9 467.1 242.8 246.5 198.8 313.1 339.8 352.9 385.9 116.6 266.6 409.9 114.3 114.3 113.0 370.6 425.1 269.2 398.9 494.4 594.6 465.1 244.2 247.0 199.1 313.5 340.7 353.8 386.9 117.0 267.7 410.7 114.6 114.6 113.7 368.7 421.9 268.6 400.5 496.8 601.7 466.5 244.6 247.1 199.0 313.9 341.5 354.4 389.1 117.9 269.9 412.5 115.1 115.1 114.6 368.5 422.2 268.0 395.6 488.4 615.3 453.9 244.7 248.4 200.3 315.7 342.2 355.0 391.3 118.4 271.7 408.7 115.8 115.9 114.5 372.7 426.4 271.5 392.1 481.5 641.6 440.5 245.9 248.9 200.8 316.4 342.7 355.8 392.3 118.3 272.4 398.1 116.3 116.3 115.0 373.7 426.2 273.3 393.3 483.6 657.3 439.9 245.8 248.8 200.1 317.7 343.2 204.6 190.2 196.4 166.5 300.7 213.9 216.3 319.9 202.8 188.0 194.5 163.4 294.5 211.4 216.7 321.4 205.3 190.6 197.2 167.7 300.6 210.3 217.5 322.9 209.6 195.3 201.5 176.1 302.0 210.9 215.2 324.1 211.1 196.7 203.2 177.9 302.1 212.3 214.9 325.7 211.2 196.8 203.6 176.5 307.0 215.5 214.9 326.3 209.0 194.2 202.0 172.6 304.1 213.1 214.6 326.9 321.4 316.0 214.2 214.5 384.2 381.6 381.4 349.6 285.6 201.3 310.7 398.4 321.8 316.3 214.3 214.7 380.3 384.7 384.5 350.4 286.6 203.9 311.3 399.3 321.8 316.1 214.3 214.7 376.7 385.5 385.3 351.1 287.6 202.2 313.0 402.4 320.7 314.9 214.2 214.6 374.0 381.9 381.8 351.9 287.7 202.8 313.0 403.7 319.7 313.6 214.2 214.5 374.3 377.7 377.4 353.5 285.8 203.4 310.4 408.0 320.9 314.7 215.9 216.2 375.3 374.6 374.2 355.7 289.6 202.8 315.4 411.5 323.2 317.0 218.2 218.4 376.4 376.7 376.1 355.8 293.9 201.6 321.2 412.8 324.0 317.8 219.2 219.4 375.6 377.5 376.8 357.5 295.2 202.1 322.7 412.9 398.0 253.9 429.4 363.0 509.6 399.5 255.2 430.9 364.5 511.2 401.7 257.0 433.0 366.4 513.6 404.0 257.8 435.8 368.1 517.6 406.6 259.3 438.6 370.0 521.6 408.3 260.2 440.5 371.7 523.9 410.5 261.3 443.0 373.2 527.4 413.0 262.7 445.8 375.5 530.8 414.7 262.9 448.0 377.1 533.6 262.2 258.7 267.6 263.3 259.5 269.2 263.6 259.5 269.9 264.8 260.1 272.0 265.7 260.8 273.3 265.7 260.5 273.6 266.8 262.5 273.3 268.4 264.0 275.2 269.0 264.0 276.6 268.3 262.5 277.1 321.1 323.7 278.7 276.0 282.0 387.6 343.9 397.8 321.8 324.0 279.8 277.1 283.3 388.3 344.5 398.5 322.3 324.1 280.9 277.5 285.0 388.5 344.5 398.8 323.0 324.8 281.7 277.9 286.1 389.1 344.9 399.4 325.0 330.0 282.3 278.9 286.3 390.1 345.5 400.4 326.0 331.5 283.3 279.4 287.7 390.7 346.1 401.1 333.3 332.8 284.1 280.6 288.2 412.5 362.1 423.9 334.9 334.4 285.0 281.4 289.2 414.7 364.5 426.2 335.3 334.7 285.4 281.1 290.2 415.4 364.7 426.9 336.5 337.4 286.3 282.5 290.6 415.5 364.7 427.0 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR ALL URBAN CONSUMERS: See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data 30. Continued Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity service group; and CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers, All items (1967-100, unless otherwise indicated) Series All ite m s .............................................................. C om m odities..................................................... Food and beverages............................................ Commodities less food and beverages......................... Nondurables less food and beverages ....................... Apparel com m odities.................................................. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel ........... Durables................................................................ Annual average 1984 1985 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 311.1 280.7 295.1 322.2 286.7 302.0 315.5 282.8 297.2 316.1 282.7 299.3 317.4 284.0 301.4 318.8 285.3 301.6 320.1 286.8 301.6 321.3 287.0 301.0 322.3 286.9 301.4 322.8 286.5 301.6 323.5 286.5 301.8 _ _ Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 324.5 287.1 302.1 325.5 287.9 302.5 326.6 289.2 303 6 327.4 289.9 305 6 - - - _ _ 275.7 187.0 325.8 266.5 282.1 191.6 333.3 270.7 277.0 189.6 326.6 269.8 274.4 185.7 324.5 270.2 274.7 187.5 324.2 271.4 277.9 191.3 327.1 271.9 281.5 191.8 332.3 272.6 283.1 191.0 335.1 271.6 283.5 190.2 336.2 270.4 282.9 188.0 336.4 269.3 283.1 190.6 335.4 268.6 284.6 195.3 335.3 268.7 285.3 196.7 335.6 270.2 286.8 196.8 337.8 271.5 286.8 194 2 339.1 271.4 S e rvices......................................................... Rent of sh e lte r...................................... Household services less rent of shelter ........................................ Transportation s e rv ic e s .............................. Medical care se rvice s........................................... Other services ............................................. 363.0 107.7 108.1 321.1 410.3 296.0 381.5 113.9 111.2 337.0 435.1 314.1 370.6 110.3 108.5 330.1 419.3 306.1 372.1 110.6 108.9 331.8 422.4 307.1 373.5 111.3 108.9 332.2 425.3 307.8 375.0 111.5 109.7 333.2 428.1 308.6 376.2 112.0 109.8 334.1 429.4 309.9 378.9 113.2 110.9 334.5 430.9 310.7 381.3 113.6 112.7 335.3 433.0 312.0 383.3 114.3 113.2 337.0 435.8 313.0 384.9 115.1 113.2 337.4 438.6 313.8 386.5 115.4 113.5 337.1 440.5 319.7 387.7 116.1 112.1 341.1 443.0 321.4 388.7 116.7 110.8 344.7 445.8 322.5 389.5 117.0 110.8 346.1 448.0 322.9 Special indexes: All items less food ................................... All items less shelter ....................... All items less homeowners’ costs ................................................... All items less medical c a r e ............................ Commodities less fo o d ................................ Nondurables less food ................................ Nondurables less food and apparel ............................................... N o ndurables................................................ Services less rent of sh e lte r............................................................. Services less medical c a r e ............................................................... E nergy.............................................. All items less energy ...................................... All items less food and energy ................................. Commodities less food and e n e rg y .............. Energy commodities ............................... Services less ene rgy................................................... 311.3 295.1 106.3 307.3 267.0 270.8 311.9 286.6 108.5 355.6 423.6 302.9 301.2 253.1 409.8 356.4 323.3 303.9 109.7 317.7 272.5 277.2 319.2 293.2 113.5 373.3 426.5 314.8 314.4 259.7 409.9 375.9 316.2 298.6 107.6 311.5 269.2 272.2 312.8 288.3 110.6 363.0 418.9 308.2 307.3 256.7 404.1 365.0 316.3 298.9 107.8 311.9 267.8 269.7 310.9 288.0 111.1 364.3 414.5 309.2 307.9 256.5 395.7 366.4 317.4 300.0 108.2 313.1 268.6 270.2 310.8 289.2 111.3 365.5 411.4 310.9 309.5 258.1 391.3 368.0 319.1 301.5 108.7 314.5 270.6 273.2 313.5 291.0 111.9 366.9 416.6 312.0 310.8 259.3 398.3 369.4 320.8 302.8 109.2 315.8 272.8 276.5 318.1 292.7 112.2 368.1 424.4 312.7 311.8 260.0 410.8 370.7 322.4 303.4 109.5 317.0 273.4 278.0 320.7 293.3 112.8 370.9 431.7 313.3 312.8 259.6 417.0 372.9 323.6 304.3 109.8 317.9 273.1 278.4 321.7 293.7 113.7 373.3 436.8 313.9 313.4 259.0 418.7 374.6 324.2 304.4 109.9 318.4 272.4 277.9 321.9 293.5 114.2 375.2 437.1 314.5 314.1 258.2 418.1 376.6 325.0 304.6 110.1 318.9 272.3 278.1 321.1 293.7 114.5 376.7 433.8 315.6 315.3 258.8 414.0 378.6 326.2 305.7 110.4 319.9 273.1 279.6 321.0 294.6 115.0 378.3 432.6 316.8 316.9 260.2 411.2 380.2 327.4 306.3 110.7 320.8 274.4 280.7 322.0 295.1 115.1 379.3 427.1 318.4 318.9 262.0 410.1 382.5 328.5 307.2 111.1 321.9 275.7 282.0 324.0 296.4 115.2 380.1 425.1 319.8 320.4 262.7 415.2 384.8 328.9 307.9 111.3 322.6 275.7 282.0 325.1 297 4 115.4 380.8 426.5 320.5 320.7 262.2 417.9 385.8 32.1 27.6 31.0 26.7 31.7 27.2 31.6 27.2 31.5 27.1 31.4 27.0 31.2 26.9 31.1 26.8 31.0 26.7 31.0 26.6 30.9 26.6 30.8 26.5 30.7 26.4 30.6 26.3 30.5 26.3 307.6 357.7 318.5 370.4 312.2 363.1 312.6 363.6 313.9 365.1 315.3 366.7 316.7 368.3 317.8 369.6 318.7 370.6 319.1 371.2 319.6 371.8 320.5 372.7 321.3 373.7 322.6 375.1 323.4 376.1 Food and beverages .................................... F o o d .................................................................... Food at home ................................... Cereals and bakery pro d u c ts ...................................................... Meats, poultry, fish, and e g g s ..................................................... Dairy p ro d u cts ................................................ Fruits and vegetables.................................... Other foods at h o m e .............................. Sugar and sw e e ts ........................................ Fats and o ils ............................................... Nonalcoholic beverages.................. Other prepared fo o d s ......................... Food away from home .................................. Alcoholic beverages................................. 295.2 302.7 291.2 303.7 266.0 252.2 312.5 352.7 388.6 287.5 444.4 286.4 336.7 225.3 301.8 309.3 295.3 315.4 262.7 256.9 320.3 361.5 398.3 293.9 453.2 295.7 349.7 232.6 297.1 304.7 291.7 309.0 265.3 257.3 303.9 354.9 391.4 293.1 444.7 289.1 342.3 227.2 299.1 306.9 294.5 310.7 266.0 257.8 314.9 358.3 394.0 295.3 450.9 290.9 343.0 227.6 301.2 309.0 297.0 311.9 266.3 258.3 327.1 360.2 394.4 294.7 454.2 292.9 344.6 229.1 301.6 309.3 296.9 312.7 265.6 257.8 326.8 361.0 394.2 294.3 455.5 293.7 345.8 229.9 301.4 309.2 296.1 313.1 262.9 257.2 328.1 361.3 395.5 293.7 455.6 294.2 347.1 229.9 300.8 308.4 294.6 314.1 259.2 257.3 324.8 361.6 396.9 293.6 455.4 294.9 348.4 230.8 301.2 308.8 294.5 315.7 259.3 256.7 323.5 361.3 398.0 295.6 453.0 295.0 350.1 231.0 301.4 309.0 294.6 315.7 259.7 256.6 323.9 361.1 399.8 297.3 449.8 296.1 350.4 231.0 301.6 309.1 294.3 316.8 259.0 256.3 320.6 362.2 401.4 296.5 451.2 297.3 351.5 232.2 301.8 309.3 294.0 317.6 259.9 256.8 313.6 362.9 400.8 294.1 454.1 297.7 353.0 232.6 302.2 309.3 293.7 317.3 260.4 255.9 311.2 363.4 402.2 290.6 455.6 298.3 353.4 239.1 303.4 310.6 295.2 318.2 265.4 255.9 309.4 362.5 400.9 291.8 453.1 298.3 354.4 238.8 305.4 312.8 297 9 320.4 269.2 255.7 319.3 361.6 401.8 289.6 450.4 298 7 355 2 239.1 Housing .......................................... Shelter ................................................ Renters’ costs (12/84 = 1 0 0 ).......................... Rent, reside ntial.................................... Other renters’ costs .................................. Homeowners’ costs (1 2 /8 4 = 1 0 0 )............ Owners’ equivalent rent (12/84 = 100) ........... Household insurance (12/84 = 1 0 0 )................ Maintenance and re p a irs........................ Maintenance and repair services ............................................... Maintenance and repair com m odities....................................... Fuel and other u tilitie s .................................. 329.2 350.0 343.3 370.4 335.0 359.0 335.7 360.0 337.2 362.0 338.2 363.0 339.5 364.7 342.1 368.1 344.0 369.5 345.0 371.5 346.2 374.0 347.2 375.0 347.5 377.1 348.3 379.3 349.1 380.4 248.6 372.4 263.7 397.9 255.3 374.6 256.3 377.8 257.5 380.8 258.4 385.3 259.6 391.0 261.8 396.7 262.7 401.0 264.1 405.2 265.7 409.6 266.8 409.8 268.9 411.6 270.7 408.0 271.5 397.5 _ _ _ _ Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1 9 6 7 = $ 1 .0 0 ....................................... 1 9 5 7 -5 9 = 5 1 .0 0 .............................................. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR URBAN WAGE EARNERS AND CLERICAL WORKERS: All items .......................................................... All items (1957-59 = 1 0 0 ).......................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas ...................... Gas (piped) and electricity ............................... Other utilities and public se rv ic e s ................................................ Household furnishings and ope ratio ns........................................... Housefurnishings .............................. Housekeeping supp lie s.......................... Housekeeping services....................... Apparel and upkeep ............................................. See footnotes at end of table. Digitized for 88 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ _ _ _ _ 356.3 403.5 257.2 388.6 485.0 644.3 444.1 231.2 239.1 197.0 300.2 328.0 364.1 415.0 261.1 394.7 487.5 622.0 451.6 241.6 243.4 197.6 310.7 340.2 359.8 407.7 259.3 387.1 479.7 628.4 441.0 235.0 240.5 197.3 304.6 331.1 360.9 407.8 260.8 388.3 480.7 623.9 443.2 236.3 240.4 196.3 306.9 331.8 361.5 408.8 261.1 387.5 480.3 625.7 442.3 235.1 242.6 198.3 308.5 334.9 364.3 414.8 261.6 389.2 481.6 623.1 444.4 237.2 243.2 198.2 308.9 338.5 363.1 411.7 261.6 389.7 482.3 625.9 444.6 237.3 244.1 199.2 309.8 339.0 361.8 410.1 260.7 393.8 488.9 623.2 453.0 237.7 244.0 198.9 310.0 339.2 362.9 417.0 258.4 400.9 497.7 614.3 465.1 242.0 243.3 197.6 310.8 339.5 363.4 415.3 260.0 401.2 497.0 604.2 466.3 243.7 242.6 196.2 310.3 341.0 365.6 419.6 260.6 400.1 494.0 596.9 464.2 245.1 243.1 196.6 310.4 342.2 364.4 416.8 260.5 401.9 496.7 604.3 465.9 245.6 243.2 196.5 311.0 342.9 364.6 417.4 260.5 396.3 487.2 618.1 452.0 245.7 244.5 197.7 312.7 343.9 367.7 420.9 262.7 393.2 481.0 644.3 439.5 246 8 245.1 198.3 313.5 344.5 368 5 420 1 264.2 394.3 483.1 659.9 438 8 246 7 245.2 197.8 315.0 345.0 199.1 205.0 202.1 198.5 200.7 204.2 204.9 204.2 203.7 201.8 204.3 208.7 210.2 210.2 208.1 30. Continued— Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, by expenditure category and commodity service group; and CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers, All items (1967-100, unless otherwise indicated) Series 1985 1984 Ann jal avereige Oct. Nov. Dec. 195.1 201.8 178.2 314.9 211.0 202.5 321.6 196.6 203.5 180.0 314.8 212.6 202.4 323.2 196.5 203.7 178.3 320.7 215.9 202.5 323.6 194.1 202.2 174.5 317.3 213.6 202.4 324.4 322.3 318.0 213.5 213.9 374.0 383.8 383.7 352.9 287.6 204.9 312.1 393.5 321.1 316.6 213.5 213.8 374.3 379.5 379.2 354.5 285.2 205.6 308.9 396.8 322.2 317.6 215.3 215.5 375.3 376.3 375.8 356.9 289.2 205.0 314.1 399.3 324.6 320.1 217.5 217.8 376.4 378.7 378.1 357.2 293.7 203.7 320.2 400.1 325.3 320.8 218.6 218.8 375.6 379.6 378.9 359.0 294.7 204.3 321.3 400.2 402.0 257.4 433.3 368.5 514.4 404.5 259.0 436.1 370.4 518.4 406.3 259.8 438.1 372.1 520.7 408.5 260.9 440.6 373.7 524.4 410.9 262.2 443.2 375.8 527.5 412.6 262.3 445.4 377.6 530.4 260.1 253.9 272.0 260.9 254.5 273.2 260.8 254.3 273.3 261.6 256.0 272.6 263.0 257.1 274.6 263.7 257.2 276.3 263.0 255.7 276.8 318.8 323.6 278.6 277.8 279.7 390.9 349.5 401.2 319.5 324.4 279.2 278.2 280.7 391.6 349.9 401.9 321.8 329.7 279.9 279.2 280.9 392.5 350.6 402.9 322.9 331.1 280.9 280.0 282.2 393.2 351.2 403.6 328.7 332.4 281.8 281.1 282.8 414.5 366.9 426.1 330.1 334.0 282.7 282.0 283.7 416.5 369.2 428.1 330.5 334.3 283.1 281.9 284.8 417.3 369.3 428.9 331.9 337.1 284.0 283.3 285.2 417.4 369.4 429.1 316.7 286.7 301.4 276.3 283.2 191.5 333.1 267.3 317.8 286.8 300.8 277.5 284.9 190.7 336.0 266.3 318.7 286.8 301.2 277.7 285.4 190.0 337.2 265.1 319.1 286.4 301.4 285.0 187.8 337.6 263.8 319.6 286.3 301.6 285.1 190.4 336.6 263.1 320.5 286.8 301.8 321.3 287.6 302.2 322.6 288.9 303.4 286.5 195.1 336.4 263.1 287.0 196.6 336.5 264.5 288.5 196.5 338.8 265.7 323.4 289.7 305.4 “ 288.7 194.1 340.1 265.7 371.0 - 372.2 374.9 377.4 379.2 - 380.7 382.0 383.0 384.2 385.1 “ 339.3 443.2 317.8 340.5 445.4 318.3 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 191.3 198.2 171.3 311.7 212.5 203.1 318.5 189.2 196.8 168.6 302.9 211.7 201.0 309.3 185.1 193.6 162.1 299.7 209.5 199.9 310.2 187.2 193.1 165.8 310.1 210.8 203.0 313.6 190.9 195.7 171.5 314.5 213.4 204.2 314.7 191.5 197.8 172.0 306.4 213.3 203.3 316.1 190.7 198.2 169.7 310.6 213.3 202.7 317.0 190.0 196.6 168.4 313.5 214.1 204.0 317.6 187.8 194.8 165.5 306.4 211.6 204.5 319.0 190.4 197.3 169.9 311.2 210.5 205.2 320.5 Gasoline................................................................................. Maintenance and repair............................................................ Other private transportation..................................................... Other private transportation commodities............................. Other private transportation services..................................... Public transportation............ ....................................................... 313.9 310.1 207.3 207.9 375.7 372.2 371.8 342.2 274.2 203.9 295.4 376.8 321.6 317.4 214.2 214.5 379.7 375.4 375.0 352.6 287.7 204.7 312.3 391.7 317.9 313.9 210.8 211.3 382.6 367.8 367.1 347.1 283.3 204.7 306.7 382.8 316.7 312.6 212.0 212.4 382.8 359.0 358.2 347.9 284.7 204.2 308.6 384.2 316.3 312.2 212.8 213.1 384.6 354.0 353.2 349.2 285.2 206.1 308.7 384.2 318.7 314.6 213.2 213.4 386.2 362.2 361.6 349.6 285.1 204.2 309.2 386.7 322.0 318.0 213.2 213.4 386.4 375.7 375.3 349.3 286.3 205.1 310.4 387.4 323.3 319.4 213.5 213.8 384.2 383.0 382.7 350.6 285.9 203.5 310.4 387.6 323.6 319.6 213.6 214.0 380.3 386.2 386.0 351.5 286.9 205.9 310.9 388.4 323.5 319.3 213.6 214.0 376.7 387.2 387.0 352.2 287.7 204.3 312.4 392.1 Medical c a re ................................................................................... Medical care commodities.......................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Professional services................................................................ Other medical care services..................................................... 377.7 239.7 407.9 346.5 484.7 401.2 256.3 432.7 367.7 513.9 386.7 247.2 417.0 354.4 495.3 389.3 248.0 420.1 357.2 498.8 392.0 249.6 423.1 359.7 502.3 394.6 251.5 425.7 362.4 505.0 396.1 253.5 427.1 363.6 506.6 397.7 254.8 428.7 365.0 508.2 399.8 256.7 430.7 366.8 510.5 Entertainment................................................................................. Entertainment commodities ........................................................ Entertainment services................................................................ 251.2 247.7 258.5 260.1 254.2 271.6 255.8 250.9 265.6 256.6 251.1 267.4 256.9 251.9 266.8 257.3 252.2 267.4 258.6 253.2 269.2 258.9 253.1 270.0 Other goods and services ............................................................. Tobacco products........................................................ ............... Personal care............................................................................... Toilet goods and personal care appliances............................. Personal care services............................................................. Personal and educational expenses........................................... School books and supplies...................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................... 304.9 309.7 269.4 270.3 268.8 368.2 327.5 378.2 322.7 328.1 279.6 279.0 280.5 399.3 355.7 410.1 312.8 314.2 274.4 274.2 275.0 386.4 338.9 397.8 315.6 320.8 274.9 274.6 275.7 387.9 345.5 398.3 317.1 323.0 275.9 275.9 276.3 389.3 348.7 399.4 317.6 323.4 276.3 276.5 276.5 390.1 348.8 400.3 318.3 323.6 277.5 277.5 278.0 390.7 349.4 401.0 All ite m s............................................................................................ Commodities.................................................................................. Food and beverages................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages...................................... Nondurables less food and beverages .................................... Apparel commodities.............................................................. Nondurables less food, beverages, and apparel .................. Durables.................................................................................... 307.6 280.4 295.2 269.3 277.5 186.6 327.0 261.1 318.5 286.5 301.8 283.8 191.3 334.2 265.2 312.2 282.7 297.1 271.8 278.7 189.2 327.5 264.6 312.6 282.5 299.1 270.7 275.8 185.1 325.2 264.9 313.9 283.8 301.2 271.4 276.2 187.2 324.7 266.2 315.3 285.2 301.6 273.6 279.4 190.9 327.8 266.7 Services.......................................................................................... Rent of shelter (12/84 —100)..................................................... Household services less rent of shelter (12/84—100).............. Transportation services............................................................... Medical care services.................................................................. Other services ............................................................................. 358.0 377.3 - 366.8 - 368.3 369.6 Apparel commodities.................................................................. Men's and boys’ apparel.......................................................... Women's and girls' apparel ..................................................... Infants' and toddlers’ apparel................................................... Other apparel commodities...................................................... Apparel services.......................................................................... Transportation ................................................................................ Private transportation................................................................... New ca rs................................................................................ Special indexes: All items less food ...................................................................... Nondurables less food and apparel .......................................... All items less food and energy .................................................. Commodities less food and energy........................................... Purchasing power of the consumer dollar: 1967 —$1 00 ......................................................................... 1957-59-$1.00.......................................................................... 1984 1985 186.6 192.9 165.0 297.6 210.0 204.5 302.9 - - Sept. - - - - 317.2 407.9 292.9 332.2 432.7 310.1 326.1 417.0 302.3 327.7 420.1 303.5 328.1 423.1 304.2 328.8 425.7 304.9 329.6 427.1 306.2 329.9 428.7 307.2 330.6 430.7 308.4 332.2 433.3 309.3 332.4 436.1 310.1 331.4 438.1 315.0 335.5 440.6 316.7 307.5 295.1 319.4 303.4 312.7 298.3 312.7 298.6 313.7 299.7 315.4 301 1 317.2 302.4 312.6 273.3 278.2 319.1 293A _ 362.8 364.1 416.0 424.2 307.4 308.1 305.5 306.4 256.6 257.2 399.C 411.6 364.S 366.2 318.7 303.0 _ 313.7 273.8 279.8 321.8 294.C _ 366.8 431.3 308.6 307.3 256.8 418.C 368.4 319.8 303.9 _ 314.6 273.6 280.4 322.9 294.^ _ 369.3 436.9 309.1 307.8 256.2 419.{ 369.9 320.3 304.0 _ 314.9 272.8 280.0 323.2 294.3 _ 371.1 437.2 309.5 308.3 255.3 419.8 371.S 320.9 304.C _ 315.3 272.7 280.2 322.4 294.5 322.9 305.4 _ 316.9 274.5 282.4 323.1 295.7 - - - 372.5 433.9 310.4 309.4 255.8 415.7 373.7 321.9 304. £ _■ 316.1 273.4 281.5 322.3 295.2 373.6 432.5 311.5 310.7 257.2 412.6 374.9 374.5 426.6 313.0 312.7 258.8 411.2 377.3 375.5 425.4 314.5 314.2 259.5 416.3 379.8 376.2 426.8 315.3 314.6 259.2 418.9 380.8 31.6 27.2 31.E 27.1 31.27.C 31.C 26.£ 31.3 26.£ 31.2 26.6 31.' 26.6 31 .C 26.7 30.9 26.6 _ 304.0 267.1 272.6 313.2 287.4 314.3 272.8 279.0 320.3 293.9 308.4 269.6 273.9 313.8 289.0 308.7 268.2 271.2 311.8 288.6 309.9 269.0 271.7 311.5 289.8 350.5 423.3 298.3 295.8 250.5 410.5 350.8 369.0 426.3 309.9 308.7 256.8 410.9 371.1 359.2 418.5 303.8 302.1 254.C 404.7 360.7 360.4 413.8 304.7 302.7 253.8 396.2 362.C 361.6 410.6 306.4 304.3 255.5 391.8 363.6 32.5 28.C 31.27.C 32.C 27.£ 32.C 27.£ 31.£ 27.4 _ _ _ _ _ _ 311.3 271.0 274.7 314.4 291.6 _ 31.7 27.C - 324.2 306.4 - 318.1 275.9 283.8 325.0 297.1 324.6 307.2 318.9 275.9 283.9 326.3 298.2 - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 31. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all items (1967=100, unless otherwise indicated) All Urban Consumers Area’ sche dule2 Other index base 1984 Urban Wage Earners 1985 1984 1985 Dec. Jan. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan. Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. - 315.5 316.1 323.5 324.5 325.5 326.6 327.4 312.2 312.6 319.6 320.5 321.3 322.6 323.4 M M - 314.0 309.1 315.1 310.9 325.9 318.0 326.3 320.5 322.6 319.7 324.2 323.1 325.9 323.1 301.7 300.0 302.5 301.2 312.1 308.3 312.1 310.3 308.9 309.7 310.9 313.2 312.6 313.1 M . 311.1 313.0 323.9 323.8 326.1 325.0 326.1 306.5 308.1 318.0 317.7 320.0 319.1 320.1 M M _ - 308.0 305.1 308.4 306.3 315.7 315.8 316.9 316.5 317.4 317.4 319.9 318.8 320.8 319.7 301.6 307.9 302.0 309.4 308.5 318.5 309.3 319.1 309.9 320.3 312.5 321.5 313.5 322.5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10/67 11/77 - - - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - - 280.1 326.3 323.0 326.2 354.1 174.9 353.2 309.6 307.3 318.5 341.9 310.8 330.5 _ _ - 277.3 326.3 319.3 322.8 353.3 174.5 351.4 306.3 305.4 318.5 340.3 308.9 327.4 _ _ - 271.7 315.1 307.8 318.9 346.2 169.8 343.4 301.0 297.4 310.4 329.1 306.7 317.7 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 286.9 327.3 325.4 333.4 359.4 173.9 333.9 310.6 317.1 321.6 379.0 324.0 326.9 _ _ _ _ - 284.5 327.5 321.3 329.8 358.0 173.5 332.4 306.8 314.9 321.6 377.3 321.8 323.6 _ - - 278.3 315.2 309.4 325.1 350.6 168.6 324.6 301.5 306.8 313.3 364.1 319.5 314.6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ - 318.2 303.4 339.7 330.7 289.8 333.4 313.7 _ - 331.4 306.5 348.1 343.4 294.2 338.2 321.1 _ - 333.0 309.3 348.6 343.9 295.6 337.6 323.1 _ _ 335.3 309.8 348.8 344.5 298.5 336.8 321.8 316.0 289.8 318.6 325.0 297.6 330.9 304.0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 329.3 292.9 327.0 337.0 301.3 335.3 311.2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 330.0 295.3 327.0 337.5 302.7 335.0 312.9 2 2 2 _ 338.8 325.9 335.8 - 340.4 331.5 336.4 323.8 304.6 321.5 _ - 334.4 308.0 330.8 _ - 340.6 328.4 336.7 _ - 327.9 322.1 325.8 _ - - 336.0 309.9 331.0 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 166.9 170.4 170.8 170.2 _ - 174.3 176.0 176.3 177.2 165.1 167.4 170.7 168.6 - A-1 ........................................... A-2 ........................................... B ............................................... C .............................................. D .............................................. 2 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 167.0 172.5 170.8 168.7 169.3 174.2 178.4 177.2 174.9 174.7 163.4 169.9 168.6 169.3 171.0 _ - Region/population size class cross classification3 Class A: Northeast ............................. North C e n tra l....................... South .................................... W e s t...................................... 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 11/77 164.3 173.2 170.3 172.1 171.2 179.4 176.5 179.3 161.2 168.6 170.6 168.4 Class B: Northeast ............................. North C e n tra l....................... South .................................... W e s t...................................... 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 169.9 169.2 172.0 170.9 176.7 174.2 178.0 178.4 167.1 165.9 169.0 171.7 U.S. city a v e ra g e ..................... Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind............................................... Detroit, Mich............................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif........................... New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J............................................... Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J................. Anchorage, Alaska (10/67 = 100) ........................ Baltimore, Md............................. Boston, Mass............................. Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind............ Denver-Boulder, Colo............... Miami, Fla. (11/77 = 1 0 0 )..... Milwaukee, W is.......................... Northeast, Pa............................. Portland, Oreg.-Wash............... St. Louis, Mo.-Ill......................... San Diego, Calif......................... Seattle-Everette, Wash............. Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va......... Alanta, Ga................................... Buffalo, N.Y................................ Cleveland, Ohio ........................ Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex................ Honolulu, H a w aii....................... Houston, Tex.............................. Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas ....... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis................................... Pittsburgh, Pa............................. San Francisco-Oakland, Calif. - - Dec. Sept. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 332.6 295.9 327.5 338.3 305.8 334.1 311.7 336.0 312.8 331.3 Region3 N o rth e a st................................ North C e n tra l.......................... S o u th ....................................... West ........................................ - 171.0 174.3 174.5 175.9 _ - 172.5 174.9 175.7 176.9 _ - - 169.0 171.0 174.3 173.9 _ _ 168.3 173.7 172.4 173.0 173.8 _ _ _ 165.0 173.3 174.9 173.8 _ - - 170.3 171.4 175.3 174.8 _ _ 168.7 174.6 173.6 174.1 174.9 _ _ _ 166.1 173.1 175.7 174.6 _ _ - 172.1 172.6 176.0 175.2 Population size class3 See footnotes at end of table. 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - - - ” 172.3 176.6 174.9 172.5 172.3 168.5 178.3 174.8 178.0 173.3 171.5 176.0 176.9 - - - - - 172.9 177.6 176.3 173.8 173.8 - 169.6 178.2 175.6 179.1 - 174.9 173.4 177.4 177.9 - _ - ~ - _ - _ _ _ - 170.4 168.0 172.7 177.5 - _ _ _ - 171.8 169.5 173.9 178.4 - _ _ _ - 170.2 175.4 174.6 175.3 176.0 167.7 174.5 176.5 175.0 173.5 170.5 174.7 178.9 31. Continued— Consumer Price Index: U.S. city average and available local area data: all Items (1967 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Urban Wage Earners All Urban Consumers Pricing sche dule2 Area' Other index base Dec. Jan. Class C: ................................. 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 174.4 166.4 170.2 162.9 W est .................................... 2 2 2 2 12/77 12/77 12/77 12/77 169.7 167.6 170.4 170.1 W est _ _ Class D: _ _ _ Aug. 178.9 169.1 173.5 168.9 173.7 170.7 172.8 173.3 Sept. - - 1 Area is generally the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA), exclusive of farms. L.A.-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif, is a combination of two SMSA’s, and N.Y., N.Y.-Northeastern N.J. and Chicago, IIINorthwestern Ind. are the more extensive Standard Consolidated Areas. Area definitions are those established by the Office of Management and Budget in 1973, except for Denver-Boulder, Colo, which does not include Douglas County. Definitions do not include revisions made since 1973. 2 Foods, fuels, and several other items priced every month in all areas; most other goods and services priced as Indicated:. M - Every month. 1 - January, March, May, July, September, and November. 2 - February, April, June, August, October, and December. 3 Regions are defined as the four Census regions. The population size classes are aggregations of areas which have urban population as defined: A-1 - More than 4,000,000. 19 35 1984 1985 1984 181.7 170.1 174.3 169.7 175.6 171.6 174.8 174.5 - - - Jan. Dec. Nov. Oct. 184.1 171.5 175.3 169.1 179.2 163.5 171.9 161.9 178.1 172.6 174.5 176.2 169.9 169.9 172.2 171.6 - - - Sept. Aug. 183.8 166.0 175.1 167.7 173.6 172.7 174.5 174.8 - - Oct. 186.5 166.9 175.7 168.3 175.3 173.1 176.2 176.0 Nov. “ “ “ “ “ Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All items: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent ch a n g e ....................................................................... Food and beverages: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent ch a n g e ....................................................................... Housing In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent chan ge....................................................................... Apparel and upkeep: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent ch an ge....................................................................... Transportation: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent chan ge....................................................................... Medical care: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent ch a n g e ....................................................................... Entertainment: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent chan ge ....................................................................... Other goods and services: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent ch a n g e ....................................................................... Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical workers All items: In d e x.......................................................................................... Percent chan ge....................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1977 1978 188.8 168.2 176.7 167.8 177.7 174.2 176.1 177.7 A-2 - 1,250,000 to 4,000,000. B - 385,000 to 1,250,000 C - 75,000 to 385,000. D - Less than 75,000. Population size class A is the aggregation of population size classes A-1 and A-2. - Data not available. NOTE: Local area CPI indexes are by-products of the national CPI program. Because each local index is a small subset of the national index, it has a smaller sample size and is, therefore, subject to substantially more sampling and other measurement error than the national index. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the national index, although their long-term trends are quite similar. Therefore, the Bureau of Labor Statistics strongly urges users to consider adopting the national average CPI for use in escalator clauses. 32. Annual data: Consumer Price Index All Items Series Dec. 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 181.5 6.5 195.4 7.7 217.4 11.3 246.8 13.5 272.4 10.4 289.1 6.1 298.4 3.2 311.1 4.3 322.2 3.6 188.0 6.0 206.3 9.7 228.5 10.8 248.0 8.5 267.3 7.8 278.2 4.1 284.4 2.2 295.1 3.8 302.0 2.3 186.5 6.8 202.8 8.7 227.6 12.2 263.3 15.7 293.5 11.5 314.7 7.2 323.1 2.7 336.5 4.1 349.9 4.0 154.2 4.5 159.6 3.5 166.6 4.4 178.4 7.1 186.9 4.8 191.8 2.6 196.5 2.5 200.2 1.9 206.0 2.9 177.2 7.1 185.5 4.7 212.0 14.3 249.7 17.8 280.0 12.1 291.5 4.1 298.4 2.4 311.7 4.5 319.9 2.6 202.4 9.6 219.4 8.4 239.7 9.3 265.9 10.9 294.5 10.8 328.7 11.6 357.3 8.7 379.5 6.2 403.1 6.2 167.7 4.9 176.6 5.3 188.5 6.7 205.3 8.9 221.4 7.8 235.8 6.5 246.0 4.3 255.1 3.7 265.0 3.9 172.2 5.8 183.3 6.4 196.7 7.3 214.5 9.0 235.7 9.9 259.9 10.3 288.3 10.9 307.7 6.7 326.6 6.1 181.5 6.5 195.3 7.6 217.7 11.5 247.0 13.5 272.3 10.2 288.6 6.0 297.4 3.0 307.6 3.4 318.5 3.5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 33. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Price Data Producer Price indexes, by stage of processing (1967 = 100 ) 1985 Annual average Finished goods .......................................... Finished consumer goods ........................... Finished consumer fo o d s .......................... Finished consumer goods excluding foods ........................................................... Nondurable goods less food ................. Durable goods ......................................... Capital equ ipm ent......................................... Intermediate materials, supplies, and components............................................... Materials and components for manufacturing .............................................. Materials for food m anufacturing............ Materials for nondurable manufacturing . Materials for durable m anufacturing....... Components for m anufacturing............... Materials and components for construction.................................................. Processed fuels and lu bricants.................. Containers....................................................... S u pplies........................................................... Crude materials for further processing ... Foodstuffs and feedstuffs .......................... Oct. Nov. Dec. 290.2 288.5 266.5 294.8 292.4 268.7 296.7 294.7 272.0 297.2 295.4 274.4 297.8 340.0 241.8 301.0 294.7 340.3 234.4 296.4 299.4 340.2 244.9 303.7 301.1 343.3 245.0 303.8 301.1 343.7 244.4 303.5 318.6 317.9 317.9 317.8 318.1 318.8 300.3 262.0 286.4 322.3 291.3 299.8 260.3 285.8 320.9 291.6 299.1 253.0 285.8 320.3 291.9 298.3 250.2 284.8 319.2 292.0 298.0 252.3 283.6 318.6 292.2 297.6 253.6 282.6 317.4 292.4 297.6 253.0 282.5 317.6 292.4 315.9 558.0 311.7 283.4 317.3 549.1 312.0 283.3 316.9 544.0 311.4 283.6 316.5 539.8 310.3 284.1 315.5 546.3 309.9 284.3 315.4 544.9 310.4 285.0 315.1 550.7 309.8 285.8 315.4 557.3 310.7 285.9 311.0 239.9 360 2 309.1 236.3 357 7 305.6 233.7 354.0 303.9 231.6 353.5 295.3 221.0 351.2 292.4 215.9 352.5 298.0 224.5 353.3 305.6 236.7 352.3 304.7 236.8 351.1 297.8 714.9 268.8 260.9 267.7 300.1 746.1 268.4 260.3 268.2 300.2 741.4 268.4 260.3 268.6 300.5 733.8 269.7 261.9 269.4 299.5 719.9 269.0 260.9 269.4 296.0 718.9 265.7 257.9 265.6 301.4 716.1 270.6 262.2 271.6 302.7 732.9 271.7 263.5 271.8 302.5 736.1 272.1 264.1 271.4 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 292.1 290.6 273.7 292.6 290.7 275.6 292.1 290.1 273.7 293.1 291.2 272.2 294.1 292.4 269.5 294.0 292.2 268.7 294.8 293.1 271.2 293.5 291.4 268.7 - 294.3 334.9 240.2 297.4 293.5 332.7 240.9 299.2 293.6 333.4 240.4 299.3 295.9 337.4 240.7 299.9 299.0 342.4 241.4 300.3 299.0 342.1 241.9 300.5 299.2 342.4 241.9 300.8 320.0 - 319.5 318.7 318.6 319.3 319.9 319.3 301.8 271.1 290.5 325.1 287.5 - 300.6 265.2 288.9 320.6 290.4 300.5 265.3 288.0 320.7 290.8 300.0 263.9 287.3 319.9 291.0 300.6 263.9 287.1 322.1 291.1 300.5 261.9 286.7 323.0 291.1 313.4 556.3 311.1 283.9 313.3 546.3 311.8 283.8 313.5 547.9 313.1 283.8 314.0 552.3 312.4 283.7 318.9 250.7 361.9 318.1 250.0 358.2 312.3 242.9 358.4 295.9 692.0 269.3 261.8 267.2 296.0 693.2 268.8 261.1 267.2 1984 291.1 290.3 273.3 294.1 337.3 236.8 294.0 310.3 566.2 302.3 283.4 330.8 259.5 380.5 1985 _ - - - - - - _ - Sept. Special groupings Finished goods, excluding fo o d s .................. Finished energy goods ................................... Finished goods less energy ........................... Finished consumer goods less e n e rg y ........ Finished goods less food and energy ......... Finished consumer goods less food and e n e rg y ............................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and e n e rg y ............................................................... - - 296.0 711.7 267.9 260.5 266.0 245.9 - 249.6 250.5 250.5 251.1 251.5 252.0 252.9 252.9 249.5 254.9 255.1 254.7 - 242.8 243.9 244.4 245.0 245.2 245.6 247.4 247.3 247.8 248.2 248.6 248.5 - 325.4 240.7 535.7 304.2 324.5 239.2 526.0 304.2 324.7 236.7 527.5 304.0 325.5 235.4 531.5 304.3 326.4 232.6 536.7 304.5 325.7 232.2 528.6 304.6 325.0 231.7 523.8 304.3 324.5 227.1 519.8 303.9 324.6 225.5 526.0 303.3 324.3 228.5 524.4 303.3 324.5 231.0 529.5 303.2 325.2 231.7 536.3 303.3 - 305.1 305.3 305.2 305.6 305.9 306.0 305.6 305.5 304.9 304.6 304.2 304.2 757.5 246.2 254.4 754.1 245.9 255.3 746.4 240.4 255.4 749.1 238.6 257.3 760.7 234.8 252.3 754.5 231.7 247.4 752.6 230.1 247.2 742.9 221.8 245.8 745.4 218.3 246.9 743.4 224.8 247.2 742.9 233.4 244.9 739.5 232.9 242.6 239.0 Intermediate materials less food and feeds Intermediate foods and fe e d s ........................ Intermediate energy goods ............................ Intermediate goods less energy ................... Intermediate materials less food and e n e rg y ............................................................... 325.0 253.1 545.0 303.8 Crude energy m aterials................................... 785.2 255.5 266.1 Crude nonfood materials less e n e rg y.......... 1 Crude nonfood materials except fuel. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 294.8 750.3 265.1 257.8 262.3 303.6 _ - _ - - Data not available. 34. Producer Price indexes, by durability of product (1967 = 100) Annual average 1985 Grouping 1984 1985 Total durable goods ........................................ Total nondurable g o o d s .................................. 293.6 323.3 Total m anufactures.......................................... D u ra b le ............................................................ Nondurable .................................................... 302.9 293.9 312.3 - Total raw or slightly processed goods ........ D u ra b le ............................................................ Nondurable .................................................... 346.6 266.7 351.4 - - - “ _ “ _ “ Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 295.6 320.1 296.4 319.0 296.3 317.7 297.1 318.4 297.6 318.9 297.8 317.5 297.8 317.3 297.8 314.1 295.3 313.4 298.8 314.6 298.7 317.9 298.5 318.7 303.7 296.2 311.4 303.4 297.0 309.9 303.3 296.9 309.9 304.2 297.6 310.8 305.2 298.4 312.1 304.8 298.7 311.0 304.6 298.7 310.6 303.8 298.6 309.0 302.3 296.1 308.7 304.6 299.7 309.4 305.4 299.6 311.3 305.7 299.5 312.0 336.7 256.0 341.5 336.8 259.2 341.4 332.2 261.2 336.4 332.1 262.1 336.2 329.8 255.4 334.3 327.3 247.3 332.1 327.5 247.6 332.3 320.2 249.7 324.4 318.5 249.7 322.5 320.9 248.8 325.2 327.7 245.9 332.7 328.8 243.8 334.0 Data not available. 35. Annual data: Producer Price indexes, by stage of processing (1967 = 100) Index 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 170.6 169.7 173.4 181.7 180.7 184.6 195.9 194.9 199.2 217.7 217.9 216.5 247.0 248.9 239.8 269.8 271.3 264.3 280.7 281.0 279.4 285.2 284.6 287.2 291.1 290.3 294.0 189.1 185.4 188.4 250.1 180.2 179.0 201.5 195.4 203.4 282.5 188.3 188.7 215.6 208.7 224.7 295.3 202.8 198.5 243.2 234.4 247.4 364.8 226.8 218.2 280.3 265.7 268.3 503.0 254.5 244.5 306.0 286.1 287.6 595.4 276.1 263.8 310.4 289.8 293.7 591.7 285.6 272.1 312.3 293.4 301.8 564.8 286.6 277.1 320.0 301.8 310.3 566.2 302.3 283.4 202.7 190.2 206.7 305.3 209.2 192.1 212.2 372.1 234.4 216.2 233.1 426.8 274.3 247.9 284.5 507.6 304.6 259.2 346.1 615.0 329.0 257.4 413.7 751.2 319.5 247.8 376.8 886.1 323.6 252.2 372.2 931.5 330.8 259.5 380.5 931.3 Finished goods: Total ........................................................................... Consumer g o o d s .................................................... Capital equipment .................................................. Intermediate materials, supplies, and components: Total ........................................................................... Materials and components for manufacturing .... Materials and components for construction ...... Processed fuels and lu bric a n ts ............................ C o nta iners................................................................ S u pplies.................................................................... Crude materials for further processing: T o t a l........................................................................... Foodstuffs and fe e d s tu ffs ..................................... Nonfood materials except fuel ............................. F u e l........................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 36. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: P rice data U.S. export price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (June 1977 = 100, unless otherwise indicated) Category 1974 SITO ALL COMMODITIES (9 /8 3 -1 0 0 )................................... Food (3/83 - 100) ................................................ Meat ( 3 /8 3 - 1 0 0 )................................................................. Fish ( 3 /8 3 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................. Grain and grain preparations (3/80 = 100) .......................................... Vegetables and fruii (3/83 = 100) ................................................................... Feed stuffs for animals (3 /8 3 -1 0 0 ) .............................................................. Misc. food products ( 3 /8 3 - 1 0 0 ) .................................................................... Beverages and tobacco (6 /8 3 -1 0 0 )....................................................... Beverages (9/83 = 1 0 0 ).................................................................................... Tobacco and tobacco products (6/83 = 1 0 0 )............................................... Crude materials (6/83-100) .................................................................... 1983 1984 1985 Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. _ _ 0 01 03 04 05 08 09 100.0 100.0 100.0 96.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.1 100.5 96.5 103.5 105.8 100.6 101.1 100.0 113.1 100.8 97.7 111.5 114.8 121.4 102.8 99.5 108.8 101.2 100.4 105.6 116.1 117.4 101.7 100.2 106.2 108.9 99.8 102.7 116.2 106.9 104.9 101.5 109.6 108.7 98.7 107.4 126.8 98.8 110.6 99.3 103.5 105.6 98.0 101.2 125.5 83.5 109.5 98.1 96.5 104.4 98.7 92.9 114.6 82.4 108.4 97.5 95.8 103.9 101.0 92.4 119.4 72.8 110.6 97.5 94.0 104.7 103.6 90.3 120.1 68.6 109.2 96.5 90.2 106.1 102.6 82.6 126.8 75.7 107.6 1 11 12 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.5 103.3 101.4 101.6 102.3 101.6 101.9 102.9 101.8 102.8 103.3 102.7 101.3 103.7 101.1 99.9 104.0 99.5 100.1 105.3 99.6 99.7 101.8 99.5 _ 114.6 129.2 105.6 100.0 128.7 103.5 117.3 144.8 100.0 112.2 135.2 96.8 102.2 129.8 106.0 123.1 144.8 96.7 112.5 145.6 93.9 103.3 131.1 112.5 120.5 146.6 100.2 118.3 154.7 104.3 106.0 129.4 122.1 125.6 147.7 98.5 105.2 153.7 79.9 104.1 123.8 120.8 109.4 163.0 93.2 101.4 133.6 74.8 104.0 125.4 114.2 106.7 163.2 92.4 97.5 121.0 71.0 106.4 128.7 100.5 102.4 165.6 89.2 96.8 126.2 71.2 106.3 125.7 96.1 105.8 167.9 82.0 93.3 129.0 64.2 107.1 124.5 93.8 103.6 169.4 80.1 _ 100.0 Raw hides and skins (6/80 = 100) .................................................................. Oilseeds and oleaginous fruit (9 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................... Crude rubber (including synthetic and reclaimed 9/83 = 100) .................. W o o d .................................................................................................................... Pulp and waste paper (6 /8 3 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................................ Textile fib e rs ........................................................................................................ Crude fertilizers and m inerals.......................................................................... Metalliferous ores and metal scrap ................................................................ 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 123.2 102.6 145.8 - 100.0 118.2 75.0 127.1 100.0 111.3 145.0 - Mineral fuels............................................................................................... 3 - - 100.0 99.2 99.1 99.7 99.7 99.7 100.1 99.2 97.4 Animal and vegetables oils, fats and waxes.......................................... 4 42 100.0 100.0 125.6 138.2 122.0 129.3 129.8 133.2 164.5 176.4 145.7 159.0 147.9 156.7 142.0 152.9 144.5 164.8 114.5 128.8 97.0 Fixed vegetable oils and fats (6/83 = 1 0 0 )................................................... Chemicals (3 /8 3 -1 0 0 ).............................................................................. 5 51 56 Organic chemicals (12/83= 100 ) .................................................................... Fertilizers, manufactured (3/83 = 1 0 0 )............................................................ Machinery and transport equipment, excluding.................................... Power generating machinery and equipment (12/78 = 100) ...................... Machinery specialized for particular industries (9 /7 8 = 1 0 0 ) ...................... Metalworking machinery (6/78 = 100) ............................................................ General industrial machines and parts n.e.s. 9/78 = 1 0 0 ).......................... Office machines and automatic data processing equipment ..................... Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing equ ipm ent........ Electrical machinery and equipm ent............................................................... Road vehicles and parts ( 3 /8 0 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................................ Other transport equipment, excl. military and commercial aviation ........ Other manufactured articles.................................................................... Apparel (9/83 = 1 0 0 ).......................................................................................... Professional, scientific and controlling instrument and apparatus............ Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches and clocks (12/1977 = 100) .................................................................................... - 100.0 96.4 100.0 88.9 89.8 98.6 100.0 96.8 101.4 100.2 108.3 99.7 101.0 96.9 98.3 97.4 97.4 97.7 94.7 94.8 97.0 93.8 92.5 96.8 96.5 87.9 97.1 97.1 89.8 99.7 65.5 146.2 135.0 95.2 100.3 100.9 100.4 67.2 144.8 135.8 95.9 102.8 101.5 100.8 70.1 145.0 139.7 96.6 102.3 101.9 100.0 75.8 145.0 145.5 96.3 93.8 102.1 101.0 83.5 146.7 150.2 95.9 94.2 103.1 101.3 81.2 147.5 154.7 96.1 92.9 104.5 102.0 80.8 148.9 160.0 96.8 90.4 105.1 100.4 79.0 148.5 159.5 96.5 82.5 105.0 99.4 82.5 150.2 155.0 95.5 79.7 105.4 99.2 79.2 149.0 151.6 95.3 79.6 105.2 99.2 75.9 148.3 149.6 95.9 79.8 105.4 67 68 69 7 71 72 73 74 75 76 134.6 151.7 148.9 147.6 144.6 103.3 130.5 107.8 124.4 174.3 135.3 152.5 148.9 148.4 145.0 103.6 131.1 108.5 125.6 175.8 135.9 152.3 149.1 148.3 145.4 103.2 132.2 109.4 127.5 176.4 137.0 154.4 151.1 148.7 145.9 102.5 132.1 109.8 128.8 179.3 138.5 158.4 152.3 150.8 148.6 101.4 133.0 110.2 130.2 183.1 139.4 156.9 152.8 151.2 149.0 101.5 132.3 112.6 131.2 187.7 140.1 160.6 153.7 151.7 149.3 99.8 134.4 113.8 131.0 189.6 141.5 167.5 153.4 151.9 150.2 101.4 134.3 114.6 131.8 191.7 142.3 165.3 155.0 153.4 152.4 100.9 133.3 114.9 133.1 195.5 143.0 167.4 155.7 155.1 152.0 100.0 133.3 116.1 133.9 196.9 143.2 167.1 156.0 156.3 152.4 99.9 134.1 115.3 134.0 199.6 77 78 79 167.2 169.8 100.0 100.0 169.0 100.2 100.8 171.5 100.6 101.9 171.8 100.4 102.1 172.0 100.7 103.9 175.8 99.3 103.4 171.7 99.5 104.7 175.5 100.4 104.7 178.3 100.3 105.0 178.4 8 128.2 129.8 130.0 132.0 132.0 131.3 132.7 130.3 128.0 129.1 127.5 98.2 98.5 97.9 95.2 94.1 92.4 93.1 93.1 - - - - Intermediate manufactured products (9/81 = 10 0 ).................................... Leather and furskins ( 9 /7 9 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... Rubber manufactures ....................................................................................... Paper and paperboard products (6/78 = 1 0 0 ).............................................. Iron and steel (3/82 = 100) .............................................................................. Non-ferrous metals (9/81 = 100) ..................................................................... Metal manufactures, n.e.s. (3 /8 2 = 1 0 0 ) ........................................................ 101.8 70.0 6 61 62 64 “ - - - - - Miscellaneous manufactured articles, n.e.s.................................................... 84 - 100.0 100.0 Gold, non-monetary (6 /8 2 -1 0 0 ).............................................................. 971 - - - - Data not available. 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - - - - 37. U.S. import price indexes by Standard International Trade Classification (June 1977=100, unless otherwise indicated) Category ALL COMMODITIES (9/82 = 1 0 0 )..................................................................... Food ( 9 /7 7 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................................. M e a t..................................................................................................................... Dairy products and eggs (6/81 = 10 0) .......................................................... F is h ........................................................................................................................ Bakery goods, pasta products, grain and grain preparations ( 9 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ....................................................................................................... Fruits and vegetables ........................................................................................ Sugar, sugar preparations and honey (3 /8 2 —1 0 0 )..................................... Coffee, tea, c o c o a .............................................................................................. Beverages and tobacco ............................................................................ Beverages ........................................................................................................... Crude materials.......................................................................................... Crude rubber (inc. synthetic & reclaimed) ( 3 /8 4 - 1 0 0 ) .............................. Wood (9 /8 1 -1 0 0 ) ............................................................................................. Pulp and waste paper (12/81 —100) .............................................................. Crude fertilizers & crude minerals (1 2 /8 3 -1 0 0 ) ......................................... Metalliferous ores & metal scrap (3/84 —1 0 0 )............................................. Crude vegetable and animal materials, n.e.s................................................. Fuels and related products ( 6 /8 2 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................................... Petroleum and petroleum products (6/82 —100) .......................................... Fats and oils ( 9 /8 3 - 1 0 0 ) ................................................................................. Vegetable oils ( 9 /8 3 - 1 0 0 ) .............................................................................. Chemicals (9 /8 2 —1 0 0 )....................................................................................... Medicinal & pharmaceutical products (3/84 —100) ..................................... Manufactured fertilizers ( 3 /8 4 - 1 0 0 ) .............................................................. Chemical materials and products, n.e.s. (9/84 —1 0 0 )................................. Intermediate manufactured products (1 2 /7 7 —100) ................................. Leather and furskins .......................................................................................... Rubber manufactures, n.e.s............................................................................... Cork and wood manufactures ......................................................................... Paper and paperboard products ..................................................................... T e xtile s................................................................................................................. Non-metallic mineral manufactures, n.e.s....................................................... Iron and steel (9/78 —100) .............................................................................. Non-ferrous metals (12/81 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................................... Metal manufactures, n.e.s.................................................................................. Machinery and transport equipment (6/81 — 100)................................. Machinery specialized for particular industries (9 /7 8 —1 0 0 ) ...................... Metalworking machinery (3/80 —100) ............................................................ General industrial machinery and parts (6/8 1 = 1 0 0 ), n.e.s......................... Office machines and automatic data processing equipment (3 /8 0 -1 0 0 ) ....................................................................................................... Telecommunications, sound recording and reproducing apparatus ( 3 /8 0 -1 0 0 ) ....................................................................................................... Electrical machinery and equipment (1 2 /8 1 —100) ..................................... Road vehicles and parts (6/81 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................ Mlsc. manufactured articles (3 /8 0 —1 0 0 )...................................................... Plumbing, heating, and lighting fixtures (6/80 —100) .................................. Furniture and parts (6 /8 0 —100) ..................................................................... Clothing (9 /7 7 -1 0 0 ) ......................................................................................... F ootw ear.............................................................................................................. Professional, scientific, and controlling instruments and apparatus (1 2 /7 9 —1 0 0 )................................................................................... Photographic apparatus and supplies, optical goods, watches, and clocks (3/80 = 1 0 0 )........................................................................................... Mise, manufactured articles, n.e.s. (6 /8 2 —1 0 0 ).......................................... Gold, non-monetary (6/82—100).............................................................. Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1974 SITC 1983 1984 1985 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 0 01 02 03 96.9 99.2 139.4 99.9 135.2 97.3 100.4 134.1 99.6 136.0 98.0 102.5 133.4 100.8 132.7 98.3 103.5 133.8 99.8 134.2 96.7 102.0 135.4 98.9 134.2 95.7 98.1 132.3 98.4 133.9 93.5 98.5 130.4 98.3 132.9 93.0 96.8 118.2 97.9 129.4 93.0 94.9 120.6 99.1 129.7 04 05 06 07 132.3 132.3 118.9 54.7 132.7 125.0 117.9 59.6 136.5 136.1 117.1 61.4 134.8 135.8 120.3 62.4 132.9 135.4 119.0 60.3 132.8 117.2 118.5 58.4 131.8 127.1 118.4 57.0 132.3 129.4 122.6 56.0 136.3 120.2 123.1 54.4 1 11 153.7 153.5 155.4 152.7 155.3 152.6 156.3 153.6 157.1 153.5 156.5 152.8 156.2 154.2 157.1 154.3 158.0 156.0 2 23 24 25 27 28 29 100.0 98.6 103.2 100.0 114.8 87.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 93.7 103.2 96.1 96.2 102.8 100.8 100.6 90.7 99.6 96.3 98.0 100.1 101.1 98.9 83.8 104.0 93.2 98.6 95.6 106.4 94.0 77.6 100.7 84.0 100.3 90.4 104.3 93.6 76.4 106.9 80.4 101.7 87.6 104.9 91.5 68.9 101.6 76.8 102.7 89.5 102.5 3 33 87.7 88.0 87.6 87.6 88.3 88.2 88.0 88.1 86.9 87.0 85.2 85.2 82.9 83.8 80.9 81.6 80.0 80.5 4 42 100.0 100.0 100.4 100.5 117.4 118.1 141.8 143.1 124.4 125.3 114.9 115.3 89.9 89.5 76.7 75.9 57.6 56.2 5 54 56 59 97.8 - 99.5 - 101.1 100.0 100.0 - 100.6 98.5 101.7 - 98.8 96.4 98.5 100.0 97.1 94.6 92.9 97.5 95.7 91.6 94.2 96.1 95.0 95.1 82.0 95.6 94.6 95.3 80.8 96.9 6 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 137.3 136.6 141.0 138.2 147.3 127.6 166.4 115.0 99.3 118.0 137.3 137.6 141.1 134.7 147.0 128.5 166.4 119.5 94.8 118.9 137.6 141.6 141.8 130.1 148.0 130.8 168.4 118.5 95.0 119.7 139.6 145.3 140.8 131.0 150.4 130.1 166.6 123.8 96.3 120.5 137.2 144.0 139.6 126.4 156.1 131.6 156.6 124.7 90.2 119.3 136.8 140.4 140.5 126.1 157.5 132.9 159.4 123.7 87.3 119.3 133.1 135.3 139.5 121.3 157.6 130.4 154.3 121.0 81.9 117.4 132.4 133.3 138.6 121.2 157.2 127.5 151.8 120.1 82.3 117.8 133.6 137.0 137.3 123.4 157.8 126.5 157.6 119.1 83.7 119.5 7 72 73 74 103.0 101.2 96.0 93.4 104.1 100.8 95.7 93.5 104.0 100.4 94.3 93.7 104.1 100.0 93.8 94.4 102.6 98.8 92.1 92.4 102.9 98.0 89.9 91.3 101.6 96.2 86.3 89.2 102.6 97.0 90.5 91.1 103.5 101.4 94.2 94.4 75 94.0 96.9 97.8 96.7 94.1 92.2 89.6 89.4 90.3 76 77 78 96.5 96.4 106.7 94.9 95.9 109.5 94.2 94.2 109.0 94.8 91.2 110.4 93.6 87.0 109.8 91.3 86.4 111.3 90.0 82.1 111.5 88.8 83.9 112.1 88.3 81.4 112.7 8 81 82 84 85 100.2 107.9 96.1 125.6 96.1 100.0 108.2 94.7 128.5 94.7 100.6 109.5 94.9 130.2 94.9 101.5 112.0 96.0 132.5 96.0 99.7 110.7 95.4 135.4 95.4 100.0 111.6 94.3 138.5 94.3 97.0 113.9 92.7 136.7 92.7 98.0 114.1 94.4 133.9 94.4 100.0 117.8 96.1 136.0 96.1 87 96.8 97.6 98.7 97.8 95.6 92.9 89.2 92.3 98.8 88 89 89.7 107.5 90.6 104.9 89.6 105.2 92.8 104.0 91.2 98.3 91.3 96.3 88.9 91.2 89.5 95.2 91.2 96.4 - - - - 971 - - 110.0 80.3 - 107.2 80.9 100.0 - - - - - - - - - - MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 38. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Price data U.S. export price indexes by end-use category (September 1983 = 100 unless otherwise indicated) Percentsge of 1980 Trade Value Category Foods, feeds, and beverages ............................................................. Raw m aterials.............................................................................. Raw materials, nondurable ............................................................... Raw materials, d u ra b le ...................................................................... Capital goods, (12/82 = 1 0 0 )............................................................... Automotive vehicles parts, and engines (1 2/82= 100 ) ................. Consumer g o o d s ........................................................................... Durables .................................................................. Nondurables......................................................................................... 39. 16.294 30.696 21.327 9.368 30.186 7.483 7.467 3.965 3.501 1983 1984 Sept. Dec. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.1 102.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 Mar. 95.0 100.7 101.9 97.7 102.0 103.9 99.3 98.5 100.3 June 92.8 102.2 103.6 98.8 103.2 104.5 100.5 99.4 101.8 1985 Sept. 98.5 102.5 104.4 97.7 103.9 105.3 100.3 98.7 102.1 Dec. 88.8 100.5 102.8 95.0 104.6 105.3 99.8 96.9 103.0 Mar. 83.0 99.1 101.4 93.3 105.6 105.7 99.1 96.3 102.3 81.5 97.6 99.6 92.6 106.2 106.7 98.5 94.8 102.7 June 80.9 97.2 99.5 91.6 106.6 108.0 99.0 95.3 103.0 Sept. 76.2 96.5 98.7 91.1 106.6 108.1 99.5 96.1 103.3 U.S. import price indexes by end-use category (December 1982 = 100) Percentage of 1980 Trade Value Category Food, feeds, and beverages ............................................................... Petroleum & products, excl. natural g a s ........................................... Raw materials, excluding petroleum .................................................. Raw materials, nondurable ............................................................... Raw materials, d u ra b le ...................................................................... Capital g o o d s .......................................................................................... Automotive vehicles parts and en g in e s ............................................ Consumer g o o d s .................................................................................... Durable ................................................................................................. N ondurable........................................................................................... - 7.477 31.108 19.205 9.391 9.814 13.164 11.750 14.250 5.507 8.743 1984 1983 Sept. Mar. Dec. June 1985 Sept. Mar. Dec. 106.0 88.3 107.2 88.1 105.6 87.1 101.8 85.1 102.1 83.9 100.4 82.3 - - - - - - - - - 97.0 106.4 101.2 101.3 99.5 100.4 98.1 99.0 104.7 101.3 103.8 99.7 99.9 99.5 100.7 106.5 100.8 103.6 100.3 99.9 100.9 102.1 106.7 99.8 104.9 100.9 99.9 102.5 101.7 103.3 98.0 104.0 98.9 96.1 103.0 100.7 101.6 97.8 105.2 99.2 95.6 104.6 95.0 97.7 94.8 105.4 97.0 93.1 103.0 93.9 97.8 96.3 105.9 97.3 93.8 102.5 93.6 97.4 97.6 106.4 99.1 95.6 104.6 U.S. export price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification 1 1983 1984 1985 Industry group Sept. Manufacturing: Food and kindred products (6 /8 3 = 1 0 0 ) ............................. Tobacco m anufactures............................................................ Textile mill p ro d u c ts ................................................................. Apparel and related products ................................................ Lumber and wood products, except furniture (6 /8 3 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................. Furniture and fixtures (9/83 = 100) ....................................... Paper and allied products (3/81 — 1 0 0 )................................ Printing, publishing, and allied p ro d u c ts ............................... Chemicals and allied products (12/84 = 1 0 0 )...................... Petroleum and coal products (1 2 /8 3 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastic p ro d u c ts ........................ Leather and leather products ................................................ Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products........................... Primary metal products (3 /8 2 -1 0 0 ) .................................... Fabricated metal products ...................................................... Machinery, except electrical (9/78 = 1 0 0 )............................ Electrical machinery (12/80 = 100) ....................................... Transportation equipment (1 2 /7 8 = 1 0 0 ).............................. Scientific instruments; optical goods; clocks (6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ............................................................................. Miscellaneous manufactured commodities .......................... 1 SIC - based classification. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 96 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. 104.0 87.8 Data not available. 40. June 103.1 88.5 Dec. Mar. 109.4 108.3 - - 109.0 _ - - - 100.1 100.0 91.2 99.7 - June Sept. 105.6 _ _ - 112.7 _ - 101.0 100.9 94.7 101.4 100.0 101.5 101.8 98.6 103.3 101.6 100.1 103.1 104.3 102.3 102.1 97.0 103.5 106.2 101.3 100.7 - - - - - - 110.1 135.1 107.4 150.8 105.0 135.8 107.6 153.6 105.1 137.4 108.0 155.7 _ 104.0 137.9 109.5 157.2 _ 100.0 138.0 110.7 157.8 150.9 - 152.8 “ 153.1 - 153.2 - 156.0 - - - Data not available. - Dec. Mar. June Sept. 103.3 _ _ - 99.5 _ _ - 99.5 _ 96.6 _ - _ _ 97.9 104.9 103.6 100.7 100.4 _ _ 95.8 139.9 111.1 158.9 99.9 105.2 97.1 100.3 101.3 98.3 107.1 93.2 - - 99.5 106.5 94.7 99.6 102.7 _ _ - _ _ 91.2 140.4 111.3 160.5 92.7 - 93.6 _ 140.5 112.4 162.0 140.6 111.9 162.9 153.0 154.9 - - 156.6 - 156.0 - _ _ 99.7 102.0 _ _ 99.0 80.9 41. U.S. import price indexes by Standard Industrial Classification 1 1983 1984 1985 In d u s try group Sept. Manufacturing: Food and kindred products (6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... Tobacco m anufactures................................................................... Textile mill products (9 /8 2 = 1 0 0 ) ................................................. Apparel and related products ( 6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ................................. Lumber and wood products, except furniture (6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................... Furniture and fixtures ( 6 /8 0 - 1 0 0 ) ............................................... Paper and allied products (6 /7 7 = 1 0 0 ) ....................................... Printing, publishing, allied pro d u c ts.............................................. Chemicals and allied products ( 9 /8 2 -1 0 0 ) ............................... Petroleum and coal pro d u c ts ......................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products (1 2 /8 0 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................. Leather and leather products ........................................................ Stone, clay, glass, concrete products.......................................... Primary metal products (6 /8 1 = 1 0 0 ) ........................................... Fabricated metal products (12/84 = 1 0 0 ).................................... Machinery, except electrical ( 3 /8 0 = 1 0 0 ) ................................... Electrical machinery (9/84 = 1 0 0 )................................................. Transportation equipment (6/81 = 100) ....................................... Scientific instruments optical goods; clocks (1 2 /7 9 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................. Miscellaneous manufactured commodities (9 /8 2 = 1 0 0 ) .................................................................................... Dec. 121.0 Mar. 120.8 Sept. Dec. Mar. June 122.3 _ 126.6 _ 124.1 _ 122.6 _ 118.8 _ 115.2 114.4 - 99.5 123.2 103.3 126.5 104.4 128.1 103.8 129.6 104.3 133.9 104.7 138.2 102.8 135.6 101.0 133.0 100.4 135.9 128.3 97.1 132.7 125.0 95.5 132.9 99.5 129.4 95.7 136.5 121.1 96.9 141.9 120.0 95.6 145.5 _ 116.3 93.9 141.5 _ 120.6 96.1 139.8 117.5 97.7 138.7 99.8 _98.2 _95.3 93.9 93.3 97.8 _98.0 _ 96.7 96.5 _ _ 82.2 99.0 91.8 95.1 113.1 83.0 99.1 93.4 95.8 114.2 83.4 101.1 96.6 94.5 114.8 - 99.2 - - 97.5 - - 117.3 96.2 146.0 - 101.8 _ 101.8 _ _ 98.5 97.4 98.1 - _ _ _ _ - - - _ _ 91.3 90.5 90.1 91.9 88.3 96.9 _ 98.0 98.0 97.8 97.1 - - - - 107.8 110.3 110.6 111.6 95.5 100.0 110.7 86.6 100.0 94.1 98.6 112.9 93.5 94.3 94.0 95.5 94.4 93.2 90.7 91.7 94.7 100.6 99.7 99.8 99.1 95.8 96.4 95.1 95.1 96.6 - - - - - - Data not available. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs, quarterly data seasonally adjusted (1977 = 100) Annual average Quarterly Indexes Item 1983 1984 1985 1983 I II III IV I II III IV I II III Business: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ 103.7 161.7 98.4 156.0 145.5 152.4 102.2 160.2 99.0 156.8 139.8 151.0 103.6 161.0 98.5 155.4 144.6 151.7 104.3 161.8 97.9 155.1 147.9 152.7 104.7 164.2 98.4 156.8 149.1 154.2 105.7 166.7 98.6 157.7 151.6 155.6 107.0 167.5 98.2 156.5 157.2 156.7 107.2 169.3 98.3 158.0 158.5 158.1 108.0 171.1 98.5 158.4 160.2 159.0 106.9 173.1 98.9 161.9 159.1 160.9 107.3 174.5 98.6 162.6 159.9 161.7 108.3 176.8 99.4 163.2 160.5 162.3 103.4 162.0 98.6 156.6 147.0 153.4 101.6 160.1 99.0 157.6 140.6 151.9 103.6 161.5 98.8 155.9 146.4 152.7 104.1 162.4 98.3 155.9 149.4 153.8 104.4 164.0 98.3 157.1 151.4 155.2 105.2 166.5 98.4 158.3 152.2 156.3 106.6 168.0 98.4 157.6 156.8 157.3 106.3 169.5 98.4 159.5 158.0 159.0 106.9 171.0 98.5 160.0 160.3 160.1 106.0 173.1 98.9 163.3 160.3 162.3 106.3 174.6 98.7 164.1 161.8 163.4 106.9 176.2 99.0 164.8 163.0 164.2 106.1 161.0 97.9 155.2 151.8 164.9 117.2 149.1 150.9 104.0 159.2 98.4 156.7 153.1 167.0 92.5 142.3 149.4 105.8 160.6 98.2 155.2 151.7 165.1 111.8 147.4 150.2 107.2 161.8 97.9 154.4 150.9 164.4 126.6 151.9 151.2 107.2 162.6 97.4 154.7 151.7 163.3 135.9 154.2 152.6 108.1 164.8 97.5 155.0 152.5 162.0 143.2 155.7 153.6 108.9 165.8 97.2 155.0 152.3 162.8 151.1 158.9 154.6 108.2 167.1 97.1 157.5 154.5 165.9 145.3 159.1 156.1 108.8 168.7 97.1 158.0 155.0 166.4 150.7 161.2 157.1 108.1 170.3 97.3 160.2 157.5 168.1 150.4 162.2 159.1 108.1 171.6 97.0 161.6 158.8 169.8 148.9 162.9 160.2 109.2 173.0 97.2 161.1 158.3 168.8 160.1 165.9 160.9 111.6 163.4 99.4 146.4 110.0 162.7 100.6 147.9 110.9 163.0 99.6 147.0 113.0 163.5 98.9 144.7 112.7 164.6 98.6 146.1 114.2 167.1 98.8 146.3 114.8 168.3 98.6 146.6 116.7 169.9 98.7 145.5 116.5 172.1 99.1 147.7 116.7 174.4 99.6 149.5 118.6 176.5 99.7 148.8 119.7 177.8 99.9 148.6 Nonfarm business: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price d e fla to r................................................. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all em plo yees........................... Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Total unit c o s ts ........................................................... Unit labor costs ....................................................... Unit nonlabor c o s ts ................................................ Unit p ro fits ................................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ Manufacturing: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s ................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor c o s ts .......................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept. - 1 SIC - based classification. 42. June MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW 43. February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity Data Annual indexes of multifactor productivity and related measures selected years (1977 = 100) Item 1950 1960 1970 1973 1975 1976 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 Private business Productivity: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s ............................. Output per unit of capital se rvic e s ....................... Multifactor p roductivity........................................... O u tp u t.......................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons............................................... Capital services ....................................................... Combined units of labor and capital in p u t......... Capital per hour or all persons ............................... 49.7 98.5 63.6 39.5 64.8 98.4 75.4 53.3 86.1 98.5 90.2 78.3 94.8 103.0 97.5 91.8 94.5 92.0 93.6 88.0 97.6 96.1 97.1 93.7 100.5 101.8 101.0 105.5 99.3 100.3 99.7 107.9 98.7 95.6 97.6 106.4 100.6 94.1 98.3 109.2 100.8 89.5 96.8 106.3 103.7 92.3 99.6 111.1 79.4 40.1 62.1 50.5 82.2 54.1 70.7 65.9 90.8 79.4 86.7 87.4 96.8 89.1 94.1 92.0 93.1 95.7 94.0 102.8 95.9 97.5 96.5 101.6 105.0 103.6 104.5 98.7 108.6 107.5 108.2 98.9 107.8 111.4 109.0 103.3 108.5 116.0 111.0 106.9 105.4 118.8 109.9 112.7 107.2 120.4 111.6 112.3 55.6 98.1 68.1 38.3 68.0 98.4 77.6 52.3 86.8 98.6 90.7 77.8 95.3 103.2 97.9 91.7 94.8 91.7 93.6 87.6 97.8 96.1 97.2 93.6 100.6 101.9 101.0 105.7 99.0 100.1 99.4 108.0 98.2 95.2 97.2 106.4 99.6 93.2 97.4 108.7 99.9 88.7 95.9 105.9 103.5 91.9 99.4 111.3 69.0 39.1 56.3 56.6 77.0 53.2 67.4 69.1 89.7 78.9 85.9 88.0 96.2 88.8 93.6 92.4 92.4 95.6 93.5 103.4 95.7 97.4 96.3 101.8 105.1 103.7 104.6 98.7 109.1 107.9 108.7 98.9 108.4 111.7 109.5 103.1 109.1 116.6 111.6 106.8 106.0 119.4 110.4 112.6 107.6 121.1 112.0 112.6 49.4 94.2 59.8 38.6 60.0 87.9 67.0 50.7 79.2 91.8 82.3 77.0 93.0 108.2 96.8 95.9 93.4 89.4 92.2 85.4 97.6 96.1 97.1 93.6 100.9 101.5 101.1 105.3 101.6 99.5 101.0 108.2 101.7 90.7 98.8 103.5 104.9 89.9 100.8 106.1 107.1 82.9 100.3 99.3 111.6 87.6 104.9 104.4 78.2 41.0 64.6 52.5 84.4 57.6 75.6 68.3 97.3 83.9 93.5 86.2 103.1 88.6 99.0 85.9 91.4 95.5 92.6 104.5 95.9 97.4 96.3 101.6 104.4 103.8 104.2 99.4 106.5 108.8 107.1 102.1 101.7 114.1 104.8 112.2 101.1 118.0 105.2 116.7 92.7 119.8 99.0 129.2 93.5 119.2 99.5 127.5 Private nonfarm business Productivity: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s ............................. Output per unit of capital se rvic e s ....................... Multifactor productivity........................................... O u tp u t.......................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons............................................... Capital services ....................................................... Combined units of labor and capital in p u t......... Capital per hour of all pe rso n s................................ Manufacturing Productivity: Output per hour of all persons ............................. Output per unit of capital se rvic e s ....................... Multifactor productivity........................................... O u tp u t.......................................................................... Inputs: Hours of all persons............................................... Capital services ...................................................... Combined units of labor and capital in p u ts ....... Capital per hour of all persons................................ 98 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 44. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years (1977 = 100) Item 1950 1960 1970 1973 1975 1976 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Business: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per hour ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ 50.4 20.0 50.5 39.8 43.4 41.0 65.2 33.9 69.5 52.1 50.6 51.6 86.2 58.2 90.8 67.5 63.2 66.0 94.8 71.4 97.3 75.3 75.2 75.3 94.6 85.6 96.4 90.5 90.4 90.4 97.6 92.9 98.9 95.1 94.0 94.7 100.5 108.5 100.8 108.0 106.7 107.5 99.3 118.7 99.1 119.5 112.8 117.2 98.8 131.1 96.4 132.6 119.3 128.1 100.7 143.4 95.5 142.4 136.7 140.4 100.9 155.0 97.3 153.6 136.8 147.9 103.7 161.7 98.4 156.0 145.5 152.4 107.0 168.6 98.4 157.6 157.0 157.4 56.3 21.9 55.1 38.8 42.7 40.1 68.3 35.7 73.1 52.3 50.4 51.6 86.8 58.7 91.5 67.6 63.8 66.3 95.3 71.8 97.9 75.3 71.6 74.0 94.8 86.1 96.9 90.8 88.5 90.0 97.8 93.0 99.0 95.1 93.5 94.6 100.6 108.6 100.8 108.0 105.3 107.1 99.0 118.4 98.8 119.5 110.4 116.5 98.3 130.6 96.0 132.8 118.6 128.1 99.8 143.1 95.3 143.5 135.0 140.6 100.0 154.5 97.0 154.5 136.9 148.6 103.4 162.0 98.6 156.6 147.0 153.4 106.2 168.7 98.4 158.8 156.9 158.2 “ 68.0 37.0 75.8 54.4 54.6 54.5 87.4 59.4 92.7 68.0 63.1 66.3 96.4 71.9 98.0 74.5 70.6 73.2 95.5 86.1 97.0 90.2 90.8 90.4 98.2 92.9 98.9 94.6 95.0 94.7 100.8 108.4 100.7 107.5 104.2 106.4 100.6 118.6 99.0 117.8 106.9 114.1 99.7 130.8 96.2 131.2 117.4 126.4 101.6 143.1 95.3 140.9 135.1 138.9 102.6 154.6 97.0 150.6 138.1 146.3 106.1 161.0 97.9 151.8 149.1 150.9 108.5 166.6 97.2 153.6 158.8 155.4 49.4 21.5 54.0 43.4 54.3 46.6 60.0 36.7 75.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 79.2 57.6 89.8 72.7 65.1 70.5 93.0 69.0 94.1 74.2 70.7 73.2 93.4 85.5 96.2 91.5 87.3 90.3 97.6 92.3 98.3 94.6 93.9 94.4 100.9 108.3 100.6 107.3 102.7 106.0 101.6 118.8 99.2 117.0 99.9 112.0 101.7 132.7 97.6 130.5 97.9 120.9 104.9 145.2 96.8 138.4 111.6 130.6 107.1 158.0 99.2 147.6 110.5 136.7 111.6 163.4 99.4 146.4 128.8 141.2 115.6 169.4 98.8 146.5 140.3 144.7 Nonfarm business: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s ................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ Nonfinanclal corporations: Output per hour of all e m plo yees........................... Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ - - Manufacturing: Output per hour of all p e rs o n s ................................ Compensation per h o u r............................................ Real compensation per h o u r ................................... Unit labor costs .......................................................... Unit nonlabor payments ........................................... Implicit price deflator ................................................ - Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 45. Unemployment rates in nine countries, quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1985 1984 Annual average Country 1983 1984 IV III II I II I III Total labor force basis United S ta te s ........................................ Canada .................................................. Australia ................................................ Japan ...................................................... France ................................................... G erm any................................................ Great Britain ......................................... Italy \ 2 .................................................. Sweden ................................................. _ _ _ - - - - - - - 11.4 9.3 2.7 11.3 9.1 2.7 _ _ - - - - 9.4 7.6 12.7 5.9 - _ - _ - - - _ _ 11.2 8.8 2.8 11.1 8.5 2.7 11.1 8.5 2.6 10.5 8.4 2.6 10.2 8.1 2.5 9.8 7.7 12.8 5.9 " 10.0 7.8 13.1 5.7 10.2 7.7 12.9 5.7 ” 10.3 7.8 13.0 5.8 10.2 7.8 13.1 5.8 10.2 7.8 13.3 6.0 “ “ 7.9 11.5 9.4 2.8 7.5 11.2 9.2 2.7 7.4 11.6 8.8 2.8 7.2 11.2 8.6 2.7 7.3 11.1 8.5 2.6 7.3 10.6 8.5 2.6 7.2 10.3 8.2 2.5 9.6 7.7 12.8 6.0 ~ 10.1 7.9 12.9 6.0 10.3 8.0 13.2 5.8 “ 10.4 7.8 13.0 5.8 10.5 7.9 13.1 5.9 10.5 8.0 13.3 5.9 10.5 7.9 13.5 6.2 Civilian labor force basis United S ta te s ........................................ Canada ................................................... Australia ................................................ Japan ...................................................... France ................................................... G erm any................................................ Great Britain ......................................... Ita ly ......................................................... Sweden ................................................. - - ” 1 Quarterly rates are for the first month of the quarter. 2 Major changes in the Italian labor force survey, introduced in 1977, resulted in a large increase in persons enumerated as unemployed. However, many persons reported that they had not actively sought work in the past 30 days, and they have been provisionally excluded for comparability with U.S. concepts. Inclusion of such persons would more than double the Italian unemployment rate “ shown. - Data not available. NOTE: Q uarterly'a nd m o nthly figures fo r France, G er many, and G reat B ritain are c a lc u la te d by a p p lyin g annual ad ju s tm e n t fa c to rs to curre nt pub lish ed d a ta and therefore should be viewed as less precise in d ic a to rs of une m ploym ent under U.S. c once pts than the annual figures. MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics: International Comparisons Data 46. Annual data: Employment status of the civilian working-age population, ten countries (Numbers in thousands) Employment status and country 1975 1976 1977 93,775 9,974 6,169 52,530 21,600 26,130 25,130 20,080 4,820 4,123 96,158 10,203 6,244 53,100 21,840 25,900 25,290 20,300 4,890 4,149 99,009 10,500 6,358 53,820 22,100 25,870 25,430 20,530 4,950 4,168 102,251 10,895 6,443 54,610 22,290 26,000 25,620 20,630 5,010 4,203 104,962 11,231 6,519 55,210 22,470 26,240 25,710 20,910 5,100 4,262 106,940 11,573 6,693 55,740 22,570 26,500 25,870 21,210 5,290 4,312 108,670 11,904 6,810 56,320 22,640 26,610 25,870 21,410 5,500 4,326 110,204 11,958 6,910 56,980 22,900 26,640 25,880 21,450 5,560 4,350 111,550 12,183 6,997 58,110 22,800 26,640 25,980 21,610 5,720 4,369 61.2 61.1 63.2 62.4 56.7 54.4 63.1 47.5 49.2 65.9 61.6 61.1 62.7 62.4 56.9 53.8 63.2 47.8 49.1 66.0 62.3 61.6 62.7 62.5 57.0 53.4 63.2 48.0 49.0 65.9 63.2 62.7 62.0 62.8 57.1 53.3 63.3 47.7 48.8 66.1 63.7 63.4 61.7 62.7 57.0 53.3 63.2 47.8 49.0 66.6 63.8 64.1 62.2 62.6 56.7 53.2 63.2 48.0 50.0 67.0 63.9 64.8 62.0 62.6 56.5 52.9 62.2 48.0 51.3 66.8 64.0 64.1 61.8 62.7 56.7 52.5 61.9 47.4 51.2 66.8 64.0 64.4 61.5 63.1 56.1 52.8 62.2 47.2 52.4 66.9 85,846 9,284 5,866 51,530 20,700 25,230 24,000 19,480 4,570 4,056 88,752 9,477 5,946 52,020 20,850 25,010 23,810 19,600 4,630 4,083 92,017 9,651 6,000 52,720 21,030 24,970 23,840 19,800 4,700 4,093 96,048 9,987 6,038 53,370 21,110 25,130 24,040 19,870 4,750 4,109 98,824 10,395 6,111 54,040 21,110 25,460 24,360 20,100 4,830 4,174 99,303 10,708 6,284 54,600 21,120 25,730 24,100 20,380 4,960 4,226 100,397 11,006 6,416 55,060 20,950 25,520 23,190 20,480 4,990 4,218 99,526 10,644 6,415 55,620 20,980 25,060 22,820 20,430 4,930 4,213 100,834 10,734 6,300 56,550 20,840 24,650 22,650 20,470 4,890 4,218 56.1 56.9 60.1 61.2 54.3 52.5 60.3 46.1 46.6 64.8 56.8 56.7 59.7 61.1 54.3 52.0 59.5 46.1 46.5 64.9 57.9 56.6 59.2 61.2 54.3 51.6 59.3 46.3 46.5 64.8 59.3 57.5 58.1 61.3 54.1 51.5 59.4 45.9 46.3 64.6 59.9 58.7 57.9 61.4 53.6 51.7 59.8 45.9 46.4 65.3 59.2 59.3 58.4 61.3 53.1 51.6 58.9 46.1 46.9 65.6 59.0 59.9 58.4 61.2 52.3 50.7 55.8 45.9 46.5 65.1 57.8 57.0 57.3 61.2 51.9 49.4 54.6 45.2 45.4 64.7 57.9 56.7 55.4 61.4 51.3 48.8 54.2 44.7 44.8 64.4 7,929 690 302 1,000 900 890 1,130 610 250 67 7,406 726 298 1,080 990 890 1,480 700 260 66 6,991 849 358 1,100 1,070 900 1,590 740 250 75 6,202 908 405 1,240 1,180 870 1,580 760 260 94 6,137 836 408 1,170 1,360 780 1,350 810 270 88 7,637 865 409 1,140 1,450 770 1,770 830 330 86 8,273 898 394 1,260 1,690 1,090 2,680 920 510 108 10,678 1,314 495 1,360 1,920 1,580 3,060 1,020 630 137 10,717 1,448 697 1,560 1,960 1,990 3,330 1,140 830 151 8.5 6.9 4.9 1.9 4.2 3.4 4.5 3.0 5.2 1.6 7.7 7.1 4.8 2.0 4.5 3.4 5.9 3.4 5.3 1.6 7.1 8.1 5.6 2.0 4.8 3.5 6.3 3.6 5.0 1.8 6.1 8.3 6.3 2.3 5.3 3.4 6.2 3.7 5.2 2.2 5.8 7.4 6.3 2.1 6.1 3.0 5.3 3.9 5.3 2.1 7.1 7.5 6.1 2.0 6.4 2.9 6.8 3.9 6.2 2.0 7.6 7.5 5.8 2.2 7.5 4.1 10.4 4.3 9.3 2.5 9.7 11.0 7.2 2.4 8.4 5.9 11.8 4.8 11.3 3.1 9.6 11.9 10.0 2.7 8.6 7.5 12.8 5.3 14.5 3.5 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 Labor force United S ta te s .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... F ra n ce .......................................................................... G erm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w eden ........................................................................ Participation rate United States .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... France .......................................................................... G erm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w e d e n ........................................................................ Employed United S ta te s .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... F ra n ce .......................................................................... G e rm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w e d e n ........................................................................ Employment-population ratio United S ta te s .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... F ra n ce .......................................................................... G erm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w e d e n ........................................................................ Unemployed United States .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... F ra n ce .......................................................................... G e rm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w e d e n ........................................................................ Unemployment rate United States .............................................................. Canada ........................................................................ A u stralia....................................................................... Japan ........................................................................... F ra n ce .......................................................................... G e rm any...................................................................... Great B rita in ................................................................ Ita ly ............................................................................... N etherlands................................................................. S w e d e n ........................................................................ 100 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 47. Annual indexes of productivity and related measures, twelve countries (1977 = 100) Item and country 1960 1970 1973 1975 1976 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 115.6 111.9 167.4 O u tp u t p e r h o u r United S ta te s .......................................................................................... Canada .............................................................................................. Japan ................................................................................................. Belgium ........................................................................................ D e nm a rk...................................................................... France .................................................................................................... G erm any.............................................................. I ta ly ......................................................................................... Netherlands ............................................................................... Norway ............................................................................................ Sweden ........................................................................ United Kingdom ................................................................................. 60.0 50.3 22.0 32.8 36.4 36.3 39.8 36.5 31.7 54.6 42.3 53.8 79.2 76.8 61.4 59.9 65.3 69.3 70.9 72.7 63.0 81.7 80.7 77.6 93.0 91.3 80.2 78.3 82.8 82.0 83.4 90.9 80.1 94.7 94.8 93.1 93.4 91.0 85.3 86.0 94.4 88.4 89.8 91.1 85.1 96.8 100.2 94.5 97.6 96.2 93.3 95.0 98.0 94.9 96.2 98.9 96.1 99.7 101.7 99.4 100.9 101.4 107.9 106.4 102.4 105.9 102.5 103.0 106.6 101.8 102.8 101.6 101.6 104.2 117.4 112.0 108.3 110.6 107.4 110.5 112.1 107.2 110.9 102.1 101.7 101.9 128.6 119.7 114.3 112.4 108.4 116.9 114.6 109.3 112.7 99.9 104.9 104.0 135.7 126.5 116.2 116.0 110.3 121.0 118.7 109.7 113.2 106.1 107.1 101.1 145.4 128.6 115.3 123.5 111.6 123.4 121.6 112.7 116.5 110.9 111.6 107.6 152.8 137.0 118.8 128.8 116.8 126.4 130.4 119.4 126.4 118.3 50.7 41.5 17.9 41.6 48.2 35.4 49.2 37.4 44.1 55.1 52.6 71.0 77.0 75.1 65.3 78.0 81.7 73.3 86.0 78.0 82.7 87.0 92.5 94.6 95.9 94.6 87.4 95.7 95.4 88.6 95.2 90.5 94.2 99.5 100.3 104.6 85.4 92.3 82.2 92.1 94.8 90.0 90.4 86.9 91.7 101.0 106.1 96.1 93.6 98.1 93.2 99.4 99.4 96.1 97.6 97.9 99.1 101.4 106.1 98.1 105.3 104.9 107.3 101.6 100.7 103.4 101.3 101.8 102.8 98.2 97.3 100.6 108.2 110.9 118.0 104.2 107.2 106.1 106.1 108.6 105.5 100.3 103.6 100.6 103.5 107.7 130.7 107.3 112.1 106.6 106.6 115.4 107.3 101.3 104.0 91.8 106.1 108.8 139.0 104.8 108.5 104.9 104.6 114.3 107.3 100.1 100.6 86.2 99.3 96.4 148.6 104.8 108.2 105.1 101.4 111.6 105.2 99.9 100.1 86.8 104.4 102.2 160.1 106.2 115.0 106.4 102.5 109.0 106.3 98.7 106.0 89.0 115.3 110.6 180.3 84.4 82.6 81.5 127.1 132.4 97.6 123.6 102.3 139.1 101.0 124.4 131.8 97.3 97.7 106.4 130.2 125.1 105.7 121.3 107.4 131.1 106.4 114.6 121.9 103.1 103.6 109.0 122.3 115.2 108.0 114.2 99.6 117.7 105.1 105.7 112.4 91.4 101.4 96.4 107.1 100.4 101.9 100.6 95.4 107.8 104.3 105.9 101.7 95.9 102.0 99.9 104.6 101.4 101.3 101.5 99.0 103.1 101.7 104.3 98.7 104.4 103.4 99.5 95.6 98.3 97.6 98.8 98.8 96.4 96.5 94.6 99.0 106.5 106.4 100.5 93.0 99.0 95.9 98.8 98.2 94.1 93.6 93.4 98.6 101.7 105.7 101.6 89.7 98.0 94.8 98.4 98.7 93.7 92.6 92.3 91.9 101.1 104.6 102.4 82.8 93.4 90.4 94.8 94.5 90.4 91.3 88.9 81.3 92.7 95.4 102.2 81.6 93.9 85.0 90.8 90.5 86.5 88.6 85.9 78.2 93.5 94.9 104.8 77.5 96.8 82.6 87.7 86.2 81.5 82.7 83.9 75.2 99.8 98.9 107.7 36.7 27.1 8.9 13.9 12.6 15.1 18.8 8.3 12.2 15.8 14.7 14.9 57.6 46.5 33.9 34.7 36.3 36.5 48.1 26.1 38.5 37.9 38.5 30.9 69.0 59.2 55.7 53.6 56.1 52.1 67.6 43.7 60.1 54.6 54.2 45.0 85.5 78.2 85.4 79.0 81.0 76.6 84.8 70.2 81.9 77.2 77.3 75.1 92.3 89.9 91.1 89.4 90.4 88.8 91.4 84.1 92.1 88.9 91.5 88.9 108.3 106.7 105.9 107.9 110.2 113.7 107.7 114.5 108.7 110.0 111.4 116.8 118.8 118.3 112.8 117.5 123.2 129.7 115.4 134.7 117.3 116.0 120.1 137.1 132.7 130.6 121.2 130.2 135.9 148.1 125.0 160.2 123.5 128.0 133.6 162.8 145.2 151.5 130.2 144.7 149.7 171.3 133.8 197.1 130.3 142.8 148.1 185.6 158.0 167.2 136.9 152.0 165.4 202.7 140.9 237.3 139.4 156.1 158.9 201.8 163.4 178.5 141.5 164.9 172.6 227.4 146.7 277.0 147.3 173.8 173.2 216.2 169.4 181.4 146.0 61.1 53.9 40.5 42.4 34.5 41.6 47.3 22.8 38.3 29.0 34.8 27.6 72.7 60.6 55.2 57.9 55.6 52.6 67.9 36.0 61.1 46.4 47.7 39.8 74.2 64.8 69.4 68.5 67.8 63.6 81.0 48.1 75.1 57.6 57.2 48.3 91.5 86.0 100.1 91.9 85.8 86.7 94.4 77.1 96.2 79.7 77.1 79.4 94.6 93.5 97.7 94.1 92.3 93.6 95.0 85.1 95.9 89.1 90.0 89.5 107.3 105.3 98.2 101.4 107.6 107.4 105.0 111.2 101.9 108.1 108.4 114.9 117.0 113.5 96.1 104.9 113.7 117.3 107.5 121.9 104.7 108.2 108.3 134.3 130.5 128.1 94.2 108.9 118.9 131.7 115.3 137.0 107.8 117.0 118.6 163.0 138.4 145.7 95.9 114.4 128.8 147.7 121.3 162.9 109.8 130.2 130.9 174.9 147.6 165.4 94.1 118.3 143.5 164.1 126.2 192.4 114.6 138.5 136.3 181.9 146.4 165.9 92.6 120.4 145.3 176.5 125.6 219.2 113.0 145.6 137.1 182.8 61.1 59.0 30.2 30.4 30.1 41.7 26.3 32.5 24.9 21.7 30.1 44.5 72.7 61.7 41.3 41.8 44.5 46.8 43.2 50.6 41.4 34.5 41.1 54.6 74.2 68.8 68.6 63.2 67.6 70.4 71.0 73.1 66.3 53.4 58.7 67.9 91.5 89.8 90.4 89.8 89.8 99.5 89.2 104.3 93.5 81.4 83.2 101.1 94.6 100.7 88.2 87.4 91.7 96.3 87.6 90.5 89.0 86.9 92.3 92.6 107.3 98.1 126.2 115.6 117.3 117.3 121.6 115.6 115.7 109.7 107.2 126.4 117.0 103.0 117.9 128.1 129.7 135.5 136.2 129.5 128.1 113.8 112.9 163.4 130.5 116.4 111.8 133.6 126.8 153.4 147.5 141.4 133.2 126.2 125.3 217.2 138.4 129.1 116.4 110.7 108.4 133.4 124.9 126.3 108.2 120.6 115.4 202.9 147.6 142.3 101.2 92.6 103.2 122.6 120.7 125.4 105.2 114.1 96.9 182.2 146.4 143.1 104.4 84.4 95.3 113.9 114.1 127.4 97.2 106.2 79.8 158.8 123.6 135.2 122.3 134.4 121.4 134.9 123.0 O u tp u t United S ta te s ........................................................................ Canada ............................................................................................ Japan ...................................................................................................... B elgium ................................................................................... D e nm a rk.................................................................................. France ..................................................................................................... G erm any........................................................................ I ta ly .......................................................................................................... Netherlands .......................................................................... Norway .................................................................................. Sweden ............................................................................. United Kingdom ................................................................................. 123.6 108.0 106.5 113.1 101.2 113.2 92.0 T o ta l h o u rs United S ta te s .......................................................................... Canada ............................................................................................ Japan ............................................................................... Belgium ...................................................................... D e nm a rk....................................................................... France ............................................................................... G erm any........................................................................... Italy ................................................................................................ Netherlands ............................................................... Norway ................................................................... Sweden ................................................................................ United Kingdom ................................................................... 99.9 79.9 87.0 84.2 83.4 83.9 74.8 C o m p e n s a tio n p e r h o u r United S ta te s .............................................................................. Canada ............................................................................... Japan ...................................................................................... Belgium ................................................................ D e nm a rk................................................................. France .................................................................. G erm any........................................................ Italy ..................................................................... Netherlands ..................................................... Norway ..................................................................... Sweden ...................................................................... United Kingdom ................................................................ 182.8 247.5 152.1 306.0 185.6 192.0 233.4 U n it la b o r c o s ts : National currency basis: United S ta te s .............................................................. Canada ...................................................................... Japan ...................................................................... Belgium ........................................................... D e nm a rk........................................................... France ........................................................................ G erm any............................................................. Italy ............ .......................................... ....................... N e th e rla n d s.................................................. Norway .............................................................. Sweden ........................................................................ United Kingdom ................................................................ 146.5 162.1 87.2 147.8 183.1 124.3 227.7 152.9 142.3 189.8 U n it la b o r c o s ts : U.S. dollar basis: United S ta te s ....................................................... Canada .............................................................. Japan ...................................................................................... Belgium ..................................................................... D e nm a rk......................................................................... France ........................................................................ G erm any............................................................................. Italy ..................................................................................... Netherlands ............................................................ Norway ............................................................... Sweden .............................................................. United Kingdom ......................................................................... - 146.5 133.0 98.4 85.7 103.0 101.4 114.5 99.7 76.9 145.4 Data not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1986 • Current Labor Statistics 48. Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 Industry and type of case' 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 PRIVATE SECTOR3 Total c a s e s ............. Lost workday cases Lost w o rkda ys........ - - ' - - - ' ' ' 8.3 3.8 61.7 7.7 3.5 58.7 7.6 3.4 58.5 8.0 3.7 63.4 12.3 5.9 82.8 11.8 5.9 86.0 11.9 6.1 90.8 12.0 6.1 90.7 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing3 Total c a s e s ...... Lost workday ca Lost workdays .. - - - - - ' ' ' ' ' - - - - - 11.6 6.2 146.4 10.5 5.4 137.3 8.4 4.5 125.1 9.7 5.3 160.2 - - - - - - - - - - 15.1 6.3 113.1 14.6 6.0 115.7 14.8 6.3 118.2 15.5 6.9 128.1 _ - _ - _ - _ - _ - - - - - - 15.1 6.1 107.1 14.1 5.9 112.0 14.4 6.2 113.0 15.4 6.9 121.3 _ - - _ - - _ - - - - - - 14.9 6.0 106.0 15.1 5.8 113.1 15.4 6.2 122.4 14.9 6.4 131.7 _ - _ - _ - _ - _ - 15.2 6.6 119.3 14.7 6.2 118.6 14.8 6.4 119.0 15.8 7.1 130.1 Mining Total c a s e s ................................................ Lost workday c a s e s ................................ Lost w o rkda ys.......................................... Construction Total c a s e s ................................ Lost workday c a s e s ................. Lost w o rkdays........................... General building contractors: Total c a s e s ................................ Lost workday c a s e s ................. Lost w o rkda ys........................... Heavy construction contractors: Total c a s e s ................................ Lost workday c a s e s ................ Lost w o rkda ys........................... Special trade contractors: Total c a s e s ................................ Lost workday cases ................ Lost w o rkda ys........................... ' Manufacturing Total c a s e s ..... Lost workday a Lost workdays . - - - - - 11.5 5.1 82.0 10.2 4.4 75.0 10.0 4.3 73.5 10.6 4.7 77.9 17.6 9.0 158.4 16.9 8.3 153.3 18.3 9.2 163.5 19.6 9.9 172.0 15.1 6.2 91.9 13.9 5.5 85.6 14.1 5.7 83.0 15.3 6.4 101.5 14.1 6.9 122.2 13.0 6.1 112.2 13.1 6.0 112.0 13.6 6.6 120.8 14.4 6.7 121.3 12.4 5.4 101.6 12.4 5.4 103.4 13.3 6.1 115.3 17.5 7.5 109.9 15.3 6.4 102.5 15.1 6.1 96.5 16.1 6.7 104.9 12.9 5.1 74.9 10.7 4.2 66.0 9.8 3.6 58.1 10.7 4.1 65.8 7.4 3.1 48.4 6.5 2.7 42.2 6.3 2.6 41.4 6.8 2.8 45.0 9.8 4.6 78.1 9.2 4.0 72.2 8.4 3.6 64.5 9.3 4.2 68.8 6.5 2.7 39.2 5.6 2.3 37.0 5.2 2.1 35.6 5.4 2.2 37.5 10.7 4.4 68.3 9.9 4.1 69.9 9.9 4.0 66.3 10.5 4.3 70.2 Durable goods Lumber and wood products: Total c a s e s .............................................. „ ................. Lost workday c a s e s ................................................... Lost w o rkdays............................................................. Furniture and fixtures: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s ................................................... Lost w o rkda ys............................................................. Stone, clay, and glass products: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday cases .................................................. Lost w o rkda ys............................................................. Primary metal industries: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s ................................................... Lost w o rkda ys............................................................. Fabricated metal products: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s .................................................. Lost w o rkdays............................................................. Machinery, except electrical: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday cases .................................................. Lost w o rkda ys............................................................. Electric and electronic equipment: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s .................................................. Lost w orkdays............................................................. Transportation equipment: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s .................................................. Lost w o rkdays............................................................ Instruments and related products: Total c a s e s .................................................................. Lost workday cases .................................................. Lost w o rkda ys............................................................. Miscellaneous manufacturing industries: Total c a s e s .... ,........................................................... Lost workday c a s e s ................................................. Lost workdays ............................................................ See footnotes at end of table. 102 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - - - - - - - - - - _ - _ - _ - _ - _ - - - - - - - _ - _ - _ - _ - - - - - - - _ _ - _ - _ - - - - - - - _ _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - - - _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - - - - - - _ _ - - - - - - - - - - - _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - - - _ _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - - - - - _ _ - - - - - - “ 48. —Continued Occupational injury and illness incidence rates by industry, United States Incidence rates per 100 full-time workers2 1976 N ondurable goo ds Food and kindred products: Total c a s e s ....................................................................... Lost workday cases ........................................................ Lost w o rkda ys.................................................................... Tobacco manufacturing: Total c a s e s ..................................................................... Lost workday c a s e s ...................................................... Lost w o rkda ys......................................................................... Textile mill products: Total c a s e s ........................................................................................... Lost workday c a s e s ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys.................................................................... Apparel and other textile products: Total c a s e s ........................................................................................... Lost workday c a s e s .......................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys...................................................................... Paper and allied products: Total c a s e s .......................................................................................................... Lost workday cases ............................................................................ Lost w o rkda ys..................................................................................................... Printing and publishing: Total c a s e s ................................................................................................. Lost workday cases ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys.................................................................................................... Chemicals and allied products: Total c a s e s ................................................................................................... Lost workday cases ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys..................................................................................................... Petroleum and coal products: Total c a s e s .......................................................................................................... Lost workday cases ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys.................................................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products: Total c a s e s .................................................................................. Lost workday c a s e s ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys........................................................................................... Leather and leather products: Total c a s e s ................................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................ Lost w o rkdays................................................................................ T ra n sp o rta tio n and public u tilitie s Total c a s e s ........................................................................ Lost workday c a s e s ........................................................ Lost workdays ......................................................................... W holesale and retail trade Total c a s e s ........................................................................ Lost workday cases ........................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys............................................................................ Wholesale trade: Total c a s e s .............................................................................. Lost workday cases ...................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys...................................................................................... Retail trade: Total c a s e s ................................................................................................. Lost workday cases ............................................................................. Lost w o rkda ys............................................................................ 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 - - _ - _ _ - _ _ _ 17.8 8.6 130.7 16.7 8.0 129.3 16.5 7.9 131.2 16.7 8.1 131.6 - _ - _ - _ _ _ _ _ 8.2 3.9 56.8 7.2 3.2 44.6 6.5 3.0 42.8 7.7 3.2 51.7 - - - - _ _ 8.8 3.2 59.2 7.6 2.8 53.8 7.4 2.8 51.4 8.0 3.0 54.0 - - _ _ _ _ _ _ 6.3 2.2 35.0 6.0 2.1 36.4 6.4 2.4 40.6 6.7 2.5 40.9 - - - _ _ _ _ _ _ 11.6 5.4 103.6 10.6 4.9 99.1 10.0 4.5 90.3 10.4 4.7 93.8 - - - - _ _ _ 6.7 3.0 47.4 6.6 2.8 45.7 6.6 2.9 44.6 6.5 2.9 46.0 - - - - _ _ 6.6 3.0 48.1 5.7 2.5 39.4 5.5 2.5 42.3 5.3 2.4 40.8 - - - - _ _ 6.7 2.9 51.2 5.3 2.5 46.4 5.5 2.4 46.8 5.1 2.4 53.5 - - - - _ _ _ 14.6 7.2 117.4 12.7 6.0 100.9 13.0 6.2 101.4 13.6 6.4 104.3 - _ - _ _ - - - - - 11.5 5.1 82.6 9.9 4.5 86.5 10.0 4.4 87.3 10.5 4.7 94.4 8.5 4.9 96.7 8.2 4.7 94.9 8.8 5.2 105.1 - - - - - - _ _ - - - - - 9.0 5.3 100.6 - - - - - - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 7.3 3.1 45.3 7.2 3.1 45.5 7.2 3.1 47.8 7.4 3.3 50.5 - - _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 7.7 3.6 54.7 7.1 3.4 52.1 7.0 3.2 50.6 7.2 3.5 55.5 - - - _ _ _ _ - - - - - 7.1 2.9 41.1 7.2 2.9 42.6 7.3 3.0 46.7 7.5 3.2 48.4 - - - - _ - - - - 1.9 .8 11.6 2.0 .9 13.2 2.0 .9 12.8 1.9 .9 13.6 5.0 2.3 35.9 4.9 2.3 35.8 5.1 2.4 37.0 5.2 2.5 41.1 Finance, insurance, and real estate Total c a s e s ................................................................................................. Lost workday cases ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys..................................................................................................... Services Total c a s e s .......................................................................................................... Lost workday c a s e s ........................................................................................... Lost w o rkda ys..................................................................................................... 1 Total cases include fatalities. 2 The incidence rates represent the number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays per 100 full-time workers and were calculated as: (N/EH) X 200,000, where: N = number of injuries and illnesses or lost workdays. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - - - - - - - - - - “ EH = total hours worked by all employees during calendar year. 200,000 = base for 100 full-time equivalent workers (working 40 hours per week, 50 weeks per year.) 3 Excludes farms with fewer than 11 employees since 1976. - Data not available. New From BLS SALES PUBLICATIONS C urrent W age D e v e lo p m e n ts. E ach issu e in clu d es selected w age an d b e n efit c h a n g es, w ork sto p p a g e s, an d sta tistics o n c o m p e n sa tio n ch a n g e s. $2 ($21 per year). 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E ach issu e p ro v id es a co m p reh en siv e report o n price m o v em e n ts fo r the m o n th , p lu s sta tistical ta b le s, ch a rts, an d tech n ica l n o te s. $4 ($25 per year). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (S in gle c o p ie s a vailab le u p o n request w h ile su p p lies la st.) Area Wage Summaries A la sk a . Ju ly 1985. 7 p p. A lb u q u e rq u e , N M . S ep tem b er 1985. 6 pp. G rand Isla n d -H a stin g s, N E . S ep tem b er 1985. 2 p p. N o rth D a k o ta . A u g u st 1985. 5 p p. T o p e k a , K S. A u g u st 1985. 3 p p. V erm o n t. Sep tem b er 1985. 4 p p . BLS Reports BLS P u b lic a tio n s o n P ro d u c tiv ity an d T e c h n o lo g y . R ep ort 7 2 2 . 22 p p . P resen ts a c h r o n o lo g ic a l list o f p u b lic a tio n s prepared by the O ffic e o f P ro d u c tiv ity an d T e c h n o lo g y sin ce 1975. Special Advisories D e p a r tm e n t S to r e In v e n to r y P rice Sep tem b er 1985. O cto b er 1985. In d e x e s— A u g u st 1985. To Order: S a le P u b lic a tio n s: O rder b u lletin s by title , b u lletin n u m b er, and G P O sto ck n u m b er from the S u p erin ten d en t o f D o c u m e n ts , U .S . G o v ern m en t P rin tin g O ffic e , W a sh in g to n , D .C . 2 0 4 0 2 , or from the B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistics, P u b lic a tio n s S ales C en ter, P .O . B o x 2 1 4 5 , C h ic a g o , IL 606 9 0 . S u b scrip tio n s, in clu d in g m ic r o fic h e su b scrip tio n s, are av a ila b le o n ly fro m the S u p erin ten d en t o f D o c u m e n ts. A ll c h eck s— in clu d in g th o s e th at g o th e C h ica g o R eg io n a l O ffic e — sh o u ld b e m ad e p ayab le to the S u p erin ten d en t o f D o c u m e n ts. O th e r P u b lic a tio n s: R eq u est fro m th e B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistics, U .S . D ep a rtm e n t o f L a b o r, R o o m 2 4 2 1 , 441 G S treet, N .W ., W a sh in g to n , D .C . 2 0 2 1 2 , or fro m th e B ureau o f L ab or S ta tistics, C h ica g o R eg io n a l O ffic e , P .O . B o x 2 1 4 5 , C h ic a g o , IL 606 9 0 . * u. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1986 491-537/40000 C o n te n ts The First Hundred Years of the Bureau of Labor Statistics T he First Hundred 'fears of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Professor Richard B. Morris, Columbia University, says: “ ...my congratulations to Messrs. Goldberg and Moye for their very perceptive account of activities so central to the economic life of the country and so little understood.” I. Origins II. Carroll Wright: Setting the Course III. Charles Neill: Studies for Economic and Social Reform IV. Royal Meeker: Statistics in Recession and Wartime V. Ethelbert Stewart: Holding the Fort Joseph R Goldberg and WilliamT Moye VI. Isador Lubin: Meeting Emergency Demands VII. Ewan Clague: An Expanding Role for Economic Indicators Professor Irving Bernstein, University of California, Los Angeles, noted that Goldberg and Moye VIII. Four Commissioners (Ross, Moore, Shiskin, Norwood): An Economy Going by the Numbers IX. History as Prologue: The Continuing Mission “ ...are to be commended for a first-class work of historical scholarship. It is solidly based on primary sources, is logically organized, and is lucidly written.” Appendix: BLS Publications Source Notes Index Photo Section Mail order form to: Order Form Superintendent of Documents U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 Edition Paper Price GPO Stock No. ISBN $10.50 029-001-02580-4 0-935043-01-2 15.00 029-001-02851-2 0-935043-00-4 Cloth $ $ Total cost: or Please send me the publications I have indicated. Bureau of Labor Statistics Publication Sales Center P.O. 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